APRIL 1985
A REGIONAL-SCALE (1000 KM) MODEL OF PHOTOCHEMICAL AIR POLLUTION
           Part 3.   Tests of the Numerical  Algorithms
            ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES RESEARCH LABORATORY
               OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
              U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NC  27711

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A REGIONAL-SCALE (1000 KM) MODEL OF PHOTOCHEMICAL AIR POLLUTION
           Part 3.  Tests of the Numerical Algorithms
                         Robert G. Lamb
              Meteorology and Assessment Division
            Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory
         Research Triangle Park, North Carolina  27711
                        Gerard F. Laniak
                    Program Resources, Inc.
                   Annapolis, Maryland  21401
            ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES RESEARCH LABORATORY
               OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
              U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NC  27711

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                       NOTICE
The information in this document has  been subject to
the United  States  Environmental Protection  Agency's
peer and administrative review and has  been  approved
for publication as an EPA document.   Mention of trade
names or  commercial  products  does  not  constitute
endorsement or reconmendation for use.
                           ii

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                                  PREFACE

     This is the last in a series of reports describing the development of
the Environmental Protection Agency's Regional Oxidant Model (ROM).  The
first report described the theoretical  bases of the model, the second
developed a system design for the network of processors that drive the
model, and the present report describes a series of technical  evaluations
of the model's governing equations.  Our objective here is to demonstrate
that the numerical algorithms that constitute the model's predictive
equations are accurate analogies of the differential equations that describe
the physical and chemical processes that the model is intended to simulate.
We consider this to be a necessary condition for model validity.  A sufficient
condition is that all components of the model jointly — the numerical
algorithms are but a single part -- compose a basis for predicting given
features of the species concentrations  that are consistently within given
error limits of the values one would actually observe under the meteorological
and emissions conditions simulated.  Demonstrating that a model satisfies
the sufficient conditions for validity  generally requires comparison of
predictions with observations.  At the  present time preparations are underway
to subject the ROM to tests of this sort.  In this study we make no
comparisons of model predictions with observations.  Rather, our standard
for judging the model's performance are known, exact solutions of the
equations that describe the hypothetical situations that we treat.

     This study is a part of the quality assurance program that we have
implemented to achieve and maintain the highest degree of accuracy and
credibility possible.  We have found that in a modeling system as complex

                                    iii

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as the ROM, the sources of error are so numerous  that  meaningful  model
applications are impossible unless stringent,  comprehensive measures are
taken to erradicate error in every part of the system.  This is not to  say
that we believe that errors can be eliminated  entirely.   We expect that
residual errors will always remain in much the same  way  that sources of
error exist even in instruments of the highest quality.   In this context we
view our quality assurance procedures as an effort to  increase the signal-
to-noise ratio of the ROM.  We are convinced that without such efforts, the
ROM would never achieve the level of reliability  necessary to qualify it
for a role in assisting the development of emissions control policies and
air quality management.
                                                 R. G.  Lamb
                                                 April  1985

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                                  ABSTRACT





     The regional oxidant model is applied to a series of test problems



whose exact solutions are known.  The predicted concentrations are compared



with the true values to obtain a measure of the accuracy of the numerical



algorithms that comprise the model's governing equations.  Some of the



problems test only the model's chemical kinetics algorithm, others test the



kinetics and transport/diffusion algorithms jointly, and one tests all



three of the models basic algorithms together — kinetics, transport/diffusion,



and vertical fluxes.





     It is found that the kinetics algorithm produces exact solutions of



the chemical rate equations over the full range of species concentrations



that are likely to be encountered in applications.  A modified version of



the algorithm yields concentrations that are within ± 5% of the correct



values in 1/2 to 1/3 the computer time needed for exact solutions.





     In simulations of the advection of clouds of chemically reactive



compounds, the kinetics and transport algorithms jointly reproduce the correct



shapes and motions of clouds and they predict the peak peak concentration



in the cloud to within 10% of the true value over 48-hour simulation times.





     In applications to continuous finite line sources in steady, spatially



variable flows, the combined algorithms, produced plumes with negligible



pseudo diffusion.  In the case of ozone, the predicted plume centerline



concentration was within 5% of the true value in a plume five grid cells



wide and within 15% of the correct value in a plume two grid cells in width.



Corresponding errors in the CO concentrations were about 50% larger.  In

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general, it was found that ozone is  among the  species  simulated best while
compounds such as nitrous and nitric acid, alkyl  nitrate and  related nitrogen
containing species are simulated poorest.  The predicted concentrations  of
free radical species are of intermediate accuracy.   Evidence  was also found
that errors in plume concentration can be amplified  when a  plume crosses a
second source.  The zone of enhanced error tends  to  be confined to the
vicinity of the second source.  The  accuracies of the  simulated concentrations
have added significance in that the  model employs a  numerical  transport-diffu-
sion scheme that does not maintain positive definite concentration.  Negative
concentrations are simply clamped.
                                     VI

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                                  CONTENTS
Preface	iii
Abstract  	     v
Figures	  .  .  viii
Tables	xxiv
Acknowledgment  	   xxv


     1.  Introduction and Summary	     1
     2.  Case 1A: Chemistry Without Transport or Sources   	    13
     3.  Case 2A: Chemistry with Transport	    57
           Case 2B: Chemistry with transport and vertical  mixing   ...    71
     4.  Case 3A:  Chemistry With Transport and Continous  Sources  ...   127

References	264

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                                  FIGURES

Number                                                                  Page

 1-1     Schematic illustration of the regional  model  and the
         network of processors that supply it information 	    5

 2-1     Temporal  variations in the magnitudes of the  photolytic
         rate constants kj, k; and k23 used in both reactor
         simulations 1A.L and 1A.R (and in all other experiments
         presented in this report)	   17

2-2(a)   Results of NO concentration in batch reactor  simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   22

2-2(b)   Same as 2-2(a) but for N02.  Case 1A.1  (top), 1A.R (bottom). .   23

2-2(c)   Results for ozone in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)  	   24

2-2(d)   Results for olefin in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   25

2-2(e)   Results for paraffin in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   26

2-2(f)   Results for aldehyde in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   27

2-2(g)   Results for aromatic in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   28

2-2(h)   Results for CO in batch reactor simulations 1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   29

2-2(i)   Results for nitrous acid in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   30

2-2(j)   Results for nitric acid in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   31

2-2(k)   Results for PAN in batch reactor simulations  1A.L (top)
         and 1A.R (bottom)	   32

2-2(1)   Results for alkyl nitrate in  batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   33

2-2(m)   Results for hydrogen peroxide in batch  reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   34

2-2(n)   Results for atomic oxygen in  batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   35

                                    viii

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Number                                                                  Page

2-2(o)   Results for nitrate in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   36

2-2(p)   Results for hydroxyl radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   37

2-2(q)   Results for pernitric acid in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   38

2-2(r)   Results for hydroperoxyl radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   39

2-2(s)   Results for alkoxyl radical  in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   40

2-2(t)   Results for alkylperoxyl radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   41

2-2(u)   Results for alkoxy radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   42

2-2(v)   Results for peroxyacyl radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   43

2-2(w)   Results for peroxy radical in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom)	   44

2-3(a)   Results of NO concentration  in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R using a value  of .01 for the control
         parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
         in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)	   45

2-3(b)   Results of N02 concentration in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R using a value  of .01 for the control
         parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
         in Fig. 2-2(a) use X =.001.)	   46

2-3(c)   Results of 03 concentration  in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R using a value  of .01 for the control
         parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
         in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)	   47

2-3(d)   Results of aldehyde concentration in batch reactor
         simulations 1A.L and 1A.R using a value of .01 for the
         control parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results
         shown in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)	   48

2-3(e)   Results of PAN  concentration in batch reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R using a value  of .01 for the control
         parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
         in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)	   49

                                     ix

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Number                                                                  Page

2-3(f)   Results of alkylperoxyl  concentration  in  batch  reactor
         simulations 1A.L and 1A.R using  a  value of  .01  for the
         control parameter X in  the numerical algorithm.   (Results
         shown in Fig.  2-2(a) use X =.001.)	    50

2-4(a)   Results of NO  concentration in the batch  reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R  obtained  with the  modified  numerical  algorithm
         that varies the parameter x temporally to effect maximum
         speed and minimum error	    51

2-4(b)   Results of NOg concentration in  the batch reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R  obtained  with the  modified  numerical  algorithm
         that varies the parameter \ temporally to effect maximum
         speed and minimum error	    52

2-4(c)   Results of 03  concentration in the batch  reactor simulations
         1A.L and 1A.R  obtained  with the  modified  numerical  algorithm
         that varies the parameter x temporally to effect maximum
         speed and minimum error	    53

2-4(d)   Results of aldehyde concentration  in the  batch  reactor
         simulations 1A.L and 1A.R obtained with the modified
         numerical algorithm that varies  the parameter \  temporally
         to effect maximum speed and minimum error  	
                                                                          54
2-4(e)   Results of PAN concentration in  the batch reactor simula-
         tions 1A.L and 1A.R obtained with  the  modified  numerical
         algorithm that varies the parameter X  temporally to effect
         maximum speed  and minimum error   	    55

2-4(f)   Results of alkylperoxyl  concentration  in  the batch reactor
         simulations 1A.L and 1A.R obtained with the modified  numerical
         algorithm that varies the parameter X  temporally to effect
         maximum speed  and minimum error   	    56

3-1      Initial concentration distribution ca(I,J,t0)  in the  cloud
         simulated in Case 2A for species a = carbon monoxide.  Also
         shown is ca(I,J,t0 + 48 hr)	      61

3-2      Comparison of  simulations by 3 differencing schemes of the
         advection of an ellipsoidal cloud  in a rotating  flow.
         Panels a-d display different cross-sections of  the cloud
         (indicated by  the upper right corner of each panel) after
         one complete rotation of the cloud, 100 time steps in the
         case of schemes 0 and S, 150 steps in  the case  of Z.
         Notation: Q (circles) = transport  algorithm used in the
         ROM; S (x) = transport  scheme of Mahrer and Pielke
         (1978); Z = transport scheme of  Zalesak  (1979)  	    63

3-2      Continued	    64

3-2      Continued	    65

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Number
3-2
3-3(a)




3-3(a)
3-3(a)
3-3(a)
3-3(a)
3-3(a)
3-3(b)




3-3(b)
3-3(b)
3-3(b)
3-3(b)
3-3(c)




3-3(c)
3-3(c)
3-3(c)
3-3(c)
3-3(c)
3-3(c)
1
Concluded 	 	 	
Initial concentration of CO in cross-sections of the cloud
simulated in experiment 2A. Diagrams in the upper right
corner of each panel indicate the location of the cross-
section within the cloud. The curves labeled "chemistry"
represent the true solution 	
Continued. Travel time = 4 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 8 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 16 hours 	

Concluded. Travel time = 48 hours 	
Initial concentration of NO in cross-sections of the cloud
simulated in experiment 2A. Diagrams in the upper right
corner of each panel indicate the location of the cross-
section within the cloud. The curves labeled "chemistry"
represent the true solution 	
Continued. Travel time = 4 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 8 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 12 hours 	
Concluded. Travel time = 16 hours 	
Initial concentration of ozone in cross-sections of the cloud
simulated in experiment 2A. Diagrams in the upper right
corner of each panel indicate the location of the cross-
section within the cloud. The curves labeled "chemistry"
represent the true solution 	
Continued. Travel time = 2 hours 	

Continued. Travel time = 16 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 24 hours 	
Continued. Travel time = 36 hours 	
Concluded. Travel time = 48 hours 	 	 	
Page
66




74
75
76
77
78
79




80
81
82
83
84




85
86
87
88
89
90
91

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Number                                                                    Page

3-3(d)   Initial  concentration of N0£ in cross-sections of the cloud
         simulated in experiment 2A.   Diagrams  in the upper right
         corner of each panel  indicate the location of the cross-
         section  within the cloud.   The curves  labeled "chemistry"
         represent the true solution   .....  	     92

3-3(d)   Continued.  Travel time =  2  hours. .	     93

3-3(d)   Continued.  Travel time =  4  hours	     94

3-3(d)   Continued.  Travel time =  12 hours 	     95

3-3(d)   Concluded.  Travel time =  24 hours 	     96

3-3(e)   Initial  concentration of olefin in cross-sections of the
         cloud simulated in experiment 2A.  Diagrams in the upper
         right corner of each  panel  indicate the location of the
         cross-section within  the cloud.  The curves labeled
         "chemistry" represent the  true solution  	     97

3-3(e)   Continued.  Travel time =  4  hours	,	     98

3-3(e)   Continued.  Travel time =  8  hours.  Insert in upper
         panel is magnified plot of major axis  cross-section	     99

3-3(e)   Concluded.  Travel time -  12 hours.  Insert in lower panel
         is magnified plot of  minor axis cross-section	     100

 3-4     Initial  CO concentration in  clouds 2B.L and 2B.R.  Arcing lines
         labeled  E, M, and C are 48-hour trajectories of points originating
         at the edge, midpoint, and center, respectively, of each cloud . . 101

 3-5     Initial  cross-section of ozone concentration in cloud 2B'.R.
         Diagrams in the upper right  corner of  each panel show the
         location of the cross-section in the cloud.  Curves labeled
         "chemistry" represent the  true solution  	 102

 3-5     Continued.  Travel time =  4  hours (Case 2B.R)	103

 3-5      Continued.  Travel time = 12 hours.   Vertical mixing between
          layers  1 and 2 begins at  this instant.  (Case 2B.R)	104

 3-5      Continued.  Travel time = 16 hours, 4 hours after mixing
          (Case 2B.R)	105

 3-5      Continued.  Travel time = 24 hours (Case 2B.R)	106

 3-5      Continued.  Travel time = 36 hours	107

 3-5      Concluded.  Travel time = 48 hours, 36 hours after1 mixing
          (Case 2B.R)	108

                                    xii

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Number                                                                  Page

3-8(b)  Time histories of NO following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution .......................  122

3-8(c)  Time histories of ozone following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution .......................  123
3-8(d)  Time histories of N0£ following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution .......................   124

3-8(e)  Time histories of olefin following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution .......................   125

3-8(f)  Time histories of PAN following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution .......................   126

4-1     Locations and relative strengths of 4 line sources (b, c, e,
        and f) simulated in experiment 3A.  Flow speed 
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Number                                                ,                  Page

4-6(b)  Same as 4-6(a) except travel  time = 13 hours	152

4-6(c)  Same as 4-6(a) except travel  time = 25 hours	153

4-6(d)  Same as 4-6(a) except travel  time = 34 hours	  154

4-6(e)  Same as 4-6(a) except travel  time = 44 hours	  155

4-6(f)  Same as 4-6(a) except travel  time = 52 hours	156

4-7(a)  Comparison of predicted (solid curve) and true (dashed)
        N02 concentrations in experiment 3A along the cross-section
        indicated in the insert.  (Travel time = 7 hrs from sources
        b, c and e)	,	157

4-7(b)  Same as 4-7(a) except travel  time = 13 hours	  158

4-7(c)  Same as 4-7(a) except travel  time = 25 hours	159

4-7(d)  Same as 4-7(a) except travel  time = 44 hours	 .  160

4-7(e)  Same as 4-7(a) except travel  time = 52 hours	161

4-8(a)  Comparison of predicted (solid curve) and true (dashed)
        olefin concentrations in experiment 3A along the cross-section
        indicated in the insert.  (Travel time = 7 hrs from sources
        b, c and e)	162

4-8(b)  Same as Figure 4-8(a) except  travel time = 13 hours 	  163

4-8(c)  Same as Figure 4-8(a) except  travel time = 44 hours 	  164

4-8(d)  Same as Figure 4-8(a) except  travel time = 52 hours 	  165

4-9(a)  Comparison of predicted (solid curve) and true (dashed)
        PAN concentrations in experiment 3A along the cross-section
        indicated in the insert.  (Travel time = 7 hrs from sources
        b, c and e)	166

4-9(b)  Same as 4-9(a) except travel  time * 13 hours	167

4-9(c)  Same as Figure 4-9(a) except  travel time = 25 hours,.
        Insert shows magnified plot of the predicted and true PAN
        concentration distributions 	  168

4-9(d)  Same as Figure 4-9(a) except  travel time = 34 hours.
        Insert shows magnified plot of the predicted and true PAN
        concentration distributions 	  169

4-9(e)  Same as Figure 4-9(a) except  travel time = 44 hours.
        Insert shows magnified plot of the predicted and true PAN
        concentration distributions 	  170

                                     xv

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Number                                                                  Page

4-9(f)   Same as Figure 4-9(a) except travel  time = 52 hours	171

4-10(a)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true NO concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the center of source e, experiment 3A	   172

4-10(b)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true N02 concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the center of source e, experiment 3A	   173

4-10(c)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true ozone concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A 	   174

4-10(d)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true olefin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A 	   175

4-10(e)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true paraffin
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   176

4-10(f)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aldehyde
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   177

4-10(g)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aromatic
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   178

4-10(h)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   179

4-10(i)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   180

4-10(j)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitric acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   181

4-10(k)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true PAN
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   182

4-10(1)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkyl nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A. . .   183

4-10(m)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydrogen
         peroxide concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the center of source e,
         experiment 3A	184

                                    xvi

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4-10(n)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  atomic
         oxygen concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes  through  the  center of source e,
         experiment 3A	185

4-10(o)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  nitrate concen-
         tration (solid curve)  along a  Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source e,  experiment  3A .....   186

4-10(p)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  hydroxyl concen-
         tration (solid curve)  along a  Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source e,  experiment  3A 	   187

4-10(q)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  hydroperoxyl
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the center  of source e,  experiment  3A.  . .   188

4-10(r)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  pernitric acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the center  of source e,  experiment  3A.  . .   189

4-10(s)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  alkoxyl radical
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the center  of source e,  experiment  3A.  . .   190

4-10(t)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  alkylperoxy
         radical concentration  (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes  through  the  center of source e,
         experiment 3A	191

4-10(u)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  alkoxy
         radical concentration  (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes  through  the  center of source e,
         experiment 3A	192

4-10(v)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  peroxyacyl
         radical concentration  (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes  through  the  center of source e,
         experiment 3A	193

4-10(w)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  peroxy
         radical concentration  (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes  through  the  center of source e,
         experiment 3A	194

4-ll(a)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  NO  concentration
         (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian  trajectory  that  passes through
         the outer most grid cell  of source  e, experiment  3A	195

4-ll(b)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and  true  N02 concentration
         (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian  trajectory  that  passes through
         the outer most grid cell  of source  e, experiment  3A	196

                                    xvii

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4-ll(c)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true ozone concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes through
         the outer most grid cell  of source e, experiment 3A. ......   197

4-ll(d)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true olefin concentra-
         tion (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A. .  .   198

4-ll(e)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true paraffin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A. .  .   199

4-ll(f)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aldehyde concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the outer most grfd cell of source e, experiment 3A. .  .   200

4-11(g)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aromatic concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A. .  .   201

4-ll(h)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
         experiment 3A	202

4-ll(i)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
         experiment 3A	203

4-ll(j)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and'true nitric acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
         experiment 3A	204

4-ll(k)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true PAN concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
         experiment 3A	205

4-11(1)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkyl nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
         experiment 3A	206

4-ll(m)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydrogen peroxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
         experiment 3A	207
                                   xvm

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Number   ,                                                                 Page

4-ll(n)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true oxygen atom
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
         experiment 3A	208

4-ll(p)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
         experiment 3A	209

4-ll(p)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydroxyl
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
         experiment 3A	210

4-11(q)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydroperoxyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell of
         source e, experiment 3A	  211

4-ll(r)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true pernitric
         acid concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell of
         source e, experiment 3A	  212

4-ll(s)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkoxyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell of
         source e, experiment 3A	  213

4-ll(t)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkylperoxy
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell of
         source e, experiment 3A	214

4-ll(u)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkoxy radical
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
         experiment 3A	215

4-ll(v)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true peroxyacyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell
         of source e, experiment 3A	216

4-ll(w)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true peroxy
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the outer most grid cell
         of source e, experiment 3A	217

4-12(a)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true NO concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the center of source c, experiment 3A	  218

                                    xix

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Number                                                                    Page
4-12(b)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true N0£ concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through the center of source c, experiment 3A. .... .....  219

4-12(c)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true ozone concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A ......  220

4-12(d)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true olefin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A ......  221

4-12(e)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true paraffin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A ......  222

4-12(f)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aldehyde concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A ......  223

4-12(g)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aromatic concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A ......  224

4-12(h)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  225

4-12(i)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  226

4-12(j)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitric acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  227

4-12(k)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true PAN concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  228

4-12(1)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkyl  nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  229

4-12(m)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydrogen peroxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  230

4~12(n)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true atomic oxygen
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . .  .  231

                                     xx

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Number                                                                    Page

4-12(o)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . . .  232

4-12(p)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true hydroxyl  radical
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A. . . .  233

4-12(q)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true hydroperoxyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	  234

4-12(r)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true pernitric
         acid concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	235

4-12(s)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alkoxyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	236

4-12(t)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alkylperoxy
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	237

4-12(u)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alkoxy
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	238

4-12(v)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and peroxyacyl
         radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A. .	239

4-12(w)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and peroxy radical
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
         experiment 3A	240

4-13(a)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true NO concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through  the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A	241

4-13(b)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true N02 concentration
         (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
         through  the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A	242
                                    xxi

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Number                                                                    Page

4-13(c)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true ozone concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   243

4-13(d)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true olefin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   244

4-13(e)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true paraffin concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   245

4-13(f)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aldehyde concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   246

4-13(g)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true aromatic concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   247

4-13(h)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   248

4-13(i)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   249

4-13(j)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitric acid
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   250

4-13(k)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true PAN concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   251

4-13(1)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alky!  nitrate
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   252

4-13(m)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydrogen peroxide
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   253

4-13(n)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true atomic oxygen
         concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
         that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.  .   254

4-13(o)  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrate concen-
         tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A .  .  .  .   255
                                    xxn

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Number                                                                    Page

4-13(p)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true hydroxyl  radical
         concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory that
         passes through the inner edge  of source b,  experiment 3A . .  . .   256

4-13(q)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true hydroperoxyl
         radical concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  inner edge of source b,
         experiment 3A	„   257

4-13(r)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true pernitric acid
         concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the  inner  edge  of source b, experiment 3A. .   258

4-13(s)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true alkoxyl  radical
         concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the  inner  edge  of source b, experiment 3A. .   259

4-13(t)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true alkylperoxyl
         radical concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  inner edge of source b,
         experiment 3A	260

4-13(u)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true alkoxy  radical
         concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory
         that passes through the  inner  edge  of source b, experiment 3A. .   261

4-13(v)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true peroxyacyl
         radical concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  inner edge of source b,
         experiment 3A	262

4-13(w)  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true peroxy
         radical concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
         trajectory that passes through the  inner edge of source b,
         experiment 3A	263
                                   xxm

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                                   TABLES
Number

1-1       Chemical reactions included in the Demerjian/Schere
            mechanism and the rate constants assumed for each ....      8

1-2       Summary of the conditions simulated in each of the five
            groups of experiments performed in this report to test
            the accuracies of the regional oxidant model's numerical
            algorithm.  In all  experiments, the photolytic rate
            constants undergo the temporal variations shown in
            Figure 2-1	     10

1-3       Summary of the results of each of the model tests
            described in Table 1-2	     11

2-1       Initial concentrations of each chemical  species  in
            the batch reactor simulations 1A.L and 1A.R	     16

2-2       Summary of the computer CPU times (VAX 11/780) required
            by the ROM and Gear algorithms to perform the  48-hour
            simulations for studies 1A.L and 1A.R	     18

2-3       Comparison of computer times (VAX 11/780) required
            by the variable FRAX and Gear algorithms to perform
            the 48-hour batch reactor simulations for studies
            1A.L and 1A.R	    21

4-1       Base emission rates of species used for line sources
            in experiment 3A.  The emission rates of individual
            source cells are fractions (1/3, 1/2, 2/3 or 1) or
            the values shown here (see Figure 4-1)  	   132
                                    xxiv

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                              ACKNOWLEDGMENTS





     The authors are indebted to Ms.  Barbara Hinton  for  her  incomparable



workmanship and patience in typing the  manuscript.
                                    xxv

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                                 SECTION 1

                          Introduction and Summary

     Air pollution simulation models are not considered to be ready for formal
applications until after they have been "validated".  Although the term
"validation" is not well defined, the validation process is generally taken
to mean the establishment of a quantitative measure of the inherent error
in a model.  Here the distinction is drawn between the component of error
that is attributable to errors in the input data and the component that is
due to deficiencies in the "physics" and mathematical algorithms that
constitute the model itself.  Ascertaining the extent to which a model's
poor performance is attributable to its own internal weaknesses is a task
that is plagued by several formidable problems.

     One of these problems is that the measured concentrations that are used
as the standard for judging the model's accuracy contain errors whose
magnitudes are known only approximately.  A second problem is that grid
models predict averages of concentration over large volumes of space —
volumes of the order of 100 km^ — whereas the measured concentrations
represent samples taken virtually at single points in space.  A third, and
perhaps the most significant, problem is the limitation on predictability.
As we discussed in Sections 6 and 7 of Part 1 and in Section 10 of Part 2,
not even a perfect model working with error-free data could predict the
concentration that one would measure at a given site at a given time.
Models can predict probabilities of given concentration values and expected

-------
concentration levels but not the concentration  itself.   This  limitation
arises from the character of atmospheric motion,  and  its magnitude is
determined in part by the type and density of meteorological  data that are
used to prescribe the flow field in the model.
     At the present time there does not exist a rational procedure for
model validation that takes all  these sources of  uncertainty  into account.
Consequently, we will focus our immediate efforts on  demonstrating that the
Regional Oxidant Model  (ROM) satisfies certain  necessary (but not sufficient)
conditions for validity.  To understand what  these necessary  conditions
are, think of the model  as being composed of  three parts:  physics, numerical
algorithms, and hypotheses.
     The physics describe the chemical reactions, deposition, transport by
the wind, and all other relevant physical processes.   The physics are
described mathematically by a set of differential equations whose solutions
constitute the model's predictions.  Since closed form solutions of the
differential equations are not known, discrete  analogues of these equations
must be constructed that are amenable to computer solution.
     Solutions of the discrete equations are  produced by the  model 's
numerical algorithms.  If these algorithms are  not properly chosen or are
ill-conditioned, the solutions they yield can differ  significantly from the
corresponding solution of the differential equations  that they are supposed
to represent.
    Finally, the model  hypotheses include the mathematical  descriptions of
physical processes whose spatial and temporal scales  are smaller than the

-------
resolvable scales of the discrete analogue of the corresponding differential
equations, such as turbulent transport and concentration fluctuations.
They also include the hypotheses concerning the probabilities of the individual
members of the ensemble of flow fields (see part 1, Chapters 6 and 7; and
Part 2, Section 10).  Let us digress for a moment on this last item since
it may be unfamiliar to the reader.
     In all long range transport models developed before now, i.e., models
that treat the fate of species beyond distances of the order of 100 km from
the source, the "ensemble" of flow fields contained only a single member,
namely the wind field derived from a given set of data using some pre-selected
objective analysis or interpolation routine.  We showed in Parts 1 and 2 of
this report that a given set of discrete meteorological data do not uniquely
specify the wind field.  Rather, they define a set of fields each of which
is a possible description of the flow that existed during the time the
observations were made.  We have adopted the position in our regional model
that the proper way to approach modeling under these circumstances is to
assign probabilities to each member of the set of possible flows -- the
probability values reflecting additional  empirical, historical or other
information available about the winds in the given area — and to compute
the concentrations that the given set of sources would produce in each of
the flow fields that comprise the set of most probable flows.  Assigning
quantitative probabilities to each of the possible flows requires a hypothesis
since no theoretical principle is available for this purpose.  From this
viewpoint, we see that the conventional modeling approach has adopted the
tacit hypothesis that all of the possible flows have zero probability
except one, namely that given by the chosen objective analysis routine.

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     Let us say that a model  is "valid" if it produces concentration
predictions that are consistently within some given error limits of the
actual concentration that one would observe under the conditions simulated.
Under this definition necessary conditions for model  validity are that each
of its three components individually satisfy specific accuracy criteria.
(Strictly speaking, arbitrarily large errors in one component could be
tolerated if sufficiently large errors of a compensating form existed in
another part.  However, since the three model components that we have
defined are inherently distinct, this situation will  not occur in general.
Thus, for all practical purposes we can assume that each component must
meet certain accuracy standards as a necessary condition for overall model
validity.)
     The purpose of this report is to demonstrate the accuracy of only the
numerical alogorithms in the regional oxidant model.   In a future study we
plan to present a rational procedure for model verification that will allow
us to assess the performance of the model overall.
     To test the numerical algorithms we will apply the model to a series
of rather elementary problems whose exact solutions are known, and compare
the model's predictions in each case with the true values.  Figure 1-1,
which is taken from Part 2, Section 1, will help give a clearer picture of
the specific part of the regional model that we will  be examining.  The box
labeled CORE represents the set of numerical algorithms that approximate
the differential equations on which the regional model is based.  In Part
1, Section 9, we split the governing differential equations into three
distinct parts and we developed numerical algorithms for handling each part
                                     4

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                           li
                             Ul
                             oc
                             o
                             o
         Q.
         z

TOPOGRAPHY
DATA
EMISSIONS
DATA

UPPER AtR
MET
DATA
T I
SURFACE
MET
DATA
SATELLITE
CLOUD COVER
DATA
LAND USE
DATA
SURFACE AIR
MONITORING
DATA
Figure 1-1.
Schematic  illustration of the regional model  and the

network of processors that supply it information.

-------
separately.  One algorithm treats the advection and horizontal  diffusion
processes, one algorithm handles the chemistry, and the third approximates
deposition and all  other physical processes  that affect vertical  material
fluxes.  In this report we will  assess the accuracies  of these three
algorithms both separately and jointly.  The objective is to show that the
numerical portion of the regional model satisfies the  necessary condition
for overall model validity.

     In order to perform the desired tests,  it is necessary first to adopt
a specific chemical mechanism for the model.  This is  actually a  part of
the physics which,  for flexibility purposes, we relegated to the  external
module labeled CHEM in Figure 1-1.  Any mechanism can  be used as  long as it
is structured in a  way that is compatible with the interface that links the
module CHEM with the basic module CORE (see  Part 2, Section 1).  For testing
purposes we will employ the 23 species/36 reaction mechanism developed by
Demerjian and Schere (1979).  Details of this scheme are given in Table 1-1.
One of our interests is to determine whether the accuracy of the  algorithm
that handles the chemical kinetics portion of the model equation  varies
greatly from species to species.
     The test simulations are performed by assigning to each of the parameters
in the model input  file (MIF) (see Figure 1-1) values  characteristic of the
particular situation that we want to analyze.  For example, to perform
tests of the transport and chemistry algorithms jointly, we assign values
to the members of the MIF that will prevent  vertical fluxes of material
and that describe the flow fields and source emissions in each layer as we
want them.  All together, five case studies  are conducted to test various

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aspects of the model's numerical  algorithms.   The  conditions  simulated  in



each of the studies is summarized in  Table 1-2,  and  a  brief summary  of  the



findings is presented in Table 1-3 (detailed  discussions  are  provided in



the remainder of this report).

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Table 1-1.  Chemical  reactions  included  in  the  Demerjian/Schere
            mechanism and  the rate constants  assumed  for each.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
N02
0 + 02 + M
03 + NO
03 + N02
N03 + NO
N03 + N02 + H20
HONO
HO + NO
H02 + N02
H02 + NO
H02 + N02 + M
HOON02
HO + HONO
HO + N02 + M
HO + NO + M
H02 + 03
HO + 03
H02 + H02
OLEF + 0
OLEF + 03
OLEF + HO
PARAF -t- HO
ALD
Reaction
hv
-y NO + 0
-»• 03 + M
-y N02 + 02
-y NO-, + 09
o c.
-y 2N02
-y 2HONO
hv
-y HO + NO
(02)
H02 + C02
-y HONO + 02
-y HO + N02
> HOON02 + M
* H02 + N02
->• N02 + H20
+ HON02 + M
* HONO + M
-> HO + 202
-y H02 -t- 02
> H202 + 02
-y R02 + ALD + H02
-y R02 + ALD + H02
-y R02 + ALD
-y R02
hv
-y 0.5R02 + 1.5H02 H
Rate Constant*
(units3)
variable
2.3 x lO'5 c
2.7 x lO'1
4.8 x 10'2
3.0 x 104
3.4 x ID'3 c
variabled
4.1 x 102
4.4
1.2 x 104
1.5 x 10~3 c
3.3
9.8 x 103
1.5 x 10"2 c
7.4 x 10-3 c
3.0
1.0 x 102
3.7 x 103
5.1 x 103
1.4 x 10'2
3.1 x 104
5.0 x 103
i- l.OCO variabled

-------
Table 1-1, continued
Reaction
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.
30.
31.
32.
33.
34.
35.
36.
ALD
R02
RO
R102 J
RO H
R02
R102

AROM
R202
R20
R2°2
R102
+ HO
+ NO
+ °2
H N02
K N02
+ 03
+ NO
PAN
+ HO
+ NO
+ o2
+ 03
+ 03
Rate Constant
(units3)
-»• 0.3R102 + 0.7H02 + 0.7CO 1.4 x
> RO +
-» ALD
-»• PAN
* RONO
->• RO +
(02)
* R02
-»• R102
> R202
* R20
-» ALD
+ R20
* R02
N02
+ H02

2
202
+ N02
+ N02
+ 2ALD + CO
+ N02
+ H02 + 2CO
+ 202
+ 202
1.1 x
9.0 x
8.9 x
1.0 x
2.0
4.0 x
1.4 x
2.3 x
1.1 x
8.9 x
2.0
2.0
104
104
10-1
103
102
103
10-1 b
104
104
10-1


*  Values of rate constants that vary by temperature are evaluated here for
   298°K and 1 atm pressure.

a  Rate constant units are ppm"l min'l unless otherwise noted.

b  Units of rate constant are min~l.

c  Units of rate constant are ppm'2 min~l.

^  Photolysis rate constants are based on data compiled by Demerjian, Schere
   and Peterson (1980) and vary as a function of solar zenith angle.  (See text)

Species definitions:

     RN03       Alkyl  Nitrate
     H02        Hydroperoxyl Radical
     H04N       Pernitric Acid
     RO         Alkoxyl  Radical
     R02        Alkylperoxy Radical
     R20        Alkoxy Radical
     R102       Peroxyacyl Radical
     R202       Peroxy Radical

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      Table 1-2.
3A
      Summary of the conditions  simulated in  each  of the five
      groups of experiments  performed  in  this report to test
      the accuracies of the  regional oxidant  model 's numerical
      algorithm.  In all  experiments,  the photolytic rate constants
      undergo the temporal  variations  shown in Figure 2-1.
Case
1A.L
1A.R
IB
2A
28. L
2B.R
Horiz.
transport
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Horiz.
diffusion
No
No
No
No
No
No
Vert.
diffusion
No
No
Yes**
No
Yes
Yes
Initial
concentrations*
Lean
Rich
Rich
Lean, elliptical
cloud
Lean, elliptical
cloud
Rich, elliptical
Sources
No
No
No
No
No
No
Remarks



Initial cloi
shown in Fii
Flow field .
initial cloi
shown in Fi>
Yes
No
No
                                               cloud
Clean
Yes     Sources and
        flow field are
        shown in Fig.
*   "lean" and "rich" concentrations are defined in  Table 2-1.   "Clean" indicates
    negligible concentrations of all species.

**  In this experiment clean fluid is mixed with the contents  of the simulated
    batch reactor to approximate the vertical  diffusion  process.
                                       10

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Table 1-3.  Summary of the results of each of the model  tests described
            in Table 1-2.
Case     Algorithms Tested
                                       Results
1A
Chemical kinetics
IB
2A
Chemical  kinetics
and vertical  flux
jointly

Transport and chemical
kinetics  jointly
2B
Transport, chemical
kinetics and vertical
flux jointly
Model predictions identical to true solutions
for all 23 species over a 48-hour simulation.
A modified version of the chemical kinetics
algorithm, called the variable FRAX algorithm,
which is designed for increased execution speed
yields concentrations that are within 5% of
the true values for all species over the
48-hour simulation.

Error levels same as in 1A.
Percentage errors in simulated peak concentra-
tion in advected clouds:
                                  Species
                                              Travel  time (hrs)

CO
NO
03
N02
Olefin
4
-10
nil
-7
nil
-8
8
-10
+2
-7
nil
-8
16
-12
nil
-8
nil
-18
24
-13
-
-8
nil
36
-15
_
T
_
48
-15
-
-6
""
                                  Notes:  Negative value indicates model  under-
                                  estimates true value; - indicates species
                                  concentration negligible.
Percentage errors in simulated peak concentra-
tion in advected clouds:
                                  Species
                                              Travel  time (hrs)

CO
NO
03
N02*
Olefin
4
-8
nil
-
nil
-7
8
-9
+8
-9
nil
-7
16
-8
+2
-8
nil
-
24
-8
-
-9
nil
-
36
-8
nil
-4
nil
-
48
-8
_
nil
nil
-
                                  * No2 underestimated by  10% at  hour 8 when
                                    extreme NOX and HC concentrations simulated
                                    (see Figure 3-6(d)).

                                  Notes: Negative  error indicates underprediction;
                                         - indicates concentration negligible.
                                     11

-------
Table 1-3.  Continued.

Case     Algorithms Tested
            Results
3A Chemical kinetics and Percentage errors in predicted center! ine
inhomogeneous transport concentration of
jointly (equations with various
continuous sources)
Species


CO


03


N02


Olefin


PAN


widths.

Travel
(hrs

7
34
52
13
25
34
7
12
18
3
7
12
7
13
20
plumes from


time
) units
5
-7
-12
-14
-4
-3
-4
-5
nil
nil
-4
nil
nil
-5
-10
-4
sources of


Source
=gri d
3
-17
-18
not
-13
-9
-6
-15
-14
nil
-12
-10
nil
-8
-23
-10


Width
cell dimens
2
-22
-25
available
-14
-11
-12
-15
-20
nil
-12
-15
-20
-6
-21
-12
         Same as above but with
         compound sources
Note:  Negative error signifies underpre-
diction.

Percentage errors in predicted peak con-
centration following passage of a plume
from a source over a second source.
(First plume is three grid cells wide and
crosses second source after a travel time
of 40 hrs.)

Species   Travel  time from     error (%)
          second source (hrs)
CO
4
8
-28
-26
                                                     4
                                                     8
                                 -11
                                 -11
                                    See Section 4 for further details.
                                     12

-------
                                 SECTION 2
Case 1A: Chemistry Without Transport or Sources
     In this test we simulate the concentrations of 23 chemical species in
a batch reactor over a 48 hour period.  The objective is to evaluate the
performance of the algorithm that we developed in Part 1, Section 9, for
solving the chemical kinetics portion of the regional model's governing
equations.

     The chemical kinetics are described by a system of nonlinear, ordinary
differential equations of the form
          aYa     I    i
          —  =  Z    Z  k ,, Y  Y                          (2-1)
          at     1-1  j-i  a1J  1  J
where YCC denotes the concentration of species a ; I is the total  number of
species present; and ka-jj is the rate constant of the reaction that
involves production of species a from species i and j, or destruction of
species a through its decomposition or its interaction with another species.
Eq. 2-1 describes concentrations in a chemical reactor where transport and
diffusion processes are insignificant.  Hence, it is identical in form to
the chemical kinetics portion of the regional model equations (cf Part 1,
Eq. 9-24).  Our interest here is in determining how well the solutions of
the numerical analogue of (2-1) that we formulated in Part 1, Section 9 for
use in the regional model compare with the exact solutions of (2-1).
Although the analytic forms of these solutions are not known, we can obtain
virtually exact approximations of them for any values of t using the numerical
technique developed originally by Gear (1971).  In the test problems that
                                     13

-------
we consider here, we will  regard the the approximate solutions  of (2-1)
derived from the Gear routine to be the exact  solutions,  and it is against
these results that we will  assess the accuracy of the solution  algorithm
that we use in the regional  model.
     At this point one might wonder why we bothered  to develop  a new technique
for solving (2-1) when an  accurate method already exists.   The  answer is
that the Gear technique requires too much computer time and memory to make
it practicable in the regional  model, or any model of multicell  dimensions.
We have found in preliminary tests of the regional model  that the computer
time required to solve the  chemical kinetics portion of the governing
equations is 20 to 50 times  larger than that required to  solve  the transport,
diffusion and vertical mixing portions of the  equations combined.  This  was
a surprising finding, especially since the transport terms  are  represented
by a 5-th order differencing scheme which requires considerably more computer
time than conventional lower order approximations.  Thus, the overall
efficiency of the regional  model code is determined  nearly  exclusively by
the efficiency of the chemical  kinetics solver, rather than the numerical
schemes used for the transport and diffusion processes.
     If the Gear method were used to handle the chemical  kinetics portion
of the regional model 's equations, which encompass some 7500 grid cells,
a 24 hour simulation would  require about 1 week of CPU time on  a VAX 11/780
computer.  Using the numerical  algorithm that  we developed  for  handling  the
kinetics (i.e., Eq. 2-1),  the same simulation  would  require 10-50 hours  of
CPU time depending on the  accuracy one requires.  Our scheme was developed
under the constraint of achieving maximum efficiency.  Our  task now is to
determine how much accuracy we have sacrificed for computational speed.
                                     14

-------
     As we noted earlier, out tests consist of two, 48-hour batch reactor
simulations.  In one test which we shall call case 1A.L, the reactor is
initialized with a "lean" mix of NOX and hydrocarbons that produces ozone
concentrations near the current national air quality standard, namely 120
ppb, after one simulated day.  This particular test will give an indication
of how well the numerical algorithm can be expected to perform in "typical"
simulations.
     The second test, Case 1A.R, begins with a "rich" mixture of NOX and
hydrocarbons that produces ozone levels of the order of 550 ppb — a value
more than double the highest hourly ozone concentrations normally observed
in the Northeastern United States.  The performance of the algorithm in
this extreme situation will give an indication of whether the accuracy of
the algorithm is sensitive to variations in the species concentrations.
     The initial concentration values used for each of the 23 species in
cases 1A.1 and 1A.R are listed in Table 2-1.  In both cases the simulated
reactor is irradiated with sunlight.  The amplitude of the radiation varies
in a diurnal manner such that the three photolytic rate coefficients k]_, kj
and k23 acquire the magnitudes shown graphically in Figure 2-1.  Note that
the initial instant t = 0 in the reactor corresponds to midnight in the time
frame of the sunlight variations.
     Results of the two test simulations 1A.L and 1A.R are plotted in Figure
2-2a,...w on pages 22 through 44.  The curves labeled "chemistry" represent
the solutions generated by our numerical algorithm and those labeled "Gear"
are the solutions produced by the Gear routine, which we regard as the
exact solutions.  The results show that the solutions of chemical kinetics
                                     15

-------
Table 2-1.  Initial  concentrations of each chemical  species in the
            batch reactor simulations 1A.L and 1A.R.
Species
NO
N02
°3
OLE
PAR
ALD
ARO
CO
HN02
HN03
PAN
RN03
H202
0
N03
HO
H02
H04N
RO
R02
R20
R102
R202

(Rich Mixture)
Case 1A.R
(PPM)
0.119
3.91 x ID"2
1.0 x 10-14
7.80 x lO-2
9.39 x lO-2
9.71 x 10-2
3.01 x 10-2
1.62
1.0 x 10~14
1.0 x ID"14
1.0 x 10-1*
9.42 x 10-13
1.0 x 10~6
1.0 x lO"12
1.0 x 10"14
8.09 x 10-!3
1.0 x 10"14
1.52 x 10~13
1.0 x 10-12
1.0 x 10-14
1.0 x 10-12
2.21 x 10-13
4.05 x 10~13
16
(Lean Mixture)
Case 1A.L
(PPM)
2.66 x 10-5
7.69 x 10'3
7.64 x 10"2
1.56 x 10-3
9.37 x 10-3
1.06 x 10-2
7.80 x 10-4
3.33 x 10-1
6.60 x 10'5
3.62 x ID'2
3.01 x 10-4
4.40 x lO'5
5.53 x 10'5
1.57 x 10-13
8.84 x lO'5
7.24 x 10-9
9.27 x 10-6
1.76 x 10-4
3.42 x 10-9
1.74 x 10-5
5.16 x 10-11
2.23 x 10-6
5.97 x lO'7


-------
                       8     10    12     14     IS    18    20    22
                               HOUR
Figure 2-1.
Temporal  variations  in the magnitudes of the photolytic
rate constants  ki, ky and kgs used in both reactor
simulations  1A.L  and 1A.R (and in all other experiments
presented in this report).
                                    17

-------
equations (2-1) given by the ROM. (regional  oxidant model)  algorithm are
virtually identical  to the exact solutions  for all 23 species, over the
entire 48-hour duration of the simulation,  in both test cases 1A.L and 1A.R.
     We conducted a  third test, IB, in which the contents  of the simulated
reactor in case 1A.R were instantaneously mixed with  an equal volume of
clean air at hour 12.  Shocking the system  in this way would reveal whether
the accuracy of the  chemistry algorithm is  sensitive  to the action of
external agents, such as turbulent mixing;  and it would drive the species
concentration into a third regime, intermediate between that of cases 1A.L
and 1A.R, which would reveal further information on the sensitivity of the
algorithm's accuracy to species concentrations.  The  results of this test
were also identical  to the corresponding solutions derived from the Gear
routine.  (For brevity we will not display  the results of  this test.)
     We conclude from the three batch reactor tests that the algorithm that
we developed to handle the chemical kinetics portion  of the regional oxidant
model is highly accurate over the  entire range of pollutant concentrations
of concern to us in  applied studies.  Moreover, its accuracy is unaffected
by external agents such as turbulent mixing, source emissions or other
processes that alter species concentrations.  Our tests also showed that
computationally the  algorithm is quite efficient.  The computer times
required for each of the tests are summarized in Table 2-2.

    Table 2-2.  Summary of the computer CPU times (VAX 11/780) required
                by the ROM and Gear algorithms to perform  the 48-hour
                simulations for studies 1A.L and 1A.R.
                                            Case
Algorithm
ROM
Gear
1A.L
59.6 (sec)
355.6
1A.R
129.1
409.2
                                     18

-------
     One reason that the Gear times are so large is that at the beginning



of each simulated period this routine computes initial estimates of time



derivatives of various orders for each species.  In the regional model  the



period of each chemistry simulation is only 5 minutes between reinitializa-



tions, because vertical exchange processes must be allowed to operate on the



concentrations in each of the model's three layers at least this often.



Therefore, in the ROM environment, the Gear routine's initialization require-



ments create a large computational overhead.





     One might argue that the level of precision exhibited by the ROM chemistry



algorithm is unnecessarily high because errors exist in both the physics



and hypotheses portions of the model and in all the input data.  In view of



this it would be practicable to sacrifice some of the algorithm's accuracy



for a further increase in computation speed.  This trade-off can be achieved



easily by increasing the parameter x that controls the algorithm's integration



time step size (see page 192 of Part 1).  In the batch reactor simulations



1A.L and 1A.R performed above, \ had the value 0.001.  If we increase it by



a factor of 10 to \ =0.01, the execution time requirements drop from 59.6 sec



to 35.4 sec for case 1A.L, and from 129.1 to 43 sec for case 1A.R.  The



accuracy penalty that is paid for this increase in speed can be seen in



Figure 2.3a-f, pages 45-50, where we have plotted a few of the best and a few



of the worst results obtained for both cases 1A.L and 1A.R using x = .01.  In



the case of 1A.L, which represents concentrations typical of those that we



would encounter in actual applications, the errors in the predicted concentra-



tions are no larger than 10% for any of the 23 species.  In fact for most of



the species, including all those not shown, the largest error is only a few





                                     19

-------
percent over the entire 48-hour simulations.   However,  as  the bottom panels



of Figure 2-3 reveal, performance in Case 1A.R is  significantly poorer.   In



the case of ozone, the predicted concentration is  over  50% too high on the



second day of the simulation and for some of  the other  species, such as



shown in Figure 2-3f, the errors are still  larger.  Although  Case 1A.R



represents conditions much more severe than any that we are likely to



encounter in applications, the magnitude of the errors  revealed in this  case



show an enhanced sensitivity of the numerical  algorithm's  accuracy to



species concentration when the control parameter \ has  the value .01.



Therefore, in order to realize a high speed algorithm that would not



systematically generate larger errrors in regions  where concentrations are



high, one of our colleagues, Kenneth Schere,  developed  a modified version



of the kinetics algorithm in which the parameter \ has  a nominal  value of



.01 but switches to the smaller value .001  wherever the magnitude of the



local time rate of change of NO concentration exceeds a given value: 0.5%



sec'*.  It turns out that the temporal behavior of NO is a good indicator



of conditions in which the accuracy of the  algorithm is critical.  We call



this modified algorithm the variable FRAX or  variable \ algorithm.  Figures



2-4(a)-(f), pages 51-56, show results of new  model runs for cases 1A.L and



1A.R for the same species plotted in Figure 2-3(a)-(f). The  results are



greatly improved and are considered by us to  be of sufficiently high quality



to justify use of the variable FRAX algorithm in all applications of the



regional oxidant model (ROM).  (All results presented in this report utilize



the \ =.001 version.)  Table 2-3 compares the computer  time requirements of



the Gear and the variable FRAX algorithms for the  two,  48-hour simulations,



Case 1A.L and 1A.R.





                                     20

-------
     Table 2-3.  Comparison of computer times (VAX 11/780)  required by the
                 variable FRAX and Gear algorithms to perform the 48-hour
                 batch reactor simulations for studies 1A.L and 1A.R.
Algorithm
ROM (variable FRAX)
Gear
1A.L
40.1
355.6
Case
(sec)
1A.R
98.0
409.2
     In conclusion, the tests that we have presented here show that the
algorithm that we use in the regional model  to solve the chemical  kinetics
portion of the governing equations produces  solutions with negligible errors
in a computation time only 1/3 to 1/6 that required by the highly  accurate
Gear method.  And it provides solutions with accuracies commensurate with
the error levels in other parts of the model and in the input  data in a
computation time 1/10 that required by the Gear routine.
                                     21

-------
            HEM : 001
                                     IA.L
        4   8   12   16   20   2+   4    B    12   16   20   24
           CHEM :001

           GEAR
                                      IA.R
                    16   20
               DAY 1
                          12

                        DAY 2
                                              16
                                                  20
                                                      24
                  TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(a).
Results of NO concentration  in  batch  reactor
simulations IA.L (top)  and  IA.R (bottom).
                               22

-------
           CHOI : 001

           GEAR
                                     IA.L
             8   12   18  20   24
                  TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 2-2(b).  Same as 2-2(a) but  for  N02.  Case IA.L (top),
               1A.R (bottom).
                              23

-------
      o

      X
      Q.   -
      Q_
      UJ
      O
      z
      a
      o
 CHEM :001

 GEAR
                            IA.L
              4   8   12   16   20   24   4    8   12   16   20   24
                                            IA.R
                  8    12   18   20   24
                                               12   16   20   24
                    DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 2-2(c).
Results for ozone  in  batch  reactor  simulations  IA.L  (top)

and IA.R (bottom).
                                     24

-------
                 CHEM : 001

                 GEAR
                                           IA.L
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  2-2(d).
Results  for  olefin in batch reactor  simulations IA.L (top)
and 1A.R (bottom).
                                    25

-------
                 CHOI : 001
                                           IA.L
              4   8   12   16   20   24    4    3    12   16
                        TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(e).
Results for  paraffin in batch reactor  simulations IA.L (top)
and 1A.R (bottom).
                                    26

-------
CM

O
       Q.   -
       Q.
       g
       §  1
       UJ
       O
       Z
       O
       O
      ^  2|

      O

      X
      Q_
      CL
      O
      UJ
      o
      -z.
      o
      o
                  CHEU : 001

                  GEAR
                                             IA.L
                       12   16
                               20
               : 001
                                      IA.R
           • ' ' ' '  ' ' ' ' '
                   8    12   16   20

                     DAY 1
                                   24
                                         • i • ' •  • •
                        TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
                                                 12   16   20    24
                                          12   16    20   24

                                         DAY 2
Figure 2-2(f).  Results for aldehyde in batch reactor simulations IA.L (top)
                and IA.R (bottom).
                                     27

-------
                 CHEW.: 001

                 GEAR
                                           IA.L
                                           8   12   16   20   24
                    DAY 1
                                             DAY 2
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(g).
Results for aromatic  in batch reactor simulations IA.L (top)
and 1A.R (bottom).
                                    28

-------
      o
      X  f
      8:
      tr
      LU
      o
      I'
      o
      o
 CHEM : 001
 GEAR
IA.L
     CL
     Q_
     O
     !<
     UJ
     O
     Z
     O
     o
     o
     o
                     12
                         16
                             20
                                  24
                                          8   12   16   20   24
                 CHEM :
                            IA.R
                         16
                   DAY 1
                              12
                             DAY 2
                                                     20
                                                          24
                      TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-2(h).
Results  for  CO in batch reactor  simulations IA.L (top)
and IA.R (bottom).
                                   29

-------
                 CHEM : 001

                 GEAR
                                           IA.L
                    DAY 1
                                             DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(1).
Results  for  nitrous acid in batch reactor  simulations
IA.L (top) and  1A.R (bottom).
                                    30

-------
      CM
      o

      X
      O  3E-
      Ld 2E-
      O
      -z.
      o
      o
      o
      z
      X
                                            IA.L
      O
      v—

      X
      Q_
      Q_
      LJ
      o
      z:
      o
      o

      ro
      O
      ^.
      X
  8   12





 CHEU :001

 GEAR
                                   24
                                                12    18
IA.R
          i i  i i f 1^1 i t t i
                                                         20
                  8   12   16   20   24

                    DAY 1
                                12  ~Te   20   ~ST

                              DAY 2
                        TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(j).
Results for nitric acid in batch reactor simulations

IA.L (top) and IA.R (bottom).
                                     31

-------
       CM
       o
       Q_
       Q.
       o  3r
       fe
       o:
       LU
       o
       a
       o
       <
       Q_
          1-
                  CHEM : 001

                  GEAR
                                             IA.L
                                    24
                                             3   12   16   20   24
                                             IA.R
                       12

                     DAY 1
                           16
                               20
                                   24
 12

DAY 2
      16
                         TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
          20
              24
Figure 2-2(k).   Results  for PAN in batch reactor simulations IA.L (top)
                and  IA.R (bottom).
                                    32

-------
      O

      X
      CL
      Q-  t
  CHEM : 001

 -S&W	
                             IA.L
         2-
      iLi
      O
      z
      O
      O

      rO
      O
      z
      tr
      (O
      O


      X
      CL
      a.
      o
      tr *:
      UJ
      o
      •ZL
      O
      o

      rO
      O
         nf.' • ...i..•.. i i. 11 11  • 11 111 • 11 111111.1 111 111  i • 111 • 1111 111
         u     4    8   12   16   20   24    4    8   12    16   20   24
      01
                                              IA.R
               4    8   12   16   20   24    4    8   \2   16    20   24
                     DAY 1
                               DAY 2
                         TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(1).
Results for alkyl nitrate  in batch  reactor  simulations
IA.L (top) and IA.R  (bottom).
                                      33

-------
        10r-
                                          IA.L
                          IS  20   24   4    8   12   15   20   24
                    DAY 1
                                             DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-2(m).   Results for hydrogen peroxide  in batch reactor simulations
                IA.L  (top) and 1A.R (bottom).
                                    34

-------
      o
                 CHEW : 001

                 GEAR
                                           IA.L
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-2(n).
Results  for atomic oxygen in batch  reactor simulations
IA.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom).
                                    35

-------
                                            IA.L
                         16   20   24   4   3   12   16   20   24
                 8    12   16   20   24    4    8   12   16   20   24
                   DAY 1
                                            DAY 2
                      TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(o).
Results for nitrate  in batch reactor simulations
IA.L (top)  and 1A.R  (bottom).
                                    36

-------
                                           IA.L
                   a   12    16   20   24
                                               12   18   20   24
                     DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                        TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  2-2(p).
Results  for  hydroxyl radical in batch reactor simulations
IA.L (top) and  1A.R  (bottom).
                                    37

-------
      o

      X
      Q_
      Q.
      o
      £

      I
      Ld
      O
      z:
      o
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      8:  ^
      O


      fe
      DC.
      Ld
      o ,t

      O
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            CHEM : 001

            GEAR
                   8   12   16   20
                  CHEM : 001

                  GEAR
                                       IA.L
                                            '.••'•.. i ... i .. , i
                                            8   12 "  16   20   24
                                             IA.R
                   8   12    16   20   2+    4    8   12   16
                     PAY 1
                                               DAY 2
                                                             24
                        TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(q).
          Results  for pernltric  acid in  batch  reactor simulations
          IA.L (top)  and IA.R (bottom).
                                     38

-------
                                           IA.L
                    DAY 1
                            8   12   16   20   24

                              DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-2(r).
Results  for hydroperoxyl radical  in  batch reactor simulations
IA.L (top) and  1A.R (bottom).
                                    39

-------
      o
      X
      O
      LU
      O
      O
  CHEH : 001

  GEAR
                                           IA.L
              *    3    12   16   20   24    4    8	12   16   20
                    DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 2-2(s).
Results  for alkoxyl  radical  in batch reactor simulations
IA.L (top)  and  1A.R  (bottom).
                                    40

-------
                  CHEM : 001
                  GEAR
                             1A.L
             1 • I 1 1 1 I 1 I 1. I 1 I I  I. 1 I I I • I I I I 1 1 I I  I I I I 1 I I I
               *    8   12   16   20   24-   4    g    12
               4    8   12   16   20    24   4    8   12   16   20   2+
                     DAY 1
                               DAY 2
                         TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(t).
Results for alkylperoxyl  radical  in batch reactor simulations
1A.L (top) and 1A.R (bottom).
                                     41

-------
      r:  6
      o
      x
      Q_
      0.
      O
         5-
         4-
                  CHEM : 001


                  GEAR
                            IA.L
                     DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                        TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(u).
Results  for alkoxy  radical in batch reactor simulations

IA.L (top)  and  1A.R (bottom).
                                    42

-------
                                            IA.L
                   8   12    16   20   24
      O
      T—

      X
      Q_
      Q_
      O
  CHEM : 001

  GEAR
                                            IA.R
                                                       20   24-
                     DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                        TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(v).
Results  for  peroxyacyl radical in batch  reactor simulations
IA.L (top) and  IA.R  (bottom).
                                    43

-------
      O

      X
      Q_
      Q_
  CHEW :001

  GEAR
                                           1A.L
                    DAY 1
                                             DAY 2
                                                           24
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-2(w).
Results  for  peroxy  radical in batch reactor simulations
1A.L (top) and  1A.R  (bottom).
                                    44

-------
 O
 X
 a.
 a.
 z:
 cr
 LU
 O
 'Z.
 O
 O
    1-
            CHEM :01
            GEAR
                       IA.L
                 (RELAXED
         4    8   12   IB   20   24    4    8   12   16   20   24
                       IA.R
                 (RELAXED
                 1 1 1 I t 1 •
 12
DAY 1
                    16
                                        12
                                            IS   20
                                       DAY 2
                  TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(a).
Results  of NO concentration in batch  reactor simulations
IA.L and IA.R using a  value of .01 for the control
parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.   (Results  shown
in Fig.  2-2(a) use X =.001.)

-------
             CHEM : Ot

             GEAR
                        1A.L
                  (RELAXED
CONCEN
ro d
1 '
C^ 2
O
><
Q.
QL
t\
x__
4 8 12 16 20 24
' 	 CHEM : 01
	 GEAR
-

   LU
   O
   z
   o
   o

   c\i
   O
                                         12   16   20
                                      IA.R
                                (RELAXED
                  12

                DAY 1
                      16   20
                           12

                         DAY 2
                                             16
                                       24-
                   TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(b).
Results of N02 concentration in batch reactor  simulations
1A.L  and IA.R using a value of  .01 for the control
parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)
                               46

-------
   _  2f-

   O
   Q_
   CL
   o  •
   o:
   UJ
   o
   2
   O
   O
CHOI :Q1

GEAR
     IA.L
(RELAXED  A)
                          I , . i I i . . I . . i i i i . I f . , I , , . I , , . I
                  12
                      18
                          20   24   4   8   12  16  20   24
                                           IA.R

                                     (RELAXED
                                                     24
                 DAY 1
                                        DAY 2
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(c).   Results of 63 concentration in batch  reactor simulations
               IA.L and IA.R using a value of ,01 for the control
               parameter X in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
               in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)
                              47

-------
  CM

  o

  X
  Q_

  0.
  < 1
  o:
  LJ
  o
  z
  o
  o
CHEW :01


GEAR
      IA.L

CRELAXED  A)
                                  1 1 I I 1 1 '
          4   8   12   16   20   24   4   8   12  16  20   24
                                     IA.R

                                (RELAXED A)
          4    I   12   16   20   24   4   8   12   16   20   24
                DAY 1
                           DAY 2
                   TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(d).
  Results of aldehyde concentration in batch reactor

  simulations IA.L and IA.R using a value  of .01 for the

  control parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results

  shown  in Fig.  2-2(a) use \ =.001.)
                              48

-------
O

X
   Q_
   Q.
   UJ
   O
   -z.
   O
   O
              CHEW : 01

              GEAR
                         IA.L

                    (RELAXED
               8   12   16   20   24
                                      3   12   18  20   24
                                       IA.R

                                 (RELAXED
                                                      24
                 DAY 1
                          DAY 2
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(e).
Results of PAN  concentration  in batch reactor simulations
IA.L  and IA.R using a value of .01 for the  control
parameter \ in the numerical algorithm.  (Results shown
in Fig. 2-2(a) use \ =.001.)
                              49

-------
             CHEM : 01

             GEAR
                      IA.L
                 (RELAXED
             CHEM : 01

             GEAR
                       IA.R
                  (RELAXED
                   TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-3(f).
Results of alkylperoxyl  concentration  in batch reactor
simulations IA.L and IA.R using a value of .01 for  the
control parameter x in the numerical  algorithm.  (Results
shown  in Fig. 2-2(a) use X =.001.)
                              50

-------
                                         IA.L
                                   (VARIABLE
            -pi , , | , . , i , . , I ,  , ,\i , , , i , , , I , ,X"TT, i I , . , 77>^l ...I,
             4   8   12   16   20   24    4    3   12   16   20   24
     _  2|
     O
     Q_
     CL
 CHEMISTRY

 GEAR
                                         IA.R
                                   (VARIABLE  A)
                    12

                   DAY 1
                              12

                            DAY 2
                      TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-4(a).
Results  of NO concentration
IA.L and IA.R obtained  with
that varies the parameter \
speed and minimum error.
in the  batch reactor simulations
the modified numerical  algorithm
temporally to effect maximum
                                 51

-------
               CHDdlSTBY

               G8W
                         IA.L
                   (VARIABLE  A)
    Q_
    Q_
                                           12  16
                                                  20
               CHEMISTRY

               GEAR
                          IA.R
                    (VARIABLE  A)
                               24
                  DAY 1
                            12

                           DAY 2
                                                       24
                     TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-4(b).
Results of N02 concentration in the batch reactor simulations
IA.L and 1A.R obtained with the modified numerical  algorithm
that varies the parameter \ temporally to effect maximum
speed and minimum error.
                                52

-------
    O

    X
    o.  _
    a.
    o
 CHEM1STOY

 GEAR
      IA.L
(VARIABLE  A)
                                       IA.R
                                 (VARIABLE  A)
                  DAY 1
                                         DAY 2
                     TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-4(c).
Results of 03 concentration in the batch reactor simulations
IA.L  and IA.R obtained  with the modified numerical  algorithm
that  varies the parameter \ temporally to effect maximum
speed and minimum error.
                               53

-------
    CM

    O

    X
    Q_
    D_
       2r-
    LU
    O
    z
    O
    O
CHEMISTRY

GEAR
      IA.L
(VARIABLE  A)
                8   12
                        16
                           20
                               24
                                        9  12  18  20
                                                       24
                                        IA.R

                                  (VARIABLE
        r-iLl 1 1 1 I I I I I
                    12

                   DAY 1
                            20
                                24
                             12

                            DAY 2
                                                18
                                                        24
                      TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-4(d).
Results of aldehyde  concentration  in the batch reactor
simulations IA.L and IA.R obtained with the modified
numerical algorithm  that varies the parameter X temporally
to effect maximum speed and minimum error.
                                 54

-------
              CHEMISTRY

              GEAR
                        IA.L
                  (VARIABLE  A)
                                      IA.R
                                 (VARIABLE  A)
                   12

                 DAY 1
                            12

                          DAY 2
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 2-4(e).
Results of PAN concentration in the batch  reactor simula-
tions  IA.L and IA.R obtained with the modified numerical
algorithm that varies the parameter x temporally to effect
maximum speed and minimum error.
                               55

-------
    m
    O
    Q.
    D_
    Ld
    O
    O

    CN
    O
    an
               CHEMISTRY

               GEAR
                          IA.L
                   (VARIABLE
            i , , , i , , , i , , i i , , , i , , , I , , , ! , , , i , , , i , , , i , , , i rr~,
                8  12  16  20  24
                                        S    12   16  20  24
                                        IA.R
                                  (VARIABLE
                                        3   12   16   20   2+
                   DAY 1
                            DAY 2
                      TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  2-4(f).
Results of alkylperoxyl concentration  in the batch reactor
simulations IA.L and  IA.R obtained with the modified numerical
algorithm that varies  the parameter \  temporally to effect
maximum speed and minimum error.
                                 56

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                                 SECTION 3


Case 2A:  Chemistry with transport

     In the previous experiments, 1A.L and 1A.R, we examined the performance

of the algorithm that solves only the chemical  kinetics portion of the

regional model equations.  In experiment 2A we  will advance one step in

complexity and look at how the algorithm that handles the kinetics and the

algorithm that handles the transport perform when they are coupled together.

In particular, we will consider a combined transport/chemistry problem

characterized by

           Sca      3ca      dca      I   I
           —  + u ...  + v —   *  z   z  kaijcicj           (3'1)
           &t       dx        e>y     i=l j=l

where (u, v) is the horizontal wind described by given functions u(x,y,t)

and v(x,y,t) of space and time.  Eq. 3-1 is the form that the regional

model's equations acquire when the horizontal eddy diffusivity K^ and the

flux parameters that link the three layers of the model vertically are set

to zero.

     The exact solutions of (3-1) can be expressed in terms of the solutions

of Eq.  2-1, which we evaluated numerically in the previous experiment,  by

performing the following transformations of the space coordinates (x,y):

                          t
           5 = x - x0 -  / utx'.y'.t'Jdt1  = x - x0(t)               (3-2)
                         to
                          t
           n = y - y0 -  J v(x',y',tl)dtl  = y - y0(t)               (3-3)
                         to
                                     57

-------
where (x0,y0) is an arbitrary  point  and  (x',y')  is the the point  (x,y) where


(£»n) = (o»o) at time t1.   That  is,  x' = x0(t'), y'  = y0(t');  and

(XQ> yo) is the origin in  (x,y)  space  of the  (S.n) coordinate  system.



     Making use of the chain  rule  of differentiation, namely




          at   at  at   at  as    at  an


          a    as  a    an  a                                ,
          - = -  -  + -  -                                (3-5)
          ax   ax  as   ax  an


          a    as  a    an  a

          ay   ay  as   ay  an



We can express (3-1) in the form




         —  + (— -i- u —  + v  —)   —  + (—  + u —   + v  —)  —   =
         at      at     ax      ay    as     at      ax      ay   an



                                           I     I
                                           2     2  ka1jcjcj      (3-7)
                                          i=l j=l



After evaluating the derivatives of  S  and  n   that appear in this  equation

(using 3-1 and 3-3), we get
          aca
                 [. u(x0,y0,t)  + u(5  + x0,  n  + y0,  t)]  —
          at                                           a^
                                                                  (3-8)
                                                      aca
                  - v(x0,y0,t)  + v(i  + x0,  n  + y0»t)]  —   =
                                 I     I

                                 E

                                1=1
.I,kaijcicj
where the concentrations are evaluated  at  (z,  + x0,  n  + y0)  in  (x,y)  space.



                                     58

-------
We see at once from (3-8) that at the origin of the ( £, n) coordinate
system, which is the moving point (x0 (t), y0(t)) in (x,y) space, the
solution of (3-1) is just the solution of the batch reactor equation (2-1)
that we considered earlier.  This equivalence would not exist were the
horizontal diffusivity KH nonzero.
     Thus, along any fluid particle trajectory, i.e., along any space-time
path [x0(t), y0(t),t] described by (3-2,3) for given initial point (x0,y0),
we can obtain the solution of (3-1) with the same precision that we
found solutions of (2-1) in the previous experiments.  And we can compare
these solutions with those given by the transport/chemistry portion of the
regional model along the same paths to assess the joint accuracy of the
algorithms used in the model to describe these two processes.
     The problem that we will consider in this experiment is that of an
ellipsoidal-shaped cloud of chemical  species transported by a stationary
flow field whose velocity components (u,v) at any point (x,y) are given by

          u = (y - y0)w                                      (3-9a)
          v = -(x - x0)w                                     (3-9b)
where 
-------
significant sources of error that are not  activated  unless  the transported
field, in this case the species  concentrations,  deviates  from forms that
possess axial  symmetry.  We want to excite all possible sources of error in
the transport  algorithm so that  we can see whether the disturbances that
these sources "create are amplified by the  kinetics.   Since  we found in  the
first experiment that the errors generated by  the  kinetics  algorithm are
negligible when \ = 0.001, we will use this value  in the  present experiments.
It follows that any errors that  arise in the joint simulation of transport
and chemistry  have their origin  in the transport algorithm.   One of our
main interests here is to see whether the  chemical kinetics  amplify errors
generated by the transport algorithm and  if so whether the  coupling between
the kinetics and transport processes provides  enough positive feedback  for
errors to grow unboundedly.
     The initial concentration of species  a (= 1,...23) at  grid point (I,J)
in the test cloud will be taken  to be

          ca(I,J,t0) = f(I,J)Ca(t0)                      (3-10)
where Ca(t0) is the concentration of species a at  the center of the cloud
at the initial instant t0, and f is a fraction such  that  0  < f < 1.  The cloud
center concentrations Ca are the "lean mixture"  values listed in Table  2.1,
page 16.  Figure 3-1 shows the initial concentration distribution of CO in
the cloud at the initial instant t0.  In this  experiment  the flow field remains
steady and the cloud is transported for a  simulated  period  of 48 hours.
During this time there is no vertical mixing and the photolytic rate constants
vary in the diurnal manner shown in Figure 2-1,  page 17.  Figure 3-1 also
shows the simulated distribution of CO in  the  cloud  at the  end of the
                                     60

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                               SIMULATED CO
                                IN CLOUD 2A
                                AT IMS  HOURS
                       CO IN CLOUD
                        2A AT  T» O
Figure 3-1.
Initial concentration distribution ca(I,J,t0) in the cloud
simulated in Case 2A for species a = carbon monoxide.  Also
shown is ca(I,J,t0 + 48 hr).

                61

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48-hour period.  The relative positions and orientations  of the cloud
at the beginning and end of the simulated period give an  indication of the
speed and vorticity in the flow.
     In the limited space of this report it is  not  practical  to describe
the complete spatial and temporal structure of  the  simulated  concentrations
of all 23 species.  Therefore, in the present experiment  we will  focus on
the spatial variations in the concentration error field and in the next
experiments, 2B, where we add vertical  mixing to the list "of  processes that
we simulate, we will focus on the temporal  variations.
     Spatial features are seen clearest in  plots of the concentrations
taken at points along cross-sections of the cloud.   Figure  3-2 is an example
taken from part 1, Section 9.  Shown there  are  numerical  solutions of Eq.
3-1 for the case of a single, chemically inert  species  (ka-jj  = 0) in a
rotating flow field of the form (3-9).   The circles in  Fig. 3-2 represent
the solutions obtained along the cross-section  indicated  in the upper
righthand corner of the figure at time  t = t0  + 100 At  using  the biquintic
(Q) transport algorithm that we use in  the  regional model.   The triangles
and crosses in the figure represent the corresponding solutions given by the
schemes of Zalesak (1979) (I) and Mahrer and Pielke (1978)  (S), respectively,
The exact solution is represented by the straight,  solid  lines.

     One reason for presenting this figure  is to illustrate the two types
of errors in the transport algorithm that are of primary  concern to us in
applications to chemically reactive species. The first is  the distortion
error that is most pronounced in the solutions  derived  from the I and S
                                     62

-------
                           r
                                   AX
Figure 3-2.
Comparison of simulations by 3 differencing schemes of the
advection of an ellipsoidal  cloud in a rotating flow.   Panels  a-d
display different cross-sections of the cloud (indicated by
the upper right corner of each panel) after one complete
rotation of the cloud, 100 time steps in the case of schemes
Q and S, 150 steps in the case of Z.  Notation: Q (circles)
= transport algorithm used in the ROM; S (x) = transport
scheme of Mahrer and Pielke (1978); Z(A) = transport
scheme of Zalesak (1979).

                      63

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                         r
                             1.04-   x EXACT
Figure 3-2.   Continued.
                                 64

-------
     d
Figure 3-2.  Continued.
                                65

-------
                               ^.o• -
                           r
                                .8- -
                                .6--
                  *••••*••..
                           '•*.
                                         EXACT
                                             Q
Figure  3-2.  Concluded.
                                    66

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schemes.  Since the chemical reactions are nonlinear, errors in the amplitudes



and phases of the concentration distributions can result in large errors



in the simulated chemical  reaction rates.  The second type of error is



negative concentrations.  Both the Q and S algorithms generate errors of



this type, but the Z scheme was specifically designed to eliminate them.



Obviously, negative concentrations are inadmissable in the kinetics algorithm



because they would transform decay processes into mechanisms of chemical



production, and vice-versa.  In the regional model we avoid this problem



simply by setting any negative concentrations produced by the transport



scheme to zero before they enter the kinetics algorithm.  Negative



concentrations are not generated when the background concentration is larger



than the amplitude of the  "undershoot" created by the transport scheme at



the edges of plumes where  gradients are large.  For this reason, negative



concentrations are a problem primarily with the radicals and other species-



whose background levels are normally very small.  The test simulations that



we are about to present will show whether our simple procedure for handling



negative concentrations causes adverse effects.





     Figure 3-3(a)-(e), pages 74-100, shows the simulated concentrations of



five principal species along the major and minor axes of the ellipsoidal



cloud at various instants  during the 48-hour period.  As Figure 3-1 indicates,



the cloud is transported in a direction that is about 30 degrees askew of



the minor axis.  This orientation remains constant throughout the simulation



because the cloud rotates  about its center at the same angular speed that it



moves around the center of the flow vortex.  (The distribution of vorticity



in the flow field defined  by 3-9 causes this.)
                                     67

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     Recall from the analyses presented at  the  beginning of this section
that under the conditions simulated in this problem,  the true concentration
at any point in the cloud at any time t can be  derived  from the batch

reactor equations (2-1)  treated in the previous section.  For example,  the
concentrations ca(xi,ti) of any species a at a  given  point xi in the cloud
                  r*i                                        /NJ
at time t = tj is the solution of (2-1) initialized with concentrations
ca(x0,t0).  Here t0 represents the initial  instant  in the cloud simulation
   «%/
and x0 is the point on the back trajectory  through  xj that designates the
    />*                                              cw
position at time t0 of the fluid parcel that is found at xj, at time t.  Thus
                                                         i***
cross-sections of the true concentration in a cloud can be constructed  by
solving (2-1) for each point in the cross-section.  This was the procedure
used to derive the profiles of true concentration,  labeled "chemistry"  in
Figures 3-3 through 3-5.

     Looking first at the series of CO concentration  cross-sections  shown
in Figure 3-3(a), pages  74-79, we see that  the  transport algorithm preserves
the symmetry of the cloud with a very high  degree of  fidelity.  The  only

distortions are smoothings of the cloud's sharp peak  and edges.  Within the
first four hours of travel, the peak concentration  in the cloud drops
quickly to a value IQ% lower than the true  value.  However, during the
remainder of the 48-hour travel period, the error in  the predicted peak
concentration grows at an average rate of only  2.5% per day.  At the end of
the two day simulation,  the peak concentration  in the cloud is about 15%

low, which is well within the level of accuracy that  we expect of the data
that are used as inputs  during model applications.
                                     68

-------
     At the edges of the cloud the transport algorithm causes the



simulated concentrations to undershoot the background values by an amount



that is proportional to the concentration gradient at the cloud edge.  This



is evident in the fact that the undershoot along the cloud's minor axis is



somewhat larger than that along the major axis.  The worse values are only



a few percent of the cloud's center concentration.  An important aspect of



the cloud edge error is that neither its amplitude nor its spatial extent



increases with time.  It is also noteworthy that the error is symmetrically



distributed about the cloud.



     The corresponding cross-sections of NO concentration are displayed in



Figure 3-3(b), pages 80-84.  To facilitate comparison of the relative



errors from one travel time to another, we have used the same scale for the



ordinate of each of the NO concentration plots.  The sequence of NO concen-



tration profiles shown in Figure 3-3(b) illustrates some of the unusual



phenomena created by the nonlinear chemical processes that are possible



sources of serious errors in the transport simulation.  We see first that



following the initial hour 0000, day 215, the NO concentrations decrease



until  at hour 0400, day 215, the peak concentration has fallen to a value



only one quarter its original  value.  By 0800, day 215, which is 2 hours



after sunrise, the NO concentrations have increased abruptly to levels ten



times the initial ones; and the distribution of concentration within the



cloud has changed from its initial pyramid form to a tooth-shaped pattern



with a concentration deficit at the center of the cloud and a ridge of high



concentrations surrounding the center.  The Figure shows that the transport



algorithm captures the true shape of the cloud quite well.  The largest



error is at the cloud center where the model overpredicts the true concen-



tration by about 10%.



                                     69

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     From the standpoint of the transport algorithm,  the  most significant
aspects of the change in the cloud's  shape is  the  intensification  of
concentration gradients around the cloud's edge.   We  saw  earlier that the
magnitude of the concentration undershoot just outside  the  cloud is
proportional to the concentration gradient at  the  cloud's edge.   It  is not
surprising then that the errors in the simulated NO concentrations just
outside the cloud are larger than those produced in the simulation of CO.
Figure 3-3(b), page 82, shows that at hour 0800, day  215, the NO undershoot
attains a maximum amplitude, coinciding with the time of  peak NO concentrations
inside the cloud.  At this point the  undershoot is about  15% the peak value
in the cloud.  An interesting aspect  of the error  field surrounding  the
cloud is the apparent absence of chemical change.   The  plots shown in
Figure 3-3(b) for hours 1200 and 1600, day 215 (pages 83  and 84),  indicate
that the magnitude of the NO undershoot remains virtually unchanged  for 8 '
hours or longer following its generation even  though  NO levels within the
cloud are declining during this entire period. By hour 1600, the  undershoot
is as large as the amplitude of the cloud itself.   However, in absolute
terms the magnitude of the undershoot is only  of the  order  of 10~5 ppm NO,
a value much too low to have significant effects on the chemistry  overall.
     This conclusion is supported by  the results of the ozone simulation
shown in Figure 3-3(c), pages 85-91.   Throughout the  simulated 48-hour
period, the model reproduces the ozone concentration  with a precision
greater than about 95% over the body  of the cloud. Subsequent to  hour
0800, day 215, when the simulated NO  achieves  the  largest undershoot at the
cloud's edges, Figure 3-3(c) shows that the ozone  cloud base begins  to
                                     70

-------
broaden until by the end of the 48-hour period it is about 1 grid cell
wider than it started out.  This is apparently a direct consequence of the
underestimated NO concentrations around the cloud's base; because the
chemical reaction NO + 03 ->• NOg + Og causes an inverse relationship between
the concentrations of NO and 03.  In any event, the fractional error in the
simulated 03 levels at the cloud base are much smaller than those that we
found in NO.
     Figures 3-3(d), pages 92-96, and 3-3(e), pages 97-100, show the simulated
N02 and olefin concentration distributions, respectively.  Both of these
species are nearly completely consumed by chemical reactions well before
the end of the 48-hour simulation.  During the time they are present, the
model reproduces their concentration distributions with the same level of
precision that it handled the other three species that we just discussed.
In the last two pages of Figure 3-3(e), which show the olefin concentration
results, we have added inserts that bring out details in the cloud cross-
sections when concentration has fallen to very low values.  The results
show that the model's accuracy remains high throughout the period of declining
concentration.
Case 2B:  Chemistry with transport and vertical mixing
     In this experiment we extend the range of testing by adding vertical
turbulent mixing to transport and chemistry.  The conditions here are the
same as in experiment 2A, except that rather than being confined to layer 1
for the duration of the 2-day simulation, the pollutant cloud is allowed to
mix virtually instantaneously with clean air in layer 2 above.  This is
                                     71

-------
done at hour 12 of the first  day  by  abruptly  changing  the  value  of the rms
vertical turbulent velocity on  the interface  between  layers  1  and  2 from
zero to a large value.  Since layer  2 is  1000 m deep  and layer 1 is only
300 m thick, mixing causes a  reduction of the concentrations of  all species
by about three-fourths.
     Two elliptical clouds of the form treated in  experiment 2A  are considered
here.   Their initial  locations and  subsequent trajectories  are  illustrated
in Figure 3-4, page 101.  The initial  concentration distribution in each cloud
has the form (3-10) (see page 57), with one cloud, which we  shall  refer to
as 2B.L, having the "lean" mix  of Ca(t0)  values at its center  (see
Table 2.1, page 14); and the  other cloud, 2B.R, having the "rich"  mix  of
Ca(t0) values listed in Table 2.1.

     Cross-sections of the predicted ozone concentration in  cloud  2B.R are-
shown at selected travel times  in Figure  3-5, pages 102-108, in  the same
format that we used in Figure 3-3.  Simulated concentrations of  CO, NO, 03,
N02, olefin, and PAN in clouds  2B.L  and 2B.R  are shown in  Figure 3-6,  7 and
8 (pages 109-126) in the form of  time histories following  three  different
points in each cloud.   One point  is  the cloud center,  one  is midway between
the center and the edge, and  the  third point  an outermost  grid point.
These points and their resultant  trajectories are  illustrated  in Figure
3-4 (page 101).  The concentrations  plotted in Figure  3-6, 7 and 8 were
obtained by interpolating the model  output at points  along each  trajectory.
And the true solutions, labeled "chemistry" in the Figures,  are  the solutions
of the batch reactor equations  (2-1) initialized with  the  cloud  species
concentrations at the starting point of each  trajectory.
                                     72

-------
     The quality of the model's performance in experiment 2B is not
significantly different from that found in experiment 2A.
     We conclude from these combined tests of the transport, chemistry and
vertical mixing algorithms that the solutions of the combined transport and
chemistry equation (3-1) produced by the model are good facsimiles of the
true solutions over the range of species concentration values that we are
likely to encounter in actual problems.  Among the species CO, 03, NO, N0£
and olefin, the largest error in the simulated concentration within the
cloud was found for CO.  In this case the peak concentration was underestimated
by about 15%.  For the other species the largest errors were between 5 and
10%.  No evidence was found of adverse effects arising from the undershooting
of concentration outside the edges of clouds, which is a characteristic of
the algorithm used to treat the advection terms in the governing equations.
The principal effect was a slight broadening of the simulated ozone cloud.

     Although our conclusions apply strictly to the rather limited conditions
that we have considered here, these tests nevertheless constitute essential
necessary conditions for model validity.  Considering the quality of the
model performance shown and the invariance of this quality over the range
of conditions that we considered, we are confident that the model  can handle
generalized flow fields, diffusion, vertical mixing and species concentrations
with comparable accuracy.  One aspect that we have not yet treated is the
ability of the model  to simulate continuous, discrete sources of pollutants.
We consider this in the next section.
                                     73

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR : 000000
            	  CHEMISTRY

            	 NEROS
             CO
                                   CONCENTRATION
                                   (PPM X101  )
                                        HOD 1190 1100 14dO 1000 1100 1730 1130 1MB
          I   I    I    I   I    I   I    I       I    I   I    I   1   I    I   I
         10:12 10:13 10:1+ 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:25 10:26 10:27 10:28

                    CLOUD CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(a).
Initial concentration of  CO in cross-sections of  the cloud
simulated  in experiment  2A.  Diagrams  in the upper  right
corner of  each panel indicate the  location of the cross-
section within the cloud.  The curves  labeled "chemistry"
represent  the true solution.

                      74

-------
     TEST   : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE   : 79215

     HOUR  : 040000
                   CHEMISTRY


                   NEROS
                               CO   CONCENTRATION

                                    (PPM X101 )
2A
          I    I   I    I    I    I   I    I       II    I    I   I    I    I
         10:12 10:13 10:1+ 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:2+ 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28


                    CLOUD  CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(a).   Continued.   Travel  time =  4 hours,
                                         75

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST

     DATE  : 79215

     HOUR  : 080000
                   CHEMISTRY


                   HERDS
                                CO  CONCENTRATION

                                    (PPM X101 )
2A
          i—i—i—i—i—i—i—i	'—i—i—i—i	1—i	r   .
         10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:2+ 10:23 10:28 10:27 10:28

                     CLOUD CELL  LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(a).   Continued.  Travel  time  =  8 hours,
                                         76

-------
      TEST   : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
      DATE   : 79215
      HOUR  : 160000
             	  CHEMISTRT

             	  NEROS
                                 CO   CONCENTRATION
                                      (PPM X101 )
2A
                                         1000 nao ixao nao i4
-------
     TEST   : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE   : 79216
     HOUR  : 120000
                   CHEMISTRY

                   NEROS
                                CO  CONCENTRATION
                                    (PPM X101  )
2A
                II   I   I   I   _!..  .1..  !
                                                       I
          .   "I	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	T   .
         10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:28 10:27 10:28

                     CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(a).   Continued.  Travel time  = 36 hours.
                                          78

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
     DATE  : 79217
     HOUR : 000000
                    CHEMETRV

                    NEROS
                                  CO  CONCENTRATION
                                      (PPM X101 )
 2A
          aatiaatafaaataataataanauaa'^p r~— •••« ana iaaa uoe uoo uao t«n nao 1*30 at
                    CHEMISTRY

                    NEROS
2A  t
           I    I    I    I    I    I   I    I        IT   I    I    I    I
         10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:25 10:28 10:27 10:28

                      CLOUD  CELL  LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(a).   Concluded.   Travel  time =  48 hours,
                                            79

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR : 000000
                  CHEMismr
                  NEROS
                               NO   CONCENTRATION
                                   (P|M X104 )
                                     1—
                                  2A
         MO
-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 040000
                            NO   CONCENTRATION
                                 (PEM X104 )
               CHEMISTRT

               NEROS
     BOD  too too aea too
 2f\
                       too  730  KK>  MD 1000 \\aa not laao i«oo inao laoa trao i» i»

               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
                                   1-4-
2A   ,
    10:12 10:t3 1ttt4 10:13 1(KI6 10:17 10:18 10:18 1020 1021 1022 10:23 ia-2+ 10:23 1028 10:27 10:28

                 CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure 3-3(b).   Continued.   Travel  time  = 4 hours,
                                      81

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 080000
              CHEMISTRY

              NEROS
                           NO  CONCENTRATION
                                (PEM X104 )
                          rau tau »ai 1000 uao iiao -.x» iwo 1000 itao ma iiaa IMD xaa
     l    i    iiiiii       i    r   i    i   r   r   r
    70:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:18 10:17 10:18 10:19 1020 1021 1CKZ2 1033 1024 1023 1026 1027 1028

                CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
 Figure  3-3(b).   Continued.   Travel  time =  8 hours,
                                     82

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 120000
                            NO  CONCENTRATION
                                (P|M X104 )
               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
                                   1	
     cattiaBtaoaaotaotaoiaaTaatae**
                                      \\o
-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 160000
              CHEMISTOlT

              NEROS
                           NO   CONCENTRATION
                                (PEM X104 )
                                  1~
        —1—1—I—I—1—I—
        139  an  aaa  too  too  tag  ran
2A
                                   ing itao inn tag i«o woo i«ag i?ao ita itsa aaa
              CHEMISTRY

              NEROS
                                  1	
2A  t
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:18 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 1023 1024 10:25 10:26 1027 1028

                CLOUD  CELL  LOCATION (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(b).   Concluded.  Travel time = 16  hours.

                                     84

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR  : 000000
                   CHEMISTWT

                   NEROS
                               02  CONCENTRATION
                                           1
                                    (PEM X101  )
                                     t T"
                                     14-
                                   2A
          aaa\aaaaaaaiaoiaa»aotatiaoiaa icon »ao 1100 ixn i«a tun i
                   CHEMlSTWr

                   NEROS
                                      14-
          I    I   1    I"  I   I    I    I   I    I   I   ~ I  ~ T   1	1	1	1
         10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10^3 10:24 10:25 10:26 1027 10:28

                     CLOUD  CELL LOCATION (ROW-.COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(c).
Initial  concentration  of ozone in  cross-sections  of the cloud
simulated  in experiment  2A.  Diagrams in the upper right
corner  of  each panel  indicate the  location of  the cross-
section  within the cloud.  The curves labeled  "chemistry"
represent  the true solution.
                                        85

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 020000
              CHEMISTRY


              NEROS
                            03   CONCENTRATION

                                (P|M X101  )

              CHEM1STRT


              NEROS
  2A
                                       I   [   i   i   i   I   i
                                       ioa lisa isao i«o loao ios» 1799 moo itao axao
                                  1	
2A   ,
     i    i    i    r    i    i   i    i        i    i    i    i   i    i    i    i
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
 Figure  3-3(c).   Continued.   Travel time =  2 hours.


                                     86

-------
TEST  :  CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  :  79215
HOUR :  120000
               CHEMISTRT

               NEROS
                             03   CONCENTRATION
                                      X101  )
               i   i    i      ill
     Moie»2ao«n««i«ao»aaTao«aowD 1000 iiao IBM 1*» 1*00 iua inoo irao iaao man 2000
               CHEMISTRY1

               NEROS
      I    I    I   Till!        I   T   I    I    I    I    T
    10:12 10:13 10:1+ 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                 CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
 Figure 3-3(c).   Continued.  Travel  time  = 12  hours.

                                       87

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 160000
              CHEMISTRY


              NEROS
                           03   CONCENTRATION

                                     X101  )
2A
                                                I   I      I    !   I   I
                                   1009 11SB 1MO 1320 1400 1KB 1UO 1738 1K20 1MB 2K»
                 I    I    I    I   I        I    I    I    I   I    1    I
    10:12 10:13 10:1 + 10:1S 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24- 10:25 10:26 10:27 10:28


                CLOUD  CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure 3-3(c).  Continued.   Travel  time  = 16  hours.


                                     88

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79216
HOUR  : 000000
              CHEMISTOY

              NEROS
                           03  CONCENTRATION
                                (PBM X101 )
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:25 10:26 10:27 10:28

                CLOUD  CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(c).   Continued.   Travel time = 24  hours.

                                    89

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79216
HOUR  : 120000
                            03   CONCENTRATION
                                 (P|M X101
               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
                                    1039 1130 1230 1300 \tOO 1KB 1MO IT-JO 1*20 1MO 2090
             1	1
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:13 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:25 10:26 10:27 10:2S

                 CLOUD  CELL LOCATION (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure  3-3(c).   Continued.   Travel  time =  36 hours.

                                      90

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
DATE  : 79217
HOUR  : 000000
               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
                            03   CONCENTRATION
                                 (P|M_X101
                                           I   I   I   I   I    I   I   !   I
                                    1000 1100 iea 1*30 twa 1100 i«an traa 1000 iwo 2000
         1	1	T~ I    I    I    i    I    I ~" I	1	1	1	1	1
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                 CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROWrCOLUMN)
 Figure  3-3(c).   Concluded.   Travel time =  48 hours.

                                      91

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR : 000000
                  CHEMISTRT

                  NEROS
                              N02  CONCENTRATION
          i    i   i    i   i    i   i    i       i   r    i   i    i   i
         10:12 10:13 10:1+ 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:2J 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                    CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(d).   Initial concentration of N02 in cross-sections of the cloud
                 simulated in experiment 2A.  Diagrams  in the upper  right
                 corner of each  panel  indicate the  location of the cross-
                 section within  the cloud.  The curves  labeled "chemistry"
                 represent the true solution.

                                       92

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 020000
              CHEMISTRY

              NEROS
                           N02  CONCENTRATION
                                         )
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:18 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:2+ 10:23 10:28 10:27 10:28

                CLOUD  CELL LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(d).   Continued.   Travel  time  =  2 hours.

                                    93

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECT10N TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 040000
                            N02 CONCENTRATION
                                (PEM X103 )
               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
2A

                                   iota nan iz» i3ao i«a ttoo iota iTao iiba IMO 2000
      !1   "1   "     i    !    I    I   	
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:2+ 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                 CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(d).   Continued.   Travel time =  4 hours.

                                     94

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR : 12QOOO
               CHEMISTRT

               NEROS
                             N02 CONCENTRATION
                                 (P|MX1Q3
  2A
     r   r   i  T   [   T  i   T   r   i   r  i    i      T   i   i             ;
     taotaotaoaaataaiatiaaraataoiao 1000 1100 izao ixa i«ao IBOO rat i«o 1100 IKH ma
               CHEMISTRY

               NEROS
                                   6-h
2A   i
                                   4-t-
                                    1-h
                         i	r
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10:28

                 CLOUD  CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure 3-3(d).   Continued.   Travel time  =  12 hours.

                                      95

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79216
HOUR  : 000000
              CHEMISTRT
              NEROS
                           N02  CONCENTRATION
                               (P|M_X103 )
 2A
              CHEMISTRY
              NEROS
2A   *
                                  T

                                 41
                                 '
     I    I   i    \    l    !   I    !    |	j	1	1—  I   '.',    ,   i
    10:12 10:13 10:1+ 10:13 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 10:21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10:26 10:27 10-28
                CLOUD  CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(d).   Concluded.   Travel  time =  24 hours.
                                    96

-------
     TEST
     DATE
     HOUR
CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
79215
000000
                  CHEMISTRY

                  NEROS
                              OLE
                      CONCENTRATION
                      (P|M XIO'1 )
                                     2A
          	i—i—r      	
         10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:18 10:17 10:18 10:19 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 10:23 1026 1027 1028
                    CLOUD CELL  LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure 3-3(e).
     Initial concentration  of olefin in cross-sections  of the
     cloud simulated  in  experiment 2A.  Diagrams  in  the upper
     right corner of  each panel  indicate the location  of the
     cross-section within the cloud.  The curves  labeled
     "chemistry" represent  the true solution.
                                      97

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 04QQOO
              CHEMISTRT


              NEROS
                           OLE  CONCENTRATION

                               (P|M X103 )
2A
     I    I    I   1    I    I   I    I       I    I    I   I    I    1^   II
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:18 10:17 10:18 10:19 1020 10:21 10^2 10:23 10^4 10-^3 1026 10^7 1028

                CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure  3-3(e).  Continued.   Travel time  = 4 hours.


                                   98

-------
TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 080000
             OLE CONCENTRATION
                (P|MX104
OLE CONCENTRATION
    (PEM X103  )
                                                 2A
      CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW.-COLUMN) -j
                                 1-1-
    10:12 10:13 10:14 10:13 10:18 10:17 10:18 10:19 1030 10-21 10:22 10:23 10:24 10:23 10-28 10:27 10:28

               CLOUD  CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-3(e).   Continued.   Travel  time = 8  hours.   Insert in  upper
                  panel is  magnified  plot of major axis  cross-section,
                                   99

-------
     TEST  : CLOUD ADVECTION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR  : 120000
                  CHEMISTRY

                  NEROS
                              OLE CONCENTRATION
                                  (P|M_X103 )
                                  2A
                OLE CONCENTRATION
                  (P|MX105 )
                                                 2A  t
         CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
                                         ,	-j
                                        1031  mi
                    CLOUD  CELL LOCATION (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure 3-3(e).
Concluded.   Travel  time = 12 hours.   Insert  in lower panel
is magnified plot  of minor axis cross-section.
                                       100

-------
                                         2B.R
Figure 3-4.
Initial CO concentration in clouds 2B.L and  2B.R.  Arcing lines
labeled E, M, and  C are 48-hour trajectories of points  originating
at the edge, midpoint, and center, respectively, of each cloud.

                     101

-------
     TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR : 000000
                             03  CONCENTRATION
                                     X101 )
                  CHEMISTRY

                  NEROS
                                   i	
 2B.R
                  CHEMISTRY

                  NEROS
2B.R  ,
         1    I   I    1   I   I    i   I       i    i   I   I    I   .    ,
         9:22 9:23  9:24 9:25 9:26 9:27 9:28  9:29 9:10 9:31  9:32 9:33  9:34 9:35 9:36 9:37 9:38

                   CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure 3-5.  Initial cross-section  of  ozone  concentration in cloud 2B.R.
             Diagrams in the upper  right  corner of each panel show the
             location of the cross-section  in  the cloud.  Curves labeled
             "chemistry" represent  the true  solution.
                                     102

-------
TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
DATE  : 79215
HOUR  : 040000
              CHEMISTRY

              NEROS
                           03   CONCENTRATION
                                   X101 )
 2B.R
                                 2-4-
        T     I   i   T   T   I   II      Illllllil   I
    -MO -iao  iaa tat «o  wo  ud MB rat mat tea 1000 mo luo iug man tuo iuo inia i«JO two
              NEROS
2B.R  ,
     i    I   i    i    r    i   r   r      i    i    i    i   i
    9:22 9:23  9:24 9:25 9:26 9:27  9:28 9:29 9:30  9:31 9:32 9:33  9:34 9:35 9:36  9:37  9:38

               CLOUD CELL LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
 Figure 3-5.   Continued.   Travel  time = 4  hours  (Case 2B.R).
                                   103

-------
     TEST   : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
     DATE   : 79215
     HOUR  : 120000
                                03   CONCENTRATION
                                    (P|M X101
                   CHEMISTRY

                   NEROS
         -aa -wo t-jo lot *» wo wo tan rat taa MO itug HJO two tua
         9:22 9:23 9:24  9:25 9:26 9:27  9:28 9:29 9:30 9:31  9:32 9:33 9:34  9:35  9:36 9:37 9:38

                     CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-5.
Continued.  Travel  time  = 12 hours.   Vertical  mixing between
layers  1 and  2  begins at this instant.   (Case 2B.R).

                          104

-------
     TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
     DATE  : 79215
     HOUR  : 160000
                               03  CONCENTRATION
                                   (P|M X101 )
                   CHEMISTRY

                   NEROS
          r   i   i   i   I
         -MO -iso  tan wo MB
                   CHEMISTW

                   NEROS
                  2B.R
III      !   I   I   I   I  !   I   I   I   I
uo Taa  *jo  MO ituo ttao mo IUD mx isuo itn irjo IKJO IK
                  EB.R
          I	1	1	1	1	i	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	!	1	
          9:22 9:23 9:24 9:25 9:26  9:27 9:28 9:29  9:30 9:31  9:32 9:33 9:34  9:35 9:36 9:37  9:38

                    CLOUD CELL LOCATION (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-5.   Continued.   Travel time = 16 hours,  4 hours  after mixing
              (Case 2B.R).
                                       105

-------
TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST

DATE  -.79216
HOUR  : 000000
                           03  CONCENTRATION

                               (PBM X101 )
              CHEMISTRY


              NEROS
2B.R
                         •on TOO auo wo ID-JO 1130 IZJQ uuio iwo iua mo inn iajo i»jo
              CHEMISTRY


              NEROS
2B.R  i
         .   1	i	1	i	!	1	1	1	T
     9:22 9:23 9:24  9:25  9:26 9:27 9:28  9:29  9:30 9:31  9:32  9:33 9:34 9:35 9:36  9:37  9:38


                CLOUD CELL  LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure  3-5.   Continued.   Travel  time =  24 hours  (Case 28.R).


                                   106

-------
TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
DATE  : 79216
HOUR  : 120000
                           03   CONCENTRATION
                               (P|MJX101 )
              CHEMISTWT

              NEROS
2B.R
                               toe too IB* uao its) ion i«a iuo iuo IT-JO IKH two
         1	1	1	1	1	1    I    I	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
    9:22 9:23  9:24 9:25 9:26 9:27  9:28 9:29 9:30  9:31 9:32 9:33  9:34 9:35 9:36  9:37  9:38

               CLOUD CELL LOCATION  (ROW:COLUMN)
Figure  3-5.  Continued.   Travel time = 36 hours.

                                  107

-------
     TEST  : DILUTION SIMULATION TEST
     DATE  : 79217
     HOUR  : 000000
                                03   CONCENTRATION
(P|M
                                       M X10
                   CHEMISTRY

                   NEROS
             2B.R
         -tat -ma ijo  £»  Juo  «o  too  «uo  ran  KB  KB ioao mo i&jg iuo I«JD iajo iam true IK» HOD
                    CHEMISIHY

                    NEROS
                                       6-T-
                                       S-t-
             2B.R  ,
           .                   1   i    i    i	1	1	1	1	1	r
          9:22  9:23 9:24 9:25 9:26  9:27 9:28 3:29 9:30  9:31 9:32 9:33 9:34  9:35  9:36 9:37 9:38

                     CLOUD CELL LOCATION  (ROWrCOLUMN)
Figure  3-5.   Concluded.   Travel  time  = 48 hours,  36 hours after mixing
               (Case 2B.R).
                                         108

-------
         ~  
-------
                     CHEMISTRY

                     ROM..
                  2B.L
                                     T=0
                                               8   12   16   20   24
                      8   12   18   20   24   48   12	i 6' ' '20' ' '24'
                        DAY 1
                                                  DAY 2
                                                                   DAY
                           TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 3-6(b).
Time histories of NO concentration  following  the  center of
cloud 2B.L, top, and cloud 2B.R,  bottom.   Curve labeled
"chemistry" represents the true solution.

                    110

-------
       o

       X
       CL

       CL
       O

       I'
       UJ
       a
       z
       o
       o
                                                 T=0
CHEMISTRY


ROM
2B.L
                       12
                           16   20   24
                                                12
                                                    16
                                                        20
                                                            24
                                                12   15   20   24
                      DAY 1
                                              DAY 2
                                                               DAY 3
                         TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  3-6(c).  Time histories of ozone  concentration following the center

               of cloud 2B.L, top,  and  cloud 2B.R, bottom.  Curve labeled

               "chemistry" represents the true solution.
                                   Ill

-------
                                                    T=0
                    CHEMISTRY

                    ROM
                 2B.L
         _  2|

         O

         X
         Q_
         Q_
         UJ
         O
         z:
         O
         O

         CN
         O
                                                              T=48hc
     CHEMISTRY

     ROM
2B.R
                                                        r=o
                         12

                        DAY 1
                             16
                                 20
                                      24
                                   12

                                 DAY 2
                                       16
                                           20
                                               24
                                                               j	DAY 2
                           TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 3-6(d).
Time histories  of  N0£  concentration following the center
of cloud 2B.L,  top,  and  cloud 2B.R, bottom.  Curve labeled
"chemistry"  represents the true solution.
                                   112

-------
         O

         X
         CL
         Q_
         g
         tc
         LU
         O
         2
         O
         O

         UJ

         O
CHEMISTRY

ROM
                     2B.L
                                                      T=0
     4   8   12    16   20   24    4    8   12   16

8r

         CHEMISTRY
?(_ -i^^RQM
           2B.R
                                                 T=48V>r
                        DAY 1
                                                  DAY 2
                           TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
                                                                T=4SKr
                                                           20   24
                      8   12    16   20   24    4    3   12	16	20   24
                                              DAY
Figure 3-6(e).   Time histories of olefin concentration following the center
                of cloud 2B.L, top,  and cloud 2B.R,  bottom.   Curve labeled
                "chemistry" represents  the true solution.
                                    113

-------
         O



         X
         Q.

         Q-

         o:

         -z.
         uu
         O
         z:
         o
         O
     CHEMISTRy


     ROM
2B.L
                                                   T=0
                         12   16   20   24
                                                  12   16   20    2+
         O

         V—

         X
         Q-

         Q_   p
         O  3
         o:

         z:  2i
         LU  ^
         O   .

         §   r
         o   f
         <  r
         Q_
                2B.R
                                                         T=0
                       i i i i i  i i i i i i i i i
                 4   8   12   16   20    24   4    S   12    16   20   24
                        DAY 1
                                 DAY 2
                                                                  DAY 3
                           TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 3-6(f).
Time histories  of  PAN concentration following the

center of cloud 2B.L, top,  and cloud  2B.R, bottom.

Curve labeled "chemistry"  represents  the true solution,
                                    114

-------
        O

        X
T
CHEMISTRY
            r
        Q_  L
2B.L
Ld
O
-z.
O

o
o

o
XX

IE
Q_
~z.
o
r
r—
1 —
z:
LJ
O
O

0
0

i
1
L
1
i —
i
t-
t-
nlm i i » 1 < i ' 1 ' i ' 1
U 4 8 15
10r-
t 	 CHEMISTga
9(. 	 ROM/
I" — ^
8f
h
t
6~:
5r
4P-
h
3r
2r
F
1H-
p
(-»r ILI i ^ i 1 i i i
u 4 S 1
I DAI

*•




i i ^ 1 i i i 1 i i i 1 i i i I i i i 1 i i . i 1 i i i 1 i .1 i 1 i. i i 1 i _i
! 16 20 24 4 8 12 16 20 24
OD D T=48Kr 	

^^^^ /r^
[ \1*
\_^*^
iHii
T=0 lip







1 | | 1 1 1 1 ' 1 i 1 1 1 ! 1 | ! 1 | | I 1 | | 1 1 1 ! 1 1 | i ! 1 ! [ J
2 16 20 24 4 8 12 16 20 24
' 1 i DAY 2 ,
                          TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 3-7(a).
    Time histories of CO following the  midpoint of cloud 2B.L,
    top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled  "chemistry" represents
    the true solution.
                                   115

-------
                   CHEMISTRY

                   ROM
                2B.L
                    8   12   16   20   24
                              2B.R
                                                   T=0
                                                             T*48
                                             3   12   16   20   24
                                                        T=0
                     8   12   16    20   24  ~4 "   3 '""12 	16	20	24~
                       DAY 1
                                DAY 2
                          TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 3-7(b).
Time histories  of  NO following the midpoint of cloud 2B.L,
top, and 2B.R,  bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
the true solution.
                                   116

-------
                                                   T=0
                               2B.L
                                                             T*48
               , t , , , i i i , i , , i. i i , , i , ..... i , , , i , , i i , , , i , , , i , , , f . , , i , ,
                4   8   12  16   20  2+   4   3   12   16  20  24
         o  t
         X
         £f
         H
         It
         §  t.
         o  r
         z  '-
         O  f-
         O  r
         ro  i-
         O  P
           r,tL_
     CHEMISTOY

     ROM
2B.R
                  T«48W
                                             0
                                        T-0
 •V^ 'a' ' ','2' ' ','s1 ' '2V— -2V—V—i—^'2—iV ' '2'0' ' "iV"
                      DAV 1-
                                              DAY 2
                         TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 3-7(c).
Time histories of ozone following the midpoint of  cloud 28. L,
top, and  2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry"  represents
the true  solution.
                                 117

-------
                    CHEMISTRY

                    ROM
                                                    T=0
                2B.L
                                                             T*48
                     8   12   16   20   24
                          TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  3-7(d).
Time histories  of  N02 following the midpoint  of cloud  2B.L,
top, and 2B.R,  bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry"  represents
the true solution.
                                   118

-------
O   ft 	 CHEMISTO*

X  7h\	"CM
                                                   T=0
                                2B.L
                                                             T*48
                                              8   12    16   20   24
                                              8    12   16   20   2+

                                                DAY 2
                          TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure 3-7(e).
       Time histories of olefin  following the midpoint of cloud 2B.L,
       top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
       the true solution.
                                   119

-------
                                                   T=0
                               2B.L
                                                             T>48
                                             3   12   16   20   24
                         TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  3-7(f).
Time histories of PAN following the midpoint of cloud 2B.L,
top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled  "chemistry" represents
the true solution.
                                   120

-------
                                                       T=0
0  t
X 7h
                      CHEMISTRY
          UJ  Sf-
          O   L
          z:   r
          O  £-
          o   -
                      ROM
                         2B.L
          O
          O
             0L
-* «r
O  r 	 CHEMISTRY

X  f       ROM

^>  —

a. 3h._	^_
' i   ,      -~
          v~
          Z   h

          -

                      "8"  12   16   '20 "" 24."   4   3   12   16   20    2T"
                                 2B.R
                                                   T=0
          Ld   i-
          "   r
O
O

-
r\\ i i L 1 i :


i
8 '2 '6 20 24
DAY 1

i . I
- 3 <2 '6 20 2i
D^Y 2
Figure 3-8(a).
       Time histories  of  CO following the edge  point of cloud 2B.L,
       top, and 2B.R,  bottom.   Curves labeled  "chemistry" represents
       the true solution.
                                      121

-------
                                                  T=0
                               2B.L
                                 1 I 1 I I 1 ! I U^Tl I , , , I ! , .-I ,
                         TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  3-8(b).
Time histories of NO following the edge point  of cloud 2B.L,
top, and  2B.R, bottom.   Curves labeled "chemistry"  represents
the true  solution.
                                  122

-------


X


\JA

r\ r^> i
2B.L
         O  3r
         %  i
         £  E
         5f
         o  E
         z:  L-
         o  •-
         0  1E-
            h
         rO  H
         o
                                     T=0
                     8   12   16    20   24
Figure 3-8(c).
Time histories of ozone following the edge point of  cloud  28.L,
top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled  "chemistry" represents
the true solution.

                    123

-------
         1*5
         o
                     CHEMiSTOY

                     ROM
                                    T=0
                                 2B.L
                                                              T*48hr
                      8   12   16   20   24
            Ol ... I ... I ... IT
            U    4    8    12
                              16   20
                        DAY 1
                                3   12   16   20   24

                                  DAY_2           -  DAY 3
                            "!ME (HOUR Qr  DAY)
Figure 3-8(d).
Time histories of N02 following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
the true solution.
                                    124

-------
                                                   T=0
X
        O
                                2B.L
        X
               I I 1 I | |  I | | TM |. . | I 1 I I I ' I I  I I I I. I ' I I ! ' i I I I I  ' I • I I I I I ' I I I I
                4   8    12    16   20   24   4   8   12   16   20   24
                    CHEMISTRY
                      2B.R
                                                             c?
                      \
                       _,V
         4    3    12   '6   20   24

               DAY 1           ;
                                              3   '2   16    2D   24

                                                 DAY 2           ,   DAY
                          TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 3-8(e).
        Time histories of olefin following the edge point of cloud 2B.L,
        top, and 2B.R, bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
        the true solution.
                                    125

-------
        O

        X
    CHEMISTRY
    ROM
                                                 T=0
2B.L
            h
            r
                +   8   12   16   20   24    4    a   12   16   20   24
                              2B.R
                                                        T=0
                                                                DAY 5
Figure 3-8(f).
Time histories  of  PAN following the edge point  of  cloud  2B.L,
top, and 2B.R,  bottom.  Curves labeled "chemistry" represents
the true solution.
                                   126

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                                 SECTION 4







Case 3A:  Chemistry with transport and continuous sources





     The earlier experiments 1A, 2A and 2B investigated the ability of the



transport and chemistry algorithms to handle the homogeneous forms of their



differential equation counterparts.  That is, situations in which pollutant



species concentrations change only as a consequence of chemical  reaction,



horizontal transport or vertical mixing, but not source emissions.  Since



the primary role of the regional model is to assess the changes  in air



quality that would accompany given changes in the strengths of anthropogenic



sources, it is essential that the model possess the ability to simulate



accurately the fate of species released at arbitrary sites and times within



the model domain.  This is the feature we will  examine in experiment 3A.





     One might assume that since our model can simulate isolated clouds



well, it could automatically handle the sequences of puffs that  compose the



plumes produced by continuous sources.  But this is not necessarily the



case.  In independent studies Schere (1984) and Yarmartino (1984) found



that when applied to a continuous source in a uniform flow, the  Zalasak



(1979) scheme discussed earlier produced a sequence of large clouds rather



than a continuous plume.  The cause of this error is not certain but it is



likely due to the mechanism built into the scheme that prevents  concentrations



from becoming negative.                                            - -





     As we noted earlier, our transport algorithm can generate negative



concentration; but when this happens we merely reset the values  to zero.





                                    127

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It has been argued that this  procedure is  unacceptable  because  it  leads  to



a violation of mass conservation  in the simulated  species.   In  our case  the



the deviations in total mass  are  typically no  larger  than  a  few percent.



Indeed, we found no evidence  in experiments 2A and 28 that the  total  mass



error is large enough to create significant errors in predicted 03,  NO or



any of the other principal  pollutants.  In experiment 3A, we will  consider



this matter further.





     The generation of negative concentrations is  associated with  truncation



error in the transport algorithm.   We saw  in experiments 2A  and 2B that  the



magnitude of this error is  proportional  to the spatial  gradients  in



concentrations.  Since the  grid size of the ROM is about 18  km, there are



a number of sites in the grid network where one cell  contains an  entire



small city or source complex  while surrounding cells  contain few if  any



sources.  These situations  create maximal  spatial  concentration gradients   .



and hence maximal truncation  error.  Of particular concern to us  are



situations in which neighboring,  isolated  sources  produce  parallel  plumes.



It is conceivable that the  truncations error in these instances could cause



enough lateral exchange of  species between plumes  that  the chemistry



simulation would be adversely affected.  We will  investigate this  matter



in experiment 3A.





     Another possible source  of error that we  want to examine is  the  method



used to handle the outflow  boundaries of the model domain.   Although  the



differential equation that  describes advection does not permit  the imposition



of restrictions at outflow  boundaries, the discrete equation that  we  use to



model the differential equation  requires such  values.  Therefore,  unless the



outflow conditions on the discrete equation, i.e., the  transport  algorithm,





                                    128

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are properly chosen, the solutions  produced by  the  model  will  not  be  accurate



facsimiles of the advection process.   In experiment 3A we will  examine



situations where plumes pass through  the lateral  boundaries  of the domain.





     A final question of interest is  the rate at  which errors  grow in the



simulated plume with travel time — vis-a-vis model applications to multiday-



long distance transport — and the  compounding of error that might result



as a plume encounters a new source  after traveling  for a  day or more.





     To summarize, our objectives in  experiment 3A  are:



(1)  To examine the ability of the  transport algorithm to simulate simple



     continuous source plumes over  multi-day travel periods;



(2)  To examine the effects of truncation error on  the simulation  of  parallel



     plumes from isolated sources;



(3)  To determine the rate of error growth in plumes with travel time and any



     compounding of error upon interaction of a plume with distant sources;



(4)  To investigate error levels at outflow boundaries;



(5)  To assess the impact of errors caused by the clamping of  negative



     concentrations in the transport  algorithm.





     The experiment that we have devised to attain  all these objectives  is



as follows.  A collection of four "line" sources  of various  widths,



illustrated in Figure 4-1, emit hydrocarbons and  NOX steadily  into a  flow



field identical to that employed in experiments 2A  and 2B, namely  a fluid



in solid body rotation of angular speed  oo = 0.02  radians/time  step (= 30 min).



In physical terms, this represents  a  wind speed of  about  7 km/hr at the



center of the line source nearest the center of the flow  vortex, i.e.,



source e (see Figure 4-1); and a speed of about 18  km/hr  at  the outermost





                                    129

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                       b
                c
          jf
             i/a
                        i/a
                               SOU RCE
                                STRENGTHS
                               (SEE TABLE 4-1 )
    CO
                                DOMAIN
                                 BOUNDARY
Figure 4-1.
Locations and relative strengths of 4 line sources (b, c, e,
and f) simulated in experiment 3A.  Flow speed u = .02 radian
per time step.

               130

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source b.  The emission rate of each grid cell  that composes a source is
the product of the fraction shown in Figure 4-1 beside that cell  and the
base emission rates given in Table 4-1, page 132.  The latter represent the
highest actual emissions observed in the geographical area covered by the
regional model.  Specifically, they were taken  from the emissions inventory
at a cell in the vicinity of New York City.
     The experiment simulates a 58-hour period  during which solar radiation
varies in the diurnal fashion implicit in the rate constants plotted in
Figure 2-1, page 17.  During the entire simulation, pollutants are confined
to layer 1 which has a constant, uniform depth  of 300 meters in this experiment,
     The emissions and meteorological conditions simulated in this experiment
have deliberately been made extreme so that error sources in the model  will
be stimulated as strongly as is ever likely during actual applications.
Consequently, the error levels exhibited in this test should provide a  good
measure of the upper bound that we could expect in actual applications.
     The rationale for the sizes and locations  of the sources shown in
Figure 4-1 that are used in experiment 3A is as follows.  First,  sources b,
c, and e are positioned so that in the rotating flow field their plumes
will move parallel to each other with a distance of about 3 grid cells
separating each plume.  The widths of these sources have been made different
(2, 3, and 5 grid cells widths, respectively) so that we can measure the
sensitivity of the model's accuracy to the widths of the sources  simulated.
Plumes b, c, and e will also allow us to infer  the extent of lateral
exchange of species among plumes due to truncation error effects.
                                    131

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Table 4-1.  Base emission rates of species used for line sources
            in experiment 3A.  The emission rates of individual
            source cells are fractions (1/3, 1/2, 2/3, or 1) of
            the values shown here (see Figure 4-1).
        Species                   Emission rate (ppm »  m * sec"l)

         NO                              4.91 • ID"3

         N02                             3.56 . 10"4

         Olefin                          1.53 • 10~3

         Paraffin              ^          3.21 • 10~3

         Aldehyde                        2.52 . 1(H

         Aromatic                        5.65 • 10'4

         CO                              5.55 • lO-2
                              132

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     Source f has been positioned so that the edges of the plumes generated



by sources c and e will pass over the edges of source f after a travel  time



of about 40 hours.   With this configuration of sources we will be able to



measure the extent to which errors in the simulation of plume edges are



compounded when plumes impact new sources after prolonged periods of travel.



Finally, source b, the narrowest of the four sources, is positioned so  that



its plume will  encounter no additional sources and will pass through the



southern boundary of the model domain after a travel time of about 48 hours.



The behavior of this plume will provide information not only on the magnitude



of errors at outflow boundaries but also on the rate of growth of total



error under the most severe conditions of lateral  concentration gradients



that we are likely to encounter in actual applied  studies.





     The actual plumes produced by the four sources are shown in Figure 4-2,



which is a plot of the contours of CO concentration at the end of the 58-hour



simulation.  Although CO is not chemically inert,  variations in its



concentration due to chemical processes are small  enough that CO can be



regarded as a conservative chemical tracer for our present purposes.  From



this viewpoint we note several qualitative aspects of the model performance



evident in Figure 4-2.





     The first is that lateral spread of the plumes due to truncation error



in the transport algorithm is nil inasmuch as the  concentration contours of



plumes b, c, and e form nearly perfect, concentric circles, as one would



expect in the source/flow configuration (Figure 4-1) simulated here."  (Keep



in mind that in experiment 3A the horizontal diffusivity KH is zero.)  A



second point is that the peak value of concentration in each plume is well





                                    133

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Figure 4-2.   Isopleths  of CO  concentration  (units  =  ppm)  at the  end  of  the
             58-hour period simulated  in  experiment  3A.   Letters  b,  c,  e
             and f refer to the  sources shown  in Figure  4-1.

                                    134

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preserved, as is evident in plume b.  Third, at the lower boundary where
plume b exits the model domain and where plume c touches the boundary,
there are no aberrations in the concentration isopleths that would signal
errors generated by the outflow boundary conditions in the transport
algorithm.  Finally, the isopleths show that the simulated plumes are
continuous rather than disjointed, as Schere and Yamartino found in
applications of the Zalesak transport scheme to continuous sources.

     In order to obtain quantitative estimates of the model's performance,
we will examine the predicted concentrations of each of the 23 species
along both cross-sections of the plumes normal to the air flow and along
Lagrangian trajectories within each plume.  The cross-sections reveal
spatial variations in accuracy at a given time while the plots of concen-
tration following a Lagrangian trajectory show error behavior as a function
of travel time from a source.  Figure 4-3 is a schematic representation  of
the simulated plumes (shown in Figure 4-2) that illustrates some of the
cross-sections and trajectories that we will consider.  We will  use Figure
4-3 as an insert in all subsequent concentration plots to identify the
cross-section or trajectory to which the concentrations apply.
     One point to keep in mind in interpreting the concentration fields  is
that due to photochemical reactions, many of the species undergo marked
temporal variations that are synchronized with time-of-day.   One consequence
of this is that concentration isopleths of most reactive species do not
exhibit orderly plume patterns like the CO distribution shown in Figure  4-2.
An example of a temporally varying species is ozone.  Figure 4-4, page 137,
shows isopleths of ozone at the same hour as the CO isopleths shown in
                                    135

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             LAGRANGIAN
              TRAJECTORY
         CROSS-SECTION
                                                       DOMAIN
                                                     BOUNDARY
Figure 4-3.
Schematic representation of the continuous plumes generated
by sources b, c, e and f in experiment 3A.  Examples are shown
of a cross-section and a Lagrangian trajectory.
                               136

-------
Figure 4-4.   Isopleths of ozone concentration  at  the last  hour,  0930 day  3,
             of the line source simulation experiment 3A.

                                    137

-------
Figure 4-2.  Since this particular plot is for hour 0930,  which is only 3



1/2 hours after sunrise, ozone has not yet been generated  from the fresh



precursor  emissions of sources b, c, e and f.  As a result the ozone



contours give the illusion that all  these sources have been displaced about



45 degrees clockwise, i.e., downwind, from their actual  locations.  Because



of this complexity in the behavior of the species concentrations,  a variety



of spatial and temporal cross-sections are required to form a comprehensive



picture of the model's performance.   In the remainder of this section we



will present and discuss an assortment of results obtained in experiment 3A



that will allow us to formulate conclusive statements regarding each of the



modeling questions raised earlier.





     We begin with a sequence of four cross-section plots  of CO shown in



Figure 4-5(a)-(d), pages 147-150.   The profiles labeled chemistry  represent



the true concentrations.  They were  obtained in the manner described in



Section 3 to generate the cross-sections shown in Figures  3-3 through 3-5.



The only difference is that in the present instance, equation (2-1) contains



an inhomogeneous term that represents source emissions.  Sections  a and b of



Figure 4-5 show cuts through plumes  b, c and e at 7 hours  and 34 hours



travel time, respectively.  Comparing these two plots we see a slight



increase in error in the predicted peak concentration in each plume with



travel time.  The figure also indicates that the error is  inversely propor-



tional to the plume width, as we saw earlier.  According to Figure 4-5(b),



at the 34-hour point, the model underestimates the peak  concentration in



plume e (five cells wide) by 10%;  by 18% in the case of plume c (three



cells wide); and it underestimates the peak in plume b (two cells  wide) by



about 23%.  The cross-sections shown in Figures 4-5(a),  (b) confirm the





                                    138

-------
observation that we made earlier in connection with the CO isopleths in
Figure 4-2 that there is not an appreciable widening of any of the plumes
beyond a few hours travel distance from a source.  At 52 hours distance,
Figure 4-5(d) shows that the plumes from sources c and e have merged with
that from source f to form a single, double-peaked plume.  As one can see
from the symbols along the abscissa of Figure 4-5 that designate the source
locations, the left-hand peak in the plume shown in Figure 4-5(d), i.e.,
the peak closest to the flow vortex center, is composed only of material
from source e.  The model underestimates this peak by about 13%, which is
consistent with the error growth rate that we found earlier in plume e.
However, the right-hand peak in the plume in Figure 4-5(d) is made up of
material from both sources c and f; and it is underestimated by about 25%,
which is larger than either a 3-cell (source c) or 6-cell (source f) source
plume would produce at this point.  The cause of this enhanced error is not
clear.  As we shall see shortly, it is not apparent in the concentration
profiles of other species.
     Figures 4-6(a)-(f), pages 151-156, show corresponding cross-sections of
ozone at a number of travel distances.  The first four sections of this
figure, (a)(d), show that up until the point where the plumes first encounter
source f, the model actually simulates the ozone plumes more accurately
than the CO.  The maximum error is an underestimate of about 10% in plume
b.  The error in the predicted widths of the plumes is comparable to that
found with CO.  Figures 4-6(e) and (f) show that after the plumes pass
source f, the ozone concentrations at the edges of both plumes c and e drop
markedly, due to reaction with NO emissions from source f.  In fact, the
background ozone that fills the space between plumes c and e before they
                                    139

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impact source f is completely erradicated at the 44-hour travel  point
(Figure 4-6(e)), which is only a short distance downwind of source f.  The
error level in the simulated ozone at this point is an underestimate of
peak values by about 10%.  At the 52-hour travel point, Figure 4-6(f), the
spatial variation of ozone has acquired a rather complex shape which is
simulated by the model to within about 15% of the true values.  However,
the model significantly overestimates the rate at which ozone is replenished
along the center-line of plume f.  This error is undoubtedly due to errors
in the simulated NO and N02 concentrations in this region,  rather than to
erronous lateral diffusion of ozone.

     The error level in the predicted N02 concentrations can be seen in
Figures 4-7(a)-(e), pages 157-161.  The first 3 sections of the figure,
(a)-(c), show that the peak N02 concentration is underestimated by only a
few percent in plume e and by about 15% in the narrowest plume,  b.  The
fractional error appears to grow as the NOg concentrations  decrease toward
zero.  Figure 4-7(d) indicates that just downwind of source f, the predicted
N02 concentration is too large by nearly a factor of two.  Since this error
is grossly different than that apparent in Figure 4-7(a) at a comparable
distance downwind of sources b, c, and e, the large error in the f plume
must be due primarily to errors in species that are coupled to N02 chemically,
According to Figure 4-7(e), the error in the predicted N02  concentration
decreases rather rapidly with distance from source f.

     Cross-sections of the predicted  and true olefin concentrations are
displayed in Figures 4-8(a)-(d).  The first two of these indicate an error
level comparable to or lower than that we have seen in any  of the species
considered thus far.  Downwind of source f, Figure 4-8(c) and (d) show an
                                    140

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enhanced, asymmetrical error distribution that varies from a slight
overprediction on the left side of the plume to and underprediction on the
other side.  The latter error has the larger magnitude, varying from about
15% to 40%.  This is the second species in which we have seen a significant
deterioration of model accuracy following the merger of two plumes.

     The final species that we will  examine in cross-section is the highly
reactive compound PAN.  Figures 4-9(a)-(f), pages 166-171, reveal  an error
pattern in this species similar to that seen in CO: 10% to 15% underestimate
of peak concentration in plume b, c  and e prior to intercepting source f,
and a somewhat larger error downwind of source f.  In Figures 4-9(c)-(e) we
have added magnified plots of the concentration cross-sections to  show the
fractional error in the predicted PAN levels when the concentration is very
low.  Except for the left hand side  of plume c, where concentration is
underpredicted by about 50%, the relative errors within the plumes are
comparable to that found in Figures  4-9(a) and (b) at higher concentrations.
At low concentrations, the fractional error is much larger in the  areas
between plumes because in these zones the weak fluxes of material  generated
by truncation error quickly produce  concentration levels that are  comparable
to the ambient values.
     In summary, the cross-sections  of species concentration give  evidence
of some compounding of error when plumes from one source cross other
sources downwind.  The magnitude of  the error amplification appears to be
species dependent.  Of the species we considered, ozone and CO showed the
least increase in error while N02 showed the largest change.  In the latter
case the error increased from a 10%  underprediction prior to plume merger
                                    141

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to a 100% overprediction immediately following  plume  combination.   The zone



of largest error is confined to a small  area  right  around  the  second  source.



In the next set of concentration plots we will  look further  at this phenomenon



of error amplification.





     The first of four sequences of concentration profiles along Lagrangian



trajectories is presented in Figure 4-10, pages 172-194.   Sections  (a)-(w)



of this figure compare the predicted and true concentrations of each  of the



23 simulated species along a 57-hour trajectory that  passes  through the



center of source e.  This particular trajectory passes  through the  grid



cell adjacent to the left edge of source f approximately  40  hours downwind



of source e.  Figures 4-10(a) and (b) show that the predicted  NO and  N02



concentrations are within about 10% of the true value during the time that



the concentration levels are significant, namely during the  first 24  hours



of travel.  Figure 4-10(c) indicates that the predicted ozone  concentration



is within 5% of the true value during the first 44  hours,  but  departs from



the correct level by about 10% beyond that point.   This slight increase in



the error level is undoubtedly due to interaction of  plume e with the plume



from source f.





     Figures 4-10(d)-(g), pages 175-178, indicate that  all four hydrocarbon



species are simulated with accuracies better  than 10% over the entire 57



hour travel period.  The paraffin concentration profile in Figure 4-10(e)



contains a rather noticeable perturbation at  about  the  44  hour point  (i.e.,



day 2, hour 20) where the trajectory passes source  f.  The fact that  this



error fluctuation is quite localized supports the conclusion drawn  earlier



in our analysis of the concentration cross-sections,  that  the  compounding





                                    142

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of error upon the interception of a plume with another source is a localized



phenomenon, at least for species like hydrocarbons, NOX, PAN and others that



are active in the photochemical process.





     The profile of CO concentration shown in Figure 4-10(h), page 179,



provides evidence that the error compounding phenomenon is associated with



the concentration undershoot phenomenon that we discussed earlier in our



analysis of experiments 2A and 2B.  In particular, between hours 18 and 21



of day 2, which is the period that the Lagrangian trajectory through the



center of source e passes the edge of source f, Figure 4-10(h) shows a



slight negative perturbation in the predicted CO concentration.  The fact



that the concentration "recovers" to its proper level  downstream of source



f suggests that the undershoot zone has the character  of a standing wave



that is locked to the source.  As each air parcel that composes a plume



enters the undershoot standing wave that surrounds an  isolated source, the



concentrations of all species in that parcel are disturbed from their



equilibrium values.  The altered chemical reactions that this imbalance



excites gives rise in the case of some species to new  concentrations that



are more erroneous than those that entered the undershoot wave.  Most of



the evidence we have seen thus far suggests that downstream of the undershoot



zone, error levels tend to return to their lower, original values.  Moreover,



ozone, which is the species of primary concern to us,  is one of the species



that is least affected by the undershoot phenomenon.





     These observations bring us back to the question  of whether a'transport



algorithm that maintains positive definite concentrations, i.e., an algorithm



that does not generate the undershoot, would not be preferable in modeling



applications such as this.  Two responses come to mind.



                                    143

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     First, the aberrations that are attributable to  our transport algorithm



are localized and are not seriously large.   As  we have already noted,  the



model's ability to simulate ozone is practically untarnished  by the undershoot



phenomenon.  A second point is that the methods used  in transport schemes



to prevent negative concentrations may cause serious  distortions in the spatial



distribution and propagation speed of material  (see Figure  3-2, pages  63-66)



that are potential sources of major, widespread errors.  The  authors are



unaware of any study such as the present one in which a "positive definite"



transport algorithm has been applied to chemically reactive material.



Therefore, despite the fact that designers  of both the NCAR and the Canadian



regional acid rain models have recently chosen  transport schemes of the



positive definite type, there apparently is no  quantitative evidence that



algorithms of this type are superior.





     Continuing with our analysis of the Lagrangian profiles, we refer the



reader to Figure 4-10(i)-(w), pages 180-194, for plots of the remaining 23



species.  Since there are no significant aspects of any of  these species



other than the phenomena we have already discussed, we will not elaborate



on any of these results.  We include them for completeness  in our demonstra-



tion of the models overall simulation capability.  One counter-intuitive



characteristic of the species profiles shown in these figures is that  the



highly reactive free radicals appear to be  predicted  more accurately than



the less reactive compounds.





     The second sequence of concentration profiles along a  Lagrangian



trajectory is given in Figure 4-ll(a)-(w),  pages 195-217.  A  major difference



between this trajectory and the one depicted in Figure 4-10 is that the





                                    144

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former actually crosses source f whereas the one represented in Figure 4-11
only skirts it (see the inserts in Figure 4-11 for details).  We find on
comparing each species plot in Figure 4-11 with its counterpart in Figure
4-10, that the accuracy of the concentration predictions along this trajectory
is generally comparable or better than that found along the former trajectory.
One possible explanation of this is that the trajectory represented in
Figure 4-10 passes through the center of source e; and as we have seen the
model is not able to maintain the full amplitude of narrow plumes.  By
contrast, the trajectory represented in Figure 4-11 passes through the
outer edge of source e where both the concentration and the curvature of
its profile are smaller.  The differences in the problems of simulating the
centerline of a narrow plume vs its edge is particularly evident in a
comparison of the alkyl nitrate concentration time profiles given in Figures
4-10(1) and 4-11(1), pages 183 and 206, respectively.

     Plots of primary species, such as olefin, paraffin, and CO given in
Figure 4-ll(d), (e) and (h), respectively, indicate that the fractional
error in the predicted concentrations downwind of the  second source (f) is
approximately the same as that downwind of the first source e.  Species
such as 03, (Figure 4-ll(c)), nitric acid (4-ll(j)), alkyl nitrate (4-
11(1)), and a few others exhibit almost no sensitivity to source f, while
others such as PAN (4-ll(k)), nitrate (4-ll(o)), and hydroperoxyl  radical
(4-ll(q)) show enhanced error levels immediately after crossing source f
that subside eventually to their former levels some distance downstream.

     The final sequence of concentration profiles along Lagrangian trajec-
tories is given in Figures 4-12, pages 218-240 and 4-13, pages 241-263.

                                    145

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The former describes conditions  along a  path  that  passes  through  the  center of



source c and through the outer edge cell  of source f.   Figure  4-13  illustrates



concentrations within the plume  from source b.   The errors  apparent in



these two sets of profiles follow the same pattern as  those we have already



discussed.  The principle difference is  that  the magnitudes of the  errors



tend to increase as the width  of the simulated  plume decreases, which we



have already been led to expect.  For example,  we  find from Figures 4-10h,



12h and 13h that the fractional  error in  the  simulated center!ine CO  concen-



trations in sources 5, 3 and 2 cells wide are 10%, 18%, and 24%,  respectively,



The corresponding errors in ozone are considerably lower: 4%,  8%  and  9%,



respectively.  These are well  within what we  consider  to  be acceptable



limits.  It is fortunate that  ozone, which is the  pollutant of primary



concern to us, is among the species simulated most accurately.   In  contrast,



the predicted concentrations of  some of  the nitrogen species such as  nitrous



acid, nitric acid, alkyl nitrate and others are in error  by as  much as  50%



or more in places.  We suspect that these differences  in  accuracy reflect



differences in the character of  the chemical  reactivity of  each species.





     We leave further analysis of the results shown in Figures  4-12 and 13



to the reader.  A brief summary  of the chief  conclusions  is given in  Section



1.
                                    146

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                    147

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                               148

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                              150

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                                    151

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     0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1  4.4 4.6 4.9
             DISTANCE  FROM VORTEX CENTER (100KM)
Figure 4-8(d).  Same as Figure 4-8(a) except travel time = 52 hours

                               165

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       CROSS-SECTION PLOT
       TEST  : UNESOURCE EMISSION TEST
       DATE  : 79215
       HOUR  : 120000
       
-------
 CROSS-SECTION PLOT

 TEST  : LINESOURCE EMISSION TEST
 DATE  : 79215
 HOUR : 180000
 
-------
      CROSS-SECTION PLOT
      TEST  : UNESOURCE EMISSION TEST
      DATE  : 79216
      HOUR : 060000
          0. 8 1.1 1.3  1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.1 3. 4 3. 6 3. 5 4. 1  4. 4 4.6 4.9
                  DISTANCE FROM VORTEX CENTER (100KM)
Figure 4-9(c).
Same as Figure  4-9(a)  except travel time = 25 hours.
Insert shows  magnified plot of the predicted and true PAN
concentration distributions.


                    168

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                          o  D  U  0.: al   :  Li  0.:
                           !  !   I  I   I _ I   I  _L J
      CROSS-SECTION PLOT

      TEST  : LJNESOURCE EMISSION TEST
      DATE  : 79216
      HOUR : 150000
       o

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          0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6  1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.9

                   DISTANCE FROM VORTEX CENTER  (100KM)
Figure 4-9(d).
         Same as Figure 4-9(a) except travel time  =  34 hours.
         Insert shows magnified plot of the predicted and true  PAN

         concentration distributions.
                                    169

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      CROSS-SECTION PLOT

      TEST  : UNESOURCE EMISSION TEST

      DATE  : 79217

      HOUR  : 010000
CM  2


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          0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.9

                   DISTANCE FROM  VORTEX CENTER (100KM)
Figure 4-9(e).
          Same  as  Figure  4-9(a)  except travel time = 44 hours.

          Insert shows  magnified plot of the predicted and true  PAN

          concentration distributions.
                                     170

-------
 CROSS-SECTION PLOT
 TEST  : UNESOURCE EMISSION TEST
 DATE  : 79217
 HOUR  : 090000
O

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 LU
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        	  CHEMISTRY

        	 NEROS
                                         D
    0.8 1.1 1.3  l.B 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.9
             DISTANCE FROM  VORTEX CENTER  (100KM)
Figure 4-9(f).  Same as Figure 4-9(a) except travel time = 52 hours

                               171

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.29  COLUMN -  35.47
O
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DAY 1
16
20
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8 12 16
DAY 2
20
24
|
4
DAY 3
8
                      TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-10(a).
    Comparison of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true NO concentration
    (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that  passes
    through the center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                   172

-------
   TIME  TRACK  PLOT
   LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN - 33.47
             CHEMISTRY
             ROM
            S   12   16   20   24
               DAY 1            |
8   12   16   20
  DAY 2
24   4    8
 I  DAY 3
                     TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(b).  Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot) and true N02 concentration
                (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
                through the center of source  e, experiment 3A.
                                  173

-------
LU
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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN - 35.47
O

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CHEMISTRY

ROM
8
    12

  DAY 1
                       16   20   24-
8   12   16   20

  DAY 2
24
8
                                                              I  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-10(c).   Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  ozone concen
                   tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                   passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     174

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O


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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INCTIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN -  35.47
CHEMISTRY

ROM
                               ill i i L 1 11 i L i t i  I j^ i i I i  i i L^i^i r~
               8    12   16   20   24


                 DAY 1           |
                            8   12   18   20   24
          8
                              DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-10(d).  Comparison  of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true olefin concen-
                   tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                   passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                      175

-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN - 35.47
           ,I ... I ... I ... I  ... I ... I ... I ... I ...
            8    12   18   20   24

              DAY 1           |
8
  12   16

DAY 2
20   24    4    8

     I   DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 4-10(e).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true paraffin
                concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory
                that passes through the center  of source e, experiment 3A.
                                  176

-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN
             DAY  1
                         DAY 2
DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
Figure 4-10(f).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true aldehyde
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the  center of source e, experiment  3A.
                                  177

-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN - 33.47
               12   16   20   24
              DAY 1
6   12   16   20   24

  DAY 2
                                                                   8
DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(g).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true aromatic
                concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
                that  passes through the  center of source  e, experiment 3A,
                                  178

-------
     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25
Q_
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DAY 2
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DAY 3
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                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
  Figure 4-10(h).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
concentration (solid curve) along a lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the  center of source  e, experiment 3A.
                                    179

-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNE50URCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN - 35.47
             JEMISTRY
                12   16   20   24
         r  . . . i/. , t . . .  t . \ i .  .
8   12   18  20   24    4   8

  DAY 2            ,  DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(i).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
                concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
                that passes through the  center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                  180

-------
     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  2933
~   2
O

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                  I I 1 i |_.J._J_. I I 1 t I I  Ll i .L_.l.. I I I I I I	I I I I I  I I 1 I I I  I I I I I 1  I 1 1 t |  |
                   12    16   20   24
                 DAY 1
                            8   12   18   20   24

                              DAY 2            i
       8
DAY 3
                        TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-10(j).
    Comparison  of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true nitric acid
    concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                      181

-------
     TIME TRACK  PLOT

     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  29.25  COLUMN - 39.47
CM

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    O1 '  "
8   12   16   20   24
                                           8   12   16    20
                 DAY 1
                        TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-10(k).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and  true  PAN

    concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory

    that passes through the center of source e,  experiment 3A.
                                     182

-------
     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25
CD
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CHEMISTRY

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    fil I 1  I I I l^lXf I I I I I 1  I I I I I  I I 1 I I I  I I I I I I I  I I I I I  I I I ! I I  I ! I I I I  , I I I I I  I I I

    u     4    8    12   16   20  24    4   8   12   16   20  24    4    8
     I
                 DAY 1
                              DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-10(1).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true alkyl nitrate
    concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the  center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     183

-------
     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  29.25
CM
O
    7r-
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                              .. I ... I ... I ... I  ... i ... I ... I ... I ... 1  ..
              8   12   16   20   24

                 DAY 1            |
                                         8    12   18   20   24
                                            DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-10(m).
                  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true hydrogen
                  peroxide  concentration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian
                  trajectory that passes through the  center of source e,
                  experiment 3A.
                                    184

-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN - 35.47
                12   16   20   24

              DAY 1
                        8
  12

DAY 2
16    20   24
  4

DAY 3
8
                    TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(n).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  atomic
oxygen concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
trajectory that passes through the center of source e,
experiment 3A.
                                  185

-------
  TIME  TRACK  PLOT
  LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.23 COLUMN - 33.47
o
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            CHEMISTRY
            ROM
               8
                       i i I  i i i I i i  i I i i i
               12   16   20   24
  12    16   20   24
              DAY 1
DAY 2
                                                                DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(o).
                    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and  true nitrate concen-
                    tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                    passes through the center of source e,  experiment 3A.
                                  186

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNE50URCE EMISSION SIMULATION 1EST
  INfTIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 26.25 COLUMN - 35.47
           S   12   16   20   24

              DAY 1	I
8   12   18   20   24   4    8

  DAY 2	i  DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(p).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  hydroxyl concen-
                tration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                passes through the center  of source e, experiment 3A.

                                  187

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INfHAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 20.23 '
    2r
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-------
  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN - 35.47
            8    12   16   20    24
              DAY 1
                          DAY 2
20   24    4    8

     I   DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(r).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true pernitric acid
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the center of source e, experiment 3A.
                                  189

-------
     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INmAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25  COLUMN - 35.47
o> ^

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                  12   16   20   24
                           12   16   20   24
         8
                DAY 1
                          DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-10(s).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true alkoxyl radical
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that  passes through the  center of source  e, experiment 3A.
                                     190

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNE50URCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25
O

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              3    12   16   20    24

                 DAY 1
                            8   12    16   20   24
         8
                              DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure  4-10(t).  Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkylperoxy
                   radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
                   trajectory  that passes through  the center of source  e,
                   experiment  3A.

                                     191

-------
  TIME TRACK  PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN -  35.47
            CHEMISTRY

            ROM
                                                      I ... I
            8    12   16   20   24

              DAY 1
8   12   16   20   24

  DAY 2            i
DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-10(u).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkoxy
                radical  concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian
                trajectory that passes through the center of source e,
                experiment 3A.
                                  192

-------
     TIME  TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25 COLUMN - 30.47
ct:
              8   12   16    20   24

                DAY 1
8   12   18   20   24   4    8
  DAY 2	|  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-10(v).   Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true peroxyacyl
                   radical concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
                   trajectory that passes through the center of source e,
                   experiment 3A.

                                     193

-------
     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 29.25

-------
   TIME TRACK PLOT
   UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK I ROW - 31.91 COLUMN - 37.03
            CHEMISTRY
            S   12   16  20   24
                                                   A
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                 ....A
  12   16  20   24    4   3

DAY 2	i  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure 4-ll(a).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true NO concentration
               (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
               through the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A.
                                195

-------
   TIME TRACK  PLOT
   UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  31.51
            CHEMISTRY

            ROM
                12    18   20   24
              DAY 1
3   12   16   20   24

  DAY 2
                                                                 \
                                                                   \
                                                                    \
                                                      I . . I I.. I I I I  I I I
       8
DAY 3
                     TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-ll(b).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true N02 concentration
                (solid  curve) along a  Lagrangian trajectory that passes
                through the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A.
                                  196

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.81
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      I I I I I I I I I  I I I I I I  I I I t I I  I I I I i I  I i I i I  i i r I i i  i I i i i I  i i i I i i  i I ! i i I
                                                                        i-J-
8   12   16   20   24

  DAY 1
8   12   18   20   24

  DAY 2
                                                                      8
                                                               DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(c).
    Comparison of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true ozone concentration
    (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory that passes
    through the outer most grid cell  of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     197

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNE50URCE EMISSION SIMULATION

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.61
CM

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                DAY 1
        16
20
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a   12   16   20   24

  DAY 2            ,
                                                       3
                                                DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-ll(d).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true olefin concentra^
    tion (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
    through the outer most  grid cell of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     198

-------
     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.01
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          4   8   12   16  20   24    4   S   12   18  20  24    4   8
                 DAY 1
                                j_
                                             DAY 2
                                                             1
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(e).
                   Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true paraffin concen-
                   tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that  passes
                   through the outer  most grid cell  of source e, experiment  3A.
                                     199

-------
TIME TRACK PLOT
UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
                               1. 8 1
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                 DAY 1           i
                                     8   12   18    20   24
                                        DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure  4-ll(f).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true aldehyde concen-
                   tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory that passes
                   through  the outer most grid cell of source e, experiment 3A.

                                     200

-------
     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.81
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              8   12   16   20   24    4   3   12   16

                 DAY 1	,	DAY 2
                                                    20   24    4    8

                                                         i  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(g).   Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true aromatic  concen-
                   tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
                   through the outer  most grid cell  of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     201

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 3T.A1
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          4   8   12   16  M   24    48    12   16   20  24    4    8
                 DAY 1
                          DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(h).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true carbon monoxide
concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the outer most grid cell  of source e,
experiment 3A.
                                     202

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     TIME  TRACK  PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INFITAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
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                  12   16   20   24
                                          12   16   20   24
       8
                DAY 1
                                        DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(i).
               Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous acid
               concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
               that passes through the outer most grid cell of source e,
               experiment 3A.

                                 203

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TIME  TRACK  PLOT
UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
IN/HAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - JT.61 COLUMN
                                        - 37 JOS
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              8   12   18   20   24

                DAY 1
                                    8   12    16   20   24    4   8

                                      DAY 2           i   DAY 3
                      TIME (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(j).
             Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true nitric acid
             concentration (solid  curve) along a lagrangian  trajectory
             that passes through the  outer most grid cell  of source e,
             experiment 3A.
                                    204

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.C1
    8
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CHEMISTRY

ROM
              a   12   16   20   24
                 DAY 1            ,
                       4    S   12    16
                              DAY 2
20
24   4

 I  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(k).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true PAN concen-
    tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
    passes through the outer most grid  cell of source e,
    experiment 3A.
                                     205

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : .ROW -  31.81  COLUMN - 37.03
03
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                        I I  I . I . . ,  \ 1 . I I  . . . I . I  . I . I I  I . . . I  , . . I . ,  I I , , .  I ,
                   12    16   20   24
                                 12   18   20   24
          8
                 DAY 1
                               DAY 2
I  DAY 3
                        TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-11(1).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true alkyl nitrate
    concentration (solid  curve) along a tagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the  outer most grid cell of source e,
    experiment 3A.
                                     206

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW
               31.61 COLUMN -  37.03
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          4    8    12   16   20   24    4    8   12    18   20   24   4    8

         	DAY 1           •            DAY 2            ,  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(n).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true oxygen atom
    concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory
    that  passes through the  outer most grid cell  of source e,
    experiment 3A.
                                     208

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.81 COLUMN
                                     -  37.03
    2r
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           CHEMISTRY

           ROM
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U     4   8   12
                 DAY 1
16   20   24
                                                     A
S   12   16   20   24

  DAY 2            i
                                                                       8
                                                            DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure  4-ll(o).
               Comparison  of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true nitrate
               concentration  (solid curve) along  a Lagrangian trajectory
               that passes through the outer most  grid cell of source e,
               experiment  3A.
                                     209

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  TIME TRACK  PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.61
           8   12   16   20   24
                       8   12   16   20   24
             DAY 1
                         DAY 2
i  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-11(p).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true hydroxyl
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the  outer most grid  cell of source e,
experiment 3A.

                  210

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK ; ROW - 31.81
.I ... I ... I... I ... I ...
                                                     I i
a   12   16   20   24

  DAY 1           i
                                           12    18   20   24
                                               8
                                         DAY 2
                                      I  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 4-ll(q).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydroperoxyl
                radical concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
                trajectory that passes through the outer most  grid cell of
                source e, experiment 3A.
                                  211

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   TIME TRACK  PLOT
   UNE50URCE EMISSION SIMULATION
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - Jf.SI
                12   16   20   24

              DAY 1
                        8    12   16   20    24    48

                          DAY 2           i   DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-ll(r).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true pernitric
acid concentration (solid curve) along  a  Lagrangian
trajectory that passes through the outer  most grid cell
source e, experiment 3A.
                                                                     of
                                  212

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     TIME  TRACK  PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  31.91
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             DAY 1
                       16   20   24
  12

DAY 2
16   20   24
                                                               DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(s).
               Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true alkoxyl
               radical concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
               trajectory that passes through the  outer most grid  cell of

               source  e, experiment  3A.


                                 213

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.61
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                     I I   I I ,  I  , ,  I I ,   I , , I I ,  , I , , 1  I , , ,
              8   12   16    20   24
8   12   18   20   24
                 DAY 1
  DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(t).   Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true alkylperoxy

                   radical concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian

                   trajectory that passes through the  outer most grid cell  of

                   source e, experiment 3A.


                                     214

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 4(1.61  COLUMN
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              8    12   16   20    24    4    8   12    18   20   24    4    8

                 DAY 1	,	        DAY 2           ,   DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-11(u).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  alkoxy radical
    concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that  passes through the  outer most grid cell  of  source e,
    experiment 3A.
                                     215

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION

     INflTAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 31.01 COLUMN
                         37.03
10 •»
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                DAY 1            ,
                        8   12    16   20   24    4    8

                          DAY 2           i   DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-ll(v).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  peroxyacyl
radical  concentration (solid curve) along a  Lagrangian
trajectory that passes through the outer most  grid cell

of source e, experiment 3A.
                                     216

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   TIME TRACK  PLOT
   UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  36.32  COLUMN
                         40.16
            CHEMISTRY

            ROM
                           I I	I  1 1 1 t I  1 1 1
                                                          I Li II 1 1 t L...I I I
       4    8   12   16   20   24    4    3   12   16    20   24    4
              DAY 1
                          DAY 2
I  DAY 5
                     TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-12(a).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true NO concentration
(solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
through the center of source  c, experiment 3A.
                                  218

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0

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36J2 COLUMN
                                       40.16
    5-
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     -
           CHEMISTRY

           ROM.
1-
              8   12   16   20   24   4    3   12   16

                DAY 1            |           DAY 2
                                                   20   24   4    3

                                                         i  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-12(b).   Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true N02 concentration
                   (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
                   through the center of source c,  experiment 3A.

                                    219

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INfTTAL LOCATION OF TRACK :  ROW - 36 J2 COLUMN - 40.16
                                           I  1 1  1  I I I 1  ! I 1 1 I 1  I I I I I
       4    8    12   16   20    24    4   a    12   18   20   24    4   8
              DAY 1
DAY 2
DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-12(c).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true ozone concen-
                tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A.
                                  220

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK :  ROW - 36.32 COLUMN - 40.16
       4    8    12   16   20   24    4   &    12   16
                                     20    24    4    3

                                          I   DAY 5
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-12(d).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true olefin concen-
tration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory that
passes through the center  of source c, experiment 3A.
                                  221

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36,32  COLUMN -  40.16
CM
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               ROM
                                                       V
       I JJ i A II I I I II I  II 1 1 L Ll i I 1 t I i L I L I  1 L I L 1 I  11 1 L I  t I 1 I I 1
          4    8   12    16   20   24   4    8   12   16   20   24    4    B
                 DAY 1
                                             DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-12(e).
                   Comparison  of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true paraffin concen-
                   tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                   passes through the center of source c, experiment JA.
                                      222

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
CM

O


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          4   3    ^2   16   20   24    4    3   12   16   20   24   4
                 DAY 1
                                         DAY 2
I  DAY 5
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-l2(f).
                   Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true aldehyde  concen-
                   tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                   passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A.
                                     223

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  TIME TRACK  PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  36.32  COLUMN
           8   12   16   20   24
             DAY 1
                       3   12   16

                         DAY 2
20   24    4    3

        DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
Figure  4-12(g).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true aromatic concen-
tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory that
passes through the center of source c,  experiment 3A.

                  224

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-------
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     TIME  TRACK  PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
    4-
O  3F-
               CHEMISTRY

               ROM
              8   12   16   20   24

                 DAY 1            i
3   12   16

  DAY 2
20
                                                            24
                                                               DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-12(1)
                   Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrous  acid
                   concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
                   that passes through the center of source c, experiment 3A.


                                    226

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.
       4   8   12   16   20   24    4    3   12   16   20   24    4    8
              DAY 1
                          DAY 2
DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 4-12(j).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true nitric acid
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the  center of source c, experiment 3A.

                  227

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - -36.32 COLUMN
                                            40.16
     	
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      ! 1  1 I t 1 I
              8   12   16   20   24


                 DAY 1            i
                                           8    12    16   20   24


                                             DAY 2           i
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-12(k).
                   Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true PAN  concen-

                   tration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory

                   that  passes through the  center of source c, experiment 3A.
                                     228

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
to
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       1 I [ I I \^4T\ I L I I  I I t I _1. t.. l_ 1 II t  I I 1 I 1 I  t 1 I I 1  I I 1 I I II 111 | |  | 1 1 L I_ 1 I	| | I I	|
               8   12    16   20   24-

                 DAY 1            ,
                            8   12    16   20   24


                              DAY 2            ,
DAY 3
                        TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-12(1).  Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alky!  nitrate
                   concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
                   that passes through the center of source c, experiment  3A.
                                     229

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INmAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
CM

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1-
      4    3   12   16   20   24


            DAY 1            i
                                          8   12   16    20   24    4    8


                                             DAY 2            i  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-12(m).
              Comparison of  predicted (dash-dot) and true hydrogen peroxide

              concentration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory

              that passes through the center  of source c, experiment 3A.
                                     230

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O
     TIME  TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  36.32  COLUMN - 40.16
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                DAY 1
    16   20
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  12

DAY 2
16
20
24
                                            DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-12(n).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  atomic oxygen
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the center of source c,  experiment 3A.
                                     231

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     TIME  TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INfTIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32 COLUMN
O

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CHEMISTRY

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                                          /
                           i I i  i i I i i i  I i i i r I  I I I I ' • I  iT*! i I  i i i I i I  i I i i
          4-   S   12   16   20   24    4    8    12   16   20   24    4    8

         	DAY 1	i	DAY 2	|  DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure  4-12(o).
    Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot) and true nitrate
    concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the center of source c, experiment  3A.
                                     232

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.J2 COLUMN -  40.16
O


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CHEMISTRY

ROM
              8   12   16   20    24
                            3   12    6   20   24
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-12(p).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydroxyl radical

    concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the center  of source c, experiment 3A.


                      233

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  36.32  COLUMN - 40.16
    2r-
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               8    12    16   20   24

                 DAY 1            |
                            3   12   16   20   24

                               DAY 2            ,
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-12(q).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  hydroperoxyl
    radical concentration  (solid curve) along  a  Lagrangian
    trajectory that  passes through the center  of source c,
    experiment 3A.
                                      234

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32
    3r-
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              8   12   16   20    24
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-12(r).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  pernitric
    acid  concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian
    trajectory that passes through the center of source c,
    experiment 3A.

                      235

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  TIME  TRACK  PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32  COLUMN - 40.16
                                           12   16   20   24
8   12    16   20   24

  DAY 1
                                          DAY 2
I  DAY 5
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-12(s).
     Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alkoxyl
     radical concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
     trajectory that passes through the  center of source c,
     experiment 3A.
                                  236

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32
10r-
           S    12   16   20   24-

              DAY 1
                       8    12   16   20   24    4   8

                          DAY 2  	|  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-12(t).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkylperoxy
radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
trajectory that passes through the center of  source c,
experiment 3A.
                                  237

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32  COLUMN -  40.16
o   2

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2 16 20 24
DAY 1 ,
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4 8 12 16 20 24
DAY 2
4
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DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure  4-12(u).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkoxy
    radical  concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian
    trajectory that passes through the center of source c,
    experiment 3A.
                                     238

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INmAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 36.32 COLUMN
                             40.16
    5r-
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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK :  ROW = 36.32
CO

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          8    12   16   20   24
                                           8    12    16   20   24
                 DAY 1
                                         DAY 2
DAY 3
                        1ME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-12(w).
              Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and peroxy radical

              concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
              trajectory that  passes through the  center of source c,

              experiment 3A.
                                     240

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   TIME TRACK  PLOT
   UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
   INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  41.04  COLUMN
- 43.28
            CHEMISTRY

            .ROM
                          It j  I j | 11 I  | | 1 ..J_ I  ! I 1 III! t I * I  1 I. I I I It 1
                12   16   20   24
              DAY 1
      12   18

    DAY 2
24
   DAY 3
                     TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-13(a).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true NO concentration
                (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that passes
                through the  inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  241

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.28
CM

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                 DAY 1
DAY 2
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-13(b).   Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true N0£ concentration
                   (solid curve) along a Lagrangian  trajectory that passes
                   through the inner edge of source  b, experiment 3A.
                                     242

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INfTW. LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
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3   12   16   20   24

  DAY 1            .
3   12   Id

  DAY 2
                                                       20   24
                                                               DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-13(c).
     Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true ozone  concen-
     tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
     passes through the inner edge of  source b, experiment 3A.
                                     243

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     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN -  43.28
    2r-
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                                          I
                                               I
              3    12   16   20    24
                 DAY 1            i
                            3   12   IS   20
                              DAY 2
24   4    3
 i  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure  4-13(d).
     Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  olefin concen-
     tration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
     passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                     244

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.28
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DAY 1 i DAY 2 , DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-13(e).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true paraffin  concen-
                tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
                passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  245

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   TIME TRACK  PLOT
   UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
       LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -
                                          Li_j.-i_i-t...-i i .1 i i i .1 i i  i i in i i  i i . i
       4    3    12   16   20   24    4    3    t2    16   20   24    4    3
              DAY 1
                          DAY 2
I  DAY 5
                    TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-13(f).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  aldehyde concen-
tration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.

                  246

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.28
              DAY 1
                          DAY 2
4    4

i  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-13(g).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true aromatic concen-
tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory that
passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.

                  247

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - *
                1 .  . . I
              I I 1 I  I 1 1 I
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       4    8    12   18   20   24

              DAY 1           ,
                            12   18   20   24

                          DAY 2           i
       3
DAY 3
                    TiME (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-13(h).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot)  and true carbon monoxide
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the  inner edge of source b, experiment 3A
                                  248

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  TIME TRACK  PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
       LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN -
43.23
            CHEMISTRY
            ROM
              DAY 1
   12   18   20   24
 DAY 2            !
DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
Figure  4-13(i).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  nitrous acid
                concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
                that  passes through the  inner edge of source b, experiment  3A,
                                  249

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.
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  DAY 1
                                              12   16
                                             DAY 2
2Q   24    4    3

        DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure  4-13(j).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  nitric acid
    concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                     250

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESGURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.23
           3   12   16    20   24
                    TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure 4-13(k).
Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true PAN concen-
tration  (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory that
passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  251

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TIME TRACK  PLOT
LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
     4   8   12   16    20   24    4    3   12   16   20   24    4    3
            DAY 1
                                          DAY 2
DAY 3
                  TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
Figure  4-13(1).
              Comparison of predicted (dash-dot)  and true alkyl  nitrate
              concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
              that passes through the inner edge  of source b, experiment 3A
                                252

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
O

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CHEMISTRY

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              3   12   18   20   24
                DAY 1
                              DAY 2
20   24    4    3

     !   DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF  DAY)
   Figure 4-13(m).
    Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true hydrogen peroxide
    concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
    that  passes through the  inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.
                                     253

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 4t.04 COLUMN - 43.28
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  DAY 2            ,
DAY 3
                       T!ME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-13(n).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true atomic oxygen
                   concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory
                   that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                     254

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     TIME TRACK PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
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  12    16   20   24
DAY 1           i
                       4    3   12    18   20   24    4    3
                              DAY 2           i   DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure  4-13(o).
    Comparison of  predicted (dash-dot)  and true nitrate concen-
    tration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory that
    passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment  3A.
                                     255

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INfTIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.28
           3   12   16   20   24
             DAY 1
3   12   18
  DAY 2
24   4    3
 1  DAY 3
                    TIME  (HOUR  OF  DAY)
Figure  4-13(p).  Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and true  hydroxyl radical
                concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory thai
                passes  through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  256

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW -  41.04  COLUMN - 43.28
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          4    3    12    18   20   24    4    S   12   16   20   24   4    B
                 DAY 1
                              DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-13(q).  Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot) and true hydroperoxyl
                   radical  concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian
                   trajectory  that passes through the inner edge of source  b,
                   experiment  3A.
                                     257

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     TIME TRACK PLOT

     LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.28
    2r-
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                 DAY 1
                              DAY 2
DAY 3
                       TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
   Figure 4-13(r).
    Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true pernitric acid

    concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian  trajectory

    that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A
                                     258

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  LJNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN
           3   12   16   20   24-
                       3    12   16   20   24
                    TIME  (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-13(s).
Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true  alkoxyl radical
concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  259

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT

     L'NESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
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                 DAY 1
                                         DAY 2
                        .  DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure 4-13(t).
               Comparison  of  predicted (dash-dot) and true alkylperoxyl
               radical  concentration (solid curve) along a Lagrangian
               trajectory  that  passes through the inner edge of source  b,

               experiment  3A.
                                      260

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  TIME TRACK PLOT
  UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
  INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN - 43.23
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              DAY 1
                        3    12   16   20   24

                          DAY 2
DAY 3
                    TIME (HOUR OF DAY)
Figure  4-13(u).
Comparison  of predicted (dash-dot) and true alkoxy  radical
concentration (solid curve)  along a Lagrangian trajectory
that passes through the inner edge of source b, experiment 3A.
                                  261

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT

     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST

     INITIAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04
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            DAY 1
                                               12   16   20   24
                                             DAY 2
                                                         !   DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF  DAY)
   Figure  4-13(v).
               Comparison of predicted  (dash-dot) and  true peroxyacyl

               radical concentration  (solid curve) along a Lagrangian

               trajectory that passes through the inner edge of source b,

               experiment 3A.
                                     262

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     TIME TRACK  PLOT
     UNESOURCE EMISSION SIMULATION TEST
     INfTlAL LOCATION OF TRACK : ROW - 41.04 COLUMN -  43.25
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                  12   16   20   24
                 DAY 1
                              DAY 2
20   24    4    3

        DAY 3
                       TIME (HOUR  OF DAY)
   Figure  4-13(w).  Comparison of predicted (dash-dot) and true peroxy
                   radical  concentration (solid  curve) along a Lagrangian
                   trajectory that passes through the inner edge of source b,
                   experiment 3A.

                                     263

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                                 REFERENCES


Demerjian, K. L. and K. L. Schere,  (1979):  "Applications of a  Photochemical
     Box Model  for Ozone Air Quality in Houston,  Texas.   Proceedings, Ozone/
     Oxidants:  Interactions with the Total  Environment II,  Houston,  TX, 14-17
     Oct. 1979, APCA, Pittsburgh, Pa.,  pp.  329-352.

Demerjian, K. L., K. L. Schere,  and J.  T.  Peterson,  (1980): "Theoretical
     estimates  of actinic (spherically  integrated)  flux  and photolytic rate
     constants  of atmospheric species in the lower  troposphere."  In Advances
     In Environmental Science and Technology - Vol.  10,  J.  N. Pitts  et al.,
     eds., John Wiley and Sons,  New York,  pp. 369-459.

Gear, C. W., (1971):  "The automatic integration  of ordinary differential
     equation".  Communications  of the  ACM, Vol.  14, 176-179.

Lamb, R. G., (1983): "A Regional Scale  (1000 km)  Model of Photochemical Air
     Pollution: Part 1.  Theoretical Formulation".   EPA-600/3-83-035. 237  pages.

Lamb, R. G., (1984): "A Regional Scale  (1000 km)  Model of Photochemical Air
     Pollution: Part 2.  Input processor network  design".  EPA-600/S3-84-085.
     310 pages.

Mahrer, Y. and  R. A. Pielke, (1978): "A Test of an  Upstream Spline Interpolation
     Technique  for the Advection Terms  in  a Numerical  Mesoscale Model".
     Mon. Uea.  Rev., Vol. 106, pp 818-830.

Schere, K. L.,  (1984): Private communication.

Yamartino, R. J., (1984):  Private communication.

Zalesak, S., (1979): "Fully Multidimensional Flux-Corrected Transport Algorithms
     for Fluids", J. Comp. Physics, 31: 335-362.
                                    264

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                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
                              2.
                                                            3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
                                                            5. REPORT DATE
 A REGIONAL-SCALE (1000 KM)  MODEL OF PHOTOCHEMICAL AIR
 POLLUTION    Part 3. Tests of the Numerical Algorithms
             6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

 Robert  G.  Lamb and Gerard  F.  Laniak
                                                            8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
             10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.

               CDWA1A/02-1335    FY"85
 Same  as  Block 12
                                                            11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 Atmospheric Sciences Research Laboratory—RTF,  NC
 Office  of Research and Development
 Environmental  Protection Agency
 Research  Triangle Park, North Carolina  27711
                                                            13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                                  In-house
              14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE

                   EPA/600/09
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
        The  Regional Oxidant Model  (ROM) developed  in two earlier reports  is applied
   to a series  of hypothetical  problems whose exact solutions are known.   Comparisons
   are made  between the model's predictions and  the known solutions to  assess the
   accuracies of the numerical  algorithms that comprise the model's predictive
   equations.   It is found that in  the case of ozone, the solutions of  the numerical
   algorithms on which the model  is based are within 10 percent of the  solutions of
   the corresponding differential equations that describe the chemical  and physical
   processes that the model simulates.  Extensive documentation is provided in the
   report  of the model's performance in simulating  the concentrations of 23 chemical
   species over a 48-hour period.
17.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS  C.  COSATI Field/Group
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
         RELEASE TO PUBLIC
                                                                           21. NO. OF PAGES
                                               20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
                                                     UNCLASSIFIED
                            22. PRICE
 EPA Form 2220-1 (R*v. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION is OBSOLETE

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