-------
water consumed by base model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
and polyvinyl chloride plants are also included in Tables 6-12 and
6-13 to give some perspective. The figures for the base plants
represent the average values reported by two ethylene dichloride-
13
vinyl chloride plants, seven polyvinyl chloride suspension and
dispersion plants10'11'12'14'15'16'17and one polyvinyl chloride bulk
24
plant. There was a wide range of values reported by the polyvinyl
chloride suspension and dispersion plants, from 4.0 to 45 I/kg product
(0.48 to 5.5 gal/lb).
6.2.2.2.2 Wastewater from the Control Process
The two water pollutants generated or increased as the
result of the application of controls identified in Chapter 4 are
vinyl chloride and hydrogen chloride.
Vinyl ChlorideAmount Generated
Small increases in the quantities of vinyl chloride released
into plant inprocess wastewater would result from using the water purge
system for polyvinyl chloride reactors, scrubbers for control of hydrogen
chloride emissions from incineration, carbon adsorption (the desorption
process), and improved slurry stripping. Table 6-14 presents the
quantities of vinyl chloride which would be released into the
inprocess wastewater at model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants
using incinerator-scrubbers and at model polyvinyl chloride suspension
plants using the water purge system, incinerator-scrubbers and/or
carbon adsorption to control vinyl chloride emissions. For purposes of
comparison, Table 6-14 also shows the quantity of vinyl chloride
reported to be released into the wastewater from base model plants in
the past with no EPA regulations in effect. The figures for the
6-43
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base ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants represent one
M chlor
14,15,16
13
plant response and the figures for the base polyvinyl chloride
plants represent the average of three plant responses.
Technology Available to Prevent Pollution
Studies indicate that any vinyl chloride released into the water,
even though it may be measurable in the plant wastewater, is not measurable
22
downstream. studies were recently conducted by the EPA Environmental
Research Laboratory in Athens, Georgia, to determine the pathways by
which vinyl chloride is lost from aquatic systems. Bacterial
degradation of vinyl chloride was found to be negligible, and vinyl
chloride did not affect bacterial growth under test conditions. No
sorption to bacteria, algae or fungi could be detected. Data are
not yet available on sorption to inorganic particulate. Equilibrium
approximations suggest that under poor transfer conditions sorption
to inorganic particulate may be significant.
Based on solubility data, it is estimated that essentially all
the vinyl chloride in the inprocess wastewater would be released to
the atmosphere. In the presence of a large amount of pure air, the
partial pressure of vinyl chloride would be extremely small causing
the solubility of vinyl chloride in the water to be essentially zero.
It appears from reported data (see Chapter 4, section 4.10) that the
retention time of a wastewater treatment system is sufficient to allow
all the vinyl chloride to be released prior to discharge. This may
be due to evaporation. Vinyl chloride, with a density of 0.9834
at 20°C, is expected to rise to the surface of the water.
Vinyl chloride emissions into the water and subsequently into the
6-45
-------
air can be prevented by a water stripper. The technology of water
stripping is described in detail in Chapter 4, section 4.10 and
involves application of heat or vacuum to remove vinyl chloride from the
wastewater. The vinyl chloride which is removed can subsequently
be transferred to a monomer recovery system or to a control device.
Cost of Control Technology
Information on the cost of water strippers can be found in
Chapter 7.
Hydrogen ChlorideAmount Generated
Table 6-15 quantifies the water reject rate from a scrubber
and the amount of hydrogen chloride which would be released into
the wastewater for the model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants
using incinerator-scrubbers to meet the various alternative control
levels. The same information is provided in Table 6-16 for model
polyvinyl chloride plants using incinerator-scrubbers (Case B -
the incineration option) to attain the Alternative II control level
in the case of dispersion resin manufacture and the proposed standard
in the case of manufacture of other resins. Incinerator-scrubbers
would not be used to attain the Alternative I control level and could
not (at least at the present time) be used to attain the Alternative III
control level in the manufacture of dispersion resins.
For ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants, the hydrogen
chloride which would be released into the wastewater due to incineration
of the chlorinated hydrocarbons other than vinyl chloride in the
effluent streams is included in the calculations in Table 6-15.
6-46
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6-48
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However, not included in the table is the hydrogen chloride
which may already be released into the wastewater at ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plants using scrubbers to control hydrogen
chloride emissions from process equipment and/or hydrogen chloride
emissions from incinerators used to dispose of liquid chlorinated
hydrocarbon wastes.
The pH of the water effluent from the scrubber resulting from
the hydrogen chloride emissions into the water is also included
in Tables 6-15 and 6-16 for the various model plants. As can be seen
from the table, the hydrogen chloride absorbed would cause the water
leaving the scrubber to have a low pH (about 1.0). This acidic effluent
could cause the total plant effluent to have a low pH since the scrubber
effluent would be a sizeable portion of the total effluent stream.
Technology Available to Prevent Pollution
The water effluent guidelines for ethylene dichloride, vinyl
chloride, and polyvinyl chloride plants specify that all new and
existing plants must maintain the pH of water effluent between
6.0 and 9.07'8 (39 FR 12506 and 39 FR 14678).
In order to meet these guidelines, the hydrogen chloride from the
scrubber stream could be recovered or neutralized prior to discharge to
the plant effluent system. Generally, the concentration of the recovered
acid would be too low to be sold or recycled. However, further processing
would allow the production of strong acid or anhydrous hydrogen chloride.
Extractive distillation would probably be necessary to accomplish this
additional concentration. Ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants appear
to be the only ones with wastewater streams where hydrogen chloride
recovery is feasible. If it were recovered at a balanced ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plant, it could be used as a raw material in
6-49
-------
the process. The hydrogen chloride concentrations of the effluents
from scrubbers in the different types of polyvinyl chloride plants
are too low (1 percent or less) to make hydrogen chloride recovery
feasible. In these cases, the scrubber effluent can be neutralized
by adding caustic (NaOH) to the water in the scrubber or after it
leaves the scrubber. The amount of caustic needed depends on the
hydrogen chloride concentration of the effluent. Tables 6-15 and
6-16 list the amount of caustic needed for neutralization for each
model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plant.
Approximately 1.1 kilograms of caustic are needed to neutralize one
kilogram of hydrogen chloride.
Costs of Technology to Abate Acidic Effluent
The costs of caustic used to neutralize the hydrogen chloride collected
in the scrubber water are included in the annual direct operating costs
in Chapter 7 for the model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants
and polyvinyl chloride plants attaining the various control levels.
The data used to develop the cost figures in Chapter 7 indicate that
the current cost of caustic is about $0.77/kg ($0.35/lb). The fraction
of the annual direct operating cost attributable to caustic would
vary from plant to plant depending on such factors as the production
rate, volumetric flowrate, and the type of control applied to the
oxychlorination reactor. However, as an example, caustic for model ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plants attaining the Alternative I control
level would be about $279,000/yr (or 44 percent of the annual direct
operating cost). The cost of caustic for model ethylene dichloride-
6-50
-------
vinyl chloride plants attaining the Alternative III control level would
be about $310,000/yr {or about 30 percent of the annual direct
operating cost). The cost of caustic is a smaller fraction of the
total annual direct operating cost for Alternative III than for
Alternative I, because fuel would be a large part of the operating
cost for Alternative III.
6.2.2.3 Solid Waste
A typical polyvinyl chloride plant (68 million kg product/yr)
would require 3,450 kg (7,600 Ib) of carbon in a carbon adsorption
unit to control the monomer recovery system. As explained in section
6.1, since carbon adsorption has had only limited use in the ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride or polyvinyl chloride industries, the bed-life
of the carbon is not known at this time. However, it is judged that the
carbon may have to be replaced every 1 to 3 years, or that the typical
plant using carbon adsorption on its monomer recovery system may have
to discard as much as 3,450 kg of carbon/yr. In comparison, based
18
on information obtained from a similar but larger plant, the
total solid waste generated by an average-sized plant is estimated
to be 1.8 million kg/yr (2.6 million Ib/yr).
Besides bulk there may be additional problems associated with
disposal of the carbon due to residual vinyl chloride or other con-
taminants collected on the bed. Problems of this nature have not
been qualified or quantified at this time. It is conceivable that the
waste carbon could be burned in a boiler to recover some of the heat
value of the material; however, potential air pollution problems such as
emissions of hydrogen chloride from combustion of chlorinated hydrocarbons
would exist.
6-B1
-------
6.2.2.4 Noise and Radiation
As indicated in Table 6-1, there are no known noise or radiation
impacts associated with the controls.
6.2.2.5 Energy Considerations
In Tables 6-17 and 6-18,, incremental energy requirements are
estimated for the model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants and
polyvinyl chloride dispersion plants attaining the alternative control
levels identified in Chapter 5. In Tables 6-19 and 6-20, incremental
energy requirements are estimated for the model polyvinyl chloride
suspension and bulk plants attaining the control level of the proposed
standard. The energy estimates in these tables are based on the energy
requirements used to calculate the operating costs for various pieces of
equipment in Chapter 7. For ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants,
the energy costs are shown for control by incineration only. For
polyvinyl chloride plants, the energy costs are shown for both options
available to the plants for meeting the proposed standard (or Alternative
II in the case of dispersion resin manufacture). These options are
improved stripping (Case A) and add-on control technology (Case B).
Incineration is the only type of add-on control technology for which
energy costs are presented because incineration is the control technique
for which most data are available, it is the most likely type of add-on
control technology to be used for many emission sources, and it is
expected to be the most energy consuming type of add-on control technology.
Table 6-21 compares the energy consumption rates at various model plants
with and without controls.
As indicated in the tables, the fuel consumption at ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plants using incineration to meet the
6-52
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TABLE 6-18. INCREASED ENERGY CONSUMPTION -
Emission
point
1. Fugitive emissions
A. Leaks from equipment
B. Inprocess wastewater
2. Point source emissions
A. Reactor opening
B. Relief valve discharge
C. Stripper
D. Monomer recovery system
E. Sources following the
stripper (slurry blend
tanks, dryers, bulk
storage, etc. )
TOTAL
ALTERNATIVE I
Method
of control
Multi-point
detector
Water
stripper
Water purge/
gasholder
system
Carbon
adsorption
No
additional
control
F'ower
cor sumption
(1000 kWhr/yr)
330
5
62
3
400
Fuel
consumption
MM kcal/yr
(MM Btu/yr)
None
3000
(11,000)
None
400
(1400)
3400
(12,400)
ALTEPNATIVE II
CASE A
Method
of control
Multi-point
detector
Water
Water purge/
gasholder
system
Carbon
adsorption
I mp roved
stripping
(2000 ppm)
Power
consumpti on
(1000 kWhr/yr)
330
5
62
3
610
1010
Fuel
consumption
MM kcal/yr
(111' Btu/yr)
None
3000
(11,000)
None
400
(1400)
32,000
(126,000)
35,400
(138,400)
It is assumed that any captured fugitive emissions which are required to be controlled will be controlled by the
incinerator or carbon adsorber used to control point source emissions.
6-54
-------
DISPERSION POLYVINYL CHLORIDE PLANT (14 MM kg/yr or 30 MM Ib/yr)
ALTERNATIVE II (cont'd.)
CASE B
Method
of control
Multi-point
detector
Water
stripper
Water purge/
gasholder
system
Incineration
Incineration
Power
consumption
(1000 kWhr/yr)
330
34
62
4524
4950
Fuel
consumption
Mil kcal/yr
(MM Bty/yr)
None
34,000
(136,000)
None
334,000
(1,325,000)
368,000
(1,461,000)
ALTERNATIVE III
Method
of control
Multi-point
detector
Water
stripper
Water purge/
gasholder
system
Carbon
adsorpti on
Improved stripping
(400 ppm)
Power
consunpt i on
(1000 kWhr/yr)
330
5
62
3
(Data unavailable.
has not been demon
any plant. )
Fuel
consumption
MM kcal/yr
(MM Btu/yr)
None
3,000
(11,000)
None
400
(1400)
This level of stripping
strated commercially in
(Data unavailable. This level of stripping
has not been demonstrated commercially in
anv plant.)
6-55
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6-57
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TABLE 6-21. COMPARISON OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY MODEL PLANTS WITH AND WITHOUT CONTROLS
Model plant
(average size)
Ethylene dichloride -
vinyl chloride plant
(318 MM kg/yr)
(700 MM Ib/yr)
Ethylene dichloride -
vinyl chloride plant
(318 MM kg/yr)
(700 MM lb/yr)
Ethylene dichloride -
vinyl chloride plant
(318, MM kg/yr)
(700 MM Ib/yr)
Polyvinyl chloride
suspension plant
(68 MM ka/yr)
(150 MM Ib/yr)
Polyvinyl chloride
suspension plant
(68 MM kg/yr)
(150 MM Ib/yr)
Polyvinyl chloride
dispersion plant
(14 MM kg/yr)
(30 MM Ib/yr)
Polyvinyl chloride
dispersion plant
(14 MM kg/yr)
(30 MM Ib/yr)
Polyvinyl chloride
bulk plant
(45 MM kg/yr)
(100 MM Ib/yr
Polyvinyl chloride
bulk plant
(45 MM kg/yr)
(100 MM Ib/yr)
Total
base energy ,
usage (fuel),
MM KCal/yr
1,014,3002
1 ,014,3002
1 ,014,3002
223, 3503
223, 3503
44.6703
44,6703
33.4064
33,4064
Type of control
Using incineration to
attain alternative I
control level
Using incineration to
attain alternative II
control level
Using incineration to
attain alternative III
control level
Using improved strip-
ping to attain the
proposed standard
Using incineration to
attain the proposed
standard
Using improved strip-
ping to attain alter-
native II control
level
Using incineration to
attain alternative II
control level
Using improved strip-
ping to attain the
proposed standard
Using incineration to
attain the proposed
standard
Total energy
usage of control-,
equipment (fuel),
MM KCal/yr
1,450
Generally the sar
Possibly the same
for one plant
76,050
33,490
498,000
36,160
373,680
16,960
55,700
Increase in energy
consumption as result
of appl yinq controls ,
percent
0.1
ne as al ternati ve I .
; as alternative II
7
15
223
81
836
50
166
The power usage has been converted to fuel, assuming 75 percent boiler efficiency.
2 "' 3 "
Based on data submitted by two plants.
3Based on data submitted by four plant:,]0"12'17
4
Based on 1973 data submitted by one p^ant
6-58
-------
Alternative I control level would be negligible. To meet the
Alternative III control level would, however, result in an increased
fuel consumption of 74,600 million kilocalories/yr (296,000 million BTU/yr).
This, combined with increased power usage (1,272,000 kwh/yr) would
increase energy consumption at a model plant by about 7 percent.
The higher fuel consumption for Alternative III is due to the
relatively large quantity of supplemental fuel which would be required
to support combustion of the relatively large volume, low concentration
gas stream from the oxychlorination reactor at ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride plants. These plants could possibly reduce this energy impact
to some extent because they are typically located in large petrochemical
complexes. The heat value of both the supplemental fuel and the hydrocarbons
in the waste gas stream could possibly be used as steam in other parts
of the petrochemical complex.
As indicated in Table 6-18, the energy consumption at polyvinyl
chloride dispersion plants attaining the Alternative II control level
with improved stripping would be increased over the energy consumption
of plants attaining the Alternative I control level by a factor of 10.
This is due to the fact that Alternative II requires control of the
sources following the stripper in the flow of process materials through
the plant and Alternative I does not. The sources following the stripper
constitute a substantial portion of the total plant emissions. For
polyvinyl chloride dispersion plants, as for other types of polyvinyl
chloride plants, controlling the sources following the stipper with
incineration (Case B) rather than improved stripping (Case A) would
cause a much greater increase in energy consumption. Since improved
6-59
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stripping and incineration achieve the same degree of control, the
plants rather than EPA would be in the position of deciding which of
these control techniques would be used. Due to the high costs of energy
consumption which would result from controlling with incineration,
plants would be expected to use improved stripping as the control
technique instead of incineration. Since the degree of improved stripping
required by Alternative III has not been used at any dispersion plants,
data are not available on the quantity of energy that would be required
to meet this control level.
6-60
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References
1. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and
Development, Scientific and Technical Assessment Report on Vinyl
Chloride and Polyvinyl Chloride, '.Jasiiington, D.C., June 1975.
2. NAPCA, U. S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare,
Preliminary Air Pollution Survey of Hydrochloric Acid, A Literature^
Review, Raleigh, North Carolina, October 1969, pp. 3, 4, 12, 13.
3. Scrubber Handbook. Ambient Purification Technology, Inc.,
July 1972.
4. Sahals, S. L. and Schwartz, R. A., Construction Materials for Wet
Scrubbers, Koch Engineering Company, Chemica1 Eng i neering
Progress, August 1974.
5. Hulswitt, E. E., Adiabatic and Falling Film Absorption of Hydrogen
Chloride, Astro Metallurgical Corporation, Chemical Engineering
Progress, February 1973.
6. Kemper, S. K., Seiler, E. N., Bowman, D. H., Air Pollution
Control Association Journal, March 1970, pp. 139-143.
7. Environmental Protection Agency, "Plastics and Synthetics Point
Source Category Effluent Guidelines and Standards," Federal
Register, Volume 39, No. 67, April 5, 1974, Part II, pp. 12506, 7.
8. Environmental Protection Agency, "Organic Chemicals flanufacturing
Point Source Category. Effluent Guidelines and Standards and
Proposed Application to Pretreatment Standards," Federal Register,
Volume 39, No. 81, April 25, 1974, Part II, pp. 14678, 9.
9. Schwartz, W. A. et al., Engineering and Cost Study of Air
Pollution Control for the Petrochemical Industry Volume 3 Ethyl ene
Pi chloride Manufacture by OxychlorinatiQn, Prepared for the
Environmental Protection Agency, Houdry DivisionAir Products and
Chemicals, Inc., Pennsylvania, November 1974, p. ED-39,
10. Joe i'ludd (General Tire Company). Telephone conversation with Susan
Wyatt (EPA), January 30, 1975.
11. Doug "Ac Uhorter (B. F. Goodrich, Louisville, Kentucky). Telephone
conversation with Susan Wyatt (EPA) on January 28, 1975.
12. Jay Harpring (Continental Gil Comoany, Abeerdeen, Mississippi).
Telephone conversation with Continental Oil Company on January 30,
1975.
6-61
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13. Letter from R. E. Ingen, Shell Oil Company, to Leslie B. Evans,
EPA, January 31, 1975.
14. Dave Francke (Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., Escambia, Florida).
Telephone conversation with James Eddinger (EPA) on November 25,
1974.
15. Bob Luckan (Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., Calvert City,
Kentucky). Telephone conversation with James Eddinger (EPA) on
November 25, 1974.
16. Letter with attachments from R. N. Wheeler, Jr., Union Carbide
Corporation to Don R. Goodwin, EPA, June 26, 1974.
17. Robert Bellamy (Houdry Division of Air Products and Chemicals).
Telephone conversation with John Christiano (EPA) on February 6,
1975.
18. Solid Waste Questionnaire for 1973, Jefferson County Air Pollution
Control District, Louisville, Kentucky.
19. Harlan Jewett (General Tire). Telephone conversation with Charles
F. Kleeberg (EPA), February 20, 1975.
20. Letter with attachments from R. E. Van Ingen, Shell Chemical Company,
to Don R. Goodwin, EPA, July 5, 1974.
21. Robert Troutner (Shell Chemical Company). Telephone conversation
with Susan Wyatt (EPA).
22. "EPA Urges Prompt Steps by Chemical Industry to Reduce Vinyl
Chloride Air Emissions", Environmental News. EPA, Washington, D.C.,
June 11, 1974.
23. "Guides for Short-Tern Exposures of the Public to ."ial /".caderv of Sciences - national Research Council,
Hashinqton, D.C., Aunust, In71.
24. Robert Fine (Occidental Petroleum Company, Burlington, New Jersey),
telephone communication with Susan Wyatt (EPA) on September 8, 1975.
25. W.P. Anderson (Tenneco, Cleveland, Ohio), telephone communication
with Susan Wyatt (EPA] on September 9, 1975.
26. Harlan Jewett (General Tire). Telephone conversation with
Susan Wyatt (EPA), June 1975.
6-62
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7. ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS
7.1 INDUSTRY ECONOMIC PROFILE
7.1.1 Ethylene Pi chloride
Any analysis of the polyvinyl chloride industry must begin with a dis-
cussion of ethylene dichloride because about 80 percent of the ethylene dichlor-
ide produced in the United States goes directly to the production of vinyl
chloride and, ultimately, polyvinyl chloride resins. As a result, the
producers of ethylene dichloride are extremely dependent upon the polyvinyl
chloride resin industry. Domestic demand for ethylene dichloride in 1974
2
amounted to 4.7 billion kilograms.
7.1.2 Vinyl Chloride
Based upon July, 1975 capacities, an estimated 92 percent of the vinyl
chloride produced in the United States was produced by the pyrolysis of
ethylene dichloride. The other 8 percent was made by the addition of hydro-
3
gen chloride to acetylene. The 1974 estimated domestic production of vinyl
chloride amounted to 2.6 billion kilograms.
An estimated 97 percent of the vinyl chloride produced in the United States
is used to produce polyvinyl chloride homopolymer and copolymer resins. As a
result, the existence of the vinyl chloride industry hinges on polyvinyl
chloride production. Recent estimates indicate that approximately 940 workers
7-1
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are directly engaged in the production of vinyl chloride in the United States.
7.1.3 Polyvinyl Chloride
In 1974, estimated production of polyvinyl chloride resins in the United
States amounted to 2.2 billion kilograms, and, at an estimated average unit
sales value of 25.0 cents per pound (55 cents per kilogram), the production
value was approximately 1.2 billion dollars.
In 1975, polyvinyl chloride resins were produced by 23 companies, at
41 plants, by one or more of 4 processessuspension, emulsion, bulk, and
solution.
7.1.4 Vertical Integration and Industry Concentration
Vertical integration is that situation wherein a producer owns not only the
producing plant but also either a raw material supplier and/or a plant that uses
the producer's product.
There is a limited amount of vertical integration within the polyvinyl
chloride industry from the production of ethylene dichloride through the pro-
duction of polyvinyl chloride resin. Five companies produce all three products
(i.e. ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride, and polyvinyl chloride), while six-
teen companies manufacture only one of the three products. Six firms produce
two of the three products. Table 7-1 illustrates the amount of vertical inte-
gration for the entire industry.
Since plants that produce vinyl chloride also generally produce ethylene
dichloride, plants in the sector of the industry are often times referred to
as ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants.
7-2
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There is a great deal of concentration in the production of ethylene di-
chloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride. A few firms in each industry
account for much of the total capacity. With regard to vinyl chloride produc-
tion, out of a total of 10 firms, 2 account for 41 percent of the industry's
capacity. The five largest firms account for 78 percent of total industry capa-
city. In the polyvinyl chloride industry, out of a total of 22 firms, 5 account
for approximately 47 percent of total industry capacity. The 9 largest firms
account for an estimated 67 percent of total industry capacity. (Figures
derived from Tables 3-2 and 3-3).
7.1.5 Polymerization of Polyvinyl Chloride Resins by Process
As mentioned earlier, polymerization of polyvinyl chloride is achieved by
four processes. Suspension polymerization accounts for 78 percent of domestic
polyvinyl chloride capacity and is practiced by nearly all producers. Emulsion
polymerization accounts for 13 percent of total capactiy and is practiced by 11
companies. Six percent of all polyvinyl chloride resins are produced by 4
companies using the bulk polymerization process; and 1 company accounts for
o
3 percent of the total polyvinyl chloride capacity using the solution process.
7.1.6 Polyvinyl Chloride Consumption by End Use
Polyvinyl chloride resins are an intermediate product which have a wide
variety of end uses. Polyvinyl chloride resin consumption by general cate-
gories of end use for 1974 is summarized in Table 7-2.
Consumption of polyvinyl chloride increased 10.5 percent annually from
1969 to 1974. The most significant growth categories were building and con-
struction (19.9 percent annually), miscellaneous-mainly credit cards (18.9
g
percent annually), and packaging (8.4 percent annually.)
7-3
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It should be noted that total domestic demand for polyvinyl chloride resins
decreased by 2.4 percent in the period 1973-1974. The major areas in which de-
creases occurred were electrical uses (14.4 percent), building and construction
(6.4 percent), and apparel (4.6 percent).
Some of the more common uses within each category are:
Building and Construction - pipe, pipe fittings, and conduit; flooring;
siding; windows and other rigid profiles, swimming pool liners; lighting;
weatherstripping; rainwater systems.
Household furnishings - furniture upholstery; wall coverings; shower cur-
tains; garden hose; appliances.
Consumer Goods (recreation and apparel) - phonograph records; footwear;
toys; outerwear; sporting goods; baby pants.
Electrical Uses - coated wire and cable.
Packaging - hardware and pharmaceutical packaging; food packaging; bottles;
coatings.
Transportation - upholstery and seat covers; vinyl tops; auto floor-mats.
Miscellaneous - laminates; medical tubing; credit cards; novelties.
7.1.7 Polyvinyl Chloride Substitutes
Discussions with industry representatives have led to the conclusion that
substitutes exist for a number of present polyvinyl chloride applications.
Although these substitutes do exist, there would be a certain delay in obtaining
adequate quantities of the substitute materials, and prices of the substitutes
would generally be higher than polyvinyl chloride. Table 7-3 contains a list
of the major polyvinyl chloride uses and possible substitute materials.
7-4
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7.1.8 Industry Employment
Total direct employment in the vinyl chloride industry and the polyvinyl
chloride industry is estimated to be:
Vinyl Chloride 940
Polyvinyl Chloride 5,600
Additionally, it is believed that as many as 2,000,000 jobs are indirectly
12
related to the production of polyvinyl chloride.
7.1.9 Increases in Industry Capacity
Three new polyvinyl chloride plants were started between the fourth quarter
of 1974 and the second quarter of 1975. These plants (Georgia-Pacific at
Plaquemine, Louisiana, Shintech at Freeport, Texas, and Tenneco at Pasadena,
Texas) accounted for additional industry capacity of 310,000,000 kilograms per
year. During the same period of time, however, two polyvinyl chloride plants
ceased production (Olin at Assonet, Massachusetts - 70,000,000 kilograms per
year and National Starch at Meredosia, Illinois - 4,500,000 kilograms per
year) so that the net increase in industry capacity was approximately 235,500,000
kilograms per year. This represented a net increase in industry capacity of
approximately 10 percent.
In addition to the expansions noted above, several companies have indi-
cated that additional increases to industry capacity will be forthcoming.
These expansions, detailed in Table 7-4, would result in additional capacity
of approximately 520,000,000 kilograms, or 20 percent of current industry
capacity. The timing of these expansions is not known with any degree of cer-
tainty and it is possible that some projects could be indefinitely delayed
if the industry believes that future prospects in the polyvinyl chloride
resins market are not promising.
7-5
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Announced capacity expansion plans in the ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride sector of the industry are currently limited to the construction
of a new plant by Borden, Inc., at Geismar, Louisiana. This plant is expected
to have a capacity of approximately 135,000,000 kilograms per year of vinyl
13
chloride and be on-stream in 1976. Other ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants may be constructed if future projected polyvinyl chloride production
volumes are to be attained. One projection indicates that a total of approximate-
ly 300,000,000 kilograms of vinyl chloride capacity will have to be added
14
in order to satisfy demand in 1980. This means that one more ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plant., in addition to the Borden plant mentioned
above, may be constructed in the near future.
7.1.10 Product Price Histories
Both vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride rosin prices had a general
and significant downward trend throughout the 1950's and 1960's as a result
of improving technology and capacity increases. The price of vinyl chloride
has moved from a high of 13.5tf/lb in 1954 to a low of 4.75<£ in the late
1960's and early 1970's. Since the early 1970's vinyl chloride prices
have risen rapidly in response to increased production costs based primarily
on raw material price increases. June, 1975 list prices ranged from 9-12<£/lb.
General purpose suspension process polyvinyl chloride resin listed at 38<£/
Ib in 1954 and decreased to a low of 10$/lb in 1968. Since 1968 the trend
has been consistently upward with substantial increases in 1974. June, 1975
list prices ranged from 24-28<£/lb.
Both homopolymer and copolymer dispersion grade resins have historically
been priced higher than suspension grade resins. Dispersion grade prices were
stable in the period from 1960 through 1971, though as with suspension resins
7-6
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prices fell from 1950-1960. Recently, dispersion grade prices have risen with
ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride, and suspension grade resin prices. June,
1975 list prices ranged from 34-37<£/lb.
Recent price changes for ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride, and poly-
vinyl chloride are shown in Table 7-5.
Actual selling prices are sometimes lower than the list prices as stated
above, but the amount of the discount varies due to various factors (supply-
demand relationships, existence of long-term contract commitments, etc.).
It is not known to what extent discounting is currently being employed in
the industry, if at all.
7-7
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7.2. COST ANALYSIS OF ALTERNATIVE EMISSION CONTROL SYSTEMS
7.2.1 Introduction
For each of the various emission control systems identified in Chapter
4 for ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants, installed
capital and total annualized costs are estimated. This section primarily
deals with the costs for controlling model ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
and polyvinyl chloride plants to achieve various emission levels. Each of
these model plants is of such process configuration and size as to be fairly
representative of a typical existing plant in the industry. Although the
individual plant control costs will vary to a greater or lesser degree from
these model plant costs, this section also presents, in Table 7-6, formulas
that can be used to scale the model plant costs up or down in order to approximate
control costs at an existing installations. Naturally, control costs at
existing installations are quite difficult to estimate without detailed,
pi ant-by-plant engineering studies. Whereas Table 7-6 is believed to be
representative of control costs in the aggregate, the table is not intended
to provide anything other than general estimates of pi ant-by-plant control
costs.
The model plant costs are based on data obtained from the individual
companies through requests for information under the authority of Section
114 of the Clean Air Act. Cost data has also been available from the Industrial
Gas Cleaning Institute (IGCI), who, under an EPA contract, has provided infor-
mation based on bids from actual vendors of control equipment. Both sets
of cost data have been used by EPA in developing the model plant air pollution
control costs.
7-8
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Two major kinds of costs have been developed herein: installed capital
costs and total annualized costs. The installed capital cost for each con-
trol alternative includes the purchased cost of the major equipment and auxiliary
equipment and the cost for site preparation and installation of the equipment,
and design engineering cost. No attempt has been made to include costs for
research and development, possible lost production during equipment installation,
or losses during startup.
The total annualized cost is comprised of three categories: the direct
operating cost, the annualized capital charge, and the monomer recovery credit.
The first accounts for operating and maintenance costs, such as:
' Labor and materials needed to operate the control equipment;
' Maintenance labor and materials;
' Utilities, which include fuel, electric power, water, steam, and
inert gas.
The annualized capital charge accounts for depreciation, interest,
administrative overhead, property taxes, and insurance. The depreciation
and interest portion is computed by use of a capital recovery factor, the
value of which depends on the device operating life (5 to 20 years, in this
report) and the interest rate. (An annual interest rate of 10 percent has
been assumed.) Administrative overhead, taxes, and insurance have been fixed
at an additional 2.5 percent of the installed capital cost per year.
The monomer recovery credit accounts for the value of the vinyl chloride
recovered by the control equipment. Herein, a credit of $.10 per pound of
vinyl chloride has been assumed.
The total annualized cost is then obtained simply by adding the direct
operating cost, the annualized capital charge, and the monomer recovery credit.
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7.2.2 Cost of Alternative Control Measures
Four main emission points have been identified for the balanced ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plant, and seven each for the suspension and dispersion
polyvinyl chloride plants (see Tables 7-7 through 7-9). The bulk polyvinyl
chloride model plant has four points of emission. (See Table 7-10).
(Since only one solution process polyvinyl chloride plant is currently in
operation, a special model plant has not been developed for the solution
process. Control costs for the plant have been developed, however, and are
included in the analysis in Section 7.3.) Each of the emission points may,
in turn, be controlled by one or more control measures, so that a number of
control configurations are possible.
The data costs identified in this section, however, are those which would
be incurred by the model plant using a selected combination of control measures
to attain the alternative control levels identified in Chapter 5 for ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride dispersion plants.
For polyvinyl chloride plants not making dispersion resins, there are no
alternative control levels, and costs are shown for model plants using a
selected combination of control measures to attain the level of the proposed
standard. For polyvinyl chloride plants, two types of control can be used
to attain the emission level of Alternative II in the manufacture of dispersion
resins and the emission level of the proposed standard in the manufacture of
the other resins. Costs are presented for both types of control.
7.2.2.1 Ethylene Pichloride-Vinyl Chloride Model Plant
Table 7-7 illustrates the balanced ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride model
plant control costs at the two alternative levels of control. Alternative I
involves fugitive emission reduction and incineration of the ethylene dichloride
7-10
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purification and the vinyl chloride formation and purification processes.
Control of the oxychlorination process is not included in this alternative.
Alternative III includes incineration of the oxychlorination process in
addition to fugitive controls and incineration of the aforementioned ethylene
dichloride and vinyl chloride processes. Included among the fugitive emission
reduction measures are monitoring to detect points of high emissions, installa-
tion of dual mechanical pump and compressor seals and rupture disks, and
various control systems for process sampling and transfer operations. (These
costs are presented on an item-by-item basis in Table 7-11). Costs for stripping
vinyl chloride from inprocess wastewater are not included because the existing
plants generally already use water strippers.
As illustrated by Alternative I in Table 7-7, control of fugitive emissions
and incineration of ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomer processes will
require a total capital expenditure of $889,000 at the 318 million kg/yr (700
million Ib/yr) model plant. Annualized costs amount to $793,000/yr, or 0.24
-------
costs for Alternative II could range between that of Alternative I, which
represents no control of the process, to that of Alternative III, which involves
thermal incineration. In any case, no definitive cost data has yet been
developed for any oxychlorination control except incineration.
7.2.2.2 Suspension Polyvinyl Chloride Model Plant
As mentioned earlier, two control configurations (each of which corresponds
to the same alternative, an overall control efficiency of 95 percent) have been
applied to the model suspension and bulk polyvinyl chloride plants. One control
option (Case A) is the improved stripping option. This case assumes that the
polyvinyl chloride resin can be stripped to a level of 400 parts per million.
To illustrate the substantial difference between the cost impacts, a second
case (B) has been developed for the suspension and bulk model plants. This
case is the incineration option and is intended to show the approximate
cost level that would be realized if incineration were used for vinyl chloride
control at certain emission points.
The suspension process model plant costs are shown in Table 7-8.
The control costs for Case A include various fugitive emission reduction
techniques. These methods include those to control the ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride model plant plus water stripping to remove vinyl chloride
from the process water streams in the plant. This system consists of a large
vessel (plus auxiliaries) in which the monomer is flashed from the water
under vacuum by contacting with open steam, followed by separation of the
resultant water vapor from the monomer by condensation of the water. Following
condensation, the monomer is sent to the plant monomer recovery system.
In addition to these fugitive controls, Case A involves the installation of a
7-12
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gasholder-purge water system to control the reactor opening and relief valve
discharge emission points. The gasholder is merely a vapor conservation or
surge tank, whose function is to collect vinyl chloride monomer vapors in
air from these points and release them steadily to the monomer recovery system,
thereby permitting the system to operate at a steady flow condition rather
than intermittently. The reactor water purge system, which operates in
conjunction with this gasholder, is a system designed to purge the vinyl
chloride monomer vapor left in the reactors after completion of the reaction
cycle to the gasholder by the introduction of water. Case A also includes the
installation of improved reactor pressure and temperature recorder-controllers,
along with an automatic reaction quenching (short-stopping) system, both of
which would minimize monomer losses from relief valve discharges. The new
recorder-controllers would afford better control of the polymerization
reaction itself, while the automatic short-stopping system permits the
plant to quench reactions in the event of an emergency.
Also included in Case A is an improved stripping operation. The improved
stripping removes some of the monomer from the reactor products, so that
this vinyl chloride monomer is not emitted further downstream, from the
slurry blend tank, centrifuge dryer, storage silos, inprocess wastewater,
etc., as is presently the case with uncontrolled plants. The cost of installing
such a system is a function primarily of the size and construction parameters
of the stripper vessel(s) (usually stainless steel tanks), which, in turn,
depend on the weight of material processed or (alternatively) the polyvinyl
chloride production rate. Accordingly, the costs for the model plant have
been scaled directly with production (see Table 7-6).
7-13
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Control of the low-volume (approximately 15 ACFM) stream from the monomer
recovery system with carbon adsorption is also included in Case A. Despite
the low volumetric flowrate, installed capital cost is substantial ($333,000)
because even the smallest adsorption unit requires nearly the same amount of
design effort, fabrication labor, and instrumentation as do the larger devices.
Total installed capital costs for the 68 million kg/yr (150 million Ib/yr)
model suspension process polyvinyl chloride plant are 354,462,000 for Case A.
Annualized costs for the model plant are $1,222,000/yr (1.8<£/kg=0.81<£/lb of
PVC at capacity).
The second control configuration, Case B, includes the same fugitive con-
trols, improved instrumentation, automatic quench system, and gasholder-water
purge system of Case A plus new slurry blend tanks and an incinerator-caustic
scrubber for abating emissions from the slurry blend tank, centrifuge, monomer
recovery system, dryer, and bulk storage and transfer points. The relatively
high volume of these combined streams (about 81,000 ACFM) means a heavy capital
investment for the incineration system, where the higl- control efficiency speci-
fied (99 percent) requires a substantial direct operating cost, due to the high
amount of fuel necessary to attain this level.
Because the slurry blend tanks currently installed in polyvinyl chloride
plants cannot withstand more than a few ounces of pressure before failing,
it appears that new higher pressure blend tanks would need to be installed,
so that the vent stream from this point could be tied to the incinerator.
The new tanks (costing an estimated $140,000 each) would have a 25,000 gallon
capacity (each) and would be fabricated from rubber-lined carbon steel.
Note that the Case A and Case B costs for fugitive controls differ sub-
stantially. This discrepancy exists because, with Case B, all of the process
7-14
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water in the plant (about 2,160 liter/min=570 gal/min) must be stripped, as
compared with only the more concentrated streams (totaling 160 liter/min) with
Case A. This is because the more dilute streams are from the centrifuge, which
is one of the sources following the stripper. In Case A, improved stripping
would be used to attain the emission limit for the sources following the stripper.
In Case B, add-on controls would be used for these sources. Thus, vinyl chloride
emissions from the wastewater from the centrifuge would have to be controlled by
water stripping in Case B. The increased water loading effects a higher capital
cost and a much higher annualized cost tor Case B water stripping.
For Case B, the total installed capital cost for the suspension process
model plant is $6,714,000, an increase of 50 percent over Case A. Annualized
costs for Case B are $5,497,000/yr (8.1<£/kg=3.7<£/lb), an increase of over 300
percent over Case A.
7.2.2.3 Dispersion Polyvinyl Chloride Model Plant
Two alternatives are presented here. The first of these includes all the
Case A controls specified for the suspension plant, except improved stripping
to 400 PPM. Instead, it is assumed that the slurry is stripped to about
30,000 PPM which is the stripping level corresponding to the baseline, uncon-
trolled plant. Thus, there are no controls on the slurry blend tank, spray
drier, and bulk storage and transfer points. The costs ($2,295,000 capital;
$803,000/yr annualized) are the lowest, but so is the overall control efficiency
(52 percent). The fugitive control costs for Alternative I are somewhat
higher than those for Alternative II, Case A. The reason is that improved
resin stripping in Alternative II, Case A would reduce the amount of vinyl
chloride in both the resin and the water in which it is contained, so that
additional control would not be required for the water from the centrifuge
to attain the emission limit. In Case B, in the absence of improved resin
stripping, the water from the centrifuge as well as the rest of the plant water
would have to be controlled by water stripping to attain the emission limit.
7-15
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Cases A and B for Alternative II correspond, respectively, to improved slurry
stripping to 2000 PPM and incineration. The kinds of control equipment specified
for Alternative II, Cases A and B, for the model plant are identical to those
already presented for the suspension plant Cases A and B, respectively. How-
ever, due to differences in process equipment and production capacity (14
million kg/yr for dispersion versus 68 million kg/yr for suspension), the
costs and emission reductions are different. Table 7-9 clearly illustrates
this. Table 7-9 also points out the penalties incurred by dispersion process
plants if improved stripping cannot remove the monomer to an acceptable level
and incineration must be used instead. Annualized costs for Alternative II,
Case B, for example, are 35.9<£/kg (16.3<£/lb) whereas Alternative II, Case A,
has an annualized cost of 9.9<£/kg (4.5<£/lb). Installed capital costs increase
from $3,319,000 for Case A to $5,287,000 for Case B, an increase of nearly
60 percent.
Another Alternative (III) is identified in Chapter 5 for dispersion
plants. This would involve the same control configuration as Alternative
II, Case A, except that the slurry would be stripped to 400 PPM, rather
than 2000 PPM. However, costs for attaining this stripping level are currently
unavailable because this degree of stripping has not been demonstrated commercially
in dispersion resin manufacture. Therefore, Alternative III does not appear
in Table 7-9.
7.2.2.4 Bulk Polyvinyl Chloride Model Plant
Case A here also involves the same controls as Case A for the suspension
plant, except that because this kind of plant uses no water in its process,
no gasholder-water purge system is installed. Case B, the more stringent
cost-wise, postulates the Case A fugitive controls and reactor controls plus
7-16
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an incinerator-caustic scrubber for the monomer recovery system and product
transfer and storage points.
The total installed capital cost for the model bulk plant is $1,312,000
for Case A and $1,606,000 for Case B, an increase of 22 percent. Total
annualized costs increase 70 percent from 2.0^/kg (0.90<£/lb) for Case A to
3.4
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7.3 ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS OF: ALTERNATIVE CONTROL SYSTEMS
7.3.1 Introduction
The purpose of this section is to present an evaluation of the anticipated
economic impact of alternative systems for control of vinyl chloride emissions
at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride plants.
The impact analysis addresses both new and existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride plants.
Two different control scenarios were evaluated for new ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants. These scenarios correspond to Alternative I and Alternative
III for ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants, previously discussed in section
7.2. Three control scenarios, corresponding to Alternatives I, II, and III for
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants were evaluated for existing plants.
Similarly, different control scenarios were developed for new and existing
polyvinyl chloride plants. These scenarios correspond to the polyvinyl
chloride plant control options previously presented in section 7.2.
The basic thrust of the analysis was to determine the impact upon plant
profitability of various control systems. This examination led to other
considerations such as industry-wide price increases resulting from control
expenditures and the availability of capital for investment in control equip-
ment. Estimation of potential plant closures also resulted from this analysis.
In addition to the costs that would be required solely for control of
emissions to the air, consideration has also been given to the cost of compliance
with the EPA water effluent guideline regulations and OSHA regulations. The
approximate costs of complying with the water effluent regulations have been cal-
culated based on information received from the Effluent Guidelines Division of EPA.
These costs have not been analyzed in detail and are presented only to give a
general estimate of what the total EPA-generated costs are for the ethylene
7-18
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dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride industries. With regard to
OSHA costs, it has been assumed that no significant incremental costs over and
above the EPA air emission control costs would be necessitated by the current
OSHA regulations. It has been assumed that the cost of OSHA regulations could
be generally approximated by the cost of the fugitive control package that has
been included in the air emission control cost totals for both ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride plants. Costs for control of vinyl
chloride emissions to the air that are presented in this section, then, include the
costs that are believed to be required by the OSHA standards.
7.3.2 Discussion
The analysis of the impact of alternative control levels at both new and
existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride
plants relies heavily on three main factors. The first of the three factors
is the estimation of the level of profitability at a given plant before any
controls are applied. This estimation is important since the use of a pre-
control profitability level that is too high would tend to underestimate the
number of potential closures after controls are applied and use of a pre-control
profitability level that is too low would tend to overestimate the number of
closure candidates after control. The determination of pre-control profitability
is relatively straightforward for new plants but is extremely difficult to achieve
with any degree of accuracy for existing plants. Plant-by-plant variations in a
number of factors make exact determinations of profitability at existing plants
almost impossible. Estimates of existing plant profitabilities before controls
have been made, however, but they are intended to be viewed as general indicators
rather than specific determinations. All estimates of return on investment for
existing plants presented in this report have been developed by EPA based on
general plant parameters that are in the public domain. Individual plants
7-19
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could conceiveably have different profitability levels than the ones presented
in this analysis depending upon their unique set of operating conditions and
parameters. In general, it is believed that the profitability estimation
methodology is sufficiently accurate to use as a basis to reach general conclu-
sions regarding the impact of various control levels but that caution must be
used when discussing specific plant profitabilities.
The second factor that weighs heavily in the impact analysis is the
estimation of control costs for specific plants. Again, this is relatively
straightforward for new, model plants but is difficult for existing plants.
Generalized cost algorithms have been used to determine control costs at
existing plants and these algorithms may or may not be applicable to any one
specific plant. It is believed that the algorithms can be generally applied
to existing plants, but any estimation of specific plant costs is difficult.
The third factor that is of considerable importance in the impact analysis
is the determination of what actually constitutes adverse economic impact.
This particular determination is the key to the economic impact analysis.
This analysis has used two primary parameters of economic impact, the first
being the 10 percent price increase parameter and the second being the negative
return on investment parameter. Based upon conversations with industry repre-
sentatives it has been assumed that price increases for polyvinyl chloride
resins of up to 10 percent could be accommodated by the industry without
significant ill effects. Price increases of more than 10 percent, however,
were considered to be condusive to appreciable substitution of other products
for polyvinyl chloride resins and products. Mo attempt has been made to test
the assumption that a 10 percent price increase would have minimal impact.
It is extremely doubtful that such a determination could ever be made on a
before-the-fact basis with any degree of accuracy. It would appear that
7-20
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the use of a 10 percent price increase is a reasonable one, but the exact point
at which substitutions or increased imports becomes a significant problem is
a matter of conjecture.
The second impact parameter that has been used extensively in this
analysis is the negative (or zero) return on investment parameter. This
decision rule hypothesized that plant closures would probably occur at the
cost level at which individual plant profitability became zero or negative.
Whereas this is believed to be a good general parameter to estimate the point
at which plant closures would occur it is important to realize that some
plants would close at some level of profitability that was greater than
zero but still less than that rate which was needed by management in order
to justify continued operation of the facility. On the other hand, a plant
might be operated at some negative rate of return if the alternative to
operating the plant in such a manner was even less attractive from either
an economic or a non-economic viewpoint. Therefore, it cannot be predicted
with any degree of certainty at which point a given plant will close. The
use of negative return on investment, however, is probably the best such indi-
cator if one indicator has to be selected. Whereas the return on investment
concept considers capital requirements in an indirect manner, it does not directly
address the issue of whether or not incremental control capital can be obtained by
a given plant. In general, it can be said that if the post-control return on in-
vestment is equal to the pre-control return on investment and the firm is a
relatively large one with secure lines of credit and favorable cash flows,
then the control capital will probably be raised given that there are not
other projects that yield even higher returns. For any given plant, however,
it is not possible to determine that amount of capital that could be raised
at any given time. As an example, it will be shown in the analysis of control
7-21
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scenario #2 for existing polyvinyl chloride plants that the total incremental
capital requirements are approximately 20 percent of the current replacement
value of the plants in the industry and that individual plants are estimated
to vary between 10 percent and 38 percent. In this scenario four plants were
listed as potential closure candidates based upon a return on investment
analysis. If these plants did close, then even though the industry average
incremental capital requirement would still be approximately 20 percent the
range at existing plants that remained open would be 10 percent to 26 percent.
There are no valid and acceptable general decision rules that would allow a
decision to be reached regarding the affordability of either percentage.
Some firms that had better alternative investments or limited access to
funds might find 10 percent unaffordable while some other plant might find
that even 26 percent was easily obtainable. It is possible that firms
that were not identified as closure candidates based upon a return on
investment analysis might possibly close due to lack of capital, but there
are not valid means of estimating the number of additional closures, if
any, without individual plant data.
7.3.3 Ethylene Dichloride-Vinyl Chloride Plants - Existing Plant Economic Impact
Analysis
7.3.3.1 Existing Ethylene Dichloride Plants
One factor that complicates the analysis of the impact of various control
levels at existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants is that there are
four plants in the industry that produce ethylene dichloride but do not produce
vinyl chloride. Two of these plants would probably be required to incur air
emission control costs. The other two plants would not be affected by the
proposed regulation since they do not utilize any oxychlorination process.
In order to evaluate the impact of various control levels on ethylene
7-22
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dichloride-vinyl chloride plants it was necessary to separate these
facilities and first calculate the impact of the various control levels on
ethylene dichloride plants only. These calculations resulted in an estimated
price increase for ethylene dichloride that would then be passed on to vinyl
chloride plants. The impact of various control levels at vinyl chloride
plants could be coupled with the ethylene dichloride expected price increase
to show the cumulative effect of the various control levels at existing vinyl
chloride plants.
Costs for control of both air and water emissions are included. Table
7-16 details the development of the water pollution control costs used in
the analysis.
Table 7-17 shows the estimated capital costs resulting from imposing
Alternative I or Alternative II control levels at existing ethylene dichloride
plants. These costs include the estimated costs of complying with the water
effluent guideline regulations as well as controlling air emissions. Capital
costs for control of air emissions include only estimated costs for control
of the ethylene dichloride purification process emission point, since this
is the only emission point affected by the proposed regulation. Accordingly,
no fugitive controls are included. Capital costs are estimated based on the
cost algorithms developed earlier in this chapter. No attempt has been made
to refine the cost estimates through specific plant contacts. It is conceded
that individual plants could incur control costs that might differ from what
is shown in Table 7-17, but it is believed that the estimates reasonably
represent the level of control costs that would actually be incurred.
Similarly, Table 7-18 shows the estimated annualized costs resulting from
control Alternative I or Alternative II at existing ethylene dichloride plants.
7-23
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As noted before, no fugitive control costs are included and the costs shown
are estimated annualized costs for control of the ethylene dichloride purifi-
cation process emission point only.
In order to estimate the economic impact upon specific plants of the control
costs presented in Table 7-17 and 7-18, it has been necessary to estimate the
individual plant return on investment both before and after control. The
level of return on investment after control and the relative change in this
level from the pre-control level are the bases upon which determinations of
adverse economic impact have been made.
The calculation of the pre-control rate of return on investment is based
upon the assumption that the level of profitability of any existing plant that
produces only ethylene dichloride can be generally estimated by using the
economic parameters developed in Table 7-33 for new ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants. This approach has a number of shortcomings, such as
the use of new plant economics to estimate existing plant economics and the
use of ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant economics to develop ethylene
dichloride plant economics. The second limitation was the result of a lack
of economic data for ethylene dichloride plants. Since generally similar
processes are used for both types of plants, however, and prices and, presumeably,
profit levels are similar in nature, it was felt that the use of ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride plant economics could reasonably be used to approxi-
mate ethylene dichloride plant economics. Table 7-19 details the assumptions
used to calculate plant profitability levels for existing ethylene dichloride
plants and gives an example of the calculational steps.
Once the pre-control profitability levels have been estimated for
existing ethylene dichloride plants it is then possible to add to these
7-24
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plants the estimated additional capital requirements for Alternative I or Alter-
native II (Table 7-17) and the additional annualized costs (Table 7-18) and then
determine the change in profitability at each plant resulting from the estimated
control costs. Table 7-20 summarizes the estimated change in profitability at
existing ethylene dichloride plants as a result of incurring Alternative I or
Alternative II control costs. Note that two separate calculations of post-
control return on investment have been made. One calculation shows the level
of plant profitability if no price increases are assumed. The second calcu-
lation shows the level of profitability if an industry-wide price increase of
0.08
-------
of predicting possible plant closures the decision rule that was used was that
a plant would remain open unless its estimated control costs, after allowance for
an industry-average price increase, were equal to or greater than its estimated
pre-control level of profitability. The net result of Alternative I
or Alternative II control costs on existing ethylene dichloride plants,
then, is to increase the price of ethylene dichloride to vinyl chloride plants
and other users of ethylene dichloride and to reduce somewhat the profit-
ability of some of the existing plants in the industry. The minor nature
of the price increase is assumed to result in essentially no decrease in
demand for ethylene dichloride. This conclusion, when coupled with the
conclusion that no existing ethylene dichloride plants will close as a
result of Alternative I or Alternative II controls, leads to the judge-
ment that no significant adverse economic impact will accrue to the ethylene
dichloride industry as a result of Alternative I or Alternative II controls.
Even though it appears that no significant adverse impact will accrue
to the ethylene dichloride industry as a result of Alternative I or Alter-
native II controls, it is conceivable that capital availability could be a
problem for some plants. It is not possible, however, to accurately estimate
the magnitude of the problem. It seems logical to assume that those plants
that experience either no change or an increase in the post-control return
on investment compared to the pre-control return on investment would
probably want to raise the capital for the control devices since the post-
control earnings would either be improved, or at least not decreased, compared
to the pre-control earnings. Conversely, plants that experience a relative
decrease in profitability may be hesitant to raise the control capital. So
many factors enter into the decision to invest money in an existing plant
for pollution control equipment, some of them non-financial, that it is
7-26
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impossible to say with any certainty whether the management of a given
plant will invest additional capital in control devices even if the plant
would appear to have a better return on investment after control than it
did before control. About the only aspect of the issue that seems clear
is that the firms that own the various ethylene dichloride plants are
generally large, integrated petrochemical and chemical companies that
would supposedly have access to sufficient capital to invest in the
additional control equipment. Whether a firm would actually choose to
invest those funds in control devices, however, cannot be predicted with
any degree of certainty, particularly for those firms that are experiencing
post-control decreases in profitability compared to the pre-control case.
Since the increases in total plant replacement capital has been calculated
to be on the order of 1-4 percent for existing ethylene dichloride plants
complying with Alternative I or Alternative II, it would seem that the
magnitude of the additional capital requirement would not prove to be a
significant obstacle to raising the required capital.
A similar analysis was undertaken for evaluation of Alternative III
controls at existing ethylene dichloride plants. Table 7-21 details the
estimated capital requirements for Alternative III controls at existing
ethylene dichloride plants and is similar in nature to Table 7-17. Table
7-22, similar to Table 7-18, shows the estimated plant-by-plant annualized
costs resulting from Alternative III controls. Finally, Table 7-23 shows
the estimated change in plant profitability resulting from the imposition of
Alternative III control costs on existing ethylene dichloride plants. In
this case the estimated profitability is even more markedly decreased for
the Diamond Shamrock/Deer Park plant and the Vulcan/Geismar plant. Return
7-27
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on investment at the Diamond Shamrock/Deer Park facility decreases from an
estimated 3.2 percent before control to 1.9 percent after control and after
an industry-wide price increase; of 0.08
-------
water effluent costs, at existing vinyl chloride plants. For those vinyl
chloride plants that do not have ethylene dichloride plants associated with them
(Monochem/Geismar and Tenneco/Houston), the capital requirements include
fugitive controls plus incineration of the vinyl chloride formation
and purification process emission point. For those other vinyl chloride
plants that have ethylene dichloride plants associated with them the capital
costs only include fugitive controls. This is because it has been assumed
that the ethylene dichloride purification process emission point and the vinyl
chloride formation and purification process emission point can both
be controlled with a single incinerator. This incinerator cost has been
charged to the ethylene dichloride plant and has been considered in the
analyses of the impact of the alternative control levels at existing ethylene
dichloride plants.
The estimated plant-by-plant annualized costs resulting from Alternative
I controls are shown for existing vinyl chloride plants in Table 7-25.
As pointed out in the previous paragraph, all plants with the exception of
Monochem/Geismar and Tenneco/Houston are incurring only fugitive controls.
The two aforementioned plants are incurring fugitive costs plus annualized
costs for incineration of the vinyl chloride formation and purification
process emission point. Note that all plants have been assessed a charge
corresponding to the estimated industry-wide price increase for ethylene
dichloride of 0.08<£/lb. This is the same charge that was utilized in the
previous discussion of the impact of various alternatives on existing ethylene
dichloride plants.
The impact of Alternative I controls on the estimated profitability
of existing vinyl chloride plants is shown in Table 7-26. The calcu-
lation of the estimated level of pre-control profitability at existing vinyl
7-29
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chloride plants shown in Table 7-26 utilized the same methodology as the
calculation of pre-control profitability at existing ethylene dichloride plants.
This methodology was detailed in Table 7-19. Note that two post-control profit-
ability levels have been calculated. One shows the estimated return on invest-
ment for a given plant after control if a price increase is not assumed. The
other shows the estimated profitability level that would result if a price
increase sufficient to recover industry-average annualized costs plus a 15
percent pre-tax return on capital is assumed to be passed on to the users of
vinyl chloride. The price increase assumed in Table 7-26 is 0.36<£/lb, or 3
percent of the base sales price of 12<£/lb of vinyl chloride. It is expected
that this price increase will be passed on to the users of vinyl chloride.
These users, essentially all of them being polyvinyl chloride producers, are
not expected to appreciably reduce their consumption of vinyl chloride
when faced with the 3 percent price increase. The polyvinyl chloride
producers are expected to attempt to pass along to the fabricators of poly-
vinyl chloride resins the vinyl chloride price increase. This topic will
be discussed in more detail in a subsequent section of this chapter.
Referring to Table 7-26, it is seen that if a price increase of 0.36<£/lb of
vinyl chloride is assumed to be passed forward to the polyvinyl chloride producers
then none of the plants will be placed in a zero profit or a loss position.
Six plants, however, all of them with smaller than average capacities, will
suffer a reduction in profitability ranging from a 6 percent reduction to a
53 percent reduction. No plant closures are anticipated as a result of imposing
Alternative I control costs on the industry since all plants remain profit-
able, although marginally so in some instances. As noted before in the
section dealing with the analysis of alternative control levels on existing
ethylene dichloride plants, it is difficult to reach any firm conclusions
7-30
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regarding the issue of capital availability for purchase of control equip-
ment for existing plants. Increases in plant capital are estimated to vary
between 8-11 percent of estimated replacement capital for Alternative I
controls, an amount that would not seem to present a large acquisitional
problem particularly since the firms in the vinyl chloride industry are
generally the same firms as the firms in the ethylene dicloride industry
and are large concerns with supposedly established lines of credit and
access to capital funds. As pointed out previously, however, a decision
not to invest in a control device could be made no matter what the economics
of the situation might indicate due to the presence of other considerations.
It should be realized that a combination of increased capital require-
ments plus a severe reduction in plant profitability could lead to plant
closures. A plant would not necessarily have to experience a loss before
the plant owners decided to close it. Even though no closures are expected
to result from the imposition of Alternative I controls on the vinyl chloride
inHustry, it must be realized that the possibility of closures does exist.
The costs of complying with Alternative II controls at existing vinyl
chloride plants has also been evaluated. The results of this analysis
are only slightly different than the results of the Alternative I analysis
since only one plant incurs a different level of costs for Alternative II
than for Alternative I. Alternative II assumes that the one plant will have
to incinerate the oxychlorination process emission point in addition to
controlling fugitive emissions and emissions from the vinyl chloride for-
mation and purification process emission points. All other plants are
assumed not to incinerate the oxychlorination process emission point.
The plant in question may not have to use incineration in order to meet
the proposed standard since less expensive control options may be avail-
7-31
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able. Since the nature and costs of these alternative options are not
known, incineration has been used as a worst-case estimate.
Table 7-27 details the estimated capital requirements for the Alternative
II control level, including both air emission control costs and water pollution
control costs. Similarly, Table 7-28 details the annualized costs estimated
for Alternative II controls at existing vinyl chloride plants. Finally,
Table 7-29 presents the estimated changes in plant profitability resulting
from Alternative II controls. Note that the only change in this table compared
to Table 7-26 (Alternative I Profitability Summary) is to change the post-
control profitability levels at one plant. This plant now suffers a 15
percent reduction in profitability relative to the base case if Alternative II
controls are imposed compared 1:0 a 9 percent increase in profitability if
Alternative I controls are imposed. (Both calculations assume a price increase
for vinyl chloride of 0.36<£/lb.) A similar conclusion regarding the impact
of Alternative II controls on existing vinyl chloride plants is reached as was
reached in the Alternative I analysis, namely that no closures would result
but that plant profitability would be reduced in some cases. Even though
one plant incurs an estimated replacement plant capital increase of
13 percent for Alternative II as opposed to 9 percent for Alternative I,
it would not seem that this would pose a significant capital availability
problem.
Finally, an analysis of Alternative III controls on existing vinyl
chloride plants has been evaluated. Table 7-30 details the estimated capital
costs for this alternative which assumes that all plants having an oxy-
chlorination process emission point would have to incinerate the emissions.
Not all plants have this emission point, however, and those that do not
incur the same costs for Alternative III as for Alternative II and.Alter-
7-32
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native I. Two of the plants that have an oxychlorination process emission
point are already incinerating the emissions in order to meet existing
state regulations.
The estimated annualized costs for Alternative III controls at existing
vinyl chloride plants, including a charge for higher ethylene dichloride prices
resulting from emission control costs, is presented in Table 7-31. Industry-
average total costs increase from 0.29<£/lb at the Alternative I level to
0.39
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this level. The possibility of some plant closures also exists at the
Alternative I and Alternative II levels, however, so it cannot be said
that only at the Alternative III control level does the problem of poten-
tial plant closures exist. It is interesting to note that the plants that
were the more severely impacted at the Alternative I/Alternative II level
are not necessarily the most severely impacted at the Alternative III control
level. The impact tends to shift to different firms under the Alternative III
scenario instead of just getting worse for the firms impacted in the Alterna-
tive I and Alternative II scenarios. This results from the fact that some
plants do not have an oxychlorination process emission point to control.
In summary then, it is concluded that the economic impact of the three
alternative control levels for existing vinyl chloride monomer plants that
have been evaluated is primarily to increase monomer prices on the order of
3-4 percent and reduce the profitability level of some plants, generally
the smaller ones, on the order of 2-55 percent. Some other plants, generally
the larger ones, experience increases in profitability on the order of 3-31
percent as a result of the alternative control strategies. No plants are
expected to close as a result of incurring the alternative control costs, even
though the possibility of some plant closures does exist at all three control
level. The price increase of 3-4 percent appears to be small enough so
that no appreciable reduction in demand for vinyl chloride monomer will occur.
7-34
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7.3.4. Ethylene Bichloride-Vinyl Chloride Plants - New Plant Economic
Impact Analysis
The financial impact of two alternative control levels has been eval-
uated for a model new ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant. In addition,
the impact of meeting only the EPA water effluent guideline regulations has
been determined. The results of this analysis are detailed in Table 7-33.
Table 7-33 shows that a new ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant would
suffer a decrease in profitability from 6.7 percent to 5.1 percent as a result
of meeting the water effluent guidelines. A price increase of 0.17
-------
these statistics include water effluent costs. A plant that only controlled
air emissions would require a price increase of 0.27<£/lb (2.3 percent) to
maintain pre-control profitability. The increase in total investment would
amount to 6 percent if only air emission controls were included.
It is believed that the cost increases associated with either Alternative
I or Alternative III would not prove to be a significant deterrent to the
construction of new ethylene dlchloride-vinyl chloride plants. It would
appear that the costs of both the effluent regulations and the air emission
control requirements at either the Alternative I level or the Alternative III
level could be passed on to the polyvinyl chloride producers. This cost
pass-on would preserve the pre-control profitability level at the new
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant and the plant owner should have
no disincentive to construct the new plant.
Two factors lead to the conclusion that new ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride plants will be able to raise prices by an amount sufficient to
maintain pre-control profitability. The first factor is that existing
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants will also be required to incur
control costs of the same magnitude as those calculated for new plants.
This industry-wide pollution control cost increase will to be reflected in
higher prices for vinyl chloride. A new plant, therefore, will not be at
price disadvantage relative to existing plants.
The second factor leading to the conclusion that vinyl chloride prices
will increase is that substitutes for vinyl chloride exist only for a very small
percentage of the total end-use applications. Almost all of the vinyl chloride
that is produced is used in the production of polyvinyl chloride. This lack
of substitute raw materials for the polyvinyl chloride producers means that
they have little choice other than to accept higher vinyl chloride prices and
7-36
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then attempt to reflect these higher prices in increased prices to the fabri-
cators of the resins, and ultimately, the consuming public. Whereas it is
true that large increases in the price of polyvinyl chloride resins could
lead to a decrease in demand for vinyl chloride, it does not appear that
vinyl chloride price increases of even 4 percent or so would be enough to
cause a significant reduction in demand. An increase of 4 percent in the
price of vinyl chloride would translate into an increase of approximately
2 percent in the price of polyvinyl chloride resins. Discussions with
industry representatives have led to the conclusion that price increases
for polyvinyl chloride resins of up to 10 percent could be tolerated without
significant impact so it would appear that a price increase of 4 percent
in vinyl chloride could be ultimately passed on to the fabricators of poly-
vinyl chloride resins with no adverse consequences. This subject of poly-
vinyl chloride price increases will be addressed in more detail in a subse-
quent section of this chapter.
It would not appear that capital availability would be a problem for new
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants. The model plant shown in Table 7-33
has a base (uncontrolled) capital requirement of 4.83
-------
7.3.5 POLYVINYL CHLORIDE PLANTS-EXISTING PLANT ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS
7.3.5.1 Introduction
In an attempt to estimate the economic impact of alternative control levels
at existing polyvinyl chloride plants four control scenarios have been developed.
Control scenario #1 is the least stringent and assumes that all dispersion process
plants will utilize the Alternative I control system (stripping to 30,000 parts
per million) and that all other plants will utilize Case A controls (improved
stripping). Control scenario #2 assumes that dispersion process plants will
utilize the Alternative II, Case A control system (stripping to 2000 parts per
million) while all other plants utilize Case A (improved stripping) controls.
Control scenario #3 assumes that dispersion process plants utilize the Alternative
II, Case B control system (incineration) and that all other plants will utilize
the Case A (improved stripping) control system. Control scenario #4 is the
most stringent and assumes that dispersion plants will utilize the Alternative II,
Case B (incineration) system and that all other plants will utilize the Case B
(incineration) control system. In all of the control scenarios it is the cumula-
tive effect of air and water pollution controls at ethylene dichloride plants, vinyl
chloride plants, and polyvinyl chloride plants that is being evaluated. As in
previous sections, the methodology of analysis will emphasize price increases,
plant profitability levels, and incremental capital requirements.
7.3.5.2 Control Scenario #1
This control scenario assumes that all dispersion plants utilize Alternative I
controls (stripping to 30,000 parts per million) and that all other plants utilize
Case A (improved stripping) controls.
Table 7-34 details the estimated plant-by-plant capital requirements for
control scenario #1. Capital requirements for air emission control systems at
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the various plants have been estimated using the cost algorithms developed
earlier in this report (Table 7-6). These algorithms, coupled with specific
plant information and assumptions regarding process types, reactor sizes, and
various other factors led to the estimation of the air pollution control costs.
The water effluent control costs at individual plants have been estimated
by using the cost information presented earlier in this report (Table 7-16)
and supplied by the Effluent Guidelines Division of EPA. With regard to the
water pollution control costs, these costs are included to give only a general
estimate of the magnitude of effluent guidelines compliance costs. No analysis
has been given to these costs since the primary thrust of this report is to
estimate the impacts resulting from various air pollution control systems.
The capital costs shown in Table 7-34 represent an average increase in esti-
mated replacement plant capital for all affected plants of approximately 19
percent. Individual plant incremental capital requirements are estimated to
vary between 9 percent and 37 percent.
The estimated plant-by-plant annualized costs for control scenario #1 are
shown in Table 7-35. Note that a charge for vinyl chloride has been included
in the cost summary that is the amount necessary to recover industry-average
control costs, both air and water, at existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants.
In a manner similar to the methodology previously described, it has been
possible to estimate the pre-control profitability of existing plants and then
determine the change in profitability due to imposition of emission control costs
on the uncontrolled plant. The methodology for determining the profitability
at existing polyvinyl chloride plants is identical to the methodology employed
for existing ethylene dichloride plants and vinyl chloride plants. (Refer to
Table 7-19).
7-39
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It must be emphasized that the profitability levels shown in this section
as well as the previous sections dealing with ethylene dichloride plants and
vinyl chloride plants were derived from generalized financial information
developed for model plants. These profitability levels are thought to generally
approximate the profitability levels at existing plants.
Table 7-36 presents a summary of the estimated profitability levels
and changes in profitability resulting from imposition of control scenario #1
control costs. Note that the average price increase for this scenario is
2.15<£/lb. Since approximately 10 percent of the industry sales are of dis-
persion process resins that sell for about 34<£/lb and the other 90 percent
of the sales are at about 24<£/lb, this results in an average price for all
sales of approximately 25<£/lb. The 2.15<£/lb price increase for scenario #1
is an increase of 8.6 percent in this average price.
Examination of Table 7-36 reveals that there are 4 plants (Occidental/
Hicksville, Jennat/Torrance, Jennat/Tucker, and Jennat/Somerset) that are
placed in an estimated loss position (negative return on investment) after the
average price increase has been passed on to resin users. Another 17 plants
experience a net decrease in return on investment due to the imposition of
the scenario #1 control costs ranging from 1 percent to 57 percent. The
remaining 20 plants either experience no decrease in profitability or else a
relative net increase in profitability ranging up to 9 percent. It is
estimated that the 4 plants that are placed in the negative profitability
position by control scenario #1 would probably be closed unless mitigating
circumstances not considered in this analysis came into play. These four
plants represent less than 1 percent of the total industry capacity of
2,609,000,000 kg/yr. Based on total polyvinyl chloride industry employment of
7-40
-------
approximately 5,600 persons, approximately 30 people are estimated to become
unemployed as a result of closing of the 4 aforementioned plants.
The price increase to resin fabricators of 2.15<£/lb (8.6 percent) resulting
from control scenario #1 is estimated to result in a price increase to the
consumers of the fabricated products of approximately 1-4 percent. This
increase in the price of consumer goods fabricated from polyvinyl chloride
resins was estimated based on the assumption that the resin cost amounted
to 10-50 percent of the final cost of the fabricated product. The remainder
of the fabricated product cost would be comprised of fabrication labor,
utilities, depreciation, interest, and miscellaneous overhead charges. A
resin price increase of 8.6 percent (which translates into a maximum fabri-
cated goods price increase of 4 percent) is not believed to be sufficient to
result in any appreciable substitution of other products for polyvinyl
chloride fabricated resins or in any appreciable increase in imports of
either polyvinyl chloride resins or fabricated products. This conclusion
is based upon the assumption that a relative price increase of 10 percent
is the maximum price increase that could be passed forward to the fabricators
of polyvinyl chloride resins and, ultimately, the consuming public before
appreciable reductions in demand for polyvinyl chloride products took place.
This assumption is based upon conversations with industry representatives.
It would seem that the 10 percent price increase parameter is a reasonable
one upon which to base conclusions of economic impact, but it is granted
that a more sophisticated analytical tool would be of much value.
In the event that no price increase for polyvinyl chloride resins
could be obtained, Table 7-36 reveals that one additional plant (Keysor-
Century/Saugus) would be placed in a negative profitability position and
might be subject to closure. This would mean that a total of five plants
7-41
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might close If control scenario #1 was implemented without any price increases
for polyvinyl chloride resins.
7.3.5.3 Control Scenario #2
This control scenario assumes that all dispersion plants utilize Alter-
native II, Case A controls (stripping to 2000 parts per million) and that all
other plants use Case A (improved stripping) controls.
Table 7-37 shows the estimated capital requirements for all existing
polyvinyl chloride plants for control scenario #2. The estimation or these
costs employed the same methodology as described above for control scenario
#1. The capital costs shown in Table 7-37 represent an average replacement
plant capital increase for all affected plants of approximately 20 percent.
Individual plant capital requirements are estimated to vary between 10
percent and 38 percent.
Table 7-38 details the estimated plant-by-plant annualized costs for
control scenario #2. These costs, as do the capital costs shown in Table
7-37, include charges for control of water effluent emissions. Table 7-38
also includes a cost pass-on from ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants
to recover costs for control of air and water emissions at these facilities.
Table 7-39 shows the impact on plant profitability of the costs resulting
from control scenario #2. Note that in this case the estimated average price
increase for all resins is 2.35<£/lb, or 9.4 percent of the overall average
resin price of 25<£/lb. Table 7-39 shows that the 4 plants that were placed
in a negative profitability position by control scenario #1 (Occidental/
Hicksville, Jennat/Torrance, Jennat/Tucker, Jennat/Somerset) are also placed
in a negative profitability position by control scenario #2. There are no
additional firms placed in a negative profitability position by this scenario,
assuming an average price increase of 2.35<£/lb. Of the remaining 37 poly-
7-42
-------
vinyl chloride plants, 18 suffer a net decrease in profitability of up to
50 percent. The remaining 19 plants have increased profitabilities as a
result of the control scenario ranging up to a net increase of 13 percent.
In this case the average price increase to resin fabricators is 2.35
-------
Individual replacment plant capital requirements are estimated to vary
between 10 percent and 44 percent.
Table 7-41 shows the estimated annualized costs, including water pollution
control costs, for control scenario #3. As in previous scenarios, a charge for
air and water pollution control costs at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants has been included.
Table 7-42 details the estimated impact on plant profitability resulting
from control scenario #3. For this case the average resin price increase is
estimated to be 3.56<£/lb or 14.2 percent of the overall average resin price
of 25<£/lb. Table 7-42 further indicates that a total of 7 plants (Occidental/
Hicksville, Jennat/Torrance, Jennat/Tucker, Jennat/Somerset, Monsanto/ Springfield,
Union Carbide/South Charleston, and Uniroyal/Painesville) would be placed in a
negative profitability position and would be potential closure candidates.
Four of the aforementioned plants were identified as potential closure candi-
dates for control scenario #1 and scenario #2. Of the remaining 34 plants,
10 would suffer relative net decreases in profitability of up to 74 percent
while 24 plants would experience relative net increases in profitability
ranging up to 40 percent.
The above discussion assumes that an average price increase of approximately
3.56<£/lb (14.2 percent) will be passed on to resin fabricators. It will be
recalled from the discussion of the impact of control scenario #1 on existing
polyvinyl chloride plants that a 10 percent price increase was believed to be
the point at which appreciable substitution of other products for polyvinyl
chloride would occur. It is possible, then, that a price increase of 14.2
percent would not occur. This would mean that all firms would experience lower
post-control profitability levels than shown on Table 7-42. Accordingly, some
additional plant closures might occur depending upon the actual amount of
7-44
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the price increase. In this case, however, if the price increase was limited
to 10 percent there would be no additional closure candidates in addition to
the 7 mentioned above.
In this case the increase in the price of fabricated products would
be expected to be on the order of 1-7 percent given that a net resin price
increase of approximately 14 percent could be effected. A resin price
increase of 10 percent is expected to result in an increase to the fabricated
product consumer of 1-5 percent.
The seven plants mentioned above comprise approximately 5 percent of the
total domestic polyvinyl chloride capacity. It is estimated that about 250
jobs would be lost if these plants closed.
Table 7-42 reveals that a total of 13 plants might close if no price
increases for polyvinyl chloride resins could be obtained and control
scenario #3 was implemented. These fourteen plants comprise approximately
18 percent of the total industry capacity and are estimated to employ approxi-
mately 1000 people.
7.3.5.5 Control Scenario #4
This control scenario assumes that all dispersion plants will utilize
Alternative II, Case B (incineration) controls and that all other plants will
utilize Case B (incineration) controls.
Table 7-43 details the estimated capital requirements, including water
pollution control capital, for control scenario #4. The capital costs shown
in Table 7-43 represent an average replacement plant capital increase for
all affected plants of approximately 29 percent. Individual plant capital
requirements are estimated to vary between 12 percent and 45 percent.
Table 7-44 details the annualized cost requirements, including a charge
for controls at the ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant for this scenario.
7-45
-------
Again, the methodology used in Tables 7-43 and 7-44 is identical to the one
utilized in the analysis of the preceding scenarios.
The estimated impact upon plant profitability resulting from control
scenario #4 is shown in Table 7-45. Note that in this case the average price
increase has been calculated to be 6.04<£/lb (24.2 percent). Assuming a price
increase of this magnitude results in 6 plants experiencing a post-control
return on investment that is either zero or negative. These 6 plants
(Occidental/Hicksville, Jennat/Torrance, Jennat/Tucker, Jennat/Somerset, Monsanto/
Springfield, and Union Carbide/South Charleston) would be potential closure
candidates. Of the remaining 35 plants, 13 experience a relative net decrease
in profitability of up to 78 percent as a result of control scenario #4 and 22
plants either experience no net change or else a relative net increase in
profitability of up to 81 percent.
The statistics presented above are based upon a price increase of 24.2
percent. If the actual price increase in the industry was limited to 10
percent for reasons cited previously, it is estimated that 4 more plants
(Diamond Shamrock/Delaware City, Keysor-Centory/Saugus, Pantasote/Passaic,
and Uniroyal/Painesville) would join the list of closure candidates.
The net result of a 24.2 percent increase in resin prices would be an
estimated price increase for fabricated products of 2.5-12 percent, an
amount that could conceivably lead to appreciable substitution or increased
imports. It was estimated that 6 plants might close if control scenario #4,
including a 24.2 percent price increase, was implemented. These six plants
account for approximately 3 percent of the total industry capacity are esti-
mated to employ 150 people.
If only a 10 percent price increase was effected, then theoretically
little or no substitution or increased imports would occur, but a total of
7-46
-------
10 plants might be expected to close. These ten plants account for approximately
8 percent of the total industry capacity and are estimated to employ approximately
450 people. In this case consumer price increases are anticipated to be on
the order to 1-5 percent.
Table 7-45 indicates that a total of 30 plants might close if no price
increase was obtained and control scenario #4 was implemented. These 30 plants
account for approximately 58 percent of total industry capacity and are esti-
mated to employ 3200 people.
7.3.6 Polyvinyl Chloride Plants - New Plant Economic Impact Analysis
7.3.6.1 Introduction
The economic impact of various air emission control levels on new suspension,
dispersion, and bulk process polyvinyl chloride plants has been evaluated. For
suspension process plants only one level of emission control has been evaluated
but two methods if attaining the emission level are discussed - an improved
slurry stripping system and an incineration system. For dispersion process
plants two alternative emission levels are presented, one of which could be
met by a system based on resin stripping to existing levels and the other
could be met by either a system based on stripping to 2000 parts per million
or an incineration system. For bulk process plants only one level of emission
control has been evaluated. As with the suspension process plant either an
improved stripping system or an incineration system could be used to attain
the emission control level at the bulk process plant.
7.3.6.2 New Suspension Process Plants
The results of utilizing various control systems at a typical new sus-
pension process polyvinyl chloride plants is shown in Table 7-46. Note that
the uncontrolled suspension process plant generates a return on investment of
9.9 percent. This rate of return decreases to 8.2 percent for a plant that
7-47
-------
complies with the water effluent guidelines and receives monomer from an existing
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant that incurs water effluent costs plus
Alternative II costs. The pre-control rate of 9.9 percent could be maintained
at the plant with a price increase of 0.71<£/1b, an increase in the 24tf/lb base
price for suspension process polyvinyl chloride of 3.0 percent. Total plant
capital requirements increase from 19.75
-------
a relative price increase of 10 percent is the maximum price increase that could
be passed forward to the fabricators of polyvinyl chloride resins and, ultimately,
the consuming public before appreciable reductions in demand for polyvinyl
chloride products took place. As stated earlier, this assumption is based
upon conversations with industry representatives.
Referring back to Table 7-46, it is seen that the Case A scenarios which
includes air emission control costs and water effluent costs at the suspension
process polyvinyl chloride plant as well as increased vinyl chloride prices due
to air and water controls at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants, results
in a price increase of 8.8 percent being required to maintain the pre-control
profitability level, a level somewhat below the 10 percent cut-off level.
The Case B scenario, however, results in a price increase of 21.9 percent,
well above the 10 percent cut-off point. Even if all water effluent costs were
not incurred and no increase in vinyl chloride prices was incurred either, the
resulting costs for the air emission controls alone would result in a price
increase of 19 percent which is still well above the cut-off point. If it can
be assumed that the fugitive control package used at the model suspension process
plant duplicates the OSHA-required controls then the price increase for EPA-
generated air controls would drop from 19 percent to 16 percent, a level that is
still appreciably higher than the 10 percent cut-off point.
Total plant capital requirements at a typical new suspension process
polyvinyl chloride plant increase by approximately 19 percent as a result of
adding Case A controls. This increase of 19 percent is not believed to be large
enough to deter construction of a new facility. This conclusion is drawn based
on the assumption that prices for polyvinyl chloride will be raised by an amount
sufficient to generate the same profit on the incremental control capital as
is being earned on the uncontrolled plant capital. The new facility will not
7-49
-------
be the only plant that will have to raise prices. It was shown in the preceding
section that existing plants will also be forced to raise prices by approxi-
mately 10 percent so any new facility that incurs a price increase will be
competing with existing firms that have also incurred approximately the same
price increase.
In summary, then, it appears that utilization of the Case A (improved
stripping) control system would not be a deterrent to the construction of
new suspension process polyvinyl chloride plants but that utilization of the
Case B (incineration) control system would seriously deter the construction
of any new suspension process plant.
7.3.6.3 New Dispersion Process Plants
The results of utilizing various control systems at a new dispersion
process polyvinyl chloride plant of 14,000,000 kg/yr capacity are shown in
Table 7-47. Note that the uncontrolled plant generates a relatively low return
on investment of 3.1 percent. Imposition of the water effluent costs and the
increased vinyl chloride costs due to controls at the ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plant leads to a reduction in profitability to 2.5 percent
and would require a price increase of 1.7 percent to maintain the pre-control
profitability level of 3.1 percent. Total plant capital requirements increase
from 55.75<£/lb/yr to 56.59(£/lb/yr, an increase of 1.5 percent. The model
dispersion plant that utlizes the Alternative I control system (resin
stripping to 30,000 parts per million) plus incurs water effluent costs and
increased vinyl chloride charges experiences a drop in profitability to 0.1
percent if no price increase is obtained. A price increase of 11.0 percent
would be required to restore the pre-control profitability level of 3.1
percent. Total plant capital in this case increases by 15 percent. Similarly,
the model dispersion plant in the Alternative II, Case A scenario would
7-50
-------
require a price increase of 17.1 percent to maintain pre-control profit-
ability and would experience an increase in total capital of 21 percent.
The Alternative II, Case B scenario leads to a price increase of 52.9 percent
and a total capital increase of 33 percent.
Using the 10 percent price increase parameter discussed previously leads
to the conclusion that a new dispersion process polyvinyl chloride plant of
approximately 14,000,000 kg/yr capacity would not be constructed at either
the Alternative II, Case A control level or the Alternative II, Case B control
level. It is questionable whether a new dispersion process plant of approxi-
mately 14,000,000 kg/yr capacity would be constructed at the Alternative I
control level. The required price increase to maintain pre-control profit-
ability at 11.0 percent is admittedly higher than the 10 percent cut-off level,
but only marginally so.
It is altogether possible, however, that new disperison process poly-
vinyl chloride plants of the size modelled in Table 7-47 would not
be constructed in the future even if no pollution control regulations, either
air or water, were applied to them. This is because smaller plants apparently
have marginal profitabilities before any control costs are incurred. It
is likely that larger dispersion process plants would be constructed in
the future, however, due to the fact that economies of scale would make these
facilities more profitable than smaller plants. Table 7-48 details the estimated
effect of economies of scale on dispersion process polyvinyl chloride plants by
showing the economics of an uncontrolled 45,000,000 kg/yr plant and how
these economics are altered by imposition of various control systems. Note
that the uncontrolled plant with a capacity of 45,000,000 kg/yr has a return
on investment in the base (uncontrolled) case of 7.5 percent as opposed to
3.1 percent for the 14,000,000 kg/yr plant. For the larger plant it is seen
7-51
-------
that economies of scale put the price increase to maintain pre-control profit-
ability for the Alternative II, Case A option (stripping to 2000 parts per million)
at 10.6 percent, only marginally above the 10 percent cut-off figure. The
Alternative II, Case B scenario (incineration) is well above the 10 percent
cut-off point and would remain so even if all other control costs except for
the EPA-generated air emission costs were removed.
It is concluded based upon the information presented in Table 7-47 and 7-48
that new dispersion process plants will be able to comply with all emission control
costs required by the Alternative II, Case A scenario (stripping to 2000 parts
per million), including water pollution control costs, at large dispersion process
plants (approximately 45,000,000 kg/yr capacity or greater) but not at plants
that are appreciably smaller than 45,000,000 kg/yr capacity. Smaller plants,
however, on the order of 14,000,000 kg/yr capacity would probably only be able
to comply with the Alternative I scenario (stripping to 30,000 parts per
million).
Total plant capital costs in the Alternative II, Case A scenario increase
by approximately 14 percent for a plant with a capacity of 45,000,000 kg/yr,
an amount that would not appear to appreciably, deter construction of new
facilities since pre-control profitability is expected to be maintained
through price increases. As was pointed out in the preceding section, an
industry-wide price increase of approximately 10 percent will be caused
by the impact of control regulations on existing plants. The new plant,
therefore, will be able to raise prices and generate a pre-control level
of return on its total capital investment, including the incremental control
capital requirement.
In summary, then, it is concluded that the imposition of Alternative I
controls (stripping to 30,000 parts per million) would probably not be a
deterrent to the construction of new dispersion process polyvinyl chloride
7-52
-------
plants except possibly those of very small capacities, that imposition of
Alternative II, Case A controls (stripping to 2000 parts per million) would
not be a deterrent to the construction of large new dispersion plants with
capacities of 45,000,000 kg/yr or more, and that imposition of Alternative II,
Case B controls (incineration) would prove to be a serious deterrent to the
construction of any new dispersion process polyvinyl chloride plants.
7.3.6.4 Mew Bulk Process Plants
The results of utilizing various control systems on a typical new bulk
or polyvinyl chloride plant are shown in Table 7-49. This plant has a return
on investment for the uncontrolled case of 9.3%. This base plant return on
investment decreases to 7.7 percent for the plant that incurs water pollution
control costs and increased costs for vinyl chloride. This case requires a
2.9 percent increase in prices to maintain the pre-control profitability level
of 9.3 percent. Total plant capital increases from 21.15<£/lb/yr to 21,99
-------
7.3.7 Summary
7.3.7.1 Ethylene Pi chloride-Vinyl Chloride Plants
The following is a summary of the economic analysis of alternative con-
trol levels at new and existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants:
1. New ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants are judged to be able
to afford either Alternative I controls (no control of the oxychlorina-
tion vent) or Alternative III controls (control of the oxychlorination
vent).
Incremental capital requirements for a typical new facility with a
capacity of 318 million kg/yr (700 million Ib/yr) are as follows:
Incremental Control Capital ($ Millions)
Alt. I Alt. Ill
Air $0.9 1.9
Water 2.4 2.4
Total $3.3 4.3
% Increase Over 10% 13%
Uncontrolled Plant
The price increase required to maintain pre-control return invest-
ment at the typical new facility mentioned above are:
Price Increase
Alt. I Alt. Ill
Air 0.12<£/lb 0.27
Water 0.17 0.17
Total 0.29 <£/lb 0.44
% Increase Over Base 2.4% 3.7%
Price of 12<£/lb:
7-54
-------
2. Exi; ing ethylene dichloride plants are judged to be able to comply
with all control options without significant adverse economic impact.
The following table lists the relevant parameters considered:
Control Alternative
I II III
Estimated Plant Closures: None None
Net Change in Return on Investment
After Price Increase
Range:
Industry Average:
Increase in Estimated Replace-
ment Plant Capital
Range:
Industry Average:
Industry Total Incremental
Control Capital ($ Millions)
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
Price Increase Due To:
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
% Increase Over Base
Price of 12
-------
3. Existing vinyl chloride plants are judged to be able to comply with
all control options without significant adverse economic impact. The
following table lists the relevant parameters considered:
Control Alternative
I II III
Estimated Plant Closures: None None None
Net Relative Change in Return
on Investment After Price Increase
Range:
Industry Average:
Increase in Estimated Replace-
ment Plant Capital
Range:
Industry Average:
Industry Total Incremental
Control Capital ($ Millions)
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
9%-(53%) 9%-(53%) 31%-(55%)
4%
8-11% 8-13%
8% 9%
8-16%
11%
$8.7
23.0
10.3
23.0
19.6
23.0
$31.7
33.3
42.6
Price Increase Due to:
1
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:1
1
% Increase Over Base
Price of 12
-------
7.3.7.2 Polyvinyl Chloride Plants
The following is a summary of the economic analysis of various control
levels at new and existing polyvinyl chloride plants:
1. Typical new suspension process polyvinyl chloride plants are judged
to be able to afford Case A (improved stripping) controls but unable
to afford Case B (incineration) controls.
The incremental capital requirements for a new suspension process plant
with a capacity of 68 million kg/yr (150 million Ib/yr) are as follows:
Incremental Control Capital ($ Millions)
Case A Case B
Air Controls: 4.4 6.7
Water Controls: 1.3 1.3
Total: 5.7 8.0
% Increase Over 19% 27%
Uncontrolled Plant Capital:
The price increase required to maintain pre-control return on investment
at the new suspension process plant is:
Price Increase
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:1
% Increase Over
Base Price is 24
-------
2. The imposition of Alternative I controls (stripping to 30,000 parts
per million) would probably not be a deterrent to the construction of
new dispersion process plants except possibly those of very small
capacities. The imposition of Alternative II, Case A controls (strip-
ping to 2,000 parts per million) would probably not be a deterrent to
the construction of large new plants with capacities of 45 million
kg/yr (100 million Ib/yr) or more. The imposition of Alternative II,
Case B controls (incineration) would probably be a serious deterrent
to the construction of any new dispersion process polyvinyl chloride
plants.
The capital requirements for two sizes of new dispersion plants are as
follows:
14 Million kg/yr (30 Million Ib/yr)
Incremental Control Capital ($ Millions)
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
% Increase Over
Uncontrolled Plant Capital
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
% Increase Over
Uncontrolled Plant Capital:
Alt.
J
2.3
0.2
2.5
15%
45 Million
Incremental
Alt.
I
$2.8
0.8
3.6
9%
Alt. II
Case A
3.4
0.2
3.6
21%
kg/yr (100 Mill
Control Capital
Alt. II
Case A
4.8
0.8
5.6
14%
Alt. II
Case B
5.3
0.2
5.5
33%
ion Ib/yr)
($ Millions)
Alt. II
Case B
12.3
0.8
13.1
34%
7-58
-------
Alt.
I
3.4«t/lb
0.40
3.74t/lb
11.0%
Alt. II
Case A
5.41
0.40
5.81
17.0%
Alt. II
Case B
17.58
0.40
17.98
52.9%
The price increases required to maintain pre-control return on invest-
ment at alternative control levels for two sizes of new dispersion
plants are as follows:
14 Million kg/yr (30 Million Ib/yr)
Price Increase
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:1
% Increase Over Base
Price of 34<£/lb
Includes control cost pass-on from ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants.
45 Million kg/yr (100 Million Ib/yr)
Price Increase
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:1
% Increase Over
Base Price of 34
-------
3. New bulk process plants would probably not be precluded from con-
struction by either Case A controls (improved stripping) or Case B
controls (incineration).
The incremental capital requirements for new bulk process plant with
a capacity of 45 million kg/yr (100 million Ib/yr) are as follows:
Incremental Control Capital ($ Millions)
Case A Case B
Air Controls: $1.3 1.6
Water Controls: 0.8 0.8
Total: $2.1 2.4
% Increase Over 10% 12%
Uncontrolled Plant Capital
The price increases required to maintain pre-control return on invest-
ment are as follows:
Price Increase
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:1
% Increase Over Base
Price of 24<£/lb
Includes cost pass-on from ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants.
Case A
1.34
-------
4. Four control scenarios for existing polyvinyl chloride plants have
been evaluated. Control scenario #1 assumes that all dispersion process
plants will utilize Alternative I controls (stripping to 30,000 parts per
million) and that all other plants will utilize Case A controls (improved
stripping). Control scenario #2 assumes that all dispersion process plants
will utilize Alternative II, Case A controls (stripping to 2,000 parts per
million) and that all other plants will use Case A controls (improved
stripping). Control scenario #3 assumes that all dispersion plants
will utilize Alternative II, Case B controls (incineration) and that all
other plants will use Case A controls (improved stripping). Control
scenario #4 assumes that all dispersion plants will use Alternative II,
Case B controls (incineration) and that all other plants will use
Case B controls (incineration). The economic impact of complying with
the various control scenarios is summarized below:
Control Scenario
#1 #2_ #3 #4
Estimated Plant Closures: 4476
% of Total Plants: 10% 10% 17% 15%
% of Total Capacity: 0.5% 0.5% 4.7% 2.8%
Estimated Job Losses: 30 30 250 150
Net Relative Change in Return on
Investment After Price Increase:
Range:1 9%-(57%) 1356-(50*) 40%-(74%) 81%-(78%)
Industry Average: 0000
Excluding estimated closure candidates.
7-61
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Percent Increase in Total
Estimated Replacement Plant Capital:
Range:
Industry Average:
Control Scenario
#2 #3
#4
9%-37%
10%
10-38%
20%
10-44%
24%
12-45%
29%
Total Industry Incremental
Control Capital ($ Millions)
Air Controls:
Water Controls:
Total:
$167.4
48.3
183.0
48.3
225.6
48.3
293.3
48.3
215.7 231.3
273.9
341.6
Price Increase U/lb)
Due to
Air Controls:
1
Water Controls:
Total:1
1
% Increase Over Base
Industry Weighted Average
Price of 25<£/lb
Estimated Price Increase
in Consumer Goods
Estimated Impact of Price
Increase on Substitution,
Imports
1.63
0.52
2.15
8.6%
1.83
0.52
2.35
9.4%
3.04
0.52
3.56
14.2%
5.52
0.52
6.04
24.2%
1-4%
1-5%
1-7% 2.5-12%
Negligible Negligible Moderate Substantial
1
Includes control cost pass-on from ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants.
7-62
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5. In the event that prices for polyvinyl chloride resins could not be
increased, it is estimated that 5 plants might choose closure over
control if either control scenario #1 or control scenario #2 was
implemented. These five plants account for approximately 1 percent
of total industry capacity and are estimated to employ a total of
60 people. If control scenario #3 was implemented without a price
increase it is estimated that 13 plants might close. These 13 plants
account for approximately 18 percent of total industry capacity and
are estimated to employ a total of 1000 people. If control scenario
#4 was implemented without a price increase it is estimated that 30
plants might close. These 30 plants account for approximately 58 per-
cent of total industry capacity and are estimated to employ a total of
3200 people.
6. The impact upon the industry of current OSHA regulations has been
determined assuming that a) the cost for OSHA controls can be approximated
by the cost of the fugitive control package required by all EPA alternatives,
and b) there are no OSHA costs incremental to the EPA-generated costs. Given
these assumptions it was determined that the OSHA regulations would have the
same impact on plant closures as either control scenario #1 or scenario #2,
that is, four plants would be expected to close. The EPA requirements, then,
would have no incremental effect on plant closures in the industry until the
levels of control represented by scenario #3 and scenario #4 were attained.
The above assumptions yield estimated OSHA capital requirements of approxi-
mately $37 million of which $29 million would be required at polyvinyl
chloride plants and $8 million would be required at ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants. Estimated OSHA-required annualized costs would be
7-63
-------
$25 million of which $19 million would be required at polyvinyl chloride
plants and $6 million would be required at ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride plants. The price increase in polyvinyl chloride resins
resulting from the above costs would be approximately 0.5<£/1b, or 2.0
percent of the current average price of 25<£/lb.
7-64
-------
7.4 REFERENCES
1. Stanford Research Institute, "Ethylene Dichloride", Chemical Economics
Handbook. January 1972, p. 651.5031B.
2. Stanford Research Institute, "Ethylene", Chemical Economics Handbook.
February, 1975, pp. 648.5053Y-648.5054G.
3. In-Depth Study of Vinyl Chloride Production. Houdry Division of Air Products
and Chemicals, December 6, 1974, p. PVC 6-11.
4. Stanford Research Institute, "Polyvinyl Chloride Resins", Chemical Economics
Handbook. March, 1975, p. 580.1882M.
5. Stanford Research Institute, "Polyvinyl Chloride Resins", Chemical Economics
Handbook. September 1973, p. 580.18820.
6. Foster D. Snell, Inc., Economic Impact Studies of the Effects of Proposed
OSHA Standards for Vinyl Chloride. September 27. 1974. p. III-3.
7. Stanford Research Institute, "Polyvinyl Chloride Resins:, Chemical Economics
Handbook, March, 1975, pp. 580.1883 Y,Z.
8. Compiled from data submitted to EPA under Section 114 of the Clean Air Act.
9. Arthur D. Little, Inc., Vinyl Chloride Monomer Emissions from the Polyvinyl
Chloride Processing Industries, May, 1975.(Draft Report to EPA).
10. Foster D. Snell, Inc., op. cit., Exhibit 111-14.
12. Foster D. Snell, Inc., op. cit.. p. III-3 and p. III-8; Arthur D. Little, Inc.
United States Polyvinyl Chloride Industry, Impact Analysis, August 1974,
prr:
13. Chemical Marketing Reporter. July 14, 1975.
14. Hydrocarbon Processing, May, 1974, p. 83.
15. Stanford Research Institute, op. cit.. pp. 580.1883V-580.1883W.
16. ibid.
17. ibid.
7-65
-------
lable 7-1
Company
Air Products
Allied Chemical
B. F. Goodrich
Borden
Continental Oil
Diamond Shamrock
Dow Chemical
Ethyl Corporation
Firestone
General Tire
Georgia-Pacific
Goodyear
Great American Chemical
Jennat
Keysor-Century
Monochem, Inc.
Monsanto
Occidental Petroleum
Pantasote Company
PPG Industries
Robintech, Inc.
Shell Oil Co.
i in the EDC/VCM/PVC
Plant Capacities
EDC
0
295
455
0
455
120
1,615
370
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
835
0
1,075
Industry
(Millions
VCM
0
155
455
0
330
0
555
190
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
135
0
0
0
360
6
730
of Kilograms/Yr)
PVC
95
0
400
145
220
170
45
80
180
230
100
95
30
7
15
0
30
82
35
0
165
0
7-66
-------
Table 7-1 (Con't)
Vertical Integration in the EDC/VCM/PVC Industry
Plant Capacities (Millions of Kilograms/Yr)
Company EDC VCM PVC
Shintech
Stauffer Chemical Co.
Tenneco Chemicals, Inc.
Union Carbide
Uniroyal Inc.
Vulcan
TOTALS: 5,605 3,100 2,609
SOURCE: Tables 3-1,2,3.
0
135
0
140
0
110
0
75
115
0
0
0
50
150
215
160
50
0
7-67
-------
Table 7-2
1974 PVC Consumption by End-Use Category
Millions % of
of Kilograms Total
Apparel 104 5
Building and Construction 851 39
Home Furnishings 223 10
Recreation 130 6
Electrical 161 7
Packaging 147 7
Transportation 116 5
Miscellaneous 184 8
Exports 145 7
Other 119 5
2,180 100
SOURCE: Modern Plastics, January 1975, p. 51.
7-68
-------
Table 7-3
Possible PVC Substitutes
.1
Market
PVC Resin Usage'
Millions of Kilograms
Apparel
Baby pants
Footwear
Outerwear
Building and construction
Extruded foam moldings
Flooring
Lighting
Panels and siding
Pipe and conduit
Pipe fittings
Rainwater systems
Swimming pool liners
Westherstripping
Window, other profiles
Electrical
Wire and cable
Home Furnishing
Appliances
Furniture
Garden Hose
Housewares
Wall coverings &
wood surfacing film
Packaging
Blow molded bottles
Closure liners and gaskets
Coatings
Film
Sheet
Recreation
Records
Sporting goods
Toys
Transportation
Auto mats
Auto tops
Upholstery and seat covers
1973
12
66
31
26
202
5
39
520
41
16
18
16
26
188
20
145
18
51
54
39
9
9
59
35
66
25
38
18
15
83
1974
12
63
30
22
156
6
44
505
44
15
19
16
24
161
21
144
17
N.A.
58
34
10
9
57
37
65
28
37
19
13
84
Possible ,
Substitutes'
Rubber
Rubber
Other synthetic fibers
Wood
Wood
Glass, styrene
Wood, polyester
Steel, ABS, polyethelene
Steel, ABS, polyethelene
Wood, aluminum
Rubber
Rubber, urethane
Wood,steel, aluminum
Rubber, polyethylene
Other plastics in
some applications
Wood, melamine
Rubber, nylon
Styrene, rubber
Paper, melamine
Glass, cans
Rubber
None
Acrylics, styrene
Polyethylene, nylon
polyester
None
Rubber, leather
None
Rubber
Steel
Nylon, polyesters
7-69
-------
Table 7-3 (Con't)
Possible PVC Substitutes
Market
Miscellaneous
Agriculture (including pipe)
Credit cards
Laminates
Medical tubing
Novelties
Stationery supplies
Tools and hardware
Export
Other
TOTAL
PVC Resin Usage
Millions of Kilograms
66
8
23
23
7
18
8
66
42
72
10
24
23
8
20
10
145
119
Possible ,
Substitutes'
Aluminum, polyethylene
None
None
None
None
Polyester
None
None
None
2,180
2,151
SOURCES: 1) Modern Plastics, January 1974, p. 51
2) Discussions with industry representatives.
7-70
-------
Table 7-4
Announced PVC Capacity Expansions and Closures
Company
Location
Expansions to Existing Facilities:
Borden
Diamond Shamrock
Goodyear
Stauffer
Air Products
B. F. Goodrich
TOTAL EXPANSIONS
New Facilities
Certain-teed
Rico Chemicals
Illiopolis, Illinois
Deer Park, Texas
Plaquemine, Louisiana
Delaware City, Delaware
Calvert City, Kentucky
Louisville, Kentucky
Lake Charles, Louisiana
Guayanilla, Puerto Rico
TOTAL NEW FACILITIES
Closures
Monsanto
Capacity Increase
(Millions of Kilograms)
90
90
45
5
115
N.A.
Springfield, Massachusetts
NET CAPACITY ADDITIONS (Expansions Plus New
Facilities Less Closures)
345
135
70
205
30
520
SOURCES: Chemical Marketing Reporter, Schnell Publishing Co., May 20, 1974,
page 9 and page 18, non-confidential data supplied by industry
under Section 114 of the Clean Air Act; and Chemical Engineering,
September 30, 1974, page 112.
7-71
-------
Table 7-5
Prices of Ethyl ene
Product
Ethyl ene Dichloride
Vinyl Chloride
Polyvinyl Chloride
Dichloride, Vinyl Chloride
1974
May 13
9*/lb
7-lOtf/lb
1974
July 8
9.5^/lb
7-lOtf/lb
and Polyvinyl Chloride
1974 1975
October 21 June 23
9.5^/lb 11-Wlb
9-124/lb 9-12*/lb
Homopolymer
Suspension
Dispersion
Copolymer
Suspension
17-22.5*/lb 20-24(i/lb 22-25^/lb 24-28*/lb
30^/lb 30-33(f/lb 32-34<^/lb 34-37<£/lb
19-24.5«/lb 20-26
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Table 7-16. EPA Water Effluent Regulations - Compliance Costs for EDC, VCM,
and PVC Plants to Meet the 1983 (Best Available Technology) Requirements*
1. Calculation of cost pass-through from EDC plants to VCM plants:
A. Capital required to meet BAT $661,618
B. 15% before-tax profit (15%xA) 99,243
C. Annualized cost to meet BAT 132,312
D. Total annual recovery (B+C) 231,555
E. Model plant capacity (Ib/yr EDC) 684,000,000
F. Unit cost pass-through (D * E) 0.034tf/lb EDC
2. Calculation of costs incurred at VCM plants:
A. Capital required to meet BAT $1,179,753
B. Annualized costs to meet BAT 235,929
C. EDC cost pass-through (1.58#EDC/#VCM) 188,020
D. Total annual cost to meet BAT (B+C) 433,949
E. Model plant capacity (Ib VCM/yr) 3*0,000,000
F. Unit cost (D * E) 0.12<£/lb VCM
G. Unit capital requirement (A * E) 0.344/lb VCM/yr
3. Calculation of costs incurred at PVC plants:
A. Capital required to meet BAT $1,262,086
B. Annualized costs to meet BAT 272,331
C. Model plant capacity (Ib PVC/yr) 150,000,000
D. Unit cost (B * C) 0.18^/lb PVC
E. Unit capital requirement (A * C) 0.84tf/lb PVC/yr
SOURCE: Control costs developed from material supplied by EPA's Effluent
Guidelines Division.
*1983 BAT requirements are identical to New Source Effluent Standards.
7-94
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Table 7-19. Existing EDC Plant Profitability
Calculations and Assumptions (Before Control)
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Plant Investment U/lb/yr) 4.03 3.35
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8. RATIONALE FOR THE PROPOSED STANDARD
This chapter presents the rationale for the selection of
the emission sources, emission limits, and testing, reporting,
and recordkeeping requirements included in the proposed standard.
The alternative control levels discussed in Chanter 5 which have
been selected as the basis for the proposed standard are identified
and the reasons for selecting them are discussed. Some of the
data in this chapter are extracted from Chapters 2 through 7
since those chanters contain the information on which the rationale
for the proposed standard is primarily based. Therefore, the
references for the data included in this chapter can be found
in Chapters 2 through 7.
8.1 Selection of Emission Sources to be Covered By the
Proposed Standard
For the reasons explained in Chapter 2, EPA has determined
that ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride
plants are to be covered by the proposed standard. As explained in
Chapter 1, the term "ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant" refers
to any plant which produces ethylene dichloride (by the oxychlorination
process), vinyl chloride, or both ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride.
As noted in Chapter 5, EPA has concluded that, for purposes
of regulating vinyl chloride, best available control technology
means control of all emission points within ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants. There are control
technologies which have been used for each type of emission point,
and regulation of only some of the emission points was determined
8-1
-------
to be less than best available control technology. Thus, the proposed
standard applies to all of the major processing equipment in
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants.
Emissions from both normal operation and from relief discharges are to
be regulated. Relief discharges are included because they cause short-
term high level emissions which can be prevented in almost all cases.
Two sources of vinyl chloride need explanation. First, the reactor
may, in some polyvinyl chloride plants, serve also as the stripper.
When this is the case, the regulation controlling reactors is applicable.
Second, the definition of stripper for all resins except bulk resins
includes "in the slurry form" so that other vessels, e.g. silos,
following this stage of the process will not be considered strippers.
Likewise, the definition of stripper for bulk resins does not include
s i1os.
The proposed standard also applies to all known fugitive emission
sources, including equipment used for loading (or unloading) vinyl
chloride monomer into transfer equipment from storage vessels, slip
gauges, leakage from seals on pumps, compressors, and agitators,
leakage from relief valves, manual venting of gases, opening of
equipment such as for maintenance and inspection, flasks used in obtaining
samples of vinyl chloride monomer, leakage from equipment, and inprocess
wastewater. Although the emissions from each of these sources when
considered individually may appear relatively small, they are included
in the proposed standard because when combined they represent a significant
portion of the total plant emissions. Based on data reported to EPA by
individual companies in the spring of 1974, fugitive emissions represented
approximately 40 percent of the total emissions from polyvinyl chloride
8-2
-------
plants and approximately 25 percent of the total emissions from
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants. Inprocess wastewater is
included in the list of fugitive emission sources subject to the proposed
standard because available data indicate that vinyl chloride contained
in water exposed to the atmosphere is lost rather rapidly. Precise
measurements have not been made to prove that this vinyl chloride is
emitted to the air. However, as explained in Chapter 4, section 4.10,
data on the solubility of vinyl chloride in water indicate that this is
likely to be the case.
For several of the fugitive emission sources, the proposed
standard applies only to those pieces of equipment "in vinyl chloride
service." This term is defined to exclude pieces of equipment such
as pumps and storage containers which are used to handle materials
other than vinyl chloride and which contain essentially no vinyl
chloride.
Two fugitive emission sources which were considered for
specific regulation but which are not included in the proposed standard
as such are vacuum pumps and steam jets. It was concluded that
a separate regulation is unnecessary because more general regulations
are included which already cover vacuum pumps and steam jets. For
example, steam jets used to displace vinyl chloride or other contaminants
from equipment are covered by general regulations controlling the
removal of vinyl chloride from equipment by any means.
8.2 Rationale for the Emission Limits
The purpose of the proposed standard is to minimize the risk to the
public health by setting emission limits which will reduce emissions to
8-3
-------
the level attainable with the best available control technology for each
emission source in ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl
chloride plants. Since there are many technical decisions involved
in developing a standard on the basis of "best available control
technology," EPA has established two criteria for making the technical
decisions. The two criteriause and adaptability, and costsare
discussed in Chapter 5.
The final decisions on standards for all emission sources in
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants
were based on data on control systems received through requests for
information under the authority of section 114 of the Clean
Air Act, on-site observation of plant processes, consultation with
industry representatives and control equipment vendors, an emission
test, and two studies completed under contract to EPA. See Chapter 4
for the results of these investigations. Evaluation of all data
led EPA to conclude that there are only two emission sources
for which there was any question in selecting an emission
limit based on the established criteria for best available
control technology. The reasons why there is some question about
these particular emission sources are explained in Chapter 5. These
two, the oxychlorination reactor in ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants and the sources following the stripper in the manufacture of
dispersion resins in polyvinyl chloride plants, are discussed under
8.2.1 and 8.2.2, respectively. Emission sources for which an emission
limit could be selected without any question based on the established
criteria for "best available control technology" are discussed in
8.2.3 and 8.2.4.
8-4
-------
8.2.1 Oxychlorination Reactor at Ethylene Dichloride-Vinyl
Chloride Plants
The issue for the oxychlorination reactor concerned the
interpretation of the second criterion for best available control
technology, i.e., are the costs of controlling the effluent gas
stream from the oxychlorination reactor grossly disproportionate
to the degree of emission reduction which would be achieved by that
control? As discussed more completely in Chapter 5, EPA identified
three alternative control levels for the oxychlorination reactor:
(1) no control, (2) that which is equivalent to controlling process
variables, and (3) that which is equivalent to control by incineration.
The emission factors, mass emissions, percent control, hydrogen chloride
emissions, energy consumption, and costs for an average-sized plant (318
million kilograms or 700 million pounds of vinyl chloride produced per
year) attaining each of these alternative control levels are displayed
in Table 8-1. The emissions from an uncontrolled plant are also shown.
The alternative of proposing an emission limit which is
equivalent to control by incineration was rejected for the following
reasons. The oxychlorination reactor has a large volume, low hydrocarbon
concentration effluent gas stream, and large quantities of
supplemental fuel would be required for its combustion. One company
has reduced the gas volume from the oxychlorination reactor and the
associated energy costs by recycling the process gas stream and using
oxygen instead of air to feed into the process. A second company
is also planning to install this technology. Although the recycling
and oxygen feed methodoloqy can be used for two types of oxychlorination
8-5
-------
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8-6
-------
reactors, further research would be needed to determine whether this
technology can be used for each of the types of processes at all
of the plants. A third company is conducting a pilot study on
controlling the oxychlorination reactor emissions with catalytic
oxidation, another method for reducing the high energy costs. This
system has not been used commercially for the oxychlorination reactor
and it is not known at this time whether it will be feasible for
the plants to use. These facts, combined with the fact that the
oxychlorination reactor represents a relatively small emission source
at an average olant, led EPA to conclude that the energy costs of
incinerating the large volume, low hydrocarbon concentration effluent
gas stream from the oxychlorination reactor at the average plant
would be grossly disproportionate to the emission reduction achieved.
The same factors which were considered in eliminating the
alternative of proposing an emission limit achievable by incineration
or equivalent favored the alternative of no controls at any plants.
If the alternative of no controls for the oxychlorination reactor
were adopted, the proposed emission limits for the other two
point sources and the fugitive emission sources would still reduce
emissions by 90 percent at an average plant. Due to process variables,
however, there is a wide range in the reported emissions from the
oxychlorination reactor at the various plants from 0.0024 kg/100 kg
to 0.106 kg/100 kg ethylene dichloride product (0.0024 lb/100 Ib to
0.106 lb/100 Ib). In terms of mass emissions per unit time, the
emission rates vary between 0.5 to 46.3 kg/hr (1.2 to 103 Ib/hr)
8-7
-------
among the plants. Thus, the alternative of no controls for the
oxychlorination reactor was rejected because at some plants, unlike
at the average plant, the oxychlorination reactor represents a
relatively large source of emissions and in EPA's judgment, the
energy costs associated with incineration of the emissions from the
oxychlorination reactor would not be grossly disproportionate to the
emission reduction achieved at these plants with the emission rates at
the upper end of the range.
Thus, the alternative selected as the basis for the proposed
standard limits vinyl chloride emissions from the oxychlorination
reactor in ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants to 0.02 kg/100 kg
ethylene dichloride product. Based on individual plants' measurements
of vinyl chloride reported to EPA under section 114 of the Clean Air
Act, this emission level represents best available control technology
through control of process variables and can be met at most plants by
maintaining operations so that the emission rate (kg/100 kg) does not
increase. The proposed emission limit is essentially a cut-off point
which requires the plants at the upper end of the range to reduce emissions
preferably by instituting process changes, and if this is not possible,
by installing incinerators or equivalent add-on control. Incinerators
or equivalent add-on control may have to be used to attain the proposed
standard at a maximum of one existing plant which has relatively large
emissions (in addition to those companies which have already installed,
or are already planning to install, incinerators). Based on
available data, emissions from the oxychlorination reactor at the
majority of the existing plants meeting the proposed standard would be
8-8
-------
below 4.5 kg/hr (10 Ib/hr) and the emissions from no plant would exceed
9.0 kg/hr (20 Ib/hr). Although establishing the standard in this way
does not result in as great an emission reduction as installation of
incinerators or equivalent control for the oxychlorination reactor at
all of the plants, the proposed standard is based on a consideration of
costs only where the energy costs would be grossly disproportionate to
the emission reduction achieved. Furthermore, as technologies using
less energy for controlling the oxychlorination reactor are developed,
EPA will evaluate the desirability of proposing a standard which
would require a higher deqree of control at all plants.
8.2.2 Sources Following the Stripper in Dispersion Resin Manufacture
at Polyvinyl Chloride Plants
As discussed in Chapter 5, the second part of the proposed
standard about which there was some question in selecting an
emission limit based on the established criteria for "best available
control technology" concerns the sources following the stripper
in dispersion resin manufacture. Tt.is issue concerned the interpretation
of the first criterion for best available control technology, i.e. the
degree to which developing control meets the criterion of being available
for the plants to use.
The three alternatives considered by EPA were (l) establishing
the level of the standard so that it is representative of
stripping technology that is currently available for all grades of
dispersion resins at all plants, (2) establishing the level of
the standard so that it is representative of stripping technology
8-9
-------
which has been achieved by one plant for all resin grades and by two
plants for some of their resin grades, and is judged to be available for
the remaining plants within the maximum time allowed for compliance
under section 112, or (3) establishing the level of the standard so that
dispersion resins would have to be stripped to the same level as other
resins.
The issue involved in selecting one of the alternatives as the
the basis for the proposed standard for dispersion resin manufacture
concerned the time frame in which the degree of stripping required by
each alternative would be available for the plants to use. However,
to the extent that they could be analyzed, the emission factors,
mass emissions, energy consumption, and costs for an average-sized
dispersion olant (14 million kilograms or 30 million pounds per
year) attaining each of these alternative control levels are
displayed in Table 8-2. The emissions from an uncontrolled plant
are also shown.
Based on all available information, EPA concluded that the
alternative of basing the proposed standard on the degree of
stripping technology that is available now for all grades of
dispersion resins at all plants does not meet the criteria for
best available control technology. This is because, for several
reasons which are outlined in Chapter 5, stripping technology
has not been developed as a method of controlling vinyl chloride
emissions for dispersion resins as it has for other resins. In
general, current stripping has been develooed only to the extent
that it is necessary for economic purposes. Based on available
8-10
-------
TABLE 8-2. ALTERNATIVE CONTROL LEVELS FOR TYPICAL 14 MILLION KILOGRAMS
(30 MILLION POUNDS) PER YEAR PVC DISPERSION PLANT
ALTERNATIVE CONTROL LEVEL
UNCONTROLLED
Fugitive Emissions
Reactor Opening
Relief Valve Discharge
Stripper
Monomer Recovery System
Process Equipment
FBllowinp the Stripper
EMISSIONS,
KG/100 KG KG/HR
(LB/100 LB) (LB/HR)
1.
0.
0.
1.
0.
2.
13
15
22
23
50
78
(1.13)
(0.15)
(0.22)
(1.23)
(0.50)
(2.78)
19.1 (42.4)
2.53 (5.62)
3.71 (8.25)
20.7 (46.1)
8.4 (18.8)
46.9 (104.3)
ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
EMISSION FUEL, COSTS
REDUCTION, MM KCAL./YR POWER, CAPITAL, ANNUAL,
PERCENT (MM BTU/YR) 1000 KUH/YR $1000 $1000
-
(slurry blend tanks, dryers,
storage, etc.)
Total
ALTERNATIVE I
Fugitive Emissions
Reactor Opening
Relief Valve Discharge
Stripper
Monomer Recovery Svstem
Process Equipment
Following the Stripper
(slurry blend tanks,
dryers .storage, etc.)
Total
ALTERNATIVE II
Fugitive Emissions
Reactor Opening
Relief Valve Discharge
Stripper
Monomer Recovery Svsterq
Process Equipment
Following the
Stripper (slurry blend
tanks, dryers, storage,
etc.
Total
ALTERNATIVE III
Fugitive Emissions
Reactor Opening
Relief Valve Discharge
Stripper
Monomer Recovery System
Process Eouinment
Following the Stripper
(slurry blend tanks,
dryers, storage, etc.
Total
6.
0.
0.
0.
0,
2 .
2.
0.
0.
01
113
001
000
001
78
90
113
001
0.000
n.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
001
200
315
113
001
000
001
04
155
(6.01)
(0.113)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.001)
(2.78)
(2.90)
(0.113)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.200)
(0.315)
(0.113)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.04)
(0.155)
101.5 (225.5)
1.9 (4.24)
0.017(0.037)
0 (0)
0.017(0.037)
'v6.9 (114.3)
48.8 (108.6)
1.91 (4.24)
0.017 (0.037)
0 (0)
0.017 (0.037)
3.37 (7.50)
5.31 (11.8)
1.91 (4.24)
0.017 (0.051)
0 (0)
0.017 (0.037)
0.675 (1.50)
2.62 (5.81)
90
99
99+
99+
0
52 3,400 (12,400) 400 $2,295 $803
90
99
99+
99+
93
95 35,400 (138,4001 101°2 ?3,3192 $1363?
90
99
99+
on +
97 Unavailable because this level of stripping
has not been commercially demonstrated.
Assumes 8000 hr/yr operation.
Assumes control by approved stripping
8-11
-------
data, it is judged that by the time the proposed standard must be
implemented, improved stripping technology could be available for
plants to use. If this alternative were selected as the basis
for the proposed standard, it would provide no incentive to
further develop existing stripping techniques to control emissions.
Furthermore, although they are more costly in terms of energy, environmental,
and economic impacts, add-on controls (e.g. incinerators) are available
which could be used to reduce emissions to a much lower level than
that represented by this alternative.
The alternative of establishing the level of the standard so
that dispersion resins would have to be stripped to the same level
as other resins was rejected, because the level of stripping required
by that alternative (400 ppm) has not been demonstrated for dispersion
resins and EPA concluded that the time required for research and
development of such technology far exceeds the maximum time allowed
by section 112 for compliance (two years from the date of promulgation
or two and a half years from the date of proposal). Even the plant
which has been most optimistic about achieving this degree of
stripping reports that it will be unable to do so for at least
four years. Furthermore, this level of control cannot be
achieved in the manufacture of dispersion resins by add-on controls,
and therefore no options to undeveloped stripping technology would
be available for use by the plants. Therefore, this alternative could
necessitate closure of dispersion resin plants until the controls
could be developed. As stated in Chapter 2, EPA concluded that best
available control technology rather than closure of plants would be the
approach adopted for the proposed standard. This alternative
obviously does not meet the second criterion for best available control
8-12
-------
technology, i.e. the technology has not been used at any plant and
is not generally adaptable for use at other plants within the time
allowed by section 112 for compliance.
EPA recognizes that the second alternative (stripping to 2000 ppm)
represents a level of stripping which currently cannot be achieved
for all dispersion resins. Of the eight companies which presently
manufacture dispersion resins and plan to continue manufacturing dispersion
resins, this level of stripping has been achieved by one company for
all grades of its dispersion resins and by two companies for some
grades of their dispersion resins. One of these companies and
another company have projected that they will be able to strip all their
dispersion resins to 2000 ppm within the maximum time allowed for
compliance under section 112. Based on information received from all
companies that are known to make dispersion resins, it is EPA's
judgment that those companies which are stripping or project they
will be able to strip to 2000 ppm are the same ones which have
devoted the most time and resources to development of striDoing
as a control measure for dispersion resin manufacture. EPA has
therefore concluded that an emission limit requiring stripping to
2000 ppm does meet the second criterion for best control technology;
i.e. it is a level of control which is generally adaptable for use
in polyvinyl chloride dispersion manufacture within the maximum
time allowed for compliance under section 112. Furthermore, this
same degree of emission reduction can be achieved by add-on controls
(e.g. incinerators). Although add-on controls are more expensive
than stripping in terms of environmental, energy, and economic costs,
8-13
-------
thev do provide an optional method of control for the plants to use.
EPA considered proposing the standard to allow averaging of residual
vinyl chloride concentrations in dispersion resins with those in other
resins, so that a plant could compensate for higher levels in dispersion
resins by stripping other resins to a lower level. This concept is
judged to be inequitable because for some plants dispersion resins
compose less than 5 percent of the total resin production and at other
plants they compose 60 or more percent. EPA concluded that it would be
more reasonable to recognize the significant differences between dispersion
resins and other resins and require application of best available
control technology to the processing of each.
8.2.3 Other Stack Emission Sources
The proposed standard limits emissions from all equipment used
in the ethylene dichloride purification process and the vinyl chloride
formation and purification processes in ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
plants and from all reactors; strippers; containers for mixing,
weighing and holding which precede the stripper; and monomer recovery
systems in polyvinyl chloride plants to a concentration of 10 ppm
vinyl chloride. The proposed standard also requires venting of
captured fugitive emissions through a control system from which
the concentration of vinyl chloride does not exceed 10 ppm. In
EPA's judgment, an outlet concentration of 10 ppm represents
best available control technology for these sources and can be
achieved by incineration, carbon adsorption, or solvent absorption.
None of these control systems; has been used by ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride or polyvinyl chloride plants until recently, and
then by only a few plants. Therefore, even though EPA has made
8-14
-------
a concentrated effort to obtain data on application of these control
systems for reduction in vinyl chloride emissions, there are few
data available demonstrating the effectiveness of these control
systems when installed at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
or polyvinyl chloride plants. EPA did conduct a source test
on one incinerator installed at an ethylene dichloride-vinyl
chloride plant. The test demonstrated control to a level below
the proposed limit of 10 ppm. One polyvinyl chloride producer
has recently installed a carbon adsorption unit to control vinyl
chloride emissions from the monomer recovery system and the
blend tanks. During the time in which the unit has been operated,
it has gone through more than 700 regenerating cycles, and the
vinyl chloride content in the exit gas stream has been reported
to be below 10 ppm. In addition, one vendor of activated carbon
has submitted data from laboratory studies on the control of vinyl
chloride by carbon adsorption. The vendor's conclusions from the
studies, based on 15 cycles of operation, were that activated carbon
readily adsorbs vinyl chloride in concentrations ranging from
50 ppm to over 300,000 ppm; 100 percent removal of vinyl chloride
is technically feasible using dual beds of activated carbon;
activated carbon saturated with vinyl chloride can be regenerated
in-place using either steam or hot nitrogen to desorb the vinyl
chloride; and no polymerization of vinyl chloride occurs on the
bed. Data are available for a solvent absorption unit which
controls emissions from the monomer recovery system in a polyvinyl
8-15
-------
chloride plant to a concentration of 15 opm; in EPA's judgment,
however, this particular system, which is relatively old and was
not designed specifically for vinyl chloride control, does not
represent the full capability of solvent absorption in reducing
vinyl chloride emissions. IIPA believes, however, that an updated
solvent absorption unit, as well as an incinerator or a carbon
adsorption unit, will be capable of meeting the proposed standard.
The proposed standard limits, for polyvinyl chloride plants,
the emissions from process equipment following the stripping
operation in the manufacture of dispersion resins (except latex resins)
to 0.2 kg/100 kg product and in the manufacture of all other resins
(including latex resins) to 0.04 kg/100 kg product. One way in which
these emission levels can be attained is by reducing the residual vinyl
chloride monomer in dispersion resins to 2000 ppm or less and in all
other resins to 400 ppm or less during the stripping operation. This
reduction must be completed before the resins continue through the
processing equipment following the stripper. This type of control is
referred to as improved stripping technology. The proposed standard
permits averaging of emissions to the extent that the vinyl chloride
content in all grades of any one resin type completing the stripping
operation at a plant site in one calendar day can be averaged over the
24 hour period. ["Resin type" refers to the broad classification of a
resin according to the process by which it is manufactured (e.g. dispersion,
suspension, bulk, latex, and solution). "Resin grade" is the subcategory
of "resin type" which describes a resin as a unique resin, i.e. the most
exact description of a resin with no further subdivision.] These
emission levels can also be met by add-on control devices, such as
8-16
-------
incinerators. EPA discourages use of the add-on control devices, however,
because unlike improved stripping they do not result in a lower vinyl
chloride content in the polyvinyl chloride resin going to fabricating
plants. Furthermore, these devices are far more energy consuming for
these particular emission sources than improved stripping technology and
achieve no more emission control. In fact, these devices have not been
used commercially to control the emissions from most of this particular
process equipment, because they are much more expensive for the plants
to use than improved stripping technology. In EPA's judgment, however,
there is no technical reason why they could not be applied.
In developing the proposed standard for process equipment following
the stripper, it was necessary for EPA to make decisions concerning the
levels of control which should be required for the various resin types
and the desirability of allowing averaging among resin grades. The
reasons for selecting the emission limit which is proposed for these
sources in the manufacture of dispersion resins have already been
discussed. In regard to the manufacture of other resin types, as
a result of the October 4, 1974, OSHA standard, polyvinyl chloride
resin producers have been motivated to develop stripping technology
to reduce further the vinyl chloride content in these resins
during the stripoing operation. By improving stripoinq technology,
producers will not only reduce in-plant exposure levels as required
but will also satisfy fabricator demand for resins which have low
concentrations of vinyl chloride and thus do not cause the fabricators
to be in violation of the OSHA standard. Some companies have
devoted more time and resources to improve the effectiveness of
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stripping as an emission control measure than have other companies.
Optimum stripping consists of a set of operating conditions which
must be developed experimentally on an individual basis for the many
resins. Based on information supplied to EPA by individual
companies which have devoted time and resources to develop improved
stripping, EPA concluded that technology is currently available
to strip the majority of resins, except dispersion resins, to 400 ppm
or lower. This same degree of control is achievable through add-on
control devices.
Some resins are more difficult to strip than other resins
due to differences in characteristics such as porosity and heat sensi-
tivity. Whereas current stripping technology can reduce the residual
vinyl chloride content 'in the majority of the resins other than
dispersion resins to below 400 ppm (and in some cases far below 400
ppm), it can reduce the vinyl chloride content in a few resins
only to levels as high as 4000 ppm. EPA considered proposing a
separate standard based on best available control technology for
each of the different grades of resin. This could have conceivably
been done based on theoretical factors. However, EPA concluded that
it would be difficult, if not impossible, to do this, because
the reductions that can be achieved depend on a given system and
must be determined by actual measurements on a particular resin
for a particular set of conditions. The large number of resin
grades makes it impractical for EPA to conduct individual testing
for each one. Available data indicate that most of the companies
produce several grades of resin simultaneously and that when the
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grades are averaged on a daily basis, the number of resins which
can be stripped to lower than 400 nom is sufficient to offset
the few resins which cannot be. The proposed standard allows an
averaging time of 24 hours because, if a plant were processing
several grades simultaneously and one grade could not be stripped
to 400 ppm, the total emissions from stripping all grades
to an average of 400 ppm would be no greater than stripping each
grade to 400 pom. The alternative of increasing the averaging
time to a week or month was rejected because this would permit
higher peak emission levels than averaging on a 24-hour basis.
EPA considered proposing a standard which would require the
emissions from slurry blend tanks and inprocess wastewater from
equipment following the stripping operation to be controlled by
add-on devices as well as by improved stripping technology. One
relatively new plant decreased the gas volume of the exit stream
from slurry blend tanks by replacing air with nitrogen and enclosing
the tanks. A carbon adsorption unit was then installed to control
emissions in the reduced gas volume. Although it has not been
done by any plant in the industry, there is no technical reason
why the inprocess wastewater from centrifuges which follow the
stripper cannot be controlled by a water stripper. Such control
systems were included in the economic analysis conducted by EPA.
The analysis showed that, if plants used improved resin stripping
(as opposed to add-on controls) to meet the proposed standard,
the costs of these additional systems for slurry blend tanks
and inprocess wastewater would be grossly disproportionate to the
emission reduction achieved. Based on available information on
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the emissions from slurry blend tanks after stripping has been used to
reduce to 400 ppm the residual vinyl chloride content in the resin
produced by an average plant, the addition of an add-on control device
would further reduce emissions by approximately 0.5 kg/hr (1 Ib/hr),
i.e. the device would remove an additional 0.1 percent of the original
uncontrolled emissions. Collecting the 0.5 kg/hr would increase the
capital costs of control to an average plant by about 19 percent and the
annual costs by about 13 percent. Similarly, the installation of an
add-on control device in addition to improved stripping for the vinyl
chloride in centrifuge water would reduce emissions by no more than the
add-on control device for slurry blend tanks, and would increase the
capital costs of control to an average plant by about 13 percent and the
annual costs by 46 percent. The large increase in annual costs would be
due to the large quantity of steam which would be required to remove the
vinyl chloride from a large volume, low concentration water stream.
Furthermore, if these additional controls were required, plants
using add-on control technology would not be able to attain the
same level of control as plants using improved stripping technology.
The reason for this is that these plants would already be using
add-on controls and installing additional add-on controls would
have little, if any, effect.
The proposed standard limits the emissions of vinyl chloride
from opening of reactors, reactor entry purge, venting inert gases
from the reactor, and any other contact of the reactor contents
with the ambient air, to 0.001 kg/100 kg product. One way the
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standard may be attained is by a combination of (1) reducing the
number of reactor openings by using high pressure water jets, solvent
cleaning, or other means to prevent the need to hand-clean reactors and
(2) displacing the vinyl chloride with water to a gasholder or recovery
system before a reactor is opened. The level of the proposed standard
is based on best available control technology as demonstrated by
one plant, and there is no apparent reason why the same technology
cannot be employed at other plants, except plants which produce
bulk resins. This technology cannot be used for postpolymerization
reactors in plants producing bulk resins for two reasons. First,
the production of bulk resin is a dry process and water used to
displace the vinyl chloride from the reactor before opening it
would cause a contamination problem. Second, since the resin
product is air conveyed from the postpolymerization reactor, the
reactor is opened to the atmosphere after each batch. Manufacturers
of bulk resins can achieve the level of the proposed standard by
evacuating the reactor several times and breaking the vacuum with
nitrogen. The number of evacuations would depend on the volume of
gas in the reactor and the vacuum involved.
A zero emission limit is being proposed for relief discharges
which can be prevented. In most cases, such discharges from reactors
can be prevented by measures including, but not limited to,properly
instrumenting the reactors to detect upset conditions, injecting
chemicals to stop the polymerization reaction during upset conditions,
venting the reactor contents to a gasholder during upset conditions
and ultimately to a recovery system, providing employees with
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improved training on preventing and handling upset conditions, and
utilizing a stand-by source of power. For other pieces of equipment,
increasing pressure due to inert gases in the system can be relieved by
manual venting to a gasholder or recovery system. The conditions which
lead to discharges can also be prevented in most cases by proper handling
and transfer of vinyl chloride or materials containing vinyl chloride.
Discharges which cannot be avoided by taking such preventive measures,
such as those caused by natural disasters, will not be in violation of
the proposed standard if the owner or operator notifies EPA within
10 days concerning the nature and cause of the discharge. This notifi-
cation provision is necessary to permit EPA to investigate the
surrounding conditions and determine whether the discharge could have
been prevented. For the purposes of the proposed standard, operator
error is considered to be preventable.
8.2.4 Fugitive Emission Sources
The proposed standard includes emission limits for all known
sources of fugitive emissions and is intended to minimize these
emissions to the maximum extent possible with available control
technology. Some of the emission limits are numerically defined. Where
it is infeasible to state numerical limits, the standard specifies
equipment and procedural requirements.
All of the equipment and procedures specified for reducing fugitive
emissions, such as removal of vinyl chloride from loading and unloading
lines and process equipment before exposure to the atmosphere, dis-
placement of the contents of a sampling flask back to the process during
sampling, and capture and control of the emissions, have been used by
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one or more ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride or polyvinyl chloride
plants and are described in plant responses to inquiries from EPA under
the authority of section 114 of the Act.
For fugitive emissions, the proposed standard requires that the
vinyl chloride concentration in process equipment greater than or
equal to 5500 1 (1250 gal) in volume (other than reactors) be reduced
to 2 percent by volume at standard pressure and temperature before the
equipment is opened to the atmosphere. This can be accomplished
by vacuum pump or by displacement with water or inert gases. For
process equipment that is smaller than 5500 1 (1250 gal) in volume,
the proposed standard requires that the amount of vinyl chloride in
the equipment be reduced to 110 1 (25 gal) at standard pressure and
temperature before opening the equipment to the atmosphere. Any
vinyl chloride removed from the equipment would have to be ducted
through a control system.
A cut-off point which requires that the vinyl chloride be
reduced by a greater percentage in the larger pieces of equioment
than in the smaller ones was established based on the reasoning
that follows. As shown in Tables 4-8 and 4-9 in Chapter 4, the
emissions from opening the larger pieces of equipment would be
much greater than from opening the smaller pieces, even with the
standard in effect. Furthermore, the larger pieces of equipment
are generally designed for purging with inert gases or pulling
a vacuum whereas the smaller ones are not. That is, the larger
pieces of equipment have short sections of pipe fitted with valves
to which can be connected vacuum or purge lines. Also, in general
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the larger pieces of equipment are already or could be readily
equipped so that the vinyl chloride removed from the equipment can
be ducted to a control system.
The smaller pieces of equipment include such things as pressure
gauges, sections of pipe, pumps, and valves. For example, if there
were no cut-off point, short sections of pipe fitted with valves would
have to be installed in all sections of pipe which could possibly
be opened. An extensive collection system would have to be installed
to transfer the gases fron each of the sections of pipe to a control
system. Due to the large number of small pieces of equipment, the
ductwork for transferring the gases from the equipment to a control
system would be portable. This means that the ductwork would have
to be disconnected frequently, and the standard would require that
each time the ductwork were disconnected, the vinyl chloride concentration
within it would have to be reduced beforehand. However, the standard
would permit some vinyl chloride to remain in the ductwork before
opening it to the atmosphere. Therefore, at the point where the
volume of equipment is less than or equal to the volume of the
ductwork, there is nothing to be gained by requiring that the
vinyl chloride be removed from the piece of equipment before openina it.
Another consideration with regard to small equipment is
that much of it is not designed to withstand a vacuum. One
example would be pressure gauges.
In summary, a cut-off point has been established which is less
stringent for smaller equipment in terms of percent vinyl chloride
oermitted to be emitted from the equipment because:
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(1) The emissions from opening large equipment are much
greater than from opening small equipment, even with the standard
in effect.
(2) The smaller equipment is not designed to use a vacuum
or purge system to remove the vinyl chloride, and in some cases it is
not designed to withstand pressure.
(3) At some point the vinyl chloride emissions from disconnecting
the extensive equipment needed to remove vinyl chloride from every
section of pipe or other piece of small equipment and transfer it
to a control system would be greater than the emissions from
opening the section of pipe or other small equipment.
The proposed standard includes a more stringent limitation
for emissions from opening of reactors than it does for opening
of other equipment. The emission limit for opening of reactors
(0.001 kg/100 kg product) has already been discussed. The reason
for the more stringent limitation for reactors is that, unlike
other equipment, the reactors are typically opened on a
frequent and routine basis.
The same reasoning explains why the proposed standard
includes a separate emission limit for emissions to the
atmosphere from disconnecting equipment (hoses, couplings, valves,
etc.) used in the transfer of vinyl chloride from storage to
transport vessels at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants
and from transport to storage vessels at polyvinyl chloride plants.
Although the loading and unloading lines are relatively small in
volume compared with some of the other equipment which can be
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opened to the atmosphere, they are used and disconnected on a
frequent and routine basis; i.e., several times per day. The
proposed emission limit for each loading and unloading line
requires that after each loading or unloading operation before
opening any part of the line to the atmosphere, the quantity of
vinyl chloride in all parts of the line that are to be opened
is to be reduced to 4.4 1 (1 gal), at standard temperature and
pressure. Four and four tenths liters of vinyl chloride at
standard temperature and pressure is equal to about 0.0098 kg
(0.022 Ib) of vinyl chloride.
The method for attaining the standard would depend on the
volume of the equipment to be opened to the atmopshere. If an
entire hose is to be disconnected and opened to the atmosphere,
the hose could be evacuated. However, more commonly there would be
a couple of valves between the hose and the storage (or transport)
vessel with a coupling between the valves. In this case, if only the
coupling were to be disconnected and opened to the atmosphere, the
percent reduction in vinyl chloride required would depend on the volume
of the coupling. If it were 4.4 1 (1 gal) in volume, it would have to
be reduced to 760 mm Hg and if it were 8.8 1 (2 gal) in volume, it would
have to be reduced to 380 mm Hg.
Also, during loading and unloading operations, the proposed
standard would require that the emissions from the discharge end of slip
gauges used to measure the vinyl chloride liquid level in transport and
storage vessels be captured and ducted to a control system. Essentially,
there would be no emissions from slip gauges.
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Leaks from seals on rotary pumps can essentially be eliminated
by using double mechanical seals or pumps with no seals, such as
the type with magnet to magnet drive or a canned pump in which
the eddy current passes through the pump fluid. Leaks from seals
on reciprocating pumps can be minimized by double outboard
seals. Double mechanical seals can be used on agitators and
compressors to minimize leaks. The proposed standard includes
equipment specifications requiring that these methods, or equivalent,
be used to minimize leaks from seals on pumps, compressors, and
agitators.
The proposed standard also includes equipment specifications
requiring that leaks from relief valves be minimized by installing
a rupture disk between each relief valve and the equipment served by
the relief valve, or equivalent. An equivalent method of control
would be to connect the discharge line from a relief valve to
process equipment or to a recovery system. If a rupture disk
were used as the method of control, there would be a potential problem
if a leak should occur from the rupture disk and cause a build-up of
pressure between the rupture disk and the relief valve. This is expected
to occur infrequently because the reason for requiring the rupture disk
is that it is less likely to leak than a relief valve. Although the
proposed standard does not require any specific equipment or procedures
to prevent the potential pressure build-up, there are several methods
available for the plants to use to avoid this potential problem. These
include (1) installing a pressure gauge between the disk and valve and
routinely checking the pressure, and (2) installing a ball check excess
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flow valve between the disk and the relief valve and routinely checking
for any flow from the ball check excess flow valve.
The proposed standard would require capture and control of
emissions of vinyl chloride bearing gases during manual venting from
processing equipment. For example, it would permit no manual
venting of vinyl chloride to the atmosphere to reduce the pressure
in reactors during upset conditions or to remove inert gases from
vessels used to store vinyl chloride. The gases would instead
have to be transferred to a gasholder, a recovery system, another
piece of equipment (such as another empty reactor), or to a control
system.
The proposed standard minimizes vinyl chloride losses from
sample flasks during sample acquisition by requiring that the sample
be collected in a closed system. Vinyl chloride which could be lost
to the atmosphere is instead flushed back to the process using
this system.
The proposed standard requires development of and adherence to
a formalized program for detection of leaks from equipment in vinyl
chloride service and elimination of these leaks. The formalized
program must include a multipoint vinyl chloride detector and portable
hydrocarbon monitors. Rather than specifying the number of points
to be monitored, the sensitivities of the multipoint detector, the
vinyl chloride concentration that indicates a leak, and the
actions to be taken to repair leaks, the proposed standard requires
each plant owner or operator to prepare a program plan containing
these specifications and to submit the plan to the Administrator for
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approval. The plant owner or operator is at the same time required
to submit data on background concentrations of vinyl chloride in
different areas of the plant to use in determining the vinyl chloride
concentration that should be designated as indicating a leak. Since
the background concentrations vary among different areas of the plant,
the definition of leak may also vary among different areas of the plant.
EPA's decision on whether a program is adequate will be based on (1) the
date the program will be implemented, (2) the characteristics of
the multipoint detector and portable hydrocarbon detector (including
the sensitivities of the instruments), (3) the number and location
of points to be monitored in comparison with the number of pieces
of equipment in vinyl chloride service and the size and physical
lay-out of the plant, (4) the proposed frequency of monitoring,
(5) the vinyl chloride concentration(s) designated as indicating a
leak compared with the background concentrations of vinyl chloride
in the plant, and (6) the other specifications contained in the
pronram olan. This approach has been taken because the
number of points which need to be monitored and the background concentrations
of vinyl chloride vary depending on the size, configuration and age
of a plant and, in the case of a polyvinyl chloride plant, on the number
of reactors. Plans, therefore, must be tailored to the design of
each individual plant. This approach gives each source the flexibility
to develop a plan that it believes to be the most efficient.
The proposed standard includes an emission limit for
inprocess wastewater which contains at least 10 ppm by weight
vinyl chloride, measured directly as the wastewater stream leaves
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the process equipment and before it is mixed with wastewater from
any other source. This cut-off point was selected because, based on
data which are available from polyvinyl chloride plants, it
distinguishes between the low volume wastewater streams with high
concentrations of vinyl chloride and the large volume wastewater
streams with low concentrations of vinyl chloride. In effect, the
proposed standard would require control of wastewater streams from pumps
used in the monomer recovery system and from monomer recycle tanks
where wastewater, which has been entrained with recovered monomer is
separated and removed. It would also require control of wastewater
which had been used, in accordance with other requirements of the
proposed standard, to displace vinyl chloride in equipment before the
equipment is opened. It would not require control of wastewater which
had been used in the polymerization of vinyl chloride, if improved
stripping technology were used to attain the proposed emission
limit for the process equipment following the stripper. This
wastewater stream was excluded because improved stripping technology
indirectly reduces the vinyl chloride content of the wastewater as
well as the resin before the wastewater is separated from the resin.
However, if an add-on control device is used instead of improved
stripping, the combination of all sources of vinyl chloride emissions
following the stripping operation in the polyvinyl chloride plant,
including inprocess wastewater, is required to meet the total mass
emission limit. Thus, in this case, the concentration of vinyl
chloride in the inprocess wastewater would not have to be
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equal to or greater than the 10 ppm cut-off point to be required
to be controlled.
The proposed standard of 10 ppm vinyl chloride in the wastewater
can be attained by a stripper, which uses heat and/or vacuum to
remove vinyl chloride from the water. The proposed standard in
effect would require the vinyl chloride which is removed to be
recovered by condensing it into a liquid or to be ducted through a
control device. Theoretically, by using this method, the
vinyl chloride concentration could be reduced to essentially zero.
However, as the applied vacuum and heat are increased, the ratio
of water to vinyl chloride that vaporizes increases. During the
vinyl chloride recovery process, the water as well as the vinyl
chloride condenses. Since the water still contains some dissolved
vinyl chloride, it would have to be recirculated through the
stripper. At some point, as the amount of water which is vaporized
is increased, the separation of vinyl chloride from water would
be less efficient. For these reasons, the proposed standard is
10 ppm. Although the standard permits some vinyl chloride to remain
in the water, it is estimated that the vinyl chloride emissions from
the low volume, high concentration water streams at the average
plant would not exceed 0.5 kg/hr (1 Ib/hr). At ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants, strippers are already used as an inherent
part of the process to recover ethylene dichloride from wastewater.
Vinyl chloride is also removed from the wastewater. The purpose
of the proposed standard is to ensure that the practice continues
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and that any vinyl chloride removed from the wastewater is recovered
or controlled.
8.3 Selection of the Format of the Proposed Standard
With the exception of emissions followina the stripner
in dispersion resin manufacture, separate standards have
not been established for individual processes or companies. The
applicability of carbon adsorption, incineration, or solvent absorption
is not dependent on plant age, configuration or type of process.
The proposed standard specifies emission limitations for
individual emission points. An alternative would have been
to specify a total plant mass emission limit in terms of
kg/hr. This is not possible, however, when using the best
available control technology approach due to the different sizes
and configurations of plants. Implementing best available control
technology at different sizes of plants obviously results in different
emissions per unit time. E'PA also considered specifying the limits in
terms of total -plant mass emissions in kg vinyl chloride per kg product
to be measured by material balance. This approach was rejected for
several reasons. Due to the variations in configurations among plants,
an emission factor, which would necessarily result in the application of
best available control technology at each plant at all times, could not
be developed. Furthermore, either long-term or short-term material
balances would have to be used to measure compliance with such a
standard. Long-term material balances have the disadvantage of a long
averaging time so that shorb-term peak emissions are not detected.
Short-term material balances, on the other hand, are impractical and
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imprecise due to the large volumes of material which are handled and
must be measured, the multiple pieces of equipment in which
residual materials would have to be measured, and the large number
of points where loss to the atmosphere, inprocess wastewater, and
solid waste would have to be measured.
Numerical emission limits are used for each emission point where
possible; however, equipment and operating procedures are specified for
some of the fugitive emission sources from which emissions cannot
be measured or calculated or for which it would be grossly impractical
to do so. Generally, the reason that these emissions cannot be measured
is that they are released into an unconfined area and often from
many small sources, and there is no practical testing procedure for
obtaining a reliable reading of emission levels. Where equipment or
operating procedures are specified, plant owners or operators are
generally permitted to use other equipment or procedures demonstrated to
be of equivalent effectiveness. Primarily because fugitive emissions
compose such a large proportion of the total emissions at ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants, EPA has
determined that control of such emissions by specification of equipment
and operating procedures is preferable to the alternative of leavinn
such emissions unregulated.
For example, there are procedural requirements for the reduction
of vinyl chloride to a specified concentration in equipment equal to
or greater than 5500 1 (1250 gal) before opening it to the atmosphere.
Conceptually, EPA could have proposed the standard in terms of a
mass emission rate. This could be done by converting the concentration
of vinyl chloride to its mass emission equivalents for all sizes of
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equipment. Mass emissions;, however, could not be measured once the
pieces of equipment were opened to the atmosphere because the emissions
would not be confined. Consequently, if EPA had stated the standard in
terms of a mass emission rate, it would have been necessary, in order to
be meaningful, to state the method for determining compliance in terms
of concentration of vinyl chloride, i.e., in the same terms as the
procedural requirement is now stated. Stating the standard itself in
terms of concentration is a much more direct approach and the only
practical one. For equipment that is less than 5,500 1 (1250 gal) and
for loading and unloading equipment, a mass emission limit in terms of
liters is proposed. However, this cannot be measured, but must be
calculated based on the volume of the equipment and the pressure in the
equipment.
The proposed standard includes equipment specifications for leaks
from seals on pumps, compressors, and agitators and from relief valves.
A numerical standard for emissions from these sources would be imprac-
tical to enforce since there is no way to test emissions released into
an unconfined area. Even if a testing procedure were available, frequent
routine testing of all pump, compressor, and agitator seals and relief
valves to determine compliance would be burdensome.
The proposed standard requires that samples of vinyl chloride be
collected in a closed system so that any vinyl chloride remaining in the
sample flask from previous sampling flows back into the process. Any
vinyl chloride flushed through the apparatus in an attempt to collect
a representative sample also flows back into the process. Again,
numerical emission limits cannot be specified because emissions are
released into an unconfined space and cannot be measured. For
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slip gauges and manual venting, the proposed standard requires that
the emissions be captured and ducted through a control system. There
is a numerical emission limit specified for the control system.
Another problem requiring special treatment is valve leakage.
It would be impossible to avoid all valve leakage. However, valve
leakage can be held close to zero if a system of regular valve
monitoring is used to detect and repair leaks. If EPA were to specify
a numerical limitation of zero, it would be impossible to meet at
all times. If EPA were to specify a higher numerical limitation,
it would permit more leakage than is necessary. This would be incon-
sistent with requiring control of vinyl chloride emissions to the
level attainable by use of the best available control technology.
Therefore, EPA is requiring use of a regular program for leak
detection and repair.
In order to reduce the total emissions from reactors by limiting
the frequency of openings, the proposed standard for reactor opening
loss is specified in terms of a mass emission rate, i.e. kilograms of
vinyl chloride per 100 kilograms of polyvinyl chloride produced. If a
concentration standard were used, it would provide no incentive for
reducing the frequency of reactor openings. Furthermore, the amount of
dilution air which could be used to weaken the effect of a concentration
standard is difficult to regulate. For these two reasons, EPA concluded
that a mass emission rate would be the only effective way to specify the
standard.
Due to the intermittent nature of the sources of the emissions, the
proposed-standard for control systems to which the captured
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emissions are required to be ducted is in terms of concentration.
A major part of the polyvinyl chloride plant is a batch operation
which causes intermittent emissions of vinyl chloride. In addition,
the fugitive emissions which are required to be captured and ducted to a
control system in both ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl
chloride plants occur only on an intermittent basis. Because of the
fluctuating air volumes and mass emission rates, it would be difficult,
if not impossible, on the basis of available information, to determine
the allowable mass emission rates from these control systems.
The emission limit for the sources following the stripper in
polyvinyl chloride plants is stated in two ways which are essentially
equivalent in terms of the quantity of emissions they allow. The
reason the emission limit is stated in two different ways is that
there are two distinctively different ways to control these sources.
Different methods of measurement and enforcement are applicable to the
two different control methods. If add-on control devices are selected
as the method of control, stack testing must be used to measure the
emissions from all the multiple sources simultaneously for a minimum of
an hour. If improved stripping is selected, the emissions could be
measured in the same way. It is difficult, however, to use conven-
tional source testing procedures to establish compliance because
of the large number of sources that have to be tested. A typical
polyvinyl chloride plant has several slurry blend tanks, centrifuges,
dryers, and storage silos. Even if the emissions from each of these
sources were determined, the resultant value would not necessarily
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establish the total emissions since monomer would still be escaping
from the resin in bagging operations, warehouses, and railroad tank
cars.
Where improved stripping is used, there is a much more practical
way for determining compliance. Improved stripping technology controls
emissions by removing vinyl chloride from polyvinyl chloride resin before
the resin moves through the remaining equipment in the process where
the vinyl chloride would otherwise be emitted to the atmosphere.
Therefore, the simplest way to determine total emissions is to measure
the vinyl chloride in the resin as it leaves the stripper and before it
is released to the atmosphere. Thus, if add-on control devices are
used, the proposed standard is stated in terms of mass emissions to
the atmosphere; if improved stripping is used, the proposed standard is
stated in terms of the quantity of vinyl chloride in the polyvinyl
chloride resin leaving the stripper. In both cases, the standard is
stated in terms of a cumulative emission limit for all sources
following the stripper to be consistent with the primary technology
on which the standard is based (i.e. stripping).
Another reason the emission limit for sources following the
stripper is stated in two ways is the necessity for two different
averaging times. For reasons already explained, a 24-hour averaging
time is desirable if improved stripping technology is selected as
the means of control. Determination of emissions by measuring the
vinyl chloride in stripped resin is amenable to this averaging time.
If add-on controls are used, however, the 24-hour averaging time does
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not have the same value. If only one emission limit were given, and it
were stated in terms of allowable mass emissions with a 24-hour averaging
time, any plants using add-on control devices to meet the proposed
standard would have to test emissions from each stack for 24 hours
instead of a minimum of one hour, as is required under the proposed
standard. This would be unduly burdensome for these plants.
Stating the emission limits in two different ways potentially
allows plants using add-on control devices to emit slightly
more emissions than plants using improved stripping technology.
The two emission limits are equivalent if it is assumed that all residual
vinyl chloride in the resin leaving a stripper is emitted into the
atmosphere at the polyvinyl chloride plant. In fact, however, a small
proportion of the vinyl chloride might be left in the resin when it
leaves the plant. The discrepancy between emissions allowed by the two
emission limits could be avoided by proposing one standard based on
emissions into the atmosphere. For plants using improved stripping, the
method for determining compliance would be to measure the vinyl chloride
in the resin leaving the stripping operation and in the same resin
as it leaves the plant; the difference between these measurements
would be emissions to the atmosphere between these two points.
This method, however, creates enforcement problems, because the resin
which is stripped in one batch is typically blended with stripped
resin from other batches, and it would be difficult, if not impossible,
to trace a batch all the way through the process. Complicating this
problem would be the fact that the resin may be stored at the plant for
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some time before it is shipped. For these two reasons, it would be
difficult, if not impossible, to correlate measurements of resin leaving
the stripper with those from resin leaving the plant, and EPA would
therefore not be able to determine the emissions from any one batch. In
addition to that, the concentrations of vinyl chloride in the resin,
both in the stripper and in the product leaving the plant, would have to
be averaged over a long time (more than the proposed 24 hours). The
long averaging time would not be desirable because it would permit more
emission peaks and it would be more cumbersome to enforce. EPA con-
cluded, therefore, that the most practical and direct approach is to
limit the concentration of vinyl chloride in the resin from the stripping
operation. It should be pointed out that EPA has determined that this
is an emission limitation; since residual vinyl chloride monomer left in
the resin after stripping would be emitted into the atmosphere at some
point, the limitation on residual vinyl chloride monomer in the resin
limits emissions and is, therefore, an emission limitation; it is simply
specified in a form which is compatible with the only practical method
for determining compliance.
To simplify enforcement, the proposed standard for the inprocess
wastewater is specified in terms of concentration of vinyl chloride
rather than in mass emission limits. If it were specified in terms of
mass emission limits, not only the vinyl chloride concentration but also
the water flowrates from each of the pieces of process equipment would
have to be measured. Due to the large number of pieces of equipment
involved, this would not be practical.
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8.4 Methods for Determining Compliance With the Prooosed Standard
Provisions which specify the requirements for testing,
reporting, and recordkeeping are included in the proposed standard. The
purpose of these requirements is to determine compliance with the
proposed standard.
8.4.1 Einssio-. "issts
Test Method 106 is proposed as a reference method primarily
for measuring vinyl chloride emissions from stacks. Portable
hydrocarbon detectors or Method 106 can be used, except for
postpolymerization reactors in the manufacture of bulk resins, to
determine the degree to which vinyl chloride has been removed
from equipment prior to opening the equipment to the atmosphere.
For postpolymerization reactors in the manufacture of bulk resins,
these test methods are not appropriate because the reactor would
be partially filled with polyvinyl chloride resin at the time
the vinyl chloride concentration within it would have to be
tested. Therefore, the proposed standard includes provisions
for calculating emissions due to opening of the postpolymerization
reactors. Test Method 107 is proposed as a reference method
for measuring the vinyl chloride content of polyvinyl chloride
resin and inprocess wastewater. Multipoint vinyl chloride detectors
and portable hydrocarbon detectors are proposed as methods for
detecting leaks from process equipment. The proposed standard
also includes a requirement that stack emissions be measured on
a continuing basis with a vinyl chloride detector. This vinyl
chloride "detector may be the multipoint vinyl chloride detector
required for leak detection, but does not have to be. Vinyl chloride
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in the samples collected by the detector can be measured by gas chroma-
tography, or if it is assumed that all hydrocarbons measured are vinyl
chloride, by infrared spectrophotometry or flame ion detection. The
proposed standard allows, upon approval by EPA, the use of equivalent or
alternative test methods.
8.4.2 Reporting
There are reporting requirements in the general provisions of Part
61 of the Code of Federal Regulations which would apply to the sources
subject to the vinyl chloride standard. In addition, there are several
different kinds of reports required by the proposed standard.
Initial Report
First, an owner or operator must submit to EPA an initial written
report containing a record of emissions from the sources from which
emissions can be measured using Test Method 106. These sources
include ethylene dichloride purification, vinyl chloride formation and
purification, and the oxychlorination reactor in ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants and reactors, strippers, monomer recovery systems,
and mixing, weighing, and holding containers in polyvinyl chloride plants.
Compliance with the emission limitations for reactor opening loss and
the sources following the stripper in polyvinyl chloride plants must
be demonstrated using appropriate test methods. Measurements of the
vinyl chloride concentrations in the inprocess wastewater at both
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants are
also required as part of the initial emission testing.
For those sources which have emissions which cannot be measured
(fugitive emission sources), an initial report is required
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containing a written statement to the effect that certain
pieces of equipment have been installed and are operating. These
include equipment for minimizing leaks from seals on pumps,
compressors, and agitators and from relief valves and equipment
used for monitoring leaks. Also required is a written statement
to the effect that certain procedures have been incorporated into
a Standard Operating Procedure and are being implemented. These
include such procedures as removing vinyl chloride from equipment and
from loading and unloading lines before opening them to the atmosphere
and venting the vinyl chloride removed from the equipment or lines
to a control system, venting vinyl chloride from slip gauges during
loading or unloading operations to a control system, ducting
vinyl chloride emissions from manual venting to a control system,
purging the vinyl chloride in each sample flask back to the process
during vinyl chloride sampling, and detecting and repairing leaks.
Semi-Annual Report
A semi-annual report is required which is to contain a
record of any emissions in excess of the proposed standard for
the formation and purification processes in ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants and the reactor, stripper, monomer recovery
system, and containers used for mixing, weighing or holding preceding
the stripper in polyvinyl chloride plants. These emissions must be
measured by a vinyl chloride detector. Th,? vinyl chloride detector
reports measurements of vinyl chloride in terms of concentration.
Except for the emission limit for the oxychlorination reactor, the
emission limits for all the sources for which continuing
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measurements of vinyl chloride with a detector are required
are stated in terms of concentration. The emission limit for the oxy-
chlorination reactor is stated in terms of mass per unit product. For
the oxychlorination reactor, the vinyl chloride detector can be used to
measure emissions at the same time that the initial stack test is being
conducted using Test Method 106. The results of that test can then be
used as a guideline in the future to determine whether the emissions
measured on a continuing basis with the vinyl chloride detector are in
excess of the standard.
For polyvinyl chloride plants, the semi-annual report is also
required to contain measurements of emissions from reactor opening
and, if improved stripping is selected as the control technology to
attain the standard, from the sources following the stripper.
Measurements of emissions from these two sources are required
on a continuing basis because the control technologies required for
these two sources are primarily procedures rather than control devices.
Attainment of the standard for reactor opening would require a
reduction in the number of reactor openings in addition to displacing
the vinyl chloride from the reactor before opening. One emission
test, made within 90 days of promulgation of the standard, would give no
assurance that the standard was being met on a continuing basis. With
regard to stripping, the primary limitations on the degree of
stripping being carried out are product degradation and processing
time as it affects production rate. The degree of stripping is
more a function of operating parameters than of the specific
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equipment being used. For this reason, even if all the equipment
for stripping is installed and operated, routine measurements must be
made to ensure that the degree of stripping required by the emission
limitation is being carried out on a continuing basis.
For both reactor opening and improved stripping, it is
possible that the relationship between the emissions measured and
the corresponding operating procedures used to attain the emissions
measured can be established. For improved stripping, for example,
it may be established that for a given resin grade, a given set of
operating conditions (temperature, residence time, and pressure)
will result in a certain concentration of vinyl chloride in the
resin which is far below the standard. Likewise, for reactor
opening, it may be established that a given procedure such as
water displacement coupled with a given frequency of reactor
opening will result in an emission level below the standard. The
general provisions and the proposed standard provide for waiver of
emission tests and use of alternative or equivalent test methods.
Under the authority of these provisions, EPA could, on an individual
basis, permit a plant to record certain parameters (such as
temperature, residence time, and pressure for improved stripping)
rather than to conduct emission measurements.
Other Reporting
Any relief discharge must be reported within ten days of
its occurrence. These reports will be used to determine compliance
and will permit EPA to study the circumstances surrounding the
discharge to determine whether the discharge could haave been prevented.
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8.4.3 Recordkeening
Each owner or operator is also required to keep records of
certain information. It is EPA's intention to require little
recordkeeping in addition to that which would normally be kept
by the plants.
For example, the proposed standard would require keeping records
of the concentrations of vinyl chloride measured by the vinyl chloride
detector(s). Printouts from the vinyl chloride detector(s) are
adequate to meet this requirement. Information on detection and
repair of leaks is required to be kept in log books. The purpose
of .this recordkeeping is to document that the procedures detailed
in the program for leak detection and elimination are being
carried out. There is also a requirement for keeping records of
the temperatures and pressures during reactor operation. Printouts
from sensor instruments are adequate to meet this requirement.
These records can be used by EPA to determine occurrence of a
discharge from relief valves.
8.4.4 Other Methods for Determining Compliance
In addition to the requirements for tests, reports and
recordkeeping, EPA has at any time the authority under section 114 of
the Clean Air Act to require emission tests; inspect equipment,
operation procedures, or records; or obtain other information
as necessary to determine compliance with the standard. For
example, an authorized representative of the Administrator of
EPA may inspect the seals on pumps, inspect or observe the
implementation of a Standard Operating Procedure for removing
vinyl chloride from a piece of equipment before opening it, etc.
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8.5 Evaluation of Need to Set Standards for Polyvinyl Chloride
Participate
There are two potential health problems related to exposure
to polyvinyl chloride particulate. First, polyvinyl chloride
particulate can be a source of vinyl chloride emissions. Second,
studies of people occupationally exposed to polyvinyl chloride particulate
and animals exposed experimentally to polyvinyl chloride particulate
234
have indicated that the particulate may possibly cause pneumoconiosis. ' '
Polyvinyl chloride and, to some extent, polyvinyl chloride fabricating
plants are potential emitters of polyvinyl chloride particulate.
8.5.1 Polyvinyl Chloride Particulate as a Source of Vinyl Chloride
Emissions
Vinyl chloride emissions due to polyvinyl chloride particulate
would occur because the particulate contains residual vinyl chloride
monomer. The amount of residual vinyl chloride in the particulate
is dependent on the physical properties of the product being
manufactured (size and porosity) and the degree to which residual
vinyl chloride has been stripped from the product before it reaches
the dryer and as it goes through the dryer. In the spring of 1974,
based on data from several plants, the product resin was estimated
to contain a maximum of 500 1,000 ppm vinyl chloride after it had
gone through the dryer. The amount of residual vinyl chloride released
from the particulate once it is in the environment has not been quantified.
Control techniques which are used to control polyvinyl chloride
particulate are discussed in Chapter 4, section 4.11. Estimated
polyvinyl chloride particulate emission rates from the various
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processes in polyvinyl chloride plants using fabric filters and/or
centrifugal separator control are shown in Chapter 4.
Based on these emission rates, the total polyvinyl chloride
particulate emissions from a 136 million kg product/yr (300 million Ib/yr)
suspension plant containing storage bins, storage silos, bagging
machines, bulk loading operations, and resin transfer points
equipped with fabric filters, and rotary dryers equipped with centrifugal
separators are estimated to be 211 kg/hr (465 Ib/hr). (Due to the
control equipment and plant size selected for this example, 211 kg/hr
is estimated to represent a much higher than average emission rate.)
Based on data obtained during the spring of 1974, it can be assumed,
for the purpose of considering the worst situation without the
proposed standard in effect, that this 211 kg particulate/hr
contains 1,000 ppm residual vinyl chloride and that all the residual
vinyl chloride is released into the atmosphere; therefore, the amount
of vinyl chloride emissions from this source (the particulate)
would be 0.21 kg/hr (0.46 Ib/hr). This compares with the total vinyl
chloride emission rate of approximately 32 kg/hr (70 Ib/hr) from a
136 million kg product/yr (300 million Ib product/yr) suspension
polyvinyl chloride plant in compliance with the proposed standard.
Effect of_ the Proposed Standard cm Vinyl Chloride Emissions from
Polyvinyl Chloride Particulate
The proposed standard would indirectly reduce the potential
problem which may be associated with emissions of residual vinyl
chloride from the particulate through the control techniques
(improved stripping or add-on controls) which would be used to
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attain the proposed emission limit for the sources following the
stripper (specifically, dryers and silos).
Particulate emissions in gas streams controlled by add-on control
devices such as carbon adsorption would need to be removed prior to
the device to ensure its proper operation. Add-on control devices
such as incineration and absorption would be expected to remove
essentially any particulate remaining in the gas stream subsequent
to the particulate removal device. Thus, if add-on control devices
are used, there will be essentially no particulate emissions from
the dryers or silos, although there would still be emissions from
the bagging machines, bulk loading, and resin transfer points'. The
maximum particulate emissions from the same 136 million kg product/yr
suspension plant used as an example above but equipped with add-on
control devices on the dryers and silos would be reduced from 211 kg/hr
(465 Ib/hr) to 9.5 kg/hr (31 Ib/hr), and the maximum amount of
residual vinyl chloride released from the particulate containing
1,000 ppm vinyl chloride would consequently be reduced from
0.21 kg/hr (0.46 Ib/hr) to 0.01 kg/hr (0.03 Ib/hr).
If improved stripping were used to meet the proposed emission
limit for the dryers and silos, the quantity of residual vinyl chloride
in the resin going into the dryer would be sharply reduced and the
quantity of residual vinyl chloride monomer in the resin beyond
the dryer would be reduced. However, since proportionately more
residual vinyl chloride is removed in the dryer without improved
stripping than with it, the reduction in the residual vinyl chloride
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content of the polyvinyl chloride particulate due to improved
stripping would be only from a maximum of about 500 - 1000 ppm
to a maximum of 200 - 300 ppm. Using the 211 kg/hr (465 Ib/hr)
particulate emission rate from the same 136 million kg product/yr
suspension plant, but with the reduced maximum residual monomer content
(300 ppm instead of 1,000 ppm), the maximum quantity of residual vinyl
chloride emitted from the particulate would be reduced from 0.21 kg/hr
(0.46 Ib/hr) to 0.06 kg/hr (0.14 Ib/hr).
8.5.2 Need to Set a Standard for Polyvinyl Chloride Particulate
With regard to the potential problem of polyvinyl chloride
particulate as a source of vinyl chloride emissions, EPA has determined
that the indirect impact of the proposed standard on vinyl chloride
emissions from the particulate makes direct regulation of the
particulate unnecessary. As calculated in the previous section, for
a 136 million kg product/yr suspension plant meeting the proposed
standard, the maximum amount of vinyl chloride emissions from
polyvinyl chloride particulate would be only 0.01 kg/hr (0.02 Ib/hr)
or 0.06 kg/hr (0.14 Ib/hr), depending on the type of control technology
selected. This emission rate is relatively insignificant when compared
with the total emission rate from the plant (32 kg/hr or 70 Ib/hr).
With regard to the potential problem of polyvinyl chloride
particulate as a possible cause of pneumoconiosis, NIOSH is currently
involved in experimental studies on the effects of the particulate
on animals. The extent of public exposure (as opposed to occupational
exposure) to ambient concentrations of the particulate is unknown
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at this time. Ambient measurements of polyvinyl chloride participate
have not been made by EPA in the vicinity of industrial sources because
no technology is currently available for separating polyvinyl chloride
particulate from total suspended particulate. As data become available
from NIOSH and other sources on the health effects of polyvinyl chloride
particulate,EPA may find that it is necessary to reevaluate the need to
propose standards for polyvinyl chloride particulate.
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References
1. C. D. Callihan and E. Mclaughlin, Vinyl Chloride Removed from
Polyvinyl Chloride, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge,
Louisiana, February 1975.
2. B. Szende, et. al., "Pneumoconiosis Caused by the Inhalation of
Polyvinyl Chloride Dust," Med. Lavoro, Vol. 61, n. 8-9, 1970,
pp. 433-436.
3. Bogdan Cylivik, "Histological and Histochemical Changes
Observed in Liver During Experimental Polyvinyl Chloride
Pneumoconiosis," Rocz Akad Med Bialymstoku, Vol. 17, 1972,
pp. 93-111.
4. Yu. I. Vertkin and Yu. R. Mamontov, "On the State of the
Bronchopulmonary System in Workers Engaged in the Manufacture
of Articles Made of Polyvinyl Chloride," Gigiyena Truda,
Vol. 14, No. 10, 1970, pp. 29-32.
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9. OTHER REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS DEVELOPED OR BEING DEVELOPED FOR
VINYL CHLORIDE AND THEIR RELATIONSHIP TO THE PROPOSED STANDARD
FOR VINYL CHLORIDE
9.1 Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
9.1.1 The Emergency Temporary Standard
On January 22, 1974, OSHA was informed by the National Institute
for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) that the B. F. Goodrich
Chemical Company had reported that deaths of several of its employees
from angiosarcoma, a rare liver cancer, may have been occupationally
related. After investigating this report, OSHA concluded that vinyl
chloride was the causal agent of the angiosarcomas observed. Subsequently,
additional angiosarcoma deaths were reported for workers who had been
exposed to vinyl chloride in other plants. On April 5, 1974, based on
all available information, OSHA promulgated (30 FR 12341) an emergency
temporary standard for vinyl chloride. This standard reduced the
permissible exposure level from 500 ppm to a 50 ppm ceiling and established
other requirements, including monitoring and respiratory protection.
9.1.2 The Proposed Permanent Standard
On May 10, 1974, after reviewing additional information on
carcinogenicity in animals exposed to 50 ppm vinyl chloride, OSHA
proposed (39 FR 16896) a standard for vinyl chloride and polyvinyl
chloride plants. The standard would have limited employee exposure
to vinyl chloride to "no detectable level," as measured by a sampling
and analytical method sensitive to 1 ppm, of an accuracy of 1 ppm +_ 50
percent. Other requirements such as monitoring, protective clothing,
regulated areas, and respiratory protection were also included in the
proposal.
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9.1.3 The Promulgated Permanent Standard
On October 4, 1974, after a series of hearings, economic and
environmental impact studies, and formal comments, OSHA, under
provisions of the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970 promulgated
(39 FR 35890) a standard for vinyl chloride, polyvinyl chloride, and
fabricating plants. The standard limits employee exposure to 1 ppm
vinyl chloride (averaged over an eight-hour period) effective
January 1, 1975. In addition, the regulation establishes a 5 ppm
ceiling (averaged over a 15 minute period) in order to prevent exposure
of employees to unacceptable high excursions. The standard allows for
an action level of 0.5 ppm (averaged over an eight-hour period) in order
to minimize the impact of the standard on plant owners and operators who
have attained exposure levels well below the permissible limit. Thus, where
the results of monitoring demonstrate that no employee is exposed to concen-
trations in excess of 0.5 ppn, plant owners or operators are in effect
exempted from the provisions of the regulation. Further requirements include
monitoring of employee exposure (monthly or quarterly depending upon
criteria described in the regulation), designation of regulated areas,
protective clothing, respiratory protection when the vinyl chloride
level is not controlled to the permissible exposure limit, establishment
of emergency procedures, warring signs, medical surveillance, employee
training, employee medical recordkeeping, and reports on emergencies.
In order to comply with the standard, each plant as of January 1,
1975, was required to institute feasible engineering and work practice
controls to reduce exposure levels below the permissible exposure limits.
9-2
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Even if such controls would not reduce exposures below permissible
levels, they nevertheless must be implemented to reduce exposures to
the lowest practicable level and must be supplemented by the use of
respirators to provide the necessary protection. A continuing
program of increasing engineering and work practice controls is
required until exposures are at or below the permissible exposure limits.
A plan for achieving control by engineering and work practice methods
must be drawn up and made available, upon request, to representatives
of OSHA and NIOSH. The regulation, however, does not establish any
deadlines for full compliance through engineering controls because
OSHA was unable to determine when it would be feasible for most
plants to reduce exposure levels to the permissible level.
9.1.4 Amendments and Corrections to the October 4, 1974 Regulation.
On December 5, 1974, OSHA published (39 FR 41848) corrections
to the October 4, 1974 regulation and on December 30, 1974 OSHA
amended (39 FR 45012) the October 4, 1974 regulation by requiring
that respirators for employee protection contain end-of-service life
indicators as of June 20, 1975.
The Society of Plastics Industry, Inc. (SPI) challenged the
October 4, 1974, OSHA regulation in the U. S. Court of Appeals for
the Second Circuit, The Society of Plastics Industry, Inc. v.
Occupational Safety and Health Administration. 501 F. 2d 1301 (1975);
cert. den. sub, nom. Firestone Plastics Co. v. U.S. Department of Labor,
43 U.S. Law Week 3623 (1975). SPI contended first, that available
scientific and medical evidence does not establish that the 1 ppm
9-3
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exposure level adopted by OSHA is required by health and safety
considerations and, second, that meeting the 1 ppm is technologically
and economically infeasible.
In its January 1975 decision, the Court unaminously upheld the
standards established by OSHA and stated that they would go into effect
in 60 days (about April 1, 1975). In response to SPI's first
contention, the Court found the evidence regarding vinyl chloride's
dangers "quite sufficient to warrant" OSHA's restrictions. Noting
that much of the evidence was based on animal exposure to the chemical,
with only indirect human evidence, the Court stated that, "nevertheless,
it remains the duty of [OSHA] to act to protect the working man and
to act even in circumstances where existing methodology or research
is deficient." The Court labeled SPI's second claim as "exaggerated"
and found OSHA's standards "clear, definite and certain ... entirely
feasible, since the goal of the lowest detectable level can definitely
be attained through the combination of technological means and
respirators." According to the Court, the affected companies
"simply need more faith in their own technological potentialities."
The Society of Plastics Industry, Inc. appealed the decision to
the U.S. Supreme Court but, as noted in the citation above, the Court
declined to review the case.
9.1.5 Relationship of the Proposed EPA Standard and the
OSHA Regulation.
In response to the OSHA regulation, vinyl chloride companies have
adopted some measures which not only reduce employee exposure, but also
reduce emissions to the atmosphere. These measures have resulted in
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some reduction of fugitive emissions and emission excursions. For
example, at many of the plants, portable and fixed point monitoring
systems have been employed to detect leaks and minimize one source of
fugitive emissions. Improved sealing techniques and new pumps have
been used in some plants. Nitrogen has been used to purge vinyl chloride
from hoses used for product sampling and for transferring vinyl chloride
between railroad cars and storage areas at some plants. Levels of
vinyl chloride in railroad cars at some plants are now being measured
by sonic and magnetic detectors to prevent exposure of car contents
to the atmosphere. Some plants have reduced the number of entries
into polyvinyl chloride reactors by utilizing jet water sprays and
solvent cleaning. Many polyvinyl chloride plants are developing
improved stripping both to reduce emissions at these plants and to
satisfy the demands of fabricators for whom the most cost-effective
approach for meeting the OSHA standard is to use a resin of minimal
monomer content. Control devices, such as carbon adsorption, are
also being installed in a few plants.
Other methods of reducing employee exposure to vinyl chloride,
such as respiratory protection, ventilation of the work place,
removing sides of buildings, and installation of tall stacks, do not,
however, reduce emissions to the atmosphere. Even though the OSHA
regulation requires all employees to institute feasible controls
to the fullest extent possible and to continue to improve and apply
engineering controls until full compliance is achieved, it does not
set any deadlines for such compliance. Further, there is no deadline
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for the required submittal of formal plans demonstrating how
plants will achieve the standard. For these reasons, it is
difficult to evaluate at this time the degree to which the OSHA
regulation will reduce vinyl chloride emissions to the atmosphere.
It is expected that the plants will respond to the OSHA regulation
with a combination of ventilation techniques, emission reduction,
and respiratory protection and that this response will not be
uniform.
9.2 Environmental Protection Agency
9.2.1 Water Regulations
Although the vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride industries
will have to meet other effluent guideline regulations for BOD,
COD, TSS, and pH, there are at this time no plans for developing
a water effluent regulation specifically for vinyl chloride. Vinyl
chloride concentrations of 2-3 ppm and at times higher have been
recorded from manufacturing plant effluents. However, due to
the tendency of vinyl chloride to escape from water into the air,
it is unlikely that such contamination would persist in downstream
water which might be used for drinking purposes.
Under the authority of the Safe Drinking Water Act of 1974, as
amended, EPA has initiated studies of suspected carcinogens in
drinking water. In an interim report to Congress, Preliminary Assessment
of Suspected Carcinogens in Drinking Hater, June 1974, EPA reported
detections of vinyl chloride in surface water in Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania and in ground water in Miami, Florida. Ethylene dichloride-
vinyl chloride plants and polyvinyl chloride plants are not the source
9-6
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of the detected vinyl chloride since there are no such plants
in these two locations.
9.2.2 Pesticide Regulation
On April 26, 1974 and July 19, 1974, EPA published in the
FEDERAL REGISTER (39 FR 14753 and 26480) an emergency suspension
order for specific indoor aerosol pesticides containing vinyl chloride.
These regulations have little, if any, relationship to the proposed
standard. The amount of vinyl chloride used in all aerosol products
was less than 0.1 percent of total vinyl chloride production (based on
1972 data). A ban on these products, therefore, has little effect
on the production of vinyl chloride and, consequently, on the emissions
of vinyl chloride at ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants.
9.3 Department of Transportation
On July 23, 1974, the Coast Guard proposed in the FEDERAL REGISTER
(39 FR 26752) amendments to the bulk dangerous cargoes regulations for
the carriage of vinyl chloride monomer. As promulgated on April 16, 1974
(40 FR 17024), these amendments require venting, gauging, monitoring,
and cargo transfer systems which provide greater protection to
personnel than those previously permitted. The Coast Guard also
promulgated, under appropriate emergency rulemaking provisions,
amendments not proposed in July 1974, including establishment of
regulated areas, use of respiratory protection by employees
engaged in hazardous operations and use of warning signs. These
amended regulations apply to all tank vessels, both existing
and newly constructed, carrying vinyl chloride.
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Currently, the Coast Guard is drafting a new proposal which
would require permanently installed equipment for detection of
vinyl chloride in cargo pump rooms and employee medical recordkeeping
similar to the OSHA requirement.
Both the promulgated and the proposed amendments will have
little, if any, impact on the proposed EPA standard.
9.4 Department of Health, Education, and Welfare
9.4.1 Food Packages
On May 17, 1973, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA)
proposed (38 FR 12931) regulations which would eliminate polyvinyl
chloride resins in packaging material for use in contact with
alcoholic foods. The U.S. Department of the Treasury then withdrew
its approval for the use of polyvinyl chloride plastic bottles
for distilled alcoholic beverages. This made promulgation of the
FDA regulations unnecessary.
On September 3, 1974, (40 FR 40529) FDA proposed regulations
which would ban the use of vinyl chloride plastics in bottles,
blister packs, boxes, arid other semi-rigid and rigid packaging
that comes in contact with food. The proposal would also prohibit
vinyl chloride plastics in coatings applied to fresh citrus fruits
to retain freshness. The proposed regulation would continue to
permit vinyl chloride plastics in pliable (plasticized) film-type
wraps, gaskets, cap liners, tubing, and package coatings which
come in contact with food. FDA considered proposing a restriction
on the use of vinyl chloride plastics in potable water pipes, but
9-8
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decided not to because present evidence shows little likelihood
that vinyl chloride migrates into the potable water from pipes
being used to transport the water. Continued FDA approval
for vinyl chloride use in water pipes, however, would be contingent
upon additional confirmatory studies to be started within 60 days
after promulgation of the proposed regulations.
9.4.2 Aerosol Products
On August 26, 1974, FDA promulgated (39 FR 30830) a regulation
which banned any cosmetic aerosol product containing vinyl chloride.
The same regulation classifies any aerosol drug product containing
vinyl chloride as a new drug and requires that a new drug application
be approved before the product is marketed. Since such a small
percent of vinyl chloride was used for aerosol products, the regulation
for cosmetic and drug aerosols has little impact on production
capacity and, therefore, vinyl chloride emissions at vinyl chloride
monomer plants.
9.5 Consumer Product Safety Commission
On August 21, 1974, the Consumer Product Safety Commission
promulgated (39 FR 30112) regulations concerning household substances
in self-pressurized containers having vinyl chloride monomer as an
ingredient or in the propel 1 ant. The regulations classified
such a substance as a "banned hazardous substance" as defined
in the Federal Hazardous Substances Act. Again, since such a
small percent of vinyl chloride production was involved, the regulation
has little effect on vinyl chloride production and emissions.
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9.6 State Regulations
In contacting the officials of several of the States where
the majority of the ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl
chloride plants are located (Texas, New Jersey, California, Illinois,
Louisiana, Ohio, and Kentucky), it was learned that essentially no
regulations exist specifically for the regulation of vinyl chloride.
Some of the States do have regulations for hydrocarbons and new
construction, however, which indirectly reduce vinyl chloride
emissions at some plants.
2 3
For example, the States of New Jersey and Texas require that
best control technology be employed to control any pollutant
(including vinyl chloride) when a source is newly constructed or
modified. The only plants presently required to comply with these
regulations are three polyvinyl chloride plants in Texas which must
employ what has been specified by the State as best control
technology for each emission point, except the dryer. The dryer
stack must be designed so that dispersion calculations indicate
that the maximum exposure level is below 1 ppm. These three plants
may have to install additional controls to meet the proposed EPA
standard for vinyl chloride.
4
In granting permits for new construction, Louisiana and
Kentucky use OSHA standards as guidelines for exposure of the
general population to pollutants for which no EPA standard has been
specified. The goal for ambient concentrations of vinyl chloride
in both States is 0.05 ppm, or 5 percent of the OSHA standard.
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In regard to hydrocarbon standards, most of the States have
standards for photochemically reactive hydrocarbons and/or for
ethylene. These include Texas and Louisiana where most of the
ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants are located. Texas
can regulate existing ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl
chloride plants through the State Implementation Plan hydrocarbon regu-
lations if the plants emit more than 100 Ib of ethylene/day; if they emit
more than 100 Ib of photochemically reactive hydrocarbons/day in a
gas stream that is more than three volume percent; or if they emit
more than 250 Ib of photochemically reactive hydrocarbons/hr. If
they emit more than 100 Ib ethylene/day they must take some abatement
action to reduce emissions. If they emit more than 100 Ib of
photochemically reactive hydrocarbons/day in a gas stream with more
than three volume percent, or if they emit more than 250 Ib of
photochemically reactive hydrocarbons/hr, they must control the
effluent streams with incineration. Ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride
and polyvinyl chloride plants apparently do not emit sufficient
quantities of photochemically reactive hydrocarbons to be covered
by these regulations. As a result of the ethylene regulation, however,
three ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plants will be required to
control their oxychlorination reactor emissions. Two of these plants,
which plan to use incineration to control emissions from the
oxychlorination reactor, will be reducing vinyl chloride as well
as ethylene dichloride emissions. The third plant is planning
to install an additional reactor which will allow more complete
9-11
-------
reaction of ethylene and chlorine to ethylene dichloride. The effect
of the additional reactor on vinyl chloride emissions is not known
at this time.
Louisiana's emission limits for ethylene from the oxychlorination
reactor can be achieved by incineration or the installation of an
additional reactor. At this time, it is not certain which control
measures will be applied by the plants, but the installation of
an additional reactor is expected to be the favored option.
9-12
-------
References
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
"EPA Urges Prompt Steps
Chloride Air Emissions,'
D. C., June 11, 1974.
by Chemical Industry to Reduce Vinyl
Environmental News, EPA, Washington,
Telephone conversation between Susan Wyatt (EPA) and Mr. Tom Lennard,
New Jersey Bureau of Air Pollution Control, Division of Environmental
Quality, Department of Environmental Protection, Trenton, N. J.,
March 6, 1975.
Telephone conversation between Susan Wyatt (EPA) and Mr. Sam Crowthers,
Texas Air Control Board, Austin, Texas, January 7 and February 21,
1975.
Telephone conversation between Susan Wyatt (EPA) and Mr. G. Von
Bodunger, Air Control Section, Bureau of Environmental Health,
LITSRA, New Orleans, Louisiana, January 8, 1975.
Telephone conversation between John Davis (EPA) and Mr. Murphy,
Division of Air Pollution, Kentucky Department for Natural
Resources and Environmental Protection, Frankfort, Kentucky,
March 10, 1975.
9-13
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APPENDIX B
INDEX TO ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT CONSIDERATIONS
This appendix consists of a reference system, cross-indexed, with
the October 21, 1974, FEDERAL REGISTER (39 FR 37^19) containing the Agency
guidelines concerning the preparation of Environmental Impact Statements.
This index can be used to identify sections of the document which contain
data and information germane to anv portion of the FEDERAL REGISTER
guidelines.
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APPENDIX C
EMISSION SOURCE TEST DATA
The EPA conducted one source test of vinyl chloride emissions
before and after an incinerator-scrubber. A summary of the results
is presented in Table 1.
C-l
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APPENDIX D - EMISSION MONITORING AND COMPLIANCE TESTING
TECHNIQUES AND COSTS
D.I Emission Monitoring,,
No emission monitoring instrumentation, data acquisition, and
data processing equipment for measuring vinyl chloride (VC) from
stack gases that are readily available (on an "as complete systems"
basis) have been determined. However, according to the VCM and PVC
Producers Group of the Society of the Plastics Industry, Inc. ("Com-
ments on EPA's Proposed Standard for Vinyl Chloride," NAPTAC Meeting,
March 25-26, 1975), "approximately 75% of the industry has already
ordered or installed fixed multipoint work-area vinyl chloride monitors.
The types in use range from a simple organic vapor analyzer via flame
ionization detector where only VCM is likely to be present, to infrared
spectrophotometers and automatic chromatographs where other organics are
present in addition to vinyl chloride." If multiple sampling point
gas chromatograph/flame ionization detector (GC/FID) systems for
monitoring of the plant environment are available, then these systems
could be adapted to include monitoring of the stack gases. The cost
associated with site preparation, sample conditioning and handling
systems, data processing arid handling systems, and routine maintenance
and repair is not known.
D.2 Compliance Testing.
D.2.1 Stack Testing
For stack sampling purposes, VC must be assumed to exist in con-
junction with other hydrocarbons, both chlorinated and otherwise.
D-2
-------
Accordingly, methods for VC analysis consist of first separating
the VC from other hydrocarbons, followed by measuring the quantity
of VC with a flame ionization detector. However, between various
groups concerned with measuring VC, non-uniformity in procedures
was found to exist in the following areas: (1) sample collection,
(2) introduction of sample to gas chromatograph, (3) chromatographic
column and associated operating parameters, and (4) chromatograph
calibration.
Two of the approaches for VC sample collection were one that
involved an evacuated flask for grab samples and another that used
tubes containing activated charcoal for an integrated sample. Since
emission concentration may vary considerably during a relatively
short period of time, the integrated sample approach offered a greater
advantage over the grab sample approach because emission fluctuations
due to process variations would be automatically averaged. In addi-
tion, the integrated approach minimizes the number of samples that
need to be analyzed. Upon investigating the activated charcoal
sampling tubes, it was found that they were basically designed for
sampling ambient concentration levels of VC. Since source effluent
concentrations are expected to be higher (particularly since other
hydrocarbons will be present) there was the uncertainty involved with
predicting sample breakthrough, or when the sample should be terminated.
It was also recognized that bag samples would offer the potential for
the best precision, since no intermediate sample recovery step would
be involved.
D-3
-------
In view of the above considerations, it was decided that
collection of the integrated sample in Tedlar bags might be the
better alternative. To check the flexibility of this approach, a
study of VC stability, or deterioration in Tedlar bags in the
presence of various process-associated gases was undertaken. The
study showed no significant deterioration of VC over a period of 48
hours. Consequently the integrated bag technique was deemed suitable;
however, anyone preferring to use activated charcoal tubes has this
option, provided that efficiency at least equal to the bag technique
can be demonstrated.
A collected gas sample can be introduced to a gas chromatograph
either through use of a gas-tight syringe or an automated sample
loop. The latter approach was selected since it has less possibility
of leakage and provides a more reproducible sample volume.
Several columns are mentioned in the literature as being suitable
for the separation of VC from other gases; most notable among them
2 3
have been Carbopak A and Chromosorb 102. Carbopak A is the more
sensitive jof the two; however, the VC elution time is not as great
as with the Chromosorb 102. For this reason Chromosorb 102 was
selected for further study. A program was undertaken to establish
whether various hydrocarbons that were known to be associated with
VC in stack emissions interfered with the VC peak from the Chromosorb
4
column. The study revealed no such problems. Furthermore, analysis
of actual source samples of the peak reported as VC with this column
by two qualitative techniques, spectroscopy and electron capture,
indicated the peak was only VC. It should be noted that selection of
Chromosorb 102 does not mean that Carbopak A or some other column(s)
may not work equally well.
D-4
-------
Calibration has been accomplished by two techniques, the
most common being the dilution of 99+% VC with nitrogen into a
series of lower concentrations in Tedlar bags. The second technique
utilizes a set of cylinder standards. Both techniques have been
5
found to produce acceptable results and are included in the
reference method.
Based on the study of VC stability in Tedlar bags, possible
interferences by various process associated gases, and calibration
methods, and as a result of a field study and tests conducted at a
source of vinyl chloride, Method 106 was prepared for determining
compliance with new source performance standards. This method is
the same as used for the data gathering process for setting the
standards, except that leak tests for the flexible bags and refined
calibration procedures to insure accuracy, precision, and reliability
are specified.
Assuming that the test location is near the analytical laboratory
and that sample collection and analytical equipment is on hand, the
cost of field collection, laboratory analysis, and reporting of VC
emissions from a single stack is estimated to be $2500 to $3500 at
$25.00/man-hour for a compliance test effort. While this figure
would be reduced approximately 50% per stack if several stacks are
tested, it does presume that all VC samples would be collected and
analyzed in triplicate.
If the plant has established in-house capabilities and were to
conduct their own tests and/or do their own analyses, the cost per
man-hour could be less.
D-5
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D.2.2 Water, Slurry, Resin, Wet Coke, and Latex Testing
As EPA has no direct experience with measuring residual vinyl
chloride (RVC) in anything other than water, Method 107 was largely
adapted from a PVC manufacturer's method. While the headspace
technique is relatively new, the depth of confirmatory information
supplied to EPA for this method, such as column retention times for
various potential interferences and the interlaboratory analytical
reproducibility data, coupled with the enhanced analysis capabilities
of the automated headspace technique, are most favorable. However,
it is recognized that some analysts may still prefer the solution
technique, and it is expected that equivalency of the solution
technique can be readily demonstrated.
D-6
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REFERENCES
1. "Evaluation of a Collection and Analytical Procedure for
Vinyl Chloride in Air," by G. D. Clayton and Associates. December 13,
1974. EPA Contract No. 68-02-1408, Task Order No. 2. EPA Report
No. 75-VCL-l.
2. "Vinyl Chloride Monitoring Near the B. F. Goodrich Chemical
Company in Louisville, Kentucky." Region IV, U. S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Surveillance and Analysis Division, Athens, Georgia.
June 24, 1974.
3. "The Evaluation of Airborne Concentrations of Vinyl Chloride,"
Richard R. Keenan, G. D. Clayton & Associates, 1974.
4. Same as 1
5. EPA Report No. 75-VCL-2.
D-7
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TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read InUnictions on the reverse before com/ilctt/igj
1 REPORT NO
EPA-450/2-75-009
2.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
Standard Support and Environmental Impact Statement -
Emission Standard for Vinyl Chloride
7. AUTHOR(S)
9 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air Ouality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, N. C. 27711
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
5. REPORT DATE
October 1975
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
A national emission standard for vinyl chloride emitted from ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants is being proposed under the
authority of section 112 of the C"'ean Air Act. Vinyl chloride has been implicated as
the causal agent of angiosarcoma and other serious disorders, both carcinogenic and
noncarcinogenic, in people with occupational exposure and in animals with experimental
exposure to vinyl chloride. Reasonable extrapolations from these findings cause
concern that vinyl chloride may cause or contribute to the same or similar disorders ai
present ambient air levels. The purpose of the proposed standard is to minimize vinyl
chloride emissions from all known process and fugitive emission sources in ethylene
dichloride-vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride plants to the level attainable with
jbest available control technology. This would have the effect of furthering the pro-
tection of public health by minimizing the health risks to the people living in the
vicinity of these plants and to any additional people who are exposed as a result of
new construction. This is estimated to have the effect of reducing emissions from a
typical ethylene dichloride-vinyl chloride plant by approximately 94 percent and from
typical polyvinyl chloride plant by approximately 95 percent. Environmental Impact
and Inflation Impact Statements quantifying the impacts of the proposed standard and
alternative control levels are inc~'uded in the document.
17. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
a. DESCRIPTORS
Air pollution
Pollution control
Hazardous pollutants
Emission standards
Vinyl chloride
Vinyl chloride plants
Polyvinyl chloride plants
_Fthyl pnp-di rhl nri HP plants
13. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
Unl i mi ted
b. IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
Air pollution control
19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
Unclassified
20. SECURITY CLASS (This page}
Unclassified
c. COSATI Field/Group
21. NO. OF PAGES
536
22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
E-l
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