EPA-
June 1976
      450376026H
       NATIONAL ASSESSMENT
                 OF THE URBAN
      PARTICIPATE PROBLEM
                      Volume \9 -
                    SedJ&TleArea
         * I . * ' •'* '\ ^"f »
        **. 5, •  '
  U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
       Office of Air and Waste Management
    Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
   Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

-------
                                            EPA-450/3-76-026h
   NATIONAL  ASSESSMENT  OF THE  URBAN
          PARTICULATE PROBLEM


                  Volume X
            Seattle,  Washington


                FINAL REPORT
                     by
              Gordon L. Deane

       Frank Record,  Project Director
          GCA/Technology Division
              Burlington Road
       Bedford,  Massachusetts 01730
 Contract No.  68-02-1376, Task Order No. 18
   EPA Project  Officer:  Thompson G. Pace
                Prepared for

       ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
     Office of  Air  and Waste Management
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
                June 1976
                                :.;

-------
This final report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by
the GCA/Technology Division in fulfillment of the requirements under Contract
No. 68-02-1376, Task Order No. 18.  The contents of this report are repro-
duced herein as received from the contractor.  The opinions, findings and
conclusions are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the
Environmental Protection Agency.

-------
                             FOREWORD


This document is part of a 16-volurae report assessing the urban particulate

problem, which was conducted by GCA/Teclmology Division for EPA.

This particular document is one of the 14 single city volumes that provide

working summaries of data gathered in the 14 urban areas during 1974 to

support an assessment of the general nature and extent of the TSP problem

nationwide.  No attempt was made to perform detailed or extensive analyses

in each urban area.  Rather, the city reports are intended as a collection

of pertinent data which collectively form a profile of each urban area.  This,

in turn contributes to a comparative analysis of data among the 14 areas

in an attempt to identify general patterns and factors relating to attainment

of the TSP problem  nationwide.  Such an analysis has been made in Volume I

of the study-National Assessment of the Urban Particulate Problem-National
Assessment.  The reader is referred to this volume as the summary document
where the data is collectively analyzed.

This and the other 13 city reports are viewed primarily as working documents;
thus, no effort was made to incorporate all the reviewer's comnents into the

text of the report.  The comments were, however, considered during the prepara-

tion of Volume I and are included herein in order to alert the reader to
different points of view.  The 16 volumes comprising the overall study are

as follows:
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume
             Volume-
             Volume
             Vo] time
             Vol urue
   I
  11
 III
  IV
   V
  VI
 VII
  IX
   X
  XI
 XII
XI IT
 XIV
  XV
 XVI
  National Assessment of the Urban Particulate Problem
  Particle Characterization
  Denver
  Birmingham
  Baltimore
  Philadelphia
  Chattanooga
  Oklahoma Citv
  Seattle
  Cincinnati
  Cleveland
- Mi aril
- St. Louis
-- Providence

-------
                               CONTENTS







                                                                   Page




Foreword                                                           ill




List of Figures                                                    v




List of Tables                                                     vii




Acknowledgments                                                    ix




Executive Summary                                                  x




Reviewers' Comments                                                xv




Sections




I      Statement of the Problem                                    1




II     Analyses                                                    17




III    Conclusions                                                 51




Appendixes




A      Meteorological Data                                         55




B      Particle Characterization                                   62
                                IV

-------
                           LIST OF FIGURES


No.                                                                Page

1      Puget Sound Intrastate Air Quality Control Region           2

2      Manufacturing Employment in the Puget Sound AQCR            3

3      Location of Monitoring Sites in the Puget Sound AQCR        7

4      Trends in Total Suspended Particulates at the Public
       Safety Building, Seattle                  .                 10

5      Trend in Total Suspended Particulates at the USCG
       Station in Seattle                                          11

6      Trends in Total Suspended Particulates at Tolt River
       Watershed, King County                                      12

7      TSP Annual Geometric Means at Monitors and Isopleths
       in the Puget Sound AQCR, 1974                               13

8      Location of Point Sources in King County                    20

9      Location of Point Sources in Duwamish Valley                21

10     Duwamish Air Basin Gravel Road Location                     25

11     Particulate Emission and TSP Air Quality Trends in
       King County                                                 27

12     Comparison of Stringency of the Particulate Emission Regu-
       lation of PSAPCA With Other Controls  Nationwide - General
       Processes                                                   32

13     Comparison of Stringency of the Particulate Emission Regu-
       lation of PSAPCA With Other Controls  Nationwide - Fuel
       Burning                                                     33

14     Wind Roses at Three Sites Around Seattle                    41
                                v

-------
                      LIST OF FIGURES (continued)


No.                                                                Page

15     Monthly Inverse Precipitation - 1974, Seattle               44

16     Normal/Yearly Precipitation and TSP Concentration in
       Seattle, 1957 to 1974                                       46

17     Comparison of TSP Levels at Two Sites Near E. Marginal
       Way, Seattle                                                48

A-l    Yearly Rainfall in Seattle                                  56

A-2    Monthly Rainfall in Seattle                                 57

A-3    Monthly Number of Days of Rain in Seattle                   58

A-4    Yearly Heating Degree Days in Seattle                       59

A-5    Monthly Heating Degree Days in Seattle                      60

A-6    Monthly Wind Speed in Seattle                               61
                                VI

-------
                            LIST OF TABLES
No.

L      Ventilation Characteristics for Seattle

2      Puget Sound Air Pollution Control Agency Atmospheric
       Sampling Network 1974                                       8

3      History of TSP Monitoring Sites in the Puget Sound AQCR -
       1974                                                        15

4      NEDS Particulate Emissions for the Puget Sound AQCR and
       King County (in tons per year)                              18

5      Ratio of Emissions From Fuel Combustion by Fuel Type to
       Total Emissions Due to Fuel Combustion, Puget Sound AQCR
       and King County                                             22

6      Fugitive Dust Emissions in the Puget Sound AQCR (in tons
       per year)                                                   22

7      Pollution Inventory for Dusty Paved Roads and Unpaved
       Roads in the Duwamish Valley                                24

8      Characteristics of Seattle Monitor Sites Reviewed           38

9      Percentage of Frequency of Low-Level Inversion (Seattle-
       Tacoma International Airport)                               43

B-l    Meteorological Data on Selected Sampling Days (Seattle-
       Tacoma Airport)                                             64

B-2    Annual Average Concentration of Sulfate and Nitrate Ions
       at the Seattle, Washington NASN Site No. 491840001          64

B-3a   Results of Filter Analyses for Selected Sites in Seattle
       and Vicinity (Public Safety Bldg.  — No. 1 and 6770 E.
       Marginal Way - No.  K-99)                                     65
                                vn

-------
                      LIST OF TABLES (continued)
No.                                                                Page

B-3b   Results of Filter Analyses for Selected Sites in Seattle
       and Vicinity (Harbor Island - No. K-60)                     66

B-3c   Results of Filter Analyses for Selected Sites in Seattle
       and Vicinity (Duwamish Valley — Ny. K-59)                   67

B-3d   Results of Filter Analyses for Selected Sites in Seattle
       and Vicinity (Food Circus — No. K-10 and USCG Station —
       No. K-4)                                                    68

B-4    Composite Summary of Filter Analyses for Selected Sites
       in Seattle and Vicinity                                     69

B-5    Results of Replicate Analyses of Seattle Filters            70

B-6    Citywide Composite Summary of Filter Analyses in Seattle    71
                               vxn

-------
                            ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

GCA/Technology Division wishes to sincerel> thanl; those persons and organi-
zations who made significant contributions to this effort.  On-going project
supervision was provided by Thompson G. Pace of EPA's Control Programs
Development Division.  The case study in Seattle was  greatly assisted by
the cooperation and helpfulness of the staf'' ot ciit Puget Sound Air Pollu-
tion Control Agency, particularly Milton Svobocta, Kay Saito, Ron Bisby, and
Harry Walters.  In addition, much guidance and information was obtained
from Michael Schultz and George Hofer of EPA Region X,
                                 ix

-------
                            EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The report summarized herein presents the analyses  of the particulate
situation in the Seattle area conducted as part of  the study for the
national assessment of the problem of attainment or nonattainment of the
National Ambient Air Quality Standards for particulates.   Seattle repre-
sents a moderately industrialized area, with above  average heating re-
quirements and a definite rainy season, that has had some success in re-
ducing emissions and particulate concentrations though not enough to at-
tain the standards.  Fugitive dust generated in the industrial valley
during the dry season has been implicated as a major contributing source
to the ambient levels of particulates in Seattle.

In addition to a discussion of this fugitive dust problem, analyses of
the air quality levels, emissions, regulations, monitoring network, and
meteorology, are included in this report.  The major findings in each of
these areas are summarized below in the order in which they appear in the
text.

AIR QUALITY

The trends in TSP levels at several monitors have been primarily down
during the past 8 years though an upturn has been rioted in the past 2
years.  Of those stations reporting a full year of data,  the national
                                                             2
primary annual air quality standard for particulates (75  ^.g/m ) was ex-
ceeded at two stations in the industrial area of Seattle  and the secondary
                        3
annual standard (60 ^g/m ) was exceeded at another two sites — one in the
industrial valley and one in the city.  The highest annual geometric mean
                                  x

-------
            3
was 105 |j,g/m  at a site in the industrial valley which is being considered
for relocation back away from the road.  Violations of the 24-hour stan-
dards occurred five times for the primary and 41 times for the secondary
standard out of a total of almost 700 observations in 1974.
The spatial distribution of the TSP concentrations is related to the topo-
graphical characteristics of the region.   The highest concentrations (60
           3
to 105 ^g/m ) are centered in the industrial valley with the levels lower
                          3
in the city (45 to 63 (jg/m ) and lowest in the residential areas out of
                   3
the valley (35 |_ig/m ).
EMISSIONS

The spatial distribution of emissions in the area varies widely from
almost no major sources in the eastern part of the county to the densely
industrialized Duwamish Valley.  Local estimates of the impact of fugitive
dust in the valley amount to almost a third of the major point sources in
the area.  Consistent data on yearly emission levels is not available to
establish any correlation between TSP concentration and emissions.  How-
ever, utilizing best available data, an estimate of 40 percent for the
degree of reduction since 1969 was made.  This estimated reduction was
in agreement with that expected by EPA over a comparable period of time
yet it was not paralleled by a similar improvement in air quality.

REGULATIONS AND SURVEILLANCE

The sources in the Seattle area are controlled by regulations from both
the state's Department of Ecology (DOE) and the Puget Sound Air Pollution
Control Agency (PSAPCA).  The PSAPCA regulations are generally as stringent
or more stringent than the DOE's regulations; however, the DOE has promul-
gated regulations for several types of industry.  Surveillance of the
sources is performed through the use of the permit system, visible emis-
sions, and complaints.  The majority of sources are determined to be in
                                 XI

-------
compliance through theoretical calculations though some stack testing is
done to determine compliance, especially with new construction.

NETWORK DESIGN

The network reviewed was found to be generally well-designed in  terms of
neighborhood selection and monitor siting.  Monitors are spaced  at inter-
vals of about 1 mile from the mouth of the Duwamish Valley, where indus-
trial emissions are concentrated, to the agricultural and residential areas
to the south.  This network is backed up by modeling and monitoring for
wind speed and direction at numerous sites to better understand  the wind
flow in the complex topography.

The primary difficulty noted was that the monitors in the center city
area (Public Safety Building, Food Circus) were located two to three times
higher than the other monitors which were uniformly located at the more
standard  15 to 25 feet above ground level.  This increase in height is ex-
pected to result in lower readings and may therefore downplay the impor-
tance of  planning in this area.  In addition, there have been some reloca-
tions of  monitors in the Duwamish Valley that have recorded high levels
of TSP.  While the movements of these monitors are probably appropriate,
it was felt that some guidelines for documentation of these moves would
be helpful.

METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY

Numerous meteorological parameters were investigated for Seattle including
the yearly and monthly variations in precipitation and space heating de-
mands , the average wind speed and number of days of precipitation each
month, and other ventilation characteristics of the region such  as mixing
height, inversions, and the movement of air masses through the region.
While the seasonal pattern in space heating and various ventilation param-
eters (mixing height, inversion frequency) would tend to indicate higher
                                 XII

-------
levels of particulates in the winter, the significant pattern of precipi-
tation, with a definite rainy winter season and dry summer-fall, has an
overwhelming influence on the seasonal pattern of TSP levels.  On an
areawide basis, the TSP concentration is 50 percent higher during the
dry months than during the rainy season.

Precipitation has apparently also had an impact on the yearly levels of
particulates.  From 1969 to 1973 the improvement in air quality has been
paralleled by increasing levels of precipitation.  In 1973 and 1974, how-
ever, when the yearly precipitation decreased 25 percent, the TSP concen-
tration increased.  This trend was noticeable throughout Region X at rural,
                                                                3
background sites.  At these sites, the TSP levels rioted a 5 (j.g/m  increase
to 35 [_ig/m .

URBAN ACTIVITY

Insufficient data was available for an analysis of the possible impact on
TSP levels due to the paving and conditioning of roads in the Duwamish
Valley.  Data from a DOE study underway to compare the effect of the lo-
cation of a monitor with respect to a heavily traveled road was reviewed.
Forty sets of paired measurements taken over the period from October 1974
to June 1975 indicated that the monitor located approximately 15 feet
back from the road had values averaging over 60 percent higher than the
concentration at the monitor located approximately 100 yards back from
the road.   Further analyses of this data have not indicated other expected
relationships so it is undergoing additional study.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study indicated that significant reductions in the
emissions from industry may be possible under a more stringent process
weight rate regulation.  However, the impact that such a regulation would
have is not known at this stage due to insufficient information on the
impact of the fugitive dust sources.  In addition, the complexity of
                                Xlll

-------
the topography and meteorology of the area may call for other, less tra-
ditional control measures.   The seasonal pattern of TSP may mean that
controls for fugitive dust  and/or seasonal controls on industry (fuel
switching in the summer)  would be most cost effective.
                                 xiv

-------
for existing and 0.05 gr/scr for new sources.  Therefore, although the
process weight regulation is less stringent than the others, the impact
on emissions may not be much less.  In addition, the effect of the pro-
cess emissions relative to area source emissions and combustion sources
is the important comparison to make to determine tne impact of process
on emissions air quality.
MONITORING
    1.  Third paragraph, page 37, reference fire station on 4th Avenue.
In the Agency's opinion, inordinately high traffic from the Spokane Street
viaduct running east-west and only 1000 feet south of the sensor and the
six-lane road in front of the fire station (4th Avenue) combined with other
traffic conditions were sufficient to bias the sensor by more than
25 percent with reentrained particulate during dry road conditions and
S.W. winds.  The viaduct is about 30 feet high.

    2.  Data from the monitor located at the Public Safety Building (dis-
cussed on pages xii and 37) can be used for showing trends in air quality
even though it is located higher than the ideal height to represent peo-
ple's respiration zone.  The original objective of this monitor was to
obtain data to assess air quality trends.

    3.  Attainment date for primary standard for suspended particulate
matter is December 1973, not July 1975 as stated on page 51.
GENERAL
    The inset map on page 2 (Figure 1) incorrectly shows the location of
the AQCR in question.  The region does not include areas west of Puget
Sound.
                               xvi i

-------
                                SECTION I
                        STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

CHARACTERISTICS OF THE REGION

The Puget Sound Intrastate Air Quality Control  Region (AQCR)  encompasses
the Counties of King, Kitsap, Pierce and Snohomish  (Figure  1).   It  covers
an area of about 6,300 square miles, extending  roughly 60 miles  east  and
west by 100 miles north and south and straddling the central  part of
Puget Sound, a large irregular mass of salt water containing  numerous
islands.  On the east side of the AQCR is  the 3000 to 6000  foot  high
Cascade Range, which effectively blocks the ventilation of  the Puget
Sound Lowlands in that direction.  On the  west  side, the Olympic Moun-
tains intercept a large part of the westerly rain-bearing winds. How-
ever, the winds can sweep freely north and south through the  valley.

More than half of the population of the State of Washington resides in
the AQCR yet the heavily forested eastern  section of Snohomish,  King,
and Pierce Counties is largely uninhabited.  All of the region's cities
and most of the population are located along a  narrow 20-mile wide  low-
land corridor, mainly on the east side of  the Sound.  This  leads to the
high urbanization of the area:  92 percent, 82  percent, 72  percent  and
44 percent urbanized for King, Pierce, Snohomish, and Kitsap  Counties,
respectively.   The region has two Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas
(SMSA's).  The largest, ranking 22nd in the nation, is the  Seattle-Everett
SMSA with a population of 1.4 million; the Tacoma SMSA is much smaller
with only 405,000 inhabitants.  Both of these areas have had  declining
populations in the past several years.

-------
                          c
                          o
                         •H
                          60
                          0)
                          C
                          o
                         o-

                          n
                         •r-l
                         <:

                          0)
                          CO
                          ns
                          c

                          O
                         CO
                          0)
                          00
                          a)
                          S-i

                          60
                         •H
OJ

-------
The industry of  the  area  is also located along this  lowland area.   The
Puget Sound Region's economic structure is heavily oriented toward manu-
facturing and  service activities in aerospace, shipbuilding,  trade,
transportation,  and  forest-related industries.  While  the  Region's pol-
lution problems  are  similar to those of many heavily-urbanized areas,
sources especially noteworthy in the Seattle area include  steel manufac-
turing, iron foundry, lumber mills, kraft pulp mills,  two  sulphite pulp
mills, and various lumber,  single and plywood mills.   Figure  2 provides
a graphical representation  of the employment mix in  the AQCR by 2-digit
Standard Industrial  Classification (SIC) code; this  figure demonstrates
the overwhelming influence  of the transportation equipment industry on
the employment in the area.
          20  Food
          22  Textiles
          23  Apparel
          24  Lumber
          25  Furniture
          26  Paper
          27  Printing
          23  Chc-nicals
          29  Petrol CU.TI and Coal
          30  Rubber and Plastics
          31  Leather
32
33
              Stone, Clay, Glass
              Pru-.iry Metal
          34  Fabricated Metal
          35  Machinery
          36  Electrical Equip.
          37  Transportation Equip.
                                 SEATTLE
                                   10    20  30  40  50   60  70
                                       employees (thousands)
               Figure  2.  Manufacturing employment in the
                          Puget Sound AQCR
The climate in the AQCR is  predominately a mid-latitude, west  coast,
marine-type, with dry  season and pleasant temperatures  during  the summer
and rather mild but  rainy winters.   Precipitation averages  less  than  40
inches in the lowlands bordering Puget Sound, while 60  to 100  inches  is
common in the Cascade  Mountains  in  the Region's eastern sector.

-------
Some of the factors which influence the climate  are:   its  location  in
the belt of the prevailing westerly winds,  the distance  and  direction
of the Pacific Ocean, the terrain,  and the  position and  intensity of
the semipermanent high and low pressure centers  located  over the north
Pacific Ocean.  The Cascade Mountains serve as an effective  barrier in
preventing the cold continental air in the  winter and the  warm air  in
the summer from reaching the Puget  Sound lowlands.  Most air masses
reaching Puget Sound have their source regions over the  Pacific Ocean;
the maritime air has a moderating influence in both winter and summer.
The prevailing wind is from the southwest in fall and winter, gradually
shifting to northwest in late spring and summer.

Seattle has a relatively high number of expected episode days in a  5-
year period with mixing heights less than 1000 meters and  wind speeds
less than 4 m/sec.  Over this period, 18 different episodes  lasting at
least 2 days each may be expected to occur  with  the greatest number of
episode-days in the autumn.   Table 1 presents mean ventilation charac-
teristics for Seattle.
            Table 1.  VENTILATION CHARACTERISTICS FOR SEATTLE

Mean mixing height
0)
Mean wind speed
through mixing
layer (m/sec)
Median X/Q for a
10-km city
(sec/m)
Annual
AM
705
5.2
10

PM
1175
5.4
10

Winter
AM
824
6.2
10

PM
718
5.4
10

Spring
AM
838
5.5
10

PM
1577
6.2
10

Summer
AM
576
4.2
11

PM
1419
4.9
10

Autumn
AM
585
5.0
11

PM
987
5.0
10


-------
AIR QUALITY PLANNING

The program of air pollution control in the State of Washington is a
cooperative effort between the State agency, which is the Department of
Ecology  (DOE) and the various local agencies.  The Washington Clean Air
Act of 1967, as amended, places the primary responsibility for control
of air pollution into the hands of local agencies.  The first of the
local agencies formed under this act was the Puget Sound Air Pollution
Control Agency (PSAPCA).  Prior to this, the City of Tacoma and the City
of Seattle had separate programs.  In July of 1967, King, Pierce, and
Snohomish Counties formed a three-county agency with Kitsap County join-
ing in January 1970.

The Puget Sound AQCR was designated a Priority I region for all pollutants
except SO,., for which it was considered IA  (the designation for N0« has
been changed to Priority III).  The implementation plan to meet the
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) was completed by the
Puget Sound Agency, in cooperation with the Department of Ecology, and
submitted to EPA in January 1972.  The state implementation plan (SIP)
predicted that, under the then existing state regulations and Regulation I
of the Puget Sound Air Pollution Control Agency, the particulate standards
would be attained by July 1975.  The analyses was based on projected emis-
sion levels given plant capacities, new plants, and growth in the region
and using these emissions in the Martin-Tikvart atmospheric diffusion
model.  The SIP is currently approved for all pollutants except oxidants
in the Puget Sound AQCR.  However, the standards for particulates are not
expected to be attained and the Puget Sound area is designated as a main-
tenance area solely for particulates.

AIR QUALITY SUMMARY

There were 34 monitoring stations operating in the four-county region
during all or part of 1974; five of these are being run by the Washington

-------
State Department of Ecology.  These stations are distributed around the
region with one station in a rural region east of Seattle and the rest
reasonably distributed among the industrial, commercial, and residential
sectors.  As shown in Figure 3, the greatest density of stations is in
the Seattle metropolitan area.  The location of the stations and the types
of monitors operated at each are given in Table 2.  Of the 30 stations
with hi-volume air samplers operating in 1974, 23 of them operated every
month.

Two Seattle area stations have been monitoring particulate matter since
February 1965, thereby accumulating 10 years of data.  These samplers
have operated on an intermittent schedule sampling continuously for 24
hours every third day from February 1965 through December 1968, every
fourth day from January 1969 through December 1972, and every sixth day
since January 1973.  A total of 20 stations have acquired at least 4
years of data through the end of 1974.

An analysis technique which allows a reasonable determination of trends
is the moving mean or average.  As applied to suspended particulates, a
12-month moving geometric mean relates directly to the annual standard.
This moving mean is calculated by computing the 12-inonth geometric mean
for consecutive 12-month intervals and identifying each resultant value
with the ending month for the particular 12-month interval.  These values
may be easily plotted on a graph to depict observed concentrations which
relate directly to the annual standard.  A variation of this technique of
portraying a trend which requires more years of data is the calculation
of the moving geometric mean in multiples of 12 months.  For example,
24- and 36-month moving geometric means smooth out some of the year to
year variations in meteorology and short-term changes in source emissions
to more clearly depict the trend.

Data has been acquired continuously at the Public Safety Building (K001)
in downtown Seattle since February 1965, and the 12-, 24- and 36-month

-------
tn
ce
o
	I

•£.
    SIO 0  SIS 0
   Figure 3.   Location of monitoring sites in the Puget  Sound AQCR/

-------
f-
O-v
S3

O

M


a

tn

O
M

W


O


  c  x
                                                                                                                        CL a> o
                                                                                                                        i/)  O)
                                                                                                                           o —
                                                                                                                        XI  L  ,-C
                                                                                                                        c  +- -- -


-------
moving geometric means are plotted in Figure 4.  The 12-month moving geo-
metric mean plot shows short-term fluctuations, but also depicts a long-
term downward trend which appears to level out at about the value of the
annual standard.  This long-term trend is even more evident in the 24-
and 36-month moving geometric mean graphs.

The other Seattle area station with about 10 years of data is located at
2700 West Commodore Way in a commercial area.  The 12-month moving geo-
metric mean plot (Figure 5) indicates a long-term downward trend with val-
ues generally below the annual standard except for an upturn during 1973.
In February 1974, a reversal of the short-term uptrend occurred and is
sustained for the remainder of the year.   The 24- and 36-month moving
geometric mean graphs more clearly depict the long-term downward trend
which appears to level off during the past 2 years.

Parallel to depicting levels of suspended particulates in the urban areas,
it is important to document these concentrations in the nonurban regions.
The Agency has operated a single station near the Tolt Water Reservoir in
the foothills of the Cascade Mountains since November, 1966.  The 12-,
24-, and 36-month moving geometric mean graphs (Figure 6) all depict a
reasonably constant value of about 14 micrograms per cubic meter which is
neither increasing nor decreasing.  Evidently this station is not sig-
nificantly affected by the urbanized areas in the Puget Sound region,
and this value is considered to be an average background value for the
air of the Puget Sound region.

In 1974, the majority of the AQCR was meeting both the primary and sec-
ondary annual standards.  Of those stations reporting a full year of data,
                                                                          3
the national primary annual air quality standard for particulates (75 u,g/m )
was exceeded at two stations in the industrial area of Seattle and the
                                  3
secondary annual standard (60 ug/m ) was also being exceeded at two other
stations in Seattle and one in Tacoma.  Figure 7 provides an isopleth
map of the 1974 annual geometric means in the AQCR indicating the hori-
zontal distribution of suspended particulates throughout the region.  The

-------
               (a)  ,
                     na»TM IW1HC CtOtTHtC 1IWS
                (b)
             196"   '9€E
                (c)
         1966   15€i   196"
Figure  4.   Trends  in total  suspended particulates at
            the Public Safety  Building,  Seattle^
                         10

-------
            (a)
                                      /v
Figure 5.  Trend in total suspended particulates at
           the USCG Station in Seattle2
                        11

-------
   120"


   no


   100
                (a)
1Z MKTM rVwilC CC9CTRIC >
           s     i
       1966    1961   1968    191
       |      |     t     i

         1970  "  1911    1912    1973

      EIOIMC MWTH
   120



   110



   100
                (b)
                     {4 NtMTH rrrvi* GEMTRIC rERNS
   to


   10
           i     :
       1966   1967
                (c)
 :      :      :
   1969  "  1970

      EW1NG rOflH


36 rmTti WING CE9CTAIC r
                                   1971    1972
                .
       I9M   1967    1968    1969    1910   1971    197?

                           EIOIW nONIH
Figure  6.   Trends  in  total  suspended particulates  at

               Tolt  River  Watershed,  King County2
                                  12

-------
                                                 S*0 P  585 0  590 0  595 0  MHO  BOS 0
                        DIM  (KILOMfTtR'C,  LRS1)
Figure 7.   TSP annual geometric means at monitors and  isopleths
            in the Puget  Sound AQCR, 1974
                              13

-------
development of these annual average isopleth maps by the PSAPCS  required
the input of (1) measured air quality data,  (2)  meteorological conditions,
(3) topographic influences, (4) demography of the area,  and (5)  the par-
ticulate emissions of all sources.  This map indicates the problem of
attainment of the annual standards is a matter of local  influences as
opposed to a regionwide problem.

Of the 1580 individual 24-hour samples taken in 1974, 67 (4.2 percent)
                                                                3
of the samples violated the secondary 24-hour standard (150 )ag/m ).  One
station operated by the PSAPCA violated the primary 24-hour standard —
         3
(260 |jg/m ) once in 1974 and another station operated by the DOE in the
same industrial area — the Duwamish valley in Seattle — is reported to
have violated the primary standard four times in 1974.  This DOE site,
which also had the highest annual mean, is under study regarding its
siting and will be discussed further under monitor siting in Section II
of this report.  Another DOE station in Tacoma is known to have violated
the primary 24-hour standard at least once.

Table 3 summarizes the 1974 monitoring history of the monitoring stations
in the AQCR, arranged by county and type of neighborhood in which the
monitor is located.  More detailed data on the stations visited in the
course of the study are given in Section II.
                                 14

-------
Table  3.   HISTORY OF TSP MONITORING SITES  IN THE  PUGET  SOUND  AQCR -  1974
Location
Tolt River Watershed
Tulalip Test Facility
b*
Everett & Pine, Everett
Medical-Dental Bldg. , Everett
U.S.C.G. Station, Seattle
Food Circus Bldg,, Seattle Center
Public Safety Bldg. , Seattle
Harbor Island, Seattle
4500 Blk. E. Marg. Way S., Seattle
*
6700 E. Mars. Way S., Seattle
South Park, Seattle0
10000 W. Marg. Way S., Seattle
Duwamish Valley, King Co.
Puget Pouer Bldg., Bellevuc
S.E. Dist. Health Center, Reiiton
Municipal Bldg., Ren ton
Southccnter, Tukwila
KcMicken Hts., King Co.
1234 N. Central Ave. , Kent
Main St. & Auburn Avc . , Auburn
Meeker Jr. U.S., Taccma
Area
class
RUR
RUR
RES
COM
COM
COM
COM
INI)
IND
IND
RES
IND
RES
COM
SUB
COM
COM
RES
COM
COM
RES
Mann-Russell Klec., Tacoma ' INI)
Fife Sr. U.S. , fife
*
Cascadja College, Tacoma
Willard Elem. School, Tacoma
Hess Bldg. , Tacoma
112th St. S.W. & Loch Lea, LakcwoodE
N. 26th & Pearl , Tacoina
City Hall, Bremerton
Dewey Jr. U.S., Bremerton
All-station totals
COM
RES
RES
COM
RES
COM
COM
RES
Ceo.
mean
13
18
43
40
50
45
63
77
. 68
105
50
Std.
geo.
dcv .
2.50
2.11
2.05
1.63
1.61
1.51
1.66
1.76
1.76
1.97
1.87
60 2.12
48 1.82
Max .
46
143
123
110
159
Date
Jul 22
Oct. 8
Jan 5
Oct 8
Jan 11
97 Oct 26
229 Oct 8
Number of observations
Exceed i in',
secomi.i rv
s tanda rd



2

3
257 ; Sop 20 i 8
Exceed i nj.;
pr iLkir \
s t andard







264 Jan 8 6 ! 1
t
320 Jan 5 • 18 ! 4
152 Oct 16
235 Oct 8 - !
147 ': Jan 8
32 1.57 70 Jan 11
i
33 1.82 | 92 Sop 20
1,3 1 . 64 119
36
35
53
Scp 20
1.56 80 ' Dec 31
i
1.71
2.05
51 1.63
38 1.74
69


Total
57
15
19
61
61
59
62
65
65
58
56
31
61
61
60
61
1 11
122 Aut, 9 55
234 Sep 14 2 . 33
136 Jan 5 61
119 i Jar 8
61
1.75 23'. '.\i.,- 9 3 ! 61
4, ; 2.05 147 Jan 8 61
56
49
42
38
41
33
24
2.60 316 Ian 11 1 j h
1
?.14
1.92
2.0-',
2.15
1.52
1.68
17 1
164
1?2
131
bo
60
Oct 8
Oct 8
Oc t 8
Jan 11
Oct 17
Oct 14
4
9


67



£rt
54
61
60
37
60
53
60
1 ,580
  Washington State Department of Ecology Stations.
  "Site established   10/08/74
  Site discontinued   4/23/74
  CSite established    2/16/74
  dSltc established    7/13/74
 Site established  11/07/74
fSlte established   6/22/74
gSitc established   5/29/74
 Data not available
                                             15

-------
REFERENCES
    1.  Holzworth, George C.   Mixing Heights, Wind  Speeds, and Potential
        for Urban Air Pollution Throughout  the  Contiguous United States.
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   January,  1972.  AP-101.

    2.  1974 Air Quality Data Summary.  Puget Sound Air  Pollution Control
        Agency, Seattle, Washington.  June  1975.
                                 16

-------
                               SECTION II
                                ANALYSES

This section presents the individual analyses that were performed on the
data gathered for the study of the particulate problem in Seattle.  It
attempts to correlate various factors which are known to influence air
quality with the measured ambient TSP concentrations.  These factors
include those that most often come under the jurisdiction of the air pol-
lution control agency — emissions, regulations, and monitor siting — and
other factors that are not usually or cannot be controlled — urban activ-
ity, meteorology, etc.

EMISSIONS

The Puget Sound Intrastate AQCR is a moderately industrialized area with
most of the sources compacted into several localities.  Data in the cur-
rent National Emissions Data System (NEDS) for the area indicates that
industrial processes contribute the largest share (44 percent) of the
total inventoried particulate emissions and 67 percent of the total point
source emissions.  Inventoried area source emissions are approximately
half the magnitude of particulate emissions from point sources.

In King County, the primary area for study under this effort, the indus-
trial processes account for 77 percent of the point source emissions and
29 percent of the total inventoried particulate emissions.  However, in-
ventoried area sources contribute almost 70 percent more than point sources
to the total particulate emissions in King County.  Emissions from trans-
portation sources represent 63 percent of these area source particulate
emissions (see Table 4).
                                 17

-------
H



p
<
r> -,
o-
e
ts

CO

H

g

H


H
BS x-s
0 M
* s
CO £**.
z
O S-i
M (U
CO p i
CO
M en
S C
W 0
4_j
W
H G
i> V^

i i r i

C*S E=>
gi R
>. c u
£ u •<
2 J-i
O GJ U-i
u ex o




4?

o

w
c
*











&>
o
cr
^
c

o
JJ
to
a
PI




r— i
03
o
H


OJ

<


C
H
O
FU



rH
JJ
o
H



c3
GJ




C
•H
O
PH
r-M tJ
cn O
Q ^
W I— 1




,



0>
„-„-[


cd




tn* m  in
^s rH ^-x

i-HrHOOmi^. CMOCQ s^-
ON ON i — i i-^ rH LO CO rO in ON
i-C rH rH  oo co tn ON
rH r^ | O r- CO | CO |

rH rH rH CO CM


x-s x-s
ON ON CO O "vD *^  — ^— . "

W ft]
CO )-t
CU 3
C r-c y 4-1
O td rH t— 1 O <— '
•H -iH nj cd tj 3
jj jj o -H a. o
CO C -H M -iH E

J2 cfl TJ JJ co r* r3 &0 rH QJ
£ C *rH O D 'i~( O WMl3 COWCUVjOT
•H O 0) 1 C C cd -H ---I Q)
rHOcrfUM r3OQ-<>
O M
W H

**O ON
CO CM


ON in
r-4 CO
r-. rH
CO
rH

ON CO
rH VD
t^~ CM

CO

CM
CM
t CT\





ri -d|
cr- co

i— ' 
c
-H

E
o
o

tw
o

4J
G

o
M
a>
PH
18

-------
The spatial distribution of emissions in the AQCR is quite varied.  Almost
all sources lie in the valley along the Sound, the various inlets, and
rivers in the area.  Figure 8 locates the point sources in King County
and provides an idea of the relative size of each source.  As may be seen
from this figure, the greatest density of point sources is along a river
south of Seattle, an area known as the Duwamish Valley.  Figure 9 identi-
fies, by the dashed line, that area defined as the Duwamish Valley by
PSAPCA and also provides a closer look at the location of sources in the
Duwamish Valley area.

The wide variation in the degree of industrialization of the AQCR makes
analysis of the emission levels difficult for levels reported at the AQCR
or county level.  A particular example of this is reflected in the emis-
sions from fuel combustion.  Table 5 provides a breakdown of the emissions
from combustion based on fuel usage for the AQCR and King County as re-
ported in NEDS.  This table indicates that almost 55 percent of the emis-
sions from fuel combustion in the AQCR are from the burning of wood and
in King County this contribution is over 30 percent.  However, these
emissions are almost totally due to combustion occurring in the rural
areas of the AQCR and county and are not of significance when consid-
ering the violation of the standards in the metropolitan areas.  In the
Seattle-Everett SMSA in 1970, based on the U.S. Census of Housing, 44
percent of dwelling units used distillate oil and the other units were
evenly divided between gas and electricity usage with only 0.2 percent
using coal.

The above NEDS data does not include any estimate of the emissions from
possible fugitive dust sources.  A calculation of the preliminary data
supplied from the MRI study  of dirt roads, dirt air strips, construction,
and agricultural tilling indicates that the fugitive dust emissions from
these sources would be more than 22 times the total tonnage as the in-
ventoried emissions, and, in King County by itself, the fugitive dust is
over 30 times the total inventoried emissions (see Table 6).  Almost
                                 19

-------
                                              PT. SOURCE  EMISSIONS
                                                           K.I.NG  CO.
                                                         J-   •"---•
                                                         PIERCE CO.
                                                         KM
                                                        10  15
                                                              20  25
5205-
    510
 i
520
 \
530
 I
540
                               550
 I
560
       515    525    535   545    555    565

                           UTM   COORDINATES
    o     ;     10    is
           MILES
 '   I   I   I    «   I   I   I
570  I  580 I   590  I  600 I
   575    585    595    605
 Figure 8.   Location  of point sources in  King  County
                            20

-------
              D
0
5272 -
5267 -
6259 -
      PT SOURCE EMISSIONS
         TPJT

        LI <25

        R 25-100

        M 100-500

        K 5OO-IOOO

        H >iooo
              I    I
             546  547
                                    iil

                             UTM COOHDINATtS
Figure 9.   Location of  point  sources  in the  Duwamish Valley
                              21

-------
     Table 5.   RATIO OF EMISSIONS  FROM FUEL  COMBUSTION BY FUEL TYPE TO

               TOTAL EMISSIONS  DUE TO FUEL COMBUSTION, PUGET  SOUND

               AQCR AND KING COUNTYa


Area
AQCR


King
County

Source
type
Point
Area

Point
Area
Fuel type
Bituminous
coal
0.133
0.004

0
0.007
Residual
oil
0.059
0.101

0.047
0.215
Distillate
oil
0.010
0.118

0.009
0.334
Natural
gas
0.008
0.018

0.013
0.046

Wood
0.509
0.039

0.282
0.046


Total
0.719
0.280

0.351
0.648
 From NEDS data
        Table 6.  FUGITIVE DUST EMISSIONS IN THE PUGET  SOUND AQCR

                  (in tons per year)a

County
King (0980)
Kitsap (1020)
Pierce (1560)
Snohomish (2000)
Total
Percent of total

Unpaved
roads
196,765
110,625
160,480
171,100
638,970
64
Dirt
air
strips
44
40
16
35
135
< 1

Construction
204,680
13,072
70,348
66,048
354,148
36

Land
tilling
39
20
59
106
224
< 1

Total
401,528
123,757
230,903
237,289
993,477
100

Percent
of AQCR
40
12
23
24
100

a                 1
 From an MRI Study
                                  22

-------
all of these emissions are contributed from unpaved roads (64 percent)
and construction activity (36 percent).

The problem of fugitive dust in Seattle has been recognized and analyzed
in several studies by J. W.  Roberts.  In a thesis prepared by Roberts in
    2
1973 , he developed an emission inventory for fugitive dust generated as
a result of vehicular activity in the Duwamish Valley.  In this study,
Roberts attempted to identify not only those total emissions that may be
expected to result from traffic on dusty paved roads and gravel roads but
also the amount that would remain suspended for any period of time.   Par-
ticulates less than 10 microns in diameter were defined as the suspended
portion and, on average, this amounted to approximately 25 percent of the
total emissions.

Table 7 details the emission inventory calculated by Roberts for the
Duwamish Valley air basin with the grid numbers referring to the map in
Figure 10 as given in his thesis.  This table indicates that there is an
estimated emission level of  2540 tons of particulates per year within
this area due to traffic on  paved gravel roads and that 655 tons of  this
would remain suspended.  While the determination of this level may have
some problems due to sampling directly behind a moving vehicle and it can
be expected to vary greatly  depending upon climatic and individual road
conditions, the amount of "suspended" particulates generated is signifi-
cant.  It amounts to almost  one-third of the emissions from the major
point sources in the area and is emitted directly into the breathing
zone without much dilution as occurs with emissions from stacks.

Due in part to this research and the recognition that these sources  are
contributing to the ambient  air levels (and water pollution) in the area,
some stabilization of roads  (about 15 miles in 1974) and paving of parking
lots has occurred in the Duwamish Valley.  Unfortunately, this is a rela-
tively recent and ongoing activity so that sufficient data is not available
to establish an estimate of  the impact on air quality that these programs
are having.

                                  23

-------
00
Q


I




__
CO
C
O
• H
CO
CO
•H X
e ---
cd
4J
o
H













>,
~ - —
CO 4-t
a c
O T-l

CO
cu o
> "H

>J CO
o -.H
s
0)






ra >i
•o ~~-
CO 4-J
o
M C-
•H
•u
a) co
> a
cd 0
ft. -H
CO
>i CO
4-1 -H
co E
3 a)
a







 i— ' O r—t <}• IO
cMLOr^-i-^o^ro^ti — co i— i i/*i
i-H r-< VO





oJCTv^Or--.rnOrocooovO 
-------
                                               Air Basin Boundary
                                               Gravel Read
                                               r Monitoring Station
Figure 10.   Duwamish Air  Basin  gravel  road  location
                         25

-------
While no consistent set of data was available to establish any long-term
trends in emissions from different source categories, annual emission in-
ventories for King County for the years 1969 to 1972 had been compiled by
the PSAPCA.  (However, differences in emission factors and approaches to
compiling the inventories have varied over this time and no attempt has
been made to update previous inventories.)  In addition, the EPA Region X
office had compiled a 1973 inventory for a study of the King County area"
and the NEDS data is supposedly representative of 1974 emissions.  There-
fore, utilizing these data bases, it is possible to develop an approxi-
mation of the trends in emissions over time.

Figure 11 provides a graph of the changes in these emission inventories
for the major source categories and the total emissions (divided by two
to fit on the graph).  Emissions of approximately 1000 tons/year from dirt
roads, included in the 1973 inventory, were excluded in the 1973 total to
try to maintain consistency between the inventories.  Despite the dif-
ferences in the emission inventories, the magnitude of reduction of emis-
sions is almost equivalent to the 40 percent reduction expected in the
                3
Region X report.   The major problem in establishing a trend is for the
transportation category, however all other sources show a noticeable con-
tinuing downtrend.  An average of annual TSP concentrations at three
stations (USCG, Public Safety Building, Food Circus) is also plotted on
this figure.  This air quality plot indicates that, while improvements in
air quality were noted in the early years, 1973 and 1974 have shown in-
creasing levels at a time when emissions have continued to decrease.
Possible factors relating to this discrepancy are investigated under the
discussion of meteorology and climatology.

LEGAL AUTHORITY, REGULATIONS, AND SURVEILLANCE

The program of air pollution in control in the State of Washington is a
cooperative effort between the state agency, which is the Department of
Ecology (DOE) and the various local agencies.  The Washington Clean Air
                                  26

-------
Q.
I-
CO
CO
uu
I-
I-
cr
    12,000
    11,000
    10,000
     9,000
     e.ooo
     7,000
     6,000
     5,000
    4,000
     3.000
     2,000
     1.000
KEY'
  -X-TOTAL EMISSIONS/2
  — I-INDUSTRIAL  PROCESS
  —T- TRANSPORTATION
  -F-FUEL  CONSUMPTION
  — S-SOLID WASTE  DISPOSAL
  — A-AIR  QUALITY  (AVERAGE
                  3 STATIONS)
                                                     F	_ 		
                             I
                                                                                 60
                                                                                 55
                                                                                 50
                                                                                 40
                                                                                 35
                                                                                 30
                                                                                 25
                                                                                 20
                                                                                 15
                                                                                 10
                                                 H
                                                 <
                                                 IT
                                                 LJ
                                                 O
                                                 z.
                                                 o
                                                 o
                                                 d
                                                 CO
                1969
                            1970
                                        1971
                                       YEAR
                                                    1972
                                                               1973
                                        1974
        Figure 11.   Particulate emission and TSP air quality trends
                      in King County
                                        27

-------
Act of 1967 as amended in 1969 and 1970 and 1971 places the primary  re-
sponsibility for control of air pollution into the hands of local  agencies.
The first of the local agencies formed under this act was the Puget  Sound
Air Pollution Control Agency (PSAPCA).  Prior to this, the City of Tacoma
and the City of Seattle had separate programs.  In July of 1967, King,
Pierce, and Snohomish Counties formed a three-county agency with Kitsap
County joining in January 1970.

Regulations

The Department of Ecology is organized to provide technical advice and
consultation for the local agencies and to assist them in their programs
and planning.  The state agency has also been granted the authority to  set
standards and assume jurisdiction for certain source categories if it is
determined that these should be controlled on a uniform statewide basis.
The State of Washington's air pollution regulations are applicable state-
wide unless the local regulation is more stringent, in which case the local
regulation would be applied.  Some areas under the direct jurisdiction  of
the state agency can be designated sensitive areas by the director,  de-
pending on present and predicted ambient air quality, population density,
topographic and meteorological conditions and other factors.  These areas
would be subject to more stringent regulations.

The state's regulations include sections on compliance schedules, source
registration, odors, fugitive dust, sulfur dioxide, hazardous substances,
combustion and general process sources, as well as separate sections on
the following sources:  wigwam burners, asphalt batching, hog fuel boilers,
orchard heaters, grain elevators and catalytic cracking units.  There are
separate regulations for primary aluminum plants, open burning, field
burning, sulfite pulping, Kraft pulping, thermal power plants, chemical
wood pulp mills, and suspended particulates.
                                  28

-------
The regulations which DOE has adopted for the ambient air quality standard

is identical to the secondary National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)

for particulates with one exception of interest.   Included in the standard

is the possibility of variance from the standard in areas east of the

Cascade Mountain Crest "in recognition of natural dust loading:"

    (1) If concentrations, measured at approved background loca-
        tions, exceed 30 micrograms per cubit meter of air on
        individual sample days, the concentration of suspended
        particulate matter measured at any primary air mass sta-
        tion shall not exceed 120 micrograms per cubic meter of
        air plus background as a maximum 24-hour concentration
        not to be exceeded more than once per year.

    (2) If concentrations, measured at approved background loca-
        tions, exceed 20 micrograms per cubic meter of air as an
        annual geometric mean, the concentration of suspended par-
        ticulate matter at any primary air mass station shall not
        exceed 40 micrograms per cubic meter of air, plus back-
        ground, as an annual geometric mean.

The ambient air quality standards for particulates that were promulgated

by the PSAPCA under Regulation I are identical to those of the DOE;  and,

since the region is west of the Cascade Mountains, it has no exempted areas.
However, an additional standard for particulate has been adopted which

regulates the level of fallout based upon the area which is being measured:

    (1) Ten grams per square meter per month (10 g/m /mo) in an
        industrial area; or

    (2) Five grams per square meter per month (5 g/m /mo) in an
        industrial area if visual observations show a presence of
        wood waste and the volatile fraction of the sample exceeds
        70 percent.
                                                    r\
    (3) Five grams per square meter per month (5 g/m /mo) in resi-
        dential and commercial area; or

    (4) Three and one-haIf grams per square meter per month
        (3.5 g/m /mo) in residential and commercial areas if
        visual observations show the presence of wood waste and
        the volatile fraction of the sample exceeds 70 percent.

Regulation I includes general policy and implementation sections as  well as

rules governing ambient air quality and required control measures.  It
                                  29

-------
regulates the sulfur content of fuel, odors,  and emissions  of sulfur  oxides,

particulates, and oxides.  The general regulation adopted by the agency

contains provisions requiring the registration of sources and a notifica-

tion of construction to be filed for any new  construction.   The agency has
the authority to deny construction upon finding that the new facility will
result in a violation of the standards adopted by the agency.


As the controls adopted by the PSAPCA are generally equivalent to or  more
stringent than those of the DOE, they are the ones summarized below.

    Open Burning — Open burning is restricted, depending on loca-
                   tion, purpose, air pollution potential and the
                   material to be burned.  Small fires on residen-
                   tial property are generally allowed, provided
                   that the material to be burned is not prohibited
                   material and depending on  the proximity  of other
                   structures.

    Visible      —After July 1, 1975, visible emissions cannot be
      Emissions    darker than No. 1 on the Ringelmann chart (20
                   percent opacity) for periods greater than 3
                   minutes in any 60 minutes.

    Refuse       —After June 30, 1975, emissions from incinerators
      Burning      are limited to 0.10 grains per standard  cubic
                   foot of exhaust gas, adjusted to 12 percent car-
                   bon dioxide.  Incinerators must be of the multi-
                   chambered design.

    Fuel Burning — Emissions from equipment existing before the ef-
                   fective date of the regulations are limited to
                   0.10 grains per standard cubic foot of exhaust
                   gas adjusted to 12 percent carbon dioxide.  For
                   equipment installed after  10 October 1973 emis-
                   sions are limited to 0.05  grains per standard
                   cubic foot.  The emissions from existing fuel
                   burning equipment using wood residue cannot ex-
                   ceed 0.20 grains per standard cubic foot; the
                   emission standard for new  facilities is  0.10
                   grains per standard cubic  foot.
                                 30

-------
    Manufacturing — The allowable particulate emissions for manu-
      Processes     facturing processes are presented graphically
                    in Figure 12 on a process weight rate basis.
                    The further restriction that emissions not  ex-
                    ceed 0.10 grains per standard cubic foot for
                    existing installations and 0,05 grains per
                    standard cubic foot for new facilities is also
                    applied,
    Fugitive Dust — Reasonable precaution must be taken to prevem.
                    particulate matter from becoming airborne.
The plot of the PSAPCA general process regulation in Figure 12 is super-
imposed on a graph which represents the maximum ard minimum controls cur-
                                4
rentlv being applied in the U.S.   The dashed lines in this figure repre-
sent the most (least) stringent of the regulations in each size category
and, as such, do not reflect the controls in any one jurisdiction.  The
shaded area in this figure reflects the arithmetic mean, plus and minus
one standard deviation, of the 14 cities reviewed under this stud}.   This
figure indicates that the process weight rate regulation for the Puget
Sound AQCR is much less stringent than may be reasonably expected.  In fact,
die PSAPCA regulation for particulate emissions for industrial processes
was the least stringent of the process weight rate regulations in the 14
cities studied for a process weight: rate greater than 4000 pounds per hour.

Similar reviews were conducted for regulations governing fuel burning,
incinerators, and fugitive dust.  The PSAPCA regulation was converted to
a pounds per 10  Btu rate and plotted in Figure 13 on which a relative
stringency measure had been graphed.  The emission standards for fuel
burning equipment are more stringent than the average for facilities with
less than 400 million Btu per hour heat input and somewhat less stringent,
relatively, for the larger size ranges.

The regulations for visible emissions and incinerators were found to be
comparable with most other areas with incinerator controls being perhaps a
bit more stringent than average for the smaller sizes (< 100 tons per day).

                                 31

-------
                                i 1  i i  i   i   i	i	1	I I  I  l\  I—I	1	Li
                                                                                                                    a
                                                                                                                    o
                                                                                                                   •H
                                                                                                                   4-1  CO
                                                                                                                    Cfl  CU
                                                                                                                   ,-1  CO
                                                                                                                    3  en
                                                                                                                    50  cu
                                                                                                                    Q)  O
                                                                                                                    S-i  O
                                                                                                                       S-i
                                                                                                                    C  &
                                                                                                                    O
                                                                                                                   •H ,-(
                                                                                                                    co  a
                                                                                                                    CO  1-1
                                                                                                                   •H  cu


                                                                                                                    §  I

                                                                                                                   S  i

                                                                                                                   T-I  cu

                                                                                                                    o -H
                                                                                                                   •H  3
                                                                                                                   4-1  C
                                                                                                                    S-i  O
                                                                                                                    Ctf -rH
                                                                                                                    p ,  [ i
                                                                                                                       Cfl
                                                                                                                    CU  C

                                                                                                                   4J  CO
                                                                                                                      r-H
                                                                                                                   4-<  O
                                                                                                                    O  SJ
                                                                                                                      4-1
                                                                                                                    >,  C
                                                                                                                    O  O
                                                                                                                    C  o
                                                                                                                    CU
                                                                                                                   c
                                                                                                                   •H
                                                                                                                       QJ
O
o
                                                                                                                       4-1
                                                                                                                       O
                                                                                                                   U-l  4J
                                                                                                                   O  -rl

                                                                                                                   C
                                                                                                                   O  
-------
J 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .
- \
: i s

i :
I ;
I >
S '
Z 1
UJ 1
(fj .
§
: E 1
^ 1
CO 1
- 2 1
=> .
2 1
I '
1
1
1
I
'•- \ /
i V
N

/

/
/ ;
/
/
f
- /
: /
/
/ '

/
/
1 ;
1 ;
/
/
I
• I
1
- !
* *
-
-

1 1 1 t 1 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1
q
*™
M | I 1 I | 1 J
, .
' i -
i i
< 1
;' 4
t 1
1
1
j
I
J '>
*~ «. J
1 .
j -

i s :
1 j2;
Lu
1 | '
|fU „
H
1 OT
1
1 i :
1—.
X
i § :

-
/
i
- i
i /
Y

\ "
1
i :
. rj J
•
I
? i
: '
» »
1 1

1 !
i a
rj :
\ \
•* ™
1 ! :
\ i
i i
i i
-t i
1 i
' i
1 1 1 1 1 1 i i i
2 c
0 C
VJ




C
o
•H
<• 4-1
O cfl
• i — i
3
50
O) 00
S-( C
-H
C C
O !-J
•H P
en ,n
ra
•H t— 1
v. E cu
jr 
• 11 f-*
4-J ^
LU Vj O
H 0) -H
< PL. 4J
CC cri
0) C
r-1
1« ^-<
rr -u «
_«/ i
g; ^i "o
S 0 W
CJ 4-J
O _j >^ C
" " g S
1. <"
"• 50 M
c a)
•H .£
S-( 4J
4-1 O
CO
.£
M— t 4-J
O -i-l
5
c
o <;
en O
•Q -H PU
— H <
cS CO
o n
Mw t-M
O 4-1
0 0
p->
t— 1
0)
M
00
0 .H
Or
— . p^
3
>
9oi/qi'NOissiw3 jo 3ivy
      33

-------
Surveillance Procedures


The surveillance of sources and enforcement of regulations  in the Puget

Sound AQCR are maintained by use of several techniques  including inspec-

tion, registration of sources, notices of construction,  and field surveys,
The general program for enforcement by the PSAPCA is given  below.

    Inspection

    Field inspectors perform inspections on processes subject to
    regulation under Air Pollution Control regulations  and  stan-
    dards.  The types of inspections are:

        1.  Violation inspection
        2.  Follow-up and reinspection
        3.  Inventory inspection
        4.  Investigation of complaints
        5.  Miscellaneous inspections such as equipment  break-
            down, follow-up on variance conditions,  compliance
            schedules, engineering final field reports,  etc.

    Complaints and inspection orders are relayed to  field in-
    spectors via two-way radio contact.  The frequency  of in-
    spection depends upon the type.  Complaints and  visible emis-
    sions are investigated as soon as possible.  Follow-up  and
    reinspection on violations and variance conditions,  status
    of compliance schedules, and inventory inspections  are  done
    on a scheduled basis.  Each inspector conducts systematic
    coverage of his control area for optimum use of  time.

    Appropriate records of all types of inspections  are made on
    appropriate forms and routed to source files. A file is
    initiated on the first contact with a source and maintained
    thereafter until retired for cause.

    Violations

    When evidence of a violation is established, a Notice of Vio-
    lation is served in person by a field inspector  or  sent by
    certified mail, depending upon circumstances.  The  notice asks
    that the Agency be advised in writing within 10 days of the
    corrective action taken or to be taken to prevent continued or
    recurrent violations.  If the source management  fails to re-
    spond within the time specified, a second request for reply is
                                34

-------
sent over the signature of the Supervising Inspector before re-
sorting to one or more of the legal enforcement alternatives
that are available.  The most frequent legal action taken is
issuance of a civil penalty.

Registration

Registration of active sources is accomplished on submission of
one or more forms containing specific information regarding pro-
cess equipment data, physical data, air pollution control equip-
ment, combustion control devices, fuel used, fuel consumption
and unit operation.  Sources who do not respond when advised of
the registration requirement are followed up in the field by air
pollution inspectors.

Information obtained on the registration forms is entered onto
load sheets for key-punching into computer cards, thereby creat-
ing a data bank from which emissions inventory, summaries, and
other computer printouts can be generated at will.

Notices of Construction

Detailed plans and specifications submitted with Notices of Con-
struction are reviewed by the Agency's engineers.  Based upon
plan evaluation the Agency will issue either an order or approval
of an order to prevent construction.  Failure to submit a Notice
of Construction is a violation of Regulation I.  In addition to
the assurance that new sources will meet emission standards, a
Notice of Construction system provides continuing help for the
updating of source registration and emission inventory.  Detailed
information for this purpose is required to fulfill the Notice of
Construction requirement.

Compliance Schedules

Compliance schedules are initiated by supervising inspectors on
the recommendation of field inspectors.   The air pollution source
is supplied with a compliance schedule form and requested to sub-
mit the form by a fixed date.  If the form is not submitted to
the Agency on time and sufficient reason has not been presented,
the supervising inspector recommends enforcement action.
On return of the compliance schedule form to the Agency, the
supervising inspector forwards it to the Chief of Enforcement
with recommendations.  The Chief of Enforcement in turn for-
wards a copy of the schedule for Engineering review.  On deter-
mining the proposed control methods are adequate for compliance
and the completion dates are reasonable, the source is notified
by letter that the compliance schedule is accepted, and that the
Agency will not initiate legal action against the violator as
long as the terms of the compliance schedule are met.
                             35

-------
    Variances

    Applications for variances are made on forms supplied by the
    Agency and are accompanied by supporting data as required by
    the Hoard.  Public notice of all hearings are placed in a news-
    paper officially designated by the Hoard and in a daily news-
    paper in the county from which the application is made.  The
    Engineering Division studies the merits ot the application and
    prepares a draft of staff recommendations to the Board.  After
    hearing the applicant, the stall' recommendations, and any other
    pertinent testimony, the Hoard directs its legal counsel to
    prepare a resolution containing the findings and decisions of
    the Hoard, for signature by the Chairman.  This written notice
    oi disposition is mailed to the applicant and made part of the
    record.
A review of the 1'SAPCA enforcement program indicated that it was quite an

active program which apparently maintains complete and up-to-date files
on most sources in the area.  There are four inspectors in King County

who visit each plant at  least once per year to update the emission in-

ventory.  Twenty to thirty source tests are conducted each year to check
compliance, often after construction of a new source.  Within tht last

couple ot years most major sources have come into coni|'1 iance.


NETWORK DESIGN


Because of the widespread nature of the AQCR and the multitude oi neighbor-

hoods that would be involved, no analysis of the monitoring network (Fig-
ure  i) for the whole AQCR was attempted.  Instead, attention was directed
at the monitoring network operated by the PSAPCA in and around Seattle.
The network reviewed was found to be fairly well designed in terms of

neighborhood selection and monitor siting with the exceptions noted below.


From the standpoint of emissions, topography, and associated local meteo-

rology, the area of maximum concern is the Duwamish valley.  This lias been

confirmed both by monitoring and by modeling and the monitoring effort has

accordingly been concentrated along the valley.  Monitors are spaced at

intervals of about 1 mile from the mouth of the valley where industrial
                                 36

-------
emissions are concentrated to the agricultural and residential areas to
the south.  It is felt that this area has an appropriate density of
monitors .

The monitoring sites reviewed in the course of this study are grouped in
Table 8 according to the predominant characteristic of the neighborhood
of each.  This table also provides the height of each monitor, its slant
distance from the nearest major road, the geometric mean for each station,
and summarizes the siting comments for each monitor.

The primary difficulty noted was that the monitors in the center city
area (Public Safety Bldg. , Food Circus) were located much higher above
ground that the other monitors visited.  This increased height has been
shown to produce lower readings than would be measured if the monitors
were located at the more standard 15 to 25 feet above ground level.  While
the stations were not inappropriately high according to guidelines, lower
sites would have been more in line with the other monitors in the network.

In addition to the sites listed in Table 8, the location of a previous
monitor that had been discontinued was reviewed.  This site was also in
the Duwamish valley at a fire station in the 3200 block of 4th Avenue
and was recording the highest concentrations of any monitor in the period
1968 to 1970.  In the preparation of the SIP, this site was deemed in-
appropriate because its values did not fit with the modeling results.  The
site visit did not indicate any major sources that may have been impacting
on the monitor to cause the higher readings.

A similar situation is currently being studied at the DOE site on E. Mar-
                                                              3
ginal Way.  This site recorded the highest TSP value (102 (ag/m ) in the
Puget Sound AQCR and is being considered for relocation because of its high
values which appear to result from its proximity to the heavily traveled
road.  The DOE is operating another monitor 100 yards back from the road
for comparison purposes; to date, its values have averaged almost 40 per-
cent lower than the site closer to the road.

                                   37

-------
Q
W
Pi

CO
w
H
H
CO

cd
O
H
i
CO
u
M
H
CO
W
H
 o


 oo

 d)
 r-l
 ,0
 nj
 H





































4J
C
CO
rH
C/J

4J
£ CU
60 >
•iH O
CU ,0
X CO
rH
nj o
3 'iH
C IH
C 4J
CO CU
E
0- 0
O"* OC
.—I











































CO
JJ
C
O
6
g
O
o

bO
c
•H
4J
•H
C/3









cu
o
C

4-1 UH
CO
73
•a
c
3 4-J
O U-l
1^
60


-p~)
C E
CO ^
01 SO
e n




q
o
•H
4J
CO
CJ
o





6 -
PH ^O
CO
PH
•o
O
O
£
>H
O
XI

60
•H
CU

1
CU <4H
XI CO
IH
73 4J
r-l E
3 73 O
O q IH
3 CO MH

CU 60 X
O C to
(H -H 3
3 4-J co
O CO
CO CU rH
.C rH
X -iH
i-H CU .q
C E X
O O UH CU
-C O rH
" rH
73 rH CX CO
O CO O >
O -lH 4-1
60 4J £
q q CO
CU CU O -rH
l-l 13 E
3 -rl - CO
CO CO O 3
O CU -.H 3
O. SH UH Q

c2



o





m
I-H





in
CO



CO
f~
60
.,_!
CU


C
CU

u
•H
g
o


rH
H



rH
CO
•H
4J
C
cu
T3
•H
CO
CU
OS1


r; 4J
CO CO
•H O
E E
CO rH
3 CO
3
o -
CO
q 01
•H O
!_,
•a 3
CU O
4-1 CO
CO
o E
0 O
rH U
UH
K
73 q
0 3
0 0
60 73

CU X
l-i CU
3 rH
CO rH
O CO
a >
X
w



o
o
en



m
CM





CO






CU

•H
r-
c
£ 0
CO -H
•H 4-1
E CO
CO 4-1
3 c/0
3
Q
0
2






























W
to
c:
• r-l
73
C
3
0

p
3
CO

1 — 1
CO

3
^,

























































I i
UH CU C
o cu — i
UH
3 CJ
!g CN -H
^ r-H UH
UH
CU 4-1 CO
.C CU IH
4J a. 4-1
CO
O IH X
4-1 CO >
ex co
cu -cu
co 4J jn
•H O
In 0 -
UH In
M O
ca 
•H •!-*
>j - C
O In O
4-J o 6
CO 4-1
•rH E CO
C C O CU
CU O SH U
> E UH tO
CU
C/}



in
CO




o
co





m





CD
o
•H
J>
IH 60
CU q
CO *rl
•a
CJ rH
•H -H
rH 3
£ FQ
3
CU

si


1 4-1

r-H O
CO
•i-l IH
O O
VJ 4J
tt) C

E 0
O
O





r:
en jr
•r-l 00
E -.H
tO £
3
3 4J
O 0
CU
73 a
c ^
CO CU

X "
4-1 ^
•iH SH
O CO
a.
cu
> c
O -H
^f*j
nj ••

rH ^
r-H- T-H
•H r-l
X cd

^
o



0
CM
l — i



O
[•^





in
•j-







CO
3
O
iH
•H
O

73
O
0

o
1— 1

















CO
c
0
• r4
cn
)H
cu

c
•H

•so
c
•H
SH
3
T3

X
rH
C
o

CO
60
c
• H
73
cO
CU
IH
























































«
CO
CU
IH
CO

1 — 1
CO

^i
4J
Cfi
3
73
q
• rH

C
•H

•o
CU
4J
CO
O
o
rH

X
I-H
q
cu
(X
O



m
CM




O
CN





CO
vD



^
cu
rH
rH
CO
>

_C7
CO
•H
e
co
3
3
p
in
r2




rH
a)
•H
|H
4J
CO

•a
c
H


CU
r— t
-Q X
cO cfl

O

a. "to

4-1 — 1
3 SO
^n l_i
rt
CJ S
• rH
UH
•H W
CJ
a e
C- 0
CO rH
UH
cu
O cu
IH O
3 q
o cu
cn 3
— i
4J c^-l
o q
q -rt

























rH
.M CO
o q
0 -H
rH 60
fQ S-i
tO
O g
0
LO *


_q
CO
• iH
e
cO
3
3
0
^
s














>
CO
CU
r"

-
4-1
CO
CU
3

O
4-1 4-J
CO
IH CU
0 3
4J
•-H C
C 4J
O
E cu
e
cu 3
> rH
0 0
XI >
Cfl
CJ
4-J -iH
CU U-l
CU U-l
UH CO
l-<
m 4J




























cu
4-1
•rH
CO

W
O
P


















                                                       38

-------
Such movements of monitors which measure high levels of particulates
raise some questions about the siting of monitors and the interpretation
of the resulting citywide trends.  While for most purposes monitors should
not be located in areas heavily influenced by a single source, the reloca-
tion of those monitors recording high values may provide a picture of the
TSP situation much less serious than actually exists.  Though the moves
may be totally appropriate, guidelines for a documentation of these siting
decisions should be available.

METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY

The general meteorology of the area appears to be one of the factors
prominent in determining the TSP levels in Seattle.   Numerous meteorologi-
cal parameters were investigated for Seattle including the yearly and
monthly variations in precipitation and space heating demands (degree days),
the average wind speed and number of days of precipitation each month, and
other ventilation characteristics of the region such as mixing height,
inversions, and the movement of air masses through the region.  Those
factors which are known to be most influential for air quality levels —
ventilation and precipitation — were found to be the same ones with the
greatest seasonal variation.  However, the analyses  conducted indicated
that the influence that precipitation has on the yearly and monthly TSP
patterns in Seattle far outweighed any of the other  meteorological factors.
Therefore, the discussion below focuses primarily on precipitation and
its impact after a short review of some of the other factors.  Supporting
data on the meteorological parameters are presented  graphically in the
appendix.

Ventilation Characteristics

The topography of the region significantly affects the climatology and
meteorology, having its major effect on the ventilation.   The middle-
latitude west coast climate of the Seattle-Tacoma area is modified by
the imposing barrier of the Cascade Range on the east and to a lesser
                                 39

-------
extent by the comparatively short Olympic Range to the west  and northwest.
The Cascades are very effective in excluding continental  influences  from
the Seattle-Tacoma area, particularly in keeping cold air from draining
westward during the winter.  Occasionally the pressure distribution  will
result in a southward flow of cold air from Canada west of the Cascades
and it is only under these conditions that extremely cold weather strikes
the southern Puget Sound area.  Since the southern end of the Puget  Sound
trough is open to the southwest winds generated by storms moving in  off
the ocean, the prevalent wind for the storm season of the winter and spring
months is southwest.  The trough of the Puget Sound is also  open to  the
north allowing for strong winds from the northerly quarter during oc-
casionally severe winter storms.  During the summer months,  the relatively
light winds are influenced by the land- and sea-breeze effects as well as
the channeling of the topography.

The wide variations in wind speed and direction that occur at different
sites in the area can best be seen by looking at some of the wind roses
at several sites operated by the PSAPCA.  Wind roses at three sites  around
Seattle are given in Figure 14.  In these roses, representing 1974 winds,
each spoke points in the direction from which the wind blows.  The length
of each segment of a spoke indicates the relative frequency of winds of
different speeds.  Using the scale located to the lower right of the fig-
ure, these lengths may be converted to percentages of the total observa-
tions.  The percentage frequency of winds from any given direction (with-
out regard to speed) is expressed numerically beneath that direction on
the perimeter of the roses.  The percentage frequency of light and variable
winds (winds less than 1.5 knots) is shown in the center of the rose.

These roses indicate that, within 20 kilometers, one may expect to find
significantly different wind patterns.  Of particular interest is the high
percentage of light and variable wind conditions.  Such conditions are
often associated with poor mixing and resulting high levels of particulates
For example, on many summer days light north winds pass over Elliot Bay
                                 40

-------
           (a) NWS Urban Site, Station No. K100
                           \\\\wm  *
(b) Duwamish Valley, 4500 Blk.
   E.Marg. Way, Station No. 55
(c) McMicken Heights,
   Station No. Tl
      Figure 14. Wind roses at three sites around Seattle
                       41

-------
into the Duwaraish Valley and the air cooled by the water  causes  warmer
air to rise.  In such a manner a thermal lid is placed on the dispersion
of air pollution.  This condition compounds the effect of normal nighttime
radiation inversions that occur during the same period of the year.   The
winds at the mouth of the Valley near Harbor Island are influenced by air
currents from the Sound and this fact makes the Valley difficult to  model.

For any given wind speed, the greater the mixing height,  the greater the
volume of air available to dilute the pollutants and therefore to lower
their concentrations.  The maximum vertical depth of the  atmosphere  avail-
able in any day for the mixing of polluted air usually occurs in the after-
noon following the period of maximum surface heating and  is known as the
maximum mixing height.  The minimum mixing height is associated with mini-
mum surface temperatures and usually occurs at or around  sunrise. From
the data that was given in Table 1, it is apparent that this pattern of
higher afternoon mixing heights is not followed in Seattle during the
winter months.  Instead, the afternoon mixing height is almost 13 percent
lower than that calculated for the morning.  In addition, the percentage
of frequency of low-level inversions is higher in the winter and fall than
during other seasons and the persistence of these inversions is  also much
greater (see Table 9).

While both of these conditions (inversions and mixing heights) would tend
toward increased concentrations of particulates in the winter, such  a
trend is not seen due to the fact that the majority of precipitation also
occurs during this time.
                                 42

-------
        Table 9.  PERCENTAGE OF FREQUENCY OF LOW-LEVEL INVERSION
                  (SEATTLE-TACOMA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
Season
Fall
Winter
Spring
Summer
4 p.m.
9
24
0
1
7 p.m.
19
13
6
3
4 a .m.
69
63
54
57
7 a .m.
32
31
30
19
               Hosier, Charles R. ,  1961:   Low-level inver-
              sion frequency in the Contiguous United
              States.  Monthly Weather Review, vol. 89,
              Sept. ,  1961, 319-339
Precipitation

Precipitation is normally considered to be the meteorological parameter
which has the maximum impact on air quality levels,  aside from ventilation
rate.  It helps to clean the air of particulates through washout and rain-
out and can suppress the rise of pollution levels by wetting down particu-
lates that would be resuspended if dry or even washing particulates off
the streets into sewer systems if the rain is heavy  enough.   The expected
relationship is one of inverse correlation with the  pollutant concentra-
tion.  Seattle has a well defined seasonal pattern of precipitation with
as much as eight times the precipitation in the winter months than in the
summer months on a normal basis.  In 1974, this trend was even more pro-
nounced with only 0.01 inch of precipitation recorded in August and 7.78
inches in January.

Because of the expected inverse relationship between TSP concentration and
precipitation, Figure 15 provides an inverse graph of the precipitation
during 1974 by dividing the average monthly (annual/12) by the actual
monthly precipitation in 1974.  Overlayed on this graph is a plot of the
average monthly geometric mean for all the monitors  in King County that
operated for the full year.  This countywide average is utilized to dis-
count major influences that certain activities may have on individual sites.
                                 43

-------
o

<

EL

U4
CC
Q.
UJ
tr.
UJ
    10


     9


     8


     7


     6


     5


     4


     3


     2


     I


     0
                      INVERSE  	»•
                      PRECIPITATION
                          TSP
                                                              80
                                                              70
                                                              60
                                                                 ro
                                                              50
   o:

40 £
   LJ
   O
   Z
   o
   o

30 ft-
                                                              20
                                                              10
                   M
                                J   J

                                 MONTH
      Figure 15.  Monthly inverse  precipitation — 1974,  Seattle
                                44

-------
The degree to which the inverse precipitation graph and the TSP concentra-
tion rise and fall together provides an indication of the correlation of
the two parameters.  The most pronounced characteristic of the precipita-
tion plot is closely paralleled by the seasonal pattern in TSP.

This correlation must be considered even more significant since all other
meteorological parameters (except for average monthly windspeed) would
tend to indicate a pattern with higher TSP levels in the winter than in
the summer.  The fact that the pattern is not as closely paralleled during
the rainier season may be partially explained by other meteorological
factors such as ventilation characteristics.   In addition, the daily
pattern of precipitation may be used to better understand the impact
that rainfall has on TSP levels.  While Figure 15 would indicate that
the rainfall in October was a sufficient amount to have a lower average
TSP concentration for that month, almost all  of the precipitation in
October 1974 occurred within the last 4 days  of the month and the other
significant rainfall that month came in a downpour lasting about 5 hours
on 1 day.

Just as precipitation has an impact on the short-term seasonal pattern of
TSP concentrations, it can also affect the longer-term annual trends if
the total level of precipitation varies significantly from year to year.
In recent years in Seattle, the precipitation has fluctuated more than
20 percent on either side of the normal amount.  This has led to differ-
ences of as much as 50 percent between 2 consecutive years.  Again to
provide an easier comparison of the correlation between the two param-
eters,  a graph of the inverse (normal/yearly) precipitation and TSP
levels measured at the NASN station on the Public Safety Building in
Seattle between 1957 and 1974 is plotted in Figure 16.   While there are
obvious discrepancies in the correlation,  this figure indicates that the
precipitation has been having a measurable impact on the TSP concentra-
tion on a yearly basis.   Of particular interest is the correlation in
the most recent years which may be one explanation for the rise in TSP
levels  at a time when more sources were coming into compliance with the
PSAPCA regulations.

-------
O
PJ
o    o
—    o
O
en
O
oo
      O
O
ta
o
in
 dSi

>     O
     ro
8
                                                                              01

                                                                                                 O
                                                                                                •H
                                                                                                4-J

                                                                                                 d
                                                                                                 c
                                                                                                 QJ
                                                                                                 O
                                                                                                 c
                                                                                                 o
                                                                                                 o

                                                                                                p-i
                                                                                                 C
                                                                                                 cfl


                                                                                                 C
                                                                                                 O
                                                                                                •H
                                                                       •r-! — I


                                                                       •H"  o
                                                                        U  4.)

                                                                        (U
                                                                             10)
                                                                            -i'"
                                                                             i O)


1
5 0
T W
—


1 1 1
O 0 0
~ Q O
- - o


1 1
0 0

6 o


I
o
(0
o
-
~
1 ! 1 1 1
IP
cri

o o o o o o
1O Tf 10 W —
66060
                                                                                                 (U
                                                                                                 S-i
                           d!03dd
                                               46

-------
URBAN ACTIVITY

Beyond industrial activity, fuel combustion, and other traditional pol-
lution sources, it is increasingly apparent that in many locations other
urban activities , such as routine traffic and construction and demolition
activities, are a more major part of urban pollution problems than had
been previously recognized.  The primary area of interest in Seattle,
because of published reports on the subject, was the problem of fugitive
dust in the Duwamish Valley.  It had been expected that data would be
available on changes in concentration due to paving and road stabilization
measures.  However, this activity had not been completed and was too re-
cent to have established any trends in TSP levels.

The other source of data that was identified for analysis of urban activity
was the comparative study of the impact of the proximity of monitors to a
heavily traveled street being conducted by the DOE.  One of the hi-vols
was located on top of an instrument shelter (height — 15 feet) immediately
adjacent to E. Marginal Way, while the second hi-vol was located at the
same height on top of a flat-roofed, one-story building set back approxi-
mately 100 meters from the street.  The closer instrument shelter has a
hedge-row of trees between the street and the monitor that provides some
screening of street-generated particulates.  Apart from this row of trees,
there are no significant obstructions or local sources between the street
and the second hi-vol.

Forty sets of paired measurements taken over the period from October 1974
to June 1975 are available for analysis.  On 37 of the observation days,
concentrations adjacent to the. street exceeded those measured 100 meters
from the street, with geometric mean concentrations at the two locations
being 89 and 55 |jg/m  respectively.  These paired observations are plotted
in Figure 17 to demonstrate the degree to which the monitor closest to
the street is measuring higher levels.

-------




ro
E
X
«f
ROADW
e
z
UJ
o
->
o
z
o
*-T
CONCENTRE


ouu
280
26O
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1 '• 1 ' 1 ' 1 '
-
-
-
/
/
• •
- • 9 /
* *
* /
L " . X
• y/^
** /^
" . */ •
- X
/ i 1 , 1 , 1 , !
            20  40   60   80   100  120  140  160   180   200

            CONCENTRATION 100 METERS FROM ROADWAY (/jg/m3 )
Figure 17.   Comparison of TSP  levels at two sites  near
             E.  Marginal Way, Seattle
                            48

-------
While this data alone tends to indicate that the road is acting as a
significant source, other analyses, including correlation with precipita-
tion, wind speed, and wind direction, failed to indicate any of the ef-
fects expected if the road were actually a source.   The lack of such ef-
fects is not conclusive evidence that the road is not the major cause of
the increased values noted but rather that further data and consideration
is needed.  This is being pursued for the final report for this project.
                                49

-------
REFERENCES
    1.  Cowherd, C. C., et al.   Emissions  Inventory  of Agricultural Tilling
        Unpaved Roads and Airstrips ,  and Construction Sites.  Prepared for
        the U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Office of Air and Waste
        Management, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards.
        November, 1974.

    2.  Roberts, John W.  The Measurement, Cost  and  Control of Air Pollu-
        tion from Unpaved Roads and Parking Lots in  Seattle's Duwamish
        Valley.  A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the re-
        quirements for the degree of Master of Science in Engineering,
        University of Washington.  1973.

    3.  Air Quality Profile for King County Primary  Abatement Area.  Air
        Surveillance Section, EPA, Region X, Seattle, Washington.  April,
        1975.

    4.  Martin, W. and A. C. Stern.  The World's Air Quality Management
        Standards.  Volume II:   The Air Quality  Management Standards of
        the United States.  U.S. EPA, October 1974.  EPA-650/9-75-001-b.

    5.  A Plan for the Implementation, Maintenance and Enforcement of
        National Ambient Air Quality Standards in the State of Washington,
        prepared for the Environmental Protection Agency by the Washington
        State Department of Ecology.   January 1972.
                                  50

-------
                              SECTION III
                              CONCLUSIONS

Both the primary and secondary standards for total suspended particulate
are exceeded in the Duwamish-Harbor Island area of Seattle,  and did not
meet the 1975 attainment date as required by the State Implementation
Plan.  The portion exceeding the primary standards extends from the south
end of Boeing Field to the northern portion of Harbor Island.   The area
exceeding the secondary standards extends farther south than Boeing Field,
and on the north includes the Seattle Central Business District.   This is
a relatively localized problem in terms of King County as a  whole, re-
sulting from the high density of large sources in an adverse topographical
setting.

According to the analyses in the EPA King County study  which assumed a
       3
25 ug/m  influence from particulate from outside the area, the following
estimated emission reductions would be necessary for standard attainment
in the vicinity of the following stations.

                                    Primary     Secondary
              Duwamish             35 percent   54 percent
              Harbor Island         4 percent   33 percent
              Municipal Building       —         8 percent

Also according to this study, the Compliance Data System (CDS) projects
that by 1977 these necessary reductions will not be achieved.   By that
date, an additional point source emission reduction of only  24 percent
is anticipated in the Duwamish area.  The analysis of the regulations
                                 51

-------
given in Section II of this report tends to indicate that there is still
potential for reducing emissions through more stringent regulations,
especially process weight rate, without becoming unreasonable.   Tighten-
ing of the process weight regulation to the studywicle average stringency
would result in as much as 40 percent less emissions from major sources.

Meteorology has been a complicating element in any planning for attainment
strategies.  The season pattern in precipitation is such that the controls
are primarily needed to keep down the elevated levels in the dry summer-
fall season as opposed to the winter when additional emissions  from space
heating would be expected to raise the TSP levels.  Because of  this sea-
sonal variation, the most appropriate, cost-effective strategies may not
be those relating to traditional control of industrial point sources.
Rather, it may be more reasonable to put emphasis on the control of fugi-
tive dust emissions during the several months of the year that  the problem
is prominent.  Further study in this area is obviously warranted.

Precipitation may also have been a confusing factor in the review of
progress to date.  Between 1969 and 1972, precipitation would have im-
pacted on the TSP levels to the extent that a downward trend was estab-
lished.  Since 1972, however, the precipitation has decreased and TSP
levels have risen — an unexpected occurrence given decreasing emissions.
(The TSP trend plot given in this report is considered more pertinent
than the one in the PSAPCA Air Quality Data Summary because a consistent
set of monitors was used for establishing an average.)

With respect to these problems in the study of the area, the PSAPCA ap-
pears to have recognized them and is currently attempting to determine
the relative contributions of fugitive dust and industrial emissions
to the high particulate levels observed along the Duwamish Valley.
The agency has devoted more than the normal amount of effort and resources
in the monitoring and modeling of the area.  In addition, the enforcement
division has an active, well-structured program.  As in most areas of the
                                52

-------
county, further work is needed in tracking emissions from different
facilities on a year-by-year and even a seasonal basis.   The work underway
at the PSAPCA directed at the computerization of the emission inventory
for cross-referencing between years should be most helpful in this regard.
The apparent lack of data on the spatial distribution of area sources
needs to be resolved.  Studies undertaken by Roberts, Boeing, and others
have helped to provide much of the understanding of the  problem area.
                                 53

-------
                                                                                   en
                                                                                   to
                                                                                   en
                                                                                                      cfl
                                                                                                      Q)
                                                                                                     CO
                                                                                     CE
                                                                                     <
                                                                                     UJ
                                                                                   10
                                                                                   0)
                                                                                         c
                                                                                        •H
                                                                                         cd
                                                                                                     r-l
                                                                                                      !-l
                                                                                                      Cti
                                                                                                      0)
                                                                                  IT)
                                                                                         a)
                                                                                         )-i

                                                                                         M
                                                                                        •H
                                                                                  m
o
CO
       in
o
m
                   in
m
ro
o
ro
m
(M
O     m    o
CJ     —    —
                                                                         in
                                                     56

-------
  10


   9
*  8
o>
u
.5  7
Ul
o  4

(E
UJ  ,
>  3
   2


    I


   0
                                                NORMAL,-/'^
         JFMAMJJAS    ONO

                                 MONTH
              Figure A-2.  Monthly rainfall in Seattle
                               57

-------
   26



   24




   22
0  18
u.
O

cr  16
ui
CD

i  14
   12




   10




    8




    6



    4



    2




    0
                                                           ^NORMAL
_j	i	i
                   j	i
                                  i	i
          J    F    M   A    M
                        J    J    A    S

                         YEAR
0    N   D
        Figure A-3.  Monthly number of days of rain in Seattle
                                58

-------
   20



   18
o.



o- l4
UJ
UJ
o

I  10


Ul
o   8

oc
tu
    4



    2



    0
                    M
M    J    J


  MONTH
                                                          N
             Figure A-6.  Monthly wind speed  in  Seattle
                                61

-------
                               APPENDIX B
                       PARTICLE CHARACTERIZATION

For most of the study cities members of the GCA study team acquired
hi-vol filters from the 1974 filter banks of the cognizant local agen-
cies.  In addition, several filter samples for 1974 and selected earlier
years were obtained from state and federal filter banks.  Although some
filters underwent chemical and/or detailed physical analysis, the prin-
cipal purpose of obtaining filters was to utilize optical microscopy to
identify each of the constituents that comprised more than five percent
of the particulate mass.  The selected filters, which were representative
of several different site types and TSP levels within each study area,
were returned to a clean room at GCA/Technology Division and carefully
inspected for artifacts and evidence of sampler or filter malfunctions.

Each filter was then assigned a randomly generated five digit number
which served as the only identifier for the filter sample so that each
analyst had no information concerning the city, site, TSP loading or
probable local sources associated with the sample.  Furthermore, the use
of two laboratories for the microscopy, coupled with the randomly gen-
erated identifying numbers, permitted a fairly comprehensive quality
control program in the form of blind replicate analyses.  Since both
laboratories utilized more than one analyst, these procedures resulted
in as many as four microscopists observing samples from the same filter
and, in some cases, the same analyst examining replicate samples from
the same filter as many as three times.
                                 62

-------
The resuls of this quality control effort, which are presented in Vol-
umes I and II, warn against relying very heavily on the results of any
one filter analysis.  However, the random match-up between analyst and
filter sample should minimize systematic bias in composited results,

Twenty-three filters from six sites were selected for analysis in Seattle
and the meteorological data from the Seattle-Tacoma Airport for the
selected sampling days are summarized in Table B-l.  To gain some insight
into the contribution of secondary particulates, much of which is too
small to be observed by the microscopists, the annual average sulfate
and nitrate concentrations for the NASN site are shown in Table B-2.
The results for each of the filters submitted for routine analysis are
presented in Table B-30  The results for the filters at each site have
been averaged to give a composite of the particulate composition as
shown in Table B-4.  Six filters underwent replicate analyses, and the
results are presented in Table B-5o

The composite particulate characterization for all filters from Seattle
that underwent routine analysis, presented in Table B-6, shows that
minerals predominat but not to as great a degree as observed in many
study cities.  Only three cities had lower average percent minerals than
Seattle.  Quartz was the major mineral constituent observed (over half
of the mineral content) followed by lesser but nearly equal amounts of
feldspars and calcite0  The DOE site, which recorded the highest TSP
levels in 1974, showed somewhat larger than average amounts of minerals
presumably because of its proximity to the highway.

The site with the lowest average percent minerals was the Public Safety
Building (K-l) which seems to be consistent with the high sampler
location (80 feet above ground).  Oddly, this site also recorded the
highest levels of rubber, an observation apparently inconsistent with
the sampler location.
                                  63

-------
Table  B-l.   METEOROLOGICAL DATA ON SELECTED SAMPLING DAYS
             (SEATTLE-TACOMA AIRPORT)
Pre

Day
Date ob
6/10/74 C

6/28/74 C

cipitation,
in. Wind speed, mph
of Preced-
s. ing day Average
; 0 8.1

t 5.6

7/22/74 00 8.9


9/14/74 C


9/26/74 t


!
0 3.5

i
0 8.5

10/08/74 0 0 4.6



Resultant
6.6

3.2

8.2


2.3


2.9

4.6





Wind direction, deg


3-hour
20,
360,
120,
210,
200,
220,

C,
270,

180,
160,
20,
290,
10,
310,
160,
240,
160,
230,

C,
290,

130,
320,
10,
290,

obs.
350,
350,
200,
C,
190,
230,

300,
C,

170,
340,
330,
30,


250
20
250
330
220
240

260
30

220
100
10
C
Resul-
tant
360

220

210


300


170

350

Note:  C = Calm
      t = Trace
 Table  B-2.   ANNUAL AVERAGE CONCENTRATION  OF SULFATE AND
              NITRATE  IONS AT THE SEATTLE,  WASHINGTON
              NASN SITE  NO. 491840001  (yg/m3)


Year
1972
1973
1974
Sulfate
Arithmetic
mean
6.27
6.69
8.40d
Geometric
mean
6.02
6.53
8.19a
Nitrate
Arithmetic
mean
1.56
2.36
2.153
Geometric
mean
1.22
2.09
1.943
      Indicates insufficient data for statistically valid year.
                           64

-------
 I—I CT\
 U   I
 H*


 n o
 w
 nJ  >-i
 H  <;
 W  i—I
 co  <;
     !s

 M  CJ
     od
 CO  <
 w  S
 H
 M   •
 CO  W

 O  O
 W  r~^
 H  r^

 W
 r-4  0
 W  2
 CO  <
 O   I
CO    •
w  o
on  2:
^   ,
^   !
S
  -r^
                              <  0)
                              tt)  A-J  4J
                              3  -H  "
                             cr AJ  QJ
                              C  >, JT

                              3i! S
                             O"  J-i  m m t-i
                                              i   i  i  i
                                            crot^xXO
                                                                                              3rt
                                                                                             «;£

                                                                                                                                           o t.
                                                                                                                                           C^
                                                                          65

-------
 c
 2
                    t     -


              _~"AJ_~.L	
                        10 O O
                  -  -j- -
CO
K
M
b
W

2
CO
o
p^

CO /-v
w o
CO ^C
hJ  p
j	I  (^
PH  <;

Pn  CO
O  M

CO  Pi
H  O
m
 I
m
               OJ 0)
               N ex  S
               - C  —
                        o o o o
                        COOO
                                                        •
                                                       r-*O
                        0 O O O




N w n.
u u ^>
flj r-l —<
J rt W
Cx 0 u.





•- -• u
3fti to -n
•J 30
11 ^i -C t-<
X X B 0-
tS
o



r-4 >- Z)
O rH C

*O V
So,
« 
-------
 O
 P
 fs
 w
 _3
 H
 CO
 w
 H
 i—I
 CO

 Q
 W
 Pi
 O
 CO in
 W  I
 CO fc^
 <  o
W  >H
H  W
nJ  hJ
O  K
    CO
CO  M
CO  JD
W  Q
 U
ro
 I
pq
JD
 aj
H
^
> X
O" *-J   •-* -
< w
O 0)
[-j ac E
r* C -
t/1 P)
i - 0)
C X ,C
t3 iJ 4-)
3 -H C
* O
00 N £
*i w
1J O
N 00 0
•H C T.
< - n
C >. j±
rt ij 4j
cx *j a)
4-J
onents
e
o
u
CM  3
C « M QZ
                                                         67

-------
H
M
VTCIN
n
23
rJ
H
CO * 0
1-1 rH
OS O
37
H- (
to co
Pn u
O OS
M
CO U
H
CO O
W ft,

1
0)
rH
H
1
O
arion —
to
O
c/1




O
o
2
I
Circus
o
o




(U
to
-J
r-.
It
C
CO

0)
o
o
0
00

cy


3
CN

. _C
3 -r* C
00 N- E
N M S
H C --
en ta
C >. JC
O* >-> cl)
4-J
• 01
60 N £
> -H ,1
tj a)
rH C ^.
O* J-1 flJ
4J
<: w
0) 0
hJ trO G
•-" C n
c/5 tn
O1 *J 
-------
c
o
« ~?
w

O 0
o ss
CO
t-l
•rt 1
s •
sr
W |
0 X
r-.  in

m

si
a
•o

cd o
»-« sO
H4 i
t- •
O O
u
X
X i


u-J •
« o
0 |
f-H
J* 00

d. ,-)






4.1







f_t






CO








^J








sO








sO








en



en

QJ


•r-i
U-l

"4-1
O

_o

£7 £
-H 0)
C »j

3 O-
CX

X 4J
4J U
C Jj
3 -JC'J <^ i-4iJ fH *JiJ4J*J— ' '»-' '

cO'-iincoo 
iiiiii i 11111 i ii i 11111 i
«-* CM m O U O OO OOOOOO O OO r-« MOOOO j-t



x-x <-S *^ •"• »
i« co ^ V CM ^v VV L»VV

«
^Oin*iOcM en moo O uvw^jo in
^.mJ^,^^  u r*.
T i i i i i i i i(i i i iii i iiiii i
r-i^MCOr-i^HOO r- mOO O O OOO t-> OOCOO O
cn *"* *"* ^,

^ ^ y-N X-N
m c" •-* V*-* ^ VV-^VV v^VV-Lj
x_^ 'k^' X—' ^ V_^

sCrncMO cMm r- ujji-i o
in CM t— 1 CM \£> ^-( SO CM t— I CO CM 4JCM4-J4J -, a) ti -o u o-^ccn jr _^J «



ccyuLu^xuo EO-W o H WCQS: o^p4toaIws:H-i «
HO -H
X U CQ Si


V




o
CM CM
1 1
O r-t
V

^4 O



2
^







u m
*J —4

O CM



V

CM m
.-I ^-( CM
1 1 t
U O 0
•*"*


V V


o


CO


£


m
•-I D)
(U oj


U)
a)

C L, n)
dl U L,
C J2 -H 0)
O J3 ^ JT
^J P rH i-J
M Q£ tO O

PQ
 tfl
H
                                             69

-------
CO
ffj
w
H
w
hJ
H
W
CO
CO
w
CO
w
H
O
PH
W
CO
H
CO
w
OS
LT)
 I
P3
 tfl
H
p
5 o
O X
r-. rt
1
«3 0
,-H \O
DO 1
M id

o o
.0 K

5

0
CO
S£
CO
13


2


o
2:

1
00
"O
X
a)
WJ
M
r-(
3
P-i





(1)






i
0
fN
g

,_
J=>

•tJ

O
00
 ^^CNV. 00
r-)i-HCM CMCM 4J-U St -st
^_/ ^^ x—* -—*
rH
^ « Cjr°x.Or;cj c]p)£ow
= (Urt^ 0 " iw «2«:Ja't4'rt'« rC-p.'?CVJ


^ ra v-u^rtcoo c/it) 4j-to*o|^'-|-|'-^"~c u)a«-'i-'av4U'^i*-i*-' f~< c^i
V1 o ^< tg fl) o) -r-< 4-1 JH1-.O i — i c dDtq T-H cj o ex. PS *J '^ CJ os-jp

£ o « - S
                                                          70

-------
Table B-6.   CITYWIDE COMPOSITE SUMMARY OF
            FILTER ANALYSES IN SEATTLE
No. of filters
Components
Minerals
Quartz
Calcite
Feldspars
Hematite
Mica
Other
Combustion
Products
Soot:
Oil
Coal
Misc. soot
Glassy
. fly ash
Incinerator
fly ash
Burned wood
Burned paper
Magnetite
Carbon black
Other
Biological
Material
Pollen
Spores
Paper
Starch
Misc. plant
tissue
Leaf
trichomer
Miscellaneous
Iron or steel
Rubber
Other
23
Quantity,
percent
Average
(60)
35
9
10
5
<1
1
(27)


10
6
1
<1

9

<1
<1
1


( 3)

1
<1
1
<1
<1

1

(10)
<1
10
<1
Range
30-96
7-65
1-20
0-28
1-15

0-4
1-62


0-25
0-22
0-16


0-45



0-6


tr-24

0-20
0-2
0-3
0-2
0-2

0-18

<1-40
0-2
0-40
0-15
                   71

-------
 EPA 450/3-76-026h
 n 1 L< ,.M,} Sl'L- , I ' I.
                                                         I! KLCir.lNI ', ACCLGSIUN-iVO
 National Assessment of the drbar, ''articulate Problem;  I  June  .976
 Volume  X -  Seattle
  Gordon  L.  Deane, Frank Record, Project Director
 GCA Technology Division
 Burl ing ton  Road
 Bedford,  MA  01730

1? SPONLOHIMC, Ai ' Tj C i' '. /  \ '_ M N I ) A ' u-' ."
 U. S.  Environmental  Pro+ertion Agency
 Office of Air Qual'ty Planning and Standards
 Research  Triangle  Park, fiorth Carolina
                                                         !   GCA-TR-76-25-G(10)
                                                         liO I'I it il 11'AM I I I Ml ri I Nil


                                                         i I ! COMYllAC I -GUAM f f\f)

                                                            68-02-1375
15 supi'UMiNTAFWNo..:,  Volii!i,c I, "iatioMal Assessment  -  EPA 450/3-76-024; Volume 11,
  Particle Characterizecion - EPA 450/3-76-025;  Volumes  III-XVI, Urban Area Reports
  EPA  450/3-76-0266 1 hru 026n.
16 ABSTRACT
  This  document is one volu.iie of a s ixtcon-vo'i un.o  report presenting an overall
  assessment of the particulate problem, which  was  conducted by GCA/Technoloyy
  Division for L'PA.

  This  particular document is one of  fourteen  single-area volumes that provide
  working summaries jf data a r: tiered  in  the  foui'teen  urban areas studied.  These
  city  reports primarily provide documentation  and  background information for
  Volume I of the study - [,'ation-il Assessment  of the  Participate Problem - Filial
  Report.  Volume I should be considered  the primary  output of the report.
17
  Particulate Matter
  Total Suspended Particulate
  Emission Sources
  Control Metnods
  Air Quality Measurements
13 o i s r P i rf OT i o \
               U.VI..-M  Re]ease  Unlimited.
  Available for a  fee, Thru  the  National
  Technical Information Service,  52f;5  Port
  Royal Road. Springfield, VA   22151	
I Optical Kicroscopy
j Secondary  Particulates
j Fuel Coribustion
j Process Emissions
| Fugi tive Emissions
I Fugitive Dust
j Moni tor Si t ing
I Mnteoro.ogy	
' 19 L.L CURI I y CLA /;
 Unclassified
 ?0 bt CURIT V CLA',r,
 Unclassified
                                                                             OI I' A i i I S

                                                                               89 __
                                                                            CL ~
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-7:,
                                            72

-------