EPA-450/2-74-016
AN  OVERVIEW OF ACTIVITIES

      DIRECTED  TOWARD

  LONG-TERM MAINTENANCE
OF  AIR QUALITY STANDARDS

                  by
        John J. Silvasi and Joseph J. Sableski
      U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
         Office of Air and Waste Management
      Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
      Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

               November 1974

-------
This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report
technical data of interest to a limited number of readers.  Copies are
available free of charge to  Federal employees,  current contractors and
grantees, and nonprofit organizations - as supplies permit - from the Air
Pollution Technical Information Center, Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711; or, for a fee, from the
National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal  Road,  Springfield,
Virginia  22161.
                                     11

-------
                            TABLE OF CONTENTS
BACKGROUND INFORMATION 	     1

LEGAL REQUIREMENTS 	     4
   Long-Term Air Quality Maintenance 	     4
   Review of Indirect Sources  	     5

EPA GUIDANCE AND ASSISTANCE  	     6
   AQMA Designation  	     7
   AQMA Analysis	     8
   10-year Plan Development  	     9
   Review of Indirect Sources  	    10
   Other Relevant Guidelines 	    10
      Air Quality Monitoring Guidelines  	    10
      New Source Evaluation Guidelines 	    10
   Contractual  Assistance  	    11
      Example Analyses and Plans  	    11
      Direct Technical Assistance  	    11
   Timetable	    12

CONSEQUENCES OF AIR QUALITY MAINTENANCE PROGRAM  	    12
   Control Measures which May be  Employed  	    15
      Methods to Control  Emissions  	    17
      Methods to Control  Activities which Produce Emissions   .  .    19
   Scheduling of Implementation  	    20
   Intergovernmental  Coordination  	    20
      Air Quality and Other Functional Relationships  	    20
      Government Agencies  	    23
      Coordination 	    24
   Public Participation  	    26
   Participation from Special Interest Groups   	    26
                                    in

-------
                   AN OVERVIEW OF ACTIVITIES DIRECTED
                     TOWARD LONG-TERM MAINTENANCE OF
                         AIR QUALITY STANDARDS

                         BACKGROUND INFORMATION

     Pursuant to the Clean Air Act, States were required to submit to
the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in January 1972 implementa-
tion plans to attain and maintain national ambient air quality standards.
For EPA approval, the plans had to contain, among other provisions, a
demonstration that (1) the primary standards would be attained by June
1975, unless an extension of up to 2 years was granted, (2) the secondary
standards would be attained within an unspecified "reasonable time," and
(3) the standards would be maintained if they were already presently
being achieved or after they were attained.  EPA's specific requirements
for the plan form and content appeared in the Federal Register of Novem-
ber 25, 1971, as 40 CFR Part 51.   The regulations required that the con-
trol strategy for those areas whose air quality concentrations exceeded
the standards provide for sufficient emission reduction for maintenance
of standards "...including the degree of emission reduction necessary
to offset emission increases that can reasonably be expected to result
from projected growth of population, industrial activity, motor vehicle
traffic, or other factors that may cause or contribute to increased
emissions." £40 CFR 51.12(a)J.  For areas whose air quality concentra-
tions were already below a secondary air quality standard, the plan's
control strategy had to be "...adequate to prevent such ambient pollu-
tion levels from exceeding such secondary standard." [40 CFR 51.12(b)].
                                   1

-------
     EPA published initial approvals and disapprovals of State imple-
mentation plans (SIPs) in the Federal Register of May 31, 1972, as
40 CFR Part 52.  In the preamble to the notice, EPA stated that main-
tenance of air quality standards would be accomplished through new
and modified stationary source review procedures, new source perfor-
mance standards, and the Federal Motor Vehicle Emission Control Pro-
gram; also, at any time that EPA finds that a plan is inadequate to
maintain standards, EPA would call for a plan revision.
     On January 31, 1973, the U. S. Court of Appeals for the District
of Columbia Circuit decided the case of Natural Resources Defense
Council, Inc.  (NRDC), et al. v. Environmental Protection Agency.  The
Court's order  required EPA to review the air quality maintenance pro-
visions of all SIPs and to disapprove plans "...which do not provide
for measures necessary to insure the maintenance of the primary stand-
ard after May  31, 1975, and those plans which do not analyze the
problem of maintenance of standards on a manner consistent with appli-
cable regulations...."  As a result, EPA again reviewed the SIPs.
Most plans had adequately provided for review of new and modified
stationary sources; for those plans which did not have such provisions,
EPA either had promulgated, or would promulgate, such provisions.
However, most  plans had considered growth only over the period from
plan development to the date of projected attainment of the primary
standards (1975 or 1977).  A few SIPs considered growth for a longer
time period, but none considered growth beyond approximately 1980.
Those few that did consider growth beyond the date of attainment did
not consider all pollutants or all areas of the State, nor did they
provide a mechanism for periodically updating the analysis.  Furthermore,
                                   2

-------
none of the SIPs adequately provided for review of facilities which,
though they themselves did not emit pollutants, caused activity (mobile
source traffic, increases in electric power generation, and others)
which resulted in emissions; these facilities were termed "complex" or
"indirect" sources.  Consequently, on March 8, 1973, EPA disapproved
all SIPs for lacking adequate provisions to maintain air quality
standards.
     On April 18, 1973, EPA proposed a regulation requiring SIPs to
provide for review prior to construction of indirect sources.  This
proposal was directed primarily at preventing high carbon monoxide
concentrations in the vicinity of indirect sources.  Such a review
procedure would not be useful for control of broad area problems asso-
ciated with photochemical oxidants nor carbon monoxide.  Furthermore,
the reviews could not be applied to every facility to be constructed
since, in addition to working an administrative hardship, such review
is questionable, since techniques for evaluating the air quality impact
of individual small facilities lack precision.  Thus a size cutoff
would have to be selected below which new facilities would be exempt
from review.  The possibility would still remain, however, that growth
of facilities smaller than the cutoff could collectively contribute to
future violations of ambient air quality standards.  As a result of
these considerations, EPA promulgated on June 18, 1973, a regulation
requiring that SIPs contain provisions, not only for indirect source
review, but also for 10-year plans to ensure maintenance of all air
quality standards where necessary.  The following section elaborates
on these requirements.

-------
                        LEGAL REQUIREMENTS





LONG-TERM AIR QUALITY MAINTENANCE



     Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.12(e)  through  (h),  published  in  the  Federal



Register  of June 18, 1973,  and subsequently revised  on  May 8,  1974,



(39 FR 16343), all  SIPs are  required to  "...identify  those  areas  (counties,



urbanized areas, standard metropolitan  statistical  areas, et cetera)  which,



due to current air quality and/or  projected growth  rate, may have the po-



tential for exceeding any national  standard within  the subsequent 10-year



period."  The State must identify  these  air quality maintenance areas (AQMAs)



to EPA by May 10, 1974.  EPA will  then  review the designations  and,  after



making necessary additions or deletions,  will  publish a  list of the  areas



by November 1974.  The States must then  perform a thorough  analysis  of the



air quality impact of growth and development within the  areas.   If the



analysis shows that an area  will  not maintain a standard during the  10-



year period, the State must develop a plan  for that area to maintain the



standard, together with a demonstration  of  the effectiveness of the  plan.



The State must then submit to EPA  the analysis of the area  and, when neces-



sary, the 10-year air quality maintenance plan (AQMP) by June 18, 1975.



Then, every 5 years, the States must repeat the entire procedure:  identify



new areas which have the potential  for violation of standards within 10



years or "dedesignate" areas identified  before, analyze  the areas to deter-



mine whether a violation will occur, and develop a  plan  if  necessary to



prevent such a violation.



     For areas which are not covered by an  air quality maintenance plan



pursuant to 40 CFR 51.12(g), the measures taken to  ensure maintenance

-------
of air quality standards include review of new and modified direct and



indirect sources, and modification or prevention of such facilities if they



will result in a violation of air quality standards.   If EPA becomes aware



that such an area is experiencing a growth in emissions greater than that



anticipated and which presents the potential  for a violation of standards



within 10 years, EPA would identify the area  as a potential  problem area



pursuant to 40 CFR 51.12(f) and require of the State  an analysis and 10-



year maintenance plan if necessary.  Furthermore, if  such an area actually



violates a standard, EPA would require an immediate plan revision to correct



such a problem.



REVIEW OF INDIRECT SOURCES



     Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.18, which was revised in the Federal  Register of



June 18, 1973, all SIPs must provide for the  pre-construction review of



new and modified sources, both direct and indirect.  As originally promul-



gated, this regulation required the review of only new and modified sta-



tionary sources.  As a result of the NRDC suit cited  above,  § 51.18 was re-



vised to include review of new and modified indirect  sources.  Under the



regulation, the State must determine whether  the source would result in a



violation of either the SIP control strategies or an  ambient air quality



standard.  If such a violation would occur, the State cannot permit the



facility to be constructed in the configuration or at the location proposed.



     In amendments to the court order resulting from  the NRDC suit, the



court imposed the following timetable on EPA  with regard to  submitttl  of SIP



supplements providing for maintenance of standards:



     August 15, 1973             State submission of  regulations

-------
     October 15, 1973            EPA approval  or disapproval  of State
                                 submittals
     December 15, 1973           EPA proposal  and promulgation of regula-
                                 tions for States with inadequate regula-
                                 tions.
     EPA interpreted the court's order that the regulations which the States
were to submit by August 15, 1973, were  the indirect source regulations;
two submittals were totally approved and one partially approved.  Subsequent-
ly, the court granted EPA two extensions of the December 15,  1973, deadline,
and EPA promulgated final substitute indirect source review regulations on
February 25, 1974, for all States and territories except Florida and Guam
(because Alabama's plan lacked provision for public comment,  EPA promulgated
those provisions for Alabama).  Since the date of promulgation, several
States have submitted plans which are being reviewed for adequacy.  States
can submit their own regulations at any  time;  if EPA determines that they
are adequate, EPA will approve them and  rescind its own promulgation.
                           EPA GUIDANCE  AND ASSISTANCE

     To assist the States in complying with the regulations pertaining to
air quality maintenance, EPA intends to  issue guidelines for acceptable
techniques of analysis and to provide technical assistance to States.  The
following are the titles of guidelines which EPA will issue:
     Volume 1:  Designation of Air Quality Maintenance Areas
     Volume 2:  Plan Preparation
     Volume 3:  Control Strategies
     Volume 4:  Land Use and Transportation Considerations
     Volume 5:  Case Studies in Plan Development
     Volume 6:  Overview of Air Quality Maintenance Area Analysis
     Volume 7:  Projecting County Emissions
     Volume 8:  Computer-Assisted Area Source Emissions Gridding Procedure
     Volume 9:  Evaluating Indirect Sources

-------
     Volume 10:  Reviewing New Stationary Sources
     Volume 11:  Air Quality Monitoring and Data Analysis
     Volume 12:  Applying Atmospheric Simulation Models to Air
                  Quality Maintenance Areas

Other volumes will be added as necessary; for example, work is progressing

on developing a volume which will describe a methodology for projecting and

allocating emissions on a sub-county basis.

     A discussion of the guidelines by subject matter follows.

AQMA DESIGNATION

     EPA issued these guidelines on January 11, 1974, as OAQPS Guidelines

Document No. 1.2-016 entitled, Guidelines for Designation of Air Quality

Maintenance Areas.  These guidelines present techniques which the States can

use to determine which areas should be designated as AQMAs.  The document in-

dicates that, as a minimum, the States must consider the Standard Metropoli-

tan Statistical Areas (SMSAs).  The reasons for choosing SMSAs are:

     1.   SMSAs  historically exhibit higher growth rates of population than

         non-SMSA areas.

     2.   SMSAs  exhibit higher concentrations of population and industry than

         non-SMSA areas.

     3.   Projections of population  and economic activity are available on

         an SMSA basis.

     4.   Areas  of SMSAs change with time  as population density increases,

         facilitating future changes in the designation of AQMAs.

     5.   SMSAs  account for roughly  70 percent of the nation's  population but

         only about 10 percent of the total  land area.

     The guidelines document offers a set of "initial  designation  criteria"

by which the States can identify fairly obvious problem areas  and  eliminate

from consideration fairly obvious non-problem areas  without performing any

-------
detailed calculations.  Those areas which are not in either category must
then undergo a preliminary projection of emissions and air quality to the
year 1985.  The guidelines present techniques for performing these rough
projections.  If an air quality standard is projected to be violated by
1985, then the area must be designated as an AQMA for that pollutant.  In-
cluded with the guidelines to the States were projections of population and
economic activity for each SMSA.  The guidelines also address the geogra-
phical areas to be considered, assumptions which must be made concerning
emission and air quality baselines, procedural requirements, and other items.
AQMA ANALYSIS
     As required under 40 CFR 51.12(g)(l), States must perform an analysis
of the growth in emissions and their impact on air quality of the designated
AQMAs for the following 10-year period (1975-1985).  If the analysis indi-
cates that an area will not be able to maintain standards over that time
period, the State must develop a plan to ensure that the standards will be
maintained.  EPA will issue a guidelines document to provide the States with
techniques to perform the AQMA analysis.  The following techniques will be-
included in the document:
     1.  Projection of emissions to 1985, considering
         a.  Present emissions by source category and, if possible, by
             location,
         b.  Expected growth of each source category based on past and
             probable future trends,
         c.  Present and probable future emission restrictions on new and
             existing sources.

-------
     2.  Allocation of the 1985 projected emissions to the area in both a



         most probable manner and a manner which would be indicative of the



         least desirable air quality, given the current zoning (to be sure



         that air quality concentrations are not underestimated).



     3.  Estimation of 1985 air quality concentrations from the projected



         emission distributions through the use of atmospheric dispersion



         models .



EPA has scheduled the issuance of these guidelines for August through



October 1974.



10-YEAR PLAN DEVELOPMENT



     By August 1974 EPA will issue guidelines to States on the preparation



and submittal of 10-year air quality maintenance plans.  These plans, which



the States must submit to EPA by June 1975, will pertain only to those AQMAs



which are determined by analysis to present a problem in maintaining stan-



dards.   The guidelines will cover four subject areas:



     1.  Mechanics of preparing and implementing the plan.  Topics will



         range from plan format to procedures for categorizing emission



         sources.



     2.  Evaluation of the air quality implications of local  land  use and



         transportation plans.



     3.  Maintenance strategies.  This portion will discuss such measures



         as emission allocation, transportation controls, and fuel and



         energy conservation methods, and will present procedures  to esti-



         mate quantitatively their impact on air quality.



     4.  Coordination of air quality maintenance plans with other  environ-



         mental planning activities.  These activities include water quality

-------
planning and the review of environmental  impact statements.
REVIEW OF INDIRECT SOURCES
     The guidelines will  contain methods  for estimating emissions  from
seven types of indirect sources:  shopping centers,  airports,  sports  com-
plexes, parking facilities, amusement parks, major highways,  and recrea-
tional areas.  The guidelines will  also present methods to relate  air
quality with certain traffic parameters such as traffic volume,  traffic
demand, roadway capacity and roadway type.
OTHER RELEVANT GUIDELINES
Air Quality Monitoring Guidelines
     To aid in the proper selection of air quality data for use  in project-
ing air quality and in the improvement of air quality monitoring networks,
EPA will issue guidelines in September 1974 which will discuss the follow-
ing topics:
     1.  Validation of air quality data.
     2.  Interpretation of air quality data as it relates to the national
         ambient air quality standards.
     3.  Evaluation and selection of air  quality monitoring instruments for
         criteria pollutants.
     4.  Network design and instrument siting.
     5.  Calculation and evaluation of air quality trends.
     6.  Evaluation and interpretation of air quality data.
New Source Evaluation Guidelines
     These guidelines are being designed  for use in evaluating the indivi-
dual impact of new sources once their location and design characteristics
are known.  The methodology is expected to incorporate the effects on
                                      10

-------
pollutant dispersion of increased turbulence and roughness encountered in
urban areas as well as the impact of multiple sources.
CONTRACTUAL ASSISTANCE
     In addition to technical  consultation through the Regional  Offices,
EPA will offer two kinds of contractual  assistance to States concerning
the air quality maintenance program:  (1)  the performance of example
analyses and development of example plans for selected areas, and (2) direct
contractual aid.
Example Analyses and Plans
     Before the guidelines on  the development of 10-year plans are distri-
buted to the States in final  form, EPA will  develop trial  air quality main-
tenenace plans for selected areas to obtain  a working knowledge  of the
maintenance plan development process.   This  work will be done under con-
tract.   The purposes of this  exercise are:
     1.  To discover deficiencies in the draft guidelines  so that they can
         be corrected before  the final guidelines are published.
     2.  To provide an example from which States can pattern the  format of
         their analyses and plans.
     3.  To provide through the process  of data collection,  indications of
         the sources of information which could be consulted.
     4.  To provide the selected areas with  a start in collecting data,
         performing the analyses, and developing plans.
Direct Technical Assistance
     During all  three phases  of the long-term air quality  maintenance pro-
gram (AQMA designation, AQMA  analysis, 10-year air quality maintenance
plan development), EPA will provide assistance to States which need it.

                                      11

-------
During the analysis and plan development  phases,  such  assistance  could  include:



     1.  Consultation on the methods  of analysis  and plan  preparation.



     2,  Assistance in updating and formulating  the State's  emission  inven-



         tory.



     3.  Assistance in collecting  and assembling  pertinent demographic,



         economic,  and developmental  projections  and other information



         needed to  project emissions  and  air  quality.



     4.  Assistance in projecting  emissions and  air quality.



     5.  Assistance in analyzing various  air  quality maintenance  strategies



         for their  effect on air quality  in the  State.



     6.  Assistance in preparing 10-year  air  quality maintenance  plans.   In



         rendering  this assistance, specialized  contractors  may be  employed.



TIMETABLE



     The overall  schedule of events relating  to  long-term  air  quality main-



tenance is presented in Figure 1.





         CONSEQUENCES OF AIR QUALITY  MAINTENANCE  PROGRAM





     Through the regulations published on June 18,  1973, EPA intends  to



enable State and local governments to integrate  air quality  considerations



into plans for growth and development so  that air quality  standards will



be maintained.   EPA has neither the intention, nor  the desire, nor  the



capability of assuming control over land  use  for  every area  of the  country.



Nor does EPA intend for air pollution control agencies to  effect  the  only



control over land use.  The maintenance of ambient  air quality standards



is EPA's primary objective in this matter. EPA's mandate  for  maintenance



of standards is also> however, a mandate  to employ, where  necessary,





                                      12

-------
                                   FIGURE 1

                     ACTIVITY SCHEDULE FOR MAINTENANCE OF

                             AIR QUALITY STANDARDS


              JAN.     EPA ISSUES GUIDELINES  FOR DESIGNATING AQMAs

              MAY     STATES SUBMIT AREAS TO BE DESIGNATED AS AQMAs

         JUL./AUG.     EPA PROPOSES AQMA DESIGNATIONS
1974
             SEPT.     EPA ISSUES PLAN DEVELOPMENT GUIDELINES TO STATES
                       AND PROPOSES REGULATIONS ON SAME IN FEDERAL REGISTER;
                       EPA BRIEFS REGIONAL OFFICES ON GUIDELINES

              OCT.     EPA PUBLISHES FINAL LIST OF AQMAs

         NOV./DEC.     EPA PUBLISHES FINAL REGULATIONS ON PLAN DEVELOPMENT
                       IN FEDERAL REGISTER
              FEB.     STATES COMPLETE DRAFT OF AQMPs

            APRIL     STATES ANNOUNCE HEARINGS; MAKE DRAFT PLANS AVAILABLE

              MAY     STATES HOLD PUBLIC HEARINGS
                      STATES REVISE PLANS, AS NECESSARY, BASED ON PUBLIC
                       HEARINGS

             JUNE     STATES SUBMIT PLANS TO EPA
                      EPA STARTS PREPARING PLANS FOR STATES THAT DID NOT
                       SUBMIT PLANS OR SUBMITTED INADEQUATE PLANS
1975
             SEPT.     EPA PUBLISHES PROPOSED APPROVAL/DISAPPROVAL ACTION
                       ON AQMPs

              OCT.     EPA APPROVES/DISAPPROVES AQMPs; PROPOSES PLANS FOR
                       STATES THAT DID NOT SUBMIT ADEQUATE PLANS
                      EPA ANNOUNCES HEARINGS ON PLANS FOR STATES THAT DID
                       NOT SUBMIT PLANS OR SUBMITTED INADEQUATE PLANS

              NOV.     EPA HOLDS PUBLIC HEARINGS ON PLANS DEVELOPED FOR
                       STATES THAT DID NOT SUBMIT PLANS OR SUBMITTED
                       INADEQUATE PLANS

              DEC.     EPA PROMULGATES PLANS FOR STATES THAT DID NOT SUBMIT
                       PLANS OR SUBMITTED INADEQUATE PLANS
                                     13

-------
techniques which have not been traditionally used in air pollution control
endeavors.  As stated in Section 110 of the Clean Air Act,  these techniques
specifically include land-use and transportation controls.   Thus,  the main-
tenance of air quality is only another constraint on emissions  and their
distribution which, in turn,  constrain, but by no means  determine, land
use.  Since the primary responsibility for the development  of the  State
implementation plans rests with the States, and since the submittals  re-
quired .by 40 CFR 51.12 are to be a portion of the SIP, the  primary respon-
sibility for applying land-use and transportation controls  rests with the
States.  The States, of course, can delegate responsibility for the entire
plan, or portions thereof, to local agencies or governments, as long  as the
States retain ultimate responsibility should the local agencies or govern-
ments later be unwilling or unable to implement the plan.  For areas  where
a State does not adequately provide for the maintenance  of  air quality
standards, EPA must, under law, impose measures which would provide for
such maintenance.
     There are many techniques for maintaining standards.  In the guide-
lines on the development of 10-year air quality maintenance plans, there
are a number of possible alternatives.  For example, one possible adminis-
trative mechnism would be to  approve a general community development plan
which has been found to provide for maintenance of air quality standards,
and then to approve any specific development consistent with the general
plan (as regards air pollution) after also checking the localized air
quality impact of the proposed new development.  The mechanism, of course,
requires a review procedure which will burden the agency which administers
this mechanism, but this scheme permits any agency or organization, public
                                      14

-------
or private, to know in advance where development can occur  without causing
air pollution problems.
CONTROL MEASURES WHICH MAY BE EMPLOYED
     EPA's guidelines on the development of 10-year air quality maintenance
plans will discuss a number of control measures which States can employ in
their plans.
     Depending on the nature and magnitude of the problems in maintaining
standards, the analysis of an area and the plan to provide for maintenance
will  vary in complexity from location to location.  If the analysis shows
that one particular area may not violate the standards until, perhaps, 1983,
that area's plan may call for only minimal additional control measures until,
perhaps, 1981 or 1982.  On the other hand, another area may be more populous
and be experiencing more growth than the first area.  The analysis of such
an area may be more difficult to perform since the distribution of emissions
may be more complicated, and the application of the projection technique to
these emissions will further compound the difficulty.  Furthermore, this
area's plan may well have to contain a majority of the control measures men-
tioned below, and the area may have to start implementing some of those
measures immediately or in the very near future.
     The type of violation of air standards which is projected may demand
a particular approach to a solution.  For instance, if the projected vio-
lation is expected at a few "hot spots" caused by the projected expansion
of a few sources, then the strategy may concentrate on controlling the
emissions from or the expansion of those few sources.  The new source
review procedure is expected to prevent the construction or modification
of significant stationary emission sources in such "hot spots."  On the
                                      15

-------
other hand, if the projected air quality standard violation is not restricted
to limited locations, but prevails, throughout an area, then the strategy
would have to provide for either a general tightening of existing regulations,
or control of growth which induces new emissions, or both.
     Also, the type of pollutant may determine the type of strategy to be
employed.  For instance, there may be relatively few areas designated as
AQMAs for carbon monoxide  because significant reductions in carbon monoxide
emissions are expected through the Federal Motor Vehicle Emission Control
Program and new source performance standards for stationary sources.  The
areas that are designated for CO, however, may require additional transpor-
tation control strategies to eliminate traffic congestion which would lead
to local high CO concentrations,  With regard to particulate matter and
sulfur dioxide, the measures taken to maintain standards may entail further
control of emissions from area source fuel combustion or control over the
growth of such sources.  Such measures will be difficult to implement.
Photochemical oxidants have already presented a significant problem in the
development of attainment strategies for some areas.  Strategies to main-
tain the oxidant standard would have to provide further reductions in
mobile source emissions, at least until the Federal Motor Vehicle Emission
Control Program's effect on hydrocarbon reduction becomes more significant.
The oxidant strategy may also require additional control over stationary
hydrocarbon sources.  With regard to nitrogen dioxide, the few areas which
appear to present a problem will probably have to curtail stationary as
well as mobile source emissions to a greater extent.
     The guidelines document will discuss methods used to control emissions
and methods used to control activities which produce emissions.  These
                                      16

-------
methods are listed and briefly defined below:



Methods to Control Emissions



      1.  Emission density zoning, a regulatory system in which the maximum



          legal  rate of emissions of air pollutants from any given land area



          is related to the size of the area.   Such a system employs an



          emission limitation in terms of mass of emissions per unit area



          per unit of time.  The area of consideration can be the property



          of the source, a predetermined area  of a region, or a "floating



          radius" in which the source cannot exceed the emission density



          limit of the area within a certain distance from the source.



      2.  Emission allocations, a regulatory system in which the total



          tolerable emissions for an entire region are determined, and  the



          maximum allowable rate of emissions  of air pollutants from any



          given political  jurisdiction or other sub-area is assigned through



          a democratic process.  Suitable procedures are provided to ensure



          that allowable emissions are not exceeded for any sub-area.



      3.  Transportation controls, including measures discussed in the  pre-



          amble to State implementation plan transportation controls



          published in the Federal Register on November 6, 1973.  These



          measures are designed to increase the attraction of various forms



          of mass transit and to discourage the low-occupancy use of auto-



          mobiles.  Such measures include:   on-street and off-street parking



          reductions, regulatory parking fees  for mass transit augmentation,



          vehicle-free zones, bus and carpool  programs stressing preferential



          treatment (such as free parking), bikeways and heavy-duty vehicle



          restrictions.




                                       17

-------
4.  A procedure for ensuring that proposed new or modified  buildings,
    structures, facilities,  or installations,  including  municipal
    waste-water-treatment facilities,  will not lead to a development
    pattern in which air quality standards would  be exceeded.   Such a
    procedure would entail  a review of projected  development  induced by
    the facilities, the vehicle trips  induced  by  the construction  of
    such facilities, and the increase  in load  on  electrical generation
    and solid waste disposal facilities.
5.  Fuel and energy conservation measures.  These would  include measures
    such as revision of building codes to reduce  thermal  loss,  reduc-
    tion of heating and cooling requirements,  greater use of  multiple-
    family structures,  revised scheduling of industrial  activities,
    vehicle use restraints,  and fuel  consumption  restrictions on new
    vehicles.
6.  District heating, a more efficient heating method than  individual
    unit heating.  For instance, the waste heat from an  electric power
    generation station  (which can account for  60  percent of the heat
    in the fuel used) could be piped to industrial, commercial, and
    residential buildings for space heating or for process  heat.
7.  Regulatory and other types of strategies to guide the development
    of area, point, and line sources,  including regulations for zon-
    ing, subdivisions,  location of water treatment facilities,  capital
    improvement programming, open space reservations, and use of
    schemes such as green belts, satellite cities, and  finger develop-
    ments.
8.  More restrictive emission controls for both stationary  and  mobile
                                  18

-------
         sources and new source performance standards.
     9.   Application of emission charges,  which  would provide  an  incentive
         to control  emissions for the sake of economy.   Such a system could
         have a variable rate structure to inhibit sources  from locating  in
         areas at or slightly below the air quality standard concentrations.
    10.   Tighter control over construction activities,  including  grading  and
         burning, road dust,  erosion of soil  onto  roads,  truck terminal dust,
         etc.
    11.   Any other pertinent  strategies which are  found to  be  necessary  and
         applicable, including all  gas or  all electric  heating.
Methods  to Control Activities which Produce Emissions
     An  AQMA or localities within an AQMA  may have plans  for transportation,
land use, waste water treatment, solid waste disposal,  and  other  functions.
These plans would be analyzed for their impact on  air quality.  This
analysis may indicate that one or more plans will  not ensure the  maintenance
of ambient air quality standards.  These plans would have to be revised so
that air quality standards would not be violated.   Where  an area's  plans  are
compatible with air quality,  legal  mechanism would then be  employed to ensure
that any new development would occur in accordance with the plan.   This
approach would be an ideal one since, once the analysis of  air quality im-
pact indicates that a plan ensures the maintenance of air quality standards,
no further analysis of impact of individual facilities  is needed  if the
facilities are built in accordance with the plan (some  new  facilities would,
of course, still have to undergo stationary and  indirect  source review where
appropriate).  This approach, however, is  long-range and  would probably not
be available for immediate implementation.  Prior  to its  implementation,
                                      19

-------
short- and medium-range approaches,  such  as  those  mentioned  above, would  have



to be applied.



SCHEDULING OF IMPLEMENTATION



     EPA will accept several  forms  of  scheduling  the  implementation  of  control



measures.   The  following are examples  of  such  implementation scheduling:



     1.   Progressive phased action,  a  scheme by which the  State  institutes



         a number of measures but implements them  one or a few at a  time  as



         necessary.   Thus,  as air quality concentrations approach some  pre-



         determined  level  (below the standard,  of  course), the first measure



         or set of measures is implemented;  as  subsequent  growth in  emissions



         occurs and  concentrations once again  approach the predetermined



         level, the  next measure or set of measures is  implemented.   The



         process is  continued for as long as necessary.  This scheme assumes



         that the State has the legal  authority to implement the measures.



     2.   Future-effective-date laws, a scheme whereby the  State schedules



         for the future various control measures  and  the acquisition of the



         necessary legal authority to  implement them.



     3.   Area-by-area application,  whereby the  State  schedules control  measures



         for different areas of a single  AQMA at  different times if  the situa-



         tion warrants such scheduling.   For instance,  for two areas of an



         AQMA whose  emissions are growing at different rates, the State may



         institute a given  set of control  measures for the faster-growing



         area on an  earlier schedule than for  the  slower-growing area.



INTERGOVERNMENTAL COORDINATION



Air Quality and Other Functional Relationships



     As  discussed above, an approach which may  be  included in the air quality

-------
maintenance plan calls for the development of plans for transportation, land
use, waste water treatment, open space,..and solid waste disposal  which are
consistent with air quality standards.   This approach requires a  knowledge
of the relationships between air quality and these functions.   Examples of
such relationships are discussed below.
Air Quality and Transportation - A planned transportation system  which results
in additional  usage of individual mobile sources will increase emissions over
a situation where no such result occurs.   Conversely, a transportation system
which causes a decrease in the use of mobile sources will effect  a consequent
decrease in emissions.  Such relationships must be tempered by consideration
of several factors such as the effects  of speed and the Federal Motor Vehicle
Emission Control Program on emissions and the spatial arrangement of the
transportation system.  Section 109(j)  guidelines which implement section
136(b) of the  Federal  Aid Highway Act of 1970 require that the cognizant air
pollution control agency certify that the transportation plan  for each ur-
banized area of over 50,000 population  is consistent with the  State imple-
mentation plan for clean air.
Air Quality and Land Use - A land use plan for an area describes  a projected
or desired pattern of locations of various activities in the area.   The
manner in which the land is used has an impact on air quality. Population
density, for instance, affects emission density.  If an urban  area has a
low population density, it would not be economical to have an  extensive mass
transit system since the population would be dispersed.  Because  people
would have to  rely on automobiles for transportation, a greater amount of
emissions would probably result than for an area •/nth tne same population, oul
wnose population density and reliance on mass transit were greater. Also, tne
                                       21

-------
spatial distribution of open spaces  would affect air  quality  concentrations.
In the development of land use plans,  therefore, the  region would  have  to
consider alternative population densities, spatial  arrangements, and  other
factors which would minimize air quality impact.
Air Quality and Waste Water Treatment  -  Waste water treatment can  affect air
quality either directly or indirectly.   Incineration  of treatment  plant sludge
can result in direct emissions; construction or extension  of  treatment  facili-
ties can stimulate industrial, commercial, and residential  growth  which,  in
turn, may result in an increase of emissions from stationary  sources  themselves
or from increased mobile source use.  Section 208 of  the Federal Water  Pollu-
tion Control  Act Amendments of 1972 requires that areawide waste management
planning consider possible impacts of  facilities on air quality.
Air Quality and Open Space - Because of the roughness over urban areas  due  to
the concentration of buildings, wind speeds over urban areas  are generally
less than in the surrounding countryside and therefore are not as  efficient  in
the dispersion of air pollutants.  Another phenomenon aggravating  the air
quality problem is the "urban heat island" effect, in which the atmosphere
over the urban area is generally warmer than the surrounding  countryside  due
to the predominance of heat-retaining  buildings and streets.   This heat
island produces air currents which rise over the center of the city,  spread
outward, subside at the edge of the urban area, and flow along the ground to-
ward the center and then rise again.  Such an air circulation system entrains
pollutants within itself and inhibits  their transport away from the urban
area.  Both the urban roughness and the heat island effect can be  partially
alleviated by the use of lower concentrations of buildings and streets  and
more vegetation.  Open spaces, such as parks, can be of help in this matter.
                                       ?2

-------
Air Qualityand Solid Haste Disposal - New incinerators which are planned to
dispose of additional solid waste generated or to replace existing outmoded
facilities will have to meet stringent emission requirements so that they
will not violate ambient air quality standards or new source performance
standards.
Government Agencies
      Ten-year air quality maintenance plans will affect areas over which
State and local governmental agencies other than air pollution control  agen-
cies have jurisdiction.  To avoid any conflict over functions, the State
will have to develop its plan with the ongoing assistance and coordination
of these other agencies.  Indeed, these agencies will probably play impor-
tant roles in the development and implementation of the air quality mainte-
nance plan.  Specific governmental (and quasi-governmental) bodies which
will probably have an interest in maintenance plan development and imple-
mentation include:
      1.   State level
          a.  Environmental protection and natural resource agencies.
          b.  General planning agencies.
          c.  Economic development agencies.
          d.  Transportation agencies.
          e.  Utility commissions.
      2.   Local level
          a.  Environmental protection agencies.
          b.  General planning agencies.
          c.  General purpose governments.
          d.  Health departments.
                                      23

-------
          e.   Highway departments.
          f.   Mass transit authorities.
          g.   Sanitation departments.
          h.   Solid waste collection and disposal  departments.
          i.   Parks commissions.
          j.   Zoning boards.
      3.  Regional level
          a.   Planning agencies.
          b.   Councils of governments.
          c.   Transportation  agencies.
      EPA guidelines on the development of the 10-year AQMPs will  discuss
possible mechanisms for effecting coordination among the governmental
bodies.
Coordination
      To be effective, coordination of air quality maintenance activities
with other environmental protection and comprehensive planning activities
must occur at the regional level.  Air quality is.inherently a regional
problem that  transcends city-county political boundaries.  At this level
there has been a traditional  separation of planning and environmental pro-
tection activities.  Time constraints on the preparation and submission of
AQMPs preclude, for the most part,  significant local agency reorganization.
Therefore, arrangements between existing regional  and organizational coopera-
tive agencies will have to be made  for air quality maintenance planning.
Existing coordination mechanisms include the A-95 review and the Environ-
mental Impact Statement (EIS) preparation processes.  A-95 review refers to
 the State and  regional  review  of federally-funded  projects  through  a system

                                        24

-------
of clearinghouses.  The review process and clearinghouses were established
by Office of Management and Budget's Circular No. A-95, the most recent
edition of which was published in the Federal Register of November 28, 1973
(38 FR 32874).  Existing coordinating agencies include councils of govern-
ments (COGs) and regional planning councils (RPCs).
Coordination Mechanisms - Because State air pollution control agencies nor-
mally have Federal program grants and the ultimate responsibility for the
development of the AQMP, there appears to be justification for requiring
that the AQMP be coordinated through the A-95 review system.  Agencies involved
with the A-95 clearinghouses should be involved early in the development of
the AQMP to ensure the identification and resolution of problem areas prior
to the formal processing of the AQMP through the A-95 system.
      The procedures used for review of environmental impact statements can
also be used for the coordination of the AQMP.  Subject to the specific legal
requirements of the State,  the EIS process may also be required for private
activities.   Such a requirement would provide a valuable tool for the agency
implementing the AQMP in that it will permit early review of private projects
to determine their compatibility with the AQMP and their impact on air
quality.
Coordinating Agencies - COGs and RPCs, which represent an approach by city and
county governments to resolve regional problems,  have inherent limitations
that must be considered prior to using these agencies for coordination of
air quality maintenance activities.   These limitation are:1
      1.  In most cases, a  lack of an air quality element in the existing
          structures.
      2.   Input to the A-95 review process occurs late in the planning cycle.

                                        25

-------
      3.  COGs and RPCs are primarily designed to serve in an advisory capa-
          city or as a forum for communications.
      4.  Participation of city and county governments is voluntary.
Coordination Framework Alternatives - Two types of arrangements seem to present
the essential  coordination framework alternatives.  The first of these would
incorporate air quality objectives in a basic comprehensive planning agency;
the second would authorize a single-purpose air quality agency to review and
evaluate land  use and transportation plans submitted by local governments in
its jurisdiction.  EPA's guidelines will  discuss these concepts and present
advantages and disadvantages of each.
PUBLIC PARTICIPATION
      As required under the Clean Air Act, the State must subject its im-
plementation plan to public hearing before submitting it to EPA.  Since the
plan will ultimately affect the general public by possibly influencing the
manner in which communities develop and grow, it is necessary to determine
community purposes and goals in order to establish acceptable objectives
and programs.   So that the public may have a thorough knowledge of the im-
pact of the plan in order to participate effectively in the decision-making
process, the State should disseminate information as widely as possible in
the areas to be affected.  In addition to the minimum public hearing and
plan availability regulations of 40 CFR 51.4, the State should attempt to
sponsor open forums on the plan by means of the various communication media.
PARTICIPATION  FROM SPECIAL INTEREST GROUPS
      In addition to coordination among governmental agencies and the soli-
citation of public participation, the State should attempt to obtain and
consider the legitimate concerns of various special interest groups which

                                       26

-------
may be affected by an air quality maintenance plan.   Such  groups  include,
on one hand, chambers of commerce, electric utility  companies,  natural  gas
suppliers, and the like, and, on the other hand,  environmental, consumers',
and other public organizations.   Such consultation may serve to avert later
confrontation with these same organizations.
                                       27

-------
                                  TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                           (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1 REPORT NO.
EPA--450/2-74-016
                                                           3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
4. TITLE ANDSUBTITLE

  AN OVERVIEW  OF  ACTIVITIES DIRECTED TOWARD  LONG-TERM
  MAINTENANCE  OF  AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
             5. REPORT DATE
                November 1974
             6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7 AUTHOR(S)
                                                          8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
  John J. Silvasi  and Joseph J. Sableski
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
  Office of Air  and Waste Management
  Office of Air  Quality Planning and Standards
  Research Triangle Park, NC   27711
                                                           10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
             11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
  Office of Air  and Waste Management
  Office of Air  Quality Planning and Standards
  Research Triangle Park, NC   27711
             13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                   FINAL
             14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
    The report  describes the Environmental  Protection Agency's program  concerning
    long-term maintenance of the national ambient air quality standards.
    Background  information describes the historical  development of and  the
    rationale for  the  program.   The report  presents  the legal requirements  for
    States and  discusses EPA's  guidance and assistance available to States.
    The consequences  of the program include the  application of various  kinds
    of measures, consideration  of the scheduling of  the measures, and the need
    for intergovernmental coordination, public participation, and participation
    from special interest groups.
17.
                               KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                             b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
 quality maintenance  area
 quality maintenance  plan
ional ambient air  quality
 standards
te implementation  plan
an Air Act
                           c.  COSATI Field/Group
Air pollution
Atmosphere contamination  control
Urban planning
Regional planning
                                          Air
                                          Na1

                                          Stc
                                          Cld
13-8
13  DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
    Release unlimited
                                              19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
                                                Unclassified
                           21. NO. OF PAGES

                              32
20 SECURITY CLASS (This page)

  Unclassified	
                                                                        22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                            28

-------