EPA-450/3-76-019-C
April 1977
RANKED INPUT
AND OUTPUT DATA USED
TO DETERMINE IMPACT
OF NEW SOURCE
PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
FOR HYDROCARBONS,
CARBON MONOXIDE,
AND OTHER POLLUTANTS
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Office of Air and Waste Management
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
-------
EPA-450/3-76-019-C
RANKED INPUT AND OUTPUT DATA
USED TO DETERMINE IMPACT OF NEW
SOURCE PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
FOR HYDROCARBONS, CARBON
MONOXIDE, AND OTHER POLLUTANTS
by
The Research Corporation of New England
129 Silas Deane Highway
Weathersfield, Connecticut 06109
Contract No. 68-02-1382
EPA Project Officer: Gary D. McCutchen
Prepared for
U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Office of Air and Waste Management
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
April 1977
A'ftY
1 . . A -V . •*.,
U S. EiT.i.vi, ,;.: ';"! l-fiOIECTiON AGENCY
EDISON, ft j. 08317
-------
This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report technical
data of interest to a limited number of readers. Copies are available free of
charge to Federal employees, current contractors and grantees, and nonprofit
organizations - in limited quantities - from the Library Services Office (MD-
35) , Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711; or, for a fee, from the
National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield,
Virginia 22161.
This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by The Research
Corporation of New England, Weathersfield, Connecticut 06109, in fulfillment
of Contract No .68-02-1382. The contents of this report are reproduced herein
as received from The Research Corporation of New England. The opinions,
findings, and conclusions expressed are those of the author and not necessarily
those of the Environmental Protection Agency. Mention of company or product
names is not to be considered as an endorsement by the Environmental Protection
Agency.
Publication No. EPA-450/3-76-019-C
11
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FOREWORD
During 1974, two studies were initiated that ultimately resulted in the
establishment of priorities for developing and promulgating New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) . The procedures used to determine these
priorities produced a great deal of information that is believed to be useful
in the industries involved and, accordingly, is being published in this series
of reports (EPA-450/3-76-017, EPA-450/3-76-018, EPA-450/3-76-019, and
EPA-450/3-76-020) . This information is organized as follows:
EPA-450/3-76-017 discusses (1) the mathematical model (Model IV) used
to determine NSPS impacts over a 10-year period; (2) the methods used to
attain input variables; and (3) the summary tables which are the heart of
this study. Included in the summary tables are data related to (1) emission,
growth, and replacement rates; (2) present and future production and
capacity; (3) nationwide emissions; and (4) NSPS impact. These tables
include information on 13 pollutants and nearly 200 stationary source
categories.
EPA-450/3-3-76-018-a, -b, -c, -d, -e, and -fare the calculation sheets,
showing how the input variables reported in EPA-450/3-76-017 were derived. All
information sources, assumptions, and calculations are documented and explained.
The appropriate worksheets are arranged alphabetically in the following volumes:
018-a - Stationary Combustion Sources
018-b - Chemical Processing Industries
018-c - Food and Agricultural Industries
018-d - Mineral Products Industries
018-e - Metallurgical Industries
018-f - Miscellaneous Sources (Evaporation Losses, Petroleum
Industry, Wood Products Industry, and Assembly Plants
iii
-------
The 018-a -f series is of interest only to those concerned with the detailed
calculations used to determine the Model IV input variables.
EPA-*450/3-76-019-a provides additional results and information produced
during the priority study. Its major purpose is to describe the computer program
used to rank all the Model IV input and output variables by pollutant (these rankings
are reported in 019-b and -c) . In addition, it contains (1) summaries of the
control systems considered "best" for each source, (2) equipment retirement ages,
and (3) emission trends for each source category.
EPA-450/3-76-019-b and c present the computer-generated ranked data for
each pollutant. Ranking is from highest to lowest for each of the 21 variables,
e.g., A (nationwide capacity) and Eu (uncontrolled emission rate). Volume 019-b
contains ranked data for particulate, nitrogen oxide (NOX) , and sulfur oxide (SOX)
sources. In Volume 019-c, the remaining pollutant sources are ranked: hydrocarbons,
carbon monoxide (CO), fluorides, hazardous material, acid mist, lead, ammonia,
sulfides, chlorine, and trace metals.
EPA-450/3-76-020, the final document in this series, takes the objective
impact values from EPA-450/3-76-017, adds subjective judgements, and uses
these combined criteria to produce a priority list for NSPS development. The
report then calculates nationwide emission trends over the next 15 years for
each criteria pollutant (particulate, SOX, NOX, hydrocarbons, and CO) based
on a series of scenarios (e.g., no NSPS, 20 NSPS per year, etc.)
In summary, documents EPA-450/3-76-017 and 020 present the results of
this study. Each stands alone, but they also complement each other, with 020
building on the results of 017. The remaining documents (018-a -f and 019-a -c)
present additional and/or more detailed information derived from the impact
and priority studies.
-------
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