v>EPA
            United States
            Environmental Protection
            Agency
            Health Effects Research
            Laboratory
            Research Triangle Park NC 27711
EPA-600 1 79-002
January 1979
            Research and Development
Environmental
Carcinogens and
Human Cancer

Estimation of
Exposure to
Carcinogens in the
Ambient Air
 ;.? 600/1
 79-002

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                RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES

Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate-
gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en-
vironmental technology.  Elimination  of traditional grouping was  consciously
planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
The nine series  are

      1   Environmental  Health Effects Research
      2.  Environmental  Protection Technology
      3.  Ecological Research
      4.  Environmental  Monitoring
      5   Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
      6   Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR)
      7   Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development
      8   "Special" Reports
      9.  Miscellaneous Reports

This report has been assigned to the ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH series. This series
describes research on the effects of pollution on humans, plant and animal spe-
cies, and materials. Problems  are assessed for their long- and short-term influ-
ences. Investigations include formation, transport, and pathway studies to deter-
mine the fate of pollutants and their effects. This work provides the technical basis
for setting standards to minimize undesirable changes in living organisms in the
aquatic, terrestrial, and atmospheric environments.
This document is available to the public through the National Technical Informa-
tion Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161.

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                                           EPA-600/1-79-002
                                           January 1979
       ENVIRONMENTAL CARCINOGENS AND HUMAN CANCER

Estimation of Exposure to Carcinogens in the Ambient Air
                           by

                     Niren L. Nagda
                  GEOMET, Incorporated
                   15 Firstfield Road
              Gaithersburg, Maryland 20760
                 Contract No. 68-03-2504
                    Project Officers:

                      Carl G. Hayes
               Population Studies Division
           Health Effects Research Laboratory
           Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711

                           and

                   John A. Santolucito
     Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory
                 Las Vegas, Nevada 89114
          U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
           OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
           HEALTH EFFECTS RESEARCH LABORATORY
           RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, N.C. 27711

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                            DISCLAIMER
     This report has been reviewed by the Health Effects Research
Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and approved
for publication.  Approval does not signify that the contents
necessarily reflect the views and policies of the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, nor does mention of trade names or commercial
products constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

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                                FOREWORD
     The many benefits of our modern, developing, industrial society
are accompanied by certain hazards.   Careful  assessment of the relative
risk of existing and new man-made environmental  hazards is necessary
for the establishment of sound regulatory policy.  These regulations
serve to enhance the quality of our environment in order to promote the
public health and welfare and the productive  capacity of our Nation's
population.

     The Health Effects Research Laboratory,  Research Triangle Park,
conducts a coordinated environmental  health research program in toxicology,
epidemiology, and clinical studies using human volunteer subjects.
These studies address problems in air pollution, non-ionizing
radiation, environmental carcinogenesis and the toxicology of pesticides
as well as other chemical pollutants.  The Laboratory participates  in
the development and revision of air quality criteria documents on
pollutants for which national ambient air quality standards exist or
are proposed, provides the data for registration of new pesticides  or
proposed suspension of those already in use,  conducts research on
hazardous and toxic materials, and is primarily responsible for providing
the health basis for non-ionizing radiation standards.  Direct support
to the regulatory function of the Agency is provided in the form of
expert testimony and preparation of affidavits as well as expert advice
to the Administrator to assure the adequacy of health care and surveillance
of persons having suffered imminent and substantial endangerment of
their health.

     This report is one of a series under the main title Environmental
Carcinogens and Human Cancer.  A broad range  of objectives directed to the
quantitative assessment of the relationship between environmental exposure
to carcinogens and increased risk of cancer were addressed.  Particular
attention was given to development of methodologies and appropriate data
bases as well as to identification of community populations for study of
specific carcinogen-cancer associations.  The series of reports documents
the methodologies, resource data, and findings resulting from project
activities.
                                   F. G. Hueter, Ph. D.
                                     Acting Director,
                           Health Effects Research Laboratory

                                    i i i

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                                  ABSTRACT

     In this study, a methodology for ambient exposure analysis  of
carcinogens was developed based on a pilot study of the Detroit  Metropolitan
area.  The specific aim of the analysis was to identify high and low
exposure areas within the study area.  Four known or suspected carcinogens
and groups of carcinogens: BaP, trichloroethylene, nickel  and its compounds,
and cadmium and its compounds were studied.  The analysis  of ambient exposure
to BaP consisted of the use of the Air Quality Display Model (AQDM)  to
simulate levels of BaP which might have existed during 1956 to 1960.  The
analysis for BaP involved a multistep procedure.  In order to examine the
accuracy of AQDM predicted BaP ambient concentrations, present conditions
(1975-1976) were simulated and compared against known concentrations in the
area.  Next, BaP emissions for the period 1956-1960 were estimated by
analyzing past trends for significant sources.  This emissions data  base,
along with meteorological data for the same period, was used as  an input to
AQDM to predict historical exposure to BaP.  The analysis  for the other
three carcinogens was less detailed than that for BaP.  It was comprised
of estimation of emissions and calculation of emission density for each
of the three carcinogens.  For nickel and cadmium, it also included  a
comparison of spatial variation in emissions with measured air quality
patterns in the Detroit area.  The results of this study were very encouraging
in light of the scarcity of data on carcinogens.  Excellent correlation
between observed and estimated concentrations was obtained for BaP.   In the
case of nickel and cadmium, the estimation between observed and  estimated
concentrations was obtained for BaP.  In the case of nickel and  cadmium,
the estimated emission density patters matched well with observed air quality
patterns.  Due to the lack of data on ambient concentrations, a  similar
comparison was not possible for trichloroethylene.  The carcinogen exposure
patterns developed in this study are being used in the selection of population
samples for an epidemiological study of the area.
                                     IV

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r
                                             CONTENTS

           Foreword	in
           Abstract	iv
           Figures	vi
           Tables	viii

              1.   Introduction   	    1
              2.   Summary and Conclusions  	   3
              3.   Technical Approach   	   5
                       Rationale  	   5
                       Overall  approach   	   6
                       Extent of  available  information  	   6
                       Modeling	10
              4.   Carcinogen Exposure Analysis—Detroit  Pilot Study Area  ....  20
                       Selection  of carcinogens for exposure analysis  	  20
                       Benzo-a-pyrene   	  23
                       Trichloroethylene  	  67
                       Nickel	67
                       Cadmium	73
              5.   References	88

           Appendices

              A.   Point-source data system of Michigan Department of Natural
                    Resources  (MDNR)   	  93
              B.   Housing data and factors for estimation of 1955 residential
                    coal consumption	105
              C.   Emissions data for the Detroit metropolitan study area  ....  109
              D.   Air quality monitoring data for the Detroit metropolitan
                    study area	118
              E.   Meteorological data for Detroit metropolitan airport  	  124
                                              -v-

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FIGURES
Number
1
2

3
4
5

6

7
8
9
10

11

12
13

14
15
16
17
18
19


An example of a composite isopleth 	
The minimum area composite isopleth based on isopleths
for individual years during 1957-76 	
Isopleth for 1965 	
Detroit metropolitan study area 	
A schematic diagram for estimation of BaP emissions
for input to AQDM 	
CAASE area source grids for Detroit metropolitan
study area 	
Revised area source grids for BaP emissions 	
Map of communities in Detroit metropolitan study area . . .
BaP monitoring sites 	
Reported ambient BaP concentrations in the Detroit study
area, 1958-76 	 	
Quarterly BaP concentrations for the NASN site and an
adjacent Wayne County site '04' 	
1975-76 BaP sources and their emissions 	
Observed versus AQDM predicted concentrations for six
Wayne County monitoring sites 	
Predicted and observed 1975-76 ambient BaP concentrations. .
1956-60 BaP sources and their emissions 	
Predicted 1956-60 ambient BaP concentrations 	
Characterization of ambient exposure to BaP, 1956-60 ....
Receptor sites for BaP source-contribution analysis ....
Sources of trichloroethylene and their emissions,
1976 	 .......
Page
17

18
19
21

25

30
32
45
57

58

59
61

62
63
64
65
66
68

70
  -VI-

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                                  FIGURES
Number                                                               Page
  20   Trichloroethylene emission density, 1976 	   71
  21   Characterization of ambient exposure to trichloro-
         ethylene	   72
  22   Sources of nickel and their emissions, 1976	   76
  23   Nickel emission density, 1976  	   77
  24   Ambient concentrations in the Detroit metropolitan
         study area, 1971-76	   78
  25   Ambient concentrations of nickel, 1976 	   79
  26   Characterization of ambient exposure to nickel 	   80
  27   Sources of cadmium and their emissions, 1976	   82
  28   Cadmium emission density, 1976 	   83
  29   Ambient cadmium concentrations in the Detroit metro-
         politan study area, 1971-76	   85
  30   Ambient concentrations of cadmium, 1976  	   86
  31   Characterization of ambient exposure to cadmium  	   87
                                   -V11-

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                                  TABLES
Number                                                               Page
   1   Ranked List of Chemicals with  Carcinogenic Potential   ....    2
   2   Estimated Emissions by Type of Source 	    8
   3   Extent and Quality of Information  on Emission Factors  ....    9
   4   Extent of Available Air Quality Information 	   11
   5   Atmospheric Reactivity  	   12
   6   Selection of Carcinogens for Exposure Analysis in
         the Detroit Pilot Study Area  	   22
   7   Nationwide Estimates of BaP Emissions 	   26
   8   Sources Selected for Estimation of BaP Emissions in
         the Detroit Area	28
   9   Categories of Area Source Emissions 	   31
  10   1976 Coal Consumption for the Detroit Study Area
         by Type and Size of Coal-Fired Boilers	33
  11   BaP Emission Factors for Coal-Fired Combustion Units  ....   34
  12   BaP Emission Factors for Sources Other than Coal
         Combustion Units  	   35
  13   Size-Dependent Efficiencies of Control Equipment  	   36
  14   Coal Consumption in Electric Power Utilities  	   38
  15   Coal Consumption in Manufacture of Coke	39
  16   Coal Consumption Related to Retail Deliveries 	   40
  17   Coal Consumption in Steel and Other Industries   	   41
  18   Factors for Estimating  1956-60 Coal Consumption
         for Point Sources	42
  19   Number of Coal-Consuming and Total Housing Units
         for the Detroit Area	44
                                   -vm-

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                                  TABLES

Number                                                               Page

  20   Coal Consumption in Residential Furnaces by Area Grids ...   46

  21   BaP Emission Estimates for Point Sources 	   51

  22   BaP Emission Estimates for Point Sources with Less Than
         0.3 kg/yr Emissions in 1975-76 	   55

  23   Estimated 1956-60 Source Contributions at Various
         Receptor Sites 	   69

  24   Sources of Nickel Emissions and Their Emission Factors ...   74

  25   Emission Control Equipment and Their Control
         Efficiencies 	   75

  26   Sources of Cadmium Emissions and Their Emission
         Factors	   81
                                    -IX-

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                                SECTION  1

                               INTRODUCTION
     In order to investigate the association between exposure to  a  carcin-
ogen present in the ambient air and incidence of cancer, high and low  carcin-
ogen exposure areas need to be identified.  Human carcinogenesis  generally
has a long latency period—spanning 5 to 40 years.  Such a  latency  period
implies that identification of current high and  low exposure areas  is  not
sufficient in itself; historical trends in spatial variations must  be  exam-
ined.  Estimation of historical exposure to a carcinogen is possible  if
monitoring data on the carcinogen are available for several sites for  a
period of years.  It is recognized that sufficient information on ambient
concentrations to depict historical and spatial variations  is not avail-
able for any of the 23 carcinogens or group of carcinogens  selected for
this study (Table 1).  The objective of this study was to develop and
apply alternative approaches for characterization of carcinogen exposure.

     Based on a pilot study of one area, a methodology for  first  genera-
tion ambient air exposure analysis of carcinogens was developed.  The
specific aim of the exposure analysis was to identify high  and low  expo-
sure areas within a multicounty study area.  This report gives a  rationale
and technical approach for the methodology used and describes results  for
the first pilot study area—Detroit metropolitan area.

     The summary and conclusions of ambient exposure analysis for the
Detroit metropolitan area are presented in the next section.  A detailed
discussion of the rationale and technical approach for characterization
of ambient exposure to carcinogens appears in Section 3.  Using this
approach, exposures to various carcinogens prevalent in the ambient atmo-
sphere of selected study areas were estimated and analyzed.  Section 4
describes available data bases, specific approaches, and results  for
each carcinogen included for exposure analysis in the Detroit pilot
study area.

     The results of the carcinogen exposure analysis performed in this
task, in the form of spatial gradation or differences in ambient  concen-
trations, are used to support an epidemiologic study.  In order to
examine the degree of association between high carcinogen exposure  and
increased cancer risk, samples of cancer victims and matched control
groups are selected from both high and low exposure areas.  The details
of this primary data collection and its analysis will be reported as
the epidemiologic study is completed.
                                    -1-

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           TABLE 1.  RANKED LIST OF CHEMICALS WITH CARCINOGENIC POTENTIAL*
  Priority Group
       I
Number 1"
Chemical Name
Known or suspected
human carcinogens









II
Carcinogenic to
laboratory
animals




III
Carcinogenicity not
confirmed or chemi-
cal is no longer
produced
1
2
3
4

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Benzene
Vinyl chloride monomer
A crylonitrile



Nickel and its compounds (primarily nickel carbonyl and nickel
subsulfide)
Ethylene dibromide
Asbestos



Chromium and its compounds (primarily calcium chromate)
Benzo-a-pyrene (BaP)
Arsenic trioxide
Benzidine
Ethylene oxide
Carbon tetrachloride
Trichloroethylene
Chloroform
Vinylidene chloride
Cadmium and its compounds
Dimethyl sulfate
Chloromethyl methyl ether (along with bischloromethyl
Formaldehyde
Tetraethyl lead
Pentachlorophenol (PCP)
Polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB)
Beryllium and its compounds










ether)





* Reference 1.



t Ranked within priority group of U. S. production.
                                            -2-

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                                 SECTION 2

                          SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
     Due to the generally  perceived  lack of information on the sources  of
carcinogenic substances, their  emissions and their concentrations  in the
air, ambient exposure  analysis  would seem impossible at the present time.
This is no doubt true  for  many  carcinogens for which there is little or
no information on emissions  or  ambient concentrations.  However, for some
carcinogens piecemeal  information  related to emissions and air quality
exists.  An attempt  has  been made  in this task to show that various pieces
of information can be  integrated to  obtain some understanding of differ-
ences  in ambient exposures to carcinogens on a subregional basis.

     Candidate pollutants  for exposure analysis for the Detroit study areas
were chosen based on their carcinogenic risk and feasibility of analysis.
Benzo-a-pyrene (BaP) offered the most promise; it had one of the most com-
prehensive sets of emission  factors  of the 23 carcinogens selected in this
study.  Similarly, some  historical  air quality data were available for  BaP
in the Detroit area.   The  exposure  analysis for BaP consisted of air quality
modeling with a routinely  used  multisource model to simulate present (repre-
sented by 1975-76) and past  (1956-60) ambient concentrations in the study
area. The 1975-76 conditions were  simulated to check accuracy of prediction
by estimating concentrations at BaP  monitoring sites.  The,,agreement between
observed and predicted BaP concentrations was excellent; R  = 0.98.  The
1956-60 concentrations were  estimated to assess past exposures.  Past emis-
sions were estimated by  analyzing  trends for significant sources.  The  air
quality information  for  the  period  1956-60 was very limited; only  12 monthly
observations were available  for one  site during 1958-59.  No statistical
analysis was possible, but for  the  one site for which data were available,,
the observed and predicted concentrations were close (observed, 15.0 ng/m ;
predicted, 14.1 ng/m ).  Based  on  the 1956-60 simulation, high and low  BaP
exposure areas were  identified  (see  Figure 17, page 66).

     Three other carcinogens—nickel,* cadmium,* and trichloroethylene—
were also analyzed for the Detroit  study area.  However, in these cases,
the data were inadequate for an extensive analysis.  Simulation of the
atmospheric diffusion  process was  not included and only 1976 emission
density and air quality  profiles were examined.  For nickel and cadmium,
crude  air quality patterns developed based on limited data matched well
with emissions profiles.   Since emissions and air quality patterns are
based on two independent data bases, the agreement was impressive.  The
 *  Certain metal-containing compounds are identified as carcinogens. However, due to a lack of data
   on specific compounds, the analysis and discussion included in this report refers only to metals in their
   elemental form.
                                     -3-

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high/low exposure areas for nickel and cadmium will be shown in Figures 26
and 31, respectively.  In the case of trichloroethylene, no air quality data
were available and uncertainty exists about its behavior in the atmosphere.
Consequently, only limited confidence can be attached to its high/low expo-
sure characterization which is solely based on emissions data  (see Figure 21,
page 72).

     It has been demonstrated in this task that a first generation charac-
terization of ambient exposure is possible for a limited number of carcino-
gens, primarily, trace metals and combustion products such as  BaP.   For most
organic chemicals very limited information on emissions and virtually no air
quality concentration data are available.  As information on source  emissions
and ambient concentrations becomes available, it should be possible  to charac-
terize ambient exposures to these chemicals.
                                    -4-

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                                SECTION 3

                             TECHNICAL APPROACH
RATIONALE

     The objective of this study was to estimate variations  in  ambient
exposure to carcinogens within an area consisting of a few counties.  A
detailed exposure analysis requires  information on time-varying  ambient
concentrations at several locations which are spatially representative.
For more precise estimates of exposure, factors such as  indoor-outdoor
concentration differentials, occupational exposure, etc., need  to  be
addressed.  However, these were not within the scope of the  present
study.

     The extent of information which describes existing  levels  of  car-
cinogens varies from data on ambient concentrations at a few sites  in an
area to no air quality data at all.  Even when the ambient air  quality
data are available, these are seldom sufficient to describe  spatial
variations.  Historical data which can describe past air quality are
even more scarce.  For most carcinogens there is little  information
available on past ambient concentrations.  Ambient air quality  has  been
monitored for a few carcinogens but generally it has been limited  to one
or two  locations in any given region.  Consequently, air quality infor-
mation  alone cannot describe spatial or historic changes in  ambient
exposure to carcinogens, and there was a need to develop another method
for determining high and low exposure areas.

     Exposures could be estimated by air quality models which calculate
concentrations at designated locations by simulating an  atmospheric dif-
fusion  process in the area under consideration.  Primary input  to  these
models  comprises information on emission sources and meteorological con-
ditions.  Due to uncertainties in the actual diffusion process  and
limited emission and meteorological data, results of the model  calcula-
tions have to be checked or calibrated against measured concentrations
for a period which is compatible with the input data.  Historical  trends
in spatial distribution of ambient concentrations could be established
if the  air quality model predicts present conditions fairly  well,  and if
there is some information on past air quality at one or more locations.
For estimating historical emissions, significant emission sources  need to
be identified and trends in process parameters relating to those sources
have to be examined.  Similarly, the extent of emission control  in the
past has to be considered.

     The modeling approach may not be justifiable if the input  data are
insufficient and no air quality information exists.  In such cases, a
simpler analysis such as plotting of emission density would  be  prefer-
able.    Emission density is determined by computing emissions per unit
                                    -5-

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area.  It does not involve simulation of atmospheric diffusion, yet  is
useful in distinguishing between high and  low exposure  areas.  Moreover,
plots of emission density would be of a significant value  if  there  is
some air quality information available to  support  identification of  high
and low exposure areas.

OVERALL APPROACH

     The approach for identification of high and  low exposure areas  within
a study area consisted of the following steps:

     •    Examination of availability of data on  air quality  and
          emissions

     •    Selection of an approach for exposure analysis

     •    Identification of emission sources

     •    Compilation of appropriate emission factors

     t    Identification and estimation of factors which can  be
          used to estimate past emissions

     •    Estimation of present and historical emissions and  prep-
          aration of other data bases

     •    Spatial analysis by air quality  modeling, emission-
          density plotting and comparison  with available air
          quality data

     •    Identification of high and low exposure data.

     As mentioned earlier, the extent of information on  ambient  concentra-
tions and emissions for each carcinogen determines the  approach  to  be  taken
for identification of high and low exposure  areas.  The extent of  informa-
tion available for 23 carcinogens is described below.   The remainder of this
section discusses air quality models and their input requirements.   The other
steps outlined above are described in Section 4 as they relate to each spe-
cific chemical selected for exposure analysis.

EXTENT OF AVAILABLE INFORMATION

     The extent of information available on  emissions  and  air quality  has
to be examined before an approach can be selected for  exposure analysis.
The amount of information varies considerably for the  23 carcinogens.
For some, an extensive analysis is possible, while on  the  other extreme,
virtually no information exists for many others.   An attempt  is  made here
to describe the extent to which information  is available for  selected
chemicals with specific reference to types of sources,  emission  factors,
                                     -6-

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air quality measurements, and atmospheric reactivity.  The following  dis-
cussion addressing these specific points for each chemical is by no means
comprehensive, yet it highlights availability as well as gaps in the  data
bases.

Types of Sources

     One important consideration here is the nature of the emission sources.
For estimation of emissions and subsequent analysis, it  is useful to  dis-
tinguish between "direct" sources of a carcinogen, those resulting from  its
production or use, and "indirect" sources, those in which the carcinogen
is emitted as a result of some other process (i.e., coal or oil combustion,
petroleum refining, waste disposal, etc.).  These direct and indirect  sources
can be further classified into point sources, which represent identifiable
sources at a stationary location, or area sources, which are clusters  of
mobile or small stationary sources.

     The estimated percentages of emissions for each carcinogen from  each
of the four classifications of sources are shown in Table 2.  Although in
many cases these are crude estimates, they give a general idea of the rela-
tive magnitude of different sources.  For example, sources of acrylonitrile
emissions consist only of the processes by which acrylonitrile is manufac-
tured or used.  On the other hand, in evaluating exposure to benzene,  pro-
duction and various uses of benzene must be considered.  However, even
more important in the case of benzene are inadvertent sources such as
automobile evaporative losses and exhaust, gasoline handling, etc., which
do not involve either production or a direct use of benzene.

Emission Factors

     Emission factors, when combined with appropriate operating data  such
as amount of fuel burned per hour or amount of chemical processed per year,
will yield estimates of emissions.  Thus, if operating data are available,
the availability of emission factors for all sources and their quality
will determine the completeness and quality of emission estimates.

     Table 3 summarizes information on emission factors using the terms
"partial" and "limited" to describe the completeness of emission factor
data and the terms "source tests," "engineering estimates," and "crude
estimates" to describe the method of determination, or quality, of these
factors.  "Source tests" include direct measurement techniques such as
optical emission spectroscopy, neutron activation, etc., and "crude
estimates" indicate either that rough calculations have been made by
methods such as material balances or else that a wide discrepancy exists
between values given in different references.  The term  "source tests"
does not appear in Table 3, since source testing was not used to deter-
mine emission factors for all sources of a given carcinogen.  The term
"varying reliability" is used for carcinogens which have emission factors
of more than one quality.
                                   -7-

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                    TABLE 2.  ESTIMATED EMISSIONS BY TYPE OF SOURCE
                       (in percent of total emissions for each carcinogen)

Chemical (Reference)
Benzene (2)
Vinyl chloride (3)
Acrylonitrile (4)
Nickel G compounds (5)
Ethylene dibromide (6)
Asbestos (5)
Chromium G compounds (5)
BaP(5)
Arsenic G compounds (5)
Benzidine (4)
Ethylene oxide (4)
Carbon tetrachloride (4)
Trichloroethylene (4)
Chloroform (4)
Vinylidene chloride (4)
Cadmium G compounds (5)
Dimethyl sulfate (4)
Chloromethyl methyl ether (4)
Formaldehyde (4)
Tetraethyl lead (4)
Pentachloro phenol (4)
Polychlorinated biphenyl (4, 7)
Beryllium G compounds (5)
Direct *
Point Area
18
< 100
100
small
2
98
77
0
2
100
100
M
unknown
<100
unknown
<100
<1
100
M
unknown "
M
unknown
t
unknown
unknown
10***
6
0
0
0
0
98
1
0
0
33
0
0
small
0
0
0
<1
0
0
0
unknown* §
MJJ
unknown
22 ttt
0
Indirect T
Point Area
0
unknown
0
<59
-.t
<1
18
12
64
0
0
0
small
0
small
< 98
0
0
unknown TT
0
0
68 ^
94
82
0
0
<41
~*
<1
5
88
< 1
0
0
0
0
unknown **
0
unknown
0
0
unknowns §
0
0
0
0

  * Production or use of a chemical constitutes a direct source for that chemical.
  t Indirect source—sources other than those involving production or use.
  T None known.
  § Direct-point sources consist of asbestos mining; other types of sources may have been
       underestimated since their estimates of emissions are not  available.
  W Production and use,  emissions unknown.
 ** Chlorination of water,  emissions unknown.
 it Incineration of plastics, emissions unknown.
 ff Petroleum refining,  emissions unknown.
 § § Vehicle exhaust,  emissions unknown.
 ## Used as fungicide and bactericide  for treating wood and textiles, emissions unknown.
*** Production banned in 1970; since then, production has declined.
ftt Evaporation of plasticizer in paints and coatings.
•f-f-f Spills,  leaks and disposal of PCB used in transformers.
                                                   -8-

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       TABLE 3.  EXTENT AND QUALITY OF INFORMATION ON EMISSION FACTORS

Chemical
Benzene
Vinyl chloride
Acrylonitrile
Nickel & compounds
Ethylene dibromide
Asbestos
Chromium & compounds
BaP
Arsenic & compounds
Benzidine
Ethylene oxide
Carbon tetrachloride
Trichloroethylene
Chloroform
Vinylidene chloride
Cadmium & compounds
Dimethyl sulfate
Chloromethyl methyl ether
Formaldehyde
Tetraethyl lead
P ent achlorophenol
Polychlorinated biphenyls

Emission Factors
Availability Quality
limited
partial
partial
partial
limited
limited
partial
partial
partial
none
limited
limited
limited
limited
partial
partial
none
none
limited
none
none
none

engineering estimates
engineering estimates
crude estimates
varying reliability
crude estimates
unknown
varying reliability
varying reliability
varying reliability
--
engineering estimates
engineering estimates
engineering estimates
crude estimates
engineering estimates
varying reliability
—
—
engineering estimates
--
--
--


Reference
8
3
4
4
6
5
5
5
5

4
4
4
4
9
4


4


-
ti. -cim  •puma." mpli,* ;mu approximately 75 percent or more of the total emissions can
be estimated with the available emission factor.
                                        -9-

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Air Quality Data

     Ambient air quality measurements are extremely important in assessing
the performance of air quality models to predict ambient concentrations.
Although criteria pollutants, such as particulates, sulfur dioxide, etc.,
are routinely measured at several sites within an urban or rural area, only
very few of the chemicals listed are monitored regularly.  The few carcino-
genic substances for which ambient air quality data are available include
elemental metals such as nickel, cadmium, chromium, lead, etc.  The partic-
ulate samples collected at the National Air Surveillance Network (NASN)
sites are routinely analyzed for these metals.  Several urban and nonurban
sites are included in NASN, and this sampling program, which began in  1966,
provides useful data for trend analysis.  However, for most organic chemi-
cals, there is very limited or no air quality information available.
Table 4 summarizes available air quality data; details are reported
elsewhere (4).

Atmospheric Reactivity

     Reactivity of a chemical in the atmosphere determines whether that
chemical will persist, be converted into more harmful substances, or will
decay and be transformed into innocuous material.  Information on this
aspect of the 23 selected carcinogens  is generally insufficient for any
extensive analysis of atmospheric transformation.  However, available
information could be useful for determining gross behavior of the chemi-
cal emitted into the atmosphere.  Data presented in Table 5 are extracted
from reference 4.

MODELING

     As indicated in the previous section, emissions  of  some  of the car-
cinogens occur from a limited number of sources, while emissions of other
carcinogens, especially those resulting from  various  combustion processes,
involve large numbers of sources.  In  order that both types of situations
could be examined, two diffusion models were  selected.   EPA's single  source
(CRSTER) model was selected for small  numbers of point sources having  the
same geographical location, and the Air Quality Display Model (AQDM)  was
used for multiple sources.

     Both AQDM and CRSTER have  been extensively used  for some of the  cri-
teria pollutants, especially particulates  and sulfur  dioxide.  Their  use
for estimation of atmospheric transport of specific carcinogens has not
been reported.  One of the aims of this task  was to develop a methodology
for determining carcinogen exposure.   We have used the two established
models to see if these are adequate for a  first-generation diffusion  anal-
ysis of carcinogens.
                                    -10-

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                TABLE 4.  EXTENT OF AVAILABLE AIR QUALITY INFORMATION
Chemical
Available ambient air quality data
Benzene
Vinyl chloride
Acrylonitrile
Nickel G compounds
Ethylene dibromide
Asbestos
Chromium & compounds
BaP
Arsenic & compounds
Benzidine
Ethylene oxide
Carbon tetrachloride
Trichloroethy lene
Chloroform
Vinylidene chloride
Cadmium & compounds
Dimethyl sulfate
Chloromethyl methyl ether
Formaldehyde
Tetraethyl lead
Pentachlorophenol
Polychlorinated biphenyls
Beryllium & compounds
several urban sites, limited period of measurements *
source-oriented,  limited period of measurements

none
NASNt

source-oriented,  limited period of measurements

source-oriented,  limited period of measurements

NASN

NASN

NASN
none
none

limited number of sites,  limited period of measurements
limited number of sites,  limited period of measurements

limited number of sites,  limited period of measurements

none
NASN

none

none
NASN  data for 1967,  otherwise limited
no specific data,  limited measurements for  elemental lead

none
source-oriented measurements for a single source

NASN, air quality levels tend to be near lower discriminatory limits
of analytical techniques
 * Limited period of measurement implies less than 1 year of continuous measurements.
 t National Air Sampling Network.
                                              -11-

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                        TAB IE 5.  ATMOSPHERIC REACTIVITY
     Carcinogen
                                    Half-life period
                                                      Remarks
Benzene
Ethylene dibromide
Asbestos
Chromium &
  compounds
BaP
 Arsenic trioxide

 Benzidine



 Ethylene oxide

 Carbon tetrachloride

 Trichloroethylene


 Chloroform
                        3 days (reaction with OH radical)
Vinyl chloride

Acrylonitrile            not known

Nickel & compounds     not known
                           days (OH radical)
                           days (ozone)
                        not known



                        stable
                        not known


                        < 1 day (degradation of BaP on surface of
                        soot particle in presence of sunlight)


                        stable

                        4 days (RO2)
                        1 day (03)
                        1 day (OH)

                        not known
                        > 10 years
                        not known
                                           reacts slowly with oxidizing
                                           materials
                                            reacts with oxidizing
                                            materials

                                            nickel carbonyl decomposes
                                            quickly; no data on other
                                            compounds

                                            reacts with oxidizing mater-
                                            ials; decomposes by photo-
                                            chemical degradation

                                            subject to  reentrainment
                                            no data
                                            much longer for BaP present
                                            inside the particle or in
                                            absence of daylight
                                            can be diazotized and
                                            oxidized


                                            undergoes reduction
                                            inert

                                            photochemical degradation
                                            by reductive chlorination
                        1 to 2 months (OH radical in the troposphere)  highly reactive in tropo-
                                                                     sphere; undergoes thermal
                                                                     reactions
 Vinylidene chloride     several hours
 Cadmium & compounds
 Dimethyl sulfate
not known

1170 hours (oxidation by OH radical)
1 to 2 hours (hydrolysis)
                                                                     quite reactive and believed
                                                                     short-lived in the
                                                                     atmosphere
                                                                     no data
                                                                                 (continued)
                                            -12-

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                                        TABLES(cont'd)
      Carcinogen
            Half-life period
          Remarks
Chromethyl ethers
Formaldehyde
Tetraethyl lead
Pentachlorophenol

Polychlorinated
biphenyls
BCME: < 1 day (moist air)
       < 10 days (OH radical)
CMME: < 1 day (moist air)
2-3 hours
not known


not known
not known
Beryllium oxide & other  not known
beryllium compounds
some variations in half-
lives are reported by
different sources
photochemically reactive,
but may be a significant
contribution to smog in the
atmosphere

undergoes decomposition
when exposed  to sunlight
no data

photochemical degradation
by reductive chlorination
no data
                                             -13-

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     Uncertainties in estimating atmospheric transport of substances by
diffusion modeling are well recognized (10, 11).  Similarly, due to uncer-
tainty in emission factors data, estimation of emissions is also subject to
potentially large errors.  Despite these limitations, it was felt that if
sufficiently complete input information is available and if some actual
measurements of ambient air concentrations are available for verification
of the results of the model, the uncertainty in the results could be min-
imized.

     For both models, AQDM and CRSTER, preparation of input data was mostly
analogous to input for criteria pollutants.  One significant deviation for
their use is estimating past carcinogen exposures was in the selection of
representative time periods for meteorological data (discussed on page 15).
Brief descriptions of the two models follow.

AQDM (12)

     The computer program used in AQDM is based on the Gaussian diffusion
equation which describes the spreading, or diffusion, of a plume as it is
transported downwind from an elevated, continuously emitting point source.
The model is utilized here to compute annual, arithmetic-averaged, ground-
level pollutant concentrations resulting from specified point and area
sources.  The model calculates the effects of each source on each receptor
for the observed combinations of wind direction, wind speed, and stability
class.  The relative frequency of occurrence for each combination is then
included as a factor, and the resulting data are summed for each receptor
over all combinations and all sources.  The plume is assumed to be normally
distributed about its center line (i.e., a Gaussian distribution) in the
vertical direction and distributed as a linear function of crosswind dis-
tance in the crosswind direction.  The required input includes the fol-
lowing.

Receptor Data--
     Up to 225 receptor  locations corresponding to the  intersections in
a horizontal grid pattern having equidistant rectangular coordinate
spacing are included.  A limited number of nongrid receptors can be
included.

Point and Area Source Data—
     For each point  source the  location, average annual emission rate
(tons/day), and exhaust  stack parameters must be specified.  The stack
parameters (physical stack height, stack exit diameter, effluent exit
velocity, and effluent temperature)  are used to obtain  the  effective
height of release (i.e., the height  at which the plume  becomes horizon-
tal) for use in the  diffusion calculations.  If the stack parameters are
not known, an effective stack height value may be used.  For each area
source (assumed square in shape) the area, centroid location, average
annual emission rate, and effective  height of release must  be input.
                                    -14-

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Stability Wind Rose Data—
     This data base gives the relative frequency of occurrence for each
wind direction, wind speed class, and stability category combination as
observed for the region and time period of interest.  To prepare this
meteorological input, a computer program called STAR (STability ARray),
which generates frequencies of wind direction by speed classes for each
stability category, is used in conjunction with meteorological surface
elevations.

Mixing Depth —
     The mixing depth is defined as the depth above the surface through
which the pollutants are mixed.  Since this depth varies greatly from
season to season, day to day, and diurnally, it is only practical to
account for major changes.  The program uses a single input value, the
annual average afternoon mixing depth, and modifies it according to the
stability class.

CRSTER (13)

     CRSTER is the single source model designed to calculate  ambient con-
centrations of pollutants emitted from multiple elevated stacks located
at a single location.  This model is also based on the Gaussian plume equa-
tion and uses empirical dispersion coefficients.  As in AQDM, computations
include adjustments for plume rise and limited mixing height.  However,
unlike AQDM, the effect of terrain is considered in CRSTER.

     Hourly pollutant concentrations are computed in CRSTER from measured
hourly values of wind speed and direction and estimates of atmospheric
stability and mixing height.  Concentration estimates are made for 180
receptors (36 radial directions and five ring distances) surrounding a
plant location.  Input data required are basically similar to those listed
for AQDM with the addition of receptor elevations relative to the source.
Actual hourly meteorological data are required instead of frequency distri-
bution used by AQDM.  Since the number of sources is limited  in this model
and computation time required is small, it offers greater flexibility.

Selection of Time Span of Meteorological Data

     The primary aim of air quality modeling in this project was to esti-
mate past exposures, specifically, to estimate concentrations over a
period of 20 to 30 years to identify high and low exposure areas.  An
idealized approach for estimation of past exposures would be to model
concentrations for each year during this timespan, which represents
the latent period for cancer.  The obvious drawback of this approach
was that, even though meteorological data for each year were  available,
year-to-year changes in emission rates were not expected to be available
for any carcinogen.  Consequently, it was evident that a more limited
timespan for meteorological data could be used without significantly
sacrificing the accuracy of results.
                                   -15-

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     In the case of AQDM used for the Detroit pilot study area (Section 4),
a 5-year average of meteorological frequency distribution was employed as
recommended by Doty et al. (14).  CRSTER was not used for the Detroit area
but a different and logically more attractive approach in selection of time
span of meteorological data was possible for the single source model.  Use-
fulness of this approach is limited to the purpose of the task, i.e., to
find high and low exposure areas.

     The approach consisted of identifying a year which, when used as input
base for meteorological data, the model would effectively simulate extreme
conditions (high or low) during the 20-year period.  To identify a year for
such an extreme case, first the CRSTER model was used to draw isopleths for
a certain constant concentration for each year from 1957 to 1976.  The data
on emissions and stack parameters were kept the same for all 20 computer runs.
Thus, the effect of emissions and stack parameters was controlled and differ-
ences in the shapes of 20 isopleths represented the influence of meteoro-
logical conditions alone.  Next, the isopleths for individual years were
combined to give a "minimum area" composite isopleth, the rationale being
that during any of the 20 years, average annual concentrations inside the
composite isopleth will always be greater than the isopleth concentration.
By properly choosing a concentration for drawing isopleths, the composite
isopleth would then represent the outer boundary of a high exposure area for
the time period of analysis.  Lastly, for selecting a year, the isopleths
for individual years were compared with the composite, and a year for which
an individual isopleth most closely matched the shape of the composite was
selected.

     An example of a composite isopleth based on isopleths for 3 years repre-
senting the period 1962-64 is shown in Figure 1.  The inputs to CRSTER for
each year were identical except for the yearly meteorological data (emission
rate, 1 g/s; stack height, 100 m; diameter, 1 m; exit velocity, 1 m/s; and
temperature, 350 K).  The isopleths were drawn for an arbitrary but constant
concentration of 15 concentration units.  The three isopleths were superim-
posed on each other and an inside boundary representing a minimum area was
plotted.  Any point within the composite (shaded area in Figure 1) would, by
definition, have an annual average concentration for each of the 3 years
which is greater than or equal to the  isopleth concentration.

     The process illustrated above for the period  1962-64 was repeated for
the entire 20-year span.  Figure 2 shows the 20-year composite isopleth
for Detroit.  When the isopleths for individual years were compared with
this composite, the isopleth for year  1965 matched most closely with the
composite (Figure 3).  The meteorological data for 1965 used as input to
CRSTER would thus give isopleths for identifying "high exposure" areas.
For identifying areas which  area definitely lower  than the isopleth con-
centration, a similar process was repeated by drawing a composite based
on a "maximum area" isopleth.
                                    -16-

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                    -17-

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                                                               •5
                                                               
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                                   SECTION 4

                         CARCINOGEN EXPOSURE ANALYSIS-
                            DETROIT PILOT STUDY AREA


     The Detroit metropolitan area (Figure 4), consisting of Macomb, Oakland,
and Wayne Counties, was selected as the first pilot study area for carcinogen
exposure analysis and subsequent epidemiological survey.  The following cri-
teria were used in the selection of the pilot study area:

     t    The study area must include a county or counties which
          have significantly high mortality rates for individual
          cancer sites.  In order to eliminate counties which
          have high cancer rates due to occupational exposure,
          the rates must be high for both males and females.

     •    To facilitate statistical analysis, in addition to
          significantly high rates, the absolute number of
          deaths should be large.

     •    The county with high cancer rates should have an
          adjacent county which has rates significantly lower
          than national averages.  Inclusion of counties with
          extreme rates would permit selection of population
          samples from high carcinogen exposure areas as well
          as low exposure areas for examination of association
          between environmental exposure to a carcinogen and
          increased cancer risk.

     •    In order that up-to-date information is available,
          the potential study area must be included in either
          the Third National Cancer Survey or the continuing
          cancer Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results
          (SEER) reporting program.

     Only the Detroit, Michigan and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania metropolitan
areas met these criteria.  Subsequently, the Detroit metropolitan  area was
selected as the first pilot study area.

SELECTION OF CARCINOGENS FOR EXPOSURE ANALYSIS

     From the list of 23 carcinogens selected in this study  (1), substances
which have potential for emissions in the Detroit area were  identified.  The
potential for emissions was determined based on emissions inventory, produc-
tion and use of a chemical, or air quality information.  Table 6 identifies
carcinogens which may be emitted in significant quantities  in the  Detroit
area.  Next, for these chemicals, the adequacy of emission factor  data was
                                   -20-

-------
r
           !   WAYNE  COUNTY
          .1	,	
                                   IIGIND


                        .	   INTIUMATIONAL BOUNDAIT

                        	,	   COUNVT KOUNOARY

                        	   MUNICIPAL ftOUNOAUr
                        ...	   ixrmsswAr

                        	   IXPRISSWAT UN01K CONSTRUCTION
                   Figure 4.  Detroit metropolitan study area.

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                TABLE 6.  SELECTION OF CARCINOGENS FOR EXPOSURE ANALYSIS
                               IN THE DETROIT PILOT STUDY AREA

Number
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Potential for
Significant Adequacy of
Emissions Emissions
Chemical Name in Detroit Data
Benzene DCP*
Vinyl chloride monomer
Acrylonitrile
Nickel & compounds AQ X
Ethylene dibromide
Asbestos
Chromium & compounds
BaP DCpt, AQ X
Arsenic trioxide
Benridine
Ethylene oxide DCP
Carbon tetrachloride
Trichloroethylene MDNR§ X
Chloroform
Vinylidene chloride
Cadmium & compounds AQ X
Dimethyl sulfate
Chloromethyl &
bischloromethyl ether
Formaldehyde DCP
Tetraethyl lead
Pentachlorophenol (PCP)
Polychlorinated
biphenyl (PCB)
Beryllium & compounds AQ X
Exposure
Exposure Analysis by
Analysis Emissions
by Modeling Density


X



X



X



X








* Directory of Chemical Producers (15)

^ Air Quality Data (16)

f As a by-product of coke production

§ Michigan Department of Natural Resources point-source data system
                                            -22-

-------
examined.  Insufficient emissions or source data existed for three organic
chemicals:  benzene, ethylene oxide and formaldehyde.  Further, no infor-
mation on ambient air concentrations was available for these three chemi-
cals.  Consequently, they were excluded from further consideration.

     Limited data on emission factors were available for nickel, BaP,
cadmium, and beryllium.  BaP offered greatest potential for an in-depth
analysis since emission factors data were more extensive than others  and
some historical air quality information was available.  Ambient concentra-
tions of BaP were simulated by air quality modeling.  Nickel and cadmium
had comparatively limited air quality and emission factors data, and  thus
were not included for extensive analysis similar to BaP.  Emission densi-
ties were calculated for nickel and cadmium.  In the case of beryllium,
even though emission factors and air quality data were available, levels
of ambient concentration were very low—near its detection limit—and thus
it was not included in the exposure analysis.

     For trichloroethylene, emission factors per se were not available, but
the Michigan Department of Natural Resources (MDNR) emissions data system
(discussed later in this section) listed the amount of trichloroethylene
used as annual makeup solvent in each establishment.  All makeup solvent
was assumed to be emitted.  Since no air quality data for trichloroethylene
were available, only an emission density analysis was performed.
BENZQ-A-PYRENE

     BaP is a component of a family of compounds known  as polycyclic organic
matter.  It has been suspected for approximately the  last 40 years of being
carcinogenic to humans (17).  Possibly for this reason, BaP has been studied
more extensively than many other carcinogens.

     One of the earliest studies on BaP ambient concentrations  in the
United States was done by Sawicki et al.  (18).  Detroit was included in
this study as one of the nine urban sites where BaP concentrations were
measured for a 12-mo period beginning in  July 1958.   Routine measurements
of ambient BaP concentrations began in 1966 at the National Air Surveil-
lance Network's (NASN) 126 urban and 22 nonurban stations in the United
States.  A trend analysis of BaP concentrations prevalent during 1966-70
showed a downward trend (19, 20).  As shown later in  the discussion on
BaP air quality data, this trend does not agree with  measurements taken
in Detroit since 1971.

     Contributions to ambient BaP levels  due to automotive exhaust (21)
and coke oven emissions (22) have been analyzed.  Fewer studies exist on
concentrations of BaP in effluent streams from specific sources (23, 24).
                                   -23-

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Emissions

Sources--
     A schematic diagram of the general procedure followed in estimation
of BaP emissions for input to AQDM is given in Figure 5.  It involved
parallel considerations of sources and emission factors.  Sources of BaP
and their nationwide estimates of emissions are given in Table 7.  Esti-
mates I and II in Table 7 represent the information available at the start
of BaP exposure analysis for the Detroit area and these were used in the
initial selection of type of sources to be included for estimation of
emissions.  Emission estimates under Estimate III were available after
emissions and air quality computations were completed.

     Sources  included in the initial considerations were:

     •    Coal-fired utility and industrial boilers and indus-
          trial furnaces

     •    Oil-fired utility and industrial boilers

     •    Gas-fired utility and industrial boilers

     •    Petroleum refining

     •    Coke production

     •    Asphalt production

     •    Incineration

     •    Automobiles.

To include the above categories of  sources, data  on both point  and area
sources were  necessary.   Initially, point-source  data were obtained  from
the National  Emissions Data System  (NEDS).  NEDS  data appeared to  be  incom-
plete  and a contact with  the State  of Michigan Department of Natural
Resources revealed that Michigan has  its own source and emissions  data
system.  This data system contains  information quite similar, but  not  iden-
tical, to that in NEDS.   For identification of source categories,  instead
of the Source Classification Codes  (SCC) used by  NEDS (28), the  Michigan
system contains a list of equipment.  The  MDNR list of  sources,  their  codes,
and other information are given in  Appendix A.  Sources selected for  esti-
mation of BaP emissions are listed  in Table 8.

      In  contrast to point sources for which data  are  available  on  an
individual source basis,  the smallest geographic  unit for which  area-
source data exist is the  county.  The county data have  to be disaggregated
and apportioned to smaller  areas to provide an adequately detailed input
for modeling.  Since coal-fired residential furnaces  account for over one-
third  of  nationwide BaP emissions,  a  careful consideration of  area sources
                                   -24-

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                         2
                         Q
                           53  c
                           a o


                           8  *
                           O
-25-

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               TABLE 7.  NATIONWIDE ESTIMATES OF BaP EMISSIONS (tons/yr)
         Source
Estimate I*    Estimate II t    Estimate III'
Detroit Pilot Study
      Area
Combustion
Coal fired
power plants
industrial boilers 7
residential furnaces
Other solid fuel
domestic store 25
residential fireplaces
Oil fired
industrial boilers
comm/inst boilers
residential furnaces
Gas fired
industrial boilers
comm/inst boilers
residential furnaces
Industrial Processes
Petroleum catalytic cracking
fluid
Thermofore 7
Houdriflow
Coke production 170
Asphalt production
saturate rs
air blowing
hot road mix
Other industrial processes
iron G steel sintering
carbon black production


0.6 0.
8.6 0.
410.0 26.


40.

0.
1.5 19.
0.

0.
1.2 0.
0.


0.22 0.
13.0 0.
5.6 0.


0.
0. 00005 0.


46
057
0


0

37
0
98

019
4
31


00023
0012
0048


0044
0044
0.00005 0.0044


0.63
0.088


Included
Included
Included

No data
No data

Included but not
significant
Not included

Included but not
significant
Not included


Included
No sources
No sources
Included


Included but not
significant

Not included
Not included
* Estimate I:   Preferred Standards Path Report for Polycyclic Organic Matter (25)

t Estimate II:  Goldberg, A. J. (26)

T Estimate III:  Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc. , Draft Report (27)
                                                                                 (Continued)
                                            -26-

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                                      TABLE 7 (Cont'd)
         Source
                              Estimate I*
                                            Detroit Pilot Study
            Estimate II t   Estimate III T          Area
Incineration/Open Burning/Fires

 Incinerators

    Municipal
    Commercial

 Open burning

    Municipal refuse
    Auto components
    Grass/leaf

 Agricultural G forest fires

    Bagasse boilers
    Forest fires

 Coal refuse burning

Mobile Sources

 Automobile (gasoline)


 Automobile (diesel)

 Trucks (diesel)

 Rubber tire wear
 10
 25
 11

310


 11
               0.1
               4.8
4.8
5.7
4.8
                0.027
                2.1
8.6
               2.0
 11
310



 16

  0.0009

  0.13

 11
                    Included
                    Included
 No data



 No sources

No data
Included but not
  significant
                                 Not included

                                 Not included
                                            -27-

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 TABLE 8.  SOURCES SELECTED FOR ESTIMATION OF BaP EMISSIONS IN THE DETROIT AREA
      Process
          Equipment
Equipment
  code*
Open burning

Incinerators
Heating

Coal burning boilers
 Turbine  generators
Asphalt  blowing

Coke production--
   by-product  process

Petroleum refining--
   catalytic cracking
Open burning                         0001

Single chamber                       0005
Multiple chamber                     0006
Flue fed                             0007
Controlled Air                       0008
Conical Tee Pee                      0009
Liquid waste                         0010
Municipal                            0011
Multiple hearth—sewage sludge       0012
Fluidized bed—sewage sludge         0013
Other type                           0014

Warm air furnaces—coal fired        0016

Hand fired                           0019
Underfed stoker                      0020
Spreader stoker                      0021
Other type stoker                    0022
Pulverized corner fired              0023
Pulverized other type                0024
Cyclone type                         0025

Gas turbine—gas fired               0026
Gas turbine—oil fired               0027

Blowing still                        0300
Coke battery                         0700
Fluid cracking unit                  0980
 MDNR  point-source  system  given  in  Appendix  A.
                                -28-

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was necessary.  An area-source data file used in air quality maintenance
planning for metrpolitan Detroit by MDNR was available but it contained
aggregated criteria pollutant emissions which were not directly usable in
computation of BaP emissions (29).  EPA has developed a computer-aided
gridding procedure to apportion fuel-usage and other data for counties
to smaller areas.  This system, called Computer Assisted Area Source Emis-
sions (CAASE) (30), was not fully operational for general application when
this study was being performed.  However, 1970 data for the Detroit study
area were available as test-case results of CAASE (31).  The area-source
file for the three-county area consisted of 2024 grids with sizes ranging
from 1 to 100 km  (Figure 6) and for 54 categories (Table 9).  Categories
No. 2 and 27, representing residential fuel combustion and automobile gaso-
line usage, were selected for initial evaluation.  In order to reduce com-
puter time required for modeling, grids were aggregated and the total
number of grids was reduced significantly.  The revised grids are shown
in Figure 7.

Emission Factors--
     Work done by Hangebrauck et al. (24, 32) and von Lehmden (23) provides
much of the bases for emission factors summarized in different forms in sev-
eral references (5, 25, 33, 34).  Initial computations for BaP emissions
showed source categories such as coal combustion and coke ovens to be
important, but asphalt blowing and automobiles were not significant.  In
the case of coal combustion, the emission factors data were found to be
inadequate for different types of coal-fired boilers and their sizes con-
tained in the MDNR point-source data system (Appendix A).  Coal consumption
was examined by type of boiler and its size in the study area (Table 10).
The detailed emission factors data given by Hangebrauck (32) were used to
estimate appropriate emission factors for coal-fired boilers and furnaces
(Table 11).  Table 12 lists BaP emission factors for other sources.

Efficiencies of Control Equipment—
     BaP emissions are known to be associated primarily with particles
less than 3 ym in size (37).  The small-size particles are difficult to
control and, depending on the type of control equipment, the efficiencies
for smaller sizes could be considerably lower than those for overall parti-
cle size distributions.  Efficiencies for particle size-range of 0 to 5 ym
were used for calculating controlled emissions.

     Information on type of control equipment was included in MDNR point-
source data.  This information was used to obtain control efficiencies for
small-size particles (Table 13), with one exception.  In the case of coke
ovens, the information on control equipment for coke ovens yielded effi-
ciences of 95 to 99 percent for less than 5 ym particles.  These were
judged to be unrealistically high and were not used.  Instead, control
efficiency estimates obtained from EPA Region V Office (38) were used
in estimation of BaP emissions from coke ovens.
                                   -29-

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o

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                   TABLE 9.  CATEGORIES OF AREA SOURCE EMISSIONS*
CATEGORY
 NUMBER
    MAJOR
CLASSIFICATION
    MINOR
CLASSIFICATION
    1       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    2       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    3       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    4       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    5       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    6       RESIDENTIAL FUEL
    7       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
    8       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
    9       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
   10       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
   11       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
   12       COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL
   13       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   14       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   15       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   16       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   17       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   18       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   19       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   20       INDUSTRIAL FUEL
   21       ON-SITE INCINERATION
   22       ON-SITE INCINERATION
   23       ON-SITE INCINERATION
   24       OPEN BURNING
   25       OPEN BURNING
   26       OPEN BURNING
   27       GASOLINE FUEL
   28       GASOLINE FUEL
   29       GASOLINE FUEL
   30       DIESEL FUEL
   31       DIESEL FUEL
   32       DIESEL FUEL
   33       AIRCRAFT
   34       AIRCRAFT
   35       AIRCRAFT
   36       VESSELS
   37       VESSELS
   38       VESSELS
   39       VESSELS
   40       EVAPORATION
   41       EVAPORATION
   42       MEASURED VEHICLE MILES
   43       MEASURED VEHICLE MILES
   44       MEASURED VEHICLE MILES
   45       MEASURED VEHICLE MILES
   46       DIRT ROADS TRAVELED
   47       DIRT AIRSTRIPS
   48       CONSTRUCTION LAND AREA
   49       ROCK HANDLING & STORING
   50       FOREST FIRES
   51       SLASH BURNING
   52       FROST CONTROL
   53       STRUCTURE FIRES
   54       COAL REFUSE BURNING
                              ANTHRACITE COAL
                              BITUMINOUS COAL
                              DISTILLATE OIL
                              RESIDUAL OIL
                              NATURAL GAS
                              WOOD
                   FUEL       ANTHRACITE COAL
                   FUEL       BITUMINOUS COAL
                   FUEL       DISTILLATE OIL
                   FUEL       RESIDUAL OIL
                   FUEL       NATURAL GAS
                   FUEL       WOOD
                              ANTHRACITE COAL
                              BITUMINOUS COAL
                              COKE
                              DISTILLATE OIL
                              RESIDUAL OIL
                              NATURAL GAS
                              WOOD
                              PROCESS GAS
                              RESIDENTIAL
                              INDUSTRIAL
                              COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL FUEL
                              RESIDENTIAL
                              INDUSTRIAL
                              COMMERCIAL & INSTITUTIONAL FUEL
                              LIGHT VEHICLE
                              HEAVY VEHICLE
                              OFF-HIGHWAY
                              HEAVY VEHICLE
                              OFF-HIGHWAY
                              RAIL LOCOMOTIVE
                              MILITARY
                              CIVIL
                              COMMERCIAL
                              ANTHRACITE COAL
                              DIESEL OIL
                              RESIDUAL OIL
                              GASOLINE
                              SOLVENT PURCHASED
                              GASOLINE MARKETED
                              LIMITED ACCESS ROADS
                              RURAL ROADS
                              SUBURBAN ROADS
                              URBAN ROADS
                             AREA-ACRES
                             AREA-ACRES
                             ORCHARD HEATERS
                             NUMBER PER YEAR
                             SIZE OF BANK
 *  Reference 30
                                     -31-

-------
o
LO
o
Tf
r-
o
on
c-
o
(NJ
c-
o

r-
o
o
o
en
CD
03 |

CD i
 o
 CO
 CD
 O

 LO

 CO
                                                                DETROIT METROPOLITflN flREfl
    '.80
!90
HO
320        330
350
360
                         Figure 7.  Revised area source grids for BaP emissions.
                                           -32-

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               TABLE 10. 1976 COAL CONSUMPTION FOR THE DETROIT STUDY AREA
                        BY TYPE AND SIZE OF COAL-FIRED BOILERS*
MDNR
Equipment
Code
019
020
021
022
023
024
Boiler
Handfired
Underfeed stoker
Spreader stoker
Other stoker
Pulverized corner- fired
Pulverized other type
Annual Coal Consumption in
Boiler Size, MBtu/h
<1 1-10 10-100
400 2,200
400 35,700 36,200
114,000
300 68,200
3,500 2
1
Tons
>100

212,700
239,900

,349,700
,188,500
* Based on Michigan Department of Natural Resources point-source data.
                                          -33-

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            TABLE 11.  BaP EMISSION FACTORS FOR COAL-FIRED COMBUSTION UNITS
                                     (Uncontrolled Emissions)

MDNR
Equipment
Code
019
020
021
022
023
024
--
Boiler
Hand-fired *
Underfeed stoker *
Spreader stoker T
Other stoker §
Pulverized corner-fired ff
Pulverized other type **
Residential coal-fired
furnaces 'T
Emission Factors in g/ton of Coal
Boiler Size, MBtu/h
<0.2 0.2-10 10-100
45.0 4.5
1.1 0.14 0.003
0.0018
0.0018 0.0018
0.002

23.0

100+

0.003
0.0014

0.002
0.002


 * For capacities less than 0.2 MBtu/h, three values from Hangebrauck et al. (32) were averaged to
   give 45 g/ton; this value combined with a scaling factor based on carbon monoxide emission
   factors (35) was used to compute the emission factor for size 0.2 to 10 MBtu/h.

 t Factors of 1.1 g/ton for units smaller than 0. 2 MBtu/h and 0.14 g/ton for units of capacities
   between 0. 2 and 10 MBtu/h were calculated by  averaging several values from Hangebrauck (32).
   A factor of 0,003 g/ton presented in the Preferred Standards Path Report for Polycyclic Organic
   Matter (25) was used for larger capacity stokers.

 ^ Factors of 0.0018 g/ton for units smaller than 100 MBtu/h and  0.0014 g/ton for units larger than
   than 100 MBtu/h were calculated using data from Hangebrauck (32) and assuming a multiple
   cyclone efficiency of 63 percent for particles less than 5 mm in size.

 § The emission factor was assumed to be the same as for spreader stokers.

 ff A value of 0.002 g/ton was calculated from Hangebrauck (32)  assuming a multiple cyclone
   efficiency of 63 percent.

** A factor of 0.012 g/ton was calculated by averaging 13 values from Hangebrauck (32) using
   efficiencies of 63 percent for electrostatic precipitators.

"H" Calculated assuming equal fraction of<0. 2 MBtu hand-fired and underfeed stoker furnaces.
                                            -34-

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                  TABLE 12. BaP EMISSION FACTORS FOR SOURCES
                     OTHER THAN COAL COMBUSTION UNITS

MDNR
Equipment
Code
0700
0980
0005-
0008
—



Source
Coke production (36)
Petroleum refining (5)
Incineration (5)
Automobiles (34)
P re- 1964
1968-1970
Post-1970
Emission
Factor
2.0*
0.00024*
0.31

170
30
<11
Unit
g per ton of coke
produced
g per barrel of crude
processed
g per ton of refuse
burned

vg per gallon of
gasoline
ng per gallon of
gasoline
nq per gallon of
gasoline

*  Uncontrolled emissions
                                   -35-

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            TABLE 13.  SIZE-DEPENDENT EFFICIENCIES OF CONTROL EQUIPMENT*

MDNR
Control
Equipment
Codet
01
02
03-04
05-06
07
10
13
Control Equipment
Settling Chamber
Single Cyclone
Multi cyclone
Low Efficiency
High Efficiency
Scrubber
Low Efficiency
High Efficiency
Venturi Scrubber
Fabric Filter
Electrostatic Precipitator
Low Efficiency
High Efficiency
Particle Efficiency, percent
Particles-
All Sizes <5 um
58.6
65.3
74.2
93.8
93o6
98o5
99,5
99.7
97.0
99,0
7.5
12.0
25.0
63.0
85.0
93.0
99.0
99,5
72.0
97.0
*  Reference 35
*  See  Appendix A, Table A-3
                                     -36-

-------
Historic Data for Point Sources--
     For estimation of BaP emissions during 1956-60, trend data were exam-
ined for significant sources such as coke production and coal combustion.
No historic data were compiled for two other point-source categories, petro-
leum refining and incinerators.  However, it was assumed for all sources
that during 1956-60 no air pollution control equipment was in operation.

     Trend data on coal consumption were obtained from the Bureau of Mines
(BOM) publications (39).   Major categories for coal consumption involving
BaP emissions used in BOM publications were electric utilities, coke and gas
plants, other industries, and retail deliveries.  Since categories  in the
MDNR data were not directly comparable to BOM categories, the latest sets of
data from both sources were analyzed to group categories from MDNR  files
which are comparable to BOM categories:


         BQM Catgegories                     MDNR Category Groupings

       Electric utilities                All boilers with >60 MBtu/h
                                           and with SIC number 4911

       Other manufacturing               All other boilers with >60 MBtu/h
         industries

       Retail deliveries                 All boilers >60 MBtu/h capacity

       Coke and gas plants               Coke


     Data on coal consumption for the period 1956 to 1974 for these four
categories are given in Tables 14 through 17.  The pre-1962 data are given
as U.S. totals only, and no separate data for Michigan were available.  U.S.
totals were apportioned to Michigan based on the average Michigan/U.S. ratio
for the post-1962 period.  Trends in consumption for Michigan were  used for
the study area.  Procedures for estimation of 1956-60 coal consumption
based on the information contained in Tables 14 through 17 and the  MDNR
data is given in Table 18.  The ratios of average annual coal consumption
in 1956-60 to 1974, as given in Table 18, were used for estimation  of
1956-60 emissions.

Historic Data for Area Sources--
     Out of the two categories of area sources, preliminary estimates of
emissions based on 1970 data showed that BaP emissions from automobiles
were much smaller and practically insignificant compared to emissions from
residential fuel combustion.  Due to significant decreases in BaP predicted
for catalyst equipped automobiles (34), this situation was unlikely to
change for 1975-76 even though coal usage also had declined by approxi-
mately 50 percent from 1970 to 1975.  Consequently, BaP emissions from
automobiles were not considered for 1975-76.  Automobile emissions  during
1956-60 may have been important and were considered in an indirect  manner
described in the section on modeling.
                                   -37-

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      TABLE 14. COAL CONSUMPTION IN ELECTRIC POWER UTILITIES*

Coal Consumption
U.S., Michigan, Ratio: Michigan/U.S.,
Year thousand tons thousand tons percent
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
154,983
157,398
152,928
165,788
173,882
190,833
223,032
264,202
294,739
318,921
348,612
390,068
t
—
—
—
—
12,276
14,690
18,464
20,832
23,244
21,424
20,623





6.4
606
7.0
7.1
7o3
6.1
5.3
*  From Bureau  of Mines, Minerals Yearbook,  1960 through 1974  (39),
t  No data.
                              -38-

-------
        TABLE IS. COAL CONSUMPTION IN MANUFACTURE OF COKE*

Year
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
Coal Consumption
U.S., Michigan, Ratio: Michigan/U.S.,
thousand tons thousand tons percent
101,870
104,547
75,563
77,354
79,375
72,923
86,732
93,523
89,497
94,581
86,213
t
—
—
—
—
4,249
5,309
5,012
4,914
4,942
5,378





5o8
6ol
5=4
5.5
5.2
6.2

*  Reference 39
t  No data
                              -39-

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    TABLE 16.  COAL CONSUMPTION RELATED TO RETAIL DELIVERIES*

Coal Consumption
U.S., Michigan, Ratio: Michigan/U.S.,
Year thousand tons thousand tons percent
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
48,670
35,710
35,620
29,140
30,400
28,188
19,615
19,965
15,224
12,072
8,748
8,840
t
—
—
—
—
2,358
1,771
1,831
1,474
1,008
649
351





8.4
9.0
9,2
9.7
8.4
7.4
4,0

*  Reference 39



t  No data
                             -40-

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 TABLE 17.  COAL CONSUMPTION IN STEEL AND OTHER INDUSTRIES*
                  U.S. Coal Consumption

                           Other Manufacturing  and
         Steel Industry*      Mining  Industries,
 Year   in thousand tons       in thousand tons*
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
7,189
6,938
7,268
6,674
7,378
7,495
7,319
7,117
5,657
5,410
4,850
6,155
93,302
87,202
81,372
73,396
76,487
78,766
82,928
89,332
82,637
82,909
67,131
57,819
Reference 39

Includes a selected list of representative manufacturing
plants.
                         -41-

-------








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-42-

-------
        The  residential coal  combustion data obtained  from CAASE were for
   1970.   Thus,  in addition to  estimation of coal  consumption in the past,
   updating  the  data for  1975-76 was necessary.  Two factors were considered
   in  estimation of change  in coal  usage over  a period of time for a county
   subarea.   First trends  in  coal-burning residential  furnaces in the three
   counties  were obtained.  The Census of Housing  (40) contains information
   which was used to examine  this trend.  Secondly, the county trends  in  coal
   consumption were adjusted  to consider changes  in population patterns within
   a county.  This "adjustment" was done based on  data on changes in occupied
   dwelling  units for subcounty areas.  The following  relation was used to
   estimate  the  coal consumption for a subcounty area  for year YY based on
   coal  consumption data  for  1970.
  cc
                = cc
     Subcounty, YY ~   Subcounty, 1970   \CC
              (subcounty 1970 coal consumption) x
                             /county coal consumption\   /subcounty population
                             \   trend factor      '   \   shift factor
        or
(subcounty 1970 coal consumption) x   [subcounty correction faetor for year YYJ
   where CC is the coal  consumption in residential  furnaces and DU  is  the
   number of occupied  dwelling units.

        The census data  on  residential coal-burning furnaces are given in
   Table 19.
   TABLE 19. NUMBER OF COAL-CONSUMING AND TOTAL HOUSING UNITS FOR THE DETROIT AREA*



Year
1950
1960
1970

Macomb
Coal- Consuming
20,755
7,709
1,079


Total
Occupied
49,935
106,995
171,644
Housing Units
Oakland
Coal- Consuming
47,890
12,978
1,093


Total
Occupied
107,835
188,986
264,566

Wayne
Coal- Consuming
343 , 100
128,309
25,175


Total
Occupied
662,555
784,668
830,737

* Reference 40
                                       -43-

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     From the census data, the following factors were computed to account
for the trend in residential coal consumption in each county:

                                       Macomb      Oakland
Ratio of 1975 to 1970 county coal
  consumption factors                   0.48         0.44

Ratio of 1955 to 1970 county coal
  consumption factors                  12.0         24.1         8.5

In updating data for 1975 a trend factor of 0.5 was used; population  shifts
were not considered.

     To estimate coal consumption in residential furnaces in  1955, correc-
tion factors (coal consumption trend factor X population shift factor) were
computed for subcounty areas, i.e., communities within the three counties.
Appendix B gives 1955 and 1970 occupied dwelling units for each community
(41, 42) and lists calculated population shift and correction factors.  The
communities are shown in Figure 8.  For determining a correction factor for
each area-source grid, the grid map (Figure 7) was superimposed on the com-
munity map and appropriate correction factors were obtained.  Table 20
gives coal consumption for each grid for years 1970, 1975 and 1955 along
with the correction factors for computation of 1955 coal consumption.

Estimation of Emissions--
     Estimates of BaP emissions from point sources for 1956-60 and 1975-76
are given  in Table 21.  The approach for estimation of emissions consisted
of the following steps:

     t     Trend factors given in Table 18 were used to estimate
           1956-60 process rates based on 1975-76 data.

     •     Uncontrolled emissions for 1956-60 and 1975-76 were
           calculated by using emission factors listed in
           Tables 11 and 12.

     •     Controlled emissions were computed based on control
           efficiencies for particle size less than 5ym  given
           in Table  13.

     As mentioned earlier, only trends for coke production  and coal combus-
tion were  investigated.   No adjustments were made for 1956-60 rates for  incin-
erators and petroleum refining.  However, it was assumed that no control
equipment  were  in operation during the period 1956-60.  Table C-l  in  Apendix
C  gives detailed point-source emissions data in the AQDM-input format and
includes data on stack parameters.  (In Table C-l, source numbers  1 through
49 are point sources.)  Emissions from smaller point sources  with  1975-76
emissions  of less than 0.3 kg/y were aggregated for each county  and were
treated as area sources.  Table 22 lists emissions from these small-point
sources by source type (source numbers 180 to 197 in Table  C-l).
                                   -44-

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Figure 8.  A Map of communities in Detroit metropolitan study area.
                              -45-

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TABLE 20.  COAL CONSUMPTION IN RESIDENTIAL FURNACES BY AREA GRIDS

Coordinates of Grid Centers, km
X
285
285
285
285
285
292.5
292. 5
292.5
292.5
292.5
292.5
292.5
292.5
295
295
295
295
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
302.5
305
305
305
Y
4745
4735
4725
4715
4705
4677. 5
4682. 5
4687. 5
4692. 5
4697. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4670
4725
4735
4745
4677. 5
4682.5
4687. 5
4692. 5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4717.5
4722. 5
4727. 5
4670
4735
4745
Correction Factor
for 1955
24.9
24.0
19.6
23.3
21.0
5.9
5.4
3.7
2.7
4.0
21.5
20.3
20.3
4.9
18.0
21.3
19.7
5.2
5.5
2.9
3.2
3.5
15.3
13.2
21.8
23.4
23.4
7.2
21.5
29.7
Coal Consumption
1970
20
10
30
20
20
60
30
20
50
30
10
10
10
100
60
10
10
90
270
300
230
250
40
50
30
30
10
100
70
20
1975
10
5
15
10
10
30
15
10
25
15
5
5
5
50
30
5
5
45
135
150
125
125
20
25
15
15
5
50
35
10
in Tons
1955
500
240
590
470
420
350
160
70
130
120
210
200
200
490
1080
210
200
470
150
870
800
800
610
660
650
700
230
720
1510
590
                                                        (continued)
                                -46-

-------
TABLE 20.  (continued)

Coordinates of Grid Centers, km
X
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
307.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
312.5
315
315
317.5
317.5
Y
4677. 5
4682. 5
4687.5
4692. 5
4697. 5
4702.5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4722.5
4727.5
4662. 5
4667.5
4672.5
4677.5
4682. 5
4687.5
4692.5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4922.5
4727.5
4735
4745
4662.5
4667. 5
Correction Factor
for 1955
5.2
4.5
5.1
3.2
3.5
15.3
13.2
13.9
21.8
24.4
23.4
5.9
5.4
6.2
4.9
4.9
5.8
6.8
8.4
12.9
13.4
11.6
11.6
36.4
31.3
18.7
17.7
4.9
5.2
Coal Consumption in Tons
1970
40
290
590
330
330
150
40
30
20
60
30
70
50
100
290
580
610
660
660
290
40
40
30
150
70
60
20
40
190
1975
20
145
295
115
115
75
20
15
10
30
15
35
25
50
145
290
305
330
330
145
20
20
15
75
35
30
10
20
95
1955
21
1300
3010
1060
1150
2290
530
420
440
1460
700
410
270
620
1420
2840
3540
4490
5540
3740
540
460
350
5500
2190
1120
350
200
990
                                  (continued)
    -47-

-------
TABLE 20.  (continued)

Coordinates of Grid
X
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
317.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
322.5
325
325
327.5
Centers, km
Y
4672. 5
4677. 5
4682.5
4687.5
4692. 5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4722. 5
4727.5
4657.5
4662. 5
4667. 5
4672.5
4677. 5
4682.5
4687. 5
4692. 5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4722. 5
4727. 5
4735
4745
4682. 5
Correction Factor
for 1955
5.3
6.0
7.8
9.0
10.0
10.0
17.0
20.2
33.3
22.6
22.6
5.6
5.6
4.9
6.2
8.0
9.1
9.4
10.0
10.0
32.5
39.8
19.9
13.5
19.8
21.7
17.5
23.8
10.0
Coal Consumption
1970
310
630
520
410
1110
1110
310
130
150
40
10
20
20
70
250
570
610
800
1330
1130
400
290
90
10
20
40
30
10
70
1975
155
315
260
205
555
555
155
65
75
20
5
10
10
35
125
285
305
400
665
565
200
145
45
5
10
20
15
5
35
in Tons
1955
1640
3800
4060
3690
11100
11100
5270
2630
5000
900
230
110
110
340
1550
4560
5550
7520
13300
11300
13000
11540
1790
140
400
870
520
240
700
                                  (continued)
      -48-

-------
TABLE 20.  (continued)

Coordinates of Grid Centers, km
X
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
327.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
332.5
335
335
337.5
337.5
337.5
337.5
337.5
337.5
340
342.5
Y
4687.5
4692.5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4722.5
4727. 5
4687.5
4692.5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4722.5
4727.5
4735
4745
4692.5
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4725
4692. 5
Correction Factor
for 1955
10.0
10.0
10.4
37.8
19.4
13.5
13.5
20.1
22.8
10.0
10.0
10.5
14.0
14.0
4.6
3.6
10.2
9.7
11.2
15.4
10.0
10.0
13.9
10.8
4.6
5.9
13.0
8.4
Coal Consumption in Tons
1970
1080
2170
1350
410
180
50
10
10
20
700
1360
1010
350
110
40
60
20
20
20
20
930
310
360
140
60
20
20
340
1975
540
1085
675
205
90
25
5
5
10
350
680
505
175
55
20
30
10
10
10
10
465
155
180
70
30
10
10
170
1955
10800
21700
14040
15500
3490
680
130
200
460
700
13600
10600
4900
1540
180
220
200
190
220
310
9300
3100
5000
1510
280
120
260
2860
                                 (continued)
    -49-

-------
TABLE 20.  (continued)

Coordinates of Grid Centers, km
X
342.5
342.5
342.5
342.5
342.5
345
347.5
347.5
347.5
347.5
350
352.5
355
355
Y
4697. 5
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4735
4702. 5
4707. 5
4712.5
4717.5
4725
4717.5
4735
4745
Correction Factor
for 1955
8.1
16.8
15.2
6.4
9.7
18.8
14.6
14.6
11.1
16.9
14.6
10.6
19.2
21.7
Coal Consumption in Tons
1970
800
320
200
80
30
10
30
20
60
80
20
20
20
10
1975
400
160
100
40
15
5
15
10
30
40
10
10
10
5
1955
6480
5380
3040
510
290
190
440
290
670
1350
290
210
380
220
    -50-

-------

























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-------
TABLE 22.  BaP EMISSION ESTIMATES FOR POINT SOURCES WITH LESS THAN 0.3 kg/yr
                          EMISSIONS IN 1975-76


1956-60 Annual Emissions
Coal-fired boilers
Incinerators*
1975-76 Annual Emissions
Coal-fired boilers
Incinerators
Macomb
4.3
2.6
0.5
2.6
Oakland Wayne Total
3.2 74.5 82.0
4.3 19.3 26.2
0.6 8.2 9.3
4.3 19.3 26.2

* Same as 1975-76 estimates.
                                  -55-

-------
     Emission estimates for area sources are given in Table C-l, source
numbers 50 through 179.  The coal consumption figures for 1955 and 1975
given in Table 20 and emission factors listed in Table 11 were used to
compute emission estimates.  Stack height was assumed to be 10 m for all
area sources representing residential coal combustion.

Air Quality Data

     Ambient BaP concentrations  in Detroit have been measured by at least
four organizations or investigators over a timespan of approximately 20
years.  Figure 9 shows locations of monitoring sites and indicates periods of
measurements.  Pre-1960 measurements are available only for one site and for
1 yr in duration (18).  The NASN monitoring program for BaP which began in
1966 offers long-term trend data.  However, the uninterrupted continuous data
measurements in the Detroit area are also for only a single site (43, 44).
In 1968, BaP measurements at several sites in the Detroit-Windsor area  (three
in Detroit) were performed under a United States-Canada International Joint
Commission Study (45).  Fairly comprehensive spatial measurements are avail-
able for Wayne County since 1971 (16).

     BaP air quality data for the period 1958 through 1976 are plotted  in
Figure  10.  Concentrations at the NASN site show a clear downward trend.
Such a  trend is not evident for  Wayne County sites.  Similarly, BaP con-
centrations measured at the NASN site were close to the  lowest observed
concentrations among the six Wayne County sites.  The NASN site is between
two Wayne County sites,  '02' and  '04', and all three  lie almost on a
straight line.  The concentrations at Wayne County site  '04'  and the NASN
site are plotted in Figure 11.   No clear explanation for the  differences
between NASN and Wayne County measurements was found; techniques for
laboratory analysis were basically the same for both.  EPA has been using
an improved method (46) since 1972; the  improvements primarily relate to
increases  in the number of samples that  can be analyzed, the  specificity
and sensitivity of the method, and the reproducibility of results  (47).
However, it was speculated that  these reasons may not be sufficient to
address the  apparent differences  in NASN and Wayne County measurements.
One factor that may account for  the difference is that the instruments
for NASN measurements were at a  height of 75 ft (22.5 m) above the ground.
whereas the  the Wayne County measurements were done  at a standard  height
of 12 to  13  ft  (3.6 to 3.9 m) above ground.  If the  combined  effective
height  for all BaP sources was  less than 75 ft (22.5 m), it  is possible
that the measurements  at  a higher elevation would be  substantially  less
than ground  measurements.

     For calibration purposes, the 1975-76 air quality monitoring data  for
six Wayne County sites were used.  The 1958-59 measurements offer only  a
check point  in estimation  of past ambient concentrations.  Detailed BaP
monitoring data for the Detroit  area  are given in Appendix D  (Tables D-l
through D-4).
                                    -56-

-------
                                                               DETROIT  METROPOLITflN  RREfl
                                                                 Sawicki 1958-59.
                                                                 NASN 1966-

                                                              X UC 1968

                                                                 Wayne County 1971-
                                                                 (numbers above symbols indicate
                                                                 site numbers as referred to in
                                                                 Appendix D)
280
360
                                   Figure 9.  BaP monitoring sites.
                                               -57-

-------
o

-13
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CO
    15--
14 ••



13--



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 9- -



 8--



 7--



 6- '



 5 • -



 4--



 3 --



 2--



  1--




0
          i
         00
         in
              VO
              cn
                       NASN Detroit Site
                                              N
                                                   Wayne County
                                                     Site 05
                                                              Wayne County Average  of
                                                                       f\   Six Sites


                                                                     /    v
                                                                 V           \

                                                                             \
                                                           ••  Wayne County   v
                                                         •   «t  Site  Oil
                                                                  .
                                                    H	h
                 UD
                 cr>
                           (30
                                 CTl
o
r»^
O1
c\j     co

CT>     CT>
                                                                        LT)
                                                                                      Year
              Figure 10. Reported ambient BaP concentrations in the Detroit study area, 1958-1976.


                                            -58-

-------
     7  --
     6 --
E

CD
c

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c.
o


"3
OJ
o
Q-
(O
CQ
     4  "
     2  --
     1  --
                                                Wayne  County
                                                    '04'
             -1971	1	1972	4—1973	-|	1974	f—1975-
                                               Year
                Figure 11.  Quarterly BaP concentrations for the NASN site

                       and an adjacent Wayne County site '04'.
                                  -59-

-------
Modeling

     As mentioned previously, AQDM was used in modeling of ambient BaP
concentrations for present and past conditions.

1975-76—
     Emissions data for 1975-76 given in Appendix C were used.  The BaP
sources and strength of their emissions are depicted in Figure 12.  The
1975 and 1976 meteorological data for Detroit Metropolitan Airport were
converted into STAR frequency distributions for each year.  An average of
these two distributions was used since part of the emissions data was for
1975 and others were for 1976 (Table E-l in Appendix E).  One hundred and
eighty-two grid receptors were used and, in addition, concentrations were
also predicted for the six Wayne County monitoring sites.  The observed
versus predicted concentrations for these monitoring sites are shown in
Figure 13.  The agreement between the observed and predicted was excel-
lent; 98 percent of the variation in the observed values was accounted for
(R  = 0.98).  The least-square regression line is shown in Figure 13, but
it was not used for calibration.  The regression line was such that it
tended to reduce the differential between low and high concentrations. Two
separate regression lines,^one for low concentrations or for concentrations
below approximately 2 ng/m  and the other for larger concentrations, may
have reduced the problem but the total number of points was judged to be
too small for such analysis.  Instead, no calibration line was used in
estimating past exposures.

     Isopleths for 1975-76 BaP concentrations are shown in Figure 14.  Note
that even without any calibration, the observed concentrations at the moni-
toring sites are consistent with the predicted isopleths.

1956-60—
     The BaP emission sources for 1956-60 and their relative emission rates
are shown in Figure 15.   (See Appendix C for detailed data.)  Averaged
annual meteorological frequency distributions for the period 1956 through
1960 were used (Appendix E, Table E-2).  The AQDM-predicted concentrations
and isopleths are shown in Figure 16.  It was  indicated earlier in this sec-
tion that emissions from mobile sources were insignificant compared to area
emissions from coal-fired residential furnaces and thus were not  included
in simulating 1975-76 conditions.  However, it is possible that in 1956-60,
due to higher emissions from older cars, automobile BaP emissions might have
had a significant impact.  The traffic data for 1956-60 were not  available
in a format from which emissions could be computed.  A precaution was taken
to ascertain that the low-concentration areas predicted by the model were
not erroneously labeled as low due to exclusion of automobile emissions.
A traffic density map for that period was superimposed onto the predicted
BaP concentration map (Figure 16); areas with  low BaP concentrations, but
with high vehicular travel density, were excluded from  "low" concentration
areas.  Resultant high and low exposure areas  are shown  in Figure 17.
                                    -60-

-------
o
LD
o
•
-------
    15  --
C
(U
o
C
o
o

D_
fO
CQ

•o
O)
>
S-
d)
10  •-
     5  --
                                       Least Square Regression Line

                                        A
                                        Y =0.58x + 0.94


                                        R2 = 0.98
                                            10
                                                           15
20
                          Predicted BaP Concentration, ng/nT
         Figure 13.  Observed versus AQDM predicted BaP concentrations

                   for six Wayne County monitoring sites.
                              -62-

-------
                         0.3     0.4    0.4    0.8    0.7     O.I
                                                               O.I    0.8    0.4     0.4
             ).3    0.4    0.5     0.7
             0.4    0.4    O.S     0.7
                                                                 DETROIT METROPOLITflN  flREfl
                                                                       BENZO(fl)PYRENE
                                                                       CONCENTRRTIONS
                                                                           1975-76
             0.3    0.3    0.3     0.4    0.4    O.S    0.8  N /1.2
                                                                      NRNOORRHS PER CUBIC METER
             O.Z    0.3    0.3     0.3    0.
                                                                        MONITORINO SITE  LOCflTION
                                                                   (   )  HITH  HEflSURED  CONCENTRATION
280
36C
                     Figure 14.  Predicted and observed 1975-76 ambient BaP concentrations.

                                            -63-

-------
o
LD
r-
o
•^

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o
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CM
r-
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r-
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o
o
CD
CO
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o
oo
CD
•<*•_
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CD
O

CD

CD

•*_
O
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                 OR
                               OH
                            OH    OH    OR    OR    OH     OH
                            OH     OR    OR    OH    OH     OH
                            OR    OR     OR
                                                   OH     OR
                                  OH     OR    OH    OH    OR
                            OH    OH     OH    OH
                                                        o°'
                            OH    OH    OR    OR    O1**   O
                                                              OH    OR    OR     OR
                                                              DETROIT METROPOLITflN flREH

                                                                    BENZOmPYRENE

                                                                   EMISSION  SOURCES

                                                                       1956-60



                                                                   o            30 KO/YR



                                                                            -  300 KO/YR
                                                                            - 3000 KO/YR
        ('A1  indicates area source)
   280
               290        300       310        320        330        340        350
                       Figure 15.  1956-60 BaP sources and their emissions.
                                            -64-

-------
                                        DETROIT  METROPOLITAN  PREfl
                                             BENZO(H)PYRENE
                                             CONCENTRRTIONS
                                                 1956-60
Figure 16. Predicted 1956-60 ambient BaP concentrations.

                   -65-

-------
                                       DETROIT METROPOLITflN RRER
                                        ,Vj  High Exposure
                                            Low Exposure
310320330340       3
280
300
                                                           50
36C
Figure 17.  Characterization of ambient exposure to BaP, 1956-60.
                      -66-

-------
     As mentioned before, no spatial air quality data were available for
the period for which BaP concentrations were predicted.  Consequently, no
spatial analysis was possible.  However, for the single site for which
12-mo BaP measurements were available, the agreement between observed and
predicted was good (observed, 15.0 ng/m ; predicted, 14.1 ng/m ).

     In order to evaluate the importance of the sources to BaP concentration,
the source contributions were analyzed for five sites.  Sites were chosen so
that different source-impact areas were represented (Figure 18).  The source
contributions by major categories are presented for these receptor sites in
Table 23.  As expected, coke ovens contributed significantly (over 25 per-
cent in all cases) and the heaviest contribution is to the site nearest to
coke ovens.  Area sources representing coal-fired residential furnaces were
also judged equally important; and for sites away from coke ovens, they were
dominant.  Other point sources including industrial and commercial boilers,
incinerators and petroleum refining contributed generally less than  10 per-
cent.

TRICHLOROETHYLENE

     Trichloroethylene is widely used as a vapor degreasing solvent for fab-
ricated metal parts, and this process results in substantial atmospheric
emissions.  Although it has not been associated with cancer in humans, recent
positive tests on animals have caused increasing concern about this chemical.
Unlike NEDS, Michigan's point-source data system includes a separate category
for trichloroethylene under "organic solvent use" (equipment code 0031 in
Appendix A).  Amount of solvent usage per year was included in the data, but
no emission factors were available.  It was assumed that all trichloroethyl-
ene was released into the atmosphere.  (About 95 percent is believed normal.)
Another category which provided information on trichloroethylene emissions
was metal cleaning operations (equipment code 0065).   In this case, the
amount of trichloroethylene makeup solvent was used as an estimate of emis-
sions.  Although there may have been some overestimation of emissions, this
was not expected to have any significant impact on demarcation of high and
low exposure areas.  Emission sources and their relative strength are shown
in Figure 19.

     No data on stack parameters were available for trichloroethylene sources.
This fact combined with uncertainty in the atmospheric reactivity of trichloro-
ethylene and lack of air quality data precluded air quality modeling.  Instead,
the emissions data were used to compute emission densities (Figure 20) and
high/low exposure areas (Figure 21).

NICKEL

     Nickel and/or nickel compounds (primarily nickel subsulfide, nickel
oxide, and nickel carbonyl) are believed by many researchers to be responsi-
ble for human lung and nasal cancer.  As in the case of most metals, emis-
sion and air quality information on nickel compounds is generaly in terms
of elemental nickel rather than specific compounds.  Although nickel com-
pounds are implied in the following discussion, it refers to nickel only.


                                    -67-

-------
o
in
o
•*•
r-
o
on
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o
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o
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o
en
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 CO
 CO
 o
 in
 CO
-Q-
                  O
                  61
                                                               DETROIT METROPOLITflN  flREfl
                                                                     AQDM Receptor Site
   280
290       300        310        320        330        340        350
                                                                                360
                      Figure 18. Receptor sites for BaP source-contribution analysis.
                                               -68-

-------
    TABLE 23.  ESTIMATED 1956-60 SOURCE CONTRIBUTIONS AT VARIOUS RECEPTOR SITES*

                                          Source Contribution,  Percent

 Source-Category      Receptor #1   Receptor #61    Receptor #91   Receptor #113   Receptor #151

 Point sources
 Coke ovens              37            26            37              78              37
 Other point sources        7             4            14               2               7

Area sources
 Residential coal-        56            70            49              21              56
   fired furnaces

Total                    100           100           100             100            100

BaP concentrations,
ng/m3                     2.7          6.0           6.4            31.9           12.9

*  See Figure 18.
                                           -69-

-------
                                                          DETROIT METROPOLITflN flRER
                                                              TRICHLOROETHYLENE
                                                               EMISSION  SOURCES
                                                                     1976

                                                              o        -   500 OflL/YR

                                                              H        -  5000 OflL/YR
                                                                       - 50000 OflU/YR
280
300        310        320       330       340        350
360
                     Figure 19.  Sources of trichloroethylene and their emissions, 1976.
                                         -70-

-------
                                                                780.
                                                    +
                                                    22.
                                                                935.
                                              93.
                                                    2692.
                                                          388
                                                                ZOO.
                                                                      3SB.
                                              •I-
                                              82.
                                 427.
                                                    84.
                                                                1207.
                                  24.
                                                          280.
                           +
                           too.
                                                                DETROIT  METROPOLITHN flREfl
                                                                     TRICHLOROETHYLENE
                                                                      EMISSION DENSITY
                                                                            1976
                                                                        OflUONS  /  30.KH.
280
                                                 320
                                                              990
                                                                                      TsT
                           Figure 20.  Trichloroethylene emission density,  1976.
                                                -71-

-------
                                                         DETROIT METROPQLITRN  flREfl
                                                              High  Exposure
                                                              Low Exposure
                                                         PI  Uncertain
280
360
                 Figure 21.  Characterization of ambient exposure to trichloroethylene.
                                          -72-

-------
     Coal and oil combustion, cement manufacturing, steel production and
waste incineration are major sources of nickel.  Area sources for combus-
tion could also be important; but due to limited time available, only
point sources were considered in this exposure analysis.  The MDNR equip-
ment codes considered for estimation of emissions along with appropriate
emission factors selected from Anderson (48) are given  in Table 24.  In
some cases, emission factors were corrected with control efficiencies to
compute the uncontrolled emissions.   The quantities of material processed
at each establishment were obtained from the MDNR Point Sources Data Sys-
tem and multiplied by the appropriate emission factors to calculate the
annual uncontrolled emissions.  Controlled emissions were then determined
using the control efficiencies given in Table 25.  Emissions data are given
in Appendix C, Table C-2; emissions sources and their relative strengths
are shown in Figure 22; emission density profiles are shown in Figure 23.

     In order to compare emission profiles with observed air quality, ambi-
ent nickel concentration measurements at seven sampling sites were obtained
from the wayne County Air Pollution Division.  Data for NASN sites were
obtained but were not used in this analysis, due to incomplete or missing
data (detailed air quality data are listed in Appendix D).  The values at
the sites with nighest and lowest annual concentration during 1971 to 1976,
along with the average concentrations for each year, are shown in Figure 24,
The ambient nickel concentration data for 1976 were used to see the spatial
variations in ambient levels of nickel  (Figure 25),  Although it is recog-
nized that the isopleths in Figure 25 are based on very limited air quality
data, the general distribution of ambient nickel compares extremely well
with the estimated distribution of nickel emissions (Figure 23).  This is
remarkable since the spatial patterns of emissions and air quality were
obtained from two separate independent  sources of information.  Figures 23
and 25 were combined to depict high and low exposure areas for nickel
(Figure 26).

CADMIUM

     Cadmium and several cadmium compounds have given positive results when
tested for carcinogenicity in animals,  with most attention centering on the
lung and the prostate and testes.  Some researchers have suggested cadmium
as a human carcinogen, but so far no conclusive evidence of this has been
presented; however, the animal evidence is believed to warrant concern about
this chemical.

     Atmospheric cadmium emissions in the Detroit area  are primarily from
point sources, the most important being zinc smelting and large-scale coal
combustion.  The MDNR equipment codes included for estimation of emissions
along with emission factors are given in Table 26.  Figure 27 shows point
sources of cadmium and the relative magnitude of their emissions;  detailed
emission estimates are included in Appendix C.  Based on the estimates of
cadmium emissions, emission densities were computed (Figure 28).
                                    -73-

-------
         TABLE 24.  SOURCES OF NICKEL EMISSIONS AND THEIR EMISSION FACTORS

Process
Sewage sludge incinerators
Municipal hearth
Fluidized bed
Cement manufacturing

Dry process kiln (gas fired)

Dry process kiln (oil fired)

Dry process kiln (coal fired)

Dry process mill
Wet process kiln (gas fired)

Wet process kiln (oil fired)

Wet process kiln (coal fired)

Wet process mill
Alloy of steel melting -- electric
arc furnace
Combustion

Coal

Distillate oil

Residual oil
MDNR
Equipment
Code

0012
0013


0360

0361

0362

0365
0366

0367

0368

0371

0637







Emission factor for
uncontrolled emission *

0. 15 Ib/ton of waste incinerated
0. 15 Ib/ton of waste incinerated

3
99.7 lb/10 tons of fuel
3
99.7lbs/10 tons of fuel
3
99.7 lb/10 tons of fuel
3
0.2 lb/10 tons of fuel
99.7 lb/10 tons of fuel
3
99.7 lb/10 tons of fuel
3
99.7 lb/10 tons of fuel
3
1.33 lb/10 tons of fuel

10 Ib/ton Ni changed

3
19.4 lb/10 tons coal burned
3
0.0005 lb/10 gallons oil burned
3
0.08 lb/10 gallons oil burned

* In cases where emission factors were given based on controlled emissions (48), these were
  corrected by the expression:
                                                          Controlled emission factor
                             Uncontrolled emission factor =
                                                          1 - fractional efficiency
                                         -74-

-------
       TABLE 25.  EMISSION CONTROL EQUIPMENT AND THEIR CONTROL EFFICIENCIES

MDNR
Code
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
Control equipment
settling chamber
single cyclone
multicyclone
other centrifugal type cyclone
scrubber with water
scrubber with solution
venturic scrubber
oil filter
condenser
fabric filter
after burner
catalytic burner
electrostatic precipitator
primary burner
wet baffle
Efficiency used, percent
59
65
80
91
96
96
99.5
80*
90*
99.7
80*
95*
97
60*
59

* No data, efficiencies assumed arbitrarily.
                                          -75-

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DETROIT METROPOLITRN RREH
NICKEL
EMISSION DENSITY
1976
KO. / SO. KM.
                                                                         61
Figure 23.  Nickel emission density, 1976.
               -77-

-------
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                                                                                                                               r-.
                                                                                                                               (Ti
                                                                                                                                r-%
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                                                                DETROIT  METROPOLITRN flREfl
                                                                A   Nickel monitoring sites and
                                                                    ambient concentrations
                                                                    (numbers above the symbol
                                                                     indicate site numbers as
                                                                     referred to in Appendix D)
280
ilO
40
360
                             Figure 25.  Ambient concentrations of nickel, 1976.
                                                -79-

-------
                                                        DETROIT METROPOLITAN  flREfl
                                                           High Exposure
                                                           Low Exposure
                                                           Uncertain
280
110
20
330
)40
350
36C
                      Figure 26. Characterization of ambient exposure to nickel.
                                          -80-

-------
     TABLE 26.  SOURCES OF CADMIUM EMISSIONS AND THEIR EMISSION FACTORS

Process
Sewage sludge incinerators
Municipal hearth
Fluidized bed
MDNR
Equipment
Code
0012
0013
Emission factor for
uncontrolled emission *
0. 34 Ib/ton of waste incinerated
0. 34 Ib/ton of waste incinerated
Cement manufacturing
  Dry process kiln (gas fired)
  Dry process kiln (oil fired)
  Dry process kiln (coal fired)
  Dry process mill
  Wet process kiln (gas fired)
  Wet process kiln (oil fired)
  Wet process kiln (coal fired)
  Wet process mill
0360
0361
0362
0365
0366
0367
0368
0371
99.7 lb/l(r tons of fuel
99.7 lb/103 tons of fuel
99.7 Ib/IO3 tons of fuel
99.7 lb/103 tons of fuel
99.7 lb/103 tons of fuel
99.7 lb/103 tons of fuel
99. 7 lb/103 tons of fuel
 6.65 lb/103 tons of fuel
Lead smelting
  Reverbratory furnace

Zinc smelting
  Retort furnace
  Horizontal muffle furnace
  Pot furnace
  Sweating furnace

Copper smelting
  Furnace
0641
0661
0662
0663
0664
0761
 0. 2 Ib/ton lead produced
 2 Ib/tons of zinc produced
 2 Ib/tons of zinc produced
 2 Ib/tons of zinc produced
 2 Ib/tons of zinc produced
 0. 07 Ib/ton of copper produced
Combustion
  Coal
  Distillate oil
  Residual oil
                19.4 lb/10  tons coal burned
                 0.0005 lb/103  gallons oil burned
                 0.08 lb/103 gallons oil burned
   In cases where emission factors were given based on controlled emission (48), these were
   corrected by the expression:
                                              controlled emission factor
                 uncontrolled emission factor =
                                               1 - fractional efficiency
                                         -81-

-------
                                                          DETROIT METROPOLITRN flREfl
                                                                   CfiDMIUM
                                                               EMISSION SOURCES
                                                                     1976
                                                               0         -   20 KO/YR

                                                                        -  200 KO/YR
                                                                        - 2000 KO/YR
80
                    Figure 27.  Sources of cadmium and their emissions, 1976.
                                             -82-

-------
                          14.
                          6.
                                                 \.
                                                  5.


                                                 21
                                                 8+7.
               3.
                                            27.
                                                 63.
                    12.
22.
                                      51.
"555"
                                      41.
           DETROIT METROPOLITflN  flREfl
                    CflDMIUM
                EMISSION DENSITY
                       1976
                                                          KO.  / SQ.KH.
           -53T
                                   355-
         m-
-W
"W
              Figure 28.  Cadmium emission density,  1976.
                                 -83-

-------
     The ambient cadmium concentrations are measured at seven sites  in Wayne
County.   Figure 29 shows the 1971 to 1976 trend at sites with the highest  and
lowest concentrations and the average values of all seven sites  (detailed
air quality data given in Appendix D).   The concentrations have  decreased,
substantially in some cases, since 1971.  The spatial variation  in ambient
concentrations on 1976 air quality data is shown in Figure 30. Again, as  in
the case of nickel, the number of sites is too few to put any great  degree of
confidence in the exact shape of the isopleths plotted in Figure 30, but  it
offers some insight into high and low concentration areas.

     The concentration pattern in Figure 30 compares extremely well  with
emission sources and profiles given in Figures 27 and 28.  Note  that the
high concentration areas are identical  in both air quality and emissions
plots.  Since these air quality measurements and emission estimates  are
obtained independent of each other, similarities in the spatial  patterns
substantially increased the confidence of the exposure analysis.  Figure  31
shows high and low exposure areas for cadmium which were determined  based
on ambient air quality concentration patterns and emission density patterns
(Figures 30 and 28).
                                    -84-

-------
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                                                DETROIT  METROPOLITRN flREfl




                                                 k   Cadmium monitoring sites and

                                                    ambient concentration



                                                    (numbers above the symbol

                                                     indicate site numbers as

                                                     referred to in Appendix D)
   280
290        300
110
320        330        340         350
360
                            Figure 30. Ambient concentrations of cadmium, 1976.
                                               -86-

-------
                                                        DETROIT  METROPOLITRN flREfl
                                                               High Exposure
                                                               Low Exposure
                                                               Uncertain
280
30
350
360
             Figure 31. Characterization of ambient exposure to cadmium.
                                   -87-

-------
                               SECTION 5

                               REFERENCES
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 2.  GCA/Technology  Division.  Assessment of Benzene as a Potential Air
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    Prepared for  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
    Park,  North Carolina,  January  1976.

 3.  U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency.  Scientific and Technical
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 4.  GEOMET,  Incorporated.   Environmental Carcinogens  and Human Cancer:
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 5.  Sittig,  Marshal.   Environmental Sources and  Emissions Handbook.   Noyes
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 6.  Dorigan, J.,  B. Fuller,  and R. Duffy.  Scoring of Organic Air Pollu-
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 7.  U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency.  Scientific and Technical
    Assessment Report  on Polychlorinated Biphenyls.   EPA-600/6-75-OOX,
    Washington, D.C.,  January 1975.

 8.  Delaney, J.L.   Special Project Report:  Petrochemical Plant Sites.
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 9.  Arthur D.  Little,  Inc.  Vinylidene  Chloride  Monomer  Emissions from
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10.  Allen, R.J.,  L.R.  Babcock,  and N.L.  Nagda.   Air Pollution Disper-
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    Perspectives,  5:1-26,  1975.
                                    -88-

-------
11.   Nagda,  N.L.   Priorities in Air Pollution Source Control:   Modeling
     of Population Exposures and Health Effects.   Ph.D.  dissertation,
     Xerox University Microfilms, Ann Arbor,  Michigan.   (Also, U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency Publication  No. EPA 600/2-76-063),
     1976.

12.   Tkw Systems  Group.   Air Quality Display  Model.   National  Technical
     Information  Service,  Springfield, Virginia,  PB 189-194, 1969.

13.   U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.   User's Manual  for  Single-
     Source  (CRSTER)  Model.   EPA Publication  No.  EPA-450/2-77-013,  Research
     Triangle Park,  North  Carolina, July 1977.

14.   Doty, S.R.,  B.L. Wallace, and G.C. Holzworth.  A Cliniatological Anal-
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     National Oceanic and  Atmospheric Administration,  National Climatic
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15.   Stanford Research Institute.  1977 Directory of Chemical  Producers.
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16.   Uayne County Health Department 1971 through  1976 Annual Air Quality
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     Pollution Control Division, Detroit,  Michigan,  1977.

17.   International Agency  for Research on  Cancer.  IARC Monographs  on the
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16.   Sawicki, E., W.C. Elbert, T.R. Hauser, F.T.  Fox,  and T.W. Stanley.
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19.   U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.   Special  Report:  Trends  in
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     Park, North  Carolina, November  1974.

20.   Faoro,  R.B.   Trends in  Concentrations  of Benzene-Soluble  Suspended
     Particulate  Fraction  and Benzo(a)pyrene.  J. Air Poll. Control
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21.   Colucci, J.M.,  and  C.R. Begeman.  The  Automotive Contribution  to
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     Control Assoc,  15:113-122, March 1965.
                                   -89-

-------
22.   Jackson,  J.O.,  P.O.  Warner,  and T.F.  Money.   Profiles of Benzo(a)-
     pyrene and Coal  Tar  Pitch Volatiles at and in the Immediate Vicinity
     of a Coke Oven  Battery.   Amer.  Ind. Hyg.  Assoc.  J.,  276-281,  May 1974.

23.   von Lehmden, U.J., R.P.  Hangebrauck,  and  J.E. Meeker.  Polynuclear
     Hydrocarbon Emissions from Selected Industrial  Processes.   J. Air
     Poll.  Control Assoc., 15:306-312,  July 1965.

24.   Hangebrauck, R.P., U.J.  von  Lehmden,  and  J.E. Meeker.  Emissions of
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     July 1964.

25.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   Preferred Standards Path Report
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     Standards, Durham, North Carolina, October 1974.

26.   Goldberg, A.J.   A Survey of  Emissions and Controls for Hazardous
     and Other Pollutants.  Report No.  PB-223-568.  National Technical
     Information Service, Springfield,  Virginia,  February 1973.

27.   Personal  communication with  Paul C. Silbert,  Energy and Environmental
     Analysis, Inc.,  1701 N.  Fort Myer Drive,  Arlington,  Virginia  22209,
     December 1977.

28.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   A Guide for Compiling Compre-
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     Triangle Park,  North Carolina,  March 1973.

29.   Michigan Department of National Resources.  Air Quality Maintenance
     Area Analysis Document for the  Metropolitan Detroit and Monroe
     County Area.  Air Pollution  Control Commission,  Lansing, Michigan,
     December 1976.

30.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  Computer Assisted Area Source
     Emissions Gridding Procedure (CAASE) User's Manual.   EPA-450/3-74-035,
     Research Triangle Park,  North Carolina, January 1974.

31.   Personal communication with Jerome B. Mersch, U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, October
     1977.

32.   Hangebrauck, R.P., D.J.  von Lehmden, and J.E. Meeker.  Sources of
     Polynuclear Hydrocarbons in the Atmosphere.  PHS AP-33, PB 174-706,
     National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Virginia, 1967.
                                    -90-

-------
33.  Committee on Biologic Effects of Atmospheric Pollutants.   Particu-
     late Polycyclic Organic Matter.   National Academy of Sciences,
     Washington, D.C., 1972.

34.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   Scientific and Technical
     Assessment Report on Participate Polycyclic Organic Matter (PPOM),
     EPA-600/6-75-001, Office of Research and Development, Washington,
     D.C., March 1975.

35.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.   Compilation of Air Pollution
     Emission Factors.  EPA AP-42 and supplements, 2nd edition, Research
     Triangle Park, North Carolina, 1973-77.

36.  Personal communication with Mark Antell, U.S. Environmental Protec-
     tion Agency, November 1977.

37.  Pierce, R.C., and M. Katz.   Dependency of Polynuclear Aromatic
     Hydrocarbon Content on Size Distribution of Atmospheric Aerosols.
     Environ. Sci. Technol., 9:347-353, April 1975.

38.  Personal communication with Larry Kirtcher, U.S.  Environmental Pro-
     tection Agency, Region V Office, Chicago, Illinois, November 1977.

39.  U.S. Bureau of Mines.  Minerals  Yearbooks.   Vol.  1, Metals, Min-
     erals and Fuels for Years 1960-1974.  GPO,  Washington, D.C.

40.  Bureau of the Census.  Census of Housing:  Housing Characteristics
     for States, Cities and Counties, for Years  1950,  1960 and 1970.
     Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C.

41.  Southeast Michigan Council  of Governments (SEMCOG).  Population and
     Occupied Dwelling Units in  Southeast Michigan, 1975.  Detroit,
     Michigan, June 1976.

42.  Detroit Metropolitan Area Regional Planning Commission (now SEMCOG).
     Population and Occupied Dwelling Units - Detroit  Region 1950-1955-
     1960.  Detroit, Michigan, February 1956.

43.  National Air Quality Data Branch.  Computer Retrieval of Noncriteria
     Pollutant Air Quality Data  for the Detroit  Study  Area.  November
     1977.

44.  Personal communication with Justice Manning, U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, November 1977.

45.  International Joint Commission.   Joint Air  Pollution Study of
     St. Clair-Detroit River Areas for International Joint Commission,
     Canada and the United States.   Ottawa and Washington, D.C.,
     January 1971.
                                   -91-

-------
46.  Swanson, D., C. Morris, R.  Hedgecoke, J.  Bumgarner,  and R.  Jungers,
     New Benzopyrene Analytical  Method.   U.S.  Environmental  Protection
     Agency, Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory, Research
     Triangle Park, North Carolina (undated).

47.  Personal communication with Joseph Bumgarner.   U.S.  Environmental
     Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina,  1977.

48.  Anderson, D.O.  Emission Factors for Trace Substances.   EPA-450/
     2-73-001, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
     Park, North Carolina, December 1975.
                                    -92-

-------
                                 APPENDIX  A

                         POINT-SOURCE DATA SYSTEM OF
               MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL  RESOURCES (MDNR)

     The MDNR  system consists of three  separate data sets which  describe
source, business,  and emissions information  for each point  source.   Source
and business files for all sources  in Michigan were received on  two sepa-
rate tapes.  The source data set contains information for each establish-
ment on type of  equipment, operational  parameters, control  equipment,  fuel
usage, stack parameters, and estimated  emissions for certain pollutants
(Table A-l).   The equipment descriptions  are  included in Table A-2  and
control equipment is listed in Table A-3.*  The emission estimates  are
included in the  data set if an establishment  wishes to calculate its own
emissions  due  to special circumstances  such  as unusual control equipment,
proprietary processes, special processes  stack studies, etc.  The busi-
ness data  set  includes information  on physical location, owner,  contact
person, mailing  address, etc. (Table A-4).
 * State of Michigan Department of Natural Resources, Reference Tables and General Instructions. 1976
   Michigan Air Pollution Reporting Form. (These instructions are also useful in understanding elements
   of the MDNR data sets.)
                                      -93-

-------
    TABLE A-l.  ELEMENTS AND FORMAT OF MDNR SOURCE DATA SET (LRECL = 216)

Record
Type Field Start Position Length
20 Record Type
Identification:
Establishment
SIC
County*
District
FEE Region
AQ Region
Source I.D.
Equipment Name
Equipment Codet
Number of Pieces
Operating Schedule 1:
Hour-Day
Day-Year
Operating Schedule 2:
Percent Qtr. 1
Percent Qtr. 2
Percent Qtr. 3
Percent Qtr. 4
Rated Capacity:
Capacity Amount
Capacity Unit
Material Processed:
Material Amount
Material Unit
Control Equipment Codes: tf
Control 1
Control 2
Control 3
Collection Efficiency
Natural Gas
1

3
8
12
14
16
17
20
23
43
47

50
52

55
58
61
64

67
76

77
86

87
89
91
93
98
2

5
4
2
2
1
3
3
20
4
3

2
3

3
3
3
3

9
1

9
1

2
2
2
5
9
Type
N

A
N
N
N
N
N
N
A
N
N

N
N

N
N
N
N

D(2)
N

D(2)
N

N
N
N
D(2)
N
<4r /"»-....« J.. . __ J. - _ r A M_ .___!- /" O A-l-1 	 1 	 1 rtO I I ^ _ _ _ _ * "'
t See Table A-2
•It See Table A-3
                                     -94-

-------
TABLE A-l.  (Continued)

Record
Type
20
(Con't)























24









Field
Dist. Oil:
D.O.
D.O. - Sulf.
Residual Oil :
R.O.
R.O. - Sulf.
Wood
Coal or Coke:
Coal
C.L. - Sulf.
C.L. - Ash
Other Fuel:
Other
O.T. - Sulf.
O.T. - Ash
Error Codes
(Occurs 10 times)
Creation Date
Change Date
Indicators:
FEE Bypass
Confidential
Business Master
Record Qual .
Filler 20
Stack Key
Stack Height
Stack Dimensions:
Stack Length (ft.)
Stack Length (in.)
Stack Width (ft.)
Stack Width (in.)
Stack Diameter:
Stack Diameter (ft.)
Stack Diameter (in.)
Start Position

107
116

119
128
131

140
149
152

156
165
168

172
192
200

208
209
210
211
212
1
23

27
30
32
35

37
40
Length

9
3

9
3
9

9
3
4

9
3
4

10(2)
8
8

1
1
1
1
5
22
4

3
2
3
2

3
2
Type

N
D(2)

N
0(2)
N

N
0(2)
D(2)

N
D(2)
D(2)

N
A
A

N
N
N
N
A
A
N

N
N
N
N

N
N
                                       (cont.)
      -95-

-------
TABLE A-l. (Concluded)

Record
Type Field Start Position
24 Stack Temperature
(Con't)
Stack Velocity Flow Rates:
Stack Velocity - Low
Stack Velocity - Normal
Stack Velocity - Maximum
Stack Source I.D.'s
(12 Times)
Filler 24
Filler
SEE Key
SEE Source I.D.
SEE Equipment Name
SEE Equipment Code
SEE Estimates
(Occurs 10 times):
SEE Pollutant
SEE Emission
Filler 29
Filler
42


46
54
62

70
106
172
1
23
26
46


50 1n
52 10
150
172
Length
4


8
8
8

12(3)
66
45
22
3
20
4


2
8
22
45
Type
N


N
N
N

N
A
A
A
N
A
N


N
D(2)
A
A
       -96-

-------
                                   TABLE A-2.  EQUIPMENT DESCRIPTION INFORMATION

ABC
PRODUCT PROCESS EQUIPMENT NAME

INCINERATION
WASTE DISPOSAL Open Burning Open Burning
Incinerators Single Chamber
Multiple Chamber
Flue fed
Controlled Air
Conical Tee Pee
Liquid waste
Municipal
Multiple hearth —
sewage sludge
Fluidized bed —
sewage sludge
Other type
D
EQUIP-
MENT
CODE NO.

0001
0005
0006
0007
0008
0009
0010
0011
0012

0013

0014
E F
QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED

Pounds or tons of waste burned No
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Gallons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned
(dry solids only) Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned
(dry solids only) Yes
Pounds or tons of waste burned Yes
HEATING, STEAM OR
POWER GENERATION  Heating
                        Coal Burning Boilers
                        Turbine Generators
                        Diesel Engine
                                  BOILERS, TURBINES, WARM  AIR FURNACES, ETC.
Warm air furnaces—
  coal fired                    0016     Not applicable
Warm air furnaces—
  other fuels                  0017     Not applicable
Boilers without coal
  firing capability              0018     Not applicable

Hand fired                    0019     Not applicable
Underfeed stoker              0020     Not applicable
Spreader stoker                0021     Not applicable
Other type stoker              0022     Not applicable
Pulverized corner fired          0023     Not applicable
Pulverized other type           0024     Not applicable
Cyclone type                  0025     Not applicable

Gas turbine—gas fired          0026     Not applicable
Gas turbine—oil fired           0027     Not applicable

Diesel engine—generator        0028     Not applicable
Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes

Yes
                       MISCELLANEOUS EQUIPMENT (COMMON TO MANY ESTABLISHMENTS)
MISCELLANEOUS - Organic Solvent
Usage







Solvent Based
Coatings
Applied by Spray
Coating






Solvent Based
Coatings,
Applied by Other
Methods




Mixers & Blenders
Perchloroethylene
Trichloroethylene
Methylchloroform
Mineral spirits, Naptha
Methanol, Ethanol, Isopropanol
Methyl — or Ethyl — Ketone
Toluene, Xylene or mixtures
Benzene
AH other types
Enamel (electrostatic spraying)
Enamel (other)
Lacquer (electrostatic spraying)
Lacquer (other)
Stains
Varnishes
Under coating
Inks
Adhesive
All other types
Enamel
Lacquer
Stains
Varnishes
Under coating
Inks
Adhesives
All other types
Chemical & plastiocompounds
0030
0031
0032
0033
0034
0035
0036
0037
0038
0040
0041
0042
0043
0044
0045
0046
0047
0048
0049
0050
0051
0052
0053
0054
0055
0056
0057
0058
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons evaporated
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Gallons used
Tons of material processed
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
                                                         -97-
                                                          (cont.)

-------
TABLE A-2.  (Continued)

A
PRODUCT






























WIRE
STEEL DRUMS
GRINDING WHEELS
MISCELLANEOUS
METAL
WASTE OIL




B
PROCESS
Abrasive Cleaning






Machining
Welding & Brazing
Metal Cleaning

Blue Prints
Heating & Drying




Oil Quenching
Molten Salt
Quench Tanks
Metal Plating
Acid Pickling or Etching
Other Acid Treatments
Material Handling
Systems

Cooling

Engine Testing

Reclaim
Reclaim
Reclaim
Stripping
Metal Fragmentizing
Waste Oil Distilling

Waste Oil Storage
Finished Product
Storage
D E F
C EQUIP- QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
EQUIPMENT NAME MENT PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
CODE NO. COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED
Grinders, sand blasters, shot
peeners (vented outside)


Buffers and polishers


Millers, borers, lathes
Manual & automatic
Degreaser tanks
Parts washers
Blue print machines (ammonia)
Fuel powered heaters, ovens,
furnaces, dryers, etc. Not
listed elsewhere in thib table.
(Do not include steam or
electric ovens)
Quench tanks (vented outside)
Quench tanks (vented outside)

Plating tanks
Acid tanks
Acid tanks
Conveyors, elevators, transfer
stations, etc. Not listed
elsewhere in this table.
Material cooler not listed
elsewhere in this table.
Engine test stands
PRODUCT RECLAMATION
Reclaiming furnace
Reclaiming furnace
Reclaiming furnace
Kolene strip furnace
Fragmentizer
Stills

Tanks
Tanks


0060


0061


0063
0064
0065
0066
0067
0070




0071
0072

0074
0075
0076
0077


0078

0079

0080
0081
0082
0083
0084
0085

0086
0087


Tons of material collected in dust
collectors, (if no collector.
estimate the amount of emissions)
Tons of material collected in dust
collectors, (if no collector,
estimate the amount of emissions)
Not applicable
Not applicable
Gallons of solvent make-up
Gallons of make-up
Gallons of ammonia used
Not applicable




Gallons of make-up
Gallons of make-up

Not applicable
Not applicable
Not applicable
Tons of material handled


Tons of material handled

Gallons of fuel consumed

Tons of wire reclaimed
Number of barrels reclaimed
Tons of product reclaimed
Gallons of tank capacity-
Tons of metal fragmentized
Gallons of finished product
produced
Gallons of material stored
Gallons of material stored


Yes


Yes


No
No
No
No
No
Yes




Yes
Yes

No
No
No
No


No

No

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes

Ye.s
Yes

FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL
FEED, GRAIN &
GRAIN PRODUCTS








MEAT



COFFEE




DRY MILK
POTATO CHIPS
POPCORN
SPICE
Grain Handling
Grain Handling
Grain Handling
Grain Drying
Grain Drying
Grain Drying
Grain Cleaning
Grain Milling
Grain Cooking
Grain Mixing
Meat Smoking
Rendering
Rendering
Charbroiling
Roasting
Roasting
Roasted Bean Cleaning
Roasted Bean Cooling
Instant Coffee Drying
Evaporation
Cooking
Industrial Manufacture
Spice Grinding
Shipping and receiving docks
Conveyor
Screen
Dryer, column
Dryer, rack
Dryer, drum
Cleaner
Mill
Cooker
Mixer
Smoke house
Edible animal fats
Inedible animal fats
Charbroil Grill
Direct-fired roaster
Indirect-fired roaster
Stoner
Cooler
Spray dryer
Dryer
Fryer
Popper
Spice mill
0100
0101
0102
0103
0108
0109
0104
0105
0106
0107
0120
0121
0122
0123
0150
0151
0152
0153
0154
0160
0170
0171
0180
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of total grain handled
Tons of meat smoked
Tons rendered
Tons rendered
Tons of meat cooked
Tons of green beans roasted
Tons of green beans roasted
Tons of beans stoned
Tons of beans cooled
Tons of green beans input
Tons of dry milk produced
Gallons of cooking oil used
Tons of corn popped
Tons of spice processed
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
         -98-
                                            (cont.)

-------
TABLE A-2.  (Continued)

A
PRODUCT

BEET SUGAR
DIAMMONIUM
PHOSPHATE
FERTILIZER



NORMAL SUPER
PHOSPHATE




TRIFLE SUPER
PHOSPHATE
FERTILIZER




ASPHALT
ROOF IX G



ASPHALT BATCHING

CASTABLE
REFRACTORY





CEMEN7T















CONCRETE
BATCHING


GLASS

GYPSUM




LIME, DOLOMITE,
& MAGNESIA





PERI.ITE


B
PROCESS

Pulp Drying
Acidulation
Acidulation
Acidulation
Granulation
Granulation
Granulation
Acidulation
Acidulation
Acidulation
Granulation
Granulation
Granulation
Acidulation
Acidulation
Acidulation
Granulation
Granulation
Granulation

Blowing
Dipping Only
Spraying Only
Combine Dipping &
Spraying
General Process

Raw Material Dryer
Raw Material Crushing
& Grinding
Melting
Curing
Casting Handling
Casting Handling
Dry Process
Dry Process
Dry Process
Dry Process
Dry Process
Dry Process
Wet Process
Wet Process
Wet Process
Wet Process
Wet Process
Wet Process
General Material
Handling
General Material
Handling
Mixing Wet
Mixing Dry
Transferring
Storage
Soda Lime Process
Other (Specify)
Drying
Grinding
Conveying
Calcining
Storage
Primary Crushing
Secondary Crushing
Calcining
Calcining
Calcining
Cooling
Storage
Exfoliation


D E F
C EQUIP- QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
EQUIPMENT NAME MENT PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
CODE NO. COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED
Pulp Dryer
Mixer
Den
Curing
Ammoniator-granulator
Dryer
Cooler
Mixer
Den
Curing
Ammoniator-granulator
Dryer
Cooler
Mixer
Den
Curing building
Ammoniator-granulator
Dryer
Cooler
MINERAL PRODUCTS
Blowing still
Saturator
Saturator
Saturator

Rotary Dryer, Screens,
Conveyor, Mixer
Dryer
Crushers & Grinders

Electric arc furnace
Oven
Molding station
Shakeout station
Kiln (gas fired)
Kiln (oil fired)
Kiln (coal fired)
Clinker Cooler
Grinder
Mill
Kiln (gas fired)
Kiln (oil fired)
Kiln (coal fired)
Clinker Cooler
Grinder
Mill
Conveying & transfer points

Hoppers, bins or silos

Mixer
Mixer
Conveyor & elevator
Bins & hoppers
Furnace
Furnace
Material dryer
Grinder
Conveyor & transfer points
Kettle
Hoppers, Bins or Silos
Primary mill
Secondary mill
Vertical kiln
Horizontal kiln
Multiple hearth calciner
Rotary cooler .
Hoppers, Bins or Silos
Vertical furnace

-99-
0190
0200
0201
0202
0203
0204
0205
0220
0221
0222
0223
0224
0225
0240
0241
0242
0243
0244
0245

0300
0301
0302
0303

0320

0340
0341

0342
0343
0344
0345
0360
0361
0362
0363
0364
0365
0366
0367
0368
0369
0370
0371
0372

0373

03SO
0381
0382
0383
0400
0401
0410
0411
0412
0413
0414
0420
0421
0422
0423
0424
0425
0426
0430


Tons of pulp dried
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer produced
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated
Tons of fertilizer granulated

Tons of saturated felt
Tons of saturated felt
Tons of saturated felt
Tons of saturated felt

Tons of asphalt produced

Tons of material produced
Tons of feed material

Tons of feed material
Tons of feed material
Tons of feed material
Tons of feed material
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced
Tons of cement produced

Tons of cement produced

Cubic yards of concrete produced
Cubic yards of concrete produced
Cubic yards of concrete produced
Cubic yards of concrete produced
Tons of glass produced
Tons of glass produced
Tons of gypsum produced
Tons of gypsum produced
Tons of gypsum produced
Tons of gypsum produced
Tons of gypsum produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of material produced
Tons of perlite charged
(cont.)

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes

Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes



-------
TABLE A-2  (Continued)

A
PRODUCT
PHOSPHATE



BRICK & CLAY
PRODUCTS






STONE QUARRY






SAND & GRAVEL






WOOD PULP OR
PAPER













HARDBOARD




PARTICLE BOARD


MISCELLANEOUS
WOOD PRODUCTS


PAPER AND
CARDBOARD


ALUMINUM





BRASS & BRONZE







B
PROCESS
Drying
Grinding
Conveying
Open Storage
Raw Material Handling
Raw Material Handling
Curing & Firing
Curing & Firing
Curing & Firing
Curing & Firing
Curing & Firing
Curing & Firing
Primary Crushing
Secondary Crushing
Tertiary Crushing
Screening
Fines Milling
Conveying
Open Storage
Drying
Cooling
Crushing
Screening
Conveying
Open Storage

Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Sulfate Pulping
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Neutral Sulfite Pulp
Drying
Drying
Pressing
Tempering
Baking
Drying
Drying
Pressing
Woodworking

Woodworking

Fabricating



Sweating
Smelting
Smelting
Chlorination
Metal Holding
Melting (No Flux)
Melting
Melting
Melting
Melting
Melting
Melting
Chip Drying
Metal Holding
D E F
C EQUIP- QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
EQUIPMENT NAME MENT PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
CODE NO. COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED
Dryer
Grinder
Conveyor
Storage pile
Dryers, Grinders, etc.
Storage pile
Tunnel kiln (gas fired)
Tunnel kiln (oil fired)
Tunnel kiln (coal fired)
Periodic kiln (gas fired)
Periodic kiln (oil fired)
Periodic kiln (coal fired)
Primary crusher
Secondary crusher
Tertiary crusher
Screen
Mill
Conveyor
Storage piles
Dryer
Cooler
Crusher
Screen
Conveyor & transfer point
Storage pile
WOOD PRODUCTS
Blow tank accumulator
Washers & screens
Multiple effects evaporator
Recovery boiler
Direct contact evaporator
Smelt dissolving tank
Lime kiln
Turpentine condenser
Fluidized bed calciner
Recovery boiler
Sulfiting tower
Blow tank
Dissolving tank
Evaporator
Pulp washers
Coe dryer
Predryer
Press
Oilspray or flow coater
Bake oven
Flash dryer
Jet dryer
Board press
Planers, saws, routers

Sanders

Cutters and Shredders


SECONDARY METALS
Sweating furnace
Crucible furnace
Reverbratory furnace
Chlorination station
Holding furnace
Furnace (All types)
Blast furnace
Crucible furnace
Cupola
Electric induction furnace
Reverbratory furnace
Rotary furnace
Kiln
Holding furnace (any type)
0440
0441
0442
0443
0450
0451
0452
0453
0454
0455
0456
0457
0460
0461
0462
0463
0464
0465
0466
0470
0471
0472
0473
0474
0475

0500
0501
0502
0503
0504
0505
0506
0507
0508
0520
0521
0522
0523
0524
0525
0540
0541
0542
0543
0544
0550
0551
0552
0560

0561

0570



0600
0601
0602
0603
0604
0605
0610
0611
0612
0613
0614
0615
0616
•617
Tons of phosphate rock processed
Tons of phosphate rock processed
Tons of phosphate rock processed
Tons of phosphate rock processed
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of raw material
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced
Tons of product produced

Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried unbleached pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of air dried pulp
Tons of dry product
Tons of dry product
Tons of dry product
Tons of dry product
Tons of product baked
Tons of material dried
Tons of material dried
Tons of material pressed
Tons of woodwaste collected in
dust collector
Tons of woodwaste collected in
dust collector
Tons of material collected in
dust collectors, (if no
collector, enter zero)

Tons of aluminum processed
Tons of aluminum processed
Tons of aluminum processed
Tons of chlorine used
Tons of aluminum processed
Tons of aluminum processed
Tons of brass ot bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Tons of brass or bronze charged
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yea
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes

Yes



Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Ye*
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
       -100-
                                                  (cont.)

-------
TABLE A-2.  (Continued)

A
PRODUCT
IRON




STEEL






ALLOY STEEL
LEAD




MAGNESIUM

ZINC






AUXILIARY
CASTING
PROCESSES












COKE



IRON ORE


IRON



STEEL









COPPER




DBF
B C EQUIP- QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
PROCESS EQUIPMENT NAME MENT PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
CODE NO. COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED
Melting Cupola
Melting Reverbratory furnace
Melting Electric arc furnace
Melting Electric induction furnace
Metal Holding Holding furnace (any type)
Melting Electric arc furnace
Melting Electric induction furnace
Melting with Oxygen Open hearth furnace
Lance
Melting without Open hearth furnace
Oxygen Lance
Metal Holding Holding furnace (any type)
Melting Electric Arc Furnace
Smelting Pot furnace
Smelting Reverbratory furnace
Smelting Blast (cupola) furnace
Smelting Rotary reverbratory furnace
Melting (No Flux) Furnace (All types)
Smelting Pot furnace
Melting (No Flux) Furnact (All types)
Smelting Retort furnace
Smelting Horizontal muffle furnace
Smelting Pot furnace
Smelting Sweating furnace
Galvanizing Kettle Galvanizing kettle
Calcining Calcine kiln
Melting (No Flux) Furnace (All types)
Foundry Sand Handling Sand dryer
Foundry Sand Handling Sand silo
Foundry Sand Handling Muller
Foundry Sand Handling Shell core machines
Foundry Sand Handling Core oven
Foundry Sand Handling Conveyors & elevators
Foundry Sand Handling Shakeout machine
Foundry Sand Handling Sand screens
Foundry Sand Handling Other core machines
Foundry Sand Handling Casting knock out
Metal Pouring Pouring station or area
Casting Cleaning Tumblers
Casting Cleaning Chippers
Investment Castings Wax burn out
PRIMARY METALS
By-Product Process Coke battery
Beehive Process Beehive oven
Coke Crushing Crusher
Coke Screening Screens
Pelletizing Kiln
Ore Handling Conveyors, transfer, &
loading facilities
Ore Reduction Ore charged blast furnace
Agglomerates Reduction Agglomerates charged
blast furnace
Sintering Sintering furnace
Steel Production with Open hearth furnace
Oxygen Lance
Steel Production with Electric arc furnace
Oxygen Lance
Steel Production Basic Oxygen Furnace
Steel Production Open hearth furnace
without Oxygen Lance
Steel Production Electric arc furnace
without Oxygen Lance
Scarfing Scarfer
Roasting Roaster
Smelting Furnace
Converting Converter j
Refining Reverbratory furnace
Holding Holding furnace
0620
0621
0622
0623
0624
0630
0631
0632

0633

0634
0637
0640
0641
0642
0643
0644
0650
0651
0661
0662
0663
0664
0665
0666
0667
0669
0670
0671
0672
0673
0674
0675
0676
0681
0682
0677
0678
0679
0680

0700
0701
0702
0703
0710
0711

0720
0721

0722
0740

0741 <

0742
0743

0744

0745
0760
0761
0762
0763
0764
Tons of iron charged
Tons of iron charged
Tons of iron charged
Tons of iron charged
Tons of iron charged
Tons of steel processed
Toms of steel processed
Tons of steel processed

Tons of steel processed

Tons of steel processed
Tons of alloy steel processed
Tons of lead processed
Tons of lead processed
Tons of lead processed
Tons of lead processed
Tons of lead processed
Tons of magnesium processed
Tons of magnesium processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of zinc processed
Tons of sand handled
Tons of sand handled
Tons of sand handled
Tons of cores produced
Gallons of core oil used
Tons of sand handled
Tons of sand handled
Tons of sand handled
Tons of cores produced
Tons of sand handled
Tons of sand handled
Tons of castings cleaned
Tons of castings cleaned
Tons of wax burned

Tons of coal charged
Tons of coal charged
Tons of coal charged
Tons of coal charged
Tons of ore processed
Tons of ore processed

Tons of iron produced
Tons of iron produced

Tons of iron produced
Tons of steel produced

Tons of steel produced

Tons of steel produced
Tons of steel produced

Tons of steel produced

Tons of steel produced
Tons of concentrated ore
Tons of concentrated ore
Tons of concentrated ore
Tons of concentrated ore
Tons of concentrated ore
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes

Ye.
Yes

Yes

Yes
Yes

Yes

Yes
Ye»
Yes
Ye*
Ye*
Yes
                                              (cont.)
      -101-

-------
TABLE A-2.  (Concluded)
A
PRODUCT
B
PROCESS
DBF
C EQUIP- QUANTITY OF MATERIAL STACK
EQUIPMENT NAME MENT PROCESSED, HANDLED OR DATA
CODE NO. COLLECTED DURING 1976 REQUIRED
CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM MANUFACTURING
AMMONIA



HYDROCHLORIC
ACID
NITRIC ACID

SULFURIC ACID










PAINT





VARNISH






CHLOR-ALKALI





PRINTING INK




PETROLEUM
PRODUCTS

















Converting
Processed with CO
Absorber
Storage & Loading
By-Product Process

Ammonia — Oxidation
HjNOj — Concentration
Conversion of SO? to SOj
93%
94%
95%
96%
97%
98%
99%
99.5%
99.7%
100%
Mixing

Solvent Storage
Pigment Preparation


Cooking — Bodying Oil
Cooking — Oleoresinous
Cooking— Alkyd
Cooking — Acrylic
Cooking — Alkyd
Cooking — Acrylic
Solvent Storage
Liquefaction
Liquefaction
Loading of Chlorine
Loading of Chlorine
Air Blowing of
Mercury Cell Brine
Vehicle Cooking-Oil
Vehicle Cooking-
Oleoresinous
Vehicle Cooking-Alkyds
Pigment Mixing
Catalytic Cracking
Catalytic Cracking
Compressing
General Process



General Process
General Process
General Process
General Process
Desulfurization
Storage

Storage
Storage

Storage
Flaring
Flaring -
Purge gas exit
Regenerator exit

Tanks
Final exhaust

Final exhaust
Concentrator

Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Waste gas exit stack
Mixing tank — dry
Mixing tank — wet
Tanks
Grinders, Millers


Cooking tank
Cooking tank
Cooking tank
Cooking tank
Reactor Vessel
Reactor Vessel
Tanks
Diaphram cell
Mercury cell
Tank car vent
Storage tank vent
Air blow exit vent

Cooking kettles
Cooking kettles

Cooking kettles
Mixing facilities
Fluid cracking unit
Moving bed cracking unit
Internal combustion engine
Blow down systems (includes:
pipeline-valves, relief
valves, pumpseals, compressor
seals, air blowers etc.)
Process drains
Vacuum jets
Cooling towers
Miscellaneous heaters
Sulfur recover unit
Fixed roof tank_(gasoline or
finished product)
Fixed roof tank (crude oil)
Floating roof tank (gasoline
or finished product)
Floating roof tank (crude oil)
Hydrocarbon
Hydrogen sulfide
0800
0801

0802
0820

0840
0841

0880
0881
0882
0883
0884
0885
0886
0887
0888
0889
0900
0901
0902
0903


0920
0921
0922
0923
0924
0925
0926
0940
0941
0942
0943
0944

0960
0961

0962
0963
0980
0981
0982
0983



0984
0985
0986
0987
0989
0990

0991
0992

0993
0994
0995
Tons of ammonia produced
Tons of ammonia produced

Tons of ammonia stored
Tons of final acid

Tons of pure acid (100%)
Tons of pure acid (100%)

Tons of HjSOi produced (100%)
Tons of HZSO« produced (100%)
Tons of H,SO* produced (100%)
Tons of HiSO* produced (100%)
Tons of H2SO« produced (100%)
Tons of H,SO« produced (100%)
Tons of H2SO* produced (100%)
Tons of H2SO4 produced (100%)
Tons of H2SO« produced (100%)
Tons of H2S04 produced (100%)
Tons of pigment used
Tons of pigment used
Tons of solvent stored
Tons of material collected in
dust collectors (if no
collector, enter zero)
Tons of bodying oil produced
Tons of oleoresinous oil produced
Tons of alkyd produced
Tons of acrylic produced
Tons of alkyd produced
Tons of acrylic produced
Tons of solvent stored
Tons of chlorine liquified
Tons of chlorine liquified
Tons of chlorine liquified
Tons of chlorine liquified
Tons of chlorine liquified

Tons of oil based ink
Tons of oleoresinous based ink

Tons of alkyd based ink
Tons of total ink produced
Barrels of fresh feed
Barrels of fresh feed
1000 cubic feet gas burned
Barrels of refinery capacity



Barrels of waste water
Barrels of vacuum distillate
Gallons cooling water
Not applicable
Tons of sulfur removed
Barrels of product stored

Barrels of crude oil stored
Barrels of product stored

Barrels of crude oil stored
1000 cubic feet of gas burned
Tons HjS burned
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes

Yw
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes


Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
Ye»
Yes
Yes



Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes

Yes
Yes
Yes
ALL OTHER POINT SOURCES

Other sources
Not listed elsewhere
0999
Appropriate quantity of material
Yes

       -102-

-------
TABLE A-3.  EMISSION CONTROL EQUIPMENT CODES
     CODE         NAME
     00             No control equipment used
     01             Settling chamber
     02             Single cyclone
     03             Multicyclone
     04             Other centrifugal type
     05             Scrubber with water
     06             Scrubber with solution
     07             Venturi
     08             Oil filter
     09             Condenser
     10             Fabric filter
     11             Afterburner
     1 2             Catalytic  burner
     13             Electrostatic precipitator
     14             Primary burner
     lo             Wet baffle
                       -103-

-------
TABLE A-4.  ELEMENTS AND FORMAT OF MDNR BUSINESS DATA SET (LRECL = 360)

Field
Record Type
Identification:
Establishment
SIC
County
District
FEE Region
AQ Region
Physical:
Business Name
Plant Name
Street Number
Street Name
City
Zip
Owner
Person
Phone Number
FEE ID
Number of Employees
Mailing Information:
Line 1
Line 2
Street
City
State
Zip
Business Flags:
Mailing Address
Old Establishment
Plan Region
FEE Bypass
Sec. County
Creation Date
Change Date
3000 Sq. Ft.
Asterisk
Confidential
Filler
Start Position
1

3
8
12
14
16
17

20
48
76
83
103
123
128
156
176
186
195

200
230
260
290
310
315

320
321
326
328
329
332
340
348
349
350
351
Length
2

5
4
2
2
1
3

28
28
7
20
20
5
28
20
10
9
5

30
30
30
20
5
5

1
5
2
1
3
8
1
1
1
1
10
Type
N

A
N
N
N
N
N

A
A
N
A
A
N
N
A
N
A
N

A
A
A
A
A
A

N
A
N
N
N
A
N
N
A
A
A

                                -104-

-------
                                          Appendix B
                       HOUSING DATA AND FACTORS FOR ESTIMATION
                         OF 1955 RESIDENTIAL COAL CONSUMPTION
County
Macomb























Community
Armada
Armada Twp.
Bruce Twp.
Center line
Chesterfield Twp.
Clinton Twp.
E. Detroit
Fraser
Grosse Pt. Shores
(in St. Claire Shores)
Harrison Twp.
Lenox Twp.
Macomb Twp.
Memphis
Mount Clemens
New Baltimore
New Haven
Ray Twp.
Richmond
Richmond Twp.
Romeo
Roseville + Irin
Shelby Twp.
Sterling Heights
Occupied Dwelling
Units
1955
330
340
320
2,300
1,300
4,100
9,500
520

--
2,250
550
1,000
200
5,850
670
330
510
720
340
990
10, 760
2,750
2,250
1970
375
422
561
3,095
2,626
13,026
13,077
3,006

(43)
5,519
739
1,602
211
6,588
1,169
500
707
953
429
1,170
16,453
7,405
16, 325
Community
population
shift factor*
for
1955/1970
1.91
1.75
1.24
1.62
1.08
0.68
1.58
0.38

--
0.89
1.62
1.36
2.06
1.93
1.25
1.44
1.57
1.64
1.72
1.84
1.42
0.81
0.3
Correction
factor**
22.97
21.03
14.89
19.4
12.92
8.22
18.96
4.51

—
10.64
19.42
16.29
24.74
23.18
14.96
17.23
18.83
19.72
20.69
22.08
17.07
9.69
3.60
  * Community population shift factor is given by
DU
community, 1955
DU
community, 1970
X
DU
county, 1970
DU
county, 1955
                                                                            (continued)
                                                          where DU is the number of occupied
                                                           dwelling units.
** Correction factor for 1955 is equal to

         CC
             county, 1955
         CC
                            X  / community population\,
             county, 1970
I
shift factor
                           where CC is residential coal
                            consumption.
                                            -105-

-------
APPENDIX B.  (continued)




County
Macomb
[continued)





Oakland



































Community
St. Claire Shores
(plus Grosse Pt. Sh. )
Utica
Warren and War. Vil.
Washington
Total number of dwelling
units in Macomb
Addison Twp.
Anon Twp.
Berkley
Beverly Hills
Bingham Farms
Birmingham
Bloomfield Hills
Bloomfield Twp.
Brandon Twp.
Clarkston
Clawson
Commerce Twp.
Farmington (City)
Farmington Hills (Twp. )
Ferndale
Franklin
Groveland Twp.
Hazel Park
Highland Twp.
Holly Village
Holly Twp.
Huntington Woods
Independence Twp.
Keego Harbor
Lake Angelus
Lake Orion
Lathrup Village
Leonard
Lyon Twp.
Madison Heights
Milford
Milford Twp.


Occupied Dwelling
Units
1955
-
13,800
470
16, 200
645

78, 995
350
3,150
6, 100
--
—
7,000
490
3,200
580
240
3, 050
1,900
1,330
4,300
9,400
500
340
6,600
1,100
900
450
2,250
1,500
800
50
850
850
130
540
5,200
680
400
1970

24, 597
1,149
48, 595
1,500

171, 799
785
6,037
6,354
3,753
157
8,636
1,053
11, 354
999
348
4,779
3,839
3,132
13,363
10, 197
919
709
7,201
2,304
1,270
897
2,478
4,212
1,001
160
914
1,321
116
1,344
10,963
1,325
645

Community
population
shift factor *
for
1955/1970

1.22
0.89
0.73
0.94


0.76
0.89
1.64
--
--
1.38
0.79
0.48
0.99
1.18
1.09
0.84
0.72
0.55
1.57
0.93
0.82
1.56
0.81
1.21
0.85
1.55
0.61
1.36
0.53
1.58
1.10
1.19
0.68
0.81
0.87
1.06




Correction
factor **

14.64
10.68
8.70
11.22


18.31
21.43
39.42
—
—
33.29
19.11
11.57
23.84
28.32
26.21
20.32
17.44
13.21
37.86
22.34
19.69
37.64
19.61
29.10
20.60
37.29
14.62
32.82
12.83
38.19
26.42
46.02
16.50
19.48
21.08
25.47
          -106-
                                           (continued)

-------
APPENDIX B.  (continued)





County
Oakland
(continued)



























Wayne












Community
Northville
Novi
Oakland Twp.
Oak Park
Orchard Lake
Orion Twp.
Ortonville
Oxford
Oxford Twp.
Pleasant Ridge
Pontiac
Pontiac Twp.
Rochester
Rose Twp.
Royal Oak
Royal Oak Twp.
Southfield
South Lyon
Springfield Twp.
Sylvan Lake
Troy
Walled Lake
Waterford Twp.
West Bloomfield Twp.
White Lake Twp.
Wixom
Wolverine Lake
Total number of dwelling
units in Oakland
Allen Park
Belleville
Brownstown Twp.
Canton Twp.
Dearborn
Dearborn Heights
Detroit
Ecorse


Occupied Dwelling
Units

1955
— —
1,400
510
7,700
290
1,900
240
750
610
1,160
22,700
2,100
1,500
390
19, 400
2,300
8,200
470
620
540
4,000
450
9,600
2,600
1,760
—
500

155, 920
8,600
580
2,100
1,300
32, 800
8,200
543, 000
4,700

1970
566
2,676
1,197
10, 940
410
4,708
278
782
1,640
1,196
25, 581
3,801
2,541
668
27, 823
2,350
24, 073
753
1,196
697
12, 195
1,065
16, 829
7,333
4,025
608
1,155

265, 741
11,489
830
3,103
3,261
34,614
22,481
498,621
5,326

Community
population
shift factor *
for
1955/1970
_-
0.89
0.73
1.20
1.21
0.69
1.47
1.63
0.63
1.65
1.51
0.94
1.01
0.99
1.19
1.67
0.58
1.06
0.88
1.32
0.56
0.72
0.97
0.60
0.75
—
0.74


0.81
0.76
0.73
0.43
1.03
0.40
1.18
0.96




Correction
factor **
__
21.48
17.50
28.90
29.05
16.57
35.45
39.39
15.27
39.83
36.44
22.69
24,24
23.98
28.63
40.19
13.99
25.63
21.29
31.82
13.47
17.35
23.43
14.56
17.96
—
17.78


6.90
6.44
6.24
3.67
8.73
3.36
10.03
8.13
                                         (continued)
          -107-

-------
APPENDIX B. (continued)





County
Wayne
(continued)









































Community
Flat Rock
Garden City
Gibraltar
Gross e He Twp.
Grosse Pointe
Grosse Pointe Farms
Grosse Pointe Park
Grosse Pointe Shs.
Grosse Pointe Woods
Hamtramck
Harper Woods
Highland Park
Huron Twp.
Inkster
Lincoln Park
Linonia
Melvindale
Northville
Northville Twp.
Plymouth
Plymouth Twp.
Redford Twp.
River Rouge
Riverview
Rockwood
Romulus
Southgate (Ecorse) Twp.
Sumpter Twp.
Taylor
Trenton
Van Buren Twp.
Wayne
Westland (Nankin)
Woodhaven
Wyandotte
Total number of dwellin
units in W ayne



Occupied Dwelling-
Units

1955
990
6,300
600
1,400
2,100
3,400
4,400
445
4,700
11,950
4,950
14, 350
1,630
8,100
12,800
10, 500
3,300
1,060
770
2,450
1,460
14, 600
5,750
1,400
330
3,700
5,500
1,150
7,500
2«950
2,100
3,750
7,300
—
12, 100
!
767, 085

1970
1,554
10, 482
1,106
2,297
2,293
3,732
4,823
904
6,391
10, 138
6,402
12,412
2,099
10, 443
15, 999
27, 686
4,403
1,082
1,762
3,762
4,909
19,759
5,090
2,951
885
6,574
9,189
2,173
18, 498
6,530
3,590
5,998
23,046
~
12, 922

831,609


Community
population
shift factor *
.*:_„
lor
1955/1970
0.69
0.65
0.59
0.66
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.53
0.80
1.28
0.84
1.25
0.84
0.84
0.87
0.41
0.81
1.06
0.47
0.71
0.32
0.80
1.22
0.51
0.40
0.61
0.65
0.57
0.44
0.49
0.63
0.68
0.34
~
1.02







/"• 4-'
v_orrsction
factor **
5.87
5.54
5.0
5.62
8.44
8.39
8.41
4.54
6.78
10.86
7.12
10.65
7.16
7.15
7.37
3.49
6.91
9.03
4.03
6.00
2.74
6.81
10.41
4.37
3.44
5.19
5.51
4.88
3.74
4.16
5.39
5.76
2.92
~
8.63



          -108-

-------
                                 APPENDIX C
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«H 
-------
TABLE C-2. SOURCES OF AMBIENT NICKEL AND CADMIUM AND THEIR EMISSIONS
                FOR THE DETROIT METROPOLITAN AREA.

Source Establishment
County Category Number
Wayne Zinc smelting
Zinc smelting
Zinc smelting
Zinc smelting
Cement manufacturing
Incinerator
Incinerator
Steel production
Steel production
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Macomb Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Oakland Coal combustion
Coal combustion
A8030
B2159
B3175
B3246
B3567
B2103
B2118
A7809
A8640
A8645
B2185
B2800
B2811
B2812
B3011
B3165
B3683
B4009
B4073
B4277
M2680
A3567
A3568
B1801
B2763
B2767
A5260
B4030
Locations, UTM
Coordinates *
X Y
3328
3308
3297
3053
3239
3245
3215
3240
3226
3025
3276
3227
3198
3387
3302
3067
3260
3222
3012
3278
3294
3319
3318
3329
3326
3322
2915
3148
46992
46932
46926
46887
46836
46832
46726
46795
46852
46935
46854
46762
46658
46911
46906
46845
46831
46733
46832
46936
46900
47166
47255
47134
47072
47021
47086
47207
Controlled Emissions
kg per year
Nickel Cadmium
0
0
0
0
278
422
54
97
56
44
86
36
471
34
87
57
138
1454
42
79
41
78
69
43
42
317
40
61
2176
1429
480
299
278
961
123
973
555
73
143
59
782
57
144
95
229
2414
70
131
67
131
115
71
70
526
66
101
* In 100-meter units. (continued}
                               -116-

-------
                                  TABLE C-2.  (Concluded)

County
Oakland

Wayne





Macomb

Oakland
Source
Category
Coal combustion
Coal combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Oil combustion
Establishment
Number
B4033
B4047
A6928
A9831
B2137
B2798
B3680
B4275
B1798
B4049
A5262
Locations, UTM Controlled Emissions
Coordinates * kg per year
X Y Nickel Cadmium
' 3126
3115
3318
3223
2999
3267
3198
3265
3323
3323
2804
47214
47255
46895
46831
46940
46847
46666
46857
47035
47086
47162
34
208
95
629
55
139
112
112
149
142
60
57
345
4.7
31.4
2.8
40.6
6.9
5.6
7.4
7.1
3.0 •

* In 100-meter units.
                                          -117-

-------
                        Appendix D

         TABLE D-l. AMBIENT BaP CONCENTRATIONS AS REPORTED BY
                   SAWICKIETAL. (18) FOR DETROIT*


      Month
    and Year	BaP Concentrations in Nanograms/Cubic Meter


  July 1958                               6.0
  August 1958                             4.1
  September 1958
  October 1958                           18.0
  November 1958                          19.0
  December 1958                          20.0
  January 1959                           28.0
  February 1959                          31.0
  March 1959                             16.0
  April 1959                             12.0
  May 1959                                7.4
  June 1959                               3.4


  11-month average                       15.0
* Site location shown in Figure 9.
                             -118-

-------
      TABLE D-2. ANNUAL AVERAGE AMBIENT BaP CONCENTRATIONS AT NASN SITES

                IN THE DETROIT METROPOLITAN STUDY AREA, ng/m
     Year         Detroit*      Dearborn**    Trenton**      Flint**
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
4.7
5.4
5.1
3.9
2.6
1.4
1.9
1.0
--
1.0






0.
1.
1.
••


1.4
1.6
0.2

6
0
7
•~

1.4
0.8
1.7
0.5






* Site locations are shown  in  Figure 9.

t Sites not shown in Figure 9;  their UTM x and y coordinates are:

      Dearborn:  320.8   4687.5
      Trenton:   320.0   4667.4
      Flint:     281.1   4765.6
                                -119-

-------
    TABLE D-3.  AMBIENT CONCENTRATIONS OF BaP AS REPORTED
      BY INTERNATIONAL JOINT COMMISSION STUDY IN ng/m3
                                 Site Number*

     Date                401           406           409
December 1967
January 1968
February 1968
March 1968
April 1968
May 1968
June 1968
July 1968
August 1968
September 1968
October 1968
November 1968
Average

2.1
1.7
1.3
7.2
1.0
0.9
1.0
0.7
0.8
1.1
1.1
1.6
5.9
6.1
3.4
14.9
6.1
3.4
4.3
2.0
2.8
12.0
16.2
6.7
7.0
2.1
1.5
1.4
1.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.0
0.7
0.7
0.6
1.0
1.1

* Site  locations are shown  in Figure 9.
                         -120-

-------
               TABLE D-4. AMBIENT BaP CONCENTRATIONS MEASURED
                AT WAYNE COUNTY MONITORING SITES IN ng/m3 (16)

Site Number*
Year
1971
Annual
1972
Annual
1973
Annual
1974
Annual
1975
Annual
1976
Annual
Months
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
Average

4
2
1
4
3
3
1
2
1
2
3
3
2
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
4
2
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
02
.15
.08
.77
.01
.0
.89
.84
.52
.53
.45
.05
.79
.08
.17
.02
.30
.58
.80
.17
.46
.30
.97
.30
.15
.43
.20
.94
.86
.05
.26

3
1
2
4
2
4
1
4
I
3
5
4
3
3
4
1
2
1
1
1
4
6
3
4
4
2
1
1
2
2
04
.38
.89
.12
.50
.97
.22
.97
.91
.47
.14
.13
.62
.61
.26
.16
.81
.13
.39
.45
.70
.85
.74
.30
.51
.85
.78
.84
.94
.67
.31
05
6.98
5.36
7.05
17.90
9.32
6.53
3.18
8.76
5.33
5.95
18.4
13.5
7.15
8.07
11.78
6.20
9.16
4.04
23.92
10.83
10.63
20.93
11.03
16.27
14.72
6.20
7.75
5.21
5.62
6.20

4
2
2
2
3
3
1
5
1_
2
4
3
2
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
06
.54
.62
.79
.47
.62
.14
.02
.21
.09
.62
.43
.83
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.23
.12
.37
.20
.45
.04
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.41
.73
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.21
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.49
.61
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08
2.
2.
2.
2.
2.
2.
1.
4.
L
2.
3.
2.
2.
2.
2.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
2.
2.
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1.
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26
04
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47
39
42
57
80
45.
56
50
91
26
11
70
65
36
36
39
44
15
03
59
40
54
66
02
10
78
14
on
1.59
1.19
0.91
1.53
1.31
1.79
0.90
1.37
1.22
1.32
2.47
1.85
1.72
1.96
2.00
0.21
0.59
0.39
0.15
0.34
1.16
0.75
0.48
0.54
0.73
0.34
0.61
0.43
0.68
0.52
* Site  locations are  shown in  Figure 9.
                                    -121-

-------
              TABLE D-5.  AMBIENT CONCENTRATIONS OF NICKEL

             IN THE DETROIT METROPOLITAN STUDY AREA IN ug/m3
Year &
Quarter
1971
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Wayne County Sites*
01 04 05 06 012 32 34
.013 .054 .060 .008 .015 .122 .045
.007 .026 .023 .000 .008 .013 .027
.007 .014 .040 .000 .000 .090 .027
.006 .014 .013 .014 .000 .012 .026
NASN Si test
1

Average .008 .027 .034 .005 .006 .059 .031
I ^
1972
1st .031 .066 .086 .018 .039 .256 .078
2nd .078 .078 .128 .018 .026 .118 .031
3rd .101 .087 .112 .043 .091 .082 .044
4th .092 .078 .138 .064 .072 .065 .062
Average .075 .077 .116 .036 .057 .130 .054
1973
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
.028 .048 .039 .022 .015 .015 .024
.028 .041 .039 .010 .010 .030 .027
.023 .025 .035 .013 .013 .024 .018
.020 .036 .029 .015 .010 .025 ".063


.000
.000
.015
Average .025 .037 .035 .015 .012 .023 .033 \
1974
1st
2nd
3rd
: 4th
1
.041 .051 .069 .026 .029 .056 .061
.046 .045 .053 .037 .037 .051 .066
.057 .054 .057 .037 .024 .038 .037
.038 .058 .057 .043 .037 .062 .054
: Average .045 .052 .059 .035 .032 .052 .054
1975
1st -Olf .017 .035 .016 .026 .028 .024
2nd .016 .017 .017 .024 .008 .016 .016
3rd .017 .018 .017 .007 .005 .017 .016
4th .017 .017 .017 .016 .004 .017 .007
Average .016 .017 .035 .016 .026 .019 .016
1976_
i 1st
2nd
! 3rd
: 4th
.012 .023 .016 .040 .034
.019 .025 .033 .021 .008 .018 .013
.012 .025 .022 .016 .017 .017 .016
' .016 .016 .015 .016 .016 .025 .024
Average .015 .022 .023 .018 .014 .025 .022
.000
.000
.000
.000

.019
.012
.013
.015

2






.000
.000

.016
.011
.000
.012
.013

3


.000
.000
.000

.000
.000
.011

.000





4 i 5








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.000





.000
.000
.000
.000
1
.000
.000
.000

.000
.000





*  Site  locations shown in Figure 25.

t  NASN  sites and their x and y UTM coordinates  are:
           1. Dearborn
           2. Detroit
           3. Flint
           4. Flint
           5. Trenton
320.8   4687.5
329.8   4691.4
281.1   4765.6
281.0   4765.3
320.0   4667.4
                                     -122-

-------
         TABLE D-6.  AMBIENT CONCENTRATIONS OF CADMIUM
           IN THE DETROIT METROPOLITAN AREA IN ug/m3
Year &
Quarter
1971
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average
1972
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average
1973
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average
1974
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average
1975
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average

1976
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Average

Wayne County Sites*
01 04 05 06 012 32 34

.007 .004 .006 .006 .003 .027 .007
.006 .005 .006 .003 .006 .014 .012
.007 .006 -Oil .003 .003 .002 .006
.005 .005 .012 .005 .004 .018 .003
.006 .005 .009 .004 .004 .015 .007

.108 .004 .008 .002 .005 .010 .005
.006 .006 .005 .006 .005 .010 .004
.003 .003 .004 .002 .002 .008 .003
.006 .004 .006 .002 .003 .004 .005
.031 .004 .006 .003 .004 .008 .004

.004 .005 .005 .003 .007 .009 .003
.003 .004 .005 .003 .003 .009 .003
.004 .004 .005 .003 .003 .011 .003
.004 .005 .007 .003 .003 .009 .006
.004 .004 .005 .003 .004 .009 .004

.004 .004 .007 .004 .003 .005 .004
.005 .004 .005 .003 .003 .006 .003
.004 .005 .007 .004 .004 .004 .005
.005 .006 .006 .006 .004 .007 .005
.004 .005 .006 .004 .003 .005 .004

.002 .003 .004 .002 .003 .005 .002
.003 .002 .004 .002 .003 .005 .002
.002 .002 .005 .004 .003 .004 .002
.002 .003 .004 .002 .002 .004 .002
.002 .002 .004 .002 .003 .004 .002


.003 .002 .001 .002 .002
.004 .003 .002 .002 .000 .004 .003
.004 .002 .005 .002 .001 .005 .007
.002 .002 .004 .002 .001 .003 .005
.003 .002 .004 .002 .001 .003 .004


1


.000
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.. -,


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2

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1


i


*  Site Locations  shown in Figure 30.

t NASN Sites  and  their x  and y UTM coordinates are:
       1. Dearborn
       2. Detroit
       3. Flint
       4. Flint
       5. Trenton
320-8  4687.5
329-8  4691-4
281-1  4765-6
281-0  4765-3
320-0  4667-4
                                      -123-

-------
                                           Appendix E
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                                            TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                                   •(Please read liutrueaons on the reverse before completing}
   EPA-600/1-79-002
                                     2.
                                                                           3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSIO^NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 Environmental Carcinogens and Human Cancer: Estimation of Exposure
 to Carcinogens in the Ambient Air
                S. REPORT DATE
                     January 1979
                6. PERFORMING ORUANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOH(S)
 Niren L. Nagda, Ph.D.
                8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
                   GEOMET Report Number HF-701
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
 GEOMET, Incorporated
 15 Firstfield Road
 Gaithersburg, MD  20760
                 10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                    1HE775
                 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                   68-03-2504
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 Health Effects  Research Laboratory
 Office of Research  and  Development
 U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
 Research  Triangle Park, N.r.
     RTP.NC
                 13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                   Final Task Report
                 14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                   EPA 600/11
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
 This report describes a part of work done under Task 11 of EPA Contract 68-03-2504.
 16. ABSTRACT
               In this study, a methodology for ambient exposure analysis of carcinogens was developed based on a pilot
   study of the Detroit Metropolitan area.  The specific aim of the analysis was to identify high and low exposure areas
   within the study area.  Four known or suspected carcinogens and groups of carcinogens: BaP, trichloroethylene, nickel
   and its compounds, and cadmium and its compounds were studied.  The  analysis of ambient exposure to BaP consisted
   of the use of the Air Quality Display Model (AQDM) to simulate levels of BaP which might have existed during 1956
   to 1960.  The analysis for BaP involved a  multistep procedure. In order  to examine the accuracy of AQDM predicted
   BaP ambient concentrations,  present conditions (1975-1976) were simulated and compared against known concentrations
   in the area. Next, BaP emissions for the period 1956-1960 were estimated by analyzing past trends for significant sources.
   This emissions data base,  along with meteorological data for the same period,  was used as an input to ADQM to predict
   historical exposure to BaP. The analysis for the other three carcinogens was less detailed than that for BaP.  It was com-
   prised of estimation of emissions and calculation of emission density for each of the three carcinogens.  For nickel and
   cadmium,  it also included a comparison of spatial variation in emissions with measured air quality patterns in the Detroit
   area.  The results of this  study were very encouraging in light of the scarcity of data on carcinogens.  Excellent correla-
   tion between observed and estimated concentrations was obtained for BaP.  In  the case of nickel and cadmium, the esti-
   mated emission density patterns matched well with observed air quality patterns.  Due to the lack of data on ambient
   concentrations, a similar comparison was  not possible for trichloroethylene. The carcinogen exposure patterns developed
   in this study are being used in the selection of population samples for an  epidemiological study of the area.
17.
                                         KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
a.
                       DESCRIPTORS
                                                           b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                  c,  COSATI Field/Group
   Carcinogens*
   Air pollution*
   Exposure*
   Mathematical model
 Detroit
 Benzo-a-pyrene
 Cadmium
 Trichloroethylene
 Air Quality Display Model (AQDM)
   06,  F
13. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
   Release Unlimited
19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)
   Unclassified
21. NO. OF PAGES
     150
                                                           20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
                                                              Unclassified
                                                                                              22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                                         142

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