EPA 171-R-92-017
United States
•Environmental Protection
Agency
Office Of
The Administrator
(A101F)
EPA171-R-92-017
PB-92-182427
July 1992
                  Future Land
                  Use Scenarios
                  For Federal Facilities
                                                   Printed on Recycled Paper

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PRELIMINARY REVIEW OF FUTURE LAND USE SCENARIOS

                      FOR

                FORT RICHARDSON
                  Prepared by:

                  Scott  Leland
                 EPA Region 10
            Federal  Facility  Section
                August 26, 1991
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.




Map

TABLE OP CONTENTS
Introduction ......................

Land Use in the Area Surrounding Fort Richardson ....
Projections for Continued Army Ownership
of Fort Richardson ....... 	 ......
Scenarios for Future Land Use at Fort Richardson
a) North Anchorage Land Agreement 	 	 	
b) Parceling . 	 ...............
c) Additional Complications Due to Groundwater .....
d) OEA Survey ......................



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                           DISCLAIMER

This report was  furnished to the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency by  the student identified on the cover page,  under a National
Network for  Environmental Management Studies  fellowship.

The contents  are essentially as  received  from the  author.  The
opinions, findings,  and conclusions  expressed  are  those  of the author
and  not necessarily those of the  U.S. Environmental  Protection
Agency.  Mention,  if any, of company, process, or product names is
not to be considered as an endorsement  by the U.S.  Environmental
Protection  Agency.

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1. INTRODUCTION

This  memorandum  addresses future  land  use plans  for  the Fort
Richardson and  the surrounding area.  The scenarios presented here
were   developed  after   reviewing   surrounding   land  uses  and
information available from Fort Richardson.
2. SITE DESCRIPTION

Fort Richardson  is  the largest of the army posts in Alaska and is
headquarters  for the  6th Infantry  Division  (Light),  which also
includes Fort Wainwright and Fort Greely.  Fort Richardson employs
approximately  6,000 civilian  and military  personnel.   The post
comprises approximately 62,000 acres (97 square miles).

Facilities  include  an  airfield and hangars,  family housing units,
army barracks, several  schools, a community center, a power plant,
numerous large  warehouses, commissary,  firehouse,  bank, theatre,
other small shops and buildings, a cemetery,  and thousands of acres
of open land.


3. LAND USE IN THE  AREA SURROUNDING FORT RICHARDSON

Fort Richardson  is  located within the municipality of Anchorage in
south-central Alaska (see map,  page 7).   The reservation is bounded
by Anchorage proper and Elmendorf Air Force  Base to the west and
Eagle Bay and Knik  Arm in the  northwest and north.   The southern
and eastern boundaries traverse undeveloped lands along much of the
boundary, most of which is Chugach State Park.  The Town of Eagle
River is located on the eastern border.  The Glenn Highway bisects
Fort Richardson.

The Fort Richardson region is  characterized  by  flat lowlands and
gently rolling  hills,  open low-spruce forests,  numerous streams,
ponds, and  treeless wetlands.1

Wildlife migration  occurs through  the  Ship Creek Basin, part of
which  passes through  Fort Richardson,   south of Glenn Highway.
Wetlands are another important  part of the base, located primarily
in  the northern portions of  the  facility.    The   largest  and
ecologically  most  important  tidal  march is  Eagle  River  Flats,
located along the  lower section of the  Eagle River  at Eagle Bay.
Portions of this area are currently  contaminated with unexploded
munitions.
     Source:  Draft document, Field Investigation Plan for the Confirmation of
Fire Training Pits at Fort Richardson, Fort Wainwright,  and Fort Greely
Alaska.  Prepared by: Ecology and Environment, Inc., Anchorage.  December 28,
1990.


                                                    Fort Richardson,  Page 1

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4. PROJECTIONS FOR CONTINUED ARMY OWNERSHIP OF FORT RICHARDSON

Fort Richardson was established in November  1940, and has operated
continuously ever  since.   Its primary mission  was originally to
defend Alaska against foreign invaders.  During World War II, Fort
Richardson  was  a  staging and  supply area  with  the  troop size
varying  from 7,800  to more than  15,000.    In  1950, the Army
established  a  new cantonment  area  on the  northern part  of the
installation and released the  land  on the western section of the
Fort to the Air Force.  Elmendorf Air  Force  Base was built on this
section of land.

Since 1986, Fort Richardson has been under the command of the 6th
Infantry Division.

Official documents call for  the continued use of Fort Richardson
by the Army.  There  is  some  indication,  however,  that the  future
life  of  the  base  may  be   limited.     Base  personnel  in  the
Environmental Resources Branch (ERB) have expressed the  belief that
Fort Richardson will be recommended for  closure  within the next
three to four years  by  the Base Closure  Commission.   The feeling
among ERB  personnel  is  that  the Fort  "squeaked by"  in not being
recommended for closure by the 1991  Commission.  The Commission is
required to make new  closure and realignment  recommendations  to the
President by July 1993, and again by July 1995.


5. SCENARIOS FOR FUTURE LAND USE AT FORT RICHARDSON

a) The North Anchorage  Land  Agreement;   The North Anchorage Land
Agreement  (NALA) governs the disposition of over one-half of Fort
Richardson, if and when it is ever determined excess to the needs
of the Department of  Defense.  NALA was signed in 1982 by the State
of Alaska,  the Municipality of  Anchorage  and Eklutna,  Inc.  (a
Native corporation  formed under provisions  of  the Alaska  Native
Claims  Settlement Act).    Approximately  42,300  acres  of Fort
Richardson and Elmendorf Air  Force Base military lands are  involved
in the agreement.  According to a summary of this agreement:

     "Certain of these areas, which in the agreement are specified
     as public  interest lands,  will be transferred to the  state.
     These include the Eagle River Flats  (as wildlife  habitat); a
     large tract south of  Eagle river and east of the Glenn Highway
     (as  a  key winter  range  for moose) ;  a  corridor  of land
     extending upland 200  feet from the line of ordinary high water
     of each bank of  Eagle River (as a public greenbelt) ; 160 acres
     at either  Clunie or Six-Mile  lake  (for a future  floatplane
     base); and as much as 1,000 acres from  an area south  of Eagle
     River  (for mass or bulk transportation purposes - probably a
     new railroad yard).  Also conveyed to the state will  be other
                                                   Fort Richardson,  Page 2

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     interest including the existing Alaska Railroad right-of-way
     and the right  to realign the track if needed....

     "An additional 3,000  acres of public interest lands — which
     are not yet  identified,  will be conveyed to the Municipality
     of Anchorage for schools, police  stations,  libraries, local
     parks  and  recreational  facilities,  greenbelts  and  other
     municipal purposes....

     "The  remaining  former military  lands will  be conveyed to
     Eklutna, Inc., and the Municipality  of Anchorage  as tenants
     in common.  These lands are referred to as development lands.
     Eklutna, Inc., and the Municipality of Anchorage will prepare
     a  land use  plan for  these  lands in the event transfer of
     military land  is to occur....11

Regardless  of the impact of NALA,  the  closure of  Fort Richardson
will initiate  a political  process of  negotiation  and  compromise
between all parties interested in the disposition of the land.  The
Army will  want to  sell as much  of the  land and  facilities as
possible  in  order  to  recoup  some   of  its  investment;    the
Municipality  of  Anchorage  may  attempt  to  acguire  additional
portions  for free  or below  market value,  and it  will  probably
attempt to control reuse scenarios through  local zoning ordinances;
there  will  be  political  and  economic  pressure  to  bring  in
businesses  and  industries  to replace the  civilian  jobs lost as a
result  of  the base's closure; and  there  will likely  be special
interest groups lobbying for additional wildlife preserves, parks
and other public  uses.

The experience of current base closures (including those at Pease,
Norton, George, Mather and Chanute Air Force Bases) suggests that
the local community's reuse plan heavily influences the outcome of
a base transfer.  In  the case of  Fort Richardson,  NALA appears to
be the only current reuse plan.  However, more detailed plans will
likely  be  developed  when   the base  is eventually  announced for
closure.

b) Parceling;  In addition to the provisions of NALA as summarized
above,  the transfer of Fort Richardson's land and facilities to new
ownership will depend on certain legal issues.   One  of the key such
issues is the extent to which current law will allow clean parcels
of  sites on  the  National  Priority List to  be   separated  from
contaminated parcels and subsequently transferred to new ownership.
For example,  if  the  areas of  groundwater contamination  at Fort
Richardson must be  fully remediated before any uncontaminated land
    TJortA Anchorage Land Agreement.  (A summary description of the actual
agreement, provided by: Municipality of Anchorage, Economic Development and
Planning Department/ P.O. Box 196650/ Anchorage,  AK  99519. Tel: (907) 343-
4222.  [Contact:  Tom Nelson, Supervisor of  Land Use Planning.])  Page 2.


                                                    Fort Richardson,  Page 3

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can be transferred to new  owners,  then the Army will be forced to
maintain ownership of  the entire base well into the next century
until remedial pump-and-treat  operations are  completed.

A  related  issue  is  whether current  law will  allow the  Army to
transfer land overlying areas with groundwater contamination after
remedial equipment has been installed and  remediation  begun  (but
before remediation has  been completed).  If  not,  then  once again
the Army will be forced to  maintain  ownership  of such land well
into the next century, until remedial  ground  water pump-and-treat
operations are completed.

c) Additional complications  due  to aroundwater.   For the purposes
of hazardous waste remedial  work,  four categories of land use are
often  considered:   Residential,   Industrial,  Recreational,  and
Agricultural.  These categories are used for any surface area in
or  around  the   affected  site.    For   subsurface areas,  and
particularly for  groundwater,  the  applicability of these separate
categories becomes less  clear due to  the  complications caused by
the natural movements of the underlying aquifer.

For example, in section  (e)  below  it  is suggested that  the runway
at Fort Richardson may continue to be used for aviation, for which
the  Industrial  classification  is applicable.    The  underlying
groundwater,  however,   may  be  more  appropriately  classified
Residential,  since  this  is a likely  scenario  for  some  of  the
surface areas within a mile  of the airfield.   The extent to which
such  distinct classifications can overly the  same property is
unclear.  In such cases,  it may be necessary to assign both surface
and subsurface areas of the property  to  the  same classification,
selecting  the classification  which corresponds to  the greatest
exposure  level   —  in  this  case  Residential.    However,  no
recommendation for resolving this issue is made in this memorandum.
The issue is raised here because  it needs to be resolved before the
assignment of future use categories can be finalized.

d) PEA survey.  A survey conducted by the Department of Defense's
Office  of  Economic  Adjustment  (OEA)  offers  some   insight into
possible  future  uses  of  Fort  Richardson land and  facilities.
Entitled  "25 Years  of  Civilian  Reuse,"  the  survey  gives  100
examples of base  closures  and  their subsequent  uses.3  The results
of this survey are used to help  formulate the scenarios suggested
below.

e) Likely scenarios.  Based on the results of  the OEA  survey and
the characteristics  of Fort Richardson  and the surrounding area,
the following future scenarios are suggested:
     See: 25 Years of Civilian Reuse: Summary of Completed Military Base
Economic Adjustment Projects,  1961-1986.  Published by the Office of Economic
Adjustment  (Department of Defense),  Washington, D.C.  April-May 1986.


                                                    Fort Richardson, Page 4

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Multiple uses are likely.  Fort Richardson contains housing,
warehouses  and other  structures, an  airfield,  plus large
amounts of vacant land.  It is unlikely that this  entire area
will be dedicated toward a  single use in the future.  In OEA's
survey, 81 percent  of  the  former  bases listed more than one
new occupant after transfer to the civilian sector.  At least
66 percent show distinct categories of occupant and use — a
municipal airport and  an industrial  park,  for example,  or a
community college and a housing center.

Portions of  Fort Richardson  may  be transferred  to  the Air
Force for adjoinment to Elmendorf Air Force Base.  Elmendorf
recently  received  personnel   evacuating  Clark  AFB   in  the
Philippines  after   a   volcanic  eruption  threatened  base
activity.    With  the  anticipated  closure   of   Clark  AFB,
Elmendorf now appears to be in a good position  for  an expanded
role within  the  Air Force, and it could  use  the airway and
housing facilities  currently  at Fort  Richardson  for future
growth.

Even if  Elmendorf AFB  does not take over portions  of Fort
Richardson,  there  is  a  reasonable  possibility that  the
airfield and hangars will  continue to  be used for aviation.
In OEA's survey, of the 54 former Air Force Depots and Naval
Air  Stations with  runway  facilities,  41  (or  76%)  listed
aviation as one of their uses after transfer to the civilian
sector.

Unless deed restrictions or other institutional controls are
employed, a  Residential scenario  cannot  reasonably be ruled
out for those areas containing housing facilities.  In OEA's
survey, about one quarter (26%) of the former depots contained
residential  developments.    In no case  was  a   residential
development the only use of a former depot.

A likely use for the remaining buildings in the administration
area is some form of industrial park.  (Seventy-four percent
of the  former  depots surveyed in OEA's  study were at least
partially devoted to business or industrial parks).

Much of the  land  south of  Glenn Highway is undeveloped, and
approximately 20,000 acres are contaminated with unexploded
ordnance.  Due to prohibitive costs, it is unlikely that the
Department of Defense will  remediate this area to  levels that
would allow for unrestricted development.   Consequently, some
sort of institutional  control  is  likely  for  this area.   One
possible  scenario  is  that the  land  will  be  adjoined  to
adjacent  Chugach  State Park  as  some  form  of  restricted
wildlife refuge.
                                              Fort Richardson,  Page 5

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O    Some  of  the   wetlands  in  Eagle  River  Flats   are  also
     contaminated with  unexploded ordnance.  This area  will also
     likely require some form of institutional control to restrict
     future use.

The diagram on page 8 shows, in rough outline, how these scenarios
might be  translated to a  map of Fort  Richardson.   It  should  be
emphasized that the diagram is merely suggestive and should not be
interpreted   as  a  final   evaluation   of  future    land   use
classifications or  boundaries.
                                                    Fort Richardson,  Page 6

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   •s-
      £3
                 ARCTIC  OCEAN
                                          PACIFIC  OCEAN
                          FORT RICHARDSON
Source: Ecology tc  Environment. Inc. 1990
   FIGURE  1
                                                        FIRE TRAINING PIT SITES
                                                Anchorage. Ft. Greely.  Ft. Wainwright. Alaska
                                                     CONTRACT  DACA85-88-D-0014
                                                TITLE:
                                                         SITE  LOCATION  MAP
                                                Project No. KM5110
                                                ecology 
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                            0   (Undeveloped)
                        RESIDENTIAL and ;
                               INSTITUTIONAL CONTROL  v
                           ^  (Restricted use)
                       l"y/' i^s-v>:   '•'
           irl-S^t^tf '^l^ll ;I5
FIGURE 2:  Possible future  uses of. property and facilities at Fort
Richardson (62,000 acres).  The scenarios presented here are merely  suggestive
and should not be construed as a final evaluation of future land use
classifications or boundaries.
                                                                         Page g

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MEMORANDUM ON FUTURE LAND USE SCENARIOS

                  FOR

        FAIRCHILD AIR FORCE  BASE
              Prepared by:

              Scott Leland
             EPA Region 10
        Federal  Facility Section

            August 22, 1991
TABLE OF CONTENTS


4. Projections for Continued Air Force Ownership
of Fairchild AFB 	
5. Scenarios for Future Land Use at Fairchild AFB
a) Politics 	


b) Comprehensive Plan ..................




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1. INTRODUCTION

This memorandum addresses  future  land use plans for Fairchild Air
Force Base (Fairchild AFB)  and the surrounding area.  The scenarios
presented here were developed after reviewing surrounding land uses
and Fairchild AFB  site plans.


2. BASE DESCRIPTION

Fairchild is located  12 miles southwest of the  city of Spokane in
Spokane  County,  Washington  (see  map  on page  eight).   The  base
occupies 4,499 acres.  The closest private residences lie adjacent
to the northern base  perimeter along Route 2.

Approximately  5,300 military personnel and their  dependents  live
on the base; 1,900 military personnel live off-base.  In addition,
a total  of  about  855 civilians from surrounding  communities are
employed on the base.

Facilities at  Fairchild  include 1,580  family housing  units,  plus
373 other buildings (with over 6.02 million square feet of interior
space),  including  warehouses,  stores, schools,  and a  hospital.
There are also 91.6 miles of  paved roads, and an airfield with over
2.3 million square yards of  pavement.

None  of  the  land  on Fairchild  is  leased or  made available  to
surrounding land owners.   The only exception  is an easement for a
local farmer for use  of a  private access road.
3. LAND USE IN THE AREA  SURROUNDING  FAIRCHILD AFB

There is no publicly owned land in the area immediately surrounding
Fairchild  AFB.    Most  of  the  surrounding  area  is  made  up  of
privately held farms; there is also a small residential area along
the northeast corner of  the base,  on the  north side of Route 2.

According  to  the Spokane  City  Planning Department,1 most  of  the
land within one mile  of Fairchild  is  designated as  rural land,
which allows a maximum density of  one building unit per 10  acres.
(The land immediately surrounding Airway Heights is designated for
industrial  use,  as  is  much  of  the  land  extending further  east
toward Spokane.  Despite this industrial  designation,  most  of the
land is currently either vacant or used for agriculture.)  Existing
designations and buffers are  designed specifically to protect the
area surrounding Fairchild from experiencing  further growth  to
prevent interference with base operations.
     Contact: Pat Frankovic, Spokane County Planning Department/ North 721
Jefferson Street/ Spokane, WA 99260.  Tel:  (509) 456-2205).


                                                     Fairchild AFB, Page 1

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Communities that are close to the base include the city of Spokane,
Airway Heights  and Medical Lake:2
O  Spokane  (population  173,700;  12  miles  east of  FAFB)  is  the
   economic capital of the region.   Its economy is  heavily  based
   on service industries  and  wholesale/retail  trade.   Fairchild
   AFB is the largest  single employer of the area.
O  Airway Heights  (population  1,975;  1.5 miles northeast of FAFB),
   is heavily dependent on FAFB for its economic well-being.
O  Medical Lake (population  3,900;  approximately one mile south of
   FAFB)  is a residential community, with a number of its residents
   commuting  to the city  of Spokane and  Fairchild AFB  for  their
   employment.   Many  residents  are retired  military  personnel.
   State institutions, including Eastern State Hospital,  are  the
   major employers of  city residents.

It is  also noteworthy that the  Spokane International  Airport is
located  approximately four miles  east of  Fairchild  AFB.    The
proximity  of the   airport  supports  the notion that  Fairchild's
airfield may continue  to be used for aviation in the future, should
the base be closed.

The larger area of Spokane County has approximately 367,200 people
(1990 estimate), or about 208.2 people  per  square  mile.   (Without
the city of  Spokane,  the population density is approximately  106
people per  square  mile.)  Neighboring  Lincoln  County,  which lies
about six miles west of Fairchild AFB,  has a population density of
only 3.8 persons per square mile.

The growth rate in the area is sluggish, with the population of the
county  having  increased  about  7.4  percent  in ten years  (from
341,835 in 1980 to 367,200 in 1990).  Additional growth rates  are
given below:

City              Growth Rate         Population/Years
Spokane           1.4% in ten years    171,300 (1980) to 173,700 (1990)
Airway Heights     14% in ten years     1,730 (1980) to 1,975  (1990)
Medical Lake       8.3% in ten years    3,600 (1980) to 3,900  (1990)


Table  1  gives  a  breakdown  of land  ownership  in  Spokane  County,
showing that private ownership accounts for over 90 percent of all
lands.
        information on these three cities (with the exception of the
population  figures, which  have been updated) is taken  from pages 7 and 8 of
the Community delations Plan, Fairchild Air Force Base, March 1990.


                                                      Fairchild AFB, Page 2

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                                                   Percent
                              Acres                 Total

Private Land                1,024,662                  91.0%

Public Lands
  Federal                      21,396                  1.9%
  State                       51,371                  4.6%
  County                      27,691                  2.5%
  TOTAL          .           1,965,651                 100.0%
Table 1.  Breakdown of land ownership in Spokane County.   (Sources Washington
State Atlas and Databook:  1990 Edition.  Published by The Information Press,
1990. Page 15.)
4. PROJECTIONS FOR CONTINUED AIR FORCE  OWNERSHIP OF FAIRCHILD  AFB

Fairchild AFB  opened  in 1942 and has operated continuously ever
since.   The  base  will celebrate its  50th  anniversary  next year.
Fairchild appears  to  be well  regarded  within  the  Department  of
Defense;  in  1985,  it  was  appointed  a "Model Installation" by  the
Deputy  Secretary of Defense.

The  Air Force  has announced specific plans  and realignments  for
Fairchild AFB only as far  as mid-1995.    Neither the 1988 nor  the
1991  Base Closure  Commissions  recommended the  base  for closure,
however,  and there has been  no indication that the base will be a
target  for  closure when  the Base  Closure Commission  makes  new
recommendations  in 1993 and again in 1995.  A "Comprehensive Plan"
published by FAFB  in February 1991 speaks of continuing operations
"for  many more years",4 and  suggests that the land use strategies
developed therein will carry the base  "to the year 2000."5
     These plans are from page 18 of an Air Force Public Announcement Fact
Sheet on Base Closures and Realignments  released approximately May 1991:  "Four
actions are being announced.   The 92nd Bombardment Wing will  lose 2 KC-135R
aircraft in mid-1993 and gain  3 B-52H aircraft in late 1993.  The Castle  AFB,
Calif., closure recommendation realigns  the Combat Crew Training missions and
5 KC-135R aircraft to Fairchild AFB in early 1995.  The mid-1991 base manpower
authorization of 4,117 full-time, 1,046  drill, and 772 civilians is projected
to increase by 1,221 full-time and 89 civilians by mid-1995."
    /
     See:  Comprehensive  Plan: Fairchild Air Force Base: Executive  Summary.
Printed February 1991.  Page  1.
     ibid,  page 23.
                                                         Fairchild AFB, Page 3

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5. SCENARIOS FOR FUTURE LAND USE AT FAIRCHILD AFB

a) Politics;  When Fairchild is eventually closed, the process of
transferring the land and facilities to new owners is likely to be
very political.  The  land and facilities are suitable for a variety
of purposes,  including housing,  an  industrial  park,  an airport;
farming or range land.

The Air Force will attempt to sell  the  land and  facilities at fair
market value; the local communities of  Spokane,  Airway Heights and
Medical Lake, together with the government  of Spokane County, will
attempt to acquire properties  for  free or  below market value and
will  try to  control  reuse scenarios  through  the local  zoning
ordinances; there will be political and economic pressure to bring
in businesses and  industries to  replace  the  approximately 850
civilian jobs lost from the base's closure; and there will likely
be other competing interests between various local groups.

The experience of current base closures (including those at Pease,
Norton, George, Mather and Chanute Air Force Bases)  suggests that
the local community's reuse plan  heavily influences  the outcome of
a base  transfer.   Such plans  typically  are  not formulated until
after a base  is  announced  for closure.  In the case of Fairchild
AFB,   this  study did  not  identify  any local committee  which has
formulated reuse plans.

The reuse  process  is likely to  involve  a  number of negotiations
and compromises.  The  scenarios that are suggested  in section (f)
below represent possible outcomes based on current conditions and
facilities,  but  the  final   result   is   impossible  to  predict
beforehand.

b) Parceling:    In  addition  to  the political  process described
above,  the  transfer  of Fairchild AFB  land and  facilities to new
ownership will depend on certain  legal  issues.  One of the key such
issues is the extent to which current law will allow clean parcels
of sites  on  the National Priority  List  to  be separated from
contaminated parcels and subsequently transferred to  new ownership.
For example, if the areas of groundwater contamination at Fairchild
must  be fully remediated  before any  uncontaminated  land  can be
transferred to  new  owners, then the Air Force  will be forced to
maintain ownership of the  entire base well into the next century
until remedial pump-and-treat  operations are completed.

A related issue is whether current law will allow the Air Force to
transfer land overlying areas with  groundwater contamination after
remedial equipment has been installed and  remediation begun  (but
before  remediation has been completed) .   If  not, then once again
the Air Force will  be forced  to maintain  ownership of such land
well  into the next century, until remedial ground water pump-and-
treat operations are  completed.

                                                     Fairchild AFB, Page 4

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c) Additional complications due  to aroundwater.   For the purposes
of the baseline  risk assessment, four categories  of land use are
applicable:    Residential,    Industrial,    Recreational,    and
Agricultural.  These categories apply  to any surface  area  in or
around the affected  site.  For subsurface areas,  and particularly
for groundwater,  the applicability of  these  separate  categories
becomes less clear due to  the complications caused by the natural
movements of the underlying aquifer.

For example, in section (f) below it is suggested that the airfield
at Fairchild AFB will continue to  be  used for aviation, for which
the  Industrial  classification  is applicable.    The  underlying
groundwater,  however,   may   be  more  appropriately  classified
Agricultural or Residential, since these  are likely scenarios for
the surface areas immediately adjacent to  the airfield.  The extent
to which such distinct classifications can overly the same property
is unclear.   In such  cases,  it may  be necessary to assign both
surface  and  subsurface   areas  of  the   property  to  the  same
classification, selecting  the classification which corresponds to
the greatest exposure level — in this case Residential.  However,
no  recommendation  for  resolving  this  issue is made  in  this
memorandum.   The  issue is  raised here  because  it needs  to be
resolved before  the assignment  of future use categories can be
finalized.
d) Comprehensive plan.   Fairchild's  "Comprehensive Plan" outlines
anticipated  future  land  uses  showing changes   in  the  current
residential  and  industrial  patterns.    A  map  detailing  these
anticipated new uses is  reproduced on page nine and serves as one
of the bases for the future use scenarios suggested in section (d)
below.
e) PEA survey.  A survey  conducted by the Department of Defense's
Office  of  Economic Adjustment  (OEA)  offers  some  insight  into
possible  future uses of Fairchild land and  facilities.   Entitled
"25 Years of Civilian Reuse," the survey gives 100 examples of base
closures  and  their  subsequent uses.6  The results of  this survey
were also used to formulate  the  suggested scenarios  below.


f) Likely scenarios.  Based on  Fairchild1s  "Comprehensive Plan",
the results of the OEA survey and the characteristics of Fairchild
and  the  surrounding area,  the  following  future  scenarios  are
suggested:
     See: 25 Years of Civilian Reuse: Summary of Completed Military Base
Economic Adjustment Projects,  1961-1986.  Published by the Office of Economic
Adjustment  (Department of Defense),  Washington,  D.C.  April-May 1986.


                                                     Fairchild AFB, Page 5

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O    Multiple  uses  are  likely.    Fairchild  contains  runways,
     housing, schools, stores,  warehouses and other buildings, and
     large amounts  of vacant  land.   It is unlikely  that  all of
     these facilities and  land will be  dedicated toward a single
     use in the future.   In OEA's  survey, 81 percent of the former
     bases listed more than one new occupant after transfer to the
     civilian sector. At least 66 percent show distinct categories
     of occupant and use — a municipal airport and an industrial
     park,  for example,  or a  community  college  and  a  housing
     center.

O    There is a strong possibility that  the runway facilities will
     continue  to  be used for aviation  after transfer.   In OEA's
     survey,  of the  54  former Air  Force Bases  and  Naval  Air
     Stations with runway facilities,  41 (or 76%) listed aviation
     as one of their current uses.

O    Unless deed restrictions or other  institutional controls are
     employed, a Residential scenario cannot  reasonably be ruled
     out  for  the area  containing  houses and base barracks.   In
     OEA's survey,  about one  quarter (26%)  of  the  former bases
     contained  residential  developments.    In  no   case  was  a
     residential development the only use of a former base.

O    A likely use for the remaining buildings on  site  is some form
     of industrial park.  (Seventy-four percent of the  former bases
     surveyed  in  OEA's  study were at least partially devoted to
     business or industrial parks).  Adding weight to this scenario
     is the fact that the economy of the city of Airway Heights is
     heavily dependent  on the base, and the base also serves as a
     major employer for both Spokane and Medical  Lake.  This means
     that,  locally,  there  will  be   substantial  economic  and
     political pressure to bring  in  substitute  employers should
     the base ever be closed.

O    For the-peripheral areas of the base, as of yet undeveloped,
     the most likely scenario is agricultural use,  in  keeping with
     most  of  the surrounding  area.   Residential  and  industrial
     scenarios are less likely in these  areas, given the generally
     low  population density outside  of Spokane,  the low growth
     rate,  and  the  availability  of residences  and  industrial
     facilities on other portions  of the base.

The  diagram  on page   ten  shows,  in  rough  outline,  how these
scenarios might be translated to a map  of  the base.   It should be
emphasized that the diagram is  merely  suggestive  and should not be
interpreted   as   a  final  determination  of   future  land  use
classifications or boundaries.

Future  land use  will  conform to Air  Force  specifications,  as
represented by the map  on  page 7, until  the base is closed and
transferred to the civilian sector.   The  time  until transfer is

                                                     Fairchild AFB, Page 6

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indeterminate, although it appears unlikely  that it would  occur
prior to  the year 2000.   This  assessment stems  from  Fairchild's
status as  a "Model Installation" and  from the fact the base  has
developed specific land use plans and construction activities that
will take  it to  at least the year  2000,  if not  beyond.   Despite
this  assessment,  it  should  be  noted  that  the  Base  Closure
Commission will be making new recommendations for base closures by
July 1993, and again by July 1995.  All military installations will
be subject to review for closure at these  times.
                                                     Fail-child AFB, Page 7

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LOCATION MAP OF FAIRCHILD AIR FORCE BASE
        AND SPOKANE, WASHINGTON
                                                Page 8

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                 FUTURE LAND USE
LEGEND
D Airfield
• Ops/Maint
• Community (Comm)
D Community (SVQ
D Administration
B Industrial
• Outdoor Recreation
• Open Space
D UEPH (Dorms)
D Housing
• Tenant
• Medical
(Source: "Comprehensive Plan, Fairchild
 Air Force Base: Executive  Summary."
 Printed by Fairchild Air Force Base,
 February, 1991.)
                                                           Page 9

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FIGURE 3:  Possible future uses of property and facilities at Fairchild
Air Force Base (4,500 acres).  The scenarios presented here are merely
suggestive and should not be construed as a final evaluation of future
land use classifications or boundaries.
                                                                    Page 10

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             MEMORANDUM ON  FUTURE LAND USE  SCENARIOS

                                 FOR

                   MOUNTAIN HOME AIR FORCE BASE
                            Prepared by:
                            Scott Leland
                            EPA Region 10
                     Federal Facility Section
                          August 21,  1991
                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.  Introduction  	  1
2.  Base Description	1
3.  Land Use in the Area Surrounding Mountain Home AFB	1
4.  Soil and Climate Information	3
5.  Projections for Continued Air Force  Ownership
    of Mountain Home AFB	4
6.  Scenarios for Future Land Use at Mountain Home AFB
    a) Politics	4
    b) Parceling	5
    c) Additional complications due .to groundwater	  .  6
    d) OEA survey	6
    e) Likely scenarios  	  6

Maps	  9-10

Appendix A: Land Use Plans Surrounding MHAFB   	 11

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1. INTRODUCTION

This memorandum  addresses land use  plans for Mountain Home Air
Force  Base  (MHAFB)  and  the  surrounding area.    The scenarios
presented  here were developed after reviewing  surrounding land
uses, soil survey information, and Mountain Home AFB site plans.


2» BASE DESCRIPTION

MHAFB is located ten miles southwest of the city of Mountain Home
in Elmore County, Idaho (see pages seven and eight  for  maps).  The
base occupies 5,800 acres, or approximately nine square miles.  Its
southern boarder lies about 2.5 miles north of the Snake River; the
closest private residence lies less than a mile to the  northwest.


Approximately  6,990 military  personnel  and their dependents live
on the base; 2,250 military personnel live off-base.  In addition,
approximately  1000  civilians from Mountain Home and  surrounding
towns are employed on the base.

Facilities at  MHAFB include 1,521 houses,  26 dormitory quarters
(with a capacity for 1,596 beds),  a hospital,  stores, recreational
services,  a  riding stable,   and  several schools.   Facilities to
support the  base's  primary mission include an airfield, hangars,
numerous warehouses  and smaller buildings.   A total of 243 non-
residential buildings exist on base.


3. LAND USE IN THE AREA SURROUNDING MOUNTAIN HOME AFB

The following  agencies  were contacted regarding land  use in the
area surrounding MHAFB:

O    U.S. Bureau of Land Management
O    U.S. Forest Service
O    U.S. Department of Agriculture  (Soil Conservation  Service)
O    Idaho Department of Lands
O    Idaho Fish and Game
O    Idaho Department of Parks and Recreation
O    Elmore County Planning and Zoning
O    Elmore County Assessor's Office

Appendix A lists the  information obtained from these agencies.
None of  the  agencies contacted has  future land management plans
that call for significantly altering current  land uses.  The area
surrounding Mountain Home AFB  is primarily agricultural, although
range land and forested areas make up  over  91  percent of Elmore
County land (see Table  1 for a breakdown of land uses within Elmore
County).  Much of  the  land  is federally owned and managed by the
Bureau of  Land Management and the National  Forest Service  (see
Table 2 for a breakdown of land ownership in  Elmore  County).
                                                  Mountain Home AFB,  Page 1

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Urban Land
Agricultural
Range land
Forest
Water
Wetland
Barren Land
Tundra
Perennial Snow
TOTAL

Acrea
12,000
138,700
1,299,300
502,300
18,900
0
0
0
0
1,971,200
Percent
Total
0.6%
7.0%
65.9%
25.5%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Table 1.  Breakdown of land uses within Elmore County.  (Source:"County Profiles
of Idaho", published by the Idaho Department of Commerce, 1989.)
                               Acres
Federal  Land
  BLM                         535,653
  National Forests             783,321
  Other                       116,521
State Land
Endowment Land
Fish & Game
Parks & Recreation
Private Land
County Land
Municipal Land
TOTAL
117,186
6,405
513
406,028
0
24
1,965,651
6.0%
0.3%
0.0%
20.7%
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Table 2.  Breakdown of land ownership in Elmore'County.  (Source: "County Profiles
of Idaho", published by the Idaho Department of. Commerce,  1989.)
The  population  of the  area  surrounding MHAFB is  sparse.    Elmore
County has  approximately  22,100  people  (1987  estimate),  or  about
7.2  people  per square mile.   The growth rate  is also  modest,  with

                                                        Mountain Home AFB, Page 2

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the  population of the county having increased only 2.4  percent in
eight years (from 21,565 in 1980 to 22,100 in 1988).   Table 3 lists
the  population  of  the  towns surrounding MHAFB  and  gives  the
approximate number of people  from each town that work on the base.
It also shows  that the economies of most of the surrounding towns
are  based on agriculture  and ranching.
o City of Mountain Home:
     -  Population                                                 8,900
     -  Number of residents employed at MHAFB                        =1,000
     -  Located 10 miles southwest of MHAFB
     -  Economy is service and agriculturally oriented
o Grandview
     -  Population                                                   350
     -  Number of residents employed at MHAFB                            0
     -  Located 15 miles southwest of MHAFB, across the Snake River
     -  Economy is farming oriented
o Hammet
     -  Population                                                   500
     -  Number of residents employed at MHAFB                            2
     -  Located southeast of MHAFB
     -  Economy is farming and ranching oriented
o Glenns Ferry
     -  Population                                                 1,500
     -  Number of residents employed at MHAFB                            75
     -  Located 25 miles southeast of MHAFB
     -  Economy is based on agriculture  and an  electronics plant
       (which is a major employer)
o Bruneau
     -  Population                                                   600
     -  Number of residents employed at MHAFB                            0
     -  Located 10 miles south of MHAFB
     -  Economy is ranching oriented

Table 3.   Descriptive data on communities surrounding Mountain Home Air Force
Base.  (Source:  "Installation Restoration Program Community Relations Plan,
Mountain Home AFB, Idaho."  Prepared by Woodward-Clyde, Omaha, NE.  April 1991.
Page 4.)
4. SOIL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION

A soil survey of the  Mountain  Home AFB  area was  performed by the
U.S.  Department of Agriculture's Soil Conservation Service.  This
survey indicates generally poor suitability for agriculture without
irrigation due to low precipitation  (7-9  inches  per year).  Even
with  irrigation, agricultural  suitability is  rated  only  fair in
four  of the  seven  areas  surveyed.   All areas are susceptible to
                                                      Mountain Home AFB,  Page 3

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erosion problems, and three of the  seven  areas  are limited due to
shallow topsoil.

One factor which  may limit future development of  the area is  the
availability of groundwater.   The area is currently in  its fifth
year of drought, and the water table is falling.  This  problem  was
mentioned by several of the agencies contacted as being a limiting
factor in the future growth of the  area.


5. PROJECTIONS FOR CONTINUED AIR  FORCE  OWNERSHIP OF MHAFB

MHAFB was  one of the  installations which the  1991 Base  Closure
Commission added  to the  Pentagon's recommended closure  list  in
order  to further investigate  closure options.    By  July  1991,
however, the  Commission  announced  that  it  was not recommending
MHAFB for  closure.   Nevertheless,  the  Commission will  be making
new closure recommendations by July 1993, and again by  July 1995.
All military  installations are subject to  review for closure at
those times.

The Air Force has announced specific plans for  Mountain Home  AFB
only as far as 1992.   There are indicators which suggest, however,
that military hopes to  maintain control  significantly  into  the
future:

O Per an Air  Force public  announcement:  "Mountain Home  AFB will
  host a new composite wing formed of different types of aircraft.
  However,   actual  number  and  mix  of  aircraft  and  personnel
  requirements, have not  yet been defined.   The forces  will begin
  arriving in 1992."1

O There  is a proposal   from  the  Air Force,   supported  by  the
  Governor's  office,  to  open  up  a  new 150,000 acre  training
  facility for MHAFB in  an area currently owned  by the  Bureau of
  Land Management,  located approximately 50 miles SE  of Mountain
  Home city.  The Environmental Impact  Study for this  proposal is
  currently scheduled  to be undertaken in  1992.   Estimates from
  BLM contacts indicate that the  whole  process  could take several
  years before  being approved.   This suggests  that the  Air Force
  may have plans  for MHAFB extending well beyond 1992.


6. SCENARIOS FOR  FUTURE LAND USE  AT MHAFB

a) Politics:   When  MHAFB  is  eventually closed,  the  process of
transferring the  land and facilities to new owners is likely to be
very political.  The land and facilities are suitable for a variety
     United States Air Force.  Public Announcement Fact Sheets (re. Base
Closures and Realignments).  Washington, D.C.  1991.  Page 11.

                                                  Mountain Home AFB, Page

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of  purposes,  including  housing,  industrial  parks,  a municipal
airport, rangeland and farming  (with adequate irrigation).

The Air Force will attempt to sell the  land  and facilities at fair
market value; the local community of Mountain Home, together with
the government of Elmore County, will attempt to acquire properties
for  free or  below  market value and will  try  to  control  reuse
scenarios  through the  local  zoning ordinances;  there  will  be
political  and  economic  pressure  to   bring  in  businesses  and
industries to replace the 1000 civilian jobs lost from the base's
closure; and there will likely be other  competing interests between
various special interest groups.

The.experience of current base closures  (including those at Pease,
Norton, George, Mather and Chanute Air Force' Bases) suggests that
the local community's reuse plan heavily influences  the outcome of
a base  transfer.   Such plans  typically are not  formulated until
after a  base  is announced for closure.   In the  case of  Mountain
Home  AFB,   local communities  have  not  developed reuse plans,
although numerous residents  were active  in lobbying  to keep the
base open during  the  period  in which it was being considered for
closure.

The reuse process is likely to  involve a number  of negotiations
and compromises.  The scenarios  that are  suggested in section (e)
below represent possible outcomes based on current conditions and
facilities,  but  the  final  result  is  impossible  to  predict
beforehand.

b)  Parceling;    In  addition to the political process described
above, the transfer of MHAFB land and facilities to new ownership
will depend on  certain  legal  issues.   One of  the key such issues
is  the  extent to which  current law will allow clean parcels of
sites  on  the  National  Priority  List  to  be  separated  from
contaminated parcels and subsequently transferred to new ownership.
For example,  if the areas of  groundwater contamination at MHAFB
must be  fully remediated  before any uncontaminated  land can be
transferred to  new  owners,  then the Air  Force will be forced to
maintain ownership of the  entire base  well into  the next century
until remedial pump-and-treat operations  are completed.

A related issue is whether current law  will  allow the Air  Force to
transfer land overlying areas with groundwater contamination after
remedial equipment has  been  installed  and remediation begun (but
before remediation has been  completed).   If not,  then once again
the Air  Force will  be forced to maintain ownership of such land
well into the next century, until remedial ground water pump-and-
treat operations are completed.

c) Additional complications due  to groundwater.   For the  purposes
of the baseline  risk  assessment, four  categories  of land use are
applicable:    Residential,    Industrial,   Recreational,    and

                                                 Mountain Home AFB. Page 5

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Agricultural.   These categories  apply to any surface  area in or
around the affected site.   For subsurface areas,  and particularly
for  groundwater,  the applicability of these  separate  categories
becomes less clear  due  to  the complications caused by the natural
movements of the underlying aquifer.

For example, in section (e) below it is suggested that the airfield
at MHAFB  will  continue to  be used for  aviation,  for  which the
Industrial   classification   is  applicable.     The   underlying
groundwater,   however,   may  be  more appropriately  classified
Residential,  since  this  is  a likely  scenario for  some  of the
surface areas  within 1.5  miles of the airfield.   The  extent to
which such  distinct classifications can  overly the same property
is unclear.   In such  cases, it may  be necessary  to assign both
surface  and   subsurface   areas  of  the   property  to  the  same
classification, selecting  the classification which corresponds to
the greatest exposure level  — in this case Residential.  However,
no  recommendation  for  resolving  this  issue is  made in  this
memorandum.   The  issue is  raised here  because  it  needs  to be
resolved before the assignment of future  use categories  can be
finalized.

d) PEA survey.  A survey conducted  by the Department of Defense's
Office  of  Economic Adjustment  (OEA)  offers  some insight  into
possible future uses of  Mountain  Home AFB land  and  facilities.
Entitled  "25  Years of Civilian  Reuse,"  the survey   gives 100
examples of base closures  and their subsequent uses.2  The results
of this survey were used to help formulate the scenarios suggested
below.

e) Likely scenarios.   Based on the results  of the OEA  survey and
the  characteristics  of  MHAFB  and  the  surrounding  area,  the
following future scenarios are suggested:

O Multiple  uses are  likely.   MHAFB  contains runways,  housing,
  schools,  stores,  warehouses  and  other  buildings,   and   large
  amounts  of  vacant land.    It  is  unlikely that all  of these
  facilities and land will be dedicated toward a single use in the
  future.  In OEA's survey,  81 percent of the former bases listed
  more than one new occupant after transfer to  the civilian sector.
  At least 66 percent show distinct categories of occupant and use
  — a municipal airport and an industrial  park,  for example, or
  a community  college and  a housing center.

O There is  a strong possibility  that the runway  facilities will
  continue  to  be  used  for aviation  after transfer.    In  OEA's
  survey, of the 54 former Air Force  Bases and Naval Air Stations
     See: 25 Years of Civilian Reuse: Summary of Completed Military Base
Economic Adjustment Projects, 1961-1986,  Published by the Office of Economic
Adjustment (Department of Defense),  Washington, D.C.  April-May 1986.


                                                   Mountain Home AFB,  Page 6

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  with  runway facilities,  41 (or 76%)  listed aviation  as one of
  their current uses.

O Unless  deed  restrictions  or  other  institutional  controls are
  employed,  a Residential scenario cannot  reasonably be ruled out
  for the areas  containing  houses  and base  barracks.   In OEA's
  survey,  about one  quarter (26%) of  the former  bases contained
  residential  developments.    In  no  case   was  a  residential
  development the only use of a former  base.

O A likely use for the remaining buildings on site is some form of
  industrial park.    (Seventy-four percent  of  the  former bases
  surveyed  in  OEA's  study  were  at  least partially devoted to
  business or industrial parks).   Adding weight  to this scenario
  is the  fact  that  the economy  of the city  of Mountain  Home is
  heavily dependent  on the base, with approximately 1000 civilian
  residents  being employed there.   This means that, locally, there
  will be substantial economic and political  pressure to bring in
  substitute employers should the base  ever be closed.

O For the peripheral areas  of  the base,  as  of  yet undeveloped,
  likely  scenarios are:
  - agricultural,  if irrigation is provided,  or
  - range land,  similar to much of the  surrounding land area.
  Residential and industrial scenarios are  less  likely in these
  areas,  given the  low population density,  low growth  rate, and
  the availability of residences and facilities on other portions
  of the  base.

The  diagram on  page  ten  shows,  in   rough  outline,   how  these
scenarios might be translated to a map  of  the base.  It should be
emphasized that the  diagram is merely suggestive and should not be
interpreted   as   a   final  evaluation   of    future   land   use
classifications or boundaries.

The  likely   time until  transfer  to  the   civilian  sector  is
indeterminate.   This uncertainty  is  highlighted  by the fact that
the base's mission  has changed  six  times  since being  opened in
1943. including  two periods of deactivation (1945-49  and 1950-
51) .  MHAFB was also one of  the bases which the 1991 Base Closure
Commission considered recommending for closure, so  it may again be
singled out  for consideration in the future.   The Commission will
make new  recommendations  by July  1,  1993, and again by  July 1,
1995.
   T'he following table summarizes the base's history:

DATES            COMMAND
1943-1945 	  Army Air Corps
1945-1949 	  Deactivated
1949-1950 	  Strategic Air Command
1950-1951 	  Deactivated
DATES           COMMAND
1951-1953 	  Military Air Transport
1953-1965 	  Strategic Air Command
1966-Present  .  . .  Tactical Air Command
                                                   Mountain Home AFB,  Page 7

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The Air Force has committed activities for a new composite wing at
MHAFB into at least 1992.  The proposal to open up a new training
grounds area nearby suggests  that the Air Force hopes to keep the
base open for several more years,  although more detailed plans have
yet to be announced.
                                                   Mountain Home AFB, Page 8

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                                                            100

            [Mountain Home AFB|
                                    Mountain Home Air Force Base. Site 8
                                           Elmort County, Idaho
                                              VICINITY MAP
                                                                  T-1001
                                 RESOURCES CONSERVATION CO.
                                 SHANNON ft WILSON. INC.
   FIG. 1
FIGURE  1:  Location  of Mountain  Home AFB.
Page  9

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                                       RANGE LAND or
                                       AGRICULTURAL
RESIDENTIAL
c.
           T4S
           T5S
                                                                                Mountain Home''..'
                                                                                     Boundary  \
                INDUSTRIAL
             FIGURE 2:  Possible  future  uses  of  property  and  facilities at Mountain
             Home Air Force Base  (5,800  acres).   The  scenarios  presented here are
             merely suggestive and  should  not be construed  as a final evaluation of
             future land use classifications  or  boundaries.
                                                                                Page 10

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APPENDIX A:  LAND USE PLANS SURROUNDING MOUNTAIN HOME APB
o U.S. Bureau of Land Management:
  The U.S. Bureau of Land Management (BLM)  has  scattered ownership
  of the land surrounding MHAFB.  Grazing is the primary use of the
  land,  followed  by wildlife  habitat.     There  is also some
  recreational  use,  primarily  on  nearby  Snake River.   The BLM
  regional office  is scheduled to do a  "Resource Management Plan"
  in 1995, which will address future land  uses.   (Contact:  Dennis
  Hoyem/ BLM Area Manager for Mountain Home/ 3948 Development Ave./
  Boise, ID  83705.  FTS  327-3300.)

O U.S. Forest Service:
  The Forest Service owns no land adjacent to  MHAFB.  The  nearest
  Forest  Service land lies about  40  miles north  of  the city of
  Mountain Home.   Moreover, MHAFB  lies outside of the proclaimed
  boundary of potential U.S. Forest Service property.  The Forest
  Service therefore has no legislative  authority to bid for MHAFB
  property,  should it  ever become  available.   (Contact: Larry
  Tripp, Mountain  Home Ranger Station  (208) 587-7961.)

O U.S. Department  of Agriculture (Soil  Conservation Service):
  USDA's  involvement  with  the   area  has  been  primarily  in
  undertaking a soil survey.   The land  in and  around  MHAFB is
  generally unsuitable for agriculture without irrigation.   Erosion
  and shallow soil depth are  other limiting problems.   (Contact:
  Skip Venton   (208) 587-3616)

O Idaho Department of Lands:
  Large portions of land surrounding  MHAFB belong to the Snake
  River Birds of Prey  National  Conservation Area.  No changes in
  current management  practices  are foreseen in the near  future.
  (Contact: Don McNearie, Boise office, (208)  334-0253.)

O Idaho Fish and Game:
  Fish  and Game  has no  land  adjacent to MHAFB.    The  nearest
  property is a reservoir lying approximately  4 miles south along
  the Snake River.   (Contact: Dale Vonsteem, Garden City district
  office: (208)  327-7025.)

O Idaho Department of Parks and Recreation:
  Has no  land  that  borders MHAFB.    Bruneau  State Park  is the
  closest Parks and Recreation land.   (Phone:  (208) 887-4863)

O Elmore County Planning  and Zoning:
  Elmore County maintains zoning ordinances which  protect the land
  area immediately surrounding MHAFB from experiencing significant
  growth.    The  County  expects   to   maintain these  ordinances
  indefinitely,  as long as the Air  Force Base is operational.  The
  Planning and  Zoning  office has no other long range management
  plans for the area.

                                                 Mountain Home AFB, Page 11

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  (Contact: Larry Lasuen, Director.  190 South 4th East/ Courthouse
  Annex/ Mountain Home,  ID  83647.   (208)  587-2142)

O Elmore County Assessor's Office:
  The Assessor  commented that residential  growth in the  area is
  very  slow,  with  very few  new residential  developments.   The
  approximate  land  values  in  the  area  are  $500  per acre  for
  irrigated land  (with pumps  installed);  $60-70 per acre  for dry
  grazing land; and $1,300-2,000 per acre for residential use, for
  lots  under  five acres.   (Contact: Ken Pierce,  Assessor.  (208)
  587-2126)
                                                  Mountain Home AFB, Page 12

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MEMORANDUM ON FUTURE LAND USE SCENARIOS

                  FOR

   U.S. ARMY DEPOT ACTIVITY UMATILLA
              Prepared by:

              Scott Leland
             EPA Region 10
        Federal  Facility  Section
            August 26, 1991
TABLE OF CONTENTS

3. Land Use in the Area Surrounding Umatilla Army Depot ...
4. Projections for Continued Army Ownership
of the Umatilla Depot 	
5. Scenarios for Future Land Use at Umatilla Army Depot





.... 1
.... 1
.... 2
.... 4
. . . . 5
.... 5
.... 6
.... 6
. . . 8-9


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1. INTRODUCTION
         	                                     f

This memorandum addresses future land use plans for the U.S. Army
Depot Activity  Umatilla (UMDA)  and the surrounding area.  The
scenarios presented here were developed after reviewing
surrounding  land uses and UMDA site plans.


2. SITE DESCRIPTION

The Umatilla Army Depot occupies 19,727 acres and is located 10
miles west of Hermiston,  in Umatilla and Morrow counties, Oregon
(see map on  page 8).

Since 1941,  Umatilla has performed the mission of reserve storage
and demilitarization of conventional and chemical munitions.  In
December 1988,  however,  UMDA was recommended for realignment and
eventual closure by the 1988 Base Closure Commission.  According
to the Commission's report:

     "The military value of the installation was lower than
     other installations in the same category, primarily
     because it is a small single-mission installation.  The
     facilities at Umatilla also require upgrading...
     Umatilla's mission can be managed more effectively in
     another location..."1

Facilities at UMDA,  as of November 1987, consisted of 346
buildings; 1,001 ammunition igloos; approximately one million
feet of warehouse space;  24 family housing units; a 13-unit
bachelor-enlisted quarters; and an apartment for visiting
personnel.   Additionally,  the installation has 194 miles of paved
roads, 51 miles of railroad track,  and a 3,000-foot airstrip.

UMDA has several noteworthy characteristics which will impact
future land'uses:

O    The 1001 ammunition igloos are large, semi-buried fortified
     structures measuring approximately 100 feet long by 15 feet
     high; the  walls are several feet thick and designed to
     withstand  the force of high explosives at close range.
     These igloos were constructed on-site; it is likely that
     they will  remain on-site after UMDA is eventually closed
     down, as the cost of removal is likely to be prohibitive.

O    Approximately 1,100 acres of the northwest portion of UMDA
     have been  used as an "Ammunition Destruction Activity (ADA)"
     Base Realignments and Closures: Report of the Defense Secretary's
Commission, December 1988.  Published by the Department of Defense, December
1988.


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     area.  The ADA  contains numerous  burning  pits  and trenches
     where bulk explosives were  open burned without detonation or
     where ordnance  was buried and detonated.  A  portion of  the
     buried ordnance may have never detonated, however,  and  may
     be buried up to 15 feet below the surface.   The task of
     screening for unexploded ordnance over 1,100 acres to a
     depth of 15 feet to uncover and safely dispose of this     *
     ordnance would  be formidable.  The costs  for the Department
     of Defense to clear this area to  the point at  which it  may
     be considered safe for unrestricted use,  such  as residential
     or industrial,  would be prohibitive.

     The chemical munitions currently  stored at UMDA are
     scheduled to be destroyed through a program  known as
     chemical demilitarization.  If the four incinerators
     required for this program are constructed on-site at UMDA,
     as appears likely, then future scenarios  could include  their
     continued use as hazardous  waste  incinerators  after the
     eventual closure of UMDA.
As of January 1988, the work force at Umatilla consisted  of  three
military personnel and 250 civilians.  However, the  1988  Base
Closure Commission projected that, after realignment,  the number
of civilian employees will decrease.

     "Approximately 75 civilians will remain at Umatilla  to
     perform environmental monitoring of ammunition-storage
     igloos, munitions handling, munitions transport quality
     control activities, and security escort duties.
     Additionally, personnel will be needed to support the
     increased depot workload for such activities  as storage
     site monitoring, laundry operations, and vehicle  and
     road maintenance."

The 1988 Base Closure Commission predicted that realignment  of
Umatilla will have minimal impact on local employment.
Realignment is currently scheduled to be completed by  January
1994.  It should be noted that the incinerators required  for the
chemical demilitarization mission are likely to employ 300 to 400
workers.
3. LAND USE IN THE AREA SURROUNDING UMDA

Located two miles south of the Columbia River,  UMDA is  within the
Umatilla Lowlands and  is surrounded primarily by  irrigated
agricultural land.  Most of the surrounding  land  is privately
owned, although the Bureau of Land Management  (BLM)  owns
     ibid, page 66.


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scattered,  non-contiguous small  tracts of land in all directions,
within  one  or more miles of the  installation's boundaries.3  In
addition, the Umatilla National  Wildlife Refuge lies about three
miles west  by northwest of UMDA.   The Bureau of Reclamation also
owns some land about two miles east by northeast of the site.

Communities located near UMDA include Boardman (population
1,420;  12 miles to  the west),  Irriaon  (population 800;  near the
northwestern perimeter); Umatilla (population 3,010; 8  miles to
the northeast), and Hermiston  (the area's most populated city at
10,075  residents,  located 10 miles to the northeast).

Other regional cities include Pendleton, the Umatilla County
seat, 35 miles to the southeast,  and the cities of Richland,
Pasco,  and  Kennewick, which comprise the Tri-Cities area of
Washington  and are located 35 miles to the northeast.

Additional  land use and historical information is provided in a
report  prepared for the Army (the "USATHAMA" report):

     "Since its creation in 1941,  UMDA has been recognized
     as a major element of the bi-county regional economy.
     It was not until the development of the circular
     irrigation method that the  semiarid region became
     primarily an agricultural center.   Hermiston city  and
     Chamber of Commerce officials estimate the area's
     population doubled between  1970 and 1980 as a direct
     result of desert land being revitalized into farm
     production.   Regional crops include potatoes, alfalfa,
     corn,  wheat,  onions, asparagus,  apples, grapes, and
     regionally renowned Hermiston watermelons.  Beef cattle
     and pork production also exist,  with one of the
     nation's largest hog farms  located on the perimeter of
     the installation.

     "Major Hermiston area employers in 1987 were as
     follows: Lamb-Weston (potato processing; 1,600
     employees);  Simplot (potato processing; 1,050
     employees);  Union-Pacific  (362 employees); Hermiston
    Ttost of these tracts are under 200 acres.  They are used primarily for
grazing or agriculture (the  land is either leased, or made  available through
permits).  A few tracts are  material sites (gravel pits); some of the land
lies unused.  Limited recreation may occur on some of these lands,  including
hunting and dirt biking.   The 1989 Baker Resource Management Plan does not
call for any significant change in current land uses.  (Contact:  Steve
Davidson, BLM Baker Resource Area, (503) 523-6391.)

     All population figures quoted in this memorandum are from:  1991-1992
Oregon Blue Book. Compiled  and published  by Phil Keisling, Secretary of
State.


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     School  District (300 employees);  and UMDA (250
     employees).

     "In Pendleton,  the Umatilla County  seat,  located 28
     miles east  of UMDA, wool processing at Pendleton Mills
     and the Eastern Oregon Correctional Institution
     reinforce the agricultural economy."6

Characteristics  which may affect UMDA's  potential as a future
business or  industrial park are also highlighted in the USATHAMA
report:

     "UMDA has immediate access to water,  land,  and air
     transportation for shipping and receiving.   The
     Columbia river is 2 miles north from the  Activity's
     boundary, and the port of Umatilla  provides direct
     water transportation to Portland  and beyond to the
     Pacific Rim,  as well as access  to the 465-mile-long
     Columbia/Snake River System.

     "U.S. Interstate 84 parallels the southern boundary of
     UMDA and provides direct land linkage with Portland,
     175 miles west, and Boise, Idaho, 265 miles southeast.
     Interstate  82 parallels the eastern boundary of UMDA
     and intersects Interstate 84 near the southeastern
     corner  of the installation."7
4. PROJECTIONS FOR CONTINUED ARMY OWNERSHIP OF UMDA

UMDA opened  October 14, 1941 and has  operated continuously ever
since.  However,  the mission performed by UMDA has been realigned
to Hawthorne Army Ammunition Plant  in Nevada, in accordance with
the recommendations of the 1988 Base  Closure Commission.  UMDA is
in the process of completing its mission,  and realignment is
scheduled  to be completed by January  1994.  According to the  1988
Base Closure Commission's report:

     "The  Commission was prevented  from closing Umatilla
     because of the ongoing chemical  demilitarization (CHEM
     DEMIL)  mission.  CHEM DEMIL prevented closure because
     This paragraph is not a direct quote, but rather a summary of a chart
provided in the USATHAMA report.

    T/.S. Army Toxic and Hazardous Materials Agency: Public Involvement and
Response Plan for Umatilla Army Depot Activity.   Prepared by William K.  Boe,
Environmental Science and Engineering, Inc., P.O. Box 1703, Gainesville, FL
32602.  October 1988.  Prepared for: U.S.  Army Toxic and Hazardous Materials
Agency, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD 21010.  Pages 2-1 and 2-2.

    7ibid, page 1-2.

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     the Army cannot begin on-site destruction of chemical
     munitions until 1994  with an expected completion date
     of 1996, which falls  outside of the Commission's
     allowed time  frame for completing closures.

     "The installation will be realigned to the maximum
     extent possible in order to facilitate closure as soon
     as the CHEM DEMIL mission is complete."8

Construction has not yet begun on the four incinerators which
will be used to complete the CHEM DEMIL mission, although it is
likely that these  incinerators will be sited near the K-Block of
ammunition igloos  (see map,  page nine).   Despite delays in the
siting of the incinerators,  it appears likely that the CHEM DEMIL
mission will be completed  before the end of the decade.  If so,
closure of UMDA could be completed near the year 2000.  The Base
Closure Commission will make new closure recommendations to the
President by July  1993,  and again by July 1995.


5. SCENARIOS FOR FUTURE LAND USE AT UMDA

a) Parceling:  Once closed,  the transfer of UMDA land and
facilities to new  ownership will depend on a variety of issues.
One of the key issues is the extent to which current law will
allow clean parcels of sites on the National Priority List to be
separated from contaminated parcels and subsequently transferred
to new ownership.   For example,  if the Ammunition Destruction
Activity area of UMDA must be fully remediated before any
uncontaminated land can be transferred to new owners, then the
Army will be forced to maintain ownership of all of UMDA
indefinitely, as it is unlikely that this area will be remediated
in the foreseeable future.

A related issue is whether current law will allow the Army to
transfer land overlying areas with groundwater contamination
after remedial equipment has been installed and remediation begun
(but before remediation has been completed).  If not, then the
Army will be forced to maintain ownership of such land well into
the next century,  while ground water pump-and-treat operations
are on-going.

b) Additional complications due to aroundwater.  For the purposes
of the baseline risk assessment,  four categories of land use are
applicable: Residential, Industrial,  Recreational, and
Agricultural.  These categories apply to any surface area in or
around the affected site.   For subsurface areas, and particularly
     Base Realignments and Closures: Report of the Defense Secretary's
Commission, December 1988.  Published by the Department of Defense,  December
1988.  Page 66.


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for groundwater,  the applicability of these separate categories
becomes  less  clear due to the complications caused by the natural
movements  of  the  underlying aquifer.

For example,  in section [d] below it is suggested that the runway
at Umatilla may continue to be used for aviation, for which the
Industrial classification is applicable.  The underlying
groundwater,  however,  may be more appropriately classified
Agricultural,  since this is a likely scenario for the surface
areas adjacent to the airfield.  The extent to which such
distinct classifications can overly the same property is unclear.
In such  cases,  it may be necessary to assign both surface and
subsurface areas  of the property to the same classification,
selecting  the classification which corresponds to the greatest
exposure level — in this case Agricultural.  However, no
recommendation for resolving this issue is made in this
memorandum.   The  issue is raised here because it needs to be
resolved before the assignment of future use categories can be
finalized.

c) PEA survey.  A survey conducted by the Department of Defense's
Office of  Economic Adjustment (OEA)  offers some insight into
possible future uses of UMDA land and facilities.  Entitled "25
Years of Civilian Reuse," the survey gives 100 examples of base
closures and  their subsequent uses.   The results  of this  survey
are used to help  formulate the scenarios suggested below.

d) Likely  scenarios.   Based on the results of the OEA survey and
the characteristics of Umatilla and the surrounding area, the
following  future  scenarios are suggested:

O    Multiple uses are likely.   Umatilla contains housing,
     warehouses and other structures, a small runway,  plus large
     amounts  of vacant land.   It is unlikely that this entire
     area  will be dedicated toward a single use in the future.
     In  OEA"'s survey,  81 percent of the former bases listed more
     than  one new occupant after transfer to the civilian sector.
     At  least 66  percent show distinct categories of occupant and
     use — a municipal airport and an industrial park, for
     example,  or  a community college and a housing center.

O    There is a reasonable possibility that the runway, though
     small and with few supporting structures, will continue to
     be  used  for  aviation after transfer.   In OEA's survey, of
     the 54 former Air Force Depots and Naval Air Stations with
     runway facilities,  41 (or 76%)  listed aviation as one of
     their current uses.
    O
     See: 25 Years of Civilian Reuses Summary of Completed Military Base
Economic Adjustment Projects, 1961-1986.  Published by the Office of Economic
Adjustment (Department of Defense), Washington, D.C.  April-May 1986.


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O    Unless deed restrictions or other institutional controls  are
     employed, a Residential scenario cannot reasonably  be  ruled
     out for the land in the administration area containing
     housing facilities.  In OEA's survey, about one quarter
     (26%) of the former depots contained residential
     developments.  In no case was a residential development the
     only use of a former depot.

O    A likely use for the remaining buildings  in the
     administration area is some form of industrial park.
     (Seventy-four percent of the former depots surveyed in OEA's
     study were at least partially devoted to  business or
     industrial parks).

O    The 1,100 acre Ammunition Destruction Activity  (ADA) area in
     the northwest portion of the installation is  likely to
     require some sort of institutional control to restrict
     future use.  The costs to the Department  of Defense to
     remediate this area for unrestricted land use are
     prohibitive.  A possible future use that  has  been suggested
     is for the area to be used by the Oregon  National Guard for
     tank training.   (In the unlikely event that the area is
     fully remediated, a likely scenario would be  for the land to
     be used for farming.)

O    South of the ADA, toward the southwestern portion of the
     depot and easily accessible to Interstate 84, a series of
     warehouses make a Residential or light industrial scenario
     possible.

O    In the chemical munitions storage area, in and around  K-
     Block, a potential scenario is for the continued use of the
     area for hazardous waste storage.  This scenario will  become
     more likely if the incinerators necessary to  complete  the
     CHEM DEMIL mission are constructed in this area, as
     expected.

O    In the remaining storage areas, Blocks A  through J,  the
     presence of the igloos makes a variety of uses possible.
     The igloos would not prohibit farming in  these areas,
     although they make some form of warehousing or light
     industrial use more likely.

O    For the peripheral areas of the depot, as of  yet
     undeveloped, the most likely scenario is  agricultural  use,
     in keeping with most of the surrounding area.

The diagram on page 9 shows, in rough outline, how these
scenarios might be translated to a map of UMDA.  It should  be
emphasized that the diagram is merely suggestive and should not
be interpreted as a final evaluation of future land use
classifications or boundaries.

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USATHAUA mtP-(MMI7LLA f«»7E
                      WASHINGTON
                                 UMATILLA
                                 DEPOT
                                 ACTIVITY
                                                            O EMIGRANT  IT?
                                                             _ nilTTCC   IV \
                     OREGON
                                                                   4 Ml
                                                            2   4 KILOMETERS
 Figure A-1
 LOCATION OF UMATILLA DEPOT ACTIVITY,
 UMATILLA, OREGON

 SOURCE: ESE, 1987.
Prepared for:
U.S. Army Toxic and Hazardous
Materials Agency
Aberdeen Proving Ground, Maryland
                                                              Page 8

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USATHAMA MRP—UUATtUA HOTS
                                                                                                                                               05
                                                                                                                                               
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MEMORANDUM ON FUTURE LAND USE SCENARIOS

                  FOR

   WHIDBEY  ISLAND  NAVAL AIR  STATION
              Prepared  by:

              Scott  Leland
             EPA Region 10
        Federal  Facility Section
            August 23,  1991
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.




Map

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Introduction ......... 	 .....
Base Description 	 ...............
Land Use in the Area Surrounding NAS Whidbey Island . . . .
Projections for Continued Air Force Ownership
of NAS Whidbey Island 	
Scenarios for Future Land Use at NAS Whidbey Island
a) Politics 	
b) Parceling .................. 	
c) Additional Complications Due to Groundwater 	

e) Likely Scenarios 	 ........ 	


.... 1
.... 1
.... 2
.... 4
.... 5
. . . . 5
.... 6
.... 6
.... 6
. . . 9-13


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1. INTRODUCTION

This memorandum addresses  future land use plans for Whidbey  Island
Naval Air  Station (NAS Whidbey Island)  and the surrounding area.
The  scenarios  presented  here  were  developed  after  reviewing
surrounding  land  uses and  NAS Whidbey Island site plans.


2. BASE DESCRIPTION

NAS Whidbey  Island is  located  80 miles north of Seattle  on Whidbey
Island, in Island County (see Figure 1,  page 9).  It is a complex
of approximately 7,160 acres (over 11 square miles) and is composed
of two bases that are five  miles apart: Ault Field and the Seaplane
Base.

Ault  Field  contains  4,360 acres,  or approximately  seven  square
miles.   Approximately 899 acres  are used for  agriculture  (see
Figure 2,  page  10);  235 acres are  under forest management; 2,700
acres  are   unimproved  grasslands;  45  acres  are  lawns;  and
approximately  725 acres are  covered by pavement  or  buildings.1
Ault  Field  contains  most  of  the  Station's military activities,
including  the  airfield, hangars,  maintenance  and  administrative
buildings, as well as barracks,  a  small residential area  and a
hospital.

The Seaplane Base contains 2,800 acres, or approximately  4.3  square
miles.   Approximately 282  acres  are used  for  agriculture; 1,092
acres are  under  forest  management; 550  acres  are  leased  to the
State Department of Wildlife;  882 acres are unimproved grasslands;
373 acres are improved grasslands;  206  acres are lawns; and about
484  acres  are  covered  by buildings on pavement.   Much  of  the
acreage is covered by dual-use leases.2  The Seaplane Base contains
support activities  for  the station,  including most  of  the 1,445
family  housing  units,  the  Family Service  Center,  Commissary,
Exchange, administrative buildings  and  a marina.

The combined areas  of Ault Field and the Seaplane  Base have  over
2.04 million square feet of buildings and structures.

Approximately 8,400 military personnel are assigned to NAS Whidbey
Island,  making  it the  largest Naval installation  in the Northwest.
Approximately 1,750 civilians work  at the Station.
     NAS Whidbey Island Master Plan, 1988.  Prepared by the firms of Reid,
Middleton & Associates,  Inc. and Dean Wolf - Environmental Planning/Design.
Prepared for Western Division, Naval Facilities Engineering Command, San
Bruno, CA 94066.  Page  65.

     ibid, page 68.
     ibid, page 1.
                                                   NAS Whidbey Island, Page 1

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Prior to the construction and establishment of NAS Whidbey  Island
in 1942, the area  now occupied by Ault Field contained  cropland,
pasture countryside and wooded areas.  There were no  residential,
commercial or  industrial  developments.   The area now occupied  by
the Seaplane  Base was predominantly  farmland,  interspersed with
wooded areas and a few isolated structures.

As of  1990,  the  Air Station  was valued  at  over $836  million.4
Averaged out over its  entire 7,122 acres, this equals  over $117,000
per acre and demonstrates the  extremely high value placed  on the
land and facilities.  If and when the Air Station does close down,
the Navy will attempt to sell off as much of this land as possible
in order to recoup its approximate market value.  This may have the
effect  of  limiting  the  potential  of  the  land  for  future
agricultural  use,  as  it may  be  considered  "too  valuable" for
farming.


3. LAND USE IN THE AREA SURROUNDING NAS WHIDBEY  ISLAND

The area surrounding the Air Station is made up of  the city  of Oak
Harbor,  private businesses,  residences,   farmland  and  woodland.
Most of the land  is  privately  owned, although the State does own
and operate Deception Pass State Park,  which  lies less  than two
miles  north  of Ault  Field.   The nearest  private  residences lie
immediately adjacent to the western boundary of the Seaplane Base,
in the city of Oak Harbor.

Whidbey Island;   "Whidbey Island is one of the  larger islands  in
the northern end of Puget Sound and serves as  a gateway to the San
Juan Islands.   It  is  located just east of the Straits of Juan  de
Fuca.  Whidbey Island is  a narrow  island 40 miles long. The  island
is an  increasingly popular tourist location serving  thousands  of
campers, boaters,  and others seeking  recreation  during the  summer
months.    Washington  State's  most  heavily used  state park  —
Deception  Pass State  Park  — and  popular Cranberry   Lake, are
located on the northern end of the  island, roughly 10 miles north
of the  city  of Oak Harbor and about two miles from  the northern
point of Ault Field.  The  island's natural beauty encompasses miles
of sand and gravel beaches, acres  of forests and rolling hills, and
many quaint farms.  Beach combing, fishing, crabbing,  boating, and
clamming  are  popular island  activities.    Although aquaculture
growth  is  a  controversial issue  in the community, mussels grown
    ''Whidbey Island Naval Air Station 1990.  Published by MARCOA Publishing
Inc., San Diego,  CA.  1990.  Page 3.


                                                  NAS Whidbey Island, Page 2

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commercially  in   Whidbey   Island's  Penn   Cove   are  becoming
increasingly popular at Washington restaurants."5

The job market on the Island is characterized by NAS Whidbey Island
documents  as "very tight,"6 with  the Air Station  being the major
employer.    The economy of  northern  Whidbey  Island  is  heavily
dependent  on the Air Station.

Oak Harbor:   "The city  of  Oak Harbor is the  community nearest to
NAS Whidbey's Ault  Field  and the Seaplane  Base.   Approximately
eight  square miles in  size,  Oak  Harbor  is located  just south of
Ault Field and west  of the Seaplane Base  on the  northern end of
Whidbey  Island.   Incorporated in  1915, Oak Harbor is the island's
largest  population center with a population of 15,540.7 The city's
population has grown steadily since  1940 when the population was
about  400  to the present day population.  Population projections
estimate an  increase in population  to  28,400  by the  year 2000
(reference:  City  of Oak Harbor  Comprehensive  Plan,  October  6,
1987)....   Economic dependence on the Navy has  been a way of life
for Oak  Harbor since the 1940s.   Many businesses,  such as hotels,
restaurants,   and   retail  shops  which  serve  tourists  and  NAS
personnel,  thrive along  the  busy  state highway  (Highway 20) that
bisects  the town.   In more recent years, tourism  has provided an
increasing source  of revenue to Oak  Harbor."8


Coupeville:   "The town  of  Coupeville lies about 15 minutes south
of Oak Harbor just off of State Highway 20.  Coupeville was founded
in  1852  by Thomas Coupe,  a  sea  captain with the  distinction of
being  the  only man  to  sail a  full-rigged ship  through Deception
Pass.  Coupeville  is  one of the oldest towns in the state.  Within
the last few years, Coupeville has become a haven for tourists with
its brightly painted Victorian houses and  antique shops along the
waterfront.    Coupeville is  the  Island County government  seat.
Coupeville  residents,   among  other  Whidbey  Islanders,   have
recognized the  impacts of tourism  and  business growth  on their
communities  in recent years.   In response to some of the growth the
island has experienced, citizens  have formed  the Citizen's Ground
Water  Management Advisory  Committee  which advises  the county on
     Remedial Investigation Project Plans: Community Relations Plan, for
Naval Air Station Whidbey Island Oak Harbor, Washington.  Submitted by:
HAZWRAP Support contractor Office, Oak Ridge, TN 37831.  Revision 1, August
1989.  Page 17.

    Whidbey Island Naval Air Station  1990.  Published by MARCOA Publishing
Inc., San Diego, CA.  1990.  Page 5.

     Updated estimate.   Source:  1990 Economic and Demographic Almanac of
Washington Counties and Cities.  By James  R. Fox and Christopher Hodgkin.
Published by The Information Press.  Page  116.
    D
     Community Relations Plan, page 17. (See footnote 5 for full citation.)


                                                   NAS Uhidbey Island, Page 3

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ground  water  issues  involving  both  Whidbey  Island  and  Camano
Island."9

The growth rate for the area is  among the fastest in the  state of
Washington,  with  the population of  the county  having increased
about 34  percent  in ten years  (from 44,048 in  1980 to 59,200 in
1990).  Growth rates for individual  cities are given below:
City
Oak Harbor
Coupeville
Langely
Growth Rate
27%  in ten years
3.4%  in ten years
22%  in ten years
Population/Years
12,271 (1980) to 15,540 (1990)
1,006 (1980) to 1,350 (1990)
654  (1980) to 800 (1990)
With respect to land ownership,  of  Island County's 135,680  acres,
private  ownership  accounts for  over 85 percent (116,588 acres).
The  Federal  government  owns  6.1  percent  (8,287  acres);   State
government owns 5.0 percent (6,719  acres);  and County government
owns 3.0  percent (4,086 acres).10
4. PROJECTIONS FOR CONTINUED NAVY OWNERSHIP OF NAS WHIDBEY ISLAND

NAS Whidbey Island was commissioned on September 21,  1942  and has
operated  continuously ever since.   The Air Station will  celebrate
its 50th  anniversary next year.

The future of the base is uncertain.  The Air Station is  one of 31
military  bases that  the Pentagon recommended  for  closure  to the
1991 Base  Closure Commission.   The Commission agreed that 25 of the
bases should be closed,  but it rejected the closure of NAS  Whidbey
Island.  For the  time being, therefore,  the Air  Station will remain
open.      However,   the   Commission   will   make   new   closure
recommendations by July 1993 and again by July  1995.   All military
installations will be subject to review for closure at these times.

Part of the uncertainty in the Air Station's future  is due to the
fact that the A-6 Intruder warplanes based there are scheduled to
be phased out and replaced by  the AX fighter, which  is now in the
early stages of  development.    It is not yet known where  the AXs
will be based.
     Remedial Investigation Project Plans: Community Relations Plan, for
Naval Air Station Whidbey Island Oak Harbor, Washington.  Submitted  by:
HAZWRAP Support contractor Office, Oak Ridge, TN 37831.  Revision 1, August
1989.  Page 18.

     10Source:  Washington State Atlas and Databook:  1990 Edition.  Published
by The Information Press, 1990.  Page 15.

                                                    NAS Whidbey Island, Page 4

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5. SCENARIOS FOR FUTURE LAND USE AT HAS Whidbev Island

a) Politics;  When the Air Station at Whidbey Island is eventually
closed, the process of transferring the land and facilities to new
owners is  likely  to be very political.   The  land and facilities
are extremely valuable  (over  $117,000  per acre,  according to the
Navy estimate cited on page 2)  and are  suitable for many purposes:
scenic parks; marinas; sites for valuable  housing, condominiums or
residential developments;  business or industrial parks; a municipal
airport; and farms, among many other uses.

The Navy  will attempt  to sell the  land  and facilities  at fair
market value; the  local governments of Oak Harbor and Island County
will attempt to acquire properties for free or below market value
and will try to control reuse scenarios through  the local zoning
ordinances; there will be  political and economic pressure to bring
in businesses and industries to replace  the  1,750  civilian jobs
lost from the Air  Station's closure; there will be  special interest
groups lobbying  for  wildlife  preserves,  parks and  other public
uses; and there will likely be funding shortages as state and local
groups examine the cost of maintaining  the extensive facilities at
the Air Station.

The experience of  current  base closures (including those at Pease,
Norton, George,  Mather and Chanute Air Force Bases)  suggests that
the local community's reuse plan heavily influences the outcome of
a base transfer.   Such plans typically are  not  formulated until
after a base is announced for  closure.   In the  case  of Whidbey
Island, neither  the  city  of Oak  Harbor  nor Island  County have
investigated reuse  scenarios,  although both were very  active in
lobbying to keep  the  Air  Station  open  during the period in which
it was being considered for closure.

The reuse  process is likely to involve lengthy  negotiations and
numerous compromises.  The scenarios that  are suggested in section
(e)  below represent possible outcomes based on current conditions
and facilities, but the final result  is  virtually  impossible to
predict beforehand.

b) Parceling;   In  addition to  the political process  described
above, the transfer  of Air Station land and facilities  to new
ownership will depend on certain legal issues.  One of the key such
issues is the extent to which current law  will allow clean parcels
of sites   on  the  National  Priority List to  be separated from
contaminated parcels and subseguently transferred to new ownership.
For example,  if  the  areas of  groundwater contamination  at NAS
Whidbey Island must be fully remediated before any uncontaminated
land can be transferred to new owners, then the Navy will be forced
to maintain ownership of the entire Air Station well into the next
century until remedial pump-and-treat operations  are completed.
                                                  NAS Whidbey Island, Page 5

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A  related issue  is whether current  law will  allow the  Navy to
transfer land overlying areas with groundwater contamination after
remedial  equipment  has been installed and remediation  begun (but
before remediation  has been completed).   If not,  then  once again
the Navy  will be forced to  maintain  ownership of such land well
into the next century, until remedial ground water pump-and-treat
operations are completed.

c) Additional complications  due to aroundwater.   For the purposes
of the baseline  risk assessment, four categories  of land use are
applicable:    Residential,    Industrial,    Recreational,    and
Agricultural.   These categories apply to any surface  area in or
around the affected site.  For  subsurface areas,  and particularly
for groundwater,  the  applicability of these separate  categories
becomes less clear  due to  the complications  caused by the natural
movements of the  underlying  aquifer.

For example, in section [d] below it is suggested that the airfield
at NAS Whidbey  Island will continue to be used  for  aviation, for
which the Industrial classification is applicable.  The underlying
groundwater,  however,   may  be  more appropriately  classified
Agricultural or Residential, since these  are likely scenarios for
the surface  areas adjacent to the airfield.  The  extent to which
such  distinct classifications  -can overly the  same property  is
unclear.  In such cases,  it may  be necessary to assign both surface
and subsurface  areas of the property  to  the  same  classification,
selecting  the classification  which  corresponds  to  the greatest
exposure  level   —  in  this   case  Residential.     However,  no
recommendation for resolving this issue is made in this memorandum.
The issue is raised here because it needs  to be resolved before the
assignment of future use categories can  be finalized.

d) PEA survey.  A survey conducted by the Department of Defense's
Office  of  Economic  Adjustment (OEA) offers  some   insight  into
possible  future  uses of NAS Whidbey  Island land  and facilities.
Entitled  "25  Years  of  Civilian  Reuse,"  the   survey   gives  100
examples of base closures  and their subsequent uses.11  The results
of this survey were used to help formulate the scenarios suggested
below.

e) Likely scenarios.  Based on the results  of  the OEA survey and
the characteristics of NAS  Whidbey Island  and the surrounding area,
the following future scenarios  are suggested:

O    Multiple  uses  are  likely.   NAS   Whidbey  Island  contains
     runways,  housing, warehouses, a hospital, shopping center,
     marina, numerous other buildings, and large amounts of vacant
     See:  25 Years of Civilian Reuse: Summary of Completed Military Base
Economic Adjustment Projects,  1961-1986.  Published by the Office of Economic
Adjustment  (Department of Defense), Washington, D.C.  April-May 1986.


                                                  NAS Whidbey Island, Page 6

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     land.   It is unlikely that  all of these facilities  and land
     will be dedicated toward a single use in the future.  In OEA's
     survey,  81 percent of former  bases listed more than one new
     occupant after transfer to the civilian sector.   At  least 66
     percent  show distinct  categories  of  occupant  and use  —  a
     municipal airport and an industrial park,  for example,  or a
     community college and a housing center.

     There is  a strong possibility  that the  runway facilities will
     continue to be used  for aviation  after  transfer.   In OEA's
     survey,   of  the  54   former  Air  Force Bases and Naval  Air
     Stations with runway facilities, 41 (or 76%)  listed  aviation
     as one of their current uses.

     Unless deed  restrictions or other  institutional controls are
     employed, a Residential scenario  cannot reasonably  be ruled
     out  for  the areas containing  houses and  base barracks.   In
     OEA's  survey,  about  one quarter   (26%) of  the former bases
     contained residential   developments.     In  no  case  was  a
     residential  development the only use of a former  base.

     A likely  use for the  remaining buildings  on site is some form
     of industrial park.   (Seventy-four percent of the former bases
     surveyed in OEA's study  were  at  least partially  devoted to
     business  or  industrial parks).  Adding weight to this  scenario
     is the  fact that  the economy of  northern Whidbey Island is
     heavily  dependent on the base,  which  serves as a major area
     employer. This means that, locally, there will be  substantial
     economic   and   political  pressure  to  bring  in   substitute
     employers should the base ever be  closed.

     For the  peripheral areas of the base,  as of  yet undeveloped,
     there will be competing interests.  Possible scenarios include
     the  full spectrum of options,  including parks2,  preserves,
     agricultural use,  housing,  or industrial use.  The  1988 NAS
     Whidbey  Island Master Plan suggests that residential use may
     be  the  most appropriate  classification  for much  of these
     areas:

          "Because  of  the  natural attractiveness  of  the
          countryside,  there has  been a continual interest in
          home building away from town,  particularly along the
          waterfront.   Neither  agriculture nor  forestry is
     The State Parks and Recreation Commission commented that the Air
Station would not be an area of major interest for acquisition into the state
park system were it to close in the future.  The reasons given were high
maintenance costs of the accompanying facilities, and the fact that the
Commission considers other Whidbey Island lands south of the Air Station as
offering better park potential.  (Contact: Andy Kramer, Site Planning and
Acquisition, tel: (206) 753-2018.)


                                                   NAS Uhidbey Island, Page 7

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           strong enough  in the area  to effectively compete
           with the  residential growth pattern and much of the
           island   is   becoming   increasingly  popular   for
           recreational second homes and retirement property."13

     Figure  3  on page 11 shows that existing residential land use
     is scattered more or less evenly throughout northern Whidbey
     Island.

     Some   combination   of  residential   and  other  uses  will
     undoubtedly result  from  the  eventual  closure  of the  Air
     Station,  but  predicting  specific scenarios  in  advance  for
     these peripheral areas is unlikely to yield reliable results
     due to the highly politicized nature of the selection process.
The diagrams on pages  12 and 13  show,  in rough  outline,  how the
above  scenarios might  be translated to  a map of  the  base.    It
should be  emphasized that the diagrams are merely  suggestive and
should not be interpreted as a final evaluation of future land use
classifications or boundaries.
         Whidbey Island Master Plan, 1988.  Prepared by the firms of Reid,
Middleton & Associates, Inc. and Dean Wolf - Environmental Planning/Design.
Prepared for Western Division, Naval Facilities Engineering Command, San
Bruno, CA  94066.  Page A-33.

                                                   NAS Uhidbey Island, Page 8

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  LOPEZ ISLAND
                                                                    Washington/A
                                       NAS SEAPLANE BASE
                                                                NOAA. February 1989. prepared
                                                                from SCS 1988.
  Strait of Juan deFuca
                                               WHIDBEY ISLAND
           NORTH

          20 kilometers
Puget Sound I
 SfTE BOUNDARY
Figure 1. The Whidbey Island U.S. Naval Air Station (NAS) Seaplane Base study area on Whidbey
          Island, Washington.
                                                                                           Page  9

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M
7 ,
                         RESIDENTIAL
MULTIPLE POSSIBILITIES:
- Recreational
- Residential
- Agricultural
- Industrial
FIGURE 4:   SEAPLANE BASE;  Possible  future uses of Seaplane Base  (2,800 acres)
property and  facilities at NAS Whidbey  Island.  The scenarios presented here are
merely suggestive and  should  not be  construed as a final evaluation of future
land use classifications  or boundaries.
                                                                               Page  12

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              ^^
MULTIPLE POSSIBILITES;
- Recreational
- Residential
- Agricultural
- Industrial
    f
    FIGURE 5:  AULT FIELD;  Possible future uses of Ault Field (4,36  acres) property
    and facilities at NAS Whidbey Island.  The scenarios presented here are merely
    suggestive and should not be construed as a final evaluation of future land use
    classifications or boundaries.
                                                                                 Page  13

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