EPA-230/1-73-OBB
MARCH 1974
           ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
                     OF
    PROPOSED EFFLUENT GUIDELINES
          TEXTILES  INDUSTRY
                   QUANTITY
      U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
           Office of Planning and Evaluation

              Washington, D.C. 2046O


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  This document is available in limited quantities through the
U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, Information  Center,
Room W-327 Waterside Mall, Washington, D. C. 20460.

  The document will subsequently be available through  the
National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Virginia
22151.

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                                            230173028
EPA-230/1-73-028
                          ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
                                 OF
                    PROPOSED EFFLUENT GUIDELINES
                          TEXTILES INDUSTRY
                               March 1974
                U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                       Office of Planning and Evaluation
                          Washington, D.C. 20460

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This report  has  been reviewed by  the Office of
Planning  and Evaluation, EPA, and approved for
publication.  Approval  does  not signify that the
contents  necessarily reflect  the views and policies
of the Environmental Protection Agency, nor does
mention  of  trade names or commercial products
constitute  endorsement  or  recommendation for
use.

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                                      PREFACE

     The attached document is a contractors' study prepared for the Office of Planning and
 Evaluation of the Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA").  The purpose of the study is
 to analyze  the economic  impact which  could  result from the application of  alternative
 effluent limitation guidelines and standards of  performance to be established  under sec-
 tions 304(b) and 306 of the Federal Water Pollution Control Act, as amended.

     The study supplements  the  technical  study ("EPA Development Document") sup-
 porting the issuance of proposed regulations under sections 304(b) and 306. The Develop-
 ment  Document  surveys  existing  and potential  waste treatment control methods and
 technology  within particular industrial source  categories  and supports promulgation of
 certain effluent limitation guidelines and standards of performance based upon an analysis
 of the feasibility of these guidelines and standards in accordance with the requirements of
 sections 304(b)  and 306  of  the  Act.  Presented in the Development Document are the
 investment  and operating costs  associated with  various •alternative control and treatment
 technologies. The attached document  supplements this  analysis by estimating the broader
 economic  effects which  might result  from the required  application  of various control
 methods and technologies.  This study investigates  the effect of alternative approaches in
 terms  of produce price increases, effects upon employment and the continued viability of
 affected plants, effects upon foreign trade and other competitive effects.

     The study has been prepared with the supervision and review of the Office of Planning
 and Evaluation of EPA. This report was submitted  in fulfillment of Task Order No. 10 of
 Contract 68-01-1541  by Arthur D. Little, Inc. Work was completed as of March 1974.

     This report  is being  released  and  circulated at  approximately  the same  time as
 publication  in  the Federal Register of a notice of proposed  rule making under  sections
 304(b) and 306 of the Act for the subject point source category. The study has not been
 reviewed by  EPA and is not an official EPA  publication. The study will be considered along
 with the information contained in the  Development Document and any comments  received
.by EPA on either document before or during proposed rule making "proceedings necessary to
 establish final regulations. Prior to final promulgation of regulations, the accompany study
 shall have standing in any EPA proceeding  or court proceeding only to the extent that  it
 represents the views of the contractor who studied the subject industry. It cannot be cited,
 referenced,  or  represented in  any respect in any such proceeding as a statement of EPA's
 views regarding the subject  industry.
                                        ill

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                        TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                Page

List of Tables                                                      vii

List of Figures                                                     xi

1.   EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                        1

2.   INDUSTRY PROFILES                                         11

    a.    Wool Finishing                                            11

    b.    Woven Fabrics — Dyeing and Finishing                         20

    c.    Knitted Fabric — Dyeing and Finishing                         26

    d.    Yarn and Stock — Dyeing and Finishing                        33

3.   IMPACT ANALYSIS IN SPECIFIC TEXTILE CATEGORIES          43

    a.    Introduction                                              43

    b.    Category 1 — Scenario of Wool Scouring                       50

    c.    Category 2 — Scenario of Wool Dyeing and Finishing             58

    d.    Category 4 — Scenario of Woven Fabric Dyeing and
         Finishing (Cotton and Synthetics)                             66

    e.    Category 5 — Scenario of Knit  Fabric Dyeing and
         Finishing (Cotton and Syntheti9s)                             72

    f.    Category 7 - Scenario of Stock and Yarn Dyeing                80

APPENDIX - WASTE TREATMENT MODEL FOR TEXTILE
             EFFLUENT GUIDELINES                             91

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                            LIST OF TABLES

Table No.                                                           Page

  1-1         Estimated Waste Treatment Investments and Annual
              Operating Costs to Meet Proposed Textile Guidelines          4

  1-2         Financial Profile Summary — Textile Industry                5

  1-3         Price Impact Summary                                    7

  1-4         Summary of Impact on Mill Closings and Unemployment      8

  2-1         Total Fiber Consumption                                11

  2-2         Woolen and Worsted Looms in Place                       12

  2-3         Index of Industrial Production                            12

  2-4         Wool Scouring and Combing Plants Industry Growth
              1958-1970                                             13

  2-5         Wool Scouring and Combing — Size Distribution             14

  2-6         Category 1 — Raw Wool Scouring Mills                     14

  2-7         Wool Scouring and Combing Plants — Geographic
              Distribution                                            15

  2-8         Weaving and Finishing Wool Fabrics Industry Growth
              1958-1970                                             16

  2-9         Weaving and Finishing Wool Fabrics — Size  Distribution      17

  2-10        Category 2-Wool Finishing Mills                         17

  2-11        Wool Weaving and Finishing Mills — Geographic
              Distribution                                            19

  2-12        Woven Fabrics Dyeing and Finishing                       20

  2-13        Woven Fabrics                                          21

  2-14        Category 4 — Woven Fabrics, Dyeing, and Finishing          22
                                   vn

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                       LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

Table No.                                                             Page

  2-15        Woven Fabrics — Cotton Dyeing and Finishing               23

  2-16        Woven Fabrics — Synthetic Dyeing and Finishing             24

  2-17        Financial Profile                                          27

  2-18        Dyeing and Finishing — Knitted Fabrics Industry Growth
              1958-1970                                               28

  2-19        Knitted Fabrics Manufacturers — Dyeing and Finishing        28

  2-20        Category 5 — Knit Fabric, Dyeing and Finishing              29

  2-21        Geographic Distribution of Knitted Fabric Manufacturers
              Including Dyeing and Finishing                             30

  2-22        Geographic Distribution of Knitted Fabric Dyers and
              Finishers Only                                            31

  2-23        Financial Profile — Profit Margin of Integrated Knitting
              Mills 1970-1971                                           34

  2-24        Financial Profile — Profit Margin of Largest Commission
              Dyers of Knitted Fabric 1969-1971                         34

  2-25        Yarn and Stock Dyeing and Finishing Industry Growth
              1958-1970                                               35

  2-26        Yarn and Stock Dyeing and Finishing                       36

  2-27        Category 7 — Yarn and Stock — Dyeing and Finishing         37

  2-28        Yarn and Stock Dyeing and Finishing                       37

  2-29        Finishing Plants, Yarn and Stock                           39

  2-30        Financial Profile                                          41

  3-1         Representative Very Small Raw Wool Scouring Mill           52
                                    Vlll

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                       LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

Table No.                                                           Page

  3-2         Representative Small/Medium Raw Wool Scouring Mill        53

  3-3         Economic Impact of Effluent Guidelines on Wool
              Scouring Mills, Category 1                                 54

  3-4         Representative Very Small Wool Dyeing and Finishing Mill    59

  3-5         Representative Wool Dyeing and Finishing Mills              60

  3-6         Economic Impact of Effluent Guidelines on Wool Dyeing
              and Finishing Mills, Category 2                             62

  3-7         Representative Very Small Broad Woven Dyeing and
              Finishing  Mill                                            67

  3-8         Representative Broad Woven Dyeing and Finishing Mills       68

  3-9         Economic Impact of Effluent Guidelines on Broad Woven
              Dyeing and Finishing Mills, Category 4                      70

  3-10        Representative Very Small Knit Fabric Dyeing and
              Finishing  Mill                                            75

  3-11        Representative Knit Fabric Dyeing and Finishing Mills        75

  3-12        Economic Impact of Effluent Guidelines on Knit Fabric
              Dyeing and Finishing, Category 5                           78

  3-13        Representative Knit Fabric Dyeing and Finishing Mills        81

  3-14        Representative Very Small Stock and Yarn Dyeing Mill        83

  3-15        Representative Small Size and Medium Stock and Yarn
              Dyeing Mills                                              84

  3-16        Economic Impact of Effluent Guidelines on Stock and
              Yarn Dyeing  Mills, Category 7                              86
                                    IX

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                            LIST OF FIGURES

Figure No.                                                           Page

  2-1        Dyeing and Finishing — Woven Cotton and
             Synthetics                                              25

  2-2        Knit Fabric Finishing                                     32

  2-3        Yarn and Stock Dyeing and Finishing                       38
                                   XI

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1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

     a.    Introduction. This study examines the economic impact on the textile industry
of the proposed effluent guidelines for:

          •    the proposed best practicable technology,
          •    the proposed best available technology, and
          •    new source performance standards (NSPS).

          The textile industry  has  been divided into seven categories for the purpose of
establishing effluent guidelines.  They are:

          •    Wool scouring,
          •   Wool dyeing and finishing,
          •    Greige goods mills,
          •   Woven fabrics dyeing and  finishing (cotton and synthetics),
          •    Knit fabric dyeing and finishing (cotton and synthetics),
          •    Carpet mills, and
          •    Stock and yarn dyeing and finishing.

          The economic impact of the proposed guidelines has been examined for five of
the above categories. They are:

          •   Wool scouring,
          •   Wool dyeing and finishing,
          •   Woven fabric dyeing and finishing (cotton and synthetics),
          •    Knit fabric dyeing and finishing (cotton and synthetics), and
          •    Stock and yarn dyeing and finishing.

          Two  other categories - greige  goods mills and carpet mills - have been precluded
from this initial study of the economic impact on the assumption that they would not be
significantly impacted by the proposed effluent guidelines.

          In addition to setting aside two of the  seven textile categories from this initial
study,  we have also set aside large integrated te'xtile mills  which will not be significantly
impacted, generally because of their higher profit levels, larger size and  integrated produc-
tion, as well as their ability to apply a strong price on levels within the industry. The ability
to raise (control) prices will allow them to pass on the cost of pollution control.

          This assumption was  made  at the outset of this study and has largely been borne
out by  the results  of the analysis,  since there is minimal  impact from the proposed best
practicable technology, and it is similarly minimal if municipal treatment is used instead of
activated carbon following  secondary biological treatment technology for the proposed best
available technology and new source performance standards.

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     b.   Methodology. This study is divided  into  two parts. The  first part produces a
profile of the five categories studied based upon published information, in-house informa-
tion, and other readily available sources. The contractor has profiled  the category in terms
of the number of mills, size distribution, type of product, financial  status, type of plant,
geographic distribution, and sector segments to be affected by the guidelines.

         The second half of the study discusses the economic impact that the proposed
effluent guidelines  may have upon  the five categories and is presented in the form of a
scenario. For each of the categories studied, personal interviews with operating mills were
made and used in conjunction with telephone interviews with operating  mills and other
industry sources.  The  contractor also  relied on his textile industry  specialists  to provide
direct input into the scenarios.

         Each scenario describes the categories in some detail and presents a composite of
a mill believed to be representative of mills within  each category. Composites of a small mill
with under 20  employees, and both small and medium size mills are  presented  for each
category, with the exception of wool  scouring in which there are only two size classifica-
tions. A wide range of sizes (3) was not found in  the wool scouring sector, as found within
the other categories. The dimensions of each composite  mill are presented in terms of
annual sales, profit, depreciation expense,  cash flow,  production, waste loads, water usage,
and similarly related dimensions.

         The composite mill is then used as the basis for calculating annual operating costs
and investments necessary for pollution  control  within each category and mill size. For
example, the  waste load and water usage estimated for each composite mill  is applied to the
methodology of Appendix A to determine the operating costs and investment for each level
of treatment.

         To  measure the impact in terms of mill closings, we have assumed a mill will close
only if the annual cost of treatment exceeds the annual cash flow of the mill.

         The estimated range of cash flows has been compared to  the annual operating
cost, and we assumed  no mill  would close if the minimum annual  cash flow exceeded the
estimated incremental annual operating costs of effluent treatment. In  those cases where the
annual operating costs  of treatment exceeded the minimum estimated  cash flow but did not
exceed the maximum cash flow, we estimated the number of plant closings as a percentage
proportional  to the  linear relationship between the operating cost and the cash flow. For
example, if the cash flow ranged between $0 and $1000 and the annual operating costs were
$250,  then  25%  of the mills  operating in this category and size  classification would be
expected to close.

         Other impacts on employment and  production are  derived directly from the
estimated number of mill closings. Tangential impacts, such as those relating to community
pricing, financial and foreign trade, are treated for the most part independently.

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          The impact on  a  specific mill and/or on a group of mills that  form a slightly
 different composite can be estimated with material presented in the appendix of this study.
 This  material permits  estimates of the initial investment and annual operating  costs for
 pollution control.  The  cash flow  criterion for  a mill  closing or other criteria, such as
 profitability or rate of return on invested assets, can then be applied.

      c.   Costs.  The  costs  of alternate waste treatment methods to meet the guidelines
 have  been calculated on the  basis of initial capital investment and annual operating costs for
 each  of the composite mills. The  basis for these  calculations are  described in  detail in
 Appendix A, and the results of this analysis are presented in Table 1-1.

          Costs for best practicable technology waste treatment have been calculated on the
 assumption that extended  biological treatment will enable a mill to meet the guidelines for
 BOD, COD, and color.

          Best practicable technology (BPT) for the textile industry, as specified by the
 EPA,  includes pretreatment of wastes (screening  and  8-hour holdup) and subsequent
 municipal treatment, or  alternatively,  self-treatment by preliminary screening,  primary
 settling (wool scouring only), coagulation (carpet mills only), secondary biological  treat-
 ment by extended aeration and stabilization ponds, and chlorination.

          Best available technology (BAT) for the textile industry, as  specified by the EPA,
 includes  the  preliminary  screening, primary settling  (wool scouring only),  coagulation
 (carpet mills only), secondary biological treatment by extended aeration and stabilization
 ponds, and chlorination listed under Best Practicable Control Technology.  In addition, it
 includes advanced  treatment techniques,  such  as multimedia filtration  and/or activated
 carbon adsorption  following biological treatment. Small  plants with less than 20 employees
 have  not had COD limits set so only a multimedia filter is required for them to meet BAT
 requirements.

     d.   Financial Profiles.  Financial profiles for each  category were derived  from field
interviews, contractors' in-house knowledge, and  other industry sources. The profiles repre-
sent commission houses, with the exception of the very small raw wool scouring and wool
dyeing and  finishing. A summary of pertinent financial data drawn  from each composite
mill representation of its category and size classification is presented  in Table  1-2.

    e.    Impacts.  The impact of the guidelines on prices, plant closings, unemployment,
communities, international trade, and  other areas has been estimated for each of the five
categories. A summary of these findings is given below.

          (1)  Prices. In general, industry  sources state  that any  added costs  cannot be
readily passed on to the mills' customers since the mills affected are  the smaller, indepen-
dent  companies which  work in the  aftermarket of small  lots for  fill-in  needs of the

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customers. Their price  structure is determined  by the larger corporations which  do the
volume production. The smaller firms may charge a small premium of 5% or so on the going
rate, but if much more  than that is charged, the larger mills will undertake  the work. The
larger companies have already accomplished much of the expenditures necessary to meet the
best practicable  treatment guidelines and, presumably, their present prices reflect this and
other factors such as overseas competitive effects. Specific category comments follow.

              Wool scouring  is a special case. The wool  market has been depressed for
some time and mills have been closing with fair regularity, resulting in a highly competitive
situation that precludes higher pricing.

              Broad  wovens may be able to pass on a good share of the costs in the case of
the best  practicable treatment since the market there is strong. Knits cannot do so now, but
within six months or  so the knit market is expected to firm up at which time it may be able
to pass on most treatment costs.  Stock and yarn dyeing mills also share a reasonably strong
market at present and may be able to pass on at least a portion of the treatment costs.

              Table  1-3 provides  a  summary  of the base price  currently  charged for
processing, and the incremental  price increase that would  result for the various treatment
costs, if these costs could be passed on, assuming no mark-up by the mill.

          (2)  Plant Closings and  Unemployment. Table 1-4 summarizes the impact on mill
closings and unemployment projected for the five categories considered  in this study. In
each case, the impact is considered as if all mills in that category had to treat their wastes in
the manner described, such as in the municipal treatment, where we have assumed  that all
mills  must connect to municipal treatment  plants, and we have calculated the percentage
that can or cannot afford  to  do so by  the  cash flow criterion. The table shows that the
greatest relative effects will be in the wool categories, which is already a distressed industry.
The greatest effect on groupings appears  to be on small mills having to meet best available
self treatment.

          (3)  Community Impacts. A  large  percentage of  the small and medium  sized
independent  mills are located in small  communities where the mills hold  a  significant
position. They often account for up to 5% of the town's direct employment, and sometimes
as much as  30%. Hence, although the impact may be small in  light of the total industry,
local impacts will be significant.

          (4)  International Trade. In  terms of  international trade, the  impact of the
guidelines on  the industry appears to be of little consequence. If, in fact, the guidelines
produced a much greater  effect than predicted in this study, imports would be  further
encouraged since the smaller, independent mills provide the  fast turnaround  on  small lots
that neither the large domestic mills nor the overseas mills can provide.

-------
                                         TABLE 1-3

                                  PRICE IMPACT SUMMARY
                                             1
                                       Wool Scouring
                                 Very Small   Small/Medium
                                Wool Dyeing and Finishing

                              Very Small   Small   Medium
Base Price ($/pound of product)
Incremental Price for:
   Municipal Treatment
   BPT, Self-Treatment
   BAT, Self-Treatment
  .13

  .0018
  .0041
  .0051
1.73

 .0020
 .0038
 .0337
.0202
.0396
.0504
     $1.43

.0113    .0093
.0151    .0083
.0958    .0548
Base Price ($/pound of product)
Incremental Price for:
   Municipal Treatment
   BPT, Self-Treatment
   BAT, Self-Treatment
        Woven Goods                    Knit Goods
     Dyeing and Finishing             Dyeing and Finishing

Very Small   Small   Medium   Very Small    Small   Medium

                0.37-0.70                        0.53

  .0231     .0147   .0102       .0165      .0118     .0095
  .0404     .0151   .00545      .0171      .0099     .0054
  .0522     .0964   .0330       .0243      .0578     .0323
                                    Stock and Yarn Dyeing

                                 Very Small   Small   Medium

Base Price ($/pound of product)                        0.54
Incremental Price for:
  Municipal Treatment               .0183     .0131    .0113
  BPT, Self-Treatment               .0194     .0122    .0080
  BAT, Self-Treatment               .0303     .0767    .0504

-------





























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-------
     f.    Study Limitations. This study was undertaken to permit an initial estimate of the
economic impact  that  the proposed  effluent guidelines  would have  upon  certain  sub-
categories of the textile industry. The contractor was placed under severe calendar time and
budgetary constraints which have tended to limit the accuracy of the analysis. The contract
required  the contractor  to prepare a scenario or word  picture of the  impact that the
proposed  effluent  guidelines would have  upon the textile industry. This means that the
analysis was more judgmental  than analytical,  when compared with the economic analyses
of other  industries. It is not that the EPA has not made available the same resources for the
study of  the  textile  industry as  it has for other industries,  but  rather that  the major
economic impact that will  occur within the textile industry will occur  to companies which
are generally small, privately held, and are very reticent and, in many cases, actually refused
to  reveal details  of  their  financial  profitability  and  expected impact  of  the effluent
guidelines on their businesses.  Responsible and knowledgeable people have been contacted
and the contractor discussed the composite mill for each sub-category and size classification
and these persons believe that the composites are representative of  their category and size
classification. On that basis the study is presented  as an initial view of the impact that the
proposed effluent guidelines will have upon this industry.

          Follow-on studies, should they be required, can build upon the methodology used
in this study to improve  the understanding  of the impact that the guidelines will have upon
this industry. For  example, the number of interviews conducted could be  increased to a
point that forms a statistically valid sample of the industry in each category. It is anticipated
that the  statistical sample  will be developed on the basis of personal interviews and the
balance  of  the industry could  be conducted by means  of mail  questionnaires sent  to
companies listed in Davidson's Blue Book or similar directories.

-------
2. INDUSTRY PROFILES

     This chapter presents a profile of the five sectors of the textile industry considered in
this  study.  Based in part  on the Annual  Survey  of Manufacturers, a Department of
Commerce  publication, each profile presents a table illustrating the size distribution of mills
according to number of employees, as defined by the Annual Survey, followed by a similar
table listing the number of mills and  size  distributions expected to be impacted, and the
rationale employed to identify them.

     The discussion  on size distribution is followed in each case  by the types of  plants
considered,  their geographic distribution, the type  of product segments of  the  sector
which will  be affected by  the requirements  to meet the guidelines, and a brief financial
profile.

     a.   Wool Finishing.

         (1)  U.S. Wool Industry  - General
              (a)   U.S. Fiber Consumption. The consumption of wool declined drastically
between  1960 and 1972. Table 2-1 illustrates a fiber consumption of 411 million pounds in
1960 declining to 219 million pounds in  1972.

                                      TABLE 2-1

                              TOTAL FIBER CONSUMPTION
                                   (millions of pounds)


              Year           Cotton        Man-made Fiber        Wool
              1960          4,191.0           1,874.7             411.1
              1965          4,477.4           3,614.1             387.0
              1970          3,815.6           5,501.3             240.3
              1972          3,841.3           7,588.0             219.2

              Source: Dept. of Agriculture Textile Organon

              (b)   Looms in Place.  To ascertain woolen and worsted productive capacity,
we analyzed the number of looms producing fabric that were in  place between 1965 and
1972. Table 2-2  illustrates that in 1965 approximately 7000 looms  were engaged in  the
manufacture of woolen and worsted  fabrics, declining to an estimated 3000 looms in 1972.
                                         11

-------
                                       TABLE 2-2

                         WOOLEN AND WORSTED LOOMS IN PLACE


                             Vear                |\|0. of Looms

                             1965                  6,967
                             1970                  3,735
                             1972                  2,881

                             Source: Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of
                                    the Census, 1967



              (c)  Index of Industrial Production. Table 2-3 illustrates the index of indus-
trial production between 1960 and 1972, where total  textile mill  products rose from  100 in
1967  to  114 in 1972. Wool fabrics, on the other  hand, declined from a total of 100 in 1967
to 44 in 1972.

                                       TABLE 2-3

                          INDEX OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
                                                 Annual Averages
                                     1967        1970         1971         1972

          Total index                 100.0       106.6        106.8        114.4
          All manufacturing            100.0       105.2        105.2        113.1
          Textile mill products          100.0       106.3        108.6        114.5
            Cotton fabrics            100.0        87.4         90.7         86.5
            Man-made fabrics          100.0       125.6        118.9        133.4
            Wool fabrics              100.0        72.5         47.5         44.3
            Knit goods               100.0       130.5        134.3        147.7
            Fabric finishing            100.0        90.1         89.1         92.1
            Carpeting                100.0       129.3        148.0        164.1
            Yarn & misc. textiles       100.0        96.6        103.3        107.3

          Source: U.S. Federal Reserve System


          (2)   Wool Scouring.

               (a)  General. According to the  1967 Census of Manufactures, 68 establish-
ments were engaged in  wool  scouring  and/or  worsted combing. Table 2-4 illustrates the
relative position of wool scouring and combing plants between 1958 and 1970 during which
period employment dropped sharply from 6,000 to 3,900.
                                           12

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                                     TABLE 2-4

                        WOOL SCOURING AND COMBING PLANTS
                            INDUSTRY GROWTH 1958-1970
1970
1958
No. Employees
No. Payroll
(000) ($MM)
3.9 23.9
6.1 22.7
Value
Added
($MM)
27.4
36.1
Cost of
Materials
($MM)
30.2
48.5
Value of
Shipments
($MM)
62.5
87.6
Capital
Expenditures
($MM)
2.4
1.3
       Source: Annual Survey of Manufacturers
                  Value of shipments declined from a high of $87 million in 1958 to $62
million in 1970. Capital expenditures on the other hand, increased from 1.3 million in 1958
to $2.4 million in 1970. This relates directly to the fact that worsted-type fabrics have been
declining in the United States between 1958 and 1970, and the increased capital investment
is a reflection of modernization of those plants that have not gone out of business.

              (b)  Size Distribution. Table 2-5  illustrates  that of  a total  of  68 wool
scouring  plants, only one employed 1000 people or more. Eleven plants employed 100 to
500 people,  and the remaining 56 employed less than 100 people. We estimate,  however,
that between  1967 and  1972 the  number of establishments declined drastically. Of 68
establishments in operation in 1967, we estimate that in  1973 the  following  16 establish-
ments were in business:

                  Amos Abbott Corp., Dexter, Maine
                  Hart Wool Combing Inc., Holyoke, Mass.
                  Barre Wool Combing Co., N. Barre, Mass. - Large
                  Hudson Combing Co., Inc., Hudson, Mass.
                  Gilet Wool Scouring Corp., North Chelmsford, Mass.
                  Southwell Combing Co., North Chelmsford, Mass.
                  Caron International, Rochelle, 111.
                  Santee River Wool Combing Co., Inc., Jamestown, S.C. — Large
                  Roddie Wool Scouring Co., Brady, Texas
                  Bollman Industries, San Marcos, Texas
                  San Angelo Wool Processing Co., San Angelo, Texas
                  Associated Wool Processors of Texas,  Inc., Del Rio, Texas
                  Burlington Industries, Clarksville, Va. — Large
                  Burlington Industries, Lees Carpets Div.; Glasgow, Va. - Large
                  J.P. Stevens Inc., Allendale, S.C. - Large
                  Columbia Wool Scouring Mills, Portland, Oregon

                Wellman Industries of Johnsonville, S.C., has recently decided to withdraw
  from this industry.
                                        13

-------
              We  estimate  that three of  the above  mills  fall into the "less than 20
employees" category, and that nine are in the "medium" classification. Refer to Table 2-6
for a comparison of the Census figures with the distribution chosen for use in this study.

                                       TABLE 2-5

                  WOOL SCOURING AND COMBING - SIZE DISTRIBUTION
              Total establishments
                Establishments with an
                 average of:
                                              No. of
                                           Establishments
68
  No. of
Employees

  (OOO's)

   5.0
1 to
5 to
10 to
20 to
50 to
100 to
250 to
,000 to
4 employees
9 employees
19 employees
49 employees
99 employees
249 employees
499 employees
2,499 employees
14
5
10
21
6
7
4
1
                                                                .1
                                                                .7
                                                                .4
                                                               1.0
                                                               2.7
              Source: Census of Manufactures, 1967



                                    TABLE 2-6

                      CATEGORY 1 - RAW WOOL SCOURING MILLS
(No. Mills)
3

9

_
12
Census
Size
Division
(No. Employees)
0- 19
20- 49
50- 99
100-249
250-499

Unadjusted
Census
(No. Mills)
29
21
6
7
4
&7
Adjusted*
Census
(No. Mills)
3
5
1
2
1
12
         Study
          Size
        Division
        Extra Small
        Small
        Medium
        *Mills remaining in business, excluding large plants.
                                        14

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               (c)   Types  of Plants.  The  16 plants still active  in wool  scouring  have
 equipment  and technology that is adequate when compared with competing enterprises in
 Europe and Japan.

               (d)   Geographic Distribution. Table 2-7 gives the 1967 geographic distribu-
 tion of wool scouring and combing plants and shows that of a total of 68 the majority  - 52
 plants—  was located  in the  northeastern region,   12 were  located  in  the southern
 regions, and 4 (not listed) were located elsewhere. Many scouring plants in the northeastern
 region have shut down since the 1967 Census, shifting the distribution to about equal for
 the northeastern, south Atlantic, and west south central regions.

                                       TABLE 2-7

          WOOL SCOURING AND COMBING PLANTS - GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION*


                                         No. of Establishments     No. of Employees
                                                                   (OOO's)
          United States                       68                 5.0
            Northeastern Region                  52                  —
               New England Division                  35                  2.6
                 Massachusetts                         20                   1.8
                 Rhode Island                         10                    .7
               Middle Atlantic Division                17                   —
                 New York                             5                   _
                 Pennsylvania                          10                    4
            Southern Region                      12                  1.5
               South Atlantic Division                  6                  1.3
                 South Carolina                         4                   _
               West South Central Division              6                   -2
                 Texas                                 6                   .2
          Source: Census of Manufactures, 1967
          *The subtotals do not add up to totals in all cases, since all geographic areas
           have not necessarily been included.
               (e)  Types of Products.  The plants listed in this, section are engaged in the
purchase of raw wool from various parts of the world which, in turn, is scoured, carbonized,
combed, and converted into top. The tops are  then sold to customers who are engaged in
spinning and weaving operations.  They, in turn, convert them into yarn.

               (f)   Segments to be  Affected. We believe that the majority of the 16 plants
currently  in operation has already taken steps to abide  by governmental regulations.  The
large mills will probably stay in business since they are  top mills which operate an integrated
facility, buying the wool, scouring it, and converting it into top. Their margins are adequate
to warrant taking significant steps for pollution control.

                   The  very small  and small/medium mill groups  often do commission
scouring and, consequently, are vulnerable to impact from the guidelines.
                                          15

-------
              (g)  Financial  Profile. Financial  data  are  not  available from independent
manufacturers. All larger manufacturers are, in turn, a part of larger integrated textile mills,
such as Burlington and J.P. Stevens. Financial data available from these firms do not permit
separation of the wool scouring operations from the balance of companies' operations.

         (3)  Weaving and Finishing of Wool Fabrics.

              (a)   General.  No official breakdown exists to segregate wool fabric finishers
from  weaving mills  engaged  in  the  manufacture  of woolen  fabrics. Therefore, all data
pertaining to this segment take into account:

                   (1)   integrated  establishments having  wool  weaving,  dyeing, and
                        finishing;

                   (2)   wool commission finishers; and

                   (3)   wool weavers.

                   According to the Census of Manufactures, some 310 mills were engaged
in the manufacture of woolen and worsted woven fabrics, including dyeing and finishing, in
1967. Table 2-8 illustrates the relative position of woolen and worsted weaving and finishing
plants  between 1958 and 1970, during which  period employment dropped sharply from
56,000  to 32,000. The value of shipments  declined from  $929 million  in  1958 to $770
million  in 1970. This relates  directly to the  fact that woolen fabrics have been declining in
the United States between 1958 and 1970.
                                      TABLE 2-8

                       WEAVING AND FINISHING WOOL FABRICS
                             INDUSTRY GROWTH 1958-1970
1970
1958
No. Employees
No. Payroll
(000) ($MM)
32.4 187.6
56.0 206.1
Value
Added
($MM)
310.6
336.6
Cost of
Materials
($MM)
443.9
576.6
•Value of
Shipments
(SMM)
770.4
929.0
Capital
Expenditures
(SMM)
24.7
9.7
       Source: Annual Survey of Manufacturers, Dept. of Commerce, 1967
                   Capital expenditures, on the other hand, increased from $9.7 million in
1958 to $24 million in  1970, and increased capital investment is reflected in modernization
of establishments that have not gone out of business.
                                         16

-------
              (b)  Size Distribution. Table 2-9 illustrates that in 1967 only three or four
of a total of 310 mills employed 1000 or more people, and that small plants accounted for
the major portion of the inudstry,  with 157 plants employing less than 50 people, and 95
plants  employing from 100  to  500 people. Refer to Table 2-10 for a comparison of the
Census figures with those chosen for this study.
                                      TABLE 2-9

             WEAVING AND FINISHING WOOL FABRICS - SIZE DISTRIBUTION
              Total establishments
Establishments with an
average of:
1 to
5 to
10 to
20 to
50 to
TOO to
250 to
500 to

4 employees
9 employees
19 employees
49 employees
99 employees
249 employees
499 employees
999 employees
                     1,000 to 2,499 employees
              Source: 1967 Census of Manufactures
                                              No. of
                                           Establishments
                         310
                          54
                          17
                          22
                          64
                          41
                          60
                          35
                          14
                           3
  No. of
Employees
 (OOO's)
  41.8
                                                               .1
                                                               .1
                                                               .3
                                                              2.0
                                                              2.9
                                                             10.3
                                                             12.2
                                                             13.9
            Study
             Size
           Division
           Extra Small
           Small
           Medium
                                     TABLE 2-10

                        CATEGORY 2 - WOOL FINISHING MILLS
               Census
                Size
               Division
(No. Mills)    (No. Employees)
  23
  33
  20
  76
Unadjusted
Census
(No. Mills)
(93)
(64)
(41)
(60)
(35)

Adjusted*
Census
(No. Mills)
23
17
11
16
9
76
           'Mills remaining in business and having wet processing operations.

                                          17

-------
              (c)  Types  of Plants. With  the exception of  four  to  six of  the  largest
manufacturers, equipment for both weaving and finishing proved  to be outmoded, and the
level of technology was below average compared to competing European and Japanese mills.

              (d)  Geographic Distribution. Table 2-11 gives  the geographic distribution of
wool  weaving and finishing  mills in 1967  and shows that, of  the  total 310 mills, the
northeast region accounted for two-thirds of the industry. In  the north central region there
were 22 establishments, 52 in the southern region, and 20  in the  western region.

              (e)  Types of Products. The wool fabric industry basically  produces two
types of products:

                   (1)  Worsted fabrics, the  raw material of  which is wool top. This is
                        woven into medium- and light-weight  fabrics; and is mostly  used
                        in men's tailored clothing, including slacks. Fabrics are  100% wool
                        or of a blend of wool  and  polyester.

                   (2)  Woolen-type fabrics  that are composed of medium-weight and
                        heavy fabrics and are utilized in both  men's and women's sports-
                        wear. These fabrics are made of 100% wool or blends of various
                        fibers with wool.

                   Because the raw materials of wool have doubled in price and the supply
has been curtailed over the past 18 months, very few mills in the United States classified under
this segment are  engaged in the manufacture of 100% wool content fabric. In most cases,
both  in  worsted- and woolen-type fabrics, blends  of wool  with other fibers are  being
manufactured.

              (f)  Segments to be Affected.  Of the 310 establishments accounted for in
the 1967 Census of Manufactures, we estimate about 150 of  these went out  of business
between 1967 and 1972. Of  the remaining mills, eight of the largest establishments, which
have integrated weaving, dyeing,  and finishing facilities,  and  account  for 70% of the total
fabric output, and of the remaining 152 mills, we estimate that 50%, or 76 of the mills, have
their  own dyeing and finishing facilities, and hence will be  exposed to impact by the
guidelines. Because of the small size, we believe this  segment  will be significantly impacted
due to:

                   (1)  relatively weak financial structure in a declining market, and

                   (2)  inability to engage in major capital investment.

              (g)  Financial Profile. No  pertinent information is available on mills exclu-
sively engaged in woolen weaving, dyeing, and finishing, since the major factors in this
business are divisions of large diversified textile companies, where the wool portion is only a
small percentage of the total volume.

                                          18

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                              TABLE 2-11

 WOOL WEAVING AND FINISHING Ml LLS - GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION*


                                   No. of Establishments    No. of Employees
                                                              (OOO's)
United States                        310                   41.8
   Northeastern Region                   216                  22.2
     New England Division                    127                  16.3
        Maine                                     18                    4.0
        New Hampshire                            16                    3.6
        Vermont                                   7                     .4
        Massachusetts                              41                    4.8
        Rhode Island                              36                    2.2
        Connecticut                                9                    1.1
     Middle Atlantic Division                   89                    5.9
        New York                                 39                    3.2
        New Jersey                                 10                     .6
        Pennsylvania                               40                    2.1
   North Central Region                   22                    1.3
     East North Central Division                 12                     .9
        Ohio                                       5                    2.5-5.0
        Illinois                                     3                    -
        Wisconsin                                  2                    -
     West North Central Division                10                     .5
        Minnesota                                  6                    -
        Missouri                                    3                     .2
   South Region                          52                  17.2
     South Atlantic Division                    43                  15.0
        Maryland                                   3                    1.0
        Virginia                                   10                    2.5
        West Virginia                               1                     -5
        North Carolina                              6                    4.0
        South Carolina                             11                    2.5
        Georgia                                   11                    2.5
     EastSouth Central Division                  7                  1.0-2.5
        Tennessee                                  2                    1.0
        Alabama                                   2                    1.0
     West South Central Division                 2                  -
        Texas                                      2
   West Region                           20                     1.1
     Pacific Division                           18                  1.0-2.5
        Washington                                 1                     .5
        Oregon                                    8                     .5
        California                                 9                     .2

Source:  Census of Manufactures, 1967

*The subtotals do not add up to totals, in all cases, since all geographic areas are not
 necessarily included.
                                    19

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     b.    Woven Fabrics - Dyeing and Finishing.

          (1)  General. According to the Census of Manufactures, during 1967 a total of
449  establishments were engaged in the dyeing and finishing of synthetic and cotton woven
goods. Table 2-12  illustrates the relative  position of cotton finishing plants and synthetic
finishing plants between 1958 and 1970. During that period there was a drastic reduction of
employment. In cotton finishing plants, an employment level of 49,000 in  1958 declined to
29,000  in  1970. Employment in synthetic finishing plants rose  from  16,000 in 1958 to
34,000  in  1970. This trend directly reflects a shift in U.S. mill fiber consumption between
1958 and  1970. Other indicators, such as value added  and value of shipments, also reflect
this trend.

          (2)  Size Distribution. Table 2-13 illustrates size breakdown of various plants by
number of employees and illustrates the following:

              Cotton Finishing:  Cotton finishing is a highly fragmented industry  where
              small plants (50 employees  and under)  accounted for more than half the
              establishments, or 122.

              Synthetic Finishing:  In synthetic finishing, there is a similar pattern, where
              plants with up to 50 employees accounted for 50% of all establishments, or
               115.

               Refer  to  Table 2-14 for  a  comparison of the Census figures  with  those
chosen as a basis for this study.
                                      TABLE 2-12

                                    WOVEN FABRICS
                                 DYEING AND FINISHING
               No.
             Employees  Payroll
              (OOO's)   ($MM)
                   Value    Cost of    Value of       Capital
                   Added  Materials  Shipments   Expenditures    Total
                   ($MM)   ($MM)     ($MM)       ($MM)        Plants
     Cotton finishing plants: ratio of concentration, 1967:  4 large, 42%; 8 large, 59%
1958
1970
49.2
28.9
189.9
180.1
289.1
252.7
3S9.1
304.2
686.2
603.0
15.7
22.9
     Synthetics finishing plants: ratio of concentration, 1967: 4 large, 37%; 8 large, 49%
     1958
     1970
16.2
33.8
 74.3
220.4
114.8
429.0
 95.3
608.9
  210.7
1,011.6
 3.6
29.3
                                                                             216
233
     Source: Annual Survey of Manufacturers, 1970
                                           20

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                            TABLE 2-13

                         WOVEN FABRICS

                  (Dyeing and Finishing Establishments)
                               1967
                                         Number of       Number of
                                       Establishments     Employees
                                                           (OOO's)
Finishing plants — cotton:

Total establishments                          216             35.7
Establishments with an
average of employees:
        1to4                                42              0.1
        5 to 9                                13              0.1
       10 to 19                               25              0.4
       20 to 49                               42              1.4
       50 to 99                               29              2.0
     100 to 249                              26              4.6
     250 to 499                              15              5.6
     500 to 999                              21             21.6
    1,000 to 2,499                             1              -
    2,500 or more                              2               -
Finishing plants - synthetics:

Total establishments                          233             25.7
Establishments with an
average of employees:
        1to4                                21               -
        5 to 9                                14              0.1
       10 to 19                               31              0.5
       20 to 49                               49              1.7
       50 to 99                               47              3.5
     100 to 249                              44              7.1
     250 to 499                              17              5.8
     500 to 999                               9              7.0
    1,000 to 2,499                             1
    2,500 or more                             -               -

Source:  Census of Manufactures, 1967
                                  21

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                                      TABLE 2-14

                CATEGORY 4 - WOVEN FABRICS, DYEING, AND FINISHING
           Study
            Size
          Division
          Extra Small
          Small
          Medium
(No. Mills)
   146
   167
   102
   415
Census
Size
Division
(No. Employees)
0- 19
20- 49
50- 99
100-249
250-499
Unadjusted
Census
(No. Mills)
(146)
( 91)
( 76)
( 70)
( 32)
Adjusted
Census
(No. Mills)
146
91
76
70
32
                                                                    415
          (3)  Type of Plants.  Types of plants vary greatly, depending on the size, and the
types of products they process, since the industry is engaged in bleaching, printing, dyeing,
and finishing. The smaller plants with no more than 50 employees, in most cases, have old
equipment that has not been modernized due to lack of capital resources. The larger plants,
both independent and those that are part of weaving complexes, are modern and efficient.

          (4)  Geographic Distribution. Tables 2-15 and 2-16 illustrate the geographic dis-
tribution  of the industry. In cotton  finishing plants the northeastern region  accounted for
the majority of establishments, mostly composed of the 125 out of 216 establishments. In
the southern region, where most of the large integrated  establishments are located, there are
67 establishments. The synthetic finishing  plants show a similar pattern, where the north-
eastern  region represents over 50%,  or  177 plants, and the southern region 46 plants of a
total 233.

          (5)  Level of Integration.  Figure 2-1 is a schematic layout illustrating the level of
integration of cotton and synthetics  finishing establishments. There are basically two types
of establishments:

              (a)  Those  owned  by large  weaving mills:  These are separate dyeing  and
                   finishing  companies owned by large textile corporations, such as Bur-
                   lington, Stevens, and Deering  Milliken, which might within  a  single
                   corporate  complex  own up to four finishing plants. We estimate that
                   out of a  total of 450  establishments  between  100 and 130  are inte-
                   grated. However, value  of shipments of these establishments accounted
                   for an estimated 50 to  60% of the total dyeing and finishing industry.
                                         22

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                             TABLE 2-15

         WOVEN FABRICS - COTTON DYEING AND FINISHING
                        (Geographic Distribution)
                                                          With 20 or
                                 No. of Establishments     More Employees
Finishing Plants - Cotton:

United States                      216                    136
   Northeastern Regin                   125                    70
     New England Division                    37                  27
        New Hampshire                       2                   2
        Massachusetts                        15                  11
        Rhode Island                        15                   9
        Connecticut                          5                   5
     Middle Atlantic Division              88                    43
        New York                           44                  19
        New Jersey                          25                  16
        Pennsylvania                         19                   8
   North Central Region              18                      6
     East  North Central Division           14                    4
        Illinois                               9                   3
   Southern Region                  67                     59
     South Atlantic Division              54                    49
        Delaware                             1                   1
        Maryland                             3                   3
        Virginia                              2                   2
        North Carolina                       18                 .18
        South Carolina                       17                  17
        Georgia                             10                   6
     East  South Central Division            8                    7
        Tennessee                            3                   2
        Alabama                             3                   3
     West South Central Division            5                    3
        Arkansas                             1                   1
        Oklahoma                            1                   1

Sources: Census of Manufactures,  1967, ADL estimates and industry listings.

    (b)  Commission dyers and finishers:  We estimate that 320 to 350 of a total
         of 449 are independent commission dyers and finishers without corpo-
         rate relationship to weaving mills. Their sole function is to commission-
         finish woven goods, supplying such services as bleaching, dyeing, print-
         ing, and finishing.
                                 23

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                                        TABLE 2-16

                  WOVEN FABRICS - SYNTHETIC DYEING AND FINISHING*
                                   (Geographic Distribution)

                                                                    With 20 or
                                           No. of Establishments     More Employees
          Finishing Plants - Synthetics:
          United States                       233                   167
             Northeastern Region                  177                   124
               New England Division                   43                  35
                  New Hampshire                          1                    1
                  Massachusetts                           20                   16
                  Rhode Island                           9                    8
                  Connecticut                            13                   10
               Middle Atlantic Division                134                  89
                  New York                              58                   28
                  New Jersey                             67                   54
                  Pennsylvania                            9                     7
             Southern Region                      46                   39
               South Atlantic Division                 45                  38
                  Virginia                                5                     5
                  North Carolina                         24                   21
                  South Carolina                          10                     9
                  Georgia                                2                     1
               East South Central Division               1                    1
                  Tennessee                              1                     1
             West Region                           6                    2
               Pacific Division                         5                    2
                  California                              5                     2

          Sources:  Census of Manufactures, 1967, ADL estimates and industry listings.
          *The subtotals do not add up to totals, in all cases, since all geographical areas are not
           necessarily included.

          (6)  Types of Products. Both the synthetic and cotton fabric finishing industries
are engaged in processing the following products:

               —    Bleaching  operation  — the major volume is household  domestics, in-
                    cluding sheets and pillowcases;

               —   Dyeing, plain  colors — a  conversion of greige woven goods into dyed
                    fabric for both apparel and household products;

               —   Printing -  a conversion of woven greige goods into printed  fabrics; and

               -   Special finishing - includes all processes after dyeing to impart special
                    effects to  fabrics, such  as  heat setting, water repellency, or  other
                    finishes.
                                            24

-------
                     Cotton Weaving

                    380 Establishments
              Synthetics Weaving

              400 Establishments
            Integrated
      Weaving, Finishing, and
             Dyeing

            100- 130
          Establishments
    Total
    449
Establishments
   Commission
Dyers and Finishers


    320 - 350*
  Establishments
                                          Bleach

                                           Dye

                                           Print

                                          Finish
"Vulnerability -320-350 Establishments

Source: ADL Estimates
        FIGURE 2-1   DYEING AND FINISHING - WOVEN COTTON AND SYNTHETICS
                                             25

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          (7)  Segments to be Affected.

              (a)  Integrated  Weaving-Finishing. We feel that these plants,  which are
integrated with weaving and finishing operations, will not be affected due to their substan-
tial size and their ability to make the necessary capital investment to abide by government
rules, and their  ability  to pass on the increased cost to  the apparel manufacturer and the
consumer.

              (b)  Independent  Commission  Dyers and  Finishers. We  believe that this
segment will be  significantly impacted because over 50% of the establishments are small and
fragmented, with weak  financial structure,  and thus would  be unable to make a major
capital investment. The larger units in this segment, however, would be able to do so.

                   In all cases, we anticipate that the independent commission dyers and
finishers will be able to pass the cost on to their customers, if they can raise the capital required.

          (8)  Financial Structure.  No  published  financial structure  for  independent
dyeing and finishing establishments  is available. We have therefore included  financial data
relating to large  textile companies which own  facilities for dyeing and finishing their own
fabrics, or provide commission dyeing and finishing services (Table 2-17).

     c.    Knitted Fabric - Dyeing and Finishing.

          (1)  General. Census  figures are  available for  mills  that perform  dyeing and
finishing only (commission dyers) and for total knit mills which  include both "knitting
only," as well as commission finishers, and integrated establishments that have both knitting
and  dyeing and finishing. We have therefore estimated the breakdown between integrated
finishing mills and those mills that do knitting only.

              According to  the  Census  of Manufactures  1967,  some  541 mills were
engaged in the manufacture of knitted fabrics, including dyeing and finishing.

              Table 2-18 illustrates  the relative position of the industry between 1958 and
1970.  Employment  rose sharply from  18,000 in  1958 to 48,000  in  1970. A similar
relationship is reflected in  the value of shipments and  capital expenditures. This relates
directly to the fact that knitted fabrics have  been the fastest growing segment of the textile
industry in the United States between 1958 and  1970.

          (2)  Size Distribution. Table 2-19 illustrates  the size distribution of knit  fabric
mills and also illustrates the nature of the industry, which is highly fragmented with small
plants being  the dominant factor. Plants  with under  50 employees per establishment
accounted for a total of 371 establishments out of 541.

               Refer to Table 2-20 for a comparison  of these Census figures with those
chosen for this analysis.

                                          26

-------
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-------
                              TABLE 2-18

               DYEING AND FINISHING - KNITTED FABRICS
                      INDUSTRY GROWTH 1958-1970
1970
1958
No. Employees
No. Payroll
(000) (SMM)
48.2 296.2
18.4 73.9
Value
Added
(SMM)
648.5
147.4
Cost of
Materials
(SMM)
1,235.9
336.1
Value of
Shipments
(SMM)
1,881.8
487.2
Capital
Expenditures
(SMM)
85.3
7.1
Source: Annual Survey of Manufacturers, Dept. of Commerce
                               TABLE 2-19

      KNITTED FABRICS MANUFACTURERS - DYEING AND FINISHING
                            (Size Distribution)
    Total establishments
       Establishments with an
       average of
             1  to
             5 to
            10 to
            20 to
            50 to
           100 to
           250 to
           500 to
  4 employees
  9 employees
 19 employees
 49 employees
 99 employees
249 employees
499 employees
999 employees
          1,000 to 2,499 employees
    Source:  1967 Census of Manufactures
                                            No. of
                                         Establishments
                           541
 95
 59
 93
124
 63
 75
 23
  8
  1
              No. of
            Employees
              (OOO's)

               36.3
  .2
  .4
 1.3
 4.0
 4.6
11.7
 7.7
 6.4
                                   28

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                                      TABLE 2-20

                   CATEGORY 5 - KNIT FABRIC, DYEING, AND FINISHING
                                  Census Size
                                   Division
                     (No. Mills)   (No. Employees)
          Extra Small     50           0-19
          Small

          Medium
25

15
90
20-49

50-99
Censust
(No. Mills)
(247)
(124)
( 63)

Adjusted
Census"
(No. Mills)
50
25
15
90
          tTotal mills, including knit only and dry finish.
          *Mills dyeing and finishing only.

          (3)   Types of Plants. The knitted fabric industry emerged in the United States in
 1960. Therefore, most equipment on hand is relatively new. The age of plants in most cases
varies from 15 to 5 years.

               The level of technology is good and efficiency is excellent in the larger mills,
and below average in the small and fragmented ones.

          (4)  Geographic Distribution.  Table 2-21 shows the geographic distribution of
the knitting industry with the northeastern  region accounting for 398, or 74% of the mills,
mostly in the Middle  Atlantic section, with employment of 21,000. In the South there are
124 plants, mostly the large integrated mills, employing 14,000.
              Table  2-22 gives the geographic distribution of mills engaged in dyeing and
finishing in 1967.  Of the total there  were only 80  establishments,  63% of which were
located in the Northeast, mostly the Middle Atlantic  section, where there were 44 plants.
The  southern region  accounts  for 22  establishments, or 28% of the total. The current
estimate of the number of mills is 90, and the geographic  distribution  has not  changed
significantly.

         (5)  Level  of Integration. Figure 2-2 illustrates the level of integration in the
knitted fabric industry, which can be divided into the following segments:

              (a)  Knitting mills engaged  primarily  in knitting  and dry finishing (only
                   320-330  establishments).   They  purchase dyed   yarn  from  outside
                   sources and it is knitted on premises and  dry-finished, or they purchase
                   greige yarn  that they knit on  their own  premises and have it commis-
                   sion dyed and finished by outside sources.
                                         29

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                               TABLE 2-21

   GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF KNITTED FABRIC MANUFACTURERS
                  INCLUDING DYEING AND FINISHING*
                                  No. of Establishments    No. of Employees
                                                            (OOO's)
 United States                       541                   36.3
   Northeastern Region                  398                  21.2
      New England Division                    43                    6.0
        Massachusetts                             17                  3.7
        Rhode Island                              12                  1.0-2.5 est.
        Connecticut                               11                    -4
      Middle Atlantic Division                 355                   15.1
        New York                               233                  6.8
        New Jersey                               60                  2.8
        Pennsylvania                              72                  5.6
   North Central Region                   12                     .6
      East North Central Division                7                   .5-1.0est.
        Wisconsin                                  7                    .5-1.0est.
   Southern Region                      124                  14.3
      South Atlantic Division                  113                   12.3
        Virginia                                    6                  1.0
        North Carolina                            86                  9.0
        South Carolina                            14                  1.7
        Georgia                                    5                    .5~1.0est.
      East South Central Division               11                    2.0
        Tennessee                                  5                  1.0-2.5 est.
        Alabama                                   4                    .4
   Western Region                         7                     .2
      Pacific Division                           7                     .2
        California                                  7                    .2

Sources: 1967 Census of Manufactures, ADL estimates and industry listings.

*The subtotals do not add up to totals, in all cases, since all geographic areas are
 not necessarily included.


     (b)  Integrated  knitting  mills (120 establishments). These  are the large
          knitwear producers  of both warp  and  circular knit fabrics which, in
          addition   to  knitting,  have  yarn-dyeing  facilities  and  piece-dyeing
          facilities.  In  most cases these mills  dye and finish their total fabric
          requirements. In  some  cases, they also  act as commission  dyers and
          finishers for other parties.

     (c)  Knit  goods  fabric commission dyers  and  finishers (60-90 establish-
          ments). These are firms which predominantly work on a commission
          basis, performing a service for knitting mills that do not have their own
          dyeing and finishing facilities.
                                   30

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                                        TABLE 2-22

                         GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF KNITTED
                           FABRIC DYERS AND FINISHERS ONLY*
                                                        No. of Establishments

                United States                                80
                   Northeastern Region                          50
                     New England Division                           6
                        Massachusetts                                  3
                        Rhode Island                                   1
                        Connecticut                                   1
                        Vermont                                      1
                     Middle Atlantic Division                        44
                        New York                                    24
                        New Jersey                                   12
                        Pennsylvania                                   8
                   Southern Region                            22
                     South Atlantic Division                         14
                        Virginia                                       2
                        North Carolina                                10
                        South Carolina                                 2
                     East South Central Division                      2
                        Tennessee                                     1
                        Florida                                        1
                Unaccounted for                                       8

                Sources: Census of Manufactures 1967, ADL estimates and industry
                        listings.

              *The subtotals do not add up to totals, in all cases, since all  geographic areas
               are not necessarily included.
          (6)  Type of Products. The knitted fabric industry basically produces three types
of products:

               (a)  Warp  knit  fabrics, both yarn and piece-dyed,  composed of tricot and
                   raschel types that predominantly utilize three raw materials -filament
                   acetate, and  filament polyester.  Sixteen of the largest mills accounted
                   for 60% of the total productive capacity.

               (b)  Double-knit fabrics, both yarn and piece dyed, which utilize predomi-
                   nantly polyester  filament yarns and, to a lesser degree, nylon, acrylics,
                   and cotton, and  predominantly  produce fabrics  for the apparel trade.
                   Twenty-eight of  the largest mills accounted for 50% of total productive
                   capacity.
                                           31

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                           541 Mills
   Double Knit
       Yarn
Warp Knit
Single Knit
                Integrated
                Finishing

            120 Establishments
            Commission
              Finishing

          90 Establishments
                   Bleach

                   Dye

                   Print

                   Finish
                                              This Group
                                          Services 320-330 Mil Is
                         Knit Only and
                          Dry Finish

                          320-330
Vulnerability - 90 Establishments

'Integrated finishing sometime service outside customers.

Source:  ADL Estimates
                           FIGURE 2-2   KNIT FABRIC FINISHING
                                              32

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               (c)  Single-knit  fabrics,  utilizing cotton, acrylics, polyester  filament yarn
                   and piece dyed, for the apparel trades. Thirteen of the largest mills
                   accounted for 40% of total productive capacity.

          (7)  Segments to be Affected

               (a)  Knitting mills primarily engaged in knitting  only are segments which
                   would not be affected,  since all wet finishing is done on the outside
                   (320 mills).

               (b)  Integrated knitting mills have their own dye and  finishing facilities, all
                   of which are of substantial size, and they have the necessary assets to
                   make  the  required  capital investment to abide by government rules;
                   they are also able to control the total manufacturing process and pass
                   increased cost on to  the apparel manufacturer (estimated 120 mills).

               (c)  Knitted  fabric commission dyers and finishers.  We believe that this
                   segment will be significantly impacted due to its  relatively weak finan-
                   cial structure, and because all of these mills perform a service on a com-
                   mission basis and cannot control total price structure of the product.

                   We expect that, in the next six months, barring industry-wide recession,
                   the knit segment will turn  profitable once again, as demand takes up
                   the capacity slack.

               We feel the major problem will arise, not in passing additional costs on, but
in ability to make capital investment.

          (8)   Financial Profile. Table 2-23  represents the financial structure of the largest
integrated knitting mills having their own dyeing and finishing facilities. Table  2-24 repre-
sents  financial  profiles of the largest independent commission finishers for knitted fabrics.

     d.    Yarn and Stock — Dyeing and Finishing.

          (1)   General. According to  the Census of Manufactures, during 1967 a total of
192 establishments were engaged  in the dyeing  and finishing of yarn, stock, and narrow
fabrics.  Yarn dyeing facilities accounted  for  the bulk of these establishments, estimated at
80% of the total.

               Table 2-25  illustrates the relative position of yarn dyeing facilities between
1958  and 1970. During that period, employment increased from 7,800 to 12,300, and value
of shipments doubled, and  capital expenditures rose from $2.1 million to $13.3 million.
                                          33

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                                      TABLE 2-23

          FINANCIAL PROFILE - PROFIT MARGIN OF INTEGRATED KNITTING MILLS

                                       1970-1971


Net Sales ($MM)
1970
1971
Net Profit ($MM)
1970
1971
Profit Margin
1970
1971
Return on Equity-
Return on Investment
1970
1971
Texfi
Industries

97
164

5.3
11.3

5.5%
6.9%


18% 12%
25% 16%
Guilford Mills,
Inc.

43
53

0.7
2.7

1.6%
5.1%


10% 6%
37% 25%

Stevecoknit

27
33

1.6
2.4

5.9%
7.3%


44% 25%
27% 21%

Edmos Corp

25
32

1.8
2.5

7.2%
7.8%


22% 17%
14% 12%
Scottex
Corp

15
24

0.8
1.1

5.3%
4.6%


29% 13%
11% 7%
Source: Based on Company Annual Reports
                                      TABLE 2-24
                  FINANCIAL PROFILE - PROFIT MARGIN OF THE LARGEST
                   COMMISSION DYERS OF KNITTED FABRIC (1969-1971)
                                         1969
1970
1971
             United Piece Dye Works, Inc.:

             Net Sales ($MM)
             Net Profit ($MM)
             Profit Margin
             Return on Equity-Return
              on Investment
             Capital Expenditures ($MM)
             Source: Based on Company Annual Reports.
28
2.1
7.5%
21% 15%
2
28
2.6
9.1%
21% 17%
2
30
3.9
13.2%
26% 23%
2
                                      34

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                                      TABLE 2-25

                        YARN AND STOCK DYEING AND FINISHING
                              INDUSTRY GROWTH 1958-1970
No.
Employees
(OOO's)

Payroll
($MM)
Value
Added
($MM)
Cost of
Materials
($MM)
Value of
Shipments
($MM)
Capital
Expenditures
($MM)
       Finishing Plants — Yam:  Ratio of concentration, 1967: 4 large, 29%; 8 large, 44%

       1958      7.8       28.8      52.0       105.7        158.0          2.1
       1970      12.3       72.9      141.9       206.5        346.3         13.3

       Total Plants: 192

       Source: Annual Survey of Manufacturers 1970.
          (2)  Size Distribution.  Table 2-26 illustrates the size breakdown of various plants
by number of employees and differentiates between companies that finish their own yarn,
which in most cases are integrated with spinning or texturizing operations, and commission
finishing plants  that only provide a service  of dyeing yarns. Refer to  Table 2-27  for a
comparison of Census figures with those chosen as a basis for this analysis.

              In the case of companies finishing their own yarn, establishments with less
than 50 employees represented over two-thirds of total establishments, or 85 out of 129. A
similar pattern occurs in the case of commission finishing and dyeing, where 42  establish-
ments out of a total of 63 had fewer than 50 employees.

          (3)  Types of Plants. As we  have illustrated in Table 2-25, major capital invest-
ment has occurred  in the  last  10  years, which is reflected in the relatively modern
equipment in the establishments that are of large size. Small establishments are fragmented
and equipment is not up to date.

          (4)  Geographic  Distribution. Table 2-28   gives the geographic distribution of
yarn finishing plants. Of a total  of 192 plants in the United States the majority is in the
northeastern region, where there  are 121 plants or two-thirds of the total, and 57 plants or
one-third are located in the southern region.

          (5)  Level of Integration.  Figure*2-3 is a schematic layout illustrating the level of
integration between integrated yarn dyers and independent commission yarn dyers.
                                         35

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                 TABLE 2-26

  YARN AND STOCK DYEING AND FINISHING

                Establishments


Finishing Own Yarns:
Total Establishments
Establishments with an average of:
1 to 4 employees
5 to 9 employees
10 to 19 employees
20 to 49 employees
50 to 99 employees
100 to 249 employees
250 to 449 employees
500 to 999 employees
Commission Finishing - yarn:
Total Establishments
Establishments with an average of:
1 to 4 employees
5 to 9 employees
10 to 19 employees
20 to 49 employees
50 to 99 employees
100 to 249 employees
250 to 449 employees
No. of
Establishments

129

29
13
21
22
23
14
4
3

63

9
11
4
18
9
6
6
Source: Census of Manufactures, 1967
                                              No. of
                                            Employees
                                              (OOO's)
                                               8.2
                                               0.1
                                               0.1
                                               0.3
                                               0.7
                                               1.7
                                               2.1
                                               1.3
                                               1.9
                                               4.2
                                                 .1
                                                 .1
                                                 .6
                                                 .6
                                                1.0
                                                1,9
                     36

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                               TABLE 2-27

      CATEGORY 7 - YARN AND STOCK - DYEING AND FINISHING
Study
Size
Division
Extra Small
Small
Medium
(No. Mills)
53
16
21
90
Census
Size
Division
(No. Employees)
0-19
20-49
50-99
                                                  Unadjusted    Adjusted
                                                    Census         Census
                                                  (No. Mills)     (No. Mills)
                                                    (87)

                                                    (40)

                                                    (32)
                                53

                                16

                                21_
                                90
                              TABLE 2-28

               YARN AND STOCK DYEING AND FINISHING*
                         (Geographic Distribution)
                                  No. of Establishments
Finishing Plants - Yarn:
United States
   Northeastern Region
     New England Division
        Massachusetts
        Rhode Island
     Middle Atlantic Division
        New York
        New Jersey
        Pennsylvania
   North Central  Region
     East North  Central Division
        Ohio
        Illinois
        Michigan
        Wisconsin
   Southern Region
     South Atlantic Division
        Virginia
        North Carolina
        South Carolina
        Georgia
     East South  Central Division
        Tennessee
        Alabama
   Western Region
     Pacific Division
        California
192
    121
          18
         103
     57
10
 7

42
39
22
              1
              2
              1
              2
          46
          10
 2
35
 4
 4

 7
 3
                         With 20 or
                       More Employees
            105
                53
                    13
40
                45
 8
 5

14
15
11
                   39
     2
   29
     3
     4

     4
     2
Sources: Census of Manufactures 1967, ADL estimates and industry listings.
*The subtotals do not add up to the totals, in all cases, since all geographic
 areas are not necessarily included.
                                   37

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Independent Yarn
    Producers

Staple - Filament
                                 Integrated Textiles
                                   Yarn Producers

                                 Staple - Filament
  Dye Yarn in Own
      Facilities
Commission Dyers

       90
  Establishments
Dye Yarn in Own
    Facilities
                                       Raw Stock

                                         Yarn

                                     Narrow Fabrics
             Knitted and Woven
             Fabric Producers
                         Produce Fabric
                        in Own Facilities
    Total
190 Establishmen
Vulnerability-- 90 Establishments

Source:  ADL Estimates
              FIGURE 2-3   YARN AND STOCK DYEING AND FINISHING
                             Level of Integration
                                          38

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              (a)  Integrated  Yarn  Dyers.  Integrated yarn  dyers are  composed of two
Jistinct types:

                   (1)  Divisions of the large integrated weaving mills that own their own
                        spinning  and  texturizing facilities and  utilize their  own yarn-
                        dyeing facilities to finish the output  of their spinning and tex-
                        turizing mills.  Dyed yarn is then sold to outside customers or used
                        internally.

                   (2)  Independent yarn spinners  and texturizers that have their own
                        dyeing facilities and produce yarn only,  which in turn is dyed in
                        their own facilities and sold outside.

                   In both  cases, the  dyeing  facility could be  used to do commission
dyeing for outside customers  in addition to its own requirements.

                   We estimate that out of a total of 190 establishments, between 100 and
110 are parts of independent  yarn producers or integrated textile companies.

              (b)  Commission  Yarn  Dyers. Commission  yarn  dyers  are  independent
plants  that perform a service function  only. The larger ones purchase yarn and sell dyed
yarns to their customers; the smaller  ones simply perform  the  function of commission
dyeing.

                   It is estimated that out of a total of 190 establishments, 80 to  90 are
independent yarn dyers and  this would also account for the discrepancy in ratios illustrated
according to the Census of Manufactures in Table 2-29.
                                     TABLE 2-29

                         FINISHING PLANTS, YARN AND STOCK

                         (Size Distribution by Number of Employees)
                                            No. of              No. of
                                        Establishments         Employees
                                                               (OOO's)

              Finishing Own Yarns:              129                 8.2


              Commission Finishing:              63                 4.2


              Source:  Census of Manufactures 1967
                                         39

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          (6)  Types of Products. The dyeing of stock and yarn is a limited, specialized
operation, solely limited to imparting color  to both filament and  staple yarns, predomi-
nantly in cotton and synthetic fibers.

          (7)  Segments to be Affected.

              (a)  Yarn  Dyeing Facilities Owned by  Independent Yarn Producers and
Integrated Textile Producers. We feel that these plants, estimated at 100 to 110, with the
exception of the smaller ones, may not be affected due to their size and ability to make the
necessary  capital investment to meet government requirements.

              (b)  Independent  Commission Yarn Dyers. These represent a total of 90
plants. We believe this segment will be significantly impacted because  over two-thirds of
these  establishments are small and fragmented with weak financial structure, and might be
unable to make the necessary capital investment to  abide  by government regulations.
Furthermore,current technological advances in multifabric weaving and dyeing are tending to
make this whole industry sector obsolete. Stock and yarn dyeing necessitate less flexibility
to meet changing market demands of style and color, and create a much larger cost because
of the larger inventories required compared to dyeing the knit or woven fabric.

          (8)  Financial  Profile. No financial structure for independent commission yarn
dyers is available. We therefore feel that representative financial  structures are expressed in
the category of integrated yarn manufacturing and dyeing as illustrated in Table 2-30.
                                          40

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                            TABLE 2-30




                        FINANCIAL PROFILE




                      (Yarn Spinning and Dyeing)



Net Sales ($MM)
1970
1971
Net Profit ($MM)
1970
1971
Profit Margin
1970
1971
Return on Equity
1970
1971
Return on Investment
1970
1971
Capital Expenditures ($MM)
1970
1971

Dixie
Yarns

87
99

1.7
2.3

2.0%
2.3%

6%
7%

5%
7%

3
—
National
Spinning
Company

75
76

2.1
1.9

2.8%
2.5%

9%
8%

9%
8%

4
2
Standard
Coosa-
Thatcher

50
53

1.9
1.7

3.8%
3.2%

7%
6%

6%
5%

3
6

Burkyarns
Inc.

17
22

0.9
1.3

5.3%
5.9%

25%
24%

15%
15%

3
2
Source: Based on Company Annual Reports
                                 41

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3. IMPACT ANALYSIS IN SPECIFIC TEXTILE CATEGORIES

     a.    Introduction.

          The textile industry has been  divided into seven categories by  the  proposed
effluent guidelines for this industry. They are:

          Category 1 — Wool Scouring,
          Category 2 — Wool Dyeing and Finishing,
          Category 3 — Greige Goods Mills,
          Category 4 — Woven Fabric Dyeing and Finishing (Cotton and Synthetics),
          Category 5 — Knit Fabric Dyeing and Finishing (Cotton and Synthetics),
          Category 6 — Carpet Mills, and
          Category 7 — Stock and Yarn Dyeing.

          The economic impact of the proposed effluent guidelines has been examined for
five of the above categories. They are:

          Category 1 — Wool Scouring,
          Category 2 — Wool Dyeing and Finishing,
          Category 4 - Woven Fabric Dyeing and Finishing (Cotton and Synthetics),
          Category 5 — Knit Fabric Dyeing and Finishing (Cotton and Synthetics), and
          Category 7 — Stock and Yarn Dyeing and Finishing.

          Two categories — greige  goods mills and carpet mills — have been precluded from
this  initial study  of the economic impact, on  the assumption  that these two categories
would not be significantly impacted by the proposed effluent guidelines.

          Greige goods mills, by definition, are mills employing only  dry processes, such as
knitting and weaving. Weaving mills would  likely have a slashing operation, but in  a well
managed mill  the  pollution load generated by this process would be  negligible. Therefore,
we find greige goods mills have no appreciable pollution load beyond  the sanitary load and,
in our judgment, they will be unaffected by the proposed effluent guidelines.

          Carpet mills  have  been set aside from this initial study on the basis that they,
unlike any other category of the textile industry, can pass on treatment costs in the form of
investment or operating costs to their customers. While the situation might change between
now and 1983, we believe that the largely inelastic demand  for this product and prevailing
pricing practices will allow absorption of treatment costs in  the pricing structure  for large,
medium, and  small carpet mills. In addition, because of this situation,  these mills offer
attractive  investments, so that capital  should  be available to enable them to  continue
operation  while complying with the guidelines.

         A final circumstance that will reduce  the impact  on the carpet industry is that
well  over  50% of  the  industry is located in Dalton, Georgia, and are connected to  the
municipal  waste system where the personnel are experienced in handling carpet mill wastes.
                                         43

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          In  addition to setting aside two of the seven textile categories from this initial
study, we have also set  aside large integrated  textile  mills which will not be significantly
impacted, generally because of their higher profit levels, larger size, and integrated produc-
tion, as well  as their ability to influence price levels strongly within the industry and hence
pass on the  cost of pollution control. It is generally felt that the small and medium sized
mills do not  have the same freedom to increase prices as do the larger, integrated mills. It is
then the small and medium sized mills that must absorb these costs from profits rather than
by passing on the cost to their customers.

          Many  of  the  larger,  integrated mills have  already established treatment facilities
and/or are connected to municipal treatment systems and have already met or exceeded the
requirements of the  proposed best practicable  technology.  They have, in turn,  already
absorbed  the cost  and,  if necessary, passed  on this  cost to their customers. Small and
medium sized mills, in general, service the aftermarket and thus lag behind the larger mills,
and as the market and the pricing structure have already absorbed the costs for larger mills
to control pollution, the small and medium sized mills cannot increase  their prices.

          Since the impact of pollution control is partially absorbed already by  the  larger
mills, and since they should not, for the most part,  have difficulty in absorbing additional
increments,  either from  higher profits and/or price increases, we may set them aside and
concentrate  on the  impact that will be felt by the small and medium sized mills within each
of  the five  categories studied. In addition, the smaller mills have been  divided into two
categories: (l)very  small,  with under  20 employees,  and (2) small, with 20  and over
employees. The very small grouping was developed by EPA as a  special group with special
financial restrictions.

          (1) Sources. In undertaking the study, the contractor interviewed  at least one
representative mill  within each size  classification and category. In  many cases, multiple
interviews were conducted to permit presentation  of a more representative example. In
addition to  personal interviews, telephone interviews were extensively conducted not only
with  operating mills but with other industry  sources as well which were able  to supply
pertinent information. The contractor also relied on his in-house textile industry  specialists
to  provide  direct input  to  the study  as well  as  to judge  on the relative  accuracy of
information gained through confidential interviews.

          Because of both budgetary and calendar  constraints,  the number of interviews
conducted during this study was too small to provide  statistically valid conclusions,  but it
was adequate to provide a generally qualitative  basis.  It is anticipated that in subsequent
studies the number of textile companies interviewed — and hence the data base from which
the analysis  will be made — will be significantly increased.

          (2) Methodology  of Impact Analysis.  Earlier studies of the textile industry have
concluded that  the industry would  not be severely  impacted  by the proposed effluent
guidelines, and that conclusion is largely supported by the findings of this study. Imports
have  recently  played — and are expected  to  continue to  play —  a dominant role  in
determining  price levels within the industry. In view of this, price levels which permit profit
levels adequate to absorb the cost of pollution controls are sensitive to tariff levels, and we

                                         44

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have assumed that the industry as a  whole will continue to be protected from low-cost,
foreign imports — at least at the level of protection now afforded by existing duties, quotas,
and the like. Pricing effects are discussed for each category within the individual scenario for
that category.

              For each of the five categories studied, the contractor prepared a scenario to
show how the small mill with less than 20 employees and a medium and small  sized mill
would be impacted by the proposed effluent guidelines.

              On the basis  of the interviews, other industry sources, and in-house informa-
tion, a composite mill was composed  for each size classification within each category. This
composite mill is considered representative of a mill of the size classification and category.
The  composite,  with the exception of  wool scouring and wool dyeing and finishing, is in
each case  essentially a commission dye house. This kind of model was selected because it
would best represent the impact of water pollution controls or the impact of the proposed
effluent guidelines. Textile mills with both wet and dry processes tend to be more profitable
than those with  only wet processes, such as commission dye houses, and thus  they will be
impacted  to  a lesser degree, since they have broader profit bases which they can use to
absorb the costs  of pollution control.

              Although  the limitations caused  by the small  data base are recognized, a
range of  sales revenues, profits,  depreciation  expenses,  annual  cash flows,  production,
employment, and other parameters have been presented for the composite mills in each size
classification and category.

          (3)  Meeting the Guidelines. A mill may meet the proposed best practicable technol-
ogy  for  1977 in  several ways. It may begin  or continue to discharge  its effluent  for
treatment to a municipal facility. If this choice is made, the mill will be obligated to pretreat
its effluent in  accordance  with  the proposed  guidelines for pretreatment.  This  would
include, but not be limited to, extraction of fiber and particulate matter from the stream as
well as the removal  of substances which pass through the municipal treatment plant, i.e.,
refractory COD  material, or  else  the effluent might have  a  deleterious effect  upon  the
municipal treatment plant such as  the discharge of heavy metals (i.e.,  chrome-based dyes).

              However,  the mill may choose  to treat its  own effluent. It is assumed that
the treatment would consist  of good, secondary biological treatment with extended aeration
and lagooning. The EPA believes that secondary  biological treatment would be adequate to
achieve the  proposed guidelines for BOD, COD, and  color. In  some cases, good secondary
biological  treatment may be inadequate to achieve the guideline levels of COD and color
removal. If that  eventuality  were to come to pass and the guidelines were to be met, then
the contractor suggests that massive lime treatment and activated carbon treatment would
be one method of achieving  the guidelines while evaporation of 20% of the discharge stream
and incineration of the solids residue  would be another method of achieving the guideline
levels on COD and color. While the latter two  treatment systems added to good secondary
biological  treatment  would  undoubtedly produce an effluent within the guidelines, it is not
known whether  or not either would be  required, and therefore the impact analysis will be
based upon only secondary biological  treatment  where  the mill has adequate  space  for
lagooning.

                                         45

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              In some unusual cases a mill will be situated in a location which prohibits the
use of secondary biological treatment and lagooning,  and further is  prevented from dis-
charging to a municipal treatment plant either because  the municipal treatment plant does
not exist, or is not large  enough to handle the additional discharge of the textile mill, or
refuses to accept the mill's industrial wastes. If such conditions were to exist, and this would
be an unusual condition, the mill would have to decide whether to change its product mix,
move its operation, or install a high-rate, activated sludge, two-stage treatment plant.

              We have not addressed this space-limited mill condition, since on investiga-
tion we feel that such situations do not really exist or, if they do, they are so few and have
such special conditions that they warrant individual mill-by-mill treatment.

              For each of the options discussed above, the mills would have to decide how
to make  the new investments  in pretreatment or treatment equipment. In some cases, the
mill might  choose to fund the investment from its operations. The majority of the small and
medium sized mills would  probably  finance the  investment in new treatment facilities.
Conventional financing might be available through  banks handling a company's  general
banking needs, but in other cases, probably the majority, the financing would be made
available  only  with Federal or State  guarantees. Another  form  of  financing would be
through industrial bonds issued by the local municipality. In each case, the mill would be
able to continue  operations and the problem would merely  be one of how to finance or
fund the new investments required.

              Some industry sources believe that marginal operations exist and that these
operations  are so  marginal that they cannot acquire any kind of financing. The contractor
found one  case in which  the  State limits the amount of corporate indebtedness of firms
under its jurisdiction, which provides an artificial limit to financing pollution abatement. In
the case of the marginal mill, it would be faced with either closure or discontinuance of the
wet process operation, thus  changing the product mix.  Obviously, this latter option would
not be available to those  who are simply commission  dye houses, except in that instance
where a  process change or  product mix change might produce  an effluent more  readily
treatable. If none of the above options is open to the mill,  the mill would have to close.

         (4)  Waste  Treatment Costs. For each of the five categories studied, the con-
tractor developed the investment and operating costs necessary to meet the proposed best
practicable technology. The investment and operating  costs were developed for municipal
treatment and  self-treatment  with  space  available for lagooning. For each category the
investments and operating costs were based upon a very small mill with 19 employees, and
small and  medium  sized  mills operating  with the range of estimates  presented  for the
composite  mill of its size and category. The waste and hydraulic loads conform to the
proposed guidelines for water usage and waste. The one exception to this general approach
is wool  scouring, where we made estimates  for only two size mills - very small, with 19
employees, and small, since there appears to be no medium mill classification.

              The  basis  for  the  waste treatment  cost  estimates is the  original work
presented in  the proposed effluent guidelines for  the  textile industry. It was under that

                                          46

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contract that the methodology for making the estimates was developed, and this study has
applied that methodology to the proposed  effluent guidelines and  the models of mills
chosen  for this study. Appendix A presents  the methodology in an abbreviated form and
can be used to approximate the results of our analysis.

              The original work presented  in  the proposed  effluent guidelines study did
not consider chlorination, or color removal. The additional material necessary to make those
calculations has been included as part of Appendix A.

              When  calculating the annual operating cost  for effluent treatment, we
included labor, materials, and utilities. In addition, we included a charge equivalent to 8% of
the capital investment to represent the cost of capital or interest expense applicable should
the investment be financed.  Further, we  included a depreciation expense of  10% of the
initial capital investment being representative of the total depreciation expense. The latter,
the depreciation expense, is also assumed  to be the source of cash for principal repayment
of a 10-year loan repayment schedule.

          (5)  Best Available Control Technology. In a similar manner, we calculated the
investments and  operating costs for mills conforming to the Best Available  Technology
(BAT) level, as specified by the  EPA for the textile industry. BAT, so defined, includes the
preliminary screening, primary settling (for wool scouring only), coagulation (for carpet
mills  only),  secondary  biological treatment and  chlorination.  In addition,  it includes
advanced treatment techniques  such  as  multi-media filtration and/or  activated  carbon
adsorption following  biological treatment. The very  small mills with under 20 employees
have no COD requirements in BAT and, therefore, employ only a multimedia filter.

          (6)  COD and Color Considerations. In  estimating the economic impact that the
proposed best practicable technology portion of the effluent guidelines will have upon the
textile  industry,  we  have  assumed  that  good, secondary  biological treatment will be
adequate for the reduction of BOD, COD, and color to the required levels as stated in these
guidelines. There  exists the possibility that good, secondary biological treatment will not be
adequate for the reduction of COD and color in certain circumstances, however. Discharges
of some but not all exemplary  plants in  that report meet the guidelines with secondary
biological treatment. Since  detailed information is not available about the raw  waste loads
of these exemplary plants, we are uncertain as to whether or not  all mills can meet the
guidelines, discharging the raw waste loads and  hydraulic loads as proposed in  the effluent
guidelines.

              While raising the issue, we have not been able to resolve it in a manner  that
would be acceptable by all parties. The resolution of this issue will be left to a subsequent
study, or simply by passage of time, with more and more mills demonstrating their ability to
treat the  effluent  with  secondary biological treatment. Therefore, as indicated above, we
have measured the economic impact  of  the proposed effluent guidelines on  the textile
industry by considering the costs and investments of a good secondary biological treatment
plant.

                                          47

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              If in fact the COD and color levels, as described by the proposed guidelines,
could not be met, we suggest that there are two methods which may be employed to achieve
the proper level. Before discussing the methods we must point out that these may not be the
only technologies available for achieving these ends,  but rather two technologies which are
practical and recognized.

              The  first  method would be to employ a massive lime treatment  to the
effluent, followed by an activated carbon treatment. The second method would be to isolate
the dye stuffs from the rinse waters and wash waters of the effluent. These spent dye stuffs
not only contain most of the colors, but as well include much of the highly refractory COD
components of the effluent. In this method 20% of the total waste water stream, isolated in
the manner described above, would be evaporated and the resulting residue incinerated, thus
creating only a burned waste for disposal.

          (7)  Mill Closings Criterion. Having estimated the range of cash flows and other
financial characteristics of a mill in each category and size classification studied, and further
having established what the investment and operation costs would be for a mill operating
within this range of financial characteristics, we subtracted the estimated annual operating
cost from the range of annual positive cash flows. When the annual operating cost did not
exceed the minimum cash flow  thought to exist for  that category, then we assumed the no
plant closings  would ensue as the result of meeting the proposed effluent  guidelines.
Following this  technique, if the annual operating cost should exceed cash  flow for any
particular mill example, then we would  assume that  all mills operating within this category
and size  classification would close. Continuing to use  the zero cash flow criterion for a plant
closing, we  found that some plants within a certain category  and size classification might
close, since  the operating cost  of  the  treatment system would  place them in a zero or
negative  cash position. To make an estimate of the percentage of mills within a category and
size classification and in turn an estimate of the number of mills that will close, we assumed
that the cash  flow would be  distributed linearly  throughout  the range described.  If this
assumption  is  made, then zero or  negative cash  flow  would  be proportional  to  the
percentage of mills falling below the point where the annual operating cost would penetrate
the cash flow range.

              Had the data base been larger it might have been useful to assume a normal
distribution  of  cash flows for each size mill rather than the linear distribution. Certainly in a
statistical sense  this  would be a more elegant approach  to determining the percentage of
mills closing. For example, if we had reliable and accurate information about  at least 30
mills in each size category, we  could demonstrate whether or not the cash flows actually
form a normal  distribution. Since, for the most part, there are not that many mills in a size
classification for a category, the demonstration of normalcy is not possible.
                                          48

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               Using  the simpler linear distribution  and the influence that it has upon the
results can be  envisioned by examining the figure.  The area defined by "a" in the figure
defines the linear distribution where it is equally probable that we will find a  cash flow. The
area defined  by "b"  is that of a normal distribution and would  express the  probability of
finding a  cash  flow within  a population obeying  this distribution. The difference between
these two assumptions can best be seen by comparing "line x" and "line y" which represent
the cumulative probability  for  the linear and normal distributions.  In our model it would
make no  difference whether a  normal distribution  and/or linear distribution were used at
the halfway point.  That is to say, both techniques would estimate the same percentage of
mill closings.
                                                           Max
                                  Increasing Cash Flow
               For cash flows below the mean we would find that the linear distribution
tends  to  show  a  larger number of  mill closings  than does  the normal distribution and,
conversely, above  the mean the normal distribution tends to increase the percentage of mill
closings until finally  at  the end point  where both distributions once  again are equal. The
contractor does not believe  that the slight overstatement  of the linear distribution is
particularly punitive, since it is his expectation that the firms with lower positive cash flows
would be more  inclined to close than those with higher cash  flows, even if the distribution
were normal. That is to say, even though the linear distribution tends to  bias the percentage
of  mill closings below the 50% point, the contractor believes that  this may be a more
realistic expectation.

               The use of a zero or negative cash flow as the criterion  to determine plant
closings tends to  understate the number of mill closings if higher level  criteria were to be
used. Those  higher level criteria would  include  profitability on sales, minimum rate  on
return on invested assets, internal rate of return, discounted cash flow method, or present
                                          49

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value analysis.  Each of these forms of analysis would  likely carry with it a higher level of
cash flow demand to satisfy the criterion, and hence would tend to increase the potential
number of mill closings. We believe that since  a  large majority  of the'mills of small and
medium size  within the five categories studied are privately held companies or corporations,
the zero or negative cash flow criterion most closely approximates the criteria actually (but
perhaps never formally) applied to the decision of a mill closing.

               There  are an  unknown number of mills which face imminent closing deci-
sions and the  necessity of meeting the  proposed effluent guidelines, and  the attendant
investments and operating costs will merely hasten the final decision to close the mill rather
than actually cause its closing, i.e., being the sole factor. There will undoubtedly be closings
that will  be  ostensibly associated  with the mills' inability to meet  the investment and
operating  costs required by the proposed effluent guidelines.  Based upon industry sources
and interviews  undertaken in support of this study, we estimate that as many as one-half of
the mill closings which occur as a result of the proposed effluent guidelines will simply be
accelerated closings, i.e., the mill  would have closed spontaneously without the  necessity of
meeting the effluent guidelines.

               Within  each  scenario,   we  have presented  the  investments and  annual
operating  costs against a background of  how  a  mill would  finance its  new investments
in waste  treatment equipment. While an  important criterion, which may in and of itself
lead to mill closings,  we  have not  used this  as  the closing criterion,  but rather have
selected the zero or negative cash flow as the criterion. We reason that far fewer mills will
have great difficulty  financing the  investment than those which simply cannot afford the
annual operating costs.

     b.    Category 1 - Scenario of Wool Scouring.

          (1)   General Description. This segment  of the textile industry has been severely
set back by the conversion to synthetic fibers. There are now only about 16 active raw wool
scouring mills in the United States compared  with about  21 listed in Davidson's Blue Book
of  1972.  (Davidson's  listings tend to  list  mills even after their closing;  hence  this large
reduction  did not necessarily take place entirely since 1971.) The 1967 Census, lists a total
of 68 scouring  and combing mills but  combing  mills are dry operations  and hence can be
treated the same as griege mills. Two large mills in Massachusetts and several in Texas are the
only remaining commission scouring  mills. The remainder also produce top wool and are
components of vertically integrated organizations.

               Wool scouring is conveniently  separated from other segments of the  textile
industry  because  of  its uniqueness. Raw wool (grease wool) must be wet-cleaned (wet-
processed) before the fiber can be dry-processed to produce top yarn, then fabric.

               The grease wool contains 25 to 75% non-wool materials, consisting of wool
grease (a recoverable  material of some economic value) and other materials of animal origin
                                          50

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such as urine, feces, sweat, and blood, as well as dirt consisting of both  oil and vegetable
matter. Additional materials that may be present include insecticides (sheep dip)  and
fugitive dyes used for identification. This variability in both yield and the  composition of
impurities and grease causes a correspondingly large variability in raw waste loads.

         (2)  Process Description. Scouring consists of sorting the fleece and feeding it to
a hopper. The fleece is wet  with fresh water in the first bowls. The wool is then carried
through a series of scouring bowls where scour liquor flows countercurrent to it. Detergent
is added in the third or fourth bowls to emulsify the greases and oils. The  scoured wool is
then dried. In mills where the cleaned wool is converted into top wool, the  wool is combed
and drawn — and sometimes air-washed — to remove the short  fibers (used for wool yarn)
from the long fibers (used for worsted yarn).

              The wool grease constitutes a special problem in treatment since it does not
appear to be readily biodegradable, unless it is well-emulsified so that bacteria can  reach it.
Therefore,  the grease-recovery step is important to  reduce pollution. The scour liquor from
the separation tank  is processed  to break the emulsion and recover the wool grease. Two
methods are commonly used in this procedure: centrifuging and  acid-cracking.

              In the centrifugal method, about 60 percent of  the grease is recovered,  and
the remaining 40  percent is attached to  the  dirt and grit.  Centrifuging recovers  over 90
percent of  the  grease from  the  scour liquor.  In  the acid-cracking method,  pilot plant
performance indicates a 98 percent recovery of grease from the degritted liquor. No  data are
available to indicate  the initial split of grease between the grit and the raw  liquor from the
grit settling tank. Grease yield, in total, is 8 to  15 percent by weight of the greasy wool,  and
this constitutes  50 to  65  percent of the wool grease intially present. Note  that 1 to 3
percent of  the wool  grease  present  in the  grease wool is allowed to remain on the wool  as a
conditioner. The market for recovered, unrefined wool grease is very unpredictable. The
demand varies between zero and a level permitting a price of $0.25 per pound. When prices
are depressed, the mill stores  the grease  for  up to 6 months  or more, making it an
unattractive business for many operators.

              Some  "raw"  wools,  mostly the Australian  and New Zealand wools,  are
prescoured  at the source. However, this fact does not appear to affect  this  analysis of U.S.
raw wool scouring mills significantly. Scoured wool is often converted into "tops" at  the
same mill. In this operation,  the short fibers are separated mechanically from the long ones;
the long fiber "tops" are used for worsted yarn  and the short fibers are used to blend into
woolen yarns. No added pollution occurs, but the water load is increased slightly by water
washing of the air from an air washing step.  The guidelines developed for Category 1  are
based on the total product fiber and include both short fibers and tops.

              Several  small mills are connected to municipal treating systems. Most small
mills are not treating their wastes at all. The larger mills are treating their own wastes, with
the exception of Wellman in South Carolina which is connected  to a municipal system. Two
                                          51

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large Burlington mills  treat wastes combined from carpet and woolen broad-woven fabric
finishing plants, respectively. We are not considering as exposed  those  mills which are
integrated into a large  corporate organization. This criterion reduces the mills exposed from
16 to 12.

         (3)  Composite Mill. The wool scouring mills  of interest to this  study are  the
commission scouring mills (4 or 5 mills) and  the top-making companies. As stated above we
are not considering those integrated with spinning, knitting, weaving and finishing opera-
tions which are a part  of a larger corporate organization. The generalized models are shown
in Tables 3-1 and 3-2.  Only a very small mill with 19 employees, and the small mill with 20
to 40 employees are considered. The few "large" mills  are now processing about 50,000
pounds per day; the smallest about 5,000 pounds per day. In general, the wool scouring
equipment is old and has been written off long ago.

                                       TABLE 3-1

                REPRESENTATIVE VERY SMALL RAW WOOL SCOURING MILL
                    Sales                    $650,000
                    Profit (before taxes)        0-1%
                                            0-$6,500
                    Profit (after taxes)         0.8%
                                            0-$5,000
                    Depreciation              Negligible
                    Debt Repayment          Not known
                    Cash Flow                0-$5,000
                    Salvage Value             Negligible
                    Cost Structure:
                       Fixed                 20%
                                            $129,000
                       Variable               80%
                                            $515,000
                    Production               5,000,000 Ib/year
                                            14,300 Ib/day
                    Employment             19
                    WorkWeek               5 days, 1 shift
                    Water Use                7.5 Million gallons per year
                                            21,500 gallons per day
                                            1.5 gallons per pound of clean wool

              One scouring line will handle about 15,000 pounds per day. This typical mill
performs commission scouring: many of the scouring mills also  make top, a dry operation.
Table 3-2 presents typical ranges of the various business aspects of a small mill involved in
raw wool scouring.

              Mills doing commission scouring only will realize  about $0.065 per pound of
raw wool, or $0.13/pound of clean wool, resulting in a sales volume of $650,650 per year for
                                          52

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the production  rate shown in Table 3-2. Those mills selected for the small/medium class
perform commission scouring and some top making, resulting in a sales level of about $1.73
per pound of clean wool, based on the mills sampled in this study. Not considered are top
mills which buy all their wool and process it into top, where the sales price could be as high
as $2-3/pound.

                                        TABLE 3-2

              REPRESENTATIVE SMALL/MEDIUM RAW WOOL SCOURING MILL*
           Sales
                Profit (before taxes)

                Profit (after taxes)

                Depreciation
                Debt Repayment
                Cash Flow
                Salvage Value
                Cost Structure
                  Fixed

                  Variable

                Production

                Employment
                Work Week
                Water Use
 $6,500;000-$13,000,000
         0-$130,000
         0- 1%
         0 - $74,000
         0 - 0.6%
        Negligible
        Not Known
         0 - $74,000
        Negligible

            19%
 $1,200,000-$2,400,000
            81%
 $5,280,000 - $10,450,000
  3,750,000-7,500,000 Ib/yr
    15,000- 30,000 Ib/day
        20-40
         5 days, 1 shift
 9.5 — 19 millions of gallons per year
0.03 — 0.05 millions of gallons per day
 1.8 gallons per pound of clean wool
               * Assumption: Commission scouring and some top making.

          (4)  Discussion of Representative Mills. The production and  sales levels of the
wool  scouring mills, after eliminating the large mills  and those that are part of  a larger
corporation,  do not vary sufficiently to warrant the two categories  of small and medhrm
sized  mills. Therefore,  we have shown only one  composite  mill model  for those  two
categories.

              We estimate  that the representative mills have sales of $500,000 for the very
small  mills, and ranging from  $6.5 to 13 million per year for the small mill. The lower limit
of the small mill  is based on a single scouring line that is up to capacity. Profits from these
mills  range  from  0 to  1% before taxes.  This very low profit  level is the result of  the
depressed wool  market  of the last  few years,  combined with international wool-buying
practices that have left  the United States  short in supply. The wool business is currently
                                           53

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looking up but the short supply is causing prices to rise to the point where it may be priced
out of the market. In any event, the low profit levels we found during interviews appear
reasonable to use for this projection.

              The wool  scouring  mills are intensely  competitive and,  as one fails,  the
others see reason to continue existence on the business they can glean from the failed firm.
Hence, the resultant profits after taxes range from  $0-$5,000 for the very small mills, and
$0 to $74,000 per year for the small mills.

              The equipment found in the wool scouring mills is almost wholly over 15 to
20 years old and has been written off long ago. As a result, depreciation is negligible as is
salvage value of the equipment. We could not determine debt repayment values so we will
use profit after taxes for cash flow. The cash  flow of the composite mills therefore will be
between $0 to $5,000 for the very small mill, and between $0 to about $74,000 per year for
the small mill.

          (5)  Waste  Treatment Systems Costs. Operating costs for waste treatment for  the
composite wool scouring  mill are given in Table 3-3. The very small mill uses 22,000 gpd
while the small mill uses 34,000 gpd of water, using guideline water-use figures applied to
the production rate of clean  wool.  Based on  the methodology presented in  Appendix A,
used with the applicable figures, we estimated the investment and operating costs necessary
to achieve the guidelines.

                                        TABLE 3-3

          ECONOMIC  IMPACT OF EFFLUENT GUIDELINES ON WOOL SCOURING MILLS
                                      CATEGORY 1

                                          Very Small Size Mills     Small and Medium Size Mills
    Estimated Number of Mills Exposed
    Estimated Number of Employees Exposed
    Cash Flow (from composite mill)
    Impact resulting from proposed best
      practicable technology
        If all were to use
           • Municipal treatment
             Annual cost
             Mill closings, number (%)
           • Self-treatment
             Annual cost
             Mill closings, number (%)
    Impact resulting from proposed best
      available technology
        If all were to use
           • Self-treatment
             Add on annual cost
             Mill closings, number (%)
    3
   57
$0 - $5,000
  $9,200
   3 (100%)

  $20,300
   3 (100%)
   25,300
  $25,300
    3 (100%)
    9
   270
$0 to 74,000
 $ 11,600
   1 (16%)

 $ 21,600
   3 (29%)
  189,500
 $189,500
    9(100%)
                                           54

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              The  guidelines  may be met by discharging the mill effluent to a municipal
treatment plant or by self-treatment. The wool scouring mill effluent has a special problem
of high grease content that creates problems  in both treatment and sludge disposal. As a
result most municipal systems have refused to accept wool scour wastes, even after recovery
of wool grease (which only removes about 60% of the grease  and oils). Work is actively
being performed  by at least  one wool scourer to make these wastes acceptable to the
municipality. Further,  we understand Caron International is on a municipal system. Also,
mixed dye  house and scouring  wastes are being treated  successfully  in  several  private
treatment plants.  For purposes of this analysis, we will assume that this grease problem will
be overcome without significant capital or operating costs involved; if it develops that  such
costs are significant, they will have to be considered in the impact analysis.

              The  cost for pretreatment  for the very  small mill amounts to a capital
investment of $17,400 and an operating cost (including  amortization of the capital invest-
ment)  of  $9,200 per year.  Similar figures for the small/medium  sized  mill are a  capital
investment of $21,300 and  an operating cost  of $10,000, respectively. These calculations
are based  on an intermediate sized municipal treatment plant which would charge $0.40 per
1000 gallons treated. If a smaller municipal plant is involved, a higher treatment  cost of
$0.68 per  1000 gallons treated should be used.

              The  annual operating costs for  self-treatment for BPT  are $20,300  with a
capital investment  of $54,400 for the very small  mill,  and $21,600  operating costs  and
$57,300 capital investment for the small/medium sized mill. These cost figures are based on
primary settling  followed  by a treatment  in a well-operated 30-day oxidation pond, since
the guidelines state that good secondary  treatment should be  able to  achieve the limits
stated. To evaluate the impact of the guidelines we have assumed that the low water use and
the COD  and color can be  reduced to acceptable  limits by good secondary treatment. If
further tertiary treatment and extensive process changes are  needed,  these costs must be
considered.

              The  costs to the mills to meet BAT in the manner defined in the guidelines
amount to $71,300 for capital investment and  $25,300 for operating expenses per year for
the very small mill, and $320,000 for capital investment and $189,500 for  operating costs
per year for the small/medium sized wool scouring mill.

          (6)  Impact.  Table 3-3  presents the economic impact of effluent guidelines on
wool scouring mills.  As  previously mentioned, we  have measured  the  impact  of  the
guidelines  on wool  scouring mills  by assuming the mill would close  when  the  annual
treatment  costs exceeded the cash flow. Furthermore,  we assumed  the distribution of cash
flows to be  linear through the ranges of cash flow.  Implementation of BPT or BAT by
the very small wool scouring mills would, in all cases, cause the three  mills  so classified to
shut down, affecting up to 57 employees.
                                         55

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              Implementation  of the best practicable technology by small/medium wool
scouring mills by  municipal treatment  would  cause  16% closings, or 1-2  of the 9 mills
exposed by our standard criteria. This would affect about 26 people. If all mills had to meet
this same goal by self-treatment, 29% closings would occur, or 2-3 mills, affecting 87 people.

              Implementation  of BAT  would require operating costs of $189,500 (and a
capital investment of $320,000) and, as a result, would  cause all mills which did not have
the alternative of connecting  to  municipal  systems  to close, affecting  270 employees.
Assuming that wool scouring mills could make their effluent acceptable to  municipalities,
we feel that the only mills affected by BAT requirements then would be those which do not
have  access  to  municipal  systems.  We estimate  this number to be 2  or 3. Even  this
conclusion must be  modified by the fact that in those communities with which we are
familiar where wool scouring mills have been trying to connect to municipal sewage systems,
only 1 or 2 appear to be making headway, and there, with almost full-sized self-treatment
systems as pretreatment. Therefore,  without more investigation,  we  must assume the  full
impact.

              It should be noted, in general, that this industry is very  borderline at present;
it has been noted that it expects at least one mill to close a year.  Hence, any expenditures
for clean-up  may hasten the demise of mills that would have closed soon in any event.
Further, we seriously doubt if good secondary treatment would meet the guidelines for best
practicable treatment, and that  most municipalities would continue to resist acceptance of
scouring mill wastes. Hence, the chances are good that more like 7 or 8 mills would close,
even at this  first  step.  However,  a  study in greater depth would be needed to make a
definitive judgment possible.

          (7)  Price  Effects. The extensive  competitiveness  of  this industry precludes
passing on any costs as prices increase. Mills interviewed had tried to pass on increased labor
costs  recently, but could not.  If the wool market continues to  look up, however,  the
surviving mills may be in a position to pass on costs. The situation is too fluid to make
accurate predictions at this stage.

              If prices  could  be passed on,  the price increase  necessary to meet  the
guidelines might  be as follows (in dollars  per pound of wool scoured):

                                        Very Small         Small/Medium

              Municipal                  0.0018              0.0020
              BPT, Self-Treatment        0.0041              0.0038
              BAT,  Self-Treatment        0.0051               0.0337
                                          56

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These figures would be added to a processing price  of $0.065  per pound of raw wool
(roughly $0.13  per pound of clean wool) for mills doing scouring but which do not own
their own wool  and which do not make top. If they own their own wool, the selling price
would be $2.00 or more per pound of clean wool, and in the small/medium mill example
doing mixed work, the average price of their product would be $1.60/pound of clean wool.

         (8)  Secondary Effects. If the  costs of implementing the guidelines can be passed
on, they will be marked up at least 15%. Wool is already in danger of being priced out of the
market,  so this increase, plus the increase, from wool-finishing operations, may  seriously
affect wool's position in competition with other fibers as well as encouraging wool imports.

         (9)  Financial Effects. The profitability of wool scouring mills would  fall  off as
follows:

                         Present    Municipal       BPT, Self-      BAT, Self-
                          Profit     Treatment       Treatment      Treatment
                                                                        '0
     Very Small Mill        0-1%     1.8% of Sales        4.1%          5.1%
     Small/Medium Mill     0-1%     0.12% of Sales       0.22%         1.9%

              Capital availability will affect the marginal mills even on municipal pretreat-
ment; all of the very small and 29% of the small/medium mills may not be able to obtain
internally  generated cash for  the capital required. Banks are reluctant to invest in wool-
scouring operations, because of their low profit and uncertain future.

         (10) Production Effects. Achievement  of  best  practicable  technology  would
reduce production as  follows (assuming as before, that all mills are subject to each given
type of treatment):

                              Very Small Mills    Small/Medium Mills

     Municipal                      10.6                  4.9          MMlbs/yr
     BPT, Self-Treatment            10.6                 16.3          MMlbs/yr
     BAT, Self-Treatment            10.6                 50.6          MMlbs/yr

         (11) Employment Effects. The same rationale used in estimating the production
effects above yields layoffs as follows:

                                     Very Small Mills    Small/Medium Mills

              Municipal                      57                26
              BPT, Self-Treatment            57                87
              BAT, Self-Treatment            57               270
                                         57

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              Note, however, that the mills that pick up the business from the plants that
close might add a number roughly equivalent to the impacted number to their employment
rolls.

          (12) Community Effects. Effects on the communities would be specific to the
towns where the mills affected were  shut down. These mills tends to be in small commu-
nities where the local impact would be significant.

     c.    Category 2 — Scenario of Wool* Dyeing and Finishing.

          (1)  General Description. The 1967 Census figures for SIC 2231, wool manufac-
turing and finishing, indicate 310 mills operating in this category. Of these, perhaps 160 are
still in business, mostly being located in the northeast region. As discussed in Chapter 2, this
figure of  160 mills reduces to a total of 76 that are potentially exposed to impact by the
guidelines. We estimate that these 76  mills are composed of 23 very small, 33 small, and 20
medium sized mills.

              Most small mills do commission dyeing, and even the larger mills that are
part  of the larger corporations commonly perform commission dyeing in addition to their
own dyeing. Commission dyeing operations imply a wide range of fabrics and finishes  as
well as fiber types.

              Probably not more than 5 or 10 mills still process more than 50% wool and
wool blends; the rest process synthetic fabrics principally.

              Wool finishing has been differentiated from  other finishing  categories be-
cause (1)  the fiber  is dirtier  than other fibers,  (2) different chemicals  are used, and (3) it
involves high water usage per pound of product. Most northern mills are  discharging directly
to streams, while a few discharge to municipal systems or to their own treatment plants.

              Category  2 involves a high water usage rate  caused  by washing after the
"fulling" operation  (peculiar  to wool  systems), because the higher quality fabric produced
necessitates more washing and, finally many of the mills in this category are old mills with
inefficient equipment and piping layouts.

              Variations occur in processing, similar  to other finishing categories, in that
some fabrics are  woven or knit from  yarns that are already dyed, either in the fiber or yarn
form. A given  mill may dye  and finish part of its production  while  only  finishing the
remainder. This variation  is unpredictable and causes a spread in data on pollution genera-
tion.
"Wool includes not only that from sheep, but also that from other animals, such as alpaca, vicuna, and the
  Kashmir goat. Subsequent discussion here  will address sheep's wool only: processing the other wool
  involves somewhat special finishing techniques.
                                          58

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          (2)   Process Description. There are three distinct finishing processes: stock, yarn,
and fabric finishing. The pollution generated by the fabric finishing operation is similar to
that generated by the other two,  and thus it is included in this category. If the greige goods
are 100 percent wool, they are  first cleaned of vegetable  matter (and cotton  fibers)  by
carbonizing (soaking in strong sulfuric acid, dried, and crushed with the char separated from
the cloth). The fabric is then cleaned of spinning oils and any weaving sizes by a light scour
(detergent wash). The  100 percent  woolens,  with the exception of worsteds, are  then
dimensionally stabilized in  the presence of detergents to produce  a controlled shrinkage or
"felting." Worsteds  are hard,  tightly-woven and  dimensionally  stable  as received at  the
finishing plant; woolens are loosely-woven, soft and often are firmed up by fulling.

               The fabric  is then batch-dyed  in vessels  called becks, washed in  the same
vessels,  and taken to dry finishing operations.  The only dry finishing operation of concern
to water pollution is mothproofing.

          (3)   Composite Mills. The mills of this category could  be northern mills, located
in small towns, where the mill is a significant part of the town's economy. Most of the small
and medium sized woolen  finishing mills are so  located.  All woolen mills contacted by the
contractor are  integrated,  spinning through  weaving and  finishing. Tables 3-4  and 3-5,
present  typical ranges of the various business facets of the very small, small and medium size
mills involved in Category 2 operations.

                                       TABLE  3-4

                           REPRESENTATIVE VERY SMALL WOOL
                              DYEING AND FINISHING MILL
                    Sales
                    Profit (before taxes)

                    Profit (after taxes)

                    Depreciation
                    Debt Repayments
                    Cash Flow
                    Salvage Value
                    Cost Structure:
                       Fixed

                       Variable

                    Production

                    Employment
                    Work Week
                    Water Use
$675,000
0-6%
0 - $40,500
0-4.1%
0 - $27,600
$6,700
Not Known
$6,700-34,000
$34,000

11-24%
$70,000-$152,000
76-89%
$482\000 - $565,000
495,000 Ib/yr
1,980 Ib/day
19
5 days,  1 shift
6.8 Million gallons per year
0.027 Million gallons per day
1.38 gallons per pound of clean wool
                                          59

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                                       TABLE 3-5

                  REPRESENTATIVE WOOL DYEING AND FINISHING MILLS
                                   Small
                                  Medium
      Sales
      Profit (before taxes)

      Profit (after taxes)

      Depreciation
      Debt
      Cash Flow
      Salvage
      Cost Structure
        Sales exp.
        Fixed

        Variable

      Production

      Employment
      Work Week
      Water Use
$1,075,000-5,375,000
        0-6%
       $0 - $322,500
        0 - 31/*%
        0-$174,000
   $10,800-$54,000
     Not Known
   $10,800-$223,000
        $270,000

            10%
  $212,000-$1,060,000
            21%
  $700,000 - $3,500,000
            69%
   750,000 - 4,200,000 Ib/yr
     3,000- 16,000 Ib/day
       30 - 150
       5 day/wk, 1 shift
     14.5-77.3 MGPY
     0.04 - 0.22 MGPD
     13.8gal/lb
$5,375,000 - $17,500,000
        0 - 6%
       $0-1,653,000
        0 - 3.2%
        0 - $554,000
   $53,800-$175,300
      Not Known
   $53,800 - $729,300
        877,000

           10%
$1,058,000-$3,525,000
           21%
$3,490,000 - $11,600,000
 4,200,000 - 12,000,000 Ib/year
    17,000-50,000 Ib/day
      150-450
       5 day/wk, 1 shift
       82 - 242 MGPY
      0.23 - 0.69 MGPD
      13.8gal/lb
              We estimate that the very small mill, with 19 employees, will have $675,000
sales per year. Profits will be 0-6% before taxes, and profits after taxes will range from 0 to
$28,000.

              We estimate that the representative small mill will have sales ranging from
$1.1 to 5.4 million per year. Profits from these small mills range from 0 to 6% before taxes.
They operate in a very competitive environment; a few mills have established speciality lines
and  enjoy  the  higher  profit  level.  The resultant  profits  after taxes range  from  $0 to
$174,200 per year.

              Most of the equipment found in woolen finishing mills is old, having been
written off already. The more progressive woolen finishing mills have  modest programs of
reinvestment. The low profit levels cause the depreciation figure to be a significant part of
the cash flow for the poor performers, but quite a small  part of the cash flow  of those
showing a more normal profit.
                                           60

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              The composite  mills are integrated  mills.  The  dry operations,  such as
spinning and weaving, are more profitable than finishing and help to carry that part of the
operations. The mill owners prefer to carry wet operations in spite of their poor financial
performance, since it gives them the ability to provide fast response to an aftermarket when
cutters need small lots of the more popular styles and shades, which the larger corporations
cannot handle economically.

              The representative  medium sized woolen fabric  finishing mill (also inte-
grated) has sales from $5.4 to  17.5 million per year. Percentage profit before taxes does not
appear to differ much from the small mills and yields an after-tax profit ranging from $0 to
about $554,000.  As in the small mills, the medium sized mills' depreciation represents a
significant part of the cash flow only for the poor financial performers.

              Operating costs for waste treatment for the very small,  the  small and the
medium sized woolen finishing mills are found in Table 3-6. The very small mill uses 0.027
MGD while the small sized mill uses .131 MGD, and  the medium size mill uses 0.46 MGD.
Based on the  methodology presented in Appendix A, used with the  applicable figures, we
have estimated the investment and operating costs necessary to achieve the proposed levels
of treatment.

               The guidelines may be met by discharging the mill effluent to a municipal
treatment plant or by self-treatment. The costs for pretreatment, plus the annual municipal
charge (which includes amortization of the capital investment), amount to $10,100 and a
capital investment of $19,000  for the very small mill, $28,000 and a capital investment of
$41,100  for the  small  mill  and  $75,700 operating and $76,200  capital costs for the
medium-sized mill, based on an intermediate-sized municipal treatment plant which  would
charge $0.40 per  1000 gallons treated. If a smaller municipal plant is involved, a  higher
treatment cost of $0.63 per 1000 gallons treated should be used.

              The costs  for self-treatment are based on the use of  extended aeration
lagoons. The annual costs for extended aeration lagoons would be $19,800 and the capital
costs would be $55,800  for the very small mill, $37,600 annual costs and $125,300 capi-
tal costs for the  small mill, and the annual costs would be $67,100 and the capital costs
$228,500 for the medium sized mill.

              In a similar fashion, the costs for BAT self-treatment are $25,200 operating
and $75,200 capital costs for the very small mill, $238,100 and $541,700 for the small, and
$443,900 annual operating costs and $1,165,100 capital investment for the  medium-size
mill.

         (4)  Impact.  We have measured the impact of the guidelines on woolen finishing
mills by  assuming that the mill  would close  when the annual treatment costs exceed the
positive cash flow from operations. Further, we assumed that the distribution of cash flows
is linear through the range of cash flows shown. Table 3-6 shows the economic impact  of the
effluent guidelines on the wool dyeing and finishing mills.

                                         61

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                             62

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              Based on this assumption, implementation of the best practicable technology
by woolen finishing mills might cause 12% of the very small, 8% of the small and 3% of the
medium-sized mills to close, if all were to go to municipal treatment. This would cause 3, 3
and 1 mill closings, respectively.  If self-treatment is required, 47% of the very small,  13% of
the small, and 2% of the medium sized mills would close, or  11,4 and  1 mills, respectively.
Our estimate of actual mill closings and employment affected is shown below:
                          Very  Small              Small                Medium
                     Mills   Employment  Mills   Employment   Mills   Employment

Municipal              3          52        3         49         1         155
BPT, Self-Treatment   11          61        4         80         1         152
BAT, Self-Treatment   15         293       33       2970        12       1612

              We find the impact of the proposed best available technology to be signifi-
cant to all three size categories of mills. The annual cost of treatment exceeds the minimum
cash flows and  exceeds  the maximum cash flow in the case of the small size mills. We
estimate that 67% of the very small mills,  100% of the small mills, and 50% of the medium
size mills will be closed, resulting in 15, 33, and 12 mill closings, respectively.

         (5)  Price  Effects. The current market for woolen fabrics is strong, having turned
around during the past several years. However, the market is considered too competitive to
be  able  to  pass on any appreciable operating expenses  incurred by meeting effluent
guidelines. The prime reasons given are that:

         a)   The large, integrated companies can spread the cost  of design and operation
              of treatment systems among their many mills;

         b)   The large integrated companies can and will establish price leadership, even
              in view  of the need  for internally generated funds for items such as the
              present  guidelines  implementation, because  they are more diversified and
              have greater "staying" power than the smaller mills; and

         c)   Imports, particularly from the Far East, are still  dictating the market price
              for woolens and wool blends.

              We believe  that the real price detriment today is  the stiff competition from
synthetic fibers (this is described in the industry profile in Chapter 2).

              The price of clean  wool has risen so sharply recently that the wool finishing
mills, even with very nominal profit, are being priced out of the market. Therefore,  even
though demand is strong, the price  the converter can charge for  spinning, weaving, and
finishing  is very rigid. Therefore,  for this analysis, we will assume that the price increases,
due to implementing the guidelines, cannot be readily passed on.
                                         63

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              For  the composite mills, the price increases necessary to cover the costs of
meeting the guidelines (if these prices could, in fact, be passed on) in dollars per pound are
as follows:

                                 Very Small Mill     Small Mill     Medium Mill

     Municipal                        0.0202         0.0113         0.0093
     BPT, Self-Treatment              0.0396         0.0151         0.0083
     BAT, Self-Treatment              0.0504         0.0958         0.0543

              These  costs  would  be added  to a  current price for  finished   wool of
approximately $3.50 to 4.00 per pound (clean wool is selling for $2.00 to 3.00 per pound
and spinning, weaving, and finishing adds about $1.00 to the price) for the larger mills, but
for the mills described here, the costs would be  added to current prices of $1.43 on the
average for the mixed commission and integrated processing they do.

          (6)  Secondary Effects. If the costs for implementation of the guidelines could be
passed on, a 15% markup to  the cutters would be added.

          (7)  Financial  Effects. The  profitability for the wool finishing mills would fall of
as follows:

                          Present      Municipal    BPT, Self-     BAT, Self-
                           Profit      Treatment    Treatment    Treatment

       Very Small Mill      0-6%         1.5%          2.9%       3.7% of Sales
       Small Mill           0-6%         0.9%          1.2%       7.4% of Sales
       Medium Mill        0-6%         0.7%          0.6%       3.9% of Sales

          (8)  Capital Availability. The better performing small specialty mills may be able
to raise $100,000  through bank loans,  but  we feel anything much higher would require
government guarantees. The marginal  small mills could not raise the $ 100,000 without such
guarantees. Therefore, it  appears that  the projected  capital requirements for BAT  for small
and medium size mills could be handled only by the better performing woolen mills, and
government guarantees would be needed for most of the mills to do so.

          (9)  Production Effects. There will  be  little effect from application of the best
practical technology to the better performers; however, the average mills and the  marginal
ones  will be  affected.  Most mills in this  category do  not have alternative  production
capability without  appreciable capital expenditures for  new  becks, etc. Also,  since the
guidelines are written on a pounds of pollutant per 1000 pounds  of production  basis,
curtailing production would be of no help. Furthermore, to this same point,  many wool
finishing plants are  already processing synthetics and blends, both woven and knits, from a
small  percentage to complete conversion. This step has been forced by the distressed wool
                                          64

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market in the past 5 or 6 years. The waste production from synthetic alternates is lower, but
the cost to meet current guidelines does not differ significantly.

              Mills that will have trouble meeting guidelines that have combined dry and
wet processing plants, such as spinning and weaving along with dyeing and finishing, have
the choice of closing down wet operations and continuing or expanding their spinning and
weaving operations. This approach means that the marginal small mills will lay off most of
their male help and retain the female help:  some of the average mills may also do the same
or divert money into other investment opportunities.

              It further means that those mills that do close wet processing will lose the
flexibility for  fast-style  turnaround that justifies their existence, and perhaps  make them
non-competitive. (This aspect should  be investigated  in greater depth.) This will further
open the door  to imports. However, the number of mills so affected  by best  practicable
treatment will be quite small so these considerations will only gain importance  at higher
treatment levels.

              Best practicable technology guidelines  implementation and zero  discharge
requirements will probably reduce production as follows (in millions of pounds per year),
assuming all mills have to meet guidelines for each category:

                                 Very Small Mill      Small Mill     Medium Size Mill

     Municipal                        1.4             1.3                4.2
     BPT, Self-Treatment               1.6             2.2                4.1
     BAT, Self-Treatment              7.9           80.2               43.5

              A good share of the lowered production described above would be picked up
by the surviving mills, many of which would probably belong to the larger corporations in
the South.

         (10) Employment Effects.

              (a)   Production Curtailment. The wet processing would likely be  dropped.
This  would cause the male employees to be discharged, while maintaining the female  help in
the spinning/weaving/knitting plant. This percentage of total employment working  in the
dyehouse  varies from 8% to  100%. A summary  of likely layoffs under the  different
conditions is shown below:

                                 Very Small Mill     Small Mill     Medium Size Mill

     Municipal                        52               49               155
     BPT, Self-Treatment               61               80               152
     BAT, Self-Treatment             293            2970              1612
                                         65

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              (b)  Plant Closings. For  the reasons given  above, it would appear that the
marginal small independent  mills would  have to close.  Further,  as  mentioned  under
"production"  above, prospects for growth in employment appear  unlikely for those mills
remaining in business. The  mill  closings  and the effect  on unemployment are given in
Table 3-5 presented earlier in this section.

              (c)  Cojrmiunity_^ffects_. Most of the woolen finishing mills are located in
small  towns, mostly in Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New York State  and  Pennsylvania.
Being in small towns, they constitute  from less  than  5% to  10%  of the  town's  direct
industrial employment.

         (11) Balance of Trade. Effects on the balance  of trade are considered negligible.

     d.   Category  4  — Scenario of Woven  Fabric  Dyeing and  Finishing (Cotton  and
         Synthetics).

         (1)  General Description. Of the 449 establishments (in 1967) engaged in dyeing
and finishing synthetic and cotton woven goods, about 146 are  very small mills employing
less than 20 people, while 167 are small mills, employing between  20 and 99, and 102 are
medium size mills employing between 100 and 500 workers.

              The  types  of plants vary greatly, depending on the  size and the type of
products they process, since  the industry is engaged in bleaching, printing, dyeing, and
finishing. The  smaller plants, with 19 employees or less, in  most cases have old equipment
that has not  been  modernized  due  to  lack of capital resources. The  larger plants, both
independent and those that are part of weaving complexes, are modern and efficient.

         (2)  Process Description.  This category  is  one of the most important, because
such plants are responsible for much of the wastewater effluent load of the textile industry.
Integrated woven  fabric finishing mills are also included in this category rather than in
category 3 because  the greige goods section of these mills contributes only a small amount
to the overall effluent load.

              When starch sizing is used in preparing woven fabrics, it becomes  the major
contributor to the BOD load of the plant. Another commonly employed sizing is polyvinyl
alcohol  (PVA), which tends to be less biodegradable than  starch and therefore presents a
lower BOD level, while contributing significantly to the COD load.

              Mill  wastes  generally  have a high total of dissolved solids and color (dye
stuffs), and contain a variety of dye-dispersing agents. The  use of caustic soda to  mercerize
cottons produces an effluent of high pH dyes, and their associated additives represent the
most  complicated treatment problem, since the BOD and COD load, as well as color, can
vary considerably with the type of dyed fabric  being processed  and the  color effects to be
achieved.
                                         66

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              Wet process  steps  include  greige  goods scouring, bleaching,  mercerizing
(cotton),  dyeing,  washing, and  rinsing,  followed  by  application of finishes such  as soil
repellants, antistatics, and the like.

          (3)  Composite  Mill.  The following examples are  for mills that do  commission
dyeing and  finishing  only. Those that do spinning and weaving as well will show a higher
profit from  the contribution of the dry processing, and the sales volume per pound of goods
produced will increase by  a factor  of about 3.5. Therefore, they will be in better shape to
handle waste  treatment costs.  Tables 3-7  and 3-8 present  typical  ranges  of the various
business facets of the  small and medium size mills involved in category 4 operations.

                                       TABLE 3-7

                            REPRESENTATIVE VERY SMALL
                      BROAD WOVEN DYEING AND FINISHING MILL
               Sales                      $204,700
               Profit (before taxes)          6-6%
                                         $0-$12,300
               Profit (after taxes)            0 - 4.7%
                                         $0 - $9,600
               Depreciation                $14,300
               Debt Repayment             Not Known
               Cash Flow                  $14,300 - $23,900
               Salvage Value               $50,000
               Cost Structure
                 Fixed                   38%-43%
                                         $72,600 - $82,600
                 Variable                 52%-62%
                                         $109,800-$119,800
               Production                 550,000 Ib/yr
                                           2,200. Ib/day
               Employment                19
               Work Week                 5 days 1-2 shifts
               Water Use                  9.9 million gallons per year
                                         0.04 million gallons per day
                                         18.0 gallons per pound of product
               We  estimate  that the  representative  very small  mill  will have  sales  of
$204,700 per year. Profits will be from 0-6% before taxes, resulting in an after-tax profit of
0-$9,600.

               The  representative  small  mill  will have sales ranging  from  $1.6  to $2.1
million per year.  Profits from  these small mills range from 0 to 6%  before taxes. They
operate in a well established and very competitive environment. This would result in  profits
                                           67

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after  taxes  of  $0 to  $72,600/year. These  sales include printing  operations  and other
specialty work that reflects a higher price per pound than that found in the very small mills,
and reflects our findings from field interviews.

                                       TABLE 3-8

             REPRESENTATIVE BROAD WOVEN DYEING AND FINISHING MILLS
                                Small
                                 Medium
     Sales
     Profit (before taxes)

     Profit (after taxes)

     Depreciation
     Debt Repayment
     Cash Flow
     Salvage Value
     Cost Structure
        Fixed

        Variable

     Production

     Employment
     Work Week
     Water Use
$1,060,000-$2,120,000
       $0-$127,200
        0 - 6%
       $0 - $72,600
        0 - 3.4%
   $74,200-$148,400
     Not Known
   $74,200-$221,000
 $265,000 - $530,000

 $400,000 - $752,000
  $660,000-$1,240,800
          62%
 1,500,000-3,000,000 Ib/yr
     6,000 - 12,000 Ib/day
       50- 100
       5-6 days, 2-3 shifts
      37.8- 75.6 MGY
       6.1 -6.2MGD
     18.0gal/lb
$8,480,000 - $15,900,000
       $0 - $954,000
        0 - 6%
       $0 - $502,600
        0 - 3.2%
  $593,600-$1,113,000
      Not Known
  $593,600-$1,615,600
$2,120,000-$3,975,000

$3,222,000 - $5,640,000
          38%
$5,258,000-$9,306,000
          62%
12,500,000 - 23,800,000 Ib/yr
    50,000 - 95,000 Ib/day
      300 - 600
     5-6 days, 2-3 shifts
      315- 598 MGY
      0.9- 1.71 MGD
     18.0gal/lb
               Most of the equipment found in woven goods finishing mills is old, much of
it  having been written  off already.  It will not be quite as old as that found in woolen
finishing plants, however. The more progressive woven goods finishing mills will have had a
small capital improvement program that may have resulted in at leas a few jet becks as well
as pressure becks and perhaps, in the larger mills, a continuous washer. The low profit levels,
however, cause this depreciation expense to represent a significant part of the cash flow.

               The composite mills depicted here are commission dye houses, and will be
more severely impacted  than  the integrated mills. The latter are able to carry low-profit dye
house  performance by offsetting it with more profitable spinning and weaving operations.
They prefer to do so (carry the wet operations) in spite of their poor performance, however,
because  the  reason they exist is most often their ability to provide fast response to the
aftermarket when cutters need small lots of the more popular styles and shades, and the
larger corporations are not set up to handle these small lots economically.
                                          68

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              The representative medium-sized woven fabric finishing mill (also a commis-
sion dye house with printing and/or other  specialties) has sales ranging from $8.5 to $15.9
million per year. Profit before taxes does not appear to differ much from the small mills and
yields an after-tax profit from $0 to $954,000. As in the small mills, the medium sized mills'
depreciation is a significant part of the cash flow.

              The water use for the mills interviewed during this study was found to be
about  twice  that  proposed in  the effluent guidelines.  The water  use  for the  example
composite mill was reduced to the levels proposed in the guidelines. Therefore, we assumed
that these mills could accomplish such a reduction in the use of water  primarily  by better
operating practice (in process changes) rather than by  any significant capital expenditures. If
such investments or operating costs associated with the reduced  water  usage are  necessary
and significant, then  such costs must be included in calculating the impact of the guidelines
on the mill. As  with  other facets of the impact, this must be considered on a mill-to-mill
basis and cannot be  generalized upon. The  raw waste loads of the mills interviewed were
found to be similar to those described  in the guidelines, and the composite mill is assumed
to conform.

         (4)  Impact. Operating costs for  waste treatment for both  the  small- and the
medium-sized woven goods finishing mills are given in  Table 3-9 and the economic impact of
the  effluent guidelines on broad woven dyeing and finishing mills (Category 4) is presented
in Table 3-8. Based on the methodology presented in Appendix A, used with the applicable
figures, we have  estimated the investment  and operating costs necessary  to achieve the
proposed levels of treatment.

              The guidelines may  be  met by discharging the mill effluent to a municipal
treatment plant or  by  self-treatment. If  discharging to a municipal  plant,  the annual
operating costs for pretreatment and  the  annual municipal charge are estimated to be
$12,700 for the very small mill, $33,000 for the small mill and $188,100 for the medium-
sized mill, with an initial investment of $23,000, $45,600 and $127,000, respectively. The
municipal charge is based on an intermediate-sized municipal treatment plant charging $0.40
per  1000 gallons  of wastes  treated. If a  smaller municipal  plant  is  involved,  a higher
treatment cost of $0.63 per 1000 gallons treated should be used.

              The costs for  BPT self-treatment are' based on the use of extended aeration
lagoons.  The annual operating costs for extended aeration lagoons would be $22,200 for the
very small  mill,  $34,000 for the small mill,  and $100,600 for the medium-sized  mill with
initial investments of $68,700, $111,600 and $353,700, respectively.

              The cost  to apply best available technology, as defined in the guidelines,
amounts to  $93,700 capital expenditure and $28,700 annual operating  cost for the very
small  mill, $511,100  capital expenditure and $216,800 annual operating expenses for the
small mill and  $1,895,100 capital expenditure and  $609,400 annual operating expenses for
the medium sized mill.
                                         69

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                      70

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              We  have  measured the impact of the guidelines on woven goods finishing
mills by assuming, as before, that the mill would close when the annual treatment costs
exceeded the  annual  cash flow, and  that the  distribution of cash flows would  be  linear
through the ranges  given for the  three mill groupings.

              Implementation  of the best practicable technology by woven goods finishing
mills, both small- and medium-sized, would not cause mill closings since the annual costs of
either municipal or self-treatment would not exceed the respective cash flows. However,
very small mills would  experience  significant impact  from both best practical  and best
available technology guidelines implementation if they must accomplish those goals through
self-treatment.

              In addition, implementation of best available technology by self-treatment
would cause almost all of the small mills to shut down.

         (5)  Price Effects. The current market  for broad-woven finished fabrics is reason-
ably strong.  However, the  finishing  mills servicing this market are  well established and the
competition  is also strong.  Industry  sources stated that imports set the price and  have
caused  shutdowns already in this category. In addition,  we stated that the larger, integrated
companies would  be  less  impacted  by  the  guidelines  and  this would  penalize the  small
independents.  We feel, however, that probably  all would be able to pass a good share of the
cost of implementing the guidelines on to the customers.

              For the composite mills,  the price increases necessary to cover the  costs of
meeting the guidelines, in dollars per pound, would be as follows:

                                     Very Small    Small    Medium

              Municipal                0.0231       .0147     .0102
              BPT, Self-Treatment       0.0404      .0151     .00545
              BAT, Self-Treatment       0.0522      .0964     .0330

              These costs would be added to a current charge of roughly  $0.37 per pound
for  dyeing and finishing broad woven fabrics, or about $0.70 per pound for those mills doing
printing and other specialties.

         (6)  Secondary  Effects.  The  costs (for implementation  of  the guidelines), if
passed on to the cutters, would be done so with an additional 15% markup.

         (7)  Financial Effects. The profitability for woven fabrics finishing would fall off
as follows:
                                        71

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                         Present      Municipal     BPT, Self-     BAT, Self-
                          Profit      Treatment     Treatment     Treatment

       Very Small Mills     0-6%           6.2%         2.1%      1.5% of Sales
       Small Mills         0-6%          10.8%         2.1%      0.8 % of Sales
       Medium Mills       0-6%          14.0%        13.6%      5.0% of Sales

              Capital availability might not be a problem for some mills since they could
divert capital expenditures from normal mill improvements to treatment operations. Other
mills would have to look to some form of debt financing.

         (8)  Production Effects. Compliance with the guidelines could reduce production
as follows:

                            Municipal     BPT, Self-    BAT, Self-
                           Treatment    Treatment    Treatment
Very Small Mills
Small Mills
Medium Size Mills
(9) Employment
0 68.3
0 0
0 0
Effects. Compliance with
83.2 MMlbs/yr
354 MMlbs/yr
12.7 MMlbs/yr
the guidelines coulc
lowing layoffs in number of employees:

                            Municipal     BPT, Self-     BAT, Self-
                           Treatment     Treatment     Treatment

         Very Small Mills       0           2,275         2,774
         Small Mills            0               0        11,788
         Medium Size Mills      0               0           318

              Implementation of the guidelines at all levels would cause a temporary halt
to providing increased jobs from mill expansions for an increasing population.

         (10) Community  Effects.  Effects on the communities would be highly specific
to those mills that would be shut down. As in other categories,  the small mills are often a
major part of the town's employment.

         (11) Balance  of Payments Effects. The balance of payments effects would  be
negligible.

     e.   Category 5 — Scenario of Knit Fabric  Dyeing and Finishing (Cotton and Syn-
         thetics).
                                        72

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         (1)  General Description. The knitting industry is characterized by a large num-
ber of plants  and a structure  organized  along  specialized product segments. The major
segments are knit-fabric piece goods, hosiery, outerwear, and underwear. The geographical
distribution of knit mills (SIC Code 225), according to 1967 census data, is as follows:

                                                   No. Plants
                       Northeast Region               1616
                       North Central Region             76
                       South Region                   910
                       West Region                     96
                         Total                        2698

              While the industry has shown substantial growth in value of shipments, we
estimate  that - through consolidation and other factors - the current number of plants in
this industry is about 2,500. Of this number, we estimate that 1,100 plants have only dry
operations. These are plants, such as sweater mills  in the outerwear segment, which knit
goods from  purchased or commission dyed yarns, or mills which have finished goods dyed
on a commission basis and therefore have no process water requirements. Most of these mills
are located in the Northeast.

              Of the 1,400 plants estimated to have wet process operations, we estimate
that  85  percent discharge to  municipal treatment  systems. The great bulk  of  these are
hosiery  plants (700-800) located primarily in North Carolina, Tennessee, and Pennsylvania.
Census data  (1968) on process water use and discharge indicates that virtually all (more than
90%) of the  hosiery plants discharge to municipal systems.

              The  knit fabric  mills within  this segment amount to about 541  mills. Of
these, the commission finishers, about  90  mills, will be those most likely impacted. These
plants are the source of finished  knit  piece or yard goods for the apparel, industrial, and
household good  trades, and also supply fabric to underwear and outerwear manufacturers.
The large knit fabric plants are located mainly in North and South Carolina and Georgia, but
substantial numbers are also located in New^York and Pennsylvania.

              The production  of knit fabrics for women'* and men's wear has been the
fastest growing sector of the textile industry over the past decade. Synthetic fibers are the
predominant types  used in knit  goods,  except for  cotton  goods produced for apparel,
underwear,  and  sleepwear. In  the  latter  case, however, polyester has been replacing in-
creasing  proportions of cotton fiber.  Plants which  previously processed only cotton are
using greater amounts of polyester, and the trend is expected to continue.

         (2)  Process Description. The wet  processing operations performed in knit fabric
dyeing and  finishing are described below, with specific operations employed varying from
plant to plant.
                                         73

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              Yarns are purchased in the undyed state, with a knitting oil finish to provide
lubrication for the knitting operation. The amount of finish on the yarn ranges from 5-15
percent, depending on the type of yarn and fiber. There is a significant difference between
knitting and weaving  yarns,  since the  latter are sized  with starch or other polymeric
materials to add strength during the weaving operation.

              After the yarn has been knit into fabric, the fabric may be processed by one
or more  alternative  routes. Typically, it is processed in piece goods form. The  fabric is
washed in  continuous countercurrent washers (warm water and detergent) prior to being
loaded in dye machines. This washing step removes knitting oils and other contaminants. In
some  processes,  washing is the first step in the dye machine cycle. The types of dyeing
equipment used include:  pressure  becks, pressure jet becks, and  sometimes atmospheric
becks. The types of dyestuffs, auxiliaries, and conditions employed for dyeing knit goods
are essentially the same as for woven goods of comparable fiber composition.

              Most knit fabrics are treated with softeners, antistats, and resin finishes, and,
in some cases, water and oil repellents. These finishes are applied from a pad bath just prior
to the final drying and dry finishing operations.  These baths are  discharged periodically, as
required, for fabric lot  or formulation changes, but  the total daily volume of discharge is
very small.

         (3)  Composite Model. The  composite small and  medium mills are  commission
dyers  and  finishers. Because the average age of the  equipment is much lower than in  the
other  finishing categories, knit finishing operations  have  higher salvage and depreciation
levels.

              An increasing number of knit finishers are involved in knitting, along with
dyeing and finishing. Their sales dollar per pound of product will be about twice as high as
that of commission dyers. The profit for the dry operations is 1 or 2% (after taxes) higher
than for dyeing and finishing.

              Some mills  in this  category buy  their own yarn, knit it, and then dye and
finish the knitted fabric. In these mills, the sales dollar per pound of product will be about
five times what the commission dyers charge. As  in the case of the knitter/finisher described
above, the profit  level will be higher since the dry operations are more profitable than
dyeing and finishing.

              Note  that employees are hourly  employees and  salvage value is for equip-
ment  only.

              Tables 3-10 and 3-11 present typical ranges of the various business facets of
the very small, small, and medium size mills involved in Category 5 operations.
                                         74

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                                  TABLE 3-10

                        REPRESENTATIVE VERY SMALL
                  KNIT FABRIC DYEING AND FINISHING MILL
                   Sales
                   Profit (before taxes)

                   Profit (after taxes)

                   Depreciation
                   Debt Repayment
                   Cash Flow
                   Salvage Value
                   Cost Structure:
                      Fixed

                      Variable

                   Production

                   Employment
                   Work Week
                   Water Use
                    $1,015,000
                    0-5%
                    0 - $50,800
                    0-314%
                    0 - $32,900
                    $101,500
                    $40,600
                    $60,900 - $93,800
                    $335,000

                    28%
                    $284,200 - $270,400
                    72%
                    $730,800 - $694,000
                    1,897,500 Ib/yr
                    7,590 Ib/day
                    19
                    5 day, 3 shift
                    37,950,000
        Note: This size classification has experienced a business downturn
              and some small mills will close, primarily because of increasing
              vertical integration, but the remainder will increase sales and
              profits. The above representative mill will be valid for about
              6 months. It is expected that vertical integration will be com-
              plete within 5 years.
                                  TABLE 3-11

        REPRESENTATIVE KNIT FABRIC DYEING AND FINISHING MILLS
                            Small
                                       Medium
Sales
Profit (before taxes)

Profit (after taxes)

Depreciation
Debt Repayment
Cash Flow
Salvage Value
Cost Structure
   Fixed

   Variable

Production

Employees
Work Week
Water Use
 1,605,000-
        $0-
         0-
        $0-
         0-
 $160,500-
   $64,200 -
   $96,300 -
 $529,650
 $3,210,000
 $160.500
•5%
 $90,000
 2.8%
 $321,000
 $128,400
 282,600
 $1,059,300
  $450,000 - $855,000
         28%
$1,155,000 -$2,194,500
         72%
 3,000,000 - 6,000,000 Ib/yr
    10,000 - 20,000 Ib/day
        25-50
    5-6 day, 3 shifts
        70-140MGY
       0.2 - 0.4 MGD
       20 gal./lb
$5,082,500
  $203,300
         0
  $112,200
       2.2
  $508,250
  $203,300
  $417,200
$1,677,200
 $8,560,000
-$1,027,200
-12%
- $540,600
• 6.3%
- $856,000
- $342,400
-$1,054,200
- $2,824,800
                         $1,368,000-$2,112,000
                                27 - 28%
                         $3,511,200 - $5,420,800
                                73-72%
                          9,500,000 - 16,000,000 Ib/yr
                             30.00D - 50,000 Ib/day
                                75-125
                             5-6 day, 3 shifts
                               210-350MGY
                                0.6-1.0 MGD
                                20 gal./lb
                                           75

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              The very small mill will have sales of about $1,000,000, with profits of 0-5%
before taxes, yielding after tax profits of $0-33,000.

              We estimate  that the representative small mill will have sales ranging from
$1.6 to $3.2 million per year. Profits  for these small mills range between 0 and 5% before
taxes, because  of current  distressed  market conditions for polyester  double-knits.  This
results in after-tax profits of $0 to $90,000.

              A large percentage of  the equipment found  in  knitting and knit  finishing
mills is  relatively new. The  higher temperatures needed for  dyeing polyester with disperse
dyes and the need to handle knits much more gently than woven piece goods have required
new equipment  designs: principally, the pressure jet beck. As a result, combined  with the
low profit level, depreciation is a major contributor to cash flow.

              The composite mill is presented as  a commission dye house, which should be
more severely  impacted than an integrated  mill,  since it cannot carry  dye house  losses or
overhead by the more profitable dry operations.

              The  representative medium-sized knit finishing mill (also a commission dye
house) has sales ranging from $5.08 to $8.56 million per year.  Profits before taxes  for the
medium sized mills not expected to  be as  low as some of the small mills,  and will range
from 4 to 12%.

              After-tax  profits, therefore, result in  values  of $112,216 to $540,644.
Similar  to the  small mill example, the  new equipment generates high depreciation  expenses
which, even with substantial principal repayments deducted, provide an adequate cash flow
of $0.42 to $1.05 million.

              The rate of water use in the mills interviewed during this study was  found to
be substantially the same as that proposed in the guidelines. As a consequence, we  assume
that all knit finishers can achieve the proposed  water use  rate "without significant added
costs for either new equipment or modifications to existing equipment. If it is necessary to
make substantial investments to meet such water conservation goals, the cost will have to be
included in calculating the  guidelines' impact on  the mill. As with  other facets of the
impact, this must be considered on a mill-to-mill basis and cannot be generalized.

              The  raw waste loads  were  found to be  similar to  those described in the
guidelines.

          (4)  Waste  Treatment System Costs. Investments and operating costs for waste
treatment for  the very small, small- and the medium-sized knit finishing mills are presented
in Appendix A where we have estimated those costs necessary to achieve the proposed levels
of treatment.
                                         76

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              The  guidelines may  be met by discharging  the  effluent to a  municipal
treatment plant or by self-treatment. The costs for pretreatment, plus the annual municipal
charge, amount to $44,100 capital cost and $31,400 operating cost for the very small mill,
$61,600 capital cost and $53,100 operating cost per year for the small mill and $121,700
capital cost and $96,000 operating cost per year  for  the medium-sized mill, based on  an
intermediate sized municipal plant which would access a charge of $0.40 per 1,000 gallons
treated. If a smaller municipal plant is involved, in the order of  1 MGD capacity, a higher
treatment charge of $0.63 per 1,000 gallons treated should be used.

              The  costs for self-treatment are based  on extended aeration lagoons. The
extended aeration lagoons will have a capital cost of $105,800 and an annual operating cost
of $32,500 for the  very small mill, $148,300 capital cost and $44,400 annual operating costs
for the small mill, and $240,100 capital cost and $69,600 operating cost for the medium-
sized mill.

              The  costs to apply best available technology, as defined in  the guidelines,
amounts  to $167,900 capital costs and $46,200 annual operating costs for  the very small
mills, $699,700 capital expenditure and $260,000  annual operating expenses for the small
mill, and  $1,293,100 capital expenditure and  $412,400 annual operating expenses for the
medium sized mill.

          (5)  Impact. As described in the introduction to this chapter, we  have measured
the impact of the guidelines on knit finishing mills by assuming that a mill would  close when
its annual treatment costs exceeded its positive cash flow. Furthermore, we assumed that
the distribution of cash  flows is  linear  through the ranges for the three mill groups shown.
Table 3-12 presents the economic impact of effluent guidelines on the knit fabric dyeing
and finishing mills.

              Implementation of the  best  practicable technology by knit  finishing mills
will not cause mill closings in any of the three  size categories, based on the observation that
the annual operating costs of  either  municipal or self-treatment will not exceed their
respective cash flows. The same  observation is true for best available technology implemen-
tation, except in the case of the small  mills having to undertake self-treatment in order  to
meet guidelines. In that case, 88%, or 22 mills, will be shut down.

          (6)  Price Effects.  The current  market  for finished knit fabrics is  depressed.
Because of the intense  competition, particularly in doubleknits, the mills interviewed feel
they will be unable  to pass on the increased costs (from  implementation of  the  guidelines)
to their customers.  This is probably true  since knits, according to industry experts, are
selling at cost right now and probably will continue to do so for the next 6 months or so.
                                          77

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              For the composite mills, the price increases necessary to cover the costs of
meeting the guidelines, in dollars per pound, are

                                     Very Small    Small     Medium
              Municipal                0.0165
              BPT, Self-Treatment       0.0171
              BAT, Self-Treatment      0.0243
          0.0118   0.0095
          0.0099   0.0054
          0.0578   0.0323
              These costs would be added to a current charge of roughly $0.535 per pound
for dyeing and finishing.

         (7)  Secondary Effects. Price increases in knit finishing may occur in the next 6
months or so.  Presumably, demand will catch up with supply and the pricing structure for
knits and knit  finishing will become more elastic. When that occurs, the added costs will be
passed  on to the cutters with about a 15% markup.

         (8)  Financial Effects. The profitability for knit dyeing and finishing will prob-
ably fall off as a percent of sales, before taxes, as shown below, due to compliance with the
guidelines:

                         Present     Municipal     BPT, Self-     BAT, Self-
                          Profit      Treatment    Treatment    Treatment

       Very Small Mills    0-5%         3.1%          2.2%          1.8%
       Small Mills         0-5%         3.2%          1.8%          1.0%
       Medium Size Mills   4-12%       4.6%         10.8%          6.0%

              Capital availability should not be a major problem for most mills. The small,
marginal mills  and the space-limited mills will have problems, however, and will have to seek
debt financing.
         (9)  Production Effects. Compliance with the guidelines could reduce production
as follows:
                            Municipal
                           Treatment
BPT, Self-
Treatment
BAT, Self-
Treatment
           Very Small Mills     0
           Small Mills          0
           Medium Size Mills    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
   8.3 MMlbs/yr
    0
                                        79

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          (10) Employment Effects. Potential number of employees that would be laid off
as a result of the mill closings due to compliance with the guidelines is as follows:

                            Municipal     BPT, Self-     BAT, Self-
                            Treatment     Treatment     Treatment

            Very Small Mills     000
            Small Mills          0             0            69
            Medium Size Mills    000

          (11) Community Effects. Effects on the  communities will be highly specific to
those mills that will be shut down. The few examples of space-limited  mills which do  not
have the option  of connecting to municipal systems indicate they are located in small towns
where the impact on the local community will be significant.

          (12) Balance of Trade. Effects on the balance of trade would be negligible.

          (13) Consideration of Future Trends in Knit Finishing Business Outlook. If the
knit finishing industry does experience a  return to good profitability in the next 6 months
or so, as is considered probable, then the composite  mills might look like those described in
Table 3-13. These improved cash flows would  reduce the impact on the  small mill having to
meet best available technology treatment to  zero mill closings, thereby establishing essen-
tially no mill closings in any of the three size categories, even under the need to treat wastes
according to best available technology.

     f.    Category  7 — Scenario of Stock and Yarn Dyeing

          (1)  General Description. Category 7 includes plants which clean, dye, and finish
fiber stock or yarn. The plants may  or may not have yarn-spinning facilities. Sewing thread
and  textile  and  carpet  yarn are typical  products.  According  to  the  1967 Census of
Manufactures,  192 establishments were engaged in  the dyeing and finishing of yarn, stock,
and  narrow  fabrics. We estimate that 90 plants in the  country perform dyeing and finishing
only, on  a commission basis, and hence will  potentially be impacted  significantly by the
guidelines.
              A strong trend is occurring in which mills in this group are changing from
commission dyeing to buying their  own yarn, dyeing and finishing it, and then selling it.
These integrated operations will make them much less susceptible to impact by compliance
with the guidelines.

              About 60 percent of yarn dyeing activity is divided between Virginia, North
Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama, with the remainder distributed across other
eastern and western states.

              Most of the small and medium sized independent mills are commission
houses located in the Northeast Region. Such  commission establishments are disappearing in
favor of integrated mill operations.
                                           80

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                                         TABLE 3-13

                REPRESENTATIVE KNIT FABRIC DYEING AND FINISHING MILLS*
                     Very Small Mill
                            Small Mill
                                    Medium Mill
   Sales
Profit (before taxes)

Profit (after taxes)

   Depreciation
   Debt Repayment
   Cash Flow
   Salvage Value
   Cost Structure
      Fixed

      Variable

  Production

   Employment
   Work Week
   Water Use
$ 1,015,162
      0-5%
     SO - 50,758
      0 - 3.2%
     $0 - 32,894
$101,516
$ 40,606
$60,910-93,804
$335,003

       28%
$270,394
       72%
$694,010
1,897,500 Ib/yr
7,590 Ib/day
19
5 day 3 shift
38MGY
0.15MGD
20gal/lb
1,783,0003,576,470
        10- 15%
   178,300-536,471
       5.6 - 8%
    99,216-285,465
   178,300-357,647
    71,320- 118,024
   285,280 - 525,088
   588,390- 1,180,235

          28%
  $450,000 - 840,000
          72%
$1,155,000-2,200,000
 3,000,000 - 6,000,000 Ib/yr
    10,000-20,000 Ib/day
        25-50
5 day, 3 shift
        70- 140MGY
       0.2-0.4MGD
20 gal/lb
5,082,500
      10
  508,250
      5.3
  270,790
  508,250
  203,300 •
  575,740
1,677,225-
8,560,000
15%
1,284,000
7.9%
674,180
856,000
342,400
1,187,780
2,824,800
       28%
1,368,000- 2,112,000
       72%
3,511,200- 5,420,800
9,500,000 - 16,000,000 Ib/yr
   30,000 - 50,000 Ib/day
      75- 125
5 day, 3 shift
     210- 350 MGY
      6.6- 1.0 MGD
20gal/lb
*lf greater profit appears as expected, within the next 6 months or so.
Assumption:  A return to a 15% profit, before taxes, for the larger, well-run plants.

                 Most dyed yarns are  used in woven fancy piece goods, Jacquard knits, and
   carpets, which constitute a strong segment of the current textile market.

                 Stock-dyed fiber is losing importance.  Stock dyeing was used to obtain yarns
   containing  fibers of different shades; i.e., blended from different stock fibers. Use of newly
   developed specific cationic dyes provides a similar effect in  single-bath piece dyeing (after
   weaving  or knitting)  at  a  lower production cost  and provides  a  rapid turnaround of
   inventories and quickened delivery to the customer.

            (2)  Process Description. The raw material for the plants of Category 7 is staple
   or  filament yarn. The yarn  may consist of either natural or synthetic fibers or a blend of
   both. Wet processes used  by yarn mills include scouring, bleaching, mercerizing, and dyeing.
   Yam dyeing is  different from  woven  fabric  dyeing inasmuch  as  there is  no desizing
   operation.  It is  different  from  knit fabric dyeing because its water use is significantly
   smaller.

                 Several techniques  for processing raw yarn  into  the  finished  product are
   available. The most common process is probably package dyeing, but other processes, such
                                              81

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as space dyeing, are widely used as well. In the former process, yarn wound on  perforated
tubes is placed  in a large vessel, which is then sealed. The dye solution is circulated through
the yarn at an appropriate temperature. The dyed yarn is then washed, rinsed, and dried. In
space dyeing, yarn is knit and the fabric is piece-dyed, washed, rinsed, and dried. The fabric
is then unravelled and the yarn is wound onto cones.

         (3)  Composite Model. A representative small or very small  mill dealing in this
category might  be a small northern yarn mill with some of its buildings dating from the late
1800's with newer sections built in  the 1920's, and then modified  in the  1950's. Some
production equipment might be  30 years old with some pressure dye kettles being less than
5 years old. The average  age of the equipment might range from 8 to 10 years.

              A representative medium sized mill might be an urban-type mill located in
one of the mid-Atlantic states. This mill would likely be a commission dye house which
buys its own yarn, dyes it,  and then sells it  to its customers (formerly the customer owned
the yarn). Thus the mill would have appreciable capital tied up in yarn  inventory. The age of
its equipment would vary considerably, as with the small mills, with  some of its machines
being 30 or more years  old and some relatively new, since the medium sized mills generally
have a regular capital improvement program.

              The  medium  sized mill  would likely process both synthetic and  natural
fibers, including  wool,  but it would not likely  have space for treatment facilities. Any
treatment  required would  have  to be  performed in some  of  its present production or
warehouse space, as they may be space-limited. Tables 3-14 and 3-15  present typical ranges
of the various  business  facets of the very small,  small and medium  size mills involved in
Category 7  operations.

              We estimate that a representative  very small size mill would have sales of
$916,400, per year. Industry sources report  profits, before taxes, ranging from 0 to 5%. On
this  basis,  we  estimate  an  after-tax profit  ranging from 0  to  $30,300. Because  newer
equipment  has  been installed in these mills in recent years, the depreciation expense may be
in the order of $64,200 and become a  major contributor to the cash flow. To isolate the
impact upon a  mill performing dyeing and finishing only, we assumed that the representa-
tive mill would  be a commission dye house.

              The representative small size  stock and yarn dyeing mill (also assumed to be
a commission dye house) would have  sales  ranging from a low of $916,400 to  a high of
$2,687,500. The representative medium  size  mill would have sales ranging from  $2,687,500
to $5,375,000.  For purposes of this study, however, mills within this category  having sales
greater than $5,000,000 were  assumed to be large plants that would be substantially
unaffected  (minimal impact)  by  pollution control as promulgated in the proposed effluent
guidelines.  As  a  composite of mills of medium size operating within this category, we
estimate that profits, before taxes,  would  range from 4 to  6%. On that basis, after-tax
profits would range  from $62,400 to  $174,200.  As in the case of the small  mill, recent
                                        82

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                            TABLE 3-14

REPRESENTATIVE VERY SMALL STOCK AND YARN DYEING MILL
           Sales                        $916,400
           Profit (before taxes)           0-5%
                                       0 - $45,800
           Profit (after taxes)            0-3.3%
                                       0 - $30,300
           Depreciation                 $64,200
           Debt Repayment             Not Known
           Cash Flow                   $64,200 - $94,500
           Salvage Value                $229,000
           Cost Structure
             Fixed                     24%
                                       219,900-202,500
             Variable                  76%
                                       696,500-668,100
           Production                  1,705,000 Ib/yr
                                       6,820 Ib/day
           Employment                 19
           Work Week                  5 day, 3 shift
           Water Use                    52,514,000 GPY
                                       150,040 GPD
                                       22gallon/lb

           Note: This industry subcategory probably won't be
                 affected by the vertical integration picture, as in
                 Category 5, but it is becoming technologically
                 obsolete with significant impact expected in
                 3-5 years. (Texturized filament yarns of differen-
                 tial dye affinity permit wearing pattern in the
                 greige and developing colors in a single dye bath.)
                               83

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                                     TABLE 3-15

       REPRESENTATIVE SMALL SIZE AND MEDIUM STOCK AND YARN DYEING MILLS
     Sales
     Profit (before taxes)

     Profit (after taxes)

     Depreciation
     Debt Repayment
     Cash Flow
     Salvage
     Cost Structure
       Fixed

       Variable

     Production

     Employment
     Work Week
     Water Use
      Small


$916,400-$2,687,500
      $0-$134,400
       0-5%
      $0 - $76,400
       0 - 2.8%
 $64,000-$138,100
      Not Known
 $64,000 - $264,500
$229,100-$671,900

$202,500 - $593,750
        23%
$668,100-$1,959,400
        77%
1,705,000-5,000,000 Ib/yr
   6,820- 16,000 Ib/day
      20-40
      5 day, 3 shift
     52.5- 123 MGY
     0.15-0.35MGD
        22 gal/lb
     Medium


$2,687,500 - $5,375,000
  $107,500-$322,500
        4 - 6%
   $62,400-$174,200
       2.3 - 3.2%
  $188,100-$376,250
      Not Known
  $250,500 - $550,500
  $671,900-$1,343,750

  $593,400-$1,175,000
          23%
$1,986,600-$3,877,500
          77%
 5,000,000 - 10,000,000 Ib/yr
    16,000-32,000 Ib/day
       40-80
       5-6 day, 3 shifts
      52.5 - 246 MGY
      0.15-0.70MGD
          22 gal/lb
investments in new equipment would produce higher depreciation expenses, which would,
in turn, contribute significantly to the cash flow. On the basis of these assumptions the cash
flow would range from $250,500 to $550,5UO.

              While these composite mills — being representative of small and medium size
stock and yarn  dyeing mills —  do not embrace  all  possible financial and  production
combinations, they are merely meant to be representative of their size within each category.

              The water use for the mills interviewed during this study was found to be
higher than  that used in the representative plants described here, although not substantially
so. This latter water use, in  fact, conforms with the proposed guidelines which assume
"in-process changes" which will substantially reduce the  use of water in many cases.  For
purposes of this  study, we have assumed  that the reduction in water use will be achieved
through process change which will not involve significant cost either for new equipment or
modification of existing equipment. If,  in  fact, it becomes necessary to make a substantial
investment in equipment or in the modification of existing equipment, the associated cost
would have to be included in the impact upon the mill. As with many other facets of the
impact,  this would have to be considered on a mill-by-mill basis and cannot be  treated as a
generality.
                                          84

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         (4)  Waste Treatment System Costs.  Investments and  operating costs for waste
treatment for the three size groupings of mills in this category are calculated for the various
proposed levels of treatment and presented in Appendix A.

              The  guidelines may be  met by discharging the effluent  to  a municipal
treatment plant or by self-treatment. In the case of municipal treatment, we assumed that
the effluent would  be pretreated, requiring an investment in equipment and an associated
annual operating cost.  The  operating  expense includes  municipal  charges  of  $31,200,
$43,800 and $84,800 for the very small, small and medium sized mills, respectively, and is
based on a 40
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                                    86

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              The  cash flows as presented in this table are drawn from Tables 3-14 and
3-15 for the composite mill of each size. As described in the introduction of this chapter, we
have measured the impact on this category by assuming that, if the annual treatment costs
produce  a  negative cash flow,  then the  plant (mill) will close.  Further, we  assumed the
distribution of cash flows  to be linear through the ranges shown for each of the three size
groupings.

              The impact of the proposed best practicable technology upon stock and yarn
dyeing mills, assuming either municipal treatment or self-treatment,  is considered to be
negligible since the annual cost  of treatment for municipal treatment and self-treatment  is
in each case lower than the minimum cash flow for the size mill considered.

              While the impact from the proposed best practicable technology is minimal,
we  find  the impact resulting from the proposed  best available technology and new source
performance standards to  be considerable in an economic sense for the small  and medium
size mills. The add-on annual cost of treatment exceeds the annual cash flows of a portion  of
our composite mills; therefore, following our assumption, some mills within  these groups
would close if all were required to meet the guideline requirement of BAT. (Probably most
of these  mills, however, will be connected to municipal systems and will have their own
pretreatment systems, for which  costs are not much greater than the annual  cost for
municipal treatment under the proposed best practicable technology.)

              There are undoubtedly a few mills which are so borderline in their economic
posture as to declare a mill closing if faced with  any of the additional costs due to meeting
the  proposed guidelines. Implementation  of these guidelines will, therefore, only hasten the
closing of such marginal activities rather than being the  cause of such closings.

              In summary,  plants in this category  discharging to municipal treatment
plants would probably not close, while many mills  having to conform to a BAT guideline
would close.

         (6)  Price Effects.  The  price  of finished yams is flexible since they are used
principally  in woven fabrics of the fancy type,  Jacquard knits and carpets and all three
end-use  markets are currently strong. Therefore, assuming no federal restrictions on the
procedure,  the short-term  view indicates that  the  price increases in this category may be
passed on to the ultimate consumer.

              For the representative mills, the price increases necessary  to cover the costs
of meeting the guidelines in dollars per pound (assuming a direct pass-on) are:
                                   Very Small       Small     Medium
              Municipal             $0.0183       $0.0131     $0.0113
              Self-Treatment          0.0194        0.0122     0.0080
              Zero Discharge           0.0303        0.0767     0.0504
                                         87

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              These costs would be added to a current charge of roughly $0.54 per pound.

         (7)  Secondary  Effects. If  price increases in this segment of the industry  can
occur, they may  be  passed on through the  weaving, knitting, and carpet mills where  this
price  will be marked up  by  15%  on the price charged for woven and  knit fabrics  and
carpeting, on the average. This last figure will be  a direct increase in  cost to the carpet
purchaser; the cost increase on fabrics will receive another markup by the converters before
purchase by the ultimate consumer.

              The larger companies (not considered in the study) may increase their own
interplant costs (if allowed under federal pricing guidelines) where they have not already
done so. Even if they do not,  the small commission dyer may still have some flexibility of
charging up to a 10% premium for his services in fulfilling his normal role of supplying the
aftermarket for small-lot re-orders.

         (8)  Financial Effects. The  "before tax" profitability of the representative mills
would decrease,  as  a percentage of sales, due to  the  annual  cost of meeting guidelines,
according to the following schedule:

                            Percent      Municipal    BPT, Self-    BAT, Self-
                             Profit      Treatments    Treatment    Treatment

       Very Small Mills       0-5%         3.4%          2.4%          2.1%
       Small Mills            0-5%         4.8%          2.3%          1.5%
       Medium Size Mills      4.6%         5.6%         14.3%          9.4%

              Capital availability should not provide a major problem to most mills since
they can divert capital from normal reinvestment programs or acquire debt financing.

         (9)  Production Effects.  There will be little effect on production  since  mill
closings are expected only when small- and medium-size mills must treat their own wastes
and meet best available technology guidelines. In this case, the production would be expected
to decrease by 111 million pounds of finished yarn per year from the small mills, and 24.9
million pounds per year from the medium size  mills.  Growth, however, may slow down
somewhat since the capital normally assigned for new equipment, modernization (including
instrumentation), and expansions will  be  tied up for several years by the need to meet the
guidelines.

         (10) Employment Effects. As in the "Production Effects" discussion above, there
will  be little impact on employment levels  primarily in  the  cases where the small-  and
medium-size mills must meet best available technology treatment, by self-treatment. An
estimate of employees affected  is 886 for the small mills  and 199 for the medium sized
ones.  Even  employment displacement  from  the Northeast and  Mid-Atlantic  Regions
probably will not occur, since expansion  of even the more profitable high-volume work in
the Southern Region is being held up due to  a labor shortage and rapidly rising labor costs.

-------
              The slowdown in industrial growth will cause a temporary halt in providing
increased jobs for a growing population, from mill expansions in the medium sized mills.

         (11) Community Effects. Effects on the communities will likely be negligible on
the basis  of the foregoing analysis, for achievement  of best practicable  treatment.  In
attaining best available  treatment, however, as in other categories, the mill shutdowns will
probably often be in relatively small communities where the mill constitutes a significant
part of the local employment.

         (12) Balance of Trade. There will be negligible impact  in the balance of trade
picture as well.
                                         89

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                                    APPENDIX

       WASTE TREATMENT MODEL FOR TEXTILE EFFLUENT GUIDELINES

1. BEST PRACTICABLE TREATMENT TECHNOLOGY (LEVEL I)

     The proposed Level I guidelines are based primarily on secondary biological treatment.
The BOD levels proposed by EPA are assumed to be met by extended biological treatment
which also reduces COD. But, by definition, COD consists essentially of refractory organic
compounds which are not degraded readily by biological treatment. The available data on
COD reduction in a biological system and the ultimate effluent levels which can be achieved
are quite limited.

     Costs  for  Level I  guidelines  have been  9alculated on the  assumption that extended
biological treatment would enable the  plant to meet the guidelines for BOD and COD. For
some plants this level of treatment alone may not  be adequate to meet Level I guidelines
and tertiary treatment may be required.

     To reflect the very different  treatment economics between small and medium plants,
costs have  been developed for  three plant sizes in each industry category (except Cate-
gory 1).  Treatment  plant  size is based on actual production and the assumed  water use
(gal/lb  product) from the EPA guidelines for that category. No allowance has been made for
increased in-plant costs to reduce water use, where plants have a higher water use rate than
the standard set for that category.

     Information on actual treatment cost experience in the textile industry was available in
varying degrees of completeness from the exemplary plants visited. To verify the quality  of
the data received and  to provide  a  broader basis for estimation, a costing model was
developed based on standard wastewater treatment practice. This model covers both capital
and operating costs for the equivalent of what appears to be  the best  technology currently
practiced by the industry: essentially primary and secondary treatment as extended aeration
with stabilization  ponds. Over a plant size range of 400-12,000 cubic meters per day (0.1  to
3.0 mgd) the cost experience data from the plants  visited came within ± 30 percent of that
predicted by the cost model. The costs calculated from the model, therefore, are believed  to
be realistic  bases for  estimating  the (replacement)  value  of  existing facilities and the
economic impact of further secondary-type treatment requirements.

     The cost data  used were derived from  varied industrial and  municipal applications.
They  are adjusted  where possible to reflect specific changes necessary  for the  textile
industry. Costs have been adjusted  to  the national average  cost level  of  1973, using
the ENR Construction Cost Index. The estimated cost curves have been adjusted to exclude
unusual construction or site-specific  requirements. The  curves  include all elements  of
construction cost which  a contract bidder would  normally encounter in  completing the
wastewater treatment. Included  are building materials, labor, equipment, electrical, heating
                                         91

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and ventilation, normal  excavation  and other similar  items. Also included are the engi-
neering costs. The annual operating costs include operation and maintenance labor, chemi-
cals, power, material and  supplies, and depreciation.

     a.    Land Available. The best practicable treatment technology in this industry, when
land is available, is considered to be the end-of-pipe treatment steps shown in Figure A-l.*

          •   Primary Treatment: For removal of suspended solids, including screening
              and chemical coagulation or precipitation (to remove  heavy  metals  where
              required); and

          •   Secondary Treatment:  Primarily for removal of BOD5, including aerated
              stabilization basins, sludge recycle and disposal, and final clarification  with a
              long-duration polishing lagoon and chlorination. (Land  and landfill require-
              ments are very small.)

          A description of the major cost elements is given below.

          (1)  Primary Treatment. This consists of grit removal and flow measurement as a
means  of protecting subsequent facilities from  excessive  wear and deposition of grit,
including pH control,  screening, and coagulation. Costs include flow  channels and  super-
structures, grit handling  equipment, electrical, heating, ventilating, and auxiliary equipment
as required.

          (2)  Aerated Stabilization Basin  System. The lagoons are sized for a given reten-
tion time (determined on the  basis of available  treatability data) with a depth of 7 feet.
These  data were extended to the higher inlet and lower effluent BOD levels by assuming
constant  ratios  of biological characteristics to be applicable over the entire range. Costs
include lagoon construction, access road, outfall sewer, fencing, seeding, and other construc-
tion work (excluding costs for aeration equipment). The costs of aeration equipment  are
based upon mechanical  surface aeration equipment sized  on the basis of 50 Ib BODS  per
horsepower-day. Good design practice dictates that total requirements be divided between
two or more aerator units. In addition, a complete spare unit is provided. Costs include  the
aerator motor, gearbox,  impeller, draft tube, supporting structure, and applicable electrical
work.

              The sludge lagoons are sized for 5-months' retention with an 8-inch  depth.
Sludge  production is small  (0.2 Ib sludge/lb  BODS removal and 1 Ib  sludge/lb suspended
solids removal). Cost includes normal excavation, dike construction, and sludge distribution
piping.  Sludge  pumps  are designed for periodic operation  only. Nutrient addition is based
upon:   nitrogen at  0.008 Ib/lb  BOD5. Costs  are included for periodic hauling  of  the
accumulated sludge to landfill.
'Points on all curves are calculated rather than data points.
                                          92

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                      Raw Wastewater


Primary Screening
                      Primary Settling
                    (Wool Scouring Only)
                         Aeration
                       Stabilization
                          Basin
                                           j)
                                            u
                                            u
                                            0)
                                           QC
                         Clarifier
                        Three-Day
                       Non-Aerated
                         Lagoon
                      Final Discharge
FIGURE A-1   SCHEMATIC FLOW DIAGRAIVTOF PROCESS STEPS
              AND COST CENTERS FOR LEVEL I TREATMENT
                             93

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          (3)  Clarification. Basin construction  costs are related  to surface area, since the
range of normal liquid depths is relatively small. These costs generally decrease as the basin
size  is increased. It is  considered  good practice  to provide at  least two independently
operated basins. The size is based upon an overflow rate of 600 gpd/ft2 and a depth of 12
feet. Costs include all necessary excavation, backfill, concrete, mechanical and  electrical
equipment, piping,  and other work related to the basin construction.

          (4)  Non-Aerated Lagoon. The lagoon is sized for a 3-day retention time with a
depth  of 7  feet. Costs include lagoon  construction, access road, outfall sewer, fencing,
seeding, and other construction work.

          (5)  Chlorination. Chlorine is  added to  wastewater during the treatment process
as an  aid to treatment and for disinfection prior to discharge of effluent to a receiving
stream. The cost of chlorine varies with the  quantity used  and  the distance  between the
point of manufacture and the point of use.  Our cost estimates are based upon  the purchase
of chlorine in 150 or 2,000 pound  cylinders. About $0.15 per pound might be a maximum
at a small plant distant  from the manufacture point and $0.03  per pound a minimum. The
construction  costs  include the  chlorination equipment, chlorine feed building,  chlorine
storage building and handling equipment and scales. The contact basin is sized for 30-minute
detention.

          (6)  Other Contributions to Capital Cost.

              (a)  Yard work.  The cost of a  treatment plant also includes costs of general
site clearing and  grading,  intercomponent piping,  lighting, control structures,  road paving,
and other items outside the structural confines of an individual plant component. These
items  are commonly called yardwork and are  included  in the  construction cost  as  an
additional 15% of the total construction cost of the individual steps.

              (b)  Engineering Costs. Engineering costs are based upon the total construc-
tion cost, including  yardwork.

              (c)  Land  Requirements.  Land requirements have not been included in the
initial  capital investment.  Typically mills do not include this cost in their total cost of waste
treatment. However, land  is a legitimate  cost factor to the extent that textile mills have- to
buy new land,-especially in urban areas, for wastewater treatment. The costs developed here
are therefore biased on the low side.

          (7)  Description of Operating Costs.

              (a)  Material and Supply  Costs. Material and supply costs  (all of the opera-
tion  and maintenance items, excluding chemicals and power) are related, where appropriate,
to the  same sizing parameters used for construction costs.
                                          94

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              (b)  Chemical Costs.

                   (1)  pH Control:

                        Lime                          $24/ton
                        Sulfuric acid                   $34/ton

                   (2)  Sedimentation Aids.  It is  assumed that only polyelectrolytes (at
0.5 ppm) will be used in the clarifiers to aid the sedimentation step.  Several combinations of
polyelectrolytes, alum, and ferric chloride are commonly used. Their costs are:

                        Polyelectrolytes           $1.25/pound
                        Ferric chloride            $0.04/pound

                   (3)  Nutrients. Nutrients  will  be  added to the activated sludge treat-
ment as follows: nitrogen at 0.8  lb/20 Ib BOD, and  phosphorus  at 0.5 lb/100  Ib  BOD.
Considerably less nutrients will be added to the aerated  stabilization basins: nitrogen at 0.16
lb/20 Ib BOD, and phosphorus at 0.1 lb/100 Ib BOD.

                        Ammonia (25%)              $32.50/ton
                        Phosphoric Acid (72%)        $82.80/ton

         (8)  Operation  and  Maintenance  Labor. The  annual  labor  requirements  are
related, where appropriate,  to  the same sizing parameters  used for  construction cost
estimates. Requirements were based upon a man-year consisting of 52 weeks at 40 hours  per
week, or a total of 2,080 hours per year.

              Operation man-hours x $5/hr   = direct operation labor cost
              Maintenance man-hours x $5/hr = direct maintenance labor cost

              (a)  Energy and Power Cost. Power costs are related, where appropriate, to
the same sizing parameters used for construction costs. Costs were based upon: $0.015/kwh
and 70% motor efficiency. Fuel  costs were based on fuel oil at $ 1.00 million Btu and steam
at $1.50 million Btu.

              (b)  Landfill Costs. Two  costs were  considered  for  landfill  operations:
handling and. burial. Handling charges were costed at  $0.25/cu ft of solids generated from
incineration; burial costs were based on $ 15 per dry ton of solids.

                   Cost  curves developed  from the cost model are presented in Figures A-2
through A-14. (For very small plants, about 110 cu m/day or 30,000 gpd and an overall cost
figure of $1.00 for 1 gpd  was assumed.) Figures A-6 through A-14 present the operating and
maintenance costs over the ranges of production found. The initial capital cost of biological
treatment systems depends mainly upon (and here is  related  to) the hydraulic load, the
other factors making only minor variations in the  total cost. Operating costs, on the other
hand, have been viewed as dependent on pollutant as well as hydraulic loads.

                                         95

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 1,000,000
o
D
o
o
  100,000
C
O
o
   10,000
                                                                    10.0
                FIGURE A-2   AERATED STABILIZATION BASIN

                             CONSTRUCTION COST
                                  96

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     10,000
_   1,000
o
o
O)
c
O)
c
LLJ
       100
        10
           100
1,000                 10,000

 Total Construction Cost, ($000)
                                                                             100,000
                           FIGURE A-3  ENGINEERING COSTS
                                         97

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o
Q
O
o
c
o
'
Ui



8  10x105
    1 x 10a
            1.0
        10.0                 100.0

              Flow, mgd



FIGURE  A-4  CLARIFIER CAPITAL COST
                                          98

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   10 x 105
o
Q



I


I  1.0x105
 i
4-1
I/)


O

o
          1,000
y = 67.31 X °'837

                  10,000


             BOD removal, Ib/day
100,000
                        FIGURE  A-5   AERATED STABILIZATION BASIN

                                      (Aeration Equipment Only)
                                        99

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10,000
o
g
 1,000
  100
      1.0
                y=1009X°'446-
             Operation
             Maintenance
                                             ,y=183.2X°'486
                                               I  	I    1   I  J_
                                     10.0
                                    Flow, mgd
100.0
           FIGURE A-6   AERATED STABILIZATION BASIN
                         ANNUAL OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE LABOR
                               100

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10,000
  100
                                      10.0
                                    Flow, mgd
100.0
                FIGURE A-7  AERATED STABILIZATION BASIN
                              1.  Material and Supply Costs
                              2.  Chemical Costs
                                 101

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  100,000
o
Q
*•»
   10,000
    1,000
         1,000
                              I   I  I  I I 1
                                             y "1.762XOJ
     10,000

BOD removal, Ib/day
100,000
                             FIGURE A-8   AERATION EQUIPMENT
                                           ANNUAL POWER COSTS
                                           Aerated Stabilization Basin
                                      102

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  10,000
o

c
(0
  1,000
c
c
    100
       1.0
y = 604 X
        0.292
               Operation
                    Maintenance
                                i	I
                                            y = 152.4 X0-695
                      10.0

                    Flow, mgd
                                                                   100.0
        FIGURE A-9  CLARIFIER, ANNUAL OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE LABOR
                                 103

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  100,000
o
Q
tt
<3  10,000
ce
3
    1,000
                                                   Material and Supply Costs
                                            10.0
                                           Flow, mgd
100.0
                       FIGURE  A-10   CLARIFIER
                                       1.  Material and Supply Costs
                                       2.  Major Chemical Costs
                                       104

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    100,000
o
Q
o
O
c
o
C
O
o
10,000
     1,000
                                                                       10.0
                 FIGURE A-11     CONSTRUCTION COST - THREE-DAY

                                 NON-AERATED LAGOON
                                          105

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   1,000,000
"5
Q
u
c
o
C
O
o
100,000
      10,0001
           0.1
                                                                            10.0
                                            Flow, mgd
                      FIGURE A-12   CHLORINATION - CONSTRUCTION COSTS

                                     (Aerated Stabilization Basin System)
                                                 106

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  10,000
  1,000
o


c
03
to

D

C
    100
     10
          0.1
                  = 372x"542
                 y = 62.04 x-317
                 i    i   i  i i
                                                         Operation
                                                         Maintenance
                                                             i    i   i  i  i i i  i
1.0                    10.0



       Flow, mgd
             FIGURE A-13   CHLORINATION - ANNUAL OPERATION AND


                            MAINTENANCE LABOR
                                           107

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  100,000 c
   10,000
o
a
o
o
c

<
1,000
      100
         0.1
                          1.0
10.0
           FIGURE A-14   CHLORINATION - CHEMICALS AND MATERIAL

                         AND SUPPLIES
                                         108

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                   Costs for representative plants in  industry categories were developed
using these curves and assuming an aerated stabilization basin, which is widely used by the
industry  when land  is readily  available. The following  items were determined  for the
individual treatment steps:

                   (1)  Construction  cost  as a  function  of hydraulic  load  at  a given
                        pollutant level;

                   (2)  Operating and maintenance labor as a function of hydraulic load;

                   (3)  Chemical requirements as a function  of hydraulic and pollutant
                        load;

                   (4)  Power requirements as a function of hydraulic and pollutant load;
                        and

                   (5)  Additional  material and  supply  cost  as a function of hydraulic
                        load.

     b.    Land-Limited Waste Treatment. For those plants with only limited space avail-
able, extended aeration and lagoon systems are inapplicable, and a model based on high-rate
activated sludge has thus been developed. No textile plants currently are using this system,
so the model necessarily  had  to be  developed using data from  other  industries.  Unit
operation includes  equalization, primary and  secondary sludge handling, and an activated
sludge unit. Effective  BOD5 removal is  achieved through increased nutrient addition and
residence time in the activated sludge unit. Sludge production is greater  than  in  regular
secondary  treatment,  and  thus sludge handling  becomes a  major contributor  to  capital
investment. A schematic flow diagram of the process steps is presented as Figure A-15. Cost
curves developed  for the  cost model  are  presented  in Figures A-16 through A-26.  A
description of the design elements in the model is provided  below.

          (1)  Equalization.  The  cost  is based  on one-half day  retention to protect the
following system  components from upsets.  This includes  the cost of a stirring mechanism
and pumps where necessary.

          (2)  Primary Sludge Handling from Primary Clarifier.

              (a)  Primary Sludge Pumping.  A common  design includes a sludge pumping
station for each pair  of sedimentation basins.  Each station is equipped with  three  pumps;
one sludge pump  for  each basin and a single scum pump. They are identical and their piped
installed  capacity  is 150 percent of firm capacity. Total construction costs include normal
earth work, station structures, piping and pumping equipment, electrical,  ventilating and
heating.

              (b)  Solids Holding Tank.  One-day capacity for primary sludge.


                                         109

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                       Raw Wastewater
                                                     Sludge
                                                     Handling
Sludge
Disposal
                       Aeration
                       Stabilization
                       Basin
Sludge
Recycle
                                                      Sludge
                                                      Handling*
Sludge
Disposal
                        Final Effluent
                    FIGURE A-15  SCHEMATIC FLOW DIAGRAM OF PROCESS STEPS AND
                                 COST CENTERS FOR HIGH-RATE ACTIVATED SLUDGE
                                                  110

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   100,000 C
o
D
o
o
o
3
c
o
O
    10,000
     1,000
         1,000
                                       I    I	I	I  I I  I I

                                                          y = 1542x
10,000                 100,000


      BOD Removal, Lb/Day
              FIGURE A-16  CONSTRUCTION-ACTIVATED SLUDGE UNIT PROCESS
                                            111

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    1,000,000
"5
Q
4-1
s
o

o

I
o

-------
1 0
10.0
100
                             Flow, mgd
        FIGURE A-18  SLUDGE HANDLING-CONSTRUCTION COST
                                  113

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   100,000
o
I
ra
D
c
c
    10,000
     1,000
         1,000
     10,000


BOD Removal, Ib./day
100,000
              FIGURE A-19  ANNUAL OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE LABOR -

                            ACTIVATED SLUDGE UNIT PROCESS
                                            114

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 1,000
o
I
c
ro
to
13
C
C
  100
   10
      1.0
              165
                   Operation
                   Maintenance
                                    -0-
                       I     i   i  i   i  I i
           •©'
                                                      ©"
                                          30
  10.0

Flow, mgd
100.0
     FIGURE A-20   ANNUAL OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE LABOR - EQUALIZATION
                                           115

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  100,000
   10,000
o


c
OJ
c
c
    1,000
     100
        1.0
                 I   I   I   I I  I I I
                                                            Operation

                                                        (Sludge to Landfill)
                                                                   Operation

                                                              '(Sludge to Landfill)
                                                                Maintenance
10.0
100
                                        Flow, mgd
           FIGURE A-21   SLUDGE HANDLING - OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE
                                          116

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   100,000
o
Q
o
o
C
C
    10,000
     1,000
                                                                   Material and
                                                                   Supply Costs
                                                                               100.0
                    FIGURE A-22   ACTIVATED SLUDGE UNIT PROCESS COSTS
                                   1.  Material and Supply Costs
                                   2.  Chemical Costs
                                                 17

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  100,000
o
Q
ts
o
O
10,000
    1,000
                                                            Materials
                                                                 III!
         1.0
                                    10.0
                                 Flow, mgd
                                                                       100.0
           FIGURE A-23   SLUDGE HANDLING - MATERIAL AND SUPPLY COSTS -
                         MAJOR CHEMICAL COSTS
                                      118

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   10,000  r
o
Q


tt   1 ,000
o
o
3
c
c
     100
         1.0
I	I
                                                        y = 64.5 x
                                                                I    i  i   i  i i
                10.0



              Flow, mgd
100.0
           FIGURE A-24   ANNUAL MATERIAL AND SUPPLY COSTS - EQUALIZATION
                                             119

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  100,000
o
Q
o
o

To
3
C
C
   10,000
    1,000
          1,000
                               y = 2x
                                     .969
I	I    I   I  I  I  I  I
                     10,000



              BOD Removal, Ib/day
100,000
                  FIGURE A-25   ANNUAL POWER COSTS - AERATION

                                 EQUIPMENT - ACTIVATED SLUDGE
                                            120

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  10,000
o
Q
o
O
1.000
     100
         1,000
                                    10,000

                           Suspended Solids Removal, Ib/day
100,000
              FIGURE A-26  SLUDGE HANDLING - ANNUAL POWER COSTS
                                         121

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              (c)   Centrifugation for Dewatering Sludge.  The costs include centrifugation
equipment, sludge pumps and piping, sludge cake conveyors,  equipment hoists, electrical
facilities, and an enclosing structure. Capacity used here is the  total installed capacity with
one centrifuge inoperative.

         (3)  Activated Sludge.  The costs of the aeration basin (50 Ib BOD/1000  ft3
aeration  basin/day) include normal structure related costs and exclude costs of aeration
equipment.

              The  costs  are  for  mechanical  aeration equipment (2-lb O2 /horsepower).
Good design practice dictates that the total be divided between two or more aerator units.
In addition, a complete spare unit is provided. Costs include the aerator motor, gearbox,
impeller, draft tube, supporting structure, and applicable electrical work.

              Costs for a  nutrient feed system  —  continuous  operations (nitrogen  at
0.81b/201b BOD,  and phosphorus  at  0.5 lb/100 Ib BOD)  include feed and  handling
equipment, feed building, storage building. The secondary  clarifier has an overflow rate of
400 gpd/ft2, and the secondary sludge handling includes pumping, holding, and centrifuga-
tion.

     c.   Municipal Treatment.  To comply with the  proposed Level I guidelines, textile
mills may also send their wastewater to  a municipal treatment  facility. In doing so, certain
pretreatment steps  would  be  necessary, including  screening and an eight-hour retention
basin. The cost  of  treating the wastewater municipally can be added to the pretreatment
costs. A cost schedule has been developed for treatment  of  wastewater in  a municipal
system  within two  size ranges. On a cents/1000 gal basis, this  additional  cost would  be
$0.39 for a 10- to  20-mgd plant and $0.63  for a 1- to 3-mgd plant. Figures A-27  through
A-30 are the cost curves developed for pretreatment.

2. BEST AVAILABLE TREATMENT TECHNOLOGY (LEVEL II)

     The costs for meeting Level II guidelines have been calculated on the assumption that
multimedia filtration and/or activated carbon adsorption would enable the plant to meet the
guidelines. Those plants specified in the  guidlines as having no additional COD requirements
in Level II  would  only be required to install multimedia filtration  units to meet  the
guidelines. The  larger  plants  would be expected  to  install activated carbon units. Also,
because they may find it necessary to put the multimedia filter in the system prior to the
carbon unit to avoid blockage problems,  this cost has been included in our estimates also.

     In determining the costs  for the activated  carbon adsorption it has been assumed that
60% removal of the COD would be achieved and that the carbon loading would be 0.07 Ib
COD/lb of carbon at a bed volume per hour flow rate of 0.5, i.e., 120 minutes contact time
in the adsorbers. Capital and operating costs have been prepared using the input parameters
of millions of gallons per day  and pounds of COD per day applied to the activated carbon
system. Capital investment and operating costs were based on data from references 3, 4, 5.
Figure A-31 shows  the process steps involved. Cost curves developed for the cost model  are
shown in Figures A-32  through A-39.
                                        122

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   100,000
 o
O


tt  10,000
 o
o

 c
 O
o
u
    1,000
I         I    1  I  I  I  1
                                                                      10.0
                 FIGURE A-27   SCREENING PRIOR TO MUNICIPAL TREATMENT

                               (CONSTRUCTION COST)
                                          123

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  1,000,000
o
Q
u  100,000
o
    10,000
                                                                         10.0
               FIGURE A-28   HOLD-UP PRIOR TO MUNICIPAL TREATMENT

                              (8 HOURS) - CONSTRUCTION COST
                                             124

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   10,000
o
I
£  i,ooo
C
C
    100
                                                                     10.0
               FIGURE A-29   TREATMENT PRIOR TO MUNICIPAL - ANNUAL

                             LABOR MAN-HOURS
                                         125

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   10,000
o
Q


4
o
o
3

C
1000
    100
                                                                    10.0
               FIGURE A-30   TREATMENT PRIOR TO MUNICIPAL - ANNUAL

                             MATERIAL AND SUPPLY COSTS
                                         126

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                     Raw Wastewater
                    Primary Screening
                          I
                     Primary Settling
                   (Wool Scouring Only)
                       Aeration
                      Stabilization
                         Basin
                       Activated
                        Carbon
                      Adsorption
                    Final Discharge


FIGURE A-31   SCHEMATIC FLOW DIAGRAM OF PROCESS STEPS
               AND COST CENTERS FOR LEVEL II TREATMENT
                            127

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te 1,000,000
o
Q
O
O

O
V-1
o
3


c
o
O
    100,000
                                               i   i i  i i i
           0.1
1.0                   10.0


   Average Plant Capacity
              FIGURE  A-32   MULTI-MEDIA FILTRATION - CONSTRUCTION COSTS
                                         128

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  10.0
   5.0
o
Q
   2.0
o
   1.0
c
*  0.5
'5.
  0.2
  0.1
     0.1         0.2
                              i   i  i
                                            y = 780,000 x
                                                       0.673
               (Activated Carbon System
               Excluding Regeneration System
               See Figure A-34)
                                                  I	I    I   111!
0.5
 1.0
mgd
2.0
5.0        10
         FIGURE A-33    CAPITAL INVESTMENT-ACTIVATED CARBON SYSTEM
                                 129

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  10
   4.0
I  2.0

D
c
g

i  1.0
c

ID



4->





I
   0.1
      1,000
                                                      = 4495x
                                                              °-602
                        Regeneration System
                                                                    I I  I
                 10,000


Ib COD/Day in Feed to Activated Carbon Adsorption
100,000
   Note:  Below 700 Ib COD/Day Investment = $225,000
            FIGURE A-34  CAPITAL INVESTMENT-REGENERATION SYSTEM
                                   130

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o
I

c
to
C

C
1,100
     100
        1.0
                                   10.0


                                Flow, mgd
                                                                      100.0
         FIGURE A-35 MULTI-MEDIA FILTRATION - ANNUAL OPERATION AND

                      MAINTENANCE LABOR
                                        131

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    1.0
    0.3
«   0.2
Q
I   0.1
8
o

•S   0.05
D
C
C
    0.02
    0.01
        1,000
                             i   i   i  I  i  t
                                                    I	I    I   I   I  I  I  I
10,000
100,000
                      Ib COD/Day in Feed to Activated Carbon Adsorption
          FIGURE A-36   LABOR COSTS - ACTIVATED CARBON ADSORPTION
                                     132

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  10,000
o
Q
O
O
C
   1,000
     100
                                                                1  I  I  I
        1.0
   10.0

Flow, mgd
                                                                       100.0
          FIGURE A-37  MULTI-MEDIA FILTRATION - ANNUAL MATERIAL AND

                       SUPPLY COSTS
                                        133

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   10,000  cr
0)

~
LU
o
X
 2
    1 ,000
     100
      10
         100
                     I  till
                                      I   1   I  I  I I 11
                                                       Electricity Consumed
                                                       per Year (Carbon
                                                       Regeneration)
                                       1    I   i  I I I 11
         1,000                  10,000

Ib COD/Day in Feed to Activated Carbon Adsorption
            FIGURE A-38   ENERGY COSTS - ACTIVATED CARBON ADSORPTION
                                       134

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   1.0
o
Q
O
5  0.1
o
o
C
   0.01
                               I  I  I  I
       1,000                          10,000                          100,000




                    Ib COD/Day in Feed to Activated Carbon Adsorption




              FIGURE A-39  CARBON REPLACEMENT ANb FUEL COSTS -

                            ACTIVATED CARBON ADSORPTION
                                 135

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                                 REFERENCES

 1.  Ford, D.L.,  "The Applicability  of Carbon Adsorption in the Treatment of Petro-
    chemical Wastewaters" - Conference on  "Application of  New Concepts of Physical-
    Chemical Wastewater Treatment" - Vanderbilt University, September 18-22, 1972.

 2.  Lawson,  C.T., and Fisher, J.A.,  "Limitations of Activated Carbon  Adsorption for
    Upgrading Petrochemical Effluents" - AIChE  65th Annual Meeting, New York, N.Y.,
    November 26-30, 1972.

 3.  Advanced Wastewater Treatment as practiced at South Tahoe EPA Water Pollution
    Control Research Series Report 17010 ELP, 08/71.

 4.  Advanced Wastewater Treatment  — Gulp and Gulp -Van Nostrand-Reinhold, 1971.

 5.  Cost and Performance Estimates  for Tertiary  Wastewater  Treatment  Processes, R.F.
    Taft Water Research Center Report No. TWRC-9, PB, 189953, June 1969.

 6.  The  Economics of Clean Water, Vol.  3, U.S. Dept.  of the Interior, Federal Water
    Pollution Control Administration, (prepared under Contract No.  14-12-592)  March
    1970.

 7.  Cost of Wastewater Treatment Processes, Federal Water Pollution Control Administra-
    tion,  Ohio  Basin  Region,  Cincinnati, Ohio, Report No. TWRC-6, Contract  No.
    14-12-60, December 1968.

 8.  Smith, R., Cost of Conventional and Advanced  Treatment of Wastewater, U.S. Dept. of
    the Interior,  Federal Water Pollution Control Administration, Cincinnati Water Re-
    search Laboratory, July 1968.

 9.  Estimating Costs and Manpower Requirements  for Conventional Wastewater Treatment
    Facilities, Black and Veatch Consulting Engineers, for EPA, Project No. 17090 DAN,
    Contract No.  14-12-462, October 1971.

10.  Treatment-Cost  Relationships for  Industrial Waste  Treatment,  Barnard  and
    Eckenfelder, Jr., Vanderbilt University. Technical Report No. 23, Environmental and
    Water Resources Engineering, 1971.

11.  The Cost of Clean Water and Its Economic Impact, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Federal
    Water Pollution  Control Administration, January  10, 1969.

12.  Industrial Pollution Control Handbook, Lund, H.F., McGraw-Hill, 1971.
                                       136

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13.  Advances in Water Quality Improvement, Gloyna and EckenfeMer, University of Texas
    Press, Austin, Texas, 1968.

14.  Advanced Wastewater Treatment, Gulp and Gulp, Van Nostrand-Reinhold, Co., 1971.
                                       137

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  II CIINICAI  Rl I'ORT
     DAI A I'ACII
I  Report No.
 EPA-230/1-73-028
3.  Recipient's Accession No.
 4  I ilk' and SiihhlK-

   Economic Analysis of Proposed Effluent Guidelines Textiles Industry
                                                      5.  Report Date
                                                         March 1974
                                                                                    6.
 7  Aiithoiis)
   Daniel Hefler
                                                      8.  Performing Organization Rept.'No.
                                                          C-75910
 '>  IVilorinmg Organization Name and Address
        Arthur D. Little, Inc.
        Acorn Park
        Cambridge, Mass., 02140
                                                      10.  Project/Task/Work Unit No.
                                                          Task Order No. 10
                                                      11. Contract/Grant No.

                                                             68-01-1541
 I 2 Sponsoring Organization Name and Address

   Office of Planning and Evaluation
   Environmental Protection Agency
   Washington D.C., 20460
                                                      13. Type of Report & Period Covered

                                                         Final Report
                                                      14.
    Supplementary Notes
 l(> Abstracts
   An  initial analysis of the economic impact of proposed water effluent guidelines upon the Textile industry (SIC 221 to 224)
   was performed  based  on abatement cost data supplied by  EPA. The impact was evaluated for implementation of best
   practicable control technology for mills with physical space and those that are space-limited, as well as for implementation of
   best available control  technology. Connection to municipal  systems creates minimum impact. Self-treatment under best
   practicable treatment also produces minimal impact.  However, best available treatment will force most mills to close unless
   they take the option of connecting to municipal systems. An  addendum is included to cover an estimate of the impact of a
   major revision to the guidelines accomplished after issuance of a draft of this report.
 17. Key Words and Document Analysis.   17a. Descriptors

  Economic Analysis
  Effluent Guidelines
17b. Identifiers/Open-Ended Terms
I7c COSATI Held/Group
 IS. Availability Statement
  Limited Availability through U.S. Environmental
  Protection Agency Information Center;
  Room W-327, Waterside Mall, Washington, D.C., 20460
                                      19. Security Class (This
                                         Report)
                                          UNCLASSIIHD
                                     20. Security Class (This
                                         Pace)
                                          UNCLASSII IFD
          21. No.ot'Papes
          22.  Price
1 ORM NT1S-35 (RKV. 3-72)
                                                                      USCOMM-DC I4952-I'72

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