i?i> A //iCn/t-RI/Oftta          Office of Air Quality      EPA-450 3-81-003a
   EPA/45U/3-»l/W»»       ,t|Qn  p|annmg and Standards
                    Research Triangle Park NC 27711
          	A
          Air	
»EPA      VOC Emissions       Draft
          from Volatile          EIS
          Organic Liquid
          Storage Tanks —
          Background Information
          for Proposed Standards

          Preliminary Draft

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                                  EPA-450/3-81-003a
VOC Emissions from Volatile Organic
         Liquid Storage Tanks —
        Background Information
         for Proposed Standards
            Emission Standards and Engineering Division
           U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               Office of Air, Noise, and Radiation
            Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
           Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

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                           TABLE OF CONTENTS

Section                                                               Page
   1      SUMMARY	     1-1
          1.1  Regulatory Alternatives 	     1-1
          1.2  Environmental  Impact	     1-2
          1.3  Economic Impacts	     1-2
   2      INTRODUCTION
          2.1  Background and Authority for Standards	     2-1
          2.2  Selection of Categories of Stationary Sources .  .  .     2-4
          2.3  Procedure for Development of Standards of
               Performance	     2-6
          2.4  Consideration of Costs	     2-8
          2.5  Consideration of Environmental  Impacts	     2-9
          2.6  Impact on Existing Sources	     2-10
          2.7  Revision of Standards of Performance	     2-11
   3      VOLATILE ORGANIC LIQUID STORAGE	     3-1
          3.1  The Volatile Organic Liquid Storage Industry.  .  .  .     3-1
          3.2  Storage Tanks	     3-3
          3.3  Baseline Control and Emissions  Estimates	     3-34
          3.4  References	     3-39
   4      CONTROL TECHNIQUES 	     4-1
          4.1  Overview	     4-1
          4.2  Fixed Roof Tanks	     4-7
          4.3  Internal  Floating Roof Tanks	     4-9
          4.4  External  Floating Roof Tanks	     4-17
          4.5  Vapor Control  or Recovery Systems  on Fixed Roof
               Tanks	     4-20
          4.6  References	     4-25
   5      MODIFICATION AND RECONSTRUCTION	     5-1
          5.1  Provisions for Modifications and Reconstruction  .  .     5-1
          5.2  Applicability to Volatile Organic  Liquid Storage.  .     5-3
                               (continued)

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                     TABLE OF CONTENTS (Concluded)

Section                                                               Page
   6      REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES AND MODEL PLANTS 	     6-1
          6.1  Regulatory Alternatives 	     6-1
          6.2  Model Plants	     6-4
   7      ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS	     7-1
          7.1  Introduction	     7-1
          7.2  Air Pollution Impacts	     7-1
          7.3  Water Quality and Solid Waste Impacts 	     7-5
          7.4  Energy Impact	     7-6
          7.5  Other Environmental  Concerns  	     7-6
          7.6  References	     7-7
   8      COST ANALYSIS	     8-1
          8.1  Capital  Costs	     8-2
          8.2  Annualized Capital Costs	     8-18
          8.3  Annualized Costs	     8-20
          8.4  Cost Effectiveness	     8-20
          8.5  Cost of Other Federal Regulations	     8-21
          8.6  Costs and Cost Effectiveness of Controls on an
               Individual Tank	     8-27
          8.7  References	     8-34
     9    ECONOMIC IMPACT  	     9-1
          9.1  Industry Profile  	     9-1
          9.2  Economic Impacts of Regulatory Alternatives ....     9-30
          9.3  Regulatory, Inflationary,  Socioeconimic, and
               Small-Business Impact 	     9-49
          9.4  References	     9-51
APPENDICES
          A	     A-l
          B	     B-l
                               n

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                            LIST OF FIGURES

Figure                                                                Page
 3-1      Typical  fixed roof tank	      3-5
 3-2      External  floating roof tank	      3-7
 3-3      Internal  floating roof tanks	      3-8
 3-4      Primary  seals	      3-11
 3-5      Rim-mounted secondary seals on external  floating
          roofs	      3-13
 3-6      Metallic  shoe seal with shoe-mounted secondary seal  .  .      3-14
 3-7      Typical  flotation devices and perimeter  seals for
          internal  floating roofs 	      3-16
 3-8      Rim mounting of a secondary seal  on internal  floating
          roof	      3-18
 3-9      Typical  internal  floating roof tank cross section .  .  .      3-20
 3-10     Internal  floating roof deck fittings	      3-21
 3-11     Baseline  control  summary	      3-36
 3-12     Baseline  emissions totals (Mg/yr:   1977  tank population)
          and numbers of tanks by vapor pressure/tank size
          region	      3-38
 4-1      Emissions rates for alternative equipment types
          (50 turnovers per year)	      4-5
 4-2      Emissions rates for alternative equipment types
          (10 turnovers per year)	      4-6
 4-3      Carbon adsorption unit using steam regeneration ....      4-22
 4-4      Thermal oxidation unit	      4-24
 9-1      Organic chemical  industry flow chart  	      9-2
 9-2      VOL storage tank market for tanks in volume interval
          as characterized in the economic  impact  analysis  .  .  .      9-33

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                            LIST OF TABLES
Table                                                                 Page
1-1


3-1

3-2

3-3

3-4

3-5

3-6

4-1
4-2

4-3


4-4

4-5

4-6

6-1
6-2
7-1

7-2

8-1

8-2



Assessment of Environmental, Energy, and Economic
Impacts for Each Regulatory Alternative Considered
for New VOL Storage Vessels 	
National Industrial VOL Tank Distribution According to
Vapor Pressure (1977) 	
National Industrial VOL Tank Distribution According to
Tank Size (1977) 	
Statistics for the National Tank Population in VOL
Terminal Storage (1979) 	
Seal Related Factors for External Floating Roof
Tanks 	
Typical Number of Columns as a Function of Tank
Diameters 	
Summary of Deck Fitting Loss Factors (Kf) and
Typical Number of Fittings (Nf) 	
Hierarchy of Equipment Types Based on Emissions Rate. .
Model Tank Emission Rates for Different Equipment
Options 	
Effectiveness of Internal and External Floating Roof
Tanks Compared to a Fixed Roof Tank for the Model
Tank 	 	
"Controlled" and "Uncontrolled" Internal Floating Roof
Deck Fittings 	
Internal Floating Roof Rim Seal Systems Seal Loss
Factors and Control Efficiencies 	
External Floating Roof Tank Seal System Control
Efficiencies 	
Model Terminal 	
Model Producer/Consumer 	
Fifth-Year Emissions Resulting from the Regulatory
Alternatives 	
Fifth-Year Emissions Reductions Resulting from the
Regulatory Alternatives 	
Estimated Installed Capital Cost of a Fixed Roof
Tank 	
Estimated Installed Capital Cost of a Noncontact
Internal Floating Roof 	
(continued)
iv


1-3

3-2

3-2

3-4

3-28

3-32

3-33
4-3

4-8


4-11

4-12

4-14

4-19
6-6
6-6

7-3

7-4

8-3

8-4



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                      LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

Table                                                                 Page
 8-3      Estimated Installed Cost of a Welded Contact Internal
          Floating Roof with Secondary Seals 	     8-5
 8-4      Estimated Installed Capital Cost of External Floating
          Roof Tanks with Secondary Seals	     8-6
 8-5      Cost of Regulatory Alternative I	     8-9
 8-6      Cost of Regulatory Alternative II	     8-10
 8-7      Cost of Regulatory Alternative III	     8-11
 8-8      Cost of Regulatory Alternative IV	     8-12
 8-9      Cost of Regulatory Alternative V	     8-13
 8-10     Cost of External Floating Roof Tanks with Primary Seal
          and Secondary Seal	     8-14
 8-11     Cost of External Floating Roof Tanks with Liquid-Mounted
          Primary Seal  and Secondary Seal	     8-15
 8-12     Cost of Vapor Control  by Incineration Techniques ....     8-16
 8-13     Cost of Vapor Recovery by Carbon Adsorption
          Techniques	     8-17
 8-14     Lifetimes of  Control  Equipment 	     8-19
 8-15     Cost Annualizing Assumptions 	     8-19
 8-16     Federal Laws  Regulating Toxic Chemicals	     8-22
 8-17     Statutes That May be  Applicable to the Manufacture and
          Storage of Volatile Organic Liquids	     8-23
 8-18     Proposed Regulations  That Will Affect the Chemical
          Manufacturing Industry 	     8-26
 8-19     Capital and Annualized Costs for Baseline and Control
          Equipment for the Model VOL Tank	     8-28
 8-20     Absolute Cost Effectiveness of Controlling Fixed Roof
          Tank Emissions from the Model Tank	     8-29
 8-21     Incremental Cost Effectiveness between Internal  Floating
          Roof Seal Types in the Model Tank	     8-30
 8-22     Incremental Cost Effectiveness of Controlling Deck
          Seam Emissions in the  Model Tank	     8-31
 8-23     Regulatory Alternatives and Incremental Cost
          Effectiveness ($/Mg)  between Regulatory Alternatives
          in the Model  Tank	     8-32
 8-24     Incremental Cost Effectiveness between Equipment
          Specified by  Each Regulatory Alternative and an  External
          Floating Roof Tank with a Mechanical  Shoe Seal  and a
          Secondary Seal	     8-33

                               (continued)
                                   v

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                       LIST OF TABLES (Continued)


Table                                                                 Page
 9-1      Resource Use by Producers of Industrial
          Organic Chemicals (SIC 286)	9-6

 9-2      Resource Use by Producers of Plastics Materials
          and Synthetics (SIC 282)	9-7

 9-3      Capital Expenditures and Operating Rates for
          SIC 286 and SIC 282, 1958-1978	9-8

 9-4      Historical  Production and Sales of Industrial
          Organic Chemicals, 1955-1981  	  9-10

 9-5      Historical  Production and Sales of Plastics
          and Resins  Materials, 1955-1981 	  9-11

 9-6      Export and  Import Values of Industrial Organic Chemicals
          (SIC 286) Excluding Gum and Wood Chemicals (SIC 2861)
          for Selected Years Between 1972 and 1981	9-13

 9-7      Export and  Import Values of Plastics Materials and
          Synthetics  (SIC 282) for Selected Years Between
          1972 and 1981	9-13

 9-8      Industry-wide Market Concentration Based on
          Capacity Share Data, 1976 	  9-17

 9-9      Geographic  Distribution of Establishments, Employees,
          and Value of Shipments of SIC 286, Industrial  Organic
          Chemicals	9-18

9-10      Geographic  Distribution of Establishments, Employees,
          and Value of Shipments of SIC 282, Plastics Materials
          and Synthetics	9-20

9-11      Total 1982  Merchant Liquid Bulk Capacity, by State  ....  9-21
9-12      Historical  Price Data for Industrial Organic Chemicals
          and Plastics, Resins, and Elastomers, 1955-1981 	  9-23
9-13      Projection  of VOL Storage Tank Construction—1984 to
          1988 All Capacities, Vapor Pressures, and Roof Designs  .  .  9-28
9-14      Estimated Percentage Distribution of VOL Storage Tanks
          by Vapor Pressure and Tank Capacity, 1977	9-29

9-15      Projection  of VOL Storage and Construction by
          Vapor Pressure and Tank Size, 1984-1988	9-31

9-16      Price Impacts of the Regulatory Alternatives for the
          Model Terminal and Model Producer/Consumer  	  9-37

9-17      Percentage  Change in Output Price for the Model Plants
          Due to the  Regulatory Alternatives	9-38

9-18      Investment  Impacts of Regulatory Alternatives  for the
          Model Independent Terminal and Model Producer/Consumer
          (103 $1982)	9-40

                               (continued)

                                   vi

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                       LIST OF TABLES (Concluded)


Table                                                                 Page

9-19      The New Tank Population Impacted by Regulatory
          Alternative I as a Percentage of the Projected New
          Tank Population	9-42

9-20      The New Tank Population Impacted by Regulatory
          Alternatives II-V as a Percentage of the Projected
          New Tank Population	9-43

9-21      Additional  Nationwide Investment in VOL Storage
          Required by the Regulatory Alternatives, 1984-1988 	  9-47

9-22      Fifth-Year Nationwide Annualized Cost of the
          Regulatory Alternatives  	  9-48

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                              1.  SUMMARY

     Standards of performance for new stationary sources are established
under Section 111 of the Clean Air Act (42 U.S.C. 7411), as amended in
1977.  Section 111 directs the Administrator to establish standards of
performance for any category of new stationary source of air pollution
which "causes or contributes significantly to, air pollution which may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare."  This
background information document supports the proposed standards, which
would control emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from vessels
that store volatile organic liquids (VOLs).  VOL storage vessels are
primarily located at chemical manufacturing facilities and bulk storage
terminals.  These vessels are used for storing a variety of materials,
including raw materials, final products, and/or usable byproducts, as
well as waste tars, residues, and nonusable byproducts.
1.1  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
     In order to evaluate the environmental, economic, and energy impacts
associated with implementation of a standard for VOL storage vessels,
the Administrator has examined the impacts of several regulatory
alternatives for VOL storage vessels.   The VOL regulatory alternatives,
in order of increasing emission control  potential,  would require that
each vessel storing a VOL be equipped with the control technology described
as follows:
     •    Regulatory Alternative 0 - no additional  control over baseline.
     •    Regulatory Alternative I - an internal floating roof with a
          vapor-mounted primary seal (IFR  ).
     •    Regulatory Alternative II - an internal floating roof with a
          liquid-mounted primary seal  (IFR-, ).

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     •    Regulatory Alternative III - an internal  floating roof with a
          liquid-mounted primary seal  and controlled deck fittings
     •    Regulatory Alternative IV - an internal  floating roof with a
          liquid-mounted primary seal controlled deck fittings, and a
          continuous secondary seal (IFR,    f   ).
     •    Regulatory Alternative V - a welded internal  floating roof
          with a liquid-mounted primary seal, controlled deck fittings
          and a continuous secondary seal  ( IFR,   ,   ).
                                           w   lm,cf,ss
1.2  ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
     The environmental  regulatory alternatives are summarized in Table 1-1.
None of the alternatives has any adverse environmental  impacts.  The
environmental impacts are discussed in detail in Chapter 7.
1.3  ECONOMIC IMPACTS
     The economic impacts are also summarized in Table  1-1.   None of the
alternatives have any potential adverse economic impacts.   The economic
impacts are discussed in detail in Chapter 9.
                                 1-2

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                                 2.  INTRODUCTION
    
    2.1  BACKGROUND AND AUTHORITY FOR STANDARDS
         Before standards of performance are proposed as a Federal regulation,
    air pollution control methods available to the affected industry and the
    associated costs of installing and maintaining the control equipment are
    examined in detail.  Various levels of control based on different
    technologies and degrees of efficiency are expressed as regulatory
    alternatives.   Each of these alternatives is studied by EPA as a
    prospective basis for a standard.   The alternatives are investigated in
    terms of their impacts on the economics and well-being of the industry,
    the impacts on the national economy, and the impacts on the environment.
    This document summarizes the information obtained through these studies
    so that interested persons will be able to see the information considered
    by EPA in the development of the proposed standard.
         Standards of performance for new stationary sources are established
    under Section 111 of the Clean Air Act (42 U.S.C.  7411) as amended,
    hereinafter referred to as the Act.   Section 111 directs the Administrator
    to establish standards of performance for any category of new stationary
    source of air pollution which "causes, or contributes significantly to,
    air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public
    health or welfare."
         The Act requires that standards of performance for stationary
    sources reflect "the degree of emission reduction achievable which
    (taking into consideration the cost of achieving such emission reduction,
    and any nonair quality health and environmental  impact and energy
    requirements)  the Administrator determines has been adequately
    demonstrated for that category of sources."  The standards apply only to
    stationary sources whose construction or modification commences after
    regulations are proposed by publication in the Federal Register.
    

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         The 1977 amendments to the Act altered or added numerous provisions
    that apply to the process of establishing standards of performance.
         1.   EPA is required to review the standards of performance every
    4 years and, if appropriate, revise them.
         2.   EPA is authorized to promulgate a standard based on design,
    equipment, work practice, or operational procedures when a standard
    based on emission levels is not feasible.
         3.   The term "standards of performance" is redefined, and a new
    term "technological  system of continuous emission reduction" is defined.
    The new definitions  clarify that the control system must be continuous
    and may include a low-polluting or nonpolluting process or operation.
         4.   The time between the proposal and promulgation of a standard
    under Section 111 of the Act may be extended to 6 months.
         Standards of performance, by themselves,  do not guarantee protection
    of health or welfare because they are not designed to achieve any specific
    air quality levels.   Rather, they are designed to reflect the degree of
    emission limitation  achievable through application of the best adequately
    demonstrated technological system of continuous emission reduction,
    taking into consideration the cost of achieving such emission reduction,
    any nonair quality health and environmental impacts, and energy
    requirements.
         Congress had several reasons for including these requirements.
    First, standards with a degree of uniformity are needed to avoid situations
    in which some States may attract industries by relaxing standards relative
    to other States.  Second, stringent standards  enhance the potential  for
    long-term growth.  Third, stringent standards  may help achieve long-term
    cost savings by avoiding the need for more expensive retrofitting if
    pollution ceilings are reduced in the future.  Fourth, certain types of
    standards for coal-burning sources can adversely affect the coal market
    by driving up the price of low-sulfur coal or  effectively excluding
    certain coals from the reserve base because their untreated pollution
    potentials are high.  Congress does not intend that new source performance
    standards contribute to these problems.   Fifth, the standard-setting
    process should create incentives for improved  technology.
                                      2-2
    

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         Promulgation of standards of performance does not prevent State or
    local agencies from adopting more stringent emission limitations for the
    same sources.  States are free under Section 116 of the Act to establish
    even more stringent emission limits than those established under Section 111
    or those necessary to attain or maintain the National Ambient Air Quality
    Standards (NAAQS) under Section 110.  Thus, new sources may in some
    cases be subject to limitations more stringent than standards of performance
    under Section 111, and prospective owners and operators of new sources
    should be aware of this possibility in planning for such facilities.
         A similar situation may arise when a major emitting facility is to
    be constructed in a geographic area that falls under the provisions for
    prevention of significant deterioration of air quality in Part C of the
    Act.   These provisions require, among other things, that major emitting
    facilities to be constructed in such areas be subject to best available
    control technology.   The term "best available control technology" (BACT),
    as defined in the Act, means:
         an emission limitation based on the maximum degree of reduction
         of each pollutant subject to regulation under this Act emitted
         from, or which results from, any major emitting facility,
         which the permitting authority, on a case-by-case basis,
         taking into account energy,  environmental, and economic impacts
         and other costs,  determines  is achievable for such facility
         through application of production processes and available
         methods, systems, and techniques, including fuel cleaning or
         treatment or innovative fuel combustion techniques for control
         of each such pollutant.   In  no event shall application of
         "best available control  technology" result in emissions of any
         pollutants which will exceed the emissions allowed by any
         applicable standard established pursuant to Sections 111 or
         112 of this Act.   (Section 169(3)).
         Although standards of performance are normally structured in terms
    of numerical emission limits where feasible, alternative approaches are
    sometimes necessary.   In some cases, physical  measurement of emissions
    from a new source may be impractical or exorbitantly expensive.
    Section lll(h) provides that the  Administrator may promulgate a design
    or equipment standard in those cases in which it is not feasible to
    prescribe or enforce a standard of performance.  For example, emissions
    of hydrocarbons from storage vessels for petroleum liquids are greatest
    during tank filling.   The nature  of the emissions (high concentrations
                                      2-3
    

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    for short periods during filling and low concentrations for longer
    periods during storage) and the configuration of storage tanks make
    direct emission measurement impractical.   Therefore,  a more practical
    approach to standards of performance for storage vessels has been equipment
    specification.
         In addition, Section lll(j) authorizes the Administrator to grant
    waivers of compliance to permit a source to use innovative continuous
    emission control technology.   To grant the waiver,  the Administrator
    must find (1) a substantial likelihood that the technology will  produce
    greater emission reductions than the standards require, or an equivalent
    reduction at lower economic,  energy, or environmental  cost, (2)  the
    proposed system has not been  adequately demonstrated,  (3) the technology
    will not cause or contribute  to an unreasonable risk to the public
    health, welfare, or safety, (4) the governor of the State where  the
    source is located consents, and (5) the waiver will not prevent  the
    attainment or maintenance of  any ambient standard.   A waiver may have
    conditions attached to ensure that the source will  not prevent attainment
    of any NAAQS.   Any such condition will have the force of a performance
    standard.  Finally, waivers have definite end dates and may be terminated
    earlier if the conditions are not met or if the system fails to  perform
    as expected.   In such a case, the source may be given up to 3 years to
    meet the standards with a mandatory progress schedule.
    2.2  SELECTION OF CATEGORIES  OF STATIONARY SOURCES
         Section 111 of the Act directs the Adminstrator to list categories
    of stationary sources.   The Administrator "shall include a category of
    sources in such list if in his judgment it causes,  or contributes
    significantly to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to
    endanger public health or welfare."  Proposal and promulgation of standards
    of performance are to follow.
         Since passage of the Clean Air Amendments of 1970, considerable
    attention has been given to the development of a system for assigning
    priorities to various source  categories.   The approach specifies areas
    of interest by considering the broad strategy of the Agency for  implementing
    the Clean Air Act.  Often, these "areas" are actually pollutants emitted
                                      2-4
    

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    by stationary sources.  Source categories that emit these pollutants are
    evaluated and ranked by a process involving such factors  as (1) the
    level of emission control (if any) already required by State regulations,
    (2) estimated levels of control that might be required from standards of
    performance for the source category, (3) projections of growth and
    replacement of existing facilities for the source category, and (4) the
    estimated incremental amount of air pollution that could be prevented in
    a preselected future year by standards of performance for the source
    category.  Sources for which new source performance standards were
    promulgated or were under development during 1977, or earlier, were
    selected on these criteria.
         The Act amendments of August 1977 establish specific criteria to be
    used in determining priorities for all major source categories not yet
    listed by EPA.   These are (1) the quantity of air pollutant emissions
    that each such category will emit or will be designed to emit, (2) the
    extent to which each such pollutant may reasonably be anticipated to
    endanger public health or welfare, and (3) the mobility and competitive
    nature of each such category of sources and the consequent need for
    nationally applicable new source standards of performance.
         The Administrator is to promulgate standards for these categories
    according to the schedule referred to earlier.
         In some cases, it may not be feasible to immediately develop a
    standard for a source category with a high priority.   This situation
    might occur when a program of research is needed to develop control
    techniques, or because techniques for sampling and measuring emissions
    may require refinement.   In developing standards, differences in the
    time required to complete the necessary investigation for different
    source categories must also be considered.  For example, substantially
    more time may be necessary if numerous pollutants must be investigated
    from a single source category.   Furthermore, even late in the development
    process, the schedule for completion of a standard may change.   For
    example, inability to obtain emission data from well-controlled sources
    in time to pursue the development process systematically may force a
    change in scheduling.   Nevertheless, priority ranking is, and will
    continue to be,  used to establish the order in which projects are initiated
    and resources assigned.
                                      2-5
    

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         After the source category has been chosen, the types of facilities
    within the source category to which the standard will apply must be
    determined.   A source category may have several facilities that cause
    air pollution; emissions from these facilities may vary from insignificant
    to very expensive to control.  Economic studies of the source category
    and of applicable control technology may show that air pollution control
    is better served by applying standards to the more severe pollution
    sources.   For this reason, and because there is no adequately demon-
    strated system for controlling emissions from certain facilities, standards
    often do not apply to all facilities at a source.  For the same reasons,
    the standards may not apply to all air pollutants emitted.  Thus, although
    a source category may be selected to be covered by a standard of
    performance, all pollutants or facilities within that source category
    might not be covered by the standards.
    2.3  PROCEDURE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF STANDARDS OF PERFORMANCE
         Standards of performance must (1) realistically reflect best
    demonstrated control practice, (2) adequately consider the cost, the
    nonair-quality health and environmental impacts, and the energy requirements
    of such control, (3) be applicable to existing sources that are modified
    or reconstructed as well as to new installations, and (4) nreet these
    conditions for all variations of operating conditions being considered
    anywhere in the country.
         The objective of a program for developing standards is to identify
    the best technological system of continuous emission reduction that has
    been adequately demonstrated.  The standard-setting process involves
    three principal phases of activity:  (1) information gathering, (2) analysis
    of the information, and (3) development of the standard of performance.
         During the information-gathering phase, industries are queried
    through a telephone survey, letters of inquiry, and plant visits by EPA
    representatives.  Information is also gathered from many other sources,
    and a literature search is conducted.  From the knowledge acquired about
    the industry, EPA selects certain plants at which emission tests are
    conducted to provide reliable data that characterize the pollutant
    emissions from well-controlled existing facilities.
                                      2-6
    

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         In the second phase of a project, the information about the industry
    and the pollutants emitted is used in analytical studies.  Hypothetical
    "model plants" are defined to provide a common basis for analysis.   The
    model plant definitions, national pollutant emission data, and existing
    State regulations governing emissions from the source category are then
    used in establishing "regulatory alternatives."  These regulatory
    alternatives are essentially different levels of emission control.
         EPA conducts studies to determine the impact of each regulatory
    alternative on the economics of the industry and on the national economy,
    on the environment, and on energy consumption.  From several possibly
    applicable alternatives, EPA selects the single most plausible regulatory
    alternative as the basis for a standard of performance for the source
    category under study.
         In the third phase of a project, the selected regulatory alternative
    is translated into a standard of performance, which, in turn, is written
    in the form of a Federal regulation.   The Federal regulation, when
    applied to newly constructed plants,  will limit emissions to the levels
    indicated in the selected regulatory alternative.
         As early as is practical in each standard-setting project, EPA
    representatives discuss the possibilities of a standard, and the form it
    might take with members of the National  Air Pollution Control Techniques
    Advisory Committee.   Industry representatives and other interested
    parties also participate in these meetings.
         The information acquired in the project is summarized in the background
    information document (BID).   The BID, the standard, and a preamble
    explaining the standard are widely circulated to the industry being
    considered for control, environmental groups, other government agencies,
    and offices within EPA.  Through this extensive review process, the
    viewpoints of expert reviewers are considered as changes are made to the
    documentation.
         A "proposal package" is assembled and sent through the offices of
    EPA Assistant Administrators for concurrence before the proposed standard
    is officially endorsed by the EPA Administrator.   After being approved
    by the EPA Administrator, the preamble and the proposed regulation are
    published in the Federal Register.
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         As a part of the Federal  Register announcement of the proposed
    regulation, the public is invited to participate in the standard-setting
    process.   EPA invites written  comments on the proposal and also holds a
    public hearing to discuss the  proposed standard with interested parties.
    All public comments are summarized and incorporated into a second volume
    of the BID.  All information reviewed and generated in studies in support
    of the standard of performance is available to the public in a "docket"
    on file in Washington, D.C.
         Comments from the public  are evaluated, and the standards of
    performance may be altered in  response to the comments.
         The significant comments  and EPA's position on the issues raised
    are included in the "preamble" of a promulgation package, which also
    contains the draft of the final regulation.   The regulation is then
    subjected to another round of  review and refinement until it is approved
    by the EPA Administrator.  After the Administrator signs the regulation,
    it is published as a "final  rule" in the Federal Register.
    2.4  CONSIDERATION OF COSTS
         Section 317 of the Act  requires an economic impact assessment with
    respect to any standard of performance established under Section 111 of
    the Act.   The assessment is  required to contain an analysis of (1) the
    costs of compliance with the regulation, including the extent to which
    the cost of compliance varies  depending on the effective date of the
    regulation and the development of less expensive or more efficient
    methods of compliance, (2) the potential inflationary or recessionary
    effects of the regulation, (3) the effects the regulation might have on
    small business with respect  to competition,  (4) the effects of the
    regulation on consumer costs,  and (5) the effects of the regulation on
    energy use.  Section 317 also  requires that the economic impact assessment
    be as extensive as practicable.
         The economic impact of  a  proposed standard upon an industry is
    usually addressed both in absolute terms and in terms of the control
    costs that would be incurred as a result of compliance with typical,
    existing State control regulations.   An incremental approach is necessary
    because both new and existing  plants would be required to comply with
                                      2-8
    

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    State regulations in the absence of a Federal standard of performance.
    This approach requires a detailed analysis of the economic impact from
    the cost differential that would exist between a proposed standard of
    performance and the typical State standard.
         Air pollutant emissions may cause water pollution problems, and
    captured potential air pollutants may pose a solid waste disposal problem.
    The total environmental impact of an emission source must, therefore, be
    analyzed and the costs determined whenever possible.
         A thorough study of the profitability and price-setting mechanisms
    of the industry is essential to the analysis so that an accurate estimate
    of potentially adverse economic impacts can be made for proposed standards.
    It is also essential to know the capital requirements for pollution
    control systems already placed on plants so that the additional capital
    requirements necessitated by these Federal standards can be placed in
    proper perspective.   Finally, it is necessary to assess the availability
    of capital to provide the additional control equipment needed to meet
    the standards of performance.
    2.5  CONSIDERATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
         Section 102(2)(C) of the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
    of 1969 requires Federal  agencies to prepare detailed environmental
    impact statements on proposals for legislation and other major Federal
    actions significantly affecting the quality of the human environment.
    The objective of NEPA is  to build into the decisionmaking process of
    Federal agencies a careful  consideration of all environmental aspects of
    proposed actions.
         In a number of legal challenges to standards of performance for
    various industries,  the United States Court of Appeals for the District
    of Columbia Circuit has held that environmental impact statements need
    not be prepared by the Agency for proposed actions under Section 111 of
    the Clean Air Act.  Essentially, the Court of Appeals has determined
    that the best system of emission reduction requires the Administrator to
    take into account counter-productive environmental effects of a proposed
    standard, as well  as economic costs to the industry.  On this basis,
    therefore, the Court established a narrow exemption from NEPA for EPA
    determination under Section 111.
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         In addition to these judicial  determinations, the Energy Supply and
    Environmental Coordination Act (ESECA) of 1974 (PL-93-319) specifically
    exempted proposed actions under the Clean Air Act from NEPA requirements.
    According to Section 7(c)(l), "no action taken under the Clean Air Act
    shall be deemed a major Federal action significantly affecting the
    quality of the human environment within the meaning of the National
    Environmental Policy Act of 1969."  (15 U.S.C.  793(c)(l))
         Nevertheless, the Agency has concluded that the preparation of
    environmental impact statements could have beneficial effects on certain
    regulatory actions.  Consequently,  although not legally required to do
    so by Section 102(2)(C) of NEPA, EPA has adopted a policy requiring that
    environmental impact statements be  prepared for various regulatory
    actions, including standards of performance developed under Section 111
    of the Act.   This voluntary preparation of environmental impact statements,
    however, in no way legally subjects the Agency to NEPA requirements.
         To implement this policy, a separate section in this document is
    devoted solely to an analysis of the potential environmental  impacts
    associated with the proposed standards.   Both adverse and beneficial
    impacts in such areas as air and water pollution, increased solid waste
    disposal, and increased energy consumption are discussed.
    2.6  IMPACT ON EXISTING SOURCES
         Section 111 of the Act defines a new source as "any stationary
    source, the construction or modification of which is commenced" after
    the proposed standards are published in the Federal Register.  An existing
    source is redefined as a new source if "modified" or "reconstructed" as
    defined in amendments to the general provisions of Subpart A of 40 CFR
    Part 60, which were promulgated in  the Federal Register on December 16, 1975
    (40 FR 58416).
         Any physical or operational change to an existing facility which
    results in an increase in the emission rate of any pollutant for which a
    standard applies is considered a modification.  Reconstruction, on the
    other hand, means the replacement of components of an existing facility
    to the extent that the fixed capital cost exceeds 50 percent of the cost
    of constructing a comparable entirely new source and that it be technically
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    and economically feasible to meet the applicable standards.   In such
    cases, reconstruction is equivalent to a new construction.
         Promulgation of a standard of performance requires States to establish
    standards of performance for existing sources in the same industry under
    Section lll(d) of the Act if the standard for new sources limits emissions
    of a designated pollutant (i.e., a pollutant for which air quality
    criteria have not been issued under Section 108 or which has not been
    listed as a hazardous pollutant under Section 112).   If a State does not
    act, EPA must establish such standards.   General provisions  outlining
    procedures for control of existing sources under Section lll(d) were
    promulgated on November 17,  1975, as Subpart B of 40 CFR Part 60
    (40 FR 53340).
    2.7  REVISION OF STANDARDS OF PERFORMANCE
         Congress was aware that the level of air pollution control achievable
    by any industry may improve with technological advances.   Accordingly,
    Section 111 of the Act provides that the Administrator "shall, at least
    every 4 years, review and, if appropriate, revise" the standards.
    Revisions are made to ensure that the standards continue to  reflect the
    best systems that become available in the future.   Such revisions will
    not be retroactive but will  apply to stationary sources constructed or
    modified after the proposal  of the revised standards.
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                       3.  VOLATILE ORGANIC LIQUID STORAGE
    
    3.1  THE VOLATILE ORGANIC LIQUID STORAGE INDUSTRY
         Volatile organic liquid (VOL) storage vessels are primarily located
    at chemical manufacturing and producing facilities and at bulk liquid
    transfer terminals.  An economic description of these industries is
    contained in Section 9.1.  The storage of VOL within these industries is
    described below.
    3.1.1  Industrial Service (Chemical Manufacturing)
         Tanks are used for storing a variety of organic liquids, including
    raw materials, final products, and/or usable byproducts, as well as
    waste tars, residues, and other wastes.   Available data were analyzed to
    determine the number of tanks in the nation containing volatile organic
            123                                                            4
    liquids.  ' '  The 1977 industrial tank population was found to be 27,540.
         The vapor pressure of the material  to be stored is a major factor
    in choosing the tank type to be used.   In practice, fixed roof tanks are
    predominantly used for storing materials with vapor pressures up to
    34.5 kPa; floating-roof tanks are also used to store materials in the
    same range.  Table 3-1 gives the distribution of tanks nationally,
    according to the vapor pressure of the VOLs stored in fixed and floating
    roof tanks.  Other factors such as material stability, safety hazards,
    and multiple use also affect the choice of tank type for a particular
    organic liquid.   Table 3-2 gives the national tank distribution by
    storage capacity for fixed roof and floating roof tanks.
    3.1.2  Terminal  Service
         A terminal  is a nonmanufacturing site that stores commodities  in
    bulk quantity.  Only those terminals that store VOL were of concern to
    this study.  Telephone directories of selected cities were searched for
    terminal  listings.  As a result of this survey, it was determined that
    data obtained from the Independent Liquid Terminal Association (ILTA)
    

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    Table 3-1.   NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL VOL TANK DISTRIBUTION  ACCORDING
                       TO VAPOR PRESSURE (1977)
    
    Vapor pressure,
    (kPa)
    0 - 3.5
    3.5 - 6.9
    6.9 - 10.3
    10.3 - 34.5
    34.5 - 58.6
    £58.6
    Total
    Percent of Total
    Table 3-2.
    
    Number
    Fixed-roof
    16,350
    3,560
    1,950
    3,800
    500
    190
    26,350
    95.7
    NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL VOL
    TANK SIZE
    of tanks nationwide
    Floating- roof
    170
    100
    70
    790
    40
    20
    1,190
    4.3
    TANK DISTRIBUTION ACCORDING
    (1977)
    
    Total
    16,520
    3,660
    2,020
    4,590
    540
    210
    27,540
    100.
    TO
    
    
    Tank size,
    (m3)
    0 - 75
    75 - 150
    150 - 375
    375 - 3,750
    3,750 - 15,000
    ^15,000
    Total
    Percent of Total
    Number of tanks nationwide
    Fixed-roof
    12,270
    3,910
    3,770
    5,840
    520
    40
    26,350
    95.7
    Floating-roof
    20
    30
    180
    610
    320
    30
    1,190
    4.3
    Total
    12,290
    3,940
    3,950
    6,450
    840
    70
    27,540
    100.
                                 3-2
    

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    would serve as a sufficient approximation of the national terminal
    population.   Sixty-eight ILTA member companies operate more than 150
    terminals.  Of these, 82 terminals handle VOLs.  It was assumed that any
    terminal storing VOL devoted its entire storage volume to VOL.   Statistics
    for the tanks in the 82 VOL terminals are given in Table 3-3.
    3.2  STORAGE TANKS
    3.2.1  Types of Storage Tanks
         There are three types of vessels of concern in developing standards
    of performance for VOL storage vessels:
         •    fixed roof tanks;
         •    external floating roof tanks;  and
         •    internal floating roof tanks.
    These tanks are cylindrical in shape with the axis oriented perpendicular
    to the foundation.  The tanks are almost exclusively above ground.
    Below-ground vessels and horizontal vessels (i.e.  with the axis parallel
    to the foundation) also can be used in VOL service.  However, these
    types of vessels are much less common in VOL service than the other tank
    types listed above.   For the most part,  are less than 100 cubic meters
    (26,400 gallons) in capacity.   Consequently, their contribution to
    nationwide VOL storage emissions is minor.   Controls applicable to
    horizontal tanks primarily are limited to closed vent systems and control
    devices as discussed in Chapter 4.   Since their contribution to nationwide
    emissions is minor,  no detailed equipment description is provided for
    these types of roofs.  For a similar reason, no detailed equipment
    description is provided for pressure vessels.   This section, therefore,
    addresses only fixed roof, external floating and internal floating roof
    tanks.
         3.2.1.1  Fixed Roof Tanks.   Of currently used tank designs,  the
    fixed-roof tank is the least expensive to construct and is generally
    considered as the minimum acceptable equipment for the storage of VOLs.
    A typical fixed-roof tank, which is shown in Figure 3-1, consists of a
    cylindrical steel shell with a cone- or  dome-shaped roof that is  permanently
    affixed to the tank shell.  A breather valve (pressure-vacuum valve),
    which is commonly installed on many fixed roof tanks, allows the  tank to
                                      3-3
    

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            Table 3-3.   STATISTICS FOR THE NATIONAL TANK POPULATION IN
                            VOL TERMINAL STORAGE (1979)
    CAPACITY
      Total capacity in data base:   1.390 x 1010 liters (3,670 x 106 gal)
      Average capacity for a terminal:   1.78 x 108 liters (47 x 106 gal)
      Median capacity for a terminal:   9.35 x 107 liters (25 x 106 gal)
    NUMBER OF TANKS
      Total number of tanks at terminals in data base:   4,212
      Average number of tanks per terminal:  54
      Median number of tanks per terminal:   37.5
    SMALLEST TANK3
      Average size of smallest tank:   1.2 x 106 liters  (318.9 x 103 gal)
      Median size of smallest tank:   1.59 x 10s liters  (42 x 103 gal)
    AVERAGE TANK SIZE:   3.3 x 106 liters (872 x 103 gal)
    LARGEST TANKb
      Average size of largest tank:   1.36 x 107 liters  (3,599 x 103 gal)
      Median size of largest tank:   9.22 x 106 liters (2,436 x 103 gal)
    aVolume of the smallest tank at each terminal.
     Volume of the largest tank at each terminal.
                                      3-4
    

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    PRESSURE-VACUUM
         VALVE
    GAUGE HATCH
         MANHOLE
                        MANHOLE
                                                                 TANK
                                                                 SUPPORT
                                                                 COLUMN
                                                                   NOZZLE
                                                                   (FOR SUBMERGED  FILL
                                                                   OR  DRAINAGE)
                             Figure 3-1.   Typical  fixed  roof  tank.
                                            3-5
    

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    operate at a slight internal  pressure or vacuum.   Because this valve
    prevents the release of vapors only during very small  changes in
    temperature, barometric pressure,  or liquid level,  the emissions from a
    fixed roof tank can be appreciable.
         3.2.1.2  External Floating Roof Tanks.   A typical external  floating
    roof tank is shown in Figure  3-2.   This type of tank consists of a
    cylindrical  steel  shell equipped with a deck or roof that floats on the
    surface of the stored liquid, rising and falling with the liquid level.
    The liquid surface is completely covered by the floating roof except in
    the small annular space between the roof and the shell.   A seal  attached
    to the roof touches the tank  wall  (except for small  gaps in some cases)
    and covers the remaining area.   The seal slides against the tank wall as
    the roof is raised or lowered.
         3.2.1.3  Internal Floating Roof Tanks.   An internal floating roof
    tank has both a permanently affixed roof and a roof that floats  inside
    the tank on the liquid surface (contact roof), or supported on pontoons
    several inches above the liquid surface (noncontact roof).   The  internal
    floating roof rises and falls with the liquid level.   Typical contact
    and noncontact internal floating roof tanks are shown in Figures 3-3a
    and 3-3b, respectively.
         Contact-type roofs include (1) aluminum sandwich panel roofs with a
    honeycombed aluminum core floating in contact with_the liquid; (2) resin
    coated, glass fiber reinforced polyester (RFP) buoyant panels, floating
    in contact with the liquid; and (3) pan-type steel  roofs, floating in
    contact with the liquid with  or without the aid of pontoons.   The majority
    of contact internal floating  roofs currently in VOL service are  steel-pan
    type or aluminum sandwich panel type.  The RFP roofs are less common.
         Several variations of the pan-type contact steel  roof exist.  The
    design may include bulkheads, or open compartments,  around the perimeter
    of the roof to minimize and/or localize the effects of liquid that may
    leak or spill onto the deck.   Alternately, the bulkheads may be  covered
    to form sealed compartments (i.e., pontoons), or the entire pan  may be
    covered to form a sealed double deck steel floating roof.  Construction
    is generally welded steel.
                                      3-6
    

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    Figure 3-2.   External floating roof tank (pontoon type).
    
    
    
                            3-7
    

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                                                    Center Vtnt
     Peripheral  Roof Vtnt
           Primary Seal
            Manhole
    Peripheral  Roof Vent
         Primary Seal
              Manhole
                                                               Tank Support  Col am with Column Well
                             a.   Contact  internal  floating  roof.
    
                                                    Center Vent
                 R1m Plate
                           R1n Pontoons
                                                                           R1gi Pontoons
                                                                            Pontoons
    •Tank Support Column with Column Well
                                                           Vapor Space
                            b.   Noncontact Internal  floating roof.
    
                          Figure  3-3.   Internal floating  roof tanks.
                                                3-8
    

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         Noncontact-type roofs typically consist of an aluminum deck on an
    aluminum grid framework supported above the liquid surface by tubular
    aluminum pontoons.  The deck skin for the noncontact-type floating roofs
    typically is constructed of rolled aluminum sheets (about 1.5 m wide and
    0.58 mm thick).   The overlapping aluminum sheets are joined by bolted
    aluminum clamping bars that run perpendicular to the pontoons to improve
    the rigidity of the frame.  The deck skin seams can be metal on metal or
    gasketed with a polymeric material.   The pontoons and clamping bars form
    the structural frame of the floating roof.   The presence of deck seams
    in the noncontact internal floating roof design contributes to emissions
    from the internal floating roof tank.   Aluminum sandwich panel contact-type
    internal floating roofs share this design feature.   The sandwich panels
    are joined with bolted mechanical fasteners that are similar in concept
    to the noncontact deck skin clamping bars.   Steel-pan contact internal
    floating roofs are constructed of welded steel sheets and have no deck
    seams.   Similarly, the resin-coated, reinforced fiberglass panel roofs
    have no apparent deck seams.   The panels are butted and lapped with
    resin-impregnated fiberglass fabric strips.   The significance of deck
    seams to emissions from internal floating roof tanks is addressed in
    Chapter 4.
         It should be recognized that the roof physically occupies a finite
    volume of space that takes away from the maximum liquid storage capacity
    of the tank.   When completely full,  the floating roof touches or nearly
    touches the fixed roof.   Consequently,  the effective height of the tank
    decreases,  thus limiting the storage capacity.  The reduction in the
    effective height varies from about 1 to 2 feet depending on the type and
    design of the floating roof employed.
         All types of internal floating roofs,  like external floating roofs,
    commonly incorporate flexible perimeter seals or wipers that slide
    against the tank wall  as the roof moves up and down.   These seals are
    discussed in detail  in Section 3.2.2.2.   Circulation vents and an open
    vent at the top of the fixed roof are generally provided to minimize the
    possibility of hydrocarbon vapors accumulating in concentrations approaching
    the flammable range.
                                      3-9
    

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    3.2.2  Types of Floating Roof Perimeter Seals
         3.2.2.1  External  Floating Roof Seals.   Regardless of tank design,
    a floating roof requires a closure device to seal  the gap between the
    tank wall and the roof  perimeter.   A primary seal, the lower seal of a
    two-seal  system, can be made from various materials suitable for organic
    liquids service.  The basic designs available for  primary seals are
    (1) mechanical  shoe seals, (2) liquid-filled seals, and (3) (vapor- or
    liquid-mounted) resilient foam log seals.   Figure  3-4 depicts these
    three general types of  seals.
         One major difference in seal  system design is the way in which the
    seal is mounted with respect to the liquid.   Figure 3-4c shows a vapor
    space between the liquid surface and seal, whereas, in Figures 3-4a and
    3-4d, the seals are resting on the liquid surface.  These liquid-filled
    tube and resilient foam seals are classified as liquid- or vapor-mounted
    seals depending on their location.   Mechanical  shoe seals are different
    in design from liquid-filled or resilient foam log seals and cannot be
    characterized as liquid- or vapor-mounted.  However,  because the shoe
    and envelope combination precludes communication between the annular
    vapor space above the liquid and the atmosphere (see Figure 3-4b), the
    performance of a mechanical shoe seal is more like that of a liquid-mounted
    seal than a vapor-mounted seal.
         3.2.2.1.1  Mechanical shoe seal.  A mechanical shoe seal, otherwise
    known as a "metallic shoe seal" (Figure 3-4b),  is  characterized by a
    metallic sheet (the "shoe") 75 to 130 cm (30 to 51 in) high held against
    the vertical tank wall.  The shoe is connected by  braces to the floating
    roof and is held tightly against the wall  by springs or weighted levers.
    A flexible, coated fabric (the "envelope") is suspended from the shoe
    seal to the floating roof to form a vapor barrier  over the annular space
    between the roof and the primary seal.
         3.2.2.1.2  Liquid-filled seal.  A liquid-filled seal (Figure 3-4a)
    may be a tough fabric band or envelope filled with a liquid, or it may
    be a flexible polymeric tube 20 cm to 25 cm (8 inch to 10 inch) in
    diameter filled with a  liquid and sheathed with a  tough fabric scuff
    band.  The liquid is commonly a petroleum distillate or other liquid
    that will not contaminate the stored product if the tube ruptures.
                                      3-10
    

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      Tank
      Wall
    
     Scuff
    Metallic Weather
         Shield
                     Floating Roof
                    Liquid  Filled
                         Tube
    a.  Liquid-filled seal  with weather
        shield.
        /I
     Tank
     Wall
                Metallic Heather
                     Shield
                      Floating Roof
    
                     Seal Fabric
                  , - Resilient Foam
                     Vapor Space
    c.  Vapor-mounted  resilient  foam-
        filled  seal with weather shield.
                                                  .Tank Wall
                                                  Floating Roof
                                                Vapor Space
                                b.  Metallic shoe seal.
                                 Tank
                                 Wall
                                            Metallic Weather
                                                 Shield
                                                  Floating Roof
                                                •-Seal Fabric
    
                                               J4Resilient  Foam
                                 d.    Liauid-mounted resilient foam-
                                      filled seal  with weather shield
                          Figure 3-4.  Primary seals.
                                     3-11
    

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    Liquid-filled seals are mounted on the product liquid surface with no
    vapor space below the seal.
         3.2.2.1.3  Resilient foam-filled seal.   A resilient foam-filled
    seal is similar to a liquid-filled seal except that a resilient foam log
    is used in place of the liquid.   The resiliency of the foam log permits
    the seal to adapt itself to some imperfections in tank dimensions and in
    the tank shell.   The foam log may be mounted above the liquid surface
    (vapor-mounted) or on the liquid surface (liquid-mounted).   Typical
    vapor-mounted and liquid-mounted seals are presented in Figures 3-4c and
    3-4d, respectively.
         3.2.2.1.4  Secondary seals on external  floating roofs.  A secondary
    seal on an external  floating roof is a continuous seal mounted on the
    rim of the floating roof and extending to the tank wall, covering the
    entire primary seal.   Secondary seals are normally constructed of flexible
    polymeric materials and mounted such that they provide a wiping action
    against the tank wall as the roof raises and lowers. Figure 3-5 depicts
    several primary and secondary seal systems.   An alternative secondary
    seal design incorporates a steel leaf to bridge the gap between the roof
    and the tank wall.  The leaf acts as a compression plate to hold a
    polymeric wiper against the tank wall.
         Installed over a primary seal, a secondary seal provides a barrier
    for VOC emissions that escape from the small vapor space between the
    primary seal and the wall and through any openings or tears in the seal
    envelope of a metallic shoe seal (Figure 3-5).  Although not shown in
    Figure 3-5, a secondary seal can be used in conjunction with a weather
    shield as described in the following section.
         Another type of secondary seal is a shoe-mounted secondary seal.  A
    shoe-mounted seal extends from the top of the shoe to the tank wall
    (Figure 3-6).   These seals do not provide protection against VOC leakage
    through the envelope.  Holes, gaps, tears, or other defects in the
    envelope can permit direct communication between the saturated vapor
    under the envelope and the atmosphere.  Wind can enter this space through
    envelope defects, flow around the circumference of the tank, and exit
    with saturated or nearly saturated VOC vapors.
                                      3-12
    

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          •TAttK
                 KMMIOUNTED
               ,Sf CONOARr UAL
                                           TA«K
                                           •All
                                                      MMioumo tscoaOANv SEAL
                                                                          t
                                                                   IMCMOO^ '
    
    
                                                           UUFF IAMD
    
    
                                                          X-IIOUIO-FILLEOTUIE
    a.  Shoe seal with  rim-mounted
        secondary seal.
             b.   Liquid-filled seal with  rim-
                 mounted secondary  seal.
                                                       RMUMOUWTED
                                                     ,ICCO»DARYSEAL
    c.  Resilient  foam seal (vapor-
        mounted) with rim-mounted
        secondary  seal.
             d.  Resilient foam seal (liquid-
                 mounted)  with rim-mounted
                 secondary seal.
              Figure 3-5 (a-d).
    Rim-mounted  secondary seals on
    
    external floating  roofs.
                                      3-13
    

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                           TANK
                                SECONDARY SEAL
                                 (WIPER TYPI)
                                        ^FLOATING ROOF
    
                                      VAPOR SPACE
    Figure  3-6.   Metallic  shoe seal with shoe-mounted secondary seal.
                                     3-14
    

    -------
         3.2.2.1.5  Weather shield.   A weather shield (Figures 3-4a, 3-4c,
    and 3-4d) may be installed over the primary seal or the primary and
    secondary seals, to protect it,  or them, from deterioration caused by
    debris and exposure to the elements.   Typically, a weather shield is an
    arrangement of overlapping thin metal sheets pivoted from the floating
    roof to ride against the tank wall.  The weather shield, by the nature
    of its design, is not an effective vapor barrier.  For this reason, it
    differs from the secondary seal.  Although the two devices are conceptually
    similar in design, they are designed for and serve different purposes.
         3.2.2.2  Internal Floating-Roof Tank Seals.  Internal floating
    roofs typically incorporate one of two types of flexible, product-resistant
    primary seals:  resilient foam-filled seals or wiper seals.  Similar to
    those employed on external floating roofs, each of these seals closes
    the annular vapor space between the edge of the floating roof and the
    tank shell.   They are designed to compensate for small irregularities in
    the tank shell, and allow the roof to move freely up and down in the
    tank without binding.
         3.2.2.2.1  Resilient foam-filled seal.  A resilient foam-filled
    seal  used on an internal floating roof is similar in design to that
    described in Section 3.2.2.1.3 for external floating roofs.  Two types
    of resilient foam-filled seals for internal floating roofs are shown in
    Figures 3-7a and 3-7b.  These seals can either be mounted in contact
    with the liquid surface (liquid-mounted) or several  centimeters above
    the liquid surface (vapor-mounted).
         Resilient filled seals work on the principle of expansion and
    contraction of a resilient material to maintain contact with the tank
    shell while accommodating varying annular rim space widths.  These seals
    consist of a core of open-cell foam encapsulated in a coated fabric.
    The elasticity of the foam core  pushes the fabric into contact with the
    tank shell.   The seals are attached to a mounting on the deck perimeter
    and are continuous around the circumference.   Urethane coated nylon
    fabric and polyurethane foam are commonly employed materials.   For
    emission control, it is important that the mounting and radial seal
    joints be vapor-tight and that the seal be in substantial contact with
    the tank shell.
                                      3-15
    

    -------
     a.   Resilient  foam-filled  seal  (vapor-mounted).
                                         Contact internal  floating roof
                                         /aluminum sandwich panel roof)
                •V-      L
          •Resilient  foam-filled seal
     b.   Resilient foam-filled seal  (liquid-mounted)
            Resilient foam-filled seal
    f^* • • ^
    C * • * • •
    \r« * • • • j
    Viv^r
    Tank w<
    
    
    /LOntaC t i ntcrna 1 T I Oa ti ng TOUT
    (pan -type steel roof) /
    ill
    c.  Elastomeric wiper seal.
          lastomeric wiper seal
             i
                                     Non-contact  internal  floating  roof
                                      Pontoon-^
            .   ,ontoon
    \      ^Metal seal ring
    Tank wall
    Note:  v - vapor
           L - liquid
       Figure 3-7.   Typical  flotation devices and perimeter seals for
                    internal  floating roofs.
                                    3-16
    

    -------
         3.2.2.2.2  Primary wiper seals.  Wiper seals are commonly used as
    primary seals for internal floating roof tanks.  This type of seal is
    depicted in Figure 3-7c.
         Wiper seals generally consist of a continuous annular blade of
    flexible material fastened to a mounting on the deck perimeter, spanning
    the annular rim space, and contacting the tank shell.  The mounting is
    such that the blade is flexed, and its elasticity provides a sealing
    pressure against the tank shell.  A vapor space exists between the
    liquid stock and the bottom of the seal; such seals are vapor-mounted.
    For emission control, it is important that the mounting be vapor-tight,
    that the seal be continuous around the circumference, and that the blade
    be in substantial contact with the tank shell.
         Two types of wipers are commonly used.   One type consists of a
    cellular, elastomeric material tapered in cross section with the thicker
    portion at the mounting.  Buna-N rubber is a commonly-used material.
    All radial joints in the blade are joined.
         A second type of wiper seal construction uses a foam core wrapped
    with a coated fabric.  Urethane on nylon fabric and polyurethane foam
    are common materials.  The core provides the flexibility and support
    while the fabric provides the vapor barrier and wear surface.
         A third type of wiper seal consists of overlapping segments of seal
    material (shingle-type seal).   Single-type seals differ from the wiper
    seals discussed previously in that they do not provide a continuous
    vapor barrier.
         3.2.2.2.3  Secondary seals for internal floating roof tanks.
    Secondary seals may be used to provide some additional evaporative loss
    control over that achieved by the primary seal.  The secondary seal
    would be mounted to an extended vertical rim plate, above the primary
    seal, as shown in Figure 3-8.   Secondary seals can be either an elastomeric
    wiper seal or a resilient foam-filled seal  as described in Sections 3.2.2.2.2
    and 3.2.2.2.1,  respectively.   For a given roof design, the use of a
    secondary seal  further limits the operating capacity of a tank due to
    the need to avoid interference of the seal  with the fixed roof rafters
    when the tank is filled.  Currently, secondary seals are not commonly
    used on internal floating roof tanks .
                                      3-17
    

    -------
                        SECONDARY SEAL
                                       PRIMARY SEAL
                                    IfttERSED IN VOL
                                                CONTACT TYPE
                                            INTERNAL FLOATING ROOF
    Figure 3-8.   Rim mounting of a secondary seal on  internal floating roof.
                                                                                 8
                                        3-18
    

    -------
    3.2.3  Types of Internal Floating Roof Deck Fittings
         The majority of Section 3.2.3 largely is from a draft American
    Petroleum Institute publication  that is expected to be published in
    June, 1983.
         There are numerous fittings that penetrate or are attached to an
    internal floating roof.  These fittings serve to accommodate structural
    support members or to allow for operational functions.   A cross section
    of an internal floating roof tank showing typical fittings is depicted
    in Figure 3-9.   The fittings can be a source of evaporative loss, in
    that, they require penetrations in the deck.   Other accessories are used
    that do not penetrate the deck and are not, therefore, sources of
    evaporative loss.   The most common fittings with relevance to controllable
    vapor losses are described in the following sections.
         3.2.3.1  Access Hatches.  An access hatch consists of an opening in
    the deck with a peripheral vertical well attached to the deck and a
    removable cover to close the opening.  An access hatch is sized to
    provide for passage of workers and materials through the deck for
    construction or servicing.  The cover can rest directly on the well, or
    a gasketed connection can be used to reduce evaporative loss.  Bolting
    the cover to the well provides further loss reduction.  With noncontact
    decks, the well should extend down into the liquid stock to seal off the
    vapor space below the deck.    Figure 3-10a depicts an access hatch that
    is suitable for use on a steel contact internal  floating roof.
         3.2.3.2  Column Wei Is.   The most common fixed roof designs are
    normally supported from inside the tank by means of vertical columns,
    which necessarily penetrate the floating deck.   (Some fixed roofs are
    entirely self-supporting and, therefore, have no support columns.)
    Columns are made of pipe with circular cross sections or of structural
    shapes with irregular cross sections.  The number of columns varies with
    tank diameter, from a minimum of one to over 50 for very large tanks.
    Figure 3-10b depicts a column well for a built-up column.
         The columns pass through deck openings with peripheral vertical
    wells.  With noncontact decks, the well  should extend down into the
    liquid stock.   Generally, a closure device exists between the top of the
    well  and the column.   Several proprietary designs exist for this closure,
                                      3-19
    

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    -------
    including sliding covers and fabric sleeves, which must accommodate the
    movements of the deck relative to the column as the liquid levels change.
    A sliding cover rests on the upper rim of the column well (which is
    normally fixed to the roof) and bridges the gap or space between the
    column well and the column.  The cover, which has a cutout or opening
    around the column, slides in a vertical direction relative to the column
    as the roof raises and lowers.  At the same time, the cover slides in a
    horizontal direction relative to the rim of the well, which is fixed to
    the roof.  A gasket around the rim of the well reduces emissions from
    this fitting.   A flexible fabric sleeve seal between the rim of the well
    and the column (with a cutout or opening to allow vertical motion of the
    seal relative to the columns) similarly accommodates limited horizontal
    motion of the roof relative to the column.   A third design, which is
    proprietary, is depicted in Figure 3-10b.   This design, in effect,
    combines the advantages of the flexible fabric sleeve seal with a well
    that excludes all  but a small portion of the liquid surface from direct
    communication with the vapor space above the floating roof.
         3.2.3.3  Roof Legs or Hanger Wells.   To prevent damage to fittings
    underneath the deck and to allow for tank cleaning or repair, supports
    are provided to hold the deck a pre-determined distance off the tank
    bottom.  These supports consist of adjustable or fixed legs attached to
    the floating deck or hangers suspended from the fixed roof.   For adjustable
    legs or hangers,  the load-carrying element passes through a well or
    sleeve in the deck.   With noncontact decks,  the well  should extend into
    the liquid stock.    Figure 3-10c depicts a roof leg assembly.
         3.2.3.4  Sample Pipes or Wells.   A sample well  may be provided to
    allow for sampling of the liquid stock.   Typically,  the well  is funnel-
    shaped to allow for easy entry of a sample thief.   A closure is provided,
    which is typically located at the lower end of the funnel and which
    frequently consists of a horizontal piece of fabric slit radially to
    allow thief entry.   The well should extend into the liquid stock on
    noncontact decks.    Figure 3-10d depicts a sample well  assembly.
         Alternately,  a sample well  may consist of a slotted pipe extending
    into the liquid stock, equipped with an ungasketed or gasketed sliding
          6
    cover.
                                      3-23
    

    -------
         3.2.3.5  Vacuum Breakers.   When the internal  floating deck is
    either being landed on its legs or floated off its legs,  a vacuum breaker
    is used to equalize the pressure of the vapor space across the deck.
    This is accomplished by opening a deck penetration that usually consists
    of a well formed of pipe or framing on which rests a cover.   To the
    underside of the cover is attached a guided leg of such length that it
    contacts the tank bottom as the internal floating  deck approaches the
    tank bottom.  When in contact with the tank bottom, the guided leg
    mechanically opens the breaker by lifting the cover off the well.  When
    the leg is not contacting the bottom, the penetration is  closed by the
    cover resting on the well.  The closure may be with or without a gasket
    between the cover and neck.  Since the purpose of  the vacuum breaker is
    to allow the free exchange of air and/or vapor, the well  does not extend
    appreciably below the deck.   Figure 3-10e depicts a pressure vacuum
    assembly.  The gasket on the underside of the cover, or conversely on
    the upper rim of the well, provides a small measure of emission control
    (•v-20 percent emissions reduction) during periods when the roof is free
    floating and the breaker is closed.
         3.2.3.6  Automatic Gauge Float Wells.   Gauge  floats  are used to
    indicate the level of stock within the tank.   They usually consist of a
    float residing within a well that passes through the floating deck.  The
    float is connected to an indicator on the exterior of the tank via a
    tape passing through a guide system on the fixed roof.   The float rests
    on the stock surface within the well.  The well is closed by a cover
    that rests on the well.   Evaporation loss can be reduced  by gasketing
    and/or bolting the connection between the cover and the rim of the well.
    The cable passes through a bushing located at the  center  of the cover.
    As with other similar deck penetrations, the well  extends into the
    liquid stock on noncontact floating decks.    Figure 3-10f depicts a
    bolted automatic gauge float well assembly.
         3.2.3.7  Ladder Wells.  Some tanks are equipped with internal
    ladders that extend from a manhole in the fixed roof to the tank bottom.
    The deck opening through which the ladder passes is constructed with
    similar design details and considerations as those for column wells, as
    discussed in Section 3.2.3.2.6
                                      3-24
    

    -------
    3.2.4  Storage Tank Emissions and Emission Equations
         3.2.4.1  Fixed-Roof Tank Emissions.   The major types of emissions
    from fixed-roof tanks are breathing and working losses.   Breathing loss
    is the expulsion of vapor from a tank vapor space that has expanded or
    contracted because of daily changes in temperature and barometric pressure.
    The emissions occur in the absence of any liquid level change in the
    tank.
         Filling losses are associated with an increase of the liquid level
    in the tank.  The vapors are expelled from the tank when the pressure
    inside the tank exceeds the relief pressure as a result of filling.
    Emptying losses occur when the air that is drawn into the tank during
    liquid removal  saturates with hydrocarbon vapor and expands, thus exceeding
    the fixed capacity of the vapor space and overflowing through the pressure
    vacuum valve.  Combined filling and emptying losses are called "working
    losses."
         Emission equations for breathing and working losses were developed
    for EPA Publication No. AP-42.     The equations used in estimating
    emissions rates for fixed roof tanks storing VOL are:
           4 = LB  + Lw                                           (3-1)
    
           LD = 1.02 x 10-5 M  (	P_)°-68 Di.73Ho.siTo.sF CK    (3-2)
            B                v  14 7_p                     p  c
    
           L, = 1.09 x 10-8M PVNK K                                (3-3)
            w               v    n c
    where, Lj = total  loss (Mg/yr)
           LB = breathing loss (Mg/yr)
           L, = working loss (Mg/yr)
           M  = molecular weight of product vapor (Ib/lb mole); 80 assumed
            v     as a typical value for VOL liquids
           P  = true vapor pressure of product (psia)
           D  = tank diameter (ft)
           H  = average vapor space height (ft):   use tank specific values
                  or an assumed value of one-half the tank height
           T  = average diurnal temperature change in °F;  20°F assumed as
                  a typical value
                                      3-25
    

    -------
           F  = paint factor (dimensionless);  1.0 for clean white paint
           C  = tank diameter factor (dimensionless):
                for diameter ^ 30 feet,  C = 1
                for diameter < 30 feet,
                    C = 0.0771 D - 0.0013(D2)  - 0.1334
          K  = product factor (dimensionless)  =1.0 for VOL
           L*
          V  = tank capacity (gal)
          N  = number of turnovers per year (dimensionless)
          K  = turnover factor (dimensionless):
               for turnovers > 36, Kn =  18gN+  N
               for turnovers ^ 36, K  =1
         3.2.4.2  External  Floating-Roof Tank  Emissions.   Standing-storage
    losses, which result from causes other than a change in the liquid
    level, constitute the major source of emissions from external floating
    roof tanks.  The largest potential source  of these losses is an improper
    fit between the seal and the tank shell (seal losses).   As a result,
    some liquid surface is  exposed to the atmosphere.   Air flowing over the
    tank creates pressure differentials  around the floating roof.  Air flows
    into the annular vapor  space on the  leeward side and an air-vapor mixture
    flows out on the windward side.
         Withdrawal loss is another source of  emissions from floating roof
    tanks.  When liquid is  withdrawn from a tank, the floating roof is
    lowered, and a wet portion of the tank wall  is exposed.  Withdrawal loss
    is the vaporization of  liquid from the wet tank wall.
         VOL emissions from external floating  roof tanks are estimated using
    equations based on a pilot tank study conducted for the EPA by the
                                    Q
    Chicago Bridge and Iron Company.  Appendix C describes the development
    of the emission equations and the associated emission factors.
         From the equations presented below, it is possible to estimate the
    total evaporation loss  for external  floating roof tanks, Ly, which is
    the sum of the withdrawal loss, L,,  and the external  floating roof seal
                                                                       11
    loss, LSE-  These equations in large part  are extracted from AP-42.
    However, minor changes  have been made to update the equations.   (Note:
    external floating roof  tanks have no appreciable losses from fittings.)
                                      3-26
    

    -------
           LT = Lw + LSE                                          (3-4)
           Ly = 4.28 x 10"4 QCWL/D                                (3-5)
    
           LSE = KSvNp*DMV KC/2205                               (3~6)
    where, LT = total loss (Mg/yr)
           LW = withdrawal loss (Mg/yr)
           L^r = seal loss from external floating roof tanks (Mg/yr)
            Q  = product average throughput (bbl/yr);
                  tank capacity (bbl/turnover) x turnovers/yr
           C  = product withdrawal shell clingage factor (bbl/103 ft2); use
                  0.0015 bbl/103 ft2 for VOL in a welded steel tank with
                  light rust (0.0075 for dense rust)
           W,  = density of product (Ib/gal); 7.4 to 8.0 Ib/gal assumed as
                  typical  range for VOL liquids
           D  = tank diameter (ft)
           KS = seal factor:   obtain from Table 3-4
           V  = average windspeed for the tank site (mph);
                  10 mph assumed average windspeed
           N  = seal windspeed exponent (dimensionless):   obtain from
                  Table 3-4
           P* = the vapor pressure function (dimensionless);
                P* = 0.068P/((1 + (1 - 0.068P)0-5)2)
                P = the true vapor pressure of the materials stored (psia)
           MV = molecular weight of product vapor (Ib/lbmole)
           K«  = product factor (dimensionless) =1.0 for VOL
         3.2.4.3  Internal Floating Roof Tank Emissions.   As ambient wind
    flows over the exterior of an internal  floating roof tank, air flows
    into the enclosed space between the fixed and floating roofs through
    some of the shell vents and out of the  enclosed space through others.
    Any VOC vapors that have evaporated from exposed liquid surface and that
    have not been contained by the floating deck will be swept out of the
    enclosed space.
         Losses of VOC vapors from under the floating roof occur in one of
    four ways:
         (1)  through the annular rim space around the perimeter of the
              floating roof (rim or seal losses);
         (2)  through the openings in the deck required for various types of
              fittings (fitting losses);
                                      3-27
    

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               Table 3-4.   SEAL RELATED FACTORS FOR
                   EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS3
    
    Seal type
    Metallic shoe seal
    Primary seal only
    With shoe mounted secondary seal
    With rim mounted secondary seal
    Liquid mounted resilient seal
    Primary seal only
    With weather shield
    With rim mounted secondary seal
    Vapor mounted resilient seal
    Primary seal only
    With weather shield
    With rim mounted secondary seal
    (Ks)b
    
    1.2
    0.8
    0.2
    
    1.1
    0.8
    0.7
    
    1.2
    0.9
    0.2
    (N)C
    
    1.5
    1.2
    1.0
    
    1.0
    0.9
    0.4
    
    2.3
    2.2
    2.6
    aBased on emissions from tank seal  system with emissions
     control devices (roof, seals, etc.) in reasonably good
     working condition, no visible holes, tears or unusually
     large gaps between the seals and the tank wall.
    
     KC = seal factor in Equation 3-6.
    
     N = seal windspeed exponent (dimensionless) in
         Equation 3-6.
                               3-28
    

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         (3)  through the nonwelded seams formed when joining sections of
              the deck material (deck seam losses); and
         (4)  through evaporation of liquid left on the tank wall following
              withdrawal of liquid from the tank (withdrawal loss).
    The withdrawal loss from an internal floating roof tank is similar to
    that discussed in the previous section for external floating roofs.   The
    other losses, seal losses, fitting losses and deck seam losses,  occur
    not only during the working operations of the tank but also during free
    standing periods.  The mechanisms and loss rates of internal floating
    roof tanks was studied in detail by the Chicago Bridge and Iron  Company
    for the American Petroleum Institute.   The results of this work form
    the basis for internal floating roof emissions discussion.
         Several potential mechanisms for vapor loss from the rim seal area
    of an internal floating roof tank can be postulated:
         •    circumferential vapor movement underneath vapor-mounted rim
              seals;
         •    vertical mixing, due to diffusion or air turbulence,  of the
              vapor in gaps that may exist between any type of rim  seal  and
              the tank shell;
         t    expansion of vapor spaces in the rim area due to temperature
              or pressure changes;
         •    varying solubility of gases, such as air, in the rim  space
              liquid due to temperature and pressure changes;
         •    wicking of the rim space liquid up the tank shell; and
         •    vapor permeation through the sealing material.
    For external floating roof tanks, wind-generated air movement across the
    roof is the dominant factor affecting rim seal loss.   In comparison, for
    freely-vented internal floating roof tanks, in which the air movement is
    significantly reduced, no clearly dominant loss mechanism can be discerned.
         Vapor permeability is the only potential rim seal area loss mechanism
    that is readily amenable to independent investigation.  Seal fabrics are
    generally reported to have very low permeability to typical  hydrocarbon
    vapors, such that this source of loss is not considered to be significant.
    However, if a seal material is used that is highly permeable to  the
                                      3-29
    

    -------
    vapor from the stored stock, the rim seal  loss could be significantly
    higher than that estimated from the rim seal  loss equation presented
    later in this section.    Particularly when dealing with VOL rather than
    petroleum liquids, attention must be paid to the properties of the
    individual compounds being stored.   For instance, benzene is suspected
    of having permeability losses that equal  or exceed convective and diffusion
                         13
    losses from the seal.     Additional permeability data for VOL/seal
    material combinations must be developed to fully characterize the
    significance of permeability losses.   Permeability is discussed in more
    detail in Appendix C.
         The extent to which any or all of these mechanisms contributes to
    the total fitting loss is not known.   The relative importance of the
    various mechanisms probably depends on the type of fitting, the design
    of the fitting seal, and whether or not the deck is in contact with the
    stored liquid.
         Floating decks are typically made by joining several sections of
    deck material together, resulting in seams in the deck.  To the extent
    that these seams are not completely vapor tight, they become a source of
    loss.   Generally the same loss mechanisms discussed for deck fittings
    may apply to deck seams.
         Emissions from internal floating roof tanks can be estimated from
         ollowing equations :   (Note that these c
    freely vented internal  floating roof tanks.)
                        LT = Lw + Lr + Lf
              LT = the total  loss (Mg/yr)
    the following equations :   (Note that these equations apply only to
                        LT = Lw + Lr + Lf + Ld                       (3"7)
    where:                i     w    r    T    a
                   where D = tank diameter (ft)
                        N  = number of columns (dimensionless)
                        F  = effective column diameter (ft); 1.0 assumed
              L  = the rim seal loss (Mg/yr) = (K D) P* M  Kr/2205
               I                                  I        V  x*
              Lf = the fitting loss (Mg/yr) = (Ff)  P  My Kc/2205
              Ld = the deck seam loss (Mg/yr) = (Fd Kd D2) P  My Kc/2205
                                      3-30
    

    -------
    K  = the rim seal loss factor (Ib mole/ft yr) that for an
           average fitting seal  is as follows:
    
         Seal system description           Kr (1b mo1e/ft
    Vapor-mounted primary seal only               6.7
    Liquid-mounted primary seal only              3.0
    Vapor-mounted primary seal plus
      secondary seal                              2.5
    Liquid-mounted primary seal plus
      secondary seal                              1.6
    
    D = the tank diameter (ft)
     *
    P  = the vapor pressure function (dimensionless)
    
           P* = 0.068 P/((l + (1 - 0.068 P)0'5)2)
           P = the true vapor pressure of the material  stored (psia)
    
    M  = the average molecular weight of the product vapor
           (Ib/lbmole).  A typical value for VOL liquids is
           80 Ib/lbmole.
    
    KC = the product factor (dimensionless) =1.0 for VOL
    
    2205 = constant (Ib/Mg)
    
    F, = the total deck fitting loss factor (Ibmole/yr)
    
           (Nf  Kf ) = [(Nf  Kf ) + (Nf  Kf )+...+ (N   Kf
              i   Ti       Tl  Tl      T2  T2               n  Tn
         where:
              N
               f.= number of fittings of a particular type
                      (dimensionless).   Nf  is determined for the
    
                      specific tank or estimated from Tables 3-5
                      and 3-6
    
              I/
               f.  = deck fitting loss factor for a particular type
                1      fitting (Ibmole/yr).   Kf  is determined for each
    
                      fitting type from Table 3-6
    
              n =  number of different types of fittings (dimensionless)
                            3-31
    

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       Table 3-5.   TYPICAL NUMBER OF COLUMNS AS A
    
               FUNCTION OF TANK DIAMETERS6
    Tank diameter range               Typical  number
           D (ft)                     columns, N^
    0 <
    85 <
    100 <
    120 <
    135 <
    150 <
    170 <
    190 <
    220 <
    235 <
    270 <
    275 <
    290 <
    330 <
    360 <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    : D <
    85
    100
    120
    135
    150
    170
    190
    220
    235
    270
    275
    290
    330
    360
    400
    1
    6
    7
    8
    9
    16
    19
    22
    31
    37
    43
    49
    61
    71
    81
    Note:   This table was derived from a survey of
      users and manufacturers.   The actual  number of
      columns in a particular tank may vary greatly
      depending on age, roof style, loading specifi-
      cations, and manufacturing perogatives.   This
      table should not supersede information based
      on actual tank data.
                          3-32
    

    -------
            Table 3-6.  SUMMARY OF DECK FITTING LOSS FACTORS (Kf) AND
                        TYPICAL NUMBER OF FITTINGS (Nf)6
    
    
                                        Deck fitting loss    Typical number
                                            factor, Kf        of fittings,
            Deck fitting type               (Ibmole/yf)           (Nf)
    
    1. Access Hatch                                                 1
       a. Bolted cover, gasketed                1.6
       b. Unbolted cover, gasketed             11
       c. Unbolted cover, ungasketed           25
    
    2. Automatic Gauge Float Well                                   1
       a. Bolted cover, gasketed                5.1
       b. Unbolted cover, gasketed             15
       c. Unbolted cover, ungasketed           28
    
    3. Column Well                                           (see Table 3-5)
       a. Built-up column-sliding cover,
            gasketed                           33
       b. Built-up column-sliding cover,
            ungasketed                         47
       c. Pipe column-flexible fabric
            sleeve seal                        10
       d. Pipe column-sliding cover,
            gasketed                           19
       e. Pipe column-sliding cover,
            ungasketed                         32
    
    4. Ladder Well                                                  1
       a. Sliding cover, gasketed              56
       b. Sliding cover, ungasketed            76
    
    5. Roof Leg or Hanger Well                              ,,   JD    D2 **
       a. Adjustable                            7.9         ^   10   600;
       b. Fixed                                 0
    6. Sample Pipe or Well                                          1
       a. Slotted pipe-sliding cover,
            gasketed                           44
       b. Slotted pipe-sliding cover,
            ungasketed                         57
       c. Sample well-slit fabric seal,
            10% open area                      12
                                                                   Q2 **
    7. Stub Drain*,  1-inch diameter             1.2
    
    8. Vacuum Breaker
       a. Weighted mechanical actuation,
            gasketed                            0.7
       b. Weighted mechanical actuation,
            ungasketed                          0.9
    
     * Not used on welded, contact internal  floating decks.
    ** D = tank diameter (ft).
    
                                      3-33
    

    -------
              F, = the deck seam length factor (ft/ft2)
                 = 0.15,  for a deck constructed from continuous  metal  sheets
                     with a 7 ft spacing between seams
    
                 = 0.33,  for a deck constructed from rectangular panels 5 ft
                     by 7.5 ft
    
                 = 0.20,  an approximate value for use when no construction
                     details are known
    
              K. = the deck seam loss factor (Ibmole/ft yr)
    
                 = 0.34 for non-welded roofs
    
                 = 0 for welded decks
    
    3.3  BASELINE CONTROL AND EMISSIONS ESTIMATES
         The baseline control level  is set by state regulations  that affect
    VOL storage vessels.   The control requirements are  set forth in the
    State implementation plans (SIP).  A typical SIP requires tanks with
    capacities greater than 40,000 gallons (=150 m3) storing material  with
    vapor pressures greater than 1.5 psia (slO.5 kPa),  but less  than 11 psia
    (=76.6 kPa), to have a floating roof.   For this group of tanks, baseline
    control  is assumed to be the noncontact internal floating roof with a
    vapor-mounted primary seal, because it is the least costly means of
    complying with the SIPs.  A typical SIP requires tanks with  capacities
    greater than 40,000 gallons (=150 m3) storing liquids with vapor pressures
    greater than 11 psia (=76.6 kPa) to either have vapor recovery systems
    or to be constructed as high pressure vessels.   Therefore, vapor recovery
    is assumed to be the baseline control  for this group of tanks.
         Texas contains an estimated 35 percent of the  total national  VOL
    tank population and has an atypical SIP.  Texas requires tanks with
    capacities greater than 25,000 gallons (=95 m3) storing VOL  with a vapor
    pressure greater than 0.5 psia (=3.5 kPa) but less  than 11 psia (=76.6 kPa)
                                      3-34
    

    -------
    to have a floating roof.  Tanks with capacities greater than 25,000 gallons
    (s95 m3) storing VOL with vapor pressures greater than 11 psia (276 kPa)
    must have a vapor recovery system.  Texas contains such a significant
    portion of the tank population that this difference in cutoff size must
    be considered in the baseline control level.  Therefore, in addition to
    the floating roofs in all tanks with capacities greater than 40,000 gallons
    (=150 m3) and storing VOL with vapor pressures between 1.5 and 11 psia
    (=10.5 and 76.6 kPa), it is assumed that 35 percent of the tanks with
    capacities between 25,000 gallons and 40,000 gallons (s95 m3 to 150 m3)
    storing VOL with vapor pressures between 0.5 psia and 11.5 psia (=3.5 to
    76 kPa) will be constructed with noncontact internal floating roofs with
    vapor-mounted primary seals in the absence of a standard of performance.
    It is further assumed that 35 percent of the tanks that have capacities
    between 25,000 gallons and 40,000 gallons (s95 m3 and 150 m3) storing
    VOL with vapor pressures greater than 11 psia (=76.6 kPa), will be
    constructed with vapor recovery systems or stored in pressure vessels.
    This is in addition to the vapor recovery systems or pressure vessels
    for all tanks greater than 40,000 gallons (=150 m3) and storing VOL with
    vapor pressures exceeding 11 psia (76.6 kPa).
         The remaining 65 percent of the tanks that have capacities between
    25,000 gallons (s95 m3) and 40,000 gallons (=150 m3) and storing materials
    with vapor pressures between 0.5 and 1.5 psia (S3.5 and 10.5 kPa) are
    assumed to be uncontrolled, fixed-roof tanks.   It is assumed that every
    tank smaller than 25,000 gallons (s95 m3) and every tank storing material
    with a vapor pressure less than 0.5 psia (s3.5 kPa) will be constructed
    as an uncontrolled, fixed-roof tank.   Figure 3-11 summarizes the baseline
    control assumptions.
         The total  VOC emission rate from VOL storage vessels is estimated
    to be 37,800 Mg/yr based on the 1977 tank population described in
    Section 3.1 and the baseline control  levels.  This estimate assumes that
    currently existing or developing state regulations are fully implemented
    on the 1977 tank population.   Included in this emissions total  are an
    estimated 34,000 Mg/yr of VOC emitted from fixed roof tanks and an
    estimated 3,800 Mg/yr of VOC from floating roof tanks.   The 37,800 Mg/yr
    emissions total  is broken down among the three vapor-pressure/tank-size
                                      3-35
    

    -------
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        3-36
    

    -------
    regions that comprise the baseline control  level  scenario in Figure 3-12.
    Note that the number of tanks storing liquids with vapor pressures
    greater than 58.7 kPa (8.5 psia) is less than 1 percent of the tank
    population.   These tanks have very little effect on the estimated number
    of tanks and emissions listed in Figure 3-12.
                                      3-37
    

    -------
      11.0
          cv*
    I
       1.5
       1.0
       0.5
                                                                          Number of tanks
                                                                                          Emissions
    Fixed roof 0
    Floating roof 2,786
    Total 2,786
    0
    3.000
    3,000
                                      Number of tanks
              Fixed roof
              Floating roof
    
              Total
    Emissions
     (mg/yr)
    
     13,100
       800
                                                2,878   13,900
                 Number of tanks
    
               Fixed roof   21,876
               Floating roof     0
    
               Total       21,876
                 	  J	
           Emissions
           (mg/yr)
    
           20,900
           	0
    
           20,900
                      20
                       30
      35
    40
                                           TANK VOLUME   (103 gallons)
         Figure  3-12.
    Baseline emissions  totals  (mg/yr;  1977  tank population)
    and numbers  of  tanks  by  vapor pressure/tank size region,
                                                3-38
    

    -------
    3.4  REFERENCES
    
     1.  Erickson, D. G.  Emission Control Options for the Synthetic Organic
         Manufacturing Industry; (Unpublished draft submitted in fulfillment
         of EPA Contract No. 68-02-2577).  Hydroscience, Inc.  Knoxville,
         Tennessee.  October 1978.  97 p.
    
     2.  Radian, Inc.  The Revised Organic Chemical Producers Data Base
         System, Final Interim Report;  (Submitted in fulfillment of EPA
         Contract No. 68-03-2623.)  Austin, Texas.  March 1979.
    
     3.  Booz, Allen, and Hamilton, Foster D. Snell Division.  Cost of
         Hydrocarbon Emissions Control to the U.S. Chemical Industry (SIC 28).
         Manufacturing Chemists Association.   Florham Park, New Jersey.
         December 1977.
    
     4.  Memorandum from Rockstroh, M. A., TRW to Moody, W. T.,  TRW.
         February 1, 1980.
    
     5.  International Liquid Terminals Association.   Bulk Liguid Terminals
         and Storage Facilities, 1979 Directory.   Washington, D.C.   1979.
         85 p.
    
     6.  The American Petroleum Institute (API) Draft Document,  Evaporation
         Loss from Internal  Floating Roof Tanks.   API Publication 2519.
         Third Edition.   1982.
    
     7.  RFI Services Corporation.  The Woodlands, Texas.  Figures extracted
         from promotional literature with the permission of the company.
    
     8.  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.   Measurements of Benzene
         Emissions from a Floating-Roof Test TanEReport No. EPA-450/3-79-020.
         Research Triangle Park, North Carolina.   June 1979.
    
     9.  Brown Boiler and Tank Works, Ltd.  Franklin, Pennsylvania.   Figure
         extracted from promotional literature with the permission of the
         company.
    
    10.  Ultraflote Corporation.  Houston, Texas.   Figure extracted from
         promotional literature with the permission of the company.
    
    11.  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.   Compilation of Air Pollution
         Emission Factors.   Report No, AP-42; Supplement 12,  Research Triangle
         Park, North Carolina. April 1981.
    
    12.  TRW Environmental  Division, Background Documentation for Storage of
         Organic Liquids.  EPA Contract No. 68-02-3174.   Research Triangle
         Park, N.C.  May 1981.
    
    13.  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency,  Draft Volume II Background
         Information Document for Benzene Storage Hazardous Air Pollutant
         Standards, EPA 450/	, January 1983.
    
                                      3-39
    

    -------
                             4.  CONTROL TECHNIQUES
    
         This section describes the control techniques applicable to emissions
    of volatile organic compounds (VOC) from the storage of volatile organic
    liquids (VOL).  It should be recognized that the emission sources in
    this industry are "un-traditional" in the sense that they do not have
    exhaust streams that normally are controlled by add-on control devices.
    Consequently, the evaluation of control techniques is not a straight-forward
    process of identification, testing and direct comparison of a series of
    add-on devices.  Rather, it is the comparison of alternative tank types
    and equipment options that can be selected for use in storing VOL.
    4.1  OVERVIEW
         As discussed in Chapter 3, there are three major types of vessels
    used to store VOL:   fixed roof tanks, internal floating roof tanks,  and
    external floating roof tanks.   In addition, optional  equipment designs
    exist within each major tank type (e.g. seal design,  roof fabrication
    fittings closure).   Each tank type and equipment option has its own
    associated emissions rate.   In effect, there is a spectrum of equipment
    options, with a corresponding spectrum of emission rates.   The control
    techniques to be evaluated are these alternative storage vessel equipment
    types.
         The major equipment options that affect emissions from the storage
    of VOL include:
         •    the tank type:  fixed roof, internal floating roof, or external
              floating roof;
         •    the floating roof deck type:  welded or bolted (pertinent  to
              internal  floating roof tanks only);
    

    -------
         0    the floating roof primary seal  location:   liquid- or vapor-mounted
              (pertinent to internal  and external  floating roof tanks);
         0    the types of deck fittings:   controlled or uncontrolled (pertinent
              to internal floating roof tanks only);
         •    the floating roof seal  system:   primary seals only or primary
              and secondary seals (pertinent  to internal and external floating
              roof tanks); and
         •    the use of add-on vapor control techniques:   incinerators,
              adsorbers, or refrigerated condensers (pertinent to fixed roof
              tanks only).
         Considering the optional types of equipment that can be used to
    store VOL, a hierarchy of equipment alternatives can be developed based
    on emission rate.  This hierarchy, in order of decreasing emission
    rates, is listed in Table 4-1.   The types of storage vessel equipment
    listed in Table 4-1 are described in detail in Chapter 3.  Chapter 3
    also outlines equations for estimating the emission rate for each of the
    major tank types and the equipment options that are available.  These
    equations and the test data used to develop the equations (discussed in
    Appendix C) form the basis for evaluating the effectiveness of the
    control techniques discussed in this chapter.
         The hierarchy of equipment options presented in Table 4-1 suggests
    that the emission rate of each control option relative to the others
    remains constant over all situations that may be found in the VOL storage
    industry.  This is the case among the internal floating roof tanks,
    fixed roof tanks, and external  floating roof tanks with liquid-mounted
    primary and secondary seals (Options 1, 3-7, and 9 in Table 4-1).  For
    the most part, the relationship also holds true over the range of conditions
    (e.g. vapor pressure, number of turnovers, etc.) commonly found in the
    industry for the vapor recovery or control and for the external floating
    roof tank, vapor-mounted primary and secondary seal (Options 2 and 8 in
    Table 4-1).  The ranking of these two options, however, does vary with
    the tank size and the vapor pressure of the material stored.  To illustrate
    the relative emission rates of the equipment options, the total emission
    rates for each option for a range of tank sizes (100 to 10,000 m2) has
                                      4-2
    

    -------
        Table 4-1.   HIERARCHY OF EQUIPMENT TYPES BASED  ON EMISSIONS  RATE'
    
    Control
    Option
    1
    2b
    Equipment description
    Fixed roof tank (baseline)
    External floating roof tank, vapor-mounted
    Abbreviated
    notation
    Fixed roof tank
    EFR
    primary and secondary seals
    
    Internal floating roof tank, bolted construc-
    tion (contact or noncontact), vapor-mounted
    primary seal only, with uncontrolled deck
    fittings
    
    Internal floating roof tank, bolted construc-
    tion (contact or noncontact), liquid-mounted
    primary seal only, with uncontrolled deck
    fittings
    
    Internal floating roof tank, bolted construc-
    tion (contact or noncontact), liquid-mounted
    primary seal only, with controlled deck
    fittings
    
    Internal floating roof tank, bolted construc-
    tion (contact or noncontact), liquid-mounted
    primary and secondary seals, with controlled
    deck fittings
    
    Internal floating roof tank, welded construc-
    tion (steel pan or FRP deck), liquid-mounted
    primary and secondary seals, with controlled
    deck fittings
    
    Fixed roof tank with thermal oxidation,
    carbon adsorption or refrigerated condenser
    add-on vapor recovery equipment
    
    External floating roof tank, deck types are
    welded construction, liquid-mounted primary
    and secondary seals, controlled deck fittings
    are not applicable
                                                                    vm,ss
                                                                  bIFRlm
                                                                bIFRlm,cf
                                                                TCD
                                                               birKlm,cf,ss
                                                              wIFRlm,cf,ss
                                                              Vapor  recovery
                                                                or control
                                                                 EFR
                                                                    1m,ss
     Listed in order  of  decreasing  emission  rates;  Control  Option  1
     possessing the  largest  emission  rate  and  Control  Option  9  possessing
     the smallest emission rate.
    3The rank based  on emissions  rate for  this option  varies  depending  on
     the specific parameters (e.g., number of  turnovers,  tank size)  of
     the tank being  considered.
                                      4-3
    

    -------
    been calculated and plotted in Figures 4-1 and 4-2.   Figures 4-1 and 4-2
    are for tanks with 50 and 10 turnovers per year,  respectively.   The
    plotted emission rates are for a stored VOL with  a vapor pressure (in
    liquid and condensed vapor phase) of 34.5 kPa (5  psia).   (See Figures 4-1
    and 4-2.)
         Apart from the intrinsic emission-affecting  characteristics of each
    tank type and equipment option,  the emission rate from all  storage
    vessel types is affected by the vapor pressure of the material  stored
    and the frequency of tank turnovers.   The impact  of the vapor pressure
    and the turnover rate on the emission rate, however, varies among the
    three major tank types.   Consequently, the hierarchy of equipment-types,
    or the relative emission rates of the various equipment types,  can be
    affected by these variables.  Comparison of Figures 4-1 and 4-2 illustrates
    the effects of turnovers.   The tank scenarios, for which emission rates
    are plotted, are identical in these figures except for the  turnover
    rate.   Figure 4-1 is for tanks experiencing 50 turnovers per year and
    Figure 4-2 is for tanks experiencing 10 turnovers per year.   It can be
    seen that decreasing the annual  turnover rate from 50 to 10 decreases
    the emission rate for fixed roof tanks and fixed  roof tanks with vapor
    recovery or control systems; conversely, the turnover rate  has  very
    little effect on internal  and external floating roof tank emission
    rates:  consequently, the higher the turnover rater the larger  the
    difference between fixed roof and floating roof tank emission rates.
    The rank or relative effectiveness of fixed roof  tanks equipped with
    vapor recovery or control  devices is adversely affected by  an increase
    in the turnover rate (i.e., the relative effectiveness as a control
    technique decreases).
         The effects that the vapor pressure of the stored VOL  has  on the
    relative emission rates of the equipment options  are not illustrated by
    Figure 4-1.  As the vapor pressure of the stored  liquid increases, the
    emission rates from both fixed and floating roof  tanks increase.   However,
    the vapor pressure functions in the equations used to estimate  losses
    from fixed and floating roof tanks differ, and, therefore,  the  percent
    increase in floating roof tank emissions is greater than the percent
                                      4-4
    

    -------
    1,000
    CD
    
    
    
    QJ
    
    
    
    to
    
    O
    
    to
      100
       10
        1.0
        0.1
        0.01
             10
    100
                                                    1,000
    10,000
                                             -(2)
                                             -(3)
                                             -(5)
                                             -(6)
    
                                             -(4)
                              Tank Capacity  (fr)
          Figure 4-1.  Emissions rates for alternative  equipment  types
               (50 turnovers per year; vapor pressure = 1.0  psia).
                                      4-5
    

    -------
         1,000
            100
    QJ
    4->
    (B
    I/)
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              1.0
              0.1
              0.01
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                    100
    
                    Tank Capacity (M
    ,000
    10,000
                Figure 4-2.   Emissions rates for alternative equipment types
                     (10 turnovers  per year; vapor pressure =1.0 psia).
                                              4-6
    

    -------
    increase in fixed roof tank emissions for a similar increment in vapor
    pressure.  (Note that this trend may reverse above 8.5 psia depending on
    the ratio of fixed roof tank breathing losses to working losses.)
    Consequently, an increase in vapor pressure decreases the difference
    between fixed and floating roof tank emission rates.  This is opposite
    to the effect of the turnover rate.   Within the range of conditions
    commonly found in VOL storage vessels, however, neither the effect of
    the vapor pressure nor the turnover rate changes the rank of the fixed
    roof tank and floating roof tank equipment options.
         Because the emission rate from all types of tanks is affected by a
    number of tank variables (i.e., vapor pressure, tank size, turnovers,
    the nature of the VOL), a single model tank is used as a common basis
    for evaluating effectiveness.   The model tank has the following
    characteristics:
         •    tank diameter - 9.1 m (30 ft);
         •    tank height - 9.1 m (30 ft);
         •    tank capacity - 606 m3 (160,000 gallons);
         •    vapor pressure of the VOL stored - 6.9 kPa (1 psia);
         t    density of VOL stored - 7.4 Ib/gallon;
         •    molecular weight of the product vapor - 80 Ib/lbmole; and
         •    turnover rate - 50 per year.
         The emissions associated with the model tank under each equipment
    option have been estimated with the equations presented in Chapter 3 and
    listed for comparison in Table 4-2.   The significance of these  emission
    estimates are discussed in the following sections.
    4.2  FIXED ROOF TANKS
         A fixed roof tank is the minimum acceptable equipment currently
    employed for the storage of VOL.   The discussion of control  techniques,
    therefore, will relate the effectiveness of alternative storage equipment
    types to the effectiveness of fixed roof tanks.   Working and breathing
    losses normally incurred from the storage of VOL in fixed roof  tanks can
    be reduced in any of the following ways:
         (1)  by the installation of an internal floating roof with rim
              seals;
                                      4-7
    

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         (2)  by the construction of an external floating roof tank with
              liquid-mounted primary and secondary seals in lieu of a fixed
              roof tank; and
         (3)  by the installation and use of a vapor recovery system (e.g.,
              carbon adsorption or refrigerated condensation) or a vapor
              control system (e.g., incineration).
         This list defines only the major types of control techniques applicable
    to the storage of VOL.  Optional equipment designs that influence the
    effectiveness of minimizing VOL emissions exist within each major type
    of control technique.   The following sections discuss the relative
    effectiveness of these equipment options.
    4.3  INTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS
         Internal floating roof tanks with rim seal systems emit less VOC
    per unit of storage than fixed roof tanks.  In new and replacement tank
    situations, internal floating roof tanks can be constructed in lieu of
    fixed roof tanks.  In this sense they are a control  technology for fixed
    roof tanks.  Internal  floating roofs also can be used directly as a
    control device for existing fixed roof tanks.  This  requires minor
    modifications to the tank shell (e.g., cutting roof  vents).
         Depending on the type of roof and seal system selected, an internal
    floating roof in the model fixed roof tank will reduce the emission rate
    by 93.4 to 97.3 percent.   An internal floating roof, regardless of
    design, reduces the area of exposed liquid surface in the tank.   Reducing
    the area of exposed liquid surface, in turn, decreases the evaporative
    losses.  The largest emissions reduction available from the control
    options is achieved by the presence of the floating  roof vapor barrier
    that precludes direct communication between a large  portion of the
    liquid surface and the atmosphere.   All  internal floating roofs share
    this design benefit.  The relative effectiveness of  one internal  floating
    roof design over another, therefore, is  a function of how well the
    floating roof can be sealed.
         From an emissions standpoint,  the most basic internal floating roof
    design is the noncontact, bolted, aluminum, internal floating roof with
    a single vapor-mounted wiper seal.   As discussed in  Section 3.2.4.3,
                                      4-9
    

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    there are four types of losses from this roof design.   These losses with
    an estimate of their respective percentage contributions to the total
    loss from the model  tank are as follows:
         (1)  rim or seal  losses;      32%
         (2)  fitting losses;          51%
         (3)  deck seam losses;  and    10%
         (4)  withdrawal losses.         7%
         With the exception of withdrawal  losses, which are inherent in all
    internal floating roof designs, the losses listed above can be reduced
    by employing roofs with alternative design features.   Table 4-3 lists
    alternative floating roof equipment designs and the model  tank emission
    rate associated with each type of equipment.   Table 4-3 is calculated
    from the emission estimates  in Table 4-2 by adding the appropriate
    emission components for each case.   The following sections elaborate on
    the alternative equipment that can be employed on internal floating
    roofs.   The discussion is arranged according to the major emissions
    categories.
    4.3.1  Controls for Fitting Losses
         Fitting losses occur through the penetrations in an internal  floating
    deck.  Penetrations exist to accommodate the various types of fittings
    that are required for proper operation of an internal  floating roof.
    Fitting losses can be controlled with gasketing and sealing techniques,
    or by the substitution of a lower emitting fitting type that serves the
    same purpose.  Table 4-4 lists the fitting types that are pertinent to
    emissions and an abbreviated description of the equipment that is  considered
    to be representative of "uncontrolled" fittings and "controlled" fittings.
    Certain fitting types are not amenable to control.  These are not  listed
    in Table 4-4.  Section 3.2.3 provides a more detailed description  of the
    various fitting types and the "control techniques" that can be applied.
         The effectiveness of fitting "controls" at reducing the overall
    emission rate is a function of the number of fittings of each type that
    are employed on a given tank.  On the model tank, which is representative
    of a typical medium sized tank, fitting "controls" reduce the total
                                      4-10
    

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                  Table  4-3.   EFFECTIVENESS  OF  INTERNAL  AND  EXTERNAL          ,
         FLOATING ROOF TANKS  COMPARED  TO  A FIXED  ROOF TANK FOR THE MODEL TANKJ
                                Internal
                 or external
                  roof tank
      floating
        Fixed roof tank
    Case  Equipment type*
    Total emission
     rate (Mg/yrr
     Reduction over
    fixed roof tank
     emission rate
    Total emission rate 1
    6.22 Mg/yr
    (Working loss = 5.34) 2
    (Breathing loss = 0.88)
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    
    9
    
    10
    
    11
    
    12
    
    13
    
    .IFR
    b vm
    bIFRvm,cf
    bIFRvm,cf,ss
    bIFRlm
    bIFRlm,cf
    TFR
    b1 Klm,cf,ss
    TFR
    wirKlm,cf,ss
    EFR4
    vm
    EFR4
    vm,ss
    EFRL
    1m
    EFR4
    1m, ss
    EFR4
    ms
    EFR4
    ms.ss
    0.408
    
    0.308
    0.228
    0.338
    0.238
    0.211
    0.171
    4.62
    
    1.55
    
    0.24
    
    0.064
    
    0.76
    
    0.068
    
    93.4%
    
    95.0%
    96.3%
    94.6%
    96.2%
    96.6%
    97.3%
    25.7%
    
    75.1%
    
    96.1%
    
    99.0%
    
    87.8%
    
    98.9%
    
     Model  tank  is  160,000  gallons  capacity;  30 feet  in diameter, 30 feet in
     height,  1 psia vapor pressure, 80  Ib/lbmole molecular weight of product and
     condensed product  vapor  and  50 turnovers per year.
    7
    "Nomenclature explanation - .IFR     f     - The subscript b or w indicates a
     bolted or welded roof  deck;  IFR TnSicates an internal floating roof type; EFR
     indicates an external  floating roof tank type; the subscript vm, 1m, or ms
     indicates a vapor-mounted, liquid-mounted or metallic shoe primary seal; the
     subscript cf indicates controlled  fittings as described in the notes of
     Table  4-2;  lack of the cf subscript indicates uncontrolled fittings; the
     subscript ss indicates a rim-mounted  secondary seal; a lack of the ss
     subscript indicates that no  secondary seal is employed.
     Sum  of seal loss,  fitting loss, deck  loss and working loss from Table 4-2.
    
     External floating  roofs  are  all welded construction and do not incur
     appreciable deck seam  losses.
                                        4-11
    

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                      Table 4-4.   "CONTROLLED"  AND "UNCONTROLLED"
                         INTERNAL FLOATING ROOF DECK FITTINGS
     Deck fitting type
                                            Equipment descriptions
           Uncontrolled
            Controlled
    1.  Access hatch
    2.  Automatic gauge
         float well
    3.  Column wel1
    4.  Ladder well
    
    5.  Sample pipe  or
         well
    6.  Vacuum breaker
    Unbolted, ungasketed cover*;
      or unbolted, gasketed
      cover
    
    Unbolted, ungasketed cover*;
      or unbolted, gasketed
      cover
    
    Built-up column-sliding
      cover, ungasketed*;
    built-up column-sliding
      cover, gasketed;
    pipe column-sliding cover,
      ungasketed; or
    pipe column-sliding cover,
      gasketed
    Ungasketed sliding cover*     Gasketed sliding cover
    Bolted, gasketed cover
    Bolted, gasketed cover
    Pipe column-flexible
      fabric sleeve seal
    Slotted pipe-sliding cover,
      ungasketed; or
    slotted pipe-sliding cover,
      gasketed
    
    Weighted mechanical
      actuation, ungasketed*
    Sample well with slit
      fabric seal, 10% open
      area*
    Weighted mechanical
      actuation, gasketed
    *The fittings assumed in the uncontrolled case for estimating the effective-
     ness of fittings controls are marked with a single asterisk in the above
     table.   This fittings scenario is representative of no single tank, but
     rather is the composite of what is estimated based on a survey of users and
     manufacturers to be typical of fittings on the majority of tanks currently
     in service.   Note that the sample well  with split fabric seal was used in the
     "uncontrolled" case for calculating emissions because it is in common use.
     It was also used in the "controlled" case because it is the lowest emitting
     fitting type.
                                         4-12
    

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    fitting loss by about 48 percent.  Since fitting losses are about 51 percent
    of the total internal floating roof tank loss (i.e., for an IFR   case),
    the fitting "controls" reduce the overall internal floating roof tank
    emission rate by about 25 percent over the IFR   without fitting controls.
    The additional emission reduction obtained by controlling fitting emissions
    increases the control efficiency of the IFR from 93.4 percent to
    95.0 percent over a fixed roof tank as the base case.
    4.3.2  Controls for Seal Losses
         Internal floating roof seal losses can be minimized in either of
    two ways or their combination:
         (1)  by employing liquid-mounted primary seals instead of vapor-mounted
              seals;
         (2)  by employing secondary wiper seals in addition to primary
              seals.
         All seal systems should be designed, installed and maintained to
    minimize the gap between the seals and the tank shell.   The test data
    discussed in Appendix C support the general conclusion that seal losses
    increase rapidly when the seal gap exceeds 63.5 square centimeters per
    meter of tank diameter (3 inVft diameter).  Below this level, the
    effect of seal gap on seal  loss is much less pronounced.
         The effectiveness of alternate internal floating roof seal systems
    can be evaluated through inspection of the rim seal loss factors (K )
    that have been developed based on test data (summarized in Appendix C)
    for estimating losses for various seal systems.   These factors are
    listed in Table 4-5.   (Note these factors are for seals with average
    gaps.)  Also listed in Table 4-5 are control efficiency and incremental
    control efficiency estimates.   The control efficiency estimates (column 3
    in Table 4-5) indicate the  effectiveness of the various seal systems at
    reducing emissions over the level achieved by a vapor-mounted primary
    seal.   (Note that the vapor-mounted primary seal  is assumed to be the
    baseline control level to provide a common basis  of comparison.)  The
    incremental  control  efficiency estimates (column  4 in Table 4-5) demonstrate
    the effectiveness of each seal system relative to the next less stringent
    seal  system (i.e., the next higher emitting seal  system).   These
    efficiencies are calculated directly from the Kr  values.
                                      4-13
    

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                 Table 4-5.   INTERNAL FLOATING ROOF RIM SEAL SYSTEMS
                      SEAL LOSS FACTORS AND CONTROL EFFICIENCIES
                                           Seal loss control
                               K          efficiency related        Incremental
       Seal system       (Ib-mole/ft-yr)     to baseline        control efficiency
    Vapor-mounted
    primary seal only
    
    Liquid-mounted
    primary seal only
    
    Vapor-mounted
    primary and
    secondary seals
    
    Liquid-mounted
    primary and
    seconadary seals
    6.7
    3.0
    2.5
    1.6
    IFR baseline (0%)
           55%
           63%
           76%
    55%
    17%
    36%
                                         4-14
    

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         Application of a liquid-mounted primary and secondary seal system
    in place of a vapor-mounted primary seal would reduce seal losses an
    estimated 76 percent.  On the model tank, where these seal losses represent
    roughly one-third of the total loss from the tank (i.e., .IFR   case),
    this 76% reduction in seal losses translates to a 24% reduction in the
    total loss from the floating roof tank.  Relative to fixed roof tank
    emissions, the additional control provided by the liquid-mounted primary
    and secondary seal system over the vapor-mounted primary seal system
    increases the effectiveness of the internal floating roof from 95.0 percent
    to 96.2 percent.   (See Case 2 vs. Case 5 in Table 4-3.)
         The currently available emissions test data suggest that the location
    of the seal (i.e., vapor- or liquid-mounted) and the presence of a
    secondary seal are the primary factors affecting seal losses.  A liquid-
    mounted primary seal has a lower emissions rate and thus a higher control
    efficiency, than a vapor-mounted seal.  A secondary seal, be it in
    conjunction with a liquid- or a vapor-mounted primary seal, provides an
    additional level  of control.   The emission test data (addressed in
    Appendix C) and the corresponding equations for estimating emissions
    (presented in Chapter 3) indicate that the type of seal employed (i.e.,
    resilient tube seal, liquid-filled seal, etc.) plays a less significant
    role in determining the emissions rate.  The type of seal is important
    only to the extent that the seal  must be suitable for the particular
    application to which it is applied.  For instance, a blade-type,
    elastomeric, wiper seal  is commonly employed as a vapor-mounted primary
    seal or as a secondary seal for an internal floating roof.  Because of
    its shape and materials of construction, this seal may not be suitable
    for use as a liquid-mounted primary seal.  Resilient foam-filled tube
    and wedge shaped seals,  on the other hand, can be used as both liquid-
    and vapor-mounted seals.  Section 3.2.2 provides additional information
    on the types of seals that are suitable for various applications.   The
    point to be made here, however, is that the seal  type has a small  impact
    on seal  losses relative to the impact of the location of the seal  and
    the presence of a secondary seal.  Appendix C addresses the test data
    pertinent to this conclusion.
                                      4-15
    

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    4.3.3  Deck Seam Losses
         Depending on the type of floating roof employed, deck seam losses
    can contribute to the total loss from an internal  floating roof.   For
    the model tank used as a basis for comparison throughout this section
    (i.e., tJFRvm), deck seam losses are 10% of the total loss.   When seal
    losses and fitting losses are controlled, the relative contribution to
    the total loss from deck seams increases.  In the  case of a bolted,
    noncontact, internal floating roof with liquid-mounted primary seals,
    controlled deck fitting losses, and secondary seals  (. IFR,    f   ),
                          3                     J         b   lm,cf,ss
    deck seam losses contribute about 20 percent of the total loss.
         Deck seam losses are inherent in several floating roof types.   Any
    roof constructed of sheets or panels fastened by mechanical  fasteners
    (bolted) is expected to experience deck seam losses.   Two roof types
    were tested to determine deck seam losses (see Appendix C).   The first
    was a bolted,  aluminum, noncontact roof and the second was a bolted,
    aluminum panel-type, contact roof.  The design of  the mechanical  fasteners
    employed on these two roof types varies significantly.   In addition,
    one roof type floats above the liquid surface while the other floats in
    contact with the liquid surface.   Despite these differences, the seams
    on these two roof types were found to emit at roughly the same rate per
    meter of seam.  Deck seam losses, therefore, are considered to be a
    function of the length of the seams only and not the type of the seam or
    its position relative to the liquid surface.
         The control for deck seam losses is achieved  by selection of a roof
    type with vapor-tight deck seams.  The welded deck seams on steel pan
    roofs are vapor tight.   Also, it is likely that the fiberglass lapped
    seams of a glass fiber reinforced polyester roof (FRP) are vapor tight
    as long as the permeability of the liquid through  the seam lapping
    materials is negligible.  Some manufacturers provide gaskets for bolted
    metal deck seams.  Deck seam gaskets also may retard deck seam losses by
    providing an additional barrier to diffusion and other possible deck
    seam loss mechanisms.  The permeability of the liquid through the gasketing
    material also would be a factor.   No test data are available to evaluate
    the effects of gaskets on deck seam losses.
                                      4-16
    

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         Selection of a welded roof rather than a bolted roof will eliminate
    deck seam losses.  The elimination of deck seam losses improves the
    overall effectiveness relative to a fixed roof tank of an internal
    floating roof with liquid-mounted primary seals, secondary seals and
    controlled fitting losses from a 96.6 to 97.3 percent control efficiency
    (see Case 6 vs. Case 7 in Table 4-3).
    4.4  EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS
         External floating roof tanks emit less VOC per unit of storage
    capacity than fixed roof tanks.  Depending on the rim seal system employed,
    they also can emit less VOC per unit of storage capacity than internal
    floating roof tanks.   In the sense that external floating roof tanks may
    be used in place of fixed or floating roof tanks in new or replacement
    tank situations, they represent a control technology for the storage of
    VOL.
         External floating roof tanks do not experience the fitting losses
    or deck seam losses that occur with most internal  floating roof tanks.
    The external floating roof tanks are constructed almost exclusively of
    welded steel.  This accounts for the absence of deck seam losses.
    Further, because of the roof design, few if any deck penetrations are
    necessary to accommodate fittings.
         Penetrations in an external floating roof tank generally are needed
    only for some types of antirotation guides and emergency liquid drains.
    These fitting types are not employed on all  external floating roofs.
    Because the number of deck penetrations in an external floating roof is
    small relative to the number in an internal  floating roof, fitting
    losses from external  floating roof tanks are assumed to be negligible.
    No emission test data, however, are available to verify this assumption.
         Rim seal losses  and withdrawal losses that are similar in nature to
    those experienced by internal floating roof tanks, do occur with external
    floating roof tanks.   The only difference in this  respect between external
    floating roofs and internal floating roofs is that the external floating
    roof seal losses are believed to be dominated by wind induced mechanisms.
    Withdrawal  losses in external floating roof tanks, as with internal
    floating roof tanks,  are entirely a function of the turnover rate and
                                      4-17
    

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    inherent tank shell characteristics.   No control  measures have been
    identified that are applicable to withdrawal  losses from floating roof
    tanks.
         Rim seal losses from external floating roof  tanks vary depending on
    the type of seal system employed.  As with internal floating roof rim
    seal systems, the location of the seal (i.e., vapor- or liquid-mounted)
    is the most important factor affecting the effectiveness of resilient
    seals for external floating roof tanks.   Liquid-mounted seals are more
    effective than vapor-mounted seals at reducing rim seal losses.   Metallic
    shoe seals, which commonly are employed on only external floating roof
    tanks,  are more effective than vapor-mounted resilient seals but less
    effective than liquid-mounted resilient seals.
         The relative effectiveness of the various types of seals can be
    evaluated by analyzing the seal factors (K  factor and wind velocity
    exponent, N) contained in Table 3-4 of the previous chapter.   These seal
    factors were developed on the basis of emission tests conducted on a
    pilot scale tank.  The results of the emission tests are published in an
    American Petroleum Institute bulletin.   To compare the relative
    effectiveness of the alternate seal systems,  the  seal factors were used
    with an assumed wind velocity (10 MPH) to generate directly comparable
    emission factors.  These factors, which have meaning only in comparison
    to one another, are listed in Table 4-6 for alternative seal  systems.
    In addition, the table contains control efficiencies (relative to the
    least effective seal system) and incremental  control efficiencies (relative
    to the next higher emitting seal system) calculated directly from the
    emission factors.  From the information in Table  4-6, it is clear that
    vapor-mounted primary seals on external floating  roof tanks are
    significantly less effective than liquid-mounted  or metallic shoe primary
    seals.   Further, secondary seals provide an additional measure of control.
         Considering the model tank that is used as a basis of comparison
    throughout this chapter, an external  floating roof tank with liquid-mounted
    primary seals has about the same effectiveness as an internal floating
    roof tank with liquid-mounted primary seals and controlled fitting
    losses (see Case 10 vs. Case 5 in Table 4-3).  An external floating roof
                                      4-18
    

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                     Table 4-6.  EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANK
                        SEAL SYSTEM CONTROL EFFICIENCIES3
    
    
    
    Seal system description
    Emissions
    factor N
    Ks (10)"
    Seal loss
    control .
    efficiency
    Incremental seal
    loss control
    efficiency
    Vapor-mounted resilient
      primary seal only
    Vapor-mounted resilient
      primary seal and
      secondary seal
    
    Metallic shoe primary
      seal only
    
    Metallic shoe primary
      seal with a shoe-
      mounted wiper seal
    
    Liquid-mounted resilient
      primary seal only
    
    Metallic shoe primary
      seal with rim-mounted
      secondary seal
    
    Liquid-mounted resilient
      primary seal with rim-
      mounted secondary seal
    239       EFR assumed
             baseline seal
              technology
    
     80           66%
     38           84%
    
    
     13           95%
    
    
    
     11           95%
    
    
      2.0         99%
    
    
    
      1.8         99%
        66%
    
    
    
        53%
    
    
        66%
    Negligible
    difference
    
        82%
    Negligible
    difference
     For well designed seal systems with "average" gaps between the seal and
     the tank shell.   Calculated from the K  and N values listed in
     Table 3-4.                             s
     Rim seal loss control efficiency relative to the least effective seal
     alternative.
    
    cRim seal loss control efficiency relative to the next less effective
     seal alternative.
                                      4-19
    

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    tank with liquid-mounted primary and secondary seals yields the highest
    level of control achievable with the floating roof tank technology.   A
    welded internal floating roof tank with liquid-mounted primary and
    secondary seals and controlled fitting losses reduces emissions over the
    fixed roof tank level by about 97.3 percent (see Case 7 in Table 4-3).
    An external floating roof tank with liquid-mounted primary and secondary
    seals exceeds this control level and achieves an estimated 99.0 percent
    reduction in emissions over the fixed roof tank level.   The percentage
    reduction in emissions over the fixed roof tank case will  vary, of
    course, with tank characteristics (e.g.,  tank size, vapor  pressure of
    material stored).   The external floating  roof with liquid-mounted primary
    and secondary seals, however, remains the most effective floating roof
    tank technology from an emissions reduction standpoint.   It must be
    recognized that this conclusion, as with  all  the conclusions in this
    chapter about the relative effectiveness  of floating roof  designs, is
    based on the results of emission tests conducted on a pilot scale tank
    (summarized in Appendix C).  The test program was extensive in nature,
    but caution must be exercised when extrapolating results and conclusions
    to full size facilities that can be influenced by a large  number of
    factors that cannot be easily controlled  in a real environment (e.g.,
    wind speed, temperature, etc.).
    4.5  VAPOR CONTROL OR RECOVERY SYSTEMS ON FIXED ROOF TANKS
         Losses from fixed roof tanks can be  reduced by collecting the
    vapors and either recovering or oxidizing the VOC.  In a typical vapor
    control system, vapors remain in the tank until the internal pressure
    reaches a preset level.  A pressure switch, which senses the pressure
    buildup in the tank, then activates blowers to collect and transfer the
    vapors through a closed vent system.   A redundant blower system is
    provided in this service to ensure that no vapors will  be  released to
    the atmosphere in the event of a primary  blower malfunction.  The closed
    vent system ducts the vapors to a recovery or oxidizer unit.
         To prevent flashbacks from the control equipment,  the vapors in the
    closed vent system from the tank may be saturated above the upper explosive
    limit in a saturator.  Other safety precautions also are exercised such
                                      4-20
    

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    as nitrogen blanketing and use of flame arresters.  The particular
    precautions employed vary widely depending on the design of individual
    systems and the operating preference of individual companies.
    4.5.1  Carbon Adsorption
         Although there is little commercial operating experience for VOL
    applications of carbon adsorption, carbon adsorption for recovery of
    other organic vapors has been demonstrated, and the application of this
                                                       4
    technology to VOL recovery should not be difficult.    The general principle
    of adsorption is described below to facilitate the description of a
    carbon adsorption unit.
         Carbon adsorption uses the principle of carbon's affinity for
    nonpolar hydrocarbons to remove VOC from the vapor phase.   Activated
    carbon is the adsorbent; the VOC vapor that will be removed from the
    airstream is referred to as the adsorbate.   The VOC vapor is adsorbed by
    a physical process at the surface of the adsorbent.   The proposed VOC
    carbon adsorption unit consists of a minimum of two carbon beds plus a
    regeneration system.  Two or more beds are necessary to ensure that
    one bed will be available for use while the other is being regenerated.
         The carbon beds can be regenerated using either steam or vacuum
    (Figure 4-3).   In steam regeneration, steam is circulated through the
    bed, raising the VOC vapor pressure.   The vaporized VOC is thus removed
    with the steam.   The steam-VOC mixture is condensed, usually by an
    indirect cooling water stream, and routed to a separator.   The VOL is
    then decanted and returned to storage, and the contaminated water is
    sent to the plant wastewater system for treatment.  Cooling water,
    electricity, and steam are the required utilities for a steam regeneration
    system.   The other method of regenerating the carbon, vacuum regeneration,
    is performed by pulling a high vacuum on the carbon bed.   The VOC vapor
    desorbed by this process is condensed and returned to storage.
    4.5.2  Oxidation Units
         Thermal and catalytic oxidizers have been used successfully to
    dispose of VOC vapors in other industries.   Thermal  oxidation is the
    most direct means of VOC vapor disposal, uses the fewest moving parts
    and is the simplest to operate.   The vapor mixture is injected via a
                                      4-21
    

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                         4-22
    

    -------
    burner manifold into the combustion area of the incinerator.  Pilot
    burners provide the ignition source, and supplementally fueled burners
    add heat when required.  The amount of combustion air needed is regulated
    by temperature-controlled dampers.  Figure 4-4 shows a typical thermal
    oxidation unit.
         Flashback prevention and burner stability can be achieved by saturating
    the vapors with a suitable hydrocarbon to a concentration above the
    upper explosive limit.   In addition, two water seal flame arresters can
    be used to ensure that flashbacks do not propagate from the burner to
    the rest of the closed vent system.  As mentioned, safety practices and
    equipment vary widely depending on system design and the operating
    preference of individual companies.  A significant advantage of thermal
    oxidizers is that they can dispose of a wide range of VOLs.   Fuel
    consumption and catalyst repacement are the major cost factors in
    considering thermal and catalytic oxidation.
    4.5.3  Refrigerated Vent Condensers
         A refrigerated vent condenser collects the VOL vapors exiting
    through the vents and condenses them.   The vents open and close as the
    pressure within the tank increases and decreases.   Pressure changes
    occur when the tank is  being filled or emptied, or when the temperature
    changes.  Condensers are designed to handle the maximum flow rate expected
    at any given time, which usually occurs during filling.   Freezing of
    moisture or VOL is handled by a defrost-separation-recovery system.   The
    efficiency of vent condensers depends upon the vapor concentration and
    the condensing temperature.
    4.5.4  Control Efficiencies of Vapor Recovery or Control Systems
         The carbon adsorption vapor control  system is estimated to reduce
    emissions from the VOL storage vessel  by approximately 98 percent.  This
    efficiency is based on  a measured carbon adsorption unit efficiency of
    98 percent during gasoline loading operations.
         The thermal  oxidation vapor control  system is estimated to reduce
    emissions from the VOC  storage vessel  by approximately 98 percent.  This
    efficiency is based on  a measured thermal oxidation unit efficiency of
    98 percent during a wide variety of operations. '    At very low flow
    rates, or at low VOC inlet concentrations, somewhat less than 98 percent
    of the VOC vapors leaving the storage vessel may be incinerated.
                                      4-23
    

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                     OUTLET VAPOR
     PILOT
    BURNER
        FUEL
    t-
    
     VAPOR
    BURNER
                        I
                                   STACK
                                   MAIN BURNER
           AIR DAMPER
                                                   VOL
                                                VAPOR SOURCE
                        WATER SEAL-
                                      ,. 4
               Figure 4-4. Thermal oxidation unit.
                              4-24
    

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    4.6  REFERENCES
    
    1.   The American Petroleum Institute (API), Draft Document, Evaporation
         Loss from Internal Floating Roof Tanks, API Publication 2519,
         Third Edition, 1982.
    
    2.   McAllister, Dr. R.  Memorandum to the Volatile Organic Liquid
         Storage Standard Docket (No. A-80-51) regarding permeability losses
         through seal materials and deck seal loss mechanisms.  Dated
         February 1983.
    
    3.   Evaporation Loss from External Floating Roof Tanks.  Bulletin
         No. 2517.   American Petroleum Institute.  Washington, D.C.  1980.
    
    4.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Evaluation of Control Technology
         from Benzene Transfer Operations, Research Triangle Park,
         North Carolina, EPA-450/3-78-018, April 1978.
    
    5.   Letter from McLaughlin, Nancy D., U.S.  Environmental Protection
         Agency to D. Ailor, TRW Inc.  Comments on the benzene storage model
         plants package.  May 3, 1979.
    
    6.   Letter and attachments from D. C.  Mascone, EPA/CPB, to J.  R. Farmer,
         EPA.  June 11, 1980.   Memo concerning thermal  incinerator performance
         for NSPS.
    
    7.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  Organic Chemical Manufacturing,
         Volume 4:   Combustion Control  Devices.   Research Triangle Park,
         North Carolina.  Publication No. EPA-450/3-80-026.   December 1980.
                                      4-25
    

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                      5.   MODIFICATIONS AND RECONSTRUCTION
    
         After the new source performance standards (NSPS) have been promulgated
    in accordance with Section 111 of the Clean Air Act, as amended, all
    affected facilities will include those facilities constructed, modified,
    or reconstructed after the date of promulgation.   The NSPS could also
    apply to an existing facility as defined in 40 CFR 60.2.   An existing
    facility would become an affected facility if it were determined to be
    modified or reconstructed.   This chapter describes the conditions under
    which an existing facility would become subject to the standards of
    performance.   The enforcement division of the appropriate EPA regional
    office would make the final determination as to whether a source were
    modified or reconstructed and would therefore become an affected facility.
    This chapter also defines potential modifications and reconstructions.
    5.1  PROVISIONS FOR MODIFICATIONS AND RECONSTRUCTION
    5.1.1  Definition of Modification
         It is important that these provisions be understood before considering
    examples of potential modifications.   Section 60.14 defines modification
    as follows:
         "Except as provided under paragraphs (e) and (f) of this
         section, any physical  or operational change to an existing
         facility which results in an increase in the emission rate to
         the atmosphere of any pollutant to which a standard applies
         shall be considered a modification within the meaning of
         Section 111 of the Act.   Upon modification,  an existing facility
         shall become an affected facility for each pollutant to which
         a standard applies and for which there is an increase in the
         emission rate to the atmosphere."
         Paragraph (e) lists certain physical or operational  changes that
    are not considered modifications, regardless of any changes in the
    emission rates.   These changes are:
    

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         1.    Routine maintenance, repair, and replacement.
         2.    An increase in the production rate not requiring a capital
              expenditure as defined in Section 60.2.
         3.    An increase in the hours of operation.
         4.    Use of an alternative fuel  or raw material  if, prior to the
              standard, the existing facility was designed to accommodate
              that alternate fuel  or raw material, except for conversion to
              coal required for energy consideration.
         5.    The addition or use of any system or device whose primary
              function is the reduction of air pollutants, except when an
              emission control  system is removed or replaced by a system
              considered to be less efficient.
         6.    The relocation or change in ownership of an existing facility.
         Paragraph (b) specifies that an increase in emissions is defined in
    kilograms per hour and delineates the methods for determining the increase,
    including the use of emission factors, material balances, continuous
    monitoring systems, and manual emission tests.  Paragraph (c) affirms
    that the addition of an affected facility to a stationary source does
    not make any other facility within that source subject to standards of
    performance.  Paragraph (f) simply provides for superseding any
    conflicting provisions.
    5.1.2  Definition of Reconstruction
         Section 60.15 regarding reconstruction states:
              "If an owner or operator of an existing facility proposes
         to replace components, and the fixed capital  cost of the new
         components exceeds 50 percent of the fixed capital  cost that
         would be required to construct a comparable entirely new
         facility, he shall notify the Administrator of the proposed
         replacements.  The notice must be postmarked 60 days (or as
         soon as practicable) before construction of the replacements
         is commenced. .  ."
         The reconstruction provision of the regulation prevents an owner or
    operator from continuously replacing an operating process, except for
    support structures, frames, housing, etc. in an attempt to avoid
    compliance with NSPS.
                                     5-2
    

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    5.2  APPLICABILITY TO VOLATILE ORGANIC LIQUID STORAGE
         This section outlines the applicability of the modification provisions
    to existing plants and describes the applicability of reconstruction to
    this industry.   This is only a general discussion of changes that would
    require an existing facility to comply with the standard.   The final
    determination would be made by the appropriate EPA regional office on a
    case-by-case basis.
    5.2.1  Modification Examples
         Few, if any, modifications can be made to a storage vessel.   Because
    replacement of frame, housings, and supporting structures would not
    increase emissions from a storage vessel, such a replacement would not
    constitute a modification.  For the purposes of applicability of these
    CAA provisions to a storage vessel, a change in the stored liquid from a
    reactive VOC non-emitting liquid to a reactive VOC emitting liquid does
    not constitute an operational change; the vessel operation would be
    identical for all liquids.  A change of liquids, therefore, does not
    constitute a modification.
    5.2.2  Reconstruction Examples
         The reconstruction provision of the regulation is relatively
    straightforward in that, regardless of the VOC emission rate, an existing
    facility may become an affected facility if the fixed capital cost of
    new components exceeds 50 percent of the fixed capital cost of a comparable,
    entirely new facility.   It is expected that only under catastrophic
    circumstances (e.g., total destruction of the storage vessel by fire or
    explosion, collapse of an external floating roof or collapse of a fixed
    roof) would a facility be affected by the NSPS reconstruction provision.
    Because associated structures (frames, housing, etc.) are not part of a
    tank, replacement of such a structure would not constitute a reconstruction.
                                     5-3
    

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                    6.  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES AND MODEL PLANTS
    
         This chapter defines control options that are to be evaluated as
    regulatory alternatives in developing standards of performance for the
    storage of volatile organic liquids (VOL).  The technologies that constitute
    the control options are applicable to specific storage vessel types.   A
    regulatory alternative refers to a potential requirement that a particular
    control technology or an array of technologies (a control option) be
    applied to all new, modified, and reconstructed storage vessels.   In
    evaluating the economic impacts of the regulatory alternatives, model
    plants are employed.   Both the regulatory alternatives and the model
    plants are presented in this chapter.
    6.1  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
         The methodology for selecting the Best Demonstrated Technology (BDT)
    for VOL storage vessels focuses on the impacts and costs of applying
    control options to specific tank types.   Discussions of this methodology
    and the selection of BDT are contained in the preamble.   The nationwide
    environmental  and economic impacts of BDT, however, must be evaluated.
    Therefore, in  order to structure and to perform these analyses, potential
    control options that might comprise BDT have been arrayed into regulatory
    alternatives.
         Three criteria were used to select control options for evaluation
    as regulatory  alternatives.   They are:
         1.   Potential emission reduction;
         2.   Cost; and
         3.   Applicability.
    In Chapter 4 the potential control technologies that may reasonably
    constitute BDT are identified.   Table 4-2 presents the potential  emission
    reduction obtained by various equipment types on various emission sources,
    

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    and Table 4-3 presents the emission reduction obtained over a fixed roof
    tank baseline.   In Chapter 8, Tables 8-20 through 8-24 present the
    individual tank cost effectiveness analysis of potential control
    technologies for BDT.
         To analyze the impacts of regulatory alternatives, the emissions
    from the baseline (no additional  Federal regulation) must be calculated.
    Therefore, Regulatory Alternative 0 would require no additional equipment
    over currently required controls  and represents the VOL baseline.   All
    emissions and costs of subsequent regulatory alternatives are analyzed
    relative to the baseline data.
         Current regulations (the baseline) allow fixed roof storage vessels
    to be constructed in certain size and vapor pressure ranges.  Because
    BDT could involve internal floating roof tanks, it was decided to examine
    the impacts of requiring that fixed roof tanks be constructed as internal
    floating roof tanks.   As the tables in Chapter 4 demonstrate, building
    new internal floating roof tanks  with vapor-mounted primary seals and
    typical fittings in place of fixed roof tanks, provides a 93 percent
    emission reduction in the model  storage vessel.  (The model vessel is
    described in Chapter 4.)  This is equivalent to the level of control
    required by the NSPS for petroleum liquid storage vessels.   This equipment
    (internal floating roof, vapor-mounted primary seal, and uncontrolled
    fittings) was selected as Regulatory Alternative I.
         Internal floating roof tanks have four emission sources.  These
    are:
         1.   Rim seal losses;
         2.   Fitting losses;
         3.   Deck seam losses; and
         4.   Working losses.
    Equipment that will reduce emissions from these sources is available.
    Therefore, potential  emission reductions from these sources were examined
    for the development of regulatory alternatives.
         As demonstrated in Chapter 4, equipping internal floating roof
    tanks with liquid-mounted primary seals instead of vapor-mounted primary
    seals would provide an additional emissions reduction by decreasing the
    rim seal losses.  To examine the  impacts of this equipment, Regulatory
                                     6-2
    

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    Alternative II would require each tank to be equipped with an internal
    floating roof with a liquid-mounted primary seal but would allow
    uncontrolled fittings.   This alternative would reduce fixed roof tank
    emissions by 95 percent.
         The next more stringent control option would require an emission
    reduction from the fittings on internal floating roof tanks.  To examine
    the impacts of this equipment, Regulatory Alternative III is formulated
    by requiring that the internal floating roof be equipped with a liquid
    mounted primary seal and controlled fittings.   This alternative would
    reduce fixed roof tank emissions by about 96 percent.
         At this point in the development of regulatory alternatives all the
    emission sources of the internal floating roof with the exception of
    working losses and deck seams have been controlled.   There are no equipment
    controls for working losses, so no regulatory alternative to examine the
    impacts of controlling these losses could be developed.   In examining
    controls for deck seams, the information presented in Tables 8-21 and 8-22
    demonstrates that it is more cost effective to require a further emission
    reduction from the rim seal area than from deck seams.  To examine this,
    Regulatory Alternative IV was formulated by requiring that an internal
    floating roof be equipped with a liquid-mounted primary seal and a
    secondary seal and with controlled fittings.   This group of control
    technologies reduces the fixed roof tank emissions by about 97 percent.
         Regulatory Alternative V requires that deck seam emissions be
    reduced through the use of welded decks in addition to the equipment
    required by Alternative IV.  This array of equipment reduces fixed roof
    tank emissions by about 97 percent.
         At this point in the development of regulatory alternatives all of
    the emissions sources from internal  floating roof tanks have been reduced
    to the greatest possible extent.   Therefore,  other control options that
    do not involve internal floating roofs were examined.
         Tanks could be equipped with vapor control recovery systems.   Such
    a system would be expected to provide about 95 percent emission reduction.
    This system is not as efficient as the control equipment required by
    Regulatory Alternatives IV and V and is much more costly.   Therefore,
    vapor control  or recovery systems were rejected as a regulatory alternative.
                                     6-3
    

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         External floating roof tanks with liquid-mounted or mechanical
    shoes primary seals and a secondary seal  were examined as a possible
    regulatory alternative.   External floating roof tanks are only available
    in size ranges that are generally larger  than the size range of most VOL
    tanks; 59 percent of VOL storage vessels  are projected to have diameters
    less than 6 meters.  For these reasons external floating roof tanks were
    not selected for evaluation as a regulatory alternative.
         In summary, the regulatory alternatives would require that each
    vessel storing a VOL be equipped with the control technology described
    as follows:
         •    Regulatory Alternative 0 - no additional control over baseline.
         t    Regulatory Alternative I - an internal floating roof with a
              vapor-mounted primary seal (IFR  ).
         0    Regulatory Alternative II - an  internal floating roof with a
              liqud-mounted primary seal (IFR, ).
         •    Regulatory Alternative III - an internal floating roof with a
              liquid-mounted primary seal and controlled deck fittings
         •    Regulatory Alternative IV - an internal  floating roof with a
              liquid-mounted primary seal controlled deck fittings, and a
              continuous secondary seal (IFR,    ~   ).
         •    Regulatory Alternative V - a welded internal floating roof
              with a liquid-mounted primary seal, controled deck fittings
              and a continuous secondary seal  ( IFR,   ,   ).
                                               w    ImjCf.ss
    6.2  MODEL PLANTS
         Model plants are developed for use in evaluating the worst-case
    economic impacts that the regulatory alternatives  may have on affected
    industries.   For VOL storage, as is discussed in Chapter 7, nationwide
    impacts are projected from an extrapolation of the 1977 tank volume and
    vapor pressure distribution as presented in Section 3.1.   The model
    plants described in this chapter are used to evaluate potential adverse
    economic impacts on individual plants.   (The economic impact analyses
                                     6-4
    

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    are presented in Chapter 9.)  Because there is a greater potential
    adverse economic impact upon small facilities, small plants or facilities
    are selected as worse-case examples.  The model plants consist of a
    model terminal and a model producer/consumer.   These model plants are
    based on actual facilities that have parameters suitable for use in the
    economic impact analysis.
    6.2.1  Model Terminal
         The model terminal data are presented in Table 6-1.  These data are
    formatted to facilitate comparison with the nationwide VOL storage
    terminal statistics presented in Chapter 3 (see Table 3-3).  The model
    has roughly as many vessels as the average terminal.  However, for the
    most part, the vessels in the model terminal are smaller in size than
    the vessels in the average terminal.  In general, small vessels are more
    expensive per unit volume of storage capacity to control than larger
    vessels.  Also, the volume of material that passes through the model
    terminal is small.   Because of this, the additional costs that result
    from the implementation of regulatory alternatives are higher on a
    per-volume-throughput basis.   Finally, as a general rule, any small
    business faces higher costs of capital than a large corporation.   It is
    assumed that the model terminal  operates as an independent facility and
    would, therefore, face these higher costs of capital.
    6.2.2  Model Producer/Consumer
         The model producer/consumer represents a small chemical manufacturing
    facility.   It is assumed that a small facility is likely to be more
    severely affected by the regulatory alternatives under consideration.
    The model  producer/consumer facility consists of small vessels and
    produces small amounts of an inexpensive product.   The lower product
    price minimizes potential recovery credits associated with the installation
    of controls.
         The model producer/consumer data are presented in Table 6-2.   The
    model facility produces fewer than 4.54 x 106 kilograms per year (107 pounds
    per year)  of a product that sells for $0.35 per kilogram ($0.16 per
    pound).   Both the production capacity and product price for the model
    producer/consumer are smaller than the average capacity and price for
    organic chemicals estimated from the Organic Chemical  Producters Data
    Base (see Chapter 9).
                                     6-5
    

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                      Table 6-1.   MODEL TERMINAL
    Terminal capacity             - 14,000 m3 (=3.6 x 106 gal)
    
    Number of tanks               - 48
    
    Volume of smallest tank       - 3.8 m3 (si,000 gal)
    
    Average tank volume           - 300 m3 (s80 x 103 gal)
    
    Volume of largest tank        - 2,300 m3 (=600 x 103 gal)
    
    Average number of annual
      turnovers per tank          - 2.9
    
    Terminal throughput           - 39,000 m3 (=10,000 x 103 gal)
                  Table 6-2.   MODEL PRODUCER/CONSUMER
    Plant production capacity     - <4.5 x 106 kg/year
                                    (<107 Ib/yr)
    
    Plant tank capacity           - 2,000 m3 (=530 x 103 gal)
    
    Number of tanks               - 11
    
    Average tank volume           - 190 m3 (=50 x 103 gal)
    
    Volume of largest tank        - 330 m3 (=88 x 103 gal)
    
    Volume of smallest tank       - 14 m3 (="4,000 gal)
                                6-6
    

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                            7.  ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
    
    7.1  INTRODUCTION
         This chapter discusses the fifth-year environmental impacts of each
    regulatory alternative presented in Chapter 6.   The fifth-year impacts
    are the impacts that would be incurred by the new, modified, and
    reconstructed facilities constructed during the five years following
    implementation of the regulatory alternatives.   In these analyses, a
    base year of 1983 is assumed (i.e., the regulatory alternatives would be
    in force starting in 1983).  The nationwide impacts that are evaluated
    include:
         •    air pollution impacts;
         •    water pollution impacts;
         •    energy impacts; and
         •    other environmental concerns.
         The nationwide impacts are developed from the number of affected
    facilities (i.e., VOL storage vessels) projected to be constructed
    during the five years following the baseline date.  Chapter 9 explains
    the derivation of a bivariate distribution, by tank size and vapor
    pressure of the VOL stored, of the  numbers of affected facilities that
    are projected to be constructed between 1983 and 1988.  The potential
    environmental impacts of the regulatory alternatives are estimated with
    this bivariate distribution of affected facilities and the knowledge of
    the baseline control levels (discussed in Section 3.3) that would result
    in the absence of performance standards.
    7.2  AIR POLLUTION IMPACTS
         Adoption of any of the regulatory alternatives will reduce VOC
    emissions in the years following the implementation.  The magnitude
    

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    of the emissions reductions to be achieved by the regulatory alternatives
    is estimated based on the estimated five-year total  number of affected
    new and replacement tanks to be constructed,  the tank size vapor pressure
    percentage distribution discussed in Chapter  9,  and the equations for
    predicting emissions from the various VOL storage vessel  equipment types
    (presented in Section 3.2).  An average emission rate for tanks in each
    tank size/vapor pressure interval in the distribution is  calculated by
    using the average capacity of the interval, the  average vapor pressure
    of the interval, and the average number of tank  turnovers for the tank
    size range.   The emissions per tank in the interval  are then multiplied
    by the number of tanks in the tank size/vapor pressure interval.   The
    total emissions rate for a given regulatory alternative is determined by
    summing across the tank size/vapor pressure intervals.   This procedure
    is repeated for the baseline control level and each regulatory alternative.
    Emissions reductions are determined by subtracting the baseline emissions
    rate from the emissions rate for each regulatory alternative.
         Table 7-1 and 7-2 list the emission rates and emission reductions,
    respectively, associated with each regulatory alternative.   The emission
    values in the tables are in megagrams per year,  reflecting the annual
    emissions or emission reduction from the affected facilities that are
    projected to be constructed during the five years following the baseline
    date (1983-1988).  Each table provides estimates for ten  alternate tank
    size/vapor pressure cutoff levels.   For example, row two  of Table 7-1
    provides emission estimates assuming that the minimum tank size affected
    by the regulation is 75 m3 (20,000 gallons) and  the minimum vapor pressure
    affected by the regulation is 3.5 kPa (0.5 psia).  A projected 3,749 tanks
    will be constructed in the five years following  1983 that are above
    these cutoff conditions and, therefore, would be affected by an NSPS
    that implemented cutoffs at these levels.  The tanks regulated at this
    cutoff will  emit 10,845 Mg/yr under the baseline control  level, 2,502 Mg/yr
    under Regulatory Alternative I and so forth for  the remaining regulatory
    alternatives.  Referring to Table 7-2 for this same cutoff, Regulatory
    Alternative I will effect a 8,343 Mg/yr reduction in VOC  emissions;
    Regulatory Alternative II will effect a 8,780 Mg/yr reduction in VOC
    emissions, and so forth for the remaining regulatory alternatives.
                                     7-2
    

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    -------
    7.3  WATER QUALITY AND SOLID WASTE IMPACTS
         The control technologies selected as regulatory alternatives do not
    generate wastewater or solid waste during their operation as control
    devices.  During tank turnarounds and periods when tanks are not in
    service, however, wastewater and solid waste may be generated.   Inspection
    and maintenance operations can generate both wastewater and liquid/solid
    wastes that require treatment or special disposal techniques.   Most
    major inspections and/or repairs require that the vessel be cleaned and
    degassed.  The concern is that the environment inside the tank be free
    of potential explosive and toxic hazards prior to introducing personnel
    for inspections or repairs.
         Cleaning and degassing generally involves the following steps :
         I.    Removing residual  product with a vacuum truck;
         2.    Lessening rust scale, if present, with high pressure water and
              removing debris;
         3.    Washing the tank with high pressure water and detergents; and
         4.    Rinsing the tank with water.
         The residual product constitutes a waste that, depending on the
    nature of the VOL stored in the tank, may have to be disposed of with
    conventional solid waste disposal techniques or as a hazardous waste in
    compliance with the requirements of the Resource Conservation and Recovery
    Act (RCRA).   The washwater,  again depending on the nature of the VOL
    stored,  constitutes wastewater for treatment in conventional wastewater
    treatment systems, or sometimes hazardous waste for disposal in compliance
    with RCRA.   Another degassing methodology involves the application of a
    sustained forced draft to the interior of the vessel for a sufficient
    period to evaporate all  residual product.   This technique generally
    involves no wastewater or hazardous solid waste disposal.   However, air
    emissions do result.
         For the most part,  tank degassing and the resultant waste impacts
    occur irrespective of the regulatory alternatives.  On the average,
    tanks are cleaned, degassed and inspected on about a 10-year cycle.
                                     7-5
    

    -------
    7.4  ENERGY IMPACT
         The control  technologies selected for the regulatory alternatives
    do not increase the power or other energy requirements of the VOL storage
    vessels.   Therefore, no energy impacts are attributable to the regulatory
    alternatives.
    7.5  OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS
    7.5.1  Irreversible and Irretrievable Commitment of Resources
         The regulatory alternatives would not preclude the development of
    future control options nor would they curtail  any beneficial  use of the
    environment.   No long-term environmental  losses would result from the
    regulatory alternatives.
    7.5.2  Environmental Impact of Delayed Standards
         The only environmental impact associated  with a delay in proposing
    and promulgating the standard would be an increase in VOC emissions from
    storage tanks attributable to the construction of new tanks.
                                     7-6
    

    -------
    7.6  REFERENCES
    1.    Memorandum from J. L. Shumaker to W. Moody of TRW Environmental
         Division regarding Retrofit IRF and Degassing Costs, December 21,
         1982.
                                     7-7
    

    -------
                                8.  COST ANALYSIS
    
         This chapter summarizes the cost analysis data.  Installed capital
    costs are presented in Section 8.1 for the types of equipment specified
    in the regulatory alternatives outlined in Chapter 6.  For each type of
    equipment, cost estimates are presented for the range of tank sizes
    commonly employed in the storage of volatile organic liquids (VOL).
    Cost data also are presented for several control alternatives (external
    floating roof tanks and vapor control equipment) that are considered in
    Chapter 6 but that are not selected as regulatory alternatives.   In
    addition to the cost estimates for individual tank size/control  alternative
    combinations, the aggregate cost impacts from applying the regulatory
    alternatives to the model plants are estimated.   Sections 8.1 through 8.4
    present estimates of the capital costs, annualized costs, and cost
    effectiveness for model terminal and model producer/consumer facilities.
    Model plants are discussed in detail in Chapter 6.
         All costs are calculated as average costs over the cost of the
    baseline control level presented in Section 3.3.  For the purposes of
    the cost analysis presented in this chapter, all tanks with a capacity
    greater than or equal  to 75 cubic meters (20,000 gallons) and storing a
    liquid with a true vapor pressure g-reater than or equal  to 3.5 kilopascals
    (0.5 psia) are assumed to be affected by the regulatory alternatives.
    Because the model terminal and model producer/consumer facilities will
    not be used to evaluate the effectiveness of the regulatory alternatives
    in controlling emissions, no emission information is presented in this
    chapter.
         The cost analysis follows a prescribed approach.  Capital costs,
    which represent the initial investment for control  equipment and
    installation, are estimated based on vendor quotes and EPA documents.
    From these estimates,  correlations and factors have been developed to
    approximate capital costs for the range of tank sizes commonly used in
    the industry.  The capital cost is annualized by applying a capital
    recovery charge, which is based on an estimated equipment lifetime and
    the interest rate on the capital, and by adding costs for taxes  and
    

    -------
    insurance.  The total annualized cost, excluding product recovery credits,
    attributable to each regulatory alternative is estimated by adding
    operating costs to the annualized capital cost.   The total annualized
    cost, including product recovery credits, is estimated by subtracting
    the value of the recovered product from the annualized costs.   Cost
    effectiveness is the total annualized cost divided by the emission
    reductions obtained by applying each regulatory alternative.
    8.1  CAPITAL COSTS
         The capital costs for the regulatory alternatives are based on cost
                                                             123
    estimates obtained from industry vendors and EPA reports. ' '    Vendors
    were contacted and asked to provide estimates of the costs to  construct
    fixed roof tanks, external floating roof tanks,  and secondary  seals, as
    well as the cost to install internal floating roofs in fixed roof tanks.
    (See Tables 8-1, 8-2, 8-3, and 8-4.)  Internal floating roof cost data
    are based on a fourth-quarter 1982 survey of equipment manufacturer's
    prices.   Other cost estimates are based on data collected in a similar
    manner in late 1979 and early 1980.  These estimates have been scaled
                                                      4
    based on Chemical Engineering general cost indexes  to reflect second-
    quarter 1982 dollar estimates.  All capital costs are at least equivalent
    to study estimates (+30 percent accuracy).
         The capital cost of an internal floating roof depends mainly upon
    the liquid surface area.   Therefore, the capital costs for these devices
    are given only as a function of the tank diameter, which is directly
    related to surface area.   The cost of a fixed roof tank, however, is a
    function of the volume capacity of the tank*.   Tank and roof costs
     An estimating technique has been developed to relate tank volume to tank
     height and diameter and thereby aid the comparison of fixed roof tank costs
     to floating roof costs.  The formula is based on the fact that tank heights
     generally increase in about 2.62 meter (8 foot) increments (due to the
     width of sheet steel) and that for other than small tanks, the height to
     diameter ratio rarely exceeds unity in industry practice.   The formula,
     which has been used in the development of the capital cost tables,
     is as follows:
    Tank capacity (V)            Tank height (H)           Tank diameter (D)
     in cubic meters                in meters                  in meters
          0-45                         2.62                           ,
         46-91                         5.25
         92-307                        7.87
        308-1,136                     10.5
      1,137-11,590                    13.1
         >11,590                      15.7
                                     8-2
    

    -------
            Table 8-1.   ESTIMATED INSTALLED,CAPITAL COST
                       OF A FIXED ROOF TANKD'b
                    (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Tank
    volume,
    (m3)
    75
    150
    250
    500
    1,000
    5,000
    10,000
    Tank
    diameter,
    (m)
    4.3
    4.9
    6.4
    7.8
    11.0
    22.0
    31.2
    Tank
    cost3'
    ($)
    13,300
    19,900
    26,700
    39,800
    59,400
    150,400
    224,300
    Estimated from the equation:   Cost ($1000) = 0.883 V0'577;
     where, V = tank volume in cubic meters;  with correlation
     coefficient r2 >0.99.   This equation yields first-quarter
     1980 cost estimates that were scaled by  a factor of 1.25 to
     reflect second-quarter 1982 prices.
    
     Excluding the cost of the foundation, land, etc.  that are
     not affected by the regulatory alternatives.
                                 8-3
    

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    -------
        Table 8-3.  ESTIMATED INSTALLED COST OF A WELDED CONTACT INTERNAL
                       FLOATING ROOF WITH SECONDARY SEALS
                          (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
              Tank                                         Roof
            diameter                                       cost3
              (m)                                           ($)
    
    
               5                                          15,900
    
              10                                          30,000
    
              15                                          44,000
    
              20                                          58,100
    
              25                                          72,100
    
              30                                          86,100
    
    
    aThe basic cost of the roof and primary seal  is estimated from the
     equation:   cost ($1000) = 1.91 + 2.54D; where D equals the tank diameter
     in meters with the correlation coefficient r2 = 0.883.   The additional
     cost of a secondary seal is estimated based on the factor, $85 per linear
     meter of circumference.  The secondary seal  cost is the average price of
     13 seals from 8 different vendors.
                                       8-5
    

    -------
                  Table 8-4.   ESTIMATED INSTALLED CAPITAL COST  ,  fi 7
            OF EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS WITH SECONDARY SEALS3'b>/
                         (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Tank
    volume,
    (m3)
    75
    150
    250
    500
    1,000
    5,000
    10,000
    Tank
    diameter,
    (m)
    4.3
    4.9
    6.4
    7.8
    11.0
    22.0
    31.2
    Tank .
    costa'b
    ($)
    22,100
    32,300
    42,300
    61,900
    89,900
    218,000
    319,000
    a                                                                0 552
     Cost of tank estimated from the equation:   Cost ($1000)  = 1.54 V     ;
     where,  V = tank volume in cubic meters;  with the correlation coefficient
     r2 = 0.98.   This equation yields first-quarter 1980 cost estimates tbat
     were scaled by a 1.25 factor to reflect  second-quarter 1982 dollars.
    
     The additional cost of the secondary seal  is estimated to be $85 per
     linear meter of roof circumference.
                                       8-6
    

    -------
    are not related to the vapor pressure of the material stored in the
    range of products potentially affected by a VOL storage regulation (i.e.
    <^11 psia).  For each type of equipment (i.e., internal floating roof,
    fixed roof tank, etc.) an equation of predicted capital costs was derived
    from the available data (vendor quotes).  These equations are used in
    all subsequent cost analyses.
         Table 8-1 presents costs for fixed roof tanks.   These are installed
    capital costs including the cost of materials, transportation, labor,
    testing, and other vendor-incurred costs associated with erection of the
    tank.   The estimates assume that a suitable location and foundation are
    available.  Examples of the costs that are excluded include the cost of
    land,  providing utilities to the site, and a concrete foundation.   Such
    costs are fixed and constant irrespective of possible regulations for
    VOL storage vessels.  Since they do not affect the regulatory decisions,
    they are not considered in the cost analysis.
         Table 8-2 presents installed cost estimates for internal floating
    roofs with successively more stringent (i.e.  lower emitting ) alternative
    equipment.  As discussed in Chapter 4, noncontact roofs are constructed
    of primarily aluminum materials.   The basic roof costed in the table is
    equipped with a single, vapor-mounted, wiper type, deck perimeter seal
    (primary seal).   The next costed alternative is a liquid-mounted,  resilient
    tube,  primary seal  in place of the vapor-mounted wiper type seal.   The
    third alternative includes the liquid-mounted primary seal, but adds
    "controls" to certain deck fittings.   Deck fittings  and the "controls"
    for deck fittings are described in Chapter 3 and Chapter 4, respectively.
    Briefly, "controls" for deck fittings are gaskets for covers, sleeve
    seals for support columns and the use of a sample well with a split
    fabric seal in place of a slotted sample pipe.   The  installation and use
    of "controlled"  fittings has a negligible effect on  the cost of the
    floating roof.   The small additional  cost of gaskets and seals (^$200)
    is offset by the savings from installing a sample well instead of a
    slotted sample pipe ($100 to $300).8  Also, "controlled" fittings are
    not expected to significantly increase operating costs of internal
    floating roofs.   The final alternative costed in Table 8-2 combines all
                                     8-7
    

    -------
    the preceding alternatives.   It includes a liquid-mounted primary seal,
    "controlled" deck fittings and a wiper type secondary deck perimeter
    seal (secondary seal).
         Table 8-3 presents the estimated installed cost of welded contact
    internal floating roofs (steel pan) with secondary seals.   The primary
    seal included in these cost estimates is a metallic shoe seal, a liquid-
    mounted resilient tube seal, or a wiper type seal.   Vendor quotes for
    steel pan roofs with each of these seal types were correlated to produce
    an "average" or "typical" roof cost function (see Table 8-3).   The roof
    is constructed of steel.   Larger roof sizes include auxiliary pontoon
    flotation.
         Table 8-4 presents estimates of the installed capital cost of
    external floating roof tanks.   It is important to realize that these
    costs include the tank shell in addition to the roof.   The cost of
    control over the fixed roof tank baseline costs is the difference between
    the external floating roof costs (Table 8-4) and the fixed roof tank
    cost (Table 8-1) for equivalent tank sizes.  The tanks costed in Table 8-4
    include primary and secondary seal costs.   The primary seals are either
    liquid-mounted or vapor-mounted resilient tube seals.   For external
    floating roof tanks, the location of the primary seal  (i.e.  vapor- or
    liquid-mounted) does not significantly affect the roof cost.
         The incremental cost of the control alternatives can be approximated
    from the estimates contained in Tables 8-1 through 8-4.   The comparison
    of control  alternative costs,  however, must be made for tanks of equivalent
    diameter or volume.   Care must also be taken to ensure that comparisons
    are made between equivalent types of equipment, i.e.,  roof cost versus
    roof cost or tank cost versus tank cost.
         Tables 8-5 through 8-13 present the costs of applying Regulatory
    Alternatives I-V, the external floating roof control options, and the
    vapor control alternatives to the model terminal and the model
    producer/consumer facilities.   The model plants are discussed in Chapter 6
    and described in Appendix D.  Although the model plants contain a number
    of tanks (terminal,  48 tanks;  producer/consumer, 11 tanks),  the regulatory
    alternatives affect only a fraction of the respective tank populations.
    The majority of tanks are exempted on the basis of size and vapor
                                     8-8
    

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                  Table 8-5.  COST OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE I*
                          (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annuali zed capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    56,000
    6,580
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    15,800
    1,860
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Inspection
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram VOC emssions reduction
     2,240
    
    
    
     2,800
    
       560
    
    
    12,180
    
    
    
     7,530
    
    
       744
      630
    
    
    
      790
    
      160
    
    
    3,440
    
    
    
    2,090
    
    
      714
    *Noncontact internal  floating roof with a vapor-mounted primary seal.
                                      8-9
    

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                   Table 8-6.   COST OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE II*
                            (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual i zed capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    56,600
    6,670
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    16,000
    1,890
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Inspection
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram of VOC emissions reduction
     2,260
    
    
    
     2,830
    
       570
    
    
    12,330
    
    
    
     7,480
    
    
       710
      640
    
    
    
      800
    
      160
    
    
    3,490
    
    
    
    1,610
    
    
      395
    *Noncontact internal floating roof with a liquid-mounted primary seal
                                         8-10
    

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                 Table 8-7.  COST OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE III*
                          (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual i zed capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    56,600
    6,670
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    16,000
    1,890
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration                            2,260
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance                               2,830
    
      Inspection                                  570
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits                 12,330
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg                                 7,190
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram of VOC emissions reduction         644
      640
    
    
    
      800
    
      160
    
    
    3,490
    
    
    
      533
    
    
       87
    *Noncontact internal floating roof with liquid-mounted primary seal and
     gasketed deck fittings.
                                       8-11
    

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                 Table 8-8.   COST OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE IV*
                          (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annuali zed capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    71,830
    9,130
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    23,210
    3,050
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration                            2,870
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance                               3,590
    
      Inspection                                  720
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits                 16,310
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg                                11,010
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram of VOC emissions reduction         957
      930
    
    
    
    1,160
    
      230
    
    
    5,370
    
    
    
    2,230
    
    
      326
    *Noncontact internal floating roof with liquid-mounted primary seal,
     secondary seal and gasketed deck fittings.
                                       8-12
    

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                 Table 8-9.  COST OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE V*
                          (fourth-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual ized capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    184,800
    22,400
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    90,800
    11,000
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Inspection
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram of VOC emissions reductin
     7,390
    
    
    
     9,240
    
     1,850
    
    
    40,880
    
    
    
    35,500
    
    
     3,040
     3,630
    
    
    
     4,540
    
       910
    
    
    20,080
    
    
    
    16,770
    
    
     2,330
    *Welded contact internal  floating roof with liquid-mounted primary seal,
     secondary seal and gasketed deck fittings.
                                       8-13
    

    -------
              Table 8-10.   COST OF EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS WITH
                          PRIMARY SEAL AND SECONDARY SEAL
                           (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual ized capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    150,920a
    18,420
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    47,210a
    5,900
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Inspection
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
     6,040
    
    
    
     7,550
    
     1,500
    
    
    33,510
     1,890
    
    
    
     2,360
    
       470
    
    
    10,620
    @ $460/Mg
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
    megagram of VOC emissions reduction
    b
    b
    b
    b
     Costs above the baseline control cost.
    
    External floating roofs do not reduce emissions beyond the baseline level.
     Therefore, no emissions reduction credits exist.   Emissions rates for both
     the model terminal and the model producer/consumer are expected to increase.
     Consequently, cost effectiveness for the alternative is undefined.
                                       8-14
    

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              Table 8-11.  COST OF EXTERNAL FLOATING ROOF TANKS WITH
                  LIQUID-MOUNTED PRIMARY SEAL AND SECONDARY SEAL
                        (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual ized capital charges
    Model
    terminal
    150,920*
    18,420
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    47,210*
    5,900
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Inspection
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
     6,040
    
    
    
     7,550
    
     1,500
    
    
    33,510
     1,890
    
    
    
     2,360
    
       470
    
    
    10,620
    @ $460/Mg
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
    ton of VOC emissions reduction
    29,350
    3,250
    10,400
    21,990
    *Costs above the baseline control cost.
                                       8-15
    

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          Table 8-12.   COST OF VAPOR CONTROL BY INCINERATION TECHNIQUES
                           (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    Cost parameters
      Model
    terminal
      Model
    producer/
    consumer
    Capital  cost
    
    Annualized capital charges
    
    Annual taxes, insurance and
      administration
    
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance
    
      Labor
    
      Energy
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery  credits
    
    Total annualized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagram of VOC emissions reduction
     631,000
    
     114,000
    
    
       4,100
    
    
    
      31,600
    
      27,200
    
       4,900
    
    
     181,800
                                                      a,b
    631,000
    
    114,000
    
    
      4,100
    
    
    
     31,600
    
     27,200
    
      4,900
    
    
    181,800
                                 a,b
      15,500
     20,700
     Cost estimates assume one incineration unit and saturator per facility
     (see Chapter 4).
    
    3Based on a first-quarter 1980 estimate scaled by a 1.25 factor to reflect
     second-quarter 1982 prices.
    
    "Because there are no recovery credits, the cost is equal to the total
     annualized cost without product recovery credits.
                                       8-16
    

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       Table 8-13.  COST OF VAPOR RECOVERY BY CARBON ADSORPTION TECHNIQUES
                          (second-quarter 1982 dollars)
    
    Cost parameters
    Capital cost
    Annual ized capital charges
    Annual taxes, insurance and
    Administration
    Model
    terminal
    631,000a'b
    114,000
    4,100
    Model
    producer/
    consumer
    631,000a'b
    114,000
    4,100
    Operating costs
    
      Maintenance                               31,600
    
      Labor                                     45,000
    
      Energy                                    60,000
    
    Total annualized cost without
      product recovery credits                 255,000
    
    Total annual ized cost with
      product recovery credits
      @ $460/Mg                                249,600
    
    Cost effectiveness in dollars per
      megagrams of VOC emissions reduction      21,280
     31,600
    
     45,000
    
     60,000
    
    
    255,000
    
    
    
    250,970
    
    
     28,650
    aAssumes one unit per facility sized for 0.142 standard3m /s of saturated
     vapor diluted to 25% LEL for a total  of 8.0 standard m /s.
     Based on a first-quarter 1980 estimate scaled by a factor of 1.25 to
     reflect second-quarter 1982 prices.
                                       8-17
    

    -------
    pressure.   Four tanks (2 fixed roof and 2 floating roof tanks) are
    affected by the regulatory alternatives in the model  producer/consumer
    plants.   The model  terminal has five affected tanks (4 fixed roof and
    1 floating roof tank).   These tanks can be identified by inspection of
    Appendix D with an understanding of the baseline control level described
    in Section 3.3.  The base capital  cost of all storage vessels at the
    model terminal is 1.07 million dollars, and the base capital cost of
    storage vessels at the model producer/consumer plant is 0.25 million
    dollars.  As mentioned previously, these costs do not include foundation
    costs, land costs or other costs that are not affected by the regulatory
    alternatives.
         The cost of a vapor control system is a function of the vapor flow
    rate to the system.   This flow rate is controlled by the rate at which
    liquids are pumped into the tank and not by tank diameter or volume.  No
    cost tables are presented for vapor recovery.  The capital  costs of
    installing a carbon adsorption or thermal oxidation vapor control system
    to reduce volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions from the model
                                                                  1 2
    plants are estimated from information supplied by EPA reports. '   (See
    Tables 8-12 and 8-13.)  It is assumed that each system is sized for a
    stream of saturated vapor at 0.142 standard cubic meters per second
    (0.142 standard m3/s).   Because of the large size of the vapor control
    systems, it is assumed that only one system is needed for each model
    facility.   However, because of product compatibility or operating problems,
    actual facilities might need more than one unit; therefore, the cost
    estimates are almost certainly low.
    8.2  ANNUALIZED CAPITAL COSTS
         The capital cost for each regulatory alternative is annualized
    assuming the useful equipment lifetimes listed in Table 8-14.  In estimating
    the annualized capital  cost for the equipment, it is assumed the capital
    is borrowed at a 10 percent real interest rate.  Based on the estimated
    equipment lifetimes and the assumed interest rate, annualized capital
    costs are estimated with the capital recovery factor method.
                                     8-18
    

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                      Table 8-14.   LIFETIMES OF CONTROL EQUIPMENT
    
    Device
    Tank and floating roof
    Secondary seals
    Carbon adsorber
    Thermal oxidizer
    Lifetime (yrs)
    20
    10
    10
    10
    Capital
    Recovery
    Factor9
    0.11746
    0.16275
    0.16275
    0.16275
    aCapital recovery factor determined by the equation:
    
             CRF = 1(1 + i)n/(l + i)n - 1;
    
     where i = the annual  interest rate and
           n = the equipment lifetime.
                          Table 8-15.   COST ANNUALIZING ASSUMPTIONS
                      Item
           Charge
       Tax, insurance,  and administration
    
       Maintenance
    
       Inspection
    
       Interest rate
    
       Labor
    
       Natural  gas
    
       Electricity
    
       Energy other than natural  gas or electricity
    4% of capital cost
    
    5% of capital cost
    
    1% of capital cost
    
    10%
    
    $16/hr
    
    $3.00/109 J
    
    $0.04/kWh
    
    $2.50/109 J
                                         8-19
    

    -------
    8.3  ANNUALIZED COSTS
         The annualized cost without product recovery credits is calculated
    by adding the annualized capital charges to the costs for taxes,  insurance
    and administration (4 percent of the capital costs) and the operating
    costs.   Operating costs include the yearly maintenance charge of  5 percent
    of the capital cost,  and an inspection charge of 1 percent of the capital
    cost.   (See summary in Table 8-15.)  The factors used to estimate the
    cost of taxes and administration (4 percent) and maintenance costs
                                                                              Q
    (5 percent) are based on operating experience of the Hydroscience Company.
         In respect to vapor control systems, utility expenses are estimated
    using electricity costs of $0.04 per kilowatt-hour, natural gas costs of
                9                                               9
    $3.00 per 10  joules, and other energy costs of $2.50 per 10  joules.
    Emission monitoring costs were included in the annualized estimates for
    a flame ionization hydrocarbon detector at $4,500, for a flow measurement
    device at $2,500, and for bottled gas to operate the flame ionization
    detector at $2,625 per year.   These monitoring costs were annualized for
    a charge of $3,750 per year.   Additionally, it is assumed that 500 hours
    of operating labor at $16 per hour will be required to operate and
    maintain the emission monitoring system.
         The total annualized cost with product recovery credits is calculated
    by accounting for the value of any recovered product.  The recovered
    product was costed based on a weighted average product value of roughly
    100 synthetic organic chemicals.  A price of $460/megagram represents
    the weighted average  product value (1978 average scaled to 1982 dollars
    with a factor of 1.55 based on the Chemical Engineering Journal Industrial
    Chemical Producer's Price Index).  The amount of recovered product was
    assumed equal to the  emissions difference between the baseline emissions
    and each regulatory alternative, except for thermal oxidation.  Because
    the thermal oxidation unit destroys VOC vapors, no recovery credits were
    assumed.
    8.4  COST EFFECTIVENESS
         The cost effectiveness of a regulatory alternative is defined as
    the cost per metric ton of VOC removed.  The average product price of
                                     8-20
    

    -------
    $460/megagram was used in these calculations to quantify credits for
    recovered product that would be lost under the baseline conditions.  The
    cost effectiveness values presented in Table 8-5 through 8-13 are  in
    units of dollars per megagram of VOC determined by dividing the total
    annualized cost by the emission reduction achieved by a regulatory
    alternative or control technique.
    8.5  COST OF OTHER FEDERAL REGULATIONS
         There are a wide variety of Federal statutes that affect the
    manufacture and storage of volatile organic liquids.  Table 8-16 lists
    12 Federal statutes that control human and environmental exposure  to
    toxic chemicals.    The same statutes will also apply to volatile  organic
    liquids (VOLs).   Regulatory action required by these statutes controls
    the chemicals in products and wastes, ambient and occupational environments,
    chemical identification, chemical  sources, and the handling, discharge,
    and ultimate disposal of chemicals.   These regulations will cause an
    outlay of capital by the chemical  manufacturing industry.   Total spending
    for pollution control by the chemical industry in 1979 was expected to
    be $639 million.    Costs to specific segments of the industry, however,
    are difficult to distinguish on the basis of published data.  The costs
    of the proposed regulations are difficult to estimate because of the
    lack of available information regarding the content of the final
    regulations.   This section summarizes the available data on costs imposed
    upon the chemical manufacturing and storage industries by Federal
    regulations and discusses the impact of these costs on their operations.
         Regulatory statutes that apply to manufacturers and users of VOLs
    are listed in Table 8-17.   This list includes the statutes from Table 8-16,
    in addition to several others,  and briefly describes the provisions,
                                                          12
    requirements, and regulatory concerns of each statute.     The last
    column lists and describes the  approximate costs of the statutes.  In
    some cases, this column is blank because relevant cost data could not be
    found.   Most of the costs available are for the general chemical industry
    and are not subdivided into costs  for handlers of VOLs.  However,
    Table 8-17 does show that these costs are considerable.  Other indirect
    costs,  such as the "abandonment" of new chemicals,  and decreases in
                                     8-21
    

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    Table 8-16.   FEDERAL LAWS REGULATING TOXIC CHEMICALS
    
    Title Abbreviation Public Law No
    Toxic Substance Control Act of 1976
    Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, as amended
    in 1976
    Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1980
    Consumer Product Safety Act of 1970
    Marine Protection, Research and Sanctuaries
    Act of 1972
    Federal Pesticide Act of 1978
    Clean Air Act, as amended in 1977
    Federal Water Pollution Control Act,
    amended as Clean Water Act of 1977
    Safe Drinking Water Act of 1974
    Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976
    Hazardous Materials Transportation Act of 1970
    National Environmental Policy Act of 1969
    TSCA
    FDCA
    OSHA
    CPSA
    Ocean Dumping
    FPA
    CAA
    FWPCA
    CWA
    SDWA
    RCRA
    HMTA
    NEPA
    94-469
    94-295
    91-596
    92-573
    92-532
    95-396
    95-95
    92-500
    95-217
    93-523
    94-580
    91-458
    91-190
                           8-22
    

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             Table 8-17.    STATUTES  THAT MAY  BE  APPLICABLE  TO THE  MANUFACTURE
                              AND  STORAGE  OF VOLATILE  ORGANIC LIQUIDS
            Statute
    Applicable provision, regulation, or
            requirement of statute
                                                                                Approximate costs incurred
    Toxic Substances Control  Act
    Food,  Drug, and Cosmetic  Act
    
    Occupational, Safety,  and
      Health  Act
                                     •  Premanufacture notification
                                     i  Labelling, recordkeeping
                                     •  Reporting requirements
                                     •  Toxicity testing
    Consumer  Product Safety Act
    
    Marine  Protection, Research and
      Sanctuaries Act
    
    Federal Pesticide Act
    Clean  Air Act and Amendments
    •  Consumer  use of chemicals
    
    •  Walking-working surface standards
    •  Means of  egress standards
    •  Occupational health and
       environmental control standards
    •  Hazardous material standards
    •  Personal  protective equipment
       standards
    •  General environmental control
       standards
    •  Medical and first aid standards
    •  Fire protection standards
    •  Compressed gas and compressed air
       equipment
    •  Welding,  brazing, and cutting
       standards
    
    •  Consumer  use of chemicals
    
    •  Ocean dumping permits
    •  Recordkeeping and reporting
    
    •  Consumer  use of chemicals
                                     •  State  Implementation Plans
                                     •  National Emission Standards For
                                        Hazardous Air Pollutants
                                     •  New source performance  standards:
                                        Air oxidation
                                        Volatile organic liquid storage
                                     •  PSD construction permits
                                     •  Nonattainment construction permits
                                          •  General  reporting rule (Section 8(a))
                                             is expected to initially cost
                                             chemical manufacturers about
                                             $6 million.  EPA estimates  the cost
                                             will  be  $420 for each chemical a
                                             manufacturer produces.
    
                                          •  Costs for entire chemical  industry
                                             projected to be $100-200 million per
                                             year.  Preinventory notification ,7
                                             cost:  $1,200-1,500 per chemical.
    •  $220/year per worker.
                           18
                                          •  About $256 million lost due  to
                                             cancellatioOqOr suspension of
                                             pesticides.iy
    
                                          •  About $249 million spent by  entire
                                             chemical,industry for air pollution
                                             control.
                                               (continued)
                                                    8-23
    

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                                           Table  8-17.    Concluded
             Statute
    Applicable provision,  regulation  or
            requirement of statute
         Approximate costs  incurred
    Clean Water Act
    Safe Drinking Water  Act
    Resource Conservation  and
      Recovery Act
    Hazardous  Materials
      Transportation Act
    
    National  Environmental  Policy
      Act
    
    Coastal  Zone Management Act
    Power Plant and Industrial
      Fuel Use Act
                                         Discharge permits
                                         Effluent limitations guidelines
                                         New source performance standards
                                         Control of oil spills and
                                         discharges
                                         Pretreatment requirements
                                         Monitoring and reporting
                                         Permitting of industrial projects
                                         that impinge on wetlands or
                                         public waters
                                      •  Environmental impact statements
    •  Requires underground injection
       control permits
    
    •  Permits for treatment,  storage,
       and disposal of hazardous
       liquids.
    •  Establishes system to track
       hazardous wastes
    •  Establishes recordkeeping,
       labelling, and monitoring
       system for hazardous wastes
    •  Superfund
    •  Requires environmental  impact
       statements
    
    •  Allows states to veto Federal
       permits for plants to be sited
       in coastal zones
    
    •  Prohibits new, major, industrial
       power plants, which utilize fuel
       oil or natural gas
                                            •   Increased annual costs to pesticide
                                               manufacturers, caused by regula-
                                               tions,  under Sections 301 and 304,
                                               would range between 0.2 and 2
                                               percent of the revenues from pesti-
                                               cide chemicals.  Profitability
                                               would be reduced for some
                                               manufacturers.
    
                                            •   Total annual cost of $243 million
                                               incurred by organic chemical,
                                               pesticide, and explosives industries
                                               to  comply with EPA hazardous waste
                                               regulations.
    
                                            •   Another source estimates
                                               $414 million total expenditure by
                                               entire  chemical industry for water
                                               pollution control.
    •  Only one out of the more than  500
       surface dumps and landfills would
       meet RCRA standards.   Over
       $1 bill ion,Deeded to upgrade the
       others."'"
    
    •  Proposed that $400 million of
       $6 billion superfund come from
       annual industry fees on oil,
       chemical, and heavy metal
       industries.     Part of fund would
       come from fee, not to exceed $5
       per ton on chemicals.   Fund applies
       only to past disposal  practices.
    
    •  Waste disposal costs are expected
       to rise from $1.50-$5.00 per ton.
       to over $50 per ton under RCRA.
                                                       8-24
    

    -------
    innovation, productivity, job opportunities, and "incentive for
    entrepreneurial initiative," are not easily quantified and are
             13 14
    excluded.  '    In addition, health and economic benefits of the regulations
    are not considered.
         The economic impact of these regulations on the chemical industry
    is not fully quantified.  The Council on Environmental Quality reported
    in 1979 that the economic health of this industry is better than most
    and that few plant closings are expected solely because of the costs of
                                              25
    compliance with standards and regulations.     A 1978 study by EPA's
    Office of Solid Waste Management found, with regard to regulations
    concerning hazardous wastes, that "certain individual segments of the
    industry will be subject to more severe impacts than the industry as a
                                                                            oc
    whole, but no plant closures will result directly from the regulations."
    In contrast, a survey sponsored by the Chemical Specialties Manufacturers
    Association reported that 14 percent of the firms surveyed said that
    present and upcoming EPA regulations could cause them to close.   Nine
    percent said that EPA rules could cause a change of ownership.   The
    survey stressed that the greatest difficulty caused by the regulations
    would be increased operating costs, followed by reporting and recordkeeping
                                             13
    requirements and increased capital  costs.     Part of this discrepancy in
    the perceived impact of Federal regulations may be reduced through the
    efforts of the Interagency Regulatory Liaison Group (IRLG).   The IRLG
    intends to strongly emphasize the coordination of regulations being
    developed by member groups and will also emphasize the economic analysis
    of the proposed regulations.  Agencies participating in the IRLG include
    EPA, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, the Consumer
    Product Safety Commission, the Food and Drug Administration,  and the
                                    07
    Food Safety and Quality Service.
         A list of currently proposed regulations that will affect the
                                             28
    chemical  industry is given in Table 8-18.     The economic impact of
    these regulations will  be unclear until their final  forms are determined
    from a number of regulatory alternatives.   Studies of the economic
    effects of many of these regulations are underway at this time.
                                     8-25
    

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        Table 8-18.   PROPOSED REGULATIONS THAT WILL AFFECT THE CHEMICAL
                            MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY
              (as listed in the Calendar of Federal Regulations)
     Agency
    Title of regulation
    Page No.  in calendar
    DOL-OSHA       Chemical  Warning Systems
    
    DOL-OSHA       Safety standard for walking and working
                   surfaces
    
    EPA-OANR       National  Emission Standards for
                   Hazardous Air Pollutants - Benzene
    
    EPA-OANR       Policy and Procedures for Identifying,
                   Assessing, and Regulating Airborne
                   Substances Posing a Risk of Cancer
    
    EPA-OANR       Regulations for the prevention of
                   significant deterioration resulting
                   from hydrocarbons for carbon monoxide,
                   nitrogen  oxides, ozone, and lead
    
    EPA-OPTS       Rules and notice forms for premanu-
                   facture notification of new chemical
                   substances
    
    EPA-OPTS       Standards and Rules for Testing of
                   Chemical  Substances and Mixtures
    
    EPA-OWWM       Hazardous waste regulations:  Core
                   regulations to control hazardous solid
                   waste from generation to final disposal
                                              68278
    
                                              68283
    
    
                                              68239
    
    
                                              68292
    
    
    
                                              68244
                                              68294
    
    
    
                                              68297
    
    
                                              68299
                                        8-26
    

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    8.6  COSTS AND COST EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROLS ON AN INDIVIDUAL TANK
         This section presents the costs and cost effectiveness of controlling
    an individual tank.  The tank selected for analysis is the model tank
    presented in Chapter 4, Section 1.  Emissions from the possible
    configurations of the model tank are presented in Table 4-2.   The capital
    and annualized cost (without product recovery credits) of controls are
    presented in Table 8-19.  Both the absolute cost effectiveness and the
    incremental cost effectiveness will be discussed.
         The absolute cost effectiveness is defined as the total  annualized
    cost of a particular control option minus the value of product recovery
    credit (the difference yielding the net annualized cost), divided by the
    total emissions reduction achieved by going from no control to that
    control option.  Incremental cost effectiveness is defined as the difference
    in net annualized cost between two control options, divided by the
    difference in emission reduction between the same two options.
         Table 8-20 presents the absolute cost effectiveness of building the
    model tank as a new internal floating roof tank in place of a fixed roof
    tank.  Table 8-21 presents the incremental cost effectiveness of controlling
    seal emissions from an internal floating roof.  Table 8-22 presents the
    incremental cost effectiveness of controlling deck seam emissions by the
    use of welded decks.   Consistent with the assumption used previously in
    this chapter, the cost of controlling fittings is assumed to  be zero;
    the cost effectiveness of these controls is, therefore, zero.   Based on
    the above information, Table 8-23 presents the incremental cost
    effectiveness between the regulatory alternatives.   Because it is possible
    to replace a fixed roof tank with an external floating roof,  an analysis
    of the internal floating roof equipment requirements of the regulatory
    alternatives was made relative to an external floating roof tank with a
    mechanical shoe seal  and a secondary seal.  Table 8-24 presents the
    incremental cost effectiveness of building the model tank as  an external
    floating roof tank with a mechanical shoe primary seal and a  secondary
    seal instead of the equipment required by each regulatory alternative.
                                     8-27
    

    -------
        Table 8-19.   CAPITAL AND ANNUALIZED COSTS FOR BASELINE AND CONTROL
                        EQUIPMENT FOR THE MODEL VOL TANK
                   Item
    Capital Cost
         ($)
    Annualized Cost
          ($)
    1.   Fixed roof tank
    
    2.   External floating roof tank
          with mechanical shoe primary
          seal only
    
    3.   Bolted deck
    
    4.   Welded deck
    
    5.   Secondary seal for internal or
          external floating roof tank
    
    6.   Liquid-mounted primary seal
       35,600
    
       52,900
    
    
    
       10,700
    
       25,100
    
        2,440
    
    
           75
         7,750
    
        11,500
    
    
    
         2,330
    
         5,460
    
           640
    
    
            17
                                     8-28
    

    -------
       Table 8-20.   ABSOLUTE COST EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROLLING FIXED ROOF
                       TANK EMISSIONS FROM THE MODEL TANK
            Tank Type/Equipment
    Emissions     Cost Effectiveness
     (Mg/yr)             ($/Mg)
     I.   Fixed roof tank
    
    II.   Internal floating roof tank
    
         A.   Bolted deck, vapor-
             mounted primary seal,
             uncontrolled fittings
    
         B.   Bolted deck, liquid-
             mounted primary seal,
             uncontrolled fittings
    
         C.   Bolted deck, liquid-
             mounted primary seal,
             controlled fittings
    
         D.   Bolted deck, liquid-
             mounted primary seal
             and secondary seal,
             controlled fittings
    
         E.   Welded deck, liquid-
             mounted primary seal
             and secondary seal
             controlled fittings
    
    III.  External floating roof tank
         with mechanical  shoe
         primary seal and secondary
         seal
      6.22
      0.41
      0.34
      0.24
      0.21
      0.17
      0.068
     41
     39
     32
    137
    650
    390
     Not applicable.
                                     8-29
    

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    -------
           Table 8-22.   INCREMENTAL COST EFFECTIVENESS OF CONTROLLING
                      DECK SEAM EMISSIONS IN THE MODEL TANK
                                                           Incremental
                                                       Cost Effectiveness
     Base Case                  End Case                      ($/Mg)
    Bolted deck                Welded deck                   77,900
                                     8-31
    

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    8-32
    

    -------
          Table 8-24.   INCREMENTAL COST EFFECTIVENESS BETWEEN EQUIPMENT
            SPECIFIED BY EACH REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE AND AN EXTERNAL
       FLOATING ROOF TANK WITH A MECHANICAL SHOE SEAL AND A SECONDARY SEAL
    Regulatory alternative
         as  ase case           Emission reduction     Cost effectiveness
    Number        Equipment            (Mg)                  ($/Mg)
    0
    I
    
    II
    III
    IV
    V
    FR
    .IFR
    b vm
    bIFRlm
    bIFRlm,cf
    TPR
    bir*lm,ss,cf
    TCR
    wirKlm,ss,cf
    6.15
    0.34
    
    0.27
    0.17
    0.14
    0.10
    390
    5,700
    
    7,210
    11,700
    9,660
    NA3
     Notation is as follows:
    
     FR = fixed roof tank
     IFR - internal floating roof tank
     EFR = external floating roof tank
     b = bolted deck
     w = welded deck
     1m = liquid-mounted primary seal
     vm = vapor-mounted primary seal
     ms = mechanical shoe primary seal
     ss = secondary seal
     cf = controlled fittings
    p
     The annualized cost without product recovery credit is calculated as
     follows:
     Annualized cost = (cost of external floating roof tank + cost of
                       secondary seal) - (cost of fixed roof tank + cost
                       of controls).
    
     Regulatory Alternative V is more  expensive than the EFR      control option.
     Therefore, cost effectiveness is  undefined.               '
                                     8-33
    

    -------
    8.7  REFERENCES
    
     1.  Basdekis, H.  S.   Emissions Control Options for the Synthetic Organic
         Chemicals Manufacturing Industry; (draft document submitted to
         EPA).   Hydroscience, Inc.   Knoxville, Tennessee.   February 1980.
         100 p.
    
     2.  Blackburn, J.  W.   Emissions Control Options for the Synthetic
         Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry; (draft document submitted
         to EPA).   Hydroscience, Inc.   Knoxville, Tennessee.  December 1979.
         120 p.
    
     3.  Memoranda from Shumaker, J.L.  to Moody, W. of TRW Environmental
         Protection Agency, dated October 11, 1982.  Summarizing cost data
         from 11 equipment manufacturers and the correlation of data into
         general equipment cost equations.
    
     4.  "Economic Indicators" Chemical  Engineering, May 19, 1980, January
         22, 1980, and October 4, 1982.
    
     5.  Telecon.  Hyatt,  Terry, Pittsburgh, Des Moines with Rockstroh, Margaret,
         TRW.   May 19,  1980.   Costs of cone roof tanks, external floating-roof
         tanks,  and secondary seals.
    
     6.  Letter from Rutland, McBarnett, GATX, to Guidetti, R., TRW.
         December 3, 1979.  Costs for external floating-roof tanks and cone
         roof tanks.
    
     7.  Telecon.   Stilt,  George, Pittsburgh Des Moines with May, George,
         TRW.   April 10,  1980.  Costs of external floating roof tanks and
         secondary seals.
    
     8.  Memorandum regarding internal  floating roof deck fittings costs
         from J. Shumaker to W. Moody,  TRW Environmental Division, Research
         Triangle Park, NC.  November 8, 1982.
    
     9.  Erickson, D.  G.   Draft Storage and Handling Report; Emission Control
         Options for the  Synthetic Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry.
         Hydroscience,  Inc. prepared for the U.S. Environmental Protection
         Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  Contract No.  68-02-2577.
         October 1978.
    
    10.  Unit Process Guide to Organic Chemical Industries, Vol. 1.  Science
         Publishers, Inc.   Ann Arbor,  Michigan.
    
    11.  News Flashes.   Chemical Engineering.  86:12.   1979.  p. 77.
    
    12.  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency.  VOC Fugitive Emissions in
         Synthetic Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry - Background
         Information for  Proposed Standards; (Preliminary draft).  Research
         Triangle Park, North Carolina.   March 1980.  p. 8-25,  8-26.
                                     8-34
    

    -------
    13.  Chemical Specialties Manufacturers Cite EPA as Having Biggest
         Economic Effect.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.  November 2, 1979.
         p. 1317.
    
    14.  Jellinek Says EPA Will Use Authority to Compel Disclosure of PMN
         Information.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.  January 11, 1980.
         p. 1586.
    
    15.  Nader Group Scores Industry Figures on Costs, Benefits of Health
         Regulations.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.  October 12, 1979.
         p. 1107.
    
    16.  EPA Estimates TSCA Reporting Role Would Cost Chemical Industry
         $6 Million.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.  Bureau of National
         Affairs, Inc.  January 11, 1980.  p. 1585.
    
    17.  Proprosal of Premanufacture Notification Notice Form and Provision
         of Rules 40 CFR, Part 720.44(201).  Washington, D.C.  U.S. Government
         Printing Office.  October 16, 1979.
    
    18.  Arthur Anderson and Co.   Cost of Government Regulation Study.
         Washington, D.C.  March 1979.
    
    19.  Cost of Pesticide Cancellations, Suspensions "Nominal," EPA Report
         Says.   Chemical Regulation Reporter.  February 29, 1980.  p. 1794.
    
    20.  EPA Water Act Regulations for Pesticide Industry Upheld.  Chemical
         Regulation Reporter.   May 18, 1979.  p.  220-221.
    
    21.  RCRA Waste Disposal Discussed.   Chemical Regulation Reporter.
         April 27, 1979.  p. 93.
    
    22.  Union Carbide Sees $2 Billion Price to Upgrade Storage Ponds Under
         RCRA.   Chemical Regulation Reporter.  April 27, 1979.  p. 98.
    
    23.  Government Considers $6 Billion Fund.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.
         May 4, 1979.  p. 119.
    
    24.  Disposal Costs for Handling Wastes Outlined by Consultant at
         Conference.  Chemical Regulation Reporter.  September 21, 1979.
         p. 982.
    
    25.  Environmental Quality, The Ninth Annual  Report of the Council on
         Environmental Quality.  Council on Environmental Quality.
         Washington, D.C.  December 1978.
    
    26.  Study Reports Costs of Complying with Anticipated EPA Regulations.
         Chemical Regulation Reporter.  1978.  p. 272.
    
    27.  Economic Analyses, Coordination to be Emphasized by IRLG in 1980-1981.
         Chemical Regulation Reporter.  January 11, 1980.  p. 1590.
    
    28.  Calendar of Federal Regulations.  Federal Register, 44:230.
         November 29, 1979.
                                     8-35
    

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                                  9.   ECONOMIC  IMPACT
    
    9.1  INDUSTRY PROFILE
    9.1.1  Introduction
         The industry profile describes the economic characteristics  of  industries
    that store volatile organic liquids (VOLs).   Its purpose is  to  provide  back-
    ground information necessary to formulate and execute  the economic impact
    analysis of Section 9.2.   The discussion begins by identifying  and describing
    the industries of interest:  those involved in VOL production,  VOL consump-
    tion, and VOL storage at merchant terminals.   Information on the  basic  supply
    and demand conditions of these industries,  including production and  sales
    levels and inputs into their production activities, is presented  in  the basic
    conditions subsection.  Three subsections are then devoted to a discussion of
    the structure, conduct, and performance of firms  in the three industry  seg-
    ments of interest.*  The section concludes with a  presentation  of the meth-
    odology and results for projecting the nationwide  VOL  storage tank population
    for the 1984-1S88 period.
    9.1.2  Identification and Description of VOL-Storing Industries
         9.1.2.1  VOL Producers.  Figure 9-1 is a flowchart of the  organic  chem-
    icals industry from raw feedstocks to end products.  VOL manufacturers  are
    part of this industry, which is complex because many chemicals  it manufactures
    subsequently are used to produce other chemicals.   Hegman, for example, esti-
    mates that intraindustry shipments constitute as  much  as two-thirds of  total
    sales in the organic chemical industry.2  This phenomenon frequently results
    in double counting of the  output of primary and intermediate chemicals  and
    hampers accurate measurement of production and sales.
         Manufacturers of VOLs  are classified in the three-digit standard indus-
    trial classification  (SIC)  code 286, Industrial Organic Chemicals.  This
     *For the benchtwrk definition of these terms and their role in economic
      analysis,  see  Reference 1.
    

    -------An error occurred while trying to OCR this image.
    

    -------
    category also includes establishments  primarily  engaged  in  the  manufacture of
    some nonvolatile and solid chemicals.   For example,  SIC  286 includes  establish-
    ments primarily engaged in the manufacture of fabricated rubber and  explosives.
         While establishments primarily engaged in the manufacture  of  industrial
    organic chemicals are classified in SIC 286,  establishments classified in
    other SIC industries produce these chemicals  as  secondary products.   Approx-
    imately 20 percent of all industrial  organic  chemicals  are  produced  in estab-
    lishments not classified in SIC 286.3
         9.1.2.2  VOL Consumers.  Industries in SIC  28,  Chemicals and  Allied
    Products, consume the largest amount of VOLs.  The  largest  consuming industry
    is also the producing industry:  SIC 286,  Industrial Organic Chemicals.   Other
    important consuming industries are SIC 282, Plastics Materials  and Synthetics;
    SIC 283, Drugs; SIC 284, Soaps, Cleaners,  and Toilet Goods; and SIC  287,
    Agricultural Chemicals.  Booz, Allen,  and Hamilton,  Inc., conducted  a survey
    of organic emissions to identify which consuming industries store  significant
    amounts of VOLs.  The survey indicates that industrial  organic  chemical  pro-
    ducers, who in most cases are also VOL consumers,  accounted for 64 percent of
    VOL emissions from storage tanks.4  It also indicates that an additional 20
    percent of all VOL emissions from storage tanks  within the  chemical  industry
    originated in SIC 282, Plastics Materials and Synthetics.  Other consuming
    industries each generate less than 5 percent of  storage tank emissions and are
    not considered further here.
         Flows of industrial organic chemicals are traced from SIC  286,  Industrial
    Organic Chemicals, to other industries, based on U.S. Department of Commerce
    1972 input/output tables.5*  Major consumers of  industrial  organic chemicals
    not included  in SIC 28 are  SIC 22, Textile Mill  Products; SIC 30,  Rubber and
    Miscellaneous Plastics Products; and SIC 24, Lumber and Wood Products.  The
    major  types of chemicals provided to these users are dyes,  lakes,  toners,
    creosote  oil, rubber-processing chemicals, and plasticizers.  Shipments of
     ^Industrial  organic chemicals are included in two input/output commodity
      groups:   Industrial Organic and Inorganic Chemicals, and Gum and Wood
      Chemicals.  The commodity-by-commodity input/output table lists the percen-
      tage  of  total U.S. output of the above chemicals consumed by producers of
      other commodities.  Any commodity that accepted 1 percent or more of the flow
      of  output of  either industrial organic and inorganic chemicals or gum and
      wood  chemicals was included in the 1972 Census of Manufactures under the
      appropriate industry group.  Data on consumption of industrial organic
      chemicals appear  in the input/output table on materials consumed by kind.
                                           9-3
    

    -------
    these products amounted to $701  million  in 1972, or about 6.1  percent of total
    industry shipments from SIC 286.6   Because the  amount  is so  small,  storage of
    chemicals outside of SIC 28 has  been  disregarded.
         Another user is SIC 516,  Wholesale  Trade of Chemicals and Allied Products,
    whose establishments purchase  chemicals  for  repackaging and  reselling.   Indus-
    try contacts indicate that the storage tanks used  by distributors  typically
    have less than 75 m3 capacity.7   Because this capacity is less than the cut-
    offs considered under each regulatory alternative, this profile does not
    include wholesale distributors.
         9.1.2.3  VOL Storage Terminals.   Data on storage  services are difficult
    to collect for three reasons.   First, most of the  small private-merchant
    terminals that store VOLs do not report  financial  data publicly.   Second, many
    of the larger publicly traded companies  aggregate  data on chemical storage
    services with data from other accounting units  or  with data  from storage of
    other commodities, making it impossible  to assess  the  financial and economic
    performance of VOL storage enterprises from  a  specific SIC  code.   Data on
    chemical storage services are included in SIC 4226,  Special  Warehousing and
    Storage  Not Elsewhere Classified, along  with data  on merchant warehousing of
    other commodities such as petroleum,  whiskey,  and  furs.  Thus, data reported
    for  this category in the 1972 Census  of Business Services  do not represent
    chemical storage services as such.  Furthermore, because  establishments are
    classified by their primary functions and because  chemical  storage is usually
    a  secondary function, data on much of the chemical storage industry are con-
    tained  in SIC industry categories other than SIC 4226.  Proprietary or captive
    terminals, if used as storage points rather than as  wholesale distribution
    centers, are  classified as auxiliary establishments  for which no revenues or
    other statistics  are reported.
         For this report,  information on bulk chemical storage was obtained from a
    trade association, the  Independent Liquid Terminals  Association (ILTA).  Mem-
    bers of  this  organization  range from a merchant terminal  operator with 1 ter-
    minal comprised  of  7 tanks to an  operator with 14 terminals and a total of
    1,469 tanks.  Few terminal operators report revenues or other statistics and,
    of those who  do,  statistics for chemical storage are combined with  statistics
    for  other operations.8   For specific  information, nine liquid terminal  oper-
    ators were  contacted.   No  statistics were collected on proprietary  terminals.
                                           9-4
    

    -------
    9.1.3  Basic Conditions
         This section addresses  supply  conditions, which  are  determined  largely by
    technological considerations,  and demand  conditions,  which  depend  primarily on
    product attributes.
         9.1.3.1  Supply Conditions.  Employment,  assets,  and costs  of materials
    for industrial organic chemicals  between  1972  and  1977 are  provided  in Table
    9-1.  Total  employment in the  industrial  organic chemical industry increased
    about 12 percent over this 5-year period.   Assets  also have increased since
    1972.  Expenditures  on materials  have tripled,  largely because of  the increased
    cost of petroleum-based raw materials.
         Resource use in Plastics  Materials and Synthetics (SIC 282) is  presented
    in Table 9-2.  In contrast to  the industrial  organic  chemical  industry, this
    industry is  becoming more capital intensive.   Total employment fell  by almost 3
    percent between 1972 and 1977, and  the number  of production workers  declined
    by over 4 percent.  Over roughly  the same period,  the value of assets increased
    38 percent.   Between 1972 and  1977, expenditures on materials  increased dramat-
    ically, by over 130  percent, primarily because of  increased fuel and feedstock
    prices.
         Capital expenditures and  operating rates  for  the VOL-producing  and VOL-
    consuming industries are presented  in Table 9-3, in both  current and constant
    dollars, for the years 1958 to 1978.  Expenditures by VOL producers  declined
    for  some years prior to 1972.   When oil prices increased  sharply in  1973,
    expenditures started to grow again  in real terms,  rising  by almost 200 percent
    over 5 years.  A trade survey  indicated that these new expenditures  were for
    improvements in old plants and process efficiency  gains rather than  for new
    capital assets.10  Capital expenditures in SIC 282,  Plastics Materials and
    Synthetics,   have increased steadily since 1958 as  demand  for plastics has
    grown.  The  most dramatic growth occurred after 1973, when  plastics  and resins
    companies began large expansion programs, after which expenditures declined as
    companies invested in process  improvements.
         9.1.3.2  Demand Conditions.
         9.1.3.2.1  VOL producers  and consumers.   Demand  for  VOL storage services
    depends  upon demand for VOL chemicals and upon the inventory and distribution
    practices of VOL producers and consumers.  VOL producers  and consumers choose
    to  hold  inventories, onsite or in terminals, to facilitate  production and
                                          9-5
    

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                      TABLE 9-1.  RESOURCE USE BY PRODUCERS OF
                        INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (SIC 286)9
    Year
    1972
    1973
    1974
    1975
    1976
    1977
    Employment
    do3)
    136.5
    137.8
    135.2
    137.3
    141.8
    152.8
    Production
    workers
    (10s)
    87.9
    89.2
    88.2
    86.4
    90.3
    97.9
    Cost of ,
    materials '
    ($106)
    5,514.4
    6,488.4
    10,608.8
    11,765.7
    14,713.9
    17,607.7
    Assets3'5
    ($106)
    12,490.9
    13,258.9
    14,068.3
    16,360.3
    18,972.9
    N/A
    aCurrent dollars.
    
     The adjective "current"  or "nominal"  describes  the  measurement of an economic
     magnitude in current prices;  i.e.,  prices  pertaining to  the  year in question.
     When current or nominal  values are  compared for different years,  no account
     is taken of general  price inflation or deflation.   By contrast,  the adjective
     "real" or "constant" refers to attempts to measure  economic  magnitudes by
     the quantity of real goods and services they command; i.e.,  with the general
     rate of inflation deducted to record the real  command over resources.
                                          9-6
    

    -------
                     TABLE  9-2.   RESOURCE USE  BY  PRODUCERS  OF
                     PLASTICS  MATERIALS AND  SYNTHETICS  (SIC  282)9
    Year
    1972
    1973
    1974
    1975
    1976
    1977
    Employment
    (10s)
    161.9
    164.1
    169.8
    150.3
    152.8
    157.1
    Production
    workers
    do3)
    116.0
    118.6
    121.8
    104.0
    107.0
    111.1
    Cost of a
    materials
    ($106)
    4,854.9
    5,310.6
    8,521.9
    8,591.7
    10,687.5
    11,552.6
    Assets3
    ($106)
    9,468.5
    10,090.6
    11,268.3
    12,220.3
    13,047.7
    N/A
    Current dollars.
                                         9-7
    

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    9-8
    

    -------
    sales;  i.e.,  they accept the cost of holding  some  VOL  inventory in exchange
    for improved  operating productivity and sales.   For  both producers and con-
    sumers, inventories are held in bulk due to economies  of scale in storage.
         Table 2-4 presents data on production and  sales of industrial organic
    chemicals for zhe period 1955 to 1981.   Production of  industrial organic chem-
    icals increased at an average annual rate of  6  percent from 1955 to 1974.
    However, following the sharp rise in oil prices in 1974 and the decreasing
    demand for chenicals during the 1975 recession, 1975 production declined to 85
    percent of the previous year's output.   Production declined again slightly in
    1976 as producers and consumers both tried to reduce inventories.  With eco-
    nomic recovery, production of industrial chemicals increased, rising to 90 per-
    cent of the 1974 output in 1978 and surpassing  the 1974 level thereafter.
         Physical sales followed a similar pattern, increasing at a 6 percent
    average annual growth rate from 1955 to 1973.  However, rapidly increasing
    feedstock prices in 1974 resulted in higher chemical prices.  In 1975, the
    physical sales volume dropped to 80 percent of  1973  levels, as the impact of
    higher real prices was compounded by the 1975 recession.  Physical sales
    further declined in 1976 to 77 percent of their 1973 level, began to grow
    again  in 1977, and rose in 1978 to 83 percent of the 1973 peak.  The 1973 peak
    was matched in 1979, but physical sales weakened again in 1980 and 1981.  Phy-
    sical  sales of industrial organic chemicals consistently have represented about
    50 percent of production over the period 1955 to 1978.  The other 50 percent
    is 'captively consumed.
         Between 1573 and 1981, current dollar sales increased much more rapidly
    than did output and physical sales  volumes.  In some years, dollar sales
    increased as chemical prices rose even though production and physical sales
    volumes decreased.  Dollar sales increased over 50 percent  in 1974, while the
    physical sales volume fell 3.7 percent.  Revenues changed very little as the
    volume  of physical sales fell sharply between 1974 and 1975.   In  1976, dollar
    sales  began to grow again.
         Table 9-5 contains production  and  sales data for plastics and resins
    materials, the largest VOL consumer.  From 1955 to 1973, production and physi-
    cal  sales grew at  an  annual average of  over  10 percent.  In 1974, sharply
    rising prices  for  raw materials  reduced  output by 15 percent although the
    physical  sales volume grew by over  11 percent.   In 1975, physical sales fell
                                           9-9
    

    -------
                   TABLE 9-4.   HISTORICAL PRODUCTION AND SALES OF
                      INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS,  1955-198114a
    Year
    1955
    1956
    1957
    1958
    1959
    1950
    1961
    1962
    1963
    1965
    1965
    1956
    1967
    1968
    1969
    1970
    1971
    1972
    1973
    1974
    1975
    1976
    1977
    1978
    1979
    1980
    1981
    Production
    (106 Mg)
    23.5
    27.8
    26.7
    24.9
    25.0
    27.1
    27.6
    30.1
    32.5
    36.3
    40.1
    44.3
    45.7
    51.4
    56.8
    57.8
    57.7
    65.6
    69.9
    71.8
    61.0
    61.9
    61.2
    64.6
    82.1
    77.8
    77.5
    Physical
    sales
    (106 Mg)
    11.9
    12.6
    12.7
    11.9
    12.3
    12.9
    13.4
    14.2
    15.1
    17.5
    19.0
    20.8
    21.7
    24.7
    27.4
    28.1
    28.6
    33.3
    36.2
    34.9
    29.0
    27.9
    29.1
    30.0
    36.3
    34.9
    33.8
    Ratio of
    physical
    sales to
    production
    50.6
    45.3
    47.6
    47.8
    49.2
    47.6
    48.6
    47.2
    46.5
    48.2
    47.4
    46.9
    47.5
    48.0
    48.6
    47.5
    46.3
    50.8
    51.8
    48.6
    47.5
    45.1
    47.5
    46.4
    44.2
    44.9
    43.6
    Dollar
    salesb'C
    ($106)
    2,811
    3,008
    3,097
    3,039
    3,498
    3,672
    4,040
    4,082
    4,210
    4,697
    5,182
    5,762
    6,359
    7,047
    7,277
    7,381
    7,592
    8,558
    10,049
    15,245
    15,355
    16,455
    17,945
    19,397
    26,007
    29,057
    30,995
     These data reflect some double counting  due  to  the  interindustry  trade
    .already noted.
     These figures are developed by aggregating data in  the  following
     International Trade Commission industrial categories:   tar,  tar crudes,
     cyclic intermediates,  dyes, lakes  and toners,  flavor  and  perfume  materials,
     rubber-processing chemicals, plasticizers, pesticides,  miscellaneous end-use
     chemicals, and miscellaneous cyclic and  acyclic chemicals.   Prior to 1975,
     data on chemicals in the latter category were  reported  as Miscellaneous
     Synthetic Organic Chemicals.  Figures for 1976  through  1978  are not strictly
     comparable to figures  for other years due to a  change in  one product classi-
     fication.  The original classification was restored in  1979.
     Dollar sales are presented in current dollars.
    
                                         9-10
    

    -------
                   TABLE 9-5.  HISTORICAL PRODUCTION AND SALES OF
                      PLASTICS AND RESINS MATERIALS, 1955-198114C
    Year
    1955
    1956
    1957
    1958
    1959
    1960
    1961
    1962
    1963
    1964
    1965
    1966
    1967
    1968
    1969
    1970
    1971
    1972
    1973
    1974
    1975
    1976
    1977
    1978
    1979
    1980
    1981
    Production
    (106 Mg)
    2.6
    2.9
    3.0
    3.1
    3.9
    4.1
    4.3
    5.0
    5.5
    6.1
    6.9
    7.9
    8.0
    9.4
    10.7
    10.7
    11.7
    14.0
    16.4
    13.9
    13.4
    15.9
    18.3
    20.2
    21.7
    19.5
    20.6
    Physical
    sales
    (106 Mg)
    2.4
    2.6
    2.7
    2.8
    3.5
    3.6
    3.9
    4.5
    4.7
    5.3
    5.9
    6.8
    6.9
    8.2
    9.0
    9.5
    10.2
    12.3
    14.6
    16.3
    11.3
    12.9
    15.4
    16.9
    18.5
    16.7
    17.9
    Ratio of
    physical
    sales to
    production
    92
    90
    90
    90
    90
    88
    91
    90
    85
    87
    86
    86
    86
    87
    84
    89
    87
    88
    89
    117
    84
    81
    84
    84
    85
    86
    87
    Dollar
    salesb'C
    ($106)
    1,651
    1,730
    1,811
    1,819
    2,333
    2,351
    2,427
    2,658
    2,770
    2,930
    3,346
    3,658
    3,547
    3,880
    4,235
    4,298
    4,541
    5,353
    6,644
    9,416
    8,461
    10,148
    12,822
    14,224
    17,705
    18,291
    19,597
     These data reflect some double counting due  to  the  interindustry trade
     already noted.
    
     These figures are based on the summation of  two International  Trade
     Commission categories:   plastics and resins  materials,  and elastomers
     (synthetic rubber).
    
    C0ollar sales are presented in current dollars.
                                          9-11
    

    -------
    by 30 percent as price increases and the 1975  recession sharply  reduced demand
    for plastics and resins.   Manufacturers  reduced 1975  production  by only 3.6
    percent, however, allowing inventories  to increase.   In 1976,  the physical
    sales volume increased again as general  economic activity in the United States
    began to rise.   Physical  sales continued to grow in  1977 and exceeded the pre-
    vious (1974) peak level from 1978 through 1981.
         Dollar sales of plastics and resins grew  14.3 percent annually between
    1975 and 1978 as producers of automobiles and  other  durable goods, responding
    to rising energy prices,  sought to replace heavier materials (e.g., steel and
    glass) with lighter weight plastics.  Although prices of plastics and resins
    also increased, potentially adverse impacts of those  price increases on demand
    for these materials were offset by sharply rising prices for substitute com-
    modities, steel and glass, which are also manufactured by energy-intensive
    production processes.   The combined effect of  the increased physical sales
    volume  and rising prices substantially increased dollar sales between 1974 and
    1981.
         International trade is another potentially important component of demand.
    Specific data on the  import and export of VOLs is not available.  The follow-
    ing discussion therefore presents international trade data for Industrial
    Organic Chemicals (SIC 286) and Plastics Materials and Synthetics (SIC 282).
    International trade data on tank storage services are also unavailable.
         Table 9-6 presents data on exports and imports of industrial organic
    chemicals for the years 1972-1981.  Comparing these data to dollar sales  data
    indicates that a substantial and, over this time period, growing portion  of
    sales  is for export.   Imports  of industrial organic chemicals have been
    growing at about the  same  rate  as have industry sales but are much smaller
    than the level  of exports,  so  trade in industrial organic chemicals has  con-
    tributed favorably to the  U.S.  balance of trade.
         Table  9-7 presents data on exports and imports of plastics materials and
    synthetics.  These data also  indicate a favorable balance of trade.  Growth  in
    the  value of both exports  and  imports has just  kept pace with the value  of
     industry shipment.  International competition  in  Plastics Materials and  Resins
     (SIC  2821),  however,  is expected to erode favorable trade balances that  sector
    currently maintains.16
          9.1.3.2.2  VOL storage terminals.   Chemicals are  stored in terminals for
                                           9-12
    

    -------
    TABLE 9-5.   EXPORT AND IMPORT VALUES  OF  INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC  CHEMICALS  (SIC  286)
                      EXCLUDING GUM AND WOOD CHEMICALS (SIC 2861)
                       FOR SELECTED YEARS BETWEEN  1972 AND 198115
    Year
    1972
    1977
    1978
    1979
    1980
    1981
    Estimated.
    TABLE 9-7.
    AND SYNTHETICS
    Year
    1972
    1977
    1978
    1979
    1980
    1981
    Exports
    1,073.1
    2,879.4
    3,812.9
    5,493.9
    6,292.1
    6,500.0a
    
    EXPORT AND IMPORT VALUES OF
    (SIC 282) FOR SELECTED YEARS
    Exports
    766.9
    1,751.6
    1,973.5
    3,181.2
    3,973.5
    3,861.2a
    Imports
    448.6
    1,094.8
    1,484.2
    1,784.7
    2,008.7
    2,050.0a
    
    PLASTICS MATERIALS
    BETWEEN 1972 AND 198116
    Imports
    273.2
    385.6
    509.6
    513.8
    521.2
    597. 8a
     Estimated.
                                          9-13
    

    -------
    short periods partly because of the  need  for  transshipment:   changes  in  the
    mode of transportation between origin  and final  destination.   Chemicals  often
    are moved in large bulk shipments  to a distribution  center  by barge or rail
    car.  These large shipments are then partitioned into  smaller lots  for trans-
    port by truck to areas not served  by barge or rail.  The  amount  of  transshipment
    undertaken depends upon locations  (origin and destination), alternative trans-
    portation costs, product stability,  and storage  costs.
         Terminals are operated on a proprietary  basis  and by independent companies.
    Proprietary terminals are owned and  operated  exclusively  by chemical  producers
    as  part of their distribution systems.  Independently  operated facilities,
    often called merchant terminals, provide  storage services on a contract basis.
    The merchant terminals lease capacity  to chemical producers near markets not
    served by appropriate proprietary terminals and  at points where transshipment
    occurs.  They may also be used by producers when extra storage capacity is
    required on a short-term basis.
         Most terminal operations store  other liquid and dry  bulk commodities in
    addition to VOLs.  Liquids like petroleum, fats, fertilizers, and dry goods of
    many types commonly are stored at terminals.   Depending on the terminal's
    location, chemicals account for 5 to 25 percent of a facility's bulk, liquid
    capacity and a  slightly greater percentage of revenues from bulk liquid
    storage.9  At any given time a small percentage of a terminal's capacity will
    hold VOLs.   Conversion of a tank from another use to .VOL storage is possible
    but requires purging  of the tank, an  expensive and time-consuming process
    undertaken only about once every 5  to 10 years.   Therefore, most tanks are
    believed to  be  in designated  service  as  far  as VOL storage  is concerned.
    9.1.4   Market Structure
          Issues  addressed in  the  market structure section of this profile include
    vertical  integration, market  concentration,  geographic distribution  of plants,
    and barriers to entry.
          9.1.4.1 Vertical  Integration.    A firm  that produces  raw materials or
    fabricated inputs  used  in the production of  its  primary  output  or that  engaged
    in further processing of  its  primary  output  is  said to be  vertically integrated.
    Vertical  integration is  apparent  among firms that produce,  consume,  and store
    VOLs.
          9.1.4.1.1   VOL producer  and  consumer firms.  The  relationship between  a
                                           9-14
    

    -------
    firm's production cost and output  price  is  affected,  among  other  things,  by
    the extent to which the industry is  vertically  integrated.   Within  VOL produc-
    tion and consumption,  vertical  integration  is extensive.  Captive consumption
    of VOLs averaged about 52 percent  of total  output  during  the period 1955  to
    1978, a ratio that varied only slightly  from year  to  year (see  Table 9-4).
         Vertical integration of VOL production and consumption extends to storage
    services.   In addition to proprietary storage at the  production site, many
    large firms establish proprietary  terminals that can  serve  the  needs of nearby
    markets quickly.  Because VOL producers  and consumers manufacture a range of
    non-VOL products, proprietary terminals  also provide  storage for other chem-
    ical and petroleum products (e.g., fuels).   When proprietary storage capacity
    is not available, merchant terminals are leased to store  these  chemicals.
         9.1.4.1.2  Merchant terminals.   Many merchant terminal companies are
    proprietorships or partnerships, some with only a  single  terminal,  and many
    are vertically  integrated into distribution or  repackaging  services.  Petro-
    leum distributors are the most typical type of  merchants  providing  chemical
    storage.  A few operators are large, international corporations with many
    terminals in the United States and abroad.   Typically, these large  firms are
    integrated vertically into distribution and other  transportation services.
         9.1.4.2  Market Concentration.   Market concentration addresses the issue
    of whether individual market participants exercise economic power.   Typically,
    market concentration indicates the share of business  held by leading firms in
    an industry.  Concentration ratios based on the four  largest producers in an
    industry are cited most frequently.
         Hundreds of VOL chemicals exist, covering  a wide variety of production
    characteristics, output levels, applications and,  consequently, market con-
    ditions.  Many  VOL chemicals (e.g., formaldehyde and  alcohols)  are  manufac-
    tured  by a relatively large number of firms through various processes.  The
    products have a wide range of end uses in which substitute materials often can
    be used.  These markets therefore tend to be highly competitive.  Other VOL
    chemicals (e.g., succinonitrile and isoamylene) are manufactured by a small
    number of producers (in some cases, only one) and have no close substitutes  in
    their  end uses.  In these markets, producers may be able to influence market
    prices considerably, at  least in  the  short  run.
          The precise degree of market concentration in VOL production and consump-
                                           9-15
    

    -------
    tion is difficult to evaluate because  it varies  considerably among products.
    However, a general assessment of the  industry-wide  situation may be made based
    on capacity share data presented in Table 9-8.   These data suggest that no one
    company or group of companies dominates  the  industry.   In  1976,  the top 4 com-
    panies owned only 18 percent of total  VOL capacity  and the top 20 firms owned
    45.39 percent of total VOL capacity.
         9.1.4.3  Geographic Distribution of Plants.
         9.1.4.3.1  VOL producers.   The location of  VOL storage is extremely
    important to determinate its commercial  value.   Table 9-9  contains 1972 and
    1977 data on geographic distribution  of  production  sites of industrial organic
    chemicals.*  VOLs are produced in almost every region of the country.!  Most
    of the plants are small, employing fewer than 20 workers.   The largest plants
    are clustered in the South near raw material supplies and in the Middle Atlan-
    tic States close to industries that use  the  finished products.
         The 1977 statistics suggest that three  changes may have taken place in
    the VOL-producing and VOL-consuming industries.   First, a shift in the loca-
    tion of plants  is apparent among different regions  of the country.  These data
    indicate that the number of plants in the Middle Atlantic and West North
    Central States  is declining and that a large portion of the new plants are
    being  constructed in  the East North Central  and West South Central States.
    Second, plant size, as measured by the number of employees, appears to be
    increasing.  In each  of the three sectors comprising SIC 286, Industrial
     ^Industry  definitions for SIC 2861, SIC 2865, and SIC 2869 used by the Bureau
      of  the  Census  do not correspond precisely to definitions of the organic
      chemicals  industry  used by the International Trade Commission.  Thus, data
      presented  in Table  9-9 are not strictly comparable with data presented in
      Table 9-4.
     tGeographic regions  as defined by the Bureau of the Census are: NORTHEAST
      New England States:  Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire,
      Rhode Island,  and Vermont.  Middle Atlantic States:  New York, New Jersey,
      and Pennsylvania.   NORTH CENTRAL East North Central States:  Ohio, Indiana,
      Illinois,  Michigan, and Wisconsin.  West North Central States:  Minnesota,
      Iowa, Missouri,  North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska,  and Kansas.  SOUTH
      South Atlantic States:  Delaware, Maryland, District of Columbia, Virginia,
      West Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.  East
      South Central  States:  Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, and Mississippi.  West
      South Central  States:  Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma,  and Texas.  WEST
      Mountain  States:  Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona,
      Utah, and Nevada.   Pacific States:  Washington, Oregon, California,  Hawaii,
      and Alaska.
                                           9-16
    

    -------
                TABLE 9-8.   INDUSTRY-WIDE MARKET CONCENTRATION BASED ON
                               CAPACITY SHARE DATA,  197617
     Number           Percent            Estimated            Percent of
    of firms         of firms          capacity (Mg)        industry capacity
    Top 4              0.72              58,751.8                 18.3
    
    Top 8              1.43              91,820.6                 28.6
    
    Top 20             3.58             145,752.34                45.39
    
    Top 40             7.17             186,681.62                58.14
                                           9-17
    

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    Organic Chemicals,  the percentage of large  plants  increased.   Third,  a shift
    in resources away from SIC 2861,  Gum and Wood Chemicals,  to SIC  2869, Indus-
    trial Organic Chemicals Not Elsewhere Classified,  is  apparent.   The former
    industry lost 20 plants and the latter gained 55  plants  in 5 years.
         9.1.4.3.2  VOL consumers.   The geographic distribution of VOL consumers
    is presented in Table 9-10.  In general, plants in this  industry (SIC 282,
    Plastics Materials  and Synthetics) are larger than VOL-producing plants are;
    over 75 percent of  SIC 282 firms employ more than 20  workers.  Overall, the
    industry is not as  geographically concentrated as the industrial organic chem-
    ical industry is; but a high proportion of  the plants are located in the
    Middle Atlantic, South Atlantic, and East North Central  States.
         9.1.4.3.3  Terminals.  Data on capacity of merchant storage terminals, by
    State, are presented in Table 9-11.  Over half (51 percent) of ILTA members
    are  located in Texas, Louisiana, and New Jersey.   These  data must be inter-
    preted cautiously with respect to VOL storage, however,  because  capacity esti-
    mates include many large petroleum storage  tanks.
         Although data on proprietary storage are not available, major oil firms
    that also produce VOLs often use their petroleum distribution terminals to
    handle chemicals.  Many of these terminals, along with a number  of terminals
    owned by chemical producers, are located along the inland waterway system that
    covers the North Central and Southern States.
         9.1.4.4  Barriers to  Entry.  Although entry into and departure from the
    principal industries storing VOL could not be measured directly, some general
    comments are appropriate about conditions facing firms considering entry into
    the  industry.   Entry can take two forms.  First, a chemical producer or con-
    sumer can enter by acquiring tanks for proprietary storage or vertical
    integration.  These firms  face apparently surmountable barriers  of capital
    formation, expertise, and  local  laws and standards.  A storage facility
    requires expenditures for  tanks, land, and concrete pads.  Support services,
    labor, and maintenance must be provided.  Such firms also must find or develop
    expertise in managing storage operations..  Before construction of the facility
    can  begin, permits must be obtained  from  Federal, State, and local Government
    agencies, and construction usually must conform to standards set by private
    organizations.   All of these barriers can be  overcome if the internal rate  of
    return on the investment  is sufficiently attractive.   Alternatively, many
    firms can bypass legal barriers  to entry by  purchasing an established storage
    facility.
                                           9-19
    

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            TABLE 9-11.   TOTAL 1982 MERCHANT LIQUID  BULK  CAPACITY,  BY STATE8
    State
    Total capacity
         (m3)
                                                                    Share of total
                                                                    U.S.  capacity
    Alabama
    Arizona
    Arkansas
    Cal i form' a
    Colorado
    Connecticut
    Delaware
    Florida
    Georgia
    Illinois
    Indiana
    Iowa
    Kansas
    Kentucky
    Louisiana
    Maryland
    Michigan
    Minnesota
    Mississippi
    Missouri
    Nebraska
    Nevada
    New Jersey
    New York
    North Carolina
    North Dakota
    Ohio
    Oklahoma
    Oregon
    Pennsylvania
    South Dakota
    Tennessee
    Texas
    Virginia
    Washington
    West Virginia
    Wisconsin
    Total
    337,269
    24,009
    72,989
    1,428,962
    12,100
    550,459
    184,758
    294,198
    663,982
    1,866,126
    135,180
    781,948
    291,471
    4,055
    4,001,388
    260,190
    39,988
    581,719
    154,548
    239,763
    273,035
    8,268
    4,230,975
    1,464,066
    409,807
    126,271
    257,501
    440,876
    429,917
    1,416,862
    156,186
    133,823
    5,944,659
    20,218
    187,886
    120,840
    64,939
    27,617,231
    1.22
    0.09
    0.26
    5.17
    0.04
    1.99
    0.67
    1.06
    2.40
    6.76
    0.49
    2.83
    1.06
    0.01
    14.51
    0.94
    0.14
    2.11
    0.56
    0.87
    0.99
    0.03
    15.32
    5.30
    1.48
    0.46
    0.93
    1.60
    1.56
    5.13
    0.57
    0.48
    21.53
    0.07
    0.68
    0.44
    0.24
    100.00
                                          9-21
    

    -------
         Potential  merchant terminal  operators  face  similar  barriers,  among them
    capital formation,  which is often more  difficult for  the small  business than
    for the larger business.   Also,  capital  formation may be more difficult for
    new terminal operators than for  existing operators wishing to expand their
    operations but is not anticipated to represent a barrier sufficient to prevent
    entry into the industry.
    9.1.5  Market Conduct
         This section focuses on pricing behavior in the  industrial organic chem-
    icals and merchant terminals industries.  The observations could be helpful
    for assessing the price impacts  of the  proposed new source performance stand-
    ard (NSPS).
         9.1.5.1  Chemical Pricing.   VOL producers and consumers manufacture many
    chemicals embracing a wide variety of characteristics.  Potential  for substi-
    tution and/or intermediate competition  varies considerably from chemical to
    chemical.   In general, though, a price-induced incentive to substitute is
    diminished  by the fact that good substitutes are frequently also VOLs.  The
    substitutes are therefore also subject to cost and price changes related to a
    storage  standard or other common factors.
         Table  9-12 presents price data for industrial organic chemicals and plas-
    tics,  resins, and elastomers materials from 1955 to 1981.  These data indicate
    that during the era of stable, low-energy prices from 1955 to 1973, chemical
    prices remained stable in current terms and declined  slightly in constant  terms.
    Following the rapid increase in  energy prices in the  fall of 1973 and in 1974,
    the average current price of organic chemicals rose sharply and continued  to
    increase between 1975  and 1981.   However, constant prices increased at a much
    slower rate than did  current prices.
         Data  in Taile 9-12  also indicate that both  current and constant prices
    for plastics and resins  declined during the period 1955 to 1972 as energy
    prices remained  stable and  production technology improved.  However, the  sharp
    increase in raw  rraterial prices  in  1973 resulted in a 29  percent increase  in
    current  prices for those products between 1973  and 1974.  The  product  prices
    of the industry  again increased  substantially between 1974 and 1975.   There-
    after, the  rate  at which current prices  increased  slowed, and  real prices
    remained stable  between  1975  and 1977.  Between  1977  and  1981, the real price
    of plastics,  resins,  and elastomers fell.
                                           9-22
    

    -------
         TABLE 9-12.  HISTORICAL PRICE DATA FOR INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
                      AND PLASTICS, RESINS, AND ELASTOMERS, 1955-1981
                 Industrial organic
                      chemicals
    Plastics,  resins, and
          elastomers
    Average unit prices
    Year
    1955
    1956
    1957
    1958
    1959
    1960
    1961
    1962
    1963
    1964
    1965
    1966
    1967
    1968
    1969
    1970
    1971
    1972
    1973
    1974
    1975
    1976
    1977
    1978
    1979
    1980
    1981
    Current3
    (C/kg)
    24
    24
    24
    26
    28
    28
    30
    29
    28
    27
    27
    28
    29
    29
    27
    26
    27
    26
    28
    44
    53
    59
    62
    65
    72
    83
    92
    Constant
    (
    -------
         9.1.5.2  Merchant Terminal  Storage  Pricing.   Results  of a telephone sur-
    vey of nine merchant terminal  operators  suggest  two  general  pricing schemes
    are practiced.   Under the simpler method,  the  terminal  charges a fee (often
    called a throughput fee) for each unit of  chemical that passes through its
    storage tanks.*  Individual  terminals adjust throughput fees to reflect varia-
    tions in quality of storage  service provided to  the  customer and in physical
    properties of the chemical to be stored.
         Under the more complex  pricing system,  the  terminal charges a basic fixed
    fee for the duration of the  storage contract to  recover fixed costs associated
    with the terminal's storage  facilities  and costs associated with handling a
    minimum volume of throughput.t  If throughput exceeds the level on which the
    minimum charge is based, the terminal  levies an  additional per-unit charge on
    the additional volume of chemicals it handles to cover the cost of additional
    labor, energy, and materials inputs.   Often, as  the  volume of throughput and
    the number of tank turnovers (throughput divided by  tank capacity) increase,
    the price charged by the terminal for additional throughput is reduced, re-
    flecting economies of scale in handling large numbers of turnovers.^  Com-
    panies apparently vary the fixed fee they charge according to market
    conditions so discounts may be offered when demand for storage services is
    low.  Payment for additional throughput services is  made in two parts.  Half
    of the throughput rate  is collected as the chemicals are unloaded from trucks,
    rail cars, or barges  into the storage tank and the remainder is collected as
     *For example, a customer may require storage for 1.5 million £/yr of methyl
      alcohol.   If the throughput rate for methyl alcohol is 3
    -------
    the chemicals leave storage.   The basic  fee  is  collected while  the tank is
    used.
         Other storage pricing systems may be used  in  addition to the two methods
    described here but were not identified in the survey,  which covered only
    approximately 10 percent of all  merchant terminal  operators.  Details of the
    pricing policies used by the remaining. 90 percent  of VOL merchant terminals
    were not available.
         Finally, it should be noted that virtually every storage contract is
    unique because of the large number of services  offered by terminals to
    customers.  Variables that affect basic  rates and  throughput surcharges in-
    clude options that may be added to a tank (e.g., floating roofs, nitrogen
    blankets, refrigeration, insulation, steam heating,  special linings, auxiliary
    pumps, vapor recovery systems, and other pollution control devices), modes of
    transportation, length of contracts,* age of tanks,t and corrosivity and
    toxicity of chemicals.f  Additional services add to storage costs, which are
    passed directly to the customer in the contract.
    9.1.6  Market Performance
         9.1.6.1  VOL  Producers' and Consumers'  Financial Characteristics.  Two
    recent EPA reports presented data and results of an analysis on fiscal year
    (FY) 1977 financial data for a sample of 100 chemical firms.23'24  It was
    estimated that the average aftertax cost of capital  measured in current dollar
    terms for chemical firms was 10.81 percent.   If capital costs are distributed
    normally, S5 percent of the industry firms face aftertax capital costs ranging
    from 8.95 to 12.67 percent.
         9.1.6.2  Merchant Terminals' Financial  Characteristics.  A financial pro-
    file of  terminal  services could not be developed because (1) financial data
    are not  provided  by many firms and (2) data on the terminal operations of ver-
    tically  integrated firms are not reported separately from other operations on
    Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) 10K forms.
     The  basic  rate of a 1-year contract is likely to be higher than that of a
      15-year contract due to the capital recovery factory.
     fin Texas,  State regulations require different designs on tanks built before
      and  after  1976.
     fCorrosivity  requires relining of the tanks, and toxicity requires special
      handling equipment and techniques.
                                          9-25
    

    -------
    9.1.7  Projected New and Reconstructed  VOL  Storage Tanks:   Calendar Years
           1984-1988
         The projection for new and reconstructed  tanks  has  two components:   tanks
    that replace retiring tanks and tanks that  increase  total  storage  capacity.
    The projection's methodology and results  for each component are  discussed
    separately below.
         Replacement tanks were projected by  three steps.   First,  the  number of  „
    tanks in place in each of the years 1954-1977  has been  estimated by using the
    Federal Reserve Board index of organic  chemical  production as  a  proxy of VOL
    chemical production capacity during the 1954-1977 period.25'26  This index has
    been smoothed through regression procedures,*  and the total number of VOL
    tanks in place for each of the years is computed based  on  the  regression equa-
    tion and 1977 data on the number of VOL storage tanks.27'28  Inherent in this
    procedure is the assumption that the ratio  of  storage capacity to production
    capacity is constant.
         Second, a tank age profile for 1977 has been  constructed  by using a recur-
    sive procedure that assigns ages to tanks based upon the number of tanks
    existing in the  prior years as established in  the  first step of this metho-
    dology.  Additional assumptions required for this  procedure are as follows:
         1.   A tank's economic life is assumed to be  20 years, an assumption
              consistent with the tank cost methodology of  Chapter 8.
         2.   During the initial year (1954) of the recursive process the age of
              tanks  was uniformly distributed between  1 and 20 years.   This  assump-
              tion  is  fairly arbitrary but, because the number of tanks estimated
              in 1954  (3,800)  is estimated to be  less  than  14 percent of the total
              number in 1977 (27,540), alternate  assumptions are unlikely to pro-
              duce  substantially different results.
         3.   All obsolete  (20-year old) tanks were replaced and new tanks pur-
              chased at the beginning of each year.  This assumption is necessary
              simply because the recursive procedure is a discrete approximation
     *The  smoothed  data  are the predicted values of the index with a log linear
      specification:   In Y. =  .079 t.   In Y.  is the natural logarithm of the
      production  index for year t (t =  1954 to 1977), and  .079 is estimated
      through  least squares procedures  with the regression line constrained to
      pass through  the observation for  1977.
                                          9-26
    

    -------
              of a continuous  process.   Alternate  assumptions,  including  refine-
              ments in the time interval  used,  are also  unlikely  to  produce sub-
              stantially different results.
         The recursive procedure works  as follows:   given  the  age distribution of
    tanks in 1954 (assumption  2 above),  age  all  existing tanks  1  year,  compute the
    number of replacement tanks required in  1955 (the  number of tanks  that have
    aged to 21), compute the number of  new tanks required  in 1955 (the difference
    between the total tanks in 1955 and 1954),  and construct an age  distribution
    of tanks in 1955.  This process is  repeated year by  year until an  age distri-
    bution of tanks for 1977 has been generated.
         The third step in projections  of tank replacement for 1984-1988 is to use
    the 20-year economic life assumption and the age distribution of tanks in 1977
    to compute the number of tanks in each of the projection years.  That is, each
    tanks in the 1977 age profile that will  be 21 years  old in a  projection year
    will be replaced in that year.  These results indicate that 4,900  replacement
    tanks will be constructed during the period 1984-1988  (see row 1 of Table 9-13).
         Projected VOL storage tanks construction that adds new capacity nationwide
    is based upon forecasted growth of the organic chemicals industry.   The Federal
    Reserve Board index of organic chemical  production,  extrapolated to the
    1984-1988 period from data for the period 1954 to 1977, indicates  an average
    annual growth rate of about 7.9 percent.  Chemical industry observers from the
    American Chemical Society and the U.S. Department of Commerce have independ-
    ently indicated  some apparent slackening in long-term  growth  in  the organic
    chemicals sector and a probably more realistic growth  rate of 4  to 6 percent
    for the projection period.29'30  On this basis, 5 percent annual growth in the
    organic chemicals industry and proportionate increases in tank and production
    capacities  are assumed to project new capacity tanks (see row 2  of Table 9-13).
    Over the period  1984-1988, 10,200 new capacity tanks are projected.  By com-
    parison, a  7.9 percent growth rate from 1977 would have resulted in a projec-
    tion of 21,620 new capacity tanks in the period.  Total new tank construction
    in  the projection period  is shown in row 3 of Table 9-13.
         Finally,  the projection  of  new  tanks during 1984-1988 is disaggregated  by
    capacity and  vapor pressure.  A  1977 survey of VOL storage tanks provided  an
    estimated pressure and volume distribution  for the tanks (see Table 9-14  for  a
    summary).31'32   This percentage  distribution table was secular multiplied  by
                                           9-27
    

    -------
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
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    9-28
    

    -------
         TABLE  9-14.   ESTIMATED  PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF VOL STORAGE TANKS
                      BY  VAPOR PRESSURE AND TANK CAPACITY, 1977a
    Vapor pressure (KPa)
    Capacity
    (m3)
    0-75
    75-150
    150-375
    375-3,750
    3,750-15,000
    >15,000
    TOTAL
    0-
    3.5
    27.98
    9.26
    8.94
    12.84
    1.12
    0.03
    60.17
    3.5-
    6.9
    6.55
    1.58
    1.68
    2.98
    0.36
    0.00
    13.15
    6.9-
    10.3
    3.22
    0.93
    1.17
    1.58
    0.35
    0.07
    7.32
    10.3-
    34.5
    5.14
    2.32
    2.28
    5.59
    1.10
    0.19
    16.62
    34.5-
    58.6
    1.23
    0.03
    0.19
    0.46
    0.09
    0.00
    2.00
    >58.6
    0.39
    0.13
    0.06
    0.16
    0.00
    0.00
    0.75
    TOTAL
    44.51
    14.25
    14.32
    23.61
    3.02
    0.29
    100.00
    The original percentage distribution table covers  24 volume intervals and 18
    pressure intervals.   This table summarizes the distribution table for relevant,
    aggregate intervals  of both volume and pressure.   All  computations of
    economic impact were performed using the intervals and data of the original
    distribution table.
                                         9-29
    

    -------
    the projected new tank totals of  Table  9-13  to  yield  volume  and  pressure inter-
    vals for the period 1984-1988.*  Table  9-15  shows  the summary results of this
    multiplication for all new tanks  projected for  1984-1988.  This  application of
    the estimated 1977 tank distribution assumes the VOL  storage tank distribution
    by vapor pressure and tank size will remain  constant  over  time.
         All projections described in this  subsection  are based  on assumptions and
    data described above.  While they are as accurate  as  the data and assumptions
    permit, changes in the economy, technological  advances,  development of competi-
    tive substitutes, discovery of new product uses,  and  changes in  market stability
    may affect actual industry growth.   Such occurrences  are difficult to antici-
    pate.  These projections reflect  the most probable scenario  and  are the best
    possible, given the data available.
    9.2  ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
         This section presents the estimated impacts  of the regulatory alterna-
    tives on the users of VOL storage tanks.  Six regulatory alternatives are
    considered, the first of which is the baseline case from which the impacts are
    measured.  In general, the alternatives are increasingly more stringent moving
    from the baseline to  Regulatory Alternative V.   The economic impacts considered
    in turn are:  the impact on the price of the output of the two model plants,
    the  impact on investment in the two model plants,  the impact on investment in
    VOL  storage nationwide and the impact on the annual costs of VOL storage  nation-
    wide.
    9.2.1   Product Price  Impacts
         Estimates of the impact  of the  regulatory alternatives on product  prices
    have been developed  based on  two model  plants:  an independent storage  terminal
    and  a VOL chemical producer/consumer.   The  tank requirements and other  charac-
    teristics of these two facilities are described in detail in Chapter 6.   They
    were selected for analysis because  it is  believed that they would experience
    relatively  greater than average cost impacts as a result of the  imposition of
    any  of  the  regulatory alternatives.  Before turning  to the  estimates, a brief
    description  of the  general approach and assumptions  is  first presented.
         In the  long-run the market price of a  product produced by a competitive
     industry is  equal to the average cost,  including  a normal return on  investment,
     *There are 24 volume intervals  and  18  vapor  pressure  intervals  in the  original
      percentage distribution  table.
                                           9-30
    

    -------
              TABLE  9-15.   PROJECTION OF VOL STORAGE TANK CONSTRUCTION .
                           BY VAPOR  PRESSURE AND TANK SIZE, 1984-19883'0
    Vapor pressure (KPa)
    Capacity
    (m3)
    0-75
    75-150
    150-375
    375-3,750
    3,750-15,000
    >15,000
    TOTAL
    o-
    3.5
    4,500
    1,490
    1,440
    2,070
    180
    10
    9,680
    3.5-
    6.9
    1,050
    250
    270
    480
    60
    0
    2,120
    6.9-
    10.3
    520
    150
    190
    250
    60
    10
    1,180
    10.3-
    34.5
    830
    370
    370
    900
    180
    30
    2,670
    34.5-
    58.6
    200
    10
    30
    70
    20
    0
    320
    >58.6
    60
    20
    10
    30
    0
    0
    120
    TOTAL
    7,160
    2,290
    2,300
    3,890
    490
    50
    16,090
    The original percentage distribution table  covers  24  volume  intervals  and 18
    pressure intervals.   This table summarizes  the  distribution  table  for  relevant,
    aggregate intervals of both volume and pressure.   All  computations of
    economic impact were performed using the intervals and data  of the original
    distribution table.
    
    Rows and columns may not sum to totals due  to rounding.
                                         9-31
    

    -------
    of new facilities.   This is  because  firms  will  not  choose  to  build a new facil-
    ity unless they anticipate that the  market price  will  be sufficient to cover
    all costs.  Thus,  the change in the  average operating  cost of a new facility
    due to an NSPS is  the best point estimate  of the  long-run  product price impact
    of the regulatory alternatives under consideration.   In a  case such as that
    presented here, where the model facilities utilized would  be  expected to experi-
    ence greater than typical cost increases,  the average  industry price effects
    measured in this way would be overstated.
         As documented in Chapter 8, all the regulatory alternatives except the
    baseline will increase tank fabrication costs.   This increase in cost can be
    taken as the increase in the price of tanks to the  VOL tank users based on the
    same logic as outlined above.  For a constant cost  tank industry, as illus-      m
    trated in Figure 9-2, this increase in average costs will  show up as a vertical
    shift in a horizontal supply curve from S to S1.   The price of tank type i in
    year t will rise from P to P1.
         However, the long-run impacts of the regulatory alternatives on the price
    of VOL storage services cannot be simply calculated from this price change
    alone.  This is because the regulatory alternatives considered here impact ser-
    vices and performance, as well as the price of the tanks.   In principle, at
    least, these impacts can  affect the cost of storage services in three ways:
    they reduce the effective capacity of a tank due to the insertion of an inter-
    nal roof; they reduce storage  capacity requirements because they improve
    storage efficiency,  and they  reduce VOL vaporization and,  hence, VOL losses.
         The  first impact is  mechanical in origin:  an internal floating roof
    occupies  1 to 2 feet of vertical  space in a storage tank,  thus decreasing  the
    effective capacity  of the tank.   The capacity  reduction is inversely related
    to the height of the tank and ranges between 6 and 12  percent  of capacity  for
    a 75-ic3  tank  that is 16  feet  high and between  2 and 4  percent  of volume for a
    20,000-m3 tank that is  48 feet high.  Thus, everything else being equal, this
    feature  of the  regulatory alternatives would tend to  increase  the number of
    tanks  impacted  as more  tanks  would  be needed to  store  a given  volume of VOL.
          Second,  the reduction  in VOL vaporization accompanying the  regulatory
    alternatives  will affect  the  capacity requirements of  VOL storers.   Specif-
    ically,  the  use of  more efficient tanks means  that  less VOL will be needed to
    serve  given  production  or marketing requirements.  Thus,  everything else being
                                           9-32
    

    -------
    $/Tank
           P'
    S'
                                 Tt    4+1     Tanks/Year
      Figure 9-2.  VOL storage tank market for tanks in volume interval i
              as characterized in the economic impact analysis.
                                   9-33
    

    -------
    equal, this feature of the regulatory  alternatives  would  tend to decrease the
    number of tanks impacted.   Fewer tanks would be  needed  to store a given volume
    of VOL.   The magnitude of the reduction in  tank  requirements will depend on
    the effectiveness of vapor emissions  reduction and  the  relationship between
    storage tank capacity and VOL use.   Assuming a capacity to throughput ratio of
    0.4 and the equipment effectiveness described in Chapter  7, the requirement
    for tank storage capacity would be reduced  by roughly 1 percent.
         The proposed regulatory alternatives therefore initiate two influences on
    storage costs that work in opposite directions.   Since  the magnitudes of these
    influences are thought to be relatively small as well as  contrary, no attempt
    is made to adjust estimates of VOL storage  tank  requirements to account for
    them in each regulatory alternative.
         The final impact is also technical in  origin but has important economic
    implications.  In particular, since the additional  equipment required by the
    regulatory alternatives will reduce the amount of VOL vaporized, fewer valu-
    able VOLs will be lost to the atmosphere.  Therefore, this quality improvement
    in the tanks will at least partially offset any  increase in the price of the
    tanks.  This consideration is incorporated  into  the analysis. With this back-
    ground, the mechanics of the procedure used to develop  the price impacts in
    next discussed.
         The change  in the price of VOL storage services was estimated for both
    model plants using Equation 9-1:
    
                          20                                     _t
           kn +  k, =  ITC +  I   [(1 - G)(P  • Q - C) + G'D,]  (1 +  r) r  ,        (9-1)
           u     i         t=1                          t
    
    where           kQ = initial  incremental  investment
                    k.. = incremental investment  in year 10  discounted to the
                        present
                   ITC = the  investment tax credit (10 percent)
                     r = real  after  tax rate  of  discount  (10  percent)
                     t = year  (1,2,3,.  . .,20)
                     Q = annual  output
                     P = change in price
                                           9-34
    

    -------
                    C = incremental  annual  operating  cost
                    G = tax rate  (49 percent)
                   D.  = straight line depreciation in  year t, with  an  assumed 20
                        year commercial  life  for  floating  roofs  and 10 year
                        commercial  life  for seals.
    Equation 9-1 is a financial  balance  equation  that states  that the present
    value of the investment and  operating costs  required by the  regulatory alter-
    native must be equal to the  present  value of  the  stream of revenues.   By
    solving the equation for P,  one obtains the  change  in  the price of the product
    or service required if the plant or  terminal  operator  is  to  achieve  a return
    on investment for the mandated equipment  that is  competitive with other invest-
    ment opportunities.
         The general features of the financial balance  computation are as follows.
    The firm obtains a 10 percent investment  tax credit on the equipment purchase.
    The computation is done on an after  tax basis where the income tax rate is 49
    percent of net revenues.  All revenues are in constant 1982 dollars, so the 10
    percent rate of discount selected for this analysis is a constant (or real)
    after tax rate.  A 10 percent rate of discount is consistent with that employed
    in Chapter 8 for annualization of capital costs.   As discussed in Section 9.1,
    financial data for 1978 from a sample of  100 chemical  companies shows an
    average after tax rate of return of  10.81 percent.   Given the inflationary
    economic environment of 1978, the real rate of return  to the firms would
    likely have been somewhat less that  10 percent.   Using a real after tax dis-
    count rate that is arguably high tends to overstate the price impact of the
    regulatory alternatives.  Finally, a 20-year commercial life for tanks was
    assumed in keeping with the analysis of Chapter 8.
         Parameters assumed in the use of Equation 9-1 include a model terminal
    throughput rate of  39 x 10  kg/year and a model  VOL producer/consumer output
    of 80 percent of a production capacity of 4.5 x 10  kg/year.  Capital costs
    and operating expenses are taken from Chapter 8.   Equation 9-1 was solved both
    without and with adjustments allowing a $460/Mg emission savings credit to be
    subtracted from operating costs for each model plant.   The $460/Mg figure is
    based upon a weighted average price of organic chemicals computed for 1978
    production and prices as  inflated to 1982 dollars by a chemical producers
                                          9-35
    

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    price index.*
         The projected price impacts  on  VOL  storage  services  of  the  regulatory
    alternatives with and without the emission  savings  credit are  shown  in
    Table 9-16.   As was anticipated,  the price  impacts  increase  with increases in
    the stringency of the regulatory  alternatives.   Recognition  of the  value of
    emission savings reduces the price impacts  somewhat.
         To help place these values in perspective,  the price impacts were divided
    through by the estimated product  price and  multiplied by  100 to  obtain esti-
    mates of the percentage change in the product prices for  the two model plants.
    S460/Mg was used to estimate the  product price of the model  producer/consumer
    and $0.01/kg was used as the average storage charge of the model independent
    terminal.  This later value is based upon an estimated capital cost of the
    model terminal, inclusive of land and tank foundations, of $1.72 x  106 1982
    dollars and operating costs equal to 7 percent of the capital  costs.   The l$/kg
    figure was determined by applying these costs to Equation 9-1 and solving for
    price.  This capital cost is probably very conservative since it excluded the
    purchase and installation cost of pumps, piping, gauges,  etc., that ordinarily
    constitute a substantial portion of the capital  expenses  of  a storage terminal.
    If higher capital costs were used, the computed price of storage would be
    higher,  and the percentage change in price due to the regulatory alternatives
    would be even  lower.
         Table 9-17 presents the estimated percentage changes in VOL storage prices
    and VOL  output prices.  These percentages are very small  for the model producer/
    consumer since VOL  storage is such a small part of his costs.   The percentage
    change  in the  average price of storage at the model terminal  is  somewhat higher,
    ranging  from 3.7  to  4.3 percent  for Regulatory Alternatives  I through IV and
    11.8 percent for  Regulatory Alternative V with an emission savings credit.
    9.2.2   Investment Impacts
         The investment  impacts of the regulatory alternatives for the model plant
    and  VOL storage  industry are provided below.
         9.2.2.1   Model  Plant  Investment  Impacts.  As  reported in Chapter 8,  the
    installed capital  cost  of  VOL  storage tanks  alone  for the model  terminal  is
     *The 1978 weighted  average  price was obtained from Reference 24.  Inflation to
      1982 was performed using the  Industrial Chemical Procedures Price Index  from
      the Chemical  Engineering Journal.  The adjustment is documented in Reference
      33.
                                          9-36
    

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              TABLE 9-16.  PRICE IMPACTS OF THE REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
                 FOR THE MODEL TERMINAL AND MODEL PRODUCER/CONSUMER
    Model independent
    terminal
    (t/kg)
    
    Regulatory
    alternative
    I
    II
    III
    IV
    V
    Without
    emission
    savings
    credit
    0.049
    0.050
    0.051
    0.056
    0.132
    With
    emissi on
    savings
    credit
    0.037
    0.038
    0.038
    0.043
    0.118
    Model producer/
    consumer
    («t/kg)
    Without
    emission
    savings
    credit
    0.15
    0.17
    0.20
    0.23
    0.72
    With
    emission
    savings
    credit
    0.11
    0.11
    0.11
    0.14
    0.63
    *The emission  savings credit is calculated in Chapter 8 based on a price
     for VOL of  $460/Mg  ($ 1982).
                                          9-37
    

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            TABLE 9-17.   PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN OUTPUT PRICE FOR THE MODEL
                         PLANTS DUE TO THE REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
    Model independent
    terminal
    
    
    Regulatory
    alternative
    I
    II
    III
    IV
    V
    Without
    emission
    savings
    credit
    4.9
    5.0
    5.1
    5.6
    13.2
    With
    emi ssion
    savings
    credit
    3.7
    3.8
    3.8
    4.3
    11.8
    Model producer/
    consumer
    Without
    emi ssion
    savings
    credit
    0.3
    0.4
    0.4
    0.5
    1.6
    With
    emission
    savings
    credit
    0.2
    0.2
    0.2
    0.3
    1.4
     The  average price of storage per kg was assumed to be $0.01 ($ 1982).
    
    DThe  average price of VOL was assumed to be $460/Mg ($ 1982).
    
    "The  emission  savings credit is calculated in Chapter 8 based on a price
     of VOL of  $460/Mg ($ 1982).
                                          9-38
    

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    1.07 million in 1982 dollars.   The installed  capital  cost of the storage tanks
    alone of the model  chemical  producer/consumer was  estimated to  be 0.25  million
    1982 dollars.   Incremental  capital costs  were computed  for each of the  model
    plants for each of the regulatory alternatives.  These  costs, previously pre-
    sented in Chapter 8, are consolidated in  Table  9-18.  They show additional
    investment requirements of  between 56 and 185 thousand  1982 dollars for the
    independent terminal and between 16 and 91 thousand 1982 dollars for the model
    producer/consumer of VOLs.
         9.2.2.3  Nationwide Investment Impacts.  Nationwide impacts depend on  the
    volume and vapor pressure characteristics of  new tanks  in each  year of  analysis.
    Therefore, the first step in the estimation of  the nationwide investment impact
    of regulatory alternatives  is to estimate the number of new tanks that  would
    be subject to VOL regulations by year, t; by  volume interval,  i; and by pres-
    sure interval, p.  As described in Subsection 9.1.7,  this is done by scalar
    multiplication of each of the annual projections of new tanks from Subsection
    9.1.7 by a percentage distribution table containing estimates of the percen-
    tage of tanks in each volume and pressure interval based upon the 1977  survey
    of VOL storage tanks.27'28   The resulting values,  T^,  are the  number of VOL
    tanks in year t, volume interval i, and pressure interval p that are projected
    to be subject to regulation.
         In conjunction with the baseline conditions of Chapter 3,  these values
    are then used to estimate the impacted tank population  of each  regulatory
    alternative.  The impacted tank population is that portion of the new tank
    population  in any year that will actually undergo  design changes and
    experience  cost  increases under each regulatory alternative.  The impacted
    tank population  for any regulatory alternative, year, and volume interval is
    found by summing T." values over appropriate pressure intervals and by scaling
    by  appropriate baseline assumptions.  For example, the  summation over vapor
    pressures for the volume interval 95 m3 to 115 m3  under Regulatory Alternative I
    excludes VOL tanks whose vapor pressures are less  than ~ 3.5 kPa because they
    are  lower than the  3.5-kPa baseline cutoff.  In addition, this summation scales
    the  number  of remaining tanks in the volume  interval by 0.65 because the base-
    line assumes that 35 percent of the new VOL  storage tanks in that interval
    would be built with internal floating roofs  even without Regulatory Alternative
    I.   The  resulting value, T^, is the estimated number of tanks  in volume interval
                               L
    i and year  t that are  impacted by Regulatory Alternative I.
                                          9-39
    

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            TABLE 9-18.   INVESTMENT  IMPACTS OF  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES  FOR
                         THE  MODEL INDEPENDENT  TERMINAL AND MODEL PRODUCER/
                         CONSUMER (10s  $1982)
    
    
    Regulatory                  Model  independent                 Model  producer/
    alternatives                     terminal                         consumer
    
    
    Baseline                        1,070.0                             250.0
    
       I                               56.0                              15.8
    
       II                              56.6                              16.0
    
       III                             56.6                              16.0
    
       IV                              71.8                              23.2
    
       V                              184.8                              90.8
                                          9-40
    

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         Table 9-19 shows the tank population impacted  by  Regulatory  Alternative I
    as a percent of the projected new VOL storage  tank  population.  Of course,  the
    actual number of tanks impacted will  vary by year.   Table  9-20  presents similar
    data for Regulatory Alternatives II through V.   The percentages are the same
    for each of these four regulatory alternatives because they cover the same
    volume and pressure ranges and because the baseline conditions  assume that
    none of these technologies would have otherwise been adopted.
         Calculation of T, is therefore based on the number of new  storage tanks
    projected in Subsection 9.1.7.  The projections were developed  in the absence of
    an NSPS for storage tanks.  With higher prices for  a product, due, for example
    to an NSPS, quantity demanded typically decreases.   The decision  to treat
    demand as constant in any given year is based upon  the following  analysis.
         A pure number called the elasticity of demand  can be  used  to relate
    changes in the price of tanks to changes in the quantity of tanks demanded.
    More specifically, the elasticity of demand for tanks, n,-r> is the ratio of the
    proportionate change in quantity due to a proportionate change  in price where
    other prices, technology, etc., are held constant.*  Alfred Marshall proposed
    four determinants of the demand elasticity for any  factor of production, such
    as VOL storage tanks, within an industry.  As modified to  reflect a two-factor,
    constant-returns-to-scale production technology by  Layard  and Walters,34 the
    price elasticity, ru, of VOL production, consumption,  or storage  varies
    directly with the following:
         1.   The  elasticity  of  demand  (rjy)  for  VOLs,  VOL products,   or  VOL
              storage.
         2.   The  elasticity  of   substitution,  ST Y»   between  the  factor  in
              question,  T, and the  other factor, Y. '
          3.   The  share  of tanks in the production cost so long as the elasticity
              of  demand  for  VOLs,  VOL products  or VOL  storage,  n.u» exceeds  the
              elasticity of  substitution of the factors, Sy w-
          4.   The  supply elasticity of the other factor, EW, used to produce VOLs,
              VOL  products,  or VOL  storage.
     *The  elasticity  of demand  is sometimes referred to as the own-price elasticity
      of demand  to  distinguish  it from the influence of other prices and income
      changes  that  can affect demand.  It may be defined mathematically as
            3T
              D   P , where Tn  is the rate at which tanks are demanded and P is
      nT     3P  " T  the  price of tanks.
                                           9-41
    

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       TABLE 9-19.  THE NEW TANK POPULATION IMPACTED BY REGULATORY ALTERNATIVE  I
                AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE PROJECTED NEW TANK POPULATION
    Tank
    volume
    (m3)3
    75b to 95
    95 to 150
    150 to 375
    375 to 3,750
    3,750 to 15,000
    >15,000
    Percentage of
    Tanks with vapor pressure
    between 3.5 and 10.3 kPa
    --
    —
    1.85
    2.95
    0.46
    0.05
    new tank population
    Tanks with vapor
    greater than 10
    2.73C
    1.47C
    0
    0
    0
    0
    pressure
    .3 kPa
    
    
    
    
    
    
     The six volume intervals  presented  here  are  aggregates.   Calculations
     are performed using the corresponding percentages  from the 24 volume
     intervals  of the 1977 survey.27'28
    
     Tanks with volume less that 75 m3 are below  the  minimum cutoff point con-
     sidered for Regulatory Alternative  I.
    
    cThe percentages of projected new tank population for  tanks with volume
     capacities between 75 and 95 m3 and between  95 and 150 m3 are for all
     tanks having vapor pressure greater than 3.5 kPa.
                                          9-42
    

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     TABLE 9-20.   THE NEW TANK POPULATION  IMPACTED  BY  REGULATORY  ALTERNATIVES II-V
                  AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE PROJECTED  NEW TANK POPULATION
     Tank                       Percentage of new tank population
    volume           Tanks with vapor pressures   Tanks with vapor pressures
    (m3)3             between 3.5 and 10.3 kPa      greater than 10.3 kPa
    
    
    75b to 95                      --           2.73C
    95 to 150
    150 to 375
    375 to 3,750
    3,750 to 15,000
    >15,000
    —
    2.85
    4.56
    0.71
    0.07
    2.26"-
    2.53d
    6.22d
    1.19d
    0.19d
     The six volume intervals presented here are aggregates.   Calculations
     are performed using the corresponding percentages from the 24 volume
     intervals of the 1977 survey.27'28
    
     Tanks with volume less that 75 m3 are below the minimum cutoff point con-
     sidered for this Regulatory Alternative I.
    
     The percentages of projected new tank population for tanks with volume
     capacities between 75 and 95 m3 and between 95 and 150 m3 are for all
     tanks having vapor pressure greater than 3.5 kPa.
    
     The baseline control assumptions specify that tanks with volume greater
     than 150 m3 and vapor pressures greater than 76 kPa have vapor control
     systems or are pressure 'vessels.  Since the upper vapor pressure interval
     of the 1977 sample intervals covered all tanks with vapor pressures greater
     than 59 kPa, there was no basis in the sample data to distinguish between
     tanks in that interval with vapor pressures greater than 76 kPa and those
     with vapor pressure less than 76 kPa.  A working assumption that all the
     tanks in the upper interval had pressures between 59 and 76 kPa was adopted.
     Only a small number of tanks was affected by the assumption (0.22 percent
     of the total VOL tank population).
                                           9-43
    

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    The lower these factors,  the lower n-,  and,  consequently,  the  less  the quantity
    of tanks demanded will  adjust to changes  in the  price  of  tanks.   Each of these
    four considerations is  discussed below for  VOL storage tanks.
         First, as suggested by the relatively  stable  physical  output in the face
    of rapidly rising prices in the industrial  organic chemicals  and plastics indus-
    tries during the late 1970s (see Tables 9-4 and  9-5),  the demand elasticity
    for VOLs, as a group, is probably fairly small.  The qualifier "as a group" is
    important in this context since most substitutes for the  VOLs that do have good
    substitutes in particular applications are  also  likely to be  VOLs.  Storage of
    the substitutes would therefore also be subject  to the standards.
         Second, the elasticity of substitution for  bulk VOL  storage is very small
    because alternative, low-cost means of providing the same service is not read-
    ily apparent.*  This is especially the case with terminals since storage is
    their principal purpose.  Most bulk VOL storage  tanks either  already have been
    or, under the regulatory alternatives, are  about to be affected by standards
    of this type.  Therefore, it is not feasible to  substitute uncontrolled tanks
    for controlled tanks.  The cost advantage enjoyed  by large tanks (see Chapter 8)
    probably will also sharply limit substitution of uncontrolled small-volume tanks
    for the large-volume tanks affected by the  regulatory alternatives.  Finally,
    VOL storage service  is a crucial part of the production and consumption of VOLs
    in that it  is nearly a fixed component of a plant design.
         Third, the  share of VOL storage costs in the production of VOLs or VOL
    products is also likely to be  small.  In the model producer/consumer plant
    described  in  Chapter 6, capital costs for VOL storage comprise between 2 and
    11 percent  of total  capital costs  (depending on the regulatory alternative)
    and at  most just over I percent of total annual  capital and operating costs.
    However, in the  case of VOL storage terminals the share of tank costs in total
    costs is likely  to be somewhat higher.
          Fourth,  although the  elasticity of supply  for  other factors  used with VOL
    storage tanks is more problematic, recent world experience suggests  that for
     *The elasticity of  substitution  is a measure of the proportionate  change  in
      the use of different factors  of production in response to a proportionate
      change in the price  ratio  of  those factors.  In effect,  it measures  the
      feasibility and desirability  of substituting one factor  for another.
      There are a number.of different expressions for the elasticity of sub-
      stitution, all fairly cumbersome.  The  interested reader is referred to
      Reference 34.
                                           9-44
    

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    at least in one critical  input category for VOL  producers,  that of petroleum
    feedstocks, the supply is relatively price inelastic.*
         Based upon these considerations, this economic  impact  analysis adopts the
    working assumption that the demand for VOL storage tanks  is perfectly inelastic
    within the range of relevant tank prices.   This  demand  condition is depicted
    in Figure 9-2 as demand curve D.   In the event of a  rise  in the price of tanks
    from P to P1, the demand for tanks and, hence, the  number of impacted VOL stor-
    age tanks will remain unchanged at the rate T, per year.   This characterization
    of tank demand is recognized to be extreme in the sense that,  as noted above,
    one usually observes at least some reduction in  demand  in response to price
    increases for most commodities.  However,  there  are  no  publicly available data
    on the prices and quantities of VOL storage tanks that  can  be  used to estimate
    the elasticity of demand for storage tanks.  Furthermore, if demand is treated
    as perfectly inelastic, the likely direction of any  error associated with this
    assumption is known.  That is, the impact of each of the regulatory alternatives
    on the cost of VOL storage is overestimated since if any nonzero elasticity
    of demand is used fewer new tanks would be projected and subject to the standards
    and additional cost.
         As illustrated by demand schedule Dp in  Figure  9-2,  the economic analysis
    allows for economic growth by specifying a shift in  the demand for VOL storage
    tanks over time.   As the economy grows, there will  be some growth in the
    demand for VOL chemicals and, hence, for new  and replacement VOL storage tanks.
    The magnitude of this growth between periods  t and t+1 is reflected in the
    demand curves for the respective periods and  the difference T?+, - T? .  The 5
    percent growth rate in new tank capacity demand and the tank replacement
    schedule, adopted for the projections  in Section 9.1, are also adopted as the
    quantitative basis for these shifts  in demand.
         As discussed above, data on the impacted VOL tank population for each
    regulatory alternative, year, pressure interval and volume interval determine
    the value  of T^  in Figure 9-2.  The  regression equations of cost against volume
    estimated  in Chapter 8 for each regulatory alternative are then used to deter-
     *The  elasticity  of  supply  is defined analogously to the elasticity of demand:
      the  ratio  of  a  proportionate change in the quantity supplied to a proportionate
      change  in  the supply price.  For a discussion see Reference 35.
                                           9-45
    

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    mine the change in the price of a  tank  in  that  volume  interval,  P1  -  P.*
    Multiplying T^ by P1  - P gives  an  estimate of the  area P'abP  in  Figure  9-2.
                 \f
    This is the estimated investment impact,  in 1982 dollars,  of  the particular
    regulatory alternative in question on tanks in  the given volume  interval  in
    the year t.  These values are then summed  over  all  the volume intervals to
    obtain the nationwide investment impact of the  regulatory  alternative in  year
    t.  Finally, annual investment values for  the years 1984-1988 are summed  to
    obtain an estimate of the cummulative nationwide investment  impact for  the
    projection period.
         Table 9-21 presents the resulting  data on  nationwide  investment impacts
    for each regulatory alternative using this methodology.   For  comparison,  the
    estimated investment in new VOL tanks covered  by the baseline conditions  (>75
    m3 and >3.5 KPa) exclusive of vapor recovery equipment or  pressure vessel
    costs is also included.  The investment impacts for Regulatory Alternatives II
    and III are the same because they are  estimated in Chapter 8  to have the  same
    impact on the cost of a tank.
    9.2.3  Nationwide Annualized Cost Impacts
         The total annual cost of each of  the regulatory alternatives is dependent
    on the number of  new tanks put in place over the  five year period and the
    change in  the annualized cost of each  tank.  The  annualized cost represents
    the annual  financial obligations imposed by the regulatory alternative on pur-
    chasers of  VOL storage  tanks.  In particular,  fifth-year costs include payments
    related to  the regulatory alternatives  in the fifth year for debt and operating
    expenses associated  with tanks purchased  in each of the 4 previous years as
    well as those expenses  newly incurred due to tank purchases in the fifth year.
    These  costs,  in   constant 1982 dollars, are presented in the second column of
    Table  9-22.   They range from 3.3 million  dollars for  Regulatory Alternative  I
    to  just over  26  million dollars for Regulatory Alternative V.
     *The  change in  price  in this analysis is equivalent to a change in cost since
      tank fabricators will not  contract to build new tanks unless their costs are
      covered by the price (see  subsection 9.2.1 above).  For those regression
      equations  expressed  in terms  of diameter, an equivalent volumetric relation-
      ship was derived using a correspondence between diameter and height suggested
      by Reference 36.   The change  in the cost or price for any volume interval  is
      estimated  by using the mid-point of that interval in the regression equation.
      For the interval that is unboundered (>15,000 m3), a volume of 20,000 m3 was
      used.
                                           9-46
    

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            TABLE  9-21.   ADDITIONAL  NATIONWIDE INVESTMENT IN VOL STORAGE
                         REQUIRED  BY THE  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES,  1984-1988
                Estimated
               investment
             under baseline
             assumptions  '
               Additional      .
         nationwide investment
    ($106,  constant 1982 dollars)
    Year
    1S84
    1985
    1986
    1987
    1988
    1984-1988
    ($106, constant
    1982 dollars)
    41.94
    43.86
    44.31
    45.92
    52.04
    224.57
    I
    2.70
    2.87
    2.93
    3.07
    3.39
    14.84
    II & III
    2.75
    2.93
    2.99
    3.14
    3.46
    15.16
    IV
    4.70
    4.96
    5.04
    5.27
    5.86
    25.54
    V
    21.67
    22.69
    22.97
    23.84
    26.84
    116.13
    an estimate of the nationwide investment that would be made in new tanks
    with volumes > 75 m3 containing liquids with vapor pressures > 3.5 kPa
    without implementation of any of the regulatory alternatives.   This estimate
    is exclusive of any investment in vapor recovery equipment or pressure
    vessels.
    
    Annual values are not dicounted to the present.
                                         9-47
    

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                TABLE 9-22.   FIFTH-YEAR NATIONWIDE ANNUALIZED COST OF
                              THE  REGULATORY ALTERNATIVES
    
    
    Regulatory
    alternative
    I
    II
    III
    IV
    ' V
    
    Without
    emission
    savings
    credit
    3.25
    3.34
    3.34
    6.11
    26.14
    Fifth-year annual i zed cost
    ($106, constant 1982 dollars)
    With
    emission
    savings
    credit
    -0.56
    -0.67
    -1.01
    1.68
    21.61
    aCredit computed using a VOL price of $460/Mg.
                                          9-48
    

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         As discussed above, the tanks impacted by the regulatory alternatives
    will also generate some additional economic benefits for tank users because
    they reduce vaporization of valuable VOLs.   The tank owners are better off by
    the amount of emissions reductions times the value of the chemical  saved.
    Nationwide emissions reductions for each regulatory alternative in  the fifth
    year after promulgation are estimated in Chapter 7.   The $460/Mg estimate of
    the value of VOL was applied to these emissions reductions to obtain an
    estimate of the nationwide economic benefit of this emissions reduction to VOL
    tank users in 1988.  The resulting emission savings credit was then  applied
    against annualized costs; the results are shown in column 3 of Table 9-22.  On
    a nationwide basis,  the first three regulatory alternatives produce net eco-
    nomic benefits in 1988 when an emission savings credit is included  in the cal-
    culation.  The fact that the nationwide annual costs are negative is not incon-
    sistent with the finding of positive costs of these alternatives for the two
    model plants since the model plants were selected so as to exhibit  a greater
    than average economic impact.
    9.3  REGULATORY, INFLATIONARY, SOCIOECONOMIC, AND SMALL-BUSINESS IMPACTS
    9.3.1  Executive Order 12291
         Executive Order 12291 requires the conduct of a regulatory impact analy-
    sis (RIA) of a proposed regulation if the regulation is likely to result in
         1.   An annual  effect on the economy of $100 million or more.
         2.   A major cost or price  increase for consumers; individual  industries;
              Federal, State, or local government agencies; or geographic regions.
         3.   Significant adverse effects on competition, employment, investment,
              productivity, innovation, or ability of United States-based enter-
              prises to compete with  foreign-based enterprises in domestic or
              foreign markets.
         Estimated nationwide investment impacts on tank purchases listed in Table
    9-21 show that,  for all years from 1983 through 1988 and all regulatory alterna-
    tives, the investment impact would be substantially less than $100 million per
    year.  When the  capital costs associated with the regulatory alternatives are
    annualized and credit is given for reduction  in VOL vaporization, it is esti-
    mated  that the first three  regulatory alternatives  actually generate nation-
    wide cost savings in 1988  (see Table 9-22).   Regulatory Alternatives IV and V
    show nationwide  annualized  cost  increases  after credit for emission savings of
                                          9-49
    

    -------
    $1.61 x 10  and $21.61 x 10 ,  respectively.   These  are  very small  figures
    compared to the investment and sales  levels  of  VOL  storing industries.
         Percentage price increases for the  model terminal  are higher  than those
    for a model producer/consumer  but were  still  less than  5  percent for Regulatory
    Alternatives I through IV after emission savings  credits.   Regulatory Alterna-
    tive V was estimated to increase the  price of storage at  the model terminal by
    13.2 percent without an emissions reduction  credit  and  by 11.8 percent with
    such a credit.
         Based on these results, the proposed standards do  not qualify as major
    regulatory alternatives under the criteria enumerated above:  the  annual
    effect on the economy is substantially  less  than  $100 x 106, the price impacts
    are small, and the standard will not  have a significant effect on the opera-
    tion of the domestic economy or its  international  trade.   Therefore, a regula-
    tory impact analysis and associated  benefit/cost  calculations need not be per-
    formed.  While this is the case, it  is  still worthwhile to note, in a qualita-
    tive fashion, the benefits against which the costs  discussed above should be
    balanced.
         The standards will reduce the rate of emission of  VOLs to the atmosphere.
    These compounds are precursors of photochemical oxidants, particularly ozone.
    The EPA publication Air Quality Criteria for Ozone and  Other Photochemical
            37
    Oxidants   explains the effects of exposure to  elevated ambient concentrations
    of oxidants.   (The problem of ozone depletion of the upper atmosphere and  its
    relation to this standard are not addressed here.)  These effects include
         1.    Human health  effects.  Ozone exposure has been shown to cause
               increased  rates of  respiratory symptoms such as coughing,
               wheezing,  sneezing, and short-breath; increased rates of head-
               ache, eye-irritation  and throat irritation;  and increases  in
               the  number  of red blood cells.  One experiment links ozone
               exposure to damage  to  human chromosomes.
         2.    Vegetation  effects.   Reduced crop yields as a result of damges
               to  leaves  and/or  plants have been shown for several crops
               including  citrus, grapes, and cotton.  The reduction in crop
               yields was  shown  to be  linked to the level of duration  of  ozone
               exposure.
         3.    Materials  effects.   Ozone exposure has been shown to accelerate
               the deterioration of  organic materials such as plastics and
               rubber  (elastomers),  textile dyes, fibers, and certain  paints
               and coatings.
                                          9-50
    

    -------
         4.    Ecosystem effects.   Continued ozone  expoure  has  been shown to
              be linked to the disappearance of trees  such as  Ponderosa and
              Jeffrey Pines and death of predominant vegetation.   Hence con-
              tinued ozone exposure places  a stress  on the ecosystem.
    
         In addition to reducing the severity of the physical  and biological effects
    
    enumerated above, the regulatory action is likely to improve  the aesthetic and
    
    economic value of the environment through, for example, beautification of natural
    and undeveloped land because of increased vegetation,  improved visibility, and
    
    reduced incidence of noxious odors.
    
    9.3.2  The Regulatory Flexibility Act
    
         The Regulatory Flexibility Act requires the conduct of a regulatory flex-
    
    ibility analysis (RFA) if a substantial number of small firms are significantly
    
    adversely impacted by the regulatory alternatives examined.  In Chapter 6, the
    
    model independent terminal and model producer/consumer were identified as small
    facilities.  The economic impact of regulatory alternatives on these facilities
    
    was not found to be significant.
    
    9.4  REFERENCES
     1.  Scherer, P.M.  Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance.
         Chicago, Rand McNally College Publishing Company, 1980.
    
     2.  Hegman, George B.  In:  World Outlook for Petrochemicals.  Cambridge,
         Arthur D.  Little, Inc., August 1978.  p.  7.
    
     3.  U.S. Department  of Commerce, Bureau  of the Census.  1977 Census of Manu-
         factures.   Part  2, SIC Major Groups  27-34.  U.S.  Government Printing
         Office.  Washington, DC.  1981.  p.  28F-13.
    
     4.  Booz, Allen,  and  Hamilton,  Inc.  Cost of Hydrocarbon  Emissions Control  to
         the U.S. Chemical Industry  (SIC 28).  Exhibit VI-6.   Florham  Park, NJ.
         December 1977.
     5.  U.S. Department  of Commerce, Bureau  of Economic Analysis.  1972 Input-
         Output Tables:   Structure of the U.S. Economy.  U.S.  Government Printing
         Office.  Washington, DC.
    
     6.  U.S. Department  of Commerce, Bureau  of the Census.  1972 Census of Manu-
         factures.   Volume 11,  Industrial  Statistics,  Part 2,  SIC Major Group  27-34.
         U.S. Government  Printing  Office.   Washington,  DC.  p. 28F-13-28F-15.
         August 1976.
    
     7.  Memorandum from  Hart,  Marge, National Association of  Chemical  Distribu-
         tors,  to Rockstroh,  Margie, TRW,  Inc.  1980.
    
     8.  Independent Liquid Terminals Association.  1982  Bulk  Liquid Terminals
         Directory,  7th  Edition.   Washington, DC.   1982.   99 p.
    
     9.  Reference  3,  p.  28F-5,  28B-5.
    
     10.  Fallwell,  William F.   Chemical  Capital Spending  to Turn up in 1979.
         Chemical and Engineering  News.  56:10-12.   December 11,  1978.
                                           9-51
    

    -------
    11.   U.S.  Department of Commerce,  Bureau of the Census.   Business Statistics,
         1977.   U.S.  Government Printing Office.   Washington, DC.  1979.  p. 46.
    12.   Reference 6, p.  28F-5, 28B-5.
    
    13.   Operating Rate.   Chemical and Engineering News.   515:59.  June 11, 1979.
    
    14.   U.S.  International Trade Commission.   U.S. Production and Sales—Synthetic
         Organic Chemicals (for the years 1955 through 1981).  Table 1.  U.S.
         Government Printing Office.  Washington, DC.
    15.   U.S.  Department of Commerce,  Bureau of Industrial Economics.  1982  U.S.
         Industrial Outlook.  U.S. Government Printing Office.  Washington,  DC.
         January 1982.  p. 102-103.
    16.   Reference 15, p. 120, 141, 316.
    
    17.   Radian Corporation.  Organic Chemical Producers Data Base, 1976.
         Research Triangle Park, NC.  Contract No. 68-02-2623.  1978.
    
    18.   Reference 6, p. 28F-8, 28F-9.
    
    19.   Reference 3, p. 28F-7, 28F-8.
    20.   Reference 6, p. 28B-7, 28B-8.
    21.   Reference 3, p. 28B-8, 28B-9.
    
    22.   U.S.  Department of Labor,  Bureau of  Labor Statistics.   Producer Prices
         and Price Indexes.  Supplements 1978-1982 (data for  1977 to 1981).   U.S.
         Government  Printing Office.  Washington,  DC.
    
    23.   U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency.  VOC Fugitive  Emissions  in Synthetic
         Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry-Background  Information for
         Proposed Standards.   Research Triangle Park, NC.  EPA-450/3-80-033a.
         November 1980.  p. 9-1-9-36, E-l-E-11.
    24.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  Fugitive Emission Sources of
         Organic Compounts—Additional  Information on Emissions, Emission
         Reductions,  and  Costs.   Research Triangle Park, NC.  EPA-450/3-82-010.
         April  1S82.  p. A-l-A-23.
    25.  Federal Reserve  Statistical  Release  Industrial  Production,  G.12.3.   Board
         of Governors of  the  Federal  Reserve  System.  Washington, DC.   1954-1977
         (monthly).
    26.  Predicasts,  Inc.   Predicasts Basebook.   Cleveland,  OH.  1960-1980.
    27.  Hydroscience,  Inc.   Emissions  Control Options for the  Synthetic Organic
         Chemicals Manufacturing  Industry:  Storage Handling Report.   Knoxville,
         TN.  March  1979.
    
    28.  Letter from Rockstroh, M.A., TRW,  Inc.,  to Smith, V.,  RTI.  July  10,
         1980.
    29.  Telecon.  Anderson,  Don,  RTI,  with Greek, Bruce, American  Chemical
         Society.  October 29,  1982.
    
    30.  Telecon.  Anderson,  Don,  RTI,  with Pfann, Harry, Department of Commerce.
         October 29, 1982.
    
    31.   Letter from Rockstroh,  M.A., TRW,  to Moody,  W.T., TRW.   February  1, 1980.
    32.   Radian,  Inc.  The Revised Organic  Chemical  Producers Data  Base System,
          Final  Interim Report.   Austin,  Texas.   EPA  Contract No.  68-03-2623.
         March  1979.
                                           9-52
    

    -------
    33.   Letter from Shumaker, J. ,  TRW, to Morn's, G.E., RTI.   January 3, 1983.
    
    34.   Layard, P.R.G., and A.A.  Walters.  Microeconomic Theory.  New York,
         McGraw-Hill Book Company,  1978.   p.  260-270.
    
    35.   Reference 33, p. 221-230.
    
    36.   Memorandum from Moody,  W.T., TRW, to Morris,  G.E., RTI, December 17,
         1982.
    
    37.   Air Quality Criteria for Ozone and other Photochemical oxidants.  U.S.
         Environmental Protection Agency.   Publication No. EPA-600/8-78-004.
         April 1978.
                                           9-53
    

    -------
        APPENDIX A - EVOLUTION OF
    THE BACKGROUND INFORMATION DOCUMENT
    

    -------
    Al.   Literature Review
    
         November 1978
         November 22, 1978
         December 1979
         January 1980
         January 1980
         January 1980
         January 1980
         January 1980
         January 1980
         January 1980
    Hydroscience Inc.  Emission Control Options for
    the Synthetic Organic Chemicals Industry -
    Storage and Handling Report, October, 1979.
    
    Letter with attached report from Kern, R. C.
    November 22, 1978, Ultraflote, to R. K. Burr,
    EPArCPB, Hydrocarbon Emission Loss Measurements
    on a 20 Foot Diameter Pilot Test Tank with an
    Ultraflote and a CBI Weathermaster Internal
    Floating Roof.
    
    Letter and attachment from Lee, B. , Radian
    Corporation, to Moody, W. T. , TRW.'EED.
    November 30, 1979.  Letter transmitting
    updated version of the report generated August
    1978 from the Organic Chemical Producers Data
    Base.
    
    Evaporation Loss in the Petroleum Industry -
    Causes and Control, Evaporation Loss Committee,
    American Petroleum Institute, February 1959.
    
    Evaporation Loss from Floating-Roof Tanks,
    Evaporation Loss Committee, American Petroleum
    Institute, February 1962.
    
    Petrochemical Evaporation Loss from Storage
    Tanks, Division of Refining, American Petroleum
    Institute, November 1969.
    
    Venting Atmospheric and Low-Pressure Tank
    (Nonrefrigerated and Refrigerated),  Refining
    Department, American Petroleum Institute,
    December 1973.
    
    Use of Internal Covers and Covered Floating
    Roofs  to Reduce Evaporation Loss,  American
    Petroleum Institute, 1976.
    
    Measurement and Determination of Hydrocarbon
    Emissions in the Course of Storage and Transfer
    in Above-Ground Fixed Cover Tanks  With and
    Without Floating Covers, BMI-DGMK Projects
    4590-10 and 4590-11, Translated for EPA by
    Literature Research Company, 1976.
    
    Hydrocarbon Emissions from Floating Roof
    Petroleum Tanks, Western Oil and Gas
    Association, January 1977.
                                     A-2
    

    -------
    January 1980
    
    
    
    
    February 1980
    
    
    
    
    February 1980
    
    
    
    February 1980
    
    
    
    February 1980
    
    
    
    
    April 1980
    
    
    
    
    March 1980
    
    
    June 1980
    
    
    
    June 1980
    June 1980
    June 1980
    Cost of Hydrocarbon Emissions Control to the
    U.S.  Chemical Industry (SIC 28), Volumes I and
    II, Manufacturing Chemists Association,
    December 1977.
    
    Control of Volatile Organic Emissions from
    Storage of Petroleum Liquids in Fixed-Roof
    Tanks, EPA-450/2-77-036, EPA-.CPB, December
    1977.
    
    Evaluation of Hydrocarbon Emissions from
    Petroleum Liquid Storage, EPA-450/3-78-012,
    R.  K.  Burr, EPA:CPB, March 1978.
    
    Suggested Emission Factors for Fixed-Roof
    Storage Tanks,  A. L. Wilson, Engineering-
    Science, Inc.,  November 13, 1978.
    
    Control of Volatile Organic Emissions from
    Petroleum Liquid Storage in External Floating
    Roof Tanks, EPA-450/2-78-047, EPA:CPB,
    December 1978.
    
    The Revised Organic Chemical Producers Data
    Base System, EPA Contract No. 68-02-2623
    (Radian Corporation), A. Jefcoat, EPA:IERL,
    March 31, 1979.
    
    Comments on the "BMI-DGMK" Report, J. Zabaga,
    Mobile Oil Company, June 16, 1978.
    
    Bulk Liquid Terminals and Storage Facilities,
    Independent Liquid Terminals Association, 1979
    (Directory).
    
    Emissions Control Options for the Synthetic
    Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry,
    Thermal Oxidation, (Draft), EPA Contract
    No. 68-02-2577,  EPA:ESED, December 1979.
    
    Emissions Control Options for the Synthetic
    Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry,
    Carbon Adsorption (Draft), EPA Contract
    No. 68-02-2577,  EPA:ESED, February 1980.
    
    Emissions Control Options for the Synthetic
    Organic Chemicals Manufacturing Industry,
    Thermal Oxidation Supplement (Draft), EPA
    Contract No. 68-02-2577, EPA:ESED, February 1980.
                                A-3
    

    -------
    A2.   Information from Other Sources
         January 1979
         April  1979
         September 1979
         October 1979
         December 1979
         December  1979
         March 1980
         March 1980
         March   1980
         April  1980
    H. F. Ellenburg, Instrumentation Products Co.,
    to L. Hayes, TRW:EED, December 20, 1978, Letter
    with enclosed information on vapor recovery
    systems for storage tanks and solvent transfer
    facilities.
    
    T. W. Mix, Merix Corporation to R. K. Burr,
    EPArCPB, April 21, 1979, Letter with enclosed
    summary print-out of input and output losses of
    above-ground gasoline tanks on farms.
    
    B. Lee, Radian Corporation, to W.  T.  Moody,
    TRW:EED, August 31, 1979, Letter with enclosed
    information from the Organic Chemical Producers
    Data Base.
    
    J. K. Walters, American Petroleum Institute, to
    R. K. Burr, EPA.-CPB, September 14, 1979, Letter
    with enclosed technical comments of the American
    Petroleum Institute on the draft report
    "Measurement of Benzene Emissions from a
    Floating Roof Test Tank."
    
    M. Rutland, GATX, to R. Guidetti,  TRW:EED,
    December 3, 1979, Letter concerning budgetary
    prices for standard API-650 Cone Roof Tanks
    and Floating Roof Tanks.
    
    E. B. Dees, TRW:EED, to M.  R.  Frega,  Frega
    Associates, Inc., December 6,  1979, Letter
    requesting information to be used in  an industry
    profile for volatile organic liquids  storage.
    
    H. Reiss, Altech Industries, Inc., to G. May,
    TRW:EED, February 26, 1980, Letter with
    summarized budget price information.
    
    T. P. Tremblay,  Chicago Bridge & Iron Company,
    to W. T. Moody,  TRW:EED, February 27, 1980,
    Letter concerning price differentials
    Weathermaster Floating Roof Tank versus cone
    roof tank-revision 1.0.
    
    T. T. Fung, Systems Division,  to M.  A.  Rockstroh,
    TRW:EED, March 14, 1980, Letter concerning
    acetone storage  tank emissions control  study.
    
    J. J. Dechant, Brown Boiler & Tank Works, 'Ltd.,
    to TRW:EED, March 27, 1980, Letter concerning
    quotation with budget figures  in order to erect
    acetone storage  tanks.
                                     A-4
    

    -------
    May 1980
    May 1980
    June 1980
    June  1980
    June 1980
    June 1980
    July 1980
    July 1980
    October 1982 to
    December 1982
    
    January 1983
    J. R. Farmer, EPA:CPB, to R. L. Stuart,
    Monsanto Company, April 28, 1980, Letter
    with enclosed background information to
    support the volatile organic liquids regulation
    with attached list of addressees.
    
    Comments on the Volatile Organic Liquids
    Background Information, H.  D. Kerfman,GATX,
    May 1980.
    
    L. P. Hughes, Mobay Chemical Corporation,
    to W. T. Moody, TRWrEED, May 29, 1980,
    Letter with enclosed responses regarding
    possible tank emission recovery systems.
    
    Dr. F.  S.  Lisella, Department of Health and
    Human Services, to J. R. Farmer, EPA:CPB,
    June 2, 1980, Letter commenting on the
    draft copy of Volatile Organic Compound
    Emissions from Volatile Organic Liquid
    Storage Tanks.
    
    R. E. Kinghorn, R.F.I. Services Corp., to
    W. T. Moody, TRW:EED, June 9, 1980, Letter
    concerning prices for conventional cone
    roof tanks constructed to API 650 code.
    
    T. P. Tremblay, Chicago Bridge & Iron Company,
    to W. T. Moody, TRW:EED, June 22, 1980,
    Letter concerning price differentials
    Weathermaster Floating Roof Tank versus
    cone roof tank.
    
    R. Harrison, Western Oil and Gas Association,
    to J. R. Farmer, EPA-.ESED, June 27, 1980,
    Letter commenting on the draft document
    "Volatile Organic Compound Emissions from
    Volatile Organic Liquids Storage Tanks."
    
    J. K. Walters, American Petroleum Institute,
    to J. R. Farmer, EPArESED, June 30, 1980,
    Letter commenting on the draft document
    "Volatile Organic Compound Emissions from
    Volatile Organic Liquids Storage Tanks."
    
    Updated costs of control equipment obtained
    from 15 vendors.
    
    W. F. O'Keefe, American Petroleum Institute
    (API) to S. R. wyatt, EPArESED, Letter
    concerning emissions calculations (including
    final API Bulletin 2519 evaporation loss
    from internal floating roof tanks).
                                A-5
    

    -------
    A3.  Emission Source Measurement
         May 1979
         June 1979
         August 1979
         March 1982
    Emission Measurements on a Floating Roof
    Pilot Test Tank, R. J. Laverman, Chicago
    Bridge & Iron Company, May 16, 1979.
    
    Measurement of Benzene Emissions from a
    Floating Roof Test Tank, EPA-450/3-79-020,
    R. K. Burr, EPA:CPB, June 1979.
    
    Hydrocarbon Emission Measurements of Crude
    Oil on the 20 Foot Diameter Floating Roof
    Pilot Test Tank, R. J. Laverman, Chicago
    Bridge & Iron Company, August 15, 1978.
    
    Testing Program to Measure Hydrocarbon
    Emissions From A Controlled Internal Floating
    Roof Tank, for American Petroleum Institute
    Committee on Evaporative Loss Measurement
    Task Group 2519, R. J. Laverman, T.  J.  Haynie,
    and J. F. Newbury, Chicago Bridge & Iron
    Company, March 1982.
                                     A-6
    

    -------
    A4.   Plant and Other Related Trips
         November 14-17, 1978
    
    
         November 15, 1978
    
    
    
         November 15, 1978
    
    
         August 14, 1980
    
    
         August 20, 1980
    
    
         August 21, 1980
    
    
         August 26, 1980
    Trip to Hydroscience Inc.,  to discuss data
    base and Phase I report.
    
    Trip to Exxon Chemicals,  Baton Rouge, Louisiana,
    to obtain information on the rail car loading
    facility.
    
    Trip to Gilmore Maxine Services, Baton Rouge,
    Louisiana, to inspect a barge cleaning facility.
    
    Trip to Conoco Chemical,  Baltimore, Maryland, to
    inspect a vapor recovery system.
    
    Trip to Vulcan Materials,  Geismar, Louisiana, to
    inspect a vapor recovery system.
    
    Trip to Amoco Chemical, Texas City, Texas, to
    inspect a vapor recovery system.
    
    Trip to Dow Chemical, Midland, Michigan, to
    inspect two vapor recovery systems.
                                     A-7
    

    -------
    A5.   Meetings with Industry
    
         March 20, 1979
    
    
    
         August 9, 1979
    
    
    
         September 2, 1982
         December 15, 1982
         January 26, 1983
    Meeting with Dow Chemical Corporation to
    discuss small vessel (=20,000 gallon)
    control techniques and industry trends.
    
    Meeting with the Chemical Manufacturers
    Association to discuss the regulatory
    approach and control technologies.
    
    Meeting with the American Petroleum Institute
    to discuss 1) the analytical approach used
    by API in developing storage vessel emission
    factors for the Bulletin 2519 "Evaporative
    Loss from Internal Floating Roof Tanks";
    2) the EPA approach for emission factors
    development; and 3) the effect of roof
    configuration upon emissions.
    
    Meeting with the American Petroleum Institute
    to discuss EPA study and review of internal
    floating roof vessel emissions and the API
    testing program.
    
    Meeting with the American Petroleum
    Institute (API) to discuss the new API
    testing preliminary data available on
    floating roof vessel emissions.
                                     A-8
    

    -------
    A6.   Reports and Review Process
         December 14, 1978
    
    
    
    
         January 29, 1979
    
    
    
    
         March 14, 1979
    
    
    
         August 1979
    
         November 29, 1979
    
    
    
         January 18, 1980
    
    
    
         March 26, 1980
    
    
         June 20, 1980
    
         October 1980
    
         December 3, 1980
    
    
         December 1980
    
         April 2, 1981
    
         October 1981
    
    
         March 1983
    J. L.  Shumaker, EPA:CPB, to V. Smith, Research
    Triangle Institute, Letter concerning the
    finalization of SQCMI to be used in all
    generic standards.
    
    E. C.  Pulaski, TRW-.EED, to V.  Smith, Research
    Triangle Institute, Letter with enclosed
    model  facilities for synthetic organic
    chemical storage facilities.
    
    R. C.  Weber, EPA:CPB, to E. Pulaski, TRW:EED,
    Letter confirming deletion of Handling
    portion or SOCMI Storage and Handling NSPS.
    
    Decision to expand SOCMI storage to VOL.
    
    W. T.  Moody, TRWrEED, to the Volatile Organic
    Liquids Docket Files, Memo with an attached
    selection of Model  Facilities.
    
    W. T.  Moody, TRW:EED, to the Volatile Organic
    Liquids Docket Files, Memo concerning tanks
    involved in industrial organics.
    
    Model  Plants and Regulatory Alternatives are
    finalized.
    
    Decision on the basis of the standard.
    
    Working Group Review.
    
    National Air Pollution Control Techniques
    Advisory Committee Meeting.
    
    Steering Committee Review.
    
    Assistant Administrator Review.
    
    Package withdrawn from review process and
    returned to OAQPS.
    
    Steering Committee review of the revised
    standard based upon newly available emissions
    information.
                                     A-9
    

    -------
    APPENDIX B - INDEX TO ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT CONSIDERATIONS
    

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    cNVIRONMENTAT
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    DALLAS, TEXAS
    
       LIBRARY
    

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                                    TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
    REPORT NO. 2.
    EPA-450/3-81-003a
    TITLE AND SUBTITLE
    VOC Emissions from Volatile Organic Liquid Storage
    Tanks - Background Information for Proposed Standards
    AUTHOR(S)
    PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
    Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
    Environmental Protection Agency
    Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
    . SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
    DAA for Air Quality Planning and Standards
    Office of Air, Noise, and Radiation
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
    Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711
    3 RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.^f*
    5 REPORT DATE t *. \ ', AC
    6 PERFORMING ORGANIZATICM-Cj
    •VsP'
    Bv'CY
    , TEXAS
    tfflnr
    8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO
    10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
    11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
    68-02-3063
    13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD
    Draft
    COVERED
    14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
    EPA/200/04
    . SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
    .ABSTRACT
     Standards of  Performance  for the control  of VOC emissions from Volatile Organic
     Liquid  (VOL)  storage  tanks  are being proposed under the authority of Section 111
     of the  Clean  Air  Act.   These standards would apply to all new and'existing storage
     tanks having  a  capacity of  75 cubic meters or larger, which are to be used for the
     storage of  VOL.   This document contains background information and environmental
     and economic  impact assessments of the regulatory alternatives considered in
     developing  the  proposed standards.
    KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
    DESCRIPTORS
    ir pollution Equipment standard
    Dilution control Standards of Performance
    torage tanks
    Dntact floating roofs
    lemical manufacturing plants
    Dlatile Organic Compounds
    Dlatile Organic Liquids
    jlk Liquid Terminals
    DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
    Unlimited
    b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
    Air Pollution Control
    19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
    Unclassified
    20 SECURITY CLASS (This page)
    Unclassified
    r. COSATI Field/Group
    13 B
    21 NO. OF PAGES
    199
    22. PRICE
     A Form 2270-1 (Rev. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION i s OBSOLETE
    

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