OOOR64102
                       BEFORE ON
EXISTING & POTENTIAL CONDITIONS OF THE INTERSTATE WATERS
                  OF THE ST. CROIX RIVER
    FROM PRESCOTT, WISCONSIN TO STILLWATER,  MINNESOTA
   U. S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE
                  PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE
                        REGION V
       TWIN CITIES UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER  PROJECT
                  MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA
                    SEPTEMBER,

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                         TABLE OF CONTENTS
Summary and Conclusions



Background                                                   1



The Area                                                     1




Water Uses                                                   2



Present Water Quality                                        6



     Chemical and Bacteriological                            6



     Temperature                                             7



     Biological                                              8




Stream Flow                                                 J.O



Proposed Steam-Electric Generating Plant                    ll



Effects of Proposed Thermal Discharges                      11



     Stream Temperature                                     13



     Dissolved Oxygen                                       15



     Aquatic Environment                                    l6



Bibliography



Appendix

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                       SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS




     1.  The lower St, Croix River is used primarily and heavily for




recreation,




     2,  The waters of the St. Croix River are indicative of a relatively




unpolluted stream suitable for many uses.  This is borne out by physical,




chemical, bacteriological and biological indices of quality.




     3.  The St. Croix River at Stillwater, Minnesota and below is a part




of the pool above Mississippi River Lock and Dam No. 3.  The pool elevation




is maintained by controlled discharge through the lock and dam.  For this




reason it is more characteristic of a reservoir than a flowing stream.




     h.  Cooling water, which has received a temperature increase of 17°F,




will experience a drop of 3 - 5° P during its passage through Andersen  Bay.




     5.  The temperature gradient that will occur in the St. Croix River ,




contiguous to the Bay will depend on dispersion patterns in this vicinity.




These patterns can be determined only by a hydraulic model study.  The




heated effluent, however, would be expected to stratify at the surface  and




remain near the Minnesota shore for some distance downstream.




     6.  Considering the large volume of water always maintained in Pool




No. 3, it is doubtful that any water in the river one-quarter mile or more




below the Bay would ever exceed 90°F.




     7.  The stream temperature would be expected to return to normal with-




in a downstream distance of five or six miles.




     8.  An increase of lk°F or more at the outlet of Andersen Bay, result-




ing from the discharge of cooling water, will raise the temperature at  the




City of Bayport's bathing beach to levels unsuitable for swimming.

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     9.  Increased river temperatures resulting from the discharge of




cooling water will have an insignificant effect on dissolved oxygen con-




centrations at the existing pollutional load.




     10.  With the increased water temperatures in Andersen Bay, the Bay




will be a source of algal "blooms which will seriously impair the use of




the bathing beach and the marina in the immediate vicinity.  The algal




blooms will be carried downstream with a potential for creating further




nuisance conditions.




     11,  Fish will be attracted to the warmer waters during the winter.




Reentry to colder water may produce occasional fish kills.




     12.  Thermal discharge to Andersen Bay during the summer will prevent




the growth and production of macro-invertebrates within the Bay and along




the Minnesota shore to a point where the temperature falls  to approximately




90°F.  The lack of the macro-invertebrates serving as a link in the food




chain will suppress the fish population in the locale.




     13.  It is beyond the scope of this report to determine if an adequate




zone for fish migration will be retained 'either along the Wisconsin shore




or within lower depths of the river subsequent to thermal discharge.  This




is best determined by means of a hydraulic model.

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                                BACKGROIMD




     The Twin Cities Upper Mississippi River Project being conducted as  a




special project of the Enforcement Branch of the Division of Water Supply




and Pollution Control, Public Health Service, has within its study area




the St. Croix River from its confluence with the Mississippi River through




the communities of St. Croix Falls and Taylors Falls, a distance of approxi-




mately 53 miles.  This report is the result of the first routine intensive




survey of a portion of this river as well as the routine sampling program.




The intensive portion of the study was conducted from the 24th through the




26th of August, 196^.  The possible effects of a proposed thermal discharge




into the waters of the area studied are discussed.  The area studied extends




from the mouth of the river to approximately mile point 23, opposite the




City of Stillwater, Minnesota.  An intensive study on the remainder of the




river within the study area is scheduled for a later date.






                                 THE AREA




     The St. Croix River flows from its source in northwestern Wisconsin




in a generally southwesterly to southerly direction to its confluence with




the Mississippi River about forty miles below Minneapolis, Minnesota, The




segment river within the Project's study area, forms a boundary between the




States of Minnesota and Wisconsin.  The two principal tributaries to the




segment of river under consideration shown in Figure 1, are the Kinnickinnic




and Willow, both located in Wisconsin.  Smaller minor tributaries enter




from the Minnesota side of the river.




     The drainage area of this reach of river is sparsely populated with the




largest communities and their 1960 populations being Stillwater, Minnesota,




8100; Hudson, Wisconsin, 298?; Bayport, Minnesota, 3205; and Prescott,






                                     -1-

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                                                              Upper  limit of Pool No. 3
         MINNESOT A
             WASHINGTON
                    COUNTY
                                       W   S  C  0 N S  I  N
                                                                        ft/VER
HASTINGS
                                              indicate* the  limit* of Pool No, 3

                                              Bridge

                                          5   River  Mile
MINNESOTA
                  U.S. LOCK « 0AM NO. 9
                                                 DEPT  OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, S WELFARE
                                                        PUBLIC  HEALTH SERVICE
                                                        LOCATION   MAP

                                                      LOWER ST CROiX  RIVER
                                                      TWIN CITIES UPPER MISSISSIPPI
                                                           RIVER   PROJECT

                                                                          FIGURE

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Wisconsin, 1536.  Other communities along this reach are St. Mary's  Point,



Lake St. Croix Beach, Lakeland Shores, Lakeland,  Oak Park Heights, and



North Hudson.






                               WATER USES




MUNICIPAL



     At the present time, no communities obtain their water supplies from



the river.  The river, however, has been discussed as a possible supple-



mental source of supply for the City of St. Paul.



     On the Minnesota side of the river, only the Cities of Stillwater and



Bayport have public sanitary sewer systems.  The  waste treatment plant at



Stillwater was constructed in I960 and provides primary treatment with



chlorination during critical periods.  The Bayport waste treatment plant



is of the activated sludge type designed to treat the wastes from the State




Prison as well as the municipalities own wastes.



     On the Wisconsin side, the City of Hudson provides treatment for its



own wastes and those from the community of North  Hudson.  This plant is of



the trickling filter type, placed in operation during 1960. Chlorination



of the effluent is practiced from May 1 to November 1.  The City of  Prescott,



borders the St. Croix, but discharges its municipal wastes to  the



Mississippi River.



INDUSTRIAL



     On the basis of information available, there is only one  industry



having a waste water discharge direct to the St.  Croix River within  the




area under study.  This company, which is located in Bayport,  discharges



its waste into what is known locally as Andersen  Bay.  The discharge



appears to have no significant affect on the St.  Croix water quality.






                                    -2-

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FLOOD CONTROL & COMMERCIAL SHIPPING



     There are no existing Federal Projects for flood control in the St.



Croix River Basin.  Since 1878, however, there has been a navigation



project on the river from the mouth to river mile 51.8 near Taylors Falls,



Minnesota.  This project provides for a 9-foot channel from the mouth to



Stillwater and a 3-foot channel on to Taylors Falls.  The project also



provides for harbor and water front facilities at Stillwater.  The naviga-



tion Lock and Dam No. 3, located on the Mississippi River 1*1.3 miles be-



low the mouth of the St. Croix, impounds a reach of the river which is



also known as Lake St. Croix.  This provides the 9-foot channel within the



lower reaches of the St. Croix River.  This lake has an estimated surface



area of 9,336 acres.^'



     Commercial navigation on the St. Croix has varied in amounts during



the past ten years with a peak of ^3>1^5 tons transported in 1960.  The



commodities shipped were coal and superphosphate.^ '



     Commercial shipping information for the past ten years appears in the



Appendix in Table 1.



RECREATION



     The waters of the St. Croix River are a focal point for park and



recreational facilities.  Although few statistics are available on the



recreational usage of the stream within the area under study, some indica-



tion of this is gained by the following information.  In 1962 the bordering



counties of St. Croix and Pierce in Wisconsin and Washington in Minnesota



had a combined population of a little over lOij-,000 of which approximately



kk% were licensed to fish.  Also in 1962, Lock and Dam No. 2 separating



the St. Croix River from the Twin Cities area recorded the lockage of



some 2,184 pleasure craft.  Undoubtedly a high percentage of those craft




                                   -3-

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were in transit between the Twin Cities and the St.  Croix River,  a river


known for its weekend boating populace.  This populace,  which is  also  de-


rived in part from the communities south of Lock and Dam No.  3> engages


in all forms of water oriented sports.  These include:   swimming, skiing,


fishing, canoeing and sunbathing.  Within the reach  of river  between the


mouth and Stillwater, there are approximately 15 marinas and  boat ramps and


at least six designated swimming areas.  Swimming is also practiced from


boats throughout the area.  Water oriented parks are to  be found  at the


cities of Stillwater, Bayport and Hudson.


     As reported by the State of Wisconsin in 1961,  there were ^,235


potential cottage sites on undeveloped lands bordering the Wisconsin por-


tion of Lake St. Croix.  When consideration is given to  the fact  that


frontage uses other than cottage sites and frontage  too  precipitous to


permit development were not considered, some idea may be gained of the


sparsity with which this area has been populated.


ELECTRICAL GENERATING PLANTS


     At the present time there are no electrical power generating plants


located on the St. Croix River within the area under study.  There are,


however, six existing hydroelectric power generating plants within the St.

                  (?\
Croix River Basin.v '  Four of these are located on the  Willow River and


two on the Kinnickinnic River.


     A hydroelectric installation has been proposed for  the St. Croix  River


in the vicinity of Stillwater.  This potential run-of-river installation


would provide a gross head of 20 feet and have an average annual  energy


of 25,200 mwh.(2)


     A site in Oak Park Heights, Minnesota has been proposed  for  a steam-


electric generating plant by the Northern States Power Company.   The plant


                                    -U-

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would use river water for cooling purposes with discharge being returned




to what is known locally as Andersen Bay. .Additional information on this




proposal can be found on page 11.
                                  -5-

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                          PRESENT WATER QUALITY




CHEMICAL AND BACTERIOLOGICAL



     The St. Croix River is a relatively clean stream.  Man made wastes



received by it are largely domestic and have undergone some treatment prior




to discharge.



     Collectively communities along the 30-mile stretch from Taylors Falls



to Stillwater discharge approximately 200 pounds of BOD per day based on



Federal and State Agency inventories.  Stillwater discharges about 1000



pounds of BOD per day.  Communities below Stillwater contribute a total of



about 600 pounds of BOD per day.  Presenting an extreme case for purposes



of illustration, if all these sources discharged their wastes into the



stream at a common point, the resulting 5-day BOD concentration at a 1000



cfs (minimum average one day flow occurring once in ten years) stream flow



rate would be only 0.3 mg/1.  The average 5-day BOD concentration of 5-3



mg/1 found during the summer of 196U at river mile 23-3 opposite Stillwater



suggests that well over 95 percent of the BOD results from agricultural and



natural pollution.  The BOD which ranged between 3-5 and 7.6 mg/1 during



this period, was slightly higher than what would be expected for clean



streams.



     At this same location, the dissolved oxygen concentration ranged be-



tween 5.7 and 9.2 mg/1 averaging 7.8 mg/1.  Percent saturation ranged between



63 and 105, averaging 91•  These concentrations are indicative of a rela-



tively clean stream.




     The coliform Most Probable Number (MPN) ranged from 300 to 600 indica-




ting very good quality.  Waters having an MPN of less than 1000 are con-



sidered safe for bathing by the State of Minnesota.
                                   -6-

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     Table 1 summarizes the data obtained during the summer of 1964 and



illustrates that a relatively high stream quality exists over the entire



stretch between Stillwater and the mouth.



     Additional data, not shown in Table 1 above, were obtained during a



three day intensive survey conducted August 2U-26, 196U at a stream flow



of approximately 2000 cfs.  The temperature and dissolved oxygen concentra-



tion were measured in the morning and afternoon at several locations and



depths at each of 11 stations set up between river miles 1.0 and 23-3.



Results indicated that water quality was uniform over the entire stream



cross section at each station during the sampling period.  A summary of



these results is given in Table 2.  Although there was no evidence of



stratification during this three day period, it is by no means an indica-



tion that none exists during periods of higher water temperatures and



lower flows.



TEMPERATURE



     The only water temperature data on the lower St. Croix River known to




exist is that which has been collected over the years by the Minneapolis-



St. Paul Sanitary District.  During routine sampling, the Sanitary District



has taken temperatures of the St. Croix River at Prescott (river mile O.l)



approximately once each week between 10 and 11 AM for more than 15 years.



All temperature data collected in the five-year period between 1959 and 1963>



inclusive, are shown in Figure 2.  The maximum temperatures recorded and



month of occurrence for the years between 19^3 and 1963 are given in Table 3.



     Stream temperatures were measured between Stillwater (river mile 23.3)



and Prescott (river mile O.l) in the morning on eight occasions this summer.



In each instance, the stream temperature at Stillwater was within 2°C (either



above or below) of the temperature at Prescott.  These data,  summarized in




                                   -7-

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TABLE 2
SUMMARY OF DO AND TEMPERATURE VALUES AND THEIR VARIATION AT
GIVEN CROSS SECTIONS IN THE ST. CROIX RIVER (August 2^-26, 1.96k)
Station
(River Mile)
23.3
21.3
Upper end of
Andersen Bay
Lower end of
Andersen Bay
19.5
18.0
16.5
1U.O
11.3
5.0
1.0
No. of
Points
Sampled
9
9
3
3
9
9
3
12
3
6
9
Average DO &
Variation ag/1
A.M.
8.^-0.3
6.U-0.8
9.3^0.4
6.8^0.3
6.2^0.5
7.0^0.6
7.2^0.2
6.3^0.8
5.8±O.H
7.3-0.7
5.9*1.0
P.M.
8.9 to .U
6.^1.6
8.3^0.3
7.6-O.U
6.^-0.6
7.1-1.^
7.5^0.3
6.5-0.6
5.0-1.0
7.9-0.6
6.olo.9
Average Temperature
Variation °C
A.M. P.M.
19.0^1.0 Same as A.M.
20.0 to 1.0
19. oti. o "
20. 0^1. 0
20.0-1.0
20.0-1.0
20. oti. o "
20.0-1.0
20.3-1.0
20.8-1.0
20.7-1.0 M

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'0.  '

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                        TABLE 3
HAXH3JM
Year
19U8
19^9
1950
1951
1952
1953
195^
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
!-!ATER .a»IEERA.rUEES RECORDED
RIVER EETTCEE1T 10:00 and
Month of
Occurrence
August
July
July
July
July
July
July
July
August
-
August
August
August
July
July
July
AT MOUTH OF ST. CROE
11:00 AM*
Maximum Temp.
Recorded °C.
25
27
25
26
25
26
27
27
26
-
26
26
28
26
25
27
*  Temperature measurements were made approximately once
   each week.  Data was collected by the Minneapolis-
   St. Paul Sanitary District.

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Table k, indicate that temperature data collected at Frescott is applicable




to the entire reach of the stream between Prescott and Stillwater,




     The data collected by the Sanitary District indicates that maximum




stream temperatures occur in July and August of each year.  The maximum




temperature recorded by them since 19^8 was 28°C (82.^°F).  The average




maximum temperature for the data presented is 26°C (78.8°F).




BIOLOGICAL




     A bottom organism study was performed during the month of August,  196^4




to obtain information relating to present water quality.  Because of their




habitat preference and poorly developed method of locomotion, these organisms




are subjected to all adverse factors entering their habitat.  The majority




of bottom organisms have a life span which equals or exceeds one year;  there-




fore, a study of the bottom organism population will reflect river condi-




tions at a given point for a considerable period of time prior to the actual




collection of the samples.




     Results of the study indicate that the stream water quality is essen-




tially good and is capable of supporting a wide variety of bottom organisms.




This fact is substantiated by the general diversity of bottom organisms and




the specific presence of the pollution intolerant forms such as Mayflies,




Caddis Flies and Scuds.  These data are shown in Figures 3, ^ and 5 and




Appendix Tables 2 and 3«




     Silt and natural organics and/or detritus such as decaying leaves,




twigs, bark, etc, were found on the bottom in the river.  In Andersen




Bay, there was a considerable amount of organic material that appeared to




be sludge.  It was in these areas of silt and natural organic deposition




that most of the sludge worms, blood worms, and phantom midges were found.




These organisms are a typical association found in lakes or reservoirs.




                                  -8-

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TABLE 4
ST. CROIX RIVER WATER TEMPERATURES
BETWEEN MOUTH AND STLLLWATER, MINNESOTA
Date
7-23 -6k
7-28-64
8-10-64
8-19-64
8-24-64
8-25-64
8-26-64
9-9-64

Stillwater
23.3
29°C
28
22
21
19
19
19
21
LOCATION, RIVER MILE
Hudson
18.0 16.5
28°C 28°C
28
23
22
20 20
20 20
20 20
21

Prescott
0.1
28°C
28
23
22
21
21
21
21

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                                                           KINNICKINNIC
                                                                 RIVER
PHANTOM MIOOE3-CHW80RUS
                                                   DEPT. OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, S WELARE
                                                         PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE
                                                         BOTTOM  ORGANISMS
                                                          ST. CROIX  RIVER
                                                           MILE 0.0  to 7.0
                                                      TWIN  CITIES-UPPER  MISSISSIPPI
                                                             RIVER   PROJECT

                                                                           FIGURE  3

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         SLUDGE WORMS

         BLOOD  WORMS

    MAYFLIES- HEXAaENI*

PHANTOM MIDQE5-CHAOSORU3
      0.5
            SCALE
              o
                             I MILE
                                                     DEPT. OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, a WELWRE
                                                            PUBLIC  HEALTH  SERVICE
                                                           BOTTOM ORGANISMS
                                                             ST.  CROIX RIVER

                                                              MILE 8.0 fo 16.0
                                                         TWIN CITIES-UPPER MISSISSIPPI
                                                                RIVER  PROJECT
                                                                                FIGURE  4

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     MAYFLIES-HEXAGESIA

PHANTOM MIDGES-CHAOBORUS
   OF HEALTH EDUCATION &  WELFARE
     PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE
      BOTTOM ORGANISMS

       ST. CROiX RIVER

         MILE  15.0  to 25
  TWIN CITIES-UPPER MISSISSIPPI
         RIVER PROJECT
                    FIGURE  5

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having silt and natural organic as substrate materials.  The number of




these organisms does not appear to be particularly high.  Information




characterizing the bottom materials can be found in Appendix Table k»




     To further substantiate that the river water quality is good, a list




of known fish species, including numerous game species, is found in




Appendix Table 5.
                                  -9-

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                                STREAM FLOW



     Stream flow of the St. Groix River at Stillwater is obtainable only




through addition of the flow of the St. Croix River at St. Croix Falls,




Wisconsin and the flow of the Apple River near Somerset, Wisconsin.  Al-




though daily gage height readings are taken at Stillwater, no discharge




record for any period is available.




     The St. Croix River "below Stillwater is a portion of the pool above




Lock and Dam Wo. 3 on the Mississippi River.  However, it is not a station-




ary pool.  Flow is maintained past Stillwater at approximately the same




rate as that added by the St. Croix River and all its tributaries above




Stillwater.  This is accomplished by regulating the volume of water pass-




ing Lock and Dam No. 3 according to the total volume of water entering




the pool from the Mississippi River, the St. Croix River and their measured




tributaries.




     Flows have been computed at Stillwater to provide four graphs defin-




ing expected flow conditions at Stillwater.  Mean monthly discharges and




minimum daily discharges based on the ten calendar years of record from




1953 to 1962 inclusive are presented in Figures 6 and 7.  Frequency of




minimum flows are presented in Figures 8 and 9«  "The recurrence of one




day average low flows is shown for the most recent 10, 20 and 30 years




of published record.  The recurrence of seven day average low flows is




shovn for only the ten years of record.




     Although flow is maintained on the St. Croix River, velocities are




Very low near Stillwater and Bayport because of the large cross-sectional




area in this vicinity.  At a flow of 1000 cfs velocities are of the




magnitude of 0.2 miles per day.  Time of travel from river mile 20.5 to




18.5 on the St. Croix River has been computed as approximately nine days




                                    -10-

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     MEAN MONTHLY DISCHARGES
              FOR THE
  SAINT  CROiX RIVER at STILLWATER
18,000

17,000

16,000-


15,000-



14,000-


13,000-
12,000-


11,000-

tft
u.
o 10,000-
z

^ 9,000
g

^ 8,000-

7,000-


6,OOO-

5,000-

4,000-

3,000-


2,000- •

1,000 *•
•— . 	 	 t
| \ FIGURE 6
1 \

1 \ LEGEND
1 » 	 THE MAXIMUM OF THE MEAN MONTHLY
| \ DISCHARGES FOR A TEN YEAR PERIOD OF
/ \ RECORD FROM 1*93 TO 1982 INCLUSIVE.

1 V ""'"" 	 	 THE AVERASE OF THE MEAN MONTHLY
, \ DISCHARGES FOR A TEN YEAR PERIOD OF
1 \
' . RECORD FROM 1983 TO 1962 INCLUSIVE.

» ' « -*— — — — THE MINIMUM OF THE MEAN MONTHLY
/ \ DISCHARiES FOR A TEN YEAR PERIOD OF
j \ RECORD FROM I9S3 TO 1962 INCLUSIVE.
1
1 \
1 \
1 \
i \
/ \
/ 's.
?y ^^
\ \.
\ \
\ \
\ \

\ \
\ \
\ \
\ \

\ \
\ ^ "\

\ \
\ \
"^^* X\
' / 	 N ^X^ 	 \
/ s — N\ ^\
— 	 '" / e/' \ N^
_ / f* *y **~~~*"***~
,*'''' "^"^ .--""""""* XXNS>»
— ••---.' "».»»•*

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
MONTH

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                                           MINIMUM DAILY DISCHARGES
                                                      FOR THE
                                       SAINT CROIX  RIVER  at STILLWATER

                                                    FIGURE  7
LEGEND
        ' THE HISHEST or THE MONTHLY MINIMUM DAILY
         DISCHARGES  FOR A TEN YEAR PERIOD OP
         RECORD PROM 1953  TO 1962 INCLUSIVE.

        > THE AVERA8E OP THE MONTHLY MINIMUM DAILY
         OI3CHAR0E3 POR A TEN YEAR PERIOD  OP
         RECORD FROM 1953  TO I8BZ INCLUSIVE.

         THE LOWEST OP THE MONTHLY MINIMUM DAILY
         DISCHARGES POR A  TEN YEAR PERIOD OP
         RECORD PROM 1953 TO l»«2 INCLUSIVE.
JAN    FEB    MAR    APR   MAY    JUN   JUL    AUG    SEP   OCT   NOV   DEC

                                   MONTH

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V)
u.
o
O
_J
U.
 4,6 OO




 4,400




 4,200




 4,OOO




 3,800




 3,600




 3,400




 3,200




 3,000




 2,800-




2,600-




2,40O-




2,200-




2,OOO-




 1,800-




 1,600-




 1,400-
                                           FREQUENCY Of MINIMUM FLOW

                                             FOR  AUGUST FOR  THE

                                        SAINT CROIX  RIVER at STILLWATER
                                                    FIGURE  8
                                           O  7 DAY AVERA0E MINIMUM FLOW
                                           X  I  DAY AVCRA6E MINIMUM FLOW
                                              * BASED ON TEN YEARS OF RECORD
                                                FROM 1*93 TO 1*62 INCLUSIVE.
                                                        I  DAY
                                            I      I	1	1
                 23456      789

                   RECURRENCE INTERVAL  IN  YEARS
                                                                    10

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-------
for a flow of 1000 cfs and two days for a flow of 3930 cfs.



     River mile 20 is slightly upstream from the mouth of Andersen




Bay at Bayport.  The volume of water estimated in the St.  Croix River from




river mile 20.5 to 18.5 is ?60 million cubic feet.  The volume of water




in Andersen Bay is approximately 23 million cubic feet.  The stage is




relatively constant between elevations 675.0 and 675-5 feet.




     Since the Corps of Engineers maintains Pool No. 3 at elevation 675.0




(1912 datum) at Prescott and since only low flows are under  consideration,




a constant stage has been assumed for time of travel and volume determina-




tions.




     Additional information and methodology concerning the preparation of




Figures 6, J, 8 and 9 is presented in the Appendix.






                 PROPOSED STEAM ELECTRIC GENERATING FIAMT




     A power company has proposed to locate a steam-electric generating




plant on the St. Croix River at river mile 20.7 on the Minnesota shore in




the community of Oak Park Heights.  Cooling water would be withdrawn from




the main stream and discharged into Andersen Bay located behind the pro-




posed site.




     The power company's application to the Minnesota Water  Pollution




Control Commission indicates that the maximum cooling water  discharge rate




will be 660 cfs.  The maximum heat rejection will be 2.52 billion BTU/hour,




with the average heat rejection at 2.32 billion BTU/hour. At the 660 cfs




discharge rate then, the maximum temperature increase of the cooling water




will be 17°F.  The average temperature increase will be 15.7°F.






                  EFFECTS OF PROPOSED THERMAL DISCHARGES




AMDERSEN BAY TEMPERATURES




                                    -11-

-------
      The volume of water in Andersen Bay is approximately 23 million  cubic



 feet.  At a 660 cfs discharge rate, the average retention time  of the cool-



 ing water in the Bay would be approximately 10 hours, provided  that thorough



 mixing occurred.



      If the cooling water discharged occupied the  entire volume of the Bay,



 the average velocity of the cooling water through  the Bay would be in the



 order of 0.1 ft/sec.  This low velocity would not  be expected to produce



 thorough mixing.  It is evident that stratification would be most likely



 to occur, with the cooling water, that is, the warmer water, occupying




 only the upper layer.  Since the entire volume of  the Bay probably would



 not be utilized, the retention time in the Bay would be  less than 10  hours.



      During August, the maximum average 5-day air  temperature recorded in



 Minneapolis is 77.^°F.  Minneapolis records were used in the absence  of



 long term records for Stillwater.  The maximum water temperature is



 approximately 82.i|-0F (28°C).  An increase of 17°F  would  raise the cooling




 water temperature to 99.^°F.  Calculations show that this 22°F  temperature



; difference of water over air would produce a heat  loss from the Bay



 to the atmosphere resulting in a temperature drop  in the cooling water



 of approximately 3°F from one end of the Bay to the other. ^/   The tempera-



 ture of the water entering the main stream from the Bay, then,  would  be a



 maximum of li|-0F higher than the main stream during August.  Based on  the



 average heat rejection it would be an average of 13°F higher than the main



 stream.




      Heat loss from the Bay would be greatest during January when the



 average temperature difference between the air and cooling water would be



 nearly 37°F.  The temperature drop during passage  through the Bay at  this



 time would be approximately 5°F.




                                     -12-

-------
     Figure 10 shows the average and maximum temperatures over the year




that would be expected in the upper layer of the Bay, "both before and




alter installation of the power plant.




     An increase of li|-0F or more at the outlet of Andersen Bay, resulting




from the discharge of cooling water, will raise the temperature at the City




of Bayport's bathing beach to levels unsuitable for swimming.






STREAM TEMPERATURE




     The effect that a given heat output by the power plant will have on




the temperature of the St. Croix River in the vicinity of Bayport is




dependent to some extent on the flow in the river itself.  It  is not




dependent entirely on the flow, as would first be expected, since the pool



stage from the mouth to Stillwater remains almost constant, within a wide




range of flow.




     The portion of the river from mile 23 to the mouth resembles a




reservoir more than it does a flowing stream.  This can best be illustrated




by considering the mean velocity of flow past the Bay over a range of flows.




At a 1000 cfs flow (minimum daily flow expected once every 10  years), the




velocity would be about 0.2 mile/day.  At 10,000 cfs flow (more than




twice the yearly average) the velocity would be only 2 miles/day.  The




area of the stream cross section increases over the next six miles down-




stream thus producing successively lower velocities in this reach.




     A close approximation of actual mixing patterns and temperature




gradients resulting from a thermal discharge into this body of vrater




can be reliably determined only by a hydraulic model study. Nevertheless,




some rough approximations can be made of the resulting temperatures in




the absence of such a model.  To gain a perspective of probable thermal






                                    -13-

-------
              i   8
o

-------
additions to'the river, temperature increases in the immediate vicinity

of the discharge point are first considered.  Figure 11 presents this

temperature increase which would result from the uniform addition of heat

to the stream, as related to the stream flow.  This would closely approxi-

mate conditions if the water level was not regulated by Lock and Dam No.

3.  Stream temperatures that would be expected in August immediately

below the Bay at pertinent stream flows have been calculated and are given

in Table 5.

     However, since the water surface is maintained at a relatively con-

stant level, there would always be a considerable volume of water in

addition to the incoming flow that would be available for further dilution.

The amount of water that would be utilized can only be reliably estimated

from a hydraulic model study.

     To illustrate the significance of this volume of water in the vicinity

of the Bay, let it be assumed that no flow enters or leaves the two-mile

reach between river miles 18.5 and 20.5 and that the volume of water in
                                           •-j
this segment (approximately 7^0 million Ft.J) is continually recirculated

through the power plant.  Pumping at the maximum rate (660 cfs), the

water would be recirculated an average of only once every 13 days.  Even

if no heat loss occurred from this reach, the average temperature increase

would, theoretically, be only l°F/day at the maximum heat rejection rate.

     For any assumed temperature immediately below Andersen Bay, the re-

sulting temperature occurring at any distance downstream can be calculated

using an equation developed by Velz and Gannon for determining heat losses

in ponds  and streams.^-5'

     Taking one of the most critical situations ever likely to occur,

assume that the 660 cfs of cooling water leaving the Bay mixed with only


                                   -111-

-------
do'3SV3bONI

-------
                          TABLE 5

EXPECTED STREAM TEMPERATURES IN AUGUST 3MMEDIATELY BELOW
BAY OUTLET.  (ASSUMING AN UPSTREAM TEMPERATURE OF 8
         COMPLETE MEC3UG AND UNREGULATED PLOW)
               Minimum Daily          Consecutive 7-Day
                 Avg. Flow              Drought Flow
              (30 Yr. Record)         (10 Yr7 Record)
Return Frequency
Once each year
Once in 5 years
Once in 10 years
Once in 20 years
Once in 30 years
Flow
GFS
3930
lltOO
1000
700
550
Maximum
Temperature
op
84.8
89.0
91.6
95.6
99.2
Flow
CFS
1^90
1700
1580


Maximum
Temperature
OF
84.5
87,8
88.2



-------
    cfs of water in the main stream.  (This would occur at a stream flow




of 1000 cf s with complete mixing).  The temperature of the mixture would




be 9.2°F warmer than the upstream temperature.  Assuming the upstream




temperature to be at a maximum (Q2.k°j), the temperature of the mixture




would be 91.6 F.  The appearance of the temperature profile that would re-




sult downstream is shown in Figure 12.  The stream temperature would re-




turn to normal within a distance of five or six miles.




     Lower initial temperature increases, resulting from greater mixing




at the Bay confluence than estimated above, would shorten the length of




stream afl'ected as well as lessen the effect itself.




     The extremely low velocities present in the nain stream as well as




the Bay would be conducive to stratification of the thermal discharge in




the upper layers unless it were released in a manner that would promote




greater mixing.




     The above calculations indicate that with the large volume of water




always on hand for dilation, regardless of the stream flow rate, it is




doubtful that any water in the mainstream one-quarter mile or more below




the Bay would ever exceed 90°F.




DISSOLVED OXYGEN




     Higher temperatures affect dissolved oxygen in the stream in two




direct ways.  First, it increases the rate of natural self-purification




of organic matter resulting in a greater rate of oxygen depletion.  Second,




higher temperatures reduce the solubility of oxygen in water.  The




greater the organic pollution, the greater is the effect of higher




temperatures on dissolved oxygen concentrations.




     Indirectly, higher temperatures can affect oxygen concentrations in




a third way by promoting increased growth of algae.  Algal photosynthesis




                                   -15-

-------
                                                                           IU
                                                                           oc


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-------
produces a net increase in dissolved oxygen during daylight.   Algal




respiration, which occurs during the 2k hours, contributes to a net decrease




in dissolved oxygen at night.  Upon death, the algae would decompose and




exert an oxygen demand.




     The increased temperature resulting from the thermal discharge is




not expected to reduce dissolved oxygen concentrations to a dangerously




low level since the St. Croix River presently contains relatively little




pollution and the stream deoxygenation rate is quite low (approximately




.00^/day at 23°C).  If the temperature of a given quantity of river




water were increased from 82°F to 91°F for a period of 20 days (approxi-




mate travel time in the affected reach) with no reaeration, the dissolved




oxygen concentration would be less than 1 mg/1 lower than it would have




been had the temperature not been increased.




     The oxygen demand of the river will not be significantly increased




because of the stability and small amount of organic matter present.




     In the Bay, the additional organic load produced by the decomposition




of the expected algae blooms, could result in a significant oxygen deple-




tion.




AQUATIC ENVIRONMENT




     Water temperature is a factor which determines the distribution and




activity rate of the aquatic environment.  The temperature range in which




life activities generally occur is from 32 to 104°F, although severe




changes in aquatic biota will result from prolonged exposure to tempera-




tures of 93°F.  Even though waters at higher temperatures sometime con-




tain sufficient dissolved oxygen to support fish life, die off will




sometimes occur since the higher temperatures reduce the resistance to




disease, parasites, competitors and toxic materials.  Synergistic




                                   -16-

-------
relationships between temperature and toxic materials are common since,


fl.1_L too often, heated wastes are discharged within the vicinity of domestic


or industrial waste discharges.


     With our present knowledge, it is impossible to make precise state-


ments concerning the effects of varying temperature levels on the over-


all "biota of a stream.  In general, it appears that in low gradient


streams of the temperate zone, the temperature should not exceed 86 F

                     (M
for extended periods.


     In the Ohio Valley area, studies have indicated that peak summer


vater temperatures should not exceed 93°F at any time or place.^'  It


has been found that the upper temperature limits for warm fresh water fish


varied from 8k. 6  to 107.6 F.  For fish found in the Lake Erie-Ohio River


Canal area median tolerance limits of 97.5°F, 96.3°F, 95.2°F, 95.0°F, 92.8°F


and 92.3°F, were found for large mouth bass, carp, brown bullheads, black


bullheads, bluegills, and channel catfish respectively.   ' '    However,


these median tolerance limits should not be interpreted as the lethal level


because they actually represent a 50 per cent mortality rate and are no


indication of the temperature required for necessary activities and the


survival of the species.  Understandably the Ohio River Valley and the


St. Croix River are not directly comparable.  An upper limit of 93°F or less


would be expected to prevail in this area.


     Based on the above information, the proposed thermal discharge will


have a significant impact on the aquatic environment, in and immediately


below Andersen Bay.  Of principal concern is the possible development of


blooms of green and blue-green algae at the elevated temperatures.  It is


reasonable to assume that a sufficient concentration of nutrients coming


from farm land drainage, the Stillwater municipal treatment plant and
                                   -17-

-------
miscellaneous tile drains in the Bay area will be present for algal blooms


in the spring.  The elevated temperatures of the Bay will provide the


impetus for the blue-green algal blooms to occur during the summer and the


gradual increase in water temperature as the summer progresses,  will


probably stimulate additional algal growth.


     The effects of algal blooms are well documented.  In general, the


recreational use and value of the waters containing such blooms  become


negligible.  The unsightly green color plus the vile odors produced upon


decomposition of the algae virtually prohibit boating and swimming.


Damage has also been known to occur in the form of discoloration to


paint on boats, piers and in some severe cases on shore side residences.


Recurring algal blooms may reduce the real estate value of shorefront


property.


     Aside from stimulation of algal blooms, the thermal discharge to  the


Bay in the summer will bring about the demise of the macro-invertebrates


within the Bay and along the Minnesota shore to points where the temperature


decreases to 90°F.  The lack of the macro-invertebrates serving  as a link


in the food chain will suppress the fish population in the locale.


     Pish kills in localized areas occur during the summer in many lakes


throughout the country.  Some of these can be related to the large


accumulation of large masses of decomposing algae.  Oxygen is consumed


during decomposition and can be reduced below the levels required to


support fish and most aquatic animals.


     There is evidence indicating that fish have been killed by  toxins

                                           fg\
produced by blue-green algae in Iowa Lakes. yf  Mackenthun et al impli-


cates algal decomposition as being partially responsible for a fish kill


in the Yahara River in Wisconsin.'10)  In addition there is inferential


                                    -18-

-------
evidence that epidemics of human intestinal disturbances may be caused

by algal toxins.   '  '  Algal poisoning is considered to have been respon-

sible for sickness of dogs, cats, cattle, and horses in Saskatchewan.^2'

     Warm bay water during winter conditions will undoubtedly attract fish

to the Bay area.  The ability of fish to adapt to higher temperatures at

a faster rate than to lower temperatures has resulted in fish kills when

fish have entered warm waters and attempted to return to colder water.

Agersborg reported finding fish dying when attempting to return from 79 F

water to 32° F water with death occurring when the fish moved into areas
             (-,0}
10°F cooler. ^ JJ

     Additional fish life problems may result at the time of spawning and

hatching unless temperatures are on the average, 26°F below the median

tolerance limit value of a particular fish.  This criterion is necessary

to enable many to complete their life cycle.

     It appears as though an adequate zone for fish migration will be

retained within the St. Croix Eiver downstream from the proposed thermal

discharge.  This should be verified by means of a hydraulic model.  This

facet of further study would become more significant should the discharge

].o cat ion of the hoa+.^d wat«r T->A shifhed dnrcctly to the St. Croix River.
                                   -19-

-------
                            BIBLIOGRAPHY




1,  Wisconsin, Department of Conservation, Surface Water Resources of




St. Croix County, by LaVerne M. Sather and C. W. Threinan (Madison, 196l)p.7.




2.  Federal Power Commission, Bureau of Power, Planning Status Report,




St. Croix River Basin, Wisconsin - Minnesota, 196^, pp. 5-10.




3.  Velz, C. J. and J. J. Gannon (1960).  Forecasting Heat Losses in Ponds




and Streams.  Journal Water Pollution Control Federation 3_2_ k, p.392.




4.  Cairnes, S. Jr. (1956).  Effects of Heat on Fish,  Industrial Wastes




1 5 pp. 180-183.




5.  Tarzwell, C. M. (1957).  Water Quality Criteria for Aquatic Life.




Transactions Seminar on Bio Problems in Water Pollution.  R. A. Taft




Sanitary Engineering Center, pp. 2^6-272.




6.  Brett, J. R. (19^4).  Some Lethal Temperature Relations of Algonquin




Park Fishes.  Univ. Toronto Stud. Biol. Ser, 52, Publ. Ont. Fish Res. Lab.




No. 63 pp 1-49.




7.  Hart, J. S. (19^7).  Lethal Temperature Relations of Certain Fish in




the Toronto Region.  Trans. Royal Society Canada Vol. kl Wo. 3 pp 57-71.




8.  Hart, J. S. (1952).  Geographic Variations of Some Physiological and




Morphological Characters in Certain Fresh Water Fish.  Univ. Toronto Stud.




Biol. Ser. Wo. 60,  79 pp.




9.  Prescott, G. W. (1960).  Biological Disturbances Resulting from Algal




Populations in Standing Waters.  The Ecology of Algae, Special Publ. No. 2,




Pymatuning Laboratory of Field Biology, University of Pittsburgh, pp 22-37.




10.  Mackenthun, K. M., E. F. Herman, and A. F. Bartsch (19^8).  A Heavy




Mortality of Fishes Resulting from Decomposition of Algae in the Yahara




River, Wisconsin.  Transactions American Fisheries Society 75_ pp 175-180.

-------
11.  Tisdale, E, S. (1931).  Epidemic of Intestinal Disorders in Charles-




ton, W. Va.  Occurring Simultaneously with Unprecedented Water Supply Con-




ditions.  American Journal Public Health.  21 pp 198-201,




12.  Senior, V. S. (1960).  Algal Poisoning in Saskatchewan.   Canadian




Journal of Comparative Medicine XXIV 1, p. 26,




13.  Agersborg, H. F. K. (1930).  The Influence of Temperature on Fish.




Ecology.  11 1, pp. 136-1^4,

-------
APPEHDIX

-------
                     APPEKDIX IABLE 1

          COMMERCIAL SHIPPING ON ST. CROIX RIVER
YEAR
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
I960
1961
1962
1963

TOTAL
5, SOU
11,259
16,566
16,873
26,891
3U,306
U3,lU5
36,752
33,357
30,567
TONNAGE
COAL PHOSPHATES








llt,<&9 l8,Uo8
17,939 12,628
Ho figures are available at this time for the 196^ navigation
season.

-------
         APPENDIX TABLE 2

 QUANTITATIVE BOTTOM ORGANISM DATA
         ST. CROIX RIVER
           August
Mean Wo. of Organisms per Square Foot
Station
(Mileage)
23-5
21.0
20.0
Andersen
Bay
17.7
15.5
Ih.0
12.0
7.0
3.8
0.3
Samples
Taken

6
5
5
I*
6
6
6
6
6
6
k
Sludge
Worms
10
29
65
33
35
16
19
12
U5
122
3
Blood
Worms
7
18
3
U
U
1
2
7
8
8
k
Mayflies Phantom
Hexagenia Midges
sp. Chaoborus

3 1
1
83
_ y
15
36
23
16
1 8
1 1
_
Clams Biting
Midge
-
_
-
M M
-
1
-
-
1
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      APPENDIX TABLE 5

FISHES OF THE ST. CROIX RIVER

                        ROUGH FISH
GAME FISH

Lake Sturgeon

Rock Sturgeon

Northern Pike

Walleye

Sanger

Smallmouth Bass

White Bass

Rock Bass

Black Crappie

Bluegill

Pumpkin Seed

Perch

Channel Catfish

Flathead Catfish

Brown Bullhead

Brown Trout

Composit list from:

1.  Minnesota Department of Conservation, Division of Game & Fish.

2.  Wisconsin Department of Conservation, Surface Water Resources
of  St. Croix County by L. M. Sather and C. W. Threinen (Madison,
1961) 51 pp.
                        Gar (short nose & long nose)

                        Gizzard Shad

                        Quillback

                        Carp

                        White Sucker

                        Blue Sucker

                        Burbot

                        Sheepshead

                        Mooneye

                        Bigmouth Buffalo

                        Northern Red Horse

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                         STREAM FLOW METHODOLOGY



     Stream flow of the St, Croix River at Stillwater is obtainable only




through addition of the flow of the St. Croix River at St.  Croix Falls,



Wisconsin and the flow of the Apple River near Somerset Wisconsin.   Al-



though daily gage height readings are taken at Stillwater,  no discharge



record for any period is available.



     The St. Croix River below Stillwater is a portion of the pool  above



Lock and Dam No. 3 on the Mississippi River.  However, it is not a



stationary pool.  Flow is maintained past Stillwater at approximately



the same rate as that added by the St. Croix River and all its tributaries



above Stillwater.  This is accomplished by regulating the volume of water



passing Lock and Dam No. 3 according to the total volume of water entering



the pool from the Mississippi River, the St. Croix River and their



measured tributaries.



     During periods of extremely high flow the pool stage will increase,



and a balance between inflow at Stillwater and discharge at Lock and Dam



No. 3 may not be maintained.  The inflow of the Mississippi River and its



stage are determinate factors.  However, in a report of this nature, high



flows are of less concern than low flows, and no consideration will be



given to the effect of large stage variations on the flow at Stillwater.



     Adding the recorded flows of the St. Croix River at St. Croix  Falls



and of the Apple River near Somerset, results in a close approximation of



the St. Croix River flow at Stillwater.  Before addition, the following



must be considered:  (l)  The flow of the Apple River near Somerset for  any



day may be considered to be added to the St. Croix River and then to travel



to Stillwater in the same day; (2)  The flow of the St. Croix River at



St, Croix Falls for any day may be considered to pass Stillwater the

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following day.  Therefore to obtain the Stillwater flow for any day it




is necessary to add the Apple River flow for that day plus the St.  Croix




flow at St. Croix Falls for the previous day.




     Daily discharge measurements were begun at St. Croix Falls in




January, 1902, and the records are published by the U, S. Geological Survey




through water year 1962.  A water stage recorder is located on the east




bank, 1800 feet downstream from the power plant in St, Croix Falls.  The




records are rated as good.  For the period of record the maximum discharge




is 5^,900 cfs on May §, 1950, the minimum daily discharge is 75 cfs on




July 17, 1910; and the mean annual discharge is ^,0^3 cfs.  The drainage




area above the gage is 5>930 square miles.




     Daily discharge measurements were begun on the Apple River near




Somerset at the hydroelectric power plant in October, 191^> and the records




are published by the U.S.G.S. through water year 1962.  Headwater and




tailwater gages are read hourly at the power plant 3.5 miles downstream




from Somerset.  The records are rated as good except those below 100 cfs,




which are fair.  For the period of record the maximum daily discharge is




2,k60 cfs on January 17, 19^-3 > the minimum daily discharge is 7 cfs on




August 21, 1927, September 30, 1929, July 19, 1932 and August 2 and 3,




1933; and the mean annual discharge is 304 cfs.  The drainage area above




the dam is 555 square miles.




     Summing the mean annual flows of the St. Croix River at St. Croix




Falls and the Apple River near Somerset, the mean annual discharge at




Stillwater is ^,3^7 cfs.  The drainage area above Stillwater is approxi-




mately 6,900 square miles.




     Flows have been computed at Stillwater to provide four graphs defining




expected flow conditions at Stillwater.  Mean monthly discharges and

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minimum daily discharges based on the ten calendar years of record from



1953 to 1962 inclusive are presented in Figures 6 and 7.  Frequency of



minimum flows are presented in Figures 8 and 9»  The recurrence of one



day average low flows is shown for the most recent 10, 20 and 30 years



of published record.  The recurrence of seven day average low flows is



shown for only the ten years of record.



     Figure 6 presents mean monthly discharges for the St. Croix River



at Stillwater.  The mean monthly discharge for each month for the ten



years of record from 1953 to 1962 was computed by adding the mean monthly



discharges of the St. Croix River at St. Croix Falls and the Apple River



near Somerset.  These additions provided ten mean monthly discharges for



each of the twelve months.  Selecting the highest of these ten mean



monthly discharges for each month, the maximum of the mean monthly dis-



charges was plotted.  Selecting the lowest of these ten mean monthly



discharges for each month, the minimum of the mean monthly discharges



was plotted.  Averaging each month's ten mean monthly discharges provided



a plot of the average of the mean monthly discharges.



     Figure 7 presents minimum daily discharges.  This Figure is identical



to Figure 6 except that instead of using the mean monthly discharge, the



minimum daily discharge for the month is used.  Since ten years of record



are considered, there are ten minimum daily discharges for each of the



twelve months.  The highest, lowest and average of each of the ten dis-



charges provided a separate plot as above.




     The minimum flow at Stillwater is a composite of minimum flows on




the St. Croix and Apple Rivers.  Addition of all daily flows for the



ten year period was not undertaken to establish the precise minimum.




However, based on the average flows of the two streams for their periods

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of record, the Apple River flow is 7.5$ of the St.  Croix River flow,



Since the contribution of the Apple River is relatively small, the



assumption has been made that a minimum flow recorded at St.  Croix Falls



will in most instances, if not always, result in a minimum flow  at



Stillwater the second day.  By this method the Apple River flow  for the



second day has been added to the St. Croix flow, regardless of whether




or not it is a minimum.



     Plots of the minimum low flows for each month indicate two  periods




of low flow that may be expected during the year.  The lowest flows



usually occur during the month of January.  The second month  of  low flow



is August.  This being the month of greatest concern when  considering



thermal pollution, the frequency of minimum flows was determined for



August only.



     The St. Croix River flow at Stillwater was determined for  each day



in August for the ten year period of record from 1953 through 1962.



From this tabulation the one day minimum for August was selected for



each of the years and their recurrence intervals determined.  By successive



additions the minimum seven day average flow for August was also selected



for each of the years and their recurrence intervals determined. Figure



8 shows the one and seven day minimum flow versus recurrence  interval.



Exact minimums were computed to define these curves.



     Figure 9 provides a comparison of one day minimum flow frequencies



for August based on 10, 20 and 30 years of record.   These  minmum flows



for August were again determined by applying the previously defined



method (re: Figure 2).




     The expected minimum flows for a given recurrence interval  based




on ten and twenty years of record are very nearly the same.  The greatest

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variation is 100 cfs at a recurrence interval of eleven years.   However.,

the curve "based on thirty years of record varies considerably from the

other two.  Because of this variation, the points defining the thirty

year curve are shown in Figure 9«  ^e minimum daily flow of August

for 1933, 193^, 1936, 1937 and 1938 define the lower end of the thirty

year curve.  All other flows compare closely with the ten and twenty year

flows.  The 1930's are recognized as low flow years, but it must "be

realized that flows are regulated at St. Croix Falls.  These five minimum

daily flows may reflect an unnatural flow condition where storage is

"being increased above St. Croix Falls during a period of natural low

flow.  Therefore, when determining the frequency of low flows based on

the thirty years of record as shown in Figure 9? "the minimum flows pre-

dicted for a recurrence interval from six to thirty-one years are flows

whose natural occurrence is questionable.  Although not necessarily

natural, all flow data must be considered.  A particular minimum may

result from fluctuations in dam regulation at St. Croix Falls, but such

a minimum must be considered just as possible as minimums resulting from

natural causes.

     The following table presents minimum average one day flows for various

recurrence intervals taken from the frequency of minimum flow curve for

the thirty year period of record, Figure 9»

          Recurrence Interval          Minimum Average One
          In Years	          Day Flow in CFS

                    1                          3930

                    5                          ikOO

                   10                          1000

                   20                           700

                   30                           550

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     The following table presents minimum average  seven day flows for

various recurrence intervals taken from the frequency of minimum flow

curve for the ten year period of record, Figure 8.
          Recurrence Interval          Minimum Average  Seven
          In Years _          Day Flow  in CFS _
                   1

                   5                            1700

                  10                            1580

-------