EPA-450/3-75-059
June 1975
   F SELECTED AIR  POLLUTION
     APPLICABLE  TO COMPLEX
                    EVALUATION
             ISPERSION MODELS
                        TERRAIN
       U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
         Office of Air and Waste Management
                           ~
       Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
                   ^f     ^™"*'        ^
       Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

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                               EPA-450/3-75-059
            EVALUATION

OF  SELECTED AIR  POLLUTION

      DISPERSION MODELS

  APPLICABLE  TO  COMPLEX

              TERRAIN
                   by

 INTERCOMP Resources Development and Engineering, Inc.
         2000 West Loop South, Suite 2200
             Houston, Texas 77027
            Contract No. 68-02-1085
          Program Element No. 2 AC 129
      EPA Project Officer: Edwin L. Meyer, Jr.
               Prepared for

       ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
        Office of Air and Waste Management
     Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
     Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711

                 June 1975

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                                 11
This report is issued by the Environmental Protection Agency to report
technical data of interest to a limited number of readers.   Copies are
available free of charge to Federal  employees, current contractors  and
grantees, and nonprofit organizations - as supplies permit - from the
Air Pollution Technical Information  Center,  Environmental Protection
Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711; or, for a
fee,  from the National Technical Information  Service,  5285  Port Royal
Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161.
This report was  furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency by
INTERCOM? Resources Development and Engineering, Inc.,  Houston,
Texas  77027,  in  fulfillment of Contract No.  68-02-1085.  The contents
of this report are reproduced herein  as received from INTERCOM?
Resources Development and Engineering,  Inc.  The opinions, findings,
and conclusions  expressed  are  those  of the author and not necessarily
those  of  the Environmental Protection Agency.   .Mention of  company
or product names is not to be considered as an endorsement by the
Environmental Protection Agency.
               Publication No. EPA-450/3-75-059

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                               Ill
                             PREFACE
     It is regretted that the Environmental Protection Agency  (EPA)
and INTERCOM? Resource Development and Engineering, Inc. could not
mutually agree as to the conclusions of this study.  Consequently,
as sponsor, EPA is obligated to caution against the uncritical
acceptance of the summary statements in the report.

     The EPA in 1970 and 1972 evaluated the impact of several non-
ferrous smelters on air quality in mountainous regions.  Similarly,
in 1971 the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration eval-
uated the impact of a number of power plants located in mountainous
areas.  The techniques used to estimate the effects of complex
terrain on the distribution of the effluents from the sources had
not been used prior to these studies.  The air quality estimates
were much greater for nearly all facilities than would result from
the use of the flat-plane formula.  INTERCOMP was one of the consul-
tants retained by industry to review EPA's analyses.  Results of
their model simulations were presented at formal hearings to
counter the governmental estimates.

     Although generalities of the INTERCOMP model were available
in the literature and hearing records, the computer program (and
thus the technical details) were and remain proprietary.  To
obtain details of the technical content of the INTERCOMP model,
EPA negotiated a contract with INTERCOMP.  The contract called
for INTERCOMP to provide the computer program to EPA; to instruct
EPA personnel in the use of the computer program; and to provide
applications of the INTERCOMP and Gaussian models for comparison
with observed peak short-term concentrations in complex terrain.
The contract states that "...peak short-term concentrations shall
be the primary consideration in the evaluation...(of the models)."
This report discusses the effort of INTERCOMP to satisfy this
contract.

     In bringing the contractual effort to a conclusion, it became
apparent that INTERCOMP and EPA project officers had some funda-
mental differences of a technical nature as to portions of the
report.  Aside from differing interpretations of the validity of
various simplifying assumptions in each model, the basic differences
revolve around the validity of the El Paso data used for model
evaluation and around the definition of a reliable model estimate.

     More specifically, EPA takes exception to statements made
in the Summary and on pp. 3-28 and 3-29, and pp. 3-40 and 3-41
in the report.  EPA agrees that the El Paso data are useful to
demonstrate the degree of flexibility of models; that is, through
successive adjustments of emission rates, etc., to obtain agreement

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                                IV
between the modeling results and the air quality observations.
However, EPA does not agree that the El Paso emission data were
sufficiently reliable to warrant judgments on the "accuracy" of
models.

     Also, EPA does not completely agree with INTERCOM?'s inter-
pretation of the NOAA's Huntington Canyon study.  A case may be
made that the results of the study indicate that the basic Gaussian
model provides more reliable estimates of the peak 1-hour concen-
trations in this instance than either the EPA terrain or the
INTERCOM? models.

     Further, current short-term air quality standards  (24-hour
period or less) are not to be exceeded more than once per year.
Hence, if modeling results are to be used directly in source-control
decisions, a reliable model estimate must represent the near-upper
envelope of observable concentrations.  However, INTERCOM? interprets
a reliable estimate as one which best fits an average of observed
data.  This interpretation may lead to estimates of concentrations
that are incompatible with the definition of short-term standards.
Thus, a degree of control based on INTERCOM?'s interpretation
of a reliable model estimate may not adequately protect the quality
of the air.

     INTERCOM? and EPA agree that both have worked in good faith
to resolve these differences.   They agree that further expendi-
tures of effort and funds are unlikely to produce results that
are completely acceptable to either party.   Hence, the report
is released with this Preface as an integral part, so that the
results of the study may be available, but with the reader
cautioned against the uncritical acceptance of the conclusions.

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                               V
        EVALUATION OF SELECTED AIR POLLUTION DISPERSION

             MODELS APPLICABLE TO COMPLEX TERRAIN

                        TABLE OF CONTENTS
     SUMMARY                                              ix

1.0  INTRODUCTION                                         1-1

     1.1  General Needs and Objective                     1-1
     1.2  Description of Models Tested                    1-2
     1.3  Approach Used in Model Comparison               1-3

2.0  AIR QUALITY MODELS TESTED                            2-1

     2.1  The Gaussian Model                              2-1
     2.2  The EPA Model (C4M3D)                           2-2
     2.3  The INTERCOMP Model                             2-3
     2.4  Calculation of 3 and 24 Hour Averages
          from Model Predictions                          2-5

3.0  VALIDATION AND COMPARISON OF AIR QUALITY MODELS      3-1

     3.1  General Comparisons                             3-1
     3.2  Comparison of Solution Techniques               3-3
     3.3  Comparison for Huntington Canyon Tracer Data    3-10
          3.3.1  Data Collected                           3-10
          3.3.2  Geographical Setting                     3-10
          3.3.3  Comparisons for a Stable
                 Down-Valley Flow                         3-14
          3.3.4  Comparison for a Neutral
                 Up-Valley Flow                           3-19
          3.3.5  Other Test Comparisons                   3-25
          3.3.6  Summary                                  3-28
     3.4  Model Comparisons at El Paso                    3-29
          3.4.1  General Site and Data Description        3-29
          3.4.2  Flow to the Northwest                    3-32
          3.4.3  Stable Flow                              3-36
          3.4.4  Summary                                  3-40
     3.5  Validation of the INTERCOMP Flow Model          3-41
          3.5.1  General                                  3-41
          3.5.2  Navier-Stokes Flow Model                 3-42
                 3.5.2-1  Mathematical Development        3-42
                 3.5.2-2  Comparison with Results
                          for Laminar Flow                3-43
                 3.5.2-3  Eddy Viscosity Model for
                          Turbulent Flow                  3-44
          3.5.3  Comparison with Modified Potential Model 3-50

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                                   VI
TABLE OF CONTENTS (Continued)
                 3.5.3-1  Influence of Wake Regions on
                          Flow Field Around an Obstacle     3-50
                 3.5.3-2  Comparison for Two-Dimensional
                          Flow                              3-50
                 3.5.3-3  Comparison for Three-Dimensional
                          Flow                              3-54
          3.5.4  Summary of Comparisons and Conclusions     3-61
                 3.5.4-1  Range of Adequacy for Modified
                          Potential Flow Model              3-61
                 3.5.4-2  Limitations                       3-63
                 3.5.4-3  Accuracy and Expected Errors      3-63

4.0  REFERENCES

     APPENDIX A - Navier-Stokes Flow Model

     APPENDIX B - Comparison of Measured and Calculated Results

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                              Vll
ILLUSTRATIONS

Figure 1


Figure 2


Figure 3


Figure 4


Figure 5


Figure 6

Figure 7


Figure 8

Figure 9

Figure 10

Figure 11


Figure 12


Figure 13

Figure 14

Figure 15

Figure 16


Figure 17

Figure 18

Figure 19

Figure 20


Figure 21
                                                  Page

Comparison Numerical Model with Gaussian
Plume Models                                      3-2

Comparison of Analytical Stack Height Concen-
trations to Model Calculations                    3-5

Comparison of Analytical Groundlevel Concen-
trations to Model Calculations                    3-6

Comparison Pasquill-Stability Class E to
INTERCOM? Match of that Category                  3-8

Comparison Crosswind Values Class F with
INTERCOM? Match of Pasquill Class F               3-9

Huntington Canyon Terrain, Up-Canyon Orientation  3-11

Huntington Canyon Terrain, Down-Canyon
Orientation                                       3-13

Down-Canyon Test No. 10                           3-17

Up-Canyon Test No. 5, 150° Wind                   3-21

Up-Canyon Test No. 5, 135° Wind                   3-23

Comparison of Measurements with Calculations
Tests 5 and 10                                    3-24

Comparison of Measurements with Calculations
Tests 1 and 7                                     3-26

Map of Sampling Grid and Terrain - El Paso        3-31

Model Match - El Paso Inversion Aloft             3-33

Model Match - El Paso Cross-Section               3-35

Terrain Vertical Cross-Section Stable
Case - El Paso                                    3-37

Model Match - El Paso Stable Case                 3- 39

Comparison of Calculated Laminar Entrance Flow    3-45

Vertical Variation of Eddy Viscosity              3-46

Comparison of Calculated Turbulent Velocity
Profile with Power Law                            3-48

Comparison-Calculated Wind Profiles and Tunnel
Experiments                                       3-49

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                                  Vlll
Figure 22

Figure 23

Figure 24


Figure 25


Figure 26


Figure 27


Figure 28

Figure 29


Figure 30


Figure 31
                                                  Page

Flow Field Around Finite Length Obstacle          3-51

Flow Field Around Infinite Length Obstacle        3-52

Comparison of Navier-Stokes Solutions with •
Different Obstacles Velocity Cross-Sections       3-53

Neutral Atmosphere - Comparison of Navier-
Stokes and Potential Velocity Solutions           3-55

Differential Velocities for Stable to
Neutral Atmosphere                                3-56

Stable Atmosphere - Comparison of Navier-
Stokes and Potential Velocity Solutions           3-57

Three-Dimensional Test Problem                    3-58

Comparison of Navier-Stokes and Potential
Solution in Front of Obstacle - Neutral           3—59

Comparison of Navier-Stokes and Potential
Solution at Face of Obstacle - Neutral            3-60

Differential Velocities for Stable to Neutral
Atmosphere Comparison in 3-D                      3-62

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                                 IX
SUMMARY

     Short-term  (1 hr., 3 hr., and 24 hr.) air quality criteria
generally have a higher potential for being exceeded in the vicinity
of large point sources than do longer term standards.  In cases where
terrain is unimportant, the air quality can be evaluated using the
familiar Gaussian plume models.  Frequently, such evaluations must
involve geographical areas with important terrain relief.  In such
cases, regulatory and policy-making agencies have made assumptions
about how the plume centerline behaves and continued to use the
Gaussian models.  Recently models have become available which com-
bine wind flow calculations along with the plume dispersion assessment.
Such a model has the potential to provide more accurate air quality
predictions where terrain is  important.  As a consequence, the objec-
tive of this contract was to  use air quality data collected in rough
terrain to test the accuracy  of several models to predict short-term
concentrations.

     The models tested were  (1) the Gaussian calculation known as
the NOAA model,  (2) the EPA Gaussian model, and  (3) the INTERCOM?
combined wind flow and plume  dispersion model.  Two sets of data
were used in the comparison.  These data were  (1) the SF  tracer
data collected by NOAA in Huntington Canyon, Utah, and (2) S02
ambient data in El Paso, Texas.

     The model calculations represent predictions based upon the
measured or observed meteorology.  That is, the calculations repre-
sent generally how the models would have been used to predict air
quality around a single source.  It should be noted that the compari-
sons included in the report were for 1 hour average concentrations,
rather than the 3 or 24 hour  air quality standard criteria.

     The results for Huntington Canyon show the INTERCOM? combined
wind flow and dispersion model predicted groundlevel concentrations
with an accuracy comparable to that normally obtained with Gaussian
predictions in flat terrain situations.  The INTERCOM? model gave
calculated results within a factor of two and one-half for all
stable tests.  For stable down-canyon flows, however, Gaussian
predictions from a NOAA type model averaged a factor of fifteen fold
higher than the measured results.

     The El Paso data, though limited by emission definition data,
provided comparisons over flat terrain and near, but not in, mountains.
In the flat terrain cases, results with the Gaussian (NOAA) model and
the INTERCOM? model were in close agreement.  The EPA model gave lower
predicted concentrations.  In the elevated terrain cases, the INTERCOM?
model predicted lower concentrations than the Gaussian type models by
factors of ten to twenty.

     Comparison of the various models with observations show that the
addition of a wind flow calculation can improve air quality predic-
tions.  Presently available wind flow calculations are of necessity
a simplification of the atmospheric flow processes.  However, there
are a broad range of air quality evaluations in which the accuracy
of the end result can be improved by the combined approach.

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                                1-1
1.0  INTRODUCTION

     1.1  General Needs and Objective

          More and more emphasis is being placed on the need to
     satisfy short-term (1 hr.,  3 hr.,  and 24 hr.)  air quality cri-
     teria.   These needs have generally been delineated to avoid
     adverse effects on human health or plant and animal growth
     processes.  Certainly no group of  experts agree precisely on
     what concentration is sufficient to provide protection against
     adverse effects, but it is  clear that protection is needed.

          The shorter term ambient air  quality standards generally
     are more likely to be exceeded in  the vicinity of large isolated
     point sources than are the  longer  term annual standards.  As a
     result, it is essential for regulatory and policy-making agencies
     to have available to them the best technology for evaluating
     ambient air quality concentrations which result from these
     point source emissions.

          In cases where terrain is unimportant, the state-of-the-
     art method is to evaluate the short-term air quality using three-
     dimensional Gaussian plume  models.  Present Environmental Pro-
     tection Agency, EPA, practice is to use such a model to provide
     assessments r>f ambient air  quality and thus provide a comparison
     to ambient air quality standards.

          Frequently such evaluations must be for geographical areas
     which do involve important  terrain relief.  Many of the coal
     fired power plants and non-ferrous smelters are located in areas
     where terrain plays an important role in the meteorology control-
     ling plume dispersion.  In  such cases, EPA has made assumptions
     about how the plume centerline behaves in the immediate vicinity
     of the terrain and continued to use the cross-wind and vertical
     diffusivities characteristic of the Gaussian models.  Basically,
     the modification of the wind flow  by the terrain is being assumed
     rather than any quantitative attempt made to calculate this
     modification.

          Within the last few years, several techniques have been
     described which combine a wind flow calculational model along
     with a plume dispersion calculational techniquel > 2'3'".  Such
     a model has the potential to provide more accurate plume disper-
     sion assessments where terrain is  important.  As a consequence,
     the objectives of this contract were to:

          (1)   compare one of the combined flow and dispersion
               models, the INTERCOMP model, with the presently
               available EPA models, and

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                            1-2
      (2)  use data from rough terrain areas to test the
          relative abilities of the models in predicting
          short-term air quality.

1.2  Description o_f the Models Tested

     Three models have been compared with data as a result of
this contract.  Two of these models are Gaussian models and
have been used by regulatory agencies to make air quality analyses
in rough terrain areas.  The third model1* was developed by
INTERCOM? and includes a wind flow calculation as well as the
assessment of plume dispersion.  The model is more completely
described in an associated volume which documents the equations
and methods of solution, but for which the distribution is
restricted to EPA personnel.

     Of the two Gaussian models, one has become known as the
NOAA model.  This nomenclature undoubtedly resulted from the
use of this model by NOAA in preparing the diffusion model
calculations presented in the Southwest Energy Study5.

     The second Gaussian model is that presently employed by
EPA for making ambient air quality evaluations for rough terrain
areas.  This model (the version tested was known as C4M3D) is
a modification of the plume centerline flow concept used in the
NOAA model and in addition retains angular segment averaging
for even short-term concentrations.

     The INTERCOM? model is quite a different concept from the
Gaussian models.  As opposed to assuming normal concentration
distributions in the cross-wind and vertical directions, the
model arises from approximating turbulent fluctuations by a
Fickian-type eddy diffusivity.  These eddy properties are height
dependent as is the windspeed.  This is quite different from the
average over height wind and dispersion coefficients used in a
Gaussian model or even those used in a constant diffusivity
model.

     Even so, over flat terrain there is good agreement between
the numerical model and the Gaussian results.  The particular
height dependence of diffusivity and wind speed which provide
this agreement are discussed in a later section.  Only in cases
where terrain modifies the air flow do the INTERCOM? model
results differ substantially from either the NOAA or EPA models.
As mentioned previously, the purpose of the contract was to
compare the models over rough terrain and show whether or not
the increased flexibility of the INTERCOM? model actually re-
sulted in more accurate concentration predictions.

     The purpose of the contract was to compare the several
models tested for their predictive ability to calculate short-term
concentrations.  Short-term federal air quality standards can be
exceeded on a once per year basis.  Ideally, the models should

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                            1-3
define the next-highest 3 and 24 hour average concentration.
However, because of the diffusion parameters used, model pre-
dictions generally represent less than 1 hour averages.  The
calculated 3 and 24 hour averages for comparison with standards
must then be developed from these model predictions.

1.3  Approach Used in Model Comparison

     Two sets of data were used in comparing the various models.
These data were  (1) the SFg tracer data collected by NOAA in
Huntington Canyon, Utah6 and (2) S02 ambient air qualjty data
around the ASARCO smelter in El Paso, Texas.

     Insofar as possible, the models have been compared to the
data and with the other models on a point-by-point basis.  That
is, simultaneous comparison of predictions and measurements at
all points in space where observations of significance existed.
However, because the EPA model averages concentrations over an
angular segment, only centerline concentrations could be compared
with the data and the other models.

     The meteorological input to each model in terms of atmos-
pheric stability and wind conditions was kept as consistent as
possible.  Flov7 and diffusion coefficients over a complete range
of atmosphexi • stability have been determined for the INTERCOMP
numerical model.  Use of these particular diffusivities gives
good agreement with the Gaussian models for flat terrain cases.
These were the coefficients used for the same atmospheric
stability class as was input to the Gaussian models.

     As a consequence, all model calculations actually represent
predictions based upon measured or observed meteorology.  That
is, the best-fit set of coefficients has not been determined
for use.  The validation of the models in this way actually
represents how they might be used in conjunction with the local
climatology at a particular site to predict concentrations for
applications such as:

     (1)  plant siting studies

     (2)  evaluation of design changes

     (3)  compliance with ambient air quality standards.

In this last category, there may be quite remote areas around
a particular plant in which it is impractical to place continuous
monitors.  For such areas and for interpolation between monitors,
diffusion model predictions can be extremely valuable.

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                                 2-1
2.0  AIR QUALITY MODELS TESTED

     The following sections describe the models tested in somewhat
more detail.  These sections will provide the basic assumptions
used in each model to cover the possibility that the above nomen-
clature for the models will not be totally descriptive to all
readers.

     2.1  The Gaussian Model

          The Gaussian calculational technique utilizes the various
     Pasquill atmospheric stability classes.  In flat terrain situa-
     tions, the model is used in the classical way described in
     Turners' workbook7.  Where terrain is important, however, NOAA
     has developed additional assumptions.  For completeness, we
     have summarized all the important assumptions made about this
     model.

          The assumptions can be listed as:

          (1)  A mean wind is used to represent the entire air layer
               important in atmospheric diffusion.

          (2)  A single mean wind direction specifies the x-axis.

          (3)  The \>lume concentrations are assumed normally distri-
               buted (Gaussian) in the cross-wind and vertical
               directions.

          (4)  The standard deviations, ov and o™, are representative
               of averaging times in the range or 10 minutes to one
               hour.

          (5)  The source emission rate as well as wind and atmos-
               pheric conditions must be constant over times signi-
               ficantly greater than the travel time to a downwind
               position of interest.

          The above assumptions describe those necessary in the flat
     terrain case.  For rough, mountainous terrain additional restric-
     tions were imposed by NOAA:

          (6)  Under neutral or unstable atmospheric conditions,
               the plume centerline is assumed to flow parallel to
               terrain.

          (7)  Under stable conditions, the plume centerline flows
               horizontally until it encounters terrain at the plume
               elevation.

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                             2-2
     Some discussion of these last two points may be in order.
under neutral conditions, there is little density effect inhi-
biting vertical flow.  Thus, an obstacle in the flow path will
cause substantial modification of the flow field both horizontally
and vertically.  The fact that the atmosphere is of neutral
stability simply specifies that, if there is vertical flow and
it is rapid enough that little or no heat transfer takes place
to a volume of air being moved, then the density of that air
volume is the same at its new elevation as other air at that
level.  That is, the adiabatic temperature change undergone
has just compensated in its effect on density for the static
pressure change.

     For stable conditions, the density decreases drastically
with height.  In this case as air encounters an obstacle, there
is more of a tendency to flow horizontally around the obstacle
than up and over it.

     The concept expressed by assumption (7) above is that
under stable conditions vertical flow is inhibited.  Carrying
this to its limit, the assumption is made that the plume must
flow horizontally on a straight line until it encounters the terrain.
The concept in item (6)  is that for neutral and unstable flows there
is no retarding influence to vertical flow.

     The assumption contained in item (7) cannot satisfy basic
fluid flow concepts on other than an instantaneous basis and
thus should be conservative in terms of overestimating ground-
level concentrations.  Whereas item  (6)  could result in lower
groundlevel concentrations than actual.

2.2  The EPA Model  (C4M3D)

     The EPA model is a modified version of the NOAA concepts
in how it calculates terrain effects.  Basically, there are two
modifications which are listed below as a continuation of the
set of Gaussian assumptions.

      (8)  The plume centerline does not intersect the terrain,
          but after approaching within 10 m vertical distance
          it remains that distance above the terrain ground
          surface.

      (9)  Angular segment averaging of the plume concentrations
          is done for short-term averages as well as for annual
          averages.

     As discussed previously, a stable atmosphere restricts
vertical flow.  The concept of allowing the plume to remain
10 m above the terrain removes at least a portion of the con-
servatism contained in a centerline intersection assumption.

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                          2-3
     In item (9) the averaging is performed over a 22.5 degree
angular segment.  This results in concentrations which are re-
duced over the customary Gaussian model.  This reduction depends
upon downwind distance and upon atmospheric stability.  The
reduction in centerline concentrations is simply ay/0.157x
where ay is the cross-wind standard deviation and x is the down-
wind distance from the source.  For F stability, the reduction
varies between 4 and 8 over the distance range of 100 m and
100 km.  For C stability, the reduction varies between 1.25 and
2.6 over the same distance range.

     The concept behind this angular segment averaging is that
for a given wind direction, the wind direction is actually dis-
tributed uniformly throughout the entire 22.5° angular segment
over a period of time of interest.  For longer term averages,
annual, seasonal, or monthly, the assumption is probably valid.
The segment averaging concept VJT.S originally intended for annual
average predictions.  However, because of the need to calculate
shorter term averages, the EPA model has frequently been used
for these cases as well.  Certainly for shorter term averages
than 24 hour, the segment averaging is more questionable.

2.3  The INTERCOM? Model

     This model is a numerical solution of the three-dimensional
material balances for the entire air stream and the pollutant
flowing with ^  lat air stream.  The pollutant material balance
results from the turbulent diffusion equations which approximate
turbulent fluctuations by a Fickian-type eddy diffusion model.
The eddy diffusivity used in the model is height dependent con-
sistent both with turbulent fluctuation measurements and theory.

     The wind flow over uneven topography is calculated by
numerically solving a modified form of the three-dimensional
potential flow equations.  The modification allows (1) inviscid
potential flow at high elevations and (2) height-dependent
coefficients which account for surface friction (viscous effects)
in the lower boundary layer.  The empirical modification causes
calculated windspeed to vary with height.  This modification
over flat terrain results in velocities which vary as either
of two familiar forms, logarithmic or power law.

     The numerical finite difference approach divides the region
around the plant into a number of three-dimensional cells which
can vary in size as terrain or meteorological characteristics
require.  The grid cell directly above a stack and at the effec-
tive stack height is used as a volume source for pollutant.  The
source volume can be set to represent the dilution occurring
during plume rise.  For a true point source, the source grid
cell must be small to avoid errors due to an initial dilution
effect.  The numerical procedures used in the solution of both

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                            2-4
the wind flow and pollutant flow are efficient requiring minimal
computer time.  The steady-state solution which is a good approxi-
mation to many practical problems can be generated in a single
time step or the entire progression to steady-state can be
calculated in a series of time steps.

     The modified potential flow model for wind flow calculations
represents a significant simplification of the combined momentum
and energy equations describing air flow.  However, it retains
most of the important factors so necessary to a sound meteorolo-
gical and engineering analysis of pollutant dispersion in rough
terrain.

     Of significance is the fact that over flat terrain the
INTERCOM? numerical model can provide good agreement with the
Gaussian models.  This is true even though in the numerical
model the diffusivities (and velocities) vary only with height
unlike the Gaussian models where the standard deviations vary
with distance downwind from the source.  For constant diffusion
and windspeed, the Fickian or turbulent diffusion approach gives
standard deviations which vary as
          c = >/2EX/u

     where a = the standard deviation
           E = the eddy diffusivity
           x = downwind distance
           u = windspeed.

The Gaussian models indicate a varies in almost direct propor-
tion to downwind distance, x.  The fact that the turbulent
diffusion model with height dependent diffusivities and velo-
cities gives the same result as the Gaussian models implies
that the additional downwind dependence of a could be due to
the assumption of uniform winds and diffusion over the thickness
of the boundary layer.

     The simplification of the momentum and energy equations
used in the INTERCOM? model cause some limitations in its use.
These can be enumerated as

     (1)  the modified potential flow model prevents the
          formation of recirculating flow in the lee of an
          obstacle,

     (2)  the elimination of the energy balance prevents cal-
          culating the driving force for natural convective
          flows.  However, this type of flow could be imposed
          by the definition of boundary conditions.

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                            2-5
     Illustrations are presented in this study which show that
the modified potential flow concept calculates a good approxi-
mation to the velocity fields on the upwind side of obstacles.
If the problem of interest is the recirculating flow, a more
complete solution of the Navier-Stokes momentum equations is
required.  Such a model is described in a later section.

     Natural convective flows of interest include land-sea
breeze and stable valley drainage flows.  Situations of this
type can be studied with the model, but the flow patterns would
have to be created by source-sink combinations in the wind flow
grid instead of the natural density driving forces.  The present
model does not contain this capability although air flow source-
sink can be included in a straightforward manner.

2. 4  Calculation of 3^ and 24_ H£ur_ Averages from Model Predictions

     Each of the air quality models discussed above predict short-
term concentrations generally accepted as representing 1/4 to
1 hour time averages.  Values of 3 and 24 hour average concentra-
tions must be developed for comparison with standards.

     If the model prediction is accepted as a 1 hour average,
longer term averages might be calculated in the following way:

     (1)  use rueasured meteorology for each hour of an entire
          year to calculate dispersion parameters;

     (2)  calculate the 1 hour average from a dispersion model;
          and

     (3)  select the second highest successive 24 hour period
          calculation as the predicted 24 hour average.

Recognizing that the model prediction contains uncertainty, the
predicted 1 hour average should be the probable value as opposed
to an extreme value.  The three hour average could be developed
similarly.

-------
                                3-1
3.0  VALIDATION AND COMPARISON OF AIR QUALITY MODELS

     3.1  General Comparisons

          Extensive comparisons of the INTERCOM? model with Gaussian
     models have been made.   As mentioned previously,  it is essential
     that the numerical model be in rough agreement with the Gaussian
     models for flat terrain.  Particularly important  is the need to
     have calculated concentrations decrease roughly as the square of
     downwind distance.  Such a decrease with distance is in marked
     contrast to what a Fickian-type turbulent diffusion model with
     constant wind velocity and eddy diffusivity would give.  In
     the latter case, concentrations decrease in almost direct pro-
     portion to the downwind distance.  Thus, we were  extremely in-
     terested to see what height-dependent wind velocity and eddy
     diffusivities would do to calcunated concentrations.

          Using well-accepted power law forms for this variation of
     velocity and diffusivity with height gave good agreement between
     the Fickian-type turbulent diffusion results and  the various
     Gaussian model results.  This is illustrated in Figure 1.  Note
     that the power law variation of velocity and diffusivity has
     indeed caused a much more rapid drop-off in calculated concen-
     trations than would constant value parameters. In fact, by
     varying these power law forms slightly, the entire range of
     atmospheric stability classes can be simulated in terms of
     their effect on downwind concentration falloff.

          The results obtained above are somewhat surprising when
     one considers that in the turbulent diffusion model the diffu-
     sivities are not functions of downwind distance at all as they
     are in the Gaussian model.  As mentioned in a previous section,
     the deviation of the calculated concentrations for a constant
     diffusivity turbulent model are still dependent upon downwind
     distance, but upon the square root power as opposed to the more
     direct proportion as in the Gaussian model.  The  above results
     imply that the use of downwind distance dependence of diffusiv-
     ities in the Gaussian models may indeed be compensating for the
     fact that these diffusivities as well as windspeed should be
     varying with height in the boundary layer.

          Velocity and diffusivity height dependent forms have been
     determined with the INTERCOM? numerical model which give good
     agreement with the Pasquill-Gifford stability classifications
     used in a Gaussian model.  These values are as shown in Table I.

-------
                          3-2
              FIGURE  1
         COMPARISON NUMERICAL MODEL
         WITH GAUSSIAN PLUME MODELS
  1.01
                                   NUMERICAL SOLUTIONS
                                   E-Z6/7  •

                                   E~Z'    A

                                   E ~ Z8"  0
                                      I   M TTT
                                    CONSTANT VELOCITY
                                   - AND EDDY
                                    DIFFUSION
                                      /
 0.10
 0.01
0.001
PASQUILL-G1FFORO
STABILITY
CLASS C •
CLASS D •
                                         1 --- rr
                                           SUTTON
                                          ; n = 0.2
                                          ,n = O.S

                                             \
   1.0
                                      J   «  5  • 7 • )OOJ)
             OIMENSIONLESS DOWNWIND DISTANCE,

-------
                             3-3
              TABLE I - POWER LAW FORMS WHICH

       APPROXIMATE PASQUILL-GIFFORD STABILITY CLASSES

                     A       B       C      D      E
Velocity Power      0.14    0.14    0.14   0.2    0.3     0.4
Diffusivity Power   1.76    1.38    1.14   1.0    1.0     0.67
Ere£/ ft2/s         2740    1140     550    440    360     310
Ez/Ey                 10       2    0.7    0.2    0.05    0.008


The value listed as Eref is for the horizontal cross-wind diffu-
sivity at a reference elevation of 30 feet.  As can be noted
from Table I, there is roughly a factor of ten difference in
the horizontal diffusivity ovei the range of atmospheric stabil-
ities.  Also apparent is the range in the ratio of vertical to
horizontal diffusivities, Ez/Ey, necessary for the various
stability classes.  The ratio of Ez/Ey should approximate the
square of the ratio of az/0y and for a downwind distance of
10 km or so this appears to be the case.  In addition, for the
analogy to be complete, the diffusivity values should be a func-
tion of the mean windspeed.  The values listed above for E  f
are for a windspeed of 1 MPH and should be increased or decreased
in direct pi o;cortion to the mean windspeed at the reference
height.

3.2  Comparison of Solution Techniques

     Two solution techniques have been generally used for solving
the turbulent diffusion equations.  Basically, these techniques
have evolved as a result of the primary interest being in two
different classes of problems.  In one class, advection or
windspeed is the controlling influence.  In such cases, the
partial differential equations describing turbulent diffusion
become controlled by first order space derivatives and are
fundamentally hyperbolic in nature.  For such applications,
techniques involving (1) point tracking, (2)  particle-in-a-
cell, or (3) method of characteristics are advantageous.  The
model developed by Sklarew8 is one of this type.

     In the second class of problems, turbulent diffusion is
of comparable importance to advection in spreading a trace
quantity within the air flow.  In such cases, the equations
are parabolic in form and finite difference solution techniques
are more advantageous.  The INTERCOM? model1*  is of the latter
type.

-------
                            3-4
     One of the difficulties in using finite difference approaches
on advective controlled problems is that truncation error can
result in an artificial diffusion term9.  Higher order differ-
ence techniques can be used to reduce this effect, but at the
expense of computing time and often stability of the difference
technique10.  There is a question, then, of when the standard
finite difference techniques are adequate.

     The aspect which allows the finite difference equations
to be accurate for a broad range of turbulent diffusion to
advection ratios is the lack of importance of the diffusivity
in the primary wind direction.  In Gaussian models, for example,
diffusion in the downwind direction is normally neglected
(unless it is an instantaneous release) because calculated
answers are insensitive to the value of the downwind diffusi-
vity.  This fact leads one to suspect that a finite difference
formulation would also be accurate.  The effect of truncation
error will be in the primary wind flow direction, but in that
direction the value of total diffusivity is unimportant.  Instead,
it is the cross-wind and vertical diffusivities which are impor-
tant in calculation of the concentration distribution.  The
proof of this contention is developed in the following paragraphs.

     As a verification that the numerical model is not substan-
tially influenced by truncation error, the model results for
a constant diffusivity and velocity have been compared to the
analytical solution for this case.  This analytical solution
solves the equation of one-dimensional forced convection (ad-
vection) and two-dimensional diffusion  (cross-wind and vertical).
This analytical solution is well-known.  The effective stack
height was taken as 1000 feet.  The cross-wind diffusivity was
2000 ft2/sec.; the vertical diffusivity was 500 ft2/sec.  The
windspeed was 4 ft/sec.  Block sizes in the downwind direction
varied from 200 feet near the source to 6400 feet at the downwind
extent of the grid.  The results for concentrations along the
plume centerline are shown in Figure 2.  Two numerical model
results are shown in Figure 2.  The finite difference model is
the one which represents the standard INTERCOM? air quality
model.  The results labeled point movement method are from a
model similar to Sklarew's8 which solves turbulent diffusion
by a technique well suited to a high advection windspeed.  As
Figure 2 indicates, the point movement results are in slightly
better agreement with the analytical solution plume centerline
concentrations.  The calculated results are not sufficiently
different to warrant the increased computing costs, however.

     Figure 3 is a similar plot of the groundlevel concentra-
tions.  The effect of space truncation error in the finite
difference approach can be seen.  However, the maximum concen-
tration has been decreased only about 5% by numerical diffusion.
In contrast, the point movement method was actually affected
more than the finite difference method.  This is probably

-------
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                   3-6
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-------
                            3-7
because the two ordinary differential equations solved by the point
movement approach  (advection then diffusion) are uncoupled.  That
is, the material is first advected then diffused.  A part of the
difference in Figure 3 is also due to the numerical calculation
using a finite volume source as opposed to the analytical solu-
tion point source.  It is apparent in Figure 3 that the finite
difference solution can be of acceptable accuracy for air quality
analyses.

     It was mentioned earlier that power law variations of
windspeed and diffusivity result in agreement of the turbulent
diffusion approach with the Gaussian models.  This is true
with one important exception.  On the upwind side of -'.he maxi-
mum groundlevel concentration, the turbulent diffusion approach
does give different results from the Gaussian models   This is
illustrated in Figure 4.  Note that on the upstream side of
the maximum, the groundlevel coi centrations are significantly
higher with the INTERCOM? model than they are vlth the Gaussian.
To a large extent, this difference is due to the power law wind
profile which gives lower windspeeds near the ground surface.
The calculated concentrations in this region upwind from the
maximum should better approximate the effect of surface roughness.
The differences in Figure 4 are greatly exaggerated since it
is plotted on log-log paper.  If plotted on linear paper, the
differences are not so apparent.

     The resultant cross-wind concentration distributions are
also different as a result of the volume source in the y-direction.
Farther from the source, these differences become negligible as
shown in Figure 5.  The maximum deviation is for the one shown—
namely the narrowest plume of class F stability.

     There is strong evidence to indicate that measured results
near the source are higher than Gaussian point source predictions.
Plume rise or any surface roughness near the source result in
much more rapid dilution than predicted by a stable Pasquill
stability class.  A recent summary by Bowne11 illustrates
modifications in the general shape of the dispersion coefficients
to account for such effects.  Such modifications are generally
made to affect groundlevel concentrations for distances up to
one kilometer.  Such a modification which increased concentra-
tions upwind of the one kilometer point would be in rough
agreement with the results of Figure 4.

-------
                                      3-8
10
  -7
10
  -8
                             FIGURE  4

                         COMPARISON OF PASQUILL
                         STABILITY CATEGORY E TO
                         INTERCOM? MATCH OF THAT
                                CATEGORY
1
\
.2


III III
.5 1 2 5 10 20

1
50

1
100
                          DOWNWIND  DISTANCE, km
                                                         PASQUILL  E
                                                         INTERCOM? MATCH

-------
         3-9
     FIGURE 5

 COMPARISON  OF  CROSSWIND
VALUES IN  INTERCOM?  MATCH
   OF  PASQUILL  CLASS F

           60Km DOWNWIND
        32.5 Km  DOWNWIND
         14.5 Km DOWNWIND
         MAXIMUM GLC
                              PASQUILL-F
                              INTERCOMP
I                    2
DISTANCE CROSSWIND KILOMETERS

-------
                             3-10
3.3  Comparison for Huntington Canyon Tracer Data

     3.3.1  Data Collected

            The data collected in Huntington Canyon by the
     Air Resources Laboratory (ARL)  of the National Oceanic
     and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)  were intended to
     provide measurements of plume dispersion in rough, canyon
     type terrain for comparison with flat terrain results6.
     The survey was particularly oriented toward evaluating
     the plume centerline intersection assumption used by ARL
     in the meteorological report to the Department of Interior
     which was a part of the Southwest Energy Study5.   A second
     objective was an evaluation of the dilution characteristics
     within a canyon.

            The basic approach was to release SFg tracer and
     use mobile (helicopter)  sampling for centerline dilution
     concentrations and fixed (canyon wall and floor)  sampling
     for the impaction validation.  No attempt was made to
     gather extensive meteorological data in the canyon.  Wind
     and temperature data sufficient to describe diffusion
     stability classes were the meteorological data collected.

            The tracer releases were made at two points.  Elevated
     releases during lapse to neutral stability conditions were
     made from the top of the stack.  Wind flows during such
     conditions were generally up-canyon.  The second point of
     tracer release was from the canyon floor and wall at a
     distance of about 10 km up the canyon from the power plant
     stack.  These releases were during strong temperature
     inversions and were always down-canyon flows.

            The approximate tracer plume position was tracked
     by a cloud of white smoke emitted from a smoke generator.
     This enabled photographic coverage of the plume as well
     as plume centerline positioning for the helicopter sampling.

            The helicopter samples were one-minute samples
     collected by an air pump which drew samples through a hose
     hanging 28 m below the aircraft.  The ground samples were
     cumulative over the duration of each test run and were
     processed to approximate a one-hour average concentration.

     3.3.2  Geographical Setting

            Figure 6 is an illustration of the terrain in
     Huntington Canyon looking north up-canyon from behind the
     power plant.  The various side canyons are shown and
     indicated by names including on the west side, Maple Gulch,
     Deer Creek, Meetinghouse, North Fork, Rilda, Mill Fork,
     and Little Bear.  On the east side of Huntington Canyon,
     the main side canyons are Fish- Creek, Bear Creek, and

-------
                                    3-11
W
K
D
CD
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DC
O

O
    CD
         O

         OL.

-------
                        3-12
Trail.  Wild Horse Ridge is also a prominent topographical
feature.

       The terrain illustrated in Figure 6 was prepared
as a Calcomp plot from the digitized terrain file.  This
file can be used as input to the INTERCOM? air quality
model and a plot of the type shown is normally made to
verify that the digitized terrain is an adequate repre-
sentation of the actual topography.  There is a 2:1 ver-
tical to horizontal exaggeration of the distance scales
in Figure 6.

       Also shown by solid circles in Figure 6 are the
monitor locations for measuring SFg concentrations during
the stack top releases.  Moving up-canyon, the first set
of four monitors just east of the plant is called Fish
Ridge.  Continuing up the east side of the canyon, the
next set of three were known as White Ridge.  The next
two monitors indicated by open circles are actually in
the draw behind White Ridge and were called the Wild Horse
Draw monitors.  The four monitors located on the south
side of Bear Creek were called Wild Horse.  The four on
the north side were known as Bear Creek.

       On the west side of Huntington Canyon, the monitor
located near the flat part of the canyon was called the
Meetinghouse - Dear Creek Station.  The two monitors located
higher up on the ridge between Meetinghouse and Deer Creek
Canyons were known as the Blizzard stations.  Further
up the canyon between the North Fork and Rilda canyons,
two monitor lines were located.  On the vertical east
face two monitors were located and called Red Face.  The
four located down the northerly slope were called Wet Man.

       Figure 7 is a similar plot, but looking in a southerly
direction down Huntington Canyon.  Again the side canyons
and ridges are shown.  Two release points were used in the
down-canyon orientation.  These release points are indicated
by the solid triangles — one on the canyon floor and the
other about 160 meters up the canyon wall.  Two monitor
locations were on the canyon floor downwind from the re-
lease point.  These monitors were called 0.4 and 0.8
 (apparently because they were about 0.4 and 0.8 miles
downwind from the source).  On the west side of the canyon
along a rather vertical wall, four monitors termed the
Trail station were located.  On the opposite side along
the north rim of Mill Fork Canyon there were three monitors
called Mill Fork.  Two sets of monitor stations farther
down the canyon were used.  These were the Wet Man and
the Bear Creek stations described earlier.

-------
                                    3-13
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                                   3-14
                    Both  the  up-canyon  and  down-canyon  orientations
             emphasize  the  roughness  of the terrain.  Though the  monitor
             coverage in  both the vertical  and  crosswind  directions
             are  by  no  means  complete,  they do  represent  excellent data
             to test the  centerline impaction concept.  The  plume dis-
             persion in terrain  such  as Huntington  Canyon presented  a
             severe  test  of the  calculational models.

             3.3.3   Comparisons  for a_ Stable Down-Valley  Flow

                    Five  down-valley  tests  were performed.   Four  were
             canyon  floor releases and  the  other was  an elevated  canyon
             wall release.  The  various tests were  classified as  to
             stability  by NOAA personnel.   Surface  windspeed were avail-
             able at several  points as  well as  the  apparent  oil fog
             velocities during the tracer releases.   Measured tempera-
             ture gradients and  cloud cover were also available.

                    A summary of the  tracer release rates, the effective
             windspeeds (from oil fog measurements),  and  the NOAA stability
             classifications  are given  in Table II.   The  first six tests
             were up~valley flows from  stack top releases.   The seventh
             test was a down-valley flow from a canyon  wall  release.  The
             next four  tests  were down-valley flows from  canyon floor
             releases.  Also  listed in  Table II are the wind directions
             representative of each test.   In general the wind direction
             included in  Table II is  a  composite of the several measuring
             pcdnts  with  most weight  given  to the  stack top  anemometer.
             Before  showing comparisons between calculated and measured
             values, a  few  comments are in  order.
                  TABLE II - SUMMARY OF TEST CONDITIONS
      SF5
1
2
3
4
c
6
7
8
9
10
11
5.99
5.19
5.78
3.54
5.19
6.60
7.48
6.92
7.48
4.65
6.35
HUNTINGTON CANYON
Release
Time
Min.
52
44
49
90
44
56
45
48
60
33
35


gm/sec
1.92
1.97
1.97
0.65
1.97
1.97
2.77
2.40
2.08
2.35
3.02

Effective

Wind
u,m/sec Direction
4.3
4.5
2.3
10
5.3
3.8
2.9
1.8
7.9
3.2
3.0
140°
120°
130°
140°
150°
110°
350°
240°
340°
300°
310°
Stability
Class	

  B
  D
  D
  D
  D
  D
  F
  F
  F
  F
  F*
*NOAA personnel considered much, if not all, of the stable flows to be
 more stable than F.

-------
                     3-15
       Specific wind directions at the release point in
the canyon were not included in the NOAA report.  Anemometer
data at the plant site indicated winds were from the NNW
quadrant during the down-valley flow tests.  For INTERCOM?
model runs, there was little sensitivity to input wind
direction.  The calculated winds were for all practical
purposes forced by the terrain to follow the canyon
orientation.

       In the case of the Gaussian  (NOAA) model, wind
direction is extremely important.  Several assumptions
could be made regarding the location of the plur.te center-
line.  Some of them can be summarized as follovs:

       (1)  The plume could be assumed to flow horizontally
            at the release elevation and down the centerline
            of the canyon.

       (2)  The plume centerline could be assumed to flow
            along the canyon floor and down the centerline
            of the canyon for the canyon bottom releases.

       (3)  The plume could be assumed to flow horizontally
            and vertically without deviating until it
            encounters the canyon walls.

The first and last assumptions listed above probably repre-
sent how the Gaussian model would have been used if this
were totally a prediction without the benefit of experimental
observations.  These results would not even be close to the
measured concentrations.  From inspection of the tracer
results,  assumption (2) appears to be most representative
and this is the one we have used.  One additional restric-
tion was used in connection with the Gaussian models.  No
accounting was made for canyon sidewall reflection.  This
would cause calculated concentrations to be lower than they
should be.  As the results will indicate, however, the
Gaussian model calculations were generally high and thus
an unfavorable bias was not introduced.

       The measured and calculated results for down-canyon
flow Test 10 are shown in Table III.  The results shown in
Table III are all ground surface values.  NOAA also attempted
to make plume centerline measurements with a helicopter;
however,  for the canyon floor releases  (such as Test 10)
the aerial samples gave lower readings than the measured
groundlevel results.  As a consequence, these values are
not summarized in Table III.

-------
                                       3-16
     TABLE III - COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                   TEST NO. 10 - DOWN-CANYON - F STABILITY
Location

0.6 km
1.2 km
Trail(1)
      (2)
      (3)
      (4)
Mill Fork(l)
          (2)
          (3)
Rilda(l)
      (2)
      (3)
      (4)
Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)
Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
        (4)
Elevation
   Ft.

  7170
  7120
  7120
  7250
  7870
  8200
  7010
  7250
  7700
  6940
  7240
  7550
  7950
  6790
  6910
  7090
  7170
  7170
  7330
  7400
  7650
Measured
 yg/m

    25
    35
   9.5
  19.0
   3.7
   3.4

   6.1
   2.1
   3.4
   2.8
                                                    Calculated/ yg/m'
INTERCOM?   EPA   GAUSSIAN
   186
    80
    15
    14
   0.5
   0.0
   5.0
   2.5
   0.0
   5.5
   2.0
   0.2
   0.0
   3.5
   2.5
   1.5
   0.2
   1.5
   0.5
   0.0
   0.0
 210
  65

25.4
13.6
                         8.5
                         6.2
                         6.2
       40
(1200)
(  370)

  140)
        0
       50
        0(  80)
        0
       50
        0
        0
       30
        9(

       0.3
       30
        3
        0
        0
            50)
            30)
         (  30)
               In Table III, only centerline concentrations have been
          tabulated for the EPA model.  The corresponding NOAA centerline
          values are shown in parenthesis under the label Gaussian.  There
          is no reason to evaluate crosswind values for the EPA model
          since the 22.5° angular segment averaging essentially fills the
          canyon to the 8000 ft. elevation point.  As a consequence, the
          EPA model would predict uniform concentrations throughout the
          canyon width comparable to the calculated values listed.

               The INTERCOM? model since it is a finite difference type
          calculation has predicted concentrations in each grid block
          and thus can be compared more easily on a point-by-point basis .
          wind flow model has predicted correctly that peak concentration
          levels do follow the canyon floor  (an assumption that was used
          in the Gaussian models).  The values corresponding to individual
          measured points are tabulated in Table III and a contour plot
          is shown in Figure 8.  The tabulations in Table III are actually
          read from the contour plot of Figure 8, with the exception of
          those values greater than 10 yg/m  .
                                                        The

-------
Figurt  b -
DOWN-CANYON TEST NO. 10
                                   LEGEND
                                   HI Individual Tracer Monitors
                                   35 Measured Tracer Concentrations, /ig/m3
                                   A Ground and Elevated Release Points

-------
                      3-18
       The INTERCOM? model  results were calculated using
the parameters of Table I for Pasquill F stability.  The
calculated average windspeed in the grid block nearest the
canyon floor was matched to the observed effective smoke
cloud speed.  The relative magnitude block sizes used in
both the downwind and cross-wind directions can be seen from
Figure 8.  The asterisks surrounding the plot correspond to
the position of the grid block centers.  As is evident, the
grid definition of the canyon floor was much finer in detail
than that describing the higher elevations.  The plotted con-
centration contours have been normalized by dividing by
10 yg/m3.  Thus, the band of 1's represent concentrations
between 0.05 and 0.1 of the 10 yg/m3 or 0.5 to 1.0 yg/m3,
the 2's band are 1.5 to 2.0 yg/m3 and proceeding up to the
9's band which represents any concentration greater than
8.5 yg/m3.  The blank contours separating the number contours
represent the intermediate concentration levels.  For example,
the blanks between the 1's and 2's represent concentrations
of 1.0 to 1.5 yg/m3.

       The position of the tracer monitors have been located
as nearly as possible to their actual position and vertical
height.  The plotted concentrations are calculated ground-
level concentrations regardless of the particular grid block
in which groundlevel was located.  That is, a search of the
complete three-dimensional grid block concentrations has
been made to determine the concentration in those grid
blocks which correspond to the ground surface—these are
the values contoured in Figure 8.

       As evident from Figure 8, the tracer plume follows
the canyon alternatingly expanding and shrinking in width
as it is effected by the side canyons.  In Table III,
measured concentrations have been tabulated only for those
monitors which were listed.  Monitors for which no measure-
ment was listed were either below some minimum threshold
for accurate analysis or were not analyzed.  These monitor
points are denoted by a dash in Table III.  The calcula-
tions do agree reasonably with the concept that concentra-
tion levels at these unlisted monitor points were low.  As
examples, measurements at the entire Wet Man sampling network
were not listed.  The calculations tend to support this
although concentrations on the order of 0.5 to 1.5 yg/m3
appear at the lower two elevation monitors.  Similarly,
the calculation indicates a concentration slightly less
than 0.5 yg/m3 at the highest Bear station which also was
unlisted.  Similar results were obtained at other stations
with the highest elevation monitors being located above any
significant calculated concentration levels.

       As a summary, we consider the comparison between
INTERCOM? calculated concentrations and the measurements
of Test No. 10 to be quite good.  Not all of the other

-------
                     3-19
comparisons were that good as will be noted later.
Gaussian type models, both EPA and NOAA, gave calculated
concentrations significantly higher than observed for Test
10.  Also the vertical and horizontal distribution in cal-
culated concentrations from the INTERCOM? model is much
better than that predicted by the Gaussian  (NOAA) model.

3.3.4  Comparison for a. Neutral Up-Valley Flow

       Similar calculations have been made for the neutral
up-valley stack release tests.  Test 5 was selected for a
detailed comparison since we had the actual tabulated data
for this test.  The average wind direction at stack top dur-
ing this test was 150° with a measured speed of 6.3 m/sec,
The observed effective smoke cloud windspeed from Table II
was 5.3 m/sec. and the measured wind at about 10 m was 2.6
m/sec.  The calculated windspeed in the INTERCOM? model was
about 2.6 m/sec. at the 10 m elevation, but with D stability
conditions, the calculated windspeed at stack top was slightly
less than 5 m/sec.

       The INTERCOM? calculated concentration contours are
shown in Figure 9.  The wind direction used in the calcula-
tion was 150°  (true).  Again the grid block centers are
shown by the asterisks.  Note the drastic effect of terrain
on the concentration contours.  The predominent flow
calculated is directly up the main part of Huntington
Canyon with apparently lesser flows moving up the Meetinghouse
and Bear Creek canyons.  Calculated concentrations are in
quite good agreement with the measured values.  The calcula-
tions indicate the plume is interacting (but not centerline
intersection) substantially at the ridge on which the White
Ridge monitors are located.  As will be seen later, however,
the calculated concentrations on the ridge are about one-
half the centerline values at this downwind distance.

       Tabulated comparisons between the models are illustra-
ted in Table IV.  The EPA and Gaussian results are calculated
groundlevel concentrations for a plume which remains 183 m
(600 ft.) above the ground surface (consistent with the NOAA
model assumption for neutral stability).  The Gaussian
results have been calculated as this model would have been
used in a predictive mode.  That is, the measured stack
top wind direction of 150° and the effective windspeed of
5.3 m/sec. were used.  Reemphasizing the point made earlier,
the plume was assumed to remain 183 m  (the release height)
above any receptor.  That is, there is no reduction in cal-
culated concentrations for the relative vertical positions
of the monitors only a cross-wind reduction.  Also shown in
Table IV for the Gaussian model are the groundlevel center-
line values in parentheses.  The centerline values for the
Gaussian model were included to provide an indication of
the maximum calculated concentration levels for comparison
with the measurements.

-------
                                        !~20
                      Other wind flow assumptions could have been used
               for the Gaussian model.  The similar assumption as that
               used in the down-valley stable cases (horizontal flow
               along the minimum elevation canyon centerline) gives
               somewhat better agreement with the measurements.  However,
               as the centerline values of Table IV show, the peak pre-
               dicted concentrations of the Gaussian models are located
               too far .from the stack.

                      The INTERCOM? model, on the other hand, predicts
               a maximum at about 2 km downwind consistent with the
               observations.  The reason the INTERCOM? calculated maximum
               is closer to the source occurs because of the terrain rise
               in the downwind direction.

                      No attempt has been made to calculate the cross-
               wind decrease in concentrations for a point-by-point compari-
               son of the EPA model with the measurements.  This model
               because of the angular sector averaging still gives relatively
               uniform predictions throughout the width of the canyon.
     TABLE IV - COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES
Location

Deer Cr-Mtnghouse
White Ridged)
            (2)
            (3)
Wild Draw(l)
          (2)
Wild Horsed)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)
Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)
Red Faced)
         (2)
Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
        (4)
                            TEST NO. 5 - UP-CANYON
Elevation
   Ft.

  6650
  6740
  6870
  7080
  6750
  6960
  6650
  6740
  6900
  7360
  6790
  6910
  7090
  7170
  6950
  7380
  7170
  7330
  7400
  7650
Measured
 yg/m3

  0.2
  1.2
  1.0

  1.6
  0.8
  1.0
  1.3
  1.2
  1.0
  0.6
  0.7
  0.6
  0.4
  0,
  0
  0,
  0
3
4
1
,1
                                                     Calculated, yg/m'
         INTERCOM?   EPA   GAUSSIAN
            0.5
            1.0
            1.0
            0.5
            1.2
            1.5
            1.0
            1.2
            1.2
              0
              0
              0
              0
              0
1,
1.
1.
1,
1,
0,
0,
  0.2
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.1
         0.01
         0.03
         0.07
         0.08
0.17
0.17
                         0.18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
.0(0.
.01
.03
.04
.09
.11
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0

(0

(0

(0


(0

(0

(0

02)

.04)

.11)

.15)


.33)

.33)

.37)


-------
            3-21
          FIGURE 9
UP-CANYON TEST NO. 5
         150° S. WIND
                   LEGEND
                   • Stack Release
                    •D Individual Tracer Monitors
                   1.2 Measured Tracer Concentrations,

-------
                                  3-22
   TABLE V - COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED CENTERLINE VALUES

                       TEST NO. 5_ - UP-CAN YON

                    Measured             Calculated, yg/m	
Location             yg/m3            INTERCOMP   EPA   GAUSSIAN

H-l (0.8 km)            32                 10              38
H-2 (1.7 km)           5.7                2.5              13
H-3 (3.9 km)           1.4                1.0               4
H-5 (1.3 km)           3.2                3.7              15
H-6 (1.8 km)           7.6                2.4              12
H-7 (2.8 km)           1.1                1.3               6
                 A comparison of helicopter measurements and cal-
          culated centerline concentrations for Test 5 is presented
          in Table V.  For the range of distances included in
          Table V, the concentrations for Gaussian centerline values are
          for all practical purposes one-half those for a ground
          release.  Beyond 10 km, ground reflection begins to affect
          the centerline values and the reduction over that of a
          ground release is less than one-half.

                 Figure 10 presents the sensitivity of the INTERCOMP
          results to input wind direction.  In this calculation, the
          specified wind direction was 135P which is more in line
          with the canyon axis.  For this case the calculated plume
          is more narrow and results in slightly lower concentrations
          at the monitors.  Calculated plume centerline values were,
          however, higher.  A wind direction of 135° does not give
          as good a match as the results of Figure 9 for a 150° wind
          direction.

                 A summary plot in the usual Gaussian form of xu/Q
          is shown in Figure 11 for both Tests 5 and 10.  In Test 5,
          Gaussian results are shown for the groundlevel centerline
          concentrations.  The upper dashed curve for Test 5 are the
          Gaussian results for a ground release.  As mentioned pre-
          viously, a reduction by a factor of two in this curve at
          a downwind distance of 10 km or less would approximate
          the plume centerline predictions.  Note that this represents
          a conservative upper envelope for the aerial samples.  The
          INTERCOMP plume centerline predictions are shown as the
          solid curve extending diagonally toward the upper left-hand
          corner.  These results appear to represent more of an
          average value of the helicopter results.  This is undoubtedly
          a reflection of the extremely short-term  (one minute) samples
          whereas the diffusivities used in the INTERCOMP model more
          nearly represent 15-minute to one-hour time averages.

-------
           3-23
         FIGURE 10
UP-CANYONTESTN0.5

         135° S. WIND
     lI.UU*Uii»H<.«l
      niuunu u Ji
     iinunnnni

     m
     it
                  LEGEND
                  • Stack Release
                  HI Individual Tracer Monitors
                  1.2 Measured Tracer Concentrations,

-------
                                 3-24
                               FIGURE  11


                  COMPARISON  OF MEASUREMENTS WITH

                             CALCULATIONS
10
  -4
10
V)
a:
LU
I-
UJ
  -5
Kr6
 10
  -7
             TEST NO. 5

         CLASS D STACK RELEASE
              \
               \
                \
                 \
             0    \
                                         TEST NO. 10

                                  CLASS F  CANYON FLOOR RELEASE
                    \
                      \
                       \
                           10
                                      -4
                          \
                  \
                            CO
                            OL
                            10
                                     -5
                   /x :
                   x
               '•'
I03                I04
    DISTANCE.METERS
                                    10
                                      -6
                                             I03                I04
                                                 DISTANCE.METERS
                                 LEGEND

                          O  AERIAL  SAMPLES
                          X  GROUND SAMPLES

                         	GAUSSIAN MODEL

                         	EPA MODEL

                         	INTERCOM? MODEL

-------
                      3-25
       The Test 10 Gaussian results represent the plume
centerline for a ground release.  The INTERCOM? model
results plotted are the peak concentration predicted at
any of the monitoring sites downwind.  The break in the
curve occurs primarily because the plume is narrow at the
Mill Fork monitor site and does not affect significantly
the monitor positions.  The plume has widened out by the
time it reaches the Rilda site and now envelops the lower
elevation monitor points.

3.3.5  Other Test Comparisons

       Figure 12 illustrates a plot of xu/Q valaes for
Tests 1 and 7.  Test 1 v/as the only up-valley '..low, stack
top release which had other than neutral class D stability.
Test 7 was the only down-valley flow which was an elevated
release along the canyon wall instead of from the canyon
floor.  During Test 7, the plume moved upward along the
shaded wall due to natural convection.  Thus, none of
the models performed well in simulating this behavior.

       We have chosen to show the Gaussian curves which
were presented in the NOAA Huntington Canyon report.
In addition, since both Test 1 and Test 7 were elevated
releases, we have added the calculated Gaussian curves
for an elevated release.  Calculations for both the EPA
and NOAA models have been included on an elevated release
for Test 1.  Note that for Test 1 with class B stability,
there is only a small difference between the EPA and
NOAA models.

       The comparison between each of the models for Test 1
is reasonably close.  Again the INTERCOM? calculations
have a maximum nearer the stack than the Gaussian models
and then it decreases more abruptly with downwind distance.
This is undoubtedly the effect of rising terrain in that
directions.

       Calculated ground concentrations for Test 7 are
interesting from the standpoint that the Gaussian models
predict no increase of groundlevel values with distance
over the range in which the monitors were located.  This
is because the release was at a 163 m height.  The INTERCOMP
model, however, does predict significant concentrations at
ground surface.  The tendency is to predict too low concen-
trations near the source and too high concentrations farther
from the source.  The INTERCOMP model also underestimated
centerline concentrations near the release.  This was pro-
bably due to the finite volume source represented by a grid
block instead of the more nearly point release of the tracer.
The high predictions farther from the release were undoubtedly
due to the model neglecting the natural convective flow along
the shaded wall.

-------
                               3-26

                            FIGURE 12

                    COMPARISON OF MEASUREMENTS
                         WITH CALCULATIONS
              TEST NO. 1
         CLASS B STACK RELEASE
10'
10
 ,-5
'en
 CL
 UJ
 UJ
10
  -6
10
         I03                 I04
            DISTANCE, METERS
10
UJ
                                      ,-5
10
                                      ,-6
                  	I  \   .   IO'7
                                  LEGEND
              TEST NO. 7
                    WA
                    s
                    \
|Q.4  CLASS F CANYON WALL RELEASE
                                                          \
                                                           \
                                                             \
                                                          X X     /
                                                            X     /
        I03                 I04
           DISTANCE, METERS
                              o  AERIAL SAMPLES
                              x  GROUND SAMPLES
                             	GAUSSIAN MODEL
                             	 EPA MODEL
                             	 INTERCOM? MODEL

-------
                      3-27
       Tabulated values of the point-by-point INTERCOM?
calculations as well as the centerline Gaussian and EPA
model results are compared with the measurements for the
remaining tests in Appendix B.  These calculations utilized
the tabulated stability class windspeed, and wind direction
of Table II, with the exception that the down-canyon flows
always used a wind oriented along the canyon  (approximately
320°).  In the down-valley comparisons, wind direction was
not important.  For the up-valley flows, wind direction has
a significant effect on calculated concentrations.  Two
of the up-valley flow tests have not been included in
Appendix B.  These tests are 2 and 6.  The wind direction
for these two cases was 120° or even more easterly and
measured groundlevel concentrations were quite sparse.
Test 2, for example, contained only two groundlevel mea-
surements.  As a consequence, we have not made calculations
for these two tests with the easterly wind direction.

       Statistical comparisons of the measured and calculated
results have been made.  Of the many statistical compari-
sons which could have been used, we have chosen a statistic
representing the ratio of calculated to observed concentra-
tions.  Such a statistic has also been used in the Huntington
Canyon report6 where Table IV summarizes a comparison of the
Gaussian results with centerline measured concentrations.

       The ratio statistic for the INTERCOM? model compari-
son with data was computed as follows:

       (1)  the ratio of calculated to observed concen-
            trations for each individual monitor point
            and each test was computed;

       (2)  the logarithmic mean value  (the arithmetic
            mean of the logarithm of the above ratio) was
            calculated; and

       (3)  the antilogarithm of the logarithmic mean value
            became the mean value ratio statistic.

This ratio statistic can be compared directly to the
Table IV values from the Huntington report.  The above
procedure produces an almost identical result with their
procedure which was to plot the best logarithmic mean
line of the data which had the same slope with downwind
distance as did the Gaussian calculation.  The comparisons
in the Huntington report were of helicopter (centerline)
samples with calculated ground release centerline values.
Our ratio statistic was somewhat more meaningful because
all ground concentration points were included.  Table VI
illustrates the ratio comparison along with a simple arith-
metic mean value comparison between calculated and measured
xralues.

-------
                              3-28
               TABLE VI - STATISTICAL COMPARISONS
              Mean Values/
Test No.

   1
   3
   4
   5
   7
   8
   9
  10
  11
MEASURED  CALCULATED
  0.74
  2.12
  0.21
  0.71
  0.45
  9.8
  9.2
 10.2
 84.6
 0.64
 2.00
 0.16
 0.91
 0.73
42.7
15.2
28.9
37.4
                 Mean Value, CALC/OBS
                 INTERCOMP   GAUSSIAN
0.43
1.10
0.59
1,
2,
1,
62
30
83
0.42
1.27
0.41
 1.4
 3.7

 5.6
14.7
14.8

18.9
11.8
        The last column labeled Gaussian of Table VI comes from
        the Huntington report6.  The value listed for Test 7 has
        been modified from that contained in the report.  Their
        tabulated value was 29.3.  Their value was divided by two
        since the elevated centerline predictions should have been
        decreased by a factor of two to account for the lack of
        ground reflection.  In the report they had compared center-
        line ground release concentrations with the helicopter
        measurements, but out to distances of nearly 10 km the
        ground reflection is not important.

               The results of Table VI clearly show the improvement
        of the INTERCOMP predictions over those of the Gaussian
        (NOAA) model.  The mean value, calculated to observed,
        ratio from the INTERCOMP model makes results for terrain
        as rough for flat terrain—roughly within a factor of two.

               The EPA model because of the angular segment averag-
        ing in general gave improved results over the NOAA model
        for the down-canyon flows.  However, the Gaussian model
        was a better approximation for the neutral to unstable
        up-valley tests.  Both of the Gaussian type models are
        difficult to use in terrain as complex as Huntington
        Canyon if the multiple reflections from canyon walls are
        included.  The INTERCOMP model automatically accounts
        for these factors.

        3.3.6  Summary

               The results from the Huntington tests clearly show
        the INTERCOMP model gave better predicted results than the
        Gaussian models in terms of comparison with averages of
        point-by-point observed data.  The data corresponded to
        time  averages ranging  from one-half to 1  hour.

-------
                           3-29
            Our comparisons of the models have been aimed,
     in general, at calculations as the models would have been
     used in a predictive study.  That is, no attempt was made
     to adjust diffusion coefficients to give a best match
     and for the Gaussian models no attempt was made to move
     the plume centerline location so that it best matches
     the measured concentrations.  As pointed out previously,
     the INTERCOM? predictive results for Huntington Canyon
     provide accuracy comparable to Gaussian model results
     for flat terrain.  That is, the addition of a simplified
     flow model to a calculation based upon Pasquill stability
     classes has given results for Huntington Canyon comparable
     to the Gaussian model accuracy with flat terrain.  Whereas
     the Gaussian model accuracy was significantly decreased
     by the presence of elevated terrain.

            The INTERCOMP model with the simplified flow model
     did provide adequate predictions at a number of different
     space points.  That is, the comparison of calculated and
     observed results was simultaneously good at many space
     points both in the cross-wind, downwind, and vertical
     directions instead of simply good for an isolated space
     point.

3.4  Model Comparisons at El Paso

     3.4.1  General Site and Data Description

            El Paso/ Texas, is the site of a large smelting
     complex for American Smelting and Refining Company (ASARCO).
     The plant area emits significant quantities of sulfur oxides
     from two tall stacks, one for the copper process and one
     for the lead.  The present stack heights are 252 meters
     (826 feet) for the copper stack and 186 meters (610 feet)
     for the lead stack.  Even these heights are not sufficient
     to prevent significant groundlevel concentrations and an
     intermittent process curtailment system has been in operation
     for the last few years.  A large system of as many as
     twenty-two sulfur dioxide monitoring sites was established
     in the vicinity of the smelter and a feedback system of
     control has been utilized.

            The data available to EPA for analysis at El Paso
     was the monitored sulfur dioxide concentrations for the
     period July, 1970, through December, 1971.  Although less
     complete, the meteorological data for periods from February
     through December, 1971, was also included.  The meteorologi-
     cal data sheets also provided volumetric flow rates and
     percent sulfur dioxide from both tall stacks.  These were
     converted to source emission rates by the EPA suggested
     method.  There is some question about the accuracy of
     the S02 stack measurements; however, the reported percent-
     ages were taken at face value.  Also included in the data

-------
                      3-30
were temperature measurements at four levels up to 800
feet, as well as the rawinsonde and hourly surface obser-
vations at the El Paso International Airport.

       Figure 13 provides an overall view of the topography
and monitor site locations around the ASARCO plant.  The
plant site (lower center of the figure) lies in the Rio
Grande Valley on the Texas side of the southward flowing
river.  The most prominent topographic feature is the
relatively long ridgeline of the Franklin Mountains.
These mountains are northeast of the plant and extend
from a position due east of the plant to 15 miles or more
northward.  The city of El Paso lies mostly off the figure
to the southeast.  The Missouri monitor site is located
in the downtown area.  Residential areas extend east of
downtown along the Rio Grande Valley and northward along
both sides of the Franklin Mountains.  A fairly evenly
spaced line of monitors runs due north-south through the
residential area on the west side of the mountain ridge.
These monitors were expected to include concentrations
for stable plumes directed at a mountain line-ridge.
Other monitors were placed on the Texas side of the Rio
Grande some four miles west of the plant.  These instru-
ments should monitor fumigation or unstable maximum
groundlevel concentrations.

       The meteorological measurements at the plant site
reflect for the most part local terrain effects.  The
measured wind directions tend to be mostly parallel to
the river valley.  This is not too surprising consider-
ing that even the ZINC station, 165 feet above ground,
is below the 4000 foot contour which defines a one-mile
wide valley.   The stack emissions generally respond because
of their greater height to much less localized meteorology.
The Franklin Mountains are offset on the Mexican side of
the river as the equally high Sierra Muleros.  These
mountains start about 10 miles south of the plant site.
The two mountain chains channel the flow from the stacks
in a northwest or southeast direction.  Inversions, both
radiative and synoptic occur with relatively high frequency
and intensity.  In general, stable flows tend to take the
plume northwest or southeast of the plant site.  In this
case, the plume is not interacting with the mountain ridge.
On some occasions, however, the synoptic flow will be from
the southwest directing the plume at the Franklin Mountains
even during nocturnal inversions.  During the day when
local effects predominate and winds are flowing along
the valley, the plume can be trapped below synoptic sub-
sidence inversions or the breakup of nocturnal inversions
can lead to fumigation.

-------
                                     3-31
                                                                      o
rH


W
H
En

-------
                      3-32
       The available groundlevel sulfur dioxide concentra-
tions showed 62 half-hour readings exceeding one part per
million.  These were associated with 39 different "events"
of one or more sites above 1 ppm.  A review of these
"events" resulted in a list of five occasions which in
terms of data availability were suitable to test against
model calculations.  One case for each of the two types
of flow was selected for model comparison.

3.4.2  Flow to the Northwest

       The case selected from among the available data
at the cluster of monitors to the northwest of the plant
was for October 21, 1971.  The actual concentrations at
the five monitor stations are shown in the boxes in
Figure 14.  It can be readily seen that the plume center-
line appears to lie somewhere among the monitor stations.
The time period for which the concentrations are shown
is the half-hour ending at 10:30 a.m.  Temperature measure-
ments over the 800 feet on the copper stack indicated a
+6°F temperature difference at 6:00 a.m. which was altered
to isothermal by 9:00 a.m. and at 10:00 a.m. reached the
dry adiabatic lapse rate.  This strongly indicates that
inversion breakup was occurring and probably passed through
plume height between 10:00 and 10:30 fumigating the plume
to the ground.

       The early morning rawinsonde at the airport indi-
cated that the surface based inversion extended beyond
600 meters.  The inversion is, therefore, deep enough
to include the entire plume.

       The maximum groundlevel concentrations would result
with an inversion base slightly above the plume height
that was present while the plume was in the stable inver-
sion layer.  The model calculations were, therefore, per-
formed for such a situation with an inversion base of
500 m above the plant elevation.

       In the INTERCOM? model the diffusion coefficients
in the inversion layer were set to approximate Pasquill
F stability and those below the inversion base were set
to approximate Pasquill C.  In the EPA model  (C4M3D) and
Gaussian calculations, Pasquill C stability and a mixing
depth of 500 meters were utilized.  That constitutes a
perfectly reflecting surface at the 500 m height.

       The windspeed of 10 miles per hour as recorded at
the plant site was utilized in the models and a wind

-------
                                    3-33
D
O
H

-------
                      3-34
direction of 125° true was used to line up the copper
stack and the two central monitor stations.  The plant
site anemometer was actually recording a direction 20°
more southerly.  The INTERCOM? model wind flow calculation
simulated a more southerly direction near groundlevel
because of the influence of the Sierra Del Christo Key.
This effect can be seen in the groundlevel concentration
isopleths of Figure 2 close to the plant site.

       The model calculations for each monitor station
are presented in Figure 14.  All values are in SC>2 con-
centrations in ppm (1 ppm is equivalent to 2270 yg/m^).
The INTERCOM? model calculations are shown by isopleths.
Turner's workbook Gaussian plume model calculations  (the
multiple reflection equation) with a 500 m mixing depth
provide the calculations labeled Gaussian.  Both the
INTERCOMP and Gaussian results are in good agreement with
the measured concentration levels at the five stations.
The width of the plume is reasonably approximated by
either of the two models.  The INTERCOMP model did predict
peak concentrations closer to the stack than did the
Gaussian model.  The cross-section of Figure 15 illustrates
the topography which leads to downward flow and causes this
effect.  The EPA model because of 22.5° sector averaging
predicted concentrations of roughly one-half the peak
values of the other two models.

       A vertical cross-section along the plume centerline
from the INTERCOMP model calculations is presented in
Figure 15.  Added to the plumes from the two tall stacks
is a fugitive emission equal to 3% of the total sulfur
dioxides from the two stacks.  The reason for inclusion
of these values is described more fully in the next section.
As evident from Figure 15, the INTERCOMP model allows
pollutant to diffuse into the inversion layer because
there is only a change of coefficient and not a totally
reflecting surface.  Partial reflection does occur at
that boundary and the isopleths of concentration approach
uniformity in the vertical at a distance beyond 3-4 miles
to some extent confirming the uniform vertical mixing
assumption often utilized with the Gaussian model.

       In this fumigation case there is comparatively
flat terrain.  The results, however, indicate that the
EPA model gave values about one-half those of the INTERCOMP
centerline calculations.  The Gaussian calculations were
in the same range as the INTERCOMP calculations.  The
INTERCOMP model gives reasonable values at all monitors
while accounting for the terrain effects which are present.

-------
                               3-35
O
H
                   dsw

-------
                      3-36


3.4.3  Stable Flow

       In general, stable flows are directed along the
river valley and the plume moves southeast or northwest
of the plant.  On occasion stable plumes are directed at
the Franklin Mountains because of the influence of synoptic
wind patterns.  Several cases of high groundlevel concen-
trations of sulfur dioxide at the monitor sites east of
the plant were found under these conditions.   The data
from December 8, 1971, were chosen as representative.
Winds recorded at the plant site on this day were directed
at the monitor receiving the highest concentration.

       The initial attempts to simulate this case were
completely unsuccessful because essentially no concentra-
tion reached groundlevel at the monitor sites.  The
vertical cross-section provided in Figure 16 is for the
centerline of the December 8 stable plume.  It graphically
shows the reason for the model's inability to simulate
measured stable ground concentrations.  The emissions
from the copper and lead stacks are so high above the
monitor sites that no material diffuses down to them
with the restriction to vertical diffusion imposed by a
stable atmosphere.  During the half-hour ending at 1:30 a.m.
on December 8, there was a temperature differential of
+13°F over the 800 feet of the copper stack.   This cer-
tainly indicates a stable atmosphere with little vertical
transfer.

       It is possible, however, to explain high ground-
level concentrations at the monitor sites in terms of
drainage.  Several cases in the data appear to exhibit
this drainage effect.  The Rim monitor  (see Figure 13)
on several occasions responded to high sulfur dioxide
concentrations during stable conditions and then in the
following half-hour McKelligon, Robinson and Zork, all
at lower elevations, would have peak values.   This indi-
cates that pollutant was draining down along the terrain
to produce relatively high concentrations at lower ele-
vations.  Diffusion does occur during this drainage
process so that the monitored values would not reflect
maximum groundlevel concentrations.  Another mechanism
exists for getting groundlevel concentrations at the
Park Hill site  (most northerly of the line of monitors).
When the stable plume travels due north from the plant
site and the wind direction then shifts to the north,
the stable plume is swept back along the mountainside
draining as it returns and effecting the low level monitor
sites.  In both mechanisms, however, significant dilution
will occur and concentrations in the 1-2 ppm range are
not probable.  No attempt was made to model this type of
situation.

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                                 3-37
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                      3-38
       The monitor alLtto uo not have individual anemo-
meters so that in the case of December 8 it is difficult
to tell whether drainage is an important influence.  The
temperature measurements up the stacks show that the
temperature profile was isothermal above 500 feet and
that the total +13°F differential was in the lowest 500
feet.  This creates a situation where the steepest slopes
on the Franklin Mountains may well be isothermal and
drainage flows would then not be as important.  This
factor along with the wind direction at the plant being
toward the monitors virtually necessitated stable winds
directed at the terrain.  To get significant measured
concentration levels, we required a source of sulfur
dioxide lower than 500 feet above ground.  There is a
350 foot zinc process stack which could be the source,
but no measurements of sulfur dioxide emission were
available.  Fugitive emissions from the plant process
buildings are another potential source of sulfur dioxide.
The major monitor of interest (Park Hill) is situated
almost 300 feet above the plant site.  A few runs with
the INTERCOM? model showed relatively little difference
in predicted concentrations for a range of plume heights
between 100 and 300 feet.  A source emission strength
of 3% of the combined emissions for the two stacks gave
best agreement with the concentrations found at the
monitors.  The results for 3% fugitive emissions with
a 200 foot plume height are shown in Figure 17.  The
fugitive emissions were considered to be emitted between
the two stacks as an approximation.  As in earlier figures,
the INTERCOMP model values are shown in isopleth form.
The INTERCOMP model prediction at the Park Hill monitor
was 1.51 ppm.  The maximum value of 2.14 ppm was located
a little north of the monitor.  The Park Hill monitor is
actually located on a small plateau not evident in Figure
17 which drops off in elevation both to the south and
north.  As a consequence, changes in the wind direction
result in highest ground concentrations on either side
of the monitor rather than at the measurement site.
Other wind directions and source strengths also do not
agree as well with the values at the other three monitors.

       In the cases of the EPA and Gaussian calculations,
the height of the source emission has more effect on the
results.  The values shown in Figure 17 are for a 200 foot
effective fugitive emission height.  These calculations
indicate much higher values at the Park Hill monitor.
In the case of the EPA model, a value more than twice
the measured value at the monitor and a maximum of 4.76
ppm downhill from the monitor were calculated.  This is
similar in location to the INTERCOMP model simulation.
The Gaussian calculations, without benefit of sector
averaging and the EPA model restriction for the centerline

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                               3-39
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                      3-40
remaining 10 m above groundlevel, yield values an order
of magnitude higher than the EPA model.  This calculation
assumes plume centerline values are along the ground from
the point of intersection of the terrain on up the side
of side of the mountain.  The position of the maximum is
the same.  If the source height were increased to 300
feet, the predicted maximums for the EPA model and the
Gaussian would be to shift the monitor location and are
about the same magnitude as those predicted for the lower
source height.

       Smelting personnel generally agree that a fugitive
emission level of 3% is not out of line with normal opera-
tions and, in fact, may be low.  To obtain a best fit of
the monitored data, fugitive emissions of less than 1.5%
would be required for the EPA model and less than 0.3%
for the Gaussian calculations.

       Almost certainly the plumes from the two tall
stacks interacted with the Franklin Mountains at eleva-
tions above the monitor sites.  The initial runs with
the INTERCOM? model indicated maximum concentrations
on the order of 10 ppm.  Gaussian intersecting calcula-
tions show values of 400 ppm.  Both of these calculations
are for F stability.  Neither set of calculations can be
compared to monitored data.

       The stable case plume simulation shows the flexi-
bility of the INTERCOMP model as an evaluation tool for
determining what unknown source rates might be.  Simulating
the results at a series of monitors gives some confidence
in the approximate 3% level for fugitive emissions.  The
comparison between the models is not extremely definitive
since the source rate and its resultant plume height are
not known.

3.4.4  Summary

       In summary, the ASARCO smelter data provide data
useful in comparing the three models.  Two types of atmos-
pheric conditions were examined.  In the limited mixing
cases, the same mixing depth and atmospheric stability
were used in the mixing layer for each model.  Results
indicated good agreement between the INTERCOMP model and
the Gaussian  (NOAA) model.  Both models were in good
agreement with measured data for such an atmospheric
condition.  The EPA model, because of the angular sector
averaging even for short-term peak concentrations, was
lower by a factor of roughly two.

-------
                           3-41
            In the stable flows with winds directed at high
     terrain, our study showed little effect of the stack emis-
     sions on concentrations measured at the monitors.  Instead
     a fugitive emission was hypothesized to be responsible for
     these measured concentration levels.  At a fugitive level
     of 3% of the combined stack emissions, good agreement was
     obtained between calculated concentrations with the INTERCOMP
     model and the measured values.  Both the EPA model and the
     Gaussian (NOAA) model calculated concentration levels much
     higher than measured values for the 3% emission levels.
     Of course, a reduction in emission level could have been
     used; however, this caused the Gaussian type models to
     give poor agreement with measured values in terms of
     crosswind spread.

            The finding that stack emissions are, in all pro-
     bability, not affecting monitored concentration levels
     is interesting from the standpoint of intermittent process
     curtailment effectiveness.  It would appear that the fugi-
     tive emissions would have to be quantified to provide
     realistic control.  It is probable that plant curtailment
     affects fugitive levels in exactly the same way as it
     affects the stack emissions although this point would
     need investigation.

3.5  Validation of the INTERCOMP Flow Model

     3.5.1  General

            Every mathematical model of physical phenomena
     is subject to the assumptions used in its formulation.
     Therefore, most mathematical models are restricted to
     a certain class of problems.  Such a model is considered
     to be valid, if it simulates correctly the physical
     phenomena that were intended to be included in its
     formulation.  Specifically, the INTERCOMP flow model
     is designed to simulate air flow over terrain on a
     large scale necessary for ambient air quality studies.
     Because this model is based on a "modified potential"
     flow concept12, there is certainly a question of the
     adequacy of such a model for a complete range of pro-
     blems which are of interest.  Ultimately, this can best
     be answered by extensive comparison to field data.
     However, it is possible to obtain a reliable answer
     also by comparison of the model with more sophisticated
     calculation techniques—in this case with a model based
     solving Navier-Stokes equations for viscous, slightly
     compressible flow.  Although at the present time, the use
     of a Navier-Stokes formulation for large-scale air quality
     models appears to be impractical because of cost  (see
     reference 13, 14, 15, and 16), such models can serve as
     a standard for comparison of simpler models.  Two such

-------
                      3-42
models have been reported for solving air quality pro-
blems2'3.  In making comparisons between the "modified
potential" model results and the Navier-Stokes model
results, one has to bear in mind that the potential
formulation cannot simulate phenomena that are unique
to viscous flow, i.e. wakes and vortices.  However, in
many cases wakes will not form due to atmospheric stability
or will only exist on a small scale below the resolution
limit of simulation  (e.g. for flow over gently sloped
terrain),  Even in the case when a wake develops on the
downstream side of an obstacle, the simplified solution
may be adequate for cases where it can be shown that the
presence of the wake does not affect the flow in the
regions of real interest—e.g. on the upwind side or
above the obstacle.  Thus, the Navier-Stokes model can
also serve to determine a range of adequacy for the
"modified potential" flow model.

       In the comparisons included in this report no
attempt has been made to verify the modified potential
model for all flow conditions.  Rather two basic condi-
tions of neutral and stable conditions were investigated.

3.5.2  Navier-Stokes Flow Model

       3.5.2-1  Mathematical Development

            The numerical model is based on the "primitive
       variable" formulation used by the Los Alamos
       group17'18'19 as well as the Colorado group20
       and others21'22.  This formulation has been
       chosen in preference to the vector potential
       formulation2 3, because it can be easily extended
       to turbulent flow and variable density.  For a
       current survey of computational approaches to the
       Navier-Stokes equations, see reference 24 and 20.
       The details and equations used in our calculational
       model are developed in Appendix A.

            The particular form of the momentum and con-
       tinuity equations used are subject to the following
       assumptions:

        (1)  Pressure changes do not affect density.

        (2)  Density changes have a negligible effect on
            viscous terms.  This assumption is quite
            justified in view of the uncertainties asso-
            ciated with turbulent viscosities.

-------
               3-43
(3)  Turbulent effects are included as Reynolds
     stresses expressed through a turbulent eddy
     viscosity (this will be discussed in more
     detail later) .

(4)  Density can be described as a function of
     position.  Although the model includes the
     capability for solving simultaneously an
     energy equation, buoyancy effects were simu-
     lated by a stable temperature field.  This
     would be the case at steady-state which was
     of primary interest and it greatly simplifies
     the calculations.

     The numerical solution method disc:,:etizes the
momentum and continuity equations.  The finite
difference discretization of the momentum equations
also satisfies the discretized continuity equation
(see Appendix A) .

     The momentum equations use a forward difference
for the time derivatives.  The procedure consists
of implicitly solving for the pressure field with
the righthand side evaluated at the old time level,
then an explicit updating of the velocity field
using the new pressures.  Central time differencing,
preferred by some authors16'25'26, gives smaller
time truncation errors, but introduces weak instabi-
lity and increases core requirements.

     The program has the capability of solving both
two-dimensional and three-dimensional problems.
The solution method for the pressure equation is
LSOR, with direct elimination as an option for
two-dimensional problems.  Handling of boundary
conditions permits arbitrary specification of
terrain as in the standard INTERCOM? air quality
simulator.  The program has a restart capability
and an automatic time step control, based on the
convective stability condition.

3.5.2-2  Comparison with Results for Laminar Flow
                    _^«^_^_    —      "• '   .. . - -    _ -

     The problem chosen for testing of the laminar
flow model is the flow in an entrance region of
a straight channel.  Steady-state solutions of
incompressible Navier-Stokes equations for this
problem are given by Morihara and Cheng27, who
also compare many of the earlier results reported
in boundary layer literature.  Because the INTERCOM?
Navier-Stokes model does not have the capability to
solve directly for the steady-state velocities,
•jriP teady solutions were computed until reasonably
close to steady-state.  Comparison of results of

-------
               3-44
Re = 200 are shown in Figure 18 where the contin-
uous lines show literature results27 and the
circles result from the INTERCOM? model.  The
agreement with literature values27 is satisfactory.
The main difference is that our solution has almost
no bulges in the velocity profile (although they
have been observed in runs other than those shown).
The reason for this difference is the relatively
course grid used and the fact that the referenced
work27 used higher order approximations for con-
vective terms.  The differences closer to the inlet
are due to the fact that our solution is not quite
at steady-state.

     Similar results were obtained from other
Reynolds numbers.

3.5.2-3  Eddy Viscosity Model for Turbulent Flow

     Presently, the most practical way of treating
turbulent flow is via the eddy viscosity concept   '
29'30.  The turbulent (eddy) viscosity is a complex
tensor function of the flow field.  Many turbulent
models have been proposed for calculation of eddy
viscosity coefficients, some of them very complex
(see reference 20 and especially 31).  While it
is necessary to construct complex turbulence models
as tools for better understanding of the turbulence
phenomenon, their present accuracy does not justify
their use for practical calculations.  Our aim has
been to use the simplest approach that would be
adequate for the class of problems of interest.
In air pollution applications, there is generally
one direction of the prevailing wind.  Over flat
terrain, the velocity distribution often follows
an approximate power law dependence on height.

     Our turbulent viscosity model then is based
on the assumption that over a flat surface, the
velocity variation in the vertical will approxi-
mately follow a power law dependence.  If the
thickness of the boundary layer, ZOT, is sufficient
so that turbulence essentially disappears at z^
(see e.g., Sutton29, Chapter 7), then the viscosity
at the top of the boundary layer, y , can be taken
as the molecular viscosity.  Molecular viscosity
is generally negligible compared to the maximum
turbulent viscosity, y^.  An example of the varia-
tion of this viscosity model and the resultant
velocity versus height are shown in Figure 19 for
a power law exponent of a = 1/7.  As shown in
Appendi:: A, the above development of turbulent
viscosity can be interpreted in terms of Prandtl's
mixing length hypothesis and agrees well with
experimental results for one-dimensional flow.

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                           3-45
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                            J-46
                           FIGURE 19


                      VERTICAL VARIATION OF
                          EDDY VISCOSITY
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-------
               3-47
     The above procedure defines only one component
 (namely yxz) of the viscosity tensor.  The remaining
components are obtained by scaling of yxz using ratios
of turbulent fluctuations  (dependent upon stability)
and derivatives of velocities based on the "order of
magnitude" argument common in boundary layer theory.
Our experience has shown that a change of some compo-
nents of viscosity by an order of magnitude did not
have a noticeable effect on the results; therefore,
this approximation seems justifiable.  However, the
simulator is not restricted to the above described
treatment of turbulence, and could use a more elabo-
rate model of turbulence if desired.

     To test if this turbulence model g ,.ves numeri-
cal solutions that approximate a power law, the
"entrance region" was solved again in turbulent
flow.  Because of the symmetry condition at z^,
the result also represents a solution of turbulent
flow over flat terrain, with uniform inlet velocity.
Figure 20 shows an example of the velocity profile
at a large distance from the entrance, where the
velocities are fully developed.  In this case, the
Reynolds number, corresponding to the maximum eddy
viscosity is 10^ (Re was calculated from a molecular
viscosity of about 10^).

     This can be compared with a one-dimensional
exact solution for the same eddy viscosity model
which results in a power law velocity profile.  As
evident in the log-log plot, the numerical solution
follows a power law variation near the ground, but
deviates at the top of the boundary layer.  This is
due to_ the fact that the boundary condition at the
top  (z = 1) is 9u/9z = 0, which is not satisfied by
a power law velocity profile.  Thus, the numerical
model gives a more realistic approximation than the
exact power law profile for atmospheric flow which
should approach a condition of nearly zero vertical
gradient at the top of the turbulent boundary layer.

     An additional test of the numerical model was
performed in three-dimensional flow by numerical
simulation of wind tunnel measurements obtained
by Halitsky32.  Figure 21 shows the caluclated and
measured u-velocities at a distance 12 m behind the
building (the wind tunnel results were scaled to
the original size).  Although this comparison is
only qualitatively significant, because of diffi-
culties in scaling and generating the turbulence
in wind tunnel tests, the agreement confirms the
validity of the numerical results.

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                                         3-48
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                                              3-49
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                      3-50
3.5.3  Comparison with the Modified Potential Model

       3.5.3-1  Influence of Wake Regions on Flow Field
                Around an Obstacle

            As mentioned before,  the modified-potential
       model cannot simulate wake regions behind build-
       ings or other obstacles.   It is,  therefore,  important
       to establish the effect of such a wake on the flow
       field upstream and above the obstacle.

            This question was investigated by solving
       flow fields around obstacles of the same height,
       but of different lengths in the direction of
       flow.  The flow fields at a time close to steady-
       state were then compared.   Figures 22 and 23
       show the two respective flow fields in the two-
       dimensional case, first for a short obstacle,
       and second for an obstacle of "infinite" length.
       Recirculation develops in the first case in the
       wake region behind the obstacle.   In both cases
       it was assumed that a fully developed flat terrain
       velocity profile exists at the entrance to the
       simulated region, i.e., the entrance velocity
       satisfies a power law profile.  The comparison
       of the horizontal velocities, u,  are shown in
       Figure 24.  It is evident that the presence of
       a wake on the downstream side does not affect
       the velocity profile in front of the obstacle
       and only slightly affects it above the wake (in
       cross-section B-B).  Similar results were ob-
       tained in the three-dimensional cases.  It may,
       therefore, be concluded that the simulation of
       a wake is not important for the flow field except
       directly behind the obstacle.  Consequently, the
       comparisons with the modified potential model
       were carried out for obstacles extending to
       infinity, for which recirculation regions are
       not present.

       3.5.3-2  Comparison for Two-Dimensional Flow

            All two-dimensional runs were made with a
       16x7 grid.  Irregular grid spacing was used in order
       to obtain adequate definition around the upstream
       side of the obstacle.  The influx velocity was
       assumed to satisfy a power law profile according
       to a prescribed exponent a.  The first series of
       runs were made without the effect of density,

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               3-54
and a = 1/7 which corresponds to a neutral atmos-
phere.  It was found that the modified potential
solution gives good agreement with the Navier-
Stokes solution (presented in Figure 23) when
K /K  =1 for the flow coefficients in the poten-
tial model.  Figure 25 shows the comparison
of these two results at four vertical cross-
sections.  The agreement is good except on the
top of the obstacle, where the potential solution
does not reflect the amount of viscous friction
that it should.

     A second series of runs simulated stable
atmospheric conditions.  For the Navier-Stokes
solution it was assumed that the ground is an
isothermal surface and a constant density gradient
of -0.001g/cni3/m was assumed.  The effect of
density variations is best seen by plotting the
velocity difference between the stable and neutral
cases as shown on Figure 26.  In stable flow
velocities at the ground decrease and at the top
of the boundary layer increase causing the circu-
lation pattern of Figure 26.  In the modified
potential model, a best match was obtained for
this case with KZ/KX = 0.7.  Comparison of these
two results is in Figure 27 and has the same
character as the results of Figure 25.

3.5.3-3  Comparison for Three-Dimensional Flow

     The example for three-dimensional testing
has the same grid in the x-z plane as the two-
dimensional problem.  The dimension of the obstacle
in the y direction is 10 m.  Because x-z is a
symmetry plane, only one-half of the problem
need be solved as shown in Figure 28.  Illus-
tration of the three-dimensional results is more
complicated, mainly because it is difficult to
display the data in three dimensions19'2.

     In the neutral case, the velocity field in
the symmetry plane  (x-z) is very similar to the
field obtained in the two-dimensional case, and
y-velocities are small except around the upstream
side of the obstacle.  The modified potential
model gave good results when KZ/KX = 1.  Figures
29 and 30 show a comparison of u-velocities in
the two planes perpendicular to the x-axis.
Figure 29 gives a two-dimensional velocity profile

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                     3-55
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                      3-61
       in the plane A (Figure 28)  in front of the obstacle
       and Figure 30 in plane B through the face of the
       obstacle.  The agreement is generally good with
       the exception of velocities close to surface,
       especially on the side of the obstacle.  Good
       agreement was also found in the z and y components
       of the velocity field.

            In the stable case, the imposed density gradient
       causes superimposed circulation at the front side
       of the obstacle similar to Figure 26.  Also, the
       density gradient in the y direction  (:>n the side
       of the obstacle)  has an effect of superimposing
       transversal circulation patterns.  Tne three-
       dimensional equivalent of Figure 26  showing
       the difference between stable and neutral velocity
       fields is schematically shown ir Figure 31.  In
       this case, u-velocities on tor of the obstacle
       are decreased and v-velocities, which were small
       in the neutral case, increase in the downstream
       direction.  A true circulation pattern is formed
       on the side of the obstacle if it is long enough.
       Comparison runs with the modified potential model
       showed that it is possible to obtain a good match
       of velocities on the upstream side of the upstream
       side of the obstacle by reducing KZ/KX.

3.5.4  Summary of Comparisons and Conclusions

       3.5.4-1  Range of Adequacy for the Modified Potential
                Flow Model

            Numerical comparisons described in the pre-
       ceeding paragraphs show convincingly that the modi-
       fied potential model will be adequate for many
       situations typical in air pollution modeling,
       particularly:

       (a)   for flow over terrain where no wakes and
            recirculation regions are expected to develop
            because of stability,  and

       (b)   for flow around buildings or over rough
            terrain, if  the areas directly behind ob-
            stacles are  not of primary interest.

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               3-63
3.5.4-2  Limitations

     The basic limitation of the modified potential
model is given by the fact that it cannot simulate
properly viscous effects.  Therefore, the model
will not be adequate, for example, for investiga-
tion of downwash of pollutants in a wake behind
a building, for investigation of pollutant sources
located in building cavities, and other similar
applications.  These cases represent mostly simu-
lations on a much smaller scale than is usual in
typical air quality studies.  Similar limitations
are found when temperature effects ere considered.
The model will be adequate if thermal effects are
relatively uniform and are mainly reflected in a
change in the stability of the atmosphere.

3.5.4-3  Accuracy and Expected Errors

     The results of this study show that the
INTERCOMP modified potential model is generally
an adequate flow model for environmental engineer-
ing studies.  A different simplified model was
also proposed by Hino30.  Such simplifications
of the problem at present, still seem to be the
only way for solving practical size problems
efficiently.

     The problem is the large computer require-
ments for numerical integration of the full Navier-
Stokes equations.  For the examples given here,
computer time for the Navier-Stokes solutions was
10-100 times more than for the modified potential
model.  For a large three-dimensional problem
this ratio would probably be closer to the
upper end of this range.

     It is important, for this reason, to continue
development and improvement of simplified flow
models.  Navier-Stokes models can then be used
for validation of these models and in situations
where the simple models are known not to be
adequate.

-------
                                 4-1
4.0  REFERENCES

     1.   Hino,  M.,  Computer Experiment on Smoke Diffusion Over  Compli-
         cated  Topography,  Atmos.  Env. 2_, 1968.

     2.   Hotchkiss,  R.  S.,  Numerical Calculation of Three-Dimensional
         Flows  of  Air and Particulates About Structures,  Proceedings
         Air Pollution, Turbulence,  and Diffusion Symposium,  Dec.,
         1971.

     3.   Djuric, D.  and Thomas,  V.,  A Numerical Study of  Convective
         Transport of a Gaseous  Air  Pollutant in the Vicinity of
         Tall Buildings, Proceedings Air Pollution, Tur1 ulence,  and
         Diffusion Symposium,  Dec.,  1971.

     4.   Lantz, R.  B.,  Coats,  K. H.  and Kloepfer, C. V.,  A Three-
         Dimensional Numerical Model for Calculating the  Spread and
         Dilution  of Air Pollutants, Proceedings Air Pollution,
         Turbulence, and Diffusion Symposium, Dec., 1971.

     5.   Van der Hoven, I., et.  al., Report of Meteorology Work
         Group, Southwest Energy Study, Appendix E, 1972.

     6.   Start, G.  E.,  Dickson,  G. R., and Wendell L. L., Diffusion
         in a Canyon within Rough Mountainous Terrain,  NOAA Tech.
         Memo ERL,  ARL-38,  August, 1973.

     7.   Turner, D.  B., Workbook of  Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates,
         US DHEN 999-AP-26, 1969.

     8.   Sklarew,  R. C., Fabrick,  A. J. and Prager, J.  E., Mathematical
         Modeling  of Photochemical Smog Using the PICK Method,  APCA
         Journal,  22, 1972.

     9.   Lantz, R.  B.,  Quantitative  Evaluation of Numerical Diffusion
         (Truncation Error), SPE Journal, 1971.

    10.   Price, H.  S.,  Varga,  R. S.  and Warren, V. E.,  Application of
         Oscillation Matrices  to Diffusion-Convection Equations,
         Journal Math,  and  Physics,  45, 1966.

    11.   Bowne, N.  E.,  Diffusion Rates, Presented at 66th Annual
         Meeting of  APCA,  Chicago, Illinois,  Time, 1973.

    12.   Lantz, R.  B.,  McCulloch,  R. C., and Agrawal, R.  K.,  The
         Use of Three-Dimensional  Numerical Air Pollution Models
         in Planning Plant  Location, Design and Operation, J. Canada
         Pet. Tech., July-Sept., 1972.

    13.   Hirt,  C.  W., Heuristic  Stability Theory for Finite-Difference
         Equations,  J.  of Comput.  Physics,  2, 1968.

-------
                               4-2
14.  Deardorff, J. W.,  A Numerical Study of Three-Dimensional
     Turbulent Flow at Large Reynolds Numbers,  J.  Fluid Mech.,
     1970, Vol. 41 (2).

15.  Deardorff, J. W.,  Numerical Study of that  Transport by
     Internal Gravity Waves Above a Growing Unstable Layer,
     Phys. of Fluids Supplement II, 1969.

16.  Fox, D. G., Numerical Simulation of Three-Dimensional Shape -
     Preserving Convective Elements, J.  of Atm.  Sci.,  Vol. 29,
     March, 1972.

17.  Welch, J. E., Marlow, F. H., Shannon, J. P.,  and Daly, B.  J.f
     The MAC Method,  Report LA-3425, Los Alamos Scientific Labora-
     tory of the University of California, 1965.

18.  Harlow, F. H. and Welch, J. E., Numerical  Calculation of
     Time-Dependent Viscous Incompressible Flow of Fluid with
     a Free Surface,  Phys. Fluids, 8^ 1965.

19.  Hirt, C. W. and Cook, J. L., Calculating Three-Dimensional
     Flows Around Structures and Over Rough Terrain, J. Comp.
     Physics, 10, 1972.

20.  Fox, D. G. and Deardorff, J. W., Computer  Methods for Simu-
     lation of Multidimensional, Nonlinear, Subsonic,  Incompressi-
     ble Flow, J. Heat Transfer, Trans.  ASME, Nov., 1972.

21.  Williams, G. P., Numerical Integration of  the Three-Dimensional
     Navier-Stokes Equations for Incompressible Flow,  J. Fluid
     Mech., 1969, Vol.  37, Part 4.

22.  Lilly, D. K., Numerical Solutions for the  Shape-Preserving
     Two-Dimensional Thermal Convection Element, J. Atm. Sci.,
     21, 1964.

23.  Aziz, K. and Heliums, J. D., Numerical Solution of the Three-
     Dimensional Equations of Motion for Laminar Natural Convection,
     Phys. Fluids, 10,  1967.

24.  Ames, W. F., Some Computation in Fluid Mechanics, SIAM
     Review, 15_  (2) ,  1973.

25.  Deardorff, J. W.,  Numerical Study of Heat  Transport by
     Internal Gravity Waves Above a Growing Unstable Layer,
     Phys. of Fluids, Supplement II, 1969.

26.  Deardorff, J. W.,  A Three-Dimensional Numerical Investiga-
     tion of the Idealized Planetary Boundary Layer, Geoph. Fluid
     Dynamics, Vol. 1,  1970.

-------
                               4-3
27.  Morihara, H. and Cheng, R. Ta-Shun,  Numerical Solution of
     the Viscous Flow in the Entrance Region of Parallel Plates,
     J. Comput. Physics, 11, 1973.

28.  Hinze, J. 0., Turbulence,  McGraw-Hill, New York,  1959.

29.  Button, 0. G., Micrometeorology, McGraw-Hill, Hew York, 1953

30.  Schlichtling, H.,  Boundary-Layer Theory,  6th Edition,
     McGraw-Hill, 1968.

31.  Launder, B. E. and Spalding,  D. B.,  Mathematical Models of
     Turbulence, Academic Press, London and New York, 1972.

32.  Halitsky, J., Validation of Scaling  Procedures for Wind
     Tunnel Model Testing of Diffusion Near Buildings,  Report
     No. TR-69-8, Geophysical Sci.  Laboratory,  N3W York Univ.,
     1969.

-------
                              A-l
                          APPENDIX A
NAVIER-STOKES FLOW MODEL
Mathematical Development

     The numerical model is based on the  "primitive variable"
formulation used by the Los Alamos group17'18'19 as well as  the
Colorado group20 and others21'22.  This formulation has been chosen
ir. preference to the vector-potential formulation2 3 because  it
can be easily extended to turbulent flow  and variable density.
For current survey of computational approaches to Navier-Stokes
equations, see reference 24 and 20.

     The equations solved are
           Du
           Dt
          nDV -
          PDt '
           VyVu
           VyVv
           Dt
    = 7r£- + VyVw - pg
      0 2
                          (A-l)
          whPr-P n^H - iPJi + 3PU  + 9PUV + 9PUW
          where pDt ~  3t +  at  +  3y  +  gz
          and
3p   3pu
3t    8x
                     3pv   5pw
                      3y    3z
= 0
(A-2)
          p = f (x,y,z)
                                               (A-3)
These equations can be derived from the full Navier-Stokes equation
if it is assumed that:

     (1)  Pressure changes do not affect density.

     (2)  Density changes have a negligible effect on viscous terms.
          This assumption is quite justified in view of the uncer-
          tainties associated with turbulent viscosities.
          Turbulent effects are included as Reynolds stresses ex-
          pressed through a turbulent eddy viscosity  (this will
          be discussed in more detail later).

-------
                                A-2
      (4)   Density can be prescribed as  a function of position.
           Thus,  although the  model  does not solve simultaneously
           the  energy  equation,  it can approximate the buoyancy
           effects in  cases  when the temperature  field is relatively
           stable.   Such cases are often of practical interest.

      This  model  is more comprehensive than the  incompressible,
 laminar viscosity model,  used e.g.  in reference  19.

      The pressure equation  can  be obtained from  (A-l)  by differen-
 tiating each equation with  respect  to its direction  coordinate
 and  summing
           -  [    VyVu  +     VyVv  +     VyVw]  =
     or    V2p  =  -RI  -  RV                                (A-4)


Therefore,  both  inertia  terras,  RI,  and viscous terras/  RV,  act  as
'sourcefe  in  the 'pressure  equation.   It is  worth noting  that the
right-hand  side  of  (A-4)  is much more complicated than for the
case of  laminar  incompressible  flow,  where it can be shown that
RV  = 0 by  continuity and
                  .
      \.  —      •       - ••'••--JT'1---       Vy
             3x2       3y2       3z2


 In  the original MAC  method  and its  later applications,  the entire
 right-hand  side was  also  carried in the computation in  order to
 help  the approximate solution  satisfy continuity when iterative
 methods  were used.   In  the  present  turbulent model, the viscous
 terms must  be retained  because they do not cancel out in (A-4) ,
 regardless  of the solution  method used.

      The numerical  solution method  employs equations (A-l)  and
 (A-4), discretized  by finite differences.   With suitable discre-
 tization, the finite-difference equations will  also satisfy the
 discretized continuity  equation (A-2).

      The momentum equations (A-l) use a forward difference for
 the time derivative.  The procedure consists of implicitly solving
 for the  pressure field  with the right-hand side evaluated at the
 old time level, then an explicit updating of the velocity field
 using the new pressures.  Central time differencing, preferred  by
 some  authors16'75'26, gives smaller time truncation errors, but
 introduces  weak instability and increases core  requirements.

-------
                               A-3
Boundary Conditions

     The region in which the equations are solved is rectangular
in the x and y direction as shown on Figure A-l.  In the z direction,
ILLUSTRATION OF
                                       ATI!
it is bounded by ground surface of variable elevation and by a
constant elevation z^, which is assumed to be the top of the
turbulent boundary layer.  It is assumed that the wind at x = 0
is in the direction of the x-axis and the velocity profile is
known, i.e.,
          u = U(y,z), v=w=0atx=0
                                        (A-5)
The y boundaries and the boundary at z^ are assumed to be no-
friction surfaces without flow across the boundary.
             =<        v = 0 at y = 0, L
                                        (A-6)
           H =    = o, w = 0 at z = z
                                        (A-7)
At the groundlevel, friction is important.  Therefore, the boundary
conditions are:

-------
                               A-4
          u = v = w = Oat the ground                    (A-8)

Finally, at the outflow face, we specify a vertical pressure gra-
dient that corresponds to one-dimensional flow over flat terrain
(uniform pressure if gravity is neglected).  Since the flow is
incompressible with respect to pressure, pressure level is not
important.  Therefore, we can arbitrarily choose pressure at say
zm to obtain:


          p = p(z), p(zj = P, g| = -pg at x = LX        (A-9)


Model of Turbulence

     Consider one-dimensional flow over a flat plate  at steady-
state, for fully developed  (w = 0), incompressible flow, equations
(A-4) reduce to

          9£ - pi _ 3_      1"
          3x        8"z  (yxz 3z


Define shear stress,  T, by
Since at steady-state P1 = const, we can integrate  the  equation




to obtain


           T(Z) = P'z + C±                                (A-12)


which shows that shear stress varies linearly with  height.   Let
us now assume that the velocity over the flat surface is  given  by


          u = UOT  (^)a                                   (A-13)
                   CO

Differentiating and substitution  into  (A-ll) and  (A-12) gives


                zm       1-a
                     (—)    (P'z + C,)                    (A-14)
           i   — r:	  v	1    \f  ^  ' <— n
           xz   U  a  z              1
                 00   CO

-------
                                A-5
The constant  C,  cannot be determined from the value of y at x =  0,
since  ;, (0) =  0,  but  from the value y^ = y  (ZOT) .   Since 3u/9z(zoo) =

Uf a/z  , we have








          ^xz  =  STS  (f->   ^'(z - zj  + Tj              (A-15)
                  OO    OO


In order to obtain the pressure gradient, we must relate it to the
magnitude of  the eddy  viscosity.  It is convenient to choose the
maximum viscosity, y , which is equal to

                        ZT — ru       T
                   / T   \ J- Ud        «.   T
                 oo f I — ry I            oo  l—ry
                   \J-VA/     /T        X-*-*-*/ 	    i-il 	 \       t -* ~\ f* \
               —             -
               U   ,.   ,2-a      P'z
                oo (2-a)             o
at the height

           ZM =
If the height of  the  boundary layer z^ is chosen such that turbu-
lence essentially disappears  at z^,   the viscosity y  will
essentially be  the molecular  viscosity, vu, the shear stress,
T^, can be neglected  in comparison to the maximum turbulent shear

stress at the ground,  thus  T  = P'z^.  The expressions  (A-16) and
(A-17) then simplify  to

                  z    ,,   ,1-a        z   /n  vl-a
          „  -  -  °°   d-a)     P.  - __ !1_ (1-a)     T      ra-is^
          yM "    iTa  ,0  .2-a P  ~   U a ,,  .2-a To     (A lb}
                  00   (2-a)             °°  (2-a)
and
          ZM =
Therefore, equation  (A-18)  allows  us to calculate y  from the
measured values of  T .   The final  expression for y   is then
                     o               L              xz

                              , 2-a
                          (l-a)

-------
                               A-6
It is easy to see that the derivation of equation  (A-19) can be
interpreted as a derivation of the mixing length £(z) in Prandtl ' s
model of turbulence in order to satisfy the power law velocity
profile.  By Prandtl 's hypothesis
                            06— 1
Since 8u/9z =  (U^a/z^) (z/z^)   , we obtain by comparison with

(A- 20) for y  = 0.
The equation  (A-22) agrees very well with the measured mixing
length in pipes, reported in reference 30, except for the region
close to the centerline, which is to be expected.  However, it is
more important that the eddy viscosity itself agree with measurement
rather than the mixing length, since £ is itself derived from
observed values of v.

     Comparison of y   by formula  (A-20) with measurements by
Nikuradse30, ChapterxzXX is in Figure A-2.  The agreement is
excellent up to z/z^ = 1/2 and acceptable for larger z.  It is
clear that a function derived from a power law velocity profile
cannot fit exactly experimental data in a tube or channel at the
centerline because the boundary conditions are different at z^.
However, the model can be used with the boundary conditions
3u/3z = 0 at z = zm and will produce a solution that deviates
from the power law as z •> zro  (Figure 20) in agreement with
experimental results30,

     The one-dimensional analysis presented thus far established
only one component of the viscosity tensor.  The other components
can be obtained from the definitions of the turbulent stresses:

-------
                               A-7
           XX
           xy
           xz
           yx
           yy
           yz
           zx
           zy
           zz
                     3u
                 i   r: —
                  XX dX
               = y
                  xy 3y
               =y   ^
                  XZ dZ
                 yyx 8x
               = y
                  zx
                 yyz 9z
                     3w
                     3y
                     8w
                 yzz 9z
                         = -p u'
                         = -p u v
                         = -p u w
                         = -p v
                         = -p v'w'
                     •5—  = -P W'U1
                     7J-  = -P W'V'
                         = -p w1
                                                         (A-23)
The task of generating all nine stress components as functions of
position and the current flow field is, in general, the subject
of theoretical models of turbulence.  Our approach is based on
the model for y   which gives correct results in one-dimensional
shear flow.       The work2 6 concluded that in the planetary boundary
layer this is indeed the most important component and, therefore,
we can expect that the relations for other components may be consider-
ably simplified without significant loss of accuracy.
     The starting point is provided by experimental evidence, that
                                       22    22
the ratios of turbulent fluctuations w1 /u1 , v1 /u1 ,
etc. remain approximately constant29'30
                                                       u'w'/xi'2,
                                          These ratios perhaps
should be a function of atmospheric stability as the mass diffusi-
vities are.  Furthermore, we can make a simplification that the
burbulence is approximately homogeneous in the x-y  (horizontal)
         2
        1
              • 2
plane, v1  ^u' , v'w1 ^u'w1.  Then the structure of turbulence
is determined by y , a fluctuation ratio

-------
                                         A-8
                 1
CN
 I
H
                                     '2/2

-------
                               A-9
          r =
and two correlation coefficients
                                                         (A-24)
           xz
                  u'w1
                       /~72
                      .yw
                                                         (A-25)
           xy
                   u'V
                               u'v'


                               u^2"
                                                         (A-26)
Using equations  (A-24) through  (A-26), we can express all viscosity
components as a function of yvry and the three constants.  We  can
write this in matrix form as
                             xz
     y = y
          xz
                 rif;
                   xz
3
~E$
                   xz
                   3w
                         in
                         3x
                         15.
                         iy.
                         3x
xy
xz


xz
3u
3zT
3w
37
i£ i
9y
3u 3u
iz. i3z_
37 Jz
3u
r 3z
ijj 3w
Tz
= y  A   (A-2
   xz y
Matrix A depends on the current velocity field and will  be,  therefore
different for each grid point and time step.  The uncertainty  in
the data often justifies further simplification of the model (A-27),
similar to the "order of magnitude" argument, common  in  boundary
layer theory.  The simplification consists of replacing  the  local
values of derivatives by "mean value" estimates as follows:

-------
                               A-10
          3x
                           3u    °
                         '  3z   z
3v

                max

                       3v

                             max
                             r-
                           3v    max
                         ' 8z   z
     w
3w ^  max
      x
             3w
                  W
                   max
                                          W
                                     3w n  max
                                          —
If we now define ratios as
          V             W
           max  _ 0      max _
           U       y   ' ~U      s
            co      •*      oo
                                              (A-28)
we obtain a constant "average" matrix A:
     Ay=
           Tp
           r
  xy
 1)
  xz


 Jx
                  x
	x_
z R
          z R
           oo 2
                                 z R   R
                                  oo y   y
                       Z R   if)    R
                        00 z   xz   z
                                              (A-29)
The use of  (A-29) is considerably simpler than the corresponding
 (A-27).
Computing Details

     The program has the capability of solving both 2-D and  3-D
problems.  The solution method for the pressure equation is  LSOR,
with direct elimination as an option for 2-D problems.  Handling
of boundary conditions permits arbitrary specification of terrain
as in the standard INTERCOM? air quality simulator.  The program
has a restart capability and an automatic time step control, based
on the convective stability condition:
          At <
       mm
                             Ay   Az,
                                   w
                                              (A-30)

-------
                               A-ll
The condition (III-5) alone is not sufficient for stability in
all cases, but it is always necessary.

     The optional modes in which the program can run include the
laminar viscosity case, a constant density case, and different
input velocity profiles.

-------
                                            B-l
                                        APPENDIX B


•V
*             COMPARISON OF MEASURED AND CALCULATED RESULTS
                   Results for Test 1 through 11 are summarized in the follow-
              ing tables.   Tests 2 and 6 have been omitted because they were
              for easterly winds and contained only a few data points at the
              monitors north of the release point.  Test 2, for example, con-
              tained only two groundlevel measured points.

                   A few comments concerning each test result are included in
              the appendix.
 * j
 ,1

-------
                                   B-2
               COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED VALUES

                        TEST NO. 1 - UP-CANYON
Location

Deer Cr-Mtnghouse

White Ridge(1)
            (2)
            (3)
            (4)

Wild Draw(l)
          (2)

Wild Horsed)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Red Face(l)
         (2)

Wet Man(l)
       (2)
       (3)
       (4)
Measured
 yg/m3
  0.5
  0.3
  0.1
  0.6
  1.6
  1.3
  0.8
                                           Calculated, yg/m'
INTERCOMP   EPA   GAUSSIAN

            1.6
2.0

1.3
1.0
0.7
0.3

0.7
0.5

0.5
0.2
0.1
            1.2
                          0.9
            0.9
                          0.6
                          0.6
                          0.5
                                   1.8
1.3
                     1.0
1.0
                     0.7
                     0.7
                     0.6
     Comments
                                                                        *
          Test No. 1 was a stack top release under Pasquill B stability.
     Each of the models gave calculated results which peaked closer to
     the stack than the measured results would indicate.  As a conse-   *
     quence, the calculated results are decreasing while measured values
     are still increasing.  This resulted in a negative correlation
     coefficient, R = -0.56.                                            *

          Comparison of the calculated and measured results indicate
     the calculations would be in better agreement if the stability
     were more nearly class C.

-------
                                   B-3
        COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                      TEST NO. 3 - UP-CANYON
Location

Deer Cr-Mtnghouse

White Ridged)
            (2)
            (3)

Wild Draw(l)
          (2)

Wild Horsed)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Red Faced)
         (2)

Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
Measured
 yg/m3
  1.7
  0.4
  3.4
  0.3

  4.3
  2.4
  2.2
  2.6
  1.8
                                         Calculated, yg/m"
INTERCOM?

   1.2

   0.7
   0.7
   0.7

   1.8
   1.4

   3.0
   2.8
   2.5
   1.7

   2.5
   2.6
   2.7
   2.3

   1.6
   1.1

   1.1
   0.2
   0.0
EPA   GAUSSIAN
                          0.02
0.06
0.15
0.17
                          0.34



                          0.34


                          0.43
0.04


0.09



0.26



0.34
         0.77
         0.77
         0.86
     Comments

          Test 3 calculations from the INTERCOM? model are in fair
     agreement with the measured results.  A more northerly wind
     direction than the 135° would have improved the calculated
     result.  Gaussian results have not reached the peak concentra-
     tion within the monitored area.  The correlation coefficient
     between INTERCOM?'s calculation and the measurements was
     0.67.

-------
                                    B-4
          COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                         TEST NO. 4 - UP-CANYON
                        Measured
Location

Deer Cr-Mtnghouse

White Ridged)
            (2)

Wild Draw(l)
         (2)

Wild Horsed)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Red Faced)
         (2)

Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
                  Calculated, pg/m'
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.4
INTERCOMP
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
o.i.
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
EPA
0.0
0.0
0.01
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
GAUSSIAN
0.0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.06
0.06
0.06
      Comments

           Test 4 calculated results from the INTERCOMP model were
      generally at the correct magnitude.  There were few measured
      points available for comparison.  This is a high wind neutral
      stability case, 10 m/sec.  Because the measured concentrations
      are so uniform, the linear correlation coefficient came out
      negative, R = -0.54, even though the results appear reasonably
      good.

-------
                              B-5
   COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES
Location
Deer Cr-Mtnghouse
White Ridge (1)
(2)
(3)
Wild Draw(l)
(2)
Wild Horsed)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Bear Creek (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Red Faced)
(2)
Wet Man(l)
(2)
(3)
(4)
TEST NO. 5 -
Measured
yg/m3
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.6
0.8
1.0
1.3
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.2
UP-CANYON
Calculated, y
INTERCOMP EPA
0.5 0.01
1.0
1.0 0.03
0.5
}'l 0.07
j, • D
1.0
IJ °-°8
1.0
1.0
!• 0 017
1.0 U'i/
1.0
°'5 0 17
0.5 °'1/
0.7
0.6 0 lfi
0.5 °'18
0.1
g/m3
GAUSSIAN
0.02
0.04
0.11
0.15
0.33
0.33
0.37
Comments

     Test 5 has been discussed in some detail in the text.
The results are generally good as evidenced by the 0.76 cor-
relation coefficient.

-------
                                   B-6
         COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                        TEST NO. 7 - DOWN-CANYON
                        Measured
Location

0.6 km

1.2 km

Trail(1)
     (2)
     (3)
     (4)

Mill Fork(l)
          (2)
          (3)

Rilda(l)
     (2)
     (3)
     (4)

Bear Creek(1)
           (2)
           (3)
           (4)

Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
        (4)
                   Calculated, yg/m"
               INTERCOM?   EPA   GAUSSIAN
1.0
0.9
1.1
0.3

1.6
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.
0,
0.
0,
0.1
                  0.0
                  0.0
0.2
0.3
0.5
1.0
1.5
1.5
0.5

0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1

0.7
0.8
1.0
1.1

0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
135

 43



 17




 10
770

240



 86




 58




 34
          24
                                     24
     Comments

          Test 7 was the stable down-canyon release,  but  unlike
     the remaining stable cases was an elevated wall  release.
     The measured results as the photographic  evidence  indicated
     in the Huntington report were considerably influenced  by
     the flow up the shaded canyon wall.   The  correlation coeffi-
     cient for this test was extremely low, only  0.06.

-------
                                   B-7
        COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                      TEST NO. 8 - DOWN-CANYON
Location

0.6 km

1.3 km

Trail(1)
      (2)
      (3)
      (4)

Mill Fork(l)
         (2)
         (3)

Rilda(l)
      (2)
      (3)
      (4)

Bear Creek(1)
          (2)
          (3)
          (4)

Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
        (4)
Measured
 ug/m3

   30

   25

   27
    4
                                           Calculated, yg/m"
    5
    3
    2
  1.3
  0.8
  0.5
INTERCOM?

   280

   120

    23
    20
   0.5
   0.0

     5
     3
   0.5

     8
     3
   0.7
   0.0

     5
     3
     2
   0.2

   1.5
   0.3
   0.0
   0.0
EPA

185

 60



 25




 12
GAUSSIAN

   1070

    325



    120
                                      80
                                      46
           33
                                      33
     Comments

          Test 8 results were in good agreement with the measure-
     ments.  The linear correlation coefficient for this test was
     0.77.  Most of the disagreement between calculated and measured
     results occurred at the closest two monitor points to the
     release point.  The peak concentrations in the release must
     have flowed around these monitor stations because higher con-
     centrations were often recorded downstream.  The flow solution
     in the INTERCOMP model did not reflect this result.

-------
                                    B-8
         COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES

                       TEST NO. 9 - DOWN-CANYON
Location

0.6 km

1.3 km

Trail(1)
     (2)
     (3)
     (4)

Mill Fork(l)
         (2)
         (3)

Hilda(1)
     (2)
     (3)
     (4)

Bear Creek(1)
          (2)
          (3)
          (4)

Wet Man(l)
        (2)
        (3)
        (4)
Measured
 yg/m3

   6

  12

  24
  16
   8
   7
   6
   2
  12
   6
   2
                                            Calculated, yg/m"
INTERCOM?   EPA   GAUSSIAN
    90

    50

    16
     2
   0.0
   0.0

     3
   0.5
   0.0

     2
     1
   0.0
   0.0

   1.5
     1
   0.3
   0.0

   0.5
   0.0
   0.0
   0.0
37

12
210

 48



 16




 11
      Comments

           Test No. 9 calculations did not agree well  with the
      measured results.  This was one of  the  tests mentioned as
      being more stable than class F.  INTERCOM? calculations as
      well as the Gaussian results would  have been in  better agree-
      ment if the more stable atmospheric condition  has  been used.
      The correlation coefficient was equal to 0.05.

-------
                              B-9
   COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES
Location
0.6 km
1.2 km
Trail (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Mill Fork(l)
(2)
(3)
Rilda(l)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Bear Creek (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Wet Man(l)
(2)
(3)
(4)
TEST
Elevation
Ft.
7170
7120
7120
7250
7870
8200
7010
7250
7700
6940
7240
7550
7950
6790
6910
7090
7170
7170
7330
7400
7650
NO. 10 -
Measured
yg/m3
25
35
9.5
19.0
3.7
3.4
6.1
2.1
3.4
2.8
2.0
-
DOWN-CANYON
Calculated,
INTERCOM? EPA
186 105
80 32
15
14 13
0.5 1J
0.0
5.0
2.5 7
0.0
5.5
2.50 4
0.2 *
0.0
3.5
2.5
1.5 J
0.2
1.5
0.5
0.0 J
0.0
3
yg/m
GAUSSIAN
590
180
60
40
25
15
15
Comments

     Test No. 10 results were in good agreement with the
measurements.  This test is discussed in detail in the text.
The correlation coefficient was 0.74.

-------
                              B-10
    COMPARISON MEASURED AND CALCULATED GROUNDLEVEL VALUES
Location
0.6 km
1.3 km
Trail (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Mill Fork(l)
(2)
(3)
Rilda(l)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Bear Creek (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Wet Man(l)
(2)
(3)
(4)
TEST NO. 11
Measured
pg/m3
210
210
200
60
130
80
32
2.6
3.0
2.0
0.6
-
- DOWN-CANYON
Calculated ,
INTERCOM? EPA
240 140
103 45
19
18 18
0.5 18
0.0
6.4
5.2 10
0.2
7.1
3.2 fi
0.3 6
0.0
4.5
3.2
1.9 b
0.3
2.0
0.5 ,-
0.0 D
0.0
yg/m
GAUSSIAN
800
250
90
60
35
25
25
Comments

     This test was again one of those mentioned as being
more stable than class F.  The INTERCOM? calculation again
appears low and would have been in better agreement if a
more stable class could have been used.  The correlation
coefficient was 0.68.

-------
                                          B-l I
TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1 REPORT NO. 2.
EPA-450/3-75-059
4. TITLE A\D SUBTITLE
Evaluation of Selected Air Pollution Dispersion
Models Applicable to Complex Terrain
7 AUTHOR(S)
Ronald B. Lantz, Antonin Settari, and
Gale F. Hoffnagle
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
INTERCOM? Resource Development & Engineering, Inc.
2000 West Loop South, Suite 2200
Houston, Texas 77027
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Environmental Protection Agency
Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711
3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
5. REPORT DATE
Prepared September 18, 197^
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT
NO.
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
2AC 1 29
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
68-02-1085
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
FINAL July 19,1973-Sept. , 197
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT

        A comparison has been made of three models which  attempt to predict the
   dispersion of pollutants frr situations with  complex terrain.   The three models
   are 1)  a Gaussian calculation with terrain assumptions known  as the NOAA model,
   2)  an EPA model, C4M3D also known as the "valley"  model,  which substitutes dif-
   ferent terrain assumptions in the Gaussian calculations,  and  3) the INTERCOM?
   combined wind flow and plume dispersion model which uses  a numerical calcula-
   tional  method.  Predictions made by each of  these  models  are  compared to
   measurements of ambient concentration data taken  in Huntington Canyon, Utah
   and at El Paso, Texas.  The results indicate that  the  INTERCOM? model has a
   predictive accuracy for terrain situations comparable  to that normally expected  for
   Gaussian predictions  in flat terrain, i.e. a factor of two to three.  For
   stable atmospheres, however, the Gaussian predictions  of  the  NOAA model averaged
   a  factor of fifteen higher than the measured results.
17.
                               KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                 DESCRIPTORS
b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS  C.  COSATI Field/Group
   Air Pol Iution
   Atmospheric Diffusion
   Mathematical Models
   Terrain  Models
  Complex terrain
  Rough  terrain
  Model  comparison
  NOAA model
  C^M3D  valley model
  INTERCOM?  air quality
     model
    13/B
     k
 1 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

   Release unlimited
19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)
  Unclassi fied
21. NO. OF PAGES
   103
                                             20 SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
                                              Unclassi fied
                                                                       22 PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)

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