5531                                                             905R78117
                       LAKE MICHIGAN STUDY:  SOME PRELIMINARY FINDINGS

                                   JUNE  1978
                                                       Great Lakes National Program
                                                         Region V,  U.S. EPA
                                                           Chicago,  IL

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    SUMMARY EVALUATION

    The open waters of Lake Michigan are still slowly deteriorating.   This
    is evidenced by reduced silica concentrations in the epilimnion,  in-
    creased phytoplankton and zooplankton levels and the increasingly
    frequent appearance of stephanodiscus and other species of phytoplankton
    indicative of mesotrophic or eutrophic conditions.   This enrichment has
    reached a stage where the waters must be considered more mesotrophic
    than oligotrophic.  The enrichment now being observed is the result of
    the high rates of loading to which the Lake was subjected during  the
    sixties and early seventies.  It is known that it requires 10-20  years
    for the open waters of the Lake to come into equilibrium with nutrient
    loadings imposed upon it.  Therefore, worsening conditions must be
    expected in the near future.  In the open lake waters, the benefits of
    reduced phosphorus loadings will be to reduce the rate of eutrophication
    and may be reflected in terms of degradation that does not occur  rather
 ~> than actual improvement.

    The abatement programs have produced positive improvements in local
    nearshore areas.  Several beaches in Lake County, Illinois and north
 "N-  Chicago have been reopened for public bathing, the incidence of taste
 "•;  and odor problems at Chicago water intakes has decreased as a result of
 ~x  the industrial abatement programs in the Calumet area. ^''  Further,
 ,/-  cladophera is no longer the problem it was during the late sixties.

 ^J  Average total phosphorus concentrations along the entire Indiana  shore-
, _  line of Lake Michigan are the lowest in the entire southern basin.  This
 ^  seems to reflect the benefits of the 1973 Indiana detergent phosphate
    ban and phosphorus removal by municipal treatment which may have  been
    implemented in recent years.  Productivity as measured by chlorophyll in
    this nearshore zone, is lower than other similar areas, e.g., Green Bay
    and the eastern shoreline near river sources.  This is expected since
    phosphorus generally controls phytoplankton production and standing
    crops in temperate lakes.

    Chloride concentrations are accumulating more rapidly over the last ten
    years than ever before.  The effects of higher chloride levels are not
    known, but there is a conbern that higher chloride levels wil'l encourge
    the growth of stephanodiscus and other filamentous algae.  If this
    occurs, it may affect the cost of water filtration plant operation where
    plants draw their water from the nearshore zone.

    Sulfate, which was increasing rapidly during the sixties, appears to
    have leveled off with virtually no increase since 1970 in the southern
    basin. This may be attributable to the discontinuation of sulfuric acid
    pickling by the steel industry and to reduced use of high sulfur  fuels.

    The concentration of DDT in Lake Michigan fish has decreased steadily
    since 1969.  In 1976, it was down to approximately 10% of 1969 con-
    centrations. This is the result of the ban on the use of DDT, and shows
    that even a persistent compound such as DDT will disappear if its source
    is eliminated.   Figure 1.
                                                                                      \

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PCB concentrations were slightly lower in 1976  than  in  previous  years
for all three species tested - coho salmon,  brown  trout,  and  chub.   It
is not certain if this is the start of a downward  trend or  a  random
perturbation of the data.  PCB compounds are very  similar to  DDT.   Their
manufacture in the United States has ceased  and their use has  been
restricted to sealed electrical components.   Unfortunately  PCBs  were
used for a great many things whereas DDT was used  almost  exclusively as
a pesticide.  This makes it far more difficult  to  eliminate the  input of
PCB compounds to the lake.  It is now estimated that 80%  -  90% of the
PCBs reaching the lake come by way of atmospheric  fallout.  They get
into the atmosphere when materials containing PCBs are  incinerated.
There is also evidence that PCB compounds escape from land  fills through
gas vents.  There is no question that the problem  of PCB  contamination
in Lake Michgian fish will eventually dissipate.   It may  have started
already, but it is likely to be a much slower process than  the dis-
sipation of DDT which has gone down 90% in seven years.

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TROPHIC STATE

The definition of the trophic state of a lake  is  primarily  a subjective
process.  There is general  agreement that eutrophication  is an  aging
process and that young or oligotrophic lakes are  nutrient-poor  and  old
or eutrophic lakes are nutrient-rich.   Figure  2 summarizes  some of  the
methods used to classify lakes.

Figure 3 characterizes the lake  according to three criteria: Phyto-
pi ankton, chlorophyll a_, and total  phosphorus.  These  criteria  indicate
that the open waters of the southern basin are on the  border between
oligotrophy and mesotrophy.  The nearshore waters are  clearly mesotrophic.
The open waters at the extreme southern end represented by  Station  1
are definitely mesotrophic.  The open waters in the transition  area
between the northern and southern basins of the Lake represented by
Station 26 are still somewhat oligotrophic.

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              10
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                           Phosphorus uglJt
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                                           Secchi Depth m~-' x 30
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                         Water Supply Problems Taste and Odor-Fifter Clogging
                                Phytoplankton Species Change
                               Zooplankton Species Change
                               Benthos Species Change
                               Heavy Cladophora Growths
                                  Dissolved Oxygen Problems
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PHOSPHORUS

Phosphate phosphorus is one of the major nutrients  required  for  plant
nutrition and is utilized roughly in a ratio of 1  to  15  to 106 with
nitrogen and carbon.  Since it is the most easily  controlled of  the
major nutrients needed for plant  growth and usually  in  least supply,
regulation of phosphorus is the primary means for  controlling eutrophi-
cation.

Phosphates enter the lake from several major sources,  point  source
discharges which include industrial, human and detergent contributions;
tributary sources which include land drainage and  agricultural  sources;
and atmospheric deposition.

This distribution of average total phosphorus concentrations in  1976 are
shown in Figure 4.  The changes in total phosphorus concentrations from
inshore to offshore zones are consistent with important  sources  of total
phosphorus to the lake.  Important sources of total phosphorus loading
to the lake are Green Bay, the northern suburbs of  Chicago,  the  Benton
Harbor area, the Grand Haven-Muskegon area, and the Ludington-Manistee
area; conspicious by its absence is the Indiana Harbor area.

Changes in the expected pattern in the Calumet-Indiana Harbor, area may
be due to the detergent phosphorus ban in the State of Indiana.   Near-
shore phosphorus concentration in Indiana waters are  actually lower than
in adjacent open-lake waters.  This is remarkable  in  view of the major
municipal discharges in the area some of which do  not have adequate
treatment facilities.  The ammonia data, Figure 5,  clearly shows the
impact of these discharges.  The fact that the phosphorus data does not
show a similar impact is very significant and a strong indication that
by controlling the sources of phosphorus we can slow  or  even reverse the
eutrophication process.

Dissolved reactive phosphorus concentrations in the lake are almost
invariably less than 2 ug/1 which is the limit of  detectability  of the
analysis.  Dissolved reactive phosphorus is the form  of  phsophorus
actually used by phytoplankton for growth,  Levels  lower than 5  ug/1
indicate that there is no excess dissolved reactive phosphorus and that
the organisms are continuously recycling it.  This  supports  the  belief
that phosphorus is the controlling nutrient in Lake Michigan.

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MILWAUKEE
   CHICAGO
                                                  FIGURE 4

                                             VS. ENVIRONMENTAL
                                             PROTECTION AGENCY
                                              Lake Michigan
                                      Total Phosphorous Distributk
                                              in ug/1 -1976

                                       GREAT LAKES NATIONAL PROGRAM
                                          REGION V CHICAGO, ILLINOIS
                                                   SCALE
                                           II
                                                 Id  20   30   40  50 MILES
                                                 I   I       I
                                           10 5 0  10 nO 30  40 5r 60 70 80  KILOMETERS
                                           I J 1  III  I  1 1 1  I
                              • Buffalo

                          Michigan City
                Hammond

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                                                . ENVIRONMENTAL
                                             PROTECTION AGENCY
                                              Lake Michigan
                                           Ammonia Distribution
                                               ug/1 in 1976
                                       GREAT LAKES NATIONAL PROGRAM
                                          REGION V CHICAGO, ILLINOIS
MILWAUKEE
                                                    SCALE

                                            1° 5 °  10  20  30   40   50 MILES
                                            III  I   I   L	.I,... .J

                                            10 5 0  10 20  30 40  50  60 70  80  KILOMETERS
                                            III  I  I  I  I  I  I  I  I
   CHICAGO
                Hammond

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                                 CHLOROPHYLL

Chlorophyll is the basic chemical  compound in  the photosynthetic  process
used by all plants to convert sunlight and nutrients  into  organic matter
and oxygen.  All  algae contain chlorophyll and measuring this  pigment
can yield some insight into the amount of algae in the water.  Algal
production of chlorophyll  varies from species  to species and with
environmental and nutritional factors.  Biomass estimates  based on
chlorophyll measurements are relatively imprecise but form a major
method for estimation of productivity and algal biomass.

The average chlorophyll a  concentrations are shown in Figure 6.  The
maximum values occur nearshore south of the Green Bay outlet towards
Manitowoc Wisconsin and North from Michigan City, Indiana  to Manistee,
Michigan.

Chlorophyll a concentrations along Indiana in  the southernmost basin do
not attain the high values found near other major tributaries. This may
be linked to reduced phosphorus concentrations in the area resulting
from the detergent phosphorus ban in Indiana,  from turbidity that
reduces photosynthesis of algae, or from possible toxic effects of
industrial discharges in the area.

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                                           VS. ENVIRONMENTAL
                                           PROTECTION AGENCY
                                            Lake Michigan
                                             Chlorophyl A
                                             in ug/1 -1976
                                    GREAT LAKES NATIONAL PROGRAM
                                       REGION V CHICAGO, ILLINOIS
                                                 SCALE

                                         '050   10  10
                                                            aO  Mil tS
                                         10 5 0  10  20 30 40  50 60  70 80  KILOMETERS
                                         III  I  I  I  I  J_™_l_iL.J
CHICAGO
              Hammond

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                           SILICA
Silica is essential to diatoms which incorporate it into  their exo-
skeleton.  If other nutrients and light are available,  diatom popu-
lations will  increase causing a reduction in silica concentrations.   If
this reduction becomes severe, the diatoms are less able  to  compete  for
nutrients and other, less desirable, algae may become dominant.   This
process appears to be occurring in Lake Michigan.

Figure 7 shows the vertical  distribution of dissolved reactive silica  at
Station 26 on eight days between May 26 and October 8,  1976.   During
May, before stratification,  the vertical  silica distribution  was  virtually
constant with a surface concentration of 1.21  mg/1.  As the  season
progressed, the surface concentration of silica decreased steadily  until
it reached 0.27 mg/1 in early August.  Thereafter,  it began  to recover.
Concentrations in the hypolimnion, and particularly near  the  bottom,
increased steadily throughout the season reaching  2.76  mg/1  during
October.  This clearly shows that silica settles toward the  bottom with
diatomaceous organisms.  The total silica in the water  column remains
reasonably constant but the  silica available in the epilimnion and  the
photic zone, where virtually all of the photosynthetic  activity takes
place, is greatly reduced.

Figure 8 compares the annual silica cycle in the surface  waters at  Lake
Michigan for the years 1954, 1965 and 1976.  It shows that there  has
been a significant decrease  in silica available in  surface waters since
1954.  If this trend continues, it could lead to major  changes in the
phytoplankton species which  are dominant in the lake.

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 Chloride

 Chloride  compounds are associated with many of man's activities.  Salt
 is  used extensively for de-icing roadways in the winter.  Industrial
 processes  result in the discharge of brines.  Chlorine is added to
 wastes to  destroy bacteria and, recently, ferric chloride has been
 added to municipal waste water plants to remove phosphorus.  As a
 result, the chloride ion can be used to measure cultural pollution,
 the added  impact that modern man is making on the Lake.

 Before the extensive population growth and industrial development of
 the Lake Michigan basin, chloride concentrations in Lake Michigan were
 around 1.0 mg/1. (3)  This represented an equilibrium concentration where
 the natural sources of chloride balanced the outflow from the Lake.
 These natural sources include weathering and erosion of rocks and soils,
 and atmospheric aerosols.  The concentration increased reaching 3.0 mg/1
 by  1910.   The 1962-3 offshore samples of the lake averaged 6.5 mg/1,
 and the 1976 sampling of the entire Lake found an average of 7.9 mg/1.
 Figure 9 shows the distribution of mean chloride during 1976;  From
 these observations, the rate of chloride accumulation over this  period
 is  about 0.11 mg/l/yr.

 This accumulation rate is approximately four times that estimated during
 the period 1860 to 1910 (.025 mg/l/yr.), and greater than that estimated
 for the period 1910 to 1960 (.07 mg/l/yr.).

 Supporting information is provided by nearshore water intake records.
 Nearshore  time series data from three water filtration plants are shown
 in  figure  10.  The average annual rates of increase over the different
 time periods shown are 0.10 +_ .01 mg/1  at Milwaukee's Linwood Filtration
 plant, 0.12 ±0.1 mg/1  at Chicago's South Water Filtration Plant, and
 0.15 +_ .01 mg/1  at Grand Rapids Lakeshore Filtration plant.  Close
 inspection of these time series will show that the rate of accumula-
 tion since the 1960's is greater than the average rate during1 previous
 years.

 Calculations of loading of chloride confirm the observed rates of
 increase of chloride concentration in the open lake.  During the
 last 15 years the rate of increase ranged between 0.10 mg/1 and 0.13
 mg/1.  These increases  in concentration correspond to loadings of
 900,000 and 1,050,000 metric tons of chlorides per year.  During 1975
 chloride loadings from rivers were estimated to be 775,000 metric tons.
 Point source estimates  for direct discharge totaled 1609000 metric
 tons (5) an   The sum of these estimates,, 1,018,000 metric
 tons/year, compares quite well  with observed increases in lake con-
 centrations.

 Figure 11  compares 1963 chloride values with 1976 chloride values
 for 11 different open lake segments.  The mean rate of accumulation
 over the thirteen year  period is higher at the northern and southern
 ends of the lake then in the middle of  the lake (segments E and D}.
 This is because  of the  abatement of brine discharges from the Frankfort-
Manistee area which caused higher concentrations during 1963.  The

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nearshore zone at Frankfort-Manistee is  the only area  of  the  lake
where 1976 average chloride concentrations  are less  than  1963 con-
centrations.  Figure 12 shows the distribution of chloride  in Lake
Michigan with the highest concentrations in the Southern  basin and
the Ludington Manistee area.

In 1972-1973, salts used for road deicing amounted to  445,000 metric
tons as chloride (7).   Assuming that chlorides are conservative and
that ion exchange between chlorides  and  various soil types  are minimal,
most of the chloride used for deicing eventually reaches  the  Lake.
This source of chloride could account for approximately 40% to 45%
of the total current load.   Other factors affecting  modern  loadings
are the use of hydrochloric acid in  steel manufacture, coagulation
with chloride salts for phosphorus removal  at municipal treatment
plants and many industrial  waste treatment  processes which  use
chloride salts as coagulants.

The accelerating accumulation of chloride in Lake Michigan  may lead
to the current Lake chloride standards being violated  in  the  next
decade.  State governments  will be faced with the choice  of taking
action to reduce chloride loadings or altering their lake standards.
The State of Indiana has recently proposed  raising their  standard
from 10 mg/1 to 15 mg/1.  Illinois has a standard of 12 mg/1.

Although there is no doubt  that the  current levels of  chloride con-
centrations are far below the drinking water standard  of  250  mg/1 set
by the United States Public Health Service  which is  based on  ,taste
and not toxicity, there is  the unpleasant possibility  that  future
increases in chloride levels may lead to fundamental,  probably irre-
versible, changes in the lake's natural  biological systems.  The
extent, severity, and desirability of these changes  and the chloride
levels at which they will occur are  not  known.  The  chloride  levels
in Lake Erie are much higher than in Lake Michigan but the  effects
have been masked by the massive eutrophication that  has taken place
in that lake.  The effects  of increased  chloride levels on  a  meso-
trophic lake where phosphorus imputs are controlled  is a  subject for
research which will be required for  basic policy decisions.

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                                                        9
                                             US. ENVIRONMENTAL
                                            PROTECTION AGENCY
                                             Lake Michigan
                                          Chloride Distribution
                                             in mg/1 - 1976
                                      GREAT LAKES NATIONAL
                                         REGION V CHICAGO, IUINOPS
                                                   SCALE

                                          10 5  0   10   20  30  40   50 MILES


                                          10 5 0 10 20 30 40  50 60 70 80  KILOMETERS

                                  Soutli Haven  LiLJ-.	1-1	1....J	iL.JUnL 1
CHICAGO
                        MK higan City
              Hammond

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PLANKTON

Plankton are the small  animal  (zooplankton)  and plant (phytoplankton)
organisms that float or drift In the water at or near the  surface  and
are incapable of sustained mobility in directions counter  to  the water
currents.  Diatoms are a major form of open  water plankters and are
dominant in oligotrophic waters of the Great Lakes.   Plankton are  a
large part of the food chain base and as primary producers convert
inorganic heterotrophic nutrients to organic matter.   They use the
energy of sunlight to metabolize inorganic nutrients  and convert them to
complex organic materials.  Zooplankton and  other herbivores  graze upon
the phytoplankton passing along the stored energy to  higher organisms
which in turn use the zooplankton as food.

Information of phytoplankton and zooplankton populations and  species
distribution has application in several areas.   The kind of species and
relative percentage of total population is important  in characterization
of a lake trophic status.  These organisms are  sensitive indicators of
pollution and by their presence of absence can  indicate toxic exposure
to cultural discharge sources.  Plankton often  are a  source of taste and
odor problems and if present in large numbers increase costs  of treat-
ment at water filtration plants.  Plankton blooms can permanently  alter
the habitat and cause extreme fluctuations in dissolved oxygen con-
centrations which can adversely effect living conditions for  fish  and
other higher forms of aquatic life.  Zooplankton are  part  of  the food
chain, feeding on bacteria and phytoplankton and are  in turn  consumed by
fish.  Since phytop.lankton are the base of the  food chain  and widespread
change in their composition can have a great impact on all of the  biota
in the lake.

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                            SULFATE (S04=)

Sulfate is a conservative ion which reflects  sulfur inputs  to  the lake.
Biochemical and chemical  reactions in a well-aerated system such  as
Lake Michigan have little affect on the concentration of  sulfate  in
the water.  Thus it is useful in tracking man's  impact on the  environ-
ment.

Rising levels of sulfate in the nearshore zones  create concern because
additions of sulfide (S~) from industrial sources  demand  large amounts
of oxygen.  This is because of the rapid oxidation of sulfide  to  sulfate
and increased populations of sulfur-reducing  bacteria.

Sulfate has many sources.  Weathering and erosion  of sulfur-containing
minerals and soils remove sulfur from the watershed to the  Lake.   Human
activities add sulfates via waste discharges  from  petrochemical,  chemi-
cal, metal mining and refining, metal  working and  fabricating, and the
pulp and paper processes.

The standard for sulfate in public water supplies, which  is based on
taste and laxative effects, is 250 mg/1, much higher than levels  presently
found in Lake Michigan.

The concentration of sulfate in Lake Michigan was  increasing more rapidly
than any other ion between 1900 and 1960 based on  data compiled and
published by Beeton.  This data indicated an  average rate of increase
of 0.14 mg/l/yr.  A comparison of the 1963  data  with the  1976  data for
open lake waters shows an average accumulation rate of 0.08 mg/l/yr
(Figure 12).  A close examination of this figure indicates  that thts
increase may have leveled off completely in the  early seventies.   Averages
of data collected in the southern basin varied between 20 mg/1 and
22.7 mg/1 with an overall average of about  21 mg/1.   This compares with
the 1976 average of 21.1 mg/1 in the southern basin (Figure 13).

The water intake data (Figure 14) shows average  rates of  increase of
0.09 mg/l/yr at Milwaukee, 0.18 mg/1 at Chicago  south water filtration
plant, and 0.31 mg/l/yr at Grand Rapids. Close  examination of the
Chicago data shows a leveling off around 1970 although this is not
evident in the Milwaukee or Grand Rapids data.
Monitoring of the Calumet area     during  1965-1969  shows  a  dramatic
decrease in sulfate loadings  due to changes  in  steel  making  processes
and effluent treatment.   The  change from pickling  steel with sulfuric
acid to hydrochloric acid and the use of deep well disposal  for  spent
acids is a factor in this apparent decrease  in  sulfur accumulation  at
the southern tip of the  lake.  Another  factor  may be the  reduced use
of high sulfur fuels in  the Chicago metropolitan area.

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               Gladstone
                                                        13
                                             US. ENVIRONMENTAL
                                             PROTECTION AGENCY
                                              Lake Michigan
                                            Sulfate Distribution
                                              in mg/1 -1976
                                       GREAT LAKES NATIONAL
                                          REGION V CHICAGO,
                                                    SCALE

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                                           10 5 0  10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80  KILOMETERS
                                           Ml	I  I__L_. '  I  III
CHICAGO
               Hammond

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