EPA-600/3-83-015
                                       April 1983
      EPA COMPLEX TERRAIN MODEL DEVELOPMENT
         Second Milestone Report  -  1982
                      . by

               David G.  Strimaitis
                 Akula Venkatram
               Benjamin R. Greene
                  Steven Hanna
                 Steven Heisler
                Thomas F. Lavery
                   Arthur Bass
                  Bruce  A.  Egan
    ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGY,  INC.
696 Virginia Road, Concord, Massachusetts  01742
             Contract  No.  68-02-3421
                 Project  Officer

             Francis A. Schiermeier
      Meteorology  and  Assessment  Division
   Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory
 Research  Triangle Park,  North  Carolina   22771
   ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES RESEARCH LABORATORY
       OFFICE  OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
      U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
 RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NORTH CAROLINA   22771

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                      NOTICE

This document has been reviewed in accordance with
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency policy and
approved for publication.  Mention of trade names
or commercial products does not constitute endorse-
ment or recommendation for use.

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                                   FOREWORD

      The  Environmental  Sciences  Research Laboratory (ESRL) conducts an
 intramural  and  extramural  research  program in the physical sciences to
 detect, define,  and quantify air pollution and its effects on urban,
 regional, and global,  atmospheres and  the subsequent impact on water quality
 and  land  use.   The Laboratory is responsible for planning, implementing,  and
 managing  research and development programs designed to quantify the
 relationships between emissions  of  pollutants from all types  of sources with
 air  quality and  atmospheric  effects,  and to uncover and characterize
 hitherto  unidentified air  pollution problems.  Information from ESRL
 programs  and from the programs of other  government agencies,  private
 industry, and the academic community  are integrated by the Laboratory to
 develop the technical basis  for  air pollution control  strategies for various
 pollutants.
      The  Complex Terrain Model Development (CTMD)  project  is  designed to
 develop reliable atmospheric  dispersion  models  that are applicable  to large
 pollutant sources located  in  complex  terrain.   The first major  field study
 of this five-year program  was conducted  during  1980 at Cinder Cone  Butte
 near  Boise,  Idaho.  Data from this  field study  along with  measurements  of
 scaled physical  simulations performed in the  EPA Fluid Modeling Facility are
 being used  to quantify  the effects  of terrain obstacles  on stable plume
 dispersion.  The first milestone  report  presented  the  performance
 evaluations  of four existing  complex terrain  models  and  described the
 initial developmental stages of  two proposed  new models.   This  second
milestone report documents subsequent improvements  to  the  two new models and
 presents detailed case studies to illustrate  and contrast  various flow
 situations and ranges of model performance.
                                 A.H. Ellison
                                 Director
                                 Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory
                                     111

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                                  ABSTRACT

     The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency  (EPA) is sponsoring  the
Complex Terrain Model Development (CTMD) program, a multi-year integrated
program to develop and validate practical plume models of known reliability
and accuracy for simulating 1-hour average ground-level concentrations
downwind of elevated sources during stable atmospheric conditions  in complex
terrain.  The first major component of the CTMD was a field program
conducted during the fall of 1980 at Cinder Cone Butte (CCB), a roughly
axisymmetric, isolated 100-meter tall hill located in the broad Snake River
Basin near Boise, Idaho.  The field program consisted of ten flow
visualization experiments and 18 multi-hour tracer gas experiments conducted
during stable flow conditions.

     The CCB data were used to develop and evaluate two new, preliminary
modeling algorithms (called the Impingement and Neutral models) and to
evaluate the performance of current EPA complex terrain plume dispersion
models (Valley, COMPLEX I, COMPLEX II, and PFM).  For the model evaluations,
45 hours were selected from the 18 field experiment days.  The
meteorological and tracer data were used in a  "hands-off" mode: no
modifications were made to the models to improve their predictions.  This
study was described in the CTMD first milestone report (Lavery et. al.,
1981).

     This second milestone report documents work accomplished from fall 1981
through April 1982 to improve the Impingement  and Neutral modeling
approaches, to refine the meteorological and tracer gas data bases, and
further analyze the data to relate plume behavior and observed
meteorological conditions.

     The Wrap and Lift models (modified versions of the Impingement and
Neutral models) are described in detail, and aspects of the more general
theory of stable flow and dispersion near hills is summarized to motivate
the concepts behind these model formulations,  and to identify important
phenomena not yet incorporated into the models.  Both the new and  former
versions of the models are evaluated on a subset of the CCB data base.

     Unlike die hands-off evaluations described in the first milestone
report, the approach taken in this report is a case study analysis.  From
the 45 hours used in the first report, 14 hours were selected for detailed
individual case study to illustrate and contrast various flow situations and
ranges of model performance.

     Corrections to the UVW propeller wind set data are formulated to
account for non-cosine response characteristics of the propellers used, wake
effects of one propeller on another, and wake  effects of a propeller shaft

                                     iv

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or junction box on an adjacent propeller.  Furthermore,  adjustments  to  cup
and vane wind set data as well as UVW propeller wind  set data  are  devised to
account for wake effects  (shadowing) caused by the  supporting  tower
structure.

     New mathematical functions are developed to  fit  gas chromatograph
calibrations.  These functions provide a better fit to  the  calibration
curves.  Both SFg and Freon 13B1 concentrations are recalculated and
analyzed to estimate the  precision and the lower  quantifiable  limit of  the
analysis method.

     Lidar measurements of plume size and near-field  vertical  plume spread
angles estimated from photographs are analyzed, intercompared, and compared
with turbulence data to evaluate the consistency  between methods of
measuring plume size, and to evaluate the performance of methods of
estimating plume size from meteorological data.   The  analysis  includes
averaging times shorter than 1 minute as well as  averaging  times equal  to or
in excess of one .hour.  The comparison with turbulence  data underscores  the
importance of accounting  for spatial/temporal wind variability, and the
characteristics of this variability are explored  by means of time-series
analysis.

     Streamline heights well upwind of the hill and over the crest of the
hill are inferred from temperature profiles at the 150 m tower 2 km to  the
north of CCB, and at the  30 m tower on the south  peak of CCB.  Details of
the method employed and the implications for modeling the flow above the
dividing streamline height are discussed.

     This second milestone report also contains,  as an appendix, a report
prepared by the EPA Fluid Modeling Facility.  The report  describes a series
of wind tunnel and tow tank experiments designed  to study various  aspects of
stratified, sheared flow over a variety of simple obstacles, as well as flow
over a model of CCB.  In particular, the dividing-streamline concept is
evaluated for obstacles of differing aspect ratio embedded  in stably
stratified flows both with, and without wind shear; and  the effects of hill
slope and wind shear on the flow patterns is discussed.

     This report was submitted in partial fulfillment of  Contract  68-02-3421
by Environmental Research & Technology, Inc. under the sponsorship of the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  This report covers the period June 2,
1981 to June 1,  1982.
                                     v

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                               ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

     The authors gratefully acknowledge the cooperation of  the NOAA Wave
Propagation Lab, and Wynn Eberhard in particular, in providing us with the
reduced lidar data for so many of the CCB experiment hours  studied in this
report.  The quality and unique attributes of the lidar data have been and
will continue to be instrumental in formulating and evaluating plume
dispersion models for CCB.

     We also thank William Snyder, Roger Thompson, Robert Eskridge,
Robert Lawson, Ian Castro, J.T. Lee, Julian Hunt, and Yasushi Ogawa for
allowing us to include their draft paper as an appendix in  advance of its
possible journal publication.  Its content certainly illuminates many flow
phenomena x^hich are central to modeling pollutant plumes in complex terrain.

     Julian Hunt provided many useful suggestions for modeling the flow
phenomena at CCB.  Don DiCristofaro, Tony Curreri, and Jack Beebe performed
much of the data analysis and modeling work that forms the  basis of this
report.  And Frank Schiermeier and George Holzworth deserve much credit for
keeping the CTMD program in motion.
                                     vi

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                                  CONTENTS
Foreward	    iii
Abstract	     iv
Figures	     ix
Tables	    xix
Symbols and Abbreviations	    xxi
Acknowledgement	    xxv

1.  Introduction	  .     i
2.  Modeling Concepts	     5
     2.1  The Froude Number and Dividing Streamline Height  ....     5
     2.2  Flow in Region 1	     7
     2.3  Dispersion in Region 1	     10
     2.4  Flow in Region 2	     11
     2.5  Summary	     16
3.  Modeling of CCB  .	     17
     3.1  Model Description  	     17
     3.2  Comparison of Photographs and Lidar Plume
          Observations with Meteorological Observations   	     29
     3.3  Isentropic Analysis  .		     50
4.  Case Study Analyses	     59
     4.1  Experiment 202, Hour 4	     59
     4.2  Experiment 202, Hour 5	     74
     4.3  Experiment 204, Hour 1	     88
     4.4  Experiment 205, Hour 4	    104
     4.5  Experiment 205, Hour 5	    122
     4.6  Experiment 206, Hour 4	    136
     4.7  Experiment 206, Hour 6	    151
     4.8  Experiment 206, Hour 8 . .	    164
     4.9  Experiment 209, Hour 1	    178
     4.10 Experiment 209, Hour 7	    192
     4.11 Experiment 210, Hour 3	    207
     4.12 Experiment 210, Hour 7	    224
     4.13 Experiment 211, Hour 1	    234
     4.14 Experiment 211, Hour 5	    251
     4.1.5 Summary	    266
5.  Quality Assurance and Refinement of CCB Data . . .	    274
     5.1  Refinement of Tracer Gas Data	    274
     5.2  Refinement of Meteorological Data  	 ......    286
6.   Summary, Conclusions,  and Recommendations for Further
     Study	  .   306
     6.1  Principal Accomplishments and Key Findings .......   306
                                     vii

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     6.2  Conclusions	   311
     6.3  Recommendations for Further Study  ....  	   313
References
Appendices
     A.  The Structure of Strongly Stratified Flow Over Hills—
         Dividing-Streamline Concept 	
316
319
                                      Vlll

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                                  FIGURES
Number                                                                   Page

    1     Schematic diagram of plume behavior in stable flows
            around obstacles	        6

    2     Schematic of flow around a three-dimensional obstacle
            at very low Froude number	        8

    3     Definition of notation for describing flow in region 2 .  .       12

    4     Plume dispersion in the region of horizontal flow  ....       18

    5     Geometry used in formulating the Neutral model for high
            Froude number flows	       20

    6     Schematic used to derive the probability density function
            for specified 6m .  .  .	       23

    7     Geometry used to derive the effective radius of curvature
            Re for the portion of the hill above Hc,  and to
            incorporate the wind  direction probability
            distribution function P(6) in the Lift model	       26

    8     Observed 5-minute average iz versus iz (tower) ....'.         31

    9     Time series  of 5-minute average iz (photo)  and
            iz (tower)  from Experiment 201	       33

   10     Average tower iz versus photo iz.   Circled  points are
            those for  which Hs  =  60 m and Ht = 40 m  .........     35

   11     Observed hourly av plotted as a function of iyx
            for selected experiment hours,  based on Equation 51   .  .       37

   12     Observed hourly lidar Oy as a function of the  stability
            parameter  UO/N	         38
   13
Averages of observed individual scan lidar 0y plotted
  as a function of x for selected experiment hours  . .
                                                                         40
                                   ix

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r
                                             FIGURES
          Number

             14


             15


             16


             17


             18



             19



             20



             21



             22



             23



             24




             25


             26
Observed hourly lidar az as a function of izx for
  for selected experiment hours  	
Averages of observed individual scan lidar az plotted
  as a function of x for selected experiment hours .  .  .

Observed hourly iz at 40 m level as a function of hourly
  scalar wind speed	
Comparison of lidar-derived hourly az values and
  calculated oz	
Five minute wind speed record at 10 m elevation,  its
autocorrelogram, and its energy spectrum for
Experiment 211	
Estimated upwind height of streamlines that pass through
  the 10 m level and 30 m level of Tower B on the crest
  of Cinder Cone Butte during  Experiments 201-203 .  .  .

Estimated upwind height of streamlines that pass through
  the 10 m level and 30 m level of Tower B on the crest
  of Conder Cone Butte during Experiments 204-208  .  .  .

Estimated upwind height of streamlines that pass through
  the 10 m level and 30 m level of Tower B on the crest
  of Cinder Cone Butte during Experiments 209-213  .  .  .

Estimated upwind height of streamlines that pass through
  the 10 m level and 30 m level of Tower B on the crest
  of Cinder Cone Butte during Experiments 214-218  .  .  .

Relationship between inferred streamline heights, the
  dividing streamline height HC , and the quantities
  tim» ZA	

Height of the source streamline above the crest of CCB
  for various effective source heights inferred from
  temperature measurements at Tower A and Tower B.
  Values are scaled by the effective hill height ....

Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
  Experiment 202, Hour 4	
Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk hill
  Froude numbers above Hc for Experiment 202 ....
42


43


44


46



48



51



53



54



55



56




57


62


64

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                                  FIGURES
Number
          Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 202,  Hour 4.  ....
27

28     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
          Experiment 202,  Hour 4.	

29     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 202,  Hour 4.
         Source:  r = 1014.6 m, r = 319.0°, net height  = 13 m,
         Q = .082 g/s		

30     Observed 10-minute averages SF6 concentrations for
         Experiment 202,  Hour 4 	

31     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 202,
         Hour 4 by the Neutral and Lift models. ........

32     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
         Experiment 202,  Hour 5 .  	

33     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 202, Hour  5. ...

34     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
          Experiment 202,  Hour 5	

35     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 202,  Hour 5.
         Source:  r = 1014.6 m, 6 = 319.0°, net height  = 23 m,
         Q = .086 g/s	 .	

36     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
         Experiment 202,  Hour 5 .  .	

37     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 202, Hour 5
         by the Neutral and Lift models 	

38     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
         Experiment 204,  Hour 1 . . 	

39     Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk  hill
         Froude numbers above HC for Experiment 204 	

40     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 204, Hour  1  ...

41     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
          Experiment 204,  Hour 1  ......	

42     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 204,  Hour 1.
         Source:  r = 1035.7 m, 6 = 4.5°,  net height =  23.2 m,
         Q = .094 g/s	. .  . .>	
Page

 65


 66



 68


 69


 75


 77

 79


 80



 81


 82


 87


 92


 94

 95


 96



 97
                                    xi

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                                  FIGURES
Number
   43     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
            Experiment 204,  Hour 1	       99

   44     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 204,  Hour 1
            by the Impingement and Wrap models	      103

   45     View of the 5-minute average plume trajectory between 0325
             and 0330 MST taken from behind the release during
             Experiment 205, Hour 4	      107

   46     Preselected camera locations	      108

   47     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 205,  Hour 4	      110

   48     Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk hill
            Froude numbers above HC for Experiment 205 	      Ill

   49     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 205, Hour 4.  . . .  .      112

   50     Calculated wind direction distribution functions  for
             Experiment 205, Hour 4	      114

   51     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 205, Hour 4.
            Source:  r = 1155.1 m, 6 = 120.1°, net height = 31.1 m,
            Q = .083 g/s	      115

   52     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
            Experiment 205,  Hour 4	      116

   53     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 205,  Hour 4
            by the Neutral and Lift models	      121

   54     View of the 5-minute average plume trajectory between
             0415 and 0420 MST taken from behind the release  during
             Experiment 205, Hour 5	•  •      124

   55     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 205,  Hour 5	      125

   56     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 205, Hour 5	      127

   57     Calculated wind direction distribution functions  for
            Experiment 205,  Hour 5	      128
                                   xii

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                                  FIGURES
Number
   58     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 205 Hour 5.
            Source:   r = 1155.1 m,  6 = 120.1°,  net height = 41.1 m,
            Q = .087 g/s .  .	      129

   59     Observed 10-minute  average SF6 concentrations  for
            Experiment 205, Hour 5	      131

   60     SF6 concentrations  estimated for Experiment 205, Hour 5
             by the Neutral and Lift models	      135

   61     View of the 5-minute  average plume  trajectories  between
            0335 and 0340, and  between 0340 and  0345 MST taken from
            behind the release  during Experiment 206,  Hour 4 ....      138

   62     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 206, Hour 4	      139

   63     Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk  hill
            Froude numbers above Hc  for Experiment 206 ......        141

   64     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment  206,  Hour  4.  ....      142

   65     Calculated wind direction  distribution functions for
            Experiment 206, Hour 4	      143

   66     Observed SFg concentrations  for Experiment  206,  Hour  4.
            Source:   r = 595.9  m, 9  123.6°, net  height = 29.5 m,
            Q - .039 g/s	  .  .	      144

   67     Observed 10-minute  average SFg concentrations  for
            Experiment 206, Hour 4	      145

   68     SF6 concentrations  estimated for Experiment  206,  Hour 4
            by the Neutral and  Lift  models	      150

   69   -  Half-hour sequence  of 5-minute  average  plume trajectories
            between 0500 and  0530 MST taken from behind  the release
            during Experiment 206, Hour  6	      153

   70     Plume centroid positions calculated  from lidar data.
            Experiment 206, Hour 6.	      155

   71     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment  206, Hour  6	      156

   72     Calculated  wind direction  distribution  functions  for
            Experiment 206, Hour 6	      157
                                   xiii

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                                  FIGURES
Number
   73     Observed SF5 concentrations for Experiment 206,  Hour 6.
            Source:  r = 595.9 m, 9 = 123.6°,  net height = 29.5 m,
            Q = .062 g/s	      159

   74     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
            Experiment 206, Hour 6.....	      160

   75     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 206, Hour 6
            by the Impingement and Wrap models	      165

   76     View of the plume trajectory at 0721 MST taken from behind
            the release during Experiment 206, Hour 8	      168

   77     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 206, Hour 8	      169

   78     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
            Experiment 206, Hour 8	      170

   79     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 206, Hour 8.
            Source:  r = 595.9 m, Q - 123.6°,  net height = 29.5 m,
            Q = .062 g/s	      172

   80     Observed 10-minute average SF6 concentrations for
            Experiment 206, Hour 8	      173

   81     SF6 concentrations estimated for Experiment 206, Hour 8
            by the Impingement and Wrap models	      177

   82     Two views of the plume trajectory at 1715 and 1746 MST
            taken from behind the release and taken off to the
            side of the release during Experiment 209, Hour 1. ...      180

   83     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 209, Hour 1		      182

   84     Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk hill
            Froude numbers above He for Experiment 209 .......      183

   85     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 209, Hour 1	      184

   86     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
            Experiment 209, Hour 1	      186

   87     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 209, Hour 1.
            Source:  r = 986.1 m, 0 = 315.9°, net height = 33 m,
            Q = .156 g/s	      187
                                   xiv

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                                  FIGURES
Number

   88     Observed 10-minute average SF6 concentrations for
            Experiment 209,  Hour 1	

   89     SF6 concentrations estimated for Experiment 209,
            Hour 1 by the Neutral and Lift models	

   90     Two views of the plume trajectory between 2320 and
            2325 MST taken from the top of the north peak and
            taken from behind the release during Experiment 209,
            Hour 7 . . 	

   91     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 209,  Hour 7. ...

   92     Calculated wind direction distribution functions  for
            Experiment 209,  Hour 7 . .  .	

   93     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 209,
            Hour 7.  Source:  r = 999.2 m, 6 = 100.9°,
            net height = 35.3 m, Q = .160 g/s	

   94     Observed 10-minute average SF6 concentrations for
            Experiment 209,  Hour 7	

   95     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 209,
            Hour 7 by the Impingement and Wrap models	

   96     Two views of the plume trajectory between 0215 and
            0220 MST taken from the top of the north peak and
            taken off to the side of the release during
            Experiment 210,  Hour 3	

   97     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 210,  Hour 3 . »  .  	

   98     Calculated dividing streamline heights and  bulk hill
            Froude numbers above HC for Experiment 210  . .  . .  .  .

   99     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 210,  Hour 3. .  .  .

  100     Calculated wind direction distribution functions  for
            Experiment 210,  Hour 3	

  101     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment  210, Hour  3.
            Source:  r = 1084.3 m,  6 = 113.7°,  net height = 49.8 m,
            Q = .169 g/s		
188
193
196

198


199



200


202


206
211


212


214

215


216



218
                                   xv

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                                  FIGURES
Number
Page
  102     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
            Experiment 210, Hour 3	;	      219

  103     SF6 concentrations estimated for Experiment 210, Hour 3
            by the Neutral and Lift models	      223

  104     Two views of the plume trajectory between 0615 and 0620,
            and between 0610 and 0620 MST taken from the top of the
            south peak and taken from behind the release during
            Experiment 210, Hour 7	      226

  105     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 210, Hour 7	      228

  106     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
            Experiment 210, Hour 7	      229

  107     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 210, Hour 7.
            Source:  r = 1086.2 m, 6 = 122.2°, net height = 49.8 m,
            Q = .178 g/s	      230

  108     Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations for
            Experiment 210, Hour 7	      231

  109     SF6 concentrations estimated for Experiment 210, Hour 7
            by the Neutral and Lift models	      236

  110     Plume centroid positions calculated from lidar data.
            Experiment 211, Hour 1...... 	      239

  111     Calculated dividing streamline heights and bulk hill
            Froude numbers above HC for Experiment 211  	        241

  112     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 211, Hour 1	      242

  113     Calculated wind direction distribution functions for
            Experiment 211, Hour 1	      243

  114     Observed SF6 concentrations for Experiment 211, Hour 1
            Source:  r = 1001.2 m, 6 = 101.4°, net height = 25.3 m,
            Q = .179 g/s .  .	      245

  115     Observed 10-minute average SFfc concentrations for
            Experiment 211, Hour 1	      246

  116     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 211, Hour 1
            by the Impingement and Wrap models	      250
                                      xv i

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                                  FIGURES
Number
                                                                         Page
  117     Three views of the plume trajectory between 0410  and  0415,
            and between 0450 and 0455 MST taken from behind the
            release,  taken from the top  of the south peak,  and  taken
            off to the side of the release during Experiment 211
            Hour 5	     255

  118     Tower A wind speeds during Experiment 211, Hour 5	     257

  119     Calculated  wind direction distribution functions  for
            Experiment 211, Hour 5	     258

  120     Observed SFg concentrations for Experiment 211, Hour  5.
            Source:   r = 1155.1 m,  6 = 120.1°,  net height = 11.1 m,
            Q = .175  g/s		     259

  121     Observed 10-minute average SF6 concentrations  for
            Experiment 211,  Hour 5.....	     260

  122     SFg concentrations estimated for Experiment 211,  Hour 5
            by the Impingement and  Wrap  models  .  .	     265

  123     Least-squares  fit of old  calibration  function  to  calibration
            of gas chromatograph No.  7,  S^, with  SFg at  0615 MST
            on November  11,  1980.   Note  the consistent over-prediction
            of concentrations by the least-squares  fit below
            1,000 ppt	     276

  124     Least-squares  fit of new  calibration  function  to  calibration
            of gas chromatograph No.  7,  S^, with  SF6 at  0615 MST
            on November  11,  1980.   The new function  fits  concentrations
            below 1,000  ppt better  than  the old function shown  in
            Figure 123	     278

   125    Least-squares  fit of power-law function to calibration
            of the AID gas  chromatograph with SFfc at  0600 MST on
            November  11,  1980	     279

   126    Least-squares  fit of power-law function to calibration
            of the AID gas  chromatograph with Freon  13B1 at
            0615 MST  on  November 11,  1982	     280

   127    Fu,  fraction of cosine  response  of U-propellor, from
            wind tunnel  experiments  as a  function of wind direction
            as mounted in the field	     290
                                    xvii

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                                  FIGURES
Number
   128
   130
   131
   132
   133
   134
Fv, fraction of cosine response of V-propellor,  from
  wind-tunnel experiments as a function of wind  direction
  as mounted in the field	
   129    Fu and Fv from wind tunnel experiments  plotted
            symmetrically.
            set A only
                  Responses at 5 and 10 m/s for UVW
Difference at 150 m level of Tower A between cup-derived
  wind speed SP and propellor-derived wind speed WS  plotted
  as ratio (SP-WS)/SP as a function of vane direction DR
  before correction of data	

Sketch of geometry of tower, booms, and wind instruments
  at 150 m level, Tower A  	
                                                                        291
                                                               292
                                                                        299
                                                                        300
Difference at 150 m level of Tower A between cup-derived
  wind speed SP and propellor-derived wind speed WS
  plotted as ratio (SP-WS)/SP as a function of vane
  direction DR, after correction of data	
Difference at 150 m level of Tower A between wind
  direction DR derived from cup-and-vane set and direction
  WD derived from propellers as a function of DR before
  correction	

Difference at 150 m level of Tower A between wind
  direction DR derived from cup-and-vane set and wind
  direction WD derived from propellers after correction.  .
                                                                        302
                                                                        304
                                                                         305
                                    xviii

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                                   TABLES
Number

 1

 2


 3

 4
10
11
12
13
14
15
                                                              Page

Comments on Tower and Photo iz Observations 	 . .      34

Time Periods at Which Maximum Turbulent Energy Occurs
   for Six CCB Experiments	    49

Summary of Data Used to Select Case Study Hours	    60

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 202,
   Case Hour 4	.   ,73

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 202,
   Case Hour 5	    85

Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 204,
   Case Hour 1	   102

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 205,
   Case Hour 4	   120

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 205,
   Case Hour 5	•	   134

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 206,
   Case Hour 4	   149

Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 206,
   Case Hour 6	   163

Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 206,
   Case Hour 8	   176

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 209,
   Case Hour 1	   191

Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 209,
   Case Hour 7	   205

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 210,
   Case Hour 3	   222

Neutral and Lift Model Calculations - Experiment 210,
   Case(Hour 7	   235
                                    ,xix

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                                   TABLES
Number                            •                                       Page

16         Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 211,
              Case Hour 1		   249

17         Impingement and Wrap Model Calculations - Experiment 211,
              Case Hour 5	•   264

18         Summary of Meteorological Data and the Associated Tracer
              Plume Behaviors	   267

19         Summary Performance Statistics for the Lift and Neutral
              Models	   271

20         Summary of Peak Modeled and Observed 1-Hour Average
              SF6 Concentrations	     273

21         Average Absolute Precent Differences of Recount Data
              by Concentration Ranges	.	   282

22         Cumulative Frequency Distribution of SF6 Concentrations  .     284

23         Precision of SF6 Analysis	     285

24         Average Fractions of Cosine Response Shown by U and V
              Propeller Anemometers:  CCB Field Data, CSU Wind
              Tunnel Data, and Value Applied as Correction Factor
              to Field Data	   295

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 SYMBOL
                       LIST OF SYMBOLS AND ABREVIATIONS
 a(z)
 a
  m
 a
  s
 A
 B
 13
 B
 C
 C
 ci
 C
  max
d
d
6
D

Au,Av,Aw
E
F ,F
 u  v
Fr.
Fr,
H
 Radius of an ideal hill in horizontal cross-section
 Angular horizontal plume spread, including meander
 Angular horizontal plume spread, without meander
 Least-squares fit calibration factor
 Least-squares fit calibration factor
 Stable boundary layer profile constant
 Plume horizontal distortion factor
 Assumed wind speed deficit in the center of a tower wake
 Concentration
 Instantaneous concentration
 Maximum hourly averaged concentration
 Observed concentration
 Modeled concentration
 Wind  speed  tower wake deficit  correction
 Refined correction factor  for  a
                               $
 Distance  of  the  source from the  stagnation  point
 Absolute  percent  deviation
 Thickness of  the  inner surface layer
 Effective radius  of curvature minus the  dividing streamline
 height
 Velocity perturbations
 Plume spread angle in  the vertical
 Correction factor for a,
                       *
 Fraction of cosine response in propellor data
 Froude number based upon hill height
 Froude number based upon hill length
Acceleration due to gravity
                                    xx i

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h
H
Hd
H
e
GC
0c
e
 w
L
Lm
n
n
 m
N
N
P
P'
P(0)
Q
r,0,z
P
R
Re
s
s
 a
a
CT0
a
 w
Terrain height function
Hill height (crest)
Critical dividing streamline height
Plume height at the source
Instrument height on meteorological tower

Streamline deflection in the vertical
Streamline deflections due to hill slope and wind shear
Wind direction
Mean wind direction of approach flow
Wind direction along center of tower wake
Potential temperature
Turbulence intensities alongwind, crosswind, and verticle
von Karman constant
Vertical length scale of turbulence
Half-length (horizontal alongwind scale) of the hill
Monin-Obuhkov length scale
Number (in a summation)
Height of plume streamline over the hill crest
Number (in a summation)
Brunt—Vaisala frequency
Pressure
Pressure perturbation
Wind direction probability distribution function
Tracer emission rate
Polar coordinate system
Density
Response of GC
Effective radius of curvature
Distance from source to receptor
Distance along terrain from impingement point to receptor
Standard deviation
Standard deviation of horizontal wind direction
Standard deviation of vertical velocity fluctuations
                                    xxi i

-------
v
a  ,., cr  .
 yf  zf
T
T
 c
T
 m
T
 max
To
u,v,w
uo
u*
U
 m
W
x
Xr'yr'Zr
VyR'zR
ZA
Standard deviation of wind flow elevation angle
Crosswind and vertical standard deviation of tracer
concentrations
Crosswind and vertical standard deviation of tracer
concentrations in flat terrain setting
Scorer parameter
Integral time scale
Time period for P(6)
Terrain factor
Terrain factor computed by model
Time period at which maximum turbulent energy occurs
Terrain factor computed from observed concentrations.
Wind tunnel wind speed measurements - UVW props
Wind tunnel flow speed
Surface friction velocity
Approach flow wind speed profile
Wind flow elevation angle
Plume spread distortion angle
Indicator function for P(6)
Width of tower wake
Distance downwind from source
Tracer release coordinates
Receptor coordinates
Roughness length
Plume release height
Streamline height at tower A inferred from isentrope
analysis
ABBREVIATIONS
AGE
CCB
CTMD
DBMS
EPA
Absolute Gross Error
Cinder Cone Butte
Complex Terrain Model Development
Data Base Management System
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                    xxiii

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ERT
ESRL
FMF
GC
Hz
MRI
MST
NAWC
NOAA
ppb
ppt
PDF
RMSE
RTD
TRC
WPL
Environmental Research & Technology
Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory
Fluid Modeling Facility
Gas chromatograph
Hertz
Meteorology Research, Inc.
Mountain Standard Time
North American Weather Consultants
National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration
Parts per billion by volume
Parts per trillion by volume
Probability distribution function
Root mean square error
Resistance Thermometric Device
TRC Environmental Consultants, Inc.
Wave Propagation Laboratory
                                    xxiv

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                                  SECTION 1
                                INTRODUCTION

     The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Complex Terrain Mo.del
Development (CTMD) program is a multi-year study to develop improved models
for calculating ground-level air pollutant concentrations that result from
large emission sources located in mountainous terrain.  These models are to
be used in a wide variety of applications, such as the siting of new
energy-development facilities and other air pollution sources, regulatory
decision making, and environmental planning.  Therefore, the models should
be easy to understand, easy to use with conveniently obtained meteorological
data as inputs, and of known accuracy and limitations.

     In July 1979 the EPA convened an expert technical workshop to consider
the issues and problems of simulating air pollutant dispersion in complex
terrain (Hovind et al. 1979).  The objective of the workshop was to
recommend the design of a research program to support the development of
improved complex terrain models.  The consensus of the workshop was that the
EPA should conduct field tracer experiments to provide data for model
development and testing.  The participants recommended starting with
controlled field experiments on relatively isolated terrain features with
simple geometric shapes and then proceeding to a large-scale experiment in
the vicinity of an operating power plant.

     Following the workshop recommendations, the EPA developed a conceptual
design for a multi-year integrated program with emphasis on the "production
of a useful model (or models) with demonstrated reliability and prescribed
applicability" (Holzworth 1980).  During the field measurements and
laboratory experiments, the observational needs of the modelers were to be.
foremost in importance.  The program was perceived as "an integrated and
highly coordinated effort that involves:

     1)   model development/evaluation/improvement,
     2)   scaled physical modeling in a fluid modeling laboratory,
     3)   field measurements/experiments centered on isolated simple terrain
          features, and
     4)   field measurements/experiments centered on a full-scale
          plant....in terrain with opportunities for plume impaction and
          other types of plume-terrain interactions" (Holzworth 1980).

     The CTMD program was subsequently begun in June 1980.  Its primary goal
is to develop reliable, practical models to calculate 1-hour average
ground-level concentrations during stable atmospheric conditions in complex
terrain settings.  The models will be developed, refined, and evaluated

-------
using field measurement data, physical modeling results, and recent
theoretical work.

     The first major field program was conducted during  die fall of 1980 at
Cinder Cone Butte (CCB)*, a roughly axisymmetric, isolated 100-m tall hill
in the broad Snake River Basin near Boise, Idaho.  The  field program
consisted of a preliminary learning phase followed by an intensive
measurement phase.  The data base compiled at CCB includes the  following
components:

     •    Source  information:  emission rates,  locations and heights
          of SFg, CF3Br, and oil-fog releases.

     •    Meteorological data:  measurements of  the mesoscale valley  flow  in
          the vicinity of CCB as well as information on flow and dispersion
          on and  over CCB itself.

     •    Tracer  gas concentrations on  the hill  surface:  data  from more
          than 14,000 individual bag samples collected  over the 18 days of
          experiments from as many as 80 sampler  locations in a given
          experiment.

     •    Lidar data:  sections across  the plume characterizing the plume
          trajectory and plume spread upwind of CCB.

     •    Photographic data:   still photographs taken  from fixed  locations
          on and  around CCB, aerial photographs  taken  from an aircraft
          flying  overhead, and (occasional)  16  mm movies and videotapes.

     The CCB data were used  to develop  and evaluate  two new, preliminary
modeling algorithms   (called the  Impingement  and Neutral models)  and  to
evaluate the performance of  current  EPA complex terrain plume dispersion
models  (Valley,  COMPLEX  I, COMPLEX II,  and PFM).  The  Impingement model
simulates dispersion during  strongly  stable  flows in which plumes  remain
approximately horizontal and impinge  on and  travel  around the  sides  of CCB.
The  Neutral model simulates  dispersion  during  slightly stable and  neutral
flows  in which  plumes  rise over  CCB.   For  the  model  evaluations,  45 hours
were selected  from  the 18  field  experiment days. The  meteorological  and
tracer  data were  used  in a "hands-off"  mode:  no modifications were made  to
 the  models  to  improve  their  predictions.
 *The prime contractor for the CTMD is Environmental Research and Technology,
  Inc. (ERT).   Its principal subcontractors for the CCB experiments were
  Western Scientific Services, Inc. (WSSI), responsible for fixed
  meteorological data (towers, instrumentation and data communication) and
  North American Weather Consultants (NAWC), responsible for the experimental
  field program (tracer and smoke releases, tracer data collection,
  photography, mobile meteorology, and field logistics).  In allied
  activities,  the EPA Fluid Modeling Facility (FMF) has provided laboratory
  fluid modeling support; the NOAA Wave Propagation Laboratory (WPL) has
  supported the field program with a manned lidar system; and TRC
  Environmental Consultants, Inc. has provided independent data audits.

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     The CTMD first milestone report (Lavery et al. 1981) describes  the air
quality models that were evaluated, the evaluation methods, and overall
model performance.  The report also provides comparative statistics  of the
model evaluations.  The CCB field experiments and associated quality
assurance activities are also described.

     This second milestone report documents work accomplished  from fall 1981
through April 1982 to improve the Impingement and Neutral modeling
approaches, to refine the meteorological and tracer gas data bases,  and
further analyze the data to relate plume behavior and observed
meteorological conditions.  Unlike the hands-off evaluations described in
the first milestone report, the approach taken in this report  is a case
study analysis.  From the 45 hours used in the first report, 14 hours were
selected for detailed individual case study to illustrate and  contrast
various flow situations and ranges of model performance.

     The meteorological data, lidar data, and plume photographs were
analyzed in detail to describe the evolution of the observed hourly  average
SFg concentrations.  Each hour was modeled with both the earlier and the
current versions of either the Impingement or the Neutral model.  The
results are encouraging:  the modified models tend to give more realistic
simulations and less scatter between model estimates and observations.  It
must be emphasized, however, that although the models show progress, much
more can be done with the CCB data to further improve the models.

     The model nomenclature used in this report will retain  the "Neutral"
and "Impingement" labels for the two algorithms discussed  in the first CTMD
milestone report.  However, names more reflective of the central plume path
assumptions of each of  these models will be used to refer  to the latest
versions of these algorithms.  The modified Neutral model will be called the
Lift model because its  formulation is applicable to plumes  that pass freely
over the top of a hill.  The modified Impingement model will be called the
Wrap model because its  formulation is applicable to plumes which impinge on
and wrap around a hill.  This terminology will hopefully avoid potential
misunderstandings about when these models should be applied.   For example,
in one particular stable flow, a plume released at one height  may lift
freely over the top of  a hill, but one released closer  to  the  surface might
run into the hill and wrap around  the sides.  Consequently,  some plumes in
decidedly non-neutral flows may still lift over terrain, as  in the Neutral
(or Lift) model, and the application of neutral flow modeling  techniques is
appropriate.

     In January 1982, EPA exercised Option 1 of the CTMD program.  The work
under this option includes continuing model development and  evaluations with
the CCB data and performing a second small hill impactipn  study at the
Hogback* (a long, roughly 100 m tall ridge near Farmington,  New Mexico).
The information collected at the Hogback will enlarge the  modeling data base
to include measurements of flows and tracer gas concentrations in  the
vicinity of a  long ridge.  It is expected that  these new data  will provide  a
good basis for-testing  and extending the dividing streamline concept for
two-dimensional ridges.

-------
     This report consists of five major sections.   Section 2 discusses  the
modeling concepts and physical principles  that  form the basis  for  the CTMD
program.  Section 3 provides details on the Impingement, Wrap,  Neutral  and
Lift models and how they are applied to the CCB data base.  The case study
analyses are given in Section 4.  The refined meteorological and tracer gas
data bases are discussed in Section 5.  Section 6 presents the  summary  and
conclusions, and gives recommendations for further  work, including  the
second small hill study.
*ERT is continuing to provide overall project management  and  is  conducting
 the modeling and analysis tasks.  Through an Interagency Agreement with
 EPA, NOAA Air Resources Laboratory Field Research Office (ARLFRO) will
 conduct the flow visualization and tracer experiments during the next field
 program.  NOAA WPL will provide  lidar and other  remote meteorological
 measurements.

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                                  SECTION 2

                             MODELING CONCEPTS

     This section reviews the physical processes that govern the dispersion
of pollutants around obstacles placed in stable flows.  The primary emphasis
is on the results obtained from simple models of dispersion and flow around
hills.  This section provides the basis for the models applied to the CCB
data base and described in Section 3.
2.1  The Froude Number and Dividing Streamline Height

     Although the complete physics of dispersion around obstacles in stably
stratified flows is complicated and only partially understood, for an ideal
flow with a constant velocity U0 and; Brunt-Vaisala frequency N approaching
a hill of height H, the essential flow properties are described by the hill
Froude number,
     FrH =
                                                                          (1)
The hill Froude number is the square root of the ratio of the kinetic energy
of the approaching fluid to the potential energy it acquires in surmounting
the hill.

     Experiments and theory (Sheppard 1956, Drazin 1961, Hunt and Snyder
1980, Snyder, Britter and Hunt 1980, Rowe et al. 1981) indicate that the
Froude number describes two distinct regimes of flow around the hill
(Figure 1).  In region 1, which extends from the base of the hill to a
height H(l - Frji), the flow does not have enough kinetic energy to go over
the hill and remains roughly horizontal as it goes around the hill.  (On the
downwind side, this flow separates into a recirculatitig wake.)  In region 2,
which lies above the dividing streamline that separates the two regions, the
flow has enough energy to pass up and over the hill.  The concept of the
critical dividing streamline height Hc E H(l - Frji) is related to the
notion that a fluid parcel can rise only through a height UO/N.

     If the wind speed and stratification are functions of height (as is
generally the case), H^. is defined as follows
                   H
     i-U (H ) =
     2  o  c
J   N2(z)(H - z)dz
(2)
               H

-------
o>
U

Oj
O
!H
rt

10

O
 cS
 C
• H


 tl
 O
•H

 rt

 0)
 O
 bo
 rt
• H
 O
 0)
 00
 •H
 IX,

-------
where UO(HC) is the wind speed at z
Brunt-Vaisala frequency defined by

     N(z) = [g/9(z) O0/9z)]l/2
                               = Hc and N(z) is the local
                                                                     (3)
where g is the acceleration due to gravity, and 0 is the potential
temperature (°K).  The left-hand side of the Equation 2 is the kinetic
energy of the fluid at z = HC,  and the right-hand side is the potential
energy gained by the fluid in rising through the height H - HC.

     Note that Hc, as defined,  depends only on the height of the hill; it
does not account for the shape of the hill as "seen" by the flow.  We do not
expect a sharp boundary between regions 1 and 2; nevertheless, the concept
of a well-defined HC is useful in studying stable flows over hills.
2.2  Flow in Region 1 (Strongly Stratified Flow)

     Although the flow in region 1 is largely horizontal (i.e. ,
two-dimensional in the horizontal plane), the variation of the radius of an
idealized hill a(z) (see Figure 2) with height and the vertical velocity
gradient give rise to pressure fluctuations that cause small deflections of
the streamlines.  Drazin (1961) showed that the relationship between the
pressure fluctuation p'(x,y,z) and the deflection T)(x,y,z) of the
streamline at z is
3p'
Jltl — = _
3z
              dp
              —
(4)
and p' (calculated from two-dimensional potential theory) can be expressed
in the form
p'(r,0,z) = -J p U2 f(r/a(z),6)
                                                                         (5a)
where
     f(r/a,0) = [1 - U2(r/a,9)/Uo2]
                                                                    (5b)
and (r,0,z) are the cylindrical coordinates.  When the approach flow Uo
is uniform with height, Equations 4 arid 5 indicate that the streamline
deflection n is positive upwind of stagnation points of the hill and zero
at the stagnation points.  The streamlines are deflected downwards as the
flow passes around the sides of the hill and then recover to their initial
heights in the downwind region (Hunt and Snyder 1980).  However, when Uo
varies with height, the pattern of streamline deflections may change.
Expressions for the deflections caused by da/dz and dUo/dz can be obtained
by combining Equations 4 and 5

-------
 cd
 o  en
 etf
 C  rt
 0)
T)
    .
 O  +J
 5-i  Pi
 ed  oJ
.a   g
 
-------
            - pU2f'(r/a,e)(-r/a2)(da/dz) *
                O
                      S
                                                                         (6a)
     -pU (dU /dz)f(r/a,6) *

n" =  	&	
              8dz
                                                                         (6b)
Because dp/dz <0, then na > 0 when f' > 0 in front of the hill.
Therefore, the streamlines are deflected upward.  On the sides of the hill,
f' < 0 because the velocity decreases along r for a fixed 6.  Then
Equation 6a shows that the streamlines are deflected downward as they pass
around the sides of the hill.

     We see from Equation 6b that if the approach flow has a positive
velocity gradient (dUo/dz > 0), the deflection Tlu associated with it
depends on the sign of f.  In front of the hill, along the stagnation
streamline, f > 0 and nu is negative—the streamlines are depressed
downward.  On the sides of the hill, r\u > 0.  Even moderate values of
(dUo/dz) can make nu large.  Before Equation 6b can be used to show
this, we must point out that the theory used to formulate Equation 6b is
valid only if vertical streamline deflections are much smaller than the
vertical scale over which a(z) changes
       « a/
   da
   dz
(7)
If we put H = a/(da/dz), Equation 7 implies that r) should be much smaller
than the height of the hill.  Keeping this in mind, we will calculate nu
for typical values of the variables in Equation 6b.  Near the stagnation
point where U(r/a,6) ^0 Equation 6b becomes
              dU
            o dz
                °/N2
                                                                 (8)
Because f i/ 1 near the stagnation point, r)u has its maximum value
here.  Let Uo = 2 ms~l at z = 10 m.  Then, taking N =: 0.10 s~l
(close to the ground) we find that

     nu ^ 40 m

This calculation is valid only if H » 40 m.  However, it does suggest
that vertical shear might lead to significant downward deflection of the
streamlines even when r\ ^ H.
                                                                 (9)
*The superscripts indicate the streamline deflection caused by the
 change in hill radius (a) or wind speed (U0) with height.

-------
     To estimate the maximum size of r|a, Equation 6a is approximated
near the stagnation point where f'  'v 1 and r/a "^ 1.  Then, for
H ^ a/(da/dz),
     n
H = FrR H
                                                                         (10)
If Frjj is much less than 1, na will be much smaller than H.

     Fluid modeling studies performed by Snyder et al. and reported in
Appendix A provide experimental data on the relative effect of shear,
stratification, and hill slope on vertical streamline deflections upwind of
stagnation points.  For hills with a large slope, da/dz is small, and  the
nu deflection might be expected to overcome the na deflection.  This
tendency appears to be substantiated in the laboratory studies.  In fact,
streamline height changes are great enough to produce overturning in the
fluid, as evidenced by observed vortex formation.  For hills of lower slope
(CCB for example), da/dz is greater, and no shear-induced vortex formation
was observed in the laboratory studies.


2.3  Dispersion in Region 1 (Strongly Stratified Flow)

     We have seen that shear and the vertical variation of the radius  of the
hill can induce vertical deflections of the streamlines.  Plumes embedded in
such a flow will follow these deflected streamlines, and dispersion
calculations will have to account for this phenomenon.  Presently available
dispersion models do not do so.

     When both na and nu can be neglected so that the flow can be
considered essentially horizontal, the problem of plume dispersion can be
reduced to that of two-dimensional diffusion of a line source around a
cylinder (Hunt et al. 1979).  Figure 2 shows plume behavior under such
conditions.  The axis of the relevant cylinder is parallel to the z-axis,
and the cylinder has the cross section of the hill at release height zr.

     When the plume is directed along the stagnation streamline
corresponding to the cylinder, it will "impinge" on the hill and cause large
concentrations.  To calculate the concentration at the stagnation
(impingement) point, it is necessary to account for the divergence of the
flow as it approaches the hill.

     Hunt et al. (1979) show that the increase in Qy caused by the
diverging streamlines is almost compensated for by the decrease in U as the
stagnation point is approached, and that at the stagnation point (where U
goes to zero), (jyU is approximately the same as it would have been in
the absence of the hill.  Because az ^ aw / ds/U(s), where s is
the distance along the stagnation streamline, Gz becomes infinite (in
                                    10

-------
theory) at the stagnation point.  However, Hunt et al. (1979) show that the
explosive growth of az actually begins very close to the stagnation
point.  If the source is far enough from the hill,
                                                                         (11)
where d is the distance from the source to the stagnation point, e is a
small distance away from the stagnation point, and  3a, az is not very different from
     These arguments suggest that the concentration at the stagnation point
is approximately equal to that without the hill.  Hunt et al. (1979)
describe experiments supporting this important result.  Therefore in steady
flows, we can estimate the impingement concentration without explicitly
accounting for the presence of the hill.  However, in unsteady flows the
hill may increase the large scale meander of the winds at the source.
Because most flows are likely to be unsteady, this effect must be
incorporated in the dispersion model.

     The calculation of impingement concentrations is also complicated by
our relative lack of understanding of vertical dispersion of elevated
releases in the stable boundary layer.  Progress in this area (see Hunt
1981) will be necessary for the development of realistic dispersion models.


2.4  Flow in Region 2 (Weakly Stratified Flow)

     In region 2, the flow may go over the hill.  The hill Froude number
defined with respect to the height of the hill above HQ is unity or
greater.  Experiments and theory (Britter et al. 1981) show that with the
exception of a thin layer close to the surface of the hill, the velocity
perturbations induced by the hill can be calculated as if the flow were
inviscid.
     2.4.1  Flow in the Inner Region

     Close to the hill surface (see Figure 3), the gradient of the
perturbation shear stress is balanced by the perturbation inertia force.
Therefore
    U
          Au
                                                                         (12)
                                     11

-------

-------
where 6 is the thickness of the layer, k is the von Karman constant, Au
is the velocity perturbation, L is the half-length of the hill, and u* is
the surface friction velocity.  The velocity Uo(z) in the inner region is
assumed to be given by the stable similarity profile (Businger 1973)
          u*  r
U (z)  =  —   In
 o        k
                               m
                                                                         (13)
In Equation 13, 1^ is the local Monin-Obuhkov length, zo is the
roughness height and the constant 13 = 4.7.  Substituting Equation 13 into
Equation 12, leads to
     6  =  2k2L  n(S/z
                L
                              ,-1
                                                                    (14)
                       m
The velocity perturbation Au reaches a maximum at z
Jackson and Hunt (1975) show that
                                                     For low hills,
        Au(z=6)  -
                   U (L)H
                                                                    (15)
where for stable flows, UO(L) is given by Equation 13.

     The increase in velocity over the hill is accompanied by a depression
of streamlines over the surface.  If 6 is the initial streamline height
upwind of the hill, its height nm over the crest of a two-dimensional hill
is found by conserving mass in the surface layer
     n
      m
             U
              0(6)
           D0(6)
              Au
                         1 -
                                                                    (16)
Using Equation 13 and taking 1^ =; Bu*/N (Hunt et al. 1982),
Equation 16 becomes (approximately)
      m
     T
         -2H .
                            LN
                   u.ln(L/z
                                                                         (17)
where it is assumed that ln(L/zo)/ln(6/zo) - 2.  It is seen from
Equation 17 that an increase in stability (larger N) leads to a decrease in
nm.  This decrease would bring plume material closer to the surface.  But
the same convergence of streamlines which brings the plume closer will
distort the vertical plume spread as well; therefore,  it would seem that the
ground-level concentration on the hill would remain the same as that without
the hill if diffusion were ignored.  However, turbulence levels ffw and
av are increased in this inner layer.  This effect, together with the
larger vertical concentration gradients caused by streamline convergence,
                                     13

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might counteract the effect of streamline convergence, and the net result
might be an increase in concentration over the hill.  These processes will
have to be considered in future model development.
     2.4.2  Flow in the Outer Region

     When (H-HC)/L is small, the velocity perturbations in the outer
region can be obtained from the linearized inviscid momentum equations.
vertical velocity perturbation Aw satisfies the equation (Scorer 1949)
                                                                    The
                      + s) AW = o
                                                                    (18)
where S is the "Scorer parameter" defined by

     S = N2/U2 - (d2Uo/dZ2)/U0                                           (19)

When N and Uo are arbitrary functions of z, numerical methods can be used
to solve Equation 18.  A simple analytic solution is possible when
N2/U§ « (d2U0/dz2)/U0 (Hunt and Richards 1982).

     To illustrate the main effects of stratification on the flow, we will
consider the case when S = N2/U§ = constant.  Then Equation 18 can be
rewritten as (Smith 1980)
3x
                    v     0
                 U2  H
                  o
                                                                    (20)
where n, the vertical displacement of the streamlines, is related to Aw
through the equation

     Aw = U0nx

With the linearized boundary condition n(x,y,z = 0) = h(x,y)-Hc,
Equation 20 can be solved for the velocity perturbations using Fourier
transform techniques.  Details of the solution can be found in Smith
(1980).  For our purposes, it is sufficient to focus on the expression
for ri close to the hill's surface and we will assume Hc = 0.  Close to
the surface, the deflection is approximated by a truncated Taylor series
expansion

     Tl(x,y,z) * h(x,y) + r\z.z
                                                                    (21)
                                                                    (22)
                                     14

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 Smith (1980)  shows  that  for a bell-shaped hill described by
 h(x,y)  = H/(r2/L2 + l)3/2, r\z becomes
    *,y,o>  - IP hr-2 )
                y +L
                                                xL
                (y2+L2)(r2+L2)1/2   (y2+L2)    (r2+L2)3/2
                                                             (23)
      This  solution  is valid only  if the hill Froude number  (Frg = UO/NH)
 is  greater than one and if the Froude number based on the length of the hill
 (Frj,  =  UQ/NL)  is  less than one.   The height of a streamline above the
 hill's  surface is
     nm/zr =  1 4- nz

where z   is the upwind source height.  Because n  <0, n  is
       r                                        z      m
always less than z .  At the crest of the hill x=y=0, and
                                                             (24)
              HN
                                                                         (25)
However, the minimum n  occurs in the lee of the hill at x = 1.4.  At
this distance,
                2HN
                ~
                                                                         (26)
     In contrast to potential flow, the streamline pattern for stable flow
in region 2 is not symmetric.  The streamline (and hence a plume) can come
very close to the surface on the leeward side of the hill.  Although this
streamline depression is accompanied by streamtube contraction
(crz decreases), ground-level concentrations may be greater than in the
absence of the hill.  However, the magnitude of this concentration increase
is uncertain.  Further work is required before we can develop a formulation
for reliably estimating the effects of stratification.

     Hunt and Richards (1982) show that the velocity and streamline
perturbations can be calculated for arbitrarily shaped hills h = Hf(x,y)
in the limits of weak stratification (FrL » 1) and strong
stratification (FrL « 1).   As an example of the type of expressions
they derive,  we write nm for F^ « 1
     n
      m
NH  1
U  2ir
 o
                     II
                    hill
f(x',y')

[(x-x1)2
(x-x')dx'dy'
(y-y')2]3/2
                                    (27)
                                    15

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Note that nm "follows" the contour of the hill,  hence the dipping of the
streamline in the lee of the hill.  The calculation of Au, Av, and Aw
involves a straightforward numerical integration over the hill's contour.
2*5  Summary

     This section summarizes the concepts that will form the basis of the
modeling approach described in Section 3.

     (1)  Stable flow around an obstacle can be divided into two regions.
          In region 1, below Hc, the flow can be considered to be
          essentially horizontal.  In region 2, above HC, the flow goes
          over the hill.  Streamline behavior in region 2 may be modeled by
          assuming that the surface at HC constitutes the lower horizontal
          boundary.

     (2)  In region 1 (horizontal flow), the plume will impinge directly on
          the hill when the mean wind is along the stagnation streamline.
          Theory and laboratory experiments indicate that the concentration
          at the impingement point is approximately equal to that in the
          absence of the hill providing that dispersion rates are equivalent.

     (3)  In region 2, the streamlines approach the hill's surface at
          heights that are less than their initial heights upwind.  This
          streamline depression is accompanied by streamtube contraction.  A
          plume embedded in this flow would be lowered towards the hill's
          surface.  At the same time, az decreases because of streamtube
          contraction (streamline convergence).  Hence, the ratio of the
          change of the plume centerline height to the change in 0Z may
          vary much less than CTZ or nm individually.

     Some of the physical processes not considered in the present models and
which will be explored in future modeling efforts are:

     (1)  Vertical streamline deflection in region 1 caused by wind shear
          and hill slope.

     (2)  The interaction between streamline depression, streamline
          convergence, and turbulence for plume dispersion in region 2.
                                     16

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                                  SECTION 3
                              MODELING OF CCB
3.1  Model Description
     A complicated plume dispersion problem such as that presented by CCB
involves many physical processes.  To understand the system, it is necessary
to identify the essential variables that may control its behavior.  One way
of doing this is to construct a simple model with empirical parameterization
of important effects.  Testing this type of model against observations can
lead to an understanding of the controlling physical variables.  This
approach to modeling, adopted to guide new model development, relies heavily
on the analysis of concentration observations.

     Two preliminary models were described in the first milestone report
(Lavery et al. 1981).  The Impingement model corresponds to low
Froude-number flows (region 1) in which the plume remains horizontal as it
impinges on and flows around the hill.  The Neutral model corresponds to
moderate or large Froude-number flows (region 2) in which the plume goes
over the top of the hill.  A number of refinements have been made to these
two models.  For background, the older versions (described in the first
milestone report) are reviewed first, and then the newer versions, Wrap and
Lift, are described.


     3.1.1  The Impingement Model                           ,

     The Impingement model is applicable to the region below HC in which
the flow is mostly horizontal.  Observations indicate considerable meander
of the horizontal wind during a typical hour.  To model plume behavior in
such unsteady conditions, we assume that the hour can be divided into
several quasi-steady periods.  We also assume that the average angular
spread of the plume, cts, corresponding to these periods is small
compared to the total meander during the hour, otm.

     Concentrations are assumed to occur on the hill's surface only when a
portion of the plume is directed along the stagnation streamline.
Therefore, the maximum concentration occurs at the stagnation point.

     During any single quasi-steady period, the concentration at the
stagnation point A (see Figure 4) will be non-zero only if the mean wind
direction during the period lies within asi/2 of the stagnation
streamline (9 = Oj +^as£/2).  If this concentration is denoted by
Ci(6,0d)» then the average concentration at A, Cmax, over an hour
is given by
                                     17

-------
             (xr, yr, zr)
                  Stagnation Streamline
Figure 4.    Plume dispersion  in  the region of horizontal flow.
                                18

-------
        max
                       ed) p(e)
                                          (28)
were P(6) is-the hourly probability density function of wind directions.
If the wind speed, vertical plume spread, and horizontal plume spread angle
ate nearly constant among quasi-steady periods during the hour, then the
only non-zero contributions to the integral in Equation 28 arise for wind
directions within +_ as/2 of the stagnation wind direction.  Furthermore,
if the concentration distribution within the plume during each quasi-steady
period is assumed to be uniform, and if the spread due to plume meander
during the hour is much greater than as, so that P(0d) is nearly
constant within the interval ds, then
                    6,+ a 12            _
                   1         P(6)d6  *  C  P(0.) a
                  eU/2                     d
                   Q  S
                                         (29a)
where
     C.
          /2n~cr U a d
              z o s
                                         (29b)
In Equation 29b, az, Uo, and as represent averages for the
relevant hour.  If we assume that P(6) is Gaussian, Equation 29a becomes
      max
             2ira U a.d
                z o 0
                        exp
(6  -
  o
                                       V
    20
      Q
                                          (30)
where 09 is the standard deviation of wind direction about the mean
direction 6O during the hour.  The first milestone report presents
concentration estimates obtained from Equation 30.
     3.1.2  The Neutral Model

     Figure 5 is a schematic of a plume embedded in region 2.  For
convenience, an axisymmetric flow is considered.  The lower figure shows, in
cross section, the plume heading toward the hill.  As the plume goes over
the hill, it is distorted vertically and horizontally, and the height of the
plume centerline above the hill surface varies with the distance along the
plume.  These effects must be parameterized in a dispersion model.

     The following formulation for the concentration on the hill surface is
based on the model of Egan (1975)
                                     19

-------
                                                      13

                                                      §
                                                      fH
                                                      PL,


                                                      •a
                                                      •H
                                                      
-------
     C(x,y) =
                   2Q
exp
        T  z
         c  r
                                      2 a
                                         zf
exp
                      2 a
                         yf
(31)
where the subscript f denotes values In the absence of the hill.  The
terrain correction factor Tc accounts for the effects of streamline
convergence, streamtube contraction and increased turbulence over the hill.
For plumes released well below the height of an obstacle, empirical evidence
indicates that Tc is =* 1 over the crest of nearly two-dimensional
obstacles and Tc is no less than 1/2 over the crest of sharply
three-dimensional obstacles.  This result could be related to the relative
height of the plume centerline above the hill.  The plume height is smaller
for flow over three-dimensional bodies than for that over two-dimensional
shapes (Egan 1975).  Until we understand more about dispersion over hills we
suggest the following formulation for Tc in modeling Cinder Cone Butte
          1- z/2z

          1/2; z > zr
                                            (32)
When the receptor is not located on elevated terrain, z = 0 and Tc = 1.0.
Tc attains a minimum value of one half for all receptors above the release
height.

     To estimate the horizontal distortion factor 6 we use the observation
that in axisymmetric flow, the angle  (see Figure 5) remains a constant
along a streamline.  We next assume that horizontal plume distortion is
uncoupled from turbulent plume spread and occurs after the plume has spread
because of turbulence.  In other words, the segment AB (in Figure 5), which
would describe the plume spread at a downwind distance x from the source in
the absence of the hill, becomes the plume segment CD at the same downwind
distance in the presence of the hill.  In effect, the point ?2 maps onto
the point PI on the "flat terrain" plume*  For a plume directed toward the
center of the hill, simple geometry shows that 13 = zr/z.*


     3.1.3  Dispersion Parameters

     Dispersion in stable flows is not fully understood, although some
progress has been made in modeling the behavior of surface releases
(Van Ulden 1978).  The analysis of lidar data collected during the CCB
experiment has not been completed by WPL.  Because of this lack of complete
theory and data, the suggested expressions for sigmas are tentative.

     The horizontal meandering of the wind suggests that ay can be
expressed as
*When the plume direction is not along the radius of the hill,  the
 expression for B is slightly less  straightforward,  although the
 concept behind its derivation is still very simple.
                                     21

-------
aex
                                                                         (33)
where a0 is measured at source height and x is the distance downwind.
This equation has not yet been fully tested.

     For elevated releases in the stable boundary layer, the vertical length
scale of turbulence, &w, can be expressed as

                                                                         (34)

where aw is the standard deviation of vertical velocity fluctuations and
N is the Brunt-Vaisala frequency.  The Lagrangian integral time scale,
tj,, should be on the order of 1/N.  A typical value of N measured at
source height during the CCB experiment is 0.05 s~^, which translates to a
t£ of about 20 s.  With a typical wind speed % 5 ms~-S it is
expected that 0Z will approach the large travel- time behavior beyond
200 m from the source.  Because the source-to-receptor distance was usually
more than 400 m, the following equation for cfz is proposed
            02x
             w
            U N
             o
                                                               (35)
where all of the variables in Equation 35 refer to source height.
     3.1.4  Impingement Model Refinements:  The Wrap Model

     This section describes the modification^ made to the Impingement model
to represent the physics of the flow better.  This modified version will be
referred to as the Wrap Model.

     Wind Direction Distribution Function
     Equation 29a indicates that C^x predicted by the impingement model
is sensitive to P(0) and to the location of the stagnation point.
Therefore, use of the "measured" P(0) is an obvious improvement.  The
method used to calculate P(6) can be understood by referring to Figure 6.
Let T represent the time period over which we want to calculate P(0).
Because P(0m) A0 represents the fraction of time spent by the wind in
A0 centered upon 0m, it follows that
     P(0m) A0 =
or
     P(0m)
                At2)/T

                At2)/TA0
(36a)

(36b)
Then the general expression for P(0m) can be written as
     P(0 )A6 - £  /  4> (t) dt
        m      T      m
                  o
                                                               (37)
                                     22

-------
                                                                     •£•      e
                                                                     0)
                                                                     E
                                                                             g
                                                                             •H
                                                                             •P
                                                                             O

                                                                             I
                                                                            ,-H
                                                                             (ft

                                                                             §
                                                                             X
                                                                             .p
                                                                             •H

                                                                            ••s
                                                                             ,0
                                                                             O
                                                                             fn
                                                                             O
                                                                             •H
                                                                             f-l
                                                                             2   a
                                                                                O
                                                                             t3
                                                                             0) Td
                                                                             tn  o
                                                                             CJ -H
                                                                             •H  O
                                                                             •!_>  O

                                                                             Ctf  PH
                                                                             O
                                                                             CO
                                                                             3
                                                                             6)0
   •o  o
       '
^
«£> ;-
           23

-------
where the indicator function (j>m is defined by the equations
                                                                        (38a)
0; otherwise
                                                                        (38b)
For the CCB experiment we do not have a continuous record of 0(t) as a
function of t; only 5-minute averages of 0 and OQ are available.  To
use this information, we assume that 0 is uniformly distributed in the
interval 2/300 about the 5-minute averaged value 0.  We then use
linear interpolation to estimate values of 0 and OQ between measured
values .

     We see from Figure 6 that at a given time, ti, the probability that
the wind direction is within the interval A0 about 0m is AB/AC.  Then
the expression for (^n/t) becomes
       (t)

             2/3 aQ(t)
where
« - «. - T*
       m    /
                   m
M) A (0 - /3
                                      W
                                                V
                                                           (39b)
and A denotes intersection.  Note that AI = 0 when there is no inter-
section between the two intervals.  Also, c|>m - 1 if the interval
(0 - /3~ 00, 0 + /3 00) is contained within (0m - A0/2, 0m + A0/2).
     As noted before, Cmax can t>e very sensitive to the location of the
stagnation point, which we now assume corresponds to that of a circular
cylinder "fitted" to the cross section of CCB at the height of release.
This approximation can cause an uncertainty in the estimation of C^x*  In
applying the model to the CCB data, greater potential uncertainty in maximum
estimated concentrations is expected when the mean wind is near the
stagnation streamline, and P(0) is sharply peaked.  By aligning the peak
in P(0) with the stagnation streamline in two such cases (206, hours 6 and
8- see Section 4), C^x increases by 30 to 35%.  In the future, we hope to
make improvements by calculating the two-dimensional flow around a more
appropriately shaped cylinder at the relevant height.

     Modification to Compute Concentrations Over the Hill

     The Impingement model provided estimates only of the maximum
concentration at the stagnation point.  This estimate was compared with the
maximum observations anywhere on the hill.  To make the model more general,
we have made the following modification.  From Figure 4, we see that the
impinging plume is assumed to wrap around the hill.  Therefore, the
concentration at the receptor XR, y& at the height of release is
                                      24

-------
      C(xR,yR,zr)
                      Q P(6.)
                     /2irU a
                         o z
                                     d+s
                                                                         (40)
Note  that  sa  is  the extra distance beyond the  impingement point traveled
by  the plume  to  the receptor and  that az is evaluated at the downwind
distance d +  sa. To estimate the  concentration at a height ZR above or
below the height of release zr, we simply assume that
      C(VyR,zR) = C(xR,yR,Zr)
                               /2JFa
                                     exp
- AZ
"—• • i	
 20 '
(41)
where AZ = (ZR - zr).  Equation 41 cannot be valid for large AZ.
However, there is little reason to improve Equation 40 because we are
primarily interested in the maximum concentrations at release height.
Furthermore, since az is usually small under stable conditions, the
concentration falls off rapidly in the z-direction.
     3.1.5  Neutral Model Refinements:  The Lift Model

     This section describes the modifications made to the Neutral model to
better represent the physics of the flow.  This modified version will be
referred to as the Lift model.

     Hc and the Effective Radius of Curvature

     On the basis of the discussion of Section 2, we now assume that only
the flow above Hc goes over the hill.  The surface at Hc constitutes the
"base" of the "cut-off" hill.   This suggests that all vertical distances be
measured with respect to Hc.

     Because the hill-may have an aspect ratio greater than 1, it is
necessary to define an effective radius of curvature Re for the hill.
This radius determines the horizontal plume distortion factor IB.  We see
from Figure 7 that Re can be written as follows
     R2 = D2 + a2
                    (H*+D)2
                              (42a)
Then
       D = (a2 - R2)/2H*
                                                                        (42b)
In Equation 42,  a is the "radius" of the hill at z  =
                                                        and
H* = H - Hc.  It is readily seen that for a plume heading toward the
center of the hill
                                     25

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                                                Undistorted Plume


                                                Receptor (XR, VR, ZR)  (A


                                                         H
Figure 7.   Geometry used to derive the effective radius of curvature  Rg
            for  the portion of the hill above  Hc, and to incorporate the  wind
            direction probability distribution function P(0) in the Lift  model.

                                        26

-------
     IE = (zr-Hc
D)/(z-Hc + D).
(43)
Note that when a = H* (the cross-section is approximately a semi- circle),
D = 0 and we recover the equation used previously for 6.  When H* « a,
the flow becomes essentially two-dimensional; the streamlines are
approximately parallel as they pass over the hill.  We expect little plume
distortion for this type of flow.  This behavior is embodied in 6: when
H* « a, D is very large and 8 is close to unity, thus suggesting no
horizontal plume distortion.
     Terrain Correction Factor Tc

     The terrain correction factor Tc is approximately one for flows over
two-dimensional bodies; for flows over approximately symmetric
three-dimensional obstacles, Tc is probably closer to 1/2.  An examination
of Figure 7 shows that D/Re ->• 1.0 when the hill becomes two-dimensional;
D/Re = 0 when the hill cross section becomes a semi-circle.  These
observations suggest a plausible formulation for Tc
                     R
                                                                         (44)
While Equation 44 accounts for the type of flow over the hill, it does not
include the relationship between the source and receptor heights.  However,
this is not likely to matter as long as the hill is higher than the source
and as long as we are primarily interested in the maximum concentrations
close to the top of the hill.

     Wind Direction Distribution Function

     The probability density function, P(6),  is incorporated into the
neutral flow model by replacing the exponential term for the y-direction in
Equation 31 as follows
     /2ira
            exp
 2a
                           R
                                                       (45)
where g denotes "replaced by."  The angle 0 is given by

     9 = sin-1 (yp/s) + 00

where s is the approximate downwind distance along 0 to the receptor.In
Equation 46, yp is the distance of the projection of the receptor
R(xR,yR,ZR) from the plume centerline.  Figure 7 shows the relevant
geometry used to derive Equation 46.
                                                       (46)
                                     27

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     3.1.6  Dispersion Parameter Refinement

     Equation 35 for az overestimates crz when N becomes small.  To
avoid this problem, we have modified the formulation as follows:

     CTZ - CTwt/(l+ Nt/p)1/2            '                                  (47a)

where   t = x/Uo and p = 1.5.                                           <47b)

Equation 47 is consistent with the previous formulation for az for
N - 0.05 s""*- and reflects the small time behavior az ^ awt
when the Lagrangian time scale p/N » t.  The parameter "p" was determined
by calibrating Equation 47 against lidar measurements.  This is discussed in
Section 3.2.2.  This formulation for Oz is incorporated in both the Wrap
and Lift models.


     3.1.7  Summary

     Differences between the Impingement model and the Wrap model are as
follows:

     •    The Gaussian probability density function for the wind direction
          was replaced by the density function P(6) constructed from the
          5-minute averaged wind directions.
     •    The Wrap model allows estimates of concentrations around the hill
          at the height of release.
     •    The Wrap model uses a modified formula for az that reduces to
          the small travel time form when N goes to zero.

     Differences between the Neutral model and the Lift model are as follows:

     •    Hc was subtracted from the vertical coordinate to reflect the
          two-layer flow over the hill.
     •    A radius of curvature based on the shape of the hill was
          incorporated into the expression for the horizontal distortion
          factor B and into the expression for Tc.
     •    The "measured" P(0) was used  instead of a Gaussian probability
          density  function.
     •    The Lift model uses a modified formula for crz that reduces to
          the small travel time form when N goes to zero.

     The utility of these modifications was tested by comparing model
predictions against observations for the 14 hours considered in this
report.  This evaluation is discussed in Section 4.
                                      28

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3.2  Comparison of Photographs and Lidar Plume Observations with
     Meteorological Observations

     Plume photographs and lidar cross sections are available for most
experiment hours.  In this section, these data are compared with tower
observations of turbulence intensities, and the importance of variability in
the wind field during stable conditions is discussed.
     3.2.1  Analysis of Vertical Spread From Plume Photographs

     The plume photography at CCB was described in detail in the first
milestone report.  Photographs were taken by cameras at several fixed
locations, and additional photographs were taken by observers on the ground
and from a small airplane.  The oil-fog plume was generally visible to
downwind distances of greater than 1 km for most viewing angles.  The photos
provided information on vertical and lateral plume spreading and on plume
trajectory, including plume impaction on CCB and plume streamlines over or
around CCB.

     Most of these photos were 5-minute time exposures.  During each
exposure, the plume would be illuminated about ten times by the sweeping
beam from an arc lamp rotating at two sweeps per minute.  When this lamp
provided the only illumination, the photos recorded a superposition of these
ten plume images.  However, when the moon was shining, the plume was
illuminated continuously and the photos provided a true 5-minute average.
It is difficult to scale distances and angles from most of the photos
because the plume trajectory was seldom at right angles to the line of
sight.  When it was perpendicular to the line of sight, the plume was often
difficult to see at distances of more than a few hundred meters from the
source due to the light-scattering angle.  The initial analysis of the
photos therefore emphasized the vertical spread in the near field.

     Specifically, we estimated the vertical angle, E, of the plume on the
photos and compared it with the vertical turbulence intensity, iz,
observed on tower A.  Usually it was easy to estimate E because the sides of
the plume were straight and sharp out to downwind distances of 100-200 m.
During some of the 8-hour experiments,  only one or two photos were useful;
in others, as many as 20 or 30 photos were useful.  The effective turbulence
intensity on the photo (iz (photo)) is assumed to be related to the
measured angle E through the relation
     iz (photo) = E/2/3
(48)
where E is in radians.  The constant 2/3~ results from the top-hat
distribution assumed for the plume.
                                     29

-------
     In the analyses reported in this section, 5-minute average iz (photo)
observations are compared with concurrent 5-minute average iz (tower)
observations, where the iz (tower) values are interpolated to source
height from tower instrument levels (10 m, 40 m, and 80 m).  In Figure 8,
iz (photo) is plotted versus iz (tower), with data from different
experiments indicated by different symbols.  About 54% of the points agree
within a factor of 2.  The median iz (photo) is 60% larger than
iz (tower).

     A small part of this difference can be explained by the initial plume
dilution generated by mechanical turbulence in the oil-fog plume.  (The
photos suggest that source— induced OZQ is about 1 m and that the
influence of the source extends downwind about 10 or 20 m. )

     A larger part of the disagreement between iz (photo) and iz (tower)
can be accounted for when the iz (tower) data is adjusted for propellor
response deficiencies.  (Propellor response characteristics are discussed at
length in Section 5.)  Adjustments may be made to measured iz values by
using a correction proposed by Horst (1973).  The relationship between the
measured value and the "correct" value can be written as

        = 1.25
                                                                        (49a)
for small elevation angles 4>.  In the equation, a^ is the standard
deviation of the "correct" elevation angle of the wind, a§m is the
standard deviation of the measured elevation angle, the factor 1.25 is a
bulk correction for the lack of propellor response at small elevation
angles, and C(0(f>) is a refined correction factor which is a function of
the distribution of <}> over the averaging period
C2(a
          ,
              sin2(j>/ F2(4>)sin2<|>
(49b)
F( are independent random variables with normal
distributions.  This allows him to calculate C as a function of a^.
These computations are presented in his paper.  The resulting function
      increased CTA most at small values of a.  In general, the
net adjustment in Equation 49a increased hourly  iz values by  25%  to  50%.
Because the adjustment requires that (j> be distributed normally  in time,
its application to 5-minute values of iz may not be appropriate.

     Another  (perhaps major) part of the disagreement between iz  (photo)
and iz (tower) arises because of the physical separation of the tower and
the source.   When the source is located to  the southeast of CCB,  the source
is about 3 km from the tower.  With wind speeds  of 2 m/s, it  would take the
                                     30

-------
                                                                                                     in
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                                                                                                     in
                                                                                                            ffi

                                                                                                            O
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air about half an hour to traverse this distance.  If iz fluctuations are
caused by traveling gravity waves or mesoscale meanders (see Section 3.2.3),
a region of high vertical turbulence intensity may arrive at the tower and
source at times differing by as much as an hour.  This possible effect is
suggested in Figure 9 (from Experiment 201), where time series of
iz (photo) and unadjusted iz (tower) are plotted.  Note that the shapes
of the curves and their peak magnitudes are similar, but the curves are
displaced in time by 30 minutes.  This travel-time effect makes it difficult
(at least for very light wind situations) to predict 5-minute average plume
dispersion from tower A data but probably does not unduly influence hourly
averages.

     Brief comments on tower and photo iz's for each experiment are given
in Table 1.  The agreement is variable.  If the data at 40 m on Tower A are
available, tower and photo iz's agree within a factor of two, on the
average.  If the 40 m level tower data are incomplete (e.g., Experiments 206
and 211), it is difficult to interpolate iz accurately from the
10 and 80 m levels.  In both of these experiments, the tower and tethersonde
data suggest that there was a light-wind, high iz layer extending to
heights of 20 m and a high-wind, low iz layer aloft.  A strong inversion
containing large wind speed and direction shears separated the layers.

     These 5-minute data show not only that it is important to observe iy
and iz in order to make diffusion calculations but also that these
measurements should be taken as close to the source as possible.  If the
data are taken from a tower located several kilometers from the source or
from a height more than 20 m above or below the source, differences of a
factor of 2 or 3 or more in iz can be expected during stable conditions.

     The 5-minute data reported above were also combined into longer term
averages, and the resulting tower and photo average iz's are compared in
Figure 10.  Averaging periods for these data range from 20 minutes to
2 hours, and the average iz (tower) values have been adjusted for
propellor response characteristics as discussed earlier.  The average values
agree better than the 5-minute values in Figure 8 because the individual
differences tend to cancel out over longer averaging times.  For example,
the averaged iz in Figure 9 is nearly equal for the two data sets even
though the peaks are displaced in time by 30 minutes.  The circled points on
Figure 10 are those for which the source height (Hs = 60 m) was above the
tower level (H-j = 40 m) used to determine tower iz.  In general,
excluding these points, the data agree within a factor of two and there is
very little bias.


     3.2.2  Analysis of Lidar Estimates of Oy and az

     To have confidence in the lidar data taken near CCB (where the flow is
definitely perturbed), it is important to determine whether  the lidar plume
observations are well-behaved in the unperturbed region within a few hundred
meters of the source.  In this section, lidar-derived ay and az
                                     32

-------
      .10
      .05
       0
                                                 t

                                               I  \
                                  \ Tower

                                   I
        2040
2050
2100
2110
2120
2130
2140   2150
                                      Time
      Figure 9.   Time series of  5-minute  average  iz  (photo)  and iz (tower)
                  from Experiment 201.
S
ui
8
                                      33

-------
                                TABLE 1

              COMMENTS ON TOWER AND PHOTO i  OBSERVATIONS
                                           z

Experiment
201

202
204
206
207
208
209
211

213

Number
of Photos
Analyzed
31

13
8
14
3
35
5
30

12

Source
Heights
(m)
20,30,
40
20,30
30
35,46
30
30
40
58,40
20
30,40
50,60
214
215
218
16
16
47


30,57


30
                Cotneht s

Tower and photo iz's agree on average;
peaks are displaced in time by 30 minutes,

Tower and photo iz's agree on average.

Tower and photo iz's agree on average,
but individual 5-minute values differ by
as much as a factor of +5.

Tower A 40 m data missing; 10 m tower
iz's are 3-4 times greater than photo
iz's; 80 m tower iz's are either in
agreement or are zero.

Tower and photo iz's agree on average.

Tower iz is factor of 2 below photo
iz's.

Tower iz is factor of 2 below photo
iz's.

Tower A 40 m data missing; 10 m tower
iz's are 3 times greater than photo
iz's; 80 m tower iz's are factor of 2
lower.

Tower and photo iz's agree on
average; peaks are factor of 5 higher or
lower.

Tower and photo iz's differ by factor
of jfS.

Tower and photo iz's differ by factor
of +3.

Tower iz is consistently a factor of 2
below photo iz.
                                  34

-------
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                                                                                                                                         •H
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                                                                                                                                         13

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estimates are plotted as a function of downwind distance and compared to
observed meteorological parameters such as iy, iz, U0, and N.  Hourly
averaged lidar data are included in the analysis.  Data for all the
experiments are not available because data processing work has not yet been
completed by the Wave Propagation Laboratory.
     Lidar Qy

     The lateral diffusion parameter oy can be estimated by the formula
(Pasquill 1976)

     ay = iyx Fy(x)                                                      (50)

where iy is the crosswind turbulence intensity and Fy(x) is a
diraensionless function that is close to unity at distances less than 1 km
from the source (Briggs 1973).  The observed lidar 0y's upwind of the
hill should approximate iyX, where iy is obtained for the source height
by linear interpolation from adjacent tower levels.  In Figure 11, the
hourly averaged CTy's are plotted versus iyX for 13 separate experiment
hours.  Each hourly cry is made up of contributions from individual lidar
scans and from the lateral displacement of observed plume centroids
    n
=   I
Vn   +   £    (yci-yc)2/n
                                                                         (51)
The parameter yc is the centreid position, and n is the number of lidar
cross-sections at that particular downwind distance during that hour.

     Figure 11 shows that the line CTy = iyx passes through the middle
of the data set, but that the data from individual hours can be as much as a
factor of 3 different from this line.  The curves for individual hours
generally have slopes close to unity.  Many factors could contribute to the
scatter on the figure, including small sample size, unrepresentative tower
iy, and lidar resolution and accuracy.

     The contribution to ay from lateral displacement of centroids or
meandering is greater than the individual scan contribution in about 50% of
the cases analyzed.  In 20% of the cases, the meander component exceeds the
individual scan component by a factor of 5 to 10.  The total hourly Oy
observed by the lidar is plotted versus the stability parameter UO/N in
Figure 12, showing that cry is relatively small for U0/N larger than
about 200 m but varies widely for U0/N less than 200 m.  Small UO/N
(i.e., low winds and/or strong inversion) is a necessary but not a
sufficient condition for large ay.  This wide range of ay may result
from gravity waves during light-wind, stable conditions.
                                     36

-------
 1000
  300
  100
  30
   10

/'  206-4 ^06*6 //
               209-3
                      204-8 •/ /
                            205-4
     10
      30
 100

iyX (m)
                                                  J	L
                                                       300
                                                           1000
Figure 11.   Observed hourly a  plotted as a function  of iyx for selected
             experiment  hours/based on Equation 51.
                                    37

-------
                                                                                                                  •§
                                                                                                                  (D
                                                                                                      8
                                                                                                      CO
                                                                                                      8
                                                                                                      CM
8
CO
8
CM
                                                                                                                  > 0)
                                                                                                                  (M
                                                (in)
                                                         38

-------
     To eliminate the effect of lateral displacement of observed centroids,
the individual scan contribution (term 1 in Equation 51) is plotted in
Figure 13 as a function of downwind distance.  The lateral turbulence
intensity iy is not included because it is not known for the specific
times of the lidar cross sections.  The interesting aspect of this figure is
that all of the individual scan 0y curves are fairly flat, in
disagreement with relative diffusion theory and observations of other
instantaneous plumes (Gifford 1977).  These theories suggest that slopes of
0y(x) curves for relative diffusion should be greater than slopes for
hourly averaged diffusion, even during stable conditions.  Furthermore, if
the lines on Figure 13 are extrapolated to x = 0, they do not come close to
0y = 0.  (The intercept for most curves is 10-20 m.)  The largest
initial 0yO that we can justify on the basis of photographic
observations of the oil-fog plume is only 1-2 m.  Because it is unlikely
that the curves in Figure 13 change slope abruptly to the left of their
first point, the lidar observation system may have either over-estimated
plume size near the source or underestimated plume size further from the
source.  It is not possible to check these results with the plume
photographs, because the plumes were extremely diffuse at the distances of
the lidar observations.

     Another reason for this behavior could be an alteration of the plume
spread caused in some way by the presence of the hill.  Many observes noted
a significant increase in the apparent width of the visual plume when the
trajectory was directed toward the center of the hill rather than to one
side of the hill.  And this effect appeared to affect the p-lume size over a
significant portion of the trajectory between the source and the hill.
Because the sampling frequency of the lidar was not great enough to resolve
this variability evenly in all lidar sampling planes, and because Figure 13
ignores this kind of variability within hourly averaging periods, some
relative overestimation of 0y close to the source may have resulted.
This possibility is being investigated.

     It can be concluded that hourly 0y observations agree on the
average with the formula 0y = iyx.  Most of the contribution to 0y
and iy over a 1-hour period comes from gradual plume meandering.  The
standard Pasquill—Gifford-Turner stability class scheme cannot account for
the meander contribution to ay.  Averages of individual lidar scan
estimates of cry appear to overestimate ay at small downwind
distances.
     Lidar 0Z

     The vertical diffusion parameter, 0Z, can be estimated by the
following formula (Irwin 1979)

     0Z = izx Fz(x)                                                      (52)

where iz is the vertical turbulence intensity, and Fz(x) is a
dimensionless function that equals unity near the source but decreases with
distance (more rapidly than Fy(x)) during stable conditions.  In Figure 14
                                     39

-------
      100
    c
    
-------
 the hourly-averaged crz's are plotted versus izx for 13 separate
 experiment hours.  Total hourly oz is made up of individual scan and
 meandering components (similar to Equation 51 for ay); but the
 meandering component is usually small.  The lidar-observed hourly az is
 propdrtional to izx for izx < 10, but az grows more slowly with
 distance at large izx.  It is hard to know if this behavior is real,
 however, because it is difficult to estimate the appropriate iz at plume
 height for cases when iz data vary rapidly with height (e.g., Experi-
 ment 211) or when iz data are missing at the 40 m level.  In
 Experiment 211, iz was fairly high (.07) at the 10 m level, missing at the
 40 m level, and low (.005) at the 80 m level.  The value used for iz in
 Figure 14 appears to be too high, as the curves for the two Experiment 211
 hours are displaced from the others.

      Averages of individual scan az's for selected runs are plotted as a
 function of downwind distance in Figure 15.  These az curves are not
 quite as flat as the individual scan 0y curves in Figure 13, but they
 also give unreasonable intercepts (azo) in most cases if the curves are
 extrapolated to x = 0.  Some of the apparent overestimation in az may be
 attributable to the spatial resolution of the lidar system.  The minimum
 vertical grid resolution for calculating az was 1.5 m.   In Figure 15,
 the minimum grid resolution was 2;25 m for hour 208-3,  1.5 m for hour 206-4,
 4.5 m for hour 209-8,  and 3.0,m for hour 211-1.  Therefore, the relative
 spacing of the intercepts azo for 206-4,  208-3, and 209-8 are at least
 qualitatively indicative of a grid resolution limit to az at small
 downwind distances.   However,  azo for 211-1 indicates that other factors
'must be considered.   These are under study.

      Because nearly all of the CCB experiments were conducted at night,  it
 can be hypothesized that hours  with high  wind speeds are the more neutral,
 and hours with low wind speeds are the more stable.   Current point-source
 dispersion models assume that  vertical dispersion decreases monotonically as
 stability increases.   For example,  the Pasquill-Gifford-Turner az values
 for F stability are smaller than those for E stability.   According to the
 conventional stability classification, therefore,  the hours of lowest wind
 speed on clear nights  should have the smallest iz's.

      Figure 16 illustrates that the CCB iz data do not  corroborate the
 wind speed-stability class convention used in current models;  iz can be  as
 much as 0.10 for wind  speeds less than about 3 m/s but  is never greater
 than 0.04 for wind speeds greater than about 5 m/s.   Panofsky (1982) has
 been studying turbulence data  from the 300 m tower at  the Boulder
 Atmospheric Observatory and concludes that gravity waves which occur during
 light wind stable conditions have significant  vertical  components.   Perhaps
 gravity waves are also causing  the  increased iz during  low winds at  CCB.
 The large observed range in iz  at low winds is  consistent with  the  iy
 data in Figure 12;  this  suggests  the  intermittent  occurrence  of  gravity
 waves during low winds.   As we  have not yet determined whether  it is
 possible to predict gravity waves,  it  is  clear  that  it  is important  to
 measure iy and iz  directly to estimate diffusion using  an equation  like
 Equation 52 under stable flow conditions.
                                     41

-------
100
                                                               100
 Figure 14.
                   izx (m)

Observed hourly lidar az as a function of izx for
selected experiment hours.
                               42

-------
        20
        15
     n
     o
  — .
  E«
  —  3  10
         w
    "
     c
        0.
                                                218-1
209-1
                   211-1
            209-8**"
            208-3—r
                     __,...—— 205-5
                                                         ' 210-3  ^205-4
                                                         215-1
                                                                   ••-"11 -4
                   206-4 •
                J	I
               I      I       I
          0
       500

       x(m)
1000
Figure  15.    Averages  of observed individual  scan, lidar  az plotted  as a
              function  of x for  selected experiment hours.
                                      43

-------
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                                                                                              w  ni
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in
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                                                            44

-------
     It is possible to compare the lidar az's with those calculated by
our theoretical formula.  As indicated earlier, (Equation 47) we have
assumed that az in stable flows is described by the equation

                   tN/p)!/2
                                                                         (53)

where p is a parameter.  Its value was determined by calibrating Equation 53
against az derived from lidar cross sections.  The hourly averaged
"measurements" of az were constructed by combining statistics from
individual lidar scans available during the hour using an equation like 51
with n-1 weighting.  Many of these average sigmas correspond to only two to
three instantaneous lidar cross sections.  Therefore, their values are
uncertain.  This should be kept in mind in interpreting the comparison
between the results obtained from Equation 53 and the measurements.

     Experimentation with several values of p showed that p = 1.5 resulted
in reasonable agreement between lidar measurements and calculated az
values based on adjusted iz values.  The iz values used in calculating
az were interpolated to source height and then adjusted for propellor
response characteristics.  The interpolation process involved multiplying
iz values measured above and below the release height by the corresponding
mean wind speeds to produce CTW values, linearly interpolating 0W to
release height, using a power law interpolation to estimate the wind speed
at release height, and multiplying this speed by the interpolated aw to
obtain iz at the release height  (more details are presentd in
Section 4.1.2).  Figure 17 compares the lidar and calculated oz values.
These results indicate that Equation 53 serves the intended purpose of
providing estimates of crz that correspond to ."measured" values.  This
formulation is used in all model calculations presented in Section 4.


     3.2.3  Time Series Analysis of Wind Speed Data

     Nighttime stable periods are characterized by slow fluctuations in wind
speed and direction caused by the passage of gravity waves or
terrain-induced eddies.  These fluctuations can also be caused by time
variations in vertical boundary layer structure (e.g.,  the collapse of a
strong inversion when the Richardson number falls below its critical value)
or by the influence of thunderstorms several kilometers away.   Time periods
of these meanders or mesoscale fluctuations are on the order of 10 minutes
to 2 hours.   As shown in Section 3.2.2,  these large-scale fluctuations often
dominate hourly averaged iy or ay observed at CCB.

     Some of the CCB experiments exhibit exceptional variability in wind
speed and direction.   For example,  a time series of the 5-minute average
scalar wind  speed from the 10 m level of tower A for Experiment 211 is
plotted in Figure 17.   Wind direction was equally variable during this
period, going completely around the compass (counterclockwise)  during a
20-minute period at the end of hour 3.   During Experiment 204,  the wind
direction went around the compass (clockwise) in hour 5.   The  range in
                                    45

-------
                                                   3
                                                   §L
                                                   J
                                                  bN
                                                         .-d
                                                          
-------
5-minute wind speeds (0.4 m/s to 4 m/s) in Experiment 211 is a factor of two
greater than the average wind speed during the 8-hour experiment.  Visual
examination of the figure suggests fluctuations present with periods of
about 1 to 1.5 hours (low winds occur at times 0010, 0140, 0250, 0420, 0550,
0730).  Other fluctuations with smaller periods are also obvious, however.

     Spectral analyses of the data were performed to estimate the amounts of
turbulent energy associated with eddies with periods ranging from 10 minutes
to 2 hours.  A standard Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) computer code was
applied to each experiment for wind data from the level closest to the level
of the source.  The total speed and u and v components of the wind speed
were analyzed separately.  Autocorrelograms and spectra were plotted for
each experiment.  The autocorrelograms and energy spectra for the data are
also given in Figure 18.  Standard procedures were used to remove a linear
trend from each time series, since a trend will show up in the spectrum as a
great deal of energy at the lowest frequency point.  Also the beginning and
end of the time series were smoothed to prevent unrealistic behavior of the
spectrum at high frequencies (Rayment 1970, Cooley and Tukey 1965).

     Peak spectral energy occurs at frequencies of 1-2 cycles per hour, or
periods of 30-60 minutes.  The presence of these eddies must be recognized
in model development for light-wind stable conditions.  In particular, it is
important to use frequency distributions of actual wind direction to make
diffusion calculations during an hour when these eddies are present.

     A summary of the time series analysis of six of the CCB cases is given
in Table 2.  Wind observations at the 40 m level of tower A are used if
available; otherwise, the winds at the 80 m level are used.  The u and v
components of the wind velocity are analyzed separately.  The time period
Tmax at which maximum turbulent energy occurs is estimated by two
procedures:

     •    Autocorrelogram Method:  Tmax = 5T(l/e), where T(l/e) is the
          time lag when the autocorrelogram first drops to 1/e or 0.37. The
          time period Tmax of the turbulent fluctuation associated with
          T(l/e) is obtained by multiplying by 5.  The factor 5 comes from
          calculating the spectrum for an exponential correlogram (Hanna
          1981).

     •    Spectral Method:  Tmax is the period associated with maximum
          nS(n), where n is frequency and S is energy density in units of
          m2/s2 per unit frequency.

     As expected, the Tmax values determined by the autocorrelogram and
spectral methods agree within about ±50%.  On the average, Tmax equals
about 1—2 hours for the CCB cases.  When averaging times for the
meteorological and concentration data are one hour, about one-half to one
full cycle can be expected to be captured.   It is possible that the winds
will continually decrease or increase during the 1-hour period, or decrease
for the first 30 minutes and increase for the last 30 minutes of the period,
                                    47

-------
                                 x J
                                  4 *

                                  V
                                 21.1     M.«
                                      I.M    2.U I.M 4.M C.MC.M •.«•!•.<

                                                     n ( cuclM/hi> t
Figure 18.    Five minute wind speed record  at 10 m elevation,  its
              autocorrelogram, and its energy spectrum for  Experiment 211.
                                     48

-------
                                 TABLE 2

          TIME PERIODS AT WHICH MAXIMUM TURBULENT ENERGY OCCURS

                         FOR SIX CCB EXPERIMENTS
Experiment

   202


   204


   206


   209


   210


   211
Elevation    Component    (Autocorrelogram)     (Spectrum)
   40 m


   40 m


   80 m


   40 m


   80 m


   80 m
u
v
u
V
u
V
u
V
u
V
                               u
                               V
  2 hr
2.5 hr

1.5 hr
  2 hr

1.5 hr
  3 hr

1.5 hr
50 min

  3 hr
50 min

  2 hr
2.5 hr
  2.5 hr
    2 hr

  1.5 hr
  50 min

    2 hr
    2 hr

    2 hr
  50 min

30 min, 4 hr
30 min, 1.5 hr

  1-2 hr
    2 hr
                                     49

-------
depending on the portion of the sinusoidal wind cycle that is captured.
This mesoscale energy thus appears as slow meander during a 1-hour period
rather than as a turbulent fluctuation.  Because these time scales are
comparable to the averaging periods of interest, the effects of mesoscale
meandet must be accounted for explicitly.  Therefore, as previously
described, the actual observed hourly probability distributions of wind
direction (rather than some conjectured distribution) should be used in
modeling hourly average plume transport and impacts.


3.3  Isentropic Analysis

     Five-minute average temperature data from tower A and tower B have been
analyzed to estimate the original, or upwind, heights of streamlines that
pass through measurement heights on tower B.  The relationships between
streamline heights upwind of the hill and those at tower B over the crest of
the hill may be compared with calculations from potential flow theory and
with data obtained in tow tank and wind tunnel experiments.  Of particular
interest is the relationship between the observed streamline lift in the
flow above Hc and that found in weakly stratified flow experiments.

     If streamline lifting is adiabatic, streamlines follow surfaces of
constant potential temperature (isentropic surfaces).  In considering the
flow over a hill, the vertical motion can be assumed adiabiatic if heat
transfer or mixing is negligible.  Therefore, only data from 10 m and 30 m
on tower B are considered.  Other sources of uncertainty in calculating
upwind streamline heights include temporal and spatial inhomogeneity in the
temperature field between tower A and tower B, errors in measuring weak
temperature gradients on tower A, and the lack of vertical resolution in the
temperature profile between 100 m and 150 m on tower A.

     Initially, potential temperatures were matched for every available
5-minute period in which no temperatures on either tower were missing.  This
first attempt did not provide enough data to complete the analysis, so
missing data in the tower A profile were interpolated in height from
adjacent levels or in time from adjacent time periods.  Time interpolation
was the preferred interpolation method, and height interpolation was used
only as a last resort.

     The resulting upwind streamline heights on tower A during
Experiment 201 are presented in the upper portion of Figure 19.  The solid
line marks a streamline that originates at the altitude given in the
ordinate and "passes" 10 m above the crest of the south peak; the dotted
line marks a streamline that "passes" 30 m above the peak.  For example,
Figure 19 shows that at 2000 MST a streamline that passed 10 m above the
south peak of the hill (102 m) originated at an altitude of about 55 m,
thereby indicating a lift of about 57 m.
                                    50

-------
          EXPERIMENT 201 (Unsmoothed Temperatures)
   7.8   ie.e    le.e    2a.a   21.a   22.0   za.a
                                                  ZA
                                                150
                                                                   EXPERIMENT 201
                                                100-
                                                 50-
                                                      V
                                                  !7.e   la.e   le.a   2a.e   21.a    22.8   23.9
                                                                                       0     1

                                                                                          Hour
  ZA
150-
                  EXPERIMENT 202
100
 50-
  17.0   18.8   10.9   20.8   21.0   22.8    23.B
                                      0     1

                                         Hour
                                                                  EXPERIMENT 203
Figure 19.     Estimated upwind  height (ZA)  of  streamlines that pass through
                the 10  m  (	)  level  and 30 m  C--0  level  of Tower  B  on the crest
                of Cinder Cone  Butte  during Experiments 201 -  203.
                                             51

-------
     Considerable variability is seen in this figure.  Some of this is
probably attributable to the spatial variability in the temperature field.
In order to reduce the scatter, a running 3-point (15-minute) average was_
applied twice to the 5-minute temperature data.  This resulted in streamline
heights that are better behaved, with far fewer "spikes".  The final
isentrope plots are presented in Figures 19-22.  In these plots, missing
temperature data from tower A were interpolated only in time because data
interpolated in height may be inappropriately influenced by strong
temperature stratification.  However, little difference was found between
the two interpolation procedures.

     Data from these figures have been used to evaluate the relationship
between the streamline heights upwind and over the hill crest, and the
relative importance of the density stratification.  Scaled streamline
heights are referred to as nm/H* and zr/H*.  As shown in Figure 23,
nm/H* is the ratio of the streamline height over the hill crest (nm)
to the height of the hill above the dividing streamline height (H-HC), and
(ZA-HC)/H* is the ratio of the upwind streamline height above the
dividing streamline height (ZA-Hc) to the height of the hill above the
dividing streamline height (H-Hc).  This inclusion of HC is motivated by
the expectation that the layer of air below HC is "dead" to the flow above
Hc (see below).  The plot of (ZA-HC)/H* versus zr/H* derived from
1-hour averages of the inferred 5-minute streamline height,data are
presented in Figure 24.

     Five symbols are used in  the plot to classify the data by the bulk hill
Froude number for the flow above Hc.  The bulk hill Froude number is
defined as
     Fr
       H
             U
                                                                         (54)
where U0  is  the  average wind  speed  from HC  to  150 m, and N  is the
Brunt-Vaisala  frequency calculated  with the temperature gradient between
Hc  and 150 m.  The Hc and Frn values used in this analysis were
calculated for each  5-minute  period and then averaged over  one hour.  The
streamline heights from Figures  19  through  22  were  further  smoothed by hand
to  obtain 1-hour average streamline heights.

      Included  on the figure are  computed curves of  nm/H* versus
(ZA-Hc)/H* derived for potential flow over  a circular cylinder and
potential flow over  a sphere.  Although neither hill shape  is appropriate
for CCB,  each  represents a convenient limiting hill shape to represent flows
over a well-defined, three-dimensional hill (sphere) and a  well-defined,
two-dimensional  ridge (cylinder).   (Potential  flow  calculations are
appropriate  for  estimating streamline paths in nonstratified flows as long
as  the streamline height is above the strongly sheared layer close to the
surface.)
                                      52

-------
  ZA
                  EXPERIMENT 204
150-
100-
 50-
                                                  ZA
                                                150-
                                                100-
   .8    1.8    2.8    3.8    4.6   6.8   6.8    7.6    8.8

                                          Hour
                                                 50-
                                                                  EXPERIMENT 206
      t.e    2. a    3.e   4.e    s.e  .  e.e    7.8 .  a.a.

                                        Hour
  ZA
150-
100
 50-
                  EXPERIMENT207
ZA
                                                150
                                                100
                                                 50
                                                                  EXPERIMENT 208
            2.8  • 3.8    4.8    5.8
                                 6.8    7.8   8.0

                                         Hour
                                                  17.0   18.0   10.8   28.8   21.0   22.8   23.8
                                     0     1

                                        Hour
Figure 20.     Estimated  upwind height  (ZA) of streamlines .that pass  through
                the 10 m  (	)  level  and  30 m  (...)  level of  Tower B on the  crest
                of Cinder  Cone  Butte  during Experiments  204 - 208.
                                              53

-------
                 EXPERIMENT 209
                                               ZA
                                             150-
                                                               EXPERIMENT 210
  tr.i   it.t   IB.I
                                             100
                                              50-
                                                        ...  A  A  / ''••..
                                                                                     Hour
  ZA
160
                 EXPERIMENT 211
100-
 60
       I.I    3,t
 ZA
150-
                                              100-
                                              50
                                                               EXPERIMENT 213
                                                .»    i.a    2.0    3.0    4.e
                                        Hour
                                                                             6.0   7.8   8.8

                                                                                      Hour
Figure 21.    Estimated  upwind  height  (ZA) of streamlines  that pass through
               the  10 m  C	) level and 30 m  (...)  level of Tower  B on the crest
               of Cinder  Cone Butte during Experiments 209  - 213.
                                            54

-------
  ZA
150
                 EXPERIMENT 214
                                                              EXPERIMENT 215
100
 50-
  2.8    3.0   4.0   E.a
                                             150
                                             100-
                     0.0   7.8    8.8    0.8    18.8

                                       Hour
                                               .8    t.e   2.0   a.e   *.e   s.e    e.e    7.e
                                             50-
                                       EXPERIMENT 218
                                                              Hour
Figure 22.    Estimated  upwind  height  (ZA) of streamlines that  pass through
               the 10 m  (	) level and  30 m  (...)  level  of Tower B on the crest
               of Cinder  Cone Butte during Experiments 214 - 218.
                                           55

-------
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  nm/H4(
    i.a-
    .8-
    .6-
    .2-
           Bulk Froude Classes
             1.0 —1.5 Q
             1.6 — 2.0 Q
             2.1 —3.0 A
             3.1 —5.0 x
                > 5.0 +
                                               "'
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                         °A .-•'' °    O ° ®^ .-•''° ° O «*°
                     00  O-'J3™0 D O %/! .0'    n     °
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-------
     Results obtained in the EPA Fluid Modeling Facility tow tank and wind
tunnel studies of flow over a bell-shaped hill are also presented in the
figure.  The dashed lines represent tow tank results for Froude numbers of
1.0 and 1.6 and wind tunnel results for a Froude number of infinity (i.e.,
unstratified flow).

     A comparison of streamlines derived from temperature data measured at
CCB, streamlines calculated with potential flow theory, and streamlines
created in physical modeling experiments suggests that the flow above the
critical dividing streamline height may be modeled as weakly stratified or
near-neutral flow.  The use of a neutral flow model that treats the layer of
air below Hc as "dead" in terms of its effect on the dynamics of the flow
above has some merit.  Many of the points lying to the right of the
potential flow curves fall into the lower Froude number classes, thus
following the trend exhibited in the physical modeling of weakly stratified
flows.  The bulk of the data points falls between the two curves calculated
from potential flow theory.  Because CCB has a shape between these two
extremes, this result indicates that the flow above Hc may behave like
unstratified flow much of the time.  But note that this analysis addresses
streamline behavior only over the crest of the hill; many of the flows
characterized as "nearly neutral" on the figure could also have pronounced
lee wave effects.
                                     58

-------
                                  SECTION 4

                             CASE STUDY ANALYSES

     Detailed analyses of several of the hours modeled in the first milestone
report are presented in this section.  In looking at these hours, we assess
the ability of the modeling algorithms discussed in Section 3 to reproduce
tracer concentrations measured over the hill surface.  This assessment uses
all available information, including photographic and lidar data.

     A primary determinant in choosing a subset of the 45 hours modeled in
the previous report is how well particular hours were modeled by the Neutral
and Impingement models.  Those hours for which these models did either well
or poorly were identified, and a subset of 14 were selected according to
whether the SFg release was above or below the critical dividing
streamline, and also according to the quality and availability of
photographic and lidar data.  A summary of the criteria for these 14 hours
is presented in Table 3.


4.1  Experiment 202, Hour 4 (2000-2100 MST)

     4.1.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
northwest side of the hill for the entire hour.  The release crane was
positioned at 1014.6 m, 319.0° at the start of the experiment, and the
release height of 20 m was established at the start of the previous hour.
Therefore, the tracer plume was well established by the beginning of hour 4.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-7.0 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponds to the 13 m height level on the hill.  The SF6
release rate is computed to be 0.082 g/s with an estimated uncertainty of
jK).5%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     During the course of this experiment, several people recorded their
observations about the appearance of the oil-fog plume and its trajectory.
Very few of these observations apply to this hour,  however; those that do
are presented below.

     Time; 1950  It is really cold outside the sampler trailer.   Plume
     appears to be going to the SW,  although it might be striking the W
     knoll.  From my viewpoint here the plume is only visible halfway to the
                                    ' 59

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                                                                  60

-------
     butte.  It's hard to say what it's doing when it reaches the hill.
     There is quite a bit of mixing.   Conditions continue to be quite
     unstable.

     Time: 1958  I'm watching the mobile crane doing its first transect.

     Time: 2053  I've asked the release crew to bring the generator down at
     2100, refuel it, and put it back up at 30 meters.

     Photographs of the plume provide additional information.  The
photographs indicate that the wind direction was fairly steady over this
hour.  In each exposure, the plume appears to be heading toward the south
peak of the hill, although the fog becomes too diffuse to tell if it
actually heads into the northwest draw or passes around to the south of the
hill.  Plume trajectories over or around the hill cannot be discerned.  Only
the first 100 m to 200 m of the trajectory are visible, and this portion
appears to be very level.  The dispersion of the plume also appears to be
unchanging over the hour.  Little if  any differences are noted in the photos
taken from the side.

     Lidar data are quite extensive during this hour, showing that the plume
trajectory was very steady over the hour.  Three planes were sampled by the
lidar:  two upwind of the hill, and the third just downwind.  Plume centroid
positions derived from the lidar along these planes are plotted in
Figure 25, which indicates how the centroid moved in time.  The numbers next
to the positions label 5-minute periods associated with each dot (e.g., the
centroid position measured at some point during the 5-minute period from
2025 to 2030 is labeled by a "6".) Plume centroid positions in Figure 25
indicate that the plume spent much if not all of its time along the
southwest slope ,of the hill.  Plume paths closest to the hill center occur
in the latter half of the hour.

     Estimates of the wind angle at the release point are made using the
plume centroid positions in lidar sampling planes upwind of the hill.  These
calculations are made with the following assumptions:  the calculated
centroid of the instantaneous smoke distribution is representative of a
5-minute mean plume centerline position, plume centerline curvature caused
by the presence of the hill is negligible at the upwind sampling planes, and
potential inaccuracies in the source  position and the lidar position are
small.  Calculated, trajectories from  the source to the first sampling plane
indicate that the wind direction at the start of the hour was nearly 332°,
changing to 337° for most of the first half hour.  Wind directions in the
last half hour varied between 329° and 331°.  Because the source was located
at a bearing of 319° from the hill center, the plume traveled to the
southwest side of the hill.

     Trajectory angles are also computed using the second lidar sampling
plane (closer to the hill) and the source position.  Although the influence
of the hill may be greater, errors in the source location relative to the
centroid positions have a smaller effect on the trajectory calculation.
These calculations produce wind directions of 332° to 335° in the first half
hour, and 327° to 329° in the second  half hour.
                                      61

-------

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     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour are used
to characterize the flow in terms of the critical dividing streamline
height, HC (see Section 2.1, Equation 2).  All wind data used in this
section are taken from the UVW propellor wind sets rather than a combination
of prop data and cup (and vane) data.  The cup data were not explicitly
included because these data were measured only at the 2-m, 10-m, and 150-m
levels where the data capture by the UVW systems was good, and because the
wind data corrections discussed in Section 5 provided an adequate degree of
agreement between these cup and prop data.  The hourly average of the
calculated 5-minute HC values produced an hourly average HC that is
interpreted to be zero, indicating that none of the flow was forced around
(rather than over) the hill.  This is also reflected in the value of the
hill bulk Froude number for the layer between HC and 150 m:  Frg = 2.5.
The corresponding bulk Froude number based upon the horizontal length scale
of the hill is a quarter of this value (H = 100 m, L = 400 m):
F^L = 0.625.  These Froude numbers indicate that although all streamlines
may have passed freely over the top of the hill, there may have been enough
stratification to produce some streamline depression in the lee of the hill.

     Figure 26 contains a time series plot of the calculated 5-minute values
of Hc and FrH for all of Experiment 202.   The minimum value of Hc in
this figure is 1 m, but because we have no data below 2 m, any value less
than 2 m is interpreted as an indication that all streamlines are able to
pass over the hill.  The data show that a stable layer was just starting to
form near the ground during the fourth hour of the experiment but did not
become strong enough to block any flow over the hill.   The Frjj plot also
shows a weak trend toward a more stable atmosphere during the hour.  Because
these variations within the hour are small, the 1-hour average values
adequately characterize the hour.

     Hourly average wind speeds measured by the UVW props at 10 m and 40 m
are 5.6 and 9.5 m/s, respectively.  The 10 m winds are from 324°, as are the
40 m winds, so the winds were strong and unidirectional across the layer
containing the plume.   Figure 27 shows the trend in the wind speeds over the
hour.  The '+' symbols in the figure denote 5-minute values that were
interpolated in time.   Because the variation is small, the 1-hour average
winds characterize the hour very well.

     The variation of wind directions measured at tower A at 10 m and 40 m
are shown in Figure 28 as frequency distributions.  Both distributions are
very narrow; this bears out the observations and photographs discussed
above.  These distributions were computed from the 5-minute average wind
directions.  However,  whenever the recorded data were judged to be bad,
missing, or otherwise unavailable, time-interpolated values were used.  The
method for constructing the distribution is similar to that described in
Section 3.1.4, except no use is made of the 5-minute 0y values.

     In summary, this  hour is characterized as a,high wind speed near
neutral hour, with winds very steady both in time and in height.
                                     63

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             Hc(m)
                     IB.8      1S.8      28.8      21.8      23.8      23.8
24.8      3S.8


   Tli» (Hour)
           18.8-1—r
                             19.8      28.0
                                            	1	
                                             as. e
                                                     22.8      83.8      ^^.«      25.8
                                                                        Tina (Hour)
Figure 26.    Calculated  dividing streamline heights  (Hc)  and  bulk hill Froude
               numbers above Hc  (Fr^)  for Experiment 202.
                                           64

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                                         UVW PROPS AT 40 m
              .0-1	1	1	i——i	1	1	1	1	1	1	:—i	1	1   i    i    i   '
                •   28   •»   et  BO   too  12«  146  lea  180  see £?l>  2<»  see  aaa  399  320  340  see


                                                                          DIRECTION (dag)
                                         UVW PROPS AT 10m
            FREOUENCV <»>
                  	
             8.S-


             3.0


             7.S-
             l.S-


             1.0-


              .S-
              .0-1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1   I    '
                •   20  -to   no  BO  io»  120  no  ico  no  a»  220  24*  :co
                                                                       300  320  340  360



                                                                          DIRECTION Cd«g>
Figure  28.    Calculated wind  direction  distribution functions  for  Experiment

                202,  Hour 4  (2000-210Q  MST).
                                               66

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          Concentrations

      The  distribution  of hourly  averaged  SFg  concentrations  over  the hill
 surface is  shown  in Figure  29.   All concentration  labels are placed so  that
 the lower left-hand corner  of  the  right-most  digit lies at the  sampler
 Ibciation.   Height contours  are presented  at 10 m intervals,  beginning with
 the 5 m height  contour.  The zero  height  coincides with 945  m (3,100 ft)
 above sea level.  The  grid  marks radial distance increments  of  100 m and
 angular increments of  22.5°.

      A trail  of the highest concentrations extends from the  western edge of
 the hill  across the southwestern face.  Little plume material was measured
 on the other  sides of  the hill.  The  largest  concentration was  recorded
 between the 10  m  and 15 m height contours on  the ridge that  forms the
 southern  side of  the northwest draw.  Because this height is very close to
 the relative  height of the  SFg release (13 m); the plume may have risen
 very little in  flowing past the  edge  of the hill.   Other concentrations,
 higher on the hill, indicate that  plume material rose occasionally up the
 ridge toward  the  south peak.

      All  available 10-minute average  SFg concentrations are  presented in
 Figure 30, and  although the coverage  across the hill is considerably less
 than that  for the 1-hour average samplers, the data do show  that the plume
 shifted more  toward the south peak of the hill at  times.  This  is most
 evident from  2030 to 2100,  as indicated in the lidar data.


      4.1.2  Model Performance

      This hour  has been modeled  with  the Lift model because all the evidence
 indicates that  streamlines  at plume height traveled freely over the hill
 rather than being forced onto and around the  sides  of the hill.
Meteorological  data for the modeling has been constructed from temperature
 and UVW prop  measurements at tower A.  Measured values at 10 m and 40 m were
used  to estimate  those for  the 20 m release height.

      The Lift model requires the following input information:

      e    average emission rate  (g/s),
      •    release height (m),
      e    average dividing streamline height (m),
      9    source  location coordinates r (m) 9  (degrees),
          average wind speed (m/s),
          average wind direction (degrees),
          average Brunt-Vaisala  frequency (1/s),
      •    average bulk hill Froude number,
      •    horizontal and vertical turbulence intensities,  and
      •    wind direction probability distribution  function (PDF).

Of  these,  the wind speeds and  distributions were  interpolated to release
height,  the Brunt-Vaisala frequency was  calculated  from the  local
temperature gradient at release height,  and the  PDF was selected from what
e
«.
»
                                67

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Figure 29.   Observed SF6 concentrations (ppt) for Experiment 202,
             Hour 4 (2000-2100 MST).  Source:  r = 1014.6 m, 0 = 319.0°,
             net height = 13 m, Q = .082 g/s.
                                   68

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                            TIRE PERIOD aeee-aeio
                            TIHE PERIOD 2818-SeE*
Figure  30.    Observed 10-minute averages SFg concentrations (ppt)  for
              Experiment 202,  Hour 4  (2000-2100  MST)..
                                     69

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    TIME PERIOD 2620-3830
    TIHE PERIOD 2»39-204»



Figure 30.     Continued.
              70

-------
    Tine PERIOD ae«-E95«
    TIME PERIOD 28S«-aiee
Figure 30.     Continued.
              71

-------
is thought to be the most representative instrument level.  All other
information pertains to either the flow as a whole or to the specifics of
the tracer release.

     Wind speed interpolation was performed with a power law.  Speeds at
10 m and 40 m were used to determine the exponent, and the speed at 20 m was
interpolated from the speed at 10 m with this exponent.

     Turbulence data were interpolated linearly.  The turbulence intensities
at 10 m and 40 m were multiplied by the wind speeds at those levels to
produce av and 0W at 10 m and 40 m.  The values of av and 0W
were then interpolated to 20 m and divided by the calculated wind speed at
20 m to produce the turbulence intensities at source height.  This method
was chosen because 0V and 0W are nearly constant with height in many
cases.  Furthermore, when av or aw vary significantly with height,
there is no apparent pattern (i.e., always increasing, or always decreasing
with height) so that linear interpolation is used in these cases as the
simplest interpolation method.

     Wind directions were not interpolated to release height.  Instead, the
1-hour averaged wind directions measured at the tower A measurement levels
nearest the local release height were compared with wind directions measured
at 10 m and 30 m on top of the south peak, and with plume trajectory
information obtained from plume photographs, lidar data, and observer
comments.  The wind direction thought to be most consistent with these
sources of information was chosen for the modeling.

     During the fourth hour of Experiment 202, mean tower A wind directions
at the nearest levels above and below the release height were both 324°.
However, the directions at 10 m and 30 m on tower B were 328° and 329°,
respectively; and plume trajectories inferred from lidar data varied from
327° to 335°.  Because the plume trajectories sampled by the lidar are
judged to be shifted a little to the south and because the directions at
tower B are influenced by the topography of CCB, a wind direction of 327°
was selected for modeling.  The PDF considered most appropriate is that
derived from the 40 m level of tower A because the 20° spread in the 10 m
PDF at tower A is not consistent with the lidar data.  Model input data are
summarized in Table 4.

     Because the meteorological data and tracer concentrations used in
running the model have been changed since the first milestone report (see
Section 5), the Neutral model has been rerun for this hour with the revised
data.  The Neutral model had produced a peak concentration that was 71% of
the peak observed concentration.  With the refined meteorological and SFg
data, it also calculates a peak concentration that is 71% of the peak
observed value.*  The location of the peak modeled concentration in both
cases is the same, and the spot lies just uphill from the peak observed
concentration.  Modeled concentrations across other parts of the hill are
*The new runs of the Neutral model also used the local source height
 rather than the source height relative to the hill coordinate
 system.  This raises the plume 7 m in this application.
                                     72

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TABLE  4.   NEUTRAL AND  LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 202, CASE HOUR 4
        f-ieteorol oqical  Data

 wind  di rection(deg)     =     527.
 wind  spced(m/s)         =      7.3
 critical  dividinq
   streamline heiqht(m) =       .0
 Iz                     =     .041
         Source  Data

  direction(deg)    =     319.
  distanceCm)       =   1014.6
  release height(nO =     20.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(P/s)     =     .082
   MCl/s)                =    .037
        Receptor Coordinates        Observed
      X(m)      Y(in)      Z(m)      SF6 (ppt)
360. ?2
208.35
ta?.00
159.04
15.97
10.61
?5.15
2.15
-32.79
-23.49
-P4.85
-248.96
95.80
59.13
441.46
256.81
108.15
82.15
312.38
-359.96
-297.1 1
-153.85
-111.85
-80.75
-40.46
.00
.00
.00
122.04
121.29
80.56
190.88
18.88
-249.09
-178.46
-65.1?
-66.71
-231.27
-154.04
-254.87
-148.27
-61.12
-46.12
-41.13
207.8?
171.54
89.88
65.88
194.94
307.35
13.26
31.25
50.00
46.91
90.94
91.97
65.00
80.00
48.82
80.00
90.00
32.90
52.96
80.00
-2.45
25.29
50.00
60.00
14.00
8.9«
28.07
70.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
.00
.00.
9.70
.00
.00
.00
122.10
2.90
202.20
68.92
95.80
390.00
51.44
30.58
.00
.00
4.70
7.00
.00
672.80
434.80
50.40
18.00
.00
.63
 Neutral
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

    .00
    .05
   1.92
    .05
   2.52
   4.83
    .27
  10.62
 158.93
  63.31
  38.93
 439.51
  53.63
  34.79
    .00
    .41
   8.28
  10.50
    .00
 243.82
 478.47
  17.59
  14.40
    .74
    .00
   Lift
Predicted
SF6 Cppt)

    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
 317.95
 265.66
 302.24
  70.03
 124.78
  57.89
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
 154.79
 530.18
 188.33
   9.16
    .00
    .00
                                       73

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smaller and are more in line with observed concentrations.  Figure 31 shows
the distribution of SFg concentrations calculated by Neutral with the new
meteorological data.  These data are also tabulated in Table 4.

     Results of the Lift model calculations are presented in Figure 31 and
tabulated in Table 4.  The overall magnitude of the estimated concentrations
is similar to that of the Neutral results, but the distribution appears to
be too narrow and too far up on the south peak when compared with the
observed concentrations.  The peak modeled concentration is larger, being
79% of the observed peak concentration.  These results indicate that when
the wind speeds are strong and fairly steady, the use of a PDF that is not
measured at the source position could lead to larger errors than does the
use of a Gaussian distribution derived from an interpolated value of iy.
Differences in the ways in which the two models treat the terrain factor and
HC are small for the hour compared to the difference in the horizontal
plume spread results.


4.2  Experiment 202, Hour 5 (2100-2200 MST)

     4.2.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
northwest side of the hill at hour 2111 and continued until 2200.  The
release crane was positioned at 1014.6 m, 319.0° at the start of the
experiment and remained there throughout this hour.  Both release heights
were set at 30 m, 10 m higher than the previous hour.  Consequently, SFg
measurements during this hour may have captured some of the material
released at 20 m just before 2100.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-7.0 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponds to the 23 m height level on the hill.  The SFg
rate is computed to be 0.086 g/s with an estimated uncertainty of +5.7%.  No
Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     During the course of this experiment, several people recorded their
observations about the appearance of the oil-fog plume and its trajectory.
Observations that apply to this particular hour are presented below.

     Time: 2115  The plume seems to be headed right toward the shoulder by
     that tower at this time.  It looks to be quite well spread in the
     horizontal and vertical.  It's not looking like the coherent stable
     plume we had last night, in fact, it has quite a surprisingly vertical
     extent although it is more visible than it was at 1700, so it is
     obviously more stable.

     Time: 2122  Smoke seems to be possibly going to the south of tower F
     now.
                                      74

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Figure 31.   SFg concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment  202, Hour 4
             by the Neutral (top) and Lift  (bottom) models.
                                    75

-------
     Time; 2136  From the location of the release crane,  it definitely  looks
     like the plume is heading right toward tower F.

     These observations indicate that the plume traveled  to the southeast,
spending much of the time near the ridge along the southwest side of the
nor'thwest draw.  Consequently, plume material probably passed through the
draw and over the saddle at the top of the hill at times.

     Photographs of the plume during this hour provide little additional i
information.  The plume photos show the plume traveling toward the hill, but
the smoke is too faint to mark the plume path around the  hill.  Each photo
indicates that the plume trajectory was quite steady over the hour.  The
plume dispersion also appears to be quite steady, although the photos over
the last ten minutes show a measurable reduction in the vertical spread of
the plume.

     Lidar data are quite extensive from 2115 through the end of the hour
(the oil-fog was not turned on until 2111).  Data were obtained in four
sampling planes.  Two were upwind of the hill, one was over the center of
the hill, and one was just downwind of the hill.  Plume centroid positions
in each of these planes are plotted in Figure 32 and labeled by 5-minute
period.

     The centroid positions verify that the wind direction at the release
was very steady and transported the plume toward the ridge line on the
southwest side of the northwest draw (near tower F).  Initial wind
trajectories computed with the centroid locations in the  lidar sampling
plane closest to the source indicate wind directions varying between 329°
and 335°.  Wind directions derived with the next closest  lidar sampling
plane vary between 324° and 331°.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  The average of the 5-minute
Hc values over the hour is 7 m, which indicates that nearly all
streamlines were able to go over the hill.  However, because the local
release height was 30 m, nearly one-quarter of the flow below the plume
height  lay below the dividing streamline; the flow above HC was still
quite neutral.  The average bulk Froude number from Hc to 150 m is 2.4;
thus, Fr£ is 0.6.  These Froude numbers indicate that the plume, embedded
in the  flow above HC, could pass freely over the top of the hill with a
potential for some depression in the lee.

     Figure 26 contains plots of the 5-minute Hc and FrH values for the
experiment.  Hc rose steadily through the hour while Frn remained
constant.  This shows that the lower layer was growing but that the balance
between buoyancy and inertial forces remained steady in the upper layer.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 and 40 m on tower A are 4.7
and 8.9 m/s, respectively.  The 10 m winds were from 331°, and the 40 m
winds were from 326° and, similar to the winds measured in the previous
                                     76

-------
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                                                                                i £SS
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                                                                                                              O  I
                                                                                                              r-l O
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                                                                                                                 CM
                                                                                                              U) v_/
                                                                                                              C
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                                                                                                              •H  3
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                                                                                                              •H O
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                                                                                                               f-I
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-------
hour, are again quite large, with little directional shear across the layer
containing the plume.  Figure 33 shows the trend in the 5-minute wind speeds
over the hour.  Because variations in wind speed were small, the 1-hour
average winds characterize this hour very well.

     Variations in the wind directions measured at tower A at 10 m and 40 m
are shown in Figure 34 as frequency of occurrence distributions.  Although
both distributions are fairly narrow, the 40 m wind distribution is much
narrower than the 10 m distributions.  Because the tracer plume was released
from 30 m, the distribution at 40 m is probably more representative of the
meteorology at plume height; this distribution bears out the observations
and photographs discussed above.

     In summary, this hour was much like the previous hour.  The layer
containing the plume was near neutral with relatively high wind speeds and
little directional wind shear.
         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the hill
surface is presented in Figure 35.  Although fewer samples were obtained
around the south peak than in the previous hour, the overall pattern is
similar.  High concentrations are again seen along the western side of the
hill, and the highest is seen near the 10 m height contour.  This is
somewhat unusual because the release height in this hour corresponded to a
contour height of 23 m.  Some plume material collected at the start of the
hour could have been released from the lower elevation at the end of the
previous hour, but it is not likely that such a dose could dominate the
concentration field.

     The distribution of 10-minute average SF5 concentrations is presented
in Figure 36.  Although no 10-minute data are available in the areas of the
largest 1— hour concentrations, there are two samplers on the south face of
the hill that do record a relatively small dose of SF6 during the first
10 minutes of the hour.  Because the SFg was not turned on until 2111,
these concentrations are attributable to SFg released at the end of the
previous hour, and they indicate that the influence of the release from the
previous hour is small.


     4.2.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height traveled freely over the hill,  as
in the previous hour (see Section 4.1.2).  The meteorological parameters
used in the modeling were prepared in the same way, and are summarized in
Table 5.

     The tower A 1— hour wind direction measured 20 m below the release
height is 331° and that measured 10 m above the release height is 326°.
Wind directions at 10 m and 30 m on tower B are 326° and 327°,
respectively.  Plume trajectories obtained from lidar data range from 324°
                                      78

-------
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79

-------
                                          UVW PROPS AT 40 m
                       4t   e*   as  148  lae 149  tee  jta  209  aaa  a
                                          UVW PROPS AT 10m
             FRCOUCKCV (I)
              5.S-
              5.9-
              <.s-
              4.e-
              3.5-
              3.8-
              B.5-
              s.e-
              1.5-
                >   an  
-------
                                               "••». r = 500m
                                                                   N
                                                                  ••0
Figure 35.   Observed SF^  concentrations (ppt) for Experiment  202,
             Hour 5,  (21.00-2200 MST).   Source:  r = 1014.6 m,  0  =  319.0°,
             net height  =  23  m, Q = .086 g/s.
                                   81

-------
                           TIRE PERIOD
                           T1HE PERIOD 2110-212*
Figure  36.    Observed  10-minute average SF6 concentrations  (ppt)  for
              Experiment 202, Hour  5  (2100-2200 MST).
                                   82

-------
    TINE PERIOD ai£«-ai3e
    TIME PERIOD S13»-ZU»




Figure  36.     Continued.
              83

-------
    tine PERIOD au(-2is*
    Tint PCRIOD aise-aae*
Figure 36.     Continued.
              84

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TABLE 5.   NEUTRAL AND LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 202, CASE HOUR 5
       N'eteorol oqi cal  Data

wind di rect ion(deq)     =
wind speed(m/s)         =
critical dividing
  streamline heignt(m) =.
jz                     =
Jy                     =
                             3?6.
                              7.8

                              7.0
                             .037
                             .060
       Source Data

direction(deg)   =    319.
distance(m)      =  1014.6
release height(m)=    30.0
SF6 emission
    rate(3/s)    =    .086
        Receptor Coordinates        Observed
      X(itO      Y(m)      Z(m)      SF6 (ppt)
360.22
208.35
142.00
159.04
51.04
15.97
25.15
2.15
-66.52
-248.96
163.68
441.46
204.15
B2.15
37.15
-359.96
-297.11
-111.85
-40.85
-80.75
-40.46
.00
.00
.00
122.04
387.66
121.29
190.88
16.88
-505.24
-66.71
-175.52
-254.87
-117.1?
-46.12
-21.1?
207.82
171.54
65.88
28.88
194.94
307.35
13.26
31.25
50.00
46.91
11.78
90.94
65.00
80.00
-3.54
32.90
50.00
-2.45
30.00
60.00
70.00
8.94
28.07
80.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
.00
.00
4.50
.00
.00
.00
53.00
5.10
.00
294.60
6.00
.00
.00
15.00
?9.62
4S5.70
328.10
26.10
10.60
.00
.00
                                                    Neutral
                                                  Predicted
                                                  SF6 (ppt)

                                                      .00
                                                      .03
                                                     3.80
                                                      .05
                                                      .00
                                                     9.41
                                                      .86
                                                    35.52
                                                     5.05
                                                    81.17
                                                    39.83
                                                      .05
                                                     2.20
                                                    27.79
                                                    37.24
                                                    88.61
                                                    428.14
                                                    65.04
                                                    47.89
                                                      3.84
                                                       .00
                Lift
             Predicted
             SF6 (ppt)

                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                25.95
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
                 .00
               125.61
               202.49
                36.94
                 .00
                 .00
                  .00
                                        85

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to 331° over the hour.  Because the measured wind directions at 40 m on
tower A are consistent with both the tower B directions and the lidar
trajectories, 326° is selected as the model wind direction.  Similarly, the
40 m PDF is also used in the modeling.

     Neutral was rerun with the new meteorology; instead of estimating a
peak value 90% of the observed peak value, it produced a value 94% of the
observed peak.  As in the previous hour, the peak observed concentration
occurred more toward the base of the hill.  Modeled concentrations at other
points on the hill are in fair agreement with the observed concentrations.
Figure 37 shows the distribution of calculated concentrations; the data are
also summarized in Table 5.

     Results from Lift computations are displayed in Figure 37 and are also
listed in Table 5.  Concentration estimates are generally much too low.  The
peak modeled concentration is only 44% of the peak observed concentration.
Furthermore, the third largest observed concentration (along the southwest
side of the hill) is underestimated by over a factor of 10 by Lift.  Neutral
underestimates this concentration by a factor of about 3.5.  Therefore, the
Lift model performs worse for this hour than Neutral.

     Because Lift uses a constant terrain factor at all receptors, it may be
instructive to calculate the factor required to reproduce the most important
observed concentrations.  Modeled and observed concentrations are related by
the "modeled" and "observed" terrain factors:
           m
                     zf
                            m
                                                                   (55)
Therefore, the factor needed to produce an observed concentration
within the framework of the Lift model can be computed using model
variables and the observed concentrations:
  2     2
T   = T   + 2
 o     m
                       a
                                m
                                                                   (56)
     The model terrain factor computed for this hour is 0.95.  The factor
required to reproduce the observed concentration at the point of the largest
modeled concentration is T0 = 0.77.  A T0 of 0.40 would have been needed
to reproduce the largest observed concentration.  Therefore, Lift would have
performed better with a terrain factor between 0.5 and 1.0 but still would
not have been able to reproduce the largest observed concentration with any
reasonable value of T0.  Note that Neutral overestimates the observed
concentration at the location of the greatest modeled concentration because
it uses a factor of approximately 0.5 at this receptor, rather than 0.77.
                                     86

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Figure 37.   SFg concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 202, Hour 5
             by the Neutral (top) and Lift (bottom) models.
                                    87

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4.3  Experiment 204, Hour 1 (0000-0100 MST)

     4.3.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
northern side of the hill for virtually the entire hour.   The oil-fog
release was begun three minutes before the hour,  and the  SF6 release was
begun one minute after the start of the hour.  The release crane was
positioned at 1035.7 m, 4.5°, and the height of both releases was 30 m.
Because the SFg release did not begin well before the start of the hour,
the measured concentrations on the hill may not be true 1-hour averages.
Six to seven minutes of travel time could have been lost.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are  estimated to be
-6.8 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system,  so the net
release height corresponded to the 23.2 m height level on the hill.  The
SFg release rate is computed to be 0.094 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of +9%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Many observations of the appearance and trajectory of the oil fog plume
are available for this hour.

     Time: 2357  The plume is just reaching the hill and  is beginning to  go
     around the west side.  It looks quite stable, although the wind is
     brisk enough that it's not the really smeared plume  we've seen in the
     past.  It's not really smearing at all until it gets close to the hill.

     Time; 0002  Plume looks very stable, heading right toward the hill to
     the west side of center.

     Time; 0004  There is a horizontal undulation in the  plume caused by  a
     slight wind shift.

     Time: 0005  I'm at site D8.  The plume is going just east of D8 and  is
     spreading out in a very nice "V" as it comes along.   I estimate that as
     it passes over here, it is about four road widths OW m x 4).  As I
     look downwind it is appearing to kind of go around the hill and then
     loop back a little bit further east so there is some curvature to the
     trajectory.  Quite a bit of horizontal spread, very  pretty.  Part of
     the plume now looks like it is half way between the  road and the hill.

     Time; 0010  The part of the plume that is half way to the hill now
     appears to be going more directly toward the north butte and will have
     to bend very hard to avoid the hill.

     Time: 0014 (?)  From block house on south butte:  I  see plume bending,
     or curving around the west side of the butte and then straightening  out
     downwind of the hill.
                                     88

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Time; 0015  The plume seems to have to take a very definite bend now
around the area of tower F and then it hooks and ends up going south of
the hill.  I can see some of the plume material now in a line between
me at D8 and the base of the FAA tower (on the north peak).  It
actually is going below the base of the FAA tower.  The plume is very
dense and very compact.  There apppears to be very little turbulence at
the present time.

Time: 0018  Plume is going directly towards tower F.  It appears to be
going around the hill to the northwest side.  There is a definite
bifurcation of the plume at tower F.  One plume segment is quite close
to the hill, with quite a bit of vertical motion—a lot of eddys.  The
other to the west of the hill is very flat and much more stable.

Time; Q019  Plume now looks like it will be going through the FAA
tower.  There is a shift to the north occurring.

Time: 0021  Plume is now coming much closer to the hill and may be
fumigating near tower F.  The wind seems to be backing at the present
time and the plume orientation is now to the northeast part of the
hill.  Plume centerline is to the east towards the FAA tower.

Time: 0022  Smoke odor is noted at block house.  Most of the plume
material is going toward tower F.  Most of the draw is filled with
smoke.

Time; 0023  NAWC 2 can smell smoke at the block house.

Time; 0024  Plume is on the east side of the hill.

Time: 0025  The plume has just wiped them out at the block house.

Time: 0026  The plume is hitting very hard at a point at 60C.

Time: 0028  Now the plume is considerably east of the butte.

Time; 0030  The plume centerline now is traveling at a point to the
northeast of the east knoll and it takes a bend at a point right at the
east knoll and goes toward the south on the east side of the hill.   The
plume looks very stratified on the east side of hill.

Time;  0034  Plume is starting to head back toward the hill.

Time; 0036  About two minutes ago, the plume was going directly over
the east knoll and now is on its way up the hill.  It is now in the
small valley between the east knoll and the large hill.

Time; 0040  The plume is approaching the northeast side of the hill.
It starts out on a trajectory right towards tower C, then takes an
extremely wide berth, completely around the hill heading to the south,
but it ends up heading due south in the area of point B3, or B2.
                                89

-------
Time: 0047  Trajectory from the release is headed right back toward the
hill again.  The plume is very wide and, of course, the parent plume is
still going to the east about half-a-hill width away from the hill.
But the new plume apppears to be heading right toward the north butte
r"ight now and we'll see where it goes.

   The plume orientation has continued to veer to a point where it is
heading directly towards the FAA tower and it looks like it is
continuing to veer somewhat.  The centerline is now to the west side of
the tower.

Time; 0049  The plume is really wide and its initial trajectory is to
the west side of the FAA tower.

Time: 0050  The plume is pretty much plastering the hill right now.  Up
close to the hill you can see that the plume is stratified from the
east to the west.  There appears to be considerable dispersion in the
plume close to the release with a few undulations between the release
point and the hill.

Time; 0053  From just below block house, the plume width appears to be
about 1—hill width.  The plume is smearing across the north ridge that
the power line comes up, and is just reaching the northwest draw, as it
begins to smear around the west side.

Time: 0055  It has just reached the ridge below tower F.  It looks like
the creeping plague as it smears around the northwest side of the hill
now, streaming over the ridge by tower F, but below tower F.

Time;  0056  Plume appears quite stable as it approaches the north end
of the hill; some undulation and considerable vertical spreading as it
impacts the hill.  Plume is also visible on the south side of the
hill.  I'm framing the butte in the center of the picture, trying to
catch plume on both sides of butte.

Time: 0057  Airplane reports that the plume is on the west side of the
hill.

Time; 0059  The plume centerline has continued to veer until about this
time.   It was at one time pointing towards the northwest side of the
hill and now the orientation is starting to back.  The plume centerline
now is directly toward the FAA tower.  The plume has continued to veer
in back from the east side of the hill to the west side of the hill,
with almost continual fumigation on the north end of the hill.

Time; 0100  Plume is hitting the west side of the hill and northwest
draw.   Centerline is shifting to the east again, and appears to be
heading toward FAA tower.  One third of the way to the hill the plume
rises abruptly, flowing upward, then leveling out again before smearing
against the hill.
                                90

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     The observations clearly indicate that the wind was very unsteady over
the hour, carrying the plume from one side of the hill to the other, and
back again.      -                                            ......  : -.   .....-,

     At the start of the hour, the plume was fairly compact, traveling
slightly to the west of the center of the hill.  By the second 5-minute
period, an eastward shift was noted, and the plume trajectory came closer to
the hill center.  Throughout the second and third periods, the plume came
very Close to the ridge line below tower F.  The plume continued to move
eastward in the fourth period, and was clearly hitting the hill in the area
of the northwest draw to the east of tower F.  This was confirmed by the
smoke odors noted at the block house (located on the helicopter landing pad)
near the top of the northwest draw.  The plume shifted to the northeast face
of the hill by the end of the fifth period, and was considerably east of the
hill by the end of the sixth period (half past the hour).

     The plume remained east of the hill for the next ten minutes (periods 7
and 8), but then started to swing back toward the hill during period 9.
This shift continued in period 10, and the plume then appeared very wide as
it aimed toward the center of the hill.  The plume continued to shift in
period 11, and was once again streaming across the ridge line below
tower F.  The trajectory remained to the northwest side of the hill, until
it started to shift toward the center of the north face by the end of the
hour.

     Photographs of the plume also document the shifts in the plume
trajectory.  The plume spread from the north face of the hill to the western
edge during periods 3 and 4, and it was well to the east during periods
5-8.  The shift back toward the hill center is seen during periods 9 and 10,
and the plume was spread from the north face around the west side once again
during periods 11 and 12.

     Data from the lidar also document the plume trajectory descriptions
during periods 4-12.   Many sampling planes were used because the plume
shifted around so much, resulting in fewer than the normal number of samples
in each plane.  Plume centroid positions in each plane are plotted in
Figure 38 and labeled by the corresponding 5-minute period.   These centroid
positions show the plume trajectory to be toward the western side of the
hill during periods 4, 10, 11, and 12, and toward the eastern side of the
hill during periods 5, 6,  7, and 8.   The easternmost trajectory occurred
during period 8, corresponding to an estimated wind direction of about
334°.   The westernmost trajectory is unknown because no lidar data were
taken during the first 15 minutes, but the westernmost trajectory of those
sampled by the lidar corresponds to a wind direction of 030°.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data from tower A were used to characterize the
flow during this hour in terms of Hc.   The average of the 5-roinute Hc
values over the hour is 58 m,  which is indicative of very stable flow at
plume height.  Because the plume was released at a local elevation of 30 m,
it was well within the layer that is unable to surmount the  hill (according
                                     91

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to the simplified energy argument used to derive Hc).  Above HC, the
bulk hill Froude number is 1.9, so the flow at this level was only weakly
stable.  Frj, above HC is 0.37; hence, a definite depression of
streamlines in the lee is expected.

     Figure 39 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frji values for this
experiment.  Hc values ranged from 45 m to 74 m over the hour, but these
fluctuations are likely to be unimportant in modeling this hour because the
plume height remained well below Hc.  FrH above Hc changed from
1.5 to 3.0 during the hour.  The effect of this change on the plume
trajectory is unclear.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 m and 40 m on tower A are
2.4 and 2.0 m/s, respectively.  The 10 m winds were from 010°, and the 40 m
winds were from 359°.  Therefore, the change in mean wind direction with
height over the layer containing the plume was quite small.  Figure 40 shows
the variation in wind speed during the hour and it too is fairly small.
Consequently, the 1-hour average wind speeds are an adequate representation
of the hour.

     Variations in the wind direction measured at 10 m and 40 m at tower A
are shown in Figure 41 as frequency distributions.  Both distributions are
quite broad, stretching from 340° (320°) to about 65° (40°).  The
distribution at 40 m has two major peaks, and the trough between the peaks
lies close to the wind direction that would have advected the plume toward
the hill.  This is consistent with the observational data discussed above.

     In summary, the plume lay well below HC and therefore probably
traveled around rather than over the hill.  The winds were 2-3 m/s from 10 m
through 80 m.  Wind directions pointed the plume preferentially to the east
and west of the hill, so the only impact near the center of the hill
occurred during periods of shifting winds.  The photographs indicate that
such a shift occurred twice during the hour.

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SF6 concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 42.  The pattern indicates that plume
material smeared widely over the hill, but the higher concentrations are
found either on the east or west slopes of the hill.

     Because the plume spent a good deal of time to the east of the hill,
the highest concentration southeast of the hill at about the 10 m contour is
probably due to the length of the time that the plume was nearby, and not to
a very strong but momentary dose from the plume.  The second highest
concentration occurred at a height of about 65 m on the ridge line along the
southwest side of the northwest draw, near tower F.  The plume was seen to
stream by this area early in the hour and again late in the hour.  In fact,
observers noted that the plume was "fumigating" near tower F at 0021 as the
plume swung across . the hill.
                                     93

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             Hc(m)
                                                                     *  »» *
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                                             " i ' »* *.        / '• »\/ '*  /

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                           i i
                                                            *
                     t.e       2.«
                                                                       Tl» (Hour)
                                                    s.«      s.e      ?.*      s.e
                                                                       Tin* (Hour)
Figure 39.    Calculated dividing  streamline heights  (Hc)  and bulk hill Froude

               numbers above  Hc  (F^H)  for  Experiment 204 .
                                           94

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                                        UVW PROPS AT 40m
             7.5-
             7.8-
             6.5-
             6.0-
             S.S-
             S.«-
             •(.S-
             4.8-
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                                    —i	1	r-
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                                                                        DIRECTION 
                                         UVW PROPS AT 10 m
             s.e
             s.s
             s.e
             7.5
             7.e
             s.s
             6.e
             s.s
             5.0
                                                                     see 3ao  3
-------
Figure 42.    Observed SF6 concentrations (ppt) for Experiment 204,
             Hour 1 (0000-0100 MST).   Source:  r = 1035.7 m, 0 = 4.5°,
             net height = 23.2 m, Q'= .094 g/s.
                                 97

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     Most of the other "high" concentrations are spread along a band between
45 and 65 ra across the north side of the hill.  Because the release height
corresponded to the 23 m height contour, the plume material must have lifted
about 30 m as it flowed up around the hill.

     The 10-minute average SF6 concentration data are presented in
Figure 43.  Fortunately, two of the higher 1-hour concentrations over the
hill were recorded at 10-minute samplers.  Nearly all of the SFg measured
at these two samplers was recorded between 0020 and 0030.  During this
period, the plume swung from the west wide of the hill to the east side,  and
reports of strong smoke odors were reported on top of the hill.  Probably,
most of the concentrations measured on the hill were recorded during this
phase of the wind shift.


     4.3.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Wrap model because the plume was
released well below Hc, and it was therefore expected that the plume would
have run into and curved around the hill rather than over the hill.
However, because the winds tended to take the plume well to one side of the
hill or the other, the frequency of occurrence of "impingement" wind
directions is relatively small.

     All meteorological data were prepared for the release height as
described in Section 4.1.2.  The resulting values are summarized in
Table 6.  The tower A 1-hour wind direction measured 20 m below the release
height is 010°, and the wind direction 10 m above the release height is
359°.  Wind directions at 10 m and 30 m on tower B are 351° and 354°,
respectively.  The lidar and photographic data show a highly variable wind
direction during the hour.  Because the release height was closest to the
40 m level (359°) and because the winds were so highly variable, 359° is
used as the model wind direction.  The PDF computed with 40 m wind data is
also used in the model.

     The Impingement model was modified to calculate concentrations along
the sides of the hill, not just at the point of maximum expected
concentration.  The modified version of Impingement was rerun with the
revised meteorology for comparisons with the Wrap model.

     The results from both calculations are listed in Table 6 and plotted on
a map of CCB in Figure 44.  Both modeled sets of concentrations lie within a
factor of 2 of the observed concentrations on the hill but are placed
incorrectly.  This is partly attributable to the basic model formulation.
The models assume that the plume remains horizontal as it impinges on the
hill at the stagnation point and wraps around the sides of the hill
thereafter.  In this idealized picture of plume behavior, the high
concentrations estimated from the models should be confined to a band around
the hill at the height of release.  Furthermore, the models compute only
concentrations associated with the wind direction that lies along the
                                      98

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                           ritiE PERIOD eew-eoio
                            Tine PERIOD eeie-uoaa
Figure  43.    Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations  Cppt)
              Experiment 204,  Hour 1  (0000-0100 MST).
                                    99

-------
    tint PERIOD 8028-8030
    TINE PERIOD «39-«8<9
Figure 43.     Continued.
              100

-------
    TIRE PERIOD oe«e-ease
    Tine PERIOD eese-oieo
Figure 43.     Continued.
             101

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 TABLE 6.  IMPINGEMENT AND WRAP  MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 204,
            CASE  HOUR 1
       Meteoroloqical Data

wind direction(dep)    =    359.
wind speed(m/s)        =     2.1
critical dividing
  streamline height(m) =    58.0
Iz                     =    .049
Iy                     =    .341
  NCl/s)               =    .051
                                                      Source Data

                                               direction(deg)    =      5.
                                               distance(m)       ='  1035.7
                                               release height(m)=    30.0
                                               SF6 emission
                                                   rate(q/s)    =    -09a
  Receptor Coordinates
X(ir)
                                   Observed
                                   SF6 (ppt)
208.35
257.78
195.15
159.04
P5.15
51.04
29.59
20.07
15.97
10.61
25.15
2.15
-38.04
-15.01
•177.41
-84.85
•144. R5
-60.65
31.69
77. B7
59.13
199.06
91.36
355.15
142.15
108.15
37.15
183.53
•359.96
•297.11
•246.20
•153.85
-40.85
-80.75
-29.85
.00
33.94
149.74
122.04
64.88
387.66
224.79
152.45
121.29
80.56
190.88
18.88
-288. 9«
-113.99
-136.13
-65.12
-38.12
-16.12
-258.06
-290.63
-154.04
-259.43
-109.36
-205.04
-81.12
-61.12
-21.12
-49.18
207.82
171.54
142.14
89.88
28. 8H
1°4.94
104. 8".
31.25
30.00
27.41
46.91
80.00
11.78
51.51
81.06
90.94
91.97
65.00
80.00
32.94
98.96
49.21
90.00
80.00
80.00
50.00
35.10
80.00
30.00
65.00
5.69
40.00
50.00
70.00
30.00
8.94
28.07
47.96
70.00
80.00
50.00
R5.00
35.90
64.80
44.10
115.55
1.20
26.20
9.28
14.62
2.80
5.30
39.90
.00
20.80
5.50
14.84
13.70
25.20
20.40
7.30
17.50
.00
25.90
3.60
234.20
6.14
7.30
11.20
8.70
30.90
16.10
35.80
121.07
16.80
12.60
.00
Impingement
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

 195.85
 205.66
 2/16.25
 120.71
    .43
 122.14
  80.02  '
    .08
    .00
    .00
   6.80
    .11
 121.60
    .06
  77.46
    .21
   1.20
   1.20
  66.65
 127.10
   1.93
 147.79
  16.29
  52.71
 136.83
  76.47
   7.43
 180.13
  70.28
 222.07
 104.36
   5.04
    .54
  94.28
    .04
   Wrap
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

 146.14
 153.79
 183.50
  66.86
    .02
  57.71
  31.42
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .90
    .00
  89.78
    .00
  44.21
    .01
    .13
    .13
  38.46
  92.84
    .27
 109.95
   5.08
  24.'94
  94.42
  41.88
   1.62
 134.40
  38.08
 165.71
  57.13
    .80
    .03
  43.85
    .00
                                      102

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Figure 44.   SF6 concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment  204, Hour  1
             by the Impingement (top] and Wrap (bottom) models.
                                    103

-------
 stagnation  streamline, so concentrations to the side of the hill are not
 simulated.

     We do  not expect the model to match observed features away from this
 Impingement region.  However, the model can be considered to be useful if it
 reproduces  the most  important aspects of the observed concentration
 pattern.  The model  is useful if the highest observed concentrations are
 located within a band near the height of release and if the magnitudes of
 the model estimates  are "reasonably" close to observed concentrations on the
 hill.

     The highest observed concentration of 234 ppt occurred at 5.7 m, close
 to the base of the hill.  This could be associated with the plume when it
 was located to the east of the hill.  (Recall that the model assumes that
 all concentrations on the hill are caused only by a plume along the
 stagnation  streamline, not elsewhere.)  The second highest observed
 concentration of 121 ppt (see Table 6) occurs near the top of the hill at
 70 m.  The  level-flow assumption in the model cannot account for this
 implied large upward deflection of the plume.

     The highest modeled concentrations from Wrap range from 134 ppt to
 183 ppt and occur in the band around the release height of 30 m.  These
 should be compared to the concentration of 116 ppt measured at 47 m.

     The estimates from Impingement are 50% to 100% larger than those of
 Wrap.  This result is probably related to the Gaussian probability density
 distribution used in the Impingement model.  This distribution overestimates
 the probability that the wind blew along the stagnation streamline during
 this hour.

     In summary, the wind direction distribution assumed by the model for
 this hour is critically important.  Because the plume spent very little time
 near the stagnation  streamline during the hour, a distribution that is
 peaked preferentially along that streamline (such as a Gaussian
 distribution) will cause any model to perform poorly for this hour.  High
 concentrations away  from the hill cannot be estimated well because the model
 is not designed for  these receptors.  The high concentrations toward the top
 of the hill are "fair game" for the model,  but their locations cannot be
 expected to coincide with the peak concentrations predicted from the
 level-flow models.
4.4  Experiment 205, Hour 4 (0300-0400 MST)

     4.4.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
southeast side of the hill from 0300 to 0349.  The release crane was
positioned at 1155.1 m, 120.1°, and the release height was set at 40 m.
Because the release was continuous from the previous hour, the sampler
measurements correspond to the indicated release data.  However, the release
terminated 10 minutes early} therefore, the SF6 may not represent a true
                                     104

-------
 1-hour average.  With a wind speed of about 4 m/s at 40 m, the last tracer
material released would take 4 to 5 minutes to reach the hill.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-8.9 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponded to the 31.1 m height level on the hill.  The
SFg release rate is computed to be 0.083 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of +2.7%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Many observations of the appearance and trajectory of the oil-fog plume
are available for this hour.

     Time: 0258 ^  Aircraft reports the plume going between the two. peaks and
     I can confirm that from my vantage point,  about  E4.

     Time; 0259  Smoke odor is reported on north butte.

     Time:  0300  I am standing on the  north butte and it  appears  that  the
     plume is heading toward the south peak,  toward  tower D.   Neph data is
     being acquired—should get  good data.

     Time;  0301  The  plume  is really bombing the draw area right  now.

     Time;  0311  Plume is still  going  directly  up  the east  draw.   There  is
     some horizontal  spreading as it approaches the butte.  Plume  strikes
     the  hill and  bends sharply  upward,  flowing through draw at height over
     north knoll  (and probably also over south  knoll).  Thick  smoke in draw
     now.

     Time:  0315  Lidar reports plume still  going up draw.

     Time:  0316   I  am on the north peak and the plume  looks like it is going
     up the draw.   Winds are  pretty brisk up here.  Dan just said  about
     12 m/s versus  about 8 m/s at the equivalent level of the 150 m tower so
     it appears there is an acceleration of the wind  as it goes up the butte.

     Time:  0318  The  plume is headed toward the north butte now, when just a
     couple of minutes ago it was on the south butte.

     Time: 0321  Strong oil fog odor is noticed on the north butte.

     Time:  0322  Plume is going up draw, and can be seen well into the lee
     side of the hill.

    Time; 0323  Lidar reported the plume on the lee side of the hill is
    elevated.   It is really whipping through the draw,  accelerating as it
    goes over the backside of the hill.

    Time: 0326  I'm standing on the backside of the  draw.  The plume is
    accelerating rapidly up the draw—very strong winds up here.
                                   105

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     Time; 0328  The smoke is roaring up the draw and I'm up by the draw now
     and it is coming through very heavily,  I can smell it very strongly.
     The winds are quite brisk.  This is very unusual.   We've got a 6 m/s
     wind roaring up the draw from the southeast.  We've never had anything
     like this.

     Time; 0334  The plume is still accelerating up through the draw—you
     can see pieces coming over the lee side of the hill.

     Time: 0338  I am going down the road that services the butte.  The
     plume appears to be going right up the  draw from my vantage point.  The
     plume has some vertical growth.  It looks like there is some mechanical
     turbulence that is pulling the plume apart - much  more than it was
     during experiment 204.

     Time: 0340  Parked under the plume, I can see it going right up the
     draw.
     hill.
It is accelerating rapidly as it goes up over the top of the
     Time: 0345  Parked near the release crane, it looks like the plume is
     going towards the north knoll and up the draw.

     Time; 0350  We're taking the fogger down to refuel it.
     The observations indicate that plume behavior was remarkably steady
throughout the hour.  Most of the time, the plume was transported into the
southeast draw and up over the saddle between the two peaks,  and when it
wandered from this trajectory, it veered no further than the  north or south
peaks.  Other observations indicate that the trajectory of the plume over
the hill rose sharply over the saddle with little discernable depression in
the lee.  As the plume "jumped1 over the saddle,  acceleration in the flow
was readily apparent, and the plume appeared to be diffusing  steadily in the
turbulent flow.

     Photographs of the plume illustrate many of these observations, and one
characteristic photo is displayed in Figure 45.  This photo is part of a
series taken from camera position 0-19 (behind the release crane, see
Figure 46), toward magnetic bearing 240°.  Each photo in the  series is a
5-minute time exposure.

     Seen from behind the release crane, the plume is fairly  compact and
very steady.  The plume appears to approach the hill along a  level
trajectory, and then lifts just enough to follow the terrain  up and over the
hill.  Areas between the two peaks above the 50 m height contour appear to
receive the most plume material, but the plume becomes very diffuse near the
hill top.  It therefore cannot be seen clearly just where over the top the
bulk of the plume goes when it does not go over the saddle.
                                     106

-------
                                                              
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108

-------
     Lidar data during this hour are fairly sparse,  but the plume was so
steady that even two or three profiles of the plume  in three planes provide
useful information.  All three lidar sampling planes were on the upwind side
of the hill.  One of these was near the base of the  hillsource,  one was near
the 20 m height contour, and the third cut across the 50 m height contour of
the southeast shoulder of the hill.  Plume centroid  positions from these
planes are plotted in Figure 47 and they agree with  plume trajectories seen
in the photographs.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  However, because the
V-component of the wind set at 40 m was missing during this experiment, wind
speeds were inferred for this height before HC was computed.

     Wind speeds at 40 m were inferred from the data from the 80 m wind set
and the U-component measured at 40 m.  We assumed that the 80 m wind
direction was not much different from that at 40 m and therefore, this
direction was used to calculate the total wind speed at 40 m.  Furthermore,
to include the speed adjustment applied to the wind  data (see Section 5.1),
the computed 40 m wind speed was modified by the same factor used in
adjusting the 80 m wind speed.  This is an approximate method intended to
produce wind speed estimates that are at least partially consistent with the
good data obtained at 40 m.  Because the winds were from the
south-southeast, small errors in wind direction should not have produced
large errors in the inferred wind speed.

     The hourly averaged value of HC is 15 m, which indicates that the
plume at 40 m should have surmounted the top of the hill.  The flow above  <
Hc has a bulk hill Froude number of 3.0; hence, stratification had only a
weak effect on the flow over the top.  FrL for the flow above HC is
0.74, which indicates a potential for some depression of the plume on the
lee side.

     Figure 48 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frji values for this
experiment.  Hc was approximately 10 m for the first 35 minutes of the
hour and then rose steadily to a peak of more than 30 m by the end of the
hour.  Frn held steady near 3.0 for the hour.  However, nothing in the
observation logs or in  the available photographs indicates that the plume
behaved differently during the latter part of the hour as Hc grew from
10 m to 30 m.  If the concentration field was similarly insensitive to this
change in HC, then models that treat the flow below HC as a  "dead" layer
may be too  sensitive  to this parameter.  (But the 10-minute  concentrations
do reflect  the Hc trend-see below).

     The hourly averaged wind speed at 40 m  on tower A is estimated to be
5.9 m/s, and the direction from the 80 m level is 123°.  Figure 49 shows the
trend  in wind speeds  between  10 m  and 80 m during the hour.  The wind  speed
shear  is seen to be substantial, and the inferred winds at 40 m appear
reasonable.  During the first half hour, the winds were fairly constant, but
wind speeds at each level fell off during the last half hour.  This decrease
                                     109

-------
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-------
           Hc(m)
         se'. B-
                                         ;s
                      V':

            .6      1.6      2.6      3.6      4.6      5.6
              	1	1	1	1	1        I       '
            .6      1.8      2.8      3.6     4.6      6.6      6.6      7.6      8.6

                                                                  Tin* (Hour)


           FrH            	'       	;	
                                                                  Tin* (Hour)
Figure 48.    Calculated dividing streamline heights (Hc) and bulk hill Froude
              numbers  above Hc  (FrH)  for Experiment 205.
                                        Ill-

-------
                         00
                                                         0
-M-
                                                                                              IT)
                                                                                              m
                                                                                              CTi
                           112

-------
in speed corresponds to the increase in HC.  Because of the wind speed
dilution factor in expressions for computed concentrations and because in
the Lift model the increase in HC brings the plume closer to the hill
surface as it travels over the top, concentrations in the latter part of the
hour might be expected to be greater than those early in the hour,  given
similar wind directions.

     Variations in the wind directions measured at tower A at 10 and 80 m
are presented in Figure 50 as frequency distributions.  The distribution of
10 m winds covers a range of 30° and that at 80 m covers about 10°.  The
80 m wind distribution is probably more representative of the winds at
release height because the photos and the observation log both suggest that
the wind direction was very steady.

     In summary, the plume was released above HC in a region characterized
by 4 to 7 m/s winds, virtually no wind direction shear, very little wind
meander, and large Froude numbers (both Frn and FrL suggest only weak
stratification effects).  Therefore, it is likely that the plume traveled
horizontally until it got close to the hill and then flowed over the top
with some depression in the lee.  This is quite consistent with the
observations and photos reviewed above.

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SF6 concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 51.  The pattern indicates that most
of  the plume material went over the saddle between the two peaks, producing
the highest concentrations in the saddle areas.  Other significant
concentrations are found between the 30 m contour in the southeast draw on
the windward side of the hill and the 35 m contour near the northwest draw.
The 30 m height contour corresponds directly to the relative release
height.  This pattern is consistent with the smoke plume observations and
the flow parameters derived from the meteorological data.

     The distribution of 10-minute SF6 concentrations is presented in
Figure 52.  Very little SFg is measured during the first 10-minute period
even though the photographs show the oil-fog plume traveling toward the
center of the hill.  This may be attributable to not having 10-minute
average SF6 data anywhere on the windward side of the hill during this
period.  Most of the other plots contain data from both the windward and
leeward sides of the hill, and concentrations just beyond the saddle (on the
lee side) tend to be greater than those upwind.  The only time when the
concentrations on the windward face exceeded concentrations just beyond the
saddle was during the last 10 minutes of the hour.  Concentrations were
expected to be quite small during this period, because the tracers were shut
off at  0350, but those concentrations measured in the southeast draw are
nearly as great as any other during the hour.  This implies that the
increase in HC late  in the hour could have brought the plume closer to the
surface, and the material released between 0345 and 0350  (the travel time to
the hill center with the 4 m/s winds is about 5 minutes) produced
concentrations as large as those produced earlier in the hour over 10-minute
time periods.
                                      113

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                                        UVW PROPS AT 80 m
              .8-t	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	
               9   28  48   66   83  188  129  140  163  183  333  229  248 263  SB*  333  328  348 368

                                                                        DIRECTION Idoj)
                                         UVW PROPS AT 10m
              ,8-

              ,6-

              ,8-

              ,S-

              O-l
                8   28  43  63   88  188
                                           —1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1—
                                            168 ISO  288 22*  243  268  2B8  388 328  348  368
                                                                        DIRECTION 
-------
Figure 51.   Observed SFg concentrations (ppt) for Experiment 205,
             Hour 4, (0300-0400 MST).  Source:  r = 1155.1 m, 9 = 120.1°,
             net height = 31.1 m, Q = .083 g/s.
                                   115

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                            TIME PERIOD 6308-0318
                            Tine PERIOD 03te-»32»
Figure  52.   Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations (ppt) for
              Experiment 205,  Hour 4  (0300-0400  MST).
                                    116

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     TIRE PERIOD »3S»-»33t
    TIME PERIOD e33e-63<«
Figure 52.     Continued.
              117

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    TIDE PERIOD 83<0
    TIRE PERIOD 9350-8100



Figure  52.    Continued.
             118

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     4.4.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height traveled freely over the hill.
Meteorology used in the modeling was prepared as in Section 4.1.2, except
that nb interpolation to release height was necessary because the plume was
released at 40 m, an instrumented level on tower A.  The data are summarized
in Table 7.

     The 1-hour average wind directions at 10 m and 80 m on tower A (the
40 m wind data were incomplete) are 119° and 123°,  and the directions at
10 m and 30 m on tower B are 117° and 119°.  Lidar data support a transport
wind direction between 117° and 122°, and the photographs support a
direction of almost 121°.  Therefore, the modeling wind direction for this
hour is set to 121°.  Because the PDF computed from the 80 m directions is
narrower than that at 10 m, the 80 m PDF is judged to be more representative
of the wind distribution at source height.

     Neutral was rerun with the new meteorological data.  Instead of
estimating a peak value 117% of the observed peak value, it produced a value
129% of the peak observed.  The peak observed value occurs on the saddle
above the northwest draw, and the modeled maximum occurs near the height of
release in the windward draw.  Concentrations in the windward draw area and
around the two peaks are generally high, but concentrations elswewhere
compare well.  Figure 53 shows the distribution of calculated concentrations
plotted on a map of CCB, and the results are also summarized in Table 7.

     Results from Lift computations are displayed in Figure 53, and are also
listed in Table 7.  Concentration estimates are generally too low.  The
maximum occurs halfway down the lee side and is 72% of the largest observed
concentration.  Some of the discrepancy between modeled and observed
concentrations appears to be caused by a slight misalignment in the mean
wind direction.  The model tends to shift the concentration field too far
toward the north peak (more weight should have been given to the wind
directions from tower B).  Had the patterns been aligned better, the model
estimate of 172 ppt on the lee side of the hill would have been comparable
to the observed concentrations of 200 ppt to 205 ppt in that same area.  But
such a shift would not have improved the correspondence on the windward side
and over the saddle.

     Terrain factors (To) computed from model estimates and observed
concentrations in the upper portion of the southeast draw and over the
saddle vary between 0.73 and 0.83.  A" couple of concentration estimates on
the southern side of the draw produce To values near 0.6, but these are
probably unrealistically low because of the wind alignment problem.  To
values on the lee side range from 0.76 near the saddle to 1.0 at the base of
the hill, and these too are likely to increase (at least near the hilltop)
with a shift in the wind direction.  Therefore, within the framework of
Lift, terrain factors of 0.7 to 0.8 over the top of the hill appear
reasonable.  Moreover, a factor near unity fits the observations toward the
base of the hill, even on the lee side, which indicates that any lee wave
                                      119

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TABLE 7.  NEUTRAL AND LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS  -  EXPERIMENT 205, CASE  HOUR 4
        Keteorolopical Data

  wind  direction(deg)    =    121.
  wind  speed(m/s)        =     5.9
  critical dividinp
    streamline heiaht(m) =    10.0
  Iz                    =    .031
  ly                    =    .069
    NCI/S)               =    .042
       Source Data

direction(deg)    =     120.
distance(m)       =   1155.1
release height(m)=     40.0
SF6 emission
    rate(g/s)    =     .083



Receptor Coordinates
X(m)
360.22
208.35
H2.00
257.76
195.15
65.15
SI. OH
P9.59
15.97
10.61
2.15
-38. 01
-15.01
-19.85
-PI. 85
•396.68
•248.96
77.87
199.06
91.36
163.68
355.15
201.15
112. IS
37.15
•359.96
•297. 1J
•269.62
•216.20
•153.85
•111.85
-10.85
•HI. 42
Y(m)
.00
.00
.00
33.94
149.74
64.88
387.66
224.79
121.29
80.56
18.88
-288.98
-113.99
-149.12
-65.12
-106.29
-66.71
-290.63
-259.43
-109.36
-175.52
-205.04
-117.12
-8J.12
-21.12
207.8?
171.54
155.66
142.14
P9.88
65. 8B
28.88
141.12
Z(n>)
13.26
•31.25
50.00
30.00
27.41
80.00
11.78
51.51
90. 9'1
91.97
80.00
32.94
98.96
90.00
90.00
3.44
32.90
35.10
30.00
65.00
50.00
5.69
30.00
40.00
70.00
8.94
28.07
38.07
47.96
70.00
80.00
80.00
50.00

Observed
SF6 (ppt)
9.20
11.00
37.40
12.10
2.90
69.00
.00
5.16
58.40
96.70
201.70
31.90
57.70
52.50
82.80
11.80
24.80
23.00
82.80
1 14.00
101.10
21.70
150.90
191.00
205.80
83.60
98.10
123.20
129.50
205.08
217.90
239.20
. 131.00
Neutral
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)
1.20
91.67
260.29
19.05
2.93
264.08
.07
64.97
250.81
268.29
?75.42
.08
210.60
167.71
203.51
.39
17.12
.57
13.49
247.20
178.26
31.67
206.23
308.37
280.53
72.91
151 .48
207.05
222.18
239.85
248.22
263.81
236.67
Lift
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)
.00
8.09
94.76
.00
.00
13.83
.00
.00
14.73
108.46
118.51
.00
12.64
8.90
26.76
.00
.00
.00
.00
25.73
19.93
49.07
77.13
86.34
98.60
116.90
116.11
115.58
115.03
111.86
109.81
105.43
171.54
                                      120

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Figure 53.   SF6 concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment  205,  Hour 4
             by the Neutral (top) and Lift  (bottom) models.
                                   121

-------
influence near the hill produced no net change in the symmetry of the
terrain factor from the windward side of the hill to the leeward side.

     In summary, the use of a terrain factor between 0.7 and 0.8 over the
top of the hill would improve the estimates from both the Neutral and Lift
models.  Furthermore, the narrower horizontal distribution produced by the
PDF appears to provide a better representation of observed concentrations
than does the Gaussian distribution based on the measured iz.
4.5  Experiment 205, Hour 5 (0400-0500 MST)

     4.5.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SF6 tracer gas were released from the
southeast side of the hill at 1155.1 m, 120.1° for nearly the entire hour.
The SFg release began at 0403 and .terminated at 0455.  The oil-fog ran
from 0400 through 0500.  The release height was 50 m, 10 m higher than the
release height during the previous  hour.  However, because the release
terminated 10 minutes early during the previous hour, the height change is
not a factor in interpreting the SFfr measurements made during hour 5.
     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-8.9 m relative to the zero of the  hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponds to the 41.1 m height level on the hill.  The
SFg release rate is computed to be  0.087 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of j£7.7%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Many observations of the appearance and trajectory of the oil-fog plume
are available for this hour.

     Time : 0402  They are back up with the thermofogger at 50 meters.

     Time: 0406 (?)  Plume is still going up the draw after switching
     release height to 50 m.  Heading right over the mobile crane towards
     the draw.  Plume is a little more wispy looking at this altitude.

     Time : (?)  Smoke odor is evident outside sampler trailer, but is  much
     stronger over by draw.   Odor may be stronger standing up (or on boxes,
     etc.) than right close to the  ground.

     Time: 0430  Tethersonde winds  at 40 m: 120-130°,  10.5 m/s.

     Time: 0437  The lidar was reporting that this new plume at 50 meters
     was going up and over the hill.   From my vantage point,  behind the
     release crane, it looks like that might be possible.   The plume travels
     level toward the hill until it gets in the vicinity of the mobile  crane
     and then does a steep climb.  It looks almost like it goes through the
     draw area,  but even with the two peaks,  which would put  it some 10
     meters above the ground or so.  Because the wind speed now is so  brisk
     in the 8-9 m/s range,  the plume is becoming harder to see.
                                     122

-------
      Time: 0440  I'm down around S3 and it definitely looks like the plume
      is going over the hill in the vicinity of the draw.  This is really
      beautiful to see, we've talked about this, seeing the plume approach
      and then just go up and over the hill without appearing to touch it too
      much, although I'm sure that there is some impact.  The tethersonde
  !    winds are 120 at 10 m/s.

      Time: 0450  Plume is elevated as it goes through the draw (view from
      north butte); then drops in lee.  The plume goes fairly level until it
      goes in the vicinity of the mobile crane (about 50 m from the crane
      towards the hill) and then it climbs slowly over the draw.   It does
      quite a hook up and over the hill, returning to some former altitude
      although it's in back of the hill and I can't see.   The plume seems to
      go across the top of the hill about even with the first light on the
      FAA tower,  which would probably be about 50 to 80 ft above  the top  of
      the north butte.   Actually I think it is a little bit below the first
      light on the FAA tower,  which is the light 1/2 way up,  so maybe it  is
      30-40 ft above the north butte.

      Time;  0459   The  plume is  dropping to 30 meters.


      The observations  point out that the plume trajectory was very steady
 throughout  the hour, and  very  similar to the previous  hour (see Section  4.4).

      Photographs  of the plume  illustrate the observations very well.  A
 representative photograph reproduced  in Figure. 54  was  taken  from camera
 position 0-19 (see  Figure 46)  behind  the release crane.   The photo  is a
 5-minute time exposure.

      The high wind  speed  caused so much dilution of  the  smoke plume  that  it
 is difficult  to see the plume  in  the photos  taken  from the top of the hill.
 However, enough contrast  is generated  in the views from  position 0-19 to
 show  the plume bending over the saddle.  The plume appears to stay quite
 high  as  it passes over the hill,  so the  area of greatest  impact was  likely
 to be just over the top of the hill, or  possibly a short way down the back
 side.

      The lidar sampled the plume  along  three planes upwind of the hill, one
 plane over the center of the hill, and two planes in the lee.  Although
 there were few samples in any one plane, they were spread out over the hour,
 therefore illustrating how uniform the wind direction was (see Figure 55).
 The sections  in the lee of the hill indicate that the plume returned to its
 initial height by the time it reached the downwind base of the hill, but  the
 one section 1,200 m downwind of the hill center produced a centroid height
 of about one-half the release height, indicating that the plume may have
 continued to drop with increasing downwind distance.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour have
been used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.   However,  because the
                                     123

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U-component of the wind set at 40 m was missing during this experiment,  wind
speeds were inferred at this height before Hc was computed.  The method
followed in calculating speeds at 40 m is outlined in Section 4.4.1.

     The average HC over this hour is 24 m, and the bulk hill Froude
number above this level is 3.3.  Because the local release height was 50 m,
the plume was well above Hc and should have behaved like the plume of the
previous hour.  Frj, is 0.86, indicating only a weak tendency to produce  a
streamline depression in the lee.  None of the observer comments indicate a
depression in the lee and none of the photographs capture one,  but the lidar
data downwind of the hill show lower plume centroid heights in this area.
If a depression is indeed absent, then the lidar might be seeing the results
of significant mixing in the wake.

     Figure 48 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frg values for this
experiment.  Hc is seen to drop from a high of about 30 m to a low of less
than 10 m during the hour (reversing the trend seen during the previous
hour); but, on the average, Hc is larger.  However, the Frg values
neither follow the trend of the previous hour nor reverse it.  Frjj
increases sharply from 2.9 to 3.5 at the start of the hour and then slowly
declines to its initial level.  These changes in the HC and Frji did not
produce any discernable changes in the observed plume trajectory.

     The hourly averaged wind speed at 40 m on tower A is estimated to be
5.2 m/s, and the direction from the 80 m level is 121°.  Figure 56 shows the
trend in wind speeds between 10 m and 80 m during the hour.  Wind speeds
increased steadily throughout the hour at all levels from the low of the
previous hour.  This wind speed increase drove the decrease in calculated
Hc values during the hour.  Because Hc is largest and wind speed is
smallest early in the hour, calculated concentrations would be higher.

     Variations in the wind directions measured at tower A at the 10 m
and 80 m levels are presented in Figure 57 as frequency distributions.  The
80 m distribution covers a range of about 15°, whereas the 10 m distribution
spans 160°.  Clearly, the 80 m distribution is more consistent with the
observational data for this hour.

     In summary, this hour was very similar to the previous hour.  The plume
was again released above Hc in a region with wind speeds in excess of
4 m/s, little wind meander, and high Froude numbers.  Photographs indicate
that the plume behaved accordingly.

     SFfi Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 58.  The highest concentration is
found at the base of the southeast draw, and the area of highest
concentrations spreads from this point up to the saddle between the peaks.
Other moderately high concentrations tend to spread around both sides of the
south peak.
                                     126

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                                          UVW PROPS AT 80 m
                                       Jl
                e   ao   48  60  80   100   is*  148  ice  ise  288  228  848 EGO  288  aoo  320  348  360

                                                                           DIRECTION 


Figure 57.     Calculated wind  direction  distribution functions for Experiment

                 205,  Hour 5  (0400-0500  MST).
                                               128

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                                                 •» r = 500 m
I
N
Figure 58.   Observed SF6 concentrations  (ppt) for Experiment  205,
             Hour 5 (0400-0500 MST).  Source:  r = 1155.1 m,, 6  =  120.1°,
             net height = 41.1 m, Q = .087 g/s.
                                  129

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     This pattern would seem to indicate a low—level release and substantial
dispersion.  However, the observational data discussed above describe a very
steady, high plume that tended to rise over the hill with little impact.  In
fact, the major difference between this hour and the last one is that the
plume was raised 10 m; consequently, a concentration distribution similar to
that shown in Figure 51 would be expected.  The patch of high concentrations
on the lower part of the windward side of the hill is therefore inconsistent
with the SFs release height and may be the result of an uncontrolled
near-surface release.

     The distribution of 10-minute SFg concentrations is presented in
Figure 59.  Concentrations during the first 10-minutes are quite small,
indicating that the height change from the previous hour has had no effect
on measured concentrations during this hour.  The pattern of concentrations
during the rest of the hour is consistent with the 1-hour average
concentration field.  Unfortunately, the 10-minute data provide no further
information on the anomalously large SF6 impact on the windward side of
the hill.
     4.5.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height traveled freely over the hill.
Meteorology used in the modeling was prepared as in Section 4.1.2, and is
summarized in Table 8.

     Tower A wind directions measured 40 m below and 30 m above the release
height are 138° and 121°.  Directions measured at 10 m and 30 m on tower B
are 116° and 117°.  The wind direction inferred from photographic and lidar
data varies from 119° to 120°.  Therefore, 120° is selected as the model
wind direction.  The 80 m PDF is considered more representative of the
release height than that at 10 m.

     Neutral was rerun with the new meteorological data.  Instead of
estimating a peak value 30% of the peak observed concentration, it produced
a value 41% of the peak observed.  However, the peak modeled concentration
occurs high in the southeast draw, and the observed maximum is found at the
base of this draw.  With the exception of the larger observed concentrations
near the base of the draw, Neutral does an excellent job of reproducing the
observed concentration field.  Figure 60 shows the distribution of
calculated concentrations plotted on a map of CCB, and the results are also
summarized in Table 8.

     Results of the Lift computations are also presented in Figure 60 and
Table 8.  The concentrations match observed concentrations better in the
lower portion of the southeast draw but are consistently too high elsewhere
along the wind trajectory over the hill.  Concentrations away from the
center of the hill in the crosswind direction also fall off too rapidly to
match the observed pattern.  These observations indicate that the PDF used
in Lift is too narrow and that the distribution based on the interpolated
                                     130

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                          TinE PERIOD
Figure 59.   Observed  10-minute average SFg concentrations  (ppt)  for
             Experiment  205,  Hour 5 (0400-0500 MST)-
                                 131

-------
     Tint PERIOD »
-------
    TIME PERIOD ««9-e<5»
    TIRE PERIOD e
-------
TABLE  8.   NEUTRAL AND LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS  -  EXPERIMENT  205,  CASE HOUR  5
       Meteorological Data

wind di rect ion (de?i)    =
wind sp«?ed(m/s)        =
critical dividing
  streamline heiphtdrO =
Iz                     =
Iy                     =
  NCl/s)               =
                             120.
                              6.5

                             24.0
                             .0
-------
Figure 60.   SF5 concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 205, Hour 5
             by the Neutral (top)  and Lift (bottom) models.
                                    135

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value of iy provides a better description.  Computed terrain factors
(To) from the observed concentrations over the hill also indicate a
problem with the Lift concentrations because nearly all of the factors are
greater than one.  However, many of the observed concentrations themselves
appear too large when compared against those of the previous hour.
Therefore, Neutral computations over the top of the hill may also be too
large.  Without greater confidence in the SFg tracer data for this hour,
however, a firm conclusion is impossible.


4.6  Experiment 206, Hour 4 (0300 - 0400 MST)

     4.6.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SF6 tracer gas were released from the
southeast side of the hill at 595.9 m, 123.6° for the entire hour.  The
release height was 35 m, a change of 11 m from the release height during the
previous hour.  Because the SF6 was off for only about 2 minutes during
the height change, the SFg recorded at the samplers could have come from a
46 m rather than a 35 m height at the start of the hour if the winds at that
time were directed toward the hill.  The photographs show the plume
traveling to the north, so tracer material from the previous hour should
have no effect on these concentrations.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
—5.5 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponds to the 29.5 m height level on the hill.  The
SFg release rate is computed to be 0.039 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of j^3.4%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Several observations of the appearance and the trajectory of the
oil—fog plume are available for this hour.

     Time:  0259  The thermofogger is dropping now to 35 meters, from 46, at
     its location about 60K.

     Time;  0300  Plume now appears to be going northwest, traveling in a
     level plane, a horizontal plane.  Quite stable conditions right now,
     really calm at this point.

     Time:  0303  The plume is coming very close to the ridge coming down
     past tower C.  It probably stays 3-5 meters above the ground as it goes
     over.

     Time:  0308  The plume is moving around the north side of the hill.

     Time:  0322  The plume has shifted.  Now it is going up and over the
     north peak and nearly up the middle draw.  As seen from the north peak,
     the plume has shifted to the right towards the north peak, basically
     splitting to go around on both sides, meandering a little bit.
                                     136

-------
      Time;  0327  The plume is still hitting in the area of the north butte.

      Time:  0335  I've just driven around the west side of the butte, over
      to the east-west road north of the butte (along the power lines),
      site 0-9.  From my vantage point coming around the west side of the
      hill I could see the plume rushing through the saddle and coming out
      over the northwest draw.

      Time:  0347  Now^driving back around the northwest end of the butte,
      the arc lamp is illuminating plume material in the draw and above the
      draw.

      Time;  0350  The plume is impacting heavily on the north butte.

      Time:   0400  We're putting the plume down to the  ground for 10 minutes
      to refuel.

      These observations indicate that the plume spent  much of the time
 wandering from the north side  of the hill across the north peak to the
 southeast draw.   This is illustrated better  in the photographs.  Two
 representative photographs  are reproduced in Figure 61.   They  are from a
 series  taken from a point behind the release crane to  the south at location
 0-11  (see Figure 46).   Each photo is a  5-minute  time exposure.

      The photos  show that the  plume skimmed  around the north side of the
 hill  during  the  first  5-minute period,  started to  swing back across  the face
 of the  north peak during the second period,  and  sat over  the southeast draw
 and the saddle between the  peaks  during  the  third  period.   No photos  are
 available for  periods  4 and 5.   When the photos  pick up again  in  the sixth
 period,  the  plume appears to be  riding up  the northern ridge of the
 southeast draw,  and  this  continues  into  period 7.   The plume once again
 rested  between the peaks during  period 8, but slowly shifted across  the face
 of the  north peak during  periods  9-11 until  it again skirted the  hill along
 the north side during  period 12.  The plume  size appears  to remain unchanged
 throughout the hour.

      Lidar data were obtained  along  four sampling  planes.  Two  of the planes
 crossed  the  top of the hill, and  the other two cut across the southeast face
 of the  hill.   Figure 62 displays  the plume centroid locations computed from
 the lidar cross-sections.   These data corroborate  the photographic record,
 and indicate that  the  plume remained near the southern face of  the north
 peak during periods 4 and possibly 5 (for which photographs are unavailable).

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and  temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  However,  because the
V-component of the 40 m wind set was missing, wind speeds  at this height
were inferred before HC was  calculated.   The  method followed in
calculating speeds at 40 m is  outlined in Section 4.4.1.
                                     137

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                         CAMERA

                            DATE

                        LOCATION

                      EXPERIMENT
                         CAMERA

                           DATE

                       LOCATiON

                     EXPERIMENT
Figure 61.
View of the 5-minute average plume  trajectories between 0335
and 0340, and between 0340  and  0345  MST taken from behind the
release (position 11) during Experiment 206,  Hour 4.

                      138

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     The average Hc over this hour is 20 m, and the bulk hill Froude
number above this level is 2.1.  Because the local release height was 35 m,
the size of Hc could have had a substantial effect on computed surface
concentrations.  Also, FrL is 0.53, so a significant degree of streamline
depression in the lee of the hill is expected, although no evidence of this
feature is contained in the observations reviewed above.

     Figure 63 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frjj values for this
experiment.  Hc stayed near 21 m for much of the hour, dropping sharply to
16 m by the end of the hour.  Frn remained nearly constant.  The change in
Hc was not likely to have produced substantial changes in surface
concentrations.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 m and estimated at 40 m on
tower A are 1.8 and 4.5 m/s, respectively.  The direction at 10 m was 141°
and that at 80 m, 136°.  This shows there was little directional wind shear,
but substantial speed shear across the region near plume elevation.
Figure 64 shows the trend in wind speeds between 10 m and 80 m during the
hour.  Although the speeds are nearly constant over the hour, there is a
slight tendency toward increasing speed in the latter half hour.  This
increase corresponds to the drop in Hc noted above.

     Variations in the wind directions measured at 10 m and 80 m on tower A
are shown in Figure 65 as frequency distributions.  The distribution at 80 m
is about 10°, substantially narrower than that at 10 m, about 40°.  The 10°
span is clearly more consistent with the documented plume trajectories.

     In summary, the plume was released above Hc into a flow characterized
by little wind meander, 5 to 6 m/s wind speeds, and a hill Froude number of
about 2.  As a result, the plume should have ridden fairly close to the
surface over the hill and dropped a little on the lee side.

     SF& Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 66.  The highest concentrations are
found on the upper portion of the north side of the north peak.  Other high
concentrations are found in a band between 50 m and 60 m along the north
side of the north peak and also between 30 m and 60 m in the lee of the hill.

     This pattern is consistent with the observations discussed above,
except that because the concentrations below the 55 m contour are very
small, it is now quite clear that the plume rose above the hill surface on
the windward side.  Also, it appears that the plume may have been depressed
in the lee of the hill, because the concentrations along the ridge that form
the south side of the northwest draw are much higher at 35 m than at the
75 m contour across the saddle.   This would be consistent with the
value calculated for this hour.

     The 10-minute SFg concentration distribution is presented in
Figure 67.  The sequence of concentration patterns throughout the hour
follows the plume trajectories documented in the photographs.  Very little
                                     140

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             Hc(m)
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Figure 63.    Calculated  dividing streamline  heights (Hc)  and bulk hill Froude


               numbers above Hc  (Frn)  for Experiment  206.
                                           141

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                                        UVW PROPS AT 80 m
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   SB  W   68  88  188  128  148  168  188  286  228 848  268 2B9  388 328  348 368

                                                       DIRECTION 
-------
Figure 66.   Observed SFg concentrations  Cppt) for Experiment .206,
             Hour 4 (0300-0400 MST).  Source:  r = 595.9 m,  8 =123.6°,
             net height = 29.5 m, Q = .039 g/s.
                                  144

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                           TIRE PERIOD
                           Tint PERIOD eai»-«3s»
Figure 67.    Observed  10-minute average SFg concentrations  (ppt)  for
              Experiment  206, Hour  4  (0300-0400 MST).
                                   145

-------
   TIBE PERIOD 03S«-633»
   TinE PERIOD 0330-»3<«
Figure 67.     Continued.
             146

-------
   TIME PERIOD »3«-«35«
   TIDE PERIOD »3S»-»t»»
Figure  67.     Continued.
             147

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SFg reached any of the 10-minute samplers during the first 10 minutes,  but
significant concentrations were recorded around the north peak and downwind
of the saddle at times during the rest of the hour.
     4.6.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height passed over the hill.  However,
the dividing streamline height is a significant fraction of the local
release height, and therefore may have exerted a significant influence on
tracer concentrations.  Meteorology used in the modeling was prepared as in
Section 4.1.2 and is summarized in Table 9.

     The 1-hour averaged wind directions at 10 m and 80 m on tower A are
141° and 136°, respectively.  However, plume trajectories inferred from the
lidar data and the photographs indicate a wind direction in the 128° to 130°
range.  No wind direction data are available from tower B.  Because the wind
directions at 10 m and 80 m are inconsistent with the observed plume
trajectory at 35 m, the model wind direction is taken to be 128°.   However,
the only choices for the PDF are 10 m or 80 m.  Because the 10 m
distribution appears too broad in view of the lidar and photographic
documentation, the 80 m PDF is used in the modeling.

     Neutral was rerun with the revised meteorology.  Instead of estimating
a peak value 23% of the observed peak value, it produced a value 66% of the
observed peak.  Both the highest observed and modeled concentrations are
found near the north peak, but the observed high falls on top of the peak,
and the modeled high lies near the windward edge of the top of the north
peak.  Elsewhere, Neutral 1 tends to overestimate concentrations on the
windward side of the hill and underestimate concentrations on the lower
portion of the leeward side of the hill.  Figure 68 shows the distribution
of calculated concentration plotted on a map of CCB, and the results are
also summarized in Table 9.

     Results from Lift computations are displayed in Figure 68 and are also
listed in Table 9.  The maximum modeled concentration is 120% of the peak
observed concentration but does not occur on the same portion of the hill.
It lies halfway down the northwest side of the hill.  Concentration
estimates in the vicinity of the north peak are overestimated on the south
side and underestimated across the top and on the north side.  Concentration
estimates on the windward side of the hill are substantially overestimated.

     These observations indicate that Lift produces a concentration pattern
that is too narrow and does not produce enough plume lift on the windward
side of the hill.  Terrain factors computed from the observed concentrations
vary from 0.68 to 1.4 on the lee side of the hill, from 0.79 to 1.4 over the
top of the north peak, and from 1.0 to 1.5 on the windward face.  Most of
the range in To at receptors over and beyond the top of the hill may be
attributable to the narrow concentration distribution and is therefore
difficult to interpret.  The factors for the windward face, however,
indicate the need for a weaker plume interaction.  Because nearly 60% of the
                                     148

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TABLE 9.   NEUTRAL AND  LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 206, CASE  HOUR 4
        Feteorolopical  Data

 wind di rection(deg)     =    1?8.
 wind speed(m/s)         =     4.5
 critical  dividing
   streamline beight(m) =    20.0
 Iz                     =    .031
 ly                     =    .078
   N(l/s)                =    .044
         Source Data

  direction(deg)   =    124.
  distance(m)      =   595.9
  release heioht(ni)=    35.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(s/s)    =    .039
        Receptor Coordinates        Observed
      X(ir)      Y(m)       Z(m)       SF6 (ppt)
208.35
142.00
257.78
72.15
404.91
85.15
20.07
15.97
10.61
25. 15
2.15
-15.01
-9.85
-84.85
•248.96
•204.16
•144.85
95.80
59.13
199.06
355.15
256.81
204.15
108.15
183.53
•359.96
•297.11
•269.62
•246.20
•153.85
•1 1 1.85
-40.85
•141 .42
•109.07
-80.75
.00
.00
33.94
19.88
111.59
64.88
152.45
121.29
80.56
190.88
18.68
-113.99
-76.12
-65.12
-66.71
-54.70
-38.12
-231.27
-154.04
-259.43
-205.04
-148.27
-117.12
-61.12
-49.13
207.8?
171.54
155.66
142.14
89.88
65.88
28.88
141.4?
263.31
194.94
31.25
50.00
30.00
80.00
10.00
80.00
81.06
90.94
91.97
65.00
80.00
98.96
90.00
90.00
32.90
52.26
80.00
52.96
60.00
30.00
5.69
25.29
30.00
50.00
30.00
8.94
28.07
38.07
47.96
70.00
80.00
60.00
50.00
30.00
50.00
9.00
38.90
12.30
211.60
46.10
187.00
280.56
302.30
373.30
179.10
58.90
.10
6.00
7.10
.00
.00
6.00
.00
.00
.20
6.00
.10
.30
.20
5.70
129.50
175.10
199.40
164.10
59.88
54.40
34.70
141 .20
218.60
257.20
 Neutral
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

   7.73
 227.60
    .01
 224.25
    .00
 247.77
 232.69
 238.97
 225.10
 170.21
 175.26
  38.47
  63.73
  50.41
    .02
   4.33
  44.20
    .02
  15.57
    .00
    .00
  35.54
 103.58
 165.73
  92.28
  16.30
  61.50
  98.60
 115.80
 142.26
                                                    156.60
                                                    199.61
                                                     57.31
                                                    203.19
   Lift
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

    .00
 176.99
    .00
 251.27
    .00
 190.68
  52.49
 223.66
 248.39
    .00
 352.86
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
   9.69
 199.37
 299.78
 318.33
 179.98
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
 107.23
 447.49
 138.74
 215.48
                                      149

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Figure 68.   SF6 concentrations  (ppt) estimated for Experiment  206, Hour  4
             by the Neutral  (top) and Lift  (bottom) models.
                                    150

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initial plume height was removed in subtracting HJ. from the release
height, much of the overestimation on the windward face would be reduced if
some allowance were made for an HC surface able to travel part of the way
up the windward slope.  For example, a 5 m or 25% decrease in the value of
Hc is equivalent to multiplying the net release height above Hc by 1.3
in this experiment hour.  This alone could account for a To of 1.3.
4.7  Experiment 206, Hour 6 (0500-0600 MST)
     4.7.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
southeast side of the hill at 595.9 m, 123.6° for the entire hour.  All
release parameters were the same as those during the previous hour, so there
were no discontinuities in the experiment at the start of the hour.  The
release height was 35 m.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-5.5 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponds to the 29.5 m height level on the hill.  The
SFg release rate is computed to be 0.062 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of +1.0%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Many observations of the appearance and the trajectory of the oil fog
plume are available for this hour.

     Time:  0455  The plume has stopped going up the draw and is now going
     back around the north side and its character changes somewhat, the
     plume width becomes less.

     Time;  0500  The plume is going up the draw again and as usual it is
     much wider than it has been in the past.

     Time;  0512  We must have been bombing the butte in the last
     10 minutes.  The plume is directed right at the north butte, part of it
     going up the draw or the north side of the draw, and occasionally some
     of it going around the north side around tower C.  We've really been
     hitting it hard.  It seems to be spread quite a bit.  It seems to be
     quite a bit wider all the way back to the source than it was 30 minutes
     ago when it was going around the N side below tower C.

     Time;  0517  The lidar reports that the plume is hitting the hill at
     the base of the draw.

     Time:  0523  From my vantage point, 1/2 mile behind the release crane,
     it looks like the plume is beginning to run more into the south butte,
     even to the left of tower D, although my perspective could be wrong.

     Time;  0525  Plume is rising coming out of the generator, and I lose
     sight of it about halfway from the crane to the hill.

                                    151

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     Time;  0528  For about the last 5 minutes,  the plume has been butting
     directly into the southeast shoulder of the butte,  and is dramatically
     wide.  It is very wide horizontally and very wide vertically, even
     coming all the way down to the ground at maybe the 3,100 ft  level  of
     the butte.

     Time;  0529  I'm driving up by the camera location on road F.  The
     plume has come all the way to the ground below the road that goes  up
     and curls around the south side of the butte.(smack on the ground  from
     35 meters).  That downward motion doesn't really start dramatically
     until it has crossed road F.

     Time:  0533  We're continuing to bomb the southeast shoulder of the
     butte.

     Time:  0537  The plume character seems to have changed a little bit.
     It is a slightly better defined plume, with a great deal of  vertical
     and horizontal dispersion.  It is bombing the southeast shoulder with
     tower D on it, going up the draw.  Part of it is going around the  north
     shoulder of the butte and part of it is going up the draw, possibly
     going over the top by the FAA tower.

     Time:  0540  I've paced off the width, where I can smell it, and it was
     70 meters on that road as it circles up the butte.   The approximate
     location where I did the pacing off is 57D.  It might be a horseshoe
     vortex that is bringing the plume to the ground.  Again it is coming to
     the ground, it is below me, below 57D.

     Time;  0547  I'm down here on road F; NAWC 1 is on the road  up the hill
     and between us the plume has very clearly come down to the surface.  I
     can smell it at road F.  He was seeing it up at his location before and
     we're hypothesizing that there is some sort of downflow—maybe a
     horseshoe vortex; something drawing the plume down to the surface  in
     this area.

     Time:  0552  Part of the plume is going up the draw, it appears, and
     part is climbing quite a bit and is going around the N side.
     These observations show that the plume ran into the eastern face of the
hill for much of the hour, at times striking the northern section,  at times
striking the southern section, but mainly striking in between.   The most
remarkable aspect of the observations, however, is the description  of the
plume becoming very wide, and striking the surface of the hill  at the base
of the draw.  This plume was not just being deflected over or around the
hill.  Its trajectory was altered to the extent that the plume  material
spread dramatically in front of the hill (some of the effect was noticable
even at the release point).

     Photographs during the hour capture this unusual plume character very
well.  A half-hour series of photos taken from behind the release at camera
location 0-11 (see Figure 46) is reproduced in Figure 69.  Each photograph

                                     152

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Figure 69.   Half-hour sequence of 5-minute average plume trajectories
             between 0500 and 0530 MST taken from behind the release
             (position 11)  during Experiment 206, Hour 6.
                                  153

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 is  a 5-minute  time  exposure.   The  change  in plume  character  from periods 1
 and 2 to periods  4  and  5  is especially clear.  Note  that much of the
 vertical growth  in  plume  size  occurred at the bottom of the  plume at the
 start of the spreading  sequence  (period 3).  But as  the plume continued to
 change, the spread  became more symmetric  about the release height (periods 5
 and 6).

      Only  three plume cross sections were obtained with the  lidar during the
 hour because of equipment failure, but fortunately these three bracket the
 dramatic change in  the  plume in  periods 1, 3, and  6.  The sampling plane cut
 across the base of  the  hill just downwind  of the source.  Plume centroid
 positions  are  plotted in  Figure  70.  The  standard  deviations of the oil fog
 distribution as sampled by the lidar show that the instantaneous plume
 cross—section  did not change much  in going from period 1 to  period 3, but
 both CTy and Oz virtually  doubled in period 6.

      Meteorological  Information

      Wind  and  temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
 used to characterize the  flow  in terms of  Hc.  As  in the previous hour,
 wind speeds at 40 m were  estimated because of the  partial failure of the
 40  m wind  set.  The average HC over this hour is 35 m, and Frn above
 this level is  3.1.  Because the  local release height was 35 m, HC had a
 substantial influence on  the plume trajectory.

      According to the simplified energy arguments  used to derive HC, the
 plume had  just enough energy to rise over the crest of the hill.  However,
 the precision  of  the method as well as the vertical resolution of the
 temperature and wind speed profiles suggest that the uncertainty in Hc is
 considerably greater than 1 m.   Therefore, the plume's trajectory might have
 been consistent with flow either above or below the dividing streamline.  In
 terms of modeling, however, we have models only for plumes well above or
 well  below HC.

      Figure 63 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frjj values for this
 experiment.  Hc oscillated between 30 m and 40 m twice during the hour,
 thus  forming a complete but distorted sine wave.  Frjj also followed a
 similar shape about 3.0.  Because Hc oscillated about the local release
 height, data from this hour may provide an intriguing example of flow along
 the dividing streamline.

      Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 m and estimated at 40 m on
 tower A are 0.9 and 2.1 m/s,  respectively.  The direction at 10 m was 26°
 and  that at 80 m, 132°; thus,  there was a tremendous directional shear
between 10 m and 80 m.   Because the plume approached the  hill steadily at
 35 m  in the photographs, the shear region must have occurred between 10 m
and 30 m.   Perhaps some of the  vertical mixing seen in the photographs  was
driven by  this shear just below the release height.  The  trend in wind
speeds between 10 and 80 m is  shown in Figure 71.

     Variations in wind directions measured at 10  m and 80 m on tower A are
shown in Figure 72 as frequency distributions.   The winds  at  80 m were  once
                                    154

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-------
                                       UVW PROPS AT BO m
             9.8-

             8.S-
             5.5-


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                                                                     DIRECTION Ccfeg)
                                       UVW PROPS AT 10m
                                                     1	c	1	1	1
                                                    aae  a
Figure 72.    Calculated wind direction distribution  functions  for Experiment
               206, Hour 6  (0500-0600  MST).
                                           157

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again very steady, spanning only about 10°.  Because the photographs
indicate a steady wind direction toward the hill, this distribution is
probably representative of the distribution at source height.  It is, at
least, more representative than that at 10 tn.

     In summary, the plume was released virtually at the level of HC.
Wind speeds were fairly low at 2 m/s, but the transport direction was steady
towards the hill.  This hour is an excellent case in which to study
transport properties along streamlines very near the critical dividing
streamline in a complicated flow with wind shear.

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 73.  Highest concentrations are found
above 25 m in the southeast draw right up and over the saddle, with equally
high concentrations on the east face of the north peak.

     This pattern is quite consistent with the reported observations and the
photographs discussed above.  Although the qualitative appearance of the
flow was similar to that of previous hours, additional vertical mixing was
reported; this may account for the high concentrations near the 25 m
contour.  The relative release height corresponded to the 30 m contour, so
the mixing could have produced maximum concentrations below the release
height.

     The distributions of 10-minute SF6 concentrations are presented in
Figure 74.  During the first 10 minutes, the plume apparently traveled
preferentially along the north side of the hill, often impinging on the east
face of the north peak.  Later in the hour , however , the greater
concentrations are found in the windward draw area.
     4.7.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Wrap model because the plume was
released very close to the calculated critical dividing streamline height.
The hour provides an excellent opportunity, to look at how the Wrap model
performs when the winds were directed quite steadily from the source toward
the hill.

     The meteorological data were prepared for the release height as in
Section 4.1.2.  The resulting values are summarized in Table 10.

     The 1-hour average wind direction measured 25 m below and 45 m above
the release height are 26° and 132°, respectively.  Because neither lidar
nor tower B data are available for estimating wind directions at plume
elevation, the photographs provide the only other check.   These photographs
suggest mean wind directions between 127° and 130°.  Model winds are assumed
to be 127°, and the PDF computed with the 80 m wind direction data are
assumed valid for the 35 m release.
                                     158

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                                                '» r = 500 m
                                                                  N
Figure 73.   Observed SF6 concentrations  (ppt) for Experiment  206,
             Hour 6, (0500-0600 MST).   Source:  r = 595.9 m, 6 =  123.6°,
             net height = 29.5 m, Q = .062 g/s.
                                  159

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                            TlnE PERIOD 6580-6518
                            Tine PERIOD •sie-eszc
Figure  74.    Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations  (ppt) for
              Experiment 206,  Hour 6  (0500-0600  MST).
                                    160

-------
    TIKE PERIOD
    TiriE PERIOD 0539-054*



Figure  74.    Continued.
             161

-------
     TIME PERIOD os-to-esse
     TIHC PERIOD »5Se-0600
Figure 74.     Continued.
              162

-------
   TABLE 10.   IMPINGEMENT AND  WRAP MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 206,
               CASE HOUR 6
       Meteoroloaical  Data

wind direction(deg)     =    127.
wind speed(m/s)         =     2.1
critical  dividing
  streamline heiqht(m) =    35.0
12                     =    .086
ly                     =    .212
  NU/s)                =    .035
         Source Data

  direction(deg)   =    124.
  distance(m)      =   595.9
  release heipht(m)=    35.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(g/s)    =    .062
       Receptor Coordinates        Observed
     X(m)      Y(m)       Z(m)       SF6 (ppt)
208.35
142.00
404.91
85.15
51.04
15.97
10.61
25.15
-36.04
-15.01
-19.85
-9.85
-84.85
144.85
95. BO
59.13
«3.00
355.15
256. «1
142.15
108.15
37.15
•359.96
269.62
•246.20
•111.85
-40.85
.00
.00
1.11.59
64.88
387.66
121.29
80.56
190.88
-288.98
-113.99
-149.12
-76.12
-65.12
-38.12
-231.27
-154.04
-74.48
-205.04
-148.27
-81.12
-61.12
-21.12
207.82
155.66
142.14
65.88
28.88
31.25
50.00
10.00
80.00
11.78
90.94
91.97
65.00
32.94
98.96
90.00
90.00
90.00
80.00
52.96
80.00
80.00
5.6"
25.29
40.00
50.00
70.00
6.94
38.07
47.96
80.00
80.00
957.70
894.00
42.90
587.70
161.20
376.40
433.80
348.70
48.70
71.20
68.90
130.50
94.30
94.80
117.50
112.20
224.30
520.20
1190.80
684.54
13.90
759.50
135.40
238.20
292.30
509.50
602.90
Impingement
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

 318.23
 272.76
 151.43
  39.59
 108.07
  19.18
  17.75
  84.93
 246.35
   5.93
  15.69
  15.66
  20.14
  39.48
 242.87
  34.37
  31.90
 145.12
 486.23
 539.76
 392.59
  81.57
  73.09
 102.83
  94.85
  36.78
  36.68
   Wrap
Predicted
SF6
                                                                 1493.01
                                                                 1016.32
                                                                  467.95
                                                                   67.96
                                                                  381.60
                                                                   29.92
                                                                   26.71
                                                                  267.64
                                                                 1046.51
                                                                    3.58
                                                                   15.79
                                                                   15.72
                                                                   31.01
                                                                   92.33
                                                                  848.54
                                                                   39.80
                                                                   31.56
                                                                  262.44
                                                                 1958.89
                                                                 2337.82
                                                                 1381.63
                                                                  101.43
                                                                  259.74
                                                                  424.59
                                                                  378.02
                                                                   96.80
                                                                   96.83
                                     163

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     Both the Impingement and Wrap models were run with the revised
meteorological data, and the results are listed in Table 10, and plotted on
a map of CCB in Figure 75.

     The concentration pattern estimated by the Wrap model compares
favorably with that observed, but peak concentrations are overestimated.
The highest observed concentration of 1,191 ppt was measured at 25 m on the
windward side of the hill.  The highest concentration calculated by Wrap
(2338 ppt) occurs at 40 m.  At this location Impingement predicts 540 ppt.
At 25 m, Impingement estimates 486 ppt, which is about one-half of the
observed concentration.  The corresponding estimate from Wrap is 1,959 ppt,
or nearly twice the observed.

     In general, both of the models perform reasonably well in reproducing
the observed concentration pattern on the windward side of the hill.  This
is not surprising because both models place the stagnation streamline near
the peak of similarly shaped horizontal distribution functions.  If the
vertical mixing shown near the foot of the hill in the photographs were
incorporated into Wrap the model estimates of the peak concentrations would
probably improve.
4.8  Experiment 206, Hour 8 (0700-0800 MST)

     4.8.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SF6 tracer gas were released from the
southeast side of the hill at 595.9 m, 123.6° for nearly the entire hour.
The release height was 35 m, and all release parameters were the same as
those from the previous hour, causing no discontinuities in the experiment
at the start of the hour.  Although the SF6 release terminated early at
0753, there may have been nearly a full hour of tracer impact on the hill
because the travel time from the source to the hill center at 2 m/s is about
5 minutes.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-5.5 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system; the net release
height corresponds to the 29.5 m height level on the hill.  The SFg
release rate is computed to be 0.062 g/s,  with an estimated uncertainty of
jt-1.0%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     Several observations of the appearance and the trajectory of the
oil-fog plume are available for this hour.

     Time:  0658  We are going to raise the small secondary fogger up
     another 5 or 6 meters to a final height of 15 meters.

     Time;  0708  I've been standing on road F watching the flow
     visualization that has been going on.  We are seeing very interesting
     things with the flares going mostly to the southeast at the surface.

                                     164

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Figure 75.   SF6 concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 206, Hour  6
             by the Impingement (top) and Wrap (bottom) models.
                                   165

-------
 The oil-fog  from  the United Survey generator  (up at 15 meters) is going
 to the west-northwest, but is getting caught  in some kind of down draft
 and being brought down to the ground after it has gone 20-30 meters or
 less.  The main plume is still hitting the north butte and the draw
 area.  It is really smearing around after it  gets close, and it is hard
 for me to see from this location exactly where it is.  I would say that
 it is hitting in  the lower third of the draw  and then going up the
 draw, and part of it is going around the north butte, below tower C.

 Time;  0713  I'm  up the road toward tower D and the plume is coming
 right at me or just switched off from me.  I can smell it quite
 strongly.  I'm about 20 meters below tower D.
   We have two releases going now.  The primary release is an irregular
 plume heading for the north knoll, slipping around the north end.  The
 second release is impacting the south end and sinking.  Smoke is
 visible on the ground.

 Time;  0715  The  elevated smoke plume continues to go toward the north
 butte with some of the plume material going up the draw and the bulk of
 it going around the east side of the north butte.  Low level flow at
 the surface is evident by the smoke candles, downslope or towards the
 east.  From the location of the United Survey generator at 15 meters,
 it is still pretty confused with a lot of vertical motion and a lot of
 downward mixing.

 Time;  0717  We are driving up to the north butte and just past the
 draw.  Smoke material was very visible coming up the draw.

 Time;  0719  It looks like the United Survey generator now is up to
 about 30 meters on the short crane,

 Time;  0729  About 3-4 minutes ago I noticed that the main plume has
 switched from coming right up the butte to being caught in some very
 strong eddies.  As I am looking back at the release from the north
 butte, it is a vortex that rotates clockwise and it is bringing the
 plume all the way to the ground by the time it hits the road up the
 butte.  The plume now is headed more up the southeast ridge,  and the
 United Survey plume is down.

 Time;  0735  It looks to me like all the other extraneous sources of
 smoke are gone and the nephelometer measurements should be good again.

 Time;  0742  The plume is mixing down from the 35-meter release all the
way to the ground by the time it gets to road F.   The crane is  on the
 mobile crane road, and the plume is hitting the western edge of road F.

 Time;  0743  Now the plume is back up again.   You get momentary parts
 of the plume coming down.

 Time;  0750  Plume is irregular (vertically)  and only visible to the
north knoll.
                                166

-------
     The observations indicate that there was large directional wind shear
between the surface and some level below 15 m.  The main plume containing
the tracer gas traveled between the southeast shoulder of the hill and the
north side throughout the hour.  At times, strong eddies appear to have
brought the plume to the ground on the lower part of the hill.  Reportedly,
the eddies gave the plume a rotating appearance as the observer looked back
at the source along the plume axis.

     Although the still photographs cannot document this rotation, they do
show marked plume dilution near the hill.  A representative photo from the
series taken from behind the release at camera position 0-11 (see Figure 46)
is reproduced in Figure 76.  Each photo in the series is an automatic
exposure, so it represents nearly a instantaneous picture of the plume
rather than a 5- or 10-minute average.

     The plume appears to sweep back and forth over the draw between the two
peaks for much of the hour.  The rapid dilution of the plume noted in the
observations does not become readily apparent until 0730.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  As in the previous hours of
Experiment 206, wind speeds at 40 m were estimated because of the partial
failure of the 40 m wind set.  The average HC over this hour is 37 m, and
Frji above this level is 3.3.  Because the local release height is 35 m,
Hc had a substantial influence on the plume trajectory (as discussed in
Section 4.7.1).

     Figure 63 contains plots of the 5-minute HC and Frjj values for this
experiment.  Hc began the hour at about 26 m but quickly rose above 40 m.
Over the latter half hour, however, HC fell steadily to below 30 m.  Frg
during the same period exhibited a similar pattern, rising as high as 3.5.
Because HC varied about the release height by ±5 m, this hour is very
similar to hour 6 of the same experiment (see Section 4.7.1).

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 m and estimated for 40 m on
tower A are 0.7 and 2.0 m/s, respectively.  The direction at 10 m was 356°
and that at 80 m, 131°; thus, the strong directional shear noted during hour
6 persisted.  Again, the plume at 35 m is directed toward the hill so that
the shear must take place below this height.  The trend in wind speeds
between 10 and 80 m is shown in Figure 77.  Both the 10 m and 80 m levels
hold fairly constant, although even slight variations at 10 m represent
large percentage changes because of the extremely low wind speeds recorded.
The estimated winds at 40 m go through a significant decrease during the
first half hour, however.  This dip produces the rapid rise of HC at this
t ime.

     Variations in wind directions measured at 10 m and 80 m on tower A are
shown in Figure 78 as frequency distributions.  The 10 m distribution is
once again characterized by a wide range of wind directions, whereas
                                     167

-------
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                                  169

-------
                                          UVW PROPS AT 80 m
             FREQUENCY <»)
             29.9-
               .«-! - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1
                 8   39  
                                          UVW PROPS ATlOm
              a.s-
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              7.S-
              7.e-
              G.S-
              G.O-
              5.5-
              s.e-
              3.5-
              3.9-
              2.5-
              2.9-
              1.5
              1.9-
               .5
                    —I	1	T-
                                                      1 - 1
                                                     299 aaa
                                                                869 sae  399
                                                                          DIRECTION (dug)
Figure  78.    Calculated wind  direction  distribution functions  for  Experiment
                206,  Hour 8  (0700-0800  MST).
                                              170

-------
directions at the 80 m level are limited to about a 10° range.  The 10°
range remains indicative of the transport at plume elevation.

     In summary, the hour is quite similar to hour 6.  The plume was
released at virtually the dividing streamline height, and the  transport
direction was very steady.

     SFfi Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 79.  Highest concentrations are found
along the south side of the southeast draw and along the eastern face of the
north peak.  These concentrations lie between the 25 m and 50  m height
contours.  Other high concentrations are spread over the north peak and the
saddle area.

     This pattern is consistent with the observations and the  photographs
discussed above.  The north peak area was frequently hit, but  the plume was
at times mixed down to the ground near the base of the draw, thereby
producing the highest concentration measured during the hour.   The broad
distribution of higher concentrations on both the windward and leeward sides
of the north peak indicates that plume material was mixed to the surface as
it met the hill and was then advected directly over and around the hill top.

     The distribution of 10-minute average SF5 concentrations  is presented
in Figure 80.  No information is available for the area near the impingement
zone, but the data indicate that much of the material that came toward the
north peak passed around toward the north side.
     4.8.2  Model Performance

     This hour is very similar to the previous hour discussed in
Section 4.7.2,  The plume was released very close to the calculated dividing
streamline height, and so the Wrap model ought to work quite well.

     All meteorological data were prepared for release height as in
Section 4.1.2.  The resulting values are summarized in Table 11.

     The 1-hour average wind directions measured 25 m below and 45 m above
the release height are 356° and 131°.  However, the photographs suggest that
the plume trajectory followed winds in the range of 127° to 170°.
Therefore, 127° is used in the modeling along with the 80 m PDF.

     Both Impingement and Wrap were run with the revised meteorological
data, and the results are listed in Table 11, and plotted on a map of CCB in
Figure 81.

     The models do well in matching the observed concentration pattern.  The
highest observed concentrations occurred around the height of release; the
maximum, 1,512 ppt, is measured at 25 m.  The Wrap estimate at this height
is 1,994 ppt, but Wrap estimates a maximum concentration of 2,345 ppt at a

                                     171

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Figure 79.   Observed SF^ concentrations (ppt) for Experiment 206,
             Hour 8 (0700-0800 MST).  Source:  r = 595.9 m, 9 = 123.6°,
             net height = 29.5 m, Q = .062 g/s.
                                  172

-------
                        TIME PERIOD 0708-871*
                        TIRE PERIOD 8718-0758
Figure  80.
Observed 10-minute average  SFg concentrations  for
Experiment 206,  Hour 8  (0700-0800 MST).
                                173 '

-------
    TlflE PERIOD 87aO-873t



Figure 80.    Continued.
            174

-------
    TIKE PERIOD 878«a
Figure 80.     Continued.
             175 .

-------
    TABLE 11.   IMPINGEMENT AND WRAP MODEL CALCULATIONS -  EXPERIMENT 206,
                CASH HOUR 8
       f'eteorolepical Data

wind directionCdeq)    =    127.
wind soeed(m/s)        =     r?.0
critical dividinq
  streamline heiphtCm) =    37.0
Iz                     =    .097
ly                     =    .180
  NCl/s)               =    .OHO
         Source Data

  direction(deg)   =    12/1.
  distance(m)      =   595.9
  release heiqht(m)=    35.0
  SF6 emission
      rateCg/s)    =    .062
       Receptor Coordinates        Observed
     X(nO      Y(m)      2(m)      SF6 (ppt)
208.35
142.00
257.78
72.15
404.91
159.04
85.15
51.04
20.07
15.97
10.61
25.15
2.15
-15.01
-19.85
-9.85
-84.85
248.96
204.16
144.85
77.87
95.80
59.13
199.06
256. HI
204.15
IPS. 15
1"3.53
312.38
359.96
111.85
-40.85
•141.42
109.07
.00
.00
33.94
19.88
111.59
122.04
64.88
387.66
152.45
121.29
80.56
190.88
18.88
-113.99
-149.12
-76.12
-65.12
-66.71
-54.70
-38.12
-290.63
-231.27
-154.04
-259.43
-148.27
-117.12
-61 .12
-49.18
-41.13
207.8?
65.88
28.88
141.42
263.31
31.25
50.00
30.00
80.00
10.00
46.91
80.00
11.78
R1.06
90.94
91.97
65.00
80.00
98.96
90.00

-------
Figure 81.   SFg concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 206, Hour  8
             by the Impingement (top) and Wrap (bottom) models.
                                   177

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height of 30 m (where the observed concentration was 973 ppt).   In general,
the predictions from Wrap are no more than 100% greater than the observed
concentrations.  On the other hand, the Impingement model underestimates the
observations.  The largest estimate is about 636 ppt,  or roughly one-half
the maximum observed.  The difference between model estimates is directly
related to the treatment of the wind direction probability distribution.  In
this case, the Gaussian distribution characterized by iy underestimated
the probability, and the assumed PDF overestimated it.
                                                                    The
4.9  Experiment 209, Hour 1 (1700-1800 MST)

     4.9.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog and SFg tracer gas were released from the
northwest side of the hill at 986.1 m, 315.9° for the entire hour.
release height was 40 m.   Because the SFg was started at 1654 and
terminated at 1759, the tracer plume was probably well established
throughout the sampling hour.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated  to be
-7.0 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height corresponded to the 33.0 m height level on the hill.  The
SFs release rate is computed to be 0.156 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
of +5*9%.  No Freon was released.

     Plume Observations

     During the course of this experiment, several people recorded  their
observations about the appearance and the trajectory of the oil- fog  plume.
Those comments applicable to the first hour are presented below.

     Time: 1650  The jet fogger is up at 40 meters at site A2B.  The  plume
     looks quite unstable.  There is a great deal of vertical development  at
     the moment, and it appears to be headed right toward the hill.  Looking
     from the back side of the hill, the plume looks like it goes to  2 hill
     heights at the moment.

     Time: 1700 (?)  Plume is starting out on a line toward the FAA tower
     and then curves to the north side.  I see some plume material  mixing
     down to the hillside at about the 20m elevation.

     Time: 1715  Plume is fluctuating across the peaks.  From the top,  a
     little odor is noted, but most of the plume is going overhead.

     Time: 1721  The plume is still continuing to go up the shoulder  in the
     vicinity of tower F, and from the side view it looks like it is  not
     touching the hill until it gets very near the top in the vicinity of
     tower B.  In the lee, the plume descends quite a bit and looks like it
     almost reaches the ground again about a hill width away to the
     southeast.
                                     178

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      Time; 1724  The plume is traveling right over B2 as it travels to the
      southeast.

      Time: 1725  I am sitting at 481, and the plume is passing right over
      this point.

      Time; 1733  From southwest:  plume goes towards draw,  lifts up and
      over, and then comes back down on the lee side at a lower level than
      the approach height.  The majority of the plume is going up the draw.

      Time; 1740  Plume heading directly towards the blockhouse on the south
      end and then it bends around to the south (then back towards the east
      in the lee of the hill).

      Time: 1745  Plume is midway between the blockhouse and tower E.  It  may
      be following this road along the south  side.

      Time: 1754  Plume has stabilized considerably over the last  5 minutes.
      It has a much smaller diameter as it  approaches  the  hill  and the  loops
      are not nearly as great—they are almost gone near the release point.

      Time;  1756  View from ERT Base:   plume  has  a  puffy appearance and  is
      broken up somewhat.

      These comments indicate that the plume  went up and over the  hill  for
 much  of the hour, apparently favoring the  saddle area over  the  first half
 hour, and the south peak  at times during the second half  hour.  The
 trajectory  brought  the plume up  and over the hill,  rather than  directly into
 the hill,  and little  smoke  odor  was reported.  A strong depression was
 reported  in the  lee of the  hill,  however.  These features of the  plume
 trajectory  are consistent with weakly stratified flow (i.e., a  hill Froude
 number  of order  1).

      Photographs of the plume document the described plume  features on the
 upwind  side of the hill.  Four photos reproduced in Figure 82 show the plume
 trajectory  at  two times during the hour.  One view  is from behind  the
 release crane at camera position B-l  (see Figure 46), and the other view is
 from a  point off to the side of  the plume trajectory, at camera position
 0-3.  Each individual photo is an automatic exposure, so it provides nearly
 instantaneous views of the plume rather than 5- or 10-minute averages.

     The photos show that the plume trajectory was fairly steady over the
 hour and that the vertical dispersion was very large.  During the first
 5-minute period, the plume traveled toward the north peak.  Over the next
 15 minutes, however, it appears to have ridden steadily over the saddle
between the two peaks.  The lift in the plume as shown in the view from the
 side is quite significant, although the plume spread in the  vertical appears
great enough to have brought the visible plume material  quite near the
surface.
    !
     The plume tended to wander from the saddle toward the south peak over
the next 15 minutes (periods 5-7) with little change in  either  plume spread

                                     179

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180

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or plume lift.  But during the remaining 20 minutes in the hour, the plume
traveled preferentially over or around the south side of the hill.  Some
plume depression in the lee of the hill can be seen in period 10 (see
Figure 82) as the plume hooked over the south peak.  The scale of the
vertical plume spread can be seen to decrease from period 9 to period 12.

     Lidar data for this hour are quite extensive and permit quantification
of the plume behavior noted above.  The plume was sampled by the lidar along
eight planes.  Three of the planes were upwind of the hill, three were
substantially over the hill, and two were in the lee. Plume centroid
positions along these planes are plotted in Figure 83.

     Centroid positions indicate that the plume trajectory was initially
oriented toward the north side of the hill in period 2,  but quickly shifted
to the center of the hill through period 6.  Later in the hour, the
trajectory is seen to shift more toward the south peak.   Estimates of the
wind direction at source height, derived from the lidar data upwind of the
hill, vary from 317° early in the hour to 323° in period 6, and then to as
much as 330° later in the hour.  Because the source is located at 316°, all
but the earliest trajectories favor the south peak.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  The average of the 5-minute
values over the hour is 5 m, and the average Frjj above 5 m is 3.1.
Because Hc was so low compared to the 40 m height of release, Hc should
have had little impact on the SFg concentrations.  FrL for the layer
above Hc is 0.78, indicating that the stratification may have produced
some streamline depression in the lee.
     Figure 84 contains a time series plot of the calculated 5-minute Hc
and Frjj values for this experiment.  Hc rises from a low of zero to
about 9 m halfway through the hour and remains there for the rest of the
hour.  Frji is very large at the start of the hour but falls to 2.5 halfway
through the hour.  As the hour ends, Frjj is as low as 2.3.  Because Hc
and Frn changed during the hour, the plume trajectory may not conform to
that expected from average values of the Froude number.  For example, Frj,
late in the hour is about 0.58, and more significant streamline depression
in the lee would be expected in conjunction with this value.  The observer
log contains a reference to a pronounced depression in the lee at 1721,  but
it is unclear if such a depression might have occurred earlier or
intensified later.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds at 10 m and 40 m on tower A are 3.3 and
4.3 m/s, respectively.  The 10 m winds were from 304°, and those at 40 m
were from 311°.  Wind shear (both speed and direction) was therefore small
between the plume elevation and 10 m.  Figure 85 shows the trend in wind
speeds over the hour.  Winds at all three levels from 10 m to 80 m were
within 2 m/s of one another and were virtually constant over the hour.
Therefore, the hourly average wind values are representative of the entire
hour.
                                     181

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                                                   182

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            Hc(m)
                                   •• f  i
            17. e     is.o     19.6     aa.o     ai.
                                                    aa.e      23.
                                                                     .8      25.8

                                                                       TIM (Hour)
                                                     'i  *
                                                              i •
            i7.e      is.e     19.e     ao.e     21.0     aa.e     as.e      a<.e      as.e
                                                                       Tin (Hour)
Figure 84.    Calculated  dividing  streamline  heights  (He)  and bulk hill  Froude
               numbers above Hc  (F^H) for Experiment  209.
                                           183

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     Variations in wind directions measured at 10 m and 40 m are' shown in
Figure 86 as frequency distributions.  The 10 m wind directions were a
little more variable than those at plume elevation primarily because of a
shift toward 300° not seen at 40 m.  However, the flow structure during this
hour was not as complex as many other hours under study.

     In summary, this hour may be characterized as nearly neutral with
steady winds and little wind directional shear.  The major complicating
factor is the strengthening of the near-surface temperature gradient with
time.  On balance, the meteorology indicates that the plume should have
traveled freely over the hill, much like plumes in a weakly stratified
tow-tank experiment (Frg ^ 1).

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 87.  All concentrations are
remarkably low, especially in view of the increased SFg emission rate
begun in Experiment 209.  Concentrations were measured on the windward side
of the hill all the way up to the 60 m contour.  Low concentrations were
measured at lower elevations on either side of the hill and over the crest
of the hill.  The highest concentration is found near the base of the
southeast draw in the lee of the hill.

     This pattern is consistent with observations that the plume rose quite
high over the hill and then descended in the lee.  It is surprising,
however, that the vertical mixing evident in the photos produced such small
SFg concentrations at the surface.

     The 10-minute average SFg concentration distributions are presented
in Figure 88.  They also show the lack of even moderate SFg concentrations
on the windward site of the hill.   Unfortunately, no 10-minute samplers were
placed in the lee toward the base of the hill to document the time evolution
of the higher concentrations during this hour.


     4.9.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model  because all evidence
indicates that the flow was nearly neutral (unstratified) and very steady.
Meteorology for the release was prepared as in Section 4.1.2, except that no
height interpolations were needed  because the plume was released at 40 m, an
instrumented level on Tower A.   The data are summarized in Table 12.

     The 1-hour average wind direction at the release height is 311°.
However, the lidar and photographic data strongly suggest that the mean wind
direction should be about 319°.  Both the 10 m  and 30 m levels on tower B
recorded mean winds of 324°.   Therefore, a mean direction of 319° is used in
the modeling along with the PDF computed with the 40 m wind direction.
                                     185

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                                            UVW PROPS AT 40m
              9.0-
              s.s-
              S.9-
              7.5-
              7.0-
              6.S-
              e.o-
              5.S-
              s.o-
              4.5-
              4.0-
              3.5-
              3.t-
              2.5-
              B.»-
              1.5-
              i.e-
               .5
               .o-l	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	"•"
                 o   EO  40   eo   go   too  lao  140  teo  tea  aee  aae  240  aeo  aao  3»e SBO  340  seo
                                            UVW PROPS AT 10m
              6.5
              6.9
              S.S
              s.e
              3.5-
              3,e-
              s.s-
              2.0-
              l.S-
              1.0-
               ,5-
Figure 86.
.oH	1	1    i	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	'	1	1    '   '    '    '
  o   ao  40   GO   30   100  lao  140  160  iao aoo  aao  240  aee  aoo  300 320  340  360
                                                              DIRECTION (
  Calculated wind  direction  distribution  functions  for Experiment
  209,  Hour 1  (1700-1800 MST).
                                                 186

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                                               "•* r = 500 m
                                                                   N
                                                                 :7
Figure 87.   Observed SF6 concentrations  (ppt) for Experiment  209,
             Hour 1 (1700-1800 MST).  Source:  r = 986.1 m,  6  =  315  9°
             net height = 33 m, Q =  .156  g/s.                       '   '
                                 187

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                            TIHE PERIOD 174»-«7ie
                            TIME PERIOD 1718-172»
Figure  88.    Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations (ppt) for
              Experiment 209,  Hour 1  (1700-1800  MST).
                                   188

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    TIBE PERIOD 1738-1748
Figure 88.    Continued.
            189

-------
    TIME PERIOD 1758-1680
Figure 88.    Continued.
             190

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TABLE  12.   NEUTRAL AND  LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 209, CASE  HOUR 1
        feteorolopical Data

 wind directionCdeq)    =    319.
 wind speedCm/s)        =     4.3
 critical dividing
   streamline height(m) =     5.0
 Iz                     =    .053.
 Iy                     =    .093
   NCl/s)               =    .018
         Source Data

  airection(des)   =    316.
  distance(m)      =   986.1
  release heiaht(m)=    40.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(g/s)    =    .156
        Receptor Coordinates        Observed
      X(m)      YCm)      Z(m)      SF6 (ppt)
360.22
142.00
257.78
72.15
404.91
159.04
85.15
58.64
51.04
35.92
32.61
20.07
15.97
2.15
-53.69
-45.46
-15.01
-23.49
-19.85
-4.85
-84. B5
396.68
315.76
248.96
'204.16
144.85
238.00
355.15
313.62
108.15
37.15
312.38
243.41
'441.92
359.96
297.11
269.62
246.20
•111.65
•141.42
229.81
-91.99
-65.85
'109.07
-32.85
-40.46
-25.71
.00
.00
33.94
19.88
111,59
122.04
64.88
445.44
387.66
272.83
247.73
152.45
121.29
18.88
-407.79
-345.28
-1 13.99
-178.46
-149.12
-37.12
-65.12
-106.29
-84.61
-66.71
-54.70
-38.12
.00
-205.04
-181.07
-61.12
-21.12
-41.13
65.22
255.14
207.82
171.54
155.66
142.14
65.88
141.42
229.81
119.88
85.88
263.31
122.88
307.35
195.51
13.26
50.00
30.00
80.00
10.00
46.91
80.00 -
3.38
11.78
31.92
41.74
81.06
90.94
80.00 '
3.82
13.70
98.96
80.00
90.00
60.00
90.00
3.44
13.24
32.90
52.26
80.00
50.00
5.69
15.29
50.00
70.00
14.00
50.00
-.90
8.94
28.07
38.07
47.96
80.00
50.00
30.00
64.94
80.00
30.00
80.00
30.00
65.00
8.70
4.90
17.80
4.90
.10
8.82
.00
.00
.00
10.30
14.50
.98
5.00
6.50
.00
4.90
32.00
20.98
17.50
26.00
11.70
.00
12.50
.00
4.90
33.60
.00
102.70
22.70
16.30
14.50
6.90
.00
.00
.00
.00
.10
.00
11.70
2.20
.20
14.60
5.20
.00
8.50
.10
.10
  Neutral
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

   4.95
 169.28
  14.03
 313.61
    .11
  26.63
 253.86
    .00
    .00
   1.43
   6.02
 235.54
 302.00
 407.88
  24.33
  56.02
 444.90
 424.95
 439.41
 443.58
 504.21
    .05
   3.97
  49.00
 308.73
 542.60
 316.79
  82.95
 105.67
 301.06
 365.44
  20.97
 489.42
  25.60
 183.48
 459.36
 590.72
 714.79
 550.56
 572.33
 655.20
 467.78
 459.41
  65.22
 356.81
   2.66
 184.04
    Lift
 Predicted
 SF6 (pot)

     .00
  173.68
     .00
  272.8R
     .00
     .00
   60.16
     .00
     .00
     .00
     .00
    8.12
   63.69
  313.65
   43.36
   81.07
  244.56
  225.61
  228.99
  361.41
  246.26
     .00
     .00
   37.45
  121.05
  233.87
  125.33
  140.43
  217.98
  289.44
.  302.71
     .00
  239.47
    7.80
  199.26
  255.58
  279.47
  278.81
  353.48
  333.54
  340.19
  339.87
  332.41
     .00
  299.27
     .00
     .00
                                      191

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      Neutral was  rerun with  the  revised meteorological data.   Instead of
 estimating a peak value  that  is  883% of the observed peak concentration, it
 produced  a value  695%  of the  observed peak.  Obviously,  the model is
'bringing  too much plume  material to the surface, especially when the high
 modeled concentrations occur  on  the windward face of the hill where observed
 concentrations  are nearly zero.   Figure 89 shows the distribution of
 calculated concentrations plotted on a map of  CCB, and the results are also
 summarized in Table  12.

      Results from Lift computations are also displayed in Figure 89 and in
 Table 12.  These  concentrations  are not quite  as large as those from
 Neutral,  but the  peak  modeled concentration is still 350% of the peak
 observed  concentration.   Both models produce az values of 20 m to 30 m,
 and  these are large  enough to account for the  substantial SFg impact on
 the  hill  according to  the models.

      The  observations, however,  tell a very different story.  When terrain
 factors are computed from the observed concentration field and the output of
 the  Lift  model, To values are consistently near 2.0, which implies that
 the  CTZ values are too  large by approximately a factor of 2.  Possible
 causes for the  discrepancy between modeled and observed  concentrations are
 being investigated.


 4.10  Experiment  209,  Hour 7  (2300-0000 MST)

      4.10.1  Summary Description

      SFg  tracer gas  was  released from the east-southeast side of the hill
 at 999.2  m, 100.9° for the entire hour.  The release height was 40 m.
 Because the SFg was  not  interrupted from the previous hour and continued
 through the end of the hour,  the sampling data should represent the full
 hour.   Oil-fog  at 40 m was provided by the jet  fogger from 2300 until 2329,
 so the visual plume  was  only  operational for half the hour.  A secondary
 oil-fog plume from the thermofogger was released at 30 m from a point on the
 northwest side  of the  hill (^1155 m, 331°) between 2300  and 2340.

      Local terrain elevations near the tracer  release point are estimated to
 be -4.7 m relative to  the zero of the hill coordinate system; the net
 release height  corresponded to the 35.3 m height level on the hill.  The
 SFg  release rate  is  computed  to  be 0.160 g/s with an estimated uncertainty
 of _+1.5%.  No Freon  was  released.

      Plume Observations

      During the experiment several people recorded their observations about
 the  appearance  and trajectory of the oil-fog plume.  Comments applicable to
 this hour are presented  below.   Note that the  comments actually begin during
 the  preceding hour.  These are included because the plume material released
 during the previous  hour had  an  important impact during  this hour.
                                     192

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Figure 89.   SF6 concentrations  (ppt) estimated  for Experiment  209,  Hour"'l
             by the Neutral  (top) and Lift  (bottom) models.
                                   193

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 Time:  2235(?)  Plume  is heading a  little more toward the hill, but it
 is hard to tell because the winds  are so light that the fog is just
 pooling near the source.

 Time;  2252  NAWC2  is  at a point one-quarter mile south of the 150 m
 tower, and he is releasing a second thermofogger from 30 meters, and it
 is going to the west.

 Time:  2255  The plume is still pooling a lot around the release area.
 A lot  of fingers are  extending in  different directions.  I still
 haven't seen a finger coming past  road F.  In fact, none of them have
 made it halfway to road F.

 Time:  2304  There  are several interesting things going on.  One is that
 the release from El is just smearing back and forth, very very wide—a
 principal blob looks  like it is headed toward the northeast knoll, and
 at this time is just beginning to  get close to road Fi  It may even be
 over me now.  In fact, yes, it is.  The auxiliary release which is a
 quarter mile south of  tower A (the release from the auxiliary crane) is
 traveling to the west  under easterly flow and is relatively coherent,
 not showing the extreme meandering that we are seeing here.  Winds at
 second release holding steady to the west.  Tethersonde reports winds
 of about 2 m/s to the west.

 Time;  2306  From road  F, plume is  about 1 hill width wide, and appears
 to be  drifting toward north butte.

 Time;  2309  From ERT base, the fog pool looks like it extends
 everywhere between the trailer and the hill.   Second plume still
 heading out to the west with some meander.

 Time:  2315  Smoke odor is reported at the sampler trailer.  The fog is
 slowly traveling up the draw.  Plume cloud looks like it is covering
 everything.

 Time;  2320(?)  Winds are shifting more to the north now at the second
 release.  Fog from jet-fogger is cut down.  No shift is seen at the
 tracer crane.

 Time;  2327  I have had the rotating beacon going for about three
minutes at about road F where radial 27 crosses  road F.

 Time:  2328  Butte is surrounded by smoke in all  directions.
Time; 2329
continuing.
of the hill.
Smoke has stopped.  The jet fogger is out of oil.   SFg is
 NAWC2 reports seeing plume smeared all over on all sides
                                194

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     Time;  2330  I can smell the oil fog faintly on top of the hill.   There
     is oil fog everywhere,  particularly smeared now to the north,  but it
     has also been visible on both sides of the hill according to other
     reports.  It looks to me like it is at least two hill widths to  the
     north, flying in very flat sheets although there is some definite
     vertical depth to it of maybe 10 to 15 meters.  I feel like it would  be
     terribly complicated in the analysis to cope with any kind of height
     change or break in the plume because it is smearing so widely so we are
     leaving the tracer up at 40 meters, and we are going to try to bring
     the thermofogger over and put it up near it at 30 meters.

     These comments indicate that the concentrations measured on the  hill
from 2300 to 0000 may have been produced in part by plume material that had
been spread out very widely in the horizontal to the south of the hill and
then slowly advected toward the hill; for this hour, words like "blob" and
"cloud" better describe the tracer material than does the word "plume."

     A secondary plume released to the north of the hill was observed to
travel toward the west during the same time period.  It did not stagnate
near the release, nor did it take on the appearance of a blob or cloud.
Because the behavior of these two plumes is so different, it is unlikely
that the meteorological data measured at tower A (also to the north of the
hill) is representative of the meteorology at the primary release crane.

     Photographs of the primary plume show its extraordinary behavior during
the first half hour.  Figure 90 contains two representative photos of the
plume; the first was taken from the top of the north peak at camera position
0-15 (see Figure 46), and the second was taken from a position slightly
behind the release at camera position 0-19.  Each individual photo is a
5-minute time exposure.

     The wide sheet of oil fog can be seen approaching the hill from the
southeast during periods 2-5.  This sheet apparently drifted past the hill
by the sixth period, and the primary plume bent around to the north of the
hill.  The secondary plume cannot be seen in these photographs.  No lidar
data for this hour have yet been reduced.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  The average of the 5-minute
values over the hour is 58 m, and the average Frji above Hc is 1.2.  The
Frj, value corresponding to this bulk hill Froude number is 0.20.  These
values indicate that the flow during this hour was dominated by buoyancy
effects.  Streamlines above Hc should have exhibited lee wave behavior.
Because the release height was 40 m, the plume was well below HC and might
be expected to have flowed around rather than over the hill.

     Figure 84 contains a time series plot of the calculated 5-minute Hc
and Frji values for this experiment.  Hc rose from 75 m to 80 m during
the first 15 minutes of the hour but then dropped rapidly during the next  10
                                    195

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Figure 90.   Two views of the plume trajectory between 2320 and 2325 MST taken
             from the top of the north peak  (position 15) and taken from
             behind the release (position 19) during Experiment 209, Hour 7.

                                      196

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minutes to about 40 m.  It held at 40 m for the next 5 minutes and then
jumped to more than 55 m in the next 5 minutes.  Hc remained between 50 m
and 55 m for the remaining 25 minutes of the hour.  Frjj began the hour
near 2.0 but dropped rapidly to less than 1.0 by half-past the hour and held
near 1*0 for the remainder of the hour.

     These large changes in Hc during the hour are interesting but may not
be directly relevant to the tracer plume behavior.  The observation logs
indicate that a second oil-fog plume just north of the hill (approximately
halfway to tower A) experienced a flow field that was totally different from
that at the primary release site.  At best, therefore, all we can learn from
tower A is that the dramatic changes in the wind field were accompanied by
similarly dramatic changes in the density structure.

     The hourly averaged wind speed at 40 m on tower A was 2.5 m/s.  During
the previous hour, however, the average speed was only 0.6 m/s.  Because the
wind shift probably occurred at tower A before it occurred at the release
site, the winds at the release early in the hour may have been close to
0.6 m/s.  The mean wind direction at 40 m on tower A was 105°; once again,
though, the wind direction during the previous hour was 045°, and this may
be more indicative of average wind directions over the first part of the
hour at the release point.

     Figure 91 shows the trend in tower A wind speeds between 10 m and 80 m
during the hour.  Speeds at all levels are less than 3 m/s, and those at
40 m are slightly greater than those at either 10 m or 80 m..  Variations in
wind directions measured at 10 m and 40 m are displayed in Figure 92 as
frequency distributions.  It is not surprising that neither distribution
satisfactorily summarizes the wind direction behavior seen at the primary
release site.  The 40 m distribution might be applicable to the release site
once the wind shift had taken place.

     In summary, winds appeared to be extremely light and variable at the
release location during the hour, but the data from tower A indicate a
steadier flow.  HC and Frn values during the hour indicate very stable
flow conditions.  Because tower A data is undoubtedly not representative of
the flow at the release site early in the hour and because so much plume
material from the previous hour could have been advected back over the hill,
the measured concentration pattern may not be very useful for model
development.
     SFg Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 93.  The highest concentration
measured is on the north face of the north peak near the 30 m height
contour, the second highest is near the 75 m contour on the same hill face,
and the third highest is located on the saddle point above the northwest
draw.  Most of the other nonzero concentrations were measured on the
northwest side of the hill at contour elevations greater than 20 m.  This is
                                     197

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                                          UVW PROPS AT 40 m
             9.9-

             8.5-

             8.8-

             7.5-

             7.8-

             6.5-

             6.9-

             5.5-1

             5.9-1

             4.5-

             4.8-

             3.5-
                   —I	1	1	             ,
                    28   49  69  89   188  128  148  169  188  898 288  248  268  888  389 328  348  369

                                                                            DIRECTION 
                                           UVW PROPS AT 1O m
              7.5-

              7.e-

              6.5-

              6.0-

              5.5-

              5.8-

              4.5"

              t.e-

              3.5 -

              3.e

              2.5-

              2.8-

              1.5 -

              1.0 -

               .5-
                   —I	1	1	1	1	1	1	!	1	1  " M™1	1    I    '    '  "^   '
                 9   28   48   69   88  189  129  148  168  189  889  288  248 268  288  388  328  348  369
Figure 92.     Calculated wind  direction distribution functions for Experiment
                 209, Hour 7  C2300-0000 MST).
                                               199

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   8.'
Figure 93.   Observed SF^ concentrations  (ppt)  for  Experiment 209,
             Hour 7 (2300-0000 MST).  Source:   r =  999.2  m,  6 = 100.9°,
             net height = 35.3 m, Q = .160  g/s.
                                 .200

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surprising because the source was located to the southeast of the hill and
most concentrations above 20 m on this side of the hill are zero.  Perhaps
the SFg measured in the lee of the hill circled round to the south of the
hill and then shifted back across the southwest and west side of the hill
amidst the changing wind directions.

     This possibility is certainly suggested by the 10-minute average SFg
concentration distributions presented in Figure 94.  All concentrations on
the hill were recorded during the half hour between 2310 and 2340, and a
large concentration is seen on the south side of the hill in two out of the
three 10-minute periods.
     4.10.2  Model Performance

     This hour is very difficult to model properly.  Observed concentrations
may have resulted from plume material released during the previous hour.
Also, the meteorological data from tower A is not representative of
conditions at the release point.  Nonetheless, model calculations have been
done to see what kind of correspondence between modeled and observed
concentrations might be obtained.  The Wrap and Impingement models were run
because the release was substantially below Hc.

     All meteorological data were prepared as in Section 4.1.2, except that
no interpolation to source height was needed because the plume was released
from 40 m, an instrumented height on Tower A.  The resulting values are
summarized in Table 13.  Because of the large uncertainty in the winds at
release height, the average 40 m wind direction (105°) was used in the
modeling directly.  Note, however, that tower B winds were from 160° and
188° at 10 m and 30 m, respectively.                ,

     Botii Impingement and Wrap were run with the revised meteorological
data; the results are listed in Table 13, and plotted on a map of CCB in
Figure 95.

     Although the release height of 40 m was well below Hc (58 m), some of
the highest observed concentrations (ranging from 120 ppt to 185 ppt)
occurred near the top of the hill at 80 m.  This pattern cannot be
reproduced by the models.  The highest observed concentration of 196 ppt
does, however, occur close to the release height.  This value should be
compared with the highest Wrap estimate of 174 ppt at 42 m.  The estimates
from Impingement are generally much higher than the observations, probably a
result of the overestimation of the probability of the wind direction along
the stagnation streamline.  In any case, the apparent agreement in peak
modeled (Wrap) and observed concentrations is probably accidental.
                                    201

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                            Tine PERIOD 2309-aste
                            TIHE PERIOD 231«-232e
Figure  94.   Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations  (ppt) for
              Experiment 209,  Hour 7  (2300-0000 MST).
                                    202

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    TIHE PERIOD 2328-2338
    TIME PERIOD 233«-234«
Figure 94.     Continued.
             203

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    TIME PERIOD 23H9-S3SO
    TIRE PERIOD 235»-«88»
Figure 94.     Continued.
             204

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  TABLE 13.  IMPINGEMENT AND WRAP MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 209,
              CASE  HOUR 7
        ie\eorological Data

wind dipection(deg)    =    105.
wind sp^ecCm/s)         =     2.5
critical tividing
  streailine heightdtO =    58.0
Iz                     =    .046
Iy                     =    .121
  N(l/s)               =    .094
         Source Data

  airection(deg)   =    101.
  distance(m)      ='  999.2
  release heiciht Cm)=    40.0
  SF6 emission
      rateCa/s)    =    .160
       Keceptor Coordinates        Observed
     X(mj      Y(m)      Z(m)      SF6 Cppt)
360.2?
142.00
257.76
404.91
195.15
72.^9
66. >0
58. ,4
40.17
35.92
32.61
-53.6V
-45. 4o
-15.01
-19.8a
-84. Pa
396.6'
•315.76
•248.96
•204.16
•238.00
95.80
59.13
43.00
355.15
256.81
204.15
108.15
37.15
312.38
243.41
441.92
359.96
297.11
269.62
111.85
-40.85
141 .42
229. SI
-91.99
-65.85
109.07
-80.75
-32.85
-40.46
-25.71
.00
.00
33.94
111.59
149.74
126.43
505.92
445.44
305.14
272.83
247.73
-407.79
-345.28
-113.99
-149.12
-65.12
-106.29
-84.61
-66.71
-54.70
.00
-231.27
-154.04
-74.48
-205.04
-148.27
-117.12
-61.12
-21.12
-41.13
65.22
255.14
207.82
171.54
155.66
65.88
26.88
141.42
229.81
119.88
85.88
263.31
194.94
122.88
307.35
195.51
13.26
50.00
30.00
10.00
27.41
77.02
-6.52
3.38
22.10
31.92
41.74
3.82
13.70
98.96
90.00
90.00
3.44
13.24
32.90
52.26
50.00
52.96
80.00
80.00
5.69
25.29
30.00
50.00
70.00
14.00
50.00
-.90
8.94
28.07
38.07
80.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
64.94
80.00
30.00
50.00
80.00
30.00
65.00
.00
28.80
.00
.00
8.50
185.40
.00
.00
6.80
.00
.00
.00
4.90
.00
62.20
21.50
.00
31.50
62.30
38.20
28.00
61.60
146.40
62.20
71.60
.00
.00
.00
44.20
4.90
18.70
.00
.00
34.70
48.80
69.30
120.30
79.00
.00
.00
170.70
85.90
79.70
107.10
196.10
35.10
Impingement
Predicted
SF6 Cppt)

  39.66
 891.52
 859.60
  13.61
 570.31
   3.20
    .21
   5.05
 2t>3.02
 706.01
 898.09
   5.22
  60.54
    .00
    .05
    .15
   9.69
  69.49
 574.67
 41P.57
 466.29
 531.87
    .92
    .74
   2.84
 462.20
 857.36
 85K.89
  12.27
  33.73
 455.70
   3.59
  32.52
 420.55
 647.11
   4.49
   4.27
 505.60
 505.60
  91.31
   3.52
 549.10
 549.10
   2.63
 581.55
  64.57
   Wrap
Predicted
SF6 (pet)

   1.21
 139.86
 136.03
    .44
  83.57
    .07
    .00
    .14
  31.90
 124.57
 173.73
    .1'4
   4.14
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .39
   5.79
 104.90
  67.89
  80.65
  77.47
    .01
    .01
    .05
  57.31
 135.76
 135.94
    .36
   1.39
  78.9«
    .10
   2.07
  69.10
 124.73
    .14
    .13
  86.76
  86.76
   8.17
    .09
  93.40
  93.40
    .06
  98.25
   6.90
                                     205

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Figure 95.   SFg concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 209, Hour 7
             by the Impingement (top) and Wrap (bottom) models.
                                   206

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4.11  Experiment 210, Hour 3 (0200-0300 MST)

     4.11.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog, SF6, and Freon were released from the southeast
side of the hill at 1084.3 m, 113.7° for the entire hour.  The oil-fog and
SFg were released at a height of 57 m,  and the Freon was released at
30 m.  Because all releases were continuous from the preceding hour, all
tracer sampling data should be representative of the full hour.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-7.2 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height of the SFg and oil-fog correspond to the 49.8 m height
level on the hill, and that for the Freon release corresponds to the 22.8 m
height level.  The SFg release rate is computed to be 0.169 g/s with an
estimated uncertainty of j+6.3%.  The Freon release rate is 0.926 g/s +2.0%.
No Freon concentration patterns have been modeled for this hour.

     Plume Observations

     Many observations about the plume appearance and trajectory were
recorded during this experiment.  Comments relevant to this hour are
presented below.


     Time; 0155  The plume looks like it is going around the south side at
     about the level of tower D.

     Time: 0200  From south peak:  Seeing some material come right up..,.

     Time: 0202  Smoke odor is reported at tower D; I can see the plume
     coming into the vicinity of tower D, I believe it is on the south side
     of D and then rising quite a bit.  The plume centerline is going
     directly towards the tower on the south peak.  Presently the
     nephelometer crane seems to be right in the center of the plume.

     Time: 0204  The plume now looks like it is going up the draw, not
     really touching the bottom of the draw, but going around the north side
     of the south peak.

     Time; 0206  Plume is heading toward FAA tower, then it takes a sharp
     turn (^20°) and goes up the draw.

     Time; 0208  The plume was going up the draw and then it swept right
     past me.  I'm on the north butte, and it is barely going around the
     north side and up and over.  I'm looking straight down the axis, and it
     comes right over the north edge of the flat area by the FAA tower,.  It
     is climbing quite a bit and going over at about 3 meters above the
     ground.
                                    207

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Time:  0210  I'm standing on the northeast point of the north flat
area.   The plume is going up and over me and I do not smell it, yet it
is close enough that I feel like I can touch it.  ERT 1, on the south
butte, estimates that the centerline is maybe 9-10 m above the butte,
with vertical dimensions of about 6 m.  It is very coherent.

Time:  0213  Centerline has dropped maybe 5 m as the plume swings a
little off to the north side—it is about even with the top of the
hill.   Plume is coherent and very visible; it is still almost touching
the north side.  After looking at another sweep, it's gone off the
north side and has sunk down to the hill height.

Time:  0214  The plume is coming a little bit back over the top of the
butte, about right over the very north extreme of the FAA flat area and
now it is going up and over again.  I cannot smell it, yet I feel like
I can reach up and touch it.  It is passing through the first white
section of the FAA tower, which I would estimate, puts it at about 8
meters.

Time;  0216  The plume is passing right through the FAA tower, coming
down as low as the top of the building at times.

Time:  0219  The plume now has moved just north of the FAA tower, and it
is passing I would guess, about 5 to 8, maybe 10 meters above the
ground.  Now it is just streaming by here, yet, we cannot smell it.

Time:  0222  We're smelling the smoke now on top of the north butte.

Time:  0225  The plume is much more dispersed now horizontally and
vertically.  It's now approaching the north butte and going around the
north side of the north butte.  The top of the plume seems to be about
even with the top of the hill right now, so the plume centerline is
about 80 meters.  There is quite a bit of plume meander evident between
the hill and the source.  The plume is very close to the top of the
north peak, just barely off the north side, at time 0226.

Time;  0228  Ten meter winds at the ERT base are 130°, and are beginning
to trend more toward the southeast.

Time;  0231  We have just had about a 10° change in wind direction at
the. source.  Wind direction is now more to the southeast.  It looks
like about 130°, so we are missing the hill on the north side, and the
plume is no longer rising as it approaches the hill.  The plume is also
more constricted now.  There is a lot less horizontal and vertical
mixing noticeable.

Time;  0233  The plume, as it is traveling over the northeast knoll, is
not hitting the hill and is considerably more compact.  As usual, we
are seeing that as it gets off that stagnation streamline its character
goes back to a more normal coherent compact plume.
                               208

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      Time:  0234   The  plume  centerline is  slightly north of the north hill.
      You can see dramatic change in the centerline in about the point where
      it  approaches  the hill and  the centerline turns  to the right.   It
      appears about  5° to 10° at  that point.

      Time;  0239   The  plume  is sweeping to the  south now.   Plume centerline
      is  almost directly  towards  the draw.  The plume  still has a significant
      kink in it  as  it approaches the hill.   It looks  like  the  angle
      difference  between  the plume from the release point and the plume as it
      bends  around the hill  is at least 30°.  The  plume appears to be turning
      as  it  approaches the FAA tower.            ,

      Time:  0240  The plume  is coming directly  over on the  north peak,  but we
      cannot smell it.  ERT  3 feels  like if he  were standing on top  of  my car
      that he could  smell it.   Looking  at  the source,  it looks  like  the plume
      was  swept back and  is  now aimed at the  south  shoulder.

      Time:  0241  The plume  is coming right at  the  draw and then dramatically
      rising and  going through the draw at about the level  of the two peaks.
   •   As  I am looking across,  the plume is obscuring the lower  half  of  the
      100-foot tower from me.   It is  going over the saddle  and  really diving
      on  the back side.  Occasionally a puff  comes  maybe 2,  3,  maybe 4  meters
      below  the level of  the  peaks  (eye level looking  across  the two buttes).

      Time;  0243  It is still  going  through the draw at  about the height of
      the  two peaks  and just  diving  in  the back.  It looks  like it may  be
      going  just  barely south  of  tower  F and  really at  the  level  of  tower F.
      It really dives down,  and we don't smell  it on top of  the hill.   It
      looks  to me like the height  of  the nephelometer  intake  on the  northeast
      corner of the  FAA fence  is  about  3 meters.

      Time:  0250- The wind has picked up, and you can  smell  the  plume now on
      the north butte.  It looks quite  a bit wider..

      Time:  0254  I  can faintly smell the plume on  the north  butte.   It
      appears to be  coming right at  the FAA tower and going up and over.


      These observations  are quite extensive,  providing  a description of the
plume during each 5-minute  period.  In summary, the plume initially streamed
toward tower D or the southeast side of the hill during the  first 5-minute
period.  It then shifted across the hill to the north side and remained
either along the north shoulder of the hill,  or over the north peak during
periods 2-6.  The plume  shifted more to the north away  from  the hill in sthe
seventh period,  and remained  there into period 8.   Late in the eighth
period, the plume again  swept back toward  the center of the hill and rose
over  the saddle between  the  peaks during period 9«.  In  the last 15 minutes,
the plume again flowed over  the north peak.
                                    209

-------
     Smoke odor was noted at several times during the hour, yet was
noticeably absent at other times.  Smoke odor was noted early when the plume
was streaming near tower D, and it was also noted on top of the hill late in
the hour after the wind speed increased.  No smoke odor was noted at times
in between because the plume was deflected directly over the north peak.

     Two representative photographs of the oil-fog plume are presented in
Figure 96.  The first was taken from the top of the north peak at camera
position 0-15 (see Figure 46), and the second was taken to the side of the
plume at position 0-10.  Each photo is a 5-minute time exposure.

     The photos show the plume was near the southeast side of the hill
during period 1, and over the north peak during periods 2-5.  It then
streamed around the north side of the hill during period 6, and shifted away
from the hill to the north during period 7.  The plume swept back toward the
hill during period 8, and remained over the saddle or the south side of the
north peak for the remainder of the hour.  This is in substantial agreement
with the recorded observer notes.  The marked increase in plume dispersion
in periods 10-12 noted by observers can also be seen in the photo record.

     This photographic series clearly shows that the plume is able to rise
over the hill at times, conforming to the hill shape but not mixing down to
the surface.  This behavior is a typical case in which the plume is Compact
enough, and the Froude number high enough, that the plume surmounts the hill
with little impact.

     Lidar data taken during this hour are extensive.  The lidar sampled the
plume along seven planes:  three upwind of the hill, three over the hill,
and one in the lee of the hill.  Plume centroid positions derived from the
lidar data are plotted in Figure 97.  This figure shows that the plume
preferentially traveled toward  the north peak, either passing  to the south,
north, or directly over the top.  The only periods in which the plume took a
substantially different course  are periods 1, 6, and 7.  The plume passed to
the north of the hill during periods 6 and 7, and it was directed more
towards the southeast shoulder  of the hill during the first period, as noted
in the previous discussions.

     Of additional interest is  the plume centroid height in the lee of  the
hill.  The lidar shows the centroid between 7 m and 33 m above  the zero of
the coordinate system in  the lee, although it began at roughly  50 m in  the
sampling  plane closest to  the release point.  Therefore, a marked streamline
depression existed in the  lee of  the hill.

      Initial wind directions at source height were calculated  from centroid
positions in  the sampling  planes  closest  to  the release point.  These vary
from  106° in period  1, to  117°  in period  6.  Directions between these
extremes  vary  from 108°  to 114°.  Because  the source was located along  the
113.7° ray,  these wind directions should have taken  the plume  just left of
 the hill  center.  However, many of  the  centroid positions  over  the hill lie
nearer  the north peak.   This shift may be  due to uneven sampling  in time at
locations near  the source,  so wind  directions were probably more  southerly
 (say  118°-119°),  taking  the plume more  toward the north peak.

                                     210

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                                                                      \
                      iOCAT.ON Q-/0

                     EXP6B1MENT2JO
Figure 96.   Two views  of the plume trajectory between 0215  and 0220 MST
             taken  from the top of the north peak  (position  15) and taken
             off to the side of the release  (position  10)  during Experiment
             210, Hour  3.

                                     211

-------
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                                                   ' '• •'..            B..   r • -.  '(



                                                           •  '         '''*     8.
                                                                                           •a
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                                                                                            3 O
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-------
     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during this hour were
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  However, because of a
partial failure of the 40 m wind set, 40 m wind speeds were inferred for
each 5-minute period before calculating Hc.  The method followed in
calculating speeds at 40 m was outlined in Section 4.4.1.

     The average Hc over this hour is 26 m, and Frjj above this height is
2.1.  Because the SFg plume was released at 57 m, its trajectory should
have been similar to that for weakly stratified flows.  Fr^ above 26 m is
0.55, so a significant streamline depression in the lee of the hill is
expected.  Lidar data in the lee of the hill indicate a substantial
depression.

     Figure 98 contains a time series plot of the calculated 5-minute Hc
and FTJI values for this experiment.  Hc dropped from 25 m to 20 m during
the first half hour, only to rise rapidly to 30 m until late in the hour,
when it again dropped to 20 m.  Frjj rose from just under 2.0 to over 3.5.
These changes in Hc probably had only a minor effect on surface SFg
concentrations; however, the changes in Frg imply that the greatest
streamline depression in the lee would have occurred early in the hour.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 80 m and estimated at 40 m on
tower A are 7.6 and 6.3 m/s, respectively.  The 80 m wind direction, which
is assumed to be applicable at source height, is 122°.  Figure 99 shows the
trend in wind speeds between 10 m and 80 m over the hour.  The 10 m and 80 m
winds are nearly constant, but the winds inferred at 40 m drop significantly
in the eighth through eleventh 5-minute periods.  This event coincides with
a plume shift toward the center of the hill from a trajectory around the
north side.  If the wind at release height also dropped, then the hourly
averaged concentrations over the saddle and the north peak may have been
slightly greater than those calculated with the hourly average wind speed.

     Variations in wind directions measured at 10 m and 80 m are shown in
Figure 100 as frequency distributions.  The 80 m distribution is much
narrower than the 10 m distribution and is therefore indicative of the 57 m
plume trajectories seen in the photographs.  Because the plume was high
above Hc (and high above the 10 m level, for that matter), the broad wind
distribution at 10 m probably had little effect on measured SFg
concentrations.

     In summary, the plume was released well above Hc.  Froude numbers
were low enough to suggest the presence of lee waves, which were noted by
the  lidar.
                                     213

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            Hc(m)
           FrH
                                        »•_  ,4
                                                               7.«     8.8





                                                                 !»•• (Hour)
                                 *  /~%^XA/V. A* M   ?.,\

                                 • A *'                *     '. ^i  A   J
                                 Z '-f                      v' •  V A *
                vu*
                          a.e     3.0
                                         -4.0      s.e     e.«      ?.e
                                                                 Tin* (Hour)
Figure 98.    Calculated  dividing streamline heights  (Hc)  and bulk hill  Froude

              numbers above Hc (FrH) for Experiment 210.
                                       214

-------
-.  E

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 •. 00
                                                                                                               »     «
                                                                                                               §    3
                                                                                                                               H
                                                                                                                               to


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-------
                                            UVW PROPS AT 80m
               8.S-
               8.0-
               7.5-
               7.0
               6.5-
               s.o-
               s.s-
               s.o-
               4.5-
               4.0-
               3.5-
               3.0-
               2.5-
               2.0-
               t.s-
               i.e-
                .s-
                                    too  iso  MO  160  igo ago  220  340  eeo  ego  300 320  340  3so
                                                                              DIRECTION (dig)
                                             UVW PROPS AT 10m
               9.0-
               a.s-
               8.0-
               7.5-
               7.0-

               ,,H
               5
               4.0-j
               3.5-
               3.0-
               2.5-
               2.0-
               l.S-
               1.0-
                .5
Figure 100.
0  20  40  60   89   100  120  140  160  180  200 220  240  360  280  300  320  340  360
                                                            DIRECTION (d«g>
 Calculated wind  direction distribution functions  for   Experiment
 210,  Hour  3  (0200-0300 MST).
                                                  216

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         Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 101.  All of'the large concentrations
measured lie at the base of the northwest draw in the lee of the hill.  The
largest is located at the downwind edge of the sampling network.  Other
sizeable concentrations are seen near the 80 m - 85 m height contour around
both peaks and across the saddle. Concentrations below 30 m on the upwind
side of the hill are very small.

     This pattern is consistent with the observations and the photographs
discussed above.  The concentrations in the lee may be very large because
the plume was depressed in the lee, and the moderate concentrations over the
top of the hill may have arisen during those periods late in the hour when
the plume appeared to undergo increased .dispersion.

     The distribution of 10-minute average SFg concentration presented in
Figure 102 provides more information on the evolution of the pattern.  The
concentrations near the top of the north and south peaks arose in the first
half hour, when the plume first traveled near the southeast side of the hill
and'then rested over the north peak.  The sizable concentrations in .the
saddle area built up primarily during the last 10 minutes of the hour.  This
was the period of time when observers noted an increase in the dispersion of
the plume.
     4.11.2  Model Performance

     This hour was modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height traveled over the hill.
Meteorology used in the modeling was prepared as in Section 4.1.2 and is
summarized in Table 14.

     The 1-hour wind directions measured 47 m below and 23 m above the
release height are 113° and 122°, respectively.  Directions at 10 m and 30 m
on tower B are 119° and 124°, respectively.  But the direction inferred from
the lidar and photographic data indicate a wind direction of 118°-119°.
Therefore, the model wind direction is set to 118°.  The 80 m PDF is also
used in the modeling.

     Neutral was rerun with the new meteorological data.  Instead of
estimating a peak value 31% of the peak observed concentration, it produced
a peak 8% of the peak observed.  Figure 103 shows the distribution of
calculated concentrations plotted on a map of CCB, and the results are also
summarized in Table 14.

     Results of the Lift computations are also displayed in Figure 103 and
in Table 14.  Once again, the computations produce extremely low
concentrations:  the peak modeled is only 4% of the peak observed.
                                    217

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                                                  ? r"= 500 m~
    207.'
?
 N
Figure 101.   Observed SFg concentrations  (ppt)  for Experiment 210,
              Hour 3  (0200-0300 MST).   Source:   r = 1084.3 m, 6 = 113.7°,
              net height = 49.8 m,  Q =  .169 g/s.
                                    218

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                            TINE PERIOD 3210-025D
Figure 102.    Observed 10-minute average SFg concentrations  (ppt)  for
               Experiment 210, Hour 3 (0200-0300 MST).
                                   219

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     TINE PERIOD 42a«-»23»
     TIME PERIOD 823»-«2<«
Figure 102.    Continued.
              220

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      TH1E PERIOD 02<0-e250
     Tint PERIOD easo-oaae
Figure 102.    Continued.
             221

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TABLE 14.   NEUTRAL AND  LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 210, CASE  HOUR 3
          Meteoroloqieel  Data

  wind  direction(dep)     =     118.
  wind  speedCm/s)         =      6.3
  critical  dividing
     streamline  height(m)  =     26.0
  Iz                     =     .018
  ly                     =     .105
     NCl/s)                =     .044
                                                      Source  Data

                                               direction(deg)    =
                                               oistance(m)       =   1064.3
                                               release heipht(m)=     57.0
                                               SF6 emission
                                                   rate(g/s)     =     .169
  Receptor Coordinates
X(m)      Y(m)
                                      Observed
                                      SF6  (ppt)
208.35
257.78
404.91
195.15
159.04
72.99
66.60
51.04
35.92
32.61
29.59 .
15.97
2.15
-66.52
-45.46
-15.01
-19.85
-9.85
-4.85
-84.85
'396.68
315.76
248.96
-60.85
31.69
441.46
355.15
313.62
142.15
108.15
82.15
37.15
157.38
243.41 •
441.92
359.96
297.11
269.62
246.20
•111.85
-40.85
•141.42
•229.81
109.07
-40.46
.00
33.94
111.59
149.74
122.04
126.43
505.92
387.66
272.83
247.73
224.79
121.29
18.88
-505.24
-345.28
-113.99
-149.12
-76.12
-37.12
-65.12
-106.29
-84.61
-66.71
-16.12
-258.06
-254.87
-205.04
-181.07
-81.12
-61.12
-46.12
-21.12
20.72
65.22
255.14
207.82
171.54
155.66
142.14
65.88
2S.88
141.42
229.81
263.31
307.35
31.25
30.00
10.00
27.41
46.91
77.02
-6.52
11.78
31.92
41.74
51.51
90.94
80.00
-3.54
13.70
98.96
90.00
90.00
80.00
90.00
3.44
13.24
32.90
80.00
50.00
-2.45
5.69
15.29
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
83. 35
50.00
-.90
8.94
28.07
38.07
47.96
80.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
30.00
30.00
20.80
.00
5.20
.20
20.86
61.20
.00
5.20
15.50
.00
26.98
125.00
71.70
.00
21 .90
36.20
82.30
58.60
76.10
68. 60
112.70
117.40
80.40
84.90
37.90
18.30
.00
.00
47.30
5.20
50.44
36.60
111.00
5.70
297.00
243.90
212.30
195.80
152.30
61.50
13.80
191.60
.10
83.00
17.10
  Neutral
Predi cted
SF6 (ppt)

    .06
    .02
    .00
    .02
   2.06
  21.16
    .00
    .00
    .16
   1.26
   6.84
  24.15
  JB.68
    .00
    .00
   8.44
   5.55
  10.70
  13.62
  11.70
    .00
    .00
    .14
  15.62
    .05
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .35
   3.35
  12.43
  14.90
  19.30
   8.88
    .01
    .04
    .70
   2.92
  10.62
  23.80
  19.94
  12.75
    .94
    .50
    .23
   Lift
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

    .44
    .16
    .01
    .26
    .44
   2.12
    .14
    .43
    .55
   1.07
   1.14
   2.19
   1.65
    .00
    .00
    .38
    .19
    .56
   1.12
    .65
    .00
    .49 i
    .98
   1.56
    .00
    .00
    .01
    .02
    .39
    .54
    .68
    .96
   2.51
   3.60
  11.28
   7.79
   6.43
   5.87
   5.40
   2.68
   1.83
   4.89
   6.43
   5.26
   1.19
                                       222 .

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Figure 103.   SFg concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 210, Hour 3
              by the Neutral (top)  and Lift (bottom) models.
                                    223

-------
     In both cases, the modeled concentrations are low everywhere across the
hill.  The observed concentrations are greater over much of the hill but
become particularly greater at the base of the hill on the leeward side.
Computed To values for these observed concentrations are about 0.6 in the
southeast draw, 0.58 to 0.63 in the saddle area, 0.58 on the north peak,
0.50 on the south peak, and 0.48 to 0.50 near the base of the hill on the
lee side.

     These values suggest that the az should be larger in order to  '
reproduce the observed concentrations.  As noted in the discussions above,
the dispersion was seen to increase substantially late in the hour.  This is
already shown in the lidar data.  The measured az in a plane near the
upwind base of the hill varied between 3.5 and 6.0 m for most of the hour.
But during the last 10 minutes, 0Z increased to 11.0 m at 0252 and to
nearly 15 m at 0256.  Therefore, the key to modeling this hour successfully
may be a careful treatment of the last 10 to 20 minutes.


4.12  Experiment 210, Hour 7 (0600-0700 MST)

     4.12.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog, SFg, and Freon were released from the southeast
side of the hill at 1086.2 m, 122.2° for the entire hour.  The oil-fog and
SF6 were released at a height of 58 m, and the Freon was released at
30 m.  All releases were continuous from the preceding hour, so all tracer
sampling data should be representative of the full hour.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-8.2 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system,  so the net
release height of the SFg and the oil-fog corresponds to the 49.8 height
level on the hill, and that for the Freon release corresponds to the 21.8 m
height level.  The SF6 release rate is computed to be 0.178 g/s with an
estimated uncertainty of ^7.4%.  The Freon release rate is  0.986 g/s +3.3%.
No Freon concentration patterns have been modeled for this  hour.

     Plume Observations

     Few observer comments and observations about the plume appearance and
trajectory x*ere recorded during this hour.  The relevant ones are presented
below.

     Time; 0557  I am a third of a mile west of road A doing a north-south
     transect with my nose,  and I can faintly smell the plume.   I would
     estimate that it is about half of a hill width wide—that's very
     approximate.

     Time: 0559  Looking back at the release, it is coming  over the butte
     just south of tower B and then turning slightly north  and then getting
     considerably wider as it comes out into the flats again.
                                    224

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     Time:  0619  It's difficult to see, but it looks to me like the flow in
     the lee is no longer as attached as it was earlier, and it is not
     coming down as low.  The dawn is just breaking so we will be able to
     see it better in about 15 minutes.  The array I am asking them to
     analyze for Freon is again very extensive because we expect the lower
     level  release to be meandering really all over the place.  This
     analysis should be very interesting because the upper plume was very,
     very steady.

     Time;  0702  The thermofogger is down being refueled and will go back up
     shortly.  I have asked them to co-locate the Freon and SFg at the
     same level as the thermofogger, and we will be able to test how the
     system is working.  The ERT crew is releasing flares all over the south
     shoulder of the hill, and most of them are going up the hill—the ones
     on the south face are going up the hill, the ones on the draw side of
     the shoulder are going across the hill, and the ones down low are going
     around the hill.
     Although the notes are sketchy, they indicate that the plume was fairly
steady during the first half hour, and that a strong depression in the lee
of the hill at the start of the hour weakened over the same time period.
More information on plume behavior upwind of the hill is contained in the
photographs.  Each photo is a 5-minute time exposure, except for one which
covers a 10-minute period.

     The available photos only cover S^minute periods 1-7, but show that the
oil-fog plume was fairly steady at least during the first half hour.  It ;
remained near the south peak, starting off the hour along the south shoulder
of the peak, and ending over the saddle in period 7.  As the plume sails
over the south peak in periods 1-5, clear air can be seen beneath the bottom
edge of the visible plume.  SFg concentrations should therefore be small •
in this area.  It is much harder to see if the oil-fog cleared the saddle by
a similar amount, but it appears that the plume did rise high enough over
the saddle to produce only small concentrations there too.

     Two representative photos of the plume are reproduced in Figure 104.
The first was taken from the top of the south peak at camera location 0-8
(see Figure 46), and the second was taken from behind the plume at  ,
location 0-19.                                                           :

     No photos are available to show what happened to the plume later in the
hour, and no lidar data are yef available to provide this information.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data from tower A were used to characterize the
flow during the hour in terms of Hc.  However, because of a partial
failure of the 40 m wind set, 40 m wind speeds were estimated for each
5-minute period before calculating Hc.  The method followed in calculating
the 40 m speeds was outlined in Section 4.4.1.
                                    225

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 iflllfl
Figure 104.   Two views of the plume trajectory between  0615  and 0620 (top),
              and between 0610 and 0620 MST  (bottom)  taken from the top of
              the south peak  (position 8)  and  taken  from behind the release
              (position 19) during Experiment  210, Hour  7.

                                    226

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     The average Hc during this hour is 14 m, and the average FrH is
2.6.  Because the SFg plume was released at 58 m, its trajectory should
have been similar to that for weakly stratified flows.  Fr^ above the Hc
is 0.63, so some streamline depression in the lee of the hill may be
expected.

     Figure 98 contains a time series plot of the calculated 5-minute Hc
and Frji values for this experiment.  The Hc pattern exhibits a spike
over the first half hour with a peak value of over 35 m.  During the rest of
the hour HC is about 10 m.  A much smaller spike is seen in the Frjj
trace.  Its peak is centered on the fourth 5-minute period; this coincides
with the observation that the depression of the plume in the lee of the hill
was not as strong as it had been earlier.  The peak Frjj value corresponds
to a FrL of 0.80.  A weakening of the depression in the lee is consistent
with a change toward greater Frj^ values.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 80 m and estimated for 40 m on
tower A are 9.0 and 7.3 m/s, respectively.  The 80 m wind direction, which
is assumed to be applicable to the source height, was 130°.  Figure 105
shows the trend in wind speeds between 10 m and 80 m over the hour.  A
dramatic decrease in the 40 m speeds occurred during the fourth 5-minute
period, and may be responsible for the changes in the flow parameters (Hc,
Frjj, Fri) discussed above.

     Variations in wind directions measured at 10 and 80 m are shown in
Figure 106 as frequency distributions.   Each distribution has a mean of
130°, but the 10 m distribution is considerably broader.  The 80 m
distribution, undoubtedly more appropriate for the SF6 release height,
illustrates the steadiness observed in the plume trajectory over the hour.

     In summary, the SF6 plume was released well above HC.  Although
wind directions were very steady at release height,  wind speed changes
produced a short period of flow alteration.  The hourly SFg concentrations
should be representative of a high release into a weakly stratified flow
(FrH > 1).

     SFft Concentrations

     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure  107.  The highest concentration is
found near the 80 m contour on the lee  side of the south peak.  Other high
concentrations are found toward the base of the hill in the lee.   Only zero
concentrations are measured on the windward slope of the hill below 65 m.
In fact, all but one sampler measured zero concentration in the southeast
draw up toward the saddle.  This pattern is consistent with weakly
stratified flow over the hill.

     The distribution of 10-minute SFg  concentrations is presented in
Figure 108.  These plots also show the  lack of any significant impact on the
windward side of the hill.  They illustrate the steadiness of the plume late
in the hour when both photographic and  lidar data are missing.
                                    227

-------
                                                       1 e      E
                                                       : O    •  O
                                                       : co
                                  E
                                :  O
                                                                                     a
                                                                                          ..«       a
                                                                                                  .-6
3<0
_r_1	J_


 00            U)
A     «
s     i

       c
                                                        ^     i
                                                        in     5
                                                                                                               in
                                                                                                               PI
                                                                                                               in
                                                                                                               o>
                                                         o>
                                                         
                O
                O

                O
                 I
                O
                O
                                                                                                                               f-l

                                                                                                                               O
                                                                                                                               O

                                                                                                                               CM
                                                                                                                                (D
                                                                                                                                0)
                                                                                                                               w
                                                                                                                                bO
                                                                                                                               .s
                                                                                                                               TJ
                                                                         
-------
                                         UVW PROPS AT 80m
                   29  48  68
                                        149 169  180 288  228 248  268 288  399 328  349  3G8

                                                                       DIRECTION (dog)



                                        UVW PROPS AT 10m
                                 199  128  149  168  188  289  228  249  268  2B9  398 329  348 369


                                                                       DIRECTION Idoj)
Figure  106.    Calculated wind direction distribution functions  for Experiment
                 210,  Hour 7  (0600-0700  MST).
                                             229

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Figure 107.   Observed SFg concentrations (ppt) for Experiment 210,
              Hour 7 (0600-0700 MST).  Source:  r = 1086.2 m, 6 = 122.2°,
              net height = 49.8 m, Q = .178 g/s.
                                   230

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                            TIME PERIOD «Eee-esi*
                            TIME PERIOD SEK-OESO
Figure  108.    Observed 10-minute average  SFg concentrations  (ppt)  for
               Experiment 210,  Hour 7  (0600-0700 MST).
                                    231

-------
     TIKE PERIOD «E2>-«63«
      TIDE PERIOD «63«-»6«
Figure  108.    Continued.
               232  -

-------
     Tine PERIOD e6se-«?ee
Figure 108.    Continued.
             233

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     4.12.2  Model Performance

     This hour has been modeled with the Lift model because all evidence
indicates that streamlines at plume height traveled freely over the hill.
Meteorology used in the modeling was prepared as in Section 4.1.2, and the
data is summarized in Table 15.  The 1-hour average wind directions measured
48 m below and 22 m above the release height are both 130°, although the
peak of the PDF for each of these heights is considerably different.  Wind
directions measured at 10 m and 30 m on tower B are 118° and 123°,
respectively, and directions inferred from the photographs during the first
half hour lie between 117° and 120°.  Therefore, considerable weight is
given the data from 10 m on tower B, and the model wind direction is set to
118°.  The 80 m PDF is deemed more appropriate than that from 10 m.

     Neutral was rerun with the new meteorological data, and instead of
estimating a peak value that is 92% of the observed peak value, it produced
a value 112% of the peak observed.  The peak observed value occurs in the
lee of the south peak, and the modeled maximum occurs near the top of the
windward face of the south peak.  Figure 109 shows the distribution of
calculated concentrations plotted on a map of CCB, and the results are also
summarized in Table 15.

     Results from Lift computations are also displayed in Figure 109 and in
Table 15.  The maximum occurs near the top of the hill and is 89% of the
highest observed value.  The model overestimates most of the observed
concentrations, particularly on the windward side of the hill, over the
south peak, and on the saddle.  Concentrations in the lee are overestimated
to a lesser degree.  The degree of overestimation on the south peak produces
a terrain factor (T0) of 1.5 to 1.7, and that near the base of the hill in
the lee produces To values between 1.0 and 1.4.
4.13  Experiment 211, Hour 1  (0000-0100 MST)

     4.13.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog, SF^ , and Freon were released from  the
east-southeast side of the hill at 1001.2 m, 101.4°.  The SF6 release
began at 2350 and continued throughout the hour from a height of 30 m.  The
oil fogger started a half hour earlier at the same height, but stopped at
0055.   The Freon release did  not begin until 0045, released from a height of
20 m.   The Freon samples are  certainly not representative of  a 1-hour
average.

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-4.7 m  relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height of the SFg and the oil-fog corresponds to the  25.3 m height
level on the hill, and that for Freon corresponds to the 15.3 m height
level.  The SFg release rate  is computed to be 0.179 g/s with an estimated
uncertainty of +5.1%.  The Freon rate cannot be computed from the field log,
but is  estimated to be about  1.0 g/s.  No Freon concentration patterns have
been modeled for this hour.
                                        /
                                    234

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TABLE  15.   NEUTRAL AND LIFT MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 210, CASE HOUR 7
        Neteorological Data

 wind direction(deg)    =    118.
 wind speed(m/s)        =     7.3
 critical dividing
   streamline heiqht(m) =    14.0
 Iz                     =    .057
 ly                     =    .108
   NU/s)               =    .035
         Source Data

  direction(deg)   =    122.
  distance(m)      =  1086.2
  release heipht(m)=    58.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(s/s)    =    .178
        Receptor Coordinates        Observed
      X(m)      Y(m)      Z(m)      SF6 (ppt)
360.22
208.35
142.00
257.78
195.15
72.99
66.60
58.64
40.17
32.61
20.07
10.61
2.15
-66.52
-53.69
-45.46
-32.79
-19.85
-9.85
-4.85
'125.24
-84.65
396.68
315.76
248.96
-60.85
21.74
137.89
441 .46
108.15
82.15
37.15
312.38
157.38
359.96
297.11
269.62
246.20
111.85
-40.85
141.42
229.81
-80.75
.00
.00
.00
33.94
149.74
126.43
505.92
445.44
305.14
247.73
152.45
80.56
18.88
-505.24
-407.79
-345.28
-249.09
-149.12
-76.12
-37.12
-96.10
-65.12
-106.29
-84.61
-66.71
-16.12
-137.29
-137.89
-254.87
-61.12
-46.12
-21.12
-41.13
20.72
207.82
171.54
155.66
142.14
65.88
28.88
141.42
229.81
194.94
13.26
31.25
50.00
30.00
27.41
77.02
-6.52
3.38
22.10
41.74
81.06
91.97
80.00
-3.54
3.82
13.70
48.82
90.00
90.00
80.00
78.81 •
90.00
3.44
13.24
32.90
80.00
90.00
50.00
-2.45
50.00
60.00
70.00
14.00
83.35
8.94
28.07
38.07
47.96
60.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
50.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
.00
60.40
.00
68.40
.07
6.90
.20
.00
.00
.00
.00
31.80
16.40
.20
211.68
68.80
.00
.00
24.80
14.20
21.70
.00
11.50
.00
.04
.00
.20
26.30
109.00
70.90
59.30
50.50
.20
.20
.20
.10
.20
  Neutral
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

   1.47
  34.42
  64.07
   9.10
   2.fc6
  58.11
    .02
    .09
   2.12
   7.68
  67.70
 119.57
 158.26
    .02
   1.10
   7.50
  75.49
 229.15
 214.38
 197.31
 197.53
 204.65
  34.85
  61.80
 107.56
 190.52
 238.27
 23B.30
  51.90
 173.71
 186.00
 178.39
  11.38
 176.69
  73.89
  97.12
 110.48
 124.06
                                                    162.1ft
                                                     99.90
                                                     61.87
                                                     48.04
   Lift
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

    .00
    .00
  13.64
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
  33.54
 113.75
    .00
    .00
    .00
    .00
 173.60
 182.86
 164.50
 166.94
 127.23
    .00
 102.17
 158.22
 161.20
 147.93
 187.70
  87.20
 117.62
 153.09
 151.20
    .00
 171.08
 123.64
 128.2ft
 130.34
 132.10
 141.95
 146.63
 102.66
  39.75
   5.72
                                      235

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Figure 109.   SF6 concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 210, Hour 7
              by the Neutral (top) and Lift  (bottom) models.
                                    236

-------
     Plume Observations

     The record of observer comments about the plume appearance and
trajectory during this hour is presented below.

     Time: 2350  SF£ release started from E-l at 30 m.  Plume now appears
     to be heading over the east knoll.

     Time: 2355  The fogger is up and I believe the tracer has started.  The
     plume seems to be running south of the hill at this time.  There is a
     great deal of mixing and vertical loops in the plume.

     Time: 0000  I see a good deal of vertical mixing in plume.

     Time: 0004  At the present time the plume is heading to the north of
     the butte, and it looks very stable.  Approximately 5 minutes ago, the
     winds were light and variable.  The plume did a complete 360 in its
     trajectory.

     Time: 0005  Plume looks more stable now.

     Time: 0006  The plume, after smearing and even doing 360 is headed
     around the north side of the hill and the first 1/3 of travel, on the
     plume, looks much more stable than the 2/3 that has gone out.

     Time: 0011  The plume seems to be settled in and going around the north
     side right over the northeast knoll, and it is looking very stable at
     this time.  The spotlight is going on the extension of the mobile crane
     road.

     Time: 0015  Plume is back over the east knoll.  The plume seems to have
     bend in it, and to my perspective it looks like it goes out
     horizontally and then begins to turn around the hill fairly early,
     considerably before it reaches road F.  ERT 1 is describing the plume
     as a "pencil beam" at the moment.  It is very compact.  ERT 1 is also
     describing it as having a very dense central core.

     Time: 0020  The plume is getting closer to the north side.  ERT 1 is
     referring to it as a piece of yarn.

     Time: 0022  The plume centerline is continuing to move towards the
     south and the plume centerline now appears to be directly towards the
     FAA tower.  The horizontal dispersion has increased significantly as it
     is moving in that direction.

     Time: 0025  The plume centerline now would take the plume significantly
     south of the hill and the horizontal dispersion still seems to be quite
     significant.  The plume is south of the butte now.
                                    237

-------
     Time: 0028  (?)   The  plume has  definitely  shifted  toward  the hill and is
     now  looking considerably wider, and wispy, and with  a  lot of horizontal
     spreading.  Looking  north-northeast,  it looks like  the plume has been
     coming very close  to the hill  at  that point.

     Time: 0030  The  plume has swung so it is  headed more toward tower D.  I
     can  see some plume going in  the vicinity  of  the draw and possibly up
     the  draw.  The plume is looking quite a bit wider and  more difuse, a
     very radical change  from what  it was  10 or 12 minutes  ago.

     Time; 0035  Plume  is headed  toward the draw.

     Time; 0038  The  plume has moved back  to the north side and is going
     around the north and the plume near the source is going  back to that
     very stable coherent pencil  beam  look.

     Time; 0040  The  plume is going entirely north of  the hill.  It is very
     collimated and narrow and stable  looking.

     Time; 0051  The  plume is going to the south, and  the thermofogger is
     being brought down this time to check on  some problems.  The gas keeps
     on going now, since  we've got  those ropes holding up the tubes.

     Time; 01Q7  The  thermofogger is back up.  The low level  was going to
     tiie  south, and the higher level flow looks like its going to the SW,
     and  it should miss the butte.  The wind is kind of rocking the car, I'm
     sitting here near  tower B.

     These comments indicate that the oil-fog  plume trajectory varied over
the hour  from one side  of  the hill  to  the other.  After initial wandering,
the plume took on a stable appearance as it traveled around the hill on the
north side, and it remained on the north side  for most of the first half
hour.  By the fifth 5-minute period, however,  it moved in close to the north
peak and  then shifted to  the south  side of the hill.  As  it crossed the
hill, the horizontal  spread increased significantly.

     During period 7  the  plume moved back between the two peaks, but within
the next  5-minute period,  it had  swung over to the north side once again.
It stayed to the north  side until the last 10-15 minutes in the hour, when
it again  switched to  the  south.   This sequence is documented  in the
photographs.

     Only one view of the  plume was suitable for analysis during this hour.
It was taken from the top  of the  north peak at camera location 0-15 (see
Figure 46).  The camera was aimed toward magnetic bearings  105°, 90°, and
100° over the course of the hour.  Each photo  is a 5—minute exposure.

     Some lidar data are  also available for this hour.  The lidar sampled
the plume along five planes:  two  upwind of the hill and three over the
hill.  Plume centroid positions in  these planes are presented in
Figure 110.  Most of  the  plume segment sampled followed trajectories toward
                                    238

-------
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ill
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                        239

-------
the north side of the hill.  These occurred during periods 1-5, 8, and 9.
Periods 6 and 7 show the most tendency for plume travel toward the southern
part of the hill, and this is consistent with the photographs.

     Inferred wind direction estimates for the release height have been
calculated based on the centroid positions closest to the source.  They
range from 73° to 118°.  Because the source was located along the 101° ray,
this range indicates that the wind trajectory carried the plume material
well to the north and south of the hill at times.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and temperature data measured at tower A during the hour have been
used to characterize the flow in terms of Hc.  However, because of a
partial failure of the 40 m wind set, 40 m winds were estimated for each
5-minute period before Hc was calculated.  The method followed in
calculating speeds at 40 m was outlined in Section 4.4.1.

     The average Hc over the hour is 45 m, and Frjj above this height is
2.9.  Because the SFg plume was released at 30 m, it was well below the
computed dividing streamline of the flow.  Figure 111 contains a time series
plot of the calculated 5-minute values of Hc and Fry.  Hc shows a weak
tendency to increase during the hour, but the trend is small compared to the
scatter about it.  HC tends to vary by 5 m about its mean value.  Frjj
for the flow above Hc follows a stronger trend toward increasing values,
but this is of little consequence because the tracer was released below
Hc.  Small variations in Hc illustrated in the plot are likely to have
had only a small effect on surface concentrations, so the mean value should
adequately characterize the hour.

     Hourly averaged wind speeds measured at 10 m and estimated at 40 m on
tower A are 2.2 and 1.8 m/s, respectively.  The decrease from 10 m to 40 m
may not be significant, however, because of the uncertainty inherent in
estimating the 40 m wind speeds.  The direction at 10 m was 353° and that at
80 m (which was used to estimate the 40 m winds) was 128°.  With this kind
of wind shear and light 2 m/s wind speeds, an estimation of the wind
directions characteristic of the release height is subject to considerable
error.

     Figure 112 shows the trend in wind speeds between 10 and 80 m.  The
estimated 40 m wind speeds tend to follow the 80 m speeds, while the trend
in the 10 m speeds remains distinctly different throughout the hour.  It
therefore seems likely that the low-level flow exerts only a small influence
on the flow at 40 m, but it is not clear if the same can be said for its
influence on the flow at 30 m.

     Variations in wind directions measured at 10 m and 80 m are shown in
Figure 113 as frequency distributions.  Because the 80 m distribution spans
20° rather than 100°, it is considered more representative of the flow at
release height.  Two peaks can be seen in the distribution; this
corroborates the photographic record, which shows the plume lying primarily
on one side of the hill or the other.
                                    240

-------
            Hc(m)
                                          f+.

                                        '*•:    " *
             .8       1.0
                                         	1	
                                          4.0
                                                 s.e     e.e
—I—
 7.6
                                                                  Tin (Hour)
                                      'NA'AW^X
                                                —I	'—I	1	
                                                 5.8      6.8     7.8      8.8
                                                                  TIM (Hour)
Figure 111.    Calculated  dividing streamline heights  (Hc)  and bulk hill  Froude
               numbers above  Hc (Frpj) for  Experiment 211.
                                        241

-------
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                                     242

-------
                                             UVW PROPS AT 80 m
               s.e-

               '8.5-

               s.e-

               7.5-

               7.8-

               6.5-

               6.8-

               5.5-

               s.e-

               4.5-

               4.8-

               3.5-

               3.8-

               2.5-

               a.e-

               1.5 -

               i.e-

                .5-
                             6e   se  iaa  ise  no  tee  IBO  see  s:«  949
                                             UVW PROPS AT 10m
                                                                           see  328  3
-------
     In summary, during this hour the plume was released into the flow
substantially below Hc.  Wind speeds were less than or nearly equal to
2 m/s, and variable; and are therefore difficult to characterize at the
release height.  The 80 m wind direction distribution, however, appears to
be similar to what can be observed in the photographs.

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg concentrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 114.  Highest concentrations are
measured across the lower portion of the southeast draw from the 0 m contour
to the 30—35 m contour.  Moderately high concentrations cover the rest of
the hill.

     This pattern suggests that, with a relative release height of 25 m, the
plume impinged on the hill surface near the draw consistently during the
hour, and mixed enough in the vertical to produce a concentration maximum
below the height of the plume centerline.  However, the record of
observations and the photographs indicate otherwise.  The SF^ pattern does
not match what would be expected from the appearance and trajectory of the
oil-fog plume over the hour.

     The distribution of 10-minute average SFg concentrations presented in
Figure 115, however, indicates that tracer material reached the hill several
times during the hour even though this was not apparent from the
photographs.  Substantial concentrations are measured near the 60 m height
contour in the southeast draw in four of the six 10-minute periods.


     4.13.2  Model Performance

     This hour has been modeled with the Wrap model because the plume was
released significantly below the calculated dividing streamline height.
Meteorological data were prepared for the release height as in
Section 4.1.2, and the resulting values are listed in Table 16.  Wind
directions measured at tower A and tower B .are not very helpful in selecting
an appropriate wind direction for use in the modeling.  The 10 m directions
average to 353° and the 80 m directions average to 128° on tower A, whereas
the directions at 10 m and 30 m on tower B average to 117° and 124°,
respectively.  The lidar data indicate • that the mean direction should lie
between 73° and 118°, and the photographs show the plume frequently on both
sides of the hill.  Therefore, the mean wind direction has been set equal to
the direction from the source to the north peak (or 107°) because the plume
appears to spend more time on the north side of the hill than on the south
side.  The 80 m PDF is also used because the 10 m PDF seems to be
inappropriate.

     Concentration estimates from both Impingement and Wrap are listed in
Table 16 and plotted on a map of CCB in Figure 116.  Although the observed
SFg concentration distribution pattern was thought odd when compared with
the photographs of the plume, the Wrap estimates are, in general,
                                     244

-------
Figure 114.   Observed SFf, concentrations  (ppt) for Experiment  211,
              Hour 1 ,(0000-0100 MST).  Source:' r = 1001.2 m, 6  =  101.4°,
              net height = 25.3 m, Q = .179 g/s.
                                   245

-------
                            TIHC PERIOD 888
                            TIRE PERIOD 9«10-082»
Figure  115.    Observed 10-minute  average SF6  concentrations (ppt) for
               Experiment 211, Hour 1 (0000-0100 MST).
                                    246

-------
     TIKE PERIOD 9820-0930
Figure 115.    Continued.
             247

-------
      TIKE PERIOD ee<»-»ose
      TIKE PERIOD «05«-91«a
Figure 115.    Continued.
              248

-------
   TABLE  16.   IMPINGEMENT AND WRAP MODEL CLACULATIONS - EXPERIMENT  211,
               CASE HOUR 1
       N'eteorol oqical  Data

wind direction(deq)    =    107.
wind speed(m/s)         =     t.9
critical  dividinp
  streamline  height(m) =    45.0
Iz                     =    .084
ly                     =    .326
  NCl/s)                =    .058
         Source Data

  direction(deg)   =    101.
  distance(m)      =  1001.2
  release heiqht(m)=    30.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(q/s)    =    .179
       Receptor Coordinates        Observed
     X(m)      Y(m)      Zfm)      SF6 (ppt)
360.22
208.35
257.78
404.91
72.99
S8.64
40.17
35.92
20.07
25.15
-53.69
-38.04
-32.79
-15.01
-19.85
125.24
-84.85
396.68
248.96
204.16
-60.85
31.69
95.80
199.06
137.89
441.46
355.15
313.62
256.81
82.15
37.15
183.53
312. 3«
•243.41
•4^1 .05
•297.1 1
•269.62
•246.20
•153.85
•111.85
•141 .42
•229.81
-80.75
.00
.00
33.94
111.59
126.43
445.44
305.14
272.83
152.45
190.88
-407.79
-288.98
-249.09
-113.99
-149.12
-96.10
-65.12
-106.29
-66.71
-54.70
-16.12
-258.06
• -231.27
-259.43
-137.89
-254.87
-205.04
-181 .07
-148.27
-46.12
-21.12
-49.18
-41.13
65.22
255.14
171.54
155.66
142.14
89. 88
65.68
141.42
229.81
194.94
13.26
31.25
30.00
10.00
77.02
3.38
22.10
31.92
81.06
65.00
3.82
32.94
48.82
98.96
90.00
78.81
90.00
3.44
32.90
52.26
80.00
50.00
52.96
30.00
50.00
-2.45
5.69
15.29
25.29
60.00
70.00
30.00
14.00
50.00
-.90
28.07
38.07
47.96
70.00
80.00
50.00
30.00
50.00
229.50
241.20
119.90
194.70
141.60
20.10
116.90
162.40
91.66
134.60
82.10
61.50
64.85
78.80
78.40
65.05
82.50
25.90
53.90
57.20
97.80
78.60
88.10
158.80
202.50
320.20
296.30
260.60
243.60
182.87
170.20
247.60
240.50
17.80
33.60
80.90
90.00
88.20
66.12
120.00
129.10
.00
125.00
Impingement
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

 343.70
 502.79
 472.17
 268.00
  34.39
 144.95
 262.45
 276.98
  25.35
  90.21
 152.15
 288.98
 208.29
   3.21
   9.61
  33.58
  12.67
 119.64
 200.77
 139.82
  31.57
 213.42
 200.61
 395.47
 258.43
 119.19
 218.21
 356.51
 459.80
 145.77
  58.12
 540.76
 373.98
 137.79
  97.46
 19/1.15
 185.69
 154.12
  61.10
  31.80
 154.37
 209.23
 169.06
  Wrap
Predicted
SF6 (pot)

 471.25
 807.87
 758.40
 350.15
  22.74
 179.14
 408.76
 440.54
  15.68
  92.68
 188.04
 459.05
 291.09
    .88
   4.03
  25.73
   6.69
 155.64
 317.75
 192.95
  24.80
 290.42
 255.36
 633.19
 340.23
 108.24
 254.46
 509.30
 729.74
 143.49
  39.15
 870.89
 516.29
 196.77
 1 19.00
 307.57
 289.26
 223.77
  62.51
  25.42
 218.27
 332.06
 236.88
                                      249

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Figure 116.   SF6 concentrations  (ppt) estimated  for Experiment  211,  Hour  1
              by the Impingement  (top) and Wrap  (bottom) models.
                                    250

-------
supportive.  Thte highest observed concentration, found at the base of the
hill, is not simulated, but those across the face of the hill near release
height are.  At this height, the greatest observed SFg concentration is
248 ppt, and the greatest concentration estimate is 871 ppt.  The largest
modeled concentration from Impingement in the same area is 541 ppt.  Both
models overestimate the observed concentrations in this area; this might
arise from overestimating the probability that the wind transported the
plume along the stagnation streamline.  In Impingement, the distribution is
Gaussian and the 5.5° shift of the distribution still places the stagnation
streamline near the peak of the distribution.  In Wrap, the probability is
taken from the PDF obtained from 80 m winds.  This PDF could very well
overestimate the steadiness of the wind direction at release height.

     A second reason for the model overestimates may be related to the
vertical dispersion near the hill.  Neither model simulates the high
concentration at the base of the hill.  A 0Z large enough to do so would
undoubtedly reduce the concentration estimates further up on the slope.
Because a substantial wind shear existed between the release height and the
surface, some enhanced dispersion near the hill might well be supposed.


4.14  Experiment 211, Hour 5 (0400-0500 MST)

     4.14.1  Summary Description

     Thermofogger oil-fog, SFg, and Freon were released from the southeast
side of the hill at 1155.1 m, 120.1°.  The SF6 release at 20 m and the
Freon release at 58 m were continuous from the previous hour, so all tracer
gas sampler data should be representative of the full sampling hour.  The
oil-fog was released at three heights over the course of the hour:  58 m
(0400-0436), 45 m (0436-0444), and 20 m (0444-0500).

     Local terrain elevations near the release point are estimated to be
-9.9 m relative to the zero of the hill coordinate system, so the net
release height of the SF6 corresponds to the 11.1 m height level on the
hill, and that for Freon corresponds to the 48.1 m height level.  The SFg
release rate is computed to be 0.175 g/s with an estimated error of ^+3.9%.
The Freon release rate is 0.941 g/s j*3.6%.  No Freon concentration patterns
have been modeled.

     Plume Observations

     An extensive record of observer comments about the appearance and the
trajectory of the oil-fog plume during this hour is presented below.

     Time: 0358  The plume centerline is at a point slightly to the north of
     the FAA tower.

     Time: 0400  The plume is continuing to progress slightly northward.
     It's at a point now about half way down the hill.  (It's approaching
     the nephelometer crane.)  The plume is passing 20 m north of FAA tower,
     above tower C, but below the FAA tower (pretty close to release height).
                                     251

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Time: 0404  Plume is shifting more to the south—aimed.more towards  the
FAA tower.  Plume is going around the north shoulder of the hill with
only a slight rise.

Time: 0406  Plume does rise quite a bit.  It is even with the flat top
of the north butte.  The plume is passing just north (like I can reach
out and touch it) of the north butte.  This plume is passing overhead
now, but I can't smell it.  It's about as wide as the parking area here.

Time; 0407  The plume is passing up and over the north butte, just over
the north edge.  The plume is passing overhead, clearing by one tower
section.  It looks like about 1 tower section thick.

Time; 0408  The plume is passing directly overhead, and I am located
right by the northeast corner of the parking lot on top of the north
butte.  I do not smell it, and it is going through the lowest white
section on the FAA tower.  It is clearing the top of the hill by about
8 m.

Time; 0411  The plume is now moving towards the south, approaching the
draw.The plume centerline is now between the draw and the FAA tower.

Time: 0414  The plume trajectory is continuing to move south, now
directed towards the tower on the south peak.  It is rising quite high
over  the draw  C\> 20 feet)
Time:  0416  The plume is shifting back toward the FAA tower.
is just below lower red light (?).
Plume top
Time;  0417  The plume trajectory was towards the south peak for a short
period and then started drifting back to the north and is now at a
point  slightly north of the FAA tower.  The nephelometer crane just
passed through the plume.

Time:  0418  The plume meandered almost to the middle of the draw, then
came back across the north butte and now it is entirely north of the
butte  and has gone below  the level of the top of the butte.  When the
plume was going directly  over the north butte, I couldn't smell it.  It
was very close to the ground, about 8 meters.  As soon as it swings
back off to the north it  subsides to nearly its release altitude, and
it does that subsiding back to that altitude very, very close to the
hill.

Time;  0423  The plume centerline now is half way between the FAA tower
and the northeast knoll.

Time;  0424  The plume is  going around the north side, and it is
significantly below the elevation of the north butte.
                                252

-------
Time: 0,432  Plume  is north  of  the  north  butte.   For a time,  15 or 20
minutes ago,  the plume was  passing up  through  the draw with  a
trajectory which took it  probably  10 meters  above the level  of the two
peaks here or 30 meters above  the  height of  the  draw.  It's  quite
spectacular going  up and  over.

Time; 0438  At 45  m with  the oil fog.

Time: 0439  The lower plume is  absolutely creaming the hill,  it's
approaching it, it's quite  wide and going up and through  the draw.
It's nearly extending from  the  FAA tower to  the  other side of the draw
and I can smell it quite  a  bit.

Time: 0442  The plume is  leaving the crane and spreading  in  a uniform
"V" and when it hits the  hill  it's  1/3 of a  hill width wide  and it's
going up and through the  draw  and  I can  smell it from time to time on
the north butte.   It's very dramatic, just filling up the whole draw.

Time: 0443  Release of smoke has been lowered to 20 m.  The  plume at 45
meters was creaming the hill .right  up through the draw.   Now that the
plume is at 20 meters, its  aimed right at tower  D.  The whole mast
set-up has probably been  getting very much creamed all  night.

Time: 0448 (?)  Plume is  approaching the hill, spreading  out  quite  a
bit.  Most of it appears  to be  going around  to the south.

Time: 0450  The lower plume spreads quite a  bit,  looks  very  stable  and
is almost dying in the draw and now that I walk  in the  draw  it is
definitely going up and through the draw.

Time: 0452  It looks to me  like the nephelometers  in  the  draw are
really getting creamed right now,  the smell  of smoke  is very  thick  on
the south side of  the parking area  on the north  butte.  As I  look down
the northeast side it looks like part of  the plume  is  also going  around.

Time: 0453  Plume  is approaching hill in a wide  "V";  part of  it  is
going around to the N.  A lot of it is going up  the draw, and I  can
smell it strongly at the  FAA parking lot.

Time:  0455  The plume centerline continues to drift south and is  now at
a point about half way down the south slope  or down about at  the  base
of the hill.

Time;  0456  Plume  is all  over the place.,  It is  approaching the hill in
a wide "V".                        .       .

Time:  0457  Now the plume appears to be heading  towards the south
shoulder and  it's no longer got that very wide wedge.
                               253

-------
     Time; 0459  Plume is going south of south butte.  It is a "pencil"
     plume as it goes over the cinder pit—no longer a "V".  As the plume
     traversed the south flank, it tilted, and followed the contours, so
     that the horizontal axis paralleled the hill slope.

     These observations indicate that the plume spent the first 20 minutes
of the hour near the north peak, ranging from the saddle between the peaks
to a point along the north side of the hill.  Observers consistently
reported no smoke odor as the plume passed overhead.  The plume spent the
next 10 minutes well north of the hill.

     After the plume was lowered from 58 m (adjacent to the Freon release)
to 45 m at the end of the eighth 5-minute period, the oil-fog traveled
directly toward the hill and filled the draw and saddle between the two
peaks as it went over the hill.  Observers definitely reported smoke odor on
the hill at this time.

     The plume was lowered once again in the ninth period, and remained
adjacent to the SFg release at 20 m for the rest of  the hour.  At this
height, the oil-fog plume was directed toward the center of the south peak
below the level of tower D.  It was quite steady, and there was considerable
spreading in the horizontal as plume material spread up the draw and over
the saddle and the southern section of the north peak.  A very strong smoke
odor was reported on the hill during this episode.   This lasted for a^period
of about 10 minutes before the plume swung to the south side of the hill for
the last 5 minutes of the hour.

     This sequence of events shows up very well in the photographs.  Four
photos showing the plume trajectory during two of the 5-minute periods is
presented in Figure 117.  One view is from behind the release crane at
position 0-19  (see Figure 46); another is from the top of  the south peak at
location 0-8, and another view is from a point off to the  side of the plume
from location 0-11.

     Besides illustrating die plume trajectories discussed above, these
photos show the remarkable changes in plume spread as the  plume travels
toward the hill.  For the high release, the spread is not  especially
striking, but  the complete lift overhead is spectacular.   As the plume is
lowered to 20 m though,  the spread is very remarkable, as  is the lack of
vertical lift.  No lidar data  for this hour are yet  available.

     Meteorological Information

     Wind and  temperature data measured at  tower A during  this hour were
used to characterize  the flow  in terms of Hc.  However, because of a
partial failure of the 40 m wind set, 40 m winds were estimated for each
5-minute  time  period before Hc was calculated.  The  method followed  in
calculating speeds at 40 m is  outlined in Section 4.4.1.

     The  average Hc over the hour is 26 m,  and Frn above Hc  is 2.5.
The SF6 was released at  20 m,  marginally below the mean critical dividing
streamline.  Figure  111  contains a time series plot  of  the calculated

                                     254 /

-------


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 5-minute  Hc  and  Fry values  for  the  experiment.   Frjj is  very  steady,
 exhibiting a variation of no more than  0.2.   Hc ,  however,  drops  from 30  to
 20 m over the  first 40 minutes  and  then holds steady at 20 m for the rest of
 the  hour.  Therefore,  the assumption  that  the SFg plume remained below
 Hc in the mean over the hour is not necessarily  true, given  the
 uncertainty  in estimating Hc.   The  period  of  the  time during which  the
 smoke plume  was  placed alongside the  SFg release  corresponded to the
 period during  which Hc was  equal to the release height.

      Hourly  average wind speeds measured at 10 m  and estimated at 40 m are
 1.3  and 2.4  m/s, respectively.   The 10  m mean wind direction was 094°  and
 that at 80 m was 122°.  Therefore,  both wind  direction  and wind  speed shears
 above 10 m were moderate.   Figure 118 shows the  trend in wind speeds  between
 10 and 80 m  during  the hour.  The 10 m  speeds become very  low at times and
 rise as high as  2 m/s.  Speeds  at 40 m  are quite  steady, varying between 4
 and  5 m/s.   Winds at all levels tend  to pick  up  toward  the end of the hour,
 thereby producing the  drop  in Hc.

      Variations  in  wind directions  measured at 10 m and 80 m are shown in
 Figure 119 as  frequency distributions.  The 80 m  distribution may be more
 representative of that at release height because  it is  directed  more  toward
 the  hill; however,  we  cannot verify this from smoke plume  observations.  The
 pattern of SFg concentrations over  the  hill surface may confirm  the  choice
 of the 80 m  distribution.

      In summary, the plume  was  released close to  the dividing  streamline of
 the  flow and might  have spent much  of the hour below it.   Winds  were  2 m/s
 or less and  variable at the 10  m level  but were presumably less  variable and
 somewhat greater near  the release height.

         Concentrations
     The distribution of hourly averaged SFg conceiitrations over the
surface of the hill is shown in Figure 120.  Highest concentrations are
measured between 15 m and 30 in in the southeast draw.  Other concentrations
across the hill surface are seen to be quite large and generally tend to
favor the northern side of the hill. Those along the north side tend to fall
into a band between the 25 m and 50 m contours.  A fairly large value is
also measured on the saddle toward the top of the northwest draw.  Because
the relative release height is 11 m, this pattern tends to confirm oil-fog
plume observations made during the 15 minutes that the fog was released
adjacent to the SFg source.  The SFg was apparently transported straight
toward the hill center or possibly the north peak for much of the hour, and
little plume lift occurred.

     The distribution of 10-minute average SF£ concentrations is presented
in Figure 121.  Fortunately, the location of the largest 10-minute
concentrations lies close to the location of the largest 1-hour average
concentration.  Therefore, the evolution of the largest 1-hour concentration
may be seen in the 10-minute data.  Large 10-minute concentrations occur in
this area in only three of the six 10-minute periods.  The first is between
0410 and 0420, and the other two are between 0440 and 0500 — the period
                                    256

-------
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                                                              257

-------
                                           UVW PROPS AT 80 m
              9.0
              a.s-
              a.o-
              7.S-
              7.0-
              6.S-
              6.0-
              5.5-
              s.e-
              4.5-
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              3.S-
              3.0-
              2.5-
              2.»-
              I.S-
              i.e
                                              —I	1	1	1	1	1	(	1	1    I
                                               ICO  180  200  220 240  260  280  300 320  340  360
                                                                            DIRECTION (dig)
                                           UVW PROPS AT 10m
             FREOUEI-CV <»>
              10.1-
               .0 !••  I  	1    I	1—:	1	1	r^	1	
                 0   20  40   60   80  100  120  140  160
—1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
 200  220  240  260  280  300  320  340  360
                                                                            DIRECTION (d>g>
Figure 119.    Calculated wind  direction  distribution  functions  for  Experiment
                  211,  Hour 5  (0400-0500  MST).
                                                 258

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                                                 "?• r = 500m
   316.'

                                                                  680
Figure 120.   Observed SF^  concentrations (ppt)  for Experiment 211,
              Hour 5  (0400-0500 MST).   Source:   r = 1155.1 m, 9 = 120.1°,
              net height =  11.1 m,  Q  = .175 g/s.
                                   259

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                            TlflE PERIOD 0-4ee-«<19
                            TIRE PERIOD
Figure  121.    Observed 10-minute  average SFg  concentrations  (ppt) for
               Experiment 211, Hour 5 (0400-0500 MST).
                                   260

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     TIKE PERIOD 84ae-6«e
     Tint PERIOD 0438-0440
Figure  121.     Continued.
              261

-------
     TIDE PERIOD »4S»-K»»
Figure 121.    Continued.
             262

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documented by the oil-fog plume in the photographs.  This information
implies that a peak in the PDF at release height should virtually line up
with the flow toward the center of the hill.
     '4.14.2  Model Peformance

     This hour has been modeled with the Wrap model because the plume was
released slightly below the calculated dividing streamline height.  However,
because the plume was so near Hc, significant vertical smearing of plume
concentrations on the hill was observed.  This feature is not accounted for
in the model.

     In running the models, meteorological data were prepared as in Section
4.1.2, and the resulting values are listed in Table 17.

     The 1-hour average wind directions 10 m below and 60 m above the
release height are 094° and 122°, respectively.  Directions at 10 m and 30 m
on tower B are 120° and 126°, respectively.  Unfortunately, all we know
about the plume transport from photographs is obtained during the last
15 minutes of the hour, when the plume spent most of the time heading
directly toward the hill center with a brief period of flow along the south
edge of the hill.  Because the photo documentation for the release height is
incomplete, the model wind direction is chosen to be 120°, the direction
from source to hill center.  The 80 m PDF is also used in the modeling..

     Concentration estimates from both Impingement and Wrap are listed in
Table 17 and plotted on a map of CCB in Figure 122.  Both models tend to
underestimate peak observed SFg concentrations, but Wrap does better in
estimating concentrations along the sides of the hill, and in the lee (if
some compensation is made for differences between the heights of observed
concentrations, and the heights of modeled concentrations).

     Peak observed concentrations occur at higher elevations on the hill
than do the peak modeled concentrations.  The peak observed value is
3,885 ppt, and the peak modeled values are 565 ppt and 1,146 ppt for
Impingement and Wrap, respectively.

     Larger concentrations can be produced with Wrap if the mean wind
direction is shifted slightly.  The discussions above focused on the shape
of the 80 m PDF.  The 10-minute SFft data indicated that a peak of the PDF
should be directed toward the hill center.  The choice of 120° for the mean
wind direction does not direct a peak of the PDF along the stagnation
streamline.  If the mean wind direction were changed from 120° to 118°, the
probability that the wind blew along the stagnation streamline would
increase from .0452 to .0635.  This change would produce a peak
concentration of 1,610 ppt or 56% of the peak observed.
                                    263

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   TABLE 17.   IMPINGEMENT AND  WRAP MODEL CALCULATIONS - EXPERIMENT 211,
               CASE HOUR 5
       Meteorological  Data

wind direction(deq)    =    120.
wind speed(m/s)        =     2,1
critical dividing
  streamline height(m) =    26.0
Iz                     =    .068
ly                     =    .277
  NCl/s)               =    .092
         Source Data

  direction(defl)   =    120.
  distance(m)      =  1155.1
  release heiqht(m)=    20.0
  SF6 emission
      rate(g/s)    =    .175
       Receptor Coordinates        Observed
     X(m)      YCraJ      2(m)      SF6 (ppt)
360.22
142.00
257.78
195.15
159.04
72.99
66.60
29.59
10.61
25.15
-53.69
-45.46
-38.04
-15.01
-4.85
•396.68
•315.76
•248.96
•144.85
-60.85
31.69
95.80
163.68
137.89
441.46
313.62
183.53
312.38
•243.41
•441.92
•359.96
•297.11
•111.85
•141.42
•229.81
•109.07
-80.75
.00
.00
33.94
149.74
122.04
126.43
SOS. 92
224.79
80.56
190.88
-407.79
-345.28
-288.98
-113.99
-37.12
-106.29
-84.61
-66.71
-38.12
-16.12
-258.06
-231.27
-175.52
-137.89
-254.87
-181.07
-49.18
-41.13
65.22
255.14
207.82
171.54
65.88
141.42
229.81
263.31
194.94
13.26
50.00
30.00
27.41
46.91
77.02
-6.52
51.51
91.97
65.00
3.82
13.70
32.94
98.96
80.00
3.44
13.24
32.90
80.00
80.00
50.00
52.96
50.00
50.00
-2.45
15.29
30.00
14.00
50.00
-.90
8.94
28.07
80.00
50.00
30.00
30.00
50.00
923.50
1742.00
1461.30
1337.30
1280.22
977.30
.00
767.08
.00
855.30
680.80
380.40
300.20
141.40
264.10
132.60
169.00
64.00
115.20
348.20
508.30
581.80
860.80
900.10
679.60
2238.50
2884.70
1863.40
36.30
315.80
295.90
389.30
1344.10
945.00
.00
486.30
341.30
Impingement
Predicted
SF6 (ppt)

 417.45
  71.70
 354.52
 316.63
 100.46
   1.90
  96.81
  64.04
    .16
  14.67
 222.27
 325.41
 261.38
    .01
    .72
 163.25
 220.64
 188.18
   2.04
   2.04
  73.82
  bO.15
  69.49
  69.08
 173.00
 565.26
 415.60
 451.27
  69.01
 114.66
 164.20
 175.28
   3.10
  68.99
 179.30
 198.17
  70.95
   Wrap
Predicted
SP6 (ppt)

 831.39
  72.47
 677.58
 b2fl.96
 129.56
    .59
 137.19
  77.91
    .02
  10.36
 386.29
 652.78
 482.84
    .00
    .14
 293.25
 442.59
 356.09
    .74
    .74
  81.26
  45.32
  66.07
  65.02
 219.79
1146.27
 787.57
 904.90
  95.65
 196.01
 319.60
 349.33
   1.43
  95.65
 351.69
 387.64
  95.35
                                      264

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Figure 122.   SF^ concentrations (ppt) estimated for Experiment 211, Hour 5
              by the Impingement (top) and Wrap (bottom) models.
                                    265

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 4.15  Summary

      Case  study  analyses of  14 hours of data collected at CCB have produced
 a wealth of  information to guide the development of improved regulatory
 dispersion models  for  applicaton in rough terrain.  From the assembled
 meteorological data, tracer  concentrations, photographs, and lidar imagery,
 we  have been able  to construct detailed descriptions of plume paths over and
 around the hill  under  various meteorological conditions.  Many of these
 descriptions are found to be consistent with expectations about plume
 behavior built upon theory and laboratory investigations.  For example, the
 critical dividing  streamline height (as calculated by the integral method)
 appears to be a  good indicator of the basic modeling approach to be
 adopted—that is,  whether the plume should be modeled with a Wrap or a Lift
 type of model.

      Most  of the experimental evidence supports these key findings about
 plume trajectory regimes:

      •    When the plume was released above HC, it tended to travel over
           the hill.  The plume path appeared to be consistent with
           streamlines  in weakly stratified flow, as described both in theory
           and laboratory experiments.
      •    When it  was  released well below HC, it tended to swing widely
           across the hill, preferring to travel around the hill, not over
           the hill.
      •    When it  was  released very near HC, it tended to travel directly
           towards  the hill, with only slight-to-moderate vertical
           displacement.

      Table 18 helps to summarize the observationally-established
 relationships that appear to connect plume path behavior to the
 meteorological parameters.   It lists for each hour the release height
 (zr),  the dividing streamline height (Hc), the difference between the
 two  expressed as a function of the release height ((zr - Hc)/zr), as
 well  as the location of the maximum observed concentrations.   In addition,
 for  those hours  in which the release was above HC, the table includes
 hourly average Froude numbers (Frjj,  Fr^),  inferred terrain factors
 (TO), and observer notes on whether the streamlines appeared to be
 depressed  in the lee of the hill.  Terrain factors, as inferred from
 observed concentrations and the modeled plume dispersion and trajectory,  can
 be useful  in explaining changes in the relative magnitudes of the plume
 centerline height,  plume distortion,  and plume dilution—but only if
 interpreted properly.  For example,  because we assume that only the ratio of
 centerline height to az should be adjusted in the terrain factor
 computations to make the model reproduce observed concentrations, the model
must be using the  "right" values of mean wind direction and horizontal
 spread.  In addition, because we have assumed that the modeled centerline
 concentrations are "correct" in deriving the terrain factor,  To can no
 longer properly account for changes  in plume dilution;  this places the
 burden on the model to use "correct" values of az.  When these
 conditions are violated,  inferred To values can be misleading.
                                    266

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                                      • 267

-------
     For hours of release heights less than or equal to HC ,  maximum
concentrations were measured both above and below the level  of the release
height.  One of these hours (209-7) is very difficult to interpret because
the winds smeared SFg in all directions before the start of  the hour;
therefore, little definitive information can be extracted about plume
behavior.  However, data from the other hours for which zr _<_ Hc
indicates that the plume definitely "rode" up the hill slope at times,
especially when zr was nearly equal to the HC-  The data also indicate
that when large directional shear was present, a complex flow interaction
below the plume elevation could occur near the base of the hill.  This
interaction (for which we have qualitative evidence but as yet no good
quantitative model) appears to have mixed the plume to the ground, producing
maximum concentrations below the release height.

     For release heights greater than Hc, maximum concentrations were
measured either near the top of the hill or on the back side, provided that
the mean wind was directed towards the hill center.  The deciding factor
that appears to govern whether the peak concentration lies near the top or
in the lee is the ratio (zr - Hc)/crz, not Fr]>  The observational
evidence suggests that whenever Frj, was between 0.5 and 0.7, a streamline
depression effect appeared in the lee; but the inferred To values over the
top of the hill and in the lee suggest that leeside concentrations were
increased only moderately over what they might have been in  the absence of a
leeside streamline depression.  This increase may cause a shift in peak
concentrations from the top to the back of the hill.  In cases where az
was small relative to the plume height, the concentrations across the top of
the hill are likely to have been smaller than those near the base of the
hill in the lee, regardless of the size of
     Terrain factors inferred on the windward side of the hill suggest that
subtracting the full value of HC from the plume height may be too severe a
correction in cases where HC was a substantial fraction of the release
height.  Instead, the model should somehow account for the vertical
deflection of Hc itself in order to better explain the observed
concentrations on the windward face.

     The geometry of CCB may also play a major role in determining the size
of concentrations measured high on the windward side and in the saddle,
because the shape of the hill tends to funnel the flow.  At times,
concentrations on the saddle were substantially lower than those measured on
one peak or the other or those estimated by the models for plumes well above
Hc.  We conjecture that this may indicate a flow channeling effect:  flow
up the draw may have been funneled underneath the plume, tending to lift the
plume somewhat, reducing tracer concentrations on the surface of the
saddle.  For cases in which the plume was below HC , the same kind of
channeling effect may have forced plume material over the saddle rather than
to one side of the hill or the other.  This would tend to promote large
tracer concentrations high on the hill.  (This supposed channeling effect is
not taken into account by the Wrap model, which therefore always estimates
small concentrations at elevations well above zr. )
                                     268

-------
     Many primary components of the Lift and Wrap models appear to be
appropriate at CCB and need little modification.  A comparison of model
estimates with observed concentrations shows that major differences between
modeled and observed concentrations can usually be explained by
uncertainties in the meteorology prevailing at the release point, especially
because of the observed spatial gradients and temporal changes in key
meteorological variables.  Therefore,  improving the models to take fuller
advantage of observational meteorological information turned out to be a
mixed blessing; because the models rely more heavily on the details of the
meteorology, they are not always better at estimating the observed
concentration field.

     The relative performance of the Lift, Wrap, Neutral, and Impingement
models is summarized below for each of the case hours analyzed:
     Experiment
     Case Hour

     202(4)
     202(5)
     204(1)




     205(4)



     205(5)

     206(4)



     206(6)



     206(8)
Neutral appears to be better than Lift because the PDF used
in Lift seems to be too narrow.  Neither version places the
peak concentration correctly below the release height.

Neutral does well, but the peak observed concentration again
lies closer to the bottom of the windward slope.  Lift would
perform better if the PDF were a little broader and if a
terrain factor between 0.7 and 0.8 were used.

The peak concentration well to the side of the hill (nearly
level terrain) cannot be reproduced by either model.  Wrap is
much better than Impingement in estimating other large
concentrations because the PDF is highly non-Gaussian.

Lift does better than Neutral.  The PDF appears appropriate.
(Model estimates would improve if the terrain factor over the
hill top were about 0.8.)

Questionable SFg pattern precludes model evaluation.

Neutral does better than Lift.  The PDF is too narrow, and
subtracting Hc brings the plume too near the surface on the
windward face of the hill.

Wrap overestimates by a factor of 2; Impingement
underestimates by the same factor.  (Wrap with a larger
az and slightly broader PDF would work well.)
Same as 206(6).
conditions).
(Both hours have very similar meteorological
                                     269

-------
     209(1)




     209(7)

     210(3)



     210(7)



     211(1)


     211(5)
Neutral and Lift both overestimate observed concentrations.
Either the model az is too large or the emission rate is
grossly in error (not likely).  PDF and Gaussian distribution
appear equally suited.

Hour is impossible to model with tower A data.
Neutral and Lift estimates are uniformly low.  An increase in
az late in the hour shoul<
PDF is probably adequate.
az late in the hour should be included in the estimates.
Lift estimates of the concentration distribution is better
than that from Neutral, so the PDF is appropriate.
Concentration estimates are too large on the windward face.

Wrap overestimates concentrations more than Impingement.
Either the PDF is too narrow or az is not large enough.

Wrap does better than Impingement because the PDF is a better
representation of the wind distribution.  Peak estimate is
half the peak observed concentration.  (A smaller az with
some plume lift would improve the model estimates.)
     These observations indicate that the correct estimate of crz is
absolutely crucial to model performance.  In most cases when the release is
above HC, estimating az only to within a factor of 1.5 to 2 introduces
enough error in modeled concentrations to cause extreme over- or
underestimates.  In fact, because most reasonable estimates of To lie
between 0.5 and 1.0, inferred values of To that fall repeatedly between
1.4 and 2.0 could indicate that the "appropriate" az may be as much as
twice as large in these cases.

     In all but the lightest wind speed cases, it is not as important to be
able to specify the horizontal distribution correctly.  The use of a
Gaussian distribution with interpolated values of iy seems to provide an
adequate description of the variability in the plume trajectory.  Indeed,  in
some cases the Gaussian distribution offers a better description than does
the PDF measured from the nearest "representative" level above or below the
release height.  But when wind speeds are light and variable, the
distribution of wind directions can be highly non—Gaussian, and it is of the
utmost importance, in such cases, to have available a truly representative
PDF.

     A quantitative measure of the performance of the Lift and Neutral
models is presented in Table 19.  The statistics describe the ability of the
models to reproduce observed concentrations on a point-by-point basis for
modeled and observed concentrations paired in space and time.
                                     270

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                                                                                   271

-------
     A linear correlation method is used in which the observed
concentration Co is expressed as a linear function of the model
concentration Cp plus a random variable e
            CP
               + B + e
(57)
Ideally, A s 1 and B = 0.  If A < 1, the model tends to overestimate
concentrations; if A > 1, the model tends to underestimate
concentrations.  However, if A < 1 and B is large, the correlation
between modeled and observed concentrations is likely to be small.

     Table 19 contains the values of A and B as well as the
correlation coefficient (R.2), the absolute gross error (AGE), and
the root mean square error (RMSE).
     AGE
           Co -
                                                                   (58)
     RMSE
             (Co - V
                      .2 */2 ,_
Only concentration samples taken at receptors above
statistics.
                                                       are included in the
     The correlation coefficient for Lift is better than for Neutral in
case-hours 202(5), 205(4), 209(1), 210(3) and 210(7), but worse for
case-hours 202(4) and 206(4).  (No judgment is made in the case of 205(5)
because the SF5 pattern is questionable.)  When the linear regression
coefficients A and B are compared in the table for both models, Lift
exhibits less of an improvement.  All measures of model performance would be
expected to improve, however, if input data uncertainty could be reduced.

     Similar statistics for the Wrap and Impingement models are not
presented because the model is not designed to give the complete
concentration field — only concentrations near the stagnation streamline.
The comparisons we presented between the two models only address the ability
of each model to estimate the highest observed concentration on the hill.
Table 20 summarizes peak modeled and observed concentrations for each of the
fourteen case study hours.  Note that these peak concentrations are not
paired in space, so the table in no way reflects the ability of a model to
estimate the spatial distribution of concentrations correctly.  In all of
the hours modeled by the Wrap and Impingement models except one, the Wrap
estimate of the peak concentration lies closer to the peak observed
concentrations than does the Impingement estimate.  Furthermore, the Wrap
model overestimates the peak concentration on the hill in all but one of the
hours (excluding 209, hour 7).  Therefore Wrap (with the PDF formulation)
offers a clear improvement over Impingement.
                                    272

-------
                                   TABLE 20
                     SUMMARY OF PEAK MODELED AND OBSERVED
                       1-HOUR AVERAGE SF,  CONCENTRATIONS
                                        o
Experiment
Hour
Observed
202
202
204
205
205
206
206
206
209
209
210
210
211
211
4
5
1
4
5
4
6
8
1
7
3
7 •
1
5 ; ,
820
530
249 2
288
(444)
956
1921
2439
66
(123)
176
119
179
1648
647
235
-
207
(345)
1146
-
-
232
-
7
105
-
-
584
498
-
372
(184)
636
-
-
420
-
14
135
-
—
        Peak Concentrations (ppt)-*-	
Lift     Neutral     Wrap     Impingement
                                                           195
                                                        262
                                                          3771
                                                          3782

                                                          (199)
                                                           487
                                                           655
                                                        871
                                                       1026

                                                       (562)
                                                        302
                                                        323
 Concentrations are scaled by 0.1 (g/s)/Q(g/s) to account for differences in
 SF, emission rates.
I
 The largest concentration measured on the hill was 129 ppt.
                                     273 ',

-------
                                  SECTION  5

                QUALITY ASSURANCE AND REFINEMENT OF CCB DATA

     Since the first milestone report, the quality of the data taken from
the experiments has been substantially improved.  ERT recently received the
original records (strip charts and integrator outputs) of the tracer gas
analysis performed at the North American Weather Consultants (NAWC) field
office in Boise.  NAWC also provided a quality assurance report on the CCB
tracer data that indicated that some problems remained with the precision of
the curves used to fit the gas chromatograph (GC) calibration data and with
the interpolation in time between successive calibrations.  These problems
have been addressed by new approaches to the calibration of the GC outputs.

     ERT has also received the meteorological instrument calibrations
performed during installation and take-down of the tower data.  These
provide further documentation of  the consistency of instrument response
during the course of the experiments when compared with the data from the
two field audits.

     An important experiment with the UVW propellers was performed in the
Colorado State University wind tunnel by staff of ERT's Western Measurements
Division (WMD) in April 1982.  This experiment checked  the response of a
completely assembled Climatronics triaxial wind component system.  The
departures from cosine response were substantially greater than those
suggested by  the curves in the manufacturer's literature.  The data from
this experiment were combined with the  field experiment data  from  sites
where cup and vane  systems were co-located with propeller systems.  This
produced correction factors  for the propellor data and, in  turn, corrections
for  the effects of  tower wakes.   In addition, the locations of the  tracer
sources and  the rates  of  tracer emissions were  refined.

     Because  of  these  refinements to  the  experimental  data,  the precision
and  accuracy  of  the data base have been substantially  improved.  With  these
improvements, model development and evaluation  can be  based on a sounder
foundation.


5.1  Refinement  of Tracer  Gas  Data

     NAWC's  quality assurance  report  on the  tracer  gas samples  taken  at CCB
pointed out  two  principal  problems with the  way the  gas GCs were
 calibrated.   First, the function used to represent  the calibration data
 often  did  not fit the  responses well  at the  lower concentrations;  second,
 the interpolation of calibrations in time to determine an approximate
 calibration specific to each sample  analysis was  technically unjustified and

                                     .274

-------
 conceptually  somewhat  contrary  to  the  quality  assurance  plan for  the
 experiment.   There  is  no reason to believe  that  a GC's calibration should
 drift linearly in time, and  the calibration span checks  run every four hours
 on each  chromatograph  were designed  to keep the  precision within  5%
 tolerance.

      To  correct these  problems, all  tracer  gas concentrations had to be
 recalculated;  this  is  described below.
      5.1.1   Calibration  Equations

      GC responses  to  tracer  gas  samples were  converted  to  concentrations of
 the  tracer by applying calibration equations.  These equations were
 determined by least-square fits  of calibration functions to  GC responses
 obtained during calibrations with standard gases.

      All of  the GCs exhibited  responses that  can be closely  approximated by
 a  power law  for concentrations below about 1,500 ppt of SF6.  The AID GC
 followed the power-law response  for both SFg  and CF3Br  (Freon) over the
 entire  range of concentrations used for calibrations, but  the other GCs
 deviated from the  power  law  above about 1,500 ppt.  The following
 calibration  function was used  previously in an attempt to  treat both the
 power-law and nonpower-law concentration ranges
      R = A C  [1 - exp(-B/C)]
                                                                    (59)
where  R is  GC  response,  C  is  the  tracer gas concentration, and A and B are
.constants independent of concentration.  Least—square fits were used to
estimate A  and B  for each  calibration.

     An example of the fit of Equation 59 to a calibration is shown in
Figure 123. The fitted function agrees well with the calibration results for
concentrations higher than about  2,000 ppt of SFg, but for lower
concentrations the function deviates significantly from the measured
responses and  gives inaccurate concentration measurements.  The manner in
which  the function deviates from  the lower concentrations (higher or lower
than the data) varies among GCs and calibrations.

     New calibration curves were  used to reduce these inaccuracies.  They
combine two functions:  a  power function for lower concentrations (below
about  1,500 ppt)  and an exponential function for higher levels
C = A RB,
                             R <
             exp[B(R-R0)/R0],
                                                                         (60)
 (The  two functions are equal in value and slope at response Ro.)  For each
 calibration, A and B were found first by linear least-square fit to the
 logarithm of concentration versus the logarithm of GC response for
 calibration values for concentrations below 1,500 ppt.  Ro was then
                                     275

-------
s
F
6

C
0
N
C
E
N
T
R
A
T
I
0
N

P
P
T
                                                           LEAST-SQUARES
      105-3,
1CT-
10"-
10'
       10-
                 i n i
                                   i—i  i 1111
7
                                            i—i  i 11 n
                                                        T	1—I I  I I II
                          10'
                                                                   10'
                             GAS  CHROMATOGRAPH RESPONSE
 Figure 123.    Least-squares  fit of old calibration  function  to  calibration
               of gas chromatograph No.  7,  S3,  with  SF6  at  0615  MST on
               November 11,  1980.   Note the consistent over-prediction of
               concentrations by the least-squares fit below  1,000 ppt.
                                    276

-------
 determined by a nonlinear least-square fit to the rest of the data, that is,
 by finding the value of Ro that minimizes
       N
       J  {C. - AR®exp[B(R  - R )/R ]}
      £_n   1     O       1OO
(61)
 where the subscript i denotes the ith calibration point above 1,500 ppt.
 RO was constrained to fall between the last calibration point below
 1,500 ppt and the last point in the calibration.

      The calibration data showed that the GC response to the lowest SF*
 calibration concentration (which was either 10 or 12 ppt) was extremely
 variable.  In many cases, for concentrations above the lowest value  a GC's
 responses agreed within 5% in consecutive calibrations,  whereas  the'response
 to the lowest concentration might differ by as much as 50%.   As  discussed in
 Section 5.1.3,  the lower quantifiable limit for SFe analysis was about
 10 ppt.  For these reasons,  the lowest calibration concentration was
 excluded from the least-square fits of the calibration functions.  (Note
 that  the power-law concentration curve must go through the point (0,0).)

      An example of the fit of the new function to calibrtion dta is shown in
 Figure 124.   The agreement is  good below about 2,000 ppt.  Although
 percentage differences between the fitted functions and  the  data were
 usually larger  above  2,000 ppt  than below it,  all  data agreed with  the
 function within about 15%.

      As mentioned above,  the  AID GC response followed a  power law throughout
 the entire calibration range, and  only  a  power-law function was  used to  fit
 it.   This GC was operated  in  several ranges  selected through  an  electronic
 attenuator.   Separate  functins were  not  fit  to the  calibrtion data  for each
 range;  instead,  the data were combined  by multiplying the  instrument
 response  by  the  attenuation factor.   In all  cases,  the responses  at
 different attenuation  factors agreed within  a  few  percent when scaled  to a
 common  attenuation.  The AID GC  also  exhibited vriable responses  to the
 lowest  SF6  calibration concentration, which was  therefore excluded  from
 the least-square  fits  of the power  law  to the  calibrations.

     An example power-law fit to SFg calibrtion data  for the AID
 instrument  is shown in  Figure 125.   The figure shows  that agreement with the
 data is good.  The GC responses at two attentuations are plotted for all
 calibration gases but  those with the highest and lowest concentrations.  The
near coincidence of the points demonstrates the validity of scaling the
 different ranges to a common attenuation.  The plot also shows the deviation
of the lowest concentration from the power law.

     The AID GC was the only instrument used to measure Freon 13B1.   A power
law was used to fit the Freon 13B1 calibrations, and data from different
ranges were scaled to a common attenuation.  As with SF6, the instrument
responded variably to the lowest calibration concentration, 200 ppt; this
concentration was excluded from the fits.  Figure 126 shows an example of a
fit to the Freon 13B1 calibration data.

                                     277

-------
s
F
6

C
0
N
C
E
N
T
R
A
T
I
0
N

P
P
T
                                                            LEAST-SQUARES
      105 ^
10*-
10' —
       10-
                          10'
                                   10-
10'
                             GAS CHROMATOGRAPH RESPONSE
Figure 124.    Least-squares  fit  of new  calibration function to calibration
              of gas chromatograph No.  7,  S^, with SF^ at 0615 MST on
              November 11,  1980.   The new  function fits concentrations below
              1,000 ppt better than the old  function shown in Figure 123.
                                    278

-------
                                                           LEAST-SQUARES
      10'
S
F
6

C
0
N
C
E
N
T
R
A
T
I
0
N

P
P
T
icr
10'
       10
          10
                                             i—i
                                                                     i  111
                                                                         10'
                             GAS CHROMATOGRAPH RESPONSE
    Figure  125..
           Least-squares fit of power-law function to calibration
           of the AID gas chromatograph with SF6. at 0600 MST on
           November 11, 1980.
                                     279

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                                                           LEAST-SQUARES
F
R
E
0
N

1
3
B
1

C
0
N
C
E
N
T
R
A
T
I
0
N

P
P
T
      icr
10'
10V
      10'
          10
                                            r i  i  i i
                        10'
10V
10'
                             GAS CHROMATOGRAPH  RESPONSE
Figure 126.   Least-squares fit of power-law function  to  calibration of the
              AID gas chromatograph with Freon 13B1  at 0615 MST on
              November 11, 1980.
                                    280
                                     1

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      5.1.2  Tracer Data Refinement

      Tracer gas concentrations were recalculated from instrument responses
 by means of the new calibration functions.  Previously, linear time
 interpolation of the calibration parameters (A and B in Equation 59) had
 been used to attempt to account for drifts in GC response between
 calibrations.   However, data were not available to verify that changes in
 response were  linear with time, and time interpolation was not used in
 reconstructing the data base.  Instead,  the most recent calibration was used
 to calculate concentrations.  The response of each GC to a single
 calibration concentration was checked every four hours, and the instrument
 was recalibrated if the response differed by more than 5% from that obtained
 during the most recent calibration.   Therefore, according to experimental
 design,  drift  between calibrations should not have introduced an error of
 more than 5% in the data.   Because the Baseline GCs could not be kept within
 this limit,  their use was  abandoned after a few experiments.

      Before  concentrations could be recalculated for experiments 201 through
 203, it  was  necessary to enter GC response and analysis time-of-day
 information into the data base.   These data were not entered originally,
 because  concentrations had been calculated manually for these experiments
 and entered  directly into the computer.   Some problems in the original data
 base were discovered and corrected during this data entry process:

      •    Erroneous recount results  in experiment 201:   Results of  the first
           analysis  of re-analyzed samples were entered instead of the
           results of the second analysis.   These errors were identified by
           reviewing the recount log  sheets,  on which the results  of recount
           analyses  were recorded.

      •    Incorrect identification of  GCs for  some  analyses  in
           experiment 203:   Corrections for these errors were discovered by
           comparing GC analysis  log  sheets,  from which  the data were entered
           originally,  with  GC strip  charts and integrator printouts.

      •    Erroneous  elimination  of samples with  collection times  after
          midnight:   These  errors  were identified by reviewing  the  field
           sampler log  sheets,  and  the  samples  were  restored  to  the  data base.

      The  improvements  in the  SFg  data  can best be evaluated  by  examining
•recount data, which  were obtained  by repeating the  analyses  of  some  of  the
 tracer gas samples.   In almost all cases,  the  repeated  analysis was  not
 performed  on the  same  GC as  the  first analysis,  with  the exception  of
 samples  that were analyzed  for Freon, which could only  be reanalyzed on the
 AID  instrument.   Therefore, deviations of  the  fitted  calibration  equations
 from the  true GC response contributed to  deviations  between  the two
 analyses.  Table 21  shows average  absolute percent  deviations between  the
 first  and second analyses within various  concentration ranges for the
 original and refined data bases.   The numbers  in the  table were calculated
 only  from recount data  for samples that were not voided because of sample
 collection problems.  The absolute percent deviations were calculated by
                                    281

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                               TABLE 21
                 AVERAGE ABSOLUTE PERCENT DIFFERENCES
                OF RECOUNT DATA BY CONCENTRATION RANGES
Concentration
   (ppt)

SF&
   Old
Data Base
10-50
50-200
200-500
500-1000
1000
Overall
19.5
8.2
5.9
5.9
4.7
11.0
Number of
 Samples
                                 119
                                 112
                                  76
                                  35
                                  19
                                 361
 Refined
Data Base
                            16.0
                             5.5
                             5.7
                             3.8
                             7.8
                             9.0
Number of
 Samples
                             132
                             121
                              92
                              33
                              17
                             394
Freon 13B1

  200-500          10.0
  500-1000          8.1
  1000-6000         3.1
  6000-12000        1.0
   12000            2.0
  Overall           5.8
                 10
                  9
                 16
                  3
                  1
                 39
               14.6
                8.2
                3.6
                1.3
                1.4
                5.3
                  6
                  9
                 14
                 14
                  1
                 44
                                 282

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             c  - c
              1    2
                        x 100
(62)
where c\ and C2 are the first and second analyses of the sample.  As
seen in the table, the deviations were reduced substantially for SFg
concentrations below 1,000 ppt.  The average deviation tended to increase
above that concentration, probably because the old calibration function
(Equation 59) tended to fit the data better at high concentrations.
However, the cumulative frequency distribution of measured SFg
concentrations in Table 22 shows that more than 98% of the SF6
measurements were below 1,000 ppt, and that 96% of the measurements  above
10 ppt were below 1,000 ppt.  Hence, the new calibration functions have
resulted in significant improvement in the quality of a large majority of
the SFg data.


     5.1.3  Precision and Lower Quantifiable Limit

     The recount data provide information to estimate the precision of the
tracer analyses as a function of concentration and to estimate the lower
quantifiable limit of the measurements.  Precision is a measure of the
agreement among individual measurements of the same quantity.  Because of
the inherent variability in any measurement process, replicate measurements
of the same quantity by the same method yield different results.  The
precision can be defined as the standard deviation of an infinite number of
replicate measurements.  It cannot be determined exactly, but it can be
estimated.

     Several pairs of analyses of the same sample can be used to estimate
the standard deviation of the measurement (EPA 1976)
         0.886
           N
                 N
R
(63)
where N is the number of pairs of analyses and R£ is the absolute
difference between the two values in the itn pair.   The recount analyses
were not replicate pairs of measurements of a single sample, but Equation 63
can be applied to estimate the precision within concentration ranges.   This
application assumes the precision is constant within the ranges used.

     Table 23 lists the precision of the SFg analyses for various
concentration ranges and gives the average absolute differences of the
recount data and the estimated standard deviation as a percentage of the
midpoint concentration in the concentration ranges.  Between 10 and 30 ppt,
the precision improves rapidly and a decreases from 35% to 11% of the
concentration.  Between 50 and 1,000 ppt, a is about 4% of the
concentration; above 1,000 ppt, it averages about 6.5% of the concentration.
                                     283

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                            TABLE 22
                CUMULATIVE FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
Concentration
                      OF SF,  CONCENTRATIONS
                           D
 Number of Samples
Below Concentration
Percent of Samples
Below Concentration
5
10
20
50
70
100
200
300
500
750
1,000
2,000
5,000
9,821
6,228
6,952
7,677
8,691
9,092
9,526
10,389
10,923
11,469
11,777
11,936
12,082
12,130
12,133
51.3
57.3
63.3
71.6
74.9
78.5
85.6
90.0
94.5
97.1
98.4
99.6
99.98
100.0
                              284

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                                   TABLE  23

                          PRECISION OF SF, ANALYSIS
                                         o
Concentration
    Range
    (ppt)

     5-10
    10-20
    20-30
    30-40
    40-50
    50-75
    75-100
   100-150
   150-250
   250-400
   400-600
   600-1000
    1000
Number of
 Samples

   23
   49
   42
   24
   17
   33
   29
   37
   47
   45
   30
   25
   17
Average Absolute
    Difference
of Recount Data
     (ppt)	

      3.0
      3.1
      3.1
      3.8
      5.6
      3.0
      5.6
      6.8
      7.3
     21.4
     21.4
     30.8
    189.7
 Standard Deviation
      of Analysis
(Percent of Midpoint
    Concentration)

         35
         18
         11
         10
         10
          4
          6
          5
          3
          6
          4
          4
          5*
*Highest concentration of first recount analysis was 6,420 ppt.
 Midpoint concentration of 3,710 ppt was used.
                                    285

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     The lower quantifiable limit  (LQL) is the lowest concentration that can
be measured with a specified precision.  Usually, it is defined as the
concentration at which the precision is one-third of the value.  For SFg,
this concentration is about 10 ppt; for Freon 13B1, it is about 220 ppt.


5.2  Refinement of Meteorological Data


     5.2.1  Reasons for Refinement

     As stated in the first milestone report, there were consistent
differences in the wind speeds and directions derived from the cup-and-vane
(Climatronics F460) and UVW propeller systems mounted at the same height on
the same tower.  This is because the propellor systems do not respond fully
to the wind component along their axes.  This deviation from cosine response
has been documented in the past (Horst 1973, Wyngaard 1981, Pond et al.
1979, Gill 1975), but a preliminary examination of CCB data showed that the
discrepancies in the wind speeds derived from the two systems were far
greater than were expected on the basis of deviations from cosine response
shown in the published reports.  Accordingly, it was important to test the
responses of a complete three-axis propellor set in a wind tunnel.

     Tests on propellor sets could not be run at Colorado State University's
tunnel in Fort Collins until early April 1982.  In the two test days
available, one complete set of UVW transmitters was tested for response at
angles of attack incremented every 10° from 0° to 350° and additionally at
45°, 135°, 225°, and 315°.  A second set was run to check consistency at a
few angles.

     Another characteristic of the wind data measured at CCB was an apparent
effect caused by tower wakes.  This appeared to disrupt the propellor data
from the 150 m profile tower when the winds blew from directions between 90°
and 125°.  Because many experiments were run when the wind was blowing from
these directions and because the wind profiles from these instruments must
be used for estimating directions and speeds at source height, it was
necessary to correct for these wakes.

     Lastly, the information from the audits and calibration records of the
sensors was evaluated to determine whether errors in orientation and
calibration were sufficiently persistent or reproducible to justify
correcting the instrument outputs.  Errors in temperature sensors were
evaluated as well as those in wind sensors.
     5.2.2  Calibration Histories and Audits

     Information on the accuracy of the calibrations of the meteorological
instruments at CCB is contained in calibration records and the reports of
two external performance audits.  Each instrument was calibrated when it was
installed in late September or early October 1980.  The calibration was
checked when the instruments were removed in the third week of November.

                                    286

-------
 TRC Environmental Consultants, under subcontract to ERT, audited the
 performance of all the instruments during the first four days of November,
 and Mr. Thomas J. Lockhart of Meteorology Research, Inc. (MRI), under EPA'
 contract, audited the performance of an easily accessible subset of the
 instruments a few days later.                        .     .

      TRC audited the systems using standard calibration techniques,
 including spinning wind-speed sensors at known rpm with synchronous motors,
 checking the orientation of wind vanes and triaxial propeller systems to
 true north, and immersing temperature probes in water baths whose
 temperatures were determined by precision thermometers certified by the
 National Bureau of Standards (NBS).   The instruments' measurement values
 were determined by converting the voltage put out by the translator cards to
 engineering units.  TRC's results are therefore directly comparable to the
 calibrations done by ERT's field personnel.

      Mr. Lockhart's audit differed in two ways.   First,  he  used the
 technique he has devised  for auditing the performance of temperature probes
 by inserting them in "thermal masses."  Second,  instead  of  reporting the
 voltage outputs of the instruments'  translator cards,  he held the
 instruments in the audit  condition for at least  one full 5-minute averaging
 period of the data acquisition system and reported  the output,in engineering
 units produced by the data collection computer.   Consequently,  his  audit
 checked not only instrument performance but  the  performance of  other
 elements of the data system as well,  principally the analogue-to-digital
 converters in the microprocessors in  the instrument shelters.   (These
 converters had been separately checked by,the TRC audit,  however, and were
 found to be accurate within a few tenths of  a percent.)  .

      The results  of the audits and calibrations  of  the instruments  will  be
 presented and discussed in greater detail in the  forthcoming  quality
 assurance report  for the  experiments,  now in preparation.
     5.2.3  Wind Tunnel Studies

     Several wind tunnel studies have been performed on  the CCB wind  sets by
ERT's Western Measurements Division  (WMD) in Colorado State University's
wind tunnel in Fort Collins.  Both cup and propellor anemometers have been
studied.

     In October 1981 the linearity and calibration of six of  the F460 cup
anemometers used at,CCB were checked.  The frequency output of the cup
sensors was converted to indicated wind speed by means of Climatronics'
calibration curve for F460s with plastic cups
     V,
rraph .= Hz/9.5 + 0.5,   or Vm/s = Hz/21.25 + 0.224
                                                                          (64)
The range of wind speeds tested was 6 to 60 mph (2.7 to 27 m/s).  The tunnel
speeds were measured by ERT's cup anemometer with stainless steel cups that
had been calibrated in the NBS wind tunnel in Gaithersburg, .Maryland.  A
linear least-square regression was performed on the data from this NBS

                                     287

-------
calibration for tunnel speeds of 1.7, 5.3, 15.1, 25.2, and 35.2 mph and was
used to convert the frequency output of this transmitter to actual tunnel
speed for comparison with the cups under test.  This regression line is
V,
 'mph
Hz/10.10 + 0.529,   or Vm/s = Hz/22.59 + 0.236
(65)
(The divisor of the frequency in this formula is larger than that shown
above for the plastic cups because the stainless steel cups turn faster at a
given speed.)

     In the range 6 to 40 mph (2.7 to 18 m/s), which is relevant to the CCB
data, all the speeds indicated by the CCB cup systems lay within 5% of the
speeds measured by the NBS anemometer, over 85% lay within 3%, and over 50%
within 2%.

     The same sort of study was done with five individual Climatronics UVW
wind component transmitters at 0° angle of attack.  The manufacturer's
calibration line of Vmp]1 = Hz/4.566 was used to convert the propellor
transmitters' frequency output to speed.  These anemometers were even more
accurate than the F460 cups.  The largest difference between the speeds
indicated by any propellor transmitter and by the NBS anemometer was only
2.2% for speeds less than 37 mph (16.5 m/s); the other points all lay within
2%.

     The most significant experiment done at the CSU tunnel was the
determination of the fraction of cosine response given by the U and V
components of an assembled triaxial UVW propellor component system.  WMD
staff from the Fort Collins office did this study during the first week in
April 1982.  In the experiments with the cup and propellor anemometers
described above, both the instrument being tested and the NBS cups were in
the tunnel at the same time, situated side by side and at equal distances
from the wall respectively closer to each.  The speed measurements given by
each were therefore taken simultaneously, so questions of variation of the
flow are largely irrelevant.  The triaxial propellor anemometer, however, is
sufficiently large that both it and the NBS cups could not be placed
simultaneously in the same tunnel section without one or the other getting
too close to a tunnel wall.

     As luck would have it, there were hurricane force winds in Fort Collins
on the first day of the experiment, and there was some doubt about the
stability of the tunnel controls in such conditions.  However, before the
test of the UVW set at each tunnel setting, the speed was measured by the
NBS cups over a sequence of several periods, each at least 30 seconds long,
to demonstrate that the speed was indeed reasonably steady.  The first test
was run at a very light wind speed.  The mean value of the frequency output
from the NBS cups during eight 30-second periods was 13.28 Hz with a
standard deviation of only 0.331 Hz.  The calibration line for the NBS cups
at 13.28 Hz yields a speed of 0.82 m/s, but the error in the calibration at
such low frequencies is large because of the zero intercept of 0.236 m/s.
The original data from the calibration of this wind set when it was
certified by NBS show that the instrument's output frequency was 14.1 Hz at
approximately 1.7 mph or 0.76 m/s.  Linear extrapolation of the NBS data

                                     288

-------
 from the  calibration points at 48.0 Hz and  14.1 Hz down  to  13.28  Hz gives an
 approximate  speed of 0.72 m/s.

      With the  tunnel controls held constant,  the output  frequencies of  the U
 and  V sensors were measured at angles of attack varying  from 0° to 350° in
 106  increments as well as at 45°, 135°, 225°, and 315°,  where vector
 resultant  speed is expected to be a minimum fraction of  actual flow speed.
 The  frequency outputs of the U and V arms were converted to meters per
 second by  the Climatronics formula Vm/s = 0.447 (Hz/4.566) = Hz/10.214.
 At the end of the light wind test, the tunnel speed was  again measured  for
 30 seconds by the NBS cups, which now gave a  reduced frequency of 9.17  Hz.
 Extrapolating down from the NBS calibration data gives 1.2 mph (0.53 m/s) as
 the  tunnel speed at that time.  This is probably a high  estimate, however,
 because of the diminishing responsiveness of  the cups at light speeds.  The
 data from this first test are apparently not  reliable because of  the drop in
 tunnel speed.

      The  second tunnel setting gave a frequency output from the NBS cups of
 105.9 Hz with no variation in four consecutive 30-second periods; a similar
 check for  43 seconds after this test yielded  a frequency of 105.7 Hz.  Data
 from this higher speed test are probably quite reliable  therefore.  The
 calibration  line for the NBS sensor gives a speed of 4.92 m/s for a
 frequency of 105.9 Hz.

      The  third test of the UVW sensor response was run at a still higher
 wind  speed.  Six peripds varying in length from 30 to 60 seconds gave a mean
 frequency output from the NBS cups of 222.16 Hz with a standard deviation of
 0.75 Hz.  A 30-second check at the end of this test yielded a frequency of
 222.12 Hz; again the data seem reliable.  The calibration line of the NBS
 cups gives 10.07 m/s for 222.16 Hz.

     During this experiment, the W propellor never turned,  nor did the U and
 V propellors when the flow was normal to them, just as one  would expect.
     The results of these experiments are shown in Figures 127 and 128
A), in which the plotted values are the observed fractions of cosine
response from the U and V arms of the anemometer; i.e.
                                                                   (set
p	"
 u     u sin 0'
                                v
                             u cos 0
                              o
                                                                        (66)
where uo is the tunnel speed indicated by the NBS-calibrated cups, and 6
is the wind direction as it would be with the instruments mounted in the
field; that is, u>0 for winds with westerly components and v>0 for winds
with southerly components.  In order to display the symmetry of the
responses of the U and V components, the data are plotted together for the
two components in Figure 129.  Here the wind direction for the V response
0V has been set to 0V = 90° - 0.  This makes a wind from 90° blow
with an attack angle of 0° (directly onto the outward-facing side of the
propellor), and a wind from 270° blow from the junction block of the three
component arms down the shaft of the arm to the back side of the propellor.
                                     289

-------
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                            292

-------
The data from the experiment with the tunnel speed less than 1.0 m/s have
been omitted.

     Several characteristics of this plot are noteworthy.  First, the
responses at 5 m/s and 10 m/s are nearly identical except where the angle of
attack on the propellor approaches 90°.  Second, the UVW system seems to
behave quite symmetrically as a whole, but the responses of the individual
arms are not symmetrical about attack angles along the axes of the
transmitters.  For example, the responses at 60° are different from those at
120°, and the responses at 250° are different from those at 290°.  This
asymmetry is attributable to the wake of one component sensor acting on the
other at 290° and not at 250°, but it is unclear why this should be the case
near 90°, where it would seem that no part of one arm could affect the
other.  However, the asymmetry is small in this region.  A third obvious
characteristic of the data is the large impact of the sensor components
themselves when they are upwind.  This was noted by Gill (1975) during tests
of his early designs, and he modified his later instruments so that the U
and V arms extended from the vertical shaft at different heights, and the
bulky cube at the "origin" of the three arms was eliminated.  The
Glimatronics system retains the cube and has no vertical offset of the arms.

     Another remarkable feature of the experimental data is the increased
response of the transmitters when the wind is +60° from the axis of the
propellor, that is, at winds from 30° and 150°.  This feature is clearly
defined in the data from both arms and at both tunnel speeds, but no
explanation for it is obvious.

     A second set of UVW components was assembled and tested at a few angles
of attack to check the reproducibility of the results from the first set.
The people performing the experiment noted that the hardware joining one arm
to the central block caused the angle between the U and V arms to differ by
a few degrees from a right angle.  The data from this windset are therefore
somewhat suspect, but they have been plotted as points on Figures 127
and 128 (Set B) nonetheless and appear only slightly displaced from the
results of the more complete experiment with the first set of UVW
transmitters.

     Wind data from the CCB experiments were analyzed for comparison to the
results of the wind tunnel experiments.  Cup—and—vane and UVW anemometers
were located at the same tower levels at nine sites in the network, but the
winds at the 2 m level of tower A were not analyzed because the speeds there
were so light that the instruments were operating at or near their response
thresholds a large part of the time.  Plots of the differences between
cup—and-vane wind directions and propellor wind directions at the 2 m level
show large scatter and no consistent pattern; the differences in wind speeds
measured by the two systems show similar scatter.  The data from the
co-located instruments at 10 m on the four towers on the flanks of the butte
(towers C through F) were not analyzed because the large vertical component
of the wind at these sites would confound the analysis.  Up to fairly large
angles of attack, cup anemometers respond positively to vertical motions,
either up or down, but at larger angles to the flow they respond negatively,
until they actually turn backwards at very large angles.  Only the data from

                                    293 ;

-------
the 10 m and  150 m  levels of  tower A and  the  10 m and  30 m levels of  tower B
were judged suitable  for  this analysis.

     After correction for orientation of  the  vanes and UVW sets  to  true
north, all the valid  5-minute wind data taken at  each  of these four sites
during the tracer experiments were classified according to vane  direction
into 36 groups, each  10° wide (0°-10°, 10°-20, etc.).   Within each  direction
class, the data were  further  classified according to whether the 5-minute
vector-resultant wind speed from  the propellers was less than 1.5 m/s,
between 1.5 and 5.0 m/s, or greater  than  5.0  m/s.   The cup-and-vane data
were assumed  to be accurate measures  of the mean  speed and direction  of the
flow.  Except for very  light wind periods, this assumption seems reasonable
because the generally low turbulence  intensities  during the experiments mean
that overspeeding of  the cups was minor.

     The fraction of  cosine response, Fu  and  Fv,  from  each horizontal
arm of the propellor  system were  calculated in a  manner identical to  that
used for the wind tunnel data.  The  number of points in each wind direction
group and the sample  mean and standard deviation  of the fractional  responses
in each group were  then calculated and listed.  Data groups whose standard
deviations exceeded 10% of their  means were excluded from  further
consideration.  This  latter criterion excluded all the data with
propellor-derived speeds less than 1.5 m/s.   The  remaining data  in  the two
speed groups above 1.5  m/s were combined, and the sample means (and standard
deviations) of the fractional responses were  again calculated to give an
overall average fractional response  for each  U and V arm for each 10°
direction class and at  each of the four sites.

     The average Fu's and Fv's were  in turn averaged across the  four
tower sites,  with any site average excluded if the standard deviation of the
responses at  that site  exceeded 10%  of the mean,  but only  if there were data
with less variation at  some other site.   In general, the data show a
satisfactory lack of  scatter for  wind directions  that  had  a high frequency
of occurrence, were not taken from very high  angles of attack, and did not
cause tower wakes on  the sensors.  These  directions are naturally those
which occurred most frequently during the experiments,  that is,  northwest
and southeast.

     The Fu and Fv results from the wind  tunnel experiments at 5 m/s  and
10 m/s were averaged  at each angle of attack.  For application to the (JCB
data, a running two—angle averaging was then  done.  (Data  from three  angles
of attack were averaged for the 40°-50°,  130°-140°, 220°-230°, and 310°-320°
sectors because of the  data also  taken at the central  angle of the
sectors.)  This averaging was done not only because the ambient  data  had
been averaged in 10°  sectors, but also because the sharp peaks and valleys
of the propellor responses in the wind tunnel would have been smoothed out
somewhat by turbulence  and meander in the atmosphere.

     Finally, the average wind tunnel and ambient  Fu's  and Fv's  were
themselves averaged to  give the values to be  used  in the correction of the
CCB data.  Table 24 lists the average ambient values,  the  average wind
tunnel values, and the values used in the data correction.  For  wind

                                     294

-------
                                  TABLE  24
            AVERAGE FRACTIONS OF COSINE RESPONSE SHOWN BY U AND V
        PROPELLOR ANEMOMETERS:  CCB FIELD DATA, CSU WIND TUNNEL DATA,
            AND VALUE APPLIED AS CORRECTION  FACTOR TO FIELD DATA
Direction
Average Fu
                                                       Average  Fv
Sector
0-10
10-20
20-30
30-^0
40-50
50-60
60-70
70-80
' 80-90
90-100
100-110
110-120
120-130
130-140
140-150
150-160
160-170
170-180
180-190
190-200
200-210
210-220
220-230
230-240
240-250
250-260
260-270
270-280
280-290
290-300
300-310
310-320
320-330
330-340
340-350
350-360
CCB Data
(.927)
(.751)
__
(.811)
(.846)
(.916)
.979
.959
1.004
.980
.972
.932
.862
.781
.746
.680
(.600)
(-.109)
(.398)
(1.037)
(.833)
(.800)
(1.010)
(.712)
.912
.866
.877
.845
.875
.814
.767
.748
.769
.767
.621
(.484)
Wind Tunnel
(.736)
.743
.781
.802
.833
.904
.950
.974
.980
.975
.965
.937
.882
.811
.785 .
.747
.650
(.601)
(.827)
.884
.843
.823
.855
.907
.936
.939
.885
.880
.828
.831
.796
.731
.754
.776
.776
(.780)
Applied
.736
.743
.781
.807
.840
.910
.965
.966
.992
.978
.968
.935
.872
.796
.766
.714
.625
.677
.827
.935
.843
.823
.855
.907
.924
.903
.881
.863
.852
.823
.782
.740
.762
.771
.699
.632
CCB Data
.949
.927
.909
.843
(.814)
.707
.626
(.694)
(1.410)
(.686)
.917
.870
.826
.798
.844
.823
.806
.796
.839
.831
(.700)
(.908)
(.800)
(.739)
(.802)
.875
.866
(.765)
.760
.820
.815
.866
.937
.941
.960
.970
Wind Tunnel
.975
.969
.947
.897
.825
.794
.758
.672
(.631)
(.860)
.850
.824
.799
.773
.799
.831
.841
.822
.858
.926
.921
.885
, .825
.792
.801
.823
(.836)
(.640)
.672
.748
.786
.820
.896
.943
.967
(.975)
Applied
.962
.948
.928
.870
.820
.758
.709
.683
.694
.821
.884
.847
.813
.786 '
.822
.827
.824
.809
.849
.879
.921
.897
.813
.766
.801
.849
.792
.703
.716
.784
.801
.843
.917
.942
.964
.972
Note:  Numbers in parentheses are questionable because of small sample or
      high variability.
                                    295

-------
 directions  in which  the CCB data showed substantial  scatter,  the ambient
 average  is  enclosed  by parentheses,  and heavier  weight  has  been given the
 wind tunnel result unless  it is  very close to  the  ambient value.   For those
 cases with  very few  and inconsistent data from CCB,  the wind  tunnel  value
 has  been used.
      5.2.4   Procedures  for  Refining  Meteorological  Data

      The  first milestone  report  describes  the  results  of  the  performance
 audits  of the meteorological  instruments by  TRC  and MRI and points  out  some
 inconsistencies  in  the  differences between instrument  responses  and audit
 values.   These audit  data have been  reexamined together with  data from  the
 calibrations done by  WMD  at the  time of installation and  at take-down to try
 to  find consistent  response errors.   Where such  are found, corrections  have
 been  made to the data.  All the  audit and  calibration  information will  be
 presented in the forthcoming  quality assurance report  so  that other users of
 the data  base may make  any  appropriate modifications.

      The  refinements  made to  the meteorological  data in response to the
 audit and calibration data  and the wind tunnel studies are described below.

      Cup  and Vane Wind  Data

      The  performance  audit  done  by TRC checked the  response of the  F460 cup
 anemometers by spinning the sensor shafts  at 360 rpm with a synchronous
 motor.  This corresponds  to a wind speed of 8.69 m/s according to
 Climatronics1 specified calibration  line u(mph)  = Hz/9.5 + 0.5,  or
 u(m/s)  =  Hz/21.25 + 0.224.

      The  responses of the F460s  on towers  A and  B,  the 150 m  tower  north of
 the butte, and the 30 m tower on top  of the south peak of the butte, showed
 a very  consistent error of  0.15  or 0.16 m/s  (except at the 30 m  level of
 tower B, where the error was  0.26 m/s)(see first milestone report).  The
 F460s on  towers  C through F,  the 10 m masts on the  flanks of  the butte,  also
 showed a  consistent error between -0.16 and -0.13 m/s at the audit  speed of
 8.69 m/s.  The calibration  records of the  translator cards on these
 instruments show the  reason for  both  the precision and sign of these errors:
 on  towers A and  B the translator cards were calibrated to 0.045  (0.45 m/s)
vdc at 0  shaft rpm or 0.0 Hz,  whereas on towers  C through F,  they were
 zeroed  to 0.000 vdc.  The span calibration of  the translators of all F460s
was done with an oscillator giving 524.8 Hz, which corresponds to 25 m/s or
 2.5 vdc, half the scale of  these 0-5 v, 0-50 m/s instruments.  In fact,  the
 instruments should have been zeroed at the voltage corresponding to 0.50 mph
 (0.224 m/s) or 0.022 vdc.

     The output from the F460s (in meters  per  second)  has been
"recalibrated" to give  the proper 25 m/s response at 524.8 Hz and the proper
0.224 m/s response at 0 Hz.   This recalibration was done with the correction
     corrected speed (m/s)
1.008 x (uncorrected speed)
        towers A and B

       296 ?
- 0.214(m/s) for

-------
      corrected speed (m/s) = 0.991 x (uncorrected speed) + 0.224 (m/s)
                                      for towers C through F                •

      TRC also audited the orientation of the F460 vanes to true north and
 the linearity of the potentiometers (and translators).  The mean value of
 the total error for each vane, including mean nonlinearity, was used to
 correct its output.

      Temperature Data

     ..The audit and calibration data for the temperature and temperature
 difference systems were examined for consistency.  The general variability
 of the .errors, even between the two audits done only a few days apart,  is so
 large that no corrections have been made to the temperature data.  The
 differences between audit or calibration values and .output measurements are,
 in any case,  quite small for most of the temperature sensors.  All but
 two indicated errors (both from MRI's audit) are less than 0.2°C in      '
 magnitude.

      UVW Wind Component Data

      The audit and calibration data from the UVW propeller sensors  are
 fairly consistent for some sensors  and  not for  others.  The errors  are
 generally less than 0.1 m/s,  and because these  sensors'  deviations  from
 cosine response result  in errors far larger than 0.1 m/s,  no changes to the
 sensor outputs have yet been made to correct any apparent  calibration
 errors.   Effort,has been directed instead to the problem of noncosine
 response.   . ••                                     .     .

     , The wind  tunnel experiments with these sensors  and  the derivation  of
 the average fractions of cosine response by the U and V.arms  in the tunnel
 and at CCB  have been described above.   To correct the wind component data,
 each  measured  component value was simply multiplied  by the inverse  of the
 average  fraction of cosine response appropriate to the wind direction (see
 Table 24).

      The wind  direction was  initially estimated by correcting  the wind
 direction WD resulting  from the measured U and  V components by means of  the
 function
         = WD + 4 sin  (4WD)
(67.)
This sinusoidal correction is an approximation to  the observed difference
between actual wind direction in the wind tunnel and the wind direction
resulting from the U and V sensor responses.  According to  the tunnel data,
it corrects the direction to within 2.0° in all wind directions.
     This corrected wind direction was then used to find the appropriate
values of Fu and Fy from Table 24.  The values for a specific wind.
direction were derived by linear interpolation in this table, with the
tabulated values for wind sectors 0°-10°, 10°-200, etc., ascribed to wind
directions 5°, 15°, etc.  The measured values of U and V were corrected by

                                     297

-------
 dividing by Fu and Fv, respectively.  Corrected wind direction and speed
 were  in turn calculated by changing the corrected U and V values to polar
 coordinates.

      Corrections  for Tower Wakes

      Plots of the differences between 5—minute vector—resultant wind speeds
 derived from cup-and-vane data (SP) and from propellor data (WS) versus
 5-minute vector—resultant vane direction (DR) showed a pattern of deficit in
 WS in certain wind directions that corresponds to periods when the propellor
 sensors were in the lee of the tower.  Figure 130 is the plot of this wind
 speed difference  at the 150 m level of tower A, where the pattern is best
 defined because of the steady winds at that height.  (The data plotted have
 not been corrected for propellor response.)  There is a region between 90°
 and 125° and centered near 110° in which the propellor speed is low,
 apparently only about 40% of the cup speed in the core of the region.  To
 the left (north)  of this region is a less well-defined deficit in cup speed
 relative to propellor speed.  Figure 131 is a sketch, approximately to
 scale, of the 150 m level of tower A; the 10 m level was the same.  Because
 no cup—and—vane sets were mounted at the 40 m and 80 m levels, the UVW
 component sensors were not offset to the north on a crossarm, and the wake
 of the tower should be most pronounced at wind directions slightly south of
 90°.

      Studies of tower wakes in wind tunnels (Gill et al. 1967, Cermak and
 Horn  1968) and in the atmosphere (izumi and Barad 1970,  Moses and
 Daubek 1961) have indicated substantial speed deficits in the lee of
 towers.  The amount of the deficit depends on the tower structure, the
 distance of the sensors from the tower, and the orientation of the sensors
with  respect to the "legs" or sides of the tower.  The width of the tower
 wake  stays approximately constant at 1.5 tower diameters for distances up to
 6 diameters downwind.  For distances from the tower at which the sensors
were  mounted at CCB (3 to 4 diameters, a diameter being the length of a
 tower leg),  the speed deficit at the center of the wake is expected to be
 20% to 30%.   The  factor of 2 speed deficit in the core of the wake is
 therefore somewhat surprising,  but the boom carriages of the instrument
 elevator presented solid obstacles about 0.5 m square.  This may account for
 the increased speed deficit shown in the data.

      Speed deficits in the tower wakes were corrected by the function

                  2C
      CT s 1 + C 	w  6o ~ 6  for 9 i

      C-p = 1                    for 0 elsewhere.


 Here  C is the speed deficit assumed in the center of the wake (at wind
direction 00),  W is the "width" of the wake in degrees,  and 0 is
 the wind direction derived from propellor sensors after correction for
noncosine response.   Wake locations and widths were estimated from the
geometry of the towers and sensors.  For the 10 m and 150 m levels of
tower A,  GX for the propellor speeds was calculated with C = 0.7,

                                     298

-------
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                                                              299

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                                          True North
                S   1/4 in. = 1ft
Figure 131.   Sketch of geometry of tower, booms,  and wind instruments  at  150  m
              level,  Tower A.
                                       300

-------
W = 31°, and 6O = 107.5.  For the 40 m and 80 m levels of tower A, the
wake on the propellers was assumed to be centered at 92° with a wake 35°
wide.  Wake correction for the cups on tower A was calculated with C = 0.7,
W = 30°, and 0O = 70°, and for the cups at 10 m and 30 m on tower B with
G = 0.26, W = 20°, and 6O = 263°.  The wake on the propellors at 10 m
and 30 m on tower B was corrected with C = 0.3, W = 30°, and 0O = 227.5°.
There are few data from the appropriate wind directions on tower B with
which to evaluate the corrections for wake effects, and the corrections used
more closely follow the suggestions of Gill et al. (1967).

     Wind tunnel studies indicate that there is a speed increment at the
edge of a tower wake amounting to about 10%.  No attempt has been made to
correct the CCB data for this increment; it has been assumed that changes of
wind direction caused by turbulence during each 5-minute averaging period
would tend to put the wind sensors alternately in the increment and deficit
regions, which would diminish this effect.

     Figure 132 is a plot of the same data after correction that were
plotted in uncorrected form in Figure 130.  The general improvement in
correspondence between cup-and-vane measurements and propellor measurements
is obvious.  The correction for tower wakes has not been completely
successful in eliminating the peakiness in the plots near 90° and 120°.  How
much of these apparent errors is attributable to overspeeding of one sensor
at the edge of a wake and how much to underspeeding at the other is hard to
assess.  The strange peak centered at 330° also remains.  This feature
appears, though less distinctly, in the data from 10 m and 30 m on tower B.
It is tentatively attributed to the effect of the UVW propellor system on
the cup anemometer.  If this premise is true, the UVW wind speed is probably
a more accurate measurement when the wind is near 330° on these towers since
the propellors are upwind of the cups.

     Corrections to Turbulence Intensities

     The UVW anemometers were used at CCB primarily to determine the
intensities of turbulence ix, iy, and iz.  Corrections have been
derived by Horst (1973) for measurements of those variables made with
R.M. Young instruments.  Because of the now partially documented disparity
in response between the Young and Climatronics versions of the propellor
systems, and because Horst's corrections were developed from data taken in
only two periods of approximately one-half hour each (neither of which was
stable), the applicability of these corrections to the CCB data is doubtful.

     The 5-minute values of intensity of turbulence have therefore not been
altered.  We have elected to leave them alone rather than correct them
inappropriately.  To some extent the departure from cosine response of the
propellor sensors is self-correcting in the calculation of the intensities
because both the numerator and denominator of the intensity are "scaled" by
the fraction of cosine response achieved by the instruments.   However,  in
the CCB measurements,  the ratio of crosswind intensity iy to alongwind
intensity ix becomes notably smaller as the wind direction approaches the
axis of one propellor transmitter, which is expected given the response
characteristics.  This means that the horizontal turbulence intensities

                                    301

-------
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                                                                    302

-------
recorded in the data base are not simply wrong by some scaling factor, but
that their errors are functions of wind direction.  The vertical turbulence
intensity measurements are almost assuredly underestimates, particularly
near the ground and where the mean vertical components are low.  This
underestimate results not only from the poor cosine response of the
propellers to mean flow at high angles of attack but also from the response
distance of approximately 1 meter, which limits the response of the
propeller to high-frequency oscillations in the vertical.


     5.2.5  Results of Data Refinements and Conclusions

     The improvement in correspondences between wind speeds derived from
propeller systems and wind speeds from cup anemometers has been shown from
one sample site, the 150 m level of tower A, in Figures 130 and 132.
Figures 133 and 134 show the correspondence between wind directions derived
from the two systems at the same site after application of the corrections
described above.  A large part of the improvement results from simply
correcting the data for misorientation of the sensors to true north; the
correction for the UVW data at 150 m was +7° and for the vane data, -2°.
The changes resulting from the corrections for propellor response have
removed most of the cyclic quality of the disparities in direction
measurements also.  Nevertheless, the sample plots show that there remain
anomalies in the comparative data, one of which is probably an effect of
wakes on wind direction.  This effect is complicated by the fact that the U
and V propellers are not normally in the same part of the wake at the same
time.  Users of the data should be advised to give precedence to data taken
from outside wakes whenever possible.

     In general, clear improvements have been made in the precision and
accuracy of both the tracer and meteorological data from, the CCB
experiments.  Recalibration of the tracer data has resulted in increased
precision and reliability of the concentrations.  Wind tunnel studies have
explained a large portion of the discrepancies between propellor and
cup-and-vane data, but some anomalies remain.  Corrections for orientation
of wind sets has improved the accuracy of wind direction data.

     Other improvements in data quality may be possible, but no firm basis
for making them is apparent.  The calibration and audit data for a few of
the meteorological instruments show some consistency, but whether this
results from chance or a truly persistent error in response remains a
question because so much of this data shows such large variations.
                                    303

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                                  SECTION 6

                  SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
                              FOR FURTHER STUDY

      This document has described in detail the further progress to date in
 correcting and  refining  the  CCB data bases, analyzing the case study
 experimental hours selected  for intensive study, and in improving the
 preliminary Neutral and  Impingement models and evaluating their
 performance.  In this section we present an overview of conclusions reached
 so  far.  Much of the technical analysis that underlies these findings is of
 very  recent completion,  and  further review, evaluation, and augmentation of
 these conclusions will undoubtedly be  required.
 6.1  Principal Accomplishments and Key Findings
     6.1.1  Data Base Refinements

     The first milestone report described some of the major uncertainties
and likely sources of error in the data obtained at CCB.  During the study
phase just completed, considerable effort was expended to revise the tracer
concentrations and meteorological data.  This sub-section summarizes these
activities.

     Tracer Concentration Data

     The mathematical functions used to fit gas chromatograph calibrations
were revised in order to reduce errors in tracer gas concentrations.  All
concentrations were recalculated by means of the new calibration functions.
The SFg and Freon 13B1 recount results were analyzed to estimate the
precision and lower quantifiable limits of the tracer gas analysis.

     The new calibration functions fit the calibration data within 15% for
all concentrations.  For concentrations below 1500 ppt the calibration fit
is within 5%.   The precision (expressed as the standard deviation) of the
SFg analyses varies with concentration.  In the range 10-20 ppt, the mean
precision is about 18% of the concentration; in the range 20-50 ppt the mean
precision is about 10%;  above 50 ppt the mean precision is about 5%.

     The lower quantifiable limit (defined as the concentration at which the
standard deviation of the analysis is 33% of the concentration) is about
10 ppt for SFg.  The precision of the Freon 13B1 analysis is about 74 ppt,
independent of concentration.  Therefore, the lower quantifiable limit for
Freon 13B1 analysis is about 220 ppt.
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     Meteorological Data

     In addition to problems of data loss or simple instrument malfunctions,
major difficulties which required corrective measures are associated with
basic inadequacies of the propellor anemometer (UVW) wind systems.  In
retrospect it is clear that their response characteristics differed
significantly from those of the cup and vane systems at CCB.  In particular
the UVW wind speed components were underestimated—sometimes slightly,
sometimes to a large degree—depending upon wind direction.  So far as we
have been able to determine, the patterns of UVW system underestimation were
caused by some combinations of:

     0    non-cosine response characteristics of the propellers used;
     •    wake effects of one propellor on another;
     •    wake effects of a propellor shaft or junction box on an adjacent
          propellor; and
     •    wake effects (shadowing) caused by the supporting tower.

The tower wake also affected winds measured by the cup and vane systems for
some wind directions.

     Corrections have been devised from comparisons of the UVW data with the
cup and vane data and from a recent wind tunnel test of the entire UVW wind
set.  These corrections improve the correspondence between winds measured by
the cups and props at the same heights.   The agreement is also improved by
correcting for errors made in orienting the wind sets to true north.  The
improvements are best, characteristically, for wind directions that do not
leave a wind set in the tower's wake.

     Although the 5-minute turbulence intensity data obtained by the UVW
wind sets undoubtedly contain similar deficiencies as those noted above, we
do not know of an appropriate method for "correcting" iy and iz for the
errors in propellor response characteristics.   In particular, the vertical
turbulence measurements,  so critical to describing crz in the model, are
almost assuredly underestimates of the actual  turbulence experienced.
Rather than running the risk of "correcting" them inappropriately, we have
elected to leave them as  they are.  However,  in modeling and data analysis
applications requiring 1-hour iz data we have  adjusted the data base iz
values in two ways.   Firstly,  a new 1-hour aw is computed from the
5-minute iz and wind speed values, and this aw is then scaled by the
1-hour scalar average horizontal wind speed.   Secondly,  adjustments for prop
response suggested by Horst (1973) were applied.

     The temperature data have not been adjusted on the  basis of the QA
audit dta.  The maximum error detected in the  QA audits  of the, temperature
systems was 0.4°C,  but it was  not duplicated  in the two  audits  done only a
few days apart.   In fact, the  general inconsistency between the errors in
temperature systems  found in the two audits suggestes  that the  magnitude of
the errors approaches the resolution of the audit procedures.
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     Overall, the revised tracer and meteorological data bases provide a
much better foundation for model development and evaluation, and we are
confident that the many lessons learned at CCB will directly benefit the
quality of data obtained in the next field program.

     6.1.2  Investigations of Plume Growth

     Some exploratory work has been done to compare the photographic
evidence for vertical plume spread with contemporaneous tower data.  The
vertical growth of the visible plume as determined from the plume
photographs agrees reasonably well with tower observations of vertical
turbulence intensity for time averages of 30 minutes or more, but the
agreement for time averages of five minutes is poor.  In some light wind
cases, the sinusoidal-like variations in vertical dispersion seen in the
photos are out of phase by 20 to 30 minutes with the variations identified
in the tower data.

     In a parallel effort, the lidar measurements of short term average
0V and az have been plotted as functions of downwind distance x.
These show very little variation with x, but when plume meander is accounted
for in the hourly averages, 0y is seen to be proportional to x and the
proportionality factor is equal to the lateral turbulence intensity.  Light
wind, stable conditions appear to be necessary but not sufficient for large
values of iy.  Under the same conditions vertical turbulence intensity can
be high, due perhaps to transfer of gravity wave energy into the vertical
component.

     A number of time series analyses were made to examine the spectral
characteristics of the wind components.  These analyses show turbulent
energy maximums at periods of one or two hours, suggesting that this energy
may translate into gradual meandering of the plume across CCB during the
course of an hour.

     One-hour average crz values (computed  from Equation 47 with 1-hour
iz values adjusted for prop response characteristics and  interpolated to
release height) have been compared with effective  1-hour  average az
values obtained from lidar data.  The comparisons  indicate that, in general,
Equation 47  estimates crz to within a factor of 2 when  the parameter p is
set equal to 1.5.


      6.1.3   Investigations of Flow Patterns

      The integral method of calculating Hc appears  to  be  a successful
estimator of dividing streamline heights  (and therefore of plume flow
regions) at  CCB.   Plumes released below HC  tended  to wander  from side to
side  without flowing directly over the hill; plumes released close to Hc
travelled directly into  the hill, rising along the  surface as  they flowed
either around one  side  of  the hill or  over the saddle;  plumes  released well
above Hc travelled freely over  the top of  the hill, usually with very
small impact.
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     The isentrope analysis suggests that flow above Hc behaves much like
a weakly stratified flow (FrjjXL).  The streamline heights over the south
peak of CCB were plotted against their inferred heights well upwind.
Although the scatter is large, the points do show a tendency to cluster in a
near-neutral zone, as predicted from physical modeling studies and theory.
The analysis explicitly accounts for a dead layer below Hc, and the
results suggest that a modeling method which subtracts out the dead layer of
height HC and then treats the flow above HC as neutral flow may be
consistent with flows over CCB.

     Theory predicts that in weakly stratified flow over a hill, lee wave
effects begin to influence the pattern of flow over the hill when Frj, is
less than about unity.  Observer comments, photos, and lidar data at CCB all
suggest that streamline depressions occurred in the lee of CCB for values of
FrL <0.7.  SFg measurements show'that tracer concentrations on the lee
side were often larger than those on the windward side of the hill.
However, the role of streamline depression and plume distortion in producing
the larger concentrations has not been established.

     As expected, the relative locations of peak tracer concentrations on
CCB depended to a great extent on the ratio of release height to HC.  When
plumes were released above Hc, the larger concentrations were generally
found either over the top of the hill or on the lee side.  The position of
these larger concentrations appears to be dictated more by the size of
0Z rather than by FrL.  When plumes were released below HCs the
larger concentrations were found primarily on the windward side of the hill,
but not necessarily near the release height.  Although some degree of
streamline lift was visually evident, vertical mixing at times was
sufficient to produce peak concentrations at receptors below the release
height.

     Effects of directional wind shear can be of central importance for low
release heights at CCB.  Some evidence of increased plume dispersion close
to the base of the hill may be associated with such a shear zone.  In these
cases the highest concentrations were found below the release heights.
     6.1.4  Model Modifications and Testing

     Several modifications have been made to the Impingement and Neutral
models since their evaluation in the first milestone report.  The purposes
of these changes is to increase their applicability to more general terrain
shapes, and to increase their ability to respond to changes in important
meteorological parameters.  The new versions of these models have been named
Wrap and Lift, respectively.
     The formulation for oz has been altered in both models.
Now a.
(Equation 47) grows like awt for travel times small compared to 1/N,
where N is the Brunt—Vaisala frequency.  This change has very little effect
on the size of az for most values of N encountered at CCB.  However,
when N becomes small (weak density stratification), the new expression for
a z no longer tends to overestimate the size of the plume.

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     The Gaussian probability density function for the wind direction was
replaced by the probability density function (PDF) constructed from the
5-minute averaged wind directions.  With this change,  both models are able
to simulate concentration patterns better when the wind distribution is
decidedly non-Gaussian.

     The Wrap model allows estimates of concentrations in a band around the
hill for elevations near the height of release.  Formerly, the model only
provided a concentration estimate for the stagnation point.

     The Lift model allows for broad differences in hill shape.  The shape
of the hill in the crosswind direction is characterized by an overall radius
of curvature which determines the amount of horizontal distortion produced
in the plume as the plume travels over the hill.  A large radius
characterizes a very broad terrain feature, and produces relatively little
horizontal plume distortion.  The curvature is also used to interpolate
between empirically suggested limits for the terrain correction factor
(Tc): 0.5 for R/H ^ 1, 1.0 for R/H »1.

     In addition,the Lift model accounts for stratification effects by
treating the layer below Hc as a "dead" layer.  This supposes that the
dynamics of the flow above HC are similar to weakly stratified (near
neutral) flow.  However, because none of the flow below HC is allowed over
the hill, the plume above Hc passes closer to the hill surface as Hc is
increased.

     An evaluation of both the new and old versions of the models has been
completed for 14 of the 45 hours modeled in the first milestone report.  The
results are presented in Section 4, and summarized in detail in
Section 4.15.  These are the general qualitative results:

     •    Use of the actual wind direction PDF rather than a Gaussian
          distribution is critical when the winds are light and variable -
          especially for Wrap model calculations.  This modification is the
          major reason for the improved results of the Wrap model.  However,
          use of a PDF when winds are fairly steady could degrade model
          performance if wind data at the release height are unavailable.
          In this case a Gaussian distribution may be a fair approximation
          to a peaked PDF.  Use of a Gaussian distribution with iy values
          interpolated to release height is often better than use of the
          nearest "representative" PDF measured at some other height on the
          tower.

     •    Lift overestimates concentrations on the windward side of the hill
          at times.  To alleviate this problem, further modifications may be
          needed to account for a "dynamic" HC surface (one that may rise
          part way up the hill), or to account for (as yet conjectured)
          convergence effects caused by the topography at CCB.

     •    A good estimate of az (x) in the absence of the hill is
          crucial to evaluating the structure of the models.  Both Neutral
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          and Lift overestimate concentrations by a wide margin at times,
          apparently because 
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     The modifications we have made to the models encourage their
applicability to sites other than CCB, and make them more useful for
estimating concentrations over several hours.  The Lift model incorporates a
measure of the crosswind aspect ratio of the terrain feature.  The Wrap
model estimates concentrations at more than one point across the hill
surface.  For both models, estimates can be averaged over a 24-hour period,
for example.

     The Wrap model estimates (and, in fact, the observed concentrations)
are very sensitive to the actual shape of the horizontal wind direction
distribution when the winds are very light and variable.  When the plume is
released above Hc, concentrations over the top of the hill are extremely
sensitive to the size of az.  Therefore, the meteorological data should
be measured on-site, at levels representative of plume height.  This is
strongly underscored by the CCB field results; often the meteorological data
available within 20-30 m of the release height were inadequate to describe
wind characteristics at release height at the same moment in time.  This is
especially true under conditions of light winds and very stable flow.

     A number of uncertainties must be better bounded to make further
progress in the development of these complex terrain models.  Because of
uncertain CTZ values for a number of the case hours studied, an adequate
evaluation of the terrain factor formulation in Lift could not be
completed.  We need to decide, with better assurance than we now have,
whether or not the simple way we interpolated Tc is appropriate (for CCB
at least); and we also must learn whether the scheme is appropriate for
other differently-shaped hills.  We expect, for example, that the strength
of the thermal stratification above and below Hc may influence Tc but
any such effects in the case studies at CCB were probably masked by az
uncertainties.

     Although HC differentiated well between "neutral" and "stable" layers
at CCB, we must see if the HC parameter works as well in distinguishing
flow regimes for two-dimensional ridges.  Most of the modeling concepts we
have adopted should be evaluated at a ridge site.   These include: terrain
correction factors, plume distortion, and dynamics of flow around (or along)
the terrain.  At CCB,  plume material below Hc could pass over the
saddle—but we cannot  answer the question:  How high might the plume have
risen if there were no draw or saddle at CCB?

     We have also made some untested conjectures about convergence or
channeling effects in the draws at CCB.  These should be evaluated, because
they could have broad  applicability to a wide range of terrain shapes.

     Some recommended  approaches for addressing these problem? are presented
in the next section.
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6.3  Recommendations for Further Study

     More information is needed to better evaluate the individual algorithms
describing flow and dispersion around CCB, and also to extend the
formulation to other sites.  This information can be acquired through
additional analyses of the CCB data base, new and old fluid modeling
investigations, and new or recently acquired field measurements.

     Flow, Turbulence, Waves, and Eddies

     Although 1-hour iz data measured away from the hill at Tower A
compare favorably with 1-hour iz values inferred from averages of
photographic and lidar scanning of the oil-fog plume, the correspondence
among 5-minute data was not as good.  This was attributed in part to spatial
and temporal variability in the turbulence field.  Because there appeared to
be some organization to this variability, the role of gravity waves and
eddies was postulated.  More analysis of the data is needed to better define
the source of this variability, and to understand the mechanisms of
turbulence production in the flow at CCB.

     Because the flow structure over the hill changes over periods of one
hour, and because the turbulence also changes, any relationship between the
flow field and the turbulence field could be important in modeling  the
1-hour average concentration field correctly.  Analyses of profiles of
winds, turbulence, and temperatures measured away from the hill at Tower A
and over the hill at Tower B will be undertaken to identify the
characteristics of the spatial and temporal variability in the turbulence
field (particularly iz), to relate these characteristics to the local
dynamic stability of the flow reflected in the wind and temperature
profiles, and to assess the importance of flow variability and turbulence
intermittancy in modeling 1-hour average concentrations.
     The expression for 0Z currently in the models includes a trend with
distance that is in general agreement with 1-hour averages of lidar
measurements upwind of CCB.  Because the interpretation of concentrations
over the top and back sides of the hill depends critically on knowing what
the "flat terrain" value of az would have been at corresponding
distances, the assumed distance dependence of az should be validated at
larger distances from the source.  In addition, because the az equation
was adjusted to the lidar data through the parameter p, an independent check
on the value of this parameter is needed.              ,

     Information required to perform these analyses may indeed be available
in the CCB lidar data base, but at present we simply do not know whether or
not sufficient lidar sampling data were obtained from plumes passing well to
the side of the hill, because to date only a portion of the CCB lidar data
has been reduced.  Supplementary information may also be available from the
experiments conducted at the BAO tower by WPL; again, we do not know at
present.  This is one of the key modeling purposes, we feel, to be- addressed
                                    313   3

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in a comprehensive lidar plume sampling program.  Plans should be made to
sample plumes released during this fall's field experiment at the Hogback
with this in mind.

     Analysis of Tc

     The terrain correction factor Tc is controlled by turbulence levels
over the hill in concert with plume deformation.  Therefore, we do not
expect Tc to be a simple function of overall terrain shape only.  Neither
do we anticipate that all complex terrain modeling can be formulated wholly
in terms of Tc and level terrain Gaussian plume models.  However, we do
feel that Tc, as inferred from observed concentrations and estimated
(level terrain) concentrations, can be useful in assessing the importance of
deformation and turbulence as a function of hill shape, meteorology, and
location (i.e., crest, lee, or windward face).

     With progress in reliably estimating plume growth (see az
discussion above) in stably stratified flows over flat terrain, especially
over downwind distances of 1-2 km at CCB, inferred Tc patterns may be more
instructive.  However, a better method for calculating Tc patterns is
needed to remove differences between the modeled plume trajectory and the
average of observed plume trajectories (as reflected in the distribution of
tracer gas concentrations).  One method to be evaluated is a wind direction
optimization scheme which would compute a plume trajectory that would be
consistent with the observed concentration field.  Once useful Tc patterns
are developed, they will guide the investigation of plume deformation and
turbulence mechanisms.  This study will rely on analyses of wind and
temperature data from the five meteorological towers on CCB to discern flow
field characteristics, and it will also rely on an analysis of turbulence
daL- measured at these towers as well as those measured in the flow away
from the hill (tower A) to discern changes in turbulence over the hill.

     Additional information can be extracted from fluid modeling studies
already completed for a range of simplified terrain shapes and meteorology.
Further analyses of these studies should help in interpreting the more
complicated patterns of Tc values inferred from observed concentrations at
CCB; and they should also provide an additional source of data for
developing and testing models for estimating the effects of flow deformation
and turbulence on plumes in complex terrain.  The data to be obtained at the
Hogback will similarly help to illuminate the structure of Tc for flows in
ridge geometries

     Generalization of HC
     HC has been found to be a very useful measure to differentiate flow
behavior at CCB.  Because the simple energy balance argument implicit in
Hc is at least as applicable to ideal two-dimensional flows as it is to a
three-dimensional hill, HC should be, we expect, equally useful in
describing flows near long ridges.  Because flows over ridges at low Froude
numbers are very difficult to simulate correctly in tow tanks because of
nonstationarity (see Appendix), the field program at the Hogback offers the
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best present opportunity to acquire physical data to evaluate the usefulness
of Hc in describing flows toward a ridge feature.

     Dynamics of the HC Surface

     flows above and below HC have been modeled as though the two regions
were completely independent.  This is a convenient simplification, but it
fails to reproduce important features of the observed flow field and tracer
concentration pattern.  Because the theory describing the dynamics of the
flow near Hc is inherently non-linear, simple adjustments are better
parameterized and validated through field experiment and fluid modeling.  By
putting more emphasis on describing the structure of the flow near the Hc
surface, we hope to make progress in coupling the Lift and Wrap model
concepts together in one model for complex terrain applications.

     Much has already been learned from fluid modeling studies of stratified
flow over simple hill shapes.  This information should be included in the
model' formulations.  Also, more information may be obtained from additional
analyses of the CCB temperature data (e.g., performing the isentropic
analysis with the data from the 10-m towers on CCB).

     Flow Channeling Effects

     Small scale variations in the inferred terrain correction factors may
arise because of local terrain effects.  The analysis of concentration
patterns at CCB suggest the possibility of flow channeling, which is
important because it would tend to encourage plume material to flow up and
over the saddle between the two peaks in very stable conditions (when the
plume might otherwise be expected to travel around the sides) and also
because it would tend to lift a plume in neutral flow farther from the
surface of the saddle.

     Perhaps the best method for studying this type of topographical effect
is fluid modeling:   a simple experiment could be designed to compare
streamline heights over the center of a model of CCB with streamline heights
over a modified model of CCB with the peaks removed.  (Other small
irregularities would be smoothed out of both models).  The intent of such an
experiment is to search for a suitable parameterization of channeling
effects, which could be applied in the model for terrain features with gaps.
                                    315  5

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Van Ulden, A.P. 1978. Simple Estimates for Vertical  Diffusion  from Sources
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Wyngaard, J.C. 1981. Cup, Propeller, Vane, and  Sonic Anemometers in
      Turbulence Research. Annual Review of  Fluid Mechanics, 13;  399-423.
                                     318

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                     APPENDIX A
THE STRUCTURE OF STRONGLY STRATIFIED FLOW OVER HILLS
             DIVIDING STREAMLINE CONCEPT
                          319

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   THE STRUCTURE OF STRONGLY STRATIFIED FLOW OVER HILLS
                Dividing-Streamline  Concept
                    William H. Snyder1
                    Roger S. Thompson
                    Robert E. Eskridgel
                    Robert E. Lawson, Jr.l

             Meteorology & Assessment Division
        Environmental Sciences Research Laboratory
              Environmental Protection Agency
             Research Triangle Park,  NC  27711
                       Ian P.  Castro
           Department of Mechanical Engineering
                   University of Surrey
            Guildford, Surrey, England GU2 5XH
                         J.T. Lee
              Los Alamos National Laboratory
                   Los Alamos,  NM  87545
                     Julian C.R.  Hunt2
 Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics
                  University of Cambridge
                Cambridge, England CBS 9EW
                       Yasushi Ogawa
       National Institute for Environmental Studies
              P.O.  Yatabe,  Ibaraki 305,  Japan
                        August 1982
1)  On assignment from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
    Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

2)  Also, Department of Engineering.
                            320

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                                   PREFACE

     This report pulls together the results of a whole series of experiments
done by numerous investigators and for a variety of different purposes.  The
overall objective, of course, was to gain fundamental understanding of flow
and diffusion under stably stratified conditions in complex terrain, but the
individual projects were designed with very specific purposes in mind.
Nevertheless, one aspect of each of the projects was to examine the concept
of a dividing-streamline height, as it has very important consequences in
the assessment of pollutant concentrations in complex terrain.  This paper
was written for submission to a journal for possible publication; its
inclusion as an appendix to the CTMD second milestone report is felt to be
justified on the basis of providing additional support and guidance to
(1) mathematical modelers attempting to expand their models to include a
wide variety of terrain shapes and approach flows and (2) planners of the
second Small Hill Impaction Study which is to take place at The Hogback
Ridge in northwestern New Mexico, a very long, 100 m high ridge of fairly
steep slope that is cut periodically by narrow river valleys.   Because of
the urgency in getting information to the planners and modelers as soon as
possible, the paper is included here in essentially draft stage.
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                                  ABSTRACT

     Several laboratory experiments are described that test the
applicability of an integral formula for the dividing-streamline height in
strongly stable flow over hills.  The dividing-streamline concept is based
upon simple energy arguments; fluid parcels originating far upstream of a
hill at elevations HR above the dividing-streamline height Hs will have
sufficient kinetic energy to rise over the top, whereas those below Hs
must pass around the sides.  The concept is found to be valid when
interpreted as a necessary but not sufficient condition for wide ranges of
hill shapes, density profile shapes, and wind angles, and in strong shear
flows as well.  Further, studies on strongly stratified flow over
two-dimensional hills show that steady-state conditions are not established
in a finite-length towing tank; these measurements also suggest that a very
long tank would be required for steady-state conditions to be established
upstream of long ridges with small gaps and cast doubt upon the validity of
previous laboratory studies.
                                     322

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                                  SECTION 1

                                INTRODUCTION

     Hunt and Snyder (1980) conducted towing-tank experiments to test
Drazin's (1961) theory for low-Froude-number flow over three-dimensional
obstacles.  They verified that for a bell-shaped hill, a linearly stratified
environment and an effectively uniform approach-flow velocity profile,
Drazin's theory was applicable in the range F<0.4, where F is the Froude
number (F=U/Nh, U being the towing speed, N the Brunt-Vaisala frequency and
h the hill height).  They showed evidence for a dividing streamline (on the
center plane determined by the flow and the axis of the axisymmetric hill)
of height Hs such that streamlines below Hs would impinge on the hill
surface and follow the surface around the sides, whereas streamlines above
Hs would go over the top.  Moreover, they suggested the simple formula
     H  = h(l-F)
                                                         (1)
as the criterion for determining whether a plume embedded in the flow
approaching the hill would impact on the surface or surmount the top, for
     Snyder et al. (1980) presented further laboratory evidence in support
of the simple formula; they showed that it was applicable to other shapes of
axisymmetric hills, including a cone and a hemisphere.  Furthermore, they
presented another simple formula (and experimental data to support it) for
determining whether an elevated (step) inversion would surmount a hill.
This second formula is
 1/2               1/2
I    =  (2(h/hQ-D)
                                                                          (2)
where g is the acceleration due to gravity, h0 is the height of the
interface, Ap is the density difference across the interface^ and p]_
is the density of the fluid between the interface and the surface.

     A more general formula for determining this dividing-streamline height
was, in fact, suggested by Sheppard (1956), based upon simple energy
arguments.  He asked the question:  in a strongly stratified flow
approaching a hill, does a particular fluid parcel at some height upstream
                                     323

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possess sufficient kinetic energy to overcome the potential energy required to
lift the parcel through the (potential) density gradient from its upstream
elevation to the top of the hill?  His formula may be written as
(H )
  s
                  g
                                                                          (3)
where the left side may be interpreted as the kinetic energy of the fluid
parcel far upstream at elevation Hs, and the right side as the potential
energy gained by the parcel in being lifted from the dividing streamline
Hs to the hill top h through the density gradient dp/dz.  This integral
formula is, of course, applicable to a fluid with any shape of stable
density profile and, presumably, with any shape of approach-flow velocity
profile.  In practice, it must be solved in iterative fashion, since the
unknown Hs is the lower limit of integration.  It is not difficult to show
that the formula reduces to the simpler formulas (1) and (2) using the
boundary conditions applicable to those special cases.

     The concept of a dividing-streamline height, of course, has very
important consequences in the assessment of pollutant concentrations from
sources located in or near complex terrain.  For example, because of the
essentially horizontal flow field below Hs, plume diffusion from a point
source can be modeled by considering horizontal flow and horizontal
diffusion alone, i.e., the three-dimensional problem is reduced to a
two-dimensional one of diffusion from a line source about a circular
cylinder (Hunt et al. 1979).  This treatment suggests, and experiments by
Snyder et al. (1980) support, that maximum surface concentrations under such
conditions may approach or even exceed those that would have existed at the
center of the plume in the absence of the hill.  These concentrations are,
of course, very much larger than would be obtained from a plume diffusing
normally onto a surface.

     Questions that naturally arise concern the applicability of the simple
integral formula and these laboratory results to the atmosphere.  For
example, is the formula still applicable as the hill is elongated into a
ridge?  What if the ridge is not perpendicular to the approach wind?  Is the
hill slope important?  What is the effect of shear in the approach flow, as
most certainly occurs in the atmosphere?  And, of course, the density
structure of the approach flow is seldom linear; more typical is a strong
surface-based inversion with a weaker gradient approaching neutral above.

     A few other studies have shed light on some of these problems.  Baines
(1979), for example, conducted towing tank studies of low-Froude-number
flows around a barrier with a gap.  His results suggest
     Hs/h = 1-2F
                                                              (4)
                                     324

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for barriers with very small gaps, tending toward Hs/h = 1-F for those
with wider gaps.  Weil et al. (1981) conducted similar towing-tank studies,
extending the work of Baines, and found quite similar results.  However,
some doubts are expressed (see later discussion) concerning (1) the
experimental techniques, (2) the establishment of "steady-state" conditions,
and (3) the interpretation of results in view of the fairly substantial
scatter in the data.

     Data from a field study by Rowe et al. (1982) of stable air flow over a
"long" ridge show much better agreement with the data for axisymmetric hills
(Equation 1) than for ridges with gaps (Equation 4).

     A major field study was designed (Holzworth 1980) and the first phase
was conducted (Spangler and Taylor 1982; Lavery et al. 1982 a&b) based
partly upon the results of the laboratory studies described above.  This
field study also tended to confirm Equation 3; indeed, Hs was computed in
real-time from incoming meteorological data and used to determine
operational strategy during the field experiment.

     In conjunction with that field study, several more laboratory
experiments were conducted to test the general validity of the integral
formula (Equation 3) and to assess its limits of applicability.  These
laboratory experiments included:

     1)   Towing tank studies on a model of the field-study hill called
          Cinder Cone Butte in southwestern Idaho.  It is an isolated, 100 m
          high, roughly axisymmetric hill in the flat, broad Snake River
          Basin.  Density profiles were set up in the tank to simulate (in
          somewhat idealized fashion) those expected during the field-study
          period, i.e., strong surface-based inversions over a fraction of
          the hill height with weaker (but stable) gradients above to
          several hill heights,  and towing speeds were established to
          simulate field conditions.  Dividing-streamline heights were
          calculated according to Equation 3 and neutrally buoyant,
          different-colored dyes were released upstream slightly above, at
          and slightly below the calculated Hs.   Visual and photographic
          observations were made to establish an observed
          dividing-streamline height, which was then compared with the
          predicted dividing-streamline height.
     2)   Towing tank studies on truncated, steep-sided ridges of various
          crosswind aspect ratios.  These included examination of upstream
          "blockage" regions, surface flow patterns and lee-wave structure
          and will be reported separately (Castro and Snyder 1982);  only
          those aspects dealing specifically with the dividing-streamline
          concept will >be reported here.
     3)   Stratified wind tunnel studies on shear flow over vertical fences
          of various crosswind aspect ratios and over a model of Cinder Cone
          Butte.
     4)   Towing tank studies on a truncated sinusoidal ridge with a maximum
          slope of 40° positioned perpendicular and at other angles  to the
          approach wind direction.
                                    325

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     5)   Towing tank studies on an "infinite" triangular ridge and a long
          sinusoidal ridge to test the validity of the "steady-state"
          assumption of flow upwind of an obstacle under strongly stratified
          conditions.
     The results of these laboratory experiments are reported herein.
Section 2 provides a rigorous derivation of Sheppard's integral formula and
presents a discussion of blockage effects and upstream influence.
Experimental apparatus, techniques and models are described in Section 3.
Results are presented in Section 4 and conclusions in Section 5.
                                     326

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                                  SECTION 2

                      REVIEW OF THEORY AND EXPERIMENTS
2.1  Overview

     Several theoretical and experimental studies have been performed to
analyze the influence of two-dimensional objects on stratified flow.  Much of
the work has been concerned with describing the formation and structure of
lee waves.  Some effort, however, has been directed towards determining
conditions under which the upstream flow may be "blocked" by the obstacle.  A
description of the path of the dividing streamline for two-dimensional hills
would prove useful in determining the fate of pollutants released upwind of
such hills.

     Laboratory studies have been performed by towing freely-mounted or
surface-mounted, two-dimensional objects in layered or continuously
stratified tanks.  Many questions remain as to how the results of these
experiments performed in a tank of finite depth and length apply to the
atmosphere.  The dimensions of the tank determine possible wave motions of
the fluid.

     One feature of stratified experiments conducted in finite towing tanks
that has not been adequately addressed is how the upstream conditions change
during a tow.  A fixed end on the tank provides a uniform approach velocity
profile at a distance upstream of the obstacle that varies as the experiment
progresses.  If fluid is blocked by the obstacle, the density gradient will
be modified by the blocked fluid as the blockage influence is observed
farther and farther upstream.  The assumption usually made, that the approach
flow density gradient remains, throughout the tow, equivalent to the density
gradient at the onset of the tow, could lead to a misinterpretation of the
ob s erva t ions.

     In applying the theory of the dividing-streamline height to
three-dimensional axisymmetric hills, the portion of the flow with
insufficient energy to surmount the hill top was able to pass around the
sides.  However, the fluid blocked by a two-dimensional hill is trapped
upstream.  If the aspect ratio (width of hill perpendicular to flow divided
by hill height) is taken as the experimental variable, the value at which the
centerline flow deviates from the patterns established for axisymmetric cases
can be determined.  A complication that arises in towing tank experiments is
that the amount of the test section cross-sectional area that is blocked must
remain below some limiting value.  As will be discussed later, the ratio of
the area occupied by the model to the area that would be occupied if the
model were extended to the width of the tank is important in stratified flow.
                                    327

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     Long (1953, 1954, 1955) performed both theoretical'and experimental
analyses of two-layer and continuously stratified flow over "easy" shapes in
a finite tank.  Long made the hypothesis of an undisturbed approach flow at a
sufficient distance upstream of the obstacle.  He was interested in the
upstream propagation of gravity waves rather than blockage effects, and thus,
did not perform experiments at low Froude numbers.  The reality of Long's
hypothesis has been the subject of much controversy and has been discussed by
Long (1972), Mclntyre (1972) and more recently by Baines (1977).  Application
of Long's hypothesis to a tank experiment implies that for a portion of the
experiment, presumably near the middle of the tow, a "steady-state" exists.

     Wei et al. (1975) towed a 1-inch circular cylinder, a 2-inch circular
cylinder, and a 1-inch flat plate through a linearly stratified fluid.
Upstream columnar disturbance modes were observed for Froude numbers based on
the half depth of the tank from 0.084 to 0.24.  The disturbances appeared as
unattenuated horizontal jets.  Froude numbers based on the radius of the
cylinders (or half-width of the plate) ranged from 0.78 to 4.72.  The larger
cylinder towed at a Froude number of 0.78 was the only case with a Froude
number less than 1.0.  In this case, the fluid to at least 27 radii upstream
approached the cylinder at a speed of about 0.7 times the towing speed.  A
layer of blocked fluid was not apparent.  A tow at a Froude number of 1.10
exhibited a fluid layer upstream of the cylinder with a speed toward the
cylinder of 0.9 times the towing speed.  This layer extended upstream a
distance of at least 27 times the radius of the cylinder.

     Baines (1979) studied stratified flow past a surface-mounted,
two-dimensional barrier and barriers with gaps at the ends with gap widths
G = 1/16, 1/8 and 3/8 (G is defined as the fraction of area removed from the
model that spans the width of the tank).  The cross-section of the hill was a
"Witch of Agnesi" shape with a maximum slope of 39.4°.  Neutrally buoyant
beads were placed in the fluid to observe the flow over the two-dimensional
model.  The flow over models with gaps was observed by releasing dye at
various heights upstream.  The density of the dye was adjusted to be
neutrally buoyant at approximately one-half of the barrier height.  Thus,
when the release was below this height, the dye was buoyant.  The magnitude
of the errors introduced by this buoyancy was not addressed.

     Baines made his observation "after steady-state was reached (estimated
by direct observation) and before the reflected upstream motions arrived".
The criterion for the existence of blocked fluid upstream of a
two-dimensional barrier was found to be F < 0.5 (±0.05) based on the
barrier height.  The depth of blocked fluid was found to be approximately 0.5
and essentially independent of Froude number.  For the barriers with gaps of
G - 1/16 and 1/8, he concluded that the blockage criterion for the
two-dimensional case applied.  Further, the height of the dividing streamline
was found to be given by h(l-2F).  However, for the barrier with G = 3/8, the
dividing-streamline height (as deduced from Baines1 Figure 7) was more nearly
h(l-0.7F).
                                    328

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     Overall, observations of Weil et al. (1981) tended to support those of
Baines (1979), but regarding the depth of blocked fluid upwind of a
two-dimensional ridge, Weil et al. found zb/h = 1-2F, as opposed to the
nearly constant depth of zb/h = 0.5 for 0
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The hydrostatic balance of the atmosphere can be expressed as

     dP
     dz
                                                                         (6)
where the subscript e is used to denote a local environmental value.
the assumption that P = Pe and combine Equations 5 and 6 to get
                                                                      Recall
          + gz)
                      g dz
                                                           (7)
Application of the equation of state for dry air yields

        2     T_T
             C-) g dz
                                                                         (8)
where T is the absolute temperature.  Assuming the existence of a streamline
originating at a height Hs that approaches a stagnation point on the
hilltop (z=h), Equation 8 can be integrated between these limits to obtain
the integral formula
      2           ,h
     q (HJ - 2g , R
                       T-T
                                                                         (9)
Since the parcel moves adiabatically, T = Te (Hs) +Ycl(z-Hs), where
Yd is the dry adiabatic lapse rate.  Thus,
     q (Hs) =-
                        e   s
                           T  (z)
                            e
                                               -dz
                                                          (10)
This expression can be written in terms of potential temperature 6 through
the application of Poisson's equation
               0.286
     e
                                                                        (11)
Integrating by parts,  and noting that 8e  (Hs)/0e(z)  =: 1,

      2         fh

       CH°)=2S ' \  -p
rh  ,
    h-z
l*«*^
(22S) dz
 dz
                                                                        (12)
Equation (10), however, is a simpler computational form.
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     To obtain a corresponding formula for flow in a water tank, Equation 7
can be written as
      = g(
               p-p
                     dz*
                                                                        (13)
where z* is directed downward (models are inverted and towed along the
surface of the water tank).  Again, assuming the existence of a dividing
streamline, Equation 13 can be integrated to obtain
 2
q (H *) = 2g
    s     P
                         h
                        J    Po (z*)dz* - g(h-H *)
                         H *  e
(14)
Adding and subtracting hpe(h) and integrating by parts gives
                e  s
                            a-*)
                                                                   (15)
 In general, these formulas must be solved iteratively to obtain the height
 of the dividing streamline.

     As was pointed out earlier, this  formula may be reduced to Hs/h =  1-F
 under conditions of uniform velocity and linear density gradient.  This
 assumes that all kinetic energy is converted into potential energy.  A more
 general formula allowing for only a portion of the kinetic energy to be
 converted  is Hs/h = 1  - aF, with OKI.   In neutral flows, the
 pressure field set up  by the body will allow kinetic energy along a
 streamline to increase (e.g.,  speed-up over a hill).  Hence, a is not
 necessarily less than  1 for all F, but the pressure effects are expected  to
 be small for F<1.  The data of Baines  (1979) and Weil et al. (1981),
 however, suggest that  a is greater than 1.0, indeed, as  large as 2.0 for
 long ridges with narrow gaps.  As discussed in the next  section and as  shown
 by the  experiments described in Section 4, the validity  of their
 experiments, or at least the applicability of their results to the
 atmosphere, is questioned.

 2.3  The Squashing Phenomenon

     Drazin's  (1961)  theory of flow over hills suggests  that in the  limit of
 extreme stability  (F •> 0), vertical motions are  inhibited, i.e., the flow
 is constrained  to move in  horizontal  planes.  Let us now imagine a
 stratified towing  tank of  finite  length L  in which we tow a two-dimensional
 obstacle of finite height  h  at very  low speed  (i.e., approaching F  =  0).
 Let  us  further  imagine that the fluid is incompressible  and that the tow  is
 begun at one  end  of  the  tank.   The  fluid initially  in the  layer between the
                                     331

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top and bottom of the obstacle must conserve its volume (Lh) because of the
incompressibility assumption.  Hence, as the distance between the obstacle
and the opposite end wall of the tank decreases (even infinitesimally), the
height of the layer increases (also infinitesimally).  What happens in
practice, of course, is that this fluid spills over the top and/or bottom of
the obstacle, filling the void behind it.  If the obstacle moves a
distance x down the tank, a volume hx is displaced and fills the void in the
lee.  Because of the inhibition of vertical motions, the fluid filling the
void must come from thin layers just below the top and just above the bottom
of the obstacle.  Because there are no dynamics involved (U -> 0), these
layers must extend from the obstacle to the opposite end of the tank, and
their thicknesses are xh/2(L-x) each.

     The fluid remaining in the space ahead of the obstacle has its density
gradient modified by the multiplicative factor 1-x/L.  This phenomenon will
be referred to as the "squashing" phenomenon in analogy with water spilling
over the top of a bucket when the sides are "squashed".  These finite
changes in height of fluid parcels upstream of the obstacle are prohibited
by Drazin's theory, which allows only infinitesimal changes of elevation as
the velocity approaches zero.

     Of course, in a real towing tank, the obstacle must be towed at some
finite speed, so that dynamics must become important.  However, Drazin's
theory has been largely confirmed experimentally and extended (ultimately to
F - 1) by Riley et al. (1976), Brighton (1978) and Hunt and Snyder (1980),
and the experiments to be described  in Section 4 certainly confirm the
existence of essentially horizontal  flow around three-dimensional obstacles
(including very long ridges) below some height Hs (indeed, the formula
Hs/h = 1-F was derived by Hunt and Snyder (1980) on the basis of Drazin's
theory, not as a special case from Sheppard's integral formula).  Hence, we
might expect Drazin's theory (and Sheppard's formula) to apply to alj^
obstacle shapes, including two-dimensional ones.

     The results of Baines (1979) and Weil et al. (1981) for two-dimensional
ridges and ridges with small gaps were surprising because they suggested
that fluid parcels could surmount the hills even though they had
insufficient kinetic energy far upwind to do so.  It is here suggested that
their results are due largely to the squashing phenomenon, i.e., the gaps in
their ridges were insufficiently large to allow a "relief value" to avoid
the squashing.

     This squashing phenomenon seems to have no counterpart in the
atmosphere.  If true blocking occurred upwind of an "infinite" ridge in the
atmosphere,  it seems that the flow would be blocked to infinity upwind
(i.e., there is no "end-wall" forcing the flow toward the ridge).  In more
practical terms, "blocking" upstream of a very long ridge would imply
"upstream influence" to very large distances, possibly through an upstream
propagating  front, which would imply non-steady-state behavior.  From
another viewpoint, there are no infinite ridges, so that fluid parcels can
always be diverted around the obstacles without changing their elevation.
                                     332 -

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2.4  Upstream Influence and Blocking of Flow over Hills

     The energy argument given in Section 2.2 assumes steady-state
conditions upwind of the obstacle.  The very low Froude number arguments of
Section 2.3 show that the density profile is continuously modified as, an
obstacle is towed along the tank, due to the squashing phenomenon.  At small
but finite Froude number (say, 0.1 < F < 1), it is well known that the
steady-state assumption is incorrect upwind of two-dimensional obstacles.
"Columnar disturbance modes", which are gravity waves of wave number zero,
can propagate upstream.  They are not generated near the obstacle, but in
the tails or terminal zones of the lee waves (Mclntyre, 1972).

     The dispersion equation for waves in a tank of finite depth d is (see
Turner 1979; Wei et al. 1975)                                  .,    .
     w (k +
              2 2
            4n ir
     2 2
•) - N k - = 0
(16)
where k=2rr/X is the horizontal wave number, n is the mode in the
vertical, and w is the circular frequency.  Columnar disturbance modes, k=0,
have frequency w=0, but group velocity
             If
                                                       (17)
     Since energy is transported at the group velocity, when Cg(n) > U,
energy will be transmitted upstream of the obstacle.  Upstream disturbances
are thus generated whenever
           -
          Nd
                 mr
                                                        (18)
When 1/2TT < F < 1/TT, only one mode can propagate upstream; when
l/3ir < F < 1/2TT, modes 1 and 2 can propagate upstream, etc.
However, as Baines (1979) has pointed out, if the obstacle height h is such
that h>d/2n, the nth mode will be inhibited because the obstacle height
will exceed 1/4 of its verical wavelength and extend into the region of
"reversed" flow for that particular wavelength.

     It is clear that the upstream, long waves arrive first, yielding a
broad velocity profile.  Short waves, which travel more slowly, arrive later
and result in a region that moves with the velocity of the Cylinder.  These
waves eventually reflect from the upstream end-wall of the tank, then
propagate back downstream to influence the flow in the vicinity of the
obstacle.  Baines (1979) believed that valid observations could be made of
                                     333

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the flow over and around the obstacle in isolation (in the absence of end
effects) by making the observations after steady state was reached
(estimated by direct observation) and before the reflected upstream motions
arrived.  Evidently, he believed that a local steady state was achieved in
that at some not-too-distant point upstream of the obstacle,  steady-state
velocity and density profiles were established before the reflected motions
returned to modify them.  His results, however, were not specified based
upon the local steady-state conditions, but rather upon the towing speed and
initial density gradient.

     The goal of the experiments to be described in Section 4.5 was to test
whether a local steady-state condition is in fact achieved at some
not—too-distant point upstream.  For example, does there exist a portion of
the tow wherein the density profile is in steady state, i.e., where it does
not change shape with distance?  Another way of asking the question is:  At
some point upwind of the obstacle (say ten hill heights), is  there a
significant period of time during the tow (in which to make observations)
wherein all upstream propagating modes have passed the point  (and so that a
steady-state has been reached) and, at the same time, no upstream modes have
been reflected from the end-wall of the tank and returned to  influence the
flow at the point?

2.5  Effects of Shear and Hill Slope on Flow Structure

     In the first order solution of Drazin (1961), the flow is assumed to be
inviscid and two-dimensional in horizontal planes with no vertical
coupling.  Brighton (1978) has shown how to extend this solution to higher
order, and has shown how to calculate small vertical deflections of
streamlines arising from the vertical pressure gradients requried by the
two-dimensionality of the flow.  For an obstacle with circular contours of
radius Ro (and in the absence of rotation), Brighton has shown that the
streamline deflection  ,
            dU  R            R
6 =   !_[„    °_£_ (2COS26- —
      N2 °  dz   r2          r2
                                         2U
„ dR          R
V_° (COS26. ^
                                                                        (19)
where U0 is the approach flow velocity (U0 = U0(z)), and (r,0) are
cylindrical coordinates.  The first term represents the displacement due to
shear in the approach flow and the second, that due to the slope of the
hill.  Assuming dUo/dz > 0 and dRo/dz < 0, it is easily seen that
the shear leads to a drop in the streamline upstream of the hill and a rise
as the fluid passes round the sides.  The slope of the hill has just the
opposite effect, a rise upstream and a drop as the fluid passes round the
sides.  Note that at the stagnation point, the deflection2due to the slope
is zero, whereas that due to the shear is negative (-U0/N ) (dUo/dz).
     It should be pointed out that Equation 19 is valid only when
     
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     Let us calculate some typical values to obtain a feel for the
contributions due to the two effects.  Let Uo = 4 m/s at z=50m, N=0.1/s
(very strong stratification),  Ro =500 m, h=100 m, and dRo/dz=2 (26.5°
slope).  The contribution of the shear term at the stagnation point is 32 m,
a value that violates Equation 20, but is certainly indicative of the strong
effect the shear can have.  The maximum deflection due to the slope term
occurs at 0=90°, and is -26 m, again violating Equation 20 and again
indicating strong effects.  Considering the variability of instantaneous
wind and temperature profiles  occurring in a typical nighttime stable
atmosphere, it is not difficult to imagine an extreme variability in plume
behavior as a plume encounters a hill!

     For a general body where dRo/dz=0 (as for flow about vertical fences
or flat plates),
                  dU
& = -
              [U
           N
                o  dz
o(1_U_JML>]
(21)
                        U
where U and V are the horizontal mean velocity components.  It is useful to
note that at the stagnation points, where vertical deflections of
streamlines may be expected to be largest, this expression reduces to
           U   dU
     f      o    o
     0 =	2-
           N
               dz
                                                                   (22)
which is independent of the plate width.  Hence, the centerplane flow
structure of strongly stratified flows about vertical plates (indeed, any
vertical-walled object) may be expected to be independent of aspect ratio.
                                    335

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                                  SECTION 3

                                  APPARATUS
3.1  Towing Tank Experiments

     Most of the experiments to be described were conducted in the large
stratified towing tank of the EPA Fluid Modeling Facility.   The tank is
1.2 m deep, 2.4 m wide and 24 m long.  The sides and bottom are lined with
acrylic plastic for viewing purposes.  The model hills were mounted flush on
a 2.4 m square baseplate which was inverted and suspended from a carriage
such that the surface of the baseplate was submerged approximately 4 mm
below the water surface.  The carriage permitted towing speeds from 3 to
50 cm/a.  For additional details, see Thompson and Snyder (1976) or Hunt et
al. (1978).

     Salt water was used to obtain stable density profiles and for the
present work with linear profiles, the Brunt-Vaisala frequencies were
nominally 1.33 rad/s.  Towing of the models slowly eroded the linearity of
the density profiles at the top; this non-linear layer was skimmed-off daily
and the water height (108 cm) was restored by filling from the bottom with
saturated salt water (for additional details, see Castro and Snyder 1982).
The linearity and slope were we11-maintained, but there was an increasingly
deep region of saturated salt water at the bottom.  In all cases, the depth
of the linear layer exceeded 80 cm (>8 hill heights), so that this
changing bottom boundary condition is not believed to have significantly
affected the results.

     Twelve tows were made with the Cinder Cone Butte (CCB) model under
different density profiles, towing speeds, and dye-release heights as shown
in Table A-l.  The density profiles consisted of strong near-surface
gradients (N ^ 2.5 rad/s) and weaker gradients above (N ^ 0.86 rad/s)
(in actuality the weaker gradients were below the stronger gradients, as the
models were towed upside down, but for purposes of clarity, the experiments
will be described as if the model were right-side-up).  The depth of the
surface layer was initially set at 18 cm (1.25 h); this depth was
successively reduced (by skimming) on subsequent tows to 13, 8, and 5 (0.9,
0.56, and 0.35 h) to simulate different depths of typical nighttime stable
atmospheric flows.  These density profiles are shown in Figure A-l, where it
may be observed that the initially sharp break-point between the two layers
was eroded slightly, but for practical purposes, the profiles are
well—described as two linear-gradient layers.  The changes in the
Brunt—Vaisala frequencies were due primarily to changes in the reference
densities as opposed to changes in the slopes of the curves.
                                    336

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                               TABLE A-l

                    SCHEDULE OF TOWS FOR CCB MODEL
TOW
No.

 0
 1
 2
 3
 4
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9
10
11
Breakpoint
 Ht., cm

   18
   13
    8
rad/s
 2.6
 2.4
 2.2
                  2.3
rad/s
 0.86
 0.86
 0.86
             0.89
Release
Ht., cm

   10
    8
    8
    5
    2
    2
    8
    5
    2
    7
    4
    2
Speed
 cm/s
  5.0
 10.
 10.
 18.
 25.4
 25.4
  5.7
 12,
 21,
                                                          .5
                                                          .5
                                                          ,3
                                                          .5
                                                          .5
                            5.8
                           11.3
                           17.4
Notes

height of hill, h = 14.4 cm
height of saddle point = 11.9 cm
                                     337

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    110
    100 --
     90 -•
     80 --
     70 --
UJ   60 •-
     50 --
t-   to -•
Ou
LU
Q
     30 --
     20 -•
     10 -•
           , - 1 - , - 1
                                                                       A"
        f-HILL HEIGHT
          SADDLE POINT HEIGHT
                                     A
                                    A
                                    A
                                   A
                                   A
                                  A
                                  A

                TOW NUMBERS 0-4-^
                                A
                                A
                               A
                              A
                              A
1.05
                                    ,1-1


                                 SPECIFIC GRAVITY
                                                        1.15
                                               A
                                              A
                                                                        1.2
            Figure A-l.    Density Profiles  for  CCB model tows.
                                    338

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     Water samples were drawn each day from up to 100 elevations using a
rake and vacuum system.  The density of each sample was determined by
measuring the displaced weight of a plumb bob suspended in the sample from
an electronic balance.  The standard deviation in repetitive measurements of
specific gravity of a typical sample has been determined to be 0.0002.

     These density profiles were fed into a PDF 11/40 minicomputer system
where the numerical integration of Equation 3 was performed to calculate the
towing speed required to obtain a desired Hs value.  Dye mixtures were
emitted horizontally at each of three elevations at a distance of 160 cm up-
stream of the hill center.  Each dye solution was neutrally buoyant at its
release elevation.  Red dye was emitted at Hs and blue dye 1 cm above and
below Hs through 1.6 mm diameter tubing.  According to the dividing
streamline concept, the upper streamer should pass freely over the hill and
the lower one should pass round the sides; the middle one, because of its
finite thickness, should split, with the upper portion passing over and the
lower portion passing round the sides.  Visual and photographic observations
were thus made during each tow to ascertain the validity of Equation 3.  In
practice, the accuracy of this determination was assessed to be
approximately +0.5 cm or +0.03 h.

     The CCB model was constructed of acrylic plastic by vacuum molding onto
a wooden form.  It was a 1:690 scale model made from enlarged U.S.
Geological Survey maps.  A contour map (Figure A-2) shows it to be double-
peaked with a height of approximately 100 m (model height 14.4 cm), a
saddlepoint height of 83 m (model height 11.9 cm), and base diameter of 1 km
(model dia. 1.6 m).  The maximum slope was approximately 26°.  The wind
direction simulated during this series of tows was 110°, nearly perpendicular
to a line connecting the two peaks; hence, the flow tended to be channelled
through the draw between the two peaks.  The appropriate hill height was
thus the saddle point height of 11.9 cm; this height was used in calculating
the dividing-streamline height from Equation 3 and the experimental
criterion was whether or not the dye streamers succeeded in passing through
the draw.

     The ridge models were triangular in cross—section with height (9 cm)
equal to base length (63° slope).  They were made of acrylic plastic.  Four
models were used such that the spanwise width between the vertical end faces
was 1, 2, 4 or 8 h.  They were mounted 10 h downstream from the leading edge
of the baseplate such that the ridge axes were normal to the tow direction.
A fairly substantial tripwire (5x5 mm) was mounted 5 cm from the leading
edge of the baseplate.  Further details on these models may be obtained from
Castro and Snyder (1982).  Dye releases were made on the ridge centerlines
about 8 h upstream at Hsjt^ 1 cm, as described for the CCB model above.
Full—depth linear density profiles were maintained by skimming; density
profiles were measured prior to each tow and the towing speed required to
obtain the desired Hs was calculated from the density profiles as
described above.  Filming by motion picture camera was used in addition to
the normal visual and photographic observations.
                                     339

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30 cm MODEL SCALE

200 - FIELD SCALE
       CINDER  CONE
            IDRHG
 FLUID
MODELING
 SECTION
  Figure A-2.   Contour map of Cinder Cone Butte.
                340

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     The sinusoidal hill is sketched in Figure A-3.  The cross-sectional
shape is described by


       z = j (1 + cos (2 IT x/W)),


where h=10 cm and W=37 cm, giving a maximum slope of 40°.  This was a
truncated ridge with the length of the straight section being 163 cm.  The
end caps were of the same vertical cross-section and semi-circular in
horizontal planes.  The skirt of the hill was molded in integral fashion
into a flat circular plate that fitted flush into the carriage baseplate.
Thus, the wind direction 0 could easily be changed.  When oriented
perpendicular to the tow direction, the cross-sectional area of this hill
was 75% of the area of an "infinite" ridge of the same height stretching
across the width of the channel, i.e., the gap width as defined by Baines
(1979) was G = 0.25.

     Tows of this model were made with linear density profiles, Froude
numbers of 0.3, 0.5, and. 0.7 and wind angles of 90°, 60°, 30°.  In this
series of tests, neutrally buoyant red dye was released at the upstream edge
of the baseplate (x = -1.2 m) on the centerline at an elevation of Hs +
1 cm and blue dye at Hs-l cm.  Additionally, some dye releases were made
during the 0 = 30° case, all releases being at the same elevation but
separated in the lateral direction.  The purpose was to examine possible
changes in Hs with source offset from the centerline, as will be discussed
later.

     In the "infinite" ridge studies designed to test the "steady-state"
assumptions, the same triangular ridge was used as discussed above except
that it's length was extended fully across the width of the tank and sponge
rubber pads were inserted to seal the small gaps getween the ridge ends and
the tank sidewalls.  In this case, the ridge was towed at Froude numbers of
0.25 and 0.5 (based on the near-linear ambient density profiles), and
samples of fluid were drawn during the tow through vertical sampling rakes
positioned at 0.1 m (1 h) and 1.0 m (11 h) upwind of the ridge.  The rakes
sampled the fluid at 21 levels each with spacing between individual tubes of
1 cm.  The two rakes were laterally offset by 12 cm on opposite sides of the
centerline to avoid influences of the upstream rake on the downstream one.
The total length of the tow was 20 m (222 h).  The intention was to take
rapid samples at four points of each tow, i.e., during the first and last
meter and at the one-third and two-thirds points of each tow.  Because of
logistics problems in switching banks of tubes, the length of the sampling
intervals varied from 1.0 to 2.5 m and the centerpoints of the sampling
varied slightly from the precise one-third-points, but the basic objective
was accomplished, i.e., to determine whether a local steady state was
realized by comparing the density profiles measured at different periods
during the tow.
                                    341

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                                               h = 10 cm
             a)  cross-sectional view
         b)   plan view of hill  on baseplate
Figure A-3.   Details of the sinusoidal hill model,
                        342

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3.2  Wind Tunnel Experiments

     One series of expermients was conducted in the stratified wind tunnel
of the National Institute for Environmental Studies of the Japan Environment
Agency (Ogawa et al. 1981).  This vertical, closed-return wind tunnel has a
test section 3 m wide, 2 m high and 24 m long.  The speed in the test
section may be controlled from 0.1 to 10 m/s and the ambient air temperature
may be maintained at any value between 12 and 87°C.  A temperature-profile
cart (TPC) at the entrance to the test section allows the creation of
vertical temperature gradients; the TPC is essentially a series of heaters
dividing the 2 m height of the test section into 20 horizontal sections,
each section (10 cm height) independently increasing the temperature of the
incoming air by a controlled amount (maximum of 30°C).  The temperature of
each 3x3 m floor panel may be independently controlled between 7 and 112°C
with a uniformity of +Q.2°C.  Previous experience had shown that at high
ambient air temperatues, secondary flows (downward along the test-section
walls) were created; interior sidewalls made of 1m high aluminum plates
were placed 30 cm from the tunnel walls to minimize these secondary flows
(Ogawa et al. 1981).

     The tunnel was designed for rather more weakly stable flows (i.e., wind
speeds greater than 'V 1 m/s) and difficulties were encountered in
attempting to obtain the very low bulk Froude numbers (0.2
-------
15 cm
       \~—7.5 cm  —I
              Figure A-4.   Model  fences.
                           344

-------
     For these flow visualization studies, a flattened, 10 mm diameter
horizontal tube was fastened to a vertical standpipe of 6 trnn diameter to
emit smoke at the desired elevation.  Mixtures of nitrogen and helium were
fed into a smoke generator (electrical heating element wrapped around glass
wool soaked in paraffin oil), then to the "stack".  The fraction of helium
to be used was determined by trial and error in the absence of the fence,
i.e., the fence was removed from the tunnel, the gas mixture was adjusted to
obtain a neutrally buoyant plume, then the fence was installed and
photographic observations were made while maintaining the nitrogen and
helium flow rates.

     For temperature profile measurements, a Tokyo-Denpa quartz thermometer
was used.  For velocity profiles, a sonic anenometer (Kaijo Denki Co., Ltd.,
model DA-390) with an x-sensor head oriented to measure horizontal
components of velocity (U and V) was used.  This anemometer was specially
constructed for wind tunnel measurements, with a separation distance between
heads of 10 cm.  Separate tests showed the velocity indications to be
independent of air temperature over the range of 15 to 50°C.  A minicomputer
was used to sample the outputs from the anemometer and to calculate means
and standard deviations of the signals.  One-hundred-second averages were
found to be adequate from the velocity measurements.

     Photographic equipment included a TOPCON 4x5 graphics camera equipped
with a polaroid back, an Olympus OM-1 camera equipped with a databack (for
unique marking of each photograph), and a Sony Betamax video-tape recorder.
                                    345

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                                  SECTION 4

                   PRESENTATION AND DISCUSSION OF RESULTS
4.1  Towing Tank Studies with CCB Model
     The schedule of tows of the CCB Model was shown in Table A-l and the
density profiles were shown in Figure A-l.  For each tow,  a particular
source height (center tube) was chosen and Equation 3 was  integrated
numerically using the measured density profile to predict  the towing speed
required such that the center streamer would rise just to  the elevation of
the saddle point, i.e., the minimum height of the draw between the two
peaks.  If the formula were correct, then, the lower streamer would be
observed to go around the sides of the hill, the upper streamer over the
top, and the center one, because of its finite thickness,  would split, with
the upper portions going over and the lower portions round the sides.
Visual observations and periodic photographs were taken during the full
length (20 m) of each tow.

     Figure A-5 shows the results of the integrations of Equation 3 for each
density profile as well as the experimentally observed results of the twelve
tows.  The agreement between the predictions and observations is regarded as
excellent.  The error bars indicate the best judgement of  variability during
the observation. For example, tow number 0 showed little or no deviation of
the splitting of the center steramer, so that the error was judged as zero.
Tow number 3, on the other hand, showed occasional wisps of the lower
streamer rising over the top and of the upper streamer going around the
hill.  Figure A-6 shows top and side views of impinging streamers during a
typical tow.

     This set of experiments in conjunction with the results of Hunt and
Snyder (1980) and Snyder et al. (1980) for full-depth, linear density
profiles as well as elevated inversions has demonstrated the validity of the
general integral formula for predicting the dividing-streamline height as a
function of wind speed for a wide range of shapes of stable density
profiles.  The remainder of the towing tank studies to be  described used
only full-depth, linear density profiles.

4.2  Towing Tank Studies with Truncated Triangular Ridges

     Figure A-7 shows the observations made during twelve  tows of the
triangular ridges with aspect ratios of 1 (L=h) and 8 (L=8 h).  It is
apparent that the dividing-streamline height followed the  "1-F" rule for
                                    346

-------
      12
      10  --
       8  •-
       2  --
Figure A-5.   Predictions and observations of dividing-streamline heights
              (open symbols: predictions; closed symbols: observations).
                                   347

-------
                                                       \S-I05 1
Figure A-6.   Top and side views  of streamers  impinging on the Cinder
              Cone Butte model.
                                  348

-------
      0 - ' '  ' ' I ' '  ' ' I  ' ' ' ' I  ' ' '  ' I ' '  ' '
        0      .1     .2     .3     .I     .5     .6    .7     .8     .9     1
Figure A-7.   Dividing-streamline height from the triangular ridge study.
                                   349

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F£0.25, and deviated strongly for F>0.25, but there were no observable
differences due to the difference in aspect ratio.  The deviation from the
"1-F" rule is due to the formation of an upwind vortex that produces a
downward flow on the front face of the ridge.  It is apparently due to the
combination of the steep upwind slope of the ridge and the shear in the
approach flow - as was mentioned earlier, the boundary layer was tripped by
a fairly substantial tripwire and, of course, grew in depth over nearly 1 m
of baseplate upwind of the ridges.  The structure of this vortex may be seen
in Figure A-8; its diameter (and, hence, vertical extent) increased as the
Froude number increased, reaching a maximum of about 0.6 h at F=1.0.

     Notice that the data in Figure A-7 are on the opposite side of the
"1-F" line from the "1-2F" line suggested by Baines (1979), even for the
ridge with aspect ratio 8.  But, of course, the
Baines) was very large (0.7).
"gap" ratio (as defined by
     The conclusion from this set of experiments is that Hs is independent
of the width of the hill and that it deviates from the "1-F" rule because of
the combination of the steep upwind slope and the shear in the approach
flow.  Unfortunately, it was not possible to further investigate the nature
of the boundary layer in this case, but work in the stratified wind tunnel,
to be described in the next section, tends to support these conclusions.

4.3  Stratified Wind-Tunnel Study of Shear Flow over Fences

     Figure A—9 shows the mean velocity profiles measured with the sonic
anemometer.  Nine profiles are plotted, eight under "maximum" stratification
and one under neutral conditions.  The temperature boundary conditions were
maintained constant and the stratification was varied by changing the fan
speed.  Reverse curvature in the pofiles may be observed at fan speds below
220 revolutions per minute (rpm), and reverse flow in the lowest 4 cm was
observed at 200 rpm.  A slight overshoot of the velocity is observed near
the top of the boundary layer under neutral conditions; this overshoot seems
to be enhanced by the addition of stratification.  The depth of the boundary
layer was about 15 cm in the neutral case and gradually increased to 40 to
50 cm as the stratification increased.

     Figure A-10 shows the corresponding temperature profiles.  Temperatures
near the floor systematically decreased and temperature gradients increased
slightly as the fan speed was reduced.

     Crosswind mean velocities are shown in Figure A-ll.  A positive V
implies that a plume could veer to the right (looking downstream) as it was
transported down the tunnel.  In neutral flow, the largest crosswind
velocity was 0.9 cm/s, which is to be compared with the streamwise velocity
of 85 cm/s at the same elevation, implying an angle of 0.6°.  This is indeed
a very small angle and it is probably not within the capability of the sonic
anemometer to measure such a small deviation.  The largest crosswind
velocity was -6.6 cm/s at 220 rpm; this is to be compared with the stream-
wise velocity of 40 cm/s, implying an angle of 10°, not-at-all
insignificant.  Indeed, smoke from a vertical rake was frequently observed
                                     350

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                                    (a)
                                    (b)

Figure A-8.   Multilevel dye release upwind of a triangular ridge  with  an
              aspect ratio of 2:  (a) F=0.8; (b) F=1.0.
                                   351

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                                                           1.05    1.2
Figure A-9.   Mean velocity profiles in the stratified wind  tunnel.
                                352

-------
     50
     lid --
     30 --
g
N
     20 --
     10 -•
   Figure A-10.    Temperature profiles  in  the stratified wind tunnel.
                                   353

-------
         50
         30 --
   o

    *%
   N
         20  -•
         10 -• <>'
          -0.07  -O.OB  -0.05  -0.01  -0.03  -0.02  -0.01

                                         V, m/s
                                                                .01    .02    .03
Figure A-ll.    Crosswind mean velocity profiles in the  stratified wind tunnel,
                                        354

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to veer away from the tunnel centerline and to follow the directions
indicated in the figure.  This crosswind component is not believed to have
had a significant influence on the structure of the flow over the fence.

     Lbngitudinal and lateral turbulence intensity profiles are shown in
Figures A-12 and A-13, respectively.  The most notable characteristic of the
stratified profiles is the elevated maxima, unlike the neutral case where
the maximum was much nearer ground level.  Most noticeable are the very
large intensities at 241 rpm, where the peak value is located at an
elevation of 12 cm and the value is 2.5 times the maximum neutral value.
This corresponds with visual observations of smoke, where Kelvin-Helmholz
rolls were observed.  These measurements are indicative of relatively large
scales of turbulence only, since, because of the large path-length, the
sonic anemometer could not resolve scales smaller than about 10 cm.  Visual
observations, in fact, suggested there was little energy at scales smaller
than that.

     Repeat measurements of  longitudinal and .lateral mean velocity profiles
are shown in Figures A-14 and A-15, respectively.  The repeatability is
regarded as excellent;  the data seem to imply that the crosswind velocity
component can be repeated to within +0.5 cm/si  The data also indicate the
very good repeatability of the flow in the tunnel, as the profiles at
205 rpm were taken 5 days apart.  Similar repeat measurements of temperature
and turbulence  intensities (not shown) also showed excellent correspondence.

     From these velocity and temperature profiles, the dividing-streamline
height was calculated using  Equation 3.  The results are graphed in
Figure A-16; the data appear to fall on a straight'line from 10.5 cm at
200 rpm  to 0 at  241  rpm.  These data were used to  characterize  the-
stratification and the  results will be described in terms of release height
relative to this dividing-streamline height.

     A large number  of  photographs of smoke plumes flowing over and around
the various fences were obtained.   It is not possible to reproduce all  of
them here, but  a representative set is presented in Figures A-17 through
A-19.  At  205 rpm,  (Figure A-17),  the dividing-streamline height calculated
from Equation 3  (Figure A-16) was apprpximately 9  cm or  0.6 h.   It is
obvious  from the photographs, however,  that the plume from the  9 cm  stack
did not  split over  the  fence top, as would be expected from the
dividing-streamline  concept.  Instead,  it  went totally around  the  sides of
the  fence,  for  all  aspect ratios.   Indeed, only a  tiny fraction of the  12 cm
plume  (0.8  h)  surmounted  the fence, and  only about half  the  15^cm  plume
 (1 h)  passed over  the top.   Moreover, this behavior was  essentially
 independent  of  aspect ratio.  Such behavior appears  to be due  to an  upwind
vortex,  with downward flow  along  the front  face of the fence;  it is  very
 similar  to that observed  on the  front  faces of buildings in  shear  flows (at
 least  in wind-tunnel studies1.).   One difference, however,  is quite evident:
 there  is a bottom limit to  this  vortex;  it does not  extend  to  the  tunnel
 floor  as would  be  expected  in a  neutral  shear  flow.   Instead,  the  streamline
 originating far upstream at fence-top  elevation appears  to be  limited in  how
 far down it can travel, presumably by  the  amount  of  kinetic  energy it
 possessed initially, i.e.,  its kinetic  energy  is  used-up in  moving

                                     355

-------
N
                                   u'/U, %
      Figure A-12.   Longitudinal turbulence intensity profiles.
                                  356

-------
      50
      140 -•
o
              1     .8   1.2   1.6
                                                                        14.14
         Figure A-13.   Lateral turbulence intensity profiles.
                                   357

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       50 H—i—i—i—i—I—i—i—i—i—I—i—i—i—i—I—i—i—i—i
                       .1      .2      .3      .4      .5.6      .7      .8
       10 -•
Figure A-14.   Repeated measurements of longitudinal mean  velocity profiles.
                                     358

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     i±0 --
     3D --
     20 --
     10 --
      0
      -0.075
                                                                       .025
Figure A-15.   Repeated  measurements of lateral mean velocity profiles.
                                   359

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     15  -\	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	
Q
 200
                    210
220          230

FAN SPEED, rpm
                                                          2140
                                                                       250
Figure A-16.   Dividing-streamline height for the 15 cm hill as  function
               of fan  speed.
                                    360

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      Hp=0.8h
L=4h
 H =0.8h
L=h
     H =0.6h
      R.
   L=4h
H =0.6h
L=h
Figure A-17.   Views of smoke streamers over a vertical fence; Hs=0.6h.


                                  361

-------
                                    H_  = 0.8h
                                   H  = 0.6h
                                    x\.
                                   HR = 0.4h
Figure A-18.   Views of smoke  streamers  over a vertical fence;  Ils=0.36h, L=2h.
                                      362

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                                   L = 8h
                                   L = 2h
                                  L  =  0.5h

Figure A-19.    Views of smoke streamers over a vertical fence; neutral flow,
               HR=0.6h.
                                     363

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vertically through the density gradient (increasing its potential energy).
Indeed, the bulk Froude number based on the (far upstream) fence-top
velocity was 0.67.  From another viewpoint, the velocity gradient is nearly
constant over the full depth of the fence and the temperature gradient
decreases with height, so that the Richardson number also decreases with
height, i.e., an "outer" layer behaves more like neutral flow and an "inner"
layer exhibits strongly stable, horizontally constrained flow
characteristics.

     At 220 rpm (Figure A-18), the calculated dividing-streamline height
(from Figure A-16) was approximately 5.5 cm (0.36 h).  The plume behavior
was somewhat similar to the previous case, but here the 15 cm plume
completely surmounted all fences and the upwind vortex appeared to reach the
tunnel floor.  Evidently, the streamlines impinging just below the top of
the fence possessed sufficient kinetic energy to overcome the potential
energy difference between the top and base of the fence.  Indeed, the bulk
Froude number based on the (far upstream) fence-top velocity was 1.1.

     In neutral flow (Figure A—19), the plume behavior appeared to be much
more dependent upon the fence aspect ratio.  For long fences, the plume
appeared to surmount the fence (even for the 3 cm plume), whereas for the
short fences, most of the plume appeared to go around rather than over the
fences (even the 12 cm plume).

     To summarize, it is evident that even a relatively small amount of
stratification drastically alters the flow structure over fences.  And the
shear seems to have an overwhelming influence!  Tentative conclusions are
(1) for strongly stratified flows, the basic flow structure is independent
of aspect ratio, (2) the shear creates an upwind vortex so that upwind
plumes are downwashed on the front face of fences and (3) under strong
stratification, the downward penetration of elevated streamlines is limited;
the extent of this downward penetration appears to be predicatable as a
balance between kinetic and potential energies (hence, characterized by the
Froude number), using arguments similar to those from the
dividing-streamline theory.

     Later flow visualization studies with the CCB model under these same
stratified flow conditions showed no evidence of upwind vortex formation,
but systematic studies to locate Hs were not conducted.  However,
concentration measurements (to be described in another paper) on the hill
surface from an upwind source of 48 mm elevation first showed evidence of
flow through the draw between the two peaks at a fan speed of 220 rpm, where
the calculated dividing-streamline height (based on the saddle-point height)
was 45 mm.  These results suggest that, because of the relatively low upwind
slope of the CCB model, the formation of an upwind vortex was not possible.
They also suggest that Equation 3 may be a good indicator of dividing
streamline heights, even in strong shear flows, for the vast majority of
real hills (i.e., maximum slopes less than 26°).

     The strong effect of the shear in the fence studies is not surprising
in light of the discussion in Section 2.5.  The slope term dR^/dz, which
normally tends to counteract the shear term, was zero.  In the CCB model,

                                    364

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the minimum value of dRo/dz was 2.0, so that the slope term evidently
roughly balanced the shear term, thus inhibiting the upwind vortex
formation.  Also, as indicated in Section 2.5, it is not surprising that the
centerline flow structure was independent of hill aspect ratio; however,
because of the very large streamline deflections, it is not appropriate to
make estimates using Equation 19.

4.4  Towing Tank Studies with the. Sinusoidal Ridge

     A total of 19 tows were made of the truncated sinusoidal ridge at
Froude numbers of 0.3, 0.5, 0.7 and 1.0, and wind directions of 90°, 60°,
and 30°.  To conserve space, data from the 90° and 60° cases are not shown,
but these data were completely consistent with all previous data for
axisymmetric hills and supported the "1-F" rule (within the resolution of
the method, +0.1 h).  Data from the 30° case are shown in Figure A-20, where
the release heights of the dye streamers are plotted versus Froude number;
open symbols indicate that the streamers passed freely over the ridge,
closed symbols show they were diverted around the ridge, and the half-filled
symbol indicates the streamer split, with half going over the top and half
going round the end.  These data suggest something like Hs/h = 1-0.7F, as
the streamers were diverted around the hill even though they had sufficient
kinetic energy to pass over the top.  It should be pointed out that this
does not violate Sheppard's (1956) concept; just because a fluid parcel far
upwind has sufficient kinetic energy to surmount the hill does not
necessarily mean it will do so.  In this 30° case, the flow, in some sense,
followed the path of least resistance in travelling round the end of the
ridge.

     These streamers were released on the centerline of the, towing tank and,
hence, were not on (or even near) a stagnation streamline.  A few tows were
made with F=0.5 releasing dye from three tubes positioned at the same
elevation but at different lateral positions.  These releases showed the
stagnation streamline to be located very near the most-upwind end of the
ridge, as was also found experimentally and theoretically by Weil et al.
(1981).  Further tows showed that streamers released above (at z/h=0.6) the
stagnation streamline travelled over the ridge (Hs/h=0.5) and that
streamers released 1 h on either side of the center streamer travelled
around opposite ends of the ridge, even though their elevation was above
Hs.  When the center streamer was released at z/h=0.4. (below Hs), it
travelled round the sides, periodically switching from one side to the
other.  These data are consistent with Sheppard's (1956) criterion
interpreted as a necessary but not sufficient condition on the kinetic
energy of a fluid parcel far upstream.

     These experiments also suggest that the lateral offset of the source
from the stagnation streamline can be a very important parameter affecting
the location and value of the maximum surface concentration, especially when
the elevation of the source is below Hs.  The data of Figure A—20,
however, suggest that lateral offset can be extremely important even when
the source is above Hs.  Other tows with truncated ridges (both sinusoidal
and triangular ones) oriented perpendicular to the tow direction suggested
                                     365

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Figure A-20.   Dividing-streamline height for a truncated sinusoidal ridge at
               30° to tow direction.
                                     366

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that lateral offset was not a significant parameter when the source was
located above Hs unless it was also located very near the ends of the
ridges.  Hence, the question of whether a plume will impact on a ridge is
expected to be a function of both the source height relative to the
dividing-streamline height and lateral offset; lateral offset, however,
greatly increases in significance as the angle between the ridge axis and
the wind direction is reduced.


4.5  Strongly stratified towing tank experiments with two-dimensional
     triangular ridges


     Two tows were made of the two-dimensional triangular ridge at Froude
numbers (based on the tow speed and the undisturbed density profiles) of 0.3
and 0.5.  Figure A-21 shows the sampling positions and intervals.  One
sampling rake was positioned at the leading edge of the baseplate (11 hill
heights upstream) and the other 10 cm (1.1 hill heights) upstream.  A
typical set of density profiles is compared with the initial density profile
in Figure A-22.  It is clear that the initial near-linear density profile
was continuously modified during the tow at a position 11 hill heights
upstream and that upstream conditions did not reach a steady state.  The
profiles tended toward neutral at elevations below half the hill height.
These results tend to support the squashing model described in Section 2.3.
The profiles taken at 1.1 h upstream and those at F=0.3 showed similar
tendencies, but with the tendency-toward-neutral behavior occurring over
larger depths, i.e., to approximately 0.8 h.

     The density profiles measured at 11 h upstream were used to calculate
Hs according to Sheppard's integral formula assuming a uniform approach
wind profile.  The results are shown in Figure A-23.  Because the density
gradients below hill top were reduced, the dividing-streamline heights were
also reduced as the tow progressed.  This behavior was also substantiated by
observing dye streamers released simultaneously at various elevations during
the tow.

     It should be pointed out that in Baines (1979) experiments on ridges
with gaps, the dye-release rake was hinged in such a way that dye was
released at 8 different elevations.  However, the rake was pivoted from one
elevation to the next during the length of the tow, so that observations of
dye behavior at each level took place for, at most, 1 m.  It is not
difficult to imagine that, because of the systematic change of release
elevation with tow distance in conjunction with the decrease in Hs with
tow distance, the results were interpreted incorrectly to arrive at Hs/h =
1-2F.

     Some additional experiments with the truncated sinusoidal ridge (G =
0.25, W/h = 16) show that, even though the Hs/h = 1-F formula is
well-verified, a very long time period (or a long length of tow) is required
for steady-state conditions to be established at 10 hill heights upwind.
                                     367

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i"^ a
r^
x '
	 i
2.13 m 2.1
D
<

4


m 2
25 m
i
r-
<
V
m
Figure A-21.   Sketch showing sampling intervals and locations for the
               two-dimensional ridge tow at F=0.5.
                                  368

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    1. S -r—i  i " I  i' •+—r-T-"i—i-H—r—r—r—i—I—i—r
    1.4  -
IM
      1  -
     .6
     .14
                1.005      1.01
.J_uH_i_x__u^H__i_
  1.015     1.02

   SPECIFIC  GRAVITY
                                                      1.025     1.03     1.035
Figure A-22.    Density profiles  measured upstream of the two-dimensional
                triangular ridge.
                                     369

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  _c

   u
  re
        1  •! i  i i i 1  i i i i  I i i  i i I i  i i i I  i i i  i 1 i i  i i I i  i i i I  i t i i  I i i  i i
        Q  I '  '—I—I—j—I—I—1—I—|—I—I—1—I—|—I—I—I—I—{—I—I—I—I—|
          0      .1     .2     .3     .14    .5     .6     .7    .8     .9     1
                                        x/L
Figure A-23.   Dividing streamline height  as  function of towing distance for

               the two-dimensional triangular ridge.
                                     370

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                                  SECTION  5

                                CONCLUSIONS
     (1) From previous work as well as current studies with the CCB model,
it is concluded that the integral formula of Sheppard (1956) is valid for
predicting the height of the dividing streamline for a wide range of shapes
of stable density profiles and a wide range of roughly axisymmetric hill
shapes.

     (2) From the studies with the truncated triangular and sinusoidal
ridges perpendicular to the wind, it is concluded that the aspect ratio,
per se, does not have a significant influence on the dividing-streamline
height Hs.  Deviations from the Hs/h = 1-F rule are attributed to the
combination of shear in the approach flow and the steep slope of the
triangular ridges, which resulted in the formation of an upwind vortex with
downward flow on the front face of the ridges.  The "1-F" rule was validated
for the sinusoidal ridge with a length-to-height ratio greater than 16:1; in
this case, the shear in the approach flow was much less pronounced and the
upwind slope was substantially smaller.  Note that the above deviations from
the "1-F" rule do not invalidate Sheppard's concept; the rule should be
interpreted as a necessary but not sufficient condition, i.e., a fluid
parcel may possess sufficient kinetic energy to surmount a hill, but it does
not necessarily do so.

     (3) In the stratified wind tunnel studies, a range of operating modes
was found that yielded reasonably strong shear layers with depths more than
twice the hill heights in conjunction with strong stable temperature
gradients.  These provided dividing-streamline heights as large as 0.75 h.
In the vertical fence studies with a stratified approach flow, the shear was
found to have an overwhelming influence.  Conclusions are:  (a) as in the
triangular ridge studies, the aspect ratio was relatively unimportant; the
basic flow structure was independent of aspect ratio, (b) the shear (in
conjunction with the steep slope) created an upwind vortex such that plumes
were downwashed on the front faces and (c) under strong enough
stratification, there was a limit to the downward penetration of elevated
streamlines; the extent of this penetration is apparently predictable as a
balance between kinetic and potential energies.  With these same shear flows
approaching the much lower sloped CCB model, however, there was no evidence
of upwind vortex formation.  Limited concentration measurements on the CCB
model suggested that Sheppard's integral formula correctly predicted the
height of the dividing streamline.
                                     371

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     (4) From the sinusoidal ridge studies with wind angles at other-than-
90°, it is concluded that the effect of deviations in wind direction (from
90°) are relatively insignificant until the wind direction is something like
45° to the ridge axis.  At 30°, significant departures from the Hs/h = 1-F
rule were observed; the fluid had sufficient kinetic energy to surmount the
ridge but, presumably, found a path of lower resistance in travelling round
the end of the ridge.  When the streamers were moved closer to the upstream
stagnation streamlines (upwind of the upwind edge of the ridge), they
behaved according to the Hs/h = 1-F rule.

     These experiments suggest that the lateral offset of the source from
the (probably contorted) plane of stagnation streamlines is an important
parameter to consider in determining the location and value of surface
concentrations, especially when the wind is at a small angle to the ridge
axis (say, <45°).

     (5) The two-dimensional triangular ridge studies showed that steady-
state conditions are not established in strongly stratified flows (say,
F<1).  The squashing phenomenon and upstream columnar disturbances
continuously changed the shapes of the "approach flow" velocity and density
profiles.  Thus, these experiments have no analog in the real atmosphere.
Further, since long ridges cut by periodic small gaps require very long tow
distances in order for steady state to be established, it is concluded that
previous laboratory studies are not valid; specifically the Hs/h = 1-2F
formula proposed for flow about ridges with small gaps is not expected to be
valid in the real atmosphere.  Finally, a suggestion is made that the gap
ratio must exced 25% in order for steady-state conditions to be established
in the usual size and shape of towing tank.  More work is required to firmly
establish the relationships between model size and shape, stability, and
tank size and shape in order to determine limits of applicability of fluid
modeling and ranges of tranferability to the atmosphere.
                                     372

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                                     375

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