it. .
                 United States
                 Environmental Protection
                 Agency
                 Office of Health and
                 Environmental Assessment
                 Washington DC 20460
EPA-600/8-83-025B
April 1984
External Review Draft
                 Research and Development
Updated
Mutagenicity and
Carcinogenicity
Assessment of
Cadmium
                                                     Review
                                                     Draft
                                                     (Do Not
                                                     Cite or Quote)
                 Addendum to the Health Assessment
                 Document for Cadmium (May 1981)
                 EPA-600/8-81-023
                 Available only from: National Technical Information Service
                             5285 Port Royal Road
                             Springfield, VA 22161
                             Telephone: 703-487-4650

                             Order No. PB 82-115 163
                             Cost: $28.00 (subject to change)

                                  Notice

                 This document is a preliminary draft. It has not been formally
                 released by EPA and should not at this stage be construed to
                 represent Agency policy. It is being circulated for comment on its
                 technical accuracy and policy implications.

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    V    f    <»>
              .i.
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        DRAFT                                                       EPA-600/8-83-025B
        DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE                                        April  1984
                                                                    External  Review Draft
<;

-1
                     UPDATED MUTAGENICITY AND CARCINOGENICITY ASSESSMENT OF

                                            CADMIUM
                     Addendum to the Health Assessment Document for Cadmium
                                  (May 1981) EPA-600/8-81-023
                                             NOTICE

        This document is a preliminary draft.  It has not been formally released by the
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and should not at this stage be construed
        tp represent Agency policy.  It is being circulated for comment on its technical
        accuracy and policy implications.                              .
                         Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
                               Office of Research and Development
                              U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                    Washington, D.C.  20460

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                                   DISCLAIMER


     This report is intended for review purposes  only and does  not  constitute

Agency policy.  Mention of trade names or commercial  products does  not

constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
            The Health Assessment Document for Cadmium (May 1981;
            EPA 600/8-81-023) is available only from:

                   National Technica) Information Service
                   5285 Port Royal Road
                   Springfield, VA  22161
                   Telephone:  703-4^7-4650

            Order No.:  PB-82-115163
            Cost:  $28.00  (subject to change)

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                               CONTENTS (CADMIUM)


Abstract.	Y1
AUfihors, Contributors, and Reviewers	•   •   . •  ..  . vn


JSUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS.	    1

     Summary  	   .........«.«••

          Qualitative Assessment	.."-.'	•   •    1
          Quantitative Assessment   .......•••««••    °

     Conclusions	-   '•

 INTRODUCTION	    8

 MUfAGENICITY'	9

     Gene Mutations  in  Prokaryotes  .	9
           Salmonella  Assay
           Escherichia coli  WP2 Assay
           Bacillus  subtil is Rec-Assay
      Gene Mutations in Yeast .   ......   .   .   ......  .15

      Gene Mutations in Mammalian Cell  Cultures ..........   17
           Mouse Lymphoma Assay  ..
           Chinese Hamster Cell Assay
      Studies in Drosophila and Other Insects.  .  ...  •  •  •  •  •  •  19

      Chromosomal Aberrations in Human and Other Mammalian Systems.  ...  24

           Studies on Human Chromosomes in vitro.  .........  24
           Studies on Rodent Chromosomes in vitro  .  .   .....  •  «  32
           Studies on Human Chromosomes in vivo ..........  ^
           Studies on Rodent Chromosomes in vivo.  .........  38
           Micronucleus Assay .......  .........  ;f°
           Dominant Lethal Assay .......  ........  ^
           Heritable Translocation Assay   .   .  ......   '  •"   *   '  /To
           Chromosomal Nondis junction  (Aneuploidy) in Whole Mammals  .   .   .  42
           Sperm Abnormality Assay in Mammals.  ...   ......   .44

      Chromosomal Aberrations in Plants.   .   .  .  .....   •   •   •   •  45

      Biochemical Studies  Indicative of Mutagenic Damage  .   .   .   .   i   .   .  46
                                                                              47
      Summary   ....   .......   ..........

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CARCINOGENICITY  	   49

     Animal Studies 	   49

          Inhalation Study in Rats ,(	   49
          Intratracheal Studies in Rats	55
          Injection Studies in Mice and Rats	   58
          Oral Studies in Mice and Rats	63
          Summa ry	67 ^   |;

     Epidemiologic Studies.  .........  	   68

          Potts (1965)	69
          Kipling and Waterhouse (1967)  	  ...   71
          Humperdinck (1968) ...  	   72
          Holden (1969)	74
          Kolonel (1976)	   74
          Lemen et al. (1976).  ..!.............   76
          McMichael et al. (1976a, b)	   79
          Monson and Fine (1978).	   83
          Kjellstrom et al. (1979)	   83
          Goldsmith et al. (1980)	   86
          Holden (1980)	   87
          Sorahan (1981)	   90
          Inskip and Beral (1982)  ..;	   94
          Andersson et al. (1982)	   96
          Kjellstrom (1982)	   98
          Armstrong and Kazantzis  (1983, 1982) ..........  103
          Sorahan and Waterhouse (1983)  	  ....  108
          Varner (1983, unpublished)!  	  ....  Ill
          Thun et al. (1984, unpublished).	  115
          Summary	  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  121


QUANTITATIVE ESTIMATION.  ....  	  ....  126

     Introduction	  126

     Procedures for Determining Carcinogenic Potency ........  130
                                    i
          Description of the Low-Dose Animal Extrapolation Model ....  130
               Selection of Data.	  132
               Calculation of Human Equivalent Dosages from Animal Data.  .  133
               Calculation of the Unit Risk from Animal Studies  ....  136
          Model for Estimation of Unit Risk Based on Human Data  ....  1*37

     Unit Risk Estimates for Cadmium	139

          Unit Risk Estimate Based on an Animal Study.  .......  139
                                       iv

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          Unit Risk Estimate Based on  a  Human  Study   .   .   .   .   .   .   .   .  141
               Data Base	141
               Estimation of the Factors Used  in  the Calculation  of  B^  .   .  143
               Calculation of Average  Lifetime Exposure  (X)	   .  148
               Calculation of Human Slope (B^)	  148

     Relative Potency  	  150


Appendix A.  Comparison of Results by  Various  Extrapolation Models   .   .   .  156

Appendix B.  International Agency for  Research on Cancer (IARC) Criteria
             for Evaluation of the Carcinogenicity of Chemicals   ....  160

References	      	163

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                                   ABSTRACT

     This draft document  evaluates the mutagenicity and cardnogenicity of
cadmium, supplementing an earlier document  (Health Assessment Document for
Caamium, May 1981) which  dealt with all  health  effects.  Since the earlier
document was prepared, a  rat inhalation  carcinogenicity study has been
reported and several  epidemiology and mutagenicity papers have been published.
     This draft document  tentatively .concludes  that:   (1) there is evidence
suggesting that cadmium and certain cadmium compounds  are weakly mutagenic;
(2) cadmium chloride aerosol induces  lung cancer in  rats;  (3) injected cadmium
salts induce injection site sarcomas ;and testicular  tumors  in both mice and rats;
(4) there is limited epidemiologic  evidence that inhaled cadmium induces
prostate and/or lung cancer in highly exposed workers; (5)  there is no evidence
that cadmium is carcinogenic via ingestion, which is a major route of human
exposure, and the upper limit of potency via ingestion is  at least 200 times
less than via inhalation.
                                       VI

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                      AUTHORS,  CONTRIBUTORS,  AND REVIEWERS


     The Carcinogen Assessment  Group,  Office  of Health and Environmental

Assessment, was responsible for preparing this document.   Participating members

are as follows (principal  authors are  designated by asterisks):


                        Roy E.  Albert, M.D.  (Chairman)
                        Elizabeth L. Anderson, Ph.D.
                       *Larry D. Anderson, Ph.D.                                ;
                       *Steven  Bayard, Ph.D.
                       *David L. Bayliss, M.S.                                  I
                       *Robert  P. Beliles, Ph.D.                                !
                        Chao W. Chen,  Ph.D.                                      ;
                        Margaret M. L. Chu,  Ph.D.                               !
                        Herman  J. Gibb, B.S., M.P.H.
                        Bernard H. Haberman,  D.V.M., M.S.
                        Charalingayya B. Hiremath, Ph.D.
                        Robert  E. McGaughy,  Ph.D.                               I
                        Dharm V. Singh, D.V.M., Ph.D.                           j
                       *Nancy A. Tanchel, B.A.                                  ;
                       *Todd W. Thorslund, Sc.D.                      •      •    \


     The Reproductive Effects Assessment Group, Office of Health and

Environmental Assessment, was responsible for preparing the section on

mucagenicity.  Participating members are as follows  (principal authors are      |

designated by asterisks):


                        John R. Fowle  III, Ph.D.
                        Ernest R. Jackson, M.S.
                       *K.S. Lavappa,  Ph.D.
                        Sheila L. Rosenthal, Ph.D.
                        Carol N. Sakai,  Ph.D.
                        Vicki Vaughan-Dellarco, Ph.D.
                        Peter E. Voytek, Ph.D.


     The following  individuals provided  peer review  of this draft and/or earlier

drafts  of  this document:
                                      vii

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U. S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                     t
          Michael Dourson            :
          Environmental Criteria and [Assessment Office
          Office of Health and Environmental Assessment
          Cincinnati, OH
                                                                                      ••.»
          John B. Fink
          Strategies and Air Standards Division
          Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards             ,                   *
          Research Triangle Park, NC;

          Charles H. Naunan
          Exposure Assessment Group
          Office of Health and Environmental Assessment            :
          Washington, DC

          Joseph Padgett
          Strategies and Air Standards Division
          Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
          Research Triangle Park, NC;

          Fred Smith
          Health Effects Research Laboratory
          Research Triangle Park, North Carolina


 Other Government Agencies

          Peter W. Preuss
          Consumer Products Safety Commission
          Washington, DC

          Michael Thun                                   .
          Center for Disease  Control
          National Institute  for Occupational  Safety and Health
          Cincinnati, Ohio


 Other                               ;
           Gunter Oberdoerster
          University of Rochester                                                    »
           Rochester,  New York                                     '•                 ^

 Science Advisory Board                                                               '

      The first external review draft:, of this document was peer reviewed by the

 Environmental Health Committee of EPA's Science Advisory Board.
                                       vm

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                            SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

SUMMARY
Qualitative Assessment
     Chronic exposure of  rats  to  aerosols  of  cadmium chloride at airborne
cdiiceh'trations of 12.5,  25,  and  50 ug/m3 for  18 months  followed by an additional
nonexposed 13-month period produced significant increases  in lung tumors.  An
18-month exposure to 20 ug/m3  also increased  lung tumors among exposed rats.  A
single 30-minute exposure of rats to  cadmium  oxide did  not  significantly increase
the occurrence of lung tumors  in  the  year  that followed.   However, increases in
testicular degeneration were observed.   The estimated total dose in mg/kg was,
however, lower than that producing testicular neoplasia following parenteral
administration.  Intratracheal instillation of cadmium  oxide has produced an
increase in mammary tumors and an increase in tumors at multiple sites among
mal-2 rats.  Intrathoracic injections  of  cadmium powder  are highly toxic, but
when their toxicity is reduced by co-administration  of  zinc, mesotheliomas
develop.   Intramuscular or subcutaneous  injection  of cadmium as metal powder,
or as chloride, sulfate, oxide,  or sulfide, produces injection-site sarcomas
and/or testicular interstitial cell  (Leydig cell)  tumors after  necrosis  and
regeneration of testicular tissue.  A recent  study suggests that the  incidence
of f-ancreatic islet cell tumors  may  be increased  by  administration  of cadmium
chloride by this route.   In addition, injection  of cadmium chloride into the
                                                                     -
prostate has induced tumors of that tissue.
     Cadmium appears to be much less  potent as a  carcinogen by  ingestion than
by injection or inhalation, regardless of the site of  cancer  induction.  For
example, the total dose of inhaled cadmium in the Takenaka et  al.  (1983) study,
in which rats developed a 71% incidence of lung  cancer, was about  7 mg

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(0.25 m3/day x 0.005 mg/m3 x 365 days/year x 1.5 years).   By contrast,  in
the Schroeder et al. (1965) drinking water study in rats,  which had one of
th4 smallest total doses of all  the ingestion studies,  a total  dose of  about
60 mg (5 ppm x 0.5 x 0.35 kg x 730 days) induced no cancer responses.   If a
10$ Upper limit of detection of tumors in the Schroeder et al.  (1965) study is
assumed, the highest reasonable potency for cadmium via ingestion is about
0.0017 (0.1/60), compared with a potency of about 0.1 (0.7/7)  for inhalation.
While it is possible that cadmium is not at all  carcinogenic by ingestion
because of very limited absorption, the negative animal evidence can only set
an upper limit on the carcinogenic potency of ingested cadmium, which in the
rat appears to be about two orders of magnitude  less than  for inhalation.
     The IARC (1982) concluded that sufficient evidence exists to determine
that cadmuim is carcinogenic in animals.  The IARC was aware of the negative
findings following the dietary administration of cadmium  chloride by Loser
(I960).  The marked carcinogenic response of rats to inhalation exposure to
aerosols of cadmium chloride was not available to IARC for consideration, nor
were the highly suggestive reports pf pancreatic islet tumors following parenteral
administration of cadmium chloride (Poirier et al. 1983),  and of male mammary
tumors following intratracheal instillation of cadmium oxide (Sandisrs and
Mahaffey 1984).  Apparently the IARC did not consider the  intratracheal induction
of mesotheliomas reported by Furst et al. (1973) or the induction of prostate
tumors by injections of cadmium chloride into that tissue  (Scott and Aughey  1979).
As a result of these newer investigations, together with  additional information
suggesting that long-term pulmonary clearance and translocation from one site  to
another in the body is not based on chemical solubility,  the carcinogenic  risks
of cadmium and its compounds are now seen to be possibly greater than orginally
anticipated.

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      Gene mutation studies in mammalian cell cultures, rec-assays in bacteria,
chromosomal nondisjunction studies in intact mammals, and other indicators of
mlitag'enlc damage do  indicate that cadmium is mutagenic.
      Epidemiologic studies reviewed after the May 1981 OHEA Health Assessment
Document for Cadmium have not appreciably changed the earlier findings of
insufficient evidence of a risk of prostate cancer from exposure to cadmium.
      On the other hand, recent evidence from the same studies seems to provide
better evidence of a lung cancer risk from exposure to cadmium.  Strong evidence
is available from the Thun et al. (1984) study that the significant twofold
excess risk of lung cancer seen in cadmium smelter workers is probably not due
to the presence of arsenic in the plant or to increased smoking by such workers.
Thun et al. analyzed both factors as potential  confounders and convincingly
dismissed both in their updated and enlarged version of the earlier Lemen et al.
(1976) study, which also demonstrated a significantly elevated risk of lung cancer.
     Varner (1983) in a very preliminary updated and enlarged version of the earlier
Lemen et al. study also found a statistically significant excess of lung cancer.
Varner noted a dose-response relationship for both lung cancer and total
malignant neoplasms with increasing cumulative  exposure.   Varner indicated that
the significant excess risk of lung cancer was  probably due to smoking or to
the,presence of arsenic in the plant.   However,  he had not had a chance to
analyze their impact since his paper was preliminary.  It suffers from several
problems which must be resolved.
     Sorahan and Waterhouse (1983)  also noted an unqualified statistically
significant  risk of lung cancer in  their study  population via  the Standard
Mortality Ratio (SMR) method.  In  addition,  a significantly high test statistic
was noted for excess  lung  cancer  utilizing the  Kneale and Cox  "regression  models
in life tables (RMLT)"  method in  the "high to moderately  exposed"  group but not

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in the "highest exposure" category,  although the test-statistic  was  elevated.
Sorahan suggested that the excess might be due to exposure to welding fumes  of
oxyacetylene.  No significantly high test-statistic was  found in his "highest
exposure" group, however, possibly because of a lack of  sensitivity  due  to  small
numbers.
     In his earlier paper, Sorahan (1981) found the risk of lung cancer  to  be non-
significantly elevated through Standard Mortality Ratios calculated  in a retrospec-
tive prospective cohort study of workers who began employment before and after
the amalgamation of two factories into a nickel-cadmium  battery  plant.
     Armstrong and Kazantzis (1983)  also demonstrated a  significant  risk of  lung
cancer in workers designated by them as having worked in "low exposure"  jobs
for a minimum of 10 years.  Little sensitivity remained  in the "highly exposed"
                                    i
group with which to detect a risk after a minimum of 10  years' employment,  and
such a significant risk was not shown.  Furthermore, only a suggestion of an
excessive risk was evident in the "ever mediumly" exposed group  of workers  with
a minimum of 10 years employment.  This study, however,  does not deal in sufficient
detail with latent factors 15 or 20 years after initial  exposure in  combination
with length of employment.  Also, 17 different plant populations are combined
to form one cohort for study, thus raising the possibility that  very little
exposure occurred to most members of the cohort.
     Holden (1980) reported a significantly excessive risk of lung cancer in
"vicinity" workers, which he maintained could have been  due to the presence of
other metals such as arsenic.  No excess risk was seen in the group  with the
highest exposure, however,  Latent factors were not considered,  nor  .was  the
movement of workers from jobs with high exposure to jobs with low exposure,
possibly because of seniority.

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     Anders son et al.  (1982),  in  their  update  of  the  Kjellstrom  et  al.  (1979)
study, noted a slight  hut  nonsignificant  lung  cancer  risk  in  alkaline battery
factory workers; however,  this observation  was based  on  only  three  lung cancer
deaths occurring to this cohort,  and the  study also suffers from a  "small  numbers"
problem*  In the earlier study, Kjellstrom  et  al. (1979) observed a slight but
nonsignificant excess  of lung  cancer based  on.two cases  in the same small  group
of cadmium-nickel battery  factory workers.
     Inskip and Beral  (1982) noted a slightly  increased  but nonsignificant risk
of lung cancer among female residents of  two small English villages who presumably
were exposed to cadmium-contaminated soil  via  the oral route. However, again only
a small number of lung cancers were observed.
     Negative findings of  a lung  cancer risk cannot be considered useful  because
of problems" concerning lack of power, no  consideration of  latent effects,  or
insufficient evidence  of exposure to cadmium in the studies in which a  lung
cancer risk was evaluated.
     Overall, the weight of the human epidemiologic evidence  is  suggestive of a
significant risk of lung cancer from exposure  to  cadmium.  The contribution of
the confounders, smoking and/or the presence of arsenic, has  been shown by
Thun et al. (1984) not to  have produced the significant  risk  of  lung cancer
that they found in their study.  Further  evidence provided by the Carcinogen
Assessment Group, under the assumption  that arsenic is additive  to  the  background
rate of lung cancer and smoking is multiplicative, indicates  that the upper bound
for the expected number of lung cancer  cases is still significantly below that
of the observed number of  cases at the  P  <  0.05 level in the  Thun et al.  study.
     Altogether, the human epidemiologic  evidence appears  to  provide limited
evidence of lung cancer risk from exposure  to  cadmium, based  on  the International
Agency for Research on Cancer  (IARC) classification system.

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Quantitative Assessment
     Since humans are exposed to cadmium dust or fumes, and the rats used for study
were exposed to cadmium chloride aerosol, a limitation inherent in the use of
rat studies for estimating human risk is the possible difference between humans
ahd rats in terms of lung retention of particulates, or between the,' biological
effectiveness of cadmium chloride aerosol administered to rats and the dust and
fumes inhaled by workers.  Since the data are not clear on this point, assumptions
of equal lung uptake and equal effectiveness have been made herein for the
purpose of arriving at a preliminary assessment of the human risks,,
     Given these assumptions, combined with other assumptions and conventions
used in quantitative risk assessment procedures, the Takenaka et a'l.  (1983)
data on lung carcinomas  in rats during lifetime inhalation exposures to cadmium
chloride aerosol were  analyzed.  The result of the analysis is that the upper-
bound cancer risk to humans who continuously breathe 1 ug/m3 of elemental
cadmium for a  lifetime is 0.15.
     Based  on  respiratory cancer rates from the Thun et al.  (1984)  study  of
cadmium smelter workers, the  upper-bound cancer  risk from lifetime  exposure to
1  ug/m3 of  cadmium  in  the air has  a  range of 4.3  x  10-6 to 3.8  x  10-2, with  a
most plausible estimate  of 2.3  x 10-3.   The most  plausible estimate is  based  on
 "best  guesses" for  each  of a  series  of terms,  that  are multiplied to form the
final  estimate.  Because only fragmentary information  is  available concerning
 cadmium exposures  of workers, and  many  potential  biases  exist  at  a range  of
almost  four orders  of  magnitude, the human risk  is  considered  to  be reasonable.
 Further detailed analysis  and laboratory studies  are needed before the large
 difference  between  the estimates  based  on animal  and human data are resolved.

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CONCLUSIONS
     Applying the IARC approach (Appendix B)  for classifying the weight-of-
ev1den.ce for carcinogenicity in experimental  animals, lung carcinomas in  rats
exposed to cadmium chloride aerosol  by inhalation provide sufficient evidence
faf* the carcinogenicity of cadmium and certain cadmium compounds in experimental
animals along with injection site and testicular tumors in mice and rats  given
cadmium metal or cadmium salts.  No carcinogenic response has been  observed
with ingested cadmium, and the potency via the oral  route is at least 200 times
                                                                         &
less than via inhalation in experimental  animals.
     The available human epidemiologic data provide limited evidence, according
to the IARC criteria, that airborne concentrations of cadmium and cadmium
compounds are carcinogenic in humans, producing a significant risk  of lung cancer
by the inhalation route.
     The overall evidence for carcinogenicity, applying the IARC criteria, places
cadmium and cadmium compounds in the 2A category, meaning that they are probably
carcinogenic in humans.
     The upper-bound unit risk estimate for continuous inhalation exposure at  a
cadmium concentration of 1 ug/m^ ranges from  4.3 x 10~6 to 3.8 x 10~2 with a most
plausible estimate of 2.3 x 10~3 based on lung cancer from one smelter worker
study, although there is considerable uncertainty in these estimates because of
the lack of differential exposure in the workplace.   Nevertheless,  these  estimates
are regarded as more realistic than the estimate based on the rat inhalation
study, which is about 65 times higher.

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                                .  INTRODUCTION

     This document is a review and assessment  of the current  information
relating to the mutagenicity and carcinogenicity of cadmium.   It  contains  a
detailed discussion of information on those subjects which became available
since the earlier Health Assessment Document for Cadmium was  prepared by the
Office of Health and Environmental Assessment  (OHEA) in May 1981.  It includes
all pertinent material from the 1981 document  but does not attempt to repeat
details of the animal carcinogenicity studies  discussed there.

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                                  MUTAGENICITY

     Cadmium has been investigated for  its  mutagenic  potential  in  both
prokaryotic and eukaryotic systems..  In the former category  are assays  for gene
mutation and reparable genetic damage in bacteria.  In  the latter  category are
gene mutation studies in yeast, Drosophila, and mammalian cells; and  chromosomal
aberration studies in human and other mammalian cells exposed  to cadmium  both
in vitro and in vivo.  The following is an  analysis of the literature pertaining
to the mutagenic effects of cadmium.

GENE MUTATIONS IN PROKARVOTES
     Gene mutation studies that have been conducted in prokaryotic systems are
summarized in Table  1.•  A discussion of each study follows.

Salmonella Assay
     .Meddle and Bruce (1977) tested the mutagenic effects  of cadmium chloride
in the histidine reverse mutation assay using Salmonella typhimurium tester
strains TA100, TA98, and TA1537.  The test compound (purchased from ICN Pharma-
.ceuticals, Plainview, New York) was dissolved in water and  used at concentrations
of 0.05,  0.5, 5,  50, and 500 ug/plate with and without the  application  of a
metabolic  activation system (S9 mix) derived from phenobarbital-induced rat
liver homogenate.  According to these authors, cadmium chloride did not induce
a significant mutagenic response  over the control value.  The criterion set  for
.a positive response  was 50%, or a 1.5-fold increase in the revertant frequency
over the  negative control or spontaneous frequency.  Revertant counts were
given only for  strain TA100; the  spontaneous frequency of revertants in this
strain was 140  colonies per plate.   The purity of the  cadmium chloride test
compound  was not  given  in this report.

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     In an abstract published by Kalinina and  PoluKhina  (1977), cadmium  chloride
waj reported to be nonmutagenic in the Salmonella  assay.   However,  important
variables such as the number of strains used,  the  dosage  employed,  and the
number of revertants per plate were not reported.   Polukhina  et al.  (1977)  also
reported negative results with cadmium chloride  on Salmonella typhinuirium
strains TA1535 and TA1537 both in the presence and absence of an  S9 activation
system derived from uninduced mouse liver homogenate.   In this  report a  suspension
assay with cadmium chloride concentrations of  10,  20,  30, 45, and 90 mM  was
employed.  Positive and negative control data  were not presented  in this paper,
so it is not possible to know whether or not the assay system was functioning pro-
perly.  The toxicity of the test compound was  not  reported by these investigators.
     Milvy and Kay (1978) studied the mutagenic  effects  of cadmium red  (cadmium
 '                                    :
sulfide and selenium), a dye used in the printing  industry, using the Salmonella
spot test (Ames et al. 1973) and the preincubation assay  (Ames  et al. 1975).
Salmonella typhimurium strains TA1538, TA98, and TA1535 were employed in these
studies.  The test compound (10 ug) was dissolved  in 0.01 ml dimethyl sulfoxide
(DMSO) and added to 0.9 ml of incubation mixture for 30 minutes at 37°C  with
shaking before plating 0.1 ml onto minimal plates.  Experiments,were carried
out both in the presence and absence of an S9  activation  system derived  from
Aroclor 1254-induced mouse liver homogenate.  Cadmium red was reported to be
nonmutagenic in both tests.  However, data were  presented only  for the suspension
assay.  These investigators used only one concentration,  and hence,, no dose-
response relationship was demonstrated.  The toxicity of  the compound for each
strain was not reported.  Consequently, this study may be regarded as incon-
clusive.
     Hedenstedt et al. (1979) studied the mutagenic effects of  cadmium diethyl-
dithiocarbamate (used in rubber and plastic industries) in Salmonella typhimurium
                                      12

-------
strains TA1535, TA1537, TA1538,  TA98,  and TA100.   The concentrations  used were
la 5, 10, 50, and 100 ug/plate.   The compound was dissolved in DMSO.   Concen-
trations of 50 and 100 ug/plate  were toxic in many of these strains.   The
concentration of 10 ug/plate exhibited mutagenic  activity in strains  TA1538
arid TA98 in the absence of a metabolic activation (S9) system obtained from
Aroclor!l254-induced rat liver homogenate (Ames et al. 1975).  In TA  1538 the
revertent frequency increased more than twofold at 10 ug/plate, i.e., 26.3  +_
3.7 revertants/plate compared to a control value  of 11.8 +_ 2.6 revertants/plate
in the absence of metabolic activation.  In the presence of metabolic activation,
the revertant frequencies in treated organisms and controls were the  same.   In
TA98, the revertant frequency was 58.8 jf 2.3 at 10-ug/plate (almost a twofold
increase) compared to the control frequency of 31.5-+_4.2 revertants/plate  in
the absence of metabolic activation.  No data were given for studies  in the
presence of metabolic activation.  Positive control  data were not presented,
although the authors indicated that positive controls were employed in the
experiment.  Since both cadmium diethyldithiocarbamate and zinc diethyldithio-
.carbamate were found to be mutagenic in this study, it may not be appropriate
to infer that cadmium was the mutagenic moiety.
     Mandel and Ryser  (1981) reported the induction of frameshift mutations in
Salmonella typhimurium TA153.7 and missense mutations  in Salmonella typhimurium
TA1335 by cadmium chloride in concert with N-methyl-N'-nitro-N-nitrosoguanidine
(MNNG).  A concentration of 0.5 mM cadmium chloride facilitated a dose-related
increase in the induction of mutation frequency  by MNNG that was up to tenfold
higher than the control value.  This synergism was also noted for the induc-
tion of  forward mutations to 8-azoguanine  (SAG)  resistance in the HPRTase locus
of these strains.   In a recent telephone  communication  (9/25/83), Dr. Ryser
                                       13

-------
indicated that he had further confirmation of the above work,  and forwarded  a
                                                                   I •
preprint of his forthcoming publication to the Reproductive Effects Assessment
Group of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
     These studies indicate that cadmium induces mutations in  Salmonella
typhljnUMurn in a synergistic manner With other mutagenic chemicals.  Similar
studies have also been reported in rat embryo cultures (Zasukhina et al.  1977).

Escherichia coli WP2 Assay
     Venitt and Levy (1974), in a report on the mutagenicity of chromates  in
the Escherichia coli HP2 mutation system, mentioned that they  also tested
cadmium compounds for mutagenicity and found them to be negative.  These  authors
did not mention what types of cadmium compounds they employed, nor did they
present data to support their negative conclusions.

Bacillus subtilis Rec-Assay
     Nishioka (1975) investigated the mutagenicity of cadmium  chloride and
cadmium nitrate using the rec-assay of Kada et al. (1972).  In the rec-assay,
which measures reparable DNA damage, differences in growth sensitivities  of
Bacillus subtilis strains H17 (recombination-competent wild type rec+) and M45
(recombination-deficient rec") to mutagenic chemicals are measured.  When  a
chemical is more inhibitory to rec~ than to rec+ cells, it is  suspected of being
mutagenic.  Concentrations of 2.5 x 10~7 cells/0.1 ml were streaked outward  from
the center of agar plates.  Aqueous solutions of cadmium chloride and cadmium
nitrate (0.05 M) were applied in 0.05 ml aliquots to disks of  filter paper
(diameter 10 mm) and placed in the centers of the plates, at the starting  point
of the streaks of rec+ and rec~ cells.  All of the plates were incubated at  37°C '
for 24 hours.  The degree to which bacterial growth was inhibited was indicated
by the relative distance (mm) between the edges of the paper disks and the ends of
                                       14

-------
the bacteria streaks.  This inhibition  of  growth  is  known  as  "rec- effect" and is
expressed as:  no difference between  rec+  and  rec- plates  (-),  less  than  5 mm
difference (+), 5-10 mm difference (++), or more  than  10 mm difference  (+++).
Cadmium nitrate showed no difference  in growth inhibition  (-),  whereas  cadmium
chloride exhibited a weak positive response (+).   Each experiment was  repeated
three times.  These experiments did not use a  metabolic activation  system.   The
cadmium compounds used were of reagent grade.
     Similar results were obtained by Kanematsu et al. (1980) using the rec-assay,
Cadmium chloride, cadmium nitrite, and cadmium sulfate were employed at a
concentration of 0.005 M in 0.05 ml aqueous solution.   All of these compounds
exhibited a weak mutagenic response (+) (growth inhibition zones of .4-5 mm).
According to these authors, the test compounds used were of the highest purity
commercially available.

GENE MUTATIONS  IN YEAST
     Cadmium chloride has  been investigated for the induction of gene mutations
in the yeast Saccharomyces  cerevisiae  (Table  2)  (Takahashi 1972; Putrament et
al. 1977).   Takahashi  (1972)  studied the  induction  of  petite mutations (p-
mutatiqns)  and  auxotrophs  in  the  Saccharomyces cerevisiae  heterozygous diploid
 strain  C3116.   He treated  10^ cells with  10 (5.5 x  10-5M), 12  (6.6  x 1Q-5M),
 and 20  ppm  (1.1 x  IQ-^M) for  2 days  (48 hours) at 25°C.   After  2 days of growth,
 the cell  number was  determined and the cell suspension was diluted  to give a
 concentration  of 2.8 x 10-3 ce-|is per  ml.  One-tenth  of the  diluted suspension
 was spread  on  the  YEPD-agar plate and  incubated  at  28°C.   When  small colonies
 appeared on the plate,  they were  replica-plated  onto  YEP-glycerol-agar medium
 and minimal medium.   After overnight  incubation  at  28°C,  induced p-mutants  and
 auxotrophs  were scored.  At the  dose  of 12 ppm (1.1 x 1Q-4M),  no p-mutants or
 auxotrophs  were found in the  786 colonies counted;  at the dose of  10 ppm, 10

                                        15

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p-mutants and three auxotrophs were detected  in  the  871  colonies counted; and
at the dose of 20 ppm, there were 12 p-mutants and  9 auxotrophs in  1,182 colonies,
indicating that cadmium chloride may be mutagenic.   In the  controls there were
five p-mutants and two auxotrophs in 2,875 colonies  counted*   According to
this paper, however, mutants were induced at  dosages of  10  ppm and  20 ppm but
not at the dosage of 12 ppm.  Such erratic fluctuations  in  mutation frequency,
and the low number of mutants, suggest that the  positive results may similarly  be
questionable.  Since p-mutants occur by damage  involving mitochondria!  DNA
rather than nuclear DNA, caution should be exercised in  assessing the mutagenic
potential of chemicals with this system.
     Putrament et al. (1977) also reported a  negative result  in a test for
induction of p-mutation by cadmium chloride in  Saccharomyces  cerevisiae.  The
concentration of cadmium chloride tested (8 mM)  was very toxic, however, and
less than 1% of the cells survived a 6-hour incubation in YEP-glucose medium.
No. increase of p-mutants was observed, and no data were  presented.   This study
is regarded as inconclusive.

GENE MUTATIONS IN MAMMALIAN CELL CULTURES
     Gene mutation studies in cultured mammalian cells have also  been summarized
in Table  2.  A discussion of each study follows.

Mouse Lymphoma Assay
     Amacher and Paillet  (1980)  reported that cadmium choloride (ICN Pharma-
ceuticals) was mutagenic  in the mouse  lymphoma L5178Y TK+/- assay.   When  cadmium
chloride,  dissolved in normal saline, was tested at concentrations  of 2.35 x
10-?M  (cell  survival  100^11%),  3.57  x 1Q-7M (cell survival  78 _+  24%), 4.5 x
10-7M  (cell  survival  62^4%),  6.00 x  10-?M  (cell survival  38 _+!!%), and  8.00
x 10~7M  (cell  survival 12 +_"!%), there was a dose-related increase in mutation
                                        17

-------
frequency.  The mutation frequencies  per 104 survivors  for  the  above  doses were
0.48 +_ 0.01, 0.58 +_ 0.06, 0.56 +_ 0.05,  0.63 +_ 0.16,  and 0.68 +_ 0.04,  respectively.
The mutation frequency at the highest nontoxic dosage  of 6.00 x 10"7M was
approximately 1.5-fold higher than the  control frequency of 0.40 +_ 0.03  (survival
IQQ% + 5).  The dose-response curve obtained by Amacher and Pail let (1980)
has been criticized by Clive et al. (1981), who claim  that  the  application of
a t-test for low numbers of samples to  determine significance is misleading.
     In a recent study, Oberly et al. (1982) have clearly demonstrated the
mutagenicity of cadmium sulfate in mouse lymphoma L5178Y gene mutation assay.
The test compound at concentrations of  0.10, 0.15, 0.20, and 0.35 ug/mL  resulted
in mutation frequency increases of 1.7-fold (survival  81%), 4.0-fold  (survival
55%), 10.5-fold (survival 12%), and 9.9-fold (survival  4%), respectively, over
the solvent control value.

Chinese Hamster Cell Assay
     Casto  (1976), in a report submitted to Dr. Richard Troast of the Office of
Pesticide Programs, U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency, stated that cadmium
acetate and cadmium chloride are mutagenic in Chinese hamster-lung cells (Don)
as determined by induction of mutations that confer resistance to 8-azoguanine.
Cells were treated with 2.5  (1.36 x lO-^M), 5  (2.72 x 10-^1), and 10 ug/mL
(5.45 x 10-8M) of cadmium acetate and cadmium chloride, respectively, for 18
hours, followed by 48 hours of expression time.  Cadmium acetate induced mutation
frequencies of 2.8, 50, and 10 per 10~6 survivors, respectively, for the above
dosages.  The survival rate was 0.70%, 0.92%, and 0.43%, respectively.  Cadmium
chloride induced mutation frequencies of 6, 7, 14, and 37 per 10"6 survivors.
Tha negative control rate was 2 per 106 survivors.  According to this investiga-
tion, both  cadmium acetate and cadmium chloride are weakly mutagenic.  These
                                       18

-------
results are questionable,  however,  because  of  the  low  survival  rates at
the high concentrations used.   Hsie et  al.  (1978)  also reported cadmium chloride
to be Weakly mutagenic at  the  HGPRT locus in the Chinese  hamster ovary cells, but
no data were presented.
     Ochi and Ohsawa (1983)  investigated the inducibility of  6-thioguanine-
resistant (6TG) mutants in the Chinese  hamster cell  line, V79,  by cadmium
chloride.  They also investigated single-strand scission  of DNA by cadmium
chloride in these cells.  The  frequency of  6TG-resistant  mutants was found to
increase with increased concentration of cadmium chloride. Single-strand
scission of DNA by cadmium was detected in  combination with proteinase K diges-
tion of the cell lysates,  indicating formation of  DNA-protein cross-linking by
the metal.
     Based on the weight of  evidence from the  data available  from both bio-
logical and biochemical procedures, and also on the basis of  personal discussion
with the authors of the above  publications, cadmium is regarded as mutagenic in
mammalian cell culture gene  mutation assays.

STUDIES IN DROSOPHILA AND OTHER INSECTS
     Studies on the genetic  effects of  cadmium in  Drosophila  are summarized in
T?ble 3.  A discussion of  each study follows.                              I
     Sorsa and Pfeifer (1973)  reported  that cadmium chloride  at concentrations
of 1.25 (6.81 x 10-6M), 2.5  (1.36 x 1Q-5M), 5.0 (2.72  x 1Q-5M), 10.0  (5.45 x
IO-SM), 20.0 (1.09 x 10-4M), and 50 mg/L  (2.27 x 1Q-4M) of media caused
significant delay in the development of larvae as  compared with controls.  In the
sex-linked recessive lethal  mutation test  (Muller-5 test), only one concentration
of 50 mg/L (2.72 x 10~4M)  was  used, with no indication of mutagenic response.
The number of chromosomes  tested and the criteria  set  for scoring the lethals
                                       19

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were not reported, however, and no data were  presented to  indicate the sensitivity
of different stages of spermatogenesis.
     Ramel and Friberg (1974), using a dose of 62 mg (3.32 x  IQ-^M)  of cadmium
chlon'de/L of media, which was the maximum non-lethal dose in the toxicity test,
found a delay in larval development.  They also studied  the induction of  sex
chromosome loss.  In the sex chromosome loss  test, a total  of 23,360 chromosomes
from the treated group and 28,143 chromosomes from the control  group were tested.
The frequencies of sex chromosome losses were 0.3% and 0.2% for the  treated and
the control groups, respectively.
     The mutagenic activity of cadmium stearate was studied by  Yu. A. Revazova
(quoted in Sabalina 1968) in Drosophila melanogaster using the  sexi-linked
recessive lethal test.  Flies were fed a medium containing 10-20 mg  (5.45 x
10-5M to  1.09 x 10-4M) and 50-100 mg (2.72 x  10"4 to 5.45 x 1Q-4M) of cadmium
stearate/L substrate for 5-10 and 10-12 days, respectively.  The number  of sex-
linked recessive lethal mutations in 805 chromosomes analyzed was  1  (0.12%) for
the 5-10 day treatment, and the number-of sex-linked recessive  lethal mutations
in 2,192  chromosomes examined was 8 (0.36%) for the 10-12 day treatment.  When
larvae were treated with cadmium stearate concentration  of 100  mg/L  substrate
for 12 days and scored for sex-linked recessive lethal mutants  in  380 chromo-
somes, no mutants were discovered.  Cadmium stearate was also administered by
inhalation to adult flies for 32 hours  (4 hours daily for 8 days).   The  mean
cadmium concentration was 3 mg/m3.  The percentage of sex-linked recessive
lethal mutations among the 498 chromosomes was reported  to be 0.2%.  The con-
trol frequency of sex-linked recessive  lethal mutations  was not provided in the
paper.  The number of chromosomes tested was  not adequate in  this  study.  This
study provides no evidence of mutagenicity of cadmium in Drosophila, but the
                                       22

-------
scale of the study was too small  to be  considered  an  adequate  test  even  if
appropriate controls were presented.
     Induction of dominant lethal mutations  in  Drosophila  melanogaster with
                                                                    '- ;'- ' -"   •.'-'-'-*?,".. .',' ^
cadmium chloride has been reported by Vasudev and  Krishnamurthy (1979).   The
doses Used were 5 (2.72 x 10-5^), 10 (5.5 x  10-5M), and  20 ppm (1.1 x  IQ-^M).
The frequencies of dominant lethals were 11.8%, 14.3%, and 14.3%,  respectively,
in 1,244, 1,375, and 1,390 eggs counted.  The control  frequency was 4.83% in
1.076 eggs counted.  These investigators performed the experiment  according:  ,;
to the procedure described by Shankaranarayanan (1967) and determined  the
statistical significance to be at the 5% level, although they  did  not  mention
the type of statistical test employed.   Based on these observations, this
study is evaluated as an indicator of a positive response.  A  comparable study
in an independent laboratory would be of interest  for comparative  purposes.
     Ihoue and Watanabe (19780 studied  the effects of cadmium  chloride in the
sex-linked recessive lethal test (attached-X method)  in  Drosophila  melanogaster,
Oregon^-R flies.  In this test, the induction of mutations  was  measured by the
reduction in the proportion of males.  The sex  ratio  (0.528) in the experimental
group treated with 50 ppm (2.72 x 10~^M) was not statistically different from the
sex ratio of controls (0.54), indicating that cadmium chloride is  nonmutagenic.
The dosage selected was a maximally tolerated dose.   Both  positive  (AF-2) and
negative controls were used in the experiment.
     Ramel and Magnusson (1979) failed  to detect nondisjunction and sex chromosome
loss in Drosophila following treatment  of larvae with 62 ppm (3.32 x 10-%) of
cadmium chloride.  No data were presented; therefore, this study cannot  be
evHuated.                             \
     Chromosomal aberrations were observed in the  testes of the grasshopper,
Poekilocerus pictus, injected abdominally with  0.001  (5.45 x lO-^M), 0.01

                                       23

-------
(5.45 x 10-7M), and 0.05% (2.27 x 1Q-7M)  cadmium chloride  in  0.05 ml volumes
(Kumaraswamy and Rajasekarasetty 1977).   Stickiness  of  chromosomes, bridge
formation at anaphase-I, and tetraploidy  at  metaphase were noted.  The test
cannot be considered adequate, however, because no controls were used and no
tabulated data were presented.  The possibility of technical  artifacts must
also be considered, particularly because  chromosomal preparations were made by
a squash technique, and no controls were  used.

CHROMOSOMAL ABERRATIONS IN HUMAN AND OTHER MAMMALIAN SYSTEMS
     Chromosomal damage studies of cadmium,  both in  vitro  and jn_ vrvp_, are
summarized in Tables 4 and 5.  A discussion of  each  study  follows.

Studies on Human Chromosomes In Vitro
     Shiraishi et al. (1972) tested cadmium sulfide  for the induction  of
chromosomal aberrations in cultured human blood lymphocytes.   Lymphocytes
from a normal human female were cultured  for 72 hours  at 37°C.  At  8 and 4
hours prior to harvesting, the cultures were treated with  cadmium  sulfide
at a concentration of 6.2 x 10-2M.  Control  cultures were  incubated  similarly,
without the addition of cadmium sulfide.   Three hours  prior to harvesting,  cells
were treated with 0.02 ug/mL of colcemid  to obtain cells in the metaphase  stage
of mitosis.  Chromosome preparations Were made with  the standard procedure  (air-
drying technique) and stained with Giemsa stain.  Fifty metaphase  cells  were
scored from each treatment group for chromosomal aberrations.  The types of
aberrations described include chromatid and isochromatid breaks, and symmetrical
and asymmetrical translocations.  Increased incidences of chromosomal  aberrations,
52% 1n the 4-hour treatment group and 60% in the 8-hour treatment  group, were
noted over the control value of 0%.  This study utilized a blood sample from
only one donor; the history of the donor was not discussed.  Since only one
                                       24

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concentration of the compound was  used,  no  dose-response relationship is
available for this study.  In addition,  no  information was given on the
solvent used to dissolve the test  compound,  and the  number of cells scored was
small.  For these reasons, and because no indication as to the reproducibility
of the results was given, this study cannot  be  regarded as strong evidence for
the cytogeneticity of cadmium.
     Dekundt and Deminatti (1978)  investigated the mutagenic effects of cadmium
chloride in cultured human lymphocytes.  They treated two batches of cell cul-
tures and analyzed chromosomes as  follows:   One batch of cultures was treated
at 0 hours and at 24 hours after the initiation of cell cultures with 5 x 10-5
and 5 x 10~6M cadmium chloride. Chromosome preparations were made  48 hours after
the initiation of the culture, using the standard air-drying technique.   In cul-
tures treated 0 hour after the initiation,  one  hundred metaphases were scored
for each dose.  There were 3% aberrations  (1% aneuploidy, 2% gaps)  at 5 x lO-SM,
and 7% aberrations (5% aneuploidy, 2% gaps)  at  5  x 10~6M.   In cultures treated
24 hours after the initiation of cultures,  there  were 5% aberrations  (1%
aneuploidy, 4% gaps) at 5 x 10-5M, and 2% aberrations (1% gaps and  1% fragments)
at 5 x 10"6M.  The control aberration frequency was  5%  (3% aneuploidy, 2% gaps).
The other batch of cultures was treated  at  0 hour and 24 hours,  and chromosome
preparations were made 72 hours after the initiation of cell cultures.  One
hundred metaphases were analyzed for aberration frequencies from each group.
In cultures treated at 0 hour, there were 4% aberrations  (3% aneuploidy,  1%
gaps) at 5 x 10-5M, and 3% aberrations  (3%  aneuploidy) at 5 x 10-6M.  Cultures
treated after 24 hours of initiation exhibited  6% aberrations  (2% aneuploidy,
1%,fragment, 3% gaps) at 5 x 10~5M, and  4%  aberrations  (1% aneuploidy, 2% gaps)
at 5 x 10~6M.  The control frequencies were 1%  aneuploidy and 1% gaps.  The
first batch of cultures exhibited  aberration frequencies similar to the control
                                       30

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levels.  The second batch of cultures, treated only 24 hours after the initiation,
exhibited aberration frequencies two to three times above the control  levels.
These aberrations occurred mostly in the form of aneuploidy and gaps.   The signifi-
cance of chromosomal gaps is not yet understood, and they may not represent true
chromosomal aberrations because of their tendency toward restitution.   Furthermore,
the slight increase in the incidence of aneuploidy may be due to technical
difficulties, such as the scattering of chromosomes during the preparation of
slides, which tends to result in uneven distributions of cells.
     Paton and Allison (1972) exposed human lymphocyte cultures and cultures of
the- established human cell lines WI38 and MRC5 to at least two concentrations
(not specified) of cadmium chloride.  The duration of treatment was 48 hours
for lymphocytes and 24 hours for WI38 and MRC5.  Chromosomal preparations  from
100-200 cells were analyzed for aberrations.  No aberrations were recorded in
treated;cells, but because the actual  data from the experiment were not given,
the study cannot be critically evaluated.
  .   Gasiorek and Bauchinger (1981)  exposed unstimulated human blood lymphocytes
(GQ) in 1 ml quantities to 10'4, 10~5, 10'6, 10~7, and 10~8M of cadmium acetate
for 3 hours.  The cells were washed  free of cadmium acetate and grown  in,medium
containing fetal calf serum and PHA  for 48 hours at 37°C;  chromosome preparations
were made with the standard air-drying technique.  Chromosome analysis of  200
cells per treatment indicated a dose-related increase in the incidence of
chromosome gaps.  The frequencies of gaps were 0.160,  0.115, 0.135,  0.085,  and
0.055 per cell, respectively, for the  above doses, as  compared to the.  control
frequency ,of 0.058 per cell.   Data were analyzed by the  Mann-Whitney rank  U-test
to compare the incidence  of chromosome changes in different samples  (signifi-
cance taken as P < 0.05).  The frequencies of structural  aberrations (chromatid
deletions and acentric fragments) were 0.025, 0.010,  0.005, 0.020,  and 0.010 per
                                       31

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cell, respectively, for the same doses,  whereas  in  controls  the  frequency of
structural aberrations was 0.005 ^0.005 per cell.   Analysis by  Mann-Whitney
r*nk U-test indicated that structural  chromosome aberrations were  significantly
higher than in controls, although no dose-response  relationship  was  evident.
No metabolic activiation system was used.  Sufficient numbers of metaphases  (200
per dose) were scored, and a standard protocol  was  employed.  Although  these  data
suggest a mutagenic response, the lack of a dose-dependent response  makes  it
important that the results of this experiment be confirmed in another study.

Studies on Rodent Chromosomes In Vitro
     Rohr and Bauchinger  (1976) studied the effects of cadmium sulfate  in  the
Chinese hamster cell line "Hy" using three types of experiments.  In a  long-
term experiment without recovery, cells were exposed to cadmium sulfate at
concentrations of 10-8 to 10~5M.  Chromosome preparations were made  following
treatment of cells for 16 hours with 0.2 ug/mL of colecemid and hypotonic
solution.  The 16-hour time period was chosen in order to analyze  the cells
after exposure during a whole cell cycle.  Because concentrations  of 10~5M were
toxic to  cells after 16 hours of exposure, chromosome analysis could not be
made.   In a short-term experiment without recovery, cells were treated  only for
3 hours at a concentration 'range of 10-8 to 10-4M, and chromosome preparations
were made without the addition  of colcemid and hypotonic solution.  This e'xperi-
                                                                          i
                                                                          i
ment indicated a typical  stathmokinetic effect  (spindle inhibition) similajr to
that caused by colcemid.  The mitotic index increased with  higher concentrations
of cadmium sulfate.   In a short-term experiment with recovery, a concentration
                                                                          i
of 10"4M  was chosen, and  cells  grown on coverslips were exposed for  1 hour.
Cells with coverslips were washed free of cadmium  sulfate,  transferred to fresh
                                                                          i
medium, and grown  for  2 to 33 hours.  Chromosome preparations were  made atj
                                        32

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 2,  4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, and 33 hours after the cells were
 transferred to the test medium.  In all, 500 cells were scored for each
 recovery period.  The incidences of aberrations (0.2 to 0.6% structural and 2.4
 to  3.7% numerical) after 2 to 12 hours of recovery were similar to control
 levels (0.1% structural and 2.4% numerical).  Between 15 and 21 hours, the
 structural aberrations ranged from 10.2% to 22.8%, and the numerical aberrations
 ranged from 3.0% to 4.9%.  The aberration frequencies for the interval of 24 to
 33  hours were lower than for the interval of 15 to 21 hours.  During this
 period :(24-33 hours), the structural aberrations ranged from 1.2 to 4.4%, and
 the numerical aberrations ranged from 7.8% to 10.8% (2.4% in controls).
     The significance of this study is that cadmium was found to induce numerical
 chromosomal aberrations by interfering with spindle function.  Numerical chromosomal
 aberrations have been well documented in many forms of cancers.  Many chromosomally
fragile syndromes, such as Fanconi 's anemia, are predisposed for cancer induction.
     Deaven and Campbell (1980) studied the effects of cadmium chloride on
 chromospmes in CHO cells grown in the presence of bovine serum and fetal calf
 serum.  A concentration of 2 x 10~^M cadmium produced 17, 26, 62, and 74%
 damaged cells, respectively, at 12-, 24-, 36-, and 48-hour analyses of metaphase
 chromosomes.  However, the presence of fetal calf serum and 2 x IQ-^M cadmium
 chloride did not induce growth inhibition or chromosome aberrations.  According
 to these investigators, fetal  calf serum appeared to protect the cells from the
 damaging effects of cadmium, whereas newborn calf serum and human serum actively
 transported cadmium ions into the cell nuclei, thus damaging the chromosomes.
•These authors also examined the frequencies of sister chromatid exchanges
 (SCEs) in cells grown in F-10 containing 15% newborn calf serum at a concentration
 of 4 x 10~^M cadmium chloride (low to marginal toxicity).  The SCE rate was not
 elevated above control levels (10 SCEs/cell).  The range of SCEs was 2 to 18
                                       33

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for cadmium-treated cells,  and  the range  for  controls was 4 to 19 per cell.
This study is assessed as  inconclusive  for the  reason that the exact role of
serum in causing chromosome aberrations is still  not known.  The importance of
these data resides in the  fact  that virtually all  other  studies have failed to
consider the potential importance of the  choice of serum in such experiments.
     Umeda and Nishimura (1979) investigated  the clastogenic effects of
cadmium chloride in FM3A cells  derived  from C3H mouse carcinoma.  Cells were
grown in Eagles minimal essential medium supplemented with  10% bovine serum.
Cells were exposed to 6.4 x 10"5, 3.2 x 10~5, and 1.0 x  10~5M of aqueous cadmium
chloride.  After 24 and 45 hours of exposure, chromosome preparations were made
and analyzed.  One hundred metaphases were  scored for each  dose.  No significant
increase in the aberration frequency was  noted in treated cultures  as compared
to control cultures.  There were no metaphases in cells  treated with 6.4 x 10-5M
either at 24 hours or at 48 hours—an, indication of toxicity.  At  3.2 x 10-5M the
aberration frequencies were 2% and 3%,  at 24  and 48 hours respectively.  At the
lowest concentration of 1.0 x 10-5, the aberration frequencies were 1% each for
the 24- and 48-hour treatments.  The control  cultures  exhibited  2%  aberrations
at 24 hours and 1% aberrations at 48 hours.   Experiments were  performed using
accepted procedures.  Three concentrations  of the test  compound were  used, and
100 metaphases were scored for evaluation.
     Zasukhina et al.  (1977) reported increased aberration  yields  in  rat embryos
exposed to virus and cadmium chloride.  Rat embyro cultures were  infected with
Kilhman virus, and cadmium chloride  (3.5 x 10-6M) was  then  introduced  into the
cell cultures.  Chromosome preparations were  performed 24 hours  after the
infections.  Examination of metaphase cells  revealed a  10% aberration  rate  as
compared to a rate of  2% in controls.  In control cultures  infected with  virus
only, the aberration  frequency was 6%, and in cultures treated with cadmium
                                       34

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chloride only, the aberrations frequency was 3%.  These results indicate that
cadmium chloride enhances virus-induced chromosomal aberrations.  The researchers
also studied the effect of cadmium chloride on DNA; they reported cadmium
chloride-induced degradation with evidence for induction of nonreparable DNA
synthesis.

Studies on Human Chromosomes In Vivo
     Shiraishi and Yoshida (1972) and Shiraishi (1975) obtained markedly
positive results from Japanese Itai-Itai patients.  The Itai-Itai disease is
believed to be induced by cadmium contamination.  Analysis of blood lymphocytes
from 72-hour cultures derived from these patients exhibited a high rate of
chromosomal aberrations (26.7%) compared to the aberration rate in controls
(2.6%).  Blood cadmium levels were not given.  The exposure parameters used, in
this study are presented in Table 5.
     The results obtained by Shiraishi and Yoshida (1972) and Shiraishi (1975)
contradicted the results obtained by Bui et al. (1975),; who performed chromosomal
analysis in four Itai-Itai patients (blood cadmium level 15.5-28.8 ng/g), five
Swedish workers exposed to cadmium (blood cadmium level 24.7-61 ng/g), four
Japanese controls (blood cadmium level 4.4-6.1  ng/g), and three Swedish controls
(blood cadmium level  1.4-3.2 ng/g).  The incidences of aberrations after 72
hours of culture were 2.3% numerical  and 6.6% structural aberrations in the
Itai-Itai  patients,  as compared with the Japanese controls, in which frequencies
of 4,,5% numerical and 6.0% structural  aberrations occurred—a finding which
indicates  that no differences existed between the controls and the Itai-Itai
patients.   In the five Swedish workers exposed  to cadmium, chromosomal aberration
incidences were 1.0% numerical  and 2.0% structural  aberrations, while in the
three Swedish controls the frequencies were 0.7% numerical  and 4.7% structural
aberrations, indicating nonmutagenic responses.
                                      35

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     The discrepancy between the results  of  Shirashi  and  Yoshida  (1972) and
Bui et al. (1975) in Itai-Itai  patients could  possibly  be due to  factors other
than exposure to cadmium chloride, such as the time  of  initiation of  cultures
after the blood was drawn.  In  the experiment  of Bui  et al., the  subjects were
not exposed to drugs and X-rays, nor did  they  suffer from viral infections at
the time of venipuncture.  These factors  were  not controlled for  in the study
by Shirashi and Yoshida.
     Dekundt et al. (1973) investigated the  incidence of  chromosomal  aberrations
in 14 workers who had been exposed to zinc,  lead, and cadmium in  a zinc smelting
plant.  The workers were classified into  three groups based on  degree of exposure.
Group 1 consisted of five workers who had been exposed  to high  levels of zinc
(concentrations not specified), low levels  of  lead (1%  w/w  of the mineral),  and
cadmium (concentration negligible).  Group  2 consisted  of five  workers who had
been exposed to dust containing high levels  of all three  metals:   zinc (concen-
tration not specified), lead (4% w/w), and  cadmium (1%  w/w).  Group  3 consisted
of four workers who had been exposed to mud  and dust containing high  levels  of
lead (60% w/w) and cadmium (1% w/w).  The control group consisted of  three
normal individuals.  Chromosomal analysis from blood lymphocytes  cultured for
72 hours indicated 3.87%, 1.6%, and 2.76% aberrant cells, respectively, in
groups 1, 2, and 3, while the control frequency was 1.55%.   Since the incidence
of aberrations in group 3 was less than that in group 1,  it does  not  appear
that cadmium contributed to the frequency of aberrations  in this  study.  The
authors' analysis of their data using ;the t-test also indicated that cadmium
exposure did not induce a significant increase in the frequency of aberrations.
Blood cadmium levels were not determined  in  this experiment.
     Bauchinger et al.  (1976) studied 24 workers  (25-53 years  of  age) exposed
to lead (mean blood lead level   1 +_ 7 ug/100 ml) and cadmium (mean blood cadmium
                                      36

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 level 0.40 j^ 0.27 ug/mL).  The workers were exposed to these metals for
 approximately 3 to 6.5 years at a smelting plant.  Of the 4,800 metaphases
 scored from lymphocytes cultured for 48 hours, an increase in both chromosomal
 and chromatid-type aberrations (1.354 +_ 0.994%) was noted, in comparison with
 an aberration frequency of 0.467 _+ 0.916% in 1,650 metaphases derived from 15
 controls (mean blood cadmium level 0.15 ug/mL).  The authors point out that
 "the observed chromosome aberrations cannot be causally related to cadmium
 because the workers were also exposed to lead and zinc."  Dekundt and Leonard
 (1975) reported a significant (P < 0.02) increase in the incidence of "complex
 chromosomal aberrations" in a group of 23 men exposed to high levels of
 cadmium and lead (23.5 to 75.9 ug/100 ml), as compared with controls.
     O'Riordan et al. (1978) studied chromosomal  aberrations in blood lympho-
 cytes from 40 workers exposed to cadmium salts (chemical  names not specified, mean
 blood cadmium level 1.95 ug/100 ml range < 0.2 to 14.0 ug/100 ml) for a period
 of 6 weeks to 34 years.  In 3,740 cells examined  from these workers, four
 chromatid interchanges were observed.  In the control  population of 1,243
 cells derived from 13 normal subjects (mean blood cadmium level  less than 0.2
 ug/100 ml in 8 donors and 0.6 to 2.9 ug/mL in 5 donors),  no aberrations were
 observed.  Since data were pooled from all  of the 40 workers studied,  it is
 not clear whether the four chromatid interchanges came from one exposed
worker or from more than one worker.  The occurrence of chromatid exchanges,
though small  in number (4/3,740 cells), does  not  necessarily indicate  a negative
 response, but does  indicate that  the study  should be considered inconclusive.
     Most of  these  studies of smelting plant  workers reflect  mixed exposures
to cadmium and to other metals  such  as zinc,  lead,  chromium,  and  nickel.
Since smelters commonly process  relatively  crude  materials,  exposure to these
                                      37

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other metals cannot be eliminated as possible  contributors  to  the  observed
effects.

Studies on Rodent Chromosomes In Vivo                               ,
     Dekundt and Gerber (1979) investigated the in  vivo  cytogenetic  effects  of
ChdnVium chloride (3.27 x 10-7M, 0.06%) in mice.  Mice were  maintained  on  a
standard diet (1.1% calcium) or on a low-calcium diet (0.03%)  for  one  month.
In both cases the diet was supplemented with cadmium chloride.  Cadmium
chloride did not induce chromosomal  aberrations in  bone  marrow cells signifi-
cantly above the control level either in the normal  or in the  low-calcium diet
groups.  The frequency of aberrations in animals treated with  cadmium  chloride
that were given the standard diet (1.1% calcium) was 2.20%, and the  frequency
in animals treated with cadmium chloride that  were  given the low calcium  diet
(0.03%) was 1.60%.  The control frequencies .were 1.8% and  2.0%, respectively.
The results indicate that cadmium chloride does not induce  chromosomal
aberrations in mice by this route of exposure.

Micronucleus Assay
     The micronucleus assay is based on the fact that chromosome fragments
induced by mutagenic chemicals are unable to segregate normally due  to lack
of centromeres during cell division, and form small nuclei  or micronuclei in
daughter cells.  Meddle and Bruce (1977) studied the ability of cadmium
chloride to induce micronuclei in the mouse.  Three groups  of  mice (F"i of
C57BL/6X C3H/He), each group containing three  animals, were given dally
intraperitoneal injections of cadmium chloride for  5 days  with total doses  of
1, 6, and 16 mg/kg, respectively.  Mice were sacrificed, bone marrow smears
were prepared, and 333 polychromatic erythrocytes from each mouse were scored
for the presence of micronuclei.  No increase  in the incidence of micronuclei
                                      38

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was observed.  In this study, 1,000 cells were analyzed  for each  dose  group
(333 cells from each of 3 mice).  The spontaneous  frequency of micronuclei was
0.5%.  An observation of 1% over the control  value was considered a  positive
response.  According to these authors, the frequency of  micronuclei  in the
experimental groups did not differ from the control level.   These results are
presently considered to be inconclusive.  The data should be confirmed with
larger numbers of animals (10 per dose group) and  analyses  of at  least 2,000
polychromatic erythrocytes per dose group.

Dominant Lethal Assay
     The ability of cadmium chloride to induce dominant  lethal  mutations, which
result in the death of fetuses during various stages of  development, has been
investigated (Epstein et al. 1972; Gilliavod and Leonard 1975;  Ramaiya and
Ppmerantseva 1977; Suter 1975; Sutou et al. 1980 a, b).
     Epstein et al. (1972) evaluated the dominant  lethal  effects  of  cadmium
chloride in ICR/Ha mice.  Groups of seven or nine  male mice, 8 to 10 weeks of
aga, were injected intraperitoneally with 1.35, 2.7, 5.4, and 7.0 mg/kg of
cadmium chloride in distilled water.  Treated males were bred with virgin
females 8 to 10 weeks.of age.  Each male was allowed to  mate with three virgin
females! per week for 8 weeks.  Mated females were  sacrificed on the  13th day
and analyzed for dead (dominant lethals) and live  implants.  According to
these authors, cadmium chloride did not induce a statistically  signficant
increase in dominant lethal mutations over the control value.  This  study
sampled all germ cell  stages, spermatozoa, spermatids, spermatocytes,  and
spermatogonia.
     Gilliavod and Leonard (1975) investigated the dominant lethal effects of
cadmium chloride in another strain of mice, BALB/c.  One dose of  1.75  mg/kg
cadmium chloride was injected into male mice (11-13 weeks of age)  through the

                                      39

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intraperitoneal route.  The treated males were bred with three virgin  females
evary week for 3 weeks.  The mated females were sacrificed  on  the 10th day,
                                      ;                                   i
and the number of corpora lutea and dead and live implants  were counted and
compared with controls.  No dominant lethal effects were observed in treated
or control groups.                    •
     These investigators treated the parent male mice with  only one acute
dose of the test compound.  Furthermore, they bred the treated males with
normal females for only 3 weeks, which is too short a period of time in which
to sample stages of spermatogenesis.  The standard method of performing a
dominant lethal test is to breed the treated males for 8 weeks.  For the above
reasons, this report is judged to be inconclusive.
     Suter (1975) studied the mutagenic  effects of cadmium  chloride using the
dominant lethal assay in female mice (FI progeny of C3H and C57BLA).   According
to this investigator, cadmium chloride had no dominant lethal  effects  in female
mice.  Female mice of the Fj_ (10 x C3H)  stock were injected intraperitoneal ly with
2 mg/kg cadmium chloride, exposing the germ cells (oocytes) at the dictyate stage
of development, and were bred with untreated males for 0.5  to  4.5 days  post-
injection.  Mated females, as evidenced  by the vaginal  plug, were sacrified 12-15
days later, and the numbers of corpora lutea, total  implants,  living implants, and
percent of dead implants per female were determined.   No differences were noted
between the treated and control  groups.   In the treated group,  the frequencies
of corpora lutea, total  implants, living implants, and dead implants per female
were 8.2, 7.8, 6.9, and 6.9% respectively, as compared to control  frequencies
of 7.6, 6.8,  6.4, and 6.1% per female.
     Ramaiya  and Pomerantseva (1977) investigated the mutagenic effect  of
cadmium chloride using the dominant lethal test.  FI  hybrid mice (CBA  x C57BL)
aged 2.5 to 3 months were selected for these studies.  Males were given a
                                      40

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single  intraperitoneal injection of aqueous cadmium chloride solution.  Three
doses,  1.0, 2.0, and 4 mg/kg, were employed.  LDso was determined to be 6.9
trig/kg*  Treated males were mated with untreated females for a period of 6
weeks,  covering the entire spermatogenic cycle.  Dominant lethals, as noted by
preimplantation and postimplantation losses and the ratio between the dead and
live implants, were recorded.  No significant (P > 0.01) increases in the
dominant lethal frequencies were recorded.  These results are regarded as
negative since the authors followed appropriate protocols, the dosage selection
was based on 1059, and the data were analyzed statistically.
     From the above studies it appears that cadmium chloride has no mutagenic
potential as measured by the mammalian dominant lethal test.  However, the
exact nature of the damage that results in dominant lethal effects is not known.
The mammalian dominant lethal test is not considered to be a sensitive test for
detecting all types of mutagens (Russel and Matter 1980) because of the high
spontaneous levels of dominant lethal events that occur during development.

Heritable Trans!ocation Assay
     Gilliavod and Leonard (1975)  evaluated the mutagenic effects of cadmium
chloride in BALB/c mice using the FI heritable translocation assay.  Male mice
(number not specified) were treated with 1.75 mg/kg of cadmium chloride
intraperitoneally, and each treated male was bred with three untreated virgin
females once weekly for 3 weeks.   The spermatocytes of the resulting 120 Female
progeny were analyzed for the presence of heritable chromosomal  translocation
by standard cytogenetic methods.   No evidences of heritable  translocation were
noted in the spermatocytes of FI  males.   This portion  of the study is regarded
as inconclusive for the following  reasons:   Only a single concentration of
                                      41

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cadmium chloride was used;  treated  males were mated for only 3 weeks instead of
for 8 weeks; and no experimental  controls  were  used.
     Gilliavod and Leonard  (1975) also  investigated the mutagenic effects of
cadmium chloride in BALB/c  mice using the  spermatocyte assay.  Males in groups
of 10 were treated with 0.5, 1.75,  and  3.0 mg/kg  of cadmium chloride intra-
peritoneally.  After 3 months, treated  males were sacrificed and spermatocytes
(100 cells per animal) in the testes were  analyzed for translocations that may
have been passed on from treated spermatogonia.  No translocations were found
in either treated or control animals.  The spermatocyte assay is not a very
sensitive test and is not commonly  employed in  mutagenicity tests; therefore
this portion of the Gilliavod and Leonard  (1975)  study is  also regarded as
inconclusive.

Chromosomal Nondisjunction  (Aneuploidy) in Whole  Mammals
     The effects of cadmium chloride on oocytes of mice  (Shimada et  al. 1976),
on oocytes of Syrian hamsters (Watanabe et al.  1979), and  on spermatocytes of
mice (Gilliavod and Leonard 1975) have  been investigated.
     Shimada et al. (1976)  induced  superovulation by  injecting female mice,  ddy
strain, with 5 international units  (iu) of pregnant mare's serum  (PMS)  followed
48 hours later by 5 iu of human chorionic  gonadotrophin  (HCG).  Mice* were
given 3 mg/kg or 6 mg/kg of cadmium chloride  3  hours  after the administration
of HCG, and were dissected  12 hours after  the  cadmium chloride administration.
Chromosome preparations were made from unfertilized oocytes  at the  second
meiotic metaphase, using the method described  by Tarkowski (1966).   No  structural
chromosome abnormalities were found.  However,  numerical  aberrations (aneuploidy)
were found to be statistically significant (P  = 0.015)  in  the  dose  group  of  3
mg/kg group as compared to  controls.  The  authors postulated that this  non-
disjunction may be due to the spindlerinhibiting effects  of cadmium*
                                      42

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      Watanabe  et  al.  (1979),  using  Syrian hamster oocytes and cadmium chloride,
 reported  even  more  pronounced incidences of aneuploidy.  Cadmium chloride at
 concentrations of 1.0,  2.0, and 4 mg/kg was injected subcutaneously to groups
 of  20 female Syrian hamsters  5 hours before ovulation.  Matched controls were
 given equal volumes of  normal  saline.  Females were sacrificed 12 hours after
 the treatment, and  the  oocytes were recovered from the ampulla.  Analysis
 revealed  that  6 females out of 20 from the 1.0 mg/kg group, 11 females out of
 20  from the 2.0 mg/kg group,  and 12 females out of 20 from the 4.0 mg/kg group
 had numerical  chromosomal abnormalities, such as hyperhaploidy and diploidy in
 oocytes,  as compared to 3 out of 20 in control females.  The results were
 statistically  significant (P  < 0.05 and P < 0.01) in the treated groups as com-
 pared to  the control group.   Cadmium-treated animals were also analyzed for
 cadmium accumulation in the ovary, using atomic absorption spectrophotometry.
 The  results indicated statistically significant (P < 0.05) increases in the
 accumulation of cadmium in the ovaries of treated females as compared to
 control females.  Both of these results appear to indicate a positive response
 of  cadmium in  inducing numerical  chromosomal  abnormalities in mammalian oocytes.
      Watanabe  and Endo  (1982) analyzed the chromosomes  of the blastocysts from
 mice  treated with cadmium at the metaphase 1  stage of oogenesis  to determine
 the effects of cadmium from the oogenesis stage to the  preimplantation  stage.
 Female virgin mice of 8-12 weeks  of age were  induced to superovulate by admin-
 istering 5 iu of pregnant mare's  serum (PMS)  followed in  48  hours  by 5  iu of
 of human chorionic gonadotrophin  (HCG).   Three hours after HCG administration,
the animals were injected subcutaneously  with  1.5  mg or 3.0  mg/kg  body  weight
 of cadmium chloride.  Shortly  after the treatment  with  cadmium chloride,  they
were mated with males  of the same  age  group.   About  80  hours  after mating,
the females were injected intraperitoneally with 4.0 mg/kg of colchicine,  and
                                      43

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2 hours later the animals were sacrificed,  blastocysts from the uterus were
placed into Hanks'  balanced salt  solution,  and  chromosome preparations were
made.  Aneuploid cells were found in 8 out  of 65 blastocysts from the group
treated with 1.5 mg/kg of cadmium, and 10 out of 63 blastocysts from the group
treated with 3.0 mg/kg of cadmium, indicating that chromosomal nondisjunctions
induced in oocytes are transmitted to embryos.   In the control group, aneuploidy
was found in 2 blastocysts out of 59.
     All of the above studies strongly indicate that  cadmium acts mutagenically
to alter the number of chromosomes through  spindle inhibition.  The concentrations
of cadmium used in these studies  were similar to those that have been used in
cancer bioassays.  Supporting evidence that another metal induces chromosomal
nondisjunction can be obtained from studies of  methyl mercury  in Drosophila
melanogaster (Ramel and Magnusson 1979) and in  Syrian hamsters  (Mailhes  1983).
Th2 occurrence of aneuploidy is well documented in cancer cells.  Many chromoso-
maily fragile syndromes, such as  Fanconi's  anemia, ataxia telangiectasia, and
Bloom's syndrome, have been known to be predisposed for  cancer induction.
Colchicine, the well-known spindle inhibitor, has  been used clinically for the
treatment of gout.  There have been reports that these patients  carry  numerical
chromosomal abnormalities in their blood lymphocytes  (Ferreira and  Buoniconti
1968).  Epidemiological studies at the National Cancer  Institute  (Dr.  Robert
Hoover, personal communication) are presently  being conducted  to  determine the
susceptibility of these types of patients to cancer.

Sperm Abnormality Assay in Mammals
     Heddle and Bruce  (1977) evaluated the effects of cadmium  by  means  of the
sperm abnormality assay.  The sperm abnormality assay is based on  the  observa-
tion of increased incidence of sperm heads with abnormal shapes as  a  result  of
                                      44

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exposure to chemical mutagens (Wyrobek and Bruce 1975).  Three groups of mice
of the genotype (C57BL/6 x C3H/He)Fi, each consisting of three mice, were given
daily ihtraperitoneal injections of cadmium chloride for 5'days with doses of
1, 43 and 16 mg/kg, respectively.  After sacrifice of the animals by means of
cervical dislocation, sperm suspensions were made from sperm collected from the
cauda epididymis.  The sperm suspensions were stained with 1% eosin-Y in water,
and smears were dried and mounted under coverslips.  One thousand sperm heads
were evaluated for morphological abnormalities.  The background frequency of
sperm head abnormalities in the control populations was 1%.   Under the condi-
tions of .the test, no increases in sperm head abnormalities  were observed in
the treated group as compared to controls.
CHROMOSOMAL ABERRATIONS IMPLANTS
     Levan (1945) reported that treatment of Alii urn cepa root-tips with cadmium
chloride induced C-mitosis.  This observation was later confirmed by Avanzi
(1950), using cadmium chloride concentrations ranging from 2 x lO'^M to 5 x  10~2M,
Oehlkers (1953) reported that cadmium nitrate induced chromosomal  aberrations
in Vicia faba.  Van Rosen (1953, 1954) reported the genotoxicity of cadmium  as
evidenced by chromosomal aberrations in the root-tips of plants such as Alii urn
cepa, Beta vulgaris, Pi sum abyslnnicum, and Vi ci a  sativa.  Similar observations
were made by Degraeve (1971) in Horedeum sativum and by Ruposhev and Garina
(1977) in Crepis capillaris.  Aberrations reported in these  studies were of
both chromatic and chromosomal  types,  with dose-related responses.   Since
many of these studies were published in foreign languages, the present  report
utilizes a summary derived'from the review article published by Degraeve (1981).:
                                      45

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BIOCHEMICAL STUDIES INDICATIVE OF  MUTAGENIC  DAMAGE
     Some information is available on  the  effects of cadmium on animals, and
although this information cannot,  strictly speaking, be considered mutagenicity
test data, it may be useful  in evaluating  the  ability  of cadmium to reach and
damage the gonads.  Dixon et al.  (1976)  reported that  cadmium chloride at 2.24
m&/kg, administered intraperitoneally, caused  damage to rat testes.  A single
10 mg/kg intraperitoneal injection caused  selective destruction of rat testes.
Cadmium chloride, when administered intraperitoneally  at 1 mg/kg, reduced the
fertility of male mice at all  sperm cell stages except that of spermatozoa  (Lee
and Dixon 1973).  However, single  oral doses up to 25  mg/kg had no effect on
the fertility of male rats (Dixon  et al.  1976), and cadmium chloride at 0.1
mg/L in drinking water for up to  90 days had no effect on the fertility of male
rats.  Intraperitoneal injection  of cadmium  chloride at 1/mg/kg decreased the
incorporation of thymidine into spermatogonia  in mice  (Lee and Dixon 1973).
These authors also observed the binding of cadmium to  late spermatids in viyo
and in vitro.  Friedman and Staub  (1976) studied the effects of cadmium chloride
on ONA synthesis in Swiss mice.  Cadmium chloride at 10 mg/kg inhibited DNA
synthesis significantly.  An aqueous solution  of cadmium chloride was injected
intraperitoneally at the above dose into five  male mice, and the mice were
                                                                   i
sacrificed 3.5 hours later.  Thirty minutes  prior to sacrifice, mice were
injected with 10 uCi [3H] thymidine.  Controls received only 10 uCi [3H] thymidine.
Testes were removed following cervical dislocation,  DNA was isolated, and the
specific activity was determined.   Cadmium chloride was found to induce a
statistically significant (P < 0.01) inhibition  of  [3H] thymidine uptake  (1.90
+. 0*58) in the testes as compared to controls  (7.45  +_ 1.44).
     Mitra and Bernstein  (1977, 1978) reported that when E_. coli cultures were
exposed to 3 x 1Q-6M cadmium (Cd2+), 82 to 95% of the  cells lost their  ability
                                      46

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tn form colonies on agar plate.   Analysis  of  DNA strands  from  cells  treated with
various doses of Cd2+ indicated  that  there was  a dose-related  increase  in the
breakage of single-strand DNA.  These investigators  believe  that  the loss of
viability in cadmium-treated cells  is due  to  the single-strand DNA breakage.
GadmiUm'-treated cells recovered  viability  when  grown in Cd2+-free liquid medium
containing 10 mM hydroxyurea.
     Si rover and Loeb (1976) investigated  the infidelity  of  DNA synthesis brought
about by cadmium chloride and cadmium acetate.   Their assay  measured the pertur-
bation in the fidelity of DNA synthesis in vitro caused by soluble metal salts.
Cadmium chloride and cadmium acetate  were  found to  decrease  the fidelity of
DNA synthesis.  Cadmium chloride has  also  been  found to induce concentration-
dependent inhibition of RNA synthesis (Hoffman  and  Niyogi  1977).

SUMMARY
     Cadmium has been investigated  for mutagenic activity  in both prokaryotic
and eukaryotic systems.  Gene mutation studies  in Salmonella typhimurium and
E. coli have produced inconclusive  results.  However, cadmium  in  concert with
MNNG induced dose-related increases in both reverse  and forward mutations in
Sal monel1 a typhimuriurn.  In yeast,  gene mutation studies  have  also been
inconclusive.  In three gene mutation studies (in mammalian  cell  cultures,
mouse lymphoma cells, and Chinese hamster  lung  and  ovary  cells) weak mutagenic
responses to cadmium were observed.  In another gene mutation  study, which
used mammalian cell cultures, dose-related increases in mutation  frequency
were obtained, indicating that cadmium is  mutagenic.
     Rec-assay in Bacillus subtilis resulted  in a weak mutagenic  response.
In the Drosophila sex-linked recessive lethal test,  cadmium  was found to be
nonmutagenic.  However, the negative  response in this study  may have been due
                                      47

-------
tu inadequate test controls.  The dominant  lethal test  in  Drosophila  resulted
in a positive response with a dose-response relationship.
     The results of chromosomal  aberration  studies  in human  lymphocytes and
human cell  lines treated with cadmium have  been  conflicting  and  contradictory.
In Chinese hamster cells, chromosomal  aberrations were  noted following treatment
with cadmium; however, in mouse  carcinoma cells, no aberrations  were  recorded
in response to cadmium treatment.  In rodents, treatment with cadmium induced
no chromosomal aberrations or micronUclei in bone marrow cells.   Similarly, no
dominant lethal mutations were noted in mice treated with  cadmium.  Chromosomal
aberrations and gene mutations in plants exposed to cadmium  have also been
recorded.
     The evidence that cadmium is a mutagen that interferes  with spindle
formation comes from both in vitro and in vivo studies  in  mammals.  In in vitro
studies using the Chinese hamster cell line "Hy," cadmium  induced a stathmokinetic
(spindle-inhibitory) effect similar to that of colchicine, which is a known spindle
poison.  Cadmium also was found  to increase numerical chromosome aberrations
(aneuploidy) in these cells.  Similar and more significant results were obtained
in otudies on aneuploidy in whole mammals.   In female mice and Syrian hamsters,
cadmium induced chromosomal nondisjunction  leading  to aneuploidy in germ cells.
A recent study demonstrated that the numerical aberrations induced by cadmium
chloride in female germ cells of mice are inherited in  the embryos.
     The results of gene mutation studies in mammalian  cell  cultures, rec-assays
in bacteria, chromosomal nondisjunction studies  in  cultured  mammalian cells and
intact mammals, chromosomal aberration studies in plants,  and biochemical studies
indicative of mutagenic damage,  together with the synergistic effect  in Salmonella
and rat embryo cultures, support the conclusion  that cadmium is  mutagenic.
                                      48

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                                 CARCINOGENICITY


      Much of the evidence for the carcinogenicity of cadmium has been reviewed

 Critically in earlier documents (IARC 1973, 1976; U.S. EPA 1977, 1981; Sunderman

 19^7, 1978; Hernberg 1977).   This section updates findings mentioned previously

 and discusses recent findings not mentioned in earlier reviews.


 ANIMAL STUDIES                                                              .

 Inhalation Study in Rats

      A carcinogenicity study of cadmium administered to male Wistar rats by

 inhalation was reported by Takenaka et al.  (1983).   The animals were placed in

 a 225-liter inhalation chamber for exposure to cadmium chloride (CdCl^)  aerosol.

 Aerosol  was generated by atomizing a solution of CdCl?, and airflow through .the

 atomizer was 0.7 L/min.   Analytical  measurements of  cadmium levels  were  made by

 collecting aerosol  samples in membrane filters in the intake and exhaust of the

'inhalation chamber.   The data in Table 6 show that measured and nominal  cadmium

 levels were quite close.   An aerosol  centrifuge was  used to estimate particle

 size  distribution.   Aerodynamic mass  median  diameters were 0.55 urn  with  an

 arithmetic standard  deviation of 0.48 urn.
             TABLE  6.   NOMINAL  AND MEASURED CADMIUM CONCENTRATIONS OF
                 CADMIUM  CHLORIDE AEROSOLS USED  FOR  INHALATION
                              (Takenaka et al.  1983)
Nominal concentrations
Measured concentrations
Standard deviation
Number of measurements
ug/m3
ug/m3
ug/m3
--
50.0
50.8
5.9
212
25.0
25.7
3.6
220
12.5
13.4
2.1
210
                                       49

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     The animals were initially 6 weeks  old  and weighed 133 to 135 g.  For 18
 »•
months, 40 rats per group were  continuously  exposed to cadmium concentrations
of 12.5 ug/m3, 25 ug/m3,  and 50 ug/m3.   A control  group of 41 rats received
filtered air during the same period.   Following the treatment period, the
animals were allowed to survive for an additional  13 months until sacrifice.
Body weights were recorded every 3 months during the entire study period.
Decedents and survivors were necropsied, and tissues and organs were removed
for histopathologic examination.  Skulls were  decalcified for pathologic
evaluation.  Samples of liver,  lung,  and kidney were digested in acid for
estimation of cadmium content by atomic  absorption spectroscopy.
     Differences in body weights (Table  7) and mean survival times (Table 8)
among control and treated animals were not statistically significant (P > 0.05).
     A dose-related increase in the incidence  of primary lung carcinomas in
treated animals was evident, as shown in Table 8.  The first epidertnoid carcinoma
and the first adenocarcinoma were found  at 20  and  22 months, respectively, after
treatment commenced.  Several treated rats also develped adenomas and nodular
hyperplasia in the lung.   Metastases  to  the  regional lymph nodes and the kidneys
and invasion into the regional  lymph  nodes and the heart occurred in some rats
with lung carcinomas.  No lung tumors were found in control animals.
     Nonneoplastic lesions and various tumors  in other organs were found in
both control and treated animals.  None  of these additional tumor types and non-
neoplastic lesions was significantly  (P  > 0.05) different among the four groups.
     The data in Table 9 show that cadmium was retained in the lungs, livers,
and kidneys of survivors  for as long  as  13 months  after cessation of exposure.
Analysis of these tissues indicated that cadmium was absorbed and circulated
throughout the body and that, although the lung was the target organ for carcino-
genicity, the kidney retained the largest amounts  of cadmium.  Increases in cadmium
                                      50

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levels were dose-related in liver in  all  treatment  groups and in lung and


kidney in the mid-dose and high-dose  groups.   Pathologic changes apparently


Were not observed in kidney and liver,  thus  suggesting that the cadmium levels

                                       i
found did not have a toxic effect in  these tissues.


     The authors attributed their success in  demonstrating the carcinogenicity


of cadmium to:  1) performance of a long-term study using CdCl2 aerosols that


were retained at a rather high level  in the  lungs after cessation of exposure,


and 2) continuous observation of the  animals  over an extended duration  (31


months).  Most of the lung carcinomas were detected after the 27th month of the


study.


     In a pilot study in the same laboratory, four  adenomas and one adenocarcinoma

                                                                    i        *3
were found in 10 rats after 18 months of  exposure to a CdCl2 aerosol (20 ug/m ).


There was no observation period after the 18-month  exposure  (Heering et al. 1979).


These results fit well with the data  obtained in the more detailed study conducted

                             *          '                             \
by Takenaka et al. (1983).   .


     In.a recent investigation, Greenspan and Morrow (1984) showed that

                                       ,             o
exposure of rats to an aerosol of CdCl2 at  5 mg Cd/m for 30 minutes reduced


the number of particles phagocytized  by the  lung macrophages for up tb  8 days.


At an airborne concentration of 1.5 mg  Cd/m3 the phagocytization of particles


was stimulated.  The adhering properties  of  the phagocytes were reduced at both.


exposure concentrations for as long as  12 days. The potential of CdCl2 for


altering the normal phagocytic activity could explain why Takenaka et al.


(1983)-were able to produce such a marked carcinogenic response.


     In an earlier study, Hadley et al. (1979) reported one  lung tumor  among 34


male Wistar rats one year after they  had  been exposed to 60 ug/L of cadmium


oxide (CdO) for 30 minutes.  While this regimen was not adequate for a  determina-


tion of carcinogenicity, it is noteworthy that the  authors of the study observed



                                       54                           :

-------
testicular alterations after this treatment.  They pointed out that these changes
occurred at doses lower than the minimum effective dose required to induce degen-
eration with soluble cadmium salts given parenterally if no more than a 20%
pulmonary retention is assumed (1.5 u moles Cd/kg for inhalation versus 5-10 u
itHJleS Cti/kg).
     Oberdoerster et al.  (1979) compared the lung clearance of CdO and CdCl2 after
a 45-minute exposure to airborne concentrations of 930 ug/m^ and 760 ug/m^, respec-
tively.  The aerodynamic mass medium diameters were 0.38 and 0.46 urn for CdCl2
and CdO, respectively.  Despite the differences in chemical solubility, the long-
term clearances were equal.  The only difference was that cadmium was cleared more
rapidly in the first eight days after exposure.  The authors suggested that this
might be due to bronchial clearance mechanisms for the less soluble CdO particles.

Intratracheal Studies in Rats                               "     •;.-..
     Sanders and Mahaffey (1984) evaluated the carcinogenicity of CdO in male
Fischer 344 rats.  Four groups of 46 to 50 rats each were treated as follows:
Group 1 (untreated controls) received one intratracheal  instillation of 0.9%
sodium chloride solution (the dosing vehicle); Group 2 was given an intratracheal
instillation of 25 ug CdO when 70 days old; Group 3 received intratracheal
instillation of 25 ug CdO when 70 and 100 days old for a total dose of 50 ug;
Group 4 was given intratracheal instillations of 25 ug CdO when 70, 100, and
130 days old for a total  dose of 75 ug.  The authors stated that the 25-ug dose
was 75% of the 1050 by the route of administration used.  Instilled CdO had a
count median diameter of 0.5 urn.  The animals were allowed to survive until
spontaneous death.  All animals were necropsied, organs were weighed, and
tumors, lesions, and major tissues and organs from all of the rats (except 12
lost due to autolysis or cannibalism) were examined histopathologically.
                                       55

-------
     Median survival  times  were 793,  824,  785,  and 788 days for Groups 1, 2, 3,
and 4, respectively.   Survival  times  and organ  weights (body weights were not
obtained) were similar (P > 0.05)  between  control and treated groups.  Statistical
analysis of tumor data by life-table  and contingency table methods revealed no
significant (P > 0.05) differences among the  four groups.  Lung tumor findings
consisted of adenocarcinomas in two rats of 48  in Group  3 that were killed at
880 days.  However, when all CdO-treated groups were pooled and tested by life-
table methods for differences in tumor incidences from the controls (Group 1),
a statistically significant (P = 0.043) increase in mammary tumors was observed.
In addition, the frequency of rats with three or more tumors was  increased in the
high-dose group (P = 0.044).  Since cadmium has been shown by Chandler et al.
(1976) to inhibit testosterone release and increase circulating levels of
leuteinizing hormone, a possible tumor promoter, the finding of increased
mammary tumors in the males is more than plausible when  one considers the
rather high background rate normally found in female rats of this strain.
     While cadmium, as CdO, did not produce lung tumors  under the conditions of
this study, the protocol used may not have been as sensitive an indicator of the
respiratory carcinogenic potential of cadmium as would a design that included
lifetime exposures by inhalation, particularly  in  reference to the carcinogenicity
study by Takenaka et al. (1983) discussed  herein.  Lung  tissue was not analyzed
for cadmium content in the Sanders and Mahaffey (1984) study.  However,  clearance
of 80% of an intratracheally instilled dose of  15  ug 109CdO from  the lung in
male Fischer 344 rats, with an elimination half-life of  4 hours,  has been observed
(Hadley et al. 1980).  In addition, the distribution within the lung of  the
cadmium was probably not equivalent to that which would  have resulted  from an
inhalation exposure.  Oberdoerster et al.  (1980) showed, using CdCl2»  that after
a 1-hour nose-only inhalation exposure, 16% more cadmium was deposited in the
                                       56

-------
alveolar area as compared with intratracheal instillation.  Hence, a lifetime
inhalation exposure to CclO also might have presented a stronger challenge for
carcirtdgenicity by providing a greater cumulative dose Of cadmium within target
(lung) tissue.
     The increase of mammary tumors observed in the Sanders and Mahaffey (1984)
investigation is in keeping with the finding of relatively rapid clearance of
CdO from the lungs and translocation into other tissues following inhalation
(Hadley et al. 1979) or intratracheal instillation of CdO (Hadley et al. 1980).
In view of the positive pulmonary findings with CdCl2 (Takenaka et al.  1983)
and less severe but more marked extrapulmonary effects (Sanders and Mahaffey
1984, Hadley et al. 1979) and increased extrapulmonary tissue concentrations
(Hadley et al. 1980) with the chemically less soluble CdO, the observation of
Hadley et al. (1979) that airborne cadmium may constitute a potential hazard to
both lung and extrapulmonary tissues is noteworthy.   It is necessary, however,
to apply caution when the chemical (rather than the biological or the pulmonary)
solubility of cadmium salts is used in predicting the behavior of chemicals in
complex biological systems.  This view is also supported by the work of
Oberdoerster et al. (1979), which showed no difference in the long-term lung
clearance rate of inhaled CdO or CdCl2.
     Furst et al. (1973), as part of a larger investigation of the induction of
mesotheliomas by metal  in asbestos, performed a preliminary assessment  of the
effects of intrathoracic injections of powdered cadmium.   The test materials,
suspended in saline solution, were injected into the right portion of the
thoracic cavity through the intercostal muscles.  The authors indicated that
injection of 3 mg of cadmium once a month for 5 months did not produce  any
tumors, but was too toxic.   The rats treated with cadmium became emaciated  and
lethargic.   In an effort to reduce the toxicity of the cadmium, a second group
                                       57

-------
of five male and five female Fischer 344 rats were injected intrathoracically
with 3 mg of cadmium powder and 6 mg of zinc powder in physiological  saline  once
a month for 5 months.  The zinc' reduced the overt toxicity of the cadmium.   At
the end of the 10-month experimental period, 3 of the 10 rats had developed  tumors,
as compared to 0/20 in the controls.  The first of these tumors  was  evident  at
120 days after the first injection.   The tumors were diagnosed as mesotheliomas,
probably malignant.  No tumors were  observed in the rats treated with zinc only.

Injection Studies in Mice and Rats
     Injection of cadmium metal or certain salts of cadmium has  been shown to
produce sarcomas at the site of the  injection, as well as testicular tumors
(Leydig cell, interstitial cell) in  experimental animals.  These studies  are
summarized in Table 10.  The usefulness of subcutaneous injections in determining
carcinogenic potential has been discussed by a number of authors, whose con-
clusions are summarized below.
     Grasso and Goldberg (1966) doubted the usefulness of the technique of
assessing the carcinogenic potential of chemicals on the basis of injection
site sarcomas.  They did indicate, however, that the development of  tumors at
sites distant from the injection site was very suggestive of carcinogenic
potential in the material under investigation.  The testicular tumors produced
by the injection of cadmium salts certainly fulfill the criteria set forth by
these authors for the assessment of  positive carcinogenic potential.
     Tomatis (1977) reviewed the appropriateness of the subcutaneous injection
route for bioassays of carcinogenicity by comparing it with other routes  of  admin-
istration.  He surveyed a number of  chemicals tested by the subcutaneous  injection
route in rodents to see if there was a correlation between the capacities of these
chemicals to induce local and/or distant tumors in one species and their  capacities
to induce tumors by another route in another species.  A total of 102 chemicals,
                                       58

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61

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which have been reviewed by the International  Agency  for Research  on  Cancer  (IARC)
and have been tested by the subcutaneous injection  route as well as by  other  routes
of administration, were surveyed.  Of those, 69 were  positive  for  carcinogenic
activity when administered by subcutaneous injection  and by another route, and  18
Were negative or inconclusive whether given by subcutaneous injection or  by  another
route.  Nine were positive only when administered by  subcutaneous  injection,  and
six were negative by subcutaneous injection and positive by another route.   The
author concludes that "administration of a chemical by the subcutaneous injection
route produced what one could call false negative results for  six  (6.6%)  of  the 102
chemicals tested and, if we accept all the criticisms of this  route of  administra-
tion, false positive results for nine (8.7%) of the 102 chemicals  tested."   Even
so, according to the author, it appears that the subcutaneous  injection route
of administration is not too much worse than any other route  of administration.
     More recently Theiss (1982) reviewed the IARC data base.   He  concluded  that
if a compound produces distant tumors by subcutaneous injection it is almost
always tumorigenie by at least one other route of exposure.   Theiss  recommended
that the results of investigations of materials producing tumors at  sites other
than the injection site should be considered to be as significant  as  results
obtained by routes of administration more relevant to man.
     Thus, by all accounts the induction of tumors distant from the  injection
site is regarded as highly useful in the classification and identification of
carcinogens.  The recent work of Chellman and Diamond (1984)  provides a possible
reason for the consistent induction of cancer following injection  of  cadmium
or its salts at other sites.  These investigations showed that in  the testes,
significant amounts of cadmium were not bound to metallothianein,  a  protein  to
which cadmium is normally bound, rendering the metal  in the tissues  less  toxic.
     Poirier et al. (1983), in addition to observing increased testicular tumors,
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 showed an  increase  (P  <  0.02)  in  pancreatic  islet  cell tumors following sub-
 cutaneous  injection  over a  2-year period of  CdCl2  (22/259, 8.5%) as compared
 to rats not  receiving  CdCl2 (3/137,  2.2.%) and surviving more than one year, the
 time  to the  first such tumor.   In the same report,  it was shown that simultaneous
 injections of  magnesium  acetate prevented the development of injection-site
 tumors, but  had no effect on testicular tumorigenesis.  No inhibitory effect
 was elicited by calcium  acetate in the diet, by simultaneous injection, or by
 magnesium acetate in the diet.
      The induction of  pancreatic  tumors of CdCl2 is not altogether unexpected
 since high concentrations of cadmium. in:the  pancreas of humans and animals has
 been  reported  (Friberg and  Odeblad 1957), and the effects of cadmium on carbo-
 hydrate metabolism and insulin secretion are well documented (Ghafghazi and
 Mennear 1973).

 Oral  Studies in Mice and Rats
      Schroeder et al.  (1964 and 1965) conducted two lifetime exposure studies in
 which  Swiss  mice were  given drinking water containing cadmium acetate at 5 ppm.
 The purpose  of this low  exposure  level  was to simulate the human experience,
 according to the authors.   In the first study, only males experienced decreased
 longevity in comparison with controls.   The mean concentration  of cadmium in
 the kidneys  of mice at the end of the study was only 3 ug/g wet weight.   This
 appears to be very low in comparison with the concentrations  of 18  ug/g that have
 been  reported in man, and the 13.5 ug/g in rats exposed to 12.5 ug/m3 reported
 by Takenaka et al. (1983).  The exposed males had fewer "visible" tumors (1/50)
than the controls  (11/50), a result  (P  < 0.005) which  was  possibly  related to
the shortened lifespans of the exposed  males.  Only abnormal  tissues  were
histopathologically  evaluated.   The  reduced survival times  of the animals, and
the limited amount of histopathological  evaluation  that was  conducted,  limit  the
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usefulness of this study in the  evaluation  of the carcinogenic potential of
cadmium.
     In the second lifetime exposure study  by Schroeder et al. (1965), male and
female Long-Evans rats ingested  cadmium acetate at  5 ppm in water as the sole
source of fluid; the treated group developed 28/84  tumors versus 24/70 in
controls.  The authors stated that "no significant  differences appeared among
the various groups as to type of tumor." This study,  like the authors' 1964
study, was complicated by being  performed in a low-metal environment and with a
diet low in many trace metals.  When the essential  trace element Cr(III) was
added to the diet of one group of rats that were  not given cadmium* they thrived
better than the control group and had 34/71 tumors  (Schroeder et al,,. 1965).
     Malcolm (1972), in one experiment, gave male Chester-Beatty hooded rats up
to 0.2 mg of cadmium sulfate subcutaneously and up  to  0.8 mg  weekly by  stomach
tube for 2 years.  In another experiment, he  gave Swiss mice  doses of cadmium
sulfate in distilled water up to 0.02 mg/5g of body weight subcutaneously  at
weekly intervals for 2 years.  Except for a few  sarcomas and  Leydig cell tumors
seen in the rats given subcutaneous injections  (both  also seen in the controls),
these studies were negative at the time reported.
     Experiments with male specified pathogen-free  Chester-Beatty hooded  rats,
using doses of 0.087, 0.18, and 0.35 mg/kg  of  cadmium sulfate in  distilled water
given by gastric instillation once weekly for 2 years, were  carried  out by Levy
and Clack  (1975).  Ninety males received 1  mL distilled water on  the  same  regimen,
and served as controls.  No difference in tumor  incidence  between exposed  and
control groups was observed.  It is noted,  however, that this particular  strain
of rats has a very high lifetime incidence  of spontaneous  interstitial  cell
tumor formation  (75% in the untreated control  group), such  that  "if  exposure to
cadmium had any  effect on the incidence of  the lesions it  was entirely  over-
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 shadowed  by their  spontaneous occurrence," according to the authors.  Effects
 on  the  prostate were especially scrutinized, with no neoplastic lesions observed.
 Only  a  limited number of tissues  (kidney, spleen, liver, lung, testes, and
 prostate) were histopathologically evaluated from 10 rats of the high-dose
 group and 10  rats  of the control  group.
      Levy et  al. (1975) similarly gave groups of 50 male Swiss mice 0.44, 0.88,
 or  1.75 mg/kg/week cadmium sulfate by gavage for 18 months.  A group of 150 male
 mice  served as controls.  The stated objective of the study was the detection
 of  an increased incidence of prostate tumors attributable to cadmium, but
 neither that  nor any other treatment-related effect was reported at any of
 the three dose levels.  As in the study with rats, the histopathological
 examination was not sufficiently thorough to make this constitute a compelling
 negative study.  The set of tissues fixed was limited to prostate, urethra,
 bladder, stomach, kidney, testes, lung, liver, spleen, seminal vesicles,  and
 coagulatory gland, and these tissues were examined microscopically for only 20
 of the high-dose and 20 of the control  males, along with any abnormal tissues
 noted macroscopically.  Although measurements of cadmium concentration in
 various,tissues were not made, Levy et  al. (1975) speculated that the reason no
 pathological changes attributable to cadmium were observed during the study may
 have been that absorption of'cadmium through the intestinal  tract is low.
     An unpublished chronic toxicity study of CdCl2 was conducted at the  U.S.
 Food and Drug Administration (U.S. FDA  1977).  The compilation of animals
 examined pathologically shows that six  groups of Charles River COBS (SD)  rats,
 each consisting of 26 to 32 males and 26 to 29 females, were studied.  These
 groups were given 0 (untreated controls), 0.6,  6, 30,  60,  or 90 ppm CdCl2 in
the diet for 103  weeks.   Five males  and five females per group were sacrificed
 at 24 and 52 weeks.  All  animals  were necropsied, and  tissues,  organs,  and
                                       65

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tissue masses were examined histopathologically.  Kidney tissue from five or
fewer males in each sacrificed group  was  evaluated by electron microscopy;
sections of liver and kidney from these animals were stained to assess fibrosis,
Hpid content, liver glycogens and the basement membrane of tubuli and Bowman's
capsules in kidney.
     No significant (P > 0.05) differences  in  survival  between control and
treated groups were reported, and, excluding interim sacrificed animals, no
more than two animals per group died  before 77 weeks.   Results of necropsy and
histopathologic and histochemical evaluations  did not show treatment-related
effects.  Electron microscopy., however, revealed dose-related changes in the form
of small cytoplasmic lipid droplets in renal tubular epithelium, increased
number of residual bodies in renal nephron  cells, and swelling and sloughing of
cells in distal tubular epithelium and the  collecting ducts of the kidney.
     A 2-year oral carcinogenicity study  of Wistar  rats given CdCl2 was carried
out by Loser (1980).  Doses of 1, 3,  10,  and 50 ppm of  cadmium were given in
food to 50 male and 50 female rats, with  100 controls of each sex.  Food consump-
tion was similar in all the test groups-  The  mean body weights of treated
males were significantly reduced (P < 0.01) at the highest dose level.  Other
than reduced weight in the high-dose males, the male and female treatment and
control groups were comparable for weight and  mortality.   On the basis of a com-
plete histopathological evaluation, the author concluded that there was no
significant increase in the incidence of  any particular tumor type or in the
frequency of tumor-bearing animals.
     The reason for the discrepancy between the FDA  (1977) study with regard to
the lack of effects of cadmium at 60 and  90 ppm as  compared to the highly
significant effect (P < 0.01) at 50 ppm is  not readily  apparent.   Strain differ-
ences or differences in dietary factors (such  as  selenium, zinc,  copper, or
estrogen concentrations) may account for  the lack  of  comparability.
                                       66

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Summary .
     Chronic exposure of rats to aerosols of CdCl2 at airborne concentrations
of 12.5, 25, and 50 ug/m3 for 18 months followed by an additional  non-exposed
13-month period produced significant increases in lung tumors.  An'18-month-
exposure to 20 ug/m3 also increased lung tumors among exposed  rats.  A  single  30-
mi.nu.te exposure of rats to CdO did not significantly increase  the  occurrence of
lung tumors in the year that followed.  However, increases  in  mammary tumors
and testicular degeneration were observed.  The estimated total  dose in mg/kg
was, however, lower than that producing testicular neoplasia following  parenteral
administration.
     Intratracheal instillation of CdO produced an increase in mammary  tumors
and an increase in tumors at multiple sites among male rats.   Intrathoracic
injections of cadmium powder are highly toxic, but when their  toxicity  is
reduced by co-administration of zinc, mesotheliomas develop.   Intramuscular or
subcutaneous injection of cadmium as metal powder, or as chloride, sulfate,
oxide^ or sulfide, produces injection-site sarcomas and/or  testicular interstitial
cell  (Leydig cell) tumors after necrosis and regeneration of testicular tissue.
A recent study suggests that the incidence of pancreatic islet cell tumors may
be increased by administration of CdCl2 by this route.   In  addition, injection
of CdCl2 into the prostate has induced tumors of that tissue.   The translocation
and long-term pulmonary clearance of cadmium salts do not appear to be  related
to the chemical's solubility.
     Cadmium appears  to be much less potent as a carcinogen by ingestion than
by injection or inhalation, regardless of the site of cancer induction.  For
example, the total  dose of inhaled cadmium in the Takenaka  et  al.  (1983) study,
where the rats developed a 71% incidence of lung cancer, was about 7 mg (0.25
m3/day x 0.05 mg/m3 x 365 days/year x 1.5 years).  By contrast, in the  Schroeder

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et al,  (1965) drinking water study in rats, which had one of the smallest total
doses of all of the ingestion studies, a total dose of about 60 mg (5 ppm x 0.5
X 0.35  kg x 730 days) induced no cancer responses.  If a 10% upper limit of
detection of tumors in the Schroeder et al. (1965) study is assumed, the highest
reasonable potency for cadmium via ingestion is about 0.0017 (0.1/60), compared
with a  potency of about 0.1 (0.7/7) for inhalation.  While it is possible that
cadmium is not at all carcinogenic by ingestion because of very limited absorption,
the negative animal evidence can only set an upper limit on the carcinogenic
potency of ingested cadmium, which in the rat appears to be about two orders of
magnitude less than for inhalation.
     In 1982 the IARC concluded that sufficient evidence existed for the determina-
tion that cadmium is carcinogenic in animals.  The IARC was aware at that time of
the negative findings of Loser (1980) following dietary administration of CdCl2
to laboratory animals.  However, studies reporting a marked carcinogenic response
in rats to inhalation of CdCl2 aerosols were not available to the IARC for con-
sideration, nor were the highly suggestive reports of pancreatic islet tumors
following parenteral  administration of CdCl2 (Poirier et al. 1983), and of male
mammary tumors following intratracheal instillation of CdO (Sanders and Mahaffey
1984).  Apparently the IARC did not consider the intratracheal  induction of
mesotheliomas reported by Furst et al. (1973) or the induction  of prostate tumors
by injection of CdClg into that tissue (Scott and Aughey 1979).  As a result of
these newer investigations, together with additional information suggesting a
distribution not based on chemical solubility, the carcinogenic risks of cadmium
and its compounds are now seen to be greater than originally anticipated.
  *
  if
EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES
     The epidemiologic studies reviewed here deal specifically  with cancer
risks resulting from cadmium exposure.  Although five of these  studies were
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 reviewed in the OHEA Health Assessment  Document  for  Cadmium  (U.S.  EPA  1981)
                   4-                      '•••'•-••        --...•-

 they are covered here also for the  convenience of  the  reader.



 Potts (1965)


      Potts (1965)  reported the results  of a  clinical study of-an unstated number


 of current and former employees  of  a  British  alkaline  battery factory  who were'


 exposed  to cadmium oxide  dust  beginning in 1920  and  ending in 1963.  In 1946


 the manufacture of these  batteries  was  moved  to  a  new  location not far from the


 site of  the earlier  factory.   The first measurements of cadmium dust in the air


 were made  in 1949.   At  that  time, the cadmium content  of the air varied from


 0.6 to 2.8 mg/m3  in  the platemaking and assembly shops to 236 mg/m3 in the negative


 active material department.  After  the  installation of local exhaust ventilation


 in  1950, cadmium in the air was  reduced to less than 0.5 mg/m3.  Improvements


 to  the exhaust  system in  1956  further reduced the cadmium dust to less than 0.1

     O
 mg/m-3.   The policy at the time of the study's publication was to take  steps to


 reduce exposures whenever the measurement of  cadmium dust exceeded 0.5 mg/m3.


     Of  70 battery workers for which Potts's  clinic had medical  records and'who


 were exposed for at least 10 years, proteinuria was observed in 44%.   Although


 no  comparison group was provided, this number is probably excessive,  since


 proteinuria  is the result of renal tubular dysfunction.  A 200-248 ug/day


 cadmium dietary intake  over a 50-year exposure period is required to  produce the


 critical  renal cortex concentration associated with renal  dysfunction.   Only


 1%  of Americans ingest more than 50 ug/day (U.S.  EPA 1981).   However,  the


 author did note that  earlier studies of  the  urine protein  of  cadmium-exposed


workers in this same  plant had revealed  "similar  characteristics" to those  of the;


 present study.  Four  individuals with  persistent  proteinuria  were examined


 further.   Two of them ultimately died.   Kidney function tests prior to  death
                                       69

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revealed no abnormalities,  nor were  any  gross  abnormalities observed following
microscopic examination of  the kidneys of the  deceased.
     In a second phase of this study,  Potts  claimed that a  "careful search"
produced records for a total  of 74 men who had been exposed to cadmium dust for
more than 10 years.  Eight  of these  men  had  died.  The author did not reveal
whether the source of this  information \was his clinic's medical records or the
employment records of the factory, nor:did he  specify the relationship between
these 74 men and the 70 battery workers  mentioned  earlier.  Furthermore, the source
of his information on the eight deceased individuals was not given, although
presumably it came from his clinical files.  Five  of the eight deaths were
reportedly due to cancer; three of these were  cancer of the prostate.  The
death data from Potts's paper is summarized  in Table 11.  Whether or not the
author made any attempt to  determine the vital  status of the remaining 66
individuals is unclear.  Since all of the  deaths occurred in the early 1960s, and
nearly all of these individuals had  had  lengthy exposures,  it can be inferred
that they had all been exposed to the highest  cadmium dust  levels that existed
at the plant during their years of employment  prior to 1950.  No information
was given on workers exposed for fewer than  10 years.
     In the absence of selection bias (a distinct  possibility if clinical  records
were used), the distribution of the  eight  deaths is striking, as was noted  by
the author.  But because of the possibility  of selection bias, the  lack of  a
comparison group, and the unknown ages of  the  74 members of this population, it
is impossible to determine  whether the observation of three prostate cancer
deaths is statistically significant.  Therefore, this study provides only  the
suggestion of an association of prostate cancer and exposure to cadmium.
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  TABLE 11.  MORTALITY DATA FOR CADMIUM WORKERS EXPOSED FOR MORE THAN 10 YEARS
                                  (Potts 1965)
Year of death
1960
1960
1961
1962
1962
1963
1964
1964
Kipling and Waterhouse
Age
65
75
65
63
78
53
65
59
(1967)
Length of
cadmium
exposure (yrs)
31
14
37
34
18
35
38
24

Cause of death
Auricular fibrillation
Carcinoma of prostate
Carcinoma of prostate
Bronchitis and atheroma
Bronchitis
Carcinoma of bronchus
Carcinoma of prostate
Carcinomatosis

     Kipling and Waterhouse (1967), in a letter to The Lancet,  reported on  246

workers who had been exposed for a minimum of one year to cadmium oxide dust.

The authors compared the number of cancers observed from several  sites  with the

number expected from those sites based on incidence rates from  the Birmingham

Regional Cancer Registry.  The number of observed cancer deaths of the  prostate

was significantly greater than expected (4 observed vs. 0.58 expected,  P <  0.003).

Three of the four prostate cancer cases are the same as those reported  in Potts's

paper (personal communication from Kipling to the IARC in 1976),  indicating that

some overlapping is acknowledged, and therefore the two studies cannot  be said

to be independent of each other.  No significant differences between  observed
                  ;*,,„.'.,'
and expected deaths were found for cancer of the bronchus,  bladder, testis, or
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for cancers of all  sites.
                                    i
     Latency period, although obliquely  referred to  in  the  letter,  is poorly
addressed.  Furthermore, the letter states  that  expected  cases were calculated
by "computing the number of cases of cancer which would be  expected to occur
in such a group of men of known age" and by excluding the time spent in other
jobs or retirement.  It is not clear!how the latter  was to  be done; the dis-
cussion is sketchy at best.  The authors mention that "judging from work  in
similar fields, fairly short exposure may be sufficient to  initiate a tumor."
Whether this generalized conclusion can  be  extended  to  the  specific case  of
cadmium exposure and cancer remains uncertain.   The  authors' failure to allow
for a sufficient latency period weakens  the significance  of their  findings.
Because of these problems and the lack of an adequate discussion of the derivation
of expected deaths, the results, although statistically significant, cannot be
considered definitive with respect to the carcinogenicity of cadmium.
                                                                  1
Humperdinck (1968)
     Humperdinck (1968) reported on mortality among  536 people who worked or
had worked at an alkaline dry cell battery  plant during the period 1949-67 and
who had been exposed to cadmium hydroxide and "to a  large extent nickel
hydroxide."  Seventeen of the 536 had died, five from cancer.  Of  the  five who
died from cancer, two died from lung cancer, one from liver cancer, one from
prostate cancer, and one from cardiac cancer.  The length of exposure  to  cadmium
for these cases was:  lung, 2.3 years and 9.3 years; liver, 3.5 years;  prostate,
6.4 years; and cardiac, 3.0 years.
     There was no comparison group for the 1949-67 time period.  However, the
author did compare the average of the cancer death rates for the years 1963-66
in the city where the plant is located with the average 1963-66  rate for  the
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whole plant and the average 1963-66 rate for the  departments  of the plant where
there was exposure to cadmium hydroxide.  The author  did not  state whether
these rates were age-adjusted, race-adjusted, or  sex-adjusted.  No differences
were found among the three rates  or in  the proportion of lung cancer  deaths
between the city population and the plant population.  The  proportion of lung
cancer deaths for the department  where  cadmium exposure occurred was  not reported.
     Previously, Baader (1951) had reported on "20 to 30 males and females"
suffering from chronic cadmium poisoning at the same  dry cell plant.  Of this
group, Humperdinek reported that  four of eight had died, one  of lung  cancer;
these four are included in the seventeen deaths described previously.   No
mention is made of any of the other "20 or 30" workers.
     Because Humperdinck found no excess cancer mortality among workers exposed
to cadmium when compared to the city population or to the plant population as a
whole, he concluded that there was insufficient information to establish an
association between cadmium and cancer.
     A major weakness of this study is  that it did not  include an appropriate
comparison group for the years of the study,  1949-67.  Comparison of  average
death rates for the years 1963-66 among the city,  plant, and  cadmium  departments
is not appropriate since it is not known whether  all  workers  in the cadmium
departments for the years 1963-66 had experienced  a latency period of sufficient
duration to have developed cancer.  Secondly, there is  no indication  that the
city population or the population of the rest of  the  battery  plant were similar
enough to the cadmium-exposed group in  terms  of race, sex,  smoking habits, age,
etc. to make these groups objectively comparable.  Third, had a proper comparison
group been used and an increase in cancer among workers exposed to cadmium been
demonstrated, a possible confounding variable would have been the concomitant
nickel exposure to which these workers  were subjected,  since  nickel has previously
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been associated with cancer of the  lung,  nasal  sinus,  large intestine, mouth,
and pharynx (Fraumeni 1975).
     In conclusion, the study design  and  methods  of  Humperdinck  render his data
inadequate for the assessment of an association between  cadmium  exposure and cancer.

Hoi den (1969)
     Hoi den (1969), in a letter to  The Lancet,  reported  on  42  men  exposed to
cadmium fumes from 2 to 40 years.  He stated that six  of the men had  been
exposed to concentrations of cadmium in excess  of 4  mg/m3,  and the remainder
had been exposed to an average concentration of 0.1  mg/m3.  The  author  reported
that of the 42 men, one developed a carcinoma of the prostate  and  one developed  a
carcinoma of the bronchus.                                        i         .
     No evaluation of the cancer risk from cadmium can be made on  the basis of
this letter, since the author did not report important variables such as  age,
time since first exposure, and smoking history.

Kolonel (1976)
     Kolonel (1976) compared the cadmium exposure of 64 cases  of renal  cancer
to 197 nonmalignant digestive disease controls and 72 colon cancer controls.
According to the author,  "a cancer control group was included  to address  the
problem of potential noncomparability" between cases and controls when  a  non-
cancer control group was  used.  Cases and controls were taken  from patients
admitted from 1957 to 1964 to Roswell Park Memorial  Institute, Buffalo, New  York.
Cadmium exposure was assessed using data on occupational exposure,: cigarette
smoking, and dietary intake.  A person was considered to have experienced
occupational exposure to  cadmium only if he had worked for one or more years at
a  high-risk job in a high-risk industry.  High-risk industries included electro-
plating, alloy-making, welding,  and the manufacture of storage batteries.  A
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person was considered to be exposed to cadmium through smoking if he had at
least 10 "pack-years" of cigarette use during a lifetime.   Dietary exposure  to
cadmium was determined by applying reports of cadmium content in foods to
individual dietary histories based on a frequency recall  for a one-week period.
An individual was considered exposed through diet if his  mean daily intake
exceeded the third quartile, determined from the distribution of intakes for
the noncancer control group.
     The author found that the odds* of developing renal  cancer in occupationally-
exposed patients who smoked were 4.4 when compared to controls who also smoked
and had nonmalignant diseases of the digestive system.  This is significant  at
P < 0.05.  The odds of developing renal cancer in patients who were occupationally
exposed were 2.5 (P < 0.05) when compared to colon cancer controls.  The latter
is not significant (0.05 < P < 0.10).  Because of the finding of a greatly
increased risk^ when the effects from smoking and occupational exposure were added
together, the author concluded that the effects of smoking and occupational
exposure must be synergistic.
     The odds of developing renal cancer when consideration is given to cadmium
exposure through cigarette smoking only, and separately through diet only
(utilizing colon cancer controls), were 1.2 and 1.6, respectively, neither of
which was significant (0.05 < P < 0.10, two-tailed).
     A major criticism of this study is the confounding exposures to other indus-
trial materials in the electroplating, alloy-making, welding, and storage battery
manufacturing industries.  The author stated that renal  cancer resulting from
cadmium exposure is biologically plausible because the kidney concentrates cadmium
to a greater degree than any other organ.  Furthermore,  Kolonel  pointed out,  on
 Although the author referred to "relative risk" in  his  article,  it  is  more
 correct to use the term "odds ratio" or "estimated  relative  risk."
tRisk in this context is an estimated relative risk  derived by  use of the
 odds ratio.
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the basis of an earlier study by Ellman (1959),  that the kidney  contains  the  body's
highest concentration of sulfhydryl  groups,  which are often found in  zinc-
containing enzymes.  Cadmium inhibition of a variety of sulfhydryl-containing
enzymes has been reported, the author notes, and this may be the mechanism  of
action*  The kidney concentrates many trace  metals,  however, and a  variety  of
metals are found in the industries mentioned above,  including nickel,  lead, and
zinc.  Also, it is interesting to note that  the  odds ratio for occupational
exposure to cadmium is significant (P < 0.05) only when compared to noncancer
controls, but not significant (0.5 < P < 0.10) when compared to  colon  cancer
controls.  This indicates that the renal cancer  cases may not be comparable to
the noncancer cases, and selection bias may  have occurred.
     Smoking has previously been associated with kidney cancer (Wynder et al.
1974, Schmauz and Cole 1974, Kahn 1966, Hirayama 1977) as well as with cancers
of other sites.  Although cadmium may be the carcinogen in tobacco smoke  that
causes kidney cancer, the issue is confounded by the presence in tobacco  smoke
of many other carcinogens as well.  Although the smoke may serve only  as  a
possible synergist or a carrier mechanism for cadmium exposure from other
sources, it remains to be demonstrated that  cadmium is the agent of concern in
smoking.
     In conclusion, Kolonel's study provides suggestive, but not sufficient
evidence that cadmium is a renal carcinogen.  More studies, epidemiologic and
animal, are necessary to adequately address the  issue.
Lemen et al. (1976)
     Lemen et al.  (1976) conducted a historic prospective study  on 292 white
male employees of a cadmium smeller who had worked a minimum of  2 years in  the
smelter at some time during the period from January 1, 1940 to December 31, 1969.
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 Vital  status was  determined for this group through January 1, 1974.  Death
 certificates listing the causes of death were acquired for 89 of a reported 92
 deceased.   Some 20  (6.8%) remained lost to follow-up.  For comparison, expected
 deaths  by  cause were generated through a modified life-table technique based
 on  person-years multiplied by the corresponding age, calendar time, and cause-
 specific mortality  rates for the total United States white male population.
     The authors  stated that the smelter was engaged in the production of
 cadmium metal and cadmium compounds.  However, they reported that some lead was
 also produced.  The plant ceased full-scale lead production in 1918 and began
 to  produce  arsenic instead.  In 1925, arsenic production ceased and cadmium
 production  began.  The authors cited an industrial hygiene survey in 1947 that
 had reported average air concentrations of cadmium fumes ranging from 0.04 to
 6.59 mg/m3  and cadmium dust at 17.23 mg/m3, but it was reported in that survey
 that most operations in the plant had cadmium air concentrations of lower than
 1.5 mg/m3.  The present study included a 1973 industrial  hygiene evaluation of
 cadmium dust levels which stated that 8-hour time-weighted average (TWA)  gross
 concentrations of cadmium ranged infrequently up to 24 mg/m3, but generally
 remained below 1 mg/m3.  The authors reported, following a 1973 industrial
 hygiene,survey, that a respirator program had been instituted at the plant, which
 had allegedly reduced exposure by a factor of 10, although the workers tended to
 remove the  respirators because of their inconvenience.   Two air measurements taken
 in the preweld department showed that in addition to air concentrations of 74.8
 and 90.3 ug/m3 of cadmium,  arsenic was  measured at 0.3  and 1.1 ug/m3.   This is
 about 1% of the cadmium measurement.   In ;the retort  department,  however,  where
the cadmium concentration was  measured  at 1,105 ug/m3,  arsenic measured 1.4 ug/m3,
which was about 1/1,000 that of cadmium.
On the other hand, analyses of bulk
samples revealed 42.2% to 70% cadmium,  3.|53% to 6% zinc,  0% to 4.3% lead,  and
                                       .  i,
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0.02% to 0.3% arsenic.  The remaining ingredients were  not  identified.  Tfie authors
concluded that the exposures from the remaining ingredients were  insignificant.
     A statistically significant excess of  total malignant  neoplasms  (27 observed
vs. 17.6 expected, P < 0.05) was found, as  well  as  a  statistically significant
excess of malignant respiratory disease (12 observed  vs.  5.1  expected,  P < 0.05).
Without regard to latent effects, an excess of prostate cancer was reported by
the authors to be not significant (,4 observed vs.  1.15  expected).  However,
utilizing a one-tailed Poisson variable, the Carcinogen Assessment Group (CAG)
found the latter observation to be statistically significant  (P  < O.OK).  After
a lapse of 20 years from initial exposure,  the finding  of a statistically
significant excess in prostate cancer (4 observed  vs. 0.88  expected,  P  < 0.01)
was even stronger.
     Information concerning exposure and latency of the four  prostate cancer
cases is given in Table 12.
        TABLE 12.  PROSTATE CANCER DEATHS AMONG CADMIUM SMELTER WORKERS
                        WITH MORE THAN 2 YEARS EXPOSURE
                              (Lemen et al. 1976)
Case Age
1 71
2 77
3 79
4 64
Exposure
4
13
18
17
Latency
32
25
31
26
Date of death
2/26/72
3/19/68
12/10/60
4/03/51
     Of the 12 malignant respiratory cancer cases, the cell types of eight were
known.  Three were squamous cell carcinomas, one was an undifferentiated small
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 cell  carcinoma, three were anaplastic carcinomas, and one was an oat cell
 carcinoma.   Unfortunately, smoking histories were not available for members
 of  the  cohort.  Therefore, confounding of the results due to smoking could not
 be  assessed.  Furthermore, Lemen et al. reported the presence in the smelter
 of  other  substances, including arsenic, lead, and zinc, that are either known
 or  suspected carcinogens.  Any conclusions made from this study regarding the
 carcinogenic potential of cadmium should be tempered with the knowledge that
 these other  substances were also known to be present in the atmosphere of the
 smelter.  In addition, it is apparent that the authors did not identify all of
 the constituents of the processed ores, since the percentages given do not add
 up to 100%.
     However, when consideration is given to the fact that the vital status of
 6.8% of the study cohort remains unknown, it is apparent that additional  causes
 of death  in this group of 20 people potentially might have added additional
 prostate  cancers to the observed deaths.   In contrast, the expected deaths were
 overestimated because person-years were counted to the cut-off date for these
 same individuals.  This could slightly bias downward the finding of an excess
 risk of prostate cancer and bronchogenic  cancer.
     This study provides support to the supposition that exposure to cadmium
 is associated with a significant excess risk of prostate cancer.   The other
 metals known to be present have not been  shown to be associated with an elevated
 risk of prostate cancer.   On the other hand, the presence of arsenic in the
 atmosphere of the smelter, and the possibility of increased smoking among these
workers, might be confounding factors  that  reduce the significance  of the
association between bronchogenic cancer and cadmium exposure in the workers.

McMichael  et al.  (1976a.  b)
     McMichael  et al.  (1976a),  as part of a historic prospective  study  of cancer
                                       79

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mortality among rubber workers,  followed  18,903  active and retired male workers,
aged 40 to 84, for a period of 10 yearsi   They were  divided into four separate
cohorts, each consisting of workers  from  the  four  tire manufacturing plants of
the companies under study.
     The mortality experience during th<2  10-year observation  period was deter-
mined from death claims filed with the companies under the group  life insurance
policy in effect.  In three of the four plants,  workers  were  included if they
were employed on January 1, 1964, whereas in  the fourth  plant they were included
if they were employed on January 1,  1963.  About 1% were lost to  follow-up,
and death certificates listing causes of  death  were obtained  for  98% of the
deceased.  Expected deaths were calculated based on the  1968  U.S. male  race-
and age-specific death rates.  The calculation  of  standard mortality ratios  (SMRs)
utilizing such rates produces an underestimate  of  the risk.   This bias, known
as the "healthy worker effect," is a consequence of the  selection of the  healthiest
individuals into a given workforce from the general population from which  the
expected deaths were derived.  Apparently, little  turnover  occurred in  these
four plants because the former employees who switched to another place  of
employment formed the  group of 1% lost to follow-up during the 10-year  follow-up
period.
     The total number  of deaths equaled  5,160,  for an overall SMR of  94.   The
total number  of cancer deaths equaled  1,014 for an SMR of 100, while  that for
prostate cancer was 119  (103 observed, nonsignificant at 0.05 < P < 0.1).  The
authors hypothesized an association of prostate cancer with the compounding and
mixing areas  of the four plants, work  areas that  entail  contact with  metallic
oxides  (including cadmium  oxides).  The  authors also hypothesized an association
of  prostate cancer with three additional wprk areas  (cement mixing, janitoring,
and trucking)  of one  particular  plant  after  "exploratory work-history" analyses
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were completed for stomach, bladder,  and prostate cancer,  lymphosarcoma,  and
Hodgkin's disease at this plant..
     In a similar mortality study of  just one of the above four  plants,- McMichael
et a'l. (1976b) confirmed a significant excess risk of prostate cancer  (SMR  =
140, observed = 53, P < 0.05) in 6,678 male rubber workers, and  found  that  the
risk was associated with the calenderings janitoring-trucking, compounding, and
mixing occupational groups.  He stated that cadmium compounds were used as
                            '   '   ''   '                         ;
vulcanization (curing) accelerators in these broad occupational  groups.   The
method of classifying workers utilized by McMichael  et al. is discussed further
in a later critique by Goldsmith et al. (1980).
     The object of the earlier McMichael et al.  (1976a) study was  not  to  single
out the association of prostate cancer with cadmium exposure as  the main  topic
of study, but rather to examine site-specific cancer mortality,  in general, in
rubber workers.  Hence, the authors found excesses in cancer mortality at a
number of different sites, but did not test the  significance of  any of these
excesses.  Data from the McMichael et al. (1976a) study are summarized in Table
13.  The tests of significance were calculated by the CAG  using  the method  of
Chiang (1961).                                 '   .                          ,  .
     One major problem with this study is that rubber workers are  potentially
exposed to numerous.organic and inorganic chemicals, some  of them  known or
suspected carcinogens, including benzene, which  is a known human carcinogen.
The SMRs may thus be confounded by additional exposures to chemicals other
than cadmium.  Exposure levels for the many different compounds  found  in  these
plants are not given.
     A second problem with .this study is the relatively short observation time
(10 years) from the beginning of the  study to its cut-off  date.  This  is  an
insufficient period in which to assess latent effects, and in fact, no data are

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presented in which latency is  considered.   This  cohort should be followed for
several additional years before a  final  conclusion  is made regarding carcinogenic
effects resulting from exposure to cadmium.  While  the paper is of interest as
a basis for further studies, it does  not provide adequate evidence for the
association of cadmium with prostate  cancer.
              TABLE 13.  STANDARD MORTALITY RATIOS (SMRs)  BY  SITE
                            (McMichael  et al.  1976a)
Site
Lymphatic leukemia
Stomach
All leukemias
Hodgkin's disease
Prostate
Colon
Pancreas
Bladder
Respiratory
Rectum
Brain, central
nervous system
All cancer
All causes
Observed
deaths
20
80
46
32
103
103
57
32
252
27
14
1014
5106
SMRs
158
148
130
129
119
116
103
92
85
82
78
100
94
Probability of
occurrence3
0.039
<0.001
0.073
0.150
0.077
0.131
0.826
0.638
0.002
0.303
0.352
1.000
<0.001
aTaken from Chiang (1961),
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.Monson and Fine  (1978)                                         •  .
     In another mortality and morbidity study of cancer in 13,570 white male
rubber workers (Monson and Fine 1978), an elevated risk of prostate cancer was
noted (4 observed, 0.04 expected, P < 0.05) in two unrelated departments,
material conservation and final finish.  In no other department of this plant
was an elevated risk of prostate cancer evident.  However, the authors do not
attribute this excess risk to any common exposure in these departments, except
possibly to oils used in machine maintenance.  The authors claim that cadmium
exposure was not "appreciable" in this plant.  Data on the U.S. white male
population provided the comparison population for the expected prostate cancer
deaths.  This study, which uses the same plant that was studied earlier by
McMichael et al.  (1976a, b) and later by Goldsmith et al. (1980), does not support
the hypothesis suggested by McMichael  et al. that cadmium in the plant was
responsible for the excess risk of prostate cancer.
Kjellstrom et al. (1979)
     Kjellstrom et al. (1979) reported on a historic prospective cohort study
of 269 male Swedish cadmium-nickel battery factory workers and 94 Swedish male
cadmium-copper alloy factory workers having more than 5 years exposure since'the
factories began production*  As an internal reference group, the study also
included 328 alloy factory workers who had been employed in the alloy factory
for at least 5 years but had not been  exposed to cadmium.  It was estimated
that the average  cadmium levels for one of the two factories were as follows:
in excess of 1 mg/m3 prior to 1947, 200 ug/m3 between 1962 and 1974, 50 ug/m3
in 1974, and below 5 ug/m3 at the time of the study.   At the other factory,
concentrations were in the range of 100 to 400 ug/m3 in the mid-1960s and 50
ug/m3 in 1971 and after.   The battery  study population was also exposed to
nickel  hydroxide  dust.
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     National average age- and cause-specific death  rates  and  cancer  incidence
rates were used to generate expected deaths  and expected new cancer cases in
the two study groups.  New cases of cancer were found  in the battery  factory by
matching the names of the 269 workers with those of  the Swedish  National Cancer
Register.  This was not done with the alloy  factory  workers.   With respect to
mortality in the battery factory, 43 deaths  occurred between 1949 and  1975, of
which 8 were due to cancer.  This contrasts  with 67  expected total deaths
during the same period..  No further breakdown is given of  the  cancer  deaths, and
no expected cancer mortality is given.  However, the authors state that there
was no increase in "general" cancer mortality.  Furthermore, the total number
of new cases of cancer equaled 15 during the period  from 1959  to 1975, while the
expected number of new cases equaled 16.4, based on  incidence  data provided by
the Swedish National  Cancer Register.  A breakdown by  site is  given in Table
14.  Only cancer of the nasopharynx was found to be  significantly in  excess (2
observed vs. 0.2 expected, P < 0.05) possibly due to exposure  to nickel dust.
     In the alloy factory, only "preliminary" calculations of  prostate cancer
mortality were done; cause-specific mortality and incidence were not  examined in
these workers.  Among 94 exposed workers, four prostate cancer deaths  were
noted versus 2.69 expected (P = 0.29).  In the reference group of 328  unexposed
workers, four prostate cancer deaths were noted versus 6.42 expected  (P = 0.23)
(Table 15).  A corrected "healthy worker effect" risk  ratio was  derived by
dividing the risk of developing prostate cancer in the exposed group  by that of
the reference group.  The resulting ratio was 2.4 (P = 0.087), which  is still
nonsignificant.                                                      ;
     Although the results of thesq two studies are not significant with respect
                            f
to prostate cancer, and basically inconclusive because of  the  small study groups,
they do suggest a positive association of prostate cancer  and  exposure to cadmium.
                                    84

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   TABLE 14.  EXPECTED AND OBSERVED NEW CASES OF CANCER BETWEEN 1959 AND 1975
            IN THE WHOLE GROUP OF BATTERY FACTORY WORKERS (N = 228)
                            (Kjellstrom et al. 1979)
Site
Prostate
Lung
Ki dney
Bladder
Colon-rectum
Pancreas
Nasopharynx
Other
All sites
Cancer
Expected3
1.2
1.35
0.87
1.07
2.25
0.60
0.20
9,81
16.4
cases
Observed
2
2
0
1
5
0
2
3
15
Risk ratios
1.67
1.48
0
0.93
2.22
0
10. Ob , .
0.31
0.91
aExpected deaths based on Swedish National  Cancer Registry,
bStatistically significantly greater than 1 (P  <  0.05).
     TABLE 15.   CUMULATIVE EXPECTED  AND OBSERVED  NUMBER  OF  PROSTATIC  CANCER
              DEATHS FROM 1940 TO 1975 AMONG ALLOY  FACTORY  WORKERS
                            (Kjellstrom et  al.  1979)
Prostatic cancer deaths

Exposed group
Reference group
Expected
2.69
6.42
Observed
4
4
Risk ratios
1.49
0.62
P value
0.29
0.23
 (N = 328)
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     Two problems with this work are apparent.   The first is  that  terminated
employees were apparently not included in any of the study cohorts unless  they
had died.  The resulting cohorts are healthier than the general  population
because former employees, who would be expected to carry the  greatest  burden  of
potential disease, are not represented.  These employees are  represented  in the
general population's death rates, however.  The net result is to overestimate
the expected deaths, thus masking the potential risks to battery workers.
     The second problem is that, because the Swedish National Cancer Register
was not established until 1959, the study's incidence data would not have
included cancer cases occurring in the 1950s, thus leading to an underestimation
of new cancer cases.
     Another potential source of selection bias would be the  exclusion of  all
members with incomplete information in the factory files.  However, since
there is no reason to assume differential selection of subjects for study
through this procedure, it may not be a problem.

Goldsmith et al.  (1980)
     In a later case-control study by Goldsmith et al. (1980) of prostate
cancer in one of the four tire and rubber manufacturing plants studied earlier
by McMichael et al. (1976a, b), an excess risk of prostate cancer could not  be
directly attributable to cadmium because no evidence could be found that  cadmium
was used regularly in the study plant.  The authors identified some 88 cases  of
prostate cancer from death certificates in the years 1964 to 1975.  These were
matched with 258 controls on the factors of age, race, and date of entry  into
the plant.  Only the batch-preparation work area produced a statistically
significant risk  ratio  (P < 0.025) over the exposure periods of (1) more than a
month, (2) more than 24 months, and  (3) more than 60 months.   No identifiable
use of cadmium was noted by the authors in this work area.  The methods employed
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in this study, i.e., the technique of grouping employees according to general
production areas called occupational title groups (OTGs) for analysis of work
history data, tend to result in distorted risk estimates of the carcinogenic
potential of substances to which individuals might be exposed in the'workplace.
In any given OT6, employees who may never have been exposed to any potential
carcinogen are lumped together with employees who were exposed to one or more
substances, some of which might be classified as potential  carcinogens.   It
becomes difficult to attribute a significant risk ratio to any particular
substance in question under these circumstances.  Furthermore, since this was  a
study of only one of the four original plants, the possibility remains that
cadmium might have been used in the remaining three plants.  Further investigatory
work must be done to identify any and all uses of cadmium in the three remaining
study plants.  It might have been more appropriate to conduct case-control
studies of prostate cancer in all four study plants.   Instead of using "assign-
ment to particular OTGs" as an indicator of excess risk, it would have been
more appropriate to use direct evidence of exposure to cadmium as the dependent
variable of interest.  Similarly, a case-control study of lung cancer and risk
of exposure to cadmium might also be initiated in the rubber industry.
     This study does hot support the earlier McMichael hypothesis that the  excess
risk of prostate cancer might have been due to exposure to  cadmium compounds
used as vulcanization accelerators.  Some questions remain, however, about  the
choice of the study population and the use of OTGs in assessing exposure.
Holden (1980)
     Hoi den (1980) reported the results of a preliminary cohort mortality  study
of workers in a British cadmium factory who were employed at some time between
August 1940 and August 1962, and were followed until  December 31, 1979.   Iron
and brass foundry workers in a second factory served  as controls.  The cadmium
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factory data were subdivided by the author  into  two  parts  for purposes of analysis.
One section of the building contained the cadmium-copper alloy department, where
347 men worked for a minimum of 12 months.   Another  624 men worked for a minimum
of 12 months in the remaining part of the factory.   The latter group was dubbed
"vicinity" workers by the author because they worked in the building but not in
the cadmium-copper alloy department.  Another 537 brass and iron workers were
employed in the second British factory for  a minimum of 12 months, and their
social and physical environments were reported by the author to be similar to
those of workers in the first factory.
     Industrial hygiene surveys carried out at the cadmium factory in  1953 and
1957 showed the mean level of airborne cadmium in the cadmium-copper alloy
department to be 70 ug/m3  (S.D. = 62 ug/m3), based on 12-hour  sampling, while the
mean level in the other parts of the building (the "vicinity") was 6 ug/m3
(S.D. - 8 ug/m3).  The author reports that  vicinity workers were  exposed to
considerably less cadmium than were the cadmium-copper alloy workers.   Follow-up
was over 95% complete on all three subcohorts.  Expected  deaths were  generated
on the basis of death rates for England and Wales in 5-year  age  intervals.
     A statistically significant elevated risk of dying from all  causes (observed
= 158, SMR = 112) was evident in the cadmium-copper alloy workers.   This  excess
was not due to malignant neoplasms.  The excess risk remained  when malignant
neoplasms were excluded  (observed =  122, SMR = 113).  Mortality  from neoplasms
was not significant in the  cadmium-copper alloy workers,  except  for  leukemia
 (observed  = 3, SMR = 441,  P < 0.05).  The author contends that the  excess  risk
observed overall  in the  study was due to deaths from pulmonary disease.  On the
other hand, a  statistically significant elevated risk of cancer in  general
 (observed  =  72,  SMR = 120)  was  apparent in  vicinity workers,  due chiefly to
significant excesses of  cancer  in two sites:  the lung (observed = 3(5, SMR = 138,
                                        88

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P < 0.05) and the prostate (observed = 8,  SMR = 267,  P < 0.01).   The  author
attributed the elevated risk of lung cancer in these  workers  to  the presence  of
metals other than cadmium, including arsenic.  The vicinity workers were  reported
by the author to have been involved in the manufacture of arsenical copper, and
during its refining, to have been exposed  to silver and nickel.   However,  no
environmental measurements are reported to have been  taken of any of  these
other metals anywhere in the building in which both groups worked.  It was
reported by the author that a "considerable evolution of cadmium oxide fumes"
resulted when cadmium was dumped into the  much hotter molten  copper to form
cadmium-copper alloy.  This effect resulted because cadmium boils at  a much
lower temperature than that of copper.
    .With respect to prostate cancer, the  author noted the absence of a dose-
effect relationship since fi.ve of the eight prostate  cancers  occurred to  indi-
viduals who were exposed for less than 15  years.  Of  these five,  three were exposed
for only one year, if it is assumed that "years of exposure"  means years  of
employment throughout the entire plant. The author attributes only three  of the
prostate cancer deaths to cadmium exposure because the remaining five were
exposed for a "relatively short time."  This last observation is  somewhat
strong in view of the fact that every prostate cancer death occurred  15 or more
years following initial  exposure.  Latency as a factor was not considered  in
calculating expected deaths, so that the actual  risk  of prostate  cancer may
have been greater in vicinity workers.  With respect  to the risk  of prostate
cancer in the cadmium-copper alloy cohort  (observed = 1,  SMR  = 63), the numbers
involved are too small to warrant the author's finding of no  excess risk.  In
addition, if both the cadmium-copper subcohort and the vicinity  workers are
re-evaluated only after more than 15 years of follow-up,  the  chances  of detecting
a significant prostate cancer risk in the  cadmium-copper workers  is probably

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nonexistent, while at the same time,  a better estimate of the risk  of  lung
cancer attributable to cadmium exposure in both subcohorts might  be had.
     It should be noted that the work force of any factory may be rotated many
times during the factory's operating life.  The fact that cadmium-copper alloy
workers, under the author's .definition, apparently experienced a  lower risk  of
prostate cancer than did "vicinity" workers may not be unexpecteds  since it  is
possible that many of the eight cases may have worked in the cadmium-copper
alloy department as well as in the remaining part of the plant at some time
during their working careers.
     The observed risk of cancer may actually be greater than calculated because
of the presence of the  "healthy worker" effect, in which less than expected
mortality is seen in the control group not only in the overall risk of death
from all causes (observed = 95, SMR - 88), but also with respect  to the risk of
cancer  (observed = 21, SMR = 83).  If latency had been considered in this
study, this confounding effect could have been eliminated.
     Because of the preliminary nature of the findings of excess  lung and
prostate cancer in "vicinity" workers, and further questions that need to  be
answered regarding the extent of exposures to cadmium, the findings of an
excess  risk of prostate cancer in these workers should be regarded only as
suggestive.  The finding of an excess risk of lung cancer due to cadmium exposure
must also be considered only suggestive at this time  because of the possible
confounding effects of  smoking and of exposure to other metals such as arsenic,
and because of the lack of a dose-response relationship,

Sorahan  (1981)
     Sorahan  (1981),  in a preliminary report to the Third International Cadmium
Conference, related the findings of  a historic prospective mortality study of
3,026 nickel-cadmium  battery workers  employed prior to and during the period
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from 1946 to June 30,  1980,  who had worked  at  least  one  month.   A  subset  of
these same workers had been  studied earlier by Kipling and  Waterhouse  (1967).
The Sorahan (1981) cohort was derived from  workers who had  been  employed  in two
separate factories, which were amalgamated  in  1947.   The earliest  mention of
cadmium in the air breathed  by these workers was  reported in  1949.   In the
platemaking assembly shops,  the cadmium content in the air  ranged  from 0.6 to
2.8 mg/m3, but in the "negative active material"  department,  where cadmium
oxide powder was prepared, the levels were  reported  to be "considerably higher,"
although no numbers were provided.   Extensive  local  exhaust ventilation was
installed in 1950, and as a  consequence,  cadmium  levels  in  the air were reduced
to below 0.5 mg/m3 in most parts of the factory.  By 1967,  when  a  new platemaking
department was built,  the level of  cadmium  oxide  dust in the  air had been reduced
to less than the threshold limit value (TLV) of 0.2  mg/m3.  From 1975 to  the
end of the study, the factory's levels of cadmium oxide  dust  were  within the
current TLV of 0.05 mg/m3.
     For the purposes of analysis,  the author  divided his cohort into 566 female
employees, 1,066 male employees who were  first employed  before the amalgamation
in 1947, and 1,494 males who were first employed  after the  amalgamation.
     Standard mortality ratios (SMRs) were  computed. Expected deaths were
generated on the assumption  that the general population  rates for  England and
Wales were operant in the study cohorts.  Overall, the observed  number of male
deaths from all causes was slightly less  than  expected (observed = 591, SMR =
97).  With respect to all forms of  cancer,  there  was virtually no  difference
between observed and expected deaths (observed =  152, SMR = 100).   On the other
hand, a deficit of cancer deaths occurred to the  subcohort  of male  employees
who had been employed prior  to the  amalgamation (observed = 80,  SMR = 84).
But in males who were employed for  the first time after  the amalgamation, a

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significantly increased risk  of total  cancer  deaths was  apparent  (observed =
72, SMR » 129, P < 0.05).   This increased  risk  was partially attributable to an
excess of lung cancer (observed = 32,  SMR  = 134,  0.05 <  P  < 0.10) in the latter
subcohort.  In females, a  slight nonsignificant risk  of  cancer was evident
(observed = 22, SMR = 111).  No detailed breakdown of female cancer mortality
was provided by the author.
     In both male subcohorts, those hired  before 1947 and  those hired  after
1947, an excess but nonsignificant risk of cancer of  the bronchus was  evident
(observed = 45, SMR = 114; observed = 32,  SMR = 134,  respectively).  No significant
excess risk of prostate cancer occurred in either group  (observed = 4, expected
= 4.1; observed = 3, expected = 1.9, respectively).   Even  after consideration
was given to the time since first employed, no significant excess risk was seen
in workers who were alive 15 years after first employment  but who had  left the
company in any of the following cause-of-death categories:  all causes, combined
cancer, cancer of the bronchus, and cancer of the prostate.
     Upon further subdividing the cohort according to "exposed" versus "nonexposed"
status, the author reported no significant excess risk due to  prostate cancer
 (observed = 1, expected = 0.7) or cancer of the bronchus (observed  =  10,
expected  = 8.3) in the "exposed" subcohort.  The numbers became  rather small,
however,  and  as a consequence, the power of this study to  detect  a  significant
risk is diminished.         .                                       :
     When consideration is given to length of employment and latency  together,
i.e., males formerly employed  at the factory for less than 1 year and  from 1 to
14 years  but  followed for over  15 years since the onset of employment, again no
significant excess risk of bronchial cancer or prostate cancer is apparent.   No
information was provided concerning mortality i-n those workers with more than
14 years  of employment in cadmium smelter work.  The author concluded, on the

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basis of his analysis, that no evidence exists to suggest an increased risk of
cancer mortality due to exposure to cadmium oxide dust.
     Sorahan's analysis of latent effects included only terminated employees.
Person-years of individuals still employed with the company were not enumerated,
and only if the individual left the employment of the company (through death or
other cause) were his person-years counted.  This arrangement has the effect of
altering the expected deaths by the non-inclusion of person-years of individuals
who were at risk of death but who were still  alive and working—an effect that
could conceivably bias the SMRs.  If differential mortality is considerable in
the group still employed, as compared with the cohort, the extent of the bias
might be even greater.
     The study also suffers from the "healthy worker" effect brought about by the
comparison of observed deaths with expected deaths based on the mortality rates
of England and Wales.  The SMRs are biased toward the null for all  causes where
the SMRs are greater than 100, while the deficit of deaths is increased in those
cases where the SMRs are less than 100.  Additionally, some 82 persons remain
untraced with respect to their vital status,  while 10 additional  deaths were
noted for which causes of death could not be  found.  The non-inclusion of the
causes of death of the deceased members of this subgroup would tend to create a
slight downward bias in the SMRs.
     Furthermore, the tabular data presented  classifies the cohort  into two
categories of exposure:  "exposed" and "non-exposed," although in the "Population"
section of the study, the author describes the jobs in the factories  in terms of
"high," "slight," and "minimal" exposure to cadmium.   A clearer description is
needed of how the thre^e latter categories were reconstituted as "exposed"  and
"non-exposed" for the purposes of presenting  the findings  in tabular  form.   The
author's treatment of the subject suggests that some  portion of the study  popula-
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tion received little exposure to cadmium.   If this is so,  perhaps  these  individuals
should have been excluded from the study group.   A better  definition  of  intensity
of exposure should have been utilized to present the tabular findings.   It  might
have been more informative to present the tabular findings in terms; of  "high,
"slight," and minimally" exposed subgroups, as described by the author  in the
text.
     Overall, this paper presents no evidence of an increased risk of prostate
cancer in cadmium-exposed workers.  However, since several problems exist con-
cerning the structure of the study, the diminishing sensitivity of the  study in
relation to certain highly exposed subgroups, and questionable evidence  of
exposure in a large portion of the cohort, the study cannot be said to  provide
conclusive evidence that cadmium is not carcinogenic.

Inskip and Beral  (1982)
     Inskip and Beral  (1982) conducted a cohort motality study on residents of
two small English villages, Shipham and Hutton, situated within seven miles of
each other.  Shipham is located in an area of substantial  soil contamination by
cadmium from the  remains of a zinc mine that had operated on the site for
nearly 400 years, until the middle of the nineteenth century.  The village  of
Hutton was selected as a control.  Investigations accomplished by the British
Department of the Environment's Shipham Survey Committee  revealed average
garden soil cadmium levels  ranging from 2 to 360 ug/g in the area, while national
levels rarely exceeded 2 ug/g.  Cadmium was believed to be absorbed in the diet
mainly through the consumption of home-grown vegetables.  According to a survey
conducted by Thomas  (1980), the dietary intake of cadmium in Shipham averaged
0.20 mg per week  (range 0.04 to 1.08), while the national consumption averaged
0.14 mg per week  (range 0.09 to 0.18).
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      Some  501  residents  of  Shipham and 410  residents  of Mutton were entered
 into  the cohort  on September 29,  1939, and  were  followed until December 31,
 1979, when SMRs  were  generated by cause of  death.  Data for both cohorts were
 compared with  population statistics for England  and Wales.  Excess risks of
 mortality  due  to hypertensive and cerebrovascular disease and genitourinary
 disease were found in the Shipham residents.  Cerebrovascular disease  (observed
 = 65, SMR  = 140, P <  0.05) was significantly high in  residents of Shipham,
 especially females (observed = 44, SMR = 144, P  < 0.05) and although the authors
 stated that a  significant risk of genitourinary  disease occurs only at 0.05 < P
 < 0.1, recalculating  the risk using the Poisson  method gives a value of P <
 0.03S for an SMR of 222 based on eight deaths, a statistically significant result
 that appears not to be due to chance alone.
     Only two  prostate cancer cases were observed in each village.   Thus, SMRs
 were produced  that do not differ significantly from those expected, although
 they were based on small numbers.  With respect to lung cancer,  no significant
 risks are evident, although the risk of lung cancer in females appears slightly
 elevated in both Shipham (observed = 4, SMR = 199) and Hutton  (observed =3,
 SMR = 181), based on small  numbers.
     The authors noted that overall  mortality for these two rural  communities
 is low compared to that of England and Wales, partially because  of  urban-rural
 confounding.   They maintain that  some  evidence exists  that  cadmium  influenced
the "pattern  of disease" in Shipham,  specifically as  regards kidney disease.
On the other  hand,  the authors  claim that  the results  do not support  an
association of cadmium and  cancer or respiratory  disease in  cadmium-exposed
persons.   However,  with respect to cause-specific cancer mortality, their  data
lack sensitivity because of diminishing power due to small  numbers.
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     Another problem with this  study,  in  addition  to  its  low  sensitivity
is the lack of information concerning  each  person's actual  exposure to cadmium.
Although length of residence prior to  1939  could not  be ascertained for
Individuals in the Shipham cohort, the authors were able  to establish that all
of the people studied in Shipham had lived  there for  at least 5  years.  Further-
more, only 70% could be assigned to exposure categories based on the  locations  of
their residences in areas of high or low cadmium content  in the  soils.  Also, as
the authors pointed out, the soil cadmium content, measured in 1974,  may  not
accurately reflect exposures in 1939.
     The greatest difficulty with this study, however, is in the knowledge that
the average dietary consumption of cadmium in Shipham at  0.20 mg per  week
 (range 0.04 to 1.08) was  really not very different from the national  average  of
0.14 mg per week  (range  0.09 to 0.18).  The failure to find a detectable  signifi-
cant excess of cancer in  Shipham  residents may be due to a lack of sufficient
dietary exposure to cadmium in Shipham residents.  Furthermore, the presumption
 is that the cadmium was  introduced through the gastrointestinal tract and not
 via the inhalation  route, that the lung was not the target organ for  cancer,
 and that therefore  a significant  excess of lung cancer would not be expected in
 this  study.   Hence, this paper should be judged inadequate with  respect to the
 detection  of  a risk  of  lung or prostate cancer.

 Andersson  et  al.  (1982)
      Anderssen et al.  (1982) updated  the earlier  Kjellstrom  et  al. (1979) study
 by enlarging his  cohort to  548 men  and  101 women  and  requiring  that cohort
 members have had  a minimum  of  one year  of  cadmium exposure between 1940  and
 1980 at only one  alkaline battery factory  in  Oskarshamn, Sweden.  Exposure
 levels were as described in the  earlier Kjellstrom study,  except that more
 recent data indicated that  cadmium levels  in  the air generally  fell  below
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20 ug/m3,. and that nickel  levels were below 50 ug/n)3.   Indeed,  exposure to  nickel
seems to have been more prevalent in this factory, than exposure to cadmium.
Periods of exposure for members of the cohort ranged from 1 year to 52 years,
with a median of,10 years.  Twenty-five percent of the cohort were exposed  for
better than 22 years.  Expected deaths were derived from cause-, calendar
year-, and age-specific national rates of the Central  Bureau of Statistics  from
1951 to 1980.  A total  of 118 of the males died before 1981; the analysis was
limited to deaths prior to age 80 because of the unreliability  of death certifi-
cate data after age 79.  The authors noted 103 deaths  versus 122.6 expected, a
deficit that was more than likely due to the "healthy  worker" effect,  and was
confined mainly to cardiovascular disease (46 observed, 57.3 expected). If the
analysis is limited to workers with a minimum exposure of 15 years,  again a
deficit occurs (50 observed, 58.4 expected).  However, a significant increase
in mortality due to nephritis and nephrosis was noted  (3 observed,  0.41 expected,
P < 0.05).  A nonsignificant increase in the risk of prostate cancer was evident
(3 observed, 2.5 expected).
     The authors concluded that a causal  relationship  probably  exists  between
earlier heavy cadmium exposure and the risk of renal  disease, as well  as a possible
causal relationship with obstructive lung disease.   The authors  felt that one
case of nasopharyngeal  cancer was possibily due to  exposure to  nickel  hydroxide,
which is believed to cause nasal .sinus cancer in man.
     With regard to prostate cancer, the authors felt  that  their data  suggested
an increased risk—a finding that agrees with the earlier study  by  Kjellstrom
et al. (1979).  Because of this study's lack of sensitivity, however,  nothing
can be,concluded from it with respect to lung cancer risks. Furthermore,
latency was not evaluated  in these workers.   Useful  data might  have  resulted if
the lung cancer risk could have been evaluated without the  requirement  of a
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lengthy exposure.   Former employees  who worked  less  than  15 years,  and who died
from lung cancer many years later,  could not  be counted  in tabulations in which
15 years of exposure were required  for inclusion.  The presence  of  nickel also
precludes any definitive statement  about the  risk  of cancer  in these  workers.
For the above reasons, this paper must be judged inadequate  for  use in evaluating
the risks of prostate cancer or lung cancer due to cadmium.          ;

K.iellstrom (1982)                                                   ;
     Kjellstrom (1982), in an updated historic prospective study of a cadmium
nickel-battery factory, reported on mortality patterns in a  cohort  of 619 male
employees  (including 269 from an earlier study).  During the study  period from
1951 to  1980, 103 workers  died, as compared to 126.4 expected on the basis  of
Swedish  mortality statistics.  The highest SMR was for urogenital disease,  with 4
deaths versus 2.5 expected.  This SMR  is considered to be nonsignificant.  Only
4 prostate cancer deaths occurred, versus 3.1  expected.  The workers in this
study  cohort had a  minimum of one year's exposure to  cadmium.  The author noted
that,  based on  preliminary data, prostate cancer mortality was  "more increased
than the mortality  due to  other causes."  This increase  was not  statistically
significant, however.
     The average  historic  exposure  levels within this plant are  depicted in
Figure 1.  From 1946 to 1976,  there  appears  to have been a  l,000r-fold drop in
 average exposure  levels.   A  detailed analysis  of  past and present  cadmium
 exposures in this  factory  has  been  published (Adamsson  1979).   The author
 reports that nickel exposure levels have been  at  least  the  same as that  of
 cadmium, and often as much as  10 times higher.
      This study presents a number  of problems.  The records of  employees
 terminated prior to 1945, a group  in which the greatest risk  is likely  to  be
 found, are nonexistent.  Almost 31% of this  group had exposures to cadmium of
                                        98

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           fjg Cd/m3 air



         10,000
           1000
            100
             10
               1946       1956        1966      1976    Year
Figure .1.  Concentration  of cadmium in the  air  (ug Cd/m3) from  1949 to 1976
          Antnmetic  mean of stationary and personal samples
          (Kjellstrom 1982)
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less than 2 years'  duration.  Almost 50% of the cohort  (301 workers)  received
their first exposures to cadmium .after 1959, which  means  that  a  large  proportion
of the cohort had not been followed even for 20 years,  and thus, not  enough
time had elapsed for reliable evaluation of cancer  risks.  Furthermore, smoking
information was not available for the older workers,  a  subgroup  in which the
greatest cancer risk is likely to be found.  This may have been  the reason why
no results evaluating the effects of smoking were presented in the study,
although a detailed data base was reported by the author  to be in the  develop-
ment stages as an extension of the study for future follow-ups.  Additionally,
the author reported that for cancer of the prostate,  the  rate  ratio increased
with increasing latency and increasing dose.  He reported rate ratios  of 1.27,
1.33, and 1.55, corresponding to the exposure categories  of >  0  years,  > 1
year, and > 5 years.  In the > 1 year exposure duration category, prostate
mortality rate ratios of 1.33, 1.44, and 1.81, corresponding to  latency periods
of 1, 10, and 20 years, respectively, were given.   However, since no  tabular
data were presented, it is not possible to determine  how  the four observed
prostate cancer deaths were distributed into the subcategories referred to by
the author.  The author did note that the numbers were  too small for  the detection
of statistically significant differences.
     Kjellstrom repeated the analysis for urogenital  diseases.  For those with
more than 20 years' exposure and 20 years' latency, 4 observed urogenital
deaths occurred versus 0.93 expected (P < 0.05). This  type of disease was
found exclusively in the form of nephritis of the kidney.  Again, it  is diffi-
cult to conclude without evaluation that cadmium exposure was  implicated,
although the author himself stated that it is "clear  that cadmium exposure  <,
increases mortality from kidney diseases" after high  exposure  intensity and
long duration of exposure.  The author noted a tendency in his data for a
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slightly increased nonsignificant risk of prostate' canter'from exposure to
                    \
cadmium.                                            ,    • .        •   ,
     In addition to the main study discussed above, Kjellstrom (1982)  included
discussions of three Japanese studies (Japan Public Health  Association [JPHA]
1979, also reported by Shigematsu et al.  1981; Nogawa'et al.  1978;'and Nogawa
et al. 1981) and a description of another ecological  study  planned  by  himself
and the Department of Epidemiology at the University  of Tokyo, for  which only
preliminary findings are available.  In this latter study,  age-standardized
death rates in cadmium-polluted areas for persons 35-84 years 'of',,age were compared
with the respective rates in non-cadmium-polluted areas.  Preliminary  data,   '
according to Kjellstrom, suggested a nonsignificant tendency  toward higher
mortality rates in cadmium-exposed areas  as compared  with control areas (an
age-adjusted mortality rate of 176 per 1,000 in cadmium-exposed areas  versus
139 in the control areas)..  Prostate cancer and kidney disease mortality rates
were also higher in the cadmium-exposed areas, but most of  the. prostate cancer
mortality excess occurred in individuals  85 and over.   No significant  tests
were done.' This analysis was reported by Kjellstrom  as tending to  support  the
hypothesis of a cadmium effect, but "definite conclusions have to be left until
all the analyses are completed."              ,.••
     Of the'Japanese studies referred to by Kjellstrom (1982), the  first (JPHA
1979, also reported by Shigematsu et al.  1981) was an  analysis of cadmium
exposure and mortality in the general environment;  According to the author,
people in many areas of Japan endure high cadmium exposures of up to several
micrograms per day from consumption of contaminated rice.  For each of four
prefectures of Japan, age-standardized mortality rates were calculated in a
cadmium-exposed area and compared to those calculated in a  nonexposed  reference
area of the same prefecture.  It was found that can'cer mortality rates were

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generally about the same in the nonpol"luted areas  as  in  the polluted  areas,,  but
no significance tests were done.  The only diseases for  which  death  rates were
found to be lower in the non-cadmium-polluted areas were kidney  diseases and
diabetes.  With respect to prostate cancer mortality, two of the polluted areas
had higher death rates than did the controls, while in two others the reverse
was true.  The author noted that the two prefectures with higher death rates of
prostate cancer were the areas with thfe "highest likely  cadmium  exposure to  the
population."  The former two prefectures tended to have  higher rates  of mortality
from kidney disease and hyperplasia of the prostate as well.  Because this was
an ecological study, it can only be considered as suggestive of  areas for
future research.                                                     [
     The second Japanese study  (Nogawa et al. 1978) found that in 2,689 men  and
women over age 50, the village-specific prevalence of low molecular weight  pro-
teinuria  (LMWP) increased with  an increase in the village-specific average
cadmium concentration in rice.  LMWP was measured by urinary retino!  binding
protein.  It is very likely that this ecological study included persons who
had never been exposed to  cadmium in rice, as well as persons with prior-existing
conditions, possibly introduced long before  they were exposed to relatively
high concentrations  of cadmium  in rice.  The positive association noted by the
author should  not  be construed  to signify  a  causal association.
     In the third  study, Nogawa et al.  (1981) conducted  a mortality  study of the
81 men and 124 women identified in the  earlier  study  as  having LMWP.  They,
along with 'the remaining men  and women  not  found to  have LMWP, were  followed
from 1974 to 1979.   The authors found a nonsignificant  (P  < 0.05) twofold
excess  risk  of death for men  with LMWP  and a nonsignificant 1.2-fold excess
risk of  death  for  women with  LMWP.   Mortality  rates  were based  on 27 deaths of
males with LMWP and 30 deaths of  females  with  LMWP.   A  positive association of

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 LMWP  with  heart  disease,  cerebrovascular disease,  nephritis,  and nephrosis  was
 noted.   This  association  raises  the  specter  of a  possible confounding  effect
 of  hypertension  with  LMWP.   If hypertension  is a  cause  of LMWP,  the  higher
 mortality  of  the individuals  that  had  LMWP may have  been  due  to  hypertension
 and not, as the  author  suggested,  to cadmium exposure.  The correlation with
 LMWP  may thus be spurious,  and hence,  conclusions  drawn from  this  study regarding
 an  association of higher  mortality with  cadmium exposure  must  be characterized
 as  certainly  no  more  than suggestive.

 Armstrong  and Kazantzis (1983, 1982)
      Armstrong and Kazantzis  (1983)  recently  completed a  cohort mortality study
 of  6,995 male cadmium workers born before 1940, who had had at least one year of
 employment during  1942-1970 in one of five British industries  (primary production
 64%;  copper-cadmium alloy 8%; silver-cadmium  alloy 14%; pigments and oxides 8%;
 and stabilizers  6%).  The authors  classified  their cohort  (derived from 17
 major plants) into the following three categories of exposure:  1) "always low"
 (80%; 5,623 workers); 2)  "ever medium" (17%;  1,173 workers); and 3) "ever high"
 (3%;  199. workers).  Expected deaths were derived from SMRs based on mortality
 rates for the population  of England and Wales.  In addition, the authors referred
to  "approximately accounting" for regional variations in mortality by the  use
 of.  cause-specific SMRs for standard regions published by the British  Office  of
Population Censuses and Surveys during  the period 1969-1973.   This  procedure is
not completely described.   The authors  stated that in one  instance  they used
the urban aggregate of a primarily rural  region to derive  SMRs for  a  plant that
was situated in an urban portion  of the region.  The  authors  developed  two-sided
confidence intervals for significance testing through the  use  of  the  "exact"
Poisson distribution method  for some  comparisons and  the "normal" distribution
for others.
                                .   .  103

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     Jobs were classified in the categories  of  high, medium, or  low exposure

to cadmium on the basis of discussions  with  hygienists  and  others with

knowledge of past working procedures, taking into  account biological or

environmental monitoring results available.                           '

     Approximately 96% of this cohort was  classified with a known vital status,

whereas 4% either emigrated or were not traced. The authors excluded  38 deaths

occurring to individuals 85 years of age or  over.   Presumably  the authors

ceased counting person-years for those  live  individuals who reached age 85 and

over as well in order to retain comparability.   The SMR for all  causes of death

was 97 (based on 1,902 deaths).  The SMR for the first  10 years  of followup was

79 (based on 205 observed deaths) and for  later years  99 (based  on 1,697 deaths),

a phenomenon due most likely to the healthy  worker effect.   The  authors found a

significant excess of mortality due to  bronchitis  in the "ever high" exposure

group, which appears to be dose-related (12  observed vs. 2.8 expected, P <
                        t              i
0.01) without regard for latency.  This risk diminishes to  a nonsignificant SMR

of 138 in the "ever medium" group and finally to an SMR of  121 in the  "always

low" group, without regard for latent factors.   Prostate cancer  remained non-

significant in all three exposure categories, without  regard for latent factors.

Because of the small numbers involved,  however, the study could  not detect a
                                f   *    '"
prostate cancer risk in the "ever high" exposure category.   Although the authors

stated that this cohort had been analyzed  according to years since time of

initial exposure, only the overall SMR was presented for those with  10 years or

more of follow-up in the published version.   No detailed tabular data  were

provided with respect to lung cancer or prostate cancer by  time  since  onset of

initial employment in the published results.

     The authors agreed that the number of persons in  the "ever  high"  exposure

group  (N =  199) was too small to preclude the possibility of the existence  of  a


                                       104                            :

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risk of prostate cancer from exposure to cadmium in this group.   They further
noted that no cases of prostate cancer turned up in the "ever medium" group,
whereas 2.5 were expected.  Prostate cancer was near to expected levels  in  the
"always low" exposure group (23 observed, 2CL4 expected) into which the  large
majority of the cohort,fell.  Hpwever, the authors provide no breakdown  of
site-specific cancer by time (10, 15, or 20 years) since onset of initial
employment according to their -three categories of exposure.   Of  interest is
whether sufficient power remains in the study to detect a significant excess
risk of prostate cancer in the latter two categories of exposure, particularly
the "ever medium" group, 10, 15, or 20 years after the onset  of  exposure.
     Furthermore, the possibility exists that when workers of 17 different  plants
are thrown together to form a massive cohort for study, some  of  these workers may
have had little or no exposure to cadmium.  If this occurred  in  the study under
discussion, the likelihood of detecting a risk is reduced by  the inclusion  of
person-years for individuals who essentially were not exposed to cadmium.   This
is especially true if there is a dose-response relationship  operating in the
cohort.  Unless reliable criteria are established to quantify individual exposures
to cadmium dust and compounds of cadmium, in addition to other confounding
substances that may be present, it cannot be presumed that every member  of  this
cohort was exposed to cadmium in high enough quantities to produce a detectable
health risk.  Furthermore, although some recent monitoring data  may exist with
which to quantify exposures, it is questionable that sufficient  industrial
exposure measurement data exist from the 1940s or 1950s and earlier to provide
more than a guess at the levels of exposure to cadmium and other metals  that
existed when these persons were fir^t employed.  It may be that  the historical
prospective study design is not a sensitive enough analytical  tool  to be used
in assessing cancer risks in a cohort of workers who, in general, were exposed
                                      105 ,

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to only "low" levels of cadmium.   On the basis of the above factors,  this  study
is seen to provide no evidence that cadmium is a powerful  prostate cancer
carcinogen.
     On the other hand, although the risk of lung cancer overall  was  not
significant (observed = 199, SMR = 107) without regard to intensity of exposure,
the subgroup of workers who were employed for 10 or more years in low-exposure
jobs exhibited a statistically significant excess risk of lung cancer (SMR =
126, observed = 100, P < 0.05).  The authors, in an earlier draft of  this  paper
(Armstrong and Kazantzis 198.2), presented data concerning the lung cancer  risk
in workers having a minimum of 10 years' employment in the categories of  "ever
high" and  "ever medium" exposure to cadmium.  With respect to the "ever high"
exposure category, no evidence exists of an elevated risk of lung cancer  (SMR =
87, observed = 2) after 10 years' employment; however, little power remains with
which to detect an elevated risk in that group.  On the other hand, a suggestion
of an elevated risk is apparent in the  "ever medium" exposure group (SMR  = 142,
observed = 16) with 10 or more years of employment in the industry.  It would
have been  valuable, however, to include a discussion of the lung cancer risk  by
longer time intervals since onset of exposure  (i.e., 15 or 20 years),,  Power
considerations probably would  render such calculations of lung cancer risk in
the  "high" exposure subcohort  and the  "medium" exposure subcohort questionable.
     The increased  risk of lung cancer  in the  "always low" exposure category
cannot be  ascribed  necessarily to cadmium exposure.  It is generally accepted
that manual workers smoke more than the general  population; thus, it is not
inconceivable that  some of this increased risk is due to smoking.  The authors
state further that  the absence of a gradient  of  risk with intensity of exposure
makes it unlikely that the excess  is due to  cadmium.  A full tabulation of SMRs
in the three exposure  intensity categories  by  time since onset of exposure
                                       106

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 (10,  15,  and  20 years) and  similar duration of employment  intervals might
 provide  better dose-response information.
      The  exceptionally high risk of bronchitis in the  "ever high" exposure
 group cannot  be attributed to a cigarette smoking link because of the lack of a
 social-class  gradient in the three exposure intensity categories.  Although it
 is  possible that other industrial pollutants may have contributed to this
 excess in the "ever high" exposure group, the authors point out that the size
 of  the excess is much too great to be solely attributable to such confounding
 effects.  Hence, they conclude that cadmium may have contributed to the excess
 of  bronchitis.
      Overall, this study did not sufficiently address the impact of latency
 and duration  of exposure on the risk of prostate cancer, lung cancer,  and
 hypertensive  disease, i.e., because it considered only a single cut-off point
 (10 years).  Perhaps additional  tabulations that the authors state are in their
 possession can provide answers to the questions raised.  While this study
 provides no evidence of a risk of prostate cancer, the possibility remains that
 at the exposure intensities indicated following a lapse of 10, 15, or  20 years
 from  initial exposure, the historic prospective method may no longer be sensitive
 enough to detect a prostate cancer risk, if in fact  one exists.   A significant
 excess risk of lung cancer appears evident in workers with 10 years of "low"
 exposure to cadmium; however,  this excess risk is not necessarily due  to exposure
 to cadmium.  Comparable data 1n  the "ever medium" exposure group  indicates a
 nonsignificant risk of lung cancer, but  latency is not evaluated  in sufficient
 detail.  The data  from the "ever high" group  lack sufficient sensitivity to be
 judged adequate  for the detection  of  a risk  of lung  cancer.   It would  be of
 Interest  to see  if the addition  of the 38 causes  of  death  of persons over age
«5 would  alter the calculated  risks.   It might  also  be of  some value to  repeat
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the analysis on a pi ant-by-pi ant basis to determine which plants exhibit the
highest risks by cause, and then develop exposure indices for those plants.
     Nothing can be said on the basis of this study concerning the risk of
hypertensive disease, except that it bears watching.  However, the irisk of
bronchitis, which the authors conclude is probably due to exposure to cadmium
dust, appears to be very significant.  The dose-response relationship noted by
the authors for bronchitis cannot entirely be attributed to confounding effects.

Sorahan and Waterhouse  (1983)
     Sorahan and Waterhouse  (1983), in a recently published update of the
earlier study by Sorahan (1981), employed a technique referred to as the "method
of regression models  in life tables  (RMLT)" by Cox  (1972)'and Kneale et al. (1981)
to test the null hypothesis that occupational exposure to cadmium is not associated
with excess mortality.  Only one set  of mortality data was derived by means of
calculating SMRs.   Without qualification, only the  risk  of respiratory  cancer
was found to  be  statistically  significant (observed = 89, expected = 70.2, P <
0.05).  The  risk of prostate cancer was elevated  slightly but not significantly
 (observed = 8,  expected =  6.6)  in this  phase  of the study.  These data, however,
may not include  one to four  of the  earlier  prostate cancer cases  found  by Kipling
and Waterhouse (1967), for the reasons  stated below.
      In the  second part of their study,  utilizing the RMLT,  the authors prepared
 analyses  with and  without  the  four  original  cases included.   The  authors  believed
 that  only new cases of prostate cancer  should be  used to determine  an  RMLT-
 derived  asymptotically normally distributed test-statistic measuring the  signifi-
 cance of  cancer of the prostate in  their cohort.   The  potential confounders  of
 sex,  hiring date,  age at  hire, length of employment,  and employment  status  were
 regressed against  the test-statistic in order to  eliminate the  influence  of
                                       108

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these factors.  Employment status was defined to be cumulative duration of
employment in a "high" exposure job versus cumulative duration of employment in
a "high or moderate" exposure job.  Job categories were classified by exposure
to cadmium as "high exposure," "moderate (or slight) exposure," and "minimal
exposure."  Only 8 jobs were considered to involve "high" exposure, while 14
were considered to involve "moderate (or Slight)" exposure, and 53 were considered
to involve "minimal exposure."  With the four original  cases"included, the test-
statistic (3.10, P < 0.05) remained statistically significant in the "highly"
exposed group but remained nonsignificant (-0.32) when  the original four cases
were excluded.  Even when reduction in exposure levels  over calendar year periods
was programmed into the analysis (assumed exposure levels from 1968 to 1972
were 40% of levels existing prior to 1967, and 10% post-1972) the test-statistic
increased to 3.52 (P < 0.01) with the original four prostate cancers included.
The authors, however, chose to note instead that "the effect of excluding the
four previously reported cases of prostatic cancer is to reduce the statistically
significant positive statistic to a small nonsignificant negative statistic."
They concluded that "no new evidence has been produced  which suggests an
association between occupational exposure to cadmium and cancer of the prostate."
Actually this conclusion may be unwarranted.  One must  wonder about the propriety
of excluding persons who carry the disease in question  from the study cohort
if they fit the definition for inclusion.  If these persons are to be excluded,
such exclusion should be accomplished by redefining the study cohort so that
selection biases do not creep into the results.  This could perhaps be accom-
plished by defining a later time of initial employment.
     The test-statistic generated for respiratory cancer in the "high-exposure"
category in men .is nonsignificant at 1.28, but for "high to moderately exposed"
individuals, it 1s significant at 2.51 (P < 0.05).  The authors suggested that
                                      109

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exposures to the welding fumes .of oxyacetylene found  in  jobs  of  "moderately
exposed" workers might have accounted for this excess, which  was chiefly confined
to workers who began employment prior to 1940 (3.09,  P < 0.05),  to  those who
worked a minimum of 6 months (2.49, ;P < 0.05) and to  those  observed for 30
years or longer (3.18, P < 0.05).  Minimally exposed  workers  who wore  also
followed for 30 years or longer exhibited a significant  test-statistic (2.36, P
< 0.05).  In no instance, did age, sex, year of starting employment, or years
of follow-up produce a significant test-statistic for lung  cancer In the group
with the highest potential exposure to cadmium.
     The authors pointed out the possibility that since  job applicants with
histories of lung and kidney disease were traditionally  excluded from  "high-
exposure" jobs, this would tend to work against the demonstration of a potential
hazard for related diseases in this category.  They also indicated  that since
only 12% of their 599 deaths were in workers with more than 5 years' high-
exposure employment, but 24% were in workers with moderate- or high-exposure
employment of more than 5 years, this might explain why  a significant  statistic
was not found for lung cancer in the "high" exposure  group  if, in fact,
occupational exposure to cadmium oxide is a risk factor.  Presumably,  this
differential mortality may indicate a lack of sensitivity in the "highly"
exposed group due to small numbers.  If such a risk dose not exist  in  truth,
the explanation for the seemingly Inverse dose-response  effect may  be  due to
exposure to oxyacetylene welding fumes, exposure to nickel  hydroxide dust, or
to chance alone.
     The* authors felt also that although Information  on  their cohort's smoking
habits was not available, if smoking were the reason  for an excess  of  respiratory
cancer, then similar associations should be expected  for diseases of the circula-
tory system, and such associations were not found. The  authors  stated that the
                                      110                         •

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 analysis could not  differentiate  between  exposure  to  cadmium oxide  dust  and
 exposure to nickel  hydroxide  because  almost  every  job with  high  cadmium  exposure
 alSb had high  nickel  exposure.
      In conclusion,  Sorahan and Water-house  (1983)  found  an  increased  risk
 of prostate cancer  that  was entirely  dependent  on  the original four cases of
 Kipling and Waterhouse  (1967), but  found  no  association  with  prostate cancer for
 cases subsequent  to these.  They  also found  an  increased risk of  respiratory
 cancer among workers  moderately or  highly exposed  to  cadmium  oxide dust  and
 initially employed  before 1940--a finding which was confounded by exposures to
 oxyacetylene welding  fumes and to nickel hydroxide dust.

 Varner (1983.  unpublished)
      ASARCO Inc., the owners  of the cadmium  smelter that had  been studied by
 Lemen et  al. (1976),  updated  that study with one of their own (Varner 1983,
 unpublished) in which all employees were included who had had at least six
 months' employment at the smelter between January  1,  1940 and December 31, 1969.
 The  size  of the cohort was enlarged to 644.  This very preliminary report was
 accompanied by a  letter to David Bayliss of the CA6 from Lowell  White of ASARCO,
 January 11,  1984, in which White indicated that the follow-up for this study
 would extend to the end of 1981.   According to the letter, the National  Institute
 for  Occupational  Safety and Health  (NIOSH) staff scientists, in  a cooperative
 arranqeinont, agreed to provide follow-up services on all  members  of this  cohort,
 and.to .provide copies of death certificates to ASARCO in  exchange for  available
work  history and biological  monitoring data.
     As 1n  the Lemen et  al.  (1976) study,  Varner (1983) used a methodological
technique called the Standardized  Case Ratio (SCR), which is analogous to the
calculation of  SMRs, with the  exception  that  expected  deaths for  particular
causes of death are  derived  by dividing  age-  and cause-specific attributable
                                      111

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deaths by total  deaths in the age and year category  corresponding to each
particular decendent's age and year of death.   The  resulting  proportions are
summed to arrive at the number of expected deaths.   These  methods are still
under peer review, according to White (letter  to David Bayliss,  CAG, January 11,
1984) and cannot yet be considered reliable.
     The preliminary findings of Varner (1983) differed from  the Lenten  et  al.
(1976) study in that the risk of prostate cancer was found to be no  longer
statistically significant, although it was still elevated  (observed  = 5, SCR =
169)*, while the risk of lung cancer remained  statistically significant (observed
* 23, SCR = 163).  The author attributed the excess risk of lung cancer to
several factors:  increased cumulative exposure to cadmium, years of exposure,
age at death, latent period, and/or cigarette  smoking.
     The author maintains that a "substantially higher than normal  prevalence
of heavy cigarette smoking" in a subcohort of  the main study  cohort  may have
contributed to  "part or all" of the increased lung cancer incidence. Other
findings include a significant risk of urinary tract cancer (observed = 6, SCR
= 252, P = < 0.05); specific bladder cancers  (observed = 5, SCR =  374,  P  < 0.01);
total cancer (observed = 53, SCR = 126, P < 0.05); nonmalignant respiratory
disease  (observed = 7, SCR = 153, P < 0.05); ulcer of the stomach  and  duodenum
(observed = 7,  SCR = 452, P < 0.01); and accidents  (observed  * 19,  SCR  = 150;
P <  150, P < 0.05).  However, the findings also reflect a significant  deficit
of deaths due to heart disease  (observed » 68,  SCR = 77, P < 0.01)  and  stroke
(observed = 6,  SCR = 40, P < 0.05).
 *SCR  (Standardized Case Ratio) is analogous to the Standard Mortality Ratio,
 differing  in that expected deaths for a specific cause were derived by dividing
 age- and cause-specific attributable deaths by total deaths in the age and year
 of death category of each decedent.  The resulting proportions are summed to
 obtain expected deaths.  These methods are under peer review, according to
 White  (January 11,  1984).
                                      112

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     Calculated cumulative exposure to cadmium (mg-years/m^)  was determined for
every member of the cohort on the basis of personal  monitoring measurements made
during the period 1973-1976.  The author pointed out that: this variable assumes
that exposures over several decades were about the same.  The author felt that
such a procedure tends to underestimate exposures of many years ago when cadmium
levels were probably higher, while at the same time tending to overestimate  .
exposures of recent years.                                          ,       ...
     Varner (1983) found that a dose-response relationship existed with respect
to lung cancer, and to a lesser degree, total malignant neoplasms, as follows:

         Exposure            Lung cancer               Malignant neoplasms
       (mg-years/m3)      Observed     SCR.	Observed      SCR
0-4
5-15
16+
7
6
10.
95
159
, 332 (P


< 0.01). -
23
14
16
108
123
168
Lung cancer was also found to be related to smoking in the following manner:

            Pack-years          Observed         SCR
            Unknown                10 .           115
            Nonsmokers              0    :..   .    	
            1-19                    2            183
            19                     11           . 313 (P < 0.01)
No such effects were seen for bladder cancer.
     With respect to lung cancer, the author reports that 77.5% of the cadmium
workers had been smokers, and that 53.2% had smoked, the .equivalent' of one pack a
day for 20 years.  In a 1970 Household Interview, Survey by the National Center
for Health Statistics,. i t. was reported that 69.2% of blue collar workers had
smoked a pack or more of cigarettes a day at some time in their lives.  .Thus,
so mo evidence exists for a confounding effect due to cigarette smoking, since
                                      113

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the proportion of smokers in the Varner (1983) cohort was somewhat  greater than
that shown by survey data.
     In the letter attached to this preliminary paper, Dr. White cautioned
that several problems had to be solved concerning the validity of the study's
findings, not the least of which involved the credibility derivation of SCRs.
The MIOSH update of the Lemen et al. (1976) study, which is reviewed later in
this section, also contains 60 fewer individuals, who were allegedly excluded
by NIOSH for "various reasons" upon which Varner does not elaborate.  Varner
included all individuals  "regardless of exposure."
     Another problem with the study is that the death certificates were received
only 2 weeks prior to the presentation of the paper at the 4th International
Cadmium Conference, thus  necessitating the use of cause-of-death codes that
appeared on the death certificates as they were>received.  Both the NIOSH
cause-of-death codes and  the state's cause-of-death codes are described as
differing.  White referred to the presence of what he termed "nosology bias" in
the ascertainment of underlying causes of death.  He states that some 93 death
certificates were coded by a different nosologist than the one who performed
the coding for the preliminary report, leading to 21 distinctly different cause
of death codes.  The authors are seeking a neutral "unbiased" method for coding
death certificates prior  to the issuance of a final report on the study.
Furthermore, White believes that the possible presence of confounding variables
as an explanation for elevated risks, especially  of lung  cancer, has not been
properly or completely addressed in this preliminary  report.  White reported
that Michael Thun and his coworkers at NIOSH  (Thun et al. 1984) have attempted
to account for the contribution of arsenic exposure and cigarette smoking in
their study, which is reviewed below.  Additionally, White reported that the
follow-up through 1981 was  Incomplete, although the percentage remaining with
                                      114

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an unknown vital status was not given.  He reported that ASARCO, Inc. recently
contracted with the Social Security Administration to provide vital status
irtformation, and that it is hoped that the "final procurement" of death
certificates for the study can begin soon (presumably after the date of his
letter of January 11, 1984).  The cohort has been expanded, and a number of newly
found personnel records have been included for evaluation in the final report.
     Because of the very preliminary nature of the Varner (1983) study in its
present form, the results will not be prejudged here.  Although the author
found a dose-related significant excess risk of lung cancer, as he explains,
this may be due in part to the confounding effects of smoking and/or arsenic
exposure.  Additionally, although the risk of prostate cancer is elevated, it
is no longer statistically significant.  Whether the final version of the study
will sustain such a finding is not presently clear, in view of the many problems
that must be solved.  It does not appear at this time that the final  version of
the study will be forthcoming in the very near future.
     Hence, the Varner study cannot, at present, be used either to substantiate
an excess risk of lung cancer due to cadmium exposure or to refute the earlier
findings of significant prostate cancer in the Lemen et al.  study.
Thun et al. (1984, unpublished)
     In a separate enlargement and update of the Lemen et al.  (1976)  study,
Thun et al. (19R4, unpublished) broadened the cohort to Include white males  Who
worked a minimum of 6 months 1n production work during the period 1940-1969.,
The resulting 612 members were followed an additional  5 years  to the  end of  1978.
The difference between the size of the Varner (1983) cohort  of 644-612 = 32  and
the Thun et al. (1984) cohort is not completely explained, but may  consist of
non-production employees such as guards,  office workers, and office area janitors.
Cause-specific mortality rates for seven  causes of death were  compared between
                                      115

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the cohort and U.S. white males.   Death certificates  were  coded  by  a  qualified
nosologist according to the protocol  of the version of the International Classifi-
cation of Diseases (ICD) in effect at the time of death.   Expected  deaths were
calculated using the life-table system developed by NIOSH.  The  risk  of  lung
cancel* (observed = 20, SMR = 265, P < 0.05) was significantly  in excess  in
workers employed for 2 or more years  before and after the  cessation of arsenic
smelting in 1925.  Prostate cancer was no longer excessive in  these workers.
     From Table 16, it can be seen that air exposure  measurements chronologically
decreased with the introduction of a  mandatory respiratory program  introduced
in the 1940s.  The estimates in Table 16 are based on area monitoring data,
adjusted to reflect actual exposures  during the wearing of respirators.  The source
of the data—the plant's personnel records—provided  enough detail  so that broad
job categories could be assigned to each period of a  worker's  employment.
     The plant studied has produced cadmium metals and cadmium compounds from
1925 to the present.  It had been an  arsenic smelter  from  1918 to 1925,  and a
lead smelter from 1886 to 1918.  Urine cadmium data,  which were  available for
261 members of the cohort employed beyond 1960, suggested  a highly  exposed
population.  Since arsenic is a known "lung carcinogen, the authors  separated
arsenic-exposed workers from the rest of the cohort by dividing  their cohort
into two subgroups, those employed on or before January 1, 1926, and  those
employed after that date.  In the first group, 4 lung cancer deaths were observed
versus 0.5(5 oxpected, while 1n those  employed 2 years or longer  after January
1, 19?6, 16 observed lung cancer deaths were observed versus 6.99 expected, P
< 0.05.  Directly standardized rate ratios (SRRs) for these data exhibit a
constant twofold Increase in lung cancer mortality with longer duration  of
employment (Table 17).  The authors state that a similar pattern results when
the indirectly standardized mortality ratios are stratified for  latency.
                                      116

-------







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  TABLE  17.  LUNG CANCER  (ICD 162-163) MORTALITY BY DURATION OF EMPLOYMENT,
                     WHITE MALES HIRED ON OR AFTER 1/1/26
                              (Thun e;t al. 1984)
Duration of employment
6-23 months
2-9 years
10-19 years
20+ years
U.S. white males
No. of
deaths
0
9
3
4
-
Mortality
rate3
0
15.73
14.28
16.28
7.27
SRRb
-
2.2
2.0
2.2
1
aRate x 10,000 person-years  was  directly  standardized for age and calendar time
 to the person-years distribution of  the  overall  cadmium cohort.
bStandardized rate ratio (SRR)  is the directly  standardized mortality rate of
 subgroup/summary rate for U.S.  white males.
     With respect to arsenic exposure,  even  after 1925, the  author states that
a small and unspecified number of workers  processed arsenic  intermittently in,
one area of the plant.  This lasted into the 1930s.  A second  continuing source
of arsenic exposure came in the sampling,  mixing, roasting,  and  calcine furnace
areas.  Six industrial hygiene measurements  in 1950 showed arsenic concentrations
ranging from 300 to 700 ug/m3 in the vicinity of the roasting  and calcine
furnaces, the highest measurement anywhere in the plant.   The  authors  report
that later measurements by the company and the U.S. Occupational Safety and
Health Administration  (OSHA), in 1979, indicate a decrease in  arsenic  concentra-
tion to 100 ug/m3 in this area.  However,  the author points out  that although
air levels of arsenic  in this specified area were 10 times the OSHA  threshold
of 10 ug/m3, the personal exposures of individuals in this area were lower
because of respirator  usage—a practice that had been in effect since 1940.   In
                                       118

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 fact,  on  the  basis  of  a  "most-likely-case" scenario, the authors estimate that
 the average arsenic exposure of persons in this study would have been 25 ug/m3
 Under  the following conditions:
      (1)  the  average airborne arsenic exposure was 500 ug/m3 in the
          high-arsenic  work areas;
      (2)  there was  a respiratory protection factor of 75%; and
      (3)  20%  of the person-years of exposure were spent in such areas
          (based on  personnel and biological monitoring data).
 Hence, according to the authors, if the 586 workers hired after 1926 were
 employed  an average of 3 years, they would have acquired 1,758 person-years of
 exposure  to 25 ug/m3 of arsenic.  Based on an OSHA risk assessment model  for
 arsenic (OSHA 1983), such an exposure should have resulted in no more than
 0.78 lung cancers.  The authors feel that the 25 ug/m3 figure overestimates
 actual exposures because only a fraction of jobs in the "high-arsenic" areas
 involved  exposures  as high as those in the furnace areas.   High-exposure  jobs
 in the roaster area were frequently staffed by entry-level  workers with less
 than 6 months' employment, who would for that reason  never qualify for inclusion
 in the study, although the authors included them in their  estimate that 20% of
the person-years of exposure were in "high-arsenic" jobs.   Furthermore, the
 authors point out that urinary arsenic levels from 1960 to 1980 averaged  46
 ug/L, which is consistent with an inhaled arsenic  concentration of 14 ug/m3.
 If one assumes an average inhaled concentration of 125  ug/m3  (25% of 500
ug/m3) over 3 years, a ninefold overestimate  of exposure results,  which more
than offsets the unquantified high  exposures  during the early years.   Based on
the above  analysis,  the authors concluded  that arsenic  alone  could not  explain
the observed excess  of lung  cancer  deaths  in  this  cohort.
     With  respect to cigarette smoking,  information concerning  the  smoking
habits of  70% of the cohort  was obtained from survivors and next-of-kin.
                                      119

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Some 77.5% for whom information was available were current  or former smokers.
This prevalence of "ever" smokers is close to the 72.9% prevalence  noted  among
white males over 20 in the 1965 Health Interview Survey referred to previously.
                                                                       *
The authors pointed out that even if the percentage of heavy  smokers (25+
cigarettes/day) in the cadmium cohort were double that of the 20% white male
1965 population, the rate ratio would increase by only 1.25,  according to
the method of Axel son (1978).  Hence, the authors conclude  that cigarette
smoking is unlikely to account for the twofold increase in  lung cancer
deaths observed among workers in this cohort with 2 or more years or employment.
     The authors also note the lack of a clear dose-response  relationship-'-a
situation which they suggest could be an artifact of using  length of employment
as a surrogate for dose.  They point out that, in plants such as the one  studied,
one of the privileges of seniority is that long-term workers  can bid into more
desirable, less exposed jobs, and that for this reason, the use of  data on
duration of employment can lead to overestimation of exposure in long-term
workers.
     Of concern in this study is the possibility that the combined  effect
of increased cigarette smoking and exposure to arsenic might  have served  to
produce the significant positive risk of lung cancer observed in this cohort.
This possibility is all the more distinct because the risk  of lung  cancer in the
study was not seen to be overwhelming.  A subtle combination  of factors such as
the ones mentioned above could conceivably have served to produce the excess
risks found, even though such an eventuality is unlikely.  Thus, although this
study cannot be said to be conclusive with respect to risks of lung cancer from
exposure to cadmium, it constitutes the most clear-cut evidence yet leading to
this conclusion.
                                      120

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 Summary
      Of the many epidemiologic studies of cancer in cadmium-exposed persons
 reviewed by the CAG, only four (Kipling and Waterhouse 1967, Lemen et  al.  1976,
 Holden 1980, and Sorahan and Waterhouse 1983)  provide evidence of a statistically
 significant positive association  (P < 0.05) of cadmium with prostate cancer.
      Several other studies  (Potts  1965; Kjellstrom et al.  1979;  McMichael  et  al.
 1976a, b;  Anderssen et  al.  1982; Kjellstrom 1982;  Varner 1983,  unpublished; and
 Thun et al.  1984,  unpublished)  provide the suggestion of an increased  risk  of
 prostate cancer (although statistically nonsignificant)  with exposure  to cadmium.
      With  respect  to these  studies,  however, several  comments are in order.
 The  studies  by  Potts (1965),  Kipling and Waterhouse  (1967),  Sorahan  (1981), and
 Sorahan and  Waterhouse  (1983) cannot be considered  independently  of  one another.
 The  workers  in  the McMichael  et al.  (1976a, b)  studies were  subsequently shown not
 to have had  any  exposures to  cadmium,  and  the  observed excess of  prostate cancer
 in this study was  felt  by Monson and Fine  (1978) and  Goldsmith et al.  (1980)
 to be  due to other,  unexplained factors  at the  companies studied.
     Furthermore,  the significant excess risk of prostate cancer  in the Lemen et
 al.-(197.fi) study dropped to a nonsignificant excess risk in  both of the updated
 versions of  that study  (Varner 1983  and Thun et al. 1984).   Kjellstrom's "corrected
 healthy worker effect" risk ratio of 2.4 is nonsignificant because of the small
 numbers involved, although it approaches borderline significance at P < 0.09,
 offering the suggestion of a possible association of prostate cancer with
 cadmium exposure.
     Two other studies (Humperdinck 1968 and Holden 1969) did not report evidence
 of an association of prostate cancer with cadmium exposure, chiefly because the
comparison population was either inadequate for the assessment of risk  (Humperdinck)
or absent entirely (Holden).

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     An update by Kjellstrom (1982)  of his earlier 1979 study again failed to
demonstrate a significant risk  of  cancer  of the prostate due to cadmium.  One
of the failings of this study was  that members of the cohort were not observed
long enough to permit the evaluation of  latent effects.   More than half of the
cohort had received no exposure to cadmium prior to  1959, and thus could not
have been followed even for 20  years.
     The study by Armstrong and Kazantzis (1983) of  6,994 workers also failed
to demonstrate an increased risk of prostate  cancer  due to  cadmium.   This study
combined cohorts from 15 different plants, each with its own  unique exposure
history, and none of which were necessarily  comparable.  Exposures to cadmium in
most of these plants may have been below the level  at which the  study design
could  detect a risk.
     Kolonel  (1976) found a statistically significant elevated risk of  renal
cancer in persons occupationally exposed to  cadmium, and  an even greater  risk
in occupationally exposed people who smoke,  thus raising  the possibility  of
a synergism.  The chance of selection bias and concurrent  occupational
exposures to  nickel, lead,  zinc, and a variety of metals  also minimizes the
importance  of the findings.
     With  respect to a  risk of  prostate  cancer from exposure to cadmium and
its  compounds, the  evidence  is  weak  at best, and is considered by the CAS to
be insufficient  to  conclude  that  cadmium is a prostate carcinogen.
      On the other hand,  recent  evidence  from the same studies seems to provide
better evidence  of  a  lung  cancer  risk from exposure to cadmium.  Strong evidence
is available from the  Thun  et  al.  (1984) study that the significant twofold excess
risk of lung cancer seen in cadmium smelter workers is probably not  due to the
presence  of arsenic in the  plant  or to  increased smoking by  such workers.  Thun
et  al. analyzed  both factors as potential confounders and  convincingly dismissed
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 both  in  this  updated and enlarged  version of the earlier Lemen et al. (1976)
 study, which  also  demonstrated a significantly elevated risk of lung cancer.
      Varner  (1983) also found a statistically significant excess of lung cancer
 in  his updated  enlarged version of the earlier Lemen et al. study.  But unlike
 fhun  et  al.,  Varner noted a dose-response relationship for both lung cancer and
 total malignant neoplasms with increasing cumulative exposure.  Varner indicated
 that  the significant excess is probably due to the smoking factor or to the
 presence of arsenic in the plant.  However, he had not had a chance to analyze
 their impact  because his paper was preliminary.
      Sorahan  and Waterhouse (1983), using the SMR method, also noted a clearly
 statistically significant risk of lung cancer in their study population.
 In  addition,  a significantly high test-statistic was noted for excess lung
 cancer utilizing the "regression models in life tables (RMLT)" method in  the
 "high to moderately exposed" group but not in the "highest exposure" category,
 although the test-statistic was elevated.   Sorahan suggested that  the excess
 might be due to exposure to fumes from oxyacetylene welding.   No significantly
 high  test-statistic was found in his "highest exposure" group,  however, possibly
 because  of a lack of sensitivity due to small  numbers.
      In  his earlier paper,  Sorahan (1981)  found the risk  of lung cancer to be
 nonsignificantly elevated through SMRs calculated in a  retrospective/prospective
 cohort study of workers who began employment  before and after the  amalgamation
 of two factories into a nickel-cadmium battery  plant.
     Armstrong and Kazantzis  (1983) also demonstrated  a significant  risk  of
 lung cancer in workers  designated by them  as  having worked in  "low exposure"
 jobs for a minimum of 10 years.   Little sensitivity remained  in  the  "highly
exposed" group with which to  detect a risk  after  a  minimum of  10 years'
 employment, and such a  significant  risk was  not  shown.   Furthermore,  only a
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suggestion of an excessive risk was evident  in the "ever mediumly"  iaxposed
group in workers with a minimum of 10 years'  employment.  This  study,  however,
did not deal with latent factors 15 or 20 years after initial exposure in
combination with length of employment in sufficient detail.   Also,  17  different
plant populations were combined to form one  cohort study, thus  raising the
possibility that very little exposure occurred to most members  of the  cohort.
     Hoi den (1980) reported a significantly  excessive risk of lung  cancer  in
"vicinity" workers, which he maintained could have been due to  the  presence of
other metals, such as arsenic.  No excess risk was seen in the  group with  the
highest exposure, however.  Latent factors were not considered, nor was the
movement of workers from jobs with high exposure to jobs with low exposure,
possibly because of seniority.
     Anderssen et al. (1982), in their update of the Kjellstrom et  al. (1979)
study, noted a slight but nonsignificant lung cancer risk in alkaline  battery
factory workers; however, this observation was based on only three lung cancer
deaths occurring to this cohort, and the study also suffers from a "small  numbers"
problem.  In the earlier study, Kjellstrom et al.  (1979) observed a slight but
nonsignificant excess of lung cancer based on two cases in the same small  group
of cadmium-nickel battery factory workers.
     Inskip and Beral  (1982) noted a slightly increased but nonsignificant risk
of lung cancer among female  residents of two  small English villages; who presumably
were exposed to cadmium-contaminated soil via the  oral  route.  However, again
only a small number of  lung  cancers were observed.
     Overall, the weight of  human  epidemiologic evidence  is suggestive of a
significant risk of lung cancer from exposure to  cadmium  and/or  cadmium oxide,
although the human evidence  is not compelling with respect to  finding cadmium
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to be a strong lung carcinogen.   At best, the epidem.iologic evidence of the
carcinogenicity, of cadmium must  be described as limited, according to the
criteria of the IARC.
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                            QUANTITATIVE  ESTIMATION

INTRODUCTION                                     ......              •_-..-•••.
     This quantitative section deals  with the  unit risk  for cadmium in airand
the potency of cadmium relative to other  carcinogens that the  Carcinogen Assess-
ment Group (CAG) has evaluated.  The  unit risk estimate  for an air pollutant is
defined as the lifetime cancer risk occurring  in  a hypothetical  population in
which all individuals are exposed continuously from  birth throughout  their life-
times to a concentration of 1 ug/m3 of the agent  in  the  air that they breathe.
These calculations are done to estimate in quantitative  terms  the impact of the
agent as a carcinogen.  Unit risk estimates are used for two  purposes:   1) to
compare the carcinogenic potencies of several  agents with  each other, and  2) to
give a crude indication of the population risk that  would  be  associated  with
air or water exposure to these agents, if the actual exposures were  known.
     The data used for quantitative estimation are taken from one or both  of
the following:  1) lifetime animal studies, and 2) human studies where excess
cancer risk has been associated with exposure to the agent.    In animal studies
it is assumed, unless evidence exists to the contrary, that  if a carcinogenic
response occurs at the dose levels used  in the study, then response will also
occur at all lower doses with  an  incidence determined by the extrapolation model.
     There  is no  solid scientific basis  for any mathematical   extrapolation
model that  relates carcinogen  exposure to cancer risks at the extremely low
concentrations that  must be dealt with in evaluating environmental hazards.
For practical reasons, such low  levels of risk cannot be measured directly either
by animal  experiments  or by epidemiologic studies.  We must,  therefore, depend
on  our  current  understanding  of  the  mechanisms of carcinogenesis for guidance
as to which risk  model to  use.  At the present time the dominant view of the
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carcinogenic process involves  the  concept that most cancer-causing agents also
cause irreversible damage to DNA.   This  position  is reflected by the fact that
a very large proportion of agents  that cause  cancer are also mutagenic.  There
is reason to expect that the quantal  type of  biological response,, which is
charaeteristic of mutagenesis, is  associated  with a linear nonthreshold dose-
response relationship.   Indeed, there is substantial evidence from mutagenicity
studies with both ionizing radiation  and a wide variety of chemicals that this
type of dose-response model  is the appropriate one to use.  This is particularly
true at the lower end of the dose-response curve; at higher doses, there can be
an upward curvature, probably  reflecting the  effects of multistage processes on
the mutagenic response.  The linear nonthreshold  dose-response relationship is
also consistent with the relatively few  epidemiologic studies of cancer responses
to specific agents that contain enough information to make the evaluation
possible (e.g., radiation-induced  leukemia, breast and thyroid cancer, skin
cancer induced by arsenic in.drinking water,  liver cancer induced by aflatoxins
in the diet).  Some supporting evidence  also  exists from animal experiments (e.g.,
the initiation stage of the two-stage carcinogenesis model in rat liver and
mouse skin).  Linearity is also supported when the mode of action of the
carcinogen in question is similar  to  that of  the  background cancer occurrence
in the exposed population.
     Because its scientific basis, although limited, is the best of any of the
current mathematical extrapolation models, a  linear nonthreshold model has been
adopted as the primary basis for estimating risk  at low levels of exposure.
The risk estimates made with this  model  should be regarded as conservative,
representing the most plausible upper limit for the risk, i.e., the true risk
is not likely to be higher than the estimate, but it could be lower.
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     For several  reasons,  the unit risk  estimate  based on animal bioassays is
only an approximate indication of the absolute  risk  in populations exposed to
known carcinogen concentrations.  First, there  are important  species differenced
in uptake, metabolism, and organ distribution of  carcinogens,  as well as species
differences in target site susceptibility,  immunological  responses, hormone
function, dietary factors, and disease.   Second,  the concept  of equivalent
doses for humans compared to animals on  a mg/surface area basis is virtually
without experimental verification regarding carcinogenic  response.  Finally,
human populations are variable with respect to  genetic constitution and diet,
living environment, activity patterns, and other  cultural factors.
     The unit risk estimate can give a rough indication  of  the relative potency
of a given agent as compared with other  carcinogens.  Comparative  potency estimates
for different agents are more reliable when the comparisons are based on studies
in the same test species, strain, and sex, and  by the same  route  of exposure,
preferably inhalation.
     The quantitative aspect of carcinogen risk assessment  is included  here
because it may be of use in the regulatory decision-making  process, e.g., in
setting regulatory priorities, evaluating the adequacy of technology-based
controls, etc.  However, it should be recognized that the estimation  of cancer
risks to humans at low levels of exposure is uncertain.   At best,  the linear
extrapolation model used here provides a rough but plausible estimate of the
upper limit of risk.  The risk estimates presented in subsequent  sections
should not be regarded as accurate representations of the true cancer risks
even when the exposures are accurately defined.  However, the estimates presented
may be factored into  regulatory decisions to the extent that the  concept  of
upper risk limits is  found to be useful.
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      The mathematical  formulation  chosen to describe the  linear nonthreshold
 dose-response  relationship at  low  doses is the  linearized multistage model.
 This model  employs  enough arbitrary constants to be able to fit almost any
 monotonically  increasing dose-response data, and it incorporates a procedure for
 estimating  the largest possible linear slope (in the 95% confidence limit sense)
 at  low extrapolated doses that is  consistent with the data at all dose levels
 of  the experiment.                                         '
      In  addition to the multistage model currently used by the CAG for low-dose
 extrapolation  (a detailed description of the procedure is given in Appendix B),
 three more  models, the probit, the Weibull, and the one-hit, are employed for
 purposes  of comparison.  These models cover almost the entire spectrum of risk
 estimates that  could be generated from the existing mathematical  extrapolation
 models.   The models are generally statistical  in character and are not derived
 from  biological arguments, except for the multistage model,  which has been used
 to support  the  somatic mutation hypothesis of carcinogenesis  (Armitage and Doll
 1954,  Whittemore 1978, Whittemore and Keller 1978).
      The main difference among the above models  is  the  rate  at which  the
 response function P(d) approaches zero or P(0)  as  dose  d decreases.   For
 instance, the probit model  would usually predict a  smaller risk at  low doses
 than the multistage model  because of the difference of  the decreasing rate in
the low-dose region.  However,  it should be noted that  the multistage model
could always be artificially  made to have  the same  (or  even greater)  rate  of
decrease as  the probit model, by  making  some dose transformation  and/or by
assuming that  some  of  the  parameters  in  the multistage  model are  zero.  This,
of course, is  not  reasonable  without  knowing, a  priori,  what the  carcinogenic
process for  the agent  is.
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     Although the multistage model  appears  to  be  the  most  reasonable  or at
least the most general  model to use,  the point estimates generated  from this
model are of limited value because  of uncertainty as  to the  shape of  the
dose-response curve beyond the experimental exposure  levels.  Furthermore, the
point estimates at low doses extrapolated beyond  the  experimental dose could  be
extremely unstable and could differ drastically,  depending on  the size of the
lowest experimental dose.  Since the upper-bound  estimates at  low doses from
                   i
the multistage model are relatively more stable than  the point estimates, the
CAG suggests that the upper-bound estimate of  the risk (or the lower-bound
estimates of the dose) be used in evaluating the  carcinogenic  potency of a
suspect carcinogen.  The upper-bound estimate  can be  taken as  a plausible
estimate if the true dose-response curve is actually  linear  at low  doses.  The
upper-bound estimate means that the risks are  not likely to  be higher but could
be lower if the compound has a concave upward  dose-response  curve or  a threshold
at low doses.   Another reason why, at best, only an  upper-bound estimate of  the
risk can be obtained when animal data are used is that the estimated  risk is  no
more than conditional probability under the assumption that  an animal carcinogen
is also a human carcinogen.  Therefore, in reality, the actual risk could  range
from a value near zero to an upper-bound estimate.

PROCEDURES FOR DETERMINING CARCINOGENIC POTENCY                      I
Description of the Low-Dose Animal  Extrapolation  Model
     Let P(d) represent the lifetime risk  (probability) of cancer at dose  d.
The multistage model has the form
P(d) = 1 - exp C-(q0
                                                       qRdk)]
where
                          q-j >_ 0, i =0, 1, 2, ..., k
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Equivalently,
                  Pt(d) = 1 - exp [-(qxd + q2d2 + ... + qkdk)]
where
                              P (d) = P(d) - P(0)
                               t       1 - P(0)

is the extra risk over background rate at dose d or the effect  of treatment.
     The point estimate of the coefficients q-j, i  = 0,  1,  2 .....  k,  and
consequently the extra risk function Pt(d) at any  given dose d, is calculated
by maximizing the likelihood function of the data.
     The point estimate and the 95% upper confidence limit of the extra  risk
P-t(d) are calculated by using the computer program GLOBAL79, develped by  Crump
and Watson (1979).  At low doses, upper 95% confidence  limits on the  extra  risk
and lower 95% confidence limits on the dose producing a given risk are determined
from a 95% upper confidence limit, q*, on parameter q . Whenever qi  > 0, at low
doses the extra risk P^(d) has approximately the  form Pt(d)  =  q*  x  d.   Therefore,
q* x d is a 95% upper confidence limit on the extra  risk,  and  R/q*  is  a 95%
lower confidence limit on the dose producing an extra risk of  R.  Let  Lg be the
maximum value of the log-likelihood function. The upper  limit, q*,  is  calcula-
ted by increasing q  to a value of q* such that when  the  log-likelihood is
remaximized subject to this fixed value q* for the linear  coefficient,  the
resulting maximum value of the log-likelihood LI  satisfies the equation

                             2 (L0 - LI)  = 2.70554

where 2.70554 is the cumulative 90% point of the  chi -square  distribution with
one degree of freedom, which corresponds  to a 95% uppers-limit  (one-sided).
This approach of computing the upper confidence limit for  the  extra  risk P
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is an improvement on the Crump et al .  (1977)  model.   The  upper  confidence limit
for the extra risk calculated at low doses  is always  linear.  This  is  conceptually
consistent with the linear nonthreshold concept discussed earlier.   The  slope, q*s
is taken as an upper bound of the potency of  the chemical in  inducing  cancer
at low doses.  (In the section calculating the risk  estimates,  Pt(d) will be
abbreviated as P.)  In fitting the dose-response model, the number  of  terms in
the polynomial is chosen equal to (h-1), where h is  the number  of dose groups
in the experiment, including the control group.
     Whenever the multistage model does not fit the  data sufficiently  well,
data at the highest dose is deleted, and the model is refit to  the rest  of  the
data.  This is continued until an acceptable fit to  the data is obtained.   To
determine whether or not a fit is acceptable, the chi-square statistic
                                             .
                                       NT Pi  (1-P-j)
                                   i=l
is calculated where Ni is the number of animals in the ith dose group, Xi is
the number of animals  in the ith dose group  with a tumor response., P1 is the
probability of a  response in the ith dose  group estimated by fitting the multi-
stage model to the data, and h  is the number of remaining groups.  The fit is
determined to be  unacceptable whenever X2  is larger that the cumulative 99%
point of  the chi-square distribution with  f  degrees of freedom, where f equals
the number of dose groups minus the number of  non-zero multistage coefficients.

Selection of Data--
     For  some chemicals, a  number of studies in different animal  species, strains,
and sexes, each  run  at varying  doses and  routes of exposure, are  available.  A
choice  must be made  as to which of the data  sets  is appropriate  for  use with the
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model.   It may also be necessary to correct for metabolism differences between
species  and absorption factors via different routes of administration.  The
following procedures are used by the CAG in evaluating these data;  they are
consistent with the approach of making a maximum-likely risk estimate.
     1.  The data on tumor incidence are separated according to organ sites or
tumor types.  The dose and tumor incidence data set used in the model  is the
set in which the incidence is statistically significantly higher than in controls
for at least one test dose level, and/or where the tumor incidence  rate shows a
statistically significant trend with respect to dose level.  The data set that
gives the highest estimate of the lifetime carcinogenic risk,  q*, is  selected in
most cases.  However, efforts are made to exclude data sets that produce
spuriously high risk estimates because of small numbers of animals.  That is,
if two sets of data show a similar dose-response relationship,  and  one has  a
very small sample size, the data set having the larger sample  size  is  selected  I
for calculating the carcinogenic potency.
     2.  If there are two or more data sets of comparable size  that are identical
with respect to species, strain, sex,  and tumor sites,  the geometric  mean of q*,
estimated from each of these data sets,  is used for risk  assessment.   The
geometric mean of numbers AI, A£, ..., Am is defined as

                                x A2 x ... x
     3.  If two or more significant  tumor sites are observed in  the same  study,
and if  the data are available,  the number of animals with  at least  one  of the
specific  tumor sites under consideration  is used as incidence data  in the model*
Calculation  of Human Equivalent Dosages  from Animal  Data—
     Following the suggestion of Mantel  and Schneiderman  (1975), it is  assumed
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that mg/surface area/day is an equivalent  dose  between  species.   Since, to a
close approximation, the surface area is proportional to  the  two-thirds power
of the weight, as would be the case for a  perfect  sphere, the exposure in mg/day
per two-thirds power of the weight is also considered to  be equivalent exposure.
In an animal experiment this equivalent dose is computed  in the  following manner:
Let
     Le = duration of experiment
     le » duration of exposure
     m = average dose per  day in mg during administration of the agent
          (i .e., during  le), and
     W = average weight of the experimental animal
Then, the lifetime  average exposure is
                                  d  =
                                        x m
                                      L  x W2/3
                                      e
      Inhalation—When exposure is  via  inhalation, the calculation of dose can
 be considered for two cases  where  1) the  carcinogenic agent  is either a completely
 water-soluble gas or an aerosol and is absorbed  proportionally to the amount of
 air breathed in, and 2) where the  carcinogen  is  a poorly  water-soluble  gas
 which reaches an equilibrium between the  air  breathed and the  body  compartments.
 After equilibrium is reached, the  rate of absorption  of these  agents is expected
 to be proportional to the metabolic rate, which  in  turn is proportional to  the
 rate of oxygen consumption,  which  in turn is  a function of surface  area.
      Case 1—Agents that are in the form of particulate matter or virtually
 completely absorbed gases, such as sulfur dioxide,  can  reasonably be expected
 to be absorbed proportionally to the breathing rate.  In this case the exposure
 in mg/day maybe expressed as
                                  m =  I x v x r
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 where I  = inhalation  rate  per  day in m3, v = mg/m3 of the agent in air, and r
 = the absorption  fraction.
      The inhalation rates,  I,  for various species can be calculated from the
 observations  of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology
 (1974) that 25-g  mice breathe  34.5  liters/day and 113-g rats breathe 105 liters/
 day.   For mice and rats of  other weights, W (in kilograms), the surface area
 proportionality can be used to find breathing rates in m3/day as follows:
                    For mice,  I = 0.0345 (W/0.025)2/3 m3/day
                    For rats,  I = 0.105 (W/0.113)2/3 m3/day

      For humans,  the  value of  20 m3/day is adopted as a standard breathing rate.
 The equivalent exposure in mg/W2/3 for these agents can be derived from the air
 intake :data in a  way  analogous to the food intake data.  The empirical  factors
 for the  air intake per kg per day, i = I/W, based upon the previously stated
 relationships, are tabulated as follows:
                        Species        W         i  = I/W
Man
Rats
Mice
70
0.35
0.03
0.29
0.64
1.3
Therefore, for particulates or completely absorbed gases,  the equivalent  exposure
in mg/W2/3 -js
                      d -   *   = Ivr  = jWyr = iwl/3vr
                           W2/3   W2/3   W2/3
In the absence of experimental  information or a sound  theoretical  argument to
the contrary, the fraction absorbed,  r,  is assumed  to  be  the  same  for all species.

     Case 2--The dose in mg/day of partially  soluble vapors is  proportional to
the 02 consumption,  which in turn is  proportional to W2/3 and is also proportional
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to the solubility of the gas in body  fluids, which can be expressed as an
absorption coefficient, r, for the gas.   Therefore, expressing the Og consumption
as 02 = k W2/3, where k is a constant independent of species, it follows that
                                  m = k  W 2/3
or
                                 d = -JL- = kvr
                                     W2/3
As with Case 1, in the absence of experimental information  or  a  sound theoretical
argument to the contrary, the absorption fraction,  r,  is  assumed to be the same
for all species.  Therefore, for these substances  a certain concentration in
ppm or ug/m3 in experimental animals is equivalent  to  the same concentration in
humans.  This is supported by the observation that  the minimum alveolar  concen-
tration necessary to produce a given "stage" of  anesthesia  is  sinriliar in man
and animals (Dripps et al. 1977).  When the animals are exposed  via the  oral
route and human exposure is via inhalation, or vice versa,  the assumption is
made, unless there is pharmacokinetic evidence to  the  contrary,  that  absorption
is equal by either exposure route.
                                                                  i
Calculation of the Unit Risk from Animal Studies —
     The 95% upper-limit risk associated with d  mg/kg2/3/day is  obtained from
6LOBAL79 and, for most cases of interest to risk assessment, can be  adequately
approximated by P(d) = 1 - exp(-q*d).  A "unit risk" in units X  is simply the
risk corresponding to an exposure of X = 1.  This  value is  estimated  by  finding
the number of mg/kg2/3/day that corresponds to one unit of  X and substituting
this value into the above relationship.  Thus, for example, if X is  in  units
of ug/m3 in the air, we have that for case 1, d = 0.29 x 7fll/3 x 10~3 mg/kg2/3/
day, and for case 2, d = 1, when ug/m3 is the unit used to compute parameters
in animal experiments.
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      If exposures are given in terms of ppm in air, the following calculation
may be used:
                   1 ppm = 1.2 x molecular weight (gas)
                                 molecular weight (air)
 Note that an equivalent method of calculating unit risk would be to use mg/kg
 for the animal exposures and then increase the jtn polynomial coefficient by an
 amount
                        (Wh/Wa)J/3      j = 1, 2, ..., k

 and use mg/kg equivalents for the unit risk values.

 Model for Estimation of Unit Risk Based on Human Data
     If human epidemiologic studies and sufficiently valid exposure information
 are available for the compound, they are always used in some way.   If  they
 show a; carcinogenic effect, the data are analyzed to give an estimate  of the
 linear dependence of cancer rates on lifetime average dose.   If  they show no
 carcinogenic effect when positive animal  evidence is available,  then it is
 assumed that a risk does exist, but it is smaller than could have  been observed
 in the epidemiologic study, and an upper limit to the cancer incidence is
 calculated assuming hypothetically that the true incidence is just below the
 level  of detection in the cohort studied, which is determined largely  by the
cohort size.  Whenever possible, human data are used in preference to  animal
 bioassay data.
     Very little  information exists that  can be used to extrapolate from high
exposure occupational  studies to low environmental  levels.   However, if a number
of simplifying assumptions  are made,  it is possible  to construct a crude  dose-
response model  whose parameters can be estimated using vital  statistics,
epidemiologic studies,  and  estimates  of worker exposures.
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     In human studies,  the response  is  measured in terms of the relative risk
of the exposed cohort of individuals compared to the control group.  The
mathematical  model  employed assumes  that  for low exposures the lifetime
probability of death from lung cancer (or any cancer),  PQ» may be represented
by the linear equation
                                  P0 = A  + BHx
where A is the lifetime probability  in the absence of the agent, and x is the
average lifetime exposure to environmental levels in units such as ppm.  The
factor BH is the increased probability of cancer  associated with each unit
increase of x, the agent in air.
     If it is assumed that R, the relative risk of cancer for  exposed workers
as compared to the -general population, is independent  of the  length of exposure
or age at exposure and depends only on the average lifetime exposure,, it follows
that
                           R = p  = A + BH (xi  +  X2)
                               "     A + BH xi                        .
or
                             RP0 = A + BH (xi + X2)

where xi = lifetime average daily exposure to the agent for the general  population,
X2 = lifetime average daily exposure to the agent in the occupational  setting,  and
PQ - lifetime probability of dying of cancer with no or negligible exposure.
     Substituting PO = A + BH xl and rearranging gives

                               BH = PO (R - 1)/X2
To use this model, estimates of R and X2 must be obtained from the epidemiologic
studies.  The value Pg is derived by means of the life table methodology from
                                      138

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   the age- and cause-specific death rates  for the  genera,  population  found In the
   1978 U.S. Vital  Statistics  tables.
   UNIT RISK ESTIMATES  FOR  CADMIUM
   Unit Risk Estimate Based on an Animal Study
        The  bloassay by Takenaka et al. (1983) using male wistar rats and cadmium
   chloride  aerosol was chosen for estimating the quantitative unit risk
   This was  the only positive anlma,  Inhalation study with cadmium and/or cadmium
  ^pounds that showed a dose-response trend of primary lung carcinomas to animals
  continuously exposed  to cadmium chloride  aerosols for 18 months.   The primary
  lung carcinomas were  historically differentiated  as  adenocardnomas,  epldenrcid
  carcinomas, combined  epldermotd and adenocardnomas, and  mucoepldermold carcinomas
  but  were  combined  for this unit risk analysis.  The Incidences of total primary
  lung carcinomas was 15% (6/39), 53» (20/38), and  71* (25/35) for the low (12.5
  ug/m3), medium  (25 ug/m3), and high (50 ug/m3). exposure groups_ respective]y.
  No tumors  were found among 38 controls.
       In arriving at an upper-limit  unit risk estimate  for humans,  dose is
 calculated on a lifetime continuous basis  with 2 years  considered  a full lifetime
 exposure for rats.   Thus,  by  multiplying by  0.75 the measured concentrations
 of 13.4 ug/m3,  25.7 ug/m3, and  50.8 ug/m3  for  the  three  dose group$j ^ ^.^
 continuous  exposure can  be estimated as 10.05  ug/m3, 19.3  ug/m3, and 38.1 ug/m3s
 respectively.   The  corrections for animal to human weight  differences are given
 below.
     In transforming from animal exposure to human equivalence,  the method for
treating inhalation of an aerosol  (presented earlier in the section for-calcula-
tion of human equivalent dosages from animal  data  [Case 1]),  assumes  aerosols
to be absorbed proportionally  to the  breathing  rate.   The breathing rate for
                                      139

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113-g rats is 0.105 m3/day.   For the Wistar rats used in the Takenaka et al.
bioassay, the average weights at 18 months were 424.6 g  (for the 13.4 ug/m3
group), 437.6 g (for the 25.7 ug/m3 group), and 424.3 g  (for the 50.8 ug/m3
group).  To adjust for these weights the  foloowing formula is used:
                         I = 0.105 (W/0.113)2/3 m3/day

where I = the daily inhalation rate of a  rat weighing W  kilograms.  For the
three groups the I values are 0.254 m3/day, 0.259 m3/day, and 0.254 m3/day,
respectively.  Combining these with the lifetime continuous exposure estimates
above, daily exposure is estimated to  be  2.55  ug/day, 5.00 ug/day, and! 9.68
ug/day, respectively.  Equivalently,  dose can  be estimated on a  ug/kg/day  basis
as 6.0 ug/kg/day, 11.4 ug/kg/day,  and  22.8 ug/kg/day.
     Based on the above data for  animals, the  95% upper-limit unit risk of cancer
resulting from cadmium chloride exposure is q* = 6.3 x  10-2(ug/kg/day)-1 using
the linearized multistage model.   When transformed  to equivalent human dose, the
CA6 method requires multiplying q* by  the weight  ratio  factor  (Wh/Wa)1/3,  where
Wfo = weight of a human, which is  assumed to be 70 kg.   Thus,
                               f                  :                   '
     q* = q*  (Wh/WJ1/3 = 6.3 x 10~2(70/0.429)1/3  = 3.4 x 10-1(ug/kg/day)'1
      h    1

     Thus, using the linearized multistage model, the 95% upper-limit  unit risk
estimate for induced cancers based on cadmium chloride  exposure is q*  =  3.4 x  10"1.
                                                                    ri
If it is assumed that the Cd++ ion is  the carcinogenic  agent  and not the  cadmium
chloride molecule, then an adjustment must be made  for  the weight  of the  two
chloride ions.   In this case the molecular weight  contribution  of  cadmium to
the total molecular weight is 112.4/183.3 = 0.613.   The interpretation in terms
of risk is that a q* for the cadmium ion based on  inhalation  of cadmium chloride  is
                   h

                                       140

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          q*  = 3.4 x 10-l(ug/kg/day)-l/0.613 = 5.5 x l

 This  can be converted back to human exposure in terms of ug/m3 by assuming that
 a  70-kg human breathes 20m3 air/day.  Thus,

       q* = 3.4 x lO-ltug/kg/day)-1 x   1   x 20 m3 = 9.7 x
        h                             70 kg    day

 for cadmium chloride exposure, and

                  q* = 9.7 x 10-2(Ug/m3)-l/0.613 = 1.5 x IQ

 based on inhalation exposure to the cadmium ion.  Therefore, the unit risk from
 the inhalation of one microgram of elemental cadmium per cubic meter of air is
 approximately

                         R = 1 - exp -(0.16 x 1) = 0.15

     This is an upper-bound estimate of risk based on  the direct experimental
 evidence presently available.  Using other dose-response models to  estimate
 risk  (as shown in Appendix A) can give considerably lower estimates  than those
 obtained using the upper-bound multistage  model.   However,  there is  no  direct
 evidence suggesting that  these alternative models  provide a more rational  basis
 for estimating risk than  the upper-bound multistage model.   It must  be  kept in
mind that the  alternative models  have  the  potential  for  seriously underestimating
the true risk  at  low levels of environmental  exposure  to cadmium.

Unit Risk Estimate Based  on a Human Study
Data Base--
     At the present  time  the strongest evidence  in  humans  suggesting  a  cadmium-
induced carcinogenic  response is  found in  the Thun  et  al.  (1984) study.  This

                                      141

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response was observed in a cohort of cadmium smelter workers  who were  hired on
or after January 1, 1926, and were employed for at least 2 years in  a  production
capacity in the same plant from January 1,  1940, to December  31, 1969.   This
cohort of white males had a total of 16 respiratory cancer deaths  through
December 31, 1978, while only 6.99 would be expected based on calendar time age-
specific respiratory cancer death rates for U.S. white males.  Assuming  that
the U.S. white male population is a valid control  population  for the cohort of
cadmium smelter workers, the probability of obtaining 16 or more respiratory
cancer deaths if there was no effect due to cadmium is only 0.0024,  based on the
exact Poisson Test.
     A number of problems arise in using these data to obtain a quantitative
estimate of human respiratory cancer risk due to cadmium exposure.  Among them
are the following:
     1.  There is some evidence that the smoking rate for the cadmium  workers
         was higher than that of the general  white male population.  \
     2.  The exposure to cadmium is confounded with exposure  to arsenic, a known
         respiratory carcinogen.
     3.  Very limited evidence exists concerning the exposure rate and the
         duration of exposure for the members of the cohort.
     4.  No exposure estimates exist for individuals.
     5.  To obtain an estimate of risk, a mathematical  model  must  be assumed
         that cannot be evaluated for goodness of fit in any  reasonable  manner
         using the available data.

     In spite of these considerable shortcomings,  the CAG nevertheless feels
that a risk estimate based on this limited  and potentially biased  data base
could be of use for the following reasons:
     1.  The observed human respiratory cancer response corresponded to  the animal
         response in regard to site, which  increases the likelihood  that the
         response was real.
                                      142

-------
     2.  Most of the factors that are potentially biasing would work to increase
         the apparent cadmium-induced cancer risk.  Thus, such a risk estimate
         should be considered an upper-bound estimate.  If this upper-bound
         estimate is lower than the one obtained in the animal experiment, it
         should be used in preference to the animal estimate.

Estimation of the Factors Used in 'the Calculation of BH--
     As noted, three factors need to be addressed in order to estimate the human
slope B^:  PQ, the lifetime background risk due to respiratory cancer for the
environmentally exposed population; R, the relative risk in the epidemiologic
study; and X, the average lifetime exposure for the cadmium-exposed cohort in
the epidemiologic study.
     Because of the rather limited information available at the present time,
considerable uncertainty surrounds the estimation of these factors.  Therefore
the most prudent approach seems to be to use this limited information to make
an educated guess as to the best estimates of each quantity under consideration.
Where appropriate, upper and lower bounds are given for each quantity, giving a
range of values that in each case is likely to include the true value.  A
discussion of each of the terms follows.

     Lifetime background respiratory cancer risk in the environmentally exposed
population (Pp)—The underlying mathematical  model  for human slope assumes that
the background rate for an environmentally exposed population is increased per
unit of lifetime exposure by the same "percentage" as  the epidemiologically
studied population.  At present, there is no indication that the environmentally
exposed population differs in sex-race distribution from the general  U.S.
population.  As a result, the value calculated  from the 1978 vital  statistics
for the total  U.S. population can  be used for the lifetime respiratory cancer
background death rate.   Using the  techniques  discussed by  Gail  (1975)  the
value, :Pg = 0.046, is  calculated and used as  the best  estimate.
                                      143

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     Vital  statistics for 1978 were used  for the  above calculation because
they are the most current available.  However, the  most  appropriate rate to
use would be the future unknown value. Since  smoking is the most.important
factor in determining the risk of respiratory  cancer, and the  smoking  rate for
females is beginning to approach that of  males, the value calculated for the
U.S. male population in 1978 is used as an upper  bound for  the calculation of
PQ.  This gives a value of  PQU = 0.068.   The  rate  based on vital statistics
of never-smokers during the 1960s is used as  a lower limit.  This gives a value
for POL of 0.0082.
     True relative risk of respiratory cancer  due to cadmium  in exposed cohort  (R) —
The observed number is taken as a best estimate of  the  expected number of cases
in the cadmium exposure group, so that Ex = 16.  The expected number of cases
under the assumption of no cadmium effect is  taken  as the expected  number of cases
                                                    «t
calculated by Thun et  al.  (1984) to be 6.99.   Thus  the CAG's  best estimate  of
relative risk is R = EX/E  = 16/6.99 = 2.29.
     With  regard to the'  calculation of a  lower bound for the relative risk, the
following  should be noted.  Based on  a worst-case scenario and an arsenic risk
model  from the National  Institute for Occupational  Safety and Health, Thun  et  al.
 (1984)  calculated that at  most the  number of expected cases of respiratory  cancer
due to  exposure  to arsenic for the  cadmium worker cohort was 0.78»  Also, based
on a  retrospective smoking survey  of  cadmium workers and their surviving rela-
tives,  and using the  smoking  adjustment  methods  developed by Axelson  (1978),
Thun  et  al.  (1984) estimated  that the increase in the expected number of respira-
tory  cancers  in  the  cadmium-exposed worker population due to excess over standard
 U.S.  smoking  rates was less than 25%.
      Under the  assumption  that arsenic is additive  to background, and smoking is
 multiplicative,  the  upper  bound for the  expected number of cases, assuming no
                                       144

-------
 cadmium effect,  is Eu  = (6.99 + 0.78)  x 1.25  =  9.71.

      The 95% lower bound on  the expected number of  cases  in  the  exposed

 population where 16 were observed  is calculated from  the  relationship
                                       15    _E     ,•
                                0.95  =  E   e xLEXL/j
                                       j=0        XL
 which  has  the  solution  EXL  =  10.11.

 Thus the CAG's  lower  bound  estimate for the  relative risk is
                                                                            i

                              Eyl
                         RL =  *k = io.ii/9.7i = i.o4i
                               u


 To  calculate an upper bound for the relative risk, the following approach is

 taken.  The white male  respiratory cancer rate is 10-25% lower for Colorado-
                                                                            i
 Denver males than the U.S..  rates  used in the expected-value calculations.  Since

 Denver is  the area where the plant is located, a lower bound on the expected

 number of  cases under the assumption of no cadmium effect is E|_ = 6.99 x 0.75 =

 5.24.  The 95% upper bound for the expected number of cases in the cadmium-exposed

 population, given that  16 were observed, is calculated from the relationship
                                                                           i
                                      16  -_E    1
                               0.05 = E   e  XUEXU/J!
                                      j=0
which has the solution


                                  Exu = 23.23



Thus the upper bound for the relative risk is


                           .    ,       145

-------
                                   =  23.23 *  5.24 - 4.43
     Lifetime average exposure for  members  of cadmium cohort  (X)--To estimate
the average lifetime exposure on a  continuous basis, a  number of factors need to
be estimated.  They are:
     The average age, t,  of the cohort at the end of the  observation period.
     The average duration, d, of exposure for the cohort  in years.
     The average exposure rate, e,  on the job.
     The fraction, f, of time per year exposed  on the  job.
     Given these factors, an estimate of the average exposure rate  over the
cohort's lifetime is
                                   X = def /t

A  discussion of each of these factors follows.
     Average age at  end of observation period (t)--No  direct  information  is
available concerning the  ages of the entire cohort at  the end of the observation
period.  However, the average of the 51 individuals who died  of causes thought
to be  possibly  cadmium-related  can be used as an upper bound.  This results  in
tu = 63.3 years.   In  calculating a lower bound,  it is noted that 50% of the
population  had  33 years or more of follow-up.  Assuming that  an average starting
age is 20 years and that  the mean and median ages are equal,  the result is a
lower  bound of  ti_  = 20 +  33  = 53 years.  For a best estimate, the midpoint of
the upper  and  lower bounds is used to yield an estimate of t = (63,B3 + 53) * 2
 = 58.2 years.
     Average duration of  exposure  (d)— As  noted  by Thun et al . (1934), the
 standard rate  ratios (SRRs)  were closely  related to the standard mortality

                                       146

-------
  ratios  (SMRs)  and  virtually  uniform over duration of employment.  Thus, the
  expected  number  of cases  is  proportional to the observed number of cases.  As a
  first-order  approximation  it  is assumed that person-years of observation are
  also  proportional  to the  observed number of cases.  Table 18 shows the weighted
  average low, best,  and high estimated durations as calculated using this approach,

                     TABLE 18.  ESTIMATED DURATIONS OF EXPOSURE
Duration of
employment
2-10 •
10-20
20+;
Weighted
average(d)
Assumed
Low
2
10
20
8.00
average in
Best
6
15
30
13.69
interval
High
10
20
40
19.38
Number of
deaths
9
3
4

      Average  exposure  rate  on the job  (e)—Smith et al.  (1980) estimated inhala-
 tion  exposures  that  occurred in  various work areas, as shown in Table 16.
 These estimated exposures were time-weighted with approporiate adjustments for
 the use of  respirators.
      Since  information concerning the distribution of person-years of observation
 associated  with exposures over time and location is not presently available,
 the best estimate would be the average, giving equal weight to each time period
 and production department.  The resulting estimate is e = 0.53 mg/m3.   For an
 upper bound, the average for the eight plant  production departments during the
 pre-1950 period is calculated as ey  = 1.04 mg/m3.   The lower bound is  the
average for the eight production departments  during the 1965 to 1976 time
period, or ej_  = 0.26 mg/m3.
                                      147

-------
     Fraction of the time per year  exposed  on the  job  (f)--It is assumed that
individuals worked 40 hours per week  and were absent 20  days per year due to
vacation, holidays, and illness. This  results  in  an estimate of
Calculation of Average Lifetime Exposure (X)--
     The previous information concerning exposure is  summarized  in Table 19

                         TABLE 19.  SUMMARY OF  EXPOSURE
Value
maximizing
Factor average exposure
t
d
e
f
X » def/t x
103 ug/m3
53.0
19.4
1.04
0.22
83.4
Value giving
best estimate
average exposure
58.2
13.7
0.53
0.22
27.4
Value
minimizing
average exposure
63.3
8.0
'•• 0.26
0.22
7.2
Calculation  of Human Slope
     The  values  needed to calculate the estimated human slope for a constant
exposure  of  1 ug/m3 are  given in Table 20.  The effects of compounding, especially
multiplying  together, a  series of assumptions that consistently overestimates
or underestimates the true  values of parameters used to estimate risk leads to
very different estimates.   This is true even when the mathematical model itself,
a major source of uncertainty, remains the  same.  However, it  is highly unlikely

                                      148

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           TABLE  20.   VALUES  USED  TO  ESTIMATE  HUMAN  SLOPE  AND  ITS  BOUNDS
Factor
PO
E
EX
R - EX/E
X
BH = P0(R-1)/X =
Value
maximizing
slope
0.068
5.24
23.23
4.43
7.2
3.3 x lO'2
Value giving
best estimate
of slope
0.046
6.99
16
2.29
27.4
2.0 x 10'3
, Value
minimizing
slope
0.008
9.71
10.11
1.04
83.4
3.8 x lO'6
 that either extreme is close to the true value.   The CAG takes as its estimate
 the value obtained by compounding the series  of  best guesses.   Although a
 single term may not be conservative,  the overall  result  is  probably more
 reasonable than either of the extremes.
      One  final  correction is  needed.   The assumption is  that human  exposure
 was  to cadmium  oxide  (CdO); thus,  the risk  from elemental cadmium is  increased
 by the ratio

                         (C'dO/Cd) =  (128.4/112.4)  = 1.14

with a  corresponding unit  risk estimate  of

                 BH = 2.0 x lO"3 x 1.14 = 2.3 x 10'3  (ug/m3)'1

     This estimate is two orders of magnitude lower than the estimate based on
the rat inhalation study of Takenaka et al. (1983), which was 0.156.  The range
                                      149

-------
is 4.3 x 10~6 to 3.8 x 10-2, so that the upper bound is  also smaller  than  in the
rat study cited.  Some of this difference might be due to variation in  biological
activity between cadmium compounds (i.e., cadmium chloride in rats  versus  cadmium
fumes and dust in humans).  For example, in the Takenaka et al.  (1983)  study,  it
may be that these concentrations tended to inhibit lung  clearance by  suppression
of macrophage activity.  In any event, the final unit risk estimate is  based  on
data from the human study (Thun et al. 1984), which is also used for  calculating
the relative potency of cadmium.

RELATIVE POTENCY
     One of the uses of the concept of unit risk is to compare the relative
potencies of carcinogens.  For the purposes of the present analysis,  potency is
defined as the  linear  portion of the  dose-response curve,  and is used to calculate
the required unit  risk factors.   In this section, the potency of cadmium is
compared with that  of  other chemicals that the CA6 has evaluated as  suspect
carcinogens.  To estimate the  relative  potency on a per  mole basis,  the unit
risk  slope factor  is  multiplied  by  the  molecular weight  and the  resulting
number,  expressed  in  terms  of (mMol/kg/day)-1,  is called the relative  potency
index.
      Figure  2 is  a histogram  representing the frequency  distribution of relative
 potency indices for 54 chemicals that have been  evaluated by the CA6 as suspect
 carcinogens.   The actual  data summarized by  the histogram are  presented in
 Table 21.   Where human data have been available for a compound,  such data have
 been used to calculate these indices.  Where no human data have been available,
 data from animal  oral studies and animal inhalation studies have been  used in
 that order,  since animal oral studies have been conducted for most of  these
 compounds, and the use of such studies provides a more consistent  basis  for
 potency comparisons.
                                       150                            •

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     Figure  2.   Histogram representing the frequency distribution of the potency
                indices of 54 suspect carcinogens evaluated by the Carcinogen
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                                        151

-------
TABLE 21.   RELATIVE CARCINOGENIC POTENCIES AMONG 54 CHEMICALS EVALUATED BY
     THE CARCINOGEN ASSESSMENT GROUP AS SUSPECT HUMAN CARCINOGENS*»2,3
SI ope .
Compounds (mg/kg/day)~l
Acrylonitrile
Aflatoxin B^
Al dri n
Ally! chloride
Arsenic
B[a]P
Benzene
Benzidene
Beryllium
Cadmi urn
Carbon tetrachloride
Chlordane
Chlorinated ethanes
1,2-dichloroethane
hexachloroethane
1,1,2,2-tetrachloroethane
1,1,1-trichloroethane
1,1,2-trichloroethane
Chloroform
Chromium
DDT
Di chl orobenzi di ne
1,1-dichloroethylene
Die! dri n
0.24(W)
2924
11.4
1.19x10-2
15(H)
11.5
5.2xlO-2(W)
234 (W)
1.40(W)
7.8(W)
1.30x10-1
1.61
6.9x10-2
1.42x10-2
0.20
1.6x10-3
5.73x10-2
7x10-2
41 (W)
8.42
1.69
1.47x10-1(1)
30.4
Molecular
weight
53.1
312.3
369.4
76.5
149.8
252.3
78
184.2
9
112.4
153.8
409.8
98.9
236.7
167.9 .
133.4
133.4
119.4
100
354.5
253.1
97
380.9
• " '•'—•'-'--7— 	 - -;
Potency
i ndex
1x10+1
9xlO+5
4x10+3
9x10-1
2x10+3
3x10+3
4x10°
4x1 0+4
1x10+1
9x10+2
2x10+1
i
7x10+2
7x100
3x10°
3x10+1
2x10-1
8x100
8x100
4x10+3
3x10+3
4x10+2
1x10+1
1x10+4
Order of
magnitude
index)
+1
+6
+4
0
+3
+3
+1
+5
+1
+3
+1
+3
+1
0
+1
-1
+1
+1
+4
+3
+3
+1
+4
                                     152

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TABLE 21.  (continued)
Compounds
Dinitfdtoluene
Diphenylhydrazine
Epichlorohydrin
Bis(2-chloroethyl )ether
Bis(chloromethyl )ether
Ethylen.e dibromide (EDB)
Ethylene oxide
Heptachlor
Hexachloro benzene
Hexachlorobutadiene
Hexachlorocycl ohexane
technical grade
alpha isomer
beta isomer
gamma isomer
Hexachl orodi benzodi oxi n
Methyl ene chloride
Nickel
Nitrosamines
Dimethylnitrosamine
Di et hy 1 n i tr osami n e
Di butyl nitrosamine
N-ni trosopyrrol i di ne
N-ni troso-N-ethylurea
N-ni troso-N-methyl urea
N-nitroso-diphenylamine
PCBs
Slope Molecular
(mg/kg/day)_i weight
0.31
0.77
9.9xlO-3
1.14
9300(1)
8.51
1.26(1)
3.37
1.67
7.75x10-2
4.75
11.12
1.84
1.33
1.1x10+4
6.3x10-4
1.15(W)
25.9(not by q*)
43.5(not by q*)
5.43
2.13
32.9
302.6
4.92x10-3
4.34
182
180
92.5
143
115
187.9
44.1
373.3
284.4
261
290.9
290.9
290.9
290.9
391
84.9
58.7
74.1
102.1
158.2
100.2
117.1
103.1
198
324
Potency
index
6x10+1 •
1x10+2
9x10-1
2x10+2
1x10+6
2x10+3
6x10+1
1x10+3
5x10+2
2x10+1
1x10+3
3x10+3
5x10+2
4x10+2
4x10+6
5x10-2
7x10+1
2x10+3
4x10+3
9x10+2
2x10+2
4x10+3
3x10+4
1x100
1x10+3
Order of
magnitude
(logic
index)
- +2
+2
0
+2
. +6 .
+3
+2
+3
+3 .
+1 \
:+3
+3
+3
+3
+7
-1
+2
+3
+4
+3
+2
+4
+4
0
+3
                  (continued on the following page)
         153

-------
                            TABLE 21.  (continued)

Compounds
Phenols
2,4,6-trichlorophenol
Tetrachl orodi benzo-p-di oxi
Tetrach 1 oroethy 1 ene
Toxaphene
Trichloroethylene
Vinyl chloride
Remarks:
1. Animal slopes are 95%

Slope
(mg/kg/day)_i v
1.99x10-2
n 1.56xlO+5
3.5x10-2
1.13
1.9x10-2
1.75x10-2(1)

upper-limit slopes


Molecular Potency
weight index
197.4
322
165.8
414
131.4
62.5

based on
•< -1
4x10°
5xlO+7
6x10°
5x10+2
2.5x10°
1x10°

the linearized
Order of
magnitude
. index)
; +1
+8
+1
+3
0
: 0

multistage
.C A « -U (A n >-. A
    model.   They are calculated based on  animal  oral  studies,  except  for those
    indicated by I (animal  inhalation), W (human occupational  exposure), and H
    (human  drinking water exposure).   Human  slopes  are  point  estimates  based on
    the linear non-threshold model.

2.  The potency index is a rounded-off slope in  (mMol/kg/day)-1  and is  calculated by
    multiplying the slopes in (mg/kg/day)-1  by molecular weight  of the  compound.

3.  Not all of the carcinogenic potencies presented in  this table represent the
    same degree of certainty.  All  are subject to change as new  evidence becomes
    available.
                                      154

-------
     The potency index for cadmium based on  the  Thun  et  al .  (1984) study of
cadmium smelter workers is 8.8 x 10+2 (mMol /kg/day)"1.   This  is derived as
follows:  Assuming that an individual  breathes 20 m3  of  air per day and weighs
70 kg, the slope estimate from the human study,  2.3 x 10~3  (ug/m3)'1, is first
converted to units of (mg/kg/day)~l or
        2.3 x lO-^ug/m3)-1 x. 1 day  x   l  U9   x  70  kg  =  7.8  (mg/kg/day)'1
                        -      20 m3    10-3 mg
     Multiplying by the molecular weight of 112.4 give a potency index of
8.8 x 10+2.  Rounding off  to the nearest order of magnitude  gives a value of
10+3, which is the scale presented on the  horizontal axis of Figure 2.  The
index of 8.8 x 10+2 lies in the second quartile  of  the 54 suspect carcinogens.
     Ranking of the relative potency indices is  subject to the uncertainty of
comparing estimates of potency of different species using studies of different
quality.  Furthermore, all  of the indices  are  based on estimates of low-dose
risk using the linearized  multistage extrapolation  model fitted to the data at
relatively high doses.  Thus, relative potencies could be different at high
exposures, where non-linearities  in  the dose-response curve could exist.
                                     155

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                                   APPENDIX A
             COMPARISON OF RESULTS  BY  VARIOUS  EXTRAPOLATION MODELS

     The estimate of unit risk from animals, presented  in the  body of this   ,
document was calculated by use of the  linearized  multistage model.  This non-
threshold model is part of a methodology for estimating a  conservative linear
slope at low extrapolation doses that  is usually  consistent with the data at
all dose levels in an experiment.  The model holds  that the most plausible
upper limits of risk are those predicted by linear  extrapolations to low levels
of the dose-response relationship.
     Other nonthreshold models that have been  used  for risk extrapolation are
the one-hit, the log-Probit, and the Weibull models.   The  one-hit model is
characterized by a continuous downward curvature, but  is  linear at  low doses.
Because of its functional form, the one-hit model can  be  considered the linear
form or first stage of the multistage model.   This  fact,  together with the
downward curvature of the one-hit model, means that the model will  always
yield low-level risk etimates that are at least as  large  as  those  obtained  with
the multistage model.  In addition, Whenever the data  can be  fitted adequately
to the one-hit model, estimates based on the one-hit model and the  multistage
model will be comparable.
     The log-Probit and the Weibull models, because of their general  "S"  curva-
ture, are often used for the  interpretation of toxicological  data  in  the  observable
range.  The  low-dose upward curvatures of these two models usually  yield  lower
low-dose risk estimates than  those of the one-hit or multistage models.
     The log-Probit model was originally used in biological  assay  problems  such
as potency assessments of toxicants and drugs, and is most often used to  estimate
such values  as percentile lethal dose or percent!le effective dose.  The  log-
                                       156

-------
          Probit model  was developed along stictly empirical  lines,  in  studies where  it
          was observed  that several  log dose-response  relationships  followed  the  cumulative
          normal probability distribution function, $.  In  fitting the  log-Probit model to
*         cancer* bioassay data, assuming an independent  background,  this  relationship  becomes

*                       P(D;a,b,c)  = c + (1-c)  $  (a+blogio  D)   a,b > 0  <_ c  <  1

          where P is the proportion  responding  at  dose D, c is  an estimate  of the back-
          ground rate,  a is an estimate of the  standardized mean of  individual tolerances,
          and b is an estimate of the log-Probit dose-response  slope.
               The one-hit model  arises from the theory  that a  single molecule of a
          carcinogen has a quantifiable probability of transforming  a single  normal cell
          into a cancer cell.   This  model  has the  probability distribution  function

            "    •                 , P(D;a,b) = l-exp-(a+bd)   a,b  > 0

          where a and b are the parameter  estimates (a = the background or  zero dose rate,
          and b = the linear component or  slope of the dose-response model).  In  consider-
          ing the added risk over background, incorporation  of  Abbott's correction leads
          to              .  .     '•

                                     P(D;b)  = l-exp-(bd)  b  > 0

          Finally,  a model  from the  theory of carcinogenesis arises from the  multihit model
          applied to multiple  target cells.   This  model, known  as the Weibull model, is
*     • •   of the form

                                 P(D;b,k)  =  l-exp-(bdk)   b,k  > 0

          For  the power  of  dose only,  the  restriction  k  > 0 has been placed on this model.
          When k >  1, the model yields  low-dose estimates of risks that are usually

                                               157

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significantly lower than either the multistage  or the  one-hit models, both of
which are linear at low doses.   All three  of  these  models—the multistage, the
one-hit, and the Weibull--usually project  risk  estimates  that are significantly
higher at low exposure levels than those projected  by  the log-Probit model.
     The estimates of added risk for low doses  for  these models  are given in
Table A-l for the cadmium chloride rat inhalation studies by Takenaka et al.
(1983).  Both maximum likelihood estimates and  95%  upper confidence limits  are
presented.  The results show that the maximum likelihood estimates of risk  for
the log-Probit model are all less than those  for the other models, and this
difference increases sharply at low doses. The one-hit  model yields maximum
likelihood estimates slightly higher than  those obtained with the multistage
model, while those obtained with the Weibull  model  are somewhat  lower.
                                      158

-------





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-------
                                   APPENDIX  B
        INTERNATIONAL AGENCY FOR RESEARCH  ON CANCER  (IARC) CRITERIA FOR
                EVALUATION OF THE CARCINOGENICITY  OF CHEMICALS*

ASSESSMENT OF EVIDENCE FOR CARCINOGENICITY FROM  STUDIES  IN HUMANS
     The degrees of evidence for carcinogenicity from  studies  in humans are
categorized as:
     1.  Sufficient evidence of carcinogenicity, which indicates that  there  is a
causal relationship between the agent  and  human  cancer.
     2.  Limited evidence of carci nogenicity,  which  indicates  that  a causal
interpretation is credible, but that alternative explanations, such as chance,
bias, or confounding, could not adequately be  excluded.
     3.  Inadequate evidence, which indicates  that one of three conditions
prevailed:   (a) there were few pertinent data; (b) the available  studies, while
showing evidence of association, did not exclude chance, bias, or  confounding;
(c) studies were available which do not show evidence of carcinogenicity.

ASSESSMENT OF  EVIDENCE OF CARCINOGENICITY FROM STUDIES IN EXPERIMENTAL ANIMALS
These assessments are classified into four  gruops:
      1.  Sufficient evidence of  carcinogenicity, which indicates that  there is
an increased incidence of malignant tumors;  (a) in multiple species  or strains;
(b) in multiple experiments  (preferably with different routes of administration
or using different dose  levels); or (c) to  an unusual degree with regard to
incidence, site, type of tumor,  or age at onset.  Additional evidence may be
provided by  data on dose-response  effects,  as well as information from short-
term  tests or  on chemical structure.
 international  Agency  for  Research  on Cancer.   1982.   IARC Monographs:  Evaluation
  of the Carcinogenic Risk  of  Chemicals to  Humans, Supplement 4.  Lyon, France.
                                       160

-------
      2.   Limited  evidence  of  carcinogenicity, which means that the data suggest
 a carcinogenic  effect  but  are limited  because:   (a) the studies involve a
 single species, strain,  or experiment;  (b) the experiments are restricted by
 inadequate  dosage levels,  inadequate duration of exposure to the agent,
 inadequate  period of follow-up, poor survival, too few animals,, or inadequate
 reporting;  or  (c) the  neoplasms produced often occur spontaneously and, in the
 past,  have  been'difficult  to  classify  as malignant by histological criteria
 alone  (e.g., lung and  liver tumors in  mice).
      3.   Inadequate evidence, which indicates that because of major qualitative
 or quantitative limitations,  the studies cannot be interpreted as showing either
 the presence or absence  of a  carcinogenic effect; or that within the limits of
 the tests used, the chemical  is not carcinogenic.  The number of negative
 studies is  small,  since, in general, studies that show no effect are less likely
 to  be  published than those suggesting carcinogenicity.
     4.  No data,  indicating that data were not available to the working group.
 EVALUATION  OF CARCINOGENIC RISK TO HUMANS
     At present,  no objective criteria exist to interpret data from studies  in
 experimental animals or from short-term tests directly in terms  of human risk.
 Thus,  in the absence of sufficient evidence from human studies,  evaluation  of
 the carcinogenic  risk to humans was based on consideration  of both the  epidemio-
 logic  and the experimental  evidence.   The breadth of the  categories  of  evidence
 defined above allows substantial  variation  within each  category.   The decision's
 reached.by the  IARC Working Group  regarding overall risk  incorporate these
 differences, even  though  the differences cannot  always  be  reflected  adequately
when placing exposures  into particular  categories.
                                      161

-------
     The chemical,  group of  chemicals, industrial processes, or occupational
exposures were thus put  into one  of three  groups:

Group 1
     The chemical,  group of  chemicals, industrial process, or occupational
exposure is carcinogenic to  humans.   This  category was  used only when there was
sufficient evidence from epidemiologic studies  to support  a causal association
   t
between the exposure and cancer.

Group 2
     The chemical, group of chemicals,  industrial process, or  occupational
exposure is probably carcinogenic to humans.  This  category includes exposures
for which, at  one  extreme, the evidence  of human carcinogenicity  is  almost
sufficient, as well as  exposures for which, at the  other extreme,  it is
inadequate.   To  reflect this range, the category was divided into higher (Group A)
and  lower  (Group B) degrees  of evidence.  Usually,  category 2A is reserved  for
exposures  for which there is at  least limited evidence of carcinogenlcity to
humans.   The  data  from  studies in experimental animals play an important role
in assigning  studies to category 2,  and particularly those in Group B; thus,
the  combination  of sufficient evidence in animals and  inadequate data in humans
usually results  in a classification  of 2B.
      In some  cases, the IARC Working Group  considered  that the known chemical
 properties of a  compound and the results  from  short-term  tests allowed its
 transfer from Group 3  to 2B or  from 2B to 2A.

 Group 3
      The chemical, group of chemicals,  industrial  process,  or  occupational
 exposure cannot be classified  as to its  carcinogenicity to humans.
                                       162

-------
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