United States
              Environmental Protection
              Agency
Air and Energy Engineering
Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
               Research and Development
EPA/600/SR-94/085   December 1994
EPA      Project  Summary
               Multiple  Projections  System
               (MPS):  User's  Manual
               Version  1.0

               C.C. Monroe, T.A. Dean, and W.R. Barnard
                The  Clean  Air  Act  Amendments
              (CAAA) of 1990 called for Reasonable
              Further Progress (RFP)  inventories to
              be submitted to EPA for the purpose of
              demonstrating strategies  by which a
              15 % reduction in volatile organic com-
              pound  (VOC) emissions  will  be
              achieved between 1990 and 1996. This
              requirement applies to moderate, seri-
              ous,  severe,  and extreme  ozone
              nonattainment areas. In  addition, seri-
              ous, severe, and extreme areas must
              demonstrate at least a 3 % annual av-
              erage reduction beginning in 1996 and
              continuing thereafter until attainment
              is reached. In order to  meet Sec-
              tion 182(b)(1) and (c)(2) requirements,
              state/local air agencies require a com-
              puter system  capable  of performing
              "what if scenario analysis" and report-
              ing the final results (i.e., their Rate-of-
              Progress [ROP] inventories) to EPA (i.e.,
              Aerometric Information  Retrieval  Sys-
              tem, AIRS). This is based on the 3%
              RFP Tracking  System that was devel-
              oped in FY92/FY93. The 3% RFP Track-
              ing System is a Windows* application,
              and  enhancements to the system to
              convert it to a Multiple Projections Sys-
              tem (MPS) have continued to be within
              the framework of a Windows applica-
              tion. The system will support ROP in-
              ventories for ozone and carbon mon-
              oxide (CO) and thus will contain VOC,
              nitrogen oxides NOx, and CO data. The
              most significant change from the origi-
              nal 3% RFP Tracking System to MPS is
              the ability to submit a  "final"  projec-
               * Mention of trade names or commercial products does
                not consHule endorsement or recommendation for
                use
tion emissions inventory in the format
required by  the AIRS  Facility Sub-
system (AFS) and the AIRS Area and
Mobile Source (AMS) Subsystem.

  The MPS is by outward appearance a
collection of  screens with  buttons the
user can click. These buttons simplify
the task of setting user-defined param-
eters  which  the  program  will use in
projecting future emissions and gener-
ating screen  or hard copy  output. The
name of each screen is shown in the
upper middle part of the screen. Most
of the major headings in  the manual
correspond  to  the names of these
screens, and they are presented in the
order of their appearance on the moni-
tor. For clarity, screen names are al-
ways printed in all capital letters.  Spe-
cific buttons are referred to by the name
printed on  them, with the first letter of
each word  capitalized.
  This Project Summary was developed
by EPA's Air and Energy Engineering
Research  Laboratory, Research Tri-
angle Park, NC, to announce key  find-
ings of the research project that is fully
documented in a separate report of the
same title (see Project Report ordering
information at back).

Purpose  Of the MPS
  The MPS is designed to  facilitate the
projection of  future  emissions of ozone
precursors,  specifically CO, VOCs, and
NOx, in any given geographic area. The
MPS gives state/local air agencies a  com-
puter system capable of performing "what
if scenario analysis  and reporting the fi-
                                                                Printedon Recycled Paper

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nal  results (i.e., their RFP inventories) to
EPA (i.e., AFS and AMS).

System Requirements
  The prototype MRS was developed us-
ing  Superbase  4,  a Microsoft Windows
data base package that can be compiled
and distributed as a stand-alone product.
As  a Windows  product,  it  requires Win-
dows in order to run. The Microsoft Win-
dows manual includes general Windows
operating procedures. Additionally, a com-
puter with a 386SX or better microproces-
sor  is suggested as the platform on which
to run the prototype. Because the system
was developed using  a Windows-based
product,  rt  has been  configured to run
entirely using a mouse to point and click
on various buttons to perform commands
or functions.  However, all functions can
also be  accessed via the  keyboard.  A
hard disk drive  is required to store all
input and output  data files.  Disk space
required depends on the number and size
of geographic areas to be studied.
  An advantage of developing the system
using  a Windows-based  product is  that
certain tasks can be performed  in the
"background," since Windows can  perform
multitasking  operations when running on
a 386SX or better platform. Thus, when
the system  is performing disk intensive or
   C. Monroe, A. Dean, and W. Barnard are with E.H. Pechan and Associates, Inc.,
     3500 Westgate Dr., Suite 103, Durham, NC 27707.
   E. Sue Kimbrough is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
   The complete report, entitled "Multiple Projections System (MPS): User's Manual
     Version 1.0," consists of a manual and diskettes. (Order No. PB95-501698/AS;
     Cost: $90.00; subject to change)
   The set will be available only from:
           National Technical Information  Service
           5285 Port Royal Road
           Springfield, VA 22161
           Telephone: 703-487-4650
   The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
           Air and Energy Engineering Research Laboratory
           U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
processor intensive tasks (such as file im-
ports or emission projection calculations),
the program can be minimized to an icon
and the user can work on documents in a
word processor or on a spreadsheet until
the task is  complete.  The  system is  de-
signed to beep when these tasks are com-
plete and the icon's title will indicate task
completion. At  that point,  the user can
return  to the program  and continue  the
analysis.
  The  system can project  emissions  out
to the year 2010 at intervals of 3 years. In
addition to projecting emissions, the sys-
tem can make projections  in the form of
percent reduction  relative  to  base year
emissions. The system is designed to  ac-
cept input data from  either the  AFS  or
AMS. Output from the system  is in  the
form of tables or  graphs,  which can be
directed to  the  computer screen or to a
printer. Tabular  results can  also be output
to an ASCII file, allowing the user to sub-
sequently import the reported  information
into other software for further analysis  (ei-
ther numeric  or graphic). Data contained
in the output  file can also be exported to
Lotus  123,  dBaselll,  or Excel. As indi-
cated above, the principal output  types
are batch transactions in AFS and AMS
format.
United States
Environmental Protection Agency
Center for Environmental Research Information
Cincinnati, OH 45268

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 EPA/600/SR-94/085

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