United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
Program Center
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
Research and Development
EPA/620/SR-94/006
June 1994
Project Summary
Forest Health  Monitoring:
Southeast  Loblolly/Shortleaf  Pine
Demonstration  Interim  Report
Timothy E. Lewis and Barbara L Conkling
  The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) has initiated a multiagency
program to determine the current status
and future trends in the nation's eco-
logical resources. The Environmental
Monitoring and Assessment Program
(EMAP) is focusing  on broad resource
groups such as inland surface waters,
estuaries, arid lands, agroecosystems,
and forests. The forest component of
EMAP is a multiagency effort referred
to as Forest Health Monitoring (FHM).
The FHM  program is jointly  managed
and largely funded by the U.S. Depart-
ment of Agriculture  (USDA) Forest Ser-
vice and EPA in cooperation with other
program participants.
  The FHM program conducted a two-
year demonstration study to test a suite
of indicators considered  important in
assessing forest health. The selected
study plots represented  the loblolly/
shortleaf pine forest type. The study is
referred to in this report as the South-
east Loblolly/Shortleaf Pine Demonstra-
tion or SE DEMO. This interim report
serves to initiate the indicator evalua-
tion process and addresses the first
objective of the study. Six criteria have
been adopted by FHM and EMAP for
indicator evaluation. The FHM program
has developed an objective procedure
for determining the status of indicators
with respect to these six criteria. The
indicators were evaluated from a sta-
tistical arid biological perspective to
ascertain  their suitability in Detection
Monitoring. After examination of data
collected during the first year of the SE
DEMO, several shortcomings were  re-
vealed that necessitated the implemen-
tation of two additional companion
studies,  the QA Reference  Plot and
 Georgia Remeasurement  Studies.
 These two studies will provide valu-
 able information for addressing the in-
 dex-period stability and high signal-to-
 noise ratio criteria. The data from these
 two studies, combined with the second
 year's data from the SE DEMO, will be
 used to evaluate the status of each
 indicator. These findings will be re-
 ported in the SE DEMO final report.
   This Project Summary was developed
 by EPA's Environmental Monitoring and
 Assessment Program Center, Research
 Triangle Park,  NC,  to announce key
 findings of the research project that is
 fully documented in a separate report
 of the same title (see ordering informa-
 tion at back).

 Introduction
   The U.S. Environmental Protection
 Agency (EPA) has initiated a multiagency
 program to determine the current status
 and  future trends in the nation's ecologi-
 cal resources. The Environmental Moni-
 toring and Assessment Program (EMAP)
 is focusing on broad resource groups such
 as inland surface waters, estuaries, arid
 lands, agroecosystems, and forest. The
 forest  component  of  EMAP  is  a
 multiagency  effort  referred  to  as  Forest
 Health Monitoring (FHM). The FHM pro-
 gram is jointly managed and largely funded
 by the U.S.  Department  of Agriculture
 (USDA) Forest Service and EPA in coop-
 eration with other  program participants.
 FHM partners provide additional financial
 and personnel support and include partici-
 pating state forestry  agencies, the U.S.
 Department of Interior's (USDI's) Bureau
 of Land Management, the Tennessee Val-
 ley Authority, and the USDA Soil Conser-
 vation Service. Other cooperators include
                                                Printed on Recycled Paper

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universities  and  three  additional  USD!
agencies: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
U.S. Geological Survey, and the National
Park Service. The National Association of
State Foresters  provides  essential sup-
port, guidance, and assistance.
  The FHM program conducted a two-
year demonstration study to test a suite of
indicators considered important in assess-
ing forest health. The selected study plots
represented the loblolly/shortleaf pine for-
est type. The study is referred to  in this
report as the Southeast Lobloliy/Shortleaf
Pine  Demonstration  or  SE  DEMO. The
indicators were evaluated from a statisti-
cal and biological perspective to ascertain
their suitability in Detection Monitoring.
  The objectives of the SE DEMO were
  1.To evaluate selected indicators  across
    the Atlantic Coastal Plain and Piedmont
    loblolly/shortleaf pine forest type, and
  2.To evaluate their ability to provide an
    assessment of condition in the loblolly/
    shortleaf pine forest type.
  The interim report initiates the indicator
development process for the SE DEMO.
This report addresses the  first objective
as stated above. Operating concurrently
with the SE DEMO was the Southern Ap-
palachian Man and Biosphere  (SAMAB)
Demonstration. Some indicator leaders
used data from the SAMAB region to aug-
ment their ability to address the indicator
development criteria, although the primary
focus was on the loblolly/shortleaf pine
forest ecosystem  of the SE DEMO.
  The interim report identifies problems in
data collection, quality assurance and qual-
ity control (QA/QC), and acquisition. The
report also  identifies  additional data
needed for indicator development. For pur-
poses of this report, most of the indicator
leaders treated the set of SE DEMO plots
as a simple random sample to facilitate
data analysis.
  The indicators  evaluated in the SE
DEMO were:
  Bioindicator Plants
  Branch Evaluations
  Crown Condition
  Damage
  Dendrochronology (not included in in-
        terim report)
  Dendrochemistry (not included in interim
        report)
  Foliar Chemistry
  Lichen Communities
  Lichen Chemistry (not included in in-
        terim report)
  Mensuration
  Photosynthetically Active Radiation
         (PAR)
  Root Pathogens (not included in interim
        report)
  Soil Physiochemistry
  Vegetation Structure
  Wildlife Habitat
  PAR indicator evaluation was done only
on the SAMAB  plots. These plots were
not typically located  in the loblolly/short-
leaf pine forest type but are nevertheless
included  in the report as an appendix to
illustrate the ability of this indicator to meet
indicator development requirements. As
noted in  the above list, some indicators
are not included in this interim report due
to problems with data availability and staff-
ing. All of the  listed indicators will be in-
cluded in the SE DEMO final report. The
SE DEMO final report will also  address
objective two above and will evaluate the
utility of  the selected  indicators for  as-
sessing the condition of the loblolly/short-
leaf pine forest type.
  The FHM indicators must progress from
candidate to pilot,  to demonstration, and
finally to core status before they are con-
sidered  "ready" for national implementa-
tion in Detection Monitoring. The progres-
sion involves  many  steps, which culmi-
nate in the ability of a selected indicator to
satisfactorily meet the indicator develop-
ment criteria. These steps include 1) iden-
tification of relevant societal values of con-
cern; 2) formulation of assessment ques-
tions to address; 3) selection of candidate
indicators; 4) review of scientific literature
and off-frame data; 5) testing of indicators
in pilot and demonstration studies; and 6)
evaluating  the six  indicator development
criteria.
  FHM scientists selected  the indicators
evaluated in the SE  DEMO based on lit-
erature and peer reviews and expert opin-
ion. Each indicator addresses at least one
assessment question pertaining to certain
values that can be easily interpreted by
other scientists, policy  makers,  and  the
general public.  The selected indicators pro-
vide quantitative or qualitative links to the
key  ecosystem  processes and  compo-
nents. An indicator thus serves as a met-
ric of society's concerns and its percep-
tions about forest health. Indicators are not
intended to demonstrate cause-and-effect
relationships but will do so in certain in-
stances. The preponderance of evidence
obtained from  monitoring  activities may
be convincing enough to implicate  or clarify
certain causal  hypotheses, but additional
off-frame data will  usually be required to
verify or nullify these hypotheses.
  The interim report describes the results
from the first year of the SE DEMO. Where
data were not sufficient from the first year
to answer  some of the criteria,  ancillary
data were used. The use of such data is
encouraged by EMAP. These data were
used to the extent possible to determine
the current status  of each indicator with
respect to the six criteria. Recognizing the
lack of existing data, published or unpub-
lished, to answer  some of the indicator
development criteria, the FHM team de-
signed two studies  that were conducted in
the second year (1993) of the SE DEMO.
These two studies,  the QA Reference Plot
Study and  the Georgia Remeasurement
Study, will provide critical data for  many
indicators to address the indicator devel-
opment criteria. Inasmuch as the final data
from these studies were not collected until
late August  1993,  they are not available
for evaluation  in this interim report. How-
ever,  the final report will  include  these
data.

Procedures
  The SE DEMO 1992 study area included
most of Virginia, Georgia, North Carolina,
and South Carolina. FHM Detection Moni-
toring plots had been established through-
out Virginia and Georgia during the 1991
field season. The 1991 Detection Monitor-
ing data were  queried for all Virginia and
Georgia  plots  that had  a  forest type of
loblolly or shortleaf pine. Those plots that
were assigned to the 1992 rotation of the
one-quarter interpenetrating design (rotat-
ing panel  sampling  design based  on
resampling each quarter every fourth year)
and did not fall in the SAMAB region were
resampled as part of the 1992 SE DEMO.
   North and South Carolina had not been
part of the 1991 Detection Monitoring pro-
gram and therefore there were no existing
FHM  plots. Instead,  the  USDA  Forest
Service's Region 8 Forest Pest Manage-
ment Southern Atlas Project data set was
queried for all counties in the Carolinas
that had an average loblolly/shortleaf pine
basal area of  >50  fWacre. State forestry
teams were sent to reconnoiter the plots
assigned to the 1991  and 1992 rotation of
the one-quarter interpenetrating design. A
plot was then included as part of the 1992
SE Demo if the plot was (1)  forested  (in
forest use,  at least one  acre in size, and
at least 120 ft wide), (2) not in the SAMAB
region, (3) had at least one subplot where
a  majority  of  the  overstory  trees were
loblolly and/or  shortleaf pine,  (4) was as-
signed to the 1991 or 1992 rotation, and
(5) land owner permission could be ob-
tained.
   Operating concurrently with  the SE
DEMO was the  SAMAB Demonstration.
As stated above, some indicator leaders
used data from the SAMAB region in the
evaluation of their  indicator, although the
primary focus was on the loblolly/shortleaf
pine forest ecosystem of the SE DEMO.

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The SAMAB  region  includes 33 million
acres of southwest Virginia, eastern Ten-
nessee, western North Carolina, northern
Georgia, and parts of South Carolina and
Alabama.

Results and Discussion

Bioindicator Plants
  The air pollution bioindicator plant indi-
cator has been a part of Detection Moni-
toring activities in the FHM program since
1990, when the first field plots were es-
tablished in six New England states. The
early testing of this indicator underscores
its importance with respect to the societal
values  identified by FHM. In  1992, with
some improvement in field methodology,
the bioindicator plants indicator moved into
the two southeast demonstration projects,
the SE DEMO and the SAMAB  Demon-
stration.
  The specific FHM societal values that
the bioindicator plants indicator addresses
include  ecological   integrity  (e.g.,
biodiversity, productivity, and sustainability)
and aesthetics (e.g., injured foliage). The
link  between the indicator and the FHM
conceptual  model  is made through  the
following assessment questions, thus pro-
viding the essential rational for implement-
ing the bioindicator plant indicator in FHM.
  1.1s there an association between  the
     number and distribution of plots with
     foliar injury and air quality related val-
     ues (e.g., aesthetics), by region or for-
     est type?
  2. How does the  number and distribution
    of plots with foliar injury change from
    one year  to  the next, by region  or
    forest type?
  3. Is there an association between ambi-
    ent air quality  data  and plots with in-
    jury and/or the plot-level measurement
    index?
  4.1s there an  association between the
    bioindicator response at ground level
    and conditions in the upper canopy, by
    region or forest type?
  5. Is the change in number or distribution
    of plots that show  injury  associated
    with changes in biodiversity, by region
    or forest type?
  The relationship between the bioindicator
plants indicator and the six indicator devel-
opment  criteria is summarized in  Table 1.
Where there is uncertainty, the results of
the 1993 SE DEMO Project and the 1993
QA Reference Plot Study  will most likely
provide  the statistics needed to complete
the criteria evaluations.
Table 1.  Status of Bioindicator Plant Indicator After First Year of the SE DEMO

Indicator Development Criteria	      Status	
Unambiguously Interpretable
   Conceptual Model
   Indices
   Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
Index-Period Stability
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
Regional Responsiveness
Simple Quantification
Low Environmental Impact
          High
          Good
          Good
          Proposed - needs research
          Needs Testing - revisit index
          Needs Testing - assumed high
          High
          High - revisit index
          High
Crown Condition
  The crown portion of trees has always
been an indicator of the .health of forest
trees. Long before scientists attempted to
add the scientific process and rigor to the
estimation or measurement of crown vari-
ables, tree crown condition provided an
instantaneous visual estimation of the vigor
of individual trees, tree stands, and some-
times entire watersheds. Since tree crowns
form the basic structural architecture of a
forest ecosystem, they directly  affect the
composition,  processes, and vigor of the
forest understory floral and faunal compo-
nents.
  The crown condition indicator addresses
FHM  societal values of productivity  and
aesthetics. Productivity has been shown
to be correlated with crown variables. Aes-
thetics of forest resources are dependent
upon the visual appearance of tree crowns.
The following assessment questions can
be addressed using the three indices for-
mulated during the 1992 SE DEMO.
  1. What proportion of forests is growing
    poorly due to subnominal crown con-
    ditions across forest types or regions?
  2. What proportion of forests is in aestheti-
    cally poor quality  due to subnominal
    crown conditions across forest types or
    regions?
  The crown indices are currently meet-
ing many  of the  indicator  development
criteria. Table 2 shows the relationship
between the crown condition indices and
the six indicator development criteria after
completion  of the  first year of  the  SE
DEMO. After completion of data analysis
of the 1993 SE DEMO, the QA Reference
Plot, and the Georgia Remeasurement Plot
Studies, more of the criteria will  be more
adequately addressed, including index-period
stability. The necessary data will be avail-
able to  evaluate the change in the crown
variables over the  field season and the
subsequent effects  of that change on the
crown indices. It will be possible to evalu-
ate the  accuracy and precision for within-
and between-crew measurement error.
Approximately twice as many plots will be
available to calculate plot-to-plot variabil-
ity.  More data from the QA Reference Plot
Study will also be available to quantify the
environmental impact to the plots. Evalua-
tion of the  signal-to-noise ratio will begin
because data on the year-to-year variabil-
ity in the crown  indices from three years
of the Georgia Remeasurement Plot Study
will  be available.

Damage  Indicator
  Damage caused  by diseases,  insects,
air  pollution, and natural and man-made
activities can affect forest growth and de-
Table 2. Status of Crown Condition Indicator After First Year of the SE DEMO
Indicator Development Criteria
Unambiguously Interpretable
Conceptual Model
Indices
Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
Index-Period Stability
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
Regional Responsiveness
Simple Quantification
Low Environmental Impact
Status
Dieback Transparency
Good Good
Good Good
Good Good
Fair - needs research Good
Good Good
Good Good
Good Good
High High
Good Good ,

Structure
Good
Good
Fair -needs research
Fair -needs research
Good
Low- needs research
Good
High
Good

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velopment. Any of these agents, either
singly or in combination, can  cause sig-
nificant declines in forest tree health. Dam-
age caused by the aforementioned agents
can reduce tree productivity, reduce stand
survivability and sustainability, and  por-
tend reduced future growth and increased
mortality. The damage that is observed
on a tree may be an early-warning indica-
tion of reduced growth and may result in
the ultimate death of  the tree. The dam-
age indicator may also be  useful in as-
sessing the aesthetic value of forests. For
example, the  recent  public debate  over
the decline of high spruce-fir forests in the
southern Appalachian Mountains that are
infested with the balsam wooly  adelgid
(sulfur dioxide pollution has been factored
into the problem) has often been portrayed
from a tree damage  perspective; photos
of  large stands of brown-foliaged trees
were shown on television stations through-
out the country.
  In 1992, damage and location were re-
corded  for each tree. A severity rating
was not recorded in 1992 (except for dwarf
mistletoe) but was added in 1993 to pro-
vide a more reliable damage index. Three
different types of damage were recorded
for each tree. The location of injury is
important in  ascertaining the degree  of
threat to the survivability of the tree and
was recorded for all  trees meeting the
aforementioned criteria. During the 1992
field season the crews  were given the
liberty to record the cause of the observed
damage. Without having a well-trained for-
est pathologist or entomologist on each
crew, the diagnosis of cause was specie
lative, at best  The  diagnosis of cause
was deemed too variable to provide accu-
rate data for assessment of forest health
and thus was discontinued in 1993.
   Using the ptot-Ievel damage index de-
veloped during the SE DEMO, the follow-
ing assessment questions  can be formu-
lated.
   I.What  proportion  of forest in the re-
     gion is at risk of  reduced growth due
     to observed damages?
  2.What  proportion  of forest in the re-
     gion is at increased risk  of mortality
     due to observed  damages?
  3.1s the risk of reduced growth due to
     observed damages increasing (or de-
     creasing) in the region? .
  4. Are the aesthetic qualities of forests
     in the region improving or diminishing
     due to observed  damages?
  The damage indicator had difficulty ad-
dressing many of the criteria primarily be-
cause of a lack of a reasonable plot-level
Index. The Index has not been the same
for more than one year. Since the index
has evolved over time, year-to-year vari-
ability is the  most difficult component of
variability to  address.  Data need  to  be
gathered on the utility of the index across
multiple years through  evaluation of indi-
cator  performance in Detection  Monitor-
ing. Table 3 summarizes the status of the
damage indicator with  respect to the  six
criteria.

Branch Evaluations
  Observation of  branches from  the
ground  provides  general  information  on
tree crown condition and detects the more
severe injury  symptoms. Close-up exami-
nation of foliage is required, however, to
obtain more  specific tree  vigor data and
detect early symptoms  of branch damage
caused by air pollutants,  disease, or in-
sects. The in-hand evaluation of branches
from the upper tree crown is FHM's branch
evaluation indicator.
  The  branch evaluation indicator ad-
dresses two  important FHM societal val-
ues, productivity and aesthetics. The de-
velopment of relationships  between the
branch  evaluation metrics and important
assessment questions  can be used as a
consistent way to set  thresholds across
species, forest types,  or  other  resource
groups. The  following  assessment ques-
tions can be addressed  by the three branch
evaluation indices.
  I.What proportion of forests has foliar or
    wood damage resulting in a reduction in
    growth across forest types or regions?
  2. What proportion of forests has foliar or
    wood damage resulting in a reduction in
    the aesthetic qualities across forest types
    or regions?
  The branch evaluation indices currently
meet some, but not all,  of the indicator
development criteria. Table 4 summarizes
the status of the branch evaluation indica-
tor  with respect to the six criteria. After
completion  of  data analysis for the  QA
Reference Plot Study, index-period stabil-
ity will be evaluated.  After analysis of the
1993 SE DEMO and QA Reference Plot
data, the following will be evaluated: (1)
changes in the  branch variables over the
field season and the subsequent effects
of such change on the branch indices; (2)
within- and  between-crew  measurement
error; and (3) plot-to-plot variability with
approximately twice as many plots. More
data will be available to quantify the envi-
ronmental impact on the specimen trees
from the QA Reference Plot study. In ad-
dition, signal-to-noise ratio  will be evalu-
ated, because  data  on the year-to-year
variability  in the branch indices  will  be
available for two years from all SE DEMO
plots and for three years from the Georgia
Remeasurement Plots.
 Table 3.  Status of Damage Indicator After First Year of the SE DEMO

 Indicator Development Criteria                        Status
 Unambiguously Interpretable
    Conceptual Model
    Indices
  . NominaVSubnominal Threshold
 Index-Period Stability
 High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
 Regional Responsiveness
 Simple Quantification
 Low Environmental Impact
       Fair
       Good
       Low
       Fair- needs research
      ' Fair- reevaluate index
       Good - reevaluate index
       Good
       Good - reevaluate index
       High
 Table 4.  Status of Branch Evaluation Indicator After First Year of the SE DEMO

 Indicator Development Criteria	Status	
 Unambiguously Interpretable
   Conceptual Model
   Indices
   Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
 Index-Period Stability
 High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
 Regional Responsiveness
 Simple Quantification
 Low Environmental Impact
        Fair
        Fair
        Good
       • Fair - needs research
        Good-
        Fair - needs research
        Fair
        High
        Fair

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 Foliar Chemistry
   Foliar chemistry serves as both a con-
 dition and a stressor indicator. The status
 of macro- and micronutrients provides in-
 formation on  current condition.  If these
 nutrients  are  at or near their optimal or
 critical levels,  then a nominal nutrient sta-
 tus condition is indicated. If the levels are
 deficient or excessive, then a subnominal
 condition is suggested. Selected trace el-
 ements (e.g.,  Pb, Cd, Hg) are also mea-
 sured in foliage and serve as indicators of
 plant stress. As a stressor indicator, foliar
 chemistry can be associated with other
 condition indicators that may be related to
 the status or  change in forest condition
 (e.g., visible injury, growth, soil productiv-
 ity).
   Realizing the significant natural variabil-
 ity in foliar chemistry that is inherent in the
 measurement  system, a carefully designed
 sampling strategy was implemented  for
 the.SE DEMO. Only foliar chemistry  for
 loblolly pine is reported in the SE DEMO
 interim  report. Diagnostic Recommenda-
 tion and  Integrated System (DRIS)  indi-
 ces were calculated for the loblolly pine
 foliar chemistry data obtained from  the
 1992 SE DEMO. Because of the way in
 which  the DRIS norms are derived, the
 index is directly related to an assessment
 question: "What proportion of the forests
 has foliar nutritional levels capable of sup-
 porting  optimal growth in the Southeast-
 ern United States?"
  Using the  current  sampling protocols
 and the DRIS  indices for loblolly pine, the
 foliar chemistry indicator was able to ad-
 equately  address the  unambiguously  in-
 terpretable, simple quantification,  and low
 environmental impact indicator develop-
 ment criteria (Table 5). With ancillary data
 and off-frame  research, the other indica-
 tor development criteria will be addressed.

 Lichen  Communities
  Hundreds   of   papers  worldwide
 (chronicled in  the series "Literature on air
pollution and lichens" in the Lichenologist)
and dozens of review papers and books
published during the  last century have
documented the close relationship between
lichen  communities and air  pollution, es-
pecially SO2, NO , and acidifying or fertil-
izing nitrogen and sulfur-based pollutants.
Although trees  may respond to moderate,
chronic levels  of air pollution, all  of the
other influences on tree growth, such as
complex variation in soils, make the re-
sponse to pollutants difficult to measure.
Lichens provide, therefore, a clear  indica-
tion of air pollution impacts, not only di-
rectly upon  lichens, but also upon  total
forest productivity.  Because air pollution
affects long-term forest sustainability and
biodiversity, lichens also indicate trends in
assessing those ecosystem  properties. In
addition, lichens themselves form a large
portion of the macrophytic species of many
forests.
  For the purposes of the IFHM program,
the sampled   flora  is  restricted to
macrolichens that occur on living or stand-
ing dead woody substrates. Only standing
woody substrates are included to stan-
dardize the  measurements to a class of
substrates that can be found on all sites.
For example, although lichens commonly
are abundant and diverse on rocks, many
FHM plots will  not contain exposed  rock
as an available substrate.
  Lichen communities provide information
relevant to several key assessment ques-
tions, including those concerning the con-
tamination   of   natural  resources,
biodiversity,  and sustainability of  timber
production. Lichens not only indicate the
health of our forests, but there is a  clearly
established linkage to environmental stres-
sors. Lichen communities  are useful in
addressing the following assessment ques-
tions:
  1. Is regional air quality  (specifically ni-
    trogen-  and sulfur-based  pollutants)
    changing over  time?  If so, is it  im-
    proving  or  deteriorating? In what ar-
    eas is it changing? In what fraction of
    the area do lichens indicate the pos-
Table 5.  Status of Foliar Chemistry Indicator After First Year of the S£ DEMO

Indicator Development Criteria                          Status
Unambiguously Interpretable
   Conceptual Model
   Indices
   Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
Index-Period Stability
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
Regional Responsiveness
Simple Quantification
Low Environmental Impact
        Good
        Fair
        Good
        High
        Good
        Fair- needs research
        Low
        Good
        Fair
     sibility of air pollution impacts on for-
     est productivity and biodiversity?
  2. Is the lichen component of biodiversity
     changing over time?  If so,  is  it in-
     creasing or decreasing? In what ar-
     eas is it changing?
  It is believed that most criteria for indi-
cator development have been met (Table
6).  Calibration of the lichen indices to lev-
els of ambient air quality in different re-
gions of the country is critical. The  most
immediate tasks facing the  implementa-
tion of the lichen community indicator are
stating threshold values for the lichen com-
munity  indices and analysis  of  the QA
Reference Plot data for the evaluation of
high signal-to-noise ratio, index-period sta-
bility, and accuracy of the  separation of
species by the field crews (simple quanti-
fication).

Mensuration Indicators
  Forest mensuration is a crucial compo-
nent of any forest health  determination.
The scope of forestry has widened due to
the advent of the sciences of ecology and
environmental biology. The area  of men-
suration  now covers topics  essential  to
forest ecosystem modeling, insect and dis-
ease incidence, wildlife habitat and  wild-
life management, and recreation.  This list
is, of course, not inclusive.  Numerous for-
est succession and growth models have
been developed, all of which are predi-
cated on the forest ecosystem processes
of tree natality, growth, and mortality. Most
of these  models depend  on information
on the species present or expected in the
stand, thus highlighting the importance of
tree species diversity. This indicator pro-
vides  information on habitat  structure,
which strongly influences wildlife diversity
for  a variety of taxa,  including vascular
flora, birds, small  mammals, and large
mammals. Upper canopy species diver-
sity  is only one  of  the  measurements
needed to  comprehensively assess re-
gional forest ecosystem biodiversity. FHM
is preparing other measures of biodiversity.
Stand structure and stand diversity are also
important in understanding the effects of
the incidence of pests and  diseases. The
forest ecosystem factors of regeneration,
growth, mortality, and overstory diversity
comprise the suite of mensuration indica-
tors.
  The mensuration indicators  address
three major FHM societal values, biotic
integrity, aesthetics, and extent. However,
the SE DEMO report only addresses bi-
otic  integrity, which incorporates such is-
sues as sustainability,  productivity (in the
ecological  sense),  and  biodiversity.
Sustainability of a forest ecosystem is con-

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Tablo 6. Status ofUchen Communities
        Indicator After First Year of the SE
        DEMO
Indicator Development Criteria
Status
Unambiguously Interpretable        High
  Conceptual Model               Good
  Indices                        High
  Nominal/Subnominal Threshold    Good
Index-Period Stability              Good
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio          Good
Regional Responsiveness          High
Simple Quantification              High
Law Environmental Impact          Good
ceptually dependent on the processes of
natality, growth, and mortality, as well as
sufficient diversity to withstand the typical
catastrophic  events that impact forests.
Forest productivity, in the silvicultural and
ecological senses, is highly related to these
same three processes. Using the four men-
suration  indicators and  their associated
indices, the  following assessment ques-
tions can be addressed:
  t.What proportion of the population is
    subnominal with respect to
    a.  productivity, as represented by
        plot-level basal area increment?
    b.  forest natality and regeneration,
        as represented by  seedling  re-
        cruitment?
    c.  sustainability, as represented by
        high overstory mortality rate?
    d.  resiliency, as represented by low
        overstory species diversity?
  2.1s there a  regional change in  "a"
     through "d*?
  3.What is the spatial distribution of "a"
    through "d"?
  Table 7 shows the relationships between
each mensuration  indicator  and the  six
indicator development criteria. The data
from  the QA Reference plots will permit
evaluation of regeneration for index-period
stability.  Overstory diversity  has already
been shown to meet this criterion. Over-
story diversity now passes all the criteria.
Growth and mortality require more than
one  year  of  data to  calculate,  so
Index-period stability cannot be evaluated
based on  one  year  of  data from these
plots. A revisit to the QA Reference plots
or further literature search will be needed
to answer this question for these two indi-
cators. However, the available literature
suggests that the growth indicator has the
potential to meet the statistical criteria of
index-period    stability   and   high
signal-to-noise ratio. Mortality already
passes all the critical criteria,  except
index-period stability. It is believed, based
on the analysis of the New England De-
tection Monitoring data, that mortality will
pass this criterion as well. All of the  men-
suration indicators meet the criteria of re-
gional  responsiveness  and low environ-
mental impact.

Soil Classification and
Physiochemistry
  There are several conceptual models upon
which to base the FHM soil indicator develop-
ment activities, depending on the specific in-
dex of interest. For  instance, the nitrogen
cycling model is commonly used to show the
interactions of  N among  soil, biota, and the
atmosphere. Regarding  forest  productivity,
models focusing on  soil-climate interactions
are considered crucial to our understanding of
soil's influence  on tree growth. From a hydro-
logic standpoint, several models of water flow
theory are used to assess hydro-physiographic
dynamics on forested slopes. At this time, the
number of possible models are too innumer-
able to present here. Instead, a conceptual
model coordinated across all soil indicators
will be presented in the SE DEMO final report
in 1994.
  Since the development of plot-level in-
dices for this indicator is in progress, many
of the indicator development criteria could
not be addressed. The status of the indi-
cator as shown  in  Table 8 reflects this
shortcoming.  Once  suitable indices  have
been formulated  the  indicator should  be
capable of satisfactorily meeting most of
the criteria. Given the critical role soil plays
in numerous forest ecosystem processes,
it is difficult to envision a forest monitoring
program without  some type  of edaphic
indicator.

Vegetation Structure
  The vegetation structure indicator aug-
ments other FHM on-plot vegetation mea-
surements (i.e., trees and lichens) with
measurements of non-tree, understory veg-
etation that cpmprises most of the vascu-
lar plant species  diversity in forests. Fur-
ther,  this indicator provides  information
about habitat structure, which  strongly in-
fluences wildlife diversity. Monitoring veg-
etation structure helps provide information
to evaluate the effectiveness  of environ-
mental and/or forest resource policies. The
vegetation structure indicator supports this
effort by supplying information relevant to
policies concerning plant species diversity
(e.g., the Endangered  Species Act of 1973)
and  habitat diversity (e.g.,  Federal Policy
and  Management Act of 1976). The ability
to assess habitat within FHM is important,
since  habitat loss and alteration are the
most immediate  and widespread threats
to biodiversity  and may exacerbate the
predicted impacts  of  global  climatic
change.
            Table 7.  Status of Mensuration Indicators After First Year of the SE DEMO
Status
Indicator Development Criteria
Unambiguously Interpretable
Conceptual Model
Indices
Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
Index-Period Stability
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
Regional Responsiveness
Simple Quantification
Low Environmental Impact •
Regeneration
High
High
High
Good
Good
Good
High
High
Good
Mortality
High
High
High
Good
Good
High
High
High
Good
Growth
High
High
High
Good
Good
Good
High
High
Good
Diversity
High
High
High
Good
High
High
High
High
Good
           Table 8.  Status of Soil Classification and Physiochemistry Indicator After First Year of the
                    SEDEMO
           Indicator Development Criteria
                                                               Status
           Unambiguously Interpretable
              Conceptual Model
              Indices
              Nominal/Subnominal Threshold
           Index-Period Stability
           High Signal-to-Noise Ratio
           Regional Responsiveness
           Simple Quantification
           Low Environmental Impact
                                                               Fair
                                                               Fair
                                                               Low
                                                               Low
                                                               Fair
                                                               Fair
                                                               Fair
                                                               Good
                                                               Fair

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   The vegetation structure indicator pro-
 vides information on vascular plant com-
 munity structure that will be  used to ad-
 dress the following assessment questions:
   1. What percentage of the forest resource
     in Region X contains vegetation in a
     subnominal condition as evaluated with
     the vegetation structure indicator?
   2. Is the percentage of the forest resource
     in Region X with subnominal vegeta-
     tive condition increasing, decreasing,
     or unchanging as evaluated with the
     vegetation structure indicator?
   3. What are the relationships  between
     vegetation attributes (e.g., amount, dis-
     tribution, or composition) measured by
     the vegetation structure indicator and
     natural stresses or human-induced pol-
     lution?
   Table 9 shows the relationship between
 the indicator and the six criteria.
   At present,  this indicator meets the low
 environmental impact, simple quantifica-
 tion,  and  regional responsiveness (in the
 NE and SE) indicator development crite-
 ria. All of the conditions for unambigu-
 ously interpretable have  been  satisfied
 except for determining thresholds of nomi-
 nal/subnominal  for lower strata. In  addi-
 tion, complexity must be incorporated into
 the indicator. Index-period stability will be
 addressed in  more detail after data from
 the QA Reference Plot Study have  been
 evaluated. Signal-to-noise ratio will be ad-
 dressed  using data from the  Georgia
 Remeasurement Study.

 Wildlife Habitat
   The wildlife  habitat indicator is based on
 empirical relationships between bird  com-
 munity composition and local vegetation
 features.  Natural disturbance regimes in
 the eastern U.S. typically lead to landscapes
 dominated by mature forest, with bird com-
 munities dominated by forest-interior spe-
 cies.  The abundance  and  diversity of
 disturbance-sensitive  bird species are af-
 fected by anthropogenic forest disturbance
 and indicate the ecological health of the
 local bird community.  Bird communities of
 undisturbed landscapes have high biologi-
 cal diversity and are dominated  by spe-
 cies that are vulnerable to population de-
 clines. Because the distribution patterns
 of most bird species are strongly affected
by vegetation  structure, habitat measure-
 ments can be  used to predict characteris-
tics of the local bird community such as
dominance by disturbance-sensitive spe-
cies.
  The wildlife  habitat indicator directly re-
lates to ecological integrity. The rationale
 Table 9. Status of Vegetation Structure
         Indicator After First Year of the SE
         DEMO
 Indicator Development Criteria
Status
 Unambiguously Interpretable         High
   Conceptual Model               High
   Indices                        High
   Nominal/Subnominal Threshold    Fair
 Index-Period Stability               Good
 High Signal-to-Noise Ratio          Fair
 Regional Responsiveness           High
 Simple Quantification               High
 Low Environmental Impact          Good
 for this approach is based on the fact that
 the distribution of most bird  species is
 strongly affected by the structure and spe-
 cies  composition of vegetation. Distur-
 bance  can therefore significantly alter a
 bird community. The absence of an  im-
 portant vegetation feature can often ren-
 der habitat unsuitable for a  species, and
 vegetation variables often account for more
 than 75% of the variance in spejcies' abun-
 dances across  sites. Using data from the
 1992 SE DEMO project,  an index of  forest
 bird community health has been developed
 that can be calculated by comparing local
 population levels of disturbance-sensitive and
 disturbance-tolerant bird species. A multiple
 regression model was developed to pre-
 dict the value of this index from informa-
 tion about local vegetation structure. The
 predicted values derived from the regres-
 sion model are used as the wildlife habitat
 indicator.  Using the wildlife habitat index
 the following assessment questions can
 be addressed:
   LWhat  proportion of the region  has
    subnominal breeding  bird assem-
    blages that are related to changes in
    vegetation?
   2. What is the spatial distribution of these
    subnominal areas?
   Table 10 summarizes the  status of the
 wildlife  habitat  indicator with respect to
the six indicator development criteria.
Thresholds for the index need to be ex-
 amined. Index-period variability in the bird
community index and wildlife habitat indi-
cator does  not  appear to be significant.
 However, more  data are needed to  thor-
oughly address  index-period  stability and
high signal-to-noise ratio criteria. The cu-
mulative distribution function  for the  wild-
life habitat indicator suggests that a larger
sample size is  needed to  address the
regional responsiveness criterion. The in-
dicator meets most of the remaining crite-
ria.
 Photosynthetically Active
 Radiation
   Measurements  of solar radiation inter-
 cepted by the forest canopy have proven
 fundamental to interpreting plant commu-
 nity productivity and function. Photosyn-
 thetically active radiation (PAR), the quan-
 tity of light between the 400-700 nm wave-
 lengths of the spectrum, is the part of the
 spectrum plants  use for photosynthesis.
 The percentage of PAR transmitted by a
 plant canopy can be  estimated by the
 ratio of PAR under the canopy to ambient
 incoming PAR. This  ratio is related to
 canopy  condition  and  canopy leaf area
 and can be combined  with growth mea-
 surements to estimate growth efficiency,
 an important indicator of forest health. PAR
 can also be combined with other indica-
 tors such as mensuration, vegetation struc-
 ture, foliar chemistry, crown assessment,
 damage, and/or remote-sensing data to
 assess canopy condition with  multivariate
 indicators.
   The PAR indicator addresses the envi-
 ronmental value of ecological integrity for
 the FHM program. Measurements of solar
 radiation  intercepted  by the  canopy are
 fundamental to interpreting the productiv-
 ity and function of plant communities and
 can be used to assess the effects of stres-
 sors. Using  PAR  measurements to esti-
 mate leaf area, the following assessment
 questions can be addressed:
   1. What is the status of forest canopy (in
    terms of leaf area) over the region?
   2. How is leaf area changing over time
    for the region?
   3. What is the growth efficiency (i.e., bio-
    mass productivity per unit of solar ra-
    diation) of forested ecosystems over
    the region?
  4. How is growth  efficiency changing over
    time for the region?
  This indicator needs additional research on
analyzing the index formula and developing
thresholds (unambiguously interpretable), as
well as evaluating post-stratification procedures
          Table 10. Status of Wildlife Habitat Indicator
                   After First Year of the SE DEMO
          Indicator Development Criteria
                                Status
          Unambiguously Interpretable        Good
            Conceptual Model               High
            Indices                         High
            Nominal/Subnominal Threshold     Fair
          Index-Period Stability               Good
          High Signal-to-Noise Ratio          Low
          Regional Responsiveness           High
          Simple Quantification               High
          Low Environmental Impact          High

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(regional  responsiveness). Off-frame data
and  data from the  QA Reference  Plot
Study will be used to evaluate index-period
variability. The off-frame data should pro-
vide useful variance components for evalu-
ating the criterion  of high signal-to-noise
ratio. Based on preliminary analyses, data
from the off-frame research should  indi-
cate that the PAR-derived leaf area index
can  meet the statistical criteria. The indi-
cator satisfactorily meets the low environ-
mental impact and simple quantification
criteria. Table 11  shows the status of the
PAR indicator with respect to the six crite-
ria.

Conclusions
  The FHM program has successfully de-
ployed a full suite of indicators in the south-
eastern  U.S. loblolly/shortleaf pine  eco-
system during a  two-year demonstration
study. This interim report serves to initiate
the indicator evaluation process and ad-
dresses  the  first objective of the study.
Six  criteria have been adopted by FHM
and EMAP for indicator evaluation. The
FHM program has developed an objective
procedure for determining the status  of
indicators with respect to these six crite-
ria.  After examination  of data  collected
during the first  year of the  SE DEMO,
several shortcomings were revealed that
necessitated the  implementation  of two
additional companion studies, the QA Ref-
erence Plot and Georgia Remeasurement
Table 11.  Status of PAR Indicator After First
         Year of the SE DEMO
Indicator Development Criteria
                               Status
Unambiguously Interpretable        Good
   Conceptual Model              High
   Indices                       Fair
   Nominal/Subnominal Threshold   Low
Index-Period Stability              Good
High Signal-to-Noise Ratio          Low
Regional Responsiveness          Good
Simple Quantification              High
Low Environmental Impact          High
Studies. These two studies will provide valu-
able  information for  addressing  the
index-period stability and high signal-to-noise
ratio criteria. The data from these two stud-
ies, combined with the second year's data
from the SE DEMO, will be, used to evalu-
ate the status  of each indicator.  These
findings will be reported in the SE DEMO
Final  Report. In  the final report  recom-
mendations will  be  made as  to  which
indicator(s), if any, are ready for national
implementation,  i.e., core status.  A sec-
ond report, envisioned to be  similar to
FHM's Annual Statistical Summaries, will
be prepared. This report will use as many
of the SE  DEMO indicators as practical,
to address the second objective of the SE
DEMO study.
   The information in  the full report was
funded  in part by the  U.S. Environmental
Protection  Agency under Interagency
Agreement No. DW12935103-01 with the
USDA Forest Service, Interagency Agree-
ment No. DW14935509-01 with the USDI
Bureau  of Land Management, and Con-
tract No. 68-CO-0049 with Lockheed En-
gineering Sciences and Technologies.
  The full report represents data from one
year of field operations of the EMAP. Be-
cause the probability-based scientific de-
sign used by EMAP necessitates multiple
years of sampling, there is uncertainty as-
sociated with these data. This uncertainty
will decrease as the full power of the ap-
proach  is  realized. Similarly,  temporal
changes and trends cannot be reported,
as these require multiple years of obser-
vation.  Please note that the  full  report
contains data from demonstration  studies
in one geographic region. Appropriate pre-
cautions should be exercised when using
this  information for policy,  regulatory, or
legislative purposes.
                                                                    •frV.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: IW4 - 5MHWV8017I

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TimothyE. Lewis (USDI Bureau of Land Management, Research Triangle Park, NC)
  and Barbara L.  Conkling (North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC) are
  presently located at the Southeastern Forest Experiment Station, Research
  Triangle Park, NC 27709.
Samuel A. Alexander is the EPA Project Officer (see below).
The complete report, entitled "Forest Health Monitoring: Southeast Loblolly/Short-
  leaf Pine Demonstration Interim Report," (Order No. PB94-152386; Cost: $44.50,
  subject to change) will be available only from:
        National Technical Information Service
        5285 Port Royal Road
        Springfield, VA 22161
        Telephone: 703-487-4650
The EPA Project Officer can be contacted at:
        Forest Health Monitoring National Office
        Forestry Sciences Laboratory
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
        Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
United States
Environmental Protection Agency
Center for Environmental Research Information
Cincinnati, OH 45268

Official Business
Penalty for Private Use $300
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