Ref.  No.  [OMCEESJCBL 94-204
                        Upper  Mississippi  River   Basin
                  Natural   Resource   Accounting   Project

                           Discussion  Paper #  1
                                October 7,1994
 Exhibit 1
 Exhibit 2-
 Exhibit 3
 Exhibit 4
 Exhibit 5
 Exhibit 6
                  REGIONAL  ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS-
             ESTIMATION  OF SECTOR CONTRIBUTIONS
                   TO CURRENT ECONOMIC INCOME

                                  Prepared  by

                            DENNIS  M.  KING, Ph.D.

                            Senior Research  Scientist
                             University of  Maryland
                  Center  for  Environmental and  Estuarine  Studies
                        Chesapeake  Biological  Laboratory
                          Solomons,  Maryland, 20688


                                CONTENTS
Background  and Discussion
Map  of Study Area
List of Study Sectors and  Regions
Definitions of  Terms
Procedure  for  Estimating   Current Economic  Income
Preliminary Estimate's of Income by  Sector/ by Region
Calculation of Income  bv  Sector/ fry Region
Background
TT      --       deveI°PinS  economic . and .natural  resource  accounts   for  the
Upper  Mississippi  River  Basin (UMRB) that will  help  facilitate  sustainable
wa ershed  management. Most  of the  important natural resource  policy issues  n
 his  watershed  involve agriculture, and flood  control and  navigation structures
that  support  agriculture.  We  are  focusing   our  initial  effort  therefore,  on
       10       ^      -resource accounts   related  to  agricultural  sectors   in  the
driven       iS _\.'>l?ottom-uP" °r data-driven project,  not a- "top-down" or -concept
driven  project. This means  that we  are  taring' to -ase  available data to  establish
how  specific agricultural activities  contribute  to  the  economic  welfare of  the
?hrnn"h ffnerat10"  ^trent   income)   and   how  they  are   linked-primarilv
n/mr.1             S   ImentS'  nutrients'  and  contaminants-with  changes  in
natural  resource  accounts  that  may  adversely  affect  the  economic welfare  of
                    EPA  230-R-94-906

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  current  and  future  generations. We  are developing  our  analyses  for  the  base
  year  1991, the  most recent  year, for which  complete regional  economic  statistics
  anaot/itTil^lA
  are  available.

        The  study area  and  the sub-areas  we  have  selected for detailed  analysis
  are  displayed  in  Exhibit  1.  The  agricultural  sectors  (roughly  4-digit  Standard
  Industrial  Classification  (SIC)  categories)  for  which   we  are  developing  our
  empirical  analysis,  and  the   contribution  of  each  of  them  to   1991  regional
  economic production  are  displayed in Exhibit  2.


  Genera)   Approach

        We are  working  on  four  separate,  but  interrelated tasks.  One,  we are
 developing   conventional  economic  accounts    for  each  of  the  26  agricultural
 sectors  in  each  of  the  5 study  areas, and  we  are using  them to  estimate each
 sector's  contribution  to  regional  and  national  economic  income.  Two,  we are
 developing  a  taxonomy of  natural  resource  accounts,  known  in  accounting
 jargon   as  a   "chart  of natural resource  accounts"  for  the  upper  and  lower
 Mississippi  River  Basin  and  for   the  "Rest  of  the  World." Three,  we  are
 developing  sets  of  bio-physical   flow  accounts  associated  with  sediments,
 nutrients,  and  contaminants   and   using  them  to   illustrate  how  production
 activity  by   each  agricultural  sector  within  the   UMRB  can  directly  and
 indirectly affect  natural resource  accounts   inside  and outside the  UMRB.  And
 fpJIL. we are  attempting  to  show how changes  in  natural  resource   accounts are
 likely  to affect  overall  economic  wealth  (future   inc.ome  earning  capacity)  and
 prospects for  sustainable  watershed  management.

       This   discussio/n   paper  deals  only   with   the  first  task—estimating
 agricultural  sector  contributions to  current  economic income.  It  describes why
 we  believe   it  is  important  to measure  each  sector's  "real" contribution  to
 economic income,  and  why we believe  this  measurement  requires  accounting
 for  direct  and  indirect  transfer  'payments   and  costs  associated  with  other
 dedicated public  investments   (public  costs)  that  support  specific  agricultural
 sectors.   This   paper  also   presents  our  preliminary  estimates  of   the   "real"
 economic income generated  by  each  agricultural  sector  in  the  UMRB.

                            * *         •           '                    '
 The  Basis for  the  Analysis

 Economic  Income  :
 "The  maximum  amount that  can be spent on  consumption in  one period  without
 reducing  real  consumption  expenditures in future  periods  ."  (Hicks,   1946)

       THe  above  definition  of  economic  income,  generally  accepted  and  known
 among f economists  as  "Hicksian  income," is based  on  the concept  that economic
 wealth  be the  same  at  the  beginning  and end  of  the consumption  period. This
concept   of  income   provides  the  foundation  for  mos.t  regional   and  national
income  accounting systems,  and is  the one  that logical individuals,  households,
and   businesses   use  to  determine  if  their   economic   wellrbeing   is   being
maintained,  improving,  or  deteriorating.

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 ,        On  a broader scale,  this  definition of  economic  income  is  also consistent
  with  the   generally  accepted  definition  of  sustainable  development- '"meeting
  the  needs  of  the  present   without   compromising   the   ability 'of  future
  generations  to  meet their  own  needs" (Brundtland  Commission,   198.4)  and  with
  the  Clinton  administration's  interpretation   of  what  sustainable   development
  requires:   that, the present  generation  must  leave future  generations  with  the
  wherewithal-the  social  capital,'  consisting  of  human,  natural,  and  physical
  (man-made   capital -  to create  our  kind of life or  a life of at least  equal quality
  to  ours" (Economic  Report of the President,  1994).

        In  our  study  we   are   using the  current  income  generated  by  each
  agricultural  sector—the  value  of what  it  produces less  the  value  of what  is  uses
-  up   in   production-—as  a  first   approximation  of  its  contribution  to  economic
  welfare.  Note that the  current  economic ijicjung.  generated  by  a  sector can  be
  used  to  satisfy   current  demand  (consumption)  or  .to   increase  wealth
  investment),  or  both.  Sectors   that  contribute  significantly  to   current  income,
  therefore,   can   improve   economic  welfare  for  bath   current  and   future
  generations.  The  net  contribution  to  the  welfare   of  future   generations
  (increases   in  wealth)  depends  primarily  on  whether   investments  of  current
  income  in   man-made   capital   (e.g., economic  infrastructure)  or  in   natural
  capita  (e.g.,  environmental restoration) can  in 'some sense  offset  the losses  in
-natural  capital  caused  by  the  activity that  generated  the  current  income.  Note
 also that investments  in  man-made or other  forms of  capital  by  each sector  are
 limited  by  the  amount  of current income that sector generates.

        For  purposes of  our initial analysis we assume that sectors  that  generate
 current   income  can  contribute  to   future economic  welfare, and  sectors  that
 generally  lose  money (generate   negative  income)  cannot  .  Sectors  in the latter
 category  are  "sustainable,"  only   if society  is  willing to  spend  income and  use
 wealth generated  elsewhere in  the economy,  e.g.,  by  spending  tax  revenues or
 increasing   the  federal   debt,  to  keep  them  going.  There   are  reasons   why
 continuously  subsidizing  an economic  sector that is not  otherwise  "sustainable"
 may  make  sense  (e.g.,  public . health,  national  food  security,  environmental
 quality).  For our  analysis,  however,  the  important issue is  whether a  sector  has
 the  capacity to indefinitely maintain  existing  levels  of economic  income.  Since
 income   from   direct  and  indirect  transfer  payments   to  households   and
 businesses in  the  region  is  not  income  "earned"  from  regional  production,  we
 nave  eliminated   them  in   our   calculation   of  regional  economic  income.  In
 making  this   adjustment  we make no judgments  about whether federal  spending
 on   farm  subsidies  or  federal   investments   in  Hood  protection  or navigation
 structures in  the  UMRB  are good or. bad  for the  country.  Our  conclusion  is only
 that  with  the . adjustments  regional  income  accounts   are   more   useful  for
 purposes  of  identifying  patterns  of  regional  development  that  are  sustainable.,


Natural  Resource  Accounting  and Sustainabilftv

      .Conventional   methods  of national  and   corporate  income   accounting
track  changes  in  physical  capital  (e.g.,   plants  and  equipment)  through
depreciation  and inventory accounts to assure that the value of physical  wealth
is kept  constant  when calculating, current  economic income.   Natural  resource
accounting   is  being  developed  primarily  as, a  method  of  supplementing  or
adjusting  conventional  measures  of  current . economic  income  to   account  for

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similar  depreciation  of  natural  wealth ...(  e.g.,  fish,'  timber,  wettands,  minerals.
air  and  water  quality,  biodiversity). One  of  the  driving  forces  behind  "green
accounting"  is  the  fact  that economic  income  associated  with  activities  that •
destroy  or  degrade  natural  capital  (adversely  affect  natural  resource accounts)
reduce wealth  and therefore  may not represent  "real"  income  at 'all.

       Efforts   are  underway  at  the  Department  of  Commerce's   Bureau  of
Economic   Analysis   (BEA)   and  elsewhere  to   "green"  the  national  income
accounts  for the  U.S.. The purpose  of  our study, however,  is  different; it  is  to
investigate  ' regional  natural   resource   accounting  as  a  tool for   sustainable
watershed  management.  One  way  to  do  this  is  to  examine  whether regional
economic   sectors  appear to  be  generating  enough current  income  to pay  for
investments  in   man-made  capital  (e.g.,  new  equipment or   roads)  or human
capital  (e.g.,  schools)  or natural  capital  (e.g.,  environmental  restoration)  that
might somehow  offset  the losses  of natural  capital they are causing.

       There  are  many  unresolved  questions  about  whether  investments  in
man-made  capital  can  ever   substitute  for the  loss  of  some  forms  of natural
capital,  and  whether  some  forms of  natural capital can  be  restored  or replaced
with  any  level  of investment.  However,  .these  are  second-order  questions  that
are  not important  in  this  part  of our study.  What is important is  the  fact that
each  sector's  potential  to invest in   offsetting forms of wealth  is  limited by the
income  that it   generates.         ,

       A  commitment  to  "strong  sustainafaility" is  generally  interpreted  to  mean
that  man-made  capital  cannot be  substituted  for  natural  capital;  each  sector  is
expected  to  stop destroying  or degrading natural  capital.  A  commitment  to
"weak sustainability"  allows  some  substitution,  but implicitly  requires  that  each
sector generate  enough  current  income  to .invest in  forms  of  wealth  that  at
least  offset the  adverse  impacts  on  natural capital. The  goal  of this part  of the
project   is  to   develop   regional   economic  accounts  that  allow   testing  the
necessary  conditions  for  "weak  sustainability"  at  the  watershed level.


Regional  vs.  National Income  Accounting

       Agricultural sectors in  the  UMRB actually  provide  two types  of  income  to
regional  households:     income  earned  through  farming, and  also  direct and
indirect  income  transfers received  through  farm subsidies  and  other federal
income  support  and  cost-sharing  programs.   From  a   regional   accounting
posture  these   direct  and  indirect  income transfers   from   outside  the  region
represent   "real"  income  because   they  do  increase   the  amount  "that can  be
spent  on   consumption   in   one  period  .without  reducing   real   consumption
expenditures  in  future  • periods."    However,  from   a national   perspective  the
purpose'  of  measuring  income  at  the  regional  or  sector  level   should  be  to
determine  which  sectors  and  which regions generate income  and  wealth,  not to
determine  how  Congress  and  federal  agencies  choose .to  redistribute  the income
and  wealth that  the  government receives  as  tax  revenues.  Again,  the issue   is
not  whether  federal  spending decisions  are  good  or  bad  for  the  country, but
whether  methods of  accounting  for regional  economic income can  be  improved
to  more  clearly  identify patterns  of  regional  development  that  are  sustainable.
For  such  purposes  income   needs   to   be identified  with  the  region and  the

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                                 •  °°'
                                            -
=
                      r
 watershed  management in  the  UMRB.
                                                               . with   sustainable
                              LIST  OF EXHIBITS
      -
navigation  sctures in
have  M  estimates  of
                                 aches of ^T""^-^ •' n°Od  Conlrp1'  ai?d
                                       °
     Exhibit   1   A  map of  the study area showing  the  watershed  .
                   and flood plain  regions  selected for  detailed analysis.

     Exhibit  2   The agricultural  sectors used  in  the-  analysis  and
                   1991  gross  sales for each of  them  originating in the
          .         study area,  the watershed,  and the  three flood plain
                   areas .

     Exhibit  3   Definitions of  the terms, we are using to describe
                   our  sector-level  income  estimating  procedure.

     Exhibit  4  Description  and  illustration  of the  income  estimating
                  procedure.                      :                    e

    •Exhibit   5  Preliminary  estimates of  net economic  income for
                  each sector  in each, region.

     Exhibit   6  Empirical  backup for Exhibit 5; shows  the calculations
                  used to  estimate  net  economic  income for each  sector

     Exhibit   7   A  proposed  "double  dividend"  criteria  for  assessing
                  sustamability. This; will,  be 'used at a later stage of the
    ...-        -    project  to  link regional income  accounts  with" natural  •
                  resource accounts, and  with indicators  of ;sustainabilitv

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   . Upper Mississippi Study Area
Watershed, Ropdplain, and Sub-Areas
                           Reach A
                           330 Miles
                   (from Pool #1 to Pool #13)
                             Reach B
                            320 Miles
                    (from Pool #13 to Pool #26)
                        Reach C
                       200 Miles
                    (below Pool  #26)

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                                      UFFE3 VCSSSSFPt HIVE5! (U M R)  '
                                    NATURALflESOURCS ACCOUNTING STUDY
                                                  EXHBIT2 •
                                           VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
                                              ($ masons; 1991)
INDUSTRIAL SECTORS (a)
Seal . Sector
» Title
ArtBin n TI IOAI •
•
t
p~
10
1 1
^M«
12
18
'21
22 _
23
26
27
I
29
30
32 |\
34 l<
35 C
1
1 	 b
<
(
Dairy Fa/m Products
Poultry And Eqgs
Rancfi Fed Cattle
iRanas Fad Cattle
_ Came Feedlots
iSheeo. Lamas. & Goats
[Hogs. Pias~And Swine
Other Meat Animal Prod.
. Misc. Livestock
Cotton
iFbod Grains
1 Feed Grains
Vegetables
Sugar Crocs
Oil Beanntj Crow
Forest Products
Greenhouse & Nursery
Ao... Forestrv. Fishery
Landscape & Hon. Serv.
TOTAL AGRICULTURE
NON- AGRICULTURAL -
Construction
Manufacturing
iVhole & Retail Trade
Services
Bovemmem
"OTAL NON-AGRICULTURE
STAL ALL SECTORS
a) Sectors based on. Stmdai
B) Study Ana: 5 stale area
Study .
Area
5.914. 19
1.113.56!
3.458.8;
412.044
2.638.85
569. T
2.921.50
14.69
182.59
181.76
829.55
7.728.95
647.42
25.11
14.90
148.38
14.96
2.044.34'
106.716
39.136
4.969.742
50.161
950.329
53.994
1. 108.581
2.402.20'
39.252.308
9.71 3.41 S
82.672.020
394.953.40C
89.563.4SO
121.484.600
136.339.500
186.540.500
64.651.910
2.230.734
1.088.149.529
1,127.401.837
tJ Industrial Oassif
including, iranois. Ic
.-asoQ
UMR
. MI JJjj52fiyd_
1 4.618.K
> 748.ia,
__ 1276.91
226.141
2.010.34
451.6S3
2.361.044
_ • 0.00
142.823
5.33
409.52S
6.048.604
433.18
5.883
8.38
102.259
0.779
1.719.173
26.64!
27.042
3.487.06J
48.83!
858.334
2.097.262
28.405.182
7.248.841
69.672.910
332.071.000
72.837.810
104.623.700
119.922.100
180.812.900
54.833.460
1.913.928
923.536.253
952.941.435
taaton (SIC) Sv*
RAPHlCREGia
_ Total
55.6f
5.95:
55.3£
4.85
50.50
	 6.54
63.51
- 0.00
,1.70
1.56:
28.29
140.235
8.32
0.275
0.130
1 7.100
I , O.OS6J
18.241
0.000
0.24I
115.46;
0.12-
0.687
18.32!
78.725
680.232
400.752
2.561.894
13.919.146
2.523.391
3.741.417
3.823.312
5.443.073
1.655.598
65.743
34.134.326
34.814.559
•m as modified
flsiauri' ana vis
* (b) •
UMR
Reach A
30.60!
r.s:
8.92
1.12
8.36
1.01-
8.35:
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.171
15.08
0.000
0.130
0.525
O.OOI
	 5.626
0.000
0.03'
2.1N
0.12'
0.14!
2.514
8.1 3£
98.046
5.362
307.466
384.348
596.459
829.272
9.984
4.535.458
4.633.503
by the USOA II
Reach B
>l 8.57:
1.82'
26.21 (
2.347
28.486
"4.14'
37.452
O.OOC
0.43E
0.000
6.48.
O.OOC
0.04!
49.782
O.OOC
0.34:
6.09C
13.99C
196.048
445.325
405.783
594.450
855.074
10.771
6.145.800
6.416.646
UIPLAN System
Reach C
3l 18.5061
L_ 	 2^911
5 20.244
' 1.383
13.654
• 1.396
I -19.712
I ' - 0.000
I. 0.930
! 1.563
21.639
0.056
0.169
' 83.569
0.000
0.201
7.725
. 56.597
199.342
1.809.103
1.733.261
2.632.404
3.758.727
44.988
23.453.068
23.764.409
      ^r** ,?***•* *««"«»• Stuoy Am. mat d«n irto trtbutariM of the Ml»iss,ppi River.
      noedpWn:  Counties adjacent to the UMR mat am *te»d by a 100 yur flood evenL
    Reach A: From MirmeapoUs. MN to OantfPool * 13  (330 mder motay undtvetoped)
                           * " t0 °alM>00' * "  (32° ««« party d*ve*pp«d in. agriculture).
                         1 * 26 l° Caira' """^  (20° "^
  m«       .UP,   B
forest Service. IMPLAN Regional Economic Modeling System.

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                                       EXHIBIT  3

                               DEFINITIONS OF  TERMS

 (1)  GROSS  ANNUAL  RECEIPTS   Total revenues  received  from all sources  including
 sales  of products and  services,  rents,  royalties and  other  property income, and  direct
 transfer  payments    from the  federal government.

 (2)  DIRECT  TRANSFER  PAYMENTS    Transfers of income from taxpayers inside  or
 outside  the  region to this  sector. This  excludes  payments  that reflect the fair  market
 value  of goods  or services received,  e.g.,  sales to  the  federal government, and includes
 payments  associated  with  direct farm  subsidies  and  other  income  support programs.
 (Source:  USDA  Producer Subsidy Equivalency  (PSE)  Study,  1993)

 (3) VALUE  OF  GOODS  SOLD   The market value of goods and services  produced and
 sold. (Row (1) less Row  (2))

 (4) COST OF GOODS USED    Purchases from other sectors of intermediate goods  and
 services  used  in production.

 (5) GROSS  VALUE  ADDED   The  difference  between the VALUE OF GOODS SOLD and the
 VALUE OF  GOODS  USED  (Row (3) less Row  (4)). Includes payments to households in  the
 form  of employee   compensation,  proprietary  and  other  property  income, indirect
 business  taxes,  and   capital  depreciation  allowances.

 (6) CAPITAL  DEPRECIATION     Spending to  restore or replace  used plant  and
 equipment                                         .                     '         •

 (7) ADDITIONS  TO  INVENTORY   Net change  in the value of goods  produced  or
 purchased, but not used  or sold.

 (8) NET  VALUE ADDED . (Unadjusted)   Gross Value  Addled  ksi Capital Depreciation
 plus Additions to Inventory. (Row (5) less  Row (6V plus Row (7))

 (9) INDIRECT  TRANSFER PAYMENTS     Dollar value of federal  assistance provided
 in the  form  of  commodity  loans, land  improvements, farm  storage assistance  and the
 provision of other goods and  services used'to produce, distribute  or market products,
 excluding  annual federal   spending  to  operated  and  maintain  river  transportation  and
 flood  protection  structures.
 (Source:  USDA  Producer Subsidy  Equivalency  (PSE) Study,  1993)

 (10)  PRORATED ANNUALIZED  PUBLIC   COSTS     Average annual non reimbursed
public  expenditures   necessary  to operate,  maintain,  and restore  navigation and  flood
control  structures (locks, • dams, reservoirs, and levies)  in  order to protect  agricultural
property  and facilitate flows. of  agricultural   inputs and products.

(11)  NET  VALUE   ADDED  (Adjusted)  Net Value Added  (Unadjusted)  (Line   8)  minus
Indirect  Transfer  Payments  (Line  9) and  other  Public  Costs  (Line  10).  NOTE:  This
intermediate  measure of the  net  economic   income  generated  by  a sector  does not
reflect  environmental  costs  and  benefits  or  .changes  in natural  capital

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-------
                UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER (U M R)
              NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY
                         EXHIBfTS
ADJUSTED ANNUAL NET VALUE ADDED (1991) BY AGRICULTURAL SECTOR
     (Not Adjusted for Public Investments in Navigation/Flood Protection)
                          ($ millions)
INDUSTRIAL SECTORS
Sect
#

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27

Sector
Title
AGRICULTURAL:
Dairy Farm Products
Poultry And Eggs
Ranch Fed Cattle
Range Fed Cattle
Cattle Feedlots
Sheeo. Lambs. And Goats
Hogs. Pigs, And Swine
Other Meat Animal Prod.
Miscellaneous Livestock
Cotton
Food Grains
Feed Grains
Hay And Pasture
Grass Seeds
Tobacco
Fruits
Tree Nuts
Vegetables
Sugar Crops
Miscellaneous Crops
Oil Bearing Crops
Forest Products
Greenhouse And Nursery
Forestry Products
Commercial Fishing
Agriculture. Forest, Rsh.
Landscaoe And Hort. Serv
TOTAL AGRICULTURE
GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS
Study
Area

209.539
92.773
897.752
52.559
685.367
244.702
1,268.777
6.668
26.072
10.585
158.651
977.949
235.491
6.354
1.324
12.728
0.650
198.127
31.520
12.663
458.913
8.339,
347.905
47.862
23.798
423.518
1,185.441
7,626.024
U.M.R .
Watershed

197.999
77.076
695.936
42.761
545.925
202.153
1,078.227
0.000
21.035
0.248
69.937
804.045
179.701
1.549
1 .034
9.629
0.027
168.547
• 6.578
8.661
362.856
8.102
286.864
34.221
18.603
328.769
1,047.023
6,197.506
U M R Roodplain
Total

1.071
0.389
11.219
0.610
9. 009
2.245
21.711
. 0.000
0.184
0.073
3.576
12.400
2.456
0.071
0.017
.0.585
0.002
1.091
0.000
0.060
8.504
0.028
3.294
. 0.624
0.311
5.687
37.309
122.526
Reach A

1.294
0.162
3.232
0.257
' 2.522
0.484
3.270
0.000
0,057
0.000
0.038
2.285
. 0.900
0.000
0.017
' 0.069
0.000
0.584
0.000
0.010
0.284
0.028
0.685
0.114
0.060
0.854
3.891
21.095
Reach B

-0.009
0.120
5.-111
0.259
4.'863
1.413
12.465
0.000
0.045
, 0.000
0.667
5.902
0.626
0.011
0.000
0.086
0.000
0.106
0.000
0.013
3.225
0.000
2.048
0.201
0.158
2.321
6.533
46.163
Reach C

-0.213
•0.107
2.876
0.094
1.624
. 0.349
5.976
0.000
0.082
0.073
2.871
4.214
0.930
0.060
0.000
0.431
0.002
0.400
0.000
0.037
4.995
0.000
0.561
. 0.310
0.093
2.512
26.885
55.268

-------
                                              UPPER MISSESPP! HIVEH (UMR)
                                            NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY
                                                  ,   EXHHT6  5ansfaf Pavments
   lass Annuatead Fedafa) Costa
 NET VALUE ADHPn
                                                   RANGE FED CATTLE
         ANNUAL RECSFTS
      less Direct Transfer Payments
                                            0.000
                                          412.044
                                          285.482
                                          126.562
                                           . 0.000
                                            0.000
VALUE OF GOOOS SOLD
                                                      226.149
                                                      142.771
                                                       83.378
                                                        0.000
   less Cost of Goods Sold
GROSS VALUE APPEn
    jus Additions to Inventory
:8j NET VALUE Aonpn
                                          126.562
                                           74.003
                                            0.000
                                           52.559!
   lass Indirect Transfer
  lass Annualizad Federal Costs
NET VALUE ADDED fadiuaadl

-------
                                             UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVEH (U M R)
                                           ^TURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY

                                             ,  .     EXHIBITS  3ass Caoitai Denreaatlnn
       (US Additions to Invantpni
   NET VALUE ADDED
                                                                        0.000
                                                                       25.6'??
                                                                        4.179
                                                                        0.000
                                                                       21.711
          Indirect Transfar Pavm«nts
.1» NET VALUE AOPFn
                                      Sector 08   OTHER MEAT ANIMAL PRODUCTS
1) GROSS ANNUAL RECEIPTS
                                                                       O.OCIO
                                                                       O.QCio
                                                                       o.ocio
                                                                       o.ocio
                                                                       0.000
                                                                       0.00^
                                                                       0.000
                                                                       0.000
     Uss Annualizaa Fadaral Costs

-------
                                          UPPER MISSISSPPl RIVE?) 
- Area
836.026
6.471
829.556
	 651.977
177.581
0.513
0.000
177:067
18.416
0.000
158.851
U MR
412.719
3.194
409.525
	 330.243
79.282
0.253
	 0.000
79.029
9:091
0.000
69.937
Tota ' "
28.520
0.221
28.299
, 4.221
0.017
, 4.204
0.628
0.000
• 3.576
U M R F
. 0.178
0.001
0.178
0.042
0.000
0.042
0.004
0.000
0.038
6.534
0.051
6.464
0.814
0.004
O.B11
0.144
0.000
o:ee7
21.808
0.169
21.839
3.365
0.013
3.352
0.480
0.000
'. 2.871
                                    Sector 12 ,  FEED GRAINS

(2) less Direct Transfer Payments
(5) GROSS VALUE ADDED
(8) NET VALUE ADDED
(10) less Annuaiized Feaerai Costs

Study
. 7.929.910
	 200.953
7.726.957
6.226.409
L 	 1_.;S02.S48
50.605
	 	 1 .549.392
571 .943
	 0.000
977.949

U M R
6.205.868
	 157.264
6.048.604
4.831.148
1.217.456
' 36.736
1.251.642
• 447.597
	 0.000
304.045
Total ~~~
143.881
117.831
0.431
10.377
12.400
U M H Ftoodolain
15.475 72.1141 - 56.292
• 15.0831 70.2861 54.8651
11.7151 59:4371 48.680i
0.0061 0.0271 0.023
• 0.0391 0.2811 0.111
. '1.116 i 5.2011 4.0601
2.2851 .-- S.902I " ' 4.2T4

-------
            UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER (U Uf>
          NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNnNG STUDY
                  EXHIBTT6   SS<**** t 3 '  NET VALUE ADDED (adfustsdl
Study
.Area
25.117
0.000
25.117
18.783
6.354
0.000
0.000
6.354
0.000
0.000
6.3S4
U M R
Watershed
5.883
0.000
• 5.883
4.334
1.549
0.000
0.000
1.549
0.000
0.000
1.549
U M,R Ftoodolain
Total
0.27«i
O.OOCI
0.275
0.203
• 0.071
0.000
O.OOCI
0.071
O.OOCI
O.OOCI
0.071
Reach A
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
• o.ooo
0.000
0.000

0.052
0.000
0.052
0.041
0.011
0.000
0.000
0.011
0.000
0.000
0.011

0.223
0.000
0.223
0.163
0.060
0.000
0.000
0.060
0.000
0.000
0.060
         Sector 15    TOBACCO

(1) GROSS ANNUAL RECEIPTS
(21 less Direct Transfer Payments
(3) VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
(4) toss Cost of Goods Sold
(5) GROSS VALUE ADDED
(61 less Caoitai Deoreaation
(71 olus Additions to Inventory
(81 NET VALUE ADDED
(9) less Indirect Transfer Payments
(101 less Annuitized Federal Costs
(111 NET VALUE ADDED fadhotadl
Study
Area
14.970
0.068
14.902
. '13.418
1.485
0.000
0.032
1.517
0.193
0.000
1.324
• U M R
Watershed
4.418
0.038
8.380
7.251
1.T29
0.000
0.013
1.148
0.109
0.000
1.034
U M R Ftoodplain
Total
0.131
0.001
0.130
0.112:
0.0 18
0.000
0.000
0.019'
o.oos:
0.000
0.017

0.131
0.001
0.130
. 0.112
0.018
0.000
0.000
0.019
0.002
0.000
0.017
Reach B
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Reach C
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
• o.ooo
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
        Sector 16 ,   FRUITS
.
(1) GROSS ANNUAL RECEIPTS
(21 less Direct Transfer Payments
(31 VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
(41 (ess Cost of Goods Sold
(51 GROSS VALUE ADDED
(61 less Caoitai Deoreaation
(7) olus Additions to Inventory
(81 NET VALUE ADDED
(91 tess Indirect Transfer Payments
(101 less Annuahzed Federal Costs
(111 NET VALUE ADDED fadiustedl
Study
Area
150.650
2.261
148.389
129.943
18.446
0.000
0.722
19.168
U M R
Watershed
103.817
1.556
102.259
88.605
13.653
0.000
0.414
14.067
6.440I 4.438
O.OOOl 0.000
12.7281 9.629
U M R Ftoodolam
Total
7.208-
0.1 Off
7. 1 0Ol
8.293
0.807
O.OOOl
o.oae
0.893
, 0.308
O.OOD
0.585

0.533
0.008
0.525
0.437
0.088
0.000
0.003
0.091
0.023
0.000
0.069
Reach B
1.348
0.020
1 .328
1.193
0/135
0.000
0.009
0.144
0.058
0.000
0.086
Reach C
5.326
0.080
5.246
4.662
0.584
0.000
0.074
0.658
0.228
0.000
0.431

-------
                                             UPPER MISSES*1?! RIVER (U M R)
                                           NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY
                                                   EXHBT6
                                SECTOR COWTWBUTIONTO.RaaONALECONOMK: INCOME (Smiiions)

                                         Sector 17   TBEENUTS.
                                                                                     M fl'  Ftaodolain
      GROSS ANNUAL RECSFTS
         jess Direct Transfer Payments
      VALUE OF GOODS SOU
        lass Cost of Gooas Sold
      GROSS VALUE ADDED
        lass Capital Daofaeiatinr
          lus Additions to Invanto
      NET VALUE ADDED
        lass Inaireet Transfsr
        jess AnnualizM Federal Costs
   1.1) NET VALUE ADDEP
                                                    VEGETABLES
                                                                                 U  M R  Ftooonla
     GROSS ANNUAL RECBPT5
        lass Direct Transfer
     VALUE OF GOODS SOLO
       less Cost o< Goods Sold
     GROSS VALUE ADDED
         jus Additions to Invantorv
                                                                                                              0.000
                                                                                                              0.187
                                                                                                              0.920
                                                                                                              0.519
                                                                                                              0.000
 NET VALUE ADDED
    IMS Indirect Transtai
   [ess AnnuaUzBd Federal Com
 NET VALUE ADPEP
                                                  SUGAR CROPS
                                                                                 U M R  Ftoodolain
    GROSS ANNUAL RECEIPTS
       lass Dlract Transfer
                                                                                                             0.000
                                                                                                             O.OOC
                                                                                                             0.000
                                                                                                             0.000
                                                                                                             0.000
VALUE OF GOODS SOLP
   toss Cost al Goods Sold
GROSS VALUE ADDSn
    NET VALUE ADQgQ
       lass Indirect Tfarurfm-
      lass Annuatizad FedaraJ Coat
    NET VALUE ADPgp
                                                 MISCELLANEOUS CROPS
   GROSS ANNUAL RECEIPTS
      less Olreet Transfer
   VALUE OF GOQOSsntn
      less Cost of Goods Sold
   GROSS VALUE ADDED
       jus Additions to Invantn
   NET VALUE ADDED
      lass Indirect Transfer Pa
     lass Annuaiizsd Faderal Costs
11V NET VALUE ADDED

-------
             UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER (U M R)
           NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY
       , ,         EXHIBITS
SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO REGIONAL ECONOMIC INCOME (S mdlions)

         Sectoral   OIL BEARING CROPS
(2) >ess Direct Transfer Payments
(SI GROSS VALUE ADDED
(7) olus Additions to Invamorv
(101 lass Annuaiizao Federal Costs
5.04
T
4.96
4.29C
67S
C
67S
22C
(
" 458
'.528
3.742
1,17?
> 570
non
.570-
.657
.000!
=11,11
U M R
Watershed
3.541.463
	 54.398
2.969.384
	 S17.6S1
	 0.000
517.681
154.826
	 	 0.000
	 362.856
117.2138
	 1.8131
	 11S.4B7
101.3135
	 13.8aj_
0.000
	 0.000
13.6a~
5.127
	 O.OCIO
	 8.504
U M R I
2.149
	 0.033
1.738
0.000
0.094
	 	 0^000
Hoodoiam
50.558! 84 SSI
"•3461 55.7511
0.0001 0 OOOi
2.2101 2.8221
        Sector 22   FOREST PRODUCTS
(21


VALUE ADDED (adjusted)


Study
1 • 0.000
• 41.346
0.005
8.339
0.000
o.oooi
8.339I
U M R
	 48.839
	 0.000
	 ' 48.839
40.273
	 8.565
0.468
	 0.004
	 8.102
	 0.000
	 0.000
	 8.102
0.184
	 0.000
1 0.124
	 0.096
	 •__ 0.029
	 0.001
	 0.000
0.028
	 0.000
	 0.028!
U M R F
React) A
	 0.124
	 0.096
0.029
0.000
	 0.028
0.000
loodolain
_ Readi; B



       Sector 23   GREENHOUSE AND NURSBTr'
        Study
        Ama
 U M R
Watershed
U M R  Roodolain
          950.329
                        759.011
                                     10.77H
             .424
                           .14:
                                      7.
                        286.864
                                      O.i
          347.90!
                        286.364
                                                  0.685
          347.90!
                        286.86'
       Sector 24   FORESTRY PRODUCTS


H_D

Study
	 	 0.000
662.738
47.862
	 	 0.000
0.000
47,862]
U M R
Watershed
489.438
, 	 0.000
455.218
34.221
„ 	 0.000
34.221
	 34.2211
L Total
	 9.494
. 	 O.OOCI
8.869
	 	 0'.62*
	 	 O.OOCI
O.OOCI
	 0.000
U M R f
Reacn A

loodolain
0.0001 O.OOOi
	 3.1 Ml - 4.769J


-------
                                       UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER (U M R)
                                     NATURAL RESOURCE ACCOUNTING STUDY
                                            .EXHBTT6
                         SECTOR CONTRIBUTION TO REGIONAL ECONOMIC INCOME (S masons)

                                  Sector 25 - COMMERCIAL FISHING
                                                 U M R
                                                Watershed
                                                     42.101
GROSS-ANNUAL RECBPTS
                                                                   0^687
                                                                   O.OOC
                                                                   0.687
                                                                   0.378
                                                                   0.309
   less Direct Transfer Payments
VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
   less Cost of Goods Sold
GROSS VALUE ADDED
                                                                                                         0.109
                                                                                                         0.092
                                                                                                         0.00.0
   less Capital Depreciation
                                                      0.000
                                                      0.139
                                                     18.603
                                                      0:000
                                                      0.000
                                                                   0.000
                                                                   0.001
                                                                   0.311
                                                                   0.000
                                                                   0.000
                                                                   0.311
   plus Additions to Inventorv
NET VALUE ADDED
   less Indirect Transfer Payments
  less Annuaiized Federal Costs
NET VALUE ADDED  (adjusted!
                                  Sector 26   AGRICULTURE, FORESTRY, FISHERIES
(1) GROSS ANNUAL HECSPTS
(2) less Direct Transfer Payments
(3). VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
(4) less Cost of Goods Sold
(5) GROSS VALUE ADDED
7) plus Additions to Inventory
8) NET VALUE ADDED
9) less Indirect Transfer Payments
10) Jess Annualized Federal Costs
11) NET VALUE ADDED (adjust.*)
Study
Area
1,108.581
O.OOC
1,108.581
685.063
423.518
0.000
' 0.000
423.518
0.000
0.000
• 423.518
U M R
Watershed
858.334
O.OOQ
8S8.334
529.565
. 328.769
0.000
0.000
328.769
0.000
0.000
328.769
Total
16.329
0.000
16.329
10.642
5.687
0.000
•0.000
5.687
- o.ooo
0.000
5.687
U M R F
Reach A
2.514
0.000
2.514
1.660
•O.B54
0.000
0.000
0.854
0.000
0.000
0.654
Reach B
6.090
0.000
8.090
3.769
2.321
0.000
• 0.000
2.321
0.000
0.000
2.321
' Reach C
7.725
0.000
7.725
5.213
2.512
0.000
0.000
2.512
0.000
0.000
2.512
                                 Sector 27   LANDSCAPE AND HORTICULTURE SERVICES
(1) GROSS ANNUAL HECEPTS
I?} 	 less Direct Transfer Payments
(3) VALUE OF GOODS SOLD
(4) less Cost of Goods Sold
(7) . plug Additions to Inventory
(8) NET VALUE ADDED
(9) less Indirect Transfer Payments
[1 1) NET VALUE ADDED (adjusted)
Area
2.402.204
0.000
2.402.204
	 1.216.763
1.185.441
0.000
0.000
1.185.441
1,185.441
U M R
Watershed
2.097.263
0.000
2.097.263
	 1.050.240
1,047.023
0.000
0.000
1.047.023
- ' 0.000
0.000
1,047.023
Total
78.725
0.000
78.725
37.309
0.000
0.000
, 37.309
0.000
37.309
U M R F
Reach A
8.138
0.000
8.138
3.891
0.000
0.000
3.891
0.000
.' 3.891
Reach B
13.990
0.000
13.990
6.533
0.000
0.000
S.533
• , 0.000
8.533
Reach C
56.597
0.000
. 56.597
26.885
0.000
0.000
26.885
0.000
26.885

-------
                                  EXHIBIT  7
                      "DOUBLE DIVIDEND"  CRITERIA
    FOR EVALUATING SUSTAINABLE  WATERSHED DEVELOPMENT
KEY QUESTION:
Does an economic  sector generate:
            a) CURRENT DIVIDENDS
          .  b) FUTURE DIVIDENDS
            c) BOTH CURRENT AND FUTURE
            d) NEITHER CURRENT NOR FUTURE
CURRENT  DIVIDENDS - A positive  contribution to  current Economic  Income

CRITERIA:   Sector  activity  produces goods and services with economic  value that
            exceeds  the economic .value of goods  and services  used up  in production,
            including  consumption  of market-valued  (man-made) capital.

NOTE:
Current  Dividends can be used  for current consumption  OJL invested to  increase wealth.
FUTURE  DIVIDENDS- A'positive contribution  to Economic  Wealth

CRITERIAr*   Sector  activity  results- in a higher valued  mix of natural and man-made
            capital  being left for  future  generations.
      Strong   Evidence:
      Weak   Evidence;
      Sector activity  results  in  either:

            a)
                                    b).
positive  changes  in the value  of
natural  and man- made  capital.
      or.             .          .    -   ,.
ppsitive  changes  in the  value of one
form of capital  with  no  change  in  ,the other
      Sector activity results  in  positive changes  in  one  of
      the  two  types of capital  that are more than  sufficient
      to  offset  declines in,the  other.
NOTE;
      Under  the Weak  evidence   criteria, the potential  for  investments  made
      from current income in  one of the two kinds of capital  to more, than
      offset declines  in -the other kind is  limited by  the fact' that  investments
      cannot  exceed  current  income. ,         •

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