United States       Office of Air Quality
             Environmental Protection  Planning and Standards
             Agency         Washington, D.C. 20460
             Stationary Source Compliance Series
c/EPA      SUMMARY REPORT

             A Pilot Project to
             Demonstrate the
             Feasibility of a
             State Continuous
             Emission Monitoring
             System (CEMS)
             Regulatory Program

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                                     EPA-340/1 -86-007
           SUMMARY REPORT:

  A Pilot  Project to  Demonstrate the
   Feasibility of a State  Continuous
Emission Monitoring  System (CEMS)
             Regulatory Program
                       Prepared By:

                       Perrin Quarles
                  Perrin Quarles Associates, Inc.
                  Charlottesville, Virginia 22901

                          and

                      James W. Peeler
                  Entropy Environmentalists, Inc.
             Research Triangle Park,  North Carolina 27709

                 Under Contract No. 68-02-3960,
                    Work Assignment 3-121
                   With Engineering-Science
                    Fairfax, Virginia 22030

                       Prepared for

                  EPA Project Officer: John Busik
             EPA Work Assignment Managers: Louis R. Paley
                                 Anthony Wayne
              U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                Stationary Source Compliance Division
              Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
                    Washington, DC 20460

                        June 1986

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                              Disclaimer

     This report has been prepared for the Stationary Source Com-
pliance Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, and the Air Branch, Air and Toxics
Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region VII.  The
opinions, suggestions, and conclusions expressed in this report are
those of the authors, and do not necessarily represent those of the
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

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                                -  11  -
                            SUMMARY REPORT

            A Pilot Project to Demonstrate the Feasibility
              of a State Continuous Emission Monitoring
                   System (GEMS)  Regulatory Program
                           Table of Contents


Executive Summary ........................   v


I.   Introduction ........................   1


II.  Major Program Related Findings and Recommendations .....   5

     A.   The Importance of EER Review and Follow-up   ......   5

     B.   Audit Program  .....................   6

     C.   Quality Assurance Procedures  .............   8

     D.   Power Company  Practices  ................   9

           (1)  Capability  .................  •  *  •   9
           (2)  Use of CEMS   ...................   10

     E.   State Program  Constraints  ...............   10

           (1)  State Agency Distrust  for  CEMS  Technology   ....   11
           (2)  The Need  for Technical Assistance   ........   11
           (3)  The Data  Reliability  Issue ............   12
           (4)  The CEMS  Usefulness Issue   ............   12
      F.    EPA State Assistance
           (1)   State Assistance During the Pilot Project  ....   13
           (2)   Structural Constraints ..............   15
           (3)   EPA Managerial Techniques  ............   15
 III.  CEMS Reliability ......................   16

      A.    Opacity CEMS  .....................   16

           (1)   Evaluation Plan  .................   16
           (2)   Major Findings and Conclusions ..........   17

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                                - Ill -
     B.   S02 GEMS's	19

          (1)  Evaluation Plan	19
          (2)  Major Findings and Conclusions 	  20

     C.   Unavoidable or Excusable CEMS Downtime and Inaccuracy .  24

IV.  Excess Emission Report Review  	  25

     A.   Introduction	25

     B.   Reporting Practices 	  25

          (1)  Findings	25
          (2)  Recommended EER Changes	26
          (3)  Unresolved Issues for Agency Consideration ....  27

     C.   Recommended Agency EER Review Procedures  	  28

     D.   Opacity Emission Trends in Missouri 	  30


V.   The Coal Sampling and Analysis (CSA)  Project	33
Appendix A;  Bibliography of Technical CEMS Pilot
             Project Reports  	  36

Appendix B;  Bibliography of Written Comments on CEMS
             Pilot Project Reports	39

Appendix C;  Project Reports to be Finalized for General
             Distribution 	  41

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                                - IV -
                             Illustrations
Illustration 1      Average Opacity GEMS Downtime for Six
                    Quarters by Unit	17

Illustration 2      CEMS Downtime Trend Analysis for Six
                    Consecutive Quarters 	   18

Illustration 3      Summary of EER Reporting Practices 	   25

Illustration 4      Changes Affecting All or Most Sources  ....   26

Illustration 5      Changes Affecting One or a Limited
                    Number of Sources	27

Illustration 6      Trend of Exceedances Reported in Opacity
                    EERs from 1980-1984	31

Illustration 7      Quarterly Trend of Opacity Exceedances
                    Prior to and During the Project Timeframe  .  .   31

Illustration 8      A Comparison of Individual Source Opacity
                    Exceedance During the One Year Project
                    Timeframe (Annual Average) 	   32

Illustration 9      Opacity Exceedance Trends for the Three
                    Worst Performers During the One Year
                    Project Timeframe  	   32

Illustration 10     The Major Reasons for Opacity Exceedances
                    Among the Three Worst Performers During
                    the One Year Project Timeframe	33

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                                 - v -
                            SUMMARY REPORT
            A Pilot Project to Demonstrate the Feasibility
              of a State Continuous Emission Monitoring
                   System  (CEMS) Regulatory Program
                           Executive Summary
I.   Background

     In October 1975 EPA promulgated comprehensive requirements for
State continuous emission monitoring system  (CEMS) regulations.  Six
years later almost half of the States had not fully complied with the
EPA requirements, and most who had complied were not actively imple-
menting or enforcing their CEMS regulations.  According to a series of
EPA surveys, much of this reluctance could be attributed to assump-
tions regarding the unreliability of CEMS, the burden of CEMS opera-
tion and maintenance, and the difficulty of reviewing and interpreting
reported data.

     The CEMS pilot study charter was to identify and evaluate the
basis for and accuracy of these concerns in one or more States, and to
fashion, if possible, an approach to resolve them.  Planning for a
major long-term multi-phased study began in the spring of 1982; field
work was initiated in March 1983 and completed in September 1984; and
the final data review and analysis was completed in August 1985.  This
report includes a summary of major findings and recommendations drawn
from 27 technical project reports and reflects the comments provided
by State and industry participants.  A bibliography of project reports
is included as Appendix A, and a bibliography of written comments is
included as Appendix B.

     Principal participants in the study included:  EPA's Stationary
Source Compliance Division; EPA Region VII's Air Branch; Missouri's
Air Pollution Control Program; Iowa's Department of Water, Air and
Waste Management; Entropy Environmentalists, Inc.; Perrin Quarles
Associates, Inc.; Union Electric Company (opacity and SO2 CEMS's);
City Utilities of Springfield (opacity and SO2 CEMS's); Kansas City
Power & Light Co. (opacity CEMS's); St. Joseph Light & Power Co.
(opacity CEMS's); Board of Municipal Utilities, Sikeston Power Station
(SO2 CEMS's);  Iowa Public Service Co. (S02 CEMS's and coal sampling);
and Muscatine Power arid Water (SO2 CEMS's and coal sampling).  The
Utility Air Regulatory Group (UARG) and its consultant Kilkelly
Environmental Associates also participated in the study by assisting
Union Electric Company and Iowa Public Service Company (both members
of UARG).

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                                - VI -
II.  Project Method

     The overall CEMS pilot project strategy focused on State program
assistance and demonstration.  It was initiated by assembling a team
of CEMS technical and programmatic specialists, which included both
EPA experts and consultants.  EPA Region VII was selected based on its
willingness to support and actively participate in the study and its
interest in building State CEMS program capability within the Region.
Iowa and Missouri were selected based on the number and variety of
CEMS's installed in each State, and each agency's limited implementa-
tion experience.

     Both States made a formal commitment to participate, and each
supplied staff support and a portion of its § 105 grant funds to the
project.  Missouri also committed to begin implementing a CEMS program
if convinced of its feasibility and usefulness.  Iowa had already
begun implementation of its CEMS program and was included to expand
the study to cover additional SO2 CEMS's and to evaluate potential
coal sampling and analysis  (CSA) acceptability criteria as an
alternative to SO2 CEMS's.

     Utility companies from each State who volunteered to participate
were selected for special study based on factors designed to include
the greatest variety of CEMS types and site specific circumstances.
The study focused on opacity and SO2 CEMS's because they are the most
prevalent and represent the principal monitoring technologies.

     Ultimately, independent workplans were jointly developed for
parallel opacity and S02 CEMS projects in Missouri, and concurrent S02
CEMS and CSA evaluation projects in Iowa.  Each workplan had three
central elements:  (1) an evaluation of CEMS reliability through
audits, excess emission report  (EER) review, and the development and
application of quality assurance procedures;  (2) State agency train-
ing in conducting CEMS audits and EER review; and  (3) the preparation
of informal guidelines and recommendations for addressing problems
identified during the project.  Both technical and programmatic
considerations were emphasized.
III. Major Accomplishments

     All major workplan objectives relating to CEMS's were achieved
during the pilot project.  Technical reports document CEMS reliability
and problems experienced (most of them resolved) at all of the study
facilities; and the study has resulted in new recommendations relating
to audit techniques, industry EER reporting practices, State EER
review procedures, quality assurance procedures, and numerous other
aspects of CEMS regulatory program activities.

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                                 -  vii  -
     No unresolvable  technical or programmatic  constraints to CEMS
program implementation were  identified during the project; and  im-
portant benefits were documented.  Moreover, at the end of the  pro-
ject, Missouri began  independent implementation of its CEMS program,
adopting many of the  project recommendations.

     Although acceptability  criteria  for CSA programs in Iowa have not
been finalized, recommendations for technical criteria have been
proposed, and any  further development of final  criteria will require
the resolution of  policy questions involving possible changes to
Iowa's S02 emission regulations, the  selection  of an S02 emission
averaging time, and,  if short term averages are retained, the degree
of uncertainty regarding potential SO2 violations that will be  per-
mitted when reviewing CSA results.

     Many of the project findings and recommendations are transfer-
rable to other State  agencies (although some are unique to Missouri
and Iowa).  Project findings and recommendations will be transferred
primarily by finalizing and  distributing selected technical reports,
including this suiranary report.  A list of these reports is included as
Appendix C.
!V.  Significant Project Findings and Recommendations

     A.   Monitor Reliability

     Technical evaluation of CEMS performance during the project
indicated very high levels of reliability.  EERs indicated an overall
opacity CEMS quarterly average availability of 92.9% (ranging from
75.0% to 99.9%) for 21 CEMS's, and 95.7% of the quarter  (ranging from
83.0% to 99.8%) for the special study CEMS's.  All of the special
study CEMS's were operating within ±5% opacity during the performance
audits, and the majority were within ±3%.  Quality assurance records
at the same CEMS's showed very few incidents requiring corrective
action; and, with the exception of one CEMS which required significant
repairs, corrective action was taken quickly and the systems were
returned to service with very little delay.

     The SO2 CEMS's also performed well.  In Missouri they achieved a
quarterly average availability of 94.3%  (ranging from 33.2% to 99.6%)
for six CEMS's, and in Iowa they achieved 95.1% (ranging from 87.3% to
99.3%)  for three CEMS's.  Audits at four of the five study sources
showed a consistent accuracy within ±10% of emission levels (CEMS's at
the fifth source were inaccurate throughout the project).  Stratifica-
tion tests at each source also demonstrated that CEMS measurements
were representative of the total emissions.  Although there was a
significant level of quality assurance activity during the project,
this was not unexpected, because of the comparative complexity and
sensitivity of SO2 CEMS's.

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                               - vin -
     For both opacity and SO2 GEMS's, actual availability on a time
percentage basis may be somewhat lower than the reported percentages
indicate because periods of source inoperation have not been taken
into account.  Source operating time was generally not available
during the study.

     Also, despite high levels of CEMS availability, the study in-
dicated that operation and maintenance problems sometimes occur that
cannot be reasonably avoided and should be excused.  These include:
normal quality assurance activities  (which will sometimes include
CEMS problems which are difficult to diagnose, requiring unusual
out-of-service periods in a given quarter); emergency unit outages;
unsafe monitor access conditions  (lightning storms, dangerously cold
weather, etc.);  catastrophic failure; and vendor repair schedules.

     B.   Excess Emission Report Review

     EERs provided useful documentation of excess  emissions  and CEMS
performance  during the project  and were used  to target  sources warran-
ting follow-up.  Simple review  procedures and realistic screening
criteria were developed, which  should require a staff time  commitment
to  EER  review in Missouri of less than one week per quarter.  Based on
project experience,  review  should take less than one hour per EER  on
the average.  This would be significantly reduced  if recommendations
for a uniform EER  format and summary are adopted by Missouri.

     Based  on interviews with  company personnel, EER review and
follow-up are also important for  providing  feedback to  companies who
are reporting emission and  monitoring problems and who  may  be adjust-
ing the level of response  based on  their perception of  the  State's
concern.   Some  company personnel  believe that systematic  EER review
and follow-up procedures will  also  ensure  a more  even-handed applica-
 tion of State  regulations.   Follow-up when  problems are reported
 should  also promote the credibility of  the  State  agency with respect
 to its  emission control and monitoring  requirements.

      C.   Quality Assurance Procedures

      Quality assurance procedures were  considered appropriate and
 desirable by sources included in the study.  Most had already devel-
 oped and applied such procedures before the study began, and the new
 study procedures supplemented procedures already in use.  At the end
 of the study some, but not all, of the new procedures were adopted for
 continued use.   Key findings include:

      o    There are no technical barriers to the design and  implemen-
           tation of quality assurance procedures for CEMS's  used for
           surveillance, with the single exception  of cross-stack in
           situ  gas CEMS's.

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                               - ix -
     o    Effective quality  assurance procedures may be designed  so
         that  after  an  initial  trial or  learning period, daily and
         periodic checks  should require  an average time commitment of
         less  than 16 hours per quarter  for opacity GEMS's  and from
         30  to 60 hours per quarter for  SO2 CEMS's.

     o    Quality assurance  procedures will enhance the reliability of
         data  from most GEMS's  and serve as an  important key to
         identifying GEMS problems when  they  occur, thus facilitating
         effective corrective action.  The development and
         application of QA  procedures are particularly appropriate
         for sources which  have demonstrated  chronic  GEMS problems
         that  interfere with  meaningful  interpretation of reported
         data.

     o    Quality assurance  procedures,  including  their scope and
          frequency of  application, should vary  depending on the
         GEMS  type,,  plant conditions, the skills  and  experience  of
         plant personnel, the organizational  structure of the utili-
          ty, the experience in  application,  and other factors unique
          to a  specific company  or plant. They  should also  be subject
          to change based  on experience  in application.   Standardized
          quality assurance  procedures applicable  to  all  CEMS's in all
          plant locations  are not appropriate.

     D.   Self-Audits

     During the project, most sources  successfully completed opacity
self-audits and decisively demonstrated  the  capability to perform this
function independently.   Self-audits should  be a valuable aid to
agencies who are evaluating reported emissions or  GEMS problems but do
not have the resources  to  follow up with GEMS performance audits.

     E.   Power Company Capabilities

     Power companies  typically have the  staff and organizational
capability to ensure  GEMS  reliability.   Companies  with a management
commitment to achieve such results had voluntarily developed extensive
quality assurance programs prior to the  project.  For the most part,
these programs  should ensure an acceptable level of reliability for
use of GEMS data in agency surveillance  activities.

     F.   Use of GEMS Data by Power Companies

     Both opacity and S02  CEMS's are periodically used by power com-
panies to monitor control system performance and to diagnose control
system problems.  CEMS's are also  frequently used to monitor process
efficiency (in the case of opacity) and  sometimes to monitor fuel
sulfur content or fuel blending  (in the  case of S02).  These uses of
GEMS data indicate the extent to which power companies trust GEMS

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                                 - X -
technology.  However, such applications rarely supply sufficient
incentive for utility companies to install GEMS's absent the re-
quirement to do so; and they do not serve as an incentive to attain
high levels of data capture.

     G.   State Agency Training Assistance

     State agency training assistance should be a critical EPA concern
in any new and technically complex program area such as continuous
emission monitoring.  Training assistance is necessary to carry out
such a program and was found to be most effective when conducted in
field locations under real-life circumstances.  Better training
results were also observed when a State agency makes a management
commitment to implement its GEMS program.

     H.   State Agency Concerns

     Much of the historical reluctance in Missouri to committing
agency resources to GEMS related to a fundamental lack of trust in
GEMS technology and a perception that EER review provided few, if any,
surveillance benefits.  This bias already existed prior to EPA's first
major promulgation of GEMS requirements, and was strengthened by EPA
indecision on the content of technical performance specifications and
quality assurance procedures supporting GEMS technology, as well as
EPA's failure to proceed diligently to implement and enforce its own
requirements.  A demonstration of both GEMS reliability and usefulness
was necessary to reverse this bias.

     The reliability of CEMS's was demonstrated through the review of
EERs, audits and the review of quality assurance records, all of which
pointed to a high degree of GEMS availability, accuracy and precision
for most of the GEMS included in the study.  The usefulness of CEMS's
was demonstrated by developing screening criteria and actually target-
ing sources for follow-up based on simple EER review procedures.

     During the project, Missouri concluded that EER review could
provide a valuable surveillance aid in addition to on-site inspec-
tions, and ultimately developed an alternative plan  (approved by EPA)
for meeting EPA's annual inspection frequency requirement by combining
EER review with periodic GEMS audits.  The State has also indicated
that other program changes will be considered as a result of the pilot
project and that the cooperative dialogue with utility representatives
maintained during the pilot project will continue as these changes are
considered.

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                            SUMMARY REPORT

            A Pilot Project to Demonstrate the Feasibility
              of a State Continuous Emission Monitoring
                   System (CEMS)  Regulatory Program
I.   Introduction

Background

     The CEMS pilot project was proposed in January 1982 as an experi-
mental effort to accomplish EPA's CEMS program objectives in a State
by assistance and demonstration.  The essential requirements were
(1) willing participation of a State which had not yet given full
support to its CEMS program (CEMS requirements must be in existence,
along with reasonable progress in implementation by industry);
(2) willing support by an EPA Regional Office; and (3) assembly and
adequate funding of a team of programmatic and technical specialists
that because of their expertise could address and resolve most if not
all issues that might constrain progress in implementing a CEMS
regulatory program.

     Most States at the time were not actively implementing a CEMS
program — even where CEMS regulations were in place.  In a 1981 EPA
survey many expressed concerns that the instruments were not intrin-
sically reliable; that the data could not be trusted; and that EER
review and follow-up were inappropriate given the limited usefulness
of the data and the difficulty of interpretation.  At the same time,
EPA's technical experts had concluded that most CEMS's work very well,
if certain minimum, quality assurance procedures are observed; and it
was known that successful EER review programs were being implemented
in several State and EPA Regional Offices.

     Two questions were raised:  Was there some unresolved technical
or programmatic barrier in certain States that had not yet been
identified at the  federal level?  If not, could a State previously
unwilling to implement a CEMS program be persuaded to do so by demon-
strating the benefits of the program or by disproving or resolving
barriers presented by the State?

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                                                             Page 2
Project Approach


     The introduction to  the initial project  workplan  describes the
basic  philosophical approach taken:


     ... It  is premised on the concept that in the current regulatory environ-
     ment the  most positive environmental results will  be obtained by effec-
     tively encouraging State agencies to take regulatory initiatives that are
     most suitable to circumstances in the individual State.  These circum-
     stances may be varied in character, including regulatory, political,
     institutional, technical, and environmental considerations, among others.

          It is assumed that effective federal assistance begins with a full
     understanding of such factors, then proceeds with the application of this
     knowledge in a manner that promotes inherent incentives to achieve an
     effective compliance program  (on the part of both State and source), while
     avoiding  inherent constraints.  Accordingly, an important objective of the
     initial phase of this project is to define the operative goals, concerns,
     and constraints of State agency programs selected for assistance.  It will
     be an overall objective of the project to provide assistance  within this
     framework . . .

          It is also assumed that State programs and regulatory policies may be
     inconsistent with, and possibly less stringent than, federal  programs and
     policies. It is a goal of this project to avoid any confrontation on such
     issues and, instead, to forge an alliance of resources and expertise that
     is aimed  toward overall improvement of air pollution control  by electric
     utilities.  A major focus will be to develop innovative ways  to overcome
     problem areas posed by the States.


Overall Plan and Objectives


     The overall project  plan  included the  following steps:


o    Select  a Regional  Office  that  would support the project;


o    With the Regional  Office  select one or more States that had not
     implemented its CEMS program  and might be approachable;


o    Approach the State;  market the project idea; and  make  an initial
     assessment of what type of assistance  would be  necessary to prove
     the feasibility and value  of  the program;


o    If the  State expressed initial interest, develop  a more detailed
     workplan that addressed intelligently  and constructively point by
     point each concern or reservation expressed by  the State;  con-
     tinue to refine the  workplan  until the State would agree to its
     content and schedule (avoiding any appearance of  arms  length
     transaction or negotiation).


o    In general, the project would  emphasize  training  and  technical
     assistance  to the  State,  focusing on opacity and  SO2  CEMS's in-
     stalled at coal fired power facilities.   This assistance would
     include CEMS audits, quality  assurance procedures, excess  emis-
     sions report review, CEMS  performance  trouble shooting,  and an
     evaluation of State  program problems and needs.

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                                                       Page 3
     The most important measure of success would be either the State's
implementation of a CEMS program or the identification and documen-
tation of unresolvable barriers.  However, there were also other
project objectives not directly tied to State adoption of a CEMS
program.  These included:

o    Documentation of CEMS program benefits.

o    Development and evaluation of effective State assistance
     techniques.

o    Identification and resolution to the extent possible of specific
     technical, programmatic and regulatory constraints to the
     effective implementation of a CEMS program.

o    Dissemination of important information developed in the project
     to other agencies.

EPA Regional Office and State Selection

     EPA Region VII was selected for the  study based in large part on
its willingness to support and participate actively in the project.
Also, development of State CEMS programs  in the Region was already an
element of the Region's program plan; and the Region expressed
interest in technical and program-related assistance in accomplishing
its objectives.

     Both Iowa and Missouri provided an opportunity in terms of the
number of sources currently required to monitor — mostly coal-fired
utilities — and the variety of CEMS's and CEMS applications.  This
would allow for ready transferability of  the technical study results
to other Regions and States.  Missouri, which had been reluctant to
proceed with full implementation and enforcement of its CEMS program,
also provided the opportunity to study and possibly resolve agency
program-related constraints.  Both States were ultimately selected for
the study.

     The study was restricted at the outset to CEMS applications in
the coal-fired electric utility industry, because  it was  felt that
electric utilities provided a sufficient  quantity  and variety of CEMS
applications to make the  study  goals achievable.   They also account
for the greatest number of CEMS applications in Missouri  and  Iowa, as
well as nationwide, and are an  industry of  long-standing  significance
to most State agencies because  of  the  large volume of air contaminants
they generate.

     In December, 1982, the Missouri Air  Pollution Control Program
agreed  to participate.   In doing  so, Missouri added an additional
objective to the study — to evaluate  the potential use of CEMS  as a
substitute  for on-site inspections.  Missouri contributed staff  time
equivalent  to one-half man year per year  and a  portion of its  §  105
grant contract  funds to  the study.

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                                                       Page 4
     In May, 1983, Iowa's Department of Water Air and Waste Management
also agreed to participate, and like Missouri, contributed one-half
man year per year of staff time and § 105 grant contract funds to the
study.  Iowa was principally interested in establishing criteria under
which coal sampling and analysis (CSA) procedures could be substituted
for SO2 GEMS's.  Because an active opacity CEMS program already
existed, the study in Iowa was limited to S02 CEMS's and CSA
procedures.

Industry Participation

     At the request of Missouri, industry volunteers for the project
were solicited, and a special study plan was developed which provided
for concentrated assistance and CEMS evaluation at a limited group of
utility plants in both Missouri and Iowa.  This resulted in signifi-
cant benefits throughout the study.  The cooperation and assistance
obtained from industry was genuine and thorough and enabled the
project team to identify important State activities needed to ensure
proper CEMS program implementation.

     Electric utility participants in the project included:  Union
Electric Company  (opacity and S02 CEMS's); City Utilities of
Springfield  (opacity and SO2 CEMS's); Kansas City Power & Light Co.
(opacity CEMS's); St. Joseph Light & Power Co.  (opacity CEMS's); Board
of Municipal Utilities, Sikeston Power Station  (S02 CEMS's); Iowa
Public Service Co. (S02 CEMS's and coal sampling); and Muscatine Power
and Water  (SO2 CEMS's and coal sampling).  The Utility Air Regulatory
Group  (UARG) and -its consultant Kilkelly Environmental Associates also
participated in the study by assisting and representing Union Electric
Co. and Iowa Public Service Co.  (both members of UARG).

Project Workplans

     Project workplans were developed jointly with State and industry
participants to address specific needs and concerns identified in the
initial project meetings in Missouri and Iowa.  There were three key
elements to these plans:   (1) an evaluation of CEMS reliability by
audits, EER review, and the design and implementation of quality
assurance procedures;   (2) Agency training in conducting audits and in
EER review; and   (3) the preparation of informal guidelines and
recommendations for addressing problems identified during the project.

     Separate workplans were prepared for the Missouri opacity CEMS
project; the Missouri S02 CEMS project; the Iowa SO2 CEMS project; and
the Iowa CSA project.  Based on these plans, specific schedules and
activities were developed for each special study source.  A key
objective during the project was to maintain maximum flexibility so
that individual workplans could be frequently adjusted to address
unanticipated problems and events.

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                                                       Page 5
Project Accomplishments

     In large part the pilot project objectives have been accom-
plished.  At the completion of field work Missouri began active
implementation of EER review and follow-up procedures, as well as a
CEMS audit program.  Numerous technical and programmatic constraints
were identified, both at the State and at the federal level, and
either resolved or targeted for follow-up.  Successful State assis-
tance techniques and strategies were also identified.

     In the Iowa project, the evaluation of S02 CEMS's was used to
expand the study of S02 CEMS's in Missouri, and resulted in valuable
findings supporting the SO2 monitoring programs of both agencies.  A
significant advance was also made in the evaluation of CSA programs
and the analysis of criteria that might be used to determine whether
certain CSA programs might be substituted for SO2 CEMS.  However, no
final criteria have been established, because most of the technical
criteria are dependent on the resolution of policy issues in Iowa and
at EPA.

     Numerous reports describing  lessons  learned  from the project have
now been completed and made available.  This  summary  report and other
reports  referenced in Appendix C  provide  a principal  means of  dissemi-
nating  project  results.
 II.   Major Program Related Findings and Recommendations


      A.    The Importance of EER Review and Follow-up

      Perhaps the most significant findings of the study is the
 importance of EER review and follow-up by the State agency.  For years
 following the adoption of CEMS requirements in Missouri, plants with
 CEMS's have been reporting exceedances on a quarterly basis.  Some-
 times the exceedances have been due to significant control system
 problems.  Facility personnel have been aware of these problems and
 usually have taken some type of corrective action.  When the State has
 not followed up on reported problems, power company staff reported the
 following reactions:

 o    Some questioned the relevance or importance of CEMS requirements
      that are being ignored.

 o    One viewed the EER as a mechanism for wiping the  slate clean each
      quarter.  If the State did not follow-up, this was viewed as a
      discretionary acceptance of the reported exceedances  as being
      within  acceptable  limits.

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                                                       Page 6
o    Another was concerned that the reported exceedances were being
     accumulated and might be used by the State or EPA in some future
     enforcement action.

o    In one plant experiencing control problems, internal debate has
     occurred regarding the type of corrective action needed, and the
     company has waited for a reaction to its reported exceedances to
     help resolve the debate.  With no reaction from the State, the
     company has selected the most environmentally protective but most
     expensive course of action.  This has been a cause for concern.
     Company personnel have felt that other companies willing to take
     a higher risk may be selecting less effective and less expensive
     measures.  The company has felt penalized by this higher standard
     of responsibility.  Company personnel have felt that more State
     interaction would result in a more even-handed application of the
     State regulations.

     In all, the lack of agency EER follow-up clearly affects the
agency's credibility in the eyes of company personnel.  As a result of
the pilot study, some level of State EER review and follow-up is
considered important not only to monitor exceedances and CEMS perfor-
mance, but also —

o    To provide direct feedback to companies who are reporting
     emission and monitoring problems and who may be adjusting the
     level of response based on their perception of the State's
     concern.

o    To maintain the credibility of the State's environmental program
     among sources targeted for self-monitoring.


     B.   Audit Program

     Prior to the project, audit procedures for both opacity and SO2
CEMS's had been developed by EPA and applied on a limited scale
throughout the country.  These procedures were applied in the study
and modified based on the experience gained in their application.

     The primary goal of the audit program was to verify the operating
status and accuracy of CEMS's that were subject to quality assurance
procedures during the project.  The audits clearly achieved this
objective.  In the case of opacity CEMS's, the audits confirmed that
each CEMS in the study could be operated and maintained within ±5%
opacity.  In the case of S02 CEMS's, inherent design and software
problems were identified in a small number of the systems as a direct
result of the audits; and, except  in the case of the cross-stack in
situ CEMS's, the audits confirmed  that S02 CEMS's could also be
operated and maintained within  ±10% of the emission  level for the
types of power plants  included  in  the study.

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                                                       Page 7
     Other important benefits were also derived from the audit phase
of the study:

o    Combiner system audits.  One opacity CEMS configuration was
     encountered for which no audit procedures had been developed.  At
     each unit owned by one participant, separate monitors are in-
     stalled on dual ducts.  Measurements from both monitors are
     combined into a single measurement by a computer.  It was neces-
     sary to develop a new procedure to audit this type of system, and
     the procedure is now available for similar applications.

o    Improved opacity CEMS audit procedures.  During the project
     opacity audit procedures were streamlined and improved based on
     the experience of the project team, with input from the indus-
     trial participants.  For example, panel meter checks were elimin-
     ated where not m;eded, the post test zero compensation was
     relaxed, and the overall time length of the audit was substan-
     tially reduced.

o    Improved S02 CEMS audit procedures.  A significant finding was
     that the injection of calibrated gasses as an audit technique can
     provide significant time and cost savings with results comparable
     to a relative accuracy audit.  In this context the best approach
     is for the State to provide calibrated gasses of a known but
     undisclosed value for the source to inject.  The procedure,
     itself, requires expertise to perform successfully.  Other
     significant S02 CEMS audit cost savings were demonstrated by the
     use of transportcible CEMS's — as much as one-half the normal
     cost per relative accuracy audit can be achieved by transporting
     an audit monitor from site to site.

o    Self-audits.  A highly significant finding involving audits in an
     overall CEMS regulatory program is that they can be conducted
     effectively by industry staff.  These self-audits can be very
     useful to an agency that has a limited number of qualified staff
     or limited time to conduct the audits.  The audit can be used to
     confirm the reliability of exceedance data, or as a precaution
     where continuing CEMS problems are being reported.  The project
     team recommends the use of self-audits as an EER follow-up
     procedure where significant CEMS or exceedance problems are being
     reported.

o    Training.  One goal of the project was to train State personnel
     in the use of these audit procedures so that they could verify
     the accuracy of CEMS's at their discretion.  With this capability
     State personnel could determine on their own which CEMS's were
     providing accurate data and which ones were not — this would
     give the State a basis for identifying where more rigid quality
     assurance activities were needed, and it would remove doubt about
     the quality of exceedance data when raised.  To accomplish this
     goal, training audits were conducted.

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                                                       Page 8
     This phase of the project was very successful.  At the end of the
     project, State personnel began an independent opacity CEMS audit
     program, choosing facilities with emissions and monitoring
     problems identified in recent EERs.  An SO2 CEMS audit program is
     currently under development.

     A significant finding by the project team relates to the impor-
     tance of field training.  Prior to the project, classroom train-
     ing had been attempted without noticeable success.  In the field,
     however, the element of real life conditions and the practical
     importance of the results seems to be more highly motivating —
     especially if the training is conducted at sources within the
     jurisdiction of the trainees and the trainees actually partici-
     pate in the training audit.
     C.   Quality Assurance Procedures

     During the study, quality assurance procedures were developed for
six opacity CEMS's and five S02 CEMS's.  They were not constrained by
quality assurance regulations  (except to include pertinent maintenance
requirements and performance standards).  They were designed to
address monitor and location specific considerations and contained
built-in flexibility to allow for change based on experience in
application.

     For the most part, these procedures were not difficult to imple-
ment.  From records provided by plant personnel, the average time
required to implement opacity CEMS QA procedures was less than 5
minutes per day for the daily checks, and from 2-8 hours per quarter
for the periodic checks; for S02 CEMS's it took from 10 to 20 minutes
each day for the daily checks  (at one plant with monitor location
constraints, it took 73 minutes a day) and from 4-10 hours per month
for the periodic checks.

     In interviews following the project, plant personnel confirmed
that the procedures were simple and useful, and elements have been
adopted voluntarily by several of the plants.  The QA procedures also
resulted in quick and accurate identification of CEMS problems and in
most cases also led to appropriate resolution of the problems.

     Three major findings during this phase of the study include:

     First, the application of effective QA procedures enhances the
reliability of data from most CEMS's and serves as a key to the
identification of CEMS's that do not provide acceptable performance.
Our study did not test the hypothesis that QA procedures are necessary
(or that QA plan requirements might be needed).  However, if contin-
uing CEMS performance problems are experienced, simple, non-burdensome
QA procedures may be designed and implemented to address these prob-
lems on a monitor-specific basis.

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                                                       Page 9
     Second, QA procedures should vary from plant to plant and in some
cases from CEMS to GEMS.  Certain minimum procedures should be in-
cluded in any QA plan? however, these procedures should reflect the
actual conditions at the plant, giving consideration to the type of
plant, the monitor, its location, the skills and experience of plant
personnel, the organizational structure of the utility, etc.  In
addition, the initial procedures should be subject to change as
specific implementation experience with the CEMS is gained.
Standardized quality assurance procedures applicable to all CEMS's in
all plant locations are not appropriate.

     A major outcome of the project has been the development of
example QA plans for principal types of opacity and S02 CEMS's.  It
was also determined that cross-stack in situ CEMS's for S02 are not
readily subject to QA procedures because of inherent design problems.

     Third, there are no technical barriers to successful quality
assurance  (with the single exception of cross-stack in situ gas
CEMS's).  Instead, most barriers are readily resolved by a management
commitment to quality assurance.  It was discovered that the existing
CEMS O&M procedures at many of the plants were advanced and working
well to ensure a high level of CEMS availability and accuracy.  Where
such procedures were not in place, as familiarity with the project QA
procedures  increased, progressively better performance was achieved,
especially with S02 CEMS's.

     Essentially,  successful QA  is directly related to the technical
capability of plant personnel; this capability increases with ex-
perience; and QA experience is the product of a management commitment
to proceed with QA.   Industry  commentors also point to the importance
of training and support provided by vendors, and one commentor  indi-
cated  that  a natural  growth of capability should occur as skilled
people are  distributed  throughout the electric utility and other
industries.
      D.    Power  Company  Practices

           (1)  Capability

      It  was  evident  that personnel  at  each  of  the  study plants  in-
 cluded in  the  opacity  and  SO2  CEMS  studies  are highly  capable of
 operating  and  maintaining  CEMS's  in a  manner that  will minimize
 downtime and inaccuracy  within limits  that  are acceptable  to State
 agency and EPA compliance  program staff.

      Skilled engineers and instrument  technicians  were usually  avail-
 able at  each company to  maintain  the numerous  monitoring and engineer-
 ing systems  necessary  to assure efficient electric power production.
 Although there is necessarily  a learning  period during which CEMS

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                                                       Page 10
performance may suffer — ultimately, the operation and maintenance of
these systems should not present an unusual or unmanageable burden to
these staff.

     The project team observed that companies with a management
commitment to do so had established an effective organizational
structure, procedures and staff to identify and respond to monitoring
problems in a quick and effective manner.  This commitment usually
included the in-house formulation of quality assurance procedures for
GEMS's.  Moreover, during the quality assurance assessment phase of
the project, many of these procedures proved to be sufficient to
ensure acceptable GEMS performance during the project.

           (2)  Use of GEMS

     Every company included in the study indicated that GEMS's are
used to monitor control system performance.  In the case of one
company, standard operating procedure required taking progressive
steps to reduce emissions if the opacity began to increase — these
steps, including load change and a shift in coal blending procedures,
were keyed to 2% opacity increments, starting well below the opacity
limit.

     GEMS's are also routinely used to diagnose control system prob-
lems.  As  corrective action is taken, the GEMS will be used to assess
the effectiveness of the corrective action.  Because of the often
complex nature of particulate and SO2 control systems, the GEMS
facilitates a quick trial and error approach to diagnosis, often with
only low levels of emissions involved.

     Power company staff also indicated that opacity CEMS's are often
used to monitor production efficiency (since an increase in opacity
often signals poor combustion efficiency and a corresponding higher
cost in electricity production), and S02 CEMS's are sometimes used to
check the  sulfur content of the coal, especially where a minor per-
centage difference will have a significant impact on the cost of the
fuel.  No  personnel indicated, however, that cost savings would
justify installation of CEMS's in the absence of any requirement to do
so  (with the possible exception of the Subpart Da facility).
     E-   State Program Constraints

     No unresolvable constraints to implementing a CEMS regulatory
program in Missouri were identified during the project.  However,
numerous inhibiting factors were identified.  The following are
noteworthy:

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                                                       Page 11
          (1)   State Agency Distrust for GEMS Technology

     Missouri did little to supervise the implementation of its CEMS
regulations after they were adopted in 1976.   Managers explained that
their personal experience in earlier years with CEMS's had been
unsatisfactory, and that they had serious questions regarding CEMS
reliability.  When EPA promulgated comprehensive CEMS requirements in
1975, they felt their concerns relating to unreliability had not been
adequately addressed; and they questioned the soundness of EPA's
actions.  They also felt that the States were not adequately con-
sulted, and that EPA had failed to provide satisfactory technical
support for these regulations.  The delay in promulgating revised
performance specifications and in the development of quality assurance
guidelines, along with EPA's lack of diligence in enforcing its own
CEMS requirements, reinforced these doubts and concerns.

     In sum, the perception of State managers was that EPA had requir-
ed the States to proceed with a questionable monitoring program,
without adequate State agency consultation, and then had not provided
sufficient technical and policy support to make the program work.
This perception was clearly presen,t as the pilot project began, and
was only resolved as EPA stood behind its offer to provide the tech-
nical consultation and assistance promised as a part of the pilot
project, and ultimately demonstrated the reliability and usefulness of
CEMS's during the project.

           (2)  The Need for Technical Assistance

     The State agency's need for CEMS technical assistance involving
its CEMS program was stated at the outset of the study.  Therefore,
much of the study workplan in the early stages was devoted to iden-
tifying and evaluating specific needs; then, as the study proceeded,
an effort was made to provide needed assistance in the most effective
manner.  Specific areas of assistance included training in conducting
audits and evaluating audit results, reviewing EERs, developing QA
procedures and reviewing QA results, and responding to numerous
specific technical problems that arose.

     In general, technical assistance was provided with training as
the principal objective, so that at the completion of the project
agency personnel would be confident of their own capability to  imple-
ment aspects of their CEMS regulatory program requiring technical
expertise.  The fundamental significance of training as an integral
aspect of technical  assistance was demonstrated by the end of the
project as agency personnel began successfully to assume the respon-
sibilities of  implementing a CEMS program.

     Two important characteristics of a successful CEMS training
program were identified:   (1) training should take place in a field
location regulated by the agency, with the cooperation of  industry
personnel, and with  agency staff actively participating in the  session

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                                                       Page 12
(training should not rely solely on the distribution of manuals and
guidelines accompanied by classroom instruction); and  (2) training is
more effective where there is a clear agency management commitment to
the program.

     Other areas of useful technical assistance in the project included;

o    Low cost assistance was provided by supplying opacity CEMS audit
     devices and calibrated gasses for use by the State.

o    A constructive critique of the State's EER review program re-
     sulted in a guides that the State has used in initiating changes
     to its program.

o    Quality assurance procedures were designed and field tested for
     major opacity and SO2 GEMS's.

           (3)  The Data Reliability Issue

     Questions concerning the reliability of CEMS's and the accuracy
of reported data were clearly a constraining factor in Missouri prior
to this study.  A perception that the CEMS's might be inaccurate, and
if inaccurate, biased high, made the State agency unwilling to rely on
reported exceedance data as a true indication of actual exceedances.
This issue was effectively addressed by the following project activ-
ities:

o    Audits demonstrated the inherent reliability of most CEMS's at
     plants included in the study.

o    Quality assurance plan design and implementation demonstrated
     that  industry personnel at most plants included in the study
     could maintain acceptable accuracy.

o    Many  (but not all) EERs, when analyzed, tended to confirm the
     validity of exceedance data by   (1) identifying exceedances
     associated with events for which exceedances would be expected,
     and   (2) identifying CEMS problems that might interfere with the
     accuracy of exceedance data.

           (4)  The CEMS Usefulness Issue

     Questions concerning the usefulness of CEMS data were mostly
related to questions involving reliability.  Unreliable data could not
be used by the agency; therefore, why invest significant  time  in EER
review and follow-up?  The State also expressed  interest  in the
potential  usefulness of CEMS as a less resource  intensive substitute
for  inspections.  If convinced of its reliability, the State wanted to
substitute EER review for routine inspections.

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                                                       Page 13
     When, during the field work phase of the project, the State was
convinced that the data could be a reliable indication of the continu-
ous compliance status of a facility, it requested and received EPA
approval to substitute a combined .program of EER review and audits for
EPA's annual major source inspection requirement.  Later the State
realized that the GEMS program would require more time to implement
than the inspection time saved.  Despite this realization, the State
is proceeding with a full scale implementation program — not because
it offers time savings, but because in the State's view GEMS's offers
a superior basis for determining the continuous compliance status of
utilities.
     F.   EPA State Assistance

           (1)  State Assistance During the Pilot Project

     It was correctly perceived at the outset that the focus should be
on State assistance and not culminate in results which could not then
be duplicated by State agency staff.  Thus, the project design  includ-
ed training sessions and technical tasks which combined contractors
and State  agency staff.  The significance of this concept became fully
appreciated only after the project was well underway.  Key observa-
tions were:

o    Effective assistance cannot  be  confined to a series of pre-planned
     activities.This is the case even though the State may participate
     in the planning of these activities.  Effective  assistance
     involves a commitment to evaluate on a continuous basis whether
     the pre-planned activities actually provide the  assistance
     needed, and the willingness  and flexibility to change approach if
     they  do not.

o    Effective assistance requires a commitment to continue until  the
     objectives are achieved.  The appropriate elements of assistance
     should  be worked  out  jointly between the  State and EPA, beginning
     with  a  careful and  realistic assessment by the State of  its
     needs,  and proceeding with  an effort by EPA  to provide  assistance
     according to  those  needs.   Then,  if  the State agency  is  still not
     proceeding  satisfactorily,  further  assistance may be  necessary in
      identifying  inhibiting  factors, and assistance  in addressing them
     as well.   It  should be  realized that significant program con-
      straints may  not  be easily  recognized  by  the  State  or  EPA, and an
     ongoing evaluative  effort  will  usually be justified.

 o   Assistance  with  strings attached.   "We will  show you how to do
      this, and  help you get  started, but then  you have to do it our
     way and achieve  a level of performance that we  decide is appro-
      priate."   This approach risks  causing resentment.  The resentment
      is all that much more acute if  EPA demands fail to consider State
      problems and constraints that  cannot be easily overcome.   There

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                                                   Page 14
 are two levels to the problem.   The State may feel that EPA has
 imposed the condition without looking into the matter carefully
 enough to recognize that the constraint exists.   This decreases
 the credibility of EPA staff .persons and is annoying to the State
 staff who must take time away from mission activities to build a
 case that will convince EPA to see things a different way.

 The second level problem exists when EPA understands the situa-
 tion well enough and has decided to force the State into a
 particular course of action anyway.   From EPA's point of view
 this may be necessary as a matter of national or regional policy.
 However, it is destined to create anger in the State agency and
 may overflow into resistance or lack of cooperation in other
 areas.   Before proceeding along this course,  the groundwork
 should be laid to establish and preserve a friendly and objective
 management relationship between EPA and the State.   Good inter-
 personal management practices should be observed.   These should
 include a significant level of  encouragement  and support and
 constructive criticism only after a careful evaluation of all the
 facts.

 Assistance Versus Demand and Negotiation.   Since State agency
 programs are largely funded by  EPA,  a significant portion of EPA
 effort  is devoted toward overseeing State  agency activities to
 ensure  that federal objectives  are  being achieved.   This over-
 sight includes an annual negotiation of performance commitments;
 a program audit;  the submission and review of quarterly status
 reports;  EPA participation in selected State  inspections; EPA
 evaluation of specific,  ongoing State enforcement  actions;  EPA
 review  of State  regulatory actions,  permits,  and penalties;  and
 other management-related activities.

 The  current project offers insight  into this  State  EPA management
 relationship by virtue  of  the results achieved:   there were  no
 federal  CEMS program implementation  performance  standards when
 the  project was  initiated;  there  was  no formal federal audit
 which found the State CEMS program  to be deficient;  there was  no
 arms  length negotiation  to impose accountable performance stan-
 dards on  the State;  yet, the  State,  at first  reluctant,  has  now
 begun implementation of  its CEMS program.

 In essence,  an effort was  devoted to  convincing  the  State of the
 merit of  the program.  No  strings were  attached.  The  only
 commitment  was that  the  State and federal project team members
 complete  the project, and  in the process be open minded  about
 actual CEMS  benefits and problems identified.  If problems were
 encountered, they should be addressed  constructively and a
 reasonable  attempt  should  be made to  overcome them.  If  at the
 end of the project  the State remained  convinced that the program
had no value, there would  be no obligation to implement  it.   This
 approach resulted in a forthright admission and analysis of  real
EPA State relationship constraints during the project.

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                                                       Page 15
          (2)   Structural Constraints

     The Missouri Air Pollution Control Program (APCP) is subject to a
complex management structure that affects its relationship with EPA.
Like most State agencies it has evolved over the years subject to the
unique management and organizational concerns of the State government.
APCP staff are hired and paid by the Department of Natural Resources,
and the APCP's political direction is primarily responsive to the
State legislature and the Air Conservation Commission, which has a
concurring role in the hiring of the APCP Staff Director and imposes
performance requirements of its own on the Agency.  Including EPA,
there are, in effect,, three separate managers of APCP activities.

     To add complexity, the APCP has no direct line relationship with
its field offices — the regional offices (multi-media) are managed
through a contractual relationship; and the four independent local
offices are managed more distantly through the pass-through of federal
§ 105 funds.

     One impact of this complex arrangement is the increased trans-
action cost of ordinary program implementation activities.  For
example, each managing agency has its own overlapping and inconsistent
reporting requirements (usually justified by its special needs).  A
change in the required EPA format or content may ripple through the
entire system, forcing further negotiations with Regional and local
agencies and attempts to derive the required new information from
existing reports instead.

     A potentially useful EPA management approach in  this situation  is
to anticipate transaction problems when new performance commitments
and reporting requirements are to be imposed, and to  look for methods
to reduce the burden and to accommodate the State's desire for restrict-
ing changes only to those that are essential.

           (3)  EPA Managerial Techniques

     Missouri agency staff perceive that they are on  the front line
addressing air pollution problems from the industry in their State,
and that their efforts, and not necessarily the efforts of EPA staff,
result in direct air pollution control benefits.  EPA support is
appreciated; however, EPA efforts often seem primarily aimed at
documentation of State activities or at performance evaluation.   State
agency personnel frequently perceive that these levels of documen-
tation and interaction detract from important mission-related activ-
ities.

     Whether EPA agrees with the State's assessment or not, EPA  staff
have the ability to  facilitate effective State agency efforts by  good
managerial practices,  including significant  levels of encouragement,
assistance and conscientious efforts to minimize activities or require-
ments that detract from principal  surveillance and enforcement goals.

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                                                       Page 16
III.  CEMS Reliability

     A.   Opacity CEMS

          (1)   Evaluation Plan

     CEMS performance was evaluated in three project activities:  EER
review; performance audits; and through the design and application of
quality assurance procedures.  The principal performance evaluation
involved six CEMS's installed on six generating units at four facili-
ties in Missouri.  EER data from other power facilities was also
evaluated.

     For each of the units selected for special study, preliminary
draft opacity CEMS QA procedures were developed based on the specific
features of individual monitoring systems, information from the
operator's manuals provided by the monitor manufacturers, and previous
experience in testing and auditing similar CEMS's.  An initial audit
of each of the six opacity CEMS's was performed.  Each initial audit
included a systems audit  (a qualitative evaluation of operation,
maintenance, and record keeping practices) and a performance audit  (a
quantitative evaluation of CEMS accuracy and precision).

     Based on information gained from the initial audits and comments
provided by source personnel, the preliminary QA procedures were
revised to address source-specific factors that were unknown prior  to
the initial audit, and to incorporate pre-existing routine maintenance
procedures at each source.

     For each source, the QA procedures included:   (1) simple daily
checks to be performed from the monitor control unit location,  (2)
periodic QA checks to be performed both at the monitoring location  and
at the control unit, and  (3) general corrective action procedures to
be used when daily or periodic QA check control limits were exceeded
or when repairs to the opacity CEMS were necessary.

     Agreement with source representatives was obtained  on step-by-
step QA procedures; then, station personnel implemented  the procedures
for approximately 6 to 8 months.  The QA documentation was then
reviewed by the project team, and recommendations for revisions to  the
QA procedures were made.  In most cases, suggestions were made  to
simplify the QA procedures.

     Each station also conducted an audit of its CEMS's  during  the
project and provided copies of the audit results to the  project team.
In addition to these results and the QA documentation obtained  during
the study, data and information on opacity CEMS performance were also
obtained from the review  of EERs submitted during the project.

     The four special study facilities continued the  implementation of
opacity CEMS QA procedures  (with modifications  in some cases) for

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                                                        Page 17
 approximately one year; and the field study was  concluded  when  the
 project team completed a final performance audit of  the  GEMS.
            (2)  Major Findings  and Conclusions

      This  study documented excellent  opacity CEMS  performance.

      EER review for six  quarters of data  including the study period
  indicated  an overall performance record of 92.9% uptime during the six
  quarters  (ranging  from 75.0% to 99.0%)  for 21  CEMS's.   Most of the
  downtime,  in fact, was due to  factors other than monitor malfunction
  — e.g., computer  malfunction, strip  chart malfunction, operator
  error.  Monitor equipment malfunctions were clearly identified for
  only 1.2%  of the six quarters. At the six units subject to the more
  comprehensive  study the  average uptime for the same six quarters was
  95.7%  (ranging from 83.0% to 99.8%) and the average downtime specif-
  ically  attributable to monitor equipment  failure was only 0.7%.  The
  actual  percentage  of uptime would be  somewhat  lower if unit operating
  time were  taken into account;  however, operating time was not avail-
  able during the study  for most sources.
                              ILLUSTRATION 1

          Average Opacity CEMS Downtime for Six Quarters by Unit
DURATION
(% OF THE
QUARTER)
oa _
33 _
20 -
ta -
10 -
11 -
10 -
o -
G -
4 -
2 -
A _
— .


._,
— n
•
r~"
VS/MMSSSSSSS//J
"t
g
f:
d
t
C.


-.
r -
. ,
. "
1 '
r
'n


--
"~^
s

v
v •



                 BCDIFGH  I  J KLMNOPQRSTU
                  SPECIAL STUDY CEMS >s


                  ALL OTHER CEMS 's

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                                                                 Page  18
                                      ILLUSTRATION 2

                               CEMS Downtime Trend Analysis
                               for Six Consecutive Quarters
(% OF THE
QUARTER)
                          2nd O T363 3rd O
                                                    19
                                                          1st Q 1984-  2nd O  1984-
               Audits of the eight transmissometers included in the special
          study also confirmed their accuracy.  In all, 16 CEMS's performance
          audits were conducted by the project team.  The CEMS's were within the
          calibration error specification  (i.e., ±3% opacity)  in 12 of the 16
          audits at the low,, mid and high  range levels.  The greatest cali-
          bration error observed during any of the audits was  4.9% opacity,
          which exceeded the calibration error specification by only +1.9%
          opacity.  Excessive dust accumulation on the optics  was a factor in
          only two instances? in both cases the units were not operating when
          the audit was performed, and the actions taken by source personnel
          prevented these problems from affecting the determination of excess
          emissions.  Internal s;pan or zero error exceeded the ±2.5% opacity in
          only two instances, also by a very minor amount  (-0.4% opacity-span,
          in one instance; +1.5% opacity-zero, in the other).   No optical
          alignment problems were observed during the audits.

               Perhaps the best indicator  of monitor performance was recorded  as
          a part of the daily and periodic QA  checks undertaken at the eight
          CEMS's in the special study.  Although the data  from QA logs were not
          complete, they showed a need for only 12 zero or span adjustments
          based on the primary data recorder  (i.e., computer printout or strip
          chart readings) for all eight CEMS's checked during  the one year
          period.  Only 25 incidents requiring corrective  action were noted.   In
          almost all cases the problems were discovered during the daily or
          periodic checks, and except in a very few instances, the corrective

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                                                       Page 19
action was taken very quickly and the GEMS was calibrated and returned
to service with minimum delay.

     Based on these findings, it is the project team's conclusion that
electric utilities in circumstances similar to those included in the
study have the capability of operating and maintaining opacity CEMS's
at a high level of accuracy and availability or they should be able to
develop that capability.
     B.   SO, CEMS's

          (1)  Evaluation Plan

               (a)  Missouri

     A field study was conducted at three sources in Missouri to
evaluate the reliability of S02 GEMS data and to facilitate the
development and evaluation of quality assurance procedures for S02
GEMS's.

     The major goals of this phase of the study were:   (1) to develop
effective quality assurance procedures for the major types of S02
CEMS's used at electric utility steam generators in Missouri;  (2) to
determine the accuracy and reliability of SO2 GEMS data when effective
QA procedures are implemented; and  (3) to solve specific technical
problems with S02 CEMS's that were identified prior to and during the
project.

     This study did not attempt to identify or define the ideal or
minimum QA plan.  Instead, the study attempted to develop, for a
number of CEMS's and source-specific situations, relatively simple,
cost effective QA procedures.  It was intended that the process of
developing these procedures and the flexibility of the approach would
provide examples that could be easily adapted to other sources and
situations.

               (b)  Iowa

     In Iowa, the S02 CEMS study was conducted in conjunction with a
coal sampling and analysis (CSA) study.  Iowa's primary interest was
to develop criteria that could be used to evaluate a CSA program
proposed as a substitute for SO2 CEMS's.  As in the case of S02
CEMS's, the CSA program would be used as an indication  (but not as a
demonstration) of compliance with SO2 emission limits.

     A demonstration program involving a comparison of CSA and CEMS
data was designed   (1) to establish the relationship between the two
measurement methods, and  (2) to demonstrate that CSA results repre-
senting coal use during a twenty-four hour period could prove to be an
adequate surveillance method relative to exceedances of emission
limits with two hour  (Iowa's) and three hour  (NSPS) averaging periods.

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                                                       Page 20
     Two CSA demonstration projects were conducted:  one at Muscatine
Power and Water's Unit 9, an NSPS Subpart Da source burning high-
sulfur Southern Illinois coal (study results could be transferrable to
non-FGD facilities burning high sulfur coal by comparing CSA measure-
ments to effluent concentrations at the FGD inlet); and one at Iowa
Public Service Company's George Neal South Station, Unit 4, an NSPS
Subpart D source burning low-sulfur Powder River Basin coal.

     In addition to CEMS and CSA data, EPA Method 6B data were col-
lected from the two plants, thus affording the opportunity to evaluate
the accuracy and precision of all three measurement systems.  At
Muscatine, Method 6B also provided a means of determining the impact
of a scrubber bypass duct on the comparison of CEMS and CSA measure-
ments; and at Iowa Public Service Company, it provided an independent
check on CEMS data, and thus a potential basis for documenting the
impact of mid-course quality assurance program changes.

     In order to ensure that CEMS data of acceptable accuracy would be
collected, both sources implemented quality assurance programs similar
to those developed during the Missouri SO2 CEMS pilot project.  The
development and implementation of these quality  assurance programs
were the principal elements of the Iowa S02 CEMS study.  The primary
goals were:   (1) to develop effective quality assurance programs for
the major types of SO2 CEMS's installed in Iowa;   (2) to implement
these quality assurance plans to ensure that accurate CEMS data were
collected for the CSA demonstrations, and   (3) to provide
documentation of the accuracy of S02 CEMS data.  Unlike Missouri's
project, there was no comparable attempt to persuade Iowa to adopt a
CEMS program — such a program was already in place.

           (2)  Major Findings and Conclusions

                (a)  Missouri

o    The SOy CEMS's achieved a high availability rate, and provided
     accurate, precise and  representative emissions data.

     Initial CEMS performance audit results indicated acceptable
performance for all of the  CEMS's in the study.  The accuracy of the
data was controlled by criteria  established for   (1) the allowable
drift limits  for daily calibration checks and   (2) various auxiliary
monitoring parameters that  could affect the relationship between
calibration check data, and  analyzer accuracy  (e.g., temperature
compensation  circuitry, sample and calibration gas pressures, flow
rate, etc.).

     Self-audits based on calibration gas injections were  conducted as
part of the periodic QA procedures at two of the plants to verify data
accuracy.  At the third plant, calibration gas  injections were part of
the corrective action procedures, and served both  to control and to
assess data at this plant.  Final performance audits were  conducted

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                                                       Page 21
for only two of the three GEMS's; both GEMS's demonstrated acceptable
performance at the conclusion of the study.   (A catastrophic generator
failure forced an early termination of the study and prevented the
final GEMS performance audit at the third source.)

     The average availability of the six Missouri SO2 CEMS's filing
EERs during the study was 94.3% for six quarters  (ranging from 33.2%
to 99.6%); and audits showed a consistent accuracy within ±10% of
emission levels.

     Stratification testing was conducted during all of the initial
and final GEMS performance audits.  In all cases, the GEMS sampling
location was found to be non-stratified.  The absence of stratifi-
cation indicates that the GEMS emission measurements were represen-
tative of the total emissions.

o    Effective SO, GEMS QA programs can be developed and implemented
     for the types of CEMS's evaluated in the Missouri study (i.e.,
     extractive and point in situ type CEMS's).

     An effective GEMS QA program may be defined as one that results
in data of sufficient quality to satisfy both source and agency
requirements without imposing an unnecessary burden on the source.
The results from the audits and self-audits conducted during the study
demonstrated that the QA programs implemented were sufficient to
maintain acceptable data quality.  In all cases, the implementation of
the QA program did not increase the total time expenditure for CEMS-
related activities.

     Source personnel involved with GEMS operation and repair from two
of the sources stated that QA program implementation resulted in more
time optimizing GEMS operation and less time repairing their CEMS's.
In both cases, the total time expenditure for CEMS-related activities
did not change significantly due to QA program implementation.   At a
third source, QA program implementation resulted in significant
additional time for repairs and other corrective action; however, the
source had little successful CEMS operation experience prior to the
study.

     Representatives from each of the sources also indicated that
implementation of the QA program resulted in increased confidence in
the CEMS data.  CEMS data were used by source personnel in assessing
the performance of fuel blending and emission control equipment.
Decisions based on CEMS data may have significant economic impact, and
such decisions are sensitive to the accuracy and precision of the CEMS
data.

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                                                       Page 22
o    The accuracy of data provided by SO, CEMS's that are capable of
     accepting calibration gasses (i.e., extractive and point in situ
     type CEMS) can be quantified by performing calibration gas
     injection tests.

     In the absence of interferents within the effluent stream,
calibration gasses properly injected into a CEMS will give an indica-
tion of accuracy that is equivalent to or better than that which can
be obtained from comparative reference method testing.

     For the CEMS's in the Missouri SO2 CEMS pilot project, specific
calibration gas injection procedures were designed to ensure that the
gas flow rates did not produce adverse pressure or temperature effects
and, thus, biases in the CEMS responses.  Comparisons between accuracy
indications based on calibration  gas injections and  reference method
testing were made during initial  and final CEMS performance audits.
In all cases, both techniques gave essentially the same results.

     Calibration gas injection testing may be used to  indicate analyzer
accuracy at several concentration levels within the  instrument's
measurement range, thus allowing  for an  assessment of  analyzer linear-
ity.  This additional  information can be used by  technical personnel
in optimizing  CEMS performance and by operations  personnel in  inter-
preting  CEMS data.

                (b)   Iowa

      In  general,  the  study  results  at  Iowa  Public Service Company were
 consistent with  the  highly  favorable results experienced in  the
Missouri study.   The  average  availability  of the  three Iowa  S02  CEMS's
 filing  EERs  during the study  was  95.1%  for six quarters (ranging from
 87.3% to 99.6%).

      The following additional findings and conclusions are based on
 the  Iowa S02  CEMS project:

 o    Contraves GEM-100 cross-stack in  situ CEMS did not provide
      acceptable  accuracy during the project.

      Regardless  of daily calibration check values which consistently
 indicated good CEMS accuracy, the outlet CEMS on Muscatine's Subpart Da
 unit demonstrated unacceptable inaccuracy throughout the pilot project
 study.   Despite their best efforts, the manufacturer's field service
 representatives were unable to obtain acceptable CEMS performance.
 Several performance specification tests were attempted, but none was
 successful.

      The calibration check errors were generally less than ±2.5% of
 scale, and on only two occasions did these errors exceed ±5% of scale.
 However, audit test data and Method 6B measurements indicated that the
 bias associated with the emissions data for the  stack CEMS changed
 from unacceptably high to unacceptably low during the project.

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                                                       Page 23
o    The inability of cross-stack in situ type CEMS's to accept
     calibration gasses for verification of GEMS performance is a
     significant disadvantage from a quality assurance standpoint.

     The overall calibration status of cross-stack in situ analyzers
cannot be assessed with calibration gasses.  Therefore, the validity
of daily calibration check results can be checked on a periodic basis
only by means of independent etfluent measurements.

     Periodic QA procedures developed for Muscatine were based on
comparisons between data produced by the cross-stack in situ type
CEMS's and data produced by a well calibrated  (with gasses) extractive
CEMS's incorporated into the FGD control system.  These procedures
were less useful and considerably more complex than the periodic
accuracy checks developed for the point in situ type CEMS's.

o    Corrective action procedures should include verification of
     CEMS accuracy using calibration gasses following repairs or
     adjustments that could affect overall CEMS calibration.

     An early version of the Iowa Public Service Company quality
assurance program did not clearly require the use of calibration
gasses for verification of CEMS performance following repairs.  This
program was subsequently modified after discovery of a measurement
bias which did not show up in the daily calibration checks.  The bias
is believed to have been introduced during repairs that affected the
temperature compensation circuitry.

o    For optimum performance, in situ CEMS'S should be protected from
     environmental extremes.

     During the final audit at Iowa Public Service Company, the
effects of rapidly changing ambient temperatures on short  term drift
were demonstrated.  A 3% calibration drift was  introduced  in the
SM 810 S0a CEMS by opening the stack annulus door and allowing cool
ambient air to blow directly on the SM810 transceiver case.

o    The QA procedures evaluated in this project required  only a
     relatively minimal amount of time  to complete.

     The daily QA check procedures generally required about 5 to  10
minutes per day at Iowa Public Service  Company, plus an average of
7 hours of periodic procedures once every  2 months.  Muscatine daily
check procedures generally required about  20 minutes per day to
complete.

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                                                       Page 24
     C.   Unavoidable or Excusable CEMS Downtime and Inaccuracy

     Although CEMS downtime or inaccuracy may often be avoided,
certain downtime incidents seem to be warranted based on events
occurring during the study.  The following are project team recommen-
dations relating to such incidents.

o    Normal QA Activities  (calibration, maintenance, etc.).  In most
     cases the down time should be minimal, less than 2% of the
     operating time of the CEMS.  However, effective QA will sometimes
     require a more extensive effort, especially when accuracy prob-
     lems are recurring.  Infrequently, problems may arise which are
     difficult to diagnose and may require unusual out-of-service
     periods extending for several weeks.  Diagnosis and corrective
     action is an important priority, and adequate QA in such circum-
     stances should not be discouraged by an arbitrary agency limit on
     downtime.

o    Emergency Unit Outages.  These events necessarily preempt normal
     operation and QA activities.  When the emergency conditions are
     resolved, normal checks and corrective action should be resumed.

o    Unsafe Access Conditions.  Floods, lightning storms, dangerously
     cold weather, and chemical spills were events that occurred
     during the pilot study that interfered with daily or periodic
     monitor checks and were considered a reasonable justification for
     postponed QA activities.  Of these, continuous cold weather below
     zero restricted on-stack monitor checks for an extended period of
     time.  While the CEMS location might be changed, this seemed
     unwarranted in view of the infrequency of similar conditions and
     the overall serviceability of CEMS's in this study.

o    Catastrophic Failure  of the CEMS.  Periodically a CEMS will be
     accidentally damaged  or will fail for unpredictable reasons in
     such a way that a reasonable inventory of spare parts will not
     suffice to restore the CEMS to service.  In view of the overall
     serviceability of opacity CEMS's involved in the study, main-
     taining redundant systems seems to be an unnecessary precaution.

o    Vendor Software Problems and Repair Schedules interfered with
     CEMS availability during the project.  Operators made reasonable
     efforts to identify and resolve these problems.  Ultimately the
     responsibility for operation of the CEMS's rests with each
     facility; however, agency flexibility seems warranted when the
     delays are attributable to vendors and not the operators.

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                                                               Page 25
IV.   Excess  Emission Report Review

      A.    Introduction

      One hundred  thirty-five excess emission  reports covering 21
opacity CEMS's were evaluated  to determine the status of EER practices
and  to recommend  appropriate EER review procedures  and guidance for
Missouri.

      B.    Reporting Practices

            (1)   Findings

      Most  reporting practices  conform  to the  requirements  of Missouri's
regulation,  and to the extent  that there are  deviations, most have
been accepted by  the APCP.   However, almost all of  the reports vary
significantly from company  to  company  and have some  content or format
problem which makes agency  review inefficient or which prevents the
reviewer from having an  accurate picture of CEMS or  emissions perfor-
mance during the  quarter.


                                ILLUSTRATION 3

                     Summary of EER Reporting Practices
                  Type of Information
 Number of Plants
Reporting (out of 13)
                   1. Information Identifying Quarter,          13
                     Monitor and Unit*

                   2. Exceedance Information

                     a. Nature and cause of excess emissions*    13

                       — Narrative explanations (5)
                       — Reason codes        (5)
                       — Combination         (3)

                     b. Maqnitude of excess emissions*          9
                     c. Specific periods of excess emissions      8
                     d. Information on corrective actions        5
                     e. Statement of no excess emissions*       13

                   3. CEMS Performance Information

                     a. Specific periods of CEMS downtime*       5
                     b. Causes of CEMS downtime              11
                     c. Information on corrective actions*      10
                     d. Statement of no CEMS downtime*         13

                   4. Source Operating Information              3
                     (Allows for normalization of data)
                   'Currently required by Missouri reporting regulations.

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                                                              Page  26
            (2)   Recommended EER Changes

      The following are recommended changes based on  the project team
review.   They  are separated  into two  groups:   one having an  impact  on
all or most  sources;  the other having an impact on only one  or a
limited number of sources.

      No legal  analysis was undertaken to determine which recommended
changes will require  revisions to Missouri's  reporting regulations.
Although some  industry representatives indicated that proposed changes
would be accommodated if requested by the Missouri APCP, others felt
that  changes establishing new requirements  (e.g., uniform  format,
summary, etc.) should require regulatory action.  Missouri has expres-
sed its intent to confer with electric utility representatives regard-
ing all potential reporting  changes  resulting from the pilot study
prior to any actual  change.
                                ILLUSTRATION  4

                   Changes Affecting  All or Most Sources
              Change
                                                     Rationale
    (1)  Report in a uniform format with
        uniform criteria governing content.
    (2)  Provide a simple summary of exceed-
        ances and CEMS downtime.  The summary
        should highlight a very limited selec-
        tion of general reason categories to
        aid in screening.

    (3)  Include specific corrective action
        taken for exceedances where
        corrective action is appropriate.

    (4)  Require a very brief narrative ex-
        planation of the causes of exceed-
        ances and CEMS downtime, along with
        corrective action.  (This explanation
        may then be categorized within a
        simple selection of reason codes for
        the purpose of summarization.)
To ensure proper content; to facilitate a
more effective review? to put sources on an
equal reporting basis.

To facilitate EER screening and tracking
by agency personnel.
This substantially expands the EER eval-
uation capability of agency personnel.
This also will expand the EER evaluation
capability of agency personnel.

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                                                             Page 27




                               ILLUSTRATION 5

          Changes Affecting One or  a Limited Number of Sources
             Change
                                                   Rationale
   (1) Include specific causes of CEMS
      downtime.

   (2) Excess emissions "caused" by CEMS
      problems should be included with
      CEMS downtime and not reported as
      exceedances.

   (3) Do not report exceedances during a
      source outage.

   (4) Do not report CEMS downtime during
      a source outage.

   (5) Do not combine data from units that
      are separately monitored.

   (6) Use the strip chart recorder, if
      available, when the computer data
      acquisition system fails.
This is essential for an effective review
of CEMS performance.

To eliminate a bias in exceedances during
review.
To eliminate a bias in exceedances during
review.

To eliminate a bias in CEMS downtime during
review.

This unnecessarily prevents an evaluation of
problems on a single control system basis.

Use of this logical alternative data re-
cording system will reduce downtime due
to data recorder malfunction.
            (3)   Unresolved  Issues for  Agency Consideration

                 (a)   Selection of Reason Categories for Summarization

      During EER review,, the  project team selected the following reason
categories for  summarization:  for exceedances — start-up/shutdown,
sootblowing, control equipment problems,  process  problems,  fuel
problems, other known cause,  and unknown cause; for CEMS downtime —
monitor equipment malfunction, non-monitor equipment malfunction,
calibration/QA,  other known  cause, and unknown cause.

      During the EER evaluation and targeting phases, it was  sometimes
useful  to combine control  equipment and process problems with unknown
causes,  and to  track separately certain additional monitor  downtime
causes,  including,  for example, power supply problems, and  operator
errors.

      While the  project team  supports  the  continued use of the selected
reason  categories,  the State  should establish categories that are most
meaningful in terms of its own objectives, while  at the same time
ensuring that the categories  ultimately selected  are compatible with
those used by EPA in its own  compliance tracking  system (currently the
CDS CEM subset).  Consideration should also be given to other indus-
tries that will  be  required  to submit EERs; however, it should not be

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                                                       Page 28
necessary to make every reason category adaptable to every  industry.
It should be possible,, instead, to designate certain reason categories
applicable to  industries  for which they logically apply.

                (b)  Normalization

     EER data  may be aidjusted to account for source and CEMS operating
time each quarter and thus allow for a more accurate comparison of the
performance of different  sources.  This may be accomplished for excess
emissions by comparing the total duration of exceedances  in a quarter
to the CEMS operating time (excluding CEMS operation during a source
outage).  To normalize CEMS downtime, a comparison to source operating
time would be  made  (again excluding CEMS operation during a source
outage).

     In concept, the benefit of this approach is that a source with a
significant outage or significant periods of CEMS downtime  will not
escape targeting if follow-up is deserved on the basis of its actual
period of operation.  Because only two sources included in  the pilot
study provided sufficient data to allow for normalization,  the study
results are inconclusive on the actual value of this approach.

     In order  to normalize the data effectively, Missouri must obtain
source operating data each quarter in a form that allows  for differen-
tiating periods of source downtime from CEMS downtime.  This would
require a change in report content and data collection practices for
most facilities.  The following are two factors for consideration by
Missouri.

o    To what extent is normalization likely to result in  targeting
     facilities that would not have been targeted otherwise?  In the
     pilot study normalization would have resulted in targeting three
     additional EERs (out of eight) if a 2% screening standard for
     exceedances were applied, but no additional EERs if  a  5% standard
     were applied.

o    Consider  whether the targeting objective is focused  on environ-
     mental impact or on control system performance, or both.  For
     example,  the air quality impact of reported exceedances from
     Source A  over less than a full quarter may not be significantly
     different from the impact of the same duration of exceedances
     from Source B over the entire quarter (depending on  how the
     exceedances in each case are actually distributed).  However,
     control system performance may well be worse for Source A.
     C.   Recommended Agency EER Review Procedures

     Recommended Agency EER review procedures were influenced by EPA
guidance on EER review (along with supporting documents) published on
October 5, 1984; interviews with project participants; as well as the

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                                                       Page 29
review of approximately 135 EERs over a two-year period during the
project.  The following is a summary of the recommended procedures:

(1)  Select screening criteria for quarterly exceedances and downtime
     review.

     Screening criteria should be selected on the basis of what is
reasonable for workload planning, giving consideration to the trend of
improvement or degradation in performance.  A 5% of the quarter
exceedance standard and a 10% of the quarter downtime standard would
have resulted in targeting 32 of 112 EERs for detailed review and
possible follow-up in 1986 based on experience during the project
timeframe.

(2)  Expand the quarterly review to include the following elements;

     o    Utilization of an EER review checklist during review.

     o    Sending a follow-up letter if the EER is late.

     o    Review for obvious content problems.

     o    A detailed review of EERs failing the screening criteria.

     o    Some type of source contact if problems are identified.

     Quarterly EER review would be expanded at a minimum to include a
more detailed review, additional computations, completion of an EER
review worksheet for each CEMS, and completion of a composite quar-
terly summary report.  It may also include a reason code summary and
evaluation if the agency elects to do so.

     The focus during review should be on any parameter which is
out-of-line in comparison to other EERs.  The reviewer should deter-
mine whether the problems are currently occurring or are of a chronic
nature.  The source should be contacted if problems are identified.

     The time required to perform these tasks should not exceed 38
hours per quarter after start-up.  This assumes that the agency will
perform a reason code summary and evaluation and that the average EER
will require 45 minutes to review.   The estimated time is based on the
average time required by the project team to review EERs for the last
three quarters of the project.   An average of approximately two hours
per EER were required for the first quarter.

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                                                        Page 30
 (3)   Establish an agency tracking system.

      This should include a completed EER review checklist filed with
 each EER, a composite quarterly summary of exceedances and downtime, a
 quarterly highlight report of sources justifying follow-up and results
 of the annual audit and review described below.

      Establishing a new manual tracking system will require an addi-
 tional effort at the outset;  however, this effort should not be
 significant after an initial  break-in period.

 (4)   Conduct an annual audit  and EER review.

      This should include a sample audit of EERs  to verify correct
 application of EER review procedures.   It  should also  include an
 annual tabulation and simple  analysis of the quarterly composite
 summaries to target sources for special focus  during the next year.

      These  activities are not intended to  duplicate the quarterly
 review.   They provide a program management tool  to consider the
 overall effectiveness of the  EER review program  and a  planning tool  to
 target certain sources for longer range consideration.   Most impor-
 tantly, they result in a yearly status report  that a source may use  to
 evaluate  its own  performance  in relation to others in  the State.

      Conducting an  audit and  preparation of an annual  EER review
 report should take  no more staff  time  than a quarterly  review.
 However,  additional management  time will be required.

 (5)   Ensure  management  participation  in  the review process.

      Most of  the  new  EER review activities are designed  in  some  way  to
 involve agency management more  actively  in the EER  review program.
 Each  new activity includes some type of  simple status report  (which
 can be easily prepared  if the other review and evaluation activities
 are adopted).  These  reports will serve  to keep managers  informed of
 the results of each activity,  and will also offer a convenient track-
 ing mechanism for managers to gauge the  progress of their pollution
 control program for sources with GEMS's.
     D.   Opacity Emission Trends in Missouri

     A review of opacity EER data during the project shows a trend of
improved emissions in Missouri from 1980 through mid-1984.  The
following table illustrates this improvement.

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                                                         Page  31
                             ILLUSTRATION 6
                      Trend of Exceedances Reported
                     in Opaciry EERs  from 1980-1984

(1) EERs Analyzed
(2) Average Duration* of
Exceedances for All ELFs
(3) Average Duration* of Exceed-
ances for All LEFcs Mir.'js Uie
Three Worst Performers
(4) Percentage of EERs Below
a 5* Duration* Threshold
(5) Percentage of EERs Be lew
a 2* Duration* Threshold
I960 1981 1982 1963 1984
(2 -2tr».)
41 43 57 78 41

4.1% 3.1% 2.0% 2.5% 1.0%


2.19% 1.03% .93% .54% .56%

73% 93% 68% 91% 98%

o3% 72% 74% 85% 68%
          *  Duration IB expressed a* a percentage of tfie total tine in each year.


     During the project timeframe, the  long term trend of  improvement
is not  as visible on a quarter to quarter basis.   Nonetheless,  there
is no significant degradation.


                             ILLUSTRATION 7

                 Quarterly Trend of Opacity Exceedances
                Prior to and During the  Project Timeframe
DURATION
(% OF THE
QUARTER)
                                                           ,A11 OEMS 's
                                                           Six Study CEMS '3
                                                           JU.1 CEMS 'fc
                                                           J 3 Worst Pe.
              l»t 4 ITC3  Zncl « IB§3  3rd ft 10B3  4U» 9 1M3  1st Q 18B4   Znd Q 19»i
     Most exceedances during the project were directly related to
control and process problems at three  facilities.  The following three
graphs depict  how these three sources  compared to other sources during
the project timeframe.  The first graph identifies the three  sources
with the greatest duration of exceedances on the basis of an  annual
average.

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                                                        Page  32
                            ILLUSTRATION  8

         A Comparison of Individual Source Opacity Exceedances
                 During the One Year Project Timeframe
                            (Annual Average)
DURATION
 (% OF
THE YEAR)
19 -
1O -
17 -
16 -
16 -
14 -
13 -
12 -
11 -
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     The following graph shows how these  three  sources  performed from
quarter to quarter, again in comparison to  the  21  sources.   It shows
that all three were over the mean for  at  least  three  of the four
quarters; but only one was over a 5% norm for three of  the four
quarters.

                            ILLUSTRATION  9

             Opacity Exceedance Trends for  the  Three  Worst
           Performers During the One Year Project  Timeframe
DURATION
(% OF THE
QUARTER)
ZO -I
            10 -
                        	^
                                  \
                                           X\_.
          a^J q 1083
                                                             MEAN
                                                             A
                          4U» Q 1OBJ
                                          1st q

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                                                             Page 33
          These exceedances are clearly attributable  to control and process
     problems.  As the following graph indicates,  the occurrence of these
     problems at the three facilities is extraordinary in comparison to
     similar occurrences at other facilities.
                                 ILLUSTRATION 10

                    The Major Reasons  for  Opacity Exceedances
                        Among the Three Worst Performers
                      During the One Year  Project Timeframe
PERCENT?IE
 OF TOT;i
EXCEEDANCES


90 -
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                                                                    39.8%
                  SOURC! A
                                 SQURCI E
                 CONTROL EQUIPMENT FAILURE?
                 PROCESS PROBLEMS; UNKNOWN CAUSES
                                               SOURCE G     ALL OTHER SOUSCEJ

                                               ALL OTHER REASONS
     V.   The Coal Sampling  and  Analysis (CSA)  Project

          The Iowa CSA project was  not completed during the course of the
     CEMS pilot study.  The  major goal was to develop criteria for use by
     the Iowa agency in determining the acceptability of a CSA program as
     an alternative to SOa CEMS's in coal-fired electric utility steam
     generators.  This goal  was  partially achieved by developing and field
     testing CSA evaluation  procedures at two utility locations in Iowa.
     However, final acceptability criteria could not be established because
     of unresolved policy issues at the State and EPA.

          These issues involve primarily (1)  the extent to which Iowa SO2
     emission limits must be revised to satisfy EPA SIP requirements; (2)
     the effect of possible  NSPS regulation changes involving SOa moni-
     toring that are currently under consideration; (3) the selection of an

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                                                        Page  34
 emission  averaging  time  for  SO2  emissions  (also  an  issue  in  the
 pending NSPS  rulemaking);  (4)  a  determination  of the  confidence  with
 which  the probability of short term  SO2  exceedances must  be  estab-
 lished for  a  CSA program to  be approvable;  and (5)  a  determination  of
 the  extent  to which potential  short  term exceedances  must be avoided
 for  a  CSA program to be  approvable.

     Unresolved questions were also  raised  by  project team members  and
 industry  consultants regarding the technical model  used during the
 project for predicting potential S02 emissions based  on CSA  data.
 Additional  comments from industry participants on the CSA portion of
 the  study are anticipated.

     The  following  are major technical accomplishments of the CSA
 project:

 o    The  project has resulted  in the first  long  term  (and most exten-
     sive)  comparison of CSA,  SO2 CEMS's, and  Method  6B under control-
     led  conditions (i.e., thoroughly documented CSA  procedures, CEMS
     with an  extensive QA program and external performance audits to
     verify accuracy of  the  data, and long  term  Method 6B measure-
     ments) .

 o    The  concurrent S02  emission measurements  provided by the three
     measurement methods during the project allowed for evaluation of
     model  outputs  and predictions derived  from  a sophisticated  time
     series/statistical model  developed  by EPA and  already being used
     to assist in the evaluation of CSA  programs  by some  agency
     offices.  The  evaluation  showed a need for  continued development
     and  refinement of the model.  Principal problems  identified
     during the evaluation included:

          specific  user constraints,
          some inaccurate and highly variable  predictions/estimates,
          excessive sensitivity of the model to missing data, and
          assumptions regarding the impact of  measurement error on the
          likelihood of compliance which are inappropriate in some
          circumstances.

o    The project clearly demonstrated the relative  precision of the
     three measurement methods.  The results showed that  SO2 CEMS data
     are much more precise than CSA data.  The results also  illustrate
     the impact of  imprecise measurement methods  on determining the
     likelihood of excess S02 emissions  for various emission limits
     and averaging periods.   The results show  that proper application
     of Method 6B yields results less precise  than  SO2 CEMS's but more
     precise than CSA,  and that improper application of Method 6B may
     yield data less precise than CSA data.

o    The project demonstrated clearly that the level-of-effort and
     time required to  perform CSA/effluent S02 measurement comparisons

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                                                  Page 35
under controlled conditions were much greater than many people
expected.  It is the opinion of the project team that a fundamen-
tal understanding of CSA principles and practices  (rather than a
black-box performance evaluation approach) is necessary for the
practical evaluation of CSA programs.

The project allowed for an evaluation and a field test of a
protocol developed by the EPA Quality Assurance Division and UARG
consultants for the evaluation of alternate analytical methods.
This test ultimately resulted in modifications to the protocol.
Thus, the modified protocol was accepted  (as was the alternate
analytical method).  The project also allowed for the evaluation
of simpler, cheaper, and more expedient methods for the evalua-
tion of alternate analytical methods.

During the project, methods for characterizing fuel sulfur
depletion were evaluated.  The project demonstrated that fuel
sulfur depletion can be very significant  (i.e., greater than 20%)
for some coals and source conditions.  Two methods of quantifying
fuel-sulfur depletion were evaluated:  (1) comparison of CSA and
effluent SO2 measurements, and  (2)  ash sampling and analysis.
Together, these two methods provide a series of alternatives of
varying complexity and cost both for initial determination of the
fuel-sulfur depletion factor and for follow-up verification of
the depletion factors.

During the project, all major technical CSA issues were organized
into a conceptually consistent framework to facilitate an agency's
choice of options regarding:

     CSA procedural requirements,
     CSA precision,
     CSA bias,
     Use of CSA data as a surveillance method for short term
     averaging periods, and
     Fuel sulfur depletion.

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                                                       Page 36
                              Appendix A

          Bibliography of Technical GEMS Pilot Project Reports
 I.  MISSOURI OPACITY CEMS PROJECT

 Audit Report;  LSI RM41 Opacity Monitoring System at Kansas City Power
     and Light Company, latan Station, Unit #1, Entropy Environmen-
     talists, Inc.,  (Draft Report, March 1983).

 Performance Audit Report;  LSI RM41 Opacity Monitoring System at
     Kansas City Power and Light Company, latan Station, Unit #1,
     Entropy Environmentalists,(Draft Report, June 1984).

 Performance Audit Report;  Dynatron Model 1100 Opacity Monitoring
     Systems at City Utilities, James River Station, Units #4 and #5,
     Springfield, Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc..(Draft
     Report, April 1983).

 Performance Audit Report;  Dynatron Model 1100 Opacity Monitoring
     Systems at City"utilities, James River Station, Units #4 and #5,
     Springfield, Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft
     Report, June 1984).

 Performance Audit Report:  Contraves-Goerz Model 400 Opacity
     Monitoring SysteitTat St. Joseph Light and Power Company, Lake
     Road Station, Unit #5, St. Joseph, Missouri, Entropy Environ-
     mentalists, Inc., (Draft Report, March 1983).

 Performance Audit Report;  Contraves-Goerz Model 400 Opacity
     Monitoring SystenTat St. Joseph Light and Power Company, Lake
     Road Station, Unit #5, St. Joseph, Missouri, Entropy
     Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report, August 1984).

 Audit Report:  LSI RM41 Opacity and Monitoring System, Unit #1 and
     Unit #2, Union Electric Power Company, Sioux Station,  Entropy
     Environmentalists^(Draft Report, March 1983).

 Performance Audit Report;  Lear Siegler Opacity Monitoring Systems at
     Union Electric Company, Portage de Sioux Station, Unit #2,
     Entropy Environmentalists,  Inc.,(Draft Report, June 1984).

Final Opacity CEM Audit, Union Electric Company, Portage Des Sioux
     Station, Unit #1, Entropy Environmentalists, (Draft Report,
     February 25, 19135) .

An Analysis of Opacity CEMS Downtime in Excess Emission Reports, James
     W.  Peeler (Draft Report, March 1985).

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                                                       Page 37
EER Review Recommendations for Missouri's Air Pollution Control
     Program;  Opacity CEMS Installed at Electric Utilities,  Perrin
     Quarles, (Draft Report, May 23, 1985).

Evaluation of Opacity CEMS Reliability and QA Procedures:   Volumes I
     and II, James W. Peeler, (Draft Report,  April 1985).

Recommended Quality Assurance Procedures for Opacity CEMS's,  James W,
     Peeler, (Draft Report, May 1985) .
II.  MISSOURI S02 CEMS PROJECT

System Performance Audit:  LSI Continuous SO2 Emission Monitoring
     System:  Union Electric Company, Labadie Generating Station, Unit
     #2, Labadie, Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft
     Report, October 1983).

System Performance Audit;  KVB Stack Test Gas Continuous Emission
     Monitoring System;  Sikeston Power Station, Unit #1, Sikeston,
     Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report,  October
     1983).

System Performance Audit:  KVB Stack Test Gas Continuous Emission
     Monitoring System;  Sikeston Power Station, Unit #1, Sikeston,
     Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report,  June
     and August 1984).

System Performance Audit:  Dupont Continuous Emission Monitoring
     System:  City Utilities, Southwest Power Station, Unit #1,
     Springfield, Missouri, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft
     Report, January 1984).

System Performance Audit;  Dupont Continuous Emission Monitoring
     System;  City Utilities Southwest Power Station, Unit #1,
     Springfield, Missouri," Entropy Environmentalists, Inc.,  (Draft
     Report, June 1984).

Missouri SOa CEM Pilot Project Report, Wayne E. Reynolds, (Draft
     Report, August 1985).
III. IOWA S02 CEMS PROJECT

System Performance Audit;  LSI SO, Continuous Emission Monitoring
     System, Iowa Public Service Company, George Neal North Station,
     Unit #4, Sioux City, Iowa, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc.,
     (Draft Report, December 1983).

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                                                       Page 38
System Performance Audit;   LSI S02 Continuous Emission Monitoring
     System, Iowa Public Service Company, George Neal South Station,
     Unit #4, Sioux City,  Iowa, Entropy Environmentalists,  Inc.,
     (Draft Report, September 1984).

System Performance Audit:   Dupont Continuous SO.,/0., Emission
     Monitoring System, Muscatine Power and Water Unit #9,  Muscatine,
     Iowa,  Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report,  May 1984).

System Performance Audit:   Continuous SO.,/0., Emission Monitoring
     Systems, Muscatine Power and Water, Unit #9, Muscatine, Iowa,
     Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report, September 1984).

Iowa SO, CEM Pilot Project;  Evaluation of Quality Assurance
     Procedures and Monitor Performance, Wayne E. Reynolds, (Draft
     Report, September 1985).
IV.  IOWA CSA PROJECT

Coal Sampling and Analysis Demonstration Project, Iowa Public Service
     Company, George Neal, Unit #4, Draft Report, James W. Peeler and
     Phillip J. Juneau, (Draft Report, July 22, 1985).

Coal Sampling and Analysis Demonstration Project:  Muscatine Power and
     Water, Unit #9, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., (Draft Report,
     July 1985) .

Memorandum:  Evaluation of CSA Programs, James W. Peeler, (Draft
     Report, August 6, 1985).

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                                                       Page 39
                              Appendix B

                  Bibliography of Written Comments on
                      CEMS Pilot Project Reports
"Comments on EPA Draft Report:  An Analysis of Opacity CEMS Downtime
     in Excess Emission Reports," prepared for the Utility Air
     Regulatory Group by Kilkelly Environmental Associates, Inc.,
     Report No. 85-I190-1-02F, (June 1985) .

Letter from Steven D. Brooks, St. Joseph Light & Power Company, to
     Perrin Quarles, Perrin Quarles Associates, Inc., re comments on
     draft report "EER Review Recommendations for Missouri's Air
     Pollution Control Program:  Opacity CEMS Installed at Electric
     Utilities," (June 12, 1985).

Letter from Steven D. Brooks, St. Joseph Light & Power Company, to Jim
     Peeler, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., re comments on draft
     report "Evaluation of Opacity CEMS Reliability and QA Procedures,
     Volume 1," (June 13, 1985).

Letter from Steven D. Brooks, St. Joseph Light & Power Company, to Jim
     Peeler, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., re comments on draft
     report "Recommended Quality Assurance Procedures for Opacity
     CEM's," (June 14, 1985).

Letter from Steven D. Brooks, St. Joseph Light & Power Company, to Jim
     Peeler, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., re comments on draft
     report "An Analysis of Opacity CEMS Downtime in Excess Emission
     Reports," (June 14, 1985).

Letter from Walter C. Gray, Jr.,  Kilkelly Environmental Associates, to
     Richard D. McRanie, Southern Company Services, Inc., and Gary L.
     Huber, Union Electric Company, re review of EPA Region VII
     Opacity Pilot Project Report "Opacity CEMS Audit Procedure
     Guidelines," (June 28, 1985).

"Comments on EPA Draft Report:   EER Review Recommendations for
     Missouri's Air Pollution Control Program:  Opacity CEMS Installed
     at Electric Utilities,"  prepared for the Utility Air Regulatory
     Group by Kilkelly Environmental Associates, Inc., Report No.
     85-I190-2-02F, (July 1985).

Letter from David M. Fraley,  Ph.D., City Utilities of Springfield, to
     Perrin Quarles, Perrin Quarles Associates, Inc., re comments on
     draft report "EER Review Recommendations for Missouri's Air
     Pollution Control Program:  Opacity CEMS Installed at Electric
     Utilities," (July 11, 1985).

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                                                       Page 40
Letter from Gerald L. Bennett, Kansas City Power & Light Company to
     Anthony P. Wayne, Air Branch, Region VII, U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, re comments on draft report "EER Review
     Recommendations for Missouri's Air Pollution Control Program:
     Opacity CEMS Installed at Electric Utilities," (July 12, 1985).

Letter from Darrell McAllister, Iowa Department of Water, Air and
     Waste Management, to James W. Peeler, Entropy Environmentalists,
     Inc., re comments on draft reports "Coal Sampling and Analysis
     Demonstration Project:  Iowa Public Service COmpany, George Neal
     Unit No. 4," and "Coal Sampling and Analysis Demonstration
     Project:  Muscatine Power and Water, Unit No. 9," (September 18,
     1985).

"Comments on EPA Draft Report Entitled:  'Evaluation of Opacity CEMS
     Reliability and QA Procedures'," prepared for the Utility Air
     Regulatory Group by Kilkelly Environmental Associates, Inc.,
     Report No. 85-I190-3-02F, (November 1985).

Letter from John Hardie, Iowa Public Service Company,  to Wayne
     Reynolds, Entropy Environmentalists, Inc., re comments on draft
     report "Evaluation of QA Procedures and Monitor Performance,"
     (November 20, 1985).

"Technical Memorandum:  Comments on EPA-Contractor Draft Report
     Entitled 'Coal Sampling and Analysis Demonstration Project, Iowa
     Public Service Company, George Neal, Unit No. 4," prepared for
     the Utility Air Regulatory Group by Kilkelly Environmental
     Associates, Inc.,  (January 22, 1986).

Letter from Richard D. McRanie, Southern Company Services, Inc., to
     Mark S. Siegler, Chief, Technical Support Branch, U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency, re comments on draft summary
     report "A Pilot Project to Demonstrate the Feasibility of a State
     Continuous Emission Monitoring System (CEMS) Regulatory Program,"
     (February 19, 1986).

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                                                      Page 41
                             Appendix C

                   Project  Reports  to be  Finalized
                       for  General  Distribution
(1)   Summary Report:   A Pilot Project to Demonstrate the Feasibility
     of a State  Continuous Emission Monitoring System Regulatory
     Program

(2)   Opacity Excess Emission Report Review Findings and Recommen-
     dations

(3)   Missouri Opacity CEMS Pilot Project:  Evaluation of Opacity GEMS
     Quality Assurance Procedures and Monitor Performance

(4)   Missouri SO2 CEMS Pilot Project:  Evaluation of Quality Assurance
     Procedures  and Monitor Performance

(5)   Iowa SO2 CEMS Pilot Project:  Evaluation of Quality Assurance
     Procedures  and Monitor Performance

(6)   Recommended Quality Assurance Procedures for Opacity CEMS's

(7)   Recommended Quality Assurance Procedures for S02 CEMS's

(8)   Recommended Audit Procedures for Opacity CEMS's

(9)   Recommended Audit Procedures for Gaseous CEMS's

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