Excessive Heat
Events Guidebook
                           ss>
                 EPA 430-B-06-005 | June 2006
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 V,../
CDC
      United States Environmental Protection Agency
FEJ\1 A  Office of Atmospheric Programs (6207J)
      1 200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20460

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How to obtain copies
You can electronically download this
document from EPA's Heat Island Site at
http://www.epa.gov/heatisland/about/
heatresponseprograms.html. To request
free copies of this report, call the National
Service Center for Environmental
Publications (NSCEP) at 1-800-490-9198.
For further information
For further information, contact Jason
Samenow, 202-343-9327, samenow.jason@
epa.gov, U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency.

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     Excessive Heat
Events Guidebook
                 EPA 430-B-06-005 June 2006
              United States Environmental Protection Agency
               Office of Atmospheric Programs (6207J)
           1 200 Pennsylvania Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20460

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Table of Contents
Acknowledgments..                                                           1
List of Acronyms and Abbreviations	3
Summary	5
Chapter 1  Overview	7
       1.1   Why Care about EHEs?	7
       1.2  Guidebook Goals	7
       1.3   Guidebook Development 	8
Chapter 2  EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources.	9
       2.1  Defining an EHE	9
       2.2  Health Risks Attributable to EHE Conditions	10
       2.3  Quantifying the Health Impacts of EHEs	11
             2.3.1  EHEs and U.S. mortality	12
             2.3.2  EHEs and U.S. morbidity	   14
       2.4  Identifying Characteristics that Affect EHE Health Risks	16
             2.4.1  Meteorological conditions   	   16
             2.4.2  Demographic sensitivities	17
             2.4.3  Behavioral choices  	17
             2.4.4  Regional factors	   18
Chapter 3  Summary of Current EHE Notification and Response Programs	21
       3.1   Elements in Select EHE Programs  	21
             3.1.1  EHE prediction	23
             3.1.2  EHE risk assessment	   23
             3.1.3  EHE notification and response	   24
             3.1.4  EHE mitigation	26
       3.2  Case Studies in the Development and Implementation of EHE Programs	26
             3.2.1  Philadelphia	26
             3.2.2  Toronto   	   30
             3.2.3  Phoenix	   32
       3.3  Evidence on the Performance of EHE Programs	33
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Chapter 4  Recommendations for EHE Notification and Response Programs   35
       4.1   EHE Definition and Forecasting	35
             4.1.1   EHE criteria must reflect local conditions  	   35
             4.1.2   Ensure access to timely meteorological forecasts	36
       4.2  Public Education and Awareness of EHE Risk Factors and Health Impacts	36
             4.2.1   Increase and improve EHE notification and public education	   36
             4.2.2   Provide information on proper use of portable electric fans
                   during EHEs 	37
       4.3   EHE Response Preparation	38
             4.3.1   Develop a clear plan of action identifying roles and responsibilities      38
             4.3.2   Develop long-term urban planning programs to minimize heat
                   island formation 	39
       4.4  EHE Response Actions	39
       4.5   Review EHE Programs to Address Changing Needs, Opportunities,
            and Constraints   	41
References	43
Appendix A: Excessive Heat Event Resources Available on the Internet	47
Appendix B: Use of Portable Electric Fans during Excessive Heat Events	49
Appendix C: Excessive Heat Events Guidebook in Brief	51
Table of Contents

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Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Acknowledgments
The primary agencies that partnered to support this guidebook's development are
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's)
National Weather Service (NWS), and the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS).
This guidebook reflects the commitment of individuals who contributed their time and
expertise to guide its development while evaluating a wide range of information. The
key contacts at each of the partnering agencies were instrumental in the guidebook's
development. Alan Perrin and Jason Samenow of EPA served as the guidebook's
day-to-day project managers from its conceptualization through production. Jannie
Ferrell and Mark Tew of NOAA's NWS, George Luber and Mike McGeehin of CDC,
and Carl Adrianopoli of DHS similarly served as the principal guidebook contacts
at their respective agencies, facilitating access to the respective staff and resources of
those agencies. David Mills of Stratus Consulting managed the guidebook's technical
development as the primary EPA consultant. He was greatly assisted in this work by
Dr. Laurence Kalkstein of Applied Climatologists Inc. and the University of Delaware
Center for Climatic Research. Dr. Kalkstein helped pioneer, and continues to lead, the
development of integrated meteorological and human health models for forecasting
excessive heat event (EHE) conditions. He also contributed a wealth of background
information in the form of published articles about and insight into forecasting EHEs,
quantifying their health impacts, and coordinating the development of EHE watch/
warning systems.
Ultimately, though, this guidebook could not have been developed without the
involvement of the members of the Technical Working Group (TWG) that was assembled
to help identify and summarize essential information and to comment on drafts  of the
guidebook. Their collective experience designing, implementing, supporting, operating,
and evaluating EHE notification and response programs throughout the United States and
Canada was an invaluable resource. The members of the TWG are as follows:
  >• Nancy Day and Marco Vittiglio, Toronto Public Health

  *• Timothy Burroughs, Nikolaas Dietsch, Anne Grambsch, and Kathy Sykes, EPA

  » Tony Haffer, Melinda Hinojosa, and Paul Trotter, NOAA/NWS

  *• Jerry Libby (retired) and Lawrence Robinson, City of Philadelphia Department of
    Public Health

  >• Christopher Payne, Cincinnati Health Commissioner's Office

  >- Liz Robinson, Energy Coordinating Agency of Philadelphia.

The TWG's  guidance and perspective make this guidebook such a potentially useful
resource. The members' enthusiasm and commitment of time to the guidebook's
development are deeply appreciated by the partnering agencies and those involved with
the guidebook's technical development.
Acknowledgments

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Finally, extremely helpful comments were received on a final draft of the guidebook from
colleagues and researchers contacted by members of the TWG. In addition to staff at the
partnering agencies, these reviewers included:
Pamela Blixt, City of Minneapolis Emergency Preparedness Coordinator; Robert Davis and
Chip Knappenberger, New Hope Environmental Services; Kristie Ebi, Exponent Inc.;
Pat Finnegan, Metropolitan Chicago Healthcare Council; Robert French and Warren Leek,
Maricopa County; Stephen Keach, Perrin Quarles Associates; Sari Kovats, London School of
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Marc Rosenthal, Yale University; Jonathan Skindlov,
Salt River Project Water Resource Operations; Steven Wallace, University of California,
Los Angeles Center for Health Policy Research; and Scott Wright, University of Utah.
                                                       Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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List of Acronyms and Abbreviations
CDC
CSA
DHS
EHE
EMS
EPA
NOAA
NWS
PGA
SMSA
SSC
TWG
UL
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Canadian Standards Approved
U.S. Department of Homeland Security
excessive heat event
emergency medical service
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
National Weather Service
Philadelphia Corporation for Aging
standard metropolitan statistical area
spatial synoptic classification
Technical Working Group
Underwriter Laboratories
Acronyms and Abbreviations

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Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Introduction
Excessive heat events (EHEs) are and will continue to be a fact of life in the United States.
These events are a public health threat because they often increase the number of daily
deaths (mortality) and other nonfatal adverse health outcomes (morbidity) in affected
populations. Distinct groups within the population, generally those who are older, very
young, or poor, or have physical challenges or mental impairments, are at elevated risk for
experiencing EHE-attributable health problems. However, because EHEs can be accurately
forecasted and a number of low cost but effective responses are well understood, future
health impacts of EHEs could be reduced. This guidebook provides critical information
that local public health officials and others need to begin assessing their EHE vulnerability
and developing and implementing EHE notification and response programs.

Health impacts of EHEs
EHE conditions are defined by summertime weather that is substantially hotter and/or
more humid than average for a location at that time of year. EHE conditions can increase
the incidence of mortality and morbidity in affected populations. Recent examples of
EHE health impacts include:
  *• More than 15,000 deaths in France alone (all of western Europe was affected)
    attributed to EHE conditions in August 2003

    More than 700 deaths attributed to EHE conditions in Cook County, Illinois, in July
    1995

  ^ Roughly 120 deaths attributed to EHE conditions in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, in
    July 1993.

Concern over the potential future health impacts of EHEs follows research conclusions
that EHEs may become more frequent, more severe, or both in the United States.

Responding to EHE conditions
The potential for reducing future health impacts of EHEs in the United States is
significant for several reasons.
First, meteorologists can accurately forecast EHE development and the severity of the
associated conditions with several days of lead time. This provides an opportunity to
activate established EHE notification and response plans or to implement short-term
emergency response actions absent an existing plan.
Second, specific high-risk groups typically experience a disproportionate number of
health impacts from EHE conditions. The populations that have physical, social, and
economic factors and the specific actions that make them at high risk include:
  *• Older persons (age > 65)

  >• Infants (age < i)

  >• The homeless

  >• The poor

  >- People who are socially isolated
Summary

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  >• People with mobility restrictions or mental impairments

  »• People taking certain medications (e.g., for high blood pressure, depression,
    insomnia)

  >• People engaged in vigorous outdoor exercise or work or those under the influence of
    drugs or alcohol.

Identifying these high-risk groups in given locations allows public health officials to
develop and implement targeted EHE notification and response actions that focus
surveillance and relief efforts on those at greatest risk.
Third, broad consensus exists on the types of actions that will provide relief to those at
risk during EHEs and help minimize associated health impacts. These actions include:
  *• Establishing and facilitating access to air-conditioned public shelters

  *- Ensuring real-time public access to information on the risks of the EHE conditions
    and appropriate responses through broadcast media, web sites, toll-free phone lines,
    and other means

  +• Establishing systems to alert public health officials about high-risk individuals or
    those in distress during an EHE (e.g., phone hotlines, high-risk lists)

  *• Directly assessing and, if needed, intervening on behalf of those at greatest risk (e.g.,
    the homeless, older people, those with known medical conditions).

Experience in several North American cities has demonstrated that comprehensive and
effective EHE notification and response programs can be developed and implemented at
relatively low  cost. These programs generally use available resources instead of creating
EHE-specific institutions. This approach recognizes that short-term resource reallocations
for EHEs are justified by the severity of their public health risks, the limited duration and
frequency of the  events, and the cost-effectiveness of the reallocations.

Guidebook goals and next steps
This guidebook provides interested public health officials with enough background
information on EHE risks and impacts to roughly assess potential local health  risks from
EHEs. In addition, it provides a menu of notification and response actions to consider
when developing or enhancing a local EHE program.
The 2005 U.S. hurricane season was a stark reminder that inadequate public and private
preparation and response to well-forecasted and well-understood extreme meteorological
phenomena can have severe public health consequences.
The remaining public health challenge for EHEs is to develop and implement meaningful
EHE notification and response programs that increase public awareness and lessen future
adverse health impacts.
                                                     Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Overview
EHEs can increase the number of deaths (mortality) and nonfatal outcomes (morbidity)
in vulnerable populations, including older people, the very young, the homeless, and
people with cognitive and physical impairments (NOAA, 1995; American Medical
Association Council on Scientific Affairs, 1997; Semenza et al, 1999). Climate research
suggests that future health risks of EHEs could increase with an increase in EHE frequency
and severity (Meehl and Tebaldi, 2004). At the same time, demographic patterns including
increasing urbanization will increase the size and percentage of the vulnerable U.S.
population. To develop appropriate EHE responses, local officials need to understand the
risks that these events pose to their populations and their response options. The intent of
this guidebook is to address both needs.

1.1  Why Care about EHEs?
Studies estimate that the combined EHE-attributable summertime mortality for several
vulnerable U.S. metropolitan areas is well above 1,000 deaths per year (Kalkstein, 1997;
Davis et al, 2003a). Although similar research to quantify EHE-attributable mortality in
rural areas has not been completed, recent research (Sheridan and Dolney, 2003) found
evidence of such an impact.
Despite the history of adverse health impacts, there is consensus that most of these
outcomes are preventable (CDC, 2004a). Lessening future adverse health outcomes from
EHEs will require improving the awareness of public health officials and the general
public about the health risks of EHEs while continuing to develop and implement
effective EHE  notification and response programs.

1.2  Guidebook Goals
This guidebook  has two basic goals: first, to provide local health and public safety officials
with the information they need to  develop EHE criteria and evaluate the potential health
impacts of EHEs, and second, to offer a menu of EHE notification and response actions to
be considered.
To meet these goals, this guidebook is organized as follows.
Chapter 2 provides information on EHE-attributable health impacts and sources of risk
that affect the vulnerability of individuals and communities to EHEs. Specific information
provided in the chapter includes:
  *• A general EHE definition

  *• Guidance on criteria for EHE forecasting and identifying EHE conditions

  >• Estimates of the number and rate of EHE-attributable summertime deaths for select
    U.S. metropolitan areas

  >• A review of the meteorological, demographic, behavioral, and regional characteristics
    that increase health risks from EHEs.
I
o
Overview

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                        Chapters gives the menu of notification and response options that local officials can use
^                       as a starting point when considering whether to develop or enhance an EHE program.
a                       This menu consists of the following information:
.c
                          >• The components of current EHE notification and response programs

                          *• Case studies of specific EHE response programs to understand their development and
                            lessons learned

                            A review of the efficacy of EHE response programs.

                        Chapter 4 provides recommendations that should be considered when developing an
                        EHE notification and response program. Specifically, this chapter contains:
                          »• Guidance on specific actions to consider when planning to develop or enhance an
                            EHE program

                          ^ Recommendations for coordinating EHE programs with other public health
                            programs (e.g., ozone alert programs).

                        In addition, the guidebook includes a series of appendices with information that officials
                        may want to incorporate in other materials or make available independent of the
                        guidebook. This information includes:
                          ^ A partial list of resources for additional information on EHE-attributable health risks
                            and impacts and details on EHE programs  fAppendixAj

                          >- Guidance on the personal use of portable electric fans during EHEs fAppendix BJ

                            A summary of specific actions people and communities can take in response to
                            forecast EHE conditions to reduce the risk  of experiencing heat-attributable health
                            problems fAppendix CJ.

                        1.3 Guidebook Development
                        Other documents have summarized the health  risks of EHEs, described the factors that
                        increase an individual's health risk during these conditions, and recommended elements
                        for EHE notification and response programs (e.g., Basu and Samet, 2002; Bernard and
                        McGeehin, 2004; CDC, 2004a,c; FEMA, 2005b; U.S. EPA, 2005).
                        This guidebook, however, is unique because it was developed as a collaborative effort
                        among several of the principal federal agencies responsible for addressing EHEs: the
                        Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
                        Administration's (NOAA's) National Weather Service (NWS), the U.S. Department of
                        Homeland Security (DHS), and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) along with
                        three other institutions with extensive experience developing and operating recognized
                        EHE programs in the United States and abroad: the Philadelphia Health Department,
                        Toronto Public Health, and the University of Delaware Center for Climatic Research.
                        Summarizing the collective insight and experience of the individuals from these
                        organizations was facilitated through the participation of their staff in a Technical
                        Working Group (TWG). The TWG helped shape the guidebook's content through regular
                        group discussions and review of draft versions of the guidebook.
                                                                            Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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EHE Health  Impacts  and Risk Sources
This chapter first defines an EHE and reviews possible criteria for identifying EHE
conditions, followed by a discussion of the range of EHE-attributable medical conditions,
adverse health outcomes, and mortality estimates for several U.S. metropolitan areas. It
also reviews the characteristics that can affect an individual's health risk and the incidence
of adverse health outcomes in a population.

2.1  Defining an EHE
EHE conditions are defined by summertime weather that is substantially hotter and/or
more humid than average for a location at that time of year. Because how hot it feels
depends on the interaction of multiple meteorological variables (e.g., temperature,
humidity, cloud cover), EHE criteria typically shift by location and time of year. In other
words, Boston, Philadelphia, Miami, Dallas, Chicago, San Diego, and Seattle are likely to
have different EHE criteria at any point in the summer to reflect different local standards
for unusually hot summertime weather. In addition, these criteria are likely to change for
each city over the summer. As a result, reliable fixed absolute criteria, e.g., a summer day
with a maximum temperature of at least 9O°F, are unlikely to be specified.
There are different ways to identify EHE conditions. Some locations evaluate current and
forecast weather to identify EHE conditions with site-specific, weather-based mortality
algorithms. Other locations identify and forecast EHE conditions based on statistical
comparisons to historical meteorological baselines. For example, the criterion for EHE
conditions could be an actual or forecast daily high temperature that is equal to or exceeds
the 95iH percentile value from a historical distribution for a defined time period (e.g., the
summer or a month-long window centered on the date).
Figure 2.1 presents a hypothetical example that shows the difference in defining
EHE conditions when using a seasonally adjusted relative temperature versus a fixed
temperature criterion.

Figure 2.1.  An example illustrating the  difference between a seasonally adjusted relative
temperature threshold and a fixed absolute temperature threshold for defining EHE
conditions. Source: Personal communication, B. Davis, New Hope Environmental Services, August 2005.
    110
                                                      a.
                                                      as
    Max.
   Temp °F
               June
August
September
EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources

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ft
CO
.c
O
Representations of actual EHEs can help illustrate these conditions. During the summer
of 2003, Western Europe experienced EHE conditions of unprecedented severity. Figure
2.2 presents the June through August 2003 daily maximum temperature readings in Paris
with the corresponding average daily maximum temperature from the historical record.
Although the June and July temperatures in Figure 2.2 may not seem exceptional,
the extent to which they generally exceeded the long-term average shows why Paris
experienced EHE conditions. The period from August 3 to August 17, however, is notable
for its absolute temperatures and its  tremendous deviation from typical conditions.
Reflecting the significant health risks of EHE conditions, France experienced roughly
15,000 heat-related deaths during this period (Koppe et al, 2004).

Figure 2.2.  Actual (red line) vs. average (black line) daily maximum temperatures
                             Paris, France - Summer 2003
                           Temp
                                                                                       August
                        2.2  Health Risks Attributable to EHE Conditions
                        Maintaining a consistent internal body temperature, generally 98.6°F, is essential to
                        normal physical functioning (American Medical Association Council on Scientific Affairs,
                        1997). EHE conditions stress the body's ability to maintain this ideal internal temperature.
                        If individuals fail or are unable to take steps to remain cool and begin to experience
                        increasing internal temperatures, they increase their risk of experiencing a range of
                        potential adverse health outcomes.
                        Table 2.1 lists some of the medical conditions directly attributable to excessive heat
                        exposure, along with recommended responses.
                        EHE conditions can result in increases in the number of cases of other health problems
                        as well. For example, EHEs can increase the number of patients experiencing circulatory
                        system conditions. These additional problems come from the added strain on the heart,
                        increasing circulation to regulate internal temperatures, or to overcome the effects of
                        dehydration, which thickens the blood, making it harder for the heart to pump.
             10
                                                                             Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Table 2.1.   Medical conditions directly attributable to excessive heat exposure
 Medical Condition         Symptoms                      Responses
 Heat cramps
Painful muscle cramps and
spasms, usually in muscles
of legs and abdomen.
Heavy sweating.
Apply firm pressure on cramping muscles
or gently massage to relieve spasm.
Give sips of water; if nausea occurs,
discontinue water intake. Consult with a
clinician or physician if individual has fluid
restrictions (e.g., dialysis patients).
 Heat exhaustion
Heavy sweating, weakness,
cool skin, pale, and clammy.
Weak pulse. Normal
temperature possible.
Possible muscle cramps,
dizziness, fainting, nausea,
and vomiting.
Move individual out of sun, lay him or her
down, and loosen clothing. Apply cool,
wet cloths. Fan or move individual to air-
conditioned room. Give sips of water; if
nausea occurs, discontinue water intake.
If vomiting continues, seek immediate
medical attention. Consult with a clinician
or physician if individual has fluid
restrictions (e.g., dialysis patients).
 Heat stroke         Altered mental state.
 (sunstroke)         Possible throbbing
                    headache, confusion,
                    nausea, and dizziness.
                    High body temperature
                    (106°F or higher). Rapid
                    and strong pulse. Possible
                    unconsciousness. Skin
                    may be hot and dry, or
                    patient may be sweating.
                    Sweating likely especially
                    if patient was  previously
                    involved in vigorous activity.
                          Heat stroke is a severe medical
                          emergency. Summon emergency medical
                          assistance or get the individual to a
                          hospital immediately. Delay can be fatal.
                          Move individual to a cooler, preferably
                          air-conditioned, environment. Reduce
                          body temperature with a water mister
                          and fan or sponging. Use air conditioners.
                          Use fans if heat index temperatures are
                          below the high 90s. Use extreme caution.
                          Remove clothing. If temperature rises
                          again, repeat process. Do not give fluids.
Sources: CDC, 2004a; Kunihim and Foster, 2004; NWS, 2004.


2.3 Quantifying the Health Impacts of EHEs
Quantifying the health impacts of EHEs is complicated by the differences in
quantification methods and a lack of accurate data.
The most conservative quantification method counts only outcomes on EHE days where
the attribution information (e.g., primary diagnosis, cause of death) lists excessive
weather-related heat exposure or a condition unequivocally associated with excessive
heat exposure, such as heat stroke. This approach underestimates the health impacts of
EHEs because not all the heat-related cases will include an attribution that recognizes
this impact. More inclusive methods quantify EHE health impacts based on increases in
outcomes during EHE periods compared to long-term averages. But such approaches
can be absolute and attribute all observed increases in outcomes to EHEs, overestimating
the heat-related mortality. Alternatively, the approach can be partial and attribute only a
portion of the observed increase in outcomes to EHEs based on professional judgment or
the results of additional analyses such as regression.
                                                                                                            a.
                                                                                                            oj
EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources
                                                                                             11

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                         2.3.1  EHEs and U.S. mortality
                         There are a number of methods for estimating the public health threat and impact of
                         EHEs. Since these methods can have a significant impact on the resulting estimate, it
                         is important to recognize their differences when reviewing information describing the
                         public health burden of EHEs.
                         The most conservative estimate of EHE mortality counts only cases in which exposure to
                         excessive heat is reported on a death certificate as a primary or contributing factor. Using
                         this approach, it was estimated that extreme heat from weather conditions is, on average,
                         responsible annually for 182 deaths in the United States (CDC, 2002).
<*                        The conservative nature of this estimate due to the narrow criteria is recognized in the
                         study itself (CDC, 2002). The accuracy of this estimate would improve with widespread
g                        adoption of revised criteria for attributing a death to excessive heat exposure. Typically,
                         medical examiners list heat exposure as a primary or contributing cause of death only
                         if the core body temperature exceeds io5°F. In the revised criteria, a death also can be
                         classified as heat-related if the person is "found in an enclosed environment with a high
                         ambient temperature without adequate cooling devices and the individual had been
                         known to be alive at the onset of the heat wave" (Donoghue et al, 1997). Importantly, the
                         National Association of Medical Examiners supports using  these broader criteria, and
                         medical examiners in several large cities (e.g., Philadelphia) have adopted them.
                         Alternative EHE mortality estimates come from analyses of daily urban summertime
                         mortality patterns in the United States (Kalkstein and Greene, 1997; Davis et al, 2003a).
                         These studies  first defined EHE conditions and then calculated the number of EHE-
                         attributable deaths based on differences in daily deaths on EHE days compared to longer-
                         term averages. Although differences in the time series, definitions of urban populations,
                         and other analytical methods prevent an exact comparison  of results from Kalkstein and
                         Greene (1997) and Davis et al. (2003a), their findings  correspond closely [for details of the
                         studies' methods and the comparison of results see accompanying background technical
                         report (Mills, 2005)]. Table 2.2 presents the estimates of heat-attributable excess deaths
                         and mortality rates from these studies.
                         The results in Table 2.2 are  notable for several reasons. First, despite differences in
                         methods and the locations  evaluated, the studies' results fall in  a narrow range of roughly
                         1,700-1,800 total heat-attributable deaths per summer. These estimates are roughly an
                         order of magnitude greater than the comprehensive national annual average of 182
                         deaths with a listed cause of death of "excessive heat due to weather conditions" (CDC,
                         2002). This difference highlights the importance of the method (i.e., excess incidence
                         or attributed outcomes) used to quantify EHEs' health impacts. Although summing the
                         results across different groups of locations minimizes some of the initial distinctions
                         in the studies, some of the location-specific results in  Table 2.2  show that significant
                         differences can result from  applying different methods to essentially the same mortality
                         and meteorological data.
                         Second, both studies' results show significant regional variation: EHEs have the greatest
                         impact in the Northeast and Midwest and the least impact in the South and Southwest.
                         This result is consistent with hypotheses that populations in the most vulnerable areas are
                         not as acclimatized to elevated temperatures and that structures in less susceptible  areas
             12                                                               Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Table 2.2   Estimates of heat-attributable deaths per summer and mortality rates in
select U.S. metropolitan areas
Standard
Metropolitan
Statistical
Area (SMSA)
Birmingham
Providence
Hartford
St. Louis
Kansas City
Buffalo
Indianapolis
Memphis
Columbus
Minneapolis
Chicago
Philadelphia
Denver
Detroit
Greensboro
Nassau, New
York Cify, Newark
Louisville
Boston
Pittsburgh
New Orleans
Tampa
Baltimore;
Washington, D.C.
Cleveland
Dallas
Atlanta
Cincinnati
Portland
Los Angeles
and Riverside
San Francisco
San Antonio
Houston
Seattle
Jacksonville
Miami, Fort
Lauderdale
Phoenix
Salt Lake City
San Diego
Norfolk
Charlotte
Total
Deaths1
(Estimated average
from 1990 population)
42
47
38
79
49
33
36
25
33
59
191
129
42
110
22
362
17
96
39
20
28
84
29
36
25
14
9
72
28
4
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
N/A
1,810
Deaths2
(Estimated average
summertime heat-
attributable deaths
from 1990 population)
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
0
19
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
193
71
22
124
0
552
N/A
56
40
30
0
40
23
0
75
0
32
216
138
N/A
0
96
N/A
0
6
N/A
N/A
0
0
1,733
Mortality Rate1
(Estimated heat-
attributable deaths
per 100,000,
1990s baseline)
5.00
4.14
3.28
3.17
3.10
2.78
2.61
2.48
2.45
2.32
2.32
2.19
2.12
2.12
2.10
1.85
1.79
1.76
1.63
1.56
1.35
1.25
1.01
0.89
0.84
0.77
0.50
0.50
0.45
0.30
0.19
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
N/A

Mortality Rate2
(Estimated heat-
attributable deaths
per 100,000,
1990s baseline)
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.00
0.00
1.63
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.00
2.34
1.21
1.09
2.39
0.00
2.82
N/A
1.03
1.69
2.31
0.00
0.59
0.80
0.00
2.51
0.00
1.76
1.50
2.21
N/A
0.00
3.27
N/A
0.00
0.30
N/A
N/A
0.00
0.00

                                                                                                                 a.
                                                                                                                 as
Note: N/A, not applicable, refers to a metropolitan area not examined in one of the studies.
1. Ka/kstein and Greene, 1997.
2. Davis et a/., 2003a.
EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources
                                                                                                  13

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are better designed to accommodate elevated temperatures. However, fewer locations were
evaluated in the South and Southwest because of the studies' population selection criteria,
so support for these hypotheses remains qualified. This regional result is more evident in
Figure 2.3, which presents the Kalkstein and Greene (1997) results along with a similar
result for Toronto (N. Day, personal communication, Toronto Public Health, 2005).
EHE-attributable mortality estimates from specific EHEs are also available:
  >• Chicago, 1995, mid-July EHE: The county coroner certified 465 heat-related deaths
    in Chicago (Cook County, Illinois) from July n to July 27,1995 (CDC, 1995). More
    than 700 deaths in Chicago were eventually attributed to this EHE (e.g., Palecki et
    al, 2001). The difference reflects deaths directly attributed to heat by the medical
    examiner (CDC, 1995) and estimates of the total excess mortality attributable to the
    EHE based on studies of daily mortality patterns (Palecki et al, 2001).

    Philadelphia, 1993, early-July EHE: The county coroner certified 118 heat-related
    deaths in Philadelphia from July 6 to July 14,1993 (CDC, 1994).

These estimates demonstrate that an EHE in the United States can easily be responsible
for hundreds of deaths in a large metropolitan area.

2.3.2  EHEs and U.S. morbidity
EHE morbidity studies are relatively rare because of a lack of suitable daily time-series
data. Further, when such studies are attempted, only the most severe morbidity outcomes
(emergency room visits and hospitalizations) tend to be evaluated because of the limited
number of locations where patients can be seen and be treated.
One of the few U.S. EHE morbidity studies examined Chicago hospital admissions during
the July 1995 EHE. Semenza et al. (1999) calculated that this EHE was responsible for
more than 1,000 hospital admissions, and anecdotal evidence strongly suggests that this
EHE increased the incidence of Chicago emergency room visits. Specifically, the Natural
Disaster Survey Report: July 1995 Heat Wave (NOAA, 1995) reported that on the second
day of the EHE, only a few Chicago emergency rooms were directing ambulances to other
facilities because of crowding (i.e., operating in bypass status), but by the fourth day, 18
city emergency rooms were doing so.
             14
                                                                              Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Figure 2.3.   Estimated EHE-attributable mortality rates.
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EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources
                                                                                                    15

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In summary, available evidence suggests that EHEs increase morbidity incidence.
More complete assessments of EHE impacts, including evaluations of EHE impacts on
less severe outcomes, may require carefully designed retrospective surveys in affected
populations.

2.4 Identifying Characteristics that Affect EHE Health Risks
Several factors can increase health risks during an EHE: the EHE's meteorological
conditions, demographic characteristics, personal behavioral choices, and regional
characteristics.

2.4.1  Meteorological conditions
When the weather gets hotter, the risk of losing control of one's internal temperature
increases. Heat index tables such as the one in Table 2.3 are commonly used to capture
interactions among several meteorological variables to provide a measure of how hot it
feels. Even heat index table results are sensitive, however, to the particular meteorological
variables measured. For example, heat index results, including those in Table 2.3, often
assume measurements are  taken in a shaded location with light wind. As a result, most
heat index tables also note  that exposure to direct sunlight can increase heat index values
by up to i5°F. These table notes may also state that exposure to  hot dry winds can further
increase health risks by promoting rapid dehydration, although a quantitative measure of
these conditions' impact is not provided (NWS Forecast Office, Pueblo, Colorado, 2004).
Ultimately, a change in any meteorological variable that increases heat index values or
promotes dehydration will increase the individual's health risk.
EHE conditions represent a "shock" that can overwhelm typical responses to elevated
temperatures. All else being equal, the shock value and the health risks increase the earlier
in the summer the EHE occurs (Kalkstein and Davis,  1989; Sheridan and Kalkstein, 1998)
because residents adapt, to some degree, to warmer summer conditions over the season.
Similarly, health risks increase with the duration of the EHE measured as the number of
consecutive EHE days (Greene and Kalkstein, 1996) and the amount of time spent above
minimum temperature thresholds (Kalkstein and Davis, 1989).
                         Table 2.3.  Heat index values
                          Temperature
                         3. Heat index values were not given for the temperature and relative humidity combinations that have blank
                           cells.
                         4. Heat index values can be up to 15°F higher with exposure to direct sunlight. Heat index values assume
                           calm wind conditions; hot dry winds can a/so increase heat index values.

                         Source: NWS Forecast Office, Pueblo, Colorado, 2004.
             16
                                                                               Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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2.4.2 Demographic sensitivities
Individuals possessing any combination of the following characteristics or conditions are
at greater risk for experiencing an EHE-attributable adverse health outcome:
  >- Physical constraints: It is difficult for some people to increase their circulation
    and perspiration during an EHE to help them remain cool. This at-risk group
    includes infants, older people (age 65 and older, who may also be less likely to
    recognize symptoms of excessive heat exposure), the obese, the bedridden, those with
    underlying medical conditions (e.g., heart disease, diabetes), those taking certain
    medications (e.g., for high blood pressure, depression, insomnia), and individuals
    under the influence of drugs or alcohol.

  >- Mobility constraints: People with mobility constraints are at higher risk during EHEs
    if the constraints limit their ability to access appropriately cooled locations. This
    group includes the very young and the bedridden.

  >• Cognitive impairments: People with mental illnesses, with cognitive disorders, or
    under the influence of drugs or alcohol maybe unable to make rational decisions
    that would help limit their exposure to excessive heat or to recognize symptoms  of
    excessive heat exposure.

  ** Economic constraints: The poor may be disproportionately at risk during
    EHEs if their homes lack air conditioning or they are less likely to use available
    air conditioning because of the cost (NWS, 2004). In addition, if the poor
    disproportionately reside in high crime areas, fear of crime can increase their risks
    by hindering their willingness to take appropriate responses  [e.g., opening doors
    and windows  for circulation, visiting cooling shelters (American Medical Association
    Council on Scientific Affairs,  1997)].

  >• Social isolation: Socially isolated individuals are less likely to recognize symptoms
    of excessive heat exposure. This can delay or prevent treatment and result in more
    serious health outcomes. Members of this group, which include the homeless and
    those living alone, may also be less willing or able to reach out to others for help.

2.4.3 Behavioral choices
In addition to demographic characteristics, the choices individuals make during an EHE
can have a profound effect on the health risks they face. Examples of personal choices that
can increase an individual's health risks during an EHE include the following (American
Medical Association Council  on Scientific Affairs, 1997;  CDC2004a,c; NWS, 2004):
  >• Wearing inappropriate clothing: Heavy, dark clothing can keep the body hot and
    limit cooling from evaporation of perspiration. Clothing that exposes skin to the sun
    increases the risk of sunburn, which limits the potential for evaporative cooling.

  *• Failing to  stay adequately hydrated: During EHE conditions, we rely heavily on
    perspiration to regulate our body temperature. Without enough water consumption,
    perspiration will be inadequate or even cease and body temperature will rise.
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EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources
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  *• Consuming alcohol: Alcohol is a diuretic and thus limits perspiration. It can also
    impair judgment and result in excessive exposure to the elevated temperatures.

  >• Engaging in outdoor activities: Any activities that increase exposure to the sun or
    generate additional body heat (e.g., attending outdoor events, exercising, outdoor
    labor) increase the amount of body heat that must be dissipated.

  *• Eating inappropriate meals: Eating hot and heavy (e.g., high-protein) foods will
    increase the metabolic rate and increase the amount of body heat that must be
    dissipated.

2.4.4 Regional factors
Finally, regional characteristics can help determine an individual's health risks during
EHEs. These characteristics include:
    Geographic location: Climate variability is largely a function of location, and
    increased variability has been associated with elevated heat-attributable mortality
    rates (Chestnut et al, 1998).

  *- Urbanization and urban design: As buildings, especially those with dark roofs, and
    dark paving materials replace vegetation in urban areas, the heat absorbed during
    the day increases and cooling from shade and evaporation of water from soil and
    leaves is lost. Urban areas can also have reduced air flow because of tall buildings,
    and increased amounts of waste heat generated from vehicles, factories, and  air
    conditioners. These factors can contribute to the development of an urban heat
    island, which has higher daytime maximum temperatures and less nighttime cooling
    than surrounding rural areas (see Figure 2.4). Urban heat islands can increase health
    risks during EHEs by increasing the potential maximum temperature residents are
    exposed to  and the length of time that they are exposed to elevated temperatures.

    Residential location: Residents on the upper floors of buildings will feel the effects
    of rising heat. This can elevate room temperatures and make it more difficult to
    maintain a  consistent internal temperature if air conditioning is not available or is not
    used, or if ventilation is restricted.
                                                Urban Heat Island Profile
                                   Rural
                                               Commercial
                                        Suburban
                                        Residential
                                      Urban
                                    Residential
Suburban
Residential
                             Downtown
                                              Park
                                                                 Figure 2.4. Impact
                                                                 of the urban heat
                                                                 island on ambient
                                                                 temperatures.
                                                                 Source: US. EPA,
                                                                 2006.
             18
                                                                               Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Table 2.4 summarizes the factors that increase the risk of an individual getting sick or
dying from an EHE.
Table 2.4.  Factors that increase an individual's risk of experiencing an EHE-attributable
adverse health outcome
                            Meteorological Characteristics
     Increased temperature
     Increased relative humidity
     Dry,  hot winds

                             Demographic Characteristics
     Physical constraints (including underlying  medical conditions)
     Mobility constraints
     Cognitive impairments
     Economic constraints
     Social isolation
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     Wearing inappropriate clothing
    • Failing to stay adequately hydrated
     Consuming alcohol
    • Engaging  in outdoor activities
    • Eating heavy and/or hot foods

                               Regional Characteristics
     Living in an area with a variable climate
     Living in an urban area
     Living on the upper  floors of buildings
EHE Health Impacts and Risk Sources
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              20
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Summary of Current
EHE  Notification & Response Programs
Effective EHE notification and response programs draw on available local resources and
recognize local constraints to minimize increases in morbidity and mortality during
EHEs. As a result, effective EHE notification and response programs can vary.
This chapter summarizes the current range of observed response actions to EHE
conditions. Not all of these actions will be feasible  or appropriate for every location.
This summary is intended to provide parties wanting to develop or enhance an EHE
notification and response program with a "menu" of possible actions to consider.
This summary has a number of caveats. First, the reviewed EHE programs were selected to
provide an illustrative rather than all-inclusive set of notification and response actions. As
a result, specific actions that are important components of other effective EHE programs
may have been omitted. Second, our exclusion of specific actions in this summary is not
a judgment on their potential benefit. In fact, developing and evaluating notification and
response actions in response to local conditions is strongly encouraged.
This chapter first summarizes actions incorporated in the EHE programs we reviewed.
This is followed by narratives that offer insight into how and why the reviewed programs
were developed, and summarize critical lessons their administrators have learned over
time. The chapter also describes several short-term responses that the city of Phoenix,
Arizona, implemented during the EHE in the southwestern and central United States
in July 2005. These Phoenix responses are included to highlight actions that can be
taken with relatively short notice to address exceptional EHEs even if a formal EHE
program has not been developed. Finally, the  chapter reviews evidence from studies
that have attempted to quantify the impact of EHE notification and response programs.
Although limited, such studies provide some perspective on the potential benefits of EHE
notification and response programs.

3.1  Elements in Select EHE Programs
On the following page, Table 3.1  summarizes the actions Philadelphia and Toronto
incorporated in their EHE notification and response programs. These programs were
selected because they are widely recognized as benchmarks for those considering
developing a comprehensive EHE program.
Following Table 3.1, the individual elements are described in greater detail.
a.
ra
Summary of Current EHE Notification and Response Programs
                                                                                  21

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                           Table 3.1. Summary of confirmed EHE program elements in Philadelphia and Toronto
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                                               Program elements
                            Prediction  see 3.1.1, p. 23 ^
                               Ensure access to weather forecasts capable of predicting
                               EHE conditions 1-5 days in advance
                                                           Philadelphia5    Toronto6
                            Risk assessment  see 3.1.2, p. 23 ^
                               Coordinate transfer and evaluation of weather forecasts by
                               EHE program personnel
                               Develop quantitative estimates of the EHE's potential
                               health impact
                               Use the broader criteria to identify heat-attributable deaths
                               Develop information on high-risk individuals
                               Develop an accessible record on facilities and locations
                               with concentrations of high-risk individuals
Notification and response  see 3.1.3, p. 24 ^
  Coordinate public broadcasts of information about the
  anticipated timing, severity, and duration of EHE conditions
  and availability and hours of any public  cooling centers
  Coordinate public distribution and broadcast of heat
  exposure symptoms and tips on how to stay cool during
  an EHE
  Operate  informational phone lines that  can be used to
  report heat-related health concerns
  Designate public buildings or specific private buildings
  with air conditioning as public cooling shelters and
  provide transportation
  Extend hours of operation at community centers with air
  conditioning
  Arrange  for extra staffing  of emergency support services
  Directly contact  and evaluate  the environmental conditions
  and health  status of known high-risk individuals and
  locations likely to have concentrations of these individuals
  Increase outreach efforts to the homeless and establish
  provisions for their protective  removal to cooling shelters
  Suspend utility shutoffs
  Reschedule public events to avoid large outdoor
  gatherings  when possible
                            Mitigation  see 3.1.4, p. 26 ^
                               Develop and promote actions to reduce effects of urban
                               heat islands
y
y
                                                                                             S

                                                                                             S
                                                                                             s
                                                                               s
                                                                               s
                                                                                                            s

                                                                                                            s

                                                                                                            s
               s
               s
                                                                  Not evaluated
                           5. NOAA, 1995; Kalkste/n, 2002.
                           6. Ka/kstein, 2002; personal communications, M. Vittig/io and N. Day, Toronto Public Health, 2005.
              22
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3.1.1  EHE prediction
'   Ensure access to weather forecasts capable of predicting EHE conditions
   1-5 days in advance
   Forecasting the development and characteristics of an EHE is a critical element of
   both EHE risk assessment and notification and response activities. In the United
   States, NWS forecasts provide national coverage, so any location could incorporate
   this element into an EHE program. Toronto and Philadelphia both use a sophisticated,
   air mass-based heat health system developed by the Center for Climatic Research at
   the University of Delaware to evaluate meteorological forecast data in terms of the
   potential to increase the number of daily deaths above average levels (Sheridan and
   Kalkstein, 2004).

3.1.2  EHE risk assessment
^- Coordinate transfer and evaluation of weather forecasts by EHE program
   personnel
   In some locations, EHE program personnel may need to review forecast data to
   determine whether location-specific criteria for EHE conditions are satisfied and,
   potentially, how the forecast conditions match with any established EHE severity
   criteria. Establishing forecast transfer and evaluation protocols involves specifying                            to
   under what conditions forecasters (e.g., the NWS) forward information to local
   officials (and confirm receipt) and identifying who within the EHE program reviews
   and evaluates the information. Alternatively, electronic systems can be established
   to retrieve and review forecast data from meteorologists and  notify EHE program
   personnel if certain criteria are satisfied.

^ Develop quantitative estimates of the EHE's potential health impacts
   Several locations with EHE notification and response programs, including
   Philadelphia and Toronto, have integrated heat health watch/warning systems that use
   meteorological forecast data as inputs to health impact models, which identify when
   forecast conditions could result in excess mortality and then estimate the potential
   number or probability of heat-attributable deaths (Sheridan and Kalkstein, 2004).
   These quantitative health impact estimates are then used in both cities to determine if
   and what type of heat emergency is declared. These determinations affect the type and
   scope of notification and response activities that will be implemented.

^ Use the broader criteria to  identify heat-attributable deaths
   Medical examiners can use the criteria in Donoghue et al. (1997) to define heat-
   attributable deaths and to provide the public with more accurate reporting of an EHE's
   health impacts. This information can increase public awareness and appreciation of
   the health risks of the conditions, which may improve compliance with recommended
   actions.

^- Develop information  on high-risk individuals
   Recognizing that some individuals have an elevated risk facilitates  notifying and
   responding to these individuals (e.g., older individuals, the homeless) to achieve
   the greatest public health benefit for a given resource commitment. Easily accessible
   contact information for these individuals  during an EHE can help the program
Summary of Current EHE Notification and Response Programs                                       23

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   prioritize assessment and intervention efforts. In some locations such as Chicago,
   the development of information on high-risk individuals has been expanded beyond
   persons known to public agencies. It includes people and organizations who can
   identify high-risk individuals so they can be a part of any active assessment and
   intervention program efforts.

^ Develop an accessible record of facilities and locations with concentrations
   of high-risk individuals
   A database or list of high-risk facilities and locations would complement a list of high-
   risk individuals. This list could help prioritize active assessment efforts during an EHE
   (e.g., visiting retirement homes) to coordinate EHE notification activities through
   combinations of fax,  email, or telephone contact trees. For example, in Toronto, more
   than 800 community agencies are notified of EHE conditions through a fax/call-out
   tree.

3.1.3 EHE notification and response
Coordinate public broadcasts of information about the anticipated timing, severity, and
duration of EHE conditions, and availability and hours of any public cooling centers
Effective public notification of forecast EHE conditions helps eliminate the risk of an
EHE taking a population by surprise. More specifically, notifying the public of anticipated
EHE conditions will enable many residents to prepare and will enable public assessment
and intervention actions to concentrate on known high-risk individuals and locations.
Likewise, advance public notification about the availability of cooling centers will increase
the likelihood that at-risk individuals can take advantage of these services.

>• Coordinate public distribution and broadcast of heat exposure symptoms
   and tips on how to stay cool during EHEs
   Publicly broadcasting cooling tips and symptoms of excessive heat exposure will
   complement similar broadcasts about forecast EHE conditions and  help residents
   develop appropriate EHE responses (e.g., seek air-conditioned locations, minimize
   direct sun exposure, reschedule outdoor gatherings). When possible, this action would
   include providing this information before and throughout the summer to public
   meeting areas (e.g., churches, recreation centers, libraries, schools),  arranging periodic
   broadcasts through available media, and developing EHE Internet sites.

^- Operate informational phone lines that can be used to report  heat-related
   health concerns
   Telephone help lines  give real-time advice and information that can help people stay
   safe and avoid serious outcomes. This phone system either can be activated when
   an EHE is forecast (e.g., Philadelphia's or Toronto's Heat Lines), or can be a more
   general, full-time system (e.g., a 311 line) staffed during EHEs by personnel with
   the information and ability to access and direct other intervention resources (e.g.,
   emergency medical staff) as needed.
             24
                                                                             Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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   Designate public buildings or specific private buildings with air conditioning
   (e.g., shopping malls, movie theaters) as public cooling shelters and provide
   transportation if necessary
   Spending time in an air-conditioned environment during an EHE is one of the most
   effective means of reducing one's risk of overheating. By designating specific public
   buildings with air conditioning as cooling shelters, and by providing information on
   large private buildings with air conditioning where the public can freely congregate
   (e.g., shopping malls and movie theaters), local officials can increase the awareness
   and use of these resources to minimize an EHE's health impacts. Providing free public
   transportation to those locations during an EHE also recognizes that many with the
   greatest need for the shelters may have limited access to personal transportation  and
   limited financial resources.

   Extend hours of operation at community centers with air conditioning
   Many of those at greatest risk during an EHE may already frequently visit specific air-
   conditioned public locations (e.g., child care and senior centers). Extending the hours
   of operation at these and other public locations with air conditioning during EHEs
   increases the opportunity for high-risk individuals to spend time in an air-conditioned
   environment.
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   Arrange for extra staffing of emergency support services
   EHEs will place additional burdens on emergency medical and social support services
   through increased activity focused on preventing adverse health outcomes and
   increased need for medical services. Increasing the staffing of emergency medical and
   social support services in response to an EHE forecast increases the opportunity to
   avert some outcomes with intervention and assessment activities or at least have them
   addressed at an earlier and less severe stage by preventing the emergency medical
   system from becoming overwhelmed.

   Directly contact and evaluate the environmental conditions and health status
   of known high-risk individuals and locations likely to have concentrations of
   these individuals
   High-risk individuals need to be contacted directly and, preferably, observed several times
   a day during EHEs to ensure that cooling tips are being followed (e.g., fluids are being
   consumed, appropriate clothing is being worn) and that any symptoms of overexposure
   are recognized and alleviated as early as possible. This labor-intensive action is offset by
   a reduction in the number and severity of adverse health outcomes among the high-
   risk population. The individuals to be contacted and locations to be visited would be
   identified in the risk assessment component of the EHE program (see Section 3.1.2).

   Increase outreach efforts to the homeless and  establish provisions for their
   protective removal to cooling shelters
   The homeless are vulnerable during EHEs, so additional effort must be devoted to
   homeless outreach and evaluation during an EHE, especially during the day. This
   increased outreach effort should be supported by authorization for officials to move
   individuals believed to be experiencing medical difficulties or at extreme risk to cooling
   shelters for observation and treatment.
Summary of Current EHE Notification and Response Programs                                       25

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                        ^ Suspend utility shutoffs
                           Suspending utility service during an EHE could significantly increase the risk of
                           exposure to elevated temperatures. As a result, many local governments require local
                           utilities to suspend shutoffs during EHEs if they do not already have their own shutoff
                           suspension guidelines. However, suspending utility shutoffs during an EHE does not
                           ensure that at-risk individuals with access to air conditioning will use it.

                        ^ Reschedule public events to avoid large outdoor gatherings, when possible
                           When an EHE is forecast, there  are likely to be previously scheduled outdoor activities
                           involving large gatherings of individuals (e.g., youth league games, outdoor camps,
                           concerts). If these activities take place as scheduled, many people may experience
                           significant heat exposure. To the extent that local officials have control over how these
                           events proceed (e.g., through permits or use of facilities), efforts should be made to
                           reschedule the event or, when rescheduling is not feasible, require more medical staff
                           and "cool zones" for attendees.

                        3.1.4 EHE mitigation
                        > Develop and promote actions to reduce effects of urban heat islands
                           Urban heat islands can increase daytime temperatures and limit nighttime cooling.
                           This can increase the severity and duration of urban residents' exposure to high-heat
                           conditions and increase their risk for experiencing a heat-attributable adverse health
o                          outcome. Programs and actions that increase urban vegetation and the reflectiveness of
                           urban surfaces help address this problem.

                        3.2 Case Studies in the Development and Implementation
                            of EHE Programs
                        This section uses case studies from Philadelphia, Toronto, and Phoenix to show how
                        different forces can drive the development and implementation of EHE notification and
                        response programs and summarizes the lessons learned over time in these locations. These
                        insights are especially useful because these programs cover a broad geographic spectrum
                        and reflect varying degrees of active program coordination.

                        3.2.1  Philadelphia
                        Overview
                        Philadelphia's EHE notification and response program is often viewed as a benchmark for
                        integrated, urban EHE programs. Philadelphia has a long history of EHE impacts, with
                        references to heat-attributable deaths recorded since colonial times. The development
                        of this program demonstrates how an exceptional meteorological event can combine
                        with seemingly minor bureaucratic adjustments to create significant public interest and
                        support for an EHE notification and response program.
                        This EHE program's development  also demonstrates the importance of institutional
                        support and shows how response actions can be matched to program partners based on
                        their areas of expertise. Finally, the program highlights the benefits of incorporating a
                        system for active program review and adjustment to respond to needs, constraints, and
                        opportunities as they arise.
             26                                                             Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Development of Philadelphia's EHE program
Philadelphia's EHE notification and response program is a direct response to observable
public health impacts from specific EHEs combined with the public recognition of these
risks and institutional support to develop an effective response to avoid similar outcomes
in the future.
In the summer of 1991, more than 20 deaths in Philadelphia were attributed to excessive
heat exposure. In response, the city established and began to convene meetings of a Heat
Task Force under the direction of Health Department staff. The Health Department
identified original task force participants by informally assessing public and private
organizations that served at-risk individuals during an EHE or provided Philadelphia with
critical infrastructure and medical  services (e.g., electric and water utilities and emergency
medical service providers).
The Heat Task Force continued to meet through the spring of 1993, but had made little
progress in developing what would be recognized as an EHE notification and response
program. Then, from July 4 to July 14,1993, Philadelphia experienced EHE conditions
characterized by minimum daily high temperatures of at least 9O°F. By July 6, the risks
were apparent  and publicly recognized as the city health commissioner announced that
people were dying because of EHE conditions.
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At the same time, informal discussions between Health Department staff and                                   o
Southeastern Pennsylvania Red Cross board members led to the establishment of the
Heatline, a telephone hotline, to handle calls from residents with heat-related questions
and concerns. The Heatline, which  represented the extent of the city's direct response
actions to the EHE, operated for five days, and its number was widely reported by local
media.
Perhaps the most critical aspect of  the July EHE, in terms of its contribution to the
development of the current EHE program, was that the city medical examiner broke from
requiring a core body temperature  in excess of io5°F for listing a death as heat related.
Instead, deaths were listed as heat related if the core temperature criterion was satisfied
or if a body was "found in an enclosed environment with a high ambient temperature
without adequate cooling  devices and the individual had been known to be alive at the
onset of the heat wave" (Donoghue et al, 1997).
This change resulted in the medical examiner classifying 105 deaths during the July 1993
EHE as heat related. In contrast, for all of July, New York City  and Washington, D.C.,
which had experienced similar meteorological conditions, reported three and two heat-
related deaths, respectively, using solely the core temperature criterion.
This finding and its public reporting made the impact of excessive heat in Philadelphia
a topic of considerable local and national media interest, including references to
Philadelphia as the "Heat Death capital of the world." In addition, the contrast between
the  number of heat-related deaths  reported in Philadelphia and the totals from
surrounding counties and other urban centers led to  a request by state and other officials
for  a CDC investigation into the appropriateness of the coding criterion the Philadelphia
medical examiner used. The resulting investigation ultimately concluded that the criterion
was appropriate and the associated estimates of heat-attributable mortality were accurate.
Summary of Current EHE Notification and Response Programs                                       27

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                        Following the CDC investigation, and with increased public attention on the health risks
                        of EHE conditions, staff at Philadelphia's Health Department became aware of work
                        under the direction of Dr. Laurence Kalkstein of the University of Delaware to develop
                        a system that would identify weather conditions expected to increase daily mortality.
                        Ultimately, this interest led to the development by the summer of 1995 of a computerized
                        system capable of forecasting EHE conditions up to two days in advance.
                        Over this period, spurred by the events of 1993, the Philadelphia Heat Task Force began
                        preparing EHE response plans that identified lead agencies, secured formal commitments
                        of support from relevant departments, and worked on developing a system for integrated
                        communications between program participants.
                        As the July 1995 EHE developed in the Midwest and the scope of its health impact began
                        to emerge (eventually more than 700 deaths in Chicago would be classified as heat
                        related), the Philadelphia Hot Weather-Health Watch/Warning System was announced at a
                        meeting with EPA and Philadelphia Health Department officials.  This system was initially
                        implemented as the EHE moved eastward into Philadelphia.

                        Philadelphia's Hot Weather-Health Watch/Warning System response actions
                        Philadelphia's initial EHE program implemented combinations of the following actions
to                       depending on the predicted severity of the EHE (NOAA, 1995; Kalkstein et al, 1996):
                            Media announcements: Local news media were notified of any EHE notification
o
a
as
o                           made by the health commissioner. Media were also given background information on
                            how to minimize exposure to heat during the event and encouraged to broadcast it as
                            part of any heat-related stories.

                          >• Buddy system advocacy: Media messages included recommendations for friends,
                            relatives, neighbors, and block captains (see discussion below) to check on local high-
                            risk residents (e.g., sick and older individuals) throughout the day during the event.

                          *- Heatline activation: The same phone system staffed by the Red Cross that was
                            developed for the 1993 EHE was part of the formal program rollout.

                          +• Home visits by Health Department staff (currently a county sanitarian and nurse
                            make up each field team): Individuals were identified from calls received on the
                            Heatline.

                          * Halt to service shutoffs: Agreements were reached with the respective utilities that
                            electrical and water service would not be shut off for nonpayment during periods for
                            which the Health Department issued a high heat warning.

                          >• Increased emergency medical service staffing: Increased numbers of staff with
                            the city's Fire Department and Emergency Medical Services were on duty for the
                            duration of the high  heat period.

                            Increased outreach to the homeless: Activities that involved identifying homeless
                            individuals and providing shelter were extended to daytime hours to minimize their
                            exposure to the most severe conditions.
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  ;•  Cooling shelters/senior refuge: Hours of operation at air-conditioned senior
    centers were extended to provide a refuge for those otherwise lacking access to air
    conditioning.

  >• Outreach: The Heatline phone number was displayed on the Crown Lights display in
    downtown Philadelphia (an electronic billboard on top of the Philadelphia Electric
    Company building that is visible over a large area).

Two notable aspects of the Philadelphia Watch/Warning System that warrant additional
discussion are its use of block captains and its use of field assessment teams from the
Health Department to evaluate high-risk individuals during EHEs.
Philadelphia's block captains are a critical point of interaction between the public and
the Health Department during EHEs. Block captains are volunteers elected by residents
of their block to help coordinate neighborhood improvement projects with the city.
Philadelphia currently has about 5,000 block captains. They can both identify and evaluate
the health status of high-risk and hard-to-reach individuals in their residential area during
an EHE. Although block captains are not required to contact specific individuals during a
declared EHE, anecdotal evidence suggests that many do. Their actions most likely benefit
others and, during declared heat events, news crews frequently record and broadcast
block captains checking on the status of high-risk individuals in their area, spreading the
message to check on those at risk.
The second notable aspect of Philadelphia's program is its coordinated use of field teams
composed of city Health Department staff in follow-up visits to at-risk individuals
identified from Heatline calls. Teams assembled during a declared heat event currently
consist of a sanitarian and a nurse who have been temporarily reassigned from their
typical duties. This reallocation of staff reflects a belief that a more immediate and more
significant public health risk is being addressed.

Adjustments and lessons learned
Since  1995, a number of relatively minor changes have been made in the response elements
of Philadelphia's EHE program, including the following:
  >- Transferring the Heatline's operation from the Red Cross to the Philadelphia
    Corporation for Aging (PGA) and using the PCA's Senior Line number to double
    as the Heatline. When EHEs are announced, the hours of operation for the Senior
    Line/Heatline are expanded from between 8 A.M. and 5 P.M. to between 8 A.M.  and
    midnight.

  >- Adding nurses to the on-call Heatline staff to handle calls with specific medical
    questions.

  +• Mailing heat information to block captains to distribute in their areas.

  *• Increasing the forecast period for the spatial synoptic classification (SSC)-based Heat
    Health Watch Warning System from 2.5 days (60 hours) to 5.0 days (120 hours).
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Philadelphia's experience demonstrates the importance of public recognition of EHE
health risks and of continued support from upper levels of government for developing
an EHE notification and response program. The city's program also shows that matching
responsibilities of program elements with program partners who already perform similar
tasks is critical for achieving a wide range of response actions. Specific examples of this
matching in the Philadelphia program include shifting the Heatline from the Red Cross to
the PCA, staffing field teams with temporarily reassigned Health Department personnel,
and incorporating the city's existing block captain program to create a community-based
buddy system capable of evaluating the status of high-risk individuals.

3.2.2 Toronto
Overview
Toronto is one of several North American locations with an EHE notification and
response program that is driven by calculations of potential excess mortality or mortality
probability based on forecast meteorological conditions. Toronto Public Health's EHE
program uses these results to determine when heat warnings should be issued and what
type of message to communicate.
Toronto's EHE program is of special interest because it evolved primarily as a proactive,
precautionary response to a perceived public health risk by local politicians. This is in
contrast to most of the other highly  active and integrated programs, which typically
originated as responses  to EHEs that triggered recognizable increases in daily mortality
and morbidity. In addition, Toronto's program is an example of how an effective
program can be developed by drawing general lessons from other locations and tailoring
implementation to respond to local opportunities and challenges. Finally, the routine,
structured process of performance review, needs assessment, and adjustment of the
Toronto EHE program is noteworthy.

Development of the Toronto EHE program
The origins of Toronto's EHE program can be traced to 1998 and the Mayor's Task Force
on Homelessness. This effort established a lead role for Toronto Public  Health to identify
and develop responses to the health  issues faced by the city's homeless.  In the spring  of
1999, the Task Group asked Toronto  Public Health to establish temperature thresholds that
would be used to initiate health alerts and trigger additional homeless interventions  (e.g.,
increasing daytime staff and efforts to get the homeless indoors).
To address this task, Toronto  Public Health staff reviewed information from several
EHE programs in the United States,  including those in Philadelphia and Chicago.
This review increased awareness of the demographic and physical characteristics that
increase EHE vulnerability and highlighted the potential for an effective EHE program.
Most importantly, this review increased awareness among officials that, although the
homeless were especially vulnerable  to EHE conditions, the presence of other high-risk
subpopulations  meant that EHEs should be recognized as a much larger threat to public
health.
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Development of an EHE prediction system similar to the one used in Philadelphia and
several other U.S. cities began in 2000. The Toronto prediction system was completed and
became active on June 18,2001, in time to assist in forecasting the EHE that occurred in
August of that year. Initial program elements focused on issuing a media release any time
EHE conditions were forecast that contained information about the health risks of the
conditions and appropriate responses. These announcements were also used to trigger
increased intervention activities directed at the homeless population.
With the program's development, Toronto Public Health also established a Hot Weather
Response Committee to develop, monitor, and update its Hot Weather Response Plan. The
committee is a partnership of representatives from various city departments and agencies
working with potentially vulnerable populations. Every year, before the hot season, the
committee discusses and finalizes the contributions and roles each agency will assume
during the coming summer. Using a call-out tree, Toronto Public Health coordinates the
plan and notifies the committee and a list of more than 800 agencies of an EHE. Each
agency and city department implements its part of the plan.

Adjustments and lessons learned
In the fall of each year, the Hot Weather Response Committee meets to assess the
performance of the system and program. The focus of this meeting is on identifying areas
and items that could be added or improved to  enhance the program's performance. This
active review process has resulted in these changes to the program:
  >- Having the Red Cross operate an informational heat-health telephone line during
    declared heat advisories

  >• Coordinating the city's emergency medical service (EMS) with the health line to
    address specific medical questions, conduct follow-up visits with all callers to evaluate
    conditions in their residences, and to take  individuals to cooling centers when needed

  >• Providing functional drinking water fountains in city parks

  >• Extending the hours of operation of city pools

  >- Providing transit tokens to those who have been evaluated by street patrol teams and
    are found to be in need of a cooling center.

Less formal program adjustments over time have included coordinating with other
city officials to evaluate and, when necessary, relax enforcement of certain ordinances
to allow compliance with cooling tips provided during EHEs. For example, the city
relaxes enforcement of late-night park closure  rules, because many residents who  lack air
conditioning visit Toronto's parks at night during EHE conditions.
Finally, a critical component of the Toronto EHE program has involved working to
increase public education and awareness of EHEs and their health risks. To this end,
Toronto Public Health holds an annual media  event in mid-May at which Health
Department, Red Cross, and EMS staff members are available to answer EHE questions
from the media.
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                         3.2.3 Phoenix
                         Summer in Phoenix is, by any measure, hot. Daily high temperatures above IOO°F are
                         routine, temperatures up to HO°F are common, and temperatures above i2o°F are possible.
                         Although residents over time physically adapt to some extent to Phoenix's high heat,
                         summer conditions can still be quite variable. Despite Phoenix routinely experiencing
                         life-threatening summertime temperatures, studies of excess heat mortality there have
                         consistently found little evidence of any major heat-attributable excess mortality impacts
                         (e.g., Kalkstein and Greene, 1997; Davis et al, 2003a,b)J
                         Although definitive explanations for this result cannot yet be offered, it seems likely
                         that this can be attributed to significant local experience in responding to elevated
                         temperatures, relatively low humidity, extensive access to air conditioning, widespread
                         public recognition of the health risks during EHE conditions, and a willingness to
                         make appropriate adjustments to minimize heat exposure. These findings suggest the
                         importance of having a public that understands the health risks inherent in EHEs and
                         knows how to minimize their health impacts.
                         Still, in mid-July 2005, much of the southwestern and central United States experienced
                         consecutive days of hot weather that broke all-time high temperature records in many
                         locations. During this period, Phoenix was a focus of media attention because of the
                         duration of the conditions (all but 3 days in the 2-week period through July 21 reached
                         HO°F) and because several deaths were attributed to the heat (Associated Press, 2005).
o                        Extreme high temperatures like those experienced in July 2005, however, create potentially
                         life-threatening conditions for anyone experiencing unmitigated exposure, regardless
                         of adaptation. As a result, it is not surprising that the majority of deaths in Phoenix
                         attributed to the heat were of homeless individuals. Phoenix's sudden increase in heat-
                         attributable deaths in July 2005 should be viewed as a reflection of how an exceptionally
                         severe and long-lasting EHE can overwhelm even highly adapted populations.
                         Before the 2005 summer, Phoenix's EHE program consisted mainly of relying on the local
                         NWS forecast office to predict dangerous conditions and the local media to broadcast
                         warnings and advice for limiting heat exposure. Although Phoenix is covered by an
                         operating SSC-based EHE prediction system, developed with funding by NOAA's NWS
                         and the local electrical utility to help guide utility shutoff decisions, there was minimal
                         interest in incorporating this available information into a broader EHE notification and
                         response program.

                         Adjustments and lessons learned
                         Phoenix's public response to the July 2005 EHE conditions largely focused on opening
                         homeless shelters during daytime hours, bringing homeless individuals to these and other
                         locations with air conditioning, and providing donated bottled water. Given the general
                         prevalence of air conditioning in Phoenix, this targeted action may be the most effective
                         approach for limiting the health risks and impacts of an especially severe EHE.
                         7 A lack of evidence of a heat-mortality relationship in these studies does not mean that excessive heat is
                           not reported as a contributing factor in deaths in Phoenix during the summer; in fact, heat-related deaths
                           are routinely reported. This finding simply means there has not previously been a measurable increase in
                           all-cause mortality rates in Phoenix when the heat reaches exceptional levels.
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This action also demonstrates how a location that generally lacks a formal EHE program
can take immediate steps to reduce the risks and health impacts of an especially severe
EHE.
In addition, the July 2005 EHE in Phoenix triggered a review of the county's response
plans to EHE warnings issued by the local NWS office. Although this review is ongoing,
the revised plan is expected to clearly define a set of actions the county will take after an
NWS announcement.

3.3 Evidence on the Performance of EHE Programs
Few studies have evaluated the efficacy of EHE notification and response programs.
This reflects the difficulty of developing these studies (e.g., issues in identifying case and
control locations and accounting for variation in populations and EHE conditions) and,
in many cases, the brevity of existing operating EHE programs.
One study in Philadelphia (Ebi et al, 2004) used regression analysis to quantify the impact
of publicly announcing forecast EHE conditions on EHE-attributable excess mortality
from 1995 to 1998. This study was possible largely because, at the time, the city and the
regional NWS forecast office independently evaluated forecast data for anticipated EHE
conditions. As a result, during this period there were days when the city's criteria called
for an EHE warning but the NWS would not issue one, days when the city's system would
suggest a warning be issued and the NWS would issue one, and days when the NWS
would issue a warning when the city's system did not call for a warning.
Ebi et al. (2004) found that  for each day Philadelphia issued an EHE warning based on the
SSC system recommendation, expected mortality was reduced by roughly 2.6 lives per day
and this mortality reduction was experienced for the 3 days following the last issued heat
warning. This result was statistically significant at the 8% level, which the authors note is
equivalent to saying there was a 92% chance that the system saved at least one life during
this period. It is estimated that the system saved 117 lives during the study period. To place
this result in a cost-benefit framework, the authors report an estimated cost, primarily
for wages of extra emergency medical staff, of $10,000 for each day a heat advisory is
issued. In contrast, EPA routinely assumed a value per avoided statistical life year lost of $6
million in regulatory impact assessments at the time of the study.
The other formal study that examined the effectiveness of EHE programs, Palecki et al.
(2001), compared the health impacts of EHEs in 1995 and 1999 in Chicago and St. Louis.
The basis for evaluating the effectiveness of EHE programs in this study is provided
mainly by the contrast of the impacts of the events in Chicago, which lacked an EHE
notification and response program in 1995 but then developed one, which became active
in 1999. The authors take care to note that there were differences in the duration, intensity,
and meteorological conditions preceding the two EHEs, but they focus primarily on the
fact that 700 deaths were attributed to the 1995 EHE in Chicago compared to roughly 100
deaths from the 1999 event. The authors then argue that much of this sharp reduction in
mortality can be attributed to the effectiveness of Chicago's EHE program, which, among
other actions, included reminding the public of the toll the 1995 EHE had taken to convey
the risks of the 1999 conditions.
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                         Additional anecdotal evidence from Philadelphia supports the contention that the city's
                         EHE program has had a beneficial public health impact. Specifically, although more than
                         100 deaths in Philadelphia were attributed to the July 1993 EHE, the 1995 EHE experienced
                         in the city resulted in only 60-70 heat-attributable deaths after the city's EHE program
                         was implemented that summer [personal communication, Jerry Libby, Philadelphia Health
                         Promotion Department (retired), September 27, 2005]. This reduced mortality is even more
                         notable given the higher temperatures and longer duration of the 1995 event.
                         These results provide limited quantitative evidence that EHE notification and response
                         programs can demonstrably improve public health.
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Summary Recommendations for
EHE  Notification & Response Programs
A central theme of this guidebook is the importance of accounting for local conditions
and populations when defining EHE conditions and developing and implementing EHE
notification and response programs. Despite the recognized difficulty of addressing
all combinations of program needs, opportunities, and constraints that users of this
guidebook may encounter, general recommendations that draw on available data, research
results, and experience with EHE programs can be made.
The foundation for these recommendations is the recognition that EHEs are but one of
a much larger group of extreme meteorological events (e.g., blizzards, floods, hurricanes,
tornadoes) and anthropogenic conditions (i.e., urban smog) that can adversely affect
public health. These recommendations are organized according to data needs and actions
that we believe an EHE notification and response program must address to provide public
health benefits. Specifically, the recommendations are organized into the following general
areas: EHE definition and forecasting, public education and awareness of EHE risk factors
and health impacts, EHE response preparation, EHE response actions, and EHE program
review and evolution.
Each area has two categories of recommendations. Strongly recommended actions address
information or actions we believe an EHE notification and response program must
address to help minimize heat-attributable public health impacts. The second category
of recommendations offers guidance on additional actions or data development that
could enhance the public health effectiveness of an EHE program once the program has
addressed the strongly recommended actions.

4.1  EHE Definition and Forecasting
As with notification and response programs for other extreme meteorological events, the
effectiveness of an EHE notification and response program will initially be constrained
by its ability to define and accurately forecast the relevant meteorological conditions. The
recommendations in this section are intended to ensure timely access to locally relevant
EHE forecast information.

4.1.1  EHE criteria must reflect local conditions
Many established meteorological criteria are used to determine whether forecast or
existing conditions can be labeled as a certain type of extreme meteorological event
(e.g., using maximum sustained wind speeds to identify and categorize hurricane
conditions). A distinguishing feature for most of these criteria is that they do not vary by
location.
In contrast, this guidebook's Technical Working Group (TWG) strongly recommends
that EHE criteria be defined based on a review of local meteorological data. For example,
a criterion that defines anticipated EHE conditions on all days with a forecast maximum
temperature of IOO°F or greater would not be useful in locations where this temperature
has never been observed or in areas where such temperatures are common. In contrast,
a criterion that announces anticipated EHE conditions any time the forecast daily
maximum temperature is greater than the 95™ percentile value for that day from the past
30 years would allow for variation by location.
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                        Incorporating evidence of heat-attributable adverse health impacts from analyses
                        of health outcomes and weather conditions can enhance EHE criteria development.
                        Thus analyses of historical meteorological conditions should incorporate available
                        health outcome data (e.g., regression-based analyses of daily mortality as a function of
                        meteorological variables or air masses). Adding additional control variables that have
                        been identified as affecting the number of heat-attributable health outcomes (e.g., time
                        of season, prior EHEs in the season) would enhance the results of these analyses. Further,
                        the results of any enhanced weather-health outcome analyses could be used in a predictive
                        fashion to calculate the potential health impact of forecast conditions. These predictive
                        models could then provide a basis for defining EHE conditions based on predicted
                        changes in health outcomes.

                        4.1.2  Ensure access to timely meteorological forecasts
                        An effective EHE notification  and response program requires access to reliable
                        meteorological forecasts to provide lead time for implementing program elements.
                        To forecast EHEs, we strongly recommend that local officials in the United States use and
                        evaluate the meteorological data in the NWS' 5-day regional forecasts.
                        To enhance EHE forecasting, we recommend developing systems that electronically
                        retrieve and evaluate revised NWS forecast data as they become available. For example,
                        the University of Delaware's Center for Climatic Research has developed automated
                        computer systems for existing EHE notification and response programs  that retrieve NWS
                        forecasts as they are updated, assess the forecast data against EHE criteria over the 5-day
                        forecast period, and notify EHE program managers when EHE criteria are satisfied.
                        The TWG also recommends that cities not use surveillance-based systems as the primary
                        means for identifying EHE conditions. Specifically, systems that rely on observable
                        increases in the demand for medical services such as ambulance calls or  demand for
                        emergency room services to identify EHE conditions are not recommended. Although
$                       such systems may have a role in determining appropriate resource allocation during an
                        EHE, they are of little value as a forecast tool because they do not provide the necessary
                        lead time for implementing EHE responses.

                        4.2  Public Education and Awareness of EHE Risk Factors and
                            Health Impacts
                        A significant source of the public health impacts of EHEs is that individuals either
                        fail to adequately recognize the danger associated with EHE conditions or make poor
                        response choices during EHEs. This is tragically reflected by conclusions that most EHE-
                        attributable deaths are preventable (CDC, 2004a,c). This conclusion also suggests that
                        there is a significant need for continued and enhanced public education  about the EHE-
                        attributable risks and health impacts.

                        4.2.1  Increase and  improve EHE notification and public education
                        The TWG strongly recommends there be a formal system for notifying the public
                        when EHE conditions are forecast. At a minimum, announcements made using this
                        system should include information on the anticipated arrival, duration,  and severity of
                        the forecast EHE. In addition, these announcements need to provide the public with
                        information about critical EHE risk factors (e.g., being very young or old, using certain
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medications, having physical or mental impairments that restrict mobility, or lacking the
ability to respond to environmental changes), the symptoms of excessive heat exposure,
and recommended response actions (e.g., seek air-conditioned locations, stay hydrated).
These announcements can be conveyed to the public through usual methods such as
television, radio, and newspapers, and by using established health alert networks such
as those operated by some state health departments (e.g., Minnesota). EHE information
could also be periodically distributed through other avenues such as fliers in newspapers,
local magazines, and church and civic group literature at the start of and periodically
throughout the EHE season. Announcements should describe basic precautionary steps
individuals can take to limit the health risks: stay hydrated; spend time in air-conditioned
environments; wear loose-fitting, light-colored clothing; check on individuals with high-
risk characteristics [see Rudnick (2002) and U.S. EPA Aging Initiative (2004) for more
detailed information]. The announcements should also suggest appropriate responses
when symptoms of excessive heat exposure are observed.
One way to enhance the public education program for EHE risks, impacts, and personal
response strategies is to repeatedly present a clear and consistent message to varied
audiences. An example of such an effort is Toronto Public Health's hosting of an EHE
media day each May before the start of the summer heat season. During this event,
Toronto Public Health provides the media with information about the city's EHE
notification and response program and answers questions about the health risks and
impacts of EHEs. This event maintains media interest in the program and generally results
in reporting that keeps EHEs in the public's eye.
An example of another broad-based educational activity that could be pursued is EHE
education programs for schools. These programs would help inform  a vulnerable
segment of the population about risks and appropriate responses and could potentially
provide an effective means of having central messages repeated and adopted by a range of
households.
                                                                                                        t
EHE education should also be  specifically directed at first responders and local emergency
                                                                                                        Q.
management personnel as well as to those who care for older individuals, the very young,                         J2
the homeless, and the physically and mentally challenged. This targeted education would
inform critical response personnel and caregivers about the health risks EHEs pose to
members of the vulnerable groups they look after and emphasize the need for active
assessment and intervention to prevent adverse health  outcomes.

4.2.2  Provide information on proper use of portable electric fans during EHEs
The TWG also strongly recommends that, as part of a public education program, cities
emphasize that portable electric fans are not the simple cooling solution they appear to
be. Because of the limits of conduction and convection, using a portable electric fan alone
when heat index temperatures exceed 99°F actually increases the heat stress the body must
respond to by blowing air that is warmer than the ideal body temperature over the skin
surface (American Medical Association Council on Scientific Affairs, 1997; CDC, 2004c). In
these conditions, portable electric fans provide a cooling effect by evaporating sweat. The
increased circulation of hot air and increased sweat evaporation can,  however, speed the
onset of heat-attributable conditions (e.g., heat exhaustion).
Recommendations for EHE Notification and Response Programs                                     37

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                         Thus, portable electric fans need to be used with caution and under specific circumstances
                         during an EHE, such as exhausting hot air from a room or drawing in cooler air through
                         an open window. Generally, portable electric fans may not be a practical and safe cooling
                         mechanism during an EHE in homes that are already hot and are not air-conditioned;
                         their use should be discouraged unless the fans are bringing in significantly cooler air
                         from outside the dwelling. If a resident must stay in these dwellings, and if they are unable
                         to access an air-conditioned environment, safer cooling approaches would include taking
                         frequent cool showers and drinking cool, nonalcoholic fluids (e.g., ice water). Because of
                         the importance of this issue, and the contradictory messages people may have received
                         about using portable electric fans during EHEs, Appendix B provides a series of guidelines
                         for fan use during EHEs.
                         Finally, public officials should review the various educational messages about EHEs
                         for consistency with other messages and information on other issues. For example,
                         recommendations against letting cars idle to control ozone concentrations would be
                         inconsistent with EHE recommendations to stay in air-conditioned environments
                         whenever possible. Public officials can recognize any potentially conflicting messages and
                         then make clear statements about which message should take precedence during an EHE.

                         4.3  EHE Response  Preparation
                         Preparations for an EHE can be distinguished according to when they are  initiated relative
                         to the development of the EHE. Long-term preparations address actions that need to be
                         initiated well before an EHE is forecast because of the time needed to reach necessary
                         agreements, develop systems, or secure supplies and personnel. Short-term preparations
                         are actions that need to be taken when a multiday forecast anticipates EHE conditions.
                         This section focuses on long-term preparations; Section 4.4 covers short-term preparation
                         actions.

                         4.3.1 Develop a clear plan of action identifying roles and responsibilities
^
$                        Defining the  structure, relationships, and responsibilities for those supporting an EHE
                         notification and response program (e.g., health departments, utilities, homeless advocates)
                         is an essential long-term action. More generally, this action requires establishing a means
                         for planning  and communication among the program supporters so that available
                         resources are used most efficiently and potentially conflicting messages from program
                         participants are clarified.
                         To achieve this coordination, the TWG strongly recommends establishing periodic
                         meetings among program participants, distributing materials electronically, and
                         designating points of contact for each participating group or agency. Variations across
                         locations in the structure  and expertise of agencies and the presence of different
                         private organizations make it problematic to offer specific recommendations about
                         recommended organizational structures for an EHE program. However, because EHEs are
                         a threat to public health, relevant public health agencies can and should play a significant,
                         but not necessarily the lead, role in developing and managing an EHE program. In
                         addition, local emergency management agencies, street and sanitation departments,
                         and health code enforcement staff typically have significant contact with the public. As
                         a result, their information distribution  networks and staffs  could, depending on local
                         conditions, be a valuable resource to consider in EHE response planning.
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Finally, nonprofits such as the Red Cross, homeless outreach programs, area agencies on
aging, and senior centers should be actively recruited to become EHE program partners to
incorporate their expertise in identifying, communicating with, and providing services to
populations that are at high risk during EHEs.
When developing a plan of action, we also strongly recommend EHE program partners
pay particular attention to the potential for public recommendations that could
conflict during an EHE and provide clear guidance regarding priorities. For example,
environmental organizations may generally recommend against idling cars for extended
periods of time to improve air quality. This message could be modified to note that
if idling is necessary to stay in an air-conditioned environment during an EHE, it is
acceptable and preferable to  exposing the occupants to the heat.

4.3.2  Develop long-term urban  planning programs to minimize
      heat island  formation
Although not the focus of this guidebook, the TWG strongly recommends urban design
and development programs be reviewed with a goal of promoting actions that will
help control the development of urban heat islands. The longer timeframes envisioned
for implementing any actions result in these actions being viewed as part of the EHE
preparation actions. However, effective implementation of specific actions designed to
mitigate urban heat islands, such as programs to increase the reflectiveness of urban
surfaces, increase urban vegetation, and modify behavior, is likely to require a significant
public education component.

4.4 EHE Response Actions
This section covers  activities that should be initiated after meteorological forecasts
identify an impending EHE or EHE conditions have been announced. Four essential
recommendations involve these short-term EHE response actions:
  *• The public should be encouraged to spend time in available air-conditioned buildings                       ^.
    (e.g., shopping centers, movie theaters, senior centers, libraries). To the extent
                                                                                                       Q.
    these types of buildings have air conditioning, they are also generally capable of                             J2
    accommodating sudden increases in public use for short periods of time (e.g., a few
    days) without significant difficulty.

  *• EHE program partners should reallocate resources to address critical short-term
    needs of the EHE that are likely to provide a significant public health benefit. For
    example, this could involve shifting some public health inspectors from inspecting
    dining facilities to visiting nursing homes or supporting home environment
    assessments for individuals who may call available non-gn help lines. Other  examples
    could include having homeless agencies emphasize providing daytime services and
    interventions during the EHE instead of nighttime services when conditions will
    generally be cooler.

  >- Once a forecast for EHE conditions has been aired, the locality should prohibit the
    suspension of electric and water services. For this reason, all meetings related to the
    EHE program should include representatives from local utility companies who have
    been solicited as program partners.
Recommendations for EHE Notification and Response Programs                                     39

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  >• Local medical examiners should be directed to use the guidelines set forth by
    Donoghue et al. (1997) for classifying heat-related deaths. Although statistical
    analyses of total daily mortality can and should be used to identify and quantify
    increases in mortality attributable to the EHE, using the Donoghue et al. guidelines
    will improve the accuracy of estimates of heat-attributable deaths for those who base
    these estimates solely on the information from death certificates.

Additional recommendations for response actions that could provide additional public
health benefits include:
  *• Conducting direct assessments of high-risk individuals during EHEs to check for
    signs of excessive heat exposure

  >• Increasing the extent and duration of public access to air-conditioned settings

  >- Increasing the capacity of the emergency medical system to respond to increased
    surveillance and treatment demands.

Each of these additional recommendations for enhancing short-term responses is
discussed below.
EHE health risks are not equally distributed among the population. Therefore, the TWG
recommends that enhanced program responses include direct assessments of the health
and environments of those at greatest risk during the EHE. Increasing home visits, using
telephone check-in systems, and operating toll-free lines to provide advice or receive
reports of concerns can alert EHE program staff to individuals who may be at the greatest
risk or experiencing health problems  during the EHE and help avoid more serious health
outcomes.
Spending time in an air-conditioned environment has long been recognized and
advocated as the most effective means of preventing heat-attributable health impacts
during an EHE. To increase the potential time spent in air-conditioned locations, we also
recommend the hours of operation and number of air-conditioned locations (e.g., senior
centers, libraries) made publicly available be increased during an EHE. Providing free
transportation to these locations could also increase their use.
Finally, regardless of the extent of preparations  and response implemented for an EHE,
it is likely that the onset of EHE conditions will result in an increase in the demand for
emergency medical services  in the form of 911 calls, visits to emergency room facilities,
and increased volume and need for medical examiner staff and services. The TWG
therefore recommends additional staffing of emergency medical personnel to increase the
number of people who can receive treatment at any given time, reduce waiting times for
treatment, or both. Existing local and state mutual aid agreements and state emergency
medical assistance compacts as well as the resources of state and local emergency
management agencies, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, the Medical Reserve
Corps, and the National Disaster Medical System may be available to help meet some of
these needs. The applicability and availability of these resources need to be evaluated,
however, and contacts must be established before the onset of EHE conditions.
             40
                                                                              Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Appendix C provides one-page summaries of the critical actions individuals and EHE
program partners can and should take once EHE conditions are forecast or are being
experienced.

4.5 Review EHE Programs to Address Changing Needs,
    Opportunities, and Constraints
Over time, the constraints and opportunities faced by an EHE notification and response
program will shift and experience will be gained in developing working relationships
between program partners and in responding to different types of meteorological
conditions. Finally, the relative importance of EHEs as a public health threat could change
over time.
As a result, the TWG strongly recommends establishing a regular and formal review of the
program's performance. For example, in the fall, when the risk of an EHE has diminished,
program partners should evaluate past performance and make recommendations to
improve the notification and response program. Alternatively, hypothetical "table-top"
exercises could be conducted that allow program partners to work through how they
would respond to alternative EHE scenarios in order to identify problems with current
preparation and response activities and develop solutions.
                                                                                                    o
                                                                                                    a.
Recommendations for EHE Notification and Response Programs
                                                                                      41

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              42
                                                                                    Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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AMA. 2005. Heat- Related Illness During Extreme Weather Emergencies, http://www.ama-
assn.org/ama/pub/category/13637.html.

American Medical Association Council on Scientific Affairs. 1997. Heat- Related Illness
During Extreme Weather Emergencies. Report 10 of the Council on Scientific Affairs (A-
97). Presented at the 1997 AMA Annual Meeting.

American Red Cross. 2005. Heat Waves, http://www.redcross.org/services/
disaster/0, 1082,0_586_,00.html.

Associated Press. 2005. Weather: Homeless Hit Hard by Heat, http://www.cnn.com/2005/
WEATHER/07/22/heat.deaths.ap/index.html. Accessed July 22, 2005.

Basu, R. and J.M. Samet. 2002. Relation between elevated ambient temperature and
mortality: A review of the epidemiologic evidence. Epidemiologic Reviews 24(2):i9o-2O2.

Bernard, S.M. and M.A. McGeehin. 2004. Municipal heat wave response plans. American
Journal of Public Health 94(9):i52o-i522.

CDC. 1994. Heat-related deaths - Philadelphia and United States, 1993-1994. Centers for
Disease Control. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
CDC. 1995. Heat- related mortality- Chicago, July 1995. Centers for Disease Control.
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 44(3i):577-579-

CDC. 1996. Heat-wave-related mortality - Milwaukee, Wisconsin, July 1995. Morbidity
and Mortality Weekly Report
CDC. 1997. Heat- related-deaths - Dallas, Wichita, and Cooke counties, Texas, and United
States, 1996. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 46(23):528-53o.

CDC. 1998. Heat-related mortality - United States, 1997. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly
Report 47(23):473-476.

CDC. 1999. Heat-related-deaths - Missouri, 1998, and United States, 1979-1996. Morbidity
and Mortality Weekly Report 48(22):469-472.

CDC. 2000. Heat-related illnesses, deaths, and risk factors - Cincinnati and Dayton, Ohio,
1999, and United States, 1979-1997. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 49(2i):47o-473.

CDC. 2001. Heat-related-deaths - Los Angeles County, California, 1999-2000, and United
States, 1979-1998. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 5o(29):623-626.

CDC. 2002. Heat-related deaths - four states, July- August 2001, and United States, 1979-
1999. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report 5i(26):567-57o.

CDC. 2004A. Extreme Heat: A Prevention Guide to Promote Your Personal Health and
Safety, http://www.bt.cdc. gov/disasters/extremeheat/heat_guide. asp. Accessed January 24,
2005.
I
References
                                                                                            43

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                         CDC. 20048. Extreme Heat Bibliography, http://www.bt.cdc.gov/disasters/extremeheat/
                         bibliography.asp.

                         CDC. 20040. Extreme Heat: Tips for Preventing Heat-Related Illness, http://www.bt.cdc.
                         gov/disasters/extremeheat/heattips.asp. Accessed January 24,2005.

                         Chestnut, L.G., W.S. Breffle, J.B. Smith, and L.S. Kalkstein. 1998. Analysis of differences in
                         hot-weather-related mortality across 44 U.S. metropolitan areas. Environmental Science
                         and Policy i(i):59-/o.

                         Davis, R.E., PC. Knappenberger, PJ. Michaels, and W.M. Novicoff. 2OO3A. Changing heat-
                         related mortality in the United States. Environmental Health Perspectives Hi(i4):i7i2-i7i8.

                         Davis, R.E., PC. Knappenberger, W.M. Novicoff, and PJ. Michaels. 20038. Decadal changes
                         in summer mortality in U.S. cities. International Journal of Biometeorology 47(33:166-175.

                         Donoghue, E.R., M.A. Graham, J. Jentzen, B.D. Lifschultz, J.L. Luke, and H.G.
                         Mirchandani. 1997. Criteria for the diagnosis of heat-related deaths: National Association
                         of Medical Examiners: Position paper. American Journal of Forensic Medicine and
                         Pathology i8(i):n-i4.

                         Ebi, K.L., T.J. Teisberg, L.S. Kalkstein, L. Robinson, and R.E Weiher. 2004. Heat watch/
                         warning systems save lives. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85(8):io67-
                         1073-

                         FEMA. 2005A. Extreme Heat: Are You Ready? http://www.fema.gov/areyouready/heat.
                         shtm.

                         FEMA. 20058. Hazards  Backgrounder: Extreme Heat, http://www.fema.gov/hazards/
                         extremeheat/heat.shtm. Accessed February 8, 2005.

                         Greene, J.S. and L.S. Kalkstein. 1996. Quantitative analysis of summer air masses in the
                         eastern United States and an application to human mortality. Climate Research 7:43-53.

                         Kalkstein, L.S. 1997. Climate and human mortality: Relationship and mitigating measures.
                         Advances in Bioclimatology 5:161-177.

                         Kalkstein, L. 2002. Description  of our Heat/Health Watch-Warning Systems: Their Nature
                         Extent, and Required Resources. Prepared for Stratus Consulting, Boulder, CO.

o                        Kalkstein, L.S. and R.E. Davis. 1989. Weather and human mortality: An evaluation of
                         demographic and interregional responses in the United States. Annals of the Association
                         of American Geographers 79(i):44-64.
Oi
                         Kalkstein, L.S. and J.S. Greene. 1997. An  evaluation of climate/mortality relationships
                         in large U.S. cities and the possible impacts of a climate change. Environmental Health
                         Perspectives io5(i):84-93.

                         Kalkstein, L.S., PR Jamason, J.S. Greene, J. Libby, and L. Robinson. 1996. The Philadelphia
                         Hot Weather-Health Watch/Warning System: Development and application: Summer
                         1995. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77(7):i5i9-i528.
             44                                                                Excessive Heat Events Guidebook
u

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Koppe, C., S. Kovats, G. Jendritzky, and B. Menne. 2004. Heat-Waves: Risks and Responses.
World Health Organization, Rome.

Kunihiro, A. and J. Foster. 2004. Heat Exhaustion and Heatstroke. http://www.emedicine.
com/emerg/topic236.htm. Accessed November 28,2005.

LBNL. 2000. Heat Island Group. http://eetd.lbl.gov/HeatIsland/.

Meehl, G.A. and C. Tebaldi. 2004. More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat
waves in the 2isr century. Science 305:994-997.

Mills, D.M. 2005. Excessive Heat Events: A Review of Evidence on Health Risks, Impacts,
and Opportunities for Response. Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Office of Air and Radiation, Office of Atmospheric Programs, Climate Change Division.
October, 27.

Milwaukee Health Department and Milwaukee Heat Task Force. 2005. Milwaukee Health
Department and Milwaukee Heat Task Force: Plan for Excessive Heat Conditions 2005.
http://www.city.milwaukee.gov/display/displayFile.asp?docid = 2689&filename = /
Groups/healthAuthors/DCP/PDFs/Heat_Plan_2005_-_rev_6-17-05.pdf

NCAR. 2005. Heat Wave Awareness Homepage, http://www.isse.ucar.edu/heat/.

New York City Office of Emergency Management. 2005. Ready New York: Extreme Heat.
http://www.nyc.gOV/html/oem/h tml/readynewyork/hazard_heat.html.

NOAA. 1995. Natural Disaster Survey Report: July 1995 Heat Wave. National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, MD.

NWS. 2004. Heat Wave: A Major Summer Killer. National Weather Service. http://www.
nws.noaa.gov/om/brochures/heatwave.pdf. Accessed January 13,2005.

NWS. 2005. Natural Hazard Statistics, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/hazstats.shtml.

NWS Forecast Office, Pueblo, Colorado. 2004. Heat Index. National Weather Service.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pub/heat.htm. Accessed January 13,2005.

Palecki, M.A., S.A. Changnon, and K.E. Kunkel. 2001. The nature and impacts of the
July 1999 heat wave in the midwestern United States: Learning from the lessons of 1995.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological  Society 82(7) 11353-1368.

Philadelphia Office of Mental Health & Mental Retardation. 2002. Fan Facts. Philadelphia,
PA.
                                                                                                       o
                                                                                                       at
Rudnick, A. 2002. Reducing the Risk of Heat Stress Disorders for Consumers of Behavioral
Health Services: Questions and Answers.  Philadelphia Office of Mental Health & Mental
Retardation, Philadelphia.

Semenza, J.C., J.E. McCullough, WD. Flanders, M.A. McGeehin, and J.R. Lumpkin. 1999.
Excess hospital admissions during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicago. American Journal of
Preventive Medicine i6(4):269-277.
References                                                                                45

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I
ffi
1
                         Sheridan, S.C. and T.J. Dolney. 2003. Heat, mortality, and level of urbanization: Measuring
                         vulnerability across Ohio, USA. Climate Research 24:255-266.

                         Sheridan, S.C. and L.S. Kalkstein. 1998. Heat watch-warning systems in urban areas. World
                         Resource Review io(3):3/5-383.

                         Sheridan, S.C. and L.S. Kalkstein. 2004. Progress in heat watch-warning system
                         technology. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 85:1931-1941.

                         Toronto Public Health. 2002. Summer Safety: Fan Facts. Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

                         U.S. EPA. 2005. Heat Wave Response Programs. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
                         http://epa.gov/heatisland/about/heatresponseprograms.html. Accessed February 22, 2005.

                         U.S. EPA. 2006. Heat Island Effect. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. http://www.
                         epa.gov/heatisland/about/index.html. Accessed January 5,2006.

                         U.S. EPA Aging Initiative. 2004. It's Too Darn Hot: Planning for Excessive Heat Events.
                         September. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, http://www.epa.gov/aging/resources/
                         epareports.htm#itstoodarnhot. Available in English, low literacy, Spanish, Chinese,
                         Vietnamese, Haitian Creole, Russian. Accessed August 3,2005.
             46
                                                                               Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Appendix A:  Excessive Heat Event
Resources Available on the  Internet
Extreme Heat Bibliography
Extreme Heat Bibliography, http://www.bt.cdc.gov/disasters/extremeheat/bibliography.
asp. (CDC, 20048)

Heat Index Summaries
Heat Index, http://www.crh.noaa.gov/pub/heat.htm. (NWS Forecast Office, Pueblo,
Colorado, 2004)

Summaries of the Health Risks and Tips for Minimizing Risk
from Exposure to Elevated Temperatures
Extreme Heat: A Prevention Guide to Promote Your Personal Health and Safety, http://
www.bt.cdc.gov/disasters/extremeheat/heat_guide.asp. (CDC, 2OO4A)

Extreme Heat: Are You Ready? http://www.fema.gov/areyouready/heat.shtm. (FEMA,
2005A)

Extreme Heat: Tips for Preventing Heat-Related Illness, http://www.bt.cdc.gov/disasters/
extremeheat/heattips.asp. (CDC, 20040)

Hazards Backgrounder: Extreme Heat, http://www.fema.gov/hazards/extremeheat/heat.
shtm. (FEMA, 20058)

Heat-Related Illness During Extreme Weather Emergencies, http://www.ama-assn.org/
ama/pub/category/13637.html. (AMA, 2005)

Heat Wave: A Major Summer Killer, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/brochures/heatwave.
pdf. (NWS, 2004)

Heat Wave Awareness Homepage, http://www.isse.ucar.edu/heat/. (NCAR, 2005)

Heat Wave Response Programs, http://epa.gov/heatisland/about/heatresponseprograms.
html. (U.S. EPA, 2005)

Heat Waves. http://www.redcross.Org/services/disaster/0,1082,0_586_,00.html. (American
Red Cross, 2005)

Natural Hazard Statistics, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/hazstats.shtml. (NWS, 2005)

Extreme Heat: Tips for Preventing Heat-Related Illness, http://www.bt.cdc.gov/disasters/
extremeheat/heattips.asp. (CDC, 20040)

Summaries of Existing EHE Programs
Milwaukee Health Department and Milwaukee Heat Task Force: Plan for Excessive
Heat Conditions 2005. http://www.city.milwaukee.gov/display/displayFile.asp?docid =
2689&filename = /Groups/healthAuthors/DCP/PDFs/Heat_Plan_2005_-_rev_6-17-
05.pdf. (Milwaukee Health Department and Milwaukee Heat Task Force, 2005)

Ready New York: Extreme Heat, http://www.nyc.gov/html/oem/html/readynewyork/
hazard_heat.html. (New York City Office of Emergency Management, 2005)
Appendix A: Excessive Heat Event Resources Available on the Internet
                                                                                              a.
                                                                                 47

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                        Heat Island Effect: Heat Wave Response Programs, http://epa.gov/heatisland/about/
                        heatresponseprograms.html. (U.S. EPA, 2005)

                        Urban Heat Island Overview and Control Measures
                        Heat Island Effect, http://www.epa.gov/heatisland/. (U.S. EPA, 2006)

                        Heat Island Group. http://eetd.lbl.gov/HeatIsland/. (LBNL, 2000)

                        EH E Case Studies
                        Natural Disaster Survey Report: July 1995 Heat Wave, ftp://ftp.nws.noaa.gov/om/
                        assessments/heat95.pdf. (NOAA, 1995)

                        Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/
                        (CDC). Examples:
                        Heat-Wave-Related Mortality - Milwaukee, Wisconsin, July 1995. June 21,1996. Vol. 45.
                        No. 24. (CDC, 1996)

                        Heat-Related-Deaths - Dallas, Wichita, and Cooke Counties, Texas, and United States,
                        1996. June 13,1997. Vol. 46. No. 23. (CDC, 1997)

                        Heat-Related Mortality - United States, 1997. June 19,1998. Vol. 47. No. 23. (CDC, 1998)

                        Heat-Related Illnesses, Deaths, and Risk Factors - Cincinnati and Dayton, Ohio, 1999, and
                        United States, 1979-1997. Vol. 49. No. 21. (CDC, 2000)

                        Heat-Related-Deaths - Four States, July-August 2001, and United States, 1979-1999. July 5,
                        2002. Vol. 51. No. 26. (CDC, 2002)

                        Heat-Related-Deaths - Los Angeles County, California, 1999-2000, and United States,
                        1979-1998. July 27,2001. Vol. 50. No. 29. (CDC, 2001)

                        Heat-Related-Deaths - Missouri, 1998, and United States, 1979-1996. June n, 1999. Vol. 48.
                        No. 22. (CDC, 1999)
Q.
             48
                                                                             Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Appendix B: Use of Portable Electric
Fans During Excessive  Heat Events
The widespread availability and ease of using portable electric fans draw
many people to use them for personal cooling during an EHE. Portable
electric fans can, however, increase the circulation of hot air, which
increases thermal stress and health risks during EHE conditions.
As a result, portable electric fans need to be used with caution and under
specific circumstances during an EHE. Here is a list of Do's and Don't's
for their use:

Do
   Use a portable electric fan in or next to an open window so heat can
   exhaust to the outside (box fans are best).
 >- Use a portable electric fan to bring in cooler air  from the outside.
 *• Plug your portable electric fan directly into a wall outlet. If you need
   an extension cord, check that it is UL (Underwriter Laboratories)
   approved in the United States or CSA (Canadian Standards
   Approved)  approved in  Canada.

Don't
   Use a portable electric fan in a closed room without windows or
   doors open to the outside.
 +• Believe that portable electric fans cool air. They  don't. They just move
   the air around and keep you cool by helping to evaporate your sweat.
 +• Use a portable electric fan to blow extremely hot air on yourself. This
   can accelerate the risk of heat exhaustion.
   Use a fan as a substitute for spending time in an air-conditioned
   facility during an EHE.

   If you are afraid to open your window to use a  portable
   electric fan, choose other ways to keep cool (e.g., cool
    showers, spend time  in an air-conditioned location).
Sources: Philadelphia Office of Mental Health & Mental Retardation, 2002; Toronto Public Health, 2002.
Appendix B: Use of Portable Electric Fans during Excessive Heat Events
                                                                               CO
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                                                                    49

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50
                                                                    Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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Appendix C: Excessive Heat Events
Guidebook  in Brief
Quick Tips for Responding to
Excessive Heat Events
For the Public

Do
 >• Use air conditioners or spend time in air-conditioned locations
   such as malls and libraries
 >• Use portable electric fans to exhaust hot air from rooms or
   draw in cooler air
 >- Take a cool bath or shower
 » Minimize direct exposure to the sun
 ^ Stay hydrated - regularly drink water or other nonalcoholic fluids
 >• Eat light, cool, easy-to-digest foods such as fruit or salads
 >• Wear loose fitting, light-colored clothes
 *• Check on older, sick, or frail people who may need help
   responding to the heat
 * Know the symptoms of excessive heat exposure and the
   appropriate responses.
Don't
 >• Direct the flow of portable electric fans toward yourself when
   room temperature is hotter than 90°F
 *- Leave children and pets alone in cars for any amount of time
 >• Drink alcohol to try to stay cool
   Eat heavy, hot, or hard-to-digest foods
   Wear heavy, dark clothing.
                                                                          O
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Appendix C: Excessive Heat Events Guidebook in Brief
                                                                51

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                   Useful Community Interventions
                   For Public Officials

                   Send a clear public message
                    *• Communicate that EHEs are dangerous and conditions can be
                     life-threatening. In the event of conflicting environmental safety
                     recommendations, emphasize that health protection should be the
                     first priority.
                   Inform the public of anticipated EHE conditions
                    »- When will EHE conditions be dangerous?
                    +• How long will EHE conditions last?
                    •» How hot will it FEEL at specific times during the day
                     (e.g., 8 A.M., 12 P.M., 4 P.M., 8 P.M.)?
                   Assist those at greatest risk
                    *• Assess locations with vulnerable populations, such as nursing homes
                     and public housing
                     Staff additional emergency medical personnel to address the
                     anticipated increase in demand
                    " Shift/expand homeless intervention services to cover daytime hours
                    *- Open cooling centers to offer relief for people without air
                     conditioning and urge the public to use them.
                   Provide access to additional sources of information
                    >• Provide toll-free numbers and Web site addresses for heat
                     exposure  symptoms and responses
                    >• Open hotlines to report concerns about individuals who may
                     be at risk
                    ••• Coordinate broadcasts of EHE response information in newspapers
                     and on television and radio.
          52                                               Excessive Heat Events Guidebook

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