EPA-670/2-74-082
November 1974
Environmental Protection Technology Series
             MEASURES  OF  EFFECTIVENESS  FOR
           REFUSE  STORAGE, COLLECTION, AND
                    TRANSPORTATION PRACTICES
                               National Environmental Research Center
                                 Office of Research and Development
                                U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

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                                     EPA-670/2-74-082
                                     November 1974
MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS FOR REFUSE STORAGE,

  COLLECTION, AND TRANSPORTATION PRACTICES
                     By

           MESSER ASSOCIATES, INC.
       Silver Spring, Maryland  20910
         Program Element No. 1DB063
               Project Officer

               Albert J. Klee
Solid and Hazardous Waste Research Laboratory
   National Environmental Research Center
           Cincinnati, Ohio  45268
   NATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH CENTER
     OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
    U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
           CINCINNATI, OHIO  45268

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                   REVIEW NOTICE

     The National Environmental Research Center--
Cincinnati has reviewed this report and approved
its publication.  Approval does not signify that
the contents necessarily reflect the views and
policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, nor does mention of trade names or com-
mercial products constitute endorsement or recom-
mendation for use.

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                          FOREWORD

     Man and his environment must be protected from the
adverse effects of pesticides, radiation, noise and other
forms of pollution, and the unwise management of solid
waste.  Efforts to protect the environment require a focus
that recognizes the interplay between the components of our
physical environment—air, water, and land.   The National
Environmental Research Centers provide this  multidisciplinary
focus through programs engaged in

     •    studies on the effects of environmental contaminants
          on man and the biosphere, and

     •    a search for ways to prevent contamination and to
          recycle valuable resources.

     This report presents results of a project for that focussed
on the systematic development of a set of measures and measurement
tools that could be used to assess the effectiveness of solid
waste storage, collection, and transportation practices.  The
measurement system presented is intended to  support municipal
decision-makers who have responsibility for  such services as
mixed refuse collection, street and alley cleaning, sanitary
code enforcement, sanitation education, and  other related
activities.
                              Andrew W.  Breidenbach, Ph.D.
                              Director
                              National Environmental
                              Research Center, Cincinnati

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                            ABSTRACT
      Perhaps between 75 to 80 percent of a solid waste system
cost is due to storage,  collection,  and transportation, the
remainder being attributable to disposal.  Given an adequate
accounting system, the monetary costs of a solid waste manage-
ment system are much easier to compute than are the benefits
produced and the nonmonetary cost incurred.  Thus, although
a community may have an accurate estimate of what it is spending
upon its  system, it often is uncertain as to whether or not it is
receiving reasonable value  in benefits returned; i. e.,  it has
little or  no idea of its "cost effectiveness."

      This report presents  the results of a project that focussed
on the systematic development of a set of measures  and measure-
ment tools that could be used to assess the effectiveness of  solid
waste storage, collection,  and transportation practices. The
project  included a pilot test of the measurement methodology in
an urban community.

      The measurement system presented in this report is
intended to support municipal decision-makers who have re-
sponsibility for such services  as mixed refuse collection, street
and alley cleaning, sanitary code enforcement, sanitation educa-
tion,  and other related activities.  It provides  a model or proto-
type that municipal representatives can use to design effectiveness
measures that are specific  to their own solid waste management
needs and activities.

      The report includes a comprehensive list of candidate
effectiveness measures along with the measurement techniques
and sampling procedures needed to collect data to formulate the
candidate measures.   It also includes methods for combining
individual measures into overall effectiveness indices.

      This report was submitted in fulfillment of Contract
Number  68-03-0260 by Messer Associates,  Inc. under the
sponsorship of the Environmental Protection Agency.  Work was
completed as of June 1974.
                             IV

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              TABLE   OF   CONTENTS
                                                            Page
                                                          Number
Abstract

List of Figures

List of Tables

Acknowledgments

Summary of Findings and Recommendations
  IV

 vii

  ix

xiii

 xiv
I.     Introduction
II.    Background Materials Review
III.   Development of Measures and Measurement
      Techniques
   19
IV.   Development of Analytical Methods for Combining
      Component Variable Measurements to Produce an
      Overall Effectiveness Measure
   37
V.    The Field Demonstration
  49
VI.   Findings and Conclusions
   63
VII.   Recommendations
                                                           101

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                                                            Page
                                                           Number
Cited References                                            105
Appendix A:  Further Discussion of the Linear,
             Conjunctive, and Disjunctive Decision
             Models                                         107

Appendix B:  An Assessment of the Usefulness of the
             Candidate Effectiveness Measures                113

Appendix C:  Description of the Survey Design and its
             Implementation During the Pilot Test             121

Appendix D:  The Data Collection Forms and Procedures       129

Appendix E:  Description of the Analysis Plan                 147

Appendix F:  Tables,  Charts, and Graphs that Support
             Findings                                       161
                              VI

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                   LIST   OF   FIGURES
                                                             Page
                                                            Number

 1.    "Measure-Act-Measure" Mechanism for Evaluating
       Solid Waste Activities                                     4

 2.    Overview of the General Framework for Developing
       Candidate Effectiveness Measures                        23
 3.    Replica of a Block Map That Was Prepared for the
       Field Test                                               55

 4.    A Sketch  of the Six Observational Areas That Were
       Inspected in Each Survey Block                           59

 5.    Mean Garbage Rating Difference by Scale Point            75

 6.    Mean Glass  Rating Difference by Scale Point               76

 7.    Mean Refuse Rating Difference by Scale Point             77

 8.    Blockface Glass and Refuse Ratings of Observers
       Compared with Overall Ratings for Blocks in
       Common  Tract                                          81

 9.    Graphical Presentation of the Regression Equations
       Developed for Blockface Data:  Relationship Between
       Refuse Rating and  Overall Effectiveness Rating When
       Glass Rating is Held Constant                             90

10.    Graphical Presentation of the Regression Equations
       Developed for Blockface Data:  Relationship Between
       Glass Rating and Overall Effectiveness Rating When
       Refuse Rating  is Held Constant                           91

A-l    Geometric Representations of the Conjunctive Model      109

A-2    Geometric Representations of the Disjunctive Model      111
                               VII

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                                                           Page
                                                          Number
C-l   Geographical Distribution of Baltimore City Census
      Tracts Included in the Field Test                         127

D-l   Replica of the Pre-Survey Form                          130

D-2   Replica of the Blockfaces, Alleys, and Private Ways
      Data Form                                              133

D-3   Replica of the Storage and Backyard Area Data Form      138

D~4   Replica of the Vacant Lots,  Public Parks,  and
      Parking Lots Data Form                                 143

D-5   Replica of the Summary Form                            145

F-l   Frequency Distribution for Garbage, Glass, and
      Refuse Rating Scales — All  Tracts in Sample              175

F-2   Frequency Distribution for Garbage, Glass, and
      Refuse Rating Scales —Common Tract Only               176

F-3   Average Garbage Rating for Blockfaces in the Common
      Tract:  Overall and by Rater                             177

F-4   Average Glass Rating for Blockfaces in the Common
      Tract:  Overall and by Rater                             178

F-5   Average Refuse Rating for Blockfaces in the Common
      Tract:  Overall and by Rater                             179

F-6   Average Garbage Rating for Alleys in the Common
      Tract:  Overall and by Rater                             180

F-7   Average Glass Rating for Alleys in the Common  Tract:
      Overall and by Rater                                    181

F-8   Average Refuse Rating for Alleys in the Common Tract:
      Overall and by Rater                                    182
                              Vll 1

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                   LIST    OF    TABLES
                                                             Page
                                                            Number

 1.    Summary of Major Categories for Measuring
      Effectiveness                                            26

 2.    Indicators of Effectiveness for Each Measurement
      Category, Matched to Solid Waste System Operations       28

 3.    Candidate Effectiveness Measures and Measurement
      Techniques  by Measurement  Category,  Indicator,
      and Activity                                             30

 4.    Summary of the Information Collected and the
      Recording Procedures by Type of Measurement            60

 5.    Distributional Characteristics of the Variables             65

 6.    Blockface Mean Garbage Ratings for Census Tracts —
      Ratings Based on All Blockfaces in a Block Versus
      Ratings Based on One Randomly Selected Blockface
      Per Block                                               69

 7.    Blockface Mean Glass Ratings for Census Tracts —
      Ratings Based on All Blockfaces in a Block Versus
      Ratings Based on One Randomly Selected Blockface
      Per Block                                               70

 8.    Blockface Mean Refuse Ratings  for Census  Tracts —
      Ratings Based on All Blockfaces in a Block Versus
      Ratings Based on One Randomly Selected Blockface
      Per Block                                               71

 9.    Rater Agreement for Measurements Other Than
      Rating Scales                                            72
10.    Rater Agreement for Rating Scale Measurements            73
                              ix

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                                                             Page
                                                            Number.

11.    The Variance Components for a Census Tract Mean
       Value for Glass and Refuse Ratings in Blockfaces and
       Alleys                                                  79

12.    Differences Between the Average Rater Values and the
       Overall Average Values of the Garbage, Glass,  and
       Refuse Ratings for Blockfaces and Alleys in the Common
       Tract                                                   80

13.    Correlations Among the Variables Used to Measure
       Blockface Conditions                                    &1

14.    Correlations Among the Variables Used to Measure
       Alley Conditions                                         87

15.    Index Formulas for Blockface Conditions                  93

16.    Index Formulas for Alley  Conditions                      95

17.    Average Refuse, Glass, and Garbage Ratings for
       Blockfaces and Alleys by Stratum                         96

18.    Amount of Change in the Census Tract Mean Blockface
       Refuse Ratings Detectable at the 95 Percent Confidence
       Level                                                   98

19.    Amount of Change in the Census Tract Mean Alley
       Refuse Ratings Detectable at the 95 Percent Confidence
       Level                                                   99

B-l    Variable  Scores for the Candidate  Effectiveness
       Measures by Solid Waste Activity and by Measure-
       ment Category                                           114

B-2    Variable  Scores for Each of the Candidate Effective-
       ness Measures by Measurement Category                  116

C-l    Basic Survey Design                                     124

C-2    Distribution of Field Test Census Tracts by Income
       Grouping and Sanitation District                          128

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                                                             Page
                                                           Number

C-3    Distribution of Baltimore City Census Tracts by
       Income Grouping and Sanitation District                   128

F-l    Frequency Distribution for Bulk Items by Area of
       Observation — All Tracts in Sample                      162

F-2    Frequency Distribution for Bulk Items by Area of
       Observation — Common Tract Only                       162

F-3    Frequency Distribution for Dead Animals by Area of
       Observation — All Tracts in Sample                      163

F-4    Frequency Distribution for Dead Animals by Area of
       Observation — Common Tract Only                       163

F-5    Frequency Distribution for Abandoned Vehicles by
       Area of Observation — All Tracts in Sample              164

F-6    Frequency Distribution for Abandoned Vehicles by
       Area of Observation — Common Tract Only               164

F-7    Frequency Distribution for Clogged Drain Basins by
       Area of Observation — All Tracts in Sample              165

F-8    Frequency Distribution for Clogged Drain Basins by
       Area of Observation — Common Tract Only               165

F-9    Frequency Distribution for Fire Hazards by Area of
       Observation — All Tracts in Sample                      166

F-10   Frequency Distribution for Fire Hazards by Area of
       Observation — Common Tract Only                       166

F-ll   Frequency Distribution for Rat Indicators by Area of
       Observation — All Tracts in Sample                      167

F-l2   Frequency Distribution for Rat Indicators by Area of
       Observation — Common Tract Only                       167

F-13   Frequency Distribution for Insect Indicators by Area of
       Observation — All Tracts in Sample                      168
                             XI

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                                                              Page
                                                            Numberi

F-14  Frequency Distribution for Odors by Area of Obser-
       vation — All Tracts in Sample                           168

F-15  Garbage Rating Summary Statistics for Consistency
       Among Raters                                          169

F-16  Glass Rating Summary Statistics for Consistency
       Among Raters

F-17  Refuse Rating  Summary Statistics  for Consistency
       Among Raters

F-18  Blockface Estimating Equations for Linear, Conjunctive,
       and Disjunctive Models for Observer 1                    172

F-19  Blockface Estimating Equations for Linear, Conjunctive,
       and Disjunctive Models for Observer 2                    172

F-20  Blockface Estimating Equations for Linear, Conjunctive,
       and Disjunctive Models for Observer 6                    173

F-21  Blockface Estimating Equations for Linear, Conjunctive,
       and Disjunctive Models for Observer 7                    173

F-22  Blockface Estimating Equations for Linear, Conjunctive,
       and Disjunctive Models for Observer 10                   174
                                 XII

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                      ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
      The project team wishes to extend its appreciation to the
Project Officer, Dr. Albert J. Klee of the National Environ-
mental Research Center,  for his guidance and assistance during
the conduct of this project.  Additionally, we wish to express
our gratitude to the following municipal government personnel
in the City of Baltimore for their help and cooperation during
the pilot demonstration phase  of the project.
           Dr.  Pierce Linaweaver, Director of Public Works,
           Department of Public Works

           Mr. R.G.  Deitrich, Director of Technical Services,
           Department of Public Works

           Mr. George Schucker, Assistant Commissioner of
           Health, Director of Sanitary Services,  Department
           of Health

           Mr. C. Edward Sachs,  Director  of Bureau of Environ-
           mental Hygiene,  Department of Health

           Mr. Charles A. Carroll, Chief of Rat Eradication
           Program,  Department of Health

           Mr. Neil Curran, Department of Planning

           Mr. G.L.  Neff, Head of Bureau of Utility Operations,
           Department of Public Works

           Mr. Edward J. Moore, Chief of Division of Sanitation,
           Department of Public Works

           Mr. George Winfield, Technical  Services, Department
           of Public Works

           Mr. Reuben Dagold, Bureau of Environmental Hygiene,
           Department of Health

           Mr. Mark Forester,  Department of Planning
                              Xlll

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      SUMMARY OF FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
      This report presents the results of a project that focussed
on the systematic development of a set of measures and measure-
ment tools that could be used by solid waste management agencies
to evaluate the effectiveness of their solid waste operations of
storage, collection, and local transportation.

      The objectives of the project were to develop:


      •     Usable measures for assessing the effectiveness of
            the solid waste operations of storage,  collection, and
            local transportation.

      •     Measurement techniques and sampling procedures to
            obtain data to formulate the measures.

      •     Methods for combining measurements of individual
            variables to yield overall effectiveness indices.
      It was not the intent of this project to develop a rigid set of
measures to be used by all agencies.   Rather,  the  intent of the
project was to develop a measurement system that could serve
as a guide (or prototype) for various communities in the develop-
ment of indicators that are specific to their own solid waste man-
agement needs and activities.  In addition to providing a model
that local communities could adapt and/or  tailor to their needs,
the project was intended to provide a mechanism that could be
used by state and  federal solid waste management agencies for
comparing the effectiveness of the solid waste activities performed
by jurisdictions under their control.

      To ensure that the measures and the  accompanying scheme
for collecting the  requisite data would be of use to solid waste
managers, the project was to include  a field test of the measure-
ment methodology.  This test was to take place in an urban com-
munity.
                              xiv

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MAJOR FINDINGS OF THE PROJECT

      The findings and conclusions that were developed on the
basis of the data collected during the field demonstration phase
of the project were of two types:  findings of a general nature and
findings related to the sample design.

      The findings which are general in nature may be summa-
rized as follows:
           The number of variables measured can be reduced
           because many of the variables were frequently found
           to be at their lowest value.

           Only three observational areas need to be inspect-
           ed—blockfaces,  alleys, and lots.

           For blockface measurements, one blockface selected
           at random can be used in lieu of  all four blockfaces
           to measure the effectiveness variables.

           Observers exhibit a high degree  of consistency for
           the "yes-no" type measurements and for "counts. "

           Observers exhibit a fair degree of consistency for the
           more subjective-type measurements;  i. e.,  glass,
           garbage,  and refuse ratings.   The amount of varia-
           tion is less at lower scale points than at higher scale
           points,  tending to rapidly increase and then  stabilize.

           Variation among observers, however,  only accounts
           for approximately 15 to 20 percent of total variation
           when measuring  a tract mean.

           On the whole, observers tend to be accurate to within
           one-half of a scale point for the glass,  garbage,  and
           refuse ratings;  a few, however,  were  always high or
           always  low in their assigned ratings.

           There are a number of statistically significant corre-
           lations  among the variables;  however, the explained
           variation tends to be low.
                               xv

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           It is possible to develop composite measures of effec-
           tiveness, using multivariate techniques;  however,  the
           refuse rating by itself can serve as a proxy for an
           overall measure.
In summary, these findings indicate that an ongoing measurement
system would require collection of data on  only a few variables;
that subjective  measurements of unsightly conditions, health
hazards, safety hazards, and so forth can be made,  provided that
one is willing to accept a small amount of inconsistency in the
measurements; and that formulation of composite effectiveness
indices is possible, but perhaps unnecessary.

      In addition to the general findings described above,  there
were  several findings that related to the sample design.   They
may be summarized as follows:
           Large differences in the mean tract ratings were
           found to exist between two groupings of the strata.

           The sampling plan was adequate to detect changes
           of one-half a point or less in the blockface ratings;
           larger samples would be required to detect an equiv-
           alent change in the alley ratings.

           The mean tract ratings did not appear to be biased
           by the day of the week when the inspection was made.
MAJOR RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE PROJECT

      The recommendations stemming from this project are of
two types:
           General recommendations on how to develop a mea-
           surement system that is specific to a given commu-
           nity.

           Detailed recommendations on how to implement an
           ongoing measurement system using the findings from
           the field test data.
                              xvi

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      The recommendations on how to develop a measurement
system that is specific to a given community are as follows:
      (1)   Review the list of measures and measurement tech-
           niques provided in Chapter III of the report and select
           those measures most useful.

      (2)   Use the basic survey design developed for this project
           to obtain preliminary data on those measures that re-
           quire direct observation of existing conditions.

      (3)   Utilize several observers  in each tract and have them
           make the same measurements.

      (4)   Apply  techniques similar to those used in this project
           to determine the appropriate sample  size for an on-
           going measurement system and the relevant variables
           for which measurements should be made.
      The recommendations on how to implement an ongoing mea-
surement system that draws upon results of the field demonstration
conducted in the City of Baltimore are as follows:
      (1)   Collect data on blockfaces,  alleys, and lots only.

      (2)   Sample approximately ten blocks in each census tract
           where the overall conditions are bad to detect a change
           of one-half a point or less in the blockface garbage,
           glass, and refuse ratings; inspect fewer blocks in
           areas where the overall conditions are good.  Use the
           income level of the census tract as an initial means
           for classifying conditions.

      (3)   Inspect only one randomly selected blockface in each
           block; inspect all alleys and lots in the block.

      (4)   Utilize several observers and have them inspect dif-
           ferent blocks in the same census tract in order to
           reduce the variation associated with inconsistency
           among observers.
                              xvi i

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(5)    Periodically compare the observations of raters
      within the same tract to see if any of the observers
      are consistently high or consistently low.

(6)    Make measurements only of the amount of refuse
      found in these areas.  Use this as an indicator of
      overall conditions.

           or

      Make measurements of the amount of refuse,  glass,
      and garbage found in the  areas,  the presence  of rat
      signs (alleys  only) and the number of bulk items
      (alleys only).  Report the measurements  separately
      and/or as a composite measure.

(7)    Report the location of fire hazards,  bulk  items,
      abandoned vehicles,  clogged basins, and  other items
      of interest so that corrective action can be taken.
                        XVlll

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                       I.  INTRODUCTION
      In many communities, information is available to determine
the costs  of solid waste services;  i. e., the labor and equipment
costs associated with collection of mixed refuse, street  sweeping
and cleaning,  and refuse disposal.  Similarly,  information is gen-
erally available to assess the operational efficiency of solid waste
operations, such as tons of refuse collected per man-hour, miles
of streets cleaned per man-hour ^ and so forth.  However, informa-
tion by which to evaluate the effectiveness of sanitation activities
is typically lacking;  i. e., information on the degree to which
streets and alleys are kept free from debris  so as to prevent con-
ditions harmful to the health and safety of the public and to promote
an aesthetically pleasing environment.

      Opinions on sanitation conditions are usually reported by
sanitation crew supervisors.  Unfortunately, this is usually a
sporadic  and subjective process,  characterized by the lack of
well-defined measures that have been agreed upon, and the absence
of a structured mechanism to relate this information to data on
costs and operating activities.  The need to clearly delineate the
many variables that are affected by solid waste operations (par-
ticularly  storage, collection, and transportation activities) and
develop usable means of quantifying and measuring changes in
these variables is the primary reason why this project was under-
taken.

      This chapter describes the objectives of the project and the
potential management uses of effectiveness indicators.  It also
provides an overview of how we performed the  project and how
this report is  organized.
OBJECTIVES OF THE PROJECT

      The primary purposes of this project were to develop:
           Usable measures to assess the effectiveness of solid
           waste operations, with emphasis on the functions of
           storage, collection, and local transportation.

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            Measurement techniques and sampling procedures to
            obtain data to formulate the measures.

            Methods for combining measurements of individual
            variables to yield overall effectiveness measures.
      The basic thrust of the project was on the systematic de-
velopment of a set of indicators and appropriate measurement
tools that could be used by solid waste management agencies to
evaluate the effectiveness of their solid waste operations.

      It was not the intent of this  project to develop a rigid set of
measures to be used by all agencies.   Rather,  the intent of the
project was to develop a measurement system that could serve
as a guide (or prototype)  for various communities in the develop-
ment of indicators that are specific to their own solid waste man-
agement needs and activities.  This is a particularly important
consideration because each different solid  waste management
agency is likely to have its own ideas on what constitutes meaning-
ful effectiveness indicators.   The operating characteristics of the
local agency and the environmental characteristics of the community
that  it serves may require a unique set of indicators.  Furthermore,
the adequacy of current information systems and the corresponding
ability of individual agencies to generate measures may vary widely
across locales.

      In addition to providing a model that  local communities  could
adapt and/or tailor to their  needs, the project was intended to pro-
vide a mechanism that could be used by state and federal solid
waste  management agencies for comparing the effectiveness of
the solid waste activities performed by jurisdictions under their
control.  By adopting a standardized reporting system that re-
quires a sufficient degree of conformity in the types of data that
are  collected  and in the data collection procedures, it would be
possible for these agencies to compare the effectiveness of local
solid waste management activities.  This,  in turn, would provide
state and federal agencies with information to facilitate their
planning, financing, and regulatory responsibilities.

      To ensure that the measures and the  accompanying scheme
for collecting the requisite data would be of use to solid waste
managers, the project was to include a field  test of the measure-
ment methodology.  This test was to take place in an urban com-
munity.

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MANAGEMENT USES OF EFFECTIVENESS MEASURES

      The measures developed during this project provide solid
waste managers with quantitatively based feedback information
on how well the goals  and objectives  of their solid waste activities
are being met, particularly storage, collection, and local trans-
portation activities.  The measures indicate whether changes may
be needed in the underlying policies that  govern a given mode of
operation (e.g., frequency of collection, type of collection service,
level of sanitary enforcement activities,  etc.) or in the level and
mix of resources devoted to these  activities.   Where a change is
undertaken,  they provide a means  for assessing whether this change
has produced the desired impact.

      Effectiveness measures are  particularly useful in:
            Determining those service areas most in need of
            corrective action.

            Assessing the impact of changes in policy and in the
            allocation of resources among various service areas.

            Assessing the impact of special sanitation operations
            (e. g., anti-litter campaigns, special cleanup cam-
            paigns, etc. ).

            Preparing annual budgets and justifying budgetary
            appropriations for solid waste activities, particularly
            when additional resources are needed.

            Establishing standards for evaluating the performance
            of private waste collectors.

            Justifying to citizen groups the type and  level of ser-
            vice that  their area is receiving.
      However,  as illustrated in Figure 1 on the following page,
effectiveness indicators are only one of several ways that managers
have of evaluating solid waste activities.  Other indicators include
performance or output measures (tons  of refuse collected per week,
number of streets cleaned per day), and productivity or efficiency
measures (tons  of refuse collected per man-hour).  These three

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POLICY MEASURES
  — Storage
      • Type of
         Containers
      * Availability of
         Receptacles
      • Enforcement  of
         Standards
      • Use  of Public
         Educ. Campaigns

  — Collection
      • Frequency of
         Regular Collection
      • Frequency of Street
         and  Alley Cleaning
      • Frequency of
         Special Pickup
      • Type of  Collection
         Equipment
      • Route Design
         and  Crew Size
      • Route Schedule
         (a.m., p.m.)
      • Type of  Collection
         Service

  — Local Transportation
      • Type of  Transport
         Equipment
      • Distance
         Travelled
      • Tons Carried
         per Trip
Application of
Resources
                                                            Measurement of System
                                                                 Operations
• Output Measures
• Productivity Measures
• Effectiveness Measures
                                                                Review of  Results
                                  Changes in Policy and Resources
     Figure 1:  "Measure-Act-Measure" Mechanism for Evaluating
                  Solid Waste Activities

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types of indicators — effectiveness,  efficiency, and output mea-
sures—are not unrelated.  For this reason, changes in policy
variables or in the level of resources that appear warranted on
the basis of effectiveness measures should always be reviewed
in light of their potential effect on system performance and system
productivity.
A DESCRIPTION OF HOW WE PERFORMED THE PROJECT

      The project was performed in several phases that consisted
of the activities summarized below:
            Phase I — Collection and Review of Background
            Materials.  A review  of the literature on effective-
            ness measurement systems was undertaken and the
            solid waste managers in each of the 10 largest cities
            were contacted to determine the types of effective-
            ness measures, if any, that their communities were
            using.  Interviews and discussions were also held with
            numerous persons involved in solid waste management
            activities to obtain their views on the relative impor-
            tance and usefulness of the various measures.

            Phase II — Methodology Development. An analytical
            framework was developed from which a comprehen-
            sive set of effectiveness indicators was derived,  along
            with methods  for collecting and recording the  data.
            Additionally,  the various combining methods were re-
            viewed and  a procedure for developing composite mea-
            sures was selected.

            Phase ni — Field Testing of the Measurement  Meth-
            odology.  A field demonstration, designed to assess
            the measurement methodology and its implementation
            in an urban community was conducted. The City of
            Baltimore was used as the field test site.

            Phase IV—Analysis of the Field Test Data. The field
            test data were analyzed to assess the feasibility of
            producing the measures,  the consistency or reliability
            of the subjective-type  measurements, the correlations
            among the measures,  and the feasibility of producing
            composite measures of effectiveness for  solid waste
            activities.

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ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT

      The report is organized into seven chapters and covers the
activities associated with the phases listed above.  The first chap-
ter provides introductory material relevant to the project.   The
second chapter describes the findings  that emerged from a review
of background and other materials on  existing methodologies de-
signed to measure the effectiveness of solid waste operations.
The development of the methodological approach and combining
techniques used in the project are described in the third and fourth
chapters.  Details on the field demonstration comprise the fifth
chapter.   The last two chapters summarize the findings and rec-
ommendations that were developed on the basis of the field data.

      In  addition, the report includes  six appendices.  These pro-
vide additional information on the methodological approach, survey
design, and field test data collection forms and procedures that
were  used in the project.  They include a description of how the
analysis  of the field test data was performed, as well as detailed
tables, charts,  and graphs to support some of the findings pre-
sented in the body of the report.

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            II.  BACKGROUND MATERIALS REVIEW
      A number of measurement systems have been developed in
recent years to assess the effectiveness of solid waste operations.
Some of these systems or variations thereof have been implemented
in several of the larger cities across the nation.  This chapter de-
scribes the general types of measurement methodologies that have
been proposed to collect effectiveness-type information, their re-
spective uses in the 10 largest cities in the country, and the rela-
tionship of this project to existing measurement systems.
TYPES OF MEASUREMENT METHODOLOGIES

      The measurement methodologies developed during the past
few years generally include one or more of the following elements:
            Direct assessment of conditions, based upon physical
            measurement or direct observation by trained persons.

            Indirect assessment of conditions, based upon data
            obtained from records or ledgers.

            Citizen perception of conditions,  as indicated in com-
            plaint records or special attitudinal surveys.
These measurement methodologies are discussed in the subsections
that follow.
Direct Assessment of Conditions

      Nearly all of the proposed measurement systems call for
direct measurement of existing conditions, particularly along
streets  and alleys in the community.  However,  for the most
part,  only the overall aesthetic conditions of these areas are con-
sidered when measurements are made.  Although provision is
generally made within most systems for collecting information on
other items of interest (e.g., bulky wastes), there is, as a rule,
no attempt to include these other items as formalized measures
per se_ (e. g., the number of discarded bulk items per square mile).

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      The existing methods for directly assessing conditions fall
into one of two categories:
      •    Measurement of the area covered by litter

      •    Measurement of the volume of litter in a given area.


These methods are described in the following paragraphs.


      Measurement of the Area Covered by Litter

           Two techniques have been proposed for measuring the
      area that is covered by litter.  One scheme, called a Visual
      Inspection System, was developed by the Urban Institute.1
      The other scheme, called a Photometric System, was de-
      veloped by the American Public Works Association, in con-
      junction with Keep America Beautiful.2

           The Visual Inspection System consists of a set of pro-
      cedures whereby a trained inspector  gives a numerical
      rating on a scale of 1 to 4 to the litter conditions observed
      on a  street or alley.   A set of photographs, scaled to illus-
      trate the range of litter conditions, is used as  a standard
      in making these ratings.  Whenever the conditions on streets
      and alleys fall in between the conditions illustrated in the
      photographs, intermediate rating points of 1.5,  2.5, and 3.5
      are utilized.  The originators of this scheme recommend
      that inspectors, along with rating the cleanliness and appear-
      ance  of streets and alleys, note factors such as the presence
      of abandoned automobiles and health and fire hazards, so
      that corrective action may be taken.

           The Photometric System  is an attempt to develop a
      more objective way of measuring aesthetic conditions in
      streets and alleys.  Under this method, photographs are
      taken of the actual solid waste accumulations at random
      points along a sample of streets and alleys.  The camera
      must be placed so that all photographs are taken at the
      same angle, from the same distance, and represent a 6- by
      16-foot rectangular area.

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      After the pictures are developed, a clear plastic over-
lay,  marked  off into 96 grids,  is placed over each picture.
The  grid overlay is designed so as to have the same per-
spective as the photographs.   This is necessary in order to
compensate for the fact that things in the foreground tend to
look larger and more important than those in the background.
By counting the number of grids that contain litter^ the total
area covered by litter can be determined.  The originators
of this scheme recommend that the number of grids contain-
ing litter be  converted to the following six-point rating scale:
                                 Number of Grids
           Rating                Containing Litter

              1                         0-4
              2                         5-10
              3                        11-20
              4                        21-30
              5                        31-40
              6                      41 or more
      Both of these two procedures for assessing the area
covered by litter have certain inherent problems.  The
visual inspection procedure relies heavily on a subjective
assessment of conditions,  and,  as such, is subject to in-
spector biases and inconsistencies.   The photometric pro-
cedure, while it has much to recommend it, requires that
a substantially greater amount of time be spent for its im-
plementation.  Because the pictures must  all be  taken from
the same perspective, a fair amount of set-up time is re-
quired. Second,  the area photographed must be  one that is
free of automobiles for at least 25 to 30 feet.  This often
poses difficulties when it is desired to obtain a second mea-
surement to assess changes in conditions.   Third,  difficulties
may be encountered in the actual counting  of the  littered
grids because: dark pieces of trash are not easily distin-
guishable in shadows;  wet areas cause a glare to the picture,
making some of the trash indistinguishable;  areas around
broken pavement are  often discolored and  appear as though
they might be litter;  and,  there is human  error  in counting
the number of littered squares.   Fourth, the photographs are
not readily interpretable without a magnifying glass.

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      Measurement of the Volume of Litter

            As an alternative to measuring the area covered by
      litter, a technique has been developed for measuring the
      volume of litter in a given area.  This technique, developed
      by Ralph Stone  and Company,  Inc.,  requires that all of the trash
      along a street or alley be swept up,  carried away, and then
      measured.3 This scheme,  while it removes much of the
      subjectivity associated with measuring the  overall appearance
      of an area,  is a fairly costly scheme to implement on an
      ongoing basis,  as well as one that requires the absence of
      parked cars, trucks, and other vehicles along the street.
Indirect Assessment of Conditions

      A few of the proposed measurement schemes suggest utilizing
information on area conditions available from records and ledgers
to assess the effectiveness of solid waste activities.  Some of the
proposed  indicators include the number of trash fires from solid
waste accumulations, the level of external rat infestation, the
number of missed collections, and  so forth.

      Formulation of these measures generally requires a fair
degree of cooperation among the personnel in different municipal
government agencies (e. g. , health  department,  fire department,
sanitation department, housing department, etc. ).  This is be-
cause the data that are needed are not available  solely within the
sanitation agency.  Moreover, the data,  when accessible,  are not
always comparable.  For example,  the  sanitation department may
collect and summarize information using sanitation districts as a
basis,  while the health and fire departments may utilize different
service units (more suited to their  own internal needs) in their
summarization of the data.  Additionally, even when the data bases
are comparable,  the level of summarization may be too  aggrega-
tive to allow comparisons except among large geographic areas
within a city.

      For these reasons, implementation of a measurement system
that utilizes  available data will generally require a revision of an
existing management information system or the development of a
new information system.  It will also require a system which en-
compasses involvement by more than just the sanitation department,
because of the variety of data that would  be included.
                              10

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Citizen Perception of Conditions

      Some of the proposed measurement schemes suggest using
citizen input to assess the effectiveness of sanitation activities.
Citizen input can be obtained from:
      •     A systematic review of complaint records on file with
            the sanitation agency.

      •     A special survey of citizens to obtain their attitudes
            about sanitation activities.
      Complaint data are useful in pinpointing short-term or ex-
treme problems.  Long-standing deficiencies are generally less
detectable from complaint data for two reasons:  (1) persons
having complaints may "give up" if remedial action is not initiated
early on; and,  (2) persons may become so accustomed to the
deficiencies that they do not register complaints.

      One of the problems associated with using complaint records
is that generally only a handful of citizens bother to file formal
complaints.  Because the views of these persons may not be rep-
resentative of the community-at-large,  there are likely to be
biases associated with using complaint data to measure the overall
effectiveness of sanitation activities. A carefully designed citizen
attitude survey will,  as a rule, provide more accurate and reliable
information about citizen perception of conditions than will volun-
teered complaints.

      Citizen attitude surveys can be conducted by interviewing a
sample of residents either in-person, over the telephone, or
through the mail.  The choice among survey methods  depends on
the desired degree of accuracy and the amount of money the com-
munity is willing to spend.  The proponents of citizen attitude
surveys recommend that data be gathered concurrently on citizen
satisfaction with other municipal services as well as solid waste
operations.
                               11

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EFFECTIVENESS MEASUREMENT SYSTEMS IN THE TEN
LARGEST CITIES

      Summary information on the effectiveness measurement
systems in use in the ten largest cities in the nation was collected
at an early point  in the study through telephone and personal inter-
views with sanitation department personnel.  Where available,
documentation related to the measurement  systems was also ob-
tained.

      The review of measurement  systems in use revealed the
following:
            Only two of the cities — New York and Washington,
            D. C. —have implemented formalized procedures
            for systematically assessing the  effectiveness of
            their solid waste operations.  A third city, Balti-
            more, is planning to implement such a system in
            the near future. In all three cases,  the assessment
            is based on the Visual Inspection  System.  All three
            measurement systems are funded by sources outside
            the sanitation department.

            In the  remainder of the seven cities that were con-
            tacted— Cleveland,  Chicago, Dallas,  Detroit, Houston,
            Los Angeles, and Philadelphia—there are no formal-
            ized procedures for measuring the effectiveness of
            sanitation operations.  Crew foremen and supervisors
            periodically inspect areas subsequent to collection and
            make a qualitative assessment of conditions, but no
            quantitative measures are utilized.
      The effectiveness measurement systems for New York City,
Washington,  D. C. , and Baltimore,  are described below.4'5'6
New York City

      Visual inspection procedures for rating the overall cleanli-
ness of designated areas are being used in the City of New York.
This system,  called Project Scorecard, utilizes the techniques
developed by the Urban Institute, with some modifications.  Score-
card utilizes an eight-point scale, where 1.0 is immaculately clean

                              12

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and 4.5 is filthy.  The scale progresses at .5 intervals to reflect
intermediate levels of cleanliness.

      Under the Scorecard system,  an inspector rates both sides
of the street and the adjoining sidewalks, but not the alleys.  The
location of abandoned cars and bulk trash items are noted. These
are reported to the sanitation district superintendent responsible
for the  area so that remedial action can be taken.

      The streets  and sidewalks are assigned separate ratings,
which are then averaged together  to form a single rating for each
block inspected.  The block averages  are subsequently combined
and a new composite  average is produced for what is called a
"strip" (a linear set of blocks).  These strips form the basic unit
on which comparisons are made between sanitation districts.
The ranking of sanitation districts,  based on the cleanliness
ratings, has resulted in minor competition among the various
district superintendents to keep their  areas as clean as possible,
as none of them want to appear  at the  bottom of the list.

      At the time that the information on Project Scorecard was
obtained,  the system was operational  on Manhattan's Lower East
Side and in areas designated by the  City as needing concentrated
cleaning attention.  Inspections were being made several times
weekly  along all streets where the system was operational. Plans,
however,  were underway for expanding Scorecard's operations to
permit  inspection  of a sample of streets in the entire city.
Washington,  D. C.

      Washington, D. C. , has reinstituted a Visual Inspection
System for assessing the appearance of streets and alleys within
the city.  A nine-point scale is used, with 1.0 representing the
cleanest areas and 5.0 representing the dirtiest areas.  The  scale
progresses at half-point intervals to reflect conditions in between
the two extreme values.

      The inspectors rate one side of the street, both sides of
alleys,  conditions on public property, and conditions on private
property. Information is also recorded about dead  animals,
abandoned vehicles, clogged catch basins, bulky waste, fire
hazards, and a number of other items of interest.
                                   13

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      The entire city is inspected four times a year^ and the in-
formation is summarized by census tract, by collection route,
and by service area.  In "clean" areas of the city, 20 to 30 per-
cent of the blockfaces (the area along one side of the block from
the center line of the street to the curb) and adjacent public  and
private ways are inspected.  These are selected on the basis of
random sampling techniques.  In the "not so clean" areas, 80 to
100 percent of the blockfaces and the adjacent public and private
ways are inspected.  All alleys in the city are inspected,  inde-
pendent of whether the area is classified as clean or not.

      The unique aspect of the Washington, D. C., system is that
it is one of the few systems where the information that is collected
is assimilated into an overall rating to produce an "Environmental
Rating" for an area.  A 100-point rating scale is used.  Conditions
on both public property and private property are included in formu-
lating the index.  The various index components and relative weights
are as follows:
                                       Weight (in terms of
          Item or Condition              points assigned)

   Overall Blockface or Alley
   Cleanliness Rating                          40

   Blockface or Alley Cleanliness
   Rating with Leaves                          10

   Unsightly Conditions on the
   Public Way                                 10

   Unsightly Conditions Beyond
   the Public Way                              20

   Presence of Special Items
   (e.g.,  dead animals, abandoned
   vehicles, bulk, etc.)                        20
                               TOTAL        100
      Based on the weighting scheme shown above, a composite
rating is developed for each blockface or alley that is inspected.
The individual composite ratings are averaged to give an overall
rating for the area under consideration.
                               14

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Baltimore

      Baltimore is currently in the process of implementing a
solid waste effectiveness measurement system.   The system
combines- effectiveness measures with information on solid waste
activities and costs,  in an attempt to identify the types and costs
of programs and resource combinations that have the greatest
effectiveness.  A visual inspection process on cleanliness and
appearance of streets and alleys, along with a procedure  to obtain
information on sanitation violations and citizen complaints, con-
stitute the effectiveness measurement system in Baltimore.   The
effectiveness measures  will form part of a comprehensive sani-
tation management information system.

      Baltimore has experimented with the Photometric System
to produce cleanliness ratings and has decided that the visual in-
spection procedure is the more efficient method to use for their
purposes for the following reasons.  First, they experienced
difficulties in finding the designated areas  free from parked
vehicles at the time the  photographs were taken and in interpre-
ting the photographs,  even with a magnifying glass.  Second,  they
found the method could not be applied during periods of inclement
weather.  Thirdly, they felt that the increased degree of accuracy
(which the Photometric System provides) was not sufficient enough
to justify the high costs  associated with operating this type of
system.
GENERAL DEFICIENCIES IN EFFECTIVENESS MEASUREMENT
SYSTEMS

      The measurement methodologies presented in this chapter
have proven useful in solid waste decision-making, as evidenced
by their implementation and continued use in several  cities.  How-
ever, there are certain weaknesses in these measurement systems
that necessitated the comprehensive investigation undertaken during
this project.   These weaknesses may be summarized as follows:
            The major thrust of these systems is on solid waste
            cleaning and collection activities as illustrated by
            the emphasis upon measures to rate cleanliness and
            appearance of streets and alleys.  The storage func-
            tion is considered only to a limited extent in that
            indicators on the condition of cans are included in the
            Baltimore and Washington measurement systems.  No
            attention  at all is given to the transportation function.

                                   15

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           The primary focus of these systems is on measuring
           the appearance of the area.  Although provision is
           generally made for collecting  ancillary information,
           routine measurement of factors such as health and
           safety hazards is generally not part of the measure-
           ment system.  The potential impact of solid waste
           systems upon these factors may be considerable;
           their effects may,  in fact, be  opposite to their effects
           upon the more easily measured variables such as street
           cleanliness and appearance.  Therefore,  a compre-
           hensive measurement system  must include indicators
           for these factors.

           The systems generally do not  provide a means for com-
           bining the individual measures into an overall effec-
           tiveness rating.  The schemes being implemented in
           New York and Baltimore, provide indices  of overall
           street and alley  cleanliness, but that is the extent to
           which individual measures are combined.  In Washing-
           ton, D. C., where a  composite rating of effectiveness
           has recently been developed,  cleanliness factors re-
           ceive 80 percent of the total weight.  Without usable
           methods for combining the various solid waste indicators
           into overall measures of effectiveness, it  is difficult
           to judge the true status of a community's solid waste
           operations  or to establish comparisons with other
           communities.

           The systems are essentially "parochial" in that they
           were designed for specific communities to serve
           specific purposes.  Although guidelines are generally
           provided for the extention of these systems to other
           cities,  the  selection of the various  measures and the
           measurement techniques is influenced by the persons
           who originally developed the measurement methodologies.
      This project, while building upon the available measurement
systems,  attempted to overcome the deficiencies cited above.
Measures related not only to collection and cleaning activities but
also to storage and transportation activities were considered.  A
fairly comprehensive set of indicators, encompassing health hazards,
safety hazards,  fire hazards, etc., was developed and applied during
a field test.  A method for combining disparate indicators into single
                          16

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effectiveness measures was developed and implemented using the
data collected during the field survey.  Finally, a set of procedures
was designed to assist communities that want to develop their own
unique measurement schemes, rather than adopt existing ones.
                             17

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              III.  DEVELOPMENT OF MEASURES
                 AND MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
      There were two major aspects to the methodology develop-
ment phase of the project — (1) the development of individual mea-
sures and measurement techniques for assessing the effectiveness
of the solid waste operations of storage,  collection, and local
transportation, and (2)  the development of analytical procedures
for combining individual measures to produce an overall measure
of effectiveness.  This  chapter describes how the measures and
the measurement techniques were developed and provides  a com-
plete list of the "candidate" effectiveness measures, many of
which were investigated during the pilot test phase of the project.
The following chapter describes the development of the combining
methods.

      The procedures utilized  in developing a comprehensive set
of effectiveness measures may be summarized  as follows:
      •     Definitions were developed for the solid waste operations
            included in the project.

      •     The scope of the study was defined relative to the various
            generic types of effects that could be measured.

      •     An analytical framework,  consisting of measurement
            categories and indicators matched to the solid waste
            operations under study,  was developed.
The remaining paragraphs discuss these procedures in greater detail.
TERMS RELEVANT TO THE PROJECT WERE DEFINED

      Solid waste materials are thos-e unused or unwanted materials
that result from normal community activities and have insufficient
content to be free flowing.  The development of policies and proce-
dures for controlling the generation,  storage,  collection,  transport,
                            19

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 separation, processing,  recovery, and disposal of these materials
 is the responsibility of those federal,  state, and local officials who
 oversee and operate the  solid waste management system.  This
 project focussed specifically on the effectiveness of policies and
 procedures related to the storage,  collection,  and local transport
 of solid waste materials.

      The components of the solid waste management system that
 this project focussed on were defined as follows:
            Storage Operations — The methods by which solid waste
            products are discarded by individuals, households, and
            establishments, in either a loose or a contained form,
            prior to collection/removal by public or private haulers.

            Collection Operations — The methods associated with
            the gathering or accumulating of solid waste products
            from various storage points for the purpose of trans-
            porting them to a central waste depository site; i. e.,
            a transfer station, reclamation center,  or disposal site.

            Local Transportation Operations — The  methods asso-
            ciated with the conveyance of solid waste products
            from a final collection point to the closest transfer
            station, reclamation center, or disposal site.
      Storage practices thus reflect the mode in which solid waste
materials initially present themselves to the system.  This maybe
in a containerized  form (from households, commercial establish-
ments,  etc. ) or in a non-containerized form (such as street litter,
bulk waste, etc. ).   Collection activities  include:  regular mixed
refuse collection, bulk or special item pickup,  and street and alley
cleaning.  Transportation practices refer solely to activities asso-
ciated with the conveyance of solid  waste products to the closest
depository site.  Long haul transportation via rail, truck,  and so
forth, was not part of this  project.

      These solid waste activities were considered relative to
municipal solid waste products only; i. e.,  materials discarded
by households, apartment complexes,  and commercial concerns,
and materials found in public areas such  as streets,  sidewalks,
                                  20

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alleys,  vacant lots,  parks, etc.  The types of solid waste materi-
als likely to be generated by these sources include:
      •     garbage (not discharged into the sewer system)

      •     rubbish (both combustible products,  such as paper,
            leaves,  wood; and non-combustible products, such
            as metal,  glass, plastic,  and so forth)

      •     ashes

      •     street refuse (street sweepings, dirt, leaves, catch
            basin dirt, street litter,  and so forth)

      •     bulky wastes

      •     abandoned vehicles

      •     construction and demolition waste.


ONLY THE EFFECTS OF SOLID WASTE ACTIVITIES ON THE
PUBLIC WERE  CONSIDERED

      Conceptually speaking, there are two distinct types  of effects
which may be expected to result from the operation of a solid waste
system, namely:
            Effects which are external to system operating pro-
            cedures

            Effects which are internal to system operating pro-
            cedures.
      Effects external to the system refer to the benefits and
damages which are sustained by the public as a result of solid
waste system operations.  An example of this type of effect is
unsightliness caused by the presence of spilled or scattered
refuse subsequent to mixed refuse collection.
                               21

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      Effects internal to the system refer to the benefits and
 damages that are sustained by the system itself as a result of a
 given type of solid waste operation or procedure.  An example of
 this type of effect would be injuries suffered by waste collectors.

      This project concerned itself only with the former type
 effect;  i. e., effects external to the system.
 A GENERAL FRAMEWORK WAS DEVELOPED

      Once the focus of the study had been clearly defined, a
 general framework was developed from which a "candidate" set
 of effectiveness measures could be derived.  The framework con-
 sisted of:
      •     Major measurement categories that corresponded to
            the objectives of a solid waste system.

      •     Qualitative indicators (or descriptors),  matched to
            the solid waste  operations under study,  for each mea-
            surement category.

      •     Quantitative measures (or variables) for each indi-
            cator.

      •     Measurement techniques for each measure.
An overview of the general framework is presented in Figure 2 on
the following page.  The elements of the framework are described
in the paragraphs that follow.
Several Major Categories for Measuring Effectiveness Were
Developed to Reflect the Objectives of a Solid Waste Management
System

      In general, effectiveness measures relate to the degree to
which goals and/or objectives are being met.  Thus, in order to
properly assess the effectiveness of the solid waste  system,  it is
necessary to define its goals and/or objectives in a precise manner.
                                22

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                     Category A
            Category B





1 1 I
Hazards Hazards Hazards Hazards




Due to Due
Poor Poor
Sto
to Due to Due to
Poor Poor
rage Collection Transport Storage
|

Major
Measurement
Categories
                                                                     Indicators by
                                                                     Category Matched
                                                                     to Solid Waste
                                                                     Operations
Measure  Measure  Measure
Number  Number  Number
  1        2        3
Method  Method
of      of
Measur-  Measur-
ing      ing
Measure
Number
   1
    Measures
    for the
    Indicators
                                   Measurement
                                   Techniques
            Figure 2:  Overview of the General Framework for
                       Developing Candidate Effectiveness Measures

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      Since the project was not meant to deal with a specific type
of solid waste system, but rather with solid waste  systems in
general, the statement of objectives had to be broad enough to
apply to any solid waste system, independent of its physical com-
ponents.  The statement of objectives that was developed may be
summarized as follows:
            The objective of a solid waste management system is
            to provide for the operation of a waste handling system
            with a level of service sufficient to —

            (1)   meet the community needs in terms of handling
                 and disposing of all unused or unwanted solid
                 waste materials that are discarded within the
                 community

            (2)   maintain a safe, healthful, and aesthetically
                 pleasing community; i. e., counter those effects
                 which would result from an unmanaged or im-
                 properly functioning solid waste system.
      Based on this statement of objectives,  it can be inferred
that an effective solid waste system is one which:
      •    meets the community's storage and collection needs

      •    mitigates against conditions that might cause deterio-
           ration of public health

      •    acts to prevent accumulations of solid waste materials
           which might cause injury to the public

      •    strives to minimize deterioration  of the appearance of
           the community due to street litter and solid waste
           materials

      •    acts to prevent offensive odors caused by inadequate
           storage or infrequent collection of solid waste materials.
                               24

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      Thus, the following effectiveness categories emerge from
the statement of objectives:
      •     Meeting the Community's Storage and Collection Needs

      •     Safety of the Public

      •     Public Health

            A  j.i  x-  /-.  T.L-     J  — Appearance
      •     Aesthetic Conditions  <     _^
                                 I  — Odor
These effectiveness categories relate directly to the reasons for
performing solid waste collection and transportation activities;
for example, keeping the streets clean and preventing public
health and safety problems from occurring.  They pertain to solid
waste  systems in general.

      In order to accomplish the objectives stated above, each
solid waste system sets its own ordinances,  standards,  and
policies with respect to its storage,  collection,  and transporta-
tion operations.  These standards and procedures generally relate
to the  types of allowable containers and to the frequency of collec-
tion and cleaning operations.  Thus, the degree of compliance with
these standards constitutes another major category against which
effectiveness can be measured.  That is, if plastic bags as outside
storage containers are prohibited, then measurement of the com-
pliance level for this could be  important with respect to the overall
effectiveness of the solid waste system.

      In addition, there are features of the actual solid waste
system in use (i. e.,  its equipment, labor use,  and other methods
and procedures) that  are either closely related to meeting the
overall objectives or are constraints (restrictions) on how the
job of  storing,  removing,  and  transporting refuse should be
accomplished.   Some of these  features may cause inconvenience
or discomfort to the public. Collection truck noise levels and
induced traffic congestion because of collection  scheduling are
examples of these types of operating system  features.
                               25

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      Thus,  for a specific solid waste system, two additional
categories for assessing effectiveness may be set forth:
           Compliance with System Standards

           Inconvenience/Discomfort to the Public Because of
           System Operating Procedures.
      Table  1 shown below summarizes the major measurement
categories that were  developed for this project.
            Table 1.  SUMMARY OF MAJOR CATEGORIES
                 FOR MEASURING EFFECTIVENESS
      CATEGORIES OF EFFECTIVENESS RELATED TO NATURE
      OF SOLID WASTE SYSTEMS IN GENERAL:

            •    Public Health

            •    Public Safety

            •    Appearance of Community

            •    Odor Within Community

            •    Satisfaction of Community's Storage and
                 Collection Needs

      CATEGORIES OF EFFECTIVENESS RELATED TO SOLID
      WASTE SYSTEM UTILIZED:

            •    Compliance With Standards

            •    Inconvenience/Discomfort to Public
                              26

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Indicators of Effectiveness Matched to Solid Waste Operations
Were Developed for Each Category of Effectiveness

      For each of the categories of effectiveness listed in Table 1,
a number of indicators were developed.   These indicators were
designed to provide a qualitative statement of conditions from
which quantitative measures (or variables) could subsequently be
developed.  That is, they were used to describe the conditions
that we would be attempting to measure.

      In developing these indicators, an attempt was made to match
effectiveness  categories with the specific solid waste operations
under study;   namely,  storage, collection,  and transportation.
This was  done in order to facilitate the formulation of quantitative
measures that related specifically to one or more of the operations.

      A summary of the indicators of effectiveness,  matched to
solid waste operations, is shown in Table 2 on the following page.
Quantitative Measures and Measurement Techniques Were Devel-
oped for Each of the Indicators of Effectiveness

      For each effectiveness indicator,  measures (or variables)
were  developed  for which data would be gathered.  This initial
list of variables was subsequently reviewed by an in-house team
of analysts, and a number of measures were  eliminated from
further consideration because  they did not meet one or more of
the evaluative criteria set forth.

      The evaluative criteria used to screen the initial list of
variables included an assessment of each measure's:
            Validity—Does the measure indicate what it purports
            to?

            Accuracy—Will the measurement reflect a  "true"
            picture of the measured conditions?

            Reliability  (or) Consistency — Will independent ob-
            servers come  up with similar measurements of the
            same phenomena?
                              27

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Table 2.  INDICATORS OF EFFECTIVENESS FOR EACH
     MEASUREMENT CATEGORY, MATCHED TO
        SOLID WASTE SYSTEM OPERATIONS

CO
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           Usefulness to Solid Waste Managers — Will the mea-
           sure assist decision-makers in making comparisons
           among areas and/or in analyzing trends over time?
      Measurement techniques were then designed for each of the
resultant measures.  These related to:  (1) the type of data that
would be needed to formulate  a given measure; (2) the procedures
and methods that could be used to obtain the requisite data;  and
(3) the suggested frequency with which the data should be collected
and the measures formulated.

      The full set of candidate effectiveness measures and their
respective measurement techniques is presented in tabular form
in Table  3  on pages 30 through 36. This list is designed to indi-
cate the relevant measurement category, solid waste activity,
and effectiveness indicator  associated with each measure.  The
table is organized as  follows:
      •    Measurement Category — Indicates the general cate-
           gory of effectiveness to which the measure relates.

      •    Solid Waste Activity—Delineates the solid waste
           activity (storage,  regular collection,  special collec-
           tion, cleaning, transportation) to which the measure
           relates.

      •    Indicators of Effectiveness — Designates the effective-
           ness indicator to which the measure relates.

      •    Measures of Effectiveness—Indicates the form of the
           measure  itself.

      •    Measurement Techniques — Specifies what would be
           measured, how the data would be collected, and how
           frequently measurements should be made.

      •    Type of Measure—Indicates the source of data by
           generic category:  direct observation  of existing con-
           ditions, special measurement apparatus, available
           records and ledgers, or  a household survey.
                               29

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                       Table 3.  CANDIDATE EFFECTIVENESS MEASURES AND
                          MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES BY MEASUREMENT
                               CATEGORY, INDICATOR, AND ACTIVITY
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - PUBLIC HEALTH
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage
Regular
Collection
Cleaning

Indicators of
Effectiveness
Conditions
hazardous to
health in storage
areas/or private
areas
Widespread health
hazards through-
out neighborhood
storage areas
Health hazards in
waste collection
area
Health hazards on
the public way
(streets and alleys)
Health hazards on
vacant lots and
public areas
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Average rat count for storage areas
—Percent of storage areas where rat
count exceeds given threshold
A f 1
—Percent of storage areas where fly
count exceeds given threshold
—Percent of storage areas found to con-
tain health hazards
—Average health hazard rating for stor-
age areas
—Percent of storage areas where health
hazard rating exceeds a given threshold
—Percent of blocks where more than "X"
percent of the storage areas are found
to contain health hazards
—Number of containers per block set out
the night before collection which pose
potential health hazards
—Percent of inspections found to contain
health hazards on the public way
(inspection unit = blockface or alley)
-Percent of inspections where health
hazards are found on lots or public
areas (inspection unit = blockface or
alley)
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Rat count for each stroage area inspected
Fly count for each storage area inspected
Presence of health hazards in waste storage
area 6 = yes, 7 = no
Types of Health Hazards
— Flies, insects
—Signs of rodents
—Garbage not in metal container
—Garbage in a metal container without
tight lid
— Decaying animals
—Other health hazard
Health hazard rating assigned to each storage
area inspected. 3 point scale (based on above
data)-
1 - no health hazards observed
2 = minor health hazards observed (no
signs of insects, flies, or rodents)
3 = major health hazards observed (signs
of insects, rodents, and flies)
This is a derived measure based on data
gathered from inspection of several waste
storage areas in a number of blocks
Number of containers in waste collection
areas which are of a nature that rats and/or
animals can gain access and which are put
out the night before collection
Presence of health hazards (as defined above}
on streets and alleys. 6 = yes; 7 = no
Presence of health hazards (as defined above)
on lots and public areas' 6 • yes; 7 = no
Data Collection Methods
Inspection of storage areas using rat
count apparatus
i fl
count apparatus
Inspection of storage areas using a
checklist to denote specific health
hazards observed
Inspection of waste collection areas
Inspection of streets and alleys using
checklist to denote specific health
hazards observed
Inspection of lots and public places
using checklist to denote specific health
hazards observed
Frequency of
Collection3
Q
Q
Q
Q
Q
Q

Type of
Measure b
SM
SM
DO
DO
DO
DO
See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                    Table 3  (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - PUBLIC SAFETY
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage
Regular
Collection
Cleaning
Indicators of
Effectiveness
Conditions
hazardous to
safety in storage
areas/or private
areas
Widespread
safety hazards
throughout
neighborhood
storage areas
Safety hazards
on the public
way {streets and
alleys)
Safety hazards
on vacant lots
and public
areas
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—No. of fires caused partially by improper
storage of combustible solid waste per
1000 persons
—Percent of storage areas found to con-
tain safety hazards
—Average safety hazard rating for stor-
age areas
—Percent of storage areas where safety
hazard rating exceeds a given threshold
—Percent of blocks where more than "X"
percent of the storage areas are found
to contain safety hazards
—Percent of inspections found to contain
safety hazards on the public way
(inspection unit = blackface or alley)
—Percent of inspections where safety
hazards are found on lots or public
areas (inspection unit = blockface or
alley)
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Number of fires attributable to solid waste
accumulation
Presence of safety hazards in waste storage
area: 6 = yes, 7 = no
Types of Safety Hazard
—Broken glass
-Barbed wire
— Refrigerator with door mtact
—Combustible waste sufficient to cause
a fire
—Other safety hazards
Safety hazard rating assigned to each storage
area inspected: 3 point scale (based on above
data) --
1 = no safety hazards observed
2 = minor safety hazards observed (i e.,
broken glass, barbed wire)
3 = major safety hazards observed (i.e.,
refrigerator with" door intact, waste
sufficient to cause fire)
This is a derived measure, based on data
gathered from inspection of several'waste
storage areas in a number of blocks
Presence of safety hazards (as defined above)
on streets and alleys' 6 = yes; 7 = no
Presence of safety hazards (as defined above)
on lots and public areas: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Data Collection Methods
Review of fire department records
Inspection of storage areas using a check-
list to denote specific safety hazards
observed
Inspection of streets and alleys using a
checklist to denote the specific safety
hazards observed
Inspection of lots and public places using
a checklist to denote the specific safety
hazards observed
Frequency of
Collection a
A
Q
Q
Q
Type of
Measure D
R
DO
DO
DO
See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                     Table 3 (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - APPEARANCE OF COMMUNITY
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage

Regular
Collection
Special
Collection
Cleaning
Transportation
Indicators of
Effectiveness
Unsightliness of
storage areas/or
private areas
Presence of bulk
items in storage
areas/or private
areas
Spilled or scatter-
ed refuse
subsequent to
collection
Presence of
abandoned bulk
items
Presence of
abandoned
automobiles
Unsightliness of
public way
subsequent to
cleaning
Unsightliness of
vacant lots and
public areas
Clogged drain
basins
Spilled or
scattered refuse
during transport
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Average appearance rating for storage
areas
—Percent of storage areas where appear-
ance rating exceeds a given threshold
—Percent of storage areas found to con-
tain abandoned or discarded bulk items
—Percent of blockfaces containing
spilled or scattered refuse subsequent to
collection (where curbside collection
is performed)
+
Percent of alleys containing spilled or
scattered refuse subsequent to collec-
tion (where alley collection is perform-
ed}
—Percent of inspections where abandoned
or discarded bulk items are observed
(inspection unit = blockface or alley)
—Percent of inspections where abandoned
automobiles or trucks are observed
(inspection unit = blockface or alley)
—Average litter for streets and alleys
—Percent of streets and alleys where litter
rating exceeds a given threshold
—Number of unsolicited complaints from
citizens about the appearance of their
community per 1000 persons
— Index of citizen satisfaction with the
appearance of their community
—Average litter rating for vacant lots and
public areas
—Number of drain basins which are clog-
ged per basin inspected
—Percent of collection fleet likely to
cause spillage while in transport
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Appearance rating assigned to each storage
area inspected: 7 point scale
Presence of abandoned or discarded bulk
items in storage area: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Presence of spilled or scattered refuse
subsequent to collection: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Presence of abandoned or discarded bulk
items on streets, alleys, lots, and public
areas: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Presence of abandoned automobiles or
trucks on streets, alleys, lots, and public
areas: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Appearance rating assigned to each street or
alley inspected: 7 point scale
Number of complaints from residents about
the appearance of their community
Citizen attitudes toward general appearance
of their commupity: 4 point scale
Appearance rating assigned to each vacant
lot or public place inspected' 7 point scale
Presence of clogged drain basin: 6 = yes;
7 - no
Number of open trucks in the collection
fleet
Data Collection Methods
Visual inspection of storage areas, using
photographs as a reference for selecting
the appropriate rating
Inspection of storage areas
Inspection of waste collection areas
Inspection of streets, alleys, lots, and
public places
Inspection of streets, alleys, lots and
public places
Visual inspection of streets and alleys,
using photographs as a reference for
selecting the appropriate rating
Review of sanitation department records
Survey of a representative sample of
residents to ask about appearance of the
community
Visual inspection of lots and public places
using photographs as a reference for
selecting the appropriate rating
Inspection of streets and alleys
Review of records on truck inventory
Frequency of
Collection a
Q
Q
Q
Q
Q
Q
M
A
Q
Q
A
Type of
Measure0
DO
DO
DO
DO
DO
DO
R
S
DO
DO
R
See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                         Table 3  (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - ODOR
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage
Regular
Collection
Indicators of
Effectiveness
Offensive odors
in waste storage
areas
Widespread odors
throughout
storage areas
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Percent of storage areas found to con-
tain offensive odors
—Percent of blocks where more than "X"
percent of the storage areas are found
to contain offensive odors
—Number of unsolicited complaints from
citizens about the existence of offen-
sive odors per 1000 persons
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Presence of odor in waste storage area:
6 = yes; 7 = no
This is a derived measure, based on data
gathered from inspection of several waste
storage areas m a number of blocks
Number of complaints from residents about
offensive odors in their community
Data Collection Methods
Inspection of storage areas
Review of sanitation department records
Frequency of
Collection3
Q
M
Type of
Measure b
DO
R
Ol
    See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                     Table 3  (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - SATISFACTION OF NEEDS
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage and
Regular

Storage
Regular
Collection
Indicators of
Effectiveness
"Storage —
collection capa-
"storage —
collection needs"
Capacity
deficiencies in
waste storage
areas
Widespread
capacity deficien-
cies throughout
storage areas
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Amount to which the combined storage-
collection capacity falls short of the
block (in pounds of refuse}
—Percent of blocks where the combined
storage-collection capacity falls short
of the "true" storage-collection needs
—Percent of storage areas found to con-
tain an inadequate number of containers
—Percent of blocks where more than "H"
percent of the storage areas contain an
inadequate number of containers
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Amount of refuse set out for collection (and
picked up) per week as compared with the
amount of refuse generated in a given block
This is a derived measure, based on data
gathered on a number of blocks
Indications that there are an insufficient
number of containers in the waste storage
area: 6 = yes; 7 = no
—Overflowing containers
— Refuse piled on ground
—Containers in poor condition
This is a derived measure, based on data
gathered from inspection of several waste
storage areas in a number of blocks
Data Collection Methods
Review of sanitation department records;
review of census records
Inspection of storage areas
Frequency of
Collection3
Q
Q
Type of
Measure b
R
DO
See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                          Table 3  (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - COMPLIANCE WITH STANDARDS
Solid Waste
Activity
Storage
Regular
Collection
Special
Collection
Indicators of
Effectiveness
Compliance with
storage
requirements
Compliance with
mixed refuse
collection
standards
Compliance with
special pickup
standards
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Percent of storage areas having contain-
ers which do not comply with the
regulations
—Percent of blockfaces where mixed
refuse remains uncollected for one or
more days (where curbside collection is
performed)
4
Percent of alleys where mixed refuse
remains uncollected for one or more
days (where alley collection is
performed)
—Average delay time in meeting regular
pickup schedules for alleys/btockfaces
—Number of unsolicited complaints from
citizens about delays in pickup of mixed
refuse per 1000 persons
—Percent of instances in which there was
a delay of one day or more in the pick -
up of bulky items
—Average delay time in the pickup of
bulky items
—Number of unsolicited complaints from
citizens about delays m pickup of
special or bulk items per 1000 persons
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Presence of containers which do not comply
with the regulations: 6 - yes; 7 = no
Presence of uncollected mixed refuse along
pickup: 6 ~ no, 7 = yes
Amount of lapsed time between actual and
scheduled pickup of mixed refuse
Number of complaints from residents about
delays m the pickup of mixed refuse
Presence of uncollected bulk items on the
day subsequent to pickup: 6 = yes; 7 = no
Amount of lapsed time between actual and
scheduled pickup of bulky items
Number of complaints from residents about
delays m the pickup of bulk refuse
Data Collection Methods
Inspection of storage areas
Inspection of waste collection areas
Comparison of advertised collection
schedule with dispatchers log
Review of sanitation department records
Inspection of waste collection areas
Comparison of advertised collection
schedule with dispatcher's log
Review of sanitation department records
Frequency of
Collection3
Q
Q
M
M
Q
M
M
Type of
Measure b
DO
DO
R
R
DO
R
R
Ox]
   See footnotes at end of table.

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                                                                       Table  3  (continued)
MEASUREMENT CATEGORY - INCONVENIENCE/DISCOMFORT TO PUBLIC
Solid Waste
Activity
Regular
Collection
Transportation
Indicators of
Effectiveness
Inconvenience
due to type of
collection service
(curb, alley, etc.)
Noise from
collection
Traffic conges-
tion from collec-
tion scheduling
Property
damage from
collection
activities
Traffic congestion
during transport
to deposit site
Air pollution
from poorly
maintained
vehicles
Measures of Effectiveness for
Each Indicator
—Average amount of time spent per
household per month preparing refuse
for collection
—Percent of collection areas where noise
from collection exceeds a given thres-
hold
—Number of collection miles taking place
during early morning hours as a percent
of total collection miles
—Number of collection stops taking place
during early morning hours as a percent
of total collection stops
—Number of unsolicited complaints from
citizens about noise caused by refuse
collection activities per 1000 persons
—Number of miles of major and second-
ary arterial roads where refuse collec-
tion is performed during peak hours
— Amount of peak hour time during
which refuse collection is taking place
along major and secondary arterial
roads
—Number of reported instances of pro-
perty damage caused by collection
equipment or collection personnel per
1000 persons
—Total dollar value of property losses
caused by collection equipment or
collection personnel
—Amount of peak hour time during
which collection fleet is enroute (to
or from) central deposit source
—Percent of vehicles where air pollution
rating exceeds a given threshold
MEASUREMENT TECHNIQUES
Measurement Elements
Amount of time spent per household per
month in preparing refuse for collection
Noise measurement taken at each waste
collection area inspected
Time of day that collection takes place along
linear segments of the collection route
Time of day that collection takes pla ;e at
each collection area
Number of complaints from residents about
noise from collection activities
Time of day that collection takes place along
each major and secondary arterial road in a
given collection route
Number of reported incidents of property
damage caused by collection personnel or
collection equipment
Dollar value of individual claims made against
the sanitation department for property
damage due to collection activities
Total transport hours which occur during
peak hours of the day
Air pollution measurement taken for each
collection vehicle inspected
Data Collection Methods
Survey of a representative sample of
residents
Inspection of waste collection areas using
noise measurement apparatus
Review of dispatcher's log
Review of sanitation department records
Review of dispatcher's log
Review of sanitation department records
Review of sanitation department records
Review of dispatcher's log
Inspection of collection vehicles using air
pollution testing devises
Frequency of
Collection a
A
A
M
M
M
M
M
M
A
Type of
Measure b
S
SM
R
R
R
R
R
R
SM
CM
a*
          M = monthly; Q = quarterly; A = annually.

          R = records; S = household survey; DO=direct observation; SM= special measurement apparatus.

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       IV.  DEVELOPMENT OF ANALYTICAL METHODS
             FOR COMBINING COMPONENT VARIABLE
           MEASUREMENTS TO PRODUCE AN OVERALL
                    EFFECTIVENESS MEASURE
      Besides developing effectiveness measures and measurement
techniques,  the methodological approach to this project included:
      •    A review of the available methods for combining com-
           ponent variable measurements into overall measures.

      •    The development of analytical procedures to be used
           in this project to formulate solid waste effectiveness
           indices.
These aspects of the methodology development are discussed in
this chapter.
RELEVANT CONSIDERATIONS IN FORMULATING EFFECTIVE-
NESS INDICES

      The problem to be addressed is one of selecting a decision
model that appropriately combines a set of multidimensional vari-
ables into a unidimensional measure (index) that correctly classi-
fies the effectiveness of a community's storage,  collection, and
transportation activities.   The salient aspects to be considered
include:
      •    Types of combining models that are appropriate

      •    Procedures for formulating these models and deter-
           mining the weights for the component variables that
           comprise the index

      •    Methods for achieving a consensus when more than
           one evaluator or decision-maker is involved.
These points are discussed in the following paragraphs.

                              37

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Available Combining Models

      Fundamental to the development of an index is an underlying
model that reflects the relative importance that a decision-maker
attaches to the variables that comprise the measure.   There are
several decision models that can be used to derive an index of
effectiveness.  These  include the linear, conjunctive,  and disjunc-
tive models,  as described below.
           The Linear Model

           The linear model produces an index that is an additive
           sum of the component variables.  For example, if
           health, safety, and appearance  are the principal indi-
           cators in assessing solid waste system  effectiveness,
           the values of the variables  associated with these indi-
           cators are weighted to reflect their relative importance
           and then added together to obtain an overall score.
           This score is the index value for the given values of
           the variables.

           The Disjunctive Model

           The disjunctive model produces an overall measure
           that can be used to classify a solid waste system into
           one of two categories — effective or ineffective.  In
           this model, if one of the indicators (e. g., appearance)
           has an extremely high value (where high represents a
           favorable condition), then the solid waste system is
           deemed effective, regardless of the values of the other
           variables.

           The Conjunctive Model

           The conjunctive model also produces an overall mea-
           sure that can be used to classify a solid waste system
           into one of two categories — effective or ineffective.
           However^ in this model,  high values on one or more
           variables will not compensate for low values on the
           other variables.  Rather, all of the individual com-
           ponent variables  must meet certain minimum thresh-
           olds in order for the system to  be classified as
           effective.  For example,  if the  health variable did not
           meet the standard, the system would be ineffective,
           even if it were meeting (or surpassing)  the standards
           set for the other  relevant variables.

                                    38

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      Of these three decision models, the linear model is the one
most frequently employed when a mathematical formula for com-
bining multidimensional attributes  is desired. However,  there is
evidence to support the contention that individuals, when faced
with the task of mentally combining potentially contrasting effects
to formulate decisions,  use non-linear decision rules, similar to
those exemplified by the conjunctive and disjunctive models.8

      It should be noted that in the  strict sense in which these
models are defined, neither the disjunctive nor the conjunctive
model produces an index in the same manner as the linear model.
The former two models provide indices that denote "acceptability"
or "non-acceptability. " The latter model, on the other hand, pro-
duces an index that has an ordered set of values,  ranging from
some minimum level to a maximum level.  Thus, the linear model
can be used to rank neighborhoods. That  is, if one neighborhood
has an index value  of I,  and another neighborhood has an index
value of I2, then I, larger than I2 implies, by the index,  that the
first neighborhood  is "better off" than the second neighborhood.
All that can be said when the conjunctive or disjunctive models
are used to compare neighborhoods is that certain ones are "good"
and others are "bad. "  If two neighborhoods are both good or both
bad, there is no way to select the one that is better or the one that
is worse.

      On the other  hand,  the conjunctive and disjunctive methods
explicitly require the notion of "good" or "bad" in their application,
while the linear model does not.  Thus,  index values derived from
the latter model do not in themselves provide sufficient information
by which to classify a neighborhood as good or bad.  To assess the
status of a neighborhood using a linear model, it is necessary to
determine a threshold value for the index  such that if the index
exceeds the threshold, the neighborhood is classified as good.
Otherwise,  it is classified as bad.

      The discussion thus far has focussed on the similarities and
dissimilarities  among the three combining models, based on the
strict sense in which they have been defined.  However, if mathe-
matical functions are used to approximate these various models,
      This assumes that the variables are scaled so that the larger
      the value of the index, the better it is.
                                39

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they all take on similar properties; that is, they are all continuous
functions that yield to the ordinal assumption, whereby rankings
can be made, and they all require explicit statements as to what
determines "goodness" or "badness" in the resultant index values.

      For the linear model, there is a mathematical formulation
explicit in  its definition.  For the other two models, mathematical
approximations are required for their representation.   Appendix A
indicates functional relationships that can be  used to provide mathe-
matical approximations for the models and illustrates  geometrically
the models and their  approximations.
Procedures for Formulating an Index Using the Models

      There are two methods that can be used to formulate indices
that are based upon the decision models described above.  These
are:
           Mathematical methods

           Judgmental methods.
Mathematical methods are based on statistical relationships among
the measured variables.  Judgmental methods, on the other hand,
utilize value judgments or opinions of one or more individuals,
knowledgeable about the activities being assessed, to formulate a
composite measure.  Each of these methods is described below.
      Mathematical Methods for Formulating an Index

           Fundamental to the use of mathematical methods in
      formulating an index is the notion that statistically signifi-
      cant relationships can be established among the measured
      variables.  Where the actual status of that which one is
      trying to classify is known or can be estimated  (e. g., a
      global judgment about the overall conditions in a census
      tract, neighborhood, etc. ),  it can be used as the dependent
      variable and the profiles (as reflected in the measurements
      made on health, safety, appearance) can be used as inde-
      pendent variables.  The relationship between the dependent
      variable and the independent variables can then  be estimated,
                               40

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utilizing mathematical functions that approximate the linear,
disjunctive, and conjunctive models.  The model that seems
to "best fit" the data is selected. The parameters  that
characterize the function become weights and reflect the
relative importance of each component variable in assess-
ing the  overall effectiveness of solid waste operations.
This technique has been employed in medical studies where
the dependent variable is the presence or absence of a disease,
and the independent variables consist of symptoms, patho-
logical  signs, and clinical findings prior to the time the actual
diagnosis is made.

      Where there is no a priori way to characterize the
dependent variable, Principal Components  Analysis may be
used as an alternative statistical procedure for combining
variables.   This procedure is a method for reducing the
number of variables in such a fashion as to lose as little
information as possible.
Judgmental Procedures for Formulating an Index

      As an alternative to the mathematical procedure, the
opinions of "experts" may be solicited in such a manner as to
construct a composite index of effectiveness.  To form indices
corresponding to the linear, conjunctive, or disjunctive models,
the following minimal information must be  obtained from the
experts:
      (1)    For the linear model, the judges must be ques-
            tioned so as to elicit the weights w} ,  w2 , ...
            wi for the variables x,,  x2,  ...  xi that are to
            be measured.

            Generally,  the weights are normalized so that
            5^wj.  = !• The index-of effectiveness  (E) is
            represented as:

                 E = Wj x,  +  w2 x2 + . . . +  w- x-
                           41

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      (2)   For the conjunctive model,  the judges must be
            questioned in such a manner as to elicit the
            "tolerable" thresholds t,, t2,  ... tj_ for the vari-
            ables x,, x2,  ...  x^  A neighborhood is considered
            "good" if all variables exceed their respective
            threshold values;  i. e.,
                 x^tj for all i

            It is considered "bad" if at least one variable
            fails to exceed  its threshold value; i. e., if

                 x^ s^  for any i

            It is considered bad if none  of the variables
            exceed their respective thresholds;  i. e.,  if

                 x
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      Rating involves assigning weights to all of the variables
directly on a scale from zero to one, where the weights re-
flect the relative importance of the variables.   For example,
the expert might assign .5 points to the health variable, .3
points to appearance variable, and so on.  Ranking involves
ordering the variables in terms of their relative desirability.
This technique,  however,  does not permit the expert to state
the strength of his preferences.

      The third  method,  called  "forced decisions, " is based
on pairwise comparisons. When using this technique,  a
decision is made for each pair of variables as to which is
the more important one.  A score of "one" is assigned to  the
preferred variable; a score of  "zero" is assigned to the
other variable.  After all pairs of variables have been
assessed, the scores for the individual variables are totalled
by variable.  Weights are then determined on the basis of
the number of points a given variable receives relative to
the total points overall.

      The fourth method, called Decision Alternative Ratio
Evaluation (DARE), requires the  expert to assess  a series
of variables in terms of how much more important one
variable is than any other.  The expert is  asked to take the
variables  two at a time and assign a numeric value that
reflects how strongly he prefers one variable over the
other.  For example, the expert might feel that the public
health variable is three times as  important as the  public
safety variable;  he might find the public safety variable
only half as important as the appearance variable;  and so
forth.  This technique thus allows the expert to quantitatively
order his  preferences.  When the appropriate algorithim is
applied, these stated preferences can be converted into an
overall measure,  where each variable receives a weight
based on its importance  relative to the other variables under
consideration.

      All of the  above procedures belong to the  general cate-
gory of decision weighting models.  They are generally used
in conjunction with developing an  overall measure, based  on
the linear model.   An alternative  technique for  formulating
judgmental indices is the Delphi Method, a Feedback and
Reassessment process.10  This  will be discussed further in
the following subsection.
                         43

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Methods for Achieving a Consensus

      Whenever more than one individual is involved in the decision-
making process, there arises what has been termed the "consensus
problem. " That is, individuals are likely to disagree on the rela-
tive importance and, in turn,  the weights they assign to the vari-
ables.  There is, unfortunately, no universally applicable criterion
for handling this problem, because there is no theoretical basis
for making the interpersonal comparisons that are needed in order
to appropriately combine individual preference patterns.  Any
change in the method of combining the variables will affect some
persons  favorably and others adversely, and there is no a priori
way of weighting the net  results. This does not mean that inter-
personal comparisons should not be made.  Indeed, often they
must  be  made.  Rather,  no general formula can be invented that
                                       11 12
handles all such problems satisfactorily.

      Among the proposed solutions are the following:
      •    Procedures or criteria for weighting the individual
           opinions

      •    Procedures for reconciliation of individual desires
           into a collective opinion.
      The procedures for mechanically combining individual
opinions include both simple averages and weighted averages of
individual preferences.  The simple average approach is generally
employed when there is no reason to believe that any one individual's
preferences should be  given more weight than another.  The weighted
average approach is applicable when dealing with expert opinion and
there is reason to believe that each individual has a specific area
of expertise.  In this case,  it is desirable to weight the opinions
or preferences of certain individuals more heavily than others.

      The procedures for reconciliation of individual desires into
a collective opinion include Group Decision techniques and Feedback
and Reassessment techniques.  Group Decision techniques involve
meeting as a group to discuss the matter, with  a view to ultimately
arriving at a satisfactory compromise among the divergent views.
Feedback and Reassessment techniques involve querying each indi-
vidual separately,  and then providing feedback on the opinions of
all individuals.  Individuals are then asked to reconsider their
initial assessments based on the  group feedback.
                               44

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      The Delphi Method is the most well known form of the Feed-
back and Reassessment method.   Questions are asked privately
and anonymously of each person.  The distribution of responses is
summarized in a statistical fashion.   The statistical summariza-
tion is then provided as feedback information to each person, who
is then asked to reconsider his position in light of the majority
response.  Where an individual's  opinion deviates substantially
from the group norm,  he is asked to justify his reason for holding
this position. In a sense,  he is asked to rate his expertise on the
question.   This  has the effect of causing persons  without strong
preferences to move toward the views held by the majority of the
group, while allowing those with extremely strong preferences to
retain their positions  on the matter.   The process continues in a
similar fashion for several rounds, until fairly close accord is
reached among the participants.
THE ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES USED IN THIS PROJECT

      The procedures utilized in this project to develop overall
measures of effectiveness draw upon the techniques described
above.  These procedures may be summarized as follows:
      (1)    The field data gatherers were asked to assign a
            separate composite (or global) rating to each area
            they surveyed at the time they collected data on the
            effectiveness variables.  This composite rating was
            to reflect their subjective assessment of the area and
            to take into consideration only the component variables;
            i. e., factors not related to the study, such as the
            color of the house,  were to be ignored.

      (2)    The relationship between the composite rating and the
            component effectiveness variables was then examined,
            using regression techniques.  Functional forms cor-
            responding to the three decision models; i. e.,  linear,
            conjunctive,  and disjunctive, were utilized to test the
            nature  of the relationship.  The  results were compared
            to determine the strength of the  relationship and the
            relative predictability of each of the three models.
The following paragraphs further describe these procedures.
                               45

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Description of the Composite (or Global) Rating

      The individuals who collected the data were asked not only
to provide information from which the individual effectiveness
measures could be formulated;  but also, to provide an overall
assessment of the area.  A semantic differential approach was
used in this regard.  This is a self-reporting technique in which
an individual is  asked to directly evaluate an attitudinal object,
and to indicate his opinion along a  scale where the endpoints have
opposite meanings, such  as:

      most favorable	:	:	: 	:	: 	:  worst

The  respondent  marks the scale according to how closely he feels
one adjective or the other describes his impression of the object.

      For purposes of this project, the field team members were
instructed to use a scale  of one to  eight in making their assess-
ments.  A value of "one"  was assigned to the most favorable overall
conditions and a value of  "eight" to the worst overall conditions.
Intermediate points were  used to reflect  conditions in between the
two values.

      The data gatherers  were instructed to ignore those  factors
not related to the study in making these ratings (e. g.,  the color
of the house, the socio-demographic characteristics of the neigh-
borhood, and so forth).  They were requested to form their overall
opinion solely on the basis of the data they were collecting on the
individual effectiveness measures.
Assessment of the Relationship Among Variables

      The relationship between the global ratings and the corre-
sponding component variables was examined in light of the three
decision models.  The models  were tested using regression
analysis techniques.  The mathematical expressions used to
formulate the models were of the  type illustrated in Appendix A.

      A mathematical approach was utilized in preference to a
judgmental approach for the following reasons:
           The difficulties associated with implementing judg-
           mental techniques when a sizeable number of vari-
           ables is to be assessed.

                              46

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           The difficulties associated with converting qualitative
           statements into statistical terms when more than one
           judge (or evaluator) is involved.
      The opinions of the officials in the health, sanitation, and
planning departments in the pilot test city were, however, solicited
in conjunction with another aspect of the study.  A summary of the
results of this survey is presented in Appendix B.

      In examining the relationship between the composite rating
and the component variables, the data collected in the one census
tract that all observers  visited were used.  The data from this
tract were pooled across all raters;  that  is, simple average values
were computed for the global ratings and for the component vari-
ables.   The resultant equations were compared in terms of their
correlation coefficients,  and index values were developed, using
the regression parameters as  weights.

      In addition,  the relationship between the overall rating and
the component variables was tested separately for selected raters
(data gatherers).  This was performed in  order to compare the
types of decision models the various raters used with the models
that resulted from the pooled data.
                               47

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                  V.  THE  FIELD DEMONSTRATION
      This chapter describes the methods that were used to assess
the measurement system,  particularly its implementation in an
urban community.  The City of Baltimore was used as the test
site for the field demonstration.

      The field demonstration  consisted of:
           An evaluation of the usefulness of the various candidate
           effectiveness measures by potential users of the mea-
           surement system.

           A field test of the measurement techniques in selected
           areas of the city.
      To assess the usefulness of the candidate effectiveness mea-
sures, the list of measures, illustrated in Table 3 on pages 30
through 36, was presented to a group of city government repre-
sentatives in the test city.  The group included representatives
from the sanitation, health,  and planning departments.  They were
asked to separately assess each variable in terms of how useful
it would be to them in their decision-making needs.  The results
of this survey are summarized in Appendix B.

      To assess the measurement techniques, a field test was per-
formed,  during which data were collected in ten areas of the city.
It lasted for a two-week period and included a three-day training
session in which ten persons were instructed in how to make the
measurements and record the resultant data on a  set of data col-
lection forms.

      The remainder of this  chapter provides additional information
on the field test.  It covers the following points:
           The purpose of the field test

           The principal focus of the field test

           The survey design for the field test


                               49

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           The activities performed in preparation for the field
           test

           The conduct of the field test.
PURPOSE OF THE FIELD TEST

      The purpose of the field test was to obtain information by
which to evaluate:
      •     The feasibility of producing the individual and com-
            posite measures (in terms of time, cost,  and diffi-
            culty involved).

      •     The consistency (or reliability) with which subjective
            measurements are made;  i. e.,  the extent to which
            independent observers come up with similar measure-
            ments of the same phenomena.

      •     The extent to which different measures are likely to
            be highly correlated with one another; i. e., if clean
            alleys are highly correlated with clean storage areas,
            it may not be necessary to measure both variables in
            future studies of this type.

      •     The degree to which individual variables vary in dif-
            ferent sections of the  city.

      •     The feasibility of developing composite effectiveness
            indices.
FOCUS OF THE FIELD TEST

      As illustrated in Table 3 on pages 30 through 36,  four types
of data were used to formulate the candidate effectiveness mea-
sures.  Some measures utilized existing data records and ledgers;
for example, the number of trash fires per 1,000 persons, the
number of complaints about schedule delays per 1,000 persons,
and so forth.  Some required the use of special instruments;  for
example,  the noise from collection trucks.  A third category of
measures was that  which required a household survey;  for example
an index of citizens' attitudes about the appearance of streets  and
                                50

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alleys in their community.  The majority of the measures, how-
ever, were of a nature that required direct observation of existing
conditions;  for  example, the number of storage areas containing
health hazards.

     The field test focussed on the latter type of measures.  It
was originally envisioned that data from records  and ledgers
would also be included.  This did not prove feasible  for the follow-
ing reasons:
           It would have required manual tabulation based on
           source materials,  many of which were not centrally
           located.

           The method for recording complaint data in the pilot
           test city was  such that real complaints were often
           indistinguishable from "requests for service. "

           The sanitation department itself was in the process of
           changing over to a borough system, thereby making
           data on collection routes and collection schedules
           difficult to obtain.
Because of these factors, an attempt to formulate measures based
on recorded data would have required designing a management in-
formation system that, on one hand,  may have only limited appli-
cability and,  on the other hand, was beyond the scope of the project.

      The four measures that required the use of special measure-
ment apparatus — rat counts,  fly counts, noise, and vehicle pol-
lution— were excluded because of feedback received from city
government representatives in the test city during the design phase
of the study.   These officials  were of the opinion that measurement
of flies  and rats using special measuring devices was no more
reliable or accurate than similar measurements made visually by
trained  inspectors.'"  It was,  therefore, decided to adopt the latter
      These comments are not based on scientific experiments
      designed to compare the various measurement techniques;
      rather ^  they reflect the professional opinion of several
      management officials in the health department of the test city.
                               51

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technique in making these types of measurements.  Noise and
vehicle pollution were not directly measured because the city
government managers,  in their evaluation of the effectiveness
measures, rated them low in terms of usefulness.  Additionally,
it was  felt that specialized measures of these types might be too
cumbersome and costly for an urban community to adopt on an
ongoing basis.

     A Citizen Attitude Survey was not undertaken because this
technique has been tested on a number of occasions and found to
be feasible, if properly designed and if the city is willing to commit
the needed resources.  A fair amount of work in this area has been
done by the Urban Institute, Washington,  D. C.14
SURVEY DESIGN FOR THE FIELD TEST

      Having defined the scope of the pilot test as one that would
concentrate on measures that require visual inspection of exist-
ing conditions, a sampling plan was developed.  The sampling
plan was based on the concept of sampling from among and within
strata.  Each stratum represented a set of census tracts, having
certain things in common.   Since no census tract  was split between
strata, each stratum represented  a unique set of census tracts.

      There are a number  of alternative schemes by which the
strata could be defined.  The scheme used for the field test de-
fined five strata as follows:
      •     Dirty Stratum—Those census tracts the sanitation and
            health department personnel defined as particularly
            dirty.

      •     Model Cities Stratum — Those census tracts contained
            within the Model Cities areas of the city.

      •     Income Stratum No. 1 — Those census tracts where the
            average family income in 1970 was less than $9,000.

      •     Income Stratum No. 2—Those census tracts where the
            average family income in 1970 was between $9,000 and
            $11,999.

      •     Income Stratum No. 3 — Those census tracts where the
            average family income in 1970 was $12,000 or more.

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To eliminate any overlap among strata,  census tracts belonging
to the Dirty Stratum were classified first, followed by tracts be-
longing to the Model Cities Stratum.  The group of census tracts
that remained were then classified into one of the three  income-
related strata.

      The Dirty Stratum was included to ensure that a maximum
amount of variation would be observed in the individual measures.
The Model Cities Stratum was included because this area was
receiving more frequent service (with respect to regular and bulk
collection and street and alley cleaning) than the rest of the city.

      Using information available from the 1970 Census of Housing,
two census tracts were randomly selected from each stratum, and
ten census blocks were selected at random from each tract.15  Thus,
altogether 100 blocks were chosen for observation during the field
test.

      The sampling plan called for ten observers to perform  the
data gathering.  They were to form five teams of two observers
each.  Each team member was to record his  (or her) observations
separately.  The 100 blocks were divided up among the five teams
so that:
      •     All observer teams inspected all census tracts,  but
            surveyed different blocks within the tracts.

      •     Each census tract was inspected on each day of the
            week.
Thus,  the basic survey design consisted of a set of interpenetrating
samples, the details of which are more fully described in Appendix C.

      The basic survey design was augmented by having all observ-
ers inspect all blocks in one tract, termed the "common tract. "
These inspections were made daily, at approximately the same
time, by all teams.   The intensive inspection of one census tract
was added to the basic survey design in order to facilitate the sub-
sequent analysis of the measurement methodology, particularly the
reliability and  accuracy of the measurements and the  development
of effectiveness indices.
                                53

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 ACTIVITIES PREPARATORY TO THE FIELD TEST

      Several activities were performed prior to the actual con-
 duct of the field test to facilitate the collection of data.  These
 included:
      •     Conducting a pre-survey of the units to be sampled

      •     Designing data collection forms and procedures

      •     Developing training aids and other related materials.


 Each is briefly described below.


 Pre-Survey of the Census Blocks in the Sample

      Members of the project team visited each block that was to
 be surveyed during the field test.  This was done for two reasons:
            To prepare block maps that could be used by the field
            personnel

            To confirm the fact that a selected block actually con-
            tained homes.
      The block maps were developed in order to assist the field
personnel in locating the correct block and in recording data.  The
maps indicated the shape of each block, the street names, and the
location of the alleys.  The streets and alleys were subsequently
assigned numeric identifiers that were used by the observers when
recording information.  A  replica of a block map is shown on the
following page in Figure 3.

      Several of the  selected census tracts were in areas where
urban renewal was underway. In some instances, all of the homes
on a given block had been torn down (or condemned) since the 1970
census was taken.  Where this was the case, the block was removed
from the sample and a replacement block from the same census
tract was selected.
                               54

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                                                    Latona
                  Goodwood Rd.
 Figure 3:  Replica of a Block Map That Was Prepared for the
           Field Test
Development of Data Collection Forms and Procedures

      A set of five data collection forms was developed to facili-
tate the recording and subsequent computer processing of the
data.   These forms,  replicas of which are provided in Appendix
D,  were designed to capture information for those measures
noted in Table  3 as requiring direct observation of conditions.
A detailed description of the data  collection procedures was pre-
pared in the form of an instruction booklet that was given to all
field observers.  Appendix D provides a summary of these pro-
cedures.
Development of Training Materials and Other Aids

      A training program was developed to familiarize the field
personnel with the measurement system concepts, the data col-
lection forms,  and the field test procedures.  The training ma-
terials consisted of:
                               55

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      •    An instruction booklet explaining the recording pro-
           cedures for each of five data collection forms

      •    Opaque projector slides

      •    Color transparencies (slides)

      •    A filmstrip

      •    Maps

      •    Handouts.


CONDUCT OF THE FIELD TEST

      The field test was conducted during the first two weeks in
December.  It included a three-day training session in which the
ten participants received instructions on how to locate the sample
blocks, make the required measurements,  and complete the data
collection forms.  The remainder of the time was spent collecting
the data from the ten census tracts that were to be surveyed.


The Training Session

      The training session included both structured and  situational
type instruction.  That is,  visual aids and other materials were
used to explain what was meant by each item on the data collection
forms and how the various items should be completed.   Special
attention was given to clarifying the subjective-type measurements
that required use of rating scales;  namely, measurements of the
amount of glass, garbage,  and refuse.  This was all done in a
classroom-type setting.

      The field observers were then split up into small groups,
sent out to a sample block,  and asked to complete the data forms
by themselves.  Each group was accompanied by a member of the
project team,  who answered questions about the recording pro-
cedures.  The field observers, however,  were requested to seek
answers  for themselves, using their instruction booklets, prior
to asking the project analyst.
                              56

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      Following the on-site training, the group was reassembled.
They were asked to rate the conditions that were presented in a
series of slides. The slides focussed on situations where the
recording procedure required the use of a rating scale. After
each slide, the assigned ratings were discussed and clarified. >r<
The Field Procedures

      Subsequent to the training session,  the ten observers were
split into five teams of two people each, to begin the actual col-
lection of data.  Each person was asked to complete the data col-
lection forms by himself (or herself), independent of the other
team member.   That is, they were to refrain from discussing
what they recorded before,  during, or after completion of the
forms.

      The field personnel assembled  each morning and were
assigned from four to six new blocks to survey that day, including
several blocks  in the "common" tract where all raters went each
day.  Using the  census  tract and block maps that were provided,
field team members drove to the sample block, parked their cars,
and conducted the inspection on foot.

      For each block, they collected  data on the following  six
observational areas:
           Blockfaces — The area from the center of the street
           up to and including the curb and gutter,  extending
           from any corner of a street to an adjacent corner.

           Private Ways — Sidewalks and front yards bordering
           blockfaces.

           Alleys — Passageways, usually 5 to 10 feet wide,
           extending into or through the  interior of a block.
      It was as a result of these discussions that the initial scale,
      which was a four-point scale, was revised to a seven-point
      scale to allow for intermediate measurement points.
                              57

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           Backyards—Areas in the rear of a structure, bounded
           by the property lines of adjacent structures,  and,  in
           most cases, by an alley.

           Storage Areas—Areas (external to the structure) that
           normally serve as the location for the refuse containers.

           Lots and Public Places—Open areas, having no struc-
           tures.
Figure 4 on the following page provides a graphical display of
these six areas.

      Blockfaces, alleys,  and private ways were inspected in seg-
ments of approximately 100 feet.  Information was recorded  sepa-
rately for each segment.  Team members were  asked to mutually
agree as to the specific boundaries of the area being included in
each segment, to ensure the comparability of the responses of the
team members.  Approximately eight storage and backyard areas
were inspected in each block.  The field personnel were given in-
structions on how to randomly select the areas for inspection.
All lots in the block were inspected.
Types of Information Collected and Recording Procedures

     The types of information that were collected for each of the
six observational areas listed above are summarized in tabular
form on page 60.  The table also indicates the recording method
associated with each measurement element.

     Essentially, there were four major types of recording pro-
cedures:
           Seven-Point Rating Scales—These were used to rate
           the amount of garbage, glass, and refuse  observed in
           each of the six observational areas.  The  following
           codes were to be assigned:
                 1   =  None observed

                 3   =  Minor amount observed


                              58

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                                                        L
n   i  r
          LEGEND:
                          ) Blockfaces
                    IOOOOI Private Ways
   l Backyards
IOOOI Storage Areas
                                                        r
Figure 4:  A Sketch of the Six Observational Areas
           That Were Inspected in Each Survey Block
                         59

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         Table 4.   SUMMARY OF THE INFORMATION
      COLLECTED AND THE RECORDING PROCEDURES
                  BY TYPE OF MEASUREMENT
Type of
Measurement
Health
Hazards
Safety
Hazards
Unsightly
Conditions
Odor
Satisfaction
of Needs
Compliance
with
Standards
Overall
Assessment
Information Collected
Garbage Rating
Rat Indicators
Insect Indicators
Dead Animals
Glass Rating
Fire Hazards
Refrigerator With Door
Refuse Rating
Discarded Bulk Items
Abandoned Vehicles
Clogged Drain Basins
Odor
Containers
Improper Containers
Non- complying Containers
Composite Rating
Observational
Areaa
all
all
Storage areas
all
all
all
all
all
aU
all
Blockfaces, alleys
Storage areas
Storage areas
Storage areas
all
Recording Method
7-point scale
Yes/no
Yes/no
Number observed
7-point scale
None /minor /major
Yes/no
7-point scale
Number observed
Number observed
Number observed
Yes/no
Number observed
(by size)
Yes/no
Number observed
8-point scale
This refers to the six areas for which data were collected: blockfaces,  alleys,
private ways, backyards, storage areas, and lots.
                                 60

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                 5  =  Moderate to heavy amount observed

                 7  =  Substantial amount observed
           Intermediate values of 2,  4,  and 6 were used when in
           between conditions were observed.
           Yes/No Codes — These indicated the presence or
           absence of a given condition.

           Counts — These reflected the number observed of a
           given item.

           Composite Rating Scale — This scale, ranging from
           1 to  8, was used by the observer to indicate his (or
           her) subjective evaluation of the conditions observed.
           Code 1 was used to indicate the most favorable overall
           condition.  Code 8 was used to indicate the worst
           overall condition.  The scale progressed at one-point
           intervals to indicate conditions in between the two
           extremes.
In addition,  there was one measurement that utilized a recording
procedure other than those listed above; namely fire hazards.
This was recorded utilizing one of the following three descriptors:
none, minor, or major.
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                 VI.   FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS
      This chapter presents the major findings and conclusions
that were developed based on the field demonstration.   These
findings are of two types:
      •    General findings

      •    Findings related to the sample design.


GENERAL FINDINGS

      The general findings of this project may be summarized as
follows:
      •     The number of variables measured can be reduced
           because many of the variables were frequently found
           to be at their lowest value.

      •     Only three observational areas need to be inspected —
           blockfaces, alleys, and lots.

      •     For blockface measurements, one blockface selected
           at random can be used in lieu of all four blockfaces
           to measure the effectiveness variables.

      •     Observers exhibit a high degree of consistency for
           the "yes-no" type measurements and for "counts. "

      •     Observers exhibit a fair degree of consistency for the
           more  subjective-type measurements; i.e.,  glass,
           garbage, and refuse ratings.  The amount of variation
           is less at lower scale points than at  higher scale points,
           tending to rapidly increase and then  stabilize.

      •     Variation among observers,  however, only accounts
           for approximately 15 to 20 percent of total variation
           when measuring a tract mean.
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           On the whole, observers tend to be accurate to within
           one-half of a scale point for the glass,  garbage,  and
           refuse ratings;  a few, however,  were always high or
           always low in their assigned ratings.

           There are a number of statistically significant corre-
           lations among the variables; however,  the explained
           variation tends to be low.

           It is possible to develop composite measures of effec-
           tiveness, using multivariate techniques;  however, the
           refuse rating by itself can serve  as a proxy for an
           overall measure.
      These findings are discussed in more detail in the paragraphs
that follow.  The analysis plan on which many of the findings are
based is provided in Appendix E.  Detailed tables,  charts, and
graphs that support the findings  are presented in Appendix F.
The Number of Variables Measured Can Be Reduced

      When a frequency distribution of each of the measurements
was reviewed, it became apparent that many of the variables were
frequently at their lowest value.  By lowest value is meant the
absence of the condition being measured. In the  case of the  rating
scales,  the lowest value was 1, while for counts,  it was 0.

      Table  5 on the following page illustrates this point. It shows
for each variable the percent of time when the lowest value  did not
occur.  The table indicates that only the following variables  are
likely to exhibit variation:
           Refuse Rating

           Glass Rating

           Garbage Rating

           Rat Indicators in Alleys, Storage Areas,  Backyards,
           and Lots

           Bulk Items in Alleys, Storage Areas, Backyards, and
           Lots.
                              64

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          Table 5.  DISTRIBUTIONAL CHARACTERISTICS
                       OF THE VARIABLES
Variable
Refuse Rating
Glass Rating
Garbage Rating
Rat Indicators in Alleys, Storage
Areas, Backyards, and Lots
Bulk Items in Alleys, Storage
Areas, Backyards, and Lots
Clogged Drain Basins
Odors
Rat Indicators in Blockfaces and
Private Ways
Bulk Items in Blockfaces and
Private Ways
Fire Hazards
Insects
Abandoned Vehicles
Dead Animals
Refrigerator With Door
% of Observations Where
Lowest Value Did Not Occur
All Tracts in
Sample a
65
45
19

17

15
5
4

4

2
2
1
1
1
0
Common Tract
Only b
89
85
37

71

28
6
c

11

3
2
c
0
1
0
a
b
This is based on several thousand observations.
This is based on slightly less than a thousand observations and
reflects data on blockfaces, private ways,  and  alleys only.
Data not available.
                                65

-------
This would tend to suggest that only these variables need to be
measured.

      For comparative purposes, the table presents information
for the common tract by itself (i. e. , the tract where all observers
went) as well as for all tracts combined.  The common tract was
the tract that exhibited the worst conditions overall.  Thus, it is
interesting to note that the same five variables listed above were
also the predominant  ones in this tract as well in terms of the
frequency with which  they exceeded  their minimum levels.

      More detailed information on the distribution of the  measure-
ments is provided in Appendix F, Tables F-l through F-14 and
Figures  F-l and F-2.  These tables and figures present the fre-
quency of occurrence of each variable for all the sample tracts
combined and for the  common tract by itself.
Only Three Observational Areas Need to Be Inspected — Blockfaces,
Alleys, and Lots

      There is a sufficient degree of correlation among similar
measurements when compared across the six observational areas
to suggest that data need be collected only for the following obser-
vational areas:
           Blockfaces

           Alleys

           Lots.
      Conditions observed along private ways were found to be
related to conditions observed along blockfaces.  Shown at the top
of the following page are the correlation coefficients and explained
variation for the three measurements that exhibited the most sen-
sitivity;  namely, refuse, glass,  and garbage ratings.
                              66

-------
                                Blockfaces and Private Ways
               Variable
            Refuse Rating
            Glass Rating
            Garbage Rating
Coefficient of
 Correlation
     (R)
    .94
    .96
    .80
Explained
Variation
   (R2)
   .88
   .92
   .64
      Conditions along alleys were found to be related to conditions
observed in storage areas and backyards.   The correlation co-
efficients and the explained variation between the refuse,  glass,
and garbage ratings for alleys and storage areas, and for alleys
and backyards, are as follows:
                                  Alleys and Storage Areas
               Variable
            Refuse Rating
            Glass Rating
            Garbage Rating
Coefficient of
 Correlation
     (R)
     .72
     .79
     .66
Explained
Variation
   (R2)
   . 52
   .63
   .44
                                    Alleys and Backyards
              Variable
            Refuse Rating
            Glass Rating
            Garbage Rating
Coefficient of
Correlation
(R)
.84
.84
.88
Explained
Variation
(R2)
.71
.71
.78
                              67

-------
      It was difficult to assess the degree of correlation between
lots and other observational areas, because of the small number
of lots in the total sample.  Inspection of the data, however,  re-
veals that lot characteristics do tend to differ from those of the
other five observational areas.
For Blockface Measurements,  One Blockface Selected at Random
Can Be Used in Lieu of All Four Blockfaces to Measure the
Effectiveness Variables

      During the pilot test, observers collected data on  all four
sides of each block that they inspected.  The findings indicate
that this level of detail  is generally not needed to accurately esti-
mate a tract mean rating for refuse,  glass, or garbage.  Rather,
it would be sufficient to inspect only one blockface of each block
in the  sample.

      In deriving this conclusion, mean refuse, glass, and garbage
ratings were computed  for each of the ten census tracts.  One set
of ratings was based on all four blockfaces in each block that was
sampled.  Another  set of ratings was based on only  one  randomly
selected blockface in each of the blocks.  The mean values were
compared using a t-test.  The  results, shown in Tables 6 through
8, indicate that, in general,  there  is no statistically significant
difference in the mean values computed using the two methods.
Observers Exhibit a High Degree of Consistency for the "Yes-No"
Type Measurements and for "Counts"

      The raters were in agreement 96 percent of the time or
better for those measurements that required either an assessment
of the presence  or absence of a given condition or a count of the
number of similar type items that were present. Table 9 on page
72 shows the extent of agreement by variable for these  types of
measurements.

      The item of particular significance on this table is the level
of agreement among observers when making measurements of rat
indicators, since this particular variable is probably the most
subjective  of those on the list, and, hence,  likely to contain higher
amounts of rater variation.
                              68

-------
  Table 6.  BLOCKFACE MEAN GARBAGE RATINGS FOR
CENSUS TRACTS — RATINGS BASED ON ALL BLOCKFACES
IN A BLOCK VERSUS RATINGS BASED ON ONE RANDOMLY
          SELECTED BLOCKFACE PER BLOCK
\ Mean Garbage Rating
\ Based on All
\ Blockfaces in
CensusX the Sample
Tracts \ Blocks
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1.43
1.67
1.02
1.15
1.06
1.67
1.04
1.05
1.23
1.30
Based on One
Randomly Selected
Blockface in Each
Sampled Block
1.25
1.91
1.00
1.13
1.05
2.22
1.05
1.07
1.41
1.11
Absolute Value of
the Difference
Between the
Two Ratings
.18
.24
.02
.02
.01
.55
.01
.02
.18
.19
Significant Difference
Established at
90%
Confidence
Level
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
95%
Confidence
Level
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
                        69

-------
    Table 7.  BLOCKFACE MEAN GLASS RATINGS FOR
CENSUS TRACTS — RATINGS BASED ON ALL BLOCKFACES
IN A BLOCK VERSUS RATINGS BASED ON ONE RANDOMLY
         SELECTED BLOCKFACE PER BLOCK
\ Mean Glass Rating
\ Based on All
\ Bio ckf aces in
CensusN. the Sample
Tracts \ Blocks
1
0
fj
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2.53
3.17
1.55
2.28
1.62
2.93
1.71
1.31
2.01
3.81
Based on One
Randomly Selected
Bio ckf ace in Each
Sampled Block
2.14
3.29
1.35
2.20
1.35
3.09
1.91
1.33
1.82
4.17
Absolute Value of
the Difference
Between the
Two Ratings
.39
.12
.20
.08
.27
.16
.20
.02
.19
.36
Significant Difference
Established at
90%
Confidence
Level
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
95%
Confidence
Level
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
                         70

-------
   Table 8.  BLOCKFACE MEAN REFUSE RATINGS FOR
CENSUS TRACTS — RATINGS BASED ON ALL BLOCKFACES
IN A BLOCK VERSUS RATINGS BASED ON ONE RANDOMLY
         SELECTED BLOCKFACE PER BLOCK
\ Mean Refuse Rating
\ Based on All
\ Blockfaces in
CensusX the Sample
Tracts \ Blocks
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
3.01
3.43
1.43
2.85
2.13
3.23
2.36
1.47
3.11
3.91
Based on One
Randomly Selected
Blockface in Each
Sampled Block
2.75
3.90
1.53
3.93
1.65
3.91
2.64
1.33
3.35
3.94
Absolute Value of
the Difference
Between the
Two Ratings
.26
.47
.10
1.08
.48
.68
.28
.14
.24
.03
Significant Difference
Established at
90%
Confidence
Level
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
95%
Confidence
Level
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
                     71

-------
      Table 9.  RATER AGREEMENT FOR MEASUREMENTS
                 OTHER THAN RATING SCALES
Recording
Method

Yes-No


Number
Observed

None / Minor /Major
Variable
Rat Indicators
Odors
Insects
Refrigerator With Door
Bulk Items
Clogged Drain Basins
Abandoned Vehicles
Dead Animals
Fire Hazards
% of Observations
Where Observers
Agreed
96.3
97.7
99.8
100.0
96.9
97. 7
99.7
99.8
98.0
      These results should be viewed with some caution, however.
This is because many of the variables listed in Table 9 were among
those found to exhibit little variation.  That is, many of them did not
frequently  deviate from their lowest value.  (See Table 5 on page 65.)
Observers Exhibit a Fair Degree of Consistency with Respect to
the More Subjective-Type Measurements—Namely,  the Glass.
Garbage,  and Refuse Ratings

      It is to be expected that measurements based on the three
rating scales, because of their subjective nature,  are likely to
exhibit a higher degree of inconsistency than would be the case
with other types of measurements made during the field test.

      The field test data  indicated that, on the average, the ob-
servers differed by less  than one point from one another on a seven-
point scale, with 1 representing the most favorable conditions and
7 representing  the most unfavorable conditions. The average
                              72

-------
difference across all six observational areas between pairs of
observers for the garbage,  glass,  and refuse ratings was found
to be .32, .65,  and .82 points,  respectively.  This information is
summarized in the table below, which also indicates the frequency
with which raters agreed within one point or less of one another
as well as the percent of observations where observers agreed
within two points or less of one another.
              Table 10.  RATER AGREEMENT FOR
                RATING SCALE MEASUREMENTS
Type of
Rating Scale
Garbage
Glass
Refuse
% of Observations
Where Raters
Agreed Within
1 Point or Less
89.1
79.1
73.7
% of Observations
Raters Agreed
Within 2 Points
or Less
98.4
94.6
93.7
Mean
Rating
Difference
.32
.65
.82
      The difference between observers in their assigned ratings
was also analyzed to see whether the size of the rating discrepancy
was related to the scale points. The initial hypothesis that ob-
servers would tend to show fairly close agreement for points 1
and 7 (the scale extremes) and much less agreement for the middle
points of the scale did not prove out. Rather,  inspection of a
graphical plot of the rating discrepancy by scale point revealed
that the amount of variation between raters showed a tendency to
increase rapidly at the lower scale points and then stabilize.   That
is, the close agreement that was expected at the upper end of the
scale did not materialize.

      This  relationship  between the  scale points and the mean  dif-
ferences was estimated statistically for each of the three rating
scales,  using the following function form:
                         Y =  a - b/X
                              73

-------
where     X = the rating scale point
           Y = the mean difference associated with the given
                scale point.
The following regression equations were developed, each of which
was found to provide a fairly good fit to the data:
  Type of                                                  2
Rating Scale             Estimating Equation              R_

  Garbage               Y = 1.704 - 1.636/X             .895

  Glass                 Y = 1.465 - 1.226/X             .884

  Refuse                 Y = 1.358 - 0.967/X             .896
      Figures 5 through 1, shown on the following three pages,
present graphically the rater variation by scale point for the gar-
bage, glass,  and refuse rating scales, respectively.  These figures
show the actual average difference between observer pairs at each
scale point and the 95 percent confidence interval that is associated
with the respective mean differences.  In cases where there were
a sizeable number of observations (over a hundred or so) for a
given scale point, the confidence bands  are fairly tight.  However,
where the observations are few in number, the interval about the
mean difference tends  to be much larger.  The figures also show
the estimating relationships that were developed.

      Appendix F, Tables F-15 through F-17 present estimates of
the variance and  standard deviation and the numeric values  asso-
ciated with the  95 percent confidence interval about the mean dif-
ferences contained in Figures 5 through 7. A description of the
methodology used in developing these findings is provided in
Appendix E.
                               74

-------
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         2.00
     1.50
         1.00
         0.50
Total  No.  of
Comparisons:


% of Total:
               Y=1.704-1.636/X
                                                    1.58
                                        1.40
                                         1.10    -L
                                                         1.18
                                                                      1.59 •
                                            Average Rating = 1.43

                                            Average Difference Between
                                              Observer Pairs = 0.32
                  1234567

                                    RATING



                5052     329      598      30      154      11      66


                80.9%    5.2%    9.6%     0.5%    2.5%     0.2%     1.1%
     Figure 5:  Mean Garbage Rating Difference by Scale Point

                 (including 95% confidence interval about the mean

                 differences)
                                     75

-------
     2.00
ID
o
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1.50
     1.00
CC

w
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     0.50
                              1.10
                                     Average Rating = 2.31

                                     Average Difference Between

                                       Observer Pairs = 0.65
0
(

Total No. of
Comparisons:
% of Total:
| |
) 1 2

3410 479
54.7% 7.7%
| |
345
RATING

1224 158 481
19.6% 2.5% 7.7%
6

65
1.1%
7

419
6.7%
  Figure 6:  Mean Glass Rating Difference by Scale Point

             (including 95% confidence interval about the mean

             differences)
                                76

-------
LU
o
2
LLI
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LU
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0
LU
CO
D
LU
LLI
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     2.00
1.50
     1.00
     0.50
             .42
                      .87
                                       Average Rating = 2.89

                                       Average Difference Between
                                         Observer Pairs = 0.82
0-
0

Total No. of
Comparisons:
% of Total:



1 234567

RATING

2162 710 1684 273 731 71 605
34.7% 11.4% 27.
0% 4.4% 11.7% 1.1% 9.7%
Figure 7:  Mean Refuse Rating Difference by Scale Point
            (including 95% confidence interval about the mean
            differences)
                               77

-------
 Variation Among Observers Accounts for Approximately 15 to 20
 Percent of the Total Variation When Measuring a Tract Mean

      In making  statistical inferences about a given geographical
 area,  there are  a number of sources of variability that can effect
 the estimate.  Some of the major components that contribute to the
 variance of a census tract mean glass, garbage, or refuse rating
 are the following:
      •     Variation among blocks in the tract

      •     Variation among observers

      •     Random sources of variation.
      When these variance components were estimated, by apply-
 ing analysis of variance techniques to the data that were collected
 on the common tract,  it was discovered that the major source of
 variation stemmed from the block to block differences.   This
 accounted for approximately 75 percent of the total variation in
 the sample.  The observers,  on the other hand,  contributed only
 15 to 20 percent.  Random effects made up the balance of the
 total variation.  Both the block effect and the rater effect were
 significant at the .001  level.  Table  11  on the following page
 summarizes the findings with respect to these three  sources of
 variation in the average refuse and glass ratings for blockfaces
 and alleys in the  common tract.

      These findings provide insight into the relevance (or prac-
 tical importance) of the fact that observers do not always agree
 on the rating to be assigned to a particular condition. In addition,
 the findings indicate that if objective measurements were to be
 utilized, the variance about the mean could be reduced,  but the
 real key to reducing the variance about a tract mean that is esti-
 mated from sample data is the number  of blocks in the sample.

      The methodology used in developing these conclusions is
described in Appendix  E.

-------
 Table 11.  THE VARIANCE COMPONENTS FOR A CENSUS
 TRACT MEAN VALUE FOR GLASS AND REFUSE RATINGS
             IN BLOCKFACES AND ALLEYS
             (expressed in percentage terms)
Type of Rating Scale
Glass Rating (Blockfaces)
Glass Rating (Alleys)
Refuse Rating (Blockfaces)
Refuse Rating (Alleys)
% Contribution of Variance
Components
Blocks
76
78
73
76
Raters
18
15
20
18
Random Effects
6
7
7
6
On the Whole, Observers Tend to Be Fairly Accurate in Their
Assessment of Garbage, Glass, and Refuse Conditions;  A Few,
However, Were Always High or Always Low in Their Assigned
Ratings

      In general, the observers were able to estimate the average
tract ratings for a census tract to within +_ one-half of a scale
point.  This is illustrated more clearly in Table 12 on the follow-
ing page.  This table indicates the amount by which each observer
differed from the overall tract value for selected rating scales.
Data from the common tract were used in this regard.  The distri-
bution of the  rater means about the overall tract mean is displayed
graphically in Appendix F, Figures F-3 through F-8.

      Table  12 suggests that a few of the observers tended to
systematically assign substantially higher or lower ratings than
the rest of the group.  In particular,  observer 8 appears to con-
sistently assign ratings that exceed the mean by approximately
one scale point, while observer 10 tends to always be on the low
side  of the overall tract average by about one  scale point.  This
observation was borne out when the blockface mean glass and refuse
ratings of the observers were compared against the  overall mean
ratings by block for the ten blocks that comprise the common tract.
                              79

-------
The results are shown in Figure 8 which is presented on five
separate pages,  starting on page 81.  The graphs contained in
this figure illustrate that:
           Some of the raters were inherently more variable
           than the rest; i.e., some tended to show larger
           fluctuations about the block means.

           Observer 8 systematically gave higher ratings to
           each block in the common tract.
 Table 12.  DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE AVERAGE RATER VALUES
     AND THE OVERALL AVERAGE VALUES OF THE GARBAGE,
       GLASS, AND REFUSE RATINGS FOR BLOCKFACES AND
                 ALLEYS IN THE COMMON TRACT
Observer
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Overall
Tract
Mean
Difference Between Average Rater Values
and the "True" Average Values a
Blockface
Garbage
Rating
.11
.02
-.02
.08
.44
-.30
.01
.34
-.37
-.09

1.42

Blockface
Glass
Rating
.26
-.27
.10
.27
-.42
-.05
.90
1.22
-.33
-. 97

3.42

Blockface
Refuse
Rating
.38
-.13
-.34
.21
-.63
-.39
.49
1.68
.24
-.94

3.51

Alley
Garbage
Rating
.12
-.33
.45
-.42
1.71
1.02
-.42
.41
-1.08
-.67

3.15

Alley
Glass
Rating
.13
-.32
.11
-.31
-.09
.19
1.07
1.33
.27
-1.95

5.02

Alley
Refuse
Rating
-.01
-.91
-.04
.03
.18
.45
.81
1.22
-.09
-1.14

5.31

    The "true" average values reflect the overall tract means
    all ten observers.
across
                               80

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                     OBSERVER 1 COMPARED WITH BLOCK AVERAGES
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-------
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                                  82

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                                     84

-------
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                            Figure  8  (continued)
                                      85

-------
           Observer 10 systematically assigned lower values to
           each block in the common tract.
Although Figure 8 indicates that observers 5 and 7 also tend to be
consistently different, similar patterns for these two observers
were not found to hold true for some of the other rating scales.
Observers 8 and  10, on the other hand, were systematically dif-
ferent  across  all rating scales.
There Are a Number of Statistically Significant Correlations
Among the Variables;  However, the Explained Variation Tends
to Be Low

      Correlation analysis was used to test the degree to which
individual pairs of variables were related with one another.  These
tests were conducted on the set of variables used to assess alley
conditions as well as on the set of variables used to measure
blockface conditions.

      The results indicated that statistically significant correla-
tions exist among pairs of variables.   That is,  there is a high
probability that the real association between the two variables is
not zero.  However, as illustrated in Tables 13 and 14, shown  on
the following page,  the correlation coefficients between pairs
of variables are not high.  Thus, although statistically meaningful
relationships do exist, they do not explain a sufficient amount of
the variation to be considered as good predictors of each other.
This implies that if one is interested in knowing the amount of
garbage, a separate measurement of garbage conditions will be
required.

      The correlations shown in Tables 13 and 14 are based on
data from the common tract.  This tract was used because the
individual variables showed more sensitivity in the common tract
than they did in any of the other tracts.
                               86

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Table 13.  CORRELATIONS AMONG THE VARIABLES
   USED TO MEASURE BLOCKFACE CONDITIONS
Variable Pairs
Refuse and Glass Ratings
Refuse and Garbage Ratings
Glass and Garbage Ratings
Correlation
Coefficient
(R)
.590
.207
.164
Amount of
Explained
Variation
(R2)
.348
.043
.027
Level of
Significance
.001
.001
.001
Table 14.  CORRELATIONS AMONG THE VARIABLES
     USED TO MEASURE ALLEY CONDITIONS
Variable Pairs
Refuse & Glass Ratings
Refuse & Garbage Ratings
Rat Indicators & Garbage Rating
Rat Indicators & Refuse Rating
Glass & Garbage Ratings
Rat Indicators & Glass Rating
Bulk Items & Refuse Rating
Fire Hazards & Garbage Rating
Fire Hazards & Refuse Rating
Bulk Items & Glass Rating
Correlation
Coefficient
(R)
. 597
.473
.365
.346
.308
.287
.261
.244
.202
.173
Amount of
Explained
Variation
(R2)
.356
.223
.133
.120
.095
.082
.068
.060
.041
.030
Level of
Significance
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
.001
                      87

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It is Possible to Develop Composite Measures of Effectiveness
Using Multivariate Techniques

      Overall measures of effectiveness were developed for block-
faces and alleys, based on data obtained from inspections made in
the common tract.   These particular observational areas were
focussed upon because of a prior finding indicating that conditions
in these two areas are related to conditions in three of the other
observational areas in the sample.  Indices for lot conditions were
not developed because of the small number of observations obtained
for lots.   The methods used to develop the indices are described in
more detail in Appendix E.
      Blockface Indices

            The functional relationships associated with the linear;
      conjunctive, and disjunctive models were estimated using
      regression techniques.  The following least-squares equations
      were developed:
      Type of
      Model

    Linear


    Conjunctive


    Disjunctive
  A
InY,
             Estimating Equation
       = 8.236 -.448X
                  1B
                         -.289X
                              2B
             .3451n(8-X1TJ  +.2141n(8 -XotJ
                      1 ri            6X5
  In Y0= 1.960 - .1691n(X,  - .93) - .1101n(XOT, - .93)
    O.D              1.O            £>l5
R

.883


.879


.865
     where
X

X
                   IB

                   2B

                   JB
        value of the blockface refuse rating

        value of the blockface glass rating

        estimated value for the blockface
        overall effectiveness rating.
     In each case, only the coefficients associated with the refuse
     and glass ratings proved to be significant at statistically
     acceptable levels.
                               88

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      These equations were developed by averaging the values
that individual observers assigned to blockfaces in the common
tract.  Similar functional relationships were also estimated
for selected observers.  However,  in these cases the linear
and conjunctive models were clearly favored over the disjunc-
tive model.  (See Appendix F,  Tables F-18 through F-22. )

      Of interest in comparing the three equations is that all
assign approximately the same relative weights to the inde-
pendent variables.  This may be more clearly seen when the
estimating parameters are normalized so that their sum adds
up to one,  as illustrated below.
                        Relative               Relative
  Type of            Weight for Xj          Weight for X2
   Model            (Refuse Rating)         (Glass Rating)

Linear                   .608                   .392
Conjunctive              .617                   .383
Disjunctive              .606                   .394
      For comparative purposes,  the three regression
equations are illustrated graphically on the following two
pages in Figures 9 and 10.  Figure 9 presents the relation-
ship between refuse rating values and estimated values of
the overall effectiveness rating when the glass rating is held
constant at various levels.  Figure 10 illustrates the relation-
ship between glass rating values  and estimated values of the
overall effectiveness rating when the refuse rating is held
constant at various levels.

      It should be pointed out that at certain values for the
refuse and the glass ratings, the graphs indicate large dis-
crepancies among the three curves, discrepancies much
larger than would be expected based on the R2 values shown
above.  This is explained by the fact that the data used to fit
the three equations contained relatively few of the extreme
values. *  The largest discrepancies among the three equations
This is due primarily to the fact that averages across ob-
servers were used.  Any averaging technique tends to obscure
the extreme values.
                        89

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                                   0123456

                                      REFUSE RATING
                            Curve A: Disjunctive Model
                            Curve 6: Linear Model
                            Curve C: Conjunctive Model
Figure 9: Graphical Presentation of the Regression Equations
           Developed for Blockface Data: Relationship Between
           Refuse Rating and Overall Effectiveness  Rating When
           Glass Rating is Held Constant
                                90

-------
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                                       GLASS RATING
                           Curve A: Disjunctive Model
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Figure 10:  Graphical Presentation of the Regression Equations
             Developed for Blockface  Data:  Relationship Between
             Glass Rating and Overall Effectiveness  Rating When
             Refuse  Rating is Held Constant
                                 91

-------
occur when one or both of the independent variables is shown
to have an extreme value. Thus, in the relevant range for
which the data were fit,  all three curves may be said to be
fairly close to one another.

      In the case of the three equations presented above, the
coefficient of determination (R2) provides little guidance  for
selecting a decision model that  might underlie an overall
effectiveness measure.  However, the disjunctive model is
probably a poor choice for two reasons.  First,  it takes  on
most of its driving force when the independent variables  are
at their extreme values.  However, as mentioned above, the
data used to fit the model contained relatively  few extreme
values, leading one to suspect that the R2 value may be arti-
ficially inflated.  Second, when the model was tested using
individual data for selected observers, where  extreme values
were included, the fit to the data was not so good.   Rather,
observers tended to exhibit linear or conjunctive type com-
bining tendencies.

     The three equations were transformed to indices,
having scales that range from 0 to 1, where 1  reflects the
preferred value, by use  of the following mathematical manipu-
lation:
            (A            \  /
             j     j(min)) //.
                             Y       -  Y
                         '/ I  j(max)     j(min)


            A
where      Y.   =   value predicted by the regression
                   equation (j = 1, 2, 3).
The resultant index formulas for the three models are shown
in Table 15 on the following page.

      Thus,  it is possible to construct indices for blockface
conditions; however, it should be pointed out that the refuse
rating by itself can serve as a good proxy for an overall
measure. When considered by itself, the refuse rating ex-
plained 83 percent of the variation in the  case  of the linear
and conjunctive models presented above and 80 percent of the
variation in the disjunctive model. Relatively high correlations
                         92

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 between the refuse rating and the overall rating were
 also found in the estimating relationships  developed for
 individual observers.
                Table 15.  INDEX FORMULAS
               FOR BLOCKFACE CONDITIONS
Type of Model

Linear


Conjunctive

Disjunctive
Index Formula
A
I1T, = .226 Y113 - .
IB IB
A
I = . 208 Y0 - .
OT2 OT3

-------
where
X

X

X
             1A

             2A
             3A
           Y.
value of the alley refuse rating
value of the alley glass rating
value of the alley garbage rating
estimated value for the alley overall
effectiveness rating.
In both cases, the coefficients associated with the refuse,
glass, and garbage ratings were statistically significant
at the .001 level.

      Unlike the estimating equations for blockfaces,  these
equations do not assign the same relative weights to the in-
dependent variables.  As shown below, when the estimating
parameters are normalized so that their sum adds up to one,
the linear model places heaviest weight on the refuse rating,
while the conjunctive model places heaviest  weight on the
garbage  rating:
Relative
Type of Weight for Xj
Model (Refuse Rating)
Linear .493
Conjunctive .338
Relative
Weight for X£
(Glass Rating)
.216
.197
Relative
Weight for Xs
(Garbage Rating)
.291
.465
      Index formulas, scaled from 0 to  1, for these two
models are provided in Table 16 below.  Here also,  however,


                Table 16.  INDEX FORMULAS
                  FOR ALLEY  CONDITIONS
           Type of Model
                    Index Formula
             Linear

             Conjunctive
                                - .279

                                - .236
                         94

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     the refuse rating by itself can serve as a good proxy for
     an overall measure.  When considered by itself, the alley
     refuse rating accounted for 91 percent of the variation in
     the case of the linear model and 86 percent of the variation
     in the case of the  conjunctive model.
FINDINGS RELATED TO THE SAMPLE DESIGN

      In addition to the general findings described above, there
were  several findings that related to the sample design.  They may
be summarized as follows:
           Large differences in the mean tract ratings were found
           to exist between two groupings of the strata.

           The sampling plan was adequate to detect changes of
           one-half a point or less in the blockface ratings; larger
           samples would be required to detect an equivalent
           change in the alley ratings.

           The mean tract ratings did not appear to be biased by
           the day of the week when the inspection was made.
These findings are discussed in the paragraphs that follow.
Large Discrepancies in the Mean Tract Ratings Were Found to
Exist Between Two Groupings of the Strata

     As described in Chapter V of this report, the sampling plan
was based on the concept of strata; i.e., mutually exclusive sets
of census tracts.  The five strata used in the project were: Dirty,
Model Cities,  Income Level 1, Income Level 2, and Income Level 3.

     When the mean garbage,  glass,  and refuse values for each
stratum were compared with those  of the other strata,  two distinct
groups appeared to emerge, consisting of the following strata:
                               95

-------
                  Group 1
   Group 2
              Dirty
              Model Cities

              Income Level 1
Income Level 2

Income Level 3
This two-fold split is illustrated in Table 17, shown below,  which
presents the mean blockface and alley ratings for each stratum.
            Table 17.  AVERAGE REFUSE,  GLASS, AND
               GARBAGE RATINGS FOR BLOCKFACES
                     AND ALLEYS BY STRATUM
Stratum
Dirty
Model Cities
Income Level 1
Income Level 2
Income Level 3
Blockface Mean Ratings
Refuse
Rating
3.55
2. 95
3.27
1. 95
1.78
Glass
Rating
3.42
2.43
2.59
1.53
1.39
Garbage
Rating
1.47
1.32
1.45
1.05
1.04
Alley Mean Ratings
Refuse
Rating
4.90
4.23
4.36
3.28
2. 58
Glass
Rating
5.17
4.17
4.74
2. 53
1.93
Garbage
Rating
2. 88
1.91
2. 23
1.44
1.26
      Significance tests on the difference between the mean values
confirmed that,  in general, when a mean rating for a stratum from
Group 1 was compared with a mean rating for a stratum from
Group 2, the two ratings were found to be different at statistically
significant levels.  On the other hand,  when the difference between
the mean ratings for two strata within the same group was tested,
no statistically significant difference between the two means could
be established. *
      The t-test was used to determine whether or not the mean
      values between stratum were significantly different.
                              96

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      In interpreting the results, it should be pointed out that the
Model Cities and Dirty Strata consisted almost entirely of census
tracts where the average annual family income (in 1970) was less
than $9,000.  This corresponds to the income range that was used
to define the Income Level 1 Stratum. Thus, Group 1 can be said
to consist of census tracts where the average annual family income
is less than $9,000, while Group 2  contains those census tracts
where the average annual family income is  $9,000 or more.  Inso-
far as the mean ratings for these two groups were found to be sub-
stantially different, with Group 1 having much higher ratings than
Group 2, the results tend to support  a hypothesis that many have
postulated;  namely, the amount of glass, garbage,  and refuse
found in a given area is related to the income level of the area.
The Sampling Plan Was Adequate to Detect Changes of One-Half a
Point or Less in the Blockface Ratings

      In general, the higher the tract mean rating, the larger the
standard error.  In spite of this, the sampling plan proved ade-
quate to detect a change of one-half a point or less in the average
tract values for blockface ratings.

      As illustrated in Table 18 on the following page, the highest
average refuse rating for blockfaces in the ten census tracts
sampled was 3.91.  Given its standard error of the mean of .242,
a change of +  .49 points or more is discernible.  Where the mean
refuse ratings were lower,  the standard errors are smaller and,
therefore smaller changes in the mean ratings are detectable.

      Similar results were  obtained when the average garbage  and
glass ratings for blockfaces were analyzed; i. e., the sampling plan
enabled one to detect changes of one-half a point or less in the
average values for a census tract.   The refuse rating has been used
(in Table  18) to  illustrate the point because it generally had larger
standard errors and slightly higher mean values than the other two
blockface rating scales.

      Since higher mean ratings and larger variances tend to be
associated with  census tracts where the average annual family
income is less than $9,000,  this finding implies that more inten-
sive sampling is required in these areas to detect a given amount
of change in the blockface ratings than is needed in census tracts
where  the income level is $9,000 or more.
                              97

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          Table 18.  AMOUNT OF CHANGE IN THE CENSUS
            TRACT MEAN BLOCKFACE REFUSE RATINGS
      DETECTABLE AT THE 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE LEVEL
                (based on sample design for field test)
Census Tract
Mean Refuse
Ratings
3.91
3.43
3.23
3.11
3.01
2.85
2.36
2.13
1.47
1.43
Standard
Error of the Mean
(<7_)
v x'
.242
.202
.233
.168
.186
.187
.141
.127
.097
.085
Change in Rating
Detectable at
95% Level of Confidence
.49
.41
.47
.34
.38
.38
.28
.26
.20
.17
      For alley ratings,  on the other hand,  the sampling plan
proved inadequate in all but a few cases to detect a change of one-
half a point or less in the mean tract ratings.  Table 19 on the
following page summarizes the mean alley refuse ratings for the
ten census tracts sampled, the standard error associated with
each mean, and the amount of change that would be detectable.
The results imply that a larger number of alleys would need to be
sampled if one wants to be able to detect small changes in the
alley ratings.
                                  98

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          Table 19.  AMOUNT OF CHANGE IN THE CENSUS
              TRACT MEAN ALLEY REFUSE RATINGS
     DETECTABLE AT THE 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE LEVEL
                (based on sample design for field test)
Census Tract
Mean Refuse
Ratings
5.38
4.46
4.40
4.30
4.27
4.15
3.61
3.30
1.78
1.50
Standard
Error of the Mean
(a—)
v X;
.306
.336
.359
.267
.360
.384
.321
.337
.152
.139
Change in Rating
Detectable at
95% Level of Confidence
.64
.70
.75
.56
.75
.80
.67
.70
.32
.29
The Mean Tract Ratings Did Not Appear to Be Biased by the Day
of the Week When the Inspection Was Made

      Analysis of variance tests were conducted using the data
collected by several of the observers to see if there were any
statistically significant  day-to-day changes in the ratings in the
common tract. As mentioned previously, the common tract was
the area that exhibited the worst conditions overall.  The three
observers for whom the analysis was carried out were among the
three most accurate and most conscientious raters.

      The results tend to suggest that in areas where the mean
ratings  are high,  inspections can be made on any day of the week
and still be representative.  In only  a few of the cases tested was
there a  significant difference or bias in the ratings due to the  day
of the week.
                               99

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                    VII.  RECOMMENDATIONS
     The recommendations stemming from this project are
of two types:
           General recommendations on how to develop a
           measurement system that is specific to a given
           community.

           Detailed recommendations on how to implement an
           ongoing measurement system using the findings
           from the field test data.
Each is briefly described below.
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATED TO DEVELOPING A MEA-
SUREMENT SYSTEM

      The following recommendations are offered for commu-
nities who want to use the general procedures that were
developed during this project as an aid in designing a solid
waste effectiveness measurement  system that is unique to
their own community:
      (1)   Review the list of measures and measurement
           techniques (provided in Table 3 on pages 30
           through 36)  and select those measures most
           useful.

      (2)   Use the basic survey design developed for this
           project to obtain  preliminary data on those
           measures that require direct observation of
           existing conditions.  Income  ranges appear to be
           the most viable candidate for establishing  sam-
           pling strata.
                            101

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      (3)   Utilize several observers in each tract and have
           them make the same measurements.

      (4)   Apply techniques similar to those used in this
           project to determine the appropriate sample
           size for an ongoing measurement system and the
           relevant variables for which measurements should
           be made.
RECOMMENDATIONS RELATED TO IMPLEMENTING AN
ONGOING MEASUREMENT SYSTEM
      The recommendations presented below are offered to
communities who want to implement an effectiveness measure-
ment system that is based upon the results of the field demon-
stration conducted in the City of Baltimore.
      (1)   Collect data on blockfaces,  alleys, and lots only.

      (2)   Sample approximately ten blocks in each census
           tract where the overall conditions are bad to
           detect a change of one-half a point or less in the
           blockface garbage, glass, and refuse ratings;
           inspect fewer blocks in areas where the overall
           conditions are good.  Use the income level of the
           census tract as an initial means for classifying
           conditions.

      (3)   Inspect only one randomly selected blockface in each
           block; inspect all alleys and lots in the block.

      (4)   Utilize several observers and have them inspect
           different blocks in the same census tract in order
           to reduce the variation associated with inconsistency
           among observers.

      (5)   Periodically compare the observations of raters
           within the same tract to  see if any of the observers
           are consistently high or  consistently low.
                          102

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(6)   Make measurements only of the amount of refuse
     found in these areas.  Use this as an indicator of
     overall conditions.

     or

     Make measurements of the amount of refuse,  glass,
     and garbage found in the areas, the presence  of
     rat signs (alleys only) and the number of bulk items
     (alleys only).  Report the measurements separately
     and/or as a composite measure.

(7)   Report the location of fire hazards,  bulk items,
     abandoned vehicles, clogged basins, and other
     items of interest so that corrective action can be
     taken.
                      103

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                        CITED REFERENCES
 1.    Blair, L. H.,  and A. I. Schwartz.  How Clean Is Our City?
      Washington,  The Urban Institute,  1972.

 2.    "Community Litter Survey Technique. "  New York, Keep
      America Beautiful, Inc.,, May 5,  1973.  (Working Paper.)

 3.    Ralph Stone and Company, Inc. The Use of Bags for Solid
      Waste Storage and Collection. U.S. Environmental Pro-
      tection Agency, 1972. [Distributed by National Technical
      Information Service,  Springfield,  Va., as PB-212  590.] p. 21.

 4.    Fund for the City of New York. Unpublished data,  1973.

 5.    D. C. Department of Environmental Services.  Unpublished
      data.

 6.    "Sanitation Management  Information System  Concept. "
      CONSAD Corporation, January 1972.  (Unpublished Report.)

 7.    "Effectiveness Report on the  Use  of Plastic Bags as Trash
      Receptacles  in the City of Baltimore. " Baltimore,  Depart-
      ment of Public Works, September 24,  1973.   (Working
      Paper.)

 8.    Einhorn, H. J.  "The Use of Nonlinear, Noncompensatory
      Models in  Decision Making. "   Psychological Bulletin,
      73 (3):  221-230, 1970.

 9.    Klee, A. J.  "The Role of Decision Models in the Evaluation
      of Competing Environmental Health Alternatives. "  Manage-
      ment Science,  18(2):  B-52 to B-67, October 1971.

10.    Helmer, O.  "Analysis of the Future:  The Delphi Method. "
      Defense  Doc. Center Document AD 649640.  The Rand
      Corporation,  1967.  pp 1-11.

11.    Baumol, W. J.  Economic Theory and  Operations Analysis.
      2d ed.  New  Jersey,  Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1965.  pp 355-385.
                               105

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12.   Arrow, K. J.  Social Choice and Individual Values,  Cowles
     Commission Monograph No.  12.  New York, John Wiley
     and Sons, Inc.,  1951.

13.   Klee, A. J.  "The Utilization of Expert Opinion in Decision-
     Making." AlChE Journal,  18(6):  1107-1115, November
     1972.

14.   Webb, K., and H. P. Hatry.  Obtaining Citizen Feedback;
     An Application of Citizen Surveys to Local Governments.
     Washington,  The Urban Institute, 1973.

15.   U.S.  Bureau of the Census.  1970 Census of Housing;
     Block Statistics.  Final Report HC(3)-106, Baltimore,
     Maryland Urbanized Area.  Washington, U.S. Govern-
     ment Printing Office, 1971.
                             106

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                            APPENDIX A
                   FURTHER DISCUSSION OF THE
                   LINEAR. CONJUNCTIVE, AND
                  DISJUNCTIVE DECISION MODELS
      This appendix presents mathematical representations
for the linear,  conjunctive, and disjunctive decision models that
were used in the project.  In addition,  geometric illustrations
are provided for the latter two models.
THE LINEAR MODEL

      The linear model produces an index that is an additive sum
of the component variables.  For example, if health,  safety, and
appearance are the principal indicators in assessing solid waste
system effectiveness, the values of the variables associated with
these indicators are weighted to reflect their relative importance
and then added together to obtain an overall score.  This  score is
the index value  for the given values of the variables.

      The linear model may be represented by the following gen-
eral form:

                               n
                         E = £  w x
where E represents an overall (or global) assessment of conditions.
The wi are the weights that are given to the individual component
variables,  x..


THE CONJUNCTIVE MODEL

      The conjunctive  model says that the effectiveness of a solid
waste system depends on whether each of the component variables
used to measure effectiveness surpasses a threshold value set for
it.  If E = f (x,, x2,  . . . , xn) represents the vector of effectiveness
variables,  and T = g (t,, t2,  . . .,  tn) represents the  vector of thresh-
olds,  then only if x^ is greater than ti for all i will the system be
                              107

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effective.  Since a certain minimum value is required for all the
variables,  this implies that a high score on one variable cannot
compensate for  a low score on another variable,  as is the case
with the linear model.  Thus, the conjunctive model adheres to
a multiple  cutoff procedure rather than a linear compensatory
procedure.

      In the strict sense in which the model is defined, the function
is a discontinuous one that can take on the values of "l" or "0"
only.  The value of the function is "l" whenever all the x^ are
greater than the corresponding tj_; otherwise the  value is "0. "
A geometric representation of this model is shown in Figure A-l(a)
on the following page.   There are a number of mathematical forms
that are continuous in nature that can be used to approximate the
conjunctive model.   In this project, the following parametric function
was used:

                                 n
                                     w.
                                   x. i
                                     i
where the variables are defined as in the linear model.

      A geometric representation of this function is provided in
Figure A-l(b).  The nature of this function is such that a low value
for any one of the component variables will produce a low overall
value. Moreover,  the low value cannot be compensated for by
high scores on the other variables, since it is the product of the
variables that is the important factor.

      To facilitate the use of ordinary least square methods in
fitting the data to the model, a linear transformation of the  above
function can be performed by taking the logarithms of both sides
of the equation. The model thus becomes:
                             n
                     In E  = Y] w.ln(x.)
                              108

-------
*E = 1
 i
                                     -
                      X, threshold
        Conjunctiva   E = 1 if X, > X, threshold and  X2>X2 threshold


                    E = 0 otherwise
                                                                   (a)
                                            	*X, .Y^ (E = 1)
                                                /   •   •
threshold-
                                                                   (b)
                      X, threshold
        Continuous, differentiate approx. to a conjunctive model




        Figure A-l:   Geometric  Representations

                        of the Conjunctive Model
                              109

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      Because the raw data to be used in fitting the least squares
function were scaled such that the smaller the value the better
the conditions,  the variables were converted to a reverse scale.
This had the effect of producing a function that retained the prop-
erties of the one being discussed but was its mirror image.
THE DISJUNCTIVE MODEL

      This disjunctive model says that the effectiveness of a solid
waste system depends on whether at least one of the component
variables used to measure effectiveness exceeds the individual
threshold set for it.   If E = f (x,, x2,  .. ., x^ represents the
vector of effectiveness variables, and S = h (s,,  s2, • •., sn)
represents the vector of thresholds, then if x^ exceeds s^ for at
least one i,  the system is effective. *  Since only one component
variable needs to exceed its standard, the disjunctive model is
called a maximum evaluation function, as compared with the con-
junctive model which is a minimum evaluation function.

      In the strict sense in which the model is defined, the function
is a discontinuous one that can take on the value's of "l" or "0"
only.  The value of the function is "l" whenever any one of the x^
exceed the corresponding s^;  otherwise the function has a value
of "0. "  A geometric representation of this model is presented in
Figure A-2(a),  shown on the following page.

      As in the case of the conjunctive model,  there are a number
of mathematical forms that can be used to approximate the disjunc-
tive model and give it a continuous shape.  A hyperbolic function,
having the following  form,  was used in this project:

      Si is used here as a threshold symbol instead of t^ to indicate
      that the threshold values for the disjunctive model may be
      different  from those for the conjunctive model.
                              110

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 X. ,X- (E = 6)     Xi threshold
  'b  *b
    Disjunctive

    E • 0 if X, < X, threshold andX^ X, threshold or X2 > X^ threshold
  threshold
                    X1 threshold
Continuous, differentiate approx. to a disjunctive model within
          a region of desired application.
 Figure A-2:  Geometric Representations
                 of the Disjunctive Model
                                                              (a)
                                                              (b)
                             111

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where the p^ are the asymptotic values of the function.  They are
arbitrarily set for each x^,  such that they exceed the maximum
value that the x^ can attain.

      The function is illustrated  geometrically in Figure A-2(b).
The nature of this function is such that a high value for any one of
the component variables will produce a high value for the overall
measure.

      Performing a linear transformation,  the function becomes:
                            n
                   InE =  -£  w. In (p. - x.)
                                      X    l
As in the case of the conjunctive model, the raw data were con-
verted to a reverse scale, and the estimated function was a mirror
image of the one being discussed.
                              112

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                            APPENDIX B
               AN ASSESSMENT OF THE USEFULNESS
         OF THE CANDIDATE EFFECTIVENESS MEASURES
      This appendix presents the results of a survey in which a
group of officials in the pilot test city were asked to assess the
usefulness of the effectiveness measures,  illustrated in Table 3
on pages 30 through 36.  The group of evaluators consisted of
representatives from the sanitation, health, and planning depart-
ments of that city.  The  evaluators  separately assessed each
variable in terms of how useful it would be to them  in their de-
cision-making needs.  They were asked to assign one of the
following three descriptors to each variable:
           important
           of limited value
           not important.
The variables were then scored as follows, based on the descrip-
tors  assigned:
      2  =  important
      1  =  of limited value
      0  -  not important.
      Mean scores were computed by major measurement cate-
gory (health, appearance,  safety, etc. ) and by solid waste activity
(storage,  collection,  etc. ).  These are shown for all evaluators
combined in Table B-l on the following page.

      The results indicate that in terms of  solid waste activities,
the most useful variables are those related to:
           Storage

           Collection

           Cleaning.

                              113

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    Table B-l.  VARIABLE SCORES FOR THE CANDIDATE
       EFFECTIVENESS MEASURES BY SOLID WASTE
       ACTIVITY AND BY MEASUREMENT CATEGORY
           (Averages for all Evaluators  Combined)
^S. Solid Waste Activity
Measurements. Storage
Category ^S^
Public Health
Public Safety
Appearance of
Community
Odor
Satisfaction of
Storage and
Collection Needs
Compliance with
Standards
Inconvenience to
Public
All Categories
Combined
1.6
1.5
1.8
0.8
1.6
1.6

1.6
Collection
1.7
1.6
2.0
0.7
1.6
1.4
1.1
1.4
Cleaning
1.8
1.7
1.6




1.6
Local
Trans-
portation


1.2



0. 8
0.9
All
Activities
Combined3
1.7
1.6
1.7
0.7
1.6
1.5
1.0
1.4
Weighted averages.
                           114

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In terms of measurement categories,  the most useful variables
are those related to:
      •     Public Health

      •     Public Safety

      •     Appearance of Community

      •     Satisfaction of Community's Storage and Collection
            Needs

      •     Compliance with Standards.
      Table B-2 on pages 116 through 120 presents the score for
each effectiveness measure by measurement category.  It reflects
the average score across all evaluators.
                              115

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          Table B-2.  VARIABLE SCORES FOR EACH OF THE
              CANDIDATE EFFECTIVENESS MEASURES
                   BY MEASUREMENT CATEGORY
                (Averages for all Evaluators Combined)
Measurement
  Category
         Measures of Effectiveness
Variable
 Score
     ffi
     H
     J
     
-------
                     Table B-2 (continued)
Measurement
  Category
                    Measures of Effectiveness
                                                 Variable
                                                  Score
TJ
0)
fl
o
u
U
a
           Percent of storage areas found to contain
           safety hazards
   Average safety hazard rating for storage areas
   Percent of storage areas where safety hazard
   rating exceeds a given threshold
           Percent of blocks where more than "X" percent
           of the storage areas is found to contain safety
           hazards
   Percent of inspections found to contain safety
   hazards on the public way
           Percent of inspections where safety hazards
           are found on lots or public areas
                                                   1.8
                                                            1.6
                                                   1.6
                                                                1.8
                                                   1.6
O
U
fc
O
w
u
PH
           Average appearance rating for storage areas
           Percent of storage areas where appearance
           rating exceeds a given threshold
           Percent of storage areas found to contain
           abandoned or discarded bulk items
                Percent of blockfaces containing spilled or
                scattered refuse subsequent to collection (where
                curbside collection is performed)

                Percent of alleys containing spilled or scattered
                refuse subsequent to collection (where alley
                collection is performed)
   Percent of inspections where abandoned or
   discarded bulk items are observed
— Percent of inspections where abandoned auto-
   mobiles or trucks are observed
                             117
                                                   1.8
                                                   1.8
                                                   2.0
                                                                2.0
                                                            2.0

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                          Table B-2 (continued)
Measurement
  Category
         Measures of Effectiveness
                                                             Variable
                                                               Score
    !*
    o .
      u
    fin
Average litter rating for streets and alleys
Percent of streets and alleys where litter rating
exceeds a given threshold
                Number of unsolicited complaints from citizens
                about the appearance of their community per
                1, 000 persons
Index of citizen satisfaction with the appearance
of their community
Average litter rating for vacant lots and public
areas
Number of drain basins which are clogged per
basin inspected
                Percent of collection fleet likely to cause
                spillage while in transport
                                                                  1.8
                                                  1.2
                                                                  1.2
                                                                  1.6
                                                                2.0
                                                  1.2
                Percent of storage areas found to contain
                offensive odors
                Percent of blocks where more than "X" percent
                of the storage areas is found to contain
                offensive odors
                Number of unsolicited complaints from citizens
                about the  existence of offensive odors per
                1, 000 persons
                                                  0.8
                                                  0.8
                                                  0.6
s   5


<1 o ^ H
fo H H EJ
02 to J G
2   O s

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Table B-2 (continued)
Measurement
Category
SATISFACTION
OF STORAGE
& COLLECTION
NEEDS
(Continued)
COMPLIANCE WITH STANDARDS
INCONVE-
NIENCE/
DISCOMFORT
TO PUBLIC
Measures of Effectiveness
— Percent of storage areas found to contain an
inadequate number of containers
— Percent of blocks where more than "X" percent
of the storage areas contains an inadequate
number of containers
— Percent of storage areas having containers
which do not comply with the regulations
— Percent of blockfaces where mixed refuse re-
mains uncollected for one or more days
(where curbside collection is performed)
+
Percent of alleys where mixed refuse remains
uncollected for one or more days (where alley
collection is performed)
— Average delay time in meeting regular pickup
schedules for alleys /blockfaces
— Number of unsolicited complaints from citizens
about delays in pickup of mixed refuse per
1, 000 persons
— Percent of instances in which there was a delay
of one day or more in the pickup of bulky items
— Average delay time in the pickup of bulky items
— Number of unsolicited complaints from citizens
about delays in pickup of special or bulk items
per 1, 000 persons
— Average amount of time spent per household
per month preparing refuse for collection
— Percent of collection areas where noise from
collection exceeds a given threshold
Variable
Score
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.8
1.4
1.6
1.6
1.0
1.2
0.6
1.0
       119

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                      Table B-2 (continued)
Measurement
  Category
                     Measures of Effectiveness
                                              Variable
                                                Score
    U

    PQ
    PH
    O
    EH
    P5
    O
    Eq _

    ||

    Bl
    ^o
    U
    w
    I
O
U
            Number of collection miles taking place during
            early morning hours as a percent of total
            collection miles
            Number of collection stops taking place during
            early morning hours as a percent of total
            collection stops
            Number of unsolicited complaints from citizens
            about noise caused by refuse collection activi-
            ties per 1, 000 persons
            Number of miles of major and secondary
            arterial roads where refuse collection is per-
            formed during peak hours
            Amount of peak hour time during which refuse
            collection is taking place along major and
            secondary arterial roads
            Number of reported instances of property
            damage caused by collection equipment or
            collection personnel per 1,000 persons
Total dollar value of property losses caused by
collection equipment or collection personnel
            Amount of peak hour time during which
            collection fleet is enroute to (or from) central
            deposit source
             Percent of vehicles where air pollution rating
             exceeds a given threshold
                                                 1.4
                                                 1.2
                                                 1.0
                                                1.0
                                                 1.2
                                                             1.2
                                                 1.2
                                                0.4
                             120

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                          APPENDIX C
             DESCRIPTION OF THE SURVEY DESIGN
              AND ITS IMPLEMENTATION DURING
                        THE PILOT TEST
      This appendix describes the field survey design and how it
was used during the pilot test phase of the project.  The informa-
tion provided in this appendix may be useful to communities in de-
signing their own measurement systems to assess conditions (such
as health hazards,  safety hazards, appearance,  and so forth) in
various areas such as census tracts, sanitation districts, or entire
cities.

      The survey design is based on a concept as to the manner by
which the data at particular observational points are blended togeth-
er to produce estimates for designated areas. This concept enables
one to determine the relative importance and impact of various
sources  of variability on the conditions that are being measured.

      Some of the sources of variability whose relative importance
should be determined are:
           Among days of the week

           Among routine observers

           Among observation points in the same block

           Among blocks in tracts

           Among tracts in sanitation districts

           Among sanitation districts.
      In addition to providing estimates of variation from different
sources, the survey design has a structure that permits unbiased
estimates of the measured conditions to be made for alternative
                             121

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areas.  Although the estimates as derived from this survey may
not be sufficiently precise to be of practical value in themselves,
they are sufficient to evaluate the soundness of the estimation
methodology and to determine the size of possible future surveys
so as to achieve a specified level of precision.
GENERAL DESCRIPTION OF THE SURVEY STRUCTURE

      The survey structure is based on the  concept of sampling
from  among and within strata. Strata are defined as mutually
exclusive sets of census tracts; that is, there is no overlap in the
area represented by a given stratum.  The  primary reason for
formulating strata is to be able to group the sampling units in a
manner that minimizes  the sampling variation among units within
a stratum.  The reduction of variance within stratum tends to
increase the precision of the estimates.

      There are a number of ways to define strata.  They could
correspond to different  geographical areas, as, for example,
sanitation districts.  Alternatively, they could be identified with
income levels.

      Once the strata are defined, two census tracts  from each
stratum are randomly selected, and ten blocks are selected at
random from each tract.  Thus, altogether, ten census tracts
and a total of 100 blocks are covered.  The  ten blocks of a census
tract  are then assigned  at random to form five block pairs:  1,
2, 3,  4, and 5.  The numbering of the block pairs is  independent
from  tract to tract; that is, there is no relationship between
block pair j in census tract i and block pair j in some other census
tract. Since there are  10 census tracts and 5 block pairs to each
census tract,  there are 50 block pairs.

      Ten observers perform the data gathering.  They are formed
into five teams of two observers each.  The teams are identified as
teams A,  B, C, D, and E.  With respect to the basic survey design,
a pair of observers inspects a total of ten block pairs. The 50 block
pairs are thus divided into five block pair groups, and each pair of
observers is assigned to a different block pair group.
                           122

-------
     This basic design is augmented in one tract by having all ob-
servers inspect all blocks in that tract.  This tract is defined as
the "intensive study" tract.   Thus, each observer observes 28 blocks,
composed of two blocks each in nine tracts  and ten blocks in the
special intensive  study tract.

     Because of the weekly mixed refuse collection, estimates of
conditions at a given observation point vary from one day of the week
to another.  Consequently, any snapshot for an area should be a
"composite blur" over the conditions of an entire week.   For this
reason, the five block pairs of a tract,  in addition to being asso-
ciated  with different observer pairs,  are also associated with
different days of the week.  Thus, at the census tract level,  effects
of days of the week will be completely confounded with the observer
pair.   When data are combined over tracts, it is possible, using
analysis  of variance techniques, to separate the effects of pairs
of observers and days of the week.

     Table C-l on the following page shows the basic survey design
before randomization.  Each letter entry (M,  T, W, Th,  F) of the
table (indicating the day of the week) refers to the inspection of a
specified block pair by a specified observer pair in a designated
tract.  The  subscripts of the letters refer to weeks 1 and 2  of the
inspection period.  Thus, each inspection team  inspects all tracts
and makes inspections on all five days of the week in a balanced
manner.   Each tract is inspected on each of the  five days of the week
by different observer pairs.  Each day of the week is, therefore,
balanced over tracts and observer pairs. In addition to the in-
spections indicated in this table,  all observers inspect all blocks
in a selected tract termed the "common" tract.  These visits are
all made at  approximately the same time by all  teams.

     Before application of the design set out in Table C-l,  various
random selections and randomizations must occur.  These are as
follows:
      (1)   List census tracts in each of five strata and pick two
           census tracts at random from each stratum.

      (2)   Pick 10 blocks at random from each census tract.
                                 123

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           Table C-l.  BASIC SURVEY DESIGN'


Stratum
1

2

3
4

5

Five
Strata


Census
Tract
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
Ten
Census
Tracts

Observer Pair
A B C D
V TI wi Thi
M9 T W Th
6t & & &
TI Wt3 Th1 FI
T W Th F
12 2 2 2
W Th F 5 MI
W Th F 10 M
& & & &
Th F M T
inl 1 1 1
Th F M T
in2 2 2 X2
F M T W
*1 1 1 1
222 2
Number of Block Pairs Per

10 10 10 10


E
Fi
F2
Ml
M2
Tl
T2
Wl
W2
Th 4
2
Number of
Block Pairs
Per Tract
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Observer Pair

10


The superscripts on the day codes indicate the order of visits to
be made by the person who performed the training.  His first in-
spection is indicated by the superscript 1,  the  second by the super-
script 2, and so on.  The observational pattern is balanced over
strata,  observer pairs, and days of the weeks. The subscripts
refer to weeks  1 and 2  of the inspection period.
                          124

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      (3)   Randomly form the 10 blocks within a census tract into
           five block pairs.  Number these from 1 to 5.  Each
           block pair should be identified by the stratum  (i), the
           tract within the stratum (j),  and the block pair (k). The
           latter are to be numbered from one to five.  The blocks
           within a pair should be identified by the subscript  (m).
           The values 1 and 2 taken by the subscript m should be
           assigned at random to the two blocks of a pair.

      (4)   Randomly associate the letters A, B, C, D, and E to
           the five block pairs in each tract.  There should be a
           new randomization for each tract.

      (5)   Randomly form five pairs of observers from 10 routine
           observers.  Randomly associate the letters A, B,  C,
           D,  and E to the five pairs of observers.  This is done
           only once.

      (6)   Randomly permute the columns of the main body of Table
           C-l (that portion that contains the letters indicating days).
           After that is done, also randomly permute pairs of rows;
           that is, the two rows associated with a stratum  should be
           treated as one row in the permutation.
SURVEY PLAN AS UTILIZED IN FIELD TEST
      The initial survey plan for the field test conducted in the City
of Baltimore utilized the city's five sanitation districts as the strata.
However, when members of the project team surveyed the  census
tracts selected from each stratum, they found that there was not
a sufficient amount of variation in the conditions among census
tracts to test the measurement apparatus.  For this reason,  an
alternative scheme that would ensure an adequate amount of vari-
ation was used for defining the strata.  The revised strata  were
defined as follows:
           Dirty Stratum—Those census tracts the sanitation
           and health department personnel defined as particu-
           larly dirty.

           Model Cities Stratum — Those census tracts contained
           within the Model Cities areas of the city.
                            125

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           Income Stratum No. 1—Those census tracts where
           the average family income in 1970 was less than
           $9,000.

           Income Stratum No. 2—Those census tracts where
           the average family income in 1970 was between $9, 000
           and $11, 999.

           Income Stratum No. 3—Those census tracts where
           the average family income in 1970 was $12, 000 or
           more.
To eliminate any overlap among strata, census tracts belonging
to the Dirty Stratum were classified first, followed by tracts be-
longing to the Model Cities Stratum.  The group of census tracts
that  remained were then classified into one of the three  income-
related strata.  The total number of census tracts in each stratum
were as follows:
                                            Total
                                       Number of Census
                 Strata                  Tracts in Strata
           Dirty                              15

           Model Cities                       16

           Income  Level 1                     59

           Income  Level 2                     83

           Income  Level 3                     28
      Within each stratum, two census tracts were selected at
random, and from each census tract ten blocks were randomly
selected.  The geographical distribution of the census tracts
selected for the field survey within the City of Baltimore is
shown in Figure C-l on the following page. A breakdown of the
survey census tracts by sanitation district and by income group-
ing  is provided in Table C-2 on page 128.  A similar breakdown
for the entire City of Baltimore is presented in Table C-3 on the
same page for comparative purposes.
                          126

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     4  tsoeozl  1507.02 _J  1504 *^
     1 '509 U-L—^H 	
                           ^fflrarSfl
li^^"°ffi£-
1 • n I' \  \ «$/ *\ 2  P\i75y« woNunt«
                     SlU* \,703>^ 1  1 sp^
                     jm™{ im\LJr4 501  i
                      infM 00 CO^^^^^^I     X ^i^lV
  s|z 0° 5  tuw / wI  ^^^^K-' "-^" —
  *& g^    „,. ^^^^k  BALli^otli_


  3 \g "H^^^gzOO^g^M
Ws?lnHS
02 I      \ :
tA  2804.03 \'.
                            2101 kt,,,_,,. ""fe
                             / ^"U^lK
                             /?inu sft so
                    ,2502.05H%I%X^^ ,
                    ^x.  \  -«f502-03/^
Figure C-l:  Geographical Distribution of Baltimore City Census Tracts

            Included in the Field Test

                           127

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   Table C-2.  DISTRIBUTION OF FIELD TEST CENSUS TRACTS
       BY INCOME GROUPING AND SANITATION DISTRICT
""" 	 Income Groupings a
Sanitation
District ^^^
Northeast
Northwest
Eastern
Western
Central
Total
$3,000-
$5,999


2
1

3
$6,000-
$8,999

2

1

3
$9,000-
$11,999
1


1

2
$12,000
and over
1
1



2
Total
2
3
2
3
0
10
a  Based on the average family income for 1970.  There were no
   census tracts where the average family income in 1970 was less
   than $3,000.
Table C-3. DISTRIBUTION OF BALTIMORE CITY CENSUS TRACTS
       BY INCOME GROUPING AND SANITATION DISTRICT
^*^^^ Income Groupings a
Sanitation
District ^s"\.
Northeast
Northwest
Eastern
Western
Central
Total
$3,000-
$5,999
0
0
8
11
0
19
$6,000-
$8,999
5
15
24
23
0
67
$9,000-
$11,999
25
18
18
26
0
87
$12,000-
and over
9
14
2
2
1
28
Total
39
47
52
62
1
201
   Based on the average family income for 1970.  There were no
   census tracts where the average family income in 1970 was less
   than $3,000.
                           128

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                           APPENDIX D
                  THE DATA COLLECTION FORMS
                         AND PROCEDURES
     This appendix contains replicas of the data collection forms
that were developed to facilitate the collection of data during the
field test.  It includes the following five forms:
           Pre-Survey Form — Provides identifying information
           on the block to be surveyed.

           Blockfaces, Alleys, and Private Ways Form — Pro-
           vides information on the conditions observed along
           blockfaces, alleys, and front yards and sidewalks.

           Storage and Backyard Area Form — Provides infor-
           mation on the conditions observed in storage and
           backyard areas.

           Vacant Lots,  Public Parks, and Parking Lots Form-
           Provides information on the conditions observed on
           lots and  parks.

           Summary Form — Provides information about collec-
           tion and  cleaning schedules and the length of time it
           took to collect the field data.
The information contained/requested on each of the five forms is
briefly explained in this appendix.  Detailed recording procedures
for the forms were provided in the instruction booklet that was  de-
veloped for the field test.
THE PRE-SURVEY FORM

      The Pre-Survey Form provides information useful in identi-
fying and locating the census block to be inspected.  A replica of
this form is provided in Figure D-l on the following page.  A
                              129

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                                       PRE-SURVEY FORM
                       Block Map:
Tract Number

Block Number

Sanitation District
                                                          Days of:
                                                               regular collection
                                                               bulk collection
                                                               street cleaning
                                                               alley cleaning
                                                          Number of:
                                                               blockfaces
                                                               alleys
                                                               open spaces
                                                               households
                                                          Procedures for Selection of Storage and
                                                          Backyard Areas:
Special Notes:
                            Figure D-l:  Replica of the Pre-Survey Form

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completed copy of this form was provided for each block that was
surveyed during the field test.  It contained:
           A hand-drawn map of the block to be surveyed.

           A set of code numbers to be used to identify the census
           block under inspection.

           The various collection and cleaning schedules that
           apply to the block.

           Some descriptive information about the block.

           Procedures to use when selecting storage and back-
           yard areas for inspection.
      The Block Map, which was hand-drawn on the left-hand side
of the form, contained numeric codes between 1 and 19 to identify
each blockface.  These were to be used when recording information
about blockfaces and private ways on the data collection forms.
The-Block Map also contained numeric identifiers for alleys.
These ranged from 21 to 29 and were to be used when recording
information about alleys  on the data collection forms.
BLOCKFACES, ALLEYS, AND PRIVATE WAYS FORM

      The Blockfaces,  Alleys, and Private Ways Data Form is
intended to be used for inspections made in the following areas:
      Blockface:  The area from the center of the street up to
      and including the curb and gutter, extending from any
      corner of a block to the adjacent corner.

      Alley;  A passageway, usually 5 to 10 feet wide, extending
      into or through the interior of a block.

      Private Way (Sidewalk and Front Yard):  The area from
      the front of the house to the curb, extending from any
      corner of a block to the adjacent corner.
                              131

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A replica of this data form is provided in Figure D-2 on the follow-
ing page.

      The above three areas were inspected in linear segments of
approximately 100 to 200 feet each.  Data for each blockface and
private way segment were  recorded on a separate line on the form.
Similarly,  data for each alley segment were recorded on a separate
line.  All entries on each line used were to be filled in,  unless
otherwise specified.  Where one form was not sufficient to record
the information on blockfaces,  alleys, and private ways, additional
data forms were used.  A separate form was used for each block
that was  surveyed.

      The form is divided into four major sections:
      •    Locator Data

      •    Unit Data

      •    Blockface and Alley Conditions

      •    Sidewalk and Front Yard Conditions.
      Locator Data is contained at the top of the form in the boxes
corresponding to items 1-29.  It provides information by which to
identify the census block being inspected, the date of the inspection,
and the inspection team.  Unit data, contained in columns 30-33 of
the form, provides information by which to identify each  sample
area inspected.  Blockface and Alley Conditions, contained in
columns 34-47^  provides information on the type of conditions  ob-
served along each blockface or alley segment inspected.  Sidewalk
and Front Yard Conditions,  contained in columns 48-59, provides
information on the types of conditions observed along the private
way corresponding to the blockface segment being inspected.

      A summary description of the entries on this form  (excluding
those connected  with the Locator Data at the top of the form) is
provided on pages 134 through 136.
                              132

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Form  [Tl  Page I  I  of |  |
       1        23
    Tract No.  I  I  I  I  l«f"T~l  Block  No.  I  I  I  I    Sanitation District No.
               4  5  6  7  8  9 10            11 12 13                         14
                           BLOCKFACES, ALLEYS, AND PRIVATE WAYS
Inspector I.D. No. |  |  |
                15 16
Team No. |  |
          17
Mo.    Day   Y««r
      rn  m
18 19   20 21   22 23
Day
                                                                             24
                                                                                       2526272829
"Descriptions (reference to Blockface or Alley Number, Segment Number, and Column Number):
   Figure  D-2:  Replica of the Blockfaces,  Alleys, and Private Ways Data Form

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Blockface or Alley Number — The identifying number of the
blockface or alley segment being inspected, as indicated on
the Block Map.

Segment Number — A sequential number assigned by the
observers to each segment.

Percent Residential  Code (blockfaces only) — A code number
to describe the percent of residential structures along the
blockface segment being inspected; it was recorded as
follows:
      1            0 percent residential
      2   =   1-24 percent residential
      3   =  25-49 percent residential
      4   =  50-74 percent residential
      5   =  75-99 percent residential
      6          100 percent residential
      9   =  Not Applicable — an alley is being inspected.
Rat Indicators — Used to indicate the presence of rat signs;
i. e.,  sighting of live or dead rats,  rat gnawings,  rat burrows,
rat feces, and rat tracks.

Number of Dead Animals — The number  of dead or decaying
animals observed.

Uncontained Garbage Rating — Recorded on a scale of 1 to 7,
with the scale points reflecting varying degrees of uncontained
garbage as shown below:
      1   =  No uncontained garbage is observed
      3   =  Minor amounts of uncontained garbage are
              observed
      5   -  Moderate amounts of uncontained garbage are
              observed
      7   =  Substantial amounts of uncontained  garbage are
              observed or garbage accumulation shows signs
              of rat or insect attraction.
Garbage is defined as waste resulting from the preparation,
cooking,  serving, or eating of food.

                      134

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Other Health Hazards — Used to indicate the presence of
conditions, not on the data form, that the observer con-
siders to be potential contributors to disease  or illness.

Fire Hazard  Rating — A code number describing the pres-
ence of fire hazards. It was recorded as follows:
      1  =  No fire hazards observed
      2  =  Minor fire hazard exists
      3  =  Major fire hazard exists.
A major fire hazard is defined as an accumulation of solid
waste materials sufficient to cause or contribute to a fire
of such magnitude that property damage or personal injury
is likely to occur.  A minor fire hazard is defined as an
accumulation of solid waste  materials sufficient to cause
or contribute to a fire, but unlikely to cause personal injury
or property damage.

Broken Glass/Jagged Objects Rating — Recorded on a scale
of 1  to 7, with  the scale points reflecting varying degrees of
glass, jagged objects, etc., as shown below:
      1  =  No broken glass, jagged objects,  etc., are
               observed
      3  =  Minor quantities of broken glass,  jagged
               objects, etc., are observed
      5  =  Moderate amounts  of broken glass,  jagged
               objects, etc., are observed
      7  -  Substantial amounts of broken glass, jagged
               objects, etc., are observed.
The items to be included are:  broken glass, pieces of barbed
wire, and other sharp or jagged objects.

Refrigerator With Door — Used to indicate the presence of
a refrigerator with a door intact.

Other Safety Hazards — Used to indicate the presence of
conditions, not on the data form,  that the observer con-
siders to be potential hazards  to public safety.
                         135

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Number of Bulk Items — The number of bulk items observed.
Bulk items are defined as items that cannot fit into a storage
container.  These may include discarded furniture items or
appliances, shipping cases, carpeting,  automobile tires, and
so forth.

Number of Abandoned Vehicles — The number of abandoned
automobiles and abandoned trucks observed.  Abandoned
vehicles are vehicles which appear to be in an apparently
inoperative condition.  They are generally characterized by
a lack of licenses  or inspection stickers,  or by expired
licenses or stickers.

Uncontained Refuse Rating — Recorded on a scale of 1 to 7,
with the scale points reflecting varying degrees of uncontained
refuse as shown below:
            No uncontained refuse is lying on the ground
            A minor amount of uncontained refuse is
              observed
      5  =  Moderate amounts of uncontained refuse are
              observed
      7  =  Substantial amounts of uncontained refuse are
              observed.
The rating should reflect conditions, exclusive of what is
included in making ratings of uncontained garbage,  fire
hazards, and broken glass/jagged objects.

Number of Drain Basins (blockfaces and alleys only) —
The total number of storm drain basins observed.

Number of Clogged Drain  Basins  (blockfaces and alleys
only) — The number of drain basins that appear to be
clogged by debris.

Composite Rating — Recorded on a scale of 1 to 8,  with  1
indicating the most favorable overall conditions and 8 in-
dicating the worst overall conditions.  This reflects the
observer's subjective assessment of the overall conditions
observed.
                       136

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STORAGE AND BACKYARD AREA FORM

      The Storage and Backyard Area Data Form is intended to
be used for inspection of areas where solid waste materials are
stored and for inspection of private areas (backyards) surround-
ing the storage locations.   These sample areas are defined as
follows:
      Solid Waste  Storage Area:  An area external to the structure
      which normally serves as a location for the containment of
      discarded solid waste materials;  i. e.,  the place where
      waste storage containers are located.

      Private Area (Backyard):  The area belonging to the back of
      the structure served by the  storage area.  It  is bounded by
      the property lines of the adjacent structures and, in many
      cases, by an alley.   The alley itself, however, is not part
      of the inspection area.
A replica of this data form is provided in Figure D-3 on the follow-
ing page.

      Only a sample of storage areas and backyards was to be in-
spected within the survey block.  Procedures for selection of these
areas were provided on the Pre-Survey Form for the block.  Ob-
servers were asked to record data based only on what they observed.
That is, they were not required to open the containers and deter-
mine their contents.  In instances where there was no alley access
to the storage/backyard area, the observers were to ask permission
of the resident in order to gain access to these areas.  Data for
each storage area/backyard combination was to be  recorded on a
separate line on the form.

      The format of the Storage and Backyard Area Data Form is
similar to that of the Blockfaces, Alleys, and Private Ways Data
Form.  It is divided into the same four major sections and required
many of the same  types of measurements to be made.

      A summary  description of the entries that are unique to this
form is provided on pages 139 through 141.
                             137

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00
        Form Q[|  PageQ  of Q
               1       23
Inspector  I.D.  No. II I
                 15 16
Tract No. |~| I  I  !•! ll
         4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                                                          Block No.n~PI  Sanitation District No. D
                                                                  11 12 13                     14
                                   Team  No.
                                             17
                                                      STORAGE AND BACKYARD AREA
                      Mo.   D«v    Ya»r
                      -mm
                     18 19   20 21  22 23
                                                                                                                      2526272829
      'Descriptions (reference to Sample Area Number and Column Number):
                           Figure  D-3:  Replica of the Storage and Backyard Area Data Form

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Sample Area Number — A pre-recorded number that was
used as a reference number for each storage area/back-
yard being inspected.

Blockface Number — The identifying number of the block-
face upon which the structure associated with the sample
area was located.

Structure Code — A code number describing the type of
structure associated with the sample area being inspected;
it was  recorded as follows:
      1  -  Residential
      2  =  Apartment Complex
      3  =  Restaurant, Fast Food Establishment
      4  =  Combination Residential and Business
      5  =  Business Only
      6  =  Public Building
      7  =  Industrial
      8  =  Other (Specify:	)
      9  =  None.
Collection Responsibility Code — A code number describing
the group responsible for mixed refuse collection;  it was
recorded as follows:
      1  =  Collection performed by city sanitation depart-
              ment
      2  =  Collection performed by private contractor
      3  =  Unknown (do not know who performs collection).
Number of Regular Collections Per Week — The number of
times per week that mixed refuse is collected, as indicated
on the Pre-Survey Form.
                    139

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Inspection Conditions Code — A code number used to describe
whether there were problems that prevented inspection of
all or part of the designated sample area and, if so, the nature
of the problem.  It was recorded as follows:
      1   =  No problems encountered which hindered the
              inspection of either the  storage area or the
              backyard
      2   =  No storage area— structure abandoned/unin-
              habited
      3   =  No storage area — structure inhabited
      4   =  No storage area — unable to determine if
              structure is inhabited
      5   =  Containers are at end of alley or along curb for
              pickup
      6   =  High fence — inspection could not be made
      7   =  No alley access  to storage/backyard area —
              resident not at home,  or resident would not
              allow access
      8   =  Other (Specify: 	)
      9   =  No clearly defined backyard area.
Size of Cans and Bins (storage areas only) — Used to record
the number of storage containers by size and type of container.

Insect Indicators (storage areas only) — Used to indicate the
presence of insect signs;  i. e.,  sighting of swarming or crawl-
ing insects, sighting of insect larvae, and so forth.

Improperly Containerized Garbage (storage areas only) —
A code number to describe the manner in which garbage is
containerized;  it was recorded as follows:
      1   =  All garbage is properly stored in covered cans
              or bins
      2   =  Garbage is lying open in at least one can or bin
              and/or garbage is contained in paper sacks,
              plastic bags, or other similar containers
      3   =  There are uncovered cans or bins and/or there
              are plastic bags, paper sacks,  etc., but it
              is  not possible to tell whether or not they
              contain garbage.
                       140

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A code 2 condition was to be reported in preference to any
other code that may fit the storage area under observation.

Number of Unapproved Containers (storage areas only) —
The total number of plastic bags,  paper sacks, wooden or
cardboard boxes, and so forth,  which are used as containers
for solid waste materials.

Number of Non-Complying Cans or Bins (storage areas
only) — The total number of cans  or bins found in the  stor-
age area that do not comply with established city regulations.
For the field test city, these regulations required that cans
and bins:
      —   be constructed of metal

      —   have tight fitting lids (if filled or partially filled)
      —   be free of holes
      —   be not larger than 20 gallons.
Number of Cans or Bins in Poor Condition (storage areas
only) — The number of cans or bins of a combustible nature
and/or  having holes observed in the storage area.  A com-
bustible can is one that is  not constructed of metal.

Number of Cans With Size Violations (storage areas  only) —
The number of cans larger than the allowable size observed
in the storage area.  For the  field test city, any can larger
than 20 gallons was considered a size violation.

Number of Cans or Bins Without Tight Lid (storage areas
only) — The number of cans or bins that lack tight lids.
Included would be cans or  bins with no lids, cans or  bins
with bent or obviously loose lids, and overpacked cans or
bins for which the lid will  not fit tightly.

Odors  (storage areas only) — Used to indicate the presence
of odors due to poor storage conditions.
                         141

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VACANT LOTS, PUBLIC PARKS, AND PARKING LOTS
FORM

      The Vacant Lots, Public Parks, and Parking Lots Data Form
is intended for use in the areas defined as follows:
      Vacant Lots:  Open spaces that serve no business or resi-
      dential purpose.

      Public Parks: Playgrounds,  recreational, or scenic areas
      serving the public.

      Parking Lots: Paved open areas, usually having lined spaces
      and identifying signs, that are used as places for parking
      vehicles.
A replica of this form is provided in Figure D-4 on the following
page.

      All vacant lots, public parks, and parking lots within the
boundary of the designated block were to be inspected with the
use of this form.   Data for each vacant lot, public park, or park-
ing lot inspected was to be recorded on a separate line on the form.

      The format of this form is also similar  to that of the two
previous forms.  A summary  description of the entries that are
unique to this form is provided below.
      Sample Area Number — A pre-recorded number that was
      used as a reference number for each separate vacant lot,
      public park, or parking lot being inspected.

      Blockface Number — The identifying number of the block-
      face upon which the lot or  park is located.

      Lot Description Code — A code number used to identify the
      inspection area;  it was recorded  as follows:
           1  =   Vacant Lot
           2  =   Public Park
           3  =   Parking Lot.
                              142

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Form  [3] PageO of |  |
       i        2      3
                ^_^
Inspector I.D. No. I  I  I
                15 16
       Tract No. I  I  I  I  1*1  I  I    Block
                4  5  6  7 8 9 1O             11 12 13

VACANT LOTS, PUBLIC  PARKS, AND PARKING LOTS

                            Mo.    Day    Vaar

   Team No.  D        Date CD  |~T1 |"T~I     Day G
             17            18 19   20 21   22 23           24
Sanitation District No. I  I
                   14
                  0  1
                  1  5
                                                                                        25 26 27 28 29
      'Descriptions (reference to Sample Area Number and to Column Number):
                            Figure D~4:  Replica of the Vacant Lots,
                          Public Parks,  and Parking Lots Data Form.

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THE SUMMARY FORM

      The Summary Form is used to provide information on col-
lection and cleaning activities as they relate to the day that the
inspection was made and on block conditions relative to collection
and cleaning activities.  It also provides an estimate of the length
of time that it took to collect the  requested information about the
block.  Observers were to complete one copy of this form for each
block they inspected.  A replica of this data form is provided in
Figure D-5  on the following page.

      The Summary Form is organized as  follows:

      •      Identifying Information — Contained in the upper left-
            hand corner of the form.

      •      Time Since Collection and Cleaning — Contained in the
            upper  right-hand corner of the form.

      •      Start and Finish Time for  Data Collection — Contained
            in the  upper  middle section of the form.

      •      Composite Block Rating — Contained in  the upper
            middle section of the form.

      •      Selected Observations on Block Conditions — Questions
            1 through 7 on the form.
      A summary description of information requested on this
  rm is provided below:
      Identifying Information — Used to identify the observer
      making the inspection and the sample block being surveyed.

      Time Since Collection and Cleaning — Used to indicate the
      elapsed time since regular collection, bulk pick-up,  and
      street and alley cleaning.  This information was recorded
      by comparing the day that the inspection was made with the
      last scheduled day for collection and cleaning, respectively,
      as shown on the Pre-Survey Form.  Zero (0)  was to be re-
      corded if the observer was there on a collection/cleaning
      day subsequent to the time the collection or cleaning took
      place. If  collection or cleaning was ongoing at the time the
      observer arrived,  he (or she) was to  wait and inspect the
      area subsequent to the completion of the activity.

                                   144

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                                            SUMMARY FORM
Name
Tract No.
Block No.
District No.
                                                 No.  of Days Since Regular Collection
                                                 No.  of Days Since Bulk Collection
                                                 No.  of Days Since Street Cleaning
                                                 No.  of Days Since Alley Cleaning
                               Start Time:   	
                               Finish Time: 	
                               Composite Block Rating
                                                      am/pm
                                                      am/pm
                                                             (1-8)
 1.   Was this the regular collection day for mixed
     refuse?
                 Yes        No
 2.
 3.
If yes to Q. 1, were you there
       	before collection ?
       	after collection?

If yes to Q. 1. identify the place of collection by
blockface (e.g., along alley, at end of alley, at
curbside, from backyard):
    1.
    2.
    3.
    4.
    5.
    6.
                  Blockfaces

                 	      7.
                 	      8.
                 	      9.
                 	     10.
                 	     11.
                        12.
 4.
Was there any uneollected refuse along any
blockface or alley?
            Yes       No
6.
                                                      7.
                                                      If yes to Q. 4. identify the type of uneollected
                                                      refuse (e.g., mixed refuse, bulk items,  and
                                                      so forth) and the blockface/alley number.
   Blockface/Alley No.
                           Type of Refuse
Were any of the streets or alleys being cleaned
while you were there ?
       	Yes  	No

If yes to Q. 6,  provide the appropriate blockface
and/or alley numbers on the line below.
                                Figure D-5:  Replica of the Summary Form

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Start and Finish Time for Data Collection — Used to indicate
the length of time that it took to collect data for the survey
block.

Composite Block Rating — Recorded on a scale of  1 through
8, with 1 indicating the most favorable overall conditions
and 8 indicating the worst  overall conditions.   This reflects
the observer's subjective assessment of overall block con-
ditions.

Selected Observations on Block Conditions — Used to obtain
further information about block conditions relative to collec-
tion and cleaning activities.
                      146

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                            APPENDIX E
               DESCRIPTION OF THE ANALYSIS PLAN
      This appendix provides a detailed description of how some
of the major findings presented in Chapter VI of the report were
developed.  Specifically,  it describes the techniques used to:
      •     Analyze the consistency (or reliability) with which the
            measurements were made, particularly the rating
            scale measurements because of the higher degree of
            subjectivity associated with these types of measure-
            ments.

      •     Estimate the variance components for a census tract
            mean.

      •     Assess the accuracy of the measurements.

      •     Determine correlations among the six observational
            areas  and among the variables.

      •     Develop composite measures of effectiveness.
EVALUATING THE CONSISTENCY AMONG RATERS

      Reliability or consistency refers to the ability of two or
more observers to independently assign the same value when
measuring the same phenomena.  In assessing the reliability of
the data collected during the field test, separate techniques were
developed for each of the three generic types of measures — rating
scales, counts,  and yes-no type measures.  These are presented
in the following paragraphs.
Consistency Among Raters — Rating Scales

      As described in Chapter V,  the observers worked in pairs,
with each person separately recording his (or her) measurements
on the data collection forms.  To  evaluate the reliability of the
                              147

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rating scale measurements, the mean discrepancy between all
observer pairs at each of the seven scale points was analyzed.
The analysis was performed separately for each type of rating
scale—garbage, glass, and refuse—in each of the six observa-
tional areas where data were collected (blockfaces, alleys, storage
areas, etc.).  The results were subsequently combined across the
six observational areas by type of rating to develop the findings
presented in Chapter VI.

      In performing  the analysis, we hypothesized that a relation-
ship of the following type would exist between the  size of the mean
rating difference and the rating scale points.
        2.0
  V 12  •. C
  £ Pi  1'5
     W  1'°


     S  0.5
                 1     23456

                       RATING SCALE POINTS
That is, we expected to find fairly close agreement between ob-
servers for conditions 1 and 7 (the scale extremes);  i.e.,  mean
rating differences approximately equal to zero.  Toward the mid-
point of the scale, however, we expected to find much less  agree-
ment;  i. e., mean differences much greater than zero.  We felt
that observers were likely to have no trouble recognizing extremely
good and extremely poor conditions, whereas conditions in  between
the two  extremes were likely to pose the most problems in  terms
of rater agreement.

      To test the hypothesis, we let:
             value assigned by Rater Q to the i*  observation point
             (where Rater Q was one member of a rater pair)
                             148

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             value assigned by Rater P to the i  observation point
             (where Rater P was the other member of the rater
             pair)

             value of the absolute difference between a rater pair
             at the ith observation point;  i. e., /qi - p^
      For each observational area, we first looked at the discrep-
ancies between rater pairs (d^) and assumed that Rater Q was
correct in his  assignment of rating values,  q^.  By cross-tabulating
the discrepancies between rater pairs with the values that Rater Q
assigned, we obtained a matrix that contained:
      •     Frequencies for each cell

      •     Frequencies and percents for each row and column

      •     Values for the mean difference between rater pairs
            at each of the 7 rating values,  along with the standard
            deviations associated with each mean difference.


      The matrix looked as follows:
          Value
         Assigned
           by
         Rater Q
          yFreq,
        of Total
 Absolute Value of the
 Discrepancy Between
Rater Q and Rater P (d
   Total
      Fre-
_,    . ^quency
Percent ^   J
 of Total
Mean
  Value
                               Standard
                                Deviation
                               149

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Our particular interest from an analytical point of view was the
information contained in the last column; namely, the mean dif-
ference by scale point and its standard deviation.

      Now,  since we had no a priori reason to assume that Rater Q
was the correct rater- we proceeded to look at the discrepancies
between rater pairs,  on the assumption that Rater P was correct in
his assignment of rating values,  p^.  When the discrepancies in the
observations of the two raters were cross-tabulated with the values
assigned by Rater P,  we obtained a matrix identical in form to the
one presented above,  having Rater P's assigned values.

      The mean differences by scale point that resulted from the
two cross-tabulations were combined and a weighted average was
developed.  This average reflected the mean difference across all
observer pairs for  each scale point of a given rating scale.  This
procedure was repeated for each of the six observational areas.
The resultant data were pooled to develop new weighted averages
for the mean rating differences across all observational areas.
The standard error of the mean and the 95 percent confidence  interval
about the mean rating differences were then computed for each
scale point.

      When a plot of the mean rating differences versus the scale
points was made, it was found to exhibit a curvilinear relationship
somewhat different than originally hypothesized.   The plotted data
exhibited the following shape for  each of the three rating scales.
                        23456

                       RATING SCALE POINTS
                              150

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The data thus revealed fairly close agreement between raters at
the lowest scale point.  The amount of variation between raters
tended to  increase rapidly between scale points 1 and 3 and then
tended to  stabilize at the higher scale points.  Thus, the close
agreement that was expected at the upper end of the scale did not
materialize.

      The relationship between the mean rating differences and
the rating scale points was then estimated statistically using
least-squares techniques to fit a curve of the form:
                          Y  =  a - b/X
where     X =  the rating scale point
           Y -  the mean difference associated with the given
                 scale point.
The resultant regression equations provided a good fit to the data.
All had regression coefficients that were significant at the .001 level.

      The procedures described above may be summarized in
mathematical notation for each observational area as follows:
      (1)   Let:  d     =  absolute difference between Raters 1
                          and 2 of each rater pair at the i*  ob-
                          servation point, assuming Rater 1 is
                          correct in his assignment of rating j

                 d-9.   =  absolute difference between Raters 1
                          and 2 of each rater pair at the i^1 ob-
                          servation point, assuming Rater 2 is
                          correct in his assignment of rating j
      (2)   Then,  the mean difference for the j   rating point on
           the scale,  assuming Rater 1 of each rater pair is
           correct, (m .) is:
                             m
                               151

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           and, the mean discrepancy for the j   rating point on
           the"scale, assuming Rater 2 of each rater pair is
           correct, (m~.) is:
                             m2j  =
      (3)   The mean discrepancy across all pairs of raters for
           the jth rating point (MD  ) is:
                               .
                            tj      n   +  n2.
      (4)   And the variance of the mean discrepancy at the j
                                   2         2
                             n. . SD . + n_. SD_.
                                   , . + n_. - 2
                                   1]    2]
      (5)   And the 95 percent confidence interval for the mean
           discrepancy at the j   point is:
                       MD,.  + 1.96
                                    Vn. . + n
                                       1]    2]
Consistency Among Raters — Counts

      To assess the reliability of measurements that required the
observers to count the number of similar type items that were
present (e.g., bulk items, abandoned vehicles), the following pro-
cedure was developed: we would determine for each count value
the percent of instances in which there was complete agreement
                             152

-------
between pairs of raters, the percent of instances in which they
disagreed by 2 counts,  and so forth.

      The technique proposed to handle this issue was similar to
that proposed to handle the question of consistency when rating
scales were used.  The only difference was that  instead of looking
at the mean difference for each count value,  we would be looking
at percent of observations that differ by 0, 1, 2, etc.  at each
count value.  Percentages were to be used rather than mean dif-
ferences because, whereas it makes sense to speak of a garbage
rating of 3.5,  it makes  no  sense to speak of 3.5 bulk items.

      However,  when the data on measurements  that required
counts were reviewed,  it became apparent that the agreement was
so close that further analysis of the reliability of these measure-
ments was unnecessary.  That is, raters were found to be in agree-
ment  97 percent of the time or better when it came to  assessing
the number of similar type items that were present.
Consistency Among Raters—Yes-No Type Measurements

      To determine the reliability of measurements that required
an assessment of the presence or  absence of a given condition
(e.g., rat indicators, odors),  chi-square tests were performed.
In all cases the results indicated a close  degree association be-
tween the responses of paired observers  at the .001 significance
level. The percent of agreement was also quite high—96 percent
of the time or better  raters were in complete agreement.
ESTIMATING VARIANCE COMPONENTS FOR A CENSUS TRACT

      In making statistical inferences about a geographical area
(e.g., the mean garbage rating for a census block, census tract,
sanitation district, etc. ), it must be recognized that there are a
number of sources of variability  that can affect the estimate,  rater
inconsistency being only one of these.  These other sources of
variability include: variation among points in a block, variation
among blocks in a tract, variation among tracts within a stratum,
etc.
                             153

-------
      To the extent that these other sources of variability are
large relative to the variation caused by rater inconsistency, the
disagreement  among raters takes on less significance.  For this
reason, the analysis phase of the project included an attempt to
estimate the relative contribution of the following variance com-
ponents to the total variance of a tract mean:
      •    Variation among blocks in the tract

      •    Variation among observers

      •    Random sources of variation.
The data collected for the common tract, where all observers
went each day, were used to perform the analysis.

      The technique employed to estimate the above variance com-
ponents may be summarized by the statements provided below.
      (1)   A model for the observation taken by the j   observer
           in the i  block was postulated:
                          y..  = u + b. + r. + e..
                           !J         i    J    ij
           where     y..  =  average block value recorded by
                        13     the jth rater for the ith block

                      u   =  true mean score for the tract

                      b.   =  block effect

                      r.   =  rater effect
                        J
                      e..  =  random effect
      (2)   The distribution was assumed to be such that the ex
           pected values and the variances for b^, r.:,  and e^
           would be as follows:
                              2
                           0, a    for the b.
                              b           i
                             154

-------
                      0, o   for the r.
                         r          J
                      0, cr   for the e..
                         e          i]
(3)    Thus, an estimate of the mean score for the tract
      would be provided by:
                  y-
                           rb
      where
                 r

                 b
     average tract value

     average block value recorded by
     the j""1 observer for the i/"1 block

     number  of raters

     number  of blocks
(4)    And the variance of y... would be:
a2  = a2
 y...   b
       b
                                  a2 + a2
                                   r    e
                                   r   rb
(5)   By performing an analysis of variance, the expected
     value of the mean squares (EMS) associated with the
     sources of variation indicated in (4) was obtained.
     The relationship between the  EMS and the above vari-
     ance components is:
           For blocks:

           For raters:
           EMS,
           EMS
A2      A2
a   + r <7,
 e       b
£2  ,  u A2
o   + b o
 e       r
     —    For the error term:  EMS
                        155

-------
      (6)   The equations listed in (5) were solved in a simul-
           taneous fashion and estimates of a^, OT, and ae
           were developed.

      (7)   The values of the variances obtained in (6) were then
           substituted into (4) to estimate the total variance of
           y...  and its components: a, , ar, and ae .
                                    b   r      rb
ASSESSING THE ACCURACY OF OBSERVERS

      Accuracy refers to the degree to which the measured value
approaches the true value.  In the case of the rating scales, the
true value  of conditions at a given site would be the average value
across an infinite population of observers looking at the same site.
As an approximation of the true value, the mean rating across the
10 observers can be used.

      Thus, in order to get an idea of how  accurate each observer
was, we used the data  from the common tract where an average
value across 10 observers could be made.  Specifically, we com-
pared the tract rating for a given observer with the overall tract
rating that resulted when an average value was estimated across
all observers.  The 95 percent confidence  interval about each
observer's mean value was also computed.  In addition, we com-
pared the average block ratings for each observer with the  overall
block ratings.
DETERMINING THE CORRELATIONS

      Correlation analysis was used to test the degree of association
between:
           Similar variables measured in each of the six obser-
           vational areas for which data were collected.

           Different variables measured within the same obser-
           vational area.
                             156

-------
This was done in order to determine whether it was possible to
reduce the number of observational areas for which measure-
ments should be made and/or the number of different variables.

      In both instances,  the correlation matrices were developed
on the basis of the Pearson product-moment correlation coeffi-
cient.  This is a measure of association that can be used when
the variables  represent at least an ordered continuum of some
kind (low to high, agree  to disagree, etc. ).  It was selected be-
cause it is more powerful than other tests of association;  that
is,  the probability of making a correct inference based on the
value of the correlation coefficient is higher for this type of test
than for others.
Correlations Among Variables Across Observational Areas

      In measuring the correlations among the six observational
areas—blockfaces, private ways, alleys, storage areas,  back-
yards, and lots — the average garbage, glass,  and refuse  ratings
were computed for each of the 100 blocks that were surveyed.
From these averages, simple correlation coefficients were de-
veloped to reflect the strength of the relationship between the
garbage ratings in blockfaces and the garbage ratings in each of
the other  areas.  Simple correlation coefficients were also de-
veloped to assess the strength of the relationship between glass
and refuse ratings in blockfaces and those in other observational
areas.  In a similar manner, correlations were  developed between
ratings in alleys and those in the other observational areas, and
so forth.
Correlations Among Variables in the Same Observational Area

      Simple correlation coefficients among the variables were
developed for blockface and alley conditions.  The analysis was
performed only for these two observational areas because when
the results of the correlation analysis across observational areas
were reviewed, conditions in these two areas were found to be
related at statistically significant levels to conditions in the other
observational areas included in the field test.
                               157

-------
DEVELOPING THE COMPOSITE MEASURES

      As described in Chapter IV, it was decided to utilize the
following techniques to develop indices of solid waste effective-
ness:
      (1)   Have the observers assign a composite (or global)
           rating to each area they surveyed at the same time
           they made measurements of the individual variables.
           In assigning the composite rating,  the observers were
           to use an 8-point scale,  with 1 representing the most
           favorable overall conditions and 8 representing the
           most unfavorable overall conditions.

      (2)   Use regression techniques to estimate the functional
           forms corresponding to the three types of decision
           models.  In the regressions, the composite rating
           was to be used as the dependent variable;  the other
           variables were to be used as the independent  variables.

      (3)   Compare the resultant regressions to determine the
           most appropriate decision model and use this to
           formulate an index of solid waste effectiveness.
      In implementing this approach, the following general forms
were used to specify the three decision models.
             Type of
              Model             Functional Form

                                        n
           Linear          Y,  =  a_  +  A-< b „ Z
                             1      1     i=l  il  i
                                        n
           Conjunctive   InY   =  a   +  .   b.0ln(Z.)
                            <^     ^     i— 1  i&    i
                                        n
           Disjunctive   LnY   =  a0  +  A*  b._ln(^>. - Z.)
                            o     3     i=l  i3    i    i
                              158

-------
where     Y   =  dependent variable
           Z^   =  independent variables
           a.   -  regression constant
           b-   =  regression coefficients
           ^.   =  asymtotic values associated with each inde-
                   pendent variable for the disjunctive model.
      In developing the estimating equations associated with the
above functional forms, we let:
      Y   =  9 - E     (where E was the value of the composite
                       rating, along a scale of 1-8)

      Z.   =  8 - X.     (where Xj was the value of the measured
                       variables, each scaled so that the lowest
                       value was 1 and the highest value was 7)

      4>i   =  7.07
That is, we used a reverse scaling of the variables.

      The estimating equations for the three types of decision
models that resulted from application of least-squares techniques
thus became:
             Type of
              Model              Estimating Equation

                                        n

           Linear          ^1  =  al +  i?!^!^"^
                                        n
           Conjunctive   InY   =  a  +  .4* b  ln(8-X.)
                            Z     Z    1~ J.  l
-------
                                                        A
      In all of these formulations, the higher the value of Yj, the
better the overall conditions.  In the case of the conjunctive model,
one can say that all of the measured variables (Xj) must be no
worse than a given level.  In the case of the disjunctive model,
one can say at least one of the measured  variables must be no
worse than a given level.

      Stepwise linear regression techniques were used in estima-
ting the equations.  Variables significant at the .05 level or greater
were retained.  The equations were estimated both for selected
observers and for the group  as a whole.  The latter estimations
were developed by averaging the values that individual observers
assigned to the areas they inspected in the common tract.

      The resultant equations were then transformed into indices
that could take on values between 0 and 1.  This was done by first
finding the maximum value for YJ;  i. e.,  the value that would be
obtained when the X^ values are at their minimum.  This was
assigned the value of Yj(max).  Next, the value for Yj(mm\ was
found; i. e., the value that would be obtained when the Xj values
are at their maximum.   We then set Yj(min) = zero and Yj(max) = 1.
The intermediate scale values were determined by application of
the following formula:
A
                              \  /
                  j      j(min))//
                              '/ ( "j(max)    J"j(min)
                 Y        - Y      1
                 -*• -i	\     i ./  .  \ I
           A
where     Y.   =   value predicted by the regression equation
             3      (j = 1,  2, 3).
                            160

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                            APPENDIX F

                  TABLES,  CHARTS, AND GRAPHS
                     THAT SUPPORT FINDINGS
      This appendix contains a number of detailed charts, tables,
and graphs that support the findings presented in Chapter VI.  The
tabular displays are presented first, followed by figures that con-
tain the charts and graphs.
                            161

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Table F-l.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR BULK ITEMS
 BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
Storage Areas
Backyards
Lots
%
Where
None
Observed
99.6
95.7
83.0
92. 3
80. 6
69.0
%
Where
1
Observed
0.3
2.3
9.3
3.2
8.4
6.9
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.1
1.6
6.1
4.0
7.2
13.8
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.4
1.6
0.5
3.8
10.3
Total
Observations
747
735
313
572
692
58
Table F-2.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR BULK ITEMS
  BY AREA OF OBSERVATION —COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
%
Where
None
Observed
99.4
93.6
72.5
%
Where
1
Observed
0.6
4.7
12.1
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
1.7
15.4
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations
348
343
182
                           162

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Table F-3.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR DEAD ANIMALS
  BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Bio ckf aces
Private Ways
Alleys
Storage Areas
Backyards
Lots
%
Where
None
Observed
99.3
99. 3
97.8
99.8
99.7
98. 3
%
Where
1
Observed
0.7
0.7
1.6
0.2
0.3
1.7
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations
747
735
313
574
694
58
Table F-4.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR DEAD ANIMALS
   BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
%
Where
None
Observed
99.1
98. 5
92.9
%
Where
1
Observed
0.9
1.5
5.5
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
0.0
1.6
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations
348
343
183
                           163

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 Table F-5.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR ABANDONED VEHICLES
       BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Bio ckf aces
Private Ways
Alleys
Storage Areas
Backyards
Lots
%
Where
None
Observed
100.0
100.0
97.7
NA
98.3
86.2
%
Where
1
Observed
0.0
0.0
1.0
NA
1.7
10.3
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
0.0
1.3
NA
0.0
3.5
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
NA
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations
747
735
313
NA
694
58
Table F-6.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR ABANDONED VEHICLES
       BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation
Bio ckf aces
Private Ways
Alleys
%
Where
None
Observed
100.0
100.0
98.9
%
Where
1
Observed
0.0
0.0
1.1
%
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
%
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations
348
343
183
                               164

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 Table F-7.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR CLOGGED DRAIN BASINS
       BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation

Blockfaces
Alleys
Where
None
Observed
93.3
98.7
Where
1
Observed
6.6
1.3
Where
2-5
Observed
0.1
0.0
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations

746
313
Table F-8.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR CLOGGED DRAIN BASINS
       BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation

Blockfaces
Alleys
Where
None
Observed
90.2
100.0
Where
1
Observed
9.8
0.0
Where
2-5
Observed
0.0
0.0
Where More
Than 5
Observed
0.0
0.0
Total
Observations

348
183
                                165

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Table F-9.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR FIRE HAZARDS
   BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
Storage Areas
Backyards
Lots
%
Where No
Fire Hazard
Observed
100.0
99.6
94.6
98.3
94.4
93.1
%
Where Minor
Fire Hazard
Observed
0.0
0.3
4.5
1.0
4.0
6.9
%
Where Major
Fire Hazard
Observed
0.0
0.1
1.0
0.7
1.6
0.0
Total
Observations
747
735
313
574
694
58
Table F-10.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR FIRE HAZARDS
    BY AREA OF OBSERVATION —COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
%
Where No
Fire Hazard
Observed
100.0
100.0
88.6
%
Where Minor
Fire Hazard
Observed
0.0
0.0
10. 9
%
Where Major
Fire Hazard
Observed
0.0
0.0
0.5
Total
Observations
348
343
183
                            166

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Table F-ll.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR RAT INDICATORS
    BY AREA OF OBSERVATION —ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Blockfaces
Private Ways
Alleys
Storage Areas
Backyards
Lots
%
Where No Rat
Indicators
Present
98.9
93.2
67.4
91.3
81.4
72.4
%
Where Rat
Indicators
Present
1.1
6.8
32. 6
8.7
18.6
27. 6
Total
Observations
747
735
313
574
694
58
Table F-12.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR RAT INDICATORS
     BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—COMMON TRACT ONLY
Area of
Observation
Blockface
Private Ways
Alleys
%
Where No Rat
Indicators
Present
97.7
80. 5
29.5
%
Where Rat
Indicators
Present
2.3
19.5
70. 5
Total
Observations
348
343
183
                           167

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Table F-13.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR INSECT INDICATORS
     BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation

Storage Areas
Where No Insect
Indicators
Present
99.8
Where Insect
Indicators
Present
0.2
Total
Ob s ervations

574
      Table F-14.  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR ODORS
     BY AREA OF OBSERVATION—ALL TRACTS IN SAMPLE
Area of
Observation
Storage Areas
%
Where No Odors
Present
96.0
%
Where Odors
Present
4.0
Total
Observations
574
                          168

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Table F-15.  GARBAGE RATING SUMMARY STATISTICS
        FOR CONSISTENCY AMONG RATERS
Scale
Point
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mean
Rating
Difference
.1360
.7022
1.1020
1.4000
1.5780
1.1819
1.5909
Variance
a2
.2676
.5025
1.0298
. 8000
1.8403
1.1637
2. 9840
Standard
Deviation
a
.5173
.7089
1.0148
.8944
1.3566
1.0788
1.7274
95% Confidence
Interval About
the Mean
Difference
+.0143
+ .0766
+.0813
+.3333
+.2142
+.7151
+. 4254
Total
Number of
Comparisons
5052
329
598
30
154
11
66
                       169

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Table F-16.  GLASS RATING SUMMARY STATISTICS
       FOR CONSISTENCY AMONG RATERS
Scale
Point
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mean
Rating
Difference
. 2599
.7871
1.0956
1.1899
1.1975
1.0308
1.5108
Variance
a2
. 5439
. 6702
1.4112
.7791
1.3714
. 9679
3.1741
Standard
Deviation
a
.7375
.8187
1.1879
.8827
1.1711
.9838
1.7816
95% Confidence
Interval About
the Mean
Difference
+.0247
+.0733
+.0664
+.1376
+.1047
+. 2442
+.1705
Total
Number of
Comparisons
3410
749
1224
158
481
65
419
                    170

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Table F-17.  REFUSE RATING SUMMARY STATISTICS
        FOR CONSISTENCY AMONG RATERS
Scale
Point
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mean
Rating
Difference
.4163
. 8705
. 8694
1.1173
1. 3270
1.1409
1. 2463
Variance
a2
.7957
. 9282
1.1119
.8319
1. 2424
1.1228
2. 5734
Standard
Deviation
a
.8920
.9634
1.0545
. 9121
1.1146
1.0596
1 . 6042
95% Confidence
Interval About
the Mean
Difference
+.0376
+ .0710
+. 0504
+.1082
+. 0808
+. 2'±89
+.1278
Total
Number of
Comparisons
2162
710
1684
0 7 o
£j t jj
731
71
605
                     171

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                 Table F-18.  BLOCKFACE ESTIMATING EQUATIONS
                  FOR LINEAR,  CONJUNCTIVE,  AND DISJUNCTIVE
                            MODELS FOR OBSERVER 1
Type of
Model
Linear
Conjunctive
Disjunctive

A
E =
A
lnE =
A
lnE =
a
Estimating Equations
(all coefficients significant at . 001
-.48 + .5lX1 + -45X +
1 "
-.14 +.56 In (X, ) + .441n(XJ +
1 &
2.93 - .19 In (7.07-X, ) - .24 In (7.07-XJ -
JL &
level)
.25X3
,191n(X3)
.841n(7.07-X )
•o
H2
.911
.845
.594
a  A
E = blockface composite rating; Xj = blockface refuse rating;
glass rating;  Xs = blockface garbage rating.
                                                                 = blockface
                 Table F-19.  BLOCKFACE ESTIMATING EQUATIONS
                  FOR LINEAR, CONJUNCTIVE, AND DISJUNCTIVE
                             MODELS FOR OBSERVER 2
Type of
Model
Linear
Conjunctive
Disjunctive
(all
A
E =
A
lnE =
A
lnE =
a
Estimating Equations
coefficients significant at . 001 level)
.72 + .45X1 +
.27 + .38 In (X1) +
2.17 - .58 In (7.07-Xj) -
.25X2
.34 In (X2)
.30 In (7.07-X )
Zj
R2
.733
.706
.631
       a  A
          E = blockface composite rating;  Xj = blockface refuse rating;  X2
          blockface glass rating.
                                      172

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         Table F-20.  BLOCKFACE ESTIMATING EQUATIONS
          FOR LINEAR,  CONJUNCTIVE, AND DISJUNCTIVE
                     MODELS FOR OBSERVER 6
Type of
Model
Linear
Conjunctive
Disjunctive
(all
A
E
A
InE
A
InE
cL
Estimating Equations
coefficients significant at . 01 level)
= 1.57 + .28X + .26X
J. Zi
= .59 + .23 In (X ) + .291n (X )
= 1.31 - .191n (7.07-X )
<£
R2
.508
.541
.214
      E = blockface composite rating;  Xi = blockface refuse
      rating;  X2 = blockface glass rating.
         Table F-21.  BLOCKFACE ESTIMATING EQUATIONS
           FOR LINEAR,  CONJUNCTIVE,  AND DISJUNCTIVE
                     MODELS FOR OBSERVER 7
Type of
Model
Linear
Conjunctive
Disjunctive

A
E
A
InE
A
InE
(all
= 1.67 +
= .79 +
= 3.85
a
Estimating Equations
coefficients significant at - 01 level)
.19X1 +.
.231n(X ) + .

O c -V" 4. co v
43 A T . O^A.
& o
251n(X )
lOln (7.07-X ) -1.391n(7.07-Xg)
R2
.595
.529
.449
E = blockface composite rating;  Xj = blockface refuse rating;
X2 = blockface glass rating; X3 = blockface garbage rating.
                              173

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      Table F-22.  BLOCKFACE ESTIMATING EQUATIONS
       FOR LINEAR, CONJUNCTIVE, AND DISJUNCTIVE
                 MODELS FOR OBSERVER 10
Type of
Model
Linear
Conjunctive
Disjunctive
(all
A
E =
InE =
A
InE =
a
Estimating Equations
coefficients significant at . 001 level)
.31 + .39 X + .22 X2
-.02 + .42 In (X) + .281n(X)
J. ^
2.13 - .321n (7.07-X ) - .771n (7.07-X )
-L &
R2
.692
.654
.539
a  A
   E = blockface composite rating;  X]_ = blockface refuse rating;
   X2 = blockface glass rating.
                                17'

-------
tf
W
CO
n
o
s
H
fc
o
H
U
P3
     100
     90
CO
§    "
     70
     60
     50
     40
     30
     20
     10
           Garbage

           Rating
           80.9
                            Glass

                           Rating
                             54.7
Refuse

Rating
                                                  38.4
           1  2,3 4,5 6,7        1  2,3 4,5 6,7        1  2,3 4,5 6,7



                      RATING SCALE POINTS
Figure F-l:  Frequency Distribution for Garbage, Glass, and

              Refuse Rating Scales — All Tracts in Sample
                             175

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CO
I
«
W
CO
H
O
H

fe
O

EH
13
H
O
rt
W
    100
     90
     80
70
     60
     50
30
     20
     10
     Garbage

      Rating
     63.0

     r
                 5.7
                    2.8
Glass

Rating
                           40.3
                             15.0
  L

Refuse

Rating
                                             41.2
            1  2,3 4,5 6,7        1  2,3 4,5 6,7        1   2,3  4,5  6,7


                      RATING  SCALE  POINTS
Figure F-2:  Frequency Distribution for Garbage,  Glass, and

              Refuse Rating Scales — Common Tract Only
                            176

-------
    7.00
    6.00
 w  5.00
 o

 u.

 o
 O

 CO
 -  4.00
 O
 o
 3
 cc
 <
 CD
3.00
    2.00
    1.00
5
j_
I
T
<
I f
i
T -
Mean Blockface
Garbage Rating
-r* Across All Raters
t I T I i--
                           456

                              RATERS
                                                     10
Figure F-3:  Average Garbage Rating for Blockfaces in the Common

             Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confidence

             interval about the rater means)
                                 177

-------
     7.00
 f/J
 111
 o
o
o
00
o
cc
8
     6.00
     5.00
     4.00
     3.00
     2.00
     1.00
                                                              Mean Blockface
                                                              Glass Rating
                                                              Across All Raters
                                                              = 3.42
                              456
                                 RATERS
                                                             10
Figure F-4:  Average Glass Rating for Blockfaces in the Common
              Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confidence
              interval about the rater means)
                                      178

-------
    7.00
    6.00
_   5.00
co
 o
 o

 m  4.00
 GO
 D
 u.
 LII
 DC
     3.00
     2.00
     1.00
                                                             Mean Blockfaca

                                                             Refuse Rating

                                                             Across All Raters
                                                               3.51
        0123456789    10

                                RATERS
Figure F-5r  Average Refuse Rating for Blockfaces in the Common

              Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confidence

              interval about the rater means)
                                  179

-------
 <
 cc
 cc
 <
 CD
 <
 111
     7.00
     6.00
     5.00
     4.00
     3.00
     2.00
     1.00
123456
                   RATERS
                                                              Mean Alley
                                                              Garbage Rating
                                                              Across All Raters
                                                               3.15
                                                             10
Figure F-6:  Average Garbage Rating for Alleys in the Common
              Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confidence
              interval about the rater means)
                                  180

-------
     7.00
     6.00
     5.00
 CO
     4.00
 co
 CO
 a
 <
 LJJ
     3.00
     2.00
     1.00
                                                             Mean Alley
                                                             Glass Rating
                                                             Across Raters
                                                              = 5.02
                             456

                                RATERS
10
Figure F-7:  Average Glass Rating for Alleys in the Common
              Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confidence
              interval about the rater means)
                                   181

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<
cc
CO


LL
UJ

DC
<
LLI
    7.00
    6.00
    5.00
    4.00
3.00
    2.00
    1.00
                                                              Mean Allay

                                                              Refuse Rating

                                                              Across Raters
                                                              = 5.31
       01     23456789    10

                                RATERS
Figure F-8:  Average Refuse Rating for Alleys in the Common

              Tract:  Overall and by Rater (including 95% confi-

              dence interval  about the  rater means)
                                  182

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                             TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                       (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
 . REPORT NO

   EPA-670/2-74-082
            3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSI OWNO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE

MEASURES  OF EFFECTIVENESS  FOR  REFUSE STORAGE,
COLLECTION, AND TRANSPORTATION PRACTICES
             5. REPORT DATE
             November 1974;Issuing Date
            6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)


Messer Associates, Inc.
            8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS

 Messer  Associates, Inc.
 8555  16th  Street, Suite  706
 Silver  Spring, Maryland   20910
             10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.

             1DB063/ROAP 02AAE/Task  06
             11. CONTRACT/JSAAflW NO.


             68-03-0260
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 National  Environmental Research  Center
 Office  of Research and Development
 U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency
 Cincinnati,  Ohio  45268
             13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
             Final
             14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16-ABSTRACTPerhaps  between 75 t"o 80 percent  of  a  solid waste system cost  is
due to storage,  collection, and transportation,  the remainder being at-
:ributable to  disposal.  Given an adequate accounting system, the mone-
:ary costs of  a  solid waste management system  are much easier to compute
than are the benefits produced and the nonmonetary cost incurred.  Thus,
although a community may have an accurate estimate of what it is spend-
ing on its system,  it often is uncertain  as  to whether or not it is
receiving reasonable value in the benefits returned; i.e., it has little
or no idea of  its  "cost effectiveness."   This  report presents the result
of a project that  focused on the systematic  development of a set of meas-
ures and measurement tools that could be  used  to assess the effectiveness
of solid waste storage, collection, and transportation practices.  The
project included a  pilot test of the measurement methodology in an urban
community.  The  measurement system presented in  this report is intended
 o support municipal decision-makers who  have  responsibility for such
services as mixed  refuse collection, street  and  alley cleaning, sanitary
code enforcement,  sanitation education, and  other related activities.   It
provides a model or prototype that municipal representatives can use to
design effectiveness measures that are specific  to their own solid waste
management needs  and activities.  The report includes a comprehensive
List of candidate  effectiveness measures  along with the measurement tech-
liques and sampling procedures needed to  collect data to formulate the
Candidate measures.	
17.
                          KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
               DESCRIPTORS
                                      b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                          COSATI Field/Group
 *Measurement
  Refuse
  Storage
  Collection
  Transportation
  *Solid waste
    ment
  *Effeetiveness
    urements
manage-
  meas -
               13B
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
 RELEASE TO PUBLIC
                                      19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report)
                                        UNCLASSIFIED
                                                             21. NO. OF PAGES
                              201
  20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)

   UNCLASSIFIED
                                                             22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
183
                                         U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 197't-657-586/53n Reg ion No. 5-1

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