PB82-260837
River Basin Validation of the Water Quality
Assessment Methodology for Screening
Nondesignated  208  Areas.  Volume I
Nonpoint Source Load Estimation
Midwest Research  Inst.
Kansas City, MO
Prepared for

Environmental Research  Lab,
Athens, GA
May 82
                     U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
                  National Technical Information Service

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                                                     EPA 600/3-82-057a
                                                     May 1982
 RIVER  BASIN  VALIDATION  OF  THE WATER QUALITY ASSESSMENT
    METHODOLOGY  FOR SCREENING  NONDESIGNATED 208 AREAS

       Volume I:   Nonpoint  Source Load Estimation
                           by

Michael J. Davis, Michael K. Snyder, and John W. Nebgen

                Midwest  Research  Institute
                  425 Volker  Boulevard
               Kansas City,  Missouri   64110
                 Grant No. R806315-01-0
                    Project Officer

                   Robert B. Ambrose
     Technology Development and Applications Branch
           Environmental Research Laboratory
                Athens, Georgia  30613
           ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LABORATORY
           OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
          U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                ATHENS. GEORGIA  30613

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                                  TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                           (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
     EPA-600/3-82-057a
                             2.
                                                          3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
                     ORD Report
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 River Basin Validation of  the  Water Quality Assessment
 Methodology for Screening  Nondesignated 208 Areas
 Volume I:  Nonpoint Source Load Estimation
                                              5. REPORT DATE
                                                    May 1982
                                              6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)
 Michael J.
Davis, Michael K.  Snyder,  and John W. Nebgen
                                                          8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
 Midwest Research  Institute
 425 Volker Boulevard
 Kansas City, Missouri   64110
                                              10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                                  ACUL1A
                                              11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                                                 R806315-01-0
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 Environmental Research  Laboratory—Athens GA
 Office of Research  and  Development
 U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
 Athens, Georgia   30613
                                                           13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                  Final,  9/79-11/81
                                              14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                                  EPA/600/01
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES •
 River Basin Validation  of the Water Quality Assessment  Methodology for Screening
 Nondesignated 208 Areas,  Volume II: Chesapeake-Sandusky Nondesignated 208 Screening
16. ABSTRACT
          Methodology  Demonstration.
       In earlier work  under the .sponsorship of EPA,  loading functions were developed
 by Midwest Research  Institute (MRI) for estimating  the  quantities of different diffuse
 loads entering  receiving waters from nonpoint sources and a screening methodology was
 produced by Tetra  Tech,  Inc., for assessing water quality problems in areas not covere
 under Section 208  of the Federal  Water Pollution Control  Act Amendments of 1972.  The
 two methods had never  been applied together under realistic conditions, however, to
 demonstrate how the  combined techniques might be used for identification of water
 quality problems in  U.S. rivers.

       In this volume,  the successful application of the MRI-developed nonpoint loading
 procedures under field conditions in five river basins  is described and the compati-
 bility of these procedures with the 208 screening methodology is demonstrated.
 Volume II describes  the application of the Tetra Tech-developed nondesignated 208
 screening methodology  to the same river basins.  The basins in which the assessment
 techniques were used were the Sandusky River in Ohio and four Chesapeake Bay Basins  .
 (Patuxent, Chester,  Occoquan, and Ware Rivers).
17.
                               KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                 b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS  C. COSATI Field/Group
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

  RELEASE  TO PUBLIC
                                 19. SECURITY CLASS (This Report}
                                    UNCLASSIFIED
                                                            21. NO. OF PAGES
15?
                                             20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)

                                                UNCLASSIFIED
                                                                        22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)

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                     NOTICE

Mention of trade names or commercial products does not
constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

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                                  FOREWORD

      As environmental controls become more costly to implement and the
penalties of judgment errors become more severe, environmental quality
management requires more efficient analytical tools based on greater knowledge
of the environmental phenomena to be managed.  As part of this Laboratory's
research on the occurrence, movement, transformation, impact, and control of
environmental contaminants, the Technology Development and Applications
Branch develops management and engineering tools to help pollution control
officials achieve water quality goals through watershed management.

      In earlier work sponsored by EPA, water quality assessment techniques
were developed for characterizing pollution problems in nondesignated 208
areas and loading functions were developed for estimating quantities of
different pollutants entering receiving water bodies from nonpoint sources.
It appeared that these two tools used in concert might provide an adequate
set of methods for screening nondesignated 208 areas by simple hand calcula-
tion procedures.  This report describes the application of both methods to
the identification of water quality problem areas in several river basins
in the United States.

                                      David W. Duttweiler
                                      Director
                                      Environmental Research Laboratory
                                      Athens, Georgia
                                     n i

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                                   ABSTRACT

     In earlier work under the sponsorship of EPA, loading functions were
developed by Midwest Research Institute (MRI) for estimating the quantities
of different diffuse loads entering receiving water bodies from nonpoint
sources and a screening methodology was produced by Tetra Tech, Inc., for
assessing water quality problems in areas not covered under Section 208 of
the Federal Water Pollution Control Act Amendments of 1972.  The two methods
had never been applied together under realistic conditions, however, to
demonstrate how the combined techniques might be used for identification of
water quality problems in U.S. rivers.

     In this volume, the successful application of the MRI-developed nonpoint
loading procedures under field conditions in five river basins is described
and the compatibility of these procedures with the 208 screening methodology
is demonstrated.  Volume II describes the application of the Tetra Tech-devel-
oped nondesignated 208 screening methodology to the same river basins.  The
basins in which the assessment techniques were used were the Sandusky River
in Ohio and four Chesapeake Bay Basins (Patuxent, Chester, Occoquan, and
Ware Rivers).

     This  report was submitted in  fulfillment of Grant No. R806315-01-0 by
Midwest Research Institute under the  sponsorship of the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency.  The report covers the period September 1979 to March 1981,
and work was completed as of November 1981.

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                                   CONTENTS

Figures	      ix
Tables	       x
     1.    Introduction	       1
          1.1  Background	       1
          1.2  Purpose and Scope	       2
          1.3  Format and Organization	       3
     2.    Demonstration of Methods	       6-
          2.1  Demonstration Example:   The Sandusky River Basin ....       6
               2.1.1  Character of the Basin	       6
               2.1.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology - An
                        Overview	       9
               2.1.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources	      12
                      2.1.3.1  Parameter Evaluation 	      12
                               2.1.3.1.1 .Rainfall Factor (R) 	      13
                               2.1.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K) .      15
                               2.1.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S) .  .  .      16
                               2.1.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C)	      17
                               2.1.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P) .      23
                               2.1.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Sandusky
                                            Basin	      24
                               2.1.3.1.7  Nutrients 	      29
                                          2.1.3.1.7.1  Determination of
                                                         Enrichment
                                                         Ratio	      30
                                          2.1.3.1.7.2  Nutrient Concen-
                                                         tration. ...      30
                                          2.1.3.1.7.3  Rainfall
                                                         Nitrogen ...      32
                               2.1.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio ...      33
                      2.1.3.2  Load Determination 	      34

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     2.1.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources	      37
            2.1.4.1  Combined Sewer Overflows—Methodology.  .      37
            2.1.4.2  Character of the Urban Areas of the
                       Sandusky River Basin 	      40
            2.1.4.3  Load Estimation	      41
     2.1.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality	      48
2.2  Demonstration Example:  The Chester River Basin	      48
     2.2.1  Character of the Basin	      48
     2.2.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology - An
              Overview	      51
     2.2.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources	      51
            2.2.3.1  Parameter Evaluation 	      51-
                     2.2.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor 	      51
                     2.2.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)  .      53
                     2.2.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S) .  .  .      53
                     2.2.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C). ......      54
                     2.2.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)  .      57
                     2.2.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Chester
                               .   River Basin 	      57
                     2.2.3.1.7  Nutrients 	      58
                     2.2.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio ....      59
            2.2.3.2  Load Determination 	      59
     2.2.4  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality	      60
2.3  Demonstration Example:  Patuxent River Basin 	      60
     2.3.1  Character of the Basin	      60
     2.3.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology—An
              Overview	      61
     2.3.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources	      63
            2.3.3.1  Parameter Evaluation 	      63
                     2.3.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R) 	      63
                     2.3.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)  .      63
                     2.3.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S) .  .  .      66
                     2.3.3.1.4  Over Factor (C)	      66
                     2.3.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)  .      68
                            VI

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                     2.3.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Patuxent
                                  River Basin	      68
                     2.3.3.1.7  Nutrients 	      71
                     2.3.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio ...      72
            2.3.3.2  Load Determination 	      72
     2.3.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources	      73
     2.3.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality	      73
2.4  Demonstration Example:   Ware River Basin 	      74
     2.4.1  Character of the Basin	      74
     2.4.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology—An
              Overview	      74
     2.4.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources	      76
            2.4.3.1  Parameter Evaluation 	      76
                     2.4.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R) 	      76
                     2.4.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)  .      77
                     2.4.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S) .  .  .      77
                 '   ' 2.4.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C).	      77
                     2.4.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)  .      79
                     2.4.3.1.6 .Land Use Within the Ware
                                  River Basin	      79
                     2.4.3.1.7  Nutrients	      79
                     2.4.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio ...      79
            2.4.3.2  Load Determination 	      79
     2.4.4  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality	      80
2.5  Demonstration Example:   Occoquan River Basin 	      80
     2.5.1  Character of the Basin	      80
     2.5.2  Nonpoint Source Load Estimation Methodology-An
              Overview	      81
     2.5.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources	      83
            2.5.3.1  Parameter Evaluation 	      83
                     2.5.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R) 	      83
                     2.5.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)  .      84
                     2.5.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S) .  .  .      84
                     2.5.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C)	      84
                     2.5.3.1.5  Support Practice Factors (P).      86

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                               2.5.3.1.6  Land Use With the Occoquan
                                            River Basin	      87
                               2.5.3.1.7  Nutrients 	      87
                               2.5.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio ...      88
                      2.5.3.2  Load Determination 	      88
               2.5.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources	      88
               2.5.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality	      89
     3.    Determination of Nutrient Fluxes in Streams, With Case
            Studies of the Potomac and Susquehanna Rivers 	      90
          3.1  Introduction	      90
          3.2  Methodology	      90
          3.3  Case Study:  Potomac River Basin 	      95
          3.4  Case Study:  Susquehanna River Basin 	     105
          3.5  Discussion	     114
     4.    Discussion and Conclusions.	     117
          4.1  Data Availability	     117
         '4.2  Value of Parameter Refinement	     118
          4.3  Sensitivity Analysis 	     119
          4.4  Level of Effort Required in an Application 	     121
          4.5  Verification of the Load Estimation Procedures 	     121
          4.6  Future Applications	  .     121
          4.7  Use of the Load Estimation Methodology in Specialized
                 Applications 	     122
          4.8  Attainment of the Goals of the Study	     122
          4.9  Impact of Methodological Shortcomings on an Assessment .     123
References	     125
Appendix   I.  P Factors, Slopes, and Slope Lengths Used in Chapter 2 .     128
Appendix  II.  Soil and Nutrient Loss Calculations for Chapter 3.  ...     143
Appendix III.  English to Metric Conversions for Volume I 	     145

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                                    FIGURES
Number                                                                    Page

2-1       Sandusky River Basin	       7
2-2       Chester River Basin and Subbasins 	  	      50
2-3       Patuxent River Basin and Subbasins	      62
2-4       Ware River Basin and Subbasins	      75
2-5       Occoquan River Basin and Subbasins	      82
3-1       Potomac River Basin 	      97
3-2       Susquehanna River Basin 	     106
                                      IX

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                                    TABLES
Number                                                                    Page

2-1       Sandusky River Subbasins	      8
2-2       Evaluation of EI3o for the Sandusky Basin	     14
2-3       Average K Factor Values by Subbasin for the Sandusky	     16
2-4       Agricultural Data for Counties in the Sandusky Basin in 1975.     17
2-5       Estimated Areas of Principal Crop Rotations by County in the
            Sandusky River Basin for 1975	     19
2-6       Determination of Cover Factor for Corn After Soybeans by Crop
            Stage	     20
2-7       Cover Factors for Corn for the Sandusky Basin	     21
2-8       Cover Factors for Soybeans for the Sandusky Basin 	     21
2-9       Cover Factors for Grain for the Sandusky Basin	     22
2-10     ' Cover Factors by Event and by Crop for the Sandusky Basin .  .     23
2-11      Land Capability Classes and Land Uses	     25
2-12      Land Uses in the Sandusky Basin	     28
2-13      Soil Nutrient Concentrations in the Sandusky River Basin. .  .     31
2-14      Resolution Associated with Important Parameters in Rural
            Nonpoint Analysis 	     34
2-15      Estimated Stream Loading Rates for the Average Sandusky
            Event, Sediment Delivery Ration =0.1 	     36
2-16      Estimation of Loads Associated with Sanitary Sewage in Dry
            Weather Flow	     38
2-17      Sandusky River Basin Urban Areas	     41
2-18      Street Loading Rates for Bucyrus	     42
2-19      Estimated Annual Loads from Combined Sewer Overflows	     42
2-20      Estimated Annual Loads in Stormwater Runoff, Not in CSOs. .  .     43
2-21      Estimated Total Annual Urban Loads	     43
2-22      Comparison of Load Estimates for Bucyrus	     45
2-23      Average Unused Capacity of Plants During Dry Flow Period. .  .     45
2-24      Components of Combined Sewer Overflow Loads for Bucyrus ...     46
2-25      Comparison of CSO Loads for Bucyrus	     48

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                                TABLES (Cont'd)
Number                                                                    Page

2-26      Chester River Subbasins 	      49
2-27      Evaluation of EI30 for the Chester Basin	      52
2-28      Average K Factor Values by Subbasin and County for the
            Chester River 	      53
2-29      Agricultural Data for Counties in the Chester River Basin
            for 1973	      55
2-30      Cover Factors for Various Intervals for the Chester River
            Basin	      56
2-31      Soil Nutrient Concentrations in the Chester River Basin ...      58
2-32      Estimated Stream Loading Rates for the Average Chester
            Event, Sediment Delivery Ratio = 0.1	      60
2-33     ' Patuxent River Subbasins	      61
2-34      Evaluation of EI30 for the Patuxent Basin	      64
2-35      Average K Factor Values by Subbasin for the Patuxent Basin.  .      65
2-36      Agricultural Data for Counties in Patuxent River Basin in
            1973	:	  .      66
2-37      Estimated Areas of Principal Crop Rotations by County in
            Patuxent River Basin in 1973	      67
2-38      Cover Factors (C) for Crops by Rainfall Intervals and
            Counties for the Patuxent River Basin 	      69
2-39      Soil Nutrient Concentrations in the Patuxent River Basin.  .  .      71
2-40      Estimated Stream Loading Rates for the Average Patuxent
            Event, Sediment Delivery Ratio = 0.1	      72
2-41      Estimated Annual Loads for Urban Runoff:  Patuxent River
            Basin	      73
2-42      Ware River Subbasins	      74
2-43      Evaluation of EI30 for the Ware River Basin	      76
2-44      Agricultural Data for Glouchester County (Ware River Basin),
            Virginia for 1977	      78
                                      XI

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                                TABLES (Cont'd)
Number                                                                    Page

2-45      Cover Factors (C) by Rainfall Interval for the Ware River
            Basin	     78
2-46      Estimated Stream Loading Rates for the Average Ware Event;
            Sediment Delivery Ratio =0.1 	     80
2-47      Occoquan River Subbasins	     81
2-48      Evaluation of EI30 for the Occoquan Basin	     83
2-49      Agricultural Data for Counties in the Occoquan River Basin
            in 1973	"	     85
2-50      Estimated Areas of Principal Crop Rotations by County in the
            Occoquan River Basin for 1973	     86
2-51      Cover Factors (C) by Rainfall Interval and by Crop for the
            Occoquan River Basin	'."	     86
2-52      Soil Nutrient Concentrations in the Occoquan River Basin. .  .     88
2-53      Estimated Stream Loading Rates for the Average Occoquan
            Event	-	     89
2-54      Estimated Annual Loads from Urban Runoff:   Occoquan River
            Basin	     89
3-1       Potomac River Basin Subwatersheds 	     98
3-2       Suspended Sediment Discharges, Potomac River	     99
3-3       Estimates of Average Annual Phosphorus Flux at Great Falls
            From Nonpoint Sources 	    103
3-4       Sensitivity of Annual Phosphorus Flux Estimates to Streambank
            and Gully Erosion	    105
3-5       Susquehanna River Basin Subwatersheds .  .  .  	    107
3-6       Suspended Sediment Discharge at Harrisburg	    108
3-7       Estimates of Average Annual Phosphorus Flux Into Reservoir
            Behind Safe Harbor Dam	    Ill
3-8       Estimates of Rural Nonpoint Source Flux of Phosphorus at the
            Mouth of the Susquehanna	    113
3-9       Estimates of Average Annual Phosphorus Fluxes 	    116
                                      xn

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                                TABLES (Cont'd)
Number                                                                    Page

1-1       Practice Factors by Land Use and Land Capability Class for
            Each County	    129
1-2       Slope Length in Land Resource Area by Land Capability Class .    141
1-3       Slope in Land Resource Area by Land Capability Class	    142
II-l      Land Resource Areas Included in Study 	    144
III-l     English to Metric Conversion Factors	    145
                                     xm

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                                   CHAPTER 1

                                 INTRODUCTION
1.1  BACKGROUND

     In August 1977 the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) published a
document entitled  "Water Quality Assessment—A  Screening Method  for  Nondesig-
nated 208 Areas"  (EPA-600/9-77-023).   This document is a compendium of tech-
niques designed to aid in  the assessment  of water  quality problems  in  areas
other than  those  covered under Section 208 of  the  Federal  Water  Pollution
Control  Act Amendments of 1972.  Designated 208 areas are generally character-
ized by high concentrations of urban or industrial discharges, whereas nondes-
ignated 208 areas may encompass a wider spectrum of human activities and, hence,
a larger set of water quality, conditions..  These include agriculture and silvi-
culture, as well as industrial and municipal  activities.  As a result, methods
to assess water quality in nondesignated 208 areas must include not only the
capability to predict impacts from point sources but also impacts from diffuse
or nonpoint sources.

     In the above EPA document, Tetra Tech, Inc., brought together a number of
methods designed  to accommodate both urban and  non-urban nonpoint  sources, as
well as municipal  and  industrial point sources  of pollutants.  In  addition to
the assessment of effluent water quality,  the methodology provided for system-
atic routing  of these pollutants through  rivers  and  streams,  impoundments,
and estuary systems.  All algorithms were designed to be used as hand calcula-
tion tools.

     In 1976  Midwest  Research  Institute  (MRI) developed a document entitled,
"Loading Functions  for Assessment  of Water Pollution from Nonpoint Sources,"
for the U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency (EPA-600/2-76-151).   The loading
functions described therein are  used to estimate the quantities of different
                                       1

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diffuse loads  that  enter receiving water bodies.  These methods do not route
pollutants through the receiving waters, however.

     It appeared  that  the  use of these two tools in concert might provide an
adequate set of  methods  for screening nondesignated 208 areas by simple hand
calculation procedures.  The methods  developed by MRI  for analysis of  diffuse
sources of water pollution and the parallel methodology developed by Tetra Tech
had never been applied together in an actual field situation.  Thus,  this study
represents an  application  of  both methods under realistic situations for the
purpose of demonstrating how the  methodologies may be  used for  identification
of water quality problem areas in nondesignated 208 areas.

     The vast majority of the data used in making the calculations in Volume I
were in English  units.   Metric equivalents were not included in the text and
tables because direct  conversion  of each English unit would produce numbers
that are awkward and undesirable.   Conversion of the Universal Soil Loss Equa-
tion (USL'E) as a  whole is  more appropriate  (Wischmeier and Smith,  1978).   For
the convenience  of  the reader, English  to metric conversion  factors for units  •
used within this report are included in Appendix III.

1.2  PURPOSE AND SCOPE

     The primary  goal of this  study  is  to demonstrate  Midwest Research  Insti-
tute's loading functions and Tetra Tech's nondesignated 208  screening  proced-
ures under authentic field situations.  The demonstration is designed  to  sub-
ject the  procedures to  a  wide range  of  data availability,   water quality
parameters, and  hydrologic/hydraulic  situations.   In  addition to the primary
goal, there are several  secondary goals.  They are:

     1.   Provide a report demonstrating  the 208 screening methodology to be
used as a guide by planners.

     2.   Show the degree of compatibility between the nonpoint loading analy-
sis and the 208 screening methodology.

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     3.    Develop firmer insight into the strengths and weaknesses of the non-
point loading methodology.

     4.    Evaluate the sensitivity of nonpoint load estimates to varying degrees
of data availability.

     5.    Determine how critical or necessary the quality and quantity of non-
point source details  are  with regard to reliably modeling instream processes
as they are affected by nonpoint loading.

     6.    Demonstrate strengths and weaknesses of the 208 screening methodology.

     It is worth emphasizing that the goal of this effort is to provide a dem-  "
onstration of  existing  techniques—not  to engage in methodology development.
While some new approaches  are incorporated in this  study,  by and large the
approach  follows  that which has been documented earlier".  The new approaches
were adde'd to  overcome gaps in the existing methodology which would have re-
stricted this demonstration.

1.3  FORMAT AND ORGANIZATION

     This report  consists  of two volumes.  Volume I  is  a discussion of the
application of MRI's nonpoint load assessment methodology to a number of river
basins.   Volume II considers the application of the nondesignated 208 screening
methodologies developed by Tetra Tech to these same basins.   The nonpoint source
load estimates given  in Volume I are used as inputs to the calculations involv-
ing wet weather  conditions that are presented in Volume II.  The two volumes
are organized  similarly;  the river  basins  are  considered in  the  same order  in
both.  There  is  cross-referencing in this volume to portions of Volume II so
that the  interested  reader can see how  results obtained in Volume I are used
in the second volume.

     Even though  there is this connection between the  two,  each volume can
stand alone  as separate demonstrations  of the different methodologies  being

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examined.   That  is,  a  reader whose primary interest is water quality assess-
ments in water  bodies,  and who is  not concerned with  estimation of  nonpoint
source  loads,  can use  Volume  II  independently of  Volume  I.   Similarly,  a
reader  interested only  in  estimating nonpoint source  loads  would  need Vol-
ume II  only  if  concerned with  how  these  loads are  used  in assessing impacts
on water quality, or if interested  in examining how such use can say something
about the reliability of the nonpoint load estimates.

     The nonpoint source loading functions used are not described in detail in
either  volume.   Such  information  is available in the  EPA  report by McElroy
et al.  (1976).   Only modifications or extensions of the loadings  functions
are considered in detail here.   Loading functions were  developed for a variety
of sources,  not  all  of which are examined in this demonstration.   The water-
sheds considered  allowed application of the methodologies for agriculture  and
urban areas.  Other  nonpoint sources such as river drainage,  feedlots,  and
waste disposal areas were not examined.

     This volume is divided into four chapters;  the first chapter is the intro-
duction.  Chapter 2 discusses the demonstration of nonpoint loading techniques
as applied to five watersheds.   In the first application (to the Sandusky River
Basin in Ohio) there is considerable discussion of the  approach used.  The dis-
cussions of the remaining applications are more abbreviated.   It is, therefore,
recommended that the interested reader carefully examine Section 2.1 for infor-
mation  on  details  and  on the philosophy  used in this  study.  Chapter  3 is  a
discussion of an approach, based on the loading function, for estimating nutri-
ent fluxes in streams.   The content of Chapter 3 is independent of the remain^
der of Volume I and also has no connection with Volume  II.   Finally, Chapter 4
contains a general  discussion  and  conclusions  based  on the demonstration.

     Following the development  of the nonpoint loading  functions by McElroy
et al.  (1976),  EPA supported the  development of a computer program called  the
"Nonpoint  Calculator"  (Davis et al., 1979).   This is  a programmed version of
the original  loading  functions  with some modifications  and  updating.  It  is
intended for rapid application of  the,  loading functions and is tied to  a
national data base at  the  county  level of resolution.  Use of the program  and

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data base facilitates  preliminary  nonpoint source load assessments for large
areas.   The nonpoint calculator program was used to obtain the load estimates
presented in this volume.   Such use eliminated a considerable amount of tedious
effort.   The  loading functions applied in  this effort are intended for use in
desktop calculations.   In applications such as those described here,  which cover
many counties, the use of the computer program is advisable,  however.   All modi-
fications in the approach used by the nonpoint calculator as  compared with the
original loading functions are noted in this volume, where appropriate.

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                                   CHAPTER 2

                           DEMONSTRATION OF METHODS


2.1  DEMONSTRATION EXAMPLE:   THE SANDUSKY RIVER BASIN

2.1.1  Character of the Basin

     The Sandusky River (Figure 2-1)  is  located  in northwestern Ohio and dis-
charges into the  western  end of Lake Erie.   The basin,  not including Green
Creek, has an  area  of about 1,399 sq miles.  The major land use  is agricul-
ture, and corn  and  soybeans are the principal crops.  The river falls 520 ft
in elevation from its source to its mouth and has a length of about 120 miles,
giving an average fall of about 4 ft/mile.

     The southern two-thirds of the basin  is  rather  flat and is characterized
by broken ridges (end moraines) left by glaciers during their retreat from the
area.  These ridges may be several  miles wide and as  high as 50 ft.  The north-
ern one-third of the basin is also rather flat or gradually rolling.   As might
be expected given such topography,  the streams in the basin tend to be sluggish.

     The basin  receives an  average of 34 in.  of rain each year; the heaviest-
rainfall occurs during  spring  and  early summer.   The climate is humid conti-
nental with warm summers.

     Figure 2-1 shows how the  basin has been divided into subbasins for pur-
poses of analysis.  County boundaries are also shown.  Table 2-1 provides some
information on each of the subbasins.

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                                       /
c
/    (Uppoi
I Little Tymochlee Creak
'     S~^->
 .^l
                      I   WYA
              	r^=^
                         ^.
                          .MOOT COUNTY
MARION COUNTY
y
        TYx-n"	CRAWFO
        Yr   "    ~ MARIOI
                                            MARION COUNTY
                                                         SANDUSKY RIVER BASIN
                      Figure Z-~\.   Sandusky River Basin.

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                 TABLE 2-1.   SANDUSKY RIVER SUBBASINS
                                               Area
                                             (mile2)'
                    Length of
                    principal  .
                streams (miles)
Paramour Creek
Broken Sword Creek
Rock Run
Sycamore Creek
Honey Creek
Upper Little Tymochtee Creek
Lower Little Tymochtee Creek
Warpole Creek
Spring Run
Tymochtee Creek (without tributaries)
Rock Creek
Willow Creek
East Branch Wolf Creek
Wolf Creek (without East Branch)
Muskellunge Creek
Indian Creek

Sandusky River:
   Crawford County
   Wyandot County
   Seneca County
   Sandusky County

      Total area
   27.8
                  9.6
   94.
   10.
   64.
  179.0
   49.6
   31.4
   20.
   30.
  170.
   34.8
    5.7
   84.
   73.
   46.
,6
.1.
 3
 5
 5
,7
   11.8
  108.2
  166.6
   79.5
   49.5

1,339.0
                 47.
                  7.
                 23.
                 82.
                 26.
 24.4
 10.5
 15.8
104.4
 22.6
  5.0
 31.0
 23.
 18.
 1
,3
                  7.5
                 29.8
                 45.4
                 32.6
                 22.4
   Source:  Cross, William P., Drainage Areas of Ohio Streams, Supplement
              to Gazetteer of Ohio Streams, Ohio Department of Natural
              Resources, Ohio Water Plan Inventory, Report 12a, Columbus,
              Ohio, 1967.

   Source:  Ohio Department of Natural Resources, Gazetteer of Ohio Streams,
              Ohio Water Plan Inventory, Report 12, 1960.

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2.1.2  Nonpolnt Load Estimation Methodology - An Overview

     Several pollutant  sources  were  considered in the analysis:  runoff from
rural lands; urban runoff; and combined sewer overflows.   Average annual loads
for  urban  runoff  and combined sewer overflows were estimated for each of the
major urban areas  in the basin.  The  approach  used  is discussed in section
2.1.4.  Feedlots were  found  to  be an unlikely  source  of  significant  pollutant
loads in the basin and were not considered in detail.

     The most  complex  portion of the analysis  involves pollution  arising from
the  rural  land surface.   Estimates of  pollutant  loads were made on a subbasin
basis.  In  making  the  calculations, the counties  in the  basin were assumed  to "
be homogeneous  in  terms of land use (i.e.,  all  land  uses evenly  distributed
throughout  the  county)  since  land use  information was not available  below the
county  level of detail  at the time the analysis was  done.   The assumption of
homogeneity is  not valid for many of the subbasins, but subdivision was neces-
sary to determine areas delivering loads to particular stream segments.

     Nonpoint  loads  from  the.land surface are delivered during and  following
rainstorm  events  that  produce  run'off.  At  such  times  the streams  involved are
usually experiencing high  flow conditions.  Since it is desirable to compare
instream water  quality changes with those  expected based on the pollutant loads
calculated, it is  necessary to estimate loading  rates during events.  Longer
term averages,  while useful for some purposes, will not allow such comparisons
to be made.

     Based  upon flow levels  and the availability of water quality data,  storm
periods were  selected  by the Tetra Tech team for which nonpoint source loads
were  to  be determined.   It was  necessary  that  the same periods  be examined  by
those concerned with the  load estimates and  those examining  instream effects.
The  periods selected were chosen so as to avoid the  possibility  of  snowmelt
occurring,  since  the methodology does  not consider the  erosion produced by
melting snow.   In  the  case of the Sandusky this  consideration resulted in the
analysis of events following only in  the  April  to September time interval.

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     The rural  nonpoint  loads  were determined using the assumption that pol-
lutants are associated with  sediment.   Sediment  loads were  estimated with  the
Universal  Soil  Loss  Equation (USLE) (Wischmeier and Smith,  1978)  used  along
with a  delivery ratio.   The USLE  is  intended  to predict annual  average soil
loss.    If applied  to a particular storm event,  it predicts the soil loss ex-
pected  on average  from many such  events.   It  will  not  predict the  loss from
the individual  event primarily  because  antecendent  conditions are  not consid-
ered.    In the  present study, event loads were estimated by  averaging over  a
series of many storms of different characteristics.   As indicated above, these
storms were selected to  assure  consistency  between  the  two  phases  of this ef-
fort:   load estimation and instream effects.

     Soil  losses were  estimated for each event  in  the  series of storms, and
these values were then averaged to give an average soil  loss per event  for the
series  of events  studies.   Whereas the estimates of soil  loss per individual
event will  not provide good predictions of losses for those individual  events,
averaging over  a  series  of events, with varying antecedent  conditions,  will
tend to yield  a representative  average  for  the series,  assuming  the series  of
events  is of sufficient  length  and covers a variety of  antecedent  conditions.
This average soil  loss  is used to  determine average pollutant loads for the
series  of events.   These average loads can then be used  along with average
flows for the series of events to obtain estimates of instream concentrations,
which may in  turn  be compared with observed values for such conditions.  Be-
cause of the need  to provide appropriate load  estimates for  the water quality
analysis,  the  approach just  outlined was used.   Extending the analysis  to ob-
tain results concerning the frequency with which particular events occur coulci
be an interesting addition but not considered since it did not relate directly
to the primary goal of demonstration of the methodology.

     Annual  sediment  delivery  ratios  were  estimated based on available data.
The average delivery ratio for the series of events studies was then assumed
to be  equal to the annual  average  value, although this  tends to  underestimate
the delivery ratio for the average event.  An average delivery ratio was esti-
mated using measured sediment  discharge near  the mouth of  the  Sandusky and
estimated average annual soil loss for the basin.

                                       10

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     The calculations of soil loss for the counties were carried out using the
nonpoint calculator  (Davis  et  al.,  1979).  Initially, calculations were made
using parameter  values  contained in the  associated  national data  base.  The
estimates were then refined using improved parameters.  This parameter refine-
ment was carried out for the R, C,  and K factors.*  Land use characteristics
were determined based on county agricultural statistics combined with land use
data contained in the national  data base.

     A  difficulty encountered  in applying  the  methodology was the lack of
available adequate  land use information on the spatial scale needed for sub-
watersheds.   The U.S. Corps of Engineers has land use information containing a
very high level  of  resolution,  but  such  information  was  not available  in time ~
to use in this study.

     K factors were determined for  soil  associations  within the  basin, and
then K  values, averaged across  soil associations, were  found by subbasin.  C
values were  determined  for  each  of  the  primary  crops in  each of the principal
crop rotations used.  Values were determined  for  the time  of year  correspond-
ing to each event.

     Using event-related parameter values for R and  C, soil  loss was determined
for each event  studied.  These losses were then  averaged  to give  an average
loss per event  in the  series.   This  value,  along with the average delivery
ratio for the basin, was used to estimate sediment loads to the streams in the
basin.

     Nutrients (phosphorus  and nitrogen) were assumed to be transported along
with the sediment;  the  enrichment was estimated using a  relation developed by
Menzel (1980).   (See section 2.1.3.1.7.)  Estimated  enrichment on an event-by-
event basis  was  determined.  These  values,  weighted  by soil  losses, were then
used to find an  effective average enrichment ratio.  Little variation was found
*  See section 2.1.3.1 for definitions of these factors.
                                       11

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among average  ratios  for different locations in  the  basin.   Both  phosphorus

and nitrogen were considered in the application since they are both dealt with

by the loading functions.  It is recognized, however, that much of the nitrogen

is transported in a soluble form.   That is, it is not associated with sediment.

Therefore, although results are presented for nitrogen for the sake of complete-

ness, they are not expected to be accurate.


2.1.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources


2.1.3.1  Parameter Evaluation


     Determination of rural nonpoint source loads requires knowledge of a num-

ber of relevant  factors.   Soil  loss is found using  the  USLE  (Wischmeier  and

Smith, 1978).  That equation is given by:


                         A = RKLSCP

where     A = soil loss in T/acre/year*
          R = rainfall factor
          K = soil credibility factor
          L = si ope-length factor
          S = si ope-steepness factor
          C = cover and management factor
          P = support practice factor

Sediment yield is then given by:

                              Y  = yA (T/acre/year)*

where     y = sediment delivery ratio

     Loads of sediment-associated pollutants are determined using expressions
of the form
                              Y  = f-r-[P]-Ys (T/acre/year)*

where     f = availability factor
          r = enrichment ratio
        [P] = soil concentration of pollutant
    The unit given is tons/acre/year.  Actually, the time interval is the
    same as that for which the R in the USLE is evaluated.  This is typically
    an average year.   In this study an average event is used and the units
    become T/acre/average event.
                                       12

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In addition, for  nitrogen,  input from rainfall is considered.  Since some of
the factors are a function of land use, land use statistics must be available.

     The following sections  describe  in detail how the various parameters in
the above equations were evaluated for the Sandusky River Basin.

2.1.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R)

     For a  particular  rainstorm  the rainfall factor  is  defined  as  the product
of the  total  storm energy (E) and the  maximum 30-minute rainfall intensity
(I30) for  the  storm  (Wischmeier and Smith, 1978).  To determine E, the storm
periods were first divided  into  intervals  with approximately  uniform rainfall
intensity in each.  E was calculated for each  interval using the following ex-
pression: *

               E = (916 + 331 log10I)-(Rainfall in interval, in inches)

where     I =  rainfall  intensity in in/h  during  an  interval.   The values  of
              E for each interval were summed  to give a total E for the storm.

Average annual  R  can be determined from maps.  Annual  values are  the sum  of
storm values for EI30 for a year, averaged over a 22-year period.

     Values for EI30 were determined using the above definition for the events
of interest.   Rainfall  records  from Fremont, Ohio, were  used  to find EI30.  A
better approach would have been to consider the nonhomogenei.ty of  rainfall stl-
tistics over the basin; however, the effort involved would have been consider-
ably increased.  It was assumed that on the average, rainstorm characteristics
are the  same basinwide  and  that  averaging  EI30 values at  any  point would give
the same values.
     The expression applied only for intensities less than 3 in/h.  For higher
     intensities I is the expression is set equal to 3 in/h.
                                       13

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     Table 2-2 shows  the  periods  analyzed,  the  total  rainfall  at Fremont,  and
the value of  EI3o  for each  interval  at  Fremont.   To  obtain  EI3o  it  was  neces-
sary to analyze  the actual  rainfall records,*  since  published data provide
rainfall only  at  1-h intervals.   For the three events with nonzero EI30, for
which the records  were of sufficient quality to  estimate EI3o,  the average
value of EI3o  is  12.1.  Without the  single  largest value  of EI3o, the average
is 8.4.  The  storm periods  studied  are  distributed throughout  the interval  of
April to September.
          TABLE 2-2.   EVALUATION  OF  EI30  FOR  THE  SANDUSKY  BASIN
                                      Total  rainfall
                                     at  Fremont  (inches)
EI3o for Fremont
May 16-22, 1969
July 5 - 11, 1969
March 31 - April 6, 1970 - -
June 14 - 21, 1970
May 4-10, 1971
April 15-22, 1972
May 12-18, 1972
June 18-24, 1973
June 30 - July 6, 1973
March 29 - April 5, 1974
August 29 - September 4, 1975
July 6-12, 1976
March 31 - April 6, 1977
May 2 - 8, 1977
April 17-23, 1978
May 19-25, 1978
Total
3.41

1.42
3.96
0.97
2.69
• 0.90
0.76
0.75
0.92
2.04
0.17
0.87
1.97

1.64
22.5
23.7
poor records
7.5
56.8
2.5
13.3
2.6
1.6
4.6
. 6.6
9.2
A. 0
1.9
8.9
poor records
18.7
157.9
     Rainfall  records were obtained from the National Climatic Center, Asheville,
     North Carolina.
                                        14

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     Based on maps  of  R,  the average annual value  for  the  Sandusky  Basin  is
roughly 125.   The average annual value decreases somewhat from the southern to
the northern end of the basin.   Based on an annual average of 125, the average
storm with an El of 12.1 produces about 10% of the annual soil loss.

2.1.3.1.2  Soil  Erodibility Factor (K)

     A weighted  soil credibility  factor  (K)  for  the  subbasins  in  the Sandusky
River Basin was calculated using three sources of information:

     1.   Generalized county maps  showing  the  soil  associations  in the  county
(Ohio Department of Natural Resources).

     2.   A breakdown of the soil series comprising the soil associations  in  a
county (Ohio Department of Natural Resources).

     3.  'A list of K  factors  for each soil series (U.S. Department of Agri-
culture, 1979).

     A planimeter was  used to determine  the  proportion  of a subbasin occupied
by a  soil  association.   An approximate K value for each soil association was
determined by multiplying the K values of each soil series  in a particular soil
association by the  respective fraction with which they occurred in the associ-
ation, and then  summing these numbers to  obtain the weighted K.   Each soil
association contains a  number  of minor soils for which only a composite per-
centage of occurrence  is  given; all minor  soils  were assumed to have equal  ~
representation when the soil association K value was calculated.

     The Blount-Pewamo Association in Crawford County can be used as an example.
The Blount  series  has  a K of 0.43 and comprises 35% of the association.  The
Pewamo series has  a K  of 0.24 and comprises  25%.   The composite  of minor  soil
series is  40%  and  five minor series  are  listed.   The average K  for  the five
minor  series is  0.38.   The weighted K  for the  association  is the sum of  the
products of  the  K  values  for each series and the fraction  of the total which
each series comprises which gives 0.36.

                                       15

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     The weighted K  for  a subbasin is  simply  the  sum of the products  of  the
soil association average  Ks  and the fractional areas of each  association in
the subbasin.   Table 2-3 shows average values obtained in this manner for each
of the  subbasins  (by county).   Richland and Huron Counties were not included
because of the small  areas involved.

       TABLE 2-3.   AVERAGE K FACTOR VALUES BY SUBBASIN FOR THE SANDUSKY

                                        Average K values by county
Subbasin Sandusky
Paramour Creek
Broken Sword Creek
Rock Run
Sycamore Creek
Honey Creek
Upper Little Tymochtee
Creek
Lower Litte Tymochtee
Creek .
Warpole Creek
Spring Run
Tymochtee Creek (without
tributaries)
Rock Creek
Wil low Creek
East Branch Wolf Creek 0.22
Wolf Creek (without 0.23
East Branch)
Muskel lunge Creek 0.29
Indian Creek 0.20
Sandusky River 0.28
Seneca
_
-
-
-
0.39
-

-

-
0.38
-

0.38
0.37
0.35
0.34

0.32
0.28
0.33
Wyandot
_
0.39
0.38-
0.37
0.38
0.36

0.35

0.38
0.36
0.37

-
-
-
-

-
-
0.36
Crawford Hardin Marion
0.36
0.35
-
0.37
0.36
0.36 0.36

. - -

- - -
_
0.38 0.34

_
_
- .
_

-
_
0.37 - 0.34
2.1.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S)

     Slopes and  slope  lengths  were obtained for the nonpoint calculator data
base.  That data base  contains slopes and slope length by Land Resource Area
(LRA) (Austin, 1972).  The basin is located in LRAs 99 and 111:  the Erie-Huron
Lake Plain and the Indiana and Ohio Till Plain.  LS was determined by the non-
point calculator using the algorithm described in the documentation for that
                                       16

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program (Davis et al., 1979).  The slopes and slope lengths used are tabulated
in Appendix I.

2.1.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C)

     Since soil  loss  estimates  for particular events  are  needed,  it  is  neces-
sary to estimate values for the cover factor at the time of the runoff events.
Cropland is the  primary source of sediment, so it is necessary to know which
crops are  present, what rotations they  are  in,  and what stage  in  the  rotation
applies at the time of the rainfall  event.

     There are four  principal  crops  in the basin:  soybeans, corn, wheat and
oats.  These crops, plus hay, are likely to be in one of seven different rota-
tions.   The approach for determining the quantity of each crop in each rotation
is based on the analysis by Logan (1978).  The total  acreages of each crop were
obtained from  county  agricultural  statistics.   Crop  statistics from  1969 to
1977 were'  examined.   The year 1975 was selected as typical of that interval.
(Land use  considerations  are discussed in section 2.1.3.6 below.)  Table 2-4
shows county  statistics for  1975  for the  basin.   (Huron,  Richland, and  Hardin
Counties are  not considered  in  this analysis since they constitute such  small
portions of the  basin.)  Based upon county  crop  data and discussions with
county extension agents, the predominant cropping practices within each county
in the basin were established and some assumptions made as to crop acreage dis-
tributions.  These are:

  TABLE 2-4.   AGRICULTURAL DATA FOR COUNTIES IN THE SANDUSKY BASIN IN 1975
Crop area (103 acres)
County
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
Corn
55.2
64.5
57.5
57.8
67.7
Soybeans
63.3
91.8
73.9
57.4
79.6
Wheat
32.0
52.1
48.3
31.0
31.6
Oats
7.5
14.3
6.4
10.8
7.2
Hay
10.7
16.0
10.0
11.8
8.7
Total
168.7
238.7
196.1
168.8
194.8
  Source:  Ohio Agricultural Research and Developement Center, Ohio
             Agricultural Statistics 1970-75. Research Bulletin 1106,
             Wooster, Ohio, 1978.
                                       17

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     1.   All wheat is in a corn-soybean-wheat rotation:  C Sb W.

     2.   Fifty percent of the hay harvested is in the rotations:  M C Sb W  (M
meadow).

     3.   All oats are planted in the spring after beans:  C Sb 0 W.

     4.   Any remaining corn  and  soybeans  after No.  3  above are  in  C Sb  rota-
tion.

     5.   Any remaining corn  or  soybeans after No. 4 above are in continuous
corn or soybeans.

     6.   Fifty percent of hay harvested is in permanent pasture.

     The seven crop rotations predominantly used in the basin are:

     C Sb W
     M C Sb W
     C Sb 0 W
     C Sb
     Continuous C
     Continuous Sb
     Permanent pasture

     The crop statistics  shown  in Table 2-4 plus the assumptions given above-
are sufficient to  determine the areas  in each of the seven rotation patterns.
These areas are determined as follows:

     1.   Area inCSbOW=4x area in oats.

     2.   Area in M C Sb W = 4 x (0.5 x area in hay).

     3.   Permanent pasture = 0.5 x area in hay.  .
                                       18

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        4.    Area  in C Sb W = 3  x  (area  in wheat  -  area  in  oats  -  0.5  x  area  in
   hay).
        5.    Area  in C Sb = 2  x  (lesser of area  in  C  or area in Sb - area in

   wheat).


        6.    If area in Sb > area in C, area in continuous Sb = area in Sb minus

   area in  C.


        7.    If area in C > area in Sb, area in continuous C = area in C minus

   area in  Sb.


   The results  are shown  in  Table 2-5.


          TABLE 2-5.  ESTIMATED AREAS OF PRINCIPAL CROP ROTATIONS BY COUNTY
                        IN THE SANDUSKY RIVER BASIN FOR 1975
Area in rotation (103 acres)
County
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
C Sb W
57.6
89.4
110.7
42.9
60.0
M C Sb W
21.2
32.0
20.0
23.6
17.6
C Sb 0 W
30.0
57.2
25.6
43.2
28.8
C Sb Cont. C
46.4
24.8
18.4
52.8 0.4
72.2
Cont. Sb
8.1
27.3
16.4
11.9
Permanent
pasture
5.3
8.0
5.0
5.9
4.4
Note:   C = corn;
       Sb = soybeans;
       W = wheat;
       M = meadow.
        Cover factors were determined  using  the results presented by Wischmeier
   and Smith (1978).  Results  are  presented  there in terms of each crop and the
   crop it follows  in rotation.   Application of the results requires knowledge
   about the development of  each  crop throughout the period of interest,  namely
                                          19

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 April through  September.   Table 2-6  provides an example of the determination
 of the  cover  factor for corn after  soybeans.   Similar  tables were  developed
 for each  crop  in  each  rotation  (e.g.,  corn  after hay, corn  after wheat,  beans
 after corn, beans after beans, corn after beans, oats after beans,  wheat after
 corn, wheat after beans, etc.).

TABLE 2-6.   DETERMINATION OF COVER FACTOR FOR CORN AFTER SOYBEANS BY CROP STAGE
Soil loss
Time interval
March to mid- April
Mid- April to late April
Late April to mid-May
Mid-May to mid- June
Mid-June to late July
Late July to mid-October
Mid-October to mid-April
Period3
4
F
SB
I
2
3
4
ratio
0.38
0.47
0.78
0.65
0.51
0.30
0.37
Line used
Table 5-C
110
110
110
110
110
110
Comment
Assume 40% mulch
Plowed with moldboard
Plant
10 to 50% canopy cover
50 to 75% canopy cover
90% canopy at harvest

Source:  Wischmeier and Smith (1978), pp. 18-26; assumes good productions,
           spring-plowed with moldboard, and conventional tillage.
a  F = rough fallow; SB = seed bed; 1 = establishment; 2 = development;
   3 = maturing crop; 4 = residue or stubble (see Wischmeier and Smith
   for complete definitions).
   Ratio of loss from crop stage as compared to clean-tilled, continuous
   fallow.  These values are cover factors for the time interval indicated.
c  Line used from Table 5 or 5-C of Wischmeier and Smith.
      The  cover  factors  (soil  loss  ratios)  for each  crop  in  each  rotation  were
 then weighted by the fraction of the total crop in each rotation to give  an av-
 erage  cover  factor for each time  interval for each crop.  Tables 2-7 through
 2-9 show  the results for corn, soybeans, and  grain (wheat and oats).

      Examination of Table  2-2 shows that the events  can be placed  into five
 time groups:  early April, late mid-April, May, late June to early July, and
 September.
                                         20

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  TABLE 2-7.   COVER FACTORS FOR CORN FOR THE SANDUSKY BASIN
County
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
Average
March to
mid- April
0.20
0.12
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.21
Mid- April
late April
0.41
0.39
0.43
0.44
0.45
0.42
Late April to
mid-May
0.68
0.64
0.69
0.72
0.74
0.69 ':
Mid-May to
mid- June
0.58
0.55
0.59
0.61
0.62
0.59
Mid-June to
late July
0.45
0.43
0.46
0.47
0.49
0.46
Late July to
October
0.27
0.25
0.27
0.28
0.29
0.27
TABLE 2-8.  COVER FACTORS FOR SOYBEANS FOR THE SANDUSKY BASIN
County
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
Average
March to
mid-April
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
Mid- April to
late April
0.40
0.41
0.41
0.39
0.40
0.40
Late April to
mid- June
0.66
0.68 i
0.67
0.64
0.66
0.66
Mid- June to
mid-July
0.57
0.59
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.57
Mid-July to
early August
0.42
0.44
0.43
0.41
0.42
0.42
Early August to
October
0.22
0.24.
0.23
0.21
0.22
0.22

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                             TABLE 2-9.   COVER FACTORS FOR GRAIN FOR THE SANDUSKY BASIN
ro
County
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
Average
March
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
April
0.35
0.36
0.35
0.36
0.35
0.35
Early May to
mid-May
0.19
0.20
0.17
0.22
0.19
0.19
Mid-May to
mid-June
0.17 .
0.18 ;
0.16
0.19
0.17
0.17
Mid-June to
mid-July
0.09
0.10
0.07
0.10
0.09
0.09
Mid- July to
August 1
0.06
0.06
0.07
0.06
0.06
0.06
August 1 to
late September
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07

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Perusal of Tables 2-7 through 2-9 indicates that in most cases, C does not vary
much from county to county within the basin for given crops and given time in-
tervals.  These  observations  allow  the  soil  loss calculations  to  be  consider-
ably simplified  by  using a limited number of C values.  Table 2-10 indicates
average values for use for each group of events.
                TABLE 2-10.  COVER FACTORS BY EVENT AND BY CROP
                               FOR THE SANDUSKY BASIN
Group of Events
Early April
Mid to late April
May
Late June to early July
Early September

Corn
a -
0.42
0.64
0.46
0.27
Crop
Beans
0.37
0.40
0.66
0.57
0.22

Grain
0.35
0.35
0.18
0.09
0.07
              Use values given in Table 2-7.
     In addition,  long-term average  values  for  C  for the  major crops  were  de-
termined.   This  involved averaging over counties  and rotations.   The  averaged
soil loss ratios were then weighted by  the fraction  of El in each time interval
to  give values  for C.    The average values are 0.39  for corn and soybeans and
0.10 for small grains.

     The final  results  of the C factor  evaluation  are  in Table 2-10.  These
values will  be  used below along  with the other  factors  to determine soil  loss
by  event.

2.1.3.1.5  Support  Practice Factor (P)

     Conservation needs  were identified  during the 1967 conservation needs in-
ventory (CNI) on a county-by-county basis.  These  data were  used to  develop
P  factor values  for the  nonpoint calculator data base.   Those  values for the
                                       23

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counties in the  Sandusky  Basin were used  in  this  analysis and are given in
Appendix I.   The P  values  are defined in the data base as a function of land
use and  land capability class.  The  land uses and  capability classes  used are
listed in Table 2-11.

     It  has been assumed that  no  significant change  in conservation treatment
needs occurred from the time of the 1967 CNI to the period of interest for this
study,  1969  to 1978.  This assumption  was necessary since the  information
needed  to  update the  description of practices was  not  readily available.

2.1.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Sandusky Basin

     Since detailed land use data for the Sandusky Basin were not available in
time for this  study, the land  use data  used were based on  county agricultural
statistics augmented by data from the nonpoint calculator data base.   The prin-
cipal assumption used  in the analysis was  that  land  use within  each county is
homogeneous.   This is apparently a reasonable assumption.   However, it is very
likely unfair to assume that a uniform distribution of land use can be applied
to many of the smaller subbasins studied.-  Therefore, loads estimated for these
small subbasins could be in considerable error if the land use in the subbasin
differs substantially from average.

     The land use data base for the nonpoint calculator considers 16 land uses
and the  29 land capability classes and  subclasses  (Table 2-11)  and was devel-
oped on  a county-by-county  basis  using the 1967 CNI  results for each state.
Preliminary calculations using the  data base with no updating indicated that
the primary sources of soil  loss were land uses 1 through 3~agricultural uses.
Since these were the critical  areas,  an effort was made to update the land use
information in these categories.

     Land use  changes  have occurred  over the study period  of nearly 10 years.
It would be a  considerable effort to account for such changes each year.  In-
stead, a typical year having land use patterns similar to the average over the
period was chosen.   Soybeans  and corn are the  dominant crops;  and Sandusky,
                                       24

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      TABLE 2-11.   LAND CAPABILITY CLASSES* AND LAND USES
Twenty-nine land capability classes
Class I-
Class II
Class III
Class IIw
Class He
Class Hie
Class Ills
Class IIIw
Class IIIc
Class IVe
Class IVs
Class IVw
Class IVc
Class Ve
Class Vs
Class Vw
Class Vc
' Class Vie
Class Vis
Class VIw
Class Vic
Class VIIs
Class VIIs
Class VIIw
Class VIIc
Class VHIe
Class VIIIs
Class VIIIw
Class VIIIc
Sixteen land uses
Corn and sorghum
Other row crops
Close-grown crops
Summer fallow
Rotated hay and pasture
Hay only
Conservation use only
Temporarily idle
Orchards
Open, formerly cropped
Pasture
Range
Other farmland
Other non-farmland
CNI commercial forest
CNI noncommercial forest













The classification below follows that used in the Conservation
Needs Inventory (CNI).

Land capability classes are defined as follows:

  Class I.       Soils have few limitations that restrict their
                use.

  Class II.      Soils have moderate limitations that reduce the
                choice of plants or require moderate conservation
                practices.

                          (continued)
                                  25

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                     TABLE 2-11.   (continued)
    Class III.     Soils have severe limitations that reduce the
                  choice of plants, require special  conservation
                  practices, or both.

    Class IV.      Soils have very severe limitations that reduce
                  the choice of plants, require very careful manage-
                  ment, or both.

    Class V.       Soils are subject to little or no  erosion but have
                  other limitations, impractical to  remove, that
                  limit their use largely to pasture, range, forest,
                  or wildlife food and cover.

    Class VI.      Soils have severe limitations that make them gen-
                  erally unsuited to cultivation and limit their
                  use largely to pasture or range, forest, or wild-
                  life food and cover.

    Class VII.     Soils have very severe limitations that make them
                  unsuited to cultivation and that restrict their
                  use..largely to pasture or range, forest, or wild-
                  life food and cover.

    Class VIII.    Soils and landforms  have limitations that preclude
                  their use for commercial plants and restrict their
                  use to recreation, wildlife, or water supply, or
                  to aesthetic purposes.

     Subclasses describe a grouping of soils within  one class having
similar kinds of limitations.  Four kinds of limitations are recognized
and are designated and defined as follows:

     "e" shows that the main limitation is risk of erosion.
     "w" shows that water in or on the soil interferes with plant growth
           or cultivation.
     "s" shows that the soil is limited because it is shallow, droughty,
           or stony.
     "c" shows that the chief limitation is climate  that is too cold or
           too dry.
                                    26

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Seneca, Wyandot, Crawford, and Marion are the major counties in the basin.  Av-
erage acreages of corn and soybeans were determined for each of these counties
for the 1969 to 1977 interval.  These averages correspond closely to the acre-
ages for 1975, so 1975 was used in the analysis.

     Table 2-12 shows average land use  (1969  to 1977),  land  use  for  1975,  and
the 1967  CNI  data for the counties.   Since the nonpoint calculator data base
(1967 CNI data)  breaks  each  land use category into areas by land capability
class, which  is compatible  with the  way the parameters  in the  soil loss  equa-
tion are  defined  in  the  nonpoint  calculator,  it was decided  to modify all  new
land use  information into a  form compatible with the original  data base.  To
do this required several assumptions:   (a) the ove.rall distribution of land by
capability class  does  not change; (b)  when land  uses are changed the  land
shifted from  one  use to  the other is taken from each  capability  class in pro-
portion to the amount in that class; (c) if land use additions for uses 1 to 3
exceed land available in categories  labeled "conservation use only" or "tempo-
rarily idle,"  land  is shifted from  "open, formerly cropped," or forest  lands
given  in  the  1967 CNI.   With  the  exception of Sandusky County,  agricultural
land uses (uses  1 to 3)  increased from 1967 to 1975.   Therefore, shifts from
the other categories to crops are necessary.  There  are no data indicating
which land uses were shifted, but the shifts chosen seem reasonable.

     The specific land use changes are  outlined below by county.

     Sandusky County:  There  was  a  4,800-acre decrease of corn  acreage  from
1967 to 1975,  along  with a  15,000-acre  decrease of soybeans  and  a 11,600-acre
increase  of close-grown  crops.   All  the decrease in corn acreage was assumed
to be shifted to close-grown  crops,  and the balance of the decrease in soybean
acreage was assumed  to go to  the temporarily idle category.

     Seneca County:  The  decrease  in corn production  was  shifted to  soybeans,
and land from the conservation use category was shifted to accommodate the in-
creased production of soybeans and close-grown crops.
                                       27

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                                      TABLE 2-12.   LAND USES IN THE SANDUSKY BASIN
ro
CO



Other row crops
Corn (soybeans)
Sandusky County
Average
1975
1967-CNI
Seneca County
Average
1975
1967-CNI
Wyandot County
Average
1975
1967-CNI
Crawford County
Average
1975
1967-CNI
Marion County
Average
1975
1967-CNI
53.4
55.2
60.0
65.6
64.5
73.5
57.1
57.5
54.0
54.9
57.8
60.9
66.3
67.7
66.0
66.7
63.3
78.3
92.9
91.8
77.2
71.6
73.9
50.8
60.9
57.4
41.0
76.5
79.6
44.9
• 103 acres
Close-grown crops Conservation
(oats and wheat) use only
39.5
27.9 21.9
66.4
52.0 32.1
54.7
31.8 21.7
41.8
31.6 16.1
38.8
35.1 13.4

Temporarily
idle
-
1.0
-
0.3
-
12.8
-
-
-
3.1
               Note:   Hyphens  indicate no data available.

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     Wyandot County:   The large increases in crop production were accommodated
by shifts from conservation  use, temporarily  idle,  open  formerly  cropped,  and
forestlands.

     Crawford County:  Decreased corn  production  allowed a  shift  to  soybeans.
Land from conservation use and rotated hay and pasture were shifted to soybean
and small grain production.

     Marion County:  Corn area was  left  unchanged;  all temporarily  idle,  con-
servation use, open formerly cropped, and the decreased area in rotated hay and
pasture were shifted to soybeans and small grains.

     The land use shifts were somewhat arbitrary.  However, the total land area
was held constant  and the total area in each capability class was also main-
tained constant.   When  crop  production  increased,  land  .was added from what
seemed to be  the most available category.  The  fact that .the primary  soil
losses come from the cropped areas  means that the most sensitive  issue  is  the
area of  crops  used.   The other land uses from which land might be drawn have
low soil losses and the final results are not sensitive  to  the actual land use
from which cropland is taken.

     Because the portions  of Hardin and  Richland counties  contained in the
basin are very  small fractions of the total areas of those counties, it does
not seem appropriate to try to update land uses  in those areas.  The assump-
tion of  homogeneous  land  use throughout  the counties would  probably not apply
to  those  small  areas.  The  1967  CNI data were  used for the two counties.

2.1.3.1.7  Nutrients

     In addition to  the information need to determine soil loss, three other
items are needed to  determine loads of  nutrients, namely the soil concentra-
tion of  the nutrient, the enrichment ratio, and,  for nitrogen, the  input  due
to rainfall.
                                       29

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.2.1.3.1.7.1  Determination of Enrichment  Ratio

     The following relationship between the enrichment  ratio  for  nutrients  and
soil loss has been developed by Menzel (1980):

                              In  (r) = 2  - 0.2  In  (A)
where     r = enrichment  ratio
          A = soil loss in kg/ha  for individual events

     The relationship  predicts  r  for actual  events;  the higher the soil  loss,
the  less  the  enrichment.   The relationship  appears  to be valid  over  a wide
range  of  soil  and vegetative conditions.   Annual.average enrichment  ratios
estimated using  the  expression  should be  accurate to within a factor of 2.

     Values of  r were determined  for each event for  each  county.  An  average
soil  loss weighted value of r.  (r = Z(rA)/A)  was  determined.for each county.
The  average  value of r for the counties  is 1.96 with a standard  deviation  of
0.08.   Because of  the small variation from county  to  county and the  rather  un-
certain nature  of the value for  r,  a  value  of r  equal  to 2 has been used in
the  analysis.   This  average  value used with  average soil loss and soil nutri-
ent  concentrations will provide an estimate of  the total  nutrient load for  the
actual  series of  events studied.

2.1.3.1.7.2  Nutrient Concentrations

     Soil nutrient concentrations were estimated  or  obtained for each county
in  the basin.   Table 2-13 shows  the values used.  Total  soil  phosphorus con-
centrations  for  the  Sandusky Basin  are in the  range  600 to 700 ppm;*  a value
of  650 ppm  was  used for  calculations here.   It is worth noting that the non-
point  calculator data base has a value  of 660 ppm for total  soil phosphorus
concentration for the basin.
 *   Personal Communication  with Terry Logan, Soil  Scientist,  Department of
    Agronomy, Ohio  State  University,  Columbus, Ohio,  1979.

                                        30

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           TABLE  2-13.   SOIL  NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS IN THE SANDUSKY
                          RIVER  BASIN


                          Average  nutrient concentration in soil  (ppm)
        County
            Available phosphorus'
                                     Total  nitrogen
Sandusky
Seneca
Wyandot
Crawford
Marion
Huron
Richland
Hardin
30
20
23
23
23
27
23
20
1,880
1,880
1,860
1,960
1,790
1,950
1,950
1,940
          Source:   Logan,  Terry J.,  "Levels of Plant Available Phos-
                     phorus  in Agricultural Soils  in the Lake Erie
                     Drainage Basin,"   Army Corps  of Engineers,  Lake
                     Erie  Wastewater Management Study,  December 1977.
                     Total  soil  phosphorus concentrations average
                     650 ppm (see Text).

       b  Source:   Calculated using  Jenny's Equation (Jenny,  1930);
                     Ten percent of  total  nitrogen is assumed to be
                     available.
     Concentrations of available  phosphorus  were obtained from Logan (1977).

Total nitrogen was  determined  using an expression developed by Jenny (1930).

His equation relates  soil  nitrogen concentration to temperature, precipita-

tion, and relative humidity:
where
          CS(NT)
where     C$(NT) =
   P
  RH
SVP.
       0.55e-0-08T(l-e-°-005H)

       concentration of soil  nitrogen,  g/100 g
       annual  average temperature, °C
(I -    -\
u   100'

precipitation, mm/year
relative humidity, %
saturated vapor pressure at given temperature, mm of Hg
                                       31

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SVPt and T are related by (McElroy et al., 1976):
            SVP  = 10[9'2992 - 23607(273 + T)]

     Using county portions of each subbasin, soil concentrations of the nutri-
ents were determined  for  each  subbasin.   Values  for  BOD5 were  estimated based
on the  nitrogen  concentration.   Organic matter concentrations of 20 times NT
were assumed.  This procedure  gives  organic matter concentrations of about 4%
in the  soil,  which  appears reasonable based on the limited data available in
soil surveys.  However, the basin  is  predominantly agricultural, and the  oxi-
dation  of the  organic matter in such areas should reduce  the  organic matter
concentrations; hence, the  estimate  based on 20 times  NT  is  probably  high.
BOD5 was estimated  as 10% of organic matter,  or 2Ny.   Ten percent of total
soil nitrogen was assumed to be available.

2.1.3.1.7.3  Rainfall  Nitrogen

     Nitrdgen contained in  rainfall  was estimated from the data presented in
McElroy et al.  (1976).   A loading rate of 2.7 Ib/acre/year was used.   It was
assumed that  such loading is distributed .throughout  the year in proportion to
rainfall:   Since the average annual rainfall is 30.25 in.  at Fremont and since
the series of  events  studied had a total  of 22.5 in.,  a value of 2.0 Ib/acre
is estimated for the series of events studied.

     For the Sandusky Basin, based on annual precipitation and annual  discharge,
30% of the rainfall  leaves the basin as runoff.  Assuming that 20% of the runoff
is in overland flow;* 6% of the N in rainfall  appears in the runoff.   Assuming
     Following McElroy  et  al.  (1976) it is assumed that only that portion of
     rainfall nitrogen contained in overland flow reaches a stream.   The frac-
     tion of runoff which follows the overland route varies from basin to basin
     and storm to storm.  Proper evaluation of the fraction of the runoff which
     is  in  overland  flow would  require  the  detailed examination  of hydrograph
     for the basin (actually, for various parts of the basin) for the events of
     interest.  Because of  the  level of effort  involved  in determining the
     amount  of overland flow and because the loading functions being applied
     are not well  suited to estimation  of nitrogen loading,  it was merely as-
     sumed that only a fraction of runoff was in the form of overland flow and
     20% was used arbitrarily.
                                       32

-------
that 25% of  the  nitrogen in overland flow is lost gives an average per event
load (based on 14 events) of 0.0064 Ib/acre.

2.1.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio

     Sediment discharge data- are available for a sampling location near Fremont.
An area of 1,251 sq miles lies above that location, and the annual average sed-
iment discharge at that location is 226,000 tons/year based on 6 years of U.S.
Geological  Survey  data.  Using this  information along with  an estimate of the
annual average soil  loss in the basin,  an average  basinwide sediment  delivery
ratio may be estimated.

     Using an  average  rainfall factor of 125  along with  the updated average  K
and C values  and 1975  land  use information gives a gross annual  soil  loss for
the basin (1,339 sq miles)  of 2.23 x 106 tons/year.

     Mildner (1978) estimates that 7% of the total  sediment yield of the Maumee
River is from streambank erosion.   The Maumee is located near the Sandusky,  and
a similar relationship will be assumed to'apply there as well.

     Extrapolating the  sediment discharge data  to  the entire watershed (1,339
sq miles),  using the soil  loss given above,  and assuming that 7% of the  sedi-
ment discharged originated  in streambank erosion,  gives a  sediment delivery
ratio for  the basin  equal  to  0.10.   This is  an  estimate  of  the  average annual
basinwide ratio based on limited sediment discharge data.

     It would  be  preferable to have delivery ratios within each subbasin and
by season  or month.  Unfortunately such information  is  not  available.  Use of
a basinwide  delivery ratio  for subbasins will tend to result in an underesti-
mation of  delivery ratios  for subbasins in upland  areas.  Apparently, the ef-
ficiency of  delivery of sediment  is  rather uniform in the basin (David Baker,
personal communication), so the  use of the basin  average is a  reasonable as-
sumption throughout the basin.  There is no similar simple approach for dealing
with any seasonal  variations  in sediment delivery.
                                       33

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     In the calculations in the following section a delivery ratio of 0.10 will

be used.


2.1.3.2  Load Determination


     The various factors involved in determination of pollutant loads have been

discussed in the preceding  section.   Ideally, the parameters should  be  evalu-

ated at  field  scale.   However, the data and time limitations and the overall

philosophy of the approach being pursued are inconsistent with such an effort.

Table 2-14 shows the spatial level of resolution associated with various impor-

tant factors in the  study.  Because  the  analysis  is built  around  the  USLE  and
because the USLE is intended for use at field scal.e, the high level of aggrega-

tion used in determining the various parameters results in inaccuracies in the

analysis compared with what would be expected if all computations have been made

at the field level.  Although  decreasing the  reliability of  the  results,  such

inaccuracies are unavoidable if a screening approach is used.
              TABLE 2-14.  RESOLUTION ASSOCIATED WITH IMPORTANT PARAMETERS
                           IN RURAL NONPOINT ANALYSIS
          Parameter
     Level of spatial resolution used
 Rainfall factor (R)
 Soil credibility factor (K)
 Slope factors (LS)
 Cover factor (C)

 Support practice factor (P)
 Areas in particular land use
 Delivery ratio
 Soil nutrient concentrations
 Rainfall nitrogen input
 Enrichment ratio
River basin
Subbasin
LRA (by land capability class)
County, but averaged to river basin
  (by land use)
County (by land use and capability class)
County
River basin (annual value)
County and river basin
River basin
River basin
     LRA =  Land  resource area
                                       34

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     Table 2-14 shows that except for the K and LS factors, all information re-
lates to  the county  or river basin scale.  Therefore, the  only difference  be-
tween unit area loads determined for the subbasins results from differences in
the Ks.   Given the data available, the analysis does not really distinguish be-
tween various portions of the basin in terms of unit area loads.

     However, a definite  distinction  is made between loading rates per river
mile in different subbasins.   Unit area loads were determined for each subbasin.
The subbasin areas  given  in  Table 2-1 were  then  used to  find  total  loads  by
subbasin.   This subbasin  load  was divided by the length of the stream in the
subbasin  (as given in Table 2-1) to obtain a total average event load per unit
length of stream channel  in each subbasin.  This load per length of channel was
multiplied by the delivery ratio to obtain the quantity of material actually de-
livered to the stream channel.   (Note that the basinwide average delivery ratio
is being  used for each subbasin.  See section 2.1.3.1.8 above for a discussion
of this point.

     Table 2-15 shows the results obtained, by subbasin, for the average event
considered.  For  the entire  basin, the sediment load is 3.0 x 104 ton/event,
the total  phosphorus load  is 7.9  x 104  Ib/event,  and the  available phosphorus
load is 3.0 x 103 Ib/event.

     Livestock feeding operations  in  the  Sandusky River Basin  are  located  al-
most exclusively  in  confined,  surfaced, partially covered feedlots that have
runoff control.*  A  number of environmentally sound practices are used for the
treatment and disposal of the feedlot runoff (Livestock Waste Facilities Hand-
book, 1975).   Consequently,  its contribution as  a pollutant  source to  surface
streams in the basin  is minimal.  Runoff from feedlots was therefore neglected
in the analysis.
     Personal  Communication  with  David Reed, Extension Livestock Specialist,
     Northwest  Ohio  Livestock  Extension  Office,  Ohio  State University,
     Defiance, Ohio, May 1,  1979.
                                       35

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   TABLE 2-15.   ESTIMATED STREAM LOADING RATES FOR THE AVERAGE SANDUSKY
                  EVENT, SEDIMENT DELIVERY RATIO =0.1
Ib/mile/event
tons/mile/event Phosphorus
Subbasin
Paramour Creek
Broken Sword Creek
Rock Run
Sycamore Creek
Honey Creek
Upper Little Tymochtee
Creek
Lower Little Tymochtee
Creek
Warpole Creek
Spring Run
Tymochtee Creek
(without tributaries)
Rock Creek'
Willow Creek
Wolf Creek, East Branch
Wolf Creek (without
East Branch)
Muskellunge Creek
Indian Creek
Sandusky River
Above Grass Run
(Crawford County)
Below Grass Run,
Sediment
58
49
49
67
43
43

40

65
54
45

28
19
45

50
35
15

88

120
Total
150
130
130
170
110
120

110

170
140
120

73
49
120

130
94
37

220

300
Available
5.4
4.5
4.6
6.2
3.7
3.6
.
3.6

6.0
4.8
4.2

2.2
1.5
3.5

4.1
3.7
1.4

8.1

11.0
BOD5
900
770
730
1,000
660
660

600

960
800
680

430
300
670

750
520
220

1,300

1,700
Nitrogen
Total
460
400
370
510
340
340

310

490
410
350

220
160
350

390
220
120

680

860
Available
56
47
42
63
42
41

35

56
48
41

27
20
45

51
38
19

84

100
  above Mexico
  (Wyandot County)
Below Mexico, above
  Wolf Creek (Seneca
  County)
Below Wolf Creek
  to the mouth
  (Sandusky 'County)
37


28
97
74
3.0
3.4
560   290
360   190
38
30
                                      36

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2.1.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources

     Two types of pollutant sources in urban areas are considered:   stormwater
runoff going directly to a receiving water and combined sewer overflows (CSO).
The first of  these  sources was considered  in the development of the loading
functions; the second was not.   It is, therefore, necessary to outline  a meth-
odology for estimating loads from CSOs.   After the approach has  been given,  es-
timates of  pollutant  loads  from the urban areas  in the Sandusky Basin will be
presented.

2.1.4.1  Combined Sewer Overflows—Methodology

     Most of  the  urban  areas in the  basin  have  combined sewers as a part of
their collection systems.  For many of these areas,  combined sewers constitute
a majority  of the systems.   In addition, for the majority of the wastewater
treatment plants, the present. average flow is near the design flow.   Therefore,
in the Sandusky Basin, CSOs (or bypasses) are common in many systems.

     During dry weather  flow (DWF),  material settles to the bottom of  a com-
bined sewer.   This  material  is scoured during periods of stormwater runoff.
The scoured material, the stormwater,  and sanitary sewage are lost during CSOs.
The scoured material is quite significant in terms of pollutant  loads;  as will
be shown  below,  the pollutant loads from sanitary sewage are probably  rather
small in comparison to the loads associated with scoured material.

     Since many of the combined sewers overflow and bypasses appear to  be com-
mon in the basin, large runoff events will remove most material  settled in the
sewers.   Therefore,  the  annual load of pollutants for an urban area from CSOs
(or bypasses) is given by:

                            \    /pollutant 1 oad \      /pollutant load  \
                  nnnan
  (pollutant)   =  n° H in   1 + / settled during \  + / associated with \    (1)
           >      \ ?ormwater/   I °WF ^ "oured/    lloss of San1tary
                                 \by high flow  /      \sewage         /
                                       37

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     The settled  load  for  the  dry weather period will  be  assumed  to  be  10%  of
that associated with the DWF  (Heaney  et  al.,  1976).   During  the course  of the
year, all  of  this settled  load will  be  assumed to  be  scoured  by  wet weather
flow, and lost.

     Table 2-16 shows the characteristics of "average" raw sewage.  Based on an
average per capita flow for an urban area (included nonresidential uses) of 150
gal. per capita per day, Table 2-16 also shows average annual per capita loads
of  various  pollutants.  The  last column  of  the table  shows average annual per
capita pollutant  loads assumed to be lost in CSOs due to scouring.
       TABLE 2-16.  ESTIMATION OF LOADS ASSOCIATED WITH SANITARY SEWAGE
                      IN DRY WEATHER FLOW




Parameter
Suspended solids
BOD5
Total nitrogen (as N)
Total phosphorus (as P)

. . . -
Average
concentration
(mg/L)
200
200
40
10
Annual per
capita load
based on
150 gpcd flow
(Ib/yr)
91
91
18
4.7
10% of
annual
per capita
load
(Ib/yr)
9.1
9.1
1.8
0.47
a  gpcd = gallons per capita per day.
     The  pollutant  loads in stormwater will  be  estimated using curb loading
 rates  for pollutants along with the assumption that the fraction of  the storm-
 water  transported by and lost  from combined sewers during CSOs  equals the frac-
 tion of the  collection  system  that uses combined sewers.
                                        38

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     The solids  loading  rate  is assumed to account  for  all  surface-related
sources in the urban area.  Therefore,  the  load per  curb-mile  includes inputs
from nonstreet sources.   The  street  loading rate  is  probably an underestimate
of the total  loading rate.

     Loss of sanitary sewage during bypassing will be estimated as follows.   It
will be assumed that 70 bypasses per year occur and that each lasts 5 h.   This
is equal to the annual  average (350 h/year) for many plants (EPA,  1976) and ap-
pears reasonable based on data for Bucyrus  (Burgess and Niple,  1969).  The por-
tion of raw  sewage  lost  during  bypassing  is related  to the ratio  of  treatment
plant capacity to average DWF.  For a ratio of one, the loss  is 67% (EPA, 1976).
Since most plants  in  the Sandusky Basin  have  a  ratio near one, 67% is used
here.  Bypassing for 350 h  with a loss of  67% corresponds to  2.7% of  annual
DWF.  Therefore,  the pollutant load associated with loss of raw sewage will  be
estimated by:

 /pollutant load  \          /annual  per capitaX              /portion of     \
 jassociated with ( = 0.027  [load of pollutant \ /population\ /collection      U2)
 iloss of sanitary!          I in DWF - from    J Vserved    / I system using    )
 'sewage          )          \Table 2-16       /              \combined sewers/
     The total load of pollutants lost during CSOs can then be found by com-
bining the above results with Eq. (1):
                                                                            (3)
annual
pollutant
load in
CSOs

= fl_ls + f (population)
storm-
water
load
/annual DWF>
pollutant
, load per
\capita /


(0.1 +
load
scoured

0.027)
raw
sewage
lost
          = f (LI  + (0.127) (population) (annual DWF pollutant load per capita)
where     f = fraction of system served by combined sewers
          L = annual load of pollutant per curb-mile
         1  = number of curb-miles
     The important assumptions that have been made are:
                                       39

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     1.   Ten percent of DWF pollutants settle in sewers.

     2.   All settled pollutants  are scoured and lost during the course of a
year.

     3.   The loss of sanitary sewage during overflows is 67% of DWF, and over-
flows occur 350 h/year.

     4.   It is implicitly assumed that all stormwater is discharged via sepa-
rate or combined sewers.

     The methodology just outlined will provide estimates of annual loads from
CSOs.  Estimation  of  loads  on an event basis  is  more difficult.  If event-
related loads were required for screening purposes, the most likely approach
would  be to  use average volumes of overflows and  average pollutant concentra-
tions during the overflow to estimate storm loads.

2.1.4.2  Character of the Urban Areas of the Sandusky River Basin

     Table 2-17 presents a  brief  description of  the  urban  areas within the
basin.   The  table  provides  estimates  of the population and  street  lengths for
each area,  the portion of the collection systems using combined sewers, and an
indication of how  close to  capacity the basin's treatment plants are operat-
ing.

     The largest cities in  the basin are Bucyrus, Crestline, Fremont, Tifin,
and  Upper Sandusky (see Figure 2-1 for locations).   These cities have a com-
bined  population of  69,000.   For  these cities, CSO-associated  loads will be
found  using  the procedure outlined in  the  preceding  section.  Carey  is  rather
small,  and since  not all information needed is available,  CSOs  will be  neg-
lected and only direct stormwater runoff will be considered.
                                       40

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                TABLE 2-17.   SANDUSKY RIVER BASIN URBAN AREAS
City
Carey
Crestline
Bucyrus
Upper Sandusky
Tiffin
Fremont
a Source: City
Source: Ohio
Estimated
population
3,575
6,000
13,500
6,000
23,000
20,500
officials.
EPA, "State
Estimated
street
miles
20
19
60
22
67
75

Water Quality
Percent system
having combined
sewers
Part
20%
84%
39%
60%
90%

I Management Plan,
For STP: avg.
annual flow/
design flow
0.61
0.93
1.11
1.00
0.80
0.73

Sandusky
               River Basin,"  Part II, no date, preliminary report.
     In all calculations, none of the stormwater runoff will be assumed to be
treated. .  It  is assumed that all stormwater  runoff enters a body of water di-
rectly.

     Table 2-18 characterizes the street loading rates for the City of Bucyrus.
Since these values are undoubtedly more typical of the Sandusky Basin than the
average loading rates  given  in the loading functions report (McElroy et al.,
1976) they are used here.   It is worth noting, however, that the solids loading
rate in Table 2-18 is about 2.4 times the "average" given in the loading func-
tions report for the northeast region.   The loading rates for the other contami-
nants are smaller than the average values.

2.1.4.3  Load Estimation
     Table 2-19 presents estimates of annual loads from CSOs for the urban areas;
Table 2-20 gives estimates for loads in stormwater but not in CSOs; and Table 2-21
presents the sum of the two.   Results in Table 2-19 were obtained using Eq.(3)
and results  in  Table  2-20 were found using the standard screening  approach,
load = (l-f)Lls.
                                       41

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                TABLE 2-18.  STREET LOADING RATES FOR BUCYRUSC

Total
BOD5
Total
Total
Parameter
solidsb

nitrogen (as N)
phosphorus (as P)
Loading
Ib/curb-mile/day
690
1.4
0.61
0.04
rates
tons/curb-mi 1 e/year
126
0.26
0.11
0.007
a  Source:   Sartor, J. D., and G. B. Boyd, "Water Pollution Aspects of
              Street Surface Contaminants," EPA-R2-72-081, November 1972.
              p. 142.

b  Source:   A particle size distribution was given by Sartor and Boyd
              (p. 4E); 26% of.the solids are classified as. silt, and 74%
              are classified as sand (above 43 |jm in size).
             TABLE 2-19.  ESTIMATED ANNUAL LOADS FROM COMBINED
                            SEWER OVERFLOWS


City
Bucyrus
Carey
Crestline
Fremont
Tiffin
Upper Sandusky
Pollutant
Suspended
solids
3,400
0
260
4,500
2,700
580
loads

BOD5
92
0
10
142
101
18
(tons/year)

NT PT
24 4
0 0
2 0.5
37 6
25 5
5 0.8
                                       42

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TABLE 2-20.   ESTIMATED ANNUAL LOADS IN STORMWATER
               RUNOFF, NOT IN CSOs


City
Bucyrus
Carey
Crestline
Fremont
Tiffin
Upper Sandusky
Pollutant
Suspended
solids
620
1,300
990
490
1,800
880
loads

BOD5
5
10
8
4
14
7
(tons/year)

N, PT
2 0.1
4 0.3
3 0.2
2 0.1
6 0.4
3 0.2
   TABLE 2-21.- ESTIMATED TOTAL ANNUAL URBAN LOADS


City
Bucyrus
Carey
Crestline
Fremont
Tiffin
Upper Sandusky
Pollutant
Suspended
solids
4,000
1,300
1,300
5,000
4,500
1,500
loads

BOD5
97
10
18
146
115
25
(tons/year)

N, P,
26 4
4 0.3
5 0.7
39 6
31 5
8 1
                          43

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     The suspended  solids  in the portion of the  load associated with  the  run-
off from street surfaces were determined based on the assumption that only the
silt portion of the solids was transported in suspension.   The larger particles
are unlikely to  stay  in suspension and cannot be compared directly with  the
suspended solids load in sanitary sewage.   The size distribution of the solids
for Bucyrus was  used  for all the cities, i.e., 26% of the solids were assumed
to be  suspended.  All the  BOD, N, and  P loads were assumed to be delivered to
a receiving water.

     Data are  available for pollutant loads in  CSOs  for  Bucyrus for 1969.
Table 2-22 compares values  for  annual  loads estimated from measurements made
in the  city with those  estimated here.  As Table-2-22  shows,  the agreement
between "measured"  and  estimated  values  is rather good for BOD5, NT,  and Py,
especially considering  the  character  of  the screening methodology used.  The
table also shows that the  methodology  appears to overpredict the solids load-
ing.

     The assumption concerning the  high frequency of CSOs in the basin  can be
viewed in the following light.   Assume that an urban area of 500 acres contri-
butes 0.1 in.   of runoff to the combined sewers.  That  volume  is 1.38 x 106
gal.    If  this  runs off in 12 h,  the  flow  is  2.7 MGD,* on average.  Such
numbers are not  unreasonable  for  a modest storm  in  any of the areas.  This
flow may be compared  to the unused  capacity of the region's wastewater  treat-
ment plants.   Table 2-23 shows estimated unused capacities of the plants.   The
portion of the  system that would contribute to  overflows  (percent combined
sewers) is also  shown.  Note that 2.7  MGD  is well above any of the capacities
available.   Therefore, overflows or bypasses should be common in all the cities.

     To illustrate the relative importance of the various sources of pollutants
to the  CSO  load estimates, Table 2-24 shows the contribution of each source
for the pollutants considered for Bucyrus.
     MGD = million gallons per day.
                                       44

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             TABLE 2-22.   COMPARISON OF LOAD ESTIMATES FOR BUCYRUS
         Parameter
                                                    Loads
 Estimate based on
observations of CSQs
in Bucyrus in 1969
             Estimate for CSOs
           based on loading rates
Annual volume of CSOs (MG)
Suspended solids (T/yr)
BOD5 (T/yr)
NT (T/yr)
P| (T/yr)
         350
         700
         175.
          19b
           4.9
                 3,400
                    92
                    24
                     4
   Source:  Burgess and Niple, Ltd., "Stream Pollution and Abatement from
              Combined Sewer Overflows," FWQA, 1969.

   Based on average flow concentrations given in the Burgess and Niple report.
     TABLE 2-23.  AVERAGE UNUSED CAPACITY OF PLANTS DURING DRY FLOW PERIOD


City
Average
flow
(MGD)
Average
flow/
capacity

Capacity
(MGD)
Unused
capacity
(MGD)
Percent
combined
sewers
Bucyrus              1.9
Crestline            0.56
Fremont              5.1
Tiffin               2.7
Upper Sandusky       1.7
  1.11
  0.93
  0.8
  0.73
  1.0
-1.9
  0.6
  6.4
  3.7
-1.7
0
0.04
1.3
1.0
0
84
19
90
60
39
                                       45

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     TABLE 2-24.   COMPONENTS OF COMBINED SEWER OVERFLOW LOADS FOR BUCYRUS
Loads (tons/yr)
Parameter
Suspended solids
BOD5
NT
PT
Scoured
material
52
52
10
2.7
Stormwater
3,300
26
11
0.7
Sanitary
sewage lost
14
14
3
0.7
Total
3,400
92
24
4
     As the table  shows,  stormwater dominates the suspended solids load; the
scoured material is  most  important for BOD and P; and stormwater and scoured
material both contribute substantially to the nitrogen load.  The loss of sani-
tary sewage is a relatively minor addition in all cases.

     The sensitivity of the results to the assumptions used in the analysis can
be inferred from Table 2-24:

     1.   Since loss of sanitary sewage is a fairly minor component of the load,
the overall results are not sensitive to any of the assumptions made concerning
this source.

     2.   Since the stormwater component provides essentially 100% of the sus-
pended  solids  load,  the solids  loading  rate  and  the portion of the  solids as-
sumed to be suspended are critical factors in the analysis.

     3.   The nitrogen load obtained is sensitive to the nitrogen loading rate
used to estimate stormwater load and to the assumptions related to the settling
and later  scouring of DWF pollutants.  Fifty percent changes in  the  loading
rates  or the  settling/scouring  portion of DWF pollutants produce about a 20%
change  in the total load (for Bucyrus).

                                       46

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     4.    Since the input of scoured material appears to be the most important
source of phosphorus and BOD, the estimate of loads of these materials is sen-
sitive to the  quantity of DWF pollutants which settle and are  scoured.  A 50%
variation in this  quantity would change PT and BOD  loads for Bucyrus by about
30%.

     Finally, it is interesting to compare the results obtained using measured
street loading  rates  for Bucyrus with those obtained using average rates for
the region as given in the screening methodology.   For the Northeast, the aver-
age solids loading rate is 291 Ib/day/curb-mile.   Based on the average pollut-
ant concentrations  for  the  region,  the loading rates for BOD5, total N, and
total P  are  5.8,  2.4, and 0.28 Ib/day/curb-mile,-respectively.  Using these
values for Bucyrus gives the results shown in Table 2-25.

     As Table 2-25 indicates, using average rather than measured loading rates
results in improved estimates-for suspended solids and BOD5 .(compared to meas-
ured loads in CSOs) and poorer results for N and P.  The suspended solids cal-
culation assumed  the  same fraction  of  silt for both  calculations and  is based
on measurements made in Bucyrus.   It can be concluded that, for the four param-
eters studied, using average values for loading gives results as good as those
using local  rates.  Therefore,  using regional values in  this  case provides
rather accurate results.  However, two factors should be kept in mind.  First,
the suspended  solids  load  calculation used  information on  the  particle size
distribution obtained for measurements in Bucyrus.   Such  size distribution
information  will  not  normally  be available in the application of the method-
ology.   Second, although  it appears in this case that average values provide
results as good as measured local values for loading rates, it would seem wis-
est to always  use local information when available.  Nevertheless,  the fact
that the  average  values provide  reasonable results increases their credibil-
ity.
                                       47

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               TABLE 2-25.   COMPARISON OF CSO LOADS FOR BUCYRUS
                                            Load based on      Load based on
                       Load based on       measured street     average street
                      observations in       loading rates      loading rates
    Parameter         Bucyrus in 1969        for Bucyrus         for region

 Suspended solids          700                  3,400             1,500
   (T/yr)
BOD5 (T/yr)
NT (T/yr)
PT (T/yr)
175
19
4.9
92
24
4
170
56
8.3
 a  Source:   Bucyrus and Niple,  Ltd.,  "Steam Pollution and Abatement from
               Combined Sewer Overflows" (FWQA,  1969).
2.1.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality

     Estimates of instream concentrations of sediment, phosphorus, and nitro-
gen, based on the loading rates estimated in the preceding sections,  are  given
in sections 3.2.9 and 3.2.10  of Volume II of this report.  Calculation of in-
stream concentrations of these constituents provides the best means available
for verifying  the nonpoint load estimation procedures.  The results presented
in Volume II  indicated  that  the  loading estimates obtained for sediment and
phosphorus for this basin appear reasonable.

2.2  DEMONSTRATION EXAMPLE:   THE CHESTER RIVER BASIN

2.2.1  Character of the Basin

     The  Chester  River is located  in  the  Delmarva  Peninsula onthe eastern
shore of Chesapeake Bay.  The headwaters are in Delaware, but most of the' basin
                                       48

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is located in Kent and Queen Annes Counties in Maryland.   The area of the basin
is approximately 440 sq miles.   The major land use is agriculture, and corn and
soybeans are the  major crops.   Some small grains (wheat and barley) are also
grown.

     The relief of  the basin is low.  The  uplands  have elevations of 80 to
100 ft, and  the  lower basin elevation ranges  from sea  level to about 60 ft.
Average annual  precipitation in  the basin is about 43  in. , and  is fairly
uniformly distributed  throughout  the year.  Normally, the  wettest month is
August (4.9 in.) and the driest month is February (2.9 in.).

     For purposes of  analysis,  the Chester River -Basin has been divided into
six subbasins as indicated in Figure 2-2 and Table 2-26.   The numerical  desig-
nation of the  basins  corresponds  to those defined by the Maryland Department
of Natural Resources (DNR).  The Maryland DNR includes the Wye River Basin (to
the south) as part of the Chester River Basin, and the designations 1 to 4 are
subbasins of the Wye.   The Wye River Basin was not included in any analysis of
the Chester River Basin.
                   TABLE 2-26.  CHESTER RIVER SUBBASINS


Subbasin
5 Chester River
6 Langford Creek
7 Corsica River
8 Southwest Creek
9 Chester River
10 Chester River

Area
(acres)
40,943
24,878
24,511
34,517
35,527
114,207
Length of
principal
streams (miles)
27
32
31
39
8
63
                   Total
274,583
                                       49

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tn
o
                                                                                         NEW CASTLE

                                                                                        1   COUNTY
                \
                                                            QUEEN ANNE  COUNTY
                                                                   	 COUNTY BOUNDARY

                                                                   	 WATERSHED BOUNDARY

                                                                   	 SUB-BASIN BOUNDARY
                                  Figure 2-2.  Chester River Basin and Subbasins.

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2.2.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology - An Overview

     The procedure used for the Chester River Basin is essentially the same as
that used for the Sandusky.  The details of the approach are not repeated here.
Since the Chester River Basin does not contain any significant sources of urban
runoff, urban nonpoint sources are not considered.

2.2.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources

2.2.3.1  Parameter Evaluation

2.2.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor                        .  .

     No recording  rain  gauges  are located in  the Chester  River Basin.  The
nearest such gauges  are located 25 to 30 miles away at Wilmington, Delaware,
Perry Point, Maryland (near.the mouth of the Susquehanna),  Baltimore, Maryland,
and Federalsburg,  Maryland.  There are  four  nonrecording gauges  in the basin.
Since  rainfall  records  with at least 30-min  time resolution are needed to
estimate R,  it  was  necessary to use  one  of the stations outside  the  basin  for
the analysis.   However,  use of a distant station reduces the accuracy of the
results.

     Table 2-27 shows the  periods analyzed (selected for compatibility with
the study presented  in  Volume  II) and the  results for Wilmington.  Wilmington
was chosen arbitrarily for use in the study;  the other stations mentioned above
would have served equally well.  The results in Table 2-27 were obtained using
data obtained from the  National Climatic Center in Asheville,  North  Carolina.

     For the 14 periods  analyzed,  the average value of EI3o is 14.6, or 11.4
without the largest single value of EI36.  The periods studied are distributed
throughout April  to  September,  with  half occurring in July  and  August.  The
periods are usually 1 to 2 days long and precede selected 7-day high flow periods
for the Chester.   Occasionally, additional small  amounts of  rainfall occurred
later in the 7-day period, but this rainfall  was neglected.
                                       51

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            TABLE 2-27.   EVALUATION OF EI30 FOR THE CHESTER BASIN
                                Total rainfall
                                 at Wilmington
                                     (in.)                EI3o for Wilmington
June 18-19, 1967
August 3-4, 1967
August 24-25, 1967
July 27-29, 1969
August 9, 1969
April 14-15, 1970
April 20, 1970
September 11-13, 1971
June 22-27, 1972
July 13, 1972
June 2, 1974
July 13, 1975
July 20, 1975
September 22-24, 1975
May 8-9, .1978
1.55
2.94
1.00
3.71
0.56
2.26
0.82
4.92
Hurricane Agnes - neglected
0.94
0.32
2.61
1.12
3.77
1.30
8.3
56.0
3.1
22.9
2.2
8.0
2.3
37.2

3.6
0.25
30.0
12.2
13.7
4.2
     Total                          27.9                         204.0
     Total rainfall at Wilmington for the events analyzed was 27.9  in., while
the total  rainfall  at Chesterton (in the Chester Basin) for the  same period
was about 38 in.  The correlation coefficient of the rainfall  (in each period)
at Wilmington  and Chesterton  for  the  14 events is 0.62.   For  Chester and
Millington (also in the basin) the correlation coefficient (11 events) is 0.85,
and for  Wilmington  and  Millington the correlation coefficient (11 events) is
0.80.

     The  average  annual  value  for R  for  the  Chester Basin is in the  range  190
to 200.   An  average storm with  an El equal  to  14.6 produces about  7% of  the
annual soil loss.  An El value of 14.6 has been used in the analysis.
                                        52

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2.2.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)

     The weighted soil credibility (K) factors for the Chester River Basin were
established from soil association maps from the State of Maryland and from pub-
lished soil surveys of the counties in the basin.   The K factors by county and
subbasin are  shown  in Table 2-28.   In this analysis,  the weighted  average  K
was assumed to represent all the soils within the fraction of a subbasin within
a county.

            TABLE 2-28.  AVERAGE K FACTOR VALUES BY SUBBASIN AND
                           COUNTY FOR THE CHESTER RIVER


Subbasin
5
• 6
7
8
9
10

Kent,
Md.
0.40
0.38
-
-
0.35
0.36
K values
Queen Annes,
Md.
0.36
-
0.34
0.32
0.28
0.30 '
by county
Kent, New Castle,
Del. Del.


-
-
-
0.28 0.30
2.2.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S)

     Slopes and  slope  lengths were obtained from the data based used for the
nonpoint calculator.   These  factors  have  been  established  for  each  land  capa-
bility class within each Land Resource Area (LRA).  The Chester River Basin is
contained  within two  LRAs,  LRA 149  (Northern  Coastal  Plain)  and  LRA 153
(Atlantic Coast  Flatwoods).  Values for the LS factor were calculated based on
these slopes and slope lengths.  The slopes and slope lengths are tabulated in
Appendix I.
                                       53

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2.2.3.1.4  Cover Factor (C)

     Cover factors are dependent on the cropping patterns of the basin or sub-
basin under study.   Since  cropland is the primary  source  of sediment, crop
acreages and cropping rotation for a given year must be known.   State agricul-
tural statistics  were used to establish crop  acreages  in  each county, and
county extension  agents  provided  information on cropping rotations.   Uniform
distribution of  crop acreage and  rotation within  each county was assumed.

     The analysis of agricultural  practices in the Chester River Basin was done
for the year 1973.  This year was chosen because it was a typical  recent year,
i.e., rainfall  and crop yield were approximately aormal.   The acreages of prin-
cipal crops for 1973 are shown in Table 2-29.  Acreages of crops within various
crop rotations were determined from contacts with county agents.  Cover factors
for each crop throughout the growing season were determined in the same manner
as described in  detail  for.the Sandusky River  Basin  in Section 2.1.3.1.4 of
this volume.

     The cropping patterns in the Chester'River Basin are:

     1.    All small grain is in rotation with corn and soybeans.

     2.    No meadow is in rotation.

     3.    No winter cover crop; stubble is left on the field.

     4.    Some corn and soybeans are in continuous production.

     There  are  four  major  cropping rotations for corn,  soybeans,  and small
grain (wheat and barley).  These practices are:

     1.    Four-year  rotation  of corn-corn-small  grain-soybeans  = 4 x  acres  in
small grain.  This  practice is used in  Kent County,  and Queen  Annes  County,
Maryland; and Kent County, Delaware.
                                       54

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         TABLE 2-29.   AGRICULTURAL DATA FOR COUNTIES IN THE
                        CHESTER RIVER BASIN FOR 1973
County
Kent, Md.
Queen Annes, Md.
Kent, Del.
New Castle, Del.
Crop area (103
Corn Soybeans Wheat
50.0 29.0 8.5
55.0 38.0 13.3
52.0 65.0 11.0
23.0 30.0 10.0
acres)
Barley
4.0
5.8
8.5
4.5

Total
91.5
112.1
136.5
67.5
Areas in rotation (103 acres)
County
Kent.-Md.
Queen Annes, Md.
Kent, Del.
New Castle, Del.
CCSgSb CC
-50.0 25.0
76.4 16.8
78.0 ' 13.0
8.5
SbSb
16.5
18.9
45.5
15.5
CSgSb
-
-
-
43.5
CCSgSb = Corn-corn-small grain-soybean (4-yr rotation).
CC = Continuous corn.
SbSb = Continuous soybean.
CSgSb = Rotation corn-shiall grain-soybean (3-yr rotation).
                                   55

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     2.    Three-year rotation of corn-small grain-soybeans.= 3 x areas in small
grain; used for New Castle County, Delaware.

     3.    Continuous corn =  area in corn minus (2 x area  in small grain) for
4-year rotation corn-corn-small  grain-soybeans;  or = area in corn minus area
in small  grains for 3-year, rotation in corn-small grain-soybeans.

     4.    Continuous soybeans = area in soybeans minus area in small grain for
all rotations.

     The acreages  for  those  cropping practices are also shown in Table 2-29.

     From the agronomic (growth stage, cropping practice) data describing each
crop, it  is  possible to determine  C  factors  for corn,  soybeans, and  small
grains at specific  times of  the year.  The  methods used .are described  in Sec-
tion 2.1.3.1.4 of  this report.  Since the  nonpoint  loads are generated by
rainfall  events, a series  of time intervals were developed using the periods
in Table 2-27 and the C factors for these time intervals.  These C factors are
given in Table 2-30.
              TABLE 2-30.  COVER FACTORS FOR VARIOUS INTERVALS
                             FOR THE CHESTER RIVER BASIN

Interval
Mid-April-early May
Early May- late May
Late May- late June
Late June- late August
Late August-mid-October
a Kent, Maryland; Queen
New Castle, Delaware.

Corn3
0.29
0.29
0.26
0.21
0.18
Annes,


Corn
0.39
0.39
0.34
0.26
0.22
Maryland; and

Crop

Soybeans Small Grains
0.18
0.18
0.25
0.19
0.14
Kent, Delaware.

0.16
0.09
0.06
0.07
0.07


                                       56

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     When the  C  factors were  evaluated,  it was  noted  that  the  values  for  corn
in New Castle  County,  Delaware,  were significantly different  from  those  for
the other counties  in  the basin.  Therefore, corn grown in New Castle County
was assigned a separate C value.

2.2.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)

     Lacking needed  information  on current conditions,  it  was  assumed that  no
significant changes  occurred  in  the  cropping practice factor  (P)  between  1967
and 1979.  Therefore, P factors based on the 1967 Conservation Needs  Inventory
(CNI) were  used  for the Chester River  Basin.   These  values are tabulated in
Appendix I.                                        -

2.2.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Chester River Basin

     Land use  changes  have  occurred  in  the basin;  from 1967.to 1973 there was
an increase in the acreage of corn and soybeans and a reduction in  the acreage
of small grains and pasture.  Crop acreages  in the 1967 CNI were  shifted  to re-
flect the acreages  reported in the agricultural statistics of 1973,  the  base
year  for the  analysis.  The  approach  used  followed that described for the
Sandusky.

     Specifically the following changes were made:

     Kent County, Maryland:   15,700  acres  of corn were shifted to  soybeans;
6,300 acres of small grain  were  shifted to soybeans;  and 7,600 acres  of small
grain were shifted to pasture.

     Queen Annes County, Maryland:   10,000 acres of corn were  shifted to  beans;
3,800 acres of corn were  shifted to  pasture; 4,000  acres of small grains  were
shifted  to  soybeans;  and 4,400 acres of small grain were shifted to  pasture.

     Kent County, Delaware:  15,270 acres of corn were shifted to pasture;  and
1,755 acres of corn were shifted to small grain.
                                       57

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     New Castle County, Delaware:  1,700  acres  of  small  grain  were  shifted to
soybeans; 8,700 acres  of  corn were shifted  to beans;  and 1,900 acres  of  "Con-
servation Use Only" were shifted to beans.

2.2.3.1.7  Nutrients

     Soil nutrient  concentrations were  obtained for each county in the basin
from soil scientists  in the area and from  soil  test  results where  possible.
In most  cases, only values  for available  phosphorus and  nitrogen could be  ob-
tained.  Total phosphorus  was  estimated to be in the range of 100 to 200 ppm
based  on regional  soil data.   This range represents total phosphorus content
of virgin soils.   Total  phosphorus  content of agricultural soils is probably
higher due to  fertilizers.   We  used a  value of  200 ppm  for total phosphorus
concentration.   Since  nitrogen  is  required in the total  form for purposes of
load estimation, the  Jenny equation  was used to estimate total soil nitrogen
levels.  The values for available soil  phosphorus  and total.soil nitrogen  for
the counties in the Chester River Basin are shown in Table 2-31.
                 TABLE 2-31.  SOIL NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS IN
                                THE CHESTER RIVER BASIN

                            Average nutrient concentration in soil (ppm)
            County          Available phosphorus a     Total nitrogen
Kent, Md.
Queen Annes, Md.
Kent, Del.
New Castle, Del.
24
25
25
24
1,550
1,200
1,590
1,630
            a   Total phosphorus is approximately 200 ppm.
                Available nitrogen is assumed to be 10% of total.
                                       58

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     Enrichment ratios  for  the  nutrients in soils were  evaluated using the
method described  for  the  Sandusky Basin.  The value obtained for the Chester
River Basin  is  1.97 +  0.11;  a value  of  2.0 was  used  for  making  the  load  esti-
mates.

     Finally, nitrogen in rainfall was estimated to be 0.0045 Ib/acre/event us-
ing the methods described in Section 2.1.3.1.7.

2.2.3.1.8.  Sediment Delivery Ratio

     There are no regular, long-term measurements of sediment discharge in the
Chester Basin.  Discussions  with  the Soil Conservation Service  and  the United
States Geology Survey (USGS) did not reveal  any information on sediment yields
in the basin  or any evidence of the  existence of  regression  relationships  for
predicting sediment yield based on watershed variables. - There  is,  therefore,
no dependable method available for determining sediment delivery ratios in the
basin.  Gross  soil loss was  determined  and  loads  found using  a  delivery  ratio
of 100%.   The Chester  Basin  has an area of 440  sq miles  and  is  very flat.   It
would be expected that the annual  delivery ratio for such a basin would be low,
probably below 10%.  A delivery ratio of 0.1 (10%) was used for the analysis in
Volume II.

     Steambank and gully erosion have been neglected in the analysis.  In por-
tions of the basin shoreline erosion is a serious problem.  The sediment loads
determined in this report underestimate the total sediment load in the basin to
the extent that such other sources were neglected.

2.2.3.2.    Load Determination

     The  nonpoint  loads  determined for the Chester River Basin are presented
in Table 2-32.
                                       59

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       TABLE 2-32.   ESTIMATED STREAM LOADING RATES FOR THE AVERAGE
                      CHESTER EVENT, SEDIMENT DELIVERY RATIO =0.1
Ib/mile/event
ton/mil e/event Phosphorus
Subbasin
5
6
7
8
9
10
Sediment
46
27
17
18
130
42
Total
36
21
13
14
102
33
Available
4.5
2.7
1.6
1.7
12.8
4.1
BOD5
490
310
170
190
1,620
510
Nitrogen
Total
250
160
90
100
820
260
Available
32
19
13
14
102
33
2.2.4  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality

     Inst'ream concentration estimates for sediment, nitrogen, phosphorus, and
BOD5 for the  Chester  River are presented in  Section  3.3.6.2 of Volume II.
Since point source  loads  appear to be of minor importance in the basin, the
nonpoint loads estimated  in  the preceding section are the primary pollutant
inputs for the basin.

2.3  DEMONSTRATION EXAMPLE:  PATUXENT RIVER BASIN

2.3.1  Character of the Basin

          The Patuxent River  is  located  in Maryland between  Washington, D.C.,
and Baltimore and drains  into  the western side of Chesapeake Bay.  The drain-
age basin area covers about 930  sq miles.  Approximately half of the basin  is
forested, 35% is agriculture,  and the remainder is suburban.  Principal crops
of the basin are corn, soybeans, tobacco, and small  grains.

     The headwaters of the Patuxent area are  in the  Piedmont region (Howard
and Montgomery counties),  and the river flows through the  Atlantic  Coastal
Plain (Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince Georges, and St.  Marys  counties).
                                       60

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Average -precipitation  throughout the basin  is  about 43 in. annually, with
about 25% of  the  annual  total coming in July and August.   The driest months
are December and February.

     The Patuxent  River Basin  has been divided  into  subbasins (Figure 2-3) as
defined by the State of Maryland.  The acreages of the subbasins and lengths of
principal streams are shown in Table 2-33.
                     TABLE 2-33.  PATUXENT RIVER SUBBASINS
Subbasin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Total
Area
(acres)
197,738
67,106
. .. 70,594
47,552
66,463
35,894
36,169
49,480
570,996
Length of principal
streams (miles)
121
34
59.
22
61
22
28
49

2.3.2  Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology—An Overview

     The procedure  used  for nonpoint load estimation  for  the  Patuxent  River
Basin  is essentially  the same as that used for the Sandusky.  The details of
the apporach are not repeated.  Both urban and rural nonpoint sources are con-
sidered in the basin.
                                       61

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                               	COUNTY BOUNDARY
                               	WATERSHED BOUNDARY
                                   SUB-BASIN BOUNDARY
Figure 2-3.   Patuxent  River Basin and Subbasins,

                           62

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2.3.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources

2.3.3.1  Parameter Evaluation

2.3.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R)

     There are  several  recording rain gauges near  the  basin in Beltsville,
Unionville, Baltimore,  and  Leonardtown.   Beltsville is  the  most centrally  lo-
cated of the gauges and was used in the analysis.

     Table 2-34  shows  the periods analyzed  (selected for compatibility  with
the study  presented  in Volume II) and  the  results  for  Beltsville.   Data for
Beltsville were obtained from the National Climatic Center.

     For the 16  periods with data the average value of EI30 is 22.2 (.average
annual value is  about  220);. without  the  two largest events., the average is
14.8.   The events are distributed through the period April  to September; about
half occurred in April  and May.

     An  attempt  was  made to determine  the  uniformity of rainfall over  the
basin by comparing  rainfall  totals for Beltsville with those at Leonardtown.
For the  periods  studied,  there are 10 intervals  having  data at  both  stations.
The average rainfall event  at Beltsville was about 2 in.,  while  Leonardtown
had about  1.5  in.   No  attempt was made  to  adjust for  any  nonuniformity in
rainfall over the basin.

2.3.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)

     The soil  association maps  and soil surveys for the Patuxent River Basin
were analyzed  to  determine  weighted  averages of  K  factors  for  the soil  loss
continuation.   The resulting  K factors for subbasin within specific counties
of the basin are presented in Table 2-35.
                                       63

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   TABLE 2-34.   EVALUATION OF EI30 FOR THE PATUXENT BASIN
                      Total rainfall
                       at Beltsville3
                           (in.)              EI30 for Beltsville
May 6-7, 1967
August 23-25, 1967
May 27-28, 1968
June 27-July 3, 1968
April 14-15, 1970
May 14-20, 1970
July 9-10, 1970
July 20-23, 1970
April 6-7, 1971
May 13-16, 1971
May 28- June 3, 1971
July 1, 1971
August 2-4, 1971
September 11-12, 1971 .. .
April 1-2, 1973
April 25-27, 1973
May 27-28, 1973
September 23-29, 1975
April 1-7, 1976
April 5-11, 1977
May 14-20, 1978
1.45
4.63
2.22
2.65
2.6

2.94
1.07
1.80
3.55
2.15
1.1
2.01
3.05
2.1
2.7
1.0




3.7
75.3
6.5
22.4
4.2
No data
56.3
1.0
2.0
16.8
6.3
11.2
46.1
73.2
18.5
9.5
2.8
Data problems
Data problems
Data problems
Data problems
Data prior to April 1973 are from the Beltsville Plant
Station 5.  Those after that date are from Beltsville.
Generally, the difference between the two locations seems
small.
                              64

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                        TABLE 2-35.  AVERAGE K FACTOR VALUES BY  SUBBASIN  FOR THE PATUXENT  BASIN
CTl
in
Average K values by county
Subbasin Anne Arundel
1 0.37
2 0.34
3
4 0.34
5 0.32
6
7
8
Calvert Charles Howard Montgomery
0.34 0.38
0.33
_
0.37
0.35
0.36
0.36 0.37'
0.35 0.37
Prince Georges
0.33
0.34
0.33
0.34
-
-
-
_
St. Marys
0.31
-
-
-
-
-
-
_

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2.3.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S)

     Slopes and slope  lengths  for the IRAs of which the Patuxent River Basin
is a part  were  obtained from the national data base associated with the non-
point calculator.   These  values  were used to obtain  slope  and slope length
factors for the basin.   The data used included  that  for LRA 148 (Northern
Piedmont) and LRA 149 (Northern Coastal Plains) and are tabulated in Appendix I.

2.3.3.1.4  Over Factor (C)

     The year 1973 was chosen as the base year for defining land use conditions
for the Patuxent  River Basin.  The areas  of principal  crops for that year  are
presented in Table 2-36.
     TABLE 2-36.   AGRICULTURAL DATA FOR COUNTIES IN PATUXENT RIVER BASIN
                    IN 1973
                                Crop area-(103 acres)
County
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
Corn
9.0
7.0
11.0
14.0
21.0
8.0
13.0
Wheat
0.8
0.8
2.5
2.5
5.7
2.2
3.1
Tobacco
4.6
4.5
5.5
-
-
4.2
6.2
Soybeans
2.0
1.5
5.0
-
0.7
3.0
9.5
Barley
0.1
0.4
0.2
3.0
3.0
0.1
1.6
Total
16.5
14.2
24.2
19.5
30.4
17.5
33.4
     Conversations with county agents indicated the following cropping patterns:

     1.  Continuous corn.
     2.  Continuous tobacco with a winter cover crop.
     3.  Corn-soybeans in 2-year rotation.
                                       66

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     4.   Corn-small  grains (wheat, barley) in 2-year rotation.
     5.   Tobacco-tobacco-cover (rye) in 3-year rotation.

     6.   Small  grain-cover in an annual rotation.

     7.   Corn-corn-small grain-small grain in 4-year rotation.

     8.   Corn-corn-cover-corn in 4-year rotation.


     These patterns  were used in conjunction with 1973 agricultural statistics
to estimate acreages  of crops grown in the  rotations.   The results of this

analysis are presented in Table 2-37.
      TABLE 2-37.   ESTIMATED AREAS OF PRINCIPAL CROP ROTATIONS BY COUNTY
                     IN PATUXENT RIVER BASIN IN 1973
Crop area (103 acres)
County
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard-
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
CC TcT
6.1 4.6
4.3 4.5
3.3
14.0
-
2.7
5.0
CSb
4.0
3.0
10.0
-
1.4
6.0
19.0
CSg
1.8
2.4
5:9
-
-
4.6
7.0
CCCoCo TTCo

-
5.5
-
11.6
4.2
2.4
SbCo CCSgSg

-
-
5.5
17.4
-

  CC = Continuous corn.
  TcT = Tobacco-winter cover-tobacco (annual rotation).
  CSb = Corn-soybean (2-yr rotation).
  CSg = Corn-small grain (2-yr rotation).
  CCCoCo = Corn-corn-cover-cover (4-yr rotation).
  TTCo = Tobacco-tobacco-Cover crops (3-yr rotation).
  SbCo = Soybeans-cover crops (annual rotation).
  CCSgSg = Corn-corn-small grain-small grain (4-yr rotation).
     The C factors for the various crops and rotations were developed for each

of  the  counties within  the  basin.   These  factors were then matched with
rainfall  intervals  established using the periods  given in Table 2-34.   In

doing so,  it  was  found that significant variations in C factor occurred from
                                       67

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county to county  within  the basin.  Therefore,  each  crop  in  each  county was
assigned a C  value  for each rainfall interval.  These C factors are given in
Table 2-38.

2.3.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)

     The 1967 CNI contains information pertaining to land on which conservation
practices have been applied.  Lacking more current information, it was assumed
that conservation practices did not change significantly between 1967 and 1973.
The P values used are tabulated in Appendix I.

2.3.3.1.6  Land Use Within the Patuxent River Basiji .

     The changes  in  cropping patterns as  reflected  in  differences  between the
1967 CNI and  the  1973  base year were accommodated by  shifting acreages within
the various counties.  Specific changes were:

     Anne Arundel County:  1,490 acres of row crops (soybeans or tobacco) were
shifted to corn;  5,960 acres of row crops  and small  grains were shifted to
pasture.

     Calvert County:   3,170 acres  of row crops were  shifted  to corn; 13,400
acres of row crops and small grains were shifted to pasture.

     Charles County:   560  acres of small grains  were shifted to  corn;  200
acres of small  grains  were shifted to  row  crops;  and 2,140  acres  of small
grains were shifted to pasture.

     Howard County:   880  acres  of  row crops  were  shifted to corn;  1,930  acres
of row crops and  small  grains were shifted to pasture.

     Montgomery County:  1,500  acres  of corn were shifted  to  row  crops;  1,000
acres of corn were shifted to small grains; 4,800 acres of  pasture were  shifted
to small grains.
                                       68

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TABLE 2-38.   COVER FACTORS (C) FOR CROPS BY RAINFALL INTERVALS AND
               COUNTIES FOR THE PATUXENT RIVER BASIN
Rainfall interval /county
1.







2.







3.







4.







Early April -mid- April
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
Mid- April -late May
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
Late May- late June
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
Late June-late July
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys

Corn

0.14
0.14
0.21
0.07
0.06
0.18
0.80

0.68
0.68
0.73
' 0.60
0.52
0.71
0.78

0.59
0.19
0.62
0.52
0.45
0.61
0.66

0.45
0.45
0.48
0.41
0.36
0.47
0.51

Small
grain

0.19
0.19
0.19
0.16
0.16
0.19
0.21

0.14
0.14
0.14
0.12
0.12
0.14
0.16

0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09

0.03
0.07
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
C factor for crop
Tobacco Soybeans

0.02
0.02
0.02
0.07
0.07
0.05
"0.02

0.26
0.26 .
0.26
0.07
0.07
0.46
0.17

0.30
0.30
0.30
0.66
0.66
0.51
0.20

0.25
0.25
0.25
0.58
0.58
0.38
0.17

Row crops

0.04
0.03
0.04
-
-
0.06
0.05

0.20
. 0.21
0.17
-
-
0.30
0.11

0.41
0.39
0.47
-
-
0.57
0.40

0.35
0.33
0.41
-
-
0.46
0.42
                                 69

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                           TABLE 2-38.  (continued)
                                               C factor for crop
Rainfall interval/county
       Small
Corn   grain   Tobacco   Soybeans   Row crops
5. Late July-early August
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys
6. Early August-mid-September
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges
St. Marys

0.45
0.45
0.48
0.41
0.36
0.37
0.51

0.26
0.26
0.28
0.24
0.21
0.27
0.29

0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07

0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07

0.14
0.14
0.14
0.42
0.42
0.20
0.10
-
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.28
0.28
0.42 •••• -
0.39

0.22
0.21
0.27
-
-
0.29
0.29

0.31
0.31
0.30
-
-
0.34
0.32
                                       70

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     Prince Georges County:   1,800  acres of  corn were shifted to  pasture;
6,700 acres of  row crops were shifted  to  pasture;  and 1,450 acres of small
grains were shifted to pasture.

     St. Marys County:  830  acres  of corn were shifted to pasture; 180 acres
of row  crops  were shifted to  pasture;  and  3,200  acres of small grains were
shifted to pasture.

2.3.3.1.7  Nutrients

     Concentrations of  nutrients  in  the Patuxent  Basin soils  were  sought  from
regional soil  scientists  and from  soil  test results.   Information  relating to
total nutrient  content  was not readily  obtainable;  most information reflected
available nutrient concentrations.  The concentrations  of available phosphorus
are  shown  in  Table 2-39.   Total  phosphorus  was estimated  from  general  soils
information for  the  region... For  purposes  of nonpoint load estimates,  a value
of 200  ppm  phosphorus was used for the  coastal  region (Anne Arundel,  Calvert,
Charles, and  Prince  Georges counties);  and  500 ppm for the  Piedmont region
(Howard and Montgomery counties).
               TABLE 2-39.  SOIL NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS IN THE
                              PATUXENT RIVER BASIN

         County             Available phosphorus          Total nitrogen
Anne Arundel
Calvert
Charles
Howard
Montgomery
Prince Georges,
St. Marys
28
29
24
20
20
24
26
1,580
1,480
1,540
1,800
1,660
1,630
1,480
     a  Total phosphorus is estimated to be 200 ppm in the coastal
        region and 500 ppm in the Piedmont.
        Available nitrogen is assumed to be 10% of total.

                                       71

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     Table 2-39  also shows  the  total concentration  of  nitrogen  in soils.
These values were obtained from the Jenny equation.

     Enrichment ratios for nitrogen were determined using the method described
in section  2.1.3.1.7.   The  average  value  for  the seven  counties  in the
Patuxent River Basin  is  1.62 + 0.08.  An  enrichment  ratio of 1.6 was used.

     The  input  of rainfall  nitrogen was  also  estimated using procedures
outlined  in  section  2.1.3.1.7.   The  value  estimated  for  the  Patuxent
River Basin is 0.0059 Ib/acre/event.

2.3.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio

     Based on available information,  sediment delivery ratios for the Patuxent
Basin cannot  be  quantified.   A  value of  0.1 was  arbitrarily  chosen, for
estimating nonpoint loads.  ...

2.3.3.2  Load Determination

     The  estimated  nonpoint loads for the basin are shown  in  Table 2-40.
    TABLE 2-40.  ESTIMATED STREAM LOADING RATES FOR THE AVERAGE PATUXENT
                   EVENT, SEDIMENT DELIVERY RATIO =0.1

                                              Ib/mile/event
Subbasin
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
ton/mi le/event
Sediment
98
104
67
114
60
101
97
67
Phosphorus
Total
65
58
37
70
75
163
153
108
Available
8.5
7.5
4.8
8.6
4.4
6.5
6.1
4.3
BOD5
940
1,050
700
1,180
660
1,160
1,050
750
Nitrogen
Total
480
540
360
600
340
590
530
380
Available
57
65
42
72
39
68
58
44
                                       72

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2.3.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources

     Two significant urban  centers  are located in the Patuxent River Basin:
Bowie (population 41,000)  and Laurel  (population 14,500).  Neither community
has combined  sewers, so  there are no  combined  sewer overflows in the basin.

     Public Works  officials  in  Bowie  and Laurel were contacted  to obtain
lengths  of  streets in the two municipalities.   These values were  used in
conjunction with deposition  rates of solids, BOD5,  available nitrogen,  total
nitrogen, available phosphorus,  and total phosphorus.  Estimated annual  loads
for these pollutants in urban runoff are shown in Table 2-41.
            TABLE 2-41.  ESTIMATED ANNUAL LOADS FOR URBAN RUNOFF:
                           PATUXENT RIVER BASIN
     Towns:
       Bowie; population = 41,000; curb-miles = 260
       Laurel; population = 14,500; curb-miles = 70
                                Loading Rate               Loads (ton/yr)
Constituent
Solids
BOD5
Available nitrogen
Total nitrogen
Available phosphorus
Total phosphorus
(Ib/curb mile/day)
5.90
3.6
0.25
0.60
0.06
0.12
Bowi e
28,000
170
12
29
3
6
Laurel
7,500
46
3
8
1
2
2.3.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality

     Instream  concentration  estimates for  nitrogen and phosphorus for  the
Patuxent River,  based  on the loads estimated above, are presented in Section
3.4.4.2.2 of  Volume  II.   No  water  quality data were available  for  comparison.
                                       73

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2.4  DEMONSTRATION EXAMPLE:   WARE RIVER BASIN

2.4.1  Character of the Basin

     The Ware River  is the smallest of the four river basins evaluated  in the
Chesapeake Bay phase  of  the  study.   Its area is only about 62 sq miles.  The
basin is  located entirely within Gloucester County, Virginia, off Mojack Bay,
adjacent to Chesapeake Bay.   The land consists mainly  of  forest and swamps
with small areas of agricultural development.   There are no urban areas in the
basin.   The largest town in the basin is Gloucester, with a population of 700.

     For analysis  the basin  has  been divided  into.four  subbasins.  Table 2-42
gives the  areas  of the subbasins and the  lengths  of the principal  streams.
Figure 2-4 shows the basin and subbasins.


                      TABLE 2:42.  WARE RIVER SUBBASINS
Subbasin
Cow Creek
Beaver Dam Swamp
Fox Mill Run
Ware and Wilson Creek
Total
Area-
(acres)
3,164
16,214
10,678
9,491
37,547
Length of principal
streams (miles)
5
22
14
16

     The average  annual  rainfall  for the Ware Basin is about 45 in., and the
wettest months  are  July  and August.  Dry months are October through  December.

2.4.2 Nonpoint Load Estimation Methodology—An Overview

     The same  nonpoint  source assessment procedure which was applied to the
Sandusky River  Basin  was used for  the Ware.   The Ware  River Basin contains  no
significant urban sources of  nonpoint pollution.

                                       74

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GLOUCESTER COUNTY
            \
             \
X
                                                N
                                                 North River
                                                      Mobjack
                                                       Bay
                                        COUNTY  BOUNDARY
                               	WATERSHED BOUNDARY
                               	—- SUB-BASIN BOUNDARY
             Figure 2-4.  Ware River Basin and Subbasins.

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2.4.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources

2.4.3.1  Parameter Evaluation

2.4.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R)

     There are  no  recording  rain gauges  in the Ware  River Basin.  The  nearest
station with recoverable  data is  at Williamsburg, Virginia,  about  12 miles
southwest of  the  basin.   Table  2-43 shows the periods  analyzed (based on
compatibility with the study  presented  in Volume II) and  the  EI30 values
calculated  for  Williamsburg.  The  data were  obtained from  the National
Climatic Center.


          TABLE 2-43.   EVALUATION OF EI30 FOR THE WARE RIVER BASIN

                                Total rainfall
                             at Williamsburg (in.)      EI30 for Williamsburg
May 7, 1967
August 23-25, 1967
May 27- June 2, 1968
August 3-September 1969
April 23-24, 1970
April 23-29, 1972
May 19-25, 1972
June 21-23, 1972
April 8-14, 1973
April 26-May 2, 1973
June 23-29, 1974
July 24-27, 1974
June 17, 1974
September 4-10, 1974
July 12-18, 1975
September 1-7, 1975
September 23-29, 1975
April 1-7, 1976
May 1-7, 1976
September 16-22, 1976
April 4-5, 1977
April 24, 1977
April 24-25, 1972 '
August 17-18, 1972
August 24, 1977
1.15
3.2
No data
No data
No data
No data
Data problems
2.4
No data
No data
No data
3.3
0.8
No data
Data problems
No data
No data
No data
Data problems, late April
No data
1.6
0.9
0.9
1.4
2.7
7.1
28.7





13.9



30.7
4.2







6.4
2.9
2.8
13.0
42.8
          Total                                               152.5
                                       76

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     As can be  seen  from the entries  in  Table 2-43, the rainfall  data  for
Williamsburg are  plagued with problems.   As  a  result,  there  is  a  considerably
more uncertainty in the definition of a rainfall event for the Ware Basin than
for  the  other basins  studied.   Better data may have  been  available for
Norfolk, Virginia.   However,  Norfolk is about  50 miles  from the  Ware  Basin.
Therefore, we chose to use data from Williamsburg, which is closer.

     For the  10  storm periods with  data,  the  average  value  of  EI30 is 15.3;
without the largest  event,  the average is 12.2.  The  events  are  distributed
over the period  April  through September,  and the  most  erosive rainfall occurs
in late summer.

2.4.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)

     The weighted K factor for the soils in  the Ware River Basin  is 0..25.  This
value was established by estimating  areas of particular soil,  series within soil
associations and using the acreage as the weighting factor to determine average
K values for the associations.  Soil credibility was fairly uniform throughout
the basin; hence, the single K value for all  the soils.

2.4.3.1.3  Slope Factors (L and S)

     The slopes and slope lengths for LRA 149 as developed by the Soil Conser-
vation Service were  used to estimate  LS  values.   LRA 149 (Northern Coastal
Plain) includes Gloucester County and the Ware  River Basin.   Values for slopes
and slope lengths are tabulated in Appendix  I.

2.4.3.1.4  Cover Factor  (C)

     The cover  factors  (C) were  developed for  specific crops  based upon  crop-
ping patterns and rotations.   The base year  for the nonpoint  analysis  is 1977.
The  areas  of  principal  crops  (corn,  soybeans,  wheat  and barley) in Gloucester
County for 1977 were presented in Table 2-44, along with areas  of the  crop ro-
tations.  Crop  acreage  was assumed  to  be  uniformly distributed  throughout  the
county and approximately 28 percent  of the county is in the Ware  Basin.

                                       77

-------
                  TABLE 2-44.   AGRICULTURAL DATA FOR GLOUCESTER
                                 COUNTY (WARE RIVER BASIN),
                                 VIRGINIA FOR 1977
                              Crops
                    (acres)
                 Corn
                 Soybeans
                 Wheat
                 Barley

                                Total

                            Rotations

                 Continuous corn
                 Corn-soybeans (2-yr rotation)
                 Corn-small grains-soybeans
                    (2-yr rotation)
                     7,300
                     6,500
                     1,400
                     1,100

                    16,300
                       800
                     8,000
                     7,500
     The crop rotations were used to establish C factors for various stages of
growth for corn, soybeans, and small grains (wheat and barley).   Cover factors
are tabulated in Table 2-45.
     TABLE 2-45.   COVER FACTORS (C) BY RAINFALL INTERVAL FOR THE WARE
                     RIVER BASIN
      Group of events
Corn
Soybeans
Small grain
Early April to mid-April
Mid-April to mid-May
Mid-May to mid- June
Mid-June to mid-July
Mid-July to mid-August
Mid-August to mid-September
0.46
0.77
0.64
0.50
0.24
0.24
0.08
0.15
0.38
0.38
0.30
0.13
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.05
0.05
0.05
                                       78

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2.4.3.1.5  Support Practice Factor (P)

     The practice factors (P) based on information for Gloucester County as re-
ported in the 1967 CNI were used for the Ware River Basin.   More current infor-
mation was not available.  The P values used are given in Appendix I.

2.4.3.1.6  Land Use Within The Ware River Basin

     The changes  in  land use  based on  comparison  of the  1967  CNI and the 1977
agricultural statistics  data  for Gloucester County are the following:  1,000
acres of row crops (soybeans) shifted to corn; 1,800 acres of row crops shifted
to pasture; and 300 acres of small grain shifted to pasture.

2.4.3.1.7  Nutrients

     Total soil phosphorus concentration in soils in the Ware River Basin is es-
timated to  be  about  200 ppm.   Of this  total,  38  ppm  is  present as available
phosphorus.

     Total  soil  nitrogen as estimated by  the  Jenny  equation is 1,410  ppm.

     Total  nitrogen  in  rainfall  is  estimated  to be  0.0027   Ib/acre/event.

2.4.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio

     No data are  available  for  estimating  a sediment  delivery ratio.  A value
of 0.1 was used in the analysis.

2.4.3.2  Load Determination

     Estimates of nonpoint loads are given  in Table 2-46.
                                       79

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      TABLE 2-46.   ESTIMATED STREAM LOADING RATES FOR THE AVERAGE WARE
                     EVENT; SEDIMENT DELIVERY RATIO =0.1
Ib/mile/event
tons/mile/event Phosphorus
Subbasin
Cow Creek
Beaver Dam Swamp
Fox Mill Run
Ware and Wilson
Creek
Sediment
5.1
5.9
6.1
4.7

Total
4.7
5.8
5.8
4.7

Available
0.9
1.1
1.1
0.9

BOD5
71
83
85
66

Ni
Total
37
43
45
35

trogen
Available
6
6
6
5

2.4.4  Nonpoint Source Impacts on Water Quality

     Instream concentration..estimates for sediment, nitrogen, phosphorus, and
BOD5 are  presented in  Section  3.5.5 of  Volume  II.   These  concentration
estimates are based on  the loads for rural  nonpoint  sources  presented above.

2.5  DEMONSTRATION EXAMPLE:  OCCOQUAN RIVER  BASIN

2.5.1  Character of the Basin

     The Occoquan River is located in Northern Virginia.   The drainage area is
approximately 480  sq miles; the  river discharges into the Potomac River below
the Washington,  D.C. metropolitan area.  The basin is located entirely within
LRA 148—Northern Piedmont.

     The principal  land  uses  of the Occoquan River Basin are agriculture and
forestry.  There  are  significant areas  of urban development at Manassas and
Manassas Park.  A major urban area—Fairfax, Virginia—is located on the north-
ern periphery of the basin.   Much of the area around these communities is low
density surburban housing.
                                       80

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     The Occoquan  River  is  dammed near its confluence with the Potomac.  The
reservoir  behind  the dam  is  used as a major  public  water supply for  the
Washington, D.C.-Northern Virginia area.

     The average  annual  rainfall  for the area  is  about 41 in. (Washington,
D.C.)  and  is fairly  evenly distributed throughout the  year.   The wettest
months are July and August, and driest months occur in winter.

     For purposes  of evaluation,  the Occoquan  River  Basin  has been divided
into five  subbasins.   Figure  2-5 is a map delineating the Occoquan Basin and
subbasins.   Areas  of the  subbasins  and lengths  of  principal  streams are given
in Table 2-47.
                   TABLE 2-47.  OCCOQUAN RIVER SUBBASINS
                   Area (acres)         Length of principal streams (miles)
Kettle Run
Cedar Run
Broad Run
Bull Run
Occoquan
Total
15,104
115,463
42,178
82,190
52,022
306,957
16
37
22
43
38

2.5.2  Nonpoint Source Load Estimation Methodology—An Overview

     As  for  the  other basis the procedure  used  for load estimation  in  the
Occoquan was  the  same as  described for  the  Sandusky.   Details  may  be  found in
Section  2.1.   Both urban and  rural  nonpoint sources  exist in the  Occoquan
Basin.
                                       81

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                                                              T// Dulles Airporl
N
00
NJ
                                                                                      FAIRFAX

                                                                                      COUNTY
                                                BULL RUN'SUB-BASIN
                                                    \   /     /
                              «_^l *^^(—«v^ I 1 ^.^ f '


                         ~~~\   SUB-BASIN
                         ,  \ 	       ~^r^
                       }   JCEDAR RUN

                       (   'SUB-BASIN
                       \    l
                                                                        	 COUNTY BOUNDARY

                                                                        	 WATERSHED BOUNDARY

                                                                        	 SUB-BASIN BOUNDARY
                                            ^J^


                                  Figure 2-5.  Occoquan River Basin and Subbasins.

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2.5.3  Rural Nonpoint Sources


2.5.3.1  Parameter Evaluation


2.5.3.1.1  Rainfall Factor (R)


     The recording  station at The  Plains,  Virginia, was  chosen  for  use  in  de-

termining EI3o values for the Occoquan River Basin.  There are several stations

around the  basin,  but none was  found  to  be very  satisfactory  in  terms of data

availability, e.g., length of record, completeness of records, etc.   Thus,  the
station at The Plains represents the best choice of a bad lot.


     Table 2-48  shows the periods for which  rainfall data were  analyzed for
Plains.  Data were  obtained  from the National Climatic  Center  in Asheville,

North  Carolina.   Events  were selected based on  their compatibility with the

analysis presented in Volume II.
            TABLE 2-48.  EVALUATION OF EIjjo FOR THE OCCOQUAN BASIN
                                   Rainfall at The Plains (in.)
                         El
                                                                           30
  May 13-16, 1971
  April 21-24, 1971
  May 20-26, 1972
  June 21-27, 1973
  April 25-27, 1973
  May 27-28, 1973
  May 11-12, 1974
  June 2-8, 1974
  August 31-September 6, 1975
  March 31-April 1, 1976
  September 15-16, 1976

       Total
 2.4                     11.0
 1.8                     10.3
          Data problems
  Hurricane Agnes - neglected
 2.3
 1.3
 1.8
 1.6
 2.3

13.7
          No data
          No data
 7.0
 6.2
21.9
13.6
12.0

82.0
  Note:  Average of seven events = 11.7;
         Average without largest = 10.0
                                       83

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     For the seven events for which data were available during the period 1971
to 1976, the average EI30 is 11.7.   Average annual EI30 value for the basin is
about 200.  The events are  scattered throughout the growing  season.  However,
data gaps are frequent in the summer months.  These gaps led to the definition
of a rainfall  interval encompassing the period mid-June to early October, which
also encompasses  a  major segment of the crop growing season.  Thus, when the
rainfall intervals are integrated with crop growing data to ascertain appropri-
ate factors for the Occoquan Basin, there  is difficulty  in  providing  accu-
rate C factors for all periods.

2.5.3.1.2  Soil Erodibility Factor (K)

     Soil surveys were available for only  three  of the four counties  in the
Occoquan Basin.   It was  determined that the survey for Fauquier County could
be used  to  provide  a representative K  value  for  the  entire Occoquan Basin.

     Analysis of the county soil survey maps showed that K values for the pre-
dominant series varied from 0.28 to 0.43.  However,  when the  K values were
weighted according  to area!  extent  of  specific soil series,  it was  found that
both the predominant and average K  value  for  the  Fauquier County was 0.32.  A
K value  of  0.32  was used for estimating  soil  loss from the entire Occoquan
River Basin.

2.5.3.1.3  Slope Factors  (L and S)

     Slopes and slope lengths for LRA 148 were obtained from the nonpoint cal-
culator data base.  These values are tabulated in Appendix I.  More appropriate
data were not readily available.

2.5.3.1.4  Cover Factor  (C)

     The base year chosen for the analysis  of the Occoquan River Basin is 1973.
The areas of  crops  grown in the Occoquan  Basin in 1973  are presented in  Table
2-49.  A large part of the corn grown in the region is used  for silage.
                                       84

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              TABLE 2-49.   AGRICULTURAL DATA FOR COUNTIES IN THE
                             OCCOQUAN RIVER BASIN IN 1973
                                     Crop area (103 acres)
    County      Corn for grain  Corn for silage  Soybean  Wheat  Barley  Total

Fairfax         Virtually no cropping; all nonurban land assumed to be pasture
Fauquier             14.1            14.1          1.1    3.0      2.2   34.5
Loudoun              22.0             4.0          0.8    5.3      3.0   35.1
Prince William        3.3             1.7           -     0.9      0.4    6.3
     Six crop  rotation  patterns  were identified through  contact with  county
agents.   These are:

     1.   Continuous corn (annual  rotation).
     2.   Corn-small grain (wheat and barley) (2-yr rotation).
     3.   Soybean-small grain (2-yr rotation).
     4.   Corn-corn-small grain (3-yr rotation).
     5.  .Corn-corn-soybean (3-yr rotation).
     6.   Corn-small grain-cover (rye)-cover (4-year rotation).

     These rotation patterns  were  used in conjunction with  the 1973 data  to
generate estimates of acres  of crops in  the  rotations.   These estimates are
presented in Table 2-50.

     The crop  rotation  data were used to  generate  C  factors  for each rotation
as a function of stage of growth.  These factors were then integrated with the
rainfall event intervals and are tabulated in Table 2-51.

     As discussed  earlier, the rainfall data  for the Occoquan River Basin  are
not good.  The interval  from mid-June to  early October  is much too long to
calculate accurate C  factors.   During this period rapid crop growth  occurs
which directly affects C values.
                                       85

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     TABLE 2-50.   ESTIMATED AREAS OF PRINCIPAL CROP ROTATIONS BY COUNTY
                    IN THE OCCOQUAN RIVER BASIN FOR 1973
Areas in rotation (103 acres)
County CC CCSg SbSg CSg CCSb
Fauquier 20.0 12.3 2.2
Loudoun 16.1 - - 16.6 2.4
Prince William 3.7 - - 0.9
CSgCoCo
1.7
CC = Continuous corn (annual rotation).
CCSg = Corn-corn-small grain (3-yr rotation).
SbSg = Soybean-small grain (2-yr rotation).
CSg = Corn-small grain (2-yr rotation).
CCSb = Corn-corn-soybean (3-yr rotation).
CSgCoCo = Corn-small grain-cover-cover (4-yr rotation).
     TABLE 2-51.   COVER FACTORS (C) BY RAINFALL INTERVAL AND BY CROP
                    FOR THE OCCOQUAN RIVER BASIN


Group of Events
Early April to mid-April
Mid- April to late April
Late April to late May
Late May to mid- June
Mid-June to early October


Corn
0.12
0.17
0.17
0.16
0.13

Soybeans
(Loudoun)
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.19
0.16
Crop
Soybeans
(Fauquier)
0.19
0.19
0.09
0.03
0.26

Small
grain
0.14
0.14
0.08
0.05
0.20
2.5.3.1.5  Support Practice Factors (P)

     The 1967 CNI contains the latest data concerning implementation of conser-
vation practices on cropland.  Lacking more current  information, conservation
practice factors for 1967 were assumed to be the same in 1973 for purposes of
estimating soil loss.   P values are tabulated in Appendix I.
                                       86

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2.5.3.1.6  Land Use Within The Occoquan River Basin

     The changes  in  cropping  patterns  as  reflected  in  the  differences  between
the 1967 CNI  and  the 1973 base year were accommodated by shifting acreages
within the various counties.   The following land use shifts were made:

     Fairfax County:   1,800 acres  of  corn were shifted to pasture; 430 acres
of row crops were shifted to pasture;  and 730 acres of small grain were shifted
to pasture.   (Note:   Although there were  agriculture  products  reported for
Fairfax County  in 1973,  the  portion of the county in the Occoquan Basin pro-
duced none of these.)

     Fauquier County:  6,200  acres  of  small grain were shifted  to  corn; 5,000
acres of pasture were shifted to corn;  and 1,100 acres of pasture were shifted
to other row crops.

     Loudon County:  800  acres of corn were shifted  to row crops;  5,400 acres
of corn were  shifted to pasture; and 6,100 acres of small grain were shifted
to pasture.

     Prince William County:   210  acres of row  crops were shifted to  small
grain; 890  acres  of  pasture  were shifted  to  small  grain;  and 2,470 acres  of
pasture were shifted to corn.

2.5.3.1.7  Nutrients

     The available soil  phosphorus  as  reported in  soil test information and
the total soil nitrogen as calculated from the Jenny equation are presented in
Table 2-52.  The total phosphorus concentration in soil is estimated to be 480
ppm from information in the nonpoint calculator data base.

     The nutrient  enrichment  ratio  was found to be 2.14 + 0.08.  The enrich-
ment ratio used for estimating nonpoint loads was 2.1.

     Nitrogen in rainfall was estimated to be 0.0052 Ib/acre/event.

                                       87

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    TABLE 2-52.   SOIL NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS IN THE OCCOQUAN RIVER BASIN

                            Average nutrient concentration in soil -(ppm)
      County              Available phosphorus            Total nitrogen
Fairfax
Fauquier
Loudoun
Prince William
34
20
22
27
1,640
1,750
1,640
1,520
  ?  Total phosphorus is approximately 420 ppm.
     Available nitrogen is assumed to be 10% of total.

2.5.3.1.8  Sediment Delivery Ratio

     Two sediment delivery  ratios  were arbitrarily used in the evaluation of
the Occoquan  River  Basin--0.1  and 0.2.  This basin has greater physiographic
relief than the  other  Chesapeake basins, and the sediment delivery ratio may
be larger than  those of the other basins-.   Sediment delivery  ratios of  both
0.1 and 0.2 were used in the Occoquan evaluation in Volume II.   Details of the
analysis are presented there.   The information needed for determining delivery
ratios for the basin was not available.

2.5.3.2  Load Determination

     The nonpoint loads  estimated for the Occoquan River Basin are presented
in Table  2-53.   The two sets of  entries  reflect the use of the two delivery
ratios (0.1 and 0.2) used in the analysis.

2.5.4  Urban Nonpoint Sources

     Urban  nonpoint annual  lands  for the  principal municipalities  in the
Occoquan  River  Basin  are  presented in  Table  2-54.   These  loads were
estimated by  multiplying street  curb-miles for the  cities (Manassas and
Manassas  Park)  by deposition rates  as  reported  by Sartor and Boyd (1972).
                                       88

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  TABLE 2-53.   ESTIMATED STREAM LOADING RATES FOR THE AVERAGE OCCOQUAN EVENT
                 (Ib/mile/event)
Subbasin
Sediment1
                                  Phosphorus
Total    Available
BODc
                                                Nitrogen
Total    Available
Sediment delivery ratio =0.1
Kettle Run
Cedar Run
Broad Run
Bull Run
Occoquan
21
77
46
36
25
42
160
90
81
54
2.4
7.0
4.4
5.0
3.8
290
1,130
680
500
330
150
580
350
260
170
20
73
44
35
24
Sediment delivery ratio =0.2
Kettle Run
Cedar Run
Broad Run
Bull Run
Occoquan
41
153
92
73
50
84
320
180
160
110
4.7
13.9
8.8
10.0
7.6
580
2,270
1,350
990
660
290
1,150
690
510
340
34
130
78
60
40
   Sediment units are ton/mile/event.
TABLE 2-54.  ESTIMATED ANNUAL LOADS FROM URBAN RUNOFF:  OCCOQUAN RIVER BASIN
Towns:  Manassas Park - Population = 8,500; curb-miles = 28
        Manassas - Population = 14,000; curb-miles = 102
                                 Rate
     Constituent
         Ob/curb-mile/day)
                                       Loads (tons/yr)
                    Manassas Park
                 Manassas
Solids
BOD5
Total nitrogen
Available phosphorus
Total phosphorus
590
3.6
0.25
0.06
0.12
3,000
18
1.3
0.3
0.6
11,000
67
11.2
1.1
2.3
2.5.5  Nonpoint Source Impacts On Water Quality
     The water quality impacts associated with the nonpoint source loads esti-
mated in the  preceding sections are considered in Sections 3.6.2 to 3.6.4 of
Volume I.
                                       89

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                                   CHAPTER 3

            DETERMINATION OF NUTRIENT FLUXES IN STREAMS, WITH CASE
                 STUDIES OF THE POTOMAC AND SUSQUEHANNA RIVERS
3.1  INTRODUCTION

     Determination of  long-term average quantities of nutrients discharged by
a stream  is not  an easy task.  However, it is  important because of the poten-
tial impact of these  nutrients on estuaries or  lakes  into which the stream
might flow.   A  number  of approaches could  be used  to .determine nutrient
fluxes,  the most reliable being  the monitoring of the stream's nutrient con-
centration levels over  a  long period of time.   Resource managers often need
estimates of important environmental quantities but are not able to afford the
long delay associated with extensive experimental work.   This report describes
an approach, along with two applications,  for obtaining estimates of fluxes of
sediment-associated nutrients  in  river  basins.  The  approach  is intended to
provide useful results  with  only  a minimum amount of new information.   It is
not designed to  give  definitive  answers but rather to provide assistance in
obtaining upper  and  lower limits  on the average  nutrient  flux of a stream.

     The procedure used to estimate nutrient flux is  described in section 3.2.
Section 3.3  reports  the  results  of its  application  to the Potomac and
Susquehanna River Basins.

3.2  METHODOLOGY

     This section  presents a  procedure for  estimating fluxes of sediment-
associated nutrients  in river basins.   To make  such estimates using the ap-
proach outlined, gross  soil  loss "must be determined for a  number of subbasins
                                      90

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in the watershed, and measured values of  sediment yield  for the  basin must  be
available.   The procedure  for  determining nutrient fluxes is the  following:

     1.   Divide the watershed into subbasins.

     2.   Determine the soil loss in each subbasin using the Universal Soil Loss
Equation (USLE) (Wischmeier and Smith, 1978).

     3.   Determine the sediment discharge for the basin based on measurements;
a long-term average is preferred (near 20 years).

     4.   Estimate gross  nutrient  loads  for each subbasin based on gross soil
loss and the soil  concentration of the nutrient.

     5.   Assuming that the nutrient moves in association-with sediment, with a
possible enrichment, limits on the nutrient flux from the watershed may be es-
timated  based  on  the constraint that the  sediment  discharge  for  the basin
equals the average measured discharge.

     The soil  loss  for  each subbasin is  found  using  the USLE.   The average
sediment discharge Y  for the entire basin can then be estimated by:


     where  Y. = soil loss for subbasin i
            v. = sediment delivery ratio for subbasin i

The  sediment  delivery ratios are  generally  unknown.   An average  value  for
the entire basin is given by:
                                      91

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     where  Ysm = measured, average sediment discharge for the basin (sediment
                    originating from sheet and rill erosion)*

The nutrient is assumed to be associated with the sediment; nutrient discharge
Y  is given by:
     where  [x.] = the soil concentration of nutrient x in subbasin i
              r. = the enrichment ratio for x.

The enrichment  ratio  is  the ratio between  the  nutrient concentration  in  the
eroded sediment and  that in the undisturbed  soil.   It accounts  for the fact
that  nutrients  are associated more  (on  a per  unit  volume  basis)  with the
smaller soil particles than with the larger ones and that there is a prefer-
ential erosion and transport of the smaller particles.

     Using an expression such as that given above for Y ,  it is possible to de-
                                                       /\
termine the nutrient  flux  from the watershed.   To do  so it  is  first necessary
to evaluate the parameters in the equation.  The sediment delivery ratios, Y.,
are particularly  difficult to estimate.  What is proposed here  is  a procedure
that allows upper and lower  limits on the  nutrient flux, Y  , to  be determined
based on  a  knowledge  of  the other factors  in the above equation for Y  .   In
                                                                      /\
addition,  an average nutrient flux can be estimated using the basinwide average
value for y and y.

     The physical  argument for assigning upper and lower limits to the nutrient
flux is essentially  the  following.   Some portions of a watershed may yield
larger quantities  of  nutrient  per unit of sediment discharge than other por-
tions.  The larger than  average values are due to higher soil  concentrations
     Sediment discharge associated with sheet and rill erosion is equal to to-
     tal sediment  discharge  minus  sediment discharge originating  from other
     sources such as streambank and gully erosion and roadbank erosion.
                                      92

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of the nutrient  and  possibly to a  higher  degree  of enrichment than  exists
elsewhere.   The  upper  limit  on  the  nutrient  discharge would  be  established by
assuming that all sediment comes from those parts of the watershed yielding the
highest relative amounts of nutrient per unit of sediment.   These regions would
be assumed to supply the sediment needed to provide the sediment discharge ob-
served for the basin.   In  essence,  such  regions would be assumed  to  have  high
delivery ratios; delivery  ratios  elsewhere would be zero.   This  arrangement
would provide the  maximum  possible nutrient flux from  the basin  since  there
would be no  other  region or combination of  regions within the basin which
could provide a  higher flux, given that the sediment discharge for the total
watershed is fixed.

     An additional requirement  concerning  the estimation of the maximum flux
is that the  product  y.r. in the expression  for Y   would always be less than
or equal to  1  for each subbasin.   If y.r.  exceeds 1, Y .could be larger than
                                       I  I              /\
the total nutrient contained -in the soil.  This limitation on y.r. means  that
in finding an upper  limit  for Y ,  delivery ratios cannot be  increased without
considering the enrichment that occurs.

     A similar argument can  be used to  determine a lower  limit on nutrient
flux.   To find  a lower limit,  those areas in  the basin providing the least
nutrient flux per  unit of  sediment  discharge are  assumed to  provide  the sedi-
ment discharge from  the basin.   These areas have the  lowest values of soil
concentration of the nutrient and enrichment ratios.

     The above argument for  setting upper and lower limits  on  nutrient flux
may be expressed more  succinctly mathematically.  The upper  limit on  nutrient
flux is found by maximizing the expression above for Y  subject to a constraint
                                                      /\
on sediment  discharge  for  the basin.   Similarly,  the lower limit on nutrient
flux may be found by minimizing Y  subject to the same constraint.
                                 /\

The upper (lower) limit on Y  is found as  follows:
                            /\
                                      93

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                         maximize       2y-r.[x.]Y.
                         (minimize)               n
                         subject to     ZYlY. = Y
                                                 sm

     where  0 ^ y = l/r-

The constraint  requires  that  the  sediment discharge  for the basin be equal  to
the measured value;  y.  is less than or  equal  to l/r. since if it were not,
y.r. could be greater than 1, which would mean that more nutrient is delivered
than originally existed in the soil.

     This procedure  requires  no  assumptions concerning the sediment delivery
ratios.  It will  determine  those delivery  ratios which maximize or minimize
the nutrient  flux.   The critical assumptions  are  (a)  that the nutrient  is
transported with  the sediment., (b)  that  there  is no  net uptake or loss  of nu-
trient in the stream, and (c) that enrichment ratios can be defined.

     To clarify these assumptions,  some  discussion of  sediment transport  in a
watershed is necessary.   Sediment movement  in a watershed may be considered to
be composed of three stages:   the initial dislodging of soil particles; upland
transport and  deposition  of  sediment before a stream channel  is reached;  and
channel transport.   It  is assumed that there is no long-term accumulation of
sediment in a  stream channel.  Long-term deposition  of sediment is assumed  to
occur  in the upland  stage of  sediment transport.  The  sediment delivery ratio
accounts for he efficiency of such  upland transport.   Nutrients move with the
eroded soil and are enriched.  The enrichment ratio specifies the degree of en-
richment that occurs between point of origin and stream channel.   After the nu-
trient is  in  a stream  channel, part or  all of it may change into a soluble
form.   However, it is assumed that no net long-term losses or additions of the
nutrient occur  in the stream  channel.  If from  a long-term  perspective, sedi-
ment and nutrients  can  be treated as conservative  constituents  while  being
transported by  streams,  then  the  enrichment ratio (r)  and the assumption  con-
cerning  sediment-nutrient association  need apply  only before the nutrient
reaches a stream channel.
                                      94

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     Such assumptions mean that the analysis described is only appropriate for
determination of very  long-term average nutrient fluxes.   It  is possible  to
apply it to  short time  periods, but  such an  application  will encounter  diffi-
culties.  First, for a given short time period there may be losses of sediment
or nutrient  in  the  channel  or  additions from the channel.  Second,  the soil
losses determined using the USLE are long-term estimates.

     An average value of nutrient flux can be determined assuming that  the av-
erage delivery ratio for the nutrient is the same as for sediment in the basin.
Then,
     For the approach just outlined, the differences between the estimated av-
erage value  and  the  estimated  upper and  lower  limits on  nutrient  flux  are  de-
termined by  the  degree of homogeneity of  the  product  r.[x.] throughout the
basin.  For  a  completely homogeneous basin, the  average value  and  the upper
and lower limits are the same.

     Since the approach described assumes that the nutrient yield is correlated
with sediment yield, it will not be a valuable method for dealing with nitrogen.
However, it  should be of value in estimating fluxes of total phosphorus.  (The
procedure will also  be of  value  for use  with any  other constituents which  are
associated with sediment, not just  nutrients.)

     The method described has been  applied to the Potomac and Susquehanna River
Basins.  Results are presented in the following section.

3.3  CASE STUDY:   POTOMAC RIVER BASIN

     The methodology outlined in the preceding section has been applied to the
Potomac River  to estimate  the  nonpoint-source-associated phosphorus flux from
the basin at the Fall  Line.  The Fall Line separates the coastal plain from the
Piedmont Plateau  and crosses the Potomac at Great Falls near river mile 126.
The river below the Fall Line is mostly tidal, and the head of tidewater is at
Little Falls (river mile 117).

                                      95

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     Figure 3-1 is a map of the Potomac River Basin showing the outline of the
basin and  the boundaries of eight subbasins  into which the watershed  has  been
divided.   The entire  basin  has an area of  14,670  sq miles.   Of  this  area,
11,430 sq miles are above Great Falls.

     Long-term (October 1960 to present) suspended sediment records are avail-
able at  Point of  Rocks, Maryland, at river mile 159.5 (6 miles upstream from
the Monocacy River)  and at Jug Bridge  on the Monocacy River  (16.9 miles  up-
stream from the mouth).   The  drainage areas above these points are 9,651 and
817 sq miles,  respectively.   The combined areas constitute 91.6% of the Potomac
Basin above Great Falls.

     The sediment that is delivered to the tidal portion of the river is appar-
ently deposited there.   Schubel  and Carter  (1976) indicate that  the  Potomac
estuary  is a  net  sink for sediment  from the Chesapeake  Bay.  Therefore,  the
estimates made will be only..for the nontidal portion of the .basin.

     Table 3-1 provides information on the eight subbasins shown in Figure 3-1.
Using the  USLE, estimates were made  of  gross soil  loss in each  subbasin along
with gross loss of phosphorus, based on the soil concentration of the nutrient.
Table 3-1 contains the areas for which land use information was available.  The
land use data are from the 1967 Conservation Need Inventory (CNI) and represent
land use in the basin at that time.   All calculations with the USLE used county
portions of subbains  which were then combined in each subbasin  to give totals
for the  subbasins.   Calculations were done with a  procedure and data  base de-
scribed by Davis and Nebgen (1979);  these are briefly discussed in Appendix I.

     Comparing the areas in Table 3-1 with the basin areas given earlier indi-
cates that 82%  of the entire basin is inventoried, including 87% of the area
above Great  Falls.   Inventoried  land  excludes  federally owned land,  urban
areas, and small water areas.

     Table 3-2  shows  annual suspended sediment  discharge data for the  Potomac
at  Point  of  Rocks and the Monocacy  at  Jug  Bridge.   The  17-year average dis-
charges at these two  locations are 1.073 x 106 tons/year and 0.183 x 106 tons/
year, respectively.
                                      96

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UD
                                                                                     PENNSYLVANIA
                                                                                      MARYLAND
                                                                                                 River Basin Boundary
                                                                                                 Sub-basin  Boundary
                                             Figure 3-1.   Potomac River Basin.

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                                   TABLE 3-1.   POTOMAC  RIVER  BASIN SUBWATERSHEDS
Ui
00


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

(1)
Subbasin
Below Great Falls
Occoquan River
Above Washington
Monocacy River
Shenandoah River
Opequon Creek
South branch Potomac
North of river
Total
(2)
Inventoried
area
(miles2)
1,620
480
860
1,050
2,120
880
2,560
2,460
12,030
(3) (4)
Subbasin avg.
Soil loss soil phos-
(tons/yr x phorus cone.
10-6)
4.
1.
3.
5.
12.
3.
5.
10.
47.
7
4
2
6
0
7
9
5
o :
(ppm)
260
500
440
430
300
300
300
300

(5)
Avg. soil
phosphorus
loss (lb/
acre/yr)
2.
4.
4.
7.
5.
3.
2.
4.

4
4
9
2
3
9
2
0

(6)
Phosphorus
loss (tons/
yr x 10-3)
1.
0.
1.
2.
3.
1.
1.
3.
15.
2
7
4
4
6
1
8
2
4

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TABLE 3-2.   SUSPENDED SEDIMENT DISCHARGES, POTOMAC RIVER a
Water year
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
Total
Sediment discharge, Potomac
River at Point of Rocks (tons)
1,104,726
858,417
1,107,089
895,966
652,176
443,946
1,129,158
.734,893
156,865
1,270,933
1,375,032
2,435,621
1,533,788
1,036,640
1,595,278
528,908
1,377,571
18,237,007
3 Source: Water Resources Data for Maryland
Sediment discharge, Monocacy
River at Jug Bridge (tons)
123,299
146,480
113,026
131,503
106,851
113,690
155,032
. ... 107,761
72,507
314,684
185,449
455,552 .
240,378
160,676
311,531
146,532
222,654
3,107,605
and Delaware, U.S.
          Geological Survey.
                                 99

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Assuming that  the  average  annual  sediment discharge per unit area from above
both of these locations can be used to estimate sediment output for the 962-sq
mile area located above Great Falls but not above the sediment gauging station,
an annual average  value at Great  Falls of  1.372 x 106 tons/year  is obtained.*
Using the gross soil loss values from Table 3-1 for the area above Great Falls
along with this sediment discharge gives an average sediment delivery ratio for
the Potomac Basin above the Fall Line of 0.034, a value that is not unreasonable
based on the size of the basin.

     It should be  noted  that the 1967 land use information corresponds to  a
time period  near  the  middle  of the period of  record for suspended sediment.
Since land use changes during the 1961 to 1977 period are not considered,  1967
values are reasonable ones to use for average values.

     Assuming that  phosphorus moves in association with sediment  (at  least  in
the upland phase of transport), the approach can be applied to the Potomac  to
estimate limits for the annual flux of phosphorus at Great Falls.

     The constraints on phosphorus flux are established by the estimated sedi-
ment discharge at  Great  Falls and the measured value for the Monocacy River.
For the Monocacy River, the annual sediment discharge at Jug Bridge is 0.183 x
106 tons/year.  This  is  for  a drainage area of 817 sq miles.   The gross soil
loss for the  entire Monocacy watershed (i.e.,  subbasin 4)  (1,210  sq miles es-
timated for Table 3-1 assuming 87% inventoried) is 5.6 x 106 tons/year.   There-
fore, assuming that sediment yield is uniform throughout  the watershed, the
sediment delivery ratio,  y4,  for the Monocacy is:

                  v  - (1.210/817) (0.183 x 106) _
                  Y4           5.6 x 106         ~
     The contribution  of  bedload  to  the  total  sediment discharge  has  been  ne-
     glected.  At  Point of  Rocks  the streambed is  bedrock;  the  suspended load
     is less than about 10% sand and the suspended solids concentration is be-
     low 1,000 mg/L  even  during high flow periods.   Neglect of any bedload
     contribution seems to be a very good assumption.
                                      100

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Also, the  sediment  discharge at Great Falls  is  1.372 x 106 tons/year.  The
minimum phosphorus flux is then given by:

                                     8
                          minimize   I  y-r.[P.]Y.
                                    1=3  n    ^  1
                                 8
                    subject to   X  y.Y. = 1.372 x 106
                                1=3  1 n
                              and  y  = 0.048
                                    4
     where  0 S y. S 1/r.
     Minimum soil phosphorus concentrations are in subbasins 5 to 8.   In prin-
ciple,  subbasin  5 (the Shenandoah River) can satisfy the sediment constraint
along with the Monocacy so that:

                         y Y .+ y Y  = 1.372 x 106
                          44    55

             = 1.372 x 106 - (1.210/817) (0.183 x 106)
          ys                 12.0 x iob  •

                              = 0.092

                         y  =y  = y  =y  =0
                          3678

     So, assuming that r = 2 for all subbasins,* the  minimum P flux  is:
                         Y_    = 2y [P ]Y  + 2y [P ]Y
                          Pmin     444555

                                = 890 tons/year
     The values of  [P.]Y. are taken from Column (6) of  Table 3-1.

     A  maximum  P flux (with r = 2 in all subbasins)  can be found in the same
manner:
     The  use of  r = 2  is  somewhat  arbitrary.  McElroy  et  al.  (1976,  p.  106)  re-
     port values from  1.5  to 3.4.  The value  could be  assigned more  accurately
     by determining r   on  an event-by-event basis over many years  and  then av-
     eraging.
                                      101

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                                     8
                          maximize   I  Y-r.[P.]Y.
                                    1=3  1  ]   1  1

                                 8
                    subject to   I  y.Y. = 1.372 x 106
                                i=3  1 n
                              and  Y  = 0.048
                                    4
     where  0 ^ Y- = l/r-
     Maximum soil phosphorus  concentrations  are in subbasins 3 and 4.  Sub-
basin 4 is the Monocacy, for  which an accounting has already been made.  Sub-
basin 3 can  supply  sufficient sediment to  satisfy the constraint at Great
Falls.


                              Y Y  + Y Y  = 1.372 x 106
                               33    44

                       _ 1.372 x 106 - (1,210/816)  (0.183 x 106)
                    Ys                3.2 x 10b

                                    Y = 0.34
                                     3

                         and  Y  = Y  = Y  = Y  = 0
                               5678

     The maximum P flux is:

                              Yn    = 2Y [P ]Y  + 2Y [P ]Y
                               Pmax     333     444

     so Y     = 1,200 tons/year


An average value of Y  can be estimated by:

                              Y  = v  2  r [P ]Y
                               P     i=3  i   i  i  '

assuming that phosphorus is delivered in the same manner as sediment,  with only
an enrichment r.   With r = 2  in each subbasin,


                          Y  = (0.034)(2)(13,500)

                              = 920 tons/year
                                      102

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     The calculations concerning  the P flux at Great Falls are summarized in
Table 3-3.
            TABLE 3-3.  ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE ANNUAL PHOSPHORUS FLUX AT
                          GREAT FALLS FROM NONPOINT SOURCES
                                                                Tons/yr
       Upper limit equal to gross phosphorus loss
          (subbasins 3 to 8)                                    13,500
       Maximum flux with r = 2                                   1,200
       Flux using basin average delivery ratio (0.034)
          and r = 2                                                920
       Minimum flux with r = 2                                     890
       Flux using basin average delivery ratio (0.034)
          and no enrichment                                        460
     As Table 3-3 shows, the long-term average annual flux into the Potomac es-
tuary from  nonurban,  nonpoint  sources is in the range 890 to 1,200 tons/year
(if r = 2).  This assumes that phosphorus is associated with sediment, that the
relationship between sediment and phosphorus is determined by the soil concen-
tration of  phosphorus,  that  a  uniform enrichment  of  phosphorus  by a  factor  of
2 occurs  during  transport,  and that  sediment  contributions  from other than
sheet and rill erosion are negligible.

     Measurement of  long-term  phosphorus  fluxes on the  Potomac  are not avail-
able.  However,  an  estimate  of the nonpoint-source  phosphorus  flux  at Great
Falls for  calendar year 1966 has  been published (Jaworski, 1969).  This  esti-
mate is for a very short period, and the estimate of the portion of the flux
from nonpoint  sources  is based on a  consideration of a single agricultural
watershed  (Catoctin  Creek)  and a single forested watershed (Patterson Creek)
with an  extrapolation  from  these measurements to the  entire  upper basin.
Therefore,  it  would  not be  surprising if the  1966 results differed  substan-
tially from the estimate made here for a long-term average.
                                      103

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     For the calendar year 1966, Jaworski reports 0.470 x 106 tons of sediment
at Point of  Rocks  and 0.118 x 106 tons at Jug Bridge on the Monocacy.  Using
these  numbers  gives an  estimate of suspended  sediment  discharge equal to
0.642 x 106  tons  at Great Falls.  The estimated total land-use-related phos-
phorus flux  was  8,610  Ib/day as P04, which is equivalent to 512 tons/year as
phosphorus.

     The estimates in Table 3-3 are for a long-term average sediment discharge
at Great Falls  of  1.372 x 106 tons/year.  If the phosphorus yield in a given
year  (compared  to the long-term average)  varies in proportion to  sediment
yield, the estimated P flux for 1966 would be:

                         Y      = 0.642 x 1Q6 fg2(n = 43Q
                         Yp1966   1.372 x 10te (^U)   4
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     TABLE 3-4.   SENSITIVITY OF ANNUAL PHOSPHORUS FLUX ESTIMATES
                   TO STREAMBANK AND GULLY EROSION3
                                  Percentage of sediment discharge at
                                    Great Falls that originates in
                                     streambank and gully erosion
                               	(tons/yr)	
                                 0         5        10        15        20
Maximum flux with r = 2        1,200     1,140     1,080     1,020       960
Flux with basin average
delivery ratio and r = 2
Minimum flux with r = 2
920
890
870
850
830
" 810
780
760
740
710
   Assumes no nutrient contributed by streambank and gully erosion.
      The portion of  the  sediment originating  in streambanks and gully  erosion
 is probably within the range shown in Table 3-4; estimates of this type of ero-
 sion for the Potomac Basin have not been located.   However, a study by the Soil
 Conservation Service (1977) estimates that the streambank contribution to total
 sediment discharge is 14%  for  a 220-sq-mile area  in the Monocacy  Basin.   That
 report also uses values of 5 to 14% for other basins studied for the Baltimore
 Regional Planning Council.  Therefore,  the  results in Table 3-4  indicate the
 order of magnitude of the expected influence of streambank erosion on estimated
 phosphorus flux.

 3.4  CASE STUDY:  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER BASIN

      The phosphorus  flux  for  the  Susquehanna has also been  studied.   The
 Susquehanna Basin is  more  difficult to analyze than the Potomac because of a
 series of  reservoirs  on  the river  near  its mouth  which influence  sediment and
 nutrient transport into the Chesapeake Bay and because the period of record for
 sediment discharge measurements for the stream is rather short.

      Figure 3-2  is a map of the Susquehanna  and  indicates the nature  of  the
 seven subbasins  into  which the basin has been divided.  The river drains an
 area of 27,580 sq miles.   Table 3-5 gives data on the subbasins used.
                                       105

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 NEW YORK
PENNSYLVANIA
                                                                      River Basin
                                                                       Boundary
                                                                 __ Sub-Basin
                                                                       Boundary
                 PENNSYLVANIA
                 " MARYLAND "
                   Figure 3-2.   Susquehanna  River Basin.
                                     106

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                                 TABLE 3-5.  SUSQUEHANNA RIVER  BASIN  SUBWATERSHEDS
o
-g
(1) (2)
Inventoried
area

1

2
3

4
5
6


7

Subbasin
Susquehanna, above
Athens, Pa.
Chemung River
Susquehanna, Athens,
Pa. to Sunbury, Pa.
West branch Susquehanna
Juniata River
Susquehanna, Sunbury,
Pa. to Safe Harbor
Dam
Safe Harbor to mouth
Total
(miles2)
4

2
3

6
3
4


_1
25
,720

,540
,490

,610
,190
,010


,100
,660
(3) (4)
Subbasin avg.
Soil loss soil phos-
(tons/yr x phorus cone.
10-6)
4.

3.
7.

10.
12.
25.


7.
72.
7

2
6

7
5
9


6
2
(ppm)
510

500
410

310
300
340 ,


460

(5)
Avg. soil
phosphorus
loss (lb/
acre/yr)
1.

2.
2.

1.
3.
6.


9.

6

0
8

6
7
9


8

(6)
Phosphorus
loss (tons/
yr x
2.

1.
3.

3.
3.
8.


3.
26.
10-3)
4

6
1

3
8
9


5
6

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Calculations were done  in  the  same manner  as  for  the  Potomac  (see  Appendix  II
for a discussion).   Again, 1967 CNI data  were  used to represent  land  use.
About 93% of  the  basin is inventoried.  The  noninventoried areas  are urban
land, small  bodies of water, and federal land.

     Suspended  sediment  discharge   data   are  available  at  Harrisburg,
Pennsylvania.   The area drained above  Harrisburg  is 24,100  sq miles  or  87%  of
the Susquehanna Basin.  Data  are  available from  only 1971  to the  present so
they cannot be  classified as  long term.  Table 3-6 gives the annual sediment
discharge information  for  Harrisburg.   In  1972, the result  of Hurricane Agnes
was an unusually large sediment discharge from the basin.

               TABLE 3-6.   SUSPENDED SEDIMENT DISCHARGE AT HARRISBURG
                                          Sediment discharge
                 Water year                    (tons)

                    1971                      1,418,761
                    1972                     10,395,082
                    1973                      3,603,250
                    1974                      2,282,870
                    1975                      3,976,008
                    1976                      2,255,148
                    1977                      3.426.936
                         Total               27,358,055
                                            (16,962,973
                                             without 1972)
                 a  Source:  Water Resources Data for Pennsylvania,
                               Volume 2, Susquehanna and Potomac
                               River Basins (Part 2, Water Quality
                               Data), U.S. Geological Survey.
                                      108

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Neglecting the discharge  for 1972 gives an  annual-average  discharge  of  2.83  x
106 tons/year at Harrisburg (6-year average).*

     Williams and  Reed  (1972)  have  studied  sediment yields  in the  Susquehanna
Basin.  Based on sediment yields in various portions of the basin, they esti-
mate a total discharge of about 3 x 106 tons/year, neglecting trapping  in res-
ervoirs near the mouth  of the  river.   Based on  the work of  Williams  and Reed,
the portion  of  the basin below Harrisburg  but above Safe Harbor Dam (largely
in the  Lowland  Piedmont)  has an average  sediment yield of  about 200 tons/sq
mile.   Below Safe  Harbor, the basin (in  the  Upland Piedmont) has  an average
sediment yield of  about 300 tons/sq mile.  Assuming that  the sediment  yield
below Harrisburg and  above  Safe Harbor is 200 tons/sq  mile,  and using the es-
timated sediment discharge  at Harrisburg given above,  results in an estimate
of 3.3  x  106 tons/year sediment discharge  into the Safe Harbor reservoir.

     The procedure outlined..earlier and applied to the Potomac has been used to
estimate a  range  of possible values for  phosphorus flux into the Safe  Harbor
reservoir.   Estimates  have  also  been made  for  the phosphorus input  into the
Chesapeake Bay; however,  the uncertainties  involved are considerably increased.

     From Table 3-5 the estimated soil  loss above Safe Harbor is about  64.6  x
106 tons/year.   The 3.3 x 106 tons/year estimate  for sediment discharge there-
fore implies a delivery ratio of 0.051 for  the portion of the basin  above Safe
     As was done for the Potomac, the contribution of bedload to sediment dis-
     charge was  neglected  for the Susquehanna.  At  Harrisburg  the  suspended
     sediment concentration is well below 1,000 mg/L even during high flow pe-
     riods, and the suspended material is mostly silt and clay; less than about
     10%  is  sand.   The streambed is bedrock.  Based on these considerations,
     the correction for bedload should be very small (Strand, 1975).  The Dis-
     trict Office of the U.S. Geological Survey in Harrisburg estimates that 5
     to 10%  of  total  load is bedload.  Therefore, neglect of bedload for the
     river seems justified.
                                      109

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Harbor.   Estimating  sediment  delivery  to  the  Chesapeake  Bay  is  more  difficult
because of the three dams near the mouth of the river:  Safe Harbor, Holtwood,
and Conowingo.  Williams  and  Reed (1972) discuss the sediment trapping effi-
ciencies of  the  reservoirs;  therefore, some estimate of sediment delivery to
the Bay can  be  made.  However, it is difficult to assess the trapping effec-
tiveness for  nutrients,  which would be expected to be less influenced by the
reservoirs than  is the sediment.  A  second  complication  is that  the  hurricane
in 1972 resulted  in  sediment  removal from the reservoirs, which may have al-
tered their trapping efficiencies.

     Minimum  soil phosphorus  concentrations for the  Susquehanna are in  sub-
basins 4 and  5, and  maximum concentrations  are  in.subbasins  1 and 2.   Each of
these subbasins has sufficient soil  loss to satisfy the sediment discharge re-
quirement at Safe Harbor (see Table 3-5).   However, for either Subbasin 1 or 2,
satisfying the sediment requirement would result in delivery ratios above 0.5;
and,  therefore, yr > 1.0  (if  r =  2).   Hence,  the maximum phosphorus  flux  must
be determined by  combining  subbasins 1 and 2.  The maximum and minimum phos-
phorus fluxes into the reservoir are the following (with r = 2).
     Maximum P flux =             (4,000)(2) tons/year

                    =  3,300 tons/year
                       •3 O y 1f)6
     Minimum P flux =  ^Q 7 x 10«  (3, 300) (2) tons/year

                    =  2,000 tons/year
where the calculations were made for subbasins 1 and 2 combined (maximum flux)
and for subbasin 4 (minimum flux).

     For a delivery efficiency for phosphorus equal to the basin average sedi-
ment delivery  ratio,  the  phosphorus  flux  would  be  2,400  tons/year.   Table  3-7
summarizes phosphorus flux estimates at Safe Harbor.
                                      110

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            TABLE 3-7.   ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE ANNUAL PHOSPHORUS
                          FLUX INTO RESERVOIR BEHIND SAFE
                          HARBOR DAM
                                                           Tons/yr
           Upper limit equal to gross phosphorus           23,100
             loss above dam
           Maximum flux with r = 2                          3,300
           Flux with basin average delivery ratio           2,400
             (0.051) and r = 2
           Minimum flux with r = 2                          2,000
           Flux with basin average delivery ratio           1,200
             (0.051) and r = 1
     Using the results of Williams and Reed (1972), an estimate can be made of
sediment delivered to the Bay.  For the purposes of these calculations, it will
be assumed that  the  trapping efficiencies of  the  reservoirs  are as given  by
Williams and Reed.  If sediment removed from the reservoirs has increased their
trapping effectiveness,  then the results  presented  here are overestimates.
Williams and Reed state that Safe Harbor reservoir is in a state of man-induced
dynamic equilibrium with 106 tons of sediment deposited each year and the same
amount being  removed  by dredging.   They indicate that Holtwood has been in a
state of dynamic  equilibrium since the 1940's.  Finally, they use a trapping
efficiency of  17% for Conowingo Dam.   To  estimate sediment  discharge  at the
mouth of the river, it will be assumed that the sediment yield in the area be-
low Safe Harbor  is 300 tons/sq mile/year  and  that all  the material passes
through or is  deposited in Conowingo Reservoir.  (Actually, some of the land
is below Conowingo, but this consideration will be neglected.)

     The area  below  Safe  Harbor is estimated  at 1,200  sq miles.  Therefore,
the sediment discharged from this area is:
                                      111

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                    (1,200)(300)(0.83) = 3.0 x 105 tons/year

     The input  to  Safe Harbor is estimated  at  3.3 x 106 tons/year.  If 106
tons/year are  removed  at  Safe  Harbor  and 17% of  the  remaining  2.3  x 106  tons/
year are deposited in Conowingo, 1.9 x 106 tons/year reach Chesapeake Bay.   To
this must be added the contribution of 3.0 x 10s tons/year from below Safe Har-
bor, giving a total discharge to the Bay of 2.2 x 106 tons/year.  (Williams and
Reed estimate 1.8 x 106 tons/year.)

     The sediment  yield  of 300 tons/sq mile/year assumed to apply below Safe
Harbor is equivalent to a sediment  delivery  ratio  of 0.047  for that subbasin.
If phosphorus is delivered at this same efficiency (with r = 2), then the load
added below Safe Harbor is 330 tons/year.

     Since some  portion  of the phosphorus will  be  in  a. soluble form after
reaching a stream  and  since,  the particulate  phosphorus wi.ll.be preferentially
associated with  smaller  sized particles,  there will be less relative loss of
phosphorus in  the  reservoirs than there will be loss of sediment.   The phos-
phorus downstream from each reservoir will  be further enriched, but it is dif-
ficult to estimate this additional enrichment.   However,  if it is assumed that
no phosphorus  is lost  in the reservoirs or if it is assumed that the loss is
proportional  to  sediment  loss, then upper and lower  limits on phosphorus export
may be obtained.

     If phosphorus is unimpeded by the dams, then the maximum flux (with r = 2)
at the mouth would be 3,300 + 330 = 3,600 tons/year.  If phosphorus were trapped
with the same efficiency  as sediment, then about 30% of the input to Safe Harbor
would be  lost  and  about  17% of the  phosphorus  reaching  Conowingo would be
trapped.   Since  the minimum input to Safe Harbor (with r = 2) was estimated at
2,000 tons/year, 30% removal would leave 1,400 tons/year.  Adding the 330 tons/
year input below Safe Harbor and applying the 17% loss at Conowingo gives 1,400
tons/year to the Bay.  Therefore, the input  to the  Bay should  be in the  range
of 1,400 to 3,600 tons/year.  Table 3-8 summarizes the results for the nonpoint
loads of  phosphorus  reaching the  Bay.   The  uncertainty in phosphorus  flux  for
the Susquehanna  is considerably larger than for the  Potomac, primarily because
of the difficulty of assessing how phosphorus will move through the reservoirs.
                                      112

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           TABLE 3-8.   ESTIMATES OF RURAL NONPOINT SOURCE FLUX OF
                         PHOSPHORUS AT THE MOUTH OF THE
                         SUSQUEHANNA

                                                             Tons/yr

         Upper limit equal  to gross phosphorus loss          26,600
            in basin
         Maximum flux (r = 2, no loss in reservoirs)          3,600
         Minimum flux (r = 2, P follows sediment in           1,400
            reservoirs)
         Flux using basin average delivery ratio
            (0.051) and r = 2
         No loss in reservoirs                                2,700
         P follows sediment in reservoirs                     1,700
     There are a number of impoundments and lakes in the upper portion of the
Susquehanna Basin.   However, these control a very small portion of the basin,
about 700  sq  miles  of the 24,100 sq miles above Harrisburg.   Their influence
has been neglected.

     As in the case of the Potomac, contributions of sediment from streambank
and gully erosion have been neglected because of lack of data required to esti-
mate their importance.  The work by the Soil  Conservation Service cited in the
discussion of the Potomac suggests the magnitude of streambank erosion which
might be  expected in  the  lower portion of the  Susquehanna.   The phosphorus
fluxes estimated here would  be reduced in proportion to the contribution of
sediment  discharge arising from streambank erosion, again assuming negligible
phosphorus input from that  source.   If the Soil Conservation Service results
are indicative of conditions in the Susquehanna Basin,  the influence of stream-
bank erosion is small.
                                      113

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3.5  DISCUSSION

     Minimum and maximum  phosphorus  fluxes were determined  for  both of the
basins studied.   These values should  not  be  considered absolute upper  and
lower bounds on  the  fluxes.   What the bounds  do  indicate,  however, is  the
range of expected  values  if the assumptions used in the analysis are correct
and if the  various factors used were accurately estimated.   It is worth con-
sidering how the  results  depend upon the  factors  involved  in the analysis.

     The important factors which must be known in order to carry out the analy-
sis are:   (a)  the nutrient enrichment ratio,  (b) the soil concentration of the
nutrient, (c)  the  soil  loss,  and (d)  the  sediment  discharge  from the basin.

     The flux estimate is directly proportional to all these except soil loss.
Interestingly,  the result  is  quite  insensitive to uncertainties in the esti-
mates of soil  losses.   The..soil loss is involved in the analysis only to the
extent that it determines the area of the basin needed to satisfy the sediment
discharge requirement, which is important only if it should be near the size of
the subbasins having maximum or minimum soil nutrient concentrations.  For ex-
ample, if the subbasin having maximum soil  concentration had a small total soil
loss, then  it  might  be necessary to use the two (or more) subbasins with the
highest soil concentrations of the nutrient to satisfy  the  sediment  discharge
requirement.  Adding  subbasins with  lower  soil concentrations would  lower the
maximum flux estimated.   If the soil  loss  estimate  were very  inaccurate  or if
there were very large differences in soil nutrient concentrations between sub-
basins, this effect  could become important.  But it is not important for the
basins studied here.

     Therefore, the result is that the bounds  that have been set on phosphorus
flux are not sensitive  to  errors  in  the  soil  loss calculations.   In  addition,
the results  require JTO  information on  sediment delivery ratio.  Hence,  two of
the most troublesome factors in the analysis play only minor roles in reaching
the results.   On  the other hand, the results  are quite sensitive to soil nu-
trient concentration,  enrichment  ratio,  and sediment  discharge.   Knowledge of
                                      114

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the last factor  is  based on field measurements,  and  the  only  assurance  of  a
high level of accuracy  is a  substantial  period  of sampling.  Nutrient  concen-
tration and enrichment ratio are quantities that would benefit from refinement.

     An example  of  possible  errors in the bounds given is the following.  If
soil loss  estimates  in  the two basins are underestimates of any amount, then
use of  correct but  larger values would have  no  influence  on  the  result given.
If the  results are  overestimated by as  much  as 40  to 50%, there is  still no
influence.   Larger overestimates would result in decreases in the upper bounds
given.   Therefore,  any conceivable uncertainties  in  soil loss calculations
could do no more than decrease the upper bounds already set.   If the enrichment
ratios are in error by 25%, soil concentrations by- 25%, and sediment discharge
by 20%, the  possible errors in the upper and lower limits would be about 90%
and 55%, respectively.   There  is a possibility  that some  errors  would  be com-
pensating and that errors in soil nutrient concentrations would not be uniform
throughout the basin.   Since .the errors given  for the various parameters are
not unreasonable  for the basins studied and for the  analysis described here,
they can be used to set rough limits on  fluxes  with uncertainties due  to errors
included.

     The results  given  in  Table 3-9 imply that the flux  estimates are rather
uncertain.   This  uncertainty is primarily due  to  the fact that  the  analysis
used readily  available  data, and  little effort at refinement was made.  Con-
siderable improvement would be expected  if an effort  were made to better eval-
uate the important parameters and to better define the possible errors in each.

     The primary purpose of this work was to outline  a methodology for assign-
ing upper  and lower limits  to  nutrient export from a  watershed.   The applica-
tions presented  are not highly refined  ones;  in fact, they should  only be
viewed  as  a  first step used to illustrate the  approach.  As indicated, are a
number of ways in which the applications could  be improved.   Probably  the most
promising would  be  to  use  more  refined values for phosphorus concentration  in
the soil.
                                      115

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     TABLE 3-9.   ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE ANNUAL PHOSPHORUS FLUXES1
Tons/yr
Minimum flux
Location
Potomac at Great Falls
Susquehanna into reser-
Best
estimate
890
2,000
Lower limit
.possible
with errors
400
900
Maximum flux
Best
estimate
1,200
3,300
Upper limit
possible
with errors
2,300
6,200

   voir behind Safe
   Harbor

Susquehanna at mouth

   No loss in reservoirs

   P follows sediment in
     reservoirs
1,400
630
                           3,600
                         6,800
   Basis for calculations:   Best estimates are taken from maximum and minimum
   flux values in Tables 3-3, 3-7, and 3-8.   Upper and lower limits assume
   25% errors in enrichment ratio and soil phosphorus concentration and a 20%
   error in sediment discharge and no compensation among errors.   Results do
   not vary with errors in soil loss unless 40 to 50% over-estimates have
   been made (which would decrease maximum fluxes) and do not depend upon any
   underestimation of soil  loss.
     It would be very  interesting to apply the methodology outlined here to a
basin for which both  long-term sediment and phosphorus yield data are avail-
able.  If the basin were smaller than the one considered here, a more detailed
analysis would also be possible.
                                      116

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                                    CHAPTER 4

                           DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
     This report describes the application of a water quality  screening meth-
odology  to  a  number of river basins  of various  sizes and characteristics.
Volume I  is concerned with the estimation of nonpoint source loads of pollut-
ants in  those  basins.   The primary goal of the application is  to demonstrate
an existing methodology,  not  to  develop new techniques.  Nevertheless, some
small modifications and extensions  to the existing approach have been made.
The details of the  application  and the  presentation of the modifications  to
the original methodology  are presented  in Chapters 2 and 3.  There are a num-
ber of general  issues  related to the demonstration of the methodology which
deserve  additional  attention  or comments.  These  will  be considered here.

4.1  DATA AVAILABILITY

     Application of the methodology requires  a large volume of data in spite
of the relative  simplicity of the overall approach.  Therefore, a major prob-
lem in this study and probably in any other application is data availability.
A screening analysis  should  by  its nature not require the generation of sig-
nificant  quantities of data.  Those data that are  used in the  analysis should
already be available and should require a minimum of manipulation prior to use.
For example, the Sandusky Basin has been well  studied, but there was a definite
lack of applicable data readily available for this study.   Generally, the data
which were available were aggregated to the county level,  e.g., land use infor-
mation.   Also,  as might be anticipated,  in all the basins there was  a problem
in estimating sediment delivery ratios.   Long-term sediment yield data are not
available for the basins;  therefore, average delivery ratios cannot be properly
estimated.  Furthermore,  there is a lack of the sediment yield data  needed to
                                      117

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define variability within the basins.   Finally, there is, generally, no way to
estimate how average  delivery  ratios  might vary with  the  season.   Use of a
single average value for the delivery ratio can result in a considerable over-
or underestimation of loads for particular subbasins and seasons.  This diffi-
culty is nearly  universal.   It is, in fact, a problem of less concern in the
Sandusky Basin than for most basins since some sediment measurements are avail-
able, and since the efficiency of delivery is thought to be relatively uniform
throughout the basin.   Information on pollutant loading rates and  pollutant
characteristics in  urban  areas is also not readily available.  It was purely
a matter of  chance  that actual measurements were available for use in one of
the urban areas (Bucyrus) in one of the basins (Sandusky).

4.2  VALUE OF PARAMETER REFINEMENT

     The most  important  parameter refinements involved land use data and the
R, K, and  C  factors in the..universal  soil  loss equation.. ..The national data
base used  provides  R  values by Land Resource  Area  (LRA).  These  can easily be
replaced by  values  which  more  nearly represent each county.  Such values are
available  in Wischmeier  and Smith (1978)!  For example, in the Sandusky,  the
change was from  an  annual value of 150 to 125.  (Of course, individual event
values were calculated for use in the demonstration.)  Cover (C) factor values
were also  changed by  the  refinement process.   The  C  values  used  for the indi-
vidual counties  reflect  changes in the stage of crop growth, which is an im-
provement  over the  average  annual C values  in the data base.  The level  of
resolution of  soil  credibility values  was  improved from  the LRA  level  (in the
data base) to the county level.  In some cases, resolution was at the subbasin
level.  As much as a 20 to 40% decrease in credibility value was noted for some
subbasins in the Sandusky due to refinements in the K values.  Land use changes
in that  basin  mostly  increased soil loss  in  the interval between 1967  (data
base) and the base year used in the individual basin calculations.

     On balance then, as compared to the data base values,  the refinements for
the  Sandusky  led to decreases  in  R, K,  and  C  and,  therefore,  to  a decrease in
annual soil  loss over that  which  would be  obtained using the  data base.   Land
                                      118

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use changes partially offset the decrease.  Again, using the Sandusky Basin as
an example, in six out of the eight counties, average soil losses decreased by
20% or more due to the refinements.  Given the level of effort required to pro-
duce the  refinements  and the inherent inaccuracy in the approach, the use of
the data base is a very cost-effective approach.   For annual soil loss calcula-
tions in the basins studied, the original data base will provide useful results
(as compared  to  the  refined values) if one merely modifies the R factors for
each county and accounts for the major change in cropland.  That is, a signifi-
cant improvement is possible in this case with only a limited amount of effort.

     Certain problems occurred in the attempt to improve the estimates for some
of the parameters as already noted.  A particular problem was estimating sedi-
ment delivery  rates,  a  problem  that was  exacerbated  in  the  case  of  individual
subbasins.  Reasonable estimates of delivery ratios are essential for accurate
estimates of sediment delivered to a stream.  Lacking a general approach to the
problem, the delivery ratio..issue will continue to frustrate many applications
of the methodology.  Although less difficult, problems also occurred with other
parameters as well.  The LS and the P factors in the USLE were not modified and
were used  directly from the existing national data base.  Improvement of the
estimates used requires substantial information on topography and soil conser-
vation practices  in  each basin.  As already noted, data on the loading rates
for pollutants on city streets are generally lacking and recourse must be made
to tabulated, crude averages.

4.3  SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

     A screening methodology such as is being considered in this study involves
numerous simplifications and assumptions.  In the case of urban nonpoint loads,
the  important  matter of sensitivity to assumptions was considered in section
2.1.4.3.  As noted, the major problem centers on determination of street load-
ing rates and use of an annual average approach.   Rural nonpoint loads have not
yet been discussed from the point of view of sensitivity to the various factors
involved  in  the  analysis.   The most important fact to  recall  in the case  of
rural nonpoint sources is that the various factors used in determining sediment
                                      119

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or nutrient  loads  (except rainfall  inputs) are multiplied together to obtain
the  final  result.   Therefore, uncertainties in the  factors  are multiplied.
For example, for sediment loads, a 20% error in each factor involved in deter-
mining the load gives approximately a 300% error in the load, assuming no com-
pensation among the errors.   Similar errors in the case of nutrient calculation
yield a total error of about 400%.  Since most of the factors cannot be deter-
mined with an error of less than 20%, the possible error in the results can be
quite large unless there is compensation among the errors.   This fact indicates
that the results obtained are always rather uncertain.

     Uncertainties in  land  use  information in the present application relate
primarily to the  resolution of the information.  -Agricultural  land use data
are generally available;  however, they are  at  the county level  of  resolution.
Therefore, specifying land use conditions in a subbasin may be difficult.   The
primary need in land  use  data is  for accurate  specification  of  the cropland—
its  area  and type  of crop...  .Land use affects pollutant .lo.ad calculations
through the C factor in the USLE.   In an application in which a pollutant load
is needed for a subbasin which covers a fraction of a county and in which land
use and other  data are available only at  the  county level of resolution or
lower, the loads may be grossly overestimated.   This could occur in a subbasin
for which a higher than average fraction (for the county) is cropped,  for which
slopes are  steeper than average,  or  for which  there  are no conservation prac-
tices applied  (P = 1).  Poor  resolution of  needed data can result  in substan-
tial errors for particular locations within a basin.

     Results are also  somewhat  sensitive to errors  in describing agricultural
practices in a basin.  The significance of errors in practices relates primar-
ily to the  problem of timing of  agricultural  operations and, therefore,  the
degree of cover on the ground at particular times.

     In summary, errors in  results are directly proportional  to errors in the
various parameters used in the analysis since they are multiplicative.   Assess-
ment of sensitivity  to errors in  the description  of  practices or land  use,  or
to the degree of resolution in the available data is an involved exercise which
                                      120

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will yield results that vary considerably from basin to basin.  Such variabil-
ity is anticipated  because  of different rainfall patterns and  the  degree  of
homogeneity of land use among basins.

4.4  LEVEL OF EFFORT REQUIRED IN AN APPLICATION

     Application of the nonpoint load estimation methodology to basins such as
those examined in this study should require on the order of two to three person
weeks of  effort  per basin.   This estimate assumes an analyst  familar with  the
procedure and with the general subject of rural nonpoint source loads.   It also
assumes familiarity with  use of the nonpoint calculator program.   The avail-
ability and  use  of  more extensive data than considered in this demonstration
would increase the  time required.   Report preparation is not included in the
time estimate.

4.5  VERIFICATION OF THE LOAD.ESTIMATION PROCEDURES

     Considering the  lack  of measured nonpoint loads  (both rural and  urban)
available for  comparison  and the long-term average nature  of the estimates
which have  been  made,  verification  of  the procedure by direct comparison with
measured  loads is quite difficult.   Comparison with measured  instream  concen-
trations  is a more promising approach.  The results presented in Volume II in-
dicate the  level  of verification that can be expected for the approach used,
particularly in the case of the Sandusky Basin.

4.6  FUTURE APPLICATIONS

     In the present study, considerable effort was expended in selecting a se-
ries of  events for  each basin  so that  consistent  flow  data were available  for
use  in the  instream assessment.  This was  necessary to  assure  compatibility
and  to allow an  attempt at  verification of the  results.  In  actual applica-
tions, such  a selection of actual events may be unnecessary.   A possible ap-
proach would  be  to  define typical average events for  various stages in cover
occurring throughtout  the year.  These "typical" events could be equivalent to
                                      121

-------
events that produce  some  fraction of the total soil loss which occurs during
some fraction  of  the year.  The  information  needed  to  define  such  an  event  is
available in terms of the annual distribution of the R factor.  Such distribu-
tions  are  tabulated  in Wischmeier and  Smith  (1978) or may be  constructed.
Wischmeier and  Smith  also provide tables on  the  magnitude  of R for  single
storms having various recurrence intervals at different locations.   Therefore,
in an  application it is possible to consider design storms with characteris-
tics that can be defined independently of an actual  watershed.

4.7  USE OF THE LOAD ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY IN SPECIALIZED APPLICATIONS

     Chapter 3  provides  an example of the application of much of the basic
rural nonpoint source methodology to the problem of estimating long-term nutri-
ent  fluxes  in  streams.  This  application  shows that the procedures can be ap-
plied  in ways  which  overcome some of their fundamental weaknesses (e.g., the
need for a delivery ratio),.while providing useful results.  . It is likely that
other specialized applications can be developed also.

4.8  ATTAINMENT OF THE GOALS OF THE STUDY'

     The primary goal of the study was to demonstrate the methodology under ac-
tual field condition.  This goal has been accomplished, and most of the issued
discussed  in this chapter have related to this demonstration.  The nonpoint
loading procedures and  the 208 screening methodology have also been shown to
be compatible which was one of the subgoals of the program.

     The application points out  the primary  strengths  of  the  methodology, its
relative simplicity and the ease with which basic calculations can be done and
its weaknesses—dependence  on a delivery ratio, a higher level of spatial aggre-
gation in the case of practical applications in large basins, and the need for
large  amounts  of  data.   These characteristics are  well  demonstrated  in the
studies of the various basins, which illustrate the degrees of data availabil-
ity  likely  in  practice.   As indicated  above,  these  applications indicate that
major  parameter refinements tend to be time consuming and, in many cases, of
                                      122

-------
limited value.  They also  indicate the difficulty of  determining  or  assigning
sediment delivery ratios in most cases.

4.9  IMPACT OF METHODOLOGICAL SHORTCOMINGS ON AN ASSESSMENT

     There are  several  important features in the rural  nonpoint  methodology
which limit  the  accuracy that can be expected from the results of an assess-
ment.  These  features  include:   (a)   a high  level  of spatial  aggregation  in
the  analysis—an  important fact since the USLE is intended for rather small,
homogeneous areas;  (b)  the use of a  delivery ratio to account for sediment
transport; (c)  the  assumption that pollutants such as phosphorus are associ-
ated with  sediment;  and (d) the long-term average,  nonhydrologic nature of
the USLE.

     An attempt was  made to overcome the lack of suitability of the USLE for
analyzing  actual  events  by averaging  over many events.   Dealing with an  aver-
age  event  in  this manner  is  acceptable;  however, proper averaging requires
many events  occurring  over a  long  period  of  time.   Data  are not always avail-
able to carryout such averaging.

     Additional shortcomings  occur in the urban methodology used, which  deals
with annual  loads  and  which depends  upon street  loading rates that are not
well established.

     A screening  methodology  such  as was applied here is  intended for rela-
tively easy  application  using existing data.  Overcoming some of the limita-
tions listed  above  would require greatly increased amounts of data to reduce
spatial resolution  problems,  to  provide  increased  information on sediment
transport, and to provide  data on runoff needed to allow soluble forms of con-
stituents  to  be  included and to allow a  more hydrologically based approach.
Since this demonstration illustrates the fact that  needed data may not be
available  even for the screening approach used, it seems reasonable to conclude
that more  rigorous  approaches can result in  even more obstacles  due to  data
limitations, especially when large areas must be considered.
                                      123

-------
     The users of the nonpoint methodology should be well aware of its limita-
tions.   However, these limitations should not prevent the use of the approach.
As the  present  study shows,  applications can be made which  result  in  useful
inputs  to water  quality assessments  in  spite of certain  methodological short-
comings of the procedures  used.  The  user should always  recall that  the meth-
odology is intended for screening purposes.
                                      124

-------
                                   REFERENCES
Austin,  M.   E. ,  Land Resource Regions and Major Land Resource Areas of the
     United States  (exclusive of  Alaska and  Hawaii).   Soil  Conservation
     Service, USDA, Agriculture Handbook 296, March 1972.

Burgess and  Niple,  Ltd.,  Stream  Pollution and  Abatement  from Combined  Sewers
     Overflows, Bucyrus, Ohio. FWQA, 1969.

Davis, M. J.,  et  al.,  Estimation  of Pollutant  Loads  from Nonpoint Sources  Us-
     ing the Nonpoint Caclulator. MRI Report for EPA, 1979.

Environmental  Protection  Agency  (EPA),  Areawide  Assessment Procedures  Manual,
     EPA-600/9-76-014, pp. G-15 to G-16, 1976.

Heaney, J. P., W.  C. Huber and S. J. Nix, Storm Water Management Model:  Level
     I - Preliminary Screening Procedures,   EPA-600/2-76-275,  1976.   p.  16.

Jaworski, N. A.  Nutrients in the Upper Potomac River Basin.  Technical Report
     No. 15.  Chesapeake Technical Support Laboratory, Federal Water Pollution
     Control Administration, August 1969.

Jenny, H.  "A Study on the Influence of Climate Upon the Nitrogen and Organic
     Matter Content of the Soil," Missouri Agr.  Exp. Sta.  Res. Bulletin,  152,
     1930.

Livestock Waste Facilities Handbook, MPWS 18, Midwest Plan Service, Iowa State
     University, Ames, Iowa  50011, July 1975.

Logan, Terry  J. ,   "Levels of Plant  Available Phosphorus  in Agricultural  Soils
     in the Lake Erie Drainage Basin," Army Corps of Engineers, Lake Erie Man-
     agement Study, December 1977.
                                      125

-------
Logan, Terry J.,  "Maumee River Basin Pilot Watershed Study, Summary Pilot Water-
     shed Report," International Joint Commission Report, 1978.

McElroy, A.  D. ,  et al., "Loading Functions for Assessment of Water Pollution
     from Nonpoint Sources," EPA-600/2-76-151, 1976.

Menzel,  R.  G., "Enrichment Ratios for Water Quality Modeling," in Knisel, W. G.,
     editor, CREAMS:  A Field-Scale Model  for Chemicals.  Runoff,  and  Erosion
     from Agricultural Management Systems, U.S.  Dept.  of  Agriculture,  Conser-
     vation Research Report No. 26, 1980.

Mildner, William F. , "Streambank Erosion in the U..S. Portion of the Great Lakes
     Basin," International Joint Commission Report, 1978.

Ohio Department of Natural Resources,  Division of Lands and Soil, General Soils
     Map of  Crawford  (1975),  Hardin (1961),  Marion  (1972),  Sandusky  (1974),
     Seneca (1968), and Wyandot (1973) Counties.

Ohio Department  of Natural  Resources, Division of  Lands  and  Soil,  Composition
     of the  Soil  Associations  of the General  Soils  Map  of Crawford (1975),
     Hardin (1961), Marion (1972), Sandusky (1974), Seneca (1968), and Wyandot
     (1973) Counties.

Sartor,  J.  D., and G.  B. Boyd, "Water Pollution Aspects of Street Surface Con-
     taminants," EPA-R2-72-081, November 1972.

Schubel, J.  R. ,  and H.  H. Carter.  "Suspended Sediment Budget for Chesapeake
     Bay".   In:  Estuarine Processes.  Volume  II.   Martin Wiley, ed., Academic,
     New York.  pp. 48-62, 1976.

Soil Conservation  Service,  "Erosion and  Sediment Survey  of Baltimore  Regional
     Planning  Council  Area."   For Baltimore Regional  Planning Council,
     College Park, Maryland, December 1977.
                                      126

-------
Strand, R.  I.,  "Bureau  of Reclamation  Procedures  for Predicting Sediment
     Yields," in:   Present and Prospective Technology for Predicting Sediment
     Yields and Sources.    Proceedings  of Sediment  Yield Workshop, November
     1972.  ARS-S-40.  Agricultural Research Service, USDA.  pp. 10-15.  1975.

U.S.  Department of  Agriculture,  "Soil  Conservation Service Technical Guide,"
     Columbus, Ohio, Revised, February 1979.

Williams,   K.  F. ,  and L.  A. Reed,  "Appraisal  of Stream Sedimentation in the
     Susquehanna  River  Basin,"   U.S.  Geological  Survey Water  Supply  Paper
     1532-F, 1972.

Wischmeier,  W.  H. and D.  D.  Smith, Predicting Rainfall Erosion Losses - A
     Guide to Conservation Planning, USDA, Agriculture Handbook No. 537, 1978.
                                      127

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    APPENDIX I - P FACTORS, SLOPES, AND SLOPE LENGTHS USED IN CHAPTER 2

     In the  tables  which follow, practice factors  (P)  and slopes and slope
lengths are  tabulated for the  regions  considered in the  demonstrations  in
Chapter 2.

     The practice factors were developed based on information in State Conser-
vation Needs  Inventories.   Practice factors are  given  as a  function of  land
use and capability  class for each county.  See Table 2-11 for definitions of
these uses and classes.

     Slopes  and  slope lengths were provided to  MRI  by  the Soil  Conservation
Service.    Slopes  are given in percent and slope  lengths in feet.   These  quan-
tities are tabulated by  Land Resource Areas  (LRAs)  in the following  displays.
Within each  LRA,  they  are  given  as a  function of  land capability class.

     The .slope  and  slope length factors  (S  and  L)  can  be determined for the
-slopes and lengths  as  follows  (Wischmeier  and Smith,  1978):
                        S =  (0.056 + 4.56s + 65.41s2)
where  s
and
                field slope  in percent
                   72.6
     where  A. =  slope  length  in  feet
     and    m =  0.2  for  gradients  < 1%
            m =  0.3  for  1  to  3%  slopes
            m =  0.4  for  3.5 to 4.5% slopes
            m =  0.5  for  5% slopes  and steeper
Reference:  Wischmeier, W.  H.,  and D.  D.  Smith, Predicting Rainfall Erosion
              Losses - A Guide to Conservation Planning,  U.S.  Department of
              Agriculture, Agriculture Handbook No.  537, 1978.
                                     128

-------
            TABLE 1-1.  PRACTICE FACTORS BY LAND USE AND LAND CAPABILITY
                          CLASS FOR EACH COUNTY
Kent County DE
                              Practice Factor (xlOO)

LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
20
28
LU= 1

78
89
87
85
86
89
95
100
100
0
2

78
89
87
85
86
89
95
0
0
0
3

78
89
87
85
86
0
95
0
0
0
4

0
89
0
85
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

78
89
87
85
0
0
95
0
0
0
6

78
89
87
85
0
0
95
0
0
0
7

78
89
87
85
0
89
95
0
0
0
8

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9

50
56
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10

50
63
0
50
0
0
53
0
0
0
11

100
75
0
100
0
0
100
0
0
0
                                                               12   13   14   15    16
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                 60
                                                                 60
                                                                 60
                                                                 60
                                                                  0
                                                                  0
                                                                  0
                                                                  0
                                                                  0
                                                                  0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                              0
                                                             51
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                             89
                                                              0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
                               0
New Castle County DE
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
 16
 18
 20
 23
 27
 28
LU=  1

    70
    89
     0
    69
    86
    85
    66
     0
    79
   100
     0
     0
70
89
 0
69
 0
85
66
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
     0  100
70
89
75
 0
86
85
66
 0
79
 0
 0
 0
 0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
70
89
0
69
86
85
0
0
79
0
0
0
0
6
0
89
0
69
86
85
66
0
79
0
0
0
0
7
0
89
0
0
0
85
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8
70
89
0
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
75
0
0
0
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                                     10   11   12   13   14   15    16
50   75
67   77
 0    0
50  100
50   77
50  100
77    0
75    0
83   75
 0  100
50    0
70    0
50    0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
64
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
64
64
 0
64
64
64
75
 0
64
64
 0
 0
64
 0
75
 0
 0
75
75
93
 0
 0
75
 0
75
75
93
93
 0
93
93
93
50
93
93
93
93
 0
93
 0
50
 0
 0
 0
50
50
 0
50
 0
 0
 0
50
                                     (continued)
                                         129

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Anne Arundel County MD
                             Practice Factor (xlOQ)

LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
11
12
16
18
20
22
23
24
27
28
LU= 1

70
86
92
91
83
100
100
83
0
0
0
84
0
0
0
0
0
0
2

70
86
92
91
83
0
100
83
66
0
0
84
0
75
0
0
0
0
3

0
86
92
0
83
0
100
83
0
0
0
84
0
0
0
0
0
0
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

70
86
92
0
0
0
0
83
0
0
0
84
0
0
0
0
0
0
6

0
86
0
0
83
0
0
83

0
0
84
0
75
0'
0
0
0
7

70
86
92
91
0
0
100
83
66
0
0
84
50
0
100
0
0
0
8

0
70
92
91
83
0
0
83
66
0
0
84
0
75
0
0
0
0
9

0
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10

0
56
0
0
0
0
0
0
63
0
0
61
0
0
65
75
0
0
11

0
90
0
92
90
0
92
90
100
0
0
100
0 .
100
0
0
0
0
12

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13

0
67
0
67
0
0
67
67
67
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
14

57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
57
0
0
57
0
57
57
0
57
57
15

93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
0
93
93
                                                                                    16

                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
                                                                                     0
Calvert County MD
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  7
  8
 10
 11
 18
 19
 20
 22
 23
 28
LU=  1

    58
    78
     0
    50
    97
     0
     0
     0
     0
58
78
92
 0
97
     0  100
    50    0
    91   91
     0   89
    98   98
     0  100
 0
94
 0
 0
3
58
78
0
50
97
0
0
0
0
98
0
0
94
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
78
0
0
97
0
50
91
0
98
100
0
0
0
0
6
58
78
0
0
97
0
0
91
0
98
0
0
94
0
0
7
0
78
0
0
97
0
0
91
0
0
0
0
94
0
0
8
0
9
0
0 60
0
0
97
0
0
91
89
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(continued)





130

                                                     10   11   12    13    14    15    16
77
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
85
 0
 0
85
 0
 0
85
 0
89
 0
 0
89
 0
 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
72
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
72
72
 0
 0
72
 0
 0
72
 0
71
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
71
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
94
94
 0
94
 0
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
79
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Charles County MD
   LU=  1
LCC
1
2
3
4
6
8
10
11
12
16
18
20
22
23
24
28

96
94
0
92
100
93
79
100
96
0
89
0
80
100
0
0

96
94
58
92
100
93
79
100
96
0
89
0
0
100
o.
0

0
94
0
92
100
93
0
0
0
0
89
0
0
100
0
0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
94
0
0
0
0
79
0
96
0
89
0
0
0
0
0
6
0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
96
94
58
92
0
93
79
00
0
0
89
75
0
100
- o
0
8
0
94
0
92
100
93
79
100
96
0
89
75
0
100
0
0
9
0
0
0
73
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
0
100
50
0
100
0
83
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
0
100
0
86
100
86
100
100
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
• o
0
13
0
60
60
0
0
60
0
0
60
0
60
0
60
0
0
60
14
57
57
57
57
57
57
0
57
57
0
0
0
57
0
0
57
15
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
               16

                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
Howard County MD
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
LU=
LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
11
12
16
18
19
20
22
23
27
1

50
79
0
79
77
0
63
83
0
0
0
68
0
0
59
0
0
2

50
79
67
79
77
86
63
83
92
0
0
68
79
0
59
91
0
3

50
79
0
79
77
0
0
83
0
0
0
68
0
0
59
0
0
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

0
79
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6

50
79
0
79
77
0
0
83
0
0
50
68
0
0
59
0
0
7

0
79
0
0
77
0
0
83
0
0
0
0
0
0
59
0
0
8

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
83
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9

0
0
0
57
0
0
0
0
0
57
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10

0
100
0
0
50
0
50
100
0
0
0
83
0
0
0
0
0
11

83
80
100
69
80
0
69
80
0
69
78
86
0
78
86
0
0
(continued)








131



                                                               12   13   14    15    16
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
                                                                0
59
59
59
59
59
 0
 0
59
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
59
 0
59
 0
55
 0
 0
55
 0
 0
55
 0
 0
 0
55
 0
 0
 0
 0
55
86
86
86
86
86
 0
86
86
 0
86
86
86
86
86
86
86
 0
 0
55
 0
55
55
 0
55
55
 0
 0
55
55
 0
 0
55
55
 0

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Kent County MD
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
LU=
LCC
1
2
4
6
7
8
10
18
20
23
28
1

51
92
95
94
92
97
88
93
0
0
0
2

51
92
95
94
92
97
88
0
0
0
0
3

51
92
0
94
0
97
88
0
100
0
0
4

0
0
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

51
92
0
94
0
97
88
93
0
0
0
6

51
92
95
94
92
0
88
93
0
0
0
7

0
92
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8

51
0
0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9

0
0
93
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
10

0
68
81
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11

0
81
0
81
100
81
0
100
0
0
0
12

0
0
58
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13

58
58
62
58
0
58
58
58
58
58
58
14

0
62
94
62
0
62
0
0
0
0
0
15

94
94
57
94
0
94
94
94
94
0
0
16

0
57
57
57
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Montgomery County MD
   LU=  1
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
8
10   11   12   13   14   15   16
LCC
1
2
3
4
6
8
10
12
16
18
19
20
22
27

55
79
0
73
79
100
81
0
0
98
0
0
88
0

0
0
0
0
79
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

55
79
78
73
79
0
81
0
100
98
0
0
88
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
79
78
73
79
0
81
0
0
98
0
0
88
0

0
79
0
73
79
0
81
50
0
0
0
0
88
0

0
79
0
0
79
0
81
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
55
78
73
79
0
81
50
0
0
0
0
88
0

0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
81
50
50
54
0
61
50
0
78
0
0
61
0

0
0
0
89
81
89
81
89
88
89
0
0
89
0

0
55
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
75
0
55
55
0
55
55
0
0
0
0
55
0

75
93
0
75
75
0
75
75
75
75
93
75
75
0

93
56
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
56
93
93
93

0
56
56
56
56
0
56
56
56
56
56
0
56
56
                                     (continued)
                                          132

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Prince Georges County MD
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  7
  8
 10
 11
 12
 18
 19
 20
 22
 23
 24
 27
 28
LU=  1

    57
    85
    93
    85
    92
    90
    90
    93
    87
   100
    96
    93
     0
    93
57
85
93
85
92
90
90
93
87
 0
96
93
 0
93
     0  100
     0    0
     0    0
     0    0
 0
85
93
 0
92
 0
 0
93
 0
 0
96
93
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
85
0
0
92
0
90
93
0
0
96
93
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0
85
93
85
92
0
0
93
0
0
96
0
0
93
o-
0
0
0
7
0
85
0
0
92
0
0
93
0
0
0
0
0
93
0
0
0
0
8
0
85
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
96
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
100
83
60
83
90
0
100
82
0
0
80
100
0
100
0
0
0
0
11
100
67
0
0
67
100
100
67
0
0
86
100
0
86
0
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
87
0
0
0
87
0
14
0
86
86
86
0
86
0
86
0
0
0
86
0
86
86
0
86
0
15
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
98
16
0
80
80
80
80
0
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
0
0
Queen Annes County MD
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
 18
 20
 22
 28
LU=  1

    63
    69
    78
    85
    72
    97
    69
     0
    83
    68
     0
63
69
 0
85
72
97
 0
 0
83
 0
 0
63
69
78
85
72
97
69
 0
 0
 0
 0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)

                                                     10   11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
63
69
0
85
72
97
69
50
0
68
0
6
.0
69
0
0
72
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
63
69
0
85
0
97
0
0
0
68
0
8
63
69
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
50
0
0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
 0
84
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
                                                   12   13   14   15   16
 0
 0
 0
 0
52
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
52
52
52
52
 0
52
52
52
52
52
52
 0
61
 0
61
94
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
94
94
 0
94
 0
94
 0
94
94
94
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                     (continued)
                                          133

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
St Marys County MD
                             Practice Factor (xlQQ)

                                                     10   11

                                                      0   50
                                                     71   66
                                                      0  100
                                                     50   84
LU=
LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
12
18
22
23
24
27
28
1

62
81
84
89
92
0
89
89
0
91
0
0
0
0
0
2

62
81
84
89
92
87
89
89
0
91
0
0
0
0
0-
3

0
81
84
89
0
0
89
89
0
91
0
0
0
0
0
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
91
0
0
0
0
0
5

0
81
0
0
0
0
0
89
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
6

0
81
84
0
0
0
0
89
0
91
0
0
0
0
-Q-
7

0
81
0
89
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
8

0
81
84
89
92
87
89
0
0
91
0
93
0
0
0
9

0
0
0
0
0
0
53
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                     75
                                                      0
                             66
                              0
                             84
                             66
                              0
                        50  100
                         0    0
                         0    0
                         0    0
                         0    0
                         0    0
                                  12   13   14   15   16
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
     0
    55
    55
    55
     0
     0
    55
     0
     0
    55
    55
     0
     0
     0
    55
     56
     56
      0
     56
      0
      0
     56
     56
      0
     56
     56
     56
      0
     56
      0
     96
     96
     96
     96
     96
      0
     96
     96
     96
     96
     96
     96
     96
      0
      0
      0
     95
      0
      0
      0
      0
     95
     95
      0
     95
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
Crawford County OH
   LU=  1    2    3
LCC
  1    69   69   69
  2    63   63   63
  4    91   91   91
  6    98   98   98
  8   100  100  100
 10   100  100  100
 12     0    0    0
 18     0  100    0
Practice Factor (xlOO)

                        10
                         0
                         0
                         0
                         0
                         0
                         0
                         0
                         0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
69
63
91
98
100
100
0
100
6
0
0
91
0
0
0
0
0
7
69
63
91
98
100
100
0
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
50
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
11   12   13   14   15   16
79
77
74
77
74
 0
 0
70
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
60
60
60
60
60
 0
60
 0
60
60
60
60
 0
 0
 0
90
90
90
90
90
 0
90
90
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                     (continued)
                                         134

-------
                               TABLE 1-1..   (continued)
Hardin County OH
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
LU=  1

     0
    60
     0
    85
    79
    76
  0
 60
  0
 85
 79
 76
   100  100
 0
60
 0
85
79
76
 0
                             Practice Factor  (xlOO)

                                                      10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
60
0
85
79
76
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
60
0
85
79
76
0
8
0
0
0
85
79
0
0
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                               11   12   13   14    15    16
50
59
 0
56
59
56
59
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
 0
58
58
58
58
58
 0
 0
 0
 0
54
 0
54
 0
90
90
 0
90
90
90
 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Huron County OH
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
 11
 12
 18
 22
LU=  1

    50
    56
    91
   100
    69
    94
   100
   100
    94
   100
     0
 50   50
 56   56
 91   91
100  100
 69   69
 94   94
100  100
  0  100
 94   94
  0    0
  0    0
                             Practice Factor  (xlOO)
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
56
91
100
69
94
100
0
94
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
50
56
0
100
69
94
0
0
94
0
0
8
50
0
0
100
0
94
0
0
94
0
0
9
0
' 0
0
55
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
10
50
0
0
100
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
100
80
.0
83
80
83
80
0
83
100
0
                                                                12    13    14   15   16
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
              57
              57
               0
              57
              57
              57
               0
              57
              57
              57
               0
                0
               53
                0
               53
                0
               53
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
              90
              90
              90
              90
              90
              90
              90
               0
              90
              90
              90
                0
                0
                0
               50
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
Marion County OH
                             Practice  Factor  (xlOO)
LU=
LCC
1
2
4
6
8
10
22
1

100
100
93
0
100
0
0
2

100
100
93
100
100
100
0
3

0
100
93
100
100
0
0
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

0
100
93
100
100
0
0
6

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7

100
100
93
100
100
100
0
8

0
0
93
0
0
0
0
9

0
50
0
50
0
0
0
10

0
100
66
0
100
100
0
11

0
69
62
69
62
0
0
(continued)








.135



                                                                12    13    14   15   16
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                 0
                                                                   0
                                                                  51
                                                                  51
                                                                  51
                                                                  51
                                                                   0
                                                                   0
                                                               0
                                                               0
                                                              51
                                                               0
                                                               0
                                                               0
                                                               0
                                                              92
                                                              92
                                                              92
                                                              92
                                                              92
                                                               0
                                                              92
                              0
                              0
                              0
                              0
                              0
                              0
                              0

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Rich!and County OH
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
 18
 22
LU=  1

    68
    73
     0
    88
    78
68
73
50
88
78
   100  100
    69   69
     0    0
     0    0
68
73
 0
88
78
 0
69
67
 0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)

                                                     10   11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
68
73
0
88
78
100
69
0
0
6
68
73
0
88
78
0
69
67
50
7
68
73
0
88
78
0
69
67
50
8
68
73
0
88
0
0
69
0
0
9
0
0
0
0
50
0
50
50
0
                                                   12   13   14   15    16
0
0
50
50
0
50
0
0
0
100
95
0
84
95
84
95
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
60
60
0
60
60
0
60
0
0
0
60
60
60
60
60
60
0
0
90
90
0
90
90
90
90
90
90
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Sandusky County OH

LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
11
12
19
22
LU= 1

94
76
97
81
96
74
84
100
82
81
100
50
2

94
76
97
81
96
74
84
100
82
0
0
0
3

94
76
97
81
96
74
84
100
82
81
100
50
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

94
76
0
81
96
0
84
0
82
81
0
0
6

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7

0
76
0
81
96
74
84
100
82
81
0
0
8

94
76
97
81
96
74
84
100
82
0
0
0
• 9

0
0
50
65
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)

                                                     10
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                      0
                                                       11   12   13   14   15   16
                                                        0
                                                       50
                                                        0
                                                       71
                                                       50
                                                       50
                                                       71
                                                        0
                                                       50
                                                        0
                                                       50
                                                        0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                   53
                                                    0
                                                   53
                                                   53
                                                    0
                                                   53
                                                    0
                                                   53
                                                    0
 0
51
51
51
 0
51
51
 0
51
 0
 0
51
90
90
 0
90
90
90
90
 0
 0
90
90
90
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                     (continued)
                                          136

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.  (continued)
Seneca County OH
   LU=  1    2    3
LCC
  1    84   84   84
  2    53   53   53
  3    84   84   84
  4    90   90   90
  6   100  100  100
  7    64   64   64
  8    82   82   82
 10     0  100  100
 11     0    0    0
 18     0    0    0
 20     0    0    0
 22     0    0    0
                          Practice Factor (xlOO)

                                                  10
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
                                                   0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
84
53
84
90
100
64
82
100
0
50
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
53
84
90
100
0
82
100
0
0
0
0
8
0
53
0
90
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                              11   12   13   14   15   16
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                              91
                                               0
                                               0
                                               0
                                              91
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
                                                        0
    58
    58
    58
    58
    58
     0
    58
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
      0
     58
     58
     58
      0
      0
      0
      0
     58
      0
      0
      0
     89
     89
     89
     89
     89
     89
     89
     89
      0
      0
     89
     89
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
      0
Wyandot County OH
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  8
 10
 11
 18
 22
LU=  1

    60
    52
     0
    90
    69
    90
    83
60   60
52   52
 0  100
90
         90
         69
         90
         83
0  100    0
0  100  100
0  100    0
69
90
83
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0
52
0
90
69
90
83
0
0
0
6
0
52
0
90
0
0
83
0
0
0
7
0
52
0
90
69
90
83
0
50
0
8
60
52
0
90
69
90
83
0
0
0
9
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
10
0
0
0
100
50
100
0
0
0
0
11
63
91
100
62
91
62
91
0
57
57
                                                               12   13   14   15    16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
 0
63
 0
63
63
63
63
 0
63
 0
 0
 0
55
 0
 0
55
 0
 0
 0
 0
93
93
 0
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
                                     (continued)
                                          137

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.   (continued)
Fairfax County VA
LCC
  1
  2
  4
  6
  7
  8
 10
 11
 12
 16
 18
 19
 20
 22
 23
 27
LU=  1

     0
     0
    60
    87
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
 0
 0
60
 0
 0
    75
    94
    60
    87
     0
0  100
0    0
0    0
0    0
0    0
0   58
0    0
0    0
0   83
0-    0
0    0
                             Practice Factor  (xlOO)

                                                     10    11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
75
94
60
87
100
100
0
0
100
0
0
100
0
83
0
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
•Q-
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
58
0
0
0
0
0
8
0
0
0
87
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0  100
0   84
    93
    84
    90
    93
    84
     0
    93
     0
0  100
0  100
0  100
0  100
0    0
0    0
                                                   12   13    14    15    16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
 0
60
60
60
 0
 0
60
60
 0
 0
60
 0
 0
 0
60
 0
65
65
65
65
65
65
65
 0
 0
 0
65
 0
65
65
 0
65
 0
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
64
 0
50
50
50
50
 0
50
50
 0
50
 0
50
 0
50
50
 0
50
Fauquier County VA
LU=
LCC
1
2
3
4
6
7
8
10
11
12
16
18
19
20
22
23
1

59
85
0
0
87
0
85
80
0
69
0
100
100
100
82
68
2

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3

59
85
0
0
87
0
85
80
0
69
0
100
0
100
82
0
4

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5

59
85
0
50
87
0
85
80
0
69
0
100
100
100
82
68
6

59
85
0
0
87
50
85
80
0
69
0
100
0
0
82
68
7

0
85
0
0
87
0
0
80
0
69
0
0
0
0
82
68
8

0
0
0
0
87
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
0
9

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0 92
(continued)








138

                             Practice  Factor  (xlOO)

                                                      10

                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                      62
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       0
                                                       11   12    13    14    15    16
                                                       81
                                                       79
                                                        0
                                                       80
                                                       79
                                                       79
                                                       80
                                                       79
                                                       79
                                                       80
                                                        0
                                                       78
                                                        0
                                                       77
                                                       78
                                                       82
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                    0
                                                        68
                                                        68
                                                         0
                                                        68
                                                        68
                                                         0
                                                        68
                                                        68
                                                         0
                                                        68
                                                         0
                                                        68
                                                         0
                                                         0
                                                        68
                                                        68
                    0
                   73
                    0
                    0
                   73
                    0
                   73
                   73
                   73
                   73
                    0
                   73
                    0
                    0
                   73
                   73
               0
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
              64
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0
                0

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.   (continued)
Gloucester County VA
LCC
 1
 2
 3
 4
 6
 7
 8
10
18
20
22
24
28
LU=  1

     0
    72
    80
    90
     0
    80
    88
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
     0
70
72
80
90
84
80
88
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
72
80
90
 0
80
88
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
                             Practice Factor  (xlOO)

                                                     10    11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
70
72
80
90
84
80
88
79
0
0
100
0
0
6
70
72
80
90
0
80
88
79
0
0
100
0
0
7
0
72
80
90
0
80
88
79
0
0
100
0
0
8
0
0
80
90
0
80
88
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
50
61
50
58
50
56
67
100
0
0
0
0
0
 0
 0
 0
75
 0
75
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
    90
    90
    90
    88
     0
     0
    88
    90
     0
     0
    94
0  100
0    0
                                                   12   13   14    15    16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
56
56
56
 0
56
56
 0
 0
56
 0
56
 0
 0
 0
 0
73
 0
 0
73
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
73
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
76
 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Loudoun County VA
                             Practice  Factor  (xlOO)
LCC
  1
  2
  3
  4
  6
  7
  8
 10
 11
 12
 16
 18
 19
 22
 23
LU=  1

    78
    79
     0
    86
    89
    72
    85
    88
    64
    64
    74
    83
     0
     0
    78
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
 0
78
79
 0
86
89
72
85
88
64
64
74
83
67
83
78
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
78
79
0
86
89
72
85
88
64
64
74
83
67
83
78
6
0
79
0
0
0
72
85
88
64
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
78
79
0
0
89
72
85
88
64
64
74
83
67
0
78
8
78
79
0
0
89
72
85
88
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0
50
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
73
0
0
10
50
50
0
50
50
0
50
95
50
50
0
0
0
0
100
11
79
83
0
94
83
83
94
83
83
94
91
91
88
91
88
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
13
0
69
0
0
69
69
69
69
0
69
69
69
69
69
69
14
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
70
15
0
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
16
0
54
0
0
54
' 54
54
54
0
54
54
54
54
54
54
                                      (continued)
                                          139

-------
                               TABLE 1-1.   (continued)
Prince William County VA
   LU=  1
                             Practice Factor (xlOO)
8
10   11   12   13   14   15   16
LCC
1
2
4
6
7
8
10
11
12
16
18
19
22
23
24
27

0
71
0
85
0
0
66
0
0
0
0
0
100
50
0
0

0
0
97
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-
0

0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
97
85
0
0
0
50
0
0
100
0
0
0
0
0

50
71
97
85
50
100
66
50
100
0
100
0
0
50
o-
0

0
71
97
85
0
0
66
50
100
0
0
50
0
50
100
0

0
71
97
85
0
0
66
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
83
50
88
0
0
0
0
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

83
86
84
86
50
84
86
0
84
93
75
0
0 .
100
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

74
74
0
74
0
0
74
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

72
72
72
72
72
72
72
72
72
72
0
0
74
0
0
72

0
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
74
50
74
74
0

0
50
50
50
50
0
50
0
0
0
50
50
50
50
0
0
                                          140-

-------
TABLE 1-2.   SLOPE LENGTH IN LAND RESOURCE AREA
              BY LAND CAPABILITY CLASS
Slope length (ft)
LCC
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
LRA= 99
200
200
300
200
300
.175
300
400
300
150
250
250
250
145
250
250
250
100
250
225
225
100
225
200
225
145
225
225
225
111
400
150
300
400
333
200
333
300
333
200
200
' 200
200
191
200
200
200
175
150
125
125
230
125
100
125
191
125
125
125
148
586
250
518
518
518
250 •
518
518
518
200
150
150
150
230
150
150
150
150
200
275
275
300
275
350
275
230
275
275
275
149
586
600
400
700
633
300
633
800
633
. 500
600
800
700
380
700
700
700
300
800
800
800
200
800
800
800
380
800
800
800
153
650
300
700
600
633
200
633
600
633
100
600
600
600
200
600
600
600
200
150
150
150
200
150
200
150
200
150
100
150
                      141

-------
TABLE 1-3.  SLOPE IN LAND RESOURCE AREA BY
              LAND CAPABILITY CLASS
Slope (%)
LCC
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
LRA= 99
1.0
4.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
9.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
15.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
13.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
15.0
4.0
6.5
6.5
22.0
6.5
9.0
6.5
13.0
6.5
6.5
6.5
111
1.0
4.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
8.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
15.0
4.0
' ' 4.0
4.0
18.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.0
8.0
6.5
6.5
44.0
6.5
5.0
6.5
18.6
6.5
6.5
6.5
148
1.0
5.0
1.6
1.6
1.6
10.0 "
1.6
1.6
1.6
10.0
12.0
12.0
12.0
15.0
12.0
12.0
12.0
20.0
23.0
29.0
29.0
30.0
29.0
35.0
29.0
15.0
29.0
29.0
29.0
149
1.0
3.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
7.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
. 8.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
13.6
2.0
2.0
2.0
20.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
30.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
13.6
3.0
3.0
3.0
153
1.0
3.0
1.0
4.0
2.7
8.0
2.7
3.0
2.7
12.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
7.7
4.0
4.0
4.0
7.7
12.0
12.0
12.0
7.7
12.0
20.0
12.0
7.7
12.0
4.0
12.0
                    142

-------
       APPENDIX  II - SOIL AND NUTRIENT LOSS CALCULATIONS FOR CHAPTER 3

     Soil loss was estimated  using the Universal Soil  Loss  Equation (USLE)
(Wischmeier and Smith,  1978).   The calculations were done using a computerized
procedure (the nonpoint calculator) described by Davis and Nebgen (1979).  Cal-
culations were performed  on  a county basis.  There  are 43 counties* in the
Potomac Basin and 78 in the Susquehanna.   (Several counties were  not included
because only  a very  small  fraction of their  area was  in one of the  basins.)

     The important factors involved in the analysis were the parameters in the
USLE (rainfall factor,  soil credibility factor, slope-length and steepness fac-
tors, cover and management factors, and the support practice factor), land use
information,  and soil  phosphorus  concentration and the enrichment ratio.  To
the extent  possible, these factors were obtained from the national data base
which accompanies the nonpoint calculator.  That data base is intended for pre-
liminary screening calculations,  so  it should be emphasized that  the calcula-
tions made were not highly refined ones.

     Land, use information was obtained from the 1967 Conservation Needs Inven-
tory (CNI).  That inventory provides nonurban land use in 16 categories and by
land capability  class.  The conservation  needs  specified by the 1967 CNI were
used to estimate the support practice factor, again by land use and Tand capa-
bility class.  These data on land use and practice factor are contained in the
data base  for each  county in the United States.  Rainfall  factors were esti-
mated on a county-by-county basis for both watersheds.
     Actually these are county portions  of subbasins.   There is some double
     counting since some counties  are in  more  than one  subbasin.
                                      143

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     Soil erodibility  factors,  slope factors, and cover factors are provided
in the data base  by  land  resource  area  (LRA)  (see  Austin  (1972)  for  a  discus-
sion of  LRAs).   There  are 156  LRAs  in  the coterminous United States.   Soil
phosphorus concentration  was  also  estimated by  LRA using  results presented  by
McElroy et al.  (1976).   The LRAs in which the two river basins are located and
soil phosphorus concentration in each LRA are given in Table II-l.

     There is  no  easy  way to  estimate how  the enrichment  ratio  for phosphorus
might vary throughout  the basins.   In the calculations, a uniform value of 2
was assumed for enrichment.
               TABLE II-l.  LAND RESOURCE AREAS INCLUDED IN STUDY
                                                       Average total soil
                                                    phosphorus concentration
       LRA classification number and name                     (ppm)
101
126
127
128
140
147
148
149
Ontario-Mohawk Plains
Central Allegheny Plateau
East Allegheny Plateau and Mountains
South Appalachian Ridges and Valleys
Glaciated Allegheny Plateau and Catskill
Mountains
North Appalachian Ridges and Valleys
Northern Piedmont
Northern Coastal Plain
700
700
300
300
500
300
500
100
                                    144

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APPENDIX  III - ENGLISH TO METRIC CONVERSIONS FOR VOLUME I
     TABLE III-l.   ENGLISH TO METRIC CONVERSION FACTORS
  To convert
Into
Multiply by
inches
feet
miles
square miles
acres
pounds
tons
gal Ions
106 gal /day
pounds/acre
tons/acre
pounds/mi le
tons/mile
°F
^


centimeters
meters
kilometers
square kilometers
hectares
kilograms
tons - metric
..liters
cubic meters/day
kilograms/hectare
tons/hectare
ki 1 ograms/ki 1 ometer
tons/kilometer
°C
El
Km
m
2.540
0.3048
1.609
2.590
0.4047
0.4536
- 0.9072
3.785
3.785
1.121
2.242
0.2819
0.5638
(°F-32)0.5556
1.735
1.292

    Erosion index (El) and soil credibility factor (K) con-
    version factors from Wischmeier and Smith (1978).
                           145

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