Environmental Protection
Agency
Research and Developmen
Gulf BVeeze FL 32561
Middle Atlantic Region 3
6th and Walnut Sts
Philadelphia PA 19106
Chesapeake  Bay  Program
                            EPA 600/8-80-040
                            JUNE 1980
    BIOSTRATIGRAPHY OF CHESAPEAKE BAY
         AND ITS TRIBUTARIES
         A Feasibility Study
     Mill

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                                          EPA 600/8-80-040
                                          JUNE 1980
          BIOSTRATIGRAPHY  OF  CHESAPEAKE SAY
                 AND  ITS TRIBUTARIES
                 A Feasibility Study.
                         by
  Grace S. Brush,  Frank W.  Davis,  and Sherri Rumer,
Department of Geography and Environmental  Engineering
            The Johns  Hopkins  University
             Baltimore, Maryland   21218
                Grant Number R  805962
           Thomas  Nugent,  Project  Officer
               Chesapeake  Bay  Program
        U. S.  Environmental  Protection Agency.
               Mid-Atlantic  Region III
                        and
         Office of Research  and  Developent
                  2083 West  Street
            Annapolis, Maryland  21401

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                RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES

Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. environmental
Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate-
gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en-
vironmental technology.  Elimination of traditional grouping was consciously
planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
The nine series are:

      1.  Environmental  Health Effects Research
      2.  Environmental  Protection Technology
      3.  Ecological Research
      4.  Environmental  Monitoring
      5.  Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
      6.  Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports.
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               U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

                      CHESAPEAKE BAY PROGRAM  .
In response to Congressional directive, the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency established the Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP)  to conduct an in-
depth study of the Chesapeake Bay and its resources.  The Program was
initiated in 1976 as a five-year, $25,000,000 program to conduct
interdependent scientific and management investigations addressing the
environmental quality of the Chesapeake Bay.  Major responsibilities
are defined as follows:

p    to assess the principal factors having adverse environmental impact,.
o    to direct and coordinate research and abatement programs,
o    to collect research data and institute a monitoring program, and
o    to define Bay management structures

Within EPA, the Chesapeake Bay Program is a coordinated effort between
the Office of Research and Development and the Mid-Atlantic Region III
Office and is administered from a field station in Annapolis, Maryland.

Initial CBP efforts established strong working relationships with the
Bay area States, the scientific community and the citizenry.  The Program
involves active participation from Maryland, Virginia, Pennsylvania and
Bay region citizens.

Programs are underway to research toxic substances, submerged aquatic
vegetation (SAV), eutrophication (excessive enrichment), and environmental
management.  To support all Program efforts, including the interpretation
of data, computer modeling, and long-term data storage and retrieval
a data management system capable of meeting CBP needs is being developed.

The products of the four program areas will provide important tools
aiding in defining management alternatives to improve the environmental
quality of the Chesapeake Bay.  Citizens, managers, scientists and Bay
users will all input to the development of alternative control strategies.
The coordinated efforts of the Chesapeake Bay Program provides a founda-
tion of interdependent scientific and management criterion important to
managing the environmental health of the Chesapeake Bay.

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                                 DISCLAIMER

     This report has been reviewed by the Chesapeake Bay Program, U.  S.
Environmental Protection Agency, and approved for publication.   Approval  does
not signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views and policies  of
the U. S. Environmental Protection Agency, nor does mention of  trade  names or
commercial products constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.

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                                   FORWARD
 .A major objective of the Chesapeake Bay Program submerged aquatic
vegetation study is to ascertain if a decline in baygrass populations has
occurred over time and if natural population cycles can be identified.
The biostratigraphic technique may represent a tool by which submerged
aquatic seeds can be detected in bottom cores and through presence/absence
seed analysis, aquatic plant cycles identified.                    '!   •   /

     This project was conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of  this
approach and to develop preliminary information concerning the historical
trends of aquatic grass populations in the Chesapeake Bay.
                                     iii  ; :;;

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                                  ABSTRACT         :          ;

     Seeds of submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV),  diatoms and poll-en of ter-
restrial plants, extracted from sedimentary cores 1  to  1.4m  long  in -estuarine
tributaries, yield information regarding changes in SAV  populations, eutro-
phication and sedimentation since European settlement.

     Eeres taken from undisturbed depositional  areas represent  regional con-
ditions wsrth^ejSjpjeerfb^^^                             , because di atoms and
pollen are affected by estuarine transport processes in  such a  manner that
>OGafc^atcMiiess^tsseKas^^                                               Ver-
t4§£jJihi;S*0rica3^^
described d'-ofeaywhofl^^                            because the  data from one
sample at a locale is representative of the whole  locale.
     §AV«seeds, however, are not transported as  far because  they are
                       Hence their s^a£4afadis*r4tofftTOns^
                           ;to^^^                       In  reconstructing the
history of SAV, this requires that a few locales where environmental  changes
are well documented be studied in detail, thus allowing ge^er^l^^afet-oiw^tbCHijb
toe^fifectson35$V^popu3?atTO^

     MVsseedis extracted from cores in the €ppejfeBay,  even though  highly vari-
able, eensiifStent^yrrefilee^^
and show mago^obaTiges^w^poprta^ofls^of^^
meat.       .,.••••      .                ••          -    • ..     ,   •.••--;
            of terrestrial plants extracted from 12 cores  in
and one from the Bayqrcopev indicate that sedsmenitaMofe^a^eswVra*^ from

       apd vaT^^-ith^^^eoTse^rom^t^Cfflyfr^^^            in.dicatinga

This vaT'tabaMtyrappeaFS^                            is  i
     ^Diatoms extracted from cores in the g~orgafl4c^-14y
              ^i nGreased=4romM;he«?826=^sto^tieKpresent ,  ref lecti rig the  i n'f 1 u-
ence of increased human occupation of the watershed on the  aquatic  environment.
                                     IV

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                   .               CONTENTS           .    .  . ./  .      ; _, V.  •'

Foreword......	......................................'.  iii
Abstract...	,	   iv
Figures.		   vi
Tables	?	:'..'.....   ix
Acknowledgments	    x

     1.  Introduction and Objectives......... .^.>.........................    1
     2.  Conclusions and Discussion................../.,..;...............    4
     3.  Study Area	.................;..........	    7
              Description	;.. •'.......................'.	    7
              Hi story	.........;;...	   11
     4.  Submerged Aquatic Vegetation....	......v..i............   20
               Introduction	   20
              The SAV Fossil  Record..	   21
              Distibutions of Seeds  in  Sediments..	   24
              SAV Biostratigraphy of Upper Chesapeake  Bay;'...-:;.;	   35
     5.  Sediment Transport and Deposition. .......,.........*...	   53
              Introduction	..i............... ^.	   53
              Spatial Distributions  of  Pollen  in Estuarine Sediments.....   54
              Vertical Distributions of Pollen in  Estuarine Sediments	   72
     6.  Eutrophication	.^	   79
               Introduction	   79
              Methods	 •.'.'•'.	   79
              Resul ts	   81
     7.  References	   90

Appendix	;	   96

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                                   FIGURES
Number                                            •                        Page
   1"    Location of study area	.......................;..	   8
   2     Locations of cores taken in Susquehanna Flats..	   9
   3     Locations of cores taken in Furnace Bay...........;........;.»..  10
   4     The Susquehanna River drainage basin......................... ^..  12
   5     Reported lumber production in Pennsylvania for selected years...  15
   6     An example of the SAV fossil record	  23
   7     Locations of surface sediment transects in Leeds Creek*.........  25
   8     Seed concentrations of ZanichelHa palustris in surface sedi-
         ments of Leeds Creek	.-....'-.-. •..<..........-'.  27
   9     Seed concentrations of Ruppia maritima in surface sediments of
         Leeds Creek.				...-....... *.......  28
  10     Seed concentrations of Potamogeton peotinat-us in surface  sedi-
         ments of Leeds Creek	....	  29
  11     Upper Chesapeake Bay cores showing levels analyzed for SAV
         seeds	 .......:..*....:.....  36
 '12     Seed concentration of Vallisneria americdna in cores  from
        'Susquehanna Flats	....*'....................  37
  13     Seed concentrations of Najas flexiUs in cores from Susquehanna
         Flats			  38
  14     Seed concentrations of Elodea canadensis in cores from
         Susquehanna Flats........	........*..  39
  15     Seed concentrations of Potamogeton spp. in cores from               ;<
         Susquehanna Flats	  40
  16     Seed concentrations of Myriophyllwn spiaatwn in cores from            :
         Susquehanna Flats..	  41
" 17  -.... Seed flux of Vallisneria amerioana in cores from Furnace  Bay.... _44
      -••  •                               .    >      .                 (Continued)
                ''•'

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                             FIGURES  (Continued)-,  .

Number         •                                    .   .  .,    .  .'""..!.'.'.     Page

  18     Seed flux of Najas spp.  in cores  from Furnace Bay................  45

  19     Seed flux of Elodea canadensis  in cores from Furnace Bay........  46  '''.

  20     -Seed flux of Potcanogeton spp. in  cores from .Furnace"Bay....... ..47

  21     Seed concentrations of Myriophyllum  sp-icatum  in  cores from
         Furnace Bay	  48

  22     Locations of surface sediment transects for. pollen  distributions   _
         in the Potomac River and locations of quadrangles used; as the .:'..'
         vegetati on source for the pol 1 en..:.....................'..............". .56

  23     Distributions of pollen  types in  surfacesediments  throughout^
         the tidal stretch of the Potomac  River denotes channel  samples..  57

  24a    Percent pine of total basal  area, in  vegetation versus lati-
         tudinal and longitudinal distance with .95 percent confidence   '
         intervals	..........:...	  68

  24b    Percent pine of total pollen in channel samples  versus  distance
         downstream	.,....'....................  68  .

  25a    Percent sweet gum of total bas^al  area^ iri vegetation^y.ersus
         latitudinal distance with 95 percent confidence  intervals.,......  69

  25b    Percent sweet gum of total pollen in channel  saitiples versus     ,    ;
         distance downstream........;,.... .-.,.•,'••.. ....>......;............:.  69

  26     Stratigraphic pollen profile of Core I from FurnaceBay and.the    : <  '
         flux of pollen of oak, ragweed, pine and'hemlockV.'...................  73

  27     Stratigraphic pollen profile of Core II from Furnace Bay and
         the flux of pollen of oak, ragweed,  pine and  hemlock............  75

  28     Stratigraphic. profile of the total number of  genera and species
         of diatoms in cores from Furnace  Bay and Susquehanna Flats......  80

  29     Stratigraphic profiles of total diatoms and total .numbers and
         percent of total diatoms of  Aclvvanthes*.Coccpnei,s3.  Cymbella,
         Gomphonema,  Naviaula and Nitzschia in cores from Furnace Bay,...  82

  30     Stratigraphic profile of total  diatoms, and  total, numbers and   .     ;
         percent of total diatoms of  Coscinodiscus;  Cy.ctetella>..EwT0tia3    ..'.""'••
         Epifhemia,  Fragitaria and Synedra in cores  from  Furnace Bay...../ 83.

                                                                    (Continued)
                                     vn

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                              FIGURES (Continued)

Number                                         '     .                      Page

  31     Stratigraphic profiles of total diatoms and total numbers and
         percent of total diatoms of Achnahthes,  'Coeconets, Cynibella,
         Gomphonema, Navicula and NitzscHia in'cores from Susquehanna
         Fl ats	;.....;	   84

  32     Stratigraphic profiles of total diatoms and total numbers and
         percent of total diatoms of Coscinodiscus, Cyclotella, Eunotia3
         Epithemia, Fragilaria and Synedra in cores from Susquehanna
         Flats		....   85
                                     vm

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                               ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

     Dr. Owen Bricker and Robert M.  Summers assisted us  in  collecting  the
sedimentary cores.  Ed Schiemer helped to improvise the  coring  device  for
estuarine sediments.  Richard Maldeis provided  us with vegetation  data from
Leeds Creek and also contributed to  field work  in Eastern Bay.   Peter  Christie
assisted in seed identifications, particularly  in the Leeds Creek  Study.
James Stasz assisted in diatom extraction, identification and enumeration.

     We thank Dr. Ruth Patrick for inviting one of us (SR)  to her  laboratory
for a short course in diatom taxonomy and ecology.

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                                •'.   TABLES          :.••'•"•"•   .   .-•

Number                                .  .     ';    :   '                     Page

   1      Agricultural Statistics for Selected Years in the Southern
          Susquehanna River Basin............,......;.......	  11

   2      Production of Pennsylvania Anthracite for Selected Years.......  16

   3      SAV Seeds and Pollen in the Stratigraphic Record.•'..-...i	....  22

   4 .    .SAV Seed Concentrations in Leeds Creek Surface Sediments.......  30

   5      Analysis, of Leeds Creek SAV Seed Concentrations using
          Krus'kaT-WalTis Nprtparametric test.......'..:.....'..^............  32

   6 .     Number of Samples Required for Estimating Mean SAV Seed
          Concentrations....	  33

   7      Results of the 1978 Leeds Creek SAV Survey...	....... .i.;....  34

   8      Percent bf Total Tree Pollen in Channel Samples and Percent of
         'Total Basal Area of frees > 0.001 Percent in Designated Source
          Area	  59

   9      Percent of Total Pollen of All Shrub and Herbaceous Types.	  60

  10      Matrix of Index of Similarity in Percent pf Pollen in Surface
          Sediments from the Potomac River..............*.......	  61

  11      Degression of Percent of Total Pollen in the Surface Sediments
          on Distance Downstream in Nautical Miles...	  64

  12      Regression of Mean Basal Areas in Latitudinal and Longitudinal
          Section in the Vegetation on Distance of Section from North to
          South or West to East in Miles	•	  65

  13      Mean Total Basa] Areas and Mean Percent Basal Areas in the
          •Vegetation.....7................................. .....•*	  66

  14      Summary of Sedimentation Rates Based on Palynological Indica-
          tors Thus Far Obtained for Chesapeake Bay and Tributaries	  78

  15     .Summary of Stratigraphic Data on Diatom Zones in Cores from
          Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats	  86
                                     IX

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                                   SECTION 1_

                          INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES.
 INTRODUCTION
      The vegetation occupying a watershed,, its-land.use, and the transport
 and rate of sediment deposition have an important influence on the biological
 and chemical composition of the receiving water, body, determining in large
 measure the amount and frequency of runoff, chemical  and nutrient input and
 turbidity.  Any assessment of the effects of .current land.use, runoff and
 sedimentation is difficult to evaluate without
      There are very {faewshi-s^or4ca^sda*a , unfortunately, that can be used for
 such comparative studies.  Even where biological and chemical parameters have
 been monitored, standard procedures have not been used in all cases; cover- .
 age has been limited to a few specific problem areas and in -very few instan-
 ces have the data been collected for more than a decade.  Even where the
 records are reasonably complete for a particular tributary, the information
 cannot be generalized to all other tributaries .because the soils and drain-
 ;age of the watershed and the morphometry of the tributary are specific to
 the tributary and its watershed.  Very few tributaries are sufficiently simi-
 lar so that interpretations based upon data collected from one can be applied
 to others, much less to the main stem of the Bay.                            :
 \     Nevertheless, a eompHation^l^cfra^^^
 • the^oOTgysrandachem^sl^                                         woul d pro-
 vide an ev;emW^4ew^jf~the:^f4eetfeof^^
 and would indicate whether present conditions are unique, a repetition of
 jrecurrent conditions or are continuous with the past.

 :     Although historical records are not adequate for such an evaluation,
 the s-trAbag^apfltG^qnethorcb can be used to provide such a data base.  The
 stratigraphic method is valuable also because the sediments can extend the
 ; record beyond the time of human settlement so that it is possible to eorapbajse
 |Ccmdit4oj«^i^4;43e^aquato^                                               of
 ithe watershed.                        •,
 I                '                      j.  .' .-,- ..  ...•;..-...• .-.,,. .- .   ''  '
 '     The stratigraphic method should be feasible for compiling long histor-
 iical records of the Chesapeake Bay because the Bay and its tributaries are
 'depositional basins in which are entrapped and preserved some aquatic organ-
: isms (e.g., diatoms, cladocerans), parts of organisms • (.e»g., sponge spicules,
 pollen and seeds of terrestrial and aquatic plants) and metabolic products ...._

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of organisms (e.g., chlorophyll  degradation products,  amino acids).  These
fossil organisms and remains of organisms represent  a  portion of the estu-
arine biota at the time of deposition.   Historical changes in the  composition
of the biota as well as in biomass can  be quantified by  identifying and
enumerating the fossil remains.   Thus dianges^M^^Pesence^n^bseiiee  and
in the s^e^test^corapQs^tionjsef^u                          at different
stratigraphic horizons ^cesen^efeawpsc^B^
(SAV) at the time of deposition.  Similarly,
                     where preserved can yield
          and hence are po$eflt^a&4fid
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     This study was undertaken to investigate thVfeasib.il ity of the strati-,
graphic method for describing-changes in SAV, eutrophication ar\d sedimenta-
tion rates in the Chesapeake Bay estuary over long periods of time.
OBJECTIVES          --: ••'

i	jne objectives of the study were:
     1.  to vdeivttfy the organisms and parts or products of organisms that
are the besfcf;0ss;3:fc3:nd.fefcto^                            by observing which
fossils are present most consistently from cores taken in several tribu-
taries, and to idefAify^he^chaiig estate                   that would serve
                     shociizons ;
     2 .  to tfeteTTOwep^tvesriumber^
     dataa by observing variations in spatial distributions in closely spaced
samples taken in surface sediments of the fossils chosen as indicators;

  •--  3 .  to determine whether or not there are
                     '-, and
     4.  to deftCTe^e^eso3:U:tion=o^ttoe^
spati^sapea^sr-eppesentetbxby^aiscor-fe (or series of cores) taken at a location
by studying one area in some detail.

     The manner in which each of these questions is addressed is described
in the following sections on Submerged Aquatic Vegetation, Sediment Trans-
port and Deposition Rates, and Eutrophication.  Laboratory methods that are
the same as those described in the Quality Assurance report for this project
are not repeated here., However, methods which have been modified are
described in Appendix A.

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                                   SECTION  2

                         "CONCLUSIONS  AND DISCUSSIONS"
      The record left by organisms  and parts  of organisms  in  estuarine  sedi-
 ments is sufficiently complete to  provide adequate data for  reconstructing
 some of the chemical, physical and biological  conditions  of  the estuary over
 long time intervals.  The fiossijtesusexteafcii^i^tore  of these parameters must
 be ctiosen^eavefari^ysain^teTms^oS their afe*^^^te=ppeser-we , thei r 55ITsT4-t4mi;tys
;t0™en;v4siy)ntneiJtafacl>ange, and tti5esknowfe^gercifethe=t»s^co3t)^.   Once a particu-
lar indicator is chosen, §amp±mg^des35tfc,musi~take^fento-aceoti»t? the
                                                    and the
                          on its final distribution in the sediments.
 teeattons must be selected also from areas of wwlJsifeijriietWepostfci^on) so that
.the historical record is not distorted by scouring, erosion  and mixing,      ;
 including resuspension and bioturbation.                                      ;

      In this study we attempted to identify the fossil indicators  and  estab-
lish sampling designs to describe  regional trends or changes over  long time
 periods in SAV, eutrophi cation and sedimentation rates.  In  order  to accomp-
lish this objective, we used the Upper Chesapeake Bay as  a  study area  because
lit has a diverse depositional environment, thereby allowing  us to  compare the
ibiostratigraphy of different depositional basins in the same area.           \

:      The
                                         in order
                                               The sediments also contain fos-
Isil indicators of othei^popufl'at^sas , e.g., species of sponges and carapaces
I of cladocerans.  These populations can pw>Ad^esd:nfiOCTia^^)n^v«'thEapeg»r-d«3t©    \
;«a^^%^an^^h^sbto^X)gy-20fcthe=w:atei^  A more detailed and complete history :
jean be compiled by studying fossils of a greater number of different popula- ,
itions.  However, since the analysis of a sedimentary core is time-consuming,
I careful consideration should be given to the kind of information being sought
jand to the knowledge of the ecology of the organisms represented by the fos-
jsils.  If nothing is known of the existing distributions and ecological      j
| requirements of a particular organisms, it will be difficult to interpret    j
I fossil distributions in terms of their response to environmental change
juntil their present day distributions, requirements and limitations are
I understood.    ,                   .
LAST LifiEi
OF TEX
                                    faf^                           that the
                 $es^a«y3^                                         Acorn-
 parison of pollen distributions in surface sediments with distributions of
 jtrees in a wi'de band adjacent to an estuary sampled for pollen suggest that.
                 '            '                        •'"'
             _  _
                                                                              ; TFiATiGNS.

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estuarine processes disperse the pollen  in  the  estuary to a greater or
lesser extent depending upon the settling velocities of the individual
grains.  Es^aimie^repersTOns^enre
due to patchiness of tree distributions, uneveness  of pollen production, etc.
that were not eliminated by atmospheric  dispersion, but it cteesWjafcraask
<^ci0na^-d=i^p4:buMeflS"0&^:e§eifeafeiea.  Since  pollen behaves in water simi-
larly to particles with small  Reynolds numbers  such as silt and clay, results
suggest that fine-grained sediments are  transported similarly within the
estuary.  That is, sediments are not likely to  move very far from their
source, except when and where conditions are  extremely turbulent, such as
during intense storms and at the mouths  of  the  tributaries.  Consequently,  in
most cases, it can be expected that s^raeni-aMon^AtHesaaj^
age^*ea:=and:dloeafcl:andriise-.  Our data,  though  preliminary, substantiate this
expectation.  The large degree of variation in  sedimentation rates between
cores suggests that local sediment inputs are not homogenized into an even
deposition of sediment throughout a tributary.   Within the cores we have
studied, sedimentation rates are much  higher  during agricultural periods in
tributaries with large drainage areas  than  in tributaries draining small
areas; in the latter, there is little  fluctuation in rates.

     The above observations are preliminary in  that they are based upon data
from a total of 12 cores from five tributaries  and  one core from the Bay
proper.  It is necessary to measure the  rates in most of the major tribu-
taries in order to delineate the importance of  all  factors involved in the
transport and deposition of sediment in  the estuary as precisely as possible.

     The «imi:te;r^ysiflsve»^                              cores taken in
                                  indicates that waietequaMty^s^goveisned-'by
                                      The  settling velocities of diatoms are
such that it is unlikely the populations of the two areas are mixed.  More
likely, they represent in situ populations  which may have been transported
short distances within each area.  Susquehanna  Flats and Furnace Bay are
quite different from each other hydrologically. However, water chemistry in
both areas is probably influenced more by the character and use of the water-
shed and therefore may be similar in both places.   The diatoms, which are
sensitive to water chemistry,  appear to  be  responding predominantly to a more
regional pattern of water quality.  Thus, we  can expect to obtain historical
data representative of the effect of watershed  use  on regiona.1 water quality
by studying vertical diatom distributions in  one or two cores from a good
depositional area.
     The ddssim^^arttysbetween^veirtflXia^^nofii^ressofcSAV^seeds3"^ i-n-cores  from
Susquehanna Flats and Furnace Bay as well  as  the va^at^Wl^bet-ween-eores
within each area recognizes the htgfedegKeesofKpatchi^ness  characteristic  of
SAV.  SAV is represented best in the sediments  by  seeds.   Because of  their
size (1 to 3 mm) and low buoyancy, they usually are  not transported far from
the parent beds.  Since these beds can change position from year to year,
they are characterized by a temporal patchiness as well as spatial patchi-
ness.  In contrast to diatoms and pollen,  the variability  that characterizes
SAV and the ineffectiveness of transport processes to.erase this local
variability requires that a few strategic  locations, where specific impacts

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        are documented clearly, be sampled intensively.  Past regional conditions
        can then be inferred from observations of changes in populations in a few
        areas'that are. obtained from a sufficient number of samples that regional
        changes can be separated from natural variability and local effects.
LA:
OF

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                                  SECTIONS

                                 STUDY AREA
                extracted from
 and  FtmnaeeEBa$ (Figure 1).  The decision was made to do a detailed study of
 one  area  in order to determine the resolution of the information contained in
 the  sediments.  After examining cores from all of the areas listed above, the
 Susquehanna Flats-Furnace Bay area in the Upper Chesapeake Bay was chosen
 because depositionally it comprises two entirely different zones:   one an
 undisturbed depositional basin and the other a zone characterized by scouring
 and  redeposition.  This study was to determine whether the history of changes
 in SAV, eutrophication, and sedimentation in the Susquehanna Flats and the   ;
 Upper Chesapeake Bay—where the depositional history is complicated by scour-
 ing  and redeposition—would be reflected accurately in a small  embayment such
 as Furnace Bay, where the sediments once deposited. remain essentially undis-
 turbed
 DESCRIPTION

     The SM&queha-imarf3;a;bs is a broad shallow estuary of roughly 90''km2
 located at the juncture of the Susquehanna River and Chesapeake Bay
 (Figure 2).

i     The average depth of water at mean low tide is 1.2 m.   The Flats  are
^influenced very little by the tide and receive a ter;g*^^es^a*epsf4-4Dw from
 the  Susquehanna River.  Consequently, the water is essentially fresh  except
 during very dry periods.  fH^boflows from the Susquehanna River during storms
 result in ^]i^.43^^^^^^n^,^d^^^^Qs4M-Qn^f^^^me^&.   Since the  Flats
 are  dominated by the Susquehanna River, their history should reflect  the
 historical effects of events in the Susquehanna watershed or, at least some
 part, on the water of the Upper Bay.

;     €u«nacesBay is a small embayment on the northern edge of the Susquehanna
 Flats and is fed by Principco Creek (Figure 3).  Unlike the Susquehanna
 Flats, it is an exc€lsteii;bz^epo;S3iteitj»aisba;S5TO with a substrate consisting
[entirely of silt and clay.  It experiences minimal scouring and redeposition.
JThe  eastern side of Furnace Bay's watershed is forested to a larger extent
jthan the western side which is cleared mostly for agriculture (Figure  3).
iThe  water is uniformly shallow, never deeper than 2 m.   Furnace Bay may  be
•somewhat more enriched than Susquebanna Flats because of local  sewage  dis-
 charge into Mill Creek and subsequently into Furnace Bay.

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CHESAPEAKE BAY
  o   5   10 NAUTICAL MILES
        Figure  1.   Location of study  area.
       1                   8

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                                                FLATS
Figure 2.   Locations  of  cores  taken  in Susquehanna Flats  (map from Bayley et
           al.,  unpublished manuscript).  Broken lines represent MBHRL SAV
           survey  transects.

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      FORESTS

      SAND AND GRAVEL
Figure 3.   Locations of cores taken in Furnace Bay.  Areas with dashed lines
           are forested and  hatched areas are sand and gravel  quarries.
                                    10

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HISTORY

     In this section, we present synopses of trends  and events  in the
Susquehanna River Basin and Furnace-Bay watershed which relate  directly to
the stratigraphic records from Susquehanna Flats and Furnace Bay.

The Susquehanna River Basin

     The Susquehanna River drains a 25,510 mi2 basin which extends well  into
New York State (Figure 4).  Despite its size, practically every acre of the
watershed has been altered at some point in the past 3  centuries to meet
demands for food, lumber, coal, residential and industrial  space (Susquehanna
River Basin Study Coordinating Committee 1970).

     The land-use history of the watershed is extremely complicated.   The "
task of reconstructing that history has been simplified by focusing upon
major statewide trends in the lumber and anthracite  coal  industries.   The
analysis of agriculture in the watershed emphasizes  those counties in the
southern basin which are adjacent to the Susquehanna River (Table 1).


TABLE 1.  AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS FOR SELECTED YEARS IN THE SOUTHERN
SUSQUEHANNA RIVER BASIN*


1844
18845
1925
1964
Acres of
improved landt
2,448,160
2,958,510
2,482,920
2,524,812
% of total area
51.3
61.9
52.0
52.9 . .
Acres i n
principal
.field cropst
. not available
1,266,010
1,195,570
13161,780
% of
total area
	
26.5
25.0
24.3

*  Includes Federal Census data for Harford arid Cecil  Counties, Maryland,
   plus the following counties in Pennsylvania:   Chester,  Cumberland,
   Dauphin, Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon,  Mifflin,  Montour, Northumberland,
   Perry, Snyder, Union and York.

t  Includes total cropland, pastureland,  orchardland,  vineyards,  etc.

t  Corn, wheat and oats.                             .

§  Average of 1880 and 1890 census data.   .


     We have distinguished, for purposes  of this study,  the following major
periods and events which are described  in the accompanying text.


                                     11

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                                                                             N
            I	 PENNA.     •
                    "Two".
BEGiN
LAST LiN
OF TEXT
f'igure 4,   Th.e SusqueKanW River  drainage basin.
                                                                                       _i FOR TABLES
                                                                                       M-AND (LLUS-
                                                                                         , TRATiO?\iS

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1.   The Lumber Industry:
    1700-1840 - Hardwood  Lumbering  in  the Pennsylvania Piedmont for
                cropland  and  charcoal.
    1830-1860 - Peak production  of  white pine from West Branch and upper
                watershed.
    1869-1900 - Peak production  of  eastern  hemlock in upper watershed.
    1910-1930 - Decline of  American chestnut in eastern Pennsylvania.
2.   Anthracite Industry:
    1803-1850 - Development of the  industry.
    1875-1885 - Beginning of  coal particle  deposition in Upper Bay
                sediments.
    1890-1915 - Peak production. 	  — -— -	-  	 --- —	 —
    1920-Present - Acid mine  drainage  in central-eastern watershed.
3.   Agriculture:
    1700-1760 - European  occupation of southeastern Pennsylvania.
    1760-1820 - Establishment of stable agricultural system.
    1790-1820 - Rise of ragweed  in  Upper Bay pollen record.
    1870-1890 - Peak number of farms and peak crop acreage in south-
                eastern Pennsylvania.   Farm abandonment, in the Upper
                Basin.
                                                                       I
    1950-Present - Suburbanization  of  river watershed with modest
                   decrease in farmland.
4.   Major Floods:
    October 1786                       March 1904                      j
    March 1846                  \.      March 1936                •      \
    March 1865                  j       May 1946                        I
    June 1889                   j       March 1964                      ;
    May 1894                    ;'      June 1972                       \
    March 1902                                                       .J
                               13

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The Lumber Industry—
     Lumbering in the state before 1700 matched the need for cropland.   Indi-
ans and pioneer settlers typically girdled trees to clear one or several  acres
for planting.  Fires were occasionally set to drive out .game and to create
forage (Defebaugh 1907).                 •   ,  .

     Between 1700 and 1760, an expanding population of European immigrants
spread northward and westward from Philadelphia.  The area into which they
migrated contained mixed deciduous forests (white oak, red oak, black oak,
chestnut, pignut hickory, and black walnut) interrupted by occasional stands
of yellow pine and, on steeper river banks, hemlock (Lemon 1972).   During
this time, scattered sawmills sprang up as far west as the Susquehanna River
to provide lumber for developing towns and homesteads.  During this period,
iron furnaces fired by hardwood charcoal consumed substantial tracts of for-
est.outside the towns and in rural areas (Bining 1938).  Nonetheless, in
1760, large tracts of open forest still characterized most of the watershed.

     During the next 40 years, existing farms and towns in the southern basin
expanded considerably.  The valleys east of the Allegheny Mountains were set-
tled at densities of 20 to 40 persons per mi2 (Lemon 1972).  Deforestation
for cropland, charcoal and lumber continued, but it was piecemeal  and thus
difficult to assess.

     Charcoal manufacturing declined quickly when charcoal was replaced by
coal and coke (c. 1840) as the fuel for blast furnaces (Bining 1938).  By the
mid-19th century, much of the timberland of the. Piedmont valleys and flood-
plains was cleared for agriculture, and upland slopes were cut for fuel and
pasturage.

     Softwood lumbering in the Middle and Upper Basin,, especially along the
West Branch of the Susquehanna, was systematic and devastatingly thorough
(Tonkin 1940).  Between the late 18th century, when speculators first began
buying up tracts along the West Branch, and 1900, white pine and eastern
hemlock were harvested faster than they could regenerate on both sides, of the
Allegheny Mountains.  Pine production declined steadily after reaching its.
peak during the 1850's.  Hemlock grew scarce within another 40 years but not
before Pennsylvania had led the nation in lumber production for nearly two
decades (Steer 1948).

     The demise of Pennsylvania's forests, which can be inferred from         :
Figure 5, is reported by the state forester in the 1880 U.'S. Census:

          "Merchantable pine has now almost disappeared fromthe State,      ';
     and the forests of hardwood have been replaced either by second
     growth or have been so generally culled of their best trees that     .  .  I
     comparatively little valuable hardwood timber now remains.  Large        !
     and valuable growths of hemlock, however, are still standing in          •;
     northwestern Pennsylvania." .                                            !

     The spread of the chestnut blight (Endothia papasitica) from an epicen-
ter near Philadelphia was so rapid that by 1930 nearly every tree in the
State was infected, and the majority of trees east of the Allegheny Mountains

                                     14       ._. .„._  _	    	

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YEAR


 1940
 920
1900
1880
I860
TOTAL
EASTERN
HEMLOCK
WHITE
 PINE
AMERICAN
CHESTNUT
                            -\
                    IxlO9 bd.ft.
                    IxlO9 bd.ft.    5xl08 bd.ft.   5xl05 bd.ft,
                 d 1 umber production in Pennsylvania for selected years_(Stee.nJ.94.8U

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were dead.  Infection rates of 77 percent in 1912 and 88 percent in 1913
were reported for 1,637 trees examined in the vicinity of Philadelphia
(Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 1915).  Because infection rates were high in
the southeastern corner of Pennsylvania by 1910, it seems likely that «ekes-ir
nttfcpotten began declining at this time in the poll-en assemblages of the
Upper Bay and probably disappeared altogether by
The Anthracite Coal Industry—                   -
     The anthracite coal industry in Pennsylvania was centered on deposits
in Lebanon, Dauphin, Schuylkill, Northumberland and Luzerne Counties — in
other words, the central eastern section of the Susquehanna watershed.  From
its beginnings in the early 19th century to its peak and subsequent decline
in the early 20th century (Table 2), coal mining had prodound effects on the
culture and the landscape of this region.  The urbanization of northeastern.
Pennsylvania accompanied anthracite output.  Mining was also responsible for
"acidic streams, scarred landscapes, underground fires, land subsidence, and
abandoned mine buildings and breakers" (Susquehanna River Basin Study
Coordinating Committee 1970).


TABLE 2.  PRODUCTION OF PENNSYLVANIA ANTHRACITE FOR CERTAIN SELECTED YEARS
(from Susquehanna River Basin Coordinating Committee 1970)

Year
1825
• 1837
•1859
1 1891
M917 ]
1923 ;
! 1933 .
I 1944
; 1960 !
; 1964
Production (million of tons)
0.04
1.2
10-1
50.7
99.6
93.3
49.5
63.7 j
18.8 ;
17.2 ;

     The £mt+>pae*tes«i?ndtist-py is reflected in the sedamewtis of the Upper Bay.
            a^t-i«4«s^oraa«a*e»some«bott42ons in the Susquehanna Flats sedi-
ments.  They began accumulating sometime in the second half of the 19th
                                     16

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century, probably around 1880 (S.  Lintner,  personal  communication),  thus
providing a dateable horizon in the sediments of the Susquehanna  Flats.

Agriculture—
     The earliest farms in Pennsylvania appeared over 300 years ago.   It  was
not until the 18th century, however, that settlers  spread. out from  the
Delaware River basin and .Philadelphia westward into Lancaster County.  By
1760, settlers had occupied land east of the Susquehanna  River at average
densities of 20 to 29 persons per mi2.  The best farmlands  west to  Cumberland.
County were only slightly less populous.  During the next 40 years,  the occu-
pied lands were cleared for farmland and fuel and were connected  by  roads
and political institutions.  Despite movements of persons westward  towards
Ohio, the population densities east of the  Alleghenies doubled between 1760
and 1800 (Lemon 1972).

     Benjamin Latrobe's map of the Susquehanna River, the product of a
survey performed in 1801 between Columbia,  Pennsylvania and Havre de Grace,
Maryland, provides a general impression of  the extent of  farmland along the
River.  At that time, long reaches of river are still enclosed by dense
forest, but cropland dominates other stretches, particularly along  the
approach to Columbia (for a summary description of  the map, see Lintner,
unpublished manuscript).

     Apparently, enough land was cleared in the southern  Susquehanna water-
shed in the latter 18th century to promote  the rise of Ambrosia (ragweed)
pollen in the pollen assemblage borne by the river.   We have assigned rough
dates of ^790^nd^820 to the fci^s^appeaT'ane
               in the pollen record of the  Upper Bay.
     Table 1 (shown previously) shows trends  in the acres  of  improved  land
in selected counties of the Susquehanna Basin since 1844 (U.S.  Census 1844,
1884i 1924* 1964).  These Census data suggest that the amount of improved
land is roughly the same now as it was in 1844.  Land in crops,  orchard,
pasture and other. improvements (i.e., improved land)  peaked during  the 1880's
and then declined gradually to approximately  2.5 million acres in 1920
(Johnson 1929).  Seventy-five percent of the  reduction between 1880 and 1920
is in. orchards, vineyards and pasturelands.   The number of farms and the
average size of individual farms also drops appreciably during this time.

     The late 19th and early 20th century was an era  of widespread  farm
abandonment throughout the Piedmont,  largely  due to soil exhaustion
(Trimble 1974, Craven 1926).  Though  there was abandonment in the upper
Susquehanna watershed, the farms of the Pennsylvania  Piedmont were  excep-
tionally stable.  This stability was  partly due to the unusually fertile
soils of the area and to its topography, as well  as its proximity to major
marketplaces such as Philadelphia (James 1928).  Corn, wheat, oats  and hay
are the principal crops of the region much as they were during the  early
years of agriculture in southeastern  Pennsylvania (Lemon 1972).

Floods—                                            •-.-•••
     The dates of major floods in the basin since 1784, as recorded at a
gauging station at Harrisburg, Pennsylvania (70 miles from the mouth of the

                                     17                       ..._._ .....

-------
 river),  are  listed  on  page  13.  The six  largest floods which have occurred
 at Harrisburg  since 1889  are  those of June 1972, March 1936, June 1889, May
 1894, March  1964 and May  1946 in order of decreasing intensity.

 Furnace  Bay  Watershed

     The name  Furnace  Bay refers to a furnace built by the Principio Iron
 Company  in 1724.  This company operated  one of the region's first iron works
 on Principio Creek  between  1724 and 1787 (Bining 1938).

     Some of the local historical events which might have affected the bio-
 stratigraphic  record in Furnace Bay sediments are outlined below:

     Pre-1900

     1658       George Simcoe built a small farm on the western  shore of
                 Furnace Bay.   Other settlers probably established themselves
                 on  Perry  Point.  Certainly some forest acreage was cleared
                 for crops (Johnston 1881).

     1724       The Principio Furnace was completed, along with  a grist mill
                 and housing for colliers and other employees.  Large tracts
                 of  hardwood must have been cut for charcoal to fuel the
                 furnace.   Cropland was probably developed to provide food
                 for company employees (Miller 1949).

     1750       Some plantation homes were established on Perry  Point around
                 this time,  notably the Thomas mansion.

     1750-1900  During most of the 18th  century, the principal source of
                 income for  local inhabitants was trapping and fur trading.
                 These  were  generally replaced as an economic base by agri-
                 culture around the turn  of the century.  In particular, the
                 western shore of Furnace Bay was continuously planted in
                 corn,  wheat,  hay and other crops throughout the  19th century
                 (County Directors of Maryland 1956).

     Post-1900

     1918       The local population remained small and agriculturally based
                 until  1918, when an ammonium nitrate (explosives) plant was
                 built on  Perry Point adjacent to Mill Creek.  The construc-
                 tion included "water, sewer and stream underground conduits,
                 streets,  railroads, large machinery installations, a village
                 of  more than  300 houses  and theatre" (County Directors of
                 Maryland  1956).

                      In 1922, the entire complex was converted to a U.S.
                 Veterans  Hospital.  Sewage from the facility, as well as
                 from a rapidly expanding population in Perryville, was (and
••-•-             still  is) discharged into Mill Creek, and was probably


                                     18

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           responsible for the substantial  organic enrichment of Mill
           Creek and Furnace Bay still  evident today  (Upper Chesapeake
           Watershed Association 1970).

1952       Beginning in 1952, sand and  gravel  were excavated from  four
           locations in the Furnace Bay watershed  (Figure  3, page  10).
           One pit was situated against Principio  Creek at the head  of
           Furnace Bay.              .                	

                Excavation for sand and gravel has now exposed extensive
           areas of the Furnace Bay watershed, and undoubtedly affects
           both the character of sediments  and their  rate  of deposition
           into Furnace Bay.
                               19

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                                  SECTION 4

                     SUBMERGED AQUATIC VEGETATION  (SAV)
INTRODUCTION
     Extensive beds of submerged aquatic macrophytes  (SAV)  have  been  a  famil-
iar, and variously appreciated, aspect of most tributaries  and shoal  areas  of
Chesapeake Bay.  Though they can be a nuisance to recreational boaters,  the
beds provide food and/or shelter to a wide variety of organisms,  including
waterfowl, fish and a host of invertebrates.   Additionally,  SAV  communities
remove some toxins from the water, stabilize  sediments and  dampen waves
responsible for shoreline erosion (Stevenson  and Confer 1978).

     Research on SAV ecology and distribution in the  Bay has been sporadic.
Dramatic events such as the spread of water chestnut  (Trapa  natans) throughout
the Potomac in the 1920's, or the decline of  eelgrass (Zostera marina)  in the
southern Bay during the 1930's, have drawn attention  to SAV  communities.
Waterfowl biologists have provided descriptions of and investigations into  the
grasses since the turn of the century.

     Not until 1958, however, with the initiation of  a SAV  survey in  the
Susquehanna Flats (Bayley et al. 1978), has there been systematic monitoring
of grass beds.  Since then various investigators (Anderson  1972,  Southwick
and Pine 1975, Steenis et al. 1962, Stevenson and Confer 1978) have docu-
mented the explosive spread and sudden decline of Eurasian milfoil
(Myriophyllum spicatum) throughout the Maryland tributaries  during the  late
1950's and early 1960's, and the startling disappearance of  grass beds
throughout the northern Bay in the wake of Hurricane  Agnes  in 1972.   The
post-Agnes decline of SAV beds in the Upper Bay coincided with the rapid
deterioration of eelgrass beds in the Lower Bay (Orth 1976).

     At present, the most extensive SAV communities occupy  the tidal  rivers
of the central Eastern Shore.  Vegetation is  gradually returning to a few
Western Shore rivers, notably the Severn, Gunpowder,  and the Bush Rivers, but
so far it is not recolonizing extensively the Susquehanna Flats, the  Elk,
Bohemian or Sassafras Rivers.  SAV is conspicuously absent  from  the Patuxent
River and most of the Potomac River.  In Virginia, eelgrass  beds remain
greatly reduced compared to 1971, but there have been no significant  declines
in the past 2 years.

     The recent record suggests that SAV communities  are unpredictable  and
prone to large swings in abundance and in species composition.               \

     Our 1-year feasibility study grew out of a desire to know more about the
broad history of SAV populations in different tributaries of Chesapeake Bay.


                                     20

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It was felt that such information would  complement  ongoing ecological studies
in providing perspective on the behavior of grass beds  over the course of
decades and centuries, rather than months or years.
naques^avedaeerteexprlroeed:^
thed M^^cfxmwm^^s^^e^^^^e^re^eo^oma^Ba^^GQsy&^eB^  Hew=has— SAfo
     In order to address these questions,  an  attempt was made this year to
determine (1) the parts of SAV that are  best  preserved  in  the sediment and
that are most readily identifiable and whether  or  not there  is selective
preservation,' and (2) the amount of variability in the  spatial distribution
of the seeds in the sediments.
     The biostratigraphic record of SAV  in  Bay  sediments  includes pollen,
leaf and rhizome tissue and seeds.   Depending upon  their  state of preserva-
tion, the leaves of Elodea canadensis , Vallisneria  americana, Myriaphyllum
spicatum , Zostera marina , Potamogeton. perfol-iatus ,  P. crispus and
Ceratophyllum demersum may be identifiable.  Leaves of  the genus Najas are
also recognizable.  Unfortunately,  leaves are often, fragmented beyond recog-
nition, and they are difficult to quantify.  Nonetheless, leaves present a
record of presence or absence which may  provide the best  available informa-
tion for some species.

     Seed and pollen production of major SAV species  is summarized in
Table 3.  Note that only, five species produce pollen with a  persistent exine.
Members of the genus Potamogeton and Myriophyllum spioatum produce aerial
flowers and the pollen is wind-dispersed.   Pollen of Elodea  canadens-is and
ValHsneria americana is released at the water  surface  and distributed
locally.  None of the SAV species produce enough pollen to figure signifi-
cantly in the pollen assemblage, although pollen grains of Myrioptyllum and
Potamogeton appear consistently in some  of  the  cores  analyzed.
                  ^t^-most^^
           toeomma rcfctJes , and they tend  to  be well preserved  in most sedi-
ments.  Fragments are recognizable to genus and  usually  to  species.  However,
seed profiles in the sediment are not easily interpreted.   As underlined by
Watts (1967), tfp^liesiaeeidifjfe^                        the fossil record so
that the prolific seed producers and  those  whose seeds are  well preserved are
overrepresented compared to those species which  produce  few seeds or do not
preserve well.  There is variation in the distance over  which different seeds
are transported and in the palatability  of  different  species  to waterfowl,
fish and invertebrates.  Finally, the ecology of a macrofossil community must
be known in order to draw meaningful  inferences  from  the fossil record.       ;
                                     21

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TABLE 3.  SAV SEEDS AND POLLEN IN THE BIOSTRATIGRAPHIC  RECORD
•
Pollen with
Salinity persistent
range:(ppt) Pollination exine
Zostera marina
Potamogeton pectinatus
Potamogeton perfoliatus
Ruppia maritima
Zannichellia palustris
Najas qualalupensis
Najas flexilis
Etodea oanadensis
Vallisneria americana
Myriophyllum spicatum
10
0
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
- 35
- 8
- 25
- 35
- 8
- 10
- 10
- 10
- 1
- 20
hydrophily
anemophily +
anemophily +
ephydrophily
hydrophily
hydrophily
hydrophily -
ephydrophily +
ephydrophily +
anemophily +
Representation
in seed record
?
poor
poor
good
good
good
good
poor
good
poor

     An example of SAV fossil assemblage is shown in Figure 6.   The core is
from Furnace Bay.  Five species occur in the profile.  The assemblage suggests
that:

     1.  None of the species provide consistent records of seeds, pollen and
leaf tissue.

     2.  Myriophyllum spicatum and Vallisneria americana show good agreement
between seed and tissue presence, while Najas spp., Potamogeton spp.  (in
this case predominantly P. gramineus) and Elodea oanadensis show a poor cor-
relation.

     3.  Of the four genera, Potamogeton is most poorly represented in the
seed record.  This is probably due to poor preservation or the exceptional
palatibility of Potamogeton seeds to waterfowl and not to low seed production
(Stark 1971).  Leaf fragments are the best markers of former beds of this
genus.

     4.  Pollen is not a useful parameter in the SAV record, since the species
represented are anemophilous, making it difficult to identify the location of
former beds.  Also, the pollen records show poor agreement with seed and leaf
records.
                                     22

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                      SEEDS/cm3  OF SEDIMENT

                      PRESENCE OF IDENTIFIABLE LEAVES

                      POLLEN PRESENT
                     I   I
                  0  0.2 0.4
00.1   00.1  OO.I
                  A- VALLISNERIA AMERICANA
                  B- NAJAS SPP.                    .
                  C- POTAMOGETON SPP.
                  D- MYRIOPHYLLUM SPICATUM     .
                  E- ELODEA  CANADENSIS

Figure 6.  An example of the SAV fossil record (Core FB-II from Furnace Bay)
                                 23

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     5.  For most species, seeds afford the best fossil  parameter for study-
ing the past history of SAV.


DISTRIBUTIONS OF SEEDS IN SEDIMENTS

     In order to interpret the occurrence of seeds in the sedimentary record,
the decision was made to investigate the distribution of seeds in surface
sediments and to try to relate the seed populations to populations of SAV in
existing beds.

     SAV reproduce asexual ly by rhizomes, turions, tubers and in many genera
(e.g., Myriophyllwn and Elodea) by any fragment of the plant axis bearing a
dormant lateral bud (Sculthorpe 1967).  Typically, senescent plants fragmen-  •
tize at the end of the growing season and drift in rafts that may accumulate
against the shore.  Seeds may travel and settle with such rafts, or they can
become detached to be moved by waterfowl, wind and water currents (Stevenson
and Confer 1978, Sculthorpe 1967).  The unique productivity, palatability and
dispersal mechanisms of the seeds of each SAV species suggest that it may be
difficult to make many generalizations about the transport of seeds.  However,
empirical evidence from this study, described below, as well as that of Stark
(1971), Birks (1972), Praeger (1913), and Ridley (1930) suggest that seeds of
many SAV species do not travel far from the parent bed.

Area of Study
                 is a tidal tributary of the Miles River (Figure 7).  It is
approximately 5 km long and its width decreases from about 500 m near the
mouth to 125 m near the head.  A channel running up the center of the creek
rises from a depth of 4.5 m near the mouth to 2.4 m just south of the Tunis
Mills Bridge.

     The SAV of Leeds Creek has been surveyed during the summers of 1976, 1977
and 1978 by the Youth Conservation Corps in collaboration with the Chesapeake
Bay Foundation (Fenwick, unpublished manuscript).  Additionally, an aerial
survey outlined the location of SAV beds during the 1978 growing season
(Figure 7) (Anderson et al., in press).

     Since 1976, the distribution and composition of SAV communities in Leeds
Creek have remained relatively stable compared to other SAV communities in the
•area.*                                                                  .    '  ;

     Leeds Creek was chosen for a study of the dispersal and deposition of the
seeds of a few SAV species because of the work described above.  In March
1979, surface sediments were collected from 77 locations along nine transects
inside the creek and from three locations just outside the creek (Figure 7).  ':
The spatial distribution of seeds was compared to the distribution of SAV beds
in the previous growing season to see how far seeds of different species were
transported and whether they were concentrated at certain water depths.  The
*Fenwick, G. 1979.  Personal communication.


                                      24

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Figure 7.   Locations of surface sediment  transects  in  Leeds  Creek.   Black areas
           represent locations  of  SAV  beds  in  1978  outlined  by  aerial  photogra-
           phy (Anderson,  in press).   Bracketed  numbered  areas  denote  areas
           sampled for SAV in 1978.

-------
1978 ground cover estimates for each SAV species  were checked  also against
seed data to see how the different species were represented  in the sedimentary
seed record.

     The results of the study are used in interpreting  SAV biostratigraphic
profiles and in designing future studies.

Methods

     The surface samples were collected with a piston corer  5.4 cm in diameter
that was designed for this project.  A short core was drawn  from which all but
the upper 28 cm3 (± 3 cm3) were discarded.  Samples  Were stored in plastic
bags and refrigerated as soon as possible.

     The methodology for seed extraction and enumeration has been described in
detail in the EPA Quality Assurance Report for this  project.

     Samples were located by transect and water depth  (Figure  7).  At loca-
tions A, B and C paired samples on a line from the creek channel into the
Miles River were taken.  Along transects 0 through G, samples  were collected
under 0.6, 1.2, 1.8 and 2.4 m of water as well as in the deepest part of the
channel (approximately the center of the creek).   These four transects were
separated by 122 m in an area that had extensive  SAV beds the  previous summer.
Along transects H through L samples were collected from 0.6, 1.2, and 1.8 m
water depths as well as in the center of the creek.

Results

     Seed data for Zanni^ohell-La palustris, Ruppia maritima  and Potamogeton
peotinatus are illustrated in Figures 8, 9, and 10.   Table 4 lists the sample
data in seeds/cm3 of sediment for each species.

Homogeneity of Seed Distributions-
     Data for Zannichellia palustris and Ruppia maritima are used separately
to test two hypotheses:  (1) seed concentrations  do not .vary between water
depths, and (2) seed concentrations do not vary between transects.
Potamogeton peotinatus is not included in the analysis  because 68 percent of
the samples do not contain Potamogeton seeds.

     Seed concentrations are strikingly low in the channel  sediments.
Taroiiahellia seeds occur in 58 out of 60 (97 percent)  of the nonchannel
samples and in 8 out of 20 (40 percent) of the channel  samples.  Ruppia seeds
are present in 58 out of 60 (88 percent) of the nonchannel  samples and 3 out
of 20  (15 percent) of the channel samples.

     The Kruskal-Wallis nonparametric test (Hollander and Wolfe 1973) was used
to determine whether the seed concentrations of the seven populations from the
sediments at 0.6 m, 1.2 m, and 1.8 m water depths on both sides of the creek
and from channel sediments vary with depth of water.

     The Kruskal-Wallis test is similar to a rank-sum test for more than two
populations.  It tests the probability, in this case,  that the seed data are

                                      26

-------
                                                                             SOURCE
  ii i
OF TEXT
                  05    12   1.8   24
                   DEPTH  IN  METERS
                                c
                                B
                                A
                                        4.2
4.2
eo
                                               2.4
                                               00
                                               1B
24   18   12  Q6
              MOUTH
Figure 8.  Seed concentrations of Zan-lohellia palustris  in surface sediments
           of Leeds Creek.
                                              27
                                        BOTTOM OF
                                        IMAGE AREA:
                                        OUTSIDE
                                        DIMENSION
                                        FOR TABLES
                                        AND ILLUS-
                                        TRATIONS

-------
BEGin
LAST LiN;
OF TEXT':
                  Q6    1.2   1.8    2.4

                   DEPTH IN METERS
                                 c
                                 B
                                 A-
                                        4.2
                                        0-
4.2
00
2.4   1.8   12   Q6
                MOUTH
                                                 24
                                                 oo
                                       1.8

Figure 9.   Seed concentrations  of Ruppia maritima  in  surface sediments  of
Leeds Creek.

                              ' .••"'-'•'•' 28
                                                                                           IMAGE AREA;
                                                                                           FOR TABLES
                                                                                           AND !LLU£-
                                                                                           T RATIONS

-------
                  Q6    1.2   1B   2.4

                   DEPTH IN METERS
c
B
A
       42
       oo
4.2
oo
               2.4    1.8   1.2  0.6

                              MOUTH
24
00
                                                1.8

LAST UMF.J.Figure 10.  Seed concentrations  of Potamogeton pectinatus in surface  sedi-
^ T~VT               ments of Leeds Creek.


                                               29
                                          PAGf- .'-iljM^EH
                                         BOTTOM Or
                                         'MAGE APE'

-------
       TABLE 4.  SAV SEED CONCENTRATIONS IFlEEDS CREEK SURFACE SEDIMENTS
CO
o

Seeds/cm3
. West side
Species Transect
Zannichellia palustris A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
0
K
L
Ruppia maritvna A
B
C
D
E
F
6
H
I
J
K
L
Potconogeton pectinatus A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
Cl
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.06
0.03
0.03
0.08
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
C2
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00




0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.00
0.00




0.00
0,00
0:00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 .





0.6 m



0.04
0.13
0.36
0.17
0.00
0.28
0.23
0.60
0.17



0.00
0.03
0.07
0.17
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.07
0.00



0.00
Q.,03
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
T.2 m;



0.47*
0.32
0.86
0.45
0.31
0.20
0.46
0.66
0.30



0.00*
0.00
0.10
0.19
0.34
0.08
0.09
0.07
0.19



0.05*
0.03
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0..05
0.00
0.04
at water
of creek
1.8 m



0.34*
0.33
0.76
0.47
0.41
0.12
0.20
0.11




0.24*
0.06
0.10
0.33
0.14
0.24
0.20
0.04




0.02*
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.04
0.00
0.04
0.00

2.4 m



0.06
0.27
0.28
0.54








0.07
0.03
0.06
0.25








0.03
0.00
0.03
0.00





2



1
0
0
0








0
0
0
0








0
0
0
0





depths sampl
East side
.4 m



.0
.13
.62
.23








.30
.27
.42
.23








.00
.07
.00
.00





1.8 m



1.12
0.37
0.16
0.83
0.07
0.12
0.13
0.04




0.39
0.10
0.10
0.47
0.04
0.12
0.03
0.04




0.07
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.04

ed

of creek
1.2 m



0.26
0.37
0.13
0.22
0.29
0.18
0.32
0.64
0.35



0.19
0.17
0.10
0.32
0.13
0.04
0.18
0.03
0.18



0.07
0.17
0.10
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.030
0.04
0.6 m



0.07
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.04
0.27
0.04
1.70
0.17



0.04
0.07
0.04
0.00
0.04
0.08
0.04
0.12
0.08



0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

          Actual depths greater than 1.2 m and 1.8 m due to  steep-sided  sand  bar.

-------
derived from the same population using a statistic that is chi-square distrib-
uted.

     Based upon this test, the hypothesis is rejected that seed concentrations
at 0.6 m, 1.2 m, 1.8 m and channel depths and at 0.6 m, 1.2 m and 1.8 m depths
are derived from the same population.  The hypothesis is accepted that seed
concentrations at 1.2 m and 1.8 m are derived from the same population
(Table 5).

     Results of the test are the same for seed concentrations of both Ruppia
and Zannichellia.

     In order to test the second hypothesis that seed concentrations at all
transects are derived from the same population, transects D through K includ-
ing data from 0.6m, 1.2m, 1.8m and channel depths were compared again using
the Kruskal-Wallis test.  The hypothesis is accepted for both Zarm-iohellia and
Ruppia, although not as strongly for Ruppia (Table 5).

     The test results for the first hypothesis indicate that seeds are depos-
ited more consistently in sediments between 1 and 2 m of water than at 0.6 m,
where there is a lot of variability in concentrations, or in the channel where
they are virtually absent.  Their absence in the channel suggests that the
seeds are not transported far in a lateral direction from their source because
the channel is the farthest location from the parent beds.

     The results of the test for the second hypothesis, that seeds from all
transects are from the same population, suggest that either the plants are
uniformly distributed along the creek, thus producing uniform seed distribu-
tions, or that the seed distributions were homogenized longitudinally by
transport process.  The distribution of plants for 1977-1978 is not suf-
ficiently detailed to indicate how uniformly the beds were distributed.
Aerial photographs and field data from 1978 indicate that the parent beds may
have been patchily distributed with denser beds below transect J, suggesting
that longitudinal transport mechanisms are responsible for the similarity of
seed populations between transects.  The presence of seeds at transect L,
where no vegetation was mapped in 1978, supports this expectation.

     The data from transects D through 6 were used to calculate the number of
samples needed to estimate (± 10 percent) the mean seed concentration in sur-
face sediments of that area at three different levels of confidence for each
species (Table 6).  This is one way of examining the amount of variability in
seed concentrations among the samples from a small area of the creek.  The
large sample sizes recommended by the test emphasize the degree of scatter in
the data.  Sampling only at 1.2 m and 1.8 m depths, where the seeds are depos-
ited more consistently, reduces the necessary sample size, but still many
samples are required.

     If the spatial variability in seed flux is the same roughly from year-to-
year, then there is little chance of obtaining quantitative trends in SAV pop-
ulations by observing seed concentrations in only a few cores.  Spatial vari-
ability in seed flux could obliterate any temporal trends in SAV populations.
On the other hand, the samples are sufficiently similar in the presence and

                                      31

-------
 TABlE'"!5\~WALY"SiS"OrrEEbS'"CREE'R"SA'V"'SEED' CONCENTRATIONS USING KRUSKAL-WALLIS NONPAR/METRIC TEST  (HOLLANDER
 AND WOLFE 1973)	. :  ;•;.:.;::.	,	  ."•_..	.	_j
            Hypothesis
                                       Species
                                 Sample
                                 Result
il.  [Seed concentrations  do  not
1     vary between depths.
                                Zanniohetlia palustris
                            Transects D-K
                            0.6 m, 1.2 m, 1.8 m,
                            and channel
                                 I
                            Transects D-K
                            0.6 m, 1.2m, 1.8 m

                            Transects D-K
                            1.2 m, 1.8 m
                                    Ruppia maritima
c^.L.
ro.-:
                                                           Transects D-K
                                                           0.6 m, 1.2m, 1.8 m,
                                                           and channel

                                                           Transects D-K
                                                           0.6 m, 1.2 m, 1.8 m

                                                           Transects D-K
                                                           1.2 m, 1.8 m
                           reject (p < 0.01)



                           reject '(p < 0.01)


                           accept (p = 0.30)
                                                       reject  (p  <  0.01)


                                                         i
                                                       reject  (p  <  0.01)
                                                         i

                                                       accept  (p  =  0.20)
 2.
Seed concentrations do  not
vary between transects.
Zannichellia palustris



Ruppia maritima
Transects D-K
0.6 m, 1.2 m, 1.8 m,
and channel

Transects D-K
0.6 m, 1.2 m, 1.8 m,
and channel
  > 'ri O O — cb
  ~- p r: C" •> O

  IIW&
  * m &  ;,, ,,
accept (p = 0.80)
                                                                                          accept (p = 0.70)

-------
absence of major SAV species, especially samples from 1.2 m  and  1.8 m,  that
presence-absence records of dominant SAV species in Leeds Creek  could be
assembled from a much smaller number of samples.
TABLE 6.  NUMBER OF SAMPLES REQUIRED TO BE 80,  90,  and  95 PERCENT  CONFIDENT OF
ESTIMATING (WITHIN 10 PERCENT.)  MEAN SAV SEED CONCENTRATIONS  IN  TRANSECTS  D-G
(SNEDECOR AND COCHRAN 1976)

Plant species
ZannichelZia
Zannidhellia
Zannichellia
Zannichellia
Zannichellia
Zannichetlia
Ruppia
Ruppia
Ruppia
Ruppia
Ruppia
Ruppia
Potamogeton
Potamogeton
Potamogeton
Potamogeton
Potamogeton
Potamogeton
Water depths Mean
included in mean seeds/cm3
0.6
0.6
0.6
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.6
0.6
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.6
0.6
1.2
1.2
1.2
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m
- 1.8 m
- 1.8 m
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m
-1.8m
- 1.8 m
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m +
- 1.8 m
-1.8m
- 1.8 m
channel
channel
channel



channel
channel
channel



channel
channel
channel



0.309
0.309
0.309
0.466
0.466
0.466
0.139
0.139
0.139
0.215
0.215
0.215
0.037
0.037
0.037
0.056
0.056
0.056
Variance
0.079
0.079
0.079
0.074
0.074
0.074
0.025
0.025
0.025
0.029
0.029
0.029
0.005
0.005
0.005
0.007
0.007
0.007
Level of
confidence
(%)
95
90
80
95
90
80
95
90
80
95
90
80
95
90
80
95
90
80
No. of
sampl es
necessary
331
223
138
137
92
57
518
348
215
251
169
105
1461
983
608
893
600
372
                                      33

-------
BEGIN
i f-A '; T ; ;

OF TEX-
 Comparisons  of  Seed  Distributions  in Surface Sediments with the 1978
 Vegetation Survey—
     The  results  of  1978  field  sampling  at five  locations  (Figure 7) in Leeds
 Creek  are summarized in Table 7 (Fenwick and Maldeis, manuscript in prepara-
 tion).  Five SAV  species  are recorded  in Leeds Creek in 1978.  Three of the
 five species are  present  in the seed record.  These three  species (Ruppia
 maritima, Zannicheilia palustris and Potamogeton pectinatus) account for 98.9
 percent of the  ground cover (as visually estimated) in the areas sampled in
 1978.  Data  in  Table 7 suggest  that Zannicheilia is overrepresented in the
 seed record  (compared to  Ruppia) since Zannicheilia seeds  occur in consis-
 tently higher concentrations than  Ruppia seeds,  despite 87.3 percent ground
 coverage  by  Ruppia and only 8.5 percent  by Zannicheilia.   The  1978 ground
 cover  data may  underestimate the extent  of Zannicheilia in the creek since
 they were collected  in July, and Zannicheilia populations  often decline by
 late June (Stevenson and  Confer 1978).   Additionally, Zannicheilia beds may
 have a higher seed output than  Ruppia  beds, or the seeds may suffer less
 predation by waterfowl and other organisms than  Ruppia seeds.  Both species
 preserve  well in  the sediments.
 TABLE  7.   RESULTS  OF THE  1978  LEEDS  CREEK  SAV  SURVEY  (FENWICK AND MALDEIS,
 MANUSCRIPT IN  PREPARATION).	  	
              .Stations
                 with
                                                Ground Cover
 \    Stations Vegetation Ruppia   Zanniahellia Potamogeton  Elodea   Potamogeton
 Area  (n)        (%)     maritima  palustris   pectinatus canadensis perfoliatus
       38

       48

       57

       28

       32

       Average:
                        .58

                        83

                        ;79
                        i
                        79

                        50
                        i
                        69.8
83.9

72.4

95.6

85.3

99.1

87.3
11.8

12.0

 3.3

14.7

 0.9

 8.5
15.6
             4.1
             1.1
          0.2
 3.1
1.0
< 0.1
      Potamogeton 'perfoliatus  and Elodea canadensis  are minor  components of
 the 1978 plant community.   They do  not appear  in  the  seed  record  of  the sur-
 face sediments.  •                      I
                 '                      i
                                       i
 I     Because Ruppia  and Zannicheilia  beds were scattered through  the creek,
 jit was difficult to  estimate  the distances  over which their seeds might have
 been transported by  water  currents.   Seeds  did occur  in appreciable  numbers
:250 m upstream from  the nearest reported beds.  Potamogeton pectinatus seeds
 occurred as far as 3.5 km  from the  beds at  the mouth  of the creek, though the
                                                       BOTTOiv"
                                                       IMAGE P
                                                       -_•' O ! *J i L-' v.
                                                       viMEMS!
                                                       CUR TAB


                                                       TRATiOriS

-------
        majority of seeds occurred along the four transects  (D-G)  in proximity to
        where the species was growing in 1978.   Waterfowl  may have played a role in
        the broad dispersal  of Potamogeton seeds.
LAST L.ii-
OF T2XT
                           of SAV seeds are h^^^f^mb^^n^^M^e-se^mes^ but
                           ^are^
                              eep.   The distributions  are  not unexpected in view of
        the fact that distributions of SAV  species  are extremely  patchy and the size
        of the seeds (disregarding  floating mechanisms) determines  that they are not
        likely to be transported any great  distance by estuarine  processes.  The a/Adfe-
        abttrtj that is characteristic of these distributions ^§§es;t-Sjdfeteat data from
        a large^uWer^ofecoEes^^
                  anyasiis:ni:fe                          However, majiOKstiEenjcteEiaJBdons-
        SAV BIOSTRATIGRAPHY OF UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY
                        i
             The Susquehanna Flats was chosen as a site for a  study of SAV biostratig-
        raphy because the area has had a diverse and extensive SAV  community,  in the
        past.  Also, since 1958, the vegetation has  been sampled  along 37 km of tran-
        sects by scientists from the Migratory Bird  Habitat and Research  Laboratory  •
        ,(MBHRL).  The results of this survey are summarized by Bayley  et  al. (1978).
                         from the SusquehannaEftats and  foinfecoieesu from t
        were analyzed for SAV seeds.   Our.objectives were:   (1)  to see how variable
        the seed record is between cores  within each area,  (2) to  compare the SAV     ;
        records of two areas closely  related spatially but  different  hydrodynamically,
        (3) to test the SAV record of recent sediments against the distribution  of SAV
        beds during those years  as established  by the MBHRL Survey, and (4)  generally,
        to gain some measure of  the resolving power of the  biostratigraphic  approach
        as applied to SAV populations while examining trends in  SAV populations  of the
        Upper Chesapeake Bay before and after European settlement.
                        i                       :
        The Susquehanna Flats                  j
      Core locations in the Susquehanna Flats  are  in  the  v.icintiy  of  the  MBHRL
 sampling transect which ran between  Havre  de  Grace and Spesutie Island  (see
 Figure 2).  It was hoped that the locations would be far enough south of the
 Susquehanna River so sediments  would be free  from periodic  scouring, as  im-
 plied by the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers (1975).   Using a piston corer
 5.42 cm in diameter two cores from site 1, two  from  site 2, and one  from
 site 3 were collected (Figure 2). One core from  each site  has been  analyzed
 .(Figure 11).    :                       j

_i     The methodology for seed extraction and  enumeration is provided in  the
:EPA Quality Assurance Report.  Results are plotted as seeds per.cm3  of  sedi-
 ment in Figures 12 through 16.	
BOT
IMA
OUT
                                                                                         TOM Cr
                                                                                         GE AREA:
                                                                                         SIDE
            Q 3/8"
                                                                                          TABLES.
                                                                                        D iLLUS-


-------
                   FB-I   F8-2   FB-3  FB-4
           E
           u
           Q.
           UJ
           Q

           H-
           z
           Id
           Q
           LJ
           Cfl
              20
 40
              60
 80
100
             120
             140
      XXX
                   7-7-7
                          xx/
             Y7/
             7/
                                 x/
                   VZ
                     x
                                       XXX
                                        zz:
                                       'XX
                                     SF-I   SF-2   SF-3
                                                   777
                                                   .XX,
                                      zz
                                                           //
                                                                //x
                                                   //x
                                                                Y7,
                     SAMPLE ANALYZED FOR SAV SEEDS
Figure 11.  Upper Chesapeake Bay  cores showing  levels analyzed for SAV seeds,
                                   36

-------
                             SF, I
                                                           SF2
                                                                                        SF 3
CO
u
to
20

I30
H40
a.
UJ
°50

60

70
80
*
#
*
*
*
*
b
3
*
*
*
*
*
	 1 — I I — J —
                       0   O.I   0.2  0.3
                       SEEDS/cm3 SEDIMENT
0
10

20

_ 30
E
U
i40
fL
iu 50
o

6O

70
80
90
*
j

*
F'




*

*


*
*
3
*
1 , ,
0 O.I 0.2
u
10

20

30


40

50

—
§ 60
x
t- 70
Q.
UJ
O
80
90
SEEDS/cm3 SED. 100

110

120
• NO SEEDS
130
i /in
*
•
*
*
]
*
*

*
*



|



*
]

*

*


]
* i i.
                                                                                    0   O.I   0.2
                                                                                    SEEDS/cm3 SED.
      Figure 12.   Seed concentrations of Vallisneria americana in cores  from Susquehanna Flats.

-------
U)
00
          0

          10

         20


       I 3°
       x
       Q.
       UJ
       O
         40
         50
         70
         80
 *
tJ
                                SF I
            0   O.I  0.2  0.3 0.4  0.5  0.6  0.7 0.8  0.9  1.0
                         SEEDS/cm3 SEDIMENT
                                                            SF 2
u
10
20
-30
u
h-
0.
UJ50
o
6O
70
80
90
*
*
*
	 1
I

ID "? '
H
*

*
* 1 1 1 J 1
                                                               0   O.I  0.2  0.3 0.4  0.5
                                                                 SEEDS/cm3 SEDIMENT
                                                                 • NO SEEDS
SF 3
V
10
20
30
40
50
I60
fro
Q.
UJ
°80
90
100
no
120
130
tan
h
^i
*
—LI
T~^
*
D
i

*

H
ID
l , ,
                                                                                             SEEDS/cm3 SED
          Figure  13.   Seed concentrations  of Sajaa flexilis in  cores from Susquehanna  Flats
,, ,. ,, ;, ,,, £ -

-------
oo
vo
                             SF I
                                  SF 2
u
10

20

E 30
I
I- 40
Q.
LL!
°50

60

70
80
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*

*
*
*
D
*
1 i i
0   O.I   0.2
SEEDS/cm3 SED.
u
10
20
,. 30
E
u
i40
o.
uj 50
o
60
70

80
90
*
*
I)
*
*
*
*
*
* i i
                                                     0  O.I  0.2
                                                     SEEDS/cm3 SEO.
                                                    « NO SEEDS
                                                                             Q.
                                                                             UJ
                                                                             O
  0

  10

 20

 30

 40

 50

 60

 70

 80

 90

 100

'110

 120

 130

 140
                                                                                      SF 3
                                                                                  0  O.I  0,2
                                                                                  SEEDS/cm3 SED.
       Figure 14.  Seed  concentrations  of Elodea oanadensis  in cores from Susquehanna Flats.

-------
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        Figure 15.   Seed concentrations  of Potcmogeton spp..in cores from Susquehanna  Flats.

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Figure 16.  Seed concentrations of Myriophyllwn spioatwn  in  cores  from Susquehanna Flats,

-------
        ~ ......  The  cores  contained  seeds  from. 10 species out of 18 SAV  species  reported
        for  this  area  (Bayley  et  al.  1978).  Najas quadalipensis, Heteranthera dub-la,
        Ceratophyllwn dem&csvm, Potamogeton peot-inatus and P. pusitlus  each occurs
        only once, Najas flexilisj P. gramineus^ Vall-isneria amer-icana, Elodea
        oanadensis and  Myriophyllwn spicatum appear more  regularly.

         .'"  The  greatest  seed concentrations in Cores 1  and 2  coincide with  a thick
        band of coal particles.  The  Core  1 band lies between 32 and  42 cm; the  Core 2
        band is between 24 and 32 cm.   In  both cores, this coal zone  occurs directly
        above  a band of. coarse sand and below a layer of  silt and terrestrial detri-
        tus.   This pattern has been interpreted as the product  of a major  storm  event,
        most likely the 1972 Hurricane  Agnes.  SAV seeds  that were resuspended with
        upstream  sediments apparently settled with the coal particles,  producing a
        distinct  peak  in the seed profiles. The peak is especially prominent  in  the
        profiles  f or Najas flexilis (Figure 12).

        ;    In Core 3, the largest concentration of coal particles occurs between  3
        and  7  cm  though coal particles  are apparent in all sediments  above 98 cm.      [
        There  is  no abrupt climb  in seed concentrations comparable to those in SF-1
        and  SF-2. Najas flexiHs and ValHsneria americana appear consistently
        throughout the core.  Seeds of  Potamogeton spp. and Elodea canadens-is occur   '.
        sporadically,  and  Myriophyllum  is  limited to the  top 12 cm.

        I    The  major shifts  in  local  SAV populations which have been documented in
        field  surveys  since 1958  are  not consistently depicted  in the SAV  record of
        the  Susquehanna Flats. The dominant species are  the same in  both  (Najas sp.3
        Myriophyllim sp-ioatum, Vallisneria amerl'cana, and Elodea canadensis ) , but
        there  is  nothing in the cores comparable to the simultaneous  rise  of           j
        Myriophyllvm and decline  of native grasses described in the MBHRL  Survey dur-
        ing  the early  1960's.   The disappearance of SAV after Hurricane Agnes, on the
        bther  hand, is  indicated  by the absence of SAV seeds in surface sediments of
        all  three cores.                      \                                        ;
        ';                •                      •
        !     It has been concluded that 6priynwf!@aBaFrH?s^^
                                                  because:-
        ;     1 .   Sfedime«t-at40jtepat-ter5ws appear to
        As seeds would not be deposited uniformly under such conditions,  an unreal is-
        tically  large number of cores might be needed  to reconstruct the  long-term
        behavior of SAV.                        ;
        j                :                       |
        I     2.   At a site, S'edaffleraifeai-a«n«:RaTbes=»also ^:»G%aat-e!S5tlramait2i5eaWf» making  it
        difficult to distinguish changes in seed concentrations due to changing  sedi-
        mentation rates from changes which reflect trends in SAV populations.  The   j
        possibility of periodic scouring of sediments  at a location makes interpreta- '
        tions of seed assemblages still more difficult.                              I

        |     3.   Po^4e«^ewpsM*»«sac4rf«w^con€eRt^at^n5 that palynologically derived
        sedimentation rates are difficult to obtain, and hence it may not be possible
BEGIN    to compute a SAV  flux in this area.
                                                                                     j  FOR TABLES
                                                                                        •ID iLLUS-

-------
     '"....  Similarity of diatom stratigraphy  of the  Susquehanna  Flats  and  Furnace
     Bay implies that water quality  is  comparable in  the two  areas  (Section  6).
     Furnace Bay is  a good depositional  area making it appropriate  for biostratig-
     raphic studies.  Thus there may be indirect information  on trends in SAV  of
     the Flats which are related to  changing water  quality that can be inferred
     from Furnace Bay data.  This is true  only if SAV, which  contribute to the
     Furnace Bay seed record, is responding  to changes in water quality in a_way
     that is representative of SAV in the  area as a whole.       "   "~        .......
          Furnace Bay is a broad,  shallow embayment north of the  Susquehanna  Flats
     and east of the Susquehanna River (see Figure 3).   Sediment  enters  Furnace
     Bay via Principio Creek, Mill  Creek, Chesapeake Bay, and small  streams which
     drain the immediate watershed.  The sediments in all six cores  taken  from
     Furnace Bay are fine-grained (99 percent silt and clay) and  relatively rich
     in organic matter.  Unlike the sediments from the Susquehanna Flats,  there is
     very little variation in sediment character with depth, which suggests that
     the cores are taken from undisturbed depositional  areas.

          Four of the six cores were analyzed.   FB-I and FB-II were  taken  at
     sites 1 and 2; FB-III and FB-IV were taken less than 3 m apart  at site 3
     (Figure 3).  All cores were collected with a 5.4 cm diameter piston corer.

          FB-III and FB-IV were X-rayed by the Maryland Geological Survey; core •
     sections X-rayed in FB-III showed banding  patterns suggestive of undisturbed
     stratigraphy.  Comparable sections in FB-IV had no distinguishable zonation.
     When all of the cores were split for subsampling, the gross  structures of
     FB-I, FB-II and FB-III were generally similar but differed from FB-IV.

     !     FB-I and FB-IV were divided into slices 2 cm thick and  two slices were
     analyzed within every 10 cm along the core.  Because seed concentrations were
     low, FB-II and FB-III were divided into 4 cm slices.  In this pair of cores
     every sample was analyzed (Figure 11).
                     ;
     I     The methodology for seed extraction and enumeration is  described in our
     Quality Assurance Report.  FB-I and FB-II  were analyzed for  pollen and dia-
     toms as well as seeds (Sections 5 and 6).   FB-III was partially analyzed for
     pollen.         ,        '               i
     r                i                       <
     j     The seed data are presented as seed flux per 10 cm2 per year in
     Figures 17 through 22.  The seed flux is obtained by multiplying seed con-
     :centrations by sedimentation rates which were established through pollen
     ianalysis.       ,                       j
     i                '                       I
     !     Seed data for FB-IV have been included and are adjusted to a sedimenta-
     tion rate of 0.6 cm per year, even though sedimentation rates were not actu-
     !ally obtained for this core.  Because FB-IV unquestionably has  been mixed
     vertically, it  is not included in the following discussion  of  Furnace Bay
    JSAV stratigraphy.                      j
TEXT ,i-;»
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                        Figure 17.   Seed flux of  ValHsneria conericana  in cores from Furnace Bay.
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                             Figure  18.  Seed flux  of Najas spp.  in cores1 from  Furnace  Bay.

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                             Figure  19.   Seed  flux  of Elodea canadensis  in cores from Furnace Bay.

-------


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   Figure 20.   Seed  flux of Potamogeton spp.  in cores from Furnace  Bay.

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Figure 21.   Seed flux  of Myriophyllwn  sp-iaatwn in  cores  from  Furnace Bay.

-------
ValHsneria americana —
     Seeds of ValHsneria americana occur regularly in relatively high con-
centrations in FB-I, FB-II and FB-III.  There are few sediment depths at
which ValHsneria seeds are low in all three cores.
                       s:co^
                       nteriva^
1;93:6 and^:889i.  Total pollen flux in FB-I and FB-II does not change apprec- •
iably at these depths, so the drop in ValHsneria seed concentrations is
probably not a function of sedimentation rate.

     In 41 of 80 Furnace Bay samples, ValHsneria seeds occur in concentra-
tions comparable to a flux rate of 0.5 seeds/10 cm2/year or more.  If these
figures are representative, then over 500 seeds per m2 per year have been
deposited more or less regularly at the Furnace Bay coring sites during the
past 300 years.  In view of the relatively low seed production and localized
dispersal patterns of SAV, it is believed that such a seed record could only
derive from dense beds of ValHsneria growing inside Furnace Bay.
     In general it appears that toZ^isnei^^as^grown-corvtinuotts^ (or nearly
so) ^^^•.the^yf€i^~3'W^^^e^:s^^^^Gen!tury.  This implies that the species
has persisted across periods of increased sedimentation (e.g.,  the late 19th
century) and increased nutrient levels (following the onset of  sewage dis-^
charge into Mill Creek).  Steenis (1970)  has found ValHsneria  to be tolerant
of "muddy roiled water" (Stevenson and Confer 1978).

Najas spp . —
     The data for Najas flexilis and N. quadalupensis are grouped together in
Figure 18 even though seeds of the species are easily distinguished.  The pro-
files of the two species in FB-I, FB-II and FB-III are very similar, and their
seeds occur in roughly equal numbers.  Another reason for lumping the data is
that field surveys usually group the two  species since they are difficult to
tell apart unless fruits are present.
                 are pnesenfei^ifcttje^orldest-^ediTnent*  of all  three cores.   They
disappear simultaneously in the cores a«)trnd=3;S4:03<75-80 cm).   They do not
appear in concentrations comparable to pre-1840 until  1910 (above 42 cm).   The
failure of Najas to recolonize former habitats after  Hurricane Agnes is shown
by the afasene* of seeds from the
     The -Najas seed profiles could be interpreted several  ways depending  upon
the dispersal characteristics of the seeds.   At one extreme,  the Furnace  Bay
sediments could collect seeds from the Susquehanna Flats,  Mill  Creek and
Furnace Bay itself, in which case a decrease in seed concentrations at a  par-
ticular sediment depth would most likely describe a general decline of the
species in the area.  At the other extreme,  the source of  seeds could be  vege-
tation in the immediate vicinity of the coring  sites, in which case the seed  '•
flux would change dramatically with shifts in the distributions of Najas  beds
as well as with decreases in abundance in local beds.                      ____ .....
                                      49

-------
        "	   Several  observations  suggest that  the
       ^Eefe-a^-prndustsso^                               SAV beds, and that
       species  of Najas  were less  abundant between  1840  and  1910 in an area at  least
•'.7.'.-.." as  large as Furnace Bay.   These observations  are:

 ;   :         1.   The  same trends  in the Najas seed  flux  are  apparent  in all three
 ;      Furnace  Bay cores.

             2.   If the Najas record were extremely local, one would  expect some
       amount of reciprocity in  the seed records of  Najas and ValHsneria.  In fact,
       the  seed records  of Najas  spp.  and ValHsneria act independently or similarly,
       probably as a function of changing sedimentation rates.

             3.   Najas flexilis reproduces primarily  sexually.  It therefore produces
       many seeds that are capable of  being dispersed over  large distances (Birks
       1972, Stark  1975).   N.  guadalupensis apparently  behaves similarly  (Stevenson
       and  Confer 1978).  Thus in spite of high sedimentation rates  in the
       Susquehanna Flats,  the cores from that  area (SF-1 and SF-3) contain
       N. flexilis seeds in relatively high concentrations. The moderate to low con-
       centrations of Najas spp.  seeds in Furnace  Bay sediments lead us to suspect   "
       that Najas spp. if present, have not dominated the vegetation in the vicinity
       of the coring sites.  Consequently, the seeds could  be coming from a more
       distant  part  of Furnace Bay or  perhaps  floating  in from the Susquehanna Flats.

             4.   The  decrease in  Najas  seed flux continues for 70 years.

       !     In  circumspect, the  Najas  profiles might represent the disappearance from
       and  eventual  return to Furnace  Bay of small local populations.  They also
        could represent a decline in the species over a  larger area than Furnace Bay-
        perhaps  over  an area extending  into the northern Susquehanna  Flats.

       •     The decline  in the abundance of Najas  spp.  coincides with a period when
        suspended sediments were  probably at high levels in  the Susquehanna River as  a
        result of extensive deforestation in the watershed.  We know  of no data that
        suggest  Najas spp.  are especially intolerant  of  increases in  turbidity. In
        fact, Najas spp.  can grow in lower light conditions  than many other SAV
        species  (Martin and Uhler 1939).  There may have been associated changes in
       water or sediment quality of the area which adversely affected the Najas pop-
        ulations. Species of Najas occur on a  wide variety  of substrates, although
        they thrive  in predominantly sandy sediments  (Stevenson and Confer 1978).

       •               .'                       '                                      i
       Elodea aanadens-is—                    \
       \     With the exception of one  seed, at  8-12 cm in FB-III, the recent sediments
        of Furnace Bay do not contain any seeds of  Elodea (Figure 19).  Seeds occur
        consistently  in low numbers in  FB-II until  1780  (95  cm), sporadically until
       f!890 (55 cm), and then disappear altogether.  In FB-III, the  species disap-
        pears from the record by  1760 (97 cm).   No  Elodea seeds are contained in FB-I.
       i(Sediments from this core are younger than  1810.)                              S07~
       |               !      .                 i                                      !
BtGir.;   j     Elodea was a prominent member of SAV communities of the  Susquehanna Flats
LASj_LIN£ between  1958  and  1971 (Bayley et al. 1978).  Judging by the seed profiles, the ...IMENSIO';
Or iLxr -plants which  .grew in the .Flats .during that, .time  .didjiot_<:ontrj bute.]much _to	J FOP TABLES

-------
        Furnace Bay seed assemblages.   This is probably due in part to Elodea's low
        seed output (the species reproduces primarily asexually).   Thus the seed
--..-. .::   record from 18th century sediments probably describes relatively dense beds
        of E-L0J&&, in or near Furnace Bay which deeMned^TOmd^he^4me^t^e^urs
 ;:".-;..;    Pound:i:ngKareaswas--e4eaved»for--ag:feieu^tuti«.   This is somewhat enigmatic since
        Efodea^ene^a3%^oesirwe,l3lH^^                            (Stevenson and
 7     Confer 1978).           	            _   _      _ •     	

        Potamogeton spp. —
             The Potamogeton species have been grouped because fragments of seeds are
        not always identifiable to species.  Most of the seeds which can be identified
        belong to P. gramineus (Figure 20).

             Seeds are probably not a good indicator of former Potamogeton beds, since
        they suffer high rates of predation by waterfowl and may not preserve well in
        the sediments.  There are no sediment depths which show consistent trends in
        all cores.  However, the leaf record indicates that p.  gramineus may have had
        a long tenure in the area.

        Myriophyllum"spioatum— ;     ""	                                            •''";
             Myriophyllum did not figure prominently in the SAV communities of the
        Upper Bay until the late 1950's, despite its introduction  into the United
        States in 1895.  Between 1957 and 1959, the percentage of  sampling stations
        at which Myriophyllum was recorded jumped from 0 to 47 percent (Bayley
        et al. 1978).

        ;     The first Myriophyllum seeds appear in FB-II at 30 cm and in FB-I and
        FB-III at 26 cm and 24 cm (the Myriophyllum seed at 64 on  in FB-IV is taken   \
        as further evidence that this core has been vertically mixed).  If 1959 is
        considered as the year Myriophyllum first appeared, then the seed record from
        Furnace Bay implies a sedimentation rate of 1.3 cm/year which is twice as
        high as the rate determined for Furnace Bay by pollen analysis.  If we accept
        the sedimentation rates provided by pollen analysis, then  Myriophyllum would
        have occurred in Furnace Bay as early as 1930.


        CONCLUSIONS     \         •              \                         .              :

        i     SAV seed assemblages in sediments from Leeds Creek, the Susquehanna Flats
        and Furnace Bay reflect former beds of dominant SAV.  The  assemblages are a
        function of the species composition of former beds as well as the local hydro-
        logical patterns influencing seed deposition.  The data show that the SAV
        record represents local populations and that there is large variability in the
        annual SAV seed flux within a locale.  ',      '     •

        \     In designing a sampling program to study past distributions of SAV,
        there is a trade-off between the number of cores that can  be studied from
        an area and the resolution at which any single core can be analyzed.  This
        jis so because considerable time is involved in the analysis of any one core
BEGIN    for SAV seeds.  Since spatial  variability may mask any minor temporal trends,
LAST_>--•:£-the recommendation is to take several cores from a locale  and divide each  —
Ur i t
        core into a practically small  number of ..samples ,so ..the major .trends  jn.
BOTTOM OF
IMAGE AREA



FOR TABLES

-------
dominant SAV over time are defined.  The number of samples  needed to  divide
the core into such time intervals will  vary with the sedimentation rates
characteristic of the study area.

     The results also suggest that an impractically large number of cores
would be required to study the history of SAV populations using  a sampling
program designed on a regional scale.  Instead, sites should -be  chosen within
a tributary that are likely to reveal responses of local  SAV populations to
regional changes in water quality due to increased sedimentation, eutrophica-
tion, etc.  This means that cores should be taken from good depositional
areas strategically located within the tributary (e.g., upstream and  down-
stream from point sources of nutrients, in areas now devoid of SAV which had
good SAV populations in the past, etc.).  If the same dominant SAV popula-
tions show similar trends in a few local areas subjected to similar regional
impacts, some conclusions may be drawn about the effect of  different  kinds of
watershed disturbance (land use) and water quality on SAV.
                                      52

-------
 U-; "   ."_ _        _________  ________     _____ SECTION 5    _________  ______________________________ ~ 7

                              SEDIMENT TRANSPORT AND DEPOSITION


        INTRODUCTION    ;

             The fate of toxics and other substances transported into the tributaries
        and main stem of the Bay are governed to a large extent by the transport of
        sediment and its rate of deposition.  Sedimentation rates indicate which areas
        are filling in, how rapidly, and the influence of land use in different water-
        sheds on the amount and rate of sediment deposited in the receiving water.    ;
        Sedimentation rates are necessary also for calculating the true deposition
        rate" (flux) of seeds and diatoms. ..... ~   " ~   "                            --••••«,

        :     Sedimentation rates can be obtained by measuring the decay rates of
        210Pb and ^C in the sediments.  They also are calculated from exact dates
        assigned to sedimentary horizons where there is a major change in the com-
        position of the pollen assemblage originating from terrestrial plants.  Pollen
        grains of terrestrial plants are well preserved in sediments and reflect
        major changes in the composition of the vegetation caused by climatic change,
        disease and land use.  Since the time of European settlement layers of sedi-  ;
        ment  deposited that exhibit vegetational changes resulting from changing land
        use often can be dated from historical records.  Where the land use has been
        manifold, several horizons may be dated in a core if it extends to presettle-
        ment  time or includes sediments deposited since early settlement.  While the  :
        maximum resolution of 210Pb is approximately 1 to 100 years and llfC approxi-
        mately 500 to 100,000 years, pollen does afford a means of dating sediments   ;
        too old or too young to be dated radiometrically.  In this study, all sedi-   ;
        mentation rates were based upon pollen analyses.  Cores are being analyzed    ;
        also  that are dated by 210Pb from both the Potomac River and Chesapeake Bay   \
        in order to compare the two methods of dating.                                ;

        l     In this study, two of three questions were addressed, more or less      j
        fundamental to establishing a data base of sedimentation rates for the        j
        Chesapeake Bay system.  It was sought to determine (1) the number of cores at
        a location and throughout the length of an estuary necessary for obtaining    \
        data  representative of the pollen deposited at a given time, and (2) the      j
        integrity of the vertical distributions of pollen as well as the number of    j
        horizons that can be dated using changes in sedimentary pollen assemblages.   I
        So far, the question of the effect of compaction of estuarine sediments on    1
        Sedimentation rates has been left unanswered.  This problem is being inves-   j
        tigated with the object of determining whether or not correction factors for  ; IMAGE AREA
BEGIN   (compaction of different sediment types are necessary for describing a true    j OUTSIDE
LASTLINC- sedimentation rate.                    j                                    — j DIMEHS.CN
OF TcX i  '----"    _ , ___ I _ _ j pQpj TABLES
                                                                                      -AND iLLUS-
                                                                                      TRATIONS

-------
             In addition to providing information on the variability between samples,
        the data obtained for determining the necessary number of cores also provided
        information on the distance some sediment is transported within the estuary.
>2EGiN
LAS'" LiN
Or TEXT
  SPATIAL  DISTRIBUTIONS  OF  POLLEN  IN ESTUARINE SEDIMENTS

  	 Pollen  distributions and  hence the spatial variation of pollen in estua-
  rine sediments  are  governed  by (1) the distribution, pollen production, time
  of  flowering and pollination mechanisms of the source vegetation,  (2) the
  processes  operating in the atmosphere and within  the river including the
  dynamics of  transport, deposition, resuspension and redeposition,  and (3)  the
  physical characteristics  of  the  pollen controlling its susceptibility to the
  transport  phenomena.

      An  interpretation of pollen assemblages in surface sediments  in terms of
 | the interaction of  these  three factors will allow a better understanding of
 :what a pollen assemblage  at  any  one locality in the estuary represents in
 ;terms of vegetation type  and land use.  Thus, this would provide a basis on
  which to interpret  vertical  changes in pollen assemblages with  respect to    •-•;
  vegetation and land use in the past.

 ;     In  order to accomplish  this objective, the spatial distribution of
  pollen in  surface sediments  in the tidal stretch  of the Potomac River is
  described  in order  to  .(1) identify the best depositional locations and the
  number of  samples necessary  to obtain data representative of the vegetation,
 •(2) determine the area of source vegetation represented by pollen  in the sur-
 ; face sediment at any one  location including the accuracy of the representa-
 ition so  that we might  know the area for which historical records are needed
  to  date  changes in  the vertical  pollen profile, and  (3) determine  the effect
  of  estuarine transport processes on the pollen distributions.

 :     In  order to accomplish  the first objective,  comparisons were  made of  the
 ;total number of grains per gram dry sediment in the channel and nonchannel
 •samples, the percent of total  pollen of all the tree pollen types  identified
 iin  channel and nonchannel samples; the degree of  similarity with respect to
 •=-percents of all pollen types between all channel  samples was examined, and  :
 ;the amount of variability that occurs between samples taken at  the same Toca-
 ;tion was tested. Addressing the second objective, the degree of abun-dance of
  the pollen types whose source  vegetation occurs far upstream of the surface
 :sediment samples was observed, percents of total  pollen were compared with
 I the respective percents of total basal area in the adjacent vegetation and
 iefforts  were made to detect  any spatial trends in the pollen and/or vegeta-
 |tion.  Finally, with regard  to the third objective, the degree  of  scatter
 ! observed in  the pollen of the  surface sediments was compared with  the degree
 iof  scatter in the vegetation and the distribution of the poll-en in relation
 !to  their physical characteristics was investigated.

 j     The tidal  Potomac River was chosen for this  phase of the study because
 !additional support  was obtained from the U. S. Geological Survey for the
ELStudy, including collection  of samples, which required 1 week of boat time, ._
;.-v*and analysis of samples.   It was felt that results from the tidal  Potomac
                                                                                      OfTTTO- • f,i-
                                                                                      i.JV_( f 1 v^..i •„';
OUTSIDE
DiMENSiO.1
                                              54
                                                                              '^ANO ILLU'J
                                                                               : [RATIONS

-------
        River with  regard to the movement of small particles such as pollen and their
        spatial distributions in the sediments would be applicable generally to all
        tributaries,  and it would at the very least provide guidelines for sampling
        in  the other  tributaries.

            Surface  sediments were collected with a Shipley sediment sampler at 139
        locations in  28 transects across the Potomac River from Alexandria, Virginia
        to  Point Lookout where the river enters the Chesapeake Bay. "This stretch  "	
        includes almost all of the tidal Potomac.  Triplicate samples were taken at
        two transects.  Of the samples collected, 48 from 13 transects and one set of
        triplicates were analyzed (Figure 22).

            Vegetation data used were collected in 1974 for compilation of a map of
        the woody vegetation of Maryland (Brush et al., in press).  The data consist
        of  basal area measurements of trees greater than 2 cm dbh* in 132 400 m2
        plots located in 43 7-1/2 minute quadrangles (Figure 22).  Plots are located
        more or less  randomly within the quadrangles; the number of plots in each
        quadrangle  is given later in Table 13 (page 66).  The area chosen as a
        source for  the pollen is adjacent to the stretch of the river studied and
        extends eastward to the Chesapeake Bay (Figure 22)."Forest associations are
        separated by  the presence or absence of loblolly pine, basket oak, willow
        oak, blackjack oak, post oak, tulip poplar, river birch and sycamore.  (See
        Brush et al., in press, for the distributions and species composition of
        forest associations throughout Maryland.)  Although many of the forest asso-
        ciations are  separated on the basis of different species of the same genus
        and most pollen are not identifiable to species, the potential exists for
        identifying in the pollen assemblages those associations that are character-
        ized by different genera.  For example, sweet gum is closely associated with
        loblolly pine.  Both types drop out of the vegetation further north and west
        where the forest associations include entirely different genera such as bass-
        wood, hemlock and sugar maple.  The latter do not occur in our designated
        source area.  Unfortunately, similar data do not exist for the Virginia side
        of  the Potomac, but the major species are more or less similar.  The area
        studied is  approximately 40 percent forested.  Pollen types are plotted in
        Figure 23.      ;

        Deposition  of Pollen in the Estuary

            The first attempt was to assess whether there is a difference between
        the channel and nonchannel zones of the river with respect to pollen depo-
        sition.  Out  of the 20 channel samples analyzed, all contained sufficient
        pollen grains to produce pollen assemblages while 19 out of 28 (68 percent)
        of  the nonchannel samples contained an adequate amount.  An arbitrary number
        of  5,000 to 10,000 grains per gram dry sediment was chosen as the minimum
        amount of pollen upon which to compile an assemblage.  In one case, 5,000 was
        adequate because numerous types were present; in other cases 8,000 to 9,000
        were considered inadequate because the assemblage included only one or two
        types and the grains were broken.
        grains were included in the study.
LAST
OFT:
*dbh r...diameter_at breast.height.
:     :           !
;     5.3/0-     „
All samples containing greater than IU,UUU
'. !
1
|
! • —
!
; 1 . v.
m&s :.-£% 	
BOTTOM Of:
IMAGE AHEA
OUTSiD:
DIMENSION
FOR "A3LES
"AND ILLUS-
TRATIONS

-------
Figure 22.   Locations  of  surface  sediment transects for pollen distributions
            in the  Potomac  River  and  locations of quadrangels used as the
            vegetation source  for the pollen.

-------
        O r- c»
        -n > rn
 	A..
  r
-t
'»
r>
r~
r~
O :
:» i
;> ;
rv I
I
in
z
sn
Z:
zn
zn
zr
Hill
Tif.V\
jut vm
4.6
3.3
6.6
16.0
12.6
7.B
1.8
6.6
2.7
T.5
1*8
9.5
I*4
2.1
32.7
3*5
V
•V
6.9
12*4
2.8
2.2;
2*3;
2J-
2*5
1.6;
i*
'i5:
7*r]
2*6;
5.0-

K
V:
4.2;
2.2:
Ji
1.4-
2.5;
2.7:
2.5;
11.4-
17.3-1
9.V
NO
Figur
tidal
-i ,'~\ — m
?°>l
£ w O -J
?. p, rn O •
.} i'*.' f)
^^B
NO POLLEN
IM^PII^^^
•»
NO POLLEN
•«••••
NO POLLEN
•^•M*
^^^••^^•^
•^••••^
^^•••HMB*
" NO POLLEN
i. io8
grelnt ptr gn
dry itdlmtnl
e 23. Di
stretch
—
NOP
NO P
^
NO P
~NO P
JLLEN
3LLEN
3LLEN
)LLEN
•
	 	
—
^
— —
-
'NO PC
NOP(
NO PC
"NO PO
LLEN
LLEN
LLEN
LLEN
™^~™
—
50% 50% 50% 50% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
im PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL POLLEN (NOTE DIFFERENT SCALES)
-
~
5%
- ' .
5%
stributions of pollen types in surface' sediments throughout
of the Potomac River. * denotes channel samples.

the

-------
     The next test was whether there is  selective  deposition of  the  tree •
pollen between channel samples and  those nonchannel  samples with adequate
numbers of pollen for the compilation of assemblages.

     The results of a rank-sum test (Hollander and Wolfe  1973) performed for
each-tree pollen type, where the null hypothesis  is  that  the percent of
total pollen of each type in the nonchannel  samples  is  from the  same popula-
tion as the percent of total pollen for  each type  in the  channel  samples,
indicates that percents of total pollen  of hickory,  beech, holly and cherry
are higher at the 0.06 significance level in the  nonchannel samples.  The
percent of total pollen of ironwood-hazelnut is lower in  the nonchannel
samples at the 0.09 significance level.   For the  remaining types the null
hypothesis is accepted, i.e., there is no significant difference between
populations in channel and nonchannel samples.

     The observation that only a few pollen types  may be  selectively
deposited, along with the consistent occurrence of large  numbers of  pollen
grains in the channel samples, indicates that the  channel  is the favorable
zone of deposition in the estuary for most pollen  grains.  Consequently, we
restrict all analyses relating pollen to vegetation  to  data from channel
samples.

     The degree of similarity between pollen assemblages  in the  channel
samples when considering all of the identified pollen types from Tables 8  and
9 together, irrespective of their frequency of occurrence was  next considered.
Table 10 shows Sorensen's similarity indices, which  range between 0  (no
similarity) and 100 {complete similarity).  For values  greater than  about  75,
the two samples may be considered replicates {Mueller-Dombois  and Ellenberg
1974).

     Since the index of similarity between all the channel samples taken
within the same transect (boxed values in Table 10)  are greater  than 75,  it
is inferred that it is not necessary to  take more  than  1  sample  at any one
transect.  Furthermore, most of the similarity indices  between samples from
Transects I through XVI and between samples from  Transect XVI  through  XXVII
are greater than 75.  Thus, taking only  two samples, one  in the  vicinity of
Transect I - XVI and one in the vicinity of Transect XVI  - XXVIII, would
yield a fairly adequate picture of the pollen assemblages in this stretch  of
the river.  Local effects, such as sporadic pollen input  from  the vegetation
or localized deposition, do not, to any  great extent, mask the pollen  repre-
sentation of the regional vegetation at  any one locality  and thus would not
mask regional changes in land use.  Therefore, pollen in  the tidal portion of
an estuarine depositional basin may provide an overall  view of the regional
vegetation without the necessity of analyzing numerous  samples.

     The degree of similarity that occurs between  samples taken  at the same
location was then tested.  Three sets of four samples were taken at           ;
Transect VII by running the boat across  the transect three times and attempt-
ing to sample each of the locations at the identical place each  time.  The
two triplicate samples taken in the nonchannel zone  did not contain  an
adequate number of pollen grains to analyze.  The  indices of similarity for


                                     58                   .    .      .. ._.

-------
       TABLE 8.  PERCENT OF TOTAL POLl
       AREA OF ALL TREE SPECIES WITH >
                      i IN CHANNEL SAMPLES AND PERCEN^OTAL BASAL AREA IN THE DESIGNATED SOURCE
                      0,001 PERCENT BASAL AREA
tn

0.001% of total basal area are listed. Pollen cannot be identified to species generally. Therefore a pollen type (qenus) can include species other than those listed that occur outside of the designated source area. and wprp r.nmhinpri because the oollen is difficult to separate.


-------
Or TEX"
        TABLE 9.   PERCENT OF TOTAL POLLEN OF ALL SHRUB AND HERBACEOUS TYPES	

                                                                      Total pollen  (%)
                                                                             (n=20)
Scientific name
Ambrosia . — 	 	
Capri fo liaceae
Caryophy I laceae
Chenopodium
Cruciferae
Cyperaceae
Drosera
Equisetum
Ericaceae
Filicineae .
Galium
Gramineae
Jmpatiens 	
Leguminosae
Ligustrum
Ligu lifloreae
Lonicera
Lycopodiim t-i
Myriophyllum
Nympheaceae
Osmunda
Plantago
Polygonaceae
Potamogeton
Popov eraceae
Primulaceae
Ranunculaceae
Rhamnus
Rhus
Rosaceae
Rumex
Sambucus
Saxifragaceae
Salix
Solanaceae
Solidago
Sphagnum
Tubuliflorae
Typha
Vmbelli ferae
Urtica
Vaccinium
Viburnum
^Violaceae
Zed




• ! •g ,
Common name
	 ragweed
honeysuckle family
pink family
pigweed
mustard family
sedge family
sundew
horsetail
heath family ;
ferns
bedstraw
grass family
_ . jewel weed ... ... _..
legume family
privet
composites '-,
honeysuckle
3 ' club moss
milfoil
water-lily family
flowering fern
plantain
buckwheat family
pondweed i
poppy family [
primrose family \
buttercup family
buckthorn
sumac
rose family
sorrel •
el derberry
saxifrage family
willow
nightshade family
goldenrod
sphagnum moss
composites
cattail
parsley family
nettle
blueberry
viburnum
violet family
corn



.-. .-. . . .-
	 	 ; 	 ;x:x;x;x60
r r e^ucin-y MI —
channel samples (%)
100 . -
5
10
100
45
50
5
5
15
30
5
100
1 5
25
45
20
5
25
40
10
10
100
30
15
5
10
25
60
35
45
85
5
5
85
15
5
40
75
45
55
5
5
15
20
15





Mean
-16.1
0.02
0.02
1.0
0.2
0.17
0.01
0.01
0.04
0.2
0.01
5.0
0.07
0.09
0.2
0.9
0.015
0.06
0.14
0.05
0.025
1.0
0.18
0.04
0.01
0.1
0.09
0.3
0.15
0.4
0.7
0.03
0.015
0.5
0.06
0.02
0.11
0.6
0.2
0.2
0.02
0.01
0.03
0.16
0.05





S.D.
- 4.5
0.09
' 0.06
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.04
0.04
0.11
0.35
0.04
3.3
0.2
0.16
0.3
3.6
0.07
0.1
0.3
0.11
0.08
0.5
0.3
0.09
0.04
0.5
0.17
0.4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.13
0.07
0.4
0.16
0.09
0.15
0.5
0.2
0.2
0.09
0.04 BOTTOM OF
0.07 IMA(^E A!—
0.4 ' OUTSIDE ^
0.13 ^••'"Eil'2iOI<-i

. .I 1 Ai-.i !->.

^.!":3 i L-L'.J-L'.'-
! "RATIONS
                                         PAGi}

-------
TABLE 10.  MATRIX OF INDEX OF SIMILARITY IN PERCENT FOR CHANNEL  SAMPLES
     (INDEX OF SIMILARITY = 2W/A+B, WHERE A = SUM OF ALL VALUES  OF  PERCENT OF  TOTAL  POLLEN  FOR ALL TYPES,
    : B = SUM OF ALL VALUES OF PERCENT OF TOTAL POLLEN FOR ALL TYPES IN SAMPLE  BEING  COMPARED. W  = SUM OF
    I SMALLER OF THE TWO VALUES OF THE PERCENT OF TOTAL POLLEN FOR ALL TYPES IN THE TWO  SAMPLES BEING COM-
    ' PARED.  BOXED VALUES INDICATE THAT THE INDEX OF SIMILARITY  IS  BETWEEN SAMPLES TAKEN  IN THE  SAME
    : TRANSECT.)		
                                                                             00
                                                                                                 CM
                                                                                                  I
co
 I
Sample
1-2
III-2
V-2
VII-2
VII-3
X-2
XII-2
XV I -2
XVI-3
XVII-2
XV 1 1 -3
XIX-8
XX-2
XXIII-8
XXVI-2
XXVI-3
XXVI-4
XXVIII-2
XXVII 1-3
XXXVI 1 1 -4
CM
1
»— i
94
90
76
79
79
78
75
72
66
62
64
69
66
58
66
65
58
67
57
.9
.6
.2
.5
.6
.7
.6
.1
.1
.9
.5
.8
.0
.1
.5
.9
.2
.6
.0
CM
1
i— <
1— 4
1— 1
77.2
61.5
65.3
62.9
60.2
62.7
55.5
61.9
58.1
63.0
63.7
55.6
60.3
47.9
59.8
64.2
54.1
59.1
CM
1
S>

71
76
73
69
72
66
65
64
60
68
64
62
62
65
61
48
60

.5
.8
.2
.8
.7
.9
.8
.8
.5
.3
.3
.4
.5
.3
.7
.7
.6
CM
1
i— i
i— i
>•


86
81
78
77
71
73
70
69
72
66
64
66
67
62
64
65


.0
.4
.0
.0
.4
.0
.0
.4
.0
.3
.5
.2
.9
.0
.2
.8
CO CM CM CO 1 1 CO f-i |
•-* li-i>;>>>H-ixxx
>xxxxxxxxxx
Sample 2A 2B .
2A
2B 79.6
87.1 2C 78.9 84.0
82.6 84.5
82.7 83.4 88.5 3A
75.7 77.7 83.4 84.4 3B
75.2 73.7 79.8 79.1 76.2 3C
70.8 68.9 74.4 75.5 76.2 80.3 Index of
71.9 71.9 77.0 78,2 79-2 77.2 76.5 for triplicate
77.9 78.2 82.9 86.1 81.5 81.6 77.6 82.9
72.0 74.7 81.5 81.2 82.8 72.4 78.5 79.4 83.2
65.1 66.7 70.6 63.3 72..6 74.4 84.8 81.4 80.6 81.5
73.1 73.8 81.1 83.6 87.6 76.3 77.7 80.1 84.1 77.1 76.8
76.3 74.6 80.1 83-9 84.0 80.6 80.2 82.2 84.7 85.9 82.6
66.4 66.1 72.1 74.2 74.7 78.4 76.9 78.6 80.7 81.3 79.4
70.3 72.3 78.7 80.2 81.8 74.2 85.0 78.1 79.1 87.1 83.6
64.6 65.5 71.2 73.8 78.4 76.2 84.2 76.9 80.3 81.1 88.4
\ • i
\
X
X
2C







•xi
>
X
X
i— i t— i i— <
>• >• >
XXX
XXX
3A 3B 3C





79
78
similarity
sampl




87.7
78.7
84.8
79.2
es at





'83.4
85.7
82.6





.4
.1 88.6
in percent
Transect VII






75.9
78.4 84.2


-------
 the  triplicate  samples  at  the  two channel locations are all greater than 75
 (see Table  10), indicating that the data from one sample at a location may be
 representative  of  the pollen assemblage at spot.

 Relationship Between Pollen in Sediments and Source Area

 -    Only tree  species  were used in analyzing relationships between pollen
 assemblages and source  vegetation because the vegetation data are restricted
 to tree and shrub  species.

      In order to estimate  the  areal extent of the source vegetation, the ob-
 servation was made that the distributions of the pollen of maple (other than
 red  maple,  the  pollen of which is easily distinguishable from other species),
 basswood and hemlock occur in  very low frequencies in the pollen assemblages.
 These trees are not present in the area chosen as the source vegetation
 (Table 8).   This indicates that pollen is not being transported into the tidal
 Potomac from the Upper  Potomac which  drains the Appalachian province in
 Maryland where  sugar maple constitutes approximately 35 percent of large for-
 ested areas, hemlock approximately 17 percent, and basswood approximately
 7 percent (percent basal area  of total basal area of these particular associ-
 ations).  Maple pollen, not identified as red maple, probably represents sil-
 ver maple which grows on floodplains  in the area studied.  Although sediments
 have not been sampled in the Upper Potomac in the vicinity of the sugar
 maple - basswood and hemlock - birch  forests, sediments from the Upper
 Chesapeake Bay  draining similar forest regions in Pennsylvania (via the
 Susquehanna River) contain large amounts of maple , hemlock, and birch pollen
 (described later in this section).  In the Potomac sediments, birch pollen
 occurs in low numbers,  although consistently, comparable to the percent basal
 area of river birch growing along the river.  Thus the pollen occurring in
 the sediments appears to represent fairly closely the vegetation of the area
 chosen as the source.   This provides  justification in the expectation that
 the vegetation  of  the study area bears some relation to the pollen in the
 sediments, and  it  would constitute the area where changes in the vegetation
 due to land use would be reflected by changes in the stratigraphic pollen
 assemblages.    ;

 I     Tables 8 and  9 listed all of the pollen types occurring in the channel
 samples with their frequency of occurrence and percents of total pollen.  Per-
 cents basal area for each  tree species greater than 0.001 percent of total    '
 basal area are  listed.   Frequency of  occurrence and percents of total pollen
 of shrub and herbaceous pollen are listed in Table 9.  Total grains per gram
 dry sediment and percents  of total pollen of pollen types occurring in at     ;
 least 90 percent ofthe  channel samples are plotted on Figure 23.              i
 \                ..                      \                                       \
 \     Except for tulip poplar and sweet gum, there is a reasonably close cor-  ;
 respondence between percent basal- area of many of the species occurring in    }
 the source area and percent of total  pollen of respective pollen types in the
 sediment.  Some of the  less abundant  trees are over and underrepresented      • sorrow Of
 !(Table 8).  The result  is  surprising  in the light of differential pollen pro-  IMAGE ARE
 duction both between and within tree  types and the differential transport arod  OUTSIDE
-deposition of pollen grains (Brush and Brush 1972, Davis, Brubaker and     -
 Beiswenger 1971).  -A comparison of these values with those shown-for .other	,_ NJ*TABLES
                                                                                 ;D ILLUS-

-------
        depositional  environments  (e.g.,  Davis  and Goodlett 1960,  Livingstone 1968,
        Crowder and Cuddy 1973)  indicate  that R-values  (pollen-tree ratios)  are rela-
 .   :    ted strongly  to  depositional  environment  as well  as to pollen production.   The
 .•'.:.".'--.    generally lower  standard deviations  for the mean  percents  of total  basal  area
 .      are an indication that  the mixing process, either in the river or in the at-
        mosphere or in both,  smoothes out the variability in the pollen distributions
        compared to the  distributions of  the trees.    	   	     _  	

             Next the spatial variations  in  the total number of pollen grains per
        gram dry sediment and percents of the tree pollen were compared with the
        spatial  variation in  total basal  area and percents basal area of the respec-
        tive trees to observe whether similar gradients corresponded in the  tree types
        and their respective  pollen  types.   A gradient  is considered a true  gradient
        if both the t-value and the  correlation coefficient are significant.  Table 11
        presents results from regressions of total number of pollen grains per gram
        dry sediment  and percents  of total pollen for the tree species present in the
        channel  samples.  There is no significant correlation between distance down-
        stream and total number of pollen grains  per gram dry sediment or on percents
        of beech, ironwood-hazelnut, birch,  hickory, blackgum, oak, walnut,  red cedar,
        dogwood, holly and cherry, while  there  is a significant correlation  for per-
        cents of elm, ash, sycamore, sweet gum, maple,  red maple and pine.   The
        t-values for  the latter types show that distance  does have an effect on the
        percent of total pollen (the slope of the lines is different from 0).  Ac-
        cording to the slopes of the regression lines,  the distance effect is slightly
        negative (percent of  total pollen decreases with  distance  downstream) for elm,
        ash, sycamore, maple  and red maple,  slightly positive (percent of total  pollen
        increases with distance downstream)  for sweet gum, and relatively much more  , :
        pronounced in the positive direction for  pine.

        '     Table 12 shows the results from regressions  of mean total basal area and
        percents of total  basal  area of each tree type  for each latitudinal  section  .
        on longitudinal  distance from north  to  south, and it shows the regressions of
        mean total basal area and  percent of total basal  area of each tree type for
        each longitudinal  section  on latitudinal  distance from west to east.  These
        mean values are  presented  with their standard deviations and numbers of obser-
        vations in Table 13.  There  is no observable trend, i.e.,  significant t-value
        and correlation  coefficient, in the  vegetation  in either the latitudinal  or
        longitudinal  direction  except for pine  which increases relatively greatly
        from north to south,  sweet gum which increases  slightly from north to south,
        hickory which decreases slightly  from west to east, and red cedar which
        decreases from west to  east  and increases from  north to south, in .both cases
        very slightly.  The southward increase  of pine  and sweet gum in the  vegetation
        is observed also in the pollen distributions (Figures 24 and 25) but the
        eastward decrease in  hickory and  red cedar is not present  in the pollen dis-
        tributions because the  gradients  in  the vegetation probably are very slight.
        The differences  that  appear  in the pollen assemblages of all  other types  which
        Show no vegetational gradient must be attributed  to the differential effect of
        transport and depositional processes,   j                                       | BOTTOM OF
        i                |                       ! .                                      ! IMAGE ARE
CEGiN   J                I                       I                                       j OUTSIDE
LAST LiS'-lc:	             !                       j                                 •   	j njMCMcir-^
OF TEXT -J-__	j	I	! pcJffTABLES
                                         ,-,,,,,., J,,,,,,,,.                                 '">AND iLLUS-
                        V                 m^63":'-::M                                  ! TRATICM?

-------
TABLE 11.  REGRESSION OF PE'RCENT OF TOTAL POLLEN {.y)  IN THE SURFACE SEDIMENTS
(n=20) ON DISTANCE DOWNSTREAM  IN NAUTICAL MILES (x)

Total pollen
grains per gram
dry sediment (%)
Acer
Acer rubmm
Betula
Carya
Carpinus - Corylus
Cornus
Fagus
Fraxinus
Hex
Juglans
Juniperus
Liquidambar
Nyssa
Pirtus
Platanus
Prunus
Quercus
Ulmus

Correlation coefficient is
tt-value is significant at
sion line is significantly
•[correlation coefficient is
St-valup is sianifirant. at

«
Regression Equation
y = €1426.8 + 222.8 x
y = 1.14 - 0.013 x
y =0.43 - 0.005 x
y = 3.79 - 0.002 x
y = 2.45 + 0.001 x
y = 0.92 + 0.004 x
y = 0.05 + 0.00006 x
y = 0.29 + 0.001 x
y = 2.97 - 0.034 x
y = 0.05 + 0.001 x
y = 0.905 - 0.002 x
y = 0.26 + 0.004 x
y = 0.392 + 0.015 x
y = 0.16 + 0.0004 x
y = 9.16 + 0.22 x
y = 5.01 - 0.05 x
y = 0.08 + 0.0008 x
y = 24.10 '+ 0.05 x
y = 3.62 - 0.039 x

significant at 0.05 level
0.01 level indicating that
different from zero
significant at 0.01 level
O.fl5 IPVP! 	 	 . ...

r
0.182
-0.473*
-0.564|
-0.223
0.017
OJ51
0.014
0.103
-0.608+"
0..245
-0.198
-0.255
0.527*
0.042
0.844I
-0.713!
0.092
0.324
-O.SOO+"


the slope of the


t-value
1.45
- 3.55+
- 5.23t
- 0.30
0.19
1.17
0.11
0.63
- 6.06t
1.77
1 .28
2.06
4.98+
0.37
12.32t
- 7.98t
0.76
2.67§
-10.23+


peg res -
: '..., ,.,;J ."-..-
                                      •64

-------
    TABLE 12.  REGRESSION OF MEAN BASAL AREAS IN LATITUDINAL AND LONGITUDINAL SECTION  (y)  IN THE VEGETATION ON
    DISTANCE OF SECTION FROM NORTH TO .SOUTH OR WEST TO EAST IN MILES  (x)
Ul

Regression equation
\ of mean basal areas
| in longitudinal sections
i Total basal
area (%)
(cm§)
Acer
Acer rubrum
Betula
Carya
Carpinus - Cory lus
Cornus
Fagus
Fraxinus
Hex
Jug Ions
• Juniperue
Liquidambar
Nyssa
Pinus
Platanue
Prunus
Quercus
Ulmus
on distance from
west to east (n=9\
y = 11078.4 + 1.7 x
y = 0.95 - 0.008 x
y =4.46 + 0.023 x
y = 2.26 - 0.007 x
y = 7.56 - 0.152 x
y = 0.118 + 0.022 x
y = 0.56 + 0.009 x
y = 2.43 + 0.012 x
y = 0.73 - 0.0002 x
y = 3.87 - 0.042 x
y = 0.004 + 0.001 x
y = 0.57 - 0.010 x
y = 7.54 + 0.024 x
y = 6.35 - 0.063 x
y = 6.12 + 0.303 x
y = 1.15 - 0.011 x
y = 0.56 - 0.004 x
y = 40.58 - 0.068 x
y = 0.438 + 0.026 x

r
0.018
-0.100
0.153
-0.069
-6.36*
0.490
0.310
0.093
-0.005
-0.512
0.274
-0.599*
0.100
-0.266
0.569
-0.160
-0.188
•-0.114
0:262-

t-value
0.09
-0.50
0.76
-0.33
-4.03t
2.76f
1.54
0.46
-0.02
-2.91-t
0.08
-3.64t
0.49
-1 .34^
3.371=
0.83
-0.90
-0.01
1.32
Regression equation
of mean basal areas
in latitudinal sections
on distance from
north to south Jn=10)
y = 10928.0 + 9.3 x
y = 1.83 - 0.026 x
y = 5.53 - 0.014 x
y = 1.91 + 0.029 x
y = 1.88 + 0.002 x
y =0.38 + 0.012 x
y = 1.39 - 0.012 x
y = 4.30 - 0.035 x
y = 1.45 - 0.014 x
y = 0.81 + 0.028 x
y = 0.02 + 0.0002 x
y = 0.004 + 0.003 x
y = 5.39 + 0.089 x
y = 3.38 + 0.020 x
y = 2.53 + 0.378 x
y = 0.63 + 0.010 x
y = 0.34 + 0.002 x
y = 35.61 - 0.051 x
y = 1.52 - 0.009 x


r
0.176
-0.392
-0.16
0.191
0.037
6.272
-0.462
-0.291
-0.312
0.454
0.058
0.547*
0.572*
0.246
0.732§
0.207
0.106
-0.169
-0.153


t-value
-1.68
-2.23
-0.60
1.04
0.19
1.48
-2.7&
-1.61
-1.68
2.64t
-0.02
-3.24t
3.68t
1.37
5.64t
1.08
0.60
-0.90
0.83

   Correlation coefficient is significant at 0.10 level
   tt-value is significant at 0.01 level, indicating that the  slope of  the line is different from zero
   rt-value is significant at 0.05 level
   §correlation coefficient is significant at 0.05 level

-------
TABLE 13.  MEAN TOTAL BASAL AREAS AND MEAN PERCENT BASAL AREAS IN THE VEGETATION
                                                                       BY  LATITUDINAL SECTION
Quad Nos. In each
latitudinal section
1-3
4-8
9-11
12-16
17-21
22-27
28-35
36-39
40-42
43
Distance of section
north
No. of
to south 1n miles
plots
Mean total basal. area (cm2)

Mean %

Mean *

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %
\
\
Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

Mean %

S. D.
Acer
S. D.
Acer rubrum
S. D.
Be tula
S. 0.
Carya
S. D.
CarpinuB-Cory lua
S. D.
Comua
S. D.
Fogua
S. D.
Froxinus
S. D.
JZar
S. D.
Juglans
S. D.
eftmiperue
S. D.
Liquidambar
S. D.
Nyssa
S. D.
Pinws
S. D.
Platnus
S. D.
PrtmKG
S. D.
§ucrcus
S. D.
Ulmua
S. D.
0
5
8172.8
2657.2
-0-
-0-
2.8
2.2
-0-
-0-
0.4
0.9
-0-
-0-
1.6
3.6
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
1.4
2.2
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
2.0
4.5
5.8
11.3
5.0
8.3
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
47.7
46.5
-0-
-0-
8.7
18
12399.9
4075.2
4.9
20.8
2.6
5.4
2.3
6.9
1.0
2.0
0.1
0.2
6.7
1.1
1.6
6.1
0.1
0.2
0.6
1.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
8.4
15.1
2.5
3.4
18.7
27.3
0.2
0.7
0.9 '
3.3
43.4
32.3
0.2
0.7
17.4
12
11125.5
5214.2
-0-
-0-
10.6
18.3
5.8
17.8
1.8
3.3
0.2
0.6
1.5
2.0
4.5
15.3
2.4
6.3
0.8
1.4
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
4.2
5.9
3.0
4.2
5.9
17.8
0.2
2.3
0.3
u.6
19.6
32.1
0.8
2.3
26.1
16
12415.8
4153.7
-0-
-0-
1.9
3.4
0.6
2.3
4.9
10.7
0.3
0.7
0.4
1.6
9.9
16.7
3.0
8.0
0.1
0.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
12.7
17.2
4.5
8.5
9.3
16.0
0.8
3.3
-0-
-u-
26.5
28.7
4.8
13.0
34.8
16
12787.4
5531.8
3.2
12.5
7.6
8.4
5.2
18.5
1.2
2.5
2.9
9.2
0.4
0.9
4.9
10.7
2.3
6.5
2.4
6.3
-0-
-0-
0.1
0.3
8.8
13.0
4.4
8.2
3.7
7.5
3.8
8.5
-0-
-u-
28.1
25.6
1.7
3.7
43.5
24
11881.4
3074.5
-0-
-0-
6.0
9.7
3.4
11.1
2.3
4.2
0.4
1.2
1.0
1.7
4.8
9.1
-0-
0.2
2.6
6.9
0.3
1.2
0.3
0.9
7.1
13.5
2.1
3.0
19.2
30.8
0.4
1.8
0.8
t.l
33.4
29.9
2.6
10.8
52.2
20
10694.4
3605.9
-0-
-0-
7.9
13.7
-0-
-0-
3.6
6.0
0.9
2.0
2.0
3.3
2.4
5.5
1.1
3.7
' 2.7
3.4
-0-
-0-
0.3
0.6
9.9
13.8
2.1
3.5
17.6
25.0
-0-
-0-
1.2
4.1
33.3
26.6
0.9
3.6
60.9
12
11407.5
2653.4
-0-
-0-
6.3
7.7
0.6
2.0
2.7
5.6
3.1
7.0
1.2
2.0
1.3
2.9
-0-
-0-
3.6
3.3
-0-
-0-
0.2
0.4
13.6
17.5
4.4
4.5
25.2
28.1
2.7
5.9
0.1
0.3
33.4
22.0
0.7
2.3
69.6
8
9988.3
2537.2
-0-
-0-
4.0
5.3
12.4
25.2
1.7
4.5
0.6
1.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
5.1
4.2
-0-
-0-
0.4
1.1
14.9
14.8
3.1
3.6
18.9
23.1
1.7
5.0
0.8
1.4
38.7
32.4
-0-
-0-
78.3
1
12051.0
—
-0-
—
-0-
-._
-0-
	
-0-
_-_
-0-
-.--
-0-
_.-
-0-
._.
-0-
	
-0-
—
-0-
_--
-0-
__.
7.0
...
9.0
--_
50.0
—
-0-
—
-0-
	
32.0
—
-0-
. . . ---
                                                                                                                          (Continued)

-------
TABLE 13 (Continued)
t-
co
S

Quad Nos. 1n each
longitudinal section
Distance of section
west to east In miles
Number of Plots
Mean total basal area (cm2)
S. D.
Mean % Acer
S. D.
Mean % Acer rubrum
S. D.
Mean % Betula
S. D.
Mean % Cory a
S. D.
Mean 55 Carpinua -Cory TUB
S. D.
Mean % Cornua
S. D.
Mean % Fagua
S. D.
Mean % Froxinua
S. D.
Mean % Ilex
S. D.
Mean % Juglana
S. D.
Mean % Juniperua
S. D.
Mean % Liquidambar
S. 0.
Mean % %eea
S. D.
Mean % Pinua
S. 0.
Mean % Platanua
S. D.
Mean % Primus
S. D.
Mean % Queroue
S. D.
Mean % Ulmua
S. D.
BY LONGITUDINAL SECTION


28

0
1
7492.0
. —
-0-
...
1.0
—
-0-
...
15.0
—
-0-
.--'
-0-
	
-0-
	
-0-
	
6.0
...
-0-
...
1.0
-0-
-0-
_--
1.5
—
1.0

0.0
	
-0-
	
58.0
—
-0-
	 .


22,29

6,8
6
12858.0
2755.3
-0-
-0-
2.3
2.9
-0-
-0-
2.2
5.3
0.2
0.4
0.8
2.0
0.2
0.4
0.8
2.0
2.5
2.9
-0-
-0-
0.2
0.7
11.0
19.7
1.8
2.1
16.5
16.6
-0-
-0-
1.3
3.3
45.0
35.1
-0-
-0-

12,17,
23,30

13.6
10
12924.9
2991.9
-0-
-0-
7.7
9.0
4.2
12.3
1.6
4.1
0.2
0.6
0.8
1.1
3.9
10.8
0.1
0.3
3.9
7.7
-0-
-0-
0.4
0.8
14.1
11.9
2.1
3.1
13.7
25.1
3.3
2.8
0.1
0.3
-v 29.0
29.2
0.2
O.G

4,13,18
24,31

20.4
16
10838.1
4559.6
3.2
12.5
9.8
16.5
4.6
11.7
3.7
9.8
o;8
1.6
0.7
1.6
6.0
14.5
2.4
6.6
1.9
6.8
-0-
-0-
0.1
0.3
5.8
8.0
1.8
2.0
5.7
9.3
2.0
8.6
0.5
1.4
28.3
30,8
-0-
-0-

5,9,14,19
25,32,36

27.2
26
12905.4
5118.7
3.4
17.5
5.0
16.1
3.8
14.6
2.4
4.5
0.5
1.3
1.2
1.8
. 3.0
7.9
0.4
1.6
2.0
4.5
-0-
-0-
0.2
0.8
10.1
14.5
5.3
8.1
17.3
26.9.
0.1 •
0.6
0.5
2.2
29. 0.
26.2
3.8
6.9
1,6,10,
15,20,26,
33,37

34.0
29
11421.4
3890.2
-0-
-0-
6.7
12.6
2.5
11.6
2.3
5.0
1.3
6.9
. 0.8
1.5
6.1
12.6
0.7
3.9
0.5
1.2
-0-
-0-
0.5
0.5
8.3
17.4
3.1
4.3
17.4
27.4
0.5
1.9
0.6
2.6
35.3
29.2
1.6
5.5
2,7,11,
16,21,27,
34, "38, 40

40.8
31
11106.6
3240.3
-0-
-0-
4.1
6.6
2.9
12.6
1.8
3.9
0.8
3.0
1.3
2.7
3.6
9.1
2.1
6.5
2.3
3.3
0.2
1.1
-0-
-0-
8.2
11.2
3.3
6.4
15.9
25.9
1.9
5.0
0.7
3.3
28.9
30.1
4.7
13.4

3,8,35,
39,41

47.6
11
10028.6
3083.5
-0-
-0-
6.2
8.6
0.6
2.1
1.9
3.7
2.6
6.3
1.7
2.8
2.0
6.6
-0-
-0-
3.0
4.3
-0-
-0-
0.3
0.9
12.7
16.9
1.3
1.5
6.4
9.9
-0-
-0-
0.3
0.9
48.2
30.2
-0-
-0-
3


42,43

54.4
2
10553.5
2117.8
-0-
-0-
3.0
4.2
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
2.5
3.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
3.5
5.0
8.0 .
1.4
35.5
20.5
-0-
-0-
-0-
-0-
47.0
21.2
-0-
-0-

-------
        o r~ no
        -p. > rn
        -i '.<\ 9
        m  ' z
        x r~
                       50r
;:.- 00;
CO •  •'
!;H l.:-:.
                       30r
                      ^20
                     tfi
                     z
                     a
                     ^ 10
                                16
                       32
48      64       60
   DISTANCE (km)
                               96
                                                              113
                    129
                                IB
   Figure
36      54       72      90      108
     DISTANCE DOWNSTREAM  (km)
      area in
                                                                               126
                                                                      144
                                                                                               162
Percent  pine of total
distance with 95 percent  confidence intervals.
versus  latitudinal and  longitudinal
   Figure:;24b~ Percent pine  of total pollen in channel samples versus distance downstream.
   .;'•• ;••• :rj 51' .;.. j> ~i
   ::1 l- ...< rij oi C"> ^
   9 P iS ^ R ^ S

-------
    O r- co
    =71 > rr»
                     30 n
                               16
32
46      64      80
   DISTANCE (km)
96
                                                                           113
                                     T29
1
i '.
1..'
Iv

1: ' fc
••: «»
;;; I
a
.8-
a
2


                               IB
36     54      72     90      108
    DISTANCE DOWNSTREAM  (km)
                                                                           126
                                             144
                                             162
Figure 25a.   Percent sweet gum of total basal area in vegetation versus latitudinal  and  longitudinal
              distance with 95 percent confidence intervals.  (No significant difference  exists for
              percent sweet gum versus longitudinal distance.)        j                         i

Figure, 25b.   Percent sweet gum of total pollen in channel samples versus distance  downstream.j  .
r) ° ^ ci] c/i p ^

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       Effect  of  Transport on Pollen Distributions

            The distance a pollen grain is  transported  in  an  estuary is  dependent
       upon the depth of the water,  the degree  of turbulence  in  the water column,
       and the settling  properties of the pollen  once it enters  the water.   For a
       river such as  the Potomac, it is assumed that turbulence  immerses the pollen
       completely within a few meters of downstream transport.   Once immersed, pol-
       len will behave like similar particles with  small Reynolds  numbers and fal-
       ling within the range of Stokes law  of resistance.   Some  differentiation is
       to be expected because size and specific gravity differ among pollen types,
       not all grains are spherical  and size and  shape  can change  with immersion
       (Brush  and Brush  1972).  Based upon  the  behavior of small  particles  in tur-
       bulent  flow (McNown et al. 1951, Brush 1965) and data  obtained from  a labora-
       tory study of  pollen transport in a  small  sediment-laden  flume (Brush and
       Brush 1972), some interpretations were made  regarding  the effect of  transport
       on pollen  distributions in the Potomac surface sediments.
       . i  .               -
       I     The effects  of transport were identified by the selective deposition of
       pollen  types in channel and nonchannel sediments and by the value of the .cor-
       relation coefficient for percent of total pollen  versus distance downstream.  ~
       A high  correlation coefficient indicates less scatter  in  the data than a low
       regression coefficient.  A lot of scatter  means  that very little dispersion
       of the  pollen  has occurred and the pollen  is deposited close to its  source
       or that differential deposition is operating after  the pollen becomes mixed   ;
       in the  water column resulting in a secondary uneven distribution.

       |     Correlation coefficients for percent  of total  basal  area with latitu-    ;
       dinal and  longitudinal distance are  low  for  all  species of trees indicating   I
       that  distributions of the source vegetation  are  highly uneven or patchy.      !
       This  is an accurate description of tree  distributions  because individuals of
       a species  occur most commonly as stands  or in more  or  less  discrete clumps.
       Therefore, pollen distributions with low correlation coefficients are re-
       flecting  the local patchiness of the tree  distributions,  whereas those with
       high  correlation coefficients have had the vegetational  patchiness erased     i
       from  their distributions  by dispersion.                                        |
       i                I                      i                          .              ;
             Five  types of transport behavior are  recognized in  the distributions of  ;
       pollen  described here:                i                                        i
                                              ;                                        I
             1.  Hickory (40-45 y), beech {40-45 y), cherry (25-30 y) and holly (25-  !
       ;30 y) occur more frequently in the nonchannel samples  and show insignificant  ;
       correlation coefficients.  Once introduced into  the river,  it appears that    j
       jthey  settle quickly and are deposited in shallower  water.  There is  no infor- ;
       mation  available on the settling velocities  of these grains.                  1
        I     2.  Oak (25-30 y), black gum (30-35 y), walnut (35-40 y), dogwood (35-
        |40 y) and red cedar (25-30 y) occur nonselectively in channel and nonchannel  I
        jsamples and show a lot of scatter.  They are not transported far in the       ] nQTT0..., r>-
        'water bef.ore being deposited.  Atmospheric transport may ensure their even    i ^QC"AREA
BEGIN    distribution across the channel.  Once in the water they settle rapidly.  Oak;' ouTSiCiE'""
LAST LiiiF has a specific gravity of 1.2 which does not indicate a high settling velo-._4 DIMENSION
OF TEXT .- 'city relative._to many pther_pol 1 en types.	.Qbj€ry_ati_pjTs_fjD.r_o_ak_are_J_n	J FOR TABLES
        !     A ^/8"      ^                 :-:-:-:-x-:----i---:-x-x-x-                                '"'-*• AND ILLUS-
        !   .  7 " '        ?                 :::S:;^:70  Vi^Vi                                  ] TRATIONS

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REGir
LAST
OFT
        agreement with  laboratory results where only 2 percent of the oak pollen load
        remained in  suspension  15 minutes after entry into the water column (Brush
        and  Brush 1972).  The behavior of oak in the experimental study contrasted
        strongly with other  pollen types which remained in suspension in much greater
        numbers and  therefore for a longer period of time.  The settling properties
       .of red cedar pollen  erase from the pollen distributions the very slight
        gradients that  appear in the distributions of the trees.

             3.  Ironwood-hazelnut, with an average size of 30 y, were selectively
        deposited in the  channel sediments where the water is deeper.  However, the
        data contain a  lot of scatter indicating that although deposition occurred
        in the deeper water, the pollen grains did not remain in suspension very long
        and  are probably  deposited close to their entry.  In. the previously mentioned
        laboratory study, hazelnut occurred in fairly large numbers in the bed al-
        though not nearly approaching the deposition rate of oak.

        '•     4.  Maple  (40-50 y), red maple (49 y), ash (38-41 y), elm (37 y), and
        sycamore (19-22 y) are  deposited nonselectively in channel and nonchannel
        sediments.   They  show less scatter than the previously discussed grains indi-
        cating that  they  are deposited evenly and may be transported a greater dis-  -
        tance.  They decrease in frequency in the downstream sediments because they
        probably remain suspended in this part of the river where the water is deeper
        and  more turbulent.

        ;     5.  The pollen  type most affected by transport is that of birch (30 y).
        It occurs in both channel and nonchannel samples and shows virtually no scat-
        ter  indicating  that  it  remains in suspension for a long period of time and is.
        totally dispersed before being deposited.  This observation agrees with the
        previous laboratory  observation where 71 percent of the birch pollen load
        remained in  suspension  15 minutes after entry into the water column.  In
        that study it was observed also that the size and shape of birch changed with
        immersion in such a  way as to decrease its settling rate.
        i               ,
        j     It is inferred  from these results that transport processes disperse the
        pollen to a  greater  or  lesser degree depending upon the physical properties
        of the individual grains.  Thus, transport and selective deposition of pollen
        'serve to erase, for  some tree types more than for others, some of the patchy
        characteristics of tree distributions without altering the pollen assem-
        blage's representation  of the regional vegetation.
        i               I                       i
        Conclusions     ,
        j               !
        i     1.  Adequate amounts of pollen for compiling pollen assemblages are
        obtained more frequently in channel as opposed to nonchannel sediments in
        the  tidal Potomac River.  The results are reproducible at any one location.
        For  an overall  view  of  the pollen assemblages in the tidal Potomac, it is
        necessary to obtain  only two samples, one located in the upper region of the
        tidal river  and the  other close to the mouth.                                 i
i    !     2.   The  pollen  in the channel surface sediments are, for the most part,  j
LI; .^'representative of  the adjacent vegetation.  All types abundant in the vege-.	\
    tation  appear in the pqlTen assemblage except tulip poplar.  In spite of	|
   t;-. i
BOTTOM OF
IMAGE AREA:
CUTSiDS
DIMENSION
FOR TABLES
•ANO ILLUS-
TRATIONS

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Gh- TEX
   differential productivity and transport for different pollen types, there is
   a fairly good correspondence between percents of total basal area and per-
   cents of total pollen with a few types being under- or overrepresented in
   the  pollen.  The southward increase in pine and sweetgum in the vegetation  is
   reflected  in the pollen assemblages of the surface sediments, while the west-
   ward decrease of hickory and the westward decrease and southward increase of
   red  cedar  are too slight to be_recorded in the pollen distributions.

       3.  Transport  processes in the atmosphere and water erase some of the
   localized  patchy distributions of the vegetation types from the pollen dis-
   tributions.  The degree to which this occurs is related to the physical
   characteristics of  each type of pollen grain.

       4.  Since the  estuarine processes reduce local noise in the pollen dis-
   tributions without  obliterating representation of regional gradients in the
   vegetation, this depositional environment is considered useful for stratig-
   raphic work.    ;
   j               j                       ;

   VERTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS OF POLLEN IN -ESTUARINE SEDIMENTS 	  '

       With  respect to the dating of stratigraphic horizons for determining
   sedimentation rates, this study concentrated on establishing rates in the
   Upper Chesapeake Bay.  Therumber of horizons that can be dated from a core
   depend upon the time interval covered by the core and the number of land use
   and  vegetation changes during that time interval that are of a sufficient
   scale both in area  affected and in intensity to be reflected by changes in
   pollen assemblages. As indicated earlier, localized changes are likely to
   be masked  by the regional condition.   ;
                  i
   •    Two cores from the Susquehanna Flats (SF-2 and SF-3) were analyzed and
   two  (FB-I  and FB-II) in detail and one (FB-III) partially from Furnace Bay
   (see Figures 2 and  3 for locations of cores). .The two cores from Susquehanna
   Flats contained very low concentrations of pollen; consequently, these analy-
   ses  were not continued for this study. ; It appears from the counts made that
   by concentrating the pollen extracted from the samples (see Quality Assurance
   Report), it may be  possible to obtain sufficient data to compile vertical
   profiles showing changes in the assemblages.  This investigation is proceed-
   ing. The  cores from Furnace Bay contained well-preserved pollen in suffi-
   jcient numbers to provide sedimentation rates for different time intervals.

   I    In cores FB-I  and FB-II, all pollen types were identified; Figures 26
   •and  27 have been plotted with only those types that provide information re-
   garding sedimentation rates.  In core FB-III, only the oak and ragweed pollen
   were identified in  order to identify the agricultural horizons.
   \          •    I                       i
   Furnace Bay Core Number I  (Figure 26) —
   j    This  core  is  96 on long and consists of silt and clay throughout.  The
   top  79 cm  are dark  grey while the zone from 79 to 92 cm is a light brownish
   grey.  Darker colored bands occur at 6 to 7 cm, and brown bands were observed
— !at 22 to 23 cm, 30  to 31 cm and 39 to 40 cm.  The top 8 cm has a higher water
1   content than the.remaindermen the core.	;	
BOTTO
IMAGE
OUTSi
                                                                                           M OF
                                                                                            AREA:
                                                                                           DE -
                                                                                    J FOR TABLES
                                                                                    >AND ILLUS-
                                                                                     i TRAT!ON>

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                                         o*
  £
  o
  -"40
a
ui
o

  80

  96
                       POLL
                  ..
             5 x I04      I
          no. grains per
         gram dry sediment
                            EN
-— 1978^,

 0.6 cm/yr

-— '1930



 0.6 cm/yr
                                               1820
                              10% 50% 25%
      ASSUMING A0.6cm/yr SEDIMENTATION RATE
  H-
  2
  UJ
     5x I03
     5xl03
         L
                             OAK

                             RAGWEED
b. 
    - •, w^g, 5xl03 £0!°" 30 zu ^ lOxlO2 O a. UI r PINE 1 , , >t-xx> ^_^ , T . HEMLOCK III ^*^**>^ .— i*^! *. «* I 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 TIME IN YEARS Figure 26. Stratigraphic pollen profile of Core I from Furnace Bay and the flux of pollen of oak, ragweed, pine and hemlock. 73

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BEGIN
LAST L
OF TEX
      Total pollen per gram dry sediment fluctuates considerably between
 levels.  Except for a zone of no pollen between 40 and 50 cm, pollen con-
 centrations are fairly high throughout.

      The oak-ragweed ratio, an indicator of clearing of forests for agri-
 culture, remains less than 1 throughout the core except for the bottom 2 cm
 where it reaches 1.8.  This large increase in oak pollen indicates that at
 the time the area was mostly forested with some local clearing.  Historical
 records show that at Furnace Bay the area of land cleared by 1840 remained
 constant to 1960 (see Section 3).  There are no .records of area of land
 cleared in 1820, but there are records indicating that agriculture was well
 established by 1820.  Since there is only one significant decrease in the
 oak-ragweed ratio in the core, it is assumed it reflects the time of well-
 established agriculture and that the area of land cleared in 1820 was -essen-
 tially the same as in 1840.  Therefore, an 1820 date has been assigned to
 the 94 cm level where the oak-ragweed ratio changes from 1.8 to 0.7.

 ;•     Although chestnut pollen is never entirely eliminated, it deer-eases
 rather dramatically at 30 cm.  The chestnut blight began to infect trees
 by 1910 and by 1930, most of the chestnut trees were dead"-(Anderson 1974)."
 In this core, a 1930 date has been assigned to the 30 cm level where the
 chestnut decreases.  It is believed that the decrease represents the demise
 of the species and the reason the pollen persists throughout is probably due
 to some mixing of sediments.  Fluctuations in total pollen lead to surmising
 that mixing may have occurred, but even if this were the case, it is not suf-
 ficient to obliterate major changes in the pollen distributions.  Based upon
 these dated horizons, sedimentation rates average 0.6 on/yr throughout the
 core.  Assuming a 0.6 cm/yr rate of sedimentation, the influx (numbers of
 grains deposited per gram of sediment per year) of the major pollen types
 in the core, viz., oak, ragweed, pine, and hemlock, have been plotted.

 Furnace Bay Core Number II (Figure 27)—
 :     This core, 123 cm long, is macroscopically very similar to core FB-I.
 The top 84 cm are an homogenized dark grey silt and clay which becomes a
 light brownish grey from 84 to 131 cm.  Brown bands occur at 23 to 24 cm
 and 33 to 34 cm.                       I
 j                '                       i
 I     Total pollen does not fluctuate nearly as much as in core FB-I.  Total
 pollen per gram dry sediment are almost twice as high at the bottom of the
 core as at any other level.  Total numbers decrease dramatically toward the
 center of the core with a zone of no pollen from 56 to 64 cm.

 j     The oak-ragweed ratio of 18 at the bottom of the core indicates that
 'ragweed essentially is absent in this part of the core which extends down to
 92 cm.  This zone represents presettlement time.  At 92 cm, the oak-ragweed
 ratio changes to 1.8 and decreases to well below 1 at 84 
-------
                                                         1978

                                                      0.6cm/yr


                                                      — 1930
                                                      0.7 cm/yr
                                                      — 1910
                         5x10
               20.3
                     IO% 50% 25%

                     SEDIMENTATION RATE'
               £   0   10   20  30  40  50  60  70  8O   90
               en
               ui
               S
                  5xl03
         CENTIMETERS (x)

                   OAK
                    ;IO-
 I
                                         RAGWEED
              Oc>-
                   5xl03
 [
                                         PINE
                     10'
               o
               Q.
               UJ
               O
 I
                                         HEMLOCK
1600    1700     1800     I9OO

            TIME IN YEARS
                                                       20OO
Figure 27.  Stratigraphic pollen profile  of Core II from Furnace Bay and the
            flux  of pollen of oak, ragweed, pine and hemlock.
                                      75

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LAST
OFTE
    -...  The chestnut profile fluctuates considerably.  The low numbers in the
    bottom "of the core (during presettlement time) probably are related to forest
 .,  density.  Chestnut flowers in late summer when trees are in full leaf.  It is
    possible that in dense forests, prior to clearing, much of the chestnut pollen
    is filtered out before reaching a depositional basin (see Tauber 1965 for a
    discussion of factors affecting the atmospheric dispersion of pollen).  After
    1820, the numbers of chestnut pollen increase and then decrease in the center
    of the core, but this decrease is coincident with very low concentrations of
    total pollen.  At 44 cm, the numbers of chestnut decrease by one-half; a 1910
    date to this horizon has been assigned, which is believed to represent the
    initial impact of the blight.  At approximately 30 cm, chestnut pollen is no
    longer present; a 1930 date has been assigned, the time when the trees were
    no longer existent, to this level.  Chestnut pollen in the top 4 cm is pro-
    duced by the oriental chestnuts which were planted throughout the eastern
    United States in the early 1940's.

    :    Based upon these dates, sedimentation rates average 0.5 cm/yr for the
    entire core, with average rates of 0.3 cm/yr from 1790 to 1820, 0.4 cm/yr
    from 1820-1910, 0.7 cm/yr from 1910 to 1930, and 0.6 cm/yr from 1930 to the
    present.    — -	-  •-•/;" 	 — — —-  	 —	— — —- — —  --

        Because changes in the sedimentation rates in the real world probably
    are more gradual than indicated .by the average values, it was decided to
    approximate the changes.  To do this, it was assumed that the change was
    linear and that the rate at the midpoint of the interval was'the average
    rate.  Accordingly, the midpoints of each interval were plotted against the
    sedimentation rate for that interval.  These points were connected by lines
    the equations of which are. used to obtain the intermediate sedimentation
    rates.  For core levels below the last dated horizon and above the first
    dated  horizon,  it was assumed that the sedimentation rate from the previous
    level  remains constant through this section.

    ;    Pollen, seed and diatom influx values (i.e., the numbers of pollen,
    seeds, and diatoms deposited per gram or per cm2 of sediment per year)
    are calculated  by dividing the total counts at each level by the number
    of years represented by each sample analyzed.                                 '.

    r    Based upon the sedimentation rates for core FB-II (Figure 27), the       :
    pollen influx shows clearly that the major tree species, oak, pine and
    hemlock all decrease dramatically with the advent and establishment of
    agriculture.  The influx of pine and hemlock is particularly interesting
    because it does not reflect the presence of abundant pine and hemlock stands
    Jin the Appalachian Plateau of Pennsylvania, approximately 100 km northwest
    'of Furnace Bay, which were extensive as late as 1840 for pine and 1880 for
    hemlock (see Section 3).  Although changes in the vegetation of the Piedmont
    section of the  Susquehanna watershed caused by agriculture are documented in
    the pollen assemblages from Furnace Bay cores, changes in the vegetation of
    the Appalachian section of the watershed are apparently not reflected because
    .they are too distant.  The large amounts of pollen of hemlock and pine that
j    'are present in  the bottom part of both cores must have originated from trees
Li; ;c growing in the  Piedmont which were cut at the time land was cleared for    	
XT : agriculture...._I.f_the pollen were derived from Appalachian vegetation, it	
OUTGi
D!.V,£!\
                                         +MJ*.
                                         PAGE :•:!;•

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0? TEX
        should be present in sediments  deposited after  1820 because the forests in
        the Appalachian Plateau  were  not  cleared for  agriculture.  Apparently pollen
        from the upper watershed was  not  transported  into this area during any time
        interval.  This is in agreement with  the observations made on pollen distribu-
        tions in the tidal Potomac  surface  sediments  where pollen of trees restricted
        to the Appalachian province today are not  present in surface sediments approx-
        imately 50 km downstream from the source.

        Furnace Bay Core Number  Ill-
             Only oak and ragweed pollen  from this core were counted and  therefore we
        have identified only the agricultural horizon.  This occurs at 93 cm based
        upon the change in the .oak-ragweed  ratio.   A  date of 1820 was assigned to
        this level.  Based upon  this  date,  the average  sedimentation rate from 1820
        to the present is 0.6 cm/yr.

        Other Tributaries—
        1     Table 14 summarizes all  of the dates  that  have been assigned to dif-
        ferent sedimentary horizons in  a  number of tributaries based upon pollen
        analyses.  The rates average  approximately 0.6  cm/yr from all cores, but
        the range within a core  is  as great or greater  than the range between cores  •
        from the same tributary, or between cores  from  different tributaries.  For
        example, in one core from Back  River  rates range from 0.3 cm/yr to 1.9 cm/yr.
        Rates appear higher during  the  agricultural periods for some tributaries with
        large drainage areas (e.g., Back  River) than  for some with smaller drainage
        areas (e.g., Middle River), but the hydrodynamics of the tributaries is also
        important.  For example, the  sedimentation rate in the middle of  Back River
        is much greater than at  the mouth because  Back  River acts as a depositional
        sink (Han 1972).

        Conclusions     j                       j

             1.  The clearing of land for agriculture and the decrease and demise of
        chestnut are the two major  events that are reflected in pollen assemblages
        from estuarine sediments.  Dates  of 1910 and  1930 are assigned to the chest-
        jnut horizons and anywhere from  1790 to 1890 to  the agricultural horizon
        depending upon the specific location.  Rapid  urbanization where it has oc-
        curred is reflected by increased  concentrations of pollen in the  sediments.
        ;In some instances, farm  abandonment can be detected by an increase in the
        ratio of oak pollen to ragweed  pollen.
        i               ' .'                       j
        j                I                       ;
        j     2.  Sedimentation rates  average  approximately 0.6 cm/yr in all of the
        cores studied but vary from less  than 0.2  cm/yr to approximately  2 cm/yr.
        I                !                       !            .          '
        I     3.  The data gathered  so far suggest  the influence of land use on rates
        of sedimentation is influenced  by drainage area and the morphometry of the
        •rivers.  However, specific  relationships will not be studied until sedimen-
        tation rates have been obtained for more tributaries.
                                             77
                                                                                             EA-
 BOTTOM (
 IMAGE A'
 OUTSIDE ,
 DIMENSION
 FOR TABLES
--AND ILLUS-
 TRATIONS

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TABLE 1.4. SUMMARY OF SEDIMENTATION RATES BASED ON PALYNOLOGICAL INDICATORS THUS FAR OBTAINED FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TRIBUTARIES
Location*
Susquehanna
Flatst
Furnace
Bayt
Furnace
Bayt
Furnace
Bayt
Middle
River
Back
River
Back
River
Back
River
Potomac
River
Potomac
River
Potomac
River
Chesapeake
Bayt
*See Figure
tAnalyses of
Core
3
III
I
II
M-2
T
B
R
1
4
3
4
for
these
Dated Horizons StratigrapMc Indicator for Date
0 cm - 1978 year core was collected
98 cm - 1880 presence of abundant coal particles
0 cm - 1978 year core was collected
93 cm - 1820 large increase 1n ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1978 year core was collected
30 cm - 1930 absence of chestnut pollen
0 cm - 1978 year core was collected
30 cm - 1930 absence of chestnut pollen
44 cm - 1910 decrease in chestnut pollen
84 cm - 1820 large increase in ragweed pollen
92 cm - 1790 moderate increase 1n ragweed pollen
and decrease in tree pollen
0 cm - 1974 year core was collected
4 cm - 1960 Increase in total pollen concentration
34 cm - 1980 large increase in ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1974 year core was collected
38 cm - 1930 absence of chestnut pollen
(12-20 cm deposited In one year)
70 cm - 1910 decrease in chestnut pollen
0 cm - 1974 year core was collected
8 cm - 1960 increase in total pollen concentration
18 cm - 1930 absence of chestnut pollen
50 cm - 1910 decrease in chestnut pollen
88 cm - 1890 large Increase in ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1974 year core was collected
20 cm - 1890 large increase in ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1977 year core was collected
66 cm - 1910 decrease 1n ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1977 year core was collected
24 cm - 1910 decrease in ragweed pollen
74 cm - 1840 large increase in ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1977 year core was collected
30 cm - 1910 decrease 1n ragweed pollen
0 cm - 1978 year core was collected
23 cm - 1820 large Increase in ragweed pollen
locations of cores
cores done under EPA (CBP) Grant Number
Historical Basis for Date
anthracite industry 1n watershed well developed
agriculture well established at ~ 1820
by 1930, all chestnut trees eliminated by blight
by 1930, chestnut trees eliminated by blight
at - 1910, chestnut blight attacked trees
agriculture well established
modest agricultural development
large scale urban development
1890 - time of maximum agriculture in Balto. Co.
chsstnut blight eliminated chestnut trees
pollen concentration greatly reduced but
preservation excellent
beginning of chestnut. blight
large scale urban development
chestnut trees eliminated by blight
beginning of chestnut blight
maximum agriculture in Baltimore County
maximum agriculture in Baltimore County
some farm abandonment
some farm abandonment
agriculture well established
some farm abandonment
agriculture well established in many watersheds

Sedimentation Rate
1 . 0 cm/yr
0.6 cm/yr
0.6 cm/yr
0.6 cm/yr
0.7 cm/yr
0.4 cm/yr
0.3 cm/yr
0.3 cm/yr
0.4 cm/yr
0.8 cm/yr
(0.4 cm/yr)
1 . 7 cm/yr
0.6 cm/yr
0.3 cm/yr
1.6 cm/yr
1.9 cm/yr
0.2 cm/yr
1 . 0 cm/yr
0.4 cm/yr
0.7 cm/yr
0.5 cm/yr
0.15cm/yr


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                              	SECTION 6

                               EUTROPHICATION
INTRODUCTION

     Chlorophyll degradation products and diatoms were extracted from all  of
the cores studied to be used as stratigraphic indices of eutrophication and
water quality.  However, chlorophyll  was abandoned because,  in many cases, the
results appeared anomalous.  It would be difficult to use any interpretations
of water quality based on chlorophyll distributions in a management program.
For example, although the impact of nutrients from sewage effluent is re-
flected clearly by"increases in sedimentary chlorophyll in Back River (Brush  '
and Smith 1974), the influence of sewage input in the Upper Potomac River  is
not so clearly defined by the stratigraphic chlorophyll profile (Miller and
Brush 1979).  The latter situation could be due to poor preservation, or it
could also result from biological recycling of chlorophyll in the water column
by grazers.  Dispersion of algal cells away from sources of nutrient also      :
could distort the record preserved in the sediments.  In any case, sedimentary
chlorophyll was considered unreliable as a consistent indicator of .eutrophica-
tion due to discrepancies in the data.                                        i

<     Diatoms, on the other hand, are well preserved in estuarine sediments.   ;
They are good indicators of water quality and of eutrophication both in bio-  ;
mass and in species composition because many species are sensitive to the      \
chemical, physical and biological properties of the environment (Patrick
J975).          i                       i                                       I
                '•                       I
     Although diatoms have not been used previously for reconstructing the
history of water quality and eutrophication from sediments deposited in the
estuaries, they have been used quite successfully for studying the effect  of
human disturbance on the water quality of lakes (e.g., Stockner and Benson
;1967, Bradbury and Waddington 1973, Bradbury 1975 and Brugam 1978).
METHODS
I A CT I 'MtT
LAC- i l_!i\!_
|     A test of similarity was not performed between diatoms in surface sedi-
inent samples and pollen (see Section 5) in order to determine the number of
'samples necessary for representative spatial  data.   It was assumed that dia-
toms are affected by estuarine transport processes  in a manner similar to
pollen, because as particles they fall  within the Stokes law of resistance.
jherefore, it is expected that their-depositional behavior is similar to that
of pollen, in which -case only a few samples are necessary to obtain data rep-
resentative of the spatial distributions.	_
BOTTOM GF
(WAGE AREA
OUTSIDE
DIMENSION
FOR TABLES
•AND iLLUS-
TRAT;o;-;5

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   20
  40
E  60
u

5,80
Z
UJ
o
   80

  100

  120
        10  20  30
     0  10  20  30
     TOTAL* GENERA
                                                   ZONE I

                                                          1962
                                                    ZONE E
                                                               tn _
                                                        m
                                                          1886
                                                                 u
                                                   ZONE
20  40  60  80  100  120  140
    V	

                                                          1824
                                                   ZONE 3C
                             0   20  40  60  80  100  120  140
                                    TOTAL* SPECIES
                                                               <
                                                               00
                                                               o
  100
  120
     0   10  20  30
    TOTAL* GENERA
                                20  40  60  80  100  120  140
                                                  ZONE m
                                                               < ro
                                                           1880 £ O
                                                   ZONE 12
                                                               tO U.
                                20  40  60  8O  100 120  140
                                    TOTAL* SPECIES
 Figure 28.  Stratigraphic profile of the  total  number of genera
             and species of diatoms in cores from  Furnace Bay and
             Susquehanna Flats.
                                80

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BEGIN
LAST Li
OF TEX
        '!__  The procedures for diatom extraction from sediments and slide preparation
        can be found in Appendix A.  Each covers!ip was counted in its entirety  (ap-
        proximately 50 transects) to provide estimates of total diatom concentrations
        at each depth.  Normally, each coverslip contained between 50 and 150 diatom
        frustules.  Attempts were made to identify at least 400 frustules at each
        depth in order to obtain an accurate picture of the total diatom concentration
        and percentages of genera and species present.  For lack of sufficient time,
        particularly on the longer cores which were sampled more recently, at least "
        100 but often not more than 200 frustules were identified for some of the
        depths.  In this way, a more complete stratigraphic sequence was achieved.

            Core  I from Furnace Bay (FB-I) was the most extensively analyzed.   Dia-
        toms were  identified and enumerated at TO cm levels with intermediate levels
        analyzed between levels of major change in order to identify more precisely
        the horizons where changes occurred.  We also studied every 10 cm level  from
        68 cm to the bottom (130 on) from the second Furnace Bay core (FB-II).

        5   ' The amount of sand and other coarse material occurs in greater concen-
        trations in the Susquehanna Flats cores than in those from Furnace Bay,  and
        the concentration of seeds and pollen is much "lower."  "In Core 2 from         ""''
        Susquehanna Flats (SF-2), diatoms were identified and counted at 20 cm inter-
        vals and in Core 3 (SF-3) at four levels:  79-81 cm, 102-104 cm, 126-128 cm,
        and 134-136 cm.  This provided sufficient data to identify the major changes
        in diatom  assemblages and compare these changes with those observed in
        Furnace Bay.    V                      ;                                       ;

        i    The species identifications were based upon Hustedt (1930), Hohn and     ;
        Hellerman  (1963), and Patrick and Reimer (1966, 1975).                        i

        j    Data  were plotted to show total number of genera and species identified
        at different depths in the four cores (Figure 28).  Additional data were     :
        plotted to show absolute and relative abundances of the major genera identi- .
        fied (Figures 29 to 32).  Graphs were drawn for only those genera comprising  ;
        at least 10 percent of the total diatoms at one level in one core.  The  abso-
        lute abundance of the diatoms was plotted as diatoms per gram saved sediment
        weight.  The saved sediment is the material left over after the extraction
        process and is similar in grain size to the diatoms.  The saved sediment
        weight eliminates coal, sand, and other coarse material as well as any or-
        ganics that were deposited with the diatoms, thus removing from the vertical
        profiles of the diatoms some of the variations resulting from different
        sedimentation rates.                   i
RESULTS         ,                -      !
i'l
I     Five zones have been identified in  Furnace Bay  and three zones  in
Susquehanna Flats (corresponding  to three of the same zones  in Furnace Bay).
These zones are distinguished by differences in numbers of genera  and species,
absolute abundance of diatoms,  dominant  genera, and  ecological preferences  of
species (Table 15).  Ecological  preferences for the  diatoms  were  obtained from
    report for NERC (Lowe 1974)  and Patrick and Reimer (1966, 1975).
                                             81
so no?-.
IMAGE
jUTSIL
DlfvicN;
FOR TA
•AND il
TRATiO

-------
ro
 TOTAL DIATOMS/ gm

  SAVED SED. WT.

0
                                                 ACHNANTHES
                                                                        COCCONEIS
                                                                                                  1962



                                                                                                  1930
                                                                                                 1886
                                                                                                     824
                                                                                                 40


                                                                                                 DIATOMS 110*

                                                                                                 gm. SAVED SED. WT.


                                                                                                   01 ATOMS/DEPTH
                1 W  B0
                u
                o ui
                «J 1C  IOO

                18
                £    120
                                                                                           0  IO
               Figure  29.   Stratigraphic profiles of total  diatoms and total numbers and percent of

                            total  diatoms of Achnanthes, Cocoone-is, Cymbella3 Gomphonema, Navioula and

                            Nitzschia in cores  from Furnace  Bay.

-------
          TOTAL DIATOMS/gm
            SAVED SEO. WT.
                                  COSCINODISCUS
                                                      CYCLOTELLA
                                                                                               ZONE I
                                                                                               	 1962
                                0  0.9 0   3   10
                                                   O  0.5  0   5  IO
                                0  0.9 0   9   10

                                    ~a DIATOMS «10*
                                                   0  O.9  O   9  10
                                                                                                  1790

                                                                                               ZONEX
                      EPITHEMIA
1 gm. SAVED SEO. WT.

 % DIATOMS/DEPTH
                                                            FRAOILARIA
                                                                                      SYNEDRA
                                                                                             9  10
Figure  30.  Stratigraphic profile of total  diatoms  and total  numbers and percent  of total
             diatoms of Cosoinodiscus,  Cyolotella3 Eunotia, Epithemia, Fragilaria  and
             Synedra in cores from Furnace Bay.

-------
                  TOTAL DIATOMS/gm
                   SAVED SED. WT
           SG!
,. 'li
ACHNANTHES
                                                                                                                       \
COCCONEIS
                                                                                               ZONE I
                                                         6  0  10  20  30  40  SO   0   I   2  0  10   20
                                                                                                   I88O
                                                         6  0  10  20 SO  40  SO  0   1   2  0  10  20
00
                       CYMBELLA
                                       GOMPHONEMA
                                                              NAVICULA
                                                                                 NITZSCHIA
                           10  20
                                     0   I   0   10
                                                                                                01 ATOMS « 10"
                                                                                               gm. SAVED SED. WT.

                                                                                                % DIATOMS/OEPTH
                                                     0   I   2  1  0  10  20  SO   0   I   0  10
                                                                                           •1880
        2  3  0   10  2O  30  OI   O  10
           Figure 31.  Stratigraphic profiles of  total diatoms and  total  numbers and percent of
                        total diatoms of Achnanthes,  Coeconeis, Cymbella, Gomphonema3  Naviaula and
                        Nitzschia  in cores  from Susquehanna  Flats.
    JL.JL.:	

-------
     O f~ a1
     TI > a1
        f-'l
     y r,i
         .
'66'''
en
                 TOTAL DIATOMS/gm
                   SAVED SED. WT.
<  u.
               eo
                                      COSCINOOISCUS
                                                                   CYCLOTELLA
                                                                                           EUNOTIA
                                              O  9  10   0      I      2      0   9  10  15  20 0
                            EPITHEMIA

( . .
\
^
1
[•
                                                        FRAGILARIA
                                                                               SYNEDRA
                                                                                                    ZONE I
                                                                                                    ZONEIE
                                                                                                    ZONE HI

                                                                                                      1800
                                                                                                    ZONE SB.
I DIATOMS « 10°
I gm. SAVED SEO.WT.

I % DIATOMS/DEPTH
            Figure 32,   Stratigraphic profiles of  total diatoms and total  numbers  and percent of
                         total diatoms and  total numbers and  percent of  total diatoms of Coscinodiscus,
                         Cyclotella,  Eunotia,  Epithemia, Fragilaria and Synedra  in  cores from
                         Susquehanna Flats.

-------
Average Average
Number Number
of Genera of Species
ZONE I HIGH
(1962-1978)
FBI 0-12 on
2 samples 28 104
ZONE II HIGH
(1930-1962)
' FBI 12-30 on
1 sample 27 113
ZONE III HIGH
(1885-1930)
fBI 30-57 cm
4 samples 28 100
ZONE IV LOWER
(1790-1885)
fBI 57-93 cm
FBII 68-94 cm 18 42
7 samples
ZONE V HIGH
(7-1790)
FBII 94-128 cm
3 samples 24 86
pre-agriculture

Absolute
Abundance
No. 1 gm
MEDIUM
6 x 106
MEDIUM
8x 106
HEDIUM
6 x 106
LOU
1 x 106
HIGH
24 x 106

FURNACE BAY I
Dominant
Genera
Cyclotella
CoaoinodiaaiB
Synedra
Naoicula
Fragilaria
cfotonenaia
& II
Habitat
plankton periphyte epiphyte
Ispp fspp ffspp
11
18
2
High number of planktonic
forms; low number of
epiphytic forms
3
6
Low number of
forms
G&nphon0nQ
Nitaschia
Cymbella
Sunotia
Saoiaula
Epithenia
Eunotia
Cymbella
Gontphonsnct
Epithania
Achnanthee
3
31
Low number of
forms
3
High
forms
0
42
number of
17
High number of
forms



1
planktonic
6
planktonic
20
epiphytic
8
epiphytic

prefer
organic
environment
6
MEDIUM-HIGH
4
MEDIUM
7
HIGH
3 '
MEDIUM-LOW
3
MEDIUM-LOW
—
SUSQUEHANNA FLATS 2 & 3
MaMtaf
Average Average) Absolute
Number Number • Abundance Dominant
of Genera of Species No. 1 gm Genera
ZONE I HIGH Mi-nniM Cuolotella
SF2 0-48 cm nwivn Coeainodieaue
3 samples , Synedra
24 78 12 x 10° Saaicula
prefer
plankton perlphyte epiphyte organic
fspp #spp jspp environment
14 29 5 7
High number of planktonic HIGH
forms
NO CORRESPONDING BLOOM
ZONE HI HIGH ......... GcmDhoneraa
SF2 S 3 MCDIUM Cy^ella
. 43-98 cm ' ... Aehnanthes
4 samples 22 65 10 x 10° Hauicula
ZONE IV LOWER urnnm Epithemia
JF3 98-134 cm HEDiUH cyabeiia
3 samples , Gamphonema
18 62 14 x 10b
Bottom of
TABLE 15. SUMMARY OF RATIGRAPHIC DATA ON DIATOM
4 28 6 6
Lower number of planktonic MEDIUM-HIGH
forms
\
5 21 83
Higher number of epiphytic MEDIUM-LOW
forms
Core
701 IN CORES FROM FURNACE BAY AND SUSQUEHAHNA FLATS
Bottom of Core

-------
     Date lines on the graphs are based upon sedimentation rates derived from
pollen analysis of the cores.

Abundance and Distribution of Fossil Diatom Populations

     Core II from Furnace Bay shows a high absolute abundance and a large num-
ber of genera and species of diatoms from the bottom of the core up to about
94 cm.   Pollen analysis  (see Section 5) shows this depth to be near the agri-
cultural horizon; it  is  dated approximately 1790.  Above 94 cm, abundance and
number of taxa drops  dramatically.  This trend continued in both cores from
Furnace  Bay until approximately 1885 (57 on depth) (Figures 29 and 30).  The
reduction in the diatom  population at this time can be explained partially by
the higher sedimentation and siltation which in all likelihood occurred with
the clearing of the land during the 19th century.  Patrick (1975) states that
homogenization of the habitat by siltation reduces not only substrate diver-
sity but also diversity  of light patterns and of current patterns resulting
in a decrease in number  of species.  Other factors may be involved, such as
possible blooms of blue-green algae which compete with the diatoms for light
and nutrients (Brugam 1978).

     In  Core FB-I, many  new species began invading after 1885 (57 cm depth)
and the  number of taxa increased to the same numbers of genera and species as
before.  The absolute abundance never recovered.

     A large bloom of Fragilaria crotonensis is observed at the 17-19 cm depth
in Core  FB-I, but overall diversity remains constant.

     Two cores  (SF-2  and SF-3) from Susquehanna Flats do not appear to predate
agriculture.  For this reason, they do not show any major decrease in abun-
dance and number of taxa such as the one which characterizes the agricultural
horizon  in the Furnace Bay cores.  The absolute abundance of diatoms in
Susquehanna Flats was found to be relatively the same as post-agricultural
numbers  in Furnace Bay.

     The cores from Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats also show similar pat-
terns of change in the dominant genera (Figures 29 to 30).  This indicates
that the regional conditions governing both of these areas are similar.  The
patterns reflect trends  in the ecology of the Upper Chesapeake Bay and not
local effects within  Furnace Bay or Susquehanna Flats.

     Both Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats showed a dominance of species of
Epithemia in the earliest parts of the cores up until about 1880 (57 cm in
Core FB-I and 98 cm in Core SF-3).  Epithemia species showed highest relative
abundance in the preagricultural sediment in Core FB-I.  After 1880, species
of Epithemia virtually disappeared from the sediments.  The history of the    !
area showed that maximum agricultural clearance, maximum coal mining, and     j
maximum  lumbering occurred on a regional basis between 1870 and 1900.  Both   ;
factors  may be related to the subsequent shifts in diatom assemblages found   j
in Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats after 1880.

"'-	- Between 1880 and 1962 (57-12 cm depth in Core FB-I and 98-48 cm depth in
Cores SF-2 and SF-3), several genera codominate, including Gomphonema,

                                       87

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BEGiM    j
LAST LINEi
OF TEXT :4
Cymbella, fli-tzechia, Navicula> and Eunotia.  Around 1930, a major bloom of
Fragilaria crotonensis occurred in Furnace Bay.

     Since 1962  (0-12 cm depth in Core fB-I and 0-48 cm depth in Core SF-2),
there has been a dramatic rise in the number of taxa and absolute abundance
of planktonic species in both core areas of which the three genera Cyclotella,
Coscinodiscus3 and Synedra became dominant.  There was al-so a noticeable in-
crease  in species of Melosira. and Stephanodiscus.r—The rise in planktonic —
diatoms  and subsequent decline in epiphytes may be correlated with the decline
of SAV  in recent times (see Section 4).

     Cocconeis placentula is a dominant species throughout all four cores at
all  depths sampled.  It has not been included in Table 15 since it does not
show much change.

Ecology  of Fossil Diatom Populations   ;

\     Species of  diatoms identified from Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats have
quite similar ecological preferences.  Practically without exception, they  are
known to prefer  alkaline water of high mineral content and are insensitive  to
small amounts of salt.  Basically they are indifferent to currents although
many prefer some movement of water.  Most of the species are found most often
in lakes and ponds, with a few representatives from river habitats.

     Epiphytic  species occurred in greater numbers before 1880, and there have
been more planktonic species since 1960.  Species of Epithemia were dominant
before  1880; these  species are known to be epiphytic on SAV.  Their sudden
^decrease after  1880 may be correlated with changes in species and number of  i
isubmerged aquatics  or with regional factors which possibly affected both.   As
mentioned before, their disappearance may be related to the maximum agricul-
tural clearance, mining and lumbering which occurred in this region between
11870 and 1900,  and  the major  floods of 1889 and  1894.  Exactly what effects  i
these factors might have on Epithemia species  is not known.                   :

i     Since around  1880, species which are  known  to prefer water high  in or-  :
ganic material  and  which are  favored by nutrient enrichment occur in  greater
•abundance, e.g.; Nitzschia fonticola, Nitszchia amphibia, Navicula crypto-
cephala, Navicula rhyncocep'ha.la, Melosira granulata, Cyclotella stelligera,
Stephanodiscus  dubius, Fragilaria cTotonensis, and Fragilaria brevistraiata.
Jhis, along with the  bloom of Fragilaria crotonensis in  Furnace Bay,  probably
lis  related directly to  increased  human disturbance of the Upper Chesapeake
;Bay  watershed.  ;           ;           i
                1                      I
      Planktonic species were  in greatest abundance from  1960  to the present.
Their  increase  may  beadirect response to  habitats made  available as  a  result
of  the  recent  disappearance of SAV from the Upper Bay.  Cocconeis placentula
 is  a species  found  in great abundance at all depths in the cores.  C. placen-
tula is a  eurytopic species capable of growing on many substrates.  C. pla-
centula and Synedra rumpens are the main epiphytes on plants  growing  today  in
the  Upper  Chesapeake  Bay.              j
            A 1 •'?•
            ,.; J- '-i
            '•1
 iiv'AGc AREA
 OUTSIDE '
 DIMENSION
 FOR TABLES
*AND ILLU5-
  HATiO.MS

-------
 1...  A major exception to the ecological  patterns described above are the
species of Eunotia, a dominant genus in Furnace Bay from 1830 to 1920 (80-
50 cm).  Species of Eunotia prefer low pH and cannot tolerate any salt.  They
often are found in nonsubmerged habitats.  Extensive acid drainage occurred
in the Upper Susquehanna watershed from 1860 to 1920 as a result of mining.
A possible explanation for the presence of species of Eunotia in Furnace Bay
cores is that they flourished in the acid conditions of the upper_watershed
and were washed into furnace Bay during periods of high flow.

     Species of Adhnanthes occur in much greater abundance and diversity in
Susquehanna Flats than in Furnace Bay.  The large amounts of sand and coarse
material found in Susquehanna Flats may provide a possible explanation for
their presence.  Achnanthes species are extremely small, usually measuring
between 3 to 15 microns.  They prefer to grow on hard or rocKy substrate.
The sand and coarse material in Susquehanna Flats (usually measuring about
1 mm in diameter) would provide a suitable substrate for these small diatoms.
This substrate is not as available in the siltier deposits of Furnace Bay.
Conclusions ~   ;  ~    l/l" 	         .        ~"~       ~;       ~   ~  ~  "

:     1.  Most of thediatom species identified are probably growing and living
in the local area.  Most of the species show similar ecological preferences
(except Eunotia,spp.) and are normally found in lakes and ponds.  Smayda
(1971) has shown that settling rates for diatoms range from 1 to 30 m per
day.  The average depth of the water in Susquehanna Flats and Furnace Bay is
1 to 2 m, so diatoms living in these areas would not have time to move out
before settling.  Few diatoms would be brought in from other areas, except
possibly in times of flooding when resuspension of sediments and faster cur-
rents are prevalent.                    :

     2.  It appears that higher siltation caused by land clearing results in
a decrease in numbers of species of diatoms.
                I           '            i
     3.  Cores from Furnace Bay and Susquehanna Flats show a similar diatom
stratigraphy despite the fact that sedimentation processes are quite dif-
ferent in the two areas.  This indicates that regional conditions govern the
(ecology of the Upper Chesapeake Bay, and therefore diatom populations are
useful for reconstructing the history of water quality for a regional area.
                •                       i
     4.  The increase in number of species requiring water high in organic
naterial in both areas since the late 19th century suggests that this change
is related to increased human disturbance of the Upper Chesapeake Bay water-
shed including extensive land clearing and increased sewage input.
BEGiM
LAST ur:E
OF TEXT :r»-
                                                                              I BOTTOM O"
                                                                              i IMAGE Aftt^
                                                                              | OUTSIDE
                                                                              1 DIMENSION
                                                                               FOR TABLSS
                                                                             ^rAND 1.LLUS-

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                                        ^SECTION 7_

                                         REFERENCES
BEGIN
LAST LINE
OF TEXT ;.,-
        Anderson,  R.  R.   1972.   Submerged Vascular Plants of the Chesapeake Bay and
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        Anderson,  R.  R.  et  al.   In  press.   Submerged Aquatic Vegetation Distribution
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        Anderson,  T.  W.  : 1974.   The Chestnut Pollen Decline as a Time  Horizon in Lake
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        Bayley,  S.,  V. D. Stotts, P. F.  Springer, and J. Steenis.  1978.   Changes in
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        Bidwell, P.  and J.  I. Falconer.  1925.  History  of Agriculture in  the
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        Bining,  A. C.  1938. Pennsylvania  Iron Manufacture in the 18th Century.
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        Birks, H.  H.   1972.   Modern Macrofossil Assemblages in Lake Sediments in
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        Birks, H.  H., M. C.  Whiteside, D. M. Stark, and  R. C.  Bright.  1976.  Recent
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        Bradbury,  J.  P.  1975.   Diatom Stratigraphy and  Human  Settlement  in Minnesota.
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                        i
        Bradbury,  J.  P.  and J.  C. B. Waddington.  1973.  The Impact of European
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        Brugam, R. B.  1978. Human Disturbance and the  Historical Development of
             Linsley Pond.   Ecology 59:19-36.
BOTTOM or
IMAGE AREA;
OUTSIDE ,
DIMENSION
FOR TABLES
AND ILLUS-
i'RAHONS

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BEGIN
Brush. G. S. and L. M. Brush, Jr.  1972.  Transport of Pollen in a Sediment-
     Laden Channel:  A Laboratory Study.  American Journal  of Science 272:
     359-381.   .

Brush, G. S. and J. Smith.  1974.  Stratigraphic Evidence of Eutrophication
     in a Subestuary.  Chesapeake Research Consortium Publication 43:135-166.

Brush, G. S.,~C. Lenk,~~and J.- Smith. ~In press.—The Natural Forests of 	
     Maryland:  An Explanation of the Vegetation Map of Maryland.  Ecological
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Brush, L. M. Jr.  1965.  Sediment Sorting in Alluvial Channels.  Society of
     Economic Paleontologists and Mineralogists Special Publication;12:25-33.

Commonwealth -of Pennsylvania.  1915.  The Publications of the Pennsylvania
•     Chestnut Tree Blight Commission, 1911-1913.  State Printing Office,
:     Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

County Directors of Maryland.  1956.  Cecil County:  A Reference Book of
 ••-•:••  History, Business, and General Information. - Elkton, Maryland. — — — -^

Craven, A. 0.  1926.  Soil Exhaustion as a Factor in the Agricultural History
     of Virginia and Maryland, 1606-1860.  University of Illinois Press,
     Urbana, Illinois.  189 pp.

Crowder, A. A. and D. G. Cuddy.  1973. • Pollen in a Small River Basin:
     Wilton Creek, Ontario.  In:   H. J. B. Berks and R. G.  West (eds.).    /
     Quaternary Plant Ecology, The 14th Symposium of the British Ecological
'.     Society.  John Wiley and Sons.  pp. 61-77.

Davis, M. B. 1973.  Pollen Evidence of Changing Land Use Around the Shores
     of Lake Washington.  Northwest Science 47:133-148.

Davis. M. B. and L. B. Brubaker.   1973.  Differential Sedimentation of Pollen
     Grains in Lakes.  Limnology and Oceanography 18:635-646.
                j                       ;
Davis, M. B., L. B. Brubaker, and J. M. Beiswenger.  1971.   Pollen Grains in
     Lake Sediments:  Pollen Percentages in Surface Sediments from Southern
     Michigan.  Quaternary Research 1:450-467.
                i                       !
Davis, M. B. and J. C. Goodlett.   1960.  Comparison.of the Present Vegetation
     with Pollen-Spectra in Surface Samples from Brownington Pond, Vermont.
     Ecology 41:346-357.               j
                                       j
Defebaugh, J. E.:  1907.  History of the Lumber Industry.  The American
     Lumberman, Chicago, Illinois, Vol. 2.
                '                       i
Fenwick, G. H.  Unpublished manuscript.  Survey of the Submerged Vascular
     Vegetation of Eastern Bay and Adjacent Tributaries of the Chesapeake
     Bay, Maryland:  June-September, 1976.
                i           •            I                                    —
Funkhouser, J. W. and W._R.JEvitt. ..1959.  Preparation Techniquesjfor Acid-
     >Insoluble Microfossils.  Micropaleontology 5:369-375.                   ";
 BOTTOM OF
 IMAGE AREA-
 OUTSIDE -
 DIMENSION
 FOR TABLES
'AND iLLUS-

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Han, G.  1972.  The -Delineation of an Exclusion Area Around the  Chestertown
     Outfall on the Chester River and the Back River Sewage Treatment Outfall.
     Chesapeake Bay Institute Special Report 26.

Hohn, M. H. and J. Hellerman.  1963.  Taxonomy and Structure  of  Diatom
     Population from Three Eastern North American Rivers  Using Three Sampling
     Methods.  Transactions of the American Microscopial  Society 82:250-329.

Hollander, M. and D. A. Wolfe.  1973.  Non-parametric Statistical  Methods.
     John Wiley and Sons, New York.  115 pp.

Hustedt, F.  1930.  Die Susswasser-flora Mitteleuropas.   Printed in  Germany.
     466 pp.

James, H. F.  1928.  The Agricultural Industry of Southeastern Pennsylvania:
     A Study in Economic Geography.  Ph. D. Thesis, University of
     Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Johnson, G. F.  1929.  Agriculture in Pennsylvania:  A Study  of  Trends,
     CouRty and State, since 1840.  Pennsylvania Department of Agri-culture
     General Bulletin, No. 484.  Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.  94 pp.

Johnston, G. W.  1881.  History of Cecil County, Maryland, and the Early
     Settlements Around the Head of Chesapeake Bay and on the Delaware  River.
     Reprinted by the Baltimore Regional Publishing Company,  Baltimore,
     Maryland.  548 pp.

Latrobe, B. H.  1817.  The Susquehanna River Survey Map.   Commissioned  by the
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Lemon, J. T.  1972.  The Best Poor Man's Country:  A Geographical Study of
     Early Southeastern Pennsylvania.  The Johns Hopkins  Press,  Baltimore,
     Maryland.  295 pp.

Lintner, S. F.  Unpublished manuscript.  The Susquehanna  River Survey Map.

Livingstone, D. A.  1968.  Some Interstadial and Postglacial  Pollen  Diagrams
    . from Eastern Canada.  Ecological Monographs.  38:87-125.

Lowe, R. L.  1974.  Environmental Requirements and Pollution  Tolerance  of
     Freshwater Diatoms.  EPA-670/4-74-005, U. S. Environmental  Protection
     Agency, Washington, D. C.  333 pp.

Martin, A. C. and F. M. Uhler.  1939.  Food of Game Ducks in  the United
     States and Canada.  U. S. Department of Agriculture  Technical Bulletin
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     tling Velocity.  International Association of Hydraulic  Research,  4th
     Meeting.  514 pp.
                                     92

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Miller, A. E.  1949.   Cecil  County, Maryland:   A Study  in  Local  History.   C
     and L Print and  Specialty Company,  Elkton, Maryland.   173 pp.

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     Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin,  Washington,  D.  C.
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     Arnold Ltd., London.  610 pp.

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~~_	State University Press, Ames, Iowa. J>93 pp.  ....._.  	„		
                                     93

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     145 pp.

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                                     94

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        U.  S.  Bureau  of  the Census,  Department of Commerce.   Census Data for years
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         _'~  University  Press,  New Haven, Connecticut,   pp.  89-99.
BEGIN
BOTTOrv; OF
IMAGE-ARE
OUTS! DC
DIMENSION,

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                                  APPENDIX
             MODIFICATION OF METHODS IN QUALITY ASSURANCE REPORT

Diatom Extraction Procedure
Materials:  50 mi beakers
            80-95% H202 (hydrogen peroxide)
            25% HCS,
            HNOs (concentrated)
            K2Cr207
            95% EtOH
            600 ma beakers
Method:
1.  Weigh beakers (50 mJl beakers).
2.  Place one (1) mi sediment sample in beaker and reweigh.
3.  Place in drying oven overnight and reweigh.
4.  Add 25 mi H202 and place watch glass over beaker.
    a.  Let stand for one hour to overnight; swirling occasionally to reduce
        foam.
    b.  Warm over low heat (@80 C); be careful not to let it foam over; con-
        tinue heating until the reaction begins to boil  exothermically and
        produce "white smoke."
    c.  Remove from heat.  When reaction is complete, add distilled H20 and
        let stand overnight.
(This step disperses the sample and oxidizes some organics.)
5.  Carefully decant.                                                        j
6.  Add 25 mi 25% HCfc, and heat for 30 minutes.  Remove from heat and add dis-
    tilled water.  Let stand for 24 hours.                                   ;
(This step removes carbonates and small fragments.)                          j
7.  Carefully decant.                                                      	:
                                     96

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       8.  Add 25 ml concentrated HN03 and a pinch of K2Cr207.  Boil for two  hours.
           Remove from heat, add H20 and let stand for 24 hours.
       (This step oxidizes organics.)
      : 9.  Carefully decant.
      10.  Add distilled H20 and let stand for 24 hours "(Wash #1).	
      11.  Carefully decant.                  ;
      12.  Wash  #2.    .;•
      13.  Carefully decant.
      14.  Wash  #3.    ;            '           I
      15.  Carefully decant.                  ;
      16.- SQUIRT  in distilled  H20  to  the 40 mi mark and wait 30  seconds.   Pour —  -:
       ;    supernatant into 600 ma  beaker.  Repeat this 9 more  times.   (This  step
       :    is  used  to remove the coarse fraction of the sample.)
           a.  After the 10   decantation, place the beaker and residue in  the  drying
               oven. - After 24  hours weigh beaker and residue.  Clean  the beaker and
               reweigh.                       !                                       ;
           b.  Let  the beaker with  supernatant stand for 24 hours.                   ;
       17.  Pour  off supernatant carefully.    \                                       \
       18.  Transfer residue to  clean 50 m£ beaker (pre-weighed).   Use  95% EtOH.  Put
           in  drying oven. .                   j
       19.  Allow to sit at  room temperature and then weigh.                          ;
       20.  Add 10 ml distilled  water and  stir with soft tip to  disperse.             i
                       I                       \                                       !
       21.  Transfer sample  to storage  bottle  (premarked at 50 mi  volume).   (Use     :
           distilled H20 to store  diatoms.)   |                                       I
       Methods  described above are  a modification by James Stasz of Funkhouser,  John i
       W. and William R. Evitt  (1959).  Preparation Techniques for Acid-Insoluble    j
       Microfossils, Micropaleontology, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 369-375.                   j
LAST L
OF TD

BOTTOM Of
IMAGE ARE/i
OUTSIDE
DIMENSION!
FOR TADLhS
•AND ILLUS-

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Diatom Slide Preparation

Materials:  Corning plain micro slides 3 x 1"
            Corning cover glass No. 1  22 mm2
            1 m£ tuberculin syringes
            1 m£ graduated glass pipets
            Wanning plate and hot plate
            Hyrax mounting medium

Method:

     The diatoms are diluted in distilled water to desired concentration (dif-
ferent for every sample), and then 0.06 mi of this solution are measured onto
a cover slip using a graduated glass pipet attached to a tuberculin syringe.
The cover slips are heated over a warming plate until  the water drop dries
(about 15 minutes).  One drop of Hyrax is added to each cover slip and two
coverslips are permanently mounted to one slide.
                                      98

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                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
     EPA 600/8-80-040
                              2.
SAV 3
                                                           3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TIJLE AND SUBTITLE
  BIOSTRATIGRAPHY OF  CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
  TRIBUTARIES - A Feasibility Study
                                                           5. REPORT DATE
                                           Date of Approval
                                           April. 1980
                           6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

  Grace S. Brush, Frank W.  Davis, Sherri Rumer
                                                           8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
  Department of Geography and Environmental Engineering
  The Johns Hopkins University
  Baltimore, Maryland   21218
                            10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.

                              2BA711
                            11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                              Grant 0R805962
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
  Chesapeake Bay  Program
  2083 West Street, Suite 5-G
  Annapolis, Maryland  21401	
                            13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                              Final  7-1-78 to 10-31-79
                            14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
  Seeds of submerged aquatic vegetation  (SAV),  diatoms and pollen  of terrestrial
  plants extracted  from sedimentary cores  1  to  1.5 m long, in estuarine tributaries,
  yield information regarding changes in SAV populations, eutrophication and
  sedimentation  rates since European settlement.   Cores taken from undisturbed
  depositional areas represent regional  conditions with respect  to eutrophication and
  sedimentation,  because diatoms and pollen  are affected by estuarine transport pro-
  cesses in  such a  manner that local patchiness is erased but regional differences
  are not obliterated.  Vertical (historical)  changes in diatom  and pollen
  distributions  therefore can be described for  a whole region with only a few cores
  because the data  from 1 sample at the  locale  is representative of the whole
  locale.
17.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                              b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                         c.  COSATI Field/Group
                                                Agriculture, Biostrati-
                                                graphy, Chesapeake Bay,
                                                core, diatom,  estuary,
                                                eutrophication,  pollen,
                                                sedimentation,  seed,
                                                settlement, SAV,  tributa
                                          -y
 8. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
  Release  unlimited
                                              19. SECURITY CLASS (This Reportt'
                                                unclassified
                                          21. NO. OF PAGES
                                              98
                                              20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                                                unclassified
                                                                          22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION is OBSOLETE

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