United States
          Environmental Protection
          Agency
                Air Pollution Training Institute
                MD20
                Environmental Research Center
                Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
EPA 450/2-81-075
October, 1981
          Air
vvEPA
APTI
Course 423
Dispersion of Air Pollution:
Theory and  Model
Application
          Student Workbook

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United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Air Pollution Training Institute
MD20
Environmental Research Center
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
EPA 450/2-81-075
October, 1981
Air
APTI
Course 423
Dispersion  of Air Pollution:
Theory and  Model
Application

Student  Workbook
Technical Content:
D. R. Bullard

Northrop Services, Inc.
P.O. Box 12313
Research Triangle Park, NC 27709

Under Contract No.
68-02-2374
EPA Project Officer
R. E. Townsend

United States Environmental Protection Agency
Manpower and Technical Information Branch
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711

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                                  Notice

This is not an official policy and standards document. The opinions and selections
are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Environmental Protection
Agency. Every attempt has been made to represent the present state of the art as
well as subject areas still under evaluation. Any mention of products or organiza-
tions does not constitute endorsement  by the United States Environmental Protec-
tion Agency.
This document is issued by the Manpower and Technical Information Branch,
Control Programs Development Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Stan-
dards, USEPA. It was developed for use in training courses presented by the EPA
Air Pollution Training Institute and others receiving contractual or grant support
from the Institute. Other organizations are welcome to use the document.
  Sets of slides and films designed for use in the training course of which this
publication is a part may be borrowed from the Air Pollution Training Institute
upon written request. The slides may be freely copied.  Some films may be copied;
others must be purchased from the commercial distributor.
                                       11

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                              Introduction

The Air Pollution Training Institute has developed Course 423, Dispersion of Air
Pollution—Theory and Model Application, to train meteorologists, engineers, and
physical scientists responsible for measuring and evaluating meteorological factors
that affect the dispersion and concentration of pollutants in the atmosphere.
Meteorological factors and the role they play in the transport and dispersion of air
pollution are presented. You will have an opportunity to calculate estimates of
continuous-release pollutant concentrations and become familiar with
meteorological instruments. Discussions will be held to enable you to evaluate air
pollution control strategies and to plan and interpret surveys.
  This workbook is designed to provide you with a guide to the lecture materials.
Included herein are the course goal, course objectives,  and chapter objectives and
outlines.  A study guide lists reading assignments and homework problems
associated with this course. The homework problems are included in this workbook.

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                         Table of Contents

Course Goal and Objectives	,	0-1
Study Guide	0-3
Chapter 1:  Registration, Course Information, and Pretest	1-1
Chapter 2:  Air Pollution Meteorology 1	2-1
Chapter 3:  Air Pollution Meteorology II	3-1
Chapter 4:  Turbulence and Diffusion I (video)	4-1
Chapter 5:  Turbulence and Diffusion n (video)	5-1
Chapter 6:  Turbulence and Diffusion III (video)	6-1
Chapter 7:  Effective StackHeight and Plume Rise	7-1
Chapter 8:  Problem Set I: Plume Rise	8-1
Chapter 9: Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates	9-1
Chapter 10: Class Exercise 1: Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates:
            Stability and Receptor Distance	10-1
Chapter 11: Atmospheric Dispersion Parameters in Gaussian Plume
            Modeling I and  II	11-1
Chapter 12: Problem Set II:  Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates	12-1
Chapter 13: Air Quality Models on UNAMAP	13-1
Chapter 14: Introduction to the Guideline on Air Quality Modeling	14-1
Chapter 15: Elements and Applications of the Single Source
            (CRSTER) Model	15-1
Chapter 16: Elements of the  Expected Exceedance Method (EXEX)	16-1
Chapter 17: Elements and Applications of the Industrial Source Complex (ISC)
            Model	17-1
Chapter 18: Elements and Applications of the Multiple Source (RAM) Model. . . 18-1
Chapter 19: Elements and Applications of the Complex  Terrain
            (VALLEY) Model	19-1
Chapter 20: Elements and Applications of the Ozone Isopleth
            (EKMA/OZIPP) Model	20-1
Chapter 21: Elements and Applications of the Mobile (MOBILE1) Model	21-1
Chapter 22: Shoreline Fumigation Model	22-1
Appendix:  	A-l
       A-l. Journal of Applied Meteorology	A-l-1
       A-2. On the Criteria  for the Occurence of Fumigation Inland
            from a Large Lake	A-2-1
       A-3. Cumulative Standardized Normal Distribution $(t)	A-3-1

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                              Attachments
Attachment 2-1.
Attachment 2-2.
Attachment 2-3.
Attachment 2-4.
Attachment 3-1.
Attachment 5-1.
Attachment 7-1.
Attachment 8-1.
Attachment 9-1.
Attachment 12-1
Attachment 13-1
Attachment 14-1
Attachment 15-1
Attachment 19-1
 Brookhaven National Laboratories, Gustiness Classification. .  -2-2
 Nuclear Safety Guide #23	2-3
 Oak Ridge data. .       	2-3
 Richardson number	2-4
 Climatic changes produced by cities	3-3
 Roughness lengths for various surfaces	5-3
 Dispersion Estimate Suggestion No. 2 (revised) 1973	7-3
 Problem set 1: plume rise.     	8-3
 Dispersion Estimate Suggestion No.  1, November 7, 1972	9-5
. Problem set 2: atmospheric dispersion estimates	12-3
. A partial model listing of UNAMAP     	13-3
. Modeling bibliography. .          	14-3
. Hourly surface observation station listing	    	15-3
. VALLEY model estimate of x 24-hour maximum	19-3
                                     VI

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                   Course Goal  and Objectives

Course Goal

The purpose of APTI Course 423, Dispersion of Air Pollution — Theory and Model
Application, is to familiarize the students with the development of selected theories
of dispersion, current thinking and research in dispersion modeling,  and the
application of dispersion and plume rise equations to actual situations.

Course Objectives

Upon completion of this course, you should be able to:
   1. recall the effect that topography has on the dispersion of  air pollution, the
     basic meteorological  factors that influence air pollution dispersion,  and the
     effect of turbulence on dispersion of air pollution.
   2. solve dispersion estimate problems of air pollution transport from source to
     expected concentrations at receptors using the Workbook  of Atmospheric
     Dispersion Estimates (WADE) by D. Bruce Turner.
   3. solve plume rise estimate problems in various environmental stability situa-
     tions using the methods proposed by G.  A. Briggs and endorsed by the
     Environmental Protection Agency.
   4. solve problems for comparison of differences in magnitude between sigma y
     and  sigma z values used in air quality modeling.
   5. select an air quality dispersion model to estimate the concentration values at
     receptor locations by using the Guideline on Air Quality Models; the
     Workbook for Comparison of Air Quality Models; and sufficient information
     about air quality models available, topography,  meteorology, climatology,
     source emissions data, and a particular site situation.
                                      0-1

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                              Study Guide

Reading Assignments

The following assignments should be completed as indicated:

                          Prior to Arrival for Class
  1. scan Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates by Turner, particularly
     chapter 3.*
  2. scan Plume Rise by Briggs.*
  3. scan Dispersion Estimates Suggestion no. 2 by Turner,  revised 1973 (Attach-
     ment 7-1).
  4. scan Plume Rise from Multiple Sources by Briggs.*
  5. read Determination of Atmospheric Diffusion Parameters by R. R. Draxler,
     1977.*
  6. scan Dispersion Notes by S. P. S. Arya.*
  7. scan Consequences of Effluent Release by Gifford.*
  8. review Air Pollution Meteorology by Turner, Sept. 1975.

                                Monday Night
  1. review Dispersion Estimates Suggestion no. 2, revised 1973 (Attachment 7-1).
  2. review precourse material by R. R. Draxler.

                                Tuesday Night
  1. review Guideline on Air Quality Models EPA-450/2-78-027.
  2. review User's Guide to PTXXX Models.

                               Thursday Night
  1. review all materials, notes, for posttest on Friday.

Homework Problems

The following problems should be completed when indicated:
  1. Problem set 1:  plume rise, due Tuesday morning.
  2. Problem set 2:  atmospheric dispersion estimates, due Wednesday morning.
*Found in Selected Readings Packet sent prior to course offering.


                                     0-3

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                  Chapter  1
    Registration,  Course Information,
                     and Pretest
                     Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the course structure and objectives, to have you meet
instructors and other students, to take the pretest, and to receive pertinent
logistical information.


                   Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be familiar with the basic content and
structure of this course. There are no testable objectives for this chapter.


                    Chapter Outline

  I.  Introduction
 II.  Course structure and requirements
III.  Registration
IV.  Pretest
                            1-1

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                      Chapter   2
          Air Pollution Meteorology I
                          Chapter  Goal

To familiarize you with the meteorological scales of motion, important
meteorological factors that influence dispersion, and the large-scale meteorological
factors that influence air pollution dispersion.


                      Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. identify the meteorological scales of motion of the atmosphere and the rela-
    tive distances that characterize them.
  2. recall the important meteorological factors that influence dispersion.
  3. recall the large-scale meteorological factors that influence air pollution
    dispersion.


                        Chapter Outline

  I. Meteorological scales of motion
    A. Microscale
    B. Mesoscale
    C. Synoptic scale
    D. Macroscale
 II. Meteorological factors influencing dispersion
    A. Primary
    B. Secondary
III. Large-scale meteorological factors influencing air pollution
    A. Dispersion anticyclones
    B. Frontal trapping
    C. Shoreline winds
                                 2-1

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Attachment 2-1. Brookhaven National Laboratories gustiness classifications.
                             2-2

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                           Attachment 2-2. Nuclear Safety Guide #23.
Classification of atmospheric stability
Stability
classification
Extremely unstable
Moderately unstable
Slightly unstable
Neutral
Slightly stable
Moderately stable
Extremely stable
Pasquill
categories
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
V
(degrees)
25.0°
20.0°
15.0°
10.0°
5.0°
2.5°
1.7°
Temperature change
with height (°C/100 m)
<-1.9
-1.9 to -1.7
-1.7 to -1.5
-1.5 to -0.5
-0.5 to 1.5
1.5 to 4.0
>4.0
*Standard deviation of horizontal wind direction fluctuation over a period of 15 minutes to one
 hour. The values shown are averages for each stability classification.
Extracted from Safety Guide 23: Onsite Meteorological Programs (Nuclear Regulatory Comission).
  Attachment 2-3. Oak Ridge data: Pasquill stability categories versus temperature difference*
                                       and wind speed.
Temperature
gradient
(°C/30.5 m)
<-3.1 to -2.0
-1.9 to -1.1
-1.0 to -0.4
-0.3 to ±0.0
+ 0.1 to +1.1
+ 1.2 to +2.3
+ 2.4 to +3.5
Wind speed (m/s)
0-1.4
A
A-B
B
D
F
F-G
G
1.5-3.1
A-B
B
B-C
D
E-F
F
F-G
3.2-4.9
B
BC
C
D
E
E-F
F
5.0-6.7
B-C
C
C-D
D
D-E
(E)
—
6.8
(C)
C-D
D
D
D
—
—
*Temperature difference in °C per 30.5 m from 1.2 m to 41 m.
From AEC, Oak Ridge, TN.
                                             2-3

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                             Attachment 2-4. Richardson number.
 Where:
g= gravitational constant
T = average temperature through layer of concern
307 3z = change of potential temperature with height
du/dz = change of wind speed with height
0.25
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                      Chapter  3
         Air  Pollution Meteorology II
                          Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with topographical effects on air pollution, urban effects on
meteorology and climate, and the meteorological situations that cause problems in
making dispersion estimates.


                       Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  apply the effects of a particular topographical feature to atmospheric motion
     and explain the resulting effects on plume dispersion.
  2.  explain how urban areas modify the meteorology and climate of the urban
     area itself and of the surrounding area.
  3.  explain the dispersion of plumes for various meteorological situations.
  4.  describe the urban heat island effect on atmospheric circulation and
     temperatures.


                        Chapter Outline

  I.  Topographical influences on dispersion
     A.  Plane
     B. Mountain and valley
     C. Shoreline
 II.  Urban effect on meteorology and climate
     A. Urban effects
     B. Effects on meteorology
     C. Effects on climate
 III.  Meteorological situations that cause problems in making dispersion estimates
     A. Fumigation
     B. Trapping
     C. Stability A category
     D. Flow reversal
     E. Background concentrations
     F. Elevated receptor
                                  3-1

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     Attachment 3-1. Climatic changes produced by cities.
                                          Comparison with
  Element                                   rural environs
  Contaminants
    dust particles	10 times more
    sulfur dioxide	5 times more
    carbon dioxide	10 times more
    carbon monoxide	25 times more

  Radiation
    total on horizontal surface	15 to 20% less
    ultraviolet, winter	30% less
    ultraviolet, summer	5% less

  Cloudiness
    clouds	5 to 10% more
    fog, winter	100% more
    fog, summer	30% more

  Precipitation
    amounts	5 to 10% more
    days with 0.2 inches	10% more

  Temperature
    annual mean	1 to 1.5 °F more
    winter minima	2 to 3.0 °F more

  Relative humidity
    annual mean	6% less
    winter	2% less
    summer	8% less

  Wind speed
    annual mean	20 to 30% less
    extreme gusts	10 to 20% less
    calms	5 to  20% more
Taken from Symposium: Air Over Cities,  SEC Technical
Report A62-5, Public Health Service, Robert A. Taft
Sanitary Engineering Center, Cincinnati, Ohio, 1961.
                           3-3

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                    Chapter  4
         Turbulence  and  Diffusion  I
                (video presentation)
                       Chapter Goal

To introduce you to the nature of wind, the importance of average wind, and the
meaning and use of standard deviation of wind direction fluctuations, roughness
factor, and turbulence.
                    Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. select the statement that describes the relationship of average wind to plume
    transport.
  2. select the statement that describes the relationship of wind direction fluctua-
    tions to plume dispersion.
                      Chapter Outline
  I. Plume rise
    A. Wind
    B. Effluent temperature
    C. Ambient temperature
 II. Transport
    A. Weather maps
    B. Airport observations
    C. Special observations
 III. Diffusion
    A. Dilution
    B. Difficult to treat
 IV. Removal
    A. Air chemistry
    B. Radioactive
    C. Washout
    D. Rainout
    E. Deposition
                              4-1

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V. Wind properties
   A.  Recorded by anemometer
   B.  Height above ground
   C.  Fluctuations
   D.  Statistics of V' and W'
   E.  Standard deviations
   F.  Turbulence
   G.  Basic properties of heat convection
   H.  Rates of mechanical turbulence to heat convection
                                  4-2

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                    Chapter  5
         Turbulence and Diffusion II
                (video  presentation)
                        Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the qualitative meaning of the Richardson number and its
relationship to the Monin-Obukhov number; and with roughness factor and wind
profiles.


                    Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. equate Richardson numbers to turbulent production.
  2. use a wind profile to obtain roughness factor.


                      Chapter Outline

  I. Richardson number
    A. Flux Richardson number
    B. Gradient Richardson number
    C. Richardson number versus atmospheric conditions
 II. Monin-Obukhov number
    A. Defined in relation to Richardson number
    B. Properties
III. Mean wind described quantitatively
    A. Properties of mean wind in surface layer
    B. Validity problems
    C. Increased accuracy of wind estimation
IV. Statistics of the wind
    A. Normalized standard deviation of vertical wind speed
    B. Meaning of normalized standard deviation
                              5-1

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                   Attachment 5-1. Roughness lengths for various surfaces.
Type of surface
Fir forest
Citrus orchard
Large city (Tokyo)
Corn
*u5 2 = 35 cm sec'1
u5 2= 198 cm sec"'
Corn
U4 0 = 29 cm sec'1
u, o = 212 cm sec'1
Wheat
u, 7 = 190 cm sec'1
U] 7 = 384 cm sec'1
Grass
u2 0 = 148 cm sec'1
u2 0= 343 cm sec'1
u2 o = 622 cm sec'1
Alfalfa brome
u2 2 = 260 cm sec'1
u2 2 = 625 cm sec"'
Grass
Smooth desert
Dry lake bed
Tarmac
Smooth mud flats
h(cm)
555
335

300
220
60
60-70
15.2
5-6
4
2-3




z,,(cm)
283.0
198.0
165.0
127.0
71.5
84.5
74.2
23.3
22.0
15.4
11.4
8.0
2.72
2.45
0.75
0.14
0.32
0.03
0.003
0.002
0.001
Author
Baumgartner (1956)
Kepner et al. (1942)
Yamamoto and Shimanuki (1964)
Wright and Lemon (1962)
Wright and Lemon (1962)
Penman and Long (1960)
Deacon (1953)
Tanner and Pelton (1960b)
Rider et al. (1963)
Rider (1954)
Deacon (1953)
Vehrencamp (1951)
Rider et al. (1963)
Deacon (1953)
*The subscript gives the height (in meters) above the ground at which the wind speed, u, is
 measured.
                                            5-3

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                    Chapter  6
        Turbulence and Diffusion  III

                 (video presentation)



                        Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with some experimental data that is used to assess the sigma
values; the relationships of the Richardson number, Monin-Obukhov length, and
other sigma values.


                     Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. select the statement that describes the use of experimental data to obtain
    sigma values.
  2. identify the terms in the Richardson number and their meaning in obtaining
    a representative dimensionless number.


                      Chapter Outline

  I. Fluctuation of wind direction
    A. Complicated
    B. Azimuth
    C. Weak wind, strong insolation, rapid fluctuation
    D. Strong wind, weak insolation, little fluctuation
 II. Monin-Obukhov theory
    A. Problems
    B. Changes
    C. Pine Grove Mills study
III. Taylor diffusion theorem
    A. Description
    B. Assumptions by Taylor
IV. Treatment of dispersion in practice
    A. Direct measurements
    B. Estimate aA and aE
 V. Graphical form of dispersion
    A. Pasquill-Gifford categories
    B. Assumptions
                                6-1

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                     Chapter  7
 Effective Stack Height  and  Plume  Rise
                        Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the method of calculating effective stack height and plume
rise as suggested by Dr. Gary Briggs and endorsed by USEPA; and to compare
Briggs' plume rise formula with other plume rise formulas available.


                     Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. calculate effective stack height and final plume rise, given the EPA endorsed
    plume rise formulas by Briggs and sufficient information about a source and
    atmospheric conditions.
  2. calculate plume rise from formulas by Davidson-Bryant, Holland, etc., to
    contrast with that calculated by the Briggs method.


                       Chapter Outline

  I. Background
    A. Early attempts
    B. Contradicting formulas
 II. Behavior of plume
    A. Aerodynamic effects
       1. Stack effects
       2. Plume rise
       3. Dispersion
 III. Observations
    A. Modeling studies
    B. Atmospheric studies
 IV. Plume rise formulas
    A. Earlier formulas
    B. Current formulas
                                7-1

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                Attachment 7-1. Dispersion estimate suggestion no. 2 (revised).


                              MODEL APPLICATION BRANCH

Subject:
Estimate of Plume Rise
  It was brought to my attention last month by Mr. Marvin Green of the Department of
Environmental Protection of the State of New Jersey, and by Mr. Ed Hurt of the Monitoring and
Data Evaluation Division, EPA  that the use of the equation (12) for stable conditions results in
estimates for some x in excess of the final rise. The correction of this error in calculations is the
reason for this revision.
  We, in the Model Application Branch, have used the equations of Briggs to estimate plume rise
for  several years now.  Gary Briggs has revised this several times and we have tried to keep up with
these revisions.
Briggs, Gary A., 1969. Plume Rise. USAEC Critical Review Series. TID-25075. National Technical
Information Service, Springfield, Va. 22151.

Briggs, Gary A., 1971. Some Recent Analyses of Plume Rise Observation, pp. 1029-1032, in Pro-
ceedings of the Second International Clean Air Congress, edited by H. M. Englund and W. T.
Berry. New York: Academic Press.

Briggs, Gary A., 1972. Discussion on Chimney Plumes in Neutral and Stable Surroundings. Atmos.
Environ. 6, 507-510 (Jul 72).
The following symbols are used:
   TT      a constant = 3.14
   g      gravitational acceleration = 9.80 m sec"2
   T      ambient air temperature, K
   u      average wind speed at stack level, m sec"1
   v,      stack gas exit velocity, m sec"1
   d      top inside stack diameter, m
   T,     stack gas exit temperature, K
   Vf     stack gas volume flow, m3 sec"1
   F      buoyancy flux parameter, m* sec"3
   x*     distance at which atmospheric turbulence begins to dominate entrainment, m
   AH     plume rise above stack top, m
   x      downwind distance from the source,  m
   xf      distance downwind to final rise, m
   d0/dz   vertical potential temperature gradient of atmosphere,  K m*1
   s       restoring acceleration per unit vertical displacement for adiabatic motion in the
          atmosphere—a stability parameter, sec"2

The following procedures  are consistent with the way in which we calculate Briggs plume rise:
   If T is not given, we have been using
     T= 293 K (68 °F) for design calculations

     V,= |:v,d*=0.785 [v,d2]                                                       (1)


                                                                                 (2)
                                             7-3

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For unstable or neutral conditions:
  x* = 14 F5'8     for F less than 55                                                (3)
  x* = 34 P/5     for F greater than or equal to 55                                 (4)
  The distance of the final rise is: x,= 3.5 x*                                       (5)
The final plume rise:
  AH_1.6 F1/3 (3.5 x*)2/3                                                         ,gs
               u
For x less than the distance of final rise:
For stable conditions, need dd/dz
  If d6/dz is not given use:
  0.02 °K nT1 for stability E
  0.035  °K nT1 for stability F
                                                                                  (8)
Calculate
and

AH= — —f — (plume rise for calm conditions)                                        (10)

Use the smaller of these two AH's.
This is the final rise.
The distance to final rise is:
If you want to calculate rise for a downwind x less than x/; this is given by
        1  fi Fi/SvZ/a
  *H=L6FuX                                                                 (12)

which is the same equation used for unstable and neutral conditions.
                                            7-4

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REVISION    May 1, 1973

  Although under stable conditions the plume begins to rise according to the 2/3 power with
distance, it does not continue the same rate of rise to the distance of final rise, x.f, given by equation
(11). Therefore equation (12) will give a AH higher than the final rise at distances beyond about
2/3 xf. It is therefore recommended that when using equation (12),  the result be compared with the
final rise and the smaller value used. In effect then,  for determining the  plume rise at a distance, x,
during stable conditions, the minimum value of the three values of AH determined  by equations
(9), (10) and (12) should be used.
  A FORTRAN subroutine to perform these calculations is included here in case it is of use to you.
This is used by a main program by using a CALL BEHO72 statement which has all the variables
included in parenthesis following the BEHO72 as it is in  the subroutine statement. Note that both
the final plume height, HF, and the plume  height at the distance X, HX, are calculated and given
as output.  By having X equal 0 upon entry  to the subroutine,  only the final rise will be  determined.
  This subroutine is one of several to be put on the UNAMAP network in the near  future.
  I want to acknowledge Roger Thompson's valuable assistance in keeping up with  plume rise
developments prior to his assignment for University Training,  and to Russ Lee, Marvin Green, and
Ed Burt who have pointed  out some recent changes.

                                                      D. Bruce Turner, NOAA
                                                            Acting Chief
                                                     Model Application Branch
                                              7-5

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        SOURCE    PROGRAM    LISTING


      04/30/73


     SUBROUTINE BEH072    (HF\HX,HMW,F,DELHF,DISTF,DELHX,HP,TS,YS,D,VF,KST,U,X,
     DTHDZ,
       1 T,P)
C          BEH072   (BRIGGS EFFECTIVE HEIGHT)        OCTOBER 1972
C          D. B. TURNER. RESEARCH METEOROLOGIST* MODEL APPLICATIONS  BRANCH,
C           METEOROLOGY LABORATORY, ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY.
C             ROOM 316B, NCHS BUILDING, RTP. PHONE (919)  549-8411  EXT  4564
C          MAILING ADDRESS:  MTL.EPA, RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK, NC 27711.
C            *ON ASSIGNMENT FROM NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC
C                 ADMINISTRATION, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.
C            THIS DIFFERS FROM THE AUGUST 1972 VERSION IN STATEMENT  24+1:
C             THE CONSTANT 2.4 PREVIOUSLY HAS 2.9, AND IN STATEMENT  27:
C             THE CONSTANT 3.14159 PREVIOUSLY HAS 2.4 .
C          THIS VERSION OF BRIGGS EFFECTIVE HEIGHT TO CALCULATE PLUME  RISE
C           FROM A SINGLE SOURCE IS BASED ON:
C             1)  BRIGGS.GARY A., 1971: SOME RECENT ANALYSES OF PLUME  RISE
C                  OBSERVATION. PP 1029 - 1032 IN PROCEEDINGS OF THE SECOND
C                  INTERNATIONAL CLEAN AIR CONGRESS, EDITED BY H.M.  ENGLUND
C                  AND W.T. BEERY. ACADEMIC PRESS, NEH YORK.
C             2)  BRIGGS.GARY A., 1972: DISCUSSION ON CHIMNEY PLUMES IN
C                  NEUTRAL AND STABLE SURROUNDINGS. ATMOS.  ENVIRON.  6, 507
C                  - 510. JULY 1972.
C          OUTPUT VARIABLES ARE....
C            HF    FINAL EFFECTIVE PLUME HEIGHT (METERS)
C            HX    EFFECTIVE PLUME HEIGHT FOR DISTANCE X  (MUTERS)
C            HMW   HEAT OUTPUT OF SOURCE (MW)
C            F     BUOYANCY FLUX (M**4/SEC**3)
C            DELHF FINAL PLUME RISE (METERS)
C            DISTF DISTANCE OF FINAL  PLUME RISE FROM SOURCE (KM)
C            DELHX PLUME RISE AT DISTANCE X (METERS)
C          INPUT VARIABLES ARE....
C            HP    PHYSICAL STACK HEIGHT (METERS)
C            TS    STACK GAS TEMPERATURE (DEG K)
C            VS    STACK GAS EXIT VELOCITY (M/SEC)
C            D     INSIDE STACK DIAMETER (METERS)
C            VF    STACK GAS VOLUMETRIC FLOW RATE (M**3/SEC)
C            JCST   STABILITY (CLASS), SEE PAGE 209 OF PASQUILL,
C                   ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION. CLASSES DEFINED BY....
C                     1  IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS A
C                     2 IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS B
                                        7-7

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C                     3 IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS C
C                     4 IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS D
C                     5 IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS E
C                     6 IS PASQUILL STABILITY CLASS F
C            U     HIND SPEED (M/SEC)
C            X     DOWNWIND DISTANCE (KM)
C            DTHDZ POTENTIAL TEMPERATURE LAPSE RATE (DEG K/METER)
C            T     AMBIENT AIR TEMPERATURE (DEG K)
C            P     AMBIENT AIR PRESSURE (MB)
C         THANKS TO DALE COVENTRY FOR HIS  HELPFUL DISCUSSION ON
C          PROGRAMMING PLUME RISE, TO ROGER THOMPSON FOR THE COMMENT
C          CARDS, AND TO RUSS LEE WHO REVISED THIS ACCORDING TO REFERENCE 1.
C         T = 0. MEANS NO AMBIENT TEMPERATURE GIVEN.  USE T = 293.
     1 T = 293.                                                                     3
     2 IF(P)3,3,4                                                                   4
C         P = 0. MEANS NO AMBIENT AIR PRESSURE GIVEN.  USE P = 960.
     3 P = 960.                                                                     5
C         IF VF IS NOT GIVEN, CALCULATE IT FROM STACK DATA.
     4 IF (VF)5,5,6                                                                 6
     5 VF = 0.785398*VS*D*D                                                         7
C         THE CONSTANT 0.785398 = PI/4
     6 F  = 3.12139*VF*(TS-T)/TS                                                    8
C         THE CONSTANT 3.12139 IS THE ACCELERATION DUE TO GRAVITY / PI
       HMW = 0.00011 21 7*F*P                                                         9
C         THE CONSTANT 0.00011217 = PI TIMES THE SPECIFIC HEAT OF AIR AT
C         CONSTANT PRESSURE (0.24 CAL/GM*DEG K) TIMES MOLECULAR WEIGHT
C         OF AIR (28.966 GM/GM.MOLE) DIVIDED BY IDEAL GAS CONSTANT
C         (0.0831  MB*M**3/GM.MOLE*DEG K)  AND ACCELERATION DUE TO GRAVITY
C         (9.80616 M/SEC*SEC) AND THEN MULTIPLIED BY  (4.1855E-06 MW/CAL
C         PER SEC) TO CONVERT THE ANSWER  TO MEGAWATTS.
C         GO TO APPROPRIATE BRANCH FOR STABILITY CONDITION GIVEN.
C         IF UNSTABLE OR NEUTRAL GO TO 7, IF STABLE GO TO 20.
       GO TO (7, 7, 7, 7,20, 20, 20), KST                                                10
C         DETERMINE APPROPRIATE FORMULA FOR CALCULATING XST, DISTANCE AT
C         WHICH TURBULENCE  BEGINS TO DOMINATE.  THE FORMULA USED DEPENDS
C         UPON BUOYANCY  FLUX.  STATEMENTS  8 AND 9 ARE  EQUATION (7).
     7 IF(F-55.)8,9,9                                                              11
     8 XST = 14.*F**0.625                                                          12
       GO TO 10                                                                    13
                                        7-8

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     9 XST = 34.*F**0.4                                                       14
    10 DISTF = 3.5*XST                                                        15
       DELHF = 1.6*F**0.333333*01 STF**0.666667/'J                              16
       IF(X)29,29,32                                                          17
C         IF X = 0.0, CALCULATE FINAL RISE ONLY, IF X IS GREATER THAN
C          0.0, CALCULATE RISE FOR DISTANCE = X ALSO.
    32 XM = 1000.*X                                                           18
C         XM IS X IN METERS,
C         STATEMENT 14 IS EQUATION (6), REFERENCE 1.
    14 DELHX = 1.6*F**0.333333*XM**0.666667/U                                 19
       IF(DELHX.6T.DELHF)DELHX=DELHF                                          20
       GO TO 30                                                               21
    20 IF(DTHDZ)21,21,24                                                      22
C         IF DTHOZ IS NEGATIVE OR ZERO ASSIGN TO IT A VALUE OF 0.02 OR
C          0.035 IF STABILITY IS SLIGHTLY STABLE OR STABLE, RESPECTIVELY.
    21 GO TO (7,7,7,7,22,23,23),KST                                           23
    22 DTHDZ =0.02                                                           24
       GO TO 24                                                               25
    23 DTHDZ = 0.035                                                          26
    24 S = 9.80616*DTHDZ/T                                                    27
C         THE CONSTANT 9.806IS IS THE ACCELERATION DUE TO GRAVITY.
C         S IS A STABILITY PARAMETER.
C         CALCULATE PLUME RISE ACCORDING TO EQUATION (4), RLFERENCE 1.
       DHA = 2.4*(F/(U*S))**0.333333                                          28
C         CALCULATE PLUME RISE BY EQUATION (5), REFERENCE 1 FOR LIGHT
C          WIND CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO MORTON, TAYLOR, AND TURNER.
       DELHF = 5.0*F**0.25/S**0.375                                           29
       IF(DHA-0£LHF)25,25,27                                                  30
    25 DELHF = DHA                                                            31
C          DISTANCE TO FINAL PLUME RISE IS GIVEN 8Y THE FOLLOWING
    27 DISTF = 3.14159*U/S**0.5                                               32
C          IF X « 0.0, CALCULATE FINAL RISE ONLY, IF X IS GREATER THAN
C           0.0, CALCULATE RISE FOR DISTANCE = X ALSO,
C          IF X IS ZERO OR LESS, GO TO 29 AND SET PLUME RISE AND DISTANCE
C           TO MAXIMUM PLUME RISE EQUAL TO ZERO.
       IF(X)29,29,33                                                           33
    33 XM - 1000.*X                                                            34
C          XM IS X IN METERS.
C          IF XM IS GREATER THAN THE DISTANCE TO THE POINT OF FINAL PLUME
C           RISE, SET PLUME RISE EQUAL TO FINAL PLUME RISE, OTHERWISE,
                                         7-9

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        CALCULATE  PLL'ME  RISE FROM EQUATION (6), REFERENCE 1.
     IF (XM-DISTF)14,14,28                                           35
  28 DELHX =  DELHF                                                   36
     GO TO 30                                                        37
  29 DELHX =0.                                                       38
     HX = 0.                                                          39
     GO TO 31                                                        40
        CALCULATE  EFFECTIVE HEIGHT AT DISTANCE X.
  30 HX = HP  + DELHX                                                 41
        CALCULATE  FINAL  EFFECTIVE HEIGHT.
  31 HF = HP  + DELHF                                                 42
     DISTF -  DISTF/1000.                                             43
     RETURN                             '                             44
     END                                                             45
87  COMMENT CARDS     1 CONTINUATION CARDS      21  NUMBERED STATEMENTS
                                     7-10

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                   Chapter  8
          Problem Set  1: Plume Rise
                      Chapter Goal

To reinforce the material presented in Chapter 7.


                   Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. calculate plume rise using specific data from Plume Rise by Briggs and
    atmospheric conditions specified by the problem.
  2. calculate plume rise enhancement using formulas found in Plume Rise from
    Multiple Sources by Briggs and data specified by the problem.
                             8-1

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                          Attachment 8-1. Problem set 1: plume rise.
                              Name	  Date_
The Tennessee Valley Authority's Colbert Power Generation Plant data may be found in Plume
Rise by Briggs. This data will be used throughout the problem set. Calculate the quantities called
for when the appropriate atmospheric conditions are given.
   8 Neutral and unstable,  when the wind speed is 5 meters per second.  Refer to Dispersion
    Estimate Suggestion Number 2 (revised) handout.
       1.  Find x*.
       2.  Find the distance to final plume rise, xf.
       3.  Find the Ah at 800 meters downwind.
       4.  Find the Ah at 1,500 meters downwind.
   • Stable, when the wind speed is 2 meters per second, the temperature is 280 K, and 36/dz is
    0.02 K per meter.
       5.  At what distance, x, is x equal to Tru/s1'2?
       6.  The x in question 5 above is important to plume rise calculations. Why?
       7.  Find the Ah at 800 meters downwind.
       8.  Use equation for calm conditions,  assuming an inversion at 500 meters, to find Ah.
   • As an estimate of possible enhancement in the plume rise from the three stacks at the Colbert
    Power Plant, assume a spacing of 100 meters, the number of stacks is three, and use the plume
    rise calculated in question 4 above as Ahi. Use the formulas found in Plume Rise from Mul-
    tiple  Sources by Briggs to calculate the spacing factor, S, the plume enhancement, £„,  and
    Ahn.
       9.  Find spacing factor, S.
      10.  Find plume enhancement, £„.
      11.  Find Ah,.
                                              8-3

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                     Chapter  9
      Atmospheric  Dispersion Estimates
                         Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the methods of solving dispersion estimate problems found
in air pollution using the Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates (WADE)
by D. B. Turner.
                      Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. select from the Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates the appro-
    priate formula and procedure for calculating dispersion concentrations given
    a specific air pollution situation with appropriate source data, atmospheric
    factors, and receptor locations.
  2. use the graphs and tables in the Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion
    Estimates to determine the appropriate data to use in the proper formula
    given the physical description and meteorological data about an air pollution
    problem.


                       Chapter  Outline

  I. Estimates of atmospheric dispersion
    A. Coordinate system (Figure 9-1)
    B. Dispersion equations (Figures 9-2  and 9-3)
    C. Standard deviations of wind directions
 II. Effective height of emission
    A. Plume rise (Holland's equation)
    B. Estimating required stack height
    C. Effects of evaporative cooling
    D. Effect of aerodynamic downwash
                                 9-1

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III. Special topics
    A. Inversion, breakup, fumigation
    B. Plume trapping
    C. Comparisons of ground-level concentration to effective stack height con-
        centration from elevated sources
    D. Total dosage
    E. Crosswind-integrated concentrations
    F. Sampling times
    G. Topography
    H. Area sources
IV. Example problems
 V. Appendices
                                                                   (x, - y, z)
                                                                   x,  - y, 0)
   Figure 9-1. Coordinate system showing Gaussian distributions in horizontal and vertical.
                                 7T(Tj,ff2U
   Where:    ayat = standard deviation of plume width and height
                      Figure 9-2. Generalized Gaussian equation.

                                       9-2

-------
 Downwind
concentration
(point source)
                                      c        .  .
                                      Source emission rate
    IT ["Average"] ["Horizontal"! ["Vertical"] ["Effective!
        wind      plume     plume    emission
      |_ speed J |_  spread  J |_ spread J |_  height J
                                                                 Receptor j
                                                                  location
                                                                  distance J
 Ground level
source/ground
 level receptor
                   _        . .
                   Source emission rate
                     FA1   TH1
                      WP
                     LsJ   LsJ
Elevated source/
  ground level
    receptor
                     c         .  .
                     Source emission rate
                   ' [A]  rHl rVl TE
                      W   P    P    E
                     LsJ  LsJ LsJ Ln
Elevated source/
  ground level  =
    receptor
                      Source emission rate
                  * rAi rHi rvi rEi rRi
                     W   P    P    E    L
                    LsJ LsJ LsJ LnJ LoJ
                              (not on plume centerline)
                Figure 9-3. Generalized Gaussian diffusion equation.
JJownwind Area source emission rate
(area source) *" [Average
wind
|_ speed

Adjusted
horizon
plume
spread

Vertical
plume
spread

Effective
emission
height

Receptor!
location
distance J
  Downwind
concentration
 (line source)
                  Line source emission rate
                      . _  fAl  [VI
                     VS   W   P
                          LsJ  LsJ
    average
 concentration
   S
=  E
  s=l

                           [Source emission rate] [Frequencies of w/s, w/d, stability]
                      n=l
 r-  TA1
V27T  W
      LsJN
   Downwind |
    distance
S L  factor
1ME1
   E
J LnJ:
             Figure 9-4. Special forms of Gaussian diffusion equation.
                                     9-3

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    Attachment 9-1. Dispersion estimate suggestion no. 1, November 7, 1972
                         (Model Application Branch).
Subject: Estimation of 3-hour and 24-hour average concentrations

In order to obtain some degree of uniformity in performing calculations of air
pollution concentrations from point sources among EPA's air pollution
meteorologists, the following suggestions are made:
  Calculate plume rise by using methods suggested by Briggs (1970) as modified by
his discussion (1972).
  Assume that estimates made using equations (excluding equation 5.12,  page 38)
and sigmas suggested by the  Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates
(WADE) are valid for averaging times up to one hour.
  To make  an estimate of concentrations for a longer averaging time such as
3-hours or 24-hours, perform calculations for each hour of the period and average
the hourly concentrations to  obtain the concentration for the longer averaging
time. Since  interest is frequently on the maximum concentration during this
period, the difficulty  is in designating the location (azimuth and range) of the
receptor that will receive the maximum impact from the source. If conditions are
relatively stationary during this period, the mean direction and the distance of
maximum for this stability and wind  speed can be used for an estimate of this loca-
tion.  For changing conditions,  calculations may need to be made at several recep-
tors to approximate the maximum.
  Because of interest in the estimation of short period maximum concentrations
(3-hour to 24-hour) with a frequency of occurrence of once per year, a computa-
tional scheme was recently developed by the Model Application Branch with
assistance from the Computer Techniques Group,  Division of Meteorology to
estimate the maximum 24-hour concentration for  a year for single sources. This
computational scheme can be considered a "brute force' approach as concentra-
tions  for each hour of the year 1964 (the only year that data from Asheville is
readily available for 24 hours per day with wind direction to 10°) are calculated
and the 24-hour concentration for each day is determined. Concentrations at 180
receptors (36 azimuths and 5 ranges)  are found. An Interim User's  Guide has been
made available for this system. It is anticipated  that technical review will require
some modification to  the calculations. Validation using air quality  data near a
point source is desirable, if suitable data can be found. A final User's Guide will be
prepared and  distributed by  the Model Application Branch within  the next several
months.
Briggs,  Gary A.,  1971. Some Recent Analyses of Plume Rise Observations, pp.
1029-1032, in Proceedings of the Second International Clean Air Congress, edited
by H. M. Englund and W. T. Berry, New York: Academic Press.
Briggs,  Gary A.,  1972. Discussion on Chimney Plumes in Neutral and Stable Sur-
roundings, Atmospheric Environment 6: 507-510.
                                      9-5

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                  Chapter  10
                  Class Exercise 1

    Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates:

       Stability and Receptor Distance



                       Chapter Goal

To reinforce the material presented in Chapter 9.


                    Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. work dispersion estimate problems, given adequate information about par-
    ticular situations.
  2. identify the different forms of the Gaussian equation and explain their
    application to dispersion estimate situations.


                     Chapter Outline

  I. Examples of dispersion estimates problems
    A.  Stability (Figure 10-1).
    B.  Centerline concentration from an elevated source, sunny summer after-
       noon (Figure 10-2).
    C.  Centerline concentration from ground-level source (Figure 10-3).
    D.  Centerline concentration from an elevated source, cloudy day, Stability D
       (Figure 10-4).
    E.  Off centerline concentration (Figure 10-5).


                     Support Material

D. B. Turner, Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates.
                             10-1

-------
         Example Problems  (Figures  10-1—10-5)
                       Student Worksheets
Given: sunny summer afternoon
Windspeed _
Insolation is_
Stability class is_
                  Figure 10-1. Stability: sunny summer afternoon.
Given: sunny summer afternoon
Where:
         u= 4 m/s
         elevated source
         H = 20m
         Q.= 100 g/s
Receptor distance 200 m
Srahility =
0 =
U =
fJy =
(J. —
H =
y =
exp- W=
1 1°' J
exp-'^ I"X]=
p L°v-J

1000m











               Figure 10-2. Receptor distance: sunny summer afternoon.
                                   10-2

-------
Given: clear night
Where:    u = 2m/s
          ground-level source
          Q_= 100 g/s
                           x ~
•m
Receptor distance 200 m
Stability =
0 =
u =
(T,. =
ni =
T_T 	
v —
-1/2 fH2!
exp 1/2 — =
1 L^J
«P- rxi=
F Lff/J
\=

1000 m











                       Figure 10-3. Receptor distance: clear night.
                                          10-3

-------
Given: stability "D"
Where:
           u = 4 m/s
           elevated source
           H = 20m
           Q_=100g/s
                                     iff exP
Receptor distance 200 m
Stability =
0 =
n =
ay —
ni ~
H =
y =
e,p- [«!] =
' 1°' J
exp-"« 1 X]=
L^-J
\ =

1000m











                        Figure 10-4. Receptor distance: stability "D".
                                             10-4

-------
Given: stability "B"

Where:    u = 4m/s
           ground-level source
           concentration 50 meters off centerline
           Q,= 100 g/s
Receptor distance 200 m
Stability =
0 =
u =
ny =
n.=
H =
•y =
-1/2 I"H2]
exp 1/2 — - =
1 l°S\
pxp-"2 Xl=
1 L°/J
X =

1000 m











                         Figure 10-5. Receptor distance: stability "B
                                              10-5

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                  Chapter  11
    Atmospheric Dispersion  Parameters
  in Gaussian Plume Modeling I  and  II
                       Chapter  Goal
To familiarize you with a few of the important atmospheric dispersion parameters
used in Gaussian plume modeling techniques. Emphasized are their development
and their similarities and differences.
                     Chapter Objective

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. calculate the Richardson number, Slade's sigma 6, Smith's P, and sigma y
    given sufficient meteorological data at a particular location.


                      Chapter Outline

  I. Theoretical basis of the Gaussian plume modeling and dispersion parameters
    A. Conservation of mass—diffusion equation
    B. Gradient transport theories
    C. Statistical theories of diffusion
    D. Lagrangian similarity theories
    E. Contemporary numerical models of dispersion
 II. Experimental evaluations of stability and dispersion parameters
    A. Stability parameters and typing schemes
    B. Diffusion measurement techniques
    C. Plume diffusion experiments
    D. Empirical sigma schemes
    E. Accuracy of dispersion estimates
                              11-1

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                Chapter  12
 Problem Set 2: Atmospheric Dispersion
                     Estimates
                     Chapter Goal

To reinforce the material presented in Chapters 9 and 10.


                  Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. work dispersion estimate problems given adequate information about par-
   ticular situations.
  2. identify the different forms of the Gaussian equation and explain their
   applications to dispersion estimate situations.


                   Support Material

D. B. Turner, Workbook of Atmospheric Dispersion Estimates.
                           12-1

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                     Attachment 12-1.  Problem set 2: dispersion estimates.
                         Name
Date
  A source emits 100 grams per second of effluent into the atmosphere with an effective stack
  height of 100 meters. A subsidence inversion at 500 meters above the surface limits vertical
  dispersion. The wind speed is 4 meters per second and the stability class is B. What is the
  ground-level, centerline concentration at 500 meters downwind from the source? At a distance of
  5 kilometers downwind, how many times higher is the ground-level, centerline concentration
  with the inversion than the concentration at the same receptor, if there was  no limit to vertical
  mixing?
  A proposed source is to emit 72 grams per second of SO2 from a stack  30 meters high with a
  diameter of  1.5 meters. The effluent gases are emitted at  a temperature of 394 K with an exit
  velocity of 13 meters per second. Assume the design ambient air temperature is 20°C. Use
  stability class A and Briggs' plume rise formulas to determine the critical wind speed for the
  stability class. Use Figure 12-1 and a downwind distance of 200 meters.
u
(m/s)
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Ah
(m)





H
(m)





Xu
Q
(/m2)





Q.
u
(g/m)





X
(g/m3)





                   Figure 12-1. Maximum concentration versus wind speed.
3.  The particle counts shown in Figure 12-2 were observed at sampling stations 400 meters apart.
   The relationship of the stations to plume center line is shown in Figure 12-3. What is the effec-
   tive ay for this sample run? Use the  graph paper provided to solve this problem.
Sampling
station
1
2
3
4
Left
side
157
96
18
14
Centerline
210



Right
side
182
110
22
18
                             Figure 12-2. Station sampling data.
                                            12-3

-------
c
4321
L
i i i i
1234
                           Figure 12-3. Plotting scheme for data.


4.  An inventory of emissions has been made in an urban area by square areas, 1524 meters on a
   side. The emissions from one such area are estimated to be 6 grams per second for the entire
   area. The effective stack height of the sources within each area is assumed to be 20 meters. The
   wind is from the south at 2.5 meters per second on a thinly overcast night. If the source areas
   have the configuration shown below, what is the percentage contribution of emissions from area
   A to the center point of area D? Also assume that the emissions from  areas A and C are equal.
N
i
D
C


i
B
A
*

6
1O
}
                           Figure 12-4. Area source illustration.
                                           12-4

-------
5.  An apartment building is located at the sampling point 300 meters downwind from an
   expressway. The expressway runs north-south and the wind is from the west at 4 meters per
   second.  It is 5:30 in the afternoon on an overcast day. The measured traffic flow is 8,000
   vehicles per hour during this rush hour and the average vehicle speed is 40 miles per hour. At
   this speed the average vehicle is expected to emit 0.02 grams per second of total hydrocarbons.
   How much lower, in percent, will the hydrocarbon concentration be on the top of the building
   as compared  with the concentration estimated at ground level? Assume a standard floor to be
   314 meters in height.
                                                  Receptor
                                                     r
                                                       • II  I
                                                       I   I
                                                       • II
                            Figure 12-5. Source/receptor relationship.
                                            12-5

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                   Chapter   13
     Air  Quality Models on  UNAMAP
                        Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the air quality models that are currently available on the
computerized UNAMAP series.
                     Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. recall the method of determining plume rise for each of the models available
    on UNAMAP.
  2. recall the method of determining plume dispersion used in each of the air
    quality models available on UNAMAP.
  3. recognize the limitations of each of the air quality models available on
    UNAMAP.
  4. interpret data obtained from use of each of the air quality models available
    on UNAMAP.


                       Chapter Outline

  I. Series Three models
    A. APRAC-1A
    B. CDM
    C. CDMQC
    D. CRSTER
    E. HI WAY
    F. PAL
    G. PTDIS
    H. PTMAX
    I.  PTMPT
    J.  ISC
    K. RAM
    L. VALLEY
 II. Types of algorithms
    A. Size of computer  core required
    B. Character of model
    C. Receptor/source oriented
    D. Factors required by algorithm
                                13-1

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 III.  Computer algorithms for handling input parameters
     A.  Plume rise
     B.  Plume dispersion
     C.  Atmospheric stability
     D.  Mixing height
     E.  Wind speed and direction
 IV.  Discussion of models on UNAMAP
     A.  APRAC-1A
     B.  CDM
     C.  CDMQC
     D.  HI WAY
     E.  PTXXX
 V.  UNAMAP air quality model outlook
                         Support  Material
D. B. Turner, User's Guide to PTXXX Air Quality Models: PTMAX, PTDIS,
PTMTP.
                                  13-2

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                   Attachment 13-1. A partial model listing of UNAMAP.
1.  Busse, A. D. and Zimmerman, J. R. User's Guide for the Climatological Dispersion Model,
   USEPA, EPA-R4-73-024, Research Triangle  Park, NC, 1973. 144 pages.
2.  Zimmerman, J. R. and Thompson,  R. S. User's Guide for HIWAY, a Highway Air Pollution
   Model, USEPA, EPA-650/4-74-008, Research Triangle Park, NC,  1972. 74 pages.
3.  Mancuso, R. L. and Ludwig, F. L.  User's Manual for the APRAC-1A Urban Diffusion Model
   Computer Program, USEPA, EPA-650/3-73-001, Research Triangle Park, NC, 1972. Ill pages.
   (Available from NTIS as publication PB213091.)
4.  Turner, D.  B. and Busse, A. D. User's Guides for PTXXX Point Source Dispersion Programs
   (draft), USEPA, Research Triangle  Park, NC, 1973. 29 pages.
5.  Petersen, W. B. User's Guide for PAL, a Gaussian-Plume Algorithm for Point, Area, and Line
   Sources, USEPA, EPA-600/4-78-013, Research Triangle Park, NC, 1978. 63 pages.
6.  Brubaker, K. L. et al. Addendum to User's Guide for Climatological Disperison Model, USEPA,
   EPA-450/3-77-015, Research Triangle Park, NC, 1977. 134 pages.

(Guldberg talks about the balance.)
                                           13-3

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                   Chapter   14
  Introduction to the  Guideline  on  Air

                    Quality Models



                        Chapter  Goal

The purpose of this chapter is to familiarize  you with the Guideline on Air Quality
Models, EPA 450/2-78-027, and the air quality models recommended by the
Guideline for use in air pollution dispersion modeling.


                     Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. recall the models that are recommended for use in air quality modeling.
  2. recall the uses of the Guideline as it applies to new source reviews, prevention
    of significant deterioration, and  control strategies.


                       Chapter Outline

  I. Atmospheric dispersion modeling
    A. Important in new source reviews, control strategy  analysis, and prevention
       of significant deterioration
    B. Mathematical set of equations
    C. Predictive tool
 II. Guideline on Air Quality Models
    A. Origin
    B. General description
    C. Status and uses
    D. Recommended modeling procedures
 III. Workbook for Comparisons of Air Quality Models
    A. Purpose
    B. Principal contents
    C. Use (practical)
                               14-1

-------
Table 14-1. Models applicable to specific pollutants, sources, and averaging times.
Point sources
SO2 and PM
All averaging
times
CRSTER
RAM
PTXXX models
ISC
VALLEY
Multi-sources
SO2 and PM
Annual
average
AQJ)M
TCM
CDM/CDMQC
Rollback
Multi-sources
SO2 and PM
Short-term
averages
Rollback
TEM
RAM
CDMQC
AQDM
NO2

Annual
average
Rollback
COM

0*

1-hour
average
EKMA
Rollback

CO

1- and 8 -hour
averages
Rollback
HIWAY
PAL
Holzworth
APRAC-1A
APRAC 2
                                    14-2

-------
                          Attachment 14-1. Modeling bibliography.
CRSTER        User's Manual for the Single Source (CRSTER) Model, EPA-450/2-77-013, July
                1977.
                Addendum to the User's Manual for the Single Source (CRSTER) Model,
                November 1979.
                User Information for the Modified CRSTER Program, USEPA Region IV,  Atlan-
                ta, Ga.
                Guideline on Air Quality Models (revised), October 1980.

EKMA/OZIPP   Guideline for the Interpretation of the Ozone Air Quality Standard,
                EPA-450/4-79-003, January 1979.
                Uses, Limitations, and Technical Basis of Procedures for Quantifying Relation-
                ships Between Photochemical Oxidants and Precursors, EPA-450/2-77-021a and b,
                November 1977 and February 1978.
                User's Manual for Kinetics Model and Ozone Isopleth Plotting Package, EPA-
                600/8-78-014a, July 1978.

ISC             Industrial Source Complex (ISC) Dispersion Model User's Guide, Volumes I and
                II, EPA-450/4-79-030 and 031, December 1979.
                Addendum to the ISC Model User's Guide, 1980.

MOBILE1       User's Guide to MOBILE1: Mobile Source Emissions Model, EPA-400/9-78-007,
                August 1978.
                Mobile Source  Emissions Factors, EPA-400/9-78-005, March 1978.
                Guidelines for Air Quality Maintenance Planning and Analysis, Volume 9
                (revised): Evaluating Indirect Sources, EPA-450/4-78-001,  September 1978.

MPTER        User's Guide for MPTER,  EPA-600/8-80-016,  April 1980.

PBLSQ         Guidelines for Lead Implementation  Plans, EPA-450/2-78-038, August 1978.

RAM           User's Guide for RAM, Volumes I and II, EPA-600/8-78-016a and b, November
                1978.
                Auer,  A., "Correlation of Land Use and Cover with Meteorological Anomalies,"
               Journal of Applied Meteorology,  17: 636-643,  1978.

VALLEY       VALLEY Model User's Guide, EPA-450/2-77-018, 1977.
                Addendum to the VALLEY Model User's Guide, October  1979.
                Workshop on Atmospheric Dispersion Models  in Complex  Terrain,
                EPA-600/9-79-041,  November 1979.
                                           14-3

-------
                 Chapter  15
     Elements and  Applications of the
      Single Source (CRSTER)  Model
                     Chapter Goal

To familiarize students with the Single Source model presently available on the
UNAMAP computer package.
                  Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  describe the application of the Single Source model to a given
    source and surrounding terrain features.
  2.  describe the accuracy of the Single Source model under given source-receptor
    conditions.
                    Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (CRSTER).


                   Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements and Applications of the Single Source
(CRSTER) Model.
                           15-1

-------
           Attachment 15-1. Hourly surface observation station listing 9-24-80.
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                                       15-9

-------
       MODELING NOTES
       by Peter H. Guldberg

     Elements and Applications
of the Single Source (CRSTER) Model
                15-11

-------
POINT SOURCE MODELS FOR S02, TSP, CO, AND N02
      APPLICABLE TO ALL AVERAGING TIMES

             RECOMMENDED MODELS
      1.  SINGLE SOURCE (CRSTER) MODEL
      2.  UNAMAP MODELS (PTMAX, PTDIS)
      3.  TURNERS WORKBOOK. ETC.
*
 All pollutants assumed to be nonreactive
 in the atmosphere
                      15-13

-------
EPA GUIDELINE ON AIR QUALITY MODELS

.  REQUIREMENTS FOR CONCENTRATION ESTIMATES
•  AIR QUALITY MODELS
   - Suitability
   - Classes of models
   -..Recommended models
   - Special situations
•  DATA REQUIREMENTS
   - Emissions source data
   - Meteorological data
   - Receptor sites
   - Background air quality
•  MODEL VALIDATION/CALIBRATION
                    15-14

-------
SINGLE SOURCE MODEL APPLICATIONS

-  STACK DESIGN STUDIES
-  NEW SOURCE REVIEW - P.S.D.
•  MONITORING NETWORK DESIGN
•  CONTROL STRATEGY EVALUATION FOR SIPs
•  REGULATORY VARIANCE EVALUATION
•  COAL CONVERSION STUDIES
.  SIP REVISIONS
                    15-15

-------
          SINGLE SOURCE  MODEL CONCEPTS
INPUT DATA REQUIREMENTS

- SOURCE DATA        - Multiple elevated stacks  at single plant
                       location

- SITE DATA          - 180 receptors,  uneven  terrain

  METEOROLOGICAL DATA- Hourly wind speed and  direction,  stability,
                       mixing height,  and temperature

MODEL COMPONENTS
- PLUME RISE MODEL   - Briggs for hot, buoyant plumes

- DIFFUSION MODEL    - Gaussian plume  modified for limited mixing
                       heights, with P-G dispersion coefficients

OUTPUT DATA PRODUCED

- POLLUTANT CONCENTRATIONS FOR SPECIFIC AVERAGING TIMES  (NAAQS)
  AND RECEPTOR SITES
                               15-16

-------
/HOURLY\
/ SURFACE \
V LOGICAL /
\ DATA /

TWICE
DAILY
MIXING
HEIGHTS


1 	 — ~
PREPROCESSOR
!
1
1
1
—1
1
1
1
STABILITY WIND,
TEMPERATURE,
AND
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BY HOUR
n
i
i
1 S*?\
/DATA TO \
1 J( SINGLE
1 A SOURCE I
| \J»10DEL <-j
1
1
                       I	
J
                 FIGURE 1-1



SCHEMATIC OF METEOROLOGICAL  DATA PREPROCESSOR

-------
                                                     PROGRAM
                                                     CONTROL
                                                 SPECIFICATIONS
                           PREPRO>
                           CESSED
                          METEORO-
                           LOGICAL,
                            DATA
oo
                         EMISSION
                          SOURCE
                           DATA
                       RECEPTOR  SITE
                       TERRAIN DATA
 SINGLE
 SOURCE
(CRSTER)
 MODEL
                             ESTIMATED
                           CONCENTRATION
                             PRINTOUT
   SOURCE
CONTRIBUTION
   TABLES
                                                                                 ESTIMATED
                                                                                 CONCENTRA
                                                                                 TION  TAPE
                                                                                 OPTIONAL
                                                  FIGURE 1-2

                                SCHEMATIC  OF  THE  SINGLE  SOURCE  (CRSTER) MODEL

-------
            SINGLE SOURCE MODEL ASSUMPTIONS

STEADY-STATE CONDITIONS
CONTINUOUS, UNIFORM EMISSION RATE
REPRESENTATIVE HOURLY MEAN WIND VELOCITY
HOMOGENEOUS HORIZONTAL WIND FIELD
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
- Direction, no
- Speed, yes
INFINITE PLUME
NO PLUME HISTORY
POLLUTANT CHARACTERISTICS
NO CHEMICAL REACTIONS
NO DEPOSITION
NO RAINOUT
COMPLETE REFLECTION AT GROUND
GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION
PLUME CONCENTRATION IN HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL DIRECTIONS
DESCRIBED BY EMPIRICAL DISPERSION PARAMETERS DEPENDENT ON
ATMOSPHERIC STABILITY
                                15-19

-------
-3
             -2
                                        X- X
                                          a
                             The Gaussian distribution curve.
                                 15-20

-------
         THE GAUSSIAN PLUME EQUATI ON
(x,y)
(x,y)
   x
   Q
   H
   u
                   exp
OyJ
     exp
= RECEPTOR COORDINATES
= GROUND-LEVEL CONCENTRATION
= EMISSION RATE
= EFFECTIVE STACK HEIGHT
= MEAN WIND SPEED
= DISPERSION COEFFICIENTS
                                   H
                                   °z.
                (m)
                (g/m3)
                (9/s)
                (m)
                (m/s)
                (m)
                        15-21

-------
SINGLE SOURCE MODEL ASSUMPTIONS

 •  WIND SPEED AT STACK HEIGHT
           u = u0 (h/7)P
 •  EFFECTIVE STACK HEIGHT
           H = h + Ah
 •  LIMITED MIXING
           Plume Trapping
           Plume Loftinq
              15-22

-------
            X    / \       \
           /\  / \     /\
          /  \/   \   /  \
             ' ^    \ /'    \
        4\\  /  ^

      ~t/    \A      \
                 \/

                A
                   \
               /

                                \   \
                                 \    \

                                 \
2L + H
          \ /
            /   \
      A
            /   \
                \
   21 - H   \
/ )1) Image piume    \


 x        \   \

               \   \
                \    \
                \    \


                 \  \
                                  \
                                      \
\  \

  \\
                        \    \        \    \

                        \   \  Mixing Height (L) \
f
T
    •111  \/\
    */i' / / / / / / •/ / / / /
    < f     /    /
     T    /   /
   2L - H
         /
             /
            /
            /

           /

         \ /

                              /
         X^
          ^ /  \
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21 + H

 L
       \ A
        N /  \

    /   /\   \   /
    \\ / \  V   /
   V   \A/
                    Fiqure 2-1


       The method of multiple plume images used to simulate plume

            reflections in the single source model

                     15-23

-------
                                                     TABLE 2-3

                                   MODIFIED GAUSSIAN PLUME EQUATIONS USED IN THE
                                           SINGLE SOURCE (CRSTER) MODEL
01
If
If
H < L and _ Q
oz < 1.6L X * °y°z U
H < L and Q
X 	 LXP
o > 1.6L /2T o Lu
f / \2~1 *" f / \2l
1 ( yY ^—» CXD 1 (H+2NL.Y p n)
-All > U X U ol / \f-''l
2 \V / • 2 \ °2/
r -i ("k)
- f — ^ 1 /? l?t
\°y/
       If H >  L
X = 0
(2-13)

-------
        SINGLE SOURCE MODEL ASSUMPTIONS

RECEPTOR NETWORK
Randomized flow vector for wind
Maximum widths of plume impact
Off-center!ine distance approximation
URBAN/RURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Atmospheric stability limited to P-G "D"
Separate mixing heights
DETERMINING HOURLY MIXING HEIGHTS (PREPROCESSOR)
Twice daily estimates of mixing height
Interpolated using time of sunrise, sunset, and hourly
stability
                            15-25

-------
                                                                      •+50°
             •          •
                 •
1
                                   Hourly
                                   Measured wind
                                   Direction
                          FIGURE 2-2

EXAMPLE OF RECEPTOR NETWORK USED IN THE SINGLE SOURCE (CRSTER)
      MODEL FOR A SOUTH WIND AND FOR EACH STABILITY CLASS
                               15-26

-------
        SINGLE SOURCE MODEL ASSUMPTIONS

DETERMINING HOURLY STABILITY (PREPROCESSOR)
PasquiTI-Gifford Categories (A-F and "-")
Solar insolation determined by Turner method using  cloud
cover, ceiling height, and solar elevation
TERRAIN CONSIDERATIONS
Plume height correction for uneven terrain
No plume impaction allowed
Plant base elevation is lower limit on receptor elevation
Mixing height follows terrain
Receptors not floating in air, no "Z" term in Gaussian
plume equation
                             15-27

-------
Mixing Height
rrri  1
                   Rl
  Mixing  Height
  TERRAIN TREATMENT
  WITHIN MODEL
                   Rl
R2
  / // I III I11*1 Illl  f II  //////  / /
  Note:  R1-R5 are receptor points at 5 ring distances.
                              FIGURE  2-4
             ILLUSTRATION OF THE METHOD  FOR TERRAIN ADJUSTMENT
                   IN THE SINGLE SOURCE (CRSTER) MODEL
                               15-28

-------
HON DO YOU USE THE SINGLE SOURCE MODEL?






GATHER METEOROLOGICAL DATA



RUN PREPROCESSOR COMPUTER PROGRAM



GATHER SOURCE AND RECEPTOR SITE DATA



RUN SINGLE SOURCE MODEL COMPUTER PROGRAM



INTERPRET RESULTS
                      15-29

-------
Initialization
Card and Twice
 Daily Mixing
   Heights
                                                   Diagnostics
Preprocessor
    Hourly
   Surface
 Meteorology
                            Preprocessed
                               Hourly
                            Meteorology
       Program
       Options,
     Receptor and
     Source  Data
    Single
    Source
    Model
Modeling
Results
                                Hourly
                            Concentrations
                              (Optional)
                              FIGURE 4-1

        PROCEDURE FOR USING THE SINGLE SOURCE (CRSTER) MODEL
                               15-30

-------
        STEPS TO USE THE SINGLE SOURCE MODEL


SELECT SURFACE AND UPPER AIR OBSERVATION STATIONS (NWS)  FOR
METEOROLOGICAL DATA FROM TD 1440 SURVEY

SELECT THE YEAR OF ANALYSIS

ORDER METEOROLOGICAL DATA FROM NCC
  -  Hourly surface data, mag tape in 144 format
  -  Twice daily mixing heights, tabular form

PUNCH MIXING HEIGHT CARDS

CHECK FOR MISSING DATA, MANUALLY OR BY PROGRAM
  -  Preprocessor does some checking for missing surface
     data only

RUN PREPROCESSOR COMPUTER PROGRAM

OBTAIN MAG TAPE OF HOURLY PREPROCESSED METEOROLOGICAL DATA
AND DIAGNOSTICS
                             15-31

-------
        STEPS TO USE THE SINGLE SOURCE MODEL

SELECT PROGRAM OPTIONS
-  Rural or urban mode?
-  Output tape of concentrations?
-  Flat or uneven terrain?
-  Which days will be run?
-  Monthly source parameters?
-  Source contribution output?
-  Variable averaging period?
COLLECT EMISSIONS SOURCE DATA
-  Plant elevation
-  Stack parameters, for each stack
     emission rate
     gas velocity
     gas temperature
     stack exit diameter
     stack height
COLLECT RECEPTOR SITE DATA
-  Select ring distances - use PTMAX (UNAMAP)
-  Determine terrain elevations
-  Source contribution receptor data (optional)
PUNCH OPTIONS, EMISSIONS AND SITE DATA ON CARDS
INPUT PREPROCESSOR MAG TAPE
RUN SINGLE SOURCE MODEL COMPUTER PROGRAM
                            15-32

-------
      SINGLE SOURCE MODEL OUTPUT


PRINTOUT-CARD INPUT DATA LISTING

PRINTOUT-METEOROLOGICAL DATA

PRINTOUT-MODELING RESULTS

  -  STANDARD RUN OR SOURCE-CONTRIBUTION RUN

OUTPUT MAG TAPE (OPTIONAL) - EVERY 1-HOUR, 24-HOUR
AND ANNUAL AVERAGE CONCENTRATION CALCULATED AT EACH
OF 180 RECEPTOR POINTS

DIAGNOSTICS
                      15-33

-------
CRITERIA FOR SPECIFYING SIP EMISSION
               LIMITS
ANNUAL AVERAGE  =  THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION

24, 8, 3, AND 1
HOUR AVERAGES   =  THE HIGHEST OF THE SECOND-
                   HIGHEST CONCENTRATIONS
                15-34

-------
                    EXAMPLE
DAY

¥ 1
345
420
317
RECEPTORS
# 2
320
400
469

# 3
336
298
400
  1

  2

  3
WHICH 24-HOUR SOo CONCENTRATION DO YOU USE TO
DETERMINE COMPLIANCE WITH NAAQS?
                      15-35

-------
        STANDARD MODEL  RUN  CONCENTRATION  OUTPUT

BASIC CALCULATION IS FOR 1-HOUR
AVERAGED TO 3, 24-HOUR, AND ANNUAL  TIME PERIODS
-  Variable averaging period =  2, 4,  6, 8,  or 12  hours
DISCRETE, NONOVERLAPPING TIME PERIODS
-  24 1-hour concentrations:  0000-0100,  0100-0200,-  •  •  •
-  8  3-hour concentrations:  0000-0300,  0300-0600,  •  •  •  •
-  1 24-hour concentration  :  0000-2400
CONCENTRATION OUTPUT FOR EACH AVERAGING PERIOD
-  Table of highest concentration at  each of 180  receptors
-  Maximum highest concentration  at any receptor
-  Table of 2nd-highest concentration at each of  180 receptors
-  Maximum 2nd-highest  concentration  at any receptor
   Table of 50 highest  concentrations at any receptor
                             15-36

-------
                       OUTPUT  DATA FOR  AN EXAMPLE  STANDARD RUN OF  THE SINGLE  SOURCE  (CRSTER)  MODEL
00
   PLANT NAME:  EXAMPLE RUN              POLLUTANT:  502
   THIS IS A SINGLE SOURCE  MODEL EXAMPLE RUN.
   THIS RUN ILLUSTRATES THE USE OF THE FOLLOWING OPTIONS:
             STANDARD MODEL RUN
             DAILY MET PRINTOUT
             RUN FOR TWENTY DAYS
             UNEVEN RECEPTOR TERRAIN
             NO HOURLY OUTPUT TAPE
             RURAL MIXING HEIGHTS
             VARIABLE AVERAGING TIME
             MONTHLY VARIATIONS OF G»V AND T.
   CINCINNATI SURFACE
   DAYTON UPPER AIR
             MET FiLE     REQUESTED
            STN NO. YR   STN NO.  YR
 SURFACE    -938m  6i»    938m  61
 UPPER AIR   93815  61    93815  61
PLANT LOCATION: RURAL
NO TAPE OUTPUT
0 VALUES REQUIRE MONTHLY INPUT
V VALUES REQUIRE MONTHLY INPUT
T VALUES REQUIRE MONTHLY INPUT
                                                          EMISSION UNITS: GM/SEC
                                                                                       AIR QUALITY UNITS: GM/M*O
DAY— 0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0
N 0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
T
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
E
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
I <
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
>
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
*
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
*
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
>
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
*
0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
1
0
0
0
0

0
0
I
0
0
0
0
*
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
k
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
******
             ALL TABLES.  INCLUDING SOURCE  CONTRIBUTION. THAT CONTAIN "ANNUAL" IN THE HEADING ARE BASED ONLY  ON THOSE DAYS


             MARKED BY "1" IN THE ABOVE  TABLE

-------
       RING DISTANCES(KMI=
                               .90
                                    1.50   2.00   3.80   6.20
oo
00
     PLANT ELEVATION  (FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL>—     492.0


         RECEPTOR ELEVATIONS  (FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL I


     DIRECTION   RINGttl   RINGB2   RINGS3   RINGH4   RINGB5
PLANT ELEVATION (METERS ABOVE SEA LEVEL!—
                                               150.0
1
2
3
«•
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
540.0
550.0
525.0
490.0
490.0
480.0
- 470.0
470.0
455.0
455.0
455.0
455.0
520.0
610.0
700.0
700.0
600.0
510.0
470.0
455.0
455.0
455.0
455.0
460.0
460.0
470.0
480.0
500.0
530.0
610.0
720.0
675.0
630.0
590.0
560.0
540.0
500.0
550.0
615.0
720.0
680.0
550.0
480.0
455.0
455.0
455.0
610.0
660.0
590.0
720.0
560.0
530.0
720.0
650.0
470.0
600.0
720.0
700.0
455.0
455.0
460.0
460.0
460.0
465.0
475.0
460.0
460.0
460.0
470.0
460.0
460.0
460.0
470.0
575.0
625.0
640.0
650.0
580.0
455.0
455.0
480.0
610.0
720.0
660.0
590.0
720.0
560.0
540.0
550.0
580.0
650.0
670.0
720.0
720.0
495.0
455.0
470.0
460.0
455.0
455.0
460.0
460.0
470.0
470.0
470.0
470.0
470.0
470.0
510.0
660.0
710.0
7?0.0
455.0
490.0
470.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
610.0
590.0
610.0
460.0
460.0
480.0
460.0
460.0
470rO
480.0
490.0
490.0
480.0 ,
470.0
470.0
480.0
480.0
460.0
460.0
460.0
540.0
500.0
480.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
720.0
700.0
720.0
720.0
520.0
455.0
460.0
560.0
720.0
510.0
455.0
470.0
520.0
550.0
720.0
650.0
620.0
600.0
480.0
    RECEPTOR ELEVATIONS (METERS ABOVE SEA LEVEL)
                                                                            RINGttl   RINGM2   RINGW3
                                                                                                       R1NGM4
                                                                                                                RINGH5
164.6
167.6
160,0
149.4
149,4
146.3
143.3
143.3
138.7
138.7
138.7
138.7
158.5
185.9
213.4
213.4
182.9
155.4
143.3
138.7
138.7
138.7
138.7
140.2
140.2
143.3
146.3
152.4
161.5
185.9
219.5
205.7
192.0
179.8
170.7
164.6
152. 1
167.6
187. 5
219.5
207.3
167.6
146.3
138.7
138.7
138.7
185.9
201.2
179. 8
219.5
170.7
161.5
219.5
198.1
143.3
182.9
219.5
213.4
138.7
138.7
140.2
140.2
140.2
141.7
144.8
140.2
140.2
140.2
143.3
140.2
140.2
140.2
143.3
175.3
190.5
195.1
198.1
176.8
138.7
138.7
i**6.3
185.9
219.5
201.2
179.8
219.5
170.7
164.6
167.6
176.8
190.1
204.2
219.5
219,5
150.9
138.7
1M3.3
140.2
138.7
138.7
140.2
140.2
143.3
143.3
143.3
143.3
143.3
143.3
155o4
201.2
216.4
211.5
S38.7
149. (*
J43.3
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
185.9
179.8
185.9
140.2
140.2
146.3
140.2
140.2
143.3
146.3
149.4
149.4
146.3
143.3
143.3
146.3
146.3
140.2
140.2
140.2
164.6
152.4
146^3
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
219.5
213.4
219.5
219.5
15S.5
138.7
140.2
170.7
219.5
155.4
13B.7
143.3
158.5
167.6
219.5
198.1
189.0
182.9
146.3

-------
     STACK  M   1—  STACK  1
     STACK  »   2—  STACK  2
     STACK  »   3—  STACK  3
     STACK  M   i»~  STACK  i»
       RECEPTOR ELEVATION  LESS  THAN PLANT  ELEVATION 	  RECEPTOR  ELEVATION SET TO PLANT ELEVATION -  80 TIMES
      STACK
01
Oo
<£>


     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74
     532.74

     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     773.32
     7T3.32

     789.23
     709.23
     789.23
     789.23
     789.23
     709.23
     789.23
     789.23
     789.23
     709.23
     709.23
     7R9.23

-------
STACK MONTH EMISSION RATE
(GMS/SEC)
•» JAN 3434.8000
FEB 3434.8000
MAR 3434.8000
APR 3434.8000
MAY 3434.8000
JUN 3434.8000
JUL 3434.8000
AU6 3434.8000
SEP 3434.8000
OCT 3434.8000
NOV 3434.8000
DEC 3434.8000
JYR=64 IMO= 5 JDAY=125.
ISTAB= 6666654
AWS= 2.1 2.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.6 1.5
TEMPr 289. 288. 287, 286. 286. 286. 287.
AFV= 270. 320. 330. 330. 10. 350. 50.
AFVR= 267. 322. 335. 331. 8. 354. 53.
HLHlr 2010. 2032. 2054. 2077. 2099. 86,
2021. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2298.
HEIGHT DIAMETER EXIT VELOCITY TEMP
(METERS) (METERS) (M/SEC) (DEG.K)
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.00 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.60 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00
243.80 5.91 33.83 405.00

33221
3.1 4.1 3.6 3.1 2.6
290. 292. 294. 297. 299.
20. 20. 30. 20. 320.
24. 23. 29. 23. 320.
, 362. 639. 915. 1192.
, 2298. 2294. 2287. 2279.
HLH2= 264. 264. 264. 264. 264. 340. 585. 829. 1074. 1319.
2053. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2298. 2048. 1563. 1079.

DAY RATIO CONCENTRATION
125 18.457 2.426167-03
JYR=6<» IMO= 5 JDAY=126.
ISTAB= 7665654
AWS= 1.0 3.1 2.6 2.6 1.0 2.1 1.5
TEMP= 286. 289. 289. 288. 289. 289. 290.
AFV= 340, 320. 330. 330. 330. 330. 360.
AFVR= 345. 322. 327. 333. 330. 328. 2.
HLH1= 2256. 2249. 2241. 2234. 2226. 85.
1899. 2158. 2158. 2158. 2158. 2158.
HLH2S 111. 111. 111. 111. 111. 192.
1912. 2158. 2158. 2158. 2158. 2158.

DAY RATIO CONCENTRATION
126 7.380 1. 399798-03
JYR=6U IMO= 5 JDAY=127.
ISTAB= 6767654
AWS= 2.6 1.5 2.1 1.0 1.0 2.1 2.6
TEMP= 291. 290. 289. 288. 289. 280. 290.
AFV= 330. 20. 30. 30. 10. 10. 10.
AFVR= 334. IB. 32. 31. 13. 7. 15.
HLH1= 1967. 1933. 1B9B. 1B63. 1B29. 63.
MAX HOURLY
DIRECTION DISTANCE(KM)
32 .90
3V M M f\
3222
1.0 3.1 3.1 2.6 3.6
291,. 293. 296. 297. 300.
360. 40. 40. 10. 20.
5. 37. 42. 12. 19.
344. 603. 862. 1122.
2158, 2141. 2106. 2071.
438. 683. 929. 1175.
2158. 2141. 1489. 1043.
MAX HOURLY
DIRECTION DISTANCEIKMI
3 2.00

34443
3.6 6.7 7.7 7.2 6.7
292. 295. 297. 299. 300.
20. 30. 40. 40. 30.
22. 26. 4'i. 3H. 26.
245. 426. 60M. 790.

2
3.6
299.
340.
343.
1468
2271
1564
595

HOUR
12

3.1
300.
30.
34.
1381
2037
1421
597

HOUR
14

3
7.2
300.
40.
37.
971

1 2
2.1 3.6
299. 300.
350. 340.
351. 345.
. 1745.
. 2264.
. 1808.
. 111.


2 3
2.6 3.1
299. 300
360. 340
4. 340





CONCENTRATION
1.314483-04
2-.
J
4.6 3.6
300. 300.
30. 20.
30. IB.
. 1640.
. 2002.
. 1666.
. 151.

3»
.3
4.1 4.1
301. 300
40. 30
43. 32





VOLUMETRIC FLOW
IM«*3/SEC)
928.04
928.04
92B.04
928.04
920.04
928.04
928.04
928.04
928.04
928.04
928.04
928.04

3
3.1
. 299.
. 330.
. 327.




MAX

4
2.6
298
330
333




2
DIRECTION
2

2.1
. 29').
. 360.
1.




MAX


1.5
298
320
324




2
CONCENTRATION DIRECTION
1.896704-04

3 4
7.2 6.2
300. 301.
20. 50.
2't. 49.
. 1153.

4 4
6.2 6.7
300. 300
30. 30
26. 28

4

3
3.1
. 2°''.
. 20.
19.



4
3.1
298
10
6


5
2.1
. 294.
. 330.
. 327.




4 - H

6
1.5
291
350
349




0 U

7
1.0
. 289.
. 10.
. 12.




R

7
1.0
287.
340.
344.






7
1.0
288.
340.
338.





DISTANCE(KM)
3
Jl
H
2.1
. 298.
. 330.
. 333.




4 - H
.80

2.6
295
320
318




0 U


2.1
. 293.
. 360.
1.




R


1.0
290.
360.
1.







2.6
290.
320.
318.





DISTANCE(KM)
S

5
2.6
. 295.
. 360.
. 359.

.80

4
3.6
295
360
1



5
2.6
. 293.
. 50.
48.



5
2.1
293.
30.
26.



5
2.6
294.
10.
13.


-------
  PLANT NAME:  EXAMPLE RUN
YEARLY MAXIMUM 21-HOUR CONC=
         POLLUTANT:  502       EMISSION UNITS:  GM/SEC
2.1790-01  DIRECTION   1  DISTANCE=  3.8 KM  DAY=1P9
                                                        AIR  QUALITY  UNITS:  GM/M**3
HIGHEST 21-HOUR CONCENTRATION AT EACH RECEPTOR
RANGE .9 KM 1.5 KM 2.0 KM
DIR
1
2
3
i»
5
6
7
a
9
10
11
12
13
11
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
2<»
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
31
35
36

2.2800-05
1.1110-05
1.658<4-05
3.1162-05
1. 1920-05
2.5603-05
7.9016-06
1.5662-06
7.3962-07
1.5123-06
1.2737-06
1.0331-05
1.7101-05
1.1597-01
1.5121-01
9.1127-05
2.7616-05
1. 32 13-06
2.1216-06
1.5021-05
i». 7899-05
7.7230-05
6.3289-05
7.5912-05
7.5912-05
3. 8831-05
1.0012-05
1.3282-06
3.9901-06
2.1067-05
7.5737-05
1.0525-01
9.2619-05
8.7913-05
8.7191-05
5.7601-05

(125)
(126)
(126)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(113)
(131)
(131)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(116)
(1161
(116)
(116)
(116)
(113)
(113)
(113)
(113)
(113)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)

3.9212-05
8.5751-05
1.1062-01
2.0398-01
1.6151-01
7.1111-05
5.8683-05
1.7020-05
2.2067-05
2.2811-05
1.3707-05
5.2522-05
5.0333-05
1.3119-01
1.6583-01
1.0731-01
3.1915-05
5.3873-06
1.7659-05
9.5321-05
1.2591-01
1.0227-01
5.3935-05
5.3310-05
7.8007-05
9.6131-05
1.7195-05
7.8668-06
1.8769-06
1.2875-05
1.1018-05
6.3211-05
6.8OOO-05
1.0519-01
1.1510-01
7.0879-05

(125)
(126)
(126)
(115)
(115)
(113)
(110)
(131)
(131)
(131)
(118)
(118)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(116)
(113)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(1251

5.6551-05
1.2960-01
1.8687-01
1.7518-01
1.5672-01
9.6391-05
9.05VJ-05
3.9138-05
5.0687-05
8.1291-05
9.9119-05
7.7132-05
1.5560-05
1.1212-01
1.3111-01
8.1606-05
2.5181-05
1.1851-06
8.6806-05
1.9818-01
1.7206-01
1.6812-01
5.5828-05
6.1957-05
1.1736-01
1.1285-01
6.6317-05
1.2778-05
7.2069-06
1.8690-05
2.8000-05
1.6699-05
5.9801-05
1.1185-01
1.1232-01
6.8317-05

(126)
(126)
(126)
(126)
(115)
(113)
(110)
(131)
(131)
(1301
(118)
(118)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(1321
(132)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)
(125)

3.8

7.1670-05
1
1
2
7
6
1
1
1
1
8
1
9
8
1
1
1
1
8
1
1
1
5
7
1
1
5
2
3
7
7
1
5
1
8
7
.1925-01
.8580-01
.1790-01
,9'>'»2-05
.1913-05
.3873-01
.3706-01
.1575-01
.6517-01
.1171-05
.1373-01
.5113-05
.6899-05
.2135-01
.1713-05
.0888-05
.1121-05
.7217-05
.6738-01
.1131-01
.5710-01
.6739-05
.9971-05
.1729-01
.3251-01
.1728-05
.9697-05
.3601-05
.1832-05
.5309-05
.1212-05
.8112-05
.0651-01
.6773-05
.1527-05
KM

(126)
(127)
(127)
(129)
(111)
(113)
(110)
(131)
(131)
(131)
(115)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(1121
(112)
(111
(111
(111
(111
(111
(1161
(116)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(112)
(132)
(132)
(132)
(1321
(125)
(125)
(125)
(113)
6.2

1.5615-05
8.7575-05
8.5178-05
1.05r>0-01
7.9173-05
1.1821-05
2.3068-01
1.2152-01
7.659'J-05
1.2286-01
7.08115-05
8.1023-05
7.7519-05
5.8097-05
1.0295-01
2. 7208-05
6.0128-06
1.6923-05
5.1395-05
1.6212-01
1.3218-01
9.2912-05
1.3760-05
6.0071-05
7.6257-05
9.1739-05
5.1655-05
2.5137-05
3.9109-05
8.6751-05
8.2911-05
7.8095-05
6.7312-05
7.91P8-05
5.0092-05
7.0908-05
KM

(126)
(127)
(126)
(126)
(115)
(130)
(110)
(131)
(131)
(131)
HIM
(118)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(112)
(1151
(111)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(111)
(116)
(116)
(116)
(112)
(132)
(112)
(132)
(132)
(132)
(1261
(125)
(125)
(125)
(113)

-------
             PLANT NAME:   EXAMPLE RUN              POLLUTANT:  so2       EMISSION UNITSS  GM/SEC    AIR QUALITY UNITS;  GM/M*O
           YEARLY SECOND  MAXIMUM 21-HOUR CONC=   1.8967-01   DIRECTIONS   1   DISTANCE=   3.8 KM  DAV=126
tsO
SECOND HIGHEST 21-HOUR
RANGE .9 KM 1.5
OIR
1 l». 6927-06 (126) 3.6103-05
2 9.2017-06 (1251 5.9081-05
3
1
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
11
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
21
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
3«»
35
36
1.1855-05
7.2971-06
5.8137-06
7.1737-06
6,0150-06
1.2533-06
1.0216-.07
7.0201-07
7.7295-07
2.0607-07
1.8111-07
3.6291-06
7.1001-06
9.8925-07
9.5202-09
2.0381-07
5.3060-07
8.6307-07
1.2595-06
9.7189-06
3.8117-05
2.8802-05
1.2719-05
9.9013-06
5.0798-06
1.0801-06
8. 9815-08
3.9366-07
1.5981-06
3.2111-07
1.0780-06
1.0585-06
7.7780-07
9.1389-07
(1121
(1261
1115)
(113)
(113)
(112)
(113)
(130)
(131 )
(118)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(116)
(116)
(111)
(111)
(113)
(113)
(113)
(116)
(116)
(1161
(116)
(116)
(113)
(132)
1132)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(113)
(113)
9.0950-05
1.7461-01
1.0791-01
6.2190-05
5.2282-05
1.3131-05
2.1817-06
1.9122-05
3.7597-05
9.9267-06
1.0870-05
7.8798-05
1.1262-05
2.3678-06
7.5011-07
1.8522-06
1.1861-06
9.6605-06
3.6338-05
6.3892-05
2.1659-05
1.1817-05
5.3353-05
2.1679-05
6.9585-06
3.3507-06
1.6517-06
3.7728-06
2.9271-06
1.5083-06
9.1672-06
1.3552-05
1.1397-05
1.1293-05
CONCENTRATION AT EACH
KM 2.0
(126) 1.5701-05
(125) 1.0155-01
(127)
(126)
(112)
(112)
(113)
1110)
(130)
(130!
(130)
(112)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(118)
(115)
(111)
(116)
(116>
(116)
(1161
(113)
(116)
(113)
(113)
(112)
(112)
(132)
(132)
(132)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(113)
(113)
1.2061-01
1.2001-01
1.0151-01
1. 9^81-05
7.0162-05
2.1112-05
6.3171-06
8.2972-05
7.1757-05
1.3519-05
2.5336-05
9.7135-05
3.1861-05
7.0826-06
1.075S-07
3.1470-06
1.6503-06
5.9<»78-06
2. 1682-05
<«. 6318-05
2.85'30~05
3.5737-05
3.7459~'j5
1.70BO-Or<
1.1234-05
1.0327-05
4.2019-06
8.0572-06
1.8025-05
7.0617-06
2.2932-05
3.3933-05
2.5571-05
3.1389-05
RECEPTOR
KM
(1251
(125)
(127)
(145!
(144)
(110)
(1131
(140)
1130)
(131)
(130)
(130)
1148)
(118)
(148!
(148)
(llfl)
(142)
(146)
(146)
(146)
(146)
(141 )
1142)
(!'t2)
U12I
1142)
(142)
(146)
( 125)
(132)
(1321
(142)
(142)
(113)
(113)
4
1
1
1
5
1
1
1
6
1
7
1
5
8
7
1
6
3
3
8
1
2
3
3
3
1
1
2
2
1
1
3.8
,59r«8-05
.3360-04
.,8509-04
.8967-01
.9550-05
..0594-05
.0181-01
.0780-04
.9236-05
.1081-01
.6372-05
.0905-05
.1375-05
.3178-05
.9655-05
.7320-05
.3757-06
.3564-05
.6028-05
.1893-06
.2916-05
.6291-05
.8236-05
.6381-05
.1797-05
.9361-05
.0548-05
.5871-05
.3691-05
.9823-05
.1932-05
3.6211-05
3.7767-05
5
3
5
.58H2-05
.7279-05
.7805-05
KM
(125)
(126)
(1291
(126 (
(145>
(130)
(131)
(1311
(110)
(130)
(148)
(130)
(112)
(1121
(112>
(1181
(115)
(116)
(116)
(119)
(1161
(116)
(111)
(112)
(112)
(112)
(132)
(116)
(146)
(1161
(125!
(125!
(1121
(112)
(113)
(125)
6.2
4.2885-05
7.8626-05
6.6102-05
8.9102-05
7.8592-05
4.1647-05
1.8459-01
7.2166-05
6.9389-05
6.8646-05
5.0526-05
3.2021-05
3.7030-05
5.6f>70-05
5.1593-05
1.0783-05
5.5228-06
3.6865-05
3.8004-05
5.1565-05
5.6766-05
1.6932-05
3.6957-05
2.9196-05
1.9306-05
7.8335-05
3.6152-05
2.5132-05
2.7115-05
3.0511-05
1.2273-05
7.5110-05
3.2220-05
3.7267-05
2.6130-05
3.1652-05
KM
(143)
(125)
(127)
U29)
(114)
(140)
(1301
(131)
(131)
(130)
(148!
(1301
(112)
(112)
(112)
(118)
(142)
1148)
(116)
(11")
(119)
(116)
(HI!
(112)
(1421
(1161
(112)
(1321
(116)
1116)
(1161
(132)
(1431
(112!
(113)
(126)

-------
PLANT NAME:  EXAMPLE RUN
                                       POLLUTANT: 502
                                                            EMISSION UNITS: GM/SEC
                                                                                                   AIR QUALITY UNITS: GM/M*»3
m
oo
                                                 MAXIMUM DAILY CONCENTRATIONS

                                      DAY    21-HOUR CONCENTRATION    DIRECTION     DISTANCE

                                      129           2.1790-01             1           3.80
                                      140           2.3068-01*             7           6.20
                                      115           2.0398-01             1           1.50
                                      mi           1.9818-01            20           2.00
                                      126            .8967-0"*             1           3.80
                                      127            .8588-0"*             3           3.80
                                      130            .8159-0"*             7           6.20
                                      128            .71<*7-0"»             1           3.80
                                      1"»2            .6583-0<»            15           1.50
                                      131            .6517-01            10           3.80
                                      131            .5318-0<*             7           6.20
                                      146            .1285-0'*            26           2.00
                                      125            .3115-01             2           3.80
                                      111           1.2320-0"*             1           3.80
                                      118           1.2135-0"*            15           3.80
                                      113           9.6391-05             6           2.00
                                      117           9.1085-05             3           3.80
                                      132           8.6751-05            30           6.20
                                      133           8.5918-05             7           6.20
                                      119           5.6766-05            21           6.20

-------
SINGLE SOURCE MODEL LIMITATIONS

STEADY-STATE ASSUMPTIONS
-  Continuous uniform emission rate
-  Homogeneous horizontal wind field
-  Hourly mean wind vector
-  No directional wind shear in vertical
-  Constant eddy diffusivities
-  No plume history
-  No deposition or reaction
TERRAIN ADJUSTMENT
MIXING HEIGHT
CALM WINDS
-  1.0 meters/second limit
-  Use of previous hour's direction
AERODYNAMIC EFFECTS
STACK SEPARATION
PLUME RISE
                15-44

-------
                Chapter  16
  Elements of the Expected Exceedance
                 (EXEX) Method
                     Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the method of determining the number of times the
National Ambient Air Quality Standard will be exceeded (using statistical methods)
for SO2.
                  Chapter Objective

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  explain the procedure used to determine the expected number of exceedances
    of the SO2 standard.
                   Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (EXEX).


                   Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements of the Expected Exceedance Method
(EXEX).
                           16-1

-------
       MODELING NOTES
       by Peter H. Guldberg

Elements of the Expected Exceedance
         (EXEX) Method
                16-3

-------
              EXPECTED EXCEEDANCES METHOD (EXEX)






APPLIES ONLY TO COAL FIRED BOILERS





EPA MEMO 12-6-79 OUTLINES EXEX





FEDERAL REGISTER NOTICE 2-14-80 LISTS CONDITIONS FOR USE:



     (1)  5 YEARS OF MET DATA



     (2)  COAL WASHING IF SULFUR IS HIGH



     (3)  CONTINUOUS SAMPLING OF STACK S09 OR COAL PILE
                              16-5

-------
If
13
12
11
10
> *
o
•5 8
X
7
6
r>
n 5
4
3
2
1
0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
•
- ,_r
.5








••••

I
^^m





^^mm






—








—









__












••v









--







—








— |
— 1

— 1
I 1 1 i l~^h— • 	 •
1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.
% Sulfur in Coil

-------
       STACK EMISSIONS DATA
        • SO? •minions rtlf
        » total hftt input nig
       } . Mrtrtgmg limt ind
         Iftnpling pvrrotf
       COAL DATA
         U»»toltul>ur 'x
       .. H«il ftluf p»r unit m»jj
        'fringing timt inri
         stmplmg period
    tNOIMBERINQ DESIGN DATA
M
                   \
                       ANALYTICAL
                      \EXPRESSIQNS
                     ill
  DETERMINE
  FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION
      OF
S02 EMISSIONS
                      FIGURE  3.   ELEMENTS OF THE SIMPLIFIED EXEX METHOD

-------
                find Oportiing t o»b»t»Mf
                     USE OF RESULTS
                 Specifications of emissions in
                 terms of:
                   • Annutl Imtrigu
                   • Not t>» ••cvvrfwf in unf fMr
                                   FIGURE 1.   ELEMENTS  OF THE  SIMPLIFIED EXEX METHOD

-------
                                                            ATMOSPHERIC
                                                              DIFFUSION
                                                               MODEL
                                                                    T
                                     r
                                             nous
                                                                                    3 HOUR
                                                                                       if vn
en
                                             Hormutltfil conctntritlon
                                                for ««ch r»c*pfof
                                                 tor »»ch
                                             FIGURE 2.  ATMOSPHERIC DIFFUSION  MODEL

-------
CT)
H-l
O
                                                  FIGURE 4.  SIMULATION MODEL

-------
                                                                    Each trial li a simulation of 385
                                                                    (or 366) days' concentration at
                                                                    •ach receptor

                                                                    Out of one trial for first year, a
                                                                    sample 24-hour average concen-
                                                                    tration at one receptor
                                                                    For each year expected number of
                                                                    exceedances and probability of
                                                                    violation at each receptor.
                                                                    For all year expected number of
                                                                    exceedance and violation proba-
                                                                    bilities averaged over all years on
                                                                    meteorological record
FIGURE  5.   ANALYSIS EXCEEDANCES  AND  VIOLATIONS  FROM  EXEX  METHODOLOGY

-------
O)
   1.8




   1.6



   1.4




   1.2




S  1.0
o
X
Jj

1  0.8

u


2  0.6
                 a,
                 u
                 c
                 ,
                    0.4



                    0.2



                      0
                                        STANDARD:    50 , n/m
                                   0.5
                              1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
                                              Mean Emissions Rate (Ibs SO?/MMBtu)
                                (c)  GSD  of  S02  Emissions Distribution:   1.4--Scrubbed Plant
3.0
                                                   FIGURE  7  (ContinuPd)

-------
en
                                             1.0"        1.5         2.0          2.5
                                           Mean  Emissions  Rate  (Ibs  S02/MMBtu)
                               (b)  GSD of S0? Emissions Distribution:  1.2--Scrubbed Plant
3.0
                                                   FSGURF 8 (Continued)

-------
                Chapter  17
     Elements and Applications of the
Industrial Source Complex  (ISC) Model
                     Chapter Goal
To familiarize you with the Industrial Source Complex (ISC) model presently
available on UNAMAP.
                  Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  describe the application of the Industrial Source Complex model to a given
    source and surrounding terrain features.
  2.  describe the accuracy of the Industrial Source Complex model under given
    source-receptor conditions.
                   Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (ISC).


                   Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements and Application of the Industrial
Source Complex (ISC) Model.
                           17-1

-------
          MODELING NOTES
          by Peter H. Guldberg

Elements and Applications of the Industrial
           Source (ISC) Model
                   17-3

-------
     INDUSTRIAL SOURCE COMPLEX (ISC) MODEL


COMPLEX MODEL FOR INDUSTRIAL COMPLEXES OFFERING
NUMEROUS SPECIAL FEATURES

TWO COMPUTER PROGRAMS

    -  ISCST:  EXTENSION OF CRSTER
    -  ISCLT:  EXTENSION OF COM, AQDM

RUN COSTS APPROXIMATELY 1/3$ PER SOURCE/RECEPTOR/
DAY FOR ISCST, $5.00 TOTAL FOR ISCLT

CODE AND USER'S MANUAL AVAILABLE
                      17-5

-------
en
[Program Control
1 Parameters

[Receptor
j Data

[i Source
1 Data


»

/Pre->v
/ Processed \
1 logical I
V Data /
./Pre-^x.
^X^Processed or^s^^
\Card Meteorological^
^s.T)ata format^r \
^^^ ? ./^ \
Meteot
1
lard
tat a


ISC
Short-Term
Model
Program
(ISCST)



»,
^
_ . _ m
Input Data
Output (Optional)
'*— ^
Dnlly Output
Tables (Optional)
^-"^
"N"-nay Output
Tnblea (Optional)
^ 	 ^
Highest R Second
Highest Output
Tablen (Optional)
^ 	 ^
Maximum 50
Output Tables
(Optional)
/Hourly\
UOptionat)/
           FIGURE 1-1.   Schematic diagram of the ISC Model short-term computer program ISCST.

-------
                                                                              HIGH
                                                                              24-HR
                                                                              S GROUP 8 1
    *** ~  HYPOTHETICAL POTASH PROCESSING PLANT - CONCENTRATION  — ***

   * HIGHEST 24-HOUR AVERAGE CONCENTRATION (MICROGRAMS/CUBIC METER)     *
                      * FROM SOURCES:        1,
                         * FOR THE RECEPTOR GRID *
* MAXIMUM VALUE EQUALS  29257.33984 AND OCCURRED AT (
.0,     -200.0)  *
y-axia /
(meters) /
3000.0 /
2000.0 /
1500.0 /
1250.0 /
1000.0 /
800.0 /
600.0 /
400.0 /
200.0 /
.0 /
-200.0 /
-400.0 /
-600.0 /
-800.0 /
-1000.0 /
-1250.0 /
-1500.0 /
-2000.0 /
-3000.0 /
-800.0
.02187
3.64513
118.39290
329.68170
103.86832
107.80086
1164.95976
2586.00357
3417.10876
2113.19528
16.72914
.00006
.00000
.00000
.00000
.00000
.00006
.12187
20.03640
(187,
(205,
(305,
(305,
(305,
(187,
(187,
(305,
(262,
(262,
(262,
(187,
(187,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
-600.0
.00103 (137,
.23969 (187,
6.56493 (205,
53.75400 (205,
427.40199 (305,
331.47763 (305,
192.61037 (187,
3429.66122 (187,
5034.82111 (305,
3410.68469 (262,
.65443 (262,
.00000 (187,
.00000 (337,
.00000 (337,
.00000 (337,
.00420 (337,
.24976 (337,
12.00114 (337,
98.79222 (337,
x-axla (meters)
-400.0
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
.00002
.00440
.17455
1.50348
15.05959
188.70668
999.93413
431.43685
8261.22119
6411.06494
.00080
.00000
.00000
.00620
.71882
13.46043
54.82790
160.56051
227.32941
(187,
(187,
(187,
(187,
(187,
(305,
(305,
(187,
(305,
(262,
(187,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
-200.0
.00140 (289,
.00018 (289,
.00037 (187,
.00314 (187,
.04380 (187,
.57678 (187,
12.40346 (187,
596.57519 (305,
1618.61168 (187,
14624.32703 (262,
.00000 (337,
.08076 (337,
41.96467 (337,
250.86494 (337,
442.10267 (337,
557.08878 (337,
589.01745 (337,
549.62419 (337,
396.21886 (337,

1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)

.39458
1.03276
2.02372
3.07055
5.07164
8.50962
16.37711
40.20404
159.62988
.00000
29257.33984
12556.48901
6761.63867
4217.97260
2898.65292
2017.04434
1501.84814
949.64354
513.20028
,0
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
(289,
( o,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,
(337,

1)
1)
1)
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1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
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1)
1)
1)
1)
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1)
1)
1)
1)

-------
          Source data
          cards
       ISCLT program
       control and
       option data
       cards
      ISCLT Long-Term
      Computer Program
   Seasonal and/or annual
   average ground-level con-
   centration

   Seasonal and/or annual
   total ground-level
   deposition
   Printed
Concentration
     or
  Deposition
   Tables

\

Meteorological
data cards
f
Receptor
data cards

     1 >


/Optional \
                                                             Optional
                                                              Input
                                                              Tape
  output
    tape
FIGURE 1-2.  Schematic diagram of the ISC Model long-term computer  program
             ISCLT.
                                  17-8

-------
             A COMPARISON OF ERA'S ISCST AND CRSTER MODELS
Item
  Si mi 1ariti es/Di fferences
Averaging Times

Multiple Source, Treatment

Plume Rise
Downwash



Terrain Adjustment

Atmospheric Decay


Particulate Settling and
Deposition
Source Input Data



Output Tables



Meteorological Input Data



Rural Dispersion Coefficients

Urban Dispersion Coefficients


Receptor Coordinate System
Same, except ISC allows N-day averages also

ISC allows for spatial separation, CRSTER
does not

ISC calculates plume rise as a function of-'"'•-
distance and includes both momentum and buoy-
ancy effects, CRSTER uses only the final  rise
due to buoyancy alone.  ISC uses default 82
value of 0.60 while CRSTER uses 0.66  ,  _ .

ISC allows for stack tip (Brigqs) or building
wake effects (Huber and Snyder), CRSTER makes
no adjustments

Same
ISC calculates time dependent decay rate, CRSTER
has no decay term

ISC allows user to specify particle size de-
pendent effects, CRSTER makes no adjustments.
ISC also calculates deposition mass as option,
CRSTER does not
ISC allows at least 100 of any combination of
point, area, and volume sources, CRSTER can
handle only point sources and up to 19 of these
Same, except ISC offers more variety of output
data, e.g. definition of source groups, depo-
sition mass, as well  as concentrations

Same, except ISC allows user to input  values  of
the wind-profile exponents and vertical poten-
tial temperature gradients

Same
ISC in Urban! mode  is the same as  CRSTER  in ur-
ban mode.  ISC  in Urban2 mode  is  new.
Same, except ISC allows  rectangular coordinates
as an option.   ISC  allows at least 400 receptors
CRSTER has 180.  There  is a tradeoff  between  the
maximum number  of sources and  receptors  in  ISC
as the limitation is  on  program  core  requirements
                                       17-9

-------
             A COMPARISON OF ERA'S ISCST AND CRSTER MODELS
                             (Continued)
I tern                                 Si mi Ian" ties/Di f ferences


Emissions Input                    ISC allows  variations by month,  hour,  season
                                   and hour, or wind  speed and  stability;  CRSTER
                                   only  allows variations by month.   ISC  allows
                                   the users to apply scalars to one  or several
                                   sources, CRSTER  variations apply to all sources

Source Contributions                ISC disallows  contributions  when source-recep-
                                   tor distances  are   100 meters, CRSTER  does not

Crosswind Distance                 ISC calculates exactly, CRSTER approximates
                                   with  arc length

Plume Trapping, Lofting             Same
                                      17-10

-------
           Table 3-1.  Meteorological data input
                       options for  ISCST.
Input of  hourly data by preprocessed data tape  or card deck
Site-specific wind-profile exponents
Site-specific vertical potential temperature gradients
Rural Mode or Urban Mode 1 or 2
Entrainment coefficients other than the Briggs  (1975) coefficients
Final or  distance  dependent plume rise
Wind system measurement height other than 10 meters
                               17-11

-------
Table 2-2. Default values for the wind-profile exponents
      and vertical potential temperature gradients.
Pasquill Stability
Category
A
B
C
D
E
F
Wind-Profile
Exponent p
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.30
Vertical
Potential
Temperature
Gradient (°K/m)
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.020
0.035
                          17-12

-------
       Table  2-3. Pasquill-Gifford dispersion coefficients
       used by the ISC model in the rural  and urban modes.
Actual Pasquill
Stability Category*
A
B
C
D
E
F
1
Paaquill Stability Category for the Oy, az
Values Used in ISC Model Calculations
Rural Mode
A
B
C
D
E
F
Urban Mode 1
A
B
C
D
D
D
Urban Mode 2
A
A
B
C
D
0
*The  ISCST program redefines extremely stable G stability as very stable F
 stability.
                               17-13

-------
   Table 4-1.  Meteorological data input options  for ISCLT.

Input of all meteorological data by card deck or by magnetic tape Inven-
tory previously  generated by ISCLT
STAR summaries with five or six Pasquill stability categories
Site-specific mixing heights
Site-specific ambient air temperatures
Site-specific wind-profile exponents
Site-specific vertical potential temperature gradients
Rural Mode or Urban Mode 1 or 2
Entrainment coefficients other than the Briggs (1973) coefficients
Final or distance dependent plume rise
Wind system measurement height other than 10 meters
                                    17-14

-------
                        AMBIENT TEMPERATURE
STABILITY                    SUGGESTED VALUE
A, B, C            AVERAGE DAILY MAXIMUM FOR EACH SEASON
   D               AVERAGE FOR EACH SEASON
E, F               AVERAGE DAILY MINIMUM FOR EACH SEASON

                             MIXING HEIGHTS
A                  1.5 TIMES MEAN AFTERNOON HEIGHT
B, C               MEAN AFTERNOON HEIGHT
D                  AVERAGE OF MEAN MORNING AND AFTERNOON HEIGHTS
E, F               MEAN MORNING HEIGHT
                                 17-15

-------
                      ISC DISPERSION MODEL FEATURES

ST   LT
 X          SOURCE INPUT - CONSTANT OR VARY BY  MONTH,  HOUR,  SEASON  AND
            HOUR,  OR WIND SPEED AND STABILITY
      X     SOURCE INPUT - CONSTANT OR VARY BY  SEASON, OR WIND  SPEED, OR
            WIND SPEED AND STABILITY
 X    X     SOURCE TYPES - AT LEAST TOO OF ANY  COMBINATION OF POINT, AREA,
 X    X     RECEPTORS -  ARTESIAN OR POLAR
 X    X     TERRAIN EFFECTS - SAME AS CRSTER
 X    X     DOWNWASH - STACK TIP OR BUILDING WAKES
 X    X     ATMOSPHERIC DECAY
 X    X     PARTICULATE SETTLING AND DEPOSITION
 X    X     CONCENTRATIONS OR DEPOSITION AMOUNTS
 X          AVERAGING TIMES - 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12,  24 HOURS AND  N  DAYS
      X     AVERAGING TIMES - SEASON OR YEAR
 X    X     OUTPUT - TAPE OR PRINTOUT
 X    X     FINAL  OR TRANSITIONAL PLUME RISE
                                   17-16

-------
                 SOURCE COMBINATION GROUPS
      MAXIMUM 150 GROUPS OF ANY SET OF POINT, AREA, AND
                        VOLUME SOURCES
                           EXAMPLES
GROUP 1
GROUP 2
GROUP 3
GROUP 4

GROUP 5
GROUP 6
1-100
1
2
3-20

1-59
60-100
ALL SOURCES
POWER PLANT A
POWER PLANT B
XYZ CHEMICAL COMPANY
           COMPLEX
ALL SOURCES IN STATE A
ALL SOURCES IN STATE B
                              17-17

-------
oo
                                                    ORE PROCESSING BUILDING

                                                      »	—9Om	—*
                         ORE PILE
                                    CONVEYOR BELT
	— 96m —
                                                         ROOF MONITOR
                                                                             SOm
                   Mm
                    t
                                                                        i
                   STACK
                                      (a) PLANT LAYOUT
                                                                   50
                      lOOm
            STACK|


^OOF MONITOR •


  PROCESSING
    BUILDING
                                                                           25m
                                      (b)  SIDE VIEW  OF PLANT
                              N
      FIGURK  2-11.   Plant  layout and aide view of a hypothetical potash processing plunt.

-------
                           . w
                          •"2.15
                 t
                W
                                     •
                                     4
           •
           5
                                                • 10
                                                •9
                                                •e
                                                •7
     •6>
                    (a)  EXACT REPRESENTATION
                            2.15
                          2W
                 t
                 w
•
2
•
3
                                                •5
                                                •4
                   —-W—
                    (b) APPROXIMATE REPRESENTATION
FIGUHZ 2-10.   Exact and approximate representation* of a line source by mul-
             tiple volume sources.
                                   17-19

-------
FIGURE 2-2.  Example of a polar receptor grid.  The stippled area shows the
             property of a hypothetical industrial source complex.
                                    17-20

-------
3UW
2000
1000
0
-1000
-2000
-3000
-30






























































































































•







OO -200O -IOOO









•'•




















••-
-•••;
:















.-
1. .-

:.- '

















.'--.

-
















.






















































































-
































0 1000 2000 30
FIGURE 2-3.  Ezaapl* of an irregularly-spaced Cartesian recepcor grid.  The
             stippled area shows the property of a hypothetical industrial
             source complex.
                                  17-21

-------
    Table 2-12.  Particle-size distribution, gravitational
   settling velocities and surface reflection coefficients
for particulate  emissions from the ore pile and conveyor belt,
Particle
Size Category '
(U)
0-10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - SO
50 - 65
Mass Mean
Diameter
(V)
6.30
15.54
25.33
35.24
45.18
17.82
Mass Fraction
*n
0.10
0.40
0.28
0.12
0.06
0.04
Settling
Velocity
Vgn (m/sec)
0.001
0.007
0.019
0.037
0.061
0.099
Reflection
Coefficient
^n
1.00
0.82
0.72
0.65
0.59
0.50
                             17-22

-------
IsS
00
                                       (H-v,a/0)
                                                                              TOTAL REFLECTION
                                                                                        
-------
                 Chapter  18
     Elements and Applications of the
       Multiple Source (RAM)  Model
                      Chapter Goal

To familiarize students with the elements and applications of the Multiple Source
(RAM) model that is currently available on the UNAMAP computer package.


                   Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  describe the application of the Multiple Source model to a given
    source and surrounding terrain features.
  2.  describe the accuracy of the Multiple Source model under given source-
    receptor conditions.


                     Lesson Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (RAM).


                    Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements and Applications of the Multiple Source
(RAM) Model.
                            18-1

-------
         MODELING NOTES
         by Peter H. Guldberg

Elements and Applications of the Multiple
         Source (RAM) Model
                  18-3

-------
    MULTIPLE SOURCE (RAM) MODEL
MULTIPLE SOURCE MODEL FOR SHORT-TERM CONCENTRATIONS

EIGHT (8) COMPUTER PROGRAMS

      RAMQ        RAM
      RAMMET      RAMR
      RAMBLK      RAMF
      CUMF        RAMFR

RUN COST APPROXIMATELY 1/3C PER SOURCE/RECEPTOR/DAY

CODE ON U.NAMAP AVAILABLE FROM NTIS, $350.00

TWO (2) VOLUME USER'S MANUAL
                         18-5

-------
                        RAM DISPERSION COEFFICIENTS


                    PASQUILL-GIFFORD             MCELROY-POOLER

Based on mea-       Gently rolling rural         St. Louis urban
surements in        terrain                      area

Roughness (ZQ)      3-30 centimeters             TOO centimeters

Named Regime        Rural                        Urban
                                             18-6

-------
 1,000 =
   1  nl  i  l iiHIM   i  i ii inn
     0.1       1.0       10       100
            DOWNWIND DISTANCE (KM)
10,000
 1,000
 a (m)
  y
   100
    10
      0.1       1.0    '    10        100
            DISTANCE  DOWNWIND  (KM)
                PASQUILL-6IFFORD
      	   MCELROY-POOLER
                     18-7

-------
   FACTORS IN SELECTING URBAN VS RURAL





URBAN CORE POPULATION AND DENSITY



SOURCE HEIGHT



RECEPTOR LOCATION
                   18-8

-------
                       SUMMARY  OF RAM MODEL CAPABILITIES
                  Item
               Comment
Averaging  Times
Plume  Rise

Terrain  Adjustment
Atmospheric  Decay
Rural  Dispersion  Rates
Urban  Dispersion  Rates
Meteorological  Input Data
Plume  Trapping,  Lofting

Sources
Receptors
Output
1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12, or 24 hours
Transitional and final rise, momentum and
buoyancy effects, stack downwash
None
Exponential half-life
Same as CRSTER
McElroy-Pooler
Same as CRSTER; card input also available
Same as CRSTER except no upper boundry
exists in stable conditions
Maximum 250 point sources and 100 area
sources at arbitary locations
Area sources can be one of 3 heights
Program identifies most significant sources
Constant emissions or hourly values
3 types:  arbitary, program selected maxi-
mum, and honeycomb grid.  One elevation
height above ground available
Extensive source-contribution tables and
cumulative  frequency  distributions  for 24-
hour concentrations.  No second  highest
determinations
                                          18-9

-------
            RAM PROGRAM MODULES
RAMMET   -  SAME AS CRSTER PREPROCESSOR

RAMQ     -  PROCESSES EMISSIONS DATA AND RANKS SOURCES
            BY SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACTS

RAMBLK   -  BLOCK DATA

CUMF     -  PLOTS AND PRINTS CUMULATIVE FREQUENCY DIS-
            TRIBUTIONS OF 24-HOUR CONCENTRATIONS
                             18-10

-------
NORMAL RUN
FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION
         RUN
URBAN SIGMAS
RURAL SIGMAS
RAM
RAMR
RAMF
RAMFR
          18-11

-------
                   POINT AND
                 AREA SOURCES
                      i
                     RAMQ
                   DISK FILE OF
                  EMISSIONS .DATA
  DISK FILE OF
HOURLY EMISSIONS
  PRINTOUT OF
1-HOUR AND N-HOUR
  CONCENTRATIONS
                                     RAM OR RAMR
                                          p
     DISK FILE
        OF
SOURCE-CONTRIBUTION
      RESULTS
                                  SURFACE DATA
                                 MIXING HEIGHTS
HOURLY
MET CARDS
T or ^
/
/*
( RAMMET
X^^ -*
nTri/ rTir nr
MET DATA
PUNCHED CARDS
     OF
CONCENTRATIONS
                                             18-12

-------
             RAM/RAMR OPTIONS


 1     POINT SOURCE INPUT?
 2     AREA SOURCE INPUT?
 3     SPECIFIED RECEPTORS?
 4     SIGNIFICANT POINT RECEPTORS?
 5     SIGNIFICANT AREA RECEPTORS?
 6     HONEYCOMB GRID OF RECEPTORS?
 7     HOURLY CONCENTRATION OUTPUT?
 8     SOURCE-CONTRIBUTIONS TO  DISK?
 9     HOURLY SUMMARIES ONLY?
10     PUNCH CARDS FOR ISOPLETHS?
11     INPUT MET DATA ON CARDS?
12     SPECIFY SIGNIFICANT  SOURCE NUMBERS?
13     READ HOURLY EMISSIONS?
                       18-13

-------
POINT AND
AREA SOURCES
      I
     RAMQ
                                             HOURLY
                                           MET CARDS
                   DISK FILE OF
                  EMISSIONS DATA
    DISK
  HOURLY
FILE OF
EMISSIONS
PRINTOUT 24-HOUR
CONCENTRATIONS AND 5
HIGHEST 1 AND 24-
HOUR CONCENTRATIONS
                                                          SURFACE DATA
                                                          MIXING HEIGHTS
                                                               V

                                                          C  RAMMET   J



                                                           DISK FILE OF
                                                             MET DATA
                                                           TAPE FILE OF 1-
                                                          HOUR CONCENTRATION
                                        DISK FILE OF
                                   24-HOUR CONCENTRATIONS
                                       C
                                   CUMF
                                            T
                                     PLOTS AND PRINTOUT
                                     OF CUMULATIVE FRE-
                                     QUENCY DUSTRIBUTIONS
                                       18-14

-------
                      RAM PRINTOUT

                       N=24-HOURS

HOUR 1              1-HOUR SIGNIFICANT POINT CONTRIBUTIONS
                   1-HOUR SIGNIFICANT AREA CONTRIBUTIONS
                   1-HOUR SUMMARY TABLE
                            (REPEAT)

                            (REPEAT)
                  24-HOUR SIGNIFICANT POINT CONTRIBUTIONS
                  24-HOUR SIGNIFICANT AREA CONTRIBUTIONS
                  24-HOUR SUMMARY TABLE
                               18-15

-------
tUN BT: E» KREMSHAW. AIR ( HAIAKftOUS MATER.  01V..  REtlOk tV.EPAd  JAM 76)
EMISSIONS: TEST Cltt,  1973
SfC MET. »ATA: TEST CITT 1973 ;  UPPER AIR:  TEST C1TT  1973
INPUT MET »ATA
NOUI   TNETA
       <»E6>
       33.00
       23.00
          73/
          SPEED
          CN/S)

           6.17
           4.63
            M1IIN6   TEMP
           HE16HTCM) (DEC-K)
                     STAHLITT
                     CLASS
            429.11
            401.70
RESULTANT MET CONDITIONS

 MINft DIRECTION*:  2B.71
 AVERAGE HIN6 SPEED*   5.40
 MSN» PERSISTENCE^  .996
            26V.f?
            271.46
                             RESULTANT  WIND  SPEEC^    S.36
                             AVEBAKE  TEMP= 270.65
                             MOBAL  STACILlTf  4
       JI6NIHCANT POINT RECEPTORS
RECEPTOR f  CAST
  3
  4
  S
  6
  7
  8
  9
 to
 11
 12
 7
 7
 5
 5
 8
 e
 9
 9
11
11
564.43
564.16
S79.45
$79.40
577.38
577.30
576.67
576.59
562.94
582.89
                     NORTH
4407.01
4406.52
4403.16
4403.07
4401.21
4401.OB
4400.55
4400.40
4400.BO
4400.70
PREDICTED MAI CONC.
  

         39.?9

        839.47

        446.56

        619.39

        427.<3
MAI. 6JST
  (KM)

    .902
   1.PO*
    .166
    .311
    .2*9
    .4*9
    .276
    .551
    .187
    .374
                                                               Ef f . MT
156.3*5
156.365
 32.007
 32.007
 47.506
 47.506
 52.296
 52.296
 35.952
 35.952
                                                                          U(PMT HT)
P. 026
6.026
t.281
6.7S1
6.890
6.89C
4.753
4.753
6.263
6.263
       SIGNIFICANT AREA SOURCE RECEPTORS

RECEPTOR f  EAST     NOITH
 13
 14
 IS
 16
 17
 18
 19
 20
 21
 22
 4
 3
 5
 9
 2
10
 8
 7
13
12
578.42
576.43
578.43
578.43
574.43
560.41
574.43
570.87
582.41
580.41
4399.94
4399.95
4401.96
4405.95
4399.96
4405.92
4405.96
4403.94
4403.92
4403.92
                                              18-16

-------
••• •?» (• RMNSNAM.  At* ft NAtAKtOUS WAtt*. H*..  RCC10M  BV.CPM   JAN T8>
CMISSIO*S: TEST  CITT.  1973
SfC «T. »ATA: TfST CITf 1973 ;  UPPCft Aid: TtST CUT  1973
   • AUK
COMTHIMITION  M0« SIGNIFICANT POIN* SOURCES

    345
SOMKCt 0
RECEP *
1
2
3
4
3
6
7
•
V
10
11
1?
13
14
13
1*
17
10
If
20
21
22
23
24
23
26
27
28
2f
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
31
39
40
41
r

.000
.000
33.799
18.203
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
5

.000
.000
.000
.000
723.757
368.049
.357
.464
.137
.181
.000
.000
.084
.536
7.980
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.GOO
.coo
.POO
.GOO
.coo
.000
.000
8

.000
.000
.000
.000
•coo
.000
431.406
204.270
7.947
9.385
.000
.000
.000
13.504
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.PCC
.OOP
.000
.coo
.ceo
.000
.POO
.000
.ceo
.000
.coc
.coo
.ooc
.000
.ceo
.coo
.roo
.coo
.ooc
.000
.coc
9

.000
.coo
.000
.coo
.000
.POO
.coo
.000
701. «8?
281. 595
.roo
.coo
.TOO
35.»2?
.coo
.coo
.coo
.coo
.coo
.coo
.roo
.coo
.000
.coo
.coo
.coo
.000
.roo
.ceo
.coo
."00
.000
.roo
.000
.roo
.coo
.roo
."00
.POO
.roo
.coo
11

.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
433.3*9
194. 8?6
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.oco
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
,000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1 • NOUII
TOTAL
SICNIF
POINT
.000
.000
35.799
18.703
723.757
368.049
431.76?
204.734
710.066
291.161
433.349
194. «26
.084
49.862
7.«eo
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
."00
."00
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
.000
1
TOTAL
ALL POINT
SOURCES
.000
.000
35.799
18.203
723.757
368.049
432.202
205.191
712.682
293.761
433.349
194.826
.084
51.679
7.980
.754
13.839
.000
.563
.000
.000
.000
26.205
8.605
.000
.021
19.45?
9.41?
29.518
.003
7.718
10.968
45.548
.820
.000
12.956
.000
.000
.94?
15.?10
.000

-------
         RUN  b»:  10 KRINSWAW. A|h I HAZARDOUS KATE*. 91V.,  »EG10I»  IV,EPA(1  JAN  T8>
         EMISSIONS: TEST OT7,  197?
         S»C  KIT.  B«TA: TEST CITT 197* ;  U"PEfc AIR: TEST ttTT  1973
00
H-i
oo
               CONCENTRATION  1 API E 
SPEte   Ml INC.
(P/S) HtlbHT(A)
  1    3T.CO      1.17    4iV.11


RECEPTOR NO.   EAST      NORTH
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
t
f
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
IV
20
21
22
2!
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
3?
33
34
35
36
37
38
3*
40
41
i r
i r
E 7
t 7
#• *
E S
P t
E' t
P 9
1 «
f 11
t 11
A 4
A »
A 5
A <<
A 2
A 10
A t-
A 7
A 13
A 12
H 0
H C
H C
M C
h C
H r
H r
H (•
N I
H 0
M r
H C
h C
h C
h r
h 0
H G
M n
M C
5tf .f»0
5t4.no
5t4.43
5f 4.1ft
•7V.45
579.40
577. 5K
577. 'C
576.67
576.59
5t 2.94
5??.*
.nooo
.021*
19.45?1
9.41??
?9.S1PO
.00v>h
7. ?18P
10. 96"?
45.54P?
.B?no
.nljni
1?.9543
.rono
.0000
.94 ?G
15.^10?
.nonr



AREA HTS: 1
TOTAL FRO*
SIGNIE AREA
SOURCES
.0000
.0000
.0000
.0000
1 .4?15
1 .4465
? .7?81
?.e?80
?.960?
3.0427
.0000
.0000
3.2543
3.0888
1.7745
1.1665
1 .6338
.8464
1.0529
.4950
.5493
.5444
.1834
1.2702
.?? 7?
.3706
.2353
.1610
.3822
.5696
.2 753
.124P
.41?1
.3788
.4319
.0959
.134?
.4»64
.OPOP
.4971
.2645
                                                                                11.,  T*.. 19.;
                                                                                         .0000
                                                                                         .0000
                                                                                         .0000
                                                                                         .OOno
                                                                                        1.4667
                                                                                        1.49?9
                                                               ?.8?80
                                                               2.9602
                                                               3.0427
                                                                .0483
                                                                .0445
                                                               3.4000
                                                               3.0888
                                                               1.8009
                                                               1.1665
                                                               1.6338
                                                                .8464
                                                               1.05?9
                                                                                         .61?0
                                                                                         .6414
                                                                                         .34?1
                                                                                        1.2702
                                                                                         .34*9
                                                                                         .4890
                                                                                         .35^6
                                                                                         .1610
                                                                                         .3822
                                                                                         .5696
                                                                                         .2753
                                                                                         .1248
                                                                                         .4121
                                                                                         .4319
                                                                                         .0959
                                                                                         .134?
                                                                                         .4364
                                                                                         • POOO
                                                                                         .497T
                                                                                         .7645
                                                                        SEPARATION NTS:
                12..  16
                                                                                    TOTAL  EROH   TOTAL FROM   CONCENTRATION
                                                                                     ALL  AREA     ALL SOURCES     RANK
                                                                                     SOURCES
   .0000
   .0000
 15.7987
 18.2026
725.2218
369.5415
434.9305
208.0191
715.6425
296.8038
411.3975
194.8708
  1.4837
 54.7674
  9.7811
  1.9200
 15.4727
   .8464
  1.6154
   .5121
   .6120
   .6414
 26.5468
  9.6749
   .3489
   .5104
 19.8057
  9.5734
 29.9002
   .57?4
  7.4931
 11.0911
 45.9601
  1.1988
   .4320
 11.052?
   .1142
   .4364
   .9420
 15.7073
   .?«4S
                                                                                                          40
                                                                                                          11
                                                                                                          15
                                                                                                           1
                                                                                                           5
                                                                                                           3
                                                                                                           r

                                                                                                           6
                                                                                                           4
                                                                                                           a
                                                                                                          24
                                                                                                           9
                                                                                                          17
                                                                                                          29
                                                                                                          26
                                                                                                          13
                                                                                                          11
                                                                                                          10
                                                                                                          11
                                                                                                          20
                                                                                                          17
                                                                                                          14
                                                                                                          14
                                                                                                          22
                                                                                                          12
                                                                                                          12
                                                                                                          23
                                                                                                          19
                                                                                                          10

                                                                                                          16
                                                                                                          18
                                                                                                          19
                                                                                                          IS
                                                                                                          28
                                                                                                          16
                                                                                                          38

-------
 *U*  •.:  tO KRCMSMAW. AIR ft MA/A»»OUS MATCH.  01W.,  REGION  XI
 {MISSIONS: TEST CITT.  197)
 S»C  HIT.  »•?•:  TEST CITT 1973 ;  UPPER AIR:  TEST  CITY  1V73
/•Aft JAM
                         7-HOUR AVERAGE SO?   SUMMARY  CONCENTRATION TA«U E8?4
2S."166
.001*
? .'0^6
12.*0«*
34.05:)?
7.7fcP1
.ro^l
18.41?*
.'.0°G
.70CC
.4711
29.?43C
.CCi?
TOTAL FRO*
SI6N1J APfA
SOURCES
.0000
.0000
.0000
.ooco
1 .6611
1.693C,
2.972S
3.0«I4?
3.227*
?.*120
.OOCO
.0300
4.1139
3.3»f6
1.97R3
1 .3397
1 .6140
.VM7
1.2067
.5670
,fc?V?
.7640
.3"C?
1.3131
.2447
.349
. 1*"6
.**1?
.nono
.^*'?
.?Pt;9
                                                                                         TOTAL  fROM    CONCENTRATION
                                                                                         ALL  SOURCES     RANK
                                                                                               .0000
                                                                                               .001*
                                                                                             32.5140
                                                                                             18.4737
                                                                                            706. OV6
                                                                                            2^8.3*147
                                                                                            6^4.4337
                                                                                            316.0301
                                                                                            413.6^14
                                                                                            206.4279
                                                                                              7.1^16
                                                                                            100.920?
                                                                                              7.7P41
                                                                                              6.1052
                                                                                             19.6640
                                                                                              1.4*81
                                                                                            13.7646
                                                                                              .411?
                                                                                              .511?
                                                                                            10. J1V4
                                                                                             9.062<»
                                                                                             3.9944
                                                                                            12.4688
                                                                                            3*.5'70
                                                                                             '.1970
                                                                                              .455',
                                                                                            18.461'
                                                                                              .1466
                                                                                              .4»1?
                                                                                              .4711
                                                                                            79.791?
                                                                                              .2»65
                                            41
                                            40
                                            11
                                            15
                                             1
                                             5
                                             3
                                             7
                                             2
                                             t
                                             *
                                             f
                                            74
                                             9
                                            73
                                            75
                                            1*
                                            >fc
                                            '7
                                            M
                                            30
                                            '9
                                            1 7
                                            18
                                            37
                                            33
                                            70
                                            71
                                            13
                                            '?
                                            76
                                            1V
                                            10
                                            22
                                            ^
                                            It
                                            39
                                            34
                                            *5
                                            12

-------
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                 RUN BY:  F.D KRE:NSHRW. PIR  4  HP/'RRDOUS MPUR.  DIV..  REGION  XV.LPRII  JRN 78)
                 EMISSIONS;  TF.ST CITY.  1973
                 SFC MF.T. nfl^fl: TF_ST CUY  iq73  :   uf-crR niR;  tfr.r  CITY  1973

-------
                Chapter  19
     Elements and Applications of the
   Complex Terrain (VALLEY)  Model
                     Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the complex terrain (VALLEY) model that is currently
available on the UNAMAP computer package.
                  Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1.  describe the application of the Complex Terrain model to a given
    source and surrounding terrain features.
  2.  describe the accuracy of the Complex terrain model under given source-
    receptor conditions.
                   Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (VALLEY).


                   Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements and Apf.-'ct!ons of the Complex Ter-
rain (VALLEY) Model.
                           19-1

-------
      Attachment 19-1. VALLEY model estimate of \ 24-hour maximum short-cut method (Ed Burt).
GENERAL FORM:




  Avalley,  24-hr
(aXb)*fhalf~lifel«fplume defleH  [6-hour]  f v *]  [Standard**]
  i    I factor  J  [tlon factor  *  24-hr  * AC *  Conditions
  i        i              i       'i      J  l  i J  I     i      J
               -0.693X/(3600*I*u)
            X in meters; I  In hours
            u in meters/second  (2.5)
                                             t
                                             [401-p]
                                             [ 400 J
                     1 ^ D ^ 401m

                 P=l for nonstable
                                                       I
                                                                         T    1013.25
                                                   298
                                                                         °K  &  nib
                                     from fig 3-5 "^
                                     Turner's WADE
                                     (stability F)

                                     W -W
    EXAMPLE:  Make an estimate of maximum X oi >.    concentration at a

              site 40 meters above plume height (at stability F, u - 2.5

              meters/second, T  - 283°K, P - 850mb). and 6400 meters

              from source.  Half-life • 3-hours.  Q » 103 g/s.


              From WADE, XK  " *-5*10~8 »eters~a  (use H - 10 meters)
              /. X_      * 1.8*10~a grams/meter"  , and
                   (fcl-hr
               '24-hr max
                           ?•   (0.18)(0.85)(0.9)(6/24)(1.8*10"2*106)(1.13)
      i
                               700 pg/m
                                      19-3

-------
    J
	l.i'I i
  Valley   Model

SHORTCUT  TO VALLEY MODEL  ESTIMATE OF X 24-hour
                                                                                                   1 UtllS  ll ?
-------
         MODELING NOTES
         by Peter H. Guldberg

Elements and Applications of the Complex
       Terrain (VALLEY) Model
                  19-5

-------
                VALLEY MODEL
   PROVIDES ESTIMATE OF MAXIMUM 24-HOUR
POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION IN COMPLEX TERRAIN
    ASSUMES WORST CASE OCCURS FOR PLUME
    IMPINGEMENT UNDER STABLE CONDITIONS
  FIELD DATA INDICATE A COMMON WORST CASE
  IS CLASS F, 2.5 m/s, 6 HOURS PERSISTENCE
       OF WIND IN A 22 1/2° SECTOR
       NOT DESIGNED FOR:
            — CURVING PLUMES

            — UNSTABLE CONDITIONS

            — DOWNWASH

            - CALMS

            — FUMIGATION
                        19-7

-------
                               EPA POLICY ON COMPLEX TERRAIN
                        INSUFFICIENT EMPIRICAL DATA EXIST TO SPECIFY
                        GENERALLY APPLICABLE COMPLEX TERRAIN MODELS
                        SCREENING TECHNIQUES:
                             -- VALLE   JR STABLE CONDITIONS
                             — CRAMER FOR UNSTABLE CONDITIONS

                        IF POTENTIAL PROBLEM IS INDICATED:
                             -- SOURCE DEVELOPS ON-SITE DATA BASE
                             -- APPLY REFINED MODEL
                        EPA INITIATING 5-YEAR PLAN IN FY 80 TO DE-
 (                      VELOP AND TEST COMPREHENSIVE COMPLEX TER-
                        RAIN MODELS
C
                                              19-8

-------
         VALLEY MODEL CAPABILITIES


• MULTIPLE SOURCES, UP TO 50 POINT OR A EA
• STAR  INPUT DATA
• POLLUTANT HALF-LIFE
• CONCENTRATION UNITS
• URBAN/RURAL OPTION
• LIMITED MIXING
» LONG-TERM/24-HOUR OPTION
* 112 FIXED RECEPTORS
• TERRAIN ADJUSTMENT
                        19-9

-------
                   UNSTABLE AND
                NEUTRAL CATEGORIES
                     STABLE
                   CATEGORIES
                                                                        FRACTION
                                                                        OF PLUME
                                                                        REMAINING
                                                                        IN SECTOR
        Figure  2-1.   Depiction  of  Plume  Height In Complex Terrain, as in the Valley
        Model,  h   is the  Height of  the  Plume at Final  Rise Above Ground for the
        Unstable and  Neutral  Cases and Above Stack Base for the Stable Cases.  Plumes
        are Shown for Flows Toward and Away  from Elevated Terrain.
C
                                              19-10

-------
                                       .u             / —
                               RELOC4TI Z/3 INCH OP-/
                                                       mO
                                                       .O
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                                                                                                     .0
                                                                                               .0      VH  VALLEY VI
                                                                                                     H4IN SMCK
                                                                                          .0
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                                                         • COORD •
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                                                                          .F.T   <460.UC-   60.OC
                                                                                        ,!,
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                     .0
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                                                             .0

                                                                               .U
                                                     U  KM       .b09KH   1.218KH   1.827KN    2.43CXH   3.3>»5KM   J.C5«lKH
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                                                             .u   	RELOCATE 2/2 INCH DOWN
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                                                                                                   SLOPING TERRAIN CONCEFT.

-------
                                             .0             / —
                                     RELOCATE 2/3  INCH  UP-/
                                                • 0
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                                    .0                                       VENTS.I AS AREA ERCI
                      .0                          .0
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                                                                          TEST RUN — 502
                                                           PARTIAL WIND ROSE FOR EASY DUPLICATION.
            .U                      .0                      .0
 /                        .0                 .0
CONCTR CORRCTO TO STD COND VIA  FACTOR 1.106.   MAX  TOWARD  9U. DEC. NORTHl TOWARD
                                                             •C
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                                                                                         101.2
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                                                     /    9A.2  /        /
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                              .0           .(j                    I        I    /••••••••  870.    .0
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                                           .U
                                                                                            .0
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                                                            U KM
                                                            3.. ..
                                                   .6U9KH    1.Z1BKH   1.827KM    2.H3CKH    3.DM5KM   3.CS4KM
                                               	3	+	3	«	3	»....3	*	3	«....]
                                                .O   __RQ-OC»TC 2/3 INCH DOUf:
                                                .O	/                 .tl               SLOPING TERRAIN COMCCPT.

-------
        TEST  RUM -- 302                           P4RTI4L MIND ROSE FOR E* Sf DUPLICATION.
     SOURCE  0*T».  PLOT 180.63?
        SOURCE  N4ME            COOKDX COORUY  STK HT   ENISS R4TE  FIXO DH   SOR  M   SOR H  BRICUN  BRIOE  8RICF  4IR T  6«S T   OHM  G*S
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f
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-------
                      .0
                                                .0
                            .0
                                                                  .0       VI» VM.LEY VI
                                                                        SUM CONC  DUC TO *LL  SBCS
                                                                              . (J
                                                                                               .0

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                                                                                        P4RTHL HIND ROSE FOR E*SY  DUPLIC4TICN.
                                                                                         .0
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-------
     J.1!>.B             X
RELOCATE  2/3 INCH UP- -f
                                                                 11S.B
                                                                 115. E
                                              115.8
                                                                                    115-8
             AS
~-f  -
                        12.5,8
                                                 115,8
                              115.8
                                   115.8-
                                        115.8
                                                                 US.8
                                                                 SX5..8
                                                                 115.8
                                                                                  115.8
                                                                               115.8
                                                       115, 8
                                                                           115. 8
                                                                    115 .8


                                                               115.8      VIA  VALLEY VI
                                                                        GROUND ELEV DIFFERENCtS.

                                                         115.8
                                                                      TEST  RUM — S02
                                                      PARTIAL  WIND ROSE  FOR  EASY DUPLICATION.
                                                    11S.8               „  _
                                                                               W-33.5  300
WORTH TOWARD TOP. 1 1/lU » U SOURCE H T< 1J t- 1 RECPT H HTINIIS, HTS IM METERS. f ,.
.0 faf5 v&o
115,8 115.8 -wtflCV1' *rS\
.0 115.3 T J
115.8 115.8 200
»O 11S»8 115.8 1-25.9
•U r/- //)/) -19.%
u?,a 50 'fi' i
»«J 115,8 115,8 ").0 -|12.b /
llr.8 115. 8Ti
McAies KzceproR. eieVATWH M^f^^( \
s.0 .O «,U .0 .U SvL/^Nt; "A ~2 -U
^ &$ Mse; "-^^i2!0
.0 ilb.jr 11 5. a |
X^ 115.8
.0 (_ WIN& t>l&eCTl0H
»t> iis.8 RAN6CS n
115*8 Il5»8
.0 115.8
I I i.u«u
L12.6 -22.9
BOR ELEV JCOORDX
33UU.FT««I«»**»«»
rl2.6 CRIG.E Ul
I ••!•••••••
1 -21.3
5.8 -2S.L'I
j 5.8 VV HE AN MIND SPOSIMPSl W 115. B /
^0 $$$•*••$#* ift# •••••••• * • • • 4
en
* • * •
-55.




"w




_ ED VALUES BY
ID ELEV DIFF IN H
-HU.8 -J5.1 \
1 CIGH/SECJ riXD OH
H O.COCO !»•••••
DHNI JSTAR r WIDTH
1CUN P«MB» MUT \
•••••••S* rt i
•u\
' \ \
-12. T
                                         US. 8
                                                                                         115.8
                                                                                                        AIR T  CAS  T   DIAN  CAS  V  FLOU
                                   115.8
                                                                                               115.8
                              115.8
                                                   115.8
                                                 115.8
                         115,8
                                                                 115.8
                                                                 115,8
                                                                               115.e
                                                                                 115.8
                                                                                                    115.8
                                                                                                         115.3
                                              115.8
      RURL»  SHRT-TERM  MODE,
                                           115.82
                                               115.tt
                                  .6li9KM    1.218KN   1.B27KM    2.436KH    3. Q15KH   3.65
-------
                Chapter 20
     Elements and Applications  of the
     Ozone Isopleth (EKMA/OZIPP)
                     Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the Ozone Isopleth (EKMA/OZIPP) model that is currently
available for use and is endorsed by the Environmental Protection Agency.


                  Chapter Objectives

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. describe the application of the Ozone Isopleth model to a
   given source and surrounding terrain features.
  2. describe the accuracy of the Ozone Isopleth model under given source-
   receptor conditions.


                   Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (EKMA/OZIPP).


                   Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Elements and Applications „/ ike Ozone Isopleth
(EKMA/OZIPP) Model.
                           20-1

-------
        MODELING NOTES
        by Peter H. Guldberg

Elements and Applications of the Ozone
   Isopleth (EKMA/OZIPP) Model
                20-3

-------
    REVISIONS TO PHOTOCHEMICAL OXIPANTS NAAQS



1.  RAISE STANDARD TO 120 PPB

2.  CHANGE TO OZONE

3.  CHANGE MONITORING CALIBRATION PROCEDURE

4.  CHANGE TO STATISTICAL FORM

5.  TREATMENT OF MISSING DATA

6.  CHANGES TO CONTROL STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCEDURES



                 BY DEFINITION:
    The ozone NAAQS is attained "When the expected
    number of days per calendar year with maximum
    hourly average concentrations above 120 PPB is
    equal to or less than one".
                         20-5

-------
      TECHNIQUES FOR OZONE SIP DEVELOPMENT
1.  PHOTOCHEMICAL DISPERSION MODELS
2.  EMPIRICAL KINETICS MODELING APPROACH (EKMA)
3.  STATISTICAL AND EMPIRICAL MODELS
4.  MODIFIED LINEAR ROLLBACK
                         20-6

-------
MODIFIED LINEAR ROLLBACK
    0, - A(TQ - 40) - 120

         °3 - AT0
03 =  DESIGN VALUE OF OZONE
TQ =  CURRENT OZONE TRANSPORT
 A =  ADDITIVITY FRACTION
              20-7

-------
INITIAL
CONDITIONS







I
WIMP |
1
1
1
1

/ V V V

-*— '1— »-
-fr




11
• •*•
X
^^
i
i
i
i
i
i
i
\H^

-«— 12-
-$



^J
1^'
^





Uio

-*•



w
p^







/^

-« —
N
y


2x
•"-)







^

-'3-


,''









"Q3

— ^•

IV
V









— *•



13x
1^









'


+/
\^X^ DILUTION RATE, x%/hr.
s




~^^^*~ ETC.
KEY
ti TIME PERIOD i
Mi MIXING DEPTH AFTER TIME i
Qi PRECURSORS INJECTED INTO
COLUMN DURINGTIME i
// ~tj-= SUNLIGHT INTENSITY DURIN
1 *T- TIME i
Figure 6. Conceptual view of the column model.
                  20-8

-------
                EKMA ISOPLETHS
    STANDARD
HAND APPLICATION
FIXED SET OF
   ASSUMPTIONS
PREDICTS CHANGES
   IN 03 ONLY
    CITY SPECIFIC

OZIPP COMPUTER PROGRAM


LOCAL CONDITIONS INPUT


PREDICTS ABSOLUTE CON-
CENTRATIONS AND CHANGES
IN 03
INPUTS -
     DESIGN 0,
     MEDIAN 6-9 am
     NMHC/NOV RATIO
            A
DESIGN 03  =  0.280 PPM

MEDIAN RATIO  =  6

STARTING POINT COORDINATES ARE:
    NMHC

     NO.
0.86 PPM

0.146 PPM
QUESTION 1:    What NMHC reduction will reduce 03 to
               0.120 PPM?
               R  =  0.86 - 0.4/ 0.86  =  53%
QUESTION 2:    If NO^ is reduced 50%, what NMHC reduc-
               tion is needed?
               R  =  0.86  - 0.26/  0.86  =   70%
                        20-9

-------
OZONE ISOPLETH PLOTTING PACKAGE (OZIPP)
NTIS: PB 287-768.   COST: $250.00
INPUTS:
   LIGHT INTENSITY- LATITUDE, LONGITUDE, DAY
   MIXING HEIGHT-  DIURNAL VARIATION
   NMHC AND NOX EMISSIONS AFTER 8 am
   NMF'C "EACTIVITY
   ALDEHYDE FRACTION OF NMHC
   N02 FRACTION OF NOX
   TRANSPORT OF NMHC, N02, AND 03 INTO URBAN AREA,
       BOTH ALOFT  AND AT THE SURFACE
                    20-10

-------
      USE OF CITY SPECIFIC ISOPLETHS
1.  EXISTING CONDITIONS
   •DESIGN 03, MEDIAN RATIO
                STARTING POINT
                 COORDINATES
2.  FUTURE CONTROLLED
          STATE
-^NECESSARY REDUCTIONS IN
   LOCAL NMHC AND NOX
   EMISSIONS
                     20-11

-------
                Chapter  21
  Elements and Applications of Mobile

           Source  Model (Mobile 1)



                    Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the Mobile Source (MOBILE1) procedure.


                  Chapter Objective

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. explain the procedure used to determine the percentage amount of hydro-
   carbon emissions from all types of vehicles.


                  Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes (MOBILE1).


                  Support Material

Peter Guldberg, Modeling Notes, Mobile Source Emissions (MOBILE1) Model.
                          21-1

-------
 MODELING NOTES
 by Peter H. Guldberg

Mobile Source  Emissions
  (MOBILE1) Model
          21-3

-------
                MOBILE SOURCE EMISSIONS MODEL


MOBILE1 PROGRAM AND USER'S GUIDE          CURRENTLY AVAILABLE


P!OBILE2 PROGRAM AND USER'S GUIDE          AVAILABLE NOVEMBER 1980
CONTACT:   EPA OFFICE OF MOBILE SOURCE CONTROL
           2565 PLYMOUTH ROAD
           ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN  48105
           (313) 668-4306
                               21-5

-------
    REQUIRED INPUT FOR EACH SCENARIO






i.  REGION



2.  CALENDAR YEAR



3.  AVERAGE VEHICLE SPEED



4.  ANBJRNT TEMPERATURE



5.  7, COLD START VMT



6.  % HOT START VMT
                   21-6

-------
                     EMISSION PARAMETERS
3  REGIONS                        Low ALTITUDE
                                  CALIFORNIA
                                  HIGH ALTITUDE  (>fc,000 FT)
6  VEHICLE TYPES                  |_DY
                                  LDT1
                                  LDT2
                                  HDG
                                  HDD
                                  MC
3  POLLUTANTS                      HC
                                   CO
                                   NO,
CALENDAR YEARS  1970-1999
                               21-7

-------
              OPTIONAL INPUTS AND DEFAULT'VALUES
VMT Mix BY VEHICLE TYPE



VEHICLE DISTRIBUTION BY AGE



INSPECTION/MAINTENANCE



AIR CONDITIONING



HUMIDITY



IDLE EMISSIONS



HC EMISSIONS
NATIONAL AVG,



NATIONAL AVG.



NONE



NONE



75 GRAINS/LB



NONE



TOTAL
                              21-8

-------
             NATIONWIDE AVERAGE

    COLD/HOT START MIX FOR MOTOR VEHICLES
Vehicles Cold                      20.58%
 Start Mode
Vehicles Hot                       27.28%
 Start Mode
Vehicles Hot                       52.14%
 Stabilized Mode                   _____
Total                             100.00%
                    21-9

-------
  MIX (1979 G 1982)- VEL-32 .0 ,TEMP»20
TOTAL HC EMISSION FACTORS INCLUDE EVAP,  HC EMISSION FACTORS
CAL. YEAR: 1979
REGION: 49-sTATE

TOTAL HC
EXHAUST CO
EXHAUST NOX

CAL. YEAR:
REGION: 49


TOTAL HC
EXHAUST CO
EXHAUST NOX
LDV
: 5.46
: 53.10
: 3.19

1982 .


LDV
: 3.56
: 36.65
: 2.57
TEMP: 20
32.0:32.
COMPOSI
LDT1
6.39
59.83
3.29

TEMP: 20
32.0:32.
COMPOSI
LDT1
5.08
57.63
2.88
VEH. TYPE
.0(F)
0/32.0/32.0
TE EMISSION
LDT2
9,77
71.32
5.95
VEH. TYPE
,0(F)
0/32.0/32,0
TE EMISSION
LDT2
7.57
65.71
4.64
: LUV
0.811/0
MPH (32.
FACTORS
HOG
15.93
168.83
11.66
: LUV
0.811/0
MPH (32.
FACTORS
HD(>
11.73
177.39
..11.12
LDT1 LDT2 HOG
.144/0.013/0.023/0
0) 20. O/ 20, O/
(GM/MILE)
HDD MC
3.17 8.74
17.59 32.68
18.35 0.21
LDT1 LOT2 HDG
.144/0.013/0.023/0
0) 20. 0/ 20, 0/
(GM/MILE)
HDD C
2.95 5.94
16.31 23.68
17.76 0.47
HDD MC
.009/0 ,0
20.0
ALL MODES
5.87
56.71
3.57
HDD HC
.009/0.0
20.0

ALL MODES
4.02
43.10
2.97

-------
                       NATIONWIDE AVERAGE
                    MOTOR VEHICLE MIX BY TYPE


        Vehicle Type                    Percentage of VMT
Light-Duty Vehicles (LDV)                     80.3%
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks
           0-6000 Ib GVWl/ (LDT1)              5.8%
           Over 6000 Ib GVW (LDT2)             5.8%
Heavy-Duty gasoline Trucks (HDG)               4.5%
Heavy-Duty Diesel Trucks (HDD)                 3.1%
Motorcycles (MC)                               0.5%

Total                                        100.0%
 I/ Gross vehicle weight.
                             21-11

-------
         REVISED  INSTRUCTIONS FOR VOLUME 9.  WORKSHEET  2
                 Instruction

                 Enter "freeflow" emissions (g/m) from MOBILE1
                 run using cruise speed on line A.   Note
                 MOBILE1 emissions (g/mile) must be multiplied
                 by a conversion factor of 0.0006214.

17a              First, calculate a correction factor  Ct as
                 the composite emission rate (g/mile)  predicted
                 by MOBILE1 for study area conditions  using a
                 speed of 5 mph, divided by 188.8 g/mile (the
                 emission rate at 5 mph for the standard
                 conditions given in the Guideline).   Multiply
                 this Ct times line 16.

17b              Multiply line 5 by the sum of each approach of
                 line 6.9, divide by line 6.5.

17c              Subtract 17b from 17a and enter on line 17-

18               Multiply line 5 by line 2, divide  by  3600.
                 Enter this as the adjusted free-flow  emission
                 rate.
                            21-12

-------
BURLINGTON  KOOOS-VLL«3t.0,TEMP«33 K
      TCTAL HC EMISSION FACTORS  INCLUDE  EVAP.  HC  EMISSION  FACTORS

                               VEh.  TYPE:   LDV    LDT1   LDT2  HOG   HDD
 CAL. YEAR: i960     TEMP
 REGION! 49-STATE    3fe,0
 33,0(FJ         0.803 /C. 058/0.058/0.045/0.031/0.005
38.0/38,0/38.0 MPH (3t,0)      20.6/ 27.3/ 20.6
  LDV I/M PROGRAM STARTING  IN  1982,  STRINGENCY  LEVEL 20'4, MECH.  TRAINING: YES
  1/M PROG. BENEFITS APPLY  ONLY  TL MODEL  YEARS  1951  THROUGH  1999

                      COMPOSITE  EMISSION  FACTORS  (GM/M1LE)
               LDV      LUT1     LDT2      HOG      HCD       MC     ALL MCDES
EXHAUST  CO:  36.59    44.77     54.56    152.66    14.33    22.71      42.57

                               VEh.  TYPE:   LDV    LDT1  LOT2  HOG   HDD   MC
 CAL. YEAR: 19K2     TEMP:  33.OIF)         o.803/c.o58/o.o58/G.045/0.031/0.005
 REGICN: 49-STATE    3fc.O:38.0/38.0/3b.O  MPH  136.0)     20.6/ 27.3/ 20,6
  LCV I/M PKUGKAM STARTING  IN  1982»  STRINGENCY  LEVEL 20X, MECH. TRAINING: YES
  1/M PROG. BENEFITS APPLY  ONLY  TO MOCEL  YEARS  1951  THROUGH  1999-

                      COMPOSITE  EMISSION  FACTORS  (GM/MILE)
               LOV      LDT1     LDT2      HOG      HDD       MC     ALL MCOES
EXHAUST  CO!  27,86    43,19     51.22    16CK27    13.6C    18.09  _ ^ 35.57

                               VEh,  TYPE:   LDV    LDT1  LDT2  HOC   HDD   ^C
 CAL. YEAR! 1987     TLMP:'  33,0(F)         0.803/C.056/0.058/C.045/0.031/0.005
 REGION: 49-STATE    3t.o:3o.o/3e.o/3e.c  MPH  i3t.o)     20.&/ 27.3/ 20.6
  LUV 1/M PKOGKAf, STARTING  IN  1982r  STRINGENCY  LEVEL 205i, MECH. TRAINING! YES
  I/M PROG. BENEFITS AT"LY  ONLY  TU MOCEL  YEARS  1S51  THROUGH  1999

                      COMPOSITE  EMISSION  FACTORS  (CK/MILE)
               LDV      LOT1     LDT2      HOG      HCD       MC     ALL MCDES
EXHAUST  CO:   7.59    29.70     36.09    11C.77    12.94      5.71      15.32

-------
                  Chapter  22
         Shoreline Fumigation  Model
                       Chapter Goal

To familiarize you with the Shoreline Fumigation model developed by Walter
Lyons and Henry Cole, and to familiarize you with the techniques used to predict
concentrations along the interface of land and water.
                    Chapter Objective

Upon completion of this chapter, you should be able to:
  1. use the Lyons and Cole techniques of modeling plume behavior along the
    interface of land and water to predict concentrations of pollutants.
                     Chapter Outline

Follows Modeling Notes, Shoreline Fumigation Model.


                     Support Material

Walter Lyons and Henry Cole, Modeling Notes,  Shoreline Fumigation Model with
Appendix.
                              22-1

-------
   MODELING NOTES
     by Henry S. Cole

Shoreline Fumigation Model
    With Appendices 1-3
            22-3

-------
                   Lyons and Cole Shoreline Fumigation Model

DISCUSSION OF THE MODEL

    Transparency, page 39, Lyon's EPA report

I.  The dispersion for the shoreline fumigation case is divided into 3
    parts:

    Zone 1 - The plume is initially emitted into stable air. The disper-
             sion is gaussian in both the vertical and crosswind direct-
             ions. Flume does not impact the surface.

    Zone 2 - Fumigation occurs. Enhanced horizontal  (gaussian) dispersion
             is due to mixing in the turbulent zone. In the vertical, the
             dispersion is gaussian above the lid, uniform below. Contains
             maximum ground-level concentration.

    Zone 3 - The entire plume is engulfed in the turbulent layer. The dis-
             tribution is gaussian in the horizontal, using coefficients
             of dispersion for unstable air. Note the use of a virtual
             point source. Also note that the use of ffy based on distance
             to the actual source would greatly overestimate the plume
             spread.

THE FUMIGATION ZONE

    Predicting the maximum ground-level concentration

1.  Locating Xfc and Xe , a desk calculator method:

    A.  You first need to know the effective plume height, ie, you can use
        Briggs for stable.

    B.  Plot either the measured T1BL (top of internal boundry layer) on a
        graph or illustrate with a parabolic TIBL model.

                                 L « mx

    C.  On the same graph or on an overlay plot He  .

    D.  Plot as a function of x:
        H + 2.15oz and R - 2.150Z  for stable air.  It  is  convenient to  have
        then plotted in advance.
                                          22-5

-------
  A. VERTICAL PLUME GEOMETRY
         STABLE LAYEI ALOFT
             CLASS
     STACK HEIGHT
     HORIZONTAL PLUME GEOMETRY
            ACTUAL
            SOURCE
                                FUMIGATION ZONE
Figure 1      (a)  Schematic of  plume geometry 1n vertical  (XZ)
plane used  1n  nodellng continuous  fumigation,  (b)  horizontal
(XY) plume  geometry used In the  Lyons and Cole continuous
fumigation  model.
                                    22-6

-------
DISPERSION M3DEL CONTINUED
2.  The equation for the fumigation zone, ie, J^ < X <
    geneous for 0 < Z < L  .
                                                             1 is homo-
    Consider the Y - 0 line:


                 X(x,OsO) •
                                               Idp
    where,
              Q » source in grams per second

              L * lid height, which varies  as  a  function of x,  (meters)

              u *> mean wind speed in meters per  second

              „£ » stable dispersion coefficient, adjusted  for added turb-
                  ulence in the  fusaigation  zone. Function  of x.

                 ayf * ay + He  /8   (in  meters)
                   Idp -  the integral of the normal distribution curve
                             £(2ir)J5
                                     exp (-p*/2)dp
                         where p - |L(x) -
 3.  Handling the I term, the physical interpretation:
     The integral I represents the portion of
     the plume that is mixing downward in the
     turbulent air below the lid. In the case
     shown to the right, most of the plume re-
     mains above the lid.
               -1
                                       22-7
                                               Figure 2  Physical interpretation

-------
The Integral can be solved by referring to a normal probability func-
tion table. Find p » -1 by looking up 1: •
                          F(l) - 0.8413
                                           (See Appendix 3)
for a -1 use   1 - F(l) - 0.1587,  ie, at this distance downwind approx-
imately 161 of the plume is mixed downward.

4.  EXAMPLE:
    Given:     Q » 109 grams per second

              He - 330 meters
                            V
               L • f (x)  3 '::   (assumed)

               u • 5 meters per second

     stabilities : stable marine air - F

            unstable air within TIBL - B

    nonvarying portion of the equation:
                                               vq/rrr
             QX106
                     10* X 10*
                                        7.98X10'
              U
    variable portion of the equation:
             •P

             Idp
1250

1200

1150


noo-


1050'



1000-



950


900
/ N^^
1 ^
/
1
1
1
t
1
1
1
I
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
i
3.0 3.5 4.0
KM (X)
                             cone:
                                                         Figure  3   Example problem plot
                            Note  that  all  of  these  terms  increase
                            with  increasing values  of x.
The maximum occurs between X_ and Xg  .

In the example shown Xp - 3 kilometers and X

Calculate values for 3, 3.5, 4, and 4.5 kilometers. Put on  a
graph.
                                                     4.5 kilometers
                                        22-8

-------
Calculations  for Z » 0, and Y - 0.



At a distance of 3 kilometers :


   L -  330 meters             oy (f) - 92 meters


  He -  330 meters                oyf - 92 + 41.25 - 133 meters

                                 P
                                 Idp - 0.5
                               -OB
                7.98X107 X 0.5     0-Q ,                 ,
    •'• X «rv " 	  "  909.1 ygrams per meter9
        3KM       133 X 330


At a distance of 3.5 kilometers:


   L - 360 meters            p - 360 - 330/28 - 30/28 - 1.07
  H. • 330 meters            /*p
   e                        J Idp - 0.8577

  az » 28 meters             ~*
                                     110 +41-151
       110 meters
                  7.98X10* X 0.8577    ,,,.              fc   ,
    •'• x 1 Sirw "  - ' -  " U59 Vgraas per meter'
        3'3KM         151 X 360


At a distance of 4 kilometers:


   L - 380 meters            p - 380 - 330/31 -  50/31 •  1.61


  He - 330 meters            /Idp - 0.9463
                            •/-OB
  oz » 31 meters

                               ervf - 120 + 41 -  161
 . oz - 120 meters               yi


     .           7.98X10- X 0.9463
                    161 X 380
                                         22-9

-------
For 5 kilometers the entire plume is engulfed. Use Turner's equation
for limited nixing, but let L vary and now use c_ for unstable air.


At a distance of 5 kilometers ;

   L8 - 420 aeters
                                   f or Z - 0 , and Y - 0
                   oy L u
The a  used in this equation must be for the unstable air  (B stability) .
Boweyer, since the plume only started dispersing in unstable air in the
fumigation zone  (and not at the source) a virtual source oust be used to
calculate downwind distances , X' , that will be used to calculate oy .

The virtual s6urce may be located as follows :

    (1)  Find Oyf  at Kg  , in our example Xe ™ 4.5 kilometers

              Oyf - 41 + 130 -  171 meters, where ayf • ay  Btable + He /8

    (2)  On the  ay graph  (Turner) for the unstable  (B) find that downwind
         distance where 0yu * 171 meters

         This turns out to be 1.1 kilometers. Thus  the virtual  point
         source  will be located 1.1 kilometers upwind of the Xe .

                       X4 - Xe  - 1.1 « 3.4 kilometers

    (3)  X' - X  - 74
                                         22-10

-------
                       Appendix
A-l. Lyons, Walter and Cole, Henry S. 1973. "Fumigation and Plume Trapping
    on the Shores of Lake Michigan During Stable Onshore Flow." Journal of
    Applied Meteorology. 12:494-510.

A-2. Peters, L. K. 1975. "On the Criteria for the Occurrence of Fumigation
    Inland From a Large Lake." Atmospheric Environment. 9:809-816.

A-3. Cumulative Standardized Normal Distribution (table).
                                 A-l

-------
4

                          (Manuscript received I March 1972, in revised form 16 January 1973 >

                                                ABSTRACT
             Previous studies have shown that the lake breeze circulation cell which develops along the western shore
           of Lake Michigan during almost half  of the warm season days has detrimental eflects upon the air quality
           of the Gary-Chicago-Milwaukee area.  However, stable onshore flow associated with a synoptic-scale pressure
           gradient occurs for an additional 15% of warm season days. This study examines the dispersion patterns
           during gradient, onshore flow. Fumigation and plume trapping, in particular, appear 10 cause serious degra-
           dation of air quality. Continuous fumigation of elevated plumes develops on days with strong insolation
           Plume trapping occurs when a plume is emitted into a shallow layer of unstable air capped by a deep lid
           of stable air. This condition is frequent on overcast spring days.
             Two days characterized by easterly gradient -Binds were studied: 27 May 1970, overcast; 25 June 1970,
           predominately sunny. The studies utilized meteorological data obtained  from ground  observers,  ship's
           records, a wiresonde, and from aircraft photography.
             A computer diffusion model incorporating the mesoscale meteorological characteristics for each da\ pre-
           dicted ground level concentrations from several sources including a large coal burning power plant. The
           model for the fumigating power plant plume (25  June)  yielded estimates in excess of 1.0 ppm SO- 7 km
           downwind of the plant.
             Limited air monitoring dala appear to confirm the diffusion model estimates and observations  of plume
           behavior.
1. Introduction

  There is mounting evidence that  residents of highly
populated, industrialized areas near  Great Lakes shore-
lines receive higher than expected dosages of pollutants
during spring and summer months. Papers by Olsson
(1969). Lyons (1972), and Olsson el a!.  (1968), among
others, have shown that the lake breeze  circulation cell
which frequently develops during the warm season has
very detrimental effects upon the air quality in near-
shore  areas.  This  situation  often  occurs  when  the
synoptic-scale pattern does not warrant the declaration
of an "Air Stagnation Advisory."
  This study will show, however, that  other common
mesoscale regimes markedly degrade local  air quality.
On  many warm season days, either clouds sufficiently
reduce insolation and/or gradient winds are too strong
to permit  the formation of an organized  lake breeze
circulation cell.  Yet, on these days, serious pollution
problems frequently develop on  the downwind shores.
This paper deals primarily with non-lake,  breeze, on-
shore flow regimes.

  'Contribution Xo. 69,  Center for Great Lakes  Studies, The
Vniversitv of Wisconsin-Milwaukee.
                                         Lake Michigan (Fig. 1) is roughly 140 km wide and
                                       520 km long.  Reaching  depths of almost 300 m, its
                                       water temperatures lag considerably behind those of
                                       the air during spring and summer, not reaching a quasi-
                                       steady state with nearly uniform surface temperature?
                                       (near 20C) until July, according to Church (1945) and
                                       Mortimer (1968). Thus, throughout the "warm season,"
                                       and especially during April, May and June, the land
                                       air is warmer than the lake surface both day and night.
                                       with the temperature contrast often as large as 25C.
                                         In the absence of lake breezes, gradient winds adveci
                                       warm land air from one  shore  to the other. Bellairr
                                       (1965) was among the first to study the low-level modi-
                                       fication of the air under these conditions. Using ship-
                                       towed wiresondes, he  found an extremely intense, but
                                       also very  shallow  (^150 m),  inversion  layer  formed
                                       by conductive cooling. Lyons  (1970)  presented  addi-
                                       tional observational data and developed a numerical
                                       simulation scheme for this phenomena, which he termed
                                       a "conduction inversion." The atmosphere above  the
                                       surface conduction layer also tends to be stably strati-
                                       fied as it flows onshore, not having been heated from
                                       below as is the case  over land during  the  day. Thi
                                       deep pool of coolei air produces a lake mesohigh of
                                                  A-l-1

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. \rkii. 1973
WALTER  A .  LYONS  AND   H E X R Y  S.  COLE
495
                   TIG. 1. Area of investigation. Power plant under stud vis located 15 km south of Milwaukee,
                 \Visc.  (MKE). Stars show locations of XOAA radiosonde stations in area. Hourly weather
                 data are available at locations shown by large circle.
some 2 mb excess pressure with a mean subsidence ap-
proaching  3-5 cm sec"1, which  further stabilizes the
lake airmass  (Lyons,  1971). As  the air flows onshore
during the day, the surface temperature deficit rapidly
disappears within about 20 km inland fetch  (Herkoff,
1%V), while in the vertical a thermal internal boundary
(T1BL) originates at the shoreline and erodes the over-
King stable cap (Bierly, 1968).
   From  a  pollution viewpoint,  this situation clearly
represents a hazardous regime. If there were an elevated
point source of some pollutant near the shoreline, the
L-fflneni would initially be  emitted into the  stratified
la\ers at higher levels and flow inland.  As soon as the
pi time intersected the  deepening TIBL, intense down-
ward mixing would cause high concentrations to reach
the surface at some  point several kilometers inland.
I'pward dispersion is restricted by a  capping layer  of
stable unmodified lake air. This phenomenon,  known  as
fumigation, has  long  been  recognized in connection
with  the  burn-off of  nocturnal  radiation inversions,
producing  unusually  high  surface  concentrations for
.')') 6!) min. During stable onshore flow on sunny days,
however, fumigation may be almost continuous through
I he da\, from  an hour or so after sunrise and before sun-
set. Since it is estimated that stable-gradient onshore
flow occurs in the Chicago-Milwaukee area  on about
15% of the spring and summer days, this phenomenon
is not an occasional but rather frequent occurrence.2
  ' About three times that number of days are associated with
lake breezes. If the lake breeze penetrates far enough inland (say
                                 At night or when skies are overcast, elevated plumes
                               advect inland with minimal vertical  diffusion. At such
                               times, however, low-level  sources become problems.
                               During the  spring, the  inshore  waters are warming
                               rapidly while a vast pool of cold water remains offshore.
                               Fig. 2, a XOAA-1 infrared map of-the  Great Lakes on
                               the  night  of  28 May  1971,  clearly  illustrates the
                               "thermal  bar" pattern  discussed  by Rodgers  (1965).
                               This condition results in the formation of a  shallow
                                 Fie. 2. XOAA-1 DRIR satellite photograph for 0300 CST 28
                               May 1971, showing Great Lakes and vicinity. Darker areas are
                               warmer, and edge wanning around Lake Michigan's shore shows
                               quite clearly.

                               10 km), and has a sufficiently deep inflow layer (perhaps 300 m or
                               more),  the identical fumigation problem defined below occurs
                               under that regime also.
                                                A-l-2

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496
                         JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED  METEOROLOGY
                                          VOLUME 12
                               1-MDiANA    \
                                            35     80
                                                        37 MAY 1970
   ILLINOIS
                 ISO
  J-JG. 3- Lake Michigan water surface temperatures snd maximum air temperatures overland recorded on 25 June 1970 (left) and
27 May 1970 (righti. Also plotted are conditions observed at 1400 CST on both days with the wind sounding reported at 1800 CSX
ai Green Bav (GRB). On? wind barb equals 5 kt.
miu-d  la\er as cold air from the  center  of  the  lake
passe? over warmer inshore ivaters and is briefly heated
from  below  As  the air advects  inland,  pollutants
emitted within the  relatively  turbulent lower  la^er
have their  upward dispersion limited b">' the capping
inversion la_\ :-r above. The matter is further complicated
b\ in .Teased  turbulence due to tne  shoreline discon-
iinuit\ in roughness lengths  The cherrra! and friciionai
effects, working, in  tandem, produce plume trapping,
which  often  results  in  high  ground level  pollutant
concentrations.
  In this paper, field work that assessed the seriousness
of these problems will  be described.  Following this, a
simple  numerical  model is used which suggests  the
direction of future research in terms of mathematical
simulation and pollution monitoring.

2. Observations of  plume behavior

  Field studies were  conducted two  days, 27 May 1970
and 25 June 1970. Fi •.  3 shows the mean water surface
temperatures observed  over Lake Michigan on  these
two  dates, the maximum land  air temperatures  and
14flO CST aviation data. Since  there  are no synoptic
surveys made of Lake  Michigan water  temperatures.
these were constru-   ~"  ~>y plotting the water tempera-
ture reports  from  commercial  ships over a  five-day
period. A cold central core of water existed with tem-
peratures below 40F in late Mav and still less than 50F
in late June, but with water temperatures in the mid-
50's near shore for both  periods.  The synoptic situation
for both  of the days  was similar (Figs. 4 and 7), that
is, easterly gradient flow of relatively  warm air across
Lake Michigan.

a. 27 May 1970

   On this date a large  high pressure  cell was present
north of  the Great Lakes (Fig. 4). Overcast condition?
prevailed in the vicinity of the kke, and while  tem-
peratures exceeded 80F in  Illinois  (where skies  were
only partly cloudy), they remained in the 50's in south-
                                                 A-l-3

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W A L T E R  A .  L Y O N S   AND  HENRY  S .   COLE
497
      FIG. •). Synoptic chart for 1200 CST 27 May 1970 with isobar? every 2 mb, and 5C water surface temperature isotherms
                                    for Great Lakes. One wind barb equals 10 kt.
ern \\~isconsin (Fig. 3). Thus, there was relatively little
warming of the air  as it  flowed inland. An aerial view
toward the southwest from a location due east of down-
town Milwaukee showed two  distinct smoke  plumes
from  shoreline point sources  (Fie;.  5). The southern-
                                most,  a  very large power plant, had a  plume  which
                                rose to an effective stack height of ~350  m above lake
                                level  as  it flowed inland. Another source, a fertilizer
                                plant, located north  of  the power plant,  was emit tin;:
                                very  dense white smoke from  a stack estimated to be
      Kic. S. Composite aerial photograph from 500 m abovr the lake, looking southwest from Milwaukee harbor, at 1415 CST
    27 May  1970. Evident is the power plant plume streaming inland in the stable layer alofi, with a Ion-level plume exhibiting
    strong mixing in the shallow turbulent layer near the ground.
                                                   A-1-4

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                      JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED  METEOROLOGY
\ouu\ir Ij
                    OlSERVED PLUME  PROFILES
  500
                                                                       I     I    i     I     I    i     I
                   CALCULATED  SO. PROFILE (XI)  IN PPM
   500
   300
   100
                   CALCULATED  SO. PROFILE  AT  M IN  PPM
                   CALCULATED GROUND LEVEL SO, CONCENTRATION (V=0)
                 020

                 £10

                 000
                                                                     MAXIMUM  0.001  PPM
   l*«f  MICHIGAN
                                                                                         15         Km
  I-'io. 6a. Schematic of conditions observed looking south along shoreline at  1400 CST, 27 May 1970. Dashed line is
approximate  lemperalure profile  measured  by aircraft. 61>.  Computed  SO, concentrations (in parts per million! from
high- and l
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APKIL 1973
                        WALTER  A .  L V O X S  A X D   H E X R V  S .  COLE
                                                                                                      499
     J JG. 7. Synoptic chart for 1200 CST 25 June 1970 \vilh isobars every 2 ml), and 5C waier surfart temperature isothcr
only 20  m in height above (he ground, but  instead of
fanning  as  the power plant plume did,  it  exhibited
marked  looping
  On this cloud\ day the air temperature at the beaches
was 1C,  and an  automobile  traverse normal  to the
shoreline showed less  than a 1C increase  in 10 l-:m as
the air flowed inland. In other words, there was virtually
no rernodification  of the lake air on the western shore-
line. In an attempt to  measure the gross thermal struc-
ture of the atmosphere at the lake  shore, the aircraft's
cockpit air temperature was monitored during a  step-
wise assent  over  the  shoreline from  the surface lo
'-700  m. It  was  found that the lapse rate was  very
close to  dry  adiabatic m the bottom  150  m but  there
was a strong  capping inversion to approximately 600 m
height  above the lake,  topped b\ a. layer of more nearly
neutral lapse rate. It appears that the  stable  layer
between  150  and 600  m was, in fact, the nocturnal in-
version that  existed when this air  mass had  left the
eastern shoreline early  that morning. The nearly neutral
surface layer most likely developed during the last few
kilometers of  fetch over the waier  where the surfai•.
water temperatures had rapidly increased from aboui
5 to !5C in a matter of 10 km. Thi± warm inshore water
destroyed the intense conduction  inversion which had
probably been present close 10 the  surface in the middlr
of the lake.
   Fig.  6a is a schematic diagram showing the condi-
tions on 27 Ma\.  Shown are the elevated  power plant
plume and the low-level plume from  the fertilizer plant
The power plant plume is being emitted into the stable
air aloft and moves inland  with relatively  little vertical
diffusion.  A radical!} different situation  (plume trap-
ping)  occurs  close to the surface.  There,  the air  is
relatively turbulent and pollutants released within this
shallow layer experience a rather large degree of mixing.
especially  in  the horizontal.  Furthermore, there  is
virtually  no warming of  this air mass  as it  travels
inland,  with this  condition maintaining itself for man\
tens of  kilometers. Since the effective mixing height is
extremely  limited, very high pollution concentrations
would  be  expected  at  the ground. By contrast,  the
      both high- and low-level sources, each at their respective effective plume height //. 6d. Calculated ground level
      SO» values below the plume centerline for both sources.
                                              A-l-6

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                          JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED   METEOROLOGY
                                                                                              VOLUME 12
                                                      CST
    ] 13. 8. Smoothed isotherm? of all air temperatures collected on 25 June 1970 and plotted as a (unction of lime and wind
                   fetch inland from the shore. The nearshore water temperatures varied from 52 to 5.S1.
power  plant plume in the stable  layer aloft  was ob-
served  to travel westward as far as the eye could see.
It is unlikely that any of the power plant plume ma-
terial ever reached the surface during this period.


b. 25 June 1970: Fumigation

  Or this dale, synoptic conditions were quite similar
to those described above with a notable exception that
the area was large); free of heavy cloud cover save for
some fairly dense cirrus moving down from the north-
west later in the day.  From the maximum temperature
isotherms  (Fig. 3),  it  is  evident that  considerable
warming of the lake air occurred within the first few-
kilometers of  overland  fetch. Fig. 7, at  1200 CST,
shows a large high centered over northern Lake Huron
promoting  easterly flow  at  the  surface  over Lake
-Michigan. Maximum  daytime  air  temperatures in
Michigan and Wisconsin away from  the lake ranged
upward to 25C, compared to lake  water temperatures
as low  as 5C near the center  (Fig. 3). It is likely that
easterly flow  from the Michigan shoreline during the
dav produced a rather strong conduction inversion over
mid-lake. However, again due to the warmer water in
the final stages  of the air's passage over the lake, a
shallow neutral  layer was found close  to  the surface.
Likewise,  a strong capping  inversion  was  found  at
higher levels, as on 27 May. The surface air tempera-
tures warmed rapidly as the air advected inland on the
western shoreline  ' ,  7  shows the  analysis of surface
air  temperatures as a function of time  of day and
distance inland  from  the shore.  These data were ob-
tained from the  N\VS  station at Mitchell Field, some
5 km inland, and from numerous hygrothermographs at
colleges and industrial facilities  throughout the area.
Furthermore.  10  students  from  the  University  of
Wisconsin-Milwaukee,   armed  with  sling  psycho-
meters, traveled predetermined  routes measuring air
temperature. The representation used in Fig. 8  is very
useful;  it  shows at a glance  the temperatures  experi-
enced at any inland point as a function  of time and
also the temperature gradient on a  line parallel to the
wind direction as it flowed inland.  The surface -winds
were generally  from 060°, becoming somewhat  more
easterly later in the afternoon. Fig. 8  shows that the
temperature remained nearly constant at  the shoreline.
                                             A-l-7

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                       WALTER  A.   LYONS  AND  HENRY  S.  COLE
                                               501
                                                    TIMPESATUBS
      FIG. 9. Low-level soundings obtained at various locations on 25 June 1950. W-l, W-2 and \Y-3 feier to three
     ruas made at the shore, 2.7 km inland.'and 9.4 km inland. Included for comparison s.rr the 17)5 C^T  raob ascent fr^m
     Green Bay (GRB) and the 1202 CST EMSU run from Chicago'j Midwav Aiqwrt (jlDvV;, and the micromeieoroiogical
     tower data from Argonne National Laboratory, 40 km -.vest of Chicago.
 and that the temperature gradient reversed itself after
 sunrise,  from initially  cooler temperatures  inland  to
 considerably  warmer  by early  afternoon.  The  air
 warmed by about 6C after traveling ~ 25 km over the
 heated land. Heating of up to 20C in the same distance
 is often found on those days with very strong insolation.
   Of greater interest  to  our study, however,  are the
 vertical  temperature profiles as a function of distance
 from the lake. A wire sounding system transported by
 truck was  used to determine  low-level temperature
 profiles. Soundings were taken at  several fixed locations
 along a road normal to the shoreline. The first sounding
 made at the shoreline (\V-1 in Fig. 9) revealed a nearly
 neutral layer almost 160 m deep coming onshore during
 early morning, with a superadiabatic lapse in the low-
 est  25  m. Above  this turbulent surface layer was  a
 strong  inversion extending  upward to  approximate)'
 800 m above the  lake  (indicated by aircraft tempera-
 ture cockpit readings; see Fig. lOa). As the  air moved
 inland  over the warm ground the unstable layer,  or
 thermal boundary  layer  (TIBL), deepened  rapidly.
 This is  shown  by soundings W-2 and  W-3 taken  at
 2.7 and 9.4 km inland. A late afternoon sounding at the
 shoreline showed relatively little  change in the thermal
 characteristics of the air flowing onshore  during the
 course of the day. In Fig. 9, a plot of the wire soundings,
a sounding obtained by the  Chicago Midway EMSU
low-level radiosonde, and the Argonne National  Lab-
oratory micrometeorological tower data showed a super-
adiabatic layer in  the lowest 50 m overlain by a  deep
neutral layer. Both sites are located  15  km inland.
The Green  Bay  (GRB) radiosonde, sufficiently far
inland to  be undisturbed by lake effects,  showed the
adiabatic layer (the mixing layer) to extend to about
1500 m late in the afternoon. The top of the TIBL  is
generally considered to increase in depth  in a quasi-
parabolic raanner as the air flows inland (Bierly, 1968).
Observers in  our  single engine spotter aircraft  kept
Rotations  of the locations where  turbulence  was en-
countered (Fig.  lOa).
  On 25 June, the center line of the power plant plume
reached an  effective stack height of  ~320  m  as  it
flowed westward in a stable layer aloft. The top of the
TIBL intercepted the  plume about 7 km inland (Fig.
iOa)  where observers  on the ground  and in  the air
clearly sa^r  participate matter from the plume rapidly
mixing downward. Those direct!}- beneath  the  point
of plume  fumigation noted the extremely  strong taste
and smell of  sulfur dioxide. On this day  the fumiga-
tion  continued  from  0930 to 1430,  after which  the
cirrus overcast  quickly reduced ground  heating and
the TIBL turbulence no longer penetrated to plume
                                                A-l-8

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JOVRNAL  OF  APPLIED  M E T E 0 R O I. O G Y
                                                                                                       VOLUME 12
        *•      All SMOOTH
       500     All SMOOTH
        lAKf  MICHIGAN
                         CAICUIAUD SO, PlOfllf UZ)  IN
                                               0.)   "•&   ,  1.9   0.5    9.3      02    OU
        1»KE MICHIGAN
                           ALCULATfO SO.
                                                            CONCCMTKAtiONS (Y-0)
        iAKI «ICHI6*M
       FIG 10» Siematic of obsenitions during fomigation conditions on UK western shore of the lake (looking eouth) around
     1400 CST 25 Inn* 1970. Plotted are the reports of turbulence encountered by the spotter aircraft, plus the «ppronniale
     temperature profile over the waier. lOb. Computed profiles of SO, concentrations from both high- and kra-tevd sources in
                                                        A-l-9

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  WALTER   A .  L V O X S  AND   HENRY  S   COLE
                                                                                                       503
           1 ic. 1J. Panoramic view ol fumigating power plant plume at 1430 CST 2!> June 1970, looking east ihrouph
                      south toward shoreline from a poini alxml 10 km inland, 700 m above f;round.
altitude. During the late afternoon the plume remained
aloft and advected many tens of kilometers inland with
little  lateral  or  horizontal  dispersion, much like on 27
Max.
   During the first portion of the day while the power
plant  fumigation  was occurring,  the  effective stack
height of the low-level fertilizer plant was below the
top of the TIBL at all times. It exhibited marked loop-
ing and diffused rapidly within the deepening turbulent
boundary layer.
   Fig. 11 is a panoramic aircrafi photograph of fumiga-
tion from  the power plant plume. On this particular
da>  tne fumigation began 7 km inland,  although on
days  with  stronger insolation, it has been seen  within
2-3 km  of the shoreline. Fig.  12 is an end-on view of
the low-level plume resembling that  of 27 May  except
that it mixed within a greater depth as it  flowed inland
due to the increasing depth of the TIBL.

3. Calculations of pollutant concentrations

   Unfortunately,  very  little ambient  air monitoring
has been done near the  power plant in question. It is,
however, possible  to estimate pollutant concentrations
b\ using the relativelv simple diffusion equations sum-
marized b\ Turner (!96V). \\hile having  'heir imper-
                                  written
          the-
been  widd\  used  for  ball-par
 estimate"  The  following is m.eant to be more illustra-
 tive  than  conclusive  (in  terms of absolute values of
 pv'liuuns;.  bu' ii  c!earl\ points the  finjer at  areas
 needing iinmedjaic attention.

 a  Disfcrno:! in a homogeneous, infinite atmosphere

   In an atmosphere where the stability (turbulence)
 classes  are more or less uniform in the  space occupied
 by a plume, it is comiyonly assumed  that plume matter
 spreads horizontal! v and vertically from the center line
 in  a Gaussian profile. The  basic  equation  can  be
                                   (.v,j',z: H) =
exp  -H -
                                  where  X is  pollutant  concentration. Q is  the SOUTH.
                                  strength (mass per unit time), oa and a, the lateral and
                                  vertical standard deviations of concentrations within
                                  a Gaussian plume (implicit functions of A), " the mean
                                  wind speed, .v, y, 2  the  axial,  transverse and vertical
                                  directions, H the effective stack height (plume center-
                                  line). a=0.693, and f the half-life  of the pollutant ias-
                                  sumed  3 hr for SO,). For  paniculate?,  no fallout or
                                  reaction  is assumed  and the half-life exponential term
                                  drops from the equation.
                                    The  values of a.t  and a,,  empirically derived  by
                                  Pasquill (1961) and Clifford (1961) from actual observa-

                                                                 JS JUM 1*70
                                    Fie.  12. View toward the east-northeast of low-level plume at
                                  1420 CST 25 June 1970, from about  7 km inland and 700 m
                                  altove ground.
     the i, i plane along plume centerline. lOc. Computed SO, concentrations in j, y plane at ground level  (z-Oj. lOd. Com-
     puted ground level SO, concentrations below plume centerline (»-y—Oj.
                                                  A-l-10

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                          JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED  METEOROLOGY
                                                                                                VOLUME 12
                A. VERTICAL M.UME  ©EQMfTRY
                          STABlf LAYft AlOH
                               CLASS  V
                    WING
                8. HORIZONTAL IHUME GEOMETRt
             FIG. 13. Geometry used in the calculation of pollutant concentrations during periods of continuous
                                      fumigation. See text for explanation.
tions, are grouped into six subjectively determined sta-
bility classes ranging from Class A (extremely unstable)
to Class  F  (moderately stable). The application of (1)
here assumes  the ground  is flat. While the western
shore of  Lake Michigan around Milwaukee does have
steep bluffs about 30 m high, the ground has virtually
no  relief and  a negligible slope for many miles inland.


b. Modeling plume trapping

  If the  mixing layer  into which a plume was being
emitted were not of infinite (or at least very  great)
depth, then vertical  plume  dispersion  would be  re-
stricted by the overlying lid (usually the base of stable
inversion  layer aloft)  at  some  distance downstream.
Turner (1969)  presents a  scheme  for  calculating
X (x>,y,z: H) for a plurne trapped within a layer bounded
by  the surface and  a  discrete upper  lid  limiting the
diffusion.  After a  given distance downwind from the
source, the vertical concentration profile begins a tran-
sition from Gaussian to uniform. Horizontal dispersion
is assumed to behave in a Gaussian manner throughout
this process for all values of x. With Eq. (1) as is, and
modified for a lid, it  is possible to simulate  the dis-
persion regime found on the  western shore of  the lake
on 27 May 1970.
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                       WALTER  A.  LYONS  AND  HENRY  S.  COLE
                                                                                                     505
c. Modeling continuous plume fumi gatwn

  Turner describes a mathematical technique for pre-
dicting surface concentrations for the case of nocturnal
inversion  breakup fumigation, which causes unusually
high pollutant  concentrations  for  a  short period of
time. The shoreline fumigation  is by contrast almost
a steady-state  process,  and the procedure  outlined
below was used  to  modify Turner's technique for  this
specific application.
  The dispersion  regime  downwind  of  an   elevated
source at the shoreline  was divided into three zones.
Separate equations (see Fig. 13) are used  to compute
Xj (x,y,z : H); X2  (x,y,z: tf); X3 (x,y,z: H). The first zone
[in which Xj  (x,y,z: H) applies]  is essentially the same
as described in Section 3a, where an elevated plume is
emitted  into a  homogeneous, relatively stable  layer.
For  any part of the plume above the  TIBL,  (1) is
rewritten, using er.(j,.r) and u,,(< v) for the  standard
deviations for plume spreadin6  j.. stable air  (5), here
explicitly written as functions of downwind travel  (.v)
from the source  (x — 0).
  The second zone [where X., (.v,v,c: H) applies] is that
portion of the area  where  A-J,^ .v:(j,.v)],         (3)

            <,vf(s.x) = ay(s,x)+(H 8).              (4)

and aut(s,x) is the standard deviation in the y direction
that applies in  the  fumigation zone .r^ .v
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                          JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED  METEOROLOGY
                                                                                               VoLVME  12
((_>) of H),(KKJ  ions year"1 for particulates, and 130,000
tons year"'  for sulfur oxide.J The low  fertilizer plant
slack has a heighi of approximately 20 m above ground.
No source strength data whatsoever were available for
this  plant, but for the purpose of  comparison it  was
arbitrariK assumed to have outputs equal to 5% and
20%  of the  power  plant's, for sulfur dioxide and  par-
ticulates, respectively.

a. 27 May 1970

   The plume behavior for 27 May 1970  from these two
sources was  modeled.  The lower level point source had
an effective plume height  estimated at 100 m  above
ground level and was trapped  within the shallow tur-
bulent la\er only  135 m deep. A mean wind speed of
6  m sec"1  was taken from the Madison  pibal sounding
at IStNi C'ST. The  stability class in the stable inversion
layer aloft was taken  to be the most stable available,
Class F, and within the plume trapping layer close to
the surface.  Class B was applied.
   Fig 6b shows vertical cross sections, i.e., .\, z profiles
of SO; concentrations, along  the y = () axes  of  both
plumes. As  can be  seen, the predicted plume from  the
power plant at no  time extends anywhere near  the
surface, corresponding to visual observations. The SOj
from the  low-level source decreases to almost  back-
ground levels after some 15 km of fetch inland, but not
before having rather high  peak values  at the surface
just  downwind of the source.
   Fig. 6c  shows the calculated .v, y profiles of SO., at
the respective plume  levels (H) for  both  plumes.  Fig.
6d are the  calculated ground  concentrations (i = 0)
beneath the  respective plume axes (y = 0). Virtually no
sulfur oxide from  the power plant plume is predicted
to reach the surface at any point. However, at  a dis-
tance of 0.5 km downwind of  the low  level source, a
peak of 0.28 ppm SO, was predicted.
   The models clearly illustrate that  under the type of
conditions that existed on  27 Max   1970  a high stack
would be of  considerable benefit. Any pollutant emitted
into the stable layer would continue to  reside there as
it  advected  man\   tens of kilometers inland. On  the
other hand,  sources emitted into the shallow turbulent
layer above  the surface would  become trapped within
this  layer  resulting in inordinately high  concentrations
even  from  relatively  small  sources. These  conditions
appear to  be quite typical for any period  of stable on-
shore flow along the  shores of the  Great Lakes  on a
cloudv day or during  nighttime:

b.  >5 June 1970

   Conditions for 25 June 1970 included a mean  wind
speed r of 6 m sec"1, and  an observed  effective slack
height H for the power plant of 320 m above the ground.

  'Since the field observations were made, electrostatic precipi-
tators have been installed, greatly reducing the power plant's
paniculate emissions.
In this case, the top of the TIBL, L(x), was read into
the program as a look-up table  It is shown as a dotted
line  in  Fig. lOa and was  determined from the  wire
soundings and by a plot of turbulence encountered b\
the spotter aircraft,  The turbulence  first encountered
the plume (.rt) at 5 km inland and reached the  plume's
upper portion  (*,) at 6.8 km  inland—the point  of
expected maximum fumigation.  In the computations.
Class F stability was assumed above the TIBL and
Class A (considerable turbulence) was chosen  for the
region  below the  TIBL. The same  source  strengths
(0 were used as in the previous section.
  Fig. 10b illustrates the calculated SO^ profiles in the
x, £ plane along  the plume  centerlines (y = 0). Fig. l()c
shows the calculated ground level S0r concentrations
in the .\, y plane for the two plumes studies   For the
high-level power plant plume there are essential!} no
surface effects until a point at least 5 km inland under
these conditions. The model calculates maximum  con-
centrations of 1.07  ppm at 6.8 km inland and estimates
that an area of  several  square  kilometers will exceed
0.5  ppm  SO,, This fumigation spot,  as one might call
it, will tend to move around with variations  in wind
direction during the day. It will also tend to move  in
and out along the plume axis as the intensity of insola-
tion  increases and  wains during the course of the  day.
Xote also  that the  model for the low-level source,  even
though rated at 5% of the power plant emissions,  does
calculate a rather  high peak value of 0.77 ppm.  Fig.
lOb  shows the  ground-level calculated  SO,  profiles
beneath  the  centerline  of  both  plumes. While  it  is
obvious that a high stack does indeed help to ameliorate
the extreme surface concentrations under these  fumiga-
tion  regimes, unless the plume can rise entirely above
the  maximum TIBL level  reached during the day, a
high stack only moves the  fumigation spot inland and
somewhat reduces  its intensity,  but  it does not elimi-
nate it.
  It is unfortunate that at  the time the above observa-
tions were made there were no adequate surface moni-
toring devices for sulfur oxides in the areas of interest.
State officials, at one time, in  attempting to  monitor
the  effects  of  this  power  plant, had a continuous
monitoring SO;  device located  approximately 1.5 km
southwest of the  stack—obviously  of little  help for
delecting  fumigation episodes.  During 1971, however,
some limited monitoring of surface SOo concentrations
was  undertaken during fumigation of the power plant
plume.  On 28  May 1971, a day almost  identical  to
25 June 1970. at a point some  8 km southwest of the
plant, concentrations as high as 9 ppm were measured
using a  modified West-Gaeke  method.  These  were
samples  taken  for about  10  min  duration  directly
beneath  the  fumigating plume centerline. Additional
readings taken in  August  1971  yielded similarly high
ground level concentrations. \Yhile the monitoring is of
a preliminary nature, it appears possible thai  the cal-
culated SOj  concentration estimates are  on  the con-
                                                A-l-13

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      1973
\Y A L T E R  A .  LYONS  AND   HENRY  S.  COLE
507
•.ervative side. The observers who had the misfortune
of taking the SOj observations reported a strong odor,
(aste, and definite irritation of the nose and mouth.
   Calculations of suspended particulates were also made
using the same  equations. Fig.  14a shows  a vertical
i.\-.s)  profile  of  suspended particulates  (jig  rrr3) for
iiolh  sources. As with  the SO, the high-level power
plant plume stays entirely  aloft.  The  lower plume
remains trapped at low  levels  producing significant
)»articulate  values  within several  kilometers  of  the
.M>urce at  the surface. Fig.  14b shows  the calculated
jjarticulate x, y profiles at z = H for both piumes on 27
May  1970.  Fig. 14c  shows the  .v,  z profiles for par-
ticulates during the  25 June  1970 fumigation  case.
Fig. 14d gives the calculated ground level (z = 0) con-
centrations of particulates from both plumes. Due to
ihe fairly  high degree of control present  on  the power
plant stack  as far  as  particulates were concerned, the
predicted  peak  ground level  concentrations  are  not
excessive,  only 215 jig m~3. The low-level source yields
quite high paniculate concentrations  at  the surface,
almost 400 fig m~3,  1.6 km downwind.
   An estimate of the  overall patterns that result from
these regimes can be made from  the  analysis of the
24-hr high-volume  sampler data  taken in Milwaukee
County on both days. Fig. 15a shows the average sus-
pended  paniculate readings measured  at  ten  siles
through Milwaukee County on 27  May 1970. It  can
be seen that  the air coming in off the lake had values
of 2(1 jig m~*,  close  to the typical  background  level
found  in  this  area.  High-level  plumes  from major
point sources located  in  the industrial valley that runs
through the center of  Milwaukee were kept aloft in the
stable capping  inversion.  Numerous low-level sources
became trapped close to  the  surface  and produced
average values in excess of 90 ^g nT3. No sulfur dioxide
was recorded in am of the three monitoring sites within
the county.
   On 25 June 1970 (Fig. 15b) the surface pattern of
suspended paniculates looks very much the same. The
air corning in off the lake had values close to 30 ^ig m~3,
but as it passed through the industrial area, it rapidly
accumulated suspended  particulates to produce a 24-hr
average of close to 90 ^g m~3 downwind of  the major
industrial  valley. In this case both  the high- and low-
level sources were mixed  together through  the TIBL
which  was progressively deepening as the air flowed
inland. Two stations reported significant sulfur dioxide
concentrations during the day, presumably from high-
level sources fumigating lo the surface.


5. Conclusions

   Fumigation and plume trapping are not  new phe-
nomena to the air pollution meteorologist.  However,
their frequency  and intensity near the shores of the
Great Lakes pose special problems to air quality regions
in these areas. The Air Quality Display Models (AQDM)
                              which are used to model air quality and implementa-
                              tion strategies for various areas  across the  count ry
                              generally use mean mixing depths supplied from a
                              climatology based upon standard  radiosonde  network
                              data.  By interpolating values  between Green  Bay,
                              Wise., and Peoria, III., the mean summer mixing depth
                              should be  approximately  1500  m  in  the  Milwaukee
                              area. However, since neither of these  radiosonde sta-
                              tions are affected by the presence  of the Great Lakes.
                              it is obvious that inappropriate  data is being  put  into
                              the AQDM. In fact, during the summer on many days
                              a  value  for the mean mixing depth of -fa  the  above
                              would probably be more appropriate near the shoreline.
                              Furthermore, if local air  pollution forecasting in the
                              vicinity of the Great Lakes is to be successful, the low-
                              level EMSU radiosonde stations should be put in very
                              close proximity  to the shoreline.  Currently-operating
                              stations  are  too  far inland to  regularly observe the
                              intense lake inversions. The Chicago EMSU radiosonde
                              is usually  launched some  15 km   inland at  Midwa\
                              Airport.
                                 It is important  to emphasize that  the type of extreme
                              episode that can  result from plume fumigations of tin-
                              types described here would very frequently be associ-
                              ated with synoptic-scale patterns  that appear to pro-
                              mote good  dispersion. Fumigation could occur  on a
                              day when an Air  Stagnation Advisory is least  likely to
                              be issued,  In fact, the sunniest days  with  generally
                              good dispersion over land  are precisely the  days with
                              strongest plume fumigation on the lee shore  of a Great
                              Lake.  As it is now  written, the  emergency episode
                              plans for the southeast Wisconsin  Air Quality Control
                              Region do  not take  into  account  the intense  short-
                              burst  problems  associated with  large  point source
                              plume fumigations. Even  though episodic levels affect
                              areas of  only several square kilometers, they can ver\
                              frequently  occur  in areas  with  very high  population
                              density.
                                 This study, though admittedly preliminary, suggests
                              some obvious problems for those  concerned  with lo-
                              cating permanent pollution monitoring stations in areas
                              adjacent to the Great Lakes. It also raises the much
                              larger question of what  zoning restrictions should be
                              placed on the future development of shoreline areas.
                                 The conditions  associated with plume trapping during
                              spring must also  be considered in terms of some  future
                              proposed developments on  the western shore of Lake
                              Michigan.  As a  result  of  the  ongoing dispute  aboui
                              thermal pollution of the lake by fossil fuel and nuclear
                              power plants, a move is underway to  require the in-
                              stallation of cooling towers. One wonders what might
                              happen if a large wet cooling tower were placed  along
                              the  shoreline on a  day such as  27 May  1970.  Wet
                              cooling towers frequently emit several tens of thousands
                              of gallons of water into the atmosphere every minute.
                              The  fog  formed  may drift  inland  for  many  miles
                              diffusing only very slowly, presenting a hazard to road
                              travel, aircraft operations from nearby airports, and
                                                 A-l-14

-------
508
                        JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED  METEOROLOGY
                                                                                         VOLUME U
CALCULATED PAKTICULATE PtOHlESlXZ) |i0m/m3
                                                                         27 /*AY 1970
            CALCULATED  PA»T!CUlATii  F*OFILES{XY)AT
                                                             25 JUNE 197d
            CALCULATED PARTlCULATi
      lake Michigan     g
            CALCULATED  PARTICUIATI
                                                         	— — 38  	•  —  _____
         Lefe*
       Michigan
      FIG. 14a. Computed ni^iended paniculate concentrations 0>B m~*) in *, * plane along plume cecterline from both
     tourers repiaenting conditions on 27 May 1970.14b. Patterns in z, y plane of both plumes at their respective equivalent
                                             A-l-15

-------
APRIL 1973
WALTER  A.  LYONS  AND   HENRY  S.  COLE
                                                                                                        509
               27 MAY 1970
               25 JUNE 1970
              • 24 H«. Ml-VOt SAMPLE!

              * CONTINUOUS SOj MONITOR
      ] ic.  15. Analysis of 24 hr high-volume paniculate sampler readings (jig m~*) in the vicinity of downtown Milwaukee
     (heavy lines are major expressways), for 27 May and 25 June, ]970, as well as traces of continuous SO: monitoring stations
     for 25 June.
 during winter, perhaps, result in icing conditions. Dry
 cooling towers may represent a wiser choice.
   In the Chicago area, Lake Michigan itself has been
 considered the probable site for a major jetport, to be
 built on a landfill approximately 5 mi offshore southeast
 of  downtown Chicago. With  winds from the east to
 southeast, which occur on more than half of all spring
 and summer afternoons at the Chicago shore, the highly
                                odoriferous fumes from the jet aircraft fueling, taxiing,
                                and  taking-oil would  be trapped close to the surface
                                and drift inland directly onto a highly populated shore-
                                line. Unless  significant advances in  eliminating the
                                more offensive components of jet exhausts are made,
                                Chicago could have built itself a stench problem  to
                                rival the Chicago stockyards of days gone by. Further-
                                more, the large increase in shoreline automobile traffic
      stack heights //. 14c. Same as I4a except for continuous fumigations conditions observed on 25 June 1970. 14d. Same
      as 141) except for continuous fumigation conditions of 25 June 1970.
                                                 A-l-16

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510
JOURNAL  OF  APPLIED   METEOROLOGY
                                                                                                     YOLV.ML  12
that would accompany the operation of a jetport would
have further aggravated any photochemical smog prob-
lem, thus adding injury to insult.

  Acknowledgments. This work was partially supported
by the Center for Great Lakes Studies, The University
of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and the U. S. Environmental
Protection  Agency,  under  Grant  R-800873.  Special
thanks are offered to Mr. Gary Keller and Mr. Andrei
Glasberg  of  the  University of  Wisconsin-Parkside
Computation Center  for their  programming support.
The Department of  Geography  Cartographic Sen-ice,
The University  of Wisconsin-Milwaukee and in par-
ticular, Mr. Donald Temple, prepared the illustrations.
The University  of Michigan's  Great Lakes  Research
Division, with the assistance of  Mr. H. K. Soo, graci-
ously loaned its wiresonde equipment for this program.
Supporting data  for this paper were kindly supplied
by  Dr. James E.  Carson  (Argonne National Labora-
tory), Dr.  Alan  E.  Strong  (National Environmental
Satellite Service, NOAA), Mr. Jack Condon  (Chicago
EMSU  unit,  NOAA),  and Mr.  Robert  Redovitch
(Milwaukee  Count}-  Department  of  Air   Pollution
Control).
                    REFERENCES
Bellaire, F. R., 1965: The modification of warm air moving over
    cold  water.  Proc. St/i Conf. Great Lakes Res., IAGLR,*
    249-256.
Bierly, E. XV.,  1968: An  investigation  of atmospheric discon-
    tinuities induced by a lake breeze. Ph.D. dissertation, Uni-
    versity of Michigan, 150 pp.
	, and E. XV. Hewson, 1962: Some restrictive meteorological
    conditions to be considered in the design of stacks. J. .Ippl.
    Aftieor., I, 383-390.
Church, P.  E., 1945: The annual temperature cycle of Lake
    Michigan,  II:  Spring warming  and  summer  stationary
                                          1942. Misc.  Rept. No.  18, Dept. Meteor., The-
                                  University of Chicago, 100 pp.
                              Gifford, F. A., 1961: The use  of routine meteorological observa-
                                  tions for estimating atmospheric dispersion. Xnelear Safelv,
                                  2, No. 4, 47-51.
                              Herkoff, D., 1969: Observed temperature profiles near the 1-akc
                                  Michigan shoreline. Tech. Kept., Dept.  Meteor. Oceanogr ,
                                  University of Michigan, 37 pp.
                              Hirt, M. S., L. Shenfeld, G. Lee, H. Uhaley and S. D. Juriors,
                                  1971:  A study of the meteorological conditions which de-
                                  veloped a classic "fumigation"' inland  from a large lake
                                  shoreline source. Paper presented 64th Annual Meeting. Air
                                  Pollution Control Assoc., Atlantic City, N. J.
                              Lyons, XX". A., 1970. Numerical simulation of Great Lakes sum-
                                  mertime conduction inversions. Proc. Jjl/i (.'oni. droll Lakes
                                  Res., IAGLR,* 369-387.
                              	, 1971. Low-level divergence and subsidence over  the Great
                                  Lakes in summer. Proc. J-ltli Conf. Greal Lutes Res., IAGLR.*
                                  467-487.
                              	, 1972: Mesoscale transport of pollutants in the Chicago
                                  area as affected by land and lake breezes.  Proc. 2nd intern.
                                  Clean Air Congress, New York, Academic Press, 973-97X.
                              Mortimer,  C. H., 1968: Internal waves and associated currents
                                  observed in Lake Michigan during the summer of 1963. S|x;c.
                                  Rept.  No. 1,  Center for Great Lakes Studies, Universitj of
                                  Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 145 pp.
                              Olsson, L. E., 1969:  Lake effects on  air pollution  dis|>er
-------
                A-2.  On the  Criteria for  the Occurrence
              of Fumigation  Inland  from  a Large  Lake*
There is no doubl that  the occurrence of the Thermal
Internal Boundary Layer  on the shores of large lakes pres-
ents adverse dispersion conditions which must  be taken
into account in  evaluating the dispersive capabilities of
such  an area. However, the location and strength of the
fumigation depend  in a complex way on the form of the
boundary, the height of  the emission, the location of the
source with respect to the boundary, the stability in the
turbulent and  the overlying layers, and  the initial plume
conditions, so that  full scak modelling is necessary to de-
rive  meaningful  results  This, it seems to me,  makes
rehance on oversimplified criteria inadvisable, especial!)
when these are derived from theoretical  models based on
unverified or unrealistic premises
  Thus,  in  the  Boundary Layer model  of Peters the
assumption  is made  that the land  surface temperature
remains unmodified by the adverted air. In fact, due to
the low conductive capacity of the  land surface, as well
as the solar heat input, such an assumption is  unjustified
  •Peters  L. K.  (1975)  Atmospheric  Encironmem 9,
809-816.
(Priestley, 1959). The imposition of this boundary condi-
tion then leads to the prediction that the temperatures in-
land tend to stable stratification, contrary to observations
such as those of Hirt et al. (1970).
  In the derivation of the Flux Model, an oversimplifica-
tion in the derivation of the energy balance equation leads
to the result that the height of the Boundary  [equation
(8)] varies linearly with  inland distance.
  By considering  the energy flux  needed to modify  the
initial stably stratified layer to adiabatic conditions (which
is certainly a more reasonable assumption) and assuming
constant heat flux, it is  found that
                      acfpn

where a is the potential temperature gradient in the stable
air mass (Plate, 1971). By this method, one avoids prescrib-
ing the surface temperature  It is seen that the boundary
height now increases as the square root of inland distance
for given s. For the data of Hirt et al. the above relation
with a value of qk = 100 cal  m~2s~' predicts a height of
boundary of 250 m at 10 km. in agreement with the obser-
vations.
  The same value of 
-------
                                                  Discussions
                                                                                                           J73
 Here
 and the observations are averages for the day  indicated
 on the north shore of Lake Erie, where a parabolic bound-
 ary was observed to form quile regularly. (The  power of
 x in - = px* varied from 037 to 0-67 with an average value
 of 0 50).
   In using a model of the boundary to  delineate criteria
 for  the  occurrence  of  fumigation,  the  location of  the
 sources with respect  to the boundary is crucial. This factor
 also influences the intensity of the  fumigation,  as does the
 level of turbulence in the boundary layer. In view of such
 considerations, the onl>  reliable  method available  is  to
 model the  situation as  was done b> Lyons (1973)  for
 example. Such modeling  of thr c"   ,  of  Hirt  el al. leads
 to good agreement  with  observations of SO2 dispersion
 (Weisman and Hirt. 1975).


 Acknowledgement—I would like to  thank Dr  R. E. Munn.
 Dr. W. Murray and M   S. Hin for  valuable discussions.
 The MEP Company.                        B. WEISMAN
 Division of Meteorological &
   Environmental Planning Ltd..
 73. Alness Street.
 Dovinsiirw.
 Ontario MM 2H2,
 Canada
                      REFERENCES

 Lyons W. A. and Cole H. S. (1973) J.  appl.  Meieorol. 12,
   494. See also Weisman and Hin above.
 Plate E.  J. (1971) Aerodynamic characteristics of atmos-
   pheric  boundary  layers.  U.S. AEC: Similar  consider-
   ations  were  used  by:  Leah)  D. M  and Friend J. P.
   (1971) J. appl. Meteorol. 10. 1162. in deriving their urban
   heat  island  model: and  b)  Summers  P. W. Paper
   presented al  the 1st  Canadian Conference on Microme-
   teorology. Toronto.  12-14 April.
 Priestley  C. H. B. (1959) Turbulent  Transfer in the Lower
   Atmosphere.  University of Chicago Press. Chicago
 Weisman B. and Hirt M.  S. (1975) Dispersion  governed
   by the thermal  internal boundary layer. Paper presented
   at 68th  Annual  Meeting of  APCA.  Boston.  June
   1975.
               AUTHORS' REPLY

 We thank Dr. Weisman for  his comments on our paper.
 However, there are several points that we feel should be
^fanned.
   Weisman states that the constant land surface tempera-
 ture boundary condition is unjustified. While there can be
 tome argument for a constant flux boundary condition.
 the results of Moroz (1967) show that the temperature vari-
ations  near  the surface  after the onset of lake breeze  is
only a few degrees centigrade. This leads one to conclude
that the  constant  land  surface temperature condition  is
probably the better compromise if one wants to maintain
model  simplicity until much more field data is available.
  The  second point made  is that the  imposition of the
constant  land surface  temperature  boundary  condition
leads to the prediction that the temperatures inland lead
to stable stratification. This statement is  inaccurate. The
third boundary condition (i.e. for  :—»x.  7= T, + a:)
leads to  the stable stratification inland.  This  boundary
condition could have been made more general by presum-
ing T = T, + f(:) leading to other inland temperature pro-
files. The  importance of this third  boundary condition.
however, is that the model development is limited to inland
distances such that the thermal boundary layer is still con-
tained within the initial stable stratification. We would not
propose that this model would be valid for extremely large
inland  distances where  the  initial  stable stratification  is
already dissipated.
  After criticizing  the simplicity  of  our model. Weisman
then proceeds to show the thermal boundary layer depth
for another  model which is certainly  no more complex
However,  to  obtain even rough agreement with the field
studies of Weisman ;md  Hirl (1975).  an unacceptably high
heat flux (100 cal m  V ') must  be used.
  Our boundary layer model predicts that the thermal well
mixed layer. H*. varies as
which is approximately a square root dependence for rea-
listic system  parameters. Values of p in agreement with
Weisman and Hirt (1975) would correspond to using typi-
cal values of CH in our model in the range of 1-10 m2s"'
These are not unreasonable values for the eddy diffusivity
(cf. Prophet. 1961 ; Smith and Niemann.  1969: Cowling and
White. 1941).
   We  will  show  in  a  future  paper  that  this  general
approach  can also be extended  to predict quite well  the
early morning inversion breakup.
Department of Chemical Engineering.
Vnirersit\ of Kentucky.
Lexington. K. 40506. L.S..4.
     L. K. PETERS
G. R. CARMJCHAEL
                      REFERENCES

Cowling T.  G. and White A. (1941) The eddy diffusivity
  and the temperature of the lower layers of the atmos-
  phere. Q  J  R. met. Soc. 67. 276-286.
Moroz W. J. (1967) A lake breeze on the eastern shore of
  Lake  Michigan—observations  and  model   J. Atmos.
  Sci. 24. 337-355.
Prophet  D. T. (1961) Survey of the  available informa-
  tion pertaining to  the transport and  diffusion of air-
  borne material over ocean  and  shoreline complexes.
  Tech.  Rept. No. 89. Stanford University. Stanford. Ca.
Smith T B. and Niemann B. L. (1969) Shoreline diffusion
  program. Oceanside. California.  Tech.  Rept.  FT-860,
  Meteorology Research. Inc.. Altadena. Ca.
                                                         A-2-2

-------
    A-3.  Cumulative Standardized Normal
                   Distribution
         CUMULATIVE STANDARDIZED NORMAL DISTRIBUTION »(/)
This table gives #(0
for various values of t.
                                                 rrfiun - • I
t
.0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
J.O
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
.00
.5000
.5398
.5793
.6179
.6554
.6915
.7257
.7580
.7881
.8159
.84131
.8643
.8849
.9032
.9192
.9332
.9452
.9554
.9641
.9713
.9772
.9821
.9861
.9893
.9918
.9938
.9953
.9965
.9974
.9981
.9987
.9990
.9993
.9995
.9997
.01
.5040
.5438
.5832
.6217
.6591
.6950
.7291
.7611
.7910
.8186
.8438
.8665
.8869
.9049
.9207
.9345
.9463
.9564
.9649
.9719
.9778
.9826
.9864
.9896
.9920
.9940
.9955
.9966
.9975
.9982
.9987
.9991
.9993
.9995
.9997
.02
.5080
.5478
.5871
.6255
.6628
.6985
.7324
.7642
.7939
.8212
.8461
.8686
.8888
.9066
.9222
.9357
.9474
.9573
.9656
.9726
.9783
.9830
.9868
.9898
.9922
.9941
.9956
.9967
.9976
.9982
.9987
.9991
.9994
.9995
.9997
.03
.5120
.5517
.5910
.6293
.6664
.7019
.7357
.7673
.7967
.8238
.8485
.8708
.8907
.9082
.9236
.9370
.9484
.9582
.9664
.9732
.9788
.9834
.9871
.9901
.9925
.9943
.9957
.9968
.9977
.9983
.9988
.9991
.9994
.9996
.9997
.04
.5160
.5557
.5948
.6331
.6700
.7054
.7389
.7704
.7995
.8264
.8508
.8729
.8925
.9099
.9251
.9382
.9495
.9591
.9671
.9738
.9793
.9838
.9875
.9904
.9927
.9945
.9959
.9969
.9977
.9984
.9988
.9992
.9994
•999\)
.9997
.05
.5199
.5596
.5987
.6368
.6736
.7088
.7422
.7734
.8023
.8289
.8531
.8749
.8944
.9115
.9265
.9394
.9505
.9599
.9678
.9744
.9798
.9842
.9878
.9906
.9929
.9946
.9960
.9970
.9978
.9984
.9989
.9992
.9994
.9996
.9997
.06
.5239
.5636
.6026
.6406
.6772
.7123
.7454
.7764
.8051
.8315
.8554
.8770
.8962
.9131
.9279
.9406
.9515
.9608
.9686
.9750
.9803
.9846
.9881
.9909
.9931
.9948
.9961
.9971
.9979
.9985
.9989
.9992
.9994
.9996
.9997
.07
.5279
.5675
.6064
.6443
.6808
.7157
.7486
.7794
.8078
.8340
.8577
.8790
.8980
.9147
.9292
.9418
.9525
.9616
.9693
.9756
.9808
.9850
.9884
.9911
.9932
.9949
.9962
.9972
.9979
.9985
.9989
.9992
.9995
.9996
.9997
.08
.5319
.5714
.6103
.6480
.6844
.7190
.7517
.7823
.8106
.8365
.8599
.8810
.8997
.9162
.9306
.9429
.9535
.9625
.9699
.9761
.9812
.9854
.9887
.9913
.9934
.9951
.9963
.9973
.9980
.9986
.9990
.9993
.9995
.9996
.9997
.09
.5359
.5753
.6141
.6517
.6879
.7224
.7549
.7852
.8133
.8389
.8621
.8830
.9015
.9177
.9319
.9441
.9545
.9633
.9706
.9767
.9817
.9857
.9890
.9916
.9936
.9952
.9964
.9974
.9981
.9986
.9990
.9993
.9995
.9997
.9998
 The entries from 3.49 to 3.61 fell equal .9998.
 The entries from 3.62 to 3.89 all equal .9999.
 All entries from 3.90 and up equal 1.0000.
                            A-3-1

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TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
(Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO. 2.
KPA-4Sn/2-81-075
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
APTI Course 423
Dispersion of Air Pollution: Theory and Model
Application Student Workbook
7. AUTHOR(S)
D.R. Bui lard
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
Northrop Services, Inc.
P.O. Box 12313
Research Triangle Park, NC 27709
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Manpower and Technical Information Branch
Air Pollution Training Institute
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
Project Officer for this Student Workbook is R.E
MD-17, RTF, NC 27711
3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
5. REPORT DATE
November , 1981
6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
B 18A2C
11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
68-02-2374
13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
Student Workbook
14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
EPA-OANR-OAQPS
. Townsend, EPA-ERC ,
16. ABSTRACT
The Student Workbook is to be used with course 423, "Dispersion of Air Pollution -
Theory and Modeling Application", as designed and presented by the EPA Air
Pollution Training Institute (APTI) . The Student Workbook contains introductory
material, lesson outlines, problem sets, and class exercises.
17. KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
a. DESCRIPTORS b.lDENTIFI
Air Pollution Training Train]
Modeling Studei
Dispersion
IS. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT 1 ' mited 19.SECURI
Available from National Technical Unc,
-. 2O. 5ECUHI
Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Rd
Spr-ingf ip]d. VA 22161 Tine"
ERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS C. COS ATI Field/Group
ing Course 13B
it Workbook 51
68A
TY CLASS (ThisReport) 21. NO. OF PAGES
Lassified 235
TY CLASS (This page) 22. PRICE
sssi f ipd
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                                       A-3-2

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