CORPORATION
         SUMMARY REPORT
             FOR
A SCREENING STUDY TO DETERMINE THE
 EMISSION REDUCTION POTENTIAL NSPS
 WOULD HAVE ON TRANSFER OPERATIONS
  INVOLVING CRUDE OIL, JET FUELS
      AND AVIATION GASOLINE

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RC Project No. 200-045-55
EPA Project No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55
                          SUMMARY REPORT
                               FOR
               A SCREENING STUDY TO DETERMINE THE
                EMISSION REDUCTION POTENTIAL NSPS
                WOULD  HAVE OK TRANSFER OPERATIONS
                 INVOLVING CRUDE OIL, JET FUELS
                       AND AVIATION GASOLINE
                           Presented to:
                 ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                      Research Triangle Park
                      North Carolina  27711
                 Attention:   Mr.  C. F. Kleeberg
                          23 July  1976
                          Prepared by:
                        William C. Thomas
                         Staff Engineer
       8500 Shoal Creek Blvd./P.O. Box 9948/Austin, Texas 787667(512)454-4797
                                                    I

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                             ABSTRACT

          The purpose of this report is to provide the Environmental
Protection Agency with information on the hydrocarbon emission
reduction potential that new source performance standards (NSPS)
would have on segments of the petroleum transfer industry.   In
this study transfer operations involving crude oil, kerosine jet
fuel, naphtha jet fuel, and aviation gasoline are investigated.
The emission reduction potential that NSPS would have on each of
these petroleum transfer segments by 1985 is determined by use of
the EPA developed calculational procedure known as Model IV.

          The following information is included in this report:

          1)  Definition of each of the transfer segments,  the
              current throughput of each segment, and the
              projected throughput of the transfer operation in
              1985.

          2)  Identification of the emission sources associated
              with each transfer operation and emission esti-
              mates for each source.

          3)  Identification of the best available emission
              control techniques.

          4)  Identification of the various state emission
              regulations applicable to each emission source.

          5)  Description of the method by which the industry
              modifies or modernizes its facilities.

          6)  Estimation of the emission reduction potential
              that NSPS would have on each petroleum transfer
              industry segment by 1985.

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                           Page

1.0       INTRODUCTION.	1  ...    1

2.0       SUMMARY	    5

3.0       RECOMMENDATIONS	   12

4.0       INDUSTRY STATISTICS 	   14
          4.1  Crude Oil Transfer Industry Segment.  ...   14
               4.1.1  Baseline Year Statistics - Crude Oil  14
               4.1.2  Projected Industry Size in 1985 -
                      Crude Oil	   19
          4.2  Kerosine-Based Jet Fuel Transfer Industry
               Segment	   25
               4.2.1  Baseline Year Statistics - Kerosine
                      Jet Fuel	   25
               4.2.2  Projected Industry Size in 1985 -
                      Kerosine Jet Fuel	   31
          4.3  Naphtha-Based Jet Fuel Transfer Industry
               Segment	   42
               4.3.1  Baseline Year Statistics - Naphtha
                      Jet Fuel	   42
               4.3.2  Projected Industry Size in 1985 -
                      Naphtha Jet Fuel	   44
          4.4  Aviation Gasoline Transfer Industry
               Segment	   50
               4.4.1  Baseline Year Statistics - Aviation
                      Gasoline	   50
               4.4.2  Projected Industry Size in 1985 -
                      Aviation Gasoline 	   53

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS (Cont.)

                                                            Page

5.0       BASELINE YEAR EMISSIONS	59
          5.1  Hydrocarbon Emission Sources .	59.
               5.1.1  Tank Filling Operations	60
               5.1.2  Storage Facilities	61
               5.1.3  Pump Seals and Valves	68
          5.2  Emission Factors for Important  Sources ...  71
               5.2.1  Crude Oil Production Facilities ...  73
               5.2.2  Tank Loading	74
               5.2.3  Storage Facilities	78
               5.2.4  Pumps and Valves	84
          5.3  Summary of Transfer Emissions	85

6.0       APPLICABLE BEST SYSTEMS OF EMISSION  REDUCTION .  .  90
          6.1  Loading Operations 	  90
               6.1.1  Vapor Collection Systems.  ......  91
               6.1.2  Vapor Recovery Units	95
               6.1.3  Efficiency of Vapor Recovery Units.  .  99
          6.2  Storage Facilities 	 104
          6.3  Pump and Valve Emission Controls	105
          6.4  Summary of Emissions Using Best Available
               Control Systems	107

7.0       CURRENT STATE HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS.  . 113

8.0       FACILITY MODIFICATION AND MODERNIZATION 	 126

9.0       ESTIMATED EMISSION REDUCTION	128
          9.1  Model IV	  . 128
                               iii

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS (Cont.)

                                                           Page

          9.2  Model IV Results	132
               9.2.1  Crude Oil Transfer Segment	132
               9.2.2  Kerosine Jet Fuel Segment	134
               9.2.3  Naphtha Jet Fuel Transfer Segment .  140
               9.2.4  Aviation Gasoline Transfer Segment.  143

10.0      FUGITIVE EMISSIONS FROM PUMP SEALS AND VALVES .  148

          APPENDIX A  FLOATING ROOF STANDING STORAGE AND
                      FIXED ROOF TANK  BREATHING LOSSES
          APPENDIX B  MODEL IV CALCULATIONS

          APPENDIX C  BIBLIOGRAPHY
                               IV

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                         LIST OF TABLES
TABLE NO.
Table 2-1
Table 2-2
Table 2-3
Table 2-4
Table 4-1
Table 4-2
Table 4-3
Table 4-4
Table 4-5
Table 4-6
Table 4-7
Table 4-8
Table 4-9
Table 4-10
Table 4-11
Table 4-12
TITLE
National Emission Reduction by 1985* - Crude
Oil Transfer
National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Kerosine Jet Fuel Transfer
National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Naphtha Jet Fuel Transfer
National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Aviation Gasoline Transfer
Crude Oil Statistics
1974 Domestic Crude Production of Major
Oil Companies
1985 Projections of Domestic Crude Oil
Production and Imports
Historical Crude Oil Data
Refinery Receipts of Crude Oil by Method
of Transportation
Summary of 1985 Refinery Receipts of Crude
1972 Petroleum Bulk Facilities by Size
and Storage Capacity of Jet Fuels
Major Air Traffic Hubs in U.S. in 1974
Kerosine Jet Fuel Statistics for 1966-75
Pipeline and Tanker /Barge Transport of
Kerosine Jet Fuel
Kerosine Jet Fuel Usage
Naphtha Jet Fuel Statistics for 1966-75
PAGE
8
9
10
11
17
18
20
22
23
26
32
33
34
38
40
45
Table 4-13
1972 Petroleum Bulk Facilities by Size and
Storage Capacity of Aviation Gasoline
                                                             52
                                v

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                         LIST OF TABLES (Cont.)
TABLE NO.

Table 4-14

Table.5-1

Table 5-2


Table 5-3

Table 5-4


Table 5-5


Table 5-6

Table 5-7



Table 5-8



Table 5-9



Table 5-10



Table 6-1


Table 6-2

Table 6-3


Table 6-4
	TITLE     	  PAGE

1966-74 Aviation Gasoline Statistics           54

Parameters for Emission Calculations           72

Estimated Hydrocarbon Emissions from Crude
Oil Production                                 75

S Factors for Equation 5-1                     77

Emission Factors for Loading Petroleum
Liquids                                        79

Fixed Roof and Underground Storage Emission
Factors                                        81

Underground Tank Filling Losses                83

Emission Rates from Crude Oil Transfer Based
on an Example Throughput of 159 m3/Day
(1000 bbl/Day)                                 86

Emission Rates from Kerosine-Based Jet Fuel
Transfer Based on an Example Throughput of
159 rnVday (1000 bbl/day)                      87

Emission Rates from Naphtha-Based Jet Fuel
Transfer Based on an Example Throughput of
159 mVday (1000 bbl/Day)                      88

Emission Rates from Aviation Gasoline
Transfer Based on an Example Throughput
of 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/Day)                   89

Vapor-Air Mixture Compositions Used in
Equilibrium Calculations                      101

Summary of Equilibrium Calculations           101

Vapor Recovery Efficiencies for Refrigera-
tion Type Vapor Recovery Units                103

Effectiveness of Mechanical and Packed
Pump Seals on Various Types of Hydrocarbons   106
                              vi

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                         LIST OF TABLES (Cont.)
TABLE NO.
TITLE
Table 6-5     Achievable Emission Rates from Crude Oil
              Transfer Based on an Example Throughput of
              159 ra3/Day (1000 bbl/Day)

Table 6-6     Achievable Emission Rates from Kerosine
              Based on an Example Throughput of 159 m3/
              Day (1000 bbl/Day)

Table 6-7     Achievable Emission Rates from Naphtha-
              Based Jet Fuel Transfer Based on an
              Example Throughput of 159 m3/Day (1000
              bbl/Day)

Table 6-8     Achievable Emission Rates from Aviation
              Gasoline Transfer Based on an Example
              Throughput of 159 m3/Day (1000 bbl/Day)

Table 7-1     Summary of State Hydrocarbon Emission
              Regulations

Table 7-2     Comparison of Best Available Control System
              and Current Control Emission Levels* -
              Crude Oil Transfer Segment

Table 7-3     Comparison of Best Available Control System
              and Current Control Emission Levels* -
              Kerosine Jet Fuel Transfer Segment

Table 7-4     Comparison of Best Available Control System
              and Current Control Emission Levels* -
              Naphtha Jet Fuel Transfer, Segment

Table 7-5     Comparison of Best Available Control System
              and Current Control Emission Levels* -
              Aviation Gasoline Transfer Segment

Table 9-1     Summary of Input/Output Variables for Model
              IV Crude Oil Transfer

Table 9-2     National Emission Reduction by 1985*
              Crude Oil Transfer
                       t
Table 9-3     Summary of Input/Output Variables for
              Model IV Kerosine Jet Fuel Transfer
PAGE



108



109




110



111


114



122



123



124



125


133


135


136
                              vn

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                         LIST OF TABLES (Cont.)
TABLE NO.

Table 9-4


table 9-5


Table 9-6


Table 9-7


Table 9-8


Table 10-1
                  TITLE
National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Kerosine Jet Fuel Transfer

Summary of Input/Output Variables for
Model IV Naphtha Jet Fuel Transfer

National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Naphtha Jet Fuel Transfer

Summary of Input/Output Variables for Model
IV Aviation Gasoline Transfer

National Emission Reduction by 1985* -
Aviation Gasoline Transfer

Hydrocarbon Emissions from Crude Oil and
Aviation Fuels Transfer in 1975
PAGE


139


141


144


145


147


150
                              viii

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                       LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE NO.
Figure 4-1
Figure 4-2
Figure 4-3
Figure 4-4
Figure 4-5
Figure 4-6
Figure 4-7
Figure 4-8
Figure 4-9
Figure 4-10
Figure 4-11
Figure 4-12
Figure 4-13
Figure 4-14
Figure 5-1
Figure 5-2
Figure 5-3
Figure 5-4
TITLE
Crude Oil Transfer Industry in 1975
Refinery Receipts of Crude Oil By Mode of
Transportation
Projected Crude Oil Transfer Industry in
1985
1975 Kerosine-Based Jet Fuel Transfer
Industry
Indicated Demand for Kerosine Jet Fuel
Projected Kerosine-Based Jet Fuel Transfer
Industry in 1985
1975 Naphtha-Based Jet Fuel Transfer
Industry
Indicated Demand for Naphtha Jet Fuel
Pipeline and Tanker/Barge Transport of
Naphtha Jet Fuel
Projected Naphtha-Based Jet Fuel Transfer
Industry in 1985
1975 Aviation Gasoline Transfer Industry
Indicated Demand for Aviation Gasoline
Pipeline and Tanker/Barge Transport of
Aviation Gasoline
Projected Aviation Transfer Industry in 1985
Fixed Roof Storage Tank
Double Deck Floating Roof Storage Tank
(Non-Metallic Seals)
«.
Covered Floating Roof Storage Tank
Lifter Roof Storage Tank (Wet Seal)
PAGE
15
24
27
28
36
41
43
47
48
49
51
55
57
58
62
63
64
66
                              ix

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                        LIST OF FIGURES (Cont.)


FIGURE NO.	TITLE	  PAGE


Figure 5-5    Flexible Diaphragm Tank (Integral Unit)        67


Figure 5-6    Packed Seal                                    69


Figure 5-7    Mechanical Seal                                70


Figure 5-8    Turnover Factor (KN) for Fixed Roof Tanks      80


Figure 6-1    Top Loading Arm Equipped with a Vapor
              Recovery Nozzle                                92


Figure 6-2    Detail of a Vapor Recovery Nozzle              93


Figure 6-3    Bottom Loading Vapor Recovery                  94


Figure 6-4    Schematic of a Terminal Vapor Recovery Unit    97

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1.0       INTRODUCTION

          Section 111 of the Clean Air Act charges the Administrator
of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) with the responsi-
bility of establishing Federal standards of performance for new
stationary sources which may significantly contribute to air
pollution.  These new source performance standards (NSPS)  are to
reflect the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the best demonstrated control methods considering
cost.  In order to achieve, in a time effective manner, the
greatest emission reduction from the promulgation of NSPS,  EPA
is preparing a list of industries,  prioritized according to the
impact NSPS would have on each industry's emissions.  As part of
the preparation of this prioritized list, EPA contracted Radian Cor-
poration (EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319 Task 55) to perform a screening
study to determine the emission reduction potential NSPS would
have on transfer operations involving crude oil,  jet fuels  and
aviation gasoline.  This report presents the results of this
screening study.

          Scope of Work

          The purpose of this study is to determine the hydrocarbon
emission reduction potential NSPS would have on the crude oil,  jet
fuel and aviation gasoline segments of the U.S. petroleum transfer
industry.   The movement of crude oil from domestic oil wells and
importers to refineries is accomplished via a complex network in-
volving tank farms and bulk terminals connected by overland and
water transportation systems.  Similarly, the distribution of re-
fined petroleum products from refineries to end users requires a
network of intermediate storage and transfer points connected by
overland and water transportation systems.

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          At the present time, federal NSPS have been promulgated
for storage vessels for petroleum liquids.  These regulations
affect storage vessels with capacities greater than 151,000 liters
(40,000 gallons) that contain petroleum liquids with vapor pressures,
as stored, equal to or greater than 78 mmHg (1.5 psia).   Specifically
excluded from these NSPS are storage vessels for crude oil or
lease condensate located at drilling and production sites prior
to custody transfer.  Since portions of the storage facilities
found in the petroleum transfer industry are regulated by the above
NSPS, they will not be included in the emission calculations of this
study.  In addition, refinery storage of crude oil and products
is specifically excluded from the scope of work of this  study.

          For the storage vessels which are not regulated by the
existing federal NSPS, only hydrocarbon emissions resulting
from filling and withdrawal of liquid are considered in the
analysis portion of this study.  Breathing or standing storage
losses are considered to be an indirect result of transfer opera-
tions and are discussed in Appendix A.

          Approach

          In order to evaluate the emission reduction potential
NSPS would have on an industry, EPA developed a calculational
procedure called Model IV.   The execution of Model IV entails
the use of two sets of conditions to estimate an industry's
emissions ten years from a baseline year.  (In this study 1975
is the baseline year and 1985 is the calculational year.)  The
first emission calculation is made by assuming emissions in 1985
will be controlled to the level required by the baseline year
regulations.  The second calculation of 1985 emissions assumes that
after the baseline year, all new emission sources will be required
to utilize the best available emission control techniques.  The
difference between the two estimates is the emission reduction
potential of NSPS.

                              -2-

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          The execution of Model IV requires the following in-
formation:

          1)  a description of the industry and its present and
              projected throughput,

          2)  identification of the industry's emission sources and
              emission estimates for each source,

          3)  identification of the best available emission control
              technique for each emission source,

          4)  the various state emission regulations applicable to
              each emission source in the industry, and

          5)  the method by which the industry modifies or moder-
              nizes its facilities.

The structure of this report is arranged to present this material
in a logical and organized manner.   Section 4.0 provides a brief
discussion of the operations that comprise each of the four transfer
industry segments, identifies the historical and baseline year
throughput of each operation and makes projections of each operation's
throughput in 1985.  Emission factors for each emission source are
developed in Section 5.0 while Section 6.0 identifies the best
available control techniques for each source and develops emission
factors based on the application of these techniques.  Section 7.0
summarizes the various state hydrocarbon emission regulations and
compares the emission levels required by state regulations to the
emission levels attainable with best available control techniques.
The methods used to modify and modernize facilities are identified
in Section 8.0.

          Section 9.0 summarizes the input/output variables used
in executing Model IV and presents the emission reduction potential
                              -3-

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calculated for each transfer industry segment.  Section 2.0 is
a summary of the important parts of this report while Section
3.0 contains recommendations for areas requiring additional study,
Section 10.0 discusses the potential importance of pump seal and
valve leaks to the emission levels of the crude oil and aviation
fuels transfer industry segments.
                              -4-

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2.0       SUMMARY

          The emission reduction potential of NSPS for the crude
oil, kerosine-based jet fuel, naphtha-based jet fuel and aviation
gasoline segments of the petroleum transfer industry were estimated.
Hydrocarbon emission sources found in these transfer segments in-
clude tank truck and rail car loading operations,  tanker and barge
loading operations, aircraft refueling operations, intermediate
storage tanks, consumer storage tanks and process  pumps and valves.

          Emission factors for the above point sources are
calculated from American Petroleum Institute (API) correlations
(AM-039, AM-085), crude oil production emissions (MS-001),  under-
ground storage tank emission data (CH-159) and fugitive emission
data for refinery operations °(DA-069, AT-040).   For tank truck,
rail car,  tanker and barge loading operations and  fixed roof
storage tanks, vapor collection and recovery systems are utilized
as the best available emission control system while the vapor
balance method of filling is utilized as the best  available control
system for underground tank storage facilities.  No technique
is presently available for controlling aircraft refueling emissions.

          The results of calculations using Model  IV are summarized
in Tables  2-1 through 2-4.  Based on the data from Table 2-1, by 1986
the emission reduction for the crude oil transfer  segment is esti-
mated to be 15 x 106kg/yr (17 x 103tons/yr) or approximately 87o
of the emission level if NSPS are not promulgated  in 1975.   Over
70% of the total emission reduction or 10.6 x 106kg/yr (11.7 x
103tons/yr) is estimated to result from control of tanker/barge
loading operations.  The major portion of the new tanker/barge
loading facilities are estimated to be located on Alaska's.
south shore.
                              -5-

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           Table 2-2 is  a summary  of the  results  of  emission  re-
 duction calculations for the kerosine  jet  fuel  transfer  industry
 segment.   The emission  reduction  potential,  189  x 103kg/yr (208
 tons/yr),  is approximately 32% of the  emissions  estimated  to
 occur if  only baseline  year regulations  are  in  effect  in 1985.
 The major contributor to the emission  reduction  is  fixed roof
 tank losses, which accounted for  5870 of  the  total emission
 reduction.

           The data of Tables 2-3  and 2-4 show that  NSPS  will
 not reduce emissions from the naphtha  jet  fuel  or aviation gaso-
 line transfer segments.   The reason for  the  lack of any  emission
 reduction is the projected decline in  domestic  demand  for  these
 two aviation fuels.   Because of this decline no  new emission
 sources to which NSPS would apply are  projected  for the  1975-
 1985 time frame.

           The data of Tables 2-1  through 2-4 do  not include  pump
 seal and  valve emissions except for crude  oil production facili-
 ties.   The crude production pump  seal  and  valve  emissions  are
 estimated because emission data were available  for  these sources
 in-production service.   The importance of  these  type emissions is
 illustrated by the fact that of the 193  x  106kg/yr  (213  x  103tons/
 yr) of crude oil transfer related hydrocarbon emissions  estimated
 to occur  in 1985,  about 87% or 168 x 105kg/yr (185  x 103tons/yr)
 will be from pump seal  and valve  leaks.

           To illustrate what the  relative  importance of  fugitive
 emissions may be compared to the  other emissions, estimates  are
 made of the number of pump units  (which  consist  of  one pump  and
 six valves)  required in each transfer  segment for these  fugitive
 emissions to equal the  emissions  from  all  other  sources  within the
 transfer  segment.   Emission factors for  pump seals  and valves
                               -6-

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 in refinery  service  (DA-069, AT-040) are used  to make  these
 calculations, with the results of  these calculations shown below.

      Transfer  Industry             Number of  Pump Units

     Crude Oil                            934,000   (86,000*)
     Kerosine Jet Fuel                      4,000
     Naphtha  Jet Fuel                     109,000
     Aviation Gasoline                     49,000

     *Based on excluding production pump seal and valve
      emissions  from  the total crude oil emissions.

          From  these calculations, it  is obvious that  fugitive
 emissions may potentially represent a  significant portion of  the
 total emissions from the petroleum transfer industry.
                               -7-

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                                                                          TABLE 2-1
 I
00
	Emissions Source

1.  Crude Oil Production
      Storage Tanks
      Pump Seals
      Pipeline Valves
    Production Subtotal
2.  Truck/Rail Loading
3.  Tanker/Barge Loading

    INDUSTRY TOTAL


Vapor



Vapor
Vapor

NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*
CRUDE OIL TRANSFER
Emission Rate with
Best Available System,
Control Techniques 10skg/yr(103tons/yr)
Collection and Recovery 4.3 (4.7)
145 (160)
23.1 (25.4)
172 (190)
Collection and Recovery 2.33 (2.57)
Collection and Recovery 3.20 (3.52)
178 (196)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
108kg/yr(103tons/yr)
7.5 (8.3)
145 (160)
23.1 (25.4)
176 (194)
3.53 (3.89)
13.8 (15.2)
193 (213)


Emission Reduction,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
3.2
0
0
3.2
1.20
10.6
15
(3.6)


(4)
(1.32)
(11.7)
(17)
                   *As Per Model IV evaluation (10 years)

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                                                                            TABLE 2-2
 I
vO
                           Emission  Source
1.  Truck/Rail Loading _

2.  Tanker/Barge Loading

3.  Fixed Roof Tanks

4.  Underground Tanks

5.  Aircraft Refueling


    INDUSTRY TOTAL


Vapor
Vapor
Vapor
Vapor


NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*
KEROSINE JET FUEL TRANSFER
Emission Race with
Best Available System,
Control Technique 10Jkg/yr(tons/yr)
Collection and Recovery 35.3 (38.9)
Collection and Recovery 2.7 (3.0)
Collection and Recovery 93 (103)
Balance System 55.7 (61.3)
NA 214 (236)
401 (442)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
10Jkg/yr (tons/yr)
63.3 (69.7)
3.6 (4.0)
203 (224)
106 (117)
214 (236)
590 (650)
Emission
Reduction!
103kg/yr(tons/yr)
28.0 (30.8)
0.9 (1.0)
110 (122)
50.3 (55.7)
0
189 (208)
                      As  per Model  IV  evaluation (10 years)
                     NA -  none  available

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                                                      TABLE 2-3

Emission Source
I. Truck/Rail Loading
2. Tanker/Barge Loading
3. Fixed Roof Tanks
I
1— i 4. Underground Tanks
O
1 5. Aircraft Refueling
NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY
NAPHTHA JET FUEL TRANSFER
Emission Rate With
Best Available System
Control Technique 106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
** 2.12 (2.33)
** 0.06 (0.07)
** 1.61 (1.77)
** 0.42 (0.46)
**-NA 2.27 (2.5)
1985*
Emission Rate Under
, 1975 Controls,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
2.12 (2.33)
0.06 (0.07)
1.61 (1.77)
0.42 (0.46)
2.27 (2.5)


Emission Reduction,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
0
0
0
0
0



   INDUSTRY TOTAL
                                                       6.48 (7.14)
6.48 (7.14)
  As per Model IV evaluation (10 years)

**
  No new sources to which controls can be applied


NA - none available

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                                                     TABLE 2-4
NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*


AVIATION
GASOLINE TRANSFER
Emission Rate With

1.
2.
3.
It.
5.
Emission Source
Truck/Rail Loading
Tanker/Barge Loading
Fixed Roof Tanks
Underground Tanks
Aircraft Refueling
Best Available System,
Control Technique 103kg/yr(tons/yr)
** 903
** 34
** 187
** 684
**-NA 735
(994)
.3 (37.8)
(206)
(753)
(809)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
10'kg/yr(tons/yr)
903 (994)
34.3 (37.8)
187 (206)
684 (753)
735 (809)

Emission Reduction,
103k*s/yr(tons/yr)
0
0
0
0
0
   INDUSTRY TOTAL
                                                 2,543   (2800)
2.543   (2800)
  As per Model IV evaluation (10 years)


**
  No new sources to which controls can be applied


NA-none available

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3.0       RECOMMENDATIONS

          The recommendations contained in this section pertain
to the availability of up-to-date hydrocarbon emission data for
the various emission sources in the petroleum transfer industry.
During the course of this study, several areas were identified
wherein little or no emission data existed or the data that were
available were a result of studies performed 15 to 20 years ago.
The following recommendations summarize the areas in which further
studies should be initiated:

          1)  More comprehensive emission data for emissions
              from crude oil production operations should be
              obtained.  The crude oil production emission
              data used in this study were taken from a study
              performed in 1968 in a specific production area
              of California (MS-001).   No description of the
              types or conditions of the facilities was given
              with the emission data.   Since crude production
              emissions are estimated to be over 90% of the
              crude oil transfer segment's total emissions
              (as defined in this study), the importance of
              accurate production emission data is evident.
              Test data should be gathered for a variety of
              production facility configurations and operating
              conditions.  These data could then possibly be
              correlated with various equipment and operating
              parameters to provide an accurate emission es-
              timate technique.

          2)  Tests to determine emission rates from sources
              such as pump seals, valves, flanges, etc.,
              should be performed.  The best data for these
              fugitive losses are based on refinery data taken
              in the 1950's.  Whether these data accurately
                               -12-

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              reflect  state-of-the-art  control  technology
              and  are  applicable  to nonrefinery service
              should be  ascertained.  Correlations  should
              be developed  to  relate  fugitive emission rates
              to flow  rates through the piece of equipment
              and  to the vapor pressure of  the  product
              handled.

          3)   More test  data related  to emissions from tanker
              and  barge  loading operations  are  needed.   The
              American Petroleum  Institute  has  developed
              correlations  for estimating these emissions,
              but  their  work was  based  on a very limited amount
              of data  that  was taken  in the 1950's  (AM-085).
              A broader  sampling  of loading operations under
              a variety  of  conditions will  provide  for a
              better understanding of the emissions  from these
              sources  and the  factors that  affect them.
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 4.0        INDUSTRY STATISTICS

            In order to utilize Model IV to estimate the emission
 reduction potential NSPS will have on an industry, the industry
 must first be defined and its throughput identified.   Then
 historical data or industry growth projections must be examined
 to determine the industry's future size.  In the following sections
 pertinent statistics are presented for each industry segment and
 'the growth rates of these segments are estimated.   The crude oil
 transfer segment is discussed in Section 4.1 while Sections
 4.2-4.4 describe the kerosLne-based jet fuel, naphtha-based
 jet fuel and aviation gasoline segments respectively.   Other
 information of interest such as the size distribution of facilities
 and the major companies involved in the transfer industry are
 also included in these sections.

 4-1        Crude Oil Transfer Industry Segment

            Crude oil is transported to refineries  by pipelines,
 tank trucks, rail cars, barges and tankers.  The transport of
 crude oil from domestic wells and importers to U.  S.  refineries
 is schematically shown in Figure 4-1.   The flow rates  shown are
 for the baseline year of 1975.

 4.1.1      Baseline Year Statistics - Crude Oil

            Total domestic production of crude oil  and lease
 condensate in 1975 amounted to 485xl.06ra3 (3.05xl09  bbl).   Approxi-
 mately 1670 of this production was from offshore wells. Imports of
 crude oil in 1975 totaled 238xl06m3(1.SOxlO9 bbl)(US-421).
                               -14-

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    DOMESTIC
    ONSHORE
    PRODUCTION
           406
    DOMESTIC
    OFFSHORE
    PRODUCTION
i •
M
Cn
I
80
        FIELD
        PROCESSING
        AND STORAGE
                                                          12.9
                                                       TRUCK/RAIL
                                  393
                                                    345
                                PIPELINE
                                                  PIPELINE
                                             48
                                             48
FIELD
PROCESSING
AND STORAGE
                                                    TANKER/BARGE
80
                                                       PIPELINE
                                        35
                                                          65
                     IMPORTS
                                     PIPELINE
                                      204
                                                      30
                                                       PIPELINE
                                                            174
                                 TANKER/BARGE
                                              FIGURE 4-1

                                 CRUDE OIL TRANSFER INDUSTRY  IN  1975

                                            (flows are 10 6m3)
                                                               48
REFINERY

STORAGE

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          Pipelines are the most important mode of transportation
of domestic crude oil with over 87%> of the refineries' 1975 re-
ceipts, 425 x 106m3(2.67 x 109 bbl),  being supplied by this
method.  Tanker and barge operations  accounted for 48 x 106m3
(302 x 106 bbl) or 10% of the domestic crude oil received at
refineries.  The remaining 370 of domestic production was supplied
by tank trucks and rail cars (US-421).

          Imported crude oil is primarily supplied to refineries
by tankers and barges.  About 73% of 1975's crude imports, 174 x
106m3(1.09 x 109 bbl), were received in this manner.  Pipelines
account for the transfer of the other 27% of crude imports to
refineries (US-421).

          Distribution of Production Facilities

          The number of producing oil wells for the baseline year
has not yet been reported.  At the end of 1974, the U. S. had
approximately 498,000 wells in production (US-420).  Since this
total represents very little change from the approximately 497,000
wells in 1973, it is assumed that approximately 500,000 wells
were in operation at the end of 1975.  The number of producing
oil wells in each state as of 13 December 1974 are listed in
Table 4-1 (US-420).  Also given in Table 4-1 is a breakdown of
1975 crude oil production by states (US-421).   The states of
Texas, Louisiana and California, and the areas off their shores
accounted for about 7270 of 1975 production.

          Major Companies

          Domestic crude oil production is largely performed by
major oil companies.   A listing of major oil companies and their
domestic crude production for 1974 is given in Table 4-2 (NA-303).
This production represented almost 80% of the 1974 U. S. total,
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                                 TABLE 4-1

                            CRUDE OIL STATISTICS
                                                    APPROXIMATE NUMBER OF
                                                    PRODUCING OIL WELLS ON
  STATE                1975 PRODUCTION**, 103m3      13 DECEMBER 1974
 Alabama                        2,142                         582
 Alaska                        11,094                         199
 Arizona                          101                          25
 Arkansas                       2,606                       7,235
 California                    51,225                      40,479
 Colorado                       6,030                       2,174
 Florida                        6,658                         136
 Illinois                       4,147                      23,630
 Indiana                          737                       4,376*
 Kansas                         9,398                      41,755*
 Kentucky                       1,201                      14,127
 Louisiana                    104,214                      27,973*
 Michigan                       3,882                       4,201
 Missouri                          11                         157
 Mississippi                    7,407                       2,254
 Montana                        5,222                       3,103
 Nebraska                         972                       1,127
 Nevada                            18                           9
 New Mexico                    15,064                      13,304
 New York                         142                       5,475*
 North Dakota                   3,250                       1,488*
 Ohio                           1,861                      16,658
 Oklahoma                      25,936                      71,797
 Pennsylvania                     622                      32,095
 South Dakota                      77                          31
 Tennessee                        122                         154
 Texas                        194,220                     159,702
 Utah                           6,292                       1,076*
 Virginia                       —                              3
 West Virginia                    394                      13,650*
 Wyoming                       20,231                       8,656*

 TOTAL                        485,276                     497,631

 *  Estimated by  the Bureau of Mines, all other number of producing oil
    wells furnished by  State agencies.
 ** Includes lease condensate and off-shore production

 Source:  Production data - US-421
          Well  data       - US-420
                                     -17-

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                                 TABLE  4-2

           1974  DOMESTIC  CRUDE PRODUCTION OF MAJOR OIL COMPANIES
            COMPANY
1974 DOMESTIC PRODUCTION,
	 m3/day	
           Amerada Hess Corp.
           American Petrofina,  Inc.
           Apco Oil Co.
           Ashland Oil, Inc.
           Atlantic Richfield Co.
           Cities Services  Oil  Co.
           Clark Oil  and  Ref. Co.
           Continental Oil  Co.
           Diamond Shamrock Oil and
             Gas Co.
           Exxon Corp.
           Getty Oil  Corp.
           Gulf Oil Corp.
           Kerr-McGee Corp.
           Marathon Oil Co.
           Mobil Oil  Corp.
           Murphy Oil Corp.
           Pasco Inc.
           Phillips Petroleum Co.
           Shell Oil  Co.
           Skelly Oil Co.
           Standard Oil Co. of  Calif.
           Standard Oil Co.  (Ind.)
           Standard Oil Co.  (Ohio)
           Sun Oil Co.
           Tenneco Corp.
           Texaco, Inc.
           Union Oil  Co.  of Calif.

           TOTAL
       15,712
        3,180
          924
        3,668*
       60,913
       33,756
          201
       34,662

        2,966
      141,510
       47,748
       75,732
        4,974
       27,672
       66,780**
        2,487
        2,393
       40,656
       93,174
       12,627
       65,680
       85,701
        4,714
       42,228
       13,798
      128,313***
       42,676
    1,054,845
            *   Includes  condensate only
            **  Gross  crude production
            ***Gross  crude production: includes interests in nonsubsidiary
                companies

            Source:   NA-303
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with eight companies, Atlantic Richfield,  Co.,  Exxon Corp.,  Gulf
Oil Corp., Mobil Oil Corp., Shell Oil Co., Standard Oil Co.  of
Calif., Standard Oil Co. (Ind.) and Texaco Inc.,  accounting for
over 50% of the total.

4.1.2      Projected Industry Size in 1985 - Crude Oil

           Production and Imports

           The use of historical data alone to predict future
growth rates for the crude oil transfer industry might have been
valid prior to the Fall of 1973 and the oil embargo.  This event
and the imported crude oil price rises associated with it now
make projections ten years into the future extremely unreliable.
The future of domestic crude oil production, crude imports and
domestic demand for crude oil are now more dependent on oil
exporting nations' pricing decisions, federal regulations and
consumer conservation than on factors such as domestic economic
growth.

           Following the oil embargo, numerous forecasts of U. S.
crude oil production, imports and domestic demand were made.
These forecasts were based on various economic and political
assumptions.  Since these projections take into account more factors
than could be considered within the limits of this study, an effort
was made to obtain several of the more recent projections and use
their estimates of what the crude oil industry will be in 1985.
Table 4-3 lists some of these projections.

           For the purpose of this study, the median Stanford
Research Institute (SRI) domestic crude oil production estimate,
1.86 x 106m3/day  (11.7 x 106 bbl/day), is selected  (ST-381).
Domestic crude oil. demand is assumed to grow approximately  3%
per year, indicating that demand in 1985 will be 2.67 x 106m3/day
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                                  TABLE 4-3
       1985 PROJECTIONS OF DOMESTIC CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS

     SOURCE OF PROJECTION          DOMESTIC PRODUCTION      CRUDE IMPORTS

 1.  Shell Chemical Co.                    1,600                   870
 2.  Bankers Trust Co.                      2,100                 1,200
 3.  National Petroleum Council            NA                    1,300
 4.  Project Independence, Update          1,900                   800-950
 5.  Stanford Research Institute           1,900                   730

 Units: 103m3/day

 Notes: Stanford Research Institute data shown are median values,  with low
        and high ranges of 1,400 - 2,200 and 330 - 1,400 for domestic
        production and imports, respectively.
 Sources:   Projection #1:   RE-149
           Projection #2:   EN-431
           Projection #3:   NA-261
           Projection #4:   PR-124
           Projection #5:   ST-381
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 (16.8 x 106 bbl/day).   Therefore, the difference between domestic
 demand and production must be supplied by imports.  This calcu-
 lation shows crude imports in 1985 as 0.81 x 10*in3/day (5.1 x 106
 bbl/day), which is in line with both the SRI projection and other
 projections.

            Of the total domestic production in 1985, approximately
 0.87 x 106m3/day (5.5 x 106 bbl/day) is projected to be from
 sources not in production in 1975.  This figure is calculated by
 assuming that the existing production in 1975 will decline at a
 rate of 370 per year, as it did over the period 1971-75.  (Table
 4-4 lists historical crude oil data for 1966-75).  Of the 0.87 x
 10s m3/day (5.5 x 106  bbl/day) of new production, 0.32 x 106m3/
 day (2.0 x 106 bbl/day) is assumed to be Alaskan production.

            Transportation

            The amounts of crude oil received at refineries by
 pipeline, tanker/barge and truck/rail for 1966-75 are listed in
 Table 4-5.   These data are plotted in Figure 4-2 as percent of
 total refinery receipts in order to ascertain whether there is
 any trend in the method of transporting crude oil.  An analysis
 of the data shows no significant trend in the transportation of
 domestic crude oil,  with each mode of transportation accounting
 for a fairly constant  percentage of domestic production from
 1966 through 1975.   Therefore, 1975's percentages (87.5% by pipeline,
 9.97o by tanker/barge and 2.67o by truck/rail) are used in calculating
 the quantities of domestic crude transported by each mode in 1985.
 The 0.32 x 106m3/day (2.0 x 106 bbl/day) of new Alaskan production
 are not included in the above percentages.   It is assumed that
 this crude will be piped to Alaska's south shore and then shipped
 by tankers to west coast refineries.
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                                  TABLE 4-4
                          HISTORICAL CRUDE OIL DATA
                                              CRUDE OIL        TOTAL  NEW*
    YEAR        TOTAL DOMESTIC PRODUCTION*    IMPORTS          SUPPLY OF CRUDE  OIL
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1,319
1,401
1,446
1,469
1,532
1,505
1,501
1,464
1,394
1,330
195
179
205
224
210
267
352
516
553
653
1,514
1,580
1,651
1,693
1,742
1,772
1,853
1,980
1,947
1,983
    Units: m3/day
    *Includes lease condensate
    Source: 1966-74 data - AM-132
            1975 data    - US-421
                                    -22-

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                                                          TABLE  4-5
                                REFINERY RECEIPTS OF CRUDE OIL BY METHOD OF TRANSPORTATION
                                              DOMESTIC CRUDE                              FOREIGN CRUDE
          YEAR             PIPELINE     TANKERS & BARGES    TANK CARS & TRUCKS    PIPELINE     TANKERS & BARGES

          1966               1,072             218                  18                55             140
          1967               1,122             243                  20                64             116
          1968               1,172             246                  21                73             132
          1969               1,207             238                  21                87             137
          1970               1,237             266                  19               103             106
i          1971               1,235             257                  18               113             154
ro
V3        1972               1,288             197                  23               138             213
          1973               1,265             174                  25               178             338
          1974               1,200             149                  32               161             390
          1975*              1,164             131                  35               177             476
          Units: 103m3/day
          *1975 data includes an estimate by Radian for the month of October

          Source: 1966-1974 data - AM-132
                  1975 data - U.S. Bureau of Mines Monthly Petroleum Statements for 1975.

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         100  _
I
K>
          90  _
          80
          70  .
        CO
        4->
        O.
        u
        9)
        a)
        c
        •H
          60
          50
30


20


10

 0
                 -₯=
                        
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           Transportation of crude imports shows a distinct trend
with the percentage of tanker and barge receipts increasing and
pipeline receipts declining.  This trend can be almost solely
accounted for by the Canadian Government's decision to terminate
crude exports to the U. S.  By 1985,  Canada will be exporting no
crude and hence, the pipeline transport of imported crude will be
relegated to the portion of imports brought in by tankers and
routed into pipelines for delivery to inland refineries.   In
1975, 1578 of the crude imported by tankers was subsequently de-
livered to inland refineries by pipelines.  This same percentage
is assumed to apply in 1985.  Table 4-6 summarizes the amounts
of crude estimated to be transported by pipeline, tanker/barge and
truck/rail in 1985.

           Based on the above projections and considerations, the
flow of crude oil within the U. S. in 1985 is schematically shown
in Figure 4-3.

4.2        Kerosine-Based Jet Fuel Transfer Industry Segment

           Kerosine-based jet fuel is transported from refineries
by pipelines, tankers, barges, tank truck and rail cars.   Petro-
leum bulk terminals and bulk stations serve as intermediate storage
and distribution centers.  The transport of kerosine jet fuel
from refineries and importers to end users is schematically shown
in Figure 4-4.  The flow rates shown are for the baseline year
of 1975.

4.2.1      Baseline Year Statistics - Kerosine Jet Fuel

           Demand

          Domestic refineries produced 40.1 x 106m3(252 x 106 bbl)
of kerosine-based jet fuel in 1975, while imports amounted to

                               -25-

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                                                    TABLE 4-6
                                  SUMMARY OF 1985 REFINERY RECEIPTS OF CRUDE OIL
i
co
cr>
Received By

Pipeline
Tanker/Barge
Truck/Rail

TOTAL
Domestic Crude*
      492
       55
       15
      562
                                                       New Alaskan Crude
                                                            117
Total Domestic Crude    Imported Crude
                                                            117
       492
       172
        15
       679
 44
252

296
    Units:  106 m3
    *Excludes new Alaskan Crude

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   TOTAL
   DOMESTIC
   PRODUCTION
          679
FIELD
PROCESSING
AND STORAGE
                                                              15
                                                         TRUCK/RAIL
                                        664
                                                                             492
                                     PIPELINE
fo
                    IMPORTS
                                                  172
                                                 296
                                               TANKER
                                                               172
                                                          TANKER/BARGE
                                                                          PIPELINE
                                                                                        REFINERY

                                                                                         STORAGE
                                                      FIGURE 4-3
                                     PROJECTED CRUDE OIL TRANSFER INDUSTRY IN 1985
                                                  (flows are 10bm3)

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                                                     IMPORTS
      EXPORTS
ro
oo
i
                   ADDITION

                   TO STOCKS
                                                                                 CONSUMER

                                                                                 STORAGE
                                                                                            17,067
                                                                                            TRUCK
                                                                                            28,883
                                                                                                    END

                                                                                                   USERS
                                                                                            PIPELINE
                                                 FIGURE 4-4
                                 1975  KEROSINE-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER INDUSTRY


                                              (flows are 103m3)

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6.07 x 105m3(38.2 x 106 bbl).  Since stocks of kerosine jet fuel
in 1975 increased by 199 x 103m3(1.25 x 105 bbl) and 97.0 x 103m3
(610 x 103bbl) were exported, the indicated domestic demand was
45.9 x ie6m3(289 x 10e bbl)  (US-421).

           In 1974 (the latest year  for which data are available),
over 90% of the kerosine jet fuel consumed was for commercial use
and almost all of this was for aircraft fuel.  The military used
almost 870 of the total kerosine jet  fuel consumed while the re-
maining 270 was used for non-aviation purposes (US-419).  These
percentages are assumed to be the same in 1975.

           Transportation

           The U. S.  Bureau of Mines reported that in  1975, 35.9
x 106m3(226 x 106 bbl) of kerosine jet fuel were turned into pipe-
lines and 6.2 x 106m (39 x 106 bbl) were loaded on tankers and
barges for transport between Petroleum Administration  for Defense
(PAD) districts (US-421).  Since the quantity transported via
pipelines and tanker/barge is greater than the amount produced by
domestic refineries,  it is evident that a portion of the imported
kerosine jet fuel is included in the pipeline and/or tanker/barge
transport data.  Because the military normally receive their
kerosine jet fuel by truck, it is assumed that sales to the mili-
tary are transported by truck/rail directly from the refinery.
Military usage in 1975 is estimated  to be 3.5 x 106m3  (22 x 10s
bbl).  Therefore, the amount of kerosine jet fuel turned into
.pipelines directly from refineries is calculated to be 30.1 x
106m3 (189 x 106 bbl) by subtracting the amounts imported, used
by the military and transported by tanker/barge from indicated
domestic demand.
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           Petroleum bulk terminals and stations normally deliver
their products by tank trucks.  However, most major airports have
direct pipeline connections  (dedicated pipelines) to these bulk
facilities for delivery of kerosine jet fuel (VA-129).  Since
the Bureau of Mines figure for pipeline transportation is 35.9 x
106m3 (226 x 106 bbl) but only 30.1 x 106m3 (189 x. 105 bbl) were
turned into pipelines directly from refineries, 5.7 x 106m3 (36
x 106 bbl) of imports are assumed to be turned in dedicated pipe-
lines at bulk facilities.  The remaining quantity of kerosine jet
fuel imports and the amount received by bulk facilities by tanker/
barge, 6.5 x 106m3(41 x 106 bbl), is delivered by tank trucks.

           Due to the large quantities of kerosine jet fuel used
by the major airports,  an underground pipeline system is employed
for delivering jet fuel from the airport storage tanks to the
terminal gates (EL-104).   In 1974,  68% of the total U.  S.  revenue
passenger enplanements occurred at these major airports (US-418).
Therefore, it is assumed that in 1975 approximately 687o of the
commerical usage of kerosine jet fuel or 29.3 x 106m3 (184 x 106
bbl) was delivered by pipeline to the airport terminal gates.
Kerosine jet fuel not delivered by pipeline is transported by small
tank trucks.   Therefore,  in 1975 the amount of kerosine jet fuel
transported from airport storage to airport terminals by trucks
is assumed to be 16.6 x 106m3 (104 x 106 bbl).

           Bulk Terminals and Stations

           The U.  S.  Department of Commerce's Bureau of Census
reported that in 1972,  23,367 petroleum bulk stations and 1,925
petroleum bulk terminals were in operation (US-417).   This was
a decrease from the 26,338 bulk stations and 2,701 bulk terminals
reported in operation in 1967 (US-031).   A breakdown of petroleum
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bulk facilities in 1972 by size and storage capacity of jet fuels
 (both kerosine-based and naphtha-based) is given in Table 4-7.

           Airports

           There were approximately 11,100 airports on record
with the Federal Aviation Administration on December 31, 1974,
 (US-418).   If an airport's refueling requirements are proportional
to the number of revenue passenger enplanements,  then in 1974 almost
68% of the total airline consumption of kerosine jet fuel occurred
at the 25 major air traffic hubs listed in Table 4-8.  Approximately
one-half of these major airport centers contract Allied Aviation
to operate their refueling operations (DE-202).

4.2.2      Projected Industry Size in 1985 - Kerosine Jet Fuel

           Historical Demand

           Refinery production, import, export,  and indicated
demand data for kerosine jet fuel are listed in Table 4-9 for
the years 1966-75.  Large increases in indicated domestic demand
are shown for the late 1960's, with smaller increases for the
1970's.  This trend can be at least partially accounted for by
realizing that in the late 1960's, the commercial airlines were
still in the process of converting from propeller-driven air-
craft (which use aviation gasoline) to jet-propelled planes (which
use kerosine jet fuel).  By 1970, this conversion to jet aircraft
was essentially completed.  Demand growth after 1970 reflects ex-
pansion of airline traffic.  The decline in kerosine jet fuel con-
sumption in 1974 is probably entirely attributable to the severe
recession of that year.
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                                  TABLE 4-7
                    1972 PETROLEUM BULK FACILITIES  BY
                   SIZE  AND STORAGE  CAPACITY  OF  JET FUELS
 TOTAL FACILITY
 STORAGE CAPACITY
NUMBER OF           KEROSINE AND NAPHTHA-BASED
FACILITIES       JET FUEL STORAGE CAPACITY, 103m 3
 Less  than 159 m3
 159 m3  to 235 m3
 238 m3  to 314 m3
 318 m3  to 394 m3
 398 m3  to 791 m3
 795 m3  to 3,971 m3
 3,975 m3  to  7,946 m3
 7,950 m3  to  23,846  m3
 23,850  m3 to 79,496 m3
 79,500  m3 or more
   5,309                           1
   6,379                           2
   5,072                           2
   2,431                           l
   2,929                           2
   1,395                          21
     339                          50
     687                         364
     579                       1,034
     172                       1,827
 U.S.  TOTAL
  25,929
3,303
 Source:  US-417
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                                  TABLE 4-8

                  MAJOR AIR TRAFFIC HUBS IN U.S. IN 1974

                                         % OF TOTAL REVENUE PASSENGER
          AIR TRAFFIC HUB                          ENPLANEMENTS
          Atlanta, Ga.                              6.36
          Boston, Mass.                             2.50
          Chicago, 111.                             8.32
          Cleveland, Ohio                           1.41
          Dallas/Ft. Worth, Texas                   3.63
          Denver, Col.                              2.69
          Detroit and Ann Arbor, Mich.              1.94
          Honolulu, Hawaii                          2.14
          Houston, Texas                            1.46
          Kansas City, Mo.                          1.07
          Las Vegas, Nev.                           1.36
          Los Angeles, Cal.                         4.69
          Miami/Ft. Lauderdale, Fla.                3.26
          Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minn.               1.64
          Newark, N.J.                              1.63
          New Orleans, La.                          1.09
          New York, N.Y.                            6.98
          Philadelphia, Penn.                       1.76
          Phoenix, Arizona                          1.01
          Pittsburgh, Penn.                         1.81
          St. Louis, Mo.                            1.78
          San Francisco/Oakland, Cal.               3.25
          Seattle/Tacoma, Wash.                     1.43
          Tampa/St. Petersburg, Fla.                1.19
          Washington, D.C.                          3.31

          TOTAL                                   . 67.71


          Source:  US-418
                                     -33-

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                                                    TABLE 4-9

                                   KEROSINE JET FUEL STATISTICS FOR 1966-75
i
U)
YEAR
Production
Imports
Exports
Indicated Domestic Demand
Turned into Pipelines
Tanker/Barge Transport
Between PAD's
1966
20.0
3.0
<0.1
22.7
9.9
4.6
1967
26.0
4.3
<0.1
30.1
15.2
5.3
1968
30.8
4.3
<0.1
35.4
20.4
6.0
1969
34.5
5.0
—
40.3
24.5
6.3
1970
34.6
7.3
—
41.7
26.2
5.2
1971
34.9
8.7 •
<0.1
43.6
29.0
5.3
1972
37.1
9.4
<0.1
46.7
33.4
6.0
1973
39.4
10.2
0.1
48.9
37.3
5.5
1974
37.2
7.8
0.1
44.7
34.2
5.1
1975
40.1
6.1
0.1
45.9
35.9
6.2
           Units:  106m3
           Source:  U.S. Bureau of Mines Mineral Yearbooks and Monthly Petroleum Statements

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
            The validity of Model IV for predicting the emission
 reduction potential of NSPS is dependent on accurate projections
 of industry growth within the time period from 1975 to 1985.   The
 two suggested methods of calculating growth are based on historical
 data.   If an industry is experiencing a positive growth, these
 methods result in a prediction of a constant yearly throughput
 growth (simple growth rate) or an increasing yearly throughput
 growth (compound growth rate).   However, an analysis of historical
 data for the kerosine jet fuel industry indicate that neither of
 these methods would predict growth that would conform to the
 historical growth pattern.

            Figure 4-5 is a plot of the indicated domestic demand
 for kerosine jet fuel for the years 1966-75.   With the exception
 of 1974,  the kerosine jet fuel demand-time relationship can be
 expressed as a logarithmic function.   The deviation in 1974,  as
 previously mentioned, is due to the cutback of air traffic during
 the recession of 1974.   A least squares fit of the 1966-73 data to
 the equation

            Indicated Demand = A£nT = B                 (4-1)

 where A and B are constants and T is the number of years from
 1965 gives the solid line shown on Figure 4-5.   This equation,
 with A equal to 12.5 x 10s and B equal to 22.1 x 106 m3 (139  x
 106 bbl),  gives good agreement with the actual data.

            Projected Demand

            Three alternatives for extrapolation of the historical
 data to 1985 are shown in Figure 4-5.   First,  Equation 4-1 with
 the derived constants can be used to calculate the 1985 industry
 capacity.   This method neglects the effects of the recession  in
                              -35-

-------
CO
cr>
          w
          w
            68 .
            64 _
            60 .
            56 .
            52 .
          CO


          1 48
          £ 44
Q
&

a
H
Q


H
H
CO
W
            40
            36
            32
          Q

          H 28
          <
          CJ
          M

          g 24
            20
                                                                       CASE  3
                                                                       CASE  1
                                                                — -A   CASE  2
                 '66    '68   '70  '72  '74  '76  '78   '80  '82   '84   '86
                                            YEAR


                                          FIGURE 4-5
                            INDICATED DEMAND FOR KEROSINE  JET FUEL

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
 1974 and gives 1985 domestic demand as 59.5 x 106  m3  (374 x 106
 bbl) (see Case 1 on Figure 4-5).   The second alternative is to
 use the same form of Equation 4-1,  but reduce B by 4.93  x
 106 m3(31.0 x 106 bbl)  to account for the effects  of  the recession
 in 1974.   This method calculates  domestic demand for  kerosine jet
 fuel in 1985 as 54.6 x 106 m3 (343 x 106 bbl) (see Case  2 on Figure
 4-5).   The third alternative is  to assume a simple growth rate
 from 1975 to 1985 based on the approximately simple growth
 exhibited by the data for 1969-73 .   This method discounts the
 large growth rate of the late 1960's attributable  to  conversion
 by the airlines from propeller to jet aircraft.  Based on this
 method, 1985 indicated demand will be 67.4 x 106 m3 (424 x 106 bbl)
 (see Case 3 in Figure 4-5).   The  third method is selected for use
 in this study.

            Imports of kerosine jet fuel in 1985 are assumed to be
  8.9xl06m3(56xl06 bbl)  or 13.2% of indicated domestic demand, which
  is the same percentage of domestic demand supplied by imports in
  1975.

            Historical Transportation Data

            The amount of kerosine jet fuel transported by tankers
 and barges between PAD districts  and turned into pipelines is
 given in Table 4-9 for the years  1966-75. These data show an
 increasing share of the total domestic demand being handled by
 pipelines while the share handled by tankers and barges  has
 experienced a slight decline.

            Projected Transportation Data

            The amounts of kerosine jet fuel turned into  pipelines
 and transported by tankers and barges between PAD  districts in
 1985 can, in part, be projected from historical data. The per-
 cent of total indicated domestic demand transported by the above
 two methods for the years 1966-75 are shown in Table  4-10.  The
                              -37-

-------
CORPORATION
                                  TABLE 4-10
         PIPELINE AND TANKER/BARGE TRANSPORT OF KEROSINE JET FUEL
                             AMOUNT TRANSPORTED AS % OF DOMESTIC  DEMAND
  YEAR                         VIA PIPELINE _   VIA TANKER/ BARGE
  1966                            43.5                  ' 20.5
  1967                            50.4                    17.5
  1968                            57.6                    17.0
  1969                            60.9                    15.7
  1970                            62.9                    12.5
  1971                            66.5                    12.1
  1972                            71.4                    12.8
  1973                            76.3                    11.3
  1974                            76.4                    11.4
  1975                            78.1                    13.5
                                    -38-

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
 data for pipeline transport appear to follow an increasing log-
 arithmic function similar to the pattern shown for indicated
 domestic demand.   A least squares fit of Equation 4-1 for the
 1966-73 pipeline  transport data gives A as 14.9 and B as 41.4.
 Thus,  in 1985,  pipelines are projected to transport 86.170 or
 58 x 106m3(365  x  10s bbl) of the indicated domestic demand.

            Tanker and barge transport between PAD districts  as  a
 percent of indicated demand has shown a slight decrease since
 1966.   If the data for 1966 and 1975 are used to calculate a
 compound growth rate,  in 1985 tankers and barges will handle
 approximately 8.5% of the indicated domestic demand  or 5.7 x
 106 m3  (36 x 106  bbl).

            In order to determine the quantity of kerosine jet
 fuel turned into  pipelines from domestic refineries,  it is
 necessary to estimate the military demand for this fuel.  Histori-
 cal data for military use show an erratic pattern for 1971-74.  (See
 Table  4-11)  Therefore,  it is assumed that the amount of kerosine
 jet fuel required by the military and transported by truck/rail
 directly from refineries is equal to the amount used by the  mili-
 tary in 1975,  3.5 x 106  to3 (22 x 106 bbl).
                                                                N
            The  delivery  of kerosine jet fuel from consumer storage
 to aircraft is  assumed to be proportioned between truck and
 pipeline transportation  as it was in 1975.  Therefore,  6870 of
 commercial usage  or 43.4 x 106m3 (273 x 106  bbl) is piped and
 the remaining 32% plus all military usage, 24.0 x 106m3(151  x
 106  bbl), is trucked.

            Based  on the above projections and considerations, the
 flow of kerosine  jet fuel in 1985 is schematically shown in Figure
 4-6.  Due to the  small amounts of kerosine jet fuel exported, no
 estimate of exports-is made for 1985.
                              -39-

-------
                                                       TABLE 4-11
                                             KEROSINE JET FUEL USAGE
              YEAR                    1966  1967  1968  1969  1970  1971  1972  1973  1974
               Commercial Use*         NA    NA    NA    NA    NA    108   114   118   110
              Military Use**           6.7   7.3    7.8   8.1   8.4   11.0  10.2  11.1  9.6

i
g            Non-Aviation Use         NA    NA     NA    NA    NA    NA    3.8   2.7   2.2
i

              *  Includes airlines,  factory and general aviation use
              **Includes all military  consumption  except JP-4 (naphtha jet fuel).   Excludes direct
                 imports  by military.
               NA -  Not available.
               Units: 103 m3/day
               Source:  AM-132,  US-419

-------
                                              5.729

                                           TANKER/BARGE
                 58.503
                                        49,276
                                        PIPELINE
                                                                                   PIPELINE
                                                      3,498
                                                  TRUCK/RAIL
•p-
h->
I

CONSUMER
STORAGE



23,947
TRUCK
END
USERS
43,453
PIPELINE l
                                                       FIGURE  4-6


                              PROJECTED KEROSINE-BASED JET  FUEL TRANSFER INDUSTRY IN 1985

                                                      (flows are 103m3)

-------
CORPORATION


4.3        Naphtha-Based Jet Fuel Transfer Industry Segment

           Naphtha-based jet fuel like kerosine jet fuel is trans-
ported from refineries by pipelines,  tankers,  barges,  tank trucks
and rail cars, with petroleum bulk terminals and bulk stations
serving as intermediate storage and distribution centers.   The
transport of naphtha jet fuel from refineries  and importers to end
users is schematically shown in Figure 4-7.   The flow rates shown
are for the baseline year of 1975.

4.3.1      Baseline Year Statistics - Naphtha  Jet Fuel

           Production of naphtha jet fuel in 1975 amounted to
10.4 x lO^m3 (65.6 x 106 bbl) while imports  totaled 1.64 x 105m3
(10.3 x 106 bbl)  and stocks were reduced by  48.8 x 103m3 (307 x
103 bbl).  Since no naphtha jet fuel was exported in 1975,  the
indicated domestic demand was 12.1 x 10sm3 (76.3 x 106 bbl) (US- 421)

           Tanker and barge transport of naphtha jet fuel between
PAD districts totaled 1.54 x 106m3.(9.72 x 106  bbl) in 1975,  with
5.41 x 106 m3 (34.0 x 10s bbl) turned into pipelines (US-421).
Since military bases use large quantities of naphtha jet fuel,  it
is assumed that they receive most of their fuel through dedicated
pipelines.  Therefore, the amount of fuel received by dedicated
pipelines is assumed equal to the amount turned into pipelines
directly from refineries.  All movement of naphtha jet fuel from
consumer storage to aircraft is by small tank  trucks.

           The latest statistics on petroleum bulk terminal and bulk
station storage capacity are given in terms  of total jet fuel
storage (both naphtha- and kerosine-based).   Total jet fuel storage
capacity at these facilities amounted to 3.30  x 106m3 (20.8 x
106 bbl) in 1972 as shown in Table 4-7  (US-417).   In 1974  (the
                             -42-

-------
I
-p>
U)
                                                                 IMPORTS
                                                                      1,644
                                 MARINE

                                 TERMINAL
  1.545
TANKER/BARGE
                        in
                             49
                                            5,412
                                           PIPELINE
BULK
TERMINALS
AND
STATIONS
      3.525
                                                   TRUCK/RAIL
                            DRAWDOWN
                           FROM STOCKS
                                                                              3.189
                                                                              TRUCK
                               5,412
                                                                              PIPELINE
                              CONSUMER
                              STORAGE
                                                           12.126
                                                           TRUCK
                                                        .END
                                                        USERS
                                                          FIGURE 4-7
                                        1975 NAPHTHA-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER INDUSTRY

                                                        (flows are 103m3)

-------
 RADIAN
 CORPORATION
latest year for which data are available),  military uses accounted
for almost 8770 of the total domestic demand for naphtha jet fuel.
The other 13% was utilized in the commercial sector (US-419).
These same percentages are used to represent the usage of naphtha
jet fuel in the commercial and military sectors during 1975.

4.3.2      Projected Industry Size in 1985  - Naphtha Jet Fuel

           Historical Demand Data

           Production, import, export, and indicated domestic
demand data for naphtha jet fuel are contained in Table 4-12 for
the years 1966-75.  These data show that the indicated domestic
demand for naphtha jet fuel decreased by about 257o from 1966 to
1975.  The decline in the naphtha jet fuel  industry in the late
1960's and 1970's can probably be accounted for by the decreased
military activity associated with the ending of the Vietnamese
conflict and a general cutback in military  activity in the 1970's.

           Projected Demand Data

           The historical indicated domestic demand data of Table
4-12 were analyzed by performing a least squares fit to an
exponential equation of the following form:

                      BT
           Demand = Ae   or &n(Demand) = £nA + BT     (4-2)

where A and B are constants and T is defined as the number of
years from 1966.  The resulting equation, based on 1966-75 data
is

           Capacity (in 105 m3) = 18.6xe("°'046xT)  .
                               -44-

-------
                                      TABLE 4-12
                        NAPHTHA JET FUEL STATISTICS FOR 1966-75
Year
Production
Imports
Exports
Indicated
Domestic Trade
Turned into
Pipelines
Tanker/Barge
Transport Between
PAD's
1966
14.2
2.0
0.2
16.2
3.7
2.9
1967
17.4
0.9
0.3
17.7
3.8
4.5
1968
19.3
1.1
0.3
20.1
4.2
3.5
1969
16.6
0.8
0.3
17.2
4.4
3.7
1970
13.4
1.1
0.3
14.4
3.9
2.3
1971
13.6
1.8
0.2
15.1
4.0
2.6
1972
12.2
1.9
0.1
14.1
2.9
2.0
1973
10.5
2.1
0.1
12.6
2.4
1.5
1974
11.3
1.6
<0.1
12.9
5.3
1.6
1975
10.4
1.6
-
12.1
5.4
1.5
Units:  106m3
Source:  U.S. Bureau of Mines Mineral Yearbooks and Monthly Petroleum Statements

-------
 CORPORATION

For the year 1985 when T = 19, the indicated domestic demand is
predicted to be 7.63 x 106m3  (48.0 x 10s bbl).   This naphtha jet
fuel demand projection is shown in Figure 4-8.

           Imports of naphtha jet fuel in 1985 are assumed to be
1.01 x 106m3 (6.3 x 106 bbl) or 13.2% of indicated demand, which
is the percent of demand that imports provided in 1975.

           Transportation Data

           A breakdown of the amount of naphtha jet fuel turned
into pipelines and transported by tankers and barges between PAD
districts is also listed in Table 4-12.  These data show an erratic
pattern in pipeline and tanker/barge transport over the 1966-75 time
frame.

           Figure 4-9 is a plot of the percent of indicated demand
for naphtha jet fuel turned into pipelines and transported between
PAD.districts by tankers and barges.  It is evident from Figure 4-9
that no pattern or trend is present in these data and hence no
accurate projections can be made for what amounts of naphtha jet
fuel will be transported by these two modes in 1985.  Therefore,
1985 pipeline and tanker/barge transportation percentages are
assumed equal to the 1975 percentages of 44.6% and 12.4% respectively.
These values indicate that in 1985, 3.40 x 10sm3 (21.4 x 105 bbl)
of naphtha jet fuel will be transported by pipeline with 0.95 x 106
tn? (6.0 x 106 bbl) handled by tankers and barges.  Therefore, truck/
rail transport direct from refineries is equal to 2.15 x 106m3
(13.5 x 106  bbl).

           Based on the above projections and considerations, the
flow of naphtha jet fuel in 1985 is schematically shown in Figure
4-10.  Due to the small amount of naphtha jet fuel exported, no
estimate of exports is made for 1985.
                              -46-

-------
   23  _,
   21  -
H  19
w  ±y
•-)
  17  .
5!
a
pi
o
  13  _
w
o

u
M
H
O
o

o
w
         '66    '68   '70    '72   '74    '76   '78   '80   '82   '84   '86


                                            YEAR



                                           FIGURE 4-8


                              INDICATED DEMAND FOR NAPHTHA JET FUEL

-------
50_


40.
:CATED DEMAND
CO
o
1
f— 1
H
h 20.
o
^


10
O -PIPELINE DATA
A -TANKER/BARGE DATA O
O
0 0
A 0
o
o o A o
o
A A A
A
A
A A A
      I      I      I      I
                                         T      I-
    '66    '67    '68    '69    '70    '71    '72    '73    '74    '75
                             YEAR
                          FIGURE 4-9
      PIPELINE AND TANKER/BARGE TRANSPORT OF NAPHTHA JET FUEL
                            -48-

-------
                                                                   IMPORTS
                                                                       1,007
VO
I

REFINERY
STORAGE

6,623


MARINE
TERMINAL
J
	 is-
1


946
TANKER/BARGE
3,403
PIPELINE }
BULK
TERMINALS
AND
STATIONS

2,274
1,953
TRUCK
3,403
PIPELINE
TKUUK./KAJ.II

CONSUMER
STORAGE
7,630 END
TRUCK - USERS
                                                        FIGURE 4-10
                                   PROJECTED NAPHTHA-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER INDUSTRY IN 1985
                                                       (flows are 10dmJ)

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CORPORATION
4.4       Aviation Gasoline Transfer Industry Segment

          Aviation gasoline like jet fuel is transported from
refineries by pipelines, tankers, barges, tank trucks and rail
cars, with petroleum bulk terminals and bulk stations serving
as intermediate storage and distribution centers.  The transport
of aviation gasoline from refineries to end users is schematically
shown in Figure 4-^11.  The flow rates shown are for the baseline
year of 1975.

4.4.1     Baseline Year Statistics - Aviation Gasoline

          In 1975 refineries produced 2.18 x 106m3 (13.7 x 106
bbl) of aviation gasoline and withdrew 71.1 x 103m3 (447 x 103
bbl) from stocks.  No aviation gasoline was imported, but 16.8 x 103
m3 (106 x 103 bbl) were exported.  Thus, the indicated domestic
demand was 2.24 x 106m3 (14.1 x 10s bbl)(US-421).

          In 1975, tankers and barges were used to transport 523
x 103m3 (3.29 x 106  bbl) of aviation gasoline between PAD districts,
while 610 x 103m3 (3.84 x 106 bbl) were turned into pipelines
(US-421).   All of the aviation gasoline was moved from consumer
storage tanks to aircraft by small tank trucks.

          The latest petroleum bulk terminal and station sales
storage data for aviation gasoline is for 1972.  In that year,
the 1,925 petroleum bulk terminals in operation as reported by
the Bureau of the Census had sales of 1.51 x 106m3 (9.50 x 106bbl)
of aviation gasoline and a total of 490 x 103m  (3.08 x 106 bbl)
of storage while the 23,367 petroleum bulk stations had sales of
684 x 103 (4.30 x 10s-bbl) and a total of 83.2 x 103m3 (523 x 103
bbl) of storage (US-417).  Table 4-13 shows the number of bulk
facilities in 1972 broken down by their total storage capacity and
their aviation gasoline storage capacity.
                              -50-

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          EXPORTS
              17
I
01
                             MARINE
                             TERMINAL
                        2164
                          71
                         DRAW DOWN
                        FROM STOCKS
   523
TANKER/
BARGE

610
                                       PIPELINE
                                         121
                                     TRUCK/RAIL
BULK

TERMINAL
                                                        413
                                                    TRUCK/RAIL
                                        568
                                     TRUCK/RAIL
                                                                         1254
                                TRUCK
                             568
                                                                     TRUCK
                                           CONSUMER
                                           STORAGE
                                            2.235

                                            TRUCK
END
USERS
                                                     FIGURE 4-11
                                       1975 AVIATION GASOLINE TRANSFER INDUSTRY

                                                  (flows are 103m3)

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
                            TABLE  4-13
        1972 PETROLEUM BULK  FACILITIES BY SIZE AND STORAGE
                  CAPACITY OF AVIATION GASOLINE

   Total Facility          Number  of    Aviation Gasoline Storage
  Storage Capacity        Facilities	Capacity, 103m3	

 less  than  159m3              5,309                4.2
 159m3 to 235m3               6,379                6.6
 238m3 to 314m3
 318m3 to 394m3
 398m3 to 791m3
 795m3 to 3,971m3
 3,975m3 to 7,946m3
 7,950m3 to 23,846m3
 23,850m3 to 79,496m3
 79,500m3 or more

                            25,292              572.8
Source:  US-417.
                             -52-

-------
CORPORATION
              In 1974 there were approximately 11,100 airports in
 the U.  S.,  with the twenty-five major airport centers (see Table
 4-8) accounting for almost 6870 of the revenue passenger enplane-
 ments (US-418).   Therefore, the remaining airports consist of
 small or medium size facilities where a large majority of general
 aviation flying originates.  Since aviation gasoline is the fuel
 normally used by general aviation aircraft, the end user segment
 of the aviation gasoline industry is widespread among many small
 facilities.

 4.4.2        Projected Industry Size in 1985 - Aviation Gasoline

              Historical Demand

              Table 4-14 contains production, import, export, and
 indicated domestic demand data for aviation gasoline for the
 period 1966-75.   An analysis of this data shows that the demand
 for aviation gasoline decreased over 637o from 1966 to 1975, with
 a rapid decline shown in the late 1960's and a more gradual
 decline in the 1970's.  The rapid decline of the late 1960's is
 probably attributable to the phasing-out of propeller-driven
 aircraft by the major airlines.

              Projected Demand

              While the aviation gasoline demand data show a
 continual decline from 1966 to 1975 (see Figure 4-12), the decline
 from 1970 to 1975 appears to conform to an exponential relation-
 ship expressed as

                         BT
              Demand = Ae   or £n(Demand) = &nA + BT

 where A and B are constants and T is defined as the number of
 years from 1970.
                             -53-

-------
                                             TABLE  4-14

                                1966-74 AVIATION GASOLINE STATISTICS
Ul
-f>
i
Year
Production
Imports
Exports
Indicated
Domestic Trade
Turned into
Pipelines
Tanker /Barge
Transport Between
PAD's
1966
6.56
-
0.53
6.11
1.77
1.72
1967
5.89
-
0.64
5.2
1.49
1.59
1968
5.02
-
0.29
4.87
1.17
1.13
1969
4.21
-
0.28
4.06
0.90
0.96
1970
3.13
-
0.14
3.16
0.73
0.66
1971
2.93
-
0.20
2.84
0.73
0.80
1972
2.70
-
0.04
2.69
0.64
0.74
1973
2.61
-
0.03
2.63
0.64
0.63
1974
2.53
-
0.02
2.58
0.72
0.56
1975
2.18
-
0.02
2.24
0.61
0.52
       Units:   106m3

       Source:  U.S. Bureau of Mines' Mineral Yearbooks and Monthly Petroleum Statements

-------
   5  .
 a

-------
CORPORATION
             Based on a least squares fit of the 1970-75 data to
the above equation, A=3.10 and B= -0.0591.  This calculated curve
is represented by the solid line on Figure 4-12.  In 1985 when
T=15, the indicated domestic demand is calculated as 1.28 x 106m3
(8.04 x 106 bbl).

             Transportation

             Table 4-14 also shows the amounts of aviation gaso-
line turned in pipelines and transported between PAD district
by tankers and barges for the years 1966-75.  These data are
plotted in Figure 4-13 as percent of indicated demand.  Since
there is no consistent trend over the 1966-75 time period, 1975 per-
centages will be used for 1985.   Therefore, for 1985 pipeline trans-
port is assumed to handle 27.27, of the aviation gasoline while
tanker/barge operations are assumed to handle 23.370.

             In 1972, bulk terminal and bulk station sales of
aviation gasoline were 56.17» and 25.4% of the indicated domestic
demand respectively.   These same percentages are assumed to apply
in 1985, indicating that at that time bulk terminal sales will be
717 x 103m3 (4.51 x 106 bbl) and bulk station sales will be 325
x 103m3(2.04 x 106 bbl).

             Based on the above projections and considerations,
the aviation gasoline transfer industry in 1985 can be schemati-
cally shown by Figure 4-14.  Due to the small amounts of aviation
gasoline exported, no estimate is made for exports in 1985.
                              -56-

-------
    35
    30
           O


           A
§

o
o
a

o
w
a
o

s-s
    25
    20
    15
O

A
               O - PIPELINE DATA

               A - TANKER/BARGE DATA
          '66   '67   '68   '69   '70   '71   '72   '73   '74   '75


                                    YEAR



                                 FIGURE 4-13
           PIPELINE AND TANKER/BARGE TRANSPORT OF AVIATION GASOLINE
                                    -57-

-------
                                 MARINE
                                 TERMINAL
  298
                         1.278
i
Ul
oo
TANKER/
BARGE
                                           348
                                         PIPELINE
                                            71
                                        TRUCK/RAIL
                                           325
BULK
TERMINAL
                                                         236
                                         TRUCK/RAIL
                                                      TRUCK/RAIL
              BULK

              STATION
                             717
                            TRUCK
                  325
                 TRUCK
                                           CONSUMER
                                            STORAGE
                                            1.278
                                            TRUCK
  END
'USERS
                                                            FIGURE 4-14
                                           PROJECTED AVIATION TRANSFER INDUSTRY IN 1985
                                                            (flows are 103m3)

-------
CORPORATION
 5.0          BASELINE YEAR EMISSIONS

              Hydrocarbon emissions  can occur at  any point in a
 transfer network where crude oil or petroleum products  are moved
 from one vessel to another or anywhere equipment parts  do not form
 perfect seals.   These emissions  are normally termed vapor dis-
 placement or filling losses and  fugitive leaks respectively.   It
 is  necessary to identify these emission sources  in the  transfer
 network prior to calculating the quantities  of hydrocarbons emitted
 from each industry segment.

              The four industry segments examined in this  study have
 many of the same types of emission  sources.   Therefore,  Section 5.1
 provides a general description of the emission points  in  all the
 segments and discusses the factors  that affect emission rates.
 Section 5.2 details the parameters  necessary for estimating the
 emissions from each point source and develops emission  factors for
 the four industry segments.  Emissions for each  transfer  segment
 are summarized in Section 5.3 based on an example throughput of
 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day) for each  emission  point.

 5.1          Hydrocarbon Emission Sources

              Sources of hydrocarbon emissions resulting from
 handling petroleum liquids include:

              1)  Tank filling operations
              2)  Storage facilities
              3)  Pump seals and  valves

 These emission sources are discussed in detail in the following
 sections.
                              .-59-

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CORPORATION
 5.1.1        Tank Filling Operations

              As  petroleum liquids  are loaded into  tank  trucks,
 marine vessels,  rail cars and aircraft fuel  tanks,  hydrocarbon
 vapors are displaced.   Unless equipment is provided to  collect
 and dispose of these displaced vapors, they  will result in at-
 mospheric emissions.   The quantity of emissions is  dependent on
 the method of transfer,  quantity of product  dispensed,  dis-
 pensed liquid vapor pressure and previous service  of the tank.

              Loading losses  occur as  hydrocarbon vapors residing
 in empty tanks are displaced to the atmosphere by  the liquid
 being loaded.   The hydrocarbon vapors displaced from the tanks
 are a composite  of hydrocarbon vapors formed in the empty tank
 by evaporation of residual product from its  previous service and
 hydrocarbon vapors generated in the tank as  the new product is
 being loaded.   The amount of hydrocarbons lost during the loading
 operation is therefore a function of  the methods of unloading and
 filling being used.

              From an emission standpoint, filling  procedures fall
 into two basic categories -  splash loading or submerged surface
 loading.   In splash loading  the liquid is discharged by a short
 spout into the upper part of the tank.  The  resultant free fall
 not only increases evaporation but may result in a fine mist of
 liquid droplets.   In submerged surface and bottom  loading the
 liquid is discharged within  a few inches of  the tank bottom.
 There is a marked decrease in turbulence resulting in a reduction
 of losses by evaporation and entrained droplets.

              The previous service .of  the tank determines the hydro-
 carbon content of the contained vapors prior to loading.   Factors
 such as vapor pressure of the previous cargo, type of unloading
                              -60-

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method used and whether or not the tank space was freed of hydro-
carbon vapors after unloading will affect the. concentration of
hydrocarbons in the tank's vapor space.

5.1.2     Storage Facilities

          Types of Storage Tanks

          There are five basic types of storage tanks used by
the petroleum industry.  These include fixed roof,  floating roof,
internal floating cover, variable space, and pressure.  The
application of these tanks largely depends on the volatility of
the stored liquid.

          The fixed roof tank is the least expensive and the most
common type of tank used.   It is a cylindrical steel tank with
a conical steel roof (Figure 5-1).   Today, fixed roof tanks are
normally equipped with pressure/vacuum valves set at only a few
inches of HaO to contain minor vapor volume expansion.

          Floating roof tanks are cylindrical steel tanks similar
to fixed roof tanks (Figure 5-2).   However, instead of a fixed
roof, they are equipped with a sliding roof,  designed to float
on the surface of the product.  A sliding seal attached to the
roof seals the annular space between the roof and vessel wall
from product evaporation.   Floating roof tanks eliminate the vapor
space of fixed roof tanks.

          Internal floating covers are a modification of floating
roofs, designed to deal with the buoyancy problems  caused by snow
and rain (Figure 5-3).   They are essentially fixed roof tanks
equipped with an internal floating cover similar to a floating
roof.  Internal floating covers contain sliding seals to seal
the annular space between the cover and the vessel  wall from
evaporation.
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                    PRESSURE-VACUUM
                   'VENT
   NOZZLE
                                               GAUGE HATCH -
                       FIGURE  5-1.  FIXED ROOF  STORAGE TANK
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                 ROOF SEAL

                • (NON-METALLIC)
                                                 WEATHER SHIELD-
     NOZZLE
     FIGURE  5-2.   DOUBLE DECK FLOATING ROOF STORAGE TANK (NON-METALLIC SEALS)
                                      -63-

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                                                     AIR SCOOPS.
       NOZZLE
                 FIGURE  5-3.  COVERED FLOATING ROOF STORAGE TANK
                                    -64-

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          There are two basic types of variable vapor space
tanks.  These are shown in Figures 5-4 and 5-5.  The lifter roof
tank has a telescopic roof, free to travel up and down as the
vapor space expands and contracts.  A second type is the diaphragm
tank equipped with an internal flexible diaphragm to cope with
vapor volume changes.

          Pressure tanks are used to store highly volatile
products.   These tanks come in a very wide range of shapes and
are designed to eliminate evaporation emissions by storing the
product under high pressures.   Pressure tanks are commonly de-
signed for pressures up to 14 atia (210 psia) .

          Another type of storage vessel commonly used by the
end use sector is the underground tank.  This type of tankage is
essentially identical to fixed roof tanks except for the vessel
being located completely underground.

          Mechanism of Storage Loss

          Evaporation loss is the natural process whereby a liquid
is converted to a vapor which subsequently is lost to the atmos-
phere.  Evaporation occurs whenever a volatile hydrocarbon is in
contact with a vapor space or the atmosphere.  There are six basic
kinds of evaporation loss from petroleum storage:  breathing,
standing storage, filling, emptying, wetting, and boiling.

          Some factors which influence evaporation loss include:

          1)  stored liquid physical characteristics
          2)  dimensions of storage vessel
          3)  condition of tank
          4)  daily temperature and pressure changes
          5)  tank throughput
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                    -PRESSURE-VACUUM
                    VENT
  ROOF SEAL
  (LIQUID IN
  THROUGH)
   NOZZLE
                  FIGURE  5-4.  LIFTER ROOF STORAGE TANK  (WET SEAL)
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                  PRESSURE
                VACUUM VENTS
        NOZZLE.
               FIGURE 5-5.   FLEXIBLE DIAPHRAGM TANK (INTEGRAL  UNIT)
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          Breathing losses occur when vapors are expelled from a
storage tank because of temperature and/or barometric pressure
changes.  Standing storage losses are those resulting from leaks
around hatches, relief valves,  and floating roof or floating
cover seals.  Filling losses occur when vapors are displaced to
the atmosphere as a result of tank filling.  Vapor expansion
subsequent to product withdrawal is termed emptying loss and is
due to saturation of newly inhaled air.   Wetting losses are
attributed to the vaporization of liquid from wetted tank walls
exposed when a floating roof or floating cover is lowered by
liquid withdrawal.  Boiling losses occur when vapors boil off
stored liquid.

          The major source of hydrocarbon emissions from fixed
roof tanks are breathing and filling losses, while the major
source of emissions from floating roofs and internal floating
covers is standing storage losses.  Depending on auxiliary vapor
recovery equipment, vapor saver tanks may or may not be subject
to filling losses.  Underground tanks experience filling and
emptying losses,  but normally have negligible breathing losses
due to the small  diurnal temperature changes experienced by the
stored liquid.

5.1.3     Pump Seals and Valves

          Pumps required to move liquids can leak at the point of
contact between the moving shaft and the stationary casing.  If
volatile, the leaked liquid will evaporate to the atmosphere.   The
two types of seals commonly used in the petroleum industry are
packed seals (Figure 5-6) and mechanical seals (Figure 5-7).
Packed seals effect a seal around the moving shaft by forcing a
fibrous packing between the shaft and casing wall.  Mechanical
seals consist of two plates situated perpendicular to the shaft
and forced tightly together.  One plate is attached to the shaft
and one is attached to the casing.

                               -68-

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                        .FIGURE  5-6

                        Packed Seal
                            -69-

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                   High-pressure tone


                   Rotating shaft
                  Rotating cellar
   Backing spreader
  c-JJ^Cup packing

              •Set screw

              Seat stop
                       -Graphite rina
                        (stationary}
                                                           Lcw-pressuro mne
            Casino
                               Springs
Lock washer
                                      FIGURE  5-7
                                  Mechanical Seal
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          Under the influences of heat, pressure, vibration,
friction, and corrosion, valves generally develop.leaks.   The
hydrocarbon emissions from these leaks depend on both the
volatility of the product and the temperature and pressure of
the system.

5.2       Emission Factors for Important Sources

          Parameters for Emission Calculations

          For the most part,  actual hydrocarbon emission data
for transfer operations involving crude oil,  jet fuels and avia-
tion gasoline are not available.  Therefore,  it is necessary to
use correlations to estimate emission rates from these operations.
The equations used in calculating these estimates require several
parameters related to'the physical characteristics of the petroleum
liquid, such as the liquid vapor pressure under transfer condi-
tions and the molecular weight of the vapor.

          The parameters required in the emission calculations
for each emission source are listed in Table  5-1.  Obviously,
these numbers will not be correct for every transfer operation
involving crude oil, jet fuels or aviation gasoline.  Instead,
they are meant to represent the average situation.

          Emission Sources

          Hydrocarbon emission sources in the crude oil and
aviation fuels transfer industry segments include 1) oil field
production facilities, 2) tank truck and rail car loading operations,
3) tanker and barge loading operations, 4) aircraft refueling
operations, 5) intermediate storage tanks, 6) consumer storage
tanks and 7) process pumps and valves.  The first source is ob-
viously found only in the crude oil transfer  segment while the
fourth source is present only in the aviation fuels segment.

                               -71-

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                                                       TABLE 5-1
       Crude Oil
I

10      Kerosine Jet Fuel


       Naphtha Jet Fuel


       Aviation Gasoline
PARAMETERS FOR
Average Temperature of
Liquid during Transfer
Operation, °C (°F)
15.5(60)
15.5(60)
15.5(60)
15.5(60)
EMISSION CALCULATIONS
Vapor Pressure of Liquid at
Average Temperature,
mmHg(psia)
145 (2.8)
0.44 (0.0085)
67 (1.3)
150 (2.9)
Molecular Weight of
Vapor at Average Liquid
Temperatures
50
130
80
69

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          Some of the intermediate and end use storage tanks
are floating roof tanks which exhibit only standing storage losses.
These emissions are not directly caused by the transfer of petro-
leum liquids.   Similarly,  breathing losses from fixed roof tanks
are not directly related to transfer operations.   However, these
two types of losses are indirectly related to the transfer of
petroleum liquids since if the transfer operation were not present
there would be no need for storage.  Therefore, while standing
storage and breathing losses are not included in the emission
analysis of this report, a discussion of these emissions is
included in Appendix A.

5.2.1     Crude Oil Production Facilities

          Operations

          In a producing oil well, there are three methods of
bringing the oil to the surface:  natural flow, gas lifting
(injection of gas into the flowing column),  and pumping.  Most
producing wells are operated by mechanical lifting methods using
subsurface pumps of either a plunger or centrifugal type.

          Because crude oil is produced in association with gases
and water (usually in the form of brine), it must be treated to
separate the crude oil from the other components.  These operations
may occur in the oil field, at a central gathering station or in
the refinery.   After being processed for water and gas removal,
the crude oil is stored in welded tanks of high-strength steel.
These are usually vertical tanks with fixed roofs.  The' point of
custody transfer is normally defined as the withdrawal of the crude
oil from the field storage tanks pursuant to entering a main trans-
mission pipeline, a central gathering station pipeline or being
loaded into tank trucks and rail cars.
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          Offshore production operations are very similar to onshore
operations with the main difference being that offshore facilities
tend to minimize the amount of field storage due to space limitations
Offshore production is normally transported to the mainland via
pipelines although small quantities are shipped ashore via barges
and tankers.

          Emissions

          Hydrocarbon emission sources at crude oil production
facilities include pump seals, valves and storage tanks.  Emission
data for these sources are extremely limited.  The only source of
information obtained from the literature and industry contacts that
could be correlated to production rates is a study performed by the
MSA Research Corporation in 1972.  Their study was based on data
taken for a specific area in California in 1968.  The MSA study
does not describe what types of operations or equipment were being
utilized in the tested oil fields.  These emission data, which are
based on production of 2.94 x 106m3 (18.5 x 106 bbl) of crude oil
in 1968, are shown in Table 5-2.

5.2.2     Tank Loading

          The mechanism by which hydrocarbon emissions  are pro-
duced during the loading of tank trucks, rail cars, tankers and
barges  and the refueling of aircraft is identical.  Therefore,
these emission sources and their emission rates can be  addressed
together.

          The American Petroleum Institute  (API) has developed
correlations for estimating hydrocarbon emissions from  loading
operations (AM-085).  These correlations can be expressed in the
form of a theoretically derived equation which uses a saturation
factor  to account for various unloading and loading methods.  The
equation is given by:
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                           TABLE 5-2
           ESTIMATED HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS FROM CRUDE
                         OIL PRODUCTION
                                   Hydrocarbon Emissions
       Point Source                Kg/Day      Kg/103m3
       Storage Tanks                  88          11
       Wastewater Separators*        177          22
       Pump Seals                   1720         214
       Compressor Seals*              88          11
       Relief Valves*                177          22
       Pipeline Valves               274          34

       *These sources are not considered part of the transfer
        segment as defined for this study.
       Source:  MS-001
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               12.46 S£N                        (5-1)
where L  = loading loss, lb/103 gal. of liquid loaded
       Li
      M  = molecular weight of vapors, Ib/lb-mole
      P  = true vapor pressure of liquid loaded, psia
      T  = bulk temperature of liquid loaded, °R
      S  = a saturation factor.

Table 5-3 lists recommended values for S based on various loading
and lonloading methods.

          The value of S for submerged loading of marine vessels
 (0.2) is less than the value for submerged loading of tank trucks
and rail cars (0.6) due mainly to the greater depth of tanks on
marine vessels.  During loading operations a blanket of saturated
hydrocarbon vapors is formed above  the liquid surface.  This blanket
is approximately 1-2 meters  (-3-6 feet) deep.  Above the blanket,
the hydrocarbon content of the vapor space is normally far from the
saturation value.  Therefore when loading occurs and the tank's
vapors are expelled, the total amount of hydrocarbons emitted is
dependent upon the relative volumes of the blanket and initial
space above the blanket.  For tank trucks and rail cars the
blanket volume is greater than the volume of unsaturated vapor,
while for marine vessels the volume of unsaturated vapors is 2-7
times the blanket volume.

          Equation 5-1 can be used with the data of Table 5-1 and
the appropriate saturation factors from Table 5-3 to calculate
hydrocarbon emission factors for loading operations.   In this study
an S factor of 0.6 is used for determining emissions from tank
truck and rail car loading since almost all of these vehicles are
now submerge loaded.   The hydrocarbon concentration in the vapor
space of aircraft fuel tanks is normally in equilibrium with the
aviation fuel.   Therefore,  an S factor of 1.0 is used in calculating
aircraft refueling emissions.

                               -76-

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                            TABLE 5-3

                    S FACTORS FOR EQUATION 5-1

Tank Trucks and Tank Cars                                  S
           submerged loading of a purged compartment1      0.50
           splash loading of a purged compartment1         1.45
           submerged loading - normal service             0.60
           splash loading - normal service                1.45
           submerged loading - balance service2            1.0
           splash loading - balance service2              1.0

Marine Vessels
           submerged loading                              0.20
1.  On occasions the cargo compartment will be purged of vapors
    because it has been cleaned or previously used to convey
    non-volatile hydrocarbon liquids.

2.  These factors apply where the cargo carrier's previous delivery
    was to a facility practicing the balance method of vapor control
    on bulk fuel deliveries, and the cargo carrier is returning with
    a load of saturated vapors.
                                -77-

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          The calculated emission factors for loading operations
are shown in Table 5-4 along with the parameters used in the cal-
culations .

5.2.3     Storage Facilities

          Fixed Roof Tank Working Losses

           Working losses from fixed roof tanks can be estimated
from correlations developed by the American Petroleum Institute
(AM-039).  The equation form of these correlations can be modified
to make  it applicable to the storage of any organic liquid.  The
modified equation is

          Lw = 0.024 (M)(P)(KN)(KC)          (5-2)

where Ly = fixed roof working loss (lb/103 gallon throughput)
      M  = Molecular weight of vapor in the storage tank (Ib/lb-mole)
      P  = Vapor pressure of liquid at storage temperature (psia)
      K^ = Turnover factor (dimensionless)
      K  = Crude oil factor (dimensionless)
       L»

K  is 0.75 for crude oil storage and is 1.00 for storage of all
other liquids.  K  is obtained from Figure 5-8.

          Equation 5-2 can be used with the data of Table 5-1 and
the appropriate K,, and KC values to calculate fixed roof working
losses.  Figure 5-3 indicates that for less than 36 turnovers
per year, KN is 1.0.  Since all fixed roof storage under considera-
tion in  this study have less than  36 turnovers per year, ^ is
taken as 1.0 in all working loss calculations.  Oil field storage
losses are not addressed in this section but are included in
Section  5.3.1.  Table 5-5 lists the calculated emission factors
for fixed roof working losses.
                              -78-

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                                                                TABLE 5-4
VO
 I
       3.
       4.
                           Liquid
 Emission Source       Temperature,°R
Crude Oil
  Truck/Rail Loading         520
  Tanker/Barge Loading       520
Kerosine Jet Fuel         ;
  Truck/Rail Loading         520
  Tanker/Barge Loading       520
  Aircraft Refueling         520
Naphtha Jet Fuel
  Truck/Rail Loading         520
  Tanker/Barge Loading       520
  Aircraft Refueling         520
Aviation Gasoline
  Truck/Rail Loading         520
  Tanker/Barge Loading       520
  Aircraft Refueling         520
IION FACTORS FOR LOADING PETROLEUM LIQUIDS
Liquid Vapor Molecular Weight S Calculated Em
Pressure, psia of Vapor Factor lb/103 gal loaded
2.8
2.8
0.0085
0.0085
0.0085
1.3
1.3
1.3
2.9
2.9
2.9 .
50
50
130
130
130
80
80
80
69
69
69
0.6
0.2
0.6
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.2
1.0
2.01
0.671
0.0159
0.00530
0.0265
1.50
0.498
2.49
2.88
0.959
4.79
Kg/m3 loaded

    0.241
    0.0804

    0.00190
    0.000635
    0.00317

    0.180
    0.0597
    0.298

    0.345
    0.115
    0.574-

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               cf
               o
                  1.0
                  0.8
                  0.6
               £  0.4
               >
               o

               9-  0.2
                              NOTE: FOR 36 TURNOVERS PER

                                  YEAR OR LESS. KM "1.0
                           100
200
300
                                                 400
                  TURNOVERS PER YEAR
    ANNUAL THROUGHPUT

     TANK CAPACITY
FIGURE  5-8     TURNOVER FACTOR 
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                                                       TABLE 5-5
i
00
FIXED ROOF AND UNDERGROUND STORAGE EMISSION FACTORS
Emission Source and Liquid Stored
'ixed Roof Tank Working Loss
Kerosine Jet Fuel
Naphtha Jet Fuel
Aviation Gasoline
Inderground Storage Filling Loss
Kerosine Jet Fuel
Naphtha Jet Fuel
Aviation Gasoline
fnderground Storage Withdrawal Loss
Kerosine Jet Fuel
Naphtha Jet Fuel
Aviation Gasoline
Storage
Temper a ture,°F

60
60
60

60
60
60

60
60
60
Liquid Vapor
Pressure at
Storage Temperature,
psia

0.0085
1.3
2.9

0.0085
1.3
2.9

0.0085
1.3
2.9
Molecular Weight
of Vapor

130
80
69

130
80
69

130
80
69
Emission
lb/10d gal
Throughput

0.0265
2.50
4.80

0.0370
3.48
4.26

neg.
0.0404
0.197
Factors
Kg/m3
Throughput
0.00317
0.300
0.575

0.00444
0.418
0.510

neg.
0.00484
0.0236

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          Underground Tank Losses

          Emissions from underground storage tanks include filling
losses and withdrawal losses.  Emission data for filling losses
are reported for storage of motor gasoline in the Los Angeles
area (CH-159) .   These data are shown in Table 5-6.  Filling losses
resulting from loading petroleum liquids other than motor gasoline
can be calculated by ratioing vapor molecular weights and vapor
pressures of motor gasoline and the stored liquid.  For this study,
the vapor molecular weight of motor gasoline is taken as 66 kg/kg-
mole and its vapor pressure as 269 mmHg (5.2 psia) .   The calculated
emission factors for filling underground tanks are shown in Table
5-5.  Splashfilling is assumed at jet fuels storage facilities
while submerged filling is assumed at aviation gasoline storage
facilities.

          Withdrawal losses from underground tanks result from
inbreathing of air during the withdrawal of stored liquid, with
the volume of air being approximately equal to the volume of
liquid dispensed.  This air then causes vaporization of hydro-
carbons with the resulting vapor volume being greater than the
inhaled air.  Until a pressure balance with the atmosphere is
achieved, vapors are exhaled from the tank.  A theoretical deriva-
tion, based on exhaling air saturated with hydrocarbons, for under-
ground tank withdrawal losses is given by Equation 5-3.

          L -       x P x «                            (5-3)
where P = Partial pressure of exhaled hydrocarbons in psia
          divided by 14.7
      M = Molecular weight of the hydrocarbon vapors
      K = a constant. 2.83, to convert L to lb/103 gal dispensed
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                            TABLE 5-6

                 UNDERGROUND TANK FILLING LOSSES
                            (CH-159)

     Method of Filling                Filling  Loss,  kg/ci3
Splash                                          1.38
Submerged                                       0.87
Vapor Return-open vent line                     0.10
Vapor Re turn-closed vent line                   O.,0
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 In practice,  the value of L  is  found  to be one-sixth of what  is
 predicted by  Equation 5-3.   This is due to diffusion limitations
 within the tank and the presence of subsaturated vapors within
 the  tank prior to withdrawal of liquid.  Therefore, Equation  5-3
 may  be rewritten as

          T  - ( P W P v M v v                       r* />
          -L* ~~ IT  n J X r X ?r X rn                      f}-£i.i
                         IX    I/
where FD is a diffusion and dilution factor equal to one-sixth.
The results of applying Equation 5-4 to the data of Table 5-1
gives the emission factors for underground storage withdrawal
losses shown in Table 5-5.

5.2.4     Pumps and Valves

          Estimates of hydrocarbon emissions resulting from leaks
from pump seals and valves cannot be made with any reasonable
degree of accuracy due to two factors.

          1)  The best emission rate data available were
              taken in 1958 for pumps and valves in refinery
              service.  The volatility of the liquids handled
              by these pieces of equipment varied over the
              entire range encountered in a refinery.  In
              addition, whether the emission data gathered
              accurately reflects present day state-of-the-art
              technology must also be questioned.

          2)  The number of pumps and valves present in the
              transportation network is almost impossible
              to estimate.   Pumps and valves are found at
              every transfer point and pump station in the
              system.   Multiple pump arrangements and the
              variations in equipment configurations at
              each location further complicate the task
              of estimating fugitive leaks.
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          As a result of these factors,  no attempt is made in
this section to quantify pump seal and valve emissions.  Instead,
a special discussion of fugitive leaks is included as Section 10.0.

5.3       Summary of Transfer Emissions

          The emission factors developed in Section 5.2 can be used
in conjunction with throughput data to estimate hydrocarbon emis-
sion rates from the various point sources within the transfer
industry.  Tables 5-7 through 5-10 summarize these emission factors
and give emission rates for each source  based on an example through-
put of 159 m3/day (1000 gal/day).
                                -85-

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                                                       TABLE  5-7
                                  EMISSION  RATES FROM CRUDE OIL TRANSFER BASED ON
                                  AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159 m3/DAY  (1000 bbl/Day)

         EMISSION  SOURCE             EMISSION FACTOR. Kg/m3 THROUGHPUT      HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS, Kg/Day

         1.   Crude Oil Production
               Pump  Seals                            0.214                             34.0
               Pipeline Valves                       0.034                              5.4
               Storage Tanks                         0.011                              1.7

         2.   Crude Oil Transportation
'               Truck/Rail Loading                    0.241                             38.3
T              Tanker/Barge Loading                  0.0804                            12.8
               Pump  Seals and Valves                                                   *
         *  This  information  cannot  be  accurately  quantified.   See Section 10.0  for a discussion of pump
           seal  and valve emissions.

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                                                       TABLE 5-8
                                  EMISSION RATES FROM KEROSINE-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER
                             BASED ON AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day)
         EMISSION SOURCE
                          EMISSION FACTOR, Kg/m3 THROUGHPUT
                              HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS, Kg/Day
i
oo
1.  Truck/Rail Loading
2.  Tanker/Barge Loading
3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
4.  Underground Storage Tanks
      Filling
      Withdrawal
5.  Aircraft Refueling
6.  Pumps and Valves
0.00190
0.000635
0.00317

0.00444
Neg.
0.00317
0.30
0.10
0.50

0.71
Neg.
0.50
*
          *This  information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10.0 for a discussion of pump
          seal  and valve emissions.

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                                                       TABLE 5-9
                          EMISSION RATES FROM NAPHTHA-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER BASED ON
                                 AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159  m3/day (1000 bbl/Day)
         EMISSION SOURCE              EMISSION FACTOR. Kg/m3 THROUGHPUT       HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS. Kg/DAY

         1.  Truck/Rail Loading                 0.180                                  28.6
         2.  Tanker/Barge Loading               0.0597           *                       9.5
         3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks           0.300                                  47.7
         4.  Underground Storage Tanks
               Filling                          0.418                                  66.5
               Withdrawal                       0.00484                                 0.8
i
oo        5.  Aircraft Refueling                 0.298                                  47.4
1         6.  Pumps and Valves                                                          *
         * This information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10.0 for a discussion of pump
           and valve emissions.

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                                               TABLE 5-10
                       EMISSION RATES  FROM AVIATION  GASOLINE  TRANSFER BASED ON
                         AN EXAMPLE  THROUGHPUT  OF  159  m3/DAY  (1000  bbl/Day)

EMISSION SOURCE              EMISSION FACTOR, Kg/m3  THROUGHPUT       HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS. Kg/DAY

                                                                              54.9
                                                                              18.3
                                                                              91.4

                                                                              81.1
                                                                               3.8
                                                                              91.3
                                                                              *





1
oo
VO
1
1.
2.
3.
4.

5.
6.
Truck/Rail Loading
Tanker/Barge Loading
Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
Underground Storage Tanks
Filling
Withdrawal
Aircraft Refueling
Pumps and Valves
0.345
0.115
0.575

0.510
0.0236
0.574
* This information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10.0 for a discussion of
  pump and valve emissions.

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6.0       APPLICABLE BEST SYSTEMS OF EMISSION REDUCTION

          The use of Model IV to estimate the emission reduction
potential of NSPS for an industry is based on requiring the appli-
cation of the best available emission control systems to new emission
sources.  The sources of emissions in the crude oil and aviation
fuels transfer industry segments as described in Section 5.0 are
1) loading operations, 2) storage facilities and 3) pumps and valves.
In this section the best available emission control systems are
identified for these emission sources.  For loading operations,
the best available control systems are vapor collection and recovery
systems.  These same type systems can be utilized to control storage
emissions, although the use of floating roof tanks in place of
fixed roof tanks and vapor balance loading techniques for under-
ground storage tanks are other alternatives.  Pump and valve emissions
may be reduced by 1) use of mechanical seals or double seals and
2) good maintenance practices.

          The following sections discuss loading operation and
storage facility emission controls and the reduction of pump seal
and valve emissions.

6.1       Loading Operations

          The best available system for controlling hydrocarbon
emissions from transport loading operations is the use of a vapor
collection device manifolded into a vapor recovery  unit.   The
transport vehicle may be a tank truck, rail car, barge, or marine
vessel.  While in theory aircraft refueling operations can be
controlled by vapor collection and recovery systems, the intricate
arrangement and non-uniformity of vents on aircraft fuel tanks make
vapor collection nearly impossible.   Therefore, at this time no emis-
sion control methods are available for aircraft refueling operations.

          The number and location of vapor collection and recovery
systems presently installed on crude oil and aviation fuels loading

                               -90-

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operations are not readily available.  However, based on talks with
a limited number of representatives of the petroleum industry,
approximately 17% of the loading facilities have a vapor control
system (ST-407, HE-187, GR-235).  The following sections discuss
 the vapor collection and recovery systems available for controlling
 loading  emissions.

6.1.1     Vapor Collection Systems

          Loading Equipment

          The type of vapor collection system installed depends
on how the transport vehicle is loaded.  If the unit is top
loaded, vapors are recovered through a top loading arm (Figure 6-1).
The loading arm consists of a splash or submerged loading nozzle
(Figure 6-2) fitted with a head which seals tightly against the
hatch opening.  Product is loaded through a central channel in the
nozzle.  Displaced vapors from the compartment being loaded flow
into an annular vapor space surrounding the central channel and
in turn flow into a hose leading to a vapor recovery system.

          If the transport is bottom loaded, the equipment needed
to recover the vapor is considerably less complicated.  Vapor and
liquid lines are independent of each other with resultant sim-
plification of design.   Figure 6-3 shows a typical installation.
Product is dispensed into the bottom of the transport and dis-
placed vapors are collected from the tank vents and returned to
a vapor recovery unit.

          Collection Efficiency

          The vapor containment efficiency of bottom loading
equipment approaches 100 percent on a tightly sealed transport
vehicle.   When properly operating, the system remains sealed through-
out the loading operation.   Dry break couplings are used on the dis-
pensing lines and check valves are used on the vapor return lines to
minimize spills and vapor escape during hook-ups and disconnects.
                              -91-

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              VAPOR
      GASOLINE
                                                               VAPOR RECOVERY
                                                                  NOZZLE
                         MISCELLANEOUS PARTS
ITEM
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
PART NO.
3420-F-30
2775*
3420-F-40
H-5936
D-e37-M
H-5633-RP
H-S905-M
H-5905-M
H-M18-
C-1067-A
C-2479-M
DESCRIPTION
Swivel Joint, 3"
Boom
Swivel Joint. 4"
Swivel Joint 3"
Handle
Hose
Elbow
Cord Crip
Collar Sub-Assembly
Link
Gasket
QTY.
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
ITEM
12
13
14
15
16



17
IS
PART NO.
H-4190-M
D-835-M
3630-30
H-4189-W
H-5952
3340-FO-40
710
C-555-A
417-FKA-4"
3476-F-10
DESCRIPTION
Gasket, 4"
Upper Kindle & Pipe
Swivel Joint. 3"
Gasket, 3" :
Swivel Joint Sub-Assembly, 4"
Swivel Joint Only
4x27/8 Nipple Only
4" Flange Only
Loading Valve
Swivel Joint, 4"
QTY.
6









Figure 6-1.  TOP  LOADING ARM EQUIPPED WITH  A VAPOR RECOVERY NOZZLE

                                 -92-

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                               DUMP PASSAGE
 •UP/DOWN"
 CONTROL VALVE
HANDLE
DUMP PASSAGE
FLOATING COLLAR
SEAL
LEVEL SENSOR
VAPOR RETURN
ADAPTOR
  Figure 6-2.   DETAIL OF A VAPOR RECOVERY NOZZLE
                        -93-

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                                 Gasoline Dispensing Line
                      Vapor Return Line
Figure  6-3.   BOTTOM  LOADING VAPOR RECOVERY
                      -94-

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          Although difficult to quantify, the vapor collection
efficiency for top loading is lower than for bottom loading.
Vapors escape from the hatch opening during insertion and removal
of the top loading nozzle.  There are also losses due to spills as
the loading arm is raised from the transport vehicle.  Therefore,
bottom loading is used in this study as the best available loading
method.

6.1.2     Vapor Recovery Units

          Vapor recovery units are manifolded into a vapor
collection system for either conversion of the hydrocarbon vapors
into liquid product or for disposal of the vapors through such
processes as combustion or adsorption.  There are several vapor
recovery units which are commercially available today that have
demonstrated high efficiencies in recovering hydrocarbon vapors
from loading operations.

          The main processing operations employed by vapor recovery
systems are compression, refrigeration, absorption and oxidation.
A vapor recovery system may use one or several of these operations
to achieve effective hydrocarbon control.

          Vapor recovery units are generally classified as to their
principle of operation.  The most widely used vapor recovery units
today are of the following types:

          1)  Compression-Refrigeration-Absorption (CRA)

          2)  Compress ion-Refrigeration-Condensation (CRC)

          3)  Refrigeration

          4)  Flame Oxidation
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          All of the above systems are capable of achieving 90%
reduction of hydrocarbon emissions.  These systems are rather
complex, however, and thus a proper maintenance schedule must be
maintained to assure proper operation.   Reliability has generally
been reported as good when proper maintenance has been performed.
Figure 6-4 is a schematic of a vapor recovery unit which depicts
some of the complex equipment associated with these systems.

          Compression-Refrigeration-Absorption (CRA)  Systems

          The compression-refrigeration-absorption vapor recovery
system (CRA) is based on the absorption of hydrocarbon vapors under
pressure with chilled recovered product from storage.   The primary
unit in CRA systems is the absorber with the remaining components
serving to condition the vapor and liquid entering the absorber,
improve absorber efficiency,  reduce thermal losses,  and/or improve
system safety.   Incoming vapors are first passed through a saturator
where they are saturated with fuel.  The saturated vapors are then
compressed and cooled prior to entering the absorber.   In the
absorber,  the cooled,  comoressed vapors are contacted by chilled
recovered product drawn from product storage and are  absorbed.
Hydrocarbon-free air is vented from the top of the absorber and
recovered product enriched with light ends is withdrawn from the
bottom of the absorber and returned to the storage tanks.  The
operating conditions in the absorber vary with the manufacturer,
and range from -23°C (-10°F) to ambient temperature and from 4 atm
(45 psig) to 15 atm (210 psig).

          Compression-Refrigeration-Condensation (CRC) Systems

          Compression-Refrigeration-Condensation vapor recovery
systems (CRC) were the first type utilized by the petroleum industry.
They are based on the condensation of hydrocarbon vapors by com-
pression and refrigeration.  Incoming vapors are first contacted
                              -96-

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PARKER VAPOR
RECOVERY SYSTEM
FLOW DIAGRAM
                                          ABSORBER
 COMPRESSOR
 AFTERCOOLER
 MODULE
                              L
                              AAAAAAAAAAAAAAJI

                              AAAAAAAAAAAAAA II  T&EFR1GERATOR
                                                       MODULE
                                                       ft
                           AAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
                                       SATURATOR-FLASH
VAPOR
SAVER
CONNECTION

   VENT
   CAS
            A A A A A A A A A A "'— J	Vj
     Figure 6-4.  SCHEMATIC OF A  TERMINAL VAPOR RECOVERY  UNIT

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with recovered product in a saturator, and are saturated beyond
the flammability range.  The saturated vapors are then compressed
in a two stage compressor with an inter-cooler.  .Condensate is
withdrawn from the inter-cooler prior to second stage compression.
The compressed vapors are passed through a condenser where they
are cooled, condensed, and returned along with condensate from the
inter-cooler to the storage tanks.   Essentially hydrocarbon-free
air is vented from the top of the condenser.   Operating conditions
vary with the manufacturer, with temperatures ranging from -23°F
(-10°F) to -1°C (30°F) and pressures ranging from 6.7 atm
(85 psig) to 28 atm (410 psig).

          Refrigeration Systems

          One of the most recently developed vapor recovery systems
is the straight refrigeration system, based on the condensation of
hydrocarbon vapors by refrigeration at atmospheric pressure.  Vapors
displaced from the transport vehicle enter a horizontal fin-tube
condenser where they are cooled to -73°C  (-100°F) and condensed.
Because  the vapors are treated on demand no vapor holder  is
required.  Condensate  is withdrawn from the condenser bottom
and hydrocarbon-free air is vented from the condenser top.
Cooling  for the condenser  coils is supplied by a methyl chloride
brine  solution circulated  from a cold brine storage reservoir.
A  two-stage refrigeration  unit is used to maintain the stored
brine  solution between -76°C (-105°F) and -87°C  (-125°F).

          Flame Oxidation Systems

          One of the simplest vapor control systems for loading
operations is the flame oxidation system.  This system controls
hydrocarbon emissions by combusting hydrocarbon vapors as opposed
to recovering them as a liquid product.  Vapors from the  transport
                               -98-

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vehicle are displaced to a vapor holder as they are generated.  A
hydrocarbon analyzer system adds propane to the vapor holder when
necessary to maintain the hydrocarbon/air ratio above its flammability
limit.  When the vapor holder reaches its capacity the vapors
are released to the oxidizer, after mixing with a properly
metered air stream and combusted to carbon dioxide and water.

6.1.3     Efficiency of Vapor Recovery Units

          The efficiency of a vapor recovery unit, defined as volume
percent reduction of hydrocarbons, is dependent upon four factors:

          1)  the unit's operating temperature,
          2)  the unit's operating pressure,
          3)  the hydrocarbon concentration of the inlet vapor-
              air mixture, and
          4)  the hydrocarbon composition of the inlet vapor-
              air mixture.

The CRA, CRC, and refrigeration type units have been shown to
operate very nearly at equilibrium.  Thus, the hydrocarbon con-
centration of the exit vapors from these units is fixed for a
given operating temperature and pressure and inlet hydrocarbon
composition regardless of the inlet hydrocarbon concentration
(BU-169).

           Computer  Simulation

           Equilibrium calculations were performed for the above
 three systems using typical operating conditions listed below:
                               -99-

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                                Operating         Operating
          System               Temperature        Pressure

          Refrigeration        -73-°C (100°F)        Ambient

          CRA                       0            4.4 atm (65 psia)

          CRC                   -4°C (25°F)       29 atm (440 psia)

In these calculations,  the inlet hydrocarbon  concentrations were
15 and 40 volume percent and the hydrocarbon  composition was that
of a typical motor gasoline (Table 6-1).   Table 6-2 shows the
results of the equilibrium calculations.   Butanes are the major
hydrocarbon constituent of the exit vapors,  with no hexane or
heavier compounds present (BU-169).
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                          TABLE  6-1
                VAPOR-AIR MIXTURE COMPOSITIONS
               USED IN EQUILIBRIUM CALCULATIONS
          Component

            Air
            (\
            C5
            C6
            C7
Hydrocarbon Concentration
  157. HC         40% HC
85.0%
7 . 57,
4.9%
1.7%
0.9%
60.0%
20.0%
13.2%
4.4%
2.4%
                          TABLE 6-2
              SUMMARY OF EQUILIBRIUM CALCULATIONS
                    Hydrocarbon     Outlet HC
                   Concentration  Concentration     % 1
     System Type       (%)	
     Refrigeration      15
                        40

     CRC                15
                        40

     CRA                15
                        40
0.9
0.9
2.5
2.6
2.5
2.5
94.0
98.0
83.0
93.5
83.0
94.0
     1 Based on Volume 70 Recovery
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         Based on the above considerations, the limit of hydro-
carbon reduction achievable with a vapor recovery system (re-
frigeration type) is an exit vapor concentration of 0.9 volume
70.  However, this limit is contingent upon the presence of
butane in the inlet vapors.  If no butane or lighter compounds
are present, the exit vapor hydrocarbon concentration could be
reduced a further 90% to ~10070.  Conversely, if propane or
lighter compounds are present in the inlet vapors, the exit
hydrocarbon concentration will be greater than 0.9 volume 70.

         The use of flame oxidation to handle collected hydro-
carbon vapors would give emission reduction efficiencies
nominally equal to refrigeration type recovery units.  Care
must be exercised in operating these units to maintain the proper
air/hydrocarbon mixture to insure complete combustion.  Because
of the fairly equal effectiveness of the refrigeration and
oxidation systems, the refrigeration system is chosen for use
in this study.

         Recovery Efficiency

         The hydrocarbon concentrations of saturated vapors
from crude oil and aviation fuels are given in Table 6-3.
Based on these numbers, the efficiency of a refrigeration type
vapor recovery unit operating at -73°C (-100°F) and atmospheric
pressure can be calculated.  For the crude oil vapors, the
exit stream is assumed to be 1.3 volume 7o hydrocarbons to account
for the presence of some propane in the inlet stream.  For
kerosine jet fuel, no pentane or lighter compounds are present
in the inlet vapor-air mixture so the exit stream hydrocarbon
concentration is essentially nil.  Table 6-3 lists the calculated
recovery efficiencies based on volume 70 and weight 70 recovery.
Since all vapors collected from loading operations and tank
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                           TABLE 6-3

         VAPOR RECOVERY EFFICIENCIES FOR REFRIGERATION

                   TYPE VAPOR RECOVERY UNITS
Source of Vapors
  Saturated Vapor     Recovery Efficiency
    Hydrocarbon            Based On	
Concentration. Vol 7,    Vol 7,Wt~I
Crude Oil
         35.4
 96.3
 96.8
Kerosine Jet Fuel
Naphtha Jet Fuel
Aviation Gasoline
          0.058


          8.8


         19.7
100


 89.8


 95.4
100


 92.6


 96.2
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fillings are not saturated, the weight % efficiencies given in
Table 6-3 should be reduced slightly.  Therefore, the efficiency
used in this study for recovery of vapors will be 9570 for crude
oil and aviation gasoline, 100% for kerosine jet fuel and 1070
for naphtha jet fuel.

6.2       Storage Facilities

          Fixed Roof Tanks

          When product is added to a fixed roof tank, an approxi-
mately equivalent volume of vapor is displaced from the tank.
Unless contained and disposed of, these expelled vapors become
atmospheric emissions.  Because the method by which fixed roof
tank filling or working losses occur is essentially the same as
for loading operations, vapor recovery systems can be used to
control fixed roof tank losses by manifolding the tank vent lines
into a vapor recovery unit.

          A second consideration in using vapor recovery systems
to control fixed roof tank emissions is the ability to integrate
the storage control system into loading control systems.  Ex-
pansion of loading facilities will probably be accompanied by
an expansion of storage facilities.  Since these new loading
operations are assumed to utilize a vapor recovery system for
emission control, the emissions from the associated new storage
tanks could be directed to the loading system vapor recovery unit.
Therefore, vapor recovery systems on fixed roof tanks are considered
in this study as the best available control methods for new above-
ground storage facilities.  The discussion of vapor recovery units
contained in Sections 6.1.2 and 6.1.3 is directly applicable to
the recovery of emissions from fixed roof tanks.
                              -104-

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          Underground Tanks

          Underground tanks are used for storage at locations
where the daily volume of petroleum liquid dispensed is relatively
small.  These type tanks receive their fuels from tank trucks
loaded at bulk facilities (bulk terminals and stations or refineries)
Since new underground tanks will probably receive their fuels from
expanded bulk facilities, i.e., new sources, the tank trucks are
assumed to be equipped for bottom loading and unloading.   Trucks
equipped in this manner are also capable of practicing the vapor
balance method of filling underground tanks.  In this filling
method, the vapors expelled from the underground tank are directed
to the tank truck instead of being vented.   This method of filling
has the advantage of returning nearly saturated vapors to the
bulk facility, which in turn makes the bulk facility's vapor
recovery system more efficient (Section 6.1.3 discusses the ef-
ficiency of vapor recovery units).  Therefore, vapor balance
filling methods are used in this study as the best available con-
trol method for new underground storage tanks.  The emission rates
from underground tanks using vapor balance filling methods can
be estimated from data contained in a study performed by the Los
Angeles County Air Pollution Control District (CH-159).

6.3       Pump and Valve Emission Controls

          Pump Seals

          Pump seals inherently leak and there is no practical
method for eliminating hydrocarbon emissions from these sources.
The two types of seals commonly used in the petroleum industry
are packed seals and mechanical seals.  Average hydrocarbon losses
for both types of seals on centrifugal and reciprocating pumps
and compressors are tabulated in Table 6-4 (DA-069).   A study of
Los Angeles County refineries found centrifugal pumps with packed
                               -105-

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                                             TABLE 6-4

                              EFFECTIVENESS  OF  MECHANICAL AND  PACKED

                            PUMP  SEALS  ON VARIOUS  TYPES  OF HYDROCARBONS
                                      Type
                                   Hydrocarbon
                                  Being Pumped,
Avg Hydrocarbon
   Loss Per
Inspected Seal,
                                                                           Leak Incidence
Small Leaks,'
   of Total
I
M
O

I
Large Leaks,
   of Total
Seal Type
Mechanical


Average
Packed


Average
Packed


Average
Pump Type
Centrifugal



Centrifugal



Reciprocating



Ib Reid
> 26
5 to 26
0.5 to 5
> 0.5
> 26
5 to 26
0.5 to 5
> 0.5
26
5 to 26
0.5 to 5
> 0.5
Ib/day
9.2
0.6
0.3
3.2
10.3
5.9
0.4
4.8
16.6
4.0
0.1
5.4
Inspected
19
18
19
19
20
32
12
22
31
24
9
20
Inspected
21
5
4
13
37
34
4
23
42
10
0
13
        Small  leaks  lose  less  than 1  pound  of hydrocarbon  per  day.
      Source:   DA-069

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seals lost 2.2 kg (4.8 Ibs) of hydrocarbons/day-seal, centrifugal
pumps with mechanical seals lost 1.4 kg (3.2 Ibs) of hydrocarbons/
day-seal and reciprocal pumps with packed seals lost 2.4 kg (5.4 Ibs)
of hydrocarbons/day-seal.  Therefore a 337o reduction in hydrocarbon
emissions from centrifugal pumps may be effected by installing mechan-
ical seals in place of packed seals.  There are no alternatives to
using packed seals on reciprocating pumps.  Dual sets of mechanical
seals may also be installed with provisions to vent the volatile
vapor that leak past the first seal, into a vapor recovery system.

          Without a doubt, frequent inspection and maintenance
of seals are very important measures for the minimization of pump
and compressor leaks.

          Valves

          Hydrocarbon emissions originating from product leaks
at valves can only be controlled by regular inspection and prompt
maintenance of valve packing boxes.  Tests of numerous valves
indicate average hydrocarbon emissions of 0.2 kg (0.5 lb)/day-
valve for service with materials having vapor pressures above
1 atm (15 psia), and emissions of 0.02 kg (0.05 Ib)/day-valve
for service with materials having vapor pressures below 1 atm
(15 psia) (AT-040).   Because of its dependence on the nature of
the products handled,  the degree of maintenance, and the characteris-
tics of the equipment,  the emissions reduction that can realistically
be expected from controlling valves cannot be defined with any
degree of accuracy.

6.4       Summary of Emissions Using Best Available Control Systems

          The emission levels achieveable by the emission control
systems discussed in this chapter are shown in Tables 6-5 through
6-8.  Emission factors for each source and the emission control
system employed are listed in this table.   Emission rates are given
                              -107-

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                                                         TABLE 6-5
                                ACHIEVABLE EMISSION RATES  FROM CRUDE OIL TRANSFER BASED ON
                                     AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159  m3/DAY (1000 bbl/DAY)
o
oo
i
       EMISSION SOURCE
1.  Crude Oil Production
    Pump Seals
    Pipeline Valves
    Storage Tanks
2.  Crude Oil Transportation
    Truck/Rail Loading
    Tanker/Barge Loading
    Pump Seals and Valves
                                            CONTROL TECHNIQUE
                                                    NA
                                                    NA
                                      Vapor  Collection and  Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
                                    EMISSION FACTOR,
                                    kg/m3 THROUGHPUT
                                       0.214
                                       0.034
                                       0.00055
0.0120
0.00402
                   HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS,
                   	kg/DAY	
                            34.0
                             5.4
                             0.1
1.9
0.6
 A
   This  information cannot  be  accurately  quantified.   See  Section  10.0  for  a  discussion of pump
   seal  and  valve  emissions.

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                                                         TABLE 6-6
                          ACHIEVABLE EMISSION RATES  FROM KEROSINE BASED JET  FUEL TRANSFER BASED ON
                                     AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159 mVDAY (1000 bbl/DAY)
i
o
       EMISSION SOURCE
1.  Truck/Rail Loading
2.  Tanker/Barge Loading
3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
4.  Underground Storage Tanks
    Filling
    Withdrawal
5.  Aircraft Refueling
6.  Pumps and Valves
                                            CONTROL  TECHNIQUE
                                      Vapor Collection  and  Recovery
                                      Vapor Collection  and  Recovery
                                      Vapor Collection  and  Recovery
                                      Vapor Balance  System
                                                    NA
EMISSION FACTOR,
kg/m3 THROUGHPUT
   negligible
   negligible
   negligible


     0.00031
   negligible
     0.00317
HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS,
	kg/DAY	
      negligible
      negligible
      negligible


          0.05
      negligible
          0.50
   This information cannot  be  accurately  quantified.   See  Section 10.0 for a discussion of
   pump and valve emissions.

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                                                         TABLE 6-7

                          ACHIEVABLE EMISSION RATES FROM NAPHTHA-BASED JET FUEL TRANSFER BASED ON

                                    AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159 m3/DAY (1000 bbl/DAY)
         EMISSION SOURCE

  1.  Truck/Rail Loading

  2.  Tanker/Barge Loading

  3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks

  4.  Underground Storage Tanks
•     Filling
o
i
    Withdrawal

5.  Aircraft Refueling

6.  Pumps and Valves
                                          CONTROL TECHNIQUE

                                    Vapor Collection and Recovery

                                    Vapor Collection and Recovery

                                    Vapor Collection and Recovery

                                         Vapor Balance System
                                                    NA
EMISSION FACTOR,
kg/m3 THROUGHPUT

     0.0180

     0.00597

     0.0300


     0.0290
     0.00484

     0.298
HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS,
	kg/DAY	

          2.9

          0.9

          4.8
          4.6
          0.8

         47.4

           *
   This information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10.0 for a discussion of pump
   seal and valve emissions.

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                                                       TABLE 6-8
                           ACHIEVABLE EMISSION RATES FROM AVIATION GASOLINE TRANSFER BASED ON
                                   AN EXAMPLE THROUGHPUT OF 159 m3/DAY (1000 bbl/DAY)
       EMISSION SOURCE
1.  Truck/Rail Loading
2.  Tanker/Barge Loading
3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
4.  Underground Storage Tanks
    Filling
    Withdrawal
5.  Aircraft Refueling
6.  Pumps and Valves
      CONTROL TECHNIQUE
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Balance System
              NA
EMISSION FACTOR,
kg/m3 THROUGHPUT
     0.0287
     0.00575
     0.0287
     0.0559
     0.0236
     0.574
HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS,
	kg/DAY	
         4.6
         0.9
         4.6
         8.9
         3.8
         91.3
          *
 This information cannot be accurately quantified.   See Section 10.0 for a discussion of
 pump and valve emissions.

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for an example throughput of 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day).   For
tank truck and rail car loading operations,  the S factor of Equation
5-1 used in calculating the emission factor for aviation gasoline
is assumed to be 1.0 to indicate that these transport vehicles
deliver to tanks utilizing vapor balance systems and hence return
with saturated vapors.
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7.0       CURRENT STATE HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS

          In order to define a baseline-year hydrocarbon emission
level for an industry, state regulations must be examined to
determine to what extent hydrocarbon emissions must be controlled.
This section summarizes the state hydrocarbon emission regulations
applicable to the storage and loading of petroleum liquids.

          These regulations are not uniform and vary from no
regulations at all, to regulations only for specific air quality
control regions (AQCR), to regulations for all areas within a
state.  In addition the scope of these regulations may also vary.
State regulations may apply to all existing sources, only to
existing sources in designated regions, or only to new sources.
Moreover, due to the current interest in controlling hydrocarbon
emissions, promulgation of new regulations and/or revision of
existing regulations by state legislatures is occurring at a
rapid pace.

          State Regulations Summary

          Table 7-1 is a summary of the latest state regulations
as reported in the Environmental Reporter - State Air Laws.   This
table shows that twenty-seven states and the District of Columbia
have regulations that control, to some extent, hydrocarbon emissions
from storage tanks, while nineteen states and the District of
Columbia have regulations that control loading operations.  Only
New Mexico and Colorado have regulations that apply to oil field
storage tanks.  Rhode Island's regulations are representative of
the more stringent state regulations that have been promulgated.
As applied to the crude oil and aviation fuels transfer industry
segments, Rhode Island's regulations require the following:
                               -113-

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TABLE 7-1
Existing New
State Sources Sources
Alabama x
X
X
X
Alaska
Arkansas
Arizona x
X
'x
California
Colorado x
x
X
Connecticut x
x
(1,000* (250*
gal) gal)
Washington,
D.C. x
x
X X .
(2,000 ' (250
gal) gal)
SUMMARY
Tank Size
60, 000* gal
60,000* gal
1,000* gal
1,000* gal


65,000* gal
65,000* gal
Any

40,000* gal
40,000* gal
.. 550* gal
40,000* gal
40,000* gal

40,000* gal
40,000* gal

OF STATE HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS
Stored Liquid
Vapor Pressure
1.5-11.0 psla
11.0* psia
1.5* psla
1.5* psla


2.0-12.0 psla
12.0* psla
Any

. 1.5-11.0 psla
11.0* psla
1.5* psla
1.5-11.0 psla
11.0* psla
1.5* psla
1.5-11.0 psla
11.0* psla
1.5* psla
Existing Ke»
Storage Regulations Sources Sources,
Pressure, vapor recovery, floating x
roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe
Permanent or portable submerged fill
pipe
None Listed
None Listed
Pressure tank, floating roof or x
approved equivalent
Pressure tank or approved equivalent
Submerged fill pipe or approved
equivalent
*
Pressure tank, floating roof, vapor x
recovery or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Submerged fill pipe and vapor recovery
sufficient to restrict emissions to
1.15 lb/101 gal loaded «
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float- • x
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe, vapor
recovery or pressure tank
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float- x
Ing roof -or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or ap-
proved equivalent
Submerged fill pipe and 90 wt X ef-
ficient vapor recovery
Loading Regulations
Loading 50,000* gal/day
of 1.5* psla liquid re-
quires vapor recovery or
liquid must be 95Z sub-
merge filled.


None Listed
None Listed
Loading of 1.} psla
liquid must use sub-
merged filling

*
Loading 1.5 psla liquid
requires vapor collection
and disposal. Exceptions
for certain situations.

Loading of 10,000* gal/day
of 1.5* psla liquid Into
200* gal truck/rail tanks
must use vapor collection
and disposal or equivalent

Loading 1.5 psla liquid
must use vapor collection
and disposal with 90 wt Z
control or approved equiv-
alent


-------
TABLE 7-1.  SUMMARY OF STATE HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS (CONTINUED)

State
Delaware
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii





Idaho



Illinois






Indiana






Iowa
Kansas



Kentucky








Existing New
Sources Sources



X X

X X

X X

X

X

X


X

X

X • X
(Priority A
areas)
x x
(Priority A
areas)
x


X
X

X X
(Priority' I
areas)
x x
(Priority I
areas)
x x
(Priority I
areas)

Tank Site



40,000* gal

40,000* gal

250* gal

40,000* gal

40,000* gal

40.000* gal


40,000 gal

250* gal

40,000* gal

4,
40,000 gai

4.
250 gal

4.
ga
40,000* gal

40,000* gal

.1.
40,000 gal


500-40,000
gal

Stored Liquid
Vapor Pressure



1.5-11.0 psla

11.0* psla

1.5* psla

1.5-11.0 pala

11.0* psia

2.5-12.5 psla
g 70°P

12.5 psla
@ 70°P


2.5-12.0 psla

4.
12.0 psia

4.
2.5 pala
•
3n_ 11 ft nnla
. U 1 J. U pB la
13.0* psla

1.5-11.1 psia

+.
11.1 psla

4.
1.5 psia


Existing
Storage Regulations Sources
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe or
vapor recovery
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float- x
Ing roof or approved equivalent-

Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe, vapor
recovery or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float- x
Ing roof or approved equivalent

Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent

Submerged fill pipe or vapor recovery
None Listed
•
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent

Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent

Permanent submerged fill pipe or vapor
recovery

New
Sources Loading Regulations
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed





None Listed



Loading 40,000* gal/day
can emit only 8 Ib hydro-
carbons/hr unless sub-
merged filling or equiv-
alent is used.


Loading 40,000* gal/day of
2.5+ psla liquid requires
vapor recovery or sub-
merged filling



None Listed
None Listed



x Loading 20,000 gal/day re-
quires 90 wt Z control of
emissions







-------
TABLE 7-1.  SUMMARY OF STATE HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS (CONTINUED)
Existing New
State Sources Sources
Louisiana x .
x
X
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota x
x
x
Mississippi
Montana x
x
Nebraska
Nevada . x
x
X
New Hampshire
New Jersey x
x
X
Tank Site
40.000* gal
40,000* gal
250* gal




65,000* gal
65,000* gal
250* gal

65,000* gal
65,000* gal

40,000* gal
40,000* gal
any

2,000* gal
10,000* gal
1,000* gal
Stored Liquid
Vapor Pressure
1.5-11.0 psla
11. 0* paia




2.5-12.5 psla
12.5* psla
4* psla RVP

2.5-13.0 psla
13.0* psia

1.5-11 psla
11* psla
1.5* psla

0.02* psia
13.0* psla
Existing
Storage Regulations Sources
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe, vapor
recovery or approved equivalent
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent.
•Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent Submerged fill pipe or vapor
recovery
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float-
Ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or ap-
proved equivalent
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, float- x
ing roof or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Submerged fill pipe or approved equiva-
lent
None Listed
Tank must be painted white x
Table used to calculate emmlsslon con-
trol required
Vapor recovery with 90X efficiency
New
Sources Loading Regulations
x Loading 20,000* gal /day of
1.5+ psla liquid into 200+
gal truck/rail tank must
use 95Z submerged fill or
vapor collection and dis-
posal
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
Loading of 1.5 psia
liquids must use sub-
merged fill pipe or
approved equivalent
None Listed
Loading 0.02 psia liquid
into 2,000+ gal tank must
use submerged fill pipe or
approved equivalent

-------
TABLE 7-1.   SUMMARY OF STATE HYDROCARBON  EMISSION REGULATIONS  (CONTINUED)
              Existing      New                   Scored Liquid
 State         Sources     Sources     Tank Size    Vapor Pressure

 New Mexico        x                  20,000+ gal
                            x        65,000  gal   1.5-11.0 psia
                      (refineries)
      Storage Regulations

Submerged fill pipe or approved
equivalent

Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
                                  Existing
                                  Sources
    Hew
  Sources
                                                      Loading Regulations
     x      Loading of 1.5  psla RVP
(refineries)  liquids must use vapor
            collection and disposal
X
(refineries)
New York
North Carolina x
North Dakota x
x
X
Ohio x x
(Priority I
area)
x x
(Priority 1
area)
x x
(Priority I
area)
Oklahoma x
x
X
65,000* gal

50,000* gal
50,000* gal
65,000* gal
65,000* gal
1,000* gal
65,000* gal
65,000* gal
500* gal
40.000* gal
40,000* gal
250* gal
11.0* psla

1.5-11.0 pala
11.0* psla
1.5-12.0 psla
% 12.0* psla
1.5* psia
1.5-12.5 psla
12.5* psla
1.5* psla
1.5-11 psla
11.0* psia
1.5* psla .
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, x
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery- or
approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, . x
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Submerged fill pipe or vapor
recovery
Pressure tank, vapor recovery, x x
floating roof or approved (Priority I
equivalent area}
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent '
Submerged fill pipe or vapor
recovery
Pressure tank, vapor recovery. x
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved- equivalent x
Permanent Submerged fill pipe or
vapor recovery

None Listed
Loading 20,000* gal/day of
1.5+ psia liquid must use
submerged loading or ap-
proved equivalent
Loading 20,003 gal/day of
1.5+ psla liquid oust use
submerbed loading or ap-
proved equivalent
Loading 40,000* gal/day of
1.5+ psla liquid must use
vapor collection and dis-
posal or approved equiva-
lent
Loading 40.000* gal/day of
1.5+ psla liquid must use
bottom loading or vapor
collection and disposal
Loading less than 40,000
gal/day of 1.5+ psi liquid
Into 200+ gal truck/rail
tanks oust use submerged
filling

-------
        TABLE  7-1.   SUMMARY  OF  HYDROCARBON  EMISSION REGULATIONS (CONTINUED)
oo
i
State
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Existing New
Sources Sources
x
x
x
(specific
areas
only)
x
(specific
areas
only)
x
x
X


t
X
(specific
areas
only)
x
(specific
areas
only)
x
(specific
areas
only)
x
x
Stored Liquid
Tank Size Vapor Pressure
40, 000* gal 1.5-11.1 psla
40,000* gal 11.1* psla
40,000* gal 1.5-11.0 psla
40,000* gal 11.0* psia
40,000* gal 1.5-11.0 psla
40,000* gal 11.0* psla
250-40,000 1.5* psia
gal



25,000* gal 1.5-11.0 psla
25.000* gal- 11.0* psla
1,000* gal 1.5*
any 1.5-11.1 psla
any 11.1 psia
Storage Regulations
Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery
or approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery
or approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe or
approved equivalent
Hone Listed
None Listed
None Listed
Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Permanent submerged fill pipe or
vapor recovery
Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
Pressure tank, vapor recovery or
approved equivalent
Existing New
Sources Sources Loading Regulations
None Listed
x Loading 20,000 gal/day of
1.5+ psla liquid Into 200+
gal truck/rail tanks oust
use vapor collection and
disposal
x Loading 40,000* gal/day of
1.5+ psla liquid must use
submerge loading, vapor
recovery or approved
equivalent
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
x Loading 20,000* gal/day of
(specific 1.5+ psia liquid mist use
areas vapor recovery
only)
None Listed

-------
TABLE 7-1.   SUMMARY OF  HYDROCARBON EMISSION REGULATIONS  (CONTINUED)

State
Virginia






Vermont
West Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin




Existing Hew
Sources Sources
X
(AQCR 7
only)

X
(AQCR 7
only)



X


X

Stored Liquid
Tank Size Vapor Pressure Storage Regulations
40,000 gal 1.5-11.1 psia Pressure tank, vapor recovery,
floating roof or approved
equivalent
+ +
40,000 gal 11.1 psia Pressure tank, vapor recovery
or approved equivalent

None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
40,000 gal 1.5-11.1 psia Pressure tank, vapor recovery.
floating roof or approved
equivalent
40,000 gal 11.1 psia Pressure tank, vapor recovery
or approved equivalent
Existing New
Sources Sources Loading Regulations
x Loading 20,000 gal/day of
(AQCR 7 1.5+ psia liquid must use
only) vapor collection and dis-
posal or approved equiv-
alent


None Listed
None Listed
None Listed
None Listed





 * California hydrocarbon emissions are regulated by regional agencies; there are no state regulations.

-------
 CORPORATION
          1)  Aviation gasoline and crude oil storage tanks
              with capacities of 152,000 liters (40,000
              gallons) or greater are to be pressure tanks or
              floating-roof tanks, or are to be equipped
              with a vapor recovery system.

          2)  Aviation gasoline and crude oil tanks with
              capacities of 946 liters (250 gallons) to
              152,000 liters (40,000 gallons) must have
              permanent submerged fill pipes or an approved
              equivalent.

          3)  Loading facilities  that dispense  152,000  liters/
              day  (40,000 gallons/day) or  greater of petroleum
              liquids with vapor  pressures  of 77.9 mmHg (1.5
              psia) or greater must use  submerged loading
              methods, vapor recovery systems or an approved
              equivalent for loading aviation gasoline  or
              crude oil.

Rhode Island's regulations do not apply to jet fuel storage and
loading since the vapor pressures of these liquids are below
77 mmHg (1.5 psia), or to crude oil production storage tanks.

          Comparison of Emission Levels

          In order to compare the emission levels achievable
with the best available emission control systems to the emission
levels required by state regulations,  emission factors are devel-
oped for each emission source in the crude oil and aviation fuels
network based on Rhode Island's regulations.  For the purpose of
these calculations, vapor recovery systems are used for storage
tanks.  Submerged filling procedures are assumed for the loading
                               -120-

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 CORPORATION
of tank trucks, rail cars and marine vessels.  Comparisons of
point source emission rates using current controls and using best
available controls are presented in Tables 7-2 through 7-5.  An
example throughput of 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day) was used for these
calculations.  The best available control technique and emission
reduction achievable for each source are also included in these
tables.
                               -121-

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                                                            TABLE 7-2
                       COMPARISON OF BEST AVAILABLE CONTROL SYSTEM AND CURRENT CONTROL EMISSION LEVELS*
                                                  •CRUDE OIL TRANSFER SEGMENT
 I
M
NJ
 I
   Emission Source
1.  Crude Oil Production
      Pump Seals
      Pipeline Valves
      Storage Tanks
2.  Crude Oil Transportation
      Truck/Rail Loading
      Tanker/Barge Loading
      Pump Seals and Valves
     Control Technique
Vapor Collection and Recovery

Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Hydrocarbon Emission Rate
with Best Systems. Kg/day
         3A.O
          5.A
          0.1

          1.9
          0.6
           **
Current Control      Emission
Level*** Kg/day  Reduction, ke/dav
       34.0
        5.A
        1.7

       38.3
       12.8
        **
 0.0
 0.0
 1.6

36.A
12.2
  **
   *Based on an example throughput of 159 m'/day (1000 bbl/day)
  **This information cannot be accurately quantified.   See Section 10.0 for a discussion of  pump  and  valve  emissions.
 ***Based on Rhode Island's regulations being applied  nationwide.

-------
                                                         TABLE 7-3
I
I-1
N5
    Emission Source

1.  Truck/Rail Loading
2.  Tanker/Barge Loading
    Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
    Underground Storag
      Filling
      Withdrawal
    Aircraft Refueling
3.
4.
5.
6.  Pumps and Valves
COMPARISON OF BEST AVAILABLE CONTROL SYSTEM AND CURRENT CONTROL EMISSION LEVELS*
KEROSINB JET FUEL TRANSFER SEGMENT

>g
Tanks
; Tanks




Control Technique
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Collection and Recovery
Vapor Balance System


NA

Hydrocarbon Emission Rate
with Best Systems, Kg/day
negligible
negligible
negligible

0.05
negligible
0.50
**
Current Control
Level***, Kg/day
0.30
0.10
0.50

0.71
negligible
0.50
**
Emission
Reduction, kg/day
0.30
0.10
0.50

0.66
—
0.0
**
   *Based on an example throughput of 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day)
  **This information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10.0 for a discussion of pump and valve emissions.
 ***Based on Rhode Island's regulations being applied nationwide
 NA - None available

-------
                                                          TABLE 7-4
COMPARISON OF BEST AVAILABLE CONTROL SYSTEM AND CURRENT CONTROL EMISSION LEVELS*

l
M
tsi
-P-




1.
2.
3.
it.


5.
6.
Emission Source
Truck/Rail Loading
Tanker /Barge Loading
Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
Underground Storage Tanks
Filling
Withdrawal
Aircraft Refueling
Pumps and Valves
NAPHTHA JET FUEL TRANSFER SEGMENT
Hydrocarbon Emission Rate
Control Technique with Best Systems, Kg/day
Vapor Collection and Recovery 2.9
Vapor Collection and Recovery 0.9
Vapor Collection and Recovery 4.8
Vapor Balance System
4.6
0.8
NA 47.4
**
Current Control
Level***, Kg/day
28.6
9.5
47.7
66.5
0.8
47.4
**
Emission
Reduction, kg/day
25.7
8.6
42.9
61.9
0.0
0.0
**
  *Based on an example throughput of 159 m3/day (1000 bbl/day)
 **Thls information cannot be accurately quantified.  See Section 10-Qfor a discussion of pump and valve emissions.
***Based on Rhode Island's regulations being applied nationwide.

NA - None available

-------
                                                               TABT.E  7-5
                            ^COMPARISON OF BEST AVAILABLE CONTROL SYSTEM  AND CURRENT CONTROL  EMISSION  LEVELS*
                                                  AVIATION GASOLINE TRANSFER SEGMENT
Ui
    Emission Source
1.  Truck/Rail Loading
2.  Tanker/Barge Loading
3.  Fixed Roof Storage Tanks
4.  Underground Storage Tanks'
      Filling
      Withdrawal
5.  Aircraft Refueling
6.  Pumps and Valves
                                           Control Technique
                                       Vapor Collection  and Recovery
                                       Vapor Collection  and Recovery
                                       Vapor Collection  and Recovery
                                       Vapor Balance  System
                                                NA
Hydrocarbon Emission Rat£   Current Control
with Best Systems, Kg/day  'Level***. Kg/day
   Emission
Reduction, kg/day
4.6
0.9
4.6
54.9
18.3
4.6
50.3
17.4
0.0
            8.9
            3.8
           91.3
            **
81.9
3.8
91.3 '
**
73.0
0.0
0.0
**
         *Based  on  an  example  throughput  of  159  m3/day  (1000 bbI/day)
        **This information  cannot be  accurately  quantified.  See  Section  10D for  a  discussion of  pump and valve emissions.
       ***Based  on  Rhode  Island's regulations being  applied nationwide.
       NA - None  available

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 CORPORATION
8.0       FACILITY MODIFICATION AND MODERNIZATION

          NSPS apply to existing facilities that are modified,
modernized or reconstructed such that an increased mass rate of
emissions results.  Therefore, it is necessary to identify how
the petroleum transfer industry undergoes modification and modern-
ization and what effect these changes have on the hydrocarbon
emission rates from modified or modernized facilities.

          Modification and modernization in the crude oil
and aviation fuels transfer industry segments normally consist
of adding additional facilities or replacing worn out or faulty
equipment.   Since there are no processing or treating operations,
there is no concern with conversion or production efficiency as
is found in industrial plants.  Instead, the concern in a trans-
fer industry is the minimization of product losses.  For this
reason, modification or modernization that does not increase
throughput rarely results in increased emissions but normally
produces an emission level less than or equal to the prior level.

          However, the expansion of a transfer industry's
 throughput normally does  result  in  increased emissions.   As
 evidenced by  the  emission factors developed  in Sections  5.0-7.0,
 the  emission  rates from each  emission source in a  transfer net-
work are directly dependent upon throughput.   For  example,  a
 doubling of throughput  at a bulk terminal  loading  rack will
 result in a doubling  of loading  emissions  if the same  type of
 loading methods are employed  for the added capacity.

          The methods of  expanding a transfer network are very
 straightforward.   In  terms of storage  facilities,  additional
 storage tanks are constructed and new  loading arms are installed.
 To increase the amount  of liquid moved  by  tank truck,  rail  car or
                               -126-

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
marine vessels, additional trucks, cars or ships are purchased and
put into service.  New wells are drilled to increase crude oil
production.   (Secondary and tertiary recovery techniques can be
used to increase a declining oil well's production, but the
increased recovery rate will not equal the well's peak primary
recovery rate).  Therefore, the increased emissions from an
expansion of  throughput can be quantified by merely applying the
appropriate emission factor from Section 5.0 or 6.0 to the new
flow.
                               -127-

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 CORPORATION


9.0       ESTIMATED EMISSION REDUCTION

          In order to evaluate the emission reduction potential
NSPS would have on the various segments of the petroleum transfer
industry, an EPA developed calculational procedure known as
Model IV was used.  In this section Model IV is described and the
results of the calculations for each segment of the petroleum
transfer industry are presented.

9.1       Model IV

          The execution of Model IV entails the use of two sets
of conditions to estimate an industry's emissions ten years from
a baseline year.  (In this study 1975 is the baseline year and
1985 is the calculational year.)   The first emission calculation
is made by assuming emissions in 1985 will be controlled to the
level required by the baseline year regulations.  The second
calculation of 1985 emissions assumes that after the baseline
year, all new emission sources will be required to utilize the
best available emission control techniques.  The difference between
the two estimates is the emission reduction potential of NSPS.

          In order to use Model IV, the following information is
needed:

          1)  a description of the industry and its
              throughput or capacity,

          2)  identification of the industry's emission
              sources and emission estimates for each source,

          3)  identification of the best available control
              techniques for each emission source,
                               -128-

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 CORPORATION
          4)  the state emission regulations applicable
              to each emission source, and

          5)  the methods by which facilities are modified
              or modernized,

A brief mathematical description of Model IV is given below:

          The following definitions are required to derive
          Model IV in mathematical terms:

          j-^S. year  = baseline year (in this study 1975
                      is the jO. year)

           iHl year  = future year for  which the emission reduction
                      potential of NSPS is to be calculated (for
                      this  study 1985  is  the i— year)

                 TS  - total emissions  in the i— year under j —
                      year regulations

                 TM  = total emissions  in the i— year under NSPS
                                                          ^t_
                      which have been  promulgated in the j— year
                       t?V\
                 A1  = j— year throughput, 106m3

                       tVi
                 B'  = i-^- year throughput from construction and
                      modification to  replace obsolete facilities,
                      106m3
                 C'  = i— year throughput from construction and
                                                                .th
                      modification to increase throughput above j —
                      year, 106m3
                               -129-

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CORPORATION
                     construction and modification rate to
                     replace obsolete facilities,  decimal
                     fraction of j— year throughput
                PC,= construction and modification rate to
                     increase industry throughput, decimal
                     fraction of j— year throughput

                Eg = allowable emissions under j— year
                     regulations, kg/106n3 throughput
                     allowable emissions under NSPS, kg/106m3
                     throughput
Using the above definitions, the emission reduction potential
of NSPS would be Tg-TN.  TN and Tg can be calculated by the
following equations.

                   TN = ES(A'-B') + EN(B'+C')

                   Tg - ES(A'+C') = EgCA'-B1) + EgCB'+C1)

Therefore, TC-TM can be calculated as
            O  IN

                   TS-TN = ES(B'+C') + EN(B'+G')

                         = (ES+EN)(B'+C')

Depending on whether the future growth of an industry is assumed
to be compound or simple, the following formulas can be used
to calculate B1 and C1.
                               -130-

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          If compound growth is assumed,

                       B' = A1 [(1+Pg,)1 - 1]

                       C1 = A1 [(l+Pc,)i - 1]

          If simple growth is assumed,

                       B' = AiPfi,

                       C1 = AiPfi,

where i = elapsed time in years from the jth year.  Curve fitting
historical data is a third method of calculating B1 and C1.
This method is used in this study whenever possible.

          Appendix B contains the calculations used in executing
Model IV.  Most of the information required to perform these
calculations is contained in Sections 4.0 - 8.0.  Additional
information on the types of storage tanks in the transfer segments
and their throughput is presented with the calculations.   The
results of the Model IV calculations for the crude oil, kerosine-
based jet fuel, naphtha-based jet fuel and aviation gasoline
transfer segments are presented and discussed in Section 9.2.
                              -131-

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9.2       Model IV Results

          In this section each of the petroleum transfer segments
is discussed in terms of the specific input variables necessary
to execute Model IV and the calculated emission reduction potential.

9.2.1     Crude Oil Transfer Segment

          Input Variables

          The data required to execute Model IV for the crude
oil transfer industry segment are summarized in Table 9-1.   The
crude oil production factors are based on a projected domestic
crude production rate of 1.86 x 106m3/day (11.7 x 106 bbl/day)
in 1985 (ST-381) and the assumption that old production
(production from wells in existence in 1975) will decline at an
annual rate of 3% over the 1975 to 1985 time period.  The
crude oil production emission factor, E , is based on data pre-
                                       • s
sented in (MS-001).  In calculating EN, a 95 wt % efficient
vapor collection and recovery system is assumed to be applied
to oil field storage emissions.


           Historical data show that  the amount of domestic
 crude oil  transported by truck/rail  and tanker/barge is  a  fairly
 constant percent  of domestic production.   Therefore,  the 1975
 percentages  are applied to the predicted domestic production for
 1985 to  estimate  the throughput for  the various modes  of trans-
 portation  at that time.   The tanker/barge loading throughput in
 1985 that  is a result of construction and modification to  replace
 obsolete  facilities (factor B1)  is  calculated from IRS depreciation
 guidelines   (CO-424).
                               -132-

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                                                                    TABLE 9-1




SUMMARY OF
INPUT/OUTPUT VARIABLES FOR MODEL IV
CRUDE OIL TRANSFER




Emission Factor,
kg/ 106 m * throughput
Emission
:rude Oil
'ruck/RaiJ
Source
Production
L Loading
'anker/Barge Loading
. Es
259,000
241,000
80,400
EH
249,000
12,000
4,020


Growth Rates, '
Decimal/yr
V p
-0.03
*
0.0312
C1
*
*
*

Throughput,
lO'mVyr
A1 B' C'
485 124 194
12'.8 3.41 1.84
47.8 14.9 124

Emlss Ions ,
10'kg/yr
TA Tg TN
126 176 173
3.08 ' 3.53 2.33
3.84 13.8 3.20
Emission
Reduction,
103kg/yr
VTN
3
1.20
10.6
TOTALS                                            •                                                      133       193       178             14.8





*Growth rate Is calculated by method other than use  of P ,  or P  ,
                                                        C     B

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           The  value  of  B"  for  truck/rail loading is calculated
 by  subtracting the estimated quantity of old production transported
 by  this mode in 1985 from  the  quantity of crude transported via
 truck/rail in  1975.   No allowance in the value of B1 is made for
 equipment  becoming obsolete since crude oil truck/rail loading
 racks  are  located near  the oil fields and have useful lifetimes
 greater than the production lifetime of the oil reservoir.  Thus,
 there  is no need to  replace equipment.  Emission factors  for base-
 line year  controls,  Eg, and best available controls, EN   are
 calculated from API  correlations.

           Emission Reduction Potential

           Table 9-2  is  a summary of the emissions from and
 the emission reduction  potential of NSPS for the crude oil
 transfer industry segment.  From the data of this table,  the
 emission reduction is approximately 8% of the baseline year
 controls emission level.   Over 707o of the total emission  reduction
 or  10.6 x  106kg/yr (11.7 x 103tons/yr), is estimated to result
 from control of tanker/barge loading operations.  The major
 portion of the new tanker/barge loading facilities will be located
 on  Alaska's south shore.
9.2.2        Kerosine Jet Fuel Segment

             Input Variables

             The variables required to execute Model IV for the
kerosine jet fuel transfer industry segment are summarized in
Table 9-3.   The amount of kerosine jet fuel loaded into tankers
and barges  is calculated as a percent of indicated demand.
                              -134-

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                                                                      TABLE 9-2
Ln
NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*


CRUDE OIL TRANSFER

Emission Rate with

1.




2.
3.

Emissions Source
Crude Oil Production
Storage Tanks
Pump Seals
Pipeline Valves
Production Subtotal
Truck/Rail Loading
Tanker/Barge Loading
INDUSTRY TOTAL
Best Available System,
Control Techniques 106kg/yr(103tons/yr)

Vapor Collection and Recovery 4.3
145
23.1
172
Vapor Collection and Recovery 2.33
Vapor Collection and Recovery 3.20
178

(4.7)
(160)
(25.4)
(190)
(2.57)
(3.52)
(196)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
7.5
145
23.1
176
3.53
13.8
193
(8.3)
(160)
(25.4)
(194)
(3.89)
(15.2)
(213)
Emission Reduction,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr

3.2
0
0
3.2
1.20
10.6
15

(3.6)


(4)
(1.32)
(11.7)
(17)
                  *As Per Model IV evaluation (10 years)

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                                                                     TABLE 9-3


SUMMARY OF INPUT/OUTPUT VARIABLES
FOR MODEL IV


KEROSINB JET FUEL TRANSFER
Emission Source
1. Truck/Rail Loading
2. Tanker/Barge Loading
1 3. Fixed Roof Tanks
l_i
^ 4. Underground Tanks
5. Aircraft Refueling
Emission Factor,
kg/106m3 throughput
ES EN
1,900 0
635 0
3,170 . 0
4,440 310
3,170 3,170
Growth Rates, Throughput,
Declmal/yr 106mJ/yr
V PC' A'
0.0312 * 27.1
0.0312 * 6.2
0.0312 * 42.4
0.0312 * 17.0
0 0.0468 45.9
B1 C1
8.5 6.2
1.9 -0.471
13.2 21.5
5.3 6.9
0 21.5
Emlss ions,
103kg/yr
TA
51.5
3.9
134
75.5
146
Ts TN
63.3 35.3
3.6 2.7
203 93
106 55.7
214 214
Emission
Reduction,
10'kg/yr
T -T
S N
28,0
0.9
110
50.3
0
TOTALS
                                                                                                               411
                                                                                                                        590
                                                                                                                                 401
189
*Growth rate Is calculated by method other than use of P_,
                                                   '     \j

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Historical data show that this percentage has decreased at a
compound rate of 0.0454 from 1966 to 1975.  Extrapolating this
to 1985 indicates tanker/barge loadings will decline by about
5 percentage points to 8.5% of indicated demand.  Thus, although
demand for kerosine jet fuel increases from 1975 to 1985, the
amount loaded into tankers/barges is estimated to decrease by
0.471 x 106m3 (2.96 x 106bbl).

             The amount of truck/rail transport of kerosine jet
fuel in 1985 is estimated from a complex interrelationship of
pipeline transport, tanker/barge transport and military and
commercial usage.  Based on the discussion in Section 4.2.2 and
Figure 4-6, truck/rail loading of kerosine jet fuel is estimated
to increase by 6.2 x 106m3 (39 x 10s bbl) from 1975 to 1985.

             Because of the low vapor pressure of kerosine jet
fuel, all bulk terminal and station storage of this fuel is assumed
to be in fixed roof tanks.  From Figure 4-6,  the amount of kerosine
jet fuel handled by bulk facilities in 1985 is estimated to be
21.5 x 106m3 (135 x 106  bbl).  Therefore, the fixed roof tank
throughput of kerosine jet fuel in 1985 is assumed equal to this
number.

          Major airports which require large quantities of kerosine
jet fuel normally store their jet fuel in floating roof tanks to
protect the fuel from contamination by water and dirt.  Smaller
airports and the military do not use large quantities of kerosine
jet fuel and hence cannot economically justify the installation
of large floating roof tanks.  These end users store kerosine
jet fuel in underground tanks.   In 1985,  20.4 x 106m3 (129 x 106
bbl) of kerosine jet fuel or 327» of the total commercial usage
(US-418) is estimated to be used by small airports and 3.5 x
106m3 (22 .x 106 bbl) is estimated to be the military usage.  There-
fore, the underground tank throughput of kerosine jet fuel in
1985 is estimated to be 23.9 x 106m3 (150 x 106 bbl).

                             -137-

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             Aircraft refueling throughput is calculated by
assuming a simple growth rate in indicated demand from 1975 to
1985 equal to the growth exhibited from 1969 to 1973.  At this
assumed growth rate (4.68% of 1975's demand per year), the
indicated demand in 1985 is 67.4 x 106m3(424 x 106bbl).  This
value is used for aircraft refueling throughput.

             The values of C', throughput from construction and
modification to increase throughput above 1975's level, for the
various point sources are calculated by subtracting 1975's
throughput from 1985's throughput.  The throughput due to con-
struction and modification to replace obsolete facilities is esti-
mated from IRS depreciation guideline information (CO-424).

             Emission factors for truck/rail and tanker/barge
loading and fixed roof storage tanks are calculated from API
correlations (AM-085, AM-039) while underground storage tank
emission factors are derived from a study performed by the Los
Angeles County Air Pollution Control District (CH-159).  Vapor
recovery and collection systems with 100% recovery efficiencies
are applied to truck/rail loadings,  tanker/barge loadings and
fixed roof tanks to estimate emission factors with best available
controls.   Underground tanks are controlled by use of vapor
balance unloading techniques.

             Emission Reduction Potential

             Table 9-4 is a summary of the results of Model IVs
calculations for the kerosine jet fuel segment of the transfer
industry.  The emission reduction potential, 189 x 103m3/yr
(208 tons/yr), is approximately 3270 of the emissions estimated to
occur if only baseline year regulations are in effect in 1985.
                                -138-

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                                                     TABLE 9-4
      Emission Source
1.  Truck/Rail Loading




2.  Tanker/Barge Loading




3.  Fixed Roof Tanks




4.  Underground Tanks




5.  Aircraft Refueling






    INDUSTRY TOTAL

Vapor
Vapor
Vapor
Vapor


NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*
KEROSINB JET FUEL TRANSFER
Emission Rate with
Best Available System,
Control Technique 103kg/yr(tons/yr)
Collection and Recovery 35.3 (38.9)
Collection and Recovery 2.7 (3.0)
Collection and Recovery 93 (103)
Balance System 55.7 (61.3)
NA 214 (236)
401 (442)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
103kg/yr (tons/yr)
63.3 (69.7)
3.6 (4.0)
203 (224)
106 (117)
214 (236)
590 (650)
Emission
Reduction!
10*kg/yr(tons/yr)
28.0 (30.8)
0.9 (1.0)
110 (122)
50.3 (55.7)
0
189 (208)
 As per Model IV evaluation (10 years)
NA - none available

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
 The major  contributor  to  the emission reduction is fixed roof
 tanks  losses, which account for 5870 of the total emission reduction.

 9-2-3         Naphtha Jet  Fuel  Transfer Segment

              Input .Variables

              The variables  required  to execute Model  IV for  the
 naphtha jet fuel transfer industry segment are summarized in
 Table  9-5.   Indicated  domestic demand for naphtha  jet fuel is
 estimated  by extrapolating  historical demand data  to  1985.   This
 calculation shows demand  will  decrease from  12.1 x 106m3  (76.1 x
 106 bbl) in 1975 to  7.63  x  106m3  (48.0 x 106 bbl)  in  1985.   The
 difference in these  two values, -4.47 x  106m3 (-28.1  x 106 bbl)
 is used as C1  for aircraft  refueling.

              Tanker  and barge  loadings of naphtha  jet fuel in
 1985 are assumed to be equal to the  same percent of indicated
 demand as  existed in 1975.  Since demand is  estimated to decline,
 tanker/barge loadings  will  also decline.  Therefore,  C1  for
 tanker/barge loading is calculated to be -0.59.

              Based on  the discussion of  Section 4.3.2 and
 Figure 4-10,  truck/fail loadings  are estimated to  decline by
 7.0 x  106  m3(44.0 x  106 bbl) from 1975's total.  This decline
 is directly related  to the  decline in demand for naphtha jet
 fuel.
                                -140-

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                                                                            TABLE 9-5
SUMMARY
Of INPUT/OUTPUT VARIABLES FOR MODEL IV
' NAPHTHA JET FUEL TRANSFER


Emission Factor,
kg/106ms throughput
ES
180,000
59/700
300,000
423,000
298.000
EN
18,000
5,970
30,000
33,800
298.000




Growth Rates,
Decimal/ yr

0
0
0
0
0
PB' P
.0312
.0312
.0312
.0312

i
C
*
*
*
*
*
A1
18.
1.
8.
1.
12.

Throughput
lO'mVyr
B'
8 NA
54 NA
60 NA
57 NA
1 0

•
C1
-7.0
-0.59
-3.24
-0.578
-4.47


TA
3.38
0.09
2.58
0.66
3.61

Emissions,
106kg/yr
Ts
2.12
0.06
1.61
. 0.42
2.27


TN
2.12
0.06
1.61
0.42
2.27
Emission
Reductlon(
10'kg/yr
VTN
0
0
0
0
0
        Emission Source

   1.  Truck/Rail Loading

   2.  Tanker/Barge Loading

t_i 3.  Fixed Roof Tanks
.£>
*""" 4.  Underground Tanks

   5.  Aircraft Refueling


       TOTAL                                                                                                         10.3       6.48      6.48


       •Growth rate Is calculated by method other  than  use of P_,
                                                               \j

       NA - not applicable due to negative growth

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             Due to the relatively low vapor pressure of naphtha
jet fuel, bulk terminal and station storage of this fuel is assumed
to be in fixed roof tanks.   From Figure 4-10,  in 1985 bulk facilities
are estimated to handle 5.36 x 106m3 (33.7 x 106bbl) of this jet
fuel which is 3.24 x 106m3  (20.4 x 10s  bbl) less than bulk facilities
handled in 1975.  Therefore, C1  for fixed roof tanks is -3.24.  Since
commercial use of naphtha jet fuel is relatively small, commercial
users normally store naphtha jet fuel in underground tanks.  In
1985 commercial usage of naphtha jet fuel is estimated to be 0.992 x
106m3 (6.24 x 106 bbl) which is 0.578 x 106m3  (3.64 x 106bbl)  less
than 1975's commercial use.  Hence, C1  for underground tanks is
-0.578.

             The values of B',  the throughput from construction
and modification to replace obsolete equipment,  for the loading
and storage operations are calculated form IRS depreciation
guideline data  (CO-424).   The resultant figures, when added to
the values of C1, are negative.   This indicates  that the rate of
obsolescence is less than the rate of decline of the naphtha jet
fuel segment.

             The baseline year emission factors  are based on API
correlations except for the underground storage  tank emission
factor which is derived from a study performed by the Los Angeles
County Air Pollution Control District  (CH-159).   Truck/rail loading,
tanker/barge loading and fixed roof tanks are assumed to employ
vapor collection and recovery systems  (90% efficient) as the best
available controls while underground tanks are assumed to use the
vapor balance loading technique.
                               -142-

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 RADIAN
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            ' Estimated Emission Reduction

             The values of C' for all operations in the naphtha jet
fuel transfer industry segment are negative,  which reflects the
projected decline in the use of naphtha jet fuel.   In addition,
from an economic viewpoint, obsolete equipment is  normally not
replaced when an industry is experiencing a decline.  Therefore, no
new sources are estimated to exist in 1985 to which NSPS could be
applied and the calculated emission reduction potential for the
naphtha jet fuel transfer industry is zero.  Table 9-6 summarizes
the estimated emission level in 1985.

9.2.4        Aviation Gasoline Transfer Segment

             Input Variables

             Table 9-7 lists the variables required to execute
Model IV for the aviation gasoline transfer industry segment.
Historical indicated demand data for 1970-75 is extrapolated
to obtain an estimated demand of 1.28 x 106m3 (8.04 x 106  bbl) for
1985.  This value is 0.96 x 106m3 (6.04 x 106 bbl) less than demand
in 1975.  Thus, C1 for aircraft refueling is -0.96.

             Tanker and barge loading of aviation gasoline is
assumed to be 23.370 of demand (as in 1975), implying C1 for
tanker/barge loading is -0.225.  From the discussion in Section
4,4.2 and Figure 4-14, truck/rail loading is estimated to be 2.21
x 106m3 (13.9 x 106bbl) less in 1985 than in 1975.  C' for truck/rail
loading is therefore -2.21.

             The amount of aviation gasoline handled by bulk
stations is assumed to be stored in fixed roof tanks.  Bulk
station sales are assumed to be 25.4% of demand based on 1972
Census Bureau data (US-412).  Applying this percentage to 1985
                              -143-

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                                                     TABLE 9-6
NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*



1
M
-P-
1


Emission Source
1. Truck/Rail Loading
2. Tanker/Barge Loading
3. Fixed Roof Tanks
4 . Underground Tanks
5. Aircraft Refueling
NAPHTHA JET FUEL TRANSFER
Emission Rate With
Best Available System,
Control Technique 106kg/yr(10Jtons/yr)
** 2.12 (2.33)
** 0.06 (0.07)
** 1.61 (1.77)
** 0.42 (0.46)
**-NA 2.27 (2.5)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
106kg/yr(103tons/yr)
2.12 (2.33)
0.06 (0.07)
1.61 (1.77)
0.42 (0.46)
2.27 (2.5)


Emission Reduction,
10skg/yr(103tons/yr)
0
0
0
0
0





   INDUSTRY TOTAL
                                                      6.48  (7.14)
6.48 (7.14)
  As per Model IV evaluation (10 years)


**
  No new sources to which controls  can be applied



NA - none available

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                                                                        TABLE 9-7
     Emission Source




1.  Truck/Rail Loading



2.  Tanker/Barge Loading



3.  Fixed Roof Tanks



4.  Underground Tanks



5.  Aircraft Refueling





    TOTALS
    *Growch rate is calculated by method other  than  use of  P  ,
                                                           c


    NA - not applicable due to negative growth
SUMMARY OF INPUT/OUTPUT
VARIABLES FOR M3DEL IV
AVIATION GASOLINE TRANSFER


Emission Factor,
kg/106m3 throughput
Es
345,000
115,000
575,000
534,000
574,000
EN
28,700
5,750
28,700
79,500
574,000

Growth Rates,
Deciraal/yr
PB' PC'
0.0312 *
0.0312 *
0.0312 *
0.0312 *
0 *




Throughput,
lO'mVyr
A1
5.16
0.523
0.569
2.24
2.24
B1
NA
NA
NA
NA
0
C1
-2.21
-0.225
-0.244
-0.96
-0.96
TA
1780
60
327
1200
1290

Emissions
103kg/yr
Ts
903
34.3
187
684
735

t
TN
903
34.3
187
684
735
Emission
Reduction,
103kg/yr
T -T1
S 1N
0
0
0
0
0
                                                                                                                4660    2543     2543

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CORPORATION
demand shows that fixed roof storage throughput decreased 0.244
x 106m3 (1.53 x 106 bbl) from 1975 to 1985, implying C' = -0.244.
Throughput for underground tanks is assumed to be equivalent to
the indicated domestic demand.   Therefore, C1  for underground tanks
is -0.96.

             The values of B' for the various portions of the
aviation gasoline transfer segment are calculated from IRS
depreciation guidelines data (CO-424).   When these values of
B1 are added to the values of C1 the resultant sums are negative
indicating that the rate of obsolescence is less than the rate of
decline of the aviation gasoline segment.

             The baseline year emission factors are based on
API correlations except for the underground storage tank emission
factor which is derived from a study performed by the Los Angeles
County Air Pollution Control District (CH-159).  Truck/rail loading,
tanker/barge loading and fixed roof tanks are assumed to employ
vapor collection and recovery systems (95% efficient) as the best
available controls while underground tanks are assumed to use the
vapor balance loading technique.

             Estimated Emission Reduction

             The values of C' for all operations in the aviation
gasoline transfer industry segment are negative, which reflects
the projected decline in the use of aviation gasoline.  In addition,
from an economic viewpoint, obsolete equipment is normally not
replaced when an industry is experiencing a decline.  Therefore,
no new sources are estimated to exist in 1985 to which NSPS could
be applied and the calculated emission reduction- potential for the
aviation gasoline transfer industry is zero.  Table 9-8 summarizes
the estimated emission level in 1985.
                              -146-

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                                                     TABLE 9-8
NATIONAL EMISSION REDUCTION BY 1985*

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Emission Source
Truck/Rail Loading
Tanker/Barge Loading
Fixed Roof Tanks
Underground Tanks
Aircraft Refueling
AVIATION GASOLINE TRANSFER
Emission Rate With
Best Available System,
Control Technique 103kg/yr(tons/yr)
** 903 (994)
** 34.3 (37.8)
** 187 (206)
** 684 (753)
**-NA 735 (809)
Emission Rate Under
1975 Controls,
103kg/yr(tons/yr)
903 (994)
34.3 (37.8)
187 (206)
684 (753)
735 (809)
Emission Reduction,
103kR/vr(tons/yr)
0
0
0
0
0
   INDUSTRY TOTAL
                                                2,543   (2800)
2,543   (2800)
  As per Model IV evaluation (10  years)


**
  No new sources to which controls can be applied


NA-none available

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CORPORATION
 10.0      FUGITIVE EMISSIONS FROM  PUMP  SEALS AND VALVES

           Potentially fugitive emission sources may be the biggest
 factor in the amount of hydrocarbons  emitted from petroleum trans-
 fer operations.   Although fugitive emissions from individual sources
 may be very small the total losses may  be  significant due to the
 prevalence of fugitive emission sources.

           In the petroleum transfer industry,  fugitive sources
 include pump seals and pipeline valves.  The actual emissions
 from these sources in the crude oil and aviation fuels transfer
 segments cannot  be accurately calculated due to the unknown num-
 ber of pumps and valves existing in the transfer segments.  For this
 reason,  fugitive emissions were not included in the Model IV
 calculations.   In this section some estimates  and comparisons
 are made in order to provide some  indication of what the importance
 of  fugitive emissions may be relative to the other emissions from
 the transfer operations.

           From Section 6.2, pump seal and  valve emission factors
 applicable to the transfer industry are

                                 Emission Factor, kg(lb)/day-seal or valve
      Source                          Aviation  Fuels     Crude Oil
Centrifugal pumps with packed seals         0.18  (0.4)       2.7   (5.9)
Centrifugal pumps with mechanical seals      0.14  (0.3)       0.27  (0.6)
Reciprocal pumps with packed seals          0.05  (0.1)       1.8   (4.0)
Pipeline valves                          0.02  (0.05)      0.02  (0.05)

           To illustrate a conservative  estimate of fugitive
 emissions,  the emission factor for centrifugal pumps  with mechani-
 cal seals is used.  The assumption that  each pump has six valves
 associated with  it is also made.   Therefore,  each pump unit in
                               -148-

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RADIAN  .
CORPORATION
the crude oil segment will emit 0.39 kg (0,86 lb)/day and each
pump unit in the aviation fuels segments will emit 0.26 kg (0.57
lb)/day.  Table 10-1 lists the 1975 total emissions from each of
the transfer industry segments under consideration in this study
as calculated per Model IV.

          A calculation is made for each transfer segment to
determine the number of pump units that must be present in order
to have fugitive emissions equal the total emissions from other
sources.  The results of these calculations are as follows:

   Transfer Segment             Number of Pump Units
Crude Oil                             934,000 (86,000*)
Kerosine Jet Fuel                       4,000
Naphtha Jet Fuel                      109,000
Aviation Gasoline                      49,000
''The number in parenthesis is based on excluding production pump
 seal and valve emissions from the total crude emissions.

          The above data indicate that if approximately 4,000
pump units exist in the kerosine jet fuel transfer segment, then
fugitive emissions are .equal to all other emissions in the kerosine
jet fuel segment in 1975.

          Approximately 49,000 pump units are required in the
aviation gasoline transfer segment to make fugitive emissions
equal to all other aviation gasoline transfer emissions in 1975.
This number of pump units is not an unreasonable estimate of
what actually exists and may easily be a low estimate.

          Almost 110,000 pump units must be present in the naphtha
jet fuel transfer segment for fugitive emissions to equal all
other emissions in 1975.  Since this number is not an unreasonable
estimate of the number of pump units present, fugitive leaks can
be a very, significant emission source.
                              -149-

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                           TABLE 10-1

            HYDROCARBON EMISSIONS FROM CRUDE OIL AND
                 AVIATION FUELS TRANSFER IN 1975

  Industry Segment                Emissions, 106kg (103tons)

Crude Oil*                               133     (146)
Kerosine Jet Fuel                          0.411 (0.453)
Naphtha Jet Fuel                          10.3   (11.3)
Aviation Gasoline                          4.66  (5.13)

*If production pump seal and valve emissions are excluded,  the
 crude oil segment's emissions are 12.3 x 106kg (13.5 x 103tons)
                              -150-

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
          The potential importance of fugitive emissions is also
emphasized by the fact that of 133 x 106  kg/yr of crude oil
transfer related emissions that occurred in 1975, an estimated
120.7 x 106 kg/yr are from production pump seal and valve leaks.
If these losses are omitted from the emission total only 86,000
pump units would be required to equal all the other hydrocarbon
emissions resulting from crude oil transfer.

          From these results,  it is evident that in regard to
hydrocarbon emissions from the petroleum transfer industry, the
area of fugitive losses requires further study.  A rigorous in-
vestigation of fugitive emissions is particularly required in
order to accurately determine the impact of fugitive losses
compared to other emissions and to assess the degree to which these
losses may be controlled.
                              -151-

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
                          APPENDIX A
                 FLOATING ROOF STANDING STORAGE
             AND FIXED ROOF TANK BREATHING LOSSES

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
1.0       FLOATING ROOF AND FIXED ROOF BREATHING LOSSES

          While floating-roof tank standing storage losses and
fixed-roof tank breathing losses are not a direct result of the
transfer of petroleum liquids, these losses would not necessarily
occur if the transfer industry were not present.  In order to pro-
vide some indication of what the importance of these storage losses
may be to the other emissions from the petroleum transfer industry,
this appendix contains an estimate of standing storage and breath-
ing losses.

          Storage Locations

          Estimates are not made for crude oil storage tanks since
it is assumed that these tanks are large enough (<40,000 gals) to
be regulated by existing NSPS.  The small field storage tanks are
not regulated, but their breathing losses are assumed to be
included in the emission factor used in calculating oil field
storage emissions.  Fixed-roof tanks are used to store kerosine
and naphtha jet fuels at bulk terminals and bulk stations.  However,
only the amounts of kerosine and naphtha jet fuels delivered from
these facilities by tank trucks are assumed to be stored in fixed-
roof tanks that exhibit breathing losses.  Although jet fuels
delivered through dedicated pipelines enter fixed roof "dropout"
tanks for quality inspection prior to entering the dedicated
pipeline, the residence time in these "dropout" tanks is assumed
to be short enough to make breathing losses negligible.  All
military storage of naphtha jet fuel and all major airport storage
of kerosine jet fuel is assumed to be in floating-roof tanks.
Large storage tanks containing aviation gasoline are regulated by
existing federal NSPS.  Therefore, only breathing losses from
small fixed-roof, tanks (<40,000 gals) are estimated.   These small
tanks are found at bulk stations.
                                A-l

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 RADIAN
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          Method of Emissions Estimate

          Floating-roof standing storage and fixed-roof breathing
losses can be estimated from API correlations (AM-107, AM-087) .
These correlations can be expressed as :

                     i4P7_p  °-7(D)1-5(Vw)°-7(Kt;)(Ks)(K)(Kc)   (A-l)
                                                p

=(0. 000221) (M)I-68(D)1-73(H)0>51(AT)°-5(Fp)(C)(Kc)
                     rT2r^Ipl0-
                                                                (A-2)
where
     L  = Floating-roof standing-storage loss  (Ib/day)
      O
     1»  = Fixed roof breathing loss  (Ib/day)
     M  = Molecular weight of vapor  in storage tank  (Ib/lb-mole)
     P  = True vapor pressure at bulk liquid conditions  (psia)
     D  = Tank diameter (ft)
     V  = Average wind velocity (Mi/hr)
      vv
     K  = Tank type factor
     K  = Seal factor
      o
     K  = Paint factor
      P
     K  = Crude oil factor
      c
     H  = Average vapor space height (ft)
     AT = Average daily ambient temperature change (°F)
     F  = Paint factor
      P
     C  = Adjustment factor for small .diameter tanks

          Assumptions

          In order to use Equations A-l and A-2,  the above variables
must be defined.  The values of M and P are found in Table 5-1  of
the main text.  Tank diameters are assumed to be 90 ft  (50,000  bbl
tanks) for kerosine and naphtha jet  fuel tanks and 19 ft  (40,000
gal tanks) for aviation gasoline tanks .
                                A-2

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 CORPORATION
          Since the condition of a storage tank can significantly
affect the tank's losses, two values of the following variables
are shown in order to calculate worst and best case emission
levels.  These factors are taken from API bulletins (AM-107,
AM-087).

          Variable          Best Case            Worst Case

             Kt               0,045                 0.14

             K                1.0                   1.33
              s

             K                0.9                   1.0

             F                1.0                   1.58

Additionally, AT is assumed to be 15°F and V  to be 10 mi/hr.
                                            w/
For jet fuel storage tanks H is assumed to be 25 ft and C is
1.0, while H is assumed to be 9 ft for aviation gasoline storage
tanks and C is 0.83.

          The amount of storage that a facility has must also be
known in order to calculate breathing and standing storage losses.
Therefore, storage capacity equivalent to thirty days'  throughput
is assumed for all storage tanks except for floating-roof tanks
at airports.   Since these airport tanks receive kerosine jet fuel
by dedicated pipelines and hence have an essentially uninterrupt-
able source of supply, they do not need as much storage capacity.
Thus, the equivalent of five days'  throughput is used for airport
floating-roof storage capacity (DE-202).
                                A-3

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 RADIAN
 CORPORATION
          Results

          The results of the emission calculations for standing
storage and breathing losses are summarized in Table A-l.   If
these emissions are added to the baseline year controls emission
levels in 1985, as estimated in Section 9.0, the standing  storage
and breathing losses would represent the following percent of
total emissions.

                            Best Case               Worst  Case
Kerosine Jet Fuel              15%                       257,
Naphtha Jet Fuel               12%                       25%
Aviation Gasoline              10%                       14%
                                A-4

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                                                  TABLE A-l

                              ESTIMATED STANDING STORAGE AND BREATHING LOSSES*
Liquid Stored
Type Tank
Estimated Storage
Capacity, 10 bbl
    Emission Factor,
Ib/day- 103bbl capacity
Best Case     Worst Case
       Emissions,
  103Kg/yr (tons/yr)
Best Case    Worst Case
Kerosine Jet Fuel   Floating
                    Roof

Kerosine Jet Fuel   Fixed Roof
                       3740
                       3030
                      0.0225
                      0.174
               0.103
               0.274
 14 ( 15)      64 (  70)
 87 ( 96)     138 ( 152)
Naphtha Jet Fuel    Floating
                    Roof

Naphtha Jet Fuel    Fixed Roof
                       3430
                       1010
                      0.499
                      3.48
               2.29
               5.50
284 (312)    1300 (1430)
582 (641)     917 (1010)
Aviation Gasoline   Fixed Roof
                        168
                      9.91
              14.9
276 (304)     415 ( 457)
* Based on projected transfer industry size in 1985

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CORPORATION
                            APPENDIX B
                      MODEL IV CALCULATIONS

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CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet for EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:   	Calculation of A" 	

    Prepared By:     William C. Thomas	

Crude Oil:

          Tables 4-4 and 4-5 of the main text give the following
information on crude oil:

          1975 Domestic Production  - 485xl06m3(3,052xl06bbl)
          1975 Truck/Rail Loading   - 12.8xl06m3(80,5xl06bbl)
          1975 Tanker/Barge Loading - 47.8xl05m3(301xl06bbl)
          1975 Pipeline Transport   - 489xl06m3(3,078xl06bbl)

Pipeline transport emissions occur as leaks from pump seals and
valves.  These emissions cannot be accurately quantified, but are
discussed in Section 10.0.   Storage of crude oil after leaving the,
oil field is assumed to be in tanks >152,000 liters (40,000 gal).
Since federal NSPS already regulate this storage,  emissions from
these sources are not included in this study.

From the above data, the A' factors are:

          A'      = 485
             prod
          A'r    =12.8
            UT/R
          A'     =47.8
                             B-l

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet for EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55
                                                               /
      Subject:  	Calculation of A" (cont.)	

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	

Kerosine Jet Fuel:

          Table 4-9 and Figure 4-4 of the main text give the
following information for kerosine jet fuel:

          1975 imports                       - 6.lx!06m3(38xl06bbl)
          1975 indicated domestic demand     - 45.9xl06m3(289x 106bbl)
          1975 truck/rail loading            - 27.Ixl06m3(170xl06bbl)
          1975 tanker/barge loading          - 6.2xl06m3(39xl06bbl)
          1975 nonairport pipeline transport - 35.9x106m3(226x106bbl)
          1975 airport pipeline transport    - 28.9xl06m3(182xl06bbl)
Therefore,
          A'        = 45.9 - A'
            KDemand           •
          A'     =  27.1
            KT/R
          A'      =  6.2
            KT/B
 From Figure  4-4 of the main  text,  42.4xl06m3(267xl06bbl)  is
 handled by bulk facilities.   This  quantity  is  stored  in  fixed  roof
 tanks.   The  amount transported from consumer  storage  to  end  users
 by truck is  assumed to be stored in underground tanks while  the
 amount moved by pipeline is  stored in floating roof tanks
 (EL-104.VA-129).   For kerosine jet fuel,  naphtha jet  fuel and
                               B-2

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet for EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject: 	Calculation of A" (cont.)	

    Prepared By:      William C.  Thomas	

Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.)

aviation gasoline, standing storage losses from floating roof
tanks and breathing losses from fixed roof tanks are not included
in the emission calculations but are discussed in Appendix  A.
Thus,

          A'     = 42.4
            *TRT
          A'    - 17.0
Naphtha Jet Fuel:

          Table 4-12 and Figure 4-7 of the main text give the
following information for naphtha jet fuel:

          1975 Imports                   - 1.6xl06m3(10xl06bbl)
          1975 Indicated Domestic Demand - 12.1x106m3(76.3x106bbl)
          1975 Tanker/Barge Loading      - 1.54xl06m3(9.7xl06bbl)
          1975 Pipeline Transport        - 5.41xl06m3(34.0xl06bbl)
          1975 Truck/Rail Loading        - 18.8xl06m3(118xl06bbl)

Thus ,

          A'        = 12 1 = A'
            N           '       N
            1NDemand            INAR

          A'     =18.8
            NT/R
          A\T    = 1.54

                               B-3

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CORPORATION

   Computation Sheet for EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:  Calculation of A" (cont.)	

   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas   	

Naphtha Jet Fuel  (cont.)

All naphtha jet fuel handled by bulk facilities is assumed to be
stored in fixed roof tanks.  From Figure 4-7 of the  main  text,
bulk facility  sales in  1975 were 8.60xl06m3(54.Ixl06bbl).

Thus,

          A'     =8.60
            1NFRT

          In 1974 military uses accounted for 87% of the  total
domestic demand for naphtha jet fuel (US-419 Table 27).   It  is
assumed that all military storage is in  floating roof tanks while
commercial storage is in underground tanks.  Assuming that the
percentage breakdown in 1974 is applicable to 1975,  then

          A'    = 0.13xA-        = 1.57
            1NUT          ^Demand

Aviation Gasoline:

          Table 4-14 and Figure 4-11 in  the main text give the
following information on aviation gasoline:

          1975 Indicated Domestic Demand - 2.24xl06m3(14.Ixl06bbl)
          1975 Tanker/Barge Loading      - 0.523xl06m3(3.29xl06bbl)
          1975 Pipeline Transport        - 0.610xl06m3(3.84xl06bbl)
          1975 Truck/Rail Loading        - 5.16xl06m3(32.4xl06bbl)
                              B-4

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CORPORATION




   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55


      Subject:    Calculation of A"(cont.) _


   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas  _ _ _


Aviation Gasoline  (cont.)


Thus,
          A'        • 2.24 = A'
            ^Demand            °AR
          A'     = 5.16
          A'     = 0.523
            GT/B
Storage at bulk terminals is assumed to be in tanks large enough

in capacity to fall under federal NSPS.  Bulk station storage is

assumed to be small fixed roof tanks, while consumer storage is

underground tanks.   Using the data from Figure 4-11 of the main
text gives :
          A'     = 0.569
          A'r   = 2.24
            GUT
                             B-5

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CORPORATION


   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55

      Subject:     Calculation of B" and C"	

   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas	

Crude Oil:

          Based on a projection from (ST-381) domestic crude oil
production is assumed to be 679xl06m3(4,270xl06bbl) in 1985.
Thus,

          C'      = 679-485 = 194
             prod

Existing production in 1975 is assumed to decline at the rate
experienced over the 1971-75 period.  From Table 4-4 of the main
text,

          1971 production = 549xl06m3(3,360x106bbl)
          1975 production = 485xl06m3(3,050xl06bbl)
Thus,

          B'      - A'
             prod     Cprod  L   -      -prod'
                  = 485   1

                  = 485(0.262)
          B'      = 124
             prod
                             B-6
                                            H
                                              J

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CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:  	Calculation of B" and C" (cont.)	

   Prepared By: 	William C. Thomas	

Crude Oil (cont.)

          Of the 318x106m3(2,000x106bbl) of new crude production
in 1985, 116x106m3(730x106bbl) is assumed to be Alaskan crude
transported by tanker from Alaska's south shore to the West Coast.
The other 202xl06m3(1,270xl06bbl) of production is assumed to be
transported to refineries via pipelines, tankers/barges and trucks/
rails in the same percentages exhibited over the 1966-75 time period.
Figure 4-2 in the main text shows that in 1975 87.570 of domestic
crude production was transported by pipeline, 9.970 by tanker/barge
and 2.6% by truck/rail.  Thus, the values of B' and C' for tanker/
barge loading and truck/rail loading are calculated as follows:

          Old production in 1985 = 361xl06m3(2,270xl06bbl)
             T/R loading - 0.026x361 = 9.39
             T/B loading - 0.099x361 =35.7
          New production in 1985 = 318-116 = 202x106m3(1,270xl06bbl)
             T/R loading - 0.026x202 =5.25
             T/B loading - 0.099x202 =20.0

          1975 T/R loading =12.8
          1975 T/B loading =47.8
                              B-7

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 CORPORATION


    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55

       Subject:      Calculation of B" and C" (cont.)	

    Prepared By.      William C.  Thomas	

 Crude Oil (cont.)
           B'      =  12.8-9.39  =  3.41
            LT/R
           C'      =  9.39+5.25-12.8  =1.84
              T/R
           C'      =  35.7+20.0+116-47.8  =124
            CT/B

Since truck/rail loading  facilities are  located  at  the oil  fields,
their useful  life time  is normally greater than  the productive
lifetime of the  oil reservoir.  Therefore, no replacement of T/R
loading facilities due  to obsolescence occurs.   However, tanker/
barge loading occurs at marine  terminals where equipment replace-
ment does  occur.  From  (CO-424  p.  415) the IRS depreciation guide-
line for petroleum marketing  equipment is 16 yrs,@  twice this value

           P'»     - 	1  » 0.0312
             CT/B   2xT6-
           B'r     = 47.8x10x0.0312  = 14.9
            LT/B

Kerosine Jet Fuel:

           From the discussion in Section 4.2.2 and Figure 4-5
of the main text, the simple growth rate of indicated demand for
kerosine jet fuel is
                              B-8

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:  	Calculation of B" and C' (cont.)	

                        William C. Thomas
    Prepared By:
Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.)

          P r-       - 48.9-40.3 = 0.0468 = P r.
             KDemand    4x45'9                  KAR

          C'        - 45.9x10x0.0468 » 21.5 = C\
            ^Demand                              AR

          B'K   =0 since no controls exist for aircraft refueling
                  emissions

The percent of indicated demand transported by tanker/barge has
shown a negative growth from 1966 to 1975.  Using a compound growth
correlation gives
          Ryr-     =/13.5\   -1 = -0.0454
           '<>« y     I oA d I
              KT/B  \20-5/

          %C'R    =13.5  Kl-0.0454)lo-i]
                  = -5.02

Therefore, total % of demand by T/B is 13.5-5.02 = 8.5%

          C'     = (45.9+21.5)xO.085-6.2 = -0.471
                               B-9

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CORPORATION


   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:    Calculation of B" and C' (cont.)  _

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas _ _

Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.)

Emission control equipment on T/B loading would be installed at
the marine terminal.  From (CO-424 p. 415) the IRS depreciation
guideline for petroleum marketing equipment is 16 yrs.

          @ twice this value P „'    = _ L_ = 0.0312
Therefore,

          B'     = 6.2x10x0.0312 =1.9
From the discussion in Section 4.2.2 and Figure 4-6 of the main
text, the amount of kerosine jet fuel loaded into trucks/rails in
1985 is 33.3x106m3(209x106bbl).   Thus

          C'v    = 33.3-27.1 - 6.2
            *T/R
          From (CO-424 p. 415) the IRS depreciation guideline for
petroleum marketing equipment is 16 yrs.

          @ twice this value

          P,.     = 	1  = 0.0312
                    2xT6~
                              B-10

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CORPORATION


    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

       Sub j act :     Calculation of Bx and C" (cont.) _

    Prepared By:     William C. Thomas      _

Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.)

Therefore,

          B'     - 27.1x10x0.0312 = 8.5
From Figure 4-6 of the main text, bulk facilities are estimated
to handle 63. 9xl06m3 (402xl06bbl) in 1985.  This is assumed to be
stored in fixed roof tanks.  23. 9x10 6m3 (150x10 6bbl) is shown to
be transported from consumer storage to end users by trucks.  This
amount is assumed to be stored in underground tanks.  Thus

                 = 63.9-42.4 = 21.5
          C'K   = 23.9-17.0 = 6.9

From (CO-424 p. 415) the IRS depreciation guideline for petroleum
marketing equipment is 16 yrs.

          @ twice this value

          P „'    =  I   = 0.0312
             KFRT   2x16

          P „'   = 0.0312
               JT
                               B-ll

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CORPORATION


   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:       Calculation of B" and C" (cont.)	

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	

 Kerosine Jet Fuel  (cont.)

 Therefore,

           B\r    = 42.4x10x0.0312 = 13.2
             KFRT                       .                     .  .

           B'    =  17.0x10x0.0312 =5.30
             KUT

 Naphtha Jet Fuel

           From the discussion in Section 4.3.2 and Figure 4-8, the
 indicated demand for naphtha jet fuel in 1985 is 7.63xl06in3
 (48.0xl06 bbl)..  This is calculated by performing a least squares
 fit to historical  demand data and using the resultant equation to
 calculate the demand in 1985.  Thus,

           C'        = 7.63-12.1 = -4.47 = C'
             "Demand                          AR

           B'TT   =  0 since no controls exist for aircraft refueling
              AR
                    emissions

 Figure 4-9 of the  main text shows historical pipeline and tanker/
 barge transport data as a percent of indicated demand.  Since there
 is no discernable  trend in these data, 1975's percentage are used
 for 1985.
                               B-12

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RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319.. Task 55

      Subject::  _ Calculation of B" and C' (cont.) _

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas _ _

 Naphtha Jet Fuel (cont.)

 Thus ,

           % pipeline transport = 44.6%
           % tanker /barge transport =12.4%

           C'..'    = 7.63x0.124-1.54 = -0.59
             NT/B

           From Figure 4-10 of the main text, truck/rail loading
 in 1985 is 11. 8x10 6m3 (74. 6x10 6bbl) .   Therefore

           C'     = 11.8-13.8 = -7.0
 From (CO-424 p.  415) the IRS depreciation guideline for petroleum
 marketing equipment is 16 yrs .

           (§ twice this value,

           P -?    - _ L. = 0-0312
            •X/B   ^

           B  '   = 1.54x10x0.0312 = 0.480
             NT/B
                              B-13

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R ADBAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet  For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55

      Subject:       Calculation of B' and  C'  (cont.)

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas _

 Naphtha Jet Fuel (cont.)

           P «'    = _ 1  = 0.0312
             X/R   ***

           B\T    = 18.8x10x0.0312 =  5.86
             NT/R

           In a declining industry, obsolete  equipment is  normally
 not replaced.  Since

           B'     + C'     = 0.48+(0.59) = -0.11 < 0
             NT/B     LT/B

    and    B,  -  + C\T    = 5.86+(-7.0) = -1.14 < 0
 NSPS will have no effect on. the T/R and T/B loading aspects of the
 naphtha jet fuel transfer industry.

 From Figure 4-10 of the main text,  bulk facilities will handle
 5. 36x10 6m3 (33. 7x10 6 bbl) of naphtha jet fuel in 1985.   Assuming
 this amount is stored in fixed roof tanks,

           C'     = 5.36-8.60 = -3.24
 Military use of naphtha jet fuel is assumed to be the same percent
 of indicated demand as was assumed for 1975,  87%.  Thus,  if the
 remaining 1370 of commercial use is stored in underground tanks.

                               B-14

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  RADIAN
  CORPORATION
  Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55


     Subject:     Calculation of B" and C' (cont.)


  Prepared By:     William C. Thomas	,__.	


Naphtha Jet Fuel fcont.)


          C'    - 0.13x7.63-1.57 = -0.578
             UT


Since the demand for naphtha jet fuel is declining, if the rate
at which tanks become obsolete is not greater than the decline
in demand then NSPS will have no effect on storage emissions.


From (CO-424 p. 415) the IRS depreciation guideline for petroleum

marketing equipment is 16 yrs.


          @ twice this value


          P..     =    1  = 0.0312
             NFRT    2xl6


          B\T    =8.60x10x0.0312 = 2.68
            INFRT


          P .    =  1   = 0.0312
            BNUT   IxTF


          B'    = 1.57x10x0.0312 = 0.490
                                B-15

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CORPORATION




  Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55


     Subject:      Calculation of B" and C" (cont.)	


  Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	


Naphtha Jet Fuel  (cont.)



Since


          B'     + C'M    = 2.68+(-3.24) = -0.56  <  0
            1NFRT
             r   + C'M   * 0.490+(-0.578) = -0.088 < 0
             UT      UT
NSPS will have no effect on storage emissions.


Aviation Gasoline:


          From the discussion of Section 4.4.2 and Figure 4-12 of

the main text, the indicated domestic demand for aviation gasoline

is estimated to be 1.28x10frm3(8.04xl06bbl) in 1985.  This value

is obtained by curve fitting the 1970-75 demand data and extra-

polating the result to 1985.  Thus


          C'r       =1.28-2.24 = -0.96 = C'
            ^Demand                        ^AR


          B',,   = 0 since no controls exist for aircraft
             AR
                  refueling emissions
                              B-16

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CORPORATION


  Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319 ,. Task  55

     Subject:     Calculation of B" and C' (cont.)   _ _

  Prepared By:    William C. Thomas _ .

Aviation Gasoline  (cont.):


          In  1975, tanker/barge loading was 23.370 of demand and
pipeline transport was 27.270 of demand.  Using these same per-
centages in 1985 gives

          C'     = 0.233x1.28-0.523 = -0.225
From Figure 4-14 of the main text, the amount of aviation gaso-
line transported by truck/rail is 2. 95xl06m3 (18 . 6xl06bbl) .  Thus,

          C'     = 2.95-5.16 = -2.21
Storage of aviation gasoline at bulk terminals is assumed to be
in tanks large enough in capacity to be regulated by existing
federal NSPS.  Bulk station storage is assumed to be small
fixed roof tanks while consumer storage is underground tanks.
Using the data from Figure 4-14 of the main text,

          C'     = 0.325-0/569 = -0.244
            GFRT
          C'    =• 1.28-2.24 = -0.96
            GUT
                              B-17

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RADIAN
CORPORATION

  Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task  55

     Subject:      Calculation of B' and C' (cont.)

  Prepared By:    William C. Thomas	

Aviation Gasoline (cont.)

From  (CO-424 p. 415) the IRS depreciation guideline for petroleum
marketing equipment is 16 yrs.

          @ twice this value

          P ,     - P ,     » P       = P ,    = _L	 = 0.0312
                     ° r       "" r       " r     o-,i il
                       GT/R •     GFRT      GUT   2xl6
Thus,

          B%,    = 0.523x10x0.0312 = 0.163


                 = 5.16x10.0.0312 = 1.61
          B'     = 0.569x10x0.0312 = 0.178
            GFRT
          B'    = 2.24x10x0.0312 = 0.699
            GUT

 In a declining industry, obsolete equipment is normally not
 replaced if the rate of decline is greater than the rate at
 which  the equipment becomes obsolete.  Thus, since for T/B and
 T/R loading and FRT and UT storage the values of B'G+C'  are
 < 0, NSPS will have no effect on the emission levels from these
 operations.
                              B-18

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RADIAM
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,. Task 55

      Subject:      Calculation of Eg

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	

 Crude Oil Production:

           From (MS-001) the following emission factors for crude
 oil production facilities are used:

           Storage Tanks  -  11 Kg/103m3 production
           Pump Seals      - 214 Kg/103m3 production
           Pipeline Valves - 34 Kg/103m3 production

 Thus, the emission factor for production is 259 Kg/103m3 production

           E0      = 259,000
             C
              prod

 Loading Operations:

           Emission factors .for truck/rail and'tanker/barge loading
 and aircraft refueling can be calculated from the following equation:

           LT - 12.46 SPM
            L          T

 This equation is based on emission data reported in (AM-085).

 For T/R loading S = 0.6, for T/B loading S = 0.2 and for aircraft
 refueling S = 1.0.  Table 5-4 of the main text shows the values
 of S, P, M and T used in the emission factor calculation.  The
 results of these calculation give:
                              B-19

-------
RAB23AN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55
Subject:
                   Calculation of Eq(cont.)
   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas
 Loading Operations (cont.)
 Crude Oil:
              241,000    E
 Kerosine Jet Fuel:
                                      = 80,400
              1,900      Eg     = 635    Eg
                                                 K
                                                       3,170
                                                  AR
.Naphtha Jet Fuel:
     Ec     = 180,000    EQ
       M
       NT/R.           .
                                        59,700  E,,    = 298,000

                                                  N
                                                   AR
 Aviation Gasoline:
     E0     = 345,000    E
      On

       GT/R
                                      = 115,000  Ec    = 574,000
                                                  O
 Storage Facilities :




           Emission factors for fixed roof working losses can be

 calculated from the following equation:
              = 0.024xMxPxKNxKc
                              B-20

-------
RADBAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:    Calculation of ES (cont.)	

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	

 Storage Facilities (cont);

 where M = vapor molecular weight
       P = liquid vapor pressure at storage temperatures, psia
       IxN = 1.0 for tank turnovers < 36/yr.
       KC = 0.75 for crude oil storage;  KC = 1.00 for all other
            liquids

 The above equation was derived from information presented in (AM-039^
 Table 5-5 of the main text lists the values of 1^ calculated for the
 storage of aviation fuels.

 Emission factors for underground tank filling losses can be cal-
 culated from data reported in (CH-159)  for motor gasoline storage.
 This report gives emissions as:

           Type of Fill     •          Emissions Kg/m3 .throughput

        Splash                            1.38
        Submerged                         0.874
        Vapor Balance - Open Vent         0.0958
        Vapor Balance - Closed Vent       0.0

 By dividing these factors by the vapor molecular weight and vapor
 pressure of gasoline (66 and 5.2 psia)  and then multiplying by
 the dispensed liquid vapor molecular weight and vapor pressure,
 the appropriate new emission factors can be obtained.
                              B-21

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:     Calculation of Eg (cont.)

   Prepared By:     William C.  Thomas	

 Storage Facilities (cont.)':

 Underground tank withdrawal losses can be estimated by use of an
 emission factor calculated from the following equation:
           L =/ P \x P x M x
              V1"1/
                            !s
                            K

In this equation:

          P = liquid vapor pressure in psia divided by 14.7
          M = vapor molecular weight
          K = conversion factor to- convert L to T7T3~^T  v - o at
                                                1UJ gal, K. = L. oj
          Fn - experimentally confirmed diffusion factor
               to account for subsaturation of exhaled vapors
               FD =1/6
          L = withdrawal loss, lb/103 gal dispensed

Table 5-5 of the main text lists the emission factors calculated
for the three types of storage losses.  These factors are summarized
as follows:
                              B-22

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet for EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55




      Subiect-      Calculations of Eg (cont.)





   Prepared by:  William C. Thomas	




Storage. Facilities (cont.):




Kerosine Jet Fuel:




   Es     = 3,170   Eg     = 4,440   Eg     = neg  Eg    = 4,440


     KFRT             KUTF             KUTW          KUT




Naphtha Jet Fuel:




  Ec     - 300,000  E0     - 418,000  E0     = 4,840  Ec    = 423,000

   bN                bN                 N               K
    INFRT               UTF               UTW             UT




Aviation Gasoline:




  Ec     = 575,000  E0     = 510,000  E0     - 23,600  E0    = 534,000
   Of,                b,-,                Op               Op

                      °UTF               UTW             ^UT
                              B-23

-------
 CORPORATION
    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

       Subject:      Calculation of EN	

    Prepared By:     William C. Thomas	

          Vapor collection and vapor recovery via a refrigeration
type system is used in this study as the best available control
technique for fixed roof working losses and truck/rail and tanker/
barge loading losses.  Based on the information presented in
Section 6.0 of the main text, the following emission reductions
are achievable with vapor collection and recovery.

          Kerosine Jet Fuel Vapors  - 100 wt7»
          Naphtha Jet Fuel Vapors   -  90 wt%
          Crude Oil Vapors          -  95 wt%
          Aviation Gasoline Vapors  -  95 wt7o
These factors can be applied to the appropriate Eg to obtain £„.
For truck/rail loading of aviation gasoline the S factor for
calculating the uncontrolled emission factor is assumed to b'e
1.0 instead of 0.6 to account for the fact that these tank trucks
and rail cars will deliver to tanks that practice the vapor
balance method _of loading and hence return with a saturated air-
Based on the preceding discussion,  the following summarizes the
calculated E ' s

Crude Oil:

  EN     = Eg     x 0.05 = 12,000  E      = EQ     x 0.05 = 4,020
    r        r                       "r>       &n
    ^T/R     LT/R                    CT/B     CT/B

  Eq      = 214,000+34,000+0.05x11,000 = 249,000
    C
     prod
                               B-24

-------
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task  55


      Subject:   Calculation of EN _ ___



   Prepared By:  William C. Thomas _ _ _
Kerosine Jet Fuel:
EM     =EC     x 0.0 = 0.0  EM     = 0.0 x E_     =0.0
           Tf                   V
           ^T/R                ^T/B
EM     = 0.0 x Ec     =0.0
Naphtha Jet Fuel:



EM     = Ec     x 0.1 = 18,000  EM     = Ec     x  0.1 =  5,970
  \T        M                      TVT        TJ
  NT/R     NT/R                   NT/B     NT/B



E,,     - E0     x 0.1 = 30,000
  N        N
  1 FRT     1NFRT



Aviation Gasoline:



EN     = Eg     x 0.05 x ^ = 28,700  EN     = Eg     x 0.05  =  5,750

  GT/R     GT/R            '              GT/B      GT/B
EM     = Ec     x 0.05 = 28,700
                               B-25

-------
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject;     Calculation of.E^  (cont.) _

   Prepared By:      William C. Thomas _

From (CH-159) the underground tank filling loss for motor gasoline
is 0.0958 Kg/m3 throughput.  By ratioing vapor molecular weights
and vapor pressures in the same manner used to calculate E<,'s,
the following values of EN are derived:

Kerosine Jet Fuel:

  E      = 310  E      -Es     - negligible   E     = 310
Naphtha Jet Fuel:

  EM     - 29,000  EM      = E-     = 4,840    EM    = 33,800
    \t                vr         W                 M
    NUTF             NUTW       UTW              WUT
Aviation Gasoline:
  EN     = 55,900  EN     = ES     = 23,600    EN    = 79,500
    GUTF             GUTW     GUTW               GUT
For aircraft refueling emissions, no practical means of control
is available.  Therefore,

  EN    = E     = 3,170    EN    = Eq    = 298,000
    KAR     KAR              NAR     NAR
        = Eg    = 574,000
    3AR     GAR

                               B-26

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55

       Subject:     Calculation of Tg-TN	

    Prepared By:    William C.  Thomas	

The following table summarizes  the factors  developed in the
preceding pages.
Emission Source
Crude Oil
Production
T/R Loading
T/B Loading
A',
106
485
12
47
m3
.8
.8
B',
106ffi3
124
3.41
14.9
cr,
106m3
194
1.84
124
Es
Kg/106m3
259,000
241,000
80,400
EN,
Kg/106m3
249,000
12,000
4,020
  Kerosine Jet Fuel
    T/R Loading           27.1     8.5    6.2     1,900       0.0
    T/B Loading            6.2     1.9   -0.471     635       0.0
   ' Fixed Roof Tanks      42.4    13.2   21.5     3,170       0.0
    Underground Tanks     17.0     5.30   6.9     4,440      .310
    Aircraft Refueling    45.9     0     21.5     3,170      3,170

  Naphtha Jet Fuel
    T/R Loading           18.8   NA     -7.0    180,000      18,000
    T/B Loading            1.54  NA     -0.59    59,700       5,970
    Fixed Roof Tanks       8.60  NA     -3.24   300,000      30,000
    Underground Tanks      1.57  NA     -0.578  423,000      33,800
    Aircraft Refueling    12.1   0      -4.47   298,000     298,000
                              B-27

-------
CORPORATION


   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319,  Task 55

      Subject:    Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)	

   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas	

     Emission Source      A',    B',    C',     Eg         EN
                          106m3  106m3  106m3   Kg/106m3   Kg/106m3

  Aviation Gasoline
   T/R Loading            5.16   NA     -2.21   345,000    28,700
   T/B Loading            0.523  NA     -0.225  115,000     5,750
   Fixed Roof Tanks       0.569  NA     -0.244  575,000    28,700
   Underground Tanks      2.24   NA     -0.96   534,000    79,500
   Aircraft Refueling     2.24   0      -0.96   574,000   574,000

The general formula, derived in Section 9.1 of the main text, for
Tg-T., is given as follows:

          VTN - 'W (B'+ c'>

However, the use of the formulas

          TS = Eg (A'+ C')  and

          TN = Eg (A--B')+EN(B-+C-)

will give a more informative analysis of the emission reduction
potential of NSPS by presenting what the magnitude of emissions
are in 1985.
                              B-28

-------
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55




      Subjecti      Calculation of Tg-TN  (cont.)	





   Prepared By:    William C. Thomas	





Crude Oil;





          Tc  = 259,000x(485+194)

            C
             prod




          Tc      » 176xl06Kg

            C
             prod





          TM      = 259,OOOx(485-124)+249,000(124+194)

            C
             prod





          TM      = 173xl06Kg

            C
             prod





          T-.      - TT,      = (176-173)xl06

            C         C
             prod      prod


                            - 3x106Kg Crude Oil Production





          TS     = 241,000(12.8+1.84)


            CT/R





          Tc     = 3.53xl06Kg
          TM     = 241,000(12.8-3.41)+12,000(3.41+1.84)
                              B-29

-------
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55



      Subject:      Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)	
   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas




Crude Oil (cont.);




          TN     = 2.33xl06Kg

            CT/R
            CT/R     CT/R
                   (3.53-2.33)xl06Kg




                 =  1.20x106Kg  Truck/rail  loading of crude



Ts     = 80,400x(47.8+124)
          r«,      =  13.8xl06Kg
           c
           LT/B
         T      = 80,400(47.8-14.9)+4,020(14.9+124)
         TN     = 3.20x106Kg
                         =  (13.8-3.2)xl06




                         =  10.6xl06Kg  Tanker/barge loading of

                            crude
                              B-30

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:    Calculation of Tq-TN (cont.) _

   Prepared By:   William C.  Thomas _

Kerosine Jet
                 = 1,900(27.1+6.2)
            KT/R

                 - 63.3xl03Kg
            KT/R
           T.      =  1,900(27. 1-8. 5)+0. 0(8. 5+6. 2)
           NTT
            KT/R
                  =  35.3xl03Kg
                           = (63.3-35.3)xl0
                             28.0xl03Kg Truck/rail loading of
                             kerosine jet fuel
          Ts     =  635(6.2-0.471)
            KT/B
          T      =  3.6xl03Kg
            KT/B
                  =  635(6.2-1.9)+0.0(1.43+0)
            KT/B
                              B-31

-------
CORPORATION



    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

                    Calculation of Tc-TM(cont.)
       Subject:
    Prepared By:    William C. Thomas
Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.):

                 = 2.7xl03Kg
              'B

          Tq     - TM     = (3.6-2.7)xl03
           «Jtr       IN-,,.
                     *T/B
                          = 0.9xl03Kg Tanker/barge loading of
                            kerosine jet fuel

                 = 3,170(42.4+21.5)
          TS     = 203x103Kg
            KFRT

          TN     = 3,170(42.4-13.2)+0.0(13.2+21.5)
            KFRT
                 = 93x103Kg
= (203-93)xl03

= 110x10 3Kg Fixed Roof Tanks Working
  Losses
           KFRT
                              B-32

-------
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

      Subject:     Calculation of Ts~TN(cont.)	

                   William C. Thomas
   Prepared By:
Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.):
          Ts    = 4,440(17.0+6.9)
            KUT
          Tc     = 106x1O3Kg
           "
          TN    = 4,440(17.0-5.3)+310(5.30+6.9)
            KUT

          T      = 55.7xl03Kg
           ,     -  TN     =  (106-55.7)xl03
           KUT     KUT
                        =  50.3xl03Kg  Undergroiond Storage  Tank
                          Losses
                              B-33

-------
RADIAN
CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319. Task 55



      Subject:     Calculation of Tg-TN  (cont.)	



   Prepared By:    William C. Thomas	




Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.):



          Tg    <= 3,170(45.9+21.5)

            KAR



          Tc    = 214x103Kg

            KAR



          TM    = 3,170(45.9-0)+3,170(0+21.5)
           N-lf
            KAR



          TM    = 214xl03Kg
            v
            KAR



          Tc    - TM    = 214-214
           ^v      "v
            KAR     KAR

                        = 0 Kg  Aircraft refueling



Naphtha Jet Fuel:



          The naphtha jet fuel transfer industry is projected to

experience a negative growth.  Model IV's calculational framework

is not suited to accurately express Tg and TN when an industry

is declining.   Therefore the following equations are used to

calculate TS and TN.
                              B-34

-------
CORPORATION


    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

       Subject:    Calculation of Tg-TN  (cont.) _

    Prepared By:   William C. Thomas _

Naphtha Jet Fuel (cont.):

          TN = Tg = ES(A'+O where C" < 0

The above equation is valid only when C' < 0 and  |C'|-B' > 0

          TM     = TQ     = 180,000(18.8-7.0)
            1ST        1ST
            iNT/R     1NT/R
                          = 2.12xl06Kg

          TS     - TN     =0  truck/rail loading of naphtha jet
            NT/R     NT/R      fuel

          TM     = TQ     = 59,700(1.54-0.59)
                          = 56.7xl03Kg

          TQ    - TJJ     =0  tanker /barge loading of naphtha jet
            NT/B    NT/B      fuel
          TM     - TQ     = 300,000(8.60-3.24)
            N        N
            1NFRT     INFRT
                          = 1.61xl06Kg
          T<,     - TM     =0  Fixed roof storage tank working
            N        N
            WFRT     1NFRT      losses
                               B-35

-------
CORPORATION








    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55




       Subject:      Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)  _




    Prepared By:     William C. Thomas _




Naphtha Jet Fuel (cont.):




          TM    = T0    - 423,000(1.57-0.578)

            N       N
            WUT     LNyT



                        = 420x10 3Kg




          Tc    - T.,    =0  Underground storage tank losses

            N       N
            INUT      UT
          Tc    = 298,000(12.1-4.47)

            N
            W
                = 2.27xl06Kg
          TM    = 298,000(12.1-0)4-298,000(0-4.47)

            w
            WAR

                - 2.27xl06Kg
          Tc    - T.T    =  (2.27-2.27)xl06

            N       N
            LNAR     W
                        = 0  aircraft refueling




Aviation Gasoline:




          The aviation gasoline transfer industry is projected  to

experience a negative growth.  Model IV 's calculational  framework


is not suited to accurately express T^ and T., when an industry  is


declining.  Therefore, the following equations are used  to  calculate

T  and T.
                               B-36

-------
CORPORATION
    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55

       Subject:    Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)	

    Prepared By:   William C. Thomas	

Aviation Gasoline (cont.):

          TN = Ts = ES(A'+C')  where C' < 0

This equation is valid only when C' < 0 and |CJ-B' > 0

          From the information in Section 7.0 of the main text,
the states of CT, PA, VA, KY, OH, WI, TX, NM, and CO and
Washington, DC have emission regulations that would require vapor
recovery systems for loading aviation gasoline into tank trucks
and rail cars.  In 1972, the areas affected by these regulations
handled 15.970 of the total bulk facilities' sales of aviation
gasoline (US-417).   Therefore, this same percentage is assumed
to apply to the bulk terminal and stations and refinery truck/
rail loadings in 1985.   To account for this in the calculation of
Tg and TN, a hybrid Eg is calculated

          1975 total T/R loading - 5.16
          1975 refinery and bulk facilities T/R loading - 4.03
          1975 loading with vapor recovery - 0.159x4.03 = 0.641

            E0 - 0.641 x 28,700 -1- 4.52 x 345,000 = 306,000
             S    5.16            37T6"
          TM     = Tc    = 306,000(5.16-2.21)
                         = 903x10 3Kg
                               B-37

-------
 RADIAN
 CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319.  Task  55

      Subject:    Calculation of Tg-TN  (cont.)	
   Prepared By:     William C. Thomas
Aviation Gasoline  (cont.):
                 - TN     =0  truck/rail  loading  of  aviation
            -T/R     GT/R      gasoline
                            115,000(0.523-0.225)

                            34.3xl03Kg
                 - T..     =0  Tanker/barge  loading  of  aviation
            GT/B     GT/B      gasoline
                 - TQ     » 575,000(0.569-0.244)
                    °p
                     UFRT
                          = 187x103Kg

          Tf,     - TTT     =0  Fixed roof  tank working  losses
           o /•*      . IN y-i
          TM    = Tc    = 534,000(2.24-0.96)
           JN^-i       /^

                        = 684x103Kg

          TS    - TN    =0  Underground storage  tank  losses
                               B-38

-------
CORPORATION





    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55


       Subject:    Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)	



    Prepared By:  	William C. Thomas	


Aviation Gasoline (cont.):



          T0    = 574,000(2.24-0.96)

            GAR



          Tc    = 735x103Kg

            GAR
          TN    = 574,000(2.24-0)+574,000(0+(-0.96))
           *• p
            GAR
          TM    = 735x103Kg
           V1
            GAR
GAR     GAR
                        = (735-735)xl03



                        = 0  Aircraft refueling
                              B-39

-------
CORPORATION
    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55
       Subject:
    Prepared By:
Calculation of Tg-TN (cont.)
William C. Thomas
The following table summarizes the T<,-TN calculations .
   Emission Source

  Crude Oil
    Production
    T/R Loading
    T/B Loading
  TOTAL
      TQ,  Kg
     176xl06
     3.53x106
     13.8x106
     193x106
TN, Kg      (TS-TN), Kg
173xl06
2.33x106
3.20x106
178x106
3x106
1.20x106
10.6x106
14.8x106
  Kerosine Jet Fuel
    T/R Loading
    T/B Loading
    Fixed Roof Tanks
    Underground Tanks
    Aircraft Refueling
  TOTAL

  Naphtha Jet Fuel

  Aviation Gasoline
63. 3x10 3
3. 6x10 3
203x10 3
106x10 3
214x10 3
590x10 3


35. 3x10 3
2. 7x10 3
9 3x10 3
55. 7x10 3
2 14x10 3
401x10 3


28. 0x10 3
0.9xl03
110x10 3
50. 3x10 3
--
189x10 3
0
0
                              B-40

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RADIAN

CORPORATION
   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No.  68-02-1319, Task 55




      Subject:     Calculation of TA    _





   Prepared By:    William C. Thomas _
          TA
Therefore, using the values of A" and Eg listed on pages B-27


and B-28,
Crude Oil:
          TA      - 485x259,000 = 126xl06Kg

            G
             prod
          TA     - 12.8x241,000 = 3.08xl06Kg
          T.     = 47.8x80,400 = 3.84xl06Kg
Kerosine Jet Fuel:
          TA     = 27.1x1,900 = 51.5xl03Kg
          TA     = 6.2x635 = 3.9xl03Kg
                               B-41

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CORPORATION






    Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55



       Subject-     Calculation of T. (cont.)




    Prepared By:    William C. Thomas	



Kerosine Jet Fuel (cont.):




          TA     = 42.4x3,170 = 134x103Kg

            KFRT




          T     - 17.0x4,440 = 75.5xl03Kg
          TA    = 45.9x3,170 = 146x103Kg

            KAR




Naphtha Jet Fuel:




          TA     = 18.8x180,000 = 3.38xl06Kg

            NT/R
          T.     = 1.54x59,700 = 0.09x105Kg

           "•
          TA     = 8.60x300,000 = 2.58xl06Kg

            N
            1NFRT
          TA    = 1.57x423,000 = 0.66xl06Kg

            N
            1NUT
          TA    = 12.1x298,000 = 3.61xl06Kg

            N
            W
                               B-42

-------
CORPORATION






   Computation Sheet For EPA Contract No. 68-02-1319, Task 55



      Subject:     Calculation of TA (cont.)	




   Prepared By:    William C. Thomas	



Aviation Gasoline:
          TA     = 5.16x345,000 = 1.78x106Kg
            p
            GT/R -
          TA     - 0.523x115,000 = 0.06x106Kg

            GT/B



          TA     = 0.569x575,000 = 0.33x106Kg
          T.    = 2.24x534,000 = 1. 20x10 6Kg
                = 2.24x574,000 = 1. 29x10 6Kg

            GUT
                              B-43

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CORPORATION
                           APPENDIX C
                          BIBLIOGRAPHY

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 RADIAN
 CORPORATION
                          BIBLIOGRAPHY

AM-039    American Petroleum Inst., Div. of Refining, Petrochemical
          Evaporation Loss from Storage Tanks, API Bull. 2523,
          N.Y., 1969.

AM-085    American Petroleum Inst., Evaporation Loss Committee,
          Evaporation Loss from Tank Cars, Tank Trucks, and Marine
          Vessels, Bull. 2514, Washington, D.C., 1959.

AM-087    American Petroleum Inst., Evaporation Loss Committee,
          Evaporation Loss from Fixed-Roof Tanks,  Bull. 2518,
          Washington, D.C., 1962.

AM-107    American Petroleum Inst., Evaporation Loss Committee,
          Evaporation Loss from Floating-Roof Tanks.  Bull. 2517,
          Washington, D.C., 1962.

AM-132    American Petroleum Institute, Statistics Dept., Annual
          Statistical Review, Petroleum Industry Statistics,  1965-
          1974, Washington, D.C., May 1975.

AT-040    Atmospheric Emissions from Petroleum Refineries,  A
          Guide for Measurement and Control, PHS No. 763,
          Washington, D.C., Public Health Service, 1960.

BU-169    Burklin, Clinton E., et al., Study of Vapor Control
          Methods for Gasoline Marketing Operations, 2 vols.,
          Radian Project No.  200-045-087, EPA Contract No.  68-02-
          1319, Task 7, EPA 450/3-75.046 a,b, Austin, TX.,  Radian
          Corporation, May 1975.

CH-159    Chass, Robert L., et.  al., "Emissions from Underground
          Gasoline Storage Tanks", J.  APCA 13_ (11), 524 (1963).

                                C-l

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 CO-424     Commerce  Clearing  House Editorial  Staff,  1976  U.S.  Master
           Tax  Guide.  59th  edition,  Chicago,  111..  Commerce  Clearing
           House,  Inc.,  1975.

 DA-069     Danielson,  John  A.,  comp.  and  ed.,  Air Pollution
           Engineering Manual,  2nd ed., AP-40.   Research  Triangle
           Pk., N.C.,  EPA,  Office  of Air  & Water Programs, 1973.

 DE-202     Devine, Matt, Private Communication,  Allied  Fueling,
           March 17, 1976.

 EL-104     Elliot, George,  Private  Communication, Allied  Fueling,
           May  11, 1976.

GR-235    Grundy, E. T., Private Communication, Gulf Oil Company,
          April 6, 1976.

HE-187    Henderson, Cliff, Private Communication,  Amoco Oil Co.,
          Marketing Division, April  7, 1976.

HO-244    Hopper, Thomas G. and William  A. Marrone, Impact  o_f New
           Source Performances Standards  on 1985 National Emissions
           from Stationary  Sources,  Volume I,  Final Report,  Main Text
           and Appendices I through  III.  Contract No.  68-02-1382,
           Task No. 3, Wethersfeld,  Conn., TRC,  The Research Cor-
           poration of New  England,  Oct.  1975.

 MS-001     MSA  Research  Corp., Hydrocarbon Pollutant Systems Study,  -
           Vol.  !_, Stationary Sources, Effects  and Control,  PB-
           219-073, APTD 1499, Evans  City, PA.,  1972.

 NA-303     National Petroleum News,  Fact  Book,  Mid-May  1975, NY,
           McGraw-Hill.  1975.
                               C-2

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CORPORATION
ST-381    Stanford Research Institute, Western Regional Energy
          Development Study: Economics,  Tools, draft report,
          Contract No. EQ5AC007, EQ5AC008, SRI Project 4000, Menlo
          Pk.,  CA.,  Dec.,  1975.

ST-407    Stoddard, Bryon,  Private Communication,  Shell Oil  Co.,
          Marketing Engineering Division, April  6,  1976.

US-C31    U.S.  Dept.  of Commerce,  Bureau of the Census, 1967 Census
          p_f Business. Vol.  Ill, Wholesale Trade Subject Reports,
          Washington,  GPO, 1971.

US-417    U.S.  Dept.  of Commerce,  Bureau of Census, 1972 Census p_f
          Wholesale Trade, Petroleum Bulk Stations and Terminals,
          WC72-S-2,  Washington, D.C.,  October, 1975.

US-418    U.S.  Dept.  of Transportation,  Federal Aviation Admin.,
          FAA Statistical  Handbook of Aviation, Calendar Year 1974.
          Washington,  D.C.,  GPO, 1975.

US-419    U.S.  Dept.  of Interior,  Bureau of Mines, Division of
          Fuels Data,  Crude Petroleum, Petroleum Products and
          Natural Gas Liquids,  March 1975, Mineral Industry Surveys,
          Petroleum Statement,  Monthly,  Washington, D.C.,  July 1975.

US-420    U.S.  Dept.  of Interior,  Bureau of Mines, Division of
          Fuels Data,  Crude Petroleum, Petroleum Products,  and
          Natural Gas Liquids,  April 1975, Minerals Industry
          Surveys, Petroleum Statement,  Monthly,  Washington,  D.C.,
          August, 1975.
                                C-3

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CORPORATION
US-421    U.S. Dept. of Interior, Bureau of Mines, Division of
          Fuels Data, Crude Petroleum, Petroleum Products, and
          Natural Gas Liquids, Dec. 1975, Mineral Industry Surveys,
          Petroleum Statement, Monthly, Washington, D.C., April 1976,

VA-129    Van Cleave, K.W.,  Private Communications, Allied Aviation,
          March 16, 1976.
                               C-4

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