OMES
              Volume III-F
            Special Study Repo
 Energy Transportation/Distribution
      in  the Ohio River Basin
              Michael Rieber
       University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
              May 15, 1977
               PHASE I
OHIO RIVER DASIN EKERGY STUDY

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       OHIO RIVER BASIN ENERGY STUDY
               Volume III-F
           SPECIAL STUDY REPORT
   ENERGY TRANSPORTATION/DISTRIBUTION IN
           THE OHIO RIVER BASIN
              Michael Rieber

University of Illinois at Urbana-Chaitipaign




               May 15, 1977
                        Prepared for
                        Office of Energy, Minerals,
                          and Industry
                        Office of Research and
                          Development
                        U.S. Environmental Protection
                          Agency
                        Washington, D.C.
                        Grant Number R804816-01-0

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                            CONTENTS


1.  INTRODUCTION	I1I-F-1

2.  BARGE	 .lii-F-3

    2.1  INTRODUCTION.	 ...... .lll-F-3

    2.2  BARGE TRAtFIC (COAL)	JLII-F-3

    2.3  ORBES REGION RIVER DESCRIPTIONS	 .II1-F-20

         2.3.1  ILLINOIS VMATERwAY.	III-F-20
         2.3.2  OHIO RIVER.	 III-F-23
         2.3.3  GREEN AND BARREN RIVERS	III-F-26
         2.3.4  KANAWHA RIVER	III-F-26
         2.3.5  KCNCWGAHEIA RIVER	.III-F-26
         2.3.6  ALLEGHENY RIVER	III-F-3fe)
         2.3.7  TENNESSEE RIVER	 .III-F-30

    2.4  COAL BARGE OPERATION	III-F-32

    2.5  BARGE LINE-HAUL COSTS	 . III-F-34

    2.6  BARGE ORIGIN-DESTINATION COSTS	III-F-43

3.  UNIT TRAINS-COAL SLURRY PIPELINES	III-F-51

    3.1  UNIT TRAINS	III-F-51

         3.1.1  INTRODUCTION	.III-F-51
         3.1.2  UNIT TRAIN COSTS	III-F-52

    3.2  COAL SLURRY PIPELINES	 .II1-F-60

         3.2.1  INTRODUCTION	III-F-60
         3.2.2  COST ESTIMATE	III-F-61

4.  UNIT TRAIN-COAL SLURR1' PIPELINE
           COS!1 COMPARISONS	III-F-69

5.  EXIRA HIGH VOLTAGE TRANSMISSION.	III-F-73

    5.1  INTRODUCTION	 .III-F-73

    5.2  EHV COS1S	III-F-73



                             III-F-i

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6.  COAL GATttERINGAilSTRIBUTION - TRUCKS
      AND CONVEYOR BELTS	III-F-79

    6.1  INTRObUCTlON.	III-F-79

    6.2  COST ANALYSES		  .III-F-80

         6.2.1  CONVEYOR BELTS	III-F-80
         6.2.2  TRUCK TRANSPORT. .	  .III-F-84
                            111-F-ii

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                             TABLES
IIl-t-1.   OR6ES REGION RIVER TRAFFIC:   PERCENTAGE
             OF lOi'AL TRAFFIC. .  .'.  .  ...  .	III-F-4
1II-F-2.   ILLINOIS WATERWAY LOCKS AND DAMS'.  ......  .1II-F-22
II1-F-3.   OHIO RIVER LuCKS AND  DAMS.  . ..  ...  . .  .  .  .III-F-24
IIl-Fr4.   GREEN AND BARREN  RIVER LOCKS AND DAMS. .  .  .  .III-F-27
II1-F-5.   KANAWHA RIVER LOCKS AND DM'jS	.III-F-28
I1I-F-6.   MONONGAHELA RIVER LOCKS AND DAMS.	III-F-29
III-F-7.   ALLEGHENY RIVER LOCKS AND DAMS	  .III-F-31
III-F-8.   TENNESSEE RIVER LOCKS AND DAMS.	III-F-33
II1-F-9.   HOURLY OWNERSHIP AND OPERATING COSTS,
             TOWBOATS AND BARGES BY SIZE
             AND WATERWAY	  .1II-F-36
III-F-10.  ORIGIN-DESTINATION PAIRS-BARGE TRANSPORT.  .  .  .III-F-44
III-F-11.  RAIL/BARGE MIXED MODE COSTS,
            SELECTED O.D. PAIRS. . . .  . .  .  .  ...  .  .  .III-F-47
in-F-12.  GENERALIZED uRBES RIVER COSTS .  .  .  .  . .  .  .  .m-F-48
I1I-F-13.  ESTIMATED RIVER CHARGES
             FOR LOCKS AND DAMS.	III-F-49
III-F-14.  MODEL COST ASSUMPTIONS. 	  .III-F-54
III-F-15.  ITEMIZED CAPITAL COSTS OF BLACK  MESA AND
             WYOMING-ARKANSAS COAL SLURRY PIPELINES.  .  .  .III-F-62
III-F-16.  COAL TRANSPORT-IMPORT COSTS-ORIGIN-
             DESTINATION PAIRS-UNIT COSTS,  RAIL
             AND COAL SLURRY	III-F-70
III-F-17.  EHV ROUTE SPECIFIC COSTS	III-F-75
II1-F-18.  COAL TRANSPORT COSTS,
             TRUCKS Aid CONVEYOR BELTS	III-F-81
III-F-19.  2k~i FACTORIAL DESIGN	III-F-83
III-F-20.  FUEL PRICE RELATIVES. ...  	  .  .  .III-F-86
                            III-F-iii

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                            FIGURES
III-F-1.  1975 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC. . . . .... . .III-F-5
III-F-2.  1980 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC. . . . ...  . . .III-F-8
III-F-3.  1990 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC	 . .II1-F-10
II1-F-4.  GREEN RIVER COAL TRAFFIC.	III-F-12
III-F-5.  KANAWHA RIVER COAL TRAFFIC	II1-F-13
I1I-F-6.  ALLEGHENY RIVER COAL TRAFFIC.	 . .III-F-14
III-F-7.  MONONGAHELA RIVER COAL TRAFFIC	 .III-F-15
III-F-8.  ILLINOIS WATERWAY COAL TRAFFIC. . . ...  . . .III-F-17
III-F-9.  COS1S (S/TON), 750 MILES, AT VARYING
            TONNAGES, TRAIN SPEEDS AND BOTTLENECKS.  .. . .III-F-55
I1I-F-10. COST1 EFFECT OF BOTTLENECKS ($/TON) ,
            25 MMTY, AT VARYING DISTANCES ....... .III-F-56
III-F-11. COST' EFFECT' OF A 10 PERCENT BOTTLENECK
            ($/TON) AT VARYING MILEAGES ....... . .III-F-57
III-F-12. BOTTLENECK EFFECTS ON $/TON AT VARYING
            OPERATING CONDITIONS, 25MMTY, 250 MILES. . . III-F-58
III-F-13. BO1TLENECK EFFECTS GN $/'iON AT VARYING
            OPERATING CONDITIONS, 25MMTY, 500 MILES. . . III-F-59
III-F-14. UNIT COST-COAL SLURRY PIPELINES
            (jZf/T/MILE) . . . .	 .III-F-65
III-F-15. UNIT COSr-COAL SLURRY PIPELINES ($/'ION) .  . . .III-F-66
III-F-16. ESTIMATED UNIT COST OF EHV TRANSMISSION .  . . .III-F-77
                            III-F-iv

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                               1.  mTRQDDCTICK
     This study is based  on,  and  is  an  extension  of,  previous  research
contracted  at  the  Center  for  Advanced  Computation  of  the University of
Illinois at Urbana-Champaign [see references 1-9] .  Transportation  costs  are
developed  for the movement of fuels to and within the Ohio River Basin Energy
Study (ORBES) region.  Primary emphasis is placed on the movement of  coal  as
the  major  fuel indigenous to the region.  Similarly, major emphasis has been
placed on barge transport, both because the region was originally described in
terms  of  the Ohio River watershed, and because the early siting areas tended
to counties along the waterway.  As in all of our previous  work,  engineering
and  technological  data form the bases for the costing and economic analyses.
The cost basis  includes  all  necessary  processing,  loading  and  unloading
facilities needed for transport by each mode.  Cost optimality and the ability
to increase capacity are emphasized.

     Given the renewed emphasis on coal utilization, both in  national  energy
policy  and  in the ORBES region, comparative transport costs play a key role.
Mis-statement of these costs, and transport prices far  in  excess  of  costs,
yield results which not only imply a social loss, but help determine that coal
may be produced in the wrong location and moved by a  cost  inefficient  mode.
Because  of  relative distance to the major markets, western coal, in spite of
its lower cost of production, did not become a major market factor  until  the
mandates  of  air  pollution  control became effective.  Western coals tend to
have a higher ash and moisture content as well  as  a  lower  Btu  and  sulfur
content  than  eastern  coals   [10,11,12,13,14].   Because of the Btu content,
however, much of the western reserves may not meet EPA  new  source  standards
     Air pollution control regulations are essentially based on sulfur content
per  million  Btu's.  Coal buyers are concerned not only with sulfur emissions
but with Btu's per ton, moisture content  (which tends to  derate  facilities),
and  with  ash  content   (which  results  in  removal  costs).   In  terms  of
transportation, both moisture and ash content  represent  unuseable  tonnages.
Thus,  the  advantages  of western coal are sulfur content and relative mining
costs.   The  disadvantages  are  ash,  moisture,  Btu  content  and  relative
transport  costs  in  terms of both cost per ton mile and cost per million Btu
(MMBtu) .  If the advantages are not  sufficiently  great,  washing,  flue  gas
aesulfurization  and other, more remote, means of utilizing eastern coals such
as liquefaction, and fluidized bed  combustion  will  reduce  the  market  for
western coals.  At a given level of energy demand, more of it will be supplied
from local eastern sources.

     Transportation prices are a major component in determining the  east-west
coal   interface.   The  higher these prices, the less will be the advantage of
western coals.  Indeed, for any given coal production costs,  the  higher  are
transport costs the lower will be the demand for coal from any source.  If the
costs  are high relative to other fuels, the share  of  coal  in  total  energy
demand will  decline.   If all fuel costs rise, the demand for coal and other
energy fuels will either fall or rise more slowly than the rate prior  to  the
cost increase.

                               III-F-1

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     This analysis is cost based.  The estimates presented  are  not  existing
tariffs,  rates  or  prices.   Rather  than  start with prices to determine or
justify costs, in the manner of a rate hearing, an  engineering  and  facility
basis  is used to determine costs of operation to the supplier of the service.
There is a significant difference between costs and prices.  To the recipient,
all  that  goes into the coal before purchase is a part of the price that must
be paid.  These prices contain not only the costs of producing the service but
profits  and  elements  of  monopoly.  Costs do not determine price.  They do,
however, determine the level below which  long  run  prices  cannot  go.   For
evaluation  purposes  the  advantages  of  using  costs rather than prices are
threefold:   (1) the treatment is consistent with the  principles  of  resource
allocation,   (2)  where prices  (tariffs) are significantly in excess of costs,
it is fair to ask why and, perhaps, to seek some form of  correction  and  (3)
they  represent  a de minimus consistent basis on which to compare alternative
modes of transport.  In competitive terms, for a given origin-destination  (O-
D)  pair,  if  one transport mode is less costly than its rival, the tariff or
price charged for the service will probably be similar for  both  modes.   The
less  costly mode need set a price only slightly below that of its higher cost
competitor.  At the limit, however, the lower cost mode can, in the event of a
rate  competition, set a price which its competitor cannot meet over the long-
run without absorbing unacceptable losses.  Again, it is  costs,  rather  than
prices, which are the determining factor.
                                III-F-2

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                                      BARGE
2.1  INTRODUCTION"
     This section  is  an  adaptation  and  continuation  of  work  previously
performed  at  the  Center for Advanced Computation[1].  The previous analysis
has been extended to include representative Ohio River basin ports, and  barge
transportation  costs  for coal in the ORBES region.  The analysis is in terms
of costs,  than prices.


2.2  BARGE TRAFFIC (COAL)


     The distribution of waterway traffic in the  ORBES  region  for  1974  is
found  in Table 2.1.   With the exception of the Illinois River, coal is by far
the largest single commodity transported.  Other energy  products,  except  on
the  Green  River,  account  for roughly an additional 8.5-15 percent of total
commodities transported.  Some care must be  used  with  Table  2.1;  the  row
totals  are  not  additive,  significant  amounts  of traffic on the tributary
rivers come from or flow to the Ohio River.

     Energy fuels tend to be carried  in  dedicated  and/or  integrated  tows,
sometimes because of the specialized nature of the barge, sometimes because of
the volumes and inherent cost savings.  In  terms  of  both  costs  and  river
capacity, integrated full sized tows are low cost.  Therefore, the size of the
"other commodities" traffic is significant.  To  the  extent  that  this  both
increases  at  the  same  rate  as  energy and/or traffic and continues to use
smaller than maximum size tows, river capacities will be  reached  sooner  and
bottlenecks  at  locks and dams will occur earlier than would otherwise be the
case.

     Current and expected coal traffic on the rivers of the ORBES  region  may
be  found  in  Figures  2.1  through  2.8.   These  were derived from computer
printouts supplied by the Army Corps of Engineers and cover  the  period  from
1975  through  1990  [16].  At least visually, shipments from tributary rivers
may be integrated into coal movements on the Ohio River with respect  to  both
tonnage  and  direction.  Similarly, barge related imports and exports of coal
with respect to the ORBES region can be seen.  Again, some care must  be  used
in  an  examination  of  the  figures.   Clearly  the Corps used a generalized
expansion  factor  to  determine  future  expectations.   This  need  not   be
consistent  with  future  ORBES  scenarios.   Developments in coal technology,
shifts in the exogenous variables affecting coal  utilization  may  alter  the
shape  of river traffic patterns.  The patterns do, however, indicate possible
bottleneck areas for the future.  As the figures are  in  terms  of  commodity
flow,  it  must  be  kept  in  mind  that  the  returning, empty, tows are not
indicated.
                               III-F-3

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   TABLE III-F-1.  ORBES Region River Traffic:  Percentaqe of Total Traffic

COAL & LIGNITE
GASOLINE
OTHER FUEL OIL1
SAND & GRAVEL
CRUDE PETROLEUM &
RESIDUAL OIL
CRUDE TAR OIL &
GAS PRODUCTS
CORN & SOYBEANS
OTHER COMMODITIES
TOTAL COMMODITIES
OHIO
48.3
7.3
3.7
12.35
2.9
0.87
1.6
22.98
139,258,864
ILLINOIS GREEN
71.1 98.3
4.1
3.1
5.6
6.7
0.68
23.9 0.45
38.82 1.25
40,978,987 15,639,721
KANAVvHA
45.6
4.8
5.2
12.8
1.7
0.08
-
29.82
12,781,026
ALLEGHENY2
47.6
2.8
3.1
29.5
2.5
-
-
14.5
5,532,052
KONONGAHELA
78.0
2.6
2.8
4.1
2.4
0.63
-
9.47
38,265,899
  (in Tons 1974)


   Other fuel oil consists of  (1) jet fuel,  (2) kerosene, and  (3) distillate fuel oil.



2
   Pittsburgh to East Brady




 Source:  U.S. Array, Corps of  Engineers, viaterborne  Commerce  ot  the  United

          States, Calendar Year  1974.
                                       III-f-4

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       FIGURE III-F-1
TONS (MILLION)
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1 1
12
13
-
-
| 	 1 •< 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION
I 	
- H
- J
-
-
950 900 850 800
i i i i
CARC152-152-, KI 4o I'l GREEN
bl 50 U RIVER
L-,
-
_
-
-
-
-
-
-
r~

MILES
750 700 650 6OO 550 5OO 450
i i i i i ii
ii it
N C MC MA CINCINNATI
LOUISVILLE









U
-
   SHIPMENT DIRECTION
1975  OHIO  RIVER COAL TRAFFIC
             III-F-5

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FIGURE  III-F-1  (Continued)
                                       TONS (MILLION)












^— J




-
« 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION





MILES
400 350 30O 250 2OO 150
E GR






G R B W H
KANAWHA
RIVER
HUNTINGTON



1
1 1


L





-,
L

100


r-J"1


50
1





-
~
-
-
-
0
P NC M °"^
ALQUIPPA* PlITT


^


r-T~^
	 1



-
-
SHIPMENT DIRECTION 	 »>






























•
-
-
-
-
_
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
II
12
13
         1975  OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC
             III-F-6

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                      FIGURE III-F-1    (Continued)
                          Ohio River Locks and Darns
Lock and Dam Name                 Abbreviation

53                                     53
52                                     52
51                                     51
50                                     50
Uniontown                              U
wewburgh                               tsi
Cannelton                              C
Me Alpine                              MC
Markland                               MA
Meldahl                              •  ME
Green up                                GR
Gallipolis                             G
Racine                                 R
Belleville                             B
Willow Island                          W
Hannibal                               H
Pike Island                            P
New Cumberland                         NC
Montgomery                             M
DashieIds                              D
Emsworth                               E
                               III-F-7

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          FIGURE  III-F-2
TONS
II
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
IO
II
12
13
14
•
•
-
-
m
•
•

(MILLION)
















95O


~l_




9OO
i
• '53 '52 '51
CAIRO <
.
•
-
-
-
-
-
•

















4 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION


	 r


85O 800
i i
50 ,',
PADUCAH GR
RP








U 	








1
I
MILES
75O 700 650 60O 550 500 450
i i i i i i i
"N ' ' '
EEN C "^LOUISVILLE CINCINNATI



(-





u
^LiiomirdiT rvir^^^»Ti/Mii 	 *.
1980 OHIO RIVER COAL  TRAFFIC
              III-F-8

-------
FIGURE III-F-2  (Continued)















TONS (MILLIC
-« 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION







n
I












n 	



pT

—




MILES
40O 35O 30O 25O 20O ISO
i i i t i i
i i
E GR


t ID I i ui
G K B W M 14
KANAWHA
RIVER
HUNTINGTON


1



100 5O
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
13 'P NC M °' '5
ALQUIPPA •
PITT *





-
SHIPMENT DIRECTION 	 »












-
-
1980 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC


















-
-
_
N)
II
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
II
12
13
14
             III-F-9

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 FIGURE III-F-3
TONS
14
13
12
II
10
9
e
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
e
9
10
II
12
13
14
15
16
17
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
;
-
-
(MILLION)























| 	 1






950 9OO
1 1
•
63
CAIRO
-
-
-
^
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-























52 '51
PADUCA














< 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION







850 8OO
1 f
5°49U c
H F
u











r



i
MILES
750 TOO 650 600 550 500 45O
i i i i i i i
jREEN6- ^ M'C M'A ' CINCINNATI
IIVER • LOUISVILLE







SHIPMENT DIRECTION 	 »





u
1990 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC




   III-F-10

-------
FIGURE III-F-3  (Continued)
TONS (MILLION)
















-
•* 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION

n







400 35O 300
E GR
HUNT












G1
















MILES
250 200 150
1 1 1




L,











100




J
r


50
-








KANAWHA'B w H'i4 13 P NC M13'*1
RIVER PITT
ALQUIPPA •





1








—

\



n









-
-
-
-
-
-
.
0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
SHIPMENT DIRECTION 	 *•












-
-
1990 OHIO RIVER COAL TRAFFIC




-







-
..
14
13
12
II
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
II
12
13
14
15
16
17
           III-F-11

-------
TONS (MILLION)
13
12
II
10
9
8
H
V
t 6
10 5
4
3
2
1
0
•

•
-
•
-
0







20 40
4 	 SHIPMENT 01




MILES
60 80 100 120 140 160 0
RECTION






20 40
* 1
1 - NO. 1 L. 8 D.
II - NO. II L. a 0.
Ill- NO. Ill L. a D.
IV - NO. IV L. a 0.
1 - NO. 1 L.a 0., BAR




MILES
60 80 100 120 140 160 0
REN RIVER






20 49
-
' •
•
'
'
MILES
60 80 iqo 20 40
FIGURE III-!
I




160
1 II III IV 1 1 II III IV 1 1 II III IV 1
,qqO (BARREN 
-------
Ul
        TONS (MiLLION)

        8.0
        7.0
        6.0
        5.0
H      4.0

7
       3.0
       2.0
        1.0
       0.0
                            1990
                                                                     I960
                                                                                        SHIPMENT DIRECTION
W - WINFIELD L. 8 0.
M- MARMET L. 8  0.

L - LONDON L..8 D.
                                                                                                              1975
             0   10  20   W  40  50  60  M  80L  90.6   0   10  20   W 40  50  60  M  80L  90.6    0  10  20   W 40  50  60  M   80 L 906
               MILES                           MILES    MILES                            MILES     MILES                          MILES
                                                                                                                                           H
                                        H
                                        H
                                        H
                                                                                                                                           Ul
                                                    KANAWHA  RIVER  COAL  TRAFFIC

-------
TONS (MILLION)

1.4
1.2

1.0

0.8
0.6

H 04
H
1
? 0.2
i 	 i
*" 00
\s.\s
0.2

0.4
0.6
0.8
1 0
1 .V
1.2

- -
—

.

„


.


•


•

-
•












0













10
2


















MILES
20 30 40 50 60 70
3456 78 9

1990












0
« 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION

2-L.aO. 2
3 - L. 8 D. 3
4 - L. a D. 4
5 - L. a D. 5
6 - L.a 0. 6







10
2














7-L. 80. 7
8- L.a D. 8
9 - L.a 0.9



MILES
20 30 40 50 60 70
• 1 1 II 1 ' •"
3456789

1980










0

.


' ' '•

•







10
I
2





SHIPMENT DIRECTION 	 »










MILES
20 30 40 50 60 70
345678 9
.
1975
-
-
"

-







. 3
cj
H

H
H
H
79 ' 1
f £ I







ALLEGHENY  RIVER  COAL TRAFFIC

-------
       FIGURE  III-F-7
MONONGAHELA  RIVER  COAL TRAFFIC
TONS (MILLION) 7 - NO. '
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
II
IO
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
PITT 0
1
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
—
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-


1 	
8 - NO.
— i 15 - NO.
H 	








CL/E - CLA










*—






MILES 1 	
0 20 40 60 8O 1001 I2O
i i i i ill
1 i ' ' i A
2 3 '4 5 I
CL/E M/
I9£
6 7 8 M H 0 15
\
10
         0 - OPEKISKA L. a D.
         H - HILDEBRAND L. ft D.
         M - MORGANTOWN L. ft D.
        MA - MAXWELL L. 8 D.
         2 - NO. 2  L.  6 D.
         3 - NO. 3  L.  a D.
         4 - NO. 4  L. a D.
         5 - NO. 5  L. 8 D.
         6 - NO. 6  L. 8 D.
                    a D.
                      SHIPMENT DIRECTION
                                    MILES
                          0  2O  4O . 60  80
                                                  120
                      PITT
                                     5 | 6   78MHOI5
                                     MA
                                    1975
     SHIPMENT DIRECTION
            III-F-15

-------
           FIGURE III-F-7   (Continued)
I99O MONONGAHELA  RIVER  COAL TRAFFIC
TONS (MILLION)
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
II
IO
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
PITT 0
-
-
•
•'
•
•
-
-
•
•
•
.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
















0
_2
•* 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION
I L—





























MILES
20 40 60 80








ipjj 120
[•-5 	 J4 '5J 6 78 MHO 15
            CL/E



            SHIPMENT DIRECTION
                        III-F-16

-------
                           FIGURE III-F-8
TONS (MILLION)
3.2
3.0
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
C
SA
(
LG - LA GRANGE L. a 0.
P - PEORIA L. 8 0.
SR - STARVED ROCK L. a D.
M - MARSEILLES L. S 0.
D -DRESDEN ISLAND L. 8 D.
8 - BRANDEN RD. L. 8 D.
L - LOCKPORT L. 8 D.
O'B - T.J. 08RIEN L. 8 0.

•
.
•
•
-
-
-


1

^ 	 3M







iriYltN 1 UINC.I*I1UN












O'B L, ,8 D M SR P L
NCSHIP '3°° 2°° '0°
:ANAL
G


                                                                GRAFTON
                     SHIPMENT DIRECTION
              ILLINOIS WATERWAY 1975  COAL  TRAFFIC
                              III-F-17

-------
      FIGURE III-F-8  (Continued)
TONS (MILLION)
3.6
3.4
3.2
3.0
2.8
2.6
2.4
22
2.O
1:8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
O.6
O.4
0.2
00
S

•* 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION
.
-
-
-
-
•
;
-
•
•
•
•
.

1































O'B L, ,B D M SR P LG
CHICAGO '30O 200
AN. SHIP
CANAL
100


                                               O GRAFTON
     SHIPMENT DIRECTION
ILLINOIS WATERWAY  1980  COAL  TRAFFIC
                  III-F-18

-------
      FIGURE  III-F-8   (Continued)
TONS (MILLION)
4.4
4.2
4.0
3.8
3.6
34
3.2
3.0
28
2.6
2.4
2.2
20
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
(
S
•« 	 SHIPMENT DIRECTION
-
-
•
•
-
-
-
•
_
•
-
-
•
-
-
-


1



























O'B L, ,8 0 M SR P L6
:HICAGO 300 200 100
AN. SHIP
CANAL


                                               0GRAFTON
      SHIPMENT DIRECTION
ILLINOIS WATERWAY  1990  COAL  TRAFFIC
                  III-F-19

-------
     River capacity has been estimated for the Ohio River  in  terms  of  coal
traffic  alone  11].   The limiting assumption was made that all other traffic
remains constant.   Given the existing locks and dams, increasing the number of
maximum  sized  tows  capable of transiting the entire river using only double
lockages (15 barges) so that up to 70 million tons  per  year  (MMTY)  may  be
carried  (120 additional tows) is feasible.  An increase of river traffic from
current levels to 120MMTY, involving 2343 additional  tows  is  not  possible.
When  all  of  the  proposed locks and dams are completed the maximum tow size
(with double lockages) will be 30 barges.  Increasing river  coal  traffic  to
70MMTY  will  require  only  60  more tows; to 120MMTY, 1171 more tows will be
involved.  The latter is possible.  However> to the extent  that  other  river
traffic  increases,  and/or  uses small sized tows, the feasibility of greatly
increased river traffic is suitably diminished.  It would appear that rail  or
other  transport  modes for the movement of coal will be a major factor in the
region served by the Ohio River.


2.3  ORBES REGION RIVER DESCRIPTIONS


     Costing of barge transportation depends heavily on the characteristics of
the  river.   Therefore  a brief set of river descriptions has been developed.
Those for the Ohio, Illinois and Tennessee Rivers  are  taken  from  reference
[1], the remainder have been developed for this study.


     2.3.1  ILLINOIS WATERVvAY

            The Illinois River is formed by the confluence of the Kankakee and
Des  Plaines  Rivers.  It flows southwesterly and enters the Mississippi River
at Grafton, Illinois, about 38 miles above St. Louis.  The  Illinois  Waterway
comprises  the  Illinois  River  from  its  mouth  at Graf ton 273 miles to the
confluence of the Kankakee and Des Plaines  Rivers;  18.1  miles  on  the  Des
Plaines  River  to  Lockport  and  34.5 miles on the Chicago Sanitary and Ship
Canal and the  South  Branch  of the Chicago River to  Lake  Street,  Chicago.
From a point 12.4 miles above Lockport, the waterway also comprises  23.8 miles
of the Calumet-Sag Channel and Little Calumet and Calumet  Rivers  to  turning
basin  5,  near the entrance to Lake Calumet; and the Grand Calumet River from
the junction, 9 miles to 141st Street and .4.2 miles  to  Clark  Street,  Gary,
Indiana.   The  total  mileage  of  the entire waterway is approximately 353.6
miles  [17,p.30-6].


Channel Dimension:

            Channel depth is maintained at a minimum of 9 feet at  all  times.
From  Lockport  to  Chicago Harbor the minimum depth is approximately 17 feet.
The channel is 300' wide from Grafton to Lockport; 160' wide from Lockport  to
Chicago Harbor and 60' wide from Lockport to Calumet Harbor  [17,p.30-6].
                               III-F-20

-------
oiavigation Season:

            The navigation season can  be  regarded  as  year  round  although
traffic  can  experience some delays in January and February when parts of the
river nay ice up especially during extremely cold weather.
Locks:

            Table 2.2 shows  the  existing  locks  on  the  Illinois  Waterway
together with their estimated original cost [17,p.30-37].
Navigation Constraints:

            Navigation on the waterway is limited by the size of the  existing
locks which limit the size of tows to 15 barges for a tow that requires double
lockage.  The 1962 Authorization Bill which provided for the  construction  of
auxiliary locks at LaGrange, Peoria, Starved Rock, Marseilles, Dresden Island,
Brandon Road and Lockport, and which would have reduced congestion to a  large
degree,  has  not  yet been implemented.  Construction has not begun on any of
these locks.  The new locks were to have cost $629.8 million in  1973  dollars
[18,p.1-12].   However,  detailed  engineering costs estimated by the Corps of
Engineers, suggest that the first two alone will cost almost one-half  of  the
amount  quoted  for all seven [18,p.6-2fa].  Inflating the 1973 figures to 1976
levels and adjusting on the basis of the two detailed  studies  suggests  that
projected  costs may be as much as $1.2 billion [17,p.30-6].  Another limiting
factor is the many bridges on the  waterway.   In  1973,  limiting  horizontal
clearances were as follows:  118 feet at a bridge in the reach from Grafton to
Utica, Illinois; 110 feet at bridges between Utica and Lockport  and  the  Sag
Junction; 80 feet at mile 293.1 between Lockport and the Sag Junction; 80 feet
at a bridge between the  Sag  Junction  and  Lake  Michigan  via  the  Chicago
Sanitary  Canal  and  Chicago River; and 67.0 feet at a bridge between the Sag
Junction and turning basin 5 in the Calumet  River  [17,p.30-6].   The  narrow
channel  upstream  of Lockport is a major capacity constraint for shipments to
and from Chicago.

            On the average, towboats are of the  2,600  horsepower  class  and
tows average about eight barges.  They average four in the Chicago area due to
congestion and horizontal restrictions  [19,p.IV-15].  Maximum tow size  is  15
barges.   According  to the Corps of Engineers, the average tow speed is about
4.1 mph loaded, 4.8 mph empty and 4.0 mph at all times in the Chicago area.
                               II1-F-21

-------
             TABLE III-F-2.  Illinois Waterway Locks and Dams
              Miles
Lock
LaGrange
Aux.
Peoria
Aux.
Starved .Rock
Aux.
Marseilles
Aux.
Dresden Is.
Aux.
Brandon Rd.
Aux.
Lockport
Aux.
Above
Mouth
80.2
80.2
157.7
157.7
231.0
231.0
244.6
244.6
271.5
271.5
286.6
286.0
291.1
291.1
Width of
Chamber
(ft)
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
116
110
110
110
110
110
Chamber
Length
(ft)
600
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
1200
Year
Completed
1939
1939
1933
1933
1933
1933
1933
Estimated
Federal Cost
2,774,592
55,328,000
3,381,030
55,882,000
885,315
57,569,000
57,569,000
1,853,725
2,503,376
46,056,000
2,031,683
53,634,000
133,608
83,759,000
T.J. O'Brien  326.5
110
1000
6,954,700
Source:  [17,p.30-37]
Note:  Construction on none of the auxiliary locks has been started.
                                III-F-22

-------
     2.3.2  OHIO RIVER

            The Ohio River is formed by the  junction  of  the  Allegheny  and
wonogahela   Rivers   at   Pittsburgh,   Pennsylvania,   and  flows  generally
southwesterly for 981 miles to join the Mississippi River near Cairo, Illinois
117,p. 22-1].

            Channel depth is maintained at  9  feet  for  the  entire  length.
Channel width varies from 100 feet to 600 feet [17,p.22-1].
Navigation Season:

            Navigation is possible year-round.


Locks:

            Ihe 1909 Act provided for a lock with usable dimensions of 110' by
600'  at  each  of the dams located on the river with an auxiliary lock Sb' by
360' at the Emsworth, Dashields, Montgomery, and McAlpine locks and  dams  and
with  a  110'  by 360' auxiliary lock at Galipolis.  Modifications to the 1909
Act provided for fixed dams with movable crests and with two  locks  (110'   by
1,200'  and  110'  by  600')  at New Cumberland, Pike Island, Hannibal, Willow
Island, Belleville, Racine, Greenup, Meldahl, Markland,  Cannelton,  Newburgh,
uniontown, and Mound City; two locks 110' by 1200' at Smithland; 100' by 1200'
temporary locks in addition to the existing locks at locks and dams 52 and 53;
and  reconstruction  to  provide  a 110' by 1200' lock in addition to existing
locks  [17, p.22-1].  Table 2.3 is a listing of the locks and their  status  at
the end of 1976 [17,p.22-8,9, as adjusted].  Navigation Constraints:

            On stretches where the 110' by 1200'  locks  exist,  tow  size  is
limited  to  the  size that can double lock  (i.e., thirty 195' by 35' barges).
In the lower reaches of the Ohio between 776 miles below Pittsburgh to  Cairo,
where  construction  of  110' by 1200' locks intended to replace smaller locks
has been delayed, tow size is still limited to the size that can double lock a
110'  by  600' lock, that is, fifteen 195' by 35' barges.  According the Corps
of Engineers, average tow speed on the river is 4.8 mph  loaded  and  6.2  mph
empty.  Low water occasionally delays tows or causes them to be loaded to less
than full capacity.  Anticipated future industrial and other  developments  in
the  Ohio  River  drainage basin may put pressure of water use for navigation.
Recycling water for lockages, by  pumping,  has  been  suggested,  but  it  is
costly.
                               III-F-23

-------
TftBLE III-F-3. Ohio River Locks and Dams
Lock
Emsworth
Dashields
Montgomery
New Cumberland
Pike Island
Hannibal
Mo. 15
No. 16
toil low Island
No. 17
Belleville
Racine
Gallipolis
Green up
Meldahl
Markland
Miles
Below
Pittsburgh
6.2
13.3
31.7
54.4
84.3
126.4
129.1
146.5
161.7
167.5
203.9
237.5
279.2
341.0
436.2
531.5
Vvidth of
Chambers
(ft)
110
56
110
56
110
56
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
Length
(ft)
600
360
600
360
600
360
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
600
600
1200
600
600
1200
600
1200
600
600
360
1200
600
1200
600
1200
600
Year
Completed
1921
1929
1936
1959
1963
1976
1916
1917
-
-------
         TABLE III-F-3.
Ohio River Locks ana Dams
 (Continued)


Lock
McAlpine

Cannelton
LNO. 46
iSiewburgh
NO. 47
MO. 46
wo. 49
Uniontown
wo. 50
No. 51
Smith land
NO. 52
No. 53
Mound City
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
Miles
Below

Width Of
Pittsburqh Chambers
(it)
604.4

720.7
757.3
776.1
111.1
809.6
845.0
846.0
876.8
903.1
918.5
938. y
962.6
974.2
94% completed in
96% completed in
96% completed in
94% completed in
57% completed in
construction not
Source: [17, p. 2 2-8 ,9] and
Note: Lock No. 53; the teir
110
110
56
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
110
1976
1976
1976
1976
1976
yet started in 1973.


Length
(it)
12130
600
360
1200
600
600
1200
600
600
600
600
1200
600
600
600
1200
600
600
1200
600
1200
600


Year
Completed
1%1
—
- (2)
1928
- (3)
1928
1922
1928
- (4)
1928
1929
- (5)
1928
1969
1929
- (6)


Estimated
Federal Cost
(S)
45,602,951
—
97,300,000
3,129,026
104,500,000
4,415,526
3,062,710
3,325,964
98,100,000
3,751,762
4,370,566
238,000,000
4,461,747
10,197,518
5,410,668
1,539,470

adjusted by later data.
porary 110' x 1200*
lock was
48% complete
in 1976. It
due for completion in early 1978 at an estimated
As the named locks are completed,  the preceeding
                        federal cost of $37.1 million.
                        numbered locks are eliminated.
                               III-F-25

-------
     2.3.3  GIEEW AND BARREN RIVERS

            The Green River flows  northwesterly  for  370  miles  from  Casey
County, Kentucky to  the Ohio River, at a point about b miles above Evansville,
Indiana.  The Barren River empties into the Green River  one-half  mile  above
Lock  4  (149.5 miles above the mouth of the Green River).  There are six locks
and dams en the Green River and one on the  Barren  River.   These  provide  a
navigable  depth  of 9' and a width of 200" from the Ohio River to mile 103 on
the Green River and a navigable depth of 5.5' from there to mile 197.8 on  the
Green  River  and  from   the  mouth of Barren River to Bowling Green, Kentucky
(mile 30.1 on the Barren  River).  The navigation season  is  year-round  [17].
The locks on the Green and Barren Rivers are shown in Table 2.4.

Navigation Constraints:

            Commercial barge traffic is limited to  the  103  miles  from  the
mouth  of  the  Green River to about 3.2 miles upstream of Paradise, Kentucky.
Above this point, the 5.5' depth  and  the  small  lock  size  eliminates  any
possibility  of major commercial traffic.  According to the Corps of Engineers
the maximum tow size is limited to four 195' barges, although locks  1  and  2
both allow double lockages of 12  195' barges [17].


     2.3.4  KANAWHA RIVER

            The river is  formed by the junction of the New and Gauley  Rivers,
a  short  distance above  Kanawha Falls, West Virginia.  It flows northwesterly
for 97 miles and enpties  into the Ohio River at Point Pleasant, West Virginia.
The  three dams on the Kanawha River have twin locks with dimensions of 56' by
360*.  These, together with the  Gallipolis  locks  and  dams,  provide  a  91
navigable  depth  from  the  mouth  to a point 90.57 miles upstream [17].  The
locks on the Kanawha River are shown in Table 2.5.

Navigation Constraints:

            With a channel width of 300' to 450' and a depth of  9  feet,  tow
sizes  are limited by the locks.  According to the Corps of Engineers, maximum
tow size is 9 195' barges.  Currently, according to a study  by  the  Electric
Power  Research  Institute, tows are experiencing a delay of six hours or more
at Winfield Lock  [21].


     2.3.5  MONCNGAHELA RIVER

            one mile south of Fairmont, West Virginia, and flows northerly for
12b.7  miles  to  join  the Allegheny River at Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  From
Pittsburgh to Lock and Dam 4, the navigable depth is 9' with a  channel  width
of  4fc«0'.   Between  Lock and  Dam 4 and Opekiska Lock and Dam, the navigable
depth is 9' with a channel width of 250'.  Navigation is year-round [21].  The
locks on the Monogahela River are shown in Table 2.6.


                               III-F-26

-------
         TABLE III-F-4.    Green and Barren River Locks and Dams
Lock     Miles
 ana     from
 Dam  Mouth of River
Vvidth
(feet)
Length
(feet)
Completed
                                     GREEN RIVER
 Cost
(§)
1
2
3
4
5
b
9.1
63.1
108.5
149.0
168.1
181.7
84.0
84.0
35.8
35.8
56.0
36.0
600.0
600.0
137 . 5
136.0
360.0
145.0
1956
1956
1936
1939
1934
1905
5,101,978
4,799,271
121 , 377
125,718
1,020,868
168,415
           15.0
 56.0
   BARREN RIVER

360.0        1934
               871,565
Source:   [17]
                                III-F-27

-------
                TABLE III-F-5.  Kanawha River Locks and Dams
Lock           Mies
 and           from
 Dam     Mouth of  River       foidth     Length
                              (feet)     (feet)
Svinfield        31.7            56        360
                               56        366

Marmet          72.5            56        360
                               56        36k)

London          83.3            56        366
                               56        360
Source:   [17]
                                III-F-28

-------
            TABLE III-F-6.    Moncngahela River Locks and Dams
Lock
and
Dam
. 2
3
4
Maxwell
7
8
Morgan town
Hildebrand
Opekiska
Mies
t. rom
Mouth of River
11.2
23.8
41.5
61.2
85.0
90.8
102.0
108.0
115.4
Vvidth
(ft)
56
110
56
56
84
56
56
84
84
84
Length
(ft)
360
720
360
720
360
720
720
360
360
600
600
600
Year
Completed
1953
1907
1932
1964
1925
1925
1950
1959
1964
Cost
($)
17,872,212
1,681,538
17,373,767
30,110,889
2,639,804
36,908,495
8,778,000
12,506,829
25,179,622
Source:  [17]
                               III-F-29

-------
Navigation Constraints:

            The tow  size is  limited by both the size  of  the  locks  and  the
width  of  the river.  According to the Corps of Engineers, between Pittsburgh
and Lock and Dam 4,  tow size is limited to 15  195' barges.  Between Lock  and
Dam  4 and the Opekiska Lock and Dam, tow size is limited to .four 195' barges.
Currently, according to a study by the Electric Power Research Institute, tows
are experiencing delays of six hours or more at Lock and Dam 3 [21].


     2.3.6  ALLEGHENY RIVER

            The river flows  for about 325 miles from northern Pennsylvania  to
Pittsburgh,  where it joins  the Monongahela River to form the Ohio River.  The
river is navigable for 72 miles from Pittsburgh to East  Brady,  Pennsylvania,
with  a depth of 9"  and a channel width of about 300'.  Navigation is possible
year-round [17].  The locks  on the Allegheny River are shown in Table 2.7.


Navigation Constraints:

            The capacity of  this river is  limited  by  the  capacity  of  the
locks.  These limit  tow size to four 195' barges.  Between Pittsburgh and Lock
2, tows of up to 12  195' barges can be operated [17].


     2.3.7  TENNESSEE RIVER

            The  river  extends  from  its  navigation  head   at   Knoxville,
Tennessee,  for  650 miles  to  its  mouth  on  the  Ohio River near Paducah,
Kentucky.  The river is made navigable by a series of nine locks  and  one  on
the tributary Clinch River.  With the exception of the lock at Wheeler dam and
the Wilson locks and dams, all the other locks and dams  were  constructed  by
the Tennessee Valley Authority  [17,p.23-4],  Channel Dimensions:

            The entire length of the river is maintained at a channel depth of
9 feet and a width of 300 feet  [20,p.10].


Navigation Season:

            The entire length is open for navigation year-round.


Locks:
                                                                  i
            There are nine locks and dams on the river and one,  Melton  Hill,
on  the  tributary   Clinch   River near Knoxville, Tennessee.  All of the locks
except one are 110'  by 600'  or smaller.  Table 2.8 is a list of the locks.
                                III-F-30

-------
            TABLE III-F-7.    Allegheny River Locks and Dams
iock
and
Dam
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Miles
from
Mouth of River
6.7
14.5
24.2
30.4
36.3
45.7
52.6
62.2

V-idth
(ft)
56
56
56
56
56
56
56
56

Length
(ft)
360
360
36fc
360
360
360
360
360
Year
Coirpleted

1934
1934
1927
1927
1928
1930
. 1931
1938

Cost
(*)
1,763,485
1,875,665
1,707,690
1,940,537
1,523,959
1,460,008
2,848,920
2,510,373
Source: [17]
                               III-F-31

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            TABLE III-F-8.    Tennessee River Locks and Dams
Lock
Kentucky
Pickwick
Landing
Wilson
Wheeler
Guntersville
Nickajack
Chickamauga
Watts Bar
Fort Loudon
Melton Hill
Miles
Above
Mouth
22.4
206.7
259.4
274.9
349.0
424.7
471.0
529.9
602.3
23.1
Width of
Chamber
(ft)
110
110
60
110
60
110
60
110
110
110
60
60
60
75
Chamber
Length
(ft)
600
600
292
300
600
400
600
360
600
600
800
360
360
360
400
Year
Completed
1942
1937
1927
1959
1934
1963
1937
1965
1967
1939
1941
1943
1963
(Clinch River)
Source: [17,p.23-15]
                                III-F-32

-------
Navigation Constraints:

            The major constraint on this river is the size of the locks.  From
Chattanooga  to  Paducah, all of the locks are 110' by 600' with the exception
of the main lock at Nickajack which is 110' by 800'.  As a result, the maximum
tow  size  is  limited  to  fifteen  195'  barges for double lockage.  Between
Chattanooga and Knoxville, the locks are 60' by 360' which limits tow size  to
two  195'  barges  or  seven  175'  barges for double lockage.  Because of the
limitation on the size of the  tows,  it  is  not  economic  to  use  towboats
exceeding  2000  horsepower  beyond  Chattanooga.   According  to the Corps of
Engineers, the average tow speed on this river is 5.6 inph loaded and  7.0  mph
empty.


2.4  COAL BARGE OPERATION
    , Open hopper barges are commonly used  for  the  transportation  of  coal.
There  has  been  very  little  standardization  of  size  but, because of the
restrictions imposed: by the dimensions of existing lock facilities and channel
conditions  on  various  waterways,  some  uniformity in barge design has been
established.  The capacity of a barge is limited by the channel depth  of  the
individual  waterway.   For  example a 35' by 195' barge has an empty draft of
1 1/2 feet and requires an additional foot of draft for each 200 net  tons  of
cargo carried.

     The push-towing method is used for all line-haul operations on the inland
waterway  system.   A  towboat  may  push  one barge or any multiple of barges
ranging upwards of 45 barges when the tow is operating in open  water  on  the
lower  Mississippi.   For  passage through locks, barges are grouped four wide
and three long or three wide and three or four long, depending on the size  of
the barges and the size of the locks to be transited.  For maximum efficiency,
tows are arranged as much as possible as dedicated tows.

     In order to obtain greater towing performance, barges are now designed to
be  assembled  into integrated tows having an underwater shape equivalent to a
single vessel.  Integrated tows are generally more efficient for the  carriage
of  large  tonnages,  on  a continuing basis, over a long distance to a single
destination.  The fully integrated tow concept has the disadvantage that it is
of  little  value  unless  it is in dedicated service where the barge position
never changes.

     In a dedicated tow, the towboat remains with the barges  during  loading,
unloading,  and  round  trip  transit.   The towboat is generally owned by the
shipper or contracted for exclusive use over a stipulated period of time.  The
advantages  of  this  form of service are the ability to utilize an integrated
towing operation, fast turn around time, insurance; and reduced  leasing  cost
or ownership cost of the barges per ton of shipment handled.
                               III-F-33

-------
     The size and shape of a tow, the size of the towboat, the cargo  capacity
of  a  barge,  and  the  capacity  of a waterway are largely determined by the
physical dimensions of the waterway as well as by the locks located  on  them.
For  exanple  a 110' by 600' lock allows a group of nine 35' by 195' barges to
pass through in one lockage operation and a tow of 15 barges and a towboat  to
pass through using a double lockage operation.  Lock chambers of adequate size
to accommodate different types of tows are important to the economics of barge
transportation  for  two reasons.  First, the size of the locks determines the
capacity of a particular section of a waterway.  Second, smaller lock chambers
require  the  breakup  of  large  tows.   This  breakup and reassembly of tows
requires  additional  time  which  imposes  an  additional   cost   on   barge
transportation.


2.5  BARGE LINE-HAUL COSTS
     Based on the analysis developed in reference [1], line haul costs for the
rivers  of  the  ORBES  region have been estimated.  These are based on hourly
ownership and operating costs for tows by horsepower and barges by size  which
are specific for each waterway.  In turn, these were based on annual costs for
towboats of various classes and open hopper  barges  of  various  sizes.   The
annual  costs  also  serve  as  a  facility  description [l^Tables 4.13-4.14].
Because of the concern  with  large  volume  coal  transportation,  and  large
capacity  coal  conversion facilities, only open hopper barges and integrated-
dedicated tows were considered.  To  obtain  hourly  operating  and  ownership
costs  for  towboats  and  barges  operating on the various rivers, the yearly
costs were divided by the length of the navigation season for  each  waterway.
Where  the navigation season is year-round, towboats and barges are assumed to
operate for 355 days allowing 10 days for maintenance and repairs.  All  craft
are  assumed  to operate on a 24 hour basis.  The only towboats considered for
each waterway were those that could operate on that waterway.  Table 2.9 shows
the  hourly  ownership  and  operating  costs  of towboats and barges for each
waterway examined in this study.

     Line-haul costs can be determined based on the following equations:

Total barge cost per net ton delivered =  (hourly ownership-operating  cost  of
     barge)  x  (Total number of hours used per trip)/(Total net tons delivered
     per barge trip)

Total towboat cost per net ton delivered =  (Hourly  ownership-operating   cost
     of  towboat) x  (Total number of hours per trip)/(Total net tons delivered
     per towboat trip)


The sum of these two equations is the  estimated  line-haul  cost  for  a  tow
between  two specific points.  Because dedicated integrated towing was assumed
in all cases for the movement of coal, the back haul to the  point  of  origin
was assumed to be enpty.


                               III-F-34

-------
   TABLE III-F-9.  Hourly Ownership and Operating Costs,
                   Towboars and Barges by Size and Waterway
1)  Illinois Waterway
Navigation Season:   approximately 325 days taking into account
                    delays tows encountered in January and February.
                    Approximately 7800 hours

Ownership and operating cost for towboats ($/hour)'
800 hp.
$51.28
2000 hp.
$100
1200 hp.
$68.82
2200 hp.
$105.76
1400 hp.
$74.64
2400 hp.
$111.53
1600 hp.
$84.40
3200 hp.
$142.55
1800 hp.
$90.38
4800 hp.
$191.53
Ownership and operating cost for  open hopper barges ($/hour)


1000 NT       1500 NT        3000 NT

$1.87         $2.81          $5.62
                               II1-F-35

-------
    TABLE III-F-9.    Hourly Ownership and Operating Costs,
                     Towboats and Barges by Size 'and Waterway
                                           (Continued)
2)  Ohio River


Navigation Season:  355 days or 8520 hours


Ownership and operating costs for towboats ($/hour):


800 hp.       1200 hp.       1400 hp.       1600 hp.       1800 hp.

$46.94        $63            $68.33         $77.26         $82.74


2000 hp.      2200 hp.       2400 hp.       3200 hp.       4800 hp.

$91.54        $96.83         $102.1         $130.51        $175.34


5600 hp.      6000 hp.       6500 hp.

$194.4        $206.86        $218.63


Ownership and operating costs for open hopper barges  ($/hour):


1000 NT       1500 NT        3000 NT

$1.71         $2.57          $5.15
                                III-F-36

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   TABLE  III-F-9.  Hourly Ownership and Operating Costs,
                  Towboats and Barges by Size and Waterway
                                        (Continued)
3)  Alleghaney, Barren, Green, Kanawha and Moncngahela Rivers


Navigation Season:  355 days or 8520 hours


Ownership and operating costs for towboats ($/hour):
800 hp.
$46.94
1600 hp.
$77.26
2200 hp.
$96.83
1200 hp.
$63
1800 hp.
$82.74
2400 hp.
$102.1
1400 hp.
$68.33
2000 hp.
$91.54
3200 hp.
$130.51
Ownership and operating costs for open hopper barges ($/hour)


1000 NT       1500 NT

$1.71         $2.57
                               III-F-37

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     The time considered in determining the total number  of  hours  used  per
trip  includes  the amount of time needed to cover a specific distance between
two points which is determined by distance and  average  tow  speed  including
average lock delay.  It also includes terminal time.  Total net tons per barge
trip depends on the constraints imposed by each river.  From this we obtain an
estimate of the line-haul cost for the movement of a coal floatilla from point
A to point B within the waterway system examined.

     Because barges do not normally operate directly  from  the  mine  to  the
consumer,  transloading  facilities  must  be  included in the barge movement.
Based on the previous analysis  [1], the sum of the loading and unloading costs
is  assessed  at 48.7 cents/ton.  Because barge traffic does not pay right-of-
way costs or for the operation and  maintenance  of  the  waterways,  a  rough
estimate  of  these costs has been made.  These estimates have been segregated
from the ownership and operating costs.  Finally, it must be kept in mind that
barge  transport  almost  never  starts  at,  or close to, a mine.  Therefore,
gathering costs by truck, rail, or some other mode, must  be  added.   If  the
coal  consuming facility is not en the river, distribution costs must be added
as well.

     Waterway  costs  include  navigational  aids,  channel  maintenance   and
improvements,  and  operation  and maintenance costs associated with locks and
dams.  The cost analysis does not include the remaining depreciable  value  of
locks  and  dams  or  other  capital  improvements  on  facilities  already in
existence.  The river system has been taken as is; only current operation  and
maintenance  costs  have been included.  This is consistent with the view that
sunk costs are dead costs.  However, it is  consistent  with  this  view  that
future  locks  and  dams,  those  currently  under construction, replacements,
extensions, and improvements should  be  considered  on  the  basis  of  their
remaining  depreciable  value.  User charges for the Ohio River were estimated
at 0.01 cents/tcn/mile   [1].   This  compared  with  determinations  of  0.041
cents/ton/mile  made by the Association of American Railroads based on 1970-74
data and the Department  of  Transportation  based  on  1968  data.   For  the
Illinois  River,  user charges were estimated at 0.052 cents/ton/mile compared
with 0.057 and 0.06 cents/ton/mile by the two agencies, respectively.

     The costing of a coal  tow  does  not  depend  upon  recondite  knowledge
although  little  is  available  on the subject.  To show the methodology, two
origin-destination pairs have been chosen,  (1) Parkersberg to Paducah and   (2)
Charleston  to  Paducah.   Both  entail a one way trip of 717 miles.  The cost
differences lie in the complexity of the trips.

     Both Parkersberg and Paducah are located on the Ohio River.  Based on the
river  data,  the  average  speed  of  a  loaded  barge tow is 4.8 mph; for an
unloaded tow it is 6.2 mph.  Tows are made  up  .of  15  barges  with  a  total
capacity of 22,500 net tons.

     The time required for the 15 barge  (1951) tow to cover 717 miles is then:
                                III-F-38

-------
     loaded 717/4.8 = 149.4 hrs.
     unloaded 717/6.2 = 115.6 hrs.
The ownership and operating costs for the 4,800 hp towboat are estimated at:


     loaded (full fuel rate)  = $175.34/hr
     unloaded (half fuel rate) = $156.74/hr
     terminal (no fuel rate)  = $138.14/hr


The ownership and operating costs per 195'  barge  are  $2.57/hr.   Therefore,
ownership and operating costs for a 15 barge tow is expressed by:


     loaded = {$175.34(149.4 hrs) + (15 x $2.57(149.4 hrs))}/22,500 tons
     unloaded = $31,955.20/22500 tons = $1.42/ton


     empty = {$156.74 (115.6 hrs) + (15 x $2.57(115.6 hrs))J/22500 tons
     empty = $22,575.50/22500 tons = $1.00/ton


The loading rate is assumed to  be  4,000  tons/hr.   The  unloading  rate  is
estimated at 2,000 tons/hr.  The time required to make up  (assemble) and break
up (disassemble) a tow is expressed by, respectively:
Therefore, total terminal time is loading + unloading + T  +  T   .   This  is
found by:


     terminal time = (22500/4000) + (22500/2000)
                     + {0.21 + 0.44(15)} hrs
                     + {0.34 + 0.2(15)} hrs
     terminal time = 5.625 hrs + 11.25 hrs + 6.81 hrs
                     + 3.34 hrs = 27.025 hrs.
The ownership and operating costs for the tow while in terminal  (at zero  fuel
consumption) is:


     cost = {$138.14(27.025 hrs)
                     +(15 x 2.57(27.025 hrs))1/22500 tons
     cost = $4,775/05/22,500 tons = $0.21/ton
                               III-F-39

-------
Therefore, the total ownership and operating costs for an integrated-dedicated
15  barge tow carrying 22,500 tons of ooal from Parkersberg to Paducah with an
empty return is:


     cost = ($1.42 + $1.00 + $0.21)/ton = $2.63/ton


To this may be added terminal costs of 48 cents/ton and an estimate  of  river
use charges of 13 cents/ton.

     Charleston is located on the Kanawha river.  Because tow  sizes  on  that
river  are limited to four 195' barges per tow, it is necessary to use three 4
barge tows and one 3 barge tow in order to  move  22,500  tons  of  coal  from
Charleston  to  Gallipolis where a 15 barge non-integrated tow can be made up.
Because  the  tows  are  nan-integrated,  on  estimated  10  percent  loss  in
performance  efficiency is assessed compared to the fully integrated tow.  The
form of the costing analyses is similar to that used above.

     Charleston to Gallipolis is 60 miles.  The capacity of the 4 barge tow is
6,000  tons, that of the 3 barge tow is 4,500 tons.  Average speeds, including
the  performance  penal ity  are  upbound  3.15  mph  and  downbound  3.6  mph.
Therefore,  the  loaded time for the 60 miles is 60/3.15 or 19.05 hours, while
the return is 60/3.6 or 16.7 hours.      '

     Ownership and operating costs for each 1200 hp towboat are:


     loaded = $58.04/hr
     empty  = $53.24/hr
     terminal = $.48.44/hr


The ownership and operating costs for each 195' barge is $2.23/hr.  Therefore,
the loaded costs for each 4 barge tow is:


     ($58.04(19.05 hrs) + 4($2.23)(19.05 hrs))/6,000 tons
                      = $0.21/ton


The empty costs are:


     ($53.24(16.7 hrs) + 4(2.23)(16.7 hrs))/6,000 tons = $0.17/ton


Using the loading, unloading make up and break up times determined above,  but
for  a  4  barge  tow,  results  in  a total terminal time of 7.61 hours.  The
ownership and operating costs while in terminal are therefore:


                               III-F-40

-------
     ($48.44(7.61 hrs)+4($2.23)(7.61 hrs))/6,000 = $0.07/ton


Total ownership and operating costs for each 4 barge dedicated - nonintegrated
tow from Charleston to Gallipolis is:


     ($0.21+$0.17+$0.07)ton = $0.45/ton
     The  three  barge  tow  between  Charleston  and  Gallipolis  is  treated
similarly.   Total  capacity is 4,500 tons.  The ownership and operating costs
while in transit are expressed by:


     loaded = ($58.04(19.05 hrs) + 3($2.23)(19.05 hrs))/4500 tons
     loaded = $1233.10/4500 tons = $0.27/ton

     enpty =  ($53.24(16.7 hrs)  + 3($2.23)(16.7 hrs))/4500 tons
     empty = $0.22/ton


Ownership and operating costs while in terminal  depend  on  time  and  costs.
These are determined as:


     terminal time = (4500 tons/4000 t/hr)
                     +  (4500 tons/2000 t/hr)
                     +  (0.34 + 0.2(3))
                     +  (0.21 + 0.44(3))

     terminal time = 5.845 hrs

     terminal costs = ($48.44(5.845 hrs)
                      + 3($2.23)(5.845 hrs))/4500 tons

     terminal costs = $322.20/4500 tons =  $0.07/ton


Therefore, the total ownership and operating costs for the three barge tow are
the sum of the costs listed above, or $0.56/ton.

     The make-up of the 15 barge tow at Gallipolis requires the three 4  barge
tows plus the three barge tow.  Total costs are the sum of the above or:


     3($0.45)+$0.56=$1.9I/ton
                               III-F-41

-------
To this may be added an estimate of river use costs on the  Kanawha  river  of
?0.076/ton to yield a total of $2.21/ton.

     From Gallipolis to Paducah is 657 river miles.  The capacity  of  the  15
barge  dedicated  non-integrated tow is 22,500 tons.  A 10 percent performance
penalty is assessed because the tow is not  integrated  so  that  the  average
speed  loaded  is   (4.8 mph)  (.9) or 4.32 mph while the unloaded speed is (6.2
mph)(.9) or 5.58 mph.  Travel time for the  657  miles  is,  therefore,  152.1
hours loaded and 117.74 hours empty.

     The ownership and operating costs for the tow  (4800  hp)  is  $173.34/hr
loaded,  $156.74/hr  empty,  and $138.14/hr while in terminal.  For each barge
the cost is $2.57/hr.  Therefore,  operating  and  ownership  costs  while  in
transit are:


     loaded =  ($173.34(152.1 hrs)
              + 15($2.57)(152.1 hrs))/22,500 tons
     loaded = $1.45/ton

     empty =  ($156.74(117.74 hrs)
             + 15($2.57)(117.74 hrs))/22,500 tons
     empty = $1.02/ton


Terminal costs, excluding those accounted for on the Kanawha River, and  based
on  the  formula,  are 6.81 hours for make-up and 3.34 hours for break-up or a
total of 10.15 hours.  Therefore, terminal costs are:


     ($138.14(10.15 hrs) + 15($2.57)(10.15 hrs))/22,500 tons = $0.08/ton


To this may be added river use charges for the Ohio River of $0.13/ton.

     Total trip costs from Charleston to Paducah are the sum of the  above  or
$1.91  +  $2.55  =  $4.46/tcn.   If  river use costs are added, the total cost
becomes:


     $4.46/tcn + $0.13/tcn +  4($0.076/ton) = $4.89/ton


To either total should be added the transloading cost of $0.48/ton.
                                III-F-42

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2.6  BARGE ORIGIN - DESTINATION COSTS
     Because the ORBES study is not  site  specific  with  respect  to  energy
conversion  facilities,  a unique analysis of origin-destination pair costs is
not possible.  Instead, a number of 0-D pairs have  been  costed  representing
both  coal  imports  into  the  region  and  barge  movements within the area.
Intermediate points may be estimated by interpolation.  To the barge movements
must  be  added  the  gathering  costs or the costs, by rail or other, from the
primary point of origin to the barge terminal.  Distribution costs, if any, to
the  facility  must  also be added.  A set of O-D pairs are presented in Table
2.10.  The points of origin are possible rail-barge transloading  points.   It
should  be noted that the difference between the ownership and operating costs
and the total cost is accounted for by the inclusion  of  river  use  charges.
Table 2.11 indicates some cost ranges for rail-barge mixed mode coal transport
assuming unit trains to the transloading facility and point of primary  origin
in  the northern great plains.  A more generalized analysis of the ORBES river
costs can be found in Table 2.12.  Table 2.13 provides the data  base  for  an
estimate of possible river use charges attributable to coal barge traffic  [1].
                               III-F-43

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       TABLE III-F-10.  Origin-Destination Pairs - Barge Transport
Destination
         A.   From Minneapolis - St. Paul

 Load      25MMTY   70MMTY     Cost Cost/Tow  (?)
(Tons)     # of      # of      Ownership Total
          Tows      Tows          &     Cost
                             Operating
                               Cost
Route
Miles
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Pittsburgh
22500
22500
22500
22500
1111
1111
1111
1111
3111
3111
3111
3111
4.90
7.37
6.48
9.30
5.31
7.78
6.89
9.71
898
1365
1234
1834
  Integrated dedicated tows - 15 195' barges.
                            B.  From Dubuque, Iowa
Destination
Load
(Tons)



22500
22500
22500
22500
25MMTY
# of
Tows


1111
1111
nil
mi
70MMTY
1 of
Tows


3111
3111
3111
3111
Cost Cost/Tow ($) Route
Ownership Total
& Cost
Operating
Cost
3.66 4.07
5.98 6.39
5.33 5.74
8.33 8.74
Miles



624
1091
960
1560
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Pittsburgh
  Fifteen 195' barges dedicated integrated tow.
Destination
           C.   From St. Louis, Missouri

 Load     25MMTY   70MMTY     Cost Cost/Tow  (?)  Route
(Ions)     # of     # of      Ownership Total     Miles
          Tows     Tows          &     Cost
                             Operating
                               Cost
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Pittsburgh
45000
22500
22500
22500
556
1111
1111
.1111
1556
3111
3111
3111
1.89
3.67
3.11
5.71
2.30
4.08
3.52
6.12
225
692
561
1161
                               III-F-44

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       TABLE III-F-10.
          urigin-Destination Pairs - Barge Transport
                       (Continued)
                           D.  From Pittsburgh, Pa.
Destination
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Chicago
Destination
Paducah
Louisville
Cincinnati
Chicago
 Load
(Tons)
22500
22500
22500
22500
 Load
(Tons)
22500
22500
22500
22500
25MMTY
# Of
Tows


1111
1111
1111
1111
70MMTY
# Of
Tows


3111
3111,
3111
3111
Cost Cost/Tow ($)
Ownership Total
& Cost
Operating
Cost
3.85 3.98
2.29 2.41
2.73 2.86
6.21 6.52
Route
Miles



936
469
600
1526
E. From Gallipolis, Ohio
25MMTY
# Of
Tows


1111
1111
1111
1111
70MMTY
# of
Tows


3111
3111
3111
3111
Cost Cost/Tow ($)
Ownership Total
& Cost
Operating
Cost
2.91 ' 3.04
2.26 2.39
1.20 1.33
5.27 5.58
Route
Miles



657
321
190
1247
    All tows start at west end of Gallipolis.
    Gallipolis L&D not yet replaced.
Destination
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Chicago
 Load
(Tons)
22500
45000
45000
22500
                          F.  From Markland, Indiana
25MMTY
# of
Tows


1111
556
556
1111
70MMTY
# Of
Tows


3111
1556
1556
3111
Cost Cost/Tow ($)
Ownership Total
& Cost
Operating
Cost
2.06 2.19
0.91 1.04
0.92 1.05
4.42 4.73
Route
Miles



404.5
62.5
68.5
994
                               III-F-45

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       TABLE III-F-10.  Origin-Destination Pairs - Barge Transport
                                     (Continued)
Destination
Pittsburg ,
Gallipolis^
Cincinnati
       G.  From Parkersburg,  West Virginia

 Load     25MMTY    70MMTY     Cost Cost/Tow ($}   Route
(Tons)    # of      # of      Ownership Total     Miles
          Tows      Tows          &     Cost
                              Operating
                                Cost

45000      556      1556      $0.79/ton  $0.92/ton
45000      556      1556      $0.42/ton  $0.55/ton
22500     1111      3111      $0.85/tcn  $1.60/ton
219
 60
250
   30 barges tow possible to east end of Gallipolis Lock.

   Presence of Gallipolis Lock requires the use of 15 barge tow.
                               III-F-46

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     TABLE III-F-11.  Rail/Barge Mixed Mode Costs,  Selected O.D Paris

                         Origin Gillette and Colstrip

        To
Paducah
Cincinnati
Louisville
Pittsburgh
Transload
   at

Minn - St. Paul
Dubuque
St. Louis

Minn - St. Paul
Dubuque
St. Louis

Minn - St. Paul
Dubuque
St. Louis

Minn - St. Paul
Dubuque
St. Louis
Total Cost
   ($/Ton)

10.81-10.64
10.46-11.83
10.16-12.54

13.28-13.11
12.78-14.15
11.94-14.32

12.39-12.22
12.13-13.50
11.38-13.76

15.21-15.04
15.13-16.50
13.98-16.36
                                  III-F-47

-------
           TKBLE III-F-11.  Generalized ORBES RIVER COSTS
River
GREEN
KANAWHA
MONOGAHELA
ALLEGHENY
OHIO1
Mileage
103
90.57
129
72
981
Capacity of
Tow
(Tons)
22,500
6,000
6,000
6,000
22,500
Ownership
& Operating
(Cents/t on/mile)
0.49
0.66
0.53
0.55
0.20^)
River Use
Charge
0.063
0.0863
0.053
0.243
0.156
OHIO"


(1)



(2)


(3)

(4)

(5)


(6)


(7)
         981
45,000
0 14
0.097
                                            (3)
                                                      0.156
                                                            (5)
Tow size restricted by non-completion  of  the  1200'  locks  on
  the lower Ohio.  Fifteen barge tow with maximum load of 22,500 net
  tons.  Excludes loading and unloading time costs, 21 cents/ton.

All locks 1200V, 30 barge tow with maximum load of 45,000 net
  tons.  Excludes loading and unloading time costs, 29 cents/ton.

Loaded, add 21 cents for loading and unloading time.

Empty, add 29 cents for loading and unloading time.

Depreciation of new locks is excluded.  If included, the cost
  would be higher.

Transloading facility costs of  48 cents/ton  should be added
  to all estimates.

No coal traffic on Kentucky River.
                          III-F-48

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  TABLE III-F-13.   Sstimated River on Charges  for  Locks and Dams



GREEN


KANAWHA


MONOGAHELA


ALLEGHENY


0 & M
1970-74
Average
(S)
852,000


1,294,000


2,271,000


990,000


1976
Basis
($)
971,280


971.280


2,588,940


971,280


Coal
Traffic
98.3
15,377,705
(ton coal)
45.6
(5,833,136
tons)
78
(29,853,158
tons)
74.6
(2,634,269)
0 & M
Cost
Attributed
to Coal
($)
954,768


442,904


2,019,373


462,329


0 & M
CostUJ
(jzf/t on/mile)
0.06


0.084


0.05


0.24

(1)
     To  this may be added 0.0026 cents/ton/mile  for  navigational
      aid  (Coast Guard) based on  the average  for  all  freight on all
      inland waterways.
                          III-F-49

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                    3.  UNIT TRAINS-GOAL SLURRY PIPELINES
     Unit trains and coal  slurry  pipelines  have  been  considered  together
because  they  are almost directly competitive.  Congressional and legislative
actions concerning eminent domain and water rights have  already  taken  place
with  more  decisions  expected  before the end of 1977.  The issues have been
clouded by numerous irrelevant discussions.  The material  presented  here  is
related  only  to  costs.   In  Section 3, unit train and coal slurry pipeline
costs and cost structures are described.  In Section 4, an  interrelated  cost
comparison is made of these two modes.  Background material for these Sections
was developed previously [1,4].


3.1  UNIT TRAINS
     3.1.1  INTRODUCTION

            A unit train is a single purpose dedicated, integrated  train  for
hauling  one  commodity, in this case coal.  It is composed of special purpose
cars which haul continuously from mine to consumer.  Unit  train  success  has
almost  always been dependant upon close cooperation between a mining company,
a  railroad,  and  an  electric  utility.   Typically,  long  term  contracts,
sometimes of ten years or more, are made so that large capital investments for
equipment can be justified.  This includes the unit train itself  as  well  as
coal  handling  facilities at both ends of the haul.  The long term contracts,
however, do not extend to unit train rates; these must be set annually.   Unit
train  ownership  may  lie  with the railroad or the electric utility.  Mining
companies have been more hesitant to assume ownership.  However,  train  crews
and most maintenance has been provided by the railroads.

            The long term contracts associated with unit train use  provide  a
scheduled  outlet  for a coal mine which may lower costs.  The lower transport
cost may be sufficient to encourage increased coal usage,  for the  railroads,
unit  trains  provide better equipment and and plant utilization than do other
rail modes.  Coal carrying costs are significantly lower than  those  incurred
in multiple car movements attached to general freight even if the total volume
is the same over time.  For  the  coal  burning  utilities,  they  lower  fuel
expenditures  and  establish  a  stable  fuel supply.  Scheduled receipts also
lower inventory costs.  Lowering transport costs, by increasing  the  net-back
at  the  mine,  increases economically recoverable coal reserves; mines may go
deeper, recovery percentages may increase and the time before mine closure may
be effectively prolonged.

            According to the Association of American Railroads  14J, based on a
sample  of 191 unit coal trains operating on July 1, 1975, about 60 percent of
these trains operated under contracts of 10 years or longer.  A minimum annual
tonnage  requirement was specified for 80 percent of the trains.  These trains
carried about 168Mi-iT₯ of coal or about 73 billion ton miles.  The average load
was  877,000  T/Y/train;  the  highest  about  5.bMMTY.   Average yearly train
mileage was estimated at 90,000 miles/year  with  235,000  the  maximum.   The

                                     III-f-51

-------
average round trip distance was estimated at 1226 miles with a maximum of 2944
miles.  An average of 86 cars made up a train with a maximum of .131.  Most  of
the  cars  were  designed for 100 ton capacity.  The average train payload was
estimated to be 8502 tons with a maximum of .13,100 tons.  Excluding an unknown
number  of  spare  cars  to  provide maintenance time, the 191 trains required
16,392 cars.  Of these, 68 percent were open top hopper cars while 32  percent
were  high side gondolas.  Hopper cars were 68 percent railroad and 32 percent
owned or leased by others.  The gondola cars were 39 percent railroad  and  61
percent owned or leased by others.  The railroad owned hopper and gondola cars
were, respectively, 93 and .100 percent in dedicated service; all of the  other
leased  and  owned  cars  were  in  dedicated service.  Only 19 percent of the
trains had dedicated power.  Maximum operating speeds ranged  from  .25-60  mph
empty and 10-60 mph loaded.

            .Cost reductions due to unit trains depend  upon  the  concentrated
efficient  use  of  equipment.  This depends upon the use of high rate loading
and unloading facilities, provision for coal storage facilities,  and  a  high
level of right-of-way readiness and maintenance due to the increased loads and
speeds.  These are factored into the costs.  The offset  of  load  factor  and
efficiency  are  due  to reduced idle time, rate of travel  (fewer trains), the
lack of intermediate stops and the elimination of both yard and train  make-up
time  and  crews.  Efficiency increases may be seen in train mileages of about
800 miles per day rather than the 60 miles per day estimate common for general
freight.   The  development  of self-clearing rapid discharge open hopper cars
and the rotary dumping of flat bottom gondola cars has reduced unloading times
by an order of magnitude.

            Given the 30 mph loaded 60 mph empty rate of travel, a  number  of
single  track  with spaced siding configurations exist which allow inter-train
unit train spacing of down to one hour.  This amounts to 240,000 T/D loaded in
one  direction   (65.76MMT/274  day  year)  per  line.   The  figure is reduced
depending on the involvement of other freight.   Double  tracking,  especially
with   crossovers,  eliminates  tonnage  restrictions  within  the  orders  of
magnitude considered for the OJRBES region.  Given multiple routes and  routing
alternatives,  there is no question of the ability of the rails to handle both
anticipated coal and general freight traffic.

            As anticipated traffic increases, track  and  equipment  upgrading
and   acquisition   can  proceed  in  an  optimal  manner   [1,4].   while  the
requirements for steels and equipment are high, given a forecast of  needs  to
1985  and beyond, there appears to be no shortage of industrial capacity, here
and abroad, to meet requirements.


     3.1.2  .UNIT IKAIiSI -COSTS

            Specific cost  parameters  and  estimating  procedures  have  been
previously  detailed    [1-9].   Capital  costs  include  rerouting  to by-pass
population  centers,  additional  bridges  and  trestles  and  protected  road
crossings.   An  average  of .15 percent of new railroad  (track and roadbed) is
used on each route to cover this.  The new trackage includes provision  tor  a

-------
     toot  right-ot-way.   The  rerouting  reduces  tratfic  hazards and noise
pollution,  western points  of  origin  have  included  a  .100  mile  upgraded
extension ot existing roads into the mining area.  As unit trains operate from
the mine to the consumer, distributional costs are eliminated.   Provision  is
made  tor  mine  site gathering systems, however.  The connection between rail
and barge mixed mode transport was made in the previous section.

            The upgrading  of  track  and  roadbed  has  been  costed  on  the
assumption  of  high  density,  nign speed (30 mpn loaded, 60 mph empty), unit
train operation.  The benefits ot the upgrading are shared by all rail traffic
but  the  costs  have  been  assessed  against the unit train operation.  As a
result, the cost estimates are biased upward.  It is  anticipated  that  these
costs,  particularly  land  values and rehabilitation, are higher in the ORBES
region than in western locations.

            operating costs have been specified earlier [1,4].   For  purposes
of this analysis a 10 percent bottleneck condition has been assessed.  This is
equivalent to a 10 mph speed over 10 percent of the route mileage.  It results
in  the  use of more trains and higher costs than a zero bottleneck condition.
Model cost assumptions are presented in Table 3.1.  Fuel costs for unit  train
movements have been based on industry train simulators.

            In the following figures, it is assumed that the  trackage  is  85
percent up-graded, train speeds are 30 or 50 mph loaded and 60 mph empty, coal
tratfic is 25MMTY unless otherwise noted, and 15 percent addition of new track
is  included for rerouting around cities and towns.  The bottleneck assumption
is based on the percentage ot route distance traveled  at  10  mph.   Finally,
capacity  is  expressed  in  terms  ot 274 day operation equalling 100 percent
capacity.   Over-capacity  involves  increasing  the  number  ot  days  and/or
increasing,  by  leasing,  more equipment at a premium  [1].  The graphs can be
used tor estimating unit train costs in the ORbES region.  As specific mine to
coal  conversion  facility o-L> pairs have not yet been specified, the regional
costing must be general.
                                     .1II-F-53

-------
      TABLE III-F-14.    Model Cost Assumptions
Gathering  at Mines
Right of way
New Road
Upgrading
•Locomotive Cost
Car Cost
Loading &  Maintenance
  Facilities

Average Rate Base
Debt Retirement
federal Tax
Depreciation
Fuel Costs


Fuel Costs
Labor Costs
Supply Costs

Locomotive Horsepower

Steel required



Employment

Related  Industries

Ties
New Road
$  663,400/MMTY (125 ten trucks)
$   :38,900/mile
$2,000,00kJ/mile
$  288,900/mile
$ . 500,000/locomotive
$   ,30,000/car
15% of locomotive & car cost
50% total capital costs
12.4% average rate base
28% debt retirement
1/30 total capital costs
 + 1/90 locomotive and car costs

#2 diesel -fuel: 32£/gallon, $12.60/bbl
30-60 mph
$40,000/mile
$1.775/train-mile
$.5287/train-mile

3500

1) Cars
2) Locomotives
3) Rail

$16.,000/man-yr

$l,397,000/man-yr
1) Concrete 900 tons/mile $50/tie
   (includes fasteners and hardware)
2) wood 54,400 ft/mile $24/tie  (includes hardware)
3) Continuous Roadbed (Concrete) $2 to 3x10 /mile
50-60 mph
$76,000/mile
$2.178/train-mile
$.4280/train-mile
31.5 tons/car
159.6 tons/locomotive
465 tons/mile  (double track)
a) Ballast
   (includes labor)
b) Ties
c) Rails

d) Labor
e) Signaling
$1,500,000/mile
("5000 ten/mile)
$  153,600/mile  (6400 ties/mile, $24/tie)
$  162,600/mile  (132 Ib rail,
.465 tons/mile, §350/tcn)
$  .178,800/mile
$     5,000/mile
                                     •III-F-54

-------
FIGURE III-F-9.   .Costs  ($/'l'°n),'75lo'Miles, at varying Tonnages,
                  Train Speeds  and  Bottlenecks
        o
        o
        o
        cv
        o
        ci
        O
        in
        O

        IT
        CV
        O
                                 •-  50-60 mph
                                 —  30-60 mph
                                              20% Bottleneck


                                              10% Bottleneck


                                              0% Bottleneck
                    •4-
                               -4-
                                          -4-
Cb.O        iX!,0       40.0       6CJ.O
         TONNflGE- MMTY   (750 MI)
                                                     ao.c
                                 m-t-55

-------
FIGURE III-F-10.   Cost Etfect of Bottlenecks
                  Varying Distances
                                        , .25MMT*, at
     	50-60 mph
          30-60 mph
                                                20% Bottleneck
                                               10% Bottleneck
                                                0% Bottleneck
GISTftNCEi-MILES  (2SMMTYJ. (XIC2  ]
                                           15.0
                     III-F-56

-------
FIGURE III-F-11.  Cost Effect ot a :lki Percent Bottleneck  (VTon)
                 at Varying Mileages and Tonnage
                               5  MMTY
10  MMTY
                                                              25 MMTY
                                                              70 MMTY
             LlJSTQNCF.-MiLEIS  (7OX  B.-NECK) (X102  )
                                                           1S.O

-------
FIOJRE III-F-12.   Bottleneck  Effects  en  $/Ton at Varying Operating
                   Conditions, .25iyMTY, .250 Miles
            8
            to

            ro
            vn
          vq-
            V)
             D
             in
             o
             CJ
                                      	50-60 mph

                                           30-60 mph
             fcl<6.0       60.Q      ^0.0       l6o7c
                  X  CflPfiCITY  ( 250 MI,  25  MMTT)
20% Bottleneck



10% Bottleneck

 0% Bottleneck
                                  I1I-F-58

-------
FIGURE III-F-13.  bottleneck Effects on  $/Ton at Varying Operating
                  Conditions, 25MMT*, 5laid Miles
           o
           o>
           o
           CO
          o
          ru
                                	50-60 mph

                                	 30-60 mph
                                                           20% Bottleneck

                                                           10% Bottleneck

                                                           0% Bottleneck
                      .	,	1	1
           ilO. C       60.0       30.0       100.0       12U.O
               '/.  CECITY  (  SOD MJ,  as  MMTYI

-------
3.2  .COAL 3DJRRY
     3.2.1  INTROOJCTIUM

            The analysis of coal  slurry  pipelines  is  Dased  on  references
[1,4,5  and  8].   In  a coal slurry pipeline operation, the coal is mined and
then sent by truck or conveyor to the slurrification plant.  There,  the  coal
is  screened  to  remove  oversize  chunks.  Subsequently, it is sent to a bin
where it is crushed to a fine  powder  of  sufficiently  small  particle  size
(about  .200  mesh) so that it can be suspended in water.  The powdered coal is
blown into a mixer where it is combined with  a  quantity  of  water  until  a
desired  consistency  is  obtained.   The  slurry  is  then stored in tanks or
delivered directly to an electric power plant by pipeline.   On  arrival,  the
coal  slurry  goes  through  a  centrifuge.   There,  the  coal  particles are
separated from most of the water leaving 25  to  28  percent  total  moisture.
Further  dewatering  by  thermal  drying   (using very high temperatures), more
filtration, and direct evaporation in open air storage tanks may be necessary.

            Slurry pipelines are not particularly route specific.  Terrain  is
relatively  unimportant  in terms of pumping distance, but the terrain affects
the cost of construction, the pipeline operating  pressure,  and  the  pumping
power  required;  greater  distance  may be tolerated to avoid extremes in the
other parameters.  For a .25MMTY ETSI type pipeline,  the  often  quoted  water
requirement of 15,000 acre feet/year includes only the steady state operation.
Flushing the entire pipeline would  require  a  short  term  increase  in  the
pumping  rate  to  28,800  acre feet/year.  ,If the pipelines do not return the
water to the origin after dewatering at the receiving  end,  the  availability
and the cost of water can be a problem,  western water costs may be as high as
§3.50/1000 gallons.  Evaporation of the slurry water at the receiving end  via
power  plant  use  can  release  as  much as 1.7 tons/day of ooal fines to the
atmosphere for a shipment of .25MMTY.  As yet, there is  no  solution  to  this
problem.  Returning the water by pumping it back to the mine area after adding
the make-up water means a significant added cost of pipeing  and  pumping  but
solves the problem of water availability.

            The lack of  flexibility  in  economic  shipping  capacity  is  an
important  feature  of  the slurry pipeline.  A line designed for 3.5 mph flow
velocity cannot be safely operated at a velocity below 3 mph without plugging.
Operation at 5 mph requires a design providing for double the horsepower, peak
pressure, and wear.   Even  if  operating  economy  is  sacrificed,  operating
flexibility  remains  in  a narrow range.  The lower limit of approximately 65
percent load capacity would contain 38 percent coal in the slurry.

            For long distance shipments, comparable to those , which  might  be
used  to  import  western  coal  into  the  ORBES  region, individual pipeline
capacity would be in the range of .2kH25MMTY.  Cost economies can  be  achieved
by  even  larger pipelines but, given any reliability problems and the lack of
consumers of sufficient size to consume the throughput, larger  lines  do  not
appear  likely.   Even  a  26MMTY  pipeline  would supply 4-5 very large power
plants.  If they are not located in, say, a power park, pipeline branching  or

                                     II1-F-60

-------
mixed mode distribution is necessary.

            It is unlikely that barge or rail can  be  successfully   used   tor
distributing  slurry  line  tnroughput even witn some intermediate dewatering.
It tne particle sized slurry is too dry, dusting will occur.  ,It  it  is wet,  a
weight  penalty  is  incurred which, when added to the necessary  surge storage
ana transloading cost, would make the operation uneconomic.

            Branching a slurry  pipeline  was  originally   suggested tor   the
proposed  Houston  Natural  Gas  slurry  pipeline.  This solution is, however,
limited by the need to avoid  line  burst  pressures  on   the   one   hand,   and
suboperational throughput rates en the other.  Analysis has  shown  [1J that  tor
any single branch the throughput rate, for an  ETSI  type   line designed   for
branching,  cannot  exceed  -14  percent  or  +23 percent  of design  flow rate.
Additional branches create multiple problems,  while the difficulties decrease
as  the  branch  size decreases, as each terminus must have  its own  dewatering
facility, system transport costs may rise unacceptably.  Tapping  into a  line
(i.e.,  one  not designed for branching) is even more difficult unless the  tap
is very small.
            f'or relatively short distances, as in the uKctS  region,  pipelines
of  the Black Mesa size  (SiWTif) may be useful.  These would  be consistent with
a given O-D pair.  It, however, larger pipelines are anticipated,  in  addition
to  tne  orancning  problem at the distribution end, the problem exists  at  the
gathering end.  The througnput flexibility is in the same range  as  that   tor
distributional  brancning.   The  difficulty  arises because of the relatively
smaller mine sizes in the east.  .In some locations, even bMM:f₯ from  a   single
mine  may  be difficult to achieve.  Additional gathering costs may have to be
added to the pipeline system costs.  The  ability  to   tap   into   an  existing
pipeline tor gathering purposes is practically nil  13] .


     3.2.2  CUbT t£.TlMA'f£

            Table 3.2 provides a facility description for costing  coal   slurry
pipelines.   Figures  3.6 and 3.7 may be used tor estimating pipeline costs to
and within the ORBES region.  The lower water cost estimate  may  be  used   for
pipelines  within  the  region,  the  higher  estimate  for  western  imports.
tilectric costs for pipeline pumping can be purchased  locally  or  transmitted
from  the  power  plant  using  the  slurry.   A  power  cost of less than  1.5
cents/kwh cannot be expected; 2.5  cents /kwh  is  a  more  likely  cost  under
current conditions.

            For a 25Mi»iTx shipment, each station would have   to  nave  a  lined
holding  pond  tor  dumping and a water pump and water  reservoir for flushing.
Tnese are safeguards against paver failures, accidents  and plugging.  A  review
of tne literature and the problems may be found in reference [4] .  t'or dumping
the hold-up in each l&u mile segment, a holding pond of one  acre should  have a
depth of .1140 feet.  Recovery by dredging is possible, but reinjecting into  the
pipeline is not simple and the cost is not included.  The  minimum land area
for  a  pumping  station  is  4  acres.  The ETSI estimate of 3.66MM ft  tor a

-------
                         TARTJ3 III-F-15.

            Itemized Capital Costs of Black Mesa and
            wyoming-ArKansas Coal Slurry Pipelines
                                    Black Mesa         Vvyoming-Arkansas
                                     273 miles           1,040.miles
 :Prejparatj.cn                      5 x 10_  tons/y_r     25 x^ Ifc^  tons/yr
  1.
  2.
  3.
  4.
  5.
  6.
  7.
  a.
  9.
 10.
 11.
 12.
 13.
 14.
 15.
 16.
 17.
 18.
 21.
 22.
 23.
 24.

 25.
26 (a)
27.
28 (a)
Truck hopper
Initial crushing and cleaning
Stocking conveyor

Raw storage
Active storage
Dozers and scrapers
Conveyor transfer tower

Conveyor to bunkers
Bunkers and feeders
Operating plant
Vibrator

Rod mill
Vibrator
Slurry holding tank
Slurry test loop

Vvells and water pumps
water working storage
hater reservoir and pipe
water pipeing and rust
inhibitor injectors

1OTAL : Preparation 	
Mainline
Collecting and branch lines
Coal in pipeline 	
0.05
1.0
0.2
..1.0...
0.68
1.0
0.6
0.2
..0.3...
0.15
0.15
1.0
0.2
..0.5...
1.5
0.15
0.6
0.05
..0.05..
1.25
0.35
0.3

0.1
..5.0...
.17.88..
45.6

.45.83.,
0.25
5.0
1.0
	 	 5.0
3.4
5.0
3.0
1.0
	 	 1.5
0.75
0.75
5.0
1.0
, 	 	 2.5
7.5
0.75
.3.0
0,25
, 	 .0.25
6.25
1.75
1.5

0.5
	 25.0

26 (b) 700
190
OQA A
»••••*•*•• \jJt • •*
                                      III-F-62

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                        TABLE III-F-15.

            Itemized Capital Costs of Black Mesa and
            Wyoming-Arkansas Coal Slurry Pipelines
                     (Continued)


                                  Black Mesa          Wyoming-Arkansas
                                   273 miles            1,040 miles
Separation                        5_ x_ 10_  tons/yr     25_ :s 1&_  tons/yr


29(a) . Permanent storage              4.8             29(b)  13.0
30.    Holding tanks                  2.1                   Ik).5
31.    Dewatering centrifuges         4.0                    .Id
32.    Pulverizers                    to.y   .                  4.5
33.    Flocculating tanks             0.7  •                   3.5
34.    Pipeing                        fa.15                    0.75


       TOTAL:  Separation	12.65	      50.25


       TOTAL CAPITAL COST	76.36	1034.0


  1.  Five 125-ton trucks for transport from the mine @ $30,000 each.
  2.  Truck hopper @ $50,000.
  3.  Two 28 ft by 14 ft diameter rotary breakers, $>l,000/ton/hr x 660   ton/hr
      x 1.5 [4a].
  4.  Movable stacking conveyor, $800/ft x 250 ft  [4b].
  5.  200,000 tons coal @ $5/ton inactive storage.
  6.  35,000 tons coal $ $5/ton raw storage + feeder and  site  development  @
      $500,000  [4c,5].
  7.  38,000 tons coal @ $5/tcn active storage + rotary plow, structure  above,
      and site development @ $810,000  [4c,5].
  8.  Four bulldozers or scrapers @ $150,000.
  9.  400 ft by 30 in. conveyor, $250/ft equipment x 400 ft x 1.28   labor  and
      material/material x 1.6  [4d,6a].
 10.  Transfer tower with 300 ton bin; coal sampled and weighed @ $300,000.
 11.  300 ft x 30 in. conveyor, $250/ft equipment x 300 ft x  1.28   labor  and
      material/materials x 1.6  [4d,6a].
 12.  Three 590 ton bunkers with feeders @ $50,000.
 13.  Operating plant $ $1,000,000.
 14.  Three 6 ft x 10 ft twindeck vibrators, 3 x $l,100/ft2  x  f>0°'^   ft^  x
      1.32 installation x 2.4 stainless stell x 1.5  [6a].
                                      III-F-63

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                              TABLE II-F-15.

                 Itemized Capital Costs of Black Mesa and
                 Wyoming-Arkansas Coal Slurry Pipelines
                            (Continued)


15.  Three impactors, 290 tons/hr, 3 x $85/ton/hr x  290     tons/hr  x  1.57
     installation x 1.5 [ba].
16.  Three 18 ft x 13 ft I.D. rod mills, 1,500 hp, 150 tons  of  rods,  3(150
     tons x 2,000 Ib x $l/lb + $20,000/motor x 8.5 installation) [7,8].  2
17.  Three 3.5 ft x  4  ft  wedge  wire  screen  vibrator,  3  x  $900/ft   x
     14B*5vft   x  1.32  installation x 2.4 stainless steel x 3 wedge wire x
     1.5 [6a].
18.  Four 650,000 gallon tanks with 10 ft 125 hp agitator,  4($60,000/tank  x
     1.75  inflation  +  $350/hp  x  125w'b  hp  x  1.62  installation  x 1.5
     inflaction) + $100,000 slurry tower.
19.  206 ft test loop, 4,200 pgm @ $50,000.
20.  100 acres @ $500/acre.
21.  Five 3,400 ft wells and pumps @ $250,000 [9],
22.  150 ft diameter x 48 ft high, 6.3 x 10° gal water storage tank, $200,000
     x 1.75 [6b].
23.  3 x 10  gal plastic lined tank and 14 in.,  two-mile  pipe,  $150,000  x
     1.75 + $40,000 pipe [6b].
24.  Pipeing and rust inhibitor injectors @ $100,000.
25.  Three 1,750 hp, 330 tons/hr coal  equivalent  slurry  pumps,  1,000  psi
     discharge, 3 x $1,33k),00k) + $1,000,000 accessories  [6c].
2ba. $7,120,000 pumping x 5 x 10  tons/9  x  10b  tons  x  1.65  inflation  +
     $37,590,000  mainline x 273 miles/344 miles x 5 x 10b/9 x 10b tens x 2.1
     inflation - $5,000,000 first pumping station §10].
26b. ($13,000,000 +$3,400,000) x 5 pipeline valuation in Niobrara and  Goshen
     Counties,   Wyoming,   x  1,040  miles/106  miles  x  0.91  deflation  -
     $25,000,000, first pumping station  [9].
27.  ($20,800,000 + 3,600,000) x 5 collecting pipeline valuation in  Campbell
     and  Converse Counties, Wyoming, x 2 destination supply lines as well as
     collecting lines x 0.91 deflation  [9J.
28a. 46,000 tons coal in pipe @ $5/ton.
28b. 875,000 tons coal in pipe @ $5/ton.
29a. Two 36 x 10  gal storage tanks in a ground plastic.-!ined, 90  tons  coal
     each,  2($200,000 for  6 x 10  gal tank item 22 x 6    size factor x 1.75
     inflation + 90,000 tons coal x $10/ton)  [6b,8].
29b. 1 x 10° tons coal hauled by train and stored dry @  $10/ton  +$3,000,000
     for facilities.
30.  Three 6 x 10  gal holding tanks, 15,500 tons of coal, 3($200,000/tank  x
     1.75  inflation  +  $200,000  agitator  and  accessories + 15,500 tons x
     $10/ton)  [6b,8].
31.  Twenty centrifuges, 20 x $35,000/centrifuge x  3.1  process  plant  cost
     ratio x 1.9  [8,lib].
32.  Ten pulverizers, $520/lb x  (660  tons/hr  x  2,000  lb/ton)0.35  x  1.59
     installation x 1.8  [6a].
33.  Two 200 ft I.D. tanks  @ $350,000  [6bJ.
34.  Pipeing @ $150,000.


                                    III-F-64

-------
  FIGURE III-F-14
   1.8  -
  1.7  -
  1.6
   1.5
   1.4
   1.3
UJ
   1.2
£>•'
UJ
o
  1.0
  0.9
  0.8
  0.7
  0.6
                                                           RETURN
                                                           WATER
                             $2.68/1000 gal.
                             $ I.07/I000gal.
             250      500
750      1000
   MILES
1250     1500     1750
               UNIT  COST -  COAL  SLURRY  PIPELINES
                                 III-F-65

-------
7
             20
              18
              16
              14
              12
              10
RETURN
WATER
                                                                                   $2.68/1000 gal.
                                                                                   $1.0771000 gal.
                                                                                                     *
                                                                                                     H
                                                                                                     U1
                     200300400    600    800    1000    1200   1400   1600    1800   2000
                                               MILES
                             UNIT COST - COAL SLURRY  PIPELINES

-------
dumping pond at each station is correct, but a holding pond of ten times
this  capacity  might  be  needed at the delivery point.  Flushing water
amounting to 27.4MM gallons  is  needed.   rience,  the  water  reservoir
should  be  3.bbMM  ft .   Considerable storage capacity is needed at the
terminal site for containment  of  the  underflow  for  storage  of  the
dewatered  cake, and for  hold up to insure against reliability problems.
Surge storage capacity will also be needed  to  contain  the  continuous
slurry flow during such times that the power plant is not operating.

      The purchase or lease of the right of way for buried lines, except
at  stations,  is similar to oil and gas pipelines.  Major towns must be
bypassed, river crossings, ravines and gorges may  require  the  use  of
cable  suspended  pipe.   Cold weather can pose a problem on the exposed
portion of the pipe.  No existing slurry pipeline passes through a  hard
freeze area.
                               Hl-F-b?

-------
III-F-68

-------
         4.  UNIT TRAIN - GOAL SLURRY PIPELINE COST COMPARISONS
     Table 4.1 shows the import costs of coal from  the  northern  great
plains to selected points in the ORBES region.

     The pipeline costs are based upon a fully utilized,  38"  pipeline,
25MMTY  operation,  with  water  costs  estimated  at  over  $2.50/1,000
gallons.  If the utilization rate decreases by 13 percent   (from  a  3.5
mph  to  the minimum permissible 3.0 mph throughput rate) costs increase
about 15 percent.  The cost range estimate includes both  returning  the
water  to the point of origin  (the high) and no water return.  Distances
are the linear mileages between the O-D pairs.  No cost estimate is made
of  river crossings or specific rerouting requirements.  An exception to
the route linearity assumption was made for points along the Great Lakes
if  the  linearity  suggests  crossing  the  lake.   Here  the  shortest
practicable land route was used.

     Unit train costs are also based on a movement of 25MMTY.  The route
distances  reflect  the  shortest  track  mileage between O-D pairs.  In
addition, track mileage  for  a  spur  into  the  mining  area  and  for
rerouting  around  cities  and  towns   (15  percent)  was assessed.  The
utilization rate of 100 percent reflects a 274 day/year  operation.   An
80  percent utilization rate reflects a shorter work year with equipment
leased out at less than the annual cost rate while 120 percent  capacity
reflects  a  longer  work  year  and  equipment  leasing  at  a premium.
Finally, it  was  assumed  that,  even  with  upgrading,  a  10  percent
bottleneck restriction applied  (10 percent of route distance at 10 mph).

     The route cost compariscns in Table 4.1 must be viewed  subject  to
the   following  caveats.   In  general,  unit  train  costs  have  been
overstated while the coal slurry pipeline costs have been understated.

     With respect to unit trains, the entire cost of track  and  roadbed
upgrading  has  been  assigned to the unit train movement.  Clearly, the
upgrading yields  benefits  to  the  movement  of  other  freight.   The
assignable  benefits are, however, dependant on the route specific ratio
of coal traffic to total rail traffic.  As upgrading  is  a  significant
portion  of  unit train costs, for specific routes these costs should be
reduced.  Similarly, no credit is given  to  the  railroads  for  either
route  or  freight  flexibility.   Unlike  pipelines,  multiple  use  of
facilities is practised and, in the event of a blockage rerouting, at  a
cost,  is feasible.  With or without the advent of a national emergency,
this flexibility  is desirable  if only on a standby  basis.   The  value,
though  difficult  to  assess,  is  non-zero.   Finally, the possibility
exists for at least some lines of a cost sharing  back-haul.   This  has
been discussed in terms of garbage or sewage for land fill  [1].
                               III-F-69

-------
              TO
H
H
St. Louis



Chicago



Detroit



Cleveland



Pittsburgh



Paducah



Louisville




Cincinati
                                         TABLE III-F-16.


                  Coal Transport - Import Costs - Origin
                  Unit Costs, Rail and Coal Slurry
                                                   - Destination Pairs -
From
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Gillette
Colstrip
Slurry
Distance
(Miles)
935
1050
975
1050
1225
1325
. 1300
1400
1403
1500
1080
1200 .
1170
1270
1220
1300
Cost
($/Ton)
7.95-11.34
8.65-12.53
8.21-11.75
8.69-12.53
9.82-14.35
10.47-15.38
10.31-15.12
10.95-16.16
10.95-16.16
11.60-17.20
8.89-12.84
9.66-14.09
9.47-13.78
10.12-14.81
9.79-14.29
10.31-15.12
Distance
(Miles)
1060
1300
1100
1160
1350
1470
1400
1550
1500
1600
1175
1400
1280
1400
1350
1470
Unit Train
Cost
($/Ton)
(80%) (100%) (120%)
9.19
11.80
9.62
10.26
12.38
13.78
12.97
14.76
14.13
15.40
10.42
12.97
11.57
12.97
12.38
13.78
8.27
10.65
8.66
9.24
11.19
12.45
11.72
13.37
12.79
13.95
9.36
11,72
10.44
11.72
11.19
12.47
7.79
10.12
8.17
8.74
10.65
11.91
11.17
12.80
12.22
13.37
8.89.
11.17
9.91
11.17
10.65
11.91

-------
     The understatement of slurry line costs  starts  with  the  mileage
linearity  estimate.   This  was necessary as, except for the ETSI line,
slurry pipeline routes are still prospective.  It is probable that a  10
percent mileage addition should be considered to avoid difficult terrain
and avoid cities and towns.  The water cost for the  pipeline  has  been
estimated at over $2.50/1,000 gallons.  A probable cost may be closer to
$3.50/1,000 gallons [1], especially if several  pipelines  are  to  corns
from  a  drought  prone area.  Because the ETSI, Black Mesa, and Houston
Natural Gas cost estimates formed the basis for the  cost  elements,  no
provision  was  made  for reihjection equipment at pumping stations that
would be needed if slurry were dumped.  Additionally, as no solution  to
the  problem  of  the  disposal  of  fines  has been suggested, the cost
element implicit in the solution has been omitted.  For the same reason,
there  has  been  no  assessment  of restart costs due to line breakage,
plugging, or power failure.  Line costs  assume  full  capacity  optimal
flow  operation  (compared  to  the  limiting assumptions made for rail)
although there is a rapid increase in cost due  to  less  than  capacity
operation.   This is approximately the inverse fraction of full load; an
80 percent load factor implies an increase in  unit  cost  of  about  25
percent.  The lack of pipeline flexibility has been described above.  It
is inherent because a coal slurry operation, due to  the  deposition  or
settling  propertities  of the suspension, is not similar to a crude oil
or gas pipeline operation.  Routes, differential coal qualities going to
different   receivers,   flow  rate,  and  pipeline  branching  are  all
relatively or totally inflexible.  While a pipeline, compared to a  unit
train,  does  not  necessarily carry ash and sulfur, due to grinding and
possible separation prior to slurrification, that water take up  by  the
coal  which is not removed by dewatering, must be removed by heating (at
a cost) or the cost must be assessed by derating the power plant.

     Inflation is an important factor in both unit train and coal slurry
costing.    The  principal  elements  are  labor,  steel,  pipeline  and
trackage, equipment, and power.  Increasing wage rates affect unit train
operations  more than they do coal slurry pipelines.  However, the labor
component of a unit train operation may be easily  overstated.   Because
they  are  in continuous origin-destination operation, the trains do not
need the  usual  yard  and  other  labor  associated  with  freight  and
passenger movements.  Only a part of track and roadbed maintenance labor
should be ascribed to the coal train.  Loading and unloading  facilities
are  not  significantly  more  labor  intensive  than  those of a slurry
pipeline.  The differences due to this factor, over time,  are  probably
not  great.   This  is particularly true when divided by large tonnages.
Differences due to power cost increases are also not great.  There is no
evidence  that  electric  power rates for the slurry line will rise more
slowly than will diesel fuel oil  prices.   If  electric  utilities  are
forced  to  alter  their rate making practices to, say, only a levelized
rate structure, slurry lines will experience a one time  large  increase
in  their  power  costs.   Steel requirements for an ETSI sized line are
about one million tons.  For the  upgrading  of  a  competing  railroad,
including rolling stock, they are about half as much.  For the railroad,
some salvage value  (increasing with inflation)  may  be  expected.   The

                               III-F-71

-------
ability  to  optimize purchases of trackage and equipment on a cash flow
anticipated demand basis may offset the price  increase  due  to  delay.
Pipelines  also have a salvage value but the cost of digging them up  (an
apparently little used requirement at the end of their useful  life)  is
likely  to  be greater than the value of the metal.  In the near future,
as steel prices increase, the effects on pipelines are  relatively  more
severe.   Increases  in both rail and pipeline equipment costs have been
included in this and the previous study [1].

     The cost comparisons in Table  4.1  are  1976  based.   While  coal
slurry  pipeline  costs  have  been inflated based on crude oil pipeline
factors [1,23], they may have been  increased  on  an  inadequate  base.
Data  for  unit  train  costing  comes from many sources.  Data for coal
slurry pipelines is very limited.  The Black  Mesa  line  is  a  private
pipeline.   Capital costs for the pipeline may have been absorbed by  the
companies at either end [4],  The.ETSI and HNG pipelines  are,  as  yet,
only  prospective.   Their promoters are unlikely to have overstated  the
costs.
                               III-F-72

-------
                       5.  EXTRA HIGH VOLTAGE TRANSMISSION


5.1  INTRODUCTION
     Coal, as electrical energy in large blocks, can be transported from  mine
mouth  generating plants to distant load centers.  Both DC and AC transmission
have been investigated over routes to Chicago from Beulah, North Dakota,  from
Gillette,  Wyoming,  and  from Colstrip, Montana [4].  EHV transmission can be
viewed as a method of importing coal to the  ORBES  region.   If  the  primary
power  plant  input is liqnite or a low Btu subbituminous coal, EHV may be the
only cost effective means of long distance transport.

     AC transmission is being challenged by DC because  transmission  voltages
have reached levels which are so high that reactive compensation is too costly
and line losses are high, dictating a switch to DC  transmission.   Currently,
there are eleven major HVDC lines in operation with more in the final planning
stage.  HVDC systems have a much higher power density within a given right  of
way  than  an  AC  system,  providing  economic  and environmental advantages.
Furthermore, in transmitting the same amount of  power,  over  the  same  size
conductor,  at the same peak load gradient, for the same distance line, losses
are smaller with direct current.  AC line losses are about 33 percent  greater
than  those  for  DC.   The chief drawback to the use of DC for electric power
transmission is the high  cost  of  HVDC  terminal  equipment.   Environmental
issues  concerning  extra  high  voltage transmission lines center around line
leakage, physiological effects  due  to  proximity,  noise,  odor,  radio  and
television and other communication interference and aesthetics.
5.2  EHV COSTS
     The cost results are based on a prior analysis [4].  The cost comparisons
are  based  on point to point lines, with complete terminal facilities at each
end, for a range of loads and distances.  AC - DC systems  are  non-comparable
if  either  one  has  more  intermediate  line terminals or line taps than the
other.

     A cost model  for  extra-high  voltage  transmission  was  formulated  to
evaluate  the  economics  of  an EHV transmission line for source to load long
distance electrical energy transfer.   It  was  also  used  to  formulate  and
demonstrate  the  economic  comparison between EHV-AC and EHV-DC transmission.
Thus, the analysis can be used to estimate electric  transmission  costs  from
the  west into the ORBES region, and for EHV transmission over relatively long
distances within the region.  It should be noted that the cost  of  generating
the electricity is not included.  Distribution costs are also excluded.
                                     III-F-73

-------
     The results of the analysis are presented in Table 5.1  and  Figure  5.1.
In  Table  5.1,  the  points  of  origin  are  Beulah, North Dakota, Colstrip,
Montana, and Gillette, Kiyoming.  The table may serve as a generalized facility
descriptor.   Figure  5.1,  provides  a  means for estimating EHV transmission
costs both within and into  the ORBES region.
                                      III-F-74

-------
               TABLE III-F-17.   EHV Route Specific Costs
Estimated Transmission Length  (Mi)
Heating Value of Coal  (Btu/lb)
Coal Consumption (MTon/Year)

Transmission Voltage  (kv)
Transmission Loading  (MW)
Delivered Power  (MVv)
Transmission Efficiency  (%)

CAPITAL COSTS;
  Sending Substation
  Transmission Facilities
  .Deceiving Substation
  Line Compensation
  Right of way Cost

    Total Capital Costs

ANNUAL FIXED .COSTS;
  Sending Substation     ^
  Transmission Facilities
  Receiving Substation
  Line Compensation

    Total Annual Fixed Costs

ANNUAL OPERATION COSTS;'*'
  Sending Substation
  Transmission Facilities
  Receiving Substation
  Line Compensation
  Electrical Energy Losses

    Total Annual Operation Costs
North Dakota
to
Chicago
858
7500
15.0.
+600 765
DC AC
3000 3000
2736
91.
123.
,202.
120.
0
27.
472.
17.
27.
16.
0
61.
2.
2.
3.
0
23.
2675
2
0
5
3

0
9
1
34
73

16
88
63
13

13
89.
:35.
:303.
41.
128.
34.
543.
4.
40.
5.
17.
69.
0.
3.
1.
1.
28.
2
65
5
30
6
75
8
96
97
74
87
54
83
95
07
67
47
Wyoming
to
Chicago
990
11700
9.6
+600 765
DC AC
3000 3000
2700
90.
123.
233.
:118.
0
31.
506.
17.
31.
16.
0
65.
2.
3.
3.
0
26.
2628
0
0
6
8

2
7
1
54
52

16
88
04
09

28
87
,35
,350
41
152
40
619
4
47
5
21
79
0
4
1
1
32
.6
.65
.1
.30
.2
.1
.4
.96
.27
.74
.16
.12
.83
.55
.07
.98
.95
Montana
to
Chicago
1089
8700
12.9
+600 765
DC AC
3000 3000
2676
89.
;123.
-257.
117.
0
34.
532
17.
34.
17.
0
68.
2.
3.
3.
0
.29.
2595
2
0
0
7

3

1
70
36

15
88
34
06

96
86
,35
,385
41
170
44
676
4
52
5
23
86
0
5
1
2
•35
.5
.65
,2
.30
.0
.1
.2
.96
.0
.74
.62
.31
.83
.00
.07
.21
.48
31.77  :35.99   ,35.29  41.02   ,39,24  44.59
                                     III-F-75

-------
                 TABLE III-F-17.  EHV Route Specific Costs
                                       (Continued)
Estimated Transmission Length  (Mi)
Heating Value of Coal  (Btu/lb)
Coal Consumption  (MTon/Year)

Transmission Voltage  (kv)
TOTAL ANNUAL COST:
North Dakota
to
Chicago
858
7500
15.0
+600 765
DC AC
Wyoming
to
Chicago
990
11700
9.6
+600 765
DC. AC
Montana
to
Chicago
1089
8700
12.9
+600 765
DC AC
 92.93 105.53  100.45  120.14   107.39  130.90
  UNIT COSTS;
    Mills/Ton-Mile
      (equivalent coal)
    Mills/kw
      (as received)
  7.92   9.19   11.74  14.43

  3.88   4.50    4.25   5.22
8.57  10.7

4.58   5.76
Land Requirement for
Transmission Lines
(Acres)
18018  23166   20790  26730   22870  29403
 + Excluding right of way, $1500/acre.
++ Includes administrative and general expenses @ 30% of operating costs.
 * Based on FPC P-38 Annual Fixed Charges Rate.
** Consistent with "as mined" HV data.
                                      III-F-76

-------
                           Estimated Unit Cost of EHV Transmission of 3000 Mw  (1975$)
hn
I"
     "8   *
      O
      0>
      (A
     I
     -!   2
                            200
                                          I
                             1
400           600           800


Transmission Distance  (Miles)
1000
                                                             H
                                                             H


                                                             I
1200

-------
III-F-78

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         6.  COAL GATHERING/DISTRIBUTION - TRUCKS AND CONVEYOR BELTS


6.1  INTRODUCTION
     Trucks and conveyor belts are the principle modes  used  for  short  haul
coal transportation.  Their use has recently extended to distances of over 100
miles for trucks, but this is relatively rare  in  the  ORBES  region.   Their
potential  for  high  volume  transport  is considerably less than that of the
modes described above.

     Conveyor belts are an established means for  the  movement  of  coal  and
ores.   Except  for  excessive  grades, in terms of the angle of repose of the
material carried, belt systems are not geographically  limited.   Belt  routes
are  not  circuitous.   However  once  in place, they lack flexibility of both
location and capacity.  Because they operate above ground, their use  involves
the purchase of a right of way and land alienation.  They are relatively noisy
and, unless covered, produce dusting if the material, like coal,  is  friable.
Covering  the  system  also  protects  the  coal  against  freezing in winter.
However the system operates relatively poorly in extremely cold weather.

     Because operations are continuous  and  construction  costs  front-ended,
high,  continuous  capacity  operation  is  desirable.   This  is particularly
evident for distances of more than a few miles.  This  study  concentrates  on
belt distances of 3.5-100 miles.  The latter is, perhaps, too long although it
can be achieved by several modular flights.  In-house  conveyor  belt  systems
are not considered here.                            :

     A belt system may be viewed as a loading adjunct to a  mining  operation,
as  from  a pit head to a rail or barge facility.  It may also be viewed as an
extension of a barge facility to an inland consumption point.

     Like  conveyor  belts,  coal   movement   by   truck   is   not   limited
geographically,  but  only  by  road  access.   Typically, their route is more
circuitous than that for  belts  for  given  origin  destination  pairs.   The
environmental  impacts  include  road deterioration, spillage, dusting, noise,
exhaust fumes, and a contribution to traffic congestion.  As a system,  trucks
are relatively energy inefficient compared to other transport modes.

     The advantage of this form of transport lies in its  incremental  nature,
the  ability  to add or subtract from a fleet at the appropriate time based on
forseen service demands.  For the same reason, costs are not  front-ended.   A
trucking  system  can  be  added to optimally over time,  while unit and labor
costs may be high, no right of way costs are imposed  (other than fuel  taxes).
Thus,  a  private  advantage  lies with this form of transport compared to the
social cost.  While high  capacity  utilization  has  become  more  important,
trucking is still a principal choice of transport for small mines.  Because of
the lower fuel efficiency, increases in diesel costs  weigh  significantly  on
truck transport and are relatively more important than the effect of increased
power costs on conveyor belts.


                                     III-F-79

-------
6.2  COST ANALYSES
     The analysis of costs contained  in  this  section  is  an  extension  of
results  previously  obtained   [1].  In that study, the basic costing data for
both modes were collected and heuristic models and computer programs developed
to  ascertain  total costs per ton-mile for a range of tonnages and distances.
Because the models were based on an optimization design, the  costs  developed
may  be  low.   In  the present analysis, the data bases and computer programs
were used to develop total cost estimating equations which  not  only  replace
the computer program, but provide a measure of both sensitivity and the direct
impact on total costs of single or multiple changes in  the  input  variables.
As  the  equations developed are generalized, it is not necessary to provide a
new computer run for each change in the input variables.
                                       I*
     The methodology employed  is  a  2   fractional  factorial  design   [22].
Because the variables can be considered separately, the results are applicable
not only to  a  specific  region,  but  to  individual  routes  or  particular
situations.  The results of the analysis agree closely with those of the prior
study.

     The analysis of transport costs is presented in  Table  6.1.   The  input
variable values, model structure, and programs are found in [1, Sections 5 and
6].  A single change has been made in the data.   In  the  prior  study,  road
maintenance  and construction costs associated with coal haulage by truck were
based on national averages.  This has been altered, from the same  source,  to
provide these costs on a basis more nearly consistent with the ORBES region.

     Because the analysis is based on the original data set,  both  the  truck
and  belt  analyses contained here are specific to the movement of coal.  They
cannot be used out of context.


     6.2.1  CONVEYOR BELTS

            From the model equations developed in reference [1], the variables
and  their  interactions  with  respect  to  cost  were  isolated.  These were
analyzed separately by a series of computer runs both as a check on the former
analysis and to provide the operative variables and the limits of their range.
For a coal carrying conveyor belt system these are:

     Variable Specification       Units     Range Limit

       Xj:  belt capacity         MMTY      5.00-0.5
       ^2'  overall length miles   100-3.5
       x-ji  max. coal lump size    inches      6-10
       x4:  belt incline          degrees     0-12
       x,-:  hp cost increase over
       „    1977 levels            (times)     1-2.5
       Y:  total transport cost    $/tcn       	


                                     III-F-80

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                           TABLE III-F-18.

            Coal Transport Costs,  Trucks and Conveyor Belts
                                 (^/ton/mile)
Distance   Tons/₯r.
(Miles)
                   Belt
               (8" Max. Coal)
                      Truck
                3 axle    5 axle
  3.5
  3.5
  3.5
  3.5

  3.5
  792,000
  594,000
  250,000
  100,000

1,000,000
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
50.0
50.0
100.0
100.0
7,000,000
5,000,000
1,000,000
250,000
100,000
1,000,000
250,000
5,000,000
1,000,000
 38.0
  8.0
157.0
390.0
                                4.9
                                6.7
                               31.0
                              128.0
                              284.0
5.9-12.0

5.8-6.4



5.8-6.4

5.8-6.4
                                             3.6-4.0
                                             3.4-5.9
                                                        3.4-3.9
                                                        3.4-3.. 9
                                5.9
                               28.0
Source:   [1J


Note:  For truck transport, for each pair of costs, the lower
       excludes apportioned road maintenance and construction
       costs.
                                     III-F-81

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Using the maximum and minimum of the variable range, Table 6.2  is  developed.
In  the  table,  a  positive  sign  represents  a maximum value for each x , a
negative sign a minimum value.  The Y column is  developed  by  assigning  the
appropriate  maxima  and  minima  values  to  each  variable  in  each row and
providing a computer run to obtain the solution.  The table was extended to  a
15  by  16 size to account for the cost effect of interaction among variables.
The coefficients for the  estimating  equation  are  obtained  by  a  weighted
averaging  of  each  column.   For  example,  the  coefficient of column x, is
obtained by:


     (+75.74 + 69.08 + 53.92 + 51.70 - 12.24 	)/16


The resulting estimating equation is:


S = 19.659 + 14.778x*
T J.1 . / /OA-,
*
16.084x2 +
*
+ 0.608x5 H
*
+ 1.01X24 H

*
2.694x3 + 1
*
h 12.091x12
*
- 0.498x25 +

*
.232x4
*
+ 2.61x13
*
2.29x45



*
* 2.205x23


The cost results of this equation  agree,  within  a  two  percent  margin  of
overall  error,  with  the analysis in reference [1] .  The coefficients of the
variables indicate the relative importance of the terms.  For example, a  unit
change in x, , produces a $14.78 increase per ton in total costs.  It should be
noted that those interactive terms for which the coefficients are  very  small
have been omitted.  These interactive terms are obtained by row multiplication
in Table 6.2.   (eq, for row one, x,2 = xixo or + times + equals  +)  and  then
proceeding  with  the  column  averaging  as described above.  At the price of
increasing the error of the estimate, individual terms may be dropped if  only
a rough estimate is desired.
                 *
            The x  variables are multiples of the natural units.  To transform
the equation into these units, the following transforms are employed:
     x  =  (l/x-L - l.D/0.9

     x* =  (x2 - 55) /45

     x* =  (10.9 - 4.55x3 +  &.375(x3)2)/2.9
      *
     x  =  (Sin x4 -  0.104)/0.104

     x* =  (x5 -  0.048D/0.0206

                                     III-F-82

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 TABLE III-F-19.  2k~1 Factorial Design
                    +    +      75.74
                                69.08
                    +    -      53.92
                    -    +      51.70
                    +    -      12.24
                    +    -      10.03
                         +       7.71
                    +    -       7.18
                         +       6.96
                    +    +       5.79
                                 5.51
                                 5.12
                    +    +       1.39
                    +    -       0.83
                                 0.73
                         +       0.61
Note:  + indicates the maximum of the variable range
       - indicates the minimum of the variable range
       The values in the Y column are derived   from
       the computer runs in reference [1].
                                     III-F-83

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These are developed from the  range  maxima  and  minima  for  each  variable.
Substituting  the  appropriate  statement  for  each x  and multiplying by the
                                                      a.
respective coefficients provides the costing statement in natural terms:
= -6.656
                 0.1652x2 - 0.4135
                                                 5.0114x
- 51.353 Sin
                    - 111.24x
                             0.
                                     2985x2/x;L
        0.375(x3)2/x1 - 4.55x3/x1 + 0.00634x2(x3) 2
- 0.07688 X2x

+ 1069.36 Sin
                       0.216x2 Sin
In this expanded form the effect of a variable change may  be  read  directly.
For  example, for each mile of increased belt length  (x2) , within the relevant
range, total cost per ton increases by  16.5  cents.   in  this  second  form,
however,  individual terms may not be dropped.  Omitting a term from the first
form of the estimating equation alters the second form.  The overall error  of
estimation of the equation above is 10 percent based on the computer model.
6.2.2  TRUCK TRANSPORT
     Using the methodology outlined above, the principal variables  associated
with the transportation of coal by truck are:
    Variable Specification

Xj: origin-destination distance

x~: speed on positive grades

x..: assessed road maintenance
       and construction
x.: bottlenecks
x,-: fuel cost relative to
       1977 fuel costs
x^: tonnage moved

Y:  transport cost
                                 Units

                                 miles

                                 mph


                                 percent

                                 percent
                                 of distance
                                                    Range Limit

                                                    10-50

                                                    10-45


                                                     0-30


                                                     0-30
                                 (see table)    1.864-6.99

                                 MMTY            0.1-1.0

                                 $/ton
                                     III-P-84

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x, subsumes the empty return cost although the distance is properly stated  as
the delivery mileage.  For x^, level and down hill speeds are assumed to be 55
mph.  x-, can be dropped from the analysis if only private costs  are  desired.
It  is  included  here in order to estimate the impact of the coal movement on
roads.  Bottlenecks, x , are defined as sections of the route requiring 10 mph
operation due to road or other adverse conditions.

     The estimating equation, derived as above, is:              :


Y = 3.361 + 2.27x* + 0.0032x* + 0.01x* + 2.2934x*

     + 1.549x*x* + 0.022x*

       *    *  *
where x7 = xyx,.  All terms of  minor  importance  have  been  dropped.   The
equation  agrees,  overall,  within  two  percent  of the computer analysis in
reference [1].  It should be noted that assigned road costs  and  mileage  are
the  most important factors in determining truck haulage costs.  If the social
cost of road deterioration were charged, coal haulage by truck would  increase
substantially.   Alternatively^  if  these costs are not to be considered, all
terms including the variable x7 can be dropped.

     To obtain the estimating equation in its natural unit form,  substitution
of the following statements is necessary.


x* =  (x1 - 30)/20

x* =  (x2 - 27.5)/17.5

x* =  (x4 - 0.15)/0.15

x* =  (X3/X6> =  (X3/X6 ~ l-5)/1.5


From this we obtain:


2 = - 0.1384 + 0.036x1 +  0.000183x2 + £i.067x4

      + 0.047x5 - 0.021x3/x6 + 0.052x1x3/x6


Again, the results are straight-forward.  For example, increasing the  origin-
destination distance by one mile increases the total cost by 3.6 cents/ten.
                                     II1-F-85

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  TABLE III-F-20.   Fuel Price Relatives
Current Fuel Cost                 Fuel Cost Factor  (xj
1977 Fuel Cost
      0.8                              1.864
      0.9.                             2.097
      1.0                              2.33
      1.1                              2.563
      1.2                              2.796
      1.3                              3.029
      1.4                              3.262
      1.5                              3.495
      2.0                              4.66
      2.5                              5.825
      3.0                              6.99
                                     III-F-86

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                                    REFERENCES
 1.   Rieber, M.,  S.  L.  Soo,  et al,  Comparative Coal Transportation Costs;   An
     Economic  Analysis  of   Truck ,  Belt,  Rail,  Barge  and  Coal Slurry and
     Pneumatic Pipelines, Draft Final Report, CAC Document No. 223, June 1977.

 2.   Leung, S. Y. T.,  A Study and Cost Evaluation of 'pneumatic Coal  Transport
     Pipe! ines ,   (1977)   M.S.  Thesis,  University  of  Ilfinoli  at  Urbana-
     Champaign.

 3.   tou,  J. B.,   Comparative  Coal  Transportation  Capabilities  and  Costs,
     (1977) , M.S. Thesis, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign .

 4.   Rieber, M.,  and S. L. Soo, Route Specific Cost Comparisons:  Unit Trains,
     Coal  Slurry  Pipelines and Extra High Voltage Transmission, CAC "Document
     No. 190, May 1976.

 5.   Ballard, L.   R.,   Coal   Transportation  Costs;   Unit  Train  vs.  Slurry
     Pipeline,   (1976) ,   M.S.  Thesis,  University  of  Illinois  at  Urbana-
     Champaign.

 6.   kieber, M.,  S.  L.  Soo,  and J.  Stukel,  The  Coal  Future:   Ejgpnqmic  and
     Technological  Analysis  of Initiatives"  and  Innovations to Secure Fuel
     Supply Independence, CAC Document No. 163, May 1975.  Report to NSF (NTIS
     PB 24 7-67S/ AS) .

 7.   Ferguson, J. A.,  Unit Train Transpor tat ion of Coal, (1975) , M.S.  Thesis,
     University of Illinois  at Urbana-Champaign (NTIS PB 248-652/AS) , Appendix
     E to Reference 3.

 8.   Soo, S. L.,  et al.,   Coal  Tr an spor tat i on ;   Unit  Trains  -  Slurry  and
     Pneumatic Pigel^nes, Appendix  F to Reference 3.
 9.  Rieber, M.,  and S.  L. Soo, The Feasibility of Coal nine Cooperatives ;   A
     Preliminary  Report  and  Analysis,  CAC  Document  No. 157P, April 1975,
     prepared for the Office of Coal, Federal Energy Administration,  Contract
     P-05-75-6678-0.

10.  Rieber, M.,  Low Sulfur Coal;  A Revision o_f Reserve and Supply Estimates,
     CAC Document No. 88, November 1973, Appendix C of "Reference 3.

11.  U. S. Department of the Interior, Sulfur Reduction 'Potential of the Coals
     of the United States, Bureau of Mines, RI 8118 (1976) .

12.  U.S. Department of  the Interior, The Reserve Base ot^ Coal tor Underground
     Mining in the western United States, Bureau of Mines, 1C 8678 (1975).

13.  U.S. Department of  the Interior,  The  Reserve  Base  of  Bituminous  and
     Anthracite tor Underground Mining _in tne Eastern United States ,~ Bureau of
     Mines, IC~8655 (1974) .
                                     Ill-F-87

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14.  U.S. Department of the interior, The Reserve Base of U.S. Coals by Sulfur
     Content
     1.  The Eastern States
     (Bureau of Mines 1C 8680/1975)
     2.  The Western States
     (Bureau of Mines 1C 8693/1975).

15.  U.S. Army, Corps of Engineers, Waterbofne Commerce of the United  States,
     Calendar Year 1974.

Ib.  U.S. Army, Corps of Engineers, "Summary of  •PE-'Pt;  Commodity  Flow,  1972
     VvCSC Data Projection to 1975, 1980, 1990," Computer printout, (mimeo).

17.  U.S. Army, Corps of  Engineers,  1973  Annual  Report  ot_  the  Chief  ot
     Engineers on Civil works Activities, 1975.

18.  U.S. Army, Corps of Engineers, Chicago  District,  "Duplicate  Locks  GDM
     Phase I," Draft Environmental Statement, December 1974.

19.  Illinois Central Railroad, Market Research Department,  Inland  Waterways
     Transportation, Vol. 2, 1972.

20.  U.S. Army, Corps  of  Engineers,  Inland  Navigation  System  Analysis  -
     Waterway Analysis, 1976.

21.  Electric Power Research Institute, Coal Transportation^ Cagabilit^ of  the
     Existing Rail and Barge Network, 1985 and Beyond, Final Report, September
     1976.

22.  Box,  G.E.P.,  and  J.  S.  Hunter,  "2k  Fractional  Factorial  Design,"
     Technometrics, Vol. 4, No. 3, August 1961, p. 311 ft.

23.  Oil and Gas Journal, 23 August 1976, p. 84.
                                     .III-F-88

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