THE EFFECTS OF SEWERING ON
            LONG ISLAND'S SHELLFISHING INDUSTRY
                          Long Island Sound
                     Atlantic Ocean
A Supplement to the 1972 Final Environmental Impact Statement
   on Waste Water Treatment Facilities Construction Grants
           for Nassau and Suffolk Counties, New York
                      February 1978
          U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                        Region II
                     26 Federal Plaza
                 New York, New York 10007

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USB,1
UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
 V   .,-r                                REGION  II
                                   26 FEDERAL  PLAZA

                               NEW YORK. NEW YORK  1OOO7
                                                                    MAR 3 1
      To All Interested Government Agencies, Public Groups, and Citizens:


      We are herewith transmitting to you for  your information a copy of a report we
      have prepared concerning  the  effects on Long Island's  shellfishing industry of
      certain large-scale sewering projects on the island.  This report was prepared as a
      supplement  to the  final  Environmental Impact Statement  on  Waste  Water
      Treatment  Facilities Construction Grants' for Nassau and SuffoIFBounties, New
      York (July 1972).  Although, this report is a supplement to the 1972 EIS, it is noTa
      comprehensive reconsideration  of  all of  the  issues addressed  in  that EIS; it  is
      strictly  an informational update  on the subject of  sewering's effects on the
      shellfishing industry.

      This supplement was filed with  the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of
      New York  on February 17, 1978  in fulfillment  of a  court requirement.   The
      Environmental Protection Agency has decided to distribute the report to all those
      who expressed an interest in these sewering projects at the time the final EIS was
      issued and  to all  those  involved in the development of the  208-Areawide Waste
      Treatment Management Plan for Nassau and Suffolk counties.

      Since  the nature of  the supplement is  to  provide information,  and since the
      supplement neither  alters the findings of the original  EIS nor proposes  any new
      action on the part  of EPA, comments are not  being solicited.  However, EPA
      would yr&Lcome any new data or information that may become available in the
      futupe /and that  might  be appropriate  in the  consideration of  future agency
      actions./
                "Beck
      Regional Administrator


      Enclosure

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                   THE EFFECTS OF SEWERING ON
               LONG ISLAND'S SHELLFISHING INDUSTRY
  A Supplement to the 1972 Final Environmental Impact Statement
     on Waste Water Treatment Facilities Construction Grants
            for Nassau and Suffolk Counties, New York
                          February 1978
Eckardt C. Beck                                     /bate
Regional Administrator
              U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency
                             Region II
                         26 Federal Plaza
                    New  York, New York  10007

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                        TABLE OF CONTENTS


Chapter                         Title                          Page

  I           INTRODUCTION  	      1

              Purpose and Scope of the Report	      1
              Summary of Information from  the  1972  EIS  ....      4

  II          THE PROBLEM OF IDENTIFYING THE IMPACTS  OF
              OUTFALL SEWERING ON THE LONG ISLAND SHELLFISHING
              INDUSTRY	     1H

               Background	     14
               Sewering Programs of the Area 	     18
               Hydrologic and Oceanographic Characteristics
                of  the  Estuary	     24
               Long Island1s Shellfish Resources  	     27
               Information  Needs	     32

  III         CHANGES IN BASELINE CONDITIONS SINCE  1972 ...     40

               Hydrologic Studies of Long  Island  	     41
               Water Table  Fluctuations and Aquifer
                Storage	     51
               Areas Closed to  Shellfishing 	     53

  IV          STUDIES TO GENERATE ADDITIONAL DATA	     58

               Nassau-Suffolk Streamflow Augmentation
                Study	     59
               Prospective  Study of the Hard Clam Resources
                of  Great South  Bay	     64

  V           CONCLUSION	     69
               APPENDIX	     73

               ABBREVIATIONS USED	     89

               BIBLIOGRAPHY 	     90

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                         LIST OF TABLES
Number
             Title                         Page

Bivalve Mollusk Harvest, New York Marine
District, 1970-1976 .		    30

Bivalve Mollusk Harvest, Great South Bay
Complex, 1970-1976		    31

Acreage Uncertified for Shellfishing,
Nassau and Suffolk Counties, 1972-197? .    54
Appendix
Table 1
Industry of Employment of Bi-County
Residents, 1970 ...		
Appendix
Table 2
Estimated Employment By Industry, 1960-1970,
Nassau-Suffolk	  75
                         LIST 0? FIGURES
Number

  1

  2
             Title
Great South Bay Complex
Page

  9
Areas Closed to Shell fishing, as Reprinted
in the 1972 Final EIS		  12

Nassau County Water Pollution Control
Facilities	  15
                   Suffolk County Water Pollution Control
                   Facilities .„	
                                            16
                   Flow Projections For Study Area Sewer
                   Districts 1977-1986	  22
                   Areas Closed to Shell fishing in August
                   1977			
                                                               55

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    THE EFFECTS  OF  SEWERING ON




LONG ISLAND'S  SHELLFISHING INDUSTRY

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                            CHAPTER I
                          INTRODUCTION
Purpose and Scope of the Report








    In December 1971, the Region II office of the U.S. Environ-



mental Protection Agency  (EPA) issued a draft environmental



impact statement  (EIS) on the proposed federal funding of several



sewage treatment projects on Long Island.  The projects under



consideration ranged from additions and alterations to existing



facilities to construction of new treatment plants and related



facilities.  After public review and comment on the draft EIS,



the statement was revised and a final EIS was issued in July



1972.  The final EIS concluded that on balance the projects were



necessary and environmentally acceptable and, therefore, should



be funded.



    Approximately two and a half years later, in December 1974, a



number of environmental and other organizations, led by the



Environmental Defense Fund, Inc., brought a lawsuit challenging



the practice of using ocean outfalls to dispose of wastewater



treatment plant effluent, and alleging a lack of proper planning



by EPA and the State of New York concerning the management of



water resources on Long Island.  That action, Environmental






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Defense Fund, Inc., et al.f  v. Costle. et *i. L 74-C-1698 (1974),

had as a principal focus the adequacy of the 1972 final EIS.

    On September 16, 1977, the District Court of the United

States for the Eastern District of New York issued its Opinion

and Order in this lawsuit.  While the court upheld generally the

program of ocean disposal of treated effluent and rejected many

of the claimed inadequacies of the 1972 final EIS,, it did find a

reasonable basis for concluding that information advances since

1972 would warrant EPA's taking another, harder look at  the

potential impact on commercial shellfishing on Long Island.

Therefore, the court directed EPA to prepare and file, by

February 15, 1978, a supplement to the 1972 EIS discussing and

analyzing adequately the effect of outfall sewering* upon Long

Island's shellfishing industry.

     Despite  the  fact that five years have passed since the final

EIS  was  issued,  no further study of the specific effects of

outfall  sewering on Long Island's shellfishing industry  has been

undertaken.  The agency did not consider the potential effects on

shellfishing as  significant as those on water supply and surface

waters.  Moreover, potential effects on the shellfishing industry

are  so far removed from the initial action of sewering that a

logical  cause  and  effect relationship  cannot be established


*The term outfall  sewering was used by the court to refer to a
complete management practice for sanitary and industrial
wastewater in  which the wastewater is collected and conveyed by
sewers to a  centralized treatment plant where it undergoes
treatment before being discharged to surface waters through an
outfall  pipe.

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except through the network of primary and intermediate effects.



This then is where the agency has chosen to concentrate its



efforts.



    With the cooperation of state officials and of local



officials on Long Island, EPA is seeking solutions to the more



immediate and more significant potential effects of outfall



sewering, principally depletion of the potable groundwater



supply.  The rationale for this approach is not only that primary



effects are more important, but also that they are the route



through which secondary effects, including those on the



shellfishing industry, will be either induced or avoided.



    The purpose of this supplement is to provide, within the



limits of available  information, an up-to-date discussion of the



present sewering programs and their potential effects on the



shellfishing industry.  Since EPA itself had not conducted



specific studies on  the shellfishing industry, it turned to other



sources for the necessary information.  However, it became



apparent that substantially more information on this subject has



not been collected during the last five years.



    The supplement takes a more or less chronological approach:



it is divided into four sections, describing what information was



available in 1972, what information would be needed to adequately



analyze effects on the shellfishing industry, what information



has been acquired to date, and what further information  is now



being sought.

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    This supplement to the 1972 EIS is being prepared in



accordance with the court's order.  it must be emphasized that



this supplement is not a comprehensive reconsideration of all



issues addressed in the 1972 EIS.  It is strictly an



informational supplement on a particular subject — the



shellfishing industry.
 Summary of Information from the 1972 EIS







     Discussions of the effects of outfall sewering  on  Long



 Island's  shellfishing industry usually focus on the possibility



 of  salinity  changes  in the south shore bays, the  island's prime



 shellfishing area.   These bays provide the mixture  of  fresh  to



 salt water  favored by clams,  oysters, and other desirable



 shellfish species.   Outfall sewering poses a potential threat to



 this balance and, therefore,  to the shellfishing  industry.



     In essence,  the  problem is as follows.  Long  Island's



 groundwater aquifers account  for  90 to 95 percent of the



 freshwater  flow in  streams that eventually discharge into the



 bays and 100 percent of  the subsurface flow into  the bays.



 Individual  wastewater disposal systems,  such as cesspools and



 septic tanks, return used water to the groundwater  system;  sewers



 do not.   Therefore,  if cesspools  and septic tanks are  replaced  by



 sewers that carry wastewater  to a treatment plant and  thence to



 the ocean,  millions  of gallons a  day of  potential groundwater

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recharge will be lost to Long Island's hydrologic system.  Unless



this loss is counterbalanced by natural means, such as increased



precipitation, or by other means, such as artificial groundwater



recharge, the outflow of fresh water to the bays will eventually



decline, upsetting the fresh to salt water balin^e.  In time,



salinity levels in the bays may exceed the tolerance level of



desirable shellfish species, which will then be replaced by more



salt tolerant but less valuable species.



    While the potential for these effects was acknowledged in the



1972 EIS, discussion of them was limited by two factors in



particular: 1) the importance of the shellfish question relative



to the many other issues that had to be considered, and 2) the



lack of sufficient information to reliably predict such effects.



    At the time the EIS was written, the overriding concern was



that widespread use of cesspools and septic tanks for waste



disposal coupled with accelerating development on Long Island



could seriously contaminate the groundwater aquifers. Long



Island's sole source of potable water.  More recent data have



shown that the problem of drinking water contamination was



somewhat overestimated, at least in certain areas on Long Island



(Ragone et al. , 1976).  This does not alter the fact that



contamination was, by and large, correctly perceived as  a



potentially serious problem.  Under the circumstances, secondary



sewage treatment followed by ocean disposal of the effluent was



considered the prudent choice for the immediate future.   However,



as the EIS pointed out, this alternative would not only  prevent

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cesspool and septic tank effluents from polluting the

groundwater, it would also prevent them from replenishing the

groundwater.

    The EIS acknowledged that the diversion of fresh water from

Long Island's hydrologic system could alter the salinity, the

nutrient concentrations, and the bottom characteristics of the

bays, but the EIS could not categorically state whether the

overall effect would be beneficial or adverse:

         The continuous discharge of treated effluent, which is
     essentially  fresh water, into Long Island Sound  or the
     Atlantic Ocean would prevent this fresh water  from flowing
     into the north shore and the south shore bays.   The  effects
     of  this by-pass on bay waters could be:

         A.  Change in Salinity - The salinities  of the  bays are
              complex phenomena influenced by  (a)  surface water
              runoff,  (b) direct discharges into each bay,  (c)
              ground-water underflow and  (d) the circulation
              patterns in each bay.  If the amount of fresh  water
              discharged into the bay system is radically
              reduced, the bays will gradually become more
              saline.  Since salt concentration is one of the
              most  critical factors governing this ecosystem, an
              increase in salinity could  alter the ecosystem of
              the bay.

          B.  Change  in nutrient input -  If overland runoff,
              sewage  treatment plant effluent and  ground-water
              underflow are directed away from the bay,  the
              amount  of nutrients and other biostimulants and
              bioinhibitors entering the  bay would be reduced.
              The bay productivity would  be reduced  if extra
              biostimulants  needed to maintain high  productivity
              were  no longer available.   If bioinhibitors present
               in the  existing water input were no  longer
              available, then productivity  could increase.

          C.  Change  in bottom characteristics - The diversion of
               sewage  effluent  from the bays would  protect the
               bottoms from  becoming muddy or  silty in areas  of
               present outfalls.  The clear  sand  or hard  sand
               bottom  community  is  far more  productive and

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              desirable than the overly muddy or silty bottom
              community.  (EPA, 1972) .

    As the preceding passage shows, information about the long-

range effects of outfall  sewering on shellfish was indecisive.

It was known that the fresh to salt water ratio in the bays was

an important factor, but  the optimum ratio for productivity of

desirable shellfish species remained a question.  Likewise, it

was known that ocean disposal of treatment plant effluent might

eventually cause an increase in the salinity of the bays, but the

rate of change and the magnitude of the effect were unpredict-

able.  Furthermore, it was clear that in some ways outfall

sewering could have a beneficial effect on the bays: notably

through the elimination of septic discharges into the groundwater

system and the consequent reduction of pollutants entering the

bays.

    Although the precise  conditions needed for optimum shellfish

maintenance were undefined, it was apparent that the south shore

bays were particularly productive shellfish areas, and the EIS

described the physical, chemical, and biological characteristics

of these areas in some detail.  These areas are collectively

known as the Great south  Bay complex, which can be defined as all

waters lying between the  mainland and the barrier islands from

the Atlantic Beach Bridge at the Queens—Nassau county line in the

west to the Smith Point Bridge in the Town of Brookhaven, Suffolk

County, in the east.  Proceeding from west to east, the

individual bays in the Great South Bay complex are Hempstead Bay

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- extending from the Atlantic Beach Bridge to Long Beach Road,

Middle Say - extending from Long Beach Road to the Meadowbrook

Parkway, East Bay - extending from the Meadowbrook Parkway to the

Wantagh Parkway, South Oyster Bay - extending from the Wantagh

Parkway to the Nassau-Suffolk county  line, and Great South Bay -

extending from the Nassau-Suffolk county  line to  the Smith Point

Bridge  (see .Figure 1) .

    The EIS emphasized that conditions within the bays  varied

greatly depending upon a  host of factors,  among  them: depth;

communication with the ocean and with other  bays;  tidal cycles,

circulation patterns, and flushing rates;  seasonal changes;  and

freshwater inputs  from direct rainfall,  land runoff,  groundwater

 flows,  tributaries,  and wastewater.   In  general,  the  bays were

 described as  shallow with considerable tidal flats and  wetlands.

 Circulation patterns and  flushing  rates  ranged  from good for

 Hempstead Bay,  which is relatively shallow and  has extensive

 communication with the ocean  and with bays to the east, to poor

 tor Great South Bay, which is a large, open  body of water having

 only a small  inflow of tidal  waters  confined to the deeper

 channels.

     With regard to wastewater effluents,  the final EIS said:

          Unlike the ocean, the  south shore bays are all
     influenced to some degree by wastewater  effluents  (effluents
     from sewage treatment plants,  cesspools  and septic tanks,
     recreation vessels and duck farms).   The concentrations of
     biostimulants — nitrogen,  phosphorus, organic carbon
     compounds and vitamin Bfs — are  all  present in high
     concentrations.   The  concentrations  are  much greater than
     those found in the ocean and/or  required by plants for good
     growth.

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t  0   N
                                                                                           FIGURE  1






                                                                                    GREAT SOUTH  BAY  COMPLEX
                                 -9-

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        The open  waters  and the western  section of Great South
    Bay are of  good  quality.   However the eastern  section,
    Bellport Bay and Moriches Bay,  is not.   Pollution  enters
    these  areas as sewage treatment plant effluent, septic  tank
    and cesspool effluent, duck farm runoff  and sanitary waste
    from recreation  vessels.   Furthermore, the pollution is
    confined to the  area  by prevailing winds and currents.  The
    most significant contributions  are made  by the duck farms and
    septic tanks and cesspools. (EPA, 1972).

    With regard to salinity and productivity of the bays,  the EIS

reported:

        The  salinity of  the bays varies with the  relative
    influence of  fresh or salt water.  In the past, bay
    salinities have  varied drastically in response to natural
    changes  in the barrier beach inlets.  (Flynn,  oral
    communication, 1972).  In Great South Bay, the western and
    eastern extremities have salinities of  25 to 30 ppt.   The
    central portion, under the influence of  waters entering Fire
    Island Inlet,  has a salinity range between 32  and 35 ppt.  In
    areas  under the influence of streams or  ground-water flow
    from the headlands, values decrease to 3 or 4  ppt.  (U.S.
    Dept.  of the Interior et al., 1970).

         Estuaries are generally extremely productive because of
    the great  diversity of highly specialized and  widely
    adaptable  species which thrive in these  rich dynamic regimes.
     (Manganaro et al., 1966).  The inhabitants of  the estuaries
    are mainly adaptable  marine species with a few truly
    estuarine  species.  The marine species favor inlets and the
    typically  marine niches while the fresh water species  favor
    mouths of  streams and creeks and niches  that are  similar to
    fresh water.   These populations can generally inhabit
    adjacent waters but cannot co-exist in the same waters.
     (U.S.  Dept. of the Interior, 1970).  In addition  to being
    extremely  productivef the  estuary plays an important role in
    the life cycle of marine organisms by serving as  a feeding
    ground and shelter area, and as an acclimatization area
    between salt  water and fresh water.

          High  concentrations of mineral and organic matter
    derived from  the coastal sea, runoff and human contributions
    cause high productivity.  This fertility is distributed
    throughout the  estuary by tidal and wind mixing which
    effectively dilutes the materials to non-toxic concen-
    trations.  The  shallow sun-bathed waters, protected from
    severe tidal  and wave stress, provide an ideal habitat for
    many  species.  With regard to temperature and salinity,  the
    estuaries  exhibit greater  stresses than do fresh  waters,  but


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    estuarine organisms are able to cope with these changes.
    (Shuster, 1966).  [in EPA, 1972],

    The EIS reported that the organic matter in the bays supports

a large population of diverse species, including many shellfish

species: hard clams, soft—shell clams, oysters, bay scallops, and

mussels.  But the EIS also pointed out that direct pollution  had

caused the closure of about 10 percent of the area to shell-

fishing.  Most of the closures involved the inshore areas of  the

bays, the westernmost bays because of their proximity to the

metropolitan area, and the easternmost bays because of the large

volumes of untreated duck farm waste they received (see Figure

2).

    As an alternative means of effluent disposal, the EIS

considered the use of a bay outfall.  According to the EIS, this

method "would hopefully preserve the current salinity in order

that the estuarine population, so dependent upon the existing

narrow range of salinity, would not be altered." However, the

overabundance of nutrients that this would have added to the  bay

would probably have negated any potential advantage:

         Increases in biostimulant concentrations and avail-
    ability are inevitable.  The effects of these changes have,
    in general, been extremely minimized or maximized.  In a
    middle of the road opinion, Foehrenbach  (1969) states that
    the large assimilative capacity... [of Great South Bay] for
    some forms of pollution is reaching a point where additional
    loads will adversely affect its ecology and its economic and
    recreational value.

         The bays are already severely eutrophicated in many
    areas;  additional inputs of biostimulatory material will turn
    them dystrophic.  This is the major difficulty in pouring
    additional wastewater into the bays.  (EPA, 1972).
                               11

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                                               FIGURE 2
                                AREAS  CLOSED  TO  SHELLFSSHING
                                    as reprinted in the 1972  Final EIS
ro
i
                                                                                      STATE OF NSW TOKK

                                                                                    CONSERVATION DEPARTMENT

                                                                                     eUlfiAV O9 MAfiiNI PIIHS81BS


                                                                                        Mcrlne Oiilrlo

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    On balance, secondary wastewater treatment followed by ocean



disposal of the effluent was considered environmentally



acceptable.  Adverse hydrologic effects, including reduced



freshwater outflows to the bays, were seen as necessary short-



term trade-offs to preserve groundwater quality.  It was reasoned



that these adverse effects of outfall sewering could be offset in



time through the implementation of groundwater recharge, which



was and is under study on Long Island.
                                13

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                           CHAPTER II
            THE PROBLEM OF IDENTIFYING THE IMPACTS OF




               OUTFALL SEWERING ON THE LONG ISLAND




                      SHELLFISHING INDUSTRY
Background








    Ecological concerns about the effects of outfall sewering on



the shellfishing industry center on the development of three



large south shore sewer districts: Nassau County Disposal



District #2 (which is served by the Bay Park plant), Nassau



County Disposal District #3 (which is served by the Cedar Creek



plant in Wantagh), and Suffolk County Southwest Sewer District #3



(which will be served by the Bergen Point plant).  Other



potential sewering projects in Suffolk County, notably the West



Central sewer District program, could add to this concern if and



when they are implemented (see Figures 3 and 4).



    Commercial users of the shellfish resources of the Great



South Bay complex and of the nearshore ocean zone between Jones



Inlet, Nassau County, and Smith Point, Suffolk County, are



concerned because of 1)  the area's high productivity, 2) the



special hydrologic and oceanographic characteristics of the



estuary,  and 3)  the size of the sewering projects.






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                   FIGURE 3

                 NASSAU COUNTY
      Water  Pollution Control Facilities

         1359 Operational
         J222 Under Construction
           •  Treatment Facility
         •— Outfall
  SCALE IN MILES

012345
i

en
                            N
                                                                                      COLD SPRING HARBOR
                                                                 WASHINGTON

                                                            MANHASSET BAY
                                                             LAWRENCE
         LONG BEACH  So.  Oyster Bay

                    Atlantic Ocean

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I

en
       StAMfORD

       K  *
                                                                                        SUFFOLK COUNTY
                                                                                    Water Pollution Control
                                                                                          Facilities
                                                                                          Operational
                                                                                          Under Construction
                                                                                       •  Treatment Facility
                                                                                       — Outfall

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    While more information is available now than was available in




1972, most of it is peripheral to the central question of effects



on the shell fishing industry- A definitive assessment of all of



the potential ramifications of outfall sewering remains as



impossible now as it was in 1972.




    Most of the studies undertaken after publication of the final



EIS are long-term studies that have not yet yielded definitive



results.  Moreover, no study has been initiated for the distinct



purpose of determining the effects of outfall sewering on the



shellfishing industry.  Such effects would be outgrowths of other



direct and indirect effects, namely diversion of fresh water from



Long Island1s hydrologic system and reduction of freshwater



outflow to the bays.  Since potential effects on the shellfishing



industry are at least three times removed from their root cause,



they cannot reasonably be determined or mitigated until the



intermediate effects of outfall sewering are dealt with.  Ongoing



studies are directed at such things as recharge of the



groundwater and augmentation of the fresh and estuarine waters,



consistent with the proposition that if potential primary effects



on the hydrologic system are avoided or mitigated, secondary



effects will likely follow suit.



    At this point in time, it is possible to describe the



projects and, in general terms, their relationship to the



hydrologic system on Long Island, as well as the characteristics



of the bays and their shellfish resources.  But attempts to



quantity the impact on commercial shellfishing are still hampered






                               17

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by a lack of information, both about the industry itself and



about the precise interactions of the environmental factors



affecting shellfish.   The extent of the information that would be



needed to answer such a highly specific question will be made



clear following updates on the pertinent sewering programs and on




the shellfish resources of Long Island.
Sewering Programs of the Area








    Until recently, most of Long Island relied upon septic tanks



for wastewater disposal; large-scale sewering programs commenced



with the development of the Nassau County Disposal District #2



 (NCDD #2) system in the early 1950fs.  Sewering programs are



sometimes an inducement to development, but this is not generally



the case on Long Island, where sewering of new areas has followed



population growth and development.  Sewering is a typical



corollary of development because as population densities



increase, the ground is less able to absorb septic tank



leachates, and action may be necessary to preserve groundwater



quality.




    As development proceeds, increasing volumes of water are



withdrawn from the groundwater system for domestic, commercial,



and industrial use.  Long Island relies almost exclusively on its



aquifers for water supply.  Before sewering, most wastewater is



returned to the upper layers of the aquifer through septic tank






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seepage.  This consumption and disposal process causes some minor




reductions in the volume of the aquifer and minor redistributions



of the water within the aquifer, but alters the natural



hydrologic system very little.  As development accelerates and



sewering takes place, water consumption and withdrawals grow



while recharge from septic systems is eliminated.  This results



in increased outputs to the water supply system and decreased



gross inputs to the aquifer system; eventually, outputs to the



estuarine system must decrease accordingly.  The foregoing



assumes, of course, a constant rate of precipitation.



    Development also directly affects recharge to the aquifer



system  by increasing the amount of impermeable surface and



reducing infiltration.  The more land area that is covered over



with roads, parking lots, and other types of construction, the



less rainfall that can infiltrate into the ground. Rainfall that



cannot  infiltrate is converted to surface runoff, which picks up



contaminants as it runs overland and deposits them in the streams



and estuaries into which it flows.  This has been partially



combatted by the development of a stormwater recharge basin



system  that collects the water and then gradually introduces it




into the aquifer.



    Since the aquifer system responds as a unit, sewering



programs in any part of Long Island necessarily have some effect



on the  Great South Bay complex.  The only significant past



sewering was the development of the NCDD #2 system in the 1950's.



Pre-sewering hydrologic and estuarine data would be needed to






                                19

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assess the impacts of a sewering program on original pre-sewering

conditions.  Since these data were not collected for the NCDD t2

system, it is impossible to retroactively assess that program's

impacts.  As of 1976, a small portion of NCDD #3 had been sewered

with approximately 15 mgd (57,000 cu m/day) being discharged

through an ocean outfall.  Given that the aquifer responds as a

unit, the sewering in NCDD #3 will have already begun to affect

the entire system.

    In order to assess the effects of future sewering programs,

hydrologic conditions at the beginning of the study period must

be determined to form a basis of comparison.  Ideally, all future

sewering west of Riverhead should be assessed, including projects

north of the groundwater divide, because all of these programs

would affect outputs to the Great South Bay complex to some

extent.  In reality, however, plans for sewering most areas on

Long Island are tentative at best.  The extent of sewering,

populations, wastewater flows, dates of sewering, and even the

effluent disposal systems are not defined in most cases, making

attempts to assess their hydrologic impacts academic and possibly

misleading.  The exceptions are NCDD f2, NCDD #3, and SWSD #3,

where programs are well defined and being implemented.   It is

therefore important to analyze the effects of these programs in
                                 /
detail now, and to expand the analysis to include subsequent

sewering programs as they become clearly defined.

    These three sewer districts are similar in design, with a

single treatment facility giving secondary treatment to


                               20

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wastewater flows at a location within the sewer district on the




south shore of the mainland portion of the island.  Wastewater is



collected by lateral sewers beneath the streets of residential



and commercial areas and discharged to large diameter interceptor



sewers that convey the wastewater generally southward by gravity



to the treatment facility.  After treatment, the effluent is



discharged through a long outfall pipe, six feet  (1.8 m) or more



in diameter, extending southward across the estuaries.  The NCDD



#2 outfall currently terminates in Reynolds Channel within the



estuary, but may be extended  in the future to discharge in the



Atlantic Ocean.  The NCDD #3  outfall now discharges in the



Atlantic Ocean approximately  1.5 miles (2.U km) seaward of the



barrier island.  When complete, the SWSD #3 outfall will also



discharge in the ocean approximately 2.5 miles  (U.O km) seaward



of the barrier island.



    The sewering programs in  these three sewer  districts are in



distinctly different stages of development.  Figure 5 shows the



flow  projections for the three districts through  1986.  The NCDD



#2 system has reached its design capacity and is  about to enter



its second-generation development.  A program is  being developed



to upgrade and expand the treatment plant, and  possibly to bring



into  the system several smaller local sewer districts in the



southwestern part of the Town of Hempstead.  In addition, a



proposal has been made to extend the outfall into the Atlantic



Ocean.  A federal grant for portions of this work has been




applied for, but details of the future NCDD #2  developments have






                               21

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175
150.
125.
100
 75J
                 FIGURE 5

          FIDW PROJECTIONS FOR STUDY AREA
          SEWER DISTRICTS, 1977-1986
                                                                   -22-
                                                                          Total Flow  [NCDD  #2 + NCDD #3 + SWSD #3]
                                                      NCDD #2
               1977
                           1978
                                       1979
                                                    1980
                                                                1981
                                                                            1982
1983
                                                                                                    1984
                        1985
                                                                                                                            1986

-------
not yet been resolved.  The system will be designed to accommo-




date increased growth and wastewater flows from the sewer



district on the order of 15 mgd  (57,000 cu m/d).



    The NCDD #3 system is halfway through its  first-generation



development.  The first half  involved the completion in  1973 of



the 45 mgd  (170,000  cu m/d) treatment plant at Wantagh,  the



essential completion of the outfall in 1975, and the installation



of collection and interceptor sewers delivering 15 rngd  (57,000 cu



m/d) of flow.  At present, the collection system is being



expanded rapidly to  cover the entire sewer district and  to



deliver the design flows to the  treatment facility.  This work



may be completed in  about five years; more precise estimates are



not realistic.  The  design capacity of 45 mgd  (170,000 cu m/d) is



expected to be reached in the year 1984.  Expansion of the



facility beyond that capacity falls into the category of tenta-



tive plans that will have to  be  assessed if and when they are



defined.



    All components of the SWSD #3 system are currently under



construction, including the treatment facility at Bergen Point in



the Town of Babylon, the outfall, and the collection system.  No



wastewater is being  accepted  by  the system, and house connections



are awaiting the completion of the treatment plant and outfall



systems.  Preliminary evaluations foresee the  treatment  and




discharge of approximately 15 mgd  (57,000 cu m/d)  by 1981, and 30



mgd (114,000 cu m/d)  by 1984.  Completion of the collection



system and introduction of flows into the system are expected to






                               23

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proceed in a generally west to east and south to north fashion



within the sewer district.  The interceptors are sized to accept



flows from the proposed West Central Sewer District to the north,



so the treatment facility may someday require expansion.  These



plans would be contingent upon future developments, and are,



therefore, not included in the present problem analysis.



    In summary, there are two major sewering programs impacting



on Long Island's hydrologic system, and a third sewering program



will soon be contributing to the cumulative effects.  The three



sewering programs of concern are similar in their basic design



concept, ultimate size, and effect on the hydrology of the area;



they differ mainly in terms of their timing, including initiation



arid rate of program development.  The cumulative hydrologic



effects of these and of any future sewering programs would have a



bearing on the salinity balance in the bays, and therefore on



shellfish and the shellfishing industry.
Hydrologic and Oceanographic Characteristics of the Estuary








    The Great South Bay complex is a barrier—bar type estuary



system; it is bounded on the north by the mainland part of Long



Island and on the south by a barrier bar that is intermittently



broken by inlets allowing communication between the bay and the



ocean.  The bay is a mixing zone for salty ocean water and



relatively salt-free water originating in precipitation falling

-------
on the surface of Long Island and falling directly on the bay




surface.  Salty ocean water enters with the tide through four



widely-separated inlets: Rockaway Inlet, Jones Inlet, Fire Island



Inlet, and Moriches Inlet east of Great South Bay  (see Figure 1).



Salty ocean water can also enter the bay through breaks in the



barrier bar caused by hurricanes, erosion, and other natural



phenomena.



    In general, the bay is a very shallow, protected area of



reduced salinity and high nutrient levels, giving rise to high



life  support capacities.  The bay owes its reduced salinity to



fresh water from the adjacent land masses.  Without this, the



precipitation  falling on the estuarine surface would be offset by



evaporation, and estuarine salinities would approximate ocean



salinities or  even exceed them if evaporation exceeded precipi-



tation.   The latter situation occurs in certain hypersaline



lagoons on the Texas Gulf Coast.  The character of the estuary is



therefore heavily dependent on the hydrologic system of the



adjacent  land  masses.  The hydrology of Long Island, except for a



small portion  in the northwestern part of the island, is



dominated by deep, unconsolidated sand, gravel, and rock



materials that lie between the surface and the impermeable



bedrock.  These porous materials underlie the island and extend



seaward beneath the estuary; they contain enormous amounts of



precipitation, forming an extensive aquifer system.



    Under natural conditions, over 90 percent of the rainfall



that  is not lost through evapotranspiration, that  is through






                               25

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evaporation and plant consumption,  enters this aquifer system.



Sea water enters the unconsolidated deposits from the ocean side;



however, because the groundwater level is higher than sea level,



a hill or mound of fresh water has built up, holding back the



salt water through hydrostatic pressure.  As precipitation



infiltrates into the aquifer, water is simultaneously discharged



from the aquifer, under pressure, to the estuaries and to the



streams, which flow directly into the estuaries.  The groundwater



divide is situated such that approximately two-thirds of the



width of the island drains to the south shore through the aquifer



and southward-flowing streams.  However, the entire Long Island



aqutter system, from Riverhead westward, responds as a unit, with



changes in hydrostatic pressure in one area being felt to some



degree throughout the system.  Under natural conditions, 90 to  95



percent of total streamflow is derived from the aquifers.



Discharge to the salt water zones includes diffusion into the



salty groundwater and movement as subsurface flows into the



streams and the estuary.  Thus, under natural conditions most



freshwater inputs from the mainland to the bays are routed



through the aquifer.




    Over time, an equilibrium has been established between the



inputs to the aquifer through precipitation and the outputs to



streams and estuaries.  This equilibrium shifts slowly in



response to natural fluctuations in precipitation, with reduced



precipitation being followed by reduced storage in the aquifer



and reduced outputs to the estuary.  Human actions, such as






                               26

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development, that reduce inputs to the aquifer or increase




withdrawals or outputs to other uses also result in shifts in the



equilibrium.  Most of the area has already experienced some



changes of this nature.




    As a corollary, the quality of the water entering the estuary



from the mainland is also significant, and under natural



circumstances this is strongly conditioned by the role of the



aquifer in transmitting the  water.  Human actions, such as waste



disposal, that affect the quality of the water in the hydrologic



system also necessarily impact upon the estuarine system.



    In summary, the Great South Bay complex is naturally



dependent upon mainland precipitation and upon aquifer outputs



for the reduction of salinity that occurs.  The quality of these



outputs also  influences the  estuary.  Any change in the quantity



or quality of the outputs from the aquifer, whether they are



changes caused by variations in precipitation or by human



actions, will affect the estuary.
 Long  Island's  Shellfish Resources








    Official records  classify numerous organisms as commercial



 shellfish:  crabs,  lobsters,  squid,  clams, oysters, scallops,



 mussels, conchs, and  even  sea turtles.   However, concern is



 generally  limited  to  the bivalve mollusks: the clams, oysters,



 scallops,  and  mussels that inhabit  Long  Island's bay or ocean






                                27

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wan^rs and are the basis for a significant and viable industry.



Hereafter, the term shellfishing industry will be used to refer



to the harvest of bivalve mollusks only, rather than to the



Harvest, of mobile arthropods, such as crabs and lobsters, or of



the free-swimming cephalapod mollusk, the squid.  A. further



distinction must be made between the bay shellfishing industry,



which operates exclusively in estuarine areas using specialized



methods to capture particular species, and the ocean shellfishing



industry, which has different operating areas, methods, and




products.








                Commerical Shellfish of the Area



         Bay Species                         Ocean Species



Hard clam  (Mercenaria mercenaria)



Soft clam  (Mva arenaria)               Surf clam  (Spisula solidissima)



American oyster  (Ostrea virginica)



Razor clam  (several species)          Sea scallop  (Pecten magellanicus)



Bay scallop  (Pecten irradians)



Mussel  (Mytilus edulis)



Conch  (various species)








    In their adult forms, the clams dwell burrowed in the bottom



sediments from which they are extracted by dredging either with



hand tools or with mechanical dredges.  Scallops, oysters, and



mussels live on the surface of the bottom.  The scallops can swim



about by opening and closing their shells, but the oysters and






                               28

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mussels are attached to the bottom where they remain relatively




immobile.  Mussels are harvested along with clams and oysters.



Both sea and bay scallops are harvested from moving boats with



wire trawls; this method is more closely akin to snellfish



digging than to lobsterina and crabbing, so the scallops will be



grouped with the clams, oysters, and mussels for discussion.  A.



few conchs, which are gastropod mollusks capable of moving about



on the bottom, are incidentally taken in the harvest of the



bivalve mollusks and will be included in the harvest totals for



completeness.



    Table  1 shows the total annual harvest of bivalve mollusks in



the New York Marine District for the years 1970 to 1976.  The



value of the harvest averaged  $16 million per year dockside



during the first seven years of this decade.  About 75 percent of



the yield  was from bay areas, with the Great South Bay complex



accounting for about half of the total harvest value  (see Table



2), a much higher proportion than its areal extent relative to



the entire area exploited by the Long Island industry.  Virtually



all of the yield from the Great South Bay complex was in hard



clams taken from the waters of the towns of Babylon, Islip, and



Erookhaven.  The preeminence of Great South Bay in hard clam



production is evidenced by the fact that in 1974, 50 percent of



the hard clams harvested in the United States came from Long



Island waters, and 80 percent of that from Great South Bay proper



(NSRPB, 1974).  In other words, 40 percent of the entire U.S.



hard clam  production came from Great South Bay in 1974.






                               29

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        TABLE 1
 BIVALVE MOLLUSK  HARVEST
NEW VORK  MARINE  DISTRICT

ORGANISM


Hard Clams
Soft Clams
Oysters
Razor Clams
Bay Scallops
Mussels, Sea
Conchs*
Subtotal
Surf Clams
Sea Scallops
Subtotal
GRAND TOTAL

ORGANISM


Hard Clams
Soft Clams
Oysters
Razor Clams
i;ay Scallops
Mussels, Sea
::0nchs*
; uototal
i yirf Clams
If 3 Scallops
; no total
UP AND TOTAL
1970
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

7,906
73
520
5
365
200
40
9,109
4,182
534
4,716
13,825
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
8,977
28
1,074
2
470
60
8
10,619
490
703
1,193
11,182
1974
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

8,028
102
1,554
1
668
483
54
18,408
3.951
206
4,157
15,057
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
13,425
113
3,800
.3
848
205
16
11,500
719
310
1,029
19,437
1971
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

8,549
154
779
10
114
318
38
9,992
3,688
402
4,090
14,044
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
10,757
56
1,682
4
234
96
7
12,832
438
609
1,047
13,879
1975
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

8,688
63
2,107
3
444
106
109
11,500
4,580
270
4,850
16,350
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
14,301
76
5,176
1
713
45
38
20,350
768
390
1,158
21,508
1972
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

8,500
92
1,113
9
93
496
41
16,169
2,713
222
2,935
13,279
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
13,234
80
2,466
4
215
161
9
9,646
313
430
743
16,912
1976
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

9,028
47
1,901
2
438
85
89
11,590
3,455
758
4,218
15,808
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
18,120
61
4,764
.9
816
37
30
23,830
1,089
1,236
2,325
26,155
197.1
Thousand Ib.
Meat Weight

7,246
104
1,392
5
169
685
45
14,891
3,319
153
3,472
13,118
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
10,910
115 i
3,260
3
395
195
13
10,890
413
307
720
15,611




*Conchs are gastropod mollusks, not bivalve
mollusks. They are included in the harvest
totals for completeness.

Source: USDI, Fish and Wildlife Service
1970 - 1976

i



i

          -30-

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       TABLE 2
BIVALVE MOLLUSK HARVEST
GREAT SOUTH BAY COMPLEX


ORGANISM

lard Clams
Soft Clams
)ysters
3azor Clams
Bay Scallops
Mussels, Sea
Conchs*
TOTAL


ORGANISM

Hard Clams
Soft Clams
Oysters
Razor Clams
Bay Scallops
Mussels, Sea
Conchs*

TOTAL

1970
Thousand
Bushels

578
3
.1
0
9
.1
.1
590
Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
6,936
48
.2
0
54
1
1.5
7,041
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
5,393
15
1
0
13
.3
.4
5,423
1974
Thousand
Bushels

617
.02
1
0
.4
.08
1.5

620

Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
7,404
.3
7.5
0
2.4
.8
22.5

7,438

Thousand
Dollar -
Value
12,351
.4
24
0
,4
.4
7

24,760

1971
Thousand
Bushels

629
1
2
0
9
1
.2
642
Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
7,548
16
15
0
54
10
3
7,646
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
9,521
7
30
0
14
2
.7
9,575
1975
Thousand
Bushels

653
0
2
0
0
.4
2.5

658

Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
7,836
0
15
0
0
4
37.5

7,889

Thousand
Dollar -
Value
12,921
0
40
0
0
1.7
13

12,976

1972
Thousand
Bushels

625
.2
1
0
14
0
.2
640
Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
7,500
3.2
7.5
0
84
0
3
7,598
Thousand
Dollar -
Value
11,691
2
21
0
37
0
.8
11,752
1976
Thousand
Bushels

700
0
2
0
0
.05
2

704

Thousand 1 Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
8,400
0
15
0
0
.5
30

8,446

Dollar -
Value
16,873
0
39
0
0
.2
11.5

16,925

1973
Thousand
Bushels

572
0
2
0
0
0
.3
574
Thousand
Ib. Meat
Weight
6,846
0
15
0
0
0
, 4.5
6,884

Thousand
Dollar -
Value
10,518
0
36
0
0
0
1
10,555






Source: NYSDEC, 1970-1976.


*Conchs are gastropod
mollusks, not bivalve
mollusks. They are included
in the harvest totals for
completeness.
             -3-1-

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Information Needs








    We have established that the practice of disposing of treated




effluent in the ocean could in time have an effect on Long



Island's shellfishing industry by altering the fresh to salt



water balance in the south shore bays.   Likewise, we have



established that the shellfishing industry on Long Island,



particularly the bay shellfishing industry, is an important one,



though certainly it is not the second largest private industry on



Long Island (NSRPB 1971; NSRPB 1973), as one observer has



commented  (Lane, 1975).  In fact, the inaccuracy of describing



the shellfishing industry as the second largest on Long Island



points up  a problem that was encountered repeatedly during



preparation of this report — that is,  the dearth of information



about the  industry itself.



    Given  that this report was undertaken to determine the



effects, including the ultimate economic effects, of outfall



sewering on the shellfishing industry,  there was an obvious need



for at least the elementary facts about the industry.  However,



recourse to both published and unpublished sources proved



unproductive (see Appendix).  It became apparent that no trade



organization, government agency, or public interest group has



gathered basic statistical information on the industry.  Even the



answer to  such a fundamental question as the number of persons



employed by the industry was unobtainable from any known source.



This may or may not be indicative of the real value of the






                               32

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shellfishing industry, but it does illustrate the extensive




groundwork that would have to be laid before such a refined and



narrowly focused analysis as "the effects of outfall sewering on



Long Island's shellfishing industry" could be attempted.  The



question thus becomes one of time and resources: whether the



potential effects on the shellfishing industry specifically



warrant such an effort.



    Subsequent chapters present what pertinent information is



available and describe what  further information may become



available as a result of current or proposed studies.  Great care



should be taken in  interpreting this information as it does not



deal directly or comprehensively with the central question of



shellfishing.  To do that, a vast amount of information would



have to be collected, as outlined below.  At present, too little



is known about Long Island's shellfish resources and about the



dynamics of the shellfishing industry to draw any reliable



conclusions about the particular impact of sewering programs on




the industry.



    Progress is being made in this area, but it may be many more



years before answers to the  following questions are available.



This information would be essential to any in-depth analysis of



the eff_ects__oJL.Qiit£aXl sewe-ring on the shellfishing industry.



I.  How will the sewering programs affect the water quality of




    the Great South Bay complex?



    A.   What are the constituents of the wastewater stream?
                                33

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     1.    What are the effects  of the constituents,  such as



          nutrients,  organic matter,  microorganisms,  toxic



          chemicals,  and water  as it  relates to salinity?



     2.    What water  quality constituents are potentially



          significant to the shellfish?



B.   How are pertinent water quality  factors affected by



     existing septic  systems?



     1.    What are the pathways and mechanisms whereby these



          contaminants enter the bay?  What physical and



          chemical changes do they undergo in the process?



     2.    What is the quantitative contribution of



          contaminants and molecular  water to the bay system



          at different locations?



     3.    What is the relative contribution of contaminants



          and molecular water from septics relative to other



          sources, such as storm runoff?



     U.    How do inputs of contaminants and water to the bay



          affect water quality there?  What is the relative



          effect of septic sources, other mainland sources,



          and background conditions in the bay in determining



          water quality.



C.   How will sewering alter the contribution of contaminants



     and water to the bay?  What quantitative changes will



     occur as a result of the elimination of septic systems?



D.   How will alterations in contaminant and water inputs to



     the bay alter water quality?

-------
II. What will be the impacts of water quality changes due to




    sewering on the shellfishing industry of the Great South Bay



    complex?




    A.   What are the characteristics of the industry?



         1.   How many people  are employed by the industry?



         2.   What part  does the self-employed bayman play



              compared with the organized shellfishing firms?



         3.   How valuable are state and local license statistics



              in determining employment levels?



         4.   How does employment compare with that of the entire



              Long Island shellfishing industry and with total



              Long Island employment?



         5.   What are the characteristics of the labor market?



              What are the costs of labor, alternative oppor-



              tunities,  and the skills required?



         6.   How much employment is generated in marketing the



              industry's products and supplying the industry with



              capital goods and services?



         7.   How much employment is generated in processing and



              conversion of the shellfish harvest to consumer




              goods?



         8.   What are the characteristics of the market?  What



              are the characteristics of demand?  What role do



              substitute products play in the demand for and



              price of each type of shellfish?  How does



              production vary  with changes in demand?






                               35

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     9.    What  is  the  significance of the industry based here



          to  the regional  shellfishing and the overall



          regional economy?



     10.   What  factors control access to the  resources?  What



          are the  ownership  rights,  harvesting rights, and



          licensing procedures?   What is the  impact  of the



          state regulatory programs, including the



          certification of areas  open to shellfishing?



     11.   How does the harvest from  the area  compare with



          harvests from other areas, in terms of  species,



          volume,  and  value? How does the area compare with



          the region,  the  state,  and the nation in these



          respects? How has this picture varied  over the



          years?



     12.   What  are the boundaries of the shellfishing



          industry, and what parameters are the most



          effective indicators of its health?



     13.   What  harvesting  and resource management methods  are



          used?  What  developments and improvements  are on



          the horizon?



B.    What is  the  yield potential  of  various portions of the



     bay?




     1.    How much has been  taken in various  areas



          historically? Where are the most productive beds?
                           36

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     2.   What is the potential of areas now closed to



          shellfishing?  What about areas threatened with



          closure?



C.   How does shellfish biological productivity affect the



     industry?



     1.   How does biological productivity affect yields?



     2.   What is the growth potential for species other than



          the hard clam in the area?



     3.   What are the factors affecting biological produc-



          tivity and standing crop of the hard clam and the



          other mollusks?



     U.   What is the importance of mollusk size



          distributions, as well as total volume of the



          standing crop?



     5.   What effect does harvesting pressure have on the



          resource?



     6.   What effects do public and private management



          programs have?



D.   How do environmental conditions affect biological



     productivity in various areas?



     1.   What is the effect of substrate characteristics,



          including vegetation, sediment texture, and other



          factors?



     2.   What is the role of circulation, particularly with



          respect to larval distributions and setting



          patterns?





                           37

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         3.   What is  the role  of various water quality  factors



             such as  salinity,  nutrients, organic matter,



             temperature,  suspended  solids, and  toxic chemicals?



         4.   What future water quality  changes are  likely  which



             are not  due to  sewering?   What changes in  other



             environmental factors?



         5.   What are the  effects of present water  quality



             impacts  related to septics?



         6.   What will be  the  effects of future  water quality



             changes  due to  sewering?



         7-   What will be  the  direct physiological  responses of



             the organisms?



         8.   How will the  predators  and prey of  the shellfish be



             affected, and how will  this affect  shellfish  growth



             and survival?  What specific effects will  there be



             upon phytoplankton, starfish, oyster drills,



             whelks,  and other organisms?



III.How will outfall discharges affect the ocean  shellfish



    industry?



    A.    What are the  characteristics of the industry?



    B.    What water  quality constituents are potentially



         significant to the surf clam and the sea scallop?   At



         what concentrations?



    C.    What is the location of the  beds with  respect to the



         outfalls?
                               38

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What modifications in critical water quality parameters



will result from the discharges at average and peak



design flows?  What about during treatment process



failures?



How large an area will be closed to shellfish taking as



a consequence of the cumulative discharges?



What will be the quantitative effect of water quality



degradation on biological productivity in terms of area



affected and level of effect?



What will be the effect of changes in areas open for



shellfish taking and changes in biological productivity



on the potential harvest yield and upon the industry?
                       39

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                           CHAPTER III
            CHANGES IN BASELINE CONDITIONS SINCE 1972
    In the preceding chapters we have seen how valuable Long



Island's shellfish resources are, what the pertinent sewering



programs on Long Island are, and how they could theoretically



affect the shellfishing industry.  We have also seen the amount



and kind of information that would be needed to determine what



effects outfall sewering would actually have on the shellfishing



industry.  The required information would take years to collect



and analyze, and it would also be an enormously expensive



endeavor.



    Lacking this information, we can look at existing studies



that do not have the shellfishing industry as their primary



focus, but that do discuss related issues, principally hydrology.



We can also look at the current situation on Long Island in an



attempt to discern what changes have taken place in the



hydrologic system and the shellfishing industry since 1972.  This



discussion can be kept in perspective by remembering two things:



first, that the potential effects on the shellfishing industry



are both long-range and indirect and may not as yet have



manifested themselves, and second, that ocean outfall sewering is



at present a fact only in NCDD #3.






                               40

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Hydroloqic Studies of Long  Island
    As discussed earlier,  the  aquifer  system  underlying  Long



Island, with the exception of  the  North  and South Forks,  responds



as a unit.  The basic  relationship describing its behavior  is  its



groundwater budget  in  which:






                 INFLOW = OUTFLOW + CHANGE IN STORAGE





Our prime  interest  is  aquifer  outflow  because it  accounts for  90



to 95  percent  of the  streamflow and 100  percent of the subsurface



flow into  the  bays.  A more detailed model is:



      INFLOW                          OUTFLOW
PRECIPI-
TATION
RECHARGE

+

"SEPTIC
RECHARGE


=

""DISCHARGE
TO SPRINGS
§ STREAMS

+

""SUBSURFACE
OUTFLOW


+

r-
PUMPAGE


+

"EVAPO-
TRANSPI-
RATION
CHANGE
+ IN
- STORAGE
     In  the  Atlas  of Long Island's Water Resources (New York  State



 Water Resources Commission,  1968),  the U.S.  Geological Survey



 (USGS)  developed  a  groundwater budget for Long Island, except for



 some of the coastal areas, the North and South Forks,  and the New



 York City portion of the Island.   Average inflow and outflow were



 calculated  for the  period 1940 to 1965, based upon average



 precipitation and average storage conditions during the period.



 The change  in storage factor was  assumed to  be zero.  An average



 inflow  to the aquifer of 820 mgd  (3.1 million cu m/d)  was



 calculated,  balanced by an average outflow of 820 mgd (3.1



 million cu  m/d) ,  consisting  of 335 mgd (1.3  million cu m/d)  of






                                41

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discharge to springs and streams, 170 mgd (1.8 million cu m/d) of



subsurface outflow, and 15 mgd (57,000 cu m/d)  of evapotranspira-



tion.  Pumpage and septic recharge were not estimated because



they were assumed to be equal, and therefore would cancel each



other out in the equation.  Thus the equation became:
PRECIPI-
TATION
RECHARGE
820 mgd

+


rSEPTIC ~
RECHARGE
__X--
X
'
—


DISCHARGE"
TO SPRINGS
§ STREAMS
335 mgd

+


SUBSURFACE
OUTFLOW
470 mgd
M

+


r /
PUMB<
-------
    Despite the validity of their sources, the values for




precipitation recharge and discharge to springs and streams both



involved a certain unknown error factor.  Consequently, the



subsurface outflow value contains considerable uncertainty, which



may be due to compounding the errors in the other terms.  The



usefulness of this outflow value is further limited by the



following:



    1.   It is the average value for a twenty—five year period;



         time-variable outputs are not assessable.



    2.   It is the average value for a large water budget area:



         the effects of pumpage and other local conditions are



         not assessable, and the outputs are not particularized



         for the Great South Bay complex or any of its



         subdivisions.



    3.   The water budget area is not comprehensive.



    Much more sophisticated modeling capabilities have recently



been applied to the regional aquifer system as part of the



development of a 208 plan for Nassau and Suffolk counties.  The



term 208 plan is shorthand for Areawide Waste Treatment



Management Plan, a program authorized by section 208 of the



Federal Water Pollution Control Act Amendments of 1972  (FWPCA).



Section 208 provides funds in the form of EPA grants to encourage



and facilitate a comprehensive and farsighted approach to the



waste treatment management needs of areas that have substantial



water quality control problems because of urban-industrial



concentrations or other factors.  The Nassau-Suffolk Regional






                               43

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Planning Board (NSRPB)  is directing the 208 plan for Nassau and



Suffolk counties.



    For the Nassau-Suffolk 208 study, the USGS ran an analog



model that uses the flow of current through an electrical network



to simulate the flow of water through Long Island's aquifer



system.  The analog model permits time-variable prediction of



aquifer storage and outflow under variable inflow conditions,



including changes in precipitation and septic recharge.  Specific



pumpage outflows can also be included in the system assessment.



The Finder models, which are computer-based models developed for



the 208 study by a Princeton University group, have very similar



capabilities.  A detailed description of the way the analog and



computer models work is given in a recent 208 report by the NSRPB



 (1977).



    In the 208 models, the water budget area has been expanded to



include the coastal areas of Nassau and Suffolk counties and the



New York City portion of the island.  The North and South Forks



are once again excluded.  The water budget area is divided into



approximately 2,000 grid squares, 6,000 feet  (1,829 m) on a side.



The aquifer is then subdivided vertically into five separate



layers representing hydraulically distinct zones, resulting in



approximately 10,000 three-dimensional cells, each of which is



assigned specific storage and transmission properties and linked



to other surrounding cells.




    First the model is loaded with an assumed baseline storage



level that corresponds to a desired point in time or to an






                               44

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average condition for some period.  Inflow from precipitation,




septic recharge, and any other sources is then loaded into the



topmost layer, and withdrawals are specified for particular zones



in the model corresponding to pumping wells.  The response of



water tables and hydraulic heads in the aquifer system to this



loading can then be observed in the model, and the response of



streamflow analyzed.  Streams are modeled as gaining streams with



flow being strictly proportional to the elevation of the water



table above the streambed.  When the water table drops below the



streambed at any node,  streamflow is assumed to be zero at that



point.  This allows predictions of streamflow declines to be



made, as well  as stream shortening predictions to the nearest



node.



     These modeling applications are accompanied by explicit



qualifications on the area—specificity of output information.



First,  percentage streamflow declines are not applicable to



individual streams, due to limitations in the model.  They are



limited to evaluating average flow declines in adjacent parallel



stream groups,  10 to 20 miles  (16 to 32 km) wide.  Subsurface



seepage has been inferred only for the length of Great South Bay



as a whole and not further subdivided.  Subsurface outflows are



roughly computed for the entire model based upon the equation-



balancing principle and are not further subdivided.



    Two open-file USGS  reports  (75-535 and 76-441) summarize



printed exercises using this modeling system.  The first exercise



(75-535) calculates the percent reduction in streamflow into the






                               45

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south shore bays caused by the loss of septic recharge due to the



progression of the sewering programs in NCDD #3 and SWSD #3.  The



effects of pumpage and other factors in the New York City portion



of the water budget area are not considered.  In NCDD #3, the



period under study runs from 1975 to 1995, or from 0 mgd (0 cu



m/d)  of diversion of wastewater to the treatment plant to 45 mgd



(170,000 cu m/d), the design capacity of the treatment plant; in



SWSD t3, the period under study runs from 1979 to 1985, from 0 to



30 mgd  (0 to 114,000 cu m/d).  This sewering regime is similar



but not identical to the one contemplated (see pages 21-24).



    For the purposes of the exercise, sources of recharge other



than septic recharge are assumed to be constant, as is pumpage.



Changes in the water table, hydraulic head, and streamflow can



then be demonstrated.  No subsurface flow estimates accompany



this report.  The model predicts streamflow declines of 10



percent in Hempstead, Middle, and East bays, 55 percent in South



Oyster Bay, 35 percent in western Great South Bay, and 14 to 18



percent in eastern Great South Bay.  By comparing the streamflow



declines predicted by the model with the total average streamflow



into the five large bay subdivisions, a very rough estimate of



post-sewering average surface water inputs into each of these



broad sectors can be obtained.  The surface input results can be



combined with total average streamflow into the five large bay



subdivisions to get estimates of post-sewering average surface



water inputs in each of these broad sectors.
                               46

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    The second exercise  (76—441) predicts similar percentage



decreases in average surface water discharge for the same stream



segments.  It, however,  is based upon sewering of broad areas in



addition to the three sewer districts of concern, and therefore



is not relevant.




    Salinity in the bays correlates with the rate and location of



freshwater inputs from the mainland.  As we have seen, the



aquifer  is the primary source  of these flows, both through direct



discharge into the estuary and through discharge into streams,



which empty into the estuary.   With mathematical modeling it is



possible to determine salinity levels for as small an area of the



Great South Bay complex  as desired given varied inflow



conditions.  The only limitation is the level of effort



justified.  The model results  can be checked against known field



conditions on the day of sampling.



    A modeling study of  the Great South Bay complex salinity



response and other water quality parameters has been undertaken



as part  of the Nassau-Suffolk  208 study (Tetra Tech, Inc., 1977).



This study evaluates salinity  at ninety locations  (nodes) in the



complex, fairly evenly distributed.  Each reading value



represents the average salinity for a polygon or cell surrounding



the node; each cell is formed  by the connection of the mid—points



of lines drawn between the nodes.  Just as average salinity in



the bay  as a whole is determined by the relative size and source



of the mixing waters, the salinity reading for each cell is
                                47

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determined by the inputs from the surrounding cells or through




the model boundary.



    This is a typical surface water model which has been used as



part of the 208 study.  It was successfully calibrated to



salinity conditions existing on September 18, 19, and 21, 1976.



For comparative modeling purposes, average freshwater input rates



and evaporation rates were set and then mainland—origin input



rates were arbitrarily changed by multiples of 0.5 and 1.5 while



holding direct precipitation and evaporation at constant average



levels.  The same procedure was repeated while reducing



precipitation to zero and holding evaporation constant.



    Mainland inputs included surface and subsurface flows.



Baseline or average surface inputs were calculated using flow



records for each of the forty streams discharging into the Great



South Bay complex.  The streams were treated as point sources,



and flow information on them was put into the system according to



their real locations.  The total gauged flow for the forty



streams amounted to 189.7 cfs  (322.5 cu m/min).  Another 145.0



cfs (246.5 cu m/min) was added to streamflow below the gauges to



simulate seepage to streams in the tidal areas.  Subsurface



seepage from the aquifer to the bays, based upon rough USGS



estimates, was 134.6 cfs (292.0 cu m/min), which was evenly



distributed over the east-west length of the system out to a



distance of 500 yards (457 m) from the mainland shore.  Thus,



total estimated subsurface flow from the aquifer to the Great



South Bay complex was 279.6 cfs  (475.3 cu m/min).  Total






                               48

-------
estimated flow, surface and subsurface, was 469.3 cfs  (797.8 cu



m/min) .




    In the development of the 208 model, it was found that the



portion of Great South Bay west of Robert Moses Causeway is a



hydrodynamically distinct subsystem from the portion east of the



causeway.  The eastern subsystem reacts slowly to changes in



inputs, requiring  several month's time to stabilize at a new



equilibrium  when inputs are altered.  Therefore, steady-state



modeling was used  for this area.  The western subsystem responds



rapidly to altered input conditions, reaching equilibrium over



the course of  a  few tidal cycles, due to good mixing character-



istics.  Therefore,  dynamic modeling of tidal cycle behavior was



used  here.



    Two hypothetical cases were modeled and the results compared



to normal  inflow salinity profiles for the dynamic and the



steady-state subsystems:



    1.   Fifty percent reductions in surface and subsurface



         inflows with average rainfall  (rainfall held constant)



         directly  to the bay  surface.



    2.   Fifty percent reductions in surface and subsurface



         inflows with zero rainfall directly to the bay surface.



    In case  #1,  dynamic modeling showed an average salinity



increase of  about  0.5 ppt in  the western subsystem.  Steady state



modeling in  the  eastern subsystem showed a net increase of about



2 ppt at the boundary with the western subsystem, rising to about



5.5 ppt at the eastern boundary.  In case #2, only the eastern






                               49

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subsystem was modeled and compared.  The results showed an



average salinity increase of about 3 ppt at the boundary with the



western subsystem, rising as high as 17 ppt around Bayport, and



then decreasing in differential east of Bayport.



    These case studies are valuable in that they show the



responsive characteristics of the system. However, they are not



based on actual inflow decreases associated with sewering or on



historical precipitation probability analysis; they are modeling



exercises based on hypothetical assumptions.  In addition, the



subsurface inflow rates and locations are based on even



distribution of rough overall estimates rather than on measured



input rates.  Streamflow inputs are more soundly based, but even



so there is some variability in the quality of the data.  For



these reasons, the possibility of error in the model results is



considerable.



    In summary, this type of modeling effort could be quite



useful in projecting salinity responses if it were specifically



adapted to the problem at hand:



    1.   The size of the grid and the parameter specificity



         (whether mean, monthly average, or daily average



         salinity) would have to be those required to make



         biological predictions about shellfish.



    2.   Model sensitivity to the location of freshwater inflows



         would have to be explored in terms of the system1s



         response and the potential significance to the



         biological resource.





                               50

-------
         It might then be necessary to conduct systematic



         localized evaluations of subsurface aquifer conditions



         to set more precise subsurface output parameters for the



         aquifer abutting the Great South Bay complex.
Water Table Fluctuations and Aquifer Storage








    The water table is not static; it rises or falls in response



to many factors, including variations in precipitation, decreases



in infiltration due to urbanization or sewering, and changes in



consumption patterns.  Water table fluctuations are of course



reflected in fluctuations in the aquifer's freshwater output to



the bay.



    Based on information collected from fourteen observation



wells widely-distributed over Nassau and Suffolk counties, it is



apparent that average storage and water table levels on Long



Island were above normal during the years 1940 to 1962.  This



paralleled above-normal rainfall during that period.  Below-



normal raninfall during the 1962 to 1966 period was associated



with reduced average water levels during the years 1962 to 1971.



Since 1972, water table levels and storage have risen in response



to increased precipitation (USGS, as cited in New York Times,



November 27, 1977; Kantrowitz, USGS, December 20, 1977).  Losses



in recharge due to sewering were apparently offset by the
                               51

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increased precipitation.  Of course, the sewering programs



planned for Long Island have not yet been fully implemented.



    Precipitation patterns are the most important single



influence on aquifer storage and outputs.  Where recharge has



been reduced by sewering, above-normal precipitation can



compensate for the loss, averting declines in aquifer storage or



output; on the other hand, below-normal precipitation can



compound the effects of sewering.  This means that a direct link



cannot be constructed between sewering and aquifer declines; if



such a link existed, the water table would now be lower than it



was in 1972, not higher.  Predictions of the aquifer's response



to sewering must, therefore, take into account other sources of



recharge variation, primarily precipitation, but also development



and water consumption trends.  Different aquifer response



scenarios would have to be derived using reliable projections of



population and development trends as well as sound meterological



data.  Assumptions about precipitation rates should be based upon



historical precipitation probability analysis.  Within this



analytical framework, it would be possible to predict the range



of effects sewering might have on the aquifer under different



precipitation conditions, and the probability of any one of those



effects occurring.
                               52

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Areas Closed to Shellfishing








    More of Long Island1s waters are closed to shell fishing now



than were closed in 1972.  The primary reason for these closures,



according to the New York State Department of Environmental




Conservation  (NYSDEC),  is pollution due to stormwater runoff.



The NYSDEC reported that by the end of 1972, 13.8 percent, or



163,700 acres  (66,300 ha), of the New York Marine District was



uncertified for shellfishing.  By 1977, the total had increased



to 17.5 percent, or 207,900 acres (84,200 ha), (Schneck, NYSDEC,



December 20,  1977).



    Of the 44,000 acres (18,000 ha)  closed since 1972, 14,050



acres  (5,700  ha) were in the Great South Bay complex, where



uncertified areas rose  from 9,365 to 23,415 acres  (3,800 to 9,500



ha), or from  11.4 to 28.6 percent of the total Great South Bay



complex area  of 81,915  acres  (33,200 ha).  Table 3 shows that



large decreases in certified acreage occurred in 1972-1973, 1974-



1975, and 1976—1977.  Reversals in this general trend have not



occurred, although 535  acres  (217 ha) of eastern Great South Bay



proper that had been closed to shellfishing were reopened in May



1977.  Figure  6 shows the areas now closed to shellfishing.



    Changes in certification are related to changes in coliform



levels which  are, in turn, related to the contributions from



point and nonpoint sources in the area.  The general trend in



closures in the Great South Bay complex has been from west to



east, with closures in  Nassau County virtually eliminating






                               53

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              TABLE 3
ACREAGE UNCERTIFIED FOR SHELLFISHING
     NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES
             1972 - 1977
AREA
Hempstead Bay
(Hempstead, Middle,
and East Bays)
South Oyster Bay
(Wantagh State
Parkway to
Amityville Channel)
Great South Bay
Proper (Amityville
Channel to Howell
Point)
Bell port Bay
Subtotals
Atlantic Ocean to
3-Mile Limit
Nassau County
Suffolk County
Subtotals
Long Island Sound to
Adjacent State Lines
Nassau County
Suffolk County
Subtotals
ANNUAL TOTAL
1972*
5,650*
700
2.5152
500
9,365
0
0
0
20,950
2,800
23,750
33,115
1973*
10,950"
1,015s
3,605
500 3
16,070
0
0
0
0
0
0
16,070
1974*
10,950
1,015
3,807
1,030
16,802
340
0
340
0
0
0
17,142
1975*
11,850
4,020
3,807
1,030
20,707
3,140
0
3,140
0
0
0
23,847
1976*
11,850
4,020
3,807
1,030
20,707
0
0
0
0
0
0
20,707
1977*
11,850
August
4.0201 4,620
3.8072 5,450
May 6
1,030 +495
20,707 22,415
0 0
0 0
0 0
37,150 0
300 0
37,450 0
58,157
TOTAL Marine Acreage
11,850
6,190
58,280
5,595
81,915
28,700
231,500
260,200



342,115

*As of Jan. 1 (year) unless otherwise noted.
1. Offshore extension of uncertified areas.
2. Offshore extension of uncertified areas GSB.
3. Unspecified areas, although duck waste problems were acute about this time.
4. Closure around Jones Inlet.
5. Closure around Cedar Creek Outfall.
6. Opening of areas, duck waste situation improved.
Source: Schneck, December 16, 1977.

-------
             FIGURE  6
        Scale: l" •=4mi.
                           Area closed to shellfishing
AREAS  CLOSED TO  SHELLFISHING
       IN AUGUST  1977
             -55-

-------
certified waters there.  In Suffolk County, there has been a



marked increase in the width of the band of uncertified waters



along the mainland coast between the county line and the Babylon-



Islip town line.  Shorefront area closures east of this point




have also increased.



    Between January 1972 and January 1975, 11,342 acres  (4,600



ha) of the Great South Bay complex lost their certification.



Most of this loss, 9,520 acres  (3,900 ha), occurred in the Nassau



County portion of the bays.  Certification losses in Nassau



County included 6,200 acres (2,500 ha)  in Hempstead, Middle, and



East bays, eliminating all of the shellfishing waters in those



bays, and 3,320 acres  (1,350 ha) in South Oyster Bay.  The South



Oyster Bay closure was necessitated by a break in the NCDD #3



outfall pipe in 1974.  Of the 1,822 acres  (740 ha)  of



shellfishing waters lost in Suffolk County, 530 acres (215 ha)



were closed because of acute problems with duck farm wastes



running off into the extreme eastern section of Great South Bay.



    Between January 1975 and January 1978, most of the closures



in the Great South Bay complex were in Suffolk County waters,



again in a west to east pattern.  Suffolk County lost 1,708 acres



(692 ha) , of which 1,643 acres  (665 ha)  were in western and



central Great South Bay proper.  Another 600 acres  (243 ha) were



lost in Nassau's South Oyster Bay.  Recent water quality



improvements as a result of treatment of duck farm wastes allowed



the certification of 535 previously closed acres in extreme



eastern Great South Bay proper in May 1977.






                               56

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    In 1972, Nassau County had 28,360 acres (11,500 ha) of

certified shellfishing waters in the near-shore Atlantic Ocean.

In 1974, 2,800 acres  (1,100 ha), or about 10 percent of these

waters, were closed.  This closure represents the dispersion area

and buffer zone for the NCDD *3 outfall, which went into

operation in 1974.  As long as the outfall remains in use, these

waters will remain closed.  To date, no ocean zone waters have

been closed in Suffolk County, but the same precaution of closing

the area around the SWSD  #3 outfall will be taken when that

outfall goes into operation.

    Despite the continuing pattern of pollution-related closures,

the shellfishing industry has remained relatively stable in terms

of harvest yields and value  (see Tables 1 and 2) .  What changes

may have occurred in employment patterns are unknown, but the

number of shellfish digging permits issued by the state has been

on the increase since 1972  (Hendrickson, NYSDEC, December 16,

1977) .

                   Shellfish Digging Permits*

                       Full and Part Time

    1970           5,547                    1974           8,027

    1971           6,026                    1975           9,216

    1972           5,832                    1976           9,792

    1973           6,462
*Issued to residents only; figures do not include permits issued
for lobstering and crabbing.


                               57

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                           CHAPTER IV
               STUDIES TO GENERATE ADDITIONAL DATA
    Although the central question posed by this report - "what



are the effects of outfall sewering on the shellfishing



industry?" - cannot now be answered, significant progress is



being made toward answering the intermediate questions outlined



in Chapter II.  Two studies, one underway and the other proposed,



are of special interest.  The first is an EPA-sponsored study,



generally known as the Nassau-Suffolk Streamflow Augmentation



Study, that was initiated in early 1977,  Its purpose is to



identify and to develop interim methods of mitigating any



significant adverse impacts of the sewering programs in NCDD f2,



NCDD #3, and SWSD #3 on the hydrology or ecology of the



freshwater and marine resources of the area.  The second study is



one proposed by the New York State Department of Environmental



Conservation to provide the basic scientific data needed to



develop a management program for the hard clam resources in Great



South Bay.
                               58

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Nassau-Suffolk Streatnflow Augmentation Study








    Concern about the potential impacts of increased groundwater



use in NCDD #2 and of the present sewering programs in NCDD #3



and SWSD #3 on freshwater and marine resources led EPA and Nassau



and Suffolk counties to undertake a joint study in early 1977.



This study, the first of its kind funded by EPA, is a major



effort to apply state—of—the—art analyses to potential



environmental impacts.  The streamflow augmentation study area



encompasses the three major sewer districts and adjacent areas.



It also includes the Great South Bay complex from the Atlantic



Beach Bridge in Nassau County to Smith Point in Suffolk County.



    The purpose of this study is to determine the extent of the



impacts of the sewering programs prior to their occurrence and to



evaluate and implement any interim alternatives necessary to



mitigate those impacts.  Mitigation alternatives fall into three



groups: 1)  methods of augmenting the freshwater flows in streams



and lakes only, 2)  methods of augmenting the freshwater flows in



streams and lakes and in the estuarine systems, and 3) methods of



augmenting the freshwater flows in the estuarine systems only.



Any one of these alternatives is possible depending upon the



nature of the impacts identified.



    The counties are responsible for all aspects of the study



except the estuarine assessment, which is being directed by EPA



through a consultant.  Funding for the counties' portion of the



study has been provided by EPA through a Step I wastewater






                               59

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facilities construction grant, amounting to 75 percent of the



total estimated study cost of $6.5 million (2.8 million for



Nassau County, and $3.8 million for Suffolk County).  AS of



January 10, 1978, the counties were in the process of selecting



consultants, and EPA's consultant was preparing a plan of study



for the estuarine assessment.  Since the studies are just getting



underway, descriptions of them will be necessarily preliminary



and general, based upon the goals and objectives established by



the participants.



    The study calls for actual data collection and analysis to



begin in early 1978, with an anticipated completion date of June



1980.  The completion date was selected to permit the design and



construction of any facilities necessary to mitigate impacts by



June 1984.  In order to insure that any mitigating measures



recommended by the study are implemented, EPA has retained the



right to withhold 20 percent of the 1977 grants for construction



of collection systems in NCDD f3 and SWSD f3.  Payment of the



remainder of the grants is contingent upon implementation of the



mitigating measures.



    The preliminary plan calls for the counties to analyze the



groundwater aquifer and surface water quality and quantity



responses to the NCDD #2, NCDD #3, and SWSD #3 sewering programs.



Streamflow models will be refined to predict quantity and quality



responses for each stream in the study area.   The effects of flow



declines upon the environmental values of the freshwater streams



and lakes will be analyzed as a possible basis for action.  No






                               60

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grant funds have been allocated to refine aquifer subsurface

underflow values because of the complexities of aquifer — bay

bottom interrelationships.  Another component of the county study

is the modeling of bay water quality response to input changes

from the mainland.

    The EPA component of the study will determine the environ-

mental impacts of water quality changes in the bays related to

changes in the quantity and quality of the freshwater inputs.

This estuarine assessment was prompted in part by the preliminary

results of the Nassau—Suffolk 208 study's water quality model for

the south shore bays.  The Directive of Work for the estuarine

assessment summarizes the preliminary results:
         ... salinity changes of less than one ppt near the
         western end of the study area to nearly nine ppt near
         the eastern end are associated with a fifty percent
         reduction in surface and groundwater inflows.  A
         generalized assessment of the significance of these
         salinity changes in the area is being completed as part
         of the 208 study.  The degree of resolution regarding
         the effect on localized biological communities is
         expected to be low in this analysis.  A minimal level of
         analysis will be done regarding salinity and shellfish
         productivity, nutrient changes and phytoplankton
         productivity, salinity and wetlands extent, finfish
         productivity, and coliform contamination and area closed
         to shellfishing.


The limited 208 assessment of estuarine resources should be

completed in early 1978, but it is not expected to provide

definitive answers to the question of effects on the shellfishing

industry.  The EPA component of the streamflow augmentation study

should be of greater significance in this regard because it is


                               61

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intended to determine the critical water quality characteristics




and the information on them that is needed to adequately assess



their effect on bay resources.  The sampling and modeling



programs that will be used to accomplish this task will be better



defined during the course of the study.



    The EPA component of the study focuses on the economically



significant organisms and the potential impacts upon them of



water quality changes in the Great South Bay complex.  Initially,



both finfish and shellfish were considered.  The EPA consultant,



having evaluated the feasibility of studying the various bay



organisms and the relative economic significance of those



organisms, has determined that the study should concentrate on



shellfish.  The preliminary plan calls for an inventory and



productivity analysis of the entire area, including the status of



the study organisms and the critical physical, chemical, and



biological factors in their environment that may be affected by



the possible changes due to sewering.  The extent of these



investigations will depend upon the number of critical organisms



identified and their particular environmental requirements.



    In addition to a biological survey of the critical organisms,



the economic value of these resources will be assessed from



historical data and field data.  Industries dependent on these



resources will also be identified and evaluated.  Both commercial



and recreational resource industries will be included as



appropriate.
                               62

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    This streamflow augmentation study, specifically the



estuarine assessment, is relevant to the question of the effects



of sewering on shellfish in that it focuses on both the



appropriate sewering programs and the appropriate estuarine



zones.  However, the level of detail of the biological



investigations and the extent of the investigations into effects



on the shellfishing industry are indeterminate at present.



    The timing of this study with respect to the sewering



programs is the major limiting factor regarding its predictive



value.  The study concept is based upon measuring baseline



conditions prior to any sewering in SWSD f3 and prior to



increases in wastewater flows beyond 15 mgd (57,000 cu m/d) at



the NCDD #3 treatment plant and beyond 60 mgd (227,000 cu m/d) at



the NCDD #2 plant.  However, total flows to these plants are



projected to increase steadily throughout the 1977-1981 period,



which means that conditions in the bays will be increasingly



affected throughout this period.  For example, the average flow



to the NCDD #3 treatment facility increased from 12.4 mgd  (47,000



cu m/d) in 1976 to about 16 or 17 mgd  (61,000 or 64,000 cu m/d)



in 1977.  The rapid completion of lateral sewer systems is



projected to result in flow increments of more than 4 mgd  (15,000



cu m/d) during the next few years.  All but 5.5 mgd (21,000 cu



m/d)  of the actual flow to the NCDD #3 treatment plant will be



discharged through the outfall in 1979, when a demonstration



recharge facility is expected to become operational.
                               63

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    The recently stepped-up pace in sewer construction can be



attributed to changes in the State of New York's priority system



for use of federal funds.  Before federal funds began to be used



for lateral sewer systems in New York, flows to the NCDD #3



treatment plant were expected to increase at only 2.6 mgd (10,000



cu m/d) per year.  They are currently increasing at about 5.2 mgd



(20,000 cu m/d) per year.  In addition, flows from the Village of



Freeport sewer district, which now discharges about 5.0 mgd



(19,000 cu m/d) to the bay, are expected to be routed through the



NCDD #3 treatment and ocean disposal system by 1980.



    Consequently, the streamflow augmentation study is attempting



to evaluate a situation in flux.  Baseline conditions during this



period will not be technically baseline because they will reflect



alterations caused not only by weather and other natural



phenomena but by the sewering programs themselves.  Nevertheless,



the streamflow augmentation study is the most practical means of



evaluating potential effects and developing mitigative measures



in a timely manner.
Prospective Study of the Hard Clam Resources of Great South Bay







    The NYSDEC is contemplating an in—depth study of the



environmental conditions of Great South Bay proper as they relate



to hard clam productivity and availability.  The stated purpose



of this study is to build a scientific knowledge base on the hard





                               64

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clam resource that can be used, first, to improve assessments of



the impacts of natural and man-made changes upon the resource



and, second, to develop rational programs to manage the resource.



The NSRPB, with the assistance of a team of experts, is preparing



a technical statement of work that NYSDEC can use in soliciting



proposals from consultants wishing to perform the actual study.



    A. preliminary version of the technical study plan was



completed in December 1977.  It calls for in-depth investigations



of the hard clam resources and the environmental factors



affecting them, including nutrient budgets, surficial sediment



distributions, present and future coliform levels, salinity, and



possibly other environmental factors.  Investigations would



generally begin with a thorough compilation of existing data



possibly supplemented by sampling programs to complete the



coverage of the study area.



    The preliminary study plan projects a three-year study



period.  If a decision is made to proceed with the study, work



may begin by late spring or early summer 1978.  Tasks completed



during the first year would probably include a field study of



non-tidal current and local wind relationships, a survey of hard



clam larvae sources, and a literature search and development of a



sampling grid for the study of nutrient—phytoplankton



relationships.  Other tasks undertaken, but not completed, during



the first year would probably include analyses of the habitat



values and spawning relationships for the hard clam  (two-year



duration), identification of seasonal salinity distributions





                               65

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(three—year duration),  studies of eelgrass as a significant




factor in nutrient budgets (three-year duration), sediment



surveys (three-year duration), and hard clam resource surveys




(three-year duration).



    Tasks undertaken during the second year would probably



include an analysis of  tidal exchange relationships  (one-year



duration) , a sampling program for nutrients and phytoplankton



(one-year duration), an analysis of transplant programs  (two-year



duration), and coliform modeling with regard to waste treatment



(two—year duration).



    During the third year, the task of modeling nutrients and



phytoplankton with regard to pollution control alternatives  (one-



year duration) would probably be undertaken.  Monitoring of



tides, salinity, and nutrients would extend throughout and



possibly beyond the study period.



    Since a final decision on this study has not yet been made,



and since the plan of study is preliminary, the potential



contribution of the study to the evaluation of the effects of



outfall sewering on the shellfishing industry is difficult to



judge.  Additions, deletions, and modifications are possible both



in technical scope and schedule.  Nevertheless, some general



observations can be made.  The scope of the study promises



considerable improvement in the understanding of hard clam



ecology in Great South Bay proper.  However, the study will  not



provide information on hard clams in the western portions of the



Great south Bay complex, nor will it consider the potential






                               66

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habitat, value for other commercial shellfish species in the area.




It appears that the study will not attempt to relate biological



productivity to harvest yields or to the economic status of the



industry, either quantitatively or qualitatively.  On the other



hand, information on environmental factors, particularly nutrient



budgets, phytoplankton, coliform bacteria, salinity, circulation,



and sediment distributions, is a key element in answering the



shellfishing question, as is information regarding the sources of



larvae.



    Once again, the major limiting factor on the relevance of



this study is its timing in relation to the sewering programs.



By 1981, a flow of 15 mgd  (57,000 cu m/d), or approximately half



of the design flow, will be reached in SWSD #3; about 33.8 mgd



(120,000 cu m/d), or approximately two—thirds of tne design flow,



will be reached in NCDD t3; and possibly 15 mgd  (57,000 cu m/d)



will be added to the NCDD #2 system.  The groundwater aquifer



responds continuously to the decreasing volumes of septic



recharge; the response is expressed in terms of storage and



output decreases, other input sources being equal.  The USGS has



estimated that the complete response of the aquifer to any net



recharge level in year X will occur within three to five years.



That is, the aquifer will reach equilibrium within three to five



years after a decrease in total recharge in year N.  Moreover,



the aquifer will move gradually toward that equilibrium during



those three to five years.  Therefore, declines in freshwater



inputs to the bays associated with these sewering programs will






                               67

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be increasingly manifest from 1977 to about 1986-1988.



Similarly, changes in coliform, nutrient, and organic matter



contributions brought about by elimination of septic recharge



will occur as the local sewer systems are gradually tied into the



district systems and the treatment plant during this period.  The



response of the estuarine system to these changes will be rapid,



on the order of a few days to a few months.



    Therefore, any baseline physical, chemical, or biological



measurements or conclusions derived from the subject study



between 1978 and 1981 will necessarily be reflections of



conditions in a state of flux.



    The most relevant portion of this study to the overall



shellfish question may be the long-term water quality monitoring



information it produces.  The monitoring program may reflect



changes over time, permitting qualitative association with



sewering programs and other causal factors in the area.
                               68

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                            CHAPTER V
                           CONCLUSION
    In 1972, when EPA proposed the funding of several sewage



treatment projects to protect the quality of Long Island's water



supply, it was with the realization that their effects would not



be wholly beneficial.  Gradual depletion of the groundwater



reservoir was the most significant potential adverse effect



because of Long Island's almost total reliance on groundwater for



water supply.  When the draft EIS was issued in 1971, a



groundwater recharge study, funded in part by EPA and its



predecessors, had been underway at the Bay Park treatment plant



in NCDD tt2 for several years.  Before the final EIS was issued in



1972, EPA had initiated a recharge feasibility study in NCDD t3



as well.  In the final EIS, EPA recommended that the feasibility



study be followed by a demonstration recharge facility; that



facility is scheduled to go into operation at the Cedar Creek




plant in 1979.



    These and other studies are steps toward the ultimate



objective of instituting large-scale groundwater recharge



projects to insure Long Island of a continuing high-quality water



supply.  Of course, because of the vital role that the aquifer



plays in contributing fresh water to the bays, groundwater






                               69

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recharge will also be of benefit in maintaining the fresh to salt



water balance there.  The outfalls that are now used for ocean



disposal of treatment plant effluent will be retained only as



backup facilities when groundwater recharge becomes a feasible



alternative.  When that will be depends on the progress that is



made in overcoming technological problems, such as well clogging.



In the meantime. Long Island will probably be incurring a



groundwater deficit, but the aquifer system is vast and the



above-normal precipitation of recent years should help to offset



adverse effects.



    Similar concerns about the potential for drawdowns in surface



waters led to the Nassau-Suffolk Streamflow Augmentation Study



described in Chapter IV.  Direct streamflow augmentation does not



present the technological problems that groundwater recharge



does.  As such, streamflow augmentation, meaning the augmentation



of fresh or estuarine waters as necessary, is a suitable interim



response to the effects of the present sewering programs on



surface waters.  As with ultimate recharge, this interim response



will have the benefit of contributing to the maintenance of the



fresh to salt water balance in the bays.  Any facilities that



will be needed to conduct a direct streamflow augmentation



program are scheduled to be completed in 1984, well before the



time when significant effects might be expected to occur.



    If the present sewering programs were proceeding in the



absence of efforts to develop mitigating measures, there would be



reason for concern about the potential effects, including





                               70

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possible injury to the shellfishing industry.  However, both




short- and long-range mitigating measure are being formulated



through the cooperative efforts of the federal, state, and local



governments.  Moreover, specific measures, such as groundwater



recharge and streamflow augmentation, are not being developed in



a vacuum.  Planning programs, notably the Nassau-Suffolk 208



plan, represent a concerted effort and more importantly a



continuing effort to insure that the wastewater treatment needs



of Long Island, present and future, are planned for and responded



to in a timely, effective, and comprehensive manner.



    Until all plans are fully implemented, some degree of adverse



effect must be expected, as set forth plainly in the 1972 EIS.



It is reasonable to assume that any adverse hydrologic effects



that did occur would extend in time to the shellfishing industry,



but the specific effects of the present sewering programs on the



industry are not assessable with the information available.



Nevertheless, actions already underway, by identifying specific



adverse hydrologic effects of the programs and providing for



their timely mitigation, should go a long way toward ensuring



that activities such as commercial shellfishing, which rely on a



balanced environment, are protected.  Since the shellfishing



industry will be among the beneficiaries of these on—going



actions, further specific studies of the potential injury to that



industry do not seem warranted.



    The need for adequate sewage treatment on Long Island is



clear.  The EPA's commitment to assist Long Island in achieving






                               71

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this objective in an environmentally sound manner remains the



prime focus of the studies, programs, and plans underway in



Nassau and Suffolk counties.
                               72

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                            APPENDIX
                        LIST OF CONTACTS
    In an attempt to determine the status of the Long Island



shellfishing industry, particularly with regard to employment,



several persons and publications were consulted.  No one was able



to offer even a rough estimate of the number of persons employed,



although the absence of the shellfishing industry from the



NSRPB*s 1971 and 1973 surveys of employment by industry indicate



that it is not among the major industries on Long Island (see



Appendix Tables 1 and 2).  Dr. Pearl Kamer, the NSRPB's Chief



Economist and the author of both NSRPB reports, indicated in a



telephone conversation that to her knowledge no one had compiled



employment figures for the shellfishing industry.



    In an affidavit submitted to the court on behalf of the



plaintiffs on October 2, 1975, Stephen G. Lane stated, "The



shellfish industry of Great South Bay is extremely important for



the economy of Long Island.  It is the second largest private



industry on Long Island employing some 12,000 people...."



Appendix Tables 1 and 2 show that the shellfishing industry could



not possibly be the second largest on Long Island.  The NSRPB



reported that in 1970 the total employment in Nassau and Suffolk



counties for the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries industries






                               73

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                   APPENDIX TABLE 1**

  INDUSTRY OF EMPLOYMENT OF BI-COUNTY RESIDENTS,  1970*

            Industry                             Total
  Agriculture, Forestry, Fisheries          -    8,913
  Mining                                    -      839
  Construction                              -   58,808
  Manufacturing                             -  198,838
    Durables                                -  119,583
    Non-Durables                            -   79,255
  Transportation, Communications,
   Public Utilities                         -   83,836
    Transportation                          -   44,583
    Communications                          -   20,180
    Utilities, Sanitary Services            -   19,073
  Wholesale & Retail Trade                  -  209,156
    Wholesale Trade                         -   46,356
    Retail Trade                            -  162,800
  Services                                  -  340,738
    Finance, Insurance, Real Estate         -   64,538
    Business & Repair Services              -   41,145
    Personal Services                       -   29,499
    Entertainment & Recreational Services   -   11,150
    Professional & Related Services         -  194,406
  Public Administration                     -   57,055

  TOTAL                                     -  958,183
  *Refers to persons age 16 and older; industry categories
   not completely comparable to those shown in Appendix B •
   Table 6.

  Source: U.S.' Bureau of the Census

**Extracted from Appendix B - Table 7 (NSRPB, 1973)
                          -74-

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                                                                 APPENDIX  TABLE  2*
                                            ESTIMATED EMPLOYMENT  BY  INDUSTRY  -  1960-1970
                                                          NASSAU-SUFFOLK (000)x

                                     i
           Industry

Civilian Work Force
Unemployment
Employment
Total Non-Agricultural Wage &
 Salary Employment
Manufacturing
   Durables
      Ordnance & Accessories
      Lumber & Wood Products
      Furnilurc & Fixtures
      Stone, Clay, Glass
      Primary Metals
      Fabricated Metals
      Machinery, except Elcc.
      Electrical  Machinery
      Transportation Equipment
      Instruments
   Non-Durables
      Food
      Textiles
      Apparel
      Paper & Allied Products
      Printing £ Publishing
      Chemicals &. Allied Products
      Petroleum
      Rubber & Plastics
      Leather
      Miscellaneous Mfg.
Non-Manufacturing
   Contract Construction
   Transportation & Public
    Utilities
   Wholesale & Retail Trade
   Finance, Insurance &  Real
    Estate
   Service & Misc.
   Government

1.  Data consists of annual averages of estimated total non-agricultural employment
2.  Figures may not add to totals because of rounding
  Source:  New York  State Department  of  Labor,  Office  of  Research &  Statistics

*  Extracted  from Appeddix   B  -  Table 4  (NSRPB,   1971).
                                                                               -75-
, % Change
1960Z
600.6
23.5
577.1
448.5
124.1
95.2
1.4
O.S
2.0
2.1
1.6
7.2
6.4
18.2
32.9
22.6
29.0
4.4
1.3
6.8
2.1
6.9
2.2
0.1
1.5
0.4
3.2
324.4
34.9
21.6
99.6
17.4
72.0
78.8
1961
628.2
29.2
599.0
464.0
126.6
96. S
1.4
O.S
1.9
2.1
1.6
7.2
7.3
19.9
32.7
22.0
29.8
3.9
1.4
7.1
2.2
7.5
2.3
0.1
1.6
0.4
3.3
337.4
35.4
22.2
104.1
18.5
75.2
81.9
1962
663.9
28.1
635.8
496.3
132.9
100.4
1.6
0.9
2.2
2.3
1.8
7.8
7.9
21.4
32.8
21.6
32.5
3.7
1.5
7.6
2.6
8.2
2.3
0.1
2.0
0.3
4.1
363.4
39.0
23.0
114.7
19.3
80.9
85.9
1963
696.3
32.0
664.3
524.8
139.2
104.7
1.3
0.8
2.5
2.2
1.6
7.7
8.3
20.1
39.5
20.7
34.5
3.6
1.5
7.8
3.1
8.9
2.5
0.1
2.1
0.4
4.4
385.4
37.1
23.9
124.5
21.4
86.8
91.9
1964
715.9
36.0
679.8
539.5
131.8
95.6
1.0
O.S
2.7
1.9
1.6
7.7
8.1
18.1
34.9
18.9
• 36.2
3.8
1.5
S.2
3.3
9.3
2.6
0.1
2.0
0.4
4.9
407.7
37.4
25.0
132.6
23.0
92.6
97.0
1965
747.8
34.6
713.2
571.3
135.9
95.9
1.0
O.S
2.8
1.8
1.9
8.1
8.9
18.5
34.9
17.0
40.0
4.0
1.8
8.9
3.6
9.9
3.3
0.1
2.5
0.4
5.5
435.4
38.0
25.8
143.6
24.4
100.1
103.5
1966
785.0
32.9
752.1
612.1
151.0
10S.O
1.3
0.8
2.9
1.9
2.1
9.1
10.2
23.1
39.8
16.8
43.0
3.8
2.2
9.6
3.7
10.5
3.7
0.1
2.9
0.4
6.0
461.1
38.1
25.6
151.0
25.6
106.4
114.4
1967
817.0
35.0
781.9
642.8
159.5
114.3
2.0
0.9
2.9
1.8
1.9
9.6
1 1.1
26.3
41.3
16.5
45.2
3.8
2.3
10.3
4.0
11.4
3.7
0.1
3.1
0.5
5.9
483.3
38.2
27.3
158.3
26.4.
112.4
120.8
1968
844.7
33.7
811.0
672.5
164.0
116.8
2.3
0.9
3.0
1.9
1.9
10.1
11.6
27.6
42.0
15.4
47.2
3.8
2.6
11.2
4.1
11.7
3.9
0.2
3.3
0.5
5.9
508.8
38.2
28.0
168.3
27.8
119.1
127.4
1969
884.8
36.0
848.8
707.0
165.0
116.6
2.8
0.9
3.1
2.1
2.2
10.8
12.5
28.5
39.2
14.5
48.4
3.8
2.6
11.3
4.5
11.8
4.2
0.3
3.5
0.4
6.0
542.0
38.4
30.4
181.9
30.5
125.4
135.4
1970
917.7
46.7
871.0
728.3
154.4
106.1
2.2
1.0
3.1
2.0 ,
2.2
10.1
12.6
26.0
34.0
12.9
48.3
3.9
2.6
11.4
4.4
11.7
4.6
o.:
3.2
0.4
5.S
573.9
37.2
33.5
193.0
33.1
133.2
143.8
60-70
+52.8
+98.7
+50.9
+ 62.4
+24.4
+ 11.4
+57.1
+25.0
+55.0
- 4.S
+37.5
+40.3
+ 96.9
+42.9
+ 3.3
-42.9
+66.6
-1 1.4
+ 100.0
+67.6
+ 109.5
+69.6
+ 109.1
+ 100.0
+ 113.3
0.0
+81.2
+ 76.9
+ 6.6
+55.1
+93.8
+90.2
+ 85. 0
+ S2.5
69-70
+ 3.7
+ 29.7
+ 2.6
+ 3.0
- 6.4
- 9.0
-21.4
+ 11.1
0.0
- 4.8
0.0
- 6.5
+ O.S
- S.S
-13.3
-11.0
- 0.1
+ 2.6
0.0
+ 0.9
- 2.2
- 0.9
+ 9.5
-33.3
- S.6
0.0
-33.3
+ 5.9
- 3.1
+ 10.2
+ 6.1
+ S.5
+ 6.2
+ 6.2

-------
combined was only 8,913 (see Appendix Table 2) .   While it is



possible that in 1975 the shellfishing industry alone employed



about 12,000 persons, this still would not bring it within the



range of the major industries on Long Island.  On December 5,



1977, we wrote to Mr. Lane asking for his assistance in preparing



this supplement.  His affidavit and our request are presented as



Attachments 1 and 2.  Mr. Lane did not reply to our letter, but



the reply of the Bluepoints Company, received on February 14,



1978, is included as Attachment 3.



    At Dr. Kamer's suggestion, we contacted the Long Island



Association of Commerce and Industry.  The association was unable



to supply employment figures for this particular industry, but



suggested that we check with the Long Island Business Review and



with The Fisherman, a trade magazine.  Neither was able to help.



    We also checked with NYSDECfs Bureau of Shellfisheries in



Stony Brook, Long Island.  Steven Hendrickson of the bureau



indicated that the only way to obtain an approximate employment



figure would be to contact each company directly.  Canvassing the



industry would have taken far more time than we had in preparing



the supplement; it would also have required the complete



cooperation of the companies involved.  A further complication is



that individuals may work for a company only part of the year,



preferring to work independently at other times.  The only



information we could obtain was the number of permits issued by



NYSDEC each year for shellfish digging (see page 57) .  Here again
                               76

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a complication arises because while individual fishermen require

shellfish digging permits, companies do not.
Hendrickson, Steven, NYSDEC, Division of Marine Resources, Bureau
    of Shellfisheries, Stony Brook, New York; telephone conver-
    sation between Mr. Hendrickson and Gregory M. DeSylva,
    Ecologist, EPA-Region II, New York, New York; December 16,
    1977-

Kamer, Dr. Pearl, NSRPB, Hauppauge, New York; telephone conver-
    sation between Dr. Kamer and Joann M. Brennan, Environmental
    Protection Specialist, EPA—Region II, New York, New York;
    December 15, 1977.

Long Island Association of Commerce and Industry, Melville, New
    York; telephone conversation between the Research Librarian
    and Joann M. Brennan, EPA—Region II; December 15, 1977.

Long Island Business Review; telephone conversation between LIBR
    representative and Joann M. Brennan, EPA-Region II; February
    8, 1978.

Muller, Dr. William, Marine Biologist, The Fisherman, telephone
    conversation between Dr. Muller and Joann M. Brennan, EPA-
    Region II; December 16, 1977.

NSRPB; Long Island Economic Trends: Technical Supplement — The
    Long Island Economy: Anatomy of Change; December 1971;
    Hauppauge, New York.

NSRPB; Long Island Economic Trends: Technical Supplement — A
    Profile of the Nassau-Suffolk Labor Force; March 1973;
    Hauppauge, New York.
                               77

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                               ATTACHMENT 1

UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT        )
EASTERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK       *

ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE FUND, INC.  )
et al.                                    )
                           Plaintiffs,     )
   v.                                    )
                                                    AFFIDAVIT
                                                    Civil Action No. 74 C 698
RUSSELL E. TRAIN,  et al.,
                           Defendants.   )
STATE OF NEW YORK  )
COUNTY OF SUFFOLK  )
                          S3
        Stephen G. Lane, being duly sworn, deposes and says:
        1.  I am Vice President of Bluepoints Company,  Inc., and serve as President
of the Long Island Shellfish Farmers Association.  I am also President of the Regional
Advisory Council for the New York State Department of Environmental Consenvation,
have acted as an Advisor to the Federal Drug Administration and a member of the
New York Sea Grant Advisory Board.  I obtained my B. A.  from Colgate University
in 1964.
        2.  I am familiar with the shellfishing industry and the water quality problems
of Great South Bay which affect that industry. These waters have been farmed for shell™
fish during.the past'-S5 years'"by. the- Bluepoints Company which owns some .13,000 acres.
of Bay bottom located below the mouth of the Connetqubt  River.  The company''depends
on Ray waters to sustain the conditions necessary for the  growth of these shellfish.
rhHvo.%oV£C&ory\the-Bay:--^
die  lust seven years.
        3.  The shellfish industry of Great South Bay is extremely important for the
economy of Long Island.  It is the second largest private industry on the Island
employing soms 12,000 people, with a gross value in excess of $100 million per year.
The dock-side landed value of these shellfish was $1.1 million in 1973.  Some 40

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 percent of the hard clams, including little necks,  cherrystones and quahogs, harvested
 in the United Slates every year come  from Great South Bay waters.  Furthermore, hard
 clam landings from Great South Bay represent some 4Q% of the total value of all
 commercial fish landings in New York State.   The areas of Great South Bay which
 arc most important for the growth and harvesting ot these natural food resources are
 those located within the town waters of Islip, Babylon and Brookhaven.
          4.  Hie long term health of this valuable shellfish resource depends on the
 water quality of Great South Bay and on proper fishery management.
          5.  Water quality in the Bay  is affected in the following ways;
                  (a) Increasing population produces many stresses  on the Bay.
 These include increased recreational  and commercial uses, increased seepage of
 industrial,  residential and animal wastes and increased  runoff,  due to paving of the
 surrounding area, to the Bay.
                  (b) Sewering designed to collect wastes produced by expanding
 populations,  inhibits seepage from cesspools and industrial discharges from reaching
 the Bay,  thus  icuucing a portion of the pollutants discharged into the Bay.  These
 pollutants include fecal coliforms, nitrates and various  other chemical constituents.
 However, sowenrg itself will not  control discharges of nori--point sources of pollution,
 particularly storm v.ater runoff which  may cany more total conform bacteria into the
 Bay than,  cesspool seepage.
                 ,(c)...The use. of ppe^h outfalls, to -dispose of treated^ wast'ewater1..
 will reduce fresh water'discharges into the Bay by the  lowering of the w^ter table.'
-As. a..'resulty '.aitc rations "in-, tlie'.s.a'iiriity' ire ginre.will-'p^cui:.'
                  (dj'-Dredfffng'influences''-both the :bi'ol-ogloal and physical'parameters
 of the Bay".   Physical changes:. .\vliich".pccur.include alteration in •current'flbsv.'patt'e'rris
 and.flushing- rates which in turn-alter Bay: salinities:.
          6.  Although numerous water quality parameters of die Bay waters are important
 for production of the shellfish resources,  salinity  may be the most important.  Thus
 the use of outfalls, to dispose  of treated wastewater,-  deserves close scrutiny.  For
 the ha.rcl shell.clam, salinities for"'optimum-spawning and.larval suryivaLappe'artp be :,

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between 18 ppt and 27 ppt with best results found in the range of 20-24 ppt.  This
salinity range has baen  observed in out hatchery to provide the maximum rate of
spawning coupled with the maximum rate of survival of the larvae.  In addition,
through field studies conducted by Bluepoints Company employing plankton tows to
obtain samples of developing larvae within the Bay, we have noted that there are
greater numbers of larvae present when salinities fall within, this aforementioned
range.
         7.  Similarly,  the reproductive patterns and survival of shellfish predators
such as starfish ii.ive a  very  real bearing on the chances of economically valuable
shellfish reaching commercial sizes.   Starfish, for example,  will spawn in die warm
waters of shallow bays like Great South Bay, but developing larvae will not survive
when  the higher ranges of temperatures arc combined with lower, 20-25 ppt, salinities.
If, however,  salinities are higher particularly in the 28-32 ppt range, the starfish
larvae can withstand the higher temperatures and survive to reach adulthood.  The
pnesent salinity level which ranges from 22 to 26 ppt in most  parts of the Bay is
therefore at a  maximum  level for the sustained production of the hardshell clam and
the exclusion  of the various predators which include starfish and oyster drills.  If
salinities were to increase beyond present levels, extreme harm could come to the
hardshell  clam inc.-isoy through  a combination  of increased predation coupled with
decreased rcpcoduenon.  Thus,  the Bay is in a precarious balance.  Any significant
increase in .salinity cculd therefore be  detrimental.
                   ^y.-:^^
salinity measurements showed.a marked increase some two to three, years-after the. ;
drought; 'due,  presumably, 'tb-tli'e. lag in'groundwatcr levels arid'gradients in responding1
to the. reduction iir rainfall,.with, ayecigc salinity values reaching.an.upward;.limit.of
29 ppt or 3 ppt greater tlian that normally observed.  Associate';! with the elevated
salinity was an observed starfish and oyster drill population explosion greater than
that ever experienced before.  In fact, at considerable cost, Bluepoints ran a

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 mopping operation to control the influx of starfish \\/ich infested all company owned
 areas of the Bay under cultivation.  Furthermore, in conjunction with the State Depart-
 ment of Environmental Conservation, and other shcllfishing corporations, intermittent
 starfish surveys were conducted.  At the same time, \ve observed that clam spawning
 rates declined substantially.  V/e also observed  a change in circulation patterns in die
 Bay resulting, I suspect, in large part from changes in fresh water inflows to the Bay.
 Thfse circulation changes were marked in particular by an. extension of the influence
 of Fire Island inland eastward towards Patchogue Bay raising salinities in these Ray
 waters.
          9.  Since harvestable clams are 4 to 6 years old, the abnormally large number
 of predators coupled with the  increased mortality of clam larvae and the reduced
 spawning rates of adult clams in die late 1960's, as described  immediately above,
 have combined to reduce the total shellfish production of the Bay in the 1970's.  Since
 the early 1970's, the harvest  of -1 to 6 year old clams spawned  during the drought
 period have decreased dramatically. Bluepoints has noted this decrease because of the
 significant increase in its fishing efforts required to maintain harvests in accordance
 with its management practices.  For example,  during the Latter part of the 1960's,
 the average proilucll'.Ti rate of each  of cur vessels harvesting clams spawned 4 co 6
 years earlier wh~n average salinity  conditions existed in the Bay was 10 bushels per hour.
 Since the early 1970's, production stands at a rate of about 5 to 5.5 bushels per hour
: per;boa,t... .Quite simplyi>th.is-..me^as_^hat ..wevhay.e:to.pu.t,iaj:tvace..a.3_n\ucri:ieffon;,tp.
 obtain the same level of harvesting. Our management practices have not  changed during
•;tlVls--perib3 .p£:trii^^
' yet to.return to' pre-dro'ught condition's".- '-'I am also'av/are-'of-the fact.triat'harvests'Of
.'.other, sheUfishlpg "firms" have dQcl.in.ed dunng.this.pe"ri.od,:"'For'example'. harvests, qf
 the Fire Island Fisheries,. Inc.,t which. Iqases .450 acres of Bay bottoms from the'Town
 of Is lip, 'and purchases shellfish from' other clammers, have declined from "16,000
 bushels in  1970 to some 7,000 bushels in 1974.
          10.   I have read through salient portions of Dr.  Frankc's Phase I Report
•(Iii".: .2 to Dr".' FKinke;ls--dcp63itiori,-- at page; 47.)'and: reviewed figures depicting
 hydrologic .'changes -due.-to-severing" inthaSouthwest .Sewcrvfiistrict "ancl. the .\Vantagh' •

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District producted by USGS' analog model (Ex. 2 to Kimmel's deposition).  Dr. Franke's
Report and USGS stream flow data indicate that south shore stream flows \vcre generally
              ^->j -
reduced by some 50% from their average flows during the drought of the 1960's. The
                A
USGS figures indicate that total average streainflows in the areas affected cumulatively
by SWSD and V/antagh outfall sewering will bo reduced by some 26 percent by 1980 and
almost 40 percent: by 1985.  The S\VSD  outfall sewering alone will  reduce these stream-
flows some 20 percent during the 1980-85 period, according to these  figures.   Thus,
based on these quantitative hydrologic predictions,  I would expect  to find severe impacts
in affected portions of the Bay and on the shelLfishing industry there approaching those
experienced during and as a result of the drought of the 1950's, the effects of which are
still with us today.  Furthermore, the effects  of outfall sewering in the Bay will be
long term in contrast to the relatively short-term impacts of the 1950's drought.
Finally, if, during the course  of outfall sewering in the anticipated magnitudes, Long
Island again experiences a severe drought, the consequences to the shellfish industry
will be devastating.
         11.  I h:_vo reviewed  the EIS and the  specific pages enumerated within the
Federal Government's Motion  for Summary Judgment (pages 6, 15, 16, 62-87,  107,
118, 175,  205, 20") and conclude that the texi. does not discuss, except in the most-
cursory and superficial terms,  the effects of outfall sewering on the shellfish industry
which have been described within the body of this affidavit.  Quantification of the
magnitude".of change: in,the:;salinity 'regiraCvQ'f the Bay/is .ohv.io.usly  absent., .K
discussing the impact of changing salinity on the biota of the Bay ecosystem,  the
EIS simply'- states:
                  "If the amount of fresh water' discharge'into thc-'Kiy system".-
                 is ra d ically  re du eed •,"• ,'£h e. to y s:- w i 11' gradu a. Ily- be corn c :m o re.....';
                 saline... Since, salt concentration is one of the.-most critical..
                 factors  governing- this ecosystem, -an increase in. salinity-could
                 £Itgffo^ ccosvstcm of the _Bay.'" (EIS, 19727~page 118;'    "" '"
                 cniplmsis added.)
This particular statement is extremely general and superficial.  It docs not say anything
about the .effect of salinity changes on shellfish spawning, setting and predators and

-------
 about the economic importance of shellfish industry and impact of increased salinity
 on that industry.  Based on my reading of the EIS, J can only conclude tint any
 decision-maker relying on the EIS to assess the cumulative benefits and costs of
 outfall sewering and other treatment strategics must have neglected impacts of
 changing salinities on the Bay's  shellfish resources and the shellfish industry.
          12.  In addition, it is important to note that die route of the proposed Southwest
 Sewer District ocean outfall runs directly through the heavily used clamming area
 of the Town of Lslip which is located west  of the Captrce Bridge within Great South Bay.
 On any one day, dozens of clammers can be seen working this area.  Any rupture in
 the proposed Southwest Sewer District outfall, like that of the "vYantagh outfall, in this
 Bay could be devastating to ths shellfishing industry.  A rupture in the ocean section
 could affect the surf clam industry and might well have an adverse effect on the Bay.
          13.  I would like to conclude with the following remarks;
                   (a) The effects of outfalls  will irreparably harm the Bay and
 degrade its resources because of the delicate salinity regime which  presently exists.
                   (b) The combined effects of sewering with outfalls when imposed
 on drought conditions as  experienced during the mid 1960's, would be disastrous both
 to the ecology of major portions  of the Bay and thus much of the shellfish industry.
                   (c). Sewering will improve Bay water quality.  However, coliforms,
 nitrates, oil and other chemical  pollution will continue because of the large and
 .incrcfisiag.c'phtdbu^                                          continues-..
          Thus,  in terms  of the need co maintain and protect the shellfish resources of
             pbint'and hoh -point
 table'and •stream "flows' "rrAist be^deyised and'imple'rnentecl; ''Such •mariagcrnent techniques'
 are essen.tial.in. a ground water system v/liere marine surface, and ground v/ater a.re .
 integrally interrelated.   Otherwise,  substantial degradation of the marine resources of
 the Bi~County Area will  occur.
               ....     .....                                     .
'Sworn/to be'fofe'fne ; this   Z ' '~                         ""  'Stephen £. Lane.
-  -.., -.  &C.\  .
day of-September 1975  ' ' '• nnn^:0;D!;cic7Ar:M_A  _'
   J    '          ' '  ^'t<  M-"^-.'.--  I I .'-.-. ' '•" ^ r'  IV* .'^' TC.tr.
                           Ko  'j ''•Cu-.C-v"-. iuil.TlX Ci'j.-.;y
                      e.3>..  • -^rt-SxiiiKS ;f.?jrc!r.jo;. :«/•?•: --^- •-••


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                            ATTACHMENT 2
 DEC   5 1977
Mr. Stephen G. Lane
17500 SW 86th Avenue
Miami, Florida   33157

Dear Mr. Lane:

In line with Judge Bartel's decision of September 16,  1977,  we are preparing
a supplementary report on the effects on shellfish and the shell fishing
industry of outfall sewering on Long Island.   Your affidavit of October 2,
1975, indicates that the Bluepoints Company has over the years gathered a
substantial amount of information on the effects of salinity changes in
Great South Bay on shellfish populations there.

I realize that you are no longer associated with the Bluepoints Company,
but perhaps you could direct us to the source of this  information or could
provide other data or reports that would be useful.   We are  endeavoring to
prepare as comprehensive a report as possible, but the fact  is that there
is very little specific information available.  We have just launched a
study that will provide some of the answers,  but it will not be completed
until January 1980.  Therefore, we would appreciate any information you
can furnish, no matter how preliminary.

As you know, the deadline for submitting the supplementary report on
shellfishing is February 15, 1978.  Please let us know as soon as possible
if you can be of assistance in this matter.

Sincerely yours,
Barbara M.  Metzger
Chief
Environmental  Impacts Branch

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                               ATTACHMENT 3
                BLUEPOINTS  COMPANY,  INC.


  TELEPHONES:                           «S«IIOl»ICf                  ATLANTIC AVENUE
(sie) SBS-otaa                          ^ii^^               WEST SAYVILUE, LONG ISLAND
       0124                           ^*^                       N. Y. 11796
                                       February  6,  1978
         Ms.  Barbara M. Metzger
         Chief Environmental Impacts Brach
         U.S. T^nvironniental Protection Agency
         I'.egion II, 26 Federal Plaza
         Mew York, New York 10007

         Dear Ms. Metzger:

         Your letter to Mr. Stephen Lane has been  forwarded  to  me
         for reply.

         I am enclosing the information you requested  for  salinities
         on our farm for the years 1933 through  1949,  then from 1967
         through 1977.  Unfortunately there is a gap in  the
         continuity.  It is my understanding that  salinities  in our
         part of the bay, going back to the 1800s, averaged  about
         22 parts.

         After Fire Island Inlet was improved, and Yellow  Bar near
         Robert Moses Park was removed, for a parking  field,  our
         salinities have risen alarmingly.

         Great South Bay raises more hard clams  than any other  area,
         providing work for hundreds of bay men.

         I am alarmed about the rise in salinities because the  optimum
         ^or hard clam reproduction is approximately 24  parts.   Our
        - recruitment of young clams the last few years has been
          inirnpl.  Also, high salinities encourage the main  enemies of
         -claras',  star fish and drills.

           you need more information please let roe knov/.

                                       Very truly yoiirs,

                                       BLUEPOINTS COMPANY, INC.
                                       Emil Usinger
                                       Executive Vice President
        eiyth
        end.
                      ,A Subsidiary of.  THE FIRST REPUBLIC CORPORATION OF AMERICA

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                      TABLE VII

 Salinity and % Saturation.  Means of 1967,  1968,  1969,  1970
                            1971, 1972,  1973,  1974,  1975,
                            1976  and 1977  Surveys.

Station Year
2 1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
n
6
10
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
6
10
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
6
10
n
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Sal inity g/kg
23.41
26.03
25.37
25.94
27.17
25.16
23.86
26.16
24.45
26.48
27.52
24.84
26.61
26.47
26.96
28.24
26.43
24.92
27.33
25.99
28.23
29.69
24.20
26.67
26.99
27.18
28.35
25.79
25.08
27.32
26.36
28.72
29.88
n
6
10
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
6
10
n
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
% Saturation
120.6
98.6
93.5
98.9
106.4
106.1
113.9
110.0
104.7
120.0
136.6
114.0
102.1
92.5
94.7
110.6
115.4
103.8
106.1
104.7
108.9
121 .2
121.5
102.0
93.1
101 .7
119.2
1 23.2
109.4
118.1
125.0
117.0
128.1
NOTE:   n = number  of  samples

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                             TABLE IX




Yearly Average s.llnlt, of Bay Waters at  West  SayviUe  -  T933 to  ,949
Year

1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
Mean
1933-49
Extreme
departure
of yearly
average f
from mean
Yearly
Average
o/oo

23.8
22.7
23.9
22.7
23.6
21 .8
23.1
23.6
24.7

23.3





Departure
from Mean
O / on
*-* / \j \j
+ 0.5
-0.6
+ 0.6
-0.6
+ 0.3
-1.5
-0.2
+ 0.3
+ 1.4






+1.4-1 R
Yearly Departure
-Year. Average from Mean
o/oo o/oo
1942 23.0 -0.3
1943 24.0 +0.7
1944 24.0 +0.7
1945 23.3 o
1946 22.9 -0.4
1947 24.0 +0.7
1948 21.6 -0.7
1949 23.0 -0.3









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        CAUTION       '


1* nol indented on rhti chad  Se« Node*

      channel* vhov-n by broiwi
SCALE 1 :40.000 /V
NAUTICAL MILES
0 1
STATUTE MILES

YARDS
0 1000 MOO

/
FISH TRAP A8EAS /
^-Aj

Th« control

wafer in Ore
3000 Tard- W43-
S«pt 195* ad
edge to Saf*i

                   SCALE 1-40.000
                   ^_NAyTICAl MIJ.ES _
                                                                     BLUE  POINTS,CO.
                                                                         SHELL  FISH  BEDS
                  3' STATUTE MILES
Compiled
Feb.1968
Prepared    By
Norton  Brothers
                       1000        2*X)" " '. ""  3000  «s
               L: Areas determined by'scale
                from U.S.C.&G. Bay ehartfp-j^- ~.

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                       ABBREVIATIONS USED
cf s




cu m




cu m/d




cu m/min.




EIS




EPA




FWPCA









ha




km




m




NCDD #2




NCDD #3




NSRPB




NYSDEC









ppt




SWSD #3




USGS
cubic feet per second



cubic meters




cubic meters per day



cubic meters per minute



environmental impact statement



U.S. Environmental Protection Agency



Federal Water Pollution Control Act



Amendments of 1972



hectares



kilometers



meters



Nassau County Disposal District #2



Nassau County Disposal District #3



Nassau—Suffolk Regional Planning Board



New York State Department of Environmental



Conservation



parts per thousand



Southwest Sewer District #3



U. S. Geological Survey
                               89

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                          BIBLIOGRAPHY
EPA.   1972.  See U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

Flynn, John M.  January 3, 1972.  Statement made at Public
    Hearing on the Draft Environmental Impact Statement on Waste
    Water Treatment Facilities Construction Grants for Nassau and
    Suffolk Counties, New York  (December 1971).  Commissioner,
    Suffolk County Department of Environmental Control,
    Hauppauge, New York.
    Cited in EPA, 1972.

Foehrenbach, J.  August 1969.  Pollution and Eutrophication
    Problems of Great South Bay, Long Island, New York.
    Journal of the Water Pollution Control Federation, v. 41, No.
    8, p. 1456.
    Cited in EPA, 1972.

Hendrickson, S. , NYSDEC.  December 16, 1977.  Telephone conver-
    sation between Mr. Hendrickson and Gregory M. DeSylva,
    Ecologist, Environmental Programs Division, U.S.  Environ-
    mental Protection Agency-Region II, New York, New York.

Kantrowitz, H., USGS.  December 20, 1977.  Telephone  conversation
    between Mr. Kantrowitz and Gregory M. DeSylva, Ecologist,
    Environmental Programs Division, U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency-Region II, New York, New York.

Lane, Stephen G.  October 2, 1975.  Affidavit submitted to the
    U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York in
    the matter of Environmental Defense Fund, Inc., et al., v.
    Costle, et al., 74-C-1698.

Manganaro, Martin and Lincoln.  November 1966.  Nassau County
    Report: Outfall Sewer Location - Sludge Disposal  Facilities  -
    Disposal District No. 3.  Main Report plus Appendices.
    Manganaro, Martin and Lincoln, Consulting Engineers.  New
    York, New York.
    Cited in EPA, 1972.

New York State Department of Environmental Conservation  (NYSDEC) .
    1970-1976.  New York — Shellfish Production: Annual
    Summaries  (by Township).  Albany, New York.

New York State Water Resources Commission.  1968.  An Atlas of
    Long Island's Water Resources.  Prepared by the U.S.
    Geological Survey in cooperation with the New York State
    Water Resources Commission.  Bulletin 62.  Albany, New York.


                                90

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Nassau-Suffolk Regional Planning Board  (NSRPB).  December 1S71.
    Long Island Economic Trends: Technical Supplement — The Long
    Island Economy: Anatomy of Change.  Nassau-Suffolk Regional
    Planning Board.  Hauppauge, New York.

NSRPB.  March 1973.  Long Island Economic Trends: Technical
    Supplement — A Profile of the Nassau-Suffolk Labor Force.
    Nassau-Suffolk Regional Planning Board.   Hauppauge, New York.

NSRPB.  1974.  Guidelines for the Management  of Long Island Hard
    Clam Resources.  The Regional Marine Resources Council, a
    Committee of the Nassau-Suffolk Regional  Planning Board.
    Hauppauge, New York.

NSRPB.  September 1977-  Modeling Studies, Interim Report Series:
    2  (Prepared for the 208-Areawide Waste Treatment Management
    Program).  Nassau—Suffolk Regional  Planning Board.
    Hauppauge, New York.

Ragone, S. G., et al.  1976.  Chemical  Quality of Groundwater in
    Nassau and Suffolk Counties, Long Island, New York, 1952-
    1976.  U.S. Geological Survey.  Open File Report 76-845.

Schneck, R., NYSDEC.  December 20, 1977.  Telephone conversation
    between Mr. Schneck and Gregory M.  DeSylva, Ecologist, Envi-
    ronmental Programs Division, U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency-Region II, New York, New York.

Shuster, C. N., Jr.  1966.  The Nature  of a Tidal Marsh, This
    Dynamic Unit of Nature Feeds Fish,  Fowl and Animal.  L-1U5.
    New York State Conservation Department, Division of Conser-
    vation Education.  Albany, New York.
    Cited in EPAr 1972.

Tetra Tech, Inc.  November 1977.  Water Quality Modeling: Hemp-
    stead Bay, Middle Bay, East Bay, South Oyster Bay, Great
    South Bay; Long Island, New York.   Prepared for the Nassau-
    Suffolk Regional Planning Board by  Tetra  Tech, Inc.
    Lafayette, California.

U.S. Dept. of the Interior.  1970.  Staff Report.  House Document
    No. 91 286, Part 1: National Estuary Study, V.2, Appendix A.
    U.S. Government Printing Office.  Washington, D.C.
    Cited in EPA, 1972.

U.S. Dept. of the Interior, et al.  1970.  Management Studies in
    Specific Estuaries.  House Document No. 91 286, Part 2:
    National Estuary Study, V. 3, Appendix B.  U.S. Government
    Printing Office.  Washington, D.C.
    Cited in EPA, 1972.
                                91

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U.S. Dept. of the Interior (USDI), Fish and Wildlife Service.
    1970-1976.  Fisheries Statistics of the United States: Middle
    Atlantic Fisheries (Catch by States).  Annual Summaries.
    Washington, D.C.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).  1972.  Environmental
    Impact Statement on Waste Water Treatment Facilities Con-
    struction Grants for Nassau and Suffolk Counties, New York:
    Final, July 1972.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency-
    Region II.  New York, New York.

U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), as cited in New York Times, Long
    Island Section, November 27, 1977,  "Rising Water Table Poses
    New Woe for Homeowners."
                               92

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