AN IMPLEMENTATION PLAN
               FOR
SUSPENDED  PARTICULATE  MATTER
  IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
     TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENTS

       1. ANALYSIS OF AIR MONITORING DATA
       2. EMISSION INVENTORIES AND PROJECTIONS
       3. AIR. QUALITY - EMISSION LEVEL RELATIONSHIP
       4. ALTERNATIVE EMISSION CONTROL MEASUREf
              Prepared for
        ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
       REGION IX - SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA
          TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PERATIONS

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   AN IMPLEMENTATION  PLAN
                 FOR
SUSPENDED  PARTICULATE MATTER
  IN THE  LOS ANGELES  REGION
     TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENTS

        1. ANALYSIS OF AIR MONITORING DATA
        2. EMISSION INVENTORIES AND PROJECTIONS
        3. AIR QUALITY - EMISSION LEVEL RELATIONSHIP
        4. ALTERNATIVE EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES
                Prepared for
        ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
       REGION IX - SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA
           TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PERATIONS

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    AN IMPLEMENTATION  PLAN  FOR SUSPENDED


PARTICULATE MATTER IN  THE LOS ANGELES REGION
        TECHNICAL SUPPORT  DOCUMENT
       ANALYSIS OF AIR MONITORING  DATA
              By:   K.  W.  Crawford


                   J.  C.  Trijonis
                  Prepared For


         Environmental  Protection  Agency

       Region IX - San  Francisco,  California
         TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND

ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PERATIONS

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    AN  IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED
PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
        TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT #1
       ANALYSIS OF AIR MONITORING  DATA
              By:  K. W. Crawford
                  J. C. Trijonis
                 Prepared For
         Environmental Protection Agency
       Region  IX - San Francisco, California
        TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PER AT IONS

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      This report was furnished to the Environmental  Protection Agency
by TRW Transportation and Environmental Operations in fulfillment of
Contract Number 68-02-1384.  The contents of this report are reproduced
herein as received from the contractor.  The opinions, findings and
conclusions are those of TRW and not necessarily those of the Environ-
mental Protection Agency.  Mention of company or product names does not
constitute endorsement by the Environmental  Protection Agency.

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                Pages
1.0   INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY 	       1
      1.1     SOME BASIC DEFINITIONS 	       1
      1.2     OUTLINE OF SUPPORT DOCUMENT #1	       2
      1.3     CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS1  	       3
2.0   HI-VOL MONITORING PROCEDURES 	       7
      2.1     HIGH VOLUME SAMPLING 	       7
              2.1.1  Factors Affecting Hi-Vol Accuracy 	       9
              2.1.2  Reproducibility of Hi-Vol  Measurements.      13
      2.2     PROCEDURES FOR CHEMICAL ANALYSIS OF HI-VOL SAMPLES  14
      2.3     HI-VOL SITE LOCATION 	      16
      2.4     DESCRIPTION OF APCD, NASN, AND CHESS HI-VOL
              PROCEDURES 	      20
              2.4.1  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control
                     District 	      21
              2.4.2  San Bernardino County APCD 	      22
              2.4.3  Orange County APCD 	      23
              2.4.4  Riverside County APCD 	      24
              2.4.5  Ventura County APCD 	      24
              2.4.6  Summary of APCD Procedures 	      25
              2.4.7  NASN 	      25
              2.4.8  CHESS 	      26
              2.4.9  The Effect of Sampling Frequency 	      27
3.0   HI-VOL DATA FOR TOTAL SUSPENDED PARTICULATE MATTER IN
      THE LOS ANGELES REGION 	      29
      3.1     METHODS OF DATA ANALYSIS 	      29
      3.2     COMPARISON OF APCD, NASN, AND CHESS HI-VOL
              DATA 	      35
      3.3     FREQUENCY PLOTS FOR REPRESENTATIVE APCD
              STATIONS 	      43
      3.4     HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES
              AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION:   ANNUAL GEOMETRIC
              MEANS FOR BASE YEAR 1972 	      57
                                   iii

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS - continued
                                         t

                                                                Pages

      3.5     HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES
              AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION:  EXPECTED MAXIMAL
              24 HOUR LEVELS FOR THE BASE YEAR 1972 	       62

              3.5.1  Seasonal  Pattern of Total Particulate
                     Concentrations	       72

              3.5.2  Analysis  of Recent Participate Episodes       73

4.0   CHARACTERIZATION OF HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE METROPOLITAN
      LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY  CONTROL REGION 	       79

REFERENCES	       83

APPENDIX A 	       87
                                    IV

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                              LIST OF TABLES


                                                                Pages

2-1   ADDRESSES OF COUNTY APCD HI-VOL SITES IN THE
      LOS ANGELES REGION 	     18

2-2   ADDRESSES OF NASN HI-VOL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES
      REGION 	     19

2-3   ADDRESSES OF CHESS HI-VOL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES
      REGION	     20

2-4   STATISTICAL ERROR OF APCD, NASN, AND CHESS MONITORING
      PROGRAMS 	     27

3-1   NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR
      PARTICULATES 	.	     31

3-2   HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FOR COUNTY APCD STATIONS
      (jug/m3) 	     36

3-3   HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FOR NASN STATIONS 	     37

3-4   HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FOR CHESS STATIONS 	     38

3-5   "t" TEST FOR EQUIVALENCE OF APCD AND NASN HI-VOL, DATA .     40

3-6   STATISTICAL PARAMETERS FOR HI-VOL DISTRIBUTIONS AT
      TWELVE LOS ANGELES REGION SITES, 1972 	     54

3-7   COMPARISON OF HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FROM
      FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS TO PAST MONITORING HISTORY ....     58

3-8   YEARLY MAXIMAL HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION.     70

3-9   COMPARISON OF CALCULATED 24 HOUR MAXIMA TO AVERAGE
      YEARLY MAXIMA FROM 1969-1973 	     71

3-10  PARTICULATE EPISODES IN THE WEST-CENTRAL BASIN DURING
      THE 1970's 	:	     74

3-11  PARTICULATE EPISODES IN THE SAN BERNARDINO AREA
      1971 to 1973 	     77


4-1   CHARACTERISTIC MAXIMAL HI-VOL LEVELS FOR THREE SUBAREAS
      OF THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY CONTROL
      REGION (FOR BASE YEAR 1972) 	     81

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                            LIST OF FIGURES



                                                                Pages

1-1   Sub-Areas for Control Strategy Formulation 	      5

2-1   Hi-Vol Sampler 	      8

2-2   Statistical  Accuracy of Geometric Mean As A Function
      of Sampling Frequency 	     28

3-1   Typical Hi-Vol Frequency Distribution San Bernardino
      (July 1971 - June 1973) 	     32

3-2   Hi-Vol Cumulative Frequency Plot on Log Probability
      Paper 	     33

3-3   Log-Probability Cumulative Frequency Plots of APCD
      Data (July 1971 - June 1973) 	     44
3-4   Expected Annual Geometric Mean Hi-Vol Levels for the 1972
      Base Year 	     60
3-5   Expected Annual Geometric Means for Suspended
      Particulate Matter in the Los Angeles Basin for Base
      Period 1972 (NASN and CHESS Data)	     61

3-6   Expected 24-Hour Max. Hi-Vol  Levels for the 1972 Base
      Year (for the present APCD Monitoring Frequency) 	     63
3-7   Suspended Particulate Quarterly Geometric Means
      Cug/m-3) 	     64

4-1   Sub-Areas for Control Strategy Formulation 	     82
                                   VI

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                     1.0  INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY

     Under contract to the Environmental Protection Agency, TRW Environ-
mental Services has developed a participate implementation plan for the
Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region.  Specifically, TRW
has investigated strategies for approachir.g and achieving the National
Ambient Air Quality Stan.ciards (NAAQS) for particulates in the Los Angeles
Region.  The present report, is the first of four, technical support.
documents associated with the project.  This initial support document.
reviews the Ki-Vol sampling method for particulates,  evaluates actual
monitoring procedures in the Los Arceles Region, statistically analyzes
existing aercrrietric data, and characterizes total suspended particulate
levels for the Los Angeles Region.
1.1  SOME BASIC DEFINITIONS
     Throughout this study, the terms, susfteMded particulates and
aerosol, are used interchangeably.  Both refer to suspended particles
(liquid or solid) in air.  The basic measurement unit used herein is
                              o
total mass concentration (jjg/m ); thus, the details of the particle
size distribution are usually neglected.
     A distinction is sometimes made here between ambient total sus-
pended particulates and Hi-Vol total  suspended particulates.  The
former refers to  the  total  particulate mass loading in  the  atmosphere,
while the latter refers to the mass loading which is measured by a
Hi-Vol monitor.  As discussed in Section 2.1.1, Hi-Vol measurements are
sometimes not fully representative of ambient conditions.

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     One very important distinction that is made involves the concept
of primary particulates versus secondary particulates, (or alternatively
primary aerosol versus secondary aerosol).*  Primary aerosols are
directly emitted; they enter the atmosphere as particles.  Secondary
particulates are formed in the atmosphere from the conversion of gases
to particles by chemical reaction processes.  The four principal types
of secondary aerosol are sulfate (SO^), nitrate (NO^), ammonium (Nht),
and secondary organics.  The gaseous precursors of these aerosols are
sulfur dioxide (S0~), nitrogen oxides (NO ), ammonia (NH.J, and reactive
                  Lm                      A              3
hydrocarbons (RHC), respectively.
1.2  OUTLINE OF SUPPORT DOCUMENT #1
     This report is organized into four sections.  The present section
serves as a general introduction and provides a summary of major
findings and conclusions.   Section 2 reviews monitoring procedures with
the objective of establishing error bounds for the aerometric data base.
Section 2 begins with a general review of the Hi-Vol sampling method
for particulates.**  Then, the chemical analysis techniques routinely
used with Hi-Vol samples are briefly discussed.  Finally, the location
of measuring sites within the Los Angeles Region and the specific
monitoring practices of various agencies are described and evaluated.
     Section 3 summarizes the actual Hi-Vol  data base for the Los Angeles
Region.  The section begins with a brief discussion of statistical
methods.  Then, data from the APCD (County Air Pollution Control Districts),
NASN (National  Air Surveillance Network), and CHESS (Community Health
Environmental Surveillance System) monitoring programs are presented and
*The reader should not confuse this concept with the terms "primary" and
  "secondary" standards.  The national primary and secondary standards refer
   to the different target levels for total particulate air quality, i.e.,
   each standard applies to the sum of both primary and secondary aerosol.
** The NAAQS for total suspended particulates specify the Hi-Vol  technique
   as the appropriate sampling method.
                                     2

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compared.  Hi-Vol frequency distributions are given,for several stations,

and expected annual  geometric means (AGM's) and yearly 24 hour maxima

are computed for the 1972 base year.   Maps are constructed showing the

spatial pattern of Hi-Vol AGM's and 24 hour maxima.   To help provide

a better understanding of the data, the meteorology associated with

particularly high Hi-Vol levels is investigated.

     Section 4 synthesizes the data to arrive at an overall  characteri-

zation of Hi-Vol levels in the Los Angeles Region.   The particulate

spatial pattern (or lack of pattern)  is discussed,  and the maximal levels

for various subregions are established to serve as  targets for control

strategy reductions.

1.3  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

     The analysis of Hi-Vol air monitoring data in  the Los Angeles Region

has resulted in the following conclusions and recommendations:

Conclusions

     •   Hi-Vol filters generally provide a very efficient means  of
         entrapping samples of suspended particulate matter.  However,
         samples are not always fully representative of ambient conditions
         due to loss of volatile liquids (such as water or organics) and/or
         gain of adsorbed gaseous pollutants (such  as SO- or NO,).  Hi-Vol
         data do not provide information on particle size distribution.

     •   Specific monitoring practices can significantly affect Hi-Vol
         accuracy.  Substantially different practices can produce dis-
         crepancies on the order of 20%.  The reproducibility of individual
         Hi-Vol measurements using equivalent procedures is around 5% under
        . field conditions.

     •   The APCD, NASN, and CHESS monitoring programs generally follow
         the same sampling guidelines.  However, deviations exist in
         certain specific practices such as sampling frequency, calibration
         procedures, flow rate, analysis delay time, and location.  In
         some cases, these deviations are enough to cause significant dif-
         ferences in measured values.

     •   The 6 CHESS sites in the Los Angeles Region are located in quiet
         suburban areas.  Measurements from CHESS monitors are generally
         around 20-40% lower than those from APCD and NASN sites  which
         tend to be in prime exposure urban areas.

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         The western part of the basin,  near the coast,  tends to
         experience the highest Hi-Vol  levels during the winter season.
         In the eastern part of the basin,  the summer/fall  period tends
         to yield the highest Hi-Vol  readings.  These findings appear
         to be consistent with the hypothesis that primary  participate
         (directly emitted)  is relatively more important in the western
         basin while secondary particulate (formed by atmospheric re-
         actions) is relatively more  important in the eastern areas.

         The federal secondary air quality standards are exceeded at all
         monitoring sites which were  analyzed.  Ventura  and Santa Barbara
         Counties as well as the coastal  areas of Los Angeles and Orange
         Counties typically  yield Hi-Vol  levels at just  about the federal
         primary standards.   Riverside  and San Bernardino Counties and the
         inland areas of Los Angeles  and Orange Counties yield Hi-Vol
         values up to more than twice the federal primary standards.

         In the inland areas of greatest particulate pollution, no general
         pattern can be discerned in  Hi-Vol  measurements with the present
         level of spatial resolution.  The location of each monitoring
         site with respect to local sources  appears to be important; this
         effect produces fluctuations so that no general pattern emerges.
Recommendations
         It would be useful  to perform experimental  studies to gain further
         information on the  differences between Hi-Vol  measured particulates
         and actual  ambient  particulates.   These studies should focus on
         quantifying the loss of water and volatile  organics and the gain
         of adsorbed gaseous pollutants under actual field conditions.

         A further standardization of Hi-Vol  procedures, among various moni-
         toring programs is  recommended.   The establishment of guidelines
         for site location with respect to local sources is particularly
         important.   This standardization  could afford more meaningful
         comparisons of data from alternative monitoring programs.

         The establishment of an ongoing program of  data analysis would
         allow better use to be made of the considerable quantities of
         Hi-Vol data being generated in the Los Angeles Region.  Such a
         program should continually examine trends in total suspended
         particulate levels  and in specific aerosol  constituents and should
         compare these results with the expected impact of source growth
         and emission control policy.

         For the purpose of  control strategy formulation, at least three
         general sub-areas of the Los Angeles Region have been identified
         (see Figure 1-1).  tach sub-area  experiences different maximal
         annual average Hi-Vol levels (the maximum among the monitoring
         sites in those areas).  The sub-areas are:   A.  Ventura and
         Santa Barbara.Counties (presently just above the national
         primary standard),  B.  The 4 County Area except Area C (presently
         at about twice the  national primary standard), and  C.  The

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                                   	1
Figure 1-1  Sub-Areas for Control Strategy Formulation

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Western San Bernardino County Hot-Spot (presently at about
three times the national primary standard).  The formulation
and evaluation of control strategies should make distinctions
among these three areas.

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                  2.0  HI-VOL MONITORING PROCEDURES
      In order to draw conclusions from Hi-Vol monitoring data-, >it is
important to know how the measurements were made and what the data re-
present.  This section attempts to establish the accuracy of the data
base for the Los Angeles Region by reviewing Hi-Vol sampling procedures
in general and the practices of Los Angeles monitoring programs in parti-
cular.
      Section 2.1 describes standard Hi-Vol measurement procedures and
discusses factors which affect the accuracy and reproducibility of results.
Section 2.2 briefly reviews chemical-analytical methods commonly performed
on Hi-Vol samples.  In Section 2.3, the principles of Hi-Vol site loca-
tion are described and the specific.locations of sites in the Los Angeles
Region are reported.   Finally, Section 2.4 describes and briefly evaluates
the specific procedures of three Hi-Vol monitoring data bases for the
Los Angeles Region: the County APCD, NASN, and CHESS programs.
2.1  HIGH VOLUME SAMPLING
      The National Ambient Air Quality Standard for suspended particulates
specifies Hi-Vol sampling as the appropriate monitoring method.  The
official reference procedure is published in the Federal Register Vol. 36,
No. 84, Part II, 30 April 1971 (see Appendix A).  Comprehensive descrip-
tions of this method are found in References [1] and [2].
      A Hi-Vol sampler (illustrated in Figure 2.1) consists of a covered
housing, a filter-holder assembly, a vacuum-sweeper motor, and a flow
meter.  The housing is designed to protect the filter surface from weather
and fallout material  and to minimize collection of particles larger than
100 microns, (these drop out before reaching the filter surface).  Filter
                                     7

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                                          Housing
Hi Volume Sampler and Shelter
    Orifice
                 Gasket
                                      Resistance
                                        Plates
          Orifice  Calibration Unit


                  Figure 2-1

              Hi-Vol Sampler

                        8

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pads are usually of the glass fiber type to minimize resistance to air
flow; however, cellulose pads are also used, in particular for some chemical
analyses (such as for certain metals) where high background is a problem
with glass pads.  The vacuum motor is typically designed to pump 1.1 to
     3
1.7 m /min and is capable of continuous operation without significant drop
in flow due to particulate buildup on the filter pad.  The flowmeter
measures a small but constant fraction of the blower discharge.
      Sampling with a Hi-Vol consists of weighing a preconditioned
(temperature and humidity) filter pad, drawing air through it for a given
time (usually 24 hours), recording the initial and final flow rates and
times, and reweighing the pad (again after conditioning to set humidity
and temperature).  The average concentration of particulate matter is
calculated by dividing the weight gain of the filter pad by the total
volume of air sampled.
2.1.1 Factors Affecting Hi-Vol Accuracy
      Hi-Vol filters generally provide a very efficient means of entrapp-
ing samples of suspended particulates.  However, the accuracy of Hi-Vol
data (as representative of total aerosol mass) depends on other factors
besides entrapment efficiency.  Volatile, liquid aerosols can be lost in
the sampling and analysis procedures, leading to an underestimation of
true aerosol mass.  Gaseous  pollutants can be adsorbed on the filter,
leading to an overestimate.   Measurement techniques of the deposited mass and
air volume are also potential sources for inaccuracy.  The factors which
affect Hi-Vol accuracy depend on specific monitoring practices.  Several
key factors will be discussed below.

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Choice of Filter Media
     Routine Hi-Vol samples are usually collected on glass fiber filters.
The advantages are: (i) low flow resistance while maintaining high collec-
tion efficiency, (ii) less tendency to plug under heavy loading than
cellulose filters, and (iii) low background for organic material.   Some
disadvantages are surface alkalinity (which may increase adsorption of
acid gases) and often high metals background.
      Fiber filters tend to entrap large particles (>1  Micron)  by
mechanical action and small ones (<.l  Micron) by Brownian Motion.   A
minimum of collection efficiency is observed in the 0.1  to 1  Micron range.
For this reason, and because significant portions of the urban  aerosol
fall in the .1 to 1 Micron range [55]  the EPA reference procedure calls
for filter standardization by a OOP smoke test* to achieve a  99% collec-
tion efficiency at a nominal partical  diameter of .3 Micron  110].   This
level of collection (in the range of minimal efficiency) insures an
extremely high overall filter efficiency E-^J.
      The accuracy of glass fiber filters is somewhat dependent on the
chemical nature of the test atmosphere.  There may be some alkalinity
associated with glass, and acid gases such as SOp and NCL, and  organic
acids may be adsorbed along with particulate matter  [H]> D?], 113],
[14].  An apparent increase in loading may then occur.   Acid  washed filters
are therefore preferred (for example Gelman type A pH6.5 - 7.0).  Effi-
ciency of collection on glass (or other fiber filters)  is also  a function  of
particle  adherence properties.   Dry particles  are not retained  as well as
* Di-Octyl Phthalate smoke is a synthetic organic material which can be
  used to form a laboratory aerosol with nearly uniform spherical size.
                                    10

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sticky aerosols and those formed under high humidity [12], [15].   Water,
oily, or sooty material may also  clog  filters and lead to reduced flow
rate and averaging time errors.
Equilibrating Procedures
     To obtain reproducible results from Hi-Vol  samples, weighing of
filter pads must be done after conditioning at controlled humidity and
temperature.  Relative humidity (RH)  of 50% and  temperature of 20°C are chosen
as the standards for weighing, since most particulate samples lose  less
than 1% of their weight between equilibrations at 50% and zero RH [17].
Particulate matter from both urban and rural atmosphere can be hygroscopic
and adsorb water as humidity increases.  Some water may be held even at
low relative humidities, perhaps bound  to  organic acids in surface layers of
a particle. [18].
     One attempt to measure the amount of water associated with an aerosol
as it exists in the atmosphere showed around 10% by weight [15].   This
would only represent the water associated with the particulate matter at
the end of the sampling period, not the amount that would remain if the
sample had been equilibrated at 50% RH [18].  Measurements in situ suggest
that the water fraction varies from essentially zero under dry desert
conditions to 30-40% under light smog in Los Angeles [16].  It seems,
however, that ordinary equilibrated Hi-Vol  data reflect only small
amounts of weighed water.
     Another source of inaccuracy is volatile organic material associated
with the particulate matter which may evaporate during the time lag
between sampling and weighing 120], [21].  The effect is most pronounced
for samples high in organic material.  One  study showed about 10% of
original organic material was lost during the 12 days between sampling

                                    11

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and weighing [5], [22].  A minimum in delay between sampling and weighing
is necessary to avoid this source of bias, although the effect  on  total
weight should not exceed a percent or two.
Flow Measurement Techniques
      Precision of Hi-Vol data depends heavily upon flow rate measurements.
Average flow rate is calculated either from an average of initial and final
rotometer readings or from an integrated average on instruments equipped
with a continuous recorder.  The reproduciibility of manual rotometer
readings  [5] is estimated at about ±2.5%.
      In the manual  rotometer method,  nonlinear flow rates may result
in up to 8% bias [6, 7] of the average concentration.  Continuous measure-
ment reduces this bias.  Accuracy of the calculated average particulate
load for the sampling period is also affected by large differences in
initial and final flow rate.  A heavy loading (i.e. moisture, oily
material, or a high episode) at the start of the sampling period may
significantly reduce flow rate for the remainder of the period.   More
than a 20% variation in flow rate and a fourfold variation in concentration
during the sampling period are necessary, however, to affect the average
by more than a few percent.  As mentioned under calibration, pressure and
temperature must be similar during sampling and calibration.  Again,
however, extremes are necessary in order to affect measurement by more
than a few percent.
Calibration Procedures
      The usual procedure for calibration of the flowmeter is with a set
of orifice plates and a manometer.  The plates themselves are calibrated
against a positive displacement flowmeter.  A series of air flows,
measured by the pressure drop across the orifice calibration unit, are
                                    12

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 recorded  against  rotometer readings at the blower discharge.  A calibra-
 tion curve of  rotometer readings vs flow rate is then prepared.
      Samplers are calibrated when first set up and usually after replace-
 ment of brushes in the motor.  The frequency of calibration then depends
 on such factors as motor age and flow rate during operation.  Orifice
 plates are affected mainly by mechanical wear but are only as good as the
 original  calibration against a flowmeter.  This precision is estimated at
 about ±4% [3]..  If the barometric pressure and/or temperature at the time
 of calibration of a sampler are different than those when the orifice
 plates were calibrated, the observed flow rates must be corrected  [4],
 Weight and Time Measurements
      Elapsed time is to be measured to approximately ±4 min in 24 hours,
 according to the reference method [8].  Even four times this uncertainty
would result in less than ± 1% error in the 24 hour average.  Although weights
 are recorded to the nearest 0.1 mg , actual  reproducibility of clean
 filters is approximately ±1.0 mg and exposed filters ± 1.7 mg [5].  The
 resulting uncertainty of about ± 2  mg for a 1600 m3 sample containing
        o
 100 pg/m  would be ± 1.25%, providing samples are weighed at controlled
humidity and temperature.
2.1.2  Reproducibility of Hi-Vol Measurements
      Several  investigators have attempted  to estimate the overall  re-
producibility of Hi-Vol  measurements under  a variety of conditions.   The
standard deviation of an individual measurement has  .been estimated at 3
to 15%, depending on total  particulate loading [2].  Lee [23] found that
95% of 450 duplicate Hi-Vols  in England were within  5% of each other.
Clements [24] compared duplicate Hi-Vols at NASN sites and found an
                                    13

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average precision of about 4.5% (standard deviation of 6%) for routine
operation.  Precision in this study was less at high loadings, although
no difference between filter brands was found.  Faoro [25] found duplicate
Hi-Vols to have an average deviation of 3% in EPA tests.  Cohen  [26]
observed duplicate Hi-Vols to reproduce within 1% under carefully controlled flow
rates.  Sixty cfm runs, however, gave 4% lower results than 40 cfm runs.  The
authors suggest that higher flow rates sweep away more of the smaller
particles which might be trapped by Brownian motion at lower flow rates.
McKee et. al [61] found a single analysis standard deviation of 3.0% and
interlaboratory standard deviation of 3.7% in controlled collaborative
tests of the Hi-Vol method.  These studies suggest that the precision
(1 standard deviation) of an individual Hi-Vol measurement varies from
about 2% under carefully controlled conditions to about 6% under actual
field conditions.
2.2  PROCEDURES FOR CHEMICAL ANALYSIS OF HI-VOL SAMPLES
     After Hi-Vol samples have been weighed to determine total aerosol
mass, the filters can be aliquoted (divided up) for analysis of metals,
inorganic ions, and/or organic material.  The procedures used for chemical
analysis of each type of material  are outlined below.
Metals
     To determine the amount of various metals present, about 25% of the
filter pad is carried through one  of two possible procedures:
     A)  The aliquote is refluxed  about 90 minutes in  35% nitric acid, or
     B)  The filter aliquote is moistened with HNOo, evaporated to dryness,
         ashed at 500°C for 30 minutes, and redissolved in nitric acid.
                                   14

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     Analysis for individual metals (lead being the major metal ;of interest
for this project) is done on the resulting HNCL solution by atomic adsorp-
tion or spectrography  [1].  Lead has also been determined spectrophoto-
metrically using colored dithizone chelate extracted into chloriform.
Precision of an individual lead measurement in the above procedure is 4 to
10% [27],  129].   For lead,.th.e  ash. procedure,  (B),  may show  losses  due.to
volatilization if temperature and time exceed the specifications; low
apparent lead values may thus result.
Inorganic Ions
     About 8% of the exposed filter is refluxed with deionized water for
90 minutes to determine the concentration of inorganic ions.  Sulfate (SOT) is
determined from a portion of this extract by a turbidimetric procedure  [28]
using BaClp to form a suspended precipitate of BaSO, (barium sulfate).  ;
Precision of this method alone is about 10%.
     Nitrate (NOq) is measured spectrophotometrically by either the 2-4 xylenol
procedure [31], or the Brucine alkaloid procedure  [32].  Precision estimates
for these procedures are about 8% and 7%, respectively.
     The water extraction procedure is .probably very efficient for NO,,
since all common nitrates are highly water soluble.  S07 may not be completely
extracted, however, since less soluble compounds such as PbSO* might be
present in suspended particulate matter.130].
Organic Material
      For organic analysis, about 50% of the filter pad is refluxed in
benzene for 6-8 hours [1].  The solvent is then removed at atmospheric
pressure or under vacuum, and the residue is weighed.  Cyclohexane [33] may
                                     15

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also be used for extraction of less polar organic compounds.   Tetra-
hydrofuran has been used to extract even larger fractions of  the total
organic material present than is extracted by benzene [34].
     The accuracy of benzene extraction depends on the nature and total
amount of organic material present [19],   Extraction  efficiency  is probably
greater for directly emitted organic particulates than for the organic
aerosol formed in the atmosphere [40],  [60],   It is probable  that more
than one-half of the highly oxidized secondary organic aerosol material
is not extracted with benzene:[40].
     Benzene soluble fractions may also yield a low estimate  of organics
because some of the extracted organics  may be evaporated with the solvent
in the procedure, [35].   There is also  the problem, mentioned earlier,
that volatile organic material  may be lost between the time of sampling and
extraction, [20], [21].
2.3  HI-VOL SITE LOCATION
     Hi-Vol monitoring results  are sensitive  to the details of sampling
location.   Several  locational factors can affect the measurements.  For
one, since larger particles have a lower probability of being transported
to higher elevations, total particulate loading tends to decrease with
height, [41].  For this  reason,  and because human exposure is mostly
associated with air quality near ground level, recommended procedures call
for Hi-Vol sampling at 50 feet or less  above  ground,  [42].  Other sampling
procedures concerned with Hi-Vol  location are listed  below:
     •  Samples should be located away  from local  sources and not be
        subject to  wind  or eddy  distortions.
                                   16

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     •  Pairs of high-vols should be several  feet apart in  order to
        avoid sampling each other's exhaust [43].  The exhaust should
        also be two feet or more off of the ground to avoid stirring
        up ground dust, etc.
     •  A sampler should be located away from the side of a building
        or wall so that representative air will  not be inhibited from
        passing over the sampler, [44].
     This report will  consider Hi-Vol  data from three main  sources:  County
APCD's (Air Pollution  Control  Districts), NASN (National  Air Sampling
Network), and CHESS (Community Health  Environmental  Surveillance System).
The location of the sampling sites for each of these sources are listed
in Tables 2-1, 2-2, and 2-3, respectively.  The reader is referred to
Figures 3-4 and 3-5 for an illustration of the position of  the stations
within the basin.  The specifics of the sample locations will be discussed
in the next section which describes the Hi-Vol  procedures used by the
APCD's, NASN, and CHESS.
                               TABLE 2-1
     ADDRESSES OF COUNTY APCD HI-VOL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
       COUNTY
     Los Angeles
       NAME
Central Los Angeles

Lennox

West Los Angeles

West San Fernando
Valley (Reseda)
Azusa

Pasadena
           ADDRESS
434 South San Pedro Street
Los Angeles, California
11408 La Cienega Boulevard
Lennox, California
2351 Westwood Boulevard
West Los Angeles, California
18330 Gault Street
Reseda, California
803 Loren Avenue
Azusa, California
1196 East Walnut Street
Pasadena, California
                                    17

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    COUNTY
     NAME
             ADDRESS
Orange
San Bernardino
Riverside
Ventura
Anaheim


La Habra


Costa Mesa


San Bernardino


Ontario

Redlands


Rial to

Chi no

Fontana


Upland


Riverside
Oxnard


Ojai


Santa Barbara


Ventura


Thousand Oaks


Moore Park


Port Hueneme



Camarillo
1010 South Harbor Boulevard
Anaheim, California

621 West Lambert Road
La Habra, California

2300 Placential Avenue
Costa Mesa, California

172 West 3rd Street
San Bernardino, California

Airport

216 Brookside Avenue
Redlands, California

Airport

Airport

8384 Cypress
Fontana, California

201 North 1st Avenue
Upland, California

3575 llth Street Mall
Riverside, California  (1970-1972)

         and
5888 Mission Boulevard
Rubidoux, California   (1972-1974)

242 West 2nd Street
Oxnard, California

401 Signal Hill Street
Ojai, California

4440 Calle Real
Santa Barbara, California

3147 Loma Vista Road
Ventura, California

Firehouse-Erbs Road
Thousand Oaks, California

Moore Park College
Moore Park,  California

Environmental  Data  Branch
Civil Engr.  Lab.
Port Hueneme,  California

70 Palm Drive
Camarillo, California
                                 18

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                       TABLE 2-2

ADDRESSES OF NASN HI-VOL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
      NAME


 Anaheim


 Burbank


 Glendale


 Long Beach


 Los Angeles


 Ontario


 Pasadena


 Riverside


 San Bernardino


 Santa Ana


 Torrance
           ADDRESS
1010 South Harbor Boulevard
Anaheim, California

228 West Palm Avenue
Burbank, California

145 North Howard Street
Glendale, California

2655 Pine Avenue
Long Beach, California

434 South San Pedro Street
Los Angeles, California

Airport

862 East Valla Street
Pasadena, California

3575 11th Street Mall
Riverside, California

172 West 3rd Street
San Bernardino, California

645 North Ross Street
Santa Ana, California

2300 Carson Street
Torrance, California
                            19

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                                TABLE 2-3

        ADDRESSES OF CHESS HI-VOL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
           SITE NAME


         Santa Monica


         Thousand Oaks


         Anaheim



         Garden Grove


         Glendora


         West Covina
SITE NUMBER


   0821


   0822


   0831



   0832


   0841


   0842
          ADDRESS


2526 6th Avenue
Santa Monica, Calif. 90405

1135 Windsor Drive
Thousand Oaks, Calif. 91360

West Cerritos Avenue &
Euclid Avenue, S.
Anaheim, California 92805

12181 West Street
Garden Grove, Calif. 92640

Live Oak & Whitcomb Street
Glendora, California 91740

820 Phillips
West Covina, Calif. 91790
2.4  DESCRIPTION OF APCD, NASN, AND CHESS HI-VOL PROCEDURES

     This section outlines the specific monitoring practices of agencies

which generate Hi-Vol data for the Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality

Control Region.  Separate descriptions are presented for each of the County

APCD's programs and for the federal NASN and CHESS programs.  Later parts

of this report will employ data from all of these sources.   However,

heavy emphasis will be placed on the County APCD aerometric data.  The

reasons for this emphasis will be discussed in Section 3.1; reference will

be made there to the monitoring procedures described below.
                                    20

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2.4.1   Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District
     Duplicate Staplex* Hi-Vol  samplers are operated at all  Los  Angeles
APCD sites, with flow rates of 35-45 cfm, [45].   Samplers are calibrated
every few months when brushes are replaced or motors serviced.   A Meriam
Laminar Flow Element is currently used for calibration.  In  general,
samplers tend to produce results within - 10% or better upon recalibration after
a year's use, although linearity of flow with rotometer readings tends  to
decrease as a sampler ages.
     The Los Angeles APCD uses Gelman type A glass fiber filters, (non-
acid washed).  Until around 1971, samples were equilibrated  to 50% RH at
50°C (the equilibration chamber would not maintain humidity  at a lower
temperature).  Since 1971, samples have been equilibrated at 50% RH and
20°C for 24 hours.   An individual sample has a 1 to 5 day delay  from time
of sampling to arrival at Los Angeles, and is then processed within a day
or two.  Every thirteenth filter pad from a box of 100 is taken  as a  blank
for chemical analysis and inspection.  SO^ and NO^ are analyzed  by the
turbidimetric and 2-4  xylenol procedures, respectively.  Pb was analyzed
according to high temperature ash method until 1970, when the
concentrated HN03 extraction method was introduced.  Internal laboratory
correlation of results of the two methods was conducted and  data for 1970 to
the present are reported on a basis consistent with earlier  data, conforming
to specifications of  the California ARB.  Organic material on High-Vol
samples is  not routinely analyzed at  this time.
*Staplex Company, Brooklyn, New York
                                     21

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     Los  Angeles  APCU  Hi-Vol  data  have  been  collected  since  1965  at
 downtown  Los Angeles, Lennox, WSFV  (West San Fernando Valley-Reseda),
 and  West  Los Angeles.  The former two  sites were sampled on Monday and
 Wednesday until  mid-1971, while the latter  two sites were sampled on
 Wednesday only.   From mid-1971 to the  present, all stations have been
 operated  every fifth day concurrently.  Pasadena and Azusa sites were
 also added at the mid-1971 switch-over.  The addresses of Los Angeles
 APCD sites are given in Table 2-1..
     The sampler at downtown Los  Angeles is located on the roof of APCD
Headquarters Building, approximately 85 feet off the ground.  "In-house"
comparisons of concurrent roof and 20 foot level  Hi-Vol  samples suggest a
14 to 22%  low bias at the 85 foot level on days of atmospheric stability.
No difference was found on unstable  days.   The  samplers  at Azusa, Pasadena,
and  Reseda, are on roofs away from the street,  but less  than 20 feet off
of the ground.   The West Los Angeles and Lennox Station  are within a few
feet of ground and are set against buildings.
2.4.2  San Bernardino County APCD
     The San Bernardino APCD has  operated  Staplex samples  on a 6-day cycle
concurrently at several  stations  in  basin  since about 1967, [46], [44].
Samplers are calibrated with orifice plates when  brushes  are changed, and
generally reproduce within 5-10%.  Older or "slower"  Hi-Vols are  used at
stations within the Metropolitan  Los Angeles AQCR;  the flow is around
40 cfm.  MSA* (non-acid washed)  filter pads are used.  Exposed filter pads
*Mine Safety Appliance Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
                                    22

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arrive at the laboratory within five days of sampling and are held until
a batch can be analyzed (up to a few weeks).  Filters are equilibrated
to 50% RH at  20°C.  About six blanks are taken from each 100 filters.
Chemical analyses for SO^, NO^, pb. Fe. and organics are conducted on
quarterly composites.  NOg is done by the Colorimetric Brucine Method £32].
Pb is analyzed by HNO^ extraction followed by atomic absorption determination.
     All stations are within 20 r'eet of ground except downtown San Bernardino,
which is on top of the County Building (about 90 feet).   Addresses
of the stations used in this report are given in Table 2-1.
The stations at Chino, Ontario, and Rialto, are at airports  and are generally
in open areas close to the ground.  Positions were chosen to avoid direct
aircraft emissions, however.  At Ontario, the NASN sampler is within two
feet of APCD sampler, and sits very close to the ground.   The station at
Redlands is against a wall at the back of a building, somewhat restricting
free air flow.
2.4.3  Orange County APCD
     General Metal Samplers* have been operated at Anaheim since 1970 and
La Habra since 1971, [47].  Costa Mesa was sampled starting  in 1972.
Samplers are run every four days concurrently.   Orifice  plate calibration
is done at about two month intervals when motor brushes  are  replaced.
Samplers are operated at line voltage, giving flow rates  of  about 60 cfm.
Comparison of a standard Hi-Vol  with an Anderson size fractionating Hi-Vol
operated at 20 CFM showed larger collection efficiency at the lower flow rate.
*General Metal Company, Cleveland, Ohio
                                     23

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      Gelman  Type  A  non-acid washed  filters are used.  The standard humidity
 and  temperature equilibration procedure  is followed.  Some chemical analyses
 for  S04  and  NO^ were  conducted  intermittently in 1969 and 1970, but no
 continuous data for these  ions  are  available.  Pb  has been analyzed
 routinely on monthly  composites by  nitric acid extraction and atomic
 absorption.
      The sampler  at Anaheim is  located atop a building behind APCD Head-
 quarters, about 15  feet above ground.  La Habra and Costa Mesa samples are
 on top of office  trailers, about 12 feet off the ground.  The addresses of
 the  stations are  found in Table 2-1  .
 2.4.4 Riverside  County APCD
      Hi-Vol sampling  has been conducted by the Riverside APCD since February
 1970.  The original site at llth Street Mall, in Riverside, was moved to
 the  roof of APCD  Headquarters at 5888 Mission Boulevard, Rubidoux, in July
 1972.  Since that time, sampling has been conducted every five days.
 Information available for this  study  indicates that standard procedures are
 followed according  to £3].  Chemical analyses are not performed on Hi-Vol
 samples at this time.
      Averaged Riverside data used later in this study have been calculated from
 individual samples.  The 1970 and 1971 data are somewhat suspect since the
months of February 1970, July 1970,  April 1971, and July 1971, are missing
from  the record.
2.4.5  Ventura County APCD
     Micro samplers* are operated  every sixth day concurrently at  all  stations
'£591.- Orifice plate  calibration is used.    Flow rates at line voltage
*Micro Biological  Specialities Company, San Francisco,  California
                                    24

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are about 50 to 60 cfm.  Gelman Type A non-acid washed filters are used.
Samples are weighed a few days after collection without temperature or
humidity equilibration.  Pb is analyzed on the monthly composite at Camerillo.
     The stations at Oxnard, Ventura, and Camarillo, are atop buildings,
perhaps 35 feet above ground.  The sampler at Point Hueneme is closer to
ground level  and only about 100 yards from the ocean.   High levels of hygroscopic
sea salt may account for Point Hueneme reporting higher values than other stations in
Ventura County.
2.4.6  Summary of APCD Procedures
     Since later parts of this report will emphasize APCD data, the various
APCD procedures are summarized below for convenient reference:
     t  Sampling frequencies vary from every fourth to every sixth day
        in the basin.  All  stations to be used later in the data section
        operated continuously between mid-1971 and mid-1973 except
        Riverside, which was moved in mid-1972.
     •  All APCD's except Los Angeles County use orifice plate cali-
        bration.
     •  Flow rates are 50 to 60 cfm in Orange and Ventura Counties
        and 35-45 CFM in San Bernardino and Los Angeles Counties.
     •  Non-acid washed filter papers are used by all  APCD's.   Gelman
        Type A is used by Ventura, Los Angeles, and Orange.  MSA
        is used by San Bernardino.
     •  Samples are weighed after equilibration at 20°C to 50% R.H. by all
        APCD's except Ventura County.
     t  Pb is analyzed by HNO-, extraction/atomic absorption at various
        stations in the basin.  Los Angeles APCD reports values
        correlated to a previous reporting method.
2.4.7  NASN
     NASN (National Air Sampling Network) data are available  for  the  stations
listed in Table 2-2, and shown in Figure 3-5, [43], [52].   Samples are
                  v.
                   \
                                     25

-------
taken every 15 days for a total of 24 per year.   Operation of Hi-Vols is
contracted to local technicians (or APCD's); filter pads (Gelman Type A,
non-acid washed) are mailed to RTP in North Carolina for weighing and
chemical analysis.  Calibration is done intermittently when motor brushes
wear out (about 450 running hours) and the sampler  is  sent back  to North
Carolina.  An approximate three-week delay occurs between sampling and weighing.
Other procedures are followed according to Reference [3].
     NASN stations at downtown Los Angeles, Riverside, San Bernardino,
Pasadena, Long Beach, and Santa Ana, are 25 to 100 feet above ground.
The stations at Ontario Airport, Burbank, Glendale, Anaheim, and
Torrance, are at or near ground level.  The NASN stations usually re-
present a downtown commercial area (except Ontario Airport).
     Further comments about NASN procedures  will be found in Section
3 of this report.
2.4.8  CHESS
     CHESS (Community Health Environmental Surveillance System)  data are
available for 1972 and 1973 for stations listed  in  Table 2-3 and shown in
Figure 3-5.  Procedures are the same as for NASN, and the guidelines of
Reference [3] are followed,  [53].  Sampling is usually done every day of the
year (although not all days are reported) [54], [40].  A fractionating
device is used to differentiate particle size, [62],, [55].  The  purpose of the
CHESS program is to correlate health effects with respirable size distribution.
Sites in the basin are at ground level and are generally located in quiet
areas and school yarbs-> [53].  The locations could  best be described as
urban residential or non-commercial.
                                    26

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2.4.9  The Effect of Sampling Frequency
     The CHESS program takes more samples per year than APCD's  in the Los
Angeles basin, which, in turn, take more than the NASN program.   Even if
there were no errors in any individual  Hi-Vol measurements, the calculated
annual geometric mean might vary under  different sampling programs.
     The statistical precision of each  monitoring program has been calculated
according to the.method of Hunt  [56]  using the "students t" distribution
as applied to a log normal distribution.  Table 2-4 Tists the results.   For
each monitoring program, the interval about  the measured AGM  for 95%
confidence of containing the "true" AGM is given.  It should  be noted that
this is a measure of statistical precision only, not measuring error.  As
expected, the higher the sampling frequency the better the statistical
accuracy.  Also, it can be noted that the greater the geometric standard
deviation,  S  > the lower the statistical accuracy for given sampling
             g
frequency.  These general  effects are shown in Figure 2-2.
              TABLE- 2-4.   STATISTICAL  ERROR  OF  APCD,  NASN,
                          AND  CHESS  MONITORING  PROGRAMS

Data
Source
L.A. APCD
Orange APCD
S.B. APCD
Riverside APCD
NASN
CHESS
Approx.
sn
g
1.5
1.5
1.8
1.6
1.4 - 1.8
1.5 - 1.7

#Samples
Year
70
90
60
60
24
230+
Interval About Measured
AGM for 95% Confidence
(as % of AGM)
- 9% .
- 7%
- 14%
- 12%
- 13 - 25%
- 1 ~ 5%
 *  Annual  Geometric  Mean
                                    27

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   1000
Q
UJ
_l
Q-
QL

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         3.0  HI-VOL.DATA FOR TOTAL SUSPENDED PARTICIPATE MATTER
              IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
       The present section presents  and analyzes  Hi-Vol  data .for  the
 Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control  Region.  The  data are from
 28 .County APCD, 11  NASN and 6 CHESS monitoring sites  within the  basin, but
 most emphasis is placed on APCD measurements.  Although data  are given
 for the years 1967  to 1973, the analysis  attempts  to  derive levels
 typical of 1972, (the base year for the implementation  planning  phase of
 this project).
       Section 3.1 briefly describes the statistical methodology  used to
 derive expected annual  geometric means and  yearly  24  hour  maxima from the
 data.  The method basically involves the  use  of  log probability  plots.
 Section 3.2 presents and compares measurements from APCD,  NASN,  and CHESS
 monitors.  The  reasons  for emphasizing APCD data are  discussed.   In
 Section 3.3, log probability frequency plots  are given  for Hi-Vol data at
 12 representative APCD  stations.  These plots, based  on data  from mid-
 1971 to mid-1973, provide a basic indicator of 1972 Hi-Vol levels.
 Section 3.4 presents and discusses  Hi-Vol AGM's  for numerous  Los Angeles
 sites for the 1972  base year.  Section 3.5  presents expected  yearly
 maxima, again for 1972.  A study is also  made of the  meteorology associated
 with maximal Hi-Vol  levels in various parts of the basin.
 3.1   METHODS OF DATA ANALYSIS
      Routine Hi-Vol  air monitoring  data typically  represent 24-hour
average samples.  Because of meteorological  fluctuations, the  samples
for any location occur in the form of a statistical distribution. National
                                     29

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Ambient Air Quality Standards for suspended particulate matter, summarized
in Table 3-1, have been established for two parameters of this distribution,
the yearly maximal 24-hour value and the annual geometric mean (AGM).  In
comparing monitoring data to the NAAQS, statistical analyses should be per-
formed to account for the stochastic nature of the data.
     In this report, plots on log-probability paper will  be used as the
basic statistical tool.  A straight line on such paper represents a log
normal distribution, (the case where the logarithim of the data forms a
Gaussian or normal curve).  The shapes of aerometric data distributions
generally approximate the shape of a log normal curve and are
"one-tailed" distributions (no data occur less than zero) [48].  Of course,
it is not expected that specific air quality data will be exactly log
normal; deviations from log-normality will  be reflected in a curved line
on log probability paper.
     The histogram in Figure 3-1 illustrates a typical distribution of Hi-
Vol data.   A log-normal distribution, (dashed line), has  been plotted for
comparison.  Figure 3-2 gives a plot of this same data on log-probability
paper.
     Two statistical parameters are used to characterize  a log-normal
distribution (the geometric mean, m , and the geometric standard deriva-
tion, S ).   These are defined for a set of size N of individual measurements
c., i=l,..., N,  as follows:
V
                               1/N
                                    = exp
                                    30

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                          TABLE 3-1

    NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PARTICULATES
                             Annual             Maximum:  Not to be
                             Geometric          Exceeded  More than
                             Mean               Once a Year

                                    3                     3
 Primary Standard            75 yg/m              260 yg/m
                                                  for 24  hours
                                    O                     O
 Secondary Standard          60 yg/m  *           150 yg/m
                                                  for 24  hours
*  Guide for attainment of the Secondary 24 hour standard.
                                 31

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CO
ro
               50- -
w -
M
0)
1
GO
"S 30-
&.
w
1
20-
10-
/
/
/
/
i
" /
/
/ S
f
\
\
\
\
\
\
\^
\

. — —
L
\
\
Log-Normal Distribution
S

r, i , ,n--
                          50       100       150       200      250      300

                                                 Concentration (ug/m  )
350
                                                       Figure  3-1
                                         Typical  Hi-Vol Frequency Distribution
                                         San Bernardino (July  1971  - June 1973)
400

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                   SAN  BERNARDINO(  July 1971-June-1973)




100.

E
3.

10-











.u










5 1.

















•







X*








X









X








/
^^







//
'







/





• ••












0 l6 20 40 60 80 98 99.9 99.99
                       Figure 3-2
Hi-Vol Cumulative Frequency Plot on Log Probability Paper
                           33

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               and                                  1/2
                    in  (s  ) •
In  c.  -  In  m  )
                                                 2
                                 (3-2)
 For  purposes of  this  report, m  will represent the annual geometric mean
                                                                 3
 of particulate concentrations in micrograms per cubic meter (yg/m ).  Log
 s  ,  the  slope of the  log-normal line, will be used to estimate the maximum
 expected concentrations measured in a given year as well as the number
 of days  exceeding a given  standard.
       For  a plot such as Figure 3-2, the equation of a best fit straight
 line has the form
                      In  (c.) = In  (mg) + z.ln (sg),                 (3-3)
             or
                              c. = rn  s  zi                         (3-4)
                               i    g  g
 Here,  z.  represents  the  number of standard deviations that c. occurs away
 from the  geometric mean.  One standard deviation, (z. = +_ 1), would
 represent the 84% or  16% points,  m  is estimated from the 50% point,
 (z. =  0).  Thus,
                  and
                  or
                                mg = c,                          (3-5)
                      In c84% = In m  +  (1) In (s  ),
                                 C84%    C84%
     The expected maximum value for n measurements is calculated by taking
 a  z  value  for  (1-1/n) from a n o rma1 err or table, [49], i.e.
*  Interpreted as the concentration -to be exceeded once per year.
                                     34

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Values of z for 60, 70, 90, and 365 samples per year are 2.39, 2.45, 2.54,
and 2.99 respectively.
3.2  COMPARISON OF APCD, NASN, AND CHESS HI-VOL DATA
     As noted previously, three principal sources of Hi-Vol data exist in
the Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region: the county APCD's
and the federal NASN and CHESS programs.  The procedures used in each of
these monitoring programs are reviewed in Section 2.4.   The present
section compares the data from these programs, discusses discrepancies,
and choses a specific data set to characterize air quality for the purposes
of this  study..
     Tables 3-2, 3-3, and 3-4 present recent annual geometric means for
Hi-Vol data reported by the APCD, NASN, and CHESS programs respectively.
Data are available for 28 APCD sites, 11 NASN sites, and 6 CHESS sites.
The most striking result of comparing the three data sets is that the
CHESS Hi-Vol values are considerably lower in each of the three counties
with CHESS stations.   For instance, Los Angeles County data typically
fall in the range of 75 - 155 yg/m3 for APCD samples and 75 - 130 yg/m
for NASN samples.  However, CHESS data in Los Angeles County appear in
the range of 50 - 100 yg/m .  The  most plausible reason for this dis-
crepancy is that the CHESS data are more representative of residential
areas rather than prime exposure areas.   CHESS sites have been chosen
for a health study involving school children and are located in quiet,
suburban areas, [53].
                                    35

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                           TABLE  3-2
HI-VOL ANNUAL  GEOMETRIC  MEANS.FOR  COUNTY  APCD  STATIONS
                             (ug/nr)

County



Los Angeles


Riverside



San Bernardino




Orange






Ventura




Santa Barbara

Station
Central LA
Lennox
W.Los Angeles
W.San Fernando
Valley(Reseda)
Azusa
Pasadena
Riverside
San Bernardino
Ontario
Redlands
Fontana
Rialto
Chi no
Upland
Anaheim
La Habra
Costa Mesa
Oxnard
Ojai
Santa Paula
Ventura
Camarillo
Port Hueneme
Simi Valley
Moore Park
Pt. Mugu
Thousand Oaks
»
Santa Barbara

1973
114
124
74
103
121
101
135°
85
88
89
111
153
118B
127
98
113
66
77
66
67
73
80
106
74
62
58
81
NA
1972
130
137
86
143
150
110
140°
108
110
96
136
170
194
-
105
120
67
77
66
76
66
73
97
-
-
-
-
66
1971
162
154
85
115 .
138C
106C
(136°)
117
111
94
100
130
178
-
85
114
-
71
73
-
69
90
-
-
-
-
-
60
1970
136
144 .
91
112
.
-
-
119
107
102
NA
139
NA
-
95
-
-
64
-
-
51
-
-
-
-
-
65
-
1969
154
150
99
117
_
-
-
. 91
134
94
NA
NA
172
-
105
-
-
.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
92
-
1968
157
148
92
109
.
-
-
121
151
95
NA
151
163
-
95
-
-
.
-
-
•
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1967
145
139
71
135
_
-
-
123
122
133
109
NA
144
111
NA
-
-
_
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
            A  California ARB Data
            B  Station Moved from Airport do Downtown Chino after 1972
            C  Represents July to December only
            D  Calculated from raw  data of Riverside APCD
                                 36

-------
                                                      TABLE 3-3



                                   HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FOR NASN  STATIONS
County



Los Angeles


Riverside
San Bernardino

Orange

Station
Central LA
Pasadena
Burbank
Glendale
Long Beach
Torrance
Riverside
San Bernardino
Ontario
Anaheim
Santa Ana
1972
120
90
117
95
96
73
114*
135
117
103
96
1971
133
100
131
85
87
88
120
104
111
116
140
1970
125
111
123
87
95
86
119
118
116
114
127
1969
93
90
88
74
104
68
124
95
109
93
123
1968 1967
129 91
106
103
90 75
114 118
-
116
92 -
116
-
95
CO
                                     * 3 Quarters only.

-------
                                                       TABLE  3-4

                                   HI-VOL  ANNUAL  GEOMETRIC  MEANS FOR CHESS STATIONS
CO
00
County

Los Angeles


Orange
Ventura
Station
Santa Monica
Glendora
West Covina
Anaheim
Garden Grove
Thousand Oaks
1973
67
48
64
67
63
35
1972
69
97
99
87
80
59

-------
     A cursory examination of the APCD and NASN values cannot yield a
conclusion as to whether or not Hi-Vol values from these two programs are
significantly different.  A statistical  analysis is required to answer
the question of equivalency for these data.   Below, both an "F" test and
"t" test are performed[50],[51].  The "F" statistic* yields an equivalency test
for the geometric standard deviations of the two data distributions.  The
"t" statistic**  provides an equivalency test for sample geometric means.
These tests are based on the assumptions that both sets of data are log-
normally distributed.
     Table 3-5 lists data for geometric means and geometric standard
deviations for APCD and NASN Hi-Vols that are maintained at identical
locations.  An "F" statistic test was performed on the standard deviations
*  The "F" statistic is defined as
jog  (sg2)]
                                                    2
   where n-| and r\2 are the number of individual  samples  in the two  data
   sets and s , and s 2 are the cal   n  J  '       ''
** The "t" statistic is defined by
                        log
                              log (mg1)  - log (mg2)
   where
                log (s )  21
                                    log (sg)
                              log2 (sg1)    log2 (sg2)
                                  n
                                   1
                                                        1/2
                                  •39

-------
                                    TABLE 3-5
              't"  TEST  FOR EQUIVALENCE OF  APCD AND NASN  HI-VOL DATA
Note:   tg5% =1.98










Central Los Angeles
Riverside





San Bernardino






Ontario





Anaheim


Year
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
Combined
1967-1972
1970-1971
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
Combined
1968-1972
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
Combined
1968-1972
1969
1970
1971
1972
Combined
1969-1972
AGM

APCD NASN
145
157
154
136
162
130
D
147B
136
121
91
119
117
108
1116
151
134
107
in
110

121B
105
95
85
105

,,
91
129
93
125
133
120

114B
121
92
95
118
104
135
108B
116
109
116
111
117

114B
93
114
116
103

106B
s
g
APCD NASN





1.5A
ft
1.5*
1.43A



ft
1.68M
1.68A






1.7C
1.54
1.37
1.63
1.53

1.518
1.68
1.33
1.61
1.40
1.42
1.46

1.48B
1.49
1.82
1.96
1.85
1.77
1.49
1.77B
1.76
2.16
1.75
1.62
1.43

1.73B
1.62
1.30
1.50
1.37

1.44B
N

APCD NASN
70
70
70
70
70
70

420
71
60
60
60
60
60
300
60
60
60
60
60

300
90
90
90
90

360
24
24
24
24
24
24

144
48
24
24
24
24
24
120
24
24
24
24
24

120
24
24
24
24

96
t.
log








6.5
1.6





0.5






1.1





2.1
                       A  Estimated from 1971 -  1973 log-probability plots
                       B  Geometric values - all years data combined
                       C  Assumed Value.
                                          40

-------
for each location.  The  "F"  test  indicated  that  no  significant  differences
could be discerned in the APCD and NASN s 's (a 95% confidence limit was
                                         y
required for a "significant difference").
     The right hand side of Table 3-5 lists the results rof the "t" test
for equivalency of geometric means.  The NASN data and the San Bernardino
County APCD data at Ontario and San Bernardino are statistically equiv-
alent, although the APCD values are slightly higher at both stations. The River-
side APCD mean is also higher than the NASN mean, but again,  the difference  is
not significant  at the  95%  confidence level.   The Anaheim APCD  data  are lower than
the NASN data, and the difference is just over 95% significant.   The one
location  with an extremely significant discrepancy is downtown  Los Angeles;
the Los Angeles County APCD values for downtown are around 25% higher than
NASN values.
     The difference between NASN and APCD data at Anaheim may best be
assigned to less frequent calibrations of NASN Hi-Vols, [52]. The large
discrepancy at downtown Los Angeles could be due to differences  in cali-
bration procedures and/or to the fact that the NASN Hi-Vol was operated as
a higher flow rate, [18].
     Although all three Hi-Vol  data bases will  be used in this report,
the major emphasis will  be placed data from the County APCD's in characterizing
air quality for the basin.   The reasons for emphasizing APCD  data rather
than NASN or CHESS data are the following:
     •  CHESS data tend to represent "clean urban"  (quiet residential
        area) concentrations and  as such  are considerably
        lower than APCD data which in many cases  represent "prime
        exposure" areas.  One of the major purposes  of this report
                                   41

-------
is to establish how Hi-Vol levels compare to the NAAQS for
particulates.  The use of APCD data will give a more con-
servative comparison, (APCD data exceed the standards by
much more than CHESS data).  The addition of the six CHESS
sites to the 28 APCD sites would add no further binding
constraints for designing control strategies to meet the
air quality standards.
APCD samples are taken more frequently (60 - 90 days per
year) than NASN samples (24 days per year); they thus
provide a better statistical data base.  APCD Hi-Vols are
usually standardized more frequently than NASN samples.
There is a shorter time period between sampling and
weighing for APCD samples.  Also, several NASN sites are
higher above ground than recommended.
For the areas with the highest Hi-Vol recordings,
(Los Angeles, San Bernardino, and Riverside Counties),
the APCD results appear somewhat higher than NASN
results, (the difference is statistically very sign-
iffcant only at downtown Los Angeles).   Thus, the
APCD results will give a more conservative comparison
of Hi-Vol levels to the federal particulate standards.
The addition of the 11 NASN sites to the 28 APCD sites
would not add further constraints on the degree of
reduction required in control strategies.
                            42

-------
  3.3   FREQUENCY  PLOTS  FOR  REPRESENTATIVE APCD  STATIONS
       Figures  3-3A  through  3-3Q give  cumulative frequency distributions
  of APCD Hi-Vol  data,  plotted on log-probability paper.  The data are
  intended to be  representative of 1972 levels; 1972 will be the base
 year  for the  particulate control strategy to  be developed in later
  reports.  Actually, to provide a larger statistical base, data were
  used  from July  1971 to June 1973.  Plots are  presented for the twelve
  locations listed below:
      Los  Angeles County
      Panel  A  Lennox
      Panel  B  Downtown Los Angeles
      Panel  C  West San Fernando Valley (Reseda)
      Panel  D  West Los Angeles
      Panel  E  Pasadena
      Panel  F  Azusa
      Orange County
      Panel  G  La Habra
      Panel  H  Anaheim
      Ventura County
      Panel  P  Oxnard
San Bernardino County
Panel I  San Bernardino
Panel J  Ontario
Panel K  Rialto
Panel L  Chino
Riverside County
Panel M, N, 0  Riverside
                Rubidoux
Santa Barbara County
Panel 0  Santa Barbara
     In each case, straight lines have been drawn to fit the raw dis-
tributional data.  In certain cases, such as West Los Angeles, La Habra,
and Anaheim, a straight line fits the data very well, indicating a
nearly log-normal distribution.   In other cases, particularly Azusa
                                   43

-------
                          LENNOX
                                               Panel  A
1000
win
finn
400
?nn
inn -
on .
en .
dfl-
on .
10
1000




100




10 .































)5 1.















^
s^



) id







•







^




2





S*








^





) 4
m














^





D 6(
JNTO^





-------
                                 UEST SAN  FERNANDO VALLEY
                                                               Panel C
CO
uuu —



•> 100




10.






L


10 _





















.0$ 1.


















.05 1.






x"
•







.^
x



4 10' 2






^f


0 1C
Figu





_f*»
^^


2
re C





<^








X









X

















~x^ •
X








X

















45 65 80 98 99.9 99'. 99
WEST LOS ANGELES a"e





^



D 40
5-3 -





^^



60
CO





x*^*^







^




80 9
itinued



^^0
^




3 99



^^





9 i



»^





9.99

-------
 1000
                                   PASADENA
                                                          Panel  E
O)
a.
    100
     10
   1000
           .05     10     10  20  40   60  80




                                    AZUSA
                                                      99.9  99.99


                                                      Panel F
 E
•^

 i
100
      10










t










05 1.







•


0 1










D 2




^





0 4^




x^





6C




^





8










\ 9



^






8 99


^







.9 9S










.99
                        Figure 3-3  -  continued
                                   46

-------
1000
                                 LA HABRA
                                                         Panel G
  100.
   10.
        .05    1.0      10  20  40   60  80

                                  ANAHEIM
98      99.9  99.99
       Panel  H
IUU —



inn




in










-
•










5 1







•


















x""^








X"


















^





0 10 20 40 60 80 98
Figure 3-3 - continued



^









^









^






99.9 99.99
                                 47

-------
                                                         Panel  I
„ SAN BERNARDINO( July 1971 -June -1973




inn




in











.0










5 1.










0 1







•


\ 2





X




0 4










0 6




X








/






0 80 9



X






3 99


LXX


















9 99.99
1000
                            ONTARIO
                                                          Panel J




100




in,











I "
.(










K 1.






s*



0 1C






^
•


2





^
»



0 40




*,





6




ttS1^





0 8C



• x"
^





9!



^






3 9S


/







).9 9


X







9.9
                      Figure 3-3 - continued
                                  48

-------
                                RIALTO
                                                          Panel K
CO




100




10











•










5 1





X
/



'.0 K




X





) .2




X





0 4




X





0 6



x






0 £


^X
x






*0 98

• X^
/







99
X









9 99










.99
                                 CHI NO
                                                          Panel L




100



10





















.05 1





/
X







x









X









x'








X







x
X







.0 10 20 40 60 80 98
x
s


















99.9 99










.99
                           Figure  3-3 -  continued
                                   .49

-------
1000
                                                          Panel  M
                            RIVERSIDEtJan. 1970-Dec. 1971KDowntown)
   ioa
   10
         .05     1.0    10  20   40  60   80        98     99.9  99.99
                     Figure  3-3 - continued
                                50

-------
                                 Panel
RIVERSIDEM972 ) (Downtown and Rubidoux)




100



1 ' -
ln

















X





-


^^
.X"
•







x^








Sf









x^









X








X^






.Ofe 1.0 10 20 40 60 60 9f



S








s







3 99.9 99
Panel 0










.99




ina




i rv




















.05 1







•







x
r

















/








• _>
s








^







s
/
i


























0 10 20 40 60 80 98 99.9 99.9
Figure 3-3 - continued
          51

-------
1000
  100-
   10-
1000.
                                  OXNARD
                                                          Panel P
.05      TO     10  20   40   60  80


                          SANTA BARBARA
                                                        997
         999
       799
                                                         Panel  Q
 100-
    10-
        .05     1.0      10   20   40 60    80

                               Percent
                    Figure 3-3  -  continued
98
99.9  99.99
                                52

-------
and Riverside, the data appear  to follow a concave type curve.  In
these cases, a straight line was fitted to the higher readings to
allow projection of maximal Hi-Vol levels.
     Table 3-6 summarizes the main results which can be derived from
the distribution plots.  The reader is refered to Section 3.1  for a
discussion of statistical methodology.  First, Table 3-6 gives a
listing of the cumulative frequency distribution (the percent of
time various Hi-Vol levels are exceeded).  The parameter m  is the
annual geometric mean as estimated from the plots, (Cg™).   Sg is the
geometric standard deviation.  Cocc is the expected yearly  maximal
Hi-Vol reading, assuming sampling is done every day.  c7Q is the
expected yearly maximal Hi-Vol  reading, assuming that current practices
of approximately 70 samples per year are followed.  Values  for each of
these parameters are presented in Table 3-6 for all  twelve  locations.
     The sections which follow will compare and discuss the actual
Hi-Vol levels for these and other locations in the Los Angeles Region.
Section 3.4 will discuss annual  geometric means.   Section 3.5  will  deal
with 24 hour maximal levels.
                                    53

-------
                  TABLE 3-6
STATISTICAL PARAMETERS FOR HI-VOL DISTRIBUTIONS
  AT TWELVE LOS ANGELES REGION SITES, 1972
CENTRAL L.A.
f* f\ti\ r* i «
CONC ng/m
50
100
150
175
200
218
236
249
r =414
L365 4K
C?0 = 336
Mq = 129
Sg = 1.48
WEST SAN3FERN.
CONC ng/m
50
100
150
175
200
225
250
278
302

,
C365 = 446
C7g = 356
Mq = 128
Sg = 1.52

%
2.1
26
61
79
90
92.0
94.2
96.4




VALLEY
7.9
31
64
78
86
89
94.2
96.4
97.8






LENNOX
CONC nq/m
50
100
150
175
200
217
226
259

C365 = 340
C70 = 290
Mq = 134
Sg = 1.37

%
12
12
65
81
90.9
93.1
95.2
97.2




AZUSA
CONC nq/m %
50
100
150
175
200
225
250
255
272
280

C365 = 38°
— \S V ^J _ — —
C7Q = 323
Mg = 150
Sg = 1.37
4.2
25
55
63
74
83
91.7
93.0
95.1
97.2





WEST L.A.
CONC ng/m
50
75
100
125
127
132
140


C365 = 200
C70 = 172
M = 84
S^ = 1.34
Jt
%
5.7
37
73
91.5
92.9
95.0
97.2





PASADENA
CONC MQ/m %
50
100
150
175
183
187





C365 = 247
C70 = 210
Mq = 108
Sg = 1.32
2.8
38
84
93.6
95.0
97.2










-------
                                                                         TABLE 3-6 - continued
en
ANAHEIM
Q
CONC ng/nT
50
100
150
175
176
210



C365 = 29°
Cgo = 240
M =95
g
Sg = 1.46
ONTARIO
CONC ug/m3
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
213
249
275

C365 = 360
C7Q = 270
M = 112
g
Sn = 1.52
g


*
2.8
54
87
96.7
97.22
98.3








%
14
26
40
58
70
86
92.3
94.5
96.7
98.9







LA HABRA
-»
CONC fig/rn
50
100 .
150
175
200
225
250
270
301
C365 = 460
Cgo = 360
M = 116
9
Sg = 1.59
R I ALTO
CONC fjg/m3
50
100
150
200
250
300
324
350
432
463
610
C365 = 78°
C?0 = 550
Mn =174
9
S = 1 . 72
9


%
2.3
37
74
86
90.9
93.1
94.9
96.0
97.7'





*
7.6 '
27
38
59
72
79
85
90.2
95.7
97.8
98.9






SAN BERNARDINO
•3
CONC /jg/nr
50
100
150
175
200
225
250
284
317
C365 = 540
C70 = 411
M = 116
g
Sg = 1.68
CHI NO
CONC fjg/m3
100
150
200
250
300
324
345
404
533
768

C365 = 110°
C7Q = 710
M = 200
9
S = 1 . 78
g


*
16
46
69
76
87
91.1
92.6
94.8
97.0





%
15
31
46
66
78
82
87
91.2
95.6
98.9








-------
                                                TABLE 3-6 - continued
RIVERSIDE
CONC jug/m3 %
1973
50 7.8
100 30
1 50 56
200 71
250 83
299 95.5
C365 = 620
C7Q = 470
Mn = 140
g
Sn = 1.67
g
OXNARD
CONC jug/m3 %

50 15
100 78
150 98.1



C365 = 20°
C7Q = 166
Mn = 76
g
Sn = 1.38
g
SANTA BARBARA
CONC ug/m3 %

50 23
100 90.5
150 98.3



C365 =200
C7Q - 164
Mn = 64
g
Sn =1.47
g
on
Ov

-------
3.4  HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR
     QUALITY CONTROL REGION:  ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS FOR
     BASE YEAR 1972
     The previous section presented Hi-Vol frequency distributions  for
twelve stations in the Los Angeles Region.  These distributions were
derived'from individual 24-hour APCD data for the period July 1971  to
June 1973.  Annual geometric means (AGM's) representative of 1972 were
calculated from these distributions and were presented in Table 3-6.
     To check that July 1971 - June 1973 was not an extremely unusual
meteorological period for Hi-Vol geometric means, the AGM's which were
calculated from the distribution are compared to historical values  in
Table 3-7.  Table 3-7 indicates that the calculated AGM's are generally
in agreement with historical values.  The only possible exceptions  are
the following:
     «  1972 was an unusually high year for Hi-Vol data at Reseda
        (and possibly Azusa).  The AGM's calculated from the July 1971
        to June 1973 distribution may be slightly higher than what
        would be expected for more typical meteorology.  The more
                                                       3
        typical Reseda AGM may be in the 110 - 125 yg/m  range rather
                                    3
        than the calculated 128 yg/m .  The data base for Azusa is
        very limited, (monitoring began in July 1971).  The calculated
                             3
        Azusa AGM of 150 yg/m  may be slightly higher than typical  values.
     «  1972 and 1973 gave atypically low values for Hi-Vol data in
        downtown Los Angeles.  This may be due to control implementation
        but may also be due to unusual meteorology.  If the latter  is
                                                3
        the case, the calculated AGM of 129 yg/m  would be a low estimate;
        a value in the 140 to 155 yg/m  range might be more appropriate
        for downtown LO~S-Angeles.
                                   .57

-------
                                                                           TABLE  3-7
                                                         COMPARISON  OF  HI-VOL ANNUAL GEOMETRIC  MEANS  FROM
                                                        FREQUENCY  DISTRIBUTIONS TO PAST MONITORING  HISTORY
                                                               HI-VOL  ANNUAL GEOMETRIC MEANS  (ug/mj)
en
CO
County
Los Angeles



San Bernardino



Riverside
Orange

Oxnard
Santa Barbara
Station
Central L.A.
Lennox
W. Los Angeles
W. San Fernando
Valley (Reseda)
Azusa
Pasadena
San Bernardino
Ontario
Real to
Chi no
Riverside
Anaheim
La Habra
Oxnard
Santa Barbara
Calculated from
Distribution for
6/1971 - 6/1973
129
134
84
128
150
108
116
112
174
200
140
95
116
	 76 	
64
1973
114
124
74
103
121
101
85
99
163
-
135
98
113
77
NA
1972
130
137
86
143
150
110
108
no
176
212
140
105
120
77
66
Yearly Measured AGM
1971 1970 1969 1968 1967
162 136 154 157 145
154 144 150 148 139
85 91 99 92 71
115 112 117 109 135
138A - ...
106A - ...
117 119 91 121
124 109 135
136 117 112
191 - 172 163
136B
85 95 105 95
114
71 64 . - . . , .
60 NA
                             Federal  Primary Standard     75 ug/nr.
                             Federal  Secondary Standard   60 ug/m  .
                             A
                             B
Represents July to December Only.
Represents 1970 and 1971  combined geometric mean.

-------
     The annual geometric means for the twelve Los Angeles Region
Stations listed in Table 3-7 are plotted oh a map in Figure 3-4.
     Chino and Rialto yielded unusually high annual Hi-Vol levels of
        3             3
200 ug/m  and 174 ug/m  (AGM) respectively.  Preliminary investigations
of the cause of these exceptional values has been conducted by the San
Bernardino APCD, [58].  This investigation pointed out that the Chino .
and Rialto stations were directly in line with the large Kaiser Steel-
Edison Electric complex for the typical sea-land breeze wind pattern.
The high Rialto and Chino values appear to reflect the local  importance
of that major emission source.
     For comparison with the above data, 1972, Hi-Vol  AGM values for
NASN, CHESS, and Ventura APCD (other than Oxnard) stations are mapped in
Figure 3-5.   These data are generally lower than the APCD data in
Figure 3-4.   As noted in Section 3.2, the CHESS sites  are in quiet,
isolated, suburan areas.  The CHESS stations tend to measure urban
background particulate levels rather than the levels found in urban
centers.  The discrepancies between NASN and APCD data were also
discussed in Section 3.2.
                                   59

-------
01
o
                                      Figure  3-4.   Expected  Annual  Geometric Mean Hi-Vol  Levels
                                                   for  the 1972  Base  Year

-------
CTl
                                                                 CAL Air Resources Board Data


                                                                 Non Symbol means NASN Data
                                     Figure 3-5

      Expected  Annual Geometric Means  for Suspended Particulate Matter
                  in the Los  Angeles Basin for Base Period  1972
                               (NASN and CHESS Data)

-------
3.5  HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY CONTROL
     REGION: EXPECTED MAXIMAL 24 HOUR LEVELS FOR THE BASE YEAR 1972
     Section 3.3 derived expected yearly maximal  24 hour Hi-Vol  levels
at twelve Los Angeles Region stations from frequency distributions
based on data from the period July 1971 to June 1973.   These data are
mapped in Figure 3-6.  As a check on these results, the statistically
derived expected yearly maximum are compared to historical  values in
Table 3-8.  In the table, C7Q is the calculated expected yearly 24
hour maximum, assuming 70 samples are taken per year (current APCD
procedures).  The actual APCD measured maxima are listed for the years
1966 to 1973; NASN data are included for a comparison.  C3g5 in the
table is the calculated yearly maximum assuming that samples would  be  taken
every day.
     A cursory examination of Table 3-8 indicates that the  calculated
expected maxima in Los Angeles County, (C^Q.  based on the  7/71-6/73
distributions), appear to be somewhat lower than the typical observed
yearly maxima.  This is especially true if the 20 August 1973 data  are
                                                        o
included, (on that day maximas ranging from 233-686 ^g/m  occurred  in
Los Angeles County).  To check this conclusion Table 3-9 compares the
calculated C™ to the average measured maxima for 1969-1973.  Table 3-9
reveals a consistent underestimate of  the yearly maxima in  Los Angeles
County.  This inconsistency could be due any of three factors: (1)  the
7/71-6/73 distributions for Los Angeles County were not representative
at greater Hi-Vol levels because of unusual meteorology, (2) the
projection of the Los Angeles County distributions at the high end  was
not well represented by a straight line, or (3) the actual  maximas  from
1969 to 1973 were atypically  high and were not representative of the
                                   62

-------
en
CO
                                                            	 		1
                          Figure 3-6.  Expected 24-Hour Max. Hi-Vol Levels for the 1972 Base Year

                                       (for the present APCD Monitoring Frequency)

-------
         200
         ioo4-
                              Glendale (NASN)





                                                                  200
                                                                   1004-







                                                                         1968


                                                                                         Chino (APCD)


  /5* «J /2<
  III





                                                                                     1969
  1971
                                                                                                         1972
en
          200
          1004-


                               ws
                              Burbank (NASN)





                                                                   200
                                                                   100+
                                                                                    Azusa (APCD)
     I




ll
          200
          lOOt I
                              Reseda (APCD)










                 1969
                           1970
                                     1971
                                                1972
                                                          1973
                                                                   200
                                                                    lOOt
                                                                         1969
Pasadena (APCD)


                                                                                     1970





                                                                                                1971
                                                                                                         1972
                                                                                                                   1973
                                                          Figure 3-7

                                 Suspended  Particulate Quarterly  Geometric Means

-------
 200









 ioa.










1   o.





 200










 100+
Torrance  (NASN)
200











100..











  0 .






200
                                                        Santa Ana (NASN)
                                                  Lennox (APCD)
                                     100+
                                                          Anaheim (NASN)
  200
  lOOt
                                            Central L.A. (APCD)
                                                                200
                                                                lOOf
                                                           Long Beach (NASN)
         1969        1970        1971        1972       1973
                                                                      1969        1970
                                                                                             1971        1972          1973
                                               Figure  3-7 - Continued

-------
                          Rialto (APCD)
200
TOO--
\

                T
                                                               200
                                                               TOO--
                                                                                  Ontario  (APCD)
 200r-
                              Redlands  (APCD)
                                                               200
                                                               100-
                                                                                         Riverside (NASN)
                                                                                                                      i
 200r-
 100--
                         San  Bernardino (APCD)
                                                       200
                                                               TOO"
                                                                                 Fontana (APCD)
         1969
            1970      1971        1972        1973
1969      1970         1971       1972
                                                Figure  3-7 - Continued

-------
            200 ,-
             100 +
                                      Rialto (APCD)

                                                                           200
          100+

                                     Ontario  (APCD)



en
             200r
             100 +
                                           Redlands (APCO)
          200
          lOOf
                                                                                                      Riverside (NASN)
             200r-
             100 +
                                     San Bernardino  (APCD)
                     1969
                                1970
                                          1971
                                                      1972
                                                                            200r
          100+
1973
1969
1970
                                    Fontana  (APCD)
                                        1971
1972
                                                            Figure  3-7-  Continued

-------
cr>
oo
            200,
            1001
                                     Torrance  (NASN)
              Olg
            200,

200







1004.







  0



200
                                                                                             Santa Ana (NASN)
                                                             Lennox  (APCD)
                                                                          lOOf
                                                                                               Anaheim (NASN)
            200,

              OLE
                                                      Central  L.A.  (APCD)
                                                                          200
                                                                          lOOf
                                                                                                Long Beach  (NASN)
                   1969        1970        1971        1972       1973
                                                                                 1969
                                                                                            1970        1971        1972          1973
                                                         Figure  3-7 - Continued

-------
200 r
100 +
200
100+
                      Glendale (NASN)
                     Burbank (NASN)

                                                           200
                                100 +
                                                             OL
                                                            200
                                100+
                                         J
                                                                  1968
                                                  1969
1971
1972
                                                                             Azusa  (APCD)




200
lOOt
                     Reseda (APCD)





        1969      1970
1971
                                       1972
                     1973
                                                            200
                                                            100 +

                                                                 1969
                                                         Pasadena (APCD)
                                                                             1970
                                                                                         1971
                                                                      1972
                                                                                                            1973
                                                  Figure 3-7
                        Suspended  Particulate  Quarterly  Geometric  Means

-------
                                                        TABLE  3-8

                                   YEARLY MAXIMAL  HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION

County Station
Los Angeles Central L. A.

Lennox
West L.A.
W. San Per Valley
Azusa
Pasadena
Orange Anaheim

La Habra

San Bernardino San Bernardino

Ontario
Ri al to
Chi no
Riverside Riverside APCD

Oxnard Oxnard
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara

CJQ Calculated
7/71 to 6/73
APCD 336
NASN
APCD 290
APCD 172
APCD 356
APCD 323
APCD 210
APCD 240
NASN
APCD 360

APCD 411
NASN
APCD 275
APCD 550
APCD 710
APCD 395
NASN
APCD 166
APCD 147


1973
412(386)A

262
233(134)?
536(307)*
686(298)7
624(205)A
345

252

360

455
620
402
370

176
NA


1972
310
604
358
177
350
315
207
259
260
301

437
308
342
610
768
359
242
166
NA


1971
408
275
367
227
450
430
240
294
325
356

419
241
211
247
333
609 R
(366)B
241
149
NA


1970
365
203
356
250
312
-

357
224
-

-
314
230
276
248
246
314
114



1969
375
280
291
322
480
-
—
266
261
-

-
245
391
462
600
—
245
•~



1968
295

281
198
190
-
—
-
-
-

-
_
-
-
-
—
~
—



1967
327

289
224
332
-'
—
-
-
-

-
_
-
•






t
Calculated ;
C365
414

340
200
446

—
290

460

540

360
780
1100
499

200
200

--J
o
     A
        The  number  in  parenthesis  is  the next highest day in 1973.  All high values from the L.A. APCD in 1973 occurred
        in the  same unusually  high day, 20 August 1973.  On 20 August 1973 a rare meteorological condition occurred with
        extremely high winds  (up to 100 miles per hour) blowing in the South-East desert area for a short time.   It has
        been postulated  that these winds carried dust into the Los Angeles Basin where settling  accounted for extreme
        Hi-Vol  levels, [64].

        The  next highest value  in  1971.

-------
                            TABLE 3-9

            COMPARISON OF CALCULATED 24 HOUR MAXIMA TO
              AVERAGE YEARLY MAXIMA FROM 1969 - 1973
.
.
County Station
Los Angeles Central L.A.
Lennox
West L.A.
W. San Fer. Valley
Azusa
Pasadena
Orange Anaheim
La Habra
San Bernardino San Bernardino
Ontario
Ri al to
Chi no
Riverside Riverside
Ventura Oxnard
a Data available only from 1971 to
U n -N 4- -^ -ktf\41^U"ls\ s\in*1>> -Pvt/^m 1 O "7H -4-r\
CyQ Distribution
from Distribution
7/71 - 6/73
336
290
172
356
323
210
240
360
411
275
550
710
395
166
1973.
1QT3
Average of Yearly
APCD Maxima0
1969 - 1973
369
327
222
380
348a
21 7a
304
303a
405
326
443
470
396b
151b


Excludes data on August 20, 1973 in Los Angeles County.
                                 71

-------
the expected maxima.  It is not certain which of these factors prevail.
This problem will be discussed further in Section 4.0 where the typical
basin-wide maximum will  be characterized.
     The following two sections will try to provide some insight into
the meteorology associated with high particulate readings.   Section 3.5.1
will discuss seasonal Hi-Vol patterns at various locations.  Section
3.5.2 will provide data on specific episodes of exceptional |arnbient
particulate levels.
3.5.1  Seasonal Pattern of Total Particulate Concentrations
     Figure 3-7 presents the quarterly Hi-Vol geometric means at 18
Loa Angeles Region stations for the period 1969 to 1971.  These
quarterly plots give a rough indication of seasonal particulate mass dis-
tribution.  The seasonal distributions fluctuate considerably from
year to year because of the statistical limitations involving the
few number of Hi-Vol measurements taken each season.   However, a close
examination of the data reveals the following conclusions:
     •  The stations in the southwest part of the basin near
        the coast (Torrance, Lennox, Downtown Los Angeles,
        Reseda, Anaheim, Santa Ana, and Long Beach) tend to
        have high values in the winter, typically during the
        first quarter.
     •  The stations in the central valleys  (Glendale, Burbank
        and Pasadena) do not appear to exhibit  strong  sea-
        sonal  patterns.
     •  The stations in the inland eastern-most parts of the
        basin (Azusa, Chino, Rialto, Ontario, Riverside,
        Redlands, San Bernardino, and Fontana) tend to have
        high readings in the summer and fall months,  typically
        the third quarter.
     These qualitative conclusions are very consistent with known facts
about particulate origins, meteorology, and pollution distributions in
the Los Angeles Region.   The Los Angeles aerosol is composed of both
                                    72

-------
primary (directly emitted) particulate and secondary (formed in the
atmosphere by chemical-physical processes) particulate.   The.primary
and secondary sources are of the same order of magnitude, (Report #3
of this project will discuss the relative contribution of various
sources in detail).  Now, it is known that primary contaminants (e.g.
CO) reach maximal levels in the southwest portion of the basin and
that the highest levels occur during the winter.   It is  also known
that photochemical smog, a principle source of secondary contaminants,
is most intense in the inland (downwind) portions of the basin and
that summer-fall is the "in-season" for photochemical  pollution.   The
high values for particulate in the southwest basin during the
winter appear to reflect the importance of the primary aerosol,
(particularly to coastal areas).  The high summer-fall  values for
particulate in the eastern basin reflect the importance  of the
secondary aerosol, (particularly to the eastern area).  The fact that
the intermediate, central valley stations demonstrate  no strong
seasonal pattern suggests a close overall balance there  between primary and
secondary contributions.  This evidence does not imply that the western
basin has very little secondary aerosol nor that the eastern basin has
very little primary aerosol; it just an indication of  the overall
balance between the two particulate sources and the trend for secondary
pollutants to become relatively more important in downwind areas.
3.5.2  Analysis of Recent Particulate Episodes
     To shed further light on the types of days associated with maximal
Hi-Vol levels, data were compiled concerning specific  particulate
episodes.  Table 3-10 lists data on eight episodes which have occurred
during the 1970's in the west-coastal portions of the  basin, (Los Angeles
                                    73

-------
                TABLE 3-10

PARTICULATE EPISODES IN THE WEST-CENTRAL
          BASIN DURING THE 1970's
Date
01-21-70 1
Central L.A.
Lennox
West L.A.
WSFV
Anaheim (1-22-70)
11-18-70
Central
West L.A.
11-09-71
Central
Lennox
West L.A.
WSFV
Azusa
02-17-72
Central
WSFV
Azusa
02-13-72
Azusa
WSFV
Pasadena
08-10-72
WSFV
Azusa
08-20-73
I
Central
Azusa
WLA
WSFV
Pasadena
Cone.
/jg/m3
365
245
250
312
324

310
200

305
277
223
218
415
295
280
320
280
350
204

300
290
412
686
223
536
624
so=
45
32
36
28
43

22 I
13.0;

40
1.8:
36
27
44
1
35 !
26 !
30 |
27 :
36 :
26 \
\
24 '•
27 '
'72.7
6.3
27
12
NO"
21
3.1
3.8
5.3
50

31
14.4

24
2.5
10
10
43
19
18
26
34
27
21

22
20
-
Pb
5.8
2.9
5.4
16.6
NA

12
12

11
9
12
11
10
9
13
8
8
15
6

4
5
2
3
6
: 3
i 	
OX CO
(PPM)
.03 26
.03 21
.04 18
.14 22
.04 10

.04 28
.07 24

<.08 24
.08 32
.10 19
.07 33
.19 13
NA 11
.16 17
.15 10
.05 13
.06 29
.05 11

.17 4
.24 5
.09 13
.05 4
.03 10
.08 9
.06 8
Weather & Comments
Low oxident, high humidity, morning
surface inversion, overcast day
Forecast - Night & morning low clouds
and fog, hazy afternoon sunshine
Forecast - Orange County: Dense fog
through midmorn(s)
Low oxident, tail end of a period of
morning surface inversions
Forecast - Strong gusty winds in foot-
hill & valley areas, moderate wind
over most of basin
i
Low oxidant, low inversion ;
Forecast - night & morning low clouds,
fog, hazy sunshine in afternoon
Low-medium oxidant, low inversion, •
night and morining low clouds & fog.
Low oxidant, high CO, low inversion
for wintertime, high humidity, night
and morning low clouds & fog

Medium oxidant, low inversion in i
morning, hazy afternoon sunshine
Low oxidant, surface inversion, morning
inversion nights had been lowering for
several days, cloudy. Followed a long
smog period.
                 74

-------
and Orange Counties).  Measured Hi-Vol  levels are listed for stations
which experienced exceptional levels, (relative to that station).   Also
given are particulate composition data, oxidant levels, maximal  CO one hour
concentrations, and a weather brief, (obtained from the National Weather
Service).
     Table 3-10 reveals that six of the eight episodes  in the west-coastal
area occurred during the winter.  This  corroborates the conclusion of
the previous section that Hi-Vol levels reach a maximum in this  ares
during the winter season.  A low inversion consistently occurred on
the six days.  There also appears to be high humidity on all  days  but
one.  Oxidant values are low and CO values are high.
     The low inversions, high CO levels, and low OX levels appear  to
indicate that primary particulates are  probably the major source for
these episodes.  This conclusion is supported by atypically high
lead levels, (see Report $3, for average Pb values).  However, the
presence of high humidity and large amounts of sulfate  (SO^') and
nitrate (N03~) may imply that non-photochemical  secondary aerosol  is
also important on these days.  The interaction of water vapor with
S02, N02, and ammonia is a very plausible source of high sulfate and
nitrate components in the aerosol, [63].
     The other two episodes in the west-coastal  basin occurred in
August.  The relatively low CO and Pb levels do not point toward
primary particulate sources.  Photochemical aerosol  may have  been
dominant on these days.  8-10-72 exhibited medium oxidant, and
although 8-20-73 had low oxidant, it followed a period  of intense
photochemical smog.
                                   75

-------
     Table 3-11 presents data on recent particulate episodes in the
eastern part of the basin at San Bernardino.   Hi-Vol  composition data
are not available for these episodes.*  There  does  not appear to be a
strong, consistent pattern in these data.  The episode days do not" necessarily
occur  in the summer-fall months as did the quarterly maximums.  The
fall and winter high days are accompanied by low  oxidant and strong
inversions as in the case of the west-coastal  basin.   The spring "highs"
of 1973 may be associated with photochemical  activity.   There is a
possibility that these episodes are due to the influence of local
industrial sources.  This could account for the lack  of overall pattern
since the important weather variable might just be  wind direction.
* The San Bernardino APCD performs chemical analysis on quarterly com-
  posites only.
                                    76

-------
                   TABLE 3-11

PARTICULATE EPISODES IN THE SAN BERNARDINO AREA
                  1971  to 1973
Date
10-14-71

10-27-71
01-21-72

03-07-72
03-13-72
04-26-73

05-22-73

06-16-73

(Cone.)
3
313

413
341

317
437
284

245

360

ox
One Hour
PPM
.11

.04
.02

.05
.06
.21

.20

.16

CO
Max.
8

18
15

9
10
4

6

4

Weather & Comments
i
Medium-low oxidant, low level
inversion
Low oxidant, cloudy day
Low oxidant, strong winter
inversion
Low oxidant, cloudy
Low oxidant, average inversion
Medium oxidant, inversion lift-
ing
Medium oxidant, inversion fall-
ing
Medium oxidant, tail end of an
inversion period
                       77

-------
              4.0  CHARACTERIZATION OF HI-VOL LEVELS IN THE
                     METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY
                                CONTROL REGION
     Sections 3.4 and 3.5 summarized base year (1972) Hi-Vol levels in
the Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region.  Figures 3-4
and 3-5 presented data on annual geometric means.  Figure 3-6 gave
results for expected yearly 24 hour maxima.  The measured Hi-Vol
levels will be discussed and analyzed below with particular attention
given to a comparison with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards.
     Figures 3-4 through 3-6 reveal that Hi-Vol levels do not follow
a consistent large scale spatial pattern throughout the basin.  It is
true that coastal (generally upwind) areas and Ventura and Santa Barbara
Counties are consistently lower in measured particulate  levels.  However,
the  inland stations show no well  defined pattern and it is  not possible to
draw meaningful pollution contour maps to the Hi-Vol data at the present
level of spatial resolution (over 30 sites).  For instance, in the
eastern Los Angeles County - western San Bernardino County region,
within a radius of about 10 miles, the following scatter of AGM's is
reported:
                 Azusa        150 ng/m3  (Los Angeles APCD)
                 Glendora      97 ^ig/m3  (CHESS)
                 West Co. vina   99 ng/m3  (CHESS)
                                      o
                 Ontario      110 pg/m   (San Bernardino APCD)
                 Chi no        194 pg/m3  (San Bernardino APCD)
     The explanation for this lack of general spatial pattern involves the.
origins of the Los Angeles aerosol.  A significant portion of suspended partic-
ulates are primary parti culates, (emitted as an aerosol).  It is known that for
primary contaiminants,  such as carbon monoxide, that measured levels can be very
                                    78

-------
sensitive to the location of the monitoring instrument; significant
local distortions in ambient levels are produced by nearby sources.
Thus, an explanation for the discrepancy between Glendora and Chino
is that the Glendora site is located in an isolated suburban area,
while IChino  is influenced by strong primary sources (probably the
Kaiser-Edison complex) in the western San Bernardino area, {57], [58].  A
similar situation exists in the southwest coastal area of Los Angeles
County.  Lennox, downwind of a power plant, refinery, and airport and near a busy
                                      3
intersection, shows an AGM of 134 /jg/m  while more "out of the way"
stations at Santa Monica, Torrance, and West Los Angeles yield only
69, 73, and 84 jjg/m  respectively.
     Some of the aerosol is secondary in nature, (formed by transformation
of gaseous pollutants).  It might be expected that this part of the aerosol
would follow more consistent large scale patterns.   For the secondary
gaseous pollutant, oxidant, researchers have shown that fairly well
defined contour maps can be drawn.  However, it appears for particu-
lates that the material of primary origin produces local fluctuations
which conceal any general spatial pattern.
     Another reason for the lack of pattern could be inconsistencies in
monitoring techniques. Section 3.3 pointed out that NASN and APCD  data
at the same location  are sometimes significantly different.  Discre-
pancies in sampling procedures at different sites undoubtedly do produce
some fluctuations; however, the major reason for the spatial variations
would seem to be the influence of local sources as discussed above.
     As seen in Figures 3-4 through 3.6, the federal  secondary air
                          3                            3
quality standards (60 |ug/m  annual average and 150 Mg/m  24 hr.  maximum)
are presently violated at all  monitoring sites in the Los Angeles  Re-
gion (except for the CHESS site at Thousand Oaks).   Nearly all  sites in
                                    79

-------
Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino Counties also violate

                                    o

the primary annual standard (75 ng/m , AGM).  The only exceptions are
                 3                             3
Torrance (73 |jg/m  NASN), Santa Monica (69 Mg/m  CHESS), and Costa Mesa

        3     -                                                          3
(67 ng/m  Orange APCD).  The maximum AGM value occurs at Chino (200 jug/m ),


with Rialto second at 174 ng/m .   About 2/3 of the stations in the four


county sub-area  report values in the 95-140 ptg/m  range.   Ventura County


AGM values tend to fall very near to the primary standard.*  Santa Barbara


(64 Mg/m ) is below the primary annual standard.
     The expected maximum 24 hour values have been calculated only for


12 stations due to data availability.  Indications are that 24 hour

                                                     o
maxima fall well below the primary standard (260 ug/m ) in Ventura and

                                                                 o
Santa Barbara Counties.  In the four county area, Chino (710 ug/m ),


Rialto (550 ug/m3), Riverside 470 ug/m ) , and San Bernardino (411 ug/m3)


show particularly high values above the 24 hour standard.  As noted in


Section 3.5, the method used to estimate expected maxima appears to give

                                                               o
low values for Los Angeles County data.  Maxima around 375 ug/m  would be


a more conservative estimate for the highest L.A. County station, (See



Table 3-9).



     For the purposes of control strategy formulation, it is useful to


determine an overall measured level  of parti cul ate mass that characterizes  the


basin.  The object of control policy is then to reduce this level to the


air quality standards.  Of course, since there is such great spatial


variation in aerosol mass, no one level really characterizes the entire


basin.  A number of characteristic levels for several subareas thus
	.	—	'	                  O

* The only exception is Port Hueneme  (97 ug/m ); the probable major

  source  there  is  sea salt.
                                    80

-------
seems appropriate.  In choosing an explicit number of areas a balance

should be struck between simplicity and realism.  The fewer the subareas

the easier it is to formulate, implement, and administer a control

program.  The greater the number of areas, the more specific and

efficient the control  program.

     Tentatively, a three-area classification of Hi-Vol  levels is proposed

(See Figure 4-1).  Table 4-1 lists the three areas along with the character

istic maximal AGM's and 24 hour extrema.   It should be emphasized th-..t the

characteristic values in Table 4-1 are not the typical values for the

area but rather the expected high values  among all sites in the area.

These characteristic expected maximal values are approximate; the numbers

are rounded to reflect their approximate nature.


                               TABLE  4-1
    CHARACTERISTIC MAXIMAL HI-VOL  LEVELS  FOR THREE SUBAREAS OF THE
          METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION
                         (FOR BASE YEAR 1972)
         Area
A-Ventura and Santa
  Barbara Counties

B-Los Angeles, Orange,
  San Bernardino,  and
  Riverside Counties
  (except area C below)

C-East San Bernardino
  County "Hot-Spot"
   Characteristic Maximal
             AGM
Primary Standard   75 pig/m
Secondary Standard 60 ug/m
          80 /jg/m
         150 ng/m
         200 ng/m
                                                    Characteristic  Maximal
                                                      24  Hour  Extremum
                                                 Primary  Standard    260 Mg/m
                                                 Secondary  Standard 150 ug/m
                                                          180
                                                         470
                                                          710 ug/m
                                   81

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00
ro
                               Figure 4-1  Sub-Areas for Control Strategy  Formulation

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                                 REFERENCES


 1.   Jutze, G.  A., and Foster,  K.E.,  "Recommended  Standard Method  for
     Atmospheric Sampling of Fine Participate Matter  by  Filter-Media/
     High Volume Sampling,"  Air Pollution  Control  Association J.,  17 (1),
     p 17 (1967).

 2.   Methods of Air Sampling and Analysis, Intersociety  Committee,
     American Public Health  Association,  Inc.,  p 365  (1972).

 3   "Guideline for the Development of a  Quality Assurrance  Program for
     High-Volume  Sampl ing," U.  S. Environmental  Protection Agency R4-73-028b,
     June 1973, p 25.

 4.   IBID (3)  p 26.

 5.   IBID,  p 66.

 6.   Robson, C.D., and Foster,  K.E.,  "Evaluation of Air  Particulate Sampling
     Equipment,11  Am.  Ind.  Hygiene Assoc.  J., 23,  p 404-410  (.1962).

 7.   Op.  Cit. (3)   p 70

 8.   Op.  Cit. (3)   p 66.

 9.   "Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter," U.S.  Dept. of  Health,
     Education  and Welfare,  Jan.  1969, p  19.

10.   Pate, J.B., Tabor, E.C., "Analytical  Aspects  of  the Use of Glass  Fiber
     Filters for Collection  and Analysis  of Atmospheric  Particulate Matter,"
     Am.  Ind. Hygiene Assoc. J., 23,  144  0962).

11.   Op.  Cit.(3) p 35.

12.   Mueller, P.K., "Selection of Filter  Media: An Annotated Outline,"
     13th Conf. Methods On Air Pollution  and  Industrial  Hygiene, Univ. of
     Calif, at  Berkeley,  October 30-31, 1972.

13.   Lee, R.E., and Wagman,  J., "A Sampling Anomaly  In the Determination of
     Atmospheric Sulfates,"  Am. Ind.  Hygiene Assoc. J.,  Vol. 27: 266-71
     (1966).

14.   Burton, R.M., et al, "Field Evaluation of  Hi-Volume Particulate Fractionating
     Cascade Impactor,"65th  Annual Meeting of Air  Pollution  Control Association,
     June 18-22 (1972), Miami Beach,  Florida;

15.   Hidy, et al, "Characterization of Aerosols in California  (ACHE1),
     Intern Report, Phase I, Rockwell  International Science  Center,
     California ARB Contract #358 (1974)  p. 283.

16.   IBID (15)  p 339.


                                     83

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17.  Tierney, G.P., and Conner, W.D., "Hygroscopic Effects on Weight
     Determination of Particles Collected on Glass Fiber Filters,11 Am.  Industrial
     Hygiene Assoc. J. Vol. 28, p 363 (1967).

18.  Margil Wadley, Chemist, LA APCD, Private Conversation 4/19/74.

19.  Op .  cit.  (15), p 307.

20.  Op .  cit.  (3), p 65.
                               \

21.  Peter Mueller, Region IX, EPA,  Private Conversation 3/28/74.

22   Op .  cit.(3) p 65.

23.  Lee, R.E., et al, "Evaluation of Methods of Measuring Suspended
     Particulates in the Atmosphere," 162nd National  Meeting of the
     American Chemical Society, Washington, D.C., Dec. 12-17, 1971.

24.  Clements, H.A., et al, "Reproducibility of the Hi-Vol Sampling Method
     Under Field Conditions," 0. Air Pollution Control Asso., Vol. 22,
     #12 p. 955 (1972).

25.  Faora, R., "Collaborative Study of The Reference Method for Determination
     of Suspended Particulates in the Atmosphere," U.S.  Environmental
     Protection Agency,  APTD-0302, PB 205-892(1972).

26.  Cohen, A.L., et al., "Dependence of Hi-Vol  Measurements on Airflow
Rate," Environmental Science and Technology, Vol. 7,  #1, p 61 (.1973).

27.  Rainwater, L.E., and Moyers, J.L., "Atomic Adsorption Procedure for
     Analysis of Metals  in Atmospheric Particulate Matter," Environmental
     Science & Technology, Vol. 8, #2, p 152, February (1974).

28.  Op. cit. (.2) p.305.

29.  Keenan, R.G., et al., "USPHS Method for Determining Lead in Air and In
     Biological Materials," Am. Ind. Hyg.  Assoc. J, 24,  481-91  (.1963).

30.  Op. cit. (2) p 442.

31.  Op. cit. (2) p 332.

32.  Brown, E.  et al, "Collection and Analysis of Water  Samples for Dissolved
     Minerals and Gases," U.S. Geological  Survey Publication, p 119.

33.  Op. cit. ( 3) p. 305.

34.  Holmes, John, "Photochemical Aerosol  Formation in The Atmosphere and
     In An Environmental  Chamber," presented at 167th Material   Meeting of
     American Chemical Society, March 31-  April  5, 1974, Los Angeles, Calif.
                                     84

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 35.   Op.  cit.  (15)  p  388.
 36.   Op.  cit. (15) p 387.
37.  National Air Sampling Network Data, U.S.  Environmental  Protection;
     Agency, 1968.
38.  San Bernardino County APCD data, 1969-1973.
39.  Op. cit. (15), p 285-289.
40.  John Holms, Chemist with California Air Resources Board,  private
     conversation,  4/4/74.
41.  Whitdy, K.T.,  and Liu, B.Y., "Atmospheric Particulate Data -  What Does
     It Tell Us About Air Pollution," llth Conf./ Methods of Air Pollution
     and Ind. Hygiene,       Berkeley, California, 1970.
42.  Op. cit. (1),  p 18.
43.  Steven Bromberg,  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,  private
     conversation,  4/1/74.
44.  Gerald Brown,  Sr., Instrument Tech. San Bernardino APCD,  private
     conversation,  4/11/74.
45.  Margil Wadley, Chief Chemist, L.A.  APCD,  private conversations.
46.  George Sanderson, chemist, San Bernardino APCD, private conversations.
47.  William Bope,  chemist, Orange County APCD, private conversations.
48.  Larsen, R.I.,  "A Mathematical Model for Relating Air Quality  Measure-
     ments to Standards," U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency Office of
     Air Programs Publication IAP-89, November 1971.
49.  Walker, H.M. and Lev, J.,  "Elementary Statistical Methods," 3rd  Edition,
     Holt, Rinehart, and Winstor, Inc. 1969, p 353.
50.  IBID, p 260.
51.  IBID, p 164.
52.  Thomas Hartledge, Environmental Protection Agency, private conversation,
     4/4/74.
53.  Thompson, R.,  University  of California Riverside,  private
     conversation,  4/5/74.
54.  Jose Sun  , Environmental  Protection Agency, private conversation, 4/2/74.
                                     85

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55.  Burton, R.M., et al,  "Field Evaluation of Hi-Volume  Particulate
     Fractionating Cascade Impactor,"  65th  Annual  Meeting of  Air  Pollution
     Control Assocation,  Miami  Beach,  Florida, June  18-22 (1972).

56.  Hunt, W.F., "Precision Associated with Sampling Frequency  of Log-
     Normally Distributed  Air Pollutant Measurements,"  J.  Air Pollution
     Control Assoc, Vol.  22 #9, 687 (1972).

57.  Zeldin, M.D., "Oxidant Distribution and Analysis  in  the  San  Bernardino
     Basin," Technical  Report #73-1, San Bernardino  APCD,  March,  1973.

58.  Zeldin, M.D., and Sanderson, G.,  private conversations 4/11/74.

59.  Molnar, Dean, Ventura APCD private conversation 5/2/74.

60.  Grosjean, Daniel,  Caltech, private conversation 4/14/74.

61.  McKee, C.H., et al,  "Collaboration Testing of Methods to Measure
     Air Pollutants", J.  Air Pollution Control  Association, Vol.  22,
     #5 342(1972).

62.  Whitby, K.T., Hursar, R.B., Liu,  Y.H., J.  Colloid  Interface  Sci.
     39,117 (1972).

63.  Appell, Bruce, State  Industrial Hygiene Laboratories, private
     conversation, 4/74.

64.  Duckworth, Spencer,  Meteorologist, California Air Resources  Board,
     Personal communication, June 1974.
                                    86

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                                                                                                                      8191
                                                     APPENDIX A

                        REFERENCE METHOD FOR THE  DETERMINATION OF
                          SUSPENDED  PARTICIPATES IN THE ATMOSPHERE
                                           (HIGH  VOLUME METHOD)
                       Reproduced  from   Appendix  B,  "National  Primary and  Secondary
                       Ambient Air  Standards," Federal  Register,  Vo!  36, No.  84, Part  II,
                       Friday,  April 30,  1971.
          B— RtmxNcx  MXTUOB roi  THI
          NATioN or STCPXNU
  DC   TK>t  ATU08PKXU   (HIGH
  MXTBOD)

  1. Principle and XppHcoMIfty.
  1.1  Air I* drawn Into a covered housing
end through a filter by meana of a hlgh-flow-
rete blower at a  flow rs,te (1.13 to 1.70 m.V
mln.;  40 to W  ft.Vrnlc.) that allows sus-
pended  particles, having dlunctera of  less
than 100 »m. (3tok»a equivalent diameter)
to pass to the  filter surface.  (1) Particles
within the size range of 100 to O.ldm. diame-
ter are ordinarily collected on glass fiber fil-
ters.  The mesa concentration of  suspended
partlculatoa In th3 &:i\b!ent air (*g./m.') U
computed by measuring the mans of collected
partioulates end  the volume of air sampled.

  1.3   This method U applicable to measure-
ment of the maae concentration of suspended
paniculate* lu ambient air. The  sire  of the
sample  collected 1C  usually  adequate for
other analyses.
  2. Range and Sensitivity.
  9.1   When the sampler la operated at an
average flow rate of 1.70 m.'/niln.  (00  ft.1.
mln.) for 24 hours, an adequate pur.ple will
be obtained even In en atmosphere having
concentrations of suspended parllculatea as
low  as 1 uf./m*.  If  p.'.rtlcuiate !«vf:s are
unusually hlfth, e ehotoobem!ocU I'JioB or »oid amoiie. ma?
bloc.* the filter tU c&usa a icuid drop la
alri.cr» at e rx>aiir.;:.'cr-u\ rtste.  Unrjo  fog or
hijri humlccty can c 4'J»» Ui« filter to Income
too  wet and  Mfsrcly reduce the  fcirflow
through tt« tuv>r.
  S3 Oluu-fToer filton ere  comparatively
InMnjJtiTO to ci>a£^M In ralatlre hv.miuity,
but  collected  paruoulaitea  o»n iw  hygro-
•oopki. (»)
  •i. Prtci*ian.  AfyfUfwy. and StaW.i!-!.
  4.1  B&aod upcu ooUal>or»itlv« t'Kiltx^, the
relative standaj'd devlavlou  (co^^lclent ot
variation) for  rlnslo ari*l7st variation  (r«-
p^.x.ratory
v»rlatlon (repnxiuclblllty of the tnethod) U
3.7 pervent. (3)
  4.3  Th» accuracy with wh'.eh the s».nH)ler
me&eurea  the  true avenv^e  conoenU-i'-lon
depends upon  the conetAncy of tfco alrliow
rat«  through tli« aampler. The Glrno1^  ret4 la
effected by the concentration end the  nature
of tho duat In tba *.tince In caches ryf  ±5O
poment of the tr;i« avers? c concentration, de-
pending on the amount oi reduction  of air-
flow  rmta ana on  the varie.Mon ot U>e ma»
ooncnufratlou of dust with time during the
24-hour sampling period. (4|
  8.  jt't^aratut.
  5.1  Sampling.
  6.1.1  5ampl.-.r.  The  spjnpler consists of
thr« unita:  (;.)  tr.e  fftArpl-Ate and  'ra«Ket.
(3) the fliui.- adapter aMrinbly, and (3) the
motor unit. FIRVT» Bl  shows an  exploded
view of them paru. their relationship to each
other,  end how they  ere  assembled.  The
sampler must be capable of pawing environ-
mental  air through  e  406.A cm.'  (03  In.1)
portion of e cloui 204 by SS.4 cm.  (8- by
10-ln.) glass-fiber filter et e  ra» of at  least
1.70 m.'/mln. (50 fl.'/mln.). The motor must
be capable of  continuous operation for 24-
hour  periods  with  Input  voltojjes  ranging
from  110 to 120 volu. 10-80  cycles alternat-
ing current and must have third-wire s»fety
ground. The   housing  for the  motor  unit
mey be of nay convenient construction so
lcn.3 as the unit remains eirtlKht and leak-
fr«. The life  of the sampler motor can be
extended by lowering the  voltage by about
10 percent with,  e small  "buck  or boost"
transformer between the sampler and power
outlet.
  8.1.2  Sampler  Shelter.  It Is  Important
that the sampler be properly Installed  In a
suitable *h«'.ter. The shelter Is subjected to
extremes of temperature, humidity, and R.I
types of air  pollutanu.  For these reasons
the materials  of the shelter  must be chosen
carefully. Properly painted exterior  plywood
or heavy f;auge aiumlnum  serve  well.  The
sampler muht  be mounted vertically In the
shelter so that the glas.«-flb«r filter Is paral-
lel  with the  ground. The shelter must h*
provided, with  a roof tn that  the filter 1» pro-
trcted from  precipitation and  debris.  Tne
Internal  a.-nni^Tncnt and configuration of
a suitable shfHfr with a gaMe roof are shown
in Figure 132 Ths clearance area between tin
mam  housing nnd  the roof at  its clr.srst
point  should  be 6805+133.8 cm.1 (00-30
ln.Jl. The main houMi-.g should b« rectangu-
lar, with dimensions ol about 29 by 36 cm.
 (ll'-i by 14 In.).
  S.I.3  Rntu/nrtrr.  Marked  In  arbitrary
units, frequently  o to 70.  and capable of
being calibrated. Other devices of at  levt
comparable accuracy msy be used.
                                   FCDHAl ItCISTEB, VOl. 56. NO. 64—FIIDAV, Arlll  30,  1971
                                                          87

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 8192
       RULES  AND REGULATIONS
  8.1.4  Ortfoe Calibration Volt. Consisting
ot » metal tube 7.« cm. (3 In.) ID and 1S.»
em.  (6V4 In.) loos with » «taue pressure tap
8.1 cm.  (3  In.) from on» end. Sao PlJUf*
B3 The tube end nearwit the preaaur* tap 1*
flanged to »bout 10.8 cm.  (4^4  In.) OO V.U21
a male thread of the eame nta* u tho UUet
end of the high-volume air (ampler. A single
metal pl«te 9.2 cm.  (3S In.) In diameter aid
O.M  cm.  (H» In.) thick with a central orifice
3.9 cm. (1H In.) In disaster U held In piaoe
at toe Mr Inlet end with a female threaded
ring. The other tni  of tho tube Is flanged to
hold a loose female threaded coupling, which
screws onto the Inlet of the sampler. An IB-
hole metal plate, an Integral put of the unit.
U positioned between the ortQce and sampler
to simulate the resistance of a clean g'.ois-
flbcr tlvr.  An orifice  calibration  unit  1*
shown In Figure B3.
  8.1.5  Differential nanometer. Capable of
measuring to  at least 40  cm. (16 In.)  of
water.
  6.1.8  Politic* Displacement  Meter.  Cali-
brated In cuble meten or cubic feet, to be
used as a primary standard.
  8.1.T  Barometer. Capable of measuring at-
mospheric pressure  to the nearest mm.
  6.2  AnolyiU.
  6.2.1  filter  Conditioning   Environment.
Balance  room  or  desiccator maintained at
16* to 36*C. and leu than 60 percent relative
humidity.
  6.2.2  Analytical  Balance. Equipped with
a weighing chamber designed to handle un-'
folded 30.3 by  2S.4  cm. (8- by  10-ln.) filter*
and  having  a  sensitivity of 0.1 mg.
  8.2.3  Light Source. Frequently a table of
the  type  u»«J to view  X-ray films.
  6.2.4  Numbering Device. Capable of print-
Ing Identification numbers on  the niters.
  6. Reagents.
  6.1  Filter Media.  Glass-fiber filter* having
a collection efficiency of  at lent 99 percent
for particles of 0.3 «m. diameter, as measured
by the DOP test, are suitable for the quanti-
tative measurement of concentrations of sus-
pended partlculatea. (5) although some oth«r
medium,  such as paper, may be desirable for
some analyses. If a more  detailed analysis Is
contemplated, care  must  be eiercUed to we
filters that contain  lov background concen-
trations of the pollutant belru; investigated.
Careful quality control Is required to deter-
mine background values of these pollutants.
   7. Procedure.
   7.1  Sampling.                         «
  7.1.1  Filter Preparation. Expose each filter
to the light source and Inspect for pLnholea,
particles, or other Imperfections, niters with
visible Imperfections should not be used. A
small brush Is useful for removing particles.
Equlllbrete  the Alien In the filter condition-
Ing  environment  for  24 hours. Weigh the
filters to  the nearest milligram; record tare
weight and filter Identification number.  Do
not  bend or fold the filter before collection
of the sample.
   7.1.2 Sample Collection. Open the shelter.
loosen the wing nute, and remove  the face-
plate from the filter holder. Install a num-
bered, prer.'elghed,  gla6&-nber niter In poal-
tlon  (rough tide up), replace  the faceplate
without   disturbing  the  niter, and  fasten
securely. Underllghtentng will allow air leak-
age, ovcrtlghtenln!!  will damage the sponge-
Irubber faceplate g:u>ket. A very light applica-
tion  of talcum powtlcr may be uned on the
sponge-rubber faceplate  frttncet to prevent
the  filter from sticking.  D\Lrlng inclement
weather the sampler may  be  removed to a
protected area  for  niter change. Clone the
roof of the shelter, run the s»-rr.pler for about
6 minutes, connect the  rctarnoter to the
nipple ftu the buck  of the sampler, aad read
the rotuneter bail with rotair.Qter In a verti-
cal position. Estlv.Me to tlu> noarejt whole
 nii:nh<.r.  If tli* ball Is fuictuatlna rapidly.
 tip  the  rotameter  and slowly  straighten it
 until the ball give* a constant reading. Dis-
 connect the rot«raetar from the nipple: re-
 cord the initial rotameter reading and  the
 startlnj time and date on toe Ultor folder.
 (The rotameter should nvrer be connected
 to tee t-ample? eicept vheu the fio-t.ls txlng
 artuured.) Sample for 34 hours from ni-.t-
 night to midnight and take a final rotorn»t«»
 reading. Record the fl.oal rotameter rowings
 and ending time snd date on tb* filter folder.
 Remove tee faceplate aa deaortbed above and
 carefully remove the filter from the holtSir.
 touching only thsyouter oddest. Fold the fli--er
 lengthwise so that only surfaces  with col-
 lected ptvrtlculatet ai« In contact, acd plac«
 In a marUltv folder.  Rword on the folder the
 filter number, location, end any otner factors,
 such aa meteorological conditions or razing
 of nearby building, that i3J;bt aCect  the
 reculU. If the sample Is d lectlvs, void it at
 this time. In  order  to obtain a valid sample,
 the high-volume sampler must  be operated
 with the  eame  rotameter and tubing that
 were uaed during Its calibration.
   7.2  Xnolvrn. Equilibrate  the exposed fil-
 ters for at hours In the  filter conditioning
 environment, then  rewelgh.  After  they are
 weighed, the filters  may be saved for detailed
 chemical analysis.
   7.3  Maintenance.
   7.3.1   Sampler Motor.  Replace   brushee
 before  they  are  worn  to the point where
 motor damage can occur.
   7.3.2   Face-plate Gasket. Replace when the
 .margin* of samples are no longer sharp. The
 gasket  may be  sealed  to the faceplate with
 rubber cement or double-sided adhesive tape.
   7.3.3   Rotameter. Clean as required, using
 alcohol.
   8. Calibration.
   8.1  Purpose,  since  only  a small portion
 of the  total air sampled passes through the
 rotameter during measurement, the rotam-
 eter must be calibrated against actual air-
 flow with  the orifice calibration unit. Before
 the orlnce calibration unit can be used to
 calibrate the rotameter, the orifice calibra-
 tion unit Itself must be calibrated against
 the positive displacement primary standard.
,  8.1.1   Orifice Calibration Unit. Attach the
 orlnce  calibration  unit to  the Intake er.l
 of tho  positive  displacement primary stand-
 ard and attach a high-volume motor blower
 unit to  the  exhauct end  of the  primary
 standard.  Connect  one end  of a differential
 manometer to  the  differential pressure tcp
 of the  orifice calibration unit and  leave the
 other end open to  the atmosphere. Operate
 the high-volume motor blower unit so that
 a series of different, but constant, airflows
 (usually six) are obtained for definite time
 periods. Record the reading on the dlfferen-
 tlal manometer at each alrSow. The different
 constant airflows are obtained by placing a
 series of loadplatea. one at  a time, between
 the calibration unit and the primary stand-
 ard. Placing  the orifice before the Inlet re-
 duces the pressure at the Inlet of the primary
 standard  below  atmouphetlc:  therefore,  a
 correction mu.it be  made  for the Increase In
 volume caused  by this decreased Inlet pres-
 sure. Attach one end of a second differential
 ruanamoter to  an Inlet pressure tap of the
 primary standard and leave  the other open
 to the  atmosphere.  During each of the con-
 stant  airflow  measurements made  above,
 measure  the  true  Inlet  pressure of  the
 . primary slumlord with this second differen-
 tial manometer.  Measure atmospheric pres-
 sure aucl temperature. Correct the measured
 air volume to true  air volume as directed In
 9.1.1.  then ob'.Mn  true airflow rate.  Q, u
 directed In 8.1.3. riot the differential manom-
 eter readings of the orinca unit vcnus Q.
   B.1.2  Hiv>i-vol\im» Sampler.  Assemble a
 hli;h-voluiLie sampler  with  a clean filler In
 place and run [or et leudt 6 ininuUas. Ait&ob
 a roUiniDter, re«J Ui,- ba.ll, adjust so UiM u>e
 boll reads OS. aiid aeal the  adjusting  mech-
anism so that It cannot b« changed easily.
Uhut off motor, remove the Blur, and attach
the orlflo* calibration  unit In Its  piaoe. Op-
erate  Ut* high-volume sampler at • aeries of
dlCenot. but oontUnt. airflow* (usually alz).
Record the  reading of the differential  ma-
nometer on the orlflo* calibration  unit, and
record the reading* of the rotameter at each
flow. UMiaure  atmospheric pressure and tem-
perature. Convert the differential manometer
reading to m.'/min., q, then plot rotameter
reading versus Q.
  8.!J  Correction /or DIfferencel in Preuur*
or Temperature. See Addendum B.
  0. Calculation*.
  9.1   Calibration of Orifice.
  9.1.1  True  Air  Volume. Calculate  the air
volume measured  by  the .positive displace-
ment primary standard.
   V. = True air volume at atmospheric prea-
 —      sure, m.1
   P. = Barometric pressure, mm. Hg.
  P. = Pressure drop  at Inlet of  primary
         standard, mm. Hg.
  Vy= Volume measured by primary stand-
         ard, m.'
        Conoertion foe tort.
  Inchea Hg.x35.4=mm. Hg.
  Inohw water x 73.48 x 10-'= Inches Rg.
  Cubic feat air x 0.0284 = cubic meters air.
  B'.l.S  True Airflow Rate.

                      V.
  Q=rTow rate, m.'/mln.
  T=Tune of now, mln.
  9.2  Sample Volume.
  8.2.1  Volume Conversion. Convert the Ini-
tial  and  final rotameter  readings to true
airflow  rate, Q, using calibration curve of
812
  9.2.3  Calculate volume of air lamplet
               V=-:
                        XT
  ' V = Air volume sampled, m.*
  Qi = Initial airflow rate. m.Vmln.
  Q> = Ptn&l airflow rate, m.'/mln.
   T= Sampling time, mln.
  9.3  Calculate  molt concentration of im-
pended particulatej

                 (W«-W.)X10*
           S.P.= -
              concentration  of  suspended
          partlculatea, «g/m.*
   Wi = Initial weight of niter, g.
   Wi = Final weight of filter, g.
    V = Air volume sampled, m.*
   10" = Conversion of g. to Mg.
   10. Reference!.
 (1) Robson,  C.  D.,  and  Poater, ,K.  B.,
      "Evaluation of  Air Paniculate  sam-
      pling  Equipment",  Am.   Irut.  Hyg.
      Aiaoc. J. 24. 404 (1M3).
 (2) Tlerney,  O.  P.,  and  Conner.  W.  D.,
      "Hygroscopic Ertecta on Weight Deter-
      minations of Partloulates Collected on
      aiass-Flber yiltera".  Am.  tnd.  Hyg.
      AiSOC. J. 21, 333 (1807).
 (J) Unpublished data based on a collabora-
      tive  teat Involving  12  pnrttclpants.
      conducted under the direction of the
      Methods Standardization Cervices .Sec-
      tion of the National Air Pollution Con-
      trol Administration, October,  1870.
 (<) Harrison. W.  K.. Nader. J. 8., and rug-
      man, P. 8., "Constant Flow  Regulator*
      .for High- Volume Air Sampler", Am.
      fiut. Hyp. X«»oc. J. II. 114-120 (1940).
                                     FEDERAL IEOISTEI, VOl.  J6,  NO. 14—rllDAV. ANIL 30, 1971
                                                                      88

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    AN IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED
PARTICULATE MATTER  IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
       TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT #2
    EMISSION INVENTORIES AND PROJECTIONS
                 By:   R.  L. Tan
                      R.  Y. Wada

                  Prepared For
       Environmental  Protection Agency
     Region IX -  San.Francisco, California
a                        TRANSPORTATION AND
                       ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
                       PERATIONS

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    AN  IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED
PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
       TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT  #2
    EMISSION  INVENTORIES AND PROJECTIONS
               By:  R. L. Tan
                    R. Y. Wada

                Prepared For
       Environmental Protection Agency
     Region  IX - San Francisco, California
      TRW/,
a  TRANSPORTATION AND
 ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
, PER AT IONS

-------
DISCLAIMER
     This report was furnished to the Environmental  Protection Agency
by TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations in fulfillment of
Contract Number 68-02-1384.   The contents of this report are reproduced
herein as received from the contractor.   The opinions, findings, and
conclusions are those of TRW and not necessarily those of the Environ-
mental Protection Agency.  Mention of company or product names does not
constitute endorsement by the Environmental  Protection Agency.

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                             TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                   Page

1.0  INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY  	   1
2.0  1972 EMISSION INVENTORY FOR THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES
     AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION   .	19
     2.1  Sources of Data	19
     2.2  Policies and Assumptions	20
          2.2.1  Air Pollution Control  District Inventories  .   .   20
          2.2.2  National Emissions  Data System (NEDS) Inventory.   21
          2.2.3  Stationary Source NO  Emissions    	   21
                                     /\
          2.2.4  Motor Vehicle Emission Factors for Exhaust
                 Particulates  	   22
          2.2.5  Motor Vehicle Emission Factors for Gaseous
                 Precursors	22
          2.2.6  Aircraft Emissions   	   22
          2.2.7  Suspended Particulate Inventory	   22
          2.2.8  The 4-County Sub-Area	23
          2.2.9  Hydrocarbon Reactivity Factors  	   23
     2.3  1972 Inventory of Particulate Matter Emissions  .  .   .   24
          2.3.1  Stationary Sources   	   27
          2.3.2  Gasoline-Powered Motor Vehicles-Exhaust
                 Particulates  	   28
          2.3.3  Other Mobile Source Particulate Emissions   .   .   32
     2.4  Inventory of Gaseous Precursor Emissions  	   33
          2.4.1  Stationary Sources   	   33
          2.4.2  Motor Vehicle Emissions   	   33
     2.5  Locational  Considerations   	   37
     2.6  Present Control Program for Stationary Source
          Emissions	48
3.0  EMISSION  PROJECTIONS  	   53
     3.1  Sources of Data	53
          3.1.1  Stationary Sources  and Aircraft 	   53
          3.1.2  Motor Vehicles	54
          3.1.3  Uncontrolled Vehicles   	   55
                                   iii

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS
                          (continued)
                                                             Page
3.2  Policies and Assumptions  ..........    55
3.3  Emission Inventory Projection Under Present
     Controls   ..............       60
     3.3.1  Petroleum Industry Emissions   ......    60
     3.3.2  Organic Solvent Users .........    60
     3.3.3  Chemical, Metallurgical and Mineral   ....    61
     3.3.4  Agriculture and Incineration   ......    62
     3.3.5  Steam Electric Power Plant Fuel Combustion
            Emissions .............    62
     3,3.6  Domestic and Commercial Fuel Combustion  ...    65
     3.3.7  Other Industrial Fuel Combustion   .....    66
     3.3.8  Aircraft Emissions ...  .......    75
     3.3.9  Mobile Source Projection  (other than Aircraft).    QQ
3.4. Projected Emission Inventory Under EPA Promulgated
     Controls   ...........  .....    Q
 3.5   Projected Emission  Inventory Summary Table   ....   81
 3.6   Discussion  ...............   90
APPENDIX A:  LOCAL AGENCY EMISSION INVENTORIES    ....   A-l
APPENDIX B:  SUMMARY OF RECENT CHANGES IN LOCAL RULES
             AND REGULATIONS   ..........   B-l
APPENDIX C:  MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS ESTIMATION
             PROCEDURE   .....  .......   C-l
APPENDIX D:  LOW LEAD AND UNLEADED GASOLINE   .....   D-l
APPENDIX E:  CATALYTIC MUFFLERS   .........   E-l

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                             LIST OF TABLES





Table                                                              Page
1-1
1-2
1-3
1-4
1-5
1-6
1-7
1-8
1-9
1-10
2-1
2-2
2-3
2-4
2-5
2-6
2-7
2-8
2-9
1972 Emission Inventory Summary - Entire Air Basin .
1972 Emission Inventory Summary - Four County Area .
1977 Emission Inventory Summary for the Entire Air
Basin Under Present Controls 	 ....
1977 Emission Inventory Summary for the Entire Air
Basin Under the EPA Oxidant Plan 	
1977 Emission Inventory Summary for the Four County
Sub-Area Under Present Controls 	
1977 Emission Inventory Summary for the Four County
Sub-Area Under the EPA Oxidant Plan 	
1980 Emission Inventory Summary for the Entire Air
Basin Under Present Controls 	
1980 Emission Inventory Summary for the Entire Air
Basin Under EPA Oxidant Plan 	
1980 Emission Inventory Summary, for the Four County
Sub-Area Under Present Controls 	
1980 Emission Inventory Summary for the Four County
Sub-Area Under the EPA Oxidant Plan 	
Alternative Hydrocarbon Reactivity Assumptions
1972 Parti cul ate Matter Inventory 	
Power Plant Emissions 	
Suspension Factors for Particulate Emissions ....
Automotive Exhaust Particulate Emissions Factors .
Vehicle Population and VMT Distribution as of June, 1.972
Inventory of Gaseous Precursors 	
South Coast Basin Rules Summary 	
Percentage Control of Stationary Sources in the South
Coast Air Basin 	
2
3
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
24
?S
27
29
30
31
35
50
52

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                             LIST OF TABLES
                               (continued)
Table                                                              Page
 3-1      Summary of Assumptions Used for Baseline Data  (1972)
         . Projections to 1977 and 1980	57

 3-2      Projected Emissions of Particulates,  NO   and S0?
          from SCE Steam Electric Plants  in the BSsin   ....    63

 3-3      Generating Capacities  of SCE (in the  Air Basin),
          DWP and GPB	63

 3-4      Electric Generating Capacity Ratios  	   63

 3-5      Projected Emissions from Steam  Electric  Plants  in
          the Air Basin	65

 3-6      Pacific Lighting  Companies  Natural Gas Usage Pre-
          dictions 	68

 3-7      Long Beach Natural  Gas Predictions	68

 3-8      Breakdown of 1973 SC Gas Company Sales in Air Basin    .   69

 3-9      Breakdown of 1973 Pacific Lighting Companies Sales
          to Air Basin Portion of SC  Gas	69

 3-10     Summary of Pacific  Lighting Companies  Breakdown of
          Sales to Southern California Gas Company	70

 3-11      Projection of Firm  Sales in the Air Basin from  SC
          Gas and Long Beach	71

 3-12     Projection of Interruptible Sales  in  the Air Basin
          from SC Gas and Long Beach	71

 3-13     Firm and Interruptible Gas  Sales Projection  in  the
          Air Basin	72

 3-14     Projected Emissions from Domestic and  Commercial Fuel
          Combustion	73

 3-15     Projected Emissions from Industrial Fuel Combustion.   .   73

 3-16     Emission Factors  for Natural  Gas Combustion  ....   74

 3-17     Airports in the Air Basin	77
                                   VI

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                            LIST OF TABLES
                               (continued)
Table                                                            Page
3-18
3-19
3-20
3-21
3-22
3-23
3-24

3-25

3-26

3-27

3-28

3-29

3-30

3-31

3-32

3-33

3-34

Los Angeles County Aircraft Emissions 	
Orange County Aircraft Emissions 	
Riverside County Aircraft Emissions 	
San Bernardino County Aircraft Emissions 	
Santa Barbara County Aircraft Emissions 	
Ventura County Aircraft Emissions 	
1977 Inventory of Particulate Emissions Under Present
Controls 	
1977 Inventory of Gaseous Precursor Emissions Under
Present Controls 	
1977 Inventory of Particulate Emissions Under the EPA
Oxidant Control Plan 	
1977 Inventory of Gaseous Precursor Emissions Under
the EPA Oxidant Control Plan 	
1980 Inventory of Particulate Emissions Under Present
Controls 	
1980 Inventory of Gaseous Precursor Emissions Under
Present Controls 	
1980 Inventory of Particulate Emissions Under the EPA
Oxidant Control Plan 	
1980 Inventory of Gaseous Precursor Emissions Under
EPA Oxidant Control Plan 	
Entire Air Basin Summary Inventory Under Present
Controls 	 .
Entire Air Basin Summary Inventory Under EPA Oxidant
Control Plan 	
4-County Sub-Area Summary Inventory Under Present
Controls 	
78
78
78
79
79
79

82

83

84

85

86

87

88

89

91

91

92
                                  vn

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                             LIST OF TABLES
                               (continued)
Table                                                              Page-


 3-35     4-County Sub-Area Summary Inventory Under EPA Oxidant
          Control  Plan	     92

 A-l       1972 Emissions, Los Angeles  County Portion of the
          South Coast Basin   .	A-2

 A-2       1972 Emissions, All Counties of the South Coast Air
          Basin	     A-4

 C-l       LARTS VMT	     C-4

 C-2       Los Angeles Basin Gasoline Vehicle Emissions  Per
          Million  (VMT)		     C-5

 C-3       Los Angeles Basin Gasoline Vehicle Emissions    .   .   .     C-5

 D-l       Vehicle  Age Distribution in  the Air Basin   ....     D-3

 D-2       Vehicle  Age Distribution in  the Air Basin in  1977  .   .     D-3

 D-3       Vehicle  Age Distribution in  Air Basin  in  1980  .   .   .     D-3

 E-l       Particulate Emissions  from New Cars Equipped  with
          Catalytic Mufflers  	     E-3

 E-2       Particulate Emission Factors from  Old  Cars Retrofitted
          with Catalytic Mufflers    	     E-3
                                  vm

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                             LIST OF FIGURES
                                                                Page
1-1     Particulate Emissions in the Entire Los Angeles
        Basin	   15
1-2     Gaseous Precursor Emissions in the Entire Los Angeles
        Air Basin	   16
1-3     Particulate Emissions in the Four County Sub-Area. .  .   17
1-4     Gaseous Precursor Emissions in the Four County Sub-
        Area	    18
r-1     Topographical  Reference Map for the Metropolitan
        Los Angeles AQCR	    38
2-2     Power Plant Density Map	    39
2-3     Petroleum Refinery Density Map	    40
2-4     Industry Density Map	    41
2-5     Vehicle Miles  Traveled Density Map	    42
2-6     Aircraft Activity Density Map 	    43
2-7     Particulate Emissions Density Map 	    44
2-8     Reactive Hydrocarbon Emission Density Map 	    45
2-9     Sulfur Oxides  Emission Density Map	    46
2-10    Nitrogen Oxides Emission Density Map	    47

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                        1.0   INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY

     .Under contract to the Environmental Protection Agency, TRW
Environmental Services has developed a particulate implementation plan
for  the Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region.  Speci-
fically, TRW has investigated strategies for approaching and achieving ,
the  National Ambient Air Quality Standards (MAAQS) for particulates in
the  Los Angeles Region.  The present report, which compiles and projects
emission inventories for the Los Angeles Region, is the second of four
technical support documents associated with the project.
     Several types of emissions are relevant to pollution by airborne
particles, (alternatively called aerosol  or particulate pollution).  This
report compiles emission inventories for both primary particulates (emitted
as particles) as well  as for gaseous precursors of secondary particulates
(formed in the atmosphere by the chemical-physical  transformation of gases).
For primary particulates a further distinction is made between total
emissions and the fraction of the total that tends  to remain suspended.
Tables 1-1  and 1-2 summarize the emission inventories for the 1972 base
year.  Breakdowns by source category are given for total particulates,
suspended particulates, and gaseous precursors (reactive hydrocarbons,
nitrogen oxides, and sulfur oxides).  Table 1-1 is  for the entire air
basin.  Table 1-2 presents results for the four county sub-area, (Los
Angeles, Orange, San Bernardino, and Riverside counties), where the highest
values of atmospheric particulate tend to occur (see Report #1).
     The emission inventories have been projected to 1977 and 1980,
target years for control  strategy formulation.  The projections have
been made by a study of individual  source categories; included in the
analysis are factors such as source growth rate, source attrition,
scheduled control  implementation, and changes in process or fuel  type.
Two scenarios have been considered: (1) controls presently scheduled by
County APCD's and the federal  new car control program, and (2)  the above

                                     1

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      TABLE 1-1. 1972 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY - ENTIRE AIR BASIN
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Agricultural

Stationary Source Total

Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships & Railroads
Miscellaneous (Motor-
   cycles, off-road,etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear

Mobile Source Total
Total
Parti-
culates
1%
• 7
*
5
13
1
20
3
50%
25%
1
2
7
1
2
13
50%
Suspended
Parti-
culates
1%
7
*
6
13
1
24
4
56%
23%
1
2
8
1
2
7
44%
so2
12%
-
20
3
1
-
49
-
85%
8%
-
2
2
3
-
-
15%
NOX
5%
-
-
-
-
-
22
-
27%
55%
2
9
1
2
4
-
73%
RHC
6%
4
-
-
-
-
-
1
11%
75%
3
1
1
-
8
-
89%
Total Inventory
250 tons/  213 tons/  492 tons/ 1423 tons/ 1155 tons/
     day        day        day        day        day
*Emissions are included under the organic solvent category.

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     TABLE  1-2.  1972  EMISSION  INVENTORY  SUMMARY  -  FOUR COUNTY AREA
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Agricultural

Stationary Source Total
Total
Parti -
culates
1%
8
*
6
5
1
21
1
Suspended
Parti -
culates
2%
9
*
7
6
1
25
1
S02 NOX
13% 5%
-
22
3
-
-
46 20
_ _
RHC
6%
4
-
-
-
-
-
_
 43%
51%
84%
25%
10%
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships & Railroads
Miscellaneous, (Motor-
   cycles, off-road, etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear

Mobile Source Total
28%
1
2
7 '
1
3
15
57%
27%
-
2
8
-
3
9
49%
9%
-
2
3
2
-
-
16%
56%
2
9
1
2
5
-
75%
76%
3
1
1
-
8
-
90%
Total Inventory
211 tons/  178 tons/  444 tons/ 1345  tons/ 1094 tons/
     day        day        day        day        day
*Emissions are included under the organic solvent category.

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controls plus the effect of the EPA implementation plan that has been
promulgated for the oxidant air quality standard.   Tables 1-3 through 1-10
present the projected emissions for both scenarios and for both the entire
air basin and the Four County sub-area.  Figures 1.3 and 1.4 illustrate
the emission projections for primary particulates  and gaseous aerosol
precursors in the Four County sub-area while Figures 1.1 and 1.2 are
projections for the entire basin.
1.1  OUTLINE OF SUPPORT DOCUMENT #2
     This report is organized in three sections.  The present section
serves as a general introduction and provides a summary of the major results.
Section 2 deals with the compilation of the 1972 base year inventory.
Section 3 provides the projections to 1977  and 1980.
     The compilation and projection of  comprehensive emission inventories
is a task involving considerable uncertainty for virtually every single
source category.  In many cases, two or more conflicting emissions  estimates
may result from different, reasonable estimation procedures.  Often, avail-
able information is not sufficient to assess the confidence level of one
estimate as opposed to another.  Thus, the  need for broad guidelines in this
regard was recognized, and a set of policies to be used during the  course of
this study was assembled.  The policies employed and the assumptions made
concerning the base year inventory of particulate  matter and gaseous precur-
sor emissions are described in Section 2.2  of this report.  An analogous
description of policies and assumptions used for the projected inventories
is contained in Section 3.2.
     A unique feature of the inventory presented here is the preparation
of maps indicating the geographical distribution of source types and total
emissions.  The maps presented in Section 2.5 are  pertinent to the
locational aspects of control strategy formulation.
1.2  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
     The emission inventory and projection  analysis for the Los Angeles
Region has resulted in the following conclusions and recommendations:

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Conclusions
        Numerous alternative data sources  are available  for compiling
        the 1972 base year inventory of primary suspended particulates,
        S02, NOX, and RHC for the Los Angeles Region.  Conflict often
        exists among the various data sources; this  is an indication of
        the uncertainties in emission data.   Presently,  the most
        appropriate way to construct an emission inventory for imple-
        mentation planning is to use many  sources of data, picking  the
        most reliable sources for each inventory category.

        Data are not available for compiling an RHC  inventory  based
        on the aerosol forming potential of  organic  gases.  For the
        purposes of this study, an RHC inventory based on oxidant
        reactivity seems more appropriate  than a total hydrocarbon
        inventory.

        The size distribution of particulate emissions from various
        sources is not well  documented.  However, estimates of the
        fraction of particles below 10 microns for various sources
        are available so that suspended particulate  emissions  can be
        distinguished in an  approximate way  from total particulate
        emissions.

        Motor vehicles are the major source  of RHC and NOX emissions
        in the 1972 base year inventory for  the Los  Angeles Region.
        Motor vehicles and stationary source fuel combustion account
        for most of the suspended particulate emissions.   Stationary
        fuel combustion, the chemical  industry, petroleum refineries,
        and motor vehicles are respectively  the most important sources
        of S02.

        The forecasted substitution of fuel  oil for  natural  gas in
        many stationary combustion sources and the scheduled controls
        for motor vehicles are the two most  significant  factors affect-
        ing emission projections for 1977  and 1980 in the Los  Angeles
        Region.  Due to the  increased use  of fuel oil, total emissions
        of suspended particulates, SOp and NOX will  increase from 1972
        to 1977 with present control  policies.   The  motor vehicle
        control program will significantly reduce regional RHC emissions
        in 1977 and 1980; it will  also reverse the upward trend in  NOX
        emissions,  (leading  to a decrease  between 1977 and 1980).
        Stationary combustion will be the  largest single source of
        suspended particulates and S02 in  1980 and will  nearly equal
        motor vehicles as an NOX contributor.

        The EPA oxidant implementation plan  results  in significantly
        low RHC emissions than present control  policy.   The EPA oxidant
        plan also achieves very slight reductions in particulate and
        SOp emissions.  However, the catalytic converter retrofit called
        for by the EPA plan, (as well  as the new car catalytic converters),
        will result in the emission of sulfuric acid mist from motor

-------
        vehicles.   The latter can be controlled by desulfurization
        of motor fuels or by S02 scrubber/particulate trap retrofits.

     •  Large scale emission density maps reveal  that RHC, NOX,  and
        (to some extent) participate emissions are distributed in a
        way similar to population and motor vehicle traffic within the
        Los Angeles Region.   An emission density map for SC^ indicates
        the importance of very localized sources for that pollutant.

Recommendations

     •  Efforts to update emission information for both mobile and
        stationary sources should be supported.  Further documen-
        tation is  needed to  reduce uncertainties concerning both
        source growth rates  and source emission factors.

     •  Of special importance to particulate air quality studies
        is the need for RHC  emission inventories based on the
        aerosol forming reactivity of organic gases.   Also of
        importance is information on the size distribution of
        particulates from various sources.   Further effort should
        be made to generate  data pertinent  to these two issues.

     •  The severe air pollution problem in the Los Angeles Region
        will  be significantly aggravated by the forecasted sub-
        stitution  of fuel oil for natural gas in many stationary
        combustion sources.   It is recommended that national
        allocation of clean  fuels, such as  natural gas, be per-
        formed with strong consideration given to air quality
        impacts in various regions.

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               TABLE 1-3.  1977 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE
                           ENTIRE AIR BASIN UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS
     Source               Total
     Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
 Domestic & Commercial
 Industrial
 Power Plants
Agriculture                 3
    Stationary Source
    Total                  57%
              Suspended
Parti culates
1%
6
-
4
11
1
4
14
13
Parti culates
1%
6
-
5
11
1
4
16
15
S09
'C.
10%
-
2
2
1
-
17
56
NO
X
4%
-
-
-
-
-
4
33
9
RHC
10%
6
-
-
-
-
-
                 62%
           88%    50%    17%
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad,
   etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
    Mobile Source
    Total
19%
-
1
10
16%
1
1
11
  2
 11

 43%
  2
  6

 38%
  7%    34%    60%
         1       3
  282
  1       2       5
  2      1


         4      13
 12%    50%    83%
    Total Inventory
321
tons/day
277
tons/day
591   1742
tons/  tons/
day    day
798
tons/day

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TABLE 1-4.   1977 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE
            ENTIRE AIR BASIN UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT PLAN
Source
Category
Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
FuelCombustio.n
Domestic and Commerci
Industrial
Power Plants
Agriculture
Stationary Source
Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
(Motorcycles, off road
etc.)
Total
Parti culates
1%
6
-
4
12
1

al 4
15
14
3
60%
14%
-
2
-
10
9
2
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear 12
Mobile Source
Total
Total Inventory
40%
301
tons/
day
Suspended
Particulates
1%
6
-
5
12
1

4
16
15
4
64%
14%
-
2
-
11
2
7
36%
266
tons/
day
so2
L
10%
-
2
2
1
-

17
56
-
88%
6%
-
2
3
1

-
12%
585
tons/
day
—x
4%
-
-
-
-
-

4
33
9
-
50%
34%
1
8
1
2
4
-
50%
1742
tons/
day
RHC
< 3%
6
-
-
-
-

-
1
10%
60%
4
2
-
7
17
-
90%
591
ton
day

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        TABLE 1-5.  1977 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE FOUR
                    COUNTY SUB-AREA UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
   Total
Particulates
                                        Suspended
Agricultural
    Stationary Source
    Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
   (Motorcycles, offroad,
    etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
      Mobile Source
      Total

      Total Inventory
     5
     4
     1
   Domestic and Commercial  4
   Industrial              16
   Power Plants            13
     1

    51%

    21%
     1
     2
    10
    13

    49%

   273
   tons/
    day
Particul
1%
7
-
6
5
1
5
18
15
1
59%
19%
-
2
11
-
2
7
41%
233
tons/
day
ates SO?
11%
-
2
3
-
-
18
53
-
87%
8%
-
2
1
2
-
-
13%
530
tons/
day
NOx
4%
-
-
-
-
-
4
32
8
-
48%
35%
2
8
2
1
4
-
52%
1614
tons/
day
RHC
10%
6
-
-.
-
-
-
-
16%
62%
3
2
4
-
13
-
84%
741
tons/
day

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               TABLE 1-6.  1977 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE FOUR
                           COUNTY SUB-AREA UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT PLAN
                            Total
            Suspended
Source Category
Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Particulates
1%
7
-
5
5
1

Domestic and Commercial 4
Industrial 17
Power Plants 14
Agricultural
Stationary Source
Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
(Motorcycles, offroad
1
55%
15%
1
2
10
-
3
9
Particulates
1%
7
-
5
5
1

5
19
15
1
59%
15%
1
2
11
-
3
S02
11%
-
2
3
-
-

19
53
-
88%
7%
-
2
1
2
-
NOx
4%
-
-
-
-
-

4
32
8
-
48%
36%
1
8
2
1
4
RHC
3%
6
-
-
-
-

™"
-
9%
62%
5
3
2
-
18
   etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear      14

     Mobile Source
     Total                   45%
               41%
          12%
52%    91%
     Total Inventory
254
tons/
 day
223      524  .1614    547
tons/    tons/  tons/  tons/
 day      day    day    day
                                    10

-------
        TABLE 1-7.  1980 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE
                    ENTIRE .AIR BASIN UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical                 4
Mineral                      11
Incineration                  1
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial     4
  Industrial                 12
  Power Plants               13
Agricultural                  3
     Stationary Source
     Total                   55%

Light Duty Vehicles          15%
Heavy Duty Vehicles           1
Diesel                        1
Aircraft                     13
Ships and Railroads           1
Miscellaneous                 2
  (Motorcycles, offroad,
   etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear      12
     Mobile Source
     Total                   45%

     Total Inventory        330
                            tons/
                             day
    Total       Suspended
Particulates

      1%
      6
Parti culates
1%
6
-
5
12
1
4
14
•14
3
60%
14%
1
1
15
1
2
6
40%
289
tons/
day
S02
9%
-
2
3
1
-
15
57
-
87%
7%
-
2
2
2
-
-
13%
605
tons/
day
MX
4%
-
-
-
-
-
4
34
10
-
52%
28%
1
9
3
2
5
-
48%
1552
tons/
day
RHC
14%
8
-
-
-
-
-
1
23%
48%
3
2
9
-
17
-
77%
634
tons/
day
                                   11

-------
         TABLE 1-8  1980 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE ENTIRE
                    AIR BASIN UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT PLAN
Source Category


Petroleum

Organic Solvent

Chemical

Metallurgical

Mineral

Incineration
Fuel Combustion

  Domestic and Commercial
  Industrial
  Power Plants

Agricultural
     Stationary Source
     Total
    Total
Particulates
 Suspended
Particulates  S02
        NO,
       RHC
1%
6
-
4
12
1
1 4
13
13
1%
6
-
5
12
1
4
14
15
1 0% 4%
-
2
2
2
-
4
15 33
57 10
5%
8
-
-
-
-

-
-
     57%
     61%
Light Duty Vehicles

Heavy Duty Vehicles

Diesel

Aircraft

Ships and Railroads

Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad,
   etc.)

Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
12%
1
2
14
-
3
12%
1
2
15
-
2
6%
-
2
2
2
..
28%
1
9
4
2
2
43%
4
3
12
-
24
     11
     Mobile Source
     Total
     43%
     39%
12%
49%    86%
     Total Inventory
    316
    tons/
     day
    283      601    1552    458
    tons/    tons/   tons/  tons/
     day      day     day    day
                                   12

-------
TABLE 1-9.  1980 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY  FOR THE  FOUR
            COUNTY SUB-AREA UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS
                    Total        Suspended
Source Category
Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Domestic and Commerci
Industrial
Power Plants
Agricultural
Stationary Source
Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
(Motorcycles, off road
etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
Mobile Source
Total
Total Inventory
Parti culates
1%
7
-
5
4
-

al 4
14
13
1
49%
17%
1
2
14
1
3
5
13
51%
278
tons/
day
Particulates
1%
7
-
6
5
1

5
16
14
1
56%
16%
1
2
15
1
2
7
44%
240
tons/
day
SO?
11%
-
2
3
-
-

17
54
-
87%
7%
-
2
2
2

-
13%
540
tons/
day
                                                     NO
                                                     5%
                                                     4
                                                    32
                                                    10
                                                    29%
                                                     1
                                                    10
                                                     3
                                                     1
                                                     5
 RHC

13%
 8
                                                    51%     21%
49%
 3
 3
 6

18
                                                   49%    79%

                                                  1434    567
                                                  tons/  tons/
                                                   day    day
                          13

-------
      TABLE 1-10.  1980 EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY FOR THE FOUR
                   COUNTY SUB-AREA UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT PLAN
Source Category
   Total
Particulates
 Suspended
Particulates
NO
Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Domestic and Commercial
Industrial
Power Plants
Agricultural
Stationary Source
Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesel
Aircraft
Ships and Railroads
Miscellaneous
(Motorcycles, off road,
etc.)
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
Mobile Source
Total
Total Inventory


T%
7
-
5
4
1

5
15
13
1

52%
13%
1
2
14
1
3


14

48%
265
tons/
day
1%
7
-
6
5
1

5
17
15
1

58%
14%
1
2
15
-
3


7

42%
233
tons/
day
11%
-
2
3
-
-

_
17
55
-

88%
6%
-
2
2
2
-


-

12%
535
tons,
day
                                                              5%
RHC
                                                                     8
4
32
10
51%
28%
1
10
3
2
5
-
12%
46%
4
4
9
25
_
                                                             49%    88%


                                                           1434    410
                                                            tons/  tons/
                                                             day    day
                                   14

-------
   400 r
I
•^
to
z
o
              TOTAL,  PRESENT  CONTROLS


              TOTAL,  EPA CONTROLS


              SUSPENDED, PRESENT CONTROLS


              SUSPENDED, EPA CONTROLS
   200
          1972
1977
1980
               Figure 1.1  Particulate Emissions in the

                           Entire Los Angeles Basin
                                  15

-------
oo
•z.
o
1200


1000


 800


 600


 400


 200 +


   0
                                                 PRESENT CONTROLS


                                                 EPA CONTROLS
                1972
                               1977
                                     1980
 x S
        1700-r



        1600 --
   o  1500 4-
        1400 -4-



           n  1	
                1972
                               1977
                                                 PRESENT AND EPA CONTROLS
                                     1980
 CM Q
O  ^-~

-------
I
GO
•z.
o
      300-r
      250-•
      200 --
              TOTAL,  PRESENT  CONTROLS

              TOTAL,  EPA CONTROLS

               SUSPENDED, PRESENT CONTROLS

               SUSPENDED, EPA CONTROLS
      150
             1972
1977
1980
               Figure 1.3  Particulate Emissions in the Four-
                         ... County Sub Area
                                   17

-------

          1200"


          1000 ••


           800 ••


           600--


           400 ••


           200 ••


            0  -
                                         PRESENT CONTROLS

                                         EPA CONTROLS
                 1972
                          1977
 1980
  OO
  z
  o
-

          16004-
1500--
          1400..
                  1972
 600--





 400 -•





 200 ••


   0
                          1977
                                                   EPA AND PRESENT CONTROLS
1980
                                                  PRESENT CONTROLS

                                                  EPA CONTROLS
                                         i	I
                 1972
                          1977
1980
                  Figure 1.4  Gaseous  Precursor  Emissions
                              in the  Four-County Sub Area
                                  18

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            2.0  1972 EMISSION INVENTORY FOR THE METROPOLITAN
                    LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION
     Previously compiled inventories of pollutant emissions for the
Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR are contained in the 1970 California Air
Resources Board Emission Inventory ; the technical support document for
                                           2
the Los Angeles transportation control plan , and the Los Angeles
                                3
episode contingency plan report.   These inventories were examined and
found to be inappropriate for direct application to the present task.
Stationary source information is required on a much more detailed level
than has been reported in the previous documents.  Further, a common
reporting basis must be developed for the base year inventory, the pro-
jected inventory, and the controlled inventory indicating effectiveness
of the specific control techniques under consideration.  The more detailed
inventory reported here incorporates the results of a variety of studies
performed in this area.
2.1  SOURCES OF DATA
     Aggregated data concerning stationary source emissions were obtained
from the six County Air Pollution Control Districts having jurisdiction
in the Los Angeles Region.  Data concerning plant-by-plant emissions
from point sources emitting greater than 100 tons/year of any or all
pollutants were obtained through the EPA's National Emissions Data System
(NEDS), as well as from the authors of that data, Pacific Environmental
Services, Inc. of Santa Monica, California.  In addition to the "100 ton"
NEDS inventory, a similar inventory of smaller emitters in the 25 to 100
ton per year category was obtained from Pacific Environmental Services;
this latter inventory covered the Los Angeles County area only.
     A third source of data concerning present stationary source emissions
was a special preliminary inventory of nitrogen oxides emissions from
stationary sources in the entire air basin, prepared by KVB Engineering,
Inc. for the California Air Resources Board.  Finally, both present and
projected emission of S09, NO , and particulate matter are available from
                        c    X
Southern California Edison for its power plants.
     Several sources of information were consulted during the preparation
of the mobile source inventory.  The County APCD's routinely prepare
                                    19

-------
 inventories  for mobile sources in addition to stationary sources.
 Unfortunately, the techniques used by the various districts are not
 uniform,  and, in the case of gasoline powered motor vehicles, emission
 factors used by the APCD's are in direct conflict with officially
                               4
 published EPA emission factors.
     Thus, while the APCD's are the primary source of information in the
 stationary source area, alternative sources of information do exist in
 the area  of mobile source emissions.  Here, calculations are performed
 for emissions of S09, NO , and reactive hydrocarbons from light and
                   C.    A
 heavy duty motor vehicles using published EPA emission factors.
     In the case of particulate emissions from motor vehicles, alternative
 emission  factors were developed specifically for use in the present study.
 Finally,  estimates of emissions of hydrocarbons and NOV from motorcycles
                                                      /\
 and off-road engines (tractors, lawn mowers, chain saws, etc.) were
 obtained  from a study performed for EPA by Automotive Environmental
 Systems,  Inc(AESi).6
 2.2  POLICIES AND ASSUMPTIONS
     Inherent in any attempt to compile and reconcile data from a
 multitude of sources using a multitude of different estimation techniques
 is the necessity of establishing both generalized policies as well  as
 specific  assumptions in order to reduce the task to manageable proportions.
 This section is devoted to the documentation of these key points in  order
 that the  resulting inventory may be properly interpreted.
 2.2.1  Air Pollution Control  District Inventories
     The  principal  function of the County APCD's is the control  of
 stationary source emissions.   To this end, the Los Angeles APCD maintains
 a separate full-time staff responsible for the inventory and control of
 each source sub-category.  Since no other agency is presently in a
 position  to acquire and maintain such information, the L.A.  APCD in  most
 cases remains the ultimate source of information regarding stationary source
emissions  in Los  Angeles  County.   APCD's in the neighboring counties of
Orange, San Bernardino, Ventura,  Riverside, and Santa Barbara are likewise
 in the best position to assess the emissions from stationary sources with-
in their jurisdictions.
                                    20

-------
     Thus, a general guideline established early in the development of this
inventory was that the stationary source inventories developed by the APCD's
would be accepted unless a better alternative could be demonstrated.
2.2.2  National Emissions Data System (NEDS) Inventory
     The use of NEDS inventory data was rejected for the present study
due to its presently incomplete nature.   An inventory of sources
emitting more than 100 tons per year of pollutants was obtained from EPA,
while an inventory of sources emitting between 25 and 100 tons per year of
pollutants in Los Angeles County only was obtained from Pacific
Environmental Services, Inc.   Unfortunately, o.nly 40% of the total
stationary source emissions of particulate matter was accounted for by the
100 ton per year inventory.  Thus, it was apparent that a large fraction
of the particulate emissions  came from small sources.  Since the 25 to
100 ton per year inventory for Los Angeles County was based essentially on
L.A. APCD data,  little value was seen in using this data in lieu of an
inventory obtained directly from the APCD.
2.2.3  Stationary Source N0v  Emissions
     A special preliminary inventory of NOX emissions from stationary
sources in the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR was obtained from  KVB Engineering
    o
Inc.   KVB conducted recent tests of NO  emissions from various types of
                                       A
sources and applied the results of these tests toward the compilation
of an NOV inventory.  The resulting inventory of industrial  NO  emissions
        X                                                     A
was used in lieu of APCD data in this category.
     Although NO  emissions due to power plant and domestic fuel combustion
                A
were also estimated by KVB, here this portion of the inventory was
estimated from utility data.       The reason for using utility data is
that the best estimates of projected fuel combustion and emissions due to
utility operations were obtained from Southern California Edison and
Southern California Gas Company.  For the sake of consistency, the utility
data was used to estimate base year as well as projected emissions for
this source category.
                                    21

-------
 2.2.4  Motor Vehicle Emission Factors for Exhaust Parti dilates
     The Los Angeles APCD estimates exhaust particulate emissions by
 applying certain simple assumptions to the total gasoline consumed within
 the County.  The published EPA emission factor  (AP-42) for exhaust
 particulates is based on only a single series of tests.  Since motor
 vehicles constituted a very significant source of particulate emissions
 in the Los Angeles Regions a new emission factor for exhaust particulates
 was developed here based on the results of several studies.  A detailed
 description of the development of this factor is contained in Section
 2.3.2.
 2.2.5  Motor Vehicle Emission Factors for Gaseous Precursors
     Since assuming responsibility for the control of motor vehicle
 emissions, EPA has published emission factors based on its ongoing testing
 program and the federal motor vehicle control program for new cars.   The
 Los Angeles County APCD disputes the use of the published factors at the
 present time, due to confusion involving the change from the 7-mode cycle
 to the constant volume sampling (CVS) technique.    As described in
 Section 2.4.2, conversations with key EPA personnel  in this area have
 resulted in the use of the published EPA emission factors for hydrocarbons
 and NO  in this study.
      A
 2.2.6  Aircraft Emissions
     Aircraft emission estimates were obtained from both the local APCD's
 and EPA.   The Los Angeles APCD has been a pioneer in the area of aircraft
 testing and landing/takeoff (LTO) cycle development, and has recently
 performed a detailed study of aircraft emissions at Los Angeles
                                            12
 International Airport under contract to EPA.     EPA, on the other hand,
 has subsequently published baseline and projected emissions from Los Angeles
 International Airport which are substantially lower than APCD estimates.
The reason for the discrepancy is not clear at this time.   For the purposes
of the present study, the L.A.  APCD estimate has been used.
2.2.7  Suspended Particulate Inventory
     Previously compiled inventories of particulate emissions have been
based on total  particulate emissions.   Yet it may well  be argued that it is
                                    22

-------
suspended participates which are measured at sampling stations, and then
ultimately compared with ambient air quality standards.   Hence, it is
desirable  to express the particulate inventory in terms of the suspended
fraction.  Although such a disaggregation leads to the incorporation of
yet another level of uncertainty in the final  inventory, it is believed
that by developing such an inventory, the relative contribution of various
source categories to the total problem may be more accurately assessed.
For the purposes of the present study it has been assumed that only
                                                                     14
particles smaller than 10 microns remain suspended in the atmosphere.
2.2.8  The 4-County Sub-Area
     Preliminary examination of air sampling data from the six counties
in the air basin revealed that both Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties
consistently experience particulate levels  at or below the primary
National Ambient Air Quality Standard.    On the basis of this infor-
mation, it was proposed that the principal control strategy be formulated
for the remaining four counties only (Los Angeles, Orange, San Bernardino,
and Riverside), with Santa Barbara and Ventura treated as special  cases
with less stringent controls.  Thus, the inventory reported here is pre-
sented for both the entire air basin and the Four-County sub-area.  In
addition, a Los Angeles County Inventory is presented for comparison to
the L.A. County APCD inventory given in Appendix A.
2.2.9  Hydrocarbon Reactivity Factors
     The reactivity factors used in this study are based on the latest
EPA analysis of smog chamber data, and are identical to the factors used
                                           3
in a recent oxidant contingency plan study.   The differences between
this set of reactivities and the set used by the APCD's may be seen from
Table 2.1.
     Unfortunately, neither set of reactivities is appropriate from the
standpoint of photochemical aerosol, since both sets are based on oxidant
formation, not aerosol formation.  Studies performed by Battelle Columbus
Laboratories16' 17 and the California Air Resources Board   indicate that
olefins and/or aromatics play a much more singular role in the formation
of aerosols than in the formation of oxidant.  As might be expected, these
                                   23

-------
     TABLE 2-1. ALTERNATIVE HYDROCARBON REACTIVITY  ASSUMPTIONS'
           Source Type
     Stationary Sources
        Petroleum Production
          and Refining
        Petroleum Marketing
        Organic Solvents
        Others
     Motor Vehicles
        LDMV Exhaust
        HDMV Exhaust
        LDMV & HDMV Evaporative
        Motorcycles

        Diesels
     Other Mobile Sources
        Jet Aircraft
        Piston Aircraft
ARB-APCD
Reactivity
   10%

   55%
   20%..
 0-20%
   30%
Reactivity Used
Here (EPA)
   10%

   93%
   20%
 0-20%
75%
75%
55%
77%
79%
93%
                   96% (2-stroke)
                   86% (4-stroke)
                   99%
   90%
   75% Exhaust     77% Exhaust
   55% Evaporative 93% Evaporative
studies indicate that the use of a single reactivity factor is not
really appropriate for the variety of ambient conditions normally
encountered.
2.3  1972 INVENTORY OF PARTICULATE MATTER EMISSIONS
     The 1972 inventory of particulate matter emissions in the Metropolitan
Los Angeles AQCR is presented in Table 2-2.  The following discussion
describes the procedures employed in the development of this inventory.
                                    24

-------
              TABLE 2-2. 1972 PARTICIPATE MATTER .INVENTORY (TONS/DAY)
  Petroleum Refining
    (catalyst regenera-
     tion)

Organi c Solvent Operations
  Chemical Manufacturing
  Industrial Spray Booths
Metallurgical Operations
  Sand Handling
  Melting & Pouring
Mineral  Processing
  Glass & Frit Mfg.
  Asphalt Roofing Mfg.
    (batching)
  Asphalt Pavement Mfg.
    (batching)
  Rock, gravel, cement
    ops
  Other

Incineration Operations
  Industrial & Commercial
  Domestic

Fuel Combustion

  Power Plants
  Petroleum Refining Ops
  Other Industrial
    (interrupt)
  Domestic (non-interrupt)  7.7

Agricultural
  Debris Burning
  Orchard Heaters
  Processing Plants
  Wild Fires
Stationary Source Total
Los Angel
County
es
Total Suspended
3
9
8
0.4
6.9
2
3
1
1

0.5
0.5
17.7 1
4
6
i 7.7

_
71 ;
3
8.1
7.2
0.4
6.9
1.8
2.7
0.9
0.9

0.4
0.4
7.5
4
6
7.7


70
Entire
Air Basin
Total
3
9.5
8
0.7
11.6
2.4
3
2.9
15.1
8.3
1.1
1.1
26.9
4
8
11.1
0.5
4.2
0.7
3.2
126
Suspended
3
8.1
7.2
0.7
11.6
2.2
2.7
2.4
13.5
7.5
1.0
1.0
26.6
4
8
11.1
0.5
4.2
0.7
ni'1
4-County
Sub-Area
Total
3
9.2
8
0.7
11.6
2.4
3
1.9
2.8
1.2
1.1
1.1
22.3
4
8
10.6

2.2
93
Suspended
3
8.1
7.2
0.7
11.6
2.2
2.7
1.7
2.5
1.1
1.0
1.0
22.1
4
8
10.6

2.2
90
                                     25

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                    TABLE 2-2.
1972 PARTICULATE MATTER INVENTORY (TONS/DAY)  (continued)
Los Angeles
County
Source Category
Mobile Sources
Motor Vehicles
Light-Duty
Heavy Duty
Diesels
Miscellaneous (motor-
cycles, off-road, etc)
Motor vehicle tire wear
Aircraft
Jet
Piston
Ships & Railroads
Mobile Source Total
Total Inventory
Total

42.7
1.4
3.0
4.2
22.7

9
1
84
155
Suspended
34.7
1.1
2.4
3.4
11.1

8.9
0.8
70
140
Entire
Air Basin
Total

60.9
1.8
4.3
6
32.3

13.5
4.2
1.9
124
250
Suspended
49.3
1.5
3.5
4.9
15.8

13.4
3.4
1.5
94
213
4-County
Sub-Area
Total

58.6
1.7
4,1
5.8
31.1

11.5
3.5
1.5
118
211
Suspended
47.5
1.4
3.3
4.7
15.2

11.4
2.8
1.2
87
178
                        26

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2.3.1  Stationary Sources
     Particulate matter originates from a wide variety of processes, as
evidenced by the fact that Table 2-2 lists emissions under every major source
category.  Petroleum refining results in emissions of fine grain particles
escaping during the regeneration of the "fluidized" catalyst.   Emissions
listed under organic solvent operations consist mainly of emissions from
industrial spray booths.  Metallurgical particulate emissions  are due
mainly to the melting and pouring of metals, resulting in the  emission of
metallic fumes.which escape from conventional  control equipment.  Mineral
operations resulting in emissions are glass and frit manufacturing, asphalt
batching, and cement batching.
     The largest single source category for particulates is the fuel
combustion category, consisting of power plants as well  as industrial :and
domestic combustion of fuel oil and natural gas.
     Power plant emissions are estimated by Southern California Edison
                       0
for their power plants.   These emission estimates were scaled up to in-
clude Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (DWP) power plants by
assuming that emissions are proportional to installed electric generating
capacity.  The same methodology was used to disaggregate the total
emissions estimates for the Los Angeles County and Four-County inventories.
Table 2-3 contains a summary of this information.

                TABLE 2-3  POWER PLANT  EMISSIONS
                             Installed   ,       Estimated
      Area                   Capacity          Particulate Emissions*
     Los Angeles County        7,810 MWe           17.7 tons/day
     4-County Area             9,864 MWe           22.3 tons/day
     South Coast Air Basin    11,894 MWe           26.9 tons/day

*Based on Southern California Edison estimate of 19.4 tons/day from
their plants within the  Los Angeles Region, with a total  installed
capacity of 8,584 MWe.
                                    27

-------
     The local air pollution control districts (the Los Angeles County
APCD in particular) are justly proud of their efforts to control emissions
from stationary sources.  The regulations summarized in Section 2.6 have
been used as models for much of the nation.  As mentioned previously,
the inventories provided by each of the six local  air pollution control
districts were used in the compilation of the inventory presented here.
The suspension factors listed in Table 2-4 along with the inventories were
derived subjectively, based mainly on conversations with Los Angeles APCD
engineers, and a limited knowledge of the control  efficiency as a function
                                                            19
of particle size for various control devices in current use.
Considering that conventional control  equipment (filters, baghouses,
electrostatic precipitators) are least efficient in the smaller particle
size ranges (0.1 to Ij^) and that due to ongoing control programs most
sources are controlled in some fashion, it is to be expected that the
bulk of emissions from stationary sources should be in the suspended
particle size range.
2.3.2  Gasoline-Powered Motor Vehicles -  Exhaust Particulates
     Preliminary analyses indicated that motor vehicles would comprise
a very significant portion of the total particulate inventory regardless
of the estimation procedure employed.   It was therefore decided to inquire
as to the basis of the procedures being used and,  if possible, improve
upon them.
     The Los Angeles  County APCD computes automotive particulate emissions
based on gasoline consumption.   Assuming an average lead content of 2.5
grams per gallon, this gives a lead factor of 3.1  tons per million gallons.
75% of the lead "burned" is assumed to be exhausted, while the exhausted
lead is assumed to comprise 60% of the total  exhaust particulate emissions.
The resulting emissions factor for exhaust particulates is 5.28 tons per
million gallons of gasoline consumed,  which in  turn results in motor
vehicle exhaust particulate emissions  of 42 tons per day in 1972.
     The EPA emission factor for exhaust particulates, based on tests
                                                       21
conducted by Ethyl  Corporation, is 0.34 grams per mile.    An examination
                                    28

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           TABLE 2-4.  SUSPENSION FACTORS FOR PARTICULATE EMISSIONS

Source Category                Suspension Factor (%)        Source*
Petroleum Refining                    99                       1
Organic Solvent Operations            90                       1
Chemical Manufacturing                90                       1
Metallurgical Operations             100                       1
Mineral Processing                    90                       5
Incineration                          90                       2
Fuel Combustion                       99                       2
Agriculture                           99                       3
Gasoline Powered Motor Vehicles       81                       4
Diesels                               81                       5
Misc. Internal Combustion Engines     81                       5
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear               49                       6
Jet Aircraft                          99                       1
Piston Aircraft                       81                       5
Ships and Railroads                   81                       5
*1. Estimate based on conversations with L.A. APCD engineers
 2. Estimate based on data presented in AP-68, "Control Techniques for
    Particulate Matter."      2Q
 3. California Air Environment
 4. Based on data presented in this report
 5. Assumed
 6. Personal communication with Dr. J.P. Subrameni, EPA Region 4, Atlanta,
    Georgia.
                                     29

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of the documentation for this particular series of tests revealed the

following:

          •  The factor was derived assuming a seven-mode cycle
             rather than the CVS method.

          •  The factor represented suspended particulate matter
             as opposed to total particulate matter.

          «  The factor applied to older vehicles having 30,000
             to 50,000 miles accumulated.
                                                         22
     A review of studies of exhaust particulate emissions   was subsequently

obtained.  Table 2-5 summarizes the information extracted from this  review.

     The available data indicate the following:

          t  The characteristics of exhaust particulate matter
             vary as a function of the age of the exhaust system of
             the vehicle, apparently leveling off after 3-5 years.

          •  Older vehicles emit more than younger vehicles.

          •  The average particle size is smaller for younger
             vehicles than for older vehicles.

          t  Exhaust particulate emissions are sensitive to
             driving mode, and hence to the test cycle used.
       TABLE 2-5.  AUTOMOTIVE EXHAUST PARTICULATE EMISSIONS FACTORS
                   (grams/mile)
                                        Factors  Used  In
Ter Harr.l
New
Cars
0.15
) 0.02
97221 .
Old
Cars
0.34
0.06
Hai»i bi
New
Cars
0.18
0.101
0.06
,197322
Old
Cars
0.221
0.09
196522
Filters
Study_
0.31
22
Larsen
Tunnel
Study
0.35
This
New
Cars
0.222
0.18
0.10
0.06
1
Study
Old
Cars
0.482
0.35
0.22
0.09
Total Particulates
Suspended  "
Total Lead (Pb)
Suspended Lead (Pb)

Notes:
1) Total lead (Pb) emissions are estimated from Habibi's factors of 0.15 gm/
   mile and 0.34 gm/mile for lead salt emissions from new and old cars,  assuming
   roughly a 2/3 molecular weight ratio between lead and lead salt compounds.

2) The adopted values for the total  particulate emission factor are derived
   from the other adopted emission factor assuming that non-lead particulates
   emitted which are larger than 10 microns are an insignificant fraction of
   total emissions.  Hence,
        total
        particulates
suspended
particulates
+   (total lead - suspended lead)
                                    30

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      For the purposes of the present study, it has been assumed that young
vehicles may be defined as being 0-2 years old, while "mature" vehicles
may be defined as being greater than 3 years old.  Thus, from a knowledge of the

vehicle age distribution, a weighted average emission factor for exhaust
particulates may be computed.  For the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR, the 1972
vehicle age distribution is shown in Table 2-6.
        TABLE  2-6.  VEHICLE POPULATION AND VMT DISTRIBUTION AS OF
                   JUNE,  1972
     Model
     Year

     1972
     1971
     1970
     1969
     1968
     1967
     1966
     1965
     1964
     1963
     1962
     1961
     1960
     1959
     1958
  Population           Annual
Distribution (%)*       VMT

      8.0              11,000
      9.4              14,000
      9.2              13,000
      9.9              12,500
      8.9              11,500
      7.8              10,500
      8.2              10,500
      8.4              10,000
      7.2               9,500
      5.9               8,500
      4.6               7.500
      3.0               6,500
      2.5               6,500
      1.7               6,500
      5.3               6,500
    VMT
Distribution (%}

    .8.4
   12.5
   11.4
   11.8
    9.7
    7.8
    8.2
    8.0
    6.5
    4.8
    3.3
    1
    1
  8
  5
1.0
3.3
     *Source: R. L. Polk and Company
The weighting factors are therefore 0.209 for young vehicles  and 0.791  for

mature vehicles.  Using the emission factors shown in Table 2.5, we obtain the
following weighted average emission factors for light-duty motor vehicles:

     total exhaust particulates = 0.209 x 0.22 + 0.791  x 0.48 = 0.43 gms/mile
     suspended particulates = 0.209 x 0.18 + 0.791 x 0.35 = 0.31 gms/mile
     total Pb emissions = 0.209 x 0.10 + 0.791 x 0.22 = 0.19  gms/mile
     suspended Pb emissions = 0.209 x 0.06 + 0.791 x 0.09 = 0.08 gms/mile

     VMT for the six county area approximately equivalent to  the Metropolitan

Los Angeles AQCR has been established from Los Angeles Regional Transportation
                                                                   2
Study (LARTS) data to be 147 million vehicle miles per day in 1972.   Assuming

                                    31

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that VMT within the six counties of the basin is distributed proportionate
to carbon monoxide emissions (as estimated by the County APCD's), the
inventory of exhaust particulate emissions have been disaggregated as
follows:
                Los Angeles County  -  70.3% of air basin total
                4-County Sub-Area   -  96.3% of air basin total
2.3.3  Other Mobile Source Particulate Emissions
     In addition to particulates from vehicular exhaust, tire wear makes
a significant contribution to the particulate inventory.  The EPA emission
factor for tire wear of 0.20 grams per mile is based on a Ph.D.  thesis by
Dr. J. P. Subramani.  Conversations with Dr. Subramani  revealed  that
according to the same work, only 49% of the particules  (by weight) were
less than 10 microns in diameter.  Hence, only 49% of the total  particulates
from tire wear are assumed to be suspended.  This factor yields  suspended
particulate ratios of tire wear to exhaust which are consistent  with
               2?
recent studies.
     Particulate emissions from motorcycles were calculated from the
emission factors presented in AP-42, population data from the California
Department of Motor Vehicles, and an assumed annual  VMT of 4,000 miles from
the AESi report.  Aircraft, ship and railroad particulate emissions were
taken from the Supplement to the Implementation Plan -  South Coast Air
Basin, submitted to the ARB by the local APCD's.
     Emissions from heavy-duty diesel vehicles were estimated from diesel
fuel consumption data as reported on NEDS.  In 1970, diesel fuel consumption
in the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR was 543,556 gallons/day.  This consumption
figure was projected to 1972 by applying the diesel  truck registration
growth rate between 1970 and 1971 (9.7%/year) to the diesel fuel consumption
resulting in an estimated 653,700  gal /day in 1972.  EPA emission factors
(13 lb/1000 gal for particulates, 27 lbs/1000 gal for S02, 37 lbs/1000 gal
for total hydrocarbons, and 370 lbs/1000 gal for NOX) were then  applied to
the consumption figure to yield emissions.  These emissions were then
disaggregated in the same fashion as LDMV and HDMV emissions.
                                    32

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2.4  INVENTORY OF GASEOUS PRECURSOR EMISSIONS
2.4.1  Stationary Sources
     The base year inventory of reactive hydrocarbons, sulfur oxides,
and nitrogen oxides was developed using the inventories reported by the
local APCD's as a starting point.  From these, the hydrocarbon inventory
was adjusted to reflect the latest set of EPA reactivities, and the
stationary source NO  inventory was replaced by the inventory provided
                    X
by KVB Engineering.  Power Plant emissions were adjusted to reflect
Southern California Edison emissions estimates, since the projected
emissions in this category are based on Edison projections.

2.4.2  Motor Vehicle Emissions
     Emissions from light and heavy duty gasoline powered motor
vehicles were calculated using the latest EPA emission factors and
deterioration factors, combined with vehicle population data from R. L.
Polk and Company, and VMT data from the Los Angeles Regional Transportation
Study (LARTS).  The procedure for combining this data to produce the final
emissions is described in Appendix C.  Since the LARTS VMT data was
disaggregated into freeway and non-freeway categories, computations were
made assuming a 52.5 mph average freeway speed and a 21.9 mph average non-
              2
freeway speed.   The freeway speed is a "best guess" estimate.  A sensi-
tivity analysis was performed to estimate the effect of a 5 mph change in
the freeway speed.  Since the speed correction curves (AP-42) are relatively
flat at the high speed end, the resulting sensitivity was found to be
insignificant (2% for hydrocarbons, and 4% for NO ).
                                                 X
     There is at the present time a controversy between EPA and the
California Air Resources Board concerning the emission factors for
gasoline-powered light duty vehicles.  EPA contends that their CVS-II
(constant volume sampling with both cold and hot start cycles) sampling
technique yields emission factors which are more representative of actual
emissions than the ARB's seven-mode cycle.  The ARB on the other hand,
contends that there is no cycle which is most representative of actual
driving and that a change in sampling technique would not be a good idea
from the standpoint of comparing new emissions testing data with historical
                                    33

-------
data obtained using the 7-mode cycle.  This situation is further confused
by a change in the position taken by EPA regarding the conversion of 7-mode
cycle emission factors to CVS-II emission factors.
     In 1971, EPA was directing state and local  agencies to apply the
following correction factors to their 7-mode cycle test data to obtain
                        24
CVS-II emission factors:
                          HC:       1.38
                          CO:       1.58
                          NO :      1.03
                            X
Then, in 1973 EPA published as part of AP-42 (Compilation of Air
Pollutant Emission Factors) motor vehicle emission factors which were
presumably obtained using the CVS-II cycle.  These factors, however,
resembled the 7-mode cycle factors more closely than the 7-mode cycle
adjusted according to the conversion factors.   Thus, the difference
between the two sets of CVS-II emission factors is quite significant and
will lead to different control strategies, since one set of emission
factors will represent motor vehicles as a much larger percentage of the
total inventory than the other set.
                                         25
     Conversations with key EPA personnel   indicated that the emission
factors published by EPA in AP-42 are indeed representative of the test
data from EPA's ongoing mobile source testing program.  Therefore, at
the direction of the project officer, the factors as published in AP-42
were used in calculating the inventory presented here.
     The inventory of gaseous precursor emissions is summarized in
Table 2-7.  As may be seen from this table the major sources of sulfur
oxides are power plants and other stationary fuel combustion sources,
chemical plants consisting mainly of sulfur recovery and sulfuric acid
plants, and gasoline powered motor vehicles.  (The emissions of S02 from
gasoline-powered motor vehicles is higher than what would be computed from
the EPA emission factor for this category.  This is due to the 0.067% S
content of gasoline sold in Southern California, which is about twice that
assumed in AP-42.)26  Likewise, the major sources of nitrogen oxides are

-------
                                 TABLE 2-7.
               1972  INVENTORY  OF  GASEOUS  PRECURSORS  (TONS/DAY)

                          Los Angeles          Entire            4-County
                            County            Air Basin          Sub-Area
Source Category         S09   NOV   RHC    S09   NOV   RHC    SO,   NO    RHC
                          £     A    	      U     X            C     X

Stationary Sources

Petroleum

  Refining-Production   56    67.5   7     60    67.5   7     60    67.5   7
  Service Stations                  41                 71.5               67.1

Org. Solvent Users

  Surface Coating                    9                 11                 10
  Dry Cleaning                       1                  2                  1
  Degreasing                         8                 11                 10
  Other                             21                 22                 22
        \
Chemical Processing

  Petrochemical                                         0.7
  Sulfur Recovery       95                 95                 95
  Pulp and Paper                                        0.4
  Other                  2                   2     0.4          2     0.4

Metallurgical Proc.      5.7               13     0.5         13     0.5

Mineral Processing                          6.4                1.4

Incineration                   1.0                1.6   0.3          1.6   0.3

Fuel Combustion

  Power Plants         142.8  74.1   -    217.5 112.8    -   180.3  93.5
  Industrial             10    80.4   -     27.6 129.7*   -    27.6 114.8*   -
  Domestic (\space        0.2  53.9   -      0.3  77.7    -     0.3  74.1
    heaters + comm'l)

Agricultural                                 1.1    0.7   6.6    1.1
Stationary Source
Total                  312   279    87    423   391   133    381    352    117
  KVB used emission factors from AP42 for the source category.   The
  factors have since been updated by EPA.  The emission shown here
  have been adjusted to include this latest update.
                                     35

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           TABLE 2-7
Source Category

Mobile Sources

Light Duty
  Motor Vehicles

Heavy Duty
  Motor Vehicles

Diesel

Misc. (motorcycles,
  off-road, etc.)

Aircraft

  Jet
  Piston
Mobile Source
Totals
Total Inventory
                       1972  INVENTORY  OF  GASEOUS  PRECURSORS
                       (TONS/DAY)  (CONTINUED)
                         Los Angeles
                           County
                            NO,
                       3.0  10
                             3
Ships and Railroads   10    22
                                  RHC
                      29.2 546   604


                       0.4  20    22


                       6.2  85     8

                            43    67
             9
             2.4
                                                Entire
                                              Air Basin
                           NON
            RHC
                     41.4 776   859


                      0.6  28    32


                      8.8 121    12

                           61    95
 3.7   13.4  15.9
 0.2    6.3   8.1

14.5   26
49   729   712.4     69  1032  1022
                     361  1008   799       492  1423  1155
                                             4-County
                                             Sub-Area
S02   NOX   RHC



39.8 747   827


 0.6  27    31


 8.5 117    12

      59    91
 3.4  12.4  9.9
 0.2.  6.2  5.8

10.8  24
                                                                63   993   977
                                         444  .1345  1094
                                    36

-------
fuel combustion and motor vehicles.  Finally, as mentioned previously, the
reactive hydrocarbon inventory has been adjusted to reflect the latest EPA
reactivity factors.  The major source of emissions for this pollutant is
gasoline powered motor vehicles.
2.5  LOCATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS
     A significant feature of the inventory presented here is the
preparation of maps indicating the geographical  distribution of sources
as well as emissions.   The most common procedure in the past has been to
report emissions on an aggregated basin-wide basis with no indication of
spatial distribution.   The source and emission maps will  aide in
evaluating locational  aspects of control strategies.
     Figure 2-1 gives  a topographical reference map of the Metropolitan
Los Angeles Region to aide in interpreting the subsequent figures.
Figures 2-2 through 2-6 present the geographical distribution of the
following source types: power plants, refineries, industrial activity,
automotive mileage, and aircraft activity.  Where possible, units have
been chosen to be representative of emission potential, e.g. power
capacity (power plants), barrels  throughput (refineries), and vehicle
miles travelled (autos).
     Figures 2-7 through 2-10 give approximate 1972 emission maps for
particulates, reactive hydrocarbons, sulfur dioxide, and nitrogen oxides.
These maps have been derived by aggregating the individual source maps
(Figures 2-2 - 2-6) according to the emissions from those sources as
given in Tables 2-2 and 2-7.  In  this aggregation process, it was assumed
that service station and residential emissions were distributed approxi-
mately the same as vehicle miles  travelled (Figure 2-5).
     Although the maps presented were not designed for a precise
quantitative application, certain qualitative conclusions are immediately
apparent:
     •  The distribution of RHC and NO  approximately parallels
        the distribution of vehicular activity, the source of
        these emissions.
                                   37

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GO

00

                                                                                ••
                                                                 x^i/iife',^"*^?' '•">••' ^ - ."   l —         t
                                                                 «/!«'!?*.; '>>;v.              M f  o
y    s -.   •.,'  ~"
  A . ,.  ' V"'  ' E—'«. .

.''I :>' *tV- , '.   E  • •*' ''•

                                                          Figure  2-1


                           Topographical Reference Map for the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR;

                                                 including county boundaries

-------
GO
10
FIGURE 2-2 POWER PLANT DENSITY MAP

1 DOT = 100 fHE INSTALLED CAPACITY
                                    DATA SOURCES:

                                    1)   SVTHERH CALIFDRT1IA EDISON

                                    2)   LOS ANGELES COUNTY AIR POLLUTION

                                        CONTROL DISTRICT 1971 PROFILE Of

                                        AIR POLLUTION CONTROL

-------
FIGURE 2-3 PETROLEUM REFINERY DQ6ITY MAP
1 DOT = 10,000 BARRELS/TJAY TWOUGWUT
  DATA SOURCE:
  BUREAU OF MlrCS, U.S. DEPT. OF IK INTERIOR
  MINERAL  IMXBTRY SURVEYS, JAMjWRY L WO

-------
FIGURE 2-t INDUSTRY DENSITY MAP
1 DOT = 1 INDUSTRIAL FIRM EMITTING  100
        TINS/YEAR OF AIR
        (EXCUEING PETROLELM  REFINERIES)
  DATA SOUiCE:
  NATIONAL EMISSIONS DATA SYSTEMS (NEDS)

-------
ro
                             FIGURE 2-5 VEHICLE MILES TOWELLED (VHj) DENSITY MAP
                             1 DOT = 500,000 VMT
                               DATA SOURCES:
                               1)  ROBERTS, P., ROTH, P.. MO NELSON C. 'CONTMUNMT
                                   EWSSIONS IN THE LOS ANKLES BASIN — THEIR SOUCES
                                   RATE. MO DISTRIBUTION", APFBOIX A OF DEVQjCCTB*T
                                   OF A SINLATION.HXe. RW ESTIMATINS SROJND LEVEL
                                   ooNcamwnoMs OF PHDHXHEMCAL coimrANrs, SVSTBC
                                   APPLICATIONS INC., NUEH 1£P1.
                               2)  "TRANSPORTATION OOMTROL STRATEGY DEVEUJPMENT FOR
                                   THE HETROPOUTW LOS MCELES REGION* TRM,  INC.,
                                   1973.

-------
CO
                                 FIGURE 2-6 AIRCRAFT ACTIVITY DB6ITY MAP
                                 1 DOT = 50 TDNS/bAY AIRCRAFT FUEL CONSUMED
                                 OATA SOURCES:
                                 1)   LOS ANGELES AIR POLLUTION CONTROL DISTRICT
                                 2)   PERSONAL CCTtUIICATION WITH JMf  (eVTTT,
                                     LOS ANGELES COUNTY AIR POLLUTION  CONTROL
                                     DISTRICT

-------
Figure 2-7.   Particulate Emission Density Map.
             1  Dot = 2 Tons/Day Total  Particulate Emissions

-------
.£»
U1
                           Figure 2-8.  Reactive Hydrocarbon  Emission  Density  Map.
                                        1 Dot = 10 Tons/Day of  Reactive  Hydrocarbon  Emissions

-------
Figure 2-9   Sulfur Oxides  Emissions Density Map for the Los Angeles Region
             1  Dot = 2 Tons/Day SOX Emissions

-------
Figure 2-10.   Nitrogen Oxides Emission Density Map.
              1  Dot = 11  Tons/Day NOX Emissions

-------
     •  Major point sources of participates have, on the whole
        been controlled to the point that emissions in this
        category are highly dispersed and indistinguishable
        from the distribution of vehicle miles travelled, des-
        pite the heavy concentration of industry near the
        coast.  The concentration shown at the location of Los
        Angeles International Airport is not quite represent-
        ative of the emissions occurring at that location
        since emissions are computed for complete landing
        and take-off cycles (LTD), which occur over a much
        larger geographical area.

     •  Only sulfur dioxide emissions are significantly con-
        centrated in large stationary sources; motor vehicles
        do not dominate the inventory for this pollutant.
        These large stationary sources (power plants and
        petroleum refineries) are located near the coast,
        normally upwind from the bulk of the populace within
        the basin.

2.6  PRESENT CONTROL PROGRAM FOR STATIONARY SOURCE EMISSIONS

     The Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District has been

a pioneer in the field of stationary source emission control and has

established itself as a leader in this area.  The remaining districts
comprising the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR have followed the example
set by the Los Angeles APCD, and in some cases have established rules
which are even more stringent.  Table 2-8 is a summary comparison of
the rules currently in force in the various counties.  A brief summary
of the more significant rules enacted within the past two years  is
presented in Appendix B.  The Rules and Regulations published by the
individual agencies should be consulted if additional information is

required.

     The overall effectiveness of the present control program for
stationary sources is summarized in Table 2-9.  From this table, it is
evident that significant reductions in stationary source emissions of both
primary particulates and the gaseous precursors of secondary particulates
have been made.  The total percentage control listed at the bottom may
create a false impression, however, with regard to the control efficiency

on presently existing sources.  These figures include sources that have
been regulated out of existence, such that they do not contribute to the
present levels of particulate matter in the ambient atmosphere (e.g.,
backyard incinerators).  Thus, the overall percentage control of sources
now operating within the basin is expected to be less than that shown.


                                   48

-------
     The relatively low control level for particulate matter in the organic
solvent category is due mainly to the highly dispersed nature of the sources
which reduces the socio-economic "attractiveness" of applying controls in
this source category.  The percentage control  of SCL emissions in the chemical
industry category is expected to rise dramatically within the next year in
response to the implementation of Rules 53.2 and 53.3 of the Los Angeles
            27
County APCD.    (These rules are described briefly in Appendix A).  Finally,
Los Angeles County's Rule 65 requires 90% organic vapor recovery during the
loading of stationary storage tanks (such as at gasoline service stations)
        28
by 1976.    This rule should provide significant reductions in hydrocarbon
emissions by 1977.
                                    49

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              TABLE 2-8.  SOUTH COAST BASIN RULES SUMMARY

                                                           San              Santa
       Rules                    L.A.  Orange  Riverside Bernardino Ventura Barbara

Definitions                      x      x         x         x         x       x
Authority to Arrest              x      x         x         x         -
Availability of Emission Data    -                -         x         x       -

Authority to Construct           x      x         x         x     -    x       x
Denial of A/C                    x      x         x         x         x       x
Permit to Operate                x      x         x         x         x       x

Permit Fees                      x      x         x         x         x       x
Annual Renewal                   -      -         x         x         -

Ringelmann & Opacity             x      x         x         x         x       x
Nuisance                         x      x         x         x         x      x
Fugitive Dust                    -      -         -         x         -
Particulate Matter:
   Concentration                 x      x         x         x         x       x
   Weight                        x      x         xO)      x         x       x
Specific Contaminants:
   Sulfur                        x      x*        x*        x*        x*      x
   Combustion                    x**    x         x         x         x       x
   Fluorine                      -      -         x         x         -
Scavenger Plants                 x                x         x         -       x
Sulfur Recovery Units            x      x         x         x         -       x
Sulfuric Acid Units              x      x         x         x         -       x
Exceptions to Opacity Rule       x      x         x         x         x       x
Storage of Petro Products        x      x         x    .     x         x       x
Open Fi res                       x*     x*        x         x         x       x*
Disposal  of Solid                x      x         x(2)      x         x(3)    x
   and Liquid Wastes
Oil-Water Separators             x      x         x         x         x       x
Circumvention                    x      x         x         x         x       x
Organic Liquid Loading           x      x*        x(4)      x         x       x(4)
Sulfur in Fuels                  x**    x         x         x         x       x
Gasoline Specifications          x      x         x         x         x       x
Reduc. of Animal Matter          x      x         x         x         x*      x
Gasoline Loading into Tanks      x*     x         x         x         x       x
Organic Solvents                 x*     x*        x         x*        x*      x
New Fuel  Burn. Equip.            x      x*        x         x         x       x
Existing Fuel Burn. Equip.:
   Oxides of Nitrogen            x      x(5)      x*        x*        x(6)    x
   Combustion Contaminants       x**    x         x         x         x       x
Vacuum Producing Systems         x      x         x         x         x       x
Asphalt Air Blowing              x      x         x         x         x       x
Carbon Monoxide                  x      x         x         x         x       x
Pumps & Compressors              x      -         -         -         -
Pressure Relief Valves           x      -         -         -         -
                                    50

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         TABLE 2-8  SOUTH COAST BASIN RULES SUMMARY (continued)
        Rules

Hearing Board
Orchard Heaters
Emergencies
Abatement
                       L.A.

                        x
                        x
                        X
                        X
                     San              Santa
Orange  Riverside Bernardino Ventura Barbara
  x
  x
x
x
x*
x
x
x
x
x
                                        /**
Notes:

     *
    **

   (1)

   (2)
   (3)

   (4)
   (5)
   (6)
More stringent
Less stringent
No Rule
More stringent for process weights of 60,000 Ib/hr or less.
Less stringent for process weights of 70,000 Ib/hr or more.
More stringent for incinerators burning 100 Ibs/hr or less.
More stringent for incinerators burning 100 Ibs/hr or less.
Less stringent for incinerators buring more than 100 Ibs/hr.
Less stringent than Los Angeles and Orange Counties.
More stringent for plants with heat inputs between 500 million
and 1775 million BTU/hr.  Less stringent for those having  inputs
of 1775 million BTU/hr to 2150 million BTU/hr.
More stringent for plants having heat input rates between  250
million and 1775 million BTU/hr.  More stringent for existing
sources having heat inputs between 1775 million and 2150 million
BTU/hr when burning gas, but less stringent when burning oil.
                                     51

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    TABLE 2-9.  PERCENTAGE CONTROL OF STATIONARY SOURCES IN THE SOUTH
                COAST AIR BASIN
Source Category
Petroleum
Organic Solvent Users
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Agriculture

Total
Reactive
Organic
Gases
71.3%
90.1
0

0
99.7
0
0
Particulate
Matter
76.9%
22.7
34
95.6
97.9
97.9
56.1
68.4
N0y
58.1%




96.6
55.0
32.8
S0y
96.2%

30.7
22.9
0
0
84.5
31.3
CO
99.8%

0
98.8
0
94.4
0
67.1
86.1%
94.9%
58.6%
OQ OO/
OO. Ch
97.5%
Source:  Los Angeles Air Pollution Control  District, "Supplement to the
         Implementation Plan - South Coast  Air Basin," August 1973,
         revised December 11, 1973.
                                     52

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                    3.0  EMISSION PROJECTIONS

     This section of the report details the assumptions and methods used
in projecting emissions in the Air Basin.  Two alternatives are considered:
First, projections are made assuming that only controls presently scheduled
to go into effect by the local APCD's and the federal  new car control  pro-
gram are implemented; second, projections are made assuming that the EPA-
promulgated implementation plan for achieving the oxidant standard in  the
Air Basin is indeed implemented.
3.1  SOURCES OF DATA
3.1.1  Stationary Sources and Aircraft
     The availability of data required to compile an emission projection
can best be described as limited in quantity and diverse in quality.
Ideally, projections by the individual categories of sources (such as
petroleum refineries and utility companies) would be available, but this
was true in only one case.  The most reasonable alternative was to review
the literature and to contact public agencies and private utilities
possessing the information necessary to the formation  of the projections.
The following list summarizes these various sources.
     Stationary Sources
     A.  Literature - "Population and Economic Activity in the United
                      States and Standard Metropolitan Statistical
                      Areas"; EPA, 1972.29
                    - "1973 California Gas Report."30
                    - "Transportation Control Strategy Development for
                      the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region," TRW, Inc.,
                      1973.2
     B.  Public Agencies - Los Angeles City Department of Water and Power.
                         - Los Angeles, San Bernardino and Ventura County
                           Air Pollution Control Districts.
                         - Los Angeles County Chamber of Commerce.
                         - University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA)
                                    53

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     C.  Private Organizations - Southern California Edison Company
                               - Southern California Gas Company
                               - Security Pacific National  Bank
                               - Wells Fargo Bank
     Aircraft
     A.  Literature - "Aircraft Emissions:   Impact on Air Quality and
                      Feasibility of Control"; EPA, 1973.3T
     B.  Public Agencies - Los Angeles International Airport
     C.  Private Organizations - Southern California Association of
                                 Governments (SCAG).
3.1.2  Motor Vehicles
     Emissions from motor vehicles have been previously projected for
                                                     2
the purposes of oxidant control strategy development.   However, these
projections were made prior to the granting of delays to the auto
manufacturers in meeting the Clean Air Act Standards, and the establish-
ment of interim  standards for new car emissions.  Hence, new projections
were developed for light-duty vehicles which incorporated this change.
Heavy duty vehicle emissions were projected in a similar fashion to light
duty vehicles.  The local  APCDs report current emissions for gasoline-
powered motor vehicles where light and heavy duty vehicles are un-
fortunately lumped together.  Further, no projections have been made
by these agencies.  Therefore, the procedure outlined in Appendix C was
used to project emissions in these source categories.
                                    54

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 3.1.3  Uncontrolled Vehicles
     The most comprehensive study located concerning projected emissions
 from uncontrolled vehicles is one done for the California Air Resources
 Board by Automotive Environmental Systems, Inc., (AESi) of Hestminster
 California.   Uncontrolled vehicles are defined by AESi to include:
     (1)  Exempted automobiles - pre 1955 model year vehicles, vehicles
          with engines of less than 50 CID, vehicles of limited production
          and foreign origin.
     (2)  Competition vehicles - vehicles used in road, drag, oval  or flat
          track, record car or off road racing.
     (3)  Motorcycles.
     (4)  Snowmobiles, ATV's and dune buggies.
     (5)  Lawn and garden equipment, chainsaws and home utilities.
     (6)  Farm equipment.
     (7)  Off road heavy duty equipment - construction and earth moving,
          mining and quarrying, lumber equipment.
     AESi's work included extensive literature searches, surveys of
 knowledgeable personnel and emission tests to arrive at emission factors.
 For example, in the case of motorcycles, some aspects examined by AESi
were (1) on and off road motorcycles (2) two and four stroke engines (3)
 number and annual mileage travelled (from California State Department of
 Motor Vehicles, U.S.  Department of Interior, U.S. Bureau of Land
Management and sales statistics) (4) emissions for off road motorcycles
 (by testing) and (5) growth rates of sales.
     Emissions were projected by AESi  from 1970 to 1980 for each air
quality control region in the State of California.
 3.2  POLICIES AND ASSUMPTIONS
     To arrive at an emission projection with information obtained  from
the sources available, the decision was made not to rely on any one
 specific source, but rather to use different ones in different categories
of sources.  As a consequence, the following policies were adopted:
                                   55

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     (1)  Petroleum industry emissions  -  Dr.  Richard L.  Perrine  of UCLA
          was consulted regarding  trends  in  petroleum production and
          refining operations.   TRW's  report^ was  used for trends in
          gasoline marketing.

     (2)  Organic solvent users; chemical, metallurgical  and mineral
          industries;  incineration and  agricultural  emissions -  For all
          these categories,  the growth  rate  or emissions  was considered
          equal  to the growth rate of  the individual  type of emitter
          (i.e.  chemical, metallurgical  industries).   The EPA's
          population and economic  activity study29 contained growth
          rates for certain  select industries but  was not used because
          of its assumption  of a Bureau of Census  "C" series birthrate,
          a figure considerably higher  than  the actual birthrate.  Other
          organizations contacted  (banks  and chamber of commerces) did
          not have long term industrial  growth rate  projections.  Thus,
          the decision was made to use  instead a total employment growth
          rate forecasted by the Wells  Fargo Bank.32

     (3)  Steam electric power plant fuel  combustion emissions - The
          Southern California Edison Company has made projections of  its
          emissions in the South Coast  Air Basin.   However, none of the
          other utilities contacted has made any projections, so esti-
          mates based  on Edison's  figures were used  for them.9

     (4)  Industrial (excluding steam  electric) fuel  combustion  emissions  -
          Because industrial facilities in the air basin  burn natural  gas
          (when available),  Southern California Gas  Company and  the "1973
          California Gas Report" projections of natural  gas supplies  were
          used along with emission factors to calculate emissions.
          Adjustment for combustion of fuel  other  than natural gas was
          made.

     (5)  Domestic and commercial  fuel  combustion  emissions - All
          domestic and commercial  fuel  combustion  is assumed to  result
          from the use of natural  gas.   Southern California Gas  Company
          and the "1973 California Gas  Report" projections were  used.

     (6)  Aircraft emissions - Although Los  Angeles  International is  in
          the process  of projecting its future air traffic activity,
          personnel contacted at the facility were unwilling to  release
          any information.  The EPA aircraft emissions report contained
          emission projections at  Los  Angeles International and  Van Nuys
          Airport for  1975 and 1980.  However, these figures were not
          acceptable because (a) the baseline data (1970) disagreed with
          Los Angeles  County APCD  figures (which were assumed to be more
          accurate) and (b)  the report  included only two  airports out
          of a total of 42 in the  air  basin.  As a result of these
          difficulties, a SCAG report  "Southern California Regional
          Aviation System Study"33 was  used  instead.

     The preceding policies  and assumptions  regarding the projection  of the
emission inventory are summarized  in Table  3-1.

                                    56

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                    TABLE 3-1    SUMMARY  OF ASSUMPTIONS USED FOR BASELINE DATA (1972)
                                PROJECTIONS TO 1977 AND 1980
Petroleum
  (1) Production
  (2) Refining
  (3) Marketing

Organic Solvent
  (1) Surface Coating
  (2) Dry Cleaning
  (3) Degreasing
  (4) Other

Chemical
                        Los Angeles
                       1
                       9
                       3
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
  (1) Petrochemical
  (2) Sulfur Plants
   3) Sulfuric Acid Plants
   4) Pulp and Paper
  (5) Other
Metallurgical
  (1)
  (2)
Ferrous
Non Ferrous
Mineral
  (1) Glass and Frit
  (2) Asphalt Batching
  (3) Asphalt Roofing
  (4) Cement Production
  (5) Concrete Patching
  (6) Other
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
4
4
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
                       4
                                   Orange
               1
               2
               3
               2
               2
               4
               4
               2
               2
               2
               2
               4
4
4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
                          Riverside  San Bernardino  Santa Barbara
               2
               2
               3
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
4
4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               2
               2
               3
               4
               4
               4
               4
               2
               2
               2
               2
               2
4
4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               2
               2
               2
               4
               4
               4
               4
               2
               2
               2
               2
               2
2
2
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
                                                         Ventura
               1
               2
               3
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
2
2
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4
               4

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                                    TABLE 3-1
                                         SUMMARY  OF ASSUMPTIONS  USED  FOR  BASELINE DATA
                                         (1972) PROJECTIONS TO 1977 AND 1980  (CONTINUED)
tn
oo
Incineration
  (1) Open Burning
      (Dumps)
  (.2) Open Burning
      (Backyard)
  (3) Incinerators
  (4) Other

Combustion of Fuel
  (1) Steam and Power
      Plants
  (2) Other Industrial
  .(3) Domestic and
      Commercial

Agricultural
  (1) Debris Burning
  (2) Orchard Heaters
  (3) Agricultural
      Production Pro-
      cessing Plants
                               Los Angeles


                                    2

                                    2

                                    8
                                    2
                                    7
                                    7
                                    2
                                    2
                                    2
Orange


   2

   2

   8
   2
                                                      . Riverside   San Bernardino  Santa Barbara
   7
   7
   5
   2
   2
2

2

8
2
7
7
5
5
5
2

2

2
5
7
7
2
5
2
2

2

2
2
7
7
5
2
2
Ventura


   2 '

   2

   2
   5
   7
   7
   5
   5
   5
       Assumption #1:


       Assumption #2:

       Assumption #3:
                There will be no change of emission levels from 1972 because no new oil fields or increased
                production from existing fields and refineries is expected.

                There were no emissions from these sources in 1972 and none is expected in the future.

                The historical 4% per year growth rate in gasoline sales is expected to hold true in the
                future.  No attempts have been made to assess the impact of possible fuel shortages on
                gasoline sales.

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                        TABLE 3-1.  SUMMARY OF ASSUMPTIONS USED FOR BASELINE DATA
                                    (1972) PROJECTIONS TO 1977 AND 1980 (CONTINUED.)


Assumption #4:   The rate of increase in emissions  is  equal  to  the  rate of  increase  in  the  total
                employment of each county, which  is  given below:

                                    Los Angeles              1.5% per year
                                    Orange                  3.5% per year

                                    Riverside               2.5% per year

                                    San Bernardino          2.3% per year

                                    Santa Barbara            2.3% per year

                                    Ventura                 2.9% per year

Source:  "Moving Ahead - Wells Fargo Looks at California," Wells  Fargo Bank, 1973.


Assumption #5:   The emissions from these sources  are assumed to remain constant
                through 1980.

Assumption #6:   Emission projections were obtained from Southern  California Edison.

Assumption #7:   Emission projections were obtained from the 1973  California Gas Report.

Assumption #8:   Emissions are assumed to increase  at the .same  rate as  population in each
                county, which is shown in Section  3.3.4.

Assumption #9:   Emission projections reflecting anticipated expansions from local refineries
                (Atlantic Richfield and Standard) were based on figures extracted from the
                environmental impact statement associated with the proposed Standard Oil
                expansion project, as conveyed to TRW by EPA in private communication. ^2

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3.3  EMISSION INVENTORY PROJECTION UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS
3.3.1  Petroleum Industry Emissions
    Only three counties in the entire air basin report emissions due to
petroleum production in 1972 (Los Angeles, Orange and Ventura).  For these
three counties, emissions are assumed to hold constant through the year 1980.
This assumption may overestimate emissions since production has historically
declined since the mid-1960's.    No attempt has been made to account for
possible new techniques of increasing oil production from existing fields
(such as steam injection).  Counties reporting no emissions are not
expected to have any changes through 1980.
    Except for Los Angeles County, all  counties reporting emissions due to
refining process operations are expected to have the same quantity of
emissions through 1980.  In Los Angeles County, Standard Oil  of California
and the Atlantic Richfield Company (ARCO) plan to construct facilities to
desulfurize high sulfur fuel  oil.   Changes in refining  processes resulting
from these new facilities  are projected to cause a  decrease in RHC
emissions of 0.5 tons/day  beginning  in  1976.     For counties  having  no
refineries, none are assumed to be constructed prior to 1980.
    In the case of petroleum marketing, the historical  4% per year increase
                 2
in gasoline sales  is assumed to hold true until 1980.   Possible declines
in gasoline sales due to shortages and  for conservation measures by the
public have not been assessed.  The Los Angeles County APCD vapor recovery
rule (Rule #65) will reduce reactive hydrocarbon emissions from the filling
of service station storage tanks by 90% starting in 1975.  (The transfer of
gasoline to vehicular tanks remains uncontrolled.)
3.3.2  Organic Solvent Users
    For counties reporting no emissions in 1972, no emissions are assumed
through 1980.  Otherwise the following  yearly growth rates in emissions
are assumed:
                  COUNTY                  PERCENT YEARLY GROWTH
              Los Angeles                           1.5
              Orange                               3.5
              Riverside                            2.5
              San Bernardino                       2.3
              Santa Barbara                        2.3
              Ventura                              2.9
                                    60

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These figures are actually the projected yearly increase in total  employ-
ment from 1972 through 1980.   Thus the rate of increase in emissions is
assumed equal to the rate of increase in total employment.  By doing so,
the projections may result in higher emissions than would actually occur,
since much of the increase in employment can undoubtedly be attributed to
light industry and service-oriented occupations.
3.3.3  Chemical, Metallurgical and Mineral
     The methodology used for these industries is the same as that employed
in the case of Organic Solvent Users.  One exception is  sulfur dioxide
emissions from Los Angeles County sulfur .recovery plants which are held
constant (after 1974) at 10 tons/day.  This is because of the Los  Angeles
County APCD Rule 53.2 which limits S02 emissions  from sulfur recovery
plants to

             •  500 ppm by volume of sulfur compounds calculated
                as sulfur dioxide.
             •  10 ppm by volume of hydrogen  sulfide.
             •  200 pounds per hour of sulfur compounds
                calculated as sulfur dioxide.
     Emissions from metallurgical industries in San Bernardino County
may not actually increase as  rapidly as the projections indicate.   This
is because the following information concerning the Kaiser Steel Plant
in Fontana was revealed in conversations with personnel at the San Bernardino
County APCD:35
     (1)  The plant is the largest stationary point source (excluding
          power plants) in the county.
     (2)  A proposed coke oven desulfurization plant (scheduled to go
          into operation in the late 1970's) will probably reduce  S0x
          emission levels to  1 ton/day.
     (3)  An on-going dust level  reduction program should reduce
          particulate emissions by 5 tons/day (scheduled to be
          completed by 1977).
The reductions in emissions indicated above were  not included in the
projections because of the uncertain nature of- the effectiveness of
control and because the projected changes are not required by law.
                                    61

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3.3.4  Agriculture and Incineration
     For counties reporting emissions from agriculture related industries,
no change in emission rates is expected through 1980.   There may actually
be declines in this category of emissions in the future because the present
trend of development in the air basin has been towards increased urbanization.
     Emissions due to incineration are assumed to increase at the same rate
as population in each county, assuming that the series D-100 projections of
the State's Population Research Unit apply.   The projections are
summarized below:

County
Los An<
Orange
San Be>
Riverside
Ventura
Population

leles

nardino
de

•arbara
Steam Electric
1970
7,045,200
1,432,900
685,500
461 ,200
381 ,200
264,700
Power Plant
1975
6,924,500
1,712,000
711,000
527,100
446,200
283,300
Annual Growth Rate
1980
6,963,200
1,970,000
765,100
596,900
523,300
305,800
(%)
- .1
+3.8
+1.2
+2.9
+3.7
+1.6
Fuel Combustion Emissions
     The Southern California Edison Company (SCE)  has made projections of
emissions of particulates, MOY and S09 from its steam plants in the Los
             36
Angeles Basin   (Table 3-2).  These projections include the expectancy of
fuels available from the proposed ARCO and Standard Oil refineries, and
are based in part on:
          •  The operation of a new combined cycle unit of 563 MWe at
             Edison's Long Beach plant by 1976.
          •  The operation of a new combined cycle unit of 1416 MWe at
             Edison's Huntington Beach plant by 1978.
          t  The availability of electrical power  brought into the
             South Coast Air Basin from sources such as Pacific
             Northwest hydroelectric, the Four Corners (New Mexico)
             coal fired plant and the San Onofre nuclear plant.
          •  The expected customer demand.
          •  The expected availability of fuel oil, distillate and
             natural gas.
                                     62

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      TABLE 3-2.  PROJECTED EMISSIONS OF PARTICIPATES,  NOX AND S02
                  FROM SCE STEAM ELECTRIC PLANTS IN THE BASIN


        Year                  Participates       NOX             S02

        1977                     31.4           112.8           255.1

        1980                     32.5           122.0           268.3

Source:  S. Moody, SCE, private communication,  April  1974.
     TABLE 3-3.   GENERATING CAPACITIES  OF SCE  (IN  THE  AIR BASIN),
                 DWP AND GPB

                                          Generating Capacity (MWe)
Utility Company   County                 1972	1977	1980

SCE               Los Angeles            4788         5351        5351

                  Orange                  880         2296        2296

                  San Bernardino         1186         1186        1186

                  Ventura                2010         2010        2010


DWP               Los Angeles            3363         3363        3363


GPB               Los Angeles             580          580         580


Note:  There are no steam electric plants in Riverside and the
       Air Basin portion of Santa Barbara County

Source:  M. Ziol and S.  Moody, SCE, Private Communication, 1974
               TABLE 3-4.   ELECTRIC GENERATING  CAPACITY  RATIOS

Year

        PUP Generating Capacity   _    3363 MWe   _    n _7Q
        SCE Generating Capacity        8864 MWe       u>J/y
1077  iQ«n     GPB Generating Capacity
iy//, iyou
                                               580  MWe
               SCE Generating capacity   "    10843  MWe
                                    63

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          »  The fact that if the fuel oil supplied by ARCO is less
             than the Los Angeles County APCD requirement of 0.5% (by
             weight) sulfur content, Edison will not blend higher
             percentage sulfur fuel oil (such as Venezulean) with the
             lower percentage grade to just meet the APCD requirement.

The allocation of fuel oil from the new refineries will go to existing

conventional boiler Edison plants, while the 0.1% (by weight) sulfur

distillate will go to the new combined cycle plants a.t Long Beach and

Huntington Beach.  Edison predicts that only 2-3% of the fuel it will

use in the future will be natural gas.  The Los Angeles City Department of

Water and Power (DWP) has made no emission projections because they expect

to meet future demand by obtaining electricity from sources outside the air
      07
basin.    Due to the relatively minor contributions of pollutants from the

municipalities of Glendale, Pasadena and Burbank (GPB), no attempt was made
to contact them concerning the availability of emission projections.

     Based on information received, the following methodology for predicting

emissions was adopted:

     (1)  Calculate the generating capacities (excluding gas turbine
          units) of SCE in the Los Angeles Basin, DWP and GPB.   (These
          municipalities are considered as a unit.)  (Table 3-3).

     (2)  Calculate the ratio of the DWP and GPB generating capacities
          to that of SCE.  (Table 3-4).

     (3)  Assume that the emissions from GPB is proportional  to the
          ratio obtained in Step C2).  For example,  since (GPB generating
          capacity/SCE operating capacity) = .05, GPB's emissions for all
          projection years equals .05 times those of SCE.

     (4)  Because of the DWP's proposed policy of bringing power  into
          the basin, their emissions are assumed to  remain constant
          through 1980.  Since in 1972 (DWP generating capacity/SCE
          generating capacity) = 0.379, DWP baseline emissions  are
          assumed to be equal  to 0.379 times SCE's emissions in 1972.

The results of Steps (3) and (4) are shown in Table  3-5.

     The methodology outlined above does not account for possible energy

conservation measures adopted by consumers and the.fact that emissions are

not directly proportional  to generating capacities (since the emission
characteristics of individual  plants differ).
                                    64

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            TABLE  3-5.   PROJECTED EMISSIONS  FROM STEAM  ELECTRIC  PLANTS
                        IN  THE  AIR BASIN  (TONS/DAY)

Year      County              Particulates         NO^             S02  '
1977      Los Angeles             25.9             98.5            210.2
          Orange                   6.6             23.7             53.6
          Riverside                 -
          San Bernardino           3.5             12.4             28.1
          Santa Barbara             -
          Ventura                  5.9             21.4             48.5

1980      Los Angeles             26.4            103.5            218.2
          Orange                   6.8             25.6             56.3
          Riverside                 -
          San Bernardino           3.6      '       13.4             29.5
          Santa Barbara
          Ventura                  6.2             23.2             51.0

 3.3.6  Domestic and Commercial  Fuel  Combustion
      Emissions from domestic and commercial fuel  combustion in  the air basin
 result from the use of natural  gas supplied by the Southern California Gas
 Company (SC Gas)  and the city of Long Beach (LB).   Both SC Gas1 parent
 company, the Pacific Lighting Companies  (PLC)  and LB have made  projections
                                                   30
 of deliveries to domestic and commercial  customers   (also known as firm
 customers)  (Tables 3-6 and 3-7).  With these projections and EPA emission
 factors (Table 3-16),  the average daily  emissions of particulates, NO   and
                                                                     /\
 S02 can be  calculated.  It is  desirable,  however, to calculate  a county
 by county emission projection.   The methodology for accomplishing this is
 detailed in the following paragraph.
      Since  PLC sells natural gas to customers  other than SC Gas and SC Gas1
 service area extends from San  Luis Obispo to San  Bernardino Counties and
 from Fresno to Imperial County (excluding the  city of Long Beach), the
 initial step was  to determine  SC Gas1 from deliveries  to the air basin
 counties.   This was done by assuming that the  fraction of SC Gas1 total
 firm deliveries which  went to  the air basin counties in 1973 would remain
                                    65

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constant until 1980 (Table 3-9).  Once these fractions were known, a
county by county projection could be made (LB firm sales were attributed
to Los Angeles County) (Tables 3-11, 13 and 14).
     The procedure explained above assumes average temperature years,
and does not account for possible conservation measures by consumers and
the possible switching by interruptible customers to a firm delivery
schedule.
3.3.7  Other Industrial Fuel Combustion
Los Angeles County
     All  emissions are due either to petroleum refining operations or
 other industries" (i.e. chemical, metallurgical).  The new desulfurization .
facilities at Standard Oil and ARCO are projected to contribute the follow-
                                       42
ing quantities of combustion emissions:
          •  Standard Oil (starting in 1976):   Particulate +0.3 tons/day
                                               NOX         +4.9 tons/day
                                               S02         +5.3 tons/day
          •  ARCO (starting in 1977):           Particulate +0.7 tons/day
                                               NOX         +7.2 tons/day
                                               S02         +7.3 tons/day
Otherwise fuel combustion emissions from all  other refineries  are  expected
to remain constant through 1980.  In the "other industries" category,
emissions result from the combustion of either natural  gas or  alternate
fuels (propane, fuel  oil, etc.).  This is because most industrial  facilities
are on an interruptible natural  gas supply basis  and have alternate fuel
supplies .   The projection of natural  gas supplies to these interruptible
                                          30
customers has been made by the PLC and LB.    This information, along with
emission factors (Table 3-16), allow for the calculation of emissions due
to natural  gas combustion.  However, the problem  remains in attempting to
project emissions from the combustion  of alternate fuels.
     In 1972, the total emissions from fuel  combustion by "other
industries" was:
          Particulates:  6.0 tons/day  (total  particulates minus
                         petroleum refining operations  particulates).
          NO :           80.6 tons/day (KVB Engineering, Inc.).
            X
          SOo:            10  tons/day.
                                    66

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 Also, in 1972, natural gas supplied to these "other industries"  was
 70,849 MMcf.2  Using EPA emission factors (Table 3-16),  the daily tonnage  of
 pollutants generated by burning this quantity of natural  gas was:
                Particulates:   1.7 tons/day
                NOX:           17.0 tons/day
                S02:            0.06 tons/day
Thus,
     6.0 - 1.7 = 4.3 tons of particulate emissions in 1972 were due to the
     combustion of alternate fuels.
     80.4 - 17 = 63.4 tons of NO  emissions in 1972 were due to the combustion
                                /\
     of alternate fuels.
     10.0 - .06 = 9.94 tons of SOp emissions in 1972 were due to  the combustion
     of alternate fuels.
In 1972, 1977 and 1980 the curtailment (difference between demand and supply) of
natural gas to industrial customers is 8502 MMcf, 37,423 MMcf and 32,268 MMcf
respectively (Table 3-13).  Then,
                     1977 curtailment _  37,423 MMcf  _ . .
                     1972 curtailment     8,502 MMcf    4>H

                     1980 curtailment    32.268 MMcf    . a
                     1972 curtailment     8,502 MMcf  " J-tt
The above ratios reflect the increase in usage of alternate fuels in 1977 and
1980 as compared to 1972.  By multiplying 4.4 times the 1972 emissions of
particulates, NO  and S09 due to alternate fuels, the resulting figures yield
                A       £
the 1977 emissions of these pollutants due to the combustion of alternate fuels.
For 1980, the factor of 3.8 is used instead.
Orange, San Bernardino, Santa Barbara, and Ventura Counties
     All emissions are from "other industries" (no petroleum refineries) burn-
ing either natural gas or alternate fuels.  The procedure outlined for "other
industries" in Los Angeles County was also used here, except for  San Bernardino
County S02 emissions which are assumed to hold constant from 1972 through 1980,
since S02 emissions in this category are due mainly to the Kaiser Steel Plant
operation which is not projected to increase its throughput.
     The baseline data is obtained by multiplying the quantity of inter-
ruptible natural gas supplied to the county times emission factors
                                                        o
(Table 3-16), except for NO  where KVB Engineering, Inc.   data is used.
                           /\
                                     67

-------
         Table 3-6.   PACIFIC LIGHTING COMPANIES NATURAL GAS USAGE
                     PREDICTIONS (in MMcf)
                       Firm Sales                 Interrupt!'ble Sales
                  (Retail & Wholesale)           (Industrial  & Wholesale)
Year                Demand    Supply                Demand      Supply


1977              550,834   550,834               426,824     277,436

1980              585,345   585,345               460,038     331,227
Note:  Above figures do not include sales to steam electric plants and oil
       companies (payback and exchange)

Source:  1973 California Gas Report.
         Table 3-7.   LONG BEACH NATURAL GAS USAGE PREDICTION
                     (in MMcf)


                       Firm Sales           •     Interruptible Sales
                   (Retail & Wholesale)         (Industrial  & Wholesale)
Year                 Demand    Supply               Demand      Supply

1977                 15,194    15,194                5,498       5,498
1980                 15,194    15,194                5,537       5,537


Note:  Above figures do not include sales to steam electric plants and oil
       companies (exchange and payback)

Source:  1973 California Gas Report.
                                     ,68

-------
       TABLE 3-8   BREAKDOWN OF 1973 SC GAS COMPANY SALES IN AIR BASIN
                   (Not including sales to steam electric plants
                   and oil companies) (MMcf)
County
Los Angeles
Orange
Riverside
San Bernardino
Santa Barbara
Ventura
Source:  E. Harris, Southern California Gas Company
Firm Sales
285,910.48
65,914.05
15,572.63
26,010.02
3,511.76
16,414.96
% of Firm
Sales
69.2
15.9
3.8
6.4
0.8
3.9
Interrupt!' ble
Sales
82,412.93
17,935.16
10,185.26
20,383.04
182.26
3,971.29
% of Interruptible
Sales
61.1
13.3
7.5
15.1
0.1
2.9
       TABLE 3-9.   BREAKDOWN OF 1973 PACIFIC LIGHTING COMPANIES SALES
                   TO AIR BASIN PORTION OF SC GAS (Not including
                   sales to steam electric plants and oil  companies)
       SC Gas Company Firm Sales
Pacific Lighting Companies Firm Sales
413,333.9 MMcf
504,013 MMcf
=  0.82
  SC Gas Company Interruptible Sales          135,069.4 MMcf
Pacific Lighting Go's Interruptible Sales     328,911  MMcf
                   =  0.41
                                   69

-------
                                                                              Table 3-10

                                                             Summary of Pacific  Lighting Companies Breakdown

                                                       of Sales to  Southern California  Gas Company (By County)
          69.21
LOS ANGELES  COUNTY
     FIRM SALES
                                        15.9%
  ORANGE COUNTY
    FIRM SALES
                                                                      PACIFIC LIGHTING COMPANIES
                                                                             FIRM SALES
                                                                                     82%
                                                                      SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GAS CO.
                                                                             FIRM SALES
                                                                     3.8%
                                                                                                   6.4%
 RIVERSIDE COUNTY
    FIRM  SALES
SAN BERNARDINO  COUNTY
     FIRM  SALES
                                                                                                                                  0.8%
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
      FIRM SALES
                                                                                                                                                                3.9%
  VENTURA COUNTY
    FIRM SALES
          61.1%
LOS ANGELES  COUNTY
INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                        13.3X
  ORANGE COUNTY
INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                                                        PACIFIC LIGHTING COMPANIES
                                                                           INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                                                                     41%
                                                                        SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA GAS CO.
                                                                           INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                                                      7.5%
                                                                                                   15.1%
  RIVERSIDE COUNTY
INTERRUPTIBLE  SALES
SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
  INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                                                                                                                  0.1%
SANTA BARBARA  COUNTY
 INTERRUPTIBLE SALES
                                                                                                                                                                2.9%
  VENTURA COUNTY
INTERRUPTIBLE SALES

-------
          TABLE 3-11.   PROJECTION OF  FIRM SALES IN THE  AIR BASIN FROM  SC
                        GAS  AND LONG BEACH.           (in MMcf)



Year
1973
1977
1980
Pacific
Lighting
Companies
Firm Sales
504,013
550,834
585,345
Percent of PLC
Firm Sales to
Air Basin SC
Gas
82%
82%
82%
SC Gas Firm Sales
in the Air Basin
413,290.7
451,683.9
479,982.9
LB Firm
Sales
14,327
15,194
15,194
Total
Firm Sales
427,617.7
466,877.9
495,176.9
           TABLE 3-12.   PROJECTION OF  INTERRUPTIBLE SALES IN THE  AIR
                          BASIN  FROM SC  GAS AND  LONG BEACH  (MMcf)
      Pacific Lighting     Percent of PLC      SC Gas in
         Conipenios          to SC Gas        Air Hnsin       Long Beach       Total
Year  Ceni3.jnd    Supj^j/  fjlilti_qri^i£Jvi_r_I_3asiji   Demand  Sun_plj/  Demand  Simply  Domanc|  Supply


1977  426,824  277,436         41% -         174,998  113,749   5,198  5,498  180,496  119,247

1980  460,030  331,227.        41%          188,616  135,803   5,537  5,537  194,153  140,340
                                         71

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    TABLE 3-13.  FIRM AND INTERRUPTIBLE GAS SALES PROJECTION IN THE
                 AIR BASIN      (MMcf)
Year   County

1972   Los Angeles
       Orange
       Riverside
       San Bernardino
       Santa Barbara
       Ventura

1977   Los Angeles
       Orange
       Riverside
       San Bernardino
       Santa Barbara
       Ventura

1980   Los Angeles
       Orange
       Riverside
       San Bernardino
       Santa Barbara
       Ventura
     Firm
Demand   Supply
       Inturruptible
Demand   Supply   Curtailment
;
-
327,759
71,818
17,164
28,908
3,614
17,616
347,342
76,317
18,239
30,719
3,840
18,719
;
-
327,759
71,818
17,164
28,908
3,614
17,616
347,342
76,317
18,239
30,719
3,840
18,719
79,351
15,961
9,000
18,122
120
3,480
112,421
23,274
13,124
26,425
175
5,075
120,781
25,086
14,146
28,481
189
5,470
70,849
14,251
8,036
16,180
107
3,107
74,999
15,129
8,531
17,176
114
3,299
88,513
18,062
10,185
20,506
136
3,938
8,502
1,710
964
1,942
13
373
37,423
8,146
4,594
9,249
61
1 ,776
32,268
7,024
3,961
7,965
53
1,532
                                    72

-------
Parti culates
8.5
1.9
0.4
0.8
0.1
0.5
9.0
2.0
0.5
0.8
0.1
0.5
NOX
44.9
9.8
2.4
4.0
0.5
2.4
47.6
10.5
2.5
4.2
0.5
2.6
so2
C.
0.3
0.1
negl .
negl.
negl .
negl .
0.3
0.1
negl .
negl .
negl.
negl .
   TABLE 3-14.  PROJECTED EMISSIONS FROM DOMESTIC AND COMMERCIAL FUEL
                COMBUSTION   (tons/day) *
Year     County
1977     Los Angeles
         Orange
         Riverside
         San Bernardino
         Santa Barbara
         Ventura

1980     Los Angeles
         Orange
         Riverside
         San Bernardino
         Santa Barbara
         Ventura
*Figures obtained by multiplying natural, gas usage (Table 3-13) times EPA
 emission factors (Table 3-16).
 negl. = negligible
           TABLE 3-15.   PROJECTED EMISSIONS FROM INDUSTRIAL
                        FUEL COMBUSTION (tons/day)
Year     County
1977     Los Angeles
         Orange
         Riverside
         San Bernardino
         Santa Barbara
         Ventura

1980     Los Angeles
         Orange
         Riverside
         San Bernardino
         Santa Barbara
         Ventura
negl. =  negligible
                                     73
Particulates
29.0
. 2-°
0.2
4.7
negl.
1.3
26.0
2.0
0.3
4.2
negl .
1.0
NOX
346.1
26.0
4.0
100.0
8.0
61.0
311.1
23.3
4.0
87.0
6.9
54.0
so2
63.6
negl .
negl .
17.6
negl .
0.4
57.6
negl .
negl .
17.6
negl.
0.3

-------
Pollutant
TABLE 3-16.   EMISSION FACTORS FOR NATURAL GAS COMBUSTION
             Industrial                  Domestic  and  Commercial
      (Lbs/106Ft3)  (Tons/1Q6Ft3-Day)   (Lbs/106Ft3)  (Tons/106Ft3-Day)
Parti cul ate

SO.
J
CO
CH4
N00
18.0

0.6

17.0
3.0
175.0*
24.7 x 10"6
-6
0.8 x 10 °

23.3 x 10"6
4.1 x 10"6
239.7 x 10"~6*
19.0

0.6

20.0
8.0
100.0*
                                                              26.0 x 10
                                                               0.6 x 10
                                                              27.4 x 10
                                                              11.0 x 10
                                                             137.0 x 10
                                                               -6
                                                               -6
                                                               -6
                                                               -6
                                                               -6*
*Average
Source:  Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission  Factors,  EPA,  April  1973,
                                    74

-------
3.3.8  Aircraft Emissions
     Note:  Air carrier airports are defined as ones which primarily
handle commercial passenger and air cargo traffic.  The aircraft at these
airports are assumed to be mainly jet driven, with a small fraction being
piston driven.  General aviation airports are defined to be ones which
primarily serve small private aircraft, with the majority being piston
driven.
Los Angeles County
     There are three air carrier, ten general aviation, and no military
airfields in the county (Table 3-17).  It is assumed that the air carrier
airports contribute an overwhelming percentage of the countywide jet
aircraft emissions (in 1970, the Los Angeles County APCD reported that
75% of the total jet aircraft emissions in the county eminated from Los
Angeles International alone) and that these emissions will increase at the
rate of 14% per year, the historical (1960-1970) growth rate of the number
                      33
of passengers carried.    This rate may tend to overestimate emissions
because of the introduction of cleaner jet engines and the increased use
of "jumbo jets."  As for piston aircraft emissions, the general  aviation
airports are presumed to contribute the majority of these emissions which
are assumed to increase at the rate of 6% per year.  This 6% figure is the
                                                                            33
estimated growth rate of piston aircraft based at general aviation airports.
Orange County
     Following the procedure outlined for Los Angeles County, jet aircraft
emissions are assumed to increase at the rate of 14% per year (from Orange
County Airport) and piston aircraft emissions at 6% per year (from the
general aviation airports).  No information was available to assess the
present and future impact of the lone military airbase, El Toro Marine
Corps Air Station.
Riverside County
     Conversations with personnel familiar with March AFB revealed that
only a minor fraction of the county's aircraft emissions could be
attributed to this facility.  Consequently, all emissions were assigned
                                    75

-------
to the eight general aviation airports and were assumed to increase
at the rate of 6% per year.
San Bernardino County
     The two military airbases account for a very minor portion of the
total aircraft emissions.  All emissions were assigned to Ontario
International (the general aviation airports contribute a negligible
                     38
quantity of emissions  ) and assumed to increase at 14% per year.
Santa Barbara County
     There is only one airport in the county (Table 3-17).  Since it is an
air carrier airport, emission rates for both jet and piston driven
aircraft are assumed to increase at the rate of 14% per year.
Ventura County
     While there are a total  of five airports (Table 3-17), only the three
general aviation airports contribute to the emission inventory, since
Oxnard AFB is inactive and Pt. Mugu NAS is used only for periodic train-
ing flights.   Emissions are therefore assumed to increase at 6% per year.
     The procedure outlined above does not account for the 1979 federal
standards for new jet engines.  However, since the average lifetime of
                        39
a jet engine is 15 years  , only 1/15 of the total aircraft in service
would be replaced between 1979 and 1980.  It is assumed that all retro-
fitting of JT3D jet engines was completed by 1972 and of JT8D jet engines
by 1973.   The growth rates for general aviation and air carrier airports
are historical  trends and thus may not be correct because of possible
future changes in the economy.
                                   76

-------
                  TABLE  3-17.   AIRPORTS  IN  THE. AIR BASIN
County

Los Angeles
Air Carrier
General Aviation    Military
Los Angeles International San Fernando
Hollywood - Burbank       Whiteman
Long Beach                Van Nuys
                          Santa Monica
                          Hawthorne
                          Compton
                          Torrance
                          Shepherd
                          El Monte
                          Brackett
Orange
Riverside
Orange County
San Bernardino  Ontario
Santa Barbara

Ventura
Fullerton
Meadowlark
Capistrano

Fla-Bob
Riverside
Corona
Stony Bridge Ranch
Pern's Valley
Hemet - Ryan
Skylark
Rancho California

Cable
Chino
Fontana
Rial to
Col ton
Tri-City
Redlands
Big Bear City

Santa Barbara

Ventura County
Santa Paula
Santa Susana
Los Alamitos
El  Toro MCAS
                                              March AFB
NAS*
                                              Norton AFB
                                              George AFB
                                              Oxnard AFB*
                                              Pt.  Mugu NAS
*Inactive

Source:  Southern California Regional Aviation System Study, System
         Development Corporation/William L. Pereira Associates, 1972,
         (Done"for the Southern California Association of Governments).
                                      77

-------
            TABLE 3-18.  LOS ANGELES COUNTY AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS
                       (tons/day)
Year    Source            RHC       Particulates    NOX          S02
1977    Jet Driven       17.3          17.3         19.3         5.7
        Piston Driven     3.3           -            4.0
1980    Jet Driven       25.6          25.5         28.6         8.4
        Piston Driven     3.9           -            4.8
              TABLE 3-19.  ORANGE COUNTY AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS
                           (tons/day)
Year    Source            RHC       Particulates    NOX          SO
1977    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven     2.3
1980    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven     2.7
_
2.3
_
2.7
2.4
0.3
3.5
0.3
1.7
0.2
2.5
0.3
0.2

0.3

             TABLE 3-20.   RIVERSIDE COUNTY AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS
                         (tons/day)
Year    Source            RHC       Particulates    NOx          SO
1977    Total (Piston)    2.1           4.3         4.1

1980    Total (Piston)    2.4           5.2         4.9
                                    78

-------
            TABLE  3-21

Year    Source
1977    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven
                 SAN  BERNARDINO  COUNTY  AIRCRAFT
                 EMISSIONS  (tons/day)
                  RHC       Participates    NOX
                  1.7           2.5         2.9
                                          so2
                                          0.6
1980    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven
                          2.5
                                3.8
                             4.3
0.9
           TABLE 3-22,

Year    Source
1977    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven
                SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AIRCRAFT
                EMISSIONS (tons/day)
                  RHC
             Particulates    NOX
                 0.2         0.2
                 0.2
SO,
1980    Jet Driven
        Piston Driven
                                0.3
                                0.2
                             0.3
1977
          TABLE 3-23.
Year    Source
Jet Driven
Piston Driven
VENTURA COUNTY AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS
(tons/day)
   RHC       Particulates    NOX

  11.5           3.8         1.6
   3.1           0.8   :.    0.2
                                                         SO,
0.6
1980    Jet Driven       16.9
        Piston Driven     3.7
                                5.6
                                1.0
                             2.4
                             0.2
0.8
                                    79

-------
 3.3.9  Mobile Source Projection  (other than  aircraft)
     Light and heavy duty motor  vehicle emissions were projected using
 the procedure outlined in Appendix C.  The present control program for
 light-duty vehicles includes the Federal new car control program and
 the California Air Resources Board retrofit program requiring VSAD on
 all 1966-1970 vehicles.  The effect of the latter program by 1977 and
 1980 is of course, minimal, since cars of those model years become a
 relatively small fraction of the total population.
     Diesel emissions were projected by assuming that the growth in
 diesel VMT is identical to the growth in VMT as projected by LARTS for
 the Los Angeles Metropolitan area.  The 9.7% growth rate used to obtain
 1972 diesel emissions was not used because it was felt that such a high
 rate could not be sustained through 1977 and 1980.
     Emissions from miscellaneous uncontrolled vehicles were
 projected on the basis of the statewide projection to 1980 made by AESi
 as part of that study.  The projection to 1977 was made assuming a
 linear interpolation between base year and 1980 figures.
     Emissions from ships and railroads were assumed to be constant
 through 1980.  Since this category accounts for such a small part of
 the total inventory for each pollutant, little value was seen in
 pursuing this subject further.

3.4  PROJECTED EMISSION INVENTORY UNDER ERA-PROMULGATED CONTROLS
     By 1977, federal  regulations for stationary sources in the South
Coast Air Basin include the installation of vapor recovery systems at
gasoline stations, additional  controls on dry cleaning emissions,  elimination
of certain industrial  solvent  compounds, improved control  on painting
operation solvent loss and additional  restrictions on the  loss  of  organic
                                   40
solvents in general  industrial use.    These controls will  reduce  reactive
hydrocarbon emissions  at gasoline stations by 81% and reactive  hydrocarbon
                                              4 41
emissions from organic solvent users by 33.6%.
                                   80

-------
     The projection of light and heavy duty vehicle emissions to 1977
and 1980 is described in Appendix C.  Under the promulgated EPA plan
for oxidant control, inspection/maintenance, catalytic converter retro-
fit and VMT reduction measures are required for light-duty vehicles.
Data  published in the EPA promulgation (Federal Register, vol. 38,
no. 217, Nov. 12, 1973) indicate a 15%' reduction in hydrocarbon
emissions is anticipated from the inspection/maintenance program, and
a 50% reduction in hydrocarbons is anticipated from cars retrofitted
with catalysts.  VMT reduction measures have not been assessed due to
the current uncertainty with regard to their effectiveness as well as
their socio-economic acceptability.  Instead, any VMT reduction required
for the purpose of a particulate matter control strategy will be
identified and compared to VMT reduction requirements for oxidant con-
trol in a subsequent volume.

3.5  PROJECTED EMISSION INVENTORY SUMMARY  TABLES
     Eight tables summarizing the emission inventory projections are contained
in this section, covering the following:
     t  1977 Inventory of Particulate Matter Under Present Controls
     •  1977 Inventory of Gaseous Precursors Under Present Controls
     t  1977 Inventory of Particulate Matter Under the EPA Oxidant
        Control Plan
     •  1977 Inventory of Gaseous Precursors Under the EPA Control
        Plan
     •  1980 Inventory of Particulate Matter Under Present Controls
     •  1980 Inventory of Gaseous Precursors Under Present Controls
     t  1980 Inventory of Particulate Matter Under the EPA Oxidant
        Control Plan
     •  1980 Inventory of Gaseous Precursors Under the EPA Oxidant
        Control Plan
     These tables indicate the contribution to the total inventory by each
major source category, as well  as the total inventory in tons per day.
                                   81

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     TABLE 3-24.  1977 INVENTORY OF PARTICULATE EMISSIONS UNDER
                  PRESENT CONTROLS (tons/day)
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial
  Industrial
  Power Plants
Agricultural

     Stationary Sources
     Total
                                  Entire Air Basin
 10.0
174.0
  9.9
168.0
                       Four County Area
Total
3.0
18.5
13.4
35.6
2.4
12.2
37.2
41.9
Suspended
3.0
16.7
13.4
32.0
2.2
12.1
36.8
41.5
Total
3.0
18.2
13.4
12.5
2.5
11.6
35.9
36.0
Suspended
3.0
16.4
13.4
11.0
2.3
11.5 ,
35.5
35.6
  2.9
136.0
  2.9
132.0
Light Duty Vehicles
Keavy Duty Vehicles
Diesels
Aircraft
  Jet
  Piston
Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad, etc.)
Ships and Railroads
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
     Mobile Sources
     Total

     Total Inventory
61.9
2.0
4.9
26.2
5.6
7.2
1.9
36.9
147,0
321.0 .
47.0
1.7
4.0
25.9
4.5
5.9
1.5
18.1
109.0
277.0
59.7
1.9
4.7
22.2
4.6
7.0
1.5
35.6
137,0
273.0
45.3
1.6
3.9
22.0
3.7
5.6
1.2
17.4
101.0
233.0
                                    82

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            TABLE 3-25. ' 1977 INVENTORY OF- GASEOUS PRECURSOR EMISSIONS
                       •  UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS (tons/day)


                                  Entire Air Basin      Four County Area

Source Category                  S0_2    NO*    RHC     S0_2    NO^    RHC
Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Chemical
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
Domestic and Commercial
Industrial
Power Plants
Agricultural
Stationary Sources
Total
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesels
Aircraft
Jet
Piston
Miscellaneous
i_
60.
-
10.
15.
7.
-

0.
81.
340.
1.

516.
42.
0.
10.

7.
-
_
0

0
0
5


4
6
4
1

0
7
8
1

1


67.
-
0.
0.
-
1.

64.
545.
156.
1.

837
607.
25.
138.

25.
8.
72.
5

6
6

9

0
0
0
1


8
6
3

7
5
6
79
50
-
-
-
0

_
-
-
6

136
476
25
. 13

30
10
103
.0
.6



.4




.6

.7
.9
.0
.7

.5
.8
.6
60.
-
10.
15.
1.
-

0.
81.
291.
1.

465.
41.
0.
9.

6.
-
_
0

0
0
7


4
2
9
1

0
2
8
7

5


67.
-
0.
0.
-
1.

61.
476.
134.
0.

743.
585.
24.
133.

23.
8.
70.
5

5
6

8

1
0
6
3

0
9
7
7

9
3
2
71.1
45.9
-
-
-
0.4

_
-
-
10.4

117.8
459.7
24.1
13.7

19.0
7.7
99.2
  (motorcycles, offroad, etc.)

Ships and Railroads              14.5   26 .0   -      10.8   24.0


     Mobile Sources
     Total                       75.2  904.5  660.5    69.0  870.7  623.4


     Total Inventory            591.0 1742.0  798.0   530.0 1614.0  741.0
                                    83

-------
        TABLE 3-26.  1977 INVENTORY OF PARTICULATE EMISSIONS UNDER
                     THE EPA OXIDANT CONTROL PLAN (tons/day)
                                    Entire Air Basin
                         Entire Air Basin
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial
  Industrial
  Power Plants
Agricultural

     Stationary Sources
     Total

Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesels
Aircraft
  Jet
  Piston
Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad, etc.)
Ships and Railroads
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
Total
3.0
18.5
13.4
35.6
2.4
12.2
37.2
41.9
10.0
174.0
41.9
2.0
4.9
26.2
5.6
7.2
1.9
36.9
Suspended
3.0
16.7
13.4
32.0
2.2
12.1
36.8
41.5
9.9
168.0
36.4
1.7
4.0
25.9
4.5
5.9
1.5
18.1
Total
3.0
18.2
13.4
12.5
2.5
11.6
35.9
36.0
2.9
136.0
40.4
1.9
4.7
22.2
4.6
7.0
1.5
35.6
Suspended
3.0
16.4
13.4
11.0
2.3
11.5
35.5
35.6
2.9
132.0
35.1
1.6
3.9
22.0
3.7
5.6
1.2
17.4
     Mobile Sources
     Total
     Total Inventory
127.0

301.0
 98.0

266.0
118.0

254.0
 91.0

223.0
                                    84

-------
         TABLE 3-27.  1977 INVENTORY OF GASEOUS PRECURSOR EMISSIONS
                      UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT CONTROL PLAN (tons/day)
                                  Entire Air Basin      Four County Area
Source Category                  S02    NOX    RHC     SO?    NOX    RHC

Petroleum                        60.0   67.5   19.6    60.0   67.5   17.3
Organic Solvent                   -      -     33.4     -      -     30.4
Chemical                         10.0    0.6    -      10.0    0.5
Metallurgical                    15.0    0.6    -      15.0    0.6
Mineral                           7.5.    -      -       1.7
Incineration                      -      1.9    0.4     -      0.8    0.4
Fuel Combustion
     i
  Domestic and Commercial         0.4   64.0    -       0.4   61.1
  Industrial  ,                   81.6  545.0    -      81.2  476.0
  Power Plants                  340.4  156.0    -     291.9  134.6
Agricultural                      1.1    1.1    6.6     1.1    0.3    0.4

     Stationary Sources
     Total                  -    516.0  837.0   60.0   461.0  743.0   48

Light Duty Vehicles              36.9  607.8  347.7    35.6  585.9  335.2
Heavy Duty Vehicles               0.8   25.6   25.0     0.8   24.7   24.1
Diesels                          10.1  138.3   13.7     9.7  133.7   13.7
Aircraft
  Jet                             7.1   25.7   30.5     6.5   23.9   19.0
  Piston                          -      8.5   10.8     -      8.3    7.7
Miscellaneous                     -     72.6  103.6     -     70.2   99.2
  (Motorcycles, offroad, etc.)
Ships and Railroads              14.5   26.0    -      10.8   24.0

     Mobile Sources
     Total                       69.4  904.5  531.0    63.4  870.7  498.9

     Total Inventory            585.0 1742.0  591.0   524.0 1614.0  547
                                    85

-------
          TABLE 3-28.   1980 INVENTORY OF PARTICULATE EMISSIONS
                       UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS (tons/day)
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial
  Industrial
  Power Plants
Agricultural
     Stationary Sources
     Total
                                    Entire Air Basin
                        Four County Area
Total
3.0
19.2
14.0
38.3
2.5
12.9
33.5
43.0
Suspended
3.0
17.3
14.0
34.5
2.3
12.8
33.2
42.6
Total
3.0
18.8
14.0
12.8
2.6
12.3
32.5
36.8
Suspended
3.0
16.9
14.0
11.5
2.3
12.2
32.1
36.4
 10.3
177.0
 10.2
170.0
  2.9
136.0
  2.9
131
Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesels
Aircraft
  Jet
  Piston
Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad, etc.)
Ships and Railroads
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
     Mobile Sources
     Total

     Total Inventory
50.8
2,1
5.3
38.7
6.7
7.9
1.9
39.6
153.0
330.0
41.7
1.8
4.3
38.3
5.4
6.5
1.5
19.3
119.0
289.0
49.0
2.0
5.1
32.8
5.5
7.7
1.5
38.2
142.0
278.0
40.2
1.7
4.1
32.5
4.5
6.2
1.2
18.6
109.0
240.0
                                   86

-------
     TABLE 3-29.  1980 INVENTORY OF GASEOUS PRECURSOR EMISSIONS
                  UNDER PRESENT CONTROLS (tons/day)

                                  Entire Air Basin      Four County Area
Source Category                  S0_2    HO*    RH£     S02    NOX    RHC

Petroleum                        60.0   67.5   89.1    60.0   67.5   71.1
Organic Solvent                   -      -     53.2     -      -     45.9
Chemical                         10.0    0.6    -      10.0    0.5
Metallurgical                    15.9    0.6    -      15.9    0.6
Mineral                           9.1    -      -       1.8    -
Incineration                      -      2.1    0.4     -      1.8    0.4
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial         0.4   64.0    -       0.4   61.1
  Industrial                     75.5  486.3    -      75.2  425.4
  Power Plants                  355.0  165.7    -     304.0  142.5
Agricultural                      1.1    1.1    6.6     1.1   .0.3    0.4
     Stationary Sources
     Total                      527.0  788   ,149.0   468.0  700.0  118.0

Light Duty Vehicles              41.4  443.3  286.2    39.9  426.9  275.9
Heavy Duty Vehicles               0.9   20.0   18.5     0.9   19.3   17.8
Diesels                          10.8  148.1   14.7    10.4  143.2   14.7
Aircraft
  Jet                            10.4   38.1   45.0     9.6   35.4   28.1
  Piston                          -     10.2   12.7     -     10.0    9.0
Miscellaneous                     -     78.1  108.3     -     75.5  103.7
  (Motorcycles, offroad,  etc.)
Ships and Railroads              14.5   26.0    -      10.8   24.0

     Mobile Sources
     Total                       78.0  763.8  485.4    71.6  734.3  449.2

     Total Inventory            605.01552.0  634.0   540.01434.0  567.0
                                     87

-------
        TABLE 3-30.   1980 INVENTORY OF PARTICULATE EMISSIONS UNDER
                     THE EPA OXIDANT CONTROL PLAN (tons/day)
                                   Entire Air Basin
                        Four County Area
Source Category

Petroleum
Organic Solvent
Metallurgical
Mineral
Incineration
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial
  Industrial
  Power Plants
Agricultural
     Stationary Sources
     Total

Light Duty Vehicles
Heavy Duty Vehicles
Diesels
Aircraft
  Jet
  Piston
Miscellaneous
  (Motorcycles, offroad, etc.)
Ships and Railroads
Motor Vehicle Tire Wear
Total
3.0
19.2
14.0
38.3
2.5
12.9
33.5
43.0
Suspended
3.0
17.3
14.0
34.5
2.3
12.8
33.2
42.6
Total
3.0
18.8
14.0
12.8
2.6
12.3
32.5
36.8
Suspended
3.0
16.9
14.0
11.5
2.3
12. -2
32.1
36.4
 10.3
177.0
 10.2
170.0
  2.9
136.0
  2.9
131.0
37.1
2.1
5.3
38.7
6.7
7.9
1.9
36.9
34.9
1.8
4.3
38.3
5.4
6.5
1.5
19.3
35.8
2.0
5.1
32.8
5.5
7.7 .
1.5
38.2
33.6
1.7
4.1
32.5
4.5
6.2
1.2
18.6
     Mobile Sources
     Total
139.0
113.0
129.0
102.0
     Total Inventory
316.0
283.0
265.0
233.0

-------
      TABLE 3-31  1980 INVENTORY OF GASEOUS PRECURSOR EMISSIONS
                  UNDER THE EPA OXIDANT CONTROL PLAN (tons/day)

                                  Entire Air Basin      Four County Area
Source Category                  S0_2    NO*    RH£     SO?    NOX    RHC

Petroleum                        60.0   67.5   21.5    60.0   67.5   18.2
Organic Solvent                   -      -     35.0     -      -      30.0
Chemical                         10.0    0.6    -      10.0    0.5
Metallurgical                    15.9    0.6    -      15.9    0.5
Mineral                           9,1    -      -       1.8    -
Incineration                      -      2.1    0.4     -      1.9    0.4
Fuel Combustion
  Domestic and Commercial         0.4   64.0    -       0.4   61.1
  Industrial                     75.5  486.3    -      75.2  425.4
  Power Plants                  355.0  165.7    -     304.0  142.5
Agricultural                      1.1    1.1    6.6     1.1    0.3    0.4
     Stationary Sources
     Total                      527.0  788.0   64.0   468.0  700.0   49.0

Light Duty Vehicles              37.0  443.3  194.9    35.7  426.9  187.9
Heavu Duty Vehicles               0.9   20.0   18.5     0.9   19.3   17.8
Diesels                          10.8  148.1   14.7    10.4  143.2   14.7
Ai rcraft
  Jet                            10.4   38.1   45.0     9.6   35.4   28.1
  Piston                          -     10.2   12.7     -     10.0    9.0
Miscellaneous                     -     78.1  108.3     -     75.5  103.7
  (Motorcycles, offroad,  etc.)
Ships and Railroads              14.5   26.0    -      10.8   24.0
     Mobile Sources
     Total                       73.6  763.8  394.1    67.4  734.3  361.2

     Total Inventory            601.0 1552.0  458.0   535.0 1434.0  410.0
                                   89

-------
3.6  DISCUSSION
     The baseline and projected inventories for each pollutant considered
in the preceding analysis are presented in Tables 3-32 through 3-35.   Both
total and suspended particulate emissions are projected to increase through
1977 and 1980.  The EPA oxidant control plan as well as the EPA new car con-
trol program will result in a reduction in particulate emissions from light
duty vehicles due to the anticipated use of oxidizing catalysts.  However,
it must be noted that the character of the remaining particulates from
those vehicles so equipped will  change dramatically to a much more toxic
form (sulfuric acid mist).
      Sulfur dioxide emissions are projected to increase through 1980, due
mainly to the growth in fuel demand and the current trend toward the use
of low-sulfur fuel  oil as a replacement for dwindling natural gas supplies.
S02 emissions are expected to be reduced slightly under the EPA oxidant
control plan  due to the oxidizing catalyst retrofit requirement for light
duty vehicles.
     Emissions of oxides of nitrogen are projected to increase substantially
through 1977.  This behavior is due to the fact that the EPA new car
control program will produce only moderate reductions in NO  emissions
                                                           X
from 1975 and 1976 model year cars, while growth in the fuel combustion,
aircraft, and uncontrolled vehicle categories is almost enough to offset
the reductions projected for light duty vehicles.  By 1980, the full  force
of the EPA new car control program should be realized with drastic reductions
in NO  emissions from 1977 and later model year vehicles.   Hence,
     A
significant reductions in NO  emissions are projected to occur by 1980.
                            A
     Finally, reactive hydrocarbon emissions are projected to decrease
dramatically as local, state, and federal control programs for oxidant
progress.  As stated previously, reductions due to VMT reduction measures
contained in the EPA oxidant control plan have not been included in the
preparation of the preceding projections.  Whether such measures are
necessary in full or in part to the success of a control  program for
particulate matter will be addressed in a subsequent volume.
                                   90

-------
      TABLE  3-32.   ENTIRE AIR BASIN SUMMARY  INVENTORY UNDER PRESENT
                   CONTROLS   (tons/day)                   .
                                                Year
                                  1972          1977          1980
      Pollutant                 Inventory     Inventory     Inventory
Total Particulates                 250           321            330
Suspended Particulates             213           277            289

S02                                492           591            605
NOX                               1423          1742           1552
RHC                               1155           798            634
    TABLE  3-33.   ENTIRE  AIR BASIN  SUMMARY  INVENTORY UNDER EPA OXIDANT
                 CONTROL PLAN   (tons/day)
                                                Year
                                  1972          1977           1980
      Pollutant        .         Inventory     Inventory     Inventory


Total Particulates                 250           301            316

Suspended Particulates             213           266           283

S02                                492           585           601
NOX                               1423          1742          1552
RHC                               1155           591            458
                                   91

-------
     TABLE  3-34.   FOUR COUNTY SUB-AREA SUMMARY INVENTORY UNDER PRESENT
                  CONTROLS   (tons/day)
                                                Year
                                  1972          1977           1980
      Pollutant                 Inventory     Inventory      Inventory
Total Particulates                 211           273            278
Suspended Particulates             178           233            240
S02                                444           530            540
NOX      '                         1345          1614           1434
RHC                               1094           741            567
TABLE 3-35.   FOUR COUNTY SUB-AREA SUMMARY INVENTORY  UNDER EPA OXIDANT
             CONTROL PLAN  (tons/day)

                                                Year
                                  1972          1977           1980
      Pollutant                 Inventory     Inventory      Inventory
Total Particulates                 211           254           265
Suspended Particulates             178           223           233
S02                                444'          524           535
NOX            •                   1331          1614          1434
RHC                               1094           547           410
                                    92

-------
                              REFERENCES
1. State of California, The Resources Agency, Air Resources Board,
   "Air Pollution Control in California 1971", January 1971

2. "Transportation Control Strategy Development for the Metropolitan
   Los Angeles Region", TRW Inc., January 1973

3. Episode Contingency Plan Development for the Metropolitan Los
   Angeles Air Quality Control  Region", TRW Inc., December 1973

4. "Compilation of Air Pollution Emission Factors", EPA, February 1973

5. Los Angeles Air Pollution Control  District, "Supplement to the
   Implementation Plan-South Coast Air Basin", August 1973,  revised
   December 11, 1973

6. Automotive Environmental  Systems Inc., "Uncontrolled Vehicle
   Emission Study", Report to the California  State Air Resources
   Board, October 30, 1973

7. Private communication, Murray Levy, Pacific Environmental  Services

8. Private communication, KVB Engineering Inc.

9. Private communication, Skene Moody, Southern California Edison Company

10. "1973 California Gas Report"

11. Private communication, Bill  McBeth, Los Angeles County APCD

12. Private communication, John Nevitt, Los Angeles County APCD

13. "Aircraft Emission Controls:Impact on Air Quality and Feasibility
    of Control", EPA, 1973

14. U.S. Department of Health,  Education and  Welfare, Public Health
    Service and Environmental  Health  Service,"Air Quality Criteria for
    Particulate Matter", NAPCA  Publication No. AP-49, April  1970

15. "The Development of a Particulate Implementation Plan for the Los
    Angeles Region, Report #1,  Analysis of Air Monitoring Data", TRW
    Inc., Preliminary Draft to  the EPA, May .1974

16. Wilson, W.E., et. al.,"A Literature Survey of Aerosol  Formation
    and Visibility Reduction in Photochemical  Smog", Battelle Memorial
    Institute, August 1, 1969

17. Miller, D.F., et. al.,"A Study of Motor Fuel  Composition Effects on
    Aerosol Formation, Part II,  Aerosol  Reactivity Study of  Hydrocarbons",
    Battelle Columbus Laboratories, February  21, 1972

                                   93

-------
18. O'Brian, R.J., et.  al. ."Photochemical  Aerosol  Formation  in  the
    Atmosphere and in an Environmental  Chamber",  presented at the
    Symposium on Sources and Evolution  of  the Atmospheric Aerosol,
    American Chemical Society, Los Angeles,  California, April 1-5.  1974

19. U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency,  "Control  Techniques for
    Particulate Air Pollutants",  AP-51.  1969

20. Miller, G.E., et. al.."Minimizing Visible Emissions from Agricultural
    Burning",California Air Environment, University of California,
    vol. 4, no. 1, Fall 1973

21. Ter Haar, G.L., et. al., "Composition, Size and Control  of  Automotive
    Exhaust Particulates,  Journal  of the Air Pollution Control  Association,
    vol.22, no.l, January  1972

22. Habibi, K., "Characterization of Particulate  Matter in Vehicle
    Exhaust", Environmental  Science and  Technology, vol.7, no.3, March 1973

23. Pierson, W.R. and Brachaczek.W.W.,  "Airborne  Particulate Debris from
    Rubber Tires", preliminary draft, presented at  the American Chemical
    Society Rubber Division Symposium on Ecology,  May 7-10,  Toronto,
    Ontario, Canada

24. Private communication  from Eric Stork, Director, Mobile  Source
    Pollution Control Program. EPA, to  Robert Chass, Air Pollution Control
    Officer, Los Angeles County APCD, November 17,  1971

25. Private communication,  Dr. Thomas Huls,  EPA,  Ann Arbor,  Michigan

26. Campion,R.J., et. al.,  "Measurement  of Vehicle  Particulate  Emissions",
    Society of Automotive  Engineers, Automotive Engineering  Congress,
    February 25 - March 1,  1974,  Detroit,  Michigan

27. Private communication,  George Thomas,  Los Angeles County APCD

28. County of Los Angeles,  Air Pollution Control  District Rules and
    Regulations

29. "Population and Economic Activity in the United States and  Standard
    Metrololitan Statistical Areas", EPA,  1972

30. "1973 California Gas Report"

31. "Aircraft Emissionsrlmpact on Air Quality and  Feasibility of Control",
    EPA, 1973

32. "Moving Ahead - Wells  Fargo Looks at Southern  California",  Wells Fargo
    Bank, 1973

                                    94

-------
33. "Final Report - Southern California Regional  Aviation  Systems  Study",
    prepared for the Southern California Association of Governments,
    Aviation Study Authority by System Development Corporation/William
    L. Pereira Associates

34. Private communication, R. L.  Perrine, University of California, Los
    Angeles

35. Private communication with various personnel, San Bernardino County
    APCD

36. Private communication, Skene  Moody, Southern  California  Edison Company

37. Private communication, Bart Sokolow, Los  Angeles City  Department  of
    Water and Power

38. Private communication, W. Stobaugh, San Bernardino County APCD

39. "Air Quality Implementation Plan Development  for Critical  California
    Regions : Sacramento Valley AQCR", TRW Inc.,  June 1973

40. Federal Register, vol.38, no.217, part II,  November 12,  1973

41. County of Los Angeles, Air Pollution Control  District  Rules and
    Regulations

42. Private communication, Morris Goldberg, EPA,  Region IX
                                    95

-------
APPENDIX A - LOCAL AGENCY EMISSION INVENTORIES
                          A-l

-------
TABLE A-l
EMISSIONS
       LOS ANGSLE3 COUNTY PORTION
                of the
            SOUTH COAST BASIN

                  1972

EMISSION SOURCE

Reactive
Organic
Gases
Particu-
late
Matter

N0x


so*


CO

STATIONARY SOURCES
TONS/DAY
PETROLEUM
Production
Refining
Marketing
SUBTOTAL
. ORGANIC SOLVENT USERS
Surface Coating
Dry Cleaning
Degreasing
Other
SUBTOTAL
C IE-lie AL
Petrochemical
Sulfur Plants
Sulfuric Acid Plants
Pulp and Paper
Other
SUBTOTAL
METALLURGICAL
Ferrous
Non Ferrous
SUBTOTAL
MINERAL
Glass and Frit
Asphalt Batching
Asphalt Roofing
Cement Production
Concrete Batching
Other
SUBTOTAL
INCINERATION
Open Burning (dunps)
Open Burrdng (backyard)
Incinerators
Other
SUBTOTAL


7
2^
31

9
1
B
21
39



























3

3

8


9
17








1
6
7

2
1
3

1

7



1

1

2
19
10
31




























1

1 .


56

•S-' \












97

6

6
















2

• j :














2

2


5




5



1

1
                 A-2
                                            Date    5-17-73

-------
TABLE. A-
EMISSIONS
          LOS ANoyrr,?^ r.rxmTf PORTTDN
                   of the
               SMITH COaST RASTN	

                     1972   (continued)

EMISSION SOURCE

Reactive
Orp.anic
Gases
Particu-
late
Matter

NOx


SOx


CO

STATIONARY. SOURCES
TONS /DAY
COMBUSTION OF FUl'.TS
Steam and Power Plants
Other Industrial
Domestic and Conunercial
SUBTOTAL (Daily Av. Yr,
AGRICULTURE
Debris Burning
Orchard Heaters
Agr. Product Proo. Pits
SITB TOTAL
TOTAL STATIONARY SOURCES










70

9
10
8
27





62

91
65
<+7
203





235

75
10

85





2kk


1

1





11
MOBILE SOURCES
MOTOR VEHICLES
Gasoline Powered
Exhaust
Blowby
Evaporation
Diesel Powered
SUBTOTAL
AIRCRAFT
Jet Driven
Piston Driven
SUBTOTAL
SHIPS AND RAILROADS
TOTAL TRANSPORTATION
ORWD TOTAL
1288





1288

3
2
5

1293
1363
38




- 9
^7

9

9
1
57
119
1088




18
1106

10
3
13
22
11M
1376
33




2
35

3

3
10
W
292
L6910




18
16928

33
117
150
20
L7098
17109
                                               n*«   5-17-73
                                                    —
                    A-3

-------
TABLE A-2     EMISSIONS
             ALL COUNTIES
                of  the




                .£CAST_ .AIR. -BASIN.



                1972

EMISSION SOURCE

Inactive
Ornanic
Gases
Parti cu-
late
Matter

N0x


sox


co :

STATIONARY SOURCES
TfJNSAAY
PETROLEUM
Production
Refining
Marketing
strprcTAL

ORGANIC SOLVENT USERS
Surface Coating
Dry Clc.:..iinp
Other
SUHTOTAL '

1.5
7
42.1
50.6





45-3


3

3


8

9 '
17

2
19
10
31






i . 1
r**r> •* *-rft i T
Petro chf.-rr.i c al
SD'! fur plants
SuliY'.-ic Acid Plants
Pulp and Paper
Other
SUBTOTAL
METALLURGICAL
Ferrous
Non Ferrous
SUBTOTAL






1.1

-








0.5



12
.- --. -- 	 	 -J ;
Class and Frit
Asphalt Batching
Asphalt. Roofjng
Cpjriont Production
Concrete Batching
Other
GUuTOTAL
Open Burninn ( dunps )
Open Burning (backyard)
Incinerators
Other
nilJTTOTAL





0.1









31.6 4










0.5



0.5






2.2




0.3 5.^ 2.*

if
56

60.













97



13.5
r 	 • 	 •"





6.4







2

2






|






1.3



2
, !





5




44.6 '
                                            Dat« —LI.-
                                                   7-30-73
             A-4
                                                     Rev. 9-73

-------
TABLE A-2
EMISSIONS
             ALL COUNTIES
                 of the



           SOUTH COAST AIR BASIN
                   1972  (continued)

EMISSION SOURCE

Reactive
Organic
Gases
Particu-
late
Matter

NOX


SOx


CO

STATIONARY SOURCES
TONS /DAY
COMBUSTION OF FUELS
Steam and Power Plants
Other Industrial
Domestic and Commercial
SUBTOTAL (Daily Av. Yr,
AGRICULTURE
Debris Burning
Orchard Heaters
Agr. Product Proc. Pits
SUBTOTAL
TOTAL STATIONARY SOURCES




0.2




6.6
104.2




37.0




5-6





295.2




O.k
332.2




1^7.2




1.1
325.2




5.1*




6.9
67.2
MOBILE SOURCES
MOTOR VEHICLES
Gasoline Powered
Exhaust
Blowby
Evaporation
Diesel Powered
SUBTOTAL
AIRCRAFT
Jet Driven
Piston Driven
SUBTOTAL
SHIPS AND RAILROADS
TOTAL TRANSPORTATION
GRWD TOTAL






185^.6



10.5

1865.1
1969.3




-

67.8



17.7
1.9
87.^
199.5






L597.9



19.7
26.0
16*3.6
1975.8






^9.9



3.9
1^.5
68.3
393.5






2^098.5



232.7
23.3
*3!*.5
M21.7
                                                       . 9-73
                 A-5

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                               APPENDIX B

           SUMMARY OF RECENT CHANGES IN'LOCAL RULES AND REGULATIONS


     Rather than describe each rule in detail, only the more significant
changes to the rules which have occureed over the past two years will be

mentioned here.  The official Rules and Regulations published by each APCD
may be consulted for more detailed information.

Los Angeles County

     (1)  Rule lOg.  Prohibits open outdoor fires unless a permit has
          been issued by the APCO.

     (2)  Rule 20.1.  Requires the denial  of authority to construct any
          equipment which will emit 100 tons or more per year, of any
          contaminant if the emissions will prevent the attainment or
          maintenance of any applicable ambient air quality standard.

     (3)  Rule 50.  Reduces the permissible limit of visible emissions
          from No. 2 to Mo. 1 Ringlemann.

     (4)  Rule 52.  Reduces the allowable discharge of particulates from
          0.3 grain per cubic foot of gas to a value ranging from 0.2
          grain per cubin foot for small  sources to 0.01 grain per cubic
          foot for large sources.

     (5)  Rule 53.2 and 3 provides for the extension of sulfur compound
          limitations to sulfur recovery plants and sulfuric acid units.
          These secondary sources had previously been granted variances
          if their emissions were less than that which would occur with-
          out them from primary sources.

     (6)  Rule 54.  Reduces the maximum permissible discharge of parti-
          culate matter from any source from 40 to 30 pounds per hour.
          Specifically includes lead and lead compounds.

     (7)  Rule 57.1-4.  Extends open-burning prohibitions to the Upper
          Santa Clara River Valley Basin, the Antelope Valley Basin,
          the Island Area and the Mountain Area of Los Angeles County.

     (8)  Rule 58.  Reduces the allowable discharge of particulate
          matter from large incinerators from 0.3 to 0.1 grain per
          standard cubic foot of gas.

     (9)  Rule 65.  Requires collection of the vapors vented during the
          filling of stationary gasoline storage containers of more than
          250 gallon capacity.
                                    B-l

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     (10)  Rule 66.  Induces large users of coating materials to change
           to water base or high-solid content materials in order to
           decrease emissions of organic solvents.

     (11)  Rule 72.  Requires mechanical seals on pumps and compressors
           handling organic materials having a Reid Vapor Pressure of
           1.5 pounds or greater.

     (12)  Rule 73.  Specifies requirements for safety pressure relief
           valves handling organic materials at pressures above 15 psia
           in order to reduce emissions of contaminants into the air.
Orange County
      (1)  Rule 4.  Grants authority to arrest to APCO, and employees
           designated by him.

      (2)  Rule 10.   Prohibits open outdoor fires unless a permit
           has been  issued by the APCO.

      (3)  Rule 50.   Reduces the permissible limit of visible
           emissions from No.  2 to No.  1  Ringelmann.

      (4)  Rule 52.   Particulate Matter Concentration.   Same as
           Los Angeles County.

      (5)  Rule 53.   Reduces the allowable discharge  of sulfur
           compounds from 2000 to 500 parts per million by volume.

      (6)  Rule 53.2  Sulfur Recovery Units.   Same as Los Angeles
           County.

      (7)  Rule 53.3.  Sulfuric Acid Units.  Same as  Los Angeles Co.

      (8)  Rule 54.   Particulate Matter - Weight.  Same As Los Angles Co.

      (9)  Rule 58.   Disposal  of Solid and Liquid Wastes.  Same  as  Los
           Angeles County.

     (10)  Rule 59.   Effluent Oil Water Separators.   Same as Los
           Angeles County.

     (11)  Rule 61.   Requires vapor collection and disposal  systems
           during the loading of volatile organic compounds  into mobile
           or stationary tanks larger than 250 gallons.

     (12)  Rule 62.   Reduces the allowable sulfur content of natural
           gas from 50 to 15 grains of sulfur compounds per  100  cubic
           feet of gas.

     (13)  Rule 66.   Organic Solvents.   Essentially the same as  Los
           Angeles County.
                                   B-2

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     (14)  Rule 67.1.  Limits the oxides of nitrogen discharge from
           new fuel-burning equipment having a heat input rate of
           more than 250 million BTU per hour to 125 ppm for gaseous
           fuels and 225 ppm for liquid or solid fuel.

     (15)  Rule 68.  Limits the oxides of nitrogen discharge from
           existing fuel-burning equipment.  Similar to Los Angeles Co.

     (16)  Rule 68.1.  Limits the discharge from fuel-burning equip-
           ment of combustion contaminants, derived from the fuel, to
           0.1 grain per standard cubic foot of gas.

    (17)   Rule 69.  Vacuum Producing Devices or Systems.  Same as
           Los Angeles County.

    (18)   Rule 70.  Asphalt Air Blowing.  Same as Los  Angeles Co.

Riverside County

     (1)   Rule 4.  Authority to Arrest.  Similar to Los Angeles Co.

     (2)   Rule 50.  Ringelmann Chart.  Similar to Los  Angeles County.

     (3)   Rule 52.  Particulate Matter - Concentration.  Same as Los
           Angeles County.

     (4)   Rule 53.  Specific Air Contaminants.  Reduces the
           allowable discharge of sulfur compounds from 0.2 percent
           by volume, calculated as sulfur dioxide, to  the following
           values:
           a.  0.05 percent in the West-Central Area.

           b.  0.15 percent in areas other than West-Central,
               effective 1-1-75.

           Combustion contaminants are deleted from this rule.  See
           Rule 72.2.

     (5)   Rule 54.  Solid  Particulate Matter - Weight.  Specifies
           that the maximum allowable discharge shall be 0.5 pounds
           per ton of process weight fed per hour.

San Bernardino County

     (1)   Rule 5.  Provides authority to obtain emission data from
           each stationary  source operator.  Specifies  reporting
           procedures, compliance schedule requirements, and avail-
           ability of emission data to the public.

     (2)   Rule 6.  Requires crankcase control devices  to be installed
           on 1955 through  1962 motor vehicles.
                                   B-3

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 (3)   Rule 20.1.  Provides for denial  of authority to
       construct any equipment which will  emit more than 100
       tons per year of air contaminants in an area where it
       would prevent the attainment of a National  Air
       Quality Standard.

 (4)   Rule 50A.  Visible Emission.  Similar to Rule 50 of
       Los Angeles County.

 (5)   Rule 51.1.  Provides authority to enforce controls on
       fugitive dust.

 (6)   Rule 52A.  Particulate Matter -  Concentration.   Same as
       Rule 52 of Los  Angeles County.

 (7)   Rule 53A.  Specific  Contaminants.   Reduces  the allowable
       discharge of sulfur  compounds, calculated as sulfur
       dioxide, from 0.1 percent by volume to 500  ppm by
       volume.  Reduces the allowable discharge of combustion
       contaminants from 0.3 to 0.1 grain  per cubic foot of gas.

 (8)   Rule 53.2.  Sulfur Recovery Units.   Similar to Los Angeles
       County.

 (9)   Rule 53.3.  Sulfuric Acid Units.   Similar to Los Angeles
       County.

(10)   Rule 54A.  Solid Particulate Matter - Weight.   Similar to
       Los Angeles County.

(11)   Rule 58A.  Disposal  of Solid and  Liquid Wastes.   Same as
       Los Angeles County.

(12)   Rule 61.  Organic Liquid Loading.   Same as  Los  Angeles Co.

(13)   Rule 66.  Organic Solvents.   Same as Los Angeles County.

(14)   Rule 68.  Fuel-Burning Equipment  -  Oxides of Nitrogen.
       Similar to the  Los Angeles County Rule but  applies also
       to steam-generating  equipment having a heat input rate
       of 500 million  to 1,775 million  BUT per hour.

(15)   Rule 69.  Vacuum Producing Devices  of Systems.   Same as
       Los Angeles County.

(16)   Rule 70.  Asphalt Air Blowing.  Similar to  Los  Angeles Co.
                               B-4

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Santa Barbara county

      (1)  Rule 4.   Amended to include requirements  for obtaining an
           authority to construct.

      (2)  Rule 9.1.  Provides for  denial  of authority to construct
           any equipment which will  emit more than  100 tons  per year
           of air contaminants in an area where it  would cause to
           exceed or prevent the attainment of the  national  air
           quality standards.

      (3)  Rule 18-A.   Particulate  Matter - Concentration.   Same as
           Los Angeles County Rule  52, but effective only in the
           South Coast Basin portion of the County.

      (4)  Rule 19-A.   Specific Contaminants.   Reduces allowable
           combustion  contaminants  from 0.3 to 0.1  grain per cubic
           foot of gas, in the South Coast Basin  portion of  the
           County.

      (5)  Rule 21-A.   Process Weight Rate.   Same as Los Angeles
           County Rule 54, but effective only in  the South Coast
           Air Basin portion of the  County.

      (6)  Rule 28-A.   Disposal  of  Solid and Liquid  Waste -  South
           Coast Basin.   Same as Los Angeles County  Rule 58.

      (7)  Rule 36.1.   Vacuum Producing Devices or  Systems - South
           Coast Air Basin.   Similar to Rule 69 of  Los Angeles  Co.

      (8)  Rule 36.2.   Asphalt Air  Blowing - South Coast Air Basin.
           Similar  to  Los  Angeles County Rule  70.

      (9)  Rule 39.1.   Fuel-Burning  Equipment  - Oxides of Nitrogen -
           South Coast Air Basin.   Similar to  Rule 68  of Los Angeles
           County.

     (10)  Rule 39.2.   Carbon  Monoxide - South Coast Air Basin.
           Similar  to  Rule 71  of Los Angeles County.

     (11)  Rule 40.  Agricultural Burning.   Implements the Agri-
           cultural  Burning  Guidelines promulgated under Article I,
           Subchapter  2, Title 17, California  Administrative Code,
           as  amended  on June  21, 1972.

     (12)  Rule 41.  Enforcement.   Provides  for enforcement  of  the
           agricultural  burning  regulation.
                                   B-5

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Ventura County

      (1)  Regulation II.   Permits.   Amended to include requirements
           for obtaining an authority to construct.

      (2)  Rule 26.   Denial of Permits.   Requires  denial  of authority
           to construct any source which will  emit 100 tons or more
           per year of any single air contaminant  if the  emissions
           will prevent attaining or maintaining a National Air
           Quality Standard.

      (3)  Rule 31.   Public Disclosure of Data.  Specifies  that
           source emission data shall be available to the public.

      (4)  Rule 36.   Circumvention.   Same as Rule  60 of Los
           Angeles County.

      (5)  Rule 50.   Opacity.   Similar to Rule 50  of Los  Angeles
           County.

      (6)  Rule 52.   Particulate Matter - Concentration.   Similar
           to Rule 52 of Los Angeles County.

      (7)  Rule 53.   Particulate Matter - Process  Weight.   Similar
           to Rule 54 of Los Angeles County.

      (8)  Rule 54.   Sulfur Compounds.   Limits the maximum  discharge
           of sulfur compounds, calculated as  concentration of SO?,
           to 300 ppm by volume from combustion  operations  and 500  ppm
           by volume from  any  other  operations.  Limits the maximum
           discharge of hydrogen sulfide to 10 ppm by volume.   Average
           ground level  concentrations  at or beyond  the property line
           must not  exceed the following:

           Containment      Concentration (Volume)     Averaging Time

              S02                0.5 ppm                 1  hour
              SOp                0.04 ppm              24  hours
              hLS                0.06 ppm                3  min
              H2S                0.03 ppm                1  hour

      (9)  Rule 55.   Storage of Organic  Liquid Petroleum  Products.
           Similar to Rule 56  of Los Angeles  County.

     (10)  Rule 56.   Open  Fires.   Similar to  Los Angeles  Rule  57.
           Includes  guidelines for open  burning.

     (11)  Rule 57.   Combustion Contaminants  - Specific.  Limits the
           maximum discharge from any equipment  used  to dispose of or
           process combustible refuse to a two-hour  average of 0;08
           grains of particulate matter  per cubic  foot of gas.  For


                                   B-6

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      incinerators burning 200 pounds  or less  per  hour,
      particulate matter discharged  must not exceed  0.2  grain
      per cubic foot of gas.   Hydrocarbon or carbonyle emitted
      from incinerators must  not  exceed  a volume comcentration
      of 25 ppm.   Combustion  contaminants from any fuel -burning
      equipment must not exceed a concentration of 0.1 grain per
      cubic foot of gas.

(12)   Rule 59.   Oxides  of Nitrogen Emissions.   Maximum NOX  emis-.
      sions from stationary sources  are  specified  to be  250 ppm,
      except for sources having heat input rates less than  250
      million BTUper hour and existing turbine power peaking units
      at Mandalay.  Effective January  1, 1975, the maximum
      emissions become  125 ppm for gas fueled  sources and 225 ppm
      for solid or liquid fueled  sources.   Excluded  from the
      1-1-75 limitations are  existing  sources  rated  at less than
      2150 million BTU  per hour and  new  sources of less  than
      250 million BTU per hour.   The rule also limits the maximum
      allowable oxides  of nitrogen emissions to 20 tons  per day
      from any existing source and 140 pounds  per  hour from any
      new source.  Owners or  operators of sources  subject to the
      1-1-75 limitations are  required  to submit compliance  .
              s to the  District for  approval.
(13)   Rule 61.   Effluent Oil  Water Separators.   Similar  to  Rule  59,
      Los Angeles County.

(14)   Rule 63.   Organic Liquid -  Petroleum Products  Loadings.
      Similar to  Rule 63 of  Los  Angeles  County.

(15)   Rule 64.   Sulfur Content of Fuels.   Specifies  that the
      sulfur content of fuels burned  in the County shall  not
      exceed the following:

      a.   15 grains per 100 cubic feet of natural  gas.

      b.   50 grains per 100 cubic feet of other  gaseous  fuels.
      c.   0.5 percent by weight of liquid or solid fuels.

(16)   Rule 65.   Gasoline Specifications.   Similar  to Rule 63 of
      Los Angeles County.

(17)   Rule 66.   Organic Solvents.  Similar to Rule 66 of Los Angeles
      County.

(18)   Rule 67.   Vacuum Producing  Devices.  Similar to Rule  69  of Los
      Angeles County.

(19)   Rule 69.   Asphalt Air Blowing.  Similar to Rule 70 of Los
      Angeles County.
                              B-7

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All Counties
     In addition to the above Rules, each of the counties  in this  air
basin now has a rule similar to Los Angeles County's Rule  20.1.
     Rule 20.1 requires the denial  of authority to construct any
equipment which will emit 100 tons  or more per year of any contaminant
if the emissions will  prevent the attainment or maintenance of any
applicable ambient air quality standard.
                                   B-8

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         APPENDIX C.  MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS ESTIMATION  PROCEDURE


     The calculation of light and heavy duty vehicle exhaust  emission

factors for hydrocarbons and oxides of nitrogen can  be expressed
mathematically as:
                            n+1

                                   r  ~H]pn*"'in^ip
X)     Cip-d1r-m'-s<'
                          i+n-12
where

       e    =  emission factor in grams per vehicle mile for
        nP     calendar year n and pollutant p,

       c.   =  the 1975 Federal  test procedure(C-2)emission  rate
        nP     pollutant p (grams/mile) for the  ith^ model  year, at
               low mileage,

       d.   =  the controlled vehicle pollutant  p emission
        ^     deterioration factor for the ith  model  year
               at calendar year n,

       m.   =  the weighted annual travel  of the ith model
        in     year during calendar year n.  (The determination
               of this variable involves the use of the vehicle
               model  year distribution),

       s.   =  the weighted speed adjustment factor for exhaust
        'P     emission for pollutant p for the  ith^ model  year
               vehicles.

     In addition to exhaust emission factors,  the calculation of  hydro-

carbon gasoline motor vehicle emissions involves evaporative and  crank-
case hydrocarbon emission rates.   Evaporation  and crankcase  emissions  can

be determined using:
                                   C-l

-------
where,
        in
 n+1

 E
i=n-12
                        fn  =  .           hi'min
       fn   =  the combined evaporative and crankcase hydro-
               carbon emission factor for calendar year n,

       h.   =  the combined evaporative and crankcase emission
        1      rate for the itji  model  year,

       m.   =  the weighted annual  travel  of the ith model  year
               during calendar year n.
         •  A light-duty vehicle is defined as any motor vehicle
            either designated primarily for transportation of pro-
            perty and rated at 6,000 pounds GVW (gross vehicle
            weight) or less or designated primarily for trans-
            portation of persons and having a capacity of 12 persons
            or less.(C-U  A heavy-duty vehicle is any vehicle which
            exceeds the above specifications.

         •  The deterioration factor (D) is the ratio of the
            pollutant p exhaust emission factor at x miles to the
            pollutant p exhaust emission factor at 4,000 miles.
            Factors used in this study were obtained from
            reference C-l, where the projected values for deteriora-
            tion of exhaust emission controls for 1976 model year
            vehicles and beyond were extracted from reference C-3,
            and are presumed to represent conservative estimates.

         •  The weighted annual mileage factor (m) is determined
            by the following formula:
                                  vi
                      min  =  If—
                              i+n-12
                                   C-2

-------
where
     V.   =  fraction of total vehicles in use with age i (in years)
             (determined from vehicle registration date for the
             region in question).

     D.   =  average miles driven by a vehicle of age i
             (determined from references C4 and C-5).


          •  The weighted speed adjustment factor(s) enables the
             calculation of a region-wide emission factor that
             takes into account variation in average route speed.
             This variable is calculated using:(C-l)
                           sim
I I

    Zf.. V.
     J   J
where,

       s.   =  the weighted speed adjustment factor for exhaust
               emission of pollutant p for the ith_ model year,
               during calendar year m

       f.   =  the fraction of the total annual vehicle miles
        ^      traveled at speed j during the calendar year m

       v.   =  the vehicular average speed correction factor for
        J      average speed j.

(The determination of the average speed j is discussed in Section 2.4.2 of

this volume.)

     Having computed the emission factors, the final  step is to multiply

the emission factor by the vehicle miles travelled (VMT) to derive total

motor vehicle emissions.

     It must be stated at this point that the data developed under this

technique is subject to the following limitations:

          •  The annual  mileage factors (D) used in computing the
             weighted annual  travel  (m), are average values based
             on a nationwide study of 1,000 automobiles (C-4).
             Whether such a sample is representative of a particular
             region is, of course, open to question.
                                   C-3

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             The emission factors for post-1974 model  year
             automobiles were developed under the assumption that
             they would meet the federal  emission standards
             (except for 1975 model year vehicles, which were
             assumed to meet the interim standards set by the
             EPA Administrator).

             The deterioration factors for "future" controlled
             vehicles, although considered conservative, repre-
             sent nothing more than the best engineering estimate
             available at this time.  Since such vehicles do not
             presently exist, no road tests could be performed to
             gauge deterioration under actual  driving  conditions.
               TABLE  C-l.   LARTS  VMT  - 106 Miles/Day
                  (a)
                                                             HDV/,x
                                                                <">
Year         Totalv  '       Fwy         Non-Fwy         Fwy.         Non-Fwy

1972          147          69.6          74.9          1.1            1.2

1977          168          83.5          81.6          1.3            1.3

1980          180          91.8          85.6          1.4            1.3
(a)  Total  VMT and Fwy/Non-Fwy split from TRW,  Inc.,  "Transportation
     Control  Strategy Development for the Metropolitan Los  Angeles
     Region," January 1973.

(b)  HDV fraction from TRW,  Inc., "Air Quality  Implementation Plan
     Development for Critical  California Regions,"  July 1973.
                                   C-4

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        TABLE  C-2.   LOS  ANGELES  BASIN GASOLINE VEHICLE EMISSIONS PER
                    MILLION  (VMT)   (tons/day)
                            1972              1977                1980
                      ™   RHC   NOX    THC   RHC   W)x.   . THC. .  RHC   JOx
Baseline
  Freeway      LDV    5.82  4.86  6.28   2.83   2.32   4.27    1.69  1.29   2.89
               HDV   12.88 10.64 14.47   9.04   7.44  11.47    6.51   5.36   8.59
  Non-Freeway  LDV    8.53  6.95  4.52   4.31   3.47   3,08    2.45  1.96   2.08
               HDV   20.46 16.62 10.41   14.53  11.76   8.26   10.45  8.47   6.18
Control Strategy*
  Freeway      LDV    5.82  4.86  6.28   2.09 '1.76  4.27    1.10   0.92   2.89
               HDV   12.88 10.64 14.47   9.04  7.44 11.47    6.51   5.36   8.59
  Non-Freeway  LDV    8.53  6.95  4.52   2.99  2.46  3.08    1.58   1.29   2.08
               HDV   20.46 16.62 10.41  14.53 11.76  8.26   10.45   8.47   6.18

inspection Maintenance, Catalytic Converter Retrofit Measures.

  TABLE C-3.  LOS ANGELES BASIN GASOLINE VEHICLE EMISSIONS  (tons/day)
                           1972               1977                1980
                      THC_   RHC   NOx    THCRHCNOx_    THC    RHC    NOX
Baseline
  Freeway      LDV   405.1 338.3 437.1  236.3 193.7 356.5   146.0  118.4  265,3
               HDV    14.2  11.7  15.9   11.8   9.7  14.9     9.1    7.5   12.0
  Non-Freeway  LDV   638.9 520.6 338.5  351.7 283.2 251.3   209.7  167.8  178.0
               HDV    24.6  19.9  12.5   18.9  15.3  10.7    13.6   11.0   8.0
Total               1082.8890.5804.0  618.7501.9633.4   378.4304.7463.3

Control Strategy
  Freeway      LDV                      174.5147.0356.5   101.0   84.5265.3
               HDV                       11.8   9.7  14.9     9.1    7.5   12.0
  Non-Freeway  LDV                      244.0 200.7 251.3   135.2  110.4  178.0
               HDV                       18.9  15.3  10.7    13.6   11.0   8.0
Total                                   449.2 372.7 633.4   258.9  213.4  463.3
                                    C-5

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     The VMT data utilized in the emissions estimation is summarized
in Table C-l.  Emission factors for total hydrocarbons, reactive hydro-
carbons and oxides of nitrogen are computed on a tons/day/million VMT
basis, and are shown in Table C-2.  This table summarizes the projected
emissions under both present controls and under the EPA-promulgated
transportation control plan for the South Coast Air Basin.  The EPA plan
for oxidant control consists of the following measures:
          •  Vapor recovery at gasoline stations
          t  Dry cleaning solvent controls and degreasing solvent
             controls
          •  VMT control stragegies with an assumed 14% VMT
             reduction (bus/carpool lanes, regional carpooling
             system, parking facility review)
          •  Oxidizing catalyst retrofit
          •  Mandatory inspection/maintenance program
          •  "VMT reductions and evaporative emission reductions
             necessary from additional control strategies to be
             implemented in 1977."
     The projected inventories for 1977 and 1980 do not include
consideration of the VMT reductions anticipated in the EPA oxidant control
plan.  This is due to the uncertainty regarding whether such reductions
will actually occur.
                                   C-6

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References

(C-l)  Kirchner, David S.  and Donald P.  Armstrong,  "An  Interim Report
       on Motor Vehicle Emission Estimation",  U.S.  Environmental
       Protection Agency Office of Air Quality Planning and  Standards,
       Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, October  1972,  Revised
       January 12, 1973.

(C-2)  The Federal Register,  July 2, 1971.

(C-3)  National Academy of Science, "Semiannual  Report  by  the Committee
       on Motor Vehicle Emissions of the National Academy  of  Sciences to
       the Environmental Protection Agency", January  1, 1972.

(C-4)  Strate, H.  E.,  "Nationwide Personal  Transportation  Study  - Annual
       Miles of Automobile Travel", Report  No. 2, U.S.  Department of
       Transportation, Federal  Highway Administration,  April,'1972.

(C-5)  U.S.  Department of  Transportation, Highway Statistics,  Published
       Annual  by the Highway  Statistics  Division, Office of Highway
       Planning, Federal Highway Administration,, Washington,  D.C.
                                   C-7

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              APPENDIX D.  LOW LEAD AND UNLEADED GASOLINE


     A literature searclv    '  '  '  ' revealed that American automobile

manufacturers designed over 90% of their 1971  model  year light duty

vehicles to perform adequately on a 91  RON gasoline.  On the basis  of the
vehicle age distribution (Table D-l) over 60% (in 1977) and 90% (in 1980) of

the vehicles registered in the air basin will  be  of model  year 1971  or later.

In addition, California state law requires all  vehicles of  model  year 1972
and later sold in the state to be able  to run  on a gasoline of 91 RON or

less.

     From conversations with key personnel in  the petroleum industry^- " '

it was learned that there should be no  difficulties  in providing  a  low lead
gasoline of 91 RON or greater to meet expected demand and also to provide

sufficient supplies of non-leaded gasoline to  meet any demands without
increasing the aromatic content of the  present clear stock  by more  than
10%.  No information concerning the price of unleaded gasoline was

available.

     The following conclusions can thus be drawn:

     (a)  By the year 1977, the vehicle age distribution (Table D-2)
          will be such that:

          •  26.6% of the vehicles registered  will be of model  year
             1975 or newer and will have catalytic mufflers as
             standard equipment.

          •  26.6% will be of model years 1972-1974, all  of which will
             have been retrofitted with catalytic mufflers.

          •  8.2% will be of model year 1971,  of which 75%^-D~7^ will
             have been retrofitted.

          0  29.1% will be of model years 1966-1970, of which 20%^D"7^
             will have been retrofitted.

     (b)  By the year 1980, the vehicle age distribution (Table D-3)
          will be such that:

          o  53.2% of the vehicles registered  will be of model  year
             1975 or later and will have catalytic mufflers as
             standard equipment.


                                   D-l

-------
     t  23.8% will  be of model years  1972-1974, all of which
        will  have been retrofitted with  catalytic mufflers.

     •  5.9%  will  be of model year 1971,  of which 75% will
        have  been retrofitted.

     •  7.6%  will  be of model years 1966-1970, of which 20%
        will  have been retrofitted.

(c)   Because  of the projected availability of unleaded gasoline
     and assuming that the  owners of  vehicles equipped with
     catalytic mufflers will use unleaded gasoline, there should
     be no problem associated with the impairment of the
     catalyst by lead.

(d)   There should be no appreciable increase in the emissions of
     hydrocarbons because of possible increases in the aromatic
     content  of lead free gasoline, since the catalytic mufflers
     are expected to burn up the additional hydrocarbons.(D-4,8)
                              D-2

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         TABLE D-l.  VEHICLE AGE DISTRIBUTION IN THE AIR BASIN

                    Years Old          Percent
                        0
                        1
                        2
                        3
                        4
                        5
                        6
                        7
                        8
                        9
                       10
                       11 +
                        8.0
                        9.4
                        9.2
                        9.9
                        8.9
                        7.8
                        8.2
                        8.4
                        7.2
                        5.9
                        4.6
                        3.0
 TABLE  D-2.   VEHICLE  AGE  DISTRIBUTION  IN THE AIR BASIN IN 1977
Model Year

  1977
  1976
  1975
  1974
  1973
  1972
  1971
  1970
  1969
  1969
  1967
  1966
Percent

  8.0
  9.4
        Percent of Model  Year Vehicles
        Equipped with Catalytic  Mufflers
  9.
  9,
  8.
  7.
  8,
  8.4
  7.2
  5.9
  4.6
  3.0
26.6
26.6

 8.2
29.1
100
100
100
100
100
100
 75
 20
 20
 20
 20
 20
Standard Equipment
                         Retrofitted
TABLE D-3.  VEHICLE AGE DISTRIBUTION IN  THE  AIR BASIN  IN  1980


Model Year       Percent
  1980
  1979
  1978
  1977
  1976
  1975
  1974
  1973
  1972
  1971
  1970
  1969-1966
                  Percent  of Model  Year Vehicles
                  Equipped with  Catalytic Mufflers
  8.0
  9.4
  9.2
  9.9
  8.9
  7.8
  8.2
  8.4
  7.2
  5.9
  4.6
  3.0
53.2
23.8

 5.9
 7.6
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
 75
 20
 20
                         Standard Equipment
Retrofitted
                               D-3

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References
(D-l)  Implications of Lead Removal  from Automotive  Fuels, An  Interim
       Report of the Commerce Technical  Advisory  Panel on Automotive
       Fuels and Air Pollution,  Department  of Commerce, June,  1970.
(D-2)  A Rational  Program for the  Control of  Lead from Motor Gasoline,
       California State Air Resources  Board,  1970.
(D-3)  Gasoline, Chemical  and Engineering News, November 9, 1970.
(D-4)  Automotive Fuels and Air  Pollution,  U.S. Department of  Commerce,
       March, 1971.
(D-5)  Arthur Hocker,  California Air Resources Board, private
       communications, April  18, 1974.
(D-6)  Private communication, April  17,  1974.  (Personnel desired to
       remain anonymous).
(D-7)  Federal  Register,  Vol.  38,  Number 217,  Part II, November 12, 1973.
(D-8)  R.  L.  Perrine,  University of  California, Los Angeles, private
       communication,  April,  1974.
                                   D-4

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                      APPENDIX E.  CATALYTIC MUFFLERS

     To reduce HC emissions, federal regulations stipulate that by 1977, all
automobiles in the air basin of model years 1966 through 1974 capable of
performing adequately on 91 RON unleaded gasoline are to be retrofitted
with catalytic mufflers: " '  In addition, to meet federal emission
standards, two major American automobile manufacturers have elected to
install catalytic mufflers as standard equipment on their 1975 model year
cars.
     With the introduction of these catalytic devices both as retrofit
and standard equipment, two major questions are raised with regard to the
present study: (1) what are the emission factors for particulates and (2)
what effect does lead in gasoline have on the performance of the catalyst?
     Before these questions can be answered, two definitions have to be
made.  Old automobiles are defined as those with an average of 50,000
miles on their odometers and range from model years 1966 through 1972.
New automobiles are those with less than 20,000 miles and are of model  year
1973.  For purposes of comparison, all  results discussed later for new
automobiles are assumed to hold true for 1975 and later model year cars.
Emission Factors for Particulates
     With new cars equipped with catalytic mufflers only a very limited
quantity of research has been conducted and the results obtained were
diverse/   ''  As a result of conversations with Morair   ' of the EPA,
                                                          (E-2)
it was decided to use factors developed by Campion, et al.v   ' of the
ESSO Research and Engineering Company.   These factors (Table E-l) are
regarded by Moran as resulting from the most carefully conducted research
programs presently in existance.   It must be noted, however, that the
composition of the particulates emitted differs dramatically from the
composition of particulates emitted from vehicles not equipped with
catalytic devices.  Over 90% of the catalytic muffler particulate
emissions is in the form of sulfates, sulfuric acid and water bound to
the sulfuric acid (Table E-l), whereas  from unequipped vehicles, sulfates
                                                                     (E-2)
and sulfuric acid compose but a trace amount of particulate emissions.    '
                                   E-l

-------
The mechanism causing high sulfate and sulfuric acid levels and low levels
of other participates has been attributed to the catalyst.^   '
     The California Air Resources Board's (ARB) preliminary test results
                                                                       (E-3)
on old cars retrofitted with catalytic mufflers are shown in Table E-2.    '
By comparing the ARB figures with those of Campion's, it would appear that
retrofitted old cars emit considerably fewer particulates than new cars.
As a result of discussions with knowledgeable personnel^   ' the differences
in the results were attributed to the ARB's sampling technique, which con-
sisted of a fiberglass paper filter element mounted on the car trunk with a
flexible hose directing exhaust gas from the tailpipe to the filter.
Apparently when the exhaust mixture reached the filter, they were hot
enough such that sulfates, sulfuric acid and water were in a gaseous state
and consequently passed through the filter.   The Campion system, on the
other hand, allowed for the "collection of particulate matter from ah
isokinetically sampled portion of diluted exhaust which has been cooled to
90°F by dilution with chilled, dehumidified, filtered air."'   '  Another
probable cause of the differences may be in  that the ARB did not use the
Federal Test Procedure (which Campion did),  but rather a 302 mile route
selected to represent driving patterns within the Los Angeles Basin.
Because of the inaccuracies introduced by the ARB test procedure, the
factors in Table E-l for new automobiles were also used for old automobiles.
Effect of Lead in Gasoline on the Catalyst
     In the area of cars equipped with catalytic mufflers, the most
comprehensive study presently available is one by Holt, et al.   ~ ' in
which the conclusion was drawn that trace amounts of lead up to the 0.07 -
0.10 grams/gallon range have almost no long  term (up to 25,000 miles)
effect on the performance of the catalyst.  At higher trace levels,
deterioration effects become increasingly apparent.   Brief exposures to
fully leaded fuels (3.5 grams/gallon) temporarily decrease the efficiency
of the catalyst, but if the automobile is run subsequently on unleaded fuel,
the normal  efficiency returns.   Based on the EPA regulation of a maximum
of 0.05 grams of lead/gallon in unleaded gasoline, there should be no
problems with lead poisoning if only unleaded fuel  is used.
                                   E-2

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       TABLE E-l.  PARTICULATE EMISSIONS FROM NEW CARS. EQUIPPED
                    WITH CATALYTIC MUFFLERS (grams/mile)

                             Fuel      Total        Sul-
Catalyst       Test Cycle    Su1fur,%  Particulates Fates     Water  Platinum

Monolithic m 1972 Federal  0.067^    0.287^  0.126^  O.lll^ 0.0002
Noble Metar1' Test Cycle

Pelletizedm  1972 Federal  0.065       0.118     0.036      N/A     0.0002
Oxidation ( '  Test Cycle


N/A = Not Available

(1)   Characteristic of Ford Motor Company catalytic mufflers
(2)   Characteristic of General  Motors Company catalytic mufflers
(3)   This is the average content (percent by weight) of sulfur in
      Southern California gasoline
(4)   Average

Source: Reference E-2
       •TABLE E-2.   PARTICULATE  EMISSION  FACTORS  FROM  OLD  CARS
                    RETROFITTED  WITH CATALYTIC MUFFLERS (grams/mile)

Vehicle                          Gasoline    Type of Catalyst     Particulate


1970 American Motors Matador     Non leaded  UOP  Miniverter        0.0154
Source: Reference E-3
                                    E-3

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     The only research available concerning old cars retrofitted with
                                   (E-8}
catalytic mufflers is from the ARB.    '  These results are again pre-
liminary and seem to indicate that if unleaded fuel  is used, there will
be no effects on the catalyst.
     The following summarizes the data used to compute overall emissions
of particulate matter and S02 from the projected vehicle mix in the air
basin.
                               % of Vehicles Equipped  % of VMT by Catalyst
Year    Program                   with Catalyst	    Equipped Vehicles
1977    Present controls              27                       32
1977    EPA oxidant plan              65                       73
1980    Present controls              53                       62
1980    EPA oxidant plan              90                       90

     This data together with the total LDV VMT data  presented in
Appendix C yielded the VMT by both catalyst equipped and non-catalyst
equipped vehicles.
     According to data presented by Campion, roughly 30% of the sulfur in
gasoline is converted to sulfate or sulfuric acid by the catalyst.  Taking
the appropriate fractions, the following LDV. emissions of S0£ result:

1977    Present controls              42.7 tons/day  S0?
1977    EPA oxidant plan              36.9
1980    Present controls              41.4    "
1980    EPA oxidant plan              37.0

     The emission factor for particulate matter from catalyst equipped
vehicles was derived assuming that of the two types  of catalysts avail-
able (monolithic and pelletized), only Ford Motor Company cars would be
equipped with the monolithic type.  Both the GM and  the UOP catalysts are
pelletized, hence the emission factor for the GM catalyst was applied to
the remaining vehicle population.  From R.L. Polk Company data for 1972,
roughly 25% of the registered passenger cars in the  basin are made by
Ford.  The weighted average emission factor for catalyst particulates is
therefore
     0.25 (.287 gms/mile) + 0.75 (.118 gms/mile) =0.16 gms/mile.
                                   E-4

-------
     Since by 1977 and 1980 all non-catalyst equipped vehicles may be
 considered "old"  ( > 3 years old), the participate emission factor used for
 these vehicles  is 0.43 gms/mile.   (See Section 2.3.2)  Particulate emission
 factors for the two projections are therefore:

     1977 present controls: .323  (0.16) +  .677(0.43) = 0.34 gms/mile (76%
                                                              suspended)*
     1977 EPA oxidant plan: .727  (0.16) +  .273 (0.43) = 0.23 gms/mile. (87%
                                                                suspended)*
     1980 present controls: .616  (0.16) +  .384 (0.43) = 0.26 gms/mile (82%
                                                                suspended)*
     1980 EPA oxidant plan: .901  (0.16) +  '.099 (0.43) = 0.19 gms/mile (94%
                                                                suspended)*
 Projected daily particulate emissions from light duty vehicles are
 therefore:
                                                            (Tons)
                              Present Controls         EPA Oxidant Plan
                            Total     Suspended      Total     Suspended
1977 South Coast Air Basin   61.9       47.0          41.9       36.4
1980 South Coast Air Basin   50.8       41.7          37.1       34.9
1977 4-County Area           59.7       45.3          40.4       35.1
1980 4-County Area           49.0       40.2          35.8       33.6

     Unfortunately, even though the projections show a net reduction in
total  particulates with time as well as under the EPA plan, the character
of  the particles has changed dramatically.
* Assumes that emissions from catalyst-equipped vehicles are 100%
  suspended.

                                    E-5

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References

(E-l)   Federal Register, Vol. 38, No. 217s Part 2.   November 12,  1973.

(E-2)   Campion, R. J., Beltzer, M. and Petersen, W.  L.   Measurement of
       Vehicle Participate Emissions.  SAE Paper 740186.   1974.

(E-3)   Surveillance of Particulate Emissions from Mobile  Sources,  Pro-
       ject S-4, Status Report 1.  California Air Resources  Board.
       September 1973

(E-4)   j. Moran.  EPA, Research Park Triangle.   Private Communication.
       April 1974.

(E-5)   S. K. Friedlander.   California Institute of Technology.   Private
       Communication.  April  1974.

(E-6)   Private Communication with personnel  in  the research  departments
       of several  oil companies.   April  1974.

(E-7)   Holt, E. L., Wegg, E.  E. and Neal, A. H. Fuel  Effects on
       Oxidation Catalyst Systems, II.  SAE  Paper 740248.   1974.

(E-8)   Report on Emissions from Vehicles  Equipped with  UOP's Catalytic
       Device.  Interim Report No. 2.  California Air Resources  Board.
       November 1973.
                                   E-6

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     AN  IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED

PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
        TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT #3
     AIR QUALITY - EMISSION  LEVEL  RELATIONSHIP
              By:  J.  C.  Trijonis
                 Prepared  For
        Environmental  Protection Agency
      Region IX - San  Francisco, California
          TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PERATIONS

-------
     AN  IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR  SUSPENDED

PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
        TECHNICAL SUPPORT  DOCUMENT #3
    AIR QUALITY - EMISSION  LEVEL RELATIONSHIP
              By:   J.  C. Trijonis
                 Prepared  For

        Environmental  Protection Agency
      Region IX - San  Francisco, California
         TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PERATIONS

-------
DISCLAIMER

     This report was furnished to the Environmental  Protection Agency
by TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations in fulfillment of
Contract Number 68-02-1384.  The contents of this report are reproduced
herein as received from the contractor.   The opinions, findings, and
conclusions are those of TRW and not necessarily those of the Environ-
mental Protection Agency.  Mention of company or product names does not
constitute endorsement by the Environmental Protection Agency.
                                  11

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                                  Page
1.0  INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY 	    1
     1.1  Some Basic Definitions	    1
     1.2  Outline of Support Document #2 	    2
     1.3  Conclusions and Recommendations 	    6
2.0  THE ORIGINS OF SUSPENDED PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE
     METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION 	    9
     2.1  National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Par-
          ticulates -- Annual Average us. 24 Hour Levels	   11
     2.2  Background Aerosol Levels in the Los Angeles Region ...   15
          2.2.1  Hi-Vol Measurements at Non-urban California.
                 Locations 	•		   18
          2.2.2  Sea Salt and Suspended Soil Dust in the Los
                 Angeles Region 	   22
          2.2.3  Characterization of Total Background Aerosol
                 Levels in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region ..   26
     2.3  Average Composition of Hi-Vol Particulate Samples 	   29
          2.3.1  Aerosol Composition Data 	   29
          2.3.2  Characterization of 1972 Base Year
                 Compos i ti on 	   46
     2.4  Characterization of Particulate Origins for the Los
          Angeles Region 	   49
          2.4.1  Origin Classification - A First Iteration 	   50
          2.4.2  Origin Classification -- Completion of the
                 Characterization 	   57
          2.4.3  Spatial Features of the Origin Characterization.   61
3.0  THE DEPENDENCE OF SUSPENDED PARTICULATE LEVELS ON
     CONTAMINANT EMISSIONS 	   69
     3.1  Air Quality Relationship for Non-Background Primary
          Parti culates 	   70
     3.2  Sulfate Air Quality Relationship	   73
          3.2.1  Chemical Transformation Processes 	   75
          3.2.2  Atmospheric Data 	   78

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                            TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)


                                                                  Page

          3.2.3  An Operational Relationship for Use in :"
                 Implementation Planning 	   86

     3.3  Nitrate Air Quality Relationship ..'.	   89
     3.4  Ammonium Air Quality Relationship	   93

     3.5  Secondary Organic Air Quality Relationship 		   94

4.0  BASELINE PARTICIPATE AIR QUALITY PROJECTIONS FOR THE      ;
     METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES REGION	   97

     4.1  Arithmetic Mean Target Levels Corresponding to the
          Geometric Mean Standards 	  100

     4.2  Air Quality Forecast for the Baseline Emission
          Projections			  102

REFERENCES	  107

APPENDIX A	'.	  A-l
                                    IV

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                               LIST OF TABLES

Table                                                             Pages
1-1  Origin Characterization for Annual Mean Hi-Vol Participate
     Levels (ug/m3) 	    4
2-1  National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Particulates ....   11
2-2  Overall Degree of Control Required to Meet the Primary
     Annual Standard for Particulates  	   12
2-3  Overall Degree of Control Required to Meet the Primary
     24 Hour Standard for Particulates 	   13
2-4  Suspended Particulate Measurements at Non-urban
     California, Locations	   19
2-5  Results of Chemical Element Tracer Analysis for Sea Salt
     and Soil Dust in the Los Angeles Region 	   24
2-6  Previously Reported Calculations of Sea Salt and Soil
     Dust Levels 	   25
2-7  Estimates of Average Sea Salt and Soil Dust Levels in the
     Los Angeles Region 	   26
2-8  Estimates of Average Total Background Levels 	   27
2-9  Completed Background Aerosol Classification Scheme for the
     Los Angeles Region 	   28
2-10 Availability of Composition Data From Long Term
     Monitoring Programs 	   30
2-11 Locations and Data Sources for Aerosol Composition
     Breakdown	   32
                               •v
2-12 Data on Average Composition of Hi-Vol Particulate Samples ..   34
2-13 Differences Between APCD and NASN Composition Data 	   46
2-14 Hi-Vol Particulate Composition:  Characterization of the
     1972 Base Year 	   48
2-15 Calculated Secondary Organic Aerosol Levels for Various
     Val ues of Ssec 	   54
2-16 Aerosol Origin Characterization -- First Iteration (Annual
     Arithmetic Mean -- jug/m3) 	   56
2-17 Origin Characterization for Annual Mean Hi-Vol Particulate
     Level s (jjg/m3) 	   62
2-18 General Spatial Patterns in the Aerosol Origin
     Characterization 	   63
4-1  Hypothetical Illustration of the Model for Predicting
     Control Strategy Impact on Particulate Air Quality Levels ..   98

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                              LIST OF TABLES (continued)


Table                                                             Page
4-2  Arithmetic Mean Target Levels Corresponding to the Geometric
     Mean Standards		'.	   99

4-3  Ratio of Arithmetic Mean to Geometric Mean vs. Geometric
     Standard for Log Normal Distribution 	V.	  101

4-4  Summary of Emission Projections for the 4 County Sub-Area
     of the Los Angeles Region		  102
A-l  Breakdown of Primary Suspended Particulate and S02 Emis-
     sions at the Kaiser/Edison Complex	  A-l
                                    VI

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                            LIST OF FIGURES

Figure                                                            Page
2-1  Sub-Areas for the Background Aerosol Analysis 	   17
2-2  Locations for the Aerosol Origin Characterization 	   33
2-3  Total Nitrate Levels in the Los Angeles Region 	   64
2-4  Estimated Non-Background Secondary Organic Levels in the
     Los Angeles Region 	   65
2-5  Total Sulfate Levels in the Los Angeles Region 	   66
2-6  Estimated Non-Background Primary Particulate Levels in the
     Los Angeles Region 	   67
3-1  Particulate Emission Density Map for the Metropolitan Los
     Angeles Region 	   71
3-2  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions and Wind Patterns in the Metro-
     politan Los Angeles Region 	   74
3-3  Schematic Illustrations of the dependence of Sulfate Levels
     on S02 Input 	   79
3-4  Historical Relationship between S02 Emissions and S07
     Concentrations -- Los Angeles County, 1957 to 1970 	   81
3-5  Sulfur Dioxide/Sulfate Relationship for 18 U.S.  Cities .	   83
3-6  Aerometric Relationship between Sulfate and Sulfur Dioxide
     in the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR 	   85
3-7  Average S02 Emissions vs. Average SQ~. Air Quality for Los
     Angeles County 	7	   87
3-8  Aerometric Relationship between Nitrate and NO  in the
     Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR	   92
4-1  Suspended Particulate Air Quality Forecasts for the Base-
     line Emission Projections 	  105

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                     1.0  INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY


     Under contract to the Environmental Protection Agency, TRW Environ-

mental Services has developed a participate implementation plan for the

Metropolitan Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region.  Specifically, TRW

has investigated strategies for approaching and achieving the National

Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for suspended particulate matter

in the Los Angeles Region.  The present report, the third of four

technical support documents associated with the project, develops a

methodology for relating measured (Hi-Vol) suspended particulate levels

to emissions of both primary particulates and gaseous precursors of

secondary particulates.


1.1  SOME BASIC DEFINITIONS


     Throughout this study, the terms, suspended particulates and aerosol ,
                                                         i
are used interchangeably.  Both refer to suspended particles, (liquid

or solid), in air.  The basic measuring unit used ihere  is  total  aerosol
                         o
mass concentration, (ug/m ); thus, the details of the particle size

distribution are usually neglected.


     One very important distinction  that is made involves the concept of

primary particulates versus secondary particulates, (or alternatively

primary aerosol versus secondary aerosol).*  Primary aerosols are directly

emitted; they enter the atmosphere as particles.  Secondary particulates

are formed in the atmosphere from the conversion of gases to particles

by chemical reaction process.  The four principal types of secondary
*The reader should not confuse this concept with the terms "primary" and
  "secondary" standards.  The national primary and secondary standards refer
   to different target levels for total  particulate air quality, i.e., each
   standard applies to the sum of both primary and secondary aerosol.

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aerosol are sulfate (SO,), nitrate (NOZ), ammonium (NH.), and secondary
organics.  The gaseous precursors of these aerosols are sulfur dioxide
(S02)> nitrogen oxides (NO ), ammonia (NH,), and reactive hydrocarbons
(RHC), respectively.
     A distinction is sometimes made between ambient total suspended
particulates and Hi-Vol total suspended particulates.  The former refers
to total particulate mass loading in the atmosphere, while the latter
refers to the mass loading which is measured by a Hi-Vol monitor.  As
discussed in Support Document #1, Hi-Vol measurements are sometimes not
fully representative of ambient conditions.
     A third distinction involves the concept of background particulates
versus non-background particulates.  For the purposes of this study, non-
background aerosol is defined as that which"" is subject to direct emission
regulations in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  Conversely, background
aerosol consists of the part which is non-controllable by direct emission
regulations in Los Angeles.   In this sense, there are three main back-
ground aerosol sources:  natural sources, suspended soil dust from man-
related activities such as traffic or agriculture, and anthropogenic*
sources exterior to the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  This definition
of background sources differs from the more common usage which refers
to natural sources only.
1.2  OUTLINE OF SUPPORT DOCUMENT #2
     This report develops an air quality-emission level relationship for
suspended particulates in the Metropolitan "Los Angeles Region.  Essentially,
*Man-made

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a methodology, or "model", is formulated which predicts Hi-Vol measure-
ments of total suspended particulates as functions of contaminant
emission levels.  Included are the effects of four types of pollutant
emissions:  primary particulates, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and
reactive hydrocarbons.  The methodology is applied to twelve monitoring
sites within the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.
     Although federal air quality standards for particulates have been
established for both long term (annual) and short term (24 hour) concen-
trations, the present analysis addresses only long term annual levels.
Section 2.1 presents justifications fo'r this restriction in scope.  The
basic reason is that the annual  particulate standard appears to be the
binding constraint.
     The first major input to the air quality-emission level model is a
characterization of aerosol origins.  Chapter 2 provides this input
through an analysis of aerometric data taken by several monitoring pro-
grams and through the use of recently developed techniques for tracing
aerosol origins.  Table 1-1 summarizes the results; the origins of annual
average particulate levels at twelve locations are broken down into
several background and non-background (controllable) categories.  There
are many uncertainties involved in the derivation of Table 1-1; Chapter
2 includes discussions which serve to illustrate the limitations in the
analysis.
     The second major input for the model  is a set of relationships which
describe the dependence of each controllable origin category on contaminant
emission levels.  Chapter 3 provides these relationships.  The linear
rollback formula is  chosen to relate the non-background primary particulate
category to man-made primary particulate emissions in the Los Angeles
                                   3

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                     TABLE 1-1  ORIGIN CHARACTERIZATION  FOR ANNUAL  MEAN HI-VOL  PARTICULATE LEVELS

LOCATION
BACKGROUND CONTR
PRIMARY
Sea
Salt
Suspended
Dust
Primary Han-made
Sources Exterior to
the L.A. Region
I BUT IONS
SECONDARY
S0=
COASTAL
1 . Lennox
2. West Los Angeles
3. Long Beach
8
8
8
16
14
16
3
3
3
4
4
4
N03
Secondary
Organics

TOTAL
BACK-
GROUNDi
NON-BACKGROUND CONTRIBUTIONS
(Anthropogenic Sources within LA Region)
PRIMARY
SECONDARY
so--
NO-
NH;
Secondary
Organics
TOTA1
AAM
AREA LOCATIONS
1
1
1
3
3
3
35
33
35
84
36
47
9
5
7
6
6
5
1
1
1
10
9
10
145
90
105
CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA LOCATIONS
4. Downtown Los Angeles
5. Pasadena
6. Anaheim
7. Reseda
6
6
6
6
27
21
23
26
3
3
3
->
*j
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
44
38
40
' 43
54
42
36
58
10
9
5
9
11
10
6
7
1
1
1
1
20
20
17
22
140
120
105
140
EASTERN- INLAND AREA LOCATIONS
8. Azusa
9. Ontario
10. San Bernardino
1 1 . Riverside
4
4
4
4
38
34
33
45
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
53
49
48
60
41
24
26
30
11
6
9
8
17
10
12
14
1
1
1
1
37
30
29
37
160
120
125
150
(l2.  Chino
45
                                              WESTER:! SAM BERNARDINO COUNTY HOT SPOT
89
35
220

-------
Region.  For the non-background secondary aerosol  categories, Chapter 3
reviews existing theoretical and empirical evidence pertaining to the
dependence on gaseous precursor emissions.  It is  found that a great deal
of uncertainty exists concerning this dependence.   In the end, a linear
form is assumed for each of the sulfate/S09, nitrate/NO , and organic/RHC
                                          u            A
relationships.
     The air quality-emission level model is completed by .synthesizing
the origin characterization and the relationships  which link controllable
categories to emission levels.  Chapter 4 illustrates the model  by fore-
casting air quality levels for the baseline emission projections derived
in Support Document #2, [18].  The final  report of this project uses the
model to predict the effect of various control strategies on total
suspended particulate levels in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.
     The uncertainties involved in the emission level-air quality relation-
ship developed here should not be underestimated.   As documented in the
text of this report, existing data are deficient in many respects both
for characterizing aerosol origins and for estimating the dependence of
secondary aerosol categories on gaseous precursor  emissions.  Further,
the very aggregated model  formulated herein deals  only with total emission
levels and cannot account for changes in  the emission spatial distri-
bution.  Changes in the spatial pattern of emissions is thus another
potential source of error.
     Although considerable uncertainty exists, the model developed here
is based on a systematic analysis of existing data.  It should provide an
approximate, but useful tool for evaluating the impact of control strategies
on average suspended particulate levels.   Further, it provides a framework
for incorporating improvements as further data  become  available.

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1.3  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

     This study of the relationship between measured suspended

particulate levels and emissions of both  primary particulates and

gaseous precursors of secondary particulates has resulted in  the  following

conclusions and recommendations:


Conclusions

     •  In order to construct a systematic relationship  between sus-
        pended particulate levels and emissions  of primary particulates,
        S02, NO , and RHC,  two separate  analyses must be performed.   The
        fifst is to characterize the origins (e.g., background,  non-
        background primary, non-background sulfate, etc.) of  suspended
        particulate levels at various locations.  The second  is to  de-
        termine the dependence of each origin category on emission  •
        levels.

     t  Existing aerosol  composition data (from  the county APCD's,  NASN,
        and other monitoring programs) are sufficient to support  an
        approximate aerosol origin characterization for  annual arithmetic
        means (AAM's) at  twelve locations in the Los Angeles  Region.
        Existing data are not sufficient  to characterize aerosol  origins
        on episode days.   The latter result may  not be a severe handi-
        cap to control policy formulation since  it appears that the
        annual national  standards for particulates are more restrictive
        than the 24 hour  max. national standards in the  Los Angeles
        Region.

     §  Existing data indicate that background (non-controllable) particu-
        late levels are  about 30-40 /jg/irr AAM in the coastal  areas  of the
       .Los Angeles Region.  Background aerosol  levels appear to  increase
        with distance inland to about 45-60 /jg/m  AAM in the  eastern-
        inland parts of  the region.  The  existence of significant back-
        ground levels limits the air quality effectiveness of emission.
        controls in the Los Angeles Region.

     a  Non-background primary particulate contributions generally  tend
        to be highest in  the coastal and  central-valley  portions  of the
        Los Angeles Region.  The one exception involves  the very  high
        primary contributions estimated for the  Western  San Bernardino
        County Hot-Spot  (Chino-Rialto) which is  apparently affected by
        the Kaiser/Edison complex.   Sulfate levels tend,to be uniformly
        distributed over  the basin at around 10-15 /jg/m   AAM,(again the
        Hot-Spot is an exception).   Measured nitrate and estimated
        secondary organic levels tend to  increase considerably with
        distance inland.   The above spatial  trends appear to  be con-
        sistent with known aspects of source distribution, meteorology,
        and atmospheric chemistry.

-------
        For the purposes of this study, the linear rollback formula
        appears to be generally adequate for relating primary suspended
        particulate emissions to non-background primary aerosol  levels.
        In order to assess air quality changes for the special  case of
        the Western San Bernardino County Hot-Spot, a modification of
        the linear rollback approach must be made.

        Considerable uncertainty surrounds the relationship between non-
        background sulfate air quality and SC"2 emissions.   However,
        theoretical analysis and empirical data both suggest a  slightly
        less than linear dependence.  At low SC>2 levels, sulfate yield
        appears to increase linearly with S02 input.  At higher S02
        levels, the sulfate yield tends to level off.  For the  purpose
        of this study, (the prediction of total suspended particulate
        levels), it appears sufficient to assume a linear relationship.

        Very little is known concerning the dependence of nitrate levels
        on NOX emissions and the dependence of secondary organic levels
        on RHC emissions.  In this study a simple linear form is
        assumed for each relationship.  The main justification  is that
        there is no evidence to support the use of any specific non-
        linear relationship.
Recommendations
        In order to improve the aerosol  origin estimates,  more com-
        prehensive data are needed on particulate chemical  composition.
        Specifically, it is recommended that further sodium and aluminum
        data be taken to verify the sea salt and soil  dust levels cal-
        culated here.  Also, it would be very useful  to devise and apply
        a method for measuring secondary organic particulate levels.
        Existing data on ambient organic aerosol, (benzene or cyclo-
        hexane solubles), are essentially only measures of primary
        organic contributions.

        Further research effort should be allocated to determine the
        dependence of secondary aerosol  levels on gaseous  precursor
        emissions.  Much of the research to date has  been  directed to-
        ward identifying the reaction mechanisms and understanding the
        physico-chemical processes.  This work should be continued since
        it supplies a scientific base for explaining  the relationship.
        However, it may be possible to obtain reasonable answers in a
        shorter time by emphasizing an empirical approach.   Ambient and
        experimental measurements of NOX (or SC^) input vs.  nitrate
        (or sulfate) yield may be able to supply a relationship that
        is adequate for pre.sent planning purposes.

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            2.0  THE ORIGINS OF SUSPENDED PARTICULATE MATTER
                      IN THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES
                        AIR QUALITY CONTROL REGION


     The development of a systematic relationship between pollutant

emissions and measured suspended particulate levels requires identifi-

cation of the orgins of the suspended particulate matter.  The portion

of total particulates that is associated with each general source type

must be determined.  This chapter provides the required origin character-

izations for the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR.

     The aerosol origin characterization will consist of a breakdown of

annual mean Hi-Vol levels according to the following classification

scheme:
      I,
     II
Background Contributions

A.  Primary
                                           Sea Salt
                                           Soil Dust
                                           Primary Anthropogenic
                                           Sources Exterior to
                                           the Los Angeles
                                           Region	
          B.  Secondary
                                           Sulfate_

                                           Nitrate
                                           Secondary
                                            Organics_
Non-Background Contributions
(Anthropogenic Sources within
the Los Angeles Region)

A.  Primary


B.  Secondary
                                           Total Primary
                                           Sulfate_
                                           Nitrate
                                           Ammonium
                                           Secondary
                                            Organics

-------
 This  classification  scheme  will  be  completed  for  12  locations  in  the
 region which  have  sufficient  aerosol  composition  data  to-support  the
 origin analysis.   The  latter  part of  the  classification,  (Non-Background),
 will  be fundamental  to control  strategy evaluation,  since  it is this
 portion of the aerosol that is  subject to emission  regulations within
 the control  region.

     It should be noted that federal air quality standards have been
established for both long term  (annual geometric mean) and short term
(24 hour maximum) particulate concentrations.   However, the present
study will provide an air quality/emission level relationship only for
the long term, annual levels.  The justification for this restriction
in scope is discussed  in Section 2.1.   The basic reason is that the
annual standard appears to be the binding  constraint for the Metropolitan
Los Angeles Region.
     Section 2.2 provides estimates  for the first part of the origin
classification scheme, (Background Contributions).  These estimates are
derived from an analysis of suspended  particulate levels in nonurban
California locations and from the results  of chemical element tracer
techniques as applied to recent measurements within the Los Angeles
Region.
     Section 2.3 presents and analyzes aerosol chemical composition data
for twelve locations in the Los Angeles Region.  These data are pertinent
to estimating non-background contributions.
     Section 2.4 combines the results  of Sections 2.2 and 2.3 to complete
the aerosol origin characterization  for the twelve sites in the Los
Angeles Region.
                                    10

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2.1  NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PARTICULATES -- ANNUAL
     AVERAGE VS. 24 HOUR LEVELS
       Table 2-1 summarized the National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) for suspended particulates.  Standards have been established for
both long term  (annual geometric mean) and short term (24 hour) concen-
trations.  A particulate implementation plan should contain provisions

                                TABLE 2-1
         NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS FOR PARTICULATES
                                Annual           Maximum:  Not to be
                                Geometric       Exceeded More than
                                Mean            Once a Year
     Primary Standard           75 jjg/m3          260 jug/m3
                                                  for 24 hours
     Secondary Standard         60 jug/m3 *        150 jug/m3
                                                  for 24 hours
*  EPA guide for the attainment of the
   secondary 24 hour standard

for meeting both the short and long term standards.  However, in this
study, only the long term (annual geometric mean) standard will be con-
sidered.  The justification for this restriction in scope is presented
below.
       The main argument for considering only the annual standard is
that it appears to be the binding constraint in the Los Angeles Region, i.e.,
attaining the annual standard implies attaining the 24 hour standard,
(but not vice versa). **  To illustrate this, we first considered the
overall degree of control of man-made particulates (primary and
secondary) that is required to achieve the primary annual standard,
**The only exception to this rule for Los Angeles appears to be the case
    where the 24 hour standard is exceeded due almost exclusively to natural
    causes, (e.g., a dust storm).  In this case, no control strategy applied
    to Los Angeles pollution sources can achieve the 24 hour standard.
                                     11

-------
(75 ug/m3, AGM).   The left side of Table 2-2 lists  the expected 1972
annual  arithmetic mean, the background level, and the  target AAM for
attaining the primary AGM standard at four monitoring  locations in the
Los Angeles Region with severe  particulate levels.  The right side of
Table 2-2 calculates the overall degree of control  required to meet the
primary, annual air quality standard for particulates  at each station.
            TABLE 2-2   OVERALL DEGREE OF CONTROL REQUIRED TO MEET
                       THE PRIMARY ANNUAL STANDARD FOR PARTICULATES
LOCATION
Chi no
Azusa
Riverside
Lennox
EXPECTED 1972
AAM Ojg/m3)
220a
160a
150a
145a
BACKGROUND
LEVEL Ojg/m3)
60b
53 b
60b
35b
TARGET AAM FOR
ATTAINING
PRIMARY STD.
(jjg/m3)
80C
80C
80C
80C
OVERALL DEGREE
OF CONTROL
REQUIRED
(220-80) _
(220-60) u7'°
(1 60-80 )_ 7™
(160-53) '*'"
(150-80) _ 700/
(150-60) /B'°
(1 45-80) _ ,r/
(145-35) 59/0
     a.  From Support Document #1 of this project,' [1].
     b.  See Section 2.4 of this report, (Table
     c.  See Section 4.1 of this report.
      Next,  we  consider the  overall  degree  of  control  required  to  achieve
 the  24  hour primary standard  for  particulates,  (260 ^g/m3).  Table  2-3,
 which is  similar  to Table 2-2,  summarizes  the calculations for the  24
 hour standard.  These  latter  results  are more uncertain  than those  in
                                     12

-------
       TABLE 2-3   OVERALL  DEGREE OF CONTROL REQUIRED TO
      MEET THE PRIMARY  24  HOUR STANDARD FOR PARTIGULATES
LOCATION
Chi no
Azusa
Riverside
Lennox
EXPECTED 1972
24 HOUR MAX
(ug/m3)
1000>a
380a
620a
340a
BACKGROUND
LEVEL (ug/m3)
60b
53b
60b
35b
PRIMARY
24 HOUR
STANDARD
260
260
260
260
OVERALL DEGREE
OF CONTROL
REQUIRED
(1000-260) „
(1000- 60) /y/0
(380-260)_;3
(380- 53)
(620-260)
- (620- 60) M/u
(340-260). 26%
(340- 35)
 a.  From  Support Document #1 of this project.  These are the
    expected 24 hour maxima assuming samples were taken every
    day of  the year.  At present monitoring frequencies, measured
    yearly  maxima are somewhat lower than these values, [1].
b.
These are
Section 2.4
levels on
poorly
annual  mean background levels as
                  (Table 2-17).
 reported in
Background
                of this report,
              days of maximum particulate  levels  are  very
           documented.  However,  a few recent  measurements
    indicate that background levels are not particularly
    great on days of intense pollution, [2].   Rather,  it
    may be that background levels are highest  on  windy days
    with higher suspended dust levels, [3], [4];  by their  "
    nature, these windy days are  not days  of intense  man-
    made pollution.
                              13

-------
Table 2-2 due to the lack of documentation on background levels  for
days of maximal  particulate pollution, (see Footnote b to Table  2-3).
     Although the results must be qualified by the aforementioned
uncertainty, a comparison of Tables 2-2 and 2-3 reveals that considerably
greater degree of control is required to attain the primary annual
standard at each station than is required to attain the primary  24
hour standard.  A similar conclusion arises from a comparative analysis
of the secondary annual  and 24 hour standards.  Even in light of the
uncertainties in the above calculations, it appears sufficient to
formulate particulate control strategies for the Los Angeles Region only
around the annual standards.
     Actually, it would  be best to calculate the impact of control
strategies on both annual geometric raean and 24 hour maximum
particulate levels.   However, relating emission levels to particulate
air quality levels requires detailed documentation of the origins of
suspended particulates.   In the course of this study, it was found  much
easier to document origins of annual average levels than to document
origins of 24 hour maximal levels.  Alternative data sources for annual
averages could be compared and combined.  In contrast, it was very difficult
to construct a consistent picture of particulate origins with the
sparse data for rare episode type days.  This study will  consider only
the long term (annual) standards  for suspended particulates.
                                     14

-------
2.2  BACKGROUND AEROSOL LEVELS IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
     As a first step in characterizing the origins of annual  average
Hi-Vol  participate levels in the Los Angeles Region, this section will
derive estimates of background contributions.  For the purposes of this
study, the background aerosol will be defined as that resulting from
sources which are not subject to direct emission regulations  in the Los
Angeles  Region.   Thus, the total aerosol minus background will represent
the portion that is subject to direct control.   There are three main
types of background sources:
     1.  Natural Sources
              examples: ...  sea salt
                        ...  naturally occurring soil dust
                        ...  secondary organic aerosol from
                            vegetation related  hydrocarbons.
     2.  Anthropogenic Sources Exterior to the  Metropolitan
         Los Angeles Region
              examples: ...  primary particulates emitted in other
                            California regions  or worldwide,
                       	  secondary aerosol from S0o» NO  or HC
                            emissions in other  areas.
     3.  Suspended Dust from Man-Related Activities
              examples: ...  dust from agricultural activity
                        ...  suspended soil dust from traffic (street dust),
     In compiling a breakdown of the background aerosol into  various
categories, it is not always possible to distinguish the contributions
from the three types of sources listed above, (e.g. it may be difficult to
separate natural soil dust  from soil dust created by human activities).
Thus, the background aerosol classification given here will not correspond
exactly to the above list of source types.  Rather, the following
breakdown will be used to classify the Background aerosol:
                                    15

-------
         BACKGROUND AEROSOL CLASSIFICATION SCHEME
         PRIMARY CONTRIBUTIONS
                                   Sea Salt
                             Suspended Dust
             Anthropogenic Sources Exterior
                  to the Los Angeles Region
         SECONDARY CONTRIBUTIONS
                                    Sulfate
                                    Nitrate
                         Secondary Organics
Water aerosol is not included in the background classification because
there are indications that, unlike the ambient aerosol, equilibriated
Hi-Vol samples contain negligible amounts of water, (see Support
Document #1  for a discussion).
     Background aerosol levels  may undergo significant spatial variations
within the Los Angeles Region.   The coastal  areas should have higher sea
salt concentrations, while the  inland agricultural  areas should demonstrate
greater soil dust levels.  The  present analysis estimates background
aerosol concentrations in three general  areas: the  coastal  area, the central-
valley area, and the eastern-inland area, (see Figure 2-1).   In Section 2.4,
adjustments will be made,  where warranted , for individual  monitoring sites
within these general areas.
     Two basic types of atmospheric measurements will be used to complete
the background aerosol classification scheme listed above.   Section 2.2.1
will review Hi-Vol data at nonurban California locations.  These data will
help to quantify background sulfate, nitrate, and secondary  organic levels
and will also provide a general indication of overall background
levels for the Los Angeles Region.  Section 2.2.2 will use recent measure-
ments of sodium and aluminum concentrations within  the Los Angeles Region,  [2],
                                    16

-------
Figure 2-1   Sub-Areas For The Background Aerosol Analysis

-------
to estimate sea salt and soil dust contributions.   Section 2.2.3 will
combine all the results to complete the classification scheme for the
background aerosol in each of the three subareas of the Los Angeles
Region.
2.2.1.  Hi-Vol Measurements at Nonurban California Locations
     Table 2-4 summarizes Hi-Vol  measurements taken at several  nonurban
sites in California.  The locations have been distinguished as  to marine
and desert environments.  Values  are given for total  suspended  particulates
as well as for the sulfate, nitrate, and organic components of  the aerosol.
All values are arithmetic means except the data from Reference  [5] which were
reported as geometric means.
     One striking feature of Table 2-4  is the occurrence of very high
                                o
particulate levels (180-290 pg/m  ) at several marine locations.   These  high
averages appear to be due to sea  salt aerosol resulting from wave action
near the monitoring site.  Sea salt is implicated by the singularly  high
sulfate levels at most of these sites; it has been estimated that sulfate
comprises around 7% of sea salt aerosol, [5], [7].  The recent value
(30 M9/m ) obtained at San Nicolas Island,  [8], appears to be more repre-
sentative of average background levels in areas not subject to  very
proximate sea salt sources.  The  coastal region of Los Angeles  should have
average background levels at about this value.  Actually, one might  expect
greater suspended dust concentrations in the coastal  Los Angeles area than
at San Nicolas, due to higher levels of human activity.  Thus,  the coastal
area of the Los Angeles Region should have a background level of around
30-40 yg/m3.
*San Nicolas Island is located around 130 km southwest of Los Angeles.
For typical wind patterns, San Nicolas should receive essentially no
intrusion of Los Angeles pollution aerosol.
                                    18

-------
                TABLE 2-4   SUSPENDED PARTICULATE MEASUREMENTS
                             AT NONURBAN CALIFORNIA, LOCATIONS
LOCATION
DATA
SOURCE
(REFERENCE)
NUMBER 1
OF
SAMPLES
1 AVERAGE
1 TOTAL
SUSPENDED
1 soi
PARTICUL
N03
ATES (jjg/m-3)
ORGAN I CS
MARINE ENVIRONMENT
Crescent City
(Lighthouse)
S.E. Farallon Island
(Lighthouse)
Point Pedras Blancos
(Lighthouse)
San Nicolas Island
(150 meter elevation)
San Nicolas Island
(200 meter elevation)
Point Reyes
(USCG Station)
Point Arguello
(USGG Station)
Trinidad
(Lighthouse)
[9]
[9]
[9]
[9]
[8]
DO]
Do]
fil 1
24
46
28
9
22
1
1
49
1
184
184
291
69
30
129
185
44
••^•••W
13.2
13.8
18.6
8.4
5.3
6.2
6.5
2.4
2.3
1.0
2.2
2.0
1.7
0.4
1.0
0.4
^^^^•^^^^^
5.5b
4.1b
2.5b
3.6b
0.6C
4.5C
3.3^
2.5b
DESERT ENVIRONMENT
Amboy
Kramer Jet.
29 Palms
Needles
Baker
Goldstone
[5]
[5]
[5]
[5]
[5]
DO]
140
142
145
141
141
2
31*
46*
61*
38*
44*
46
3.3*
4.5*
5.7*
3.3*
3.8*
1.7
2.2*
4.0*
3.6*
2.4*
2.8*
1.6
3.4*u
3.5*b
4.2*b
4.1*b
4.1*b
4.0C
*  Geometric Means
b  Extracted with Benzene
c  Extracted with Cyclohexane
                                             19

-------
     The measurements in the desert environment should give an indication)
of background levels in the eastern-inland areas of the Los Angeles  Region.
In terms of an annual arithmetic mean, (AAM),,the .Hi-Vol  measurements  in
                                                                   3
the Southern California desert area are typically around 45-55 yg/m .
Actually, in one sense, these values may overstate the background level.
This is because the desert aerosol  contains some nonbackground contribu-
tion from Los Angeles Region pollution sources.  However, for another
reason, the desert measurements may be less than background levels in  the
eastern-inland area of the Los Angeles Region.   This is because more in-
tensive agriculture and other human activity occurs in the eastern-inland
area of the Los Angeles Region.  These activities may lead to higher dust
levels than the dust levels found in the desert.  All considered, the  desert
Hi-Vol measurements are indicative of a 45-60 yg/m  average background
level in the eastern-inland portion of the Los  Angeles Region.
     The average background sulfate level in the Los Angeles Region
appears to be around 3-5 yg/m  .  In the desert environment, arithmetic mean
values tend to be around 4-5 yg/m  .  The San Nicolas measurements indicate
an average background sulfate  level of around  5 yg/m  .  However, measured SOT
levels in the desert and at San Nicolas both might be slightly higher than
background levels in the Los Angeles Region.  The Southern California desert
stations receive some nonbackground sulfate from Los Angeles pollution
sources.  Sulfate levels at San Nicolas may be slightly elevated by sea salt
contributions.  Allowing for these possibilities, an average background
                         3
sulfate level of 3-5 .yg/m  seems  reasonable.
                                    2Q

-------
     Measurements  at nonurban marine locations yield average nitrate
                         o
 values of around 1-2 yg/m.  In the Southern California desert area,

 east of  the  Los Angeles Region, average nitrate values tend to be
               o
 around 2-4 yg/m.  The latter values may not be representative of

 background nitrate because of the influence of Los Angales sources.  It

 is known that nitrate values increase considerably from west to east

 in the Los Angeles Region; the high nitrate concentrations in the

 eastern  part of the Los Angeles Region (around 15 yg/m )* are likely

 to cause somewhat elevated levels in the downwind desert area.  Thus,
             3
 the 1-2 yg/m  values measured at nonurban marine locations, may be more

 representative of average background nitrate concentrations in the

 Los Angeles  Region.

     Measurements in the Southern California desert indicate a back-

 ground organic aerosol level of around 3-4 yg/m .**  With the exception

of the San Nicolas  Island results,  most marine  environment measurements

support this value.   San Nicolas may be an an  anomaly due to  its  distance

out at sea and the  island's rather sparse vegetation.   Background

organic concentrations appear to be sensitive to the amount of overall

vegetation cover.   Recent measurements  in highly vegetated remote  Cali-
                                                                        3
fornia locations have yielded organic aerosol  levels of around 5-10 yg/m ,

 ClO]. Here,  the value of 3-4 yg/m  will be taken as represented of the

 Los Angeles  Region.

     In summary, the examination of measured particulate levels at

 nonurban California locations indicates the following:
*  See Section 2.3
** Actually, these measurements are of soluble (in benzene or cyclo-
   hexane) organics.  However, naturally occurring organic aerosol
   is probably highly extractable by these solvents, [17].  It will be
   assumed that total background organics are equivalent to soluble
   background organics.

                                    21

-------
        ESTIMATED TOTAL  BACKGROUND  LEVELS  FOR THE  LOS  ANGELES  REGION;
                     Coastal Areas 	 	 30-40 yg/m3
              Eastern-Inland Areas	 45-60 yg/m
         BACKGROUND LEVELS FOR THREE SPECIFIC COMPONENTS:
                       Sulfate 	 3-5 ug/m3
                       N1 trate 	 1-2 yg/m3
                                                          3
                       Organics 	 3-4 yg/m
2.2.2  Sea Salt and Suspended Soil  Dust in the Los Angeles Region
     It is difficult to use particulate measurements taken within
the Los Angeles Region to determine background levels for that region.
The basic problem is how to distinguish the background aerosol from
the pollution aerosol, (e.g., how does one distinguish between back-
ground sulfate or nitrate and sulfate or nitrate from Los Angeles
pollution sources).    However, for some types of background sources,
the chemical element  tracer method developed by Friedlander  and co-workers
at Caltech,[T2],[7],[13], [14], can be applied to estimate the total
contributions from that source.
     The basic idea of the chemical element tracer method is to
estimate the contribution of various sources by measuring the levels
of certain elements which are characteristic of those sources.  For
instance, since gasoline powered motor vehicles  provide essentially
all of the ambient lead aerosol in urban areas, measured  Pb can be
used as an indicator of automotive contributions.  The total primary
automotive aerosol  contribution is estimated by dividing the ambient Pb
concentration by the fraction of Pb in suspended automotive particulate
emissions.  In some cases, more than one source and more than one
                                    22

-------
element are involved; this leads to a system of simultaneous equations,
(one for each element), which are solved for source contributions.
     The two background sources to be examined here with the chemical
element tracer method are sea salt and soil dust.  The calculations
will use aluminum (Al) and sodium (Na) as tracers.  Soil dust and sea
salt, contribute nearly all of the aluminum and sodium to the Los
Angeles aerosol, 03).  Sodium constitutes around 2.5% of soil dust
and around  30.6% of sea salt.  Aluminum is 8.2% of soil dust and is
a negligible fraction of sea salt, [13].  Thus, if AL and NA  represent
measured values of aerosol aluminum and sodium, the level of salt
(SS) and soil dust (SD) present can be found by solving:
              .306 SS + .025 SD = NA
                                                      (2-1)
     Unfortunately, there are few measurements to which Equations 2-1
can be applied.  Some data have recently been provided by the ACHEX
Study, [2].  These data are for three days at West Covina and Rubidoux
and for two days at Dominguez Hills and Pomona.   These  locations  were
shown  in Figure 2-1.
     The result of applying Equations (2-1) to the recent ACHEX data
are presented in Table 2-5.   Table  2-5  also  gives a qualitative
indication of distance inland for each location.  By examining the re-
sults  and the trends as to distance inland, the following pattern
emerges:  Sea salt levels in the coastal, central-valley, and eastern-
                                                        3
inland areas appear to be around 9-11, 8-9, and 5-8 yg/m  , respectively.
Soil  dust  levels appear to follow a  pattern of 15-20, 20-30, and 30-35 yg/m .
                                    23
or
and
and

en - '
— fiQO
cc ' 1
~ . 306
.082 SD
AL
[NA -
= AL,
.025
.082

AL]

-------
                                            TABLE 2-5

                          RESULTS OF CHEMICAL ELEMENT TRACER ANALYSIS FOR
                          SEA SALT AND SOIL DUST IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION*
              COSTAL AREA
CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA
EASTERN-INLAND AREA
SEA SALT
ESTIMATES
(yg/m3)
SOIL DUST
ESTIMATES
(yg/m3)




9.7

18.5
,
DOMINGUEZ
HILLS

8.9

25.6
,
WEST
COVINA

8.2 5.1
i
29.9 34.6
i
i i
POMONA RUBIDOUX








*  Based on ACHEX Data,[2]
                                           DISTANCE  INLAND

-------
      Table  2-6  presents  results  obtained  by previous  researchers using
 the  chemical  element  tracer method.  With  the exception of soil dust
 estimates for Riverside,  the values  in Table  2-6 are  somewhat
 lower than  those obtained above.  The reasons for the  discrepancy
 are  not obvious; much of  the difference  is probably due to the particular
meteorology that occured when the  samples were taken.

                               TABLE 2-6
               PREVIOUSLY REPORTED CALCULATIONS OF SEA SALT
               AND SOIL DUST LEVELS
              CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA
EASTERN-INLAND AREA
SEA SALT
ESTIMATES
(vg/m3)
SOIL DUST
ESTIMATES
(yg/m3)
Pasadena: 2.5*
2.3**
Pasadena: 9.8*

Pomona:
Riverside:
Pomona :
Riverside:
5.6**
0.7**
15.1**
35.7**
*   Reference [7], (based on an 11 hour sample, 1969)
**  Reference Q4], (based on single 24 hour sample, 1972)

     In light of the previous results by other researchers, the esti-
mates in Table  2-5  might be somewhat high.  However,  since the
values in Table  2-5  are based on two to three days data while the
values in Table  2-6  are each based on one day or less data, more
weight should be attached to the former.  Overall, the following
estimates for average sea  salt and soil dust seem reasonable:
                                  25

-------
                               TABLE 2-7
               ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE SEA SALT AND SOIL DUST
               LEVELS IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
COASTAL AREA
CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA
EASTERN-INLAND AREA
SEA SALT
(yg/m3)
6-10
4-8
2-6
SOIL DUST
(yg/m3)
10-20
15-25
25-35
Considerable variance has been included in the above estimates as a
reflection of the limited number of sampling days on which they are
based.
2.2.3  Characterization of Total background Aerosol Levels in the
       Metropolitan Los Angeles Region
     Section 2.2.1 estimated background sulfate, nitrate, and second-
ary organic levels for the Los Angeles Region by analyzing data taken
at nonurban California locations.  Section 2.2.2 estimated sea salt
and soil  dust levels  by using the chemical element tracer method
developed by Friedlander, [13].  The only category in the BACKGROUND
AEROSOL CLASSIFICATION SCHEME (see page 12) which has not been
examined is the contribution from "primary anthropogenic sources
exterior to the Los Angeles Region."  It is very difficult to derive
estimates of this latter category from existing data; nearly pure
conjecture must be relied  upon.  A value in the range of 1-5 yg/m
seems to be about the right order of magnitude,
    Using  Pb as  a  tracer  for man-made  primary  emissions,  calculations
    with San Nicolas  data indicate  about  2 ug/m   for  the  transported
    man-made particulate  category.   However, it  is  not certain whether
    the  San  Nicolas value represents sources exterior to  the Los Angeles
    Region or sources within the  Los Angeles Region.
                                   26

-------
     Estimates, (although in some cases very approximate). have now
been obtained  for the contributions from each category in the BACK-
GROUND AEROSOL CLASSIFICATION SCHEME, (page 12).  It is of interest
to compare the total of all these various categories to the total
background levels indicated by nonurban measurements, (Section 2.2.1).
Table 2-8 makes this comparison.  Although the variance in the estimates
is large, the agreement of overall levels and of the trends from coast
to inland is extremely good.
                               TABLE 2-8
               ESTIMATES OF AVERAGE TOTAL BACKGROUND LEVELS
                        AVERAGE  TOTAL  BACK-
                        GROUND BY ANALYSIS
                        OF TOTAL NONURBAN
                        LEVELS
                        (Section 2.2.1)
                              AVERAGE TOTAL BACK-
                              GROUND BY ADDITION
                              OF ESTIMATES FOR EACH
                              CATEGORY IN THE CLASS-
                              IFICATION SCHEME
COASTAL AREA
CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA
EASTERN-INLAND AREA
30-40 yg/m
35-50 ayg/m3
45-60 yg/m3
24-46 yg/nT
27-49 yg/nT
35-57 yg/m3
 a:  Interpolation of the Coastal  and Eastern Inland Results.
                                     27

-------
      To  summarize, the total average background levels obtained  by



 analyzing measured particulate levels in  nonurban California locations



 agree  quite well with the total average  background levels obtained by



 estimating each  individual background category.  Total background



 levels in the Los Angeles Region appear to vary from around 30-40 yg/mw


                                        3
 in the coastal area, to around 35-45 ,yg/m  in the central-valley area,

                    •3

 to around 45-55  yg/m  in the eastern-inland area.  An approximate



origin breakdown  for each area (according  to the BACKGROUND AEROSOL



 CLASSIFICATION SCHEME), is as given in Table 2-9 below.
                              TABLE 2-9




             COMPLETED BACKGROUND AEROSOL CLASSIFICATION SCHEME

             FOR THE LOS ANGELES REGION



SUB-AREA

COASTAL
CENTRAL-VALLEY
EASTERN-INLAND
APPROXIMATE
ANNUAL AVER-
AGE BACK-
GROUND
LEVEL
~35 yg/m
~40 yg/m3
~50 yg/m3
BACKGROUND CLASSIFICATION SCHEME (yg/m3)
PRIMARY
SEA
SALT

8
6
4
SOIL
DUST

16
23
35
MAN-MADE SOURCES
EXTERIOR TO L.A.
REGION
3
3
3
SECONDARY

;o ~
4
4
4
4

NO "
3
1
1
1
SECONDARY
3RGANICS

3
3
3
                                    28

-------
2.3  AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES       ..  ,,
     The previous section established estimates of average background
aerosol concentrations in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  The re-
mainder of measured suspended particulate levels originates from man-made
sources within the Los Angeles Region.  For the purpose of control stra-
tegy evaluation, it is necessary to classify this (non-background) remainder
according to the following categories:
               t  Primary Aerosol -- man-made Los Angeles sources
               •  Secondary Aerosol -- man-made Los Angeles sources
                   •  Sulfates
                   •  Nitrates
                   •  Ammonium
                   •  Secondary Organics
     In order to perform this latter classification, information is
required on the chemical composition of the aerosol.  This section
develops compositional information for several locations in the Los
Angeles Region.  Section 2.3.1 assembles compositional data recorded
by various monitoring programs in recent years.  Section 2.3.2 combines
this data with estimates of expected 1972 total suspended particulate levels
(as determined iniSupport Document #1) to yield compositional breakdowns repre-
sentative of the 1972  base year.   The following section,  2.4, will  use this
compositional  breakdown to characterize the origins  of annual  average aerosol
concentrations at various  locations in the Los Angeles Region.
2.3.1  Aerosol Composition Data
     For the purpose of the present study, annual  average compositional
data are required for lead (Pb), sulfate  (SO^),  nitrate (NOZ),
ammonium (Nht). and benzene solubles.  The lead data will be used to
estimate the contribution of primary, man-made sources.  The other data
                                   29

-------
will provide a basis for estimating secondary aerosol levels.  Three long
term monitoring programs exist in the Los Angeles Region which measure most
or all of these aerosol constituents:  1) the National Air Surveillance Net-
work (NASN), 2) the Los Angeles County APCD Network, and 3) the San Bernardino
County APCD Network.  Table 2-10 summarizes the data which are available
from each program.  The availability of data for any particular monitoring site
depends on the year since different stations were established in different
years and since some NASN stations have not operated continuously.
TABLE 2-10.  AVAILABILITY OF COMPOSITION DATA FROM LONG TERM MONITORING
             PROGRAMS

Monitoring Program

NASN
Los Angeles
APCD
San Bernardino
APCD
Years for which
composition data
are presently
available
1957-1970
1965-1972
1968-1972

Pp

X
X
X

S0=
i 	
w
y
X
j
NO"

X
X
X
K

X



Benzene Solubles

X

X
     As a supplement to the data which are available from these programs,
compositional data will also be used from the following monitoring projects:
     •  Orange County APCD Monitoring Program
     •  California Air Resources Board Monitoring System, 09
     •  University of Southern California Study, (Gordon & Bryan, []6])
     t  State Air Pollution Research Center Study, (Lundgren,  [3])
     t  Air Resources Board/ Rockwell International Aerosol Characterization
        Study, (ACHEX), (Hidy,
The last three of these five programs have been only temporary in nature.
Data from the last two programs, (Lundgren and ACHEX), include a very limited
number of samples and emphasize the summer-fall photochemical  smog season.
                                   30

-------
For the first two programs, (Orange APCD and California ARB), compositional
data are available only for lead.
     A review of the available data reveals that the existing information
is sufficient to provide an adequate compositional  breakdown of annual
average particulate levels at twelve locations in the 4 County Sub-
Areas, of the Los  Angeles  Region.  These locations  and the  corres-
ponding data sources are listed  in Table 2-11.  Figure 2-2  illustrates
the position of the twelve locations within the basin.  Table 2-11  also
lists other nearby locations for which data are available to supplement
and check the compositional breakdowns.  For the purpose of analysis in
later sections of this report, the 12 locations have been distinguished
as to four general areas:   coastal area, central-valley area, eastern -
inland area, and west San Bernardino County "Hot Spot", (see Support Document #1, [1],
     Tables 2-12A through 2-12L  present composition data for each of the
twelve locations.   Values are given for measured total suspended particulate,
and composition breakdowns are listed in % for Pb,  S07, NOZ, NHt, and
benzene solubles.   The chemical analysis methods employed by the various
APCD's and by NASN have been reviewed and briefly evaluated in Report #1,
[]].  The analysis methods usedforthe ARB, Lundgren, ACHEX, and Gordon &
Bryan data are discussed in references D3» [3], Dd], and D6].
     Considering the potential errors in sampling and analysis procedures,
the compositional  breakdowns from the various data  sources  appear to be
very consistent.  The agreement  is most apparent in comparing NASN and APCD
compositional data.    Table  2-13 summarizes the average difference between
APCD and NASN data for Pb, SO", and NO"  (very little APCD  data are available
                              *        O
for NH^ and benzene solubles).  The compositional data from other studies are
                                     31

-------
TABLE 2-11   LOCATIONS AND DATA SOURCES FOR AEROSOL COMPOSITION BREAKDOWN
   LOCATION
PRINCIPAL DATA SOURCES
SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
COASTAL AREA SITES
1 . Lennox
2. West Los Angeles
3. Long Beach
* Los Angeles APCD
* Los Angeles APCD
c NASN
' Torrance: (NASN)

0 Northwest Long Beach:
(Gordon and Bryan)
CENTRAL VALLEY AREA SITES
4. Downtown Los
Angeles
5 Pasadena
6. - Anaheim
7. Reseda
* Los Angeles APCD
0 NASN
8 Los Angeles APCD
0 NASN
9 ACHEX
• Orange Co. APCD
8 NASN
e Los Angeles APCD
0 East and South of Downtown:
(Gordon and Bryan)
' Glendale: (NASN)

e Burbank: (NASN)
EASTERN INLAND AREA SITES
8. Azusa
9. Ontario
10. San Bernardino
11 . Riverside
• Los Angeles APCD
' San Bernardino APCD
e NASN
0 San Bernardino APCD
0 NASN
0 NASN
0 State Air Poll. Res. Ctn.
0 ACHEX
0 California ARB

9 Pomona: (ACHEX)
8 Fontana: (San Bern. APCD)
9 Redlands: (San Bern. APCD)

WEST SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AREA HOT-SPOT
12. Chino | * San Bernardino APCD
8 Rial to: (San Bern. APCD)
                                  32

-------
GO
CO
                          Figure   2-2   Locations  For  The  Aerosol  Origin Characterization

-------
TABLE 2-12A   DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION  OF  HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                          LOCATION:   1.  LENNOX
DATA SOURCE
lO* .4r.g=1.;..-
APCD

STATION
L-i-i-.c-

DATES AhD
r:iT2ER OF
SAMPLES
1969-1972
~350 samples

MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPEKDED PARTICULARS
(MG/K3)
GEO. I'lEAK ARIT:-!. TEAM
1
146 154

OFPOSITIOI1: OF ASITlf'ETIC liEAii
Pb
4.6X

so=
9. IX

l«3
5.1%

4
—

^EhZEflE SOLLtLES


SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
NASN

Torrance

1969-1971
~ 72 samples

78 85

N/A

11.2%

8.2%

0.9%

N/A

-------
                           TABLE  2-12B  DATA ON AVERAGE"COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL  PARTICULATE  SAMPLES
                                                      LOCATION:   2.   WEST LOS ANGELES
           DATA SOURCE
                              STATION
                   DATES AI'B
                   KUMER OF
                    SAMPLES
                                                            MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
                                                            SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
                                                      GEO. MEAK
                                                                          ARITH. f'JEAN
                                                            OF.POSITIOK OF  ATUTI-TETIC MEAN
                                                                                                 SO,
                                                                                                            ND-i
                                                                                                                                ZEKZE't SOLUiLES
           Los Angeles
            APCD
West Los Angeles
1969-1972
-230 samples
                                                             90
                                                  94
                                                               3.3%
                                                                        10.3%
                                                                                  7.6%
to
en
                                                                      SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

-------
                       TABLE 2-12C DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL  PARTICULATE  SAMPLES

                                               LOCATION:  3.  LONG BEACH
DATA SOURCE
NASN

STATION
Long Beach

DATES AMD
(U-EER OF
SATPLES
1967-1968
~48 samples
1969-1970
-48 samples

MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPEKDED PARTICULATES
(pG/M3)
GEO. r,EAi-: ARIT:-:. r&w
116 132
99 -110

COMPOSITION OF ASITifETIC flEAH
Pb
2.2%
N/A

S0=
10. 9%
10.5%

1*3
4.3%
6.5%

+
i-::-:4
1.9%
0.8%

2ENZEME SOLLC4.ES
9.7%
N/A

SUPPLEflEiiTARY DATA
Gordon and
Bryan

Northwest of
Long Beach

6/71-6/72
-182 days




	

	

8.4%

2.2%

6.4%

CO
01

-------
                     TABLE 2-12D  DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                                         LOCATION:   4.   DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES

DATA SOURCE

Los Angeles
APCD







STATION

Downtown Los Angeles







DATES AMD
rur-XER OF
SAf'PLES

1969-1972
~350 samples
1967-196S
—48 samples
1969-1970
~48 samples


MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
GEO. IIEAK ° ' ARIT:-!. I',EAH
145 i 155


110 119
1
1 09 1 20
1
1
1
1
CO'POSITIOM OF ARITHMETIC IlEAh


Pb
3.0%


2.8%

N/A



so4
10.0%


10.5%

10.3%



raj
8.3%


5.7%

8.0%



KX4



1.4*

0.6%



3EMZEI-:E SOLUZLES



10.9%

N/A


SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
Gordon
and
Bryan



East of Downtown
Los Angeles
South of Downtown
Los Angeles

6/71 - 6/72
-182 days
6/71 - 6/72
-182 days




















7.2%




1.5%




9.0%



CO

-------
                    TABLE  2-12E  DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL  PARTICULATE SAMPLES

                                               LOCATION:  5.   PASADENA
DATA SOURCE
Los Angeles
APCD
NASN
ACHEX

STATION
Pasadena
Pasadena
Pasadena

DATES WD
MJMEER OF
SAMPLES
1972
~70 samples
1968
-24 samples
1970
~24 samples
11 selected
dates,
Spring & FaT
1972

MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPEKDED PARTICULATES
WK-0
GEO, MEAK ARIT:-:. T,EAN
1
no 117
106 113
100 -no
74

CWPOSITIOK OF /ttlTU'ETIC MEAiN
Pb
2.8*
3.2*
N/A
1.9%

so4
10.5%
10.1*
11.0%
6.5%

N°3
9.7%
6.5%
9.7%
_ __ _

K-:t
	
1.0%
0.5%


2EMZEME SOLUBLES
	
10.7*
N/A



SUPPLEflEiiTARY DATA
NASN

Glendale

1967-1968
-48 samples
1969-1970
-48 samples

83 94
81 -90
I
3.2%
N/A

12.2%
11.1%

5.8%
7.3%

1.7%
0.9%

12.3%
N/A

CO
00

-------
                                TABLE  2-12F  DATA  ON  AVERAGE COMPOSITION  OF  HI-VOL PARTICULATE  SAMPLES
                                                               LOCATION:   6.   ANAHEIM
           DATA  SOURCE
                              STATION
DATES AI-D
iXIf'LER OF
 SAMPLES
                                                             MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
                                                             SUSPbKUEL) PAKTICULATES
                                                       GEO. 1'iEAK
                                                                           AFUT:-:, r,EAM
COKPOSITIOK  OF  .A.IITIHf'.ETIC  tiEAM
                                                                                                   SO,
                                                                                                                                  ZEMZEI'IE  SOLLtLES
          NASN
                          Anaheim
                                            1969-1970
                                                             104
                                                                            -115
                                                                                           N/A
                                                                                                               6.2%
                                                                                                                        0.7%
                                                                                                                                     N/A
          Orange Co.
           APCD
                          Anaheim
                                            1970-1973
                                                              96
                                                                            -105
                                                                                           2.7%
OJ
                                                                       SUPPLEMENTARY EftTA

-------
TABLE 2-12G  DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION  OF  HI-VOL  PARTICIPATE  SAMPLES
                      LOCATION:   7.   RESEDA
DATA SOURCE
Los Angeles
APCD

STATION
Reseda

DATES AI'D
I.U2ER OF
SAMPLES
1969-1972
~230 samples

KEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
(MG/f,3)
GEO. I-;EAK ARIT:-:, r;EAN
1
122 132

OTPOSITIOh: OF ASITtf'ETIC MEAi^
Pb
3.2%

so=
9.6%

N°3
5.8%

^
	

ZEKZB-'.E SOLU2LES
	

SaPPLEMEiiTARY DATA
NASN

Burbank

1968
-24 samples
1969-1970
~48 samples

103 122
106 -120

3.0*
N/A

9.0%
7.5%

6.5%
5.4%

1.1%
0.9%

11.4%
N/A


-------
                       TABLE 2-12H DATA ON  AVERAGE  COMPOSITION  OF  HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                                                        LOCATION:   8.   AZUSA
 DATA  SOURCE
                   STATION
 DATES AMD
 KUMEER OF
  SAMPLES
                                                  MEASURED LE\€L OF TOTAL
                                                  SUSPEKDED PARTICULATES
                                            GEO. MEAK
                                                               ARITH. r,EAN
COMPOSITION OF ASITI-f'ETlC  MEAN
                                                                               Pb
                                                                                       SO,
                                                                                                                             SOLU2LES
Los Angeles APCD
                 Azusa
  1972
~70 samples
                                                  150
                                                                 166
                                                                              1.9*
                                                                                        9.5%
                                                                                                  11 .1*
                                                            SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

-------
                        TABLE 2-121  DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                                                LOCATION:   9.   ONTARIO
DATA SOURCE
San Bern. APCD
NASN

STATION
Ontario
Ontario

DATES ATD
KUMER OF
SAMPLES
1970-1972
~180 sample!
1968
~24 samples
1969-1970
~48 samples

I-EASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PART1CULATES
UAi3)
GEO. I;EAK ARIT:-:. ran
109 120
116 135
114 130

COMPOSITION OF ASITtf'JETIC HEAN
Pb
1.7*
N/A
1.2%

SO^
10.8*
7.3%
7.8%

N03
9.2%
8.7%
7.1%

+
K:-:4
—
0.8%
0.8%

ZECZEME SOLU2LES
8.2%
5.5%
N/A

SUPPLEMENTARY DATA
ACHEX

Pomona

5 selected
dates in
October 1972

126

1.7%

7.7%

14.2%

	




ro

-------
                           TABLE  2-12J  DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                                              LOCATION:  10.   SAN BERNARDINO
DATA SOURCE
San Bern. APCD
NASN


San Bern. APCD

STATION
San Bernardino
San Bernardino


Fontana
Redlands

DATES Am
KUKEER OF
SAMPLES
1970-1972
~180 samples
1968
-24 samples
1969-1970
~48 samples

INSURED LE\€L OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
WM3)
GEO. I1EAK ARlTI-i. f'£AN
115 -125
92 108
107 -120

SUPPLEMENTARY EftTA
1971-1972
~120 samples
1970-1972
~180 samples

118 - -130
97 -105
1
COITOSITIOM OF ARITHMETIC HEAi-i
Pb
-1.8%
N/A
1.1%


1.1%
2.2%

so=
9.4%
9.0%
10.9%


10.1%
11.4%

N33
10.6%
8.4%
11.0%

+
Kfy
—
0.7%
0.9%


9.4%
11.7%
-
	
—

EEhZEME SOLUBLES
10.1%
6.3%
N/A


6.4%
11.9%

-Pi
GO

-------
TABLE 2-12K DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                      LOCATION:   11 .  RIVERSIDE
DATA SOURCE
NASN
Calif. ARE
Lundgren
ACHEX
STATION
Riverside
Riv. Trailer
Riv. Magnolia
Riverside
Riverside
DATES AND
KUMEER OF
SAMPLES
1968
~24 samples
1969-1970
~48 samples
8/72 - 1/73
5/73 - 9/73
25 days, Aug.
1968
10 day, Nov.
1968
12 samples,
Spring & Fall
1972
MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
U/M3)
GEO. MEAN ARIT!-:. MEAN
1
116 130
121 135
	 	
	
176
82
128
COMPOSITION OF A3IT:r.ETIC I1EAM
Pb
	
N/A
0.8% est.
1.3% est.
	
0.7%
1.2%
so^
7.5%
8.1%
....
	
8.5%
10.1%
4.9%
ND3
9.9%
7.8%
....
	
14.1%
14.2%
	
*J
1.2%
0.9%
....

	
—
	
ZENZEME SOLUBLES
7.3%
N/A

	


...


SUPPLEMENTARY DATA







•


-------
TABLE 2-12L DATA ON AVERAGE COMPOSITION OF HI-VOL PARTICULATE SAMPLES
                       LOCATION:   12.   CHINO
DATA SOURCE
San Bern.
APCD

' . STATION
Chi no

DATES JWD
(-OJMER OF
SAMPLES
1971-1972
--120 sample

" MEASURED LEVEL OF TOTAL
SUSPENDED PARTICULATES
U/K3) .
GEO. I'iEAK ARITM. t'£AN
1
186 ~200

COMPOSITIOK OF ARITHMETIC MEAN
Ph
0.9*

so=
— -

N°3
8.0%

K:-:;
—

;LEMZE;-:E SOLUBLES
4.8%
-
SUPPLEf'iEuTARY DATA ;
San Bern. APCD

Rial to

1971-1972
~120 samples

150 —165
1
1.1%

10.3%

10.8%

—

6.6%
••

-------
       TABLE 2-13.   DIFFERENCES BETWEEN APCD AND NASN COMPOSITION. DATA .
Constituent
Pb
so;
NO"

Average of Absolute Difference
0.4 /jg/ra3
1.0 ug/m3
1.5 ug/m

Average Level
„ 2. 4 ug/m3
^ 10 ug/nr*
~ 8 jug/m

•Relative Error
~ 1 7%
^10%
,,,19%

somewhat less consistent; in certain instances this may be due to the
small numbers of samples which were taken and/or to sampling during one
type of season only.
2.3.2  Characterization of 1972 Base Year Composition
     Since this study will use 1972 as a base year in formulating a
particulate  implementation plan, a characterization of total suspended
particulate  levels  and of particulate origins is required specific to that
year.  As an  input  to the determination of particulate origins, the compo-
sitional breakdown  must therefore be found explicitly for 1972.  This
section combines the  compositional  data  of  the  previous  section with the
characteristic 1972 total suspended particulate levels  as determined in
Support Document #1 [1],  to yield the 1972 compositional  breakdown.
     The compositional data of the previous section involves measurements
taken over several years*; an implicit assumption in the derivation of
1972 values  is that major changes in ambient aerosol composition did not
*The compositional data in Table 2-12 are for the years 1967 to 1973.   However,
the great majority of measurements which are used are for the shorter  time  span
of 1969 to 1972.
                                    46

-------
occur during those years.  This assumption appears to be justified by
the trends in compositional data.  The error in this approximation
appears to be less significant than the errors involved in the chemical
analysis measurements and in the characterization of total suspended
particulate levels.
     Table 2-14 presents compositional breakdowns for the 1972 base
year.  Values are given for Pb, SOT, NOZ, NH., and benzene solubles
at the twelve locations which were examined in the previous section.
The characteristic annual geometric means and annual arithmetic means
for each station, (rounded to the nearest 5 ug/m ), have been taken
from Support Document #1, [1].  The constituent breakdown in Table 2-14
has been determined by using the % composition data which was given
in the previous section.  When only one source of compositional measurements
was available for a particular site, those values were translated directly
to Table 2-14.  When more than one data source was available, an aggregate
value was used with weightings according to the number of samples taken
by each data source.   For sites with abundant APCD and NASN data, other
data sources were often excluded due to the low number of samples and
to the seasonal  biases in some of these other monitoring programs.
                                    47

-------
              TABLE  2-14  HI-VOL PARTICULATE  COMPOSITION:
               BREAKDOWN  SPECIFIC TO THE  1972 BASE YEAR
Location
Total Suspended Participates
W9/m
AGM AAM
£i
1 . Lennox
2. West LA
3. Long Beach
135 145
85 90
95 105
Cen
4. Downtown
LA
5. Pasadena
6. Anaheim
7. Reseda

8. Azusa
9. Ontario
10. San
Bernardino
11 . Riverside
130 140
110 120
95 105
130 ' 140
fas
1 50 1 60
110 120
115 125
140 ' 150
Pb
astal Area S
6.7
(4.6?;)
3.0
(3.3*)
2.3 •
(2.2°;)
so;
;'I03
-Hj
Benzene Solubles
tes
13.2
(9. IS)
9.3
(10.35)
11.2
' (10. 7S)
7.4
(5.U)
6.8
(7.6%)
5.6
(5.3?;)
N/A
N/A
1.5
(1.4%)
N/A
U/A •
10.2
(9.7?,)
ral Vallev Sites
4.1
(2.9%)
3.6
(3.05)
2.8
(2.7%)
4.3
(3. IS)
tern Inland A
3.0
(1.9$)
1 .9
(1.6*)
2.0
(1.6%)
1.8
(1.250
14.3
(10.2?)
12.7
(10.5S)
8.7
(8.3%)
12.9
(9.2%)
11.5
(8.3?,)
11.4
(9.5?)
6.5
(6.2%)
8.4
.(6.0%)
1.4
(1.0%)
1.2
(1.05.)
0.8
(10.82)
1 .4
(1.0%)
14.0
(10.0*)
13.3
(11.5?)
--
16.0
(11.4")
rea Sites
15.2
(9.5%)
10.2
(9.5%)
12.6
(10.1*)
11 .7
(7.8?)
17.7
(11.1%)
10.8
(9. OS)
13.1
(10.5%)
15.1
(10. IS)
---
1.0
(0.8%)
1.0
(.8%)
1.5
(1.0*)
---
9.4
(7.8?,)
11 .3 '
(9.0r,)
11.0
(7,3S)
Western San Bernardino County lf'j' *-""t
12. Chino
200 2 20
2.2
(1.0?)
22.0
do.O";;
17.6
(8.0%)
	
12.1
(5.5%)
(  ) Indicates Percentage of Total AAM
                                 48

-------
2.4  CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICULATE ORIGINS FOR THE LOS ANGELES REGION

     This section characterizes the origins of annual average Hi-Vol parti>

culate levels in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  The characterization

is derived from calculations involving previously presented data on back-

ground particulate concentrations (Section 2.2) and on total particulate

chemical composition (Section 2.3).  The aerosol origins at twelve locations
                                     i
are categorized according to the following classification,  scheme:
I,
II.
Background Contributions

 A.  Primary
     B.  Secondary
 Non-Background Contributions
 (Anthropogenic Sources within
 the Los Angeles Region)

 A.   Primary


 B.   Secondary
                                                      Sea Salt
                                                      Soil Dust
                                                      Primary Anthropogenic
                                                      Sources Exterior to
                                                      the Los Angeles
                                                      Reg i o n	
                                                      Sulfate_

                                                      Nitrate
                                                      Secondary
                                                       Organics_
                                                      Total  Primary_
                                                      Sulfate_

                                                      Nitrate
                                                      Ammonium
                                                      Secondary
                                                      Organics_
                                  49

-------
     Section 2.4.1 describes an initial attempt to calculate the contribution
associated with each category in the above list of particulate origins.  The
total particulate levels accounted for by this "first iteration" are then
compared to total measured particulate levels.  Section 2.4.2 discusses the
discrepancies which remain and makes adjustments so that measured particulate
levels are fully accounted for at each location by the origin classification.
Section 2.4.3 discusses spatial features of the origin characterization.

2.4.1  Origin Classification - A First Iteration
     Section 2.2 presented estimates of annual average background aerosol
contributions at coastal, central-valley, and eastern-inland areas of the
Los Angeles Region.  Table 2-9  summarized the origins of the background
aerosol.  Here, calculations are performed with the background estimates and
with the aerosol composition data  of Section 2.3 to yield approximate annual
means for non-background aerosol contributions.  These non-background con-
tributions are classified according to primary and secondary origins, with
the latter disaggregated as to sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, and secondary
organics.  Calculations are performed for each of the twelve locations which
were examined in Section 2.3.
     The following discussion summarizes the methods and assumptions involved
in computing the non-background aerosol contributions.  The methodology is
described separately for primary particulates and for each type of secondary
particulate:
Non-Background Primary Contribution
          As a first approximation, the contribution of primary anthropogenic
     sources within the Los Angeles Region will be computed using lead (Pb)
     as a tracer for primary particulate emissions.   The total  primary contri-
     bution at each site will be estimated by factoring the Pb concentration
                                     50

-------
     at  that site  by  the  ratio  of  total  regional  suspended  participate
     emissions  to  total regional suspended  Pb  emissions.
          Ambient  lead concentrations  result almost  exclusively from exhaust
     emissions  from gasoline  powered vehicles,  [13].  The principal approxi-
     mation  in  the proposed method  for computing  total, man-made,  primary
     contributions is that each site is  affected  by  gasoline powered vehicles
     and by  other  primary sources  in the same  ratio.  Of course, this approxi-
     mation  can be grossly in error for  certain cases; primary particulate
     levels  at  some sites may be dominated  by  automobiles,  while primary
     contributions at other sites may  be more  reflective of other  sources
     such as power plants or  industry.   In  Section 2.4.2, corrections will
     be  made for certain  sites  where the approximation appears to  be inap-
     propriate.
          The explicit formula  for  estimating  non-background, primary contri-
     butions is developed below:
             ["Suspended  Particulate Emissions'!
             |  from Gasoline  Powered Vehicles  J
             [Suspended  Particulate Emissions "j "
                                        .30*
     Thus,
     And,
             |_from  all  Primary  Sources
               Suspended Pb  Emissions  from"!
               Gasoline  Powered  Vehicles   ]
               Suspended Particulate Emissions"!
               from  Gasoline Powered Vehicles  j
                  Suspended  Pb  Emissions	
                  Suspended  Total  Primary  Emissions
                                        ,26**
                                     = .26 x .30 = .078
                                         1
Total, Non-Background	
Primary Contribution   ".078
                                               [Measured Suspended Pb]
                                      =  12.8 x  [Measured Suspended Pb].
(2-1)
*  See Support Document #2, 1972 Base Year Inventory, [18].  This value is
   for the 4 County Sub-Area of the Los Angeles Region.   Each of the twelve
   stations to be examined is located in the sub-area.
** See Support Document #2, [18].   This ratio is based on data only from
   light duty motor vehicles.
                                   51

-------
 Non-Background Sulfate  Contribution
     The  non-background  sulfate contribution can  be determined for each
 location  by  simply  subtracting the background sulfate level from the
 total measured sulfate  concentration.   In Section 2.2, the  background
 SOfl was estimated to  be  around 4 jug/m  .  Thus,
           [Non-Background Sulfate]  = Annual Mean Sulfate  - 4 jug/m
                                                                  3
(2-2)
Non-Background Nitrate Contribution
     The computation for non-background nitrate is entirely analogous
to the sulfate case above.  Background nitrate was estimated at around
1 jug /m in Section 2.2.  Thus,
          [Non-Background Nitrate] = Annual Mean Nitrate - 1 >jg/m
                                                                  3
(2-3)
Non-Background Ammonium
     Background levels of ammonium are not well documented.  Mean values
                  3             3
of around  .1 jjg/m and .6 jug/m have been measured at two remote sites
in the California coastal region, [8], [IT].  Here it will be arbitrar-
ily assumed that the ammonium associated with the background aerosol is
       3
.3/ig/m .  This background level, when compared to the average total
ammonium measured in the Los Angeles Region, is in the same ratio as
background sulfate  plus nitrate to total measured sulfate plus nitrate.
The overall results of this study will be very insensitive to this
assumption since ammonium ion represents only a small fraction of total
suspended particulate levels,  (on the order of 1%).
Thus,
          [Non-Background Ammonium] = Annual Mean Ammonium - ,3>ug/nT
                                                                    3
  (2-4)
Non-Background Secondary Organics
     The estimation of non-background secondary organics will be the
most complex and uncertain of the aerosol origin calculations.  The
principal aerometric measurement used will be data for "benzene
solubles", BSOL.  Total BSOL can be expressed as follows:
          BSOL = BSOLbk d  + S rm t PRM + SSQ(. • SEC
where
          BSOL..  .  = background benzene soluble organics,
          PRM = primary non-background organics,

                                52

-------
     S    = solubility of PRM in benzene,
     SEC = secondary non-background organics,
     and
      sec = solubility of SEC in benzene.
          Secondary, non-background organics thus can be found according to
     the following formula:
                                                                   (2-5)
rrp _ 1 fR^ni - R^DI - ^
oLL s . LB^UL ^ULb|
-------
             TABLE 2-15 CALCULATED SECONDARY ORGANIC
                AEROSOL LEVELS FOR VARIOUS VALUES OF S
                                                      sec
LOCATION
Coastal
Area
Central
Area

Eastern
Inland
Area

Long Beach
Downtown LA
Pasadena
Reseda
Ontario
San Bernard
Riverside
Chino
SECONDARY ORGANIC AEROSOL (jLig/m'3)
Ssec= '10
20.5
18.2
27.4
33.7
21.4
i no 38 . 2
39.7
29.4
Ssec= -20
10.3
9.1
13.7
16.9
10.7
19.1
19.9
14.7
Ssec= '30
6.8
6.1
9.1
11.2
7.1
12.7
13.2
9.8
S,ec= -50
4.1
3.6
5.5
6.7
4.3
7.6
8.0
5.9
     There is another difficulty with this method for calculating
secondary organics, as evidenced by Table 2-15.  The relative values
for different stations do not follow the expected pattern.  One would
expect that secondary organic aerosol levels, the result of photo-
chemical reactions, would demonstrate a marked increase with distance
inland; other photochemical smog indications, such as oxidant and
particulate nitrate, demonstrate this tendency.  It appears that the
uncertainties in the other data, (e.g., BSOL, S   , and PRM), are also
significant and preclude the use of equation (2-5) as a general method
for calculating secondary organic levels.
     With the above method being not applicable,  there appears to be
no way of systematically estimating secondary organic aerosol levels
at the various locations in the Los Angeles Region.  Data have been
gathered on organic aerosol concentrations by the California ARB, [22],
and by the ACHEX Study, [10], but these data are  only for a very limited
number of days in the photochemical  smog season.   However, these data
do support a very important qualitative conclusion:  secondary organic
aerosol levels on photochemical  smog type days tend to be
                                54

-------
      higher  than  nitrate aerosol levels,  (possibly  by  a  factor of 2  or more),  [19],
           In the  absence of reliable, systematic indications of average
      secondary organic levels, the first  iteration assumption will be that
      coastal, central-valley, and eastern-inland areas experience average
      non-background secondary organic levels of 10, 20, and 30 jug/m
      respectively.  The general order of magnitude of  these levels is in
      line with estimates in references [12], [13] ,,and [14]. The increasing
      trend with distance inland is in close correspondence with the trend
      of non-background nitrate, (See Table 2-14).  However, the assumption
      is still rather  arbitrary, and the uncertainties  involved should be
      kept in mind.  For stations where it appears .warranted, these assumed
      values  will  be adjusted in the next section, (2.4.2).
          Thus, the first iteration assumptions for secondary organics is
      as follows:
                    AREA
NON-BACKGROUND SECONDARY ORGANICS
                  Central-Valley
                  Eastern-Inland
                  Coastal
                                                   .3
           20 jug/nT
           30 jug/m
3

     With the above methodologies for estimating non-background primary
aerosol and non-background sulfate, nitrate, ammonium, and secondary organic
aerosol, a  first iteration  can  be made; of the origin characterization.  Table
2-16  presents the results of applying the methodologies to each of the
twelve locations listed in Table 2-14.    Calculated values have been rounded
                     3
to the nearest 1 ;ug/m .   Background estimates for each area have been taken
from Section 2.2.
     The last two columns of Table 2-16  compare the total suspended parti-
culate level at each site to the amount accounted for by the origin
classification.  For all sections except Long Beach, Riverside, and Chino,
the relative difference  between the actual  total suspended particulates and
the total accounted for  is less than 8%.  The agreement is remarkable considering

                                    55

-------
TABLE 2-16 AEROSOL ORIGIN CHARACTERIZATION -- FIRST ITERATION
               (ANNUAL ARITHMETIC MEAN -- yg/m )
LOCATIOfl

1 . Lennox
2. West Los Angeles
3. Long Beach
APPROXIMATE
BACKGROUND AEROSOL
Natural Contribution, Suspended
Dust, and Man-made Sources
Exterior to the L.A. Region

35
35
35
NON-BACKGRO
(Anthropogenic
dust and sourc
Los Angeles Re
PRIMARY SOT
4
UNO CC
, exc
es ex1
gion)
NO-
1NTRIBL
uding
.erior
MHj
1TIONS
suspended
to the
SECONDARY
ORGAN I CS
ACCOUNTED
FOR
ANNUAL
MEAN
TOTAL 1972
ANNUAL
MEAN
RELATIVE
DIFFERENCE
COASTAL AREA
86
38
29
9
5
7
6
6
5
1
1
1
10
10
10
147
95
87
145
90
105
+~\%
+6%
-17%
CENTRAL- VALLEY AREA
4. Downtown Los Angeles
5. Pasadena
6. Anaheim
7. Reseda
40
40
40
40
52
46
36
55
10
9
c
u
9
11
1ID
6
7
1
1
1
1
20
20
20
20
134
126
108
132
140
120
105
140
-4%
+5X
+3%
-6%
EASTERN -INLAND AREA
8. Azusa
9. Ontario
10. San Bernardino
11 . Rivers!^-
50
50
50
50
38
24
26
23
11
6
9
8
17
10
12
14
1
1
1
1
30
30
30
30
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY HOT-SPOT
12. Chino 1 50 1 28
18
17
1
147
121
128
126

30 I 144
160
120
125
150

220
-8%
+1%
+2%
-17%

-35%

-------
the simplicity of many of the assumptions inherent in the origin  classifi-


cation.  In the next section, the discrepancies between actual  TSP  and


the amount accounted for by the origin classification will be discussed,


and further analysis will be performed to yield an approximate but  com-


plete origin classification for each site.


2.4.2  Origin Classification -- Completion of the Characterization


     In order to perform a systematic evaluation of the effect of control


strategies on suspended particulate levels, the total particulate level  at


each site should be fully accounted for  by the origin classification  scheme.


This section analyses  the discrepancies  in Table  2-16,  and adjusts the


values for various origin classes so that the total particulate level  at
                                                  \

each site is fully accounted for.  The adjustments are made in the most


uncertain origin classifications:  the non-background secondary organic,


non-background primary, and background categories.  Values for sulfate,


nitrate, and ammonium represent direct measurement and are not adjusted.


     The following paragraphs discuss the rationale behind the adjustments


which are made for each location.  Large changes are made with distinct


reason; but some small changes are rather arbitrary.  The only locations


which require very significant alterations are Long Beach, Riverside,  and


Chino.


     1.  Lennox

          The .origin characterization for Lennox agrees almost exactly with
                                                                           o
     the total  suspended particulate level, (level accounted for  =  147/jg/m,
                           3                                      3
     total level = 145 jjg/m ).  To achieve exact agreement, 2 jug/m   are  sub-

     tracted from the non-background primary category.  At Lennox,  this.
                                                                           o
     category is far and away the largest of the origin classes,  and 2 pg/m

     represents only a very minor relative change.
                               /

     2.  West Los Angeles
                                                                3
          The level accounted for at West Los Angeles is 95 yg/m  ,  while the

     total particulate level is 90 yg/m  .  To achieve exact correspondence,


                                     57

-------
(IS^ig/m )  is made up for in the non-background primary category.
2 pg/m  are subtracted from the non-background primary and background
                      3
categories, and 1 ;ug/m  is subtracted from the secondary organic
category.  These adjustments have been chosen to minimize the relative
changes among the origin categories.
3.  Long Beach
     At Long Beach, major disagreement exists between accounted for and
total particulate levels, (87 and 105 jjg/m  respectively).  Compared to
other coastal areas, the non-background primary category appears to be
unusually low for Long Beach, a heavily industrialized area.  The
Pb measurements which have been used as a tracer for the non-background
primary category may be in error.   Stationary sources may
be disproportionately important in Long Beach so that Pb is not an
adequate indicator of primary particulate levels there.   To achieve
exact correspondence in the origin classification, the discrepancy
(18 ^ig/m ) is made up for
4.  Downtown Los Angeles
                                                       3
     The accounted for level  at Downtown L.A. (134^ig/m ) agrees fairly
 well    with the total particulate level (140/jg/m ).  To achieve exact
                      3
correspondence, 4 ;jg/m  are added to the background category and
2 ug/m  are added to the non-background primary category.  The back-
ground category is given an extra increase because of the possibility
of higher suspended dust levels existing in the city due to intense
traffic and other activities.  The secondary organic category is kept
fixed since it would not be expected that Downtown Los Angeles would
have higher photochemical  organics than other central-valley locations
such as Pasadena or Reseda.
5.  Pasadena
                                                  o
     The accounted for value at Pasadena (126pg/m ) is  slightly above
                                     3                                3
the total particulate level (120/jg/m ).  To achieve agreement, 2 jjg/m
                                                      3
are subtracted from the background category and 4 jug/m  are subtracted
from the non-background primary category.  The non-background primary
category is given the largest decrease since the method  of estimation
for that category (using Pb as an indicator) may lead to an over-
estimate due to automobiles being an unusually important source in
Pasadena.  The secondary organic category is held fixed  since it

                               58

-------
would not be expected that Pasadena has lower photochemical organics
than other central-valley sites.
6.  Anaheim
     The disagreement at Anaheim is 3 jug/m , (level accounted for =
        3                        3
108 ug/m , total level = 105 ug/m ).  Exact correspondence is attained
by subtracting 3 jjg/m  from the secondary organic category.  A recent
air monitoring study appears to show that Anaheim has low secondary
organic levels for a central-valley site, 091-  This conclusion also
seems to be supported by the low nitrate level at Anaheim.
7.  Reseda
     The accounted for value at Reseda is 132fig/m  while the total
                             3
particulate level is 140 ;jg/m .  There does not appear to be a
                                 3
strong case for making the 8 .ug/m  adjustment in any particular
origin class.  To minimize relative changes among the origin cate-
              3                                                       3
gories, 2 /jg/m  are added to the secondary organic category and 3 yg/m
are added to the background and non-background primary categories.
8.  Azusa
                                        3
     The discrepancy at Azusa is 13 ^ig/m , (level accounted for
        3                        3
147/jg/m , total level = 160/jg/m ).  To attain exact agreement,
      3                                                       3
7 ^ig/m  are added to the secondary organic category and 3 jug/m
are added to the non-background primary and background categories.
The secondary organic category is given an extra increase because
Azusa experiences particularly intense photochemical smog; this is
evidenced by very high oxidant and nitrate levels, £3].  The division
of the rest of the increase among the non-background primary and
background categories is arbitrary.
9.  Ontario
     The origin characterization at Ontario agrees almost exactly
with the total suspended particulate level, (level accounted for
          33
= 121 jjg/m , total level = 120 yg/m ).  To achieve exact correspondence,
      3
1 jug/m  is subtracted from the background category.  This adjustment
has been chosen to minimize the relative change among the origin
categories.
                               59

-------
10.  San Bernardino
                                                        3
     The accounted for level at San Bernardino (128 ug/m ) is close to
                         o
the total level (125 ug/m ).  Exact correspondence is attained by sub-
               3                                               3
tracting 1 ug/m  from the secondary organic category and 2 ug/m  from
the background category.  These alternations minimize the relative
changes among the origin classes.
11.  Riverside
                                                   o
     The accounted for level at Riverside (126 jug/m ) is significantly
                                                          o
lower than the total suspended particulate level (150 ug/m ).  To attain
                            3         3            3
exact correspondence, 7 ug/m , 10 ug/m , and 7 ug/m  are added to the
secondary organic, background, and non-background primary categories
respectively.  The greatest increase is given to the background category
since suspended dust levels in Riverside may be abnormally high due to
agricultural activity in that part of the region.  Secondary organics
may be high at Riverside since the area experiences high photochemical
smog levels (e.g., nitrate data).  The non-background primary category
may be higher than estimated due to influences from a large industrial/
utility complex (see Chino discussion below).
12.  Chino
                                                o
     At Chino, the accounted for level (144 ug/m ) is far below the
total  suspended particulate level (220 ug/m ).  This is actually ex-
pected because the "Pb tracer method" used to calculate non-background
primary emissions is not appropriate for Chino.  The Chino station is
strongly influenced by a local industrial utility complex,* [24], and
the Pb tracer method does not adequately reflect this important source.
Another reason for the discrepancy at Chino is the possibility of
expecially large background levels.   Suspended dust levels may be
atypically high due to agricultural  activity in that part of the region.
To achieve exact correspondence between accounted for levels and total
suspended particulates, the non-background primary category is increased
          3                                                 3
by 61  jug/m , the background category is increased by 10 ,ug/m , and the
                                                 3
secondary organic category is increased by 5 jug/m .
*  The impact of this major point source can be seen in the high sulfate
   reading at Chino.  Chino also demonstrates particularly high iron levels.
                               60

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     With the addition of the above alterations, the expected 1972
annual mean H-Vol levels at each location are totally accounted for by
the origin classification scheme.  Table 2-17summarizes the complete
orgin characterization.  The background values in Table 2-17 are taken
from Section 2-2, with modifications according to the above discussion.
The non-background values are as derived in Section 2.4.1, again with modi-
fications as discussed above.  Although an attempt has been made to
derive the best orgin characterization that is possible with existing
data, there is still considerable uncertainty in many of the values
given in Table 2-17.  The determination of the origin breakdown has
involved several simplistic approximations.  It is difficult to per-
form a quantitative error analysis of these approximations; however,
a subjective indication of the errors involved may be useful in
interpeting the results.  The most uncertain category appears to be
the non-background secondary organic category.  Very little data were
available to support firm conclusions concerning secondary  organics.
Subjectively,  the error in this category may be as high as 20-40%.
The other categories, (total background, non-background primary, sulfate,
nitrate, and ammonium), are better documented.   The error in these
categories should be on the order of 10 to 20%.
2.4.3  Spatial  Features of the Origin Characterization
     Table 2-18 summarizes the general spatial pattern of the aerosol
origin characterization given in Table 2-17.  Table 2-18 indicates a
slight increasing trend of total particulate levels with distance in-
land.  This increase is due to higher secondary aerosol levels and
                                    61

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                    TABLE  2-17 ORIGIN CHARACTERIZATION  FOR ANNUAL  MEAN HI-VOL  PARTICULATE  LEVELS

LOCATION
BACKGROUND CONTR
PRIMARY
Sea
Salt
Suspended
Dust
Primary Han-made
Sources Exterior to
the L.A. Region
BUT IONS
I 	 SECONDARY
S0=
COASTAL
1 . Lennox
2. West Los Angeles
3. Long Beach

4. Downtown Los Angeles
5. Pasadena
6. Anaheim
7. Reseda
8
8
8
16
14
16
3
3
3
4
4
4
NO'
Secondary
Organics

TOTAL
BACK-
GROUND!
NON-BACKGROUND CONTRIBUTIONS
(Anthropogenic Sources within LA Region)
PR I MAP. Y
SECONDARY
*>;
NO"
HH;
Secondary
Organics
TOTAL
AAM
AREA LOCATIONS
1
1
1
3
3
3
35
33
35
84
36
47
9
5
7
6
6
5
1
1
1
10
9
10
145
90
105
CENTRAL-VALLEY AREA LOCATIONS
6
6
6
6
27
21
23
26
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
44
38
40
43
54
42
* 36
58
10
9
5
9
11
10
6
7.
1
1
1
1
20
20
17
22
EASTERN- INLAND AREA LOCATIONS
8. Azusa
9. Ontario
10. San Bernardino
11 . Riverside
4
4
4
4
33
34
33
45
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
53
49
4R
60
41
24
26
30
11
6
9
a
17
10'
12
14
1
1
1
1
37
30
29
37
140
120
105
140

160
120
125
150
01
ro
     12.  Chino
'WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY HOT SPOT


       I  4  M  I   3   '      60
89
M«l "Mi
                                                                                                              35
220

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TABLE 2-18  GENERAL SPATIAL PATTERNS IN THE AEROSOL ORIGIN
            CHARACTERIZATION
SUBAREA
OF THE
LOS ANGELES
REGION
Coastal
Central -Valley
Eastern-Inland
TOTAL SUSPENDED
PARTICULATE LEVEL
(AAM - jig/rn3)
90-145
105-140
120-160
APPROXIMATE CONTRIBUTIONS
BACKGROUND
30%
35%
40%
NON-BACKGROUND
PRIMARY
50%
35%
20%
SECONDARY
20%
30%
40%
to greater background contributions.  The higher secondary aerosol
and background levels apparantly more than compensate for a marked
drop in man-made primary particulates with distance inland.
     The spatial trends in the aerosol origin categories make sense
in view of the meteorology and emission source distributions in the
Los Angeles Region. The increasing trend of secondary aerosol levels
with distance  inland agrees with the distribution of photochemical
smog in the Los Angeles Region.  Photochemical smog, as measured by
oxidant levels, demonstrates  an  increase  in  severity with
distance inland in the Los Angeles Region, [15].   This  increase
is apparently  due to the continous production of secondary photo-
chemical pollutants as the air mass moves inland under the typical
daily sea breeze dominated meteorology.  As shown in Figures 2-3 and
2-4,  measured nitrate levels and estimated secondary organic levels
show marked  increases  with  distance inland.   Sulfate levels,
(Figure 2-5 ), are more  uniformly distributed throughout the basin.
                                    63

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Figure 2-3  Total Nitrate Levels In The Los Angeles  Region  (fig/m)

-------
CTl
cn
                   figure 2-4  Estimated Non-Background Secondary Organic  Levels  in  the  Los  Angeles  Region

-------
Figure 2-5  Total Sulfate Levels in The Los Angeles Region

-------
Figure 2-6  Estimated Non-Background Primary Particulate Levels In The Los Angeles Region

-------
     The decrease of man-made primary participate contributions with
distance inland, (Table 2-18 and Figure 2-6), is apparently due to a dilu-
tion effect.  As shown later in Figure 3-1, primary particulate sources
are more concentrated in the western aid central  areas.   As the air
mass moves inland under the typical  sea breeze wind patterns, the
contributions from these sources are evidently somewhat dispersed.
Contributing to the lower primary particulate levels in inland areas
is the increasing inversion height  with distance inland.
     As explained in Section 2.2, increases in suspended dust levels
apparently account for greater background levels in the inland areas.
The higher dust levels inland may be due to the concentration  of
agricultural activity in the eastern-inland area  of the Los Angeles
Region.
                                  68

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3.0  THE DEPENDENCE OF SUSPENDED PARTICULATE LEVELS ON CONTAMINANT
     EMISSIONS
     The previous Chapter characterized the origins of annual
average suspended particulate matter at several locations in the
Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  The portion of the aerosol that
is subject to direct emission control in the Los Angeles Region was
classified as non-background.  Non-background particulates were
subdivided according to the following origin categories:
     • Non-background primary particulates
     • Non-background secondary particulates
          o  Sulfates
          o  Nitrates
          o  Ammonium
          o  Secondary organics
Having identified the contributions from various controllable origin
categories, the final step in determining the relationship between
total suspended particulate levels and emission levels is to find
the functional dependence of each orgin category on emission levels.
The present Chapter discusses these functional relations.
     Section 3.1  deals with primary particulates.  The linear roll-
back formula is chosen to relate measured non-background primary
particulate levels to man-made emissions of primary particulates in
the Los Angeles Region.  Some of the  approximations inherent in this
choice are discussed.  Sections3.2 through 3.5 deal with non-background
secondary particulates: sulfates, nitrates, ammonium, and organics
respectively.  For each type of secondary aerosol a review is made of
existing theoretical and empirical evidence pertaining to the
                                   69

-------
dependence on gaseous precusor emissions.  It is found that much
uncertainty  exists concerning the relationship between secondary aerosol
levels and precursor, emission levels.   In the end,  a  linear  form is
assumed for each of the sulfate/SOg, nitrate/NOx, and organic/RHC
relationships.
3.1  AIR QUALITY RELATIONSHIP FOR NON-BACKGROUND PRIMARY PARTICIPATES
     In this study, the simple "linear rollback" technique will.be
used to provide the air quality/ emission level relationship for
primary particulates.  That is, non-background* primary particulate
levels at each location will be taken as directly proportional to total
primary suspended particulate emissions from man-made sources in the
region.  Expressed mathematically,
                  E  ,                                  (3-1)
     NBPSP7(ro)   EQ

where
     NBPSP. = non-background primary suspended particulate level at
              location "1",
     E      = total primary suspended particulate emissions from.
              anthropogenic sources in the region,
and the subscript "o"  refers to base year values.
     The applicability of the linear rollback formula to inert primary
contaminants is supported by the linearity of the equation of advective
diffusion with one main proviso.  The proviso Is  tliat th.e  space and
time distribution of emissions does not change when the total emission
level  goes from E  to E.   For instance, Figure 3-1 gives the geographical
*The reader is reminded that non-background levels have been defined
   in Section 2 as those levels attributable to man-made pollution
   sources within the control  region.
                                   70

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1 DOT = 2 TCWS/DAY TOTAL PARTICOATE B1ISSIOI6
       Figure 3-1.  Particulate  Emission  Density Map for the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region

-------
distribution of primary participate emissions in the Metropolitan
Los Angeles Region for the 1972 base year.   The main theoretical
assumption underlying the rollback formula  for primary particulates is
that the spatial  pattern remains the same after control  strategy
implementation.
     The assumption of fixed emission spatial pattern should be fairly well
met by the control strategies proposed in the final report of th.fs study. Large
reductions in  primary particulate emissions  will be  required from  all  signi-
ficant source categories in order to approach the federal  air quality
standards.  Thus, the spatial pattern should not change a  great deal  due
to preferential control  of certain types  of sources.  Further, the
changes in emission pattern that are brought about by nonhomogenous source
growth, (certain parts of the region are  growing faster than other parts),
should be outweighed by the large, uniform emission reductions due to the
stringent control strategies.  The error in  using the rollback formula for
primary particulates should be of lesser uncertainty than many other aspects of
this study.  Greater potential for error  appears to be involved in other
aspects of the study, (e.g. the origin characterization or the estimation
of control impacts on emissions).
                                   72

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3.2  SULFATE AIR QUALITY RELATIONSHIP
     Sulfur oxide emissions in the Metropolitan Los Angeles AQCR
basically result from stationary source fuel combustion (mostly power
plants) - 49%, sulfur recovery plants - 20%, transportation fuel use -
15%, and petroleum refining - 12%,  1972 Inventory, Support Document
#2. SOp constitutes nearly all of the gaseous sulfur oxide emissions,
although small amounts of S03 are also present, [25].  Both during
emission and while in residence in the atmosphere, the SOp gas can
become oxidized to form sulfate (S07) particulate.  The sulfate
aerosol consists mainly of sulfuric acid and corresponding salts such
as ammonium sulfate, (NH.^SO*, [25], [26].
     Measured annual average sulfate levels (from Hi-Vols) are rather
uniformly distributed over the 4 County sub-area of the Los Angeles
                                     3
Region, ranging from around 9-15 jug/m , AAM.*  The uniformity over
the 4 County area indicates a general balance between dilution effects
and the oxidation of S0? to S07 as the polluted air mass moves in-
land from the source intensive, coastal area, (see Figure 3-2).
Average ambient S02/S07 ratios vary from around 3 or 4 in coastal
areas to around 1.5 or 2 in the eastern, inland areas.**  The SO^/
S07 ratios in Los Angeles are distinctly lower than the average
ratio for cities east of the Mississippi, (4.7:1), reported by
Altshuller, [27].  This could result from the high oxidizing potential
of Los Angeles photochemical smog.
*  The one notable exception is the Western San Bernardino County
   "Hot-Spot", which experiences an AAM of around 20 jjg/m3.
** See data presented in Section 3.2.2.
                                  73

-------
Figure 3-2  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions and Wind Patterns in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region

-------
     Not all of the measured sulfate originates from anthropogenic
Los Angeles sources.  A background level  exists due to natural  contri-
butions and to man-made sources exterior to the Los Angeles  Region.
In Section 2.2 , the average sulfate background was estimated to be  4
    o                                     3
/xg/m .   Thus, out of the typical 9-15 pg/m  sulfate annual  averages,
only around 5-11 ^g/m  are due to man-made sources in Los  Angeles.
It is the purpose here to determine how this non-background  sulfate
will depend on S09 emissions in the Los Angeles Region.
     The relationship between emitted SO^ and ambient S0^~ is very
complex and is the subject of current research; considerable uncertainty
exists  at the present state of knowledge, [28], [29], [30].   No definitive
models  are available for relating SCL emissions to atmospheric S07 concen-
trations.  In the following sections, the general form of the relationship
will be analyzed by considering known aspects of the chemical transformation
processes (Section 3.2.1) and by examining certain atmospheric empirical
evidence (Section 3.2.2).  In the end, a linear relation will be adopted;
Section 3.3.3 will present supportive arguments for this assumption.
3.2.1  Chemical Transformation Processes
    A variety of avenues exist for oxidizing atmospheric S02 to yield
sulfate aerosol.  The chemical and physical processes involved have
been reviewed in references p5 ] and [26].  The relative contribution
of various possible oxidation mechanisms is uncertain. However, three
avenues have been identified which appear to be significant:
                                   75

-------
(1)  Photochemically Induced oxidation of SOp  to  SQ3  in  the
     gas phase with subsequent reactions  yielding sulfuric
     acid or sulfates"(Homogeneous  gas  phase oxidation)

          It has been found that irradiation of SCL/clean
     air/water vapor systems yields SCL oxidation fates
     which are too slow to be significant in urban areas
     [29]. [25].  C26],  [31 L [32'],  [33].   However, the
     photolysis of SCL/HC/NO  systems can yield substantial
     oxidation rates ^[29j, 125J,  [26], [34],  [35].   This
     latter form of photochemically induced reaction  may be
     a prime source of  sulfate production in the  Los  Angeles
     Region  [29].  It  has been  postulated that a principal
     oxidation mechanism in this process  involves the reaction
     of S02  with an ozone-hydrocarbon intermediary,  [26],
     [36].  Once  SOp is oxidized to SO,,  subsequent reactions
     involving water (and particles)  yield sulfuric acid and
     sulfates.

(2)  Absorption of S02  in  acqueous  droplets  with  subsequent
     Catalytic  oxidatfonT(Homogeneous catalysis in  liquids)

         Data indicate that numerous substances are         .  .
     effective  in catalytically  oxidizing S02-   Amonq these
     are various  oxides (of iron,manganese, chromium, vanadium,
     lead, aluminum, and nitrogen), and other  metallic salts,
     W' [37]-   The absorption of S02 in  aqueous  solutions,
     followed by catalytic oxidation  can  be an important
     mechanism of sulfate production   [29], £5].  For  this
     oxidation mechanism, atmospheric ammonia  may play a
     significant role by neutralizing some of the acidity
     built up in the aqueous droplet  (S02 becomes less sol-
     uble as the acidity increases)  |25L [37]•

(3)  Adsorption of SOg  on solid  particles and  subsequent
     reaction with adsorped oxygen.(Heterogeneous gas-
     parti cle inTeractions).

         There  is evidence that  adsorption and subsequent
     oxidation  of S02 on particle  surfaces is  an  important
     mechanism  of suffate production  in ambient atmospheres.
     Experimental studies  with metal  oxide particles  (oxides
     of aluminum, calcium, chromium,  iron, lead,  and  vanadium)
     and carbon have demonstrated  this  effect   feeL [32]» L3sl-  A
     recent analysis of ACHEX data  indicates that Los Angeles
     aerometric observations are qualitatively consistent with
     the occurrence  of  this oxidation mechanism,  [28].  The ACHEX
     study implicates carbonaceous  (soot) particles as possible
     sites for  the process.
                              76

-------
     From the description of the above processes, it is apparent that
several factors are important in determining the degree to which SCL
will be converted to sulfate aerosol.  Significant atmospheric factors
are :
     •  presence of HC and NO
                             /\
     t  solar radiation intensity
     •  temperature
     •  humidity
     t  presence of catalysts
     •  presence of atmospheric ammonia
     •  presence of absorbing particles (e.g.  metal  oxides or carbon)
Another very important factor is the residence time  in the atmosphere:
the longer the time for reaction - the greater the conversion of S02
to sulfate.
     As to the dependence on SCL concentrations, (the main issue of
interest here), it appears that at low SOp concentration all  three
mechanisms are such that the rate of oxidation is directly proportional
to S02 concentration, fcg].  Mathematically, the: processes would be
described by a first order rate equation in SO,,.  For given values
of other relevant parmeters and for given residence  time, the amount
of sulfate produced would be directly proportional  to SOp input.  How-
ever, at higher SOp concentrations, there are  reasons to expect that
the sulfate yield would be less than proportional  to SOp input.   For
one, at higher SOp and sulfate levels, insufficient  ammonia may.be
available to prevent aqueous airborne droplets from  becoming strongly
acidic.  Since S02 is less soluble in acid solutions, the 'depletion of
NH3 would lead to reduced rates for aerosol sulfate  formation in process
                                   77

-------
(2) above  [29], [25], [37], Second, theoretical analysis of the gaseous
reactions  in mechanism  (1) indicates that the relative rate of S0? oxida-
tion to S03 should tend to decrease at higher S02 levels, [29J, [39J.*
The details of this  analysis are beyond the scope of this study, and
the interested reader is referred to [39].  Third, mechanism (3) may
yield nonlinear results at high SO,, levels due to saturation of adsorp-
tion sites, [29].
     The implications of the above discussion are summarized in Figure
3.3a which gives a qualitative illustration of the dependence of sulfate
levels on S0? input,  (for fixed residence time and other parameters).
At small SCL levels,  the dependence is nearly linear.   For large values
of SCL,  nonlinear effects take hold and the relation becomes less  than
proportional.   The SCL level  at which nonlinearities set in will depend
on several of the key parameters described previously, (e.g.,  amounts  of
NH7, HC/NO  and adsorbent surface).
  0       A
     Actually, in a real air basin one would expect a slightly modified
picture.  There will  exist a background sulfate from natural processes
as well  as from man-made emissions exterior to the basin in question.
Thus, the effect of SCL emissions within the basin on sulfate levels
would be as illustrated in Figure  3-3b .   Figure  3-3b  is similar to
Figure 3-3a ,  except that the SCL/SO/" curve has a positive intercept
at the background SO," level.
3.2.2  Atmospheric Data
     The analysis of actual  atmospheric monitoring data provides
an empirical approach for determining the relationship between S0?
*  At SOp levels typically found in Los Angeles this effect may not be
   significant.
                                     78

-------
         Figure  3-3a  Hypothetical  Experiment
   -a
    c
    ra

    (/>
    OJ
    01
    o

    d) l/l
   -o s-
   •i- O)
    oo +->
Q   O) O)
_J   S- E
111     ro
t-i  -O i-
>-   CD (C
    X Q.

i—  £ s_
<;     0)
                                 Non-Linear Effects
                        Linear Sub-region
«C LU TJ
  _1 C
Q   3
LU LU O
C£ \— i- I
=D =1 cn
oo u. .^

-------
emissions and ambient sulfate concentrations.   Ideally,  the method

would use many years of historical data on S02 emissions and correspond-

ing data on ambient S04= levels.   Hopefully, the method  would be applied

to several locations so that the form of the relationship could be

 found  for alternative  residence  times  and  climatological  conditions.

      Unfortunately, the ideal empirical method outlined above appears

to be impractical with existing data.  Figure 3-4 presents the results

of an attempt to relate historical S04~ levels (from NASN sites) to S02

 emissions (from APCD estimates)  in  Los Angeles  County.   These  results

do not yield a meaningful emission-air quality relationship.  The main

difficulties encountered with this method were the following:


      •  Figure 3-4  shows that there is considerable scatter in
         measured SO*" levels for given emission levels.  These
         fluctuations obscure the relationship between ambient
         SO." levels and estimated SCL emission levels.   Much of the
         fluctuation is probably statistical in nature and is the
         result of the small number of annual  samples, 24, taken
         in the NASN Monitoring program.  Some of the scatter is
         also due to errors in the emission estimates and possibly
         to historical  changes in NASN monitoring procedures.

      •  The use of Los Angeles County APCD air quality  data might
         have eliminated some of the statistical  fluctuations since
         the APCD has taken samples at the rate of 50-100 per year.
         However, APCD data is available only back to 1965.  Also,
         the usefulness of long term APCD sulfate data is marred
         by an unexplained increase (about 50%) in mean  S04~ levels
         beginning in 1969.   This increase, counter to the de-
         creasing trend in SOp emissions, is probably doe to
         changes in monitoring equipment and/or techniques, [40].

      0  Figure 3-4  shows that yearly average Los Angeles County
         SOp emissions have varied from around 250-620 tons/day
         in the period under investigation.  This range  is not
         sufficiently wide enough to provide an indication of the
         impact of a stringent control  strategy.   To extrapolate
         down to an S02 emission level  of around 40-80 tons/day
         based on the aata given in Figure 3-4 would involve great
         uncertainty.
                                    80

-------
UJ
2:

S7.5
.
™ *60


oo d
,
oTg
a,-**

•66

)0
                       ESTIMATED LOS ANGELES COUNTY S02 EMISSIONS **
                                        (tons/day)
        *  Average of NAJjN values for Los Angeles, Burbank, Glendale, Long
           Beach and Pasadena.  Prior to 1967 data are available for at
           most three stations during any given year, and the available
           sites changed from year to year.   Since all stations demonstrated
           the same general sulfate level, around 10-12 ug/m , averages were
           taken of all available data.
        ** Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District, Reference [4TJ.
             Figure 3-4  Historical  Relationship Between S02 Emissions and SO!

                         Concentrations  -- Los Angeles County, 1957 to 1970
                                           81

-------
      The above results are especially disappointing since the emis-
sion and air quality data base for Los Angeles is among the best .
available.  If the application to Los Angeles does not provide useful
results, there is little probability that this method will yield a
definitive air quality/emission level relationship when applied else-
where.
      An alternate, more indirect, empirical method for relating
SO- emissions and S0.~ air quality is based solely on air quality data
for both  species.  A relationship is determined between measured
ambient SCL and sulfate levels.  This relationship is'then used as an
approximate model for the dependence of sulfate levels on S02 emissions.
      The most comprehensive study of the relationship between annual
average SCL and sulfate concentrations was performed by Altshuller,
[27]. He  analyzed NASN data at urban sites from 1964 to 1968.  Figure
3-5 presents the SOg/sulfate relationship which he found with data  from
18 U.S. cities.*  The lines drawn to the data are linear regression
lines for $02 sub-ranges of 6-80 ug/m3 and 100-200 pg/m3.
      There is considerable scatter  in the data plotted by Altshuller.
This  is because the points represent varied locations with different
climatological conditions and S02 residence times.  These differences
alter the amount of sulfate associated with given SO,,.   However, the
general pattern in Figure 3-4 does appear to verify the qualitative
conclusion derived from an analysis  of the chemical process  in Section
3.2.1; sulfate initially increases above background in proportion
to SQg increases but levels off as nonlinear processes become important.
For the sites which he studied, AltshulTer appeared to find  an average
*Los Angeles was not included.
                                    82

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CO
CO
             30
          en
             20
             10
          u_
          _l
          ZD
          
                                 o o
                       CD
                                I
                                                                                   O
                               I
                                                                              I
                 0     20
40
60
80
100
120    140
                                            SULFUR DIOXIDE CONCENTRATION, /jg/m
160
 3
180
                   Figure 3-5   Sulfur Dioxide/Sulfate Relationship  for  18  U.  S.  Cities
                                                I
200    220
                 REFERENCE:   Altshuller  [27J.

-------
background sulfate of around 5 ug/m .   The average background level,
the result  of long term transport from anthropogenic sources as well
as from natural sources, is indicated by the intercept on the vertical
axis.
     In the present project, a similar empirical study was performed
using aerometric data from Los Angeles.  Figure 3-6  compares annual
average sulfate and sulfur dioxide at eleven stations in the Metro-
politan Los Angeles AQCR.  S(L levels  are lower in Los Angeles than
in many eastern cities; all of the Los Angeles SCL averages are below
60 ^ig/tn  and within the bottom SOp range of the data which was investi-
gated by Altshuller.  The Los Angeles  Points show a high sulfate/SCL
conversion ratio; all points in Figure 3-6  lie above the lower
Altshuller regression line in Figure 3-5  .   However, the Los Angeles
points are within the scatter of Altshuller's data.
     As with Altshuller's results, the raw Los Angeles data in Figure
 3.6  show considerable variance. However, if a qualitative distinction
is made as to distance inland, a much more consistent pattern is
revealed.  Figure 3-6 demonstrates that for given SCL level, sulfate
increases with distance inland.  This apparently  reflects increased
residence time under the sea breeze dominated wind pattern.  For  .
given distance inland, sulfate increased -above background (4 ug/m )*
in a slightly less than linear way with increasing SOp.  This non-
linearity is in agreement with the previous discussion of the sulfate/
S02 relationship.
*  See Section 2.
                                   84

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20
                                                                  EASTERN  -
                                                                  INLAND
                                                                           CENTRAL
15--
          —      Estimated  Background  Sulfate

      Coastal Stations          Hi   Eastern - Inland Stations

L—>   Central  Stations
                                           Intermediate, Central  - Eastern Stations
10          20           30

 Yearly Average Sulfur Dioxide
                                                   40
                                                         50
60
     Figure 3-6  Aerometric  Relationship  Between  Sulfate  and  Sulfur
                 Dioxide in  the  Metropolitan  Los  Angeles  AGCR

   DATA SOURCES:
      WLA  - West Los Angeles  (LA APCD 1969-1972)*
       LB  - Long Beach  (NASN  1968 - 1970)
      LEN  - Lennox  (LA  APCD 1969-1972)*
      SNT  - Santa Ana (NASN 1969)
      ANN  - Anaheim (NASN 1969)
      RES  - Reseda  (LA  APCD 1969-1972)*
      PAS  - Pasadena (LA APCD 1972)*
      DTLA - Downtown Los Angeles (LA APCD 1969-1972)*
       SB  - San  Bernadii.c (SB APCD 1972  & NASN 1968-1969)
      FNT  -  Fontana (SB APCD 1972)
       AZ  -  Azusa (LA APCD  1972)*

      *Los Angeles APCD SO, data have  been corrected to allow for
         systematic round off error; the LA APCD reports all  S02 values from
         0 to .015  ppm as .01  ppm.      85

-------
     It is interesting to note that the sulfate air quality/SO,,
emission data of Figure 3-4  is in qualitative agreement with the data
just discussed.  Figure 3-7  averages the data in Figure 3-4  and gives
two emission/air quality points which are means for years below 450
           p
tons/day SO  emissions and years above 500 tons/day SOp emissions re-
spectively.  Although these two points do not support statistically
definitive conclusions, in conjunction with the 4 yg/m  background value
they do suggest a slightly nonlinear dependence of sulfate concentrations
on S02 emissions.
3.2.3  An Operational Relationship for Use in Implementation Planning
     The above discussions present a consistent picture of the relation-
ship to be expected between annual average sulfate levels and S02
emissions in the Los Angeles Region.  The background sulfate level, a
result of man made sources exterior  to the Los Angeles Region as well
as natural sources, is around 4 jjg/m .  In response to S02 emissions
within the basin, sulfate levels increase initially in a linear way.
Gradually, nonlinear processes become important, and further increases
in sulfate are less than linear.
     For the purpose of simplicity in implementation planning, it is
here proposed that a simple linear relation be assumed for the sulfate/
S02 relationship.   The assumption will  be that measured sulfate,  minus
          3
the 4 pg/m   backgroun
Stated mathematically,
          3
the 4 pg/m   background, is linearly proportional to total  emissions.
                                   86

-------
 CT>
   15
                       Averages for years  above
                       500 tons/day S02 emissions
                       (1957, 58, 59, 60,  61, 65,
                       66 and 67)
   10
o
o
CD
•
00
o
                      I
             Average  for years  below
             450 tons/day S0? emissions
             (1963, 64,  68  69  and 70)
         — — — —— Estimated Background Sulfate
                 100
200
300
400
500
                   AVERAGE LOS ANGELES COUNTY S02 EMISSIONS **

                                   (TONS/DAY)
         Figure  3-7   Average  S02  Emissions  vs.  Average SO^ Air Quality for
                     Los  Angeles  County
600
     *   NASN  data  for Los  Angeles,  Burbank,  Glendale,  Long Beach and
        Pasadena.

     **   Los  Angeles  County  APCD Estimates
                                        87

-------
where,



     S. = sulfate level at location i,

     E  = total SOp emission level in the Los Angeles Region,

     E  = total SOf emission level for the base year (1972),

and  S? = background sulfate (4 ug/m ).                           -   •  '




The error in the linear model will depend on the station to which it



is applied.  The error will tend to be greatest for stations which have



the highest present S02 levels since nonlinear processes become



more important at higher SO- levels.  A sensitivity analysis was



performed comparing the nonlinear curves  in Figure 3.6  with the



predictions that would result from the linear model.  This analysis


                                                                    3

indicated that the maximum error in the linear model would be 3 jug/m,

                                        3

with most errors typically around 1 pg/m .  Although this is a significant



fraction of the ambient sulfate concentration, it is not significant when



compared to the total annual average level of suspended particulates, which



is on the order of 100 yg/m .  Since the implementation strategy in this



study will be based on total suspended particulates, the error in the lin-



earity assumption for sulfate should be of minor overall importance.  Much



larger errors are encountered in attempting to use present Hi-Vol data to



characterize base year air quality levels for total suspended particulates,



(See Support Document #1).



     In further defense of the linearity assumption,  it should be



noted that control strategies will be prepared for HC and NO  as well as
                                                            X


S09.  Reducing HC and NO  should help to decrease sulfate levels by
  £                     X


weakening the photochemical oxidation mechanism for SO-.  The error in



neglecting the synergistic effect of HC and NO  reductions will be
                                              A


directly counter to the error in assuming a linear sulfate/S02 air



quality relation.

-------
3.3  NITRATE AIR QUALITY RELATIONSHIP
     Secondary nitrate aerosol  is a product of a complex series  of
 reactions involving  gaseous  NO  emissions.  NO ,  (the  sum of NO
                                A              X
 and N02), originates essentially from fuel  combustion  sources and
 is emitted mostly as NO, Dal,  [42].  In the atomosphere, much of the
 NO is oxidized to NOp-   Further oxidation processes can take place
 which produce secondary nitrate (NO,) aerosol.  Some of this second-
 ary aerosol is organic  nitrate and is included as part of  the second-
 ary organic origin category.   The nitrate category of  interest
 here is inorganic nitrate.  Inorganic nitrate,  probably the most
 prevelant form of nitrate,  feaK consists of nitric acid and nitrate.
 salts, particularly ammonium  nitrate, [3], [16].
     The purpose of this section is to determine how secondary
 inorganic nitrate levels in the Los Angeles  Region will respond to
 changes in NOX emission levels.  This problem directly parallels  the
 subject of previous section which dealt  with the  sulfate -- S0?
 relationship.  It was noted in the previous  section that con-
 siderable uncertainty  surrounded the relationship of  sulfate levels
 and S02 emissions.  Unfortunately, much  less is known  for  the case
 of the nitrate -- NC^ relationship.  The nitrate  problem seems  to
 be a more difficult one to  solve,  and to compound the trouble,  less
 research effort seems to have  been devoted to the nitrate  issue,
 [29], [30].
     It is not now possible  to  build a sound theoretical case for the
 form of the nitrate —  NOX  relationship  because the important con-
 version mechanisms have not been defined and documented.  Although
                                     89

-------
there are no definitive results on what specific reaction mechanisms
predominate, there is some evidence that photochemical processes are
significant.  As was shown in Figure 2-3, nitrate values are greatest
in the inland portions of the Los Angeles Region which experience
the most intense photochemical smog levels.  Also, an analysis of
atmospheric data at Riverside has indicated a correlation between
nitrate levels and photochemical smog, [3].  However, the explicit
photochemical (or other) reactions involved in nitrate reduction are
not well understood.*  In the absence of knowledge concerning the
reactions, a systematic  theoretical argument cannot be made concerning
the form of the NCL — NO  relationship.
                  •3      X
       An alternative method of finding the nitrate -- NOx relation-
ship is the empirical approach based on atmospheric monitoring data.
However, again, less work has been done with nitrates than with
sulfates.  No empirical  study has been published for NOg -- NOx.that
is equivalent to Altshuller's work with SO^ -- SO^, £7], (See Figure
3-5).**
*  Some potentially important reactions have been identified, foo], e.g.,
       0  the thermal  reaction  of  N02  + oxygen  +  water  to yield
          nitric acid
or     0  the reaction of NO? with ozone or other photochemical
          oxidants to yield iL 05 which combines  with water to
          form nitric acid.
However, more research is needed before the reaction mechanisms  can
be described with confidence.
** Possibly this is because NOx data are not available for a N
   study.  The federal  NASN data summaries for 1967 and 1968 report
   only N02, (not NO),  for nearly all the monitoring sites, [11], [43]
                                   90

-------
   An  attempt was made  in  the  present study  to  perform an  empirical



 analysis of  the  nitrate  -- NO  relationship  based on data  from the
                             A


 Los Angeles  Region.   Figure  3-8  presents the results of plotting yearly



 average NOZ  vs yearly average  NOx at ten locations.  Figure 3-8



 reveals that for given NOV,  nitrate increases considerably from coast
                          A


 to inland.  This apparently  reflects the continuous conversion of



 NO  to NOZ as the air mass moves inland under the typical  sea
  X      0


 breeze dominated wind pattern.   As to the dependence of NOZ on NC^ ,



 Figure 3-8 is inconclusive.  For the coastal and eastern-inland



 data, the spread in NO   concentrations is not wide enough  to
                      A


 justify  inferences about the NOZ -- NOx relationship. For  the central-



 valley stations, a straight  line to the estimated NOZ  background



 level fits well; however,  four data points are  not sufficient to



 make a firm conclusion concerning linearity.



   In summary, existing  knowledge concerning the dependence of NOZ



 concentrations on NO  emissions  is very poor.   Neither theoretical
                    A


 nor. empirical analysis can presently justify sound conclusions as  to



 the form of the  NOZ -- NO  relationship.  In this study, the
                  0      X


 simplest relationship will be  assumed:  non-background nitrate

                           q

 (total nitrate minus 1 jjg/m  background*) wi 11   be taken as directly



 proportional to  total NOx emission levels.  It should be emphasized



 that there is considerable uncertainty in the use of this  linear



 rollback formula for nitrate -- NO .  The principal justification is
                                  A


 that there is no firm evidence to support the use of any specific



 nonlinear relationship.



   Another caveat that should be kept in mind is that the  above



 relationship  between nitrate and NO  neglects  possible effects on
                                    X

'See Section 2.2 for a discussion of the background value.



                                   91

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                                       EASTERN-INLAND
                                                                  CENTRAL-VALLEY
                                                       COASTAL
  ^	ESTIMATED NITRATE  BACKGROUND	
               • OS



     COASTAL STATIONS

 A CENTRAL STATIONS
                    .10
.15
                           H-
                            .20
                YEARLY AVERAGE NOV  (ppm)
                                 A
                                   EASTERN-INLAND  STATIONS
                                   INTERMEDIATE, CENTRAL-EASTERN  STATION
DATA SOURCE
  WLA
   LB
  LEN
 DTLA
  PAS
  RES
  ANA
   AZ
   SB
  UPL
West Los Angeles
Long Beach
Lennox
Downtown Los Angeles
Pasadena
Reseda
Anaheim
Azusa
San Bernardino
Upland
(LA APCD,  1969-72)
(LA APCD -  NOx,  NASN-NO".
(LA APCD,  1969-72)
(LA APCD,  1969-72)
(LA APCD,  1972)
(LA APCD,  1969-72)
(Orange APCD-NOx, NASN-NOZ,
(LA APCD,  1972)
(San Ben.,  APCD, 1972-73)
(San Ben.,  APCD, 1972-73)
              1969-70)
                1969-70)
  Figure 3-8  Aerometric  Relationship Between Nitrate and NOx in the
              Metropolitan  Los  Angeles  AQCR
                                     92

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nitrate formation from hydrocarbon (HC) emission level  changes.  Since
photochemical processes seem to be important in nitrate formation, hydro-
carbon levels may indirectly impact on nitrate levels by governing the
amount of photochemical activity.  Since HC emissions will  be undergoing
reductions in the future, the neglect of HC effects would appear to yield
conservative results, e.g. actual nitrate levels may be lower than pre-
dicted due to decreased HC emissions and correspondingly decreased photo-
chemical activity.  Whether or not the HC effect will be significant is
uncertain.
3.4  AMMONIUM AIR QUALITY RELATIONSHIP
     Ammonium ion (NHj) constitutes a small fraction of total suspended
particulate levels in the Los Angeles Region, (about 1%).  Non-background
                                          3
ammonium was estimated to be around 1 xig/m  in the origin characterization,
(Table 2-17).  Here by non-background, we do not imply that the ammonia
(NH3) precursor was necessarily man-made.  Rather, non-background ammonium
is defined as that which is associated with non-background  sulfate and
nitrate.
     The air quality relationship for non-background ammonium will be
taken as simple linear rollback based on non-background sulfate and
nitrate control.  That is, the fractional reduction in non-background
NH| will be assumed proportional  to the molar fractional  reduction of
non-background SOT and NO".*  Since ammonium ion is such a  small
fractional of total suspended particulate levels, .the prediction of
total particulate levels should be highly insensitive to errors in
the above assumption for the NH^ air quality relationship
  *Actually, since two NHa would be associated with one SO^ and only one
   NH4 would be associated with a NO^, sulfate reductions are given twice
   the weight in the total  molar  fraction.
                                   93

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3.5  SECONDARY ORGANIC AIR QUALITY RELATIONSHIP
   Secondary organic aerosol  is one of the products of the photochemical
smog reactions that occur in  the Los Angeles atmosphere.   The composition
 of secondary  organic  aerosol  has  not  been  definitely  established,
 but there  appears  to  be  a  general  dominance of highly oxygenated
 compounds  [22],[10],  [44].   Likewise, the  importance  of various
 hydrocarbons  as  precursors of secondary  organic  aerosol is  not fully
 understood.   However,  higher molecular   weight aromatics  and olefins,
 particularly  the latter, are evidently most important, [22],[45],  [46],
 [47],  [34].
    The  purpose  here is to  determine how  secondary  organic aerosol
 levels  will depend on  reactive hycrocarbon  (RHC) emissions  in the
 Los Angeles Region.   Actually, in  this task, we  begin at  a  dis-
 advantage.  The  hydrocarbon  reactivity scale used  to  define RHC
 emissions  in  this  study  is based  on the  oxidant  forming potential
 of hydrocarbon  emissions,  (See Support Document  #2, [18]).  However, recent
 research has  indicated that  reactivity ratings based  on aerosol forma-
 tion can be significantly  different from oxidant reactivity ratings
 67].  To reformulate  the hydrocarbon  emission inventory with a new
 aerosol reactivity scale was  beyond the  scope of the  present study.
 Thus, the  use of an inappropriate  reactivity scale will be  an error
 inherent in the  present  analysis.
    The  relationship between  secondary organic aerosol  levels and
 RHC emission  levels cannot presently  be  established from  a  theoretical
 analysis of the  chemical reactions  involved in the transformation
 because the chemical  reactions are not well understood.   One
 specific reaction  that has been implicated  is  the  combination of
                                    94 .

-------
olefins  with ozone, QQ], (22!.  However the total basic system of
reactions for secondary organic aerosol formation is still unknown.
   The relationship between secondary organic aerosol levels and
RHC emissions also cannot presently be determined from empirical models
based on atmospheric monitoring data.  Existing aerometric data is
inadequate for both the precursor (reactive hydrocarbons) and the
end product (secondary organic aerosol).  The inadequacies of ambient
monitoring data for reactive hydrocarbons have been previously
discussed [48], [49].  Most measurements of organic aerosol
in the Los Angeles Region consist of data on benzene solubles.
Primary organic aerosol is rather soluble in benzene, but secondary
organic aerosol is highly insoluble, fiy], fig].  Thus, benzene soluble
data provide a poor  indication of secondary aerosol levels in
Los Angeles and are inappropriate for use in an empirical model
for secondary organics.
   Recent smog chamber experiments are shedding some light on the
relationship between secondary aerosol levels and RHC input.   These
experiments show  that  changing HC mixture has an extremely
complex effect on aerosol formation  |y].  However, for a given HC
mixture, preliminary results seem to indicate a linear-proportional
relationship between total HC input and total  aerosol formation, [50).
Although these results pertain to total aerosol  produced, it appears
reasonable to assume that they also pertain to the organic fraction
of the aerosol  (which is  of interest here).
   In this study, a linear-proportional relationship will be assumed
for the dependence of non-background secondary aerosol  levels on total
RHC emissions .  Although  this assumption is in qualitative agreement with
                                   95

-------
some recent smog chamber results, its applicability is nonetheless
very uncertain.   There are no firm theoretical  or atmospheric -
empirical results which support the proportional  formula for secondary
organics.  The main justification for the linear  rollback formula  is
that it is the simplest and most obvious one to assume until  more
evidence is gathered.
                                  96

-------
            4.0  BASELINE PARTICULATE AIR QUALITY PROJECTIONS
                 FOR THE METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES REGION
     Chapter 2 characterized the origins of annual average participate
levels at 12 locations in the Metropolitan Los Angeles Region.  Chapter 3
provided (linear) relationships linking the contributions from controllable
origin categories to contaminant emission levels.  By combining these
results, we obtain a model that yields annual average particulate levels
at each location as functions of total emission levels in the Los Angeles
Region.
Illustration of the Completed Model
     Table 4-1 illustrates the application of the air quality/emission
level model.  The left side of Table 4-1 presents the 1972 origin clas-
sification for an example location, Downtown Los Angeles.  The center
column of the table describes a hypothetical control strategy for primary
particulates, S09, NO , and RHC.  The right side of the table gives the pre-
                C-    /\
dieted impact of the control strategy.  In this hypothetical case, the
140 ^ig/m3 AAM in 1972 would be reduced to 78 yg/m3 AAM by the control
strategy.
A Special Case:  Chino
     In this study, the model will be applied as illustrated above to each
location with one exception.  The exception involves the primary particu-
late and sulfate contributions at Chino.  For the other eleven locations
and other origin categories, the origin contribution will  be factored
(rolled-back) according to total emissions in the Four-County Sub-Area.
However, for non-background primary particulates and sulfate at Chino, an
allowance will be made for localized emissions.
                                    97

-------
ID
00
                                   TABLE  4-1   HYPOTHETICAL  ILLUSTRATION  OF
                                              THE  MODEL  FOR PREDICTING CONTROL
                                              STRATEGY IMPACT  ON  PARTICULATE
                                              AIR  QUALITY LEVELS
          Origin Categories
BACKGROUND CONTRIBUTIONS
(Sea Salt, Soil  Dust,
Man-Made Sources exterior
to the L.A. Region, and
Background 504,  NOo, and
Secondary Organics)
                             1972 Base Year
                             Origin Character-
                             ization for Down-
                             town Los Angeles
       NON-BACKGROUND CONTRIBUTIONS
          PRIMARY	
          SECONDARY:
            so!  —	—
            NO
            iNri^

       Secondary Organics
44



54


10

11
 1

20
                      Hypothetical  Control
                      Strategy (% Reduction
                      from the 1972 Base
                      Year Level)
                                                  67% Reduction in
                                                  Primary Particulate Emissions
                                                  50% Reduction in SOp Emissions

                                                  50% Reduction in NOEmissions
                                                  	/\
                                                  50% Reduction in S09 & NO
                                                                     £     A   	

                                                  75% Reduction in RHC Emissions
 Air Quality Resulting
 from the Control
 Strategy
^••^•••^— '"*
                                                                                                44
   18


    5

    5%
         TOTAL AAM
                              140 yg/rrf
                                                          78

-------
       As  explained  in  Section  2.4.2,  the Chino monitoring site appears to
 experience  a  particularly  strong  influence from a  localized source.
 This  source,  evidently  the  Kaiser Steel/Edison Electric complex, leads
 to abnormally high  primary  particulate and sulfate  levels at Chino.
 Estimates of  the contributions  from  the localized  source are presented
 in Table 2-2.  The  model will be  applied  in a special way to Chino by
 rolling  back  the localized  origin contributions (column III in Table 2-19)
 according to  emissions  from the localized source and by rolling back
 the remainder (column  II in Table 2-19) according  to total emissions
 in the Four-County  Sub-Area.  Appendix A  summarizes the techniques used
 to forecast emissions  for  the localized source.
                                 TABLE 4-2
                   BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY PARTICULATE AND
                   SULFATE CONTRIBUTIONS AT CHINO



Primary Suspended
Parti culates
Sul fates
COLUMN I
Total 1972
non-background
level*
(/jg/m3)
89
18
COLUMN II
Typical value
for similar
stations not
strongly influenced
by the localized
source*
(>jg/m3)
30
9
COLUMN III
Contribution
from the
localized
source
(II Minus I)
(jjg/m3)
59 '
9
*  See Table 2-17.
                                     99

-------
     The present chapter will  illustrate the application of the air
quality/emission level  model  by forecasting air quality levels for the
baseline emission projections  given in Support Document #2 of this project
[18].   These results will be  presented in Section 4.2.
     Section 4.1 resolves a preliminary issue.  The air quality/emission
level  model  gives predicted particulate air quality in  terms of annual
arithmetic means. However, the federal annual  air quality standards for
particulates are stated as geometric  means.  Section 4.1 derives target
annual arithmetic mean  levels  for the Los Angeles Region which approximate
the geometric mean standards.
4.1  ARITHMETIC MEAN TARGET LEVELS CORRESPONDING TO THE GEOMETRIC MEAN
     STANDARDS
     National air quality standards for suspended particulates have been
established for both long term  (annual) and short term (24 hour) concen-
trations.  As explained in Section 3.1, the present study will address
only the long term standards.  These standards are expressed in terms of
annual geometric means:
           Primary Standard  	 75 yg/m3 (AGM)
                                         3
           Secondary Standard ... 60 yg/m  (AGM).
In order to preserve overall linearity,  the aerosol origin characterization
was carried out in terms of annual arithmetic means, and the resulting
model of the relationship between suspended particulate levels and emission
levels is appropriate to arithmetic means.  A method is required to recon-
cile the outputs of the air quality model, (arithmetic means), with the
form of the air quality standards, (geometric means).  The method used
here will be to approximate the geometric mean standards by equivalent
arithmetic mean levels.
                                   100

-------
     Table 4-3 gives the ratio of arithmetic  mean  (AM)  to  geometric mean

(GM) for log normal  distributions with various  geometric standard devi-

ations, (S ).  In the Los Angeles Region,  suspended  particulate distributions


   TABLE 4-3  RATIO  OF ARITHMETIC MEAN TO  GEOMETRIC MEAN VS. GEOMETRIC
              STANDARD DEVIATION  FOR LOG NORMAL DISTRIBUTIONS
           GEOMETRIC                    RATIO  OF ARITHMETIC MEAN
      STANDARD DEVIATION                TO  GEOMETRIC MEAN
              S                                AM/GM

             1.3                               1.035
             1.4                               1.06
             1.5                               1.09
             1.6                               1.12
             1.7                               1.15
             1.8                               1.19
             1.9                               1.23
             2.0                               1.27
typically have values of SQ in the range 1.4 to 1.7,  (See Support Document #1,  [1]).

Thus, arithmetic means tend to fall  approximately 6 to  15% higher than

geometric means.
     It is not obvious whether the implementation of control  strategies

will significantly alter S  values in the Los Angeles Region.   Since there

now appears to be no significant correlation between S   and total suspended

particulate levels at various locations in the Los Angeles Region, [i],

one might expect that the values for S  would not change much  with control

strategy implementation.  Assuming that S  values remain the same,

the arithmetic means would remain about 6 to 15% higher than the geometric
                                                                      3
means.  This implies that the federal primary annual  standard  (75
                                       3
AGM) is equivalent to around 80-86 yg/m  AAM, and that the federal  secon-
                             o                                        3
dary annual standard (60 yg/m  AGM) is equivalent to around 64-69 yg/m

AAM.


                                   101

-------
     For the purposes of this study, it will  be assumed that the federal
primary annual  standard for particulates is equivalent to a target AAM
                q
level of 80 ug/m  and that the federal  secondary annual standard is
                                     3
equivalent to a target AAM of 65 yg/m .  These target arithmetic mean
levels are on the "conservative" side of the estimates made above, i.e.,
achieving these target AAM levels will  likely result in air quality
slightly better than the federal standards.
4.2  AIR QUALITY FORECASTS FOR THE BASELINE EMISSION PROJECTIONS

    Table 4-4 summarizes the emission projections for primary particulates,
SO,,, NO , and RHC that were derived in Support Document #2 of this project,[18],
  C-    /\
Projections are given for two scenarios:  (1) "present controls", (controls
presently scheduled to go into effect by the local APCD's plus the California
ARB and federal new car control programs), and (2) "EPA oxidant plan",
(the present controls plus the controls called for in the EPA-promulgated
plan for'oxidant in the Los Angeles Region, [51]). The values are for the
4 County Sub-Area,  (Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino),
              TABLE 4-4 SUMMARY OF EMISSION PROJECTIONS FOR THE
                        4 COUNTY SUB-AREA OF THE LOS ANGELES REGION
                                          --Tons/Day--
            Pollutant
Primary Suspended Particulates
   so2
   N0x
   RHC
1972 Base
Year Emissions
tes 178
444
1345
1095
Present Controls
1977 1980
233 240
530 540
1614 1434
741 567
EPA Oxidant Plan
1977 1980
223
524
1614
547
233
535
1434
410
                                   102

-------
 which  experiences  participate  levels well  in excess of the air quality

 standards  and in which  the  12  sites of  the aerosol characterization are

 located.

     As demonstrated in  Table 4-4,primary  suspended particulate and SC^

 emissions  are forecasted  to increase through 1977 and 1980.  This is the

 result of  source growth and of projected  switches from natural gas to

 fuel oil;  these factors will outstrip the presently planned controls for

 primary particulates and  SCL.   Basically  due to  the same  two factors,

 NO  emissions are  also  predicted  to increase from 1972 base year levels.
   X

 However,  in the late 1970's, the  new  car  controls should reverse the

 upward trend in NO  emissions. RHC emissions  will decrease due to the
                   A

 new and used car control  programs.  The EPA oxidant plan  brings about

 even greater reductions in  RHC emissions.  For details on these projections,

 the  reader  is  referred  to Support Document #2, [18].

     Figure  4-1  presents forecasted air quality levels at eight locations

 for the two  baseline emission  scenarios.  The air quality projections have

 been derived from  the emission projections by using the model  outlined in

 Section 4.0  with the data in Tables 2-17 and 4-4.  As noted in Section 4.0,

 the model is  applied in a special  way to the Chino monitoring site.   The

 methods of emission projection for the localized Chino source are outlined

 in Appendix  A.*
*The projected primary particulate and S02 levels for the local  Chino
   source (assuming no further controls) are as follows:

                                      (Kaiser/Edison Complex)
                                      Emissions as % of 1972 level
                                      1977          1980

               Primary Particulates   150%          147%
               S02                    166%          163%
                                   103

-------
                                   COASTAL       AREA
00
a.
           72
                    LENNOX
£uu

100-

n

•-— ==
TGT^.
B/GND
1
Present Controls
§' 	 •
= 	 EPA Oxidant Plan


j.. ... i_
 77
80
                     YEAR
                           00
                           a.
                                            LONG  BEACH
                                                         100--
                                                            FGT.
                                                            B/GND
72
                                             Present Controls
                                              ^       ^
                                            • J     	 ^

                                             EPA Oxidant Plan
77
                                                                          YEAR
80
                             CENTRAL  —  VALLEY   AREA
oc
3.
     200i
    100--
              DOWNTOWN  L.A.
            72
   LEGEND:

TGT.
B/GND
1
Present Controls
— HP 	 1
EPA Oxidant Plan

	 1 	 	 1 	 .
                     YEAR
77
80
    TGT	TARGET FOR PRUiAkY STANDARD
   B/CND.
               'ESTIMATED BACKGROUND
                                                    oo
                                                    a.
                                 200
                                100--
72
                                             ANAHE I M

• 	 =
TGT.
B/GND
— 	 	 \. 	 —
Present Controls
— 9 — 	 •
EPA Oxidant Plan

	 1 	 1 	
                                                                          YEAR
77
80
  Figure  4-1  Suspended Particulate Air Quality  Forecasts  for the  Baseline  Emission
               Projections

-------
                                                 EASTERN-INLAND      AREA
            200
            100--
                  72
                          AZ U SA

*— 	
TGT.
B/CND
.,-J 	
Present Controls
— ^__ 	 ^
EPA Oxidant Plan

	 1 1
                          200
                                       ONTAR IO
                                                00
                                                a.
                                                   100--
     77
80

TCT.
B/GND
1

Present Controls
EPA Oxidant Plan

i I
1 1
72
                                                     200
                                                                  RIVERSIDE
                                                                 100--
77     80
                                                                                               B/GND.
                                                                                                  72
                                                                                                               Present Controls
                                                                                                              EPA Oxidant Plan
77     80
o
en
               LEGEND:


                TCT.	


               B/GND	
                              WESTERN   SAN  BERNARDINO    COUNTY     HOT-SPOT
-TARGET FOR
 PRIMARY STANDARD
                           'ESTIMATED BACKGROUND
                                                    300
                                                 e
                                                 00
                                                 a.

                                                z:
                                                
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     It is apparent that the projected increases in primary particulate,

S09, and NO  emissions will lead to a deterioration of suspended participate
  t        X

air quality at most locations.   Reductions in secondary organics (due to

decreases in RHC emissions) are sufficient to keep particulate levels

about constant in the eastern-inland area where secondary organics are

particularly important.  The deterioration of air quality is especially

pronounced at Chino; with no further controls, the forecasted increase in

primary particulates and SC^ from the Kaiser Steel/Edison Electric com-

plex will result in considerable worsening of an already severe particu-

late problem.*

     In the final report of this study, an implementation plan is  formulated

to achieve decreases in primary particulate, SCL, NO , and RHC emissions
                                               Cm    /\

by 1977 and 1980.  The effect of these emission reductions will again be

calculated using the simple linear model  of Section 4.0.  The goal will be

to select control strategies that will be sufficient to attain the federal

standards for total suspended particulates in the Los Angeles Region.
*Actually, some significant emission controls are planned for the
   Kaiser/Edison complex.   They have not been included in the above
   projections because the expected emission reductions have not
   yet been documented.   These controls may be similar to the controls
   proposed in the final  report of this study.
                                   106

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                               REFERENCES
 1.  TRW Environmental Services, The Development of a Particulate Imple-
     mentation Plan for the Los Angeles Region, Support  Document  #1, Analysis  of
     Air Monitoring Data, (Preliminary), Prepared for the Environmental
     Protection Agency under Contract #68-02-1384, Redondo Beach, California,
     May 1974.

 2.  White, W., Post Doctoral Research Assistant, Environmental  Health
     Engineering Department, Caltech, Pasadena, California.   Personal
     Communication of data from Phase II of the California Aerosol
     Characterization Study (ACHEX) performed by Rockwell International
     for the California Air Resources Board under Contract #358,  July  1974.

 3.  Lundgren, D. A., "Atmospheric Aerosol  Composition and Concentration
     as a Function of Particle Size and of Time", Journal of the  Air
     Pollution Control Association, Vol. 20, #9, September 1970.

 4.  Duckworth, S., Meteorologist, California Air Resources  Board,  Sacramento,
     California.  Personal Communication, May 1974.

 5.  San Bernardino Air Pollution Control District, Final Report  ...
     Suspended Dust Study,/v 1969.

 6.  White, W., Post Doctoral Research Assistant, Environmental  Health
     Engineering Department, Caltech, Pasadena, California.   Personal
     Communication, July 1974.

 7.  Miller, M. S., Friedlander, S. K., and Hidy, G. M., "A  Chemical
     Element Balance for the Pasadena Aerosol", Journal  of Colloid  and
     Interface Science. Vol. 39. No. 1, April 1972.

 8.  Hidy, G. M., et al., "Observations of Aerosols Over Southern California
     Coastal Waters", Submitted to Journal  of Applied Meteorology,  May 1973.

 9.  Holzworth, G. C., "Atmospheric Contamination at Remote  California
     Sites", J. Meteorol, 16, #68, February 1959.

10.  Hidy, G. M., et al,  Characterization of Aerosols in California,
     Interim Report for Phase I, Prepared for the California Air  Resources
     Board by Rockwell International Under ARB Contract  #358, December 1973.

11.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Air Quality Data  for 1967 from
     the National Air Surveillance Networks, APTD-0978,  August  1972.

12.  Hidy, G. M., and Friedlander, S. K., "The Nature of the Los  Angeles
     Aerosol", Proceedings of the Second International  Clean Air  Congress,
     Academic Press, p. 391-404, 1971.
                                   107

-------
13.  Friedlander, S. K., "Chemical Element Balances and Identification
     of Air Pollution Sources", Environmental Science & Technology,  Vol.  7,
     #3, March 1973.

14.  Gartrell, G., and Friedlander, S. K., "Relating Particulate Pollution
     to Sources:  The 1972 California Aerosol Characterization Study",
     Horking Paper, W. M. KecK Laboratory of Environmental  Engineering,
     Caltech, Pasadena, California.

15.  California Air Resources Board, "California Air Quality Data",
     Quarterly Reports, 1972-1973.

16.  Gordon, R. J.  and Bryan, R. J., "Ammonium Nitrate in  Airborne  Particles
     in Los Angeles", Environmental Science and Technology, Vol.  7.  July  1973.

17.  Grosjean, Daniel, Research Associate, Environmental  Health  Engineering,
     Caltech, Pasadena, California, Personal  Communication, June 1974.

18.  TRW Environmental Sources, The Development of a Particulate Implementa-
     tion Plan for the Los Angeles Region. Support .Document f2,  Emission  Inventories
     and Projections (Preliminary), Prepared tor the tnvironmental  Protection
     Agency under Contract #68-02-1384, June 1974.

19.  Holmes, J., Spectroscopist, California Air Resources Board,  El  Monte,
     California.  Personal  Communication, July 1974.

20.  Ter Haar, G. L., Lenane, D. L., and Brandt, M., "Composition,  Size
     and Control of Automotive Exhaust Particulates", J.  of the  Air
     Poll. Control Assoc..  Vol. 22. #1, January 1972.

21.  Habibi, K., "Characterization of Particulate Matter  in Vehicle  Exhaust",
     Environmental Science and Technology, Vol. 7, #3, March 1973.

22.  O'Brien, R. J., Holmes, J. R., and Bockian, A. H., "Photochemical
     Aerosol Formation in the Atmosphere and  in an Environmental  Chamber",
     Presentation before the Division of Environmental Chemistry, American
     Chemical  Society, Los  Angeles, April 1974.

23.  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control  District, Air Monitoring
     Logs, 434 So. San Pedro St., Los Angeles.

24.  Zeldin, M., Meteorologist, San Bernardino  County Air Pollution  Control
     District.  Personal  Communication, May 1974.

25.  U.S.  Department of Health, Education,  and  Welfare, Air Quality  Criteria
     for Sulfur Oxides, AP-50, April  1970.

26.  Bufalini, M., "Oxidation of Sulfur Dioxide in Polluted Atmospheres -
     A Review", Environmental  Science and Technology, Vol.  5,  #8, August 1971.

27.  Altshuller, A.  P., "Atmospheric Sulfur Dioxide and Sulfate", Environ-
     mental  Science and Technology. Vol.  7, #8,  August 1973.


                                   108

-------
28.  Appel , B., "Sulfate and Nitrate Chemistry  in  Photochemical  Smog",
     Presentation before the Division of Environmental  Chemistry, American
     Chemical  Society, Los Angeles,  April  1974.

29.  Roberts,  Paul, Graduate Student, Environmental  Health  Engineering,
     Caltech,  Pasadena, California,  Personal  Communication,  June 1974.

30.  Appel, B., Air and Industrial  Hygiene Laboratory,  California Department
     of Public Health, Berkeley, California,  Personal  Communication,  June 1974

31.  Gerhard,  E. R. and Johnstone,  E. F., "Photo  Chemical Oxidation of
     Sulfur Dioxide in Air", Ind. Eng. Chem.. Vol . 47.  May  1955.

32.  Urone, P., Lutsep, H., Nozes,  C. M., and Parcher,  J.  F.,  "Static
     Studies of Sulfur Dioxide Reactions in Air", Environmental Science
     and Technology, Vol. 2. 1968.

33.  Hall, T.  C., Jr., Ph.D. Thesis, University of California  at Los  Angeles,
     1953.

34.  Renzetti, N. A. and Doyle, G.  J., "Photochemical  Aerosol  Formation in
     Sulfur Dioxide - Hydrocarbon Systems".  International  Journal of Air
     Pollution, Vol. 2. June 1960.

35,  Wilson, W. E. Jr. and Levy, A.,  "Studies of  Sulfur Dioxide in
     Photochemical Smog", American Petroleum Institute, Project S-ll,
     Batelle Memorial Institute, 1968.

36.  Leighton, P. A., Photochemistry of Air Pollution, Academic Press,
     New York, 1961.

37.  Junge, C. E. and Ryan, T.,  "Study of the S0? Oxidation in Solution
     and its Role in Atmospheric Chemistry", Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol  . Soc..
     Vol .  84,  January 1958.

38.  Smith, B. M., Wagman, J., and Foh, B. R., "Interaction of Airborne
     Particles with .Gases", Environmental Science and Technology, Vol .  3.
     1969.

39.  Cox,  R.A. and Penkett, S.A., "Aerosol Formulation from Sulfur Dioxide
     in the Presence of  Ozone and Olefinic Hydrocarbons", Journal of the
     Chemical  Society,  Faraday Transactions, 1, Vol.68,
 40.   Wadley,  M.,  Chief Chemist,  Los  Angeles  County Air  Pollution Control
      District.   Personal  Communication,  July 1974.

 41.   Los Angeles  County Air Pollution  Control  District,  Profile in Air
      Pollution  Control , 1971.

 42.   Environmental  Protection  Agency,  Air  Quality Criteria  for Nitrogen
      Oxides,  AP-84, January 1971.
                                    109

-------
 43.   Environmental Protection Agency. Air Quality Data for 1968 from the
      National Air Surveillance Networks, APTD-U9/8, August
44.  Renzetti,  N. A. and Doyle, G.  J.,  "The Chemical  Mature  of the Particulate
     in Irradiated Automobile Exhaust", Journal  of the Air Pollution  Control
     Association, Vol.  8, 1959.

45.  Wilson, W. E., Merryman, E. L.,  and Levy,  A., A Literature Survey of
     Aerosol Formation  and Visibility Reduction in Photochemical  Smog,
     American Petroleum Institute,  Project EF-2, Battelle Memorial  Institute,
     August 1969.

46.  Prager, M. J., Stephens, E. R.,  and Scott, W. E., "Aerosol  Formation
     from Gaseous Air Pollutants",  Int. Journal  of Air and Water Pollution,
     Vol. 9. 1965.

47.  Miller, D. F., Levy, A., and Wilson, W.  E.  Jr.,  A Study of Motor-Fuel
     Composition Effects on Aerosol  Formation,  Part II.   Aerosol  Reactivity
     Study of Hydrocarbons, American  Petroleum  Institute, Project EF-2,
     Battelle Memorial  Institute, February 1972.

48.  U.S. Department of Health, Education, and  Welfare,  Air  Quality Criteria
     for Hydrocarbons.  AP-64, March  1970.

49.  Dimitriades, B., "Application  of Reactivity Criteria in Development
     of Control Strategies", EPA Working Paper, Chemistry and Physics
     Laboratory, June 1973.

50.  Miller, D. F., Battelle Memorial  Institute, Columbus, Ohio.   Personal
     Communication, May 1974.

51. Federal Register. Vol. 38, No.  217, Nov.  12, 1973
                                   110

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                                APPENDIX A
             A METHOD FOR PROJECTING EMISSIONS AND CALCULATING
                CONTROL IMPACTS FOR THE KAISER/EDISON COMPLEX
     As noted in the text, (Section 4.0), the air quality/emission level
model developed here is applied to the Chino monitoring site in a special-
ized way.  The effect of primary particulate and sulfate emissions from
the Kaiser Steel/Edison Electric complex is treated individually.  This
Appendix outlines the method that will be used in this study to project
emissions for the Kaiser/Edison complex and to calculate the impact of
control measures on those emissions.
     Table A-l gives a breakdown of suspended particulate and S02 emis-
sions from the Kaiser/Edison complex.  There are three main categories,
metallurgical processes at Kaiser, oil/gas combustion at Kaiser, and
oil/gas combustion at Edison.  To project primary suspended particulate

                               TABLE A-l
                BREAKDOWN OF PRIMARY SUSPENDED PARTICULATE
              AND S02 EMISSIONS AT THE KAISER/EDISON COMPLEX

Primary Suspended
Particulates
so2
EMISSIONS — (TONS/DAY)
KAISER STEEL
Metallurgical
Processes
4.1
14.8
Oil and Gas
Combustion
1.0
5.4
EDISON ELECTRIC
ETIWANDA PLANT)
1.1
12.2
TOTAL
6.2
32.4
REFERENCES
     Emission Data:  [Al]
     Particulate Suspension Assumptions:
                                    A-l
[A2]

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and S02 emissions from this complex and to calculate reductions from

various control strategies, the following procedures will be used:

     •   The emissions from metallurgical processes at Kaiser Steel
         will be projected  proportional  to total metallurgical
         emissions in the 4 County Sub-Area.

     0   The emissions from oil and gas combustion at Kaiser Steel
         will be projected proportionate to total industrial fuel
         combustion emissions in the 4 County Sub-Area.

     •   The emissions at the Edison Etiwanda Plant will  be pro-
         jected  proportional  to total power plant emissions in
         the 4 County Sub-Area.
REFERENCES - APPENDIX A

A-l. Hilovsky, R., Engineering Department, San Bernardino County Air
     Pollution Control District, personal communication, September 1974.

A-2. TRW Environmental Services, "The Development of a Particulate
     Implementation Plan for the Los Angeles Region, Support Document
     #2, Emission Inventories and Projections", prepared for the
     Environmental Protection Agency under contract #68-02-1384, June 1974
                                   A-2

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    AN IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED


PARTICULATE  MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES REGION
         TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT #4




      ALTERNATIVE EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES
                                                                   CO
                                                                   in
               By:  G. Richard
                                                                     GO
                                                                     
-------
    AN IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FOR SUSPENDED

PARTICULATE MATTER IN THE LOS ANGELES  REGION
         TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT  #4
      ALTERNATIVE EMISSION CONTROL MEASURES
               By:  G. Richard
                Prepared for
         Environmental Protection Agency
      Region  IX - San Francisco, California
      TRW/
O TRANSPORTATION AND
ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
PEPATIONS

-------
DISCLAIMER

     This report was furnished to the Environmental Protection Agency
by TRW Transportation and Environmental Engineering Operations in fulfill-
ment of Contract Number 68-02-1384.  The contents of this report are
reproduced herein as received from the contractor.   The opinions, findings,
and conclusions are those of TRW and not necessarily those of the Environ-
mental Protection Agency.  Mention of company or product names does not
constitute endorsement by the Environmental  Protection Agency.
                                     n

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                        TABLE  OF  CONTENTS
1.0  INTRODUCTION      .                                                  1
2.0  SUMMARY                                                             3
     2.1  Emission Control  Region - The Four-County Area              .   3
     2.2  The Major Pollution Sources                                    4
     2.3  Existing Air Pollution Control                                  6
     2.4  Alternative and Additional Candidate Controls                  6
          2.4.1  Identification of Candidate Control Measures            8
          2.4.2  Effectiveness of the Candidate Control Measures        10
          2.4.3  Cost of the Candidate Control Measures                 13
     2.5  Limitations of the Analysis                                   15
     2.6  Conclusions and Recommendations                               17
3.0  GENERAL CONTROL METHODS                                            21
     3.1  Controls for Primary Particulates                             21
          3.1.1  Mechanical  Collectors                                  23
          3.1.2  Wet Scrubbers                                          27
          3.1.3  Electrostatic Precipitators                            28
     3.2  Controls for Gaseous Precursors                               37
          3.2.1  Desulfurization of Petroleum Products                  37
          3.2.2  S02 Removal Technology                                 46
     3.3  Alternative Fuels  - A Control for Particulates, SOo, and      50
          NOX
     3.4  Non Technological  Controls                                    64
          3.4.1  Growth Restrictions                                    65
          3.4.2  Relocation                                             65
          3.4.3  Source Usage                                           66
4.0  PETROLEUM INDUSTRY                                                 69
     4.1  Baseline Characterization                                     69
          4.1.1  Emissions                                              69
          4.1.2  Emission Control                                       73

-------
                         TABLE OF CONTENTS  (Continued)
                                                                    Page
    4.2  Alternative Control Measures     •                              75
         4.2.1  Particulate - Electrical Precipitators                  75
         4.2.2  Gaseous Precursors                                      77
5.0  STATIONARY FUEL COMBUSTION                                          85
     5.1   Baseline Emissions                                            85
     5.2   Current Emission  Controls                                      89
     5-3   Alternative Control  Measures                                  91
          5.3.1  Control  of Particulates '  "                             91
         .5.3.2  NOV Control                                            95
                   A
          5.3.3  Control  of S02                                        101
6.0  MINERALS INDUSTRY                                                113
     6.1   Baseline Emissions and Controls                             113
     6.2   Alternative Control  Measures                                119
7.0  AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS                                               123
     7.1   Baseline Characterization                                    123
          7.1.1  Aircraft Emissions                                    123
          7.1.2  Emission Controls                                    126
     7.2   Alternative Control  Measures                                128
          7.2.1  Retrofit Alternatives:  Turbine Engines               128
          7.2.2  Modification of Ground Operations                    141
          7.2.3  Fuel Alternatives                                    144
          7.2.4  Retrofits  for Piston Aircraft                        145
8.0  MOTOR VEHICLE                                                    149
     8.1   Baseline Emissions and Emission Controls                    149
     8.2   Alternative Control  Measures                                155
          8.2.1  Fuel Composition                                     155
          8.2.2 -Particulate Trap Devices                             167
          8.2.3  SQg Scrubbers                                        171
          8.2.4  Fuel Substitution                                    174
          8.2.5  Tire Options                                          175
                                     IV

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                     TABLE OF CONTENTS  (Continued)
                                                                     Page
 9.0  ORGANIC SOLVENTS                                                181
      9.1   Baseline Emissions and Controls                             181
      9.2   Alternative Controls                                        185
10.0  METALLURGICAL OPERATIONS                                        187
      10.1   Baseline Emissions                                        187
      10.2  Emissions Controls                                        188
      10.3  Alternative Controls                                       190
11.0  CHEMICAL PROCESSING INDUSTRY                                    197
      11.1   Baseline Emissions                                        197
      11.2  Emission Controls                                         198
      11.3  Alternative Controls                                       198

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                             LIST OF TABLES
2-1   Major Emission Sources of the Four-County Area,  For
      Baseyear (1972) and  Future Years Under the EPA
      Implementation Plan                                            5

2-2   Summary of Emission Preventions Attainable With  Imple-
      mentation of the Most Effective Emission Control  Op-
      tions, Four-County Area, 1977                                 11

2-3   Summary of Cost for Implementation of Most Effective
      Emission Control Options, Four County Area, 1977               14

3-1   Cyclone Efficiency Versus Particle Size Range                 25

3-2   Scrubber Capabilities                                         28

3-3   Control Mechanism for Particle Size Collection                33

3-4   Sulfur Content of Refinery Products for Different Crudes      38

3-5   Onplot Investment for Alternative Desulfurization Schemes     44

3-6   Direct Manufacturing Costs for Alternate Desulfurization
      Systems                                                       45

3-7   Process for Desulfurization of Effluent Gas Streams
      Processed Principally in the Gas Phase                        47

3-8   Lime-Limestone S0¥ Scrubbing Large-Scale Projects             51
                       A
3-9   Processes Used for Sulfur Removal From Claus Tail Gas         55

3-10  SOg Removal Processes Currently in Test                       56

3-11  Capital Cost of Retrofitting S02 Cleanup Technology
      In Existing Power Generating Plants                           58

3-12  Production Cost of Energy in Fuels, September 1972            61

3-13  Economics of Synthesis of 20,000 Tons/Day of
      Methanol (MeOH) From Coal                                     62

4-1   Emissions from the Petroleum Industry, Present and Future
      Four-County Area                                              70

4-2   Particulate Emissions From Petroleum Industry Operations,
      Four-County Area, 1972                                        71

4-3   S02 Emissions from Operations of the Petroleum Industry
      Four-County Area                                              72

4-4   NO  Emissions From Operations of the Petroleum Industry,
      Four-County Area                                              72
                                   vi

-------
                       LIST OF TABLES (Continued)
4-5   Characterization of Control  Methods Currently Utilized
      In Petroleum Industry for Control  of Major Particulate
      Emission Sources, Four-County Area, 1972                       74

4-6   Impact of Alternative Controls on  Emissions From
      Petroleum Refineries, 1977                                     81

4-7   Cost Effectiveness of Alternative  Controls for Refinery
      Major Emission Sources in Four-County Area, 1977               82

5-1   Emissions of Fuel Combustion, Four-County Area                 86

5-2   Summary of Fuel Burning Equipment                               87

5-3   Comparison of Pollutants Emitted From Power Plants When
      Burning Natural Gas and Fuel  Oil                               87

5-4   Proportion of Fuel Usage (Percent) as Natural Gas For
      Basic Combustion Categories  in South Coast Basin               88

5-5   Pollutant Emissions by Fuel  Type Consumed for Basic
      Combustion Categories in Four-County Area                      88

5-6   Summary of NO  Emission Rate Reductions Achieved at
      Edison Company Utility Boilers when Burning Gas Fuel            90

5-7   Particle Size Distribution of Typical Material Collected
      From a Steam Generator Stack During the Burning of
      Residual Fuel Oil                                              92

5-8   The Effect of Particulate Controls on Oil-Burning
      Combustion Equipment, 1977                                     93

5-9   Cost of Particulate Emission Control for Oil-Burning
      Combustion Equipment, 1977                                     94

5-10  The Effect of NO  Emission Controls on Fuel Combustion
      Equipment, Four-County Area                                     99

5-11  Impact of Candidate Controls on S02 Emissions From Fuel
      Combustion Units in Four-County Area, 1977                    104

5-12  Cost of Controls for S02 Emissions From Fuel  Combustion
      Units in Four-County Area                                     106

5-13  Impact of Conversion to Methyl-Fuel in Combustion Units
      in Four-County Area                                           108

5-14  Cost of Conversion to Burning to Methyl-Fuel  in
      Combustion Equipment                                          108

                                   vi 1

-------
                          LIST OF TABLES  (Continued)
                                                                   Page
6-1   Participate Emissions  from Major Mineral  Process  and
      Product Industries in  the Four-County  Area                     114
6-2   Summary of Emission Controls Currently Utilized in
      Minerals Industry of Los Angeles County                       115
7-1   Emissions From Aircraft, Present and Projected,
      Four-County Area                                              124
7-2   Jumbo Jet Emission Characteristics                             125
7-3   General Aviation Piston Emission Characteristics               125
7-4   Aircraft Emissions, Present and Projected Piston  and  Jet       126
7-5   Effect of Smoke Combustor Retrofit  On  Emissions in
      Los Angeles County                                            126
7-6   Aircraft Emission Standards                                   127
7-7   Engine Modifications for Emission Control for Existing
      And Future Turbine Engines                                    128
7-8   Effectiveness of Engine Modification in Control of  Emis-
      sions from Turbine Engines, By Operating Mode                 130
7-9   Basis for Control Method Effectiveness Estimates  For
      Turbine Engines                                               132
7-10  Turbine Engine Classification                                 133
7-11  Average Annual Tons of Air Contaminants Emitted in  Los
      Angeles County By Gas  Turbine Aircraft Engines Operated
      At LAX in 1970                                                134
7-12  Modal Emissions Distribution for Principal  Jet Engines
      In use   •                                                     136
7-13  Impact of Alternative  Control on Overall  Jet Aircraft
      Emissions                                                     137
7-14  Time and Costs for Modification of  Current  Civil
      Aviation Engines                                              138
7-15  Cost Results for Turbine Engine Population  by Separate
      Use Categories                                                139
7-16  Cost Effectiveness for Turbine Retrofit Measures, 1977,
      Four-County Area                                              140
                                   viii

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                         LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

                                                                    Page

7-17  Comparative Reductions Resulting From Control  Methods
      Applied at Los Angeles International  Airport                  143

7-18  Impact of Ground Operation Modifications  on Turbine
      Aircraft Emissions of Four-County Area                        144

7-19  Engine Modifications for Emission Control  for  Existing
      and Future Piston Engines                                     147

8-1   Role of Motor Vehicle Emissions in Atmospheric Pollution
      of Four-County Area                                           149

8-2   Sulfuric Acid Emissions From Pelletized Oxidation
      Catalyst Equipped Vehicle, 1975 Federal Test Procedure         152

8-3   Sulfuric Acid Emissions From Monolithic Oxidation
      Catalyst Equipped Vehicles, 1972 Federal  Test  Procedure       152

8-4   Suspended Particulate Emissions From Motor Vehicles Using
      Leaded And Unleaded Fuel                                      156'

8-5   The Effect of Lead Removal in Motor Fuels  on Motor'
      Vehicle Particulate Exhaust Emissions in  Four-County Area      160

8-6   Cost of Removing all Lead From Motor Vehicle Fuel  Pool  (As
      Opposed to the EPA Plan Requiring Partial  Removal  by 1977)     161

8-7   The Effect of Automotive Fuel Desulfurization  (100 ppm)
      on Motor Vehicle Emissions in Four County Area                164

8-8   Cost of Desulfurization of Vehicle Fuels  for Control
      of Exhaust Emissions                                          165

8-9   Impact of Particulate Traps on Particulate Emissions From
      Motor Vehicles in Four-County Area                            169

8-10  Cost of Implementing Particulate Emission Control  From
      Motor Vehicles with Particulate Traps, Four-County Area       170

8-11  Impact of Scrubber on S02 and Particulate Emissions From
      Motor Vehicles in Four County Area                            172

8-12  Cost of Equipping Vehicle Population With Scrubber Device  For
      Control of S09 and Particulate Emissions,  Four-County Area,
      1977         *                                                173

8-13  Emissions From a 1972 Gremlin Converted for Methanol
      Consumption                                                   175

9-1   Role of Organic Solvent Emissions in Atmospheric Pollution
      of Four-County Area                                           181

                                    ix

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                          LIST OF TABLES (Continued)

9-2   Emissions From Organic Solvent Operations  In  Four-
      County Area                                                   182

9-3   Characterization of Emission Sources Arising  From Organic
      Solvent Operations in Los Angeles  County,  1972                 183

9-4   Emissions From Paint Spray Booths  and "Other" Organic
      Solvent Operations, Four-County Area, 1972                    184

9-5   Effect of Retrofit Water Wash Control on  Emissions  From
      Paint Spray Booths                                            185

10-1  Role of Metallurgical Industry Emissions  in Atmospheric
      Pollution of Four-County Area              -                   187

10-2  Emissions From Metallurgical  Operations  in Four-County Area    188

10-3  Characterization of Furnace Control  Effectiveness,  Four-
      County Area                                                   189

10-4  Characterization of Emission Sources Arising  From
      Metallurgical  Operations in Los Angeles  County,  1972           191

10-5  Effect of Baghouse Retrofit on Uncontrolled Particulate
      Emissions from Furnaces in Four-County Area                    193

10-6  Effect of Retrofitting S02 Cleanup Systems to Lead  Refining
      Furnace Effluents in Four-County Area                         193

10-7  Cost of Retrofit Control Alternatives for Metallurgical
      Furnace  Emissions, Four-County Area, 1977                    194

11-1  Role of Chemical Processing Industry in  Atmospheric
      Pollution of Four-County Area                                 197

11-2  Emissions From Chemical Processing Operations in Four-
      County Area, Tons/Day                                         198

11-3  Characterization of Particulate Emission  Sources Associated
      With Chemical  Processing Operations in Los Angeles  County     200

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                           LIST OF FIGURES                           Page

2-1   Degree of Emission Control Effectiveness Required
      To Maintain a Given Air Quality When Emission Sources
      Are Increasing                                                  12

3-1   Increasing Market Demand for Air Pollution Equipment in
      United States                                                   22

3-2   Baffled Settling Chamber                                        23

3-3   Reverse Flow Cyclone                                            24

3-4   Purchase and Installation Cost of Centrifugal Collectors        26

3-5   Annualized Cost of Operation of Centrifugal  Collectors           26

3-6   Purchase and Installation Cost of Wet Collectors                29

3-7   Annualized Cost of Wet Collectors                               29

3-8   Cross Sectional View of Tubular Blast Furnace Electrical
      Precipitator                                                    31

3-9   Cost of Purchase and Installation of High-rVoltage Electrical
      Precipitator                                                    32
                                                          i
3-10  Annualized Cost of Operation of High-Voltage Electrostatic
      Precipitator                                                    32

3-11  Schematic of Basic Three Baghouse Designs                       35

3-12  Cost of Purchase and Installation of Baghouse Particulate
      Collector                                                       36

3-13  Annualized Cost of Operation of Baghouse Particulate
      Collectors                                                      36

3-14  Continued Improvement in VGO Isomax Process                      39

3-15  Cost to Desulfurize Arabian Heavy Crude Oil  with VGO Isomax     40

3-16  Effect of Feed Desulfurization on Fluid Catalytic Cracker
      Product Sulfur Contents at Constant Cracking Severity            41

3-17  Cost of Effectiveness for S02 Removal Systems                   57

3-18  The Investment for Desulfurization Facilities at Sulfur
      Recovery Plants                                                 59

3-19  Operating Costs for Removing the Residual  Sulfur from
      Conventional Claus Units                                        59
                                    XI

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                        LIST OF FIGURES  (Continued)
                                                                     Page
4-1   Role of Petroleum Industry in  Atmospheric  Pollution of
      Four-County Area, 1972                                         70
4-2   Control of Particulates and Carbon Monoxide  in  Catalytic
      Regeneration Systems                                           75
4-3   Effect of Sulfur Content on Cracker Feed Stock  on  Regenera-
      tion Unit Stack SOp Emissions                                   80
5-1   Role of Fuel Combustion in Atmospheric  Pollution of
      Four-County Area                                               85
5-2   Effect of Combustion Air Quantity  on NO Formation               96
b-3   Effect of Combustion Air Preheat Temperature on NO Formation    97
7-1   Role of Aircraft Emissions in  Atmospheric  Pollution of
      Four-County Area                                               123
7-2   Gaseous Emission Characteristics of a JT8D Turbine Engine       142
7-3   Emission Characteristics for Piston Engine                     145
8-1   The Effect of Exhaust Emission Standards on  Pollutant
      Emissions from Various Vehicle Categories                       151
8-2   Effect of Lab Sulfur Charging  on CO Reactivity  of  a
      Cu-CR Catalyst                                                 154
8-3   Effect of Lab Sulfur Charging  on HC Reactivity  of  a
      Cu-Cr Catalyst                                                 154
8-4   Typical "Blending" Properties  of Southern  California
      Motor Gasoline                                                 159
                                   xi i

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                             1.0  INTRODUCTION

     Under contract to the Environmental Protection Agency, TRW Environmental
Services has developed a participate implementation plan for the Metropolitan
Los Angeles Air Quality Control Region.  Specifically, TRW has investigated
strategies for approaching and achieving the National Ambient Air Quality
Standards for suspended particulate matter in'.the Los Angeles Region.  This
report, the "fourth of four technical support documents associated with the
project, provides a characterization of alternative emission control mea-
sures applicable to the Los Angeles Region.
     The objective of the study described in this report was to identify
and characterize the various alternative emission control measures which
might be employed to achieve the Ambient Air Quality Standards for par-
ti cul ate matter in the Los Angeles Region.   Recognizing that several types
of emissions are related to pollution by airborne particles, the study
included an identification of emission control options for the management
of gaseous precursors of secondary particulates, namely sulfur dioxide and
nitrogen oxides.  The omission in the study of the consideration of emis-
sion controls for reactive hydrocarbon precursors was justified on the ,
basis that the control of this pollutant species was the principal subject
of extensive investigation in the preparation of the State Air Program
Implementation plan.  Consequently it was considered unlikely that this
study could provide additional insights to  this already well studied issue.
     The study deals with the control of emissions from the eight dominant
emission source categories.  The investigation of alternative emission conr-
trol measures which may be used to prevent  emission of particulates, SOp,
and NO  from each of the eight source categories is compiled in eight
      J\
corresponding sections of the report.  Each of the sections is a self-^
contained chapter containing 1)  a characterization of the baseyear and
projected baseline (assuming implementation of EPA air programs) emissions
for the category, 2)  a description of existing emission control methods,

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and 3) an identification, and description of candidate emission control  mea-
sures, and an analysis of the impact and cost of these controls.   Section 3.0
provides an overview of the more significant emission control  measures
relevant to the study, and Section 2.0 contains a summary of some of the
more significant findings.
     The investigation was carried out through reliance on several  dif-
ferent data sources.  The Los Angeles Air Pollution Control  District co-
operated in supplying TRW with a printout of the District's  Computer
Emission Inventory File, which provides a description of each individual
emission source permit in terms of the process equipment, emission control
equipment, and emissions and preventions estimates.   This file was utilized
primarily to help determine the current status of controls in the different
source categories.  Numerous consultations with APCD officials were ar-
ranged to augment and clarify the District's data.   Candidate emission  con-
trol alternatives were identified by a search of the public  domain, by
contact with numerous manufacturers of the eight process categories, by
contact with developers and manufacturers of the candidate control  systems,
and by communication with cognizant researchers studying in  the subject
area.
   It is hoped that the individual chapters of this  report will  help
provide a basis for the formulation of an emission  control  strategy which
may be implemented to attain the National Ambient Air Quality Standards
in the Los Angeles Region.

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                               2.0  SUMMARY

    This chapter provides a brief summary of the more significant findings
of the study on alternative emission control  measures.   It is necessarily
selective with regard to certain aspects of the study,  hence the reader is
encouraged not to constrain his scope solely within the summary framework.
Section 2.1 describes the basis for the emission control  study region defi-
nition; Section 2.2 includes a delineation of the major emission source
categories of the study; Section 2.3 is a characterization of current emis-
sion controls; Section 2.'4 provides a discussion of candidate emission con-
trols; Section 2.5 is a statement of limitations affecting the study, and
Section 2.6 provides recommendations based on the study findings.
2.1  EMISSION CONTROL STUDY REGION - THE FOUR-COUNTY AREA
     Air monitoring data has consistently shown that there are substantial
variations in air quality among various portions of the South Coast Air
Basin.  One of the most definitive regional differences is the contrast of
air quality characteristics fn Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties with
those in the remainder of the Basin (Los Angeles, Orange, San Bernardino,
and Riverside Counties).  The air resources of Santa Barbara and Ventura
are relatively remote from the remaining "Four-County Area" in a meteoro-
logical sense, and consequently the air pollution problems of these two
portions of the Basin are distinctly separate.  Moreover, the character
and quantity of pollution sources of each of the two regions are substan-
tially different.  These factors would suggest the sensibility of develop-
ing separate air resources management techniques for each of the two portions,
     Air monitoring data for Santa Barbara and Ventura demonstrate that
the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for particulate concentrations
are seldom exceeded.  By contrast, the remaining Four-County Area of the
Basin frequently experiences dramatic violations of the particulate
standard.  Except for minor differences, the air pollution regulations
governing pollution sources in both Basin segments are essentially the
same.  In view of these factors, it appears plausible to direct the sub-
stantial effort of this study to develop pollution control alternatives for
the worst case of the Basin, (the Four-County Area) with the reasonable

-------
assumption that this effort would adapt to the construction  of  candidate
control plans applicable to the two northern counties  of the Basin.
2.2  THE MAJOR AIR POLLUTION SOURCES
     In Los Angeles, formidable reductions in air pollution  emissions  must
be obtained if air quality is to be upgraded to the National  Ambient Air
Standards.  A successful air pollution control  implementation plan will
depend greatly on the effectiveness of controls proposed for the  major
pollution sources.  Clearly the control of the largest sources  is a pre-
requisite to any further action.  If it can be shown that effective emission
controls can be feasibly applied to large pollution sources,  the  justification
exists to develop further an equitable plan for control  of smaller, less
significant sources.
     It was established early in this study that the greater portion of the
effort should be directed to investigating the feasibility of controlling
emissions from large sources.  Large sources were identified in terms  of
those process categories which are the most significant generators of  parti-
culate emissions, including the gaseous precursors NOX and S02-   Examination
of the 1972 baseyear for the Four-County Area revealed the dominance of eight
major process categories in the role of significant pollution.  Table  2-1
provides an identification of the eight categories, and their role in
atmospheric emissions.  The eight process categories are responsible for all
but about 3% of the particulate, SOg, or NO  emissions generated  about the
Four-County Area.  This status of this relationship is maintained for  the
next several years.  The remaining 3% of the Four-County emission inventory
is comprised of sources such as ships and railroads, agriculture, and
incineration operations.
     Of the eight major process categories, four warrant special  attention.
These are fuel combustion, motor vehicles, petroleum refining,  and aircraft.
In 1977 these four process categories themselves are projected  to account
for 79% of all SO? emitted from sources in the Four-County Area,  93% of all
S0? emitted, and 98% of all NO  generated.  It is clear that effective
  £                           A
control of these four major sources must be achieved for attainment of
ambient air quality federal standards.

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                      TABLE  2-1.   MAJOR  EMISSION SOURCES OF THE FOUR-COUNTY AREA,  FOR  BASEYEAR  (1972)
                                  AND  FUTURE  YEARS UNDER THE EPA  IMPLEMENTATION PLAN
Total Parti culates
Process Category
1. Fuel Combustion
2. Motor Vehicles3
3. Petroleum
4. Aircraft
5. Chemical
6. Metallurgical
7. Organic Solvent
8. Mineral
SUBTOTAL FOR 8 CATEGORIES
TOTAL EMISSIONS, FOUR-COUNTY
AREA
PERCENTAGE OF ALL EMISSIONS
GENERATED BY 8 CATEGORIES
1972
44.9
85.4
3.0
15.0
9.2
12.3
8.0
12.3
190
196
97.0
1977
83.5
71.4
3.0
26.8
9.7
13.4
8.5
12.5
229
235
97.4
1980
86.1
69.2
3.0
38.3
10.1
14.0
8.7
12.8
242
249
97.2
1972
208
48.9
60.0
3.6
97.0
13.0
-
1.4
432
444
97.2
S02
1977
374
46.1
60.0
6.5
10.0
15.0
-
1.7
515
525
97.7

1980
380
47.0
60.0
9.6
10.1
15.9
-
1.8
524
536
97.8

T972
282
950
67.5
18.6
.4
.5
-
-
1319
1345
98.1
NOX
1977
672
815
67.5
32.2
.5
.6
-
-
1588
1614
98.3

1980
629
665
67.5
45.4
.5
. .5
-
-
1408
1434
98.2
 Motor Vehicle emissions  include  airborne  particulates arising from tire wear.
Source: data:   Reference  (1).

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2.3  EXISTING POLLUTION CONTROL
     The enactment of definitive and extensive air pollution regulations
in the South Coast Air Basin has given rise to an immense system of methods
and equipment for control  of various emissions of air contaminants from
stationary sources.  The Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control  District
credits the District's regulations and permit system for the control  and
prevention of 95% of all potential emissions of particulate matter in the
Basin, 88% of the emissions of SO,, 59% of the NOU, and 86% of the reactive
             o                   c               X
hydrocarbons.   Emissions  from virtually all stationary emission sources
are restricted within allowable limits as specified by the numerous rules
applicable in each of the  six Basin counties.  Strict construction of the
rules and an enforcement program have caused a high degree of compliance
with the emission regulations, according to local APCD officials.   However,
despite an indicated capacity for local agencies to manage air programs
effectively, it is also evident at the same time that the current air pro-
grams themselves cannot provide the degree of emission control  which is
needed for attainment of federal ambient air standards.
     The current state air program implementation plan is constructed with
the aim of preventing hydrocarbon and NO  emissions, and therefore does not
                                        A
address the problem of increasing loadings of particulates and SO^ to the
atmosphere in future years.  The effect of the implementation plan on
contaminant emissions related to atmospheric particulate matter is indicated
in Table 2-1.  Only two of the eight major process categories will claim
reductions in particulate  and S02 emissions by 1980: 1) SOy emissions from
sulfur recovery plants are being drastically reduced due to the local
District's new Rule #53.2, and 2) particulate emissions from motor vehicles
will be reduced slightly due to catalytic muffler retrofits under the state
air program.  Due to economic growth and subsequent increased activity in
the eight process categories, particulate emissions in the Four-County Area
will increase by 27% from  1972 to 1980, and S02 emissions are anticipated
to increase by 21% in the  same period.  The projections indicate the need
for stricter emission controls for all the process categories.

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     Control regulations for emissions of participate matter from stationary
sources are currently satisified by utilization of standard air pollution
control devices such as mechanical separators, scrubbers, electrical  pre-
cipitators, and baghouses.  Baghouses and electrical  precipitators are
employed extensively to obtain high efficiency particulate collection in
the final treatment of effluent gases for all  the major stationary sources
except fuel combustion equipment.  Emission of particulates from fuel
combustion units are regulated only by Rule 52, which allows .3 grain
of particulate matter per cubic foot of stack  effluent gas.  Particulate
emissions from combustion units are maintained within the allowable limit
by means of special combustion techniques, and by use of fuels with low ash
content.  The utilization of increasing proportions of fuel oil anticipated
in future combustion operations accounts for the substantial projected
increase of particulate emissions from this source category.
     Control regulations limiting SOp emissions from stationary sources
have been formulated to address two principal  sources:  power plants
(fuel combustion) and sulfur recovery Units (chemical operations).  The
other major process categories (Table 2-1) are not affected by the S02
emissions rules (Rule 53) inasmuch as the concentration of S02 arising from
the equipment of these source categories is within the prescribed allowable
limits.  Power plant stack emissions are managed within the allowable 2000
ppm level by burning fuels of low sulfur content.  New S02 clea'nup systems
have been recently installed at sulfur recovery plants to comply with the
strict new emission standard of Rule 53.2.  The S02 removal systems
exemplify a new state of the art in emission control  technology.  This
technology is applicable to other SOo emission sources, as discussed  in
Section 3.2.2.
     Regulations governing allowable emissions of NO  from stationary
                                                    X
sources are practically non-existent, except for those governing fuel com-
bustion sources.  These control requirements have been met with the incor-
poration of burner design modifications and by modification of operating
conditions (discussed in Section 5.0).
     Emission control rules limiting hydrocarbon emissions from stationary
sources are generally met by incorporating equipment to prevent evaporation

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of organic vapors (such as closure seals on storage tanks,  or closed vapor
recovery systems used during transfer of volatile organic liquids),  or
sometimes by combustion in afterburners.  As previously explained in
Section 1.0, the control of hydrocarbon emission is a problem which  was
extensively examined in the preparation of the State Air Program Imple-
mentation Plan, and consequently was not reconsidered again in this  study.
     Control regulations affecting mobile emission sources  are enacted and
enforced by the State of California or the federal government, and are not
a responsibility of the local  air pollution control districts.  Legislation
of motor vehicle regulations has resulted in an evolution of motor vehicle
emission standards and emission control retrofits which are constructed
primarily for the control of hydrocarbon, CO, and NO  emissions.   The
                                                    /\
implementation of additional retrofits and more stringent motor vehicle
emission standards is scheduled to continue in the next few years.  The
enactment of these controls is presently forcing the development of
emission control technology, and these demands are currently scheduled to
be satisfied by utilization of catalytic exhaust devices.  In the Four-
County Area these exhaust devices will be employed as retrofits for  a
large segment of the motor vehicle population.  Reductions  of hydrocarbon
and CO are the specific goals  of these controls.  No specific controls are
proposed for the purpose of reducing emissions of S02 and particulates.
2.4  ALTERNATIVE AND ADDITIONAL CANDIDATE CONTROLS
     Various air pollution control techniques were identified in the .
study as candidates to improve the control of emissions from the major eight
source categories.  The following sections provide a brief summary charac*
terizing these candidate control options.
2.4.1  Identification of Candidate Controls
     The most significant emission control options identified in the study
are: 1) desulfurization of petroleum products to very low sulfur levels,
2) alternative fuels, 3) S02 removal processes, 4) motor vehicle particulate
traps, 5) fabric filters or baghouses, and 6) electrical precipitators.
     The first three control options listed above each represent a relatively
new state of the art in emission control technology.  Desulfurization of

                                     8'

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petroleum products to very low sulfur content has been practiced
commercially in very few applications.  However, the technology has been
proven, and it appears to be suitable for the production of very low sulfur
fuel oils, and for motor vehicle fuels with sulfur contents below 100 ppm.
Conversion to synthetic, clean-burning fuels is another possible air pollu-
tion control option in which new technology must be consolidated into
commercial production systems.  Various studies have demonstrated the
adaptability of current fuel systems to methanol fuel, and confirmed its
effectiveness in reducing polluting emissions from fuel burning operations.
Construction of several large methanol producing plants is now being
considered.as an economic route to fuel supply needed by the electric
utilities.  SO^ cleanup systems represent an established emission control
technology, but one which has been employed in a limited number of appli-
cations.  Still there are several S02 removal systems commercially available
for removal of S02 gases from stack effluents.  In each of these systems the
objective is to produce a sulfur product (elemental sulfur, sulfuric acid,
or sulfates) which may be removed mechanically from the system.
     The most promising equipment which has been developed to be responsive
to the problem of sulfate emissions from vehicles equipped with catalytic
exhaust control devices is an S02 scrubber-muffler system.  The unit
operates on the basis that lead and sulfur will react with an alkaline
molten carbonate placed in the scrubber.  The unit also is highly effective
for collection of total particulates.  Limited testing has been performed
with the scrubber-muffler device, and there are no immediate plans by its
manufacturer to commit the concept to a production effort.
     The other significant emission control options identified in the study
include the standard air pollution control equipment now used extensively
in many emission-control applications.  Both baghouses and electrical
precipitators may be incorporated as emission controls in cases where 1)
sources are currently uncontrolled by either of these two devices, or
2) when the efficiency of the existing precipitator or baghouse may be
improved.  In the latter case, improving the collection efficiency may
involve the replacement of an older, or less efficient unit, or the retro-
fit of an existing unit with additional equipment.

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     Control options classified .as non-technological controls were addressed
only very briefly in this study.dy.  The implementation of shutdowns, par-
tial or total, or relocation of process categories to locations where their
generation of pollution is tolerable, is generally unfeasible from an
economic standpoint.  The actual disruption and socio-economic inpact of
this control option was not assessed quantitatively.  It was assumed this
approach would be considered as a last resort only, or possibly as an op-
tion allowed the manufacturer in lieu of compliance with local emission
regulations.
2.4.2  EFFECTIVENESS OF THE CANDIDATE CONTROLS
     Table 2-2 provides a summary of the most effective (in terms of emis-
sion reductions) con-trol options identified in the study, including the
projected prevention of emissions attributable to their implementation in
the Four-County Area.  Implementation of the control measures will reduce
the 1972 baseyear source emission totals by 54% for particulate matter,
82% for S09, and -6% for NO  (the state air program implementation plan
          £                A
for hydrocarbon control will reduce baseyear reactive organic emissions by
49%).
     An important factor mitigating the potential effectiveness of any of
the alternative control measures is community growth.  As the community
grows, both economically and physically, air polluting emissions increase
proportionately.  It is evident that pollution control measures must become
increasingly more effective if the total tonnage of all source emissions is
to remain constant.  Hence air pollution controls which provide
attainment of the ambient air standards in 1977 may" not be  sufficient  for
the same goal in 1980.  The emission control regulations must be continually
modified to reflect a higher degree of pollution control needed for each
individual emission source throughout the ambient air region.  The hypothetical
curve of Figure 2-1 illustrates the gains in emission control which must be af-
fected to maintain air quality at a prescribed level.  As pollution control be-
comes increasingly more efficient, additional small gains in efficiency can manage
greater increases in emission levels.  However, it should be noted that emission
control becomes exceedingly difficult to obtain at efficiencies over 90% (in Los
Angeles, regulations have effected control of most particulate emission sources
with a collection efficiency greater than 90%).

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Table:2-2.  Summary of Emission Preventions  Attainable  with
            Implementation of the Most Effective  Emission
            Control Options, Four-County Area,  1977
Source Category

Petroleum


Fuel Combustion


Motor Vehicles
Aircraft





Chemical
Metallurgical

Organic Solvent

Minerals
Control Option
0 improve electrical pre-
n ci pita tor *
2) Desulfurization (to .05%
of feed to catalytic
cracker
1) S0? cleanup systems
2) Combination of NOX i
controls
3) Baghouse
S02 Scrubber-muffler
1) Major combustion chamber
redesign and modifica-
tion of ground operations
2) Water injection and modi-
fication of ground
operations
None
1) SOp cleanup systems
2) Baghouses
Water wash control on paint
spray booths
None
Total Preventions
1977 Total Emission Projected Inventory
1977 Emission Inventory After Control Options
1972 Total Emission Base Year Inventory
Level of Emission Total Obtained by Control
Options, Percent Reduction of Baseyear
Emissions-
Emission
Preventions, Tons/Day
Parti culates S09 ' NOV
1.8
S)




67.9'
46.8
13.6







7.5
6.5


144:
235
;9l
196
54%



51.4


,336
334


43.8
1.4


14.8


'
13.5




446 '349
525 1614
79 1265
444 1345
82% -6%


                              11

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                      100
Percentage.- of
emission control
required to maintain
air quality constant
                                50    100    200   300  400
                                Level of emissions when uncontrolled
                Figure 2-1.   Degree  of Emission  Control  Effective-
                             ness  Required  to  Maintain a Given Air
                             Quality When Emission  Sources Are In-
                             creasing.
        Within  each process  category there  are unique air pollution  problems
   which lend to treatment by the  various alternative control measures  in
   distinctly separate ways.   Table  2*2 shows  that  each  of the significant  con-
   trol  measures identified  in the study is the  most effective control  approach
   available for at least one of the major  source categories.  In some  cases,
   there are only minor advantages to be gained  in  emission  control  by  using
   one control  in preference to another.  For  example, desulfurization  of
   petroleum products  to very low  sulfur content can result  in effective emis7
   sion control  for SO^ emissions  from motor vehicle travel, fuel combustion,
   and petroleum refining operations.   Slightly  greater  S02  control  can be
   achieved for the former categories by utilizing  other options, since they
   provide slightly greater  removal  efficiency for  a given source (S02  muffler-
   scrubber for motor  vehicles), or  they enable  control  of a larger  portion of
   the sources  within  the process  category  (S02  cleanup  systems  can  effect
   emissions from refinery heaters as well  as  from  boilers).
        Clearly there  are a  great  number of factors which must be examined  to
   determine which of  the emission control  options  are,  in a true sense, the
                                        12

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 "most effective."  First it is evident that emission controls for the Four
 largest source categories cannot be evaluated on a mutually exclusive
 basis.  If a single control method can be utilized throughout the source
 categories, its effectiveness would have to be judged according to its
 overall benefits, as well as the singular effects on each process category.
 Another factor in the fair appraisal  of the candidate emission control
 methods involves technical feasibility.   Some of the measures are in a
 higher state of technical refinement than others, and may therefore be
 more feasible in terms of immediate implementability.  Another considera-
 tion in candidate appraisals must be the long term potential  it possesses
 for meeting emission standards which become increasingly more stringent
 with time.- Several other factors are significant in the true appraisal
 of an emission prevention system.  Identification of these factors, and
 their relative significance, is integral to final control strategy de-
 velopment, which is accomplished in a succeeding report of this study.
 The separate chapters of this report provide the basis by which the
 various candidate control methods may be appraised.
2.4.3  COST OF THE CANDIDATE CONTROL MEASURES
    The cost of implementing the "most effective" (in terms of emission
control only) control options in the Four County Area is shown in Table
2-3.  A scan of the cost effectiveness column shows that these control  op-
tions may be implemented for as low as $118 per ton of emission controlled
to a cost of $3200 per ton of emissions controlled.    It is clear that
those controls which obtain the maximum emission reductions in each of the
process categories are also usually the most cost effective.  The overall
cost effectiveness of the combined control measures is estimated to be
$1069 per ton of combined emissions of SO,,, NO , and particulates prevented.
                                         £    J\
This corresponds to a daily air pollution control expenditure of $1.1
million in the Four County Area.  If this amount was to be assessed as a
tax on automobile gasoline cost in the Four County Area, it would amount
to an 8tf per gallon price increase.
    The cost effectiveness figures must be judged with some reservation.
For example, the desulfurization control  option may not be fairly repre-
sented in the summary (Table 2-3) in the sense that its implementation in

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               TABLE 2-3.   SUMMARY OF  COST  FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF MOST  EFFECTIVE
                           EMISSION CONTROL OPTIONS,  FOUR COUNTY AREA,  1977
Source
Category
Petroleum

Fuel Combustion


Motor Vehicles
Aircraft




Chemical
Metallurgical

Organic Solvent

Minerals
Control Option
1) Improve electrical preci pita tor
2) Desulfurization (to.05%S) of
feed to catalytic cracker
1) SOp cleanup systems
2) Combination of NO controls
/\
3) Baghouse
SOp scrubber-muffler
1) Major combustion chamber
redesign and modification
of ground operations
2) Water injection and modifica-
tion of ground operations
None
1) S02 Cleanup systems
2) Baghouses
Water wash control on paint
spray booths
None
Annual i zed
Cost, Mil-
lions of
Uf j i i ti V* ^»
19.0

192
53.5
42.5
79.1
15.9


4.3

-
.5
3.4
1.6


Cost Effectiveness
$ Per Ton of Parti (
ulates, S02, or
NO Prevented
/\
$ 512

$1540
$ 440
$1530
$2380 a
$2930


$ 890

-
$ 101
$1242
$ 724

-
Range of Cost Ef-
- fectiveness (All
Measures Investi-
gated)
$ 193 - 964

$1030 - 1590
$ 18 - 1190
$ :904 1863
$ -231 - 3070a
$ 300 - 4100


$ 820 1100

-
-
.
_


Cost effectiveness for this  measure is  expressed  in  terms of  the  combined  emissions  of S02
and particulates prevented.

-------
the petroleum industry produces reductions in SCL emissions whenever the
associated petroleum products are used, and these reductions have not been
credited to this control  in Table 2-3.   Instead, other controls have been
utilized to obtain more complete emission control from operations (motor
vehicle) using the low sulfur fuel.   If desulfurization was adopted as a
universal emission control method for the petroleum, fuel  combustion,
motor vehicle, and aircraft emissions source categories, its cost effec-
tiveness would be superior to all other control  alternatives identified
in this study.
    The cost of controlling aircraft particulate emissions is greater
than the control cost for any of the other control options.  However it
should be realized that these cost figures may be high, since the emission
reductions attributed to the major combustion chamber redesign and ground
operation modifications were conservative estimates, calculated to a base-
line turbine engine which emits at "best emission rate" levels.
    Obviously, the cost effectiveness of a given control option will vary
accordingly to the degree of pollution which is  available for cleanup.
For example, S0« removal  systems are shown to cost $101 per ton of SO
removed when installed to manage emissions of metallurgical furnaces, but
cost $1540 per ton of SOp removed when treating effluent gases from sta-
tionary fuel combustion units.  The difference in cost effectiveness is
due tn large part to the more concentrated emissions of S0~ which are
available for control from lead melting furnace effluents.
    In general, the cost effectiveness of the various controls for the
mobile emission sources appears least impressive.  These controls involve
the incorporation of retrofit technology to individual engines.  Tradi-
tionally this type of control has been more expensive than those which
are associated with stationary industrial process operations.  The source
emissions from the individual engines are relatively small, and there is
therefore only minimal control potential available.
2.5  LIMITATIONS OF THE ANALYSIS
    Due to the open-ended nature of the study problem, there were several
judgements to be made regarding the study approach which would be utilized.
It was clear that it would not be feasible to provide a strictly rigorous
analysis of the study topic when the possibilities for research were
                                   15

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practically endless and the budget for execution discretely finite.   Ac-
cordingly the first major adjustment to these dilema involved the decision
to concentrate the study on identifying candidate air pollution control
measures which would have major and long term impact on control of emis-
sions from existing and projected emission sources within the Four County
Area.  This decision was plausible in view of the fact that air quality
standards are violated in dramatic fashion in the study area, and only
major emission reductions will  be effective toward the attainment of the
ambient air standards.  Hence the numerous devices, process changes, and
operation modifications which can be employed to effect minor reductions
in air pollution were not investigated in this study.
    It is recognized that the evaluation of various control options is a
difficult matter when the technology concerning their use is complex, and
in most cases represents a complete study in itself.  Most of the control
alternatives consist of carefully engineered systems customed to a specif-
ic application.  Hence the cost and effectiveness of a given type of con-
trol method may vary substantially depending on the particular circum-
stances of the installation and operating conditions.  The scope of the
study would not permit a detailed itemization of individual emission
sources contained in the study area.  There are over 30,000 emission
sources registered through the permit system «5f the Los Angeles APCD alone.
Hence it was necessary to aggregate emission sources into categories, and
to assume these aggregated emission sources representative of the entire
lot.  Moreover it is assumed that efficiency characteristics and cost fig-
ures may be applied to the aggregated equipment categories in a consistent
fashion, based on simplified estimative data presented in the literature,
and on documented costs of existing installations which are similar to
those proposed in this study.
    One of the most serious shortcomings of the control measures analysis
concerns the accuracy of the particulate emission inventory for the study
area.  Reliable methods of measuring and quantifying existing emission
rates are not yet developed.  Many of the emission estimates published by
the local air pollution control districts are based on theoretical calcu-
lations or outdated or insufficient field measurement data.  Estimates of
emissions derived by different studies are frequently substantially
                                   16

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different, and often there is little basis upon which one analysis may
be assumed more correct than another.
    There are also many uncertainties regarding the quantification of emis-
sion preventions claimed by the APCD for existing air pollution control
equipment.  Data obtained from the computer emission inventory file of the
APCD contained many apparent 'defects.  Emission totals from the file are
not in accord with information contained in official publications by the
APCD.  This is because the estimating procedures for each of these data
is derivitive of a distinctly separate methodology.  These two systems
are targeted to evolve into a single coordinated methodology, but this
final development has been projected appreciably to the future.  In the
interim, the computer emission inventory is the most complete tabulation
available in terms of a source by source identification of process equip-
ment, pollution control, source emissions, and current control preven-
tions.  The data from the file was used sparingly in the study, mainly to
determine distribution of emissions within a process category for the
purpose of disaggregating emissions by equipment type.
     Another problem encountered in the study concerns the use of pro-
prietary information.  Information regarding feasible new control  methods
is somewhat proprietary since the manufacturers have only engaged in limited
production of the controls to date.  Hence it was difficult to assess the
comparative benefits of alternative controls when the basis for most perr-
formance information are figures released by the various manufacturers of
the control  equipment.  It was found however, in most cases, that the ef-
fectiveness and cost for the candidate control  measures were less optimisti-
cally represented by the manufacturers than by governmental publications.
The analysis of this study included incorporation of less optimistic esti-
mates, both in terms of cost and control  efficiency.
2.6  CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
     This section provides a brief summary of conclusions and recommenda-
tions evolving during the performance of the study to identify and charac-
terize alternative emission control measures applicable to the Los Angeles
Region.
                                    17

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Conclusions
        Eight process categories are the major candidates for control  in
        the Los Angeles Region.   These are stationary source fuel  com-
        bustion, motor vehicles, the petroleum industry,  aircraft, the
        chemical industry, metallurgical processes, organic solvent use,
        and the mineral industry.  Together these categories account for
        more than 97 percent of the emissions of primary  particulates,
        S02, NOX, and RHC in the Los Angeles Region.   Especially signifi-
        cant are the fuel combustion, motor vehicle,  petroleum, and air-
        craft categories.
        The federal and state motor vehicle control programs and the county
        APCD stationary source control programs have achieved substantial
        overall control for primary particulates and gaseous precursors of
        secondary aerosol in the Los Angeles Region.   However, additional
        control options can be identified to bring significant further
        reductions in emissions.
        The most significant additional control alternatives for primary
        suspended particulates in the Los Angeles Region  are motor vehicle
        particulate traps, fabric filters, and electrostatic precipitators.
        For S02> the major options are desulfurization of petroleum pro-
        ducts to very low sulfur levels, SC^ removal  processes for exit
        gases, and alternative fuels.  For NO  control, various modifica-
                                             A
        tions of combustion processes and alternative fuels are the princi-
        pal control possibilities.  No major new options  for RHC control,
        other than those contained in the EPA oxidant implementation plan,
        have been identified.
        Application of the most effective control options which have been
        identified will attain overall reductions of 61%, 85%, and 22% for
        total primary particulates, SOg and NOX respectively, from pro-
        jected 1977 levels.  Since emissions of each pollutant are fore-
        casted to increase from 1972 to 1977, the overall reductions in
        1977 from the 1972 levels are only 34%, 82%, and -6% respectively.
        The. EPA oxidant plan will achieve a 51% reduction in RHC levels
        from 1972 to 1977.
                                   18

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        The total  annualized cost associated with a major new control  pro-
        gram to achieve .substantial  emission reductions such as that noted
        above would be. around $400 million per year.   The initial  capital
        cost would be around $1  billion.   These costs would be in  addition
        to the costs of present controls  and the costs associated  with the
        EPA oxidant plan.
        The various control  measures for  each pollutant demonstrate a wide
        range of cost-effectiveness.  Most of the particulate emission con-
        trols yield cost effectiveness ratios around $1,000 to 4,000 per
        ton.  The majority of the SOo controls considered here had cost-
        effectiveness values of around $500 to $1500 per ton.  Most NO
                                                                      A
        measures tended to demonstrate ratios of around $500-$!200 per
        ton controlled.
        Many of the potential control measures will entail significant
        implementation difficulties.  These will include problems  of
        technical  development, engineering application, enforcement, and
        administration.
Recommendations
        As control strategy planning efforts proceed, more in-depth analysis
        should be performed on the effectiveness and cost of the control
        measures studied in this report.  Due to limitations on time and
        level of effort, the present study estimated control efficiency
        and costs on a simplified basis, aggregating over many emission
        sources in a given process category.  The cost and effectiveness
        of the measures will likely vary substantially among individual
        sources within a given process category.  Some of these variations
        can have significant implications,for control policy.
        As part of the implementation procedure, proposed control  measures
        should undergo an intensive evaluation as to real applicability.
        This evaluation should be carried out by a task force of industrial,
        academic, and governmental experts who would consider the specific
        engineering, enforcement, and legal problems involved with the con-
        trol measure.  A carefully planned and executed implementation pro-
        cedure should help to reduce technical difficulties as well as

                                   19

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public and private resistance.
Further attention should be given to a long term view of the various
control measures.  A strategy based on long run considerations may
be considerably different from one designed to achieve short run
control.  Short run controls should be evaluated as to their
compatibility with likely long run controls.
                            20

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                3.0  GENERAL CONTROL METHODS AVAILABLE

     This Chapter provides a general characterization of alternative control
methods which are applicable for prevention of emissions leading to the
suspension of participate matter in the atmosphere.  Section 3.1 is a summary
of the traditional control devices available to manage emissions of primary
particulates.  Section.3.2 includes an identification of alternative controls
now available or in development to prevent emissions of gaseous precursors.
Section 3.3. deals with simultaneous control of primary particulates and
gaseous precursors via alternative fuels, and Section 3.4 provides a dis-
cussion of emissions control by the route of non-technological  control
measures (growth restrictions, relocation and source usage control).
3.1  CONTROLS FOR PRIMARY PARTICULATES
     Feasible control devices for emissions of primary particulates
include mechanical collectors, wet scrubbers, electrostatic precipitators,
and filters.  The application of these various gas cleaning devices is
based on consideration of particulate characteristics in the gas stream,
and process, operating, construction, and economic factors.  The technology
of each of the above controls is well developed, and many equipment
manufacturers have provided several generations of reliable control devices
to the industry.  The impact of the Clean Air Act has been to increase the
need for these devices throughout the industry.  Figure 3-1 illustrates the
growing demand for particulate controls in this country, and the apparent
lag in manufacturing capability to make the equipment available.
                                    21

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Millions of dollars
                         Hit:
  Electrostatic   Fabric fillers    Wet      Mechanical   Gaseous
     alors  •         sciubbers     collectors    control
                                   devices


     SHIPMENTS OF AIR POLLUTION EQUIPMENT
    Millions of dollars
    BACKLOG ORDERS FOR AIR POLLUTION EQUIPMENT
Figure 3-1.   Increasing Market Demand For Air
            Pollution Equipment in United States
Source:
Reference (5)
                      22

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     The following sections provide a brief discussion of each of the
standard gas cleaning devices in terms of operating characteristics,
applications, and cost.
Mechanical Collectors
     Mechanical collectors include settling chambers and cyclones.  The
settling chamber is the simplest particulate collector, typically consisting
of a baffle chamber in which the velocity of the polluted gas is diminished
to a level where particles settle out by gravity (Figure 3^2). Its applications
are limited as it is effective only in removing relatively large particles.
They are usually employed as pce-cleaners to remove large particles (greater
than 43 microns) before the gas is treated by other more efficient removal
equipment.
                        V.
                            I
                 Figure 3-2.   Baffled Settling Chamber

     As one of the earliest approaches to collector designs, the cyclone
provides a configuration in which the polluted gas is introduced tangentially
into a conically shaped vessel that directs it along a spiral path.
Centrifugal forces push particulates of the gas stream toward the wall,
where they fall by gravity to the bottom of the device.  The inner flow of
clean air travels up the center of the cyclone and exits,  out the top.
                                   i23

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     Development of the cyclone device has produced several  different
commercial  designs: 1) reverse flow cyclones, 2)  straight through flow,
and 3) impeller collectors.   Figure 3 illustrates the principle of the reverse
flow cyclone.   In this version the polluted gas enters the tangential inlet
and flows in a helical vortex path that reverses  at the base of the cyclone to
form an inner cone of flow which emits out the top.
                     ZONE OF INLET
                     INTERFERENCE
                     TOP VIEW
                             INNER
                             VORTEX
                              GAS
                              INLET
                     SIDE VIEW
                               OUTER
                               VORTEX
                                INNER
                                VORTEX
   OUTER
   VORTEX
GAS OUTLET
  BODY
  INNER
  CYLINDER
  (TUBULAR
  GUARD)
                                                 CORE
                                         / \ \-DUST OUTLET
                      Figure 3-3.  Reverse Flow Cyclone

     In the impeller cyclone the polluted gas enters the impeller and
passes through a fan blade which throws dust into an annular slot leading to
a collection hopper.
     Cyclone efficiencies vary widely depending on the spatial  configuration
and design.  The collection efficiency of a "high efficiency" cyclone and a
conventional efficiency cyclone are given below.

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          TABLE 3-1.  CYCLONE EFFICIENCY VERSUS PARTICLE SIZE RANGE
Actual
Particle
Size
(Microns)
< 5
5 to 20
15 to 50
>40
Efficiency, % of Particles
Conventional
Cyclone
—
50 - 80
80 - 95
95-99
Removed
"High Efficiency
Cyclone"
50 - 80
80 - 95
95 - 99
95 - 99
          Source:  Reference (2).
     Cyclones are widely employed in various industrial applications fqr
pre-treatment or secondary gas cleaning operations.  They are used in fertilizer
plants, petroleum refineries, mineral processing, metallurgical operations,
chemicals, metals manufacturing, and so forth.

     The approximate cost of purchase and installation, and operation of
                               •
cyclone collectors is given in Figure 3-4 and 3-5.   The cost curves  reflect
efficiencies of 50,  70 and 95 percent for typical  commercial application.
                                    25

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               '10           50    100         500   1000

                GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 103acfm
   Figure 3-4.   Purchase and  Installation Cost
                 of Centrifugal  Collectors?
                     HIGH EFFICIENCY

                     MEDIUM EFFICIENC

                     LOW EFFICIENCY
               10           50    100         500   1000

               GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 103 ocfro
Figure 3-5.   Annualized Cost  of                  _
              Operation of Centrifugal Collectors^
                               26

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Wet Scrubbers
     Wet  collectors are devices which employ liquids to remove particles by
1) increasing the effective size of the particles to enable efficient collection,
and 2)  trapping  and washing away particles in a liquid film.  This particulate-
liquid  interface occurs through the physical processes of interception, gravitation,
impingement, diffusion, electrostatic forces, and thermal gradients.
     There  are principally two classes of wet scrubbers: the low energy type
•and the high energy type.  The low energy type includes:
            0  Open spray towers.
            •  Packed towers, in which the polluted gas and liquid pass
              cross flow through a contact bed.
            •  Wet cyclone, in which water spray and centrifugal forces
              work in  combination to collect particles
            0  Flooded  bed scrubbers, in which baffle grids cooperate in aiding
              contact  between particles and water spray.
            t  Orifice  type, in which the polluted gas is directed through
              an orifice restricted by liquid spray.
            0  Wet dynamic, which consists of a liquid spray in an impeller
              cyclone.
     The  high energy wet collectors are commonly known as Venturi scrubbers.
In a Venturi scrubber  high collection efficiency is obtained by high velocity
impingement of the gas particles with the scrubbing liquid spray in the
throat  of a Venturi.   The liquid is injected into the throat of the Venturi
where the velocity of  the gases causes the disintegration of the liquid to
fine droplets,   This disintegration enhances the probability of contact with
particulates of  the gas stream.
     The  collection efficiency of scrubbers varies with the power input.
Table 3-2 summarizes the efficiency of the various types of scrubbers discussed
above.
                                    .27

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                    TABLE  3-2.   SCRUBBER CAPABILITIES
Type of
Scrubber
Open spray
tower
Packed tower
Wet centrifugal
Flooded bed
Orifice
Wet dynamic
Venturi
Flooded disk
Usual Range of
Particle Sizes, Microns
> 10.0
> 10.0
> 2.5
> 2.5
> 2.5
> 2.0
> 0.5
> 0.5
Normal Draft Loss,
: In Water
. 3/4-2
1-6
2-6
2-8
To 6
None
6-80
6-70
•
Maximum
Efficiency %
85
85
95
95
95
98
99+
99+
    Source:   Reference (1)

     The costs of purchase and installation, and operation of wet collectors
are given in Figures 3-6 and 3-7.  The efficiencies of the different curves
reflect removal rates of 75, 90, and 99 percent in typical commercial
applications.
Electrostatic Precipitators
     The electrostatic precipitator is most frequently used to process large
volumes of gas (50,000 to 2,000,000 CFM) at large industrial installations.
In many applications the precipitator is the only proven high-efficiency
(up to 99.9% removal) particulate control  device available today.   They are
used extensively to process polluted effluent gases from smelters, furnaces
petroleum refineries, acid plants, boilers, and other process operations.
     The electrostatic precipitator collects suspended particulates
by directing the polluted gas through an electrical field.  The field
is established between an electrode maintained at high voltage and a
grounded collection surface.  Particles passing through the field become charged
immediately and are  attracted  to the grounded collecting surface.  The parti-
culate matter is dislodged from the collecting surface by mechanical means
such as vibrating with rappers or by flushing with liquids.
                                    28

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        1000
           'ET~ii i nun   INI inn   i   i 111i£
         500
      -8
      *o  100 =
                   5   10      50  100      500  1000
            GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 103acfm

Figure 3-6.   Purchase and  Installation Cost
              of Wet  Collectors2
          1000
           500
         2 100
         Q
         UJ
         N
           50
           10
         Z
         Z  5
              =  rn i nin   i  111
             1        5   10       SO  100      500 1000

             GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 103 acfm

  Figure 3-7.   Annualized Cost of Wet Collectors2
                               29

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     There are basically two configurations utilized in the electrostatic
precipitator: flat surface and tube types.   In the flat surface version,
particles are collected on parallel grounded plates spaced between rod dis-
charge electrodes.  In the tubular collector configuration, the rod
electrode is centered in a tube causing the particulate matter to be collected
on the surface of the grounded tube.  A precipitator unit consists of many
plates or tubes,  as shown in Figure 3-8.  A distinct advantage of the
configuration of either type of precipitator is the low pressure drop associated
with the gas flow path, permitting immense  volumes of gas to be handled with
relatively low level of power required.
     The electrostatic precipitator is a versatile approach to particulate
collection in that it may handle a variety  of applications at very high
efficiencies.  It is capable of operation at temperatures exceeding 1000°F,
for collection of particles in the submicron range, for dry dust and mists,
and at pressures up to 150 psi.  Because the design of the precipitator requires
considerable experience for a given application, the industry relies heavily on
the air pollution control device manufacturer to develop equipment specifications
and provide guarantees of performance.
     The approximate cost of purchase and installation and operation of
electrostatic precipitators is shown in Figures 3-9 and 3-10.   The cost curves .
reflect efficiencies of 90, 95, and 97.5 percent in a typical  commercial
application.
                                     30'

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                                          GAS INLET
           GAS OUTLET
•-I5H- VOLTAGE
 CONDUCTOR
iiFFUSER
 VANES
 INSULATOR COMPARTMENT

 HIGH-VOLTAGE SYSTEM
 SUPPORT INSULATOR
                                                               ELECTRIC HEATER
                                                              WATER SPRAYS
                                                              DISCHARGE ELECTRODE
                                                              SUPPORT FRAME
                                                              WEIR PONDS
                                                              DISCHARGE ELECTRODES
                                                              TUBULAR COLLECTING
                                                              SURFACES
CASING
                                                              WEIGHTS
                                                              DISCHARGE SEAL
          Figure  3-8.   Cross Sectional View  of  Tubular
                       Blast Furnace Electrical  Precipitator
                                     31

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           1000
             10
              10           50   100         500    1000

              GAS  VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 1030cfm

Figure 3-9.  Cost  of  Purchase and Installation
             of High-Voltage Electrical Precipitated
            100
              10          50   100         500   1000

               GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR, 103 ocfm
Figure 3-10.   Annualized Cost of Operation of
               High-Voltage Electrostatic Peecipitator2
                            •32

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Filter Collectors
     Collecting devices based on fabric are among the oldest means  of
removing material from gas streams.  In fabric filtration, the participate matter
is removed from the gas stream by impinging or adhering to fibers of the fabric.
The physical mechanism for particle collection includes interception, inertial
impaction, diffusion, electrostatic attraction, sieving, and gravitational
settling.  The effect of each of these physical processes in the overall
collection of particle sizes is illustrated below in Table 3-3.  As can be
seen, fabric filtration is an effective device for removal of particles
                   TABLE 3-3.  CONTROL MECHANISM FOR
                               PARTICLE SIZE COLLECTION
Primary collection mechanism
Direct interruption 	
Impingement
Diffusion
Electrostatic 	
Gravity

Diameter
of particle,
microns
>1
>1
0.001 to 0.5
0.01 to 5
>1

                    Source:  Reference (2)


 as  small  as  .5  micron  and will  remove a substantial quantity of particles
 as  small  as  .01  micron.
      Fabric  filtration is typically  accomplished by directing the pollutant-
 bearing gas  through  flat or tubular  fabric  bags hanging in an enclosure
 called a baghouse.   The particulate  material  is retained  on the upstream side
 of  the fabric while  the cleaned air  which passes through  the fabric  is dis-
 charged to the  atmosphere.   The collected material  is  removed from the bags
 by  mefchanical means, such  as manual  shaking or air  shaking.
                                    33

-------
     The selection of the fabric is probably the most critical  aspect of
the equipment design.  Determining the resistance of the filter to gas
flow for the clean fabric, and for dust laden fabric are important pre-
requisites to intake and exhaust system design.   Optimal!  air flow ratio
through the fabric is another important consideration.    Experience in
numerous applications (cement .kilns, foundar.y cupolas, furnaces, grain
operations) have provided the baghouse device manufacturers with detailed
performance characteristics of the many different bag fabrics and
baghouse systems.  These data allow the manufacturer to guarantee high
efficiency baghouse installations in varied applications.
     Selection of suitable baghouse configurations is based primarily on the
amount of moisture in the waste gas.  Higher moisture content increases the
probability of filter damage and corrosion of hardware.    Three systems are
used (Figure 3-11) corresponding to the various  moisture conditions:   The open
pressure type, the closed pressure type, and the closed suction version.
In the open pressure baghouse, the air fans are  located on the  upstream
side of the filter bags, and the bags are exposed to the atmosphere.   The
open baghouse is capable of treating high temperature gas  streams as
cooling is facilitated by the open design.  In the closed  pressure baghouse,
filter bags are closed off from ambient exposure.  This configuration is
utilized when the effluent gas contains toxic pollutants and the cleaned
discharge must be conducted away from the area.   The closed suction bag-
house operates with the fans on the downstream side of the filter bags in
an insulated airtight structure.  This unit is used for cleaning gases with
high dew points to prevent condensation on the filter fabric.
     Figure 3-12 and 3-13 provide cost estimates for the purchase and
installation, and operation of fabric filter devices (baghouses).  The
cost curves all reflect a 99.9 percent efficiency for the  various types of
fabrics indicated.
                                     34

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     DIRTY
co   GAS
en   FROM
     FAN
                    	  CLEANED GAS
                   (7x\)OUTLET
                                 CORRUGATED
                                 HOUSING
                                   OPEN
                                   GRATING
OUTSIDE AIR

  SIDE VIEW
                     Open pressure baghouse.
                                                                       J CLEANED GAS
                                                                         OUTLET
                                 CLEAN GAS
                                 TO FAN
                                                                              CORRUGATED
                                                                              HOUSING
                                                                                CLOSED
                                                                            SIDE VIEW
Closed pressure baghouse.
                         DIRTY
                         GAS
                         PROCESS
                                                   CLOSED
                                                   ALL WELDED
                                                   HOUSING
                                                                                                                 SIDE VIEW
                                                                           Closed suction baghouse.
                                 Figure  3-11.  Schematic of Basic Three Baghouse Designs3

-------
CJ
at
                —10           50    100          500   1000

                   GAS VOLUME THROUGH COLLECTOR,  103 acfm

                A - HIGH-TEMPERATURE  SYNTHETICS, WOVEN AND
                  FELT.  CONTINUOUS AUTOMATIC  CLEANING.
                B - MEDIUM-TEMPERATURE SYNTHETICS, WOVEN AND
                  FELT.  CONTINUOUS AUTOMATIC CLEANING.
                C - WOVEN NATURAL FIBERS.   INTERMITTENTLY
                  CLEANED-SINGLE COMPARTMENT.
                                                   10           50    100          500  1000

                                                   GAS VOLUME THROUGH  COLLECTOR, 103 acfm

                                                A - HIGH-TEMPERATURE  SYNTHETICS, WOVEN AND
                                                   FELT.  CONTINUOUS AUTOMATIC CLEANING.
                                                B - MEDIUM-TEMPERATURE SYNTHETICS, WOVEN AND
                                                   FELT.  CONTINUOUS AUTOMATIC CLEANING.
                                                C - WOVEN  NATURAL  FIBERS.   INTERMITTENTLY
                                                   CLEANED-SINGLE COMPARTMENT.
               Figure 3-12.
Cost  of Purchase and
Installation  of Baghquse
Particulate Collector2
                                                                             Figure  3-13.
Annualized  Cost of
Operation of Baghouse
Particulate Collectors2

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3.2  CONTROLS FOR GASEOUS PRECURSORS
     Gaseous emissions which play a major role as precursors to parti-
culate formation in the atmosphere are NO , S09, and hydrocarbons.   The
                                         /\ •   £
technology to control  emissions of these gases is not yet in a high state
of refinement.  While there are control  devices commercially available for
preventing emissions of NO , S09, and hydrocarbons, many of these are sold
                          /\    £
without substantial guarantees of performance.  Nevertheless, regulations
stemming from the Clean Air Act are accelerating the development of the
control equipment, and numerous installations have now been tested and are
operating continously and effectively.  The following sections provide a
brief description of the most promising control methods which are applicable
to prevention of S09, NO , and hydrocarbon emissions.
                   £    /\

3.2.1  Desulfurization of Petroleum Products
     The trend toward the processing of higher sulfur crude oils coincides
with the trend of increasingly  stringent  emission  regulations, which  are
causing restrictions on the sulfur content of refinery products, as well as
on the sulfur level of refinery process emissions.   These concurrent trends
(demonstrated by Table 3-4) obviate the need to develop additional  sulfur
removal facilities in U.S. oil refineries.
     Desulfurization of the heavier fractions of crudes (from diesel/No. 2
oil to heavy fuel oils) has not been extensively practiced in the U.S. to
date.  The production of low suffur products in the heavier fractions of the
crude will require catalytic hydrodesulfurization of the heavy distillates and
residuum fuel oil stocks.  Extensive processing of this type has been
employed in foreign counties, especially Japan.  In many cases, improved
technology in desulfurization of the heavy distillates to produce very low
sulfur blend stocks has deferred the need for facilities to desulfurize the
residuum portion of the barrel.  The residuum portion is blended with
the low sulfur blend stocks to obtain low sulfur fuel oils meeting the
standards.
                                    .37

-------
TABLE 3-4.  SULFUR CONTENT OF REFINERY PRODUCTS
            FOR DIFFERENT CRUDES.3

Product
Motor Gasoline
Kero Jet
Diesel No. 2 Oil
Heavy F/0
SULFUR
Typical
U.S. Refinery
Feeding Gulf
Coast Crude
0.03
- 0.04
0.10
0.65
LEVEL, WT %
Same Refinery
Running
Arabian
Light
0.08
0.15
0.6
3.2

Present
Specifi-
cations
0.1
0.12
0.25
0.5- 2

Possible
1975
Specifi-
cations
0.01-0.03
0.05
0.2
0.3 - 1.0
                        •38 .

-------
     While many of the  initial  desulfurization facilities were designed  to
reduce sulfur levels  to prevailing standards, the technology  is  now available
for desulfurization of  vacuum gas oils to levels of a few parts  per million
sulfur.  Chevron claims their VGO Isomax Process, which was first  operated  in
Japan five years ago, is capable of sulfur levels as low as 100-200 ppm   with
only moderate increases in  operating severity (high pressure  and temperature).
over the conditions which produce products with sulfur contents  of .1-.2 percent
sulfur.  Figure 3-14  illustrates progress made in the last five  years  in terms  of
the operating pressure  required to remove 92% of the sulfur from a Middle East
vacuum gas oil.
   900



*  800
M
o.

0
a  700
M
lA
V
t_
a.
£  eoo
o»
O
L.
•o

x  500



   uoo
                               I
                              1968
                         Basis:  Middle-East VGO
                               Desulfurized to
                               0.2% Sulfur
                                                      1973
                                                             UOO
                                                             300
                                                                 o
                                                                 o
                                                             200  o
                                          Year
            Figure 3-14.  Continued Improvement  in  VGO  Isomax Process3
                                       39.

-------
     Technical improvements  in desulfurization processes have had dramatic
effects  on processing costs.   Figure 3-15 summarizes the trend to lower costs.
At current levels  of technology, the Chevron Isomax Process  can produce .05%
sulfur fuel oil  blend stock  at less cost than required to produce .2%  sulfur
fuel oil  blend a few years ago.
                 10
                Base
           « o
           — o
           0
           cc at
                -10
                -20
                      'Include* amortization of onplot Investment,
                       HI at 60 cents/MSCF. catalyst, utilities
                       (Fuel at $
-------
     The  Isomax  can be used to achieve essentially complete  desulfurization
of a wide variety of feed stocks.   A very wide boiling  range of distillates,
from diesel  up to 1100°F end point vacuum gas oil, can  be  economically
processed in the unit.  The Isomax is also suitable for desulfurization of
feed stock  to the catalytic cracker unit.  Figure 3-16  illustrates the effect
of desulfurization of the cracker feed stock on the sulfur content of the
cracked products.
50,000


20,000

10,000

 5,000


 2,000

 1,000

  500


  200

  100

  50


  20

  10
                          ,1
I   I I  I I I I ll
I
                                                    1.0


                                                    0.5


                                                    0.2


                                                    O.I

                                                    0.05


                                                    0.02


                                                    0.01


                                                    0.005


                                                    0.002
                     0.05  O.I  0.2    0.5   1.0   2.0    5.0
                            Feed Sulfur Content, Wt %
                                                    0.001
  Fiaure 3-16    Effect of Feed Desulfurization on Fluid Catalytic Cracker
                 Product Sulfur Contents  at Constant Cracking Severity
                                       41

-------
     Typically the VGO Isomax Process has not been utilized to produce very
low sulfur content products as the standards do not generally require this
degree of operation.  In fact, because of the ability of the VGO Isomax
to process low sulfur fuels far below standards* a VRDS Isomax process has.
been designed to complement the VGO Isomax process by providing for moderate
sulfur content fuels which may be blended with VGO Isomax fuels to reach
the higher limits of the sulfur content standards.  The VRDS Isomax is a
moderate pressure, vacuum residuum desulfurization process which will process
a wide variety of high sulfur content residual to produce low sulfur
products in the range of .5 to 1% sulfur content.  Blending of VRDS
Isomax products with products of the Isomax unit provides the most economic
route for manufacturing low sulfur fueHoils meeting the current sulfur
content standards.
     The VGO Isomax is an efficient tool to remove sulfur from the vacuum
gas oils of the fuel oil barrel.  However it is becoming evident that low
sulfur processing of both vacuum residuum as well as the vacuum gas oil
will be needed to meet lower sulfur fuel oil requirements.  There are
several processing schemes being studied as possible routes to very low
sulfur fuels (such as .05 to 1% sulfur).  Chevron Research has identified
two of the most feasible methods as:
     1)   Solvent-deasphalting and gasification of the by product high
          sulfur SDA tar, and
     2)   VRDS Isomax followed by delayed coking of the VRDS bottoms
          product.
     In the first of the two methods, the vacuum residuum is solvent deasphalted
and then combined with the vacuum gas oil for desulfurization in the VGO
Isomax process to give a 93% yield of low sulfur fuel oil.  Gasification
facilities are included to convert high sulfur by-product tar to a useful
high BTU content synthetic field gas.
     The solvent-deasphalted oil is more difficult to desulfurize in the VGO
Isomax Unit than the straight run vacuum gas oil above.  However the blend
of the two oils does not require appreciably different processing conditions
than those which are used in existing commercial VGO Isomax Units.  The
VGO Isomax Plus solvent-deasphalting process is well established and
has been operative at the Standard Richmond Refinery over the past eight
years.  Experience has shown that high yields of low sulfur fuel .oils can be
obtained.
                                    42

-------
     In the second of the two methods above, vacuum residuum is processed in
a VRDS Isomax Unit and the higher boiling products are sent to a delayed
coker.  The lower boiling fractions (975°F-) are combined with the vacuum
gas oil for desulfurization in the VGO Isomax to result in the desired low
sulfur fuel oil.  This process provides a 93% yield of fuel oil from high
sulfur Arabian residuum.  Metallurgical quality coke is removed as a useful
by-product from the delayer coker.
     Chevron Research has demonstrated the two processed above with pilot
plant studies using difficult high sulfur feed stocks such as Arabian Heavy.
Results of test runs show, that refineries can process high sulfur crude
while maintaining product quality and meeting environmental standards.  The
implications of this new technology for air quality are evident.  If very low
sulfur fuels aere to be utilized for the various combustion processes through-
out the Four-County Area, SOp emissions from combustion equipment would be
substantially reduced, perhaps by as much as 80% or 90%.  The impact of low
sulfur fuels on S02 pollution from the various fuel burning sources  (aircraft
motor vehicles, industrial boilers, and heaters) is quantified in the different
sections of this report.
     Both processes lend to stepwise construction at the refinery.  The VRDS
Isomax and the VGO Isomax can be integrated into existing refineries with
delayed coking and catalytic cracking facilities.
Economics of Desulfurization
     Cost comparisons reveal that initial capital investment is similar
for the two low sulfur processing approaches.  In terms of processing costs,
the Isomax VGO/VRDS plus delayed coker method is superior by about 36 cents/
barrel of low sulfur product over the Isomax VGO/Solvent-Deasphalting plus
gasification process plan.  Process costs depend somewhat on the market
demand for the by-products of the two approaches, which tend to fluctuate
greatly.  Tables 3-5 and 3-6 provide a summary of the initial investment and
manufacturing costs for the two desulfurization schemes when 50,000 barrels
per day of Arabian residuum are processed.
                                    43

-------
                TABLE 3-5.  ONPLOT INVESTMENT FOR ALTERNATIVE
                            DESULFURIZATION SCHEMES
Onplot Investment, $M

Vacuum Flasher
VGO Isomax
VRDS Isomax
H2 Plant
SDA Unit
Gasification
Coker (Incl. Fractionator)
W0T, Gas and Sulfur Recovery
Total Investment
Catalyst
Royalties
Total Onplot
VGO Isomax Plus
SDA Plus Gasification

5.7
9.9
-
6.7
6.0
15.3
-
•_7.8
51.4
1.0
1.8
54.2
VGO/VRDS Isomax
Plus Delayed Coking

5.7
8.7
12.6
8.4
-
5.5
7.9
48.8
1.8
2.7
53.3
      Coast USA, Early 1973 Costs


Source:     Reference (4)
                                    44

-------
               TABLE  3-6.   DIRECT. MANUFACTURING  COSTS  FOR
                           ALTERNATE  DESULFURIZATION SYSTEMS
                                   VGO Isomax Plus        VGO/VRDS Isomax Plus
                                  SPA Plus Gasification       Delayed Coking
Feed Costs, $M/Yr

  650°F+Resid at $2.50/Bbl                41.0                  41.0
  H2 Plant Naphtha, $3.50/Bbl              1.4                   1.9

      Total                               42.4                  42.9
  Investment Amortization,  SM/Yr         13.6                  13.3
  Operating Costs, $M/Yr2                 11.8                  10.0
      Subtotal                            67.8                  66.2
By-Product Credits, $M/Yr

  SNG/Fuel Gas $6.50/Bbl EFO              (4.4)                 (3.0)
  Naphtha, $3.50/Bbl                      (0.4)                 (3.7)
  Metallurgical Coke, $20/ST                -                   (2.0)
  Sulfur, Zero Value
       Total                              (4.8)                 f8.7)
Net Fuel Oil Cost

  $M/Yr                                   63.0                  57.5
  Incremental Cost Over Base,
    $/Bbl of 0.05% S F/0                 + 0.36                 Base
 Onplot Only - 25% per year
2
 Includes Utilities, Labor and Super., Maintenance,  Taxes and Ins.
3
 0.90 Operating Factor
Source:  Reference (4)
                                     45

-------
3.2'.2  SOg Removal Technology

     Commercial methods for desulfurization of tail  gas  from sulfur plants,
stack gases, and other effluent gas streams amount to some 20 techniques
which are representative of more than 50 Identifiable processes.   These SOp
removal systems are in vardous phases of development and the number of
actual applications have been limited to date.  Because  of performance
uncertainties associated with, the infant S0« control systems, industry is
not rushing to purchase these expensive systems, despite the approaching
clean air deadlines.
     Virtually every-desulfurization control process lias its own  chemical,
engineering, economic, and operating peculiarities.   Some processes
are particularly suited to meet one set of plant effluent conditions,  wn.ile
another S02 removal process may be best adapted to an entirely different  set
of plant parameters. Since there are probably as many different plant
effluent-gas-stream types as there are plants emitting gases, t5e com-
binations of effluent stream and desulfurization tecfmtqes are practically
unlimited.
     In the long term, radical new. technologies may lead to entirely different
process systems which are compatible with the ambient air quality goals.
However until  such new technology is available, "add on" control  systems
are a more likely candidate method for achieving the imminent and  strinqent
future S02 emission regulations.  Table 3-7 provides a description of  14  of  the
principle techniques now being adapted or considered for S02 removal in
different process effluent streams.  The choice of technique in any application
depends on the nature of the gas stream being treated and a variety of
engineering and economic factors related to each situation.
     Sulfur can exist in a large nuroBer of oxidation states.   The common
oxidation states of sulfur found in process effluent gas streams  are those
typified by ^S C-2], elemental sulfur Czerol, S02 (+41  and S03 (+61.   The
reduction-oxidation interconverslon of sulfur between the oxidation states
-2, 0, +4, and +6 is an essential feature of current and proposed  desulfurization
processes.   In each of the processes the objective is to produce  a sulfur
product which may be removed mechanically from the system.   This  corresponds

                                    46'

-------
Process
(Developer)
TABLE 3-7.   PROCESS FOR DESULFURIZATION OF  EFFLUENT GAS  STREAMS
             PROCESSED PRINCIPALLY IN THE GAS  PHASE

 Comments                                       Process Chemistry

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
YIELDING SULFURIC
Dry limestone
(TVA)
Manganese dioxide
(Mitsubishi)
Active magnesia
(Showa Hatsuden)
(Chemico)
Modified contact
Activated carbon
ACID OR SULFATE (S = + 6)
Simultaneous reaction of S02 with lime and $0,, SO,, AIR
air oxidantion of resulting sulfite to sul- C*CO 	 	 •• CiO 23 ^ CaSO
fate. End product slag requires suitable —-3 — "4
disposal. Swedish Bahco Process uses „ .„ .,,.„,.,,.„-„,- i
hydrated lime slurry. Lignite ash also used + C02 (TO ATMOSPHERE)
as absorber (Carl Still, W. Germany).
*' NHyOH
Initial concentration and oxidation of SO? to S02 53-7; — *• MnS04 "; *- (NH,), SO. + H,0
metal sulfate with air regeneration of Mn02 , "N°2 AIR 424 2
oxygen carrier and ammonium sulfate (fer- 4
tilizer) production. REGENERATION
Essentially a concentration process using 200°-300°F Mrt.n 1400°F 1C:* cn rnc
MgU as a "collector" tol lowed by regenera- 502 MOD "" MGS03 •" 15* -°2
tion of concentrated S02 stream for sul f uric | 1 CONTACT
acid plant teed. REGENERATION f PROCESS
H C0
Essential Contact Process yield acid onnOc Z 4
(Monsanto) or ammonium sulfate (Tokvo) but ATR t in • » in ^ H in
accepts hot dilute S02 gas stream rather ' V2U5 , M2
than high S02 acid plant feed. j /k-u Xcri
oiiinsu ^ v""/i)-*0/i ' HoO
ZNrUUH 44 i
All methods depend on absorptive powers of
various forms active carbon to first con- flTB Q
rpntratp and thpn ratal v?p pxirtation SOo ^r\ «IK, n?u .^^ .. -n
\-cm.iai.c uiiu vncii v.ai.aijfic cAiuakiun J«2 JUO ArTT'n'r r'li'nH'nu ^^ "oJUjl
to S03 for acid or sulfate production. 2 ACTIVE CARBON 2 4
Fluidized, fixed and plugged flow beds
variously employed

-------
       Process
       (Developer)
!T|ABLE 3-7.   PROCESS FOR DESULFURIZATION OF EFFLUENT GAS STREAMS (Continued)

     Comments                                       Process Chemistry
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
YIELDING SULFUR (S
Sulfreen
(SNPA-Lurgi )
Alkalized alumina
(U.S.Bur.of Mines
discont.) U.K.
Cent. El ec. Board
Processes
Molten salt
( Atomics, I ntnM)
(Garrett, Res'.S
Dev.)
Solution Claus
(Inst. Francais
du Petrol e)
Giammarco-
Vetrocoke
= ZERO)
Catalytic use of active carbon for high
efficiency Claus redox reaction to yield
S04=. Requires both H2S and S02 in stream. m-uvt LHKBUIM e.
Concentration of dilute SO? stream on <-« Al203/Na20 nn<-npnrn rn
Alk/alumina and in situ catalytic reduc- i 56X 37* f-
tion to H2S using reformer Hb, H, S tnen ' 1 ^ " t rn
to Claus with regenerated S02. * REGENERATION J "2 ^ .
S^*-.« -.. H" i \ rn ftrrnnwrn
With At Least One Principal Solution Staae LLAUb ^ i
S02 > M2C03(L) 430°C •> M2S03 + CO
Dilute S0? concentrated by absorption S S ' 1 H? + CO NATURAL GAS
by H2 (Atomics) or coke roasting (Garrett) H20 j 1 OR COKE ROASTING
to sulfide and hence H2S. Both processes J f
fnnii Tlniir II ^ + M Tn (\ \ ... ^~ M ^ + II D t TO

* ' 1
STEAM + C02
Essentially Claus redox in solution with MrTfll cfll T rflTfll VcT
nr iiiithniit iHHpH ntnluct Hinh hnilinn II •; t <;n . .. lltlHL ->"L ' V.HIHLISI c . 11 Q
solvents preferred to accept hot gases 2 2 POLYGLYCOL SOLVENT (M.W. -400) 2
without extensive cooling.

thioarsenite with arsenate/arsenite air 1
regeneratable redox couple as oxygen *
carrier. Several similar systems in- .j.,.. . Q c + ^n »rQ ^ KI^AsS, + 3KH2AsO/|
volving inorganic redox couples (thylox, 2 s 3J • " 2 " 3 1
manchester, lacykeller exist. T
1 i^n^Aip^ l^"1"^
1 ,3 \Jn ^HIKJ 	 ' '^
Co

-------
          TABLE  3-  7   PROCESS FOR DESULFURIZATION OF EFFLUENT GAS STREAMS (Continued)
    Process
    (Developer)
Comments
Process Chemistry

11.
12.
13.
14.
YIELDING SULFUR
Stretford
U.K. North W.
Gas Board)
Well man-Lord
Beavon
(Parsons Co.)
Cleanair
(Pritchard)
(IGS)
(S = ZERO) (Continued)
Solution oxidation of H2S absorbed as ' H-S + Na?CO^ 	 »• JNaHS + NaHCO,
Bisulfide by two stage redox couple
involving vanadate and anthraquinone S + Nja2V20 + N*2C03 + H20 *^- '+ NaVO,
disulfonic acid as oxygen carriers i


1 1
AQDSA(02) AQDSA
* AIR 0 1

A<;nl nti nn mpthnH f nr ronrpntrat'i nn *\(\ + H fl + M *\O •! 7MH*\H T^HI N^
dilute SO- steam to rich feed for Claus i \ J RcnTQQniuF *
hv hi^iilfTtp fnrmatinn rructnll i ratlnn ^fl + II n + M sfl J. ,.™ M.V£ TMH^n nfV^TI ^
and thermal regeneration. No reduction
or oxidation in solution step. . „,.„
2J FEEb T(T
Prrliminarv ant nhn^p ratalvtlr hvrfrn- IH } 'in TO*; T0; rP/P° ^AT ,, ,-
genation all sulfur compounds to H2S
for food to Stretford In narticuiar REFORMER H /CO • 	 - ••
COS and CS? reduced. r "TRCTFORD

HoS Hrh tail na^ wntrr rnnlrri tn H ^fHTRH^ ^.C] TO^ f^ ..29 ^11 r » PO I t
continue Claus and hydrolyze COS and COOLING
CS2; final H2S to Stretford.
FURTHER CLAUS
S -* 	 STRETFORD 	
Source:  Reference (6)

-------
to an oxidation state of either zero (elemental  sulfur)  or +6 (sulfuric
acid and sulfates).  To convert the various oxidation states of sulfur
existing in an effluent gas, a wide range of oxidizing and reducing agents
is used.  The conversion route may involve an indirect pathway, such as
+4 to -2 to zero as in the Beavon Process, +4 to +6 in the Mitsubishi
Process, and other variations as shown in Table 3-7.
     Characterization of the effluent stream is  the first step in selection
of an appropriate desulfurization process.  Effluents from combustion sources
such as power generating stations are rich in SOg with little or no H2S content
due to prior oxidation incineration.  These conditions would tend to encourage
the use of processes that handle SOg directly and alone.  On the other hand,
in processes where effluents consist principally of hydrogen sulfide, such, as
from oil refinery soun.gas processing, those desulfur.ization processes
designed to treat H-S alone or HgS and SOg may be preferred.  Of course the
HgS may be incinerated to S02 alone, but this leads to dilution of the
effluent and complicates the control process by introducing larger processing
volume requirements.
Description of the Processes
     The bulk of the research, and development effort has been applied to
processes with throwaway products using lime or  limestone as an absorbent
for S0?. -Table 3-8 lists some of the more significant projects now under
way which employ this popular process.  In the limestone process the +4
sulfur of SOg is oxidized to +6 in sulfate.  A major unresolved problem for
both lime and limestone scrubbing processes is sludge Csulfates} disposal.
The solids do not compact well, and large throwaway volumes are produced.
In an EPA sponsored project at TVA's Shasnee Station, the proEleros of botfi
lime and limestone S02 cleanup systems will be investigated.
     Tke Manganese dioxide, or Mitsubishi Process, is similar to the
limestone process, but yields instead ammonium sulfate Bfiich. can be used
as a fertilizer.
                                   50

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     TABLE 3-8.  LIME-LIMESTONE S0» SCRUBBING LARGE-SCALE PROJECTS
Company
FULL SCALE
Arizona Public Seivice

Commonwealth Edison

Detroit Edison

Duquesne Light

Kansas City Power and
Light
Kansos City Power rind
Lioht
Kansas City Powsr and
Li;M
Key West

Lpuisvili? Gas and
Electric
Northern States

Ohio Edison

TVA

Union Electric

USSR (state-operated)

Nippon Kokan KK
(Japan:

Kansai Electric
(Japan)
Tomakomai Chemical
(japan)
Mitsui Aluminum
(Japan)
Sodersjukhuset
(Sweden)
Egypt (state-
operated)
Public Service of
Indiana
Southern California
Electric
PROTOTYPE
EPA-TVA

STEAG (Germany)

Ontario Hydro
(Canada)
Developer

' Research-Cost: ell

B& W



Chemico

Combustion
Engineering
B& W

Combustion
Engineering
Zurn

Combustion
Engineering
Combustion
Engineering


TVA

Combustion
Engineering
NIIOGAZ

Mitsubishi


Mitsubishi

Mitsubishi

Chemico

Banco

Chemiebau

Combustion
Engineering
SCE .


Bechtel, EPA.
TVA
Bischoff

Ontario Hydro

Status

Under con-
struction
Operating

Planned

Under con-
struction
Operating

• Operating

Operating

Operating

Under con-
struction
Under con-
struction
Planned

Under con-
struction
Abandoned

Operating

Operating


Operating

Planned

Operating

Operating

Abandoned

Planned

Planned


Operating

Operating

Planned

Unit type and size

Coal-fired,, . .
115MW
Coal-fired.
175MW
Coal-fired,
160MW
Coal-fired,
150MW .
Coal-fired.
2 X 120MW
Coal-fired.
1 17 MW
Coal-fired.
125,430 MVV
Oii-fired,
37 MVV
Coal-fired.
70 MVV
Coal-fired.
2 X 700 MW
Coal-fired.
2 X 830 MW
Coal-fired,
550 MW '
Coal-fired,
120MW
Smelter,
900 MW equiv
HjSO4 plant,
about 20 MW
equiv
Oil-fired,
30 MW
Smelter.
iSMWequiv
Coal-fired.
165 MW
Oil-fired,
3 X 6MW
H2SO4
plant, small
Coal-fired,
650 MW
Coal-fired,
2x150 MW

Coal-fired.
3 X 10 MW
Coal-fired,
35MJ/V
Coal-fired,
30 MW
Absorbent

Cr.CO,

CaC03

CaCO3

CaO

CaO

CaCO3

CaO

CaC03

Ca;OHii

CaCOi

CaO

CaCO3

CaO

CaCO3

CaO


CaO

CaO
-
CaO

CaO

CaO

CaC03

CaO/CaC


CaC03.
CaO
CaO

CaCO3














































>3








Source:  Reference (6).

-------
     The Chemical Magnesia system serves to concentrate the dilute S02 gas
stream to provide a feedstock for sulfur recovery in an established conversion
process to sulfuric acid.  The magnesium oxide absorbs the S02 as MgS03, after
which the MgSOg is regenerated to produce the concentrated S02 gas.
     The Monsanto and Hitachi S0« removal methods are one step catalytic
oxidations of S02 to SOg and sulfurtc acid.  In the Monsanto approach, hot
dilute S02 in the gas stream is oxidized by- the catalyst at a high temperature.
Sulfur trioxide condenses with moisture to form H^SOp.  This process is being
tested in an EPA sponsored project at the 100 MW Wood River Station of
Illinois Power.
     The processes above are all considered to be desulfurization techniques
for combustion effluents.  S02 is the required feed for these processes.
Hence any of these cleanup methods could be installed as "add on" equipment
with no other plant modifications required.
     The Sulfreen system is a reduction process in that it produces the end
product of  elemental sulfur.  The Sulfreen process was developed specifically
for sulfur plant tail-gas cleanup.  Activated carbon is utilized to provide
adsorption of S02 and subsequent reaction with H«S (reduction} to produce
sulfur.  The Sulfreen process requires both H2S and S02 in the effluent gas.
     The alkalized alumina Process, developed by the U. S. Bureau of Mines,
removes sulfur oxides from the stack, by dry absorption on alkalized alumina
CNa20 ' A1203).  The spent absorption agent is regenerated at 1200F by contact
with a reducing gas (CO), which forms H2S.  The H2S is then converted to
elemental sulfur in a conventional Claus Unit.
     The molten carbonate system  (Atomics  International) involves
the absorption of the effluent S02 in the molten salt as a sulfite.  The
sulfite is reduced by H2 and CO to hydrogen sulfide.  The molten carbonate
is regenerated for reuse, and the H2S is converted to sulfur in a conventional
sulfur plant.
      The IFP sulfur recovery process, utilizes a metal salt-type catalyst to
 convert H2S/S02 to a gaseous mixture of ammonia, sulfur dioxide, and water.
 This mixture is then treated in a Claus unit to reduce the S02 to sulfur By
 reaction with hydrogen sulfide.

                                       52

-------
     The Vetrocope and Stretford processes have had widespread
application in Europe.  Only recently has the Stretford process been in-
corporated into the overall desulfurization procedures known as the Beavon
and Cleanair.  Both the Vetrocope and Stretford method include the use of
an oxygen carrier into a multiple coupled redox reaction in solution.   In the
process, H«S in the stack is converted to elemental sulfur.
     The Wellman Lord process scrubs SOg from the stack, gas with, a solution
of sodium sulfite.  The solution absorbs the sulfur dioxide, converting the
sodium sulfite to sodium bisulfite.  The sodium bisulfite solution is
regenerated by steam stripping producing a concentrated S02 stream for
recovery to sulfur in a sulfur recovery plant.  The Wellman-Lord process is
used on Claus and sulf uric acid plants as well as the electric utilities
industry.  Sodium sulfate disposal is a main drawback to this system.   The
process will undergo careful examination in an EPA sponsored project at the
125 MW Northern Indiana Public Service power plant.
     The  Beavon and  Cleanair  processes  are combinations of other basic
techniques.  In the Beavon process the SCk of the stack gas is initially
reduced to HgS and then fed to a Stretford Unit.  In the Cleanair system
both a Claus unit and the Stretford unit are used simultaneously-.
End Products of Desulfurization Systems
     All desulfurization processes yield an end product.  In some of the
processes the product is marketable.  Sulfur is the end product in
many of the cleanup processes, particularly- those applied to sulfur
recovery tail gas at oil refineries, and finds wide use as a Base chemical.
Its marketability fluctuates, and its low dollar-per-ton cost does not
begin to enable the cleanup system to pay for itself.  However because of
its marketability and relative ease of handling, sulfur as an end product
may be disposed of conveniently.
     The  disposal of  sulf uric acid as. an end product Is complicated hr
storage problems.  Large tonnage  storage or long distance hauling is
not feasible.  Selection of desulfurization clean up systems yielding
sulfuric  acid as  an  end product depends on the  presence of a consumer
near the  process.

                                    53

-------
      Disposal of ammonium sulfate  (the end product in processes such
 as  the  ammoniacal solution and manganese dioxide technique) may be costly
 when  moisture protection during storage is required.  It can then find
 immediate  use as a fertilizer.  Calcium sulfate, an end product of the
 dry-limestone process, is a waste requiring land fill disposal.
      Water wastes are a disposal problem with all of the large~volume
 aqueous solution processes.  Large volumes of contaminated water must be
 repurified before recycling or discharging as effluent.
      The Wellman Lord cleanup process yields a sodium sulfate wfiicfi Is
 nonregenerable.  Its handling does not pose a problem, but thfi current
 market  for this product is limited.
 Process Efficiency
     Performance data for the various desulfurization  processes is rather
limited, except as each of the processes  relates  to particular appli-
cations now prevalent in the field.  In this respect a number of the cleanup
processes have proven suitable for S02 removal  down to concentrations  of less
than 500 ppm.   Initially,  desulfurization processes were applied supcessfully
to the tail gas of Claus units at oil refineries.   Several  units have  been
operating successfully at various refineries for  the past few years(Table 3-9).
S02 cleanup processes have also been installed  in Los  Angeles, reducing
emissions from refinery tail  gas to less  than 500 ppm  as required by new
regulations imposed by the APCD.   Among those processes  capable of reducing
S02 levels well  below 500 ppm in effluent gas streams  are the Vetrocoke,
Stretford, and Wellman-Lord process.   These processes  have operated  in various
tail-gas applications to reduce S02 concentrations  to  less than 200  ppm.
     Motivated by imminent new S02 emission standards  targeted for the
electric utilities, several  power plants  have now been equipped with desul-
furization systems which are providing continuous operation at 90% plus  S02
removal  rates. Table  3-10 provides a summary of  nine different cleanup  processes
now under test at various  utilities.
     Numerous equipment difficulties have been  encountered during the  brief
operating histories of these infant systems.   For example, at the Four
Corners power plant in Arizona, massive S02 scrubber units installed in  1971

                                   54,

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       TABLE  3-9.   PROCESSES  USED FOR SULFUR REMOVAL  FROM CLAUS  TAIL GAS
Name
Beavon
Sulfur
Removal
Process
Cl eanAi r
Sulfur
Process
IFP Sulfur
Recovery
Process





Shell's iui
Flue Gas
Desul-
furization
Process
Sulfreen
Process




Wellman-
so2
Recovery
Process









Developer
Ralph M. Parsons &
Union Oil Co. of
California

J.F.Pritchard &
Co. and Texas
Gulf Sulfur Co.
Institut Francais
du Petrol e






-Koninklijke/Shell
Laboratorium, the
Netherlands


SNPA and Lurgi
Gesellschaften




Well man Power Gas












Operation
Los Angeles refinery.
Union Oil Co. of Ca.


Pilot plant work.
Okotoks plant, Texas
Gulf Sulfur Co.
Demonstration plant,
Lone Pine Creek plant,
Hudson's Bay Oil & Gas.
Nippon Petroleum
Refining Co. , Japan
Idemitsu Oil Co. Japan
Kyokutoh Oil Co. Japan
Showa Oil Co. Japan
Pilot plant work, : r.ri'.i
Perm's, the
Netherlands


SNPA sulfur plant,
Lacq field
Aquitaine's Ram River
sulfur plant, Rocky
Mountain House,
Alberta
01 in Chemical Co.
Paulsboro, N.J.
Japanese Synthetic
Rubber Co. Chi ba, Japan
Toa Nenryo Kogyo.
Refinery, Kanagawa, Japan
Standard Oil Refinery,
El Segundo, California
Allied Chemical Co.
sulfuric acid plant,
Chicago.
01 in Corp. sulfuric acid
plant, Curtis Bay, Md.
Sulfur
Removal
Removal to
250 ppm S02
or less

Removal to
250 ppm S02
or less
S02 removal to
1,000 ppm






90% SO?
removal



75% of sulfur
in the Claus
Plant tail gas



S02 Removal
to 100 ppm











Product
Sulfur



Sulfur


Sulfur







SO? for-
med is
recycled
through a
Claus urn'
Sulfur





60% SO?
and 40%
water
vapor









Source: Reference (7).
                                    55,

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               TABLE  3-10.   S02 REMOVAL PROCESSES  CURRENTLY IN TEST
Approx. test
Process unit size, Mw
Lime scrubbing
(boiler injection)
Lime scrubbing
(scrubber introduction)
Limestone scrubbing
Magnesia scrubbing
Catalytic oxidation
Sodium salt scrubbing
(thermal regeneration)
Sodium salt scrubbing
(throwaway)
Manganese oxide absorption
Carbon adsorption
120
120
117
150
100
125 .•?.;
125 ..;•.
110
150,
Developer
Combustion .Engineering
Chemico
Babcock & Wilcox
Chemico-Basic
Monsanto
Wellman-Power Gas
Combustion Equipment
Associates
Mitsubishi
Hitachi
Utility
Kansas City Power and Light3
Mitsui Aluminum (Japan)"
Kansas City Power and Light'
Boston Edison'1''1
Illinois Power1'
Northern Indiana Public
Service11' '• •
Nevada Power
Chubu Electric Power (Japan)
Tokyo Electric Power (Japan)
Footnotes .
a. Example of typical installation for this system. Other companies also have units under construction or in operation.
b. EAP sponsored.
There are 50 or more significant projects in the United States at this time.

Source:   Reference  (8).
have been plagued  by  numerous problems which have  created unscheduled
                                                                 Q
outages, and have  cost several million dollars  in  repair costs.   Many of
the problems already  experienced by cleanup systems  now in operation have
been engineered  out of succeeding installations, with  the result that a
number of suppliers now are able to give performance guarantees with new
installations.
     In Los Angeles,  APCD S02 emission regulations are met by the electric
utilities burning  low sulfur fuels of less than .5%  sulfur content
(Rule 62, Sulfur Content of Fuels).  By burning the  low sulfur fuels, stack
emissions are  kept under the permissible 2000  ppm  S02  emission level (Rule
53, Sulfur Compounds  Concentration).  This control procedure permits relatively
low sulfur emissions  to be achieved without the need of costly add-on desulfuri-
zation systems.  However unless desulfurization of fuels is extended to lower
limits, the sulfur removal effected by this strategy may not be satisfactory
                                      56

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to meet the moving clean air targets.  Add-on desulfurization equipment may
then become a candidate control measure for power utilities located in the
Four-County Area.
Cost
     Desulfurization of industrial  effluent gas streams involves expendir.
tures which generate benefits entirely in terms of air quality improvement,
and not in terms of process improvement.   The fact that there are no cost
benefits from implementing desulfurization controls emphasizes the need for
minimizing costs to be incurred by installation and operation of the
prospective clean-up systems.
     Quantitative analysis of the comparative cost of available desulfuri-
zation processes is possible only when the precise nature of the gas stream to
be treated is known.  Even when the effluent stream specifications are
identified, comparative operating data of the candidate systems is generally
insufficient to appraise which methods are most economical  and effective.
Figure 3-17 is a qualitative summary of cost versus effectiveness for the
typical clean-up systems of Table 3-7.   All the systems are not capable of
the higher levels of effectiveness  shown in the figure, and generally those
which are most efficient are available at the higher costs.
                      2000
                      1500
                      e
                      ex
                       500
                               Cost
            Figure 3-17.
Cost of Effectiveness for S02 Removal
Systems
                                    57

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     Under the new federal regulations, electric utilities are the main tar-
get for S02 and control systems.  The Sulfur Oxide Control Technology
Assessment Panel has estimated  that the cost of S02 stack cleaning for power
utilities could increase consumer cost for electricity by 17%.  Several
utilities have affirmed that S02 cleanup technology will increase consumer
rates by 20%.8  The Louisville Gas and Electric Co. has stated that the cost of
its announced S02 compliance program for its eight existing units will amount
to a rate increase of 30%.  Some examples of the capital cost of retrofitting
    cleanup technology in existing power generating plants are shown below:
Size of Plant
(MW)
800 .
550
65
1650
Initial
Capital
150
42
3.1
100
$ per KW
60
80
50
60
Developer & Utility
Penn Power, Bruce Mani field
Station (2 units)
TVA, Widows Creek
Louisville Gas & Electric
Louisville Gas & Electric
(8 units)
          Although numerous cost estimates have been made for cleaning stack
gases, most of the published information is not definitive.  It is difficult
to evaluate and compare the cost of cleanup processes when there are still
many problems to be identified during development.  This situation will be
remedied as current projects are completed and more operating data has been
obtained.  In addition, costs will vary widely depending on factors such as
plant size and location, cost of raw materials, difficulty of product
disposal, and whether the installation is new or retrofit.  The present
indication is that for power plants investment can be as high as $80/KW
with an annual operating cost as high as $2.5/KW.
          The costing of desulfurization cleanup systems used to control
emissions from the tail gas of Claus sulfur recovery plants involves less
guess work than other applications.  S02 removal processes have operated
continuously with high efficiency at several sulfur recovery plants for the
past few years.  The capital and operating cost of a high efficiency S02
cleanup process when applied to a Claus plant operating at 95% recovery are
shown in Figures 3-18 and 3-19.  A high efficiency cleanup system for a
                                     58.

-------
typical  Claus unit  processing 1000  tons/day of sulfur with a tail  gas  S02

concentration of  10,000 ppm would incur a capital  cost, of $3.5 million.

      The problem  of high cost for stack desulfurization is compounded  by

the  limited availability of the S02 cleanup systems.   The Sulfur Oxide

Control  Technology  Assessment Panel  has stated that  processes may  not  be

readily  available for tne next few  years.  Currently  there are several

scheduled process installations, and if emission control  standards  do
not  become more lenient in the next few years, commercial demand for

the  cleanup systems  will  far exceed the industry's limited manufacturing
capacity.
     50
5,000
c/>
o:
r 1.000
INVESTMENT, THOUSAM
— U1
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-------
3.3  ALTERNATIVE FUELS - A CONTROL FOR PARTICIPATES, S09 AND NOV
                                                       £       A
     Today's energy needs are served primarily by direct use of fossil  fuels.
The disappearing reserves of these fuels for low cost energy, and the concern
over long-term energy supply, has recently given rise to investigation of
alternative energy systems by various energy planning agencies.  Synthetic
fuels from non-fossil sources are now being advocated as the most suitable
alternative for supplying the long term needs for gaseous and liquid fuels.
However, in the near term, until technology is more advanced, even synthetic
fuels will require fossil sources such as coal and oil shale.
     A conversion to synthetic fuel  systems would have dramatic impact
on air quality problems.  Consumption of synthetic fuels in  these systems
results in very little a-ir pollution, and would eliminate the  immense
effort now targeted for control  of air pollutant emissions from fossil  energy
use.
     Among the comprehensive studies of potential  fuels, methanol is
described as the most desirable  of the alternatives in many ways.
Hydrogen,  which has been suggested as a universal, nonpolluting fuel, is
expensive, difficult to store and transport, unadaptable to current fuel-
using equipment, and hazardous;  the use of methanol does not pose these
problems.
     Methyl-fuel can serve as a  substitute in many current fuel systems.
In full  scale boiler combustion  tests, methyl-fuel has proven itself an
effective air pollution control  measure.  The burning of methyl-fuel produced
virtually no unburned hydrocarbons,  S09, or particulate emissions, and NO
                                      w                                  A
emissions were reduced below that produced under firing of natural gas.
Methyl-fuel is especially attractive as a fuel substitute for motor vehicles,
and can  be utilized as an additive to current fuel stocks without special
adaption.   Its research-octane blend value of 130 makes it a possible octane
booster substitute, and because  it has no lead or sulfur it can be used
compatibly with motor vehicles equipped with catalytic exhaust control
devices.  When methyl-alcohol is used as a complete motor fuel substitute
(requiring engine adaption estimated at $100 per vehicle), exhaust
emissions are reduced by 80%.   '

                                     60

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     Methanol  1s produced by reacting synthesis gas (CO,v,C02, and H2) at
various temperatures and pressure 1n the presence of a catalyst.  In the
typical commercial production of methanol, the synthesis gas 1s produced
by reacting steam and methane.  However the synthesis gas can also be
produced from  natural gas and carbonaceous materials such as oil shale, coal,
and refuse.  In the manufacture of methanol the output can be ifiOGFease^d by
50% if small amounts of other alcohols can be tolerated in the product.  Such
a mixture is calldd "methyl-fuel," and can be produced in larger quantities
and lower prices than pure methanol, and has superior properties as a fuel.
     In the near term, coal must be utilized to achieve large scale methyl-
fuel production.  However the desirability of coal for methyl-fuel production
depends heavily upon successful coal gasification design.  Intensified
development is now under way to provide these designs, and some have proven
feasible already.  These systems are similar to those already built on
commercial scale for the U.S. Bureau of Mines and various chemical companies.
Economics of Methyl-Fuel Production
     Due to the relatively limited production of synthesis gas from coal
in this country, the economics and technology for this  process  are not  well
defined.   Preliminary cost estimates developed 1n the  fall  of 1972 for  a plant
producing 20,000 tons/day of methyl  fuel  (equivalent in heating value to
gasoline produced by a 160,000 barrels/day  petroleum refinery)  are given in
Table 3-13. The cost of production for methanol  is estimated at 8.514/gal,
or 148^/10° BTU.  This production cost can  be compared with other fuels as
follows:

     TABLE 3-12.  PRODUCTION  COST  OF ENERGY IN FUELS,  SEPTEMBER 1972
Fuel
Source
Cost. $/106 BTU

Gasoline
Fuel oil
Hydrogen gas
Methyl -fuel
crude oil
crude oil
coal
coal
1.05
.96
1.32
1.48
     Source:  Reference (12).

                                     61

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         TABLE 3-13.  ECONOMICS OF SYNTHESIS OF 20,000 TONS/DAY
                      OF METHANOL (MeOH) FROM COAL
Item
Coal3
Chemicals
Process water
Cooling water
Operating labor
Supervision
Maintenance
Unrt

Ton
103 gal
103 gal
Man.-nr


Units
/Day
Synthesis
(Capital for
26,000
6,250
346,000
960


Overhead
Precapital manufacturing cost
Capital charges
Total cost
at 15%/year

Cost
$/Un1t $/Day
Gas Manufacture e
Plant: $260 x 10°
7.00 182,000
1,000
0.20 1,250
0.02 6,920
4.00 3,840
380
35,600
4,220
235,110
106,800
341,910

*/gal
MeOH

3.02
0.02
0.02
0.11
0.06
0.01
0.59
0.07
3.90
1.77
5.67 (99<£/106
Btu)
                               Methanol Synthesis from Provided Syngas
                                 (Capital for Plant: $135 x 106)
Steam 103 Ib 38,200
Fuel TO6 Btu 21,600
Electricity KWhr 100,000
Cooling water 103 gal 540,000
Catalyst and
chemicals
O&M labor and
supervision
Overhead
Precapital manufacturing cost
Capital charges at 15%/year
Subtotal
Total cost
0.65 24,800
Ob
0.01 1,000
0.02 10,800
15,000
50,000
14,000
115,600
55,400
171,000
512,910
0.41
0.02
0.18
0.25
0.83
0.23
1.92
0.92
2.84
8.51 (148tf/106
Btu)
^Combined raw material and fuel.
 Purge gas from synthesis gas plant.

Source:  Reference (12).
62

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     The costs above reflect the market two years ago.  Dramatic changes have
since occurred in the world economic situation, affecting the cost of many ,
types of raw materials.  The price of petroleum has increased by a factor of
five, and costs are now rising to reflect the Increased demand for coal.  While
the current uncertainties in the marketplaeeosaggest restraint in economic pro-
jection, it does appear that the current trend is pricing alternative fuels into
competition.  The cost of fuel oil to the fuel-burning utility companies is pre-
sently $15 per baH-el, or $2.46 per million BTU.  Vulcan-Cincinnati Company,  a
process designer for the manufacture of the methyl-fuel, now estimates a cost to
the consumer of $2 to $3 per million BTU.
     One of the principal  drawbacks to the immediate use of methyl-fuel  as
a substitute in fuel  combustion equipment is its availability.   Currently
the projected market for this fuel is limited.   In  addition, it may be
difficult to provide the coal resources needed for  expansive manufacturing
of methyl-fuel.  The Nation is currently engaged in a program to increase
utilization of coal  for generation of electric power, and limited coal
availability has already placed uncertainties on that effort.  Environ-
mental concern over land abuse by coal mining is a  primary constraint to
plentiful coal supply.   However, an advantage contained in the methyl-fuel
production is that it will use "low quality" lignite coal, a cheaper and
lower demand coal.
     In addition to material supply problems confronting any immediate
plan for large scale production of a substitute fuel, there are obvious
social and political  disruptions inherent in a plan proposing radical
manufacturing and consumer conversions.  If air quality standards are to be
met in the near term through fuel conversion policy, the disruptions are
inevitable, and probably,  intolerable.  However, if environmental  standards
are promulgated to promote alternative fuels over the long term, the tran-
sition would appear to be feasible.  The market demand may very well supplant
this long term possibility.  It has been estimated  that by 1975 there will
exist a market for 18 methyl-fuel plants by coal gasification.   By 1980  the
demand will be 28.  According to the Vulcan-Cincinnati Company, who has  a
proprietary hold for the manufacture of methyl-fuel, it would be possible to
construct these fuel  plants by 1980.  By 1990 the market demand is projected
at 120 plants.11
                                    63

-------
     In the long term, methyl-fuel conversion appears practical.   In fact,
the apparent far reaching attractiveness of methyl-fuel  conversion as a
long term approach to air resources management problems  would seem to
raise serious questions as to the sensibility of current air quality
achievement goals predicated on rapid timetables.   In the long term,
deferment  of present short term air quality objectives  could have signi-
ficant impact on the rate of development of far reaching alternatives such
as methyl-fuel substitution.  More investigation is needed to determine
the relationship between these factors.
3.4  NON-TECHNICAL CONTROL MEASURES
     The total regional emission rate from a certain type of air pollution
source can ususally be described as a product of three factors:

   /  Total \       /Number of \       /AverageX         /AverageX
   [Regional]   _   (Source Units]       [Source j         [Source  \
   lEmission/       V  In Region/       \ Usage /         I Emission)
   \  Rate  /       \          '        \ Level /         \Factor /

The controls considered so far in this chaptee have essentially dealt
with methods for reducing the last of these three factors.  The above
controls have consisted of modifications of processes or additions of
cleaning devices so as to reduce average source emission factors.  As such,
they might be called "Technological" controls.
     This section will briefly examine "non-technical controls", that is,
controls aimed at reducing source numbers or source usage.  Source reloca-
tion and growth restrictions will be the two methods examined for decreas-
ing source numbers.  The discussion of source  usage  control" will emphasize
vehicle use reductions, i.e., vehicle miles travelled (VMT) restrictions.
     It is not unappropriate that non-technological controls are  considered
last in this chapter.  As will  be evidenced by the  discussions below, there
are very great socio-economic costs and  implementation problems associated
with non-technological controls, especially when they are considered over
the short-term, (say b to 10 years).  It may be difficult to implement strict
technological controls for motor vehicles, aircraft, power plants, or
industries.  However, the resistance to  measures such as 50 percent VMT
                                    64

-------
reduction, industry relocations, or a no gravity policy can be much greater.
On the short-run, non-technological controls are somewhat a last resort.
They should be considered here, however, since very large reductions in
total emission levels will be needed to approach the national  air quality
standards for particulates in the Los Angeles Region.
3.4.1  Growth Restrictions
     Control measures which limit community growth provide an  important
means of maintaining air quality.  These measures may be geared toward
discouragement of new growth (disincentive measures) or toward total pro-
hibitions.  Alternative measures providing disincentive to growth have been
outlined in a recent TRW study on Air Quality Maintenance for  the San Diego
    13
Area  .  The measures include various restrictions on land use such as spec-
ial residential zoning ordinances, environmental impact reporting, special
taxation rates, open space planning, and capital improvements  requirements.
The severity of the restrictions is established to reflect the degree of
growth control needed to maintain air quality levels within standards.
     Due to the substantial magnitude of the air pollution problem in the
Los Angeles Area, it may be necessary to consider implementation of con-
trol measures which would actually prohibit certain types of growth.  These
prohibitions might be directed at the more significant sources, and could
include such restrictions as a limit on motor vehicle registrations, pro-
hibitions on industrial expansion, prohibition of airport expansions,
limits on utility service hook-up, etc.
3.4.2  Relocation
     Source relocation is potentially a very effective method  for reducing
total regionwide emission levels.  However, unless one is moving significant
portions of the human population out of the air basin, (which  some may agree
is the step that is actually necessary to attain all present air quality
standards in Los Angeles), source relocation appears to be most appropriate
for large, concentrated sources.  It is usually a much more difficult
problem to relocate area sources, such as traffic, residence,  etc.  Ac-
cordingly, in this study, relocations will be considered only  for concen-
trated or point sources.
     The major candidates for relocation in the Los Angeles area are the
international airport, power plants, refineries, and certain large
                                    65

-------
industries.  The re-shifting of any of these facilities would invalue a
tremendous cost and would be resisted by very strong political  forces.   It
is not within the scope of this study to examine these costs and imple-
mentation problems in detail.  Rather, this study will just note the amount
of relocation that may be necessary to meet the air quality standards.   If
relocation is actually chosen by control agencies as a viable measure,
further study will have to be given to the impact associated with its imple-
mentatioD.
3.4.3  Source Usage
     Restriction of source usage rates is potentially a very effective
method of reducing emissions.  Examples would be limits on power plant
operating level, refinery throughout, or motor vehicle travel.   Usage
limits for large stationary sources would be equivalent to growth control
(for slight restrictions) or to partial relocation (for severe restrictions),
The following discussion will concentrate on use controls for motor vehicles,
     Recent transportation studies have examined the effect of alternative
policies for reducing vehicle miles travelled (VMT)   *   '   .   The list
of potential measures which have been studied include the following:

     •  Improvements in bus services
     •  New rail transit service
     •  Auto free zones
     t  Increased parking costs
     t  Carpool promotion
     •  Exclusive bus and/or carpool lanes
A study for Los Angeles indicates that each of these measures (when carried
out at a reasonable level) would produce only marginal reductions in VMT,
(from .1 percent to 5 percent)  .  A comprehensive program comprised of all
these would only be expected to reduce VMT by"10 to 20 percent.  In order
to produce larger changes in VMT, say on the order of 50 percent, gasoline
rationing appears to be the most appropriate step.  The reader is referred
to references 14, 15, and 16 for a detailed discussion of potential VMT
reduction;;measures and their impacts.
                                   66

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                       REFERENCES FOR SECTION 3.0
 1.  "Basic Technology", Section IV Air Pollution Control,  Desk Book Issue,
     Chemical Engineering, April 27, 1970.

 2.  National Air Pollution Control Administration, "Control  Techniques
     for Particulate Air Pollutants", Publication of U.S.  Department of
     Health Education and Welfare, January  1969.

 3.  Christensen, R., Chevron Research Company, "Low Sulfur Products from
     Middle East Crudes", National Petroleum Refiners Association,
     AM-73-38, April 1973.

 4.  Steele, D., G. Gould, R. Roselius, W.  Haunschild, Chevron Research
     Company, "Clean Fuels Through New Isomax Technology",  American
     Petroleum Institute, Document 40-73, May 1973.

 5.  Miller, Stan, "The Business of Air Pollution Control", Environmental
     Science and Technology, November 1973.

 6.  Slack, A., Division of Chemical Development, Tennessee Valley  Authority,
     "Removing S02 from Stack Gases", Environmental Science and Technology,
     February 1973.

 7.  Barry, Charles, Barry & Richardson, "Reduce  Claus Sulfur Emission",
     Hydrocarbon Processing, April 1972.

 8.  Olds, F., "S02 & NOX", Power Engineering, August 1973.

 9.  "The Largest U.S. Wet Scrubber System", Environmental  Science  and
     Technology, June 1974.

10.  Reed, T., R. Lerner, "Methanol :  A Versatile Fuel for  Immediate Use",
     Science, December 1973.

11.  "Outlook Bright for Methyl -Fuel", Environmental  Science and Technology,
     November 1973.

12.  Atomic Energy Commission Synthetic Fuels Panel,  "Hydrogen and  Other
     Synthetic Fuels", Prepared  for the Federal Council  on  Science  and
     Technology R&D Goals Study, September  1972.
13.  TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations,  "Development of  a
     Sample Air Quality Maintenance Plan  for San  Diego,"  Prepared for
     Environmental  Protection Agency,  September 13,  1974.
14.  TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations,  "Transportation  Con-
     trol Strategy Development for the Metropolitan  Los  Angeles  Region,"
     Prepared for Environmental  Protection Agency, January  1973.
                                  67

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15.   Rand Corporation,  "San  Diego Clean Air Project," R-1366-SD/Appendix
     4, December 1973.

16.   Horwitz,  J., Kuhrtz,  S.,  Environmental Protection Agency, "Transporta-
     tion controls To  Reduce Automobile Use and  Improve Air Quality in
     Cities,"  November 1974.
                                   68

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                    4.0  PETROLEUM INDUSTRY

     Operations of the petroleum industry broadly include production,
refining, and marketing.  Production concerns locating and drilling oil
wells, pumping and pretreating the crude oil, recovering gas condensate,
and shipping raw products to the refinery.  Refining involves the conversion
of crude oil to a finished saleable product.  Marketing includes: the distri-
bution and actual sale of the finished products.
     The following sections provide a characterization of atmospheric
emissions arising from the petroleum industry, the prevailing emission
control technology being utilized, and alternative emission control tech.-
nology available or in development which will reduce atmospheric pollution
generated by the petroleum industry.
4.1   BASELINE CHARACTERIZATION
     The main sources requiring emission  control in petroleum production
are the process equipment  and storage vessels.  Pollution control
measures for refining operations have been directed principally at elimina-
tion of particulates, hydrocarbons, sulfur compounds, and carbon monoxide.
Emission control for marketing operations are directed primarily at
hydrocarbon vapors which escape during the storage and transfer of the
saleable petroleum products, and controls for refining.operations are
designed to manage the particulate and S0£ emissions emanating from the
process equipment.  These emission problems are characterized in the
following section.
4.1.1   Emissions
      The most significant emissions from the petroleum industry are S02
gases  deriving from operations during refining processes.   The petroleum
industry accounts for about 15% of all  atmospheric  SOg. but less than 5%
of other particulate precursors, and only 2% of the primary particulates
(Figure 4-1).  Virtually all  of the emissions of the petroleum industry
originate in Los Angeles County.
                                   69

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                                         S02
                10- •
   Percent of
      total
   Atmospheric
     Emissions by,
   Petroleum
    Industry
                     Figure 4-1.   Role of Petroleum Industry in Atmospheric
                                  Pollution of Four-County Area, 1972.
      Projected emissions for the four-county area from the petroleum industry
are illustrated in Table 4-1.  Due to regulations imposed in the California
Air Program Implementation Plans  for petroleum marketing operations, the
overall RHC emissions from the petroleum industry will be reduced by
approximately 75% by 1977.  These controls will not affect primary
particulates, S0o» or NO  emissions.
          TABLE 4-1.  EMISSIONS FROM THE PETROLEUM INDUSTRY, PRESENT AND
                      FUTURE, FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Year
1972
1977
1980
Partial! ates
3
3
3
so2
60
60
60
NO,
67.5
67.5
67.5
RHC
74.1
17.8
18.7
                                    70

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Refining
     The greatest quantity of air contaminants from the petroleum industry
originate from refinery operations.  The three primary refinery emission
sources include catalyst regeneration, coking operations, and sulfur
recovery plants.  For purposes of emission inventory compilations, sulfur
recovery plants are typically considered as a chemical process.  Accordingly,
consideration of emissions from sulfur recovery plants is discussed in
Section 11.0 (Chemical Processing Industry).
     Catalyst regeneration is a continuous process integral  to the catalytic
cracking of petroleum.  During the refining process, the molecular structure
of the different distillates of the crude oil are chemically converted by
catalytic cracking to produce products such as gaseous hydrocarbons, gasoline,
gas oil, and fuel oil.   The catalyst utilized in this process becomes
contaminated with coke build-up and must be continually regeneraged by
burning off the coke under controlled combustion conditions.  The resulting
flue gases contain particulates (coke and catalyst fines), and products
of combustion such as hydrocarbons, S02 and NOX.  The quantities of these
emissions generated from refineries in the Four County area are given in
Tables 4-2 and 4-3 and 4-4 below.

       TABLE  4-2.   PARTICULATE  EMISSIONS  FROM PETROLEUM  INDUSTRY  OPERATIONS,
                   FOUR-COUNTY  AREAS,  1972
Process
Petroleum Coke
Operations
Catalytic Cracking
Other
TOTALS
Emissions to Atmosphere
Ton/Day
.7
2.2
.1
3.Q
% of Parti cul.ate Emissions
in Tfiis Industry^
22.4
73.2
4.4

  aTha distribution of emissions- from the. operations is Based on  the tabulation
  of the APCD inventory file for Los  Angeles County only.   TBIs distribution was
  applied to the Four^County Area ..total .emission inventories  to obtain the"
  daily emission figures above.

   Source:  Reference. (2)

                                      71

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           TABLE 4-3.   S02 EMISSIONS FROM OPERATIONS OF THE PETROLEUM
                       INDUSTRY,  FOUR-COUNTY AREA3
Emissions to Atmosphere
Process Ton/Day
Catalytic Cracking 57.2
Other 2.8
% of S02 Emissions
in This Industry
95.4
4.6
Total 60
    Source:  Reference (2)
             TABLE 4-4.  NOX EMISSIONS FROM OPERATIONS OF THE PETROLEUM
                         INDUSTRY, FOUR-COUNTY AREA9
                                Emission to Atmosphere     % of Particulate
     Process                          Ton/Day              Emissions in This Industry
                                       60.5                         89..S
          Catalytic Cracking

     Other                              7.d                         1Q.3
           Total                        67.5
a The distribution of emissions from the operations is based on the tabulation
  of the APCD inventory file for Los Angeles County only.   This distribution was
  applied to the 4 county area total emission inventories  to obtain the daily
   emission figures above.


  Source:  Reference (2)
                                    •72

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      Coking operations  involve the processing of the heavy residual of the
 crude oil's initial separation.  The residual is heated and injected Into a
 drum where vaporization to dryness forms a solid material called "coke".
 The coke  is removed from the drum by steam drilling, and subsequently crushed
 and transferred to storage.  The APCD estimates that the crushing and transfer
 operations account for  a significant portion of atmospheric particulate dis-
 charges from the refineries Csee Table 4-2).
 Marketing and Production Operations
      A network of pipelines, terminals., truck, fleets, marine tankers, and
 storage and loading equipment are used to deliver the finished petroleum
 product to the user.  The significant emissions arising from marketing
 activities are hydrocarbon vapors from storage vessels and filling operations.
 Similarly, significant  emissions arising from production activities are
 the hydrocarbon vapors which emit during storage and filling operations.  The
 quantities of hydrocarbon emissions from the types of petroleum activities are
 summarized below.  These sources Cas well as all other hydrocarbon sourcesl

             Reactive Hydrocarbon  Emissions from Petroleum Industry

Production
Refining
Marketing
1972 RHC, tons/day
2.0
5.Q
67.1
 have been a target of pollution control under the EPA oxidant reduction plan,
 and their control will therefore not be addressed in this report Cas
 mentioned previously in Section  1.0).

 4.1.2  Emission Control

      Table 4-5 lists the type of control equipment currently being  utilized
to reduce particulate emissions of petroleum refining emission sources.
It has been estimated by the LAAPCD that over 90% of refinery particulate
emissions are prevented from entering the atmosphere.  These
                                       •73

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  TABLE 4-5.  CHARACTERIZATION OF CONTROL METHODS CURRENTLY UTILIZED  IN
              PETROLEUM INDUSTRY FOR CONTROL OF MAJOR PARTICULATE
              EMISSION SOURCES, FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1972
Actual Emissions
Process Operation Tb/daya Control
Petroleum Coke -
Conveying

Size Reduction
Storage
Catalytic Cracking
1020
15
14
381
4400
None( except for
wet treatment)
Baghouse
. Baghouse
None
Electrical
Precipitation
Average
Efficiency
—
89.6
94.7
—
95.0
aThese figures are based on the APCD inventory file information for Los
 Angeles County.   They have been adjusted to reflect the overall  four
 County emission totals as reported in the total  emission inventory of
 Reference 112).
preventions are attained by employment of baghouses and electrical  pre-
cipitators, and in the instance of coke conveying, particulate pollution
control is accomplished mainly by wetting procedures, similar to those used
in the mineral industry to prevent dust generation during aggregating
operations.  These wetting practices provide controls which enable  the
industry to comply with current APCD regulations (Rule #50 - Opacity,
and Rule 51 - Nuisance).  Particulates emitted from catalyst
regeneration are prevented from discharge to the atmosphere by employing
                                    74

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a cyclone separator and electrical precipitator  to  the  regenerator flue
gases, as shown in Figure 4-2 below.  The APCD estimates  a  particulate
recovery rate of 95% due to these controls.
                  REGENCRATMCVOONt  . tUCTMSTATIC MECIP1TATOR
                                                  FURNACE
                                                               STACK
               Figure 4-2.   Control of Particulates  and Carbon Monoxide
                             in  Catalytic  Regeneration Systems
               Source:
Reference (3)
      The major S02 and  NOX  emissions  of the petroleum industry result
from catalytic regeneration  operations,  and  are  uncontrolled at present.
There are currently no scheduled  preventions planned  for these sources.
 4.2  ALTERNATIVE CONTROL MEASURES
      Alternative controls which  may be  applied  to refinery operations to
reduce particulate and gaseous  precursors emissions consist of both add-on
equipment and process alterations.
 4.2.1  Particulates - Electrical  Precipitators
       The traditional air pollution control devices, electrical precipitators,
fabric filters, mechanical collectors, and wet scrubbers are used throughout
the petroleum industry to control particulate emissions from large sources
and a variety of sraall pollution  generating  sources.   This equipment is  suitable
                                     75

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for reducing most emissions  to negligible levels.   However,  despite levels  of
control which are in the neighborhood of 95% removal  efficiency,  the volumes
of gases (up to 150,000 cfm) vented from a large regenerator still  carry
substantial emissions approaching the 30 Ib/hr maximum (Rule #54, Solid
Particulate Matter).
      The cost of a precipitator removal system rises sharply with  performance
and cost penalty is substantial for the manufacturer  who provides emission
control beyond that required by law.  Consequently precipitators  are
typically designed for a given application to provide the degree  of emission
control required by air pollution regulations.  A versatile  precipitator
design incorporates provisions for future addition or modification  to
improve efficiency in the event it becomes necessary  to adapt to  process
changes, or changes in air pollution control regulations. When no  provision
has been made for future additions, increasing the efficiency of  the unit may
be more costly than exchanging the unit altogether.
      Installing additional  high voltage electrostatic precipitator sections
is the most common technique for improving particulate collection efficiency.
Changing the voltage or power supply may also improve the performance.  Changing
the temperature 6f the gas stream or injecting other  materials into the gas
stream may improve efficiency.
      Retrofits to precipitators for improved performance is generally  possible
with newer equipment, but because of the rapid evolution of  technology
in the air pollution control industry, older generations of  precipitators
cannot be practically retrofitted.  An additional  problem in the  retrofitting
of existing precipitators is the space limitation constraining the  retrofit.
Typically most manufacturers have utilized all available space in the initial
control equipment installation, such that retrofits may be extremely costly
and probably less desirable than replacement alternatives.
      Due to a history of stringent air pollution controls in the Los Angeles
Area, all local refineries have operated air pollution control equipment for
several years.  Most of this equipment has been updated in the last 3 to 5
years to feflect increasingly stringent emission regulations.  Thus some of
the equipment may be retrofitable to meet further demands for air pollution
prevention, but is likely that a large portion of the existing equipment
would be replaced, due either to the economical or physical  unfeasibility of
configuration changes, or to the unavailability of adaptable retrofits  on
previous generation equipment.
                                     J6

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     The impact of equipping the refineries in the Los Angeles area with
higher performance (99% removal) participate emission control  equipment
on overall refinery emissions is outlined in Table 4-6.  The costs of
implementing these controls (from a 95% efficiency level  to 99%) are shown
in Table 4-7.  To obtain the increased precipitator performance it will be
necessary to replace existing equipment with larger,  more efficient
precipitator units.  The capital expenditures required for these air
pollution preventions appear substantial, reflecting considerable
involvement on the part of  the refinieries and the air pollution control
industry, and suggest that long lead timesrwill be-necessary before
equipment supply demands can be met.

4.2.2  Gaseous Precursors
     The methods available to reduce emissions of gaseous precursors
include 1) process change, and 2) add-on emission control equipment.
Add-On Emission Control  Equipment
     As previously mentioned, the available control technology for SO^
removal equipment is now in its infancy.  There are many commercial  methods
for S02 removal from effluent gas streams, but to date relatively few of
these have been thoroughly tested (see Section  3.2.?).  Hence the operating
and performance data associated with these recovery systems is very limited.
Since refinery operations are not the primary contributor to S02 air
pollution, none of the pilot installations are directed at the removal  of
S02 from refinery regenerators.  Most of the applications of commercial
systems are now being used to recover sulfur from power plant stacks and
sulfur recovery plant tail gases.  However a number of the S02 removal
systems now being commercially promoted are applicable to a variety of flue
gases containing SCL.  Particularly adaptable to a wide range of effluent
gases are wet scrubbing techniques, such, as the Wellraan  Lord  process,
The Double Alkali-system, and the 1irae-scrub&er technique .
                                    77

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      The Wellman-Lord S02 removal  system may be particularly well  suited
 to application in refineries since its process produces a  concentrated  S02
 gas, which can be delivered to sulfur recovery plants  already existing  at
 the refineries.   While the quantity of sulfur which can be recovered  from
 regenerator flue gases is not of appreciable magnitude to  generate important
 economic benefits, the employment  of the sulfur recovery using the tfellman-
 Lord principle avoids some of the  supply and waste discard problems inherent
 in most wet scrubbing techniques.   The Wellman-Lord process is now being
 utilized in 10 systems of different magnitude throughout the United States,
 and presently, 12 other systems are in construction.   The  manufacturer,
 Davy Power Gas Company, can guarantee an effluent  S02  concentration of  less
 than ,100 ppm.   Obtaining this level  of emissions would correspond  to  a 90%
 SOp emission reduction from the regenerator effluent stream.
      Several other S02 removal  systems may also be applied to the  regenerator
 flue gases.  A number of these may be able to remove over  90% of the  S02,
 although their performance under the conditions of this application is
 unproven.   These systems, notably  the wet absorption methods, have Been
 discussed in Section 3.0«
      The impact of add-on S02 removal  systems to cracker units at  the
refineries in Los Angeles is given  in Table 4-6. A  90%  removal  of S02  in
the stack gases was assumed, providing a 51.4 ton per day reduction in S02
emissions from refinery emissions in 1977.  The annual  cost of these controls
is estimated to be $3.8 million per year,or $193 per ton of S02 removed
(Table 4-7).
 Process Alterations
      Another approach to the control of S02 emissions  from refinery
 effluent streams is the desulfurization of those petroleum
 distillates targeted for catalytic cracking.   In the typical  desulfurization
 process the various fractions of the crude are catalytically processed  in a
 fixed bed catalyst system.   This-)!.system is closed  and  emits no air
 pollution.  Regeneration of the catalyst is necessary  only once or twice a
 year.  The various off-stream fuej gases arising from  this system,
 containing sulfur as I-US, are routed to a claus split  stream process  where
                                     76?

-------
the HgS is separated out.  The fuel gases are then fed to furnace for
heating fuel, and the HgS stream is further treated in the claus sulfur
recovery unit to remove the sulfur.  HgS remaining after treatment is
incinerated to S0« in the claus vent gas.  This incinerated claus vent gas
containing high concentrations of SOg (6000 to 30000  ppm), is treated with
add on SO^ removal technology recently required under new araendements to
Rule 53 of the APCD (see Section 11.0, Chemical  Industry).
     The desulfurization of all those petroleum fractions fed to the
catalytic cracker unit cannot be achieved with existing desulfurization
equipment.  However the technology to desulfurize all  portions of the crude
does exist.  Currently this technology requires separate facilities for the
various different distillates.  Such facilities are becoming more prevalent
in the refining industry due to new regulations stemming from the Clean Air
Act.  For example, construction of new facilities for the desulfurizatton of
the residual part of the crude are now planned at the Atlantic Richfield and
Standard Oil refineries.  These facilities will  provide low sulfur fuel
oil C < -5 % S) for power plants per APCD fuel composition regulations.  The
addition of these facilities will not affect emissions from the catalytic
regeneration unit since the residual portion of the crude is not normally
processed through the cracker unit.  However the trend to increased desul-
furization regulations for all petroleum products suggests the probable
construction of other desulfurization facilities which will process those
distillates which are feed for the catalytic cracker unit.   Hence there are
two incentives for desulfurization of cracker feed: 1} as an emission control
for SOp in the effluent of the regenerator unit, and 2) to anticipate new
regulations for low sulfur content of petroleum products (particularly
gasoline).
     The Chevron VGO Isomax Desulfurizatton Process (see Section 3.2.1)  is
suitable for the desulfurization of catalytic cracker feed stoclc.  Sufficient
sulfur removal may be achieved to produce low sulfur products from the cracker
and to reduce the sulfur oxides content in the regenerator stack gas to
appreciably lower levels.  Figure 4-3  illustrates the effect of sulfur content
in the cracker feed stock on the catalytic regenerator stack. SO^ emissions.
                                     79

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       Figure 4-3.

       Source:
                       1000 p-

                        900 -

                        800 U

                        700

                        600
                     :  •
                     o
                     •  400
                     u.
                        300

                        200

                        100
                                 _L
                  J_
_L
                          O.I      0.25    0.5     1.0
                                     Faed Sulfur, Wt
                                                    2.5
                                                          5.0
Effect of Sulfur Content on Cracker Feed
Stock on Regeneration Unit Stack S02 Emissions

Reference (5).
It is evident that pretreatment of catalytic cracker feed  through  the  Isomax
unit can substantially reduce S02 refinery emissions.
      Operation of the desulfurization process produces  some  tradeoff
emissions of H2S which must be routed to claus sulfur recovery  units at  the
refinery.  The claus unit is a standard facility utilized  at  all major re-
fineries.  Recent improvements in the emission control of  S02 from claus units
in Los Angeles County has resulted in very effective treatment  of  the  H«S off
stream refinery gases.  It is expected therefore, that hLS effluent from the
proposed desulfurization facilities would be managed without  significant
increases in S02 emissions from the current sulfur recovery processes,
and that the tradeoff emissions of S02 resulting from the  proposed facilities
would be inconsequental.
      Construction of new desulfurization facilities with  the capability of
throughputs'ng current cracker feed volumes and processing the  feed to .05%
sulfur will be required if refinery S02 emissions are to be reduced substantially
                                     '80'

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by this route.  The expected emission reductions from these facilities
would amount to a prevention of 51.4 tons per day of S02 emitted to the
atmosphere (Table 4-6).  The eost of construction, operation, and maintenance
of the desulfurization facilities would amount to an annual cost of
$19 million (Table 4-7).  When reviewed as a separate facility entirely
for the purpose of refinery emission control, its cost is high
$964 for each ton of S02 prevention).  However, the value of the desulfur-
ization unit additions to the refineries will be realized in investment
returns generated by its economical production of high demand low sulfur
products.
        TABLE 4-6.   IMPACT OF ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS ON EMISSIONS FROM
                     PETROLEUM REFINERIES, 1977.
Control Measure
Emissions
Parti culates
Improve efficiency of regenerator -, fl
unit particulate control to 99% l<0
Require S0« removal equipment for stack 7a
control (90% removal assumed)
Require desulfurization (to .05%) of all , Q
petroleum feed to catalytic cracker
Reductions,
so2
0
51.4
51.4
Tons/ Day

 It is assumed that the scrubbing mechanism of S02 removal systems would
 provide 30% removal of particulates from .the effluent of regenerator
 dust control systems.
 It is assumed that desulfurization of cracker feed was  carried  out to
   .05% sulfur content from an initial  level  of 1.0% by  weight of sulfur.
 The percentage emission reduction due to this removal was then  estimated
 to be 90% (Figure 4-3).
                                    81

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     TABLE  4-7.   COST  EFFECTIVENESS OF ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS  FOR
                 REFINERY  MAJOR  EMISSION SOURCES  IN  FOUR-COUNTY AREA,  1977
Control Measure
Improve regenerator parti*
culate emission control
system to 99% efficiency
tequire S0£ removal equip-
nent for stack control
(90% removal)
tequire desulfurization of
all petroleum feed to
catalytic cracker to .05%
sulfur content.
Cost In Millions of Dollars
Initial
Capital
1.8a
28d
70f
Operation
Cost
Increase
.6b
.70e
129
Total
Annual i zed
Cost
.25°
3.8C
19C
Cost per ton
of Parti culate
or .SO? .Emissions
Reduced
$512
$193
$964
alnitial equipment cost is based on rates of Western Precipitator products,
 obtained by personal communication with Joy Manufacturing, Los Angeles
 ($1.50/cfm processed).  Installation cost estimate .data.is from Reference (6).
 It was estimated, by communication with oil refineries and control system
 manufacturers, that dust emission control systems of the 7 catalytic cracking
 units of the 4-County Area may be 50% retrofitted at one-half the cost of
 full replacement, while the remaining 50% will require total replacement
 with new units.
 Operation cost based on data from Reference (6).


°Based on estimated equipment life of 30 years @ 10%.


 Based on approximate cost figures for Envirotech Double Alkali  S02 Scrubber
 System, proportioned from total overall rates including all  equipment
 and installation, communicated to TRW by Envirotech.7  This  corresponds to
 $4.0 million per 100,000 cfm (an average catalytic cracker effluent rate)
 of effluent processed.
A
 Based on annual operating figures (including all materials,  equipment and  labor)
 as communicated to TRW by Envirotech7 (.1 million per 100,000 cfm effluent
 processed).

 Based on an estimated 290,000 barrels of cracker feed stock per day 8»9
 processed at the 7 Los Angeles refineries with cracker units, it will be
 necessary to construct 7 VGO high severity Isomax units with an average
 capacity of 400,000 barrels per day each.  Capital costs are based on
 Reference (5) and Reference (10).

^Operating costs are based on cost of similar desulfurization facilities
 discussed in Reference (11).       ,32

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                          REFERENCES FOR SECTION 4.0


 1.     Environmental  Protection Agency,  "Air Programs; Approval  and Promul-
       gation of Implementation Plans",  California  Transportation Control
       Plan,  Federal  Register,  Part II,  November 12,  1973.

 2.     Los Angeles County Air Pollution  Control  District, Air  Emissions
       Computer Inventory File, obtained by purchase  from the  District.

 3.     Standard Oil,  "Pollution Prevention  in Pictures," Standard Oiler,
       June-July 1972.

 4.     Personal communication with Standard Oil, Union Oil,  and  Joy
       Manufacturing  (distributor of Western Precipitators).

 5.     R.  Christensen,  Chevron  Research  Company, "Low Sulfur Products  from
       Middle East Crudes" ,  National Petroleum  Refineries Association,
       Document AM-73-38, April, 1973.

 6.     U.S. Department  of Health, Education, and Welfare, National Air
       Pollution Control  Administration, "Control Techniques for Particulate
       Air Pollutants", January, 1969.

 7.     Personal communication  with Envirotech Emission Control  Division,
       San Mateo, California.

 8.     P.  Roberts, P. Roth, C.  Nelson,  Systems Applications, Inc., "Contaminant
       Emissions in the Los Angeles Basin - Their Source Rates,  and Distribution."

 9.     Personal communication with Union Oil Research, Los Angeles.

10.     D.  Steele, G.  Gould, R.  Roselius, W. Haunschild, Chevron  Research
       Company, "Clean  Fuels  Through New Isomax  Technology."  American Petro-
       leum Institute,  Document 40-73,  May 1973.

11.     Statement of the Shell Oil Co.,  Hearings  Before the Committee on
       Public Works,  United States Sentate, Nov. 5  and 6, 1973.

12.     TRW Transportation and Environmental Operations,  "The Development  of
       A Particulate Implementation Plan for the Los  Angeles Region,"
       Report No. 2, Emission Inventories and Projections,  Prepared  for
       Environmental  Protection Agency, June 1974.
                                    •83

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                       5.0  STATIONARY FUEL COMBUSTION
     Stationary combustion sources in the Four-County Area include power
generating plants, industrial and commercial b'oilers, and domestic combus-
tion units.  Combustion of fuel oils and natural gas in these units produces
emissions of particulates, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and
hydrocarbons.
     The following sections provide an overview of the type and quantity of
emissions arising from combustion sources, the existing control methods, in
use to control these emissions, and alternative control technology which may
,be utilized to improve the present emission management.
-5.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS                                                   .
     The most significant emissions arising from stationary fuel combustion
are sulfur dioxide gases.  Combustion sources presently account for about
46 percent of all atmospheric SOg, 21 percent of the particulate emissions,
and 20 percent.of the N0>t.  These emissions are distributed throughout the
Four County Area.
   Percent
   of
   Total
   Emissions
   To
   Atmosphere
                   60--
40

30

20

10 4-
                                           N
                             PART.
                          SO2
NOX
           Figure 5-1. Role of Fuel Combustion in Atmospheric Pollution
                       of Four-County Area, 1972 and 1980.
                                    -85

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      Projected and baseyear emissions for the Four-County Area frora fuel
 combustion  sources are  illustrated  in Table  5-1.   By the year 1980 it is
 projected that emissions  from fuel  combustion equipment will  account  for
 a  greater role in the overall emission totals.  By that time  S0« emissions
 from  fuel combustion will generate  71 percent of all atmospheric SCL,
 44 percent  of all the NOX pollution, and 32  percent of the primary parti-
 culate emissions throughout the Four-County  Area.  The trend  to increasing
 emissions from fuel combustion operations derives principally from antici-
 pated fuel  schedule changes which will include utilization of higher
 proportions of fuel oil in  industrial boilers and power generating plants,
 and 2) increased consumption of power and industrial growth.  No new
 regulations have been projected for control  of these emissions.  The
 present and projected emissions (Table;5-l)  reflect compliance with the
 current  regulations.

          TABLE  5-1.   EMISSIONS  OF FUEL  COMBUSTION,  FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
Year
1972
1977
1980
Parti culates
44.9
83.5
86.1
so2
208
374
380
NOX
282
672
629
     Source;  TRW Inventory Volume 111
     Emission rates vary widely among the various types of stationary
combustion equipment.  The emissions are dependent on type and size of
equipment, the method of firing, and the degree of maintenance.   Table 5-2
provides a summary of various types of fuel  burning equipment found in the
South Coast Air Basin.  The smaller units (domestic and commercial) burn
entirely on a schedule of natural gas and the larger industrial  units burn
either natural gas or fuel oil.  Many industrial  units are equipped for fuel
conversion, and still others are able to burn both natural gas and fuel oil
simultaneously.
                                     86

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               TABLE  5-2.  SUMMARY  OF  FUEL  BURNING EQUIPMENT
     Equipment Category           Description'' ' -" -
     Power Plants                 Power plant boilers
     Industrial                   Large and medium sized boilers, refinery
                                  heaters, stationary  internal  combustion
                                  engines
     Domestic & Commercial        Residential, combustion (space heaters,
                                  water heaters, ranges), and small
                                  commercial boilers.
     The essential mechanism of the combustion unit is the burner.   Burners
are designed to operate with oxidation reactions as close as possible to
completion, minimizing unburned and partially oxidized matter in the exhaust.
The burner is basically a metering device for the two reactants, oxygen and
fuel, and serves as a means of mixing the reactants before and with ignition.
The simplest burners are employed with gaseous fuels while more complex
designs are required for use with fuel oils.   The burner design and operation
greatly affects the rate of exhaust emissions from combustion units.  In
boilers, heaters, steam generators, furnaces, and other similar combustion
equipment, the emissions are a direct result of the combustion of gas or fuel
oil at the burners.
     The effect of fuel type on emissions from combustion units of power
generating stations is illustrated in Table 5-3 below.  Emission:rates of
both nitrogen oxides and particulate matter are substantially higher when

    TABLE  5-3.   COMPARISON OF POLLUTANTS EMITTED  FROM POWER PLANTS  WHEN
                 BURNING NATURAL  GAS AND  FUEL OIL

Low Sulfur Fuel
(.5% 5)
Natural Gas
Emissions - Lbs.
SOg
3300
Negligible
per 1000 Equivalent
NOX
1550
1000
Barrels of Fuel
Parti cul ates
300
15
Source: Reference (7).      :

                                     87

-------
burning fuel oil than when burning natural gas.  There are essentially

no emissions of sulfur dioxide when natural gas is burned.

     Projected fuel schedules for power plants and industrial

combustion units in the South Coast Basin are shown in Table 5-4 below.


     TABLE 5-4.   PROPORTION OF FUEL USAGE (PERCENT) AS NATURAL GAS FOR
                 BASIC COMBUSTION CATEGORIES IN SOUTH COAST BASIN
Year
1972
1977
1980
Power Plants
58
7
8
Industrial
96
65
72
Domestic
100
100
100
Source:  1973 California Gas Report, July .11, 1961
Due to the decline in natural gas supply,the proportion of oil burning emis-

sions are projected to increase.  The distribution of emissions by fuel type

consumption for the three basic combustion categories is shown in Table 5-5.


     TABLE 5-5.  POLLUTANT EMISSIONS BY FUEL TYPE CONSUMED FOR BASIC
                 COMBUSTION CATEGORIES IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Year Pollutant

1972 Parti culates
SOp
NOX
1977 Parti culates
S02
NOX
1980 Parti culates
S02
NOX
Power Plant
Nat. Gas | Oil
1
1.5 20.8
1.1 179
44.0 49.5
.1 35.9
.2 292
6.2 129
.1 36.7
.2 304
7.6 135
Total

22.3
180
93.3
36.0
292
135
36.8
304
143
Industrial
Nat. Gas

6.6
.3
26.4
3.7
.2
Oil | Total

5.5 12.0
27.3 27.6
88.4 114.8
32.2 35.9
81.0 81.2
31.0 445 476
4.5
.2
28.0 32.5
85.0 75.2
37.0 388 425
Domestic
Nat. Gas

10.6
.3
74.1
11.6
.4
61.1
12.3
.4
61.1
1. Emissions for power plants were segregated by fuel  type by weighting the
   emission rates (Table 5-3) with fuel type usage (Table 5-4) and normaliz-
   ing to the total  emissions given in Reference (1)."

2. The emissions by fuel type for industrial combustion units was
   derived from'local APCD data and Southern California Gas Company data.
   This distribution was then used to adjust the total  emissions of
   Reference (1) to the segregated emissions by fuel type.

-------
5.2  CURRENT EMISSION CONTROLS
     Applied emission control technology for combustion units includes:
1) fuel modification, 2) burner design and operation techniques, and 3)
removal of pollutants from stack gases.  The effectiveness of fuel  modi=
fication for pollution control has been illustrated in Table 5-3.  ThTs
pollution control approach is used whenever the supply of .natural gas
permits.  However, as was seen in Table 5-4, the effectiveness of this
approach will be limited in future years due to the smaller quantities of
fuel gas available.
     Stack treatment for removal of pollutants from combustion systems has
not been employed in the Four-County Area.  In the past, emission regula-
tions have been met through the use of clean fuels and burner adjustments.
Projected regulations are not expected to provoke any changes in this
status.
     The pollutant most susceptible to control by burner modifications or
operational changes is NO .  To date, the emission control progress
                         /\
accomplished by these modifications has been applied to larger sources,
such as power plant boilers.  This emphasis has increased in recent years
since larger generating stations, and hence larger boilers, have increased
in number.  Because the ratio of furnace cooling surface to furnace volume
in the active combustion zone is smaller in larger boiler units, the
average flame temperature increases.  As a result larger boilers typically
emit greater rates of nitrogen oxides.
     Reduction of NO  in existing boilers large enough to be under juris-
                    **
diction of Rule 68 (Fuel Burning Equipment) has been accomplished by
operation changes or combustion modifications.  These control methods are
applicable to smaller burner units but are not required under present
regulations.  Rule 68 limits NO  emissions to low levels (325 ppm stack  gas
                               /\
concentration) and is targeted for larger boilers at the power plants.
Table §-6 shows the control methods utilized by Edison Company and the
effect of these controls in complying with Rule 68.  The controls methods
include 1) off stoichiometric diffusion flame operation, 2) two-stage com-
bustion, and 3) flue gas recirculation. (tBiese methods are discussed in
the next section).  The overall reduction of NOX emissions due to these
controls from all units tested at Edison plants was over 50 percent.
                                   89

-------
      TABLE 5-6.  SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSION RATE REDUCTIONS ACHIEVED AT
                  EDISON COMPANY UTILITY BOILERS WHEN BURNING GAS FUEL
Plant
Huntington
1
2
3
4
Alamltos
1 & 2
3 & 4
5 & 6
Etiwanda
3 •& 4
El Segunco
1 & 2
3 & 4
Redondo
5 & 6
7 & 8
Mandalay
L & 2
Unit
mfgra
B&W
B&W
B&W
B&W

BSW
CE
B&W

CE
B&W
CE

B&W
B&W

B&W
Size
MW
215
215
225
225

175
320
480

320
175
330

175
480

215
N0x,ppm, for
Normal
ODerationb
Single-
stage
500
520
555
335

450
330
700

330
450
330

450
750

520
Two-
Stage

-
500
285

330
-
390

-
330
-

330
400

-
Modified
Method0
osb
OS
Two-stage + OS
Two-stage + OS

Two-stage + OS
Recirculation
Two- stage + OS

Recirculation
Two-stage + OS
Recirculation

Two-stage + OS
!Fwo-stage + OS

OS
Operation
Excess
02,3$
3.1
1.8
3.1
2.2

2.1
2.0
2.5

-

-

2.3
3.1

2.4
u.
NOX,
ppm
200
200
230
210

245
110
150

-
_d
150

300
220

210
 B&W - The Babcock & Wilcox Co., New York; CE = Combustion Engineering, Inc.
 Based on ASTM Dl608-60, reported dry at 3 percent excess oxygen.
COS - off-stociometric.
 Not yet tested -  expected to give results comparable to Redondo 5 & 6.
Source;  Reference (2).             .gQ

-------
5.3  ALTERNATIVE CONTROL MEASURES
     The technology available to reduce emissions discharged by fuel
combustion consists of equipment modification and operational changes, flue
gas treatment, and fuel substitution.  Except for fuel substitution, no
single control method is effective in preventing emissions of all pollu-
tant species  (particulates, S02, NOX).  Therefore control of each
pollutant  is  discussed  separately in the following sections.

5.3.1   Control of Particulates
     With conventional use of burner equipment, particles in the flue gases
can generally be maintained well below the emission standard of .3 grain
per scf of exhaust (Rule 53b).  Given proper operation of the combustion
burners, the  rate of particulate emissions depends primarily on fuel type.
The efficient burning of a common heavy residual oil of .1% ash results in
a stack gas concentration of only .03 grain per scf.  There is no measurable
inorganic ash in exhaust gases from the combustion of natural gas.  Low
sulfur oil contains small amounts of ash.  Hence the exhaust gases of
typical fuel  burning is not likely to exceed local standards.
     Table 5-3 demonstrates the effectiveness of fuel substitution as
a preventive  measure for particulate emissions.  The burning of natural gas
produces emissions of particulates twenty times less than when burping low
sulfur fuel oil.  It is clear that use of natural gas produces very
desirable air quality effects, and its utilization is currently maximized
as fuel supply permits.  However the diminishing supply of natural gas for
the larger combustion equipment (Table 5-4), and the corresponding rising
level of particulate emissions from fuel combustion stacks (see Table 5-1),
is now provoking substantial concern that new controls be examined for
application to the large fuel burning equipment which must burn fuel oil in
the years ahead.  This is exemplified by the Rules and Regulations govern-
ing the control of air pollution in Maryland, where low sulfur oil (.5% S)
fired boilers are required, to be equipped with dust collectors which
provide 50 to 80% efficiency, and emissions of .03 to .01 grains per scf,
for boilers, of various specified sizes.
                                    91

-------
     While the relative emission rate of participates from fuel  combustion
is low, the immense volumes of exhaust gases produced by large oil  burning
units result in appreciable discharges of particulate matter to the atmos-
phere.  Because of the large volumes of exhaust and the small  size  of
particulates in the gas stream (see Table 5-7), only the electrical pre-
cipitation and the fabric filter are suitable candidate controls for this
application.

   TABLE  5-7.  PARTICLE  SIZE  DISTRIBUTION OF TYPICAL MATERIAL COLLECTED
               FROM A  STEAM GENERATOR  STACK DURING  THE  BURNING  OF
               RESIDUAL  FUEL  OIL
°/
0 to 1
Absolute filter 86.6
Millipore filter 88.5
', In Each Micron Range
1 to 2 2 to 5
7.3 4.2
7.3 2.3
Largest
5 Particle Size,^i
1.9 50
1.9 50
A removal efficiency of 99.9% is typically obtained with a fabric filter for
particles in the submicron range.  By comparison, electrical precipitators
which collect submicron size particles at over 95% efficiency require  addi-
tional equipment at greatly increased costs.3  However fabric filters have
not been used to handle applications in which the gas volumes to be treated
are as large as that emitting from a utility boiler.  Manufacturers of fabric
filters state this is because the fabric filter is not competitive when
                                            4
installed for such immense effluent volumes.
Impact on Emissions
     The impact of equipping oil-burning equipment in the Four County Area
with high efficiency (95% removal) electrical precipitators, or fabric filter
baghouses (99.9% removal) on fuel burning emissions is shown in Table 5-8.
These controls would each reduce the amount of fuel-burning particulate emis-
sions in the Four County Area to levels less than 40% of the 1972 baseyear rate.
Cost of Particulate Controls
     Table 5-9 summarizes the cost of the two particulate control options  ?
for oil-burning combustion equipment.  The electrical precipitator is
slightly more cost effective as a control for larger fuel burning equipment,
and equally cost effective to the fabric filter when processing the smaller
                                     92'

-------
             TABLE 5-8.   THE EFFECT OF PARTICULATE  CONTROLS  ON
                         OIL-BURNING COMBUSTION EQUIPMENT,  1977
Emission-Generating
Equipment
Power plant boilers
(large and small),
large non-power plant
boilers, and refinery
heaters
H , ii





Power plant boilers and
large non-power plant
boilers


Projected
Participate
Emissions,
tons /day
1977 1980
68 65




ii n





60 57




Control Option

1) High efficiency
electrostatic
precipitator






2) High efficiency
baghouse with

high temperature
synthetic fabric
& continuous
cleaning


3) Desulfurization
of fuel oils to
.05% S with new
desulfurizatifln
technol ogy v

Particulate Emis-
sion Reduction, 1977
% tons/day
95a 64.6




99 67.9





20% byc 12 by 1977
1977
40% by 23 by 1980
1980

Notes:

1. As an approximation related to the above emissions, medium sized boilers
were assumed to operate on natural gas for the next few years, although fuel
usage projections  (Table 5-4) indicate some of these units may be using fuel
oil.  As a counter assumption, all large non-power plant boilers have been
assumed to run 100% on fuel oil.  Thus the oil-burn industrial emissions of
Table 5-5 originate entirely from large non-power plant boilers as other
industrial sources use natural gasb or refinery-make gas and oil.

2. Control alternative #3 is targeted for S02 removal  but is included here
to show its beneficial secondary effect on particulate emission preventions.

aPersonal communication with Joy Manufacturing, and Envirotech regarding the
maximum feasible collection efficiency for particles of sub-micron size in
combustion flue gases.

 Reference (5).

cThis efficiency estimate is based on 1)  typical  relationship for fuel  ash
content as a function of sulfur content,  determined from data from Ref.(6).
2) Source data from measurements of particulate matter per barrel of low sul-
fur fuel of .5% sulfur content.7  The actual  particulate matter produced per
volume of oil  burned was considered to be composed of both inorganic ash
attributable to the fuel  ash content, and organic carbonaceous hydrocarbons
resulting from incomplete combustion.  The latter component was then assumed
to persist when very low sulfur fuels, having negligible traces of ash, are
burned.

                                     93'

-------
TABLE 5-9.  COST OF PARTICIPATE EMISSION CONIROL FOR
            OIL-BURNING COMBUSTION.EQUIPMENT,  1977
Number
of
Equipment Units Control
Large power plant boilers 35 high efficiency electro-
Average size = 260 MW) static precipitator
" high efficiency baghouse
Small power plant boilers 49 high efficiency electro-
(Average size = 65 MW) static precipitator
" high efficiency baghouse
Large non-power plant 152C high efficiency electro-
boilers (Average size static precipitator
= 78 MW)
" high efficiency baghouse
Refinery heaters 220C high efficiency electro-
(Average size = 6.5 MW) static precipitator
" high efficiency baghouse
Cost in Millions of Dollars
Initial Cost per
Purchase & Operation Annualized Ton of
Installation Cost Cost Particulate
Cost x 10° Increase Increase Reduced
48.1 7.0 12.6 $1452
38.5 10.5 15.0 1671
13.5 2.0 3.6 932
12.2 2.2 3.6 904
68.4 9.1 17.1 1530
60.8 11.4 18.5 1590
28.6 3.3 6.7 2410e
28.6 2.1 5.4 1863
Notes:
1. Costs based on supplying control equipment to clean stack gas flow of 310,000 cfm per 100 MW boiler rating. .
4. Combined purchase and installation cost of electrical precipitator based on rates of Western Precipitator Products
(2.5 times greater than cost as given in Figure 3-9 Operation cost estimate based on data from Figure 3-13.
5. Annualized cost computations based on 20 year lifetime at 10%.
6. Particulate emission reductions due to the controls, for each of the equipment categories, was estimated based on
1) the relative approximate stack flue gas volume processed for the entire category, 2) the relative particulate
emission factors given in Reference (10) for power plant boilers and industrial boilers when operating on fuel oil
(small power plant boilers were assumed to generate particulate emissions at a rate between these two types).
Hence large power plant boilers produce 25 tons/day; small power plant boilers, 11 tons/day; and larger non-power
plant boilers, 32.2 tons/day.
7. Installation and purchase cost of baghouse based on Figure 3-12 , operation costs based on Figure 3-u .
Reference (8).
bReference (9).
^Reference (5).
Reference (3).

-------
effluent volumes associated with boilers of less thermal  rating.   Since
the baghouse has not been used extensively to control  emissions from large
boiler units, it appears that its selection for this application would be
unwarranted.  The baghouse is significantly more cost effective as a
collector for refinery heater emissions, and should probably be recommended
for this application.  Further testing and pilot studies  should be performed
to demonstrate the practicability of baghouse installations for high volume
effluent treatment.
5.3.2  NOX Control
     The control of NOX emissions from combustion units is primarily a
function of the control of temperature and residence time in the primary
flame zone.  Both of these functions can be managed by modification of
operating conditions and by modification of design features in existing com-
bustion units.  Numerous methods of modifying the operating conditions
have proven successful and may be adopted for use in existing combustion units,
These include 1) low excess air firing, 2) two stage combustion, 3) flue gas
recirculation, 4) steam or water injection, and 5) direct temperature control.
Design modifications which may be utilized for NOV control generally involve
                                                 A
an alteration in the burner and furnace configuration, or the location and
spacing of burners.
     Low excess air firing involves the manipulation of the excess air
rate to the burner.  The effect of burner air rates on NO formation rates
(Figure5-2)has been established in various tests for both oil fired and gas
fired combustion units.  It has been determined that reductions from the
normal excess air rate of  10 percent to 5 percent will reduce NOX emissions
by approximately 40% in boiler and heater units.  Further reduction of
excess air rates are not feasible due to the hazardous conditions which
develop when explosive mixtures of unburned fuel are formed.
                                    95

-------
                           REDUCING CONDITIONS
OXIDIZING CONDITIONS
                       10,000
                     UJ
                     Q
                     X
                     O
                     o
                                 80   '  90     100     110    120
                                PERCENT OF THEORETICAL COMBUSTION AIR
              Figure5-2.   Effect of Combustion Air Quantity on
                           NO Formation
              Source:   Reference (6).
     In two-stage  combustion, the primary air to the burners is decreased
below the stoichiometric  quantity, and fuel is then combusted completely by
injecting secondary air at lower temperatures.  This procedure has been
applied in power plant boilers to achieve substantial reductions  (see
Table 5-6).   It was designed specifically for utility boilers, and is not
considered feasible for control  of other sized combustion units.
     Flue gas recirculation lowers the peak flame temperature by diluting
the primary flame  zone with flue gases.   Flue gas acts as an inert dilutant,
and reductions of  30 to 60% in NO  emissions are obtained.   This control
                                  A
approach is applicable to all  combustion units.
     In steam or water injection, the  primary portion of the flame is
diluted by steam or water as  in  flue gas recirculation.   This approach is
not as effective as flue  gas  circulation, producing about a 10% reduction
in NO  emissions.
     /\
                                     96

-------
      Direct temperature control  is another technique for reducing the
 temperature in the primary combustion zone.   This is achieved by reducing
 the  preheat temperature of combustion air.   The effect of this operation
 on NO formation is shown in Figure 5-3. Direct temperature control can be
 used to  accomplish reductions  in NOX emissions comparable to flue gas
 recirculation.   The disadvantage of this control  is the accompanying
 decrease in boiler thermal  efficiency, and  consequently the high annual
 cost of  the operation.
                          o.oi
0.02   0.03   0.04
  TIME, seconds
0.06
              .Figure5-3.  Effect of Combustion Air Preheat
                          Temperature on NO Formation
              Source:  Reference (6).
     A variety of burner and furnace design modifications may be applied
to reduce NOX formation.  The type of burner configuration is essential as
a design consideration for NOX formation.  The front-fired burner yields
complete mixing and combustion in immediate proximity to the burner, with
subsequent high temperatures and high NO formation.  Corner fired burners
provide for slower mixing of air and fuel, such that a major portion of the
combustion occurs in the center of the furnace at lower than peak
                                    97

-------
temperature.  NO  formation in the corner fired burners (500 to 1500 ppm)
                A                                                      2
is therefore substantially lower than in the front fired type (350 ppm)  .
Boilers and heaters cannot be economically retrofitted to alter the basic
method of firing.  Other less dramatic design retrofits may be applied to
reduce NO  emissions (such as spacing of burners to increase radiant heat
         A
transfer), but these methods are generally not as effective as the opera-
tional modifications discussed above, and because of higher costs for
implementation, they are not as cost effective.
Impact of NOX Control Options on Emissions

     The effect of implementing the various NO  control alternatives for
                                              X                     "'
combustion units in the Four-County Area is summarized in Table 5-10.  The
most feasible combinations of NO  control options have been examined.  As
                                A
a single control, low excess air firing was considered the most appro-
priate option, due to its cost advantages over other equally effective
options (such as direct temperature control, or flue gas recirculation).
Studies by ESSO^have determined that low excess air firing results, on the
average, in 40% reductions of NO  emissions from commercial and industrial
                                A
boilers.  These boilers generally are fired to 15-30% excess air, and may
be reduced to 2-6% according to tests.   In power plant boilers less
than 1775 MBTU/HR,excess air firing is typically 5-15%, and NOY reductions
                                                              ^
from lower excess air firing averages about 30%.  Tests conducted with
refinery heater units  have confirmed 40% reductions are attainable.
     To develop additional NOV removal, flue gas recirculation may be
                                                                11
used with low excess air firing to achieve NO  reductions of 70%  from boilers.
                                             /\
The feasibility of utilizing flue gas recirculation in refinery heaters  as  a
retrofit is not clear at this time.  There is currently evidence which
indicates this approach requires development of an entire new heater design.
Hence this control  option was not considered for implementation on refinery
heaters.
                                    98

-------
                             TABLE  5-10.
THE  EFFECT  OF  NOX  EMISSION  CONTROLS ON  FUEL  COMBUSTION
EQUIPMENT,  FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
to
Co
Un
1.



2.


3.


4.

5.

6.

7.


8.

9.


10.


Projected NOX
Average Emissions
nbustlon Size lons/Dav.
tt Description MBTU/Hr 1977
Large power plant 2630 105
boilers (1825-3550
MBTU/hr)

Small power plant 660 30
boilers (100-1775
MBTU/hr)
Large non-power 80 118
boilers (30-400
HBTU/hr)
Medium sized boilers 9 205
(2-30 MBTU/hr}
Large refinery heaters 120 38
(90-290 MBTU/hr)
Small refinery heaters 45 27
(5-90 MBTU/hr)
Large stationary 1n- 700 H.P. 69
ternal combustion
engines (>300 H.P.)
Small compressor 200 H.P. 19
engines «300 H.P.)
Domestic (residential) - 46
fuel combustion (space
8 water heaters .ranges)
Small commercial and - 15
industrial boilers
( 2 MBTU/hr)
1980 Control Measure
111 None-al ready equipped with advanced
combustion control (emissions are
controlled to about 20% of
uncontrolled emissions level)
32 LOW txcMt air firing
& flu* gas P*c1rcul«t1on

105 Low MCMt »1r firing
t flu* gas rtclrcuUtlgn

183 Low excess «1r firing
& flue gas rvclrcuUtlM
34 Low excess air firing

24 Low excess air firing

61 Water injection or exhaust gas
recirculatlon

17 Water Injection or exhaust gas
recirculation
46 None


15 None


NO, Reduction In
1977
Percent




30
50

40
70

- 40
70
40

40

75


75

- .


_


Tons/Day
0



9
15

47
83

82
144
15

11

52


14

0


0


Cost/ton
of NOX
Reduction
0



$200
450

22
127

694
870
27

226

13


37

-


_


                            Emissions for power plants were segregated into small boiler and large boiler contributions by applying the emission
                            ratio between these 2.source sizes as reported in Reference (3) to the power plant emissions totals projected in the
                            Reference (1).
                            Emissions for industrial, or commercial  and domestic, were segregated by equipment categories by applying the emission
                            distribution of Reference (5).(after Reference (5) had been updated to reflect current anticipated fuel schedules) to
                            the aggregated equipment category (industrial, commercial & domestic) emission totals reported in Reference (1).

-------
     Many controls have already been applied in power plants to comply with
the NOY emission reductions required by Rule No. 68.   These control
      A
options are applicable to large utility boilers and have not been considered
ds candidate alternatives in Table 5-10.  The compact size and limited
number of burners in other boilers and in heaters render these options
technically unretrofittable for applications other than large utility
boilers.  These alternatives include two stage combustion, relocation of
burners, modification of burner spacing, and others.
     There are currently no retrofit controls developed to manage the NO
                                                                        A
emitting from residential fuel combustion, and small  industrial and commer-
                                                                  12
ical boilers.  New units may be designed to control NO  emissions   , but
                                                      A
because retrofit controls would require relatively extreme costs for these
small units, they would probably not be politically acceptable.  Hence no
controls have been considered in Table 5-10 for these smaller source
categories.
     Stationary internal combustion engines (used primarily in gas and oil
industry for gas compression) can be retrofitted with water injection or
exhaust gas recirculation equipment to obtain NO  emission reductions of
                                                X
about 75%.  The two approaches are equally cost effective.  Stochio-
metric fuel adjustments have been shown effective in reducing NOY emissions
                                                                A
to 70%, but the associated loss in power and fuel economy make this
control method less desirable than water injection or exhaust gas re-
circulation.11'5'13
     In calculating the impact of various control options on emissions from
combustion equipment, a substantial amount of relevant information was
extracted from Reference (5).  This study contains an analysis of the effects
of implementing various NO  emission controls among a definitive number of
                          y\
combustion equipment categories.  The analysis is based on a survey of fuel
burning equipment and associated emission characteristics, a review of NO
                                                                         A
control technology and its effectiveness and cost as applied to the various
equipment types, and a projection of future equipment growth and fuel
                                   100

-------
schedules.  Information of Reference (5) was updated to reflect current
fuel schedule projections.  The level of emissions reported for each of the
combustion categories for 1975 in Reference (5) were adjusted to reflect the
overall emission projections of the aggregated combustion equipment categories
reported in Reference  (V) for 1977 and  1980.
     Application of feasible, state-of-the-art control  technology to the
various types of combustion equipment in the Four-County Area, may achieve
NO  reductions as large as 334 tons/day (Table 5~TO) in 1977.   This control
  /\
strategy would reduce NO  emissions from combustion equipment by 50% in 1977,
                        /\
to a level of 338 tons/day.  Unfortunately, the strategy would not be
sufficient to return combustion category NO  emissions to the 1972 level of
                                           /\
282 tons/day.
Cost of N0x Controls                                                 -
     The cost effectiveness of the various NO  control  options for com-
                                       .      /\                      •
bustion units in the Four-County Area is summarized in Table.5-10.  The
least costly control alternative consists of either water, injection or
exhaust gas recirculation, applied to stationary internal combustion engines.
This measure may be .incorporated on large engines at a cost df only $13 per
ton of NOV emissions prevented.   The most costly NOY control  option is
         X                                         A
also the most significant in terms of overall NOY emissions low excess air
                                                J\
firing and flue gas recirculation in medium sized boilers.   The cost for
this retrofit is $870 per ton/day of NOX removed.
5.3.3  Control 6f SOp
     The methods available to reduce emissions of S02 from fuel burning
equipment include 1) fuel modification, and 2) add-on emission control
equipment.
Fuel Modification
     An obvious means of reducing emissions of S02 from fuel combustion is
to remove the sulfur from the fuel.  Present regulations permit .5% sulfur
content in fuel oil (Rule 62).  This standard was initially adopted with the
intention of motivating utility companies to substitute natural gas for fuel
oil.  At the time the regulation became law, natural gas was more abundant

-------
and less expensive than the low sulfur (.5%S) fuel oil.  Hence the desired
switch to gas use occurred quickly and emissions from power plants decreased
appreciably.  These gains in air pollution control have diminished in recent
years and are expected to be realized even less because of the continuing
shortage of natural gas, and the increased burning of low sulfur fuel oils.
     Currently, low sulfur fuel oils of .5% sulfur content are typically
produced by 1) desulfurlzation of heavy distillate to produce very low
sulfur blend stocks, and 2) blending these low sulfur stocks with the
high sulfur residuum portion of the barrel.  Low sulfur processing of the
residuum has not been practiced extensively, but it is becoming evident
that this will be required if petroleum products are to be manufactured
according to the increasingly stringent standards.  Several  processing s
schemes are being proposed as possible routes to very low sulfur fuel oils.
Two of the most feasible methods are discussed in Section 3.2.1.  These
methods have been tested in pilot development and are termed 1) VGO Isomax
Plus Solvent Deasphalting, and 2) VGO Isomax Plus VRDS Isomax.  Both of
these processes lend to stepwise construction at the refinery and are inte-
grateable with existing refinery equipment.  The level of sulfur content
obtained by these processes is .05%.
SO  Removal Systems
     Several S0« cleanup processes are commercially available to manage
emissions from fuel-burning combustion unit stacks.  These methods are
discussed In Section 3. 2. 2.  Several installations are now operating at
various power plants throughout the nation (Table 3-X) to control S02
emissions within new and more stringent state pollution standards.  Many of
the SOp removal processes are being tested^ under pilot projects (mainly
utility boiler stacks) sponsored by°the EPA.   In general, each of the pro-
                                                O           c
cesses involves a reduction or oxidation conversion of sulfur as it is found
in the stack effluent to a sulfur product which may be removed physically
from the system.  The sulfur product is generally elemental sulfur, or a
                   i
sulfate or sulfuric acid.
     The majority of the development effort to date has been applied to
processes with throwaway products (sul fates)  such as those using lime or
                                    !102

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limestone as an absorbent for SOg in the flue gas.  Most of these systems
yield waste products which must be disposed of.  Other systems circumvent
the disposal problem by generating useful sulfur compounds, or elemental
sulfur.
     Comparative evaluations of the various SOg cleanup processes is not
possible since many problems still remain to be identified during develop-
ment and commercial operation.  It seems certain however that a number of
processes will be available to provide guaranteed reductions of 90% for a
variety of applications.
Impact of Alternative Controls
     The effect of implementing the potential SOg control  methods on fuel
combustion emissions throughout the Four-County Area is shown in Table 5-11.
Both the option of add-on SO^ removal system and desulfurization of fuel
oil offer the same emission control effectiveness in the long term.
However desulfurization of fuel oils is not expected to affect emissions
from refinery heaters, since these units operate primarily on refinery made
gas and fuel oil.  These fuels are generally heavy residual oils and high
sulfur content gas streams.  They are not practically marketed or further
processed, and are therefore burned in the heating equipment as an economical
expedient.  Unless these refinery by-product gases and oils can be disposed
of alternately, it does not appear, feasible that low sulfur supply stock
could be used in its place.  Hence only flue gas cleanup systems were
considered a candidate control for refinery heater emissions.
     Implementation of either control (desulfurization or stack SOg removal)
would result in substantial preventions of S0« entering the atmosphere.
When stack SOp control is employed, a 64% reduction in SOg emissions from
all sources in the Four-County Area is realized in 1977.  The option of
fuel oil desulfurization cannot be implemented totally by 1977 due to
lead time required to construct the processing facilities.  However, by 1980,
this option can be fully implemented.
                                    103

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       TABLE 5-11.  IMPACT OF CANDIDATE CONTROLS ON SO? EMISSIONS FROM
                    FUEL COMBUSTION UNITS IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1977
Equipment Description

All equipment scheduled
to use fuel oil through
1980 except refinery
heaters.
All combustion equip-
ment to use fuel oil
through 1980 (power
plant boilers, large
non-power plant
boilers, and refinery
heaters)
Refinery heaters
Baseyear and
Projected S02
Emissions
Tons/ Day
1972 1977 1980

189 336 342
206 373 379
17 37 37
Control Measure

Desulfurization of
residuum for fuel
oil sulfur content
of .05%.
S02 removal from
stack effluent
S02 removal from
stack effluent
S09 Reductions
* in 1977
% Tons/day

50%a 168
by 1977
90% 308
by 1980
90% 336
90% 33.3
aDue to lead time requirements for design and construction, it was
 assumed that only 1/2 of all  desulfurization plants could be operational
by 1977, with the remaining desulfurization facilities to be provided
by 1980.
                                    104

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     Desulfurization of fuels to low sulfur levels creates beneficial  side
effects as the ash content is reduced concurrently with sulfur removal.
Consequently, particulate emissions are reduced when low sulfur fuels  are
burned.  While there is little data to demonstrate the degree of particulate
emission control associated with burning very low sulfur fuels (.05% S)  some
data has been developed for the emission characteristics of higher sulfur
fuel combustion.  For example, tests have shown that burning of high sulfur
oil (approximately 1.5% S) produces about three times the particulate  matter
produced by low sulfur fuel burning (.5!'S).   Particulate emissions originate
from unburned hydrocarbons as well  as the inorganic ash contained in the fuel,
but when combustion conditions are adjusted properly, the ash content  is
the main factor causing particulate emissions.  Most of the materials  found
in stack emissions consist of metal oxides, sulfates, and chlorides, all of
which are directly attributable to the sulfur and ash content of the fuel.
Therefore it may be expected that the provision of very low sulfur fuel  oil
from new desulfurization facilities will result in appreciable particulate
emission reductions.  These reductions have been estimated in Table 5-8",
based on source measurement data of the Los Angeles APCD,^  and fuel
analysis data of residual fuels used in Los Angeles.^ Ttltawassfestiraated^tbat
a 40% reduction in particulate emissions may be obtained when burning  the
higher quality very low sulfur fuels manufactured by the new refinery  equip-
ment.  These fuels will contain a negligible quantity of ash.15  Additional
study should be conductedtto provide a definitive assessment of the  .
implications of this sulfur control stragegy on particulate emissions.
     Emissions of pollutants anticipated from the additional refinery  instal-
lation needed for fuel desulfurization have not been definitively quantified.
However the principal potential pollutant will be H2S gas, and its treatment
for removal is well known in the refinery industry (see Section 11  ).   The
increased quantities of H2S which must be handled may range from 50 to 100%
                                    11051

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             TABLE  5-12.   COST OF CONTROLS  FOR S02 EMISSIONS  FROM  FUEL
                           COMBUSTION UNITS  IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA


Emission
Generating
Equipment

Power plant boilers
and large non-power
plant boilers b
Desulfurization plant


Number
of
Units

236


.s 9d
VGO/VRDS Isomax plus (comp-
delayed coking (40000 lete
barrels/day plant
size).

Refinery heaters

All fuel burning
equipment scheduled
to use fuel oil
through 1980 (power
plant boilers, large
industrial boilers,
& refinery heaters)
by
1980)

220f

456






Desulfurization plants. 9
Refinery heaters.
220




Control

1. Stack S02 removal
system

2. Desulfurization
of fuel oil to
.05% S for use in
oil -burning equip-
ment, except for
refinery heaters
3. Stack S02 removal
system
4.No.l and 3 above






5. No. 2 & 3 above

Initial Annual- Cost/
Purchase Opera- ized Ton of
& Instal- tion Cost SOo
lation Increase Incr.9 Reduced
Cost in Millions of Dollars Dollars

678a 108C 176 $1590


480e 70e 118 '1040





95. la 6.4b 15.9 1310

773 114 192 1540






575 76.4 134 1075

 Based on average of approximate initial  cost & installation figures for Envirotech   17
^Douftle Alkali Scrubber System ($83/KW)16and Wellman-Lord SOg Recovery Process ($50/KW).
bThese boilers average a rated 102 MM each, and stack gas flow average is 293,000 cfrri
 (see Table 5-9).
cBased on average of operating cost figures of $.003 million/Mil (Envirotech)  and
 $C'086 million/MW (Wellman-Lord).
dBased on VGO/VROS Isomax plant size for 40,000 barrels/day yield.   Fuel  oil  require-
 ments are as follows:  For 1980,  industrial usage projected at 8.5 x 106 barrelsj8
 and power plant usage projected to 111  x 106 barrels (derived from reference(19),
 Table 5-4, and assumed growth rate of 8%/yr.) costs are computed based on 1980 oil
 demands since all the necessary facilities cannot be constructed until that  year.
eBased on cost figures from Reference(20).   $53.3 million for 40,000 barrels/day
 facility installed at existing refinery, and operating-manufacturing cost increase of
 50tf per barrel (plus 10% profit).  This  is applied to 129 x 106 barrels  of fuel  oil
 required per year in Four-County  Area.^
'Reference (5).  The refinery heaters average 6.5 MW rating.
QAnnualized cost was based on 50 year life and 10% interest.
 %                                    106

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the level previously recovered.   This control  problem could be alleviated
by offsite construction in permissable remote  locations, however the cost
penalty for this strategy could  be severe.
Cost of Alternative SOo Controls
     The cost effectiveness of Implementing the candidate SOg controls is
shown in Table5-12. Desulfurization of fuel oils is the most cost effective
alternative at $1040 per ton of  SOg emissions  prevented.  TJiils is about
35% less than the cost of adding stack SOg  removal  processes to all  oil
burning combustion units in the  Four-County Area.  However desulfurization
of fuel oils itself does not obtain the same total  prevention as overall
stack control since it is not applicable to refinery heaters in which
refinery make gases are disposed of.  Hence stack S02 add-on control must
be used with fuel desulfurization (Control  No. 5 in Table 5-12.) to obtain
90% prevention of SOp emissions.
     Because of the magnitude of the design, manufacture, and installation
effort involved with implementing the S02 control options, it is probable
that this cannot be completely accomplished before 1980.  This is particularly
the case for desulfurization by stack S02  removal equipment.  Manu-
facturing volume for the SOp stack control  market has been limited to date,
and the industry could not easily provide the equipment demand imposed by
legislation of the control options.
5.3.4  Fuel Substitution - A Control for Particulates. S00. and NO..
                        '           *"  l                   w   r     A
     The impact of converting to methyl-fuel in fuel burning units in the
Four-County Area is shown in Table 5-13.  The effect is dramatic as the
alternate fuel burns virtually pollution free, except for small amounts of
NOX.
     The cost analysis of Table  5-14 can only be considered preliminary.
It does not Include consideration of adaptions which will be required for
fuel burning equipment when converting from fuel oil to methyl-fuel
(equipment such as fuel pumps and nozzles will require modification).
Since  most of  these  adaptions are  not  expected  to  incur substantial
expense, estimates of their cost have  been neglected in
previous studies.

                                    107

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           TABLE 5-13.  IMPACT OF CONVERSION TO METHYL-FUEL IN
                        COMBUSTION UNITS IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Particulates S09 NOX
•• 1 1
Emissions Expected in 1980 65
from Fuel -Oil Burning Combustion
Units, tons/day
Emission Reductions when methyl- 65
fuel is used, 1980, tons/day

379 431


379 328

^Based on NOX emissions known to be less than when units  are fired with
 natural gas, on emission rate of 1000 Ibs/NOx per 1000 equivalent barrels
 of natural gas, and projected fuel requirement of 111  x  10$ barrels  fuel
 oil in 1980.•   %
    The economic impact of the methyl-fuel  conversion by 1980 is
illustrated by Table 5-14 below.
          TABLE 5-14.   COST OF CONVERSION TO BURNING TO METHYL-FUEL
                       IN COMBUSTION EQUIPMENT
No.
Equipment of
Description Units

Methyl -Fuel 3
Producing
Plant
20,000 tons/
day3
Annual
Operating
Cost
Initial Increase
Cost & to Fuel-
InstaU Burning
Control lation Industry
Cost in Millions
Fuel 1422b :0C
Substi-
tution


Cost of {
Annuali zed Ton of
C0st Emissions
Increase Prevented
of Dollars
142 $6000(Particulates'
$1030 (S02)
$1190 (NOX)


 Equivalent in heating value to 137,000 barrels/day of fuel  oil.
bCost data from Table 3-13, with offsite costs (transportation and storage
 facilities) of 20% included.!2')
r                                                                    69
 Based on current cost to fuel burning industry of fuel  oil: $2.46/10  BTU
 applied to 1980 requirement of 111  x 10° barrels, O8) a current  methyl-fuel
 cost estimate of $2.46/106 BTU.fS)
H
 Based on 30 year lifetime at 10% interest.
                                   108

-------
     The preliminary data demonstrate clearly that methyl-fuel  should be
given serious consideration as 1) a clean burning fuel  which would solve many
air pollution problems, and 2) an economical  fuel substitute which can be
manufactured from domestic raw materials, without dependence on foreign
petroleum stocks.  The lead time to build a methyl-fuel producing plant, is
3 to 4 years, would pose serious difficulties in imposing fuel  substitution
plans in the near term.  In addition, the political and social  disruptions
resulting from an enforced imposition of fuel substitution would make a
hear term conversion unfeasible.
                                   il09

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                        REFERENCES FOR SECTION b.O
 1.   TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations,  "The  Development  of
      a Particulate Implementation Plan for the  Los  Angeles  Region",  Report  #2,
      Emission Inventories and Projections, June,  1974.

 2.   A. Bell, "Combustion Control  for Elimination of Nitric Oxide  Emissions
      from Fossil  Fuel  Power Plants,"  presented  at 13th  International
      Symposium on Combustion, University of Utah, Salt  Lake City,  Utah,
      March 1970.

 3.   Personal Communication with Joy  Manufacturing, Precipitator Division,
      Los Angeles, California.

 4.   "Future Bright for Fabric Filters", Environmental  Science-arid Technology,
      June 1974.

 5.   John Trijonis, "An Economic Air  Pollution  Control  Model  Application:
      Photochemical Smog in Los Angeles County in  1975,  Thesis at the
      California Institute of Technology, May 1972.

 6.   Air Pollution Control District of Los Angeles, "Air Pollution
      Engineering  Manual,"  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Publication
      AP-40, May 1973.

 7.   Air Pollution Control District of Los Angeles, Report  to the  Los
      Angeles County Energy Commision  on "The Feasibility of Burning
      Combinations of Natural Gas and  High Sulfur  Fuel Oil," May 1974.

 8.   Brian Potter, Wellman Power Gas, Inc., "The  Wellman.Lord S02
      Recovery Process", National Engineering, 1973.

 9.   Personal Communication with Southern California Edison Company.

10.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency "Compilation  of Air Pollutant
      Emission Factors", Document AP-42, April 1973.

11.   ESSO Research and Engineering Company, "Systems Study  Control Methods
      for Stationary Sources" Volume II, Prepared  for National  Air  Pollution
      Control  Association, November 1969.

12.   HEW (Department of Health, Education and Welfare), "Control Techniques
      for Nitrogen Oxide Emissions from Stationary Sources," Report #AP-67,
      March 1970.

13.   P. Downing and L. Stoddard, "Benefit/Cost  Analysis of  Air Pollution
      Control  Devices for Used Cars,"  Project Clean  Air  Research Reports,
      Volume 3, (Riverside, California: University of California, 1970).

14.   Personal Communication with Arthur D. Little,  Inc., New York

15.   Personal Communication with Chevron Research,  San  Francisco,  California.


                                    110

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                         6.0   MINERALS  INDUSTRY

     Most of the emissions coming from the mineral industry in the Four-
County Area are from twelve basic universal process categories.  These are
aggregate operations, abrasive blasting, clay and clay related operations,
cement operations, asphalt saturation, glass and frit operations, concrete
batching, sand handling, asphalt batching, foundry sand operations, catalyst
production, and lime and limestone operations.  Emissions are generally in
the form of dust from screening, crushing, storage, and handling operations
where the material being handled is dry.  Those emissions which are most
difficult to control are those emitted from processes such as quarrying,
yard storage and transportation.  Manufacturing process emissions, however,
are generally well controlled with the current emission control technology.
Baghouses are widely used along with other dry fabric filters, dry inertial
separators, scrubbers, electrical precipitators, mist collectors, and dust
suppression systems.  The following section describes the results of an
investigation of the nature of the emissions and of the existing emission
control technology for the twelve basic mineral  processes in the
Four-County Area.
6.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS AND CONTROLS
     12.3 tons/day of particulate emissions come from mineral operations in
the Four-County Area.  This amount is 6% of the total particulate emission
coming from all emission source types in this area.  NO  and S02 emissions
from mineral operations are negligible in Los.Angeles County.  In the Four-
County Area these emissions occur to a very small degree as certain mineral.
operations give off small quantities of these emissions in working with raw
materials.  Due to the widely dispersed and relatively infrequent nature of
NO  and S09 emissions in mineral operations, a detailed inquiry of existing
  A       t
and potential controls for these pollutants was not attempted.  Certain
mineral operations involving a furnace where there is a great deal of fuel
burned and NO  and S09 is  given off, have been catagorized under the fuel
             ^       £•                          •
combustion category.
                                   113

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      Table 6-1 provides a categorization of the various mineral operations.
 The list of operations is presented in the order of the most significant
 emitter to the least significant emitter.  Approximately 90% of mineral
 participate emissions come from twelve basic types of mineral separation.
 Other separations, comprising about 10% of the emissions include, asbestos
 conveying, pertite operations, soda and caustic operations, mineral  wool
 operations, gypsum operations, and some asphalt processing operations.
 Due to the relative insignificance of the amount of emissions coming from
 these source types, more attention is given to the twelve basic
 categories.
      Aggregate operations and processing is the most significant mineral
 processing operation in the  Four-County  Area.   It  is responsible for 24.3%
 of the total mineral particulate emissions in the area.  Most aggregates
 come from aluvial formations in valleys, where various size aggregates
 are processed by screening and crushing operations for paving and other
 construction purposes.  About 75% of the particulate emissions from  aggregate
 operations are reported to be uncontrolled.

      TABLE 6-1.  PARTICULATE EMISSIONS FROM MAJOR  MINERAL PROCESS AND
                  PRODUCT  INDUSTRIES  IN THE FOUR-COUNTY AREA


1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.

Category

Aggregate Operations
Abrasive Blasting
Clay and Clay Related Operations
Cement Operations
Asphalt Saturation
Glass and Frit Operations
Concrete Batching
Sand Handling
Asphalt Batching
Foundry Sand Operations
Catalyst Production
Lime and Limestone Operations
Other Operations

Particulate
Ibs/day

5963
5223
1758
1677
1397
1276
1064
923
778
669
666
569
2538
24501
Emissions
Percent of Total

24.3
21.3
7.3
6.8
5.7
5.2
4.4
3.8
3.2
2.7
2.7
2.3
10.3
100.0
Source;  Data tabulated from APCD emission inventory file,  and adjusted
         to reflect official APCD inventory totals.
                                   114

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TABLE 6^2.  SUMMARY OF EMISSION CONTROLS CURRENTLY UTILIZED
            IN MINERALS INDUSTRY OF LOS ANGELES'COUNTY
Parti culates
Efficiency of
Control

.
1.






2.





3.




4.


5.





6.





7.



Process

Aggregate
Operations





Abrasive Blasting





Clay and Clay
Related Operations



Cement Operations


Asphalt Saturation





Glass and Frit
Operations




Concrete Batching



Control

Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Filter, Other
Dry Iihettial •
Separator
Dust Suppression
System
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Filter , Other
Separator
Scrubber
Mist Collector
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Inertial
Separator
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Filter, Other
None
Dry Filter, Other
Electrical
Preci pita tor
Mist Collector
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Spray Booth Ceramic
Dry Inertial
Separator
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Filter, Other
Scrubber
Range

0
50-99
,-90-95

90-93

20-95
0
98
99

97
98
0
90-99
98

0-80
0
Average

0
98
94

93

52
0
98
99


98
0
97
98

80
0
90-99 99
0-99
0
97
93

89
75
0
87-99
0
93

0-87
0
96
0
50
Dust Suppression System 98
69
0
97
93

89
75
0
96
0
93

85
0
96
0
50
98
Lbs/Day
Emitted

4472
179
60

566

686
104
5.
4701


33
971
601
21

165
238
1430
9
244
249
493

204
207
804
159
30
62

221
522
195
2
69
276
Lbs/Day
Preven-
tion

8771
29
940

7520

743
o
2 255
465400
:2793
841
1617
0
19432
1029

660
0
141570
20
0
8051

6550
1651
621
0
3816
0
824

1252
0
4680
0
69
13524
                         115

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   TABLE 6-2.  (CONTINUED)  SUMMARY OF EMISSIONCCONTROLS CURRENTLY UTILIZED
               IN MINERALS INDUSTRY OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY
Particulates
Efficiency of

Process

8. Sand Handling



9. Asphalt Batching

10. Foundry Sand
Operations

11. Catalyst
Production




12. Lime Limestone
Operations

Totals
Control
Control

None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Dry Inerti al Separator
Scrubber
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber
None
CO Boiler Cyclone
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber
Incineration, Direct
Flame
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber

Range

0
99
83
78
99+
99+
0
93-98
79-89
0
0
99-99+
81
98

0
80-99
98

Average

0
99
83
78
99+
99+
0
97
88
0
0
99
81
98

0
98
98

Lbs/Day
Emi tted

269
529
. 9
116
143
635
509
58
102
13
20
7
579
47

94
351
124
21667
Lbs/Day
Preven-
tion

0
52371
44
411
14160
62865
0
1875
748
0
0
693
2468
2303

0
17199
6076
853871
Notes:
1.  Where control is designated as "none" it is probable that wetting
    techniques are being utilized to reduce dust emissions (see text),
Source:  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control  District
         Computer Emission Inventory File.
                                      116

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     Surface cleaning and preparation by a forcibly propelled stream of
abrasive material is the second leading emitter of particulate mineral emis-
sions in the Four-County Area.  21.3% of the particulate emissions come
from each operation.  Of the emissions coming from this particular category
only 2% come from uncontrolled sources.  However, due to the substantial
number of operations involved, emissions are substantial..

     The production of clay and clay related products such  as bricks, clay
pipes and pottery account for 7.3% of the Los Angeles County mineral
particulate emissions.   Grinding, screening, blending, forming, cutting,
drying, and firing of the final product are the operations  involved which
produce particulate emissions.  Of these emissions, over half (55.2%) come
from uncontrolled sources.
     Equipment used in cement handling operations include hoppers, bins,
screw conveyors, elevators, and pneumatic conveyors.  Cement operations are
responsible for 6.8% of the county's mineral emissions.  This is a well
control 1 ed process category, and-only. mi nor., emissi ons. ori gi nate
from uncontrolled sources.
     Roofing material such as shingles, and asphalt saturated felt rolls
are produced by spraying and dipping paper felt with hot asphalt.   Asphalt
saturation is another category which is widely controlled.   This category
emits 5.7% of the county's mineral emissions and only 17.5% of these emissions
come from uncontrolled sources.
     Glass is produced from soda-lime, silica sand, dry powders, granular
oxides, carbonates, cullet (broken glass), and other raw materials.  Frit
is prepared by fusing certain raw materials in a smelter, quenching it,
then solidifying and shattering it, and grinding it so that it can be used
in solution with wet clay to produce ceramic coatings.  Glass and frit
operations contribute 5;2% :of tjie mineral emissions in L.A.  County.  In this
category, 63.1% of the emissions come from uncontrolled sources.
   Concrete, batching plants proportion sand, gravel, and cement using weigh
hoppers and conveyors.   Such operations emit 4.4% of the county's mineral
emissions.  49.1% of these emissions come from uncontrolled sources.
                                     117

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     Sand and gravel processing for market use involve a combination of
washers, screens, crushers and storage and loading facilities.  3.8% of
the county's mineral emissions come from this category. 29.2% of the
emissions from this category come from uncontrolled sources.
     Asphalt batching is the combining of hot asphalt and aggregate in
the proper proportions to create certain desired asphalt paving mixes.
This operation emits 3.2% of the county's mineral particulate emissions.
There are essentially no uncontrolled sources in this category.
     Foundry sand operations consist of separating a sand casting from
the mold, and then reconditioning the sand.  2.7% of the county's mineral
particulate emissions come from this process, and 76.1 percent of these
emissions are uncontrolled.
     Catalysts are used in the oil  industry for aiding the cracking process
of crude oil.   Catalyst dust occurs during catalyst production and in
rejuvination.   2.7% of Los Angeles  County's mineral  particulate emissions
come from these catalyst operations, and only 2% of these emissions come from
uncontrolled sources.
     Lime and limestone operations  involve the production of lime from the
calcination of limestone.  This category contributes only 2.3% of the county's
mineral  particulate emissions and only 16.6% of these emissions are due to
uncontrolled sources.
     Table 6-2 shows a summary of emission controls  for each of the twelve
major mineral  operation categories.   In the table,  each emission control
method as it is applied to each category is listed.   The range of efficiency
and average efficiency is shown for each control  method along with the amount
of particulates emissions associated with the category and specific
control  method.  It can be seen that the most frequently applied
control  devices in the mineral industry are the fabric filter and mechanical
collector.   The use of high efficiency particulate control  devices have been
used whenever economically feasible to control  emissions at the larger point
sources.  Because the industry typically handles immense process volumes,
the preventions accomplished by the emission control equipment has been
substantial  - over 100 tons per day.

                                    118

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     According to the APCD computer data  many mineral  operations  are
uncontrolled.  The data of Table 6-2 indicates that a total  of approxi-
mately four tons per day of particulate matter is emitted from uncontrolled
mineral operations.  It has been found through further investigations that
many of these so called uncontrolled sources are, in fact, controlled.   Many
operations involving aggregates, clay products, cement, concrete,  and sand
are conducted while the material is wet or damp.  Wetting the material,
suppressing dust emissions, is an effective and economical control  which is
not identified as such in the available  data.
6.2  ALTERNATIVE CONTROL MEASURES
     To employ additional controls, such as baghouses,  other dry filters,
inertia! separation, cyclones, and scrubbers to control mineral  industry
emission sources, it would be necessary to reduce the size of each operation
considerably, and, due to the nature of such operations, further operations
would be run very uneconomically.
     The data clearly show that the aast majority of significant particulate
emission sources of the mineral industry are controlled by standard collector
devices.  Improving emission control in this industry would necessarily
involve the employment of additional devices (such as baghouses, scrubbers,
and cyclones) at the numerous "uncontrolled" process transfer points.
Currently, dust emissions from various transfer operations are minimized by
insuring all materials are wetted as they are processed from one operation
to another.  Of the four tons per day of particulates arising from the
numerous uncontrolled point sources, it is probable that nearly all of it
could be collected with additional control equipment installations.
However, it is clear that such an installation program would involve
severe economic penalties.

     It is significant that wetting practices have proven effective in
reducing dust emissions to levels complying with APCD regulations.   The
emissions are not visible (meeting with Ringleman Rule No. 50), do not
pose a nuisance (Rule 51), do not exceed the maximum permissible
concentration (Rule 52), and do not violate the process weight rule
                                    119

-------
 (Rule 54).  If any source has, in the past, violated any of these regulations,
 it has since been equipped with additional particulate emission controls or
 been given a variance.  Hence the controls which are being applied at
 present have for the most part been applied according to the
 present concept of particulate emission control and the associated technology.
     While economically it appears clear that more stringent controls cannot
be feasibly imposed on the mineral industry in the Four County Area,  there
are in addition, inherent limitations in the emission inventory which make
untenable the proposal for increased control expenditures.   The quantifi-
cation of particulate emissions generated at various points in a mineral
processing system is extremely difficult, if not impossible.   The "average"
emission rates used in the inventory tabulation are presumed to reflect varied
process conditions and configurations which in many cases have never  been
                                          2
investigated empirically or theoretically,  and wh
modified significantly since the Initial analysis.
                                          2
investigated empirically or theoretically,  and  which  in  many  cases,  have  been
      It  appears  that  if  improvements can be made to the level of existing
 controls,  they should be directed toward good practice, proper operation,
 and maintenance  of  control efficiency.  For example, control equipment
 should be  carefully inspected prior to initial installation and after
 maintenance  to insure that no production faults have occurred such as bad
 or only  partially completed fabric filter seams.
                                    120

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                      REFERENCES FOR SECTION 6.0
1.  Printout of Computer Emission Inventory File, developed by Los
    Angeles County Air Pollution Control  District.

2.  Personal communication with Los Angeles Air Pollution Control
    District.
                                  , 121

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                        7.0  AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS

     Aircraft operations are carried out at air carrier, general  aviation,
and military airfields throughout the Four County Area.1  Baseline infor-
mation characterizing aircraft emissions and the prevailing emission control
technology being utilized, plus alternative emission control  technology
available or in development which will  reduce atmospheric pollution from
aircraft operations, are discussed 1n the following sections.
7.1  BASELINE CHARACTERIZATION
     Baseline data characterizing aircraft activity at the major  airports,
the mix of aircraft class and engine types, and emission rates  and effect of
existing and projected controls, have been used to construct  the  overview
of the following sections.
7.1.1  Aircraft Emissions
     The most significant type of emissions deriving from aircraft
operations are partlculates.   Figure 7-1  shows  that particulate emissions
from aircraft accounted for 7% of the total particulate emissions  discharged
to the atmosphere of the Four County Area in 1972,  and are expected  to  account
for 15% of the particulate  discharges by  1980.   Aircraft operations  accounted
            20-r
Percentage
of total
atmospheric
emissions
by aircraft
10-
                 PArriCUiATE
                                                     RHC
            Figure  7-1.   Role of Aircraft Emissions in Atmospheric
                         Pollution of Four County Area
                                   123

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for a small portion of the gaseous particulate precursors emitted in 1972,
but are expected to exercise a more significant role in this type of
pollution by 1980.  Actual emission quantities of various pollutants from
aircraft in the year 1972, and in projected  years, are shown in Table 7-1.
As can be seen, the projections indicate that pollution from aircraft will
Increase substantially 1n the next decade.
            TABLE 7-1.   EMISSIONS FROM AIRCRAFT,  PRESENT AND PROJECTED,
                        FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Year

1972
1977
1980
Total
Parti cul ate

15.0
26.8
38.3
so2

3.6
6.5
9.6
NOY
A

18.6
32.2
45.4
RHC

15.7
26.7
37.1
Source; Reference (1).
     The quantities of pollutants emitted by jet aircraft are far greater
than that from aircraft powered by piston engines.   Table 7-2 and 7-3 show
the emission characteristics of a jumbo jet and a single engine piston plane
during a representative landing and takeoff cycle.   The jumbo jet emits
significant amounts of all pollutants with nearly all  the CO and HC emissions
occurring during the taxi-idle mode.   Oxides of nitrogen and particulate
emissions occur at higher power settings used in approach and takeoff for
both the turbine and piston engines.
     The magnitude of atmospheric pollution arising from piston aircraft
and jet aircraft in the Four County Area is shown below.  Emissions from
both piston and jet powered aircraft are expected to increase in future
years, owing to the imminent growth rates of these motive types and the
limited pollution control  currently scheduled for implementation.  Due
to the increasing predominance of jet powered aircraft operations at the
various airports, piston aircraft are expected to contribute a lesser
percentage of the anticipated aircraft pollution.
                                    124

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              TABLE  7-2. JUMBO JET EMISSION CHARACTERISTICS
Approach
Time 1n mode (min)
Hydrocarbons, Ib
% of Total
Carbon monoxide, Ib
% of Total
Oxides of nitrogen, Ib
% of Total
Parti culates, Ib
% of Total
S02, Ib
% of Total
4.0
0.7
2
18.8
5
13.7
12
11.6
21
4.0
22
Operating
Taxi-idle

26.0
44.4
97
165.89
94
9.8
8
30.8
55
7.6
39
Mode
Take-off
and
Climb-out

2.9
.5
1
2.0
1
95
80
13.6
24
7.2
39
Total
LTO Cycle

32.9
45.6
175.9
118.5
56.0
18.8
Source:  1) Reference (2).
         2) Emission factor data used by the APCD in preparing the
            report, "Jet Aircraft, A Threat to Air Quality," APCD.
         TABLE 7-3.   GENERAL AVIATION PISTON EMISSION  CHARACTERISTICS
Approach Taxi-idle
Time" flnnwide^miiifl)
Hydrocarbons, Ib
% of Total
6.3
0.038
24
Carbon m'onoxide, Ib 2.33
% of Total 26
Oxides of Nitrogen
% of Total
S02, Ib
% of Total
Parti culates
% of Total
Quantification of
, Ib 0.005
50
.007
-
parti cul ate by mode
16.0
0.057
36
2.00
22
0.002
20
.002
-
are not
Take-off
and Total
Climb-out LTO Cycle
.8 27.3
.064 0.159
40
4.82 9.20
52
.003 0.01
30
.005 .014
.02
available in the data.
Source:  1) Reference (2).
         2) Emission factors for Teledye/Continental  0-200 (Cessna),
            obtained from Environmental  Protection Agency, Ann  Arborv
            Michigan.  This data was used in preparation  of Reference  (3)
                                    125

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              TABLE  7-4.  AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS, PRESENT AND PROJECTED
                         PISTON AND JET
Year
Engine
Type
Parti culates
so2
NOX
RHC

1972
1972
1977
1977
1980
1980
jet
piston
jet
piston
jet
piston
11.5
3.5
22.2
4.6
32.8
5.5
3.4
.2
6.5
-
9.6-
-
12.4
6.2
23.9
8.3
35.4
10.0
9V9
5.8
19.0
7.7
28.1
9.0
7.1.2.2Emission Controls
     General awareness of aircraft as a source of air pollution  developed
in the late 1950's with the introduction of turbine engine aircraft.
Visible exhaust plumes and increased exhaust odors at airport stimulated
investigations into the nature and extent of aircraft emissions.   Congres-
sional studies (1969) evolving from the Air Quality Act of 1967  identified
visible emissions as the most significant problem associated  with  aircraft,
and as a result, three airlines voluntarily agreed to retrofit the widely-
used Pratt and Whitney JT8D engines with smoke combustors  by  the end  of
1972.  The smoke combustor retrofit program was further extended to include
all JT3D engines by 1976.  Since air operation activity at the major  air-
ports is predominantly composed of aircraft powered by either JT3D or JT8D
engines, it is estimated that the reduced smoke combustion retrofit
substantially affected the quantities of pollutants emitting  from  aircraft
activity.  Table 7-5 shows that hydrocarbon emissions were the most

            TABLE 7-5.  EFFECT OF SMOKE COMBUSTOR RETROFIT ON
                        EMISSIONS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
Year1
1970
1972
Source: 1)
2
Parti culates

Reference
Reference
13
9
!4!-
1 .
so2
4
3

NOX
13
13

THC
80
11.4

                                    126

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drastically affected by this retrofit program, while participate emissions
were also significantly reduced.

     Standards requiring major changes 1n engine emission characteristics
were promulgated for turbine engines on July 17, 1973 (Table 7-6).   The
standards consist basically of the following control categories:

     1.  Retrofit control of smoke emissions and fuel venting
         for 1n-use turbine engines.

     2.  Standards 1n 1979 to reduce emissions for new turbine and
         piston engines built 1n 1979 and after.

     3.  Standards 1n 1981 to reflect emission reductions achievable
         with new large aircraft engine designs.


                  TABLE  7-6.  AIRCRAFT EMISSION  STANDARDS
Fuel Venting
Prohibited

Turbine
Turbine
Turbine
Turbine
Turbine
Piston
APU

(Tl)
(P2)
(T2)
(T3)c
(T4)c
(Pl)d


Jan.
Jan.
Jan.
Jan.
Jan.



1
1
1
1
1



1975
1975
1974
1974
1974


1979 New
HCa

1
4
0
0
0
1
0

.6
.9
.8
.8
.8
.9
.4
COa

9
26
4
4
4
42
5

.4
.8
.3
.3
.3
.0
.0
Manufactured 1981 New Certified .
N
•3.
12.
3.
3.
3.
1.
3.
03SMOKED HCa CC-a NOya$MOKEu
F
7
9
0
0
0
5
0

x. . ':
X
x 0.4 3.0 3.0 x
X
x


Tl-Turbofan or turbojet engines of rated oower less than 8000 Ib thrust.(Air-
   craft examples: business"£.private jets such.as Lear,'Grumman, Cessna.)
T2-Turbofan or turbojet engines, except classes T3 and T4,  of 8000 Ib thrust
   or greater. (Aircraft examples: Boeing 747, Lockheed L1011, and DC-10))
T3-A11 JT8D model engines.(Aircraft examples:  Boeing 707, DC-8).
T4-A11 JT8D model engines.(Aircraft examples:  Boeing 727, 737, DC-9)
Pi-All piston engines, except radials. (Aircraft examples:  All piston engine
   planes ranging from Cessna 150 or Piper Cherokke 140 to  Beechcraft Queen Air).
P2-A11 turboprop engines. (Aircraft examples:  Lockheed Electra, Fairchild F27).
APU-Auxiliary Power Unit - Any Engine on the plane exclusive of prop.engines.'
APU's used to operate onboard power systems when propulsion engines not operating.

alb/1000 x rated power/cycle - piston engines: lb/1000 hp hr of power output -
.auxiliary power unit; lb/1000 Ib-thrust hr/cycle-aircraft  turbine engine.
 Smoke standard set with respect to engine thrust to insure no visible emission.
cSmoke retrofit required. (T3) by Jan.1,1978,  to smoke number 25 and (T4)
 by Jan. 1, 1974, to smoke number 30.
dEffective for engines built after December 31, 1979.

Source:   Reference (2).
                                    127

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These emission standards will result in substantial pollutant preventions
only after attrition of pre-1979 engines.  Additional controls will be
required to bring about significant near term reductions.  The possibilities
for alternative near term controls are discussed 1n the fallowing section.
7.2  ALTERNATIVE CONTROL MEASURES
     The current emission standards will result 1n substantial emission
reductions only after attrition of pre-1979 engines.  Additional controls
will be required to bring about significant near term reductions.  Feasible
control technology which may be applied includes:
          •  Modification of ground operations
          •  Engine modification (retrofits) .for turbine and
             piston fleets
7.2.1  Retrofit Alternatives: Turbine Engines
     The EPA has studied the technology which may be applied to reduce
emissions from turbine aircraft.  Engine modification methods feasible for
turbine engines as retrofits are described briefly below (Table 7-7).  These
modifications can be combined (with the exception of T4 and IT6) to achieve
increased emission control effectiveness as they are not mutually exclusive.
        TABLE 7-7.  ENGINE MODIFICATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL FOR
                    EXISTING AND FUTURE TURBINE ENGINES
Control Method
Existing engines
  tl - Minor combustion      Minor modification of combustion chamber (smoke
       chamber redesign      combustor retrofit) and fuel  nozzle to achieve
                             best state-of-art emission performance
 ,.t2 - Major combustion      Major modification of combustion chamber and fuel
       chamber redesign      nozzle incorporating advance fuel injection
                             concepts (carburetion or prevaporization).
  t3 - Fuel drainage         Modify fuel  supply system or fuel drainage system
       control               to eliminate release of drained fuel to environment.
  t4 - Divided fuel supply   Provide independent fuel supplied to subsets of
       system                fuel nozzles to allow shutdown of one or more
                             subsets during low-power operation.
  t5 - Water injection       Install water injection system for short duration
                             use during maximum power (takeoff and climb-out)
_         	operation.	
                                    128

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    TABLE 7-7.  (CONTINUED)  ENGINE MODIFICATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL FOR
                             EXISTING AND FUTURE TURBINE ENGINES
Control Method                           Modification.
  t6 - Modify compressor     Increase air bleed rate from compressor at low-
       air bleed rate        power operation to increase combustor fuel-air
                             ratio.
Future engines
  t7 - Variable-geometry     Use of variable airflow distribution to pro-
       combustion chamber    vide independent control of combustion zone
                             fuel-air ratio.
  t8 - Staged injection      Use of advanced combustor design concept in-
       combustor             volving a series of combustion zones with
                             independently controlled fuel  injection in
                             each zone.
Source:  Reference (3).
The estimated effectiveness from these measures are presented in Table 7-8
in terms of the reductions attainable from the lowest current emission rates
realistically obtainable for the given turbine engine class.  This is
equivalent to the emissions resulting when an engine is well maintained and
operates with control method tl (smoke combustor).  The basis for the
effectiveness estimates are documented in Table 7-9.
7.2.1.1  Impact of Turbine Engine Controls on Air Emissions
     The overall reduction to atmospheric emissions by implementation of the
turbine engine modifications depends on the mix of turbine aircraft classes
operating at the various airports throughout the South Coast Basin.  In
addition, the overall reductions also depend on the mix of engine makes
within each engine class, and the degree to which each of these contribute
total emissions during the various segments of the idle-take-off-approach
cycle.
     The various turbine engine classes are defined in Table 7-10.  The
typical engines representative of these classes contribute to overall
atmospheric emissions as shown in Table 7-11.  While Table 7-11 portrays the
case at Los Angeles International Airpott, it reflects the general case in
which a small number of the turbine engines in use contribute the vast

                                    129

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TABLE 7-8.  EFFECTIVENESS OF ENGINE MODIFICATION IN CONTROL OF
            EMISSIONS FROM TURBINE'ENGINES, BY OPERATING MODE3
Control
Method
t2b
t2
t2
t2
t3
t3
t3
t4
t4
t4
t4
t4
t4
t5
t5
t5
t6
t6
t6
t6
t6
t6
t7 or t8e
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
Engine
Class
Tl
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T3
T3
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T3
T3
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T2
Pollutant
DP
NOX
DP
NOX
THC
THC
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
NOX
NOX
NOX
CO
THC
CO
THC
THC
CO
CO
THC
NPX
DB
CO
THC
NOX

Idle/taxi
0.5
NCC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
NC
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
NC
NC ,
NC
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.1
0.1
8C
0.5
0.1
0.1
NC
Mode
Approach
0.5
NC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC'
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
RC.
QC5
NC
NC
NC

Takeoff
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Od
Od
Od
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
O.T
0.1
0.1
, NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
O.Z5
OC5
NC
NC
0.75
                             130

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    TABLE 7-8,  (CONTINUED)  EFFECTIVENESS OF ENGINE MODIFICATION IN
                             CONTROL OF EMISSIONS FROM TURBINE ENGINES,
                             BY OPERATING MODE*
Control
Method
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
Engine
Class
T2
T3
T3
T3
T3
Pollutant
DP
CO
THC
N6X
DP

Idle/taxi
0.5
0.1
0.1
NC
0.5
Mode
Approach
0.5
NC
NC
NC
0.5

Takeoff
0.5
NC
NC
0.75
0.5
Emission rate is fraction of best current rate assumed to be attainable
 through minor combustion chamber redesign arid with control  method cited.

 t2 = Major combustion chamber redesign.
 t3 = Fuel drainage control
 t4 • Divided fuel supply system
 t5 = Water injection
 t6 = Modify compressor air bleed rate
 t7 = Variable geometry combustion chamber
 t8 = Staged injection combustor

CNC indicates no change

 Refers to raw fuel drainage only.

eRefers to new design standards for engines manufactured in 1979 and after
 - not a retrofit.

Source:  Reference (3).
                                    131

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       TABLE 7-9.  BASIS FOR.CONTROL METHOD EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES
                   FOR TURBINE ENGINES
Control Method
                                  Rationale
tl -
Minor combustion
chamber redesign
t2 -
Major combustion
chamber redesign
t3 - Fuel drainage
     control
t4 - Divided fuel supply
     system
t5 - Water injection
t6 - Modify compressor
     air
The assumption is made that emission rates for
all engines within a given class can be reduced
to common, optimum levels (on a lb/1000 Ib fuel
basis) by minor combustor modifications.  These
optimum emission rates are based on the best per-
formance reported for each engine class, excluding
extreme data points.

Estimates are based on reports of carbureting
fuel injector performance and reduction of smoke
emission.  Concept is incorporated in some Class T3
engines.  Estimates are based on assumption that
best emission rate for Class Tl and T2 engines is
at an exhaust visibility threshold at maximum
power.  Carburetion appears to reduce smoke level,
and presumably particulate emissions, to approxi-
mately half that level.  Additionally, premixing
of air and fuel can be used to give substantial
NOX reduction by decreasing residence time in the
combustor.

Estimate is based on the assumption that fuel
drainage can be completely eliminated by collecting
drained fuel and returning to fuel tank.

Control method results in combustion zone fuel-air
ratio similar to that at approach condition.
Reduction in CO add THC from idle to approach is
approximately 90 percent in Class Tl and T2 engines
and 90 percent in Class T3 engines.  Effectiveness
is reduced by one order because combustor is not
operating at "well-designed" condition.

Water injection is assumed only at takeoff at a rate
up to twice the fuel rate.  Water injection into
compressor or diffoser is assumed to be by system
similar to those in current use.  Effectiveness based
upon published results with steam injection.    Water
injection assumed to be of equal effectiveness when
injected upstream of combustor.

Assumptions are (1) fraction of air that can be bled
is small so that engine operating point is nearly
unchanged, (2) combustor f/a varies inversely with
air bleed rate, and (3) CO and THC emissions at idle
vary as the (air mass flow rate)** and inversely as
(f/a)3.  This relationship is based ppon data from
Reference 14.  If maximum air bleed rate is 20 per-
cent, CO and THC emission rates are reduced by
50 percent.	
                                   .132

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 TABLE  7-9.   (CONTINUED)   BASIS  FOR CONTROL METHOD EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES
                           FOR TURBINE ENGINES
Control Method
                        Rationale
t7 - Variable-geometry
       Combustor primary zone 1s assumed to operate at
       a constant f/a egual to normal f/a at approach
       power condition (primary equivalence ratio = 0.6).
       CO and THC emissions at Idle are reduced to levels
       corresponding to approach power, or by 90 percent
       for Classes Tl, T2, and T3.  This incorporates
       design characteristics that provide a good mixture
       in the combustion zone.  This feature and constant
       f/a operation combine to reduce NOX emissions at
       full power by 75 percent26 and particulate emissions
       by 50 percent at all power levels as in  t2.
Source;  Reference (3).
               TABLE 7-10.  TURBINE ENGINE CLASSIFICATION
Turbine
Engine Class
Engine Class Description
Typical Engine Makes
    Tl
    T2
    T3
Small engine class
Allison T56A7
Allison 501-Dl3
                   Business and small  commercial   GE CO 610
                   jet aircraft
                   Medium to large commercial
                   ai rcraft
Large turbofan engines
for jimbo transport and
SST engines
                               JT-12A
                               PT-6A
Turbojet and turbofan engine   JT-3D
                               JT-4A
JT 8D
J-79
J-69

JT9D
                                   T33

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                  TABLE 7-11;  AVERAGE ANNUAL TONS OF AIR CONTAMINANTS EMITTED IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY
                               BY GAS TURBINE AIRCRAFT ENGINES OPERATED AT LAX IN 1970
CJ
ENGINE TOTAL NUMBER PARTICULATE CARBON OXIDES OF COMBUSTIBLE SULFUR TOTAL AIR
MODEL OF ENGINE LTO MATTER MONOXIDE NITROGEN ORGANIC GASES DIOXIDE CONTAMINAN'
NUMBER PER YEAR POUNDS TONS POUNDS TONS POUNDS TONS POUNDS TONS POUNDS TONS IN TONS
AT LAX PER PER PER PER PER PER PER PER PER PER PER YEAR
LTO YEAR LTO YEAR LTO YEAR LTO YEAR LTO YEAR
(a) (b) (c) (c) (c) (c) (c) (rounded)
JT4A
JT9D
JT3D
JT8D
JT3C-6
CJ805
501-D
TOTAL
40.772
24.672
315,616
244.185
16.060
13,140
21.900
676.345
(a) A test was run on an engine
(b) From Table II.
(c) The values in the column are
13.806
13.340
9.366
13.236
15.374
12.564
6.456

of this model
from Source
280
165
1.480
1.615
125
85
70
3,820
number.
Test Data
42.640 870 9.138 185 12.194 250 4.308 90
30.684 380 18.600 230 9.580 120 4.574 55
38.656 6,100 6.416 1.010 19.142 3,020 2.804 440
20.328 2,480 7.210 880 115.724 14.130 2.842 345
30.624 245 5.570 45 6.246 50 4.238 35
25.500 170 6.050 40 68.546 450 3.494 25
1.294 15 6.824 75 3.790 40 1.734 20
ld.260 2,465 18.060 1.010
See Table II.
of the Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District
1,675
950
12.050
19.450
500
770
220
35.615

   Source: Reference (5).

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majority of pollution arising from aircraft operations.  Currently the
JT3D, JT8D and JT4A turbine engines generate approximately 90% of all
polluting emissions from turbine engines.  The importance of the JT9D
engine (jumbo aircraft) is expected to increase in the future emission
profile.
    Emissions for the different engines vary for the different modes of
operation.  Table 7-12 demonstrates that particulate and S02 emissions from
jet aircraft engines are most conspicuous during the taxi and idle modes.
This is due primarily to the fact that emissions in this mode are sus-
tained over approximately 80% of the total  LTO cycle.  Oxides of nitrogen
emissions are most prevalent during the higher loading conditions of takeoff
and climbout.  The distributions are based on actual field measurements
performed by the LAAPCD of aircraft operating at Los Angeles International
Airport.  It was presumed that these figures could be used to devise repre-
sentative modal emission distributions.  It should be noted however, that  './
the "best emission rates" reported by the EPA in their study on control
technology do provide a different perspective (emissions of particulates
are typically far less in the idle taxi mode, while hydrocarbon emissions
are substantially greater in idle taxi operations))  However, emission rates
published by the EPA6 do yield a modal emission distribution similar to that
calculated herein from APCD data.
    Modal emission distribution for the smoke-combustion retrofitted JT8D
engines was calculated from EPA data since available APCD emission rates
did not reflect the retrofitted version.  The modal distribution of the
JT3D eras assumed to be the same as the JT8D.
    From the control effectiveness data (Table 7-8) and the engine LTO
modal emissions data (Table 7-12) it can be seen that among the retrofit
control possibilities, T2 will  be most  effective for overall emission
reduction of particulates, t5 for NOX and t4 for hydrocarbons and CO.
None of the control methods is expected to have a significant effect on
SOemissions.
                                    135

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          TABLE 7-12.  MODAL EMISSIONS DISTRIBUTION FOR PRINCIPAL
                       JET ENGINES IN USE
Pollutant
Parti culates



so2



NOX



THC



Turbine
Engine
JT3D
JT8D
JT4A
JT9D
FT3D
JT8D
JT4A
JT9D
JT3D
JT8D
JT4A
JT9D
JT3D
JT8D
JT4A
JT9D
Engine
Class
T2
T2
T2
T3
T2
T2
T2
T3
T2
T2
T2
T3
T2
T2
T2
T3
Percentage of Emissions per LTO
Idle-Taxi
47
36
70
55
42
39
46
39
12
15
15
9
95
95
90;
60
Approach
12
37
11
21
18
28
18
22
14
30
17
15
3.1
3.1
4
18
Takeoff and
Climbout
41
27
18
24
40
33
37
39
74
55
68
76
1.2
1.2
5
22
Calculations for modal  distribution above are based on  1),  Reference (7),
2), Reference (6).
     Based on the JT8D and JT3D, the most widely used engines  in  the
turbine fleet, the estimated relative effectiveness  of the retrofit  controls
is as shown in Table 7-13.
     Obviously the exactness of the estimates of Table 7-13 is limited by several
analytical uncertainties.  The effectiveness of the  various controls estimated
in Table 7-8 is based on the degree to which current best emission rates  can
                                    136.'

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   TABLE 7-13.  IMPACT OF ALTERNATIVE CONTROL ON OVERALL JET AIRCRAFT
                EMISSIONS
Control
Method
t2
t3
t4
t5
t6
t7 or t86
Percent Reduction
Parti culates
50
NC
NC
NC
NC
50
1n Overall
THC
NC
la
71
NC
48
86
Enqlne
N&,c
34
NC
NC
58
NC
16
Emissions
sp_2
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC = no change.
aRefers to reduction due to elimination of raw fuel  drainage only,  which
 constitutes a small portion of emissions' tn takeoff mode.
 New design standard for engines manufactured in 1979 and after (not
 a retrofit measure).

be further reduced.  The modal  emission distributions of Table 7-12 are
based on measurements performed by the APCD on actual jet aircraft  operating
in the field (reflecting a substantially higher emission rate than  the "best
emission rates").  Consequently, the reduction figures calculated in Table
7-13 may well be conservative,  and hence greater reductions than those cal-
culated are likely.  A number of other problems complicate the estimations:
1) discrepant emission factors   published between the EPA and the LA APCD;
2) the variations in modal temporal patterns at the  various airports; 3)
limited data.
7.2.1.2  Cost of Retrofit Controls
     Presently the EPA is proposing that all aircraft engines be retrofitted
to 1979 standards by 1979.  The technical feasibility of this proposal is not
a certainty as the alternative retrofits are not in  a good state of refine-
                  O
ment at this time.   Few of the control methods have been developed or applied
to aircraft engines.  Table 7-14 lists the development time requirements for
each of the control methods.  A major consideration  in development  time
                                   137,

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        TABLE 7-14.  TIME AND COSTS FOR MODIFICATION OF CURRENT
                     CIVIL AVIATION3 ENGINES
Control Method
Major combustion
chamber redesign
Fuel drainage control
Divided fuel supply
Water injection
Compressor air bleed
Development Development
Time, Years Cost, 10° Dollars
2.5 to 7.5
1 to 2.5
5 to 7.5
2.5 to 4
4 to 6.5
74
1.5
84
25
90
Implementation
Cost, 106 Dollars
665
.-.5.4
102
175
58
Source:  Reference (3).
consists of the maintenance facilities and procedures accompanying the
retrofitting equipment.  The minimum time for implementation of most of the
emission control methods for turbine engines is estimated to be two and
one-half years.
     Of the potential methods for aircraft emission control, the retro-
fitting of in-use engines is the most costly.  The cost of modifying
existing designs for emission control in new engines is approximately one-
half of that incurred by retrofitting.  The incorporation of new control
technology during new engine design incurs the least cost, estimated at a
                                           Q
3 to 4% increase over the base engine cost.   Table 7-14 provides cost
estimates for implementing the various retrofit control methods.  Imple-
mentation includes initial installation of the control  method on all
engines of a given class and the additional effort required for the control
method throughout the remaining.life of the engines (assuming 10 year life).
     The cost of the turbine retrofit alternatives for each engine class
is presented in Table 7-15.  For a typical class T2 turbine engine, the cost
of developing, installing, and maintaining control systems range from $300
to $69,900.  Based on a total engine cost of $250,000, the retrofit control
costs represent .1 to .25 percent of the total engine cost.
                                    138

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    TABLE 7-15.  COST RESULTS FOR TURBINE ENGINE POPULATION BY
                 SEPARATE USE CATEGORIES
Engine
Class
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T2
T2
T2
T3
T3
T3
T3
T3
T3
Control
Method
tl
t2
t3
t4
t5
t6
tl
t3
t4
t5
t6
tl
$2
t3
t4
t5
t6
Development
cost per
Engine Family,
106 Dollars
0.90
1.80
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
0.90
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
0.90
1.80
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
Implementa-
tion cost
per Engine,
103 Dollars
12.4
21.3
0.1
3.7
5.5
2.1
35.5
0.3
10.5
15.6
6.0
58.3
100.0
0.6
17.2
25.6
9.9
-'Total Cost, 106 Dollars
Air
Carrier
19.2
34.5
0.4
14.9
9.8
15.5
243.0
2.0
87.0
108.7
61.5
50.0
95.0
2.0
13.7
29.5
16.0
General
Aviation
90.5
159.3
1.0
51.5
43.6
48.1
17.8
—
8.3
8.2
7.1
—
—
—
—
—

Civil
Aviation
109.7
193.8
1.4
66.4
53.4
63.6
259.8
2.0
98.3
116.9
68.6
50.0
95.0
2.0
13.7
29.5
16.0
 a"Civil Aviation"  includes  air  carrier  and general  aviation  engines,

Source: Reference (3).
                                ,139

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     The cost effectiveness of the various retrofit controls,  in terms  of

air pollution at the Four-County Area, is portrayed in Table 7-16.   The only

measure affecting particulate emissions is the major combustion chamber

redesign, which requires a cost of $4100 per ton of particulate recovered.

NO  emissions are reduced most drastically by water injection  control,  at a
  A
cost of $820 per ton of NO  controlled.  The cost effectiveness estimates
                          A
of Table 7-16 reflect the expenditure required to retrofit those aircraft

operating through the Four County Area to reduce emissions in  the area.


  TABLE 7-16.  COST EFFECTIVENESS FOR TURBINE RETROFIT MEASURES, 1977,
               FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Control Method
Major combustion
chamber redesign
Fuel drainage control
Divided fuel supply
Water injection
Compressor air bleed
Cost of Emission
Pollutant
Parti culates
$4100
-
-
-
-
Control Per Ton of
Prevention
2 N0x
$5770
-
-
$820
-

THC
-
917000
550
• -
550
Calculations above based on:
1.  1968 survey determining there were 1674 jet engines in use at LAX.
    94% were Pratt & Whitney, mainly of JT3D and JT8D type, and prin-
    cipally on Class T2 aircraft.  These engines were involved in 487
    LTO's per day.9
2.  Survey of jet aircraft activity in 1970 at LAX showing 560 LTO's
    per day.5  This figure was used to update jet engine numbers infor-
    mation of (1) above to baseyear 1972 by direct proportioning.

3.  Figures for LAX were adjusted to reflect the Four County Area by
    apportioning the ratio of emissions from LA County versus the Four
    County Area (data from Reference (1)).
4.  Cost of air pollution control benefits are figured for Four County
    Area only, and do not reflect the tons of emission reductions due
    to operation of the aircraft fleet in other areas.

The emission reductions benefitted by other areas traveled by these aircraft
are not included in the perspective.  Hence if expressed in terms of the total

emission reductions for LTO's performed in the nation, the cost effectiveness
of the retrofits would be 4 or 5 times greater (based on normal operating usage

for class T2 aircraft,3 and an assumed flight to hours ratio of 1 per every 2

hours).                             140

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7.2.2  Modification of Ground Operations
     Aircraft ground operations contribute a substantial  portion of the
emissions of partlculates, S02, and THC arising from overall  aircraft opera-
tions (see Table 7-12).  This 1s due to relatively high emission rates of
the pollutants at low engine power levels, as well as the extended period of
operation characteristic of 1dle-tax1 modes for jet powered aircraft.  A
number of ground operation modifications have been proposed to reduce taxi-
                    3
Idle mode emissions.   Regulations which may arise from these proposals have
been deferred until operational and safety considerations can be studied
jointly by the EPA and FAA.  The prodedures devised to control emissions by
reducing the time of taxi-idle or by operating turbine engines at higher
and more efficient thrust settings are:
     1.  Increase engine speed during idle and taxi operations.
     2.  Increase engine speed and reduce number of engines during idle
         and taxi.
     3.  Reduce idle operating time by controlling departure times from
         gates.
     4.  Reduce taxi operating time by transporting passengers to aircraft.
     5.  Reduce taxi operating time by towing aircraft between runway and
         gate.
     6.  Reduce operating time of aircraft auxiliary power supply by
         providing ground-based power supply.
     Modification of ground operations has been proposed primarily for
reduction of HC and CO emissions.  To this end, the most attractive option
for ground control is the use of fewer engines at higher more efficient
power settings during taxi and idle modes.  This conclusion is based on
modal emission characteristics of turbine engines, typically portrayed as
in Figure 7-2.  Figure 7-2 demonstrates the effects of improved combustion
at high thrust settings.  At the elevated thrust required when only one
engine is used durrng taxi and idle, the emission reduction is approxi-
mately 80% for HC during this mode.  Since the idle mode accounts for a
substantial portion of all turbine engine emissions (see Table 7-12), the
introduction of this ground operation modification could reduce turbine .
aircraft hydrocarbon emissions by approximately 50% (see Table 7-17).

                                    141

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Source:
1.
2.
               OJ
               £50
               to
               -40
                30
               o
               Q.
               210
                              40    60   80   100
                                Percent thrust
               Figure  7-2.  Gaseous Emission Characteristics
                           of a JT8D Turbine Engine
             Reference
             Reference
IS.
However, introduction of the same ground operation  modification  will
result in increases in particulate, S02 and NOX emissions.   Other options
for ground operation controls, such as reducing the amount  of time in  the
taxi and idle mode, would enable overall reductions in  hydrocarbon emis-
sions as well as particulate and NO  emissions.  The most effective overall
                                   J\
option in this respect is the towing of aircraft to avoid taxi emissions.
Table 7-17 gives the anticipated reductions resulting from  ground control
methods applied to the Los Angeles Airport.
                                   142

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      TABLE 7-17.   COMPARATIVE REDUCTIONS RESULTING FROM CONTROL METHODS
                   APPLIED AT LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
                                     Resultant Emissions,
                                     of Baseline Emissions
Control Method	Parti culates     NOV         SO?          THC
1.  Increase engine idle      150          164         150           93
    speed

2.  Increase idle speed
    and use minimal engines
    for taxi

       two engines            134          142         134           66
       single engine          168          186         168           51

3.  Eliminate delays at        96           99          96           91
    gate and runway

4.  Transport passengers       98          100          98           97
    between terminal and
    aircraft

5.  Tow aircraft to avoid      78           91          78           42
    taxi emissions

6.  Avoid use of aircraft      99          100          99           98.5
    auxiliary power units
    (APU)
Calculations of emission reductions are based on 1) gaseous emission
characteristics of JT8D turbine engine,9 2) modal emission distributions
(Table 7-12), and 3) hydrocarbon reductions resulting from control methods
at Los Angeles International Airport.3

aEmission data obtained from Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor,
 Michigan.  This data was used in preparing Reference (3).
7.2.2.1  Impact of Ground Operations Controls on Atmospheric Emissions

     Only one of the proposed ground operations control options appears to
be effective in reducing all types of pollutant emissions from turbine

engines-.  Table 7-17 shows that towing of aircraft to avoid taxi emissions
will reduce particulate and S02 emissions from turbine aircraft to 78% of
the levels expected without controls.  The projected emissions from turbine
aircraft expanded to the Four Coun,ty Area, are as shown below.

                                    143

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       TABLE 7-18.  IMPACT OF GROUND OPERATION MODIFICATIONS ON TURBINE
                    AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS OF FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Turbine Emissions - Tons/Day
Year
1972 -
1977 -
1977 -
Parti culates
no ground control
no controls
aircraft towing
11.5
22.2
17.3
N°-x
12.4
23.9
21.8
SO?
3.4
6.5
5.1
RHC
9.9
19.0
8.0
7.2.2.2  Cost of Ground Operation Controls
     Initial cost, implementation time, annual  operating cost, each of the
ground control measures when applied to major airports are presented in
below.  While Measure No. 2 is most cost  effective for  hydrocarbon
emission control, only Measure No. 5 is really suitable as a measure for
control of particulate emissions.  The annualized cost of Measure No.  5 is
estimated to be (based on 15 year lifetime of initial  equipment) $.56  million
per year at the Los Angeles 'International  Airport.   This cost amounts  to an
emission control effectiveness as follows:
             Cost <5f Controlling Turbine Emissions  by Towing of
             Aircraft to Reduce Taxi Engine Usage.   (Dollars
             per ton of pollutant removed.)
Parti culates
$300
Sft'2
$740
NOV
$1100
THC
$140
The overall cost effectiveness of the towing measure for the combined
emission preventions, is $79 per ton of pollutant.
7.2.3  Fuel Alternatives
                                  3
     In a study funded by the EPA,  the effect of fuel  modifications on
aircraft engine emissions was found to be insignificant.   Only $02 emissions
were easily altered by modifying fuels.  These reductions were accomplished
by proportionate reductions of sulfur in the fuel.   Increases in engine
emissions were achieved when aeromatic content of the fuels exceeded 25%,
                                   144

-------
but this finding was determined of minor significance because of current
fuel usage standards forbidding use of fuels with aeromatic content greater
than 25%.  The EPA was also motivated to terminate their investigations of
cleaner burning fuels because of economic infeasibility associated with
fuel control as an emission control measure.
7.2.4  Retrofits for Piston Aircraft
     The EPA has studied the technology which may be applied to reduce
hydrocarbons and CO emissions from piston aircraft.   Control methods
considered feasible for aircraft piston engines include approaches that
have been conceived or developed for automotive engines.  Table 7-19 pro-
vides a summary of nine of the piston engine control methods identified by
EPA as potentially feasible approaches.  Recent research8 indicates that
control method PI, fuel-air ratio control, is the most technically feasible
approach to substantial piston emission reductions.   In this approach,
leaner air-fuel ratios are obtained to produce reductions in hydrocarbons
and CO.  Figure 7-3 illustrates the effect of air-fuel ratio on piston
emission characteristics.  Operation at a 13 to 1 air-fuel  ratio gives more
than 50% reduction in CO and HC from levels at a 10  to 1 air-fuel ratio.
               - 1600
               "~ 1200
                  800

               12  400
o
o
o
              o
              o
                    9:1  10:1 11:1 12:1 13:1 14:1 15:1
                             Air-fuel ratio
                Figure 7-3.   Emission Characteristics for Piston Engine
Source; Reference (2)              145'

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     Because participate and NO  emission rates from piston aircraft are
                               A
considered to be relatively low, the EPA has not been directly concerned
with developing controls for these pollutant types.  This is reflected in
the aircraft emission standards (Table 7-6), which are directed at control
for hydrocarbon, CO and NO  emissions only.  Consequently the available
                          /\
research data characterizing particulate emissions during various piston
engine operating modes is quite limited.
     Although particulate emissions associated with the candidate piston
engine controls have not been specifically determined it is expected that,
those controls which reduce exhaust hydrocarbon emissions will also produce
particulate emission reductions.^  Experience with reciprocating automotive
engines has shown that leaning air fuel ratios, currently the leading candi-
date measure for implementation as piston engine emission control, effects
reductions in particulate emissions which are proportional to the resulting
hydrocarbon emissions.  The EPA has forecasted a 50% hydrocarbon reduction
with incorporation of air-fuel ratio control methods.^  it is not possible
from the available data to estimate the degree of particulate emission
reductions which would occur with leaner air fuel mixtures, but it was
assumed that coordination of emission control objectives would enable
preventions of particulate emissions of at least 20% when leaner air fuel
mixture modifications are incorporated.
     Currently there are numerous uncertainties associated with the tech-
nical and economical feasibility of the various control methods as a
retrofit measure.  For control PI it is suspected that engine detonation
and overheating will occur with leaner air fuel mixtures in existing engines.
Hence a redesign of the cylinder head for operation at the elevated tempera-
tures would be required, and retrofits for measure PI would be economically
unfeasible.  FAA is currently funding research by piston engine manufacturers
(Continental/Lycoming) to study the feasibility of retrofitting piston
engines for lower emissions with timing and fuel mixture ratio modifications.
     EPA has estimated the implementation time, development cost, and
overall implementation cost for incorporating the candidate piston engine
control methods.  For a typical piston engine, implementation costs range
from $100 to $4000, based on total cost for a 10 year life.  These costs
                                    146

-------
represent 2 to 65% of the Initial  cost of the piston engines.   Control  of

fuel-air ratio 1s the most cost effective method of reducing both
hydrocarbon and CO emissions from piston engines.
      TABLE 7-19.  ENGINE.MODIFICATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL FOR
                   EXISTING AND FUTURE PISTON ENGINES
Control Method

Existing engines
  pi - Fuel-air ratio
       control
  p2 - Simple air
       injection
  p3 - Thermal reactors
  p4 - Catalytic reactors
       for HC and CO
       control
       Direct-flame
       afterburner
P5

p6 - Water injection
  p? r 'BoiitiverorrfenkGase
       ventilation
  p8 - Evaporative
       emission controls
Future engines
  p9 - Engine redesign
                                   Modification
Limiting rich fuel-air ratios to only those
necessary for operational reliability
Air injected at controlled rate into each
engine exhaust port.

Air injection therraal reactor installed in
place of, or downstream of, exhaust manifold.

Air injection catalytic reactor installed in
eihaastfsystem.  Operation with lead-free or
low-lead fuel required.
Therman reactor with injection of air and
additional fuel installed in exhaust system.
Water Injected into intake manifold with
simultaneous reduction in fuel rate to
provide for cooler engine operation at
leaner fuel-air ratios.

Current PCV system used with automotive engines
applied to aircraft engines.  Effective only
in combination with one of preceding control
methods.

A group of control methods used singly or in
combination to reduce evaporative losses from
the fuel system.  Control methods commonly
include charcoal absorbers and vapor traps in
combination with relatively complex valving
and fuel flow systems.


Coordinated redesign of combustion chamber
geometry, compression ratio, fuel distribution
system, spark and valve timing, fuel-air ratio,
and cylinder wall temperature to minimize
emissions while maintaining operational
reliability.
Source; Reference (3).
                                   1417

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                       REFERENCES FOR SECTION  7.0
1.  TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations.   "The Development
    of a Particulate Implementation  Plan  for  the  Los Angeles  Region,"
    Report #2,  Emission Inventories  and Projections, June 1974.  Pre-
    pared for the Environmental  Protection  Agency.

2.  Jones, Kay, Robert Sampson,  John Holmes,  Environmental Protection
    Agency, "The Federal  Aircraft Emissions Control Program:  Standards
    and Their Basis," Journal  of the Air  Pollution Control
    Association, January  1974.

3.  Environmental  Protection Agency, "Aircraft  Emissions: Impact on
    Air Quality and Feasibility  of Control."

4.  Air Pollution Control  District,  County  of Los Angeles, "Profile
    of Air Pollution Control,"  1971.

5.  George, Ralph, John Nevitt,  Julien Verssen, County of Los Angeles Air
    Pollution Control District,  "Jet Aircraft Operations: A Thread to
    the Environment."

6.  Environmental  Protection Agency, "Compilation of Air Pollutant Emis-
    sion Factors,  AP42, Second  Edition, April 1973.

7.  Los Angeles Air Pollution Control District, "Study of Jet Aircraft
    Emissions and Air Quality in the Vicinity of  the Los Angeles
    International  Airport, April 1971.

8.  Personal  communication with  Dick Munt,  Environmental' Protection
    Agency, Ann Arbor, Michlgan.l

9.  George, Ralph, Julien Verssen, Robert Chass,  County of Los Angeles
    Air Pollution Control  District,  "Jet  Aircraft, A Growing  Pollution
    Source;"   June 26, 1969.
                                   148

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                         8.0  MOTOR VEHICLES
     Motor vehicles comprise a major source of air pollution in the Four-
County Area.  The pollution derives principally from three vehicle
categories: light-duty vehicles (passenger cars and light trucks), heavy-
duty trucks, and motorcycles.  The role of these vehicle categories in
atmospheric pollution, the current emission control technology being
applied to them, and the alternative pollution control measures which may
be applied to achieve further emission reductions, are discussed in the
following sections.
8.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS AND EMISSION CONTROLS

        TABLE 8-1.  ROLE OF MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS IN
                    ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION OF FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Percentage of Total Emissions in Four-County Area
¥eer
1972
1977
1980
Parti culates
49
35
34
so2
13
11
10
,NOX
74
51
46
React i ve
Hydrocarbons
89
85
78
     The important role of the motor vehicle in atmospheric pollution in
the South Coast Four-County region is illustrated clearly above.   With
the federal promulgation of air program implementation plans for the State
of California, hydrocarbon and NO  emissions from motor vehicles  are
                                 x\
expected to decline rapidly in the next few years.  While the implementation
programs do not address emissions of particulates and S02 directly, both
these pollutant species will be affected by the control measure
targeted for hydrocarbon and NOX emission reductions.  S02 emissions from
light-duty vehicles will be reduced by about 7%, and light-duty vehicle
and particulate emissions by 37%, by the year 1980.   The measures prin-
cipally responsible for these emission reductions will be non-leaded fuel
utilization, in combination with the use of catalytic converter exhaust
control devices.  These measures are to be required  under a retrofit
program for all gasoline-powered, light duty motor vehicles of model years
1966 through 1974 capable of operating on unleaded gasoline having a
                                    149

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research octane number of 91 or lower,   These measures are also to be
utilized in attaining 1975-76 motor vehicle emission standards for new light-
duty vehicles.  By 1980 1t 1s estimated that 90% of all light duty vehicle VMT
will be accumulated by vehicles equipped with the catalytic exhaust control
device.
     In addition to oxidizing catalyst retrofits, other significant mobile
source control measures scheduled for implementation in the South Coast Air
Basin include inspection-maintenance programs for light duty vehicles, a
nitrogen oxides control retrofit, and emission standards for new motorcycles
beginning in 1975.  Each of these control measures contribute in part to the
emission reductions expected for NO  and hydrocarbons.   However, their effect
                                   A
on particulate and S02 emissions is not considered to be significant.
     Hydrocarbon and NO  exhaust emission standards have also been established
                       J\
for heavy-duty gasoline powered vehicles, heavy-duty diesel powered vehicles,
                1 2
and motorcycles. '   The effect of the standards on vehicular emission in
future years for the various vehicle types is reflected in the projected emis-
sions summary of Figure 8-1.  The rapid decrease in vehicular hydrocarbon and
NO  emissions is consistent with the objective of the promulgated air programs
  /\
to reduce photochemical smog for the attainment of the ambient air standards
for oxidant.  This objective is not incompatible with the goal to reach the
ambient standard for particulate matter.  The role which vehicular emissions
of NO  and hydrocarbons assume as precursors in the formation of particulates
     /\
will be effectively mitigated by the EPA strategies to reduce oxidant air
pollution.  However the control of emissions of primary particulates has not
been the target of these air programs, and the apparent benefit from the
reduction of particulate emissions indirectly resulting from this strategy
actually involves a serious trade-off pollution problem.  This problem con-
cerns the increased generation of sulfates and is discussed in the following
section.
     Except for the minor effects of certain transportation oriented con-
straints which would cause slight reductions in vehicle travel, the EPA
implementation plans have no provisions which address the potential manage-
ment of airborne particulate matter from vehicle tire wear.  Unfortunately
tire wear accounts for a substantial portion of the particulate emissions
caused by vehicle travel.  In 1972 tire wear in the Four-County Area
                                    150

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          100 ^
                Particulates
                        LDMV
                       IHDMV
                       [Motorcycles
                                                                        -HOOO
  Motor
  Vehicle
  Emissions
  in Four-
  County
  Area
80 .
60 . .
40 ..
          20 -.
  Figure  8-1.   The Effect of Exhaust Emission Standards on Pollutant
               Emissions  from Various Vehicle Categories (Note:   Particulate
               emissions  from tire wear are not included in above Figure)
produced 15.2 tonsVday of airborne particulates, or about 22% of the motor
vehicle particulate pollution.  By 1980, tire wear will be responsible for
18.6 tons/day of particulate emissions, which amounts to 37% of the motor
vehicle particulate pollution.
Catalytic Oxidizers
     The most extensive studies addressing the effects of catalytic
converters on automotive exhaust emissions have been conducted by the EPA
and by ESSO Research Corporation.    These investigations employed measure-
ment techniques for the determination of exhaust emissions which condense
as sulfuric acid mist when emitted to the atmosphere.  While only a trace
of sulfuric acid is exhausted by conventional exhaust systems operating
on leaded fuel, it was found that significant quantities of sulfuric acid
aerosol are emitted from vehicles equipped with oxidation catalysts.  The
sulfuric acid emission rates depend on the fuel sulfur content, vehicle  test
procedure, and  type of oxidation catalyst.  Table 8-2, and 8-3, provide
emission data for both a pellatized and monolithic oxidation catalyst equipped
vehicle driven  according to the 1975 federal test procedure, for various fuel.
                                     151

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 It is  evident that  the  total  particulate  emission  rate of vehicles equipped
 with monolithic  or  pelletized oxidation catalyst increases markedly with
 increasing  fuel  sulfur  content as a result of sulfuric acid production.  It
 is also  evident  that, despite the alarming character change in particulate
 emissions,  total  particulates from the oxidizer devices are reduced from
 their  former  rate of  .43 grams/mile.

   TABLE 8-2.   SULFURIC  ACID EMISSIONS FROM PELLETIZED OXIDATION CATALYST
               EQUIPPED  VEHICLE,  1975 FEDERAL TEST  PROCEDURE
Catalyst

C

C

C

C

C

No. of
Tests

3

2

3

2

3

Fuel
Sulfur, %

0.140

0.065

0.056

0.034

0.004

Gaseous
CO, g/mi

1

2

1

2

1


.49

.18

.26

.60

.50

Emissions
. HC.g/mT;

0.31

0.44

0.34

0.48

0.37

Total

0.244

0.118

0.086

0.064

0.033

Particulate,
g/mi.

± 0

t o

+ 0

t 0

± 0


.072

.037

.043

.031

.014

Sulfate

0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.
0.

lll.±
026
036 ±
007
015 ±
004
on ±
002
003 ±
001
Con-
version
s -* sor
	 4
10.6

5.8

3.2

4.2

7.7

Source;  Reference (16)
   T(- TABLE  8-3.   SULFURIC  ACID  EMISSIONS  FROM  MONOLITHIC OXIDATION  CATALYST
                  EQUIPPED  VEHICLES,  1972  FEDERAL TEST PROCEDURE


Catalyst

Nb;bf
Tests

Fuel
Sulfur, %

Gaseous
CO, g/mi

Emission
.HC,g/mi.

Total
Total Particulate, SOA =
q/mi.
g/mi .
Con-
version
S -> S0,=

A

A

B

B

B

B

5

4

3

2

2

2

0.067

0.032

0.004

0.067

0.032

0.004

1.37

1.83

—

1.32

2.47

2.44

0.39

0.36

—

0.12

0.32

0.16

0.290 ± 0.034

0.184 ± 0.056

0.033 ± 0.014

0.208 + 0.003

0.183 ± 0.04

0.040 ± 0.02

0.119 ±
0.007
0.064 ±
0.025
0.010 ±
0.001
0.145 ±
0.002
0.061 ±
0.007
0.014 ±
0.007
21

24

29

25

23

40

Source:  Reference (16)

                                   152

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The catalyst has proven an effective oxidizer of molecular organics,  some
of which were formerly precipitated and emitted as  particulate matter in
standard exhaust systems.    It has been found that about 90% of all  parti-
culate matter exhausting from oxidizer catalysts is in the form of
sulfuric acid bound to water (sulfuric acid is very hygroscopic in nature).
The mist particles are of the order of .2 micron of smaller depending on  the
humidity of the exhaust.15
     The test results show that vehicles equipped with the pellitized
oxidation catalyst exhibited lower sulfur to sulfuric acid conversion
(Table 8-2) than did the monolithic catalyst vehicle (Table 8-3).   At
present no basis for the differences exhibited between monolithic and
pelletized oxidation catalysts regarding sulfuric acid production is
apparent.  General Motors currently has planned to  utilize pelletized
catalyst while the remainding automobile manufacturers intend to employ
the monolithic catalyst system.
     Studies of condensate from catalytic converter equipped vehicles have
shown large variations in the sulfate content of the condensate.   Under
lower temperature operation, sulfur is accumulated  or stored in the catalyst,
and is then released and passed through at high catalyst bed temperatures.
The sulfur storage alters the chemical reactivity of the catalyst as  shown
                      19
in Figure 8-2 and 8-3.    The effect of the cycling of sulfur content in
the catalyst on permanent deterioration of reactivity  is not clear,  but
it is suspected it raay plan an important role in accelerated degradation
                19
of the catalyst.    Informal conversation with automobile manufacturers by
                                                                 20
EPA has indicated low level of confidence in catalyst durability.     Also,
the question of degredation of catalysts retrofitted to in-use vehicles is
indeterminate.  The residual lead in conventional exhaust systems will
present difficult retrofitting problems which currently have not been
clearly resolved.  Deterioration certification tests now in process in
Detroit should provide some of the answers to these issues.   It should be
apparent however, that rapid deterioration will have serious impact on the
control standards program.  A 50% deterioration rate in new vehicles  would
render them equivalent to 1969-1970 emitters.21
                                    153

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 •100
                 nchfck after
               • IHO'f- run
                 tl.8S%S)
                    600
                Temperature *F.
                                                               recheck after
                                                               tMO'f run
                                                               (I.85%S)
Figure 8-2.  Effect of Lab Sulfur Charg-   Figure  8-3.
             1ng on CO Reactivity of a
             Cu-CK Catalyst.

Source;  Reference (19)
Effect of Lab-Sulfur
Charging on HC Reactivity
of a Cu-Cr Catalyst.
       The degradation of the reactive effectiveness of  the  catalyst,  and the
 generation of sulfuric acid pollution from vehicle exhaust  systems  pose
 serious trade-off questions as to the suitability of the catalytic  converter
 as an exhaust emission control.  The EPA is currently committed  to  investigat-
 ing the public health consequences of vehicles operated with  catalytic
 converters, but as yet has not withdrawn 1975 interim federal  emission
 regulations which would necessitate catalytic devices to be installed on
 most new 1975 vehicles.  Automobile manufacturers are currently  scheduling
 installation of the catalytic converters in 1975 model  year vehicles  to  meet
 these standards.  EPA, in recent public hearings, has stated  that sulfuric
 acid emissions will not become a serious problem until  new cars with  these
                                      154

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devices comprise a larger segment of the vehicle population.  Reasonable
concern over sulfuric acid emissions will be advisable, EPA recommends, in
approximately two and one-half years, by which time  it is presumed new
technological developments will exist to resolve this problem.  Of course
it is apparent that this technology will be quickly overdue in the critical
California Air Basins, where air quality implementation plans will insure
that 65% of the light duty vehicle population be equipped with the oxidizing
catalysts by 1977.
8.2  ALTERNATIVE CONTROL MEASURES
     The problem of developing suitable emission controls for motor vehicles
is compounded and confused by a great number of variables.  Regulations apply
for retrofits, for various types of vehicles, at different levels for certain
years and for specific pollutants.  Regulations and control alternatives are
necessarily an outgrowth of extensive testing and research to evolve poten-
tial technology capable of attaining the proposed standards.  The important
options for control of motor vehicle particulate emissions are:
                   1.  Modification of fuels
                   2.  Particulate trap devices
                   3.  S02 scrubbers
                   4.  Fuel substitution
                   5.  Tire options
8.2.1  Modification  of Fuels
     Numerous studies have demonstrated the effect of fuel composition
on particulate emissions from motor vehicles.  Typically it has been found
that emission of particulate matter can be reduced with decreases in
aeromatic, sulfur, or lead content in the fuel.  The actual extent of
these reductions depends on a number of variables, such as the driving test
pattern, and the engine design, age, and condition.
8.2.1.1  Lead Content in Fuels
     Extensive testing has shown that approximately one-third of motor
vehicle exhaust particulate matter is composed of lead.  This lead discharge
results directly from the lead content in the fuel.  A characterization of
particulate emissions, for leaded and unleaded fuel consumption, is shown
in Table 8-4.  The data show that stabilized unleaded-fuel cars emitted

                                    155

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about 40%  less total particulates than the leaded fuel cars.  Carbon
represents about 70% of the total particulate matter when lead is absent
in the fuel.
       TABLE  8-4.   SUSPENDED PARTICULATE EMISSIONS  FROM MOTOR
                    VEHICLES USING LEADED AND UNLEADED  FUEL
Fuel
Federal
Test
gycle
Parti culates
Total
Lead
Carbon
, g/mi.
Lead
Carbon

Commercial
(leaded)
Unleaded
Conunerci al
Premium
1. weighted
4 cold
4 hot
weighted
4 cold
4 hot
weighted
35% cold and
.512
.240
.339
.316
.134
.197
65% hot
2. Accumulated mileage range for
100,000; and for vehicles on
.085
.044
.059
-
.
vehicles
unleaded
.184
.076
.115
.242
.074
.133

16
18
17
-

on leaded fuel
fuel, 30,000 to
.4
.3
.4


was
50,
35.9
31.7
33.9
76.5
55.2
67.5

30,000 to
000 miles.
Source;  Reference (4).
     Current federal regulations require that gasoline manufacturers shall
provide non-leaded gasoline (maximum of .05 gm/gal) for use in automobiles
                 3
by the year 1975.   Federal regulations for fuel additives currently are
restrictive also to automobile manufacturers and fuel retailers.   These
regulations insure that only unleaded gasoline shall be introduced into
vehicles equipped with emission control devices which will be impaired by-
the use of leaded gasoline.  The regulations also stipulate the automobile
manufacturer shall be responsible for the visible labeling ("unleaded gas
only") of catalyst equipped vehicle gas tank inlets.  This rule, as well
as that requiring manufacture of lead free fuels, was constructed to insure
the use of fuels which would be compatible with catalyst exhaust controls
which are projected for utilization in meeting the 1975 motor vehicle
requirements.  Hence in the next few years there will be a gradual change
in the lead content of fuels on the market.  Unleaded fuel will be available
                                    156

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in increasing amounts to be consumed primarily by those vehicles equipped
with catalytic oxidizers, and leaded fuels will be available in smaller
volumes for use in the remaining vehicles.  This trend will be particularly
marked in the South Coast Air Basin, where the law calls for a catalytic
oxidizer retrofit for all b'ght duty vehicles of model year 1966 to
1974.
     An important question in the large scale production of unleaded fuels
is the effect this modification will have on the overall fuel  composition,
and consequently, on particulate emissions.  (The techniques for producing
the small proportion of unleaded fuels now on the market could be very
different from a large volume production.  Hence the unleaded  fuels of
tomorrow could be very different in composition from those used for exhaust
emission tests today.)  Lead addition to fuel is currently the most economic
path to achieving higher octane numbers.  If lead were to be removed from
motor fuels, equivalent octane numbers would have to be provided by higher
concentrations of more expensive blending components.  Depending on the
process utilized to achieve the octane rating, particulate emissions from
vehicles may or may not be increased.
     After lead addition, the next most economic way to raise  the octane
number of motor fuel is by increasing aeromatics content.  To  upgrade an
existing "clean" regular motor fuel to its typical octane rating by
addition of aeromatics rather than lead, the aeromatic content will typically
                          79
be raised from 35% to 50%.''   The effect of aeromatics content in unleaded
gasoline on particulate.exhau$t emissions has been studied in  several
independent investigations.   According to typical  findings^ there would
be an increase in automobile particulate emissions of approximately 30%
associated with the projected 35 to 50% aeromatics increase.
     The impact of removing lead from motor fuels  to overall fuel composi-
tion is lessened somewhat by the timely policy of automobile manufacturers
to design 1971 and later model year cars to operate with 90-91  octane fuel.
Previously the automobile companies manufactured engines with  higher octane
requirements, as reflected by leaded regular gasolines of 94-95 octane
number which are produced to accommodate these engines.  As the 1971 and
                                    157

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later model year automobiles began to comprise the majority of the car
population, there will be a corresponding shift to lower octane motor fuel
production by the refineries.  This trend (toward lower octane motor fuels)
will minimize the production shifts required to manufacture non-leaded
motor fuels, and suggests that fuel composition may not change radically.
     Figure 8-4 demonstrates the dependence of fuel octane number on lead
content for typical  gasolines.  If all  the components  used in both premium
and regular were mixed together in equal  amounts, the  "pool" octane number,
                                  o
with zero lead, would be about 89.   Thus the present  average lead free
pool gasoline will come close to satisfying the octane requirement for all
production vehicles  manufactured in the year 1971 and  after, as well as
those vehicles prior to 1971 able to operate on an ONR of 91.  This obser-
vation, plus numerous other studies of the economics of lead removal, '  '
has permitted the conclusion that a universally lead-free motor gasoline
supply can be attained by 1977 without major dislocations in the petroleum
refining industry, and without major changes in fuel composition.
Impact of Removing Lead on Motor Vehicle  Emissions
     The removal of lead to .05 grams/gal in all motor vehicle fuels by
1977 will affect particulate emission rates from all motor vehicle
categories.  Since a substantial portion  of the motor  vehicle population
1§ soon scheduled to be equipped with the catalytic exhaust control devices
(65% of the light duty vehicles by 1977 and 90% by 1980)6, it is evident that
lead particulate emissions from this vehicle segment will be virtually
eliminated in the near future.  In addition, further particulate reductions
will be affected by the behavior of the catalyst device itself.  These
particulate reductions have been accounted for in the  tabulation of base-
line mobile source emissions under the EPA implementation plan  (Figure 8-1).
Aside from the vehicles targeted for catalytic oxidizer installations,
there will remain a significant portion of vehicles in 1977, and even 1980,
which could potentially operate on leaded fuels.  The  impact of operating
this vehicle segment on non-leaded fuels  in terms of particulate emission
reductions is shown in Table 8-5.  The data show that  total lead removal
in fuels by 1977 will accomplish reductions of 28% of  the motor vehicle
exhaust particulate emissions in 1977, and 21% in 1980.  This is based on

                                     158'

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                           "RESEARCH"
                              METHOD
75
  0             0.5       1.0      2.0    3.0  4.0    6.0

  ANTIKNOCK CONTENT, GRAMS METALLIC LEAD PER GALLON
Figure 8-4.   Typical  "Blending" Properties of Southern
             California  Motor Gasoline
Source:  Reference (10).
                        159

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   TABLE 8-5.   THE EFFECT OF LEAD REMOVAL IN  MOTOR FUELS  ON  MOTOR
               VEHICLE PARTICULATE EXHAUST EMISSIONS  IN  FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
Projected Baseline
Participate Emissions
Tons/Day
Motor Vehicle Category

Light duty
Heavy duty
Motorcycles and other
miscellaneous vehicles
1977

40.4
6.6
7.0
1980

35.8
7.1
7.7
Parti cul ate Emissions
Reductions3
Tons/Day
1977
4.4
2.6
2.8
1930

1.4
2.8
3.1
 Emission reductions are based on 40% decrease attributable to all vehicles
 not equipped with catalytic oxidizers when operating on unleaded fuel.  It
 was assumed that aeromatlc content of fuel was essentially unchanged.
 The portion of light duty vehlclesVMT for those vehicles equipped with
 catalytic oxidizer exhaust control was taken as 73% in 1977, and 90% in
 I960.15
the supported assumption   that aeromatic content will not increase
appreciably in the unleaded transition.
Cost of Unleaded Fuels
     Many estimates have been made of the cost to remove lead.   Costs for
the Immediate removal of all lead from gasoline while maintaining present
octane levels have been estimated from 2 to 10 billion dollars, or a cost
Increase of 1 to 6 cents per gallon to the consumer.  However because of
lower octane requirements of the newer vehicles, additional  Investments 1n
refineries and marketing equipment can be kept far below this estimate.9
The cost of providing unleaded fuel in the total motor vehicle gasoline pool
over the next 2 to 3 years would amount to approximately one tenth of a cent
per gallon of gas.
     The cost of producing unleaded fuels depends heavily on restrictions
limiting the aeromatic content.  If aeromatlc content can be varied to pro-
duce desired octane ratings in the unleaded fuels, costs would be minimal.
Moreover, since lower octane fuels will be permissable in future motor fuels,
unleaded fuels will not require substantial  increases in aeromatlc content.
                                     160

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     It is significant to the economics  of unleaded  fuel  that  vehicle
exhaust from a catalytic muffler shows  little sensitivity to aeromatic  fuel
content.  Particulate emissions from the catalytic oxidizers are  typically
composed of almost 100% sulfates and water, with  very  minor traces  of
carbonaceous particles present.   Increased aeromatics  are
expected to affect gaseous hydrocarbon  emissions  significantly, since
organics are essentially eliminated by  the purposeful  behavior of the
oxidizing catalyst.   These observations  would suggest  an  arrangement of the
vehicle gasoline pool in which higher content aeromatics  would be used  to
obtain octane levels for vehicles equipped with catalytic mufflers, while
low content aeromatic fuel would be provided for  vehicles operating without
the catalytic exhaust device.  This motor fuel configuration might  provide
a more economic path to octane attainment, by permitting  a higher overall
aeromatic composition in the motor gasoline pool.
     Another significant consideration  in unleaded fuel economics are the
tradeoff benefits due to vehicle maintenance savings.   These savings are
due principally to longer spark plug life, less oil  contamination,  and
                            910
greater exhaust system life. '
     Considering the above observations, it is apparent that the  cost of
the control option,  complete removal of lead in fuels,  can be  implemented
at less than the published estimates of .1$ per gallon  of gas  (derived
from Reference (9)).  However, even at  .U per gallon,  the cost of  the  fuel
control option is relatively low.

    TABLE  8-6.   COST OF REMOVING ALL LEAD FROM MOTOR VEHICLE FUEL POOL
                (AS  OPPOSED TO THE  EPA PLAN  REQUIRING PARTIAL  REMOVAL BY
                1977)
Year
1977
1980
Total Annual Cost
Millions
1.7a
1.5b
Cost Per Ton of
Removed
$475
562
Parti culates


aBased on total  VMT for Four-County Area of 168xl06  miles/day;6  ave.vehicle
 gas mileage rate of 12.4 mi/gal ;03/  increased  cost of unleaded fuel  .lg/gal;
 and percentage of VMT by vehicles non-equipped  with catalytic converter  = 27%.
Calculated same as (a) above except:  VMT for 1980 = 180 x  10° miles/day  and
 percentage of VMT by vehicles without catalytic mufflers = 10%.(6)
                                    161

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8.2.1.2  Other Gasoline Additives
     Fuel additives are utilized to 1)  maintain carburetor and engine
cleanliness, 2) remove lead deposits, 3) inhibit corrosion and gum
formation.
     Additives used to maintain engines in clean condition have also been
                                                    14
shown to cause some reductions in exhaust emissions.     Reduced emissions
are most pronounced for older vehicles  with very dirty engines.  The most
dramatic effects are obtained when fuel additives consumed by the vehicle
are suddenly changed.  The new cleaning action of the additive removes  old
deposits which were stable when contacted by the previous  fuel composi-
tion.  Hence short term increases in particulate emissions may be observed
in this laboratory testing situation, however, with continued use of the
additive, particulate emissions are seen to return to prior levels.
     Most often additives have been utilized to modify deposits of lead
1n the engine.  These additives consist of halogen scavengers, such  as
chlorine and bromine compounds.  They react with lead to form lead bromide
or lead chloride salts which emit as particulates 1n the exhaust.  Use  of
these additives is especially effective for the scavenging of lead deposits;:
on spark plugs, resulting in the prevention of spark plug  misfire.
     Additives are typically used in concentrations less than 100 ppm;  and
therefore can contribute only a few parts per million to the exhaust
emissions.  Moreover, the great majority of the carbon, hydrogen, nitrogen,
and oxygen compounds of additives are burned with the fuel.  Hence the
direct effect of additives in exhaust emissions is minimal.
8.2.1.3  Sulfur Content In Fuels
     Emissions of sulfur compounds from motor vehicles have received little
concern in the past.  Most of the sulfur content in gasoline is removed in
the refining process because of its interference with the  effectiveness of
lead additives.  When sulfur is burned in the engine, the  resulting  emissions
are predominantly S0« in relatively minimal concentrations, accounting  for
about 13% of all S0« found in the atmosphere of the Four-County Area.
     New attention is now being drawn to the role of sulfur in motor vehicle
emissions.  Studies  '   have shown that vehicles equipped with oxidation

                                    ,162

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catalysts convert a substantial portion of the sulfur in the gasoline to
sulfuric acid particles.  In addition it has been discovered that parti-
culate matter exhausting from an oxidation catalyst is effectively all
sulfuric acid together with water droplets.  Carbonaceous particulates  and
lead compounds which previously characterized exhausts from standard
vehicles operating on leaded fuels, are no longer emitted when oxidation
catalysts are employed.  This changing character of exhaust emissions
raises serious questions regarding the benefit of oxidation catalysts.
The emission of sulfuric acid vapors directly into the atmosphere as high
concentration sources near transportation corridors poses an important
new health problem.
     An obvious means of preventing emissions of sulfuric acid from
catalytic oxidizer equipped vehicles, or SOp from all  vehicles, is to
remove the sulfur from the fuel.  The technology for drastic sulfur recuction
of automotive gasoline is available (Section 3.2.1).  Various oil  companies
claim propritary technology which will reduce sulfur content to less than
100 ppm.  Desulfurization to very low sulfur levels has been commercially
practiced in pilot facilities, but because of limited applications for  the
very low sulfur fuels, the technology has not been employed extensively.
Additional process equipment would be required to attain the degree of
sulfur control sought.
Impact of Fuel Sulfur Removal
     The impact of automotive fuel desulfurization to levels below 200  ppm
on motor vehicle emissions is shown in Table 8-7.  Desulfurization of the
entire spectrum of vehicle motor fuels to less than 100 ppm sulfur content
would result  in particulate emission reductions of about 87% for vehicles
equipped with the catalytic mufflers (Table 8-2 and 8-3).  Sulfuric acid
emitted from these vehicles would be reduced by about 99%.   Prevention  of
S02 emissions would vary from 25 to 60% depending on the vehicle  catagory
and the type of fuel.
     The control option of fuel desulfurization to 100 ppm will prevent
about 77% of all S02 motor vehicle exhaust emissions projected for 1977.
This would lower the total S02 emission inventory for motor vehicle
exhaust to 10.6 tons/day in 1977, as compared to 58.9 tons per day in the
                                    i 163

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      TABLE 8-7.  THE EFFECT OF AUTOMOTIVE FUEL DESULFURIZATION
                  (100 ppm) ON MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS IN FOUR
                  COUNTY AREA
Motor Vehicle Category
PARTICULATES
Light duty
SULFUR DIOXIDE
Light duty
with catalyst
without catalyst
Heavy duty
diesel
gasoline
Motorcycles &
miscellaneous
TOTAL (S02)
Projected Baseline
Emissions
Tons/Day
1977 1980

40.4 35.8

18.2 22.5
17.4 13.2

9.7 10.4
.8 .9
-
46.1 47.0
Emissions Reductions
Tons/Day
1977
1980
•t
15.5

10.8
14.8

9.2
.7
-
35.5
19.8

13.4
11.2

9.9
.8
-
35.3
1. The portion of light duty VMT for vehicfes equipped with catalytic
mufflers was taken as 73% in 1977, and 90% in I960.6
2. S02 reductions are based on 85% reduction in gasoline
ana 95% in diesel fuel. For light duty vehicles equi
mufflers it was assumed that 30% of the fuel sulfur i
sulfate (sulfuric acid) and the remainder is emitted
sulfur content,
pped with catalytic
s converted to
as S02.
1972 baseyear.   As a control  for particulate,  drastic  desulfurization  is
not as effective, accounting  for a 40% reduction in motor vehicle exhaust
particulates in 1977.  Total  particulate exhaust emissions would  be 38.5  tons
per day from motor vehicle sources in 1977,  compared to 70.2  tons/day  in  the
1972 baseyear.
                                    164

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Cost of Desulfun'zation
     Desulfurization of automotive gasolines can be accomplished with
facilities similar to those now employed to desulfurize low sulfur fuel  blend
stocks for fuel oil supply to electric utilities companies.  However,  in most
installations, the operating severity of the equipment cannot be sufficiently
increased for sulfur contents less than about .05%, hence it is  necessary to
construct new facilities for more complete desulfurization.  In  one process
which has proven effective for essentially complete desulfurization, the
Chevron Isomax, a wide range of distillates, from diesel  up to 1100°F  end
point vacuum gas oil, are economically processed to sulfur contents less
than 100 ppm.  (As discussed in Section 3.2.1, the Isomax equipment can also
be used to desulfurize the cracker unit feed stock, resulting in an effective
control for SO^ emissions from the cracker catalyst regenerator  unit.)
Several oil companies are now licensed to use the Isomax  process.   Because of
its relatively widespread recognition in the literature, it has been con-
sidered here as candidate equipment for implementing desulfurization control.
     The economics of motor vehicle emission control  via  the desulfurization
route is portrayed in Table 8-8.  The measure of desulfurization is about
twice as cost effective as a control for S02 emissions than for particulate
emissions.  Taken as a joint control for emissions of particulates and S02
              TABLE 8-8.   COST  OF  DESULFURIZATION OF  VEHICLE FUELS
                          FOR CONTROL  OF  EXHAUST EMISSIONS
Equipment
                 Capital
      Annaal  Opera-  Total
      tion Cost      Annuali-
      Increase       zed Cost
Cost in Millions of Dollars
   Cost Per Ton of
  Emission Prevented
Particulates      SO?
wn
1980  1977   1980
Desulfurization    80b      13.8C         21.8d    $3870  $3100  ;$ 1680 $1690
facilities (8 VGO
high severity Iso=
max units of avg.
capacity, 40,000
barrels/day)
aBased on dally fuel requirement for Four County Area of 320,000  barrels/day
 in 1977, and 345,000 barrels/day in 1980, as  calculated from projected VMT
 and vehicle gasoline mileage averages.
bCapital costs based on Reference (23) and Reference (24).
C0perating cost based on cost of similar desulfurization facilities (Ref.22).
dfiased on 30 year equipment life @ 10%.	
                                    165

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combined, the coit effectiveness is equivalent to $1170/ton of SOg and
participate removed in 1977, and $1085 per unit in 1980.  Moreover it is
also evident that desulfurization facilities utilized in  an effort to pre-
vent motor vehicle emissions are also integral to control  efforts to
prevent emissions from combustion equipment and refinery  process equipment
operational in the Four County Area.   The various desulfurization schemes
which have been examined as candidate emission control  measures  for a given
targeted process (combustion, motor vehicles, refineries, aircraft) in this
study, cannot be viewed as mutually exclusive measures.  There is substantial
overlap in the equipment requirements for the various desulfurization options
identified in this study, and therefore the cost effectiveness of any of
these measures analyzed independently of its side benefits does  not provide
a true credit of effectiveness.  A synthesis of the individual desulfuri-
zation schemes and an analysis of their combined effectiveness,  is presented
in the Summary of this study.
                                    166

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8.2.2  Particulate Trap Devices-
     Evaluation of devices under development for removing particulate matter
from vehicle exhaust is particularly difficult because measurement techniques
have not been standardized.  Hence the effectiveness of an exhaust particulate
trap would depend substantially on the method used to measure,,1t.  This is
                                                           25
exemplified by tests of the California Air Resources Board,   in which .
measurements of exhausts from vehicles equipped with catalytic converters
indicated particulate emission rates of less than .02 gm/mile, about 10 times
less than measured by other researchers studying similar exhaust emissions.
The tests by the Air Resources Board did not permit the evaluation of the
vapor constituent in the exhaust which normally precipitates into mist as
it is discharged to ambient air.  For vehicles equipped with catalytic
converters, the vapor mist is the most significant particulate matter
arising from the exhaust stream, being composed almost entirely of sulfuric
acid and water.  Because of the elevated temperatures of the exhaust stream,
and the relatively small size of the sulfuric acid mist (.2 micron or
smaller) when it condenses, the removal of particulate matter from the gas
stream of vehicles equipped with oxidizing catalysts represents a very
difficult task.
     Several systems for removing particulate matter from exhaust gases
have been under evaluation.  These devices have typically been designed to
manage particulate matter from vehicles with standard exhaust systems
(without the oxidizing catalyst), principally as a trap for lead parti-
culate.  None of the systems tested to date have clearly demonstrated an
effectiveness which would allow use of leaded gasoline with catalytic
converters.  The most extensive testing and development of particulate
traps has been performed by Ethyl Corporation.  The results of these efforts
have provided particulate trapping systems which are effective as retrofit
emission controls for incomplete control for lead emissions when employed
in new vehicles.
     Most of the proposed particulate traps consist of an agglomerator, an
inertia! separator, and a filter.  The agglomerator unit is generally com-
posed of beads or mesh, and provides a surface for mechanically agglomerating
the particles into larger sizes.  The inertial separator is generally a

                                    167 >

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cyclone or combination of cyclones used to spin out the parti dies at
high velocity into a reservoir.  A filter is often employed at the exit.
of the trapping unit to remove smaller particles remaining in  the gas
stream when exiting from the cyclone.
     Preliminary data of commercial prototype retrofit units developed by
Ethyl Corporation have shown that total particulate emissions  in standard
exhaust systems may be reduced by 70% with traps consisting of agglomera-
                                                               A og
tion and inertial reactions.  Lead is reduced by more than 90%.       More
sophisticated traps now being developed by Ethyl have shown ability to
remove nearly all (95%) lead and particulate emissions in the  standard
               27
exhaust system.    These higher efficiency systems are not engineered as
retrofit units and have limited adaptability to in-use vehicles.  They are
intended for adaption to new vehicle designs whenever the vehicle is
equipped with a conventional exhaust system.  Since the traps  are essen-
tially mechanical collectors by nature, they are therefore ineffective as
a control for vapors of sulfuric acid.  Parti cul ate:::traps for  sulfuric acid
vapors have been developed to a limited extent.  The technology  on sulfuric
acid removal is discussed iii the next section (S0« Scrubbers).
     There is currently substantial indication that very effective parti-
culate trapping systems can be engineered and adapted to control exhaust
emissions from both in-use and new motor vehicles.which utilize  standard
exhaust systems.  This indication is based on the apparent effectiveness  of
preliminary particulate trapping devices which have been constructed with
limited budgets and within a very limited segment of the industry.  A more
substantial effort, supported by more certainty of the market  for the
trapping devices, would undoubtedly produce significant gains  in effective-
ness and costs over the existing control devices.  It appears  feasible that
production of these units could be accomplished by 1977.
Impact of Particulate Traps on Motor Vehicle Emissions
     The preventions of particulate emissions when motor vehicles are
equipped with particulate traps is shown in Table 8-9.  While  particulate
traps are not applicable to a major segment of the vehicle population (65%
of light duty vehicles in 1977 and 90% in 1980), their installation on the
remaining vehicle population can effect a 46% particulate emission prevention
in 1977, and 35% in 1980.
                                   ,168

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    TABLE  8-9.   IMPACT OF PARTICULATE  TRAPS  ON  PARTICULATE
                EMISSIONS FROM MOTOR VEHICLES  IN  FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
Projected Baseline Prevention of
Participate Particulate
Emissions . Emissions
Motor Vehicle
Category
Light duty9
with catalyst
without catalyst
Heavy duty
Motorcycles and
miscellaneous
TOTAL
Tons/ Day Tens/Day
1977 1980 1977 1980
20.2
20.2
6.6
7.0
54.0
25.8 0 0
10.0 16.2 8.0
7.1 5.3 5.7
7.7 3.5b 3.9b
50.6 25.0 17.6
Notes:

1.  It was assumed that vehicles non-equipped with catalysts would utilize
    leaded fuels, and that leaded fuels would be available through 1980.

2,  Trap devices were assumed to be 80% efficient.


aBaseline light duty particulate emissions were segregated into catalyst
 and non-catalyst vehicles using emission factors from Reference (18) as
 applied in TRW Report #2.
 It was assumed that design of existing traps could be modified for
 retrofit adaption to motorcycles.   To weight the portion of emissions in
 this category which are unlikely retrofit possibilities (such as lawn-
 mowers, tractors, earth moving equipment) by the year 1980, a 50% control
 efficiency was assumed.
Cost of Particulate Traps

    Due to the very limited operating data available the economics of

particulate traps are not well defined.   Ethyl  estimates they would be able

to provide a trap with about 80% collection efficiency for the light duty
                         26
vehicle at a cost of $14.    The device would be incorporated into a muffler,

and would be rated for a lifetime of 36,000 miles, with no periodic main-e

tenance required.  This amounts to a cost of approximately .03$. per mile per

vehicle.  Table 8-10 summarizes the overall economics of an implementation

measure to equip the Four-County Area with motor vehicle particulate traps.

                                    169

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    TABLE 8-10.   COST OF IMPLEMENTING PARTICULATE  EMISSION  CONTROL  FROM
                 MOTOR VEHICLES  WITH  PARTICIPATE TRAPS,  FOUR-COUNTY AREA



Year

1977



1980



Motor
Vehicle
Cateqorv

Light Duty
(without catalyst)
Heavy Duty
Motorcycles
Light Duty
Heavy Duty
Motorcycles
Initial
Purchase
& Instal-
lation
Cost
Mil
23

.8
4.7
9.0
.8
5.0


Operating Annual i zed
Cost Cost
lions of Dollars
9.3

.3
1.9
3.7
.3
2.0
Cost per Ton
of Particulate
Emissions
Prevented

$1560

160
1470
2000
150
1430
Notes:
1. It was assumed that motorcycles and heavy duty vehicles could be
   retrofitted.
2. The cost of retrofitting heavy duty vehicles and motorcycles was
   assumed to parallel the relative scale for typical  muffler costs of
   each of the vehicle categories.  The number of vehicles for retrofit
   in each category was*deternrined from VMT of Reference (6) and average
   yearly mileage data.3°
It is evident that particulate traps are competitive with fuel desulfuri-
zation as a method of particulate emission control, however the value of
the character of particulate matter removed by the mechanical  traps may not
be of equal importance to the prevention of sulfuric acid emissions obtained
with fuel desulfurization.  In addition, the particulate traps will have
decreasing effect as a control in the years ahead, as the proportion of
vehicles with standard exhaust systems diminishes in favor of those equipped
with the catalytic oxidizer.
   The particulate trap control option appears to be most cost effective
when applied to heavy duty vehicles, requiring $160 for each ton of
particulates collected.  This advantage is due to the larger emissions
                                    170

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available for collection by the trap from the large volumes of exhaust
emitted from heavy duty vehicles, particularly diesels.
8.2.3  S0  Scrubbers
   Because the important discovery of the interaction of sulfur and
oxidizing catalysts is relatively recent, and because of the uncertainty
associated with the implementation of the catalytic control  device, limited
effort has been directed toward development of auxiliary hardware to circum-
vent the problem that sulfur poses for the catalytic controls.   Perhaps the
most promising equipment which has been developed to be responsive to the
sulfur-catalyst problem is the molten carbonate scrubber-mufflers by
Atomics International.  Designed principally to remove lead vapors in the
heated portion of the exhaust upstream of the catalytic converter, road
tests have shown the scrubber also removes essentially all  the sulfur oxides
               28
in the exhaust.    The unit operates on the basis that lead and sulfur com-
pounds in vehicle exhaust are acidic and will react chemically with
alkaline molten carbonate.  In these reactions, lead vapor is converted to
solid lead carbonates and oxides, and sulfur dioxide is reacted to metal
sul fates.
     The scrubber-muffler device is installed under the engine hood of the
vehicle to utilize maximum heat from the engine exhaust.  The exhaust heat
reaches the 750°F melting point of the molten carbonate mixture rapidly.
Figure 8-5 illustrates the design of the scrubber-muffler unit.  The molten
mixture is aspirated out the venturi suction tube into the gas stream to
facilitate rapid acid-base reactions.  The resulting carbonates and sul fates
are retained by absorption on the mesh.  Particulates are wetted and retained
                                    29
in the carbonate mixture.  Test data   show the collection efficiency for
parti culates in the scrubber is about 90%, making the device both an
effective parti cul ate and SOp control for vehicles not equipped with the
catalytic converter.
Impact of SOp Scrubber on Motor Vehicle Emissions
     The preventions of SOo and particulate emissions when motor vehicles
are equipped with the Atomics International scrubber-muffler system are
shown in Table 8-11..  Because of the very effective control  of SOp and
particulates claimed by Atomics International, the overall  emission control
                                    171:

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       TABLE  8-11.   IMPACT OF SCRUBBER ON  S02  AND PARTICULATE  EMISSIONS
                    FROM MOTOR VEHICLES IN FOUR COUNTY  AREA
Motor Vehicle Category
PARTICULATES
Light Duty
with catalyst
without catalyst
Heavy Duty
Motorcycles and
miscellaneous
TOTAL
SULFUR DIOXIDE
Light Duty
Heavy Duty
Motorcycles and
miscellaneous
TOTAL
Projected Baseline
Emissions
Tons/Day
1977

20.2
20.2
6.6
7.0
54.0

35.6
10,5
-
46.1
1980

25.8
10.0
7.1
7.7
50.6

35.7
11.3
-
47.0
Emission Preventions
Tons/Day
1977

18.1
17.2
5.6
5.9
46.8

33.8
10.0
-
43.8
1980

23.2
8.5
6.0
6.6
44.3

33.9
10.7
-
44.6
Notes:
1.  The scrubber was assumed to have an efficiency of 95% for S02 removal
    and 85% for particulate collection.
2.  Since the scrubber removes SOp upstream of the catalytic oxidizer,
    conversions of S02 to sulfuric acid particulates does not occur.
    Particulates of other types are also removed by the scrubber.  Hence
    it is assumed that particulate emissions from vehicles with the catalytic
    oxidizer will be controlled to 90% efficiency.
3.  It was assumed that the scrubber-muffler unit coyld be adapted for
    retrofit on motorcycles and heavy duty vehicles.31
impact on the motor vehicle population is impressive.   Serious reservation
should probably be maintained relative to this preliminary analyses until
further testing can be accomplished to confirm the very encouraging
preliminary data.
                                    172

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Economics of Scrubber-Muffler System
    The cost to the consumer for the scrubber and muffler device has  been
estimated at $35 for a factory installed device to $45 for retrofit units.
This compares to a typical  muffler purchase and installation cost of
approximately $22.
    Maintenance of the scrubber device consists of replacing the salt
                                                       28
solution every 15,000 to 20,000 miles at a cost of $10.     The life of the
dual function scrubber and muffler is estimated at 50,000 miles.
    The economics of implementing the installation of scrubber devices on
the motor vehicle population as a pollution control  measure is summarized
in Table 8-12.  It has been assumed that the scrubber can be engineered for
adaptability to the motorcycle and the heavy duty vehicle without difficulty
                 31
by the year 1977.    In the absence of any manufacturing cost estimates for
these adapted retrofits, it was assumed their cost would parallel the
relative scale of typical muffler costs for the given vehicle categories.
     TABLE 8-12.  COST OF EQUIPPING VEHICLE POPULATION WITH SCRUBBER
                  DEVICE FOR CONTROL OF S0£ AND PARTICULATE EMISSIONS,
                  FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1977
Motor .
Vehicle
Category
Light Duty
Heavy Duty
Motorcycles &
Miscellaneous
TOTALS
Initial
Purchase and
Installation
Cost
Mill
138
1.2
7.7
146.9
Annual
Operation
Cost
ions of DoT
39.7
.6
.6
40.9
Annual i zed
Cost
lars
76.0
1.3
1.8
79.1
Cost Rer Ton
of Combined SOg
and Parti cul ate
Emissions Prevented
$3020
231
835
$2380
Notes:
1.  Annual operation cost based on $10/15,000 mi, and average annual
    vehicle mileage as follows: Light duty, 10,000; heavy duty, 25,000;
    Motorcycles, 4,000.
2.  Capital costs annualized at 50,000 miles lifetime at 10% interest.
                                    173

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Because the unit has nearly equal effectiveness either as a particulate
trap or for SOg removal, it is applicable as an emission control  for all
the motor vehicle categories, whether they are equipped with catalytic
oxidizers or not.  Clearly the device is more cost effective for those
vehicles not equipped with the device since more emissions would be pre-
vented from these sources for an equivalent cost.  The scrubber would be
most cost effective for heavy duty vehicles from which the greatest
potential of emission preventions exists.
8.2.4  Fuel Substitution
     Conversion to alternative fuels for use in motor vehicles is a
control option which affects preventions of particulates, S02, hydro-
carbons, and NO  simultaneously.  As discussed in Section 3.2.3, methyl-fuel
               J\                                        *
is probably the most desirable of the fuel substitution alternatives.  It
can be used as an additive to current fuel stocks without special adaption,
or can be used as a total motor fuel substitute with"engine adaption.  In
either application, the resulting emission preventions are significant.
     Existing engines can be converted to use methyl-fuel  by decreasing
the ratio of air to fuel consumed from 14 for gasoline to 6 for the methyl -
fuel.  In addition, exhaust recycling is required to deliver more heat to
the carburetor.  The impact of this conversion on vehicle exhaust emissions
is illustrated by the test results shown in Table 8-13.  Considerable
research has demonstrated vehicle operation with the cleaner burning methyl-
fuel produces substantial emission reductions.  Studies have also shown that
methyl-fuel may be handled with existing facilities, and can be used without
requiring major hardware developments.  It was also evident that greater
performance and emission control can be accomplished from an engine
                                   32
designed specifically for methanol.
     Due to the relatively limited development performed to promote
gasoline conversion to methyl-fuel, there are many uncertainties regarding
its utility as a complete fuel substitute.  A preliminary estimate for the
cost of retrofitting in-use vehicles for the methyl-fuel conversion is
$100.  At this cost, the methyl-fuel alternative is competitive with the
catalytic oxidizer retrofit, given that methyl fuel itself is competitive
costwise with gasoline (which it currently is).  Because of the apparent

                                    174

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         TABLE 8-13.   EMISSIONS FROM A 1972 GREMLIN CONVERTED
                      FOR METHANOL CONSUMPTION
Fuel

Gasoline
Methanol
1976 Federal Standards
Hydrocarbons

2.20
.32
.41
CO
gm/nri 1 e
32.5
3.9
3.4
NO,

3.2
.35
.40
     The Gremlin was modified for use with methanol-fuel and equipped
     with a catalytic converter.
     Source:   Reference  (5)
economic feasibility of this fuel conversion for motor vehicles, and the
air quality benefits associated with the conversion, intensified investi-
gations should be organized to ascertain the real near term and far term
potential role of methanol as a motor vehicle fuel.
8.2.5  Tire Options
     A substantial portion of the particulate matter generated by motor
vehicles may be attributed to tire wear.  By 1980, it is estimated that
tire wear will be responsible for 37% of all motor vehicle particulate
pollution.   Yet only minor efforts have been invested to characterize
these emissions, and limited research has been performed to develop potential
controls for their reduction.
     It has been suggested that replacement of standard bias-ply tires with
radial tires would result in significant reductions in airborne tire matter.
Radial tires constructed of fabric, steel,  and fiberglass have demonstrated
total  tire wear (pounds of tire matter per  mile) one-half the rate of standard
               33
bias-ply tires.    It should be noted, however, that the production rate of
airborne tire matter is dependent on the rate at which suspendable particles
of the tire materials are generated.  It has been estimated that, under
average conditions, 5 to 10% of all tire wear becomes airborne as suspended
       34
matter,   and that the remainder exists in  the form of non-suspended
particles deposited near the road.  It is not clear whether a motor vehicle

                                    ,175

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population equipped with radial  tires would emit the same fraction (5-10%)
of its worn tire matter as suspendable particles.  It is conceivable that
the distribution of tire particles arising from wear of radial  tires is in
significant contrast to that characterizing the wear-of the typical  motor
vehicle tire.  Until additional  research is performed to characterize the
particulate matter arising from various types of motor vehicle  tires operating
under representative vehicle travel  conditions, it will not be  clear if
atmospheric levels of airborne tire matter may be controlled by implementation
of vehicle tire options.
                                     176

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                         REFERENCES  FOR SECTION  8.0
1.   Environmental  Protection Agency,  "Air Programs;  Approval  and  Promul-
     gation of Implementation Plans,"  California Transportation  Control
     Plan, Federal  Register, December  12,  1973.

2.   Personal communication with State of  California  Air Resources Board,
     Sacramento, California.

3.   Environmental  Protection Agency,  "Regulations  on Fuels  and  Fuel
     Additive," Environmental Reporter 121:0801, 1973.

4.   G.  Haas,  D.  Lenane, M. Brandt, Ethyl  Corporation,  "Composition,
     Size and Control  of Automotive Exhaust Particulates," Journal  of  the
     Air Pollution Control  Association, January, 1972.

5.   G.  Adelman,  D.  G.  Andrews, "Exhaust  Emissions from a Methanol.-Fueled
     Automobile,"  Society of Automotive Engineers,  paper 720693, August,
     1972.

6.   TRW Transportation  and Environmental  Operations, "The Development of
     a Particulate Implementation Plan for the Los  Angeles Region,"  Report
     #2, Emission  Inventories and Projections, prepared  for  the  Environ-
     mental Protection Agency, June 1974.

7.   Personal communication with Chevron Research Company, San Francisco,
     California.

8.   Personal communication with Atlantic  Richfield Corporation, Los
     Angeles, California.

9.   United States Department of Commerce,  "Automotive Fuels and Air
     Pollution," A Report of the Panel on  Automotive  Fuels and Air
     Pollution, March 1971.

10.  Technical Advisory  Committee to the California State Air  Resources
     Board, "A Rational  Program for Control  of Lead in Motor Gasoline,
     March, 1970.

11.  Sorem, S.S.,  '"Automotive Fuels and Air Pollution,"  statement  by Shell
     Oil Company to the  Arizona Board  of Health, November 20,  1970.

12.  Derived from Reference (9).

13.  Department of California Highway  Patrol,  "California Traffic  Accident
     Summaries, 1972.

14.  Kipp, H. L.,  Ingamells, J. C.,"Ability of Gasoline  Additives  to Clean
     Engines and Reduce  Exhaust Emissions," Society of Automotive  Engineers
     Report 700456, Mid-year Meeting,  Detroit, Michigan, May 18-22,  1970.
                                   177

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15.  William Pierson, . Robert Hammer!e,  Joseph Hummer,  Research,  Ford  Motor
     Company, "Sulfuric Acid Aerosol  Emissions from Catalyst-Equipped  Engines,
     Society of Automotive Engineers,  740287,  February  25 -  March 1, 1974.

16.  Morton Be.ltzer,  Raymond Campion, William Peterson,  Esso  Research and
     Engineering Company, "Measurement of Vehicle Particulate  Emissions,"
     Society of Automotive Engineers,  740286,  February  25 -  March 1, 1974.

17.  Personal communication with Shell Friedlander, California Institute of
     Technology, Pasadena, California.

18.  Personal communication with ESSO  Research and Engineering Company,
     Linden, New Jersey.

19.  Joseph Hunter, "Studies of Catalyst Degradation in Automotive
     Emission Control Systems," Society of Automotive Engineers,  720122,
     January 10-14, 1972.

20.  Personal communication with Environmental Protection Agency, Durham,
     North Carolina.

21.  Personal communication with General Motors Automotive Research, Detroit,
     Michigan.

22.  Statement of the Shell Oil Company, "Compliance with Title II
     (Auto Emission Standards) of the  Clean Air Act, Hearings  before the
     Committee on Public Works, United States  Senate, November 5  and 6,
     1973.

23.  Steele, G., G. Gould, R. Roselius,  W.  Haunschild,  "Clean  Fuels Through
     New Isomax Technology," American  Petroleum Institute 40-73,  May 16,
     1973.

24.  Christensen, R., Chevron Research Company, "Low Sulfur  Products from
     Middle East Crudes," National  Petroleum Refiners Association, AM-73-38,
     April 1973.

25.  California Air Resources Board,   "Surveillance of  Particulate Emissions
     From Mobile Sources, Project 5-4, Status  Report 1, September 1973.

26.  Dennis Lenane,  Ethyl Corporation Research and Development Department,
     Letter of Data Transmittal to  J.  Sommers, Environmental Protection
     Agency, June 7, 1973.

27.  Personal communication with Ethyl Corporation Research  and Development,
     Ferndale, Michigan.

28.  Aerospace Corporation, Final Report:  "An  Assessment  of  the Effects of
     Lead Additives in Gasoline on  Emission;.Control Systems  Which Might be
     Used to Meet the 1975-76 Motor Vehicle Emission Standards,"
     Distributed by NTIS, U. S. Department of  Commerce, November, 1971.


                                    178 i

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29.   Atomics International,  North American Rockwell,  "Evaluation  of a
     Device to Remove Lead and Particulates from Automobile Exhaust,"  A
     Technical Proposal  to the Division of Motor Vehicle Research and
     Development, National Air Pollution Control  Administration,  AI-70-51P,
     August, 1970.

30.   TRW Transportation  and Environmental  Operations, "Air Quality Imple-
     mentation Plan Development for Critical  California Regions," prepared
     for Environmental Protection Agency,  July 1973.

31.   Personal communication with Atomics International, Canoga  Park,
     California.

32.   Synthetic Fuels Panel,  "Hydrogen and Other Synthetic Fuels," Atomic
     Energy Commission,  September 1972.

33.   Personal communication with General Tire and Rubber Company, Rubber
     Research and Development Division, Akron, Ohio.

34.   William Pierson, Wanda Brachaczek, Research, Ford Motor Company,
     "Airborne Particulate Debris from Rubber Tires," August 1973.
                                   ;179

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                    ..9.0  ORGANIC SOLVENTS

     Organic solvents are used extensively 1n the dry cleaning of clothes,
surface ceating operations, printing, degreasing, and a variety of other
related activities.  The role of organic solvent usage in atmospheric
pollution, the current emission control technology being applied to its use,
and the alternative pollution control measures which may be applied to
achieve further emission preventions  are discussed in the following
sections.
9.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS AND CONTROLS
      TABLE 9-1.  ROLE OF ORGANIC SOLVENT EMISSIONS IN
                  ATMOSPHERIC POLLDTION OF FOUR-COUNTY AREA

Year

1972
1977
1980
Percentage of Total Emissions
Particulates

4
3
3
in Four-County Area
Reactive
Hydrocarbons
2
3
3
          Source:  Reference (1).


     The role of organic solvent operations in atmospheric pollution in
the Four County Region is illustrated above.  There are essentially no SOo
or NOX emissions yielded by these operations.  Particulate emissions from
organic solvent sources are projected to maintain the same relative status
with respect to the overall Four County emissions totals for the next few
years.  However, reactive hydrocarbon emissions from organic solvent sources
are expected to develop an increasing prominence in the Four County
emissions total inventory.  This is because additional  emission controls
scheduled for organic solvent operations will not keep pace with the overall
decrease in the total hydrocarbon emission inventory.
     Most of the emissions originating from the use or manufacture of
organic solvents occur from the process of natural  or forced evaporation.

                                   181

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 For example, when architectural coatings are applied with solvents, the
 solvents evaporate into the atmosphere as the coating forms a film.  In
 dry cleaning operation of clothes, the solvents are removed by heat, or
 forced evaporation.  In general, the emissions from these activities are
 hydrocarbon vapors, of varying reactivity depending on the nature of the
 solvents used.  With the federal promulgation of air program implementation
 plans for the State of California, release of solvent vapors to the atmos-
 phere will be prevented by stricter emission controls for dry cleaning and
 degreaslng operations.  The user of solvents in those operations may choose
 to comply with the regulation by applying emission control hardware, or by
 selection of a non-photochemically active solvent.
     The federal emission controls are directed at attaining the oxidant
 ambient air standards, and therefore control stipulations for the use of or-
 ganic solvents address the prevention of reactive hydrocarbons.  The scheduled
 controls do not significantly affect particulate emissions, as can be seen
 in Table 9-2.

         TABLE 9-2.  EMISSIONS FROM ORGANIC SOLVENT OPERATIONS
                     IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Year
1972
1977
1980

Parti cul
8
8.5
8.7
Tons/Day
ates Reactive Hydrocarbons
21.0
14.9
15.4
     Table 9-3 provides an itemized characterization of the various
emission sources resulting from the use of organic solvents in Los
Angeles County.  The-data was extracted from the Emission Inventory  File
now in development by the Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control
District.  It is evident that painting operations in spray booths account
for an overwhelming portion (85%) of the particuUte emissions resulting
from organic solvent use.  This is due to the fact that emissions from
other organic solvent operations are controlled with higher collection
efficiency, while emissions from spray booths are typically controlled to
                                   182

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TABLE  9-3.   CHARACTERIZATION  OF EMISSION SOURCES ARISING FROM
              ORGANIC  SOLVENT OPERATIONS IN  LOS ANGELES COUNTY, 1972
Equipment & Operation
Paint spraying device
n ii n
n n n
ii ii n
n n n
n ii ii
n ii n
n n n
" " "
n n n
n n ii
Brake lining & bonding
Coating - baking
n n
n ii
drying
Spraying device
n n
n ii
Tank, asphaltlc dip
" paint dip
" plastic dip
misc. dip
11
Continuous organic
coating & drying
n n n n
n n M n
Degreaser, tri
Chloroethelyne
'' other
Dry cleaning, petrol.
" ".synthetic &
other
n n n M
n n n ii
Flexograph
n
Letter press
Lithograph
11
Rotogravure
Paint, blending
n ii
" reaction
" baking
Flow coater
ii ii
Rollercoater
n
n
Misc. solvent Convey.
Varnish, shellac, cook.
No. of
Emission Control Utilized Permits
Spray booth, paint * solvent 4227
" high solids paint 3
11 high water paint 4
" " styrenated resins 48
Control, powder coating 8
Spray booth, ceramic 24
" " metal 1z1ng 12
" " paint & solvent 64
" " styrenated resins 3
ceramic 11
other 12
Incineration control ,d1r. flame 1
None 785
Incineration control ,d1r. flame 116
catalytic 6
None 265
Direct flame 26
Dry filter, baghouse 1
Scrubber 2
Scrubber 7
None 142
None 17
None 57
Dry filter, other 1
None 52

Incineration control ,d1r. flame 11
Scrubber 1
None 206

None 509
None 126
None 774

Dry Filter, other 1
" " baghouse 6
None 96
Incineration, direct flame 5
None 14
None 11
Incineration, direct flame 8
None 19
None 18
Baghouse 5
Scrubber 1
None 1
None 76
Incineration control .dlr.flm 6
None 88
Incineration control .dir.flm 26
Mist collector 1
Vapor balancing/gas blanketing 1
Incineration, direct flame 5
Partlculate
Ib/day
Emissions
Actual Preventions
4830.1
6.4
14.4
14.8
.5
62.4
12.9
33.5
.9
79.3
6
.2
232
186
5.1
233
54.4
.4
4
1.2
32.5
.2
6.5
.3
3

0
8
0

1
.6
,2

.6
6.4
0
. 0
0
0
9.6
0
40.8
4
.1
4
70.9
0
1.5
1.5
.1
3.4
24.2
348.3
0
0
0
0
431.8
17.4
0
0
0
0
0
0
870
8.6
0
486.1
3.6
0
.8
0
0
0
15.7
0

0
72
0

0
0
0

5.4
47.6
0
0
0
0
•341.7
0
0
44
.9
0
0
0
0
10.6
..7
0
221.8
        Source:  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District Computer Emission
               Inventory File
                                    183

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 low efficiencies.  The average emission level from a typical paint spray
 booth is relatively small, such that in the majority of cases Rule 66,
 which limits total discharge of organic materials from a given piece of
 equipment to less than 15 pounds of organic materials per day, is not
 violated.  In addition, the emissions are well diluted, so as to comply
 with Rule 52 which limits the concentration of particulate matter arising
 from a source according to the volume discharge, and so as also to comply
 with the visible emissions and nuisance rules (No. 50 and 51).  Table 9-4
 summarizes clearly the important role that paint spraying operations play
 in atmospheric pollution from organic solvent emission sources in the Four
 County Area (th.e distribution relationships of Table 9-3 have been used
 to proportion the Four County Area emissions totals).

     TABLE 9-4.  EMISSIONS FROM PAINT SPRAY BOOTHS AND "OTHER"
                 ORGANIC SOLVENT OPERATIONS, FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1972
Operation
Paint spraying in
spray booth
"Other"
TOTAL
No. of
Permits
4482
3470
7952
Particulate Emissions
Tons/Day
Actual
6.8
1.1.2
8.0
Preventions
1.1
2.8
3.9
Efficiency
of
Control
13.5%
70.8%
32.8%
     Paint spray booths consist of an enclosure in which paint spraying is
conducted.  The spray is directed toward a vented wall  with a ventilation
rate of about 100 to 150 feet per minute per square foot of vent opening.
There are basically three types of devices used to capture the paint spray
before the ventilation fan exhausts the booth air to the atmosphere.  They
are: 1) dry baffle plates, 2) arresters or filters, or 3) a water wash.
Baffle plates capture paint spray particles with low efficiency, and are
generally used as the most economic route for protection of the spray booth
operator and prevention of nuisance emissions.   Arresters or filter paper
provide collection of paint particles with efficiencies up to 98%.  Where
filters are not practical for continuous painting operations, water washes
may be used with collection efficiencies of 95%.
                                    184

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9.2  ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS
     Since paint spraying in spray booths accounts for 85% of all
emissions from organic solvent activities, it follows that it shall  be
the target for additional controls.  Other organic solvent emission
sources will not be considered as likely candidates for additional  control
since 1) they are already controlled to 70% efficiency, and 2) they  only
account for about 1 ton/day of particulate emissions.
     Consultation with spray booth manufacturers revealed the most
frequently used spray booth is about 12 ifeet wide by 7 feet high at  the
venting entry, and is usually equipped with a dry baffle collector.   It
was estimated that 80% of the booths in Los Angeles are of this general
description.2  To improve the efficiency of the 4482 spray booths  (Table 9-4)
operating with county permits, two retrofits are feasible: an arrestor fil-
ter mat, or a water wash.  In many instances the water wash is the more
economic route as servicing requirements are very minimal, while filters
must be replaced regularly when utilized under continuous spray operations.
Impact of Retrofitting Spray Booths with Water Mash
     The emission preventions obtained by retrofitting the present
population of paint spray booths in the Four County Area with a water wash
is shown in Table 9-5.  This control measure can yield a 77% overall
prevention of particulate emissions arising from organic solvent usage.

           TABLE 9-5.  EFFECT OF RETROFIT WATER WASH CONTROL ON
                       EMISSIONS FROM PAINT SPRAY BOOTHS

Year
1977
1980
Baseline
Particulate
Emissions
Tons/ Day
8.5
8.7
Particulate
Emission
• Reductions

6.5
6.7
           1. Reductions calculated on basis of 90% reduction,
              assuming a particulate distribution with 60% of
              particles under 10 micron size.
                                    185

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                                                           2  3
Based on an average retrofit cost of $2800 per spray booth,     annualized
to $280 per year at 10% interest, the total  annualized cost for the  entire
population of retrofits is $1.6 million.   This amounts to  a cost effective-
ness of $724 per ton of particulate emissions  removed from the
atmosphere.
REFERENCES FOR SECTION 9.0
1. TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations,  "The Development
   of A Particulate Implementation Plan  for the Los  Angeles  Region,"
   Report #2, Emission Inventories and Projections,  June,  1974.
2. Personal Communication with Binks Company,  Los  Angeles, and
   De Vilbiss* Los Angeles.
3. Personal Communication with Joy Manufacturing,  Los  Angeles.
                                   186

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                       10.0  METALLURGICAL PROCESSES

     Operations characterizing the metallurgical  industry consist primarily
of metal separation processes.  The processes are carried out in various
types of melting furnaces, which yield high-temperature effluents requiring
air pollution control.  The following discussion provides a characterization
of the emissions arising from present operations in the metallurgical  industry,
the air pollution control methods being utilized to manage these emissions,
and alternative control measures which may be employed to yield further
emission control.
10.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS
     The principal emissions produced during metallurgical operations  are
particulates and S02.  The role of these emissions in total atmospheric
pollution of the Four County Area is shown in Table 10-1.  In future years,
the metallurgy industry is expected to be responsible for about 5% of  all
particulate emissions, and about 3% of the S02 emission inventory.
       TABLE 10-1.  ROLE OF METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY EMISSIONS IN
                    ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION OF FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Percentage of Emissions in Four County Area
Year

1972
1977
1980
Particulates

6
5
5
S02 NOX
3
3
3
     Source:  Reference (1)

     Emissions of the metallurgy industry are generated from the melting of
metals and ores in furnaces.  As the feed in the furnace is melted, combus-
tibles such as grease, oil and burner fuel are burned and emitted along
with refining emissions which consist of oxide fumes of the metal consti-
tuents in the furnace melt mixture.  The quantities of emissions generated

                                    187

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by furnace operation depends mainly on the specific melting process.   The
total emissions deriving from activity of all  metallurgical furnaces  in
the Four County Area is tabulated in Table 10-2.   Emissions from incomplete
combustion constitute a small portion of the furnace effluents, as can be
seen by the relatively minor quantities of NO   generated.
                                             n

        TABLE  10-2.   EMISSIONS  FROM METALLURGICAL  OPERATIONS  IN
                     FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
Year
1972
1977
1980
Particulates
12.3
13.4
14.0
SOg
13.0
15.0
15.9
NO*
.5
.6
.5
     Source:  Reference (1)
10.2 EMISSIONS CONTROLS
     A detailed itemization of emission sources and emission control
equipment of the metallurgical industry is presented in Table 10-3.   It is
evident that substantial  effort has already been employed to achieve  a high
rate of particulate collection efficiency.  The basic control equipment
generally consists of either a baghouse or an electrical precipitator.  A
critical aspegt of the successful control  of furnace dust and fumes  is the
hooding design.  Various  hooding configurations are employed depending on
the layout and shape of the furnace, and the volume of effluent to be
managed.  The most difficult design problem concerns the provision of
adjustability for the hood to facilitate furnace charging and access.  For
the hood to remain effective it must be positioned to allow continuous
capture of emissions arising during the charging process.
     It is estimated by the Los Angeles Air Pollution Control District that
about 92% of all particulate emissions generated from metallurgical  opera-
                                                 2
tions are prevented from entering the atmosphere.   This degree of control
is reflected in the itemization of source controls in Table 10-3.   However,
with regard to emissions  of SOp, there are virtually no controls applied.

                                   188

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S02 emissions arise almost solely from lead refining, in which a substantial
amount of sulfur is present in various forms in the charge to the furnace.
The melting of the charge oxidizes the sulfur compounds resulting in emission
of S02.
     There are a vast number of furnaces utilized in which no emission
control system has been incorporated.   These furnaces are relatively small,
and the effuents which are diluted and discharged to atmosphere by the
hooding capture systems do not constitute a violation of air pollution
regulations.  Nevertheless, these "uncontrolled" emissions account for 58%
the air pollution from all metallurgy  operations.  Table 10-4 provides
a characterization of these small furnaces and their role in emissions from
metallurgical operations.
        TABLE 10-3,  CHARACTERIZATION OF FURNACE CONTROL EFFECTIVENESS,
                     FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1972
Type of
Furnace
Control
None
Baghouse
Preci pita tor
Scrubbers, &
Afterburners
TOTALS
No. of
Permits
1782
483
»
224
2489
Parti culates
Emi tted
from Control
System
7.2
4.7
1.4
12.3
Parti culates
Prevented
from
Emitting
0
128
3.9
132
Control
Efficiency
0
96.4
90.7
91.5
1.  Figures above were computed by applying the composite distribution
    derived from Table 10-3 to the total  metallurgy emission inventory for
    Four County Area.
                                   189

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10.3  ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS
     There are probably very few basic equipment modifications which would
enable significant improvements in particulate collection efficiencies for
those furnaces equipped with control systems.  However it has been found
that baghouses have on numerous occasions been Inadequately maintained,
resulting in poor collection efficiencies (less than 90%).     Baghouse
filters must be designed to be compatible with the effluent gas temperatures,
and condensation should be avoided or filters will saturate.causing increased
pressure drop and exhaust air flow.  Bags must be shaken regularly as furnace
fumes tend to agglomerate on the fibers.  It is conceivable that significant
performance improvements could be affected in furnace emission control
systems if stricter industrial maintenance practices were implemented.
However it would be extremely difficult to assess the benefits of such a
program without extensive investigations of prevailing emission rates and
maintenance procedures.  It is noted however, that the emission inventory
itemization of Table 10-3 credits baghouse installations with a composite
control effectiveness of 96.4% (this is based on estimates derived, for the
most part, from theoretical calculations, and not field measurements),
which, it would seem, already presumes a high degree of maintenance
consciousness.
     The vast number of furnaces which currently are not equipped with
emission control devices can be best retrofitted with baghouse installations
in most instances.  Baghouse operating temperature is an important consi-
deration, and often temperature control must be provided for by installing
extra equipment such as convection cooling columns, or thermal insulation.
     Lead melting operations are presently equipped with baghouse emission
control systems, but this equipment has no substantial effect on S0«
pollution.  Several candidate S0« removal processes may be employed at the
baghouse effluent to obtain preventions of S02 emissions by 90%.  These
controls have been discussed in Section 3.2.2.
Impact of Alternative Controls on Metallurgical Emissions
     The air pollution control benefits of retrofitting baghouse control
systems:>to furnaces which currently are vented directly to the atmosphere
is shown in Table 10-5.  The retrofit measure will provide a 56% reduction
in total particulate matter emitted by metallurgical melting operations.
                                    190.

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TABLE 10-4.  CHARACTERIZATION OF EMISSION SOURCES ARISING FROM
             METALLURGICAL OPERATIONS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY,  1972
Equipment & Operation
Aluminum Pot
Lead and type metal '
ii ii 'u i
H ii u i
u u ii i
Time Solder '
Z1nc & I?1rks1te
n ii i
ii ii i
Z1nc & Kirks ite Retort
II II II
Aluminum Reverbera-
tory/Open Hearth
n n u H
II 11 H II
Brass, Bronze, Copper
Reverb. /Open Hearth
Iron-Steel ' 	
II II II II
Lead Type Metal " "
Zinc & Kirksite " "
II II II H
Aluminum Rotary
Brass (yellow) "
Brass .Bronze, Copper "
Lead & Type Metal
Zinc & Kirksite
Aluminum Sweating Ops
n n i
Lead & Type Metal ' '
Tin & Solder
II II 11
Zinc & Kirksite
Misc. Metals
N II II
Brass (yellow) other
Metal Ops.
Iron - Steel 	
n n M M n
n M H n n
Core Baking
u u
Galvanizing
Tank, chrome plating
or stripping
II II H II
II II U II
Aluminum Crucible
Yellow Brass "
n n H
Brass ,Bronze, Cop. "
n M n H
Iron - Steel "
No. S0
of
Per-
Emission Control Utilized mlts Ac
None 4
None 188
Incinerator Direct Flame 8
Dry Filter, Baghouse 34
Scrubber 1
None 3
None 59
Direct Flame 1
Baghouse 1
18
Scrubbers 1
None 87

Direct Flame 2
Baghouse 7
3

None 9
Electric precipitator 3
Partlculate
2 Emissions Emissions
Ib/day Ib/day
Preven- Preven-
tual tions Actual tions
0 0 6.0 0
0 0 170.6 0
0 0 15.6 6.3
0 0 209 2237
00 .3 .2
00 .10
0 0 101 0
0 0 1.0 9.4
0 0 1.0 8.6
0 0 35.4 807.4
0 0 2.9 142.9
.3 0 .4527 0

0 0 49.6 279.2
0 0 630.2 1536.5
0 0 528 25873

0 0 103.8 0
0 0 216 2808 '
Baghouse 4 620.8 336.0 '20.6 1220
None 4
Baghouse 7
1
None 1
0 0 39.4 0
0 0 20.5 283.5
0 0 2.4 477.6
.2 0 .32 0
Baghouse 6 163.2 0 99.3 1616.7
1
3
None 1
Baghouse 5
0 0 2.9 141.1
0 0 27.5 628.5
0020
0 0 12.7 411.6
6 3348 0 37.2 3758
Direct Flame 2
Baghouse 1
7
None 1
Baghouse 1
1

3
None 1
None 1
None 85
Incineration Contr.Dir.Flm 8
None 6
None 104

Mist collector 17
Scrubber 60
None 50
None 35
Dry Filter, Baghouse 7
None 96
Dry Filter, Baghouse 17
None 1
0 0 5.0 44.6
4.0 2.4 2.5 121.5
0 0 524.8 1193
0 0 .9 0
0 0 14.9 729.1
0 0 1.9 94.1

0 0 72 1368
0 0 4.2 0
14.4 0 20.6 0
.1 0 5.2 0
0 0 .1 1.2
0 0 23.2 0
0 0 10.3 0

0 0 8.8 77.6
0 0 9.6 65.0
0 0 63.3 0
0 0 323.3 0
0 0 21.6 38.8
49.4 0 645.6 0
0 0 75.2 543.7
00 .20
                              191;

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TABLE  10-4.  (CONTINUED)
CHARACTERIZATION  OF EMISSION SOURCES  ARISING
FROM METALLURGICAL OPERATIONS IN LOS  ANGELES
COUNTY,  1972
Equipment & Operation
Lead

& Type Metal ,
Crucible
Magnesium "
Tin & Solder
Z1nc
M1sc
& K1rks1te "
. Metals
Brass, Bronze, Copper

Iron
II
Lead
11
Cupola & Blast
- Steel " "
II II M
& Type Metal " "
II II II II
Aluminum Elec.Arc
Iron
"
M1sc
- Steel " "
II II II
. Metals " "
Aluminum El ec, Induc-
No. S
of
Per-
Em1ss1on Control Utilized mlts Ac
Partlculate
02 Emissions Emissions
Ib/day Ib/day
Preven- Preven-
tual tlons Actual tlons
None 400 14.0 0


None 1 0 0 1.6 0
None 5 0 0 8.6 0
None 5 00 6.4 0
None 2 0 0 2.2 0
Dry FUter.Baghouse 1 0 0 26.4 1317.6


None 1 0 0 1.8 0
Dry Filter, Baghouse 13 0 0 476.6 6381
" " " 1 696 18504 62.4 5938
None 1 336 0 18 0
None 1
.2 0 7.2 0
None 10 0 0 316.1 0
Dry Filter, Baghouse 16 0 0 1204 13138
? 3 0 0 .3 0
None 20 0 0 46.2 0
tive/ resist
Yell os Brass "
II
II II 1
Brass, Bronze »Cop. '
ii
Iron
II
Lead
Misc
H
II I
- Steel
II 1
& Type Metal " "'
. Metals
II 1
None 300 20.8 0
Dry Filter, Baghouse 13 0 0 109.5 838.5
31 0 0 224.2 1494
None 9 0 0 71.4 0
None 41 0 0 193.2 0
Dry Filter, Baghouse 19 0 0 7.3 175.6
None 100 .80
None 1 0 0 1.4 0
Baghouse 2 00 1.4 0
     Source: Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District Computer Emission
            Inventory File.
                                     192

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    TABLE  10-5.   EFFECT OF BAGHOUSE  RETROFIT  ON  UNCONTROLLED
                 PARTICULATE  EMISSIONS  FROM FURNACES  IN  FOUR-COUNTY
                 AREA
Year
1977
1980
Baseline
Parti cul ate
Emissions
Parti cul ate
Emission
Reduction
Tons/Day
7.8
8.2
7.5
7.9
           1.  Reductions based on baghouse collection efficiency
              •of 96%.
     The impact of retrofitting lead processing furnaces with S0« cleanup
systems is shown in Table 10-6.  The add-on SOg removal  systems  require
pretreatment of the effluent for particulate removal, hence they must be
sized to manage the effluent of the baghouses.   In furnace emission control
applications, the baghouse  effluent  Volumes are often several  times that
of the furnace itself due to the dilution  air used to cool the  hot fumes
and prevent condensation or rapid agglomeration of matter on the baghouse
filter fabric.  Based on substantial  studies now being carried out to assess
the performance of SO^ cleanup systems, it is estimated  that 90% of the S02
pollutions generated by metallurgical  activities can be  eliminated.
      TABLE 10-6.  EFFECT OF RETROFITTING SQ2 CLEANUP SYSTEMS TO LEAD
                   REFINING FURNACE EFFLUENTS IN FOUR-COUNTY AREA
Year
1977
1980
Baseline
SO?
Emissions
S02
Emission
Prevention
Tons/Day
15.0
15.9
13.5
14.3
                                    193

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Cost of Emission Controls:

     The cost of retrofitting uncontrolled pollutant emissions  of S02  and

particulars from melting furnaces in the Four County Area is  shown in

Table 10-7.  Several assumptions were necessary in the derivation of the

cost figures, and the estimates are preliminary at best.   However, the

magnitude of the cost effectiveness closely parallels the cost  of other
                     /
similar pollution control systems which are well  documented in  the

literature, and in other sections of this report.   Treatment for S02

removal from the effluent of lead melting furnaces is about ten times  more

cost effective than particulate collection from the small  uncontrolled

furnaces scattered about the Four County Area.

     TABLE 10-7.  COST OF RETROFIT CONTROL ALTERNATIVES FOR METALLURGICAL
                  FURNACE EMISSIONS, FOUR-COUNTY AREA, 1977
Control
Option
Baghouse
SO 2 Cleanup
System
No. of
Furnaces
Requiring
Retrofits
1782
12
Purchase Annual
and Instal- Operating Annual i zed
lation Cost Cost Cost
Millions of Dollars
18. 6a 1.5b 3.4
4.0C .ld .5
Cost Per Ton
of Pollutant
Emissions
Prevented
$1242
$ 101
1. Annualized cost based on 30 year lifetime @ 10% interest.

aln absence of detailed equipment inventory, several  assumptions  were
made: 1) hood size of 5 ft' assumed for capture of fumes  over furnace  @
150 fpm = 750 scfm per unit, 2) multiplicity of lead  furnaces assumed  at
each site, such that one baghouse would serve approximately four  furnaces
for the average case. 444 baghouses are needed to handle  3000 scfm each,
3) cost is based on Ref.(6), plus 2Q% additional  for  ducting installation.

 Reference (6).
CS02 removal  systems were sized by 1) average emission load (420  Ib/day)1
of 12 permits shown in Table 10-3, adjusted to official APCD total  SO?
metallurgical emission inventory to give 1000 Ib/day  per  permit (which
slightly exceeds Rule 53, Allowable Sulfur Concentration);  2) typical  bag-
house effluent volume for lead smelting operation^ as 3.3 scfm per Ib/day
of emissions  processed.  Hence total baghouse effluent volume to  be treated
by SO? removal system for Four Countv Area in 1977 =  100,000 scfm, for
approximately 30 separate permits. 3) capital costs based on Envirotech
Double Alkali S02 Scrubber System7 ($4.0 million  per  100,000 cfm  of
effluent processed).

 Reference (7).
                                   194

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REFERENCES FOR SECTION 10.0

1.  TRW Transportation and Environmental  Operations,  "The Development
    of a Particulate Implementation Plan  for The Los  Angeles  Region,"
    Report #2, Emission Inventories and Projections,  June 1974.

2.  Air Pollution Control  District, County of Los Angeles, "Profile of
    Air Pollution Control," 1971.

3.  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control  District,  "Air Pollution
    Engineering Manual," Document  AP-40,  Environmental  Protection
    Agency, May 1973.

4.  Personal  communication with Los Angeles County Air  Pollution
    Control District.

5.  Personal  communication with Arthur D.  Little Company, New York.

6.  U. S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, National  Air
    Pollution Control  Administration, "Control Techniques for
    Particulate Air Pollutants.

7.  Personal  communication with Envirotech Emission Control Division,
    San Mateo, California.
                                   1951

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                        11.0  CHEMICAL PROCESSING INDUSTRY
     Emissions produced by the chemical processing industry originate from
a wide variety of equipment categories such as resin kettles, varnish
cookers, sulfur scavenger plants, acid plants, detergent manufacturing
equipment, glass manufacturing plants, food processing plants,electroplat-
ing equipment, and others.  The emissions arising from the use of this
equipment, and the air pollution control methods being utilized to manage
these emissions, are discussed in the following sections.
11.1  BASELINE EMISSIONS
      The principal emissions arising from chemical processing activities
are particulates and SOp.  The role of these emissions in total atmospheric
pollution of the Four County Area is shown in Table 11-1.  In future years
the chemical industry is projected to be responsible for about 4% of all
particulate emissions, and only 2% of the S02 emission-,inventory.  Emissions
of S02 are expected to be reduced dramatically by 1977 owing to the impact
of Rule 53.2 of the Los Angeles Air Pollution Control District.  Rule 53.2
will provide for reduction of S02 emissions from the vent gas of sulfur
recovery plants.  S02 removal processes are presently being applied in
Los Angeles to reduce these emissions below 500 ppm.
              TABLE  11-1.   ROLE  OF CHEMICAL  PROCESSING  INDUSTRY  IN
                           ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION  OF FOUR-COUNTY  AREA
Percentage of Emissions
in Four County Area
Year
1972
1977
1980
Particulates
4
4
4
SO?
22
2
2
      Source:  Reference (1)

      The total emissions deriving from chemical processing operations is
tabulated in Table 11-2.
                                    197

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              TABLE  11-2.   EMISSIONS  FROM CHEMICAL  PROCESSING
                           OPERATIONS IN  FOUR-COUNTY  AREA,
                           TONS/DAY
Year
1972
1977
1980
Parti culates
9.2
9.7
10.1
S02
97
10
10
NOX
.4
.5
.5
11.2  EMISSION CONTROLS
      A detailed itemization of emission sources and emission control
equipment for particulate emissions of the chemical  processing industry is
presented in Table 11-3.   It is apparent that appreciable effort has al-
ready been invested to achieve a high rate of particulate collection
efficiency.  Particulate control devices being used  consist of mechanical
collectors, wet scrubbers, electrostatic precipitaiors, filters, and
incinerators.  Table 11-3 shows that the Los Angeles Air Pollution Control
District estimates that about 97% of all particulate emissions generated by
chemical processing operations are prevented from entering the atmosphere.
      The principal source of S02 emissions from the chemical industry are
sulfur recovery plants which process the offstream acid gases at oil
refineries.  The acid gases are processed by the recovery plants to obtain
sulfur and vent gases.  Previously these vent gases  were incinerated and
discharged through a stack to the atmosphere.  The concentration of S02 in
these stack gases varied between 2000 and 20000 ppm.  The S02 from the
stacks of these plants are now being controlled by new available technology
(see Section 3.2.2) to a stack discharge concentration of less than 500 ppm.
S02 removal processes have now been applied successfully to most recovery
plants in Los Angeles, but in some instances inadequate control systems were
initially installed, causing delays in the compliance schedule.  Scheduled
equipment replacements or improvements will insure compliance before 1977.
11.3  ALTERNATIVE CONTROLS
      The control equipment inventory of Table 11-3  illustrates the
substantial degree of control (reflecting the best available tech-
nology) which has been accomplished over particulate emissions from the
                                   198

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chemical  industry in Los Angeles  County.     It  is  presumed  (in the
absence of suitable data for confirmation)  that a  similar level of
particulate emission control  has  been  accomplished throughout the remainder
of the Four County Area, since the process  emission regulations are fairly
consistent for the various counties.   With  respect to  the emissions of S02
the newly adopted regulations for sulfur  recovery plants  are especially
stringent, requiring committment  of oil  refineries to  utilization of ex-
pensive control equipment still in its infant stages of development.  These
controls  are to be implemented throughout Los Angeles  County, which contains
all sulfur recovery plants within the  Four  County  Area.  Owing to the impact
of S02 and particulate regulations in  the Four  County  Area,  it would not
appear that significant additional emission reductions can  presently be
achieved with reasonable available technology.   Hence, no alternative
control measures have been identified  for the chemical processing industry.
                                    199

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TABLE 11-3.  CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICULATE EMISSION SOURCES ASSOCIATED
             WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY,
             1972
Equipment & Operation
Plastic & Virus,
Extrusion
M H H
Plastic & Virus,
Rolling
H H H
Plastic & Virus,
Reaction
II • II M
II II II
Plastic & Virus,
Organic Add.
M H H
Plastic & Virus,
Baking
Plastic & Virus,
Coaling
Plastic & Virus,
Size Reduction
ii n H
Plastic & Virus,
Size Class.
Polyester, Garnet-
ting
n n
Polyester, Organic
Addition
Polyethylene Blending
" Conveying
" Packaging
Pellet-
Izing
Polystyrene, Extrusion
Pellet-
izlng
Polystyrene, Organic
Addition
Polystyrene, Size
Reduction
Polyvinyl acetate,
Reaction
Polyvinyl acetate
Organic Add.
Polyvinyl chloride,
Blending
n n
Polyvinyl chloride,
Conveying

Emission Control Utilized
None

Dry Filter, Baghouse
None

Incineration Direct Flame
None

Dry Filter, Other
Scrubber
None

Direct Flame
None

None

None

Baghouse
Baghouse

None

Baghouse
Scrubber

None
None
Dry Filter, Other
Incineration Flare

Floating Roof
Dry Inertial Separator

None

Baghouse

None

None

None

Baghouse
None

No.
of
Per-
mits
1

1
1

1
2

1
1
10

1
1

2

7

4
3

1

2
3

2
1
1
1

2
1

4

1

2

5

4

3
8

1
Partlculate
Emissions
Ib/day
Actual
.8

6
12

34
18

2.4
24
.9

15.8
8

.8

21.5

5.7
16.8

4

5.2
2.2

.8
1.2
.2
.2

2.4
2.4

7.2

8

.8

6.7

12.3

5.4
112

Preven-
tions
0

54
0

51
0

237.6
216
0

0
0

0

0

127.1
40.8

0

15.2
.2

0
0
2.2
239.8

237.6
237.6

0

792

0

0

0

45.8
0
'1
                               200

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TABLE 11-3 (CONTINUED)  CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICULATE EMISSION  SOURCES
                        ASSOCIATED WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN
                        LOS ANGELES COUNTY, 1972
Equipment & Operation
Polyvlnyl chloride,
Conveying
Polyvlnyl chloride
Drying
ii H
Polyvlnyl chloHdd
Extrusion
Polyvlnyl chloride
Pellet1z1ng
Polyvinyl chloride
Size Reduction
Polyvinyl chloride
Storage other
ii H
Detergents Cleaners
Blending
ii H
Detergent Cleaners
Conveying
H H
Detergents Cleaners
Drying
H H
H H
H H
H n
Detergents Cleaners
Packaging
n n
M n
n H
Detergents Cleaners
Pelletizing
Detergents Cleaners
Reaction
n n
n n
Detergents Cleaners
Inorganic Addition
n ii
n n
n n
Detergents Cleaners
Size Reduction
Detergents Cleaners
Size Classification
Detergents Cleaners
Storage, Other
Emission Control Utilized
Dry Inertlal Separator

Direct Flame
Baghouse
n

Scrubber

Baghouse

None

Baghouse
Dry Inertial Separator

Scrubber
None

Dry Filter Baghouse
None

Baghouse
Dry Inertial Separator
Electrical Precipatator
Scrubber
None

Dry Filter Other
Baghouse
Scrubber
" Baghouse

None

Baghouse
n
Compres. & Condensation

Incineration, Direct Flame
Dry Filter, Other
Scrubber
n

n

None

No.
of
Per-
mits
1

1
4
1

1

1

13

3
1

12
13

11
4

2
1
1
4
2

1
2
1
1

8

1
3
1

1
1
3
1

1

19

Paniculate
Emissions
Ib/day
Actual
6.4

4
177.6
2

24

.6

102.2

72
2.9

42
101.2

108.5
27.2

10.3
24
260
832
1.4

.9
8
2
12

86.8

8.2
48.8
144

24
6
24
4

.8

3.1

Preven-
tions
87.6

0
8393
18

99.2

5.4

0

3528
54.7

318
0

1529.7
0

388.1
2376
15340
110519
0

8.1
792
18
1188

0

811.8
311.2
'1296

216
234
216
76

15.2

0

                                    201

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TABLE 11-3 (CONTINUED)  CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICULATE EMISSION SOURCES
                        ASSOCIATED WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN
                        LOS ANGELES COUNTY, 1972
Equipment & Operation
Detergents Cleaners
Storage, Other
Dross Size Class.
Synthetic Fertilizer
Blending
H H
Synthetic Fertilizer
Conveying
Flux Blending
Foams, Plastic, Rubber
Blending
Foams, Plastic, Rubber
Packaging
Foams, Plastic, Rubber
Size Reduction
Polyurethane, Blending
n H
Polyurethane Organic
Addition
Rubber Synthetic Blend.
n ii n
n n ii
Rubber Synthetic Con-
veying
Rubber Synthetic Reac-
tion
n n n
Rubber Synthetic
Cooking
Rubber Synthetic
Size Reduction
n n
Sulfur Conveying
Oxidation
n n
Sulfur Size
Reduction
Sulfur Size Class.
Sulfurlc Add,
Adsorption
Sulfurlc Add,
Conveying
n n
n n
Sulfurlc Add
Reaction
Sulfurlc Add
Storage, Other
Emission Control Utilized
Baghouse

None
Baghouse

Scrubber
Baghouse

None
n

n

n

n
Dry Filter, Baghouse
None

11
Dry Filter, Other
" " Baghouse
n n • H

Furnace or Boiler Firebox

Scrubber
n

None

Incineration D1r. Flame
None
Incineration Flame
Dry Filter, Baghouse
None

None
n

n

Furnace or Boiler Firebox
Scrubber
None

II

No.
of
Per-
mits
1

1
2

1
3

1
2

1

1

1
1
3

14
3
2
4

1

1
4

4

1
9
1
1
1

1
2

3

2
1
1

35

Parti cul ate
Emissions
Ib/day
Actual
8

24
22.9

20.7
44

1.5
2.4

2.3

8

.1
.8
8

408.2
31.2
8.4
60.8

12

120
24

6.8

.6
7.8

.2
24

8.4





.2




Preven-
tions
72

0
2263

870.3
436

0
0





0
79.2
0

0
520.8
279.6
1107.2

0

360
72

0

0
0

.8
0

0





.2




                                  202

-------
TABLE 11-3 (CONTINUED)  CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICIPATE EMISSION SOURCES
                        ASSOCIATED WITH CHEMICAL "PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN
                        LOS ANGELES COUNTY., 1972
Equipment & Operation
Sulfuric Add
Storage, Other
Ethyl ene, Adsorption
Ethyl ene Separation
Organic Chemicals,
M1sc. Blending
Organic. Chemicals,
M1sc. Conveying
Organic Chemicals,
Misc. Drying
Organic Chemicals,
Misc. Reactions
Organic Chemicals,
Organic Addition
H M
Rubber Blending
" Extrusion
II II
Rubber, Size Class;
Plastic Curing
n M
Plastisol Curing
M n
Rubber Curing
Acid (organic)
Blending
Acid (organic)
Conveying
Acid (organic)
Oxidation
Acid (organic)
Storage, Other
Acid (inorganic)
Blending
n n
Acid (inorganic)
Storage, Other
n H
Acid (inorganic)
Treating
Adhesives, Blending
n n
Adhesives Organic
Addition
Alums Conveying
AmBorifam Sulfate,
Conveying
Ammonium Sulfate
Conveying
Emission Control Utilized
Scrubber

None
n
n

Baghouse

None

n

Direct Flame

Baghouse
11
None
Baghouse
Direct Flame
None
Incineration Dir. Flame
None
Scrubber
None
n

n

Adsorption

Scrubber

None

Scrubber
None

Adsorption
Scrubber

None
Dry Filter Baghouse
None

n
Baghouse

Scrubber

No.
of
Per-
mits
2

1
1
11

1

2

2

1

2
1
1
1
1
99
5
20
1
5
2

2

1

2

2

1
6

10
1

14
.7
1

1
1

1

Partlculate
Emissions
Ib/day
Actual
.4

1.0
3.4.
8

1

1.4

24

.7

.4
8.4
1.6
.1
.2
123.7
.2
69.7
1.8
0
1.4

16

2.4

.4

8

4


.1


39.1
59.9
2.5

16
1.6

2.4

Preven-
tions
7.2

0
0
0

99

0

0

0

2.6
18
2.9
2.9
1.4
0
1.4
0
8
0
0

0

0

.4

0

124


0


0
1242.1
0

0
158.4

216

                                     203

-------
TABLE 11-3 (CONTINUED)
CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTIOULATE EMISSION SOURCES
ASSOCIATED WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS'IN
LOS ANGELES COUNTY., 1972
Equipment & Operation
Boron Compounds, Pkg.
ii H H
Boron Compounds Storage,
Other
Carbon Black Activated
Conveying
H H H
Carbon Blk. Act. Drying
	 Dump.
	 Pkg.
Carbon Black Activated
Size Reduction
Carbon Black Activated
Size Classification
Chemical (Inorganic)
Blending
H H
H H
H H
Chem. (1norg.) Convey.
H n H
" Drying
n n n
Pkg.
n n n
" " Reaction
n n n
Chemical (Inorganic)
Inorganic Addition
Chemical (Inorganic)
Size Reduction
n n
Chemical (Inorganic)
Size Classification
n n
Coal Tar Flur1d1zat1on
Cosmetics, Blending
Detergents & Cleaners
Blending
n ii n
n n n
n n M
Pharmaceuticals, Blend.
n n
" Dry.
n n
" Reaction
" Size Reduct.
n n n
Emission Control Utilized
None
Dry Filter, Other
Baghouse

None

Baghouse
Incineration D1r. Flame
Baghouse
n
n

ii

None

Dry Filter, Other
Baghouse
Scrubber
None
Baghouse
None
Scrubber
None
Scrubber
None
Scrubber
II

Dry Filter, Other

Baghouse
None

Baghouse
Incineration D1r. Flame
Baghouse
None

Adsprptlon
Dry Filter, Other
Baghouse
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber
None
Baghouse
Scrubber
Baghouse
Scrubber
No.
of
Per-
mits
2
1
1

5

1
1
1
2
2

1

11

1
3
1
10
4
2
1
1
1
5
2
2

1

4
1

1
1
20
17

1
2
12
11
1
7
1
1
9
1
Partlculate
Emissions
Ib/day
Actual
1.2
.8
192

43.6

2.4
.5
.2
2
4

.2

8.6

15.2
2.9
.2
82.7
67.2
245
13.5
27
4
50.5
4


.2

8.6
24

.4
14.4
14.1
19.5

.8
3
7.2
8.3
.2
.9
.2
.8
2.9
1.6
Preven-
tions
0
4
35808

0

237.6
4.3
23.8
3.6
68

8.8

0

136.8
33.9
1.8
0
3037
0
121.5
0
0
0
16


23.8

794


5.6
705.6
1279
0

.8
27
104.8
35.1
1.6
0
15.7
7.2
13.3
0
                                     204

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TABLE 11-3 (CONTINUED)  CHARACTERIZATION OF. PARTICULATE EMISSION SOURCES'
                        ASSOCIATED WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN
                        LOS ANGELES COUNTY, 1972
Equipment & Operation
Phthalic anhydride,
Distillation
Phthalic Anhydride,
Refining
Phthalic Anhydride,
Oxidation
Phthalic. Anhydride,
Storage Other
Phosphoric acid, React.
11 Oxidat.
• Phosphates Blending
" Conveying
H ii
n n
" Drying
" Packaging
" Reaction
" Size Reduct.
" Storage, Other
Pigments, Blending
ii n
" Conveying
11 Drying
" Packaging
11 Size Reduct.
11 Stor. Other
Plastic & Resins Blend.
n n n n
n n n
n n n
11 " Convey.
II M II
II II II
II II II
" " Drying
Gypsum, Storage Other
Hydrocarbon Misc. Blendi
Hydrocarbon Misc. Con-
veying
Hydrocarbon Mi sec
Cracking Catalytic
Hydrocarbon Misc.
Storage, Other
Hydrocarbon Misc.
Treating
Hydrogen Manuf.
Reaction
Hydrogen sulfide
Distillation
Emission Control Utilized
Scrubber

Baghouse

Incineration, Dir. Flame

None

Mint Collector
None
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Other
" " Baghouse
Scrubber
None
None
Baghouse
n
None
Baghouse
None
n
11
n
Baghouse
None
Baghouse
Dry Inertial Separation
Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Other
" " Baghouse
Dry Inertial Separation
None
None
n
M

Incineration Control Flare

Inciner. Furn. or Boil. Fire
box
None

n

n

No.
of
Per-
mits
1

1

1

0

1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
10
1
1
1
2
8
1
23
8
2
2
4
1
5
1
3
1
4
51

2

1

3

1

7

Partlculate
Emission
Ib/day
Actual
.7

6

235.6

3.1

76.8
192
2.4
6
8.4
40
16
48
48
.1
48
18.1
.5
2
2
2.7
14.1
.3
42.1
153.2
24
2.3
24.5
7
52.4
31.2
5.6
7.2
12
537.6







2.4



Preven-
tions
143.3

594

9365

0

235.2

41.6
0
312
0
144
0
0
.7
0
0
149.5
0
0
0
0
59.7
0
211.6
72
20.3
0
0
1307.6
592.8
0
0
0
0







0



                                    205

-------
TABLE 11-3  (CONTINUED)
CHARACTERIZATION OF PARTICIPATE  EIBISSION SOURCES
ASSOCIATED  WITH CHEMICAL PROCESSING OPERATIONS IN
LOS ANGELES COUNTY, 1972





Equipment & Operation
Hydrogen sulflde
Distillation
Hydrogen sulflde
Treating
Ink, Blending
Insecticides. Blend.
H it
n H
" Conveying
Pellet1z1ng
n n
" Reaction
Keton, Organic
Addition
Lead Oxide. Blending
n n n
" " Conveying
n M n
" " Packaging
n n , n
11 Oxidation
" " Inorganic
Addition
Lead Oxide, Size
Reduction
Lead Oxide, Size
Classification
Lead Oxide, Storage
Other
Halelc Anhydride
Storage Other
Napthenlc adds,
Conveying
Napthenlc Adds,
Separation
Perfume 4 Cologne
Blending


•


Emission Control Utilized
None

None

Scrubber
None
Dry Filter, Baghouse
Scrubber
Baghouse
11
Dry Inertlal Separator
Scrubber
Furnace or Boiler Firebox

Baghouse
Scrubber
None
Baghouse
None
Baghouse
H
n

None

Baghouse

n

None

H

Furnace or Boiler Firebox

None

Totals


No.
of
Per-
mits
2

6

1
5
1
2
2
2
1
1
2

3
5
4
16
1
4
3
1

1

2

4

5

2

2

3


Partlculate
Emission
Ib/day


Actual




2
9.2
4
4.8
.7
.6
.1
48
22

1.2
11.6
29
134.8
2.4
3.5
26.4
1.1

2

15.8

29.8

3.5





5

6665
Preven-
tions




6
0
36
92.7
6.5
17.4
63.9
432
0

24.8
92.4
0
2412.7
0
41.2
785.4
10.1

0

142.6

998.2

0





0

278919
     Source:  Los Angeles County Air Pollution Control District Computer Emission
             Inventory File.
                                     206

-------