REVIEW OF ANOMALOUS OZONE PHENOMENA AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR AIR QUALITY CONTROL STRATEGIES TEKNEKRONJNC. ------- REVIEW OF ANOMALOUS OZONE PHENOMENA AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR AIR QUALITY CONTROL STRATEGIES Prepared by: Teknekron, Inc. 1019 19th Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20036 for: Standards and Regulations Evaluation Division Office of Planning and Evaluation U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Project Officer: Joseph Kivel BOA NO. 68-01-2433 Task Order No. 1 May 1975 Teknekron,Inc. ------- REVIEW OF ANOMOLOUS RURAL OZONE PHENOMENA AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR AIR QUALITY CONTROL STRATEGIES 1.0 INTRODUCTION Until about five years ago, ozone as.an atmospheric pollutant was considered to be an essentially urban problem resulting primarily from photochemical reactions involving mobile source emissions of oxides of nitrogen and re- active hydrocarbons. Rural concentrations of ozone had not been systemati- cally measured because they were assumed to be insignificant on the basis that, during the transport of air masses from urban to non-urban art *"' "*' locally generated ozone content would be in part destroyed and in part diluted. in fact, most rural ozone level measurements at ground level per- formed prior to 1970 did not reflect concentrations high enough to represent 'a source of concern. The term "high" as used here references EPA's primary and secondary National Ambient Air Quality Standards for photochemical oxi- dants. Both of these are set at 0.08 ppm, which is a maximum one hour con- centration not to be exceeded more than once annually. By a "high" concentra- tion is meant one which exceeds this standard. In 1970 EPA conducted an investigation of damage to Christmas trees in Mt. Storm, West Virginia and Gorman, Maryland believed to be caused by S02 emis- sions of local origin. In the course of air quality measurements performed during this study, relatively high oxidant concentrations were encountered. For example, of 1,782 hourly measurements made at one monitoring site, 60.8% x^S equalled or exceeded the £.06 ppgr standard and 5.7% .equalled or exceeded 0.1 ppm. It was noted that many of the highest values were observed at night, rather than during periods of maximum solar radiation intensity. Teknckron,Inc. ------- -2- The oxidant concentrations were measured during the period May 29, 1970 to September 9, 1970. Measurements of NO levels, performed during the A ^ , n i - same period at the same sites, indicated concentrations at about background level and considered too low to account for local oxidant generation. One .conclusion of the report was to the effect that the available data were in- sufficient to provide a satisfactory explanation of the observed photo-oxidant levels. Additional measurements were made in Mt. Storm, West Virginia area by Research 2 Triangle Institute (RTI) during the period August 26 - September 9, 1970 , em- « ploying both colormetric techniques (for total oxidant) and a chemiluminescent ozone meter. The data show a considerable average diurnal variation in oxidant levels from about 0.04 ppm at 8:45 A.M. to 0.075 ppm during the afternoon and evening hours (1:00 to 7:00 P.M.). Further comparisons of the data obtained from the-two above techniques indicated that most of the observed oxidant (about 90%) was ozone. During a later (1972) study, Research Triangle Institute performed a study in the areas of Garrett County, Maryland and Preston County, West Virginia which overlapped much of the region in which EPA had conducted the earlier investigations cited above. The key objectives of this study were: verification of the high ozone concentrations previously encountered in neighboring areas delineation of horizontal and vertical distributions of atmospheric regions exhibiting high concentrations of ozone Teknekron,Inc. ------- -3- determination of ozone synthesis and destruction rates and also transport patterns identification of ozone source(s) (in the area studied) The principal findings and conclusions were: a) The occurrence of high concentrations of ozone was verified. v/ About 11% of all one hour samples exceeded NAAQS (0.08 ppm) b) The local atmosphere was considered to be well mixed, so that it was not believed that the high ozone concentrations were >/ restricted to ground or near ground level c) The area of high ozone concentration occurrence was relatively ^ wide spread d) While ozone synthesis rates could not be determined, destruction rates (normalized)were considered "well within the range expected for naturally occurring'agents of local origin." e) Local ozone formation was not considered to be a likely causal factor. Data resulting from measurements near high voltage power lines was inconclusive; local atmospheric concentrations of N02 and non-methane hydrocarbons were at background levels and thus the possibility of significant ozone generation by photosynthesis was ruled out. f) The following hypothesis was advanced to explain the observed ozone concentrations: Ozone precursors, generated at (unidenti- fied) sites remote from the study area, enter the troposphere. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -4- The air mass containing these is, because of 'appropriate meterological conditions" transported to the area. Ozone 4£^syntnesized during transport. It is also assumed that that the precursors (which are also ozone destructors) are consumed in the process, leaving appreciable CL concentrations . which reach lower atmospheric levels through turbulence. During the summer of 1973, Research Triangle Institute conducted a four 4 state investigation for the purpose of determining the extensiveness of nonurban distribution of high ozone concentrations. The study sites were located at McHenry, Maryland; Kane, Pennsylvania; Coshocton, Ohio; and Lewisburg, West Virginia. The major findings were: a) NAAQS for photochemical oxidants were exceeded at these sites with significant frequency (15% to 37% of the hours from June 26 to September 30, 1973 for the different sites). b) Except at McHenry, Maryland, N0? concentrations were insignifi- cant. c) The pattern of diurnal variation, with the 0, concentrations peaking late afternoon or early evening, was similar for all four sites. d) Changes in ozone concentration at the four monitoring sites occurred with little, if any, lag. While the above study was in progress, ozone measurements above ground level were conducted via aircraft during.a few days in August and September 1973. Tcknekron,Inc. ------- -b- The data indicated that the concentrations of 0^ observed at ground level extended up to several thousand feet, but not above the inversion layer. The basic conclusion was that the observed ozone concentrations^were gejierated in the 1 ower atmojpMiie-.aci.cL.w.epe-nQ't^t-pa.n.s.ported.-v.er.t-ica-Lly..downward from the stratosphere in consequence of turbulence. The observation common to most of the above studies to the effect that ozone concentration peaks generally occurred after the periods of maximum solar radiation was specifically addressed only in the last report cited (refer- ence 5). The opinion was expressed that this delayed peak was more suscept- ible to explanation on the basis of NO oxidation occurring in association with hydrocarbons of relatively low reactivity than through transport from the stratosphere. There have been several reports of high concentrations of ozone in western non-urban areas, such as Pt. Magu, California where the high (L levels were believed to be caused by precursors generated in or near Los Angeles. Other instances of high non-urban ozone concentrations in California which are attributed to transport (as opposed to local origin) occurred in Mineral 7 8 King Valley and in Indio which is 140 miles from Los Angeles. The Indio observations are of particular interest in that the observed 03 levels ex- ceeded the 0.08 standard with higher frequency than was true of any other monitoring site within the State. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -6- Other reported observations of high 0,. levels in non-urban areas include: q Miami, Florida (attributed to long range transport) Several sites in Florida and Alabama . Jhe^datr NAAQS were exceeded most frequently during winter and early spring. (M. Martinez of EPA's Monitoring and Data Analysis Division has noted that these seasons are preceeded by continental air mass movements and that this suggests long-range transport of 03.) New York State . Correlation of ozone levels observed at urban and non-urban sites suggested a common source which is believed to be external to the State. The report questions whether the observed high levels of intrastate ozone can be attributed primarily to manmade sources as opposed to the contributions of naturally occurring precursors and transport from the stratosphere. 12 Wisconsin . During the summer of 1973, observed concentra- tions of ozone exceeded NAAQS at seven sites, one of which was a rural area in the south-central portion of the State. Wind transport was believed to be the causal factor. The above investigations by no means exhaust the list of rural ozone con- centrations studies performed to date. They do, however, suffice to indi cate the prevalence of occurrence of high non-urban levels of CL. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -7- 2.0 .DISCUSSION A variety of mechanisms has been suggested for accounting for observed rural ozone concentrations. High non-urban levels (that is, levels exceeding NAAQS) are of particular concern because of their possible air pollution control implications. The term "possible" is used in this context because these implications cannot be considered independently of the causal mechan- isms, some of which may lie beyond the reach of control measure capabilities. The principal mechanisms which have been considered to date include: a) Meteorological transport of anthropogenic ozone to non-urban s i tes. b) Meteorological transport of anthropogenic ozone precursors to non-urban sites, with ozone production occurring either en route or on.arrival. c) Meteorological transport of naturally occurring statospheric ozone downward to ground level. Local formation by high voltage power lines. e) Local photochemical formation due to natural precursors. ' /f)/ Local formation caused by lightening. ^/ At least two of the above mechanisms can obviously be eliminated as signifi- cant causes, namely (d) and (f). As indicated earlier, measurements of ozone formed in the vicinity of power lines did not show conclusive results. Fur- ther, 0- formation by this means would be local rather than pervasive. While lightning discharges may generate appreciable quantities of ozone, such generation i s sporadic_and_i,n_n.Q_y/ay_ ciLrrelaias. w.lth-.tJbe,,observed data. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -8- The possibility of appreciable rural ozone formation caused by solar irradi- ation of naturally occurring precursors (e) has been considered. R.A. Rasmussen - =_=^CT~~=> and K.H. Rasmu^s_en___jstimajbeJtjiat the total world-wide emission rates of re- active hydrocarbons of botanical origin may exceed total antropogenic HC ' emission rates by a factor of six. The generation of hydrocarbons by plant species is, from a global viewpoint, a widely diffused process so that con- centrations of HC ini^urJMjasnay be less than those observed in urban '~~ ' ~ - and near-urban areas characterized by large volumes of veh .......,JEg,3r~E.-a: ft i-T^ar- 1 g-r~r**-^r **-£!' " CT-^TT: -r- **-£ «ST-.»-.XJT y^- -r*fc»-?^*"s»«».J'.^«*i^ ' '- and/or the presence of stationary emitting sources. Further, in some rural settings, remote from man-made emissions, it was noted that prevailing NO /\ concentrations were at or near background levels. This, however, is not intended to imply that the role of naturally occurring precursors in rural ozone formation is wholly dismissed as a serious possibility. EPA reaction chamber studies conducted at RTP indicate that the ratio of CL molecules formed per reacting carbon atom is about 4/1. Non-methane hydrocarbon con- 15 ^ centration.measurements performed in rural areas of Ohio in 1974 indicated average values ranging from 0.09 ppm to 0.33 ppm (as carbon) for three study sites. Such concentrations of hydrocarbons, if fully reacted,could potentially generate ozone levels substantially above NAAQS (0.08 ppm). (In this context, note that the national primary and secondary ambient air quality standard for hydrocarbons is 0.24 ppm as a maximum 3 hour concentration not to be exceeded more than once annually. A concentration, of _on1.y onejtenth of jthis ! standard represents a potential ozone level of approximately 0.096 ppm.) Teknekron,Inc. ------- -9- The possibility of vertical transport of naturally occurring stratospheric ozone to ground levels (c) during frontal passages (or through other meteoro logical mechanisms) has often been suggested as an explanation for high ob- served rural concentrations of oxidant. Rasmussen considers that ozone transported from the stratosphere may typically account for about 0.03 to 0-. 05 ppm of the total observed ground levels. He also estimates that pre- cursors of plant origin may contribute 0.02 ppm. This would imply a "natural" background of up to 0.07 ppm, although more usual background levels are said to be of the order of 0.04 to 0.05 ppm. / Meteorological transport of anthropogenic ozone (a) and ozone precursors (b) from urban areas and from sites containing stationary sources of HC and NO X emissions is regarded as a key, if not the prime, causal agent accounting for high rural oxidant concentrations. Wind transport is believed to be a signi- ficant fa'ctor in the transfer of ozone and/or precursors from specific sites of origin (such as urban areas) to downwind rural locales where high local concentrations are observed. This mechanism appears to be substantiated for relatively short transport ranges of the order of 50 to 100 miles both for ozone and other pollutants (such as particulates and SO-)- Long range trans- port is attributed to large air mass movements and this view is consistent with observed correlations of non-urban ozone measurements made at sites sep- arated by great distances within the eastern portion of the U.S. Because of the large size and slow movement of these air masses, the transported pollut- ants (0., and/or precursors) may be picked up from several different sites and Teknekron,Inc. ------- -10- therefore may be more appropriately considered regional in origin rather than as attributable to a specific urban area. Considerations of the above kind, coupled with the fact that hydrocarbons previously regarded as non-reactive are now know to be "slow" (L precursors, influenced the-orientation underlying EPA's recent draft paper entitled "National Strategy for Control of Photochemical Oxidants," January 15, 1975. In essence, this paper recommends an areawide or regional approach to HC emis sion control and stresses the importance, in this regard, of stationary as well as of mobile sources. The prospects for achieving and maintaining NAAQS for rural ozone are not regarded with uniform optimism throughout EPA, even assuming that HC controls were to be fully effective on a regionwide basis. One view, expressed by the Gas Kinetics and Photochemistry, Section, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Branch of the Chemistry and Physics Laboratory at NERC/RTP, is based on the following: Under given conditions of irradiation, the quantity of ozone generated through precursor reaction is a function of the HC/NO ratio A of the precursor mix. At small ratios, ozone formation tends to be limited. As the ratio increases, the rate of production rises (up to some optimum ratio). Also, high ratios tend to favor the effectiveness^ of hydrocarbons of low reactivity in ozone_generation, although, as stated earlier, the pro- cess is slower. It is argued that in those cities, such as Los Angeles and Philadelphia, where urban ozone has been reduced through hydrocarbon emis- sion control measures, this reduction largely reflects the attainment of a Teknekron,Inc. ------- -11- lower HC/NO ratio which is inherently less favorable to ozone generation. /\ However, through the meterological transport of urban air containing residual oxides of nitrogen to rural areas, the quantitative relationships between HC levels in these areas and the transported oxides establish HC/NO ratios which X are conducive to 03 formation, even though the absolute concentrations may not be high. This argument implies that even if rural ozone generation arising wholly from natural precursors can be shown not to be a significant causal factor (with respect to high concentrations of O-J, the role of natural hydro- carbons (in association with ^n^hrp5ogjnjc_oxides ^f nitrogen transported to rural areas) may be of considerable importance. It also implies that control _^rrm-_ j.-Bqi.:^^s^^gi-~ _-^^_ii- ^iagaafe'^"Ji*P''i'<*r'g- "*" -~-"T--" *!*s """ - "*" - " -"" "*T "*"' ""r programs directed to the reduction of HC emissions on a regional basis may, in the absence of related measures addressed to NO , prove insufficient to X ensure the attainment and maintenance of NAAQS for 0, in some rural areas. Beyond this, a question arises with respect to the adequacy of NAAQS for HC and NO . It is noted that the standard for the latter of 0.05 ppm represents X , _ . -- -- . i »IP "'"* ' ' " II II ' I "'I"" "''T -"""" ' -- " an annual arithmetic mean only and .not_-a.n_UPBer. limit to short period (one to -^ , - three hour) concentrations. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -12- 3.0 .CONCLUSIONS Some of the following comments are presented as tentative inferences because it is not considered that information and data available to date are sufficient to warrant firm conclusions. This view is essentially consistent with that of the Agency which is inherent in the fact that EPA is now supporting and, proposes to support in the future, technical research programs directed to the elucidation of the rural ozone problem, among other oxidant related questions. The following views are oriented to the consideration.of high rural 0, levels within the reference framework of interests of the Standards and Regulations Evaluation Division rather than from a purely technical standpoint. Certain presumptive, or at least potential, causes of high concentrations of rural ozone are, by their nature, beyond EPA's control. These include: a) lightning b) solar irradiation of natural precursors c) downward movements of stratospheric ozone It is considered by some investigators that these mech- anisms do not substantially contribute to observed high ozone concentrations in rural areas. This very likely is true of (a). It may be true of (b) because, in the absence of introduced pollut- ants, rural air is fairly free of NO so that the local HC/NO ratio may be well beyond the peak of the curve at which 0 genera- tion is maximum. The question of stratosphere to troposphere ozone movement (c) is not regarded as wholly resolved in a manner Teknekron,Inc. ------- -13- which would definitely eliminate this mechanism as a possible significant cause of high rural ozone levels in all cases. Meteorological transport of anthropogenic ozone and precursors to rural areas, whether by relatively local winds or by exten- sive air mass movements, appears to be not only a plausible ex- planation, but one which is consistent with a considerable body of observed data. Assuming that thisis the major mechanism, it would appear that HC control strategies which effectively reduced ozone formation in urban areas and in the vicinity of TrvvoTved'"stationary emission sources would obviously also re- -_ jch. They would duQgthe quantities of ozone transport not, however, necessarily prevent the local rural formation of 03 brought about by the interaction of transported oxides of nitrogen with naturally occurring local HC. From the above, it follows that effective NO controls on a A regional basis may be no less important as an 0^ control strategy than is EPA's proposed HC control program. The NAAQS for HC (3 hour annual maximum of 0.24 ppm) may be / high in terms of the implications for ozone formation, since this corresponds to a potential 03 level of 0.96 ppm. Even assuming that NAAQS for. ozone precursors were achieved and maintained uniformly throughout the U.S., it may not follow that NAAQS for 0^ would also be attained uniformly. Tcknekron,Inc. ------- -14- An ozone standard of 0.1 ppm may be more realistic than the present level of 0.08 ppm. (In this connection, it was noted that in many instances in which rural levels exceeded standards, these levels fall between 0.08 and 0.1 ppm). Teknckron,Inc. ------- -15- 4.0 -REFERENCES 1. Environmental Protection Agency. Mt. Storm, Hest Virginia-Gorman, Maryland-Keyser, West Virginia, Air Pollution Abatement Activity, Air Pollution Control Office Publ. APTD-0656, Research Triangle Park, N.C., April 1971. 2. Richter, H.G., "Special Ozone and Oxidant Measurements in Vicinity of Mt. Storm, West Virginia," Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27709, October 1970. 3. Johnston, D., "Investigation of High Ozone Concentration in Vicinity of Garret County, Maryland and Preston County, West Virginia, Final Report, EPa Contract No. 68-02-0624, Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27707, January 1973. 4. Johnston, D., et. al., "Investigation of Ozone and Ozone Precursor Concentrations at Nonurban Locations in Eastern United States, Phase I, Final Report, EPA Contract No. 68-02-1077, Research Tri- angle Park, N.C. 27709, May 1974. 5. Ripperton, L.A., et.al., "Airborne Ozone Measurement Study," Research Triangle Institute, Research Triangle Park, N.C., Presented at 67th Annual Meeting of APCA, Denver, Colorado, June 9-13, 1974. 6. Lea, D.A., "Vertical Ozone Distribution in the Lower Troposphere Near an Urban Pollution Cen-ter," J. Appl. Meteorology, 7, 252-267, 1-968. 7. Miller, P.R., et.al., "Oxidant Air Pollution in the Central Valley, Sierra Nevada Foothills, and Mineral King Valley of California," Atmos. Environ., 6, 623-633, 1972. 8. Maga, J., Personal Communication to L.A. Ripperton. 9. Baljet, P.J., "Local Air Pollution Episode," Metropolitan Dade County Pollution control, Miami, Fla., June 1972. 10. Nagler, Lewis, EPA Region IV, Personal Communication to E.L. Martinez. 11. Stasiuk, W.N., and Coffey, Peter, E., "Rural and Urban Ozone Relation- ships in New York State," Journal of APCA, Vol. 24, No. 6, June 1974. 12. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, "A Report to the Board DNR Concerning High Oxidant Levels in Wisconsin, Summer 1973," February 1974. Teknekron,Inc. ------- -16- 13. -Rasmussen, R.A., "What do the Hydrocarbons from Trees Contribute to Air Pollution," J. Air Pollution Control Association, 22_ (7): 537-543, 14. Rasmussen, K.H., et. al., "Sources and Natural Removal Processes for Some Atmospheric Pollutants," EPA-650/4-74-032, June 1974. 15. Preliminary Report, "Investigation of Rural Oxidant Levels as Related to Urban Hydrocarbon Control Strategies," EPA - BOA Contract No. 68- 02-1386, December 1974. 16. Rasmussen, R.A., "Background Hydrocarbon Air Pollution Measurements (5-6 Compounds)," Presented at American Chem. Soc., S.E. Regional Meeting, October 1974. Teknekron,Inc. ------- Teknekron, Inc. L 4701 SANGAMORE ROAD WASHINGTON, D.C. 20016 (202) 320-5600 January 18, 1977 Mr. E. Lillis Manager; Air Management Technology Branch Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711 Dear Mr. Lillis: I enjoyed meeting you last week, and appreciate having had the opportunity to discuss your program. During the conversation, I mentioned our oxidant study and you requested a copy of the report. This work was performed about two years ago for EPA/OPE on a very limited budget. Should you have any questions regarding the report, please feel free to contact me. As we discussed, we are currently involved in a number of studies for EPA in Washington, and are looking forward to future involvement in OAQPS pro- grams. Sincerely, Sanford Cohen Manager, Washington Office SC:mbs Enclosure WASHINGTON, D.C. BERKELEY, CALIFORNIA ------- |