ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SERIES
                Air Pollution
The  November-December 1962
AIR POLLUTION  EPISODE
     •
in the Eastern United States
                U S DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH,
                EDUCATION, AND WELFARE
                Public Health Service

-------
   THE NOVEMBER-DECEMBER 1962

        AIR POLLUTION EPISODE

   IN THE  EASTERN UNITED STATES
                         by
       D.A. Lynn, B. J. Steigerwald, and J. H.  Ludwig

       Laboratory of Engineering and Physical Sciences
         Robert A.  Taft Sanitary Engineering Center
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH, EDUCATION, AND WELFARE
                 Division of Air Pollution
                    Cincinnati, Ohio

                    September 1964

-------
      The ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH SERIES of reports was estab-
lished to report the  results of scientific and engineering studies of
man's environment:  The community, whether urban,  suburban, or
rural, where he lives,  works, and plays; the  air, water, and earth
he uses and reuses;  and the wastes he produces and must dispose
of in ^ way that preserves these natural resources.   This SERIES of
reports provides for professional users a central source of  informa-
tion on the intramural research  activities of Divisions and Centers
within the Public Health Service, and on their  cooperative activities
with State and local  agencies,  research institutions,  and industrial
organizations.  The general subject area  of each report is indicated
by the two letters  that appear in the  publication number; the indica-
tors are

                 AP    Air Pollution
                 AH    Arctic Health
                 EE    Environmental Engineering
                 FP    Eood Protection
                 OH    Occupational Health
                 RH    Radiological Health
                 WP    Water Supply
                           and Pollution  Control

      Triplicate tear-out abstract cards are provided with reports in
the SERIES to facilitate information retrieval.  Space is provided  on
the cards for the user's accession number and key words.
      Reports in the SERIES will be  distributed to requesters,  as
supplies permit.   Requests should be directed to the  Division iden-
tified on the title page or to the Publications Office,  Robert  A. Taft
Sanitary Engineering Center,  Cincinnati,  Ohio 45226.
           Public Health Service Publication No.  999-AP-7

-------
                            CONTENTS


                                                                  Page
Introduction                         	    ...                 1

Meteorology ....                    .                .   .    1

Air Quality .              ....                                     8

     Particulate Pollutants ...                                        8

     Gaseous Pollutants. .              .                   ...       10

Reaction to the Alert Forecast  .    	     .      .       19

Conclusions  .      	         	          21

Acknowledgments	         .     ...      22

References	     	    	   23

Appendix                ...                                    25

     Table Al   Particulate Levels at NASN Stations in the Alert
                Area

     Exhibit 1   Public  Health Service Questionnaire

     Exhibit 2   U.S. Weather Bureau Questionnaire

-------
                            ABSTRACT
    This report documents the subject "episode" with respect to meteor-
ology, air quality, and public reaction.  Particulate and gaseous air qual-
ity data are reported and discussed. Meteorology and public reaction are
discussedwith reference to the Public Health Service program of Air Pol-
lution Potential Forecasts. Epidemiological aspects  are not considered.

-------
        THE NOVEMBER-DECEMBER 1962

             AIR  POLLUTION  EPISODE

        IN THE  EASTERN  UNITED  STATES


                            Introduction

    Early in November 1962 a large continental polar anticyclonic high-
pressure system began to form in northern Canada, almost  4000 miles
northwest of the eastern United States.  A second high-pressure system
existed over the western Atlantic.  By late November the Canadian high-
pressure systemmerged with the Atlantic high-pressure cell and became
stationary, producing stagnant air over most of New England,  New York,
and Pennsylvania.  Before this system moved out over  the Atlantic, it
spread westward to Wisconsin and Iowa and south to Tennes see and Arkan-
sas to become the largest  and most  persistent air stagnation observed
since systematic studies began in 1955 to  relate air pollution buildup to
large-scale stagnating anticyclones.  Air quality deteriorated rapidly in
urban areas containing significant air  pollution sources,  and  reaction to
the situation by the public, the  news media, and official air pollution and
public  health agencies was intense and prolonged. This  report documents
this air pollution "episode" with respect to meteorology,  air quality, and
public  interest,  and uses  the occasion to review the Public Health  Ser-
vice   Weather Bureau program of Air Pollution Potential  Forecasts.
Epidemiological aspects of the episode are not considered,  although this
report does provide air quality  data that may be useful in retrospective
studies of this type.


                         METEOROLOGY

    The Air Pollution Potential Forecasts  (APPF) were initiated in  1957
on an experimental basis  for the portion of the United States east of the
Rocky Mountains. Since initial operations proved the method to  be feasible
and worthwhile, an operational program on a  regular basis was initiated
in August  1960.  The service was extended to the entire contiguous United
States  on October 1, 19-63.

    From a meteorological  viewpoint, air pollution potential  may be
broadly defined as a sequence of specialized weather conditions conducive
to accumulation of pollutants in the  atmosphere. Although  considerable
judgment is necessary,  experience '   has indicated  that the following
meteorological conditions are indicative  of such situations.

    1.   Surface wind speeds not more than 8 mph (usually represented
        by 24-hour average wind speeds less than 5 mph).

    2.   Winds at no level below 500 millibars (approximately 18, 000 ft)
        greater than 25 knots.

-------
 2                                     1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE


     3.   The  existence  of  subsidence,  i.  e. ,  "sinking" in the air mass
         below the 600-millibar level (approximately  14, 000 ft).

     4.   No precipitation

     5.   An area involved that is  larger  than a. 4-degree latitude square
         (about a 275-mile  square).

     6.   Condition expected to persist at least 36 hours,  i. c. ,  not a nor-
         mal case of diurnal nighttime pollution buildup and daytime ven-
         tilation.
     Intensification of  air  pollution under such conditions can be signifi-
cant.  The APPF program attempts to provide advance warning so that
the preventive and protective measures that are available can be utilized
as early as possible.
     The Office of Meteorological Research of the U.  S.  Weather Bureau
maintains a complete weather station at the Robert A. Taft Sanitary  En-
gineering Center in Cincinnati; this  station is operated inconjunction with
the programs in  Cincinnati of the Division of Air Pollution,  U.S. Public
Health Service.  A team of Weather Bureau meteorologists daily inter-
prets synoptic weather maps in relation to the above criteria.  When they
recognize an existing air pollution potential situation, these meteorologists
issue an Air  Pollution  Potential  forecast at 12:17 p.m. (EST) over the
Weather BureauService C teletype circuit to about 240 first-order weather
stations.  The station operators in turn notify air pollution and public
health agencies,  and others who have  requested such service from their
local Weather Bureau station.

     During the period August I960 through September 1963, the Air Pol-
lution Potential program for the eastern United States issued advisories
for 39 stagnation situations, a few of which were subsequently retracted
when stagnation did not last the requisite 36 hours.   Figures 1 and 2 in-
dicate the geographical distribution of those stagnation situations that were
verified  and the total time of stagnation conditions  (excluding the Novem-
ber-December 1962 episode.   The  usual  duration of an alert  is 2 to  3
days; a fewalerts last as longas 5 days. Stagnation situations in the east-
ern United States concentrate in a long arc from Alabama to eastern Penn-
sylvania, roughly following the Appalachian highlands, -with the  greatest
number and duration in the  western Carolinas and northern Georgia.  The
concent ration of stagnations in this area with buildupof naturally occurring
aerosols presumably resulted in the generic name  for the Smoky Moun-
tains long before weather research and air pollution were considered.
     It has been determined that most stagnation incidents occur when local
weather patterns are dominated by a slow-moving or stagnating anticyclone.
These cells of high pressure are characterized by small horizontal pres-
sure  gradients and by light  surface winds in the central  portion of the
system.  In the northern hemisphere the motion around the high-pressure
system is clockwise and divergent in the surface layers of air.  To effect
a balance in the anticyclonic system as a whole, divergence in the lower
layers results in subsidence,  or sinking,  of air from aloft.  As the air
subsides, a general warming and drying  effect results, which is generally
responsiole for the clear, fine weather  normally associated  with anti-
cyclones. From an air pollution standpoint, however,  subsidence results

-------
Meteorology
in stabilization of the atmosphere and the  formation of low-level inver-
sions, which limit the vertical mixing of pollutants at the earth's surface.
The  low surface wind speeds  associated with weak pressure gradients
further hinder effective horizontal transport and dispersion of pollutants.
    Figure I. Isolines of total number of alerts called during period from August I960 through
           September 1963.

When an anticyclone is slow-moving or quasi-stationary, poor dispersion
conditions persist over a given area and result in buildup of pollutant con-
centrations if sources of pollution exist. The eastern portion of the coun-
try is  normally subject to variable weather conditions as low and high
pressure systems move  through, but occasionally an anticyclone will stag-
nate and reduce ventilation over a large area.  Such a slow-moving anti-
cyclone developed in late 1962 and brought about the stagnation period that
is the subject of this report.

-------
                                        1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
     The stagnation forecast for the November-December 1962 periodwas
exceptional in at least three aspects.  Its duration was the longest in the
3-year history of the Air Pollution Potential Forecast program;  it covered
by far the largest area under one stagnating system; and the area covered
for the longest period of time included some of the most densely populated
areas of  the country, areas not  usually subject to frequent or  long stag-
nations.
   Figure 2. Isolines of total alert days during periods from August I960 through October
           1962 and January 1963 through September 1963 (excludes November-December
              alert period).

     The initial forecast was called  on November 27,  1962, for an area
from New England,  through New  York and  Pennsylvania,  into northern
West Virginia.  The forecast area  expanded west and south  to eventually
include 22 states from Maine to Arkansas. Dissipation commenced along
the western  boundary so that the stagnant air mass covered Illinois and
other  areas  to the west for only 2 or 3 days, while stagnant conditions
persisted overportions of New England, New York,  and Pennsylvania for

-------
Meteorology
 as long as 7 1/Z days.  Figure 3 indicates the duration of the stagnation
 in various sections of the country.  The total area affected by this  stag-
 nation is  inhabited by some  87 million people, 60  million of -whom were
 in  the area for 6 days or  more.   Table  1  lists  23  major  cities,  their
 populations, and the  number of days they were encompassed by the alert.
     Figure 3. Isolines of number of days in alert - November 27 through December 5, 1962.
     In Figure 4  the days of stagnation shown in Figure  2 have been in-
 creased by inclusion of the days of the November-December  1962 fore-
 cast.  Comparison of the two  figures shows that for areas in  New York,
 Ohio,  and Pennsylvania  the days of stagnation during the November-De-
 cember period exceeded the total days of stagnation during the  remainder
of the  3 years of the program; for areas to  the northwest and in New Eng-
land essentially all of the total stagnation time occurred during this period.

-------
                                       1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
Ina study of stagnationanticyclones during the period 1936-56, Korshover4
found that while the high-frequency areas near northern Georgia had un-
dergone  four  to six stagnations of 7 days or longer, the areas most af-
fected during  November-December  1962 had undergone  only two or three
such long stagnations during the 21-year period.  Thus an episode of this
magnitude can be expected in these areas about once every 10 years.
Table 1. PRINCIPAL CITIES AFFECTED BY STAGNATION
City or area 1960
New York Metropolitan Area
Chicago Metropolitan Area
Philadelphia Metropolitan Area
Detroit Metropolitan Area
Boston Metropolitan Area
Pittsburgh Metropolitan Area
St. Louis Metropolitan Area
Washington Metropolitan Area
Cleveland Metropolitan Area
Baltimore Metropolitan Area
Newark, N. J. Metropolitan Area
Buffalo, N. Y. Metropolitan Area
Milwaukee Metropolitan Area
Paterson, N. J. Metropolitan Area
Cincinnati, Ohio Metropolitan Area
Kansas City, Mo. Metropolitan Area
Indianapolis Metropolitan Area
Albany, N. Y. Metropolitan Area
Memphis, Tenn.
Louisville, Ky.
Hartford, Conn.
Nashville, Tenn.
Little Rock, Ark.
Charleston, W.Va.
10,
6,
4,
3,
2,
2,
2,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,








Dates
Population affected
602,
172,
301,
743,
567,
392,
046,
968,
787,
707,
683,
302,
185,
184,
068,
034,
690,
652,
498,
391,
177,
171,
108,
86,
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
000
11/29-12/5
11/29-12/2
11/29-12/4
11/28-12/4
11/27-12/5
11/27-12/5
11/30-12/4
11/29-12/4
11/28-12/4
11/29-12/4
11/29-12/5
11/27-12/5
11/29-12/2
11/29-12/5
11/28-12/4
11/30-12/2
11/28-12/4
11/27-12/5
11/30-12/4
11/29-12/4
11/29-12/5
11/29-12/4
11/30-12/2
11/27-12/4
Number of
days affected
5
3
5
6
7
7
3
5
6
5
5
7
3
5
6
1
6
7
3
5
5
5
2
7
1/2



1/2
1/2
1/2



1/2
1/2

1/2

1/2

1/2
1/2

1/2



     An unusual and perhaps fortunate feature of this stagnation situation
 was a partial breaking of  the  stagnation over the Washington-New York
 area on December 2 and 3. On these dates a minor low-pressure  system
 had moved briefly northward from the  Cape Hatteras,  North Carolina
 area and then receded, temporarily affording  this small area along the
 coast with higher winds,  which dissipated the stagnant air and the pollu-
 tants accumulated during 5 or 6 days of stagnation.

-------
Meteorology
                "T-
     Figure 4. Isolines of total alert days  from  August I960 through September 1963 [includes
              November-December alert period).

-------
                                     1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE

                           AIR  QUALITY
Particulate Pollutants
     During the Z-week period extending a few days before and after the
Air Pollution Potential Forecast, 49 stations of the National Air Sampling
Network (NASN) in the alerted area obtained 67 regularly scheduled par-
ticulate samples.  Sampling and analytical techniques are described in an
NASN  summary publication.   An additional  59 samples -were secured
from 18 NASN stations, primarily special samples taken in the New York-
New England  area and at nonroutine sites in Cincinnati,  Ohio.  These 126
samples were classified  as being obtained on  the  first,  second, third,
etc. , day before the start of the period, during the period,  or after the
stagnation period in the local area. '   The NASN samples were analyzed
for total particulates and organic  (benzene-soluble) particulates and com-
pared  with "normal" concentrations from each  site.  The normal  used
was  the median concentration in previous September-November quarters,
usually over  the period 1957-61.   Stations  for which  such  background
data were  not  available have not been included in the study, nor are they
included in the totals of samples enumerated  above.  NASN data on  par-
ticulate concentrations are presented  in Table Al of the Appendix.  The
mean ratios  (episode/normal) are presented graphically in Figure 5.

     The curves in  Figure 5 cannot be  considered  a precise quantitative
description of the  alert  over an  "average" station,  since  the mean for
each day represents several  (3-13) cities of diverse size and  character.
Figure 5 does illustrate, however,  that during the alert the daily average
particulate concentrations rose to  2 to 3 times normal, and that organic
(benzene-soluble) particulates -were especially affected, rising to as high
as 6 times normal.  For 40 of 51 (78%) samples  obtained during the alert
the episode/normal ratio  was higher  for  benzene-soluble organics  than
for total  particulates; comparable values were  21 of 43 (49%) before the
alert and 8 of 28 (29%) after the alert.   Also of note is  the peaked nature
of the curves  in Figure 5.  The decrease in pollutant  levels on the 6th day
of the  alert is due to the previously mentioned temporary cleaning effect
on December 2-3,  when the  eastern coastal states were in the  6th day of
the local alert. The peak  in the benzene-soluble curve on the first day of
the forecast  appears to be a local  phenomenon.   It represents  data from
East Chicago, Indiana, and Cincinnati,  Ohio,  and an extremely high ratio
from one  location in New England.  With  this one station excluded, the
average ratio  for the first day is 1.79, as  indicated by the dashed curve.
     Figure 6 depicts a similar analysis of data from stations in an ellip-
tical area  from New York to Boston.   By exclusion of the western areas,
where  the stagnation was  less severe, the curves give a clearer picture
of the  stagnation over a homogeneous  area.  In this area,  weight of  par-
ticulate rose  to 3 to  4  times normal and of benzene-soluble organics to
7 times normal.  The general decrease in pollution on  December 2-3 is
   * Air pollution stagnation periods are usually called (begun) and ended at noon. Particu-
   late sampling was begun and ended at random times, and the date given is the date that
   sampling began. Thus a sample designated at the beginning or end of Ihe stagnation per-
   iod may not lie entirely within the stagnation period as called by the USWB.

-------
Air Quality
i ,
                                          I    I   I    I
                                         IENZENE-SOLUBLE ORGANIC PARTICULAR
                               J	L
                                                        7A   3A  4 After Epiio
       SB  48   IB  IB   I Before   2   3   4    5   6    7   fl
                                 TIME, deyt

     Figure 5. Ratio of pollutant levels during episode to normal pollutant levels.
                Figure 6. Ratio of pollutant levels during episode to normal pollutant levels
                        in the Boston - New York area.

evident.    These curves  probably provide  a good representation  of  the
buildup of pollutants during a  stagnation,  since  many  stations obtained
special daily samples during the alert.  The low points immediately after
the alert ended presumably are due to  replacement of the large mass of
stagnant air with an  influx of unpolluted (fresh) air.

-------
 10
                                        1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
Gaseous  Pollutants
    During the alert, Continuous  Air Monitoring Program (CAMP) sta-
tions   were operating in the stagnation area in Washington, Philadelphia,
Cincinnati,  and Chicago.  Other continuous gas sampling equipment was
operating in New York at the Christodoro House sampling station. The
solid  curves in Figures 7 through 11 are plots of hourly mean concentra-
tions.  The solid curve in Figure  1Z represents the  E-hour  mean data
from New York Christodoro Station.  The dotted lines in Figures 7 through
11 are  12-hour "rolling averages, " i.e.,  each point  plotted represents
the mean of 12 hours, approximately 6 hours on each  side of the  point.
This  type of plot is intended to sort out the short-term fluctuations and,
to some  extent, the diurnal variations.  For curves  where rapid changes
in concentration are minor -we have omitted this plot.  To provide  back-
ground comparison, the "average day" is plotted for one day under  some
of the pollutant  curves.   This curve represents hourly concentrations
averaged over the month  for November or December 1962, or both, as
available.  Inaddition, Figures 7 through 12 include plots of daily average
temperatures  (includingnormal temperature) and percent of possible sun-
shine.

    Data were obtained from Washington, D. C.  (Figure  7)untilthe station
was  dismantled  on December 4 for temporary relocation at the National
               Figure 7. Data from CAMP station at Washington, D.C.

-------
Gaseous Pollutants                                                  11
Conference on Air Pollution.  In  Washington the levels for carbon mon-
oxide and total hydrocarbons are relatively constant prior to the stagna-
tion,  with  twice-daily rush hour peaks and slightly lower levels over the
weekends,   as  is  expected where  automobiles  are the major  source of
these pollutants.  About 24 hours after the alert began, on Friday, Novem-
ber 30, levels for carbon monoxide and total hydrocarbon rose in parallel
to about 5 times  normal, dropped on Saturday afternoon,  then rose again
Sunday morning  and returned  to normal under the improved ventilation
conditions  on December 2-3.  Whether the levels again rose on  the 4th,
as the ventilation decreased,  is undetermined.  SC>2 concentrations in
Washington began building to 1-1/2 times normal  somewhat before  the
alert was called, decreased to nearly normal on December 2,  and began
to rise again on December 3,  soon  enough for the peak to be observed be-
fore the stationwas dismantled. Interpretation of total oxidant data in the
presence of SC>2  is open to serious question,  since SC>2 tends to interfere
with the  oxidation measurement.* The rare instances of measurable ox-
idant in Washington prior to  the  stagnation (each small peak represents
one or two  5-minute values of  0. 01  ppm) are contrasted with the peak to
0. 02  ppm on December  1.  Since  SO2 at this time was only <± little below
normal levels, it is presumed that oxidant concentration rose significantly
to be able to overcome the interference. The discontinuous "hanging end"
of the peak was due to a temporary instrument failure,  and the next data
obtained a  few hours later were back to zero.
     Figure 8 presents data from  Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.  The  "bi-
modal" peaks are evident; the December 2 cleansing reduced the SCX to
normal and the NO, and NO to zero for a few hours at a somewhat earlier
time. Note also the persistence of SO^  diurnal variations into the "rolling
average" plots, not seen in  Washington.  Overall,  the SO2 levels during
the alert were 3 to 4 times normal; the NO levels ranged from 4 to  8 times
normal, and NO£ concentrations were  routinely twice normal; the hydro-
carbon curve indicates  that  on 2 days the evening peaks rose to 3 to 4
times normal.
    Total oxidant data showed only scattered 5-minute values above zero
prior to the stagnation, but indicated a sustained value of nearly  0.01 ppm
for 18 hours on  December 1  and 2.  Because the oxidants measured are
largely photochemical reaction products,  the persistence of this level
through the night is unexpected.  Occurrence of the peak at a. time when
other pollutants were being rapidly dispersed by increased ventilation is
even more inexplicable,  although some weight may be given to the lower-
ing of SO2 interference,  -which  permitted the analyzer to record minimal
amounts of  oxidant.

     Pollutant levels at  Cincinnati, Ohio (Figure 9) increased slowly but
uniformly to twice  normal over  the entire  alert  period and decreased
rather rapidly immediately afterward.  Noteworthy features were sharp
peaks in the NOX curves and the pronounced diurnal variations in the SO2
curve. The morning peaks on November 30 appear to indicate a classical
photochemical smog incident with decreasing NO and hydrocarbon levels,

   * A precise  evaluation of true oxidant levels is impossible when  SO2 is present.  CAMP
   stations have recently been equipped with CrO3 absorbers, which should eliminate this
   interference in total oxidant measurements.

-------
12
                                                         1962 AIR  POLLUTION EPISODE
                     TEMPERATURE
                     TOTAL OXIDANT
    I..
    U  5
HYDROCARBON
                                  "I	•	
                     NITROGEN DIOXIDE
      0.60



  z-  0,50

  g

  <  0.40




  o  0,30


  o
  O  0.20




      0.10
      0.20




      0.10
NITROGEN OXIDE
                    SULFUR DIOXIDE
            Sun      Mi
                    Figure 8.  Data from CAMP station  at  Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

-------
Gaseous Pollutants
                                                                       13
               TEMPERATURE
                               ,   A  ,    A  ,
               TOTAL OXIOANT
                                                        _J	L_
                                                                  1A
               HYDROCARBON
   0.20

   0.10
               NITROGEN DIOXIDE
   0.20

   0.10
               NITROGEN OXIDI
                                                   HRLY MEAN

                                                   12-HR RUN'G. AVG.
               SULFUR DIOXIDE
       11/25    11/26
       Sun    Mon
                                        11/30    IZ/I
                 Figure 9. Data from CAMP station at Cincinnati, Ohio.
increasing NC>2 concentration, and oxidant buildup, shown in more detail
in Figure  10.  Two-hour sulfate analyses were obtained  from AISI  tape
samples in an attempt to explain the rapid drop in SC>2 concentration  dur-
ing the  photochemical incident.   Because the wind data  show no  great
change in total  ventilation,  it was postulated that the SC^  may have  been
oxidized  rapidly to sulfate. Table  Z lists sulfate concentrations during the
period.   There is not enough increase in 804 to account for the decrease
in SO2.
     The  data from Chicago  (Figure 11)  indicate some increase above us-
ual levels,  generally to about twice  normal  for most contaminants.   Di-
urnal patterns in Chicago are much more distinct than  in the other loca-
tions, and these were not modified greatly  by the stagnation conditions.

-------
14
                                               196Z AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
                 Figure I 0. Photochemical smog incident - Cincinnati, Ohio.

-------
Gaseous Pollutants
                                                                             15
             rROGEN DIOXIDE
           NITROGEN OXIDE
           SULFUR DIOXIDE
                Figure 11. Data from CAMP station at Chicago, Illinois.
  Table 2.  SULFATE CONCENTRATION IN CINCINNATI DURING
             PHOTOCHEMICAL INCIDENT   NOVEMBER 30,  1962
               Time
. Concentration at CAMP
   Station,  (ig/m^
         6  a., m.     8 a. m.
         8  a. m.    10 a., m.
        10  a. m.    12 Noon
        12  Noon     2 p. m.
         2  p. m.     4 p. m.
         4  p. m.     6 p. m.
         6  p. m.     8 p. m.
           22
           31
           28
           33
           13
           13
            9

-------
16
                                       1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
This  period could not be considered of  major consequence in  Chicago.
Higher pollutant concentrations were observed at other times during the
1962-63 winter  season.
    Figure 12 shows the SO2 concentration at  Christodoro House in New
York  City, where the sampler is located at an elevation of 189 feet.  The
twin peaks bracketing the December 2-3 cleansing are pronounced.  Un-
fortunately, background data for New York are not available.
                      Figure 12, Data from New York City.
    Figures 13 and 14 are "three-dimensional" representations of CAMP
data during the episode,  and are an attempt to illustrate pictorially the
progress  of the air pollution episode.  These are essentially  smoothed
hourly mean plots set "behind" one another to facilitate visual elimination
of diurnal fluctuations. We present the Cincinnati data because  they best
depict the nature of the onset, progress,  and ending of the episode.  SO2
data for the first 2 days (Figure 13) show small morning and evening peaks
due to fumigation.   On November 28-30 the peaks become stronger and
more drawn out as the decreased ventilation permits pollutants to accu-
mulate.  On Saturday  and Sunday, December  1  and 2,  the peaks appear
later  in the day and never decrease to the low values of the  previous after-
noon. The Monday peak shows still further increase in magnitude and du-
ration, then on December 4 the morning peak declines steeply as  the stag-
nation breaks,  and the air for the subsequent 2 days is relatively very
clean.
    The total hydrocarbon data for Cincinnati are plotted in a similar way
in Figure 14; we established the divisionat 3 p. m. rather than at midnight

-------
Gaseous Pollutants
                                                                                          17
                    Figure  13. SO2 levels recorded at Cincinnati CAIvlP station.
          HYDROCARBON
                Figure  14. Hydrocarbon levels recorded at Cincinnati CAMP station.

-------
18                                     1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE


to better illustrate  the effect  of  the nighttime inversion.   The front  bar
illustrates a 3-ppm "baseline" with small rush-hour accumulations.  As
the air mass begins to stagnate, the rush-hour peaks increase and pollu-
tants are dispersed to a lesser extent, until December 1,  when the con-
centration remains nearly constant at more than 3 times  the levels  re-
corded before  the  stagnation,  through December  4.   The  hydrocarbon
concentration returns to a uniform 3 ppm for several subsequent days.

     Data for other pollutants and  other cities are a good deal more vari-
able and hence more difficult to visualize; in general,  however, they all
show normal diurnal peaks that increase inmagnitude and duration during
the episode. Only occasionally do these peaks grow sufficiently to blend
into each other and yield a continuous  daily high.  This  contrasts with the
erroneous impression of a continuous buildup  of pollutants gained from
24-hour average  particulate data,  as in Figures 5 and 6.

     To gain further insight into the relative air  quality during the alert,
we scanned summaries of maximum 5-minute  and hourly concentrations
during 1962. Maximum hourlyand maximum 5-minute NO concentrations
for the year for  CAMP stations at Philadelphia,  Chicago,  and Cincinnati
(Washington analyzer inoperative) occurred during the episode,  as did NO2
maxima for Philadelphia an'd Cincinnati.  Hydrocarbon hourly maxima  for
the year occurred during the episode in all three cities reporting (Chicago
inoperative), but  the 5-minute maximum occurred during the episode only
in "Washington.   The hydrocarbon peak during  the  episode  was exceeded
only once in Philadelphia; in Cincinnati, however, the hydrocarbon levels
during the episode were well down the list of  peaks for the year.  Peak
levels of SO^ during the episode generally were not  among the highest  for
the year.  The SO^  maxima for the year occurred in October (Philadel-
phia), November  (Cincinnati and Washington), and late December (Chica-
go).  It appears that  the decrease of space heating during the fair stagna-
tion weather may preclude extreme  SO? accumulations.   CO data were
available from Washington only; the maxima for the year were set during
the episode.
     With only four CAMP stations in the alert  area, it  is difficult to gain
an overall view of the effect of the stagnation on gaseous pollutants.  The
only CO  analyzer functioning  routinely  during part  of the  alert was in
Washington; CO levels there rose to 3 to 4 times  normal.  SO2 data were
fairly complete for the four CAMP cities and for New York:  the  SO^ levels
were 1  to 1-1/2 times normal in Cincinnati,  Chicago, and Washington;
4 times  normal  in  Philadelphia; and  similarly  very high  in  New York.
Stagnation in Washington, Philadelphia,  and New York was much more
extended  than in  Cincinnati or  Chicago,  and since Washington is not an
industrial city, the  general pattern of SO-^ increase seems  logical.  NOX
analyzers,  operating in three cities, indicated  daily peaks generally 3 to
8 times normal during the stagnation. Hydrocarbon data  from Washington,
Philadelphia, and Cincinnati indicate peaks 3 to  6  times  normal; only Cin-
cinnati data show prolonged buildup or  great fluctuations. During the epi-
sode ozone  appeared in measurable amounts only in Cincinnati,  with low
SO2  levels and 100 percent sunshine.  The only ozone peaks of more than
10-minute duration  occurred during the episode,  and the frequency of 5-
minute periods with measurable ozone increased.   Total oxidant -was
measured in Washington, Philadelphia,  and Cincinnati; oxidant concen-

-------
Reaction to the Alert Forecast
                                                                    19
trations were higher than normal during the episode,  but the occurrence
of overnight peaks and the unknowns involved in SO2 interference preculde
conclusive evaluations.

     "Dosage" values during the episode were calculated for some of  the
CAMP  cities.  Dosage is defined as  the  area (in ppm-hours) under  the
concentration curve when the concentration exceeds  a specified level.  It
is probably a better measure of respiratory insult than simple concentra-
tion,  since it takes  into account the duration of exposure to high concen-
trations of pollutants.

     Dosage  calculations are  summarized in Table  3.  The  normal  (N)
used for comparison is  the November-December 1962 period,  excluding
the episode (E).  Generally the 5 to 8 percent of the month represented by
the episode period accounted for from  1/5 to over 1/2 of the dose received
during the period, as shown in  columns 6 and 7. The average daily dose
varied  from 1-1/2 to 6 times normal during the episode.  Generally this
is the result of increased duration of peak concentrations (a  lengthening
of the normal diurnal peaks) rather than striking increases in concentra-
tion (columns 2 and  3).  Complete dose data are not yet available for  all
CAMP  cities but are now part of routine CAMP data processing and will
be presented in future CAMP annual reports.

DfBcnplKin



Chicauo SOz
Dosage* fur Concentrations! > 0. 5 ppm

Phila. SOZ
Dosages for Concentrations > 0. 3 ppm
W,.h. S02
Chicago NO







Normal
E pi a ode

Normal
Episnde
Episode
Episode

NO. or
cUrr,np

(Col. 1)

146
10

59
15
4
11



hrmin
(2)

0 21
1 36

0'19
1 50
0-26
5 3B

A.=rasc
&
ppm
(!)

0. 62
0. 66

0. -14
0. 36
0. 35
0. 34


<"""•"
ppm-hr
(4)

0. 22
1. 05

0. 14
0. 67
0. 15
1. 94


ppm-hr

(5)

0. 56
1. 14

1.46
2.00
0. 12
6. 41


T.mc

(6)

94. 5
5. 5

91. 8
8.2
8. Z
5. 5

i-™. ,„,„)
Dosage

(7)

75. 6
24. 4

44. 9
55. 1
35.2
20. 2
           REACTION TO THE  ALERT  FORECAST

     The length and scope of this stagnation episode provided an excellent
opportunity to test public and official reaction to the incident and to sur-
vey  the use made of the air pollution  potential forecast service. We ob-
tained informationon these points by means of two polls.  The Division of
Air  Pollution, Public Health Service,  distributed one questionnaire  to
state and local public health and air  pollution agencies in the large area
covered by the forecast.  The U.S. Weather Bureau sent  a memorandum
questionnaire to  local weather  stations participating in the forecast pro-
gram.
     We received  about 70  replies  to the PHS survey  (Exhibit 1, Appen-
dix)  including 12 from state agencies. In general,  knowledge of the epi-
sode and vigor of action followed a predictable pattern and varied directly

-------
20
                                        1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE
with (1) length of time in the stagnation area,  (2) severity of air pollution
problems during normal weather conditions, and (3) size of  local or state
air pollution control program.   Agencies in  the western,  southern, and
northern New England portions of the stagnation area had little knowledge
of theforecast,  did not notice a particularly unusual air pollution situation,
and hence undertook no special action.  In the Atlantic seaboard  states
and into the midwest, many official agencies noted and used the forecast.
Air quality deteriorated rapidly, and  news media coverage and  public
reaction were vigorous, particularly in the large cities.  Table  4 sum-
marizes response to the PHS questionnaire.
 Table 4. SUMMARY OF RESPONSE TO PHS QUESTIONNAIRE


1. Aware of fore-
cast
2. Obvi s poor
air q ahty>
i. New c^erape''
t. Any firial
actio taken'1
a. Any ecial air
anal e& taken''
6. Are recasts of
vahi
0
Number

a

8
8

8

8

8
2


12

12
12

0

0

25
3
replies

9

6
8

9

9

7
5


55

33
12

0

33

43

replies

18

18
18

18

18

18



72

50
50

33

0

67
7


36

34
34

36

36

33
8


75

59
74

28

11

64
Total


71 65

66 49
68 53

71 23

71 10

66 58
     The  finding that only  58 percent  of those polled placed value on the
forecasts reflects primarily the large number of  agencies that were not
aware of theforecast rather than lack of interest in the forecast program.
Nearly all the agencies that were notified of the stagnation situation placed
a strong value on continuation of the forecasting program.

     Nearly one-third of the agencies that were aware  of the forecast  took
some action as a direct result of the forecast. The most common official
actionwas to place the air  pollution agency in a posture of  readiness; di-
rect actions included  extra inspection patrols, increased air  sampling
activities, preparation of  news releases  for publication in local papers
and for use in answering complaints,  and  placement  of calls to  selected
large  air pollution  sources requesting cooperation.  The  news releases
generally informed  the public of the existing or potential situation, pro-
vided  some meteorological background,  and requested citizens to curtail
burning of leaves and trash for a few days.  Only one agency issued spe-
cific health warnings  in their release; this agency  warned against un-
necessary  exertion by those with  chronic respiratory or  cardiac condi-
tions.
    Approximately 75 stations replied to the U.S. Weather  Bureau  ques-
tionnaire  (Exhibit 2, Appendix).  The  character of the replies  followed
closely the  geographical patterns  discussed earlier for the PHS survey
of  the  state and local air pollution agencies.  Generally, only in  the New
England states,  Pennsylvania, and  New York were Weather Bureau sta-
tions involved in the air pollution situation.  Normally  they worked with
the local  or state air pollution or public health agency and received only
                                                            GPO  814—836—4

-------
Conclusions                                                         21


a few air pollution complaints  directly from the public.   Nearly all sta-
tions in large cities or in the capitals of states with  air pollution pro-
grams understand the forecast program clearly and relayalerts that affect
their state. About 15 of the 75 stations that replied have received standing
requests  to relay the  forecasts,  sometimes to as many as four separate
parties.  Stations located in small towns or in areas not commonly con-
cerned  with air pollution have not used the forecasts, do not  seem to  un-
derstand  their purpose, and  generally ignore them.  Exceptions usually
involve  requests by large industries for notification of the forecasts.
                           CONCLUSIONS

     A primary purpose for studying the November-December 1962 episode
was to review the PHS -Weather Bureau Air Pollution Potential Forecast
Program.   Replies to the questionnaires and analysis  of available air
quality data indicate  that the Program criteria  do effectively forecast
periods of  increased pollution, especially when the forecast continues for
Z  or 3  days.  It is also apparent that the forecasts are accepted by local
and state air pollution agencies and have become an important and integral
part  of many control programs in areas concerned with air pollution.   A
few suggestions  have been made for improvement of the  Program, prin-
cipally relating to communications and public announcements.  These have
been discussed in detail with those responsible for the Forecast Program
and have been adopted where appropriate.
     Analysis  of air quality data  during this particular stagnation also
shows the need  for augmenting the central forecast group in  Cincinnati
with field meteorologists in key areas.   Forecasting out of Cincinnati the
exact location of the edge of minor weather systems is difficult.  Such a
minor low-pressure system did, however, provide dramatic  relief to a
number  of major cities along the  east  coast on the 5th or 6th day of the
stagnation. Detailed knowledge of its existence, arrival,  and effect would
have greatly assisted local  agencies in developing programs  during the
stagnation period. An Air Pollution Potential Forecast meteorologist has
been established in New York for about the past year. Others  are planned
for three additional key areas in 1965 or 1966.

     Some  acute  air pollution episodes have been associated with greatly
increased  mortality and morbidity.  Recently published information indi-
cates that periods  of high air pollution not immediately identifiable as
acute situations  also may be associated with increased mortality.   The
November-December episode was unusually extensive, affected many large
population centers, and  resulted  in  severe air pollution exposures for
most contaminants.  The size and duration of this episode period  would
seem to  make it  ideally suited for a comprehensive epidemiological study;
this report should provide the basis for  the design of such a study.   A
limited  review of morbidity and mortality statistics for the November-
December  1962 period has been made for New York City.  A significant
increase was  noted  in occurrence of  respiratory complaints in all of the
city's homes for the aged.  No significant increase in death rate was ap-
parent during the episode period.

-------
22                                     1962 AIR POLLUTION EPISODE


     Aside from the  documentation of the November-December episode,
this study also points out interesting patterns of pollution buildup during
extensive and severe stagnation periods and provides generally some in-
dication of maximum dosage or  exposure levels probable for a large  seg-
ment of the  population. Since these episodes may be important in under-
standing and determining  the magnitude of air pollution effects, theyshould
be studied routinely and  at  some  depth.  The  Public Health Service has
recently initiated  a program to collect special samples of suspended
particulate matter during all Air  Pollution Potential  Forecast periods.
These samples will be taken by local cooperatives as an extension of the
National Air Sampling Network. This program should be augmented •with
detailed analysis of gaseous contaminant data and special studies of changes
in particulate  characteristics during major episodes.
                          Acknowledgments

    We acknowledge the assistance of Mr. Laurence Niemeyer, Chief of
the Air Pollution Potential Forecast Program, and also the cooperation
of state and local  air  pollution agencies, stations of the U.S.  Weather
Bureau, and stations of the National Air Sampling Network and the Con-
tinuous Air Monitoring Program.

-------
                           REFERENCES
1.   Miller, M.E., and Niemeyer,  L. E. : "Air Pollution Potential Fore-
         casts   A Year's Experience," U.S.  Weather Bureau  Research

2.   Niemeyer,  L. E. :  "Forecasting Air Pollution Potential,  "Monthly
         Weather  Review 88:88-96 (Mzrch I960).
3.   Boettger, C.M. :  "Air Pollution Potential East of the Rocky Moun-
         tains:  Fall  1959, "Bull.  Amer. Met. Society 42:9 (September
         1961),  p. 615-620.
4.   Korshover, J. .  "Synoptic  Climatology of Stagnating Anticyclones, "
         SEC Technical Report A60-7, Robert A. Taft  Sanitary Engineer-
         ing Center (Cincinnati: I960).
5.   Air  Pollution Measurements of the National Air  Sampling Network,
         Public  Health Service  Publication No.  978,  U.  S. Government
         Printing  Office (Washington: 1962).
6.   Jutze, G. A. and Tabor, E.G. :  "The Continuous Air Monitoring Pro-
         gram," J. Air Pollution Control Assoc.  13:6, June 1963.

7.   Greenburg,  L. et  al. , "Report of  an Air Pollution Incident in New
         York City, November  1963. " Public Health Reports 78:1061-64.
8.   Greenburg, L.  et  al. , "Intermittent Air  Pollution  Episode  in New
         York City, 1962." Public  Health Reports 78:1061-64.  (Decem-
         ber  1963).
                                   23

-------
APPENDIX

-------
Table AI.  PARTICULATE LEVELS AT NASN STATIONS IN ALERT AREA
Station
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
Hartford, Conn.
New Haven, Conn.
New Haven, Conn.
Stamford, Conn.
Bridgeport, Conn.
Portland, Maine
Portland, Maine
Arcadia. Nat'l. Pk. , Me.
Boston, Mass.
Lynn, Mass.
Lynn, Mas s .
Lynn, Mass.
Lynn, Mass.
Somerville, Mass.
Sornerville, Mass.
Somerville, Mass.
Worcester, Mass.
Brockton, Mass.
Brockton, Mass.
Brockton, Mass.
Brockton, Mass.
Fall River, Mass.
Fall River, Mass.
Fall River, Mass.
Quincy, Mass.
Quincy, Mass.
Quincy, Mass.
Quincy, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Springfield, Mass.
Cambridge, Mass.
New Bedford, Mass.
New Bedford, Mass.
New Bedford, Mass.
New Bedford, Mass.
New Bedford, Mass.
Coos County, N. H. c
Burlington, Vt.
Orange County, Vt. c
Orange County, Vt.
Wilmington, Del.
Wilmington, Del.
Elizabeth, N. J.
Newark, N. J.
Newark, N. J.
Newark, N. J.
Newark, N. J.
New York, N. Y.
New York, N. Y.
Binghamton, N. Y.
Utica, N. Y.
Utica, N. Y.
Albany, N. Y.
Albany, N. Y.
Rochester, N. Y.
Rochester, N. Y.
Date
12/1
12/2
12/3
12/4
12/5
12/6
12/7
11/26
12/4
11/26
12/7
11/26
12/5
12/6
12/4
11/25
11/30
12/1
12/4
11/30
12/1
12/6
12/6
1,1/30
12/1
12/4
12/5
11/26
11/29
12/6
11/30
12/1
12/4
12/8
11/29
12/1
12/2
12/3
12/4
12/5
12/7
11/24
11/29
11/30
12/1
12/4
12/4
12/6
11/25
12/6
11/27
12/7
12/6
11/24
11/27
11/30
12/4
12/1
12/5
12/5
11/25
12/6
11/30
12/5
11/25
12/7
Day of
alert
3
4
5
6
7
1A
2A
3B
6
3B
3A
IB
2A
3A
1A
2B
4
5
8
4
5
3A
4A
4
5
8
1A
IB
3
3A
4
5
8
4A
3
5
6
7
1A
2A
4A
5B
1
2
3
6
1A
3A
2B
3A
2B
3A
2A
5B
2B
2
6
3
1A
1A
2B
2A
4
1A
2B
3A
Total suspended particulate,
ug/rn3
1962
427
218
211
209
119
28
67
90
122
49
102
92
96
24
162
147
228
206
152
276
337
62
86
127
190
157
117
69
121
20
155
220
176
102
86
350
176
79
140
70
68
70
197
130
193
149
24
54
27
20
196
131
85
100
124
274
318
354
148
96
264
43
292
45
63
66
Normal
88
88
88
88
88
88
88
72
72
100
127
82
82
23
117
72
72
72
72
67
67
67
79
64
64
64
64
76
76
76
82
82
82
82
70
70
70
70
70
70
87
51
51
51
51
51
16
40
40
40
127
127
151
90
90
90
90
157
157
73
97
97
64
64
115
115
Benzene- soluble organics,
Hg/m3
1962
67.6
45. 1
34.4
23.0
10.3
3.3
5. 1
12. 1
17. 2
10. 6
7.5
10.8
8. 0
0.4
19.6
3.7
43.4
49.0
31.9
49.5
68.0
9.6
6.3
26.4
36.2
27.9
4.7
12. 5
24. 1
1.7
33.7
40.6
29.9
7. 1
15.5
64.0
26.4
47.4
16.2
5.1
3. 5
8.4
40. 1
20. 1
50.6
24. 1
1. 1
4.0
1. 1
1. 1
11.2
8.7
7.3
9.5


34.9
42.8
10.7
13.9
16.7
3.4
37.7
5.9
5.4
4.4
Normal
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
10.8
10. 3
7. 1
7. 1
2. 1
10. 3
6.7
6.7
6.7
6.7
5. 1
5. 1
5. 1
6.9
7.9
7.9
7.9
7.9
6.7
6.7
6.7
8.9
8.9
8.9
8.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.9
6.8
4.4
4.4
4.4
4. 4
4.4
0.9
2.4
1.7
1.7
9. 1
9. 1
14.4
9.6
9.6
9.6
9.6
13.0
13. 0
5.8
5.8
5.8
2.7
2.7
7. 0
7.0

-------
Table AI.  (Continued)
Station
Troy, N. Y.
Elmira, N. Y.
Philadelphia, Pa.
Philadelphia, Pa.
Pittsburgh, Pa.
Pittsburgh, Pa.
Reading, Pa.
Washington, B.C.
Baltimore, Md.
Baltimore, Md.
Charleston, W. Va.
Charleston, W. Va.
Charleston, W. Va.
Charleston, W. Va.
Nashville, Tenn.
Memphis, Tenn.
Peoria, Illinois
Peoria, Illinois
E. Chicago, Ind.
Evansville, Ind.
Indianapolis, Ind.
Indianapolis, Ind.
Indianapolis, Ind.
Detroit, Mich.
Lansing, Mich.
Youngstown, Ohio
Cleveland, Ohio
Dayton, Ohio
Springfield, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio'1'
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio'2'
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Cincinnati, Ohio
Toledo, Ohio
Toledo, Ohio
Toledo, Ohio
Racine, Wis.
Racine, Wis.
St. Louis, Mo.
St. Louis, Mo.
Shannon County, Mo.a
Shannon County, Mo.
Little Rock, Ark.
Little Rock, Ark.
Date
12/7
12/6
11/27
12/4
11/27
12/5
12/5
12/7
11/26
12/4
11/23
11/28
12/2
12/3
12/2
12/6
11/29
12/6
11/29
12/6
11/27
11/30
12/4
12/4
11/28
12/4
12/6
12/4
12/7
11/24
11/27
11/28
11/29
11/30
12/1
12/4
12/5
11/24
11/27
11/28
11/29
11/30
12/1
12/4
12/5
11/23
11/29
12/6
11/25
12/6
11/25
12/4
11/26
12/4
12/2
12/6
Day of
alert
3A
2A
2B
6
1
1A
1A
3A
3B
6
4B
2
6
7
4
3A
IB
4A
1
3A
IB
3
7
7
IB
7
2A
7
3A
4B
IB
1
2
3
4
7
1A
4B
IB
1
2
3
4
7
1A
5B
2
2A
4B
4A
5B
5
4B
2A
3
4A
Total suspen
P
1962
26
25
130
255
211
432
332
60
90
197
93
396
413
527
245
66
239
80
309
74
151
235
270
350
141
602
45
274
61
62
97
185
198
286
286
479
298
62
92
185
169
222
229
353
259
58
201
42
147
82
135
173
45
57
116
58
ded particulate,
g/m5
Normal
83
81
193
193
133
133
170
104
105
105
180
ISO
180
180
135
101
151
151
180
117
160
160
160
127
76
161
180
107
127
129d
129
129
129
129
129
129
129
102d
102
102
102
102
102
102
102
114
114
114
180
180
180
180
30
30
76
76
Benzene-soluble organics,
ug/m5
1962
1. 5
2.8
7.3
29.7

66.4
17.6
6.2
6.9
15.4
3.9
16.9
26.0
28.0
44. 2
4.0
23. 8
3. 0
19.2
5.0



37.3
12.7
59.5
3.8
19.0
3. 1
4.8
8.8
14.4
13.8
22.2
24.6
49.4
18.5
4. 0
5.8
13.8
10.6
17.4
7. 2
36.6
13. 1
3.9

3.7
20.7
4.5
17.5
14.2
1.4
2.4
24. 1
5.4
Normal
5. 6
6. 0
13. 5
13.5
8. 1
8. 1
12.2
10. 9
11.1
11. 1
8.8
8.8
8.8
8. 8
12.8
8. 1
13. 3
13.3
9.0
8. 1



10. 0
6.0
13.3
11.3
8.8
8. 1
10. ld
10. 1
10. 1
10. 1
10. 1
10. 1
10. 1
10. 1
7.6d
7. 6
7. 6
7.6
7.6
7.6
7. 6
7.6
8.3
8.3
8.3
11. 3
11.3
13.3
13.3
1.5
1. 5
7.4
7.4
aB - before alert period began.
 A - after alert period ended.
bMedian concentration for each date in previous September-November quarters,  usually from
 1957 to 1961.
GNon-urban station.
dCincinnati  stations  (1) and (2) are at the same location (U.S.  Weather Bureau's  Gest Street
 Experimental Facility).  The normals used are means of about 40 samples taken during the
 quarter September  - November  1962.

-------
EXHIBIT  1 :   PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE  QUESTIONNAIRE
                         DEPARTMENT OF  HEALTH,  EDUCATION, AND  WELFARE

                                             PUBLIC HEALTH SERVICE
                                                        March 11, 1963
                During the period November 27 through December 5, 1962, a
                combination of weather phenomena generally conducive to
                light winds and poor atmospheric diffusion affected a large
                section of the eastern and central United States.  The
                situation was predicted and was  reported via teletype to
                appropriate U, S. Weather Bureau stations (Service C net-
                work) as part of the daily air pollution potential forecasting
                service of the Division of Air Pollution, U. S.  Public
                Health Service,  in Cincinnati, Ohio.

                Since this stagnation was of unusual duration and extent,  we
                feel it should be studied in an effort to learn the value of our
                forecasting program and detect changes needed in present
                procedures.  Therefore, we are attempting to  document the
                incident as thoroughly as possible, so that a case history
                report can b* prepared.  We would plan to include sections
                on meteorology and air quality,  as well as information  on
                awareness of and  reaction to the forecast  notice by news
                media, industry,  citizens,  and State and local  officials.
                                                                               GPO 814—836—3

-------
PUBLIC  HEALTH SERVICE QUESTIONNAIRE  (Continued)
               1.   Were you aware that high air pollution potential had been
                    forecast for this period by the Division of Air Pollution,
                    U.  S. Public Health Service?

               2.   Did it appear that an unusual air pollution situation ex-
                    isted in your area during this period?  {Any documentation,
                    such  as public inquiries, official reports, complaints,
                    photographs, etc. would be helpful and  appreciated.)

               3.   What was the extent of coverage by local  news media?
                    (Copies of newspaper articles and information on any
                    radio or television coverage would be appreciated.)

               4.   Was any special action taken during this period?  (Such
                    as  announcements or orders to discontinue  open burning,
                    changes in or postponement of industrial  operations which
                    pollute  the air, etc,)

               5.   Were any air analyses made during the period?  (If so,
                    results or summaries would be  appreciated for inclusion
                    in the report. )

               6.   Was the air  pollution potential forecast of any value to
                    your  agency ?

               7.   Have you any recommendations  for improving the value of
                    the forecasting service?

               We realize  that conscientious evaluation of the situation might
               require considerable effort, but the  study will result in
               increasingly useful forecasting services and better episode
               planning procedures of mutual benefit to everyone concerned
               with air pollution.

                                              Yours very truly,
                                             B. J. Steigerwald
                                             Assistant to the Chief
                                             Laboratory of Engineering
                                                and Physical Sciences
                                             Division of Air Pollution

-------
EXHIBIT 2:   U.S.  WEATHER BUREAU  QUESTIONNAIRE
            ™"sc°.".'o*^)                                     i s ni.p\iu\n\ i 01
            LN1TED STATES l.OVERN'MEM                            "' umk "' k
            Memorandum
            TO      Selected First Order Stations             DATE  February 28,  1963
                      {listed on reverse)                     In rep|y refer to:  R-3.5

            .FROM    Chief,  Forecast and Synoptic Reports Division


            SUBJECT:  Air Pollut'on Survey

            During the period of November 27 to December 5, 1962 an extensive ridge
            of high pressure stagnated over the northern part of the Eastern  United
            States and high air pollution levels were observed in a number of areas.
            The Weather Bureau Research Station in Cincinnati has been charged with
            the responsibility of evaluating this particular incident and would
            appreciate your help.

            Specific  answers to the following questions are requested, but please do
            not limit your comments to these questions only.

            1.   To what extent were you  called upon to relay the  Air Pollution Poten-
                tial  Forecasts ?

            2,   Were you called upon to advise local authorities with  respect to the
                persistence of the high pressure cell or local expectancies of air
                quality ?

            3.   Did  you  receive any public complaint calls regarding  air pollution
                levels ^

            4.   Have you noted any increased interest in the air pollution potential
                forecasts since this period?

            5.   Has  a scheduled time for these forecasts been beneficial7

            6.   Were restrictions to visibility a problem to:  (a)  air traffic at
                the airport,  and (b) the area in general?

            7.   How would you evaluate the general air  quality during this  period?
                Excellent, Good, Poor, Occasionally  Bad,  or Bad

            As a knowledgeable observer we are sure  you can offer a valuable contri-
            bution to the Cincinnati Weather Bureau Research Station's report to the
            Public Health Service on this incident and  any comments you may wish to
            offer will be gratefully  received.  Please forward all replies within
            2 weeks, if possible, to the Central Office,  ATTN:  R-3, 5.
                                                                   y^ixv-Kn^-
                                                  Edward M.  Vernon
                                                                             GPO 814—836—2

-------
BIBLIOGRAPHIC:  Lynn, D. A. ,  B. J. Steigerwald,
    and J. H.  Ludwig.  The November-December
    1962  air pollution episode in the Eastern United
    States.   PHS Publ. No.  999-AP-7.   1964.30pp.
ABSTRACT: This  report documents the subject
    "episode" with respect to meteorology, air
    quality,  and public reaction.  Particulate and
    gaseous air quality data are reported and dis-
    cussed  with reference to the Public Health
    Service program of Air Pollution Potential
    Forecasts.  Epidemiological aspects are not
    considered.
ACCESSION NO.
KEY WORDS:
BIBLIOGRAPHIC:  Lynn, D.A., B. J. Steigerwald,
    and J.H.  Ludwig.  The November-December
     1962  air pollution episode in the Eastern United
    States. PHS Publ.  No. 999-AP-7.  1964.  30 pp.
ABSTRACT:  This  report documents the subject
     "episode" with respect to meteorology, air
     quality, and public reaction.  Particulate and
     gaseous air quality data are reported and dis-
     cussed with reference to the Public Health
    Service program of Air Pollution Potential
    Forecasts.  Epidemiological aspects are not
     considered.
ACCESSION NO.
KEY WORDS:
BIBLIOGRAPHIC:  Lynn, D.A., B. J. Steigerwald,
    and J.H.  Ludwig.  The November-December
    1962  air pollution episode in the Eastern United
    States. PHS Publ.  No. 999-AP-7.  1964.30pp.
ABSTRACT: This  report documents the subject
    "episode"  with respect to meteorology, air
    quality,  and public reaction.  Particulate and
    gaseous air quality data are reported and dis-
    cussed with reference to the Public Health
    Service program of Air Pollution Potential
    Forecasts.  Epidemiological aspects are not
    considered
ACCESSION NO.
KEY WORDS:

-------