AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS:
  IMPACT ON AIR QUALITY
    AND FEASIBILITY OF CONTROL
              322
      UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

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                        PREFACE
    This report presents the available  information  on  the
present and predicted nature and extent of  air  pollution
related to aircraft operations  in the United States.   In
addition, it presents an investigation  of the present  and
future technological feasibility of  controlling such
emissions.  This report is published in accordance  with
Section 231 (a)  of the Clean Air Act as amended, which
states:

       " (1)   Within 90 days after the date  of enactment of
the Clean Air Amendments of 1970,  the Administrator shall
commence a study and investigation of emissions of  air
pollutants from aircraft in order to determine-

           "A.  the extent to which  such emissions  affect
air quality in air quality control regions  throughout  the
United States, and

           "B.  the technological feasibility of controlling
such emissions

           n (2)   Within 180 days after  commencing such study
and investimation,  the Administrator shall  publish  a report
of such study and investigation .  .  on

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                   TABLE OF CONTENTS
              	   ....                                              Page
LIST OF FIGURES . . -.	....... i .."	.	. . , '.	v

LIST OF TABLES			vii

INTRODUCTION	1

CONCLUSIONS	.-	5

METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSMENT OF AIR QUALITY  IMPACT /	 7

     NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY  STANDARDS	8

     BASIC REQUIREMENTS FOR IMPACT EVALUATION	10

          EMISSION FACTORS	 10

          SELECTION OF CRITICAL AREAS  AND  AIRPORTS	12

          EMISSION PROJECTIONS	 . . . 13

RESULTS OF IMPACT EVALUATION	 19

     REGIONAL IMPACT OF AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS	19

     SUBREGIONAL AND LOCALIZED IMPACT	 29

          GENERAL INDICATIONS OF LOCALIZED AIR QUALITY IMPACT	 30

              PASSENGER USAGE DENSITY AND AIR POLLUTION POTENTIAL	30

              EMISSION DENSITY COMPARISON	30

          DETAILED INVESTIGATION OF LOCALIZED POLLUTANT CONCENTRATION ..33

              8-HOUR CARBON MONOXIDE  CONCENTRATIONS	33

              1-HOUR CARBON MONOXIDE  CONCENTRATIONS AT LOS ANGELES  AIRPORT
                                                               	40
              CARBON MONOXIDE CONCENTRATIONS AT OTHER AIRPORTS	40

              HYDROCARBONS AND POTENTIAL  OXIDANT CONCENTRATIONS	40

              OXIDES OF NITROGEN	47

              SMOKE AND PARTICULATES	50

TECHNOLOGICAL FEASIBILITY OF CONTROLLING AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS		53
                                   iii

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                                                                      Page




     EMISSION CONTROL BY ENGINE MODIFICATION	54




          ENGINE CLASSIFICATION	54




          EMISSION CONTROL METHODS AND EFFECTIVENESS	56




               TURBINE ENGINES	56




               TTSTON ENGINES.		62




          COST AND TIME REQUIREMENTS FOR CONTROL METHODS	65




          DEVELOPMENT AND IMPLEMENTATION	65




               EXISTING ENGINES	65




               FUTURE ENGINES	 70




     EMISSION CONTROL BY MODIFICATION OF GROUND OPERATIONS	71




          DEFINITION OF GROUND OPERATIONS	71




          EMISSION CONTROL METHODS	71




          IMPLEMENTATION COST AND TIME REQUIREMENTS	72




     COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF EMISSION CONTROL METHODS	76




     EMISSION MEASUREMENT TECHNOLOGY	79




          SAMPLING AND TEST PROCEDURES	80




          EMISSION MEASUREMENT INSTRUMENTATION	81




APPENDIX A	83




APPENDIX B	91




APPENDIX C	95




REFERENCES	97

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                        LIST OF FIGURES
                                                                        Page

 1. AIR SAMPLING LOCATIONS AT  LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	  34

 2. EXPECTED CO CONCENTRATIONS,  8-HOUR AVERAGING TIME, WINTER
    1970, STATION 209,  LAX	  35

 3. VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES  INTERNATIONAL: PERCENT OF CONTRIBUTION
    BY AIRCRAFT TO CARBON MONOXIDE LEVELS	  37

 4. FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS  FOR  CARBON MONOXIDE FOR VARIOUS
    AIRCRAFT EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS AT STATION 209, WINTER 1980	  38

 5. HYDROCARBON ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES INTER-
    NATIONAL:  AIRCRAFT SOURCES  (3-Hr. Average for 1970)	  43

 6. HYDROCARBON ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES INTER-
    NATIONAL:  AIRCRAFT SOURCES  (3-Hr. Average for 1980)	  45

 7. CALCULATED NON-METHANE HYDROCARBON CONCENTRATIONS DOWNWIND
    OF LOS ANGELES AIRPORT FOR 1980 WITH NON-AIRCRAFT SOURCES
    CONTROLLED	  46

 8. NOX ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL:
    AIRCRAFT SOURCES (Annual Average for 1970)	  48

 9. NOX ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL:
    AIRCRAFT SOURCES (Annual Average for 1980)	  49

10. NOX ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY OF CHICAGO-O'HARE INTER-
    NATIONAL :  AIRCRAFT SOURCES  (Annual Average for 1980)	  51

11. PISTON ENGINE EMISSION CHARACTERISTICS	  64

12. HYDROCARBON AND CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSIONS FROM A TYPICAL
    AIRCRAFT TURBINE ENGINE  (JT3D)	  73

A-l. MAXIMUM 8-HOUR AVERAGE  CO CONCENTRATIONS  IN LOS ANGELES AREA	  85

A-2. BASELINE DATA, DAILY MAXIMUM 8-HOUR  AVERAGE CO CONCENTRATIONS,
     STATION 209, LAX,  1970	  86

A-3. FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION  FOR  8-HOUR CO DATA, STATION  209, LAX,
     SEPTEMBER 1970	  87

A-4. EXPECTED CO CONCENTRATION DISTRIBUTION, WINTER, STATION 209,
     LAX FOR 80 PERCENT AIRCRAFT CONTRIBUTION	  88

A-5. EXPECTED CO DISTRIBUTION, WINTER, STATION 209, LAX FOR 20
     PERCENT AIRCRAFT CONTRIBUTION	  89

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                         LIST OF TABLES

                               .                                           Page
TABLE

 1. NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS	     9

 2. AIRCRAFT CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM	    11

 3. PRESENT AND PROJECTED LTO CYCLES FOR 1970,  1975,  and  1980	    14

 4. CURRENT AND PROJECTED EMISSIONS  FOR AIRCRAFT  AND  AIRPORTS	    17

 5. ABILITY OR NON-ABILITY TO MEET THE  NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY
    STANDARDS IN 1975	    20

 6. METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES INTRASTATE AOCR EMISSIONS	    21

 7. NEW YORK PORTION OF THE N.J.  - N.Y. - CONN. INTERSTATE AOCR
    EMISSIONS	    22

 8. NATIONAL CAPITAL INTERSTATE AOCR EMISSIONS	    23

 9. ILLINOIS PORTION OF THE METROPOLITAN CHICAGO  INTERSTATE AOCR
    EMISSIONS	    24

10. METROPOLITAN DENVER INTRASTATE AQCR EMISSIONS	    25

11. SAN. FRANCISCO BAY AREA INTRASTATE AQCR  EMISSIONS	    26

12. METROPOLITAN DALLAS - FORT WORTH INTRASTATE AQCR  EMISSIONS	    27

13. METROPOLITAN BOSTON INTRASTATE AQCR EMISSIONS	.	    28

14. INDICATIONS OF LOCALIZED AIRPORT IMPACT OF  20 LARGEST AIR
    CARRIER AIRPORTS	    31

15. COMPARISON OF EMISSION DENSITIES FOR AIRPORTS VERSUS URBAN
    AREAS FOR 1970, 1975, and 1980	    32

16. EXPECTED RANGE OF DAYS THAT 8-HR STANDARD WILL BE EXCEEDED
    IN VICINITY OF LAX FOR VARIOUS LEVELS OF AIRCRAFT IMPACT	    39

17. LOS ANGELES AIRPORT - NUMBER OF  TIMES THE 1-HOUR  CO STANDARD
    WAS EXCEEDED - MAY 10 THROUGH NOVEMBER  9, 1970	    41

18. DISPERSION MODEL ESTIMATES OF 1-HOUR CO CONCENTRATIONS	   42

19. AIRCRAFT ENGINE CLASSIFICATION	   55

20. ENGINE MODIFICATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL FOR EXISTING AND
    FUTURE TURBINE ENGINES	   57
                                vii

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                                                                          Page

21. EFFECTIVENESS OF tl - MINOR COMBUSITON CHAMBER REDESIGN -
    ON REDUCTION OF EMISSIONS FROM TURBINE ENGINES	   59

22. EFFECTIVENESS OF ENGINE MODIFICATION IN CONTR.OL OF EMISSIONS
    FROM TURBINE ENGINES, BY OPERATING MODE	   60

23. BASES FOR CONTROL METHOD EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES FOP TURBINE
    ENGINES	   61

24. ENGINE MODIFICATIONS FOR EMISSION CONTROL FOR EXISTING AND
    FUTURE PISTON ENGINES	   63

25. CURRENT UNCONTROLLED EMISSION RATES FOR PISTON ENGINES		   65

26. EFFECTIVENESS OF ENGINE MODIFICATIONS IN CONTROL OF
    EMISSIONS FROM PISTON ENGINES BY POLLUTANT	   65

27. TIME AND COSTS FOR MODIFICATION OF CURRENT CIVIL AVIATION
    ENGINES	   68

28. COST RESULTS FOR TURBINE ENGINE POPULATION BY SEPARATE USE
    CATEGORIES	   69

29. COMPARATIVE REDUCTIONS RESULTING FROM CONTROL METHODS APPLIED
    AT LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	   74

30. COSTS AND TIME FOR OPERATIONS CHANGES AT LOS ANGELES INTER-
    NATIONAL AIRPORT	   75

31. COMPARISON OF EMISSION CONTROL METHODS	   77

32. INSTRUMENTATION FOR MEASUREMENT OF TURBINE ENGINE EMISSIONS	   82

B-l.  SHORT-TERM METEOROLOGICAL AND ACTIVITY CONDITIONS	   94
                                  viii

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                    INTRODUCTION
    Public awareness that aircraft were a source of air
pollution developed in the late 1950gs with the introduction
of turbine-engine aircraft.  Visible exhaust plumes from the
engines and increased levels of exhaust odors at airports
caused complaints to be lodged.  The complaints, in turn,
stimulated investigations into the nature and extent of
aircraft emissions.  The Air Quality Act of 1967
specifically identified aircraft emissions as a subject of
concern and required an investigation by the Department of
Health, Education, and Welfare.  The study1, submitted to
Congress on January 17, 1969, concluded that:

       "1. Reduction of particulate emissions from jet
aircraft is both desirable and feasible.  Engine
manufacturers and airlines have indicated that improvements
in turbine engine combustor design can be built into new
engines and retrofitted on engines already in use.  Testing
programs are already underway.  Furthermore, they have
indicated that application of this technology will be
underway by the early 1970«s.  While there are no laws or
regulations to compel the industry to follow through on this
work, it appears that public pressures resulting primarily
from the adverse effects of odors and visibility obscuration
will lead industry to initiate the application of this
technology as soon as possible and to complete it within the
shortest possible time.  Accordingly, it is the intention of
this Department to encourage such action by engine
manufacturers and airline operators and to keep close watch
on their progress.  If, at any time, it appears that
progress is inadequate or that completion of the work will
be unduly prolonged, or that the concern of the industry
lags, the Department will recommend regulatory action to the
Congress that statutory authority for such action be
provided.

       "2. Further research is needed to define more
precisely the present and probable future nature and
magnitude of all other air pollution problems associated
with aircraft activity in the United States and to identify
needs for control measures.   Emphasis must be placed
particularly on assessment of air pollutant levels in the

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                                         V
air terminal environment and their effects on health and
safety and on evaluation of possible long-term effects of
upper atmospheric pollution resulting from aircraft flight
activity.  The Department will undertake research
appropriate to the solution of this problem.

       «3  As further research results in identification of
need<* for "additional measures to control air pollution from
any type of aircraft, and as measures to achieve such_
control become available through research and development,
it is the Derartment's  expectation that  engine
manufacturer, airline  operators, and other segments of the
aviation community will take the initiative in  the
development and  application of such control measures.  It
thf private sector fails to provide adequate controls, tne
Department will  not  hesitate to recommend to the Congress
that  Federal  regulatory action be authorized.

        «i*   In light  of  the relatively  small contribution of
aircraft to community air  pollution  in all  places  for  which
adequate data are available, and  in  view of the practical
problems that would result from  State  and local regulatory
action in  this field, it is  the  Department's  ?on?lus^.^t
adoption and  enforcement of  State or local  emission control
regulations pertaining to aircraft cannot be  adequately
 iustified  at  this time.  The Department recommends tnat,  ii
 and when regulations become necessary, the rationale used -co
 develop Federal rather than local emission standards tor
 motor vehicles be applied to aircraft.

        "5. The Department recognizes that State and local
 agencies,"in cooperation with the Federal Aviation
 Administration and other cognizant agencies,  are the most
 appropriate groups to  insure that control of airpor_
 pollution hazards will be given adequate consideration in
 ?he selection of airport sites, planning for exPan^lon *™fna
 reconstruction of axrports, design of airports, and plann_ng
 and conduct of ground  operations.

        "6. The Department will include  information on
 progress in the  control of air pollution from  aircraft in
 the  annual report which must be submitted under section juo
 of the Air Quality  Act."

      As a result of  conclusion  (1) above, in March  1970, at  a
 meet-'Tig held by t'Tie Secretaries of Health, Education, anc.
 Welfare and  of  Transportation, representatives of  31
 airlines agreed to  a schedule for retrofitting JT8D en9^e^
 with reduced smoke  combustors, to be  substantially compie-ce
 by the end of 1972.  This agreement  sought to  signiticanriy

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abate visible (smoke)  emissions from aircraft powered by
this widely used engine.  This retrofit program is 85%
complete (July 1972).   conclusion (2)  pointed to the need
for studying air terminal environments, a need which led to
an EPA-sponsored study of Los Angeles International Airport
by the Los Angeles Air Pollution Control District.  This
study was completed in April 1971.2

    Passage of the 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments essentially
required that we reassess the aircraft emissions problem and
update our knowledge concerning the air quality impact and
feasibility of control of such emissions.

    The data base for this report includes information
developed by Northern Research and Engineering3 *, Cornell
Research Laboratories8, the previously cited LAPCD study,
and information compiled separately by EPA personnel.

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                   CONCLUSIONS
     The various approaches taken In this study to assess the
 impact of aircraft on air quality indicate, both
 individually and collectively, that aircraft operations
 "cause or contribute to or are likely to cause or contribute
 to air pollution which endangers the public health or
 welfare"  (Sec. 231(a), Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970).
 Based on this general conclusion a realistic program of
 emissions control should be instituted.  Though such a
 control program cannot be quantitatively related to the air
 quality considerations discussed herein, pollutant emissions
 from aircraft and aircraft engines should be reduced through
 the  application of the present and prospective technology
 described in this study.  A control program should have
 inherent flexibility so that an more extensive impact data
 become available the required controls can be modified
 accordingly.

     The results of EPA's current study of aircraft emissions
 and  their control have led to the following specific
 conclusions:

       1. Aircraft emissions are significant contributors to
 the  regional burden of pollution in comparison to other
 sources which will have to be controlled to meet National
 Ambient Air Quality Standards.

       2. When airports are viewed as concentrated area
 sources of pollution emissions, either in isolation or in
 concert with their surrounding pollution sources, it can be
 demonstrated that airports will probably exert localized
 impact on air quality, in excess of the standards, even
 though relief is provided elsewhere in the region by
 controls relating to automobiles and stationary sources.
 That is, unless aircraft emissions are reduced, airports
will still remain intense area emitters of pollutants when
 the emission densities in the surrounding region have been
greatly reduced..

       3. Aircraft emissions have impact on air quality in
residential and business areas adjacent to major U.  S.
airports.  The control of non-aircraft sources in and around
such airports will not be adequate to insure compliance with
the National Ambient Air Quality Standards indicating the
need for controlling aircraft emissions.

       4. There exists a variety of control techniques  for
effecting aircraft emissions reductions which appear both
feasible and economically attractive during the next two
decades.   Emissions  may be reduced by means of the following
general approaches:

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           (a) Modification of ground operational
procedures.

           (b) Improvement in maintenance and quality
control procedures to minimize emissions from existinn
families of turbine engines.

           (c) Development and demonstration of nev?
combustion technology for major reductions in emissions from
second-qeneration turbine and piston aircraft engines.

           (d) Retrofit of turbine engine fleets with
existing technology for near-term reduction of emissions.

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   METHODOLOGY FOR IMPACT ASSESSMENT
    Assessment of air quality impact involves investigation
at several different levels: (a)  global/  (b)  regional  (sub-
global) ,  (c) urban, and (d)  local.   In this report the urban
level is defined as an air quality control region.   The
ability to conduct investigations or assessment at these
levels depends entirely on the analytical tools and data
bases available.  Until quite recently most assessments were
source oriented and presented data  in terms of national or
air quality control region inventories.    With the
development of models and more refined monitoring  systems,
we can now explore the more localized "hot spots1*  within an
urban area.  The earlier report*  on the impact of  aircraft
emissions dealt only with national  and regional inventories
and projections of aircraft emissions and pointed  to the
need for a closer look at local airports  and their immediate
environments.  Hence, this study  concentrates on assessing
local effects through a combination of approaches  involving
monitoring, statistical analysis, and modeling.
Additionally, aircraft emissions  are compared with those
from other sources of the same pollutants in terms  of
relative importance and relative  cost of  control.

    The potential impact of aircraft emissions on the  global
and sub-global environments is not  being  ignored.   Studies
of pollution at these levels involve an integrated
assessment of all contributors to the global pollution
inventory, and hence are beyond the scope of this  report.
The Clean Air Act mandates that EPA study the geophysical
effects of air pollution.   Research and monitoring
components of EPA are now engaged in preliminary phases of
such studies.

    To provide continuity, we have  updated pertinent data
prepared by Northern Research and Engineering which was
contained in the previous  report1.   Discrepancies between
similar data presentations in the two reports result from
the better data base obtained in this study.

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 NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS

        In  order -to assess the significance of aircraft
 emissions, one must evaluate their  contribution to pollutant
 concentrations in the atmosphere and relate the resulting
 concentrations to the national ambient  air quality
 standards.

        In accordance with the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970,
 the EPA established primary and secondary ambient air quality standards6
 for six major pollutants:  carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide,
 hydrocarbons, photochemical oxidants, sulfur dioxide, and parti-
 culates. The primary standards provide for protection of public
 health and the secondary standards for prevention of all other unde-
 sirable effects of air pollution.  Table 1 shows the national
 standards for these six pollutants.
    It  should be noted that nonmethane hydrocarbons at
concentrations observed in the atmosphere  have not been
associated with health effects.  The relationship between
nonmethane hydrocarbons and photochemical  oxidants
indicates, however, that peak photochemical oxidant
concentrations are associated with hydrocarbon
concentrations averaged over the time period from 6 to 9
a.m.7 The peak oxidant levels normally appear some three
hours later.   The nonmethane hydrocarbon standard is based
on this relationship.

    As  a basis for implementation of the standards, the
entire  United States has been divided into some 240 Air
Quality Control Regions*.  Regional boundaries are based on
considerations of urban-industrial concentration, existing
jurisdictional boundaries, and other factors including
topography and meteorology, which would affect levels of air
quality in an area.

        In accordance with the provisions of Section 110 of
the Clean Air Act, the States have submitted plans that
provide for the implementation, maintenance,  and enforcement
of the  national air quality standards on a regional (air
quality region)  basis.  The State implementation plan for
each region must provide for attainment of the primary
standards in  3-5 years depending on whether an extension has
been granted.   The State plan is required  to set forth the
procedure for attaining the secondary standards within a
reasonable amount of time.

    Strategies which States are proposing  to meet the
standards and the possible impact  aircraft emissions and

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                Table 1   NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
        Pollutant
               Standard  Description
 Carbon monoxide
   (Primary and secondary
   standards are the same)
 10  milligrams  per  cubic  meter (9  ppm),  maximum
 8-hour  concentration  not to  be exceeded more  than
 once  per year.            .  •
 40  milligrams  per  cubic  meter (35 ppm), maximum
 1-hour  concentration  not to  be exceeded more  than
 once  per year.
Nitrogen dioxide
   (Primary and secondary
   standards are the same)
 100 micrograms  per  cubic meter  (0.05  ppm),  annual
 arithmetic mean.
Hydrocarbons (non-methane)
   (Primary and secondary
   standards are the same)
 160 micrograms  per  cubic meter  (0.24  ppm), maximum
 3-hour concentration  (6-9 a.m.)  not to  be exceeded
 more  than once  per  year.  For use  as  a  guide  in
 devising implementation plans to meet the oxidant
 standards.
Particulate matter
  Primary standard
  Secondary standard
75 micrograms per cubic meter, annual  geometric
mean.

260 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 24-hour
concentration not to be exceeded more  than once per
year.

60 micrograms per cubic meter, annual  geometric
mean, as a guide to be used in assessing implementa-
tion plans to achieve the 24-hour standard.
150 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 24-hour
concentration not to be exceeded more  than once per
year.
Sulfur dioxide
  Primary standard
  Secondary standard
80 micrograms per cubic meter, annual arithmetic
mean.

365 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 24-hour
concentration not to be exceeded more than once per
year.

60 micrograms per cubic meter, annual arithmetic
mean.

260 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 24-hour
concentration not to be exceeded more than once per
year.
1300 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 3-hour con-
centration not to be exceeded more than once per
year.
Oxidant
  (Primary and secondary
  standards are the same)
160 micrograms per cubic meter, maximum 1-hour con-
centration, not to be exceeded more than once per
year.

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their  control are discussed in the section on  regional
impact.


BASIC REQUIREMENT FOR IMPACT EVALUATION

EMISSION FACTORS

Pollutants emitted by  aircraft engines include gaseous
hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, oxides of nitrogen,
particulate matter, and sulfur oxides.  In order to evaluate
the  impact of aircraft emissions on the ambient air levels
of these pollutants, the logical first step is an estimate
of the total emissions due  to aircraft.  Because emission
rates  vary according to engine type, number of engines and
operating mode, we have classified aircraft by type,  defined
the  typical operating  modes for each class throughout their
landing  and takeoff  (LTO) cycles, and determined emission
factors  for each class operating in each mode.

The aircraft classification system groups aircraft into 12 separate
types that include the currently used commercial air carriers, and
general aviation, and military aircraft.  (Classes 8-11 are exclu-
sively  military aircraft and are excluded from further  consideration
in this report.)  Provision was  also made in the classification system
for the possible introduction of supersonic commercial  aircraft in
the future.  The basis for classification of civilian and commercial
aircraft is presented in Table 2.
The aircraft modes of operation for which emission rates
were categorized are:

        (1)  start-up and idle.
        (2)  Taxi
        (3)  Idle at runway
        (4)  Takeoff
        (5)  Climb-out to 3,000  foot elevation
        (6)  Fuel dumping
        (7)  Approach from 3,000 foot elevation
        (8)  Landing
        (9)  Idle and shutdown
        (10)  Maintenance

Emission  factors were developed for the civil aviation
aircraft  classes.  A representative listing of emission
factors for piston and turbine engines is presented  in
subsequent  discussions of control feasibility.
                              10

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                                                      TABLE 2

                                           AIRCRAFT CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
Ref. 14
class-
Category Class fixation
Air
Carrier 1
2
3 1
4 2
5 4
General
Aviation 6 3

7 6

V/Stol 12 7
Type
Supersonic
transport
Jumbo jet
transport
Long-range
jet transport
Medium range
jet transport
Turboprop
transport

Business jet

Piston-engine
utility

Helicopters
and V/STOL
Examples
Concorde
Tupolev TU-144
' Boeing 747
Douglas DC-10
Boeing 707
Douglas DC-8
Boeing 727
Douglas DC-9
Lockheed Electra
Fairchild Hiller
FH-227

Lockheed Jetstar
North American
Sabreliner
Cessna 210
Centurion
Piper 32-300
Cherokee Six
Silorsky S-61
Vertol 107
Engine Model
R-R/Snecma
Olympus 593
P&WA JT9D
P&WA JT3D
P&WA JT8D
Allison
501-D13

P&WA JT12

Continental
10-520-A

General
Electric CT58
Engiin.-.--, i
Thrust per
Type or powe' a aircraft
Turbojet 39,000 Ib. 4 ;
Turbofan 43,000 Ib. 4
Turbofan 18,000 Ib. 4
Turbofan 13,900 Ib. 2.6
Turbo- 3,750 hp. 2.5
prop
1
Turbojet 2,900 Ib. 2.1

Opposed 292 hp. 1
piston

Turbo- 1,390 hp. 2
shaft
Equivalent shaft power.
 Representative of Van Nuys and Tamiami.

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The aircraft emission  data,  obtained through various
research programs  funded  by  EPA, are summarized in the
report prepared  for  EPA by Cornell University.*

Emissions from non-aircraft  sources on and around the
airport are also accounted for  in the air quality analyses.
These sources of emissions include airport heating plants,
fuel storage losses, automobiles, service vehicles, and
areas neighboring  the  airports.  To estimate the impact of
aircraft emissions on  air quality near the ground, one must
take into accmr»+  emissions  from the time an aircraft enters
the atmospheric  mixing layer during approach until it leaves
this layer during  climb-out.  In defining an LTO cycle
representative of  this consideration,  a height of 3,000
feet above the runway  was selected as a reasonable
approximation of atmospheric mixing depth over major U. S.
metropolitan areas,*   The number of LTO cycles performed,
and the relative lengths  of  time spent in each operational
mode of an LTO cycle,  combined with the appropriate emission
factors, determine the quantities of pollutants emitted by
aircraft.

SELECTION OF CRITICAL  AREAS  AND AIRPORTS

Once the general emission characteristics of aircraft were
determined, specific regions and airports having high
aircraft activity  and  air pollution potential were selected
for impact evaluation.

As a part of the Northern study3, several airports were
selected to represent,  as nearly as possible, those at which
the impact of emissions from aircraft and related activities
would probably be  greatest.  The factors considered in
evaluating the potential  impact of individual airports
included: (1) aircraft activity levels, (2)  airport area,
(3) mean wind speed, and  (4)  relative activity of different
types of aircraft  (commercial air carrier and general
aviation).  On the basis  of  these considerations and the
availability of  airport and  aircraft activity data, these
airports were selected for study:
       (1) Commercial  Air Carrier

           Los Angeles International

           Washington  National

           J. F. Kennedy  International

           O'Hare  International
                               12

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        (2)  General  Aviation

            Van Nuys, California

            Tamiami, Florida

     elaborate evaluations of  four additional  airports  and
 their  impact in their respective air quality control  regions
 wer^ developed as the regional impact analysis was  expanded
 bo  ;.r:^Iude  an examination of State implementation plans for
 th: attainment of the air quality standards.

 The four additional airports,  located in San Francisco,
 Dallas-Ft«  Worth, Denver, and  Boston, were  selected on  the
 .3.3 sis  of high levels of aircraft activity and  severity  of
 the regional pollutant levels.

 EMISSION PROJECTIONS

 The basic emission factors for any particular  engine  type
 are not expected to change substantially with  time  unless
 changes are required by emission standards.  In addition,
 the number and type of engines representative  of one
 particular class of aircraft are not expected  to change
 substantially in the next 10-20 years.  The important and
 determining factors affecting  the projected controlled  or
 uncontrolled emissions are:  (1) changes in the level  of
 airp rt activity, and (2)  changes in the mix of the various
 classes of aircraft.

 As a part of the Northern Research Study, records of
 aircraft activity by class were obtained for the selected
 airports.  Prospective growth  in activity at each airport
 was estimated by projecting past and current activity data
 to 1975 and 1980.  The general trend at the selected
 airports is towards more aircraft operations in classes 1.
 2ff 4,  6 and 7; and less in classes 3 and 5.   The total
 yearly activity data and projections are summarized in  Table
 3.

 The air carrier airports are so-called because  of the
 preponderance of commercial air carrier activity, which, in
 1970, ranged from 66 percent of total activity  at Washington
 National to 92 percent at Chicago O*Hare.  Activity at
 Tamiami and Van Nuys Airports is approximately  99 percent
 general aviation aircraft.

Additionally,  data were obtained on the uses and locations
 of taxiways, runways,  terminals,  hangars, heating plants,
 fuel storage areas,  and roadways at each airport in order to
                              13

-------
                                                    Table 3
                           Present  and Projected  LTO Cycles for 1970,  1975,  and 1980
Airport
All FAA operated airports
Air carrier airports
Los Angeles
International
Washington
National
J. F. Kennedy
International
Chicago
General aviation airports
Van Nuys ,
California
Tamiami.k
Florida
Type of aircraft
Air
carrier
-

203,900
109,800
188,800
314,300

20
-
General
aviation
-

59,900
55,500
27,800
21,200

279,400
200,800
Military
-

4,200
1,500
-


2,700
-
Helicopters
-

4,050
-
-
-

-
-
Total LTO cycles
1970a
28 x 106

272,000
166,700
219,200
339,900

281,600
200,800
1975
39 x 106

305,200
169,800
208,500
357,000

-
-
1980
59 x 106

358,100
173,500
241,300
410,800

700,000
-
       parts do not add up
b!971 estimated activity
to total, LTO cycles not classified by type were included in total

-------
 locate  and quantify the* varioussources  of  emissions  during
 the  operation of  aircraft.,,  ,•-••.

 Based on  projections from Reference  3; revised to
 incorporate more  accurate emission, factors,  total projected
 emissions of pollutants from aircraft and from all sources.
 were calculated for the years 1975 and 1980  at each of  the
 selected  airports except New Tamiami (which lacked reliable
 activity  projections).  These projections are  presented in
 Table H for total hydrocarbons,  carbon monoxide,  nitrogen
 oxides, sulfur dioxide, particulate  matter  (including lead),
 and  leado   For a  more complete assessment of proposed
 control strategies, emission projections for three of the
 pollutants (hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide,  and nitrogen
 oxides) were also developed  for  1990.  The projected  values
 for  1990  are presented in the discussion of  control
 feasibility and impact.  The emission projections are based
 on present emission rates for each aircraft  engine class and
 do not incorporate potential future  reductions in emissions
 as a result of aircraft emission standards.  The  projected
 aircraft  emissions reflect increased activity  and changes  in
 the  mix of existing engines.

 At the four air carrier airports during  the  1970^s, as  a
 result of  continued introduction of  jet  engines found in
 present-day new jet aircraft, total  emissions  of  carbon
 monoxide  from aircraft are not projected to  change greatly.
 Hydrocarbon emissions, however,  although predicted to
 increase  by 18 percent at Washington National  Airport,  are
 expected  to decrease by about 60 to  70 percent at Los
 Angeles,  John F.  Kennedy, and OlHare Airport.   The estimated
 average increase  in aircraft operations  is 20  percent at
 these airports during the 1970«s, indicating in general,
 lower hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide emissions from  the
 newer and,  in many cases, larger engines.  As  shown in  Table
 4 there will be substantial  increases in aircraft NOx
 emissions  of 275 percent at  Los  Angeles, 146 percent  at John
 F. Kennedy, 98 percent at O'Hare, and 33 percent  at
 Washington National Airport  between  1970 and 1980.  These
 increases  reflect the greater amounts of NOx emitted  during
 an entire  LTO cycle from the newer engines,  some  increases
 in SO2 and particulate emissions from aircraft are
 projected,  since such increases usually  follow increases in
 aircraft operations.

At Van Nuys Airport,  the projected increases in all
pollutants parallel the large projected  increases  in
activity at this airport.   During the 1970*s, emissions of
hydrocarbons,  carbon monoxide,  NOx, and lead from aircraft
are projected to increase by about 140 percent.
                           15

-------
As Table  4  indicates,  we estimate that in 1975 CO emissions
from aircraft at Van  Nuys Airport will exceed CO emissions
from aircraft at a major commercial airport,   Washington
National.   This estimation indicates the increasing
importance  of general aviation aircraft emissions, and
emphasizes  that during an LTO cycle, CO emissions from a
small general aviation piston engine can, in  many cases,  be
expected  to approach  CO emissions from a commercial air
carrier turbine engine.

The existing and potential air quality impact of sulfur oxides and
lead is considered to be negligible in comparison to other sources
of these two pollutants.  Therefore, no further analysis was performed
on these pollutants in this study.  The particulate  problem associated
with aircraft operations has already been shown to be  confined to the
smoke problem and hence the air quality impact discussion is very brief
in this report.

Bnission projections for the additional airports at  Dallas-Ft.  Worth,
San Francisco, Denver, and Boston were based on the  similarity of the
particular  airport to one or more of those in Table  4.
                                16

-------
                         Table  4.  CURRENT AND PROJECTED EMIS: ONSa FROM AIRCRAFT AND AIRPORTS
                                                       (tons/ye r)
Airport
and year
Los Angeles
1970
1975
1980
Washington
National
1970
1975
• 1980
John F. Kennedy
1970
1975
1980
O'Hare
1970
1975
1980
Van Nuys
1970
1975
1980
Participates
Aircraft

570
610
680


231
242
286

570
550
550

900
970
1,100

3.2
5.4
7.7
Ai rport
total

616
627
693


253
253
297

660
605
583

1,001
1,023
1,100

3.7
5.7
7.8
NOX
Aircraft

3,060
6,790
11,490


820
980
1,090

2,580
4,660
6,370

3,760
5,760
7,440

12.1
19.8
28.6
Airport
total

4,369
8,110
12,480


1,074
1,211
1,277

4,846
6,640
7,580

6,290
7,520
8,540

27.5
34.1
36.3
S0£
Aircraft

431
490
623


105
121
143

418
415
442

562
600
718

0.033
0.066
0.099
Airport
tota'i

434
561
726


319
330
352

902
913
957

605
660
803

0.33
0.55
0.88
Lead
Aircraft

0.3
0.9
1.0


0.5
0.5
0.5

0.3
0.4
0.9

0.2
0.4
0.6

3.2
5.3
7.6
Airport
total

35.2
22.0
7.8


4.8
2.1
0.9

53.9
27.5
7.8

63.8
28.6
7.7

3.6
5.5
7.6
Carbon monoxide
Aircraft

16,030
16,630
18,480


2,410
2,700
3,030

12,590
11,280
10,680

14,740
13,840
13,530

1,650
2,750
3,960
Ai rport
total

29,230
28,730
27,280


3,731
3,691
3,470

32,390
26,680
18,380

34,540
31 ,440
22,330

1,870
2,860
4,070
Total
hydrocarbons
Aircraft

12,570
8,660
4,770


610
680
720

9,490
5,700
2,830

9,580
6,300
3,710

100
165
242
Airport
total

14,660
10,530
5,760


864
823
775

12,680
8,010
3,930

13,210
8,830
4,920

132
198
264
 Based  on aircraft emissions  below  3000  feet altitude.
^Includes lead.

-------
         RESULTS OF IMPACT EVALUATION
 REGIONAL IMPACT

 The implementation plans of eight air quality control
 regions were reviewed in detail.   These regions have
 critical problems in terms of.their,ability to meet the
 National Ambient Air Quality Standards and also have
 airports with high air passenger  activity.  Four of the
 regions considered are those in which the four major air
 carrier facilities considered in  the Northern Research Study
 are located.  The analysis of regional implementation
 strategies was extended to include San Francisco,  Boston,
 Denver, and Dallas-Fort worth.  Table 5 reflects the present
 status of implementation plans relating to the control
 strategies  (by pollutant)  for these regions and their
 ability to meet the air quality standards by 1975.

 As an aid in assessing aircraft emissions and their regional
 impact Tables 6 through 13 present the 1970 emission
 inventories and emission projections for 1975 and 1980, for
 the eight regions cited> along with reductions expected as a
 result of Federal standards for emissions from light-duty
 motor vehicles.' In addition, one or more of the proposed
 strategies representing control of smaller sources or
 additional controls on motor vehicle sources are cited so
 that the spectrum of control demands is evident.  Present
 and projected estimates of aircraft emissions are also
 tabulated, along with the reductions to bet expected if the
 proposed standards are met.  The  reductions for 1975
 represent application of the only feasible control strategy
 available by that date, ground operation control.   Two
 values are shown for 1980 potential reductions  the first
 represents the actual reductions  achievable by 1980; the
 second, mass reductions achievable in the 1980-1990 time
 frame as a result of the proposed 1979 design standards.
Note that in 9 of the 17 possible region/pollutant
 coiabinations (an'8-region by 2-pollutant matrix plus
Los Angeles NOx)  the potential  reductions in aircraft
emissions are comparable to (at least half of)  or  greater
than the reductions due to minimum strategies proposed for
 1980 bv the various reaional nr stat«*
                           19

-------
                             TABLE 5

                        ABILITY TO MEET
             NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
                            IN 1975

                   (yes = able, no = unable)

      Based on Current State Implementation Plan Information
       Region



1. Los Angeles

2. New York

3. Washington, D.C.

4. Chicago

5. Denver

6. San Francisco

7. Dallas/Fort Worth

8. Boston


*NC>2 air quality data is currently being reevaluated. Results of this
 reassessment may require additional or accelerated control of aircraft
     emissions to those herein proposed.
CO
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Pollutant
HC N02*
No No
No . —
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
                             20

-------
                                              TABLE  6

                              METROPOLITAN LOS ANGELES  TMTRASTATE AQCR
                                    EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS

WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS

Region
Aircraft (for entire region)
REGION WITH PROPOSED CONTROLS
- (Aircraft control not included)
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC STRATEGIES
Present motor vehicle program
Petroleum industry
Organic solvents
Incineration
Combustion of fuels
Agriculture
Periodic vehicle inspection
Retrofit evaporative control
1/3 conversion to gaseous fuels
20% traffic reduction
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Turbine ground operation
Turbine emission standard

Piston 'emission standard

Sum of aircraft control
strategies
1970
CO HCa NOX



4,130
41.1








1















651
6.8
























573
4.2





















1975
CO HCa NOX
i


4,400
51.4
880


2,200


C 14.6J

C 1T83
584

485
200.7

10.4




C 10.4}


693
4.9
178


365



611
9.3
335


164
23.7
rn*



25.6
34.7
27.4
30.8

. 2.5
0.3



m
1.1
9.1

+16. 4b

73
47.5






0
\
1980C
CO HCa NOX



4,800
70.0
515


3,720


C.16.4^

'( 2.2^)
230

• 175^
QiQ9.5>

10.9
1.9
(25.8)
2.3
(30.9)
15.1




756
3.2
130


548
25.5
CUD



CO)
9.1
cup
18.3

1.3
0.4
(2.7)
0.0
(0.3)
1.7
Q3>


i
668
1.5.6
275


350


Q.l>
C9.V>
u
+14. 6b

C 25. 6>
27.4


1.0
(13.4)


1.0
_ 	 — l
aReactive HC based on California SIP

 Increase rather than decrease due to engine operation tradeoff
'Values shown in parenthesis are projected 19°0 ("iiLssion reductions.

-------
                                                    TABLE  7
                          NEW YORK PORTION OF THE N.J. - N.Y. - CONN. INTERSTATE AQCR
                                          EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS
i
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (JFK only)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
(Other Strategies)
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards
1970
CO HC NOX

4,207
12.6









832
9.5









741
2.6








1975
CO HC NOX

4,840
11.3

2,630

2,139
41a

5.7


955
5.7

485

431
20. 8b

3.6
.4

851
4.7

727

101
23. 6C



1980<*
CO HC NOX

5,260
10.7

1,136

4,066
44. 6a

5.1
0.8
(9.6)

1,040
2.8

268

702
21b

1.6
0.6
(3.0)

926
6.4

622

269
25.6°


0.5
(6.1)
10
to
          Note:  La Guardia  =  60-70%  of  JFK.
           aDowntown truck control.
            Process  evaporation.
           cGas space heat downtown.
             Values  shown  in parenthesis are projected 1990 emission.reductions.

-------
                                          TABLE :ftr


                              NATIONAL CAPITAL INTERSTATE AQCR
                                EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (National)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
Minimum Strategies
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards

1970
CO HC NOV
X

1,389
2.4












267
0.6












184
0.8











1975
CO HC NOX

1,554
2.7

1,025



470
25. 2a '
'
1.1



299
0.7

155


'
97
2.2a

.3
0.1


206
0.9

188


i
20
Q.f




1980=
CO HC NOX

1,735
3.0

460



1,215
a
11.3-

1-2,
0.2
(2.9)

335
0.7

117 ;



190
cn£:

•4 ;

230
' 1.1

150
i
|
< " i
i
78 j
.b '•
0.3 .
, • r

0.2 1 0.1

-------
                                          TABLE 9
               ILLINOIS PORTION OF THE METROPOLITAN CHICAGO INTERSTATE AQCR
                                EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (O'Hare)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
Aggregate Stationary
Source Controls3
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards
1970
CO HC NOX

2,730
14.7








606
9.6








383
3.8







1975
CO HC NOX

3,064
13.8

1,480

1,383
Crab)

CTT^


688
6.3

235.5

262
CUD

435
5.8

306

94.5
6.0d

0.6

1980e
CO HC NOX

3,496
13.3

506

2,748
cn£>
6.2
1.1
^ J- fa • £• f

796
3.7

96

465
CUDl
2.0
0.8.
^^^^^^^^^^

504
7.4

196

265
7.4*

0.6
(6.5;
Note:  Midway emissions = 20% O'Hare.
aMinimum source strategy assumed to be 10% of aggregate.
 Incinerators.
cRefinery solvents.
^Values shown in parenthesis are projected 1990 emission reductions.

-------
                                                 TABLE  10
                                   METROPOLITAN DENVER INTRASTATE AQCR

                                      EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PE* YEAR
EMISSIONS
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (Stapleton)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
Retrofit Pre '67 Cars
Tune-ups
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards

1970
CO HC NO
X

873
4.5











174
2.6











139
1.0










1975
CO HC N0x

965
4.6

516

280
66
103

1.8



192
1-7

98

70
14.5
9

1.0

154
1.6








0.2 ;


1980a
CO HC NOY
X

1,065
4.8

252

212
1.0 ,

.65 •
1
" |
757
12
44

1.7
0.3
(3.5)
140
CS>i
4

0.5
0.2
<£>J

170
2.0



i




0.2
(1.8)
to
U1
          Values shov;n in parenthesis are projected  1990  emission  reductions.

-------
                                          TABLE .11
                          SAN FRANCISCO  BAY  AREA INTRASTATE  AQCR
                               EMISSIONS,  KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (s.F. Int'l.)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
Minimum Strategies
Vehicle Inspection
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards


1970
CO HCb NOX

1,980
11.0


-











315
3.2














266
2.1













1975
CO HC NOY
X

2,150
11.5

451



1,030
16*
266

5.3
0



340
2.2

89



172

287
4.7

156



77
GO21.8a
10.9

COX
0.1


+7.3f





1980 a
CO HCb NOX

2,350
12.7

291



1,730
GSi
106

5.6
1.0
(1373!


371
1.2

69



252
ai
2.9

0.7
0.2
C1.41J

313
7.9

125



164
io.8e
+7.3f


0.5
6.8
I
Note:  Oakland and San Jose =20% of S.F. Int'3.
aValues shown in parenthesis are projected 1990 emission reductions.
^Defined highly reactive.
Agricultural burning.
d20% traffic reduction.
el/3 conversion to gaseous fuels.
 Increase rather than reduction.

-------
                                                  TABLE 12
                            METROPOLITAN DALLAS - FORT WORTH INTRASTATE AQCR
                                        EMISSIONS,  KILOTONS PER YEAR.
EMISSIONS.
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (Love Field)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
..STRATEGIES.
National Motor Vehicle
-Standards- •
Minimum, Control Stationary
.: Source and Gases
Maintenance and Inspection
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards
•
1970
CO HC NO
X

2,340
7.2

•










454
4.5












280
1.8











1975
CO HC NO
X

2,620
6.9









3.1


509
3.0

256



199
6.4
48

1-7
0.3

314
2.7

270



44





1980 a
CO HC NOV
. A.
• ,
2,920
6.7









2.9
0.5
(5.9)

567
1.8

149

'
;' '
393 ;
6.4 •'
19

0.9
0.4:
1.8

350
3.5

178 .



172




0.3
(3.2)
NJ
-J
         Values  shown  in  parenthesis are projected 1990 emission reductions.

-------
                                                    TABLE  13
                                     METROPOLITAN BOSTON INTRASTATE AQCR
                                         EMISSIONS, KILOTONS PER YEAR
EMISSIONS
WITHOUT ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
Region
Aircraft (Logan)
WITH STATE PROPOSED CONTROLS
Region
REDUCTION FOR SPECIFIC
STRATEGIES
National Motor Vehicle
Standards
Gasoline Handling
Evaporative Losses
Solvent Control
Other Strategies Sited
None Actually Proposed
AIRCRAFT CONTROL
Ground Operation
Emission Standards
1970
CO HC NOV
J\.

1,352
7.9
-










263
5.8











206
1.6










1975
CO HC NOX

1,555
7.0

1,034

502




3.5


302
3.5

141.5

95
12
52


2.2
0.2

237
2.8

211.7

25






1980s
CO HC NOV
X.

1,690
6.5

490

1,200




3.1
0.5
(5.9)

329
1.7

82

178
13
56


1.0
0.4
(118)

258
3.9

183

75





0.3
(3.7)
to
00
             Values shown in parenthesis are projected 1990 emission reductions.

-------
More importantly, in 4 or these 9 cases, the  air quality
standard will not be met or will be only marginally met in
the 1975-1980 time frame.  In these cases aircraft emission
reductions before and after 1980 would represent effective
control strategies.  In all regions facing difficulties in
meeting the air quality standards, every viable control
strategy will have to be applied to meet requirements of the
Clean Air Act.

Table 6, which relates to the implementation  plan for
metropolitan Los Angeles, lists all proposed  strategies and
gives aircraft emission figures representative of all
aircraft activity, including LAX, in the region.  For a
specific region, total aircraft emissions can be
substantially higher than those attributed to the area's
major air carrier airport.  The region encompassing
metropolitan Los Angeles, for example, includes, besides
LAX, several smaller commercial air carrier airports and
numerous general aviation facilities.  It is  not surprising
then that LAX accounts for only 40%, 7OX, and 73%,
respectively, of the total regional aircraft  emissions of
CO, HC, and NOx in 1970.  This general relationship of
emissions attributable to major airports and  total regional
aircraft emissions could be expected in similar highly
populated air quality control regions.

!-* the Los Angeles region, uncontrolled emissions from
aircraft are expected to account for 14% of the CO, 2.5% of
the reactive HC, and 5.5% of the NOx total emissions by
1980.

Emissions from piston aircraft have a particularly
significant impact on regional CO levels.  Although piston
aircraft were responsible for about 0.5% of the total CO
emissions in 1970, their contribution to CO emissions, if
uncontrolled, is expected to reach 10% by 1980.
; j •
SUB REGIONAL AND LOCALIZED IMPACT
    This section deals with the effect of aircraft emissions
on air quality at major airports and downwind of these
airports.  Emission densities and other parameters of
emission intensity and air quality impact are first
presented to provide indications of the contribution of
aircraft to air pollutant concentration around a number of
major u. S. airports.  Then detailed results of sampling and
dispersion modeling are presented to give deeper insight
into the localized impact of aircraft at airports where
aircraft contributions to air pollutant concentration are
expected to be particularly important.
                              29

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                                      \
GENERAL INDICATORS OF LOCALIZED AIR QUALITY IMPACT

Passenger Usage Density and Air Pollution Potential-An
indication of localized impact of aircraft on air quality is
presented in Table It for the 20 largest D. S.  air carrier
airports, as determined by passenger enplanement.  On the
basis of concentration of passenger activity, proximity of
the airport to built-up areas, and meteorological pollution
potential»o  (a function of atmospheric mixing height and
wind speed)g seven airports, designated by asterisks in
Table 14, could be expected to be particularly important
contributor& -LO localized air pollutant concentrations.  The
results of Table It indicate most directly the airport
contributions to localized carbon monoxide concentrations;
the airport Contributions to oxidant and nitrogen dioxide
concentrations are indicated less directly because
intermediate atmospheric reactions are involved in their
production.

Emission Density Comparison-Emission densities have been
calculated for four of the airports that show a major air
quality impact potential.  Table 15 indicates that emission
densities due to aircraft alone in 1970 were in most cases
comparable to those of densely populated metropolitan areas
served by the corresponding airports.

           This emission density comparison suggests that,
in these four airport areas, the contribution by aircraft to
ambient air concentrations of hydrocarbon, CO, and NOx is
substantial.  Such contributions are particularly important
where major airports lie in or near metropolitan areas in
which national ambient air quality standards are currently
exceeded.  As shown in Table 5, this is the case for the
four areas considered.

           The comparison of emission densities  (airport
versus metropolitan area) for 1975 and 1980 demonstrates
that the ratio of the airport emission densities to those of
the metropolitan areas will increase in most cases,
sometimes dramatically.  The trends can be identified in
Table 15, which indicates that aircraft are expected to
become increasingly significant contributors to air
pollutant concentrations at airports and in their
vicinities.

It should be kept in mind that the emissions densities
presented in Table 15 are averaged for the given areas and
that variation in actual emission rates within the defined
areas exist*.
                                30

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                                                  TABLE 14

                 INDICATIONS OF LOCALIZED AIRPORT IMPACT OF 20 LARGEST AIR CARRIER AIRPORTS
Enplaned
Passengers
Millions
Airport (FY 1970)
* O'Hare
* Los Angeles
* Atlanta
* J.F. Kennedy
* La Guardia
San Francisco
* Dallas (Love)
* Washington (Nat.)
Boston
Miami
Detroit •
Denver
Newark
Philadelphia
St. Louis
Pittsburgh
Minneapolis
Cleveland
Seattle
Houston
.13.5
8.5
8.2
7.0
5.9
5.5
5.3
4.9
4.5
' 4.4
3.7
3.5
3.4
3.2
3.1
3.0
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.2
Aircraft Activity
Percent Percent
Commercial General
Aviation Aviation
95
76
86
86
80
78
70
66
66
66
71
48
76
70
58
64
55
45
68
73
5
22
14
14
20
21
30
33
34
' 31
27
52
24
30
38
29
37
55
32
27
Airport
Area,
Miles2
14.1
4.8
6.6
8.1
0.9
8.1
2.0
1.0
3.7
4.2
7.5
7.2
3.4
3.9
2.9
4.8
4.6
2.3
2.8
11.4
Passengers
/area X 105.
36
40
33
25
65
20
38
49
24
22
: 14
13
19
17
18
14
13
17
16
6 .
Airport
Proximity to
Built-up
Areas a
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2 .
1
2

2
2
2
2

2

2
1
Morning
Meteorological
Air Pollution
Potential (x/Q)b
50
50
• 50
30
30
50
' ' 30
70
20
20
40
30
30
30
- 40
80
60
50
40
30
  1  =  Residential and business areas  adjacent  to  airport boundaries.
  2  =  Residential and business areas  adjacent  to  airport boundaries,  and a significant  frequency  of
      wind from airport toward these  areas.
.  'This parameter is based on a simple model of dispersion over urban areas,  in which an average  area-
  wide pollutant concentration, x>  is normalized for an average emission rate, Q.   High x/Q values
  indicate high potential pollutant  concentrations.   The values listed above are morning upper
  decile levels for a 10-kilometer  along-wind distance.  More detailed information on  this  parameter
  is  presented in Ref. 10.

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                 Table 15.  COMPARISON OF EMISSION DENSITIES FOR AIRPORTS VERSUS URBAN AREAS FOR 1970, 1975, and 1980

Los Angeles metropolitan area
Los Angeles Airport - all
emission sources
Los Angeles Airport - air-
craft alone
New York metropolitan area
Airport - all emission
sources
Airport - aircraft alone
Washington D.C. metropolitan
area
National Airport - all
emission sources
National Airport - air-
craft alone
Chicago metropolitan area
O'Hare Airport - all
emission sources
O'Hare Airport - air-
craft alone
Area ,a
mi2_
1250.0

3.9

3.9
320.0

4.5
4.5

61.0

1.0

1.0
227.0

6.7

6.7
Emission densities,'3 tons/mi 2-day
1970
Carbon
monoxide
7.2

20.6

11.2
14.5

19.6
7.7

12.5

10.2

6.6
8.1

14.1

6.0
Hydro-
carbons
2.0

10.3

8.8
3.4

7.7
5.8

1.7

2.4

1.7
2.5

5.4

3.9
Nitrogen
oxides
1.0

2.0

1.1
3.6

2.1
0.8

1.7

1.7

1.0
1.4

1.9

0.8
1975
Carbon
monoxide
4.8

20.2

11.7
11.4

16.2
6.9

7.9

10.1

7.4
6.3

12.9

5.7
Hydro-
carbons
1.1

7.4

6.1
2.4

4.9
3.5

1.1

2.3

1.9
1.7

3.6

2.6
Nitrogen
oxides
0.9

3.5

2.6
3.6

2.7
1.5

1.5

1.8

1.2
1.4

2.0

1.3
1980
Carbon
monoxide
2.8

19.1

13.0
5.5

11.2
6.5

3.3

9.5

8.3
1.4

9.1

5.5
Hydro-
carbons
0.9

4.0

3.4
1.3

2.4
1.7

0.4

2.1

2.0
0.9

2.0

1.5
Nitrogen
oxides
0.8

5.6

4.9
3.2

3.0
2.3

1.3

1.9

1.4
1.2

2.3

1.8
OJ
to
            Airport areas  represent  those  areas  devoted  to  the operation of the airport, but not necessarily the total area
            owned by the airport.

            Emissions used to calculate  airport  emission densities are based on all aircraft emissions within  each  airport area.

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The majority of the HC, CO, and NQx emissions in metropolitan areas are
due to area rather than point sources.  This tends to minimize variation
in emission densities throughout a metropolitan area.  However, one would
expect to observe higher emission densities where there is high population
activity such as in downtown and industrial areas as opposed to residential
areas within the region.

Detailed Investigation of Localized Pollutant Concentrations

The emissions density data previously discussed pointed to the fact that
major airports are and will continue to be significant area sources of air
pollution emissions.  If the health and welfare of the exposed population
is to be protected, the conclusion may be drawn that the emissions must be
reduced equally for all such sources, e.g., whether they be airport or non-
airport area sources of pollution.

8-Hour Carbon Monoxide Concentrations-Carbon monoxide concentrations at the
Los Angeles International Airport and in its vicinity were measured from
May to November, 1970.2  The sampling was done by the Los Angeles County Air
Pollution Control District under EPA;contract.  Carbon monoxide concentrations
were continuously monitored at several sampling sites, including 4 sites in
the airport terminal area, and at 2 sites located upwind and downwind of the
airport complex.  At all of these, ambient concentrations of CO were measured.
The monitoring sites were located as shown in Figure 1.  'Data from site 209
were analyzed extensively to determine as quantitatively as possible the air
quality impact of aircraft CO emissions on 8-hour ambient CO concentrations
in residential and business areas downwind of the airport.

           Site 209 is located directly downwind of the L.A. airport when the
wind blows from its most frequent direction, as indicated by the wind rose in
Figure 1.  Until recently this area was a residential neighborhood, but now it
is almost completely owned by the Los Angeles Airport.  Other residential areas,
however, are located only a few blocks west and north of this area; and it was
concluded that concentrations measured at site 209 are indicative of concen-
trations in such residential areas.

           Figure 2 presents an estimated frequency distribution of carbon
monoxide concentrations at site 209 during the winter months, the time of
highest CO concentrations in the Los Angeles area.  This frequency distri-
bution is based on sampling data collected at site 209 during August and is
adjusted to represent wintertime concentrations usjjig a seasonal conversion
based on air quality data for the entire Los Angeles basin.  Derivation of
the results shown in Figure 2 is detailed in Appendix A.  It can be seen,
in Figure A-3 of that section, that site 209 is exposed to the same levels
of carbon monoxide whether it be influenced by pollution from other than
the airport (easterly winds) or from the airport alone (westerly winds) .
Figure 2 shows that the 8-hour CO standard, which is not to be exceeded
more than once per year, is estimated to have been exceeded at site 209
13 times per month, or 39 times in the winter 3-month period.
                                 33

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CO
        60
        40
      ex
      ex
        20
         8
w  10
u
2

8
     o
     PS

     oo
                                                       FIGURE  2



                  EXPECTED CO CONCENTRATIONS, 8-HOUR AVERAGING  TIME,  WINTER 1970,  STATION 209, LAX
              Ambient A/Q Standard = 9 ppm
                                                          13  days/month
                                                                                           CO

                                                                                          •O
         99.9         99               90          70      50      30



            Probability  (%)  of  exceeding  the  given pollutant level.
                                                                       10
0.1

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          Part of the carbon monoxide concentrations shown in Figure 2
are due to aircraft.  To estimate the portion of the concentration that
is due to aircraft/ dispersion modeling was applied.  The dispersion
modeling methodology  is discussed in Appendix B. The model's resulting
estimate of the current contribution by aircraft to total CO concentrations,
shown in Figure 3, indicates that aircraft are highly significant con-
tributors to local CO concentrations downwind of the airport.  Figure 3
indicates that expected aircraft contributions constitute 60-70% of the
total CO concentrations in the area of site 209.
Between 1970 and 1980, CO emissions from aircraft are
estimated to increase by fifteen  per cent (Table U)  while CO
emissions from all other sources  in the Los Angeles area are
expected to decrease to 20X of their 1970 levels.»*  Using
the estimated changes in emissions  from these two source
categories, and assuming that the emission changes yield
proportional changes in pollutant concentrations due to each
source  category, CO concentration frequency distributions
for various aircraft contributions  can be derived from
Figure  2.   The result is presented  in Figure 4 for various
1970 aircraft contributions to pollutant concentrations.

Figure  H indicates that without controls of CO emissions
from aircraft the 8-hour CO standard will be exceeded more
than once during the 1980 winter  months at site 209 if the
aircraft contribution to the total  CO concentration in 1970
is as little as 20%.  As shown in Figure 3,  the 1970
contribution by aircraft exceeds  this percentage over a
large area downwind of the airport.   If the reasonable
assumption is made that Figure 2  approximates the 1970
winter  CO concentration frequency distribution in this area,
it is evident that in 1980 the 8-hour CO concentrations will
continue to exceed the standards  in this same area downwind
of the  Los Angeles Airport if aircraft CO emissions are not
controlled.

As noted in Appendix A, the analysis resulting in Figures 2
and 4 can be repeated using data  from September, rather than
from August, as a basis.  The September data will yield
higher  concentrations than will the August data for similar
frequencies of occurrence.  Consequently, the results from
the September data analysis can be  used to indicate an upper
value of a range of frequencies at  which the 8-hour CO
standard is exceeded; the results from the August data can
be used to indicate a lower value of the range.  The ranges
for 1970,  and for 1980 with various aircraft contributions,
is presented in Table 16.
                            36

-------
,s

-------
u>
00
      o
      M
      H
W
o
§
o

8
      o
      re

      oo
                                                        FIGURE 4

                                FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTIONS FOR CARBON MONOXIDE  FOR VARIOUS

                             AIRCRAFT EMISSION CONTRIBUTIONS AT STATION  209  - WINTER 1980
                 Notes

                    1. 80%  rollback from 1970 on non-AC sources

                    2. 1980 AC CO emissions  = 1.15 X 1970 emissions
                  AMBIENT A/Q STANDARD = 9 ppm
            99.9        99             90          70      50      30



             Probability (%)  of exceeding the given pollutant level

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                           '  "  TABLE 16

    EXPECTED RANGE OF DAYS THAT 8-HR STANDARD WILL BE EXCEEDED IN
             VICINITY OF L.A. AIRPORT, 1970 and 1980a
Based on
August
Datab
Based on
September
Data
   Days Standard Exceeded
          in 1970

   Days Standard Exceeded
   in 1980, With Following %
   Contributions by Aircraft
   (at 1970 emission levels)
   to Total CO Concentrations

           80%

           60%

           40%

           20%

            0%
39
36

22

 9

 1

 0
to
to

to

to

to

to
65
61

49

32

14

 1
 aBecause the highest CO concentrations occur during winter months,
it is assumed that the frequency of exceeding the standard during the
winter quarter gives the frequency of exceeding the standard the
entire year.
   From Figures 2 and 4.
                               39

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1-HQur CO Concentrations at -the Los Angeles Airport-The 1-
hour CO air quality standard of 35 ppm  (40 ug/m3) was
exceeded at only one of the outdoor continuous sampling
locations at the Los Angeles Airport.  A summary of the 1-
hour sampling data at these receptors is presented in Table
17, which indicates that only at site 205 was the 1-hour CO
standard frequently exceeded.  Site 205 was located next to
heavy automobile traffic on world Way Boulevard at an
automobile passenger unloading area.  The 1-hour CO standard
was exceeded 12 times during the approximately 4-week period
of sampler operation.  Expected reductions in CO emissions
from automobiles probably would reduce concentrations at
sites such as 205 to levels below the 1-hour standard.
Generally the 8-hour CO standard of 10 ug/m3 is the most
difficult of the two standards to reach, and statistically
if the 8-hour standard is met, the 1-hour CO standard will
also be met**3

Carbon Monoxide Concentrations at Other Airpprts-Dispersion
modeling was used to provide estimates of 1-hour CO
concentrations both from aircraft alone and from all airport
and adjacent sources within 10 kilometers of the center of
each airport.  This modeling was done for Los Angeles, J. F.
Kennedy, Chicago-OfHare, and Washington National Airports.
The results, presented in Table 18, are predicted
concentrations at airport area points where:
(1) The general public could have access for 1-hour periods,
and (2) the total concentrations, as estimated by dispersion
modeling, exceed the standards.

       Although minimal reliance should be placed on the
precise numerical values predicted by the model, these
values are of the same order of magnitude as the values from
actual measurements presented in Table 17.  These results
indicate that localized carbon monoxide effects are not
limited to Los Angeles Airport.

           The potential of high 8-hour CO concentrations
downwind of other airports, with large aircraft
contributions, exists near airports besides Los Angeles
Airport.  As previously discussed, Table 14 indicates the
potential of such concentrations at six additional airports.

Hydrocarbon and Potential Oxidant Concentrations-Isopleths
of 1970 hydrocarbon concentrations due to aircraft alone at
the Los Angeles Airport are presented in Figure 5.  These
isopleths are based on the dispersion modeling methodology
presented in Appendix B, and are a result of meteorological
conditions that are particularly conducive to high
                               40

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                                TABLE 17

                          LOS ANGELES AIRPORT

           NUMBER OF TIMES THE 1-HOUR CO STANDARD WAS EXCEEDED
       MAY 10 THROUGH NOVEMBER 9, 1970, CONTINUOUS SAMPLING SITES
; Site*
201
203
204
205
208
209
Downtown LA
Total Hours
of Sampling
3710
4256
4258
637
4326
4279
4965
Number of Hourly
Values When
Standard Exceeded
0
2
0
12
1
0
3
Highest Two
Hourly Values
27, 26
46, 40
23, 19
51, 49
37, 28
31, 27
37, 35
*Refer to Figure 1 for Location.
                                  41

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                              Table  18

                Dispersion Model Estimates of 1-Hour
                    Carbon Monoxide Concentrations
Site Location*
JFK (T)
JFK (T)
JFK (T)
LAX (P)
LAX (P)
ORD (T)
ORD (S)
DC A (P)
DC A (P)
CO Concentration, mg/m^
Aircraft Sources Only Total
85
4
3
55
32
21
9
110
45
100
45
44
62
45
41
41
120
59
*DCA = Washington National Airport, LAX = Los Angeles International
 Airport, JFK = John F. Kennedy International Airport, and ORD =
 O'Hare Airport, Chicago

(T) = Terminal area

(P) = Peripheral area--away from terminals, but within airport
      boundary

(S) = Outside of airport boundary, in airport surroundings
                                42

-------




        'PS    ,S"?
                                                         ; ;jj	|_	•
                                                         j [•} ..;'..•..• _._;

                                                         «i; |v:J:?r/
                                          (numbers in


FIGURE 5    HYDROCARBON ISOPLETHS IN  THE VICINITY  OF  LOS ANGELES  INTERNATIONAL:  AIRCRAFT SOURCES

                                   3-Hr Average for 1970 (6-9 AH)

-------
hydrocarbon  concentrations.   Such  conditions would be
expected  to  occur at least once  per  year.

The results  indicate that there  are  large areas  surrounding
the airport  where the hydrocarbon  concentrations due to
aircraft  are well in excess  of the standard.

    Between  1970  and 1980, Table H indicates that at the Los
Angeles Airport,  hydrocarbon emissions  from aircraft will
decline to about  40% of  their 1970 values.  These reductions
are reflected  in  Figure  6 which  presents isopleths of 1980
hydrocarbon  concentrations due to  aircraft alone, at Los
Angeles Airport,  based on meteorological conditions
equivalent to  those  used for the isopleths in Figure 5.
Even with the  reduction  in aircraft  hydrocarbon  emissions,
it is  likely that in 1980 the hydrocarbon standard will
continue  to  be exceeded  over a large area due to aircraft
emissions alone.

           As  indicated  earlier, hydrocarbon concentrations
at levels typically  found in the atmosphere are  not harmful
to health.   However,  if  airport  hydrocarbon concentrations
were followed  downwind for several hours under conditions
conducive to the  accumulation of high oxidant
concentrations,7  aircraft-generated  hydrocarbons could be
expected  to  be large contributors  to downwind oxidant
concentrations over  the  Los  Angeles  area.

           A modeling analysis was performed to  estimate
hydrocarbon  concentrations downwind  of  Los Angeles Airport
in 1980.  The  meteorological conditions used were similar to
those  used for Figures 5 and 6.  The methodology of this
analysis  is  presented in Appendix  C, and results are
presented in Figure  7.   The  three  curves in Figure 7 show
nonmethane hydrocarbon concentrations downwind of Los
Angeles Airport resulting from the surroundings  plus total
airport emissions, total airport emissions alone, and
aircraft  emissions alone.  The initial concentration at the
western airport boundary (0  km in  Figure 7)  is shown to be
zero, which  is  a  result  of the proximity of the  western
boundary  to  the ocean, wind  direction from the west, and the
assumption of  negligible hydrocarbon concentrations in wind
coming off at  the ocean.  At a point 3 hours downwind (16 km
from the  eastern  airport boundary)  the overall hydrocarbon
concentration will have  been  in  excess of the standard for 3
hours, enough  time for possible  formation of oxidant in
concentrations  exceeding the  standard.

           It  is  important to emphasize that this analysis
was performed  for 1980o   If  it were  repeated for 1970,  the
                             44

-------
                                                                  ..,  ?M




                                          (numbers  i
FIGURE 6   HYDROCARBON  ISOPLETHS  IN THE VICINITY OF LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL:  AIRCRAFT SOURCES
                                  3-Hr Average for  1980  (6-9 AM)

-------
     600-
                     FIGURE 7

CALCULATED NON-METHANE HYDROCARBON CONCENTRATIONS
     DOWNWIND OF LOS ANGELES AIRPORT FOR 1980
       WITH NON-AIRCRAFT SOURCES CONTROLLED
     500.
     400.
                                            Meteorological Conditions Used:
                                              Wind from West
                                              Stability Class  3
                                              Wind Speed  1.5m/sec
                                              Mixing Height =  200m
00
a.
c
o
4J
to
C
0)
u
B
O
CJ
     300
     200.
     100,
                                                             Total,  All  Sources
                                                             Total Airport
                                                             Aircraft Alone
                      Airport East Boundary
                            (3.2 km)
8
                                            12
                                   16
20
24
                               DOWNWIND DISTANCE, KILOMETERS

-------
cone en trat ions for each of t.he curves would be at least
double the 1980 values.

           The emissions densities presented in Table 15
indicate that among the four airports studied, emission
densities from aircraft alone are highest at Los Angeles
Airport.  Howevere the range among these emission density
values is still less than a factor of 2.3 in 1980,
indicating that conclusions concerning future aircraft-
generated hydrocarbon and oxidant concentrations at the Los
Angeles Airport and vicinity apply generally to the other
airports studied, and that additional reductions in
aircraft-generated hydrocarbon concentrations are necessary.

Oxides of Nitrogen-Although the ambient air quality standard
is for NO2 (100 ug/m3, annual concentration), the result of
the dispersion modeling is presented as oxides of nitrogen
(NOx).  This is done because there exists no well-defined
relationship for the conversion of NO to NO2.  In the
presence of hydrocarbons; the NO to NO2 conversion is
accelerated; best estimates indicate that 90 percent of the
NO is converted to NO2 within a 2-hour period in the
presence of sunlight.  The reaction is essentially
negligible at night.  Considering all NOx as NO2 could
result in an overestimation of annual average
concentrations.

           Oxides of nitrogen concentrations due to aircraft
alone are presented in Figure 8 for Los Angeles Airport area
for 1970.  These modeling approximations indicate that LAX
is responsible for NOx impact over a large area surrounding
the airport.  With growth of overall aircraft activity, and
the changeover to bigger and higher pressure ratio turbine
engines, aircraft emissions of NOx will increase greatly
between 1970 and 1980.  Present and expected future NOx
emissions from aircraft at the four major airports studied
are given in Table 15, which indicates that between 1970 and
1980 aircraft emissions of NOx will increase by factors of
2.2 at O'Hare Airport, 1,4 at Washington National Airport,
1.5 at Los Angeles International Airport, and 2»9 at John F.
Kennedy Airport.

The general affect of increased KOx emissions from aircraft
at LAX is reflected in Figure 9, which presents isopleths of
1980 NOx concentrations due to aircraft,,  Figure 9 indicates
that NOx concentrations due to aircraft alone could be
widespread in residential areas around LAX, and that in some
areas, the NO2 concentrations due to aircraft are comparable
with the standard.   It should be emphasized that these NOx
concentrations are due to aircraft alone, and NOx emissions
                            C-
                             47

-------
                                                                                                    :& •&. & •
*-Y
v:,-\  -•;
mr'
*-.
                                                                                     •'•'  lUDJIiii'oT^-
          mmm»
                                       Yy-  /  ••J--i-K;.--'v-'v.,-•••;.•••• •<••••.--•::*..,/ ^>(-:'•/-.-://^->.•... ;
                                       vA/    l.^^y-^,1? =.•:    is-:1:-"'f-^^;;^:^.:^-"vi:
                                       •fr/> ,,, vlA^Vl !.••;«:,:•.V^'-.T^;'-^--. =#M- >; P---v :s.!|.
                                       JX:^ /f/>;fl^:.....-!!i:.:!-:-. ' .;.?^r&- ..si. .:ii:'-:7?->.j-|l .• . |^:- . -
                                       ^. iri'T-t--r-v,^.    ')tL^voc;!;;-i;Vhi.X-'ii;- ;  •"--

                                                                                             *:,':.;,'• :!*:  :::,M:t---
                                                                                              '^iJ  I.hr!!:>'..::••-:
                                                                                             "*     ^=- "'.'•''.*'.' ' : [• '. ~ ~  i
           FIGURE 8
                       II Uy
                           (numbers  in/Ag/m )

ISOPLETHS IN THE VICINITY  OF  LOS  ANGELES INTERNATIONAL:   AIRCRAFT SOURCES
                       Annua1  Average for 1970

-------
 lOttf • J^^M^
                                          ',.•" f- y-.k'--''v
                                                          : <'~<~ ',\~~—
                                                          •3HS-a-—'
                                                  ....        < r—-~ if"~~"
                                        '.."^p^lW'^i:     " -^fetlTZ
                                       >;-T^'h'"-- ":'! T-"^-. '  .«•"•••• '• ;"^^-iV-^
                                       •|__^L». iL-iL---.-: • ..:   •     •  I-' .... ^\ v
                                       tffrfsii^.-.-:  ig^S
                                     pA l^^f^f^frrg
                                     ^^
-------
from other sources would be expected to significantly
increase the concentrations plotted in Figures 8 and 9.

NOx concentrations of similar magnitude to those in Figures
8 and 9 can be expected in the vicinity of other airports.
For example, isopleths showing expected 1980 NOx emissions
densities due to aircraft alone for o*Hare Airport are
presented in Figure 10.  Without emission controls, aircraft
using ©•Hare Airport can be expected to be large future
contributors to localized NOx concentrations, as was the
case for Los Angeles Airport.

Smoke and Particulates. Smoke generated by aircraft causes
significant reductions in visibility and is a cause of
widespread complaint by affected citizens.

The 1-year air quality monitoring program conducted at Los
Angeles International Airport indicated increased soiling
effects in the airport vicinity due to aircraft activity.
Atmospheric measurements of particulates using a tape
sampler technique gave higher readings (indicative of
soiling) for the airport area than for locations several
miles removed, such as downtown Los Angeles.  Additionally,
sampling at sites surrounding and adjacent to the Los
Angeles Airport area showed increasing soiling values from
upwind of the airport to a maximum immediately downwind of
the airport.

Measurement of total weight of particulate material, based
on Hi-Vol sampling, showed little variation between airport
and downtown areas.

Results of the dispersion modeling analysis for all four
airports indicated that particulate concentrations due to
aircraft in some parts of the airports could exceed the
secondary particulate air quality standards.
                            50

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XT'
                        HARE
                      CHICAGO
                     TERNATIO
                      AIRPOR
                                                                               .. Norridge


                                                                             IRVING PARKRO.
                          FIGURE 10      (numbers in|Lxg/m )

          NQ~/LS_0 P LETHS  IN THE VICINITY OF CHICAGO-0'HARE INTERNATIONAL:  AIRCRAFT SOURCES

                                     Annual Average for 1980

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TECHNOLOGICAL FEASIBILITY OF CONTROLLING

                 AIRCRAFT EMISSIONS
    Information on  emission control methods is necessary  to
determine the levels to which aircraft emissions can
feasibly be reduced.  An earlier Federal study,» »*
identified potential control approaches including
modification of aircraft engines, fuels, and ground
operational procedures.  This study indicated that
modification of aircraft engines and ground operational
procedures appear to be the most feasible and effective
control procedures.  More recently, the Aerospace Industries
Association (AIA) has issued a reportis summarizing  results
of investigations conducted by industry on: (1) emission
characteristics of  aircraft gas turbine engines; and (2)
potential methods for reducing aircraft turbine engine
emissions.  The AIA report also identifies the possibility
of reducing emissions through modifications of engines
(especially combustor design) and of ground operational
procedures.

    The current reassessment of control methods must
consider each of the aforementioned approaches*  In
assessing the feasibility of a control method, four  factors
must be explored:  (1) effect of the method on the
functioning or capacity of the aircraft system; (2)
effectiveness of the method in reducing emissions;  (3) cost
of utilizing the method; and (4) time required for
implementing the method.  Information on emission-
measurement instrumentation is also necessary to ensure that
aircraft emissions  can be measured with the accuracy and
sensitivity required for enforcing the desired standards.

    The Environmental Protection Agency has conducted
several studies (references 16-27)  to obtain information  for
assessment of aircraft emission control methods.  This
report summarizes the information obtained in these
investigations.  The specific objectives of this analysis of
aircraft emission control technology are:

       (1)  To identify methods of controlling aircraft
emissions through modification of engines, fuels,  and ground
operations.
                                 53

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        (2)  To estimate their effectiveness in reducing
aircraft emissions.

        (3)  To estimate the time required for  and cost  of
implementation.

        (4)  To assess the technology of measuring emissions
from aircraft engines and to identify areas requiring
advancements  in  instrumentation or test procedures.

    Emission  control by fuel modifications was reassessed to
evaluate developments in aircraft fuel technology.  This
investigation was discontinued after preliminary analysis
indicated that no significant reductions in emissions  could
be achieved by modifying fuels,  except for reductions  in
sulfur or lead content that result in proportionate
reductions  of SO^ and lead emissions.

    A list  of specific emission control methods involving
engine modifications was formulated on the basis of
preliminary analyses,  which indicated that each method was
feasible and  offered a significant reduction  in one or more
emission classes.  Feasibility was assessed on the basis of
the following factors:

        (1)  No reduction in engine reliability (safety).

        (2)  Little or no reduction in engine performance
(power-weight ratio).

        (3)  Reasonable cost of implementation.

    The  preliminary  list of control  methods was  then
subjected to  more detailed analysis  of  control  effectiveness
and implementation costs.   Control methods involving changes
in ground operations were evaluated  in  a similar manner.

    Evaluation of the  emission control  methods  involving
engine modifications gave primary consideration  to the
following emission classes:  carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen
oxides  (NOx) , ' t-o-tal  hydrocarbons  (including drained fuel)
(THC), dry  particulates (DP)t  and smoke.

EMISSION CONTROL BY ENGINE MODIFICATION
Engine Classification

    To facilitate analyses of engine modifications, aircraft
engines are categorized according to their thrust or power
level.  The classification system is indicated in Table 19.
                                 54

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                         TABLE 19

            AIRCRAFT ENGINE CLASSIFICATION
Engine class
Engine Type
   Power Range,
 Ib thrust or eshp
     Tl

     T2

     T3

     PI
  Turbine

  Turbine

  Turbine

  Piston
  Less than 6,000

  6,000 to 29,000

Greater than 29,000

 All piston engines
                             55

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    Although this  classification  system  is based simply upon
power level  it  effectively groups engines of similar
emission potential (when the  emission rates are normalized
according to an appropriate engine-size  parameter).  Also,
since effectiveness  factors and costs of the control methods
are similar  for engine models within each class, the system
is particularly useful for this analysis.

    Three classes  of turbine  engines are defined, and all
piston engines  are included in  a  single  class.  This system
thus categorizes engines according to their principal
applications and according to certain design characteristics
that affect  emission rates.

    The small turbine  engine  class (Tl)  includes most of the
turboshaft and  small turbojet and turbofan engines used in
business and small commercial aircraft.  It also includes
auxiliary power units  (APU) used  on large commercial
aircraft.  These engines are  considered  as one class because
the relatively  small size of  the  combustor components (or
large surface-volume ratio) makes control of certain
emissions more  difficult than with larger engines.

    The next turbine engine class (T2) includes most of the
turbojet and turbofan  engines used in medium-to-large
commercial aircraft.   The design  characteristics of most of
these engines are  basically similar.

    The third turbine  engine  class (T3)  includes large
turbofan engines for "jumbo"  transport aircraft and the SST
engines currently  in use or under development.

Emission Control Methods and  Effectiveness

    Technology  for controlling  emissions from aircraft
engines by means of  engine modifications has been analyzed.
The purpose  of  this  analysis  was  to identify specific
methods of reducing  pollutant emissions  from aircraft
engines and  to  indicate  the reductions in rates of emission
attainable by these  methods.  Various engine modifications
appear to be feasible  in that they can be applied to
aircraft without degrading engine reliability or seriously
reducing aircraft  performance.  Costs of implementing these
control methods also appear to  be within reasonable limits,
at least in  preliminary  analysis.

Turbine Engines -  The  engine  modification control methods
considered feasible  for  turbine engines are listed and
described briefly  in Table 20.  Six methods are, at least in
                                 56

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  Table 20'   ENGINE MODIFICATIONS  FOR  EMISSION  CONTROL  FOR EXISTING AND  FUTURE

                                  TURBINE  ENGINES
       Control  method
                    Modification
Existing engines
  tl  - Minor combustion
       chamber redesign

  t2  - Major combustion
       chamber redesign


  t3  - Fuel  drainage control


  t4  - Divided fuel  supply
       system


  t5  - Water injection
  t6 - Modify compressor  air
       bleed rate
Minor modification of combustion chamber and fuel
nozzle to achieve best state-of-art emission
performance.
Major modification of combustion chamber and fuel
nozzle incorporating advanced fuel injection concepts
(carburetion or prevaporlzation).

Modify fuel supply system or fuel drainage system to
eliminate release of drained fuel to environment.

Provide independent fuel supplies to subsets of fuel
nozzles to allow shutdown of one or more subsets dur-
ing low-power operation.
Install water injection system for short duration use
during maximum power (takeoff and climb-out) opera-
tion.

Increase air bleed rate from compressor at low-power
operation to increase combustor fuel-air ratio.	
Future engines
  t7 - Variable-geometry
       combustion chamber

  t8 - Staged injection
       combustor
Use of variable airflow distribution to provide inde-
pendent control of combustion zone fuel-air ratio.

Use of advanced combustor design concept involving a
series of combustion zones with independently con-
trolled fuel injection in each zone.  	
                                       57

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 principle,?  applicable to existing engines by retrofitting of
 new or modified parts,? and to engines currently in
 production.,   Two methods are considered to be applicable
 only to future engines of new design^ since the
 modifications required are too esstensive to be applied to
 engines for which development has been completedo

     The first control method consists of simple
 modifications of the combustor and fusel noszles to reduce
 all emission rates to the best levels currently attainable
 within each engine class0  The degree of control attainable
 depends upon the performance of specific engines compared
 with those  engines in the same class demonstrating the
 lowest emission rates0  In general0  this control method
 requires emissions quality control ([emission reduction  to
 levels demonstrated by other engines of that modelj <,
 Additionally^  for certain high-emission engine models0  it
 means  emission reduction to the level of other engines of
 the same class0   Each of the other control methods is  more
 specifically directed at one or two pollutant classes0

     Reductions in emissions achievable through the use of a
 control method vary with the pollutant consideredff  the
 engine class„  and the engine operating mode<,   Estimates of
 the effectiveness of each control method have been made for
 all combinations of these factors and are presented in
 Tables 21 and 220   The estimation of emission control
 effectiveness  for turbine engines is based upon reductions
 attainable from ^lowest current emission rates0°°  These
 rates  are defined as those attainable through control  method
 tl  ([table 19) „  minor combustion chamber redesign,.

     It is predicted that all engines in each class could be
modified to  achieve these °°best rates.,00  The values of  these
 rates  are listed in Table 21 <=   These °°best rates00  are  not
the lowest rates indicated for each  engine class„  but  are
 rates  near the low end of those emission rates that appear
to  be  realistically attainable.,   The use of the rabest  rate00
basis  is necessary to allow effectiveness estimates for each
engine  classo   Because of the wide variations in actual
emission rates of  turbine engines,? an effectiveness analysis
based  on average rates would be less significant.,   Table  22
indicates the  effectiveness of  control methods t2 through
t8o  Some estimates are based upon demonstrated performance.,
Most,?  however^  ar® not based on direct experience with  these
control  methods  on aircraft engines„   Therefore,? estimates
of effectiveness are based largely on theoretical analyses
of engine performance under the operating  conditions
associated with  the control methods0   The  bases  for these
estimates are  summarized in Table 230
                                 58

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 Table 21.   EFFECTIVENESS OF tl  - MINOR COMBUSTION CHAMBER
 REDESIGN3  - ON REDUCTION OF EMISSIONS FROM TURBINE ENGINES
         X(Em1ss1on rates In lb/1000 Ib of fuel)
Engine
class
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T2
T2
T3
T3
T3
T3
Pollutant
CO
THC
NOX
DP
CO
THC
NOX
DP
CO
THC
NOX
DP
Mode
Idle/taxi
25
10
3
0.2
45
10
2
0.2
50
10
3
0.1
Approach
5
1
7
0.5
6
1
6
0.5
3
1
10
0.1
Takeoff
2
0.2
11
0.5
1
0.1
12
0.5
0.5
0.1
40
0.1
aMinor combustor redesign 1s  assumed to reduce  the  smoke  to
 invisible or "smokeless" levels  for all  engine classes.
                       59

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                                      Table  22

                  Effectiveness of  Engine Modification in Control
               of Emissions from Turbine Engines, by Operating Modea
Control
method
t2b
t2
t2
t2
t3
t3
t3
t4
t4
t4
t4
t4
t4
t5
t5
t5
t6
t6
t6
t6
t6
t6
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
t7 or t8
Engine
class
Tl
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T3
T3
Tl
T2
T3
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T3
T3
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
T2
T2
T2
T2
T3
T3
T3
T3
Pollutant
DP
NOX
DP
NOX
THC
THC
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
NOX
NOX
NOX
CO
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
CO
THC
NOX
DP
CO
THC
NOX
DP
CO
THC
NOX
DP
Mode
Idle/taxi
0.5
NCC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
NC
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
NC
NC
NC
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.1
0.1
NC
0.5
0.1
0.1
NC
0.5
0.1
0.1
NC
0.5
Approach
0.5
NC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
0.5
NC
NC
NC
0.5
Takeoff
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
Od
Qd
Od
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
0.1
0.1
0.1
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
NC
0.75
0.5
NC
NC
0.75
0.5
NC
NC
0.75
0.5
aEmission rate is fraction of best current rate assumed to be  attainable
 through minor combustion chamber redesign and with control method  cited

 t2 = Major combustion chamber redesign
 t3 = Fuel drainage control
 t4 = Divided fuel supply system
 t5 = Water injection
 t6 = Modify compressor air bleed rate
 t7 = Variable-geometry combustion chamber
 t8 = Staged injection combustor

CNC indicates no change

^Refers to raw fuel drainage only
                                    60

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                                        Table  23

            Bases for Control Method Effectiveness Estimates for Turbine Engines
      Control method
                          Rationale
 tl  - Minor combustion
     chamber redesign
 t2  - Major combustion
     chamber redesign
t3 - Fuel drainage control
t4 - Divided fuel supply
     system
t5 - Water injection
t6 - Modify compressor air
t7 - Variable-geometry
     combustion chamber

t8 - Staged injection
     combustor
 The assumption is  made that emission rates for  all
 engines  within a given class can be reduced to  common,
 optimum  levels (on a lb/1000 Ib  fuel basis) by  minor
 combustor modifications.   These  optimum emission rates
 are based on the best performance reported for  each
 engine class,  excluding extreme  data points.
 Estimates are  based on reports of carbureting fuel
 injector performance and  reduction of smoke emission.
 Concept  is incorporated in some  Class T3 engines.
 Estimates are  based on assumption that best emission
 rate for Class Tl  and T2  engines is at an exhaust
 visibility threshold at maximum  power.  Carburetion
 appears  to reduce  smoke level, and presumably particu-
 late emissions,  to approximately half that level.  Addi-
 tionally, premixing of air and fuel can be used to give
 substantial NOX reduction by decreasing residence time
 in  the combustor.
 Estimate is based  on the  assumption that fuel drainage
 can be completely  eliminated by  collecting drained fuel
 and returning  to fuel tank.
 Control  method results in combustion zone fuel-air ratio
 similar  to that  at approach condition.  Reduction in CO
 and THC  from idle  to approach is approximately  90 per-
 cent in  Class  Tl and T2 engines  and 90 percent  in
 Class T3 engines.   Effectiveness is reduced by  one order
 because  combustor  is not  operating at "well-designed"
 condition.
 Water injection  is assumed only  at takeoff at a rate
 up  to twice the  fuel rate.   Water injection into
 compressor or  diffuser is assumed to be by system
 similar  to those in current  use.   Effectiveness based
 upon published results with  steam injection. °   Water
 injection assumed  to be of equal effectiveness  when
 injected  upstream  of combustor.
 Assumptions  are  (1)  fraction of  air that  can be bled is
 small so  that  engine operating point is nearly  unchanged,
 (2)  combustor  f/a  varies  inversely with air bleed rate,
 and  (3) CO and THC  emissions at  idle vary as the (air
 mass  flow rate)^ and inversely as  (f/a)  .   This
 relationship is  based  upon data  from Reference  14.
 If maximum air bleed rate is 20  percent,  CO and THC
 emission  rates are  reduced by 50  percent.
 Combustor primary  zone  is  assumed  to operate at a con-
 stant f/a  equal  to  normal  f/a at  approach power condition
 (primary  equivalence  ratio =0.6).   CO and  THC  emissions
 at idle  are reduced  to  levels corresponding to  approach
power, or by 90 percent for  Classes  Tl, T2, and T3.  This
 incorporates design  characteristics  that  provide a good
mixture in  the combustion  zone.   This  feature and con-
 stant f/a operation  combine  to reduce NOX emissions at
 full power by  75 percent^ and particulate  emissions by
50 percent  at  all power levels as  in  t2.
            _

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     Emission-control effectiveness  is indicated in Tables
 21,  22f  and 23  for each control  method and for each
 pollutant  for which a significant degree of control
 expected.   Pollutants for which  little or no control
 expected are not  listed.  Effectiveness is indicated
 separately for  each engine class.   No specific estimates
 have been  made  for control of reactive hydrocarbons, odor,
 or aldehydes because control methods applicable to these
 emissions  are not yet identified.   Reductions in these
 emissions  are expected along with reductions in THC
 emissions.   Any of the modifications defined for existing
 turbine  engines (tl through t6)  could be combined to achieve
 increased  emission control effectiveness; exceptions are
 modifications t4  and t6,  which are  mutually exclusive.

 Piston Engines  -  The control methods considered feasible for
 aircraft piston engines are listed  with brief descriptions
 in Table 24.  These methods include most of the approaches
 that have  been  developed for automotive engines for control
 of carbon  monoxide and total hydrocarbon.  Methods for
 controlling nitrogen oxide  (NOx) emissions are not included
 because  the fuel-rich operating  conditions of aircraft
 piston engines  result in low NOx emission rates.  Piston
 engine emission characteristics  are included in Figure 11.
 As this  figure  indicates, fuel-air  ratio has a significant
 effect on  aircraft piston engine emissions.  Plans for
 changes  in engine operating conditions to reduce CO and THC
 emissions  must  also consider NOx to prevent significant
 increases  in emissions of this pollutant.

     Table  24 lists nine piston-engine control methods,
 including  the use of direct-flame afterburners and water
 injection,  methods that are not  being considered currently
 for  automotive  engines.   Afterburners might be used to
 advantage  in this application because they can utilize the
 high-velocity airflow around the aircraft.  Although
 aircraft piston engines and automobile engines are
 fundamentally similar,  their applications are significantly
 different,  with different requirements.  Reliability is of
 primary importance in aircraft piston engine applications
and therefore is  given  paramount consideration in
 identifying applicable  control methods.  The piston-engine
 emission-control  methods  were identified and evaluated
through reviews of  published investigations.   Of the methods
 identified, all are  considered applicable to existing
engines except those that would  require redesign of the
basic engine or its  control systems.

    Effectiveness  estimates for  piston engines are based on
reductions  of current uncontrolled  rates listed in Table 25.
                            62

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                     ... ,..,	,, ... ,,Tv  .  „ ;,Table .24	

                      Engine Modifications for Emission Control
                       for Existing and Future Piston Engines
       Control method
                     Modification
Existing engines
  pi - Fuel-air ratio
       control

  p2 - Simple air injection
  p3 - Thermal reactors
  p4 - Catalytic reactors
       for HC and CO
       control

  p5 - Direct-flame
       afterburner

  p6 - Water injection
  p7 - Positive crankcase
       ventilation
  p8 - Evaporative emission
       controls
Future engines
  p9 - Engine redesign
Limiting rich fuel-air ratios to only those
necessary for operational reliability.

Air injected at controlled rate into each engine
exhaust port.

Air injection thermal reactor installed in place of,
or downstream of, exhaust manifold.

Air injection catalytic reactor installed in exhaust
system.  Operation with lead-free or low-lead fuel
required.

Thermal reactor with injection of air and additional
fuel installed in exhaust system.

Water injected into intake manifold with simultaneous
reduction in fuel rate to provide for cooler engine
operation at leaner fuel-air ratios.

Current PCV system used with automotive engines applied
to aircraft engines.  Effective only in combination
with one of preceding control methods.

A group of control methods used singly or in combina-
tion to reduce evaporative losses from the fuel system.
Control methods commonly include charcoal absorbers and
vapor traps in combination with relatively complex
valving and fuel flow systems.
Coordinated redesign of combustion chamber geometry,
compression ratio, fuel distribution system, spark and
valve timing, fuel-air ratio, and cylinder wall temper-
ature to minimize emissions while maintaining opera-
tional reliability.
                                        63

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     0.7
     0.6
H  -
g    0.5
O'
  ac
  PQ
M '
O

(X,
CO

W




PQ
     0.4
     0.3
     0.2
     0.1
              cu
              3
                 1600
                 1400
              §  1200
                 1000
              CO
              C
              O
              •H
              CO
              co
              W

              CU
              t)
              •H
              X
              o
              C
              o
              C
              o
              (TJ

              O
800




600




400




200
                    8:1
                                                         FIGURE  11


                                          PISTON ENGINE EMISSION CHARACTERISTICS
                                 9:1
                           10:1
                                                          11:1
12:1
13:1
14:1
                                                          Air-Fuel Ratio
                                                                                                             140
                                                                                                             120
                                                                                                             100
                                                                                                                  o
                                                                                                                  o
                                                                                                                  o
                                        80  .
                                            c
                                            o
                                            •H
                                            CO
                                        60  -

                                            E
                                            u
                                                                                                              40
                                                                                                              20
                                                                                                                  •O
                                                                                                                   C
                                                                                                                   CO
15:1

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                                TABLE 25
                  CURRENT•UNCONTROLLED EMISSION RATES
                          FOR PISTON ENGINES29
                          (lb/1000 Ib of fuel)
Pollutant
CO
THCa
NOX (as N02)
Idle
896
48
7
Taxi
882
76
4
Approach
918
80
4
Takeoff
849
18
6
  Total hydrocarbon (THC) emission rates have been increased by 50%  to
  account for crankcase blow-by emissions.  Evaporative emissions are
  not included in these rates.
                                TABLE 26

                EFFECTIVENESS OF ENGINE MODIFICATIONS IN
                CONTROL OF EMISSIONS FROM PISTON ENGINES
                             BY POLLUTANT3
Controlled
Control Method CO
PI
P2
P3
P4
P5

P6
P7

P8
P9
Fuel-air ratio control
- Simple air injection
- Thermal reactor
- Catalytic reactor
(requires lead-free fuel)
- Direct-flame
afterburner
- Water injection
- Positive crankcase
ventilation (PCV)
- Evaporative emission
control
- Engine redesign
0.5
0.1
0.1
0.1

0.1
0.1

NC
NC
0.1
Emission Rate
THCb
0.5
0.5
0.25
0.25

0.1
0.25

d
e
0.5
  Emission rate is fraction of uncontrolled emission rate after installation
  of control method and applies to all operating modes.
b Exhaust HC only.
c NC indicates no change.
8 PCV would eliminate blow-by emissions when used in combination with pi,
  p2, p3, p4, p5, or p8.   Blow-by THC emission estimated to be equal to
  30% of uncontrolled exhaust emission.
e Evaporative controls would reduce THC emissions due to evaporation from
  •£uiel supply.  Magnutude  of uncontrolled emissions is inknown.         ,...-
                                   65

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Since emission  rates  from piston engines do  not  vary  as
widely as -those-from  turbine  engines,?  control  effectiveness
can be based on average rates for  existing engines0   The
effectiveness estimates shown in Table 26 are  based in most
cases on the application of individual control methods
without other engine  changes 0  Method  p7  dPCVJ is an
exceptions it is considered to be  most effective in
combination with method plff p20 p3ff p«Jff p5p  pS^  or p2>0

    Piston-=®ngin
-------
engine.  Because implementation costs could be far greater
than development costs for some control methods, the
estimates of implementation costs are only indicative of
cost penalties that might be involved with control-method
implementation.

    Three potential levels of aircraft emission control
entail three distinct associated cost levels:  (1)
retrofitting in-use engines, (2) modifying present
production designs to incorporate emission control
technology in new engines of models presently being
produced, and  (3) incorporating emission control technology
into new engine designs during the design phases of a new
engine model.

  -  Costs are highest for retrofitting in-use engines, are
significantly lower for modifying existing designs in new
production engines and are lowest for incorporating emission
technology during engine design.  Table 27 presents
estimates of the development time, development costs, and
implementation costs for application of the control methods
that could be retrofitted on the current population of all
civil engines.

    The development time requirements listed in Table 27 are
the periods required to reach the point where installation
of the control methods in existing engines could begin.  The
application of controls in all existing engines would
require an additional time period that depends primarily on
the availability of engine maintenance facilities.  The time
for implementation is estimated to be 2 1/2 years for
turbine engines and 5 years for piston engines.  These time
estimates allow implementation of the emission control
method during normal maintenance procedures, minimizing .
cost.  Table 28 presents costs by category: air carrier,
general aviation, and civil aviation.  These tables
represent cost to retrofit the various control methods to
the current population of aircraft.

    From another perspective, implementation costs may be
expressed as fractions of total engine costs.   For a typical
class T2 (turbine)  engine, the cost of installing and
maintaining control systems ranges from $300 to $69,900,
assuming a 10-year engine life.  Based on a total engine
cost of $250,000, these control-method implementation costs
represent 0.1 to 25 percent of the total engine cost.  For a
typical piston engine, estimated control-method
implementation costs range from $100 to $4,000, also based
upon a 10-year engine Iife0  For a total engine cost of
                               67

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                                   Table 27

                  Time  and Costs  for Modification of Current
                           Civil  Aviation3 Engines
Control method
Turbine engines
Minor combustion
chamber redesign
Major combustion
chamber redesign
Fuel drainage control
Divided fuel supply
Water injection
Compressor air bleed
Piston engines
Simple air injection
Thermal reactor
Catalytic reactor
Direct-flame
afterburner
Water injection
Positive crankcase
ventilation
Evaporative emission
control
Development
time,
years
2.5 to 5

2.5 to 7.5
1 to 2.5
5 to 7.5
2.5 to 4
4 to 6.5
1.5 to 3
3 to 6
2.5 to 5
3 to 6

1.5 to 3
2 to 4

1.5 to 2.5
Development
cost,
106 dollars
37

74
1.5
84
25
90
9
25
22
25

9
4

4
Implementation
cost,
106 dollars
383

665
5.4
102
175
58
165
424
535
424

400
94

269
"Civil aviation" includes air carrier and general aviation engines
                                      68

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                                       Table  28

                      Cost Results for Turbine Engine Population
                              by Separate Use Categories-
Engine
class
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
Tl
I""'
T2
T2
T2
T2
T2
T3
T3
T3
T3
T3
T3
Control
method
tl
t2
t3
t4
t5 .
t6
tl
t2
t3
t4
t5
t6
tl
t2
t3
t4
t5
t6
Cost
scaling
factor
0.35
0.35
--
0.35
0.35
0.35
1.00
1.00
--
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.64
1.64
Development
cost per
engine family,
106 dollars
0.90
1.80
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
0.90
1.80
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
0.90
1.80
0.05
1.80
0.62
2.20
Implementa-
tion cost
per engine,
103 dollars
12.4
21.3
0.1
3.7
5.5
2.1
35.5
69.9
0.3
10.5
15.6
6.0
58.3
100.0
0.6
17.2
25.6
9.9
Total cost, 106 dollars
Air
carrier
19.2
34.5
0.4
14.9
9.8
15.5
243.0
418.0
2.0
87.0
108.7
61.5
50.0
95.0
2.0
13.7
29.5
16.0
General
aviation
90.5
159.3
1.0
51.5
43.6
48.1
17.8
31.0
-•>•
8.3
8.2
7.1
--
--
--
--
--
--
Civil
aviation3
109.7
193.8
1.4
66.4
53.4
63.6
259.8
449.6
2.0
95.3
116.9
68.6
50.0
95.0
2.0
13.7
29.5
16.0
a"Civil aviation" includes  air  carrier  and general  aviation engines
                                        69

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$6,7000 0 these  implementation  costs  represent  2 to 65 percent
of the totalo

    Retrofit cost  and time  estimates  for turbine engines
were developed- by  using  the application of  low°smoke
combustors to  the  JT8D engine class as a reference for cases
in which no direct experience was available0  Cost and time
requirements for this modification^ which is  considered a
minor eombustor redesign for  a class  T2 engine,? wore
estimated in detail in 1969o27 Requirements for other
control methods were determined essentially by proportioning
the cost and time  expenditures according to the complexity
of the method0  with respect to the  reference  case0
Requirements for other engine classes were  determined by
using appropriate  scaling factors and by again using the
JT8D modifications as reference0  Time and  cost estimates
for piston engines are based  largely  on experience to date
with emission  controls for  automobile engines0  Significant
differences 0 such  as certification  and safety requirements
and production  lewsls^ were considered in scaling the costs
from the experience with automobiles0

    Costs of emission control technology are .substantially
lower when applied to new engines only0  These costs are
less than one-half the retrofit costs on a  per-engine basis0
These estimates cannot be totalled  as were  the retrofit
estimates because  of uncertainty concerning the number of
engines that would be affectedo

Future__Engines  - Cost estimates have  been developed also for
incorporation of emission controls  in future  engines 
-------
    These estimates represent the increased costs of new
engines with emission controls installed.  Additional
continuing costs may accrue for maintenance of the controls.
These maintenance costs will be considerably less than those
entailed in modifications of existing engines.

EMISSION CONTROL BY MODIFICATION OF GROUND OPERATIONS
Definition of Ground Operations

    The cycle of operations performed by an aircraft during
its arrival at and departure from an airport can be defined
quite precisely because most of these operations are
prescribed by airport or aircraft operating procedures.
Characteristic operating or LTO (landing-takeof f) cycles
have been defined for various classes of aircraft for
purposes of estimating pollutant emissions.

    The LTO cycle can be separated logically into flight and
ground operations.  Flight operations include the approach
and climb-out modes as well as landing and takeoff, even
though the latter occur partially on the ground.  Ground
operations include the taxi and idle modes of the cycle.
This separation is logical for two reasons.  First, flight
operations as defined here are those that cannot readily be
modified to reduce pollutant emissions.  Second, flight
operations are conducted almost entirely with aircraft
engines at full or part power; under these conditions,
pollutant emission rates are quite different from those at
the low power levels characteristic of ground operations.
Aircraft ground operations contribute substantially to the
concentrations of CO and THC at air carrier airports because
of the relatively high emission rates of these pollutants at
low engine power levels, and because ground operations are
largely confined to limited areas within the airport
boundaries.

Emission Control Methods

    Six methods offer some degree of control of CO and THC
emissions at air carrier airports by modification of
turbine-aircraft ground-operation procedures.

       (1)  Increase engine speed during idle and taxi
operations.

       (2)  Increase engine speed and reduce number of
engines operating during idle and taxi.
                               71

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        (3) Reduce  idle  operating time by controlling
departure times  from  gates.
           Reduce taxi operating time by transporting
passengers to  aircraft.

        (5) Reduce taxi operating time by towing aircraft
between runway and gate.

        (6) Reduce operating time of aircraft auxiliary power
supply by providing ground-based power supply.

    The first  two methods reduce emissions by requiring that
engines be operated at more efficient power settings than
those in current practice  (Figure 12) ; the next four methods
reduce emissions by reducing operating time of either main
or auxiliary engines.  The effectiveness of these methods in
reducing emissions varies considerably.  Table 29 summarizes
the reductions in CO and THC emissions that would result at
Los Angeles International Airport from the six suggested
ground- operation changes.  Tables developed for other major
air carrier airports show emission reductions of the same
magnitude.

    The control methods listed, with the possible exception
of number 3, are not applicable to small, piston-engine
aircraft, and, therefore, do not seem to offer means for
controlling emissions at general aviation airports.  Periods
of delay at take-off are significant at some general
aviation airports; however, aircraft ground traffic at
general aviation airports may not be sufficiently controlled
to allow an effective system of controlled gate departures
or engine start-ups to reduce periods of delay.

Implementation Cost and Time Requirements

    The cost and time requirements of the control methods
involving ground operation modifications have been estimated
for Los Angeles International.  Table 30 presents summary of
the estimates.  Implementation of these methods at other
airports would involve costs of the same magnitude.
Specific costs, however, would vary with airport activity
level and the  present availability of auxiliary equipment.
FAA and the airlines have estimated savings for control
method 2, and  their estimates are within 20X of the estimate
in Table 30.

    Tables 29  and 30 indicate that alternative 2 is a most
attractive means of reducing turbine aircraft emissions providing
that operational and safety requirements can be met.
                                72

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               Normal Taxi-idle
                   Modified  Taxi-idle
O


t-i
0)

a
to
O
a
CO
Tl

3
O
a
CO
C
O
•i-l
(0
in
•1-1

W
    120
    100
     80
     60
40
20   -
                                             Carbon Monoxide
         0
                      20                40

                            Percent Thrust
                      FIGURE  12


      HYDROCARBON AND CARBON  MONOXIDE EMISSIONS
    FROM A TYPICAL AIRCRAFT TURBINE ENGINE  (JT3D)
                      73

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                      Table 29

   Comparative Reductions Resulting from Control
Methods Applied at Los Angeles International Airport
Control method
1.
2.


3.
4.
5.
6.
Increase engine idle speed
Increase idle speed and use minimal
engines for taxi
Two engines
Single engine
Eliminate delays at gate and runway
Transport passengers between
terminal and aircraft
Tow aircraft to avoid taxi emissions
Avoid use of aircraft auxiliary
power units (APU)
Resultant emissions,
% of uncontrolled
emissions
CO
71

53
39
90
98
34
96
Hydrocarbons
93

66
51
91
97
42
98.5
                      74

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                         table 30

          Costs and Time for Operations Changes
           at Los Angeles International Airport
Control method
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Increase engine speed
Increase speed , reduce
number
Control gate departure
Transport passengers
Tow aircraft
Reduce APU operation
Time ,
years
0
0.3
5
2'. 5
t
0.5
Initial cost,
106 dollars
0
0
15
65
• j.
1:2
1.3
Annual operating
cost change ,a
106 dollars
8.5
-0.7
-0.4
5.0
0.4
1.5
sign indicates an estimated savings
                          75

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 COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF EMISSION CONTROL METHODS
     The  engine and ground operation  modifications  just
discussed can be compared in terms of effectiveness, cost,
and  implementation time0   A "potential benefit factor11 has
been defined to allow comparison of  cost/benefit of the
emission control methods.  The potential benefit factor
 (PBF)  is the net emission reduction  resulting from a
particular control strategy, averaged over the next 20
years, divided by the cost.

                   PBF « FYE x CE x ECF
                              CP

where  FYE is the fraction of the next 20 years that the
control  method is effective; CE is the control method
effectiveness (the percentage reduction of a particulate
pollutant)?   ECF is the emission contribution fraction
 (percentage of total aircraft emissions at relevant airports
contributed by engines affected by this control strategy);
and  CP is the cost of the control strategy for the pollutant
considered.   Emissions at major carrier airports were used
to determine effectiveness of turbine engine control methods
and  those at general aviation airports to determine
effectiveness of piston engine emission control methods.

     The  potential benefit factor is  a measure of the cost-
effectiveness of each control strategy.  Potential benefit
factors  (Table 31)  have been calculated for the control
strategies  previously described as applied to (1)
retrofitting in-use aircraft, (2) modifying new engines of
present  models,  and (3) incorporating control methods in new
engine designs„   The higher numbers  represent the  most cost-
effective strategies for  emission reduction.

     The  potential benefit factors in Table 31 are  a
composite for all turbine  and piston engines.  Although
these factors indicate the relative  merits of the  control
methods,  the factor for an individual engine classification
may  be significantly different.  For example, retrofit of
water injection  for class  T3 shows a potential benefit
factor of 402, whereas the average for all turbine engines
is only  1.40   Additionally, while some control strategies
show a high  potential benefit number, other strategies must
also be  used to  achieve significant  emission reductions.
For  example,  fuel  venting  represents from U to 20X of total
hydrocarbon  emissions, dependent upon airport considered.
Consequently,  to achieve substantial reduction of
hydrocarbon  emissions a less attractive control method is
necessary in addition to eliminating fuel venting.
                                76

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               Table 31




Comparison of Emission Control Methods
Control Method

Turbine Engines
A. Retrofit-Engine Modifications
1. Minor combustion chamber redesign
(APU)
2. Major combustion chamber redesign
(T3 and APU)
(T2 only)
3. Fuel drainage control
(T2 and T3 only)
4. Divided fuel supply
5. Water injection
(T3 only)
6. Compressor air bleed
B. New Production Engine Modification
1. Minor combustion chamber redesign
2. Major combustion chamber redesign
3. Fuel drainage control
4. Divided fuel supply
5. Water injection
(T3 only)
6. Compressor air bleed
C. Future Engine Emission Control
1. Fuel drainage control
2. Divided fuel supply
3. Water injection
(T3 only)
4. Compressor air bleed
5. Variable geometry combustion chamber
6. Staged injection combustor
D. Ground Operations Modification
1. Increase engine idle speed
2. Increase speed, reduce number
3. Eliminate delays
4. Transport passengers
5. Tow aircraft
6. Reduce APU operation
Piston Engine
A. Retrofit-Engine Modification
1. Fuel-air ratio control
2. Air injection
3. Thermal reactor
Potential Benefit Factor
HC & CO


0.37
(2.5)
0.3


10
(20)
1.5
•

1.3

5.0
4.6
30
5.0
--

4.0

30
15
--

15
25
25

2.4
105
10
0.1
75
1.0


50
5
2
NOX


0.37

1.1
(6.6)

--

--
1.4
(4.2)
--

5.0
4.6
--
--
1.4
(4.2)
—

--
--
2.0
(5.6)
--
25
25

--
--
--
--
--
--


--
--
--
Smoke


0.37

1.1

(5.0)
--

--
--

--

5.0
4.6
--
--
__

—

--
--
--

--
25
25

--
--
--
--
--
--


--
--
—
                  77

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           Table 31 (Cent.)




Comparison of Emission Control Methods
Control Method






B.








C.









D.


4. Catalytic reactor
5. Direct-flame afterburner
6. Water injection
7. Positive crankcase ventilation
8. Evaporative emission control
New Production Engine Modifications
1. Fuel- air ratio control
2. Air injection
3. Thermal reactor
4. Catalytic reactor
5. Direct-flame afterburner
6. Water injection
7. Positive crankcase ventilation
8. Evaporative emission control
Future Engines
1. Fuel-air ratio control
2. Air injection
3. Thermal reactor
4. Catalytic reactor
5. Direct-flame afterburner
6. Water injection
7. Positive crankcase ventilation
8. Evaporative emission control
9. Engine redesign
Ground Operations Modifications
1. Eliminate delays
Potential Benefit Factor
HC & CO
1.5
1
2
3
1.5

500
30
6.6
5.0
3.3
15
50
3.0

500
30
6.6
5.0
3.3
15
5.0
6.0
25

10
NOX
--
--
--
--
--

--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--

--
--
--
--
--
—
--
--
--

— —
Smoke
--
--
--
--
--

--
--
--
—
--
--
--
--

--
--
--
--
--
--
--
__
—

— —
              78

-------
     A review of  the  PBF  values  in Table  31  support  the  following
 conclusions  providing  that  all  operational  and  safety requirements
 can be met:_         .

        (1) Modification  2 for ground operation  procedures is
 the most  cost-effective  method  of reducing  hydrocarbon  and
 carbon monoxide  emissions from  turbine engines,

        (2) Incorporating emission control methods into
 design of new engines  is the most cost-effective method of
 over-all  aircraft emission  control.

        (3) Control of  fuel-air  ratio is  the most cost-
 effective method of  reducing hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide
 emissions from piston  engines.

        (ft) Eetrofits of  class T3 turbines is a  more cost-
 effective method for NOx control compared to retrofit of
 other  turbine engine classes.

        (5) Fuel  drainage control has high PBF because of
 extremely low cost of  implementation (CP) rather than high
 control effectiveness  (CE).

        Because cost-effectiveness varies significantly  among
 engine  classes and control  strategies, several  factors  in
 addition  to cost and effectiveness must  be  considered in
 developing emission control strategies for  aircraft engines.

 EMISSION MEASUREMENT TECHNOLOGY
    Reliable methods for measuring the rates at which
pollutants are emitted from aircraft engines are required
for the support of an emission-control program.  Emission
measurements are required for evaluating the effectiveness
of control methods, and specific measurement methods must be
incorporated in emission-control standards.

    The state of emission-measurement technology has been
assessed to determine whether measurement techniques are
sufficiently well advanced to support the development of
emission-control methods and the implementation of emission
standards for aircraft engines.  The conclusion drawn from
this assessment is that current measurement technology will
meet the requirements of an emission-control program.
Although measurement techniques for particulate emissions
are inadequate at present, improved techniques are being
developed through cooperative government-industry action.

    Measurement of emission rates from an aircraft engine involves
three maior requirements:
                                79

-------
        (1)  A -test procedure specifying engine  opera-ting
conditions.

        (2)  A sampling technique for obtaining  a
representative  sample of exhaust gas.

        (3)  Analytical instrumentation  for  determining
pollutant concentrations in the exhaust-gas  sample.

    Aircraft engine  manufacturers,  FAA,  and  EPA  are  devoting
substantial effort toward meeting these  requirements for
measuring emissions  from turbine engines.

Sampling and Test Procedures

    Obtaining a representative  sample  of exhaust gas from an
aircraft engine for  analysis of emission rates is a  complex
and difficult procedure.   Sampling  emissions from turbine
engines is  difficult at the outset  because of  the jet-blast
environment in  which the sampling equipment  must be
installed.   Beyond this problem,  the following factors all
significantly affect the composition of  the  exhaust  sample:

        (1)  Engine power level.

        (2)  Temporal  and spatial variations in  exhaust
composition.

        (3)  Sampling-line diameter,  length, material, and
temperature.
           Ambient temperature and humidity.

        (5) Ambient pollutant levels.

    Procedures for sampling and analyzing turbine-engine
exhaust gases have been under development for several years
by engine manufacturers, FAA, and EPA.  More recently, the
Society of Automotive Engineers Aircraft Exhaust Emission
Measurement  (E-31) Committee has been formed to standardize
these procedures.  Standardization of measurement techniques
will minimize variations resulting from the factors listed
above; however, the several sources of error in collecting
exhaust samples and the variability of samples among
different engines must be considered in the establishment of
a standard emission measurement procedure.

    Sampling requirements for aircraft piston engines are
similar to those for automobile engines.  The exhaust gases
are well mixed by the time they reach the exhaust stack
                                80

-------
exit.  Consequently, no factors are apparent, beyond those
already recognized as affecting automobile exhaust
emissions, that would cause variability in exhaust samples
from aircraft piston engines.  Differences in engine
operation, however, must be considered in the establishment
of a standard emission measurement procedure.

Emissions Measurement Instrumentation

    Measuring the concentrations of most gaseous pollutants
in exhaust samples from aircraft engines is generally within
the capabilities of existing instruments and should remain
so, even when engines are modified to reduce emission rates.

    The various types of instruments that are available and
in current use for aircraft emission measurement have been
reviewed.  Instruments that appear to be most suitable for
measuring turbine-engine emissions at the present time are
presented in Table 32.
                                 81

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                        Table  32

            Instrumentation for Measurement
              of Turbine Engine Emissions
      Measurement method
Pollutant class
Non-dispersive infrared (NDIR)

Heated flame ionization

Chemilumine s cence

Chemiluminescence3

SAE smokemeter (ARP1179)

None

Determined from fuel analysis

3-MBTH

Human odor panel
   CO and C02

      THC

       NO

      N02

     Smoke

  Particulates

      so2

   Aldehydes

      Odor
aThe non-dispersive ultraviolet instrument (NDUV)
 may also prove acceptable for NO- measurement
                          82

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APPENDIX A:
ANALYSIS OF CARBON MONOXIDE CONCENTRATION
AT LOS ANGELES INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
When continuous  air quality monitoring data  is available,
statistical analysis may be applied to determine frequencies
of occurrence of any concentration for any averaging time
either by interpolation of the data or by extrapolation if
the available data is limited.  It has been  observed that
all air quality  data regardless of averaging time follows a
log normal distribution.*3

The continuous carbon monoxide data taken at LAX during six
months in 1970 were analyzed statistically for 1-hour and 8-
hour averaging times at several sites to determine the
expected frequencies when the NAAQS would be exceeded.  With
the use of the simple rollback technique, adjusted
frequencies could be determined for changes  in emissions and
various control  strategies for aircraft and  non-aircraft
emission sources.  Dispersion modeling results were used to
predict the degree of influence aircraft emissions have in
locations beyond the boundaries of Los Angeles Airport.

The analysis focussed on the 8-hour exposure case in areas
adjacent to the  airport where it would be expected that
people would meet the exposure time criteria either as
residents or business employees.  The 1-hour exposure case
would apply to the terminal area itself as well as the areas
considered in the 8-hour averaging time case.

Corrections were made to the available ambient data because
of the recognized seasonal variation of carbon monoxide
levels in the Los Angeles basin.  A recent report published
by the LAAPCD contained sufficient data to calculate the
summer-winter correction factors for the hourly and 8-hour
averaging times.  The average correction factors for the
basin to convert August-September data to December-January
data were found  to be 1.5 for the 1-hour data and 1.9 for
the 8-hour case.

Data and statistical information on carbon monoxide analysis
presented in a paper by Larsen3* were also utilized in this
phase of the analysis.  The L. A. basin CO data in the
Larsen paper were used to check the LAX data for consistency
in terms of the  frequency and range of observed carbon
monoxide levels.  Tabulated and plotted data in this
                             83

-------
reference indicates the air pollution hot spot represented by the
Los Angeles Airport and its environs.  Figure A-l, taken fron the
reference shows this point quite clearly.  Figure 1 in the main text
of this report indicates the location of the continuous ambient
carbon monoxide stations.  Station 209 was chosen as representative
of an off airport site for the 8 and 1-hour analysis.  Figure A-2
shows the plot of the raw station 209 data for the months of August
and September.

It is obvious that station 209 is directly influenced by the airport
only when the wind is blowing from a westerly direction.  The
September data were categorized into East or West influences and
the results are plotted on Figure A-3.  It can be seen that the com-
posite plot is representative of both these subcategories and there-
fore was used for all subsequent analysis.  It further demonstrates
that the airport exerts the same impact on the air quality at station
209 as the non-airport area sources surrounding it.  Figure 2, in
the text of the report, shows the August station 209 frequency dis-
tributions for maximum 8-hour daily averages adjusted for the summer-
winter correction factor.  The frequency of occurrence relating to
one day per quarter is assumed to be equivalent to the one day per
year frequency associated with the 8-hour NAfiQS because it can be
assumed that the worst exposure case would occur during the winter
quarter of the year.  This plot has then been adjusted  (Figures A-4
and A-5) for expected rollback emission reductions of non-aircraft
sources in combination with various percent contributions due to
aircraft sources and assumed levels of aircraft emission controls.
Similar methodology was used in estunating expected 1980 CO concen-
trations with various aircraft contributions.  These are given in
the main text.  Modeling results were used to determine the relating
distribution and magnitude of aircraft emissions around LAX.  It
can be seen that the station 209 analysis is quite representative
of other areas adjacent to LAX where adverse influences of aircraft
operations can be expected to occur.
The same procedures were followed in plot-ting -the adjusted
September data to  determine the frequency with  which the
standard would be  expected to  be exceeded for various
                                    84

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                              FIGURE A-l.
       MAXIMUM ANNUAL  8-HOUR-AVERAGING-TIME CONCENTRATION OF

 CARBON MONOXIDE EXPECTED AT VARIOUS SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES AREA.
'-n
               \ LOS ANGELES COUNTY


                \


                 \
                   \


                   \



                    \






  I VENTURA             \ SAN FERNANDO
  ^                     ,_'   \/AI I CV
                                                    T
                                                     i
                 \   »                   •/
                 \ SAN FERNANDO         J°   20
                ,—'   VALLEY   ^      /    I
                ]     \        40  40    /      111
            x	'    • 1*37     /*«f     I »v>   \f
           /       17|      ^BURBANK A»28     >
         /        HOLLYWOOD/37    /PASADENA  "**- * / *-*^

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                       ^35 21X4*\.
                                                                            • REDLANDS

                                                                            21   'I,
                                                                         RIVERSIDE
 5  10
 i  i

miUt
                                     22
                                              20

                                    85

-------
          50
                                                       FIGURE A-2




                                       BASELINE DATA, DAILY MAXIMUM 8-HR. AVERAGE

                                       CO CONCENTRATIONS, STATION 209, LAX, 1970
oo
      (X
      a
      a
      o
      c
      	»    t	*   *   *	•	1	•	1	

                                         90    80           50           20    10



                                  Probability (7») of Exceeding the Given Pollutant Level
                                                                                               0.1

-------
                                                   FIGURE A-3

                  FREQUENCY DISTRIBUTION FOR 8-HR.  CO DATA, STATION 209, LAX, SEPTEMBER 1970
oo
         t
         o.
         o
         M-

         H
         w
         u
         o
         CJ
         o


         oo
            60 7
            40 • •
            20 •
            10 -
Key

 o - easterly wind  influence.

 A - westerly wind  influence.
                                95   90     80           50          20


               Probability (%) of fexceeding the given pollutant level.
                                                       10
0.1

-------
                                                     FIGURE A-4
CO
CO
           ex
           a


           c
           o
           •H
           4-1
           CD
           C
           0)
           U
           C
           o
           o
           1-1
           3
           O
           5C
           i
           co
               40
               20
10
                 99
                          EXPECTED CO CONCENTRATION DISTRIBUTION, WINTER, STATION  209,  LAX

                                        FOR 80 PERCENT AIRCRAFT CONTRIBUTION
                                 39 days/year
Ambient AQ Standard, 9 ppm
                  90          70       50       30         10


                  Probability (70)  of  exceeding given pollutant level

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                                                    FIGURE A-5



                                EXPECTED CO DISTRIBUTION, WINTER, STATION 209, LAX

                                       FOR 20 PERCENT AIRCRAFT CONTRIBUTION
CO
         E
         a
         a.
         c
         o
         •H
         4J
         to
         O

         O
         M


         O
         33


         00
                    Ambient AQ Standard, 9 ppm
                               90          70       50       30         10              1



                              Probability  (7o) of exceeding the given pollutant  level

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percent: aircraft: contributions.  This data would represent
the upper limits of the analysis.

Similar frequency analysis can be performed for the 1-hour
exposure case.  However, unless there is extreme variation
between the slopes  (or standard geometric deviations) of the
1-hour data and the 8-hour averaging time data, the 1-hour
standard will be met if the strategies are imposed to meet
the 8-hour standard.  This would appear to be the case in
those areas at LAX where the 1-hour CO levels are higher
than the standard at the present time.
                                 90

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 APPENDIX B:
 AND iSOPLETH DERIVAT8ON
    The primary and most direct method of estimating
aircraft contributions to air pollutant concentrations
involved the application of frequently used dispersion
modeling procedures to estimate air pollutant concentrations
caused by aircraft alone and by all sources located in the
airport vicinity  (within a 10-kilometer radius of the
airport center).  Dispersion models similar to the one used
in this study are specified by EPA as one means of showing
that implementation plans for certain regions will be
adequate to meet the ambient air quality standards.   Much of
the analysis of aircraft air quality impact presented in
this report is based on modeling work performed, under EPA
contract, by Northern Research and Engineering Corporation.
A general description of the modeling procedure is presented
here; a more detailed account of the modeling work and
results is available in the contract report.3

    The procedure in the modeling study involved: (1)
approximating emission sources as continuous, stationary
point sources of constant strength over the time period
being considered, (2)  modeling the dispersion of pollutants
from these sources using an empirical mathematical model,
and (3)  estimating concentrations at specified receptor
points by summing the pollutant contributions from each
point source^ and (4)  constructing isopleths  of estimated
pollutant concentrations based on the estimated receptor
point concentrations.

    The point sources used in the modeling approximated the
location and strength of emission sources at  each of the
four airports studied.  Lines along which automobile or
aircraft movement occur were represented by series of point
sources.  Area sources, representing airport  surroundings
out to a 10-kilometer radius from the airport center,  were
represented by circular arrangements of point sources around
the airports.  Altogether,  149 to 276 point sources  were
used for each air carrier airport,  depending  on the  size and
complexity of the airport.   The number of sources was chosen
to provide a reasonable approximation of emissions at the
                                91

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airport  and in the vicinity without need for excessive
computer •time or computer program complexity0

    The  basis of the atmospheric  dispersion modeling  is  an
empirical 0  mathematical approximation of pollutant
dispersion  after emission from a  point source0   This
approximation yields a plum® whose concentration
distribution is Gaussian in the vertical and crosswind
directiono   The distribution is dependent upon  downwind
'distance from the source and on atmospheric stability0
Eventually  the upper boundary of  the atmospheric missing
layer  restricts vertical spread of the pluws and modifies
the distribution of pollutants in the vertical  direction^,
This dispersion modtal should b© considered as a general
approximation of airport dispersion patternsg considerable
model  development would b© required to include  more detailed
small-= seal© dispersion patterns^  such as those  around larg©
buildings or near jet blasts<,

    In calculation of l©ng°tersn concentrations0  the fact
that there  is a distribution of meteorological  conditions  is
used to  simplify the basic dispersion model0  The result0
known  as the Martin°Tikvart model,?  approximates plume spread
in the .crosswind direction and sums the contributions of all
combinations of wind speeds and atmospheric stabiltitioSo

    The  concentration at any receptor point is  obtained  as
the sum  of  the contributions from each point source of
emissionso   The accuracy of the concentration value for  this
type of  model is dependent upon the proximity of the
receptor point and the emission sources«,   Because the
sources  of  emission are actually  a collection of points„
lines areas0  and volwies^ rather  than merely a  collection  of
pointsg  as  assumed in the model„  greater accuracy generally
results  when the receptor point is not close proximity to
any sources0   To limit inaccuracies attributable to the
point  sourcep  receptor locations  within 100 meters of a
point  source were not considered  in the results <,

    The  model provided estimates  of air pollutant
concentrations both from aircraft alone and from all  sources
at a number of sites located in and around the  selected
airportso   Receptors considered in this study were located
according to the following overall  scheme at  air carrier
airports § (£1J  one receptor at the center  of each major
terminal? J2J  one receptor 100 meters  from the  head of each
runaway0  ([35  sixteen receptors on the  airport boundary„
spaced equally on a compass rose  located  at the  designated
center of the airport„  and ([«J8  sixteen more receptors
located  in  the airport surroundings„  5 kilometers from the
                               92

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center of the airport and spaced equally on the compass
rose.  Not more than 50 receptors were used, the actual
number depending on the number of terminals and runways at
each airport.
                      - •     ' .   ' j .    -
The resulting concentrations at the various receptor points
were used in constructing isopleths of pollutant
concentration.  Isopleths were constructed for 6-9 a.m.
hydrocarbon and annual NOx concentrations due to aircraft
alone, and for aircraft contributions to total CO
concentrations.

    The model input data used in calculating annual
concentrations of NOx were based on yearly distributions of
wind direction, stability class and. wind speed class, and
annual average values of mixing height and emission rates.
The short-term meteorological and activity conditions used
to calculate the 8-hour and 1-hour CO conditions and the 6-9
a.m. hydrocarbon concentration were chosen to be
representative of conditions that would be expected to yield
high concentrations of these pollutants, i.e., low wind
speed, high atmospheric stability, and low mixing height,
and moderate to high aircraft activity.  The conditions for
calculation of short-term concentrations are presented in
Table B-l.

    Because the results of the model have not been
extensively validated or verified, the concentrations
generated by the model should be considered to be very
approximate.  They are useful,  however, in indicating
general pollutant concentration levels of the extent of
aircraft contributions to localized pollutant concentration.
                               93

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                                      TABLE B-l

                  SHORT-TERM METEOROLOGICAL AND ACTIVITY CONDITIONS
at
Wind speed class
Stability class (Turner)
Wind direction, deg.
Wind variability, deg.
Mixing height, m.
Aircraft activity,
LTD cycles.
Direction of movement
6-9 A.M. HC
L.A. Airport
1
c
255
20
200
60 (1970)
79 (1980)
West
8-Hour CO
at L.A. Airporta
1
E
255
20
200
260
West
LAX
1
E
90
40
535
54
E
1-Hour
ORD
1
F
215
30
700
49
SW
CO
JFK
1
E
200
10
960
30
S
DCA
1
•
!
E
320
20
980
34
N
 Idle time at runway,
        sec.
60
 Estimated annual
 frequency of occurrence
 of meteorological con-
 itions                   at least
                            once
150
240
260    540    300
                               81
                     29*
                10
               67
a These conditions are used in estimating ratios between aircraft generated and total
8-hour CO concentrations; the ratios are not sensitive to the conditions assumed.
b  Based on 5 months of data.
                                          94

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APPENDIX C:
AREA - SOURCE DISPERSION MODELING
TO ESTSMATE DOWNWIND POLLUTANT
CONCENTRATIONS       	
    The modeling method used in this analysis  involved
approximating emissions both at airports and in  surrounding
areas as area sources, and relating these emissions to
downwind pollutant concentrations by assuming  Gaussian
pollutant distribution in the vertical and crosswind
directions.  For each receptor point, the concentration
caused by small-area elements was determined by  integrating
in the crosswind and upwind directions over each source
region.  The airport and surroundings were considered as
separate source regions.  The concentrations due to these
two source regions were calculated separately  then added
together to obtain the total concentration at  each receptor.
Near the airport source, concentrations are the  same as
those from an area source of infinite extent.32  At greater
distances, edge effects caused by the finite width of the
airport are considered by including the integration in the
cross-wind direction.  Also included is the limit to
vertical mixing imposed by a more stable layer aloft.

    For the purpose of this modeling, the airport was
assumed to cover an area of 3.2 by 3.2 kilometers.  The time
period for the analysis, 8 a.m. to 11 a.m., was  selected on
the basis of recurring meteorological conditions conducive
to high air pollutant concentrations,  A diurnal correction
factor was applied to the resulting concentrations to
correct for the disproportionately greater amount of
activity that occurred during this 3-hour period than
occurred during other 3-hour periods during the  day.  The
specific meteorological conditions used for the  time period
considered were:  wind from west;  stability class - 3, wind
speed =1.5 in/second mixing height = 200 m. These
conditions are representative of  severe conditions, from an
air pollution standpoint, that are expected to occur at
least once a year in the Los Angeles area.
                               95

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