RECYCLING Reprinted from GOVERNMENT AND THE NATION'S RESOURCES: REPORT OF THE NA TIONAL COMMISSION ON SUPPLIES AND SHORTAGES, December 1976 ------- 2d Printing, October 1977 An environmental protection publication in the solid waste management series (SW-601) U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY 1977 ------- FOREWORD The National Commission on Supplies and Shortages, established by Public Law 93-426, is the latest major attempt by our nation to obtain advice on how best to use our natural resources. The Commission's final report, Government and the Nation's Resources, was published in December 1976 and was distributed in limited quantities. Chapter 8 of the report, "Recycling," contains material of particular relevance to those concerned with conservation issues. The Environ- mental Protection Agency has played a significant role in promoting recycling, and this role will be expanded under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976. To ensure that the Commission's findings and recommendations on recycling reach a wide audience, EPA decided to reprint and distribute copies of the chapter. The major findings and recommendations of Chapter 8 are as follows: • Recycling can reduce the escalating capital requirements and environmental degradation which accompany the exploitation of lower grade virgin resources; national energy demands; and dependence on imports. • Sizable amounts of some major materials are already recycled, but as a per- centage of total consumption recycling has been static or declining, and only a small portion of post-consumer waste is recycled. Present rates of recycling can be increased substantially to supply a limited, but important, fraction of our total needs for materials. • A number of Government practices deviate from the principle that the rate of recycling should reflect informed decisions made on the basis of the true cost of materials. The 94th Congress acted to eliminate such practices as: discrimination against recycled materials in procurement specifications; possible discrimination against recyclables in regulated freight rates; and a variety of institutional barriers which cause localities to miss recycling opportunities. • The Commission recommends that Congress take further action to implement the true-cost-of-materials principle. It should internalize the cost of disposing of materials by means such as mandatory deposits on beverage containers, excise taxes on nonreturnable containers, and product disposal charges on other consumer packaging and on paper. • Due to the absence of compelling evidence for its continuation, the Commis- sion recommends repeal of the percentage depletion allowance for minerals. • The Commission recommends that Congress avoid actions that are contrary to the true-cost-of-materials principle, such as new or extensive Federal funding of systems to recover resources from waste. These important findings and recommendations should be well considered by all those who are concerned with effective conservation of resources and protection of the environment. -SHELDON MEYERS Deputy Assistant Administrator for Solid Waste Management U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ------- NATIONAL COMMISSION ON SUPPLIES AND SHORTAGES DONALD B. RICE, President, The Rand Corporation Chairman BILL BROCK, United States Senator (Tennessee) ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman, Council of Economic Advisers HENDRIK S. HOUTHAKKER, Professor of Economics, Harvard University GEORGE KOZMETSKY, Dean, College of Business Administration and Graduate School of Business, University of Texas JAMES T. LYNN, Director, Office of Management and Budget THOMAS M. REES, Member, U.S. House of Representatives (23rd District, California) L. WILLIAM SEIDMAN, Assistant to the President for Economic Affairs WILLIAM E. SIMON, Secretary of the Treasury Vice Chairman ]. WILLIAM STANTON, Member, U.S. House of Representatives (llth District, Ohio) PHILIP H. TREZISE, Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution JOHN V. TUNNEY, United States Senator (California) NAT WEINBERG, Director, Special Projects, UAW (Retired) ------- CHAPTER 8 Recycling PUBLIC LAW93-426 directs the Commission to report on private and public practices which affect the supply of materials and on alternative actions to increase their availability. Recycling affects the available supply of materials. Sizeable amounts of some major materials already are recycled, but as a percentage of total consumption, recycling has been static or declining in America, and only a small portion of postconsumer waste is recycled. Not all of the materials consumed can be economically recycled but present rates of recycling can be increased substantially, to supply a limited but important fraction of our total needs for materials. The term "urban ore" has been applied to the materials used up and discarded by consumers. Some economic considerations discourage the recycling of "urban ore" in much the same way that similar considera- tions discourage the exploitation of virgin ore deposits. Moreover, a number of (k)vernment practices effectively (if inadvertently) discour- age recycling. Such practices are deviations from the principle that the rate of recycling should reflect informed decisions made on the basis of the true cost of materials. Within the last year, Congress has taken legislative action to eliminate discrimination against recycled materials in procurement specifications, possible discrimination against recydables in regulated freight rates, and a variety of institutional barriers which cause localities to miss recycling opportunities. Further action should be taken in furtherance of the true-cost-of-materials principle—for exam- ple, repeal of tax subsidies to producers of virgin materials and the imposition of disposal charges and refundable deposits on containers and paper products. THE POTENTIAL FOR RECYCLING The American economy uses approximately 4.5 billion tons of nonfood materials each year. A large fraction of current consumption of major materials is met from recycling. However, as Table 15 shows, the portion of materials demand met from recycling is static or declining overall— and most recycling comes from scrap created by industrial production and fabrication processes rather than from materials which consumers discard. Proponents claim four major benefits from increased recycling in the United States. 1. Increasing demands on the world's virgin resources are making 155 ------- TABLE 15—Total Recycling as a Percent of Consumption Steel Aluminum Copper Paper 1955 51 21 53 26 1965 50 17 61 21 1973 51 18 55 21 Postconsumer Waste Recycling as a Percent of Consumption 1973 16 3 19 14 Sources: Statistics tor steel, aluminum, and copper recycling are derived from United States Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines Minrrtib Yparknok: statistics for aluminum and copper recycling are limited to purchased scrap. Statistics tor paper are also limited to purchased scrap: they are taken from American Paper Institute, Slitli\fit\ it/ Pn/irr and Pajit^tifitird. their extraction more and more costly in terms of capital requirements and environmental degradation. Recycling material in postconsumer waste can reduce those demands. Once such material is discarded and buried, it becomes much more difficult to recover economically. 2. The production of manufactured products from recycled materials generally results in a "significant'saving of energy. For example, energy equivalent to 6,700 kwh is required to produce a ton of steel from virgin resources, and only one-third of that amount is. required to manufacture a ton from scrap; 70,000 kwh are required to extract a ton of aluminum from virgin resources, and only one-twentieth of that amount to extract it from scrap; substantially more energy is required to manufacture a ton of paper from virgin resources than from scrap.' 3. Recycling provides a domestic source of materials. This reduces the political uncertainties of foreign sources of supply and the adverse impact of the demand for imported materials on the Nation's balance of trade. ' 4. A fourth major benefit is beyond the narrowly defined bounds of materials policy. Solid waste handling accounts for the second largest expenditure of our major cities; cities can expect a 20 to 30 percent increase in real disposal costs over the next 10 years; landfill sites are becoming scarce in heavily populated areas and disposal presents air and water pollution problems. One potential by-product of recycling is a smaller waste stream whose constituent parts are more easily managed. To what extent can increased recycling of industrial and postconsu- mer solid waste provide these benefits? It has been assumed in the past that all the industrial waste economically available is being recycled. This assumption is based on' the fact that much industrial scrap is high-grade and available at convenient locations. There has been relatively little study of actual rates of recycling industrial solid waste, however, and there is a large new source of such waste about which even less is known Under the Clean Air Act and the Federal Water Pollution Control Act the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has promulgated regulations which require that materials formerly discharged as air and water pollutants must now be collected and handled as solid waste. The mineral concentrations in many such wastes exceed those in many ores now being processed.2 156 ------- TABLE 16—Potential Additional Materials from Recycling of Postconsumer Waste (percent of domestic consumption) Steel Aluminum Copper Paper Postconsumer waste (Population Commission, 1972) Municipal solid waste (EPA, 1974) Municipal solid waste (FEA, 1974) 2 7 4 15 8 6 10 5 — — 14 14 Sources: Fischman and Landsberg, "Adequacy of Nonfuel Minerals and Forest Resources," in Commission on Population Growth and the American Future, Research Report1, Vol. 3, 98 (1972). These estimates are based on projections of the amounts of materials likely to be in use in the year 2000 and of the useful life (and "retirement" rate) of such materials. EPA, Second Report to Congress; Resource Recovery and Source Reduction 14 (1974). These estimates are based on EPA calculations of the amounts of materials in municipal solid waste collected in standard metropolitan statistical areas during 1971; recovery efficiencies of 30% lor paper and 80% for other materials are assumed. Federal Energy Administration, Report hi Congress: Energy Conservation Stud\ 83 (1974). These estimates are based on calculations by Resource Planning Associates of the amounts of materiafs in municipal solid waste collected in standard metropolitan statistical areas during 1970; recovery efficiencies of 80% for steel, H0% for aluminum and 30% for paper are assumed. There has been much more study of municipally-collected postconsu- mer solid waste, including some 80 million tons of metals, paper, and glass. At present less than 10 percent of this material is recycled.3 Excluding the postconsumer wastes that are discarded in remote locations, lost in litter, or are unusable for technical reasons, it has been estimated that recycling the remainder could contribute significantly to the Nation's supply of materials. Three recent estimates, shown in Table 16, may be regarded as "ball-park" figures. The estimates in Table 16 are consistent with the independent assessments made by the Commission staff: ferrous scrap potentially recoverable from municipal solid waste has been put at 4 or 5 percent of total consumption by industry sources; skyrocketing costs of plant and equipment, energy, and raw materials will provide substantial incentives to increase the recycling of aluminum; the chances of increased recycling of copper are more modest." It has also been estimated that increased recovery of resources (both materials and energy) from postconsumer solid waste could save energy equivalent to 521,000 barrels of oil per day—7 percent of all the fuel consumed by utilities in 1970.5 Balance-of-trade effects would admittedly be modest, but in the right direction. Currently available resource recovery systems can readily reduce by 65 percent the amount of solid waste which must be disposed of.6 OBSTACLES AND OPPORTUNITIES If recycling is economically beneficial, why isn't more material being recycled? The economic value of some material in postconsumer waste is not as high as the cost of exploiting it, often for much the same reasons that value of virgin material is insufficient to justify exploita- tion. The material in some postconsumer waste may not be sufficiently concentrated to be of economic value—for example, roadside litter. Or the material may be so far removed from processing plants that transporation costs would be prohibitive—for example, waste in remote 157 ------- rural locations. Not only may the positive economic value of material in postconsumer waste be insufficient, but its negative economic value may also be insufficient. The economic value of recycling material in postconsumer waste is the sum of the money realized from recovery of the materials and the money saved from not having to dispose of the material. While actual postcollection disposal costs in the Northeast may run to $15 a ton and provide a strong incentive to recycle rather than dispose, such costs in the West can be as low as $1 or $2 per ton and thus afford little incentive. However, quite apart from these market considerations, some Government practices discourage recycling: these practices deviate from the principle that the rate of recycling should reflect informed decisions made on the basis of the true costs of materials. Until 1975, congressional enactments which have dealt explicitly with recycling7 have been limited to authorizing further study or allocating Federal money for technical research, development and demonstrations.* Recently, the Congress has been giving much closer attention to recycling. , Federal Funding of Demonstration Projects The 94th Congress considered and rejected several recommendations for Federal funding of projects to demonstrate the recovery of resources from solid waste. A House Committee marked up legislation which would have authorized loan guarantees for projects to demon- strate the recovery of resources from solid waste in amounts up to $2.5 billion. A House-Senate conference committee recommended an au- thorization of $300 million in loan guarantees to produce energy from biomass (defined as urban and industrial waste, crops, animal waste, sewage sludge), and an authorization of $5 million for a price-support program to demonstrate the production of fuels and energy-intensive products from solid waste. And four House committees reported a bill authorizing loan guarantees in varying amount up to $3.5 billion for projects to demonstrate the production of synthetic fuels from domestic resources, including solid waste. None of these bills (is an effective approach to the problem of *The Solid Waste Disposal Act, as amended by the Resource Recovery Act of 1970, does require EPA to establish guidelines for solid waste collection, separation, disposal, and recovery systems. Essentially, the guidelines are binding only on Federal agencies which dispose of solid waste. Under the Act, EPA has promulgated guidelines which: (1) Require a deposit of at least 5(Z on all beverage containers sold in Federal facilities; (2) Require any Federal facility disposing of 100 tons or more per day of solid waste to separate and recover materials or energy, or both, from it; (3) Require Federal facilities to separate at the source, collect and sell high-grade paper for the purpose of recycling (in offices of over 100 workers) used newspapers (on residential facilities of more than 500 families), and corrugated containers (from any commercial establishment generating 10,or more tons per month). Federal agencies may determine not to comply with these guidelines Upon a finding that compliance would be economically impracticable. 158 ------- increasing recycling. It does not appear that increased recycling is being thwarted by any lack of government-supported research and develop- ment. R&D programs on resource recovery are currently maintained by the Office of Solid Waste Management Programs in EPA (which has an appropriation of $15.7 million for fiscal 1977), by the Solid Waste Division of the Bureau of Mines (which administers programs funded at $5.5 million for fiscal 1977), and by the Energy Research and Development Administration (ERDA), which has appropriations of $4.6 million for its Urban Waste Technology Branch and $5.2 million for its fuels-from-biomass program in fiscal 1977. There are areas which warrant continuing technological research, but there is a broad consensus that inadequate technology is not the major (or even a major) restraint on recycling. The House Committee on Government Opera- tions has reported that: Representatives of municipalities, of State Government, of the Federal Government, of private industry and of financial institu- tions are in basic agreement that the technology of resource recovery is now available.8 Besides, until recently most recycling of municipal solid waste was accomplished by a low-technology method—requiring users to separate their trash. The preliminary results of demonstration projects currently assisted by EPA suggest that source separation is still a cost-effective means of resource recovery. The availability of Federal money for demonstration projects can lead local governments to uneconomic decisions: only by adopting new high- technology, capital-intensive systems can cities transfer their costs to the Federal Government. To subsidize the recovery of energy, but not of materials, from solid waste would be to compound pressures for the inefficient use of resources. (For example, use of old newspapers as fuel is significantly less energy-efficient than recycling of the same newspa- pers into newsprint.5') Furthermore, Federal investment decisions can be uneconomic and counter-productive—a substantial risk in any system which is (necessarily) driven by political considerations. The EPA demonstration program, perhaps because of i& modest size, has been able to avoid political pressures to a large degree; the program appears to be more successful than other Federally-funded demonstration programs included in a recent study sponsored by the Experimental Technology Incentives Program of the National Bureau of Standards. This study concluded that demonstration projects have a narrow scope for effective use and that diffusion of the technology to be demonstrated depends on "market pull" rather than "technology push".10 Some high-technology local projects for resource recovery are in operation or under construction without Federal support, and invest- ment bankers have expressed interest in financing other projects. "The House Committee on Government Operations has concluded that: Congress should not authorize Federal financial assistance...(or) Federal guarantees of municipal or State bonds...to finance re- source recovery or other municipal solid waste disposal systems.12 159 ------- These considerations all suggest that Government funding of re- source recovery demonstrations should not be increased substantially above its present modest size. The Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 recognizes these considerations by providing that EPA may not fund a full-scale resource recovery facility unless it finds: • that the facility will demonstrate at full scale a new or significantly improved technology or process, a practical and significant improvement in solid waste management practice, or the technical feasibility and cost-effectiveness of an existing but un- proven process; • that the facility will not duplicate any other facility on which construction has already begun; and • that the facility is not likely to be constructed or operated without such funding. To the extent that solid waste disposal costs present overwhelming financial problems to cities which justify Federal assistance, these problems would best be met through some form of general revenue sharing, and not through a system of financial assistance which would require a city to adopt something other than the least expensive solution. The Commission opposes Federal funding of systems to recover energy or materials from waste, whether by means of grants, loan guarantees, or price supports; exception should be made only for the limited number of systems which possess the characteristics of true demonstration projects. Tax Subsidies There is a broad consensus that lack of long-term, stable demand is a major deterrent to utilization of resources in postconsumer waste. The degree to which tax preferences to the consumption of virgin over recycled materials undermine long-term, stable demand for recycled materials has not yet been adequately calculated; however, scattered pieces of evidence indicate that such preferences have a substantial undermining effect. The 94th Congress considered proposals to repeal tax subsidies for the consumption of virgin materials and to create countervailing tax subsidies for the consumption of recycled materials.* *Amendment No. 1882, proposed by Senator Haskell to H.R. 10612 and rejected by the full Senate, would have effectively repealed a variety of tax subsidies, including the percentage depletion allowance for minerals and capital gains treatment for timber. H.R. 10612, the Tax Reform Act of 1976, as reported by the Senate Finance Committee, would have alloWed a taxpayer, as a credit against tax, a percentage of the qualifying amount of recyclable solid waste material which he purchases and recycles in the U.S.; the amount of purchases Which qualifies would be the amount which exceeds 75% of annual average purchases in the preceding three years; the percentage allowed would equal Vz of the percent of the depletion allowance for metals (precious metals are excluded), 10% for textile and paper waste, and 5% for glass and plastics; recyclable solid waste materials would be defined as postconsumer solid waste and purchased scrap (if the latter is from fabricators who do not produce their own feed material). The full Senate deleted this provision. A similar tax credit, proposed by the House Ways and Means Committee, in the Resource Conservation and Conversion Act of 1975, was defeated last year. 160 ------- The Federal Government gives tax subsidies to the consumption of virgin materials both by allowing the deduction from income of a fixed percentage of the value of mineral production* and by allowing capital gains treatment of income derived from the increase in the' value of standing timber. Minerals—The percentage depletion allowance in particular has been the subject of extensive study. The Treasury Department has estimated that, largely as a result of this tax subsidy, mineral industries have an effective tax rate of about 25 percent of total net income, compared with 43 percent for other manufacturing industries.13 Percentage depletion has encouraged the growth of large vertically- integrated materials companies which shelter their income by maintain- ing high prices for their virgin material input and allocating their profits to virgin material production.14 The dominant materials compa- nies are structured, both physically and institutionally, to use wholly- owned virgin materials as their primary feed. They also make routine use of high-grade scrap produced in their own plants and the manufacturing and fabricating processes of their customers. But usually they purchase postconsumer scrap only to respond to peaks in the demand for their product; accordingly, their demand for recycled material fluctuates over a wide range. Physical reasons alone do not account for such a structure: postconsumer scrap has the advantage over virgin materials of being found in bulk at the point of ultimate consumption; there are certainly substantial problems in preparing lower grades of scrap for industrial use, but there are also substantial problems in preparing lower grades of virgin materials. However, industry has devoted great effort to beneficiating low-grade ores and little or no effort to recovering resources in postconsumer waste. The American steel industry, for example, is dominated by eight vertically-integrated companies which accounted for 75 percent of production in 1974; more than 85 percent of the ore which they consumed came from company-owned sources.15 The industry has consistently raised the price at which it sells itself ore, regardless of fluctuations in the demand for steel; on the other hand, the price of scrap purchased has fluctuated sharply with demand (see Table 17). In recent years, the export price of No. 1 heavy melting scrap has regularly exceeded the domestic price; since foreign purchasers must bear transportation charges as well, it is probable that the domestic steel industry substantially under-values scrap. It has been estimated that in the United States the effect of tax preferences more than accounts for *Mineral companies have the option of using the same type of cost depletion which is available to other industries—i.e., they may divide the original cost of developing the mineral deposit by the number of tons to be produced, and deduct this amount as part of the cost of each ton mined. In 1960, cost depletion accounted for less than l()'/f of the depletion taken by the minerals industry. Miller, "Percentage Depletion and the Level of Domestic Mineral Production," 15 Natural Resources]. 242 (1975). Ifil ------- TABLE \~7-Steel Production and Ore and Scrap Prices, 1950-1975 Year 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Sources: Figures lor steel Hr{it,il. The price ol ore rel Steel Produced (millions of tons) 72 79 68 80 63 85 83 80 60 69 71 66 71 76 85 93 90 84 92 93 91 87 92 111 110 80 produced are those ol shipments in Ame Price of Ore ($/ton) 4.99 5.46 6.09 6.76 6.99 7.12 7.75 8.33 8.39 8.69 8.79 8.99 8.84 9.22 9.52 9.33 9.49 9.92 10.21 10.341 10.80 11.55 12.20 12.84 16.34 21.41 rican Iron £ Steel presents the average value ol domestic ore at the mine, per Composite Price of No. 1 Heavy Melting Scrap ($/ton) 35 43 42 40 29 40 53 47 38 38 33 36 28 27 36 34 31 28 26 31 45 35 37 58 109 72 Institute, .-tiinnnl MdlHlifrtl KI-OSS ton: this price and the difference between the cost of producing a ton of steel from scrap, and the lower cost of producing it from virgin material.* Econometric studies (performed for EPA) have concluded that the repeal of tax subsidies for the consumption of virgin materials would increase the current price of virgin materials only slightly; the resulting increases in rates of recycling were estimated at about 1 to 5 percent."1 However, these studies of marginal price effects are based on an historical record which reveals that there is relatively little price elasticity of demand for postconsumer scrap.** Thus, they assume the continued . *See EPA, Second Report to Congress: Resource Recovery mid Source Reduction 35 (1974). The cost of a ton of steel using pig iron was estimated to be $40.50; the cost of a ton of steel using scrap was $43.00; the tax benefits to virgin iron ore and coal exceed $2.50. This calculation is confirmed by more recent cost estimates in Cosman, "Studies of Recycling Problems in Selected Industries," in Commission Document, Additional Background Studies. **See, e.g., Charles River Associates, Inc. A Study of Ihe Ferrous Scrap Market -Diiring tin- Shortage Period o/ 1973-1974 (June 1976)", p. 7-4. While the demand for 162 * ------- existence of an historical industry structure based at least in part upon the same tax subsidies. Only time can tell the extent to which repeal of these subsidies would change industry structure. Recently, materials companies have demonstrated that they will integrate vertically into scrap sources of supply, given the right economic circumstances.17 The argument that repeal of tax subsidies will increase the rate of recycling is supported by incomplete evidence. But the evidence to support continuation of such tax subsidies is even weaker. In the past it has been politically difficult to repeal existing tax subsidies, such as the percentage depletion allowance for minerals. In spite of this history, the Congress terminated the percentage depletion allowance for major oil companies in 1975. (The House voted, 248-163, to repeal the entire allowance; the Senate, by a vote of 47-41, retained the allowance for independent producers.)* Repeal of the percentage depletion allowance for minerals would probably make little difference in the near-term availability of virgin materials: the allowance may only be taken on one-half of profits; thus, if a mineral deposit is not very profitable, the allowance affords little incentive to produce. It now appears that most depletion is taken at the full statutory rate; i.e., on non-marginal deposits which would be mined without regard to any tax subsidy. (For example, if depletion is taken on a copper mine at the full statutory rate [15 percent], then the profit on the mine must be equal to at least 30 percent of the value of production.)18 Repeal of tax subsidies could affect the long-term availability of domestic minerals by lowering the after-tax return on capital from domestic mineral exploitation. Lowering the return on capital of the mineral industries relative to other industries would not be entirely negative: the percentage depletion allowance for minerals currently distorts resource allocation toward capital- (and energy-) intensive exploitation of lower-grade domestic ore. Federal Trade Commission figures suggest that in recent years before- and after-tax rates of profit postconsumer scrap is relatively inelastic, the supply of postconsumer scrap is highly price-elastic. Ibid. The Treasury Department has concluded that: most scrap or waste that can be economically used is already collected. The cost of substantially expanding collection is prohibitive. Therefore, an increase in recycling is not prevented by any tax incentive-induced reduction in the sale price of competitive virgin materials, but by the costs of collection. Administration Position, Hearings on Certain Provisions of the Tax Reform Bill (H.R. 10612) before the Senate Committee on Finance, July 20, 1976. The premise of the Treasury Department argument is not supported by the evidence. Industry has historically been capable of recycling far higher percentages of aluminum and paper scrap, for example. See Table 1. An industry-sponsored study estimates that scrap dealers now have in-place capacity to process more than twice the previous record annual demand for ferrous scrap. See Battelle Columbus Laborato- ries, The Prncewing Capacity of the Ferrous Scrap Industry (August 10, 1976). *C/. The National Democratic Plat/arm 1976, p. 48: "Economic inequities created by subsidies for virgin materials to the disadvantage of recycled materials must be eliminated. Depletion allowances and unequal freight rates serve to discourage the growing numbers of businesses engaged in recycling efforts." 163 ------- on stockholders' equity for corporations in the mining industry have been substantially greater than the rate of profit for all manufacturing corporations.1" The mining industry has urged in defense of the mineral depletion allowance that it will need to raise vast amounts of capital over the coming years.2" But the industry has made no attempt to demonstrate that the (Government should favor its efforts to raise capital over the efforts of other industries. Tax equity and economic efficiency would be better served if the Federal (Government considered the needs of the mineral industry for tax relief in raising capital* together with the needs of other industries, and not as a class apart. If tax subsidies were repealed, prices would bear the full burden of stimulating virgin mineral production. Congressional opponents of percentage depletion for oil and gas argued that prices rather than subsidies are the appropriate method of stimulating production.21 The mining industry has also urged that the continuation of tax subsidies protects the national interest in an assured supply of minerals.22 But the cost of tax subsidies is substantial: it has been estimated that the revenue loss from the percentage depletion allow- ance for minerals will exceed $850 million in fiscal year 1977.2" Because the percentage depletion allowance for minerals offers the least incentive to the exploitation of marginal deposits, it is not well designed to increase mineral supplies. The Treasury Department estimated in 1969 that the percentage depletion allowance for oil and gas cost about ' $1.6 billion in tax revenue for additional reserves worth only $0.15 billion."4 The cost of tax subsidies as a method of protecting the national interest in an assured supply of minerals should be measured against costs of other methods of preventing disruption of foreign supply—such as stockpiling. The latter method may be many times cheaper.** In sum, the cost of the percentage depletion allowance for minerals is substantial in terms of lost revenue. While the marginal price effect of this tax subsidy appears to be negligible, it is a strong incentive to an industry structure which is inimical to the use of resources in postconsumer waste. The benefits derived from the percentage deple- tion allowance do not appear to be proportionate to the cost. Timber—The consequences of capital gains treatment for timber have been studied less thoroughly than the consequences of percentage *COMMISSIONER WEINBERG: If the public is to provide capital for private firms through tax subsidies, it (i.e., the government as the representative of the public) should obtain an equity interest in the firm in return for its capital contribution. (See colloquy on this point between Mr. Charles Carlisle, Vice President, St. Joe Mineral Company and myself, Commission Document, Public Hearings on Problems oj Supplies and Shortages.) **The Commission has sought the views of the Department of the Interior and the Bureau of Mines on this subject. The Assistant Secretary of the Interior for Energy and Minerals has informed the Commission that "quantitative answers will be exceedingly difficult to derive. It is my firm judgment that the depletion allowance is fully justified, notwithstanding the present difficulty in quantitative justification." See letter of November 8, 1976 from Dr. William L. Fisher to Dr. George C. Eads in Commission Document, Public Hearing on Problems of Materials Supplies and Shortages. 164 » ------- depletion for minerals. There are some similarities. The Treasury Department has estimated that the lumber industry has a tax rate of only 30 percent, largely as a result of capital gains treatment for timber;25 the revenue loss from this tax subsidy will be about $200 million in fiscal year 1977.2li Treasury has identified capital gains treatment for timber as a cause of the shift in ownership of timberland toward large, vertically-integrated corporations which shelter their income by maintaining high timber prices.27 The twenty largest paper companies accounted for 65 percent of all the paper and paperboard made in the United States during 1974; eighteen of these companies had Umber holdings totalling 37 million acres in the United States and 4 million acres in Canada.28 The Treasury Department reported in 1969 that: The tax advantage of capital gains treatment of timber accrues mainly to large corporations and high-income individuals. Small corporations with taxable income less than $25,000 do not benefit from the capital gains provision. In 1965 there were 13,251 corporate returns filed in the lumber and paper industries. Of these, five companies reported 51.3 percent of the long-term capital gains.2" Although it is difficult to assign a causal relationship on the present evidence, the rate of paper recycling in the United States has declined from 35 percent to 21 percent since capital gains treatment for timber was enacted (over President Roosevelt's veto) in 1944.3" The major consumers of recycled paper are, for the most part, not the largest paper companies but a handful of companies without major timber holdings.31 The industry's demand for recycled paper is so unstable that waste paper prices fell during 1974 from $60 to $5 per ton; sometimes a buyer could not be found at any price. However, there are complicating factors in assessing the conse- quences of capital gains treatment for timber, such as industry's extensive cutting of Umber from public lands.32 The matter is further complicated by the fact that capital gains treatment for timber is an extension of a more general provision of the tax code applicable to other long-lived assets; the Commission has not examined the question of equitable application of the capital gains provisions to timber versus other assets. Nonetheless, the Congress should require a thorough justification of this tax subsidy, before determining to continue it. Countervailing Tax Proposal—During the 94th Congress, the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee each reported proposals to create a countervailing tax subsidy in the form of a tax credit for purchase of recyclable solid waste materials. These proposals would have substantially increased, rather than reduced, the subsidy of materials consumption by the general tax rolls. It has been estimated that the Senate Finance Committee bill would have reduced budget receipts by an estimated $345 million in fiscal 1981.33 According to past estimates, tax subsidies for virgin material consumption are an inefficient means of expanding the supply of minerals; there is no reason to suppose that a tax credit for the purchase of recycled materials would be a more efficient expenditure of tax dollars. Apart 165 ------- from these general considerations, both proposals would have allowed substantial windfalls in the form of credits for the recycling of high- grade purchased industrial scrap. In the absence of compelling evidence for its continuation, the Commission recommends the repeal of the percentage depletion allowance for minerals; the Commission opposes the creation of new tax subsidies for the consumption of recycled materials.* Internalizing Disposal Costs Governments discourage the recycling of containers and paper products by assessing the cost of discarding such materials against general revenues rather than against the price of the containers and paper products. As recently as 1960, 95 percent of the soft drinks and 50 percent of the beer were sold in returnable containers; the price of the beverage included the cost of distributing containers, collecting them after use, cleaning them and placing them back in service.34 Now the most common form of beverage container is the no deposit-no return bottle or can; the price does not reflect collection and disposal costs, which are borne not by the consumer but by society at large. The 94th Congress considered legislation requiring EPA to establish standards of control for products which "may use an unreasonable amount of energy or of materials identified by the President as critical to national security or in short supply." Another bill would have imposed a schedule of national solid waste disposal charges on the sale or transfer, at the bulk production level, of rigid consumer containers (at 0.50 per container), and of flexible consumer packaging and paper (at 1.30 per lb.); the charge would have been introduced over a ten- year period, starting at zero and increasing by 10 percent per year; it would have been reduced by the percent of secondary materials content in the product. A third bill would have required a refundable deposit of at least five cents on carbonated beverage containers, to take effect in five years. COMMISSIONERS GREENSPAN, HOUTHAKKER, LYNN, SEIDMAN, AND SIMON: Repeal of the percentage depletion allowance would improve economic efficiency by eliminating an artificial bias toward virgin material use, but would raise the effective corporation income tax rate. Repeal of percentage depletion should be accompanied by a compensating reduction in general corporation income tax rates sufficient to offset the revenue effect of removing the depletion allowance. However, this does not imply that we believe the present level of corporate taxation to be appropriate. COMMISSIONER WEINBERG: This recommendation should have included a call for ending the capital gains tax subsidy for standing timber. The only significant argument advanced against such a recommendation was that since capital gains treatment applies generally, timber should not be singled out for its elimination. In my view, favoritism to capital gains income over earned income should be ended across the board. In any event, timber harvesting has never been eligible for capital gains treatment under general provisions of the tax code. Congress singled out timber to receive-special capital gains treatment in the Revenue Act of 1943. In his veto message, Franklin Roosevelt (himself a tree farmer) argued that timber should continue to be treated as a crop and its sale treated as ordinary income. I believe he was right, even though his veto was overridden. 166 ------- The first bill is inconsistent with the general principle that the rate of recycling should reflect the true costs of materials; the bill proposes a regulatory approach similar to that of the Clean Air Act or the Federal Water Pollution Control Act. These acts establish regulatory schemes which require businesses to install the best demonstrated or available control technology. The definition of such technology for a multiplicity of industries and plants has proved a difficult regulatory task. Businesses have delayed substantial costs by engaging in protracted litigation against regulations.35 Perhaps such an approach should be reserved for those situations where it is difficult, if not impossible, to estimate external costs. It is relatively easy to estimate disposal costs. The second bill would incorporate disposal costs into the prices of products. It would leave to individual businesses the decision on how to increase recycling or reduce waste in order to obtain the greatest progress at the least cost. Accumulating tax liability would eliminate an incentive to use litigation as a delaying tactic. The bill would cover packaging and paper products which make up almost one-half of the total waste stream and 80 percent of all product-type wastes. A study prepared for EPA suggests that such a system of product charges could double present rates of paper recycling and provide a marginal incentive for more efficient use of materials in production.3" Adminis- tration costs have been projected at about one-half of 1 percent of the revenue raised.37 Gradual imposition of a disposal charge would allow time for implementing regulations embodying suggested "fine-tunirifg" changes, such as adding the costs of complying with environmental controls on disposal to the base cost, or establishing a separate rate of charge for plastic containers, such as that proposed by the City of New York. It would also be appropriate to exempt consumer packaging which carried a refundable deposit from such a disposal charge. A mandatory deposit on carbonated beverage containers, proposed in the third bill, would also internalize external costs. Such a deposit has been tested in the State of Oregon where it has greatly stimulated recycling and reduced the amount of roadside litter while leaving beverage prices essentially unchanged.:)H Detailed projections of the national impact of a mandatory deposit system have been made by the Department of Commerce (which is opposed to such a system), by the Federal Energy Administration (which has not taken a position) and by the Environmental Protection Agency (which favors such a system). The average of capital cost estimates by Commerce and by FEA is $l-$4 billion; all three agencies predict a modest net gain in employment, but with a shift of 40,000 to 80,000 jobs from container industries to retailing and distribution. Given a 90 percent return rate (not unrealistic in light of Oregon's experience), all three agencies predict energy savings of 150-200 billion Btu per year, somewhat less than one day's national energy consumption; EPA predicts savings of about 13 billion pounds of raw materials. Commerce predicts a reduction in municipal solid waste of slightly less than 5 percent by weight; EPA predicts a reduction of about 20 percent by volume in municipal solid waste; FEA predicts that the value of materials thus removed from the waste stream would have no substantial effect on municipal decisions to 167 ------- landfill or to recover resources.3!i Sweden is putting into effect a similar mandatory deposit system for automobiles: there is a tax of SwKr 300 ($65) on the purchase of a car; the tax is refundable when the car is turned in to a scrap yard. This system merits further study in the United States.* The Commission recommends that the Government take steps to internalize the cost of disposing of materials; means of accomplish- ing this include mandatory deposits on beverage containers, excise taxes on non-returnable containers, and product disposal charges on other consumer packaging and on paper. Freight Rates Discriminatory freight rates have been cited as a factor depressing the demand for recycled materials. The evidence supporting this assertion is mixed, at best. A 1973'study concluded that freight rates represented a substantial fraction of the cost of using scrap iron and wastepaper, but not of aluminum scrap; and that the ratio of railroad revenue to variable costs was higher for scrap iron than for iron ore, but lower for aluminum scrap than ingots and for wastepaper than woodpulp.40 A 1974 study concluded that, when directly compared, rates for transporting scrap iron were higher than for iron ore, and rates for wastepaper higher than for wood chips; however, rates were lower for wastepaper and scrap iron when compared on a chemically equivalent basis (i.e., comparing the cost of transporting enough virgin materials to make one ton of steel or paperboard against the costs of transporting enough secondary materials to make the same ton).41 The Railroad Revitalization and Regulatory Reform Act of 1976 (together with the prior Regional Railroad Reorganization Act) requires the Interstate Commerce Commission to investigate the rate structure for transporting recyclable materials and competing virgin materials: in this investigation the burden of proof is upon the railroads to show that any rate structure is just, reasonable, and non-discriminatory; the ICC must issue orders requiring the removal of any unreasonable or unjustly discriminatory rate; EPA is authorized to participate as a party in such an investigation. The mandated ICC investigation is under way. The draft Environmental Impact Statement of the ICC staff dismisses as insignificant the effects of freight rate changes on recycling. Proposals for further action should await conclusion of the current investigation. Procurement Specifications Government procurement specifications can reduce the demand for recycled materials by discriminating against them. For example, the "COMMISSIONER WEINBERG: The logic of the refundable Swedish tax On automobiles is so obvious and compelling that it is not enough to say merely that it "merits further study." Adoption of a similar system in the United States should have been recommended to facilitate recycling, to eliminate the eyesores represented by cars abandoned on the streets and to spare public authorities the cost tof,hauling them to junkyards. ------- Department of the Army recently cited its procurement specifications to justify rejection of a recommendation by its Audit Agency that it purchase retreaded rather than new tires for its commercial vehicles.42 GSA (which purchases $1.2 billion in supplies annually) has already made some progress in eliminating such discrimination. However, DoD (which purchases $32.6 billion in supplies annually) has indicated that it would give low priority to anti-discrimination arguments so long as action was discretionary and not mandatory.43 There is some evidence that the purchasing specifications of private industry also discriminate unnecessarily against recycled materials.44 The Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 addresses the problem of discriminatory procurement specifications. It requires that each agency shall procure items composed of the highest practicable percentage of recovered materials consistent with maintaining a satisfac- tory level of competition. The decision not to procure such items must be based on a determination that such items (1) are not reasonably available, (2) fail to meet performance standards set forth in specifica- tions based on guidelines to be issued by the Department of Commerce through the National Bureau of Standards, or (3) are only available at unreasonable prices. Agencies which generate heat or energy from fossil fuels must, to the greatest practicable extent, use any capability for burning recovered material or fuel derived from recovered material. All federal agencies must review and revise procurement specifications to eliminate any exclusion of recovered materials or requirement that an item be manufactured from virgin materials, and to require use of reclaimed materials to the greatest possible extent without jeopardizing the intended end use of the item. EPA must prepare guidelines for the use of procuring agencies in complying with the requirements of the section. The Office of Procurement Policy is to implement the policy of the Act and report annually to Congress on actions taken. Under this Act, the Department of Commerce (through the National Bureau of Standards) must do more than develop specifications that define the ability of recycled materials to replace virgin materials in various industrial, commercial, and governmental uses. It must also identify potential markets for recycled materials, identify barriers to their use, and encourage the development of new uses for recycled materials. The Department is also authorized to evaluate the commer- cial feasibility of resource recovery systems, publish the results, and develop a data base to assist persons in choosing such a system. Given the Department's expressed lack of enthusiam for this legislation, and given the history of inattention to similar legislation (the Mining and Minerals Policy Act) by the Department of the Interior, it is not unreasonable to fear that these provisions of the Act may become a. dead letter. A specific dollar authorization for the Department of Commerce to carry out these duties, along with continuing Congres- sional oversight, are possible remedies. The Government should consider a variety of arrangements to disseminate information to industry. One such promising arrangement is the Industrial Waste Exchange of the St. Louis Regional Commerce and Growth Association, which has just completed its first listing.44 169 ------- Institutional Barriers Institutional barriers prevent increased recycling of municipal solid wastes. The solid waste of a single metropolitan area is often handled by a number of jurisdictions with conflicting interests. Many cities lack the power to contract for long-term delivery of waste; such contracts are often a precondition to private investment in recycling. Even where cities do have the necessary legal authority and where they face increasing costs for the disposal of waste (especially in the Northeast), they miss opportunities to recycle waste because of the inertia of their solid waste management bureaucracies.* Widespread awareness of opportunities for resource recovery is the first step toward overcoming \bureaucratic inertia and institutional barriers in this field. The ResouVce Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976 is a promising beginning. The Act directs EPA to provide financial assistance and technical assistance (through teams of experts in finance, marketing, technology, and law) to the States in developing and carrying out plans for solid waste disposal and resource recovery that will identify sources and markets. In order to qualify for assistance, a State plan must identify appropriate regional organizations authorized to deal with common solid waste disposal and resource recovery problems. The plan also must remove provisions prohibiting any local governments from entering into long-term contracts to supply solid waste to resource recovery facilities. The Nation's supply of materials will be used most efficiently when decisions about the use of materials are based upon their true costs. Although the recycling of waste material has often been treated as a good per se, the Commission believes that the principle of determining use by true costs applies just as fully to the resources contained in waste material as it does to the resources contained in virgin material. The Congress has already taken a number of commendable steps in the direction of implementing this principle. The Commission urges that it continue in this direction. REFERENCES 1 National Commission on Materials Policy, Final Report 4D-8 (1973), and Cosman, "Studies of Recycling Problems in Selected Industries," in Commission Document, Additional Background Studies. *For example, it costs Washington, D, C. $15 per ton to dispose of its municipal solid waste after collection. The city had an opportunity to sell collected waste to the Potomac Electric Power Company, where it would have been burned as fuel on a pilot plant scale and its energy value recovered. The city missed this opportunity in large part because no one was willing to contend with bureaucratic obstacles to the proposal; the city is now attempting to negotiate a larger regional energy recovery agreement with PEPCO. "Interviews, Dr. James G. Abert, National Center for Resource Recovery, Inc.; J. Robert Holloway, Resource Recovery Division, Office of Solid Waste Management Programs, Environmental Protection Agency. For a more general assessment of bureaucratic inertia in the solid waste field, see the address of Dr. E. S. Savas in House Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, Symposium on Resource Conservation and Recovery, Comm. Print, 94th Cong., 2d Sess., 9-12 (1976). 170 ------- 2 Kirby and Prokopovitsh, "Technological Insurance Against Shortages in Minerals and Metals," 191 Science 719 (February 20, 1976). " EPA, Third Report to Congress: Resource Recovery and Waste Reduction 10 (1975). 4 See Cosman, op. cit. '' House Committee on Foreign and Interstate Commerce, Materials Relating to the Resource Consen>ation and Recovery Act of 1976, 94th Congress, 2d Session, Comm. Print 64 (1976). " 41 Fed. Reg. 2362 (January 15, 1976) 7 See National Environment Policy Act of 1969, Pub. Law 91-190 (January 1, 1970), 42 USC §§ 4341 et seq.; Mining and Minerals Policy Act of 1970, Pub. Law 91-631 (December 31, 1970), 30 USC §219; Solid Waste Disposal Act, as amended by Resource Recovery Act of 1970, Pub. Law 89-272 (October 20, 1965), Pub. Law 91-312 (October 16, 1970), 42 USC §§3251 et seq.; Federal Nonnuclear Energy and Development Act of 1974, Pub. Law 93-577 (December 31, 1974), 42 USC §§ 5905-5906. " House Committee on Government Operation, Report No. 94-1319, 94th Congress, 2d Session 12 (1976). See also Blum, "Tapping Resources in Municipal Solid Waste," 191 Science 674 (February 20, 1976), and Spendlove, Recycling Trend.': in the United States: A Revim* 20 (Bureau of Mines Information Circular/1976). 11 See Statement by Talbot Page in Hearings, U.S. Senate Committee on Public Works, Panel on Materials Policy, 94th Congress, 2d Sess., 6 (May 20, 1976) (cited hereafter as Hearing), and Statement of Richard B. Scudder in House Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, Symposium on Resource Conservation and Recovery, Comm. Print, 94th Cong., 2d Sess. 83 (1976). 111 Baer, Johnson and Morrow, Analysis of Federally Funded Demonstration Projects, Experimental Technology Incentives Program, U.S. Department of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, Vol. 1, iv-v (April 1976). " House Committee on Interstate and Foreign Commerce, Materials Relating to the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act of 1976, 94th Congress, 2d Sess., Comm. Print 70-71 (1976); House Committee on Government Operations, Report No. 94-1319, 94th Congress, 2d Sess. 12 (1976). 12 House Committee on Government Operations, Report No. 94—1319, 94th Con- gress, 2d Sess. 6 (1976). 13 U.S. Treasury Department, Tax Reform Studies and Proposals, House Committee on Ways and Means and U.S. Senate Committee on Finance, 91st Congress, 1st Session, Comm. Print 99-100 (1969) (cited hereafter as Treasury Tax Reform Studies). 14 See, e.g., Miller, "Percentage Depletion and the Level of Domestic Mineral Production" 15 Natural Resources]. 248(1975). 15 Interview, Richard Johnson, Federal Trade Commission; also Cosman, "The Threat of an Iron Ore Cartel" (unpublished). 16 See Booz-Allen and Hamilton, An Evaluation o] the Impact of Discriminatory Taxation on the Use q/ Primary and Secondary Raw Material, (1975), and Environmental Law Institute, Federal Tax Policy and Depletahle Resources: Impacts and Alternatives for Recycling and Conservation (Draft, 1976). 17 See, e.g., Charles River Associates, Inc. "A Study of the Ferrous Scrap Market During the Shortage Period of 1973-1974" in National Commission Supplies and Shortages, The Commodities Shortages of 1973-74: Case Studies. 18 Miller, op.cit. 243-245. See also Mancke, The Failure of U.S. Energy Policy 85-87 (1974). 111 See Federal Trade Commission, Quarterly Financial Reports for Manufacturing, Mining and Trade Corporations, 1973-1976. FTC reported figures for the lumber industry only 1972-1974, and for the mining industry 1974-1976. 211 J. Allen Overton, President, American Mining Congress, letter to Dr. Eads, with enclosures, August 20, 1976; Simon D. Strauss, Executive Vice President, ASARCO, Inc., letter to Dr. Eads, October 5, 1976. 21 121 Cong. Record H.I 163, 1187-1189 (February 27, 1975), S.4233 (March 18, 1975). 22 Simon D. Strauss, Executive Vice President, ASARCO, Inc., letter to Dr. Eads, October5, 1976. 23 Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1977, Special Analysis F, 123; interview, Cynthia Wallace, Office of Tax Analysis, Treasury Department. 171 ------- 24 Treasury Tax Reform Studies 428. 25 Ibid. 2li Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1977, Special Analysis F, 123. 27 Treasury Tax Reform Studies, 435-438. 28 Arthur D. Little, Inc., Analysis of Demand and Supply for Secondary Fiber in the U.S. Paper and Paperboard Industry IV-7 (1975). 29 Treasury Tax Reform Studies 434-435. 311 American Paper Institute, Statistics of Paper and Paperboard. 31 Arthur D. Little, Inc., op. at. 111-49. 32 See, Greenfield "The National Forest Service and the Forest and Rangetand Renewable Resources Planning Act oyf 1974" 15 Natural Resources J, 605-606 (1975). 33 U.S. Senate Committee on Finance, Report No. 94-938, 94th Congress, 2d Session 578(1976). 34 122 Cong. Record S.I 1073 (June 30, 1976). 35 See statements of William J. Baumol and Leonard Lee Lane, Hearing. 3li Research Triangle Institute, An Evaluation of the Effectiveness and Costs of Regulatory and Fiscal Policy Instruments on Product Packaging, Environmental Protection Agency (March 1974). 37 Statement of Sheldon Meyers, Hearing. 38 Gudger and Walters "Beverage Container Regulation" 5 Ecology L.Q. 265 (1976). 3!< U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Domestic Commerce Staff Study, The Impacts of National Beverage Container Legislation (October 1975); FEA, Energy and Economic Impacts of Mandatory Deposits: Executive Summary (Sept. 1976); EPA, Third Report to Congress: Resource Recovery and Waste Reduction, 29-30 (1975). 411 See EPA, Second Report to Congress: Resource Recovery and Source Reduction 19—24 (1974). 41 Resources Planning Institute, Raw Materials Transportation Costs and Their Influence on the Use of Wastepaper and Scrap Iron and Steel, Environmental Protection Agency (April 1974). 42 General Accounting Office, Report to the Congress: Policies and Programs Being Developed to Expand Procurement oj Products Containing Recycled Materials 12 (May 18, 1976). 43 Ibid. 1,22-23. 44 Interview, Henri-Claude Bailly, Resource Planning Associates, Inc. 45 7 Solid Waste Report 76 (May 10, 1976). 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