United States
Environmental Protection
Agency
Research and Development    EPA
Washington, D. C.        600/9 78-001
20460             June 1978
Research
Outlook
1978
«EPA

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Foreword
  We have no magical ability to predict
what changes the future  will bring or
what responses will be required  of  our
research program. In  projecting  our
program into the future, we relv on three
major sources of  guidance. The first is
the legislation passed bv  the Congress
and signed into law bv the President. The
second is the model-based  projections of
major economic and  industrial trends.
The third is our experience and best in-
sight. The  former two sources are  dis-
cussed in some detail in this volume. The
third source was derived from the more
than 300 Agency scientists and engineers
involved in preparing this  report.
  In contrast with the two  previous ver-
sions of EPA's Research  Outlook,  this
1978 edition does not  begin with  our
program a.s it is. Instead, we seek to iden-
tify  developing environmental issues
over the next 10 to 20 years in order to
structure our research  for the next 5
years. Our  approach  should give  the
reader some insight into the perceptions
and motivations that shape our program
and actions.
  It is t h rough this t vpe of insight that we
hope to achieve two basic goals: the first
is communication; the second is trust.
  Bv setting out our priorities for open
debate,  we are beginning a process of
communication and interaction  which
will help to  shape  EPA's  research
strategies in the years to come. The ef-
forts and initiatives discussed in this  vol-
ume  must be conducted somewhere
within the  Federal environmental  re-
search and  development  community.
Not  all of the efforts outlined here  are
expected to be conducted bv EPA. Some
efforts may be more appropriate to other
agencies. (EPA. after all. conducts onlv
about one-fifth of the total Federal  en-
vironmental research effort.) Regardless
of where the efforts are conducted, how-
ever, a structure is necessary to assure ef-
fective  communication  of research
priorities, from the management level.
and of research results from the labora-
tory level. It is one of our most important
tasks  to  see that  this communication/
coordination is effective within our mul-
  The second goal of this report  is to
begin to develop an increased trust in
our judgment  as  researchers  and re-
search managers. We hope that, by spell-
ing out our most important  priorities
and philosophical  approaches in those
areas which can be discussed  in  non-
technological terms, we will  improve
your trust in our decision-making pro-
cesses. Like any other form of human
endeavor, science  is as much  intuition
and instinct  as it is  precision  and cer-
tainty. To  protect us from potential
crises five years hence, we must begin
our research into these  areas today.
Often we must  begin  with  little more
than a well-educated guess—a feeling
about where the key answers mav lie. It is
just such a process on which some of the
finest scientific achievements are built.
We hope that,  with the  background
provided by this report, we will help to
gain the trust we need to invest all of our
resources—money,  expertise, creativity
and dedication—to best resolve the en-
vironmental problems of today and
avoid those of tomorrow.
  With the  issuance of this year's Re-
search Outlook,  we are already well on
our wav to preparing for next year's ver-
sion. That edition, it is expected,  will
provide additional detail on the projects
and programs necessary  to meet our
priority requirements. Your review and
comments on this year's Research  Out-
look are welcomed. Such comments
serve to improve these documents and
the detailed program  which develops
from them.
Stephen J. Gaa;e

Assistant Admin
Research and Dt
                .•lopment

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Office of Research and Development
United States Environmental Protection Agency
Washington, D.C. 20460

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 Contents
 Summary 5
 Toxic substances 11
 Air pollution 17
 Energy and the environment 23
 Solid waste 29
Global pollution 33
 Nonionizing radiation 37
 Nonpoint sources and watersheds 41
 Measurement and monitoring 47
 Environmental futures 53
 Research options 59

Appendices
Interagency coordination 65
International coordination 71
The community health and
environmental surveillance system 79
Office of research and development 89
References 95

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                                                              Summary
  The Research Outlook provides a glimpse,
however murky, at those environmental is-
sues that we expect to become problems over
the next two decades. Where these problems
can be clearly seen, or where Presidential or
Congressional guidance is explicit, our dis-
cussions are more detailed and precise.
Where the  future vision is less clear, we rely
on our experience and expertise to give shape
and substance to potential problem areas. In
either case, this Outlook represents an impor-
tant first step in translating what our knowl-
edge and instincts tell us into a framework for
defining future research to strengthen the
nation's capacity for dealing effectively with
tomorrow's environmental problems.
  The topics covered  in this report were
selected to represent problem areas of major
concern. By no means exhaustive, these top-
ics reflect our best estimate of the trends and
factors which should drive future environ-
mental research. Each of these eight topics—
toxic substances, air pollution, energy and the
environment, solid waste, global pollution,
nonionizing radiation, nonpoint sources and
watersheds, and measurement and  mon-
itoring—were selected because of their rela-
tionship to severe threats to human health
and the natural environment. The following
chapters present a sense of relative priority
for dealing with each of the problem areas, a
set  of health  and environmental protection
goals to guide our research efforts on these
potential problems, and a brief description of
the relative level  of resource commitments
required to ensure  significant progress to-
ward meeting the goals.
Toxic substances—
prediction and control
  Our advanced industrial economy relies on
thousands of substances which did not exist
on this planet until the last  few decades.
These substances were developed because of
their  extraordinary properties of strength,
durability, reactivity, conductivity, or toxicity.
Americans—as well as the citizens of all in-
dustrialized  nations—are  exposed to these
substances with every breath of air, drink of
water, and swallow of food.
  Presidential and  Congressional recogni-
tion of the pervasive threat of environmental
toxicants to human health has now taken
form  in the Toxic Substances Control and
Resource Conservation and Recovery Acts
and the amendments to the Clean Air and
Clean Water Acts. This re-chartering of
EPA's mandate to protect public health de-
mands that the highest priority research area
be the prediction and control of toxic sub-
stances.
  To  control toxic substances, we must first
predict their environmental behavior and ef-
fects.  Every research tool at our disposal—
epidemiology,  toxicology, and chemical
analysis—must be used to accurately  predict
the harmful biological effects of any chemical
through any exposure route. The early de-
velopment of rapid testing procedures—our
highest priority in the short term—is neces-
sary to provide this capability  to predict. In
the process, we must develop a fuller under-
standing of the biochemical mechanisms in-
volved. Such mechanisms are complex; it will
be necessary to explore many  different test-
ing procedures to assure a greater likelihood
of success.
  To  test such a large number of chemicals,
they must first be grouped, if possible, ac-
cording to  their potential effects. These
groups should then be ranked according to
their  potential hazard. Then we need to re-
late these groupings of chemicals to  genetic
and reproductive effects in  order to  protect
future generations. Next, we  need to avoid
the risk of damaging  human  development,
aging, and behavior; and, finally, we  need to
eliminate risk of disease or early death.
  One approach to determining the  toxicity
of chemicals is to test each chemical through a
screening system. Chemicals can be screened
by chemical and biological methods. Multiple
tests can be used to sequentially screen chem-
icals as safe, unsafe, or possibly unsafe. Each
test in the sequence is more expensive than
the previous test,  and the  successive  steps
would be required when a chemical has been
determined to be potentially unsafe. The cost

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 of further testing in the sequence could re-
 duce the potential commercial benefit of the
 chemical, hence bringing economics to work
 in protecting public health.
   Such screening efforts must not only test
 the chemical itself, but must also consider the
 physical, chemical, and biological processes
 which may change the chemical  once it
 reaches the environment. Such  natural pro-
 cesses as  exposure to sunlight, to water and
 dissolved substances, or to the metabolisms of
 living creatures could transform an initially
 harmless chemical into a toxic one. If we do
 err in our screening efforts, we must err on
 the side of falsely indicating that a harmless
 substance is possibly unsafe, thus requiring
 further testing, rather than falsely indicating
 that a toxic substance is safe.

 Air pollution—
 the ubiquitous aerosol
   During the past two decades,  we have de-
 veloped some understanding of the effects of
 gaseous  air  pollutants such as carbon
 monoxide, ozone, and sulfur oxides. Our at-
 tention is now shifting to  the  complex of
 aerosols*  which pollute the air over large
 areas of the country.
   Aerosols come from many sources. The in-
 creased combustion of coal, for example, is
 expected  to contribute greatly to sulfur and
 nitrogen oxide emissions during the next 15
 years. These pollutants  are precursors—
 chemical forebears—of secondary pollutants
 of higher toxicity (e.g., sulfates and nitrates).
 In the process of this transformation, these
 gaseous pollutants may go through a forma-
 tive aerosol phase during which they combine
 with water in the atmosphere to form acids.
 These acids, it is now thought, then react with
 metallic air pollutants to create  the sulfates
 and nitrates which may be among the toxic
 pollutants from which we suffer. Adding to
 these aerosol problems are the complex sec-
 ondary pollutants generated in the urban at-
 mosphere by reactions of hydrocarbons and
 nitrogen oxides, largely produced by auto-
 mobiles and trucks.
   In addition to its chemical properties, the
biological hazard of an air pollutant also de-
pends upon its size. Larger aerosols may be
captured by  the  body's defense  mech-

*Aeroso!s are fine bits of matter suspended in air.
 Often in a state of transition, they can contain sol-
 ids, liquids, and gases at the same time and can
 undergo chemical  reactions which  gradually
 change their properties. Aerosols are formed out
 of the "chemical soup" of pollutants in our atmo-
 sphere, and, when  inhaled, may be extremely
 harmful.
 anisms—the mucous linings of the sinuses
 and throat—and then swallowed. This can
 cause harmful effects via the digestive tract.
 The smaller and more typical aerosols may be
 carried deep into the lungs, where they may
 be capable of creating severe effects, such as
 exacerbating emphysema  or causing  lung
 cancer.
   Because of the likely growth of atmospher-
 ic aerosols  and their pervasive threat to
 human health, understanding and control-
 ling such aerosols must be the second highest
 priority research area. We must improve our
 knowledge of how aerosols are formed in the
 atmosphere and how they react and move
 long distances. We must improve our under-
 standing of the relationship among the expo-
 sure, type, and size of aerosols; the ability of
 the human  body to  counteract the effects;
 and the ultimate damage to the body. Al-
 though the experiments required to under-
 stand such subtle effects are more sophisti-
 cated than traditional inhalation experiments
 with gaseous pollutants, it is important that
 we accelerate our health effects studies on
 atmospheric aerosols.
  In addition to their impacts  on human
 health, aerosols combined with other air pol-
 lutants can lead  to poor visibility and acidic
 precipitation. With an improved understand-
 ing of aerosol formation in the environment,
 we can  then  use maps of pollutant sources
 and environmental conditions to better  pre-
 dict exposure routes and  patterns. These
 predictions can then be used to support more
 precisely targeted efforts to control pollutant
emissions.

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 Energy and the environment—
 assuring compatibility
  The National Energy Plan requires that we
 conserve our oil and natural gas by shifting to
 greater  reliance  on coal and conservation
 and, to a lesser extent, on nuclear power and
 oil shale.  Determining the possible conse-
 quences of these alternatives provides the
 rare opportunity of  using foresight rather
 than hindsight to control  our national de-
 velopment. Our  main priority is to predict
 and  control any  health and environmental
 risks from toxic substances and atmospheric
aerosols resulting from coal combustion and
conversion processes. Because of the close in-
terrelationship between this area and the two
higher priority areas and the potential im-
 pacts of massive shifts to coal, this area is the
third highest priority research area.

 Solid waste—
 turning wastes into assets
  The growth in  tonnage of solid wastes over
 the next 15 years is expected to  be  much
 greater  than that of airborne or  waterborne
 pollutants. This  increase is  attributable to
 economic growth and to the improved con-
 trol of pollutants which would otherwise have
 been released into the air and water, but are
 now being removed in solid or  semisolid
 forms. A significant  fraction of this waste,
especially  industrial sludges, contains toxic
 substances.
  Because  of the rapid growth  in quantity
and  the growing awareness of the toxic na-
ture of  some of  the wastes, this area  is the
fourth  highest priority research  area.
Methods must be developed which will pre-
vent toxic solid waste from being released at
handling and disposal facilities in the form of
dust or leachates. Our main priorities are to
prevent such release by developing detoxifi-
cation techniques, recovering waste as a re-
source,  substituting products that result in
less waste, and informing consumers of lfss
wasteful alternatives.
Global pollution—
earth's survival
  The ability of the earth's biosphere to con-
tinue to absorb the brunt of human activities
has recently been hotly debated on at least
three issues—the threatof depletingour pro-
tective ozone layer, the increased release of
carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, and the
increased exploitation and pollution of the
oceans.
  Because of potential long-term importance
of such subtle effects to all people,  under-
standing and predicting the effects of human
activity on the biosphere is the fifth highest
priority research area. We should study the
combined effects of human activities in the
oceans, the troposhere, and the stratosphere.
A better understanding of natural global cy-
cles may be necessary if we are to determine
how these cycles are  affected by human ac-
tivities. For example, since the nitrogen cycle
is emerging as  a possible prototype  for
understanding the limits to the buffering
capability of nature, we could focus in-
creasingly on improving our understanding
of the global nitrogen cycle.
  Many nitrogen compounds are toxic. Nitric
oxides are precursors to airborne nitrates and
airborne nitrates may be an important ele-
ment of increased acidic precipitation. Nitric
oxide emitted by high altitude aircraft may
also deplete the stratospheric ozone layer. Ni-
trites  and nitrates can pose health hazards
when  leached into sources of drinking water.
Nitrogenous compounds in coal and oil shale
may also require strict  controls to  protect
human  health. Research into these areas
should provide important pieces to the puzzle
that is our global environment.

Nonionizing radiation—
effects of the unseen
  Our exposure  to  nonionizing radiation
from radio, television, electrical transmission,
and microwave sources  is growing rapidly.
Growth in such exposure and some disquiet-
ing research results strongly support the ex-
pansion of research in this area to determine
if more stringent control of electromagnetic
radiation sources is necessary.
  This—the sixth highest priority research
area—is aimed  at understanding the more
subtle, nonthermal effects of nonionizing
radiation and its possible impacts both alone
and in combination with other stresses. Prime
candidates for expanded research are the ef-
fects of radiation in the communications (mi-
crowave) and commercial (UHF-TV) radio
frequency bands.

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 Nonpoint sources of pollution—
 limits to assimilation
   Within a decade, the major point sources of
 pollution (industries and municipalities) are
 expected to be well on their way to controlling
 the most significant water pollutants. A larger
 (in terms of sheer volume of pollution) and
 perhaps a more intractable problem is the
 control of water pollutants from farming and
 forestry, poorly planned land uses, atmo-
 spheric pollution fallout, and other such
 nonpoint sources. Such influences  can have
 severe immediate and long-term impacts on
 watersheds and, eventually, upon groundwa-
 ter.
   Because nonpoint sources will remain the
 major sources  of water pollution  over the
 next two decades, understanding these
 sources and being able to predict  their im-
 pacts on watersheds is the seventh highest
 priority research area. Land use fundamen-
 tally  modifies  a watershed and its  ability
 to store water. This factor can alter the
 productivity of the  land,  the quality of
 downstream water, and  the purity of
 groundwater.  Once  contaminated,  our
 groundwater resources—a major source of
 drinking water—may require generations for
 reclamation, and such contaminants  can
 travel in unexpected directions. We cannot
 afford to lose groundwater resources as a re-
 sult of unguided decisions. We must provide
 adequate predictive information to local or
 regional decision-makers regarding the en-
 vironmental implications of their actions. Fi-
 nally, rain containing air pollutants imports
 acids and other substances into the water ba-
 sin. This rainfall can then leach nutrients
 from acidic soils, thus requiring greater use
 of fertilizers  if  land is to retain its original
 productivity. We must, therefore, determine
 if regionally based  air quality  control
 strategies are required to protect the pro-
 ductivity of the land and water.
  The watershed integrates the impacts of
 many pollution sources—both point and
 nonpoint. It  thus emerges as the  key  hy-
drological  unit  upon  which to base our
studies of water pollution.
Measurement, monitoring—
telling what's where
  The detection of the multitude of different
pollutants at various locations throughout the
country is,  at present, prohibitively expen-
sive. More precise and cost-effective methods
and equipment  will be  required before a
comprehensive monitoring system can be
provided. At the same time, a firm commit-
ment should be made to a disciplined, long-
term monitoring effort to accurately describe
our physical, chemical, and biological envi-
ronment and to improve our understanding
of the dynamics of that environment.
  In this eighth highest priority  research
area, we should not only emphasize the accu-
rate gathering of data during the next few
years, but also the linking of the many data
bases now or soon to be available. Through
such linkages, we may expect to  discover
causal  relationships between  the various
components of the complex system we call the
environment. The discovery of such relation-
ships, especially concerning toxic substances,
can vastly improve our ability to anticipate
pollution problems, which may threaten
human health, and  to focus our resources
where they will be most effective in prevent-
ing those problems.

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                                              Toxic  substances
Goals
The goals of the toxic substances research
effort are to reduce the threat of toxic sub-
stances to human health and the environ-
ment by improving screening tests for the
toxicity of substances, to detect the presence
of potential toxic substances  through
studies of historical health and disease pat-
terns  (epidemiology), to determine  how
each major toxic pollutant travels through
the environment, how it changes, and how it
affects humans at various dose levels, and,
finally, to develop improved means of con-
trolling these pollutants.

  Since 1945, there has been a rapid increase
in industrial development, particularly in the
production of chemicals. More than four mil-
lion distinct entries are now contained in the
Chemical Abstracts Service of the American
Chemical Society, and the Service's chemical
registry is growing at the rate of about 6,000
new chemicals per week. (Ref. 1). There may
be 50,000 chemicals in common use exclud-
ing pesticides, pharmaceuticals, and food ad-
ditives (Ref.  1).
  Toxic  substances  cause adverse environ-
mental effects ranging from mild temporary
dysfunction of organisms and ecosystems to
acute  symptoms, disorders or death. Some
toxic substances cause cancer. Some estimates
are that up to 90 percent of all malignancies
may be induced by, or related to, environ-
mental factors (Ref.  2) such as smoking, diet,
stress, and air and water quality.
  In this context, environmental factors in-
clude  all stresses within the human environ-
ment, with the exception of an inherited sus-
ceptibility to cancer. Environmental  factors
include both voluntary and involuntary ex-
posure  to carcinogenic substances, smoke,
X-rays, occupational and household  toxi-
cants, water pollutants, naturally  occurring
toxins, and "life-style" traits such as delayed
childbirth.
  Statistics on cancer mortality collected since
1900 indicate increased cancer death "rates.
From 1933 to 1975, there was an annual in-
crease  of about 1 percent. After 1975, that
rate grew to 2.3 percent per year (Ref. 2).
  Part of this increase is attributable to an
overall aging of the population.  Cancer is
primarily a disease of middle and old age, and
our current living  conditions allow more
people to live to an age when cancer is likely.
Better diagnostic techniques and  improved
reporting procedures in cases of death may
also account for some of this increase.
  Most observers believe, however,  that there
has been a true increase in the total cancer
death rate* in the United States, especially for
men. Although attributable in part to  a
greater susceptibility to lung cancer related to
smoking, increases in mortality for both white
and nomvhite males (20 and 60  percent, re-
spectively) indicate a need for an expanded
research effort on factors related to occupa-
tional and environmental exposures (Ref. 3).
  Many potentially toxic chemicals are com-
ponents  of consumer products. These in-
clude tars from cigarettes,  chloroform  in
cough medicines, benzene in paint remover,
and "Tris" in children's pajamas. Substances
such as asbestos and vinyl chloride have been
linked  to incidences of cancer  among ex-
posed workers.  Recently,  potentially toxic
substances have been identified in  several
drinking water supplies.
  The toxic substances problem is so great
that resources available throughout the Fed-
eral  government must be  mobilized and
coordinated to meet the challenge. An excel-
lent  start is the recent formation of the
four-member Interagency Regulatory
Liaison  Group. The members are EPA, the
Food and Drug Administration, the Occupa-
tional Safety and Health Administration, and
the Consumer Product Safety Commission.
EPA also maintains strong ties with the Food
and Drug Administration's National Center
for Toxicological Research. EPA has partici-
pated with the  National  Institute  of En-
vironmental Health Sciences in identifying
research needs in, and developing implemen-
tation plans for, human health and the envi-
ronment.
  Research can improve our ability to iden-
tify mechanisms which lead to biological
end-points—effects produced by the same or
different  chemicals acting through  one or
more mechanisms. Such  effects are ex-
pressed in terms of an alteration of some
known  physiologic  or biochemical process.
When complex processes are involved, the
tasks of identifying the ways the  chemicals
can interact and defining cause-and-effect re-
lationships are more difficult.
  In addition, there is a serious need to de-
fine  the behavioral,  developmental, and
aging effects from exposure to toxic agents.
Behavioral changes could be studied for pos-
sible use  as sensitive  indices of acute and
chronic toxicity. Developmental and aging
phe nomena may be of similar utility as indica-
tions of a toxic response. All of these areas
*For more information on the rates and risks of
 cancer, refer to "Cancer Rates and Risks" pre-
 pared by the National Cancer Institute (Ref. 3).
                   11

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  help to refine our ability to identify for con-
  trol those substances which are toxic to hu-
  mans.

  Controlling the problem
   Industry releases waste into the air, water,
  municipal  sewage treatment systems, and
  onto the land. The composition and quantity
  of these substances depend on the industrial
  process employed. For example, in the pro-
  duction of copper, pollutants containing ar-
  senic, cadmium, lead, and sulfur oxides pre-
  dominate. Conversely,  the meat processing
  industry waste streams contain organic mate-
  rials such as animal fats and organic nitrogen
 compounds.
   The amounts of toxic pollutants reaching
  the environment will be reduced through the
 application  of "best  available"  control
 technologies to air and water waste streams.
  However, stringent control of air and water
 pollutants also means that those pollutants
 are  converted to  solid or liquid residuals.
 These  residuals must either be recycled or
 dealt with through some form of land dis-
 posal.
   Current methods of disposal and recycling
 of wastes  and byproducts may ultimately
 compound the health and ecological effects
 of substances introduced into the environ-
 ment. For instance, inadequate land disposal
 techniques  can lead  to  the assimilation of
 toxic substances by plants. Pesticides  or in-
 dustrial wastes in  uncontrolled runoff can
 enter streams and be absorbed by aquatic or-
 ganisms, shellfish, and finfish. These chemi-
 cals can accumulate through the food chain to
 affect higher order predators. Part of the rea-
 son  for banning  the pesticide DDT, for
 example, stemmed from its apparent role in
 reducing the thickness of eggshells  and,
 hence, the survival  rate of fish-eating birds.
   The ability  of various  species, including
 humans, to accumulate particular toxic mate-
 rials is poorly known and should be carefully
 investigated. To support this effort we need
 to develop predictive tools to simulate the
 dynamic physical, chemical, and biological in-
 teractions of toxic  substances after their re-
 lease into the environment.
   We  must improve our knowledge of
 sources of toxic substances formed by atmo-
 spheric chemical reactions. For instance, we
 should expand our attempts to determine if
 carcinogenic or toxic  materials such as ni-
 trosamines are formed in the air above urban
 industrialized  areas. A combination of labo-
 ratory and field experiments will probably be
 required to connect  the secondary atmo-
spheric sources of these materials, if found in
 the  atmosphere, to the primary emission
 sources.
   We have made significant progress in con-
 trolling such  water pollutants as oxygen-
 depleting substances and nutrients. On the
 other hand, our surveys are identifying hun-
 dreds  of toxic substances in surface  and
 groundwaters. Throughout the  nation,
 heavy  metals,  organic compounds, radioac-
 tive  materials, and other hazardous sub-
 stances have been measured  in both surface
 and  groundwater. These substances occur in
 amounts ranging from trace levels to toxic
 concentrations (Ref. 4, 5). This contamina-
 tion  is especially acute where the receiving
 waters are subject to drainage from industrial
 wastewater impoundments and solid waste
 disposal areas (Ref. 4, 5). For a fuller discus-
 sion, see the chapter on Nonpoint Sources and
 Watersheds.
   Once a  body of water, especially ground-
 water,  is polluted with toxic materials, decon-
 tamination using current technology is ex-
 tremely expensive  if not  impossible. Two
 prime  examples of this are  leachates from
 coal  mine tailings and organics in industrial
 effluents—both serious and  growing prob-
 lems requiring additional development of
 control technologies.
  To prevent toxic substances from reaching
drinking water supplies, greater emphasis is
being placed on developing control technol-
ogies to remove toxic pollutants before they
Possible Ames Test Results
             Positive
   Agent appears mutagenic via
   Ames test and is also found
   to be mutagenic by other
   tests.
             Negative
   Agent appears not to be
   mutagenic via Ames tests,
   other tests indicate that it is
   not mutagenic.
       False Positive
Agent appears mutagenic via
Ames tests, other tests (e.g.,
whole animal) indicate that it
is not a mutagen.
       False Negative
Agent appears not to be
mutagenic via Ames test,
other tests, however, indicate
that it is, in fact, mutagenic.
 False negatives are a problem because those mutagenicaliy active components, when tested by the Ames method
 appear ncnmatagenic and, hence, are no longer considered important.
 In these boassays, it is imperative to conduct a battery of tests, so that the chance of faise negatives occurring is
 reduced, i.e., the Ames test may overlook a mutagen (fa'se negative), while a backup test would might not
                                                               12

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                                 are discharged. One technique offering great
                                 potential for reducing the amount and toxic-
                                 ity of industrial effluents at minimum ex-
                                 pense is process or feedstock modification.
                                 Many existing industrial plants and processes
                                 were developed with little or no concern for
                                 the toxicity of their waste products.  Some-
                                 times relatively minor modifications  to the
                                 processes or the chemical feedstocks can re-
                                 duce or eliminate a potentially severe effluent
                                 problem.  Additional research in this area
                                 could produce dramatic results by reducing
                                 pollution at a lower cost than for alternative
                                 end-of-the-pipe technologies.
                                   Toxic substances  may also be released  to
                                 the environment as solid wastes. With recent
                                 enactment of the Resource Conservation and
                                 Recovery Act, research efforts are being initi-
                                 ated to  develop improved solid waste man-
                                 agement techniques  and to understand the
Predicted Discharge of Toxics to Water31975 to 1990
              Toxic
             Material
           (Dissolved
          Solids)
•-!?

W * '
f 3
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n

f:

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l
Cadmium
Chromium
Lead
Mercury
Zinc
Aluminum
Copper
Cyanide
Ferrous Metals
Fluoride
Selenium
Titanium Oxidec
Titanium Oxided
>

170%
7%


45%



24%
1%


0%

149%





0%

- -
8%

0%
2%
2%
0%
0%

5%
17%
0%


0%b
29%
5%
4%
0%

9%
0%
33%



.».,,™a«3SiS:

0%

0%

0%
0%




«iaii:tst*K*i


47%


18%





•I/
'Data are 1990 va'ues as pe-cent of 1975
 values
                               Dissolved solids
movement of hazardous substances through
the environment. The Solid Waste chapter
discusses this problem in detail.

The research response
  Five areas of research emerge  as key to
identifying and controlling toxic substances:

  —improve screening tests,
  —conduct historical health analyses,
  —determine how pollutants travel and
    where they end up,
  —identify human exposure to toxic pollut-
    ants, and
  —identify improved control methods.

  Improve  screening tests. We  must im-
prove techniques for rapid screening of toxic
substances, especially for mutagenic and car-
cinogenic effects.  Substances  which cause
these effects are among the most dangerous
to our health and the viability—survival—of
future generations.  We must know for cer-
tain what and where these substances are.
  The Ames test, a relatively well established
measure of mutagenicity, is expected  to be
validated by the \ational Cancer Institute in
1978. However, this is but one of several tests
that can determine the biological hazard of a
substance.
  Another method for testing the mutagenic-
ity of substances is to expose living organisms
to these substances and monitor their  re-
sponse. Such testing on whole animals and
cellular material should be improved both in
terms of accuracy and costs. To relate these
approaches  more directly to human health
concerns, the use  of test cultures employing
human cells should  be emphasized. In addi-
tion, short-term  tests for substances which
cause birth  defects  and other reproductive
effects should be developed.
  Determine historical health  effects pat-
terns.  Systematic  investigation of exposures
and effects based on historical data provides a
way to check the toxicity of a substance based
upon the health records of individuals who
have been exposed  to that  substance.
Epidemiological data—from hospital admit-
tance,  diagnosis,  and  post-mortem
examination—may be used to identify exist-
ing dangers from exposure to different toxic
substances. Correlations of such data—
confirmed by surveys of occupational or en-
vironmental exposures, studies of tissue bur-
dens, and disease analysis—will help not only
to identify sensitive populations but also to as-
sure an adequate margin of safety to protect
the general population. Development of ex-
posure effects correlations based on historical
                                                     13

-------
 data may be facilitated using the UPGRADE sys-
 tem described in the chapter on Measurement
 and Monitoring.
   Investigate how pollutants travel. In most
 cases, accurate knowledge about what hap-
 pens to a toxic substance after it enters an
 ecosystem—how  it travels through  and is
 changed in the environment—is  not now
 available. The problem is extremely complex.
 The routes and transformations of toxic sub-
 stances, especially in the aquatic  environ-
 ment, and the resulting exposure of humans
 and other  living  creatures require further
 understanding.
   Toxic wastes can be concentrated in the
 food chain. For example, mercury  and cad-
 mium levels in fish, shellfish, and their preda-
 tors are far higher than the levels in their
 food or surroundings. To better understand
 this process of bioaccumulation, indicator
 species—species whose response to specific
 toxic substances is well known—should be
 identified  and monitored. Profiles of how-
 selected "benchmark" chemicals behave in
the environment should be developed to
 predict how related chemicals act under simi-
lar conditions.
   Identify human exposure. To protect hu-
 mans from toxic substances we should iden-
 tify the type of substances in the environment
 and quantify the level of exposure currently
 encountered. To do this, we will have to con-
 duct many tests to identify toxic substance
 residues and metabolites in human and ani-
 mal tissues. Since people are exposed to toxic
 substances via many routes, we must obtain
 chemical analyses of samples from all of those
 environments—indoor, outdoor, automo-
 bile, etc.—which people frequent.
   The effects of exposure to environmental
 chemicals on  human development, aging,
 and behavior should also be better  under-
 stood. Damage during the stages of human
 development from  prenatal to old age may
 result in irreversible effects. Short-term tests
 are  needed to determine  the influence  of
 toxic chemicals in  developmental and  de-
 generative diseases.
   Identify  improved  control methods.
 Given the ability to identify toxic levels of pol-
 lutants  and to trace them back through the
 ecosystem—the air, water and food  we
 use—to their sources, we can then begin to
 control the  sources. Where current
 technologies either fail to control certain sub-
 stances or create secondary pollutants of their
 own, we will have to go further. For example,
 many wastewater treatment technologies now
 in use fail to remove toxic metals to an ade-
 quate degree. Improved  control technologies
 such  as sulfide  precipitation should  be de-
 veloped to reduce the discharge of such met-
 als. Other alternatives, such  as changing the
 processes which produce  the pollutant,
 should also be developed. For example, elec-
 troplating processes which  do not  require
 cyanide or hexavalent chromium (two highly
 toxic substances) should  be investigated.
  Once a toxic substance has been released
 and  has contaminated  the environment,
 other approaches  must be used to limit
 human  exposure. For example, some toxic
 metals and organic chemicals may settle and
concentrate in river bottoms, in soils adjacent
to manufacturing facilities, and in poorly de-
signed or managed landfills. Further re-
search is necessary into methods to contain,
detoxify, or recover for recycling such mate-
rials from their current hazardous state in the
environment.
                                                              14

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Potential Chemical Carcinogens
                                          15

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William Shakespeare
1564-1616
Hamlet

-------
                                                          Air  pollution
Goals
The goals of the national air pollution re-
search efforts are to improve  our under-
standing of the formation and transport of
atmospheric aerosol pollutants, the poten-
tially serious risks that these aerosols pre-
sent to the public health and the environ-
ment, and the possible alternatives for re-
ducing human exposures to these pervasive
pollutants.

  Atmospheric aerosols will likely preoccupy
much of the attention of the nation's scientists
who conduct research on air pollution. We
have, during the past two decades, developed
reasonable confidence in our understanding
of how the major gaseous pollutants such as
carbon monoxide, sulfur oxides, nitrogen
oxides, and ozone are formed and how they
affect human health. We also know that these
gases react chemically in the "chemical soup"
of the atmosphere,  often to form aerosols.
We are now focusing increased effort on the
complex of the secondary (formed in the at-
mosphere) aerosols which are found in the air
throughout the country.
  Because of the apparent complexity of the
atmospheric chemistry involved, we cannot
fully characterize these aerosols. We do know
that they are fine bits of matter, often contain-
ing solids, liquids, and gases at the same time.
We also know that  the gaseous pollutants,
especially sulfur and nitrogen oxides, are im-
portant  chemical  precursors to  these
aerosols. A simplified view of one set of reac-
tions which occur is that the sulfur and nitro-
gen oxides are oxidized in air and react with
water to form acids which, in turn, react with
metallic particulate pollutants to form com-
plex sulfates and nitrates. If the  polluted air
mass is involved  in precipitation, the water-
soluble acids may appear in the rain or snow.
Of course, few things in nature are that sim-
ple, especially when reactive hydrocarbons
and the photochemical oxidants which they
produce are added to the mixture.
  The result of our improved understanding
of the complex  interactions in the  atmo-
sphere is that we must continue to focus on
providing adequate control of the sources of
the gaseous pollutants—power plants, indus-
trial plants, automobiles, and trucks. At  the
same time, we must sharpen our understand-
ing of what the reaction products are, where
they go, and how they affect people, agricul-
tural crops, forests, and the natural environ-
ment.
Sources and trends
  The major sources of sulfur  oxides are
power plants burning coal with high sulfur
content.  Industrial  boilers and nonferrous
smelters  are  other  important  contributors.
Nationwide emissions of sulfur dioxide have
been dropping due  primarily to the shift to-
ward oil, natural gas and coals with lower sul-
fur content. However, even with  sulfur
dioxide  scrubbers  on new  power plants,
nationwide sulfur dioxide emissions are pro-
jected to rise during the next  12 years. As dis-
cussed in the Environmental Futures chapter,
this increase is due to the massive shift to coal
in the utility and industrial sectors.
  Power plants and industrial boilers are also
responsible for a major share of the particu-
late emissions and about half of the nitrogen
oxide emissions. Particulate  emissions have
been dropping and should continue to drop,
with the installation of improved electrostatic
precipitators, wet scrubbers,  and baghouses.
at least through 1985. Because coal is a much
dirtier fuel than  oil or gas, however, particu-
late emissions may turn  up again beyond
1985, meaning that  we will have to continue
to investigate the role of particles in air pollu-
tion chemistry and health effects. As far as air
pollution chemistry  is concerned, it appears
that  the fine particles (those  smaller than
three microns) are more likely to be involved
in chemical reactions. These small particles
are also more likely  to be direct causes of re-
spiratory problems  because  they can be in-
haled deeply into the lungs.  Further, recent
work  has indicated  that some of this fly ash
gives  positive results in the Ames screening
tests for mutagenicity. Unfortunately, cur-
rently used precipitators and scrubbers allow
many of the fine particles to  escape.
  Nitrogen oxide  emissions,  which come
from  the combustion of fossil  fuels and are
split  evenly  between  transportation and
boiler sources, have leveled off in recent vears
due to the economic slowdown and automo-
tive control measures. Unfortunately,  pro-
jections  indicate that nitrogen oxide emis-
sions are beginning to grow again and may be
up 25 percent by 1985. Although some of the
immediate increase  is due  to  delays in apply-
ing more stringent controls on automobiles,
the overriding factor in the increase is the
growth in the utility sector and the shift in
that sector toward coal. Coal-fired boilers re-
lease  three to six times as  much nitrogen
oxides as do oil and  gas-fired boilers.  Unfor-
tunately, there are not nou  at hand control
techniques to reduce markedly the nitrogen
oxides from coal-fired boilers,  although cer-
tain combustion  modification techniques are
                    17

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  Urban Sulfate Concentrations
 Legend:
 Q] < 7Mg/m3
 Q 7.0-13.0 /ig''m3
   I > 13.0/ug/m3
 Nonurban Sulfate Concentrations
Source U S Environmental Proleciion Agency. 1975
                                                         IS

-------
                                   showing great promise in  early laboratory
                                   tests.
                                     Carbon  monoxide  and hydrocarbons,
                                   which come primarily from incomplete com-
                                   bustion in car and truck engines, have been
                                   decreasing and will continue to do so with the
                                   application of the catalytic converters. Hy-
                                   drocarbon emissions from fugitive industrial
                                   sources (such as evaporation, leaks, and spills)
                                   may turn out to be a problem in some areas.
                                     The  potentially  rapid  penetration of
                                   diesel-powered cars and light trucks into the
                                   United  States market—up to 25 percent by
                                   1990—raises another problem which must be
                                   considered in this context (Ref. 1). Relative to
                                   automobiles equipped  with catalysts,  light-
                                   duty diesel engines would emit much more
Air Pollutant Emission Trends
Legend ^Stationary source    E.:J Mobile source
Source US Environmental Protection Agency, 1976
fine paniculate matter (diesel soot) which
consists of unburned hydrocarbons and the
products of partial combustion attached to
micron-scale particles  of carbon. EPA re-
search has indicated that some of the prod-
ucts give positive results in the Ames tests for
mutagenicity.
  Taken altogether, these developments in-
dicate that, while progress is being  made in
controlling some air pollutants, projected
growth  in other air pollutants coupled with
our expanded knowledge of atmospheric
transformation and transport  raises serious
concerns about regional air quality degrada-
tion and the associated health effects. These
trends help to focus our attention on the
problems of widespread secondarv. espe-
cially aerosol, air pollution.
  We are already concentrating on the com-
plex relationship between  sulfur  dioxide
emissions  and atmospheric sulfates. Recent
field studies by  EPA  indicate that sulfur
dioxide in power plant plumes is convened to
sulfates over long distances (100 to 500
kilometers). Thus, the effect of sulfur dioxide
pollution may be felt over a broad area.
  Recent  measurements of sulfate  concen-
trations give general support to this  observa-
tion. Sulfate concentrations in cities east of
the Mississippi tend to be high, with the high-
est readings recorded in cities lying in a band
from  New York  to Chicago.  While sulfate
concentrations  in  rural  areas are  typically
somewhat  lower, they  are considerably ele-
vated across the eastern half of the  countrv,
with the Mid-Atlantic and industrial  Midwest
most affected. In fact, when weather patterns
are taken  into  account,  the areas with the
highest  rural sulfate concentrations appear to
be 'downwind' from the most intense urban
and industrial sources of sulfur dioxide.
  Although sulfate concentrations west  of
the Mississippi River are relatively low, the ef-
fect of the  sulfate aerosol on visibility in that
region has become a major issue. One of our
most important recent  discoveries is that the
atmospheric particles in the size range of 0.1
to 1.0 micron are largely responsible for light
scattering and,  thus, for visibility  deg-
radation. With the rapid growth of coal-fired
power plants which is projected for the West,
there is  a real potential for decreased visibil-
ity,  in the vicinity of national parks and other
scenic vistas, due to sulfates and fine  particles
coming  from coal combustion.
  One recent graphic example of the effect
of sulfates on visibility  involves another im-
portant  source of sulfur oxides in  the South-
west. During a strike at copper smelters in the
Southwest, the smelters were shut down for
                                                       19

-------
  nine months. As a result, sulfate levels were
  38 to 75 percent below seasonal averages. Vis-
  ibility measurements at airports in the region
  improved by 5 to 25 percent.
    There is also growing evidence that nitro-
  gen oxides and photochemical oxidanis may
  be following the same general  trend—
  conversion and transport over considerable
  distance. Recent studies have indicated that
  nitrogen oxides may  be emerging as an  im-
  portant precursor to  nitric acid which is in-
  creasingly showing up in precipitation in New-
  England, far from the dominant combustion
  sources in the industrial Midwest.
    \Ve must improve  our understanding of
  the dynamics of transport and transforma-
  tion of the atmospheric aerosol and fine par-
  ticulate complex. Field studies should be  ex-
  panded to improve our knowledge  of how
 sulfur and nitrogen oxides are  oxidized to
 acidic chemicals and how other atmospheric
 pollutants interact with them in the aerosols.


 Effects on health
   The aerosol complex may have more seri-
 ous effects on human  health than the sulfur
 and nitrogen oxides in gaseous form. Nitro-
 gen dioxide has been associated with acute  ef-
 fects in sufferers of respirator) disease, even
 for short exposures, while sulfur dioxide has
 been associated with  asthma attacks. More
 serious problems may result from exposure
 to the fine aerosols and particles  since they
 penetrate deeply into the air sacs (alveoli) of
 the lungs.
                                              \Ve must expand our lexicological, clinical,
                                            and epidemiological studies to better under-
                                            stand the effects of the aerosols. Continued
                                            attention must be focused on the acute effects
                                            of the aerosols in the respiratory system. In
                                            addition, it is essential to rapidly expand in-
                                            vestigations on other potential effects—both
                                            chronic and acute—which may result  from
                                            aerosols. If the aerosols carry  harmful, in-
                                            cluding carcinogenic, materials into the lungs
                                            the long-term consequences could be much
                                            more serious.
                                              Carcinogenicity  has been associated with
                                            some  organic compounds, especially some
                                            polycyclic and heterocyclic  hydrocarbons,
                                            which have been found in the atmosphere. As
                                            mentioned before, organic compounds ad-
                                            sorbed  on the  carbon particles  in diesel
                                            exhaust have  exhibited positive mutagenic
                                            effects in the Ames screening test. These sub-
                                            stances may prove to cause cancers in animals
                                            which are now being subjected  to inhalation
                                            tests. If so, a careful assessment of the risks
                                            which may be associated with human expo-
                                            sure to diesel soot will have to  be made. In
                                            parallel, systematic studies of other potential
                                            atmospheric carcinogens must be expanded
                                            to determine if there are long-term effects
                                            which do not show up for years after expo-
                                            sure. These investigations should include not
                                            only lexicological studies of suspected chemi-
                                            cals using cellular and whole animal tests but
                                            also retrospeclive epidemiological sludies of
                                            populalions such as industrial workers who
                                            may have been exposed lo the chemicals  20 to
                                            30 years before.
 Examples of Carcinogenic Air Pollutant Structures
  Compound
                             Structure
                                            Carcinogenic Activity
Benzo (a) pyrene


Chrysene
  Benzo (b) fluoranthene
  (Benz (e) acephenanthrylene)
  Indeno (1,2,3-cd) pyrene
  Dibenz (a, h) acridine
  Dibenz (a, i) acridine
                                ofio
                                               Highly carcinogenic in animals (9 species)
                                               (oral, skin, intratracheal)
                                               Weakly carcinogenic in mice (skin, subcutaneous)
Carcinogenic in mice (skin, subcutaneous)
                                            Highly carcinogenic to mice (skin)
                                              (Carcinogen in mice (skin, subcutaneous)
                                            Very weakly carcinogenic in mice (skin.
                                            subcutaneous)
Source: Kornreich, M. R.. 19?5.
                                                                 20

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Controlling aerosol sources
  Because they are formed largely in  the at-
mosphere, aerosols are going to present a
more complex control problem. The ap-
proach taken to date has been simply to con-
trol, as well as possible, the major precursors
to the aerosols—sulfur and nitrogen oxides,
hydrocarbons, and particulates. While this
may be adequate in most cases, serious health
threats  from certain aerosols may require
more restrictive control measures.
  Diesel soot may represent one of these
cases. Changes in the engine design or
operating conditions may give adequate re-
ductions; control  devices may  also  be  re-
quired.  But this represents a more classical
case—potential for enhanced control  at the
source.
  Two other situations may also arise to chal-
lenge our ingenuity and engineering skills. If
industrial hydrocarbons are found to interact
in the atmosphere to produce carcinogens,
then it may be necessary to tighten up con-
trols on fugitive emissions of the   more
dangerous precursors. If the long-term ef-
fects of metallic sulfates and nitrates turn out
to be serious, then control measures for sul-
fur and nitrogen oxides may be required. Al-
ternative control strategies  will have to be
carefully considered because of the serious
economic implications of such steps.

Sizes of Typical Airborne Particles

                 Fine I Coarse
   0.01     0,1
Micrometers
                      10    100
                                  1000
Source: U. S. Environmental Protection Agency. 1977.
Airborne Particles: Distribution and Inhalation
c b
 :
    Fine
    Particles
    Lung Deposition
    (Efficiency)
           Coarse
           Particles
       Ambient Mass
   (Probability Density)
(Mass of various sized
particles in ambient
air
I Degree ol particle
entrapment
Conceptualized plot
based on limited data.
   01             0.5
   Particle Diameter (Micrometers)
                                                       10
                    21

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Ralph Waldo Emerson
Conduct of Life (1860)

-------
                      Energy  and the  environment
 Goals
 The goals of the national energy-related en-
 vironmental research and development ef-
 forts are to understand the health and en-
 vironmental impacts which  could  result
 from increased domestic energy production
 and use and to take the steps required to pro-
 tect public health and the natural environ-
 ment. These goals encompass our domestic
 energy resources (coal,  oil,  gas, nuclear,
 solar,  geothermal, etc.) and both existing
 and new methods for energy processing and
 conversion.

  Availability of affordable energy became a
 serious national concern in the wake  of the
 energy crisis of 1973. Uncertainties in reli-
 ability  of energy supply, growth rates, fuel
 prices, and  pollution control  requirements
 created a  climate of conflict  among many
 interest groups, especially between those fa-
 voring either  energy development or en-
 vironmental protection.  The development of
 the National Energy  Plan and strong Presi-
 dential and Congressional commitment to
 environmental protection now offer a
 framework  for reconciling the differences
 between development and protection inter-
 ests.
  Although  the National Energy Plan seeks
 to reduce the rate of energy  consumption
 through energy conservation, energy use in
 the United States is still  expected to increase
 by two-thirds between now and the year 2000
 (Ref. 1, 2). Dominating this trend would be
 electric power generation using coal and nu-
 clear energy. Other energy sources, such as
 oil shale and geothermal energy, would come
 into play  with associated  potential for en-
 vironmental degradation. Gaseous and liquid
 fuels derived from coal would pick up part of
 the supply shortfall for transportation and
 residential uses. Finally, use of renewable re-
 sources such as solar and wind energy could
 offer some dramatic environmental benefits.
  EPA plays a major role in Federal energy-
 related environmental research and de-
 velopment, both as coordinator  of the
 SlOO-million-per-year Interagency Energy/
 Environment R&D Program and through its
 own resarch into health effects, environmen-
 tal impacts, and control techniques of energy
 systems. Since this research program was ini-
 tiated in 1975, our major  focus has been on
 assessing—and mitigating—the effects of in-
 creased coal use.

 Energy  extraction
  Coal mined in the United States may nearly
double by  1985 and triple by the year 2000
(Ref. 3). Clearly, if  major environmental
damage is to be avoided, environmental prob-
lems created by such mining must be iden-
tified and  suitable control techniques re-
quired.
  For coal mining in Appalachia, many en-
vironmentally protective measures have been
developed. The new Surface Mining Control
and  Reclamation Act will accelerate  use of
these techniques. Assessments of the degree
of the environmental protection afforded by
these approaches must be carried out. One
remaining problem is the characterization
and control of toxic materials in mine drain-
age and runoff. Another major, and possibly
intractable,  problem  is the  control of acid
mine drainage  from closed underground
mines.
  Western coal mining, on the other hand,
represents a more difficult situation because
of the low rainfall, high winds, erosion poten-
tial,  and  the delicate balance of the  surface
and  groundwater regimes in western mining
locations. Rapid growth of mining  in the
West, without adequate protection, could
threaten  the integrity of fragile ecosystems,
groundwater aquifers, and air and water
quality. It is important that research efforts
continue  to keep pace with coal development
in that region and that new information and
techniques be quickly applied to enhance en-
vironmental protection.
  Other energy resources produced by sur-
face  mining activities in the West include oil
shale and uranium. Both mining—and the
associated processing steps—can lead to con-
tamination of surface and groundwater. Spe-
cial problems include runoff from spent shale
landfills and solvents  used in leaching
uranium. Both  of these problems  require
special research attention.


Conventional combustion
  The National Energy Plan calls for the ex-
pansion of annual coal use from the current
635 million metric tons to more than 900 mil-
lion metric tons by 1985, with the massive in-
creases coming primarily in the utility and in-
dustrial sectors. The strong emphasis on con-
servation  in the Plan and the application of
stringent  environmental controls will tend to
minimize environmental  degradation, but
with  such large increases in coal uses emis-
sions of nitrogen and sulfur oxides from coal
combustion are projected to rise above cur-
rent  levels by 1985. With increased fossil fuel
combustion, COs emissions will increase ac-
cordingly. The chapter on  Global Pollution
addresses the CO2 buildup problem.
  As a result  of the Clean Air Act amend-
ments of 1977, EPA is  currently revising
                   23

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 Electrical Generation Capacity: Year 1970
 • 0.5 To 1 Gigawatt (GW)
 • 1 To 3 GW
 • 3To9GW
 • 9To20GW
 Year 2000
   0.5 To 1 Gigawatt (GW)
   1 To 3 GW
   3To9GW
   9To20GW
Source Council an Environmental Quality. 1976.
                                                            24

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Energy Supply Projections
Energy Source
Coal
Domestic Oil
Oil Shale
Oil Imports
Domestic Gas
Gas Imports
Nuclear
Solar
(except Biomass)
Geothermal
Hydropower
Biomass
Total
1975
15.3*
20.7

12.8
18.6
1.0
1.8


3.0

73.2
1985
Plan**
28.2
21.8
.3
13.3
17.6
1.8
7.6
.2
.3
3.1

94.2
Pre-Plan
23.9
18.7
1.1
24.3
17.8
3.0
7.4
.1
.2
3.1

99.6
2000
Plan
44.9
17.9
2.9
13.0
15.4
1.1
18.7
1.8
2.7
3.6
1.5
123.5
Pre-Plan
38.0
18.0
3.0
28.2
14.2
3.4
25.0
1.4
2.5
3.6
1.5
138.8
                                                                         Notes:
                                                                         * Data expressed in Quads
                                                                         "The National Energy Plan

                                                                         Plan Source: U.S. Energy Research
                                                                         and Development Administration,
                                                                         1977.
Utility and Industrial Combustion Problems
Pollutant
Sulfur
Dioxide

Nitrogen
Oxides

Participates

Hazardous
Materials
Present
Standard
New Source
Performance
Standards and
Ambient Air
Quality
Standard
(health-related)

New Source
Performance
Standards and
Ambient Air
Quality
Standard
(health-related)

New Source
Performance
Standards and
Ambient Air
Quality
Standard
(health-related)


Control
Technology
Coal cleaning
Rue gas
desulfurization

Combustion
modification
Flue gas
treatment

Electrostatic
precipitators
Baghouses
Wet scrubbers
Novel devices

Undefined
Status
First generation
demonstration
First generation in full
scale demonstration
Second generation in
bench and/or pilot
scale

Commercial for some
new units
Pilot scale and
demonstration in
Japan

Commercial
First generation
demonstration
First generation
commercial, second
generation full scale
demonstration
Bench or pilot scale

Undefined
Secondary
Residuals
High-sulfur
refuse
Sludge, purge
streams

Possibly more
particufates
and carbon
monoxide
Varies with
process

Fly ash

Undefined
Needed Research
Eliminate secondary pollution
Demonstrate practicability
Broaden applicability
Eliminate secondary pollution
Improve reliability
Broaden applicability
Improve energy efficiency

Broaden source applicability
Improve energy efficiency
Improve nitrogen oxides control
efficiency (only 30% for combustion
modification)
Minimize impact of residual pollution

Improve cost-effective fine paniculate
matter control
Broaden applicability
Develop novel devices with improved
capability

Problem requires definition
Source: Princiotta, F T., 1977.
                                 25

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Energy Technologies
Technology
Gasification
Liquefaction
Fluidized-Bed
Combustion
Oil Shale
Nuclear
Fission
Fusion
Geothermal
Solar
Status
Low-energy process in use in
Europe. High-energy process to
be available in the 1990s.
Solvent refined coal process near
commercialization. Availability of
other processes expected about
1990.
Pilot plants being tested.
Availability expected in the
1990s.
Pilot plant in operation.
Availability of surface and in situ
processes expected in 1985.
In use. Plutonium reprocessing,
waste solidification, and
potentials for armament
proliferation under study.
In early testing stage. A 21st
century technology.
In use. Increased application
expected in the 1990s.
Heating of buildings
commercialized. Cooling of
buildings and biomass fuels
expected in the 1980s. Availability
of thermal electric technology
project for the 21st century.
Demonstration of Ocean Thermal
Energy Conversion expected by
1985. Production of clean fuels
from biomass, post-1 990.
Environmental Concerns
On-site subsidence.
Air and water contamination.
Air and water contamination.
Thermal pollution. Disposal of
spent sorbent. Air and water
contamination.
Disposal of overburden and
spent shale. Air and water
contamination.
Radioactive waste disposal.
Water contamination. Thermal
pollution.
Decommissioned reactors.
Radioactive wastes.
Subsidence. Noise. Air and water
contamination. Thermal pollution.
Toxicity of working fluids.
Land and water use. Climatic
change. Marine pollution.
                                                26

-------
emission  standards for coal-fired power
plants. These standards are likely to require
improved control of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen
oxides,  and particulates. Also, EPA antici-
pates establishing  standards for industrial
boilers.  However, higher efficiency, lower-
cost control technologies may be required for
utility and industrial  combustion facilities.
This is  especially true for nitrogen oxides.
Fortunately, EPA  research  has recently
shown that nitrogen oxides from combustion
can be reduced by as much as 80 percent by
"combustion modifications" (lowering the
combustion temperature, limiting the
amount of oxygen available, and  regulating
the way the fuel and air mix) in the boiler.
  Fundamental research on the chemical and
aerodynamic mechanisms  involved in  com-
bustion can help us understand how nitrogen
oxides are formed and how they may be con-
trolled without increasing emissions of other
pollutants. Research into new low nitrogen
oxide designs for combustion equipment, al-
ternative  fuels, and advanced combustion
concepts may make it possible to burn coal
cleanly and more efficiently during the next
decade.  EPA must work closely with the De-
partment of Energy and the private sector to
advance such approaches and to assure that
other less understood problems (e.g., emis-
sions of trace elements and polycyclic organic
materials) are not overlooked.

Emerging energy technologies
  To lessen the nation's dependence oti pe-
troleum and natural gas, the Department of
Energy  has launched a multibillion dollar
technology research, development,  and
demonstration  program. Substantial  funds
are also being expended in this effort by the
private sector. Receiving major emphasis are
technologies which will facilitate the use of
abundant fossil fuels such as  fluidized bed
combustion  of coal, the conversion of coal
into synthetic liquid and gaseous fuels, and in
situ retorting of oil shale. Without proper
controls, such emerging energy technologies
could threaten  public health and  the  envi-
ronment.  In many cases these technologies
produce pollutants quite different and po-
tentially more harmful than those generated
by current generation coal-fired boilers. The
development efforts must be accompanied by
careful  monitoring of available pilot and
demonstration facilities by EPA researchers.
Concurrently, we need  to evaluate the
adequacy of available control technology.
  Assessments of the environmental impacts
of geothermal and renewable resource
technologies are also required to avoid future
problems.
  Finally, determination of exposures to, and
effects of, energy-related  pollutants on
human health is necessary to establish  am-
bient and emission control standards to pro-
tect public health.  Knowledge of aquatic and
terrestrial impacts of energy use is also neces-
sary to set criteria which will protect the natu-
ral environment.

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Theodore Roosevelt
1858-1919
Message to Congress, 1907

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                                                           Solid  waste
 Goals
 The goals of the solid waste research effort
 are to determine the risks associated with
 the handling  and disposal of toxic  solid
 waste and to develop means of adequately
 protecting public health by isolating the
 toxic materials from the environment,
 detoxifying the wastes before disposal, or
 recovering the energy  and mineral content
 of the waste for recycling.

  In the United States, we are now producing
 over  five billion metric tons of solid waste*
 each  year. This waste is expected to increase
 substantially over the next two decades, as
 pointed out in the Environmental Futures chap-
 ter. Further, as the projections indicate, all
 types of solid waste will increase. This can be
 easily understood when we consider that a
 rapidly increasing proportion of  the waste
 materials which once were dumped into the
 air and water are now  being controlled and
 converted to solid or semisolid forms such as
 sludges.
  Of concern are the hazardous materials in
 industrial solid wastes. This now amounts to
 10 to 30 million metric  tons (dry weight) an-
 nually (Ref. 1), an amount that will increase
 by 30 percent within the next 15 years (Ref.

 2>-
  Public health is directly affected by the dis-
 posal of solid waste  (Ref. 3). The traditional
 dumps and open landfills—to be prohibited
 under the Resource Conservation and Re-
 covery Act—have served as breeding
 grounds for rats, files, and other disease car-
 riers. Leachate  from landfills often contains
 high concentrations of organic and inorganic
 materials  that  can seriously pollute surface
 and  groundwater. The use of landfills for
 disposal of industrial wastes containing haz-
 ardous materials heightens immensely the
 concern for adequate environmental protec-
 tion  measures. Recent studies have revealed
 that  some of these  hazardous  wastes have
 been  inadequately disposed of and are leak-
 ing, in high concentrations, into areas where
 people may be exposed.
  The current Agency strategy places the
 highest priority on development of disposal
 technology and management criteria for haz-
 ardous and industrial wastes, followed in turn
 by wastewater treatment sludges,  municipal
 solid  waste, and mining and agricultural
 wastes.

* Solid waste results from  consumer activities, in-
  dustrial processes, the harvesting of crops and
  forests, and the development of mineral and
  energy resources. It also results from efforts to
  abate air and water pollution.
  Resource conservation and recovery
through in-plant process changes, recycling,
and waste exchange offer important alterna-
tives to our traditional patterns of waste man-
agement. Since the potential energy and re-
source savings from recovering wastes may be
significant, such efforts now have high na-
tional priority. Exchange of wastes between
two or more waste generating plants may, in
some cases, offer an innovative solution such
as waste neutralization or production of ben-
eficial byproducts.
  Mining waste causes environmental dam-
age, although such waste is often generated in
remote areas and does not generally cause
health problems. Notable exceptions include
severe localized  problems  created by poor
disposal  practices for radioactive materials
and coal washing waste.
  Waste  from agricultural and  forestry ac-
tivities,  especially  when concentrated  and
improperly managed, can result in runoff of
large quantities of dissolved and solid mate-
rials into surface waters, thereby seriously
degrading water quality. In some watersheds,
nutrients in such runoff can be the major
cause of eutrophication. Runoff of pesticide
contaminants can also pose hazards to ani-
mals and humans. Thus, disposal practices
for agricultural and  forestry wastes are
closely linked to the broader problem of con-
trolling  water pollution from nonpoint
sources.
  The variety of  problems confronted in
dealing with solid waste makes it difficult to
generalize. One source may require recycling
and reuse. Another  may require treatment
technology, while still others may have to fol-
low Best Management Practices.

Industrial solid  wastes
  Of  the five to ten percent of industrial
wastes which are potentially hazardous,  over
90 percent are  inadequately  managed at
present (Ref. 2). Growth trends indicate that
the amounts of potentially hazardous wastes
will increase by over 30 percent in the  next
decade, due largely to the wider use of air and
water pollution control equipment (Ref. 2).
At present, only two percent of potentially
hazardous  waste is recovered (Ref.  1), but
there appears to be a potential for recovery of
several scarce metals. As the quantity of haz-
ardous waste increases, the need for recycling
and  other advanced  waste  management
technologies will become increasingly impor-
tant. Careful attention will have to be given to
the more than 90 percent of waste now inad-
equately  managed.
                   29

-------
Municipal wastewater sludge
  Sludges from municipal wastewater treat-
ment plants will  double over the next 15
years. The composition of municipal sludges
now varies widely from city to city, depending
on the local mix of commercial and industrial
activities. How the composition will change in
the future depends on a number of local con-
trol decisions, which will affect the contami-
nation of sludge with metals, organic wastes,
pesticides, etc. One contaminant of current
concern is cadmium, especially if the sludge is
to be applied to land. If cadmium enters the
human food chain, it may be accumulated in
the liver and kidneys. Other metals of con-
cern in sludge include copper, molybdenum,
mercury, lead, and selenium, although these
metals are usually found in much lower con-
centrations.
  In addition to  metals, some pathogenic
bacteria and viruses show up in the sludge.
Although  some bacteria  do not appear to
present a  health risk because they die when
exposed to the environment, some viruses
persist for long periods in some soils and may
move into surface or groundwater. The ex-
tent, if any, of this threat must be determined.
  In addition to disposal by land application,
sewage sludge may be combusted to reduce
significantly the solids while producing heat.
Since some sludge has high levels of toxic sub-
stances, it is necessary to know the concentra-
tion of these substances in both the air and
residual discharge streams. Techniques, such
as pretreatment of industrial wastes before
mixing with  the municipal wastewater
streams, may be required to reduce toxic sub-
stances in the sludge to lower the possibility of
secondary pollution.

Residential, commercial, and
institutional waste
  Municipal solid waste contains the discards
of both  the residential  and commercial sec-
tors, including such potentially hazardous
materials  as pesticide containers, solvents,
and paints. Discards from hospitals may add
pathogens and viruses  to municipal refuse.
Some industrial waste containing  such pol-
lutants  as mercury, lead, polychlorinated
biphenyls  and asbestos also find their way
into municipal waste.
  As municipal waste increases and land use
becomes more important, new techniques
will be needed to  contain hazardous wastes.
Further, it will become increasingly impor-
tant to reclaim metals and the heat value in
the waste which, in turn, will reduce contami-
nation at land disposal sites.
Mining  and metallurgical
solid wastes
  To%late, more than 1.6 million hectares (4
million acres) of land have been disturbed by
mining. Only 40 percent of this land has been
reclaimed (Ref. 4). In addition to destruction
of land forms, farm and range land,  and
wildlife habitats, mining activities can  also
lead to the  degradation  of stream  and
groundwater quality. Thousands of kilome-
ters of streams, especially in Appalachia, are
already polluted by acids and heavy metals
discharged from waste  piles and tailings. In
many cases, runoff and leachates from mine
waste contain dissolved solids that degrade
water used for irrigation, especially in  the
West. Groundwater has also been polluted by
leachates from mining wastes. Phosphate and
other mining and  processing plants  some-
times discharge nutrients resulting in disrup-
tive "blooms" of aquatic vegetation. Finally,
some reagents such as cyanide, mercury, and
arsenic used in the beneficiation of ores have
both ecological and health impacts.
  Increased extraction  of uranium to meet
energy needs will expand the number and
size of tailings areas. Radioactive pollutants
from uranium mining and milling, and to a
lesser extent from phosphate  and lignite
mines, pose definite health hazards (Ref. 5, 6)
unless carefully managed. Energy-related
solid waste research requirements are dis-
cussed in the Energy and the Environment
chapter.
Solid Waste (1976)
                                                                 Metric
                                                                 Tons/Year
                                                                 (dry)
   Sewage
   treatment
   sludge
  Residential,
commercial and
  industrial
                             Industrial
Agricultural
Mining
                                                                 Source
                                            Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
                                                               30

-------
  Many of the research efforts required to
identify and  solve the problems of nonfuel
mineral extraction  are similar to  those as-
sociated with energy  resource  extraction.
However, the presence of much larger quan-
tities of toxic materials in  nonfuel mineral
mining can  lead to severe local problems
which  require special  attention. These are
now being addressed in a preliminary way by
the efforts led by the Department of Interior
to develop a Federal nonfuel minerals policy.
Increased research will likely by required to
answer the questions raised by the ongoing
studies.

Agricultural and silvicultural
wastes
  Although agricultural and silvicultural re-
        O   o
siduals are widely dispersed throughout the
nation, they can have serious local environ-
mental implications. Unless farming and for-
estry practices markedly change, these re-
siduals will increase significantly following
growth in the agricultural  and silvicultural
sectors. For  example,  agricultural  outputs
above the current levels are projected to grow
15 percent by 1985 and 50 percent by 2010.
  Local impacts may, in fact, be exacerbated
by certain shifts which are now taking place,
e.g., shifts to  larger animal feedlots and off-
site disposal of manure and other wastes.
  Currently, 200 million hectares (494 mil-
lion acres) in the United States are in forests
managed primarily for the production  of
timber. About 23 million metric tons of debris
from timber harvesting are left each year. Al-
though some of the  debris should be re-
turned to the soil, much of the remainder
must be disposed of or utilized. With an in-
crease  in demand for roundwood and saw-
timber products,  there will be a measurable
decrease in forest land by 1990. The shortfall
will likely be offset through intensive forest
management of  available  land. Increased
production from this land will generate more
residues with the attendant problems of dis-
posal or utilization.
  Conversion of residues from agriculture
and silviculture to animal feed or to products
for uses such as  composting for soil enrich-
ment have been partially successful but need
further study. Other  resource recovery ap-
proaches include production of oil  and gas
from such residues.
  Even though techniques are often available
for solving many of the problems involving
farming  and forestry wastes, the real chal-
lenge is to link the technological solution with
the problem. Dispersed pollution sources re-
quire innovative combinations of engineer-
ing, economics, and institutional factors.
Projected U.S. Discharge of Solid Waste (Percentagesof 1975levels)
/


.






'
Source
Iron and Steel
Nonferrous Metals
Pulp and Paper
Chemicals
Electric Utilities
Petroleum and Natural
Gas
Food Processing
Coal Mining
All Other Sources
(including Oil Shale)
Total Output
Noncombustible
Wastes
1985 1990
180%
220%
150%
130%
160%
140%



200%

170%
190%
270%
150%
1 50%
140%
140%



260%

180%
Mining
Wastes
1985 1990








190%
660%

310%








210%
1490%

550%
Industrial
Sludges
1985 1990
150%

160%
1 50%
390%
1 70%

1 50%

500%

250%
160%

170%
160%
440%
180%

160%

820%

300%
Municipal
Sludges
1985 1990











180%











200%
jffnVPHHHUHWWVM* . -*•**.*- -~ ; ^,^.~^,^w,-^ . ~™-—
- ' , , ,- •-,-».» , , ..Jr
Blank space indicates data not available. Values relative to 1975 levels.
Source: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 1978.
                   31

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Ernest Hemingway
1899-1961
foe Mjom fhe Bell Tolls. 1940

-------
                                                 Global  pollution
Goals
The goals of the global pollution research
efforts are to understand the dynamic global
processes within the biosphere and to de-
velop the capability to predict the movement
and changes of pollutants in the biosphere
and the impacts of these pollutants on
human health, ecosystems, and the climate.
With adequate predictive capability, control
of pollutants which pose threats to a health-
ful  earth can be undertaken.

  Until  recently, pollution  control has fo-
cused on urban and regional problems. How-
ever, concern is now being expressed about
the  global environment. The importance of
protecting global  resources is evident—we
can neither easily repair, nor move away
from, an unhealthful earth.
  The most widely recognized worldwide en-
vironmental problems are marine pollution,
carbon dioxide increases and ozone deple-
tion. Our research role is to work closely with
the  relevant Federal agencies to provide an
understanding of these global environmental
problems in the oceans, the troposphere, and
the  stratosphere.

Marine pollution
  Oceans cover more  than 70 percent of the
earth's surface. About one-third of the earth's
atmospheric oxygen is produced by marine
phytoplankton. Catches of ocean fish provide
at least 10 percent of the world's supply of
animal protein. Most marine fish depend
upon coastal waters for food and spawning
grounds.
  However, the oceans of the world have be-
come the depository for wastes carried by our
rivers or dumped from barges, ships, and
pipelines. Unlike rivers and lakes, the oceans
have no outlet for this refuse. Oceans cannot
be "flushed" clean.
  At present,  the oceans' ability to absorb
these wastes is unknown. What is known,
however, is that human wastes are present
even on the high seas as evidenced by oil slicks
and floating debris. Further, where marine
areas have long  been  used  as dumping
grounds  for wastes,  such areas no longer
support higher life forms.
  Another problem to be addressed  is
whether chemicals used  to disinfect effluents
bioaccumulate through food chains. We must
understand and predict the effect of waste
discharges on the  plants and animals of es-
tuarine  and coastal waters. Contaminants
may enter the marine food chain  by being
metabolized, then  transferred to higher life
forms, and may accumulate  to high concen-
trations. Thus, we need to understand the
transport and fate of these contaminants and
to model marine  processes.
  Accelerated energy and mineral resources
development threatens the marine environ-
ment. Offshore oil operations, offshore nu-
clear power and  industrial  parks,  liquefied
natural gas terminals, ocean thermal energy-
conversion, and dredged material disposal all
impact the marine environment.
  With production of domestic oil and gas at
full capacity in 1985, about 20 percent of our
oil and 30 percent of our gas is expected to
come from offshore supplies located near
high-demand  areas, particularly  the East
Coast and California. At  present,  only two
percent of the oil spilled in the ocean is from
offshore production.  Increased exploitation
of offshore deposits and the exploitation of
deeper waters may increase that portion. In
addition, there are more  than  100 subsea
mines which extend  from land to recover
coal, iron, nickel  and copper ores, and lime-
stone from  beneath  the  ocean. (Undersea
coal deposits account for about 30 percent of
Japan's total production and more than ten
percent of Great Britain's.)  By  1980, subsea
mining might be conducted economically as
far  as 50 kilometers offshore (Ref. 1). The
dredging of the sea floor  for minerals, sand
and oyster shells  is another area of great po-
tential impact on the ocean environment. All
of this exploitation of undersea reserves will
disrupt ocean and estuarine ecosystems in as
yet  undetermined ways.
  Direct  marine experimentation, such as
studying the movement of toxic substances in
the ocean, is impossible due to both high costs
and ethical considerations.  Thus, other ap-
proaches such as microcosm studies are
necessary. However, most of these studies
have  failed  to adequately simulate ecosys-
tems. For example, in the open ocean many
large-scale  elemental exchanges and  reac-

Sources of Oil  in the Oceans
    Source
    Marine transportation
    River runoff
    Atmospheric rainout
    Natural seeps
    Municipalities
    Industrial wastes
    Offshore production
 Percent of
Total Volume
     34
     26
     10
     10
     10
Source Ha'ra'a. J R.. et a! . 1977.
                   33

-------
  tions occur at the air-water interface—pro-
  cesses not simulated in current microcosms.
  Laboratory simulation should be confirmed.
  where possible, through comparison with ac-
  tual ens-iron mental situations.
   Research to determine the fate and effects
  of waste materials dumped into the oceans
  must include tracking the movement of the
  waste from the dumpsite  and studying the
  types of biological communities in the areas
 traversed by  the  wastes. An understanding
  of how those wastes are assimilated will allow
  us  to predict the levels to which  various
  marine communities will be exposed. We can
 then determine which marine pollutants are
  most harmful under different situations. Fi-
  nally, effective management and control can
  be developed.
   Special attention should be given to the po-
 tential hazards to  humans through transport
 of pollutants in ocean waters. We need  to
 quantity the effect of perturbations to marine
 ecosystems  to help avoid contamination of
 human food supplies. One way to do this is to
 use  specific marine organisms as indicators of
 harmful levels of marine pollution.
   Further research is necessary into recea-
 tional water quality, shellfish contamination
 and  measurement techniques for disease-
 causing  microorganisms. State and local au-
 thorities can use this information to minimize
 health  risks in  recreational  and  food-
 producing waters.  Research should be under-
 taken to understand the "carrying capacity"
 of marine ecosystems.
   Contaminated  sediment waste outfalls.
 waste dump sites,  ship accidents, and indus-
 trial operations can seriously pollute marine
 waters. On the other hand, the ocean can be
 an excellent site for residue disposal since it
 constantly recycles carbon, nutrients, and
 other chemicals. Special attention should be
 directed toward  determining the  prod-
 uctivity of estuarine systems as a function of
 contamination. A   model estuarine  svstcni
 could be used to  simulate  the  dvnamics of
 productivity, with an emphasis on interaction
 of growth stimulators  (light,  nutrients) and
 inhibitors (toxicants).

Tropospheric pollution
  Like the oceans,  the Earth's atmosphere is
being altered by human activities. One of the
most significant of  these alterations is the ad-
dition of enormous  volumes  of  carbon
dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels in in-
dustrial,  electrical, and automotive  power
plants.
  Along with the Department of Energy and
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Ad-
 ministration. EPA participates in a major re-
 search program to determine the potential
 hazards of the large-scale release of carbon
 dioxide.
   Additional information on carbon dioxide
 in the atmosphere is required in three areas—
 the carbon cycle, climatic effects, and socio-
 economic and ecological effects. We cannot
 yet accurately predict the  rate  of carbon
 dioxide exchange among the air. the oceans.
 and the land. Thus, we must improve the
 monitoring and  modeling of  the  processes
 that control these exchange rates.
   The ocean is also a key part  of the carbon
 cycle. In the ocean, the most important pro-
 cess is the  circulation and mixing of surface
 water with deep water. Once dissolved.
 carbon dioxide  is mixed into deep water.
 Carbonates in the ocean floor dissolve and
 combine with  carbon dioxide to create
 bicarbonate buffers. On  land,  the processes
 that most strongly influence the net flux of
 carbon dioxide to or from the atmosphere are
 photosynthesis, respiration, and combustion
 and decay of biomass. including coal.
   A first step in climatic effects research is
 improvement  of our global air circulation
 models in order to understand and predict
 Atmospheric Heat Exchanges
Source Technology Review '977

-------
 climatic  fluctuations and trends. Extensive
 monitoring of carbon  dioxide concen-
 trations, temperature, precipitation,  winds
 and clouds, is being conducted.
   These efforts should enable us to predict
 the  consequences  of a changing climate in
 terms of possible crop and ecosystem shifts
 and their  impact on  human welfare. In-
 creases in carbon dioxide concentrations may
 lead to global temperature rises, longer grow-
 ing  seasons, and increased yields—the
 "greenhouse effect" (Ref, 2). Precipitation
 changes  could have an even greater impact
 than temperature changes,  turning  crop-
 lands into deserts and vice versa.
   Greater  fossil fuel combustion, including
 expanded  coal use, will lead to further in-
 creases of  atmospheric carton dioxide. Be-
 tween 1958 and 1976, carbon dioxide  in the
 atmosphere increased by about five percent.
 If atmospheric carbon  dioxide were to dou-
 ble, the global temperature could increase by
 as much  as 2°C. At the anticipated growth in
 fossil fuel  combustion, this increase  could
 occur by the year 2025 (Ref. 2). Bv way of con-
 trast, the maximum normal shifts in global
 temperature over the past centuries  have
 been less than 1°C. The ensuing environmen-
 tal problems associated with a carbon dioxide
 increase  could include the melting of the
 polar ice caps. This could lead to significant
 changes  in ocean levels and circulation pat-
 terns. Dramatic changes could occur in cloud
cover and rainfall patterns.
   We should expand our studies on  atmo-
spheric turbidity,  solar radiation changes,
 urban climate, acid rain, and visibility.  In ad-
dition, we should initiate research to include
global cycles for such substances as nitrogen,
 phosphorus, and sulfur  (see  the \nnpoinl
Sources and Watersheds chapter).
Stratospheric pollution
  Another phenomenon  of global  im-
portance  is the potential depletion of the
ozone  layer due to  the  spread  of human-
produced ozone-destroying substances  into
the stratosphere. The ozone layer shields the
earth's surface  from exposure to high con-
centrations of ultraviolet radiation. Any de-
pletion of this shield would result in serious
harmful  effects to people and other living
things. The major ozone-depleting sub-
stances identified so far are halocarbons (no-
tably freon), nitric oxide froin the exhausts of
high altitude aircraft, and nitrous oxide from
chemical fertilizers and other forms of nitro-
gen in soils.
  In research efforts on ozone depletion, we
should monitor methylchloroform, Freon-
22, chloroform, and other compounds to es-
tablish trends in their stratospheric concen-
trations and to enhance our understanding of
their removal processes. We should measure
methane and nonmethane hydrocarbons to
establish  their role in stratospheric chlorine
removal. We should also measure concen-
trations of hydroxyl  radicals as well as phos-
gene, acid chlorides, and other intermediate
substances formed during degradation of
halocarbons in  the atmosphere. Finally, we
need to develop instrumentation to study the
biological effects of increased ultraviolet-B
radiation and to estimate the "greenhouse ef-
fect" on climate due to ozone depletion.
Climatic Trends
                                                                   Not*:
                                                                   This is one of several protections
                                                                   Of future trends m global
                                                                   concentrations $ carbon dioxide
                                                                r s and related climatic changes
                                                                   For further information
                                                                 ,. see Set 3. 4. s, ana 6
                                                                7.6
                                                                   Source Chemical & Engmeenng
                                                                   News 1977
   1980 1990  2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090  3000

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Lao Tzu
550 B.C. (?)
f/?e Way o/ iao Tzu

-------
                                      Nonionizing  radiation
 Goals
 The goals of the nonionizing radiation re-
 search effort are to understand the nature
 and severity of the health effects caused by
 the pervasive sources of nonionizing radia-
 tion and to help to determine what exposure
 standard would protect public health.

   We are exposed to nonionizing radiation*
 from  many  sources—electric power lines,
 radio and television transmissions, diathermy
 equipment, and radar and microwave trans-
 mission facilities. Over one million workers in
 medical, telecommunication,  and construc-
 tion occupations are regularly exposed  to
 nonionizing radiation.
   The number of consumer products  that
 emit low-level, nonionizing radiation is grow-
 ing rapidly. Some 100 million television sets
 are used in the United States with 13 million
 manufactured annually. Over 1.5 million mi-
 crowave ovens are now used as compared
 with  only 40,000 ovens ten  years ago. As
 many  as 11 million are  expected to be pro-
 duced by the end of 1980. The number  of
 mobile radios doubled  last year and is ex-
 pected to continue to increase (Ref. 1).
   Exposure  to nonionizing radiation from
 FM radio and UHFtelevisionisnowofspecial
 concern because of the large number  of
 people exposed, the length of the exposure,
 and, in some instances, the intensity  of the
 exposure. Potential future applications  of
 nonionizing radiation in the radio frequency
 and microwave  bands may create even
 greater problems. For example, the Federal
 Communications Commission reserved an
 increased portion of the radio frequency
 spectrum for use in personal, portable com-
 munication systems (Ref. 3).  One futuristic
 proposal—a  Solar Power Satellite System—
 would collect solar energy in outer space and
 transmit it to earth in the form of microwaves
 (Ref. 4).
   Despite the rapid growth of nonionizing
 radiation sources, there is little agreement on
 the nature and extent of the health hazards
 resulting  from exposure to such radiation.
 For example, the  Soviet  Union and the East-
 ern European countries have taken a much
 more  conservative approach  in  controlling


* Nonionizing  radiation includes radio waves, mi-
  crowaves, infrared radiation, visible light,  and
  part of the ultraviolet band. Such radiation is
  physically incapable of ionizing molecules (ioni-
  zation  results in an electrically  charged
  molecule). This is in contrast to higher frequency
  radiation, such as X-rays or gamma rays, which
  are sufficiently energetic (102 to 10" electron
  volts) to produce ionization (Ref. 2).
such radiation than has the United States.
This has resulted in a marked difference in
maximum occupational exposure standards
used in various nations (Ref. 3).
  Exposure standards in the United States
are based only on consideration of the effects
due to heating within body tissue (thermal ef-
fects) (Ref. 5). Other nations consider other
(nonthermal) effects in setting their exposure
standards. However, such effects have not yet
been sufficiently demonstrated within the
United States to cause us to change our stan-
dards.
  Nonthermal effects of nonionizing radia-
tion  are much  less well understood than
thermal effects. For example, the FM radio
spectrum includes  a resonant frequency at
which the radiant energy is preferentially ab-
sorbed in the human body  (Ref.  6). Recent
EPA research indicates that chronic, low level
exposures of animals can produce observed
biological effects (for example, impaired
function of immune  defense  mechanisms
and abnormal behavior responses) (Ref. 7, 8,
9) in the absence of detectable heat genera-
tion. Such data  and the conservative ap-
proach employed in Eastern  Europe demand
that we  rapidly improve our understanding
of the subtle effects of nonionizing radiation.
Improved  health effects data could then
serve as a basis for tightening the nonionizing
radiation exposure standard.
  Currently EPA is conducting one of the
largest research programs on the health ef-
fects of nonionizing radiation in the nation.
This integrated effort accounts for  15 per-
cent of the total Federal effort (Ref. 10).


The research response
  A critical element in the nation's research
program is determining the biological effects
of specific frequencies of nonionizing radia-
tion. Since  the principal radio  frequency
sources  of population exposure have been
identified as the  FM radio and UHF televi-
sion  frequencies  (Ref. 3), biological experi-
ments should concentrate on those  sources.
Animal exposure  experiments should be
conducted  using frequencies of 100 mega-
hem (FM), 425 megahertz  (UHF-TV), and
2,450 megahertz (microwaves). Teratologic,
immunologic, behavioral, reproductive, and
cytogenetic effects of prolonged  low-power
densities below 1,000 microwatts per square
centimeter (1/10 the current exposure stan-
dard) should be  examined  in these experi-
ments. A microwave spectrometer capable of
sweeping a broad frequency range should be
developed to define limited frequency ranges
of particularly high absorbance in biological
                    37

-------
Sources of Nonionizing Radiation

Sources      Past Status
v Trends
Stations
                         1961
                                         3600
                                          AM
                                                  1976
                                                       960
                                                       TV
                                                                  3665
                                                                   FM
Microwave
ovens
                       1968
                                1976
                                                  1990
1975
^s "~~7
^^ /
Air traffic
control
navigation
radar
1650













\
2100












                                                  1980
                                                    11,000,000
Land
mobile
radios
                                1976
                                                  1977
                      1972
                            4.000.000
                                                    8,000,000
Source Electronic Industries Assentation. 1

-------
Nonionizing Electromagnetic Radiation
A
i

\ '


: -
'
-





v E
Frequency Energy
(Hertz) (Electron volts)
10°
102

101
106
108
10'°
10'2
1014

10'6

1018
1020
1 Hz
60 Hz
1 KHz

1 MHz

1 GHz

1 THz






4.135x10-'5
Power (60 Hz)

10-12 Telephone P^n'npnru
PlcLjUcllL-y
A
10-io
AM
Diathermy
10~8 FM Micro-
Television Waves
\ Radar
io~6 A
W Masers
10-" V
> Infrared
10"2 Y Lasers
V Visible light
10° \
1 Ultraviolet
102 /
104 '
..^Mi^^^^^
samples. Epidemiologic studies  in  urban
areas exposed  to  these radio frequencies
should be conducted to support the labora-
tory work.
  The United States standard for occupa-
tional exposure for nonionizing radiation is
based upon theoretical calculations  of the
heating effects that humans can tolerate
without adverse effects.  A  systematic, ex-
perimental evaluation of this approach is re-
quired in the nation's research efforts to de-
termine whether a standard  based solely on
thermal effects provides adequate protection
of public health. As part of this evaluation, we
must improve our knowledge of the mech-
anisms involved in the nonthermal effects of
such radiation. We must determine if certain
human  systems (such as reproductive, im-
munologic, neurologic, hematologic, and
cytogenetic) are more sensitive to radiation
levels below  the occupational standard of
10,000 microwatts per square centimeter. We
must also determine if there are effects from
long-term, low-level exposure to nonionizing
radiation.  Latent  effects such as  cancer or
early mortality are of prime interest. Espe-
cially in these efforts, we will have to rely ex-
tensively on epidemiologic studies with popu-
lations  exposed to nonionizing  radiation
within their workplace.
Source Michaelson, S M , 1974
                                                      39

-------
Willa Gather
1876-1947

-------
         Nonpoint sources  and  watersheds

Goals
The goals of the research efforts on non-
point sources and watersheds are to under-
stand how all nonpoint sources of pollution
contribute to  environmental degradation,
especially in watersheds, and to determine
how effective various monitoring and con-
trol techniques are in identifying and abat-
ing, respectively, the deleterious effects of
nonpoint source pollution.

  Half or more of all water quality problems
are caused by nonpoint source pollution.*
Urban stormwater runoff; agricultural, for-
estry, mining,  and  construction activities;
waste disposal; watershed disruptions; and
acid precipitation are the major nonpoint
sources of water pollution.
  Nonpoint sources  of pollution result from
the complex interactions  of our use of  the
land with natural processes such as rainfall or
snowmelt runoff. The nature of the pollution
varies widely with human activities, natural
weather phenomena, and local soil and top-
ological conditions. Within a given  year,  for
example, the  major portion of nonpoint
source pollution may  occur during a brief
rainstorm or series of storms.

Nonpoint source runoff
  Water pollution abatement in the United
States has been more successful in dealing
with  point  sources than with nonpoint
sources. Thus, as greater control is applied to
point sources,  nonpoint  sources of water
pollution will  predominate. Because  of its
dispersed and often random  nature, how-
ever,  nonpoint water  pollution will not be
easy to control  even with much greater ef-
forts.
  In addition to the quantity of pollutants
produced by the different sources,  of major
importance is a pollutant's relative impact on
water quality and uses. Water quality is also
affected by the timing and distribution of the
discharge as well as the dilution and assimila-
tion capacity of the receiving water. Because
of the interlinking of these factors, nonpoint
sources are responsible for the major water
quality problems in many areas of the coun-
try. For example, results of EPA's  National
Eutrophication Survey, as well as other Fed-
eral and state monitoring activities, indicate
nutrient concentrations  to be highest  in
streams which drain  farmland (Ref. 1). With-
out control of such pollutants,  adequate
abatement of eutrophication in surface wa-
ters is unlikely to occur. It is well to remember
that many of these pollutants—especially sed-
iments and nutrients—are, in  fact, valuable
resources which become pollutants only be-
cause the land was used unwisely.
  Runoff from agricultural and  forestry ac-
tivities may become an even greater problem
if, as expected, production of agricultural
and  forestry  products increases  during the
next two decades. In this context, EPA must
work closely with the Soil Conservation Ser-
vice to develop and disseminate the informa-
tion necessary to correct this problem. In ad-
dition, runoff from coal mining also contrib-
utes significant loads of pollutants, a problem
which is addressed in the Energy and the Envi-
ronment  and Solid \\'aste chapters of this re-
port.
  Although we have  made some important
progress in understanding and  controlling
nonpoint water pollution  in the last seven
years, there  remains considerable uncer-
tainty about the effectiveness of current and
proposed  methods of  nonpoint pollution
control. Thus, regulatory efforts and re-
search must go hand-in-hand to address the
variety of complicated problems listed below:

  Land Use. Urbanization takes thousands of
hectares of farmland out of production each
year.  To compensate,  marginal lands  are
farmed, requiring greater application of fer-
tilizer and pesticides which, in turn, may lead
to increased runoff of nutrientsand toxic ma-
terials, as well as increased erosion.
  Crop  Production and Pollution Control.
If farmers  had methods to determine  op-
timum rates and timing for applying nutri-
ents  and pesticides, they could conserve
energy  and  minimize pollution. These
methods could encompass such  schemes as
soil testing or information services to inform
farmers of variables such as rain  probability,
wind conditions, and pest infestation levels.
  Recycling. With increasing costs, espe-
cially for energy,  more  efficient farming
methods could involve recovering and recy-
cling resources which are currently lost in the
form of water pollution. For example, nutri-
ent runoff could be captured and used to
produce vegetation to be converted (by on-
farin methods) to  energy. The  conversion
  Nonpoint sources are those  whose water
  effluents are not narrowly channelled or con-
  tained by pipes or holding ponds. In this chap-
  ter, nonpoint sources also include acid precipita-
  tion and other pollution transported through
  the atmosphere. The pollutants of greatest con-
  cern from these sources are sediment, dissolved
  inorganic compounds such as strong acids, nu-
  trients, pesticides, toxic metals, organic com-
  pounds, and pathogens.
                   41

-------
  methods used may also handle animal wastes
  and crop residues. (See the Solid Waste chap-
  ter.)
    Pest Management.  Pesticides are  among
  the most pervasive and difficult  to control of
  the nonpoint source pollutants. Research can
  help to reduce the use of pesticides through
  two major efforts. As mentioned  above,
  farmers could be provided with  localized ad-
  vice on precisely when to apply pesticides for
  maximum effect.  An even better approach
  may be the use of alternatives to pesticides,
  such  as biological agents and predatory
  species. In this latter area, both EPA and the
  Department of Agriculture are conducting
  research.

    In order to advance the state of knowledge
  of nonpoint  source control  in these four
  areas, it will be necessary to move  the research
  beyond  the  current laboratory and  small-
  scale  projects  to  major hydrological areas
  such as watersheds. Although obviously more
  difficult, watershed studies will be required to
  understand the interactions of many pollu-
  tants from many sources, and the effective-
         ness of various controls now being used to re-
         duce the pollutant loadings  in the streams.
         These studies should concentrate on major
         nonirrigated crop production regions. They
         should be aimed at giving us, at the watershed
         level, improved predictive models for the ef-
         fects  of  nonpoint source perturbations and
         improved best management practices for ag-
         ricultural and forestry  activities.
          The capabilities of other Federal and state
         agencies in dealing with  nonpoint source
         pollution will be a key factor in the successful
         application of the research results in the field.


         Urban stormwater
          In  urban areas, the principal nonpoint
         source concern is stormwater management.
         A nationwide survey of public works officials
         conducted in 1976 identified  urban flooding
         and its associated pollution caused by inade-
         quate storm sewers as the number one urban
         problem. As suburban land continues to be
         developed, the problem will increase. In re-
         sponse, a few urban areas have initiated pro-
         grams to improve stormwater management.
 Nonpoint Sources Of Water Pollution3 (Millions of tons per year)
Nonpoint source
category
Cropland
Pasture & range
Forest
Construction
Mining
Urban runoff
Rural roadways'1
Small feedlots
Land fills
Subtotal
Natural background
Total
Municipal point sources
after treatment, 1975
Industrial point sources
after treatment. 1975
^ferikaM^aaMA^
Sediment
1870
1220
256
197
59
20
2
2

3626
1260
4886
2.1e
7.9"

BOD
9
5
.8

.5
.004
.05
.3
15.8
5.0
20.8
1.9
2.2

Nitrogen
4.3
2.5
.39

.15
.0005
.17
.026
7.4
2.5
10.0
1.5f
.11'
tt^MttfiUitt*^
Phosphorus
1.56
1.08
.089

.019
.001
.032

2.8
1.1
3.8


_
Acids"


3.1

3.1

3.1

.26

Salinity'
57.3



58.1

58.1

12.5

\





, f


1

'S3 8 million hectares (207 m^i-on acres) in pub!:C lands
 (14% of cort-guous U.S.). mostly in Rocky Mounta'n
 reg~on. were excluded due to ^adequacy of information.
"As CaCoa.
cFrorn irrigation return flow

Sources: M.dwest Research Inst.tute, 1975.
^Deposition frorn tra" c related sources.
"Suspended soi'ds.
'N;trogen plus phosphorus
                                                                42

-------
  Although stormu'ater runoff typically oc-
curs only during brief periods, the quantities
of sediment, nutrients, chemicals, and toxic
materials dumped into streams during the
storm periods dwarf the quantities of such
materials released by the  municipal treat-
ment plants throughout the entire year. This
problem has serious implications for mu-
nicipalities using the streams for water supply
as well as for other downstream users.
  To understand more fully the significance
of such pollution, we should conduct studies
to determine both  the immediate and long-
term effects of storrmvater discharges in
streams and lakes used for drinking water.
We  should  evaluate  which runoff control
techniques are most protective of the public
health with emphasis  on improved practices
for  urban land use and runoff attenuation,
drainage design criteria, and upstream stor-
age leading to controlled release. We should
also encourage more cities to adopt stormwa-
ter  management systems by determining eq-
uitable means  of apportioning the  costs of
urban runoff control.

Groundwater contamination
  Groundwater  quality may also  be
threatened by nonpoint source pollution. It is
conceivable that most of the aquifers in the
United States mav  be contaminated by the
year 2000 unless currently uncontaminated
waters are protected. Without such protec-
tion, the United States soon may not be able to
use  much of its groundwater due to nonpoint
source pollution. It takes decades or centuries
for  the geochemical processes to reclaim the
groundwater once  contaminated. The only
viable approach is to prevent the contamina-
tion in the first place.


Urban Stormwater
Residuals
Suspended solids
Ultimate biochemical
oxygen demand
Chemical oxygen
demand
Urban runoff
and treated
municipal
wastewater
(kg/ha/yr)
7,426

514
1,023
Percent
attributed
to urban"
runoff
99

80
84
  In addition to the contamination of some
groundwater sources, others are lost through
climatic fluctuations.  Many regions depend-
ent on  groundwater have suffered recent
droughts. Due to our rate of use of ground-
water supplies, it may be worthwhile to con-
sider  new techniques to recharge depleted
aquifers, including the use of municipal and
industrial wastewater, and to reclaim
polluted aquifers.
  In  past years, several projects using
technology developed for desalination  have
been  conducted to recharge and reclaim
groundwaters. For example, reverse osmosis
has been used to treat acid mine drainage and
chemical and saline wastes prior to their re-
lease into groundwater recharge areas. Ear-
lier studies projected  costs of 26 to 31 cents
per thousand liters of water, a cost that was
not competitive with local water rates of 16 to
20 cents per thousand liters (Ref. 2). Since
that time, however, conditions have dramat-
ically changed in many areas, and the costs of
treating groundwater may have  become
more competitive.  Some of the shelved
technologies should,  therefore, be reexam-
ined  to determine  their current  cost-
effectiveness.
  Besides providing  improved  techniques
for safe recharge, we should launch a nation-
wide effort to determine the extent of con-
tamination of groundwater supplies by  toxic
chemical and biological substances.  This
monitoring effort  must be supported by im-
proved methods for sampling subsurface wa-
ters and for  modeling the transport of sub-
stances in those waters.
  Because so  many  people in the United
States depend on groundwater as their only
supply of drinking water, it is essential for
maintenance of public health and environ-
mental productivity that we direct increasing
attention to the preservation  of clean
groundwater supplies.

Air  pollution  impacts
  Another major, if  somewhat unexpected,
nonpoint source of water  pollution is
polluted air. Substances enter the air  from
many sources, mix with other pollutants and
change character, are  transported up to hun-
dreds of kilometers and  return to the earth
either as dry  particles  or in  precipitation.
Thus, sulfur oxides,  nitrogen oxides, heavy
metals,  and other pollutants from power
plants, industry, and  automobiles affect the
quality of the  land and  water at great dis-
tances from the sources.
  Airborne nutrients, when deposited in wa-
ter,  can aggravate  eutrophication,  e.g..
                   43

-------
 growth of unwanted algae. Dust contributes
 to waterborne sediment in streams and lakes.
 Vegetation may be directly harmed by both
 gaseous and paniculate air pollutants. Acid-
 causing pollutants (primarily from fossil fuel
 combustion)  have increased  the acidity of
 precipitation.  The formation of acid rain is
 discussed further in the.4nPollution chapter.
   Nonpoint runoff from acid rain has been
 increasing significantly for a number of
 years. The problem was first widely recog-
 nized in Scandinavia where scientists at the
 1970 Stockholm Conference  on the  Envi-
 ronment reported steady increases of sulfur
and nitrogen compounds and acidity in rain-
 fall and  snowfall in Sweden  (Ref. 3).  Acid
precipitation  poses a special threat  to  such
cash crops as forests and fish. At the Interna-
tional Conference on the Effects of Acid Pre-
cipitation, held in Norway in 1976. damages
to forest,  crops, fish, and materials such as
steel and  paint  were documented.  Also of
particular concern is the potential long term
                                 damage to soil fertility. Once leached of their
                                 vital nutrients and minerals, such soils may
                                 require several centuries to be restored.
                                   In the United States, recognition of the
                                 damages of acid precipitation has been slower
                                 than in Europe. Even  in  the  northeastern
                                 United  States where acid precipitation is
                                 known to be present, data are scanty and have
                                 been gathered only within the last  two de-
                                 cades. Although rates of forest growth have
                                 declined in the Northeast, this decline cannot
                                 as yet be definitively related to acid precipita-
                                 tion. It is known, however, that acid precipita-
                                 tion damages foliage, affects germination of
                                 conifer seeds and the growth of seedlings,
                                 reduces the  availability  of soil  nitrogen,
                                 decreases  soil respiration, and  increases
                                 leaching of nutrients. Although subtle, these
                                 effects will likely become more significant with
                                 time and may cause irreversible changes in
                                 important ecosystems.
                                   Research indicates that strong acids, such
                                 assulfuricand nitric acids, are responsible for
Water Cycle Contamination
                                                                                  Evaporation from
                                                                                  transportation,
                                                                                  soil, rivers, swamps
                                                                                  vegetation
Runoff to
streams,
rivers,
ocean

-------
 most of the acidity in the precipitation. The
 normal pH value, a  measure of acidity, for
 rain is about 5.7, indicating slight acidity. A
 pH  of 7.0 is considered neutral, with  pH
 values lower than that considered  acidic.
 Very acidic rainfalls having a pH of 4 or lower
 have been repeatedly observed in the north-
 eastern United  States. The resulting acidifi-
 cation  of lakes, particularly that occurring in
 areas of naturally acidic soils such as those de-
 rived from the carbonate-poor granite rocks
 of the Northeast, appears to be having major
 detrimental effects on the fish populations.
  Of major significance for future regulatory
 efforts is the fact that the largest fraction of
 the pollution causing the acidity appears to be
 transported from sources as  far away as the
 industrial Midwest and southeastern Canada.
 We  need to know much more about the
 atmospheric chemical transformations as well
 as the meteorological  factors involved in acid
 precipitation.
  Estimates of the long-term threat of acid
 rain  damage to  soil fertility in terms of food
 and  forest  production and diversity are
 needed. With massive shifts to coal combus-
 tion  likely, the need for these estimates is cru-
 cial.  Nutrients  may become unavailable  to
 vegetation or may appear in toxic concen-
 trations in the soil.
  Surface water impoundments  in the
 Northeast may become more acidic, leading
 to increased leaching of toxic metals such as
 lead  and copper from municipal water supply-
 pipes. Since it is evident that air pollution, in
 addition to being a  direct  human  health
 threat in itself, contributes to the degradation
 of water, soil, and vegetation, it is essential to
 expand research on  this largely  neglected
 nonpoint source of pollution  in watersheds.

 Integrated watershed
 management
  A  unified approach to manage an entire
watershed ecosystem requires a fundamental
 understanding of the dynamics of the physi-
 cal, chemical, and biological interactions that
occur  within its  boundary.  With such an
 understanding,  it will be possible to proceed
 toward development of a predictive capacity
that  will allow us to anticipate  the extent of
 ecosystem modification resulting from a par-
 ticular  perturbation,  be it from a point or
 nonpoint pollutant source.
  Several Federal programs  address en-
vironmental perturbations in watersheds, but
a coordinated Federal approach to watershed
 management is  needed. The  lack of an ade-
quate in-depth research base has resulted in a
lack of understanding of watershed response
to human-induced environmental impacts.
  Research on watershed ecosystems must be
expanded in order to develop an improved
capability to predict the consequences of en-
vironmental perturbation. As our knowledge
of environmental problems has grown, we
have come to realize that we need to  know-
how impacts of such stresses as nutrient and
pesticide loadings, oil and toxic material  dis-
charges and spills,  and complex industrial
waste discharges affect the populations  of liv-
ing organisms as well as  the physical and
chemical factors within the ecosystem.  If we
can relate such material and energy inputs
through the ecological processes to the qual-
ity of the water and other materials leaving
the ecosystem, we will have a stronger basis
for enlightened regulator)' actions.
                   45

-------
Joseph Priestly
1733-1804
Experiments and Observations on
Different Kinds of Air. 1786

-------
                    Measurement  and  monitoring
Goals
The goals of the measurement and monitor-
ing research effort are to anticipate potential
environmental problems, to support regu-
latory actions by developing an in-depth
understanding of the nature and processes
that impact  health and the ecology, to
provide  innovative means of monitoring
compliance with regulations and to evaluate
the effectiveness of health and environmen-
tal protection efforts through the monitor-
ing of long-term trends.

  Environmental monitoring is the  system-
atic measurement of the physical, chemical,
and biological properties of the environment.
It is, essentially, a two phase effort of data col-
lection and data analysis. The data collection
effort involves the monitoring of exposures
of living organisms, the effects of these expo-
sures  (Ref. 1-4), pollutant sources, and the
ambient  environment.  Data analysis must
then be performed to allow policy-makers to
identify  environmental problems, develop
effective regulatory solutions, and assure that
environmental improvement and health pro-
tection is accomplished. Thus, the collection
of data—on source emissions, ambient con-
centrations, exposures, and effects—is ac-
companied by analyses of the relationships
among these factors. By linking these data in
compatible (often computerized) form,  geo-
graphical variations in emissions, concen-
trations, and mortality/morbidity rates can be
determined.
  Data collection and analysis efforts must be
supported by continued research  on en-
vironmental  measurement methods. En-
vironmental measurement research includes
not only developing instruments  and
methods for  physical  and  chemical mea-
surement, but also establishing concepts for
determining  biological and ecological im-
pacts.

Data collection
  Exposure monitoring measures the  total
exposure of biological organisms to  pollut-
ants via  all important routes. Exposure
monitoring identifies pathways by which in-
dividuals are exposed to pollutants, and mea-
sures the exposure. These measurements are
then summed across all  pathways to estimate
the total dose. For some pollutants, the mea-
surement of total body burden (e.g., lead in
the blood)  may be more cost-effective than
monitoring all pathways since lead enters the
body via many different routes including air,
water, paint chips, road dust, and food. This
approach is particularly valuable in determin-
ing the cumulative health risk of chronic ex-
posure to low-level toxic substances in the en-
vironment and, subsequently, in identifying
the most effective means of protecting public
health.
  \Ve can estimate exposures by a combina-
tion of measurements at stations,  studies of
transport processes, indoor measurements,
models of personal activity patterns, and
"contour" maps of pollutant concentrations.
How ever, estimates should be validated by di-
rect measurements of exposure using appro-
priate instrumentation such as  personal air
quality monitors.
  Long-term  monitoring of biological
trends establishes baseline and trend data for
assessing ecological effects of chronic, low-
level pollution. These effects are often subtle
and difficult to quantify. This is due to a poor
understanding of the long-term, chronic ef-
fects of pollution, lack of dose-response in-
formation (particularly at the community and
ecosystem levels), inadequate ambient
monitoring data, and, most importantly, a
lack of baseline information against which to
measure effects. This type of monitoring is,
however, essential to anticipate potential
health risks from chronic low-level pollution
from toxic substances, and to develop more
effective regulatory approaches.
  By collecting and storing environmental
specimens such as tissues, in a National En-
vironmental Specimen Bank, it may be possi-
ble to identify geographic and historical vari-
ations in pollutant burdens. It  may also be
possible to determine background levels of
pollutants and distinguish them from human
contributions. This would allow retrospective
analyses as more sensitive techniques are de-
veloped or new pollutants are identified.
Specimen banks have been criticized because
of lack of standardization of methods for col-
lecting and preserving specimens, but they
have been highly useful for establishing tissue
burdens  in evaluating DDT, mercury, and
lead. Research into the standardization of col-
lection, preservation, and analysis is under-
way but no coordinated Federal effort exists.
  EPA regulates many  environmental con-
taminants either at the source or in the am-
bient environment. Regulation of sources
may entail the registration of a product or the
limitation of effluents released into the envi-
ronment. Monitoring in support of such reg-
ulations often  involves  verification of both
the data submitted in support of registration
and data reported by  self-audits  at  the
sources (Ref. 5). The source monitoring pro-
gram aims at characterizing more adequately
the chemical composition of industrial wastes

-------
 Cardiovascular Diseases, Age-Adjusted Mortality
 Annual death rate per million population, biacks and whites combined (1968-72).
 Source Council on Environmental Quality, 1977. UPGRADE, Graphics and Analysis System (Unpublished).

 Total Hardness of Surface Water
    Over 245
Milligrams per liter as CaCOs, annual mean values— 1976 water year
Source Council on Environmental Quality. 1977, UPGRADE. Graphics and Analysis System (Unpublished)
                                                              4S

-------
by improving emissions estimates, verifying
industry self-monitoring reports, or creating
monitoring  networks.  This information is
important  in  assuring that regulatory
strategies are being complied with.
  The ambient monitoring program seeks to
develop new networks to understand such
problems as acid rain, visibility degradation
in western states, fine particles in the atmo-
sphere,  and significant deterioration of air
quality in pristine areas. Regulation to clean
up the  ambient environment and protect
public health involves setting  standards for
safe  levels of contaminants such  as  sulfur
dioxide  in the air, cadmium  in sludge, or
Kepone residue in fish. Regulatory devices
such as  state implementation  plans  for air
pollution or area wide plans for water pollu-
tion control are used. Ambient  monitoring of
trends can provide a useful way to determine
the effectiveness of environmental cleanup.
This includes investigating trends on a re-
gional or local basis as well as monitoring na-
tional trends.

Data analysis and display
  With  the increased incidence of chronic
diseases, especially those diseases with long
latency periods, determining the correlation
between environmental and health data has
become correspondingly more important.
Such data correlations may be used to iden-
tify  relationships among  source  emissions,
ambient concentrations,  exposures, and
biological effects.
  Several  Federal  agencies collect related
data for different purposes. Hence, the data
are often incomplete, incompatible, or of lit-
tle use to decision-makers in other agencies.
A serious attempt must be made to stan-
dardize  the data collection, analysis, storage,
and retrieval methods of agencies that collect
environmental and health effects data.
  The consolidation  of  high quality  en-
vironmental  and health data from different
agencies into compatible automated systems
for rapid retrieval and analysis should be one
of our primary goals. For exam pie, a graphics
and  analysis system called UPGRADE  is now
being evaluated by EPA.  Developed  under
the auspices of the Council on Environmental
Quality, this system allows comparison of en-
vironmental monitoring  data collected by
EPA and the U.S. Geological Survey with
health and demographic data collected by the
National Center for Health Statistics and the
Bureau  of the Census.
  Using UPGRADE maps one can visually com-
pare the relationship  between deaths from
cardiovascular disease and the hardness of
water supplies, or the relationship between
respiratory disease mortality and high con-
centrations of particulate matter. Such
analyses will become increasingly useful for
policy-makers as the data base upon which we
can draw grows in scope, quality, and stan-
dardization.

Measurement methods and
quality assurance
  Appropriate measurement methods and
quality assurance techniques must  be  de-
veloped to  support the establishment of ef-
fective monitoring systems.  In the  future,
physical, chemical, biological, and statistical
methods to measure thousands of pollutants
and effects in the air, water, biological tissues,
and wastes will  be needed. These methods
must work under varying extreme measure-
ment conditions such as hot turoulent gases
in factory stacks, organics at the parts per tril-
lion level in drinking  water, and viruses in
sewage sludge.  Recent  research has  ex-
panded our capability to  measure traces of
toxic  substances in air and  water  and to
analyze single samples for multiple contami-
nants. In addition, continuous on-site analyz-
ers are being developed to measure pollut-
ants too unstable to survive transport from
the field to the laboratory, and techniques are
being developed for sampling and preserving
heterogeneous substances such as sediments,
soil, airborne particles, and solid waste. A
stringent program for quality assurance must
be operational to assure that these measure-
ments will be consistent and useful.

The  research response
  Our exposure monitoring program
should emphasize three major study areas.
First,  we should develop and  improve
equipment  that can be carried by individuals
to directly monitor their exposure to air pol-
lutants. The data from such monitors can
then be used to determine the frequency dis-
tribution of exposure  for entire community
populations. Second, we should expand our
ability to use microorganisms for rapid
screening of compounds to determine expo-
sure/response relationships for critical recep-
tors. Third, we  must improve our ability to
estimate the total exposure of populations at
risk from all routes of exposure to ubiquitous
pollutants such as toxic substances. This can
be accomplished by using body burden mea-
surements augmented by ambient measure-
ments and models.
  Our biological  monitoring program
should emphasize improving the  direct
                   49

-------
  monitoring of pollutant effects by employing
  biological and biochemical indicators as mea-
  sures of the integrated effects of pollutants
  on complex ecosystems. In addition, to im-
  prove knowledge  of the trends in pro-
  ductivity of major crops and forage species,
  we should carry out long-term (5 to 15 years)
  baseline  monitoring of natural,  managed,
  and damaged  ecosystems. Such  an effort
  could include the establishment of perma-
  nent monitoring stations to monitor pollutant
  transport and biogeochemical cycling
  through biosphere sectors such as  biosphere
  reserve sites, airsheds,  river basins, and wa-
  tersheds. Associated with this effort,  we
  should monitor gross trends of environmen-
 tal effects by periodically surveying indicator
 species.
   Finally, the needs for a National Environ-
  mental Specimen Bank should be  investi-
 gated. Such a data bank would allow retro-
 spective analyses as  new techniques are de-
 veloped or new pollutants are identified.
   With regard to source monitoring,  we
 should improve our support  of  the regu-
 latory efforts in several ways. First,  we should
 expand the ability for intensive monitoring of
 sources to improve emission estimates and to
 audit self-monitoring reports. The develop-
 ment of rapid screening methods is essential
 here to discover violations. Second, to assure
 the quality and utility of source monitoring
 data, we must improve  our program of cer-
 tifying the laboratories that are analyzing en-
 vironmental samples. Third, we  must im-
 prove the monitoring of trace elements leach-
 ing into surface and groundwater supplies
 from industrial wastes, and of toxic  sub-
 stances and suspected carcinogens in air, wa-
 ter, and soils near major  production sites.
 Fourth, we should conduct intensive surveys
 to identify all major point sources in regions
 having severe water quality limitations and
 aid  in the establishment of  permanent
 monitoring sites as necessary.
  Our ambient monitoring program should
 emphasize the design and implementation of
 an  air quality  monitoring network for all
 criteria pollutants. Such  a network should be
 capable of measuring fine particles.  This may
 include measurements of size and  chemical
 composition for sulfates, nitrates, polycyclic
 organics, and trace metals.
  We also need to emphasize the monitoring
 of pollutants that are of special importance in
certain areas of the country. For example, we
 should  select effective instruments  and
 methods to monitor visibility  in  western
areas, especially those that may be impacted
by increased exploitation of  energy re-
 sources. For the northeast, north, and central
 portions of the United States and southeast-
 ern and south-central  Canada, we should
 emphasize the long-term monitoring of the
 wet and dry deposition  of pollutants. An
 especially important factor here is the mea-
 surement of acid precipitation. Additionally,
 we need to understand the role of long-range
 transport of hydrocarbons in  ozone forma-
 tion in these areas. Finally, for those regions
 which can be classified "pristine," we should
 support the design and implementation of a
 monitoring network to help  identify any sig-
 nificant deterioration in the quality of the air.
   Our data analysis and linkage programs
 must emphasize the standardized connection
 of existing data bases and the  improvement
 of information display capabilities. Databases
 containing health and employment data from
 the various organizations within the Depart-
 ment  of Health, Education  and Welfare
 should be linked, wherever  cost-effective,
 with  data bases  containing environmental
 quality data. The latter  are maintained by
 many  agencies including  the  EPA,  the Na-
 tional Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-
 tion, the U.S. Geological Survey, the Depart-
 ment of Agriculture, and the Department of
 Energy. Linking  these systems in a stan-
 dardized way will allow improved capability
 for determining cause-and-effect  relation-
 ships between environmental conditions and
 health effects.
   To improve our ability  to display and
 analyze this data, we should extend the capa-
 bilities to the UPGRADE  system to include
 emissions and effluent monitoring data and
 morbidity data. Correlations  may then be de-
 veloped between pollutant emissions/concen-
 trations and morbidity/mortality data to iden-
 tify geographic areas of concern.
   Our  measurement methods  program
 should focus on four major  areas. First, we
 need to improve our ability to determine the
 detailed composition and emission rates of air
 pollutants  from  stationary  and  mobile
 sources. Particular emphasis should be
 placed on asbestos, carbon-containing vapors
 and particulates, sulfates,  nitrates, and sus-
 pected mutagens and carcinogens emitted by
 stationary and mobile combustion sources.
   Second, we need to develop advanced sys-
 tems to measure  water quality. We  require
 sensors that  can be automated  and installed
 on waterborne platforms to monitor pH, dis-
 solved oxygen, coliforms, heavy metals, oils,
 and grease in marine and fresh water. In ad-
 dition, we need to develop remote sensing
techniques (laser fluorosensors, lidar, multi-
spectral analyses) to determine, quickly and
                                                               50

-------
inexpensively, such important factors as or-
ganic loadings in streams, ocean circulation
patterns, and turbidity impacts of  ocean
dumping.
  Third, we need  to develop better mea-
surement methods for biological and ecologi-
cal monitoring, including the  use of micro-
cosms to study transport and transformation
of pollutants in plants, soil, and microorgan-
isms. We should identify  biological and
biochemical responses to specific pollutants
in plants and animals and conduct feasibility
studies of the use of measures such as biomass
and species diversity as ecological early warn-
ing signals.
  Fourth, we need  to develop and evaluate
techniques for determining contributions of
sources to local,  urban, regional, and global
air quality, including instruments sufficiently
sensitive to measure ambient concentrations
in pristine areas and sufficiently miniaturized
to be used as personal monitors to measure
individual human exposure.
  Finally, quality assurance  must be en-
hanced in all of these areas. Future initiatives
to ensure  high-quality environmental
monitoring data  for air measurements could
include  establishment of a standards labora-
tory  to  provide  interlaboratory calibrations
for air measurements. This laboratory could
assure accurate traceability of reference ma-
terials and samples to the national standard
measurement system at the National Bureau
of Standards. Additional steps would include
the evaluation or certification of laboratories
(including air monitoring stations), external
audits of a variety of important monitoring
programs, provision of reference  materials
and quality control samples for all important
pollutant data before submission to national
data banks.
  Related initiatives in water measurements
ought to include creation of repositories of
standard  reference  samples for municipal
and industrial effluents, ocean  disposal,
drinking water, hazardous  substances, and
ambient water quality uses. We should also
expand interlaboratory  comparison studies
for pesticides and  the  cross-check sample
program  for radionuclides and  produce
manuals  of validated sampling techniques,
sample preservation procedures, and mea-
surement  methods for potable water, waste-
water, and sediments.
  Finally,  we should provide guidelines and
audit procedures for performance, calibra-
tion, and  maintenance of continuous moni-
tors and  automatic samplers in air and
water quality and other areas.  This will be-
come more important as we increasingly rely
upon the private sector to collect compliance
data.
                    51

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The President's message
to the Congress
May 23, 1977

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                                     Environmental futures
   In developing the topics discussed in this
 edition of the Research Outlook we relied upon
 three sources  of guidance—recent Federal
 environmental  legislation,  computerized
 projections of economic and  pollutant
 growth rates, and our best insight as scientists
 and researchers. Insight is difficult to docu-
 ment although it is, we hope, apparent in the
 preceding chapters. The other two sources of
 guidance, legislation and projected trends,
 are discussed in this chapter.

 Legislative guidance
  The majority  of research conducted by
 EPA is done in direct support of one or more
 of the Agency's statutory  regulatory func-
 tions (see listing). The emphasis of environ-
 mental statutes has shifted gradually over the
 past six  years—from  mobile sources  and
 gross water pollutants to toxic substances and
 longer-term risks. EPA's  research efforts
 have shifted along with this emphasis.
  The major legislative emphasis is now upon
 protecting human health by controlling toxic
 substances. This, we  feel, is an emphasis
 which will dominate our environmental re-
 search over the next five years. In his 1977
 environmental message to the Congress, the
 President stated that "the presence of toxic
 chemicals in the environment (is) one of the
 grimmest discoveries of the industrial era."
 Over the last two  years, the Congress  has
 passed major environmental legislation—the
 Toxic Substances Control Act and the Re-
 source Conservation and Recovery Act—as
 well as amendments to  the Federal  Water
 Pollution Control  Act, the Safe Drinking
Water Act, and the Clean Air Act.
  To  implement this legislation,  the Presi-
 dent has instructed EPA to give  its highest
 priority  to controlling toxic pollutants in
 industrial effluents under the Federal Water
 Pollution Control Act.  The recent amend-
 ments to this Act permit EPA to move more
 decisively against the discharge of chemicals
 potentially injurious to human  health.  EPA
 has also been instructed to set  standards
 under the Safe Drinking Water Act which will
 limit human exposure  to toxic substances in
 drinking water, beginning with potential car-
 cinogens. The recent amendments  to the
 Clean Air Act also stress limiting human ex-
 posure to toxic substances.
  The major impetus behind these efforts to
control toxic substances is the need to protect
 human health. This theme is woven through-
out EPA's authorizing legislation. Our role is
protective and  preventative, not curative.
EPA is not mandated to treat diseases as-
sociated with pollution after they have be-
come obvious, but rather, to prevent such
harmful pollution in the first place.
  The Toxic Substances Control Act (TSCA)
provided the theme for this Research Outlook.
It states, "if the Administrator (of the EPA)
determines that a risk to health or the envi-
ronment associated with a chemical substance
or mixture could be eliminated or reduced to
a sufficient extent by actions taken under the
authorities contained in such other Federal
laws,  the Administrator shall use such au-
thorities to protect against such risk unless
the Administrator determines, at the Admin-
istrator's discretion, that it is in the public
interest to protect against such risk by actions
taken under this Act." With such a funda-
mental and comprehensive mandate, it is es-
sential that the scientific basis for the Agen-
cy's actions to protect public health be both
sound and constantly expanding in response
to emerging problems.
  The other recently passed environmental
legislation—the Resource Conservation and
Recovery Act, the Clean Air Act amendments
and the Clean Water Act amendments—give
specific emphasis to different aspects  of re-
search  and  development.  On  the whole,
TSCA and the other acts are telling us that
the nation's policy makers want us to expand
that research and development which will
provide new and improved scientific  infor-
mation about the causative relationship be-
tween pollution exposures and adverse
health and environmental effects, and about
the technological or other means to reduce
the exposures to acceptable levels. Further-
more, the policy makers want us to concen-
trate on:
  —toxic and hazardous substances,
  —pollutants which  expose large popula-
    tions,
  —pollutants which are pervasive and per-
    sist in the environment,
  —pollutants which may  have long-term
    health and ecological effects, and
  —pollutants which may affect large-scale,
    even global, processes.
  Such recognition by the policy makers of
the growing sophistication required to make
further progress in our efforts toward pre-
ventative public health protection must be re-
flected in the priorities for the environmental
research and development program. This/fc-
search Outlook reflects this important guid-
ance.

Projected trends
  In addition to legislative guidance (and to
provide us with as quantitative a basis as pos-
sible for our speculations), we looked to pro-
                   53

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Recent Congressional Actions
Year    Action
                                           Effect on direction of future research
   1972
   1972
  1972
  1972
  1974
  1976
  1976
  1977
  1977
  1977
  1977
         Federal Water Pollution
         Control Act Amendments
         Marine Protection, Research,
         and Sanctuaries Act
         Noise Control Act
         Federal Insecticide,
         Fungicide, and Rodenticide
         Act Amendments

         Safe Drinking Water Act
         Toxic Substances Control Act
         Resource Conservation and
         Recovery Act
         Clean Air Act Amendments
        Clean Water Act
         Senate Committee on
         Government Operations Study
         on Federal Regulation
        Environmental Research,
        Development, and
        Demonstration Authorization
        Act of 1978
Research and development effort has led to
the development of technologies to control
pollution from point sources. Attention shifting
to the control of runoff from rural and urban
areas and sludge management practices.

Research and development has contributed to
the abatement of pollution from ocean
dumping and point source discharges.
Attention focusing  on significance of dredge
material disposal and energy development in
marine waters.

No substantial noise research planned for FY
1978. Future research may involve a
coordinated interagency effort.

Information needed on best management
practices to control pesticides in water runoff
from agricultural lands.

Scientific information needed upon which
viable standards can be based. Improved
measurement and  monitoring methods needed
to determine compliance with regulations.

Mandated broad program of research,
development and monitoring, and
dissemination of technical information.

Research directed toward the development of
improved solid  waste management
techniques, disposal technology, resource
recovery technology, and toward information
on the fate and processes of hazardous waste
transport through soil and groundwater
systems.

Mandated program of  research to determine
causes and effects of ozone depletion on
public health and welfare.

Return flows from irrigated agriculture
reclassified to a nonpoint discharge. Several
sections relate to marine waters.

Legislation recommended placing EPA in
charge of all radiation safety, thus centralizing
responsibilities  now distributed among 15
departments, commissions,  or regulatory
agencies.

Mandate of a separate program to conduct
continuing and  long-term environmental
research and development.
                                                                   54

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 jections from a computerized predictive
 model* (Ref. 1). The model is complex. It can
 be used to generate projections of environ-
 mental pollutant loadings  10 to 20 years
 hence.
  Its projections, however,  anticipate only
 those problems which can be defined, quan-
 tified,  and modeled based upon  today's
 knowledge. For example, in past years the
 toxic substances problem was viewed largely
 in terms of pollution by heavy metals. Only on
 this subject do we have enough data to create
 a realistic  projection.  Projections for other
 topics, such as organic compounds, are gen-
 erally unavailable.
  The model was used to project levels of
 residual substances (wastes) from various in-
 dustrial activities between now and  1990.
 Based  upon an assumed population of 245
 million in  1990 and a level of unemployment
 of 4.6 percent in the same year, the model al-
 lows us to examine the growth  of more than

*The model used was the Strategic Environmental
 Assessment Svstem developed by EPA and main-
 tained by  this Agency  and  the Department  of
 Energy.
                350 economic sectors. For example, even with
                the assumed conservation emphasis in the
                National Energy  Plan, about one and one-
                half times as much energy will be required by
                1990.  The national policy of reliance  on
                domestic energy  sources  would,  therefore,
                require the use of almost two and one-half
                times as much coal in 1990 as in 1975.
                  Many of the toxic substances of greatest
                concern are those produced by the nation's
                chemical industry. The production of that
                industry is expected to grow much faster than
                the population, and to almost double by 1990.
                Agricultural output, which is related to non-
                point sources of water pollution and pesticide
                problems, parallels our population growth.
                This forecast uses export trends of the early
                1970's, but assumes that we will not "feed the
                world."
                  With no catastrophic energv crises,  vehi-
                cle-miles traveled will grow at the same rate as
                the economy and faster than the population.
                The automobile  will continue  to dominate
                passenger-miles traveled at 83 percent of the
                total in 1990  as compared with 86 percent in
                1975.  Diesel automobiles will  increasingly
                dominate the market (Ref. 2. I).
Production of Solid Wastes
  2.0
  1.0
        Noncombustible
          solid wastes
Sewage treatment
    sludges
Industrial treatment
     sludges
Energy mining
   wastes
    -: U S
                   err.r  -i ;.-
                    55

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    As the economy expands, pollution will in-
  crease with a growing production capacity. If
  best available technology  advances toward
  zero discharge, a steady decrease in the dis-
  charge of all regulated pollutants can be
  achieved.  However,  as  pollutants are  re-
  moved from air or water, the resultant solid
  wastes must  be either disposed  of or used.
  These solid  residuals can  become  air  and
  water  pollutants once again if  improperly
  treated.
    Increasing volumes of various  solid wastes
  represent assets as well as liabilities.  Many
  wastes contain toxic materials and if improp-
  erly disposed of on land, the soil and
  groundwater may be  contaminated. On the
  other hand, some wastes can be an asset such
  as for energy and the recovery of nonferrous
  metals. In the case of surface mining wastes,
  the forecast assumes a steady increase in rec-
  lamation with a 100 percent recover) by the
 year 2000.
   Overall trends of residuals (pollutants) dis-
 charged to air, water, and land indicate that,
 with existing regulation, pollution  will in-
 crease  by  1990.  Water pollution indicators
 are below 1975 levels. The air pollution indi-
 cators, sulfur and nitrogen oxides, will  be
 above 1975 levels in both 1985 and 1990 as a
 result of increased combustion of fossil fuels.
 However, automobile  emission controls will
 lead to a downward trend  in  hydrocarbons
 and carbon monoxide in 1990.
The chosen topics
   Using our three guiding principles—legis-
lation,  projected trends, and  insight—we
chose eight topics to be discussed in this year's
Research Outlook. We consider these topics to
be our central research concerns during the
next five years and to be central to the health
and welfare of our citizens.
  Exposure to toxic substances  results from
multiple sources (water,  air, food)  as  they
come in contact with internal tissues by
breathing or eating, or by contact with the
skin or senses (Ref. 3). Air pollution caused
by sulfur and nitrogen  oxides, including
Socioeconomic Trends
Factor
Population
Gross national product
National energy demand
Coal mined
Chemical production
Agricultural production
Vehicle miles traveled
1985
1.10
1.55
1.27
1.93
1 63
1.05
1.54
1990
1.15
1.80
1.34
2.41
1 89
1.12
1.77
                                             Source U S Environmental Protection Agency. 1978
 National Discharge of Air Pollutants
 i 0
       Carbon        Hydrocarbons
      monoxide

Source U S Environmental Protection Agent,, 1978
                                        Particles
                                                      Sulfur oxides
                          Nitrogen
                           oxides
                                                                56

-------
                    aerosols, can aggravate pulmonary disorders
                    such as emphysema.  Air  pollution can also
                    contribute to the acidity of rain, thus damag-
                    ing agricultural and forestry productivity.
                      The compatibility of energy and the envi-
                    ronment requires research by EPA, especially
                    associated with the accelerated development
                    of coal reserves over the  next decade. The
                    control of solid waste by incineration or dis-
                    posal on land can affect the quality of the air
                    we breathe or the groundwater we drink. An
                    Industrial Output
Multiples of
1975 values
Sector
Iron and steel
Nonferrous metals
Pulp and paper
Chemicals
Electric utility
Petroleum and natural gas
Food processing
Fabrication and basic products
Coal mining
All other sources
Total output
1985
1.25
1 67
1.40
1 63
1.86
1.22
1.11
1.76
1.93
1.62
1.58
1990
1 27
1 95
1.57
1 89
220
1.25
1.23
204
241
1.90
1.83
                   Source' U S. Environmental Protection Agency 1978.
 National Discharge of Water Pollutants
 increase  in the Gross  National Product
 through 1990 and a concurrent threefold in-
 crease in the generation of industrial sludges
 from air and water pollution control indicates
 a potentially serious solid waste problem.
  Global  pollution, brought about by emis-
 sions of carbon dioxide or by  the release of
 substances such  as fluorocarbons, may indi-
 rectly affect crop yields and skin cancer rates.
 Marine pollution, a part of global pollution,
 affects the productivity of ocean and coastal
 areas including the quality of food from the
 sea.
  The increased use  of  telecommunication
 systems, radio and television transmitters,
 and other sources of  nonionizing  radiation
 such as high power radars, microwave ovens,
 or  high  voltage transmission  lines poses a
 threat to human health. The heaviest pollu-
 tion from these sources coincides with human
 population centers.
  Nonpoint discharges such as runoff from
 farms, construction sites, and strip mines, are
 major sources of water pollution. Changes in
 the methods and extent of farming, increased
 forest production, and watershed modifica-
 tions can  lead to contamination of drinking
 and recreational waters.
  The assessment of human exposure to
 harmful  agents is limited by inadequate
 monitoring and the unavailability of mea-
 surement  equipment. Measurement and
 monitoring will provide accurate data to
 characterize effects and identify  pollutant
 transport  routes.
  While these eight priority areas  form the
 core of the Research Outlook, the list is not  in-
 tended to be comprehensive. The intent is to
 use this report as a starting point in  open dis-
cussions with the Congress, the EPA Science
 Advisory  Board, other agencies, academia,
 and industry in order to develop a strong, re-
 sponsive environmental research program.
This Outlook is the basis for such a dialogue.
Out of that dialogue will  develop our re-
search program. Out of that  program will
come the information  we all need to help as-
 sure that  the quality of our air, water, and
 food supplies  is adequate to protect human
 health and the ecological system upon which
our survival depends.
     Suspended solids     Biochemical oxygen
                            demand
                                             Dissolved solids
Source US Environment! Protection Agency 19?8
                                      .11

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Gabriel Biel
Exposito Canonis Missae
1495

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                                             Research  options
   EPA simply cannot solve all the problems
 of the  environment.  We  must establish
 priorities, and our first priority is to protect
 people. The ranking of the eight topics and
 the forging of their respective goals are based
 upon this premise.
   Unfortunately,  even  as we address these
 few but very important topics, \ve are not ad-
 dressing many other substantive problems.
 The importance of the other problems, how-
 ever, should not be underestimated; we may
 very well lack only the relevant information to
 foresee them. This is why the Research Outlook
 must be viewed as a dynamic process where
 priorities and problems change each year as
 new perceptions emerge. The foundations
 for such a process are  our forecasts of en-
 vironmental futures and our best scientific
judgment.
   The Environmental  Research, Develop-
 ment, and Demonstration Authorization Act
 of 1978 requires that three growth options be
 considered in this report. The "no growth"
 option assumes that the total Agency research
 budget remains at the Fiscal Year 1978 level
 through the five-year period to Fiscal 1982.
 The "moderate growth" option assumes a
 five percent growth in the total budget com-
 pounded annually from Fiscal 1979 through
 Fiscal 1982. This results in a Fiscal 1982 level
 22 percent above  the Fiscal  1978 level.  The
"high growth" option assumes a ten percent
 annual compounded growth resulting in a 46
 percent increase  in  Fiscal 1982  over Fiscal
 1978. As a point of reference, EPA's research
budget for Fiscal  1978 was S297 million. For
 Fiscal 1979, the  Agency has submitted a
budget request of S306 million to Congress.
   In the following sections, the implications
of our priority rankings (presented  in  the
preceding chapters)  and the budget growth
options are blended together. In developing
this picture of our research program over the
next five years, we have taken into account
the relative size and maturity of our current
research efforts in the eight areas, as well as_
the new emphases called for in this Research
Outlook. For example, new areas such as toxic
substances and nonionizing radiation  now
comprise  only minor fractions  of our re-
search efforts—one percent  or less—but
must grow if we are to  meet the challenges
outlined in the preceding chapters. On  the
other hand, relatively mature areas such as
energy and the environment and air pollu-
tion now represent major shares of the pro-
gram—44 and  14 percent, respectively—and
offer  considerable potential for  redirection
of ongoing efforts to higher priority empha-
 Toxic substances
  Prediction and control of toxic substances
 are our highest research priorities. Although
 toxic substances research currently repre-
 sents only about one  percent of EPA's re-
 search funding, EPA  Fiscal 1979 budget
 submission calls for an almost threefold in-
 crease in this research. By Fiscal 1982, even
 under a no growth option, EPA plans to ex-
 pand funding of research on toxic substances
 to about 6.8 times its current level or $25 mil-
 lion. Under the high growth option, funding
 would increase nearly thirteenfold over the
 Fiscal 1978 to a level of $48 million.

 Air pollution
  Air pollution ranks second in priority. The
 pervasiveness of aerosols and the  likely
 growth of these pollutants requires improved
 understanding, prediction, and  control. A
 significant part of EPA's research budget, 14
 percent, is directed to problems of air pollu-
 tion. Because of the potential for redirecting
 ongoing activities, relatively modest growth is
 planned  under the three options for air
 pollution research.  Under a high growth op-
 tion we project a 50 percent growth in fund-
 ing by Fiscal 1982 to a level of $61  million.
 However, major shifts from research into the
 conventional gaseous pollutants to research
 into potentially hazardous aerosols  are
 planned.

 Energy and the environment
  Developing energy sources while protect-
ing the environment ranks third  in priority,
primarily because of the potential impacts of
increased coal combustion on air quality.
During the next 20 years, preventing  en-
vironmental problems  through anticipatory
research will be more effective than regulat-
ing  energy  sources after problems are well
entrenched.
  EPA already provides substantial funding
 for research to assure an adequate supply of
 environmentally "clean" energy. By  1982,
 prediction and control  of paniculate and sul-
 fur oxide pollution should be well defined.
 Control of nitrogen oxides from power plants
 should also be better understood by that time.
 By Fiscal 1982, we anticipate a shift of fund-
 ing to otherareas of research, while still main-
 taining  substantial energy funding.  A no
 growth budget would result in a 30 percent
 decrease by Fiscal 1982 to a level of $ 103 mil-
 lion  as compared with Fiscal 1978. A high
 growth total budget would reflect a ten per-
 cent decrease to a  level of $117 million for
 energy related research.
                   59

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 FY 1978 Budget ($297.47 million)
 Office of Research and Development (Millions of dollars)
                                          Energy and the
                                          Environment
                                          $130.59
                                          (44%)
               Air
               Pollution
               $42.38
               (14%)
Nonionizing
Radiation
S0.83

Nonpoint
Sources and
Watersheds
$15.00 (5%

Solid Waste
$7.66 (3%)

Global
Pollution
S9.34 (3%)

Toxic
Substances
$3.63(1%)
Notes:
•Includes drinking water, point sources ol water    Fiscal year 1978 funding of S37.32 million lor
pollution, pesticides, interdisciplinary          Measurement and Monitoring is distributed
research, and program management.          among all topics.
                                                                60

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 Proportional Growth Projections (FY 1982, Office of Research and Development)
                                                                                       FY 79 submitted

                                                                                       No growth

                                                                                       Moderate growth

                                                                                       High growth
Toxic           Air Pollution     Energy         Solid Waste
Substances                   and the
                             Environment
(Funding for Measurement and Monitoring is distributed among all topics )
Global         Nonionizing     Nonpoint       Measurement   Total Budget
Pollution       Radiation       Sources and    and
                             Watersheds    Monitoring
Dollar Growth Projections (FY 1982, Office of Research and Development)
                                                                                       FY78

                                                                                       FY79

                                                                                       No growth

                                                                                       Moderate growth

                                                                                       High growth
Toxic            Air Pollution      Energy
Substances                      and the
                                Environment
(Funding for Measurement and Monitoring is distributed among all topics )
                                                 Solid Waste
        Global
        Pollution
Nonionizing
Radiation
Nonpoint
Sources and
Watersheds
Measurement
and
Monitoring
                                                          61

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Solid waste
  The significant growth in solid waste, espe-
cially hazardous industrial materials, requires v
that we place our fourth highest priority on
solving problems in the disposal and recovery
of such wastes. Less than three percent of
EPA's Fiscal 1978 research budget is spent on
investigating problems with, and ways to con-
trol, solid waste. A 40 percent growth by Fis-
cal  1982  under the  no growth option is the
same level of $11 million EPA has requested
of the Congress in Fiscal 1979. In the moder-
ate  growth option, an  increase by a factor of
2.2  is projected by Fiscal  1982. The  high
growth option would call for a threefold in-
crease to a level of $23 million.
                                            Global pollution
                                              Understanding what we must do to assure
                                            the survival of a healthful biosphere  ranks
                                            fifth in our priorities. Prediction of the effects
                                            of human activities on the atmosphere and on
                                            ocean  resources requires  improved knowl-
                                            edge of the biosphere's processes and cycles.
                                            About three percent of EPA's Fiscal  1978
                                            budget for  research is  dedicated  to global
                                            problems. This research addresses  primarily
                                            coastal  and estuarine  problems and, to  a
                                            much lesser extent, depletion of the ozone
                                            layer. Small funding increases are projected
                                            under the no growth and moderate growth
                                            options. We will, however, be looking  to the
                                            efforts of other Federal agencies such  as the
                                            National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-
                                            tration  and the Department  of Energy to
                                            provide much  of the  needed information.
                                            Under the high growth option a 50 percent
                                            funding increase is projected to a level of $14
                                            million.
Basis for Growth Options
Millions
of dollars
         425
         4QO

         375

         350

         325

         300

         275

         250

         225

         200

         175

         150

         125

         100

          75

          50

          25
               Fiscal 1978
                 budget
                              Fiscal 1979
                            budget request
Fiscal 1982
 no growth
  budget
  Fiscal 1982
moderate growth
    budget
Fiscal 1982
high growth
  budget
Note:
The three budget options (no growth, moderate growth,
and high growth) are based on growth from the Office of
Research.and Development FY 79 budget submission
                                          compounded annually (respectively at zero, five and ten
                                          percent).
                                                                62

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Nonionizing radiation
  The subtle nonthermal effects of nonioniz-
ing radiation and the likely growth in the im-
portance of this potential health hazard re-
quire that we make this area our sixth prior-
ity. EPA's research funding for the effects of
nonionizing radiation amounts to consid-
erably less than one percent of  EPA's re-
search budget.  Modest budget increases in
this area appear as large percentage increases
relative to the Fiscal 1978 base. The nonioniz-
ing radiation research area would double
under the no growth option to $2 million, in-
crease nearly fivefold under the  moderate
growth option  to S4 million, and increase
over eightfold under the high growth option
to $7 million.

Nonpoint sources
and watersheds
  Research  on  nonpoint sources and wa-
tersheds ranks seventh in priority. The ability
of watersheds to assimilate pollution is cer-
tainly limited. We must, therefore,  learn how
to predict and control the effects of nonpoint
sources on  water  quality and land pro-
ductivity. Research on nonpoint sources and
watersheds comprises five percent of EPA's
Fiscal 1978 research budget. Funding for this
area declined in  EPA's Fiscal 1979 submission
to the Congress. By Fiscal 1982, however, we
project some growth under both  the no
growth and moderate growth budget op-
tions, wit ha doubling of the budget underthe
high growth option to a level of S30 million.

Measurement and monitoring
  Measurement and monitoring research is
our eighth highest priority  in this Research
Outlook.  Comprehensive  measurement and
monitoring of the multitude of environmen-
tal pollutants will be expensive but we must
continue to steadily expand our activities in
this area in order to support our efforts in the
other seven priority  areas.  At present the
funding in this area, which cuts across many
of the above topics, accounts for over 12 per-
cent of EPA's research budget. EPA's Fiscal
1979 budget submission provides for a signif-
icant  40  percent increase in  measurement
and  monitoring to a level  of $52  million.
Under the no growth option the Fiscal  1979
level would  be  maintained through Fiscal
1982. Funding for the area would increase by
60 percent under the moderate growth op-
tion to a level of $59 million, and 70 percent
under the high growth option relative to Fis-
cal 1978 to a level of S63 million.
Other environmental research
  Since EPA supports only a fraction of the
Federal  environmental  research efforts, we
must draw extensively upon related efforts by
otr^er Federal agencies, the private sector,
and other nations. Because EPA's priorities
emphasize protecting public health, we can
develop  special relationships  with  some
agencies through such mechanisms as the In-
teragency Regulatory Liaison Group. But,
because  of resource  limitations, we cannot
support all types of related research in en-
vironmental science and technology. Other
organizations which focus specifically on the
atmosphere, oceans,  and natural resources
support important research related to EPA's
areas of specialization.
  We have an excellent foundation on which
to build.  As described in the appendices on
interagency and international  coordination,
there already exist many mechanisms for
sharing of research information and conduct-
ing cooperative projects, both  in the United
States and in foreign countries.
  We should expand our efforts to utilize the
scientific information developed by other or-
ganizations. We should support their efforts
to expand research capabilities where the re-
search will complement our  activities. We
should share our growth potential with these
organizations and should share in their op-
portunities as well.
                   63

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                                                                   Appendices
                             Interagency coordination
 Goals
 The goals of the interagency coordination
 efforts are to improve both the efficiency of
 Federally funded environmental research
 and its relevance to the protection of human
 health and environmental quality.

  Approximately three-fourths of the en-
 vironmental research funded by the Federal
 government is performed by agencies other
 than the  EPA. The EPA, however, requires
 much of the information developed via such
 efforts to fulfill its regulatory mission. Access
 to this data,  and improved programming of
 research efforts to avoid duplication of effort
 or information gaps, is achieved through a
 multitude of formal or ad hoc ties between
 EPA and  other agencies or interagency com-
 missions.
  At present, EPA's Office of Research and
 Development maintains formal coordinating
 linkages with 39 other Federal agencies and
 departments and is co-funding more  than
 200 projects each year with those agencies.
 These  projects range  from health effects
 studies and technology  development to
 monitoring  support and  data assessment.
 They reflect areas of current and future
 interest to the agency such as  toxic  sub-
 stances, energy, global pollution, health ef-
 fects, nonpoint discharges, nonionizing radi-
 ation, and monitoring.

 Toxic substances
  The Toxic Substances Control Act specifi-
 cally requires coordination with other  Fed-
 eral laws in preventing risk of injury to
 human health or the environment from toxic
 substances.  The Interagency Regulatory
 Liaison Group (IRLG) was created by the
 agency heads to coordinate research and en-
 forcement activities. The IRLG is composed
 of EPA, the Food and Drug Administration,
 the Occupational Safety and Health Adminis-
 tration, and the Consumer Product Safety
 Commission.
  Under  the auspices of the IRLG, signifi-
 cant studies are being undertaken to identify
 and eliminate any unnecessary duplication of
 effort and to identify areas where additional
 research is necessary. As part of its role in this
exercise, EPA has initiated specific research
 to meet the needs of the other three agencies
as well as  its own. Such research includes the
development of short-term in vitro tests and
tissue bioassays, epidemiology of cancer inci-
dence in workers and guidelines for conduct-
ing such studies, and the compilation of data
on body burden of toxic chemicals. In addi-
tion, EPA is supporting development  of a
project level information base to meet the
needs of the IRLG.
  EPA maintains  strong support of other
Federal research agencies such as the Na-
tional Center for Toxicological Research.
More than $4 million of EPA funds is allo-
cated each year to aid research at the facility.
In like manner, $4 million of the 1978 budget
of the National Cancer Institute  has been al-
located to joint National Cancer Institute and
EPA research on  pollution/cancer relation-
ships.
  Much of the research conducted by the Na-
tional Institute of Environmental Health Sci-
ences (NIEHS) is related to effects of toxic
substances.  EPA reviews the  Institute's re-
search projects and EPA and NIEHS scien-
tists maintain close communication in the Re-
search Triangle Park facility. Finally, EPA is
funding an interagency agreement at the
Center for Disease Control in Atlanta to de-
velop epidemiological data on toxic metals.

Energy

  EPA's Interagency Energy/Environment
Research and Development Program  is one
of the largest and most successful programs
of its type ever conducted by the Federal gov-
ernment.  It relies on the close  cooperation
and  communication among more than a
dozen Federal agencies and departments.
Approximately $100  million  per year in
energy-related environmental research and
development is conducted  under this pro-
gram, which funds more than 600 projects.
One-fourth  of these projects are im-
plemented by agencies other than the EPA,
and most of the remainder are conducted by
EPA-monitored extramural grants and con-
tracts.
  The Interagency Program was initiated in
Fiscal Year 1975. It is based upon reports pre-
sented by  two multiagency task forces in
November 1974. These reports, along with
guidance provided by the Office of Manage-
ment and Budget and the Council on En-
vironmental Quality, helped to establish EPA
as central planner and coordinator of the en-
tire Interagency Program.
  EPA's role as program coordinator assures
consideration  of  national environmental
goals and energy  development  needs.  A
prime example of this role is the  relationship
that has developed between the  Department
of Energy and the EPA with regard to the de-
velopment  of synthetic fuels  from  coal.
Under the auspices of the Interagency Pro-
gram. EPA  is cooperating with  the Depart-
ment to monitor and assess the pollutants

-------
 from prototype and demonstration synthetic
 fuel plants being developed in this country.
   Working with the Tennessee Valley Au-
 thority (TVA), EPA has sponsored several re-
 search projects aimed at further improving
 the  economics and applicability of various
 techniques for disposing of flue gas desul-
 furization sludges. Additional work funded
 at TVA via the Interagency Program in-
 volved testing of alternative flue gas desul-
 furization systems under different operating
 conditions.
   For several years, EPA's Interagency Pro-
 gram has been a major source of support for
 the nation's coal cleaning development pro-
 gram within the Bureau of Mines and else-
 where. The limits of cleanability of hundreds
 of different types of domestic coals have been
 tested. Major studies have also analyzed the
 potential economic benefits  of combining
 coal cleaning with  partial scrubbing of flue
 gas to achieve levels of control comparable to
 total scrubbing systems.
  To determine what happens to energy-
 related pollutants in the atmosphere, the In-
 teragency Program has combined the efforts
 of EPA, the Department of Energy, the Na-
 tional Bureau of Standards, the Tennessee
Valley Authority, and the National Oceanic
and  Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
on various  aspects  of the problem. For in-
stance, under the auspices of the Interagency
Program, NOAA maintains a full-time mod-
eling group at EPA's Environmental Sciences
Research Laboratory in North Carolina.
  One of the more  successful interagency ef-
 forts to date has been the development of in-
 expensive combustion modification
 technologies and techniques which promise
 to reduce  the amount  of nitrogen oxides
emitted by industrial and commercial boilers.
These techniques promise not only to reduce
pollution from a vast array of stationary
pollution sources, but also to improve the
 overall energy efficiency of the units in the
 process. Closely associated with this work has
 been  the  development  of  various
 mechanisms,  including advanced  scrubber
 systems and baghouses, for removing the
 major pollutants from coal combustion such
 as  sulfur oxides, particles, and  nitrogen
 oxides.
  As the Interagency Program continues to
 prove to be a successful means of linking the
 efforts of  various  agencies involved  in
 energy-related environmental  research, it
 expands its list of participants. For example, a
 formal memorandum of understanding has
 been signed with the Electric Power Research
 institute, a utility-funded energy research or-
 ganization.  In addition, both the Nuclear
 Regulatory Commission and the U.S.  Coast
 Guard have indicated an interest in becoming
 formal participants.
  Research  efforts within the program will
 continue to focus on resolving the health and
 environmental problems associated with near
 and mid-term domestic energy resource de-
 velopment. The extraction, processing, and
 combustion of coal will continue to be a major
 concern of the program's efforts.  Focus of
 this research is gradually shifting toward the
 identification of the health and environmen-
 tal effects of energy-related pollutants.  This
 is especially true of cases in which the pollu-
 tants may interact with other air or water
 pollutants, or may expose  populations  to
 small doses over extended time periods. In-
 formation gained from the longer term proj-
 ects supported by the Interagency Program
 will help to improve the precision of the en-
 ergy/environment decision-making process.

 The Great  Lakes
  In addition to our cooperative efforts with
 the International Joint Commission on the
 Great Lakes, EPA also works closely with the
 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminis-
 tration, the Great Lakes Basin Commission,
 and the Great Lakes Fisheries Commission to
 share information and coordinate research.
 In one effort, EPA and the Great Lakes En-
 vironmental Research Laboratory of NOAA
 model near-shore processes and  hydro-
 dynamic transport.
  EPA's Large Lakes Research station main-
tains the data  base for the Great Lakes re-
search community,  including Federal  and
state agencies, as well as academic institutions
and Canadian  agencies. The Agency, there-
 fore, serves as a resource and as a focal point
 for interagency data exchange and informa-
tion management.
                                                              66

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                                                                      Appendix 1
 Atmospheric and
 climatic effects
   As requested by the Federal Committee on
 Science and Technology, the EPA has taken
 the  lead in a multiagency program called
 Biological and Climatic Effects  Research
 Program (BACER). This program involves
 six other agencies in modeling and measur-
 ing stratospheric phenomena and their po-
 tential biological effects. For further infor-
 mation on this program, see the Global Pollu-
 tion chapter.
   In addition, EPA through a long standing
 interagency agreement with NOAA, receives
 meteorology support. EPA accommodates 50
 NOAA employees within its organization and
 facilities.

 Health effects
   EPA maintains  close contact  with  the
 NIEHS. EPA's Assistant Administrator for
 Research and Development is a member of
 the National Advisory Environmental Health
 Council which advises NIEHS on extramural
 research,  primarily  relating  to cancer and
 health effects. The Agency also provides the
 Institute with descriptions of  EPA  health-
 related research projects.
   Likewise, EPA works with an interagency
 task  force, organized by Congressional re-
 quest,  to examine the needs, goals, and re-
 sources appropriate to  the NIEHS research
 program for the next five to eight years. EPA
 is also participating in various working
 groups created to implement recommen-
 dations made by the task force.
   In response to Section 402 of the Clean Air
 Act Amendments, the Administrator of EPA
 chairs  a task force on environmental cancer
 and  heart and lung  disease. The National
 Cancer Institute (NCI); the National Heart,
 Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI); the Na-
 tional  Institute of Occupational Safety and
 Health (NIOSH); and NIEHS are members
of the group. The objectives of the task force-
are to recommend  and coordinate com-
 prehensive research on the relationship be-
tween  environmental pollution and human
cancer and heart and lung disease,  and to
recommend strategies  for eliminating the
 risks of cancer and other diseases associated
with  environmental pollution.
  The  Agencv also maintains an interasencv
        O                           O    -
agreement with the Center for Disease Con-
trol (CDC). The Center provides EPA with
support on  epidemiology  studies and
emergency episodes such as the carbon tet-
rachloridc spill on the Ohio River last year.
  EPA is working with NIOSH to develop
studies on the effects of diesel exhausts. For
some time now,  NIOSH has been studying
miners' exposure to diesel exhaust. Current
efforts will be directed toward other areas
where there is a high level of exposure, such
as in locomotive terminals and bus stations.
  EPA is also contributing to epidemiological
studies conducted by the  Food  and Drug
Administration and the National Cancer In-
stitute. These agencies are studying the inci-
dence of bladder cancer and its relationship
to saccharin intake. Water  supply and tap
water samples are also being analyzed to de-
termine whether there may be other carcino-
gens in water contributing to bladder cancer.
  Finally, EPA participates in several health-
related task force and advisory panels such as
the Army Science Advisory Panel and Steer-
ing Committee on Primate Use.

Nonpoint  sources
and watersheds
  To assess tools and management practices
for controlling  nonpoint source  pollutants
generated by forest management  practices,
EPA conducts cooperative research efforts
with the U.S. Forest Service. With the  Ag-
ricultural Research Service. EPA  works to
evaluate the effectiveness of irrigation  sys-
tems. In  addition,  a  university-F.PA-
Department  of  Agriculture coordinating
committee  for  environmental quality re-
search and development has  worked since

-------
 Interagency Research and Development Coordination

Department or Agency
Agriculture
Federal Research Science and Education
Administration
Food Safety Quality Service
Commerce
National Bureau of Standards
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Defense
Corps of Engineers
Energy
Health, Education, and Welfare
Public Health Service
Food and Drug Administration
Bureau of Radiological Health
National Center for Toxicological Research
National Center for Health Statistics
Disease Control Center
National Institute of Occupational
Safety and Health
National Cancer Institute
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute
National Instituteof Environmental Health Sciences
Housing and Urban Development
Interior
Fish and Wildlife Service
Bureau of Land Management
National Marine Fisheries Service
United States Geological Survey
Heritage Conservation and Recreation Service
Labor
State
Transportation
Federal Aviation Administration
United States Coast Guard
Other Agencies
Council on Environmental Quality
National Aeronautics and Space
Administration
Consumer Product Safety Commission
Tennessee Valley Authority
National Science Foundation
National Academy of Sciences/National
Academy of Engineering
Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Great Lakes Basin Commission
Air
Pollution


O A


O A
0 A
O A

O A


O


A



O A

O
0 A
O






O
O
O


O A

0 A
O
O
O

O
O

Water
Pollution
O A

O A


0 A
O A
O A
O
O A


O A


A





0
O A
0
O A
O A
O A
O A


O


O

O A

0 A

O A
O A

O
O A
O

Energy
A

A


O A
O A


O A








O A


O A
A
A
A

0 A
A









A

O A



0

Pesticides
& Toxics
O A


0 A







0
O

O A

O A

O A
0 A

0 A
0 A






O





O A


O

0 A





Radiation




O
O A

O

0 A

O
O













O A






O A



0







Health
Effects





O A

0 A



O
O A
O
O A
0 A
0 A

O A
O A
O A
O A
O A






0





O A


0




A


Other3







O A

O A




















O
O
O












••Including noise, solid waste, and policy research.
O  Coordination through committees.
A  Coordination through joint research.
                                                           68

-------
                                                                       Appendix 1
 1972 to prevent duplication of research ef-
 forts and to assure that major environmental
 research needs are satisfied.
   EPA's activities include periodic meetings
 with counterparts at other agencies including
 the  Economic Research  Service and the
 Cooperative State Research Service to assure
 that the other Federal agencies consider en-
 vironmental protection when planning their
 research.
   In addition to the Interagency Energy and
 Environment  Research and Development
 Program, EPA  conducts joint energy-
 related research  efforts with the Nuclear
 Regulatory Commission to design studies on
 licensing procedures; the  National  Marine
 Fisheries Service on the effects of power plant
 effluents; and the Department of the Interior
 on a siting and operations committee.

 Marine pollution
  To improve our understanding of the im-
 pact of human activities on the ocean, EPA
 participates in several interagency coopera-
 tive research efforts. For example, EPA con-
 ducts research into ocean-borne  pesticides
 with the Bureau of Sports Fisheries  and
 Wildlife. The Agency also coordinates with
 the Food and Drug Administration in studies
 of shellfish pollution, as well as with the In-
 terior's Bureau of Outdoor Recreation in the
 selection of study sites,  the Army Corps of
 Engineers  for the measurement of water
 quality, and the National Science Foundation
 for evaluation of water quality indicators. \Ve
 are also engaged  in modeling the transport
 and fate of pollutants in the marine environ-
 ment with NOAA, U.S. Geological Survey,
 and the Bureau of Land Management.
  A  joint EPA-Army Corps of Engineers
 technical committee coordinates research on
 the regulatory aspects  of dredging. It  rec-
 ommends research studies and establishes
joint projects.
  \Ve are engaged in interagency research on
 the impacts and cleanup of oil spHls. EPA, the
 Department of the Interior, NOAA, and the
 U.S. Coast Guard are developing an oil spill
 damage assessment program. This program
 includes preparation of a report with NOAA
 on the Argo Merchant Oil spill; cooperation
 with the Bureau of Land Management in re-
 viewing outer continental shelf documents;
 and co-sponsorship of an oil conference with
 the U.S. Coast Guard, Bureau of Land Man-
 agement, NOAA, Department of Energy,
 and Office of Naval Research. EPA also uses
 U.S.  Navy facilities to do research in the
 characteristics and effects of drilling mud.
Nonionizing  radiation
  Centralized coordination has resulted in
complementary research and information
exchange among the several Federal agencies
addressing  nonionizing  radiation. Each
agency has specific areas of responsibility in
studying nonionizing radiation. EPA is con-
cerned primarily with the centralized gather-
ing of data for exposure standards. The De-
partment  of Commerce's Office of Tele-
communications Policy coordinates Federal
programs  on biological effects. Other agen-
cies conducting research are the Department
of Defense and the U.S. Public Health Ser-
vice's Bureau of Radiological Health.
  EPA interacts  with the  other agencies
through program reviews and research dis-
cussions on nonionizing radiation effects, in-
cluding the immune defense system and ge-
netics. In 1977, representatives from the De-
partment of Energy discussed with EPA pos-
sible effects from a proposed Satellite Power
System that would produce power from solar
energy. The EPA also prepared a report sec-
tion on radiation research needs for the Na-
tional Institute for Environmental Health
Science's research program.

Monitoring
  A fundamental  problem in environmental
management has been the fragmentation of
the nation's environmental  monitoring ef-
forts. For example, data collected by the Food
and Drug  Administration on pollutant levels
in foods, the U.S. Department of Agriculture
on levels in soil, and the U.S. Geological Sur-
vey on levels in water, cannot be synthesized
due to gaps in collection, incompatibility of
data storage techniques, and differences in
methods of analysis.
  Future  coordination will be necessary in
three areas  of monitoring:  linkage of en-
vironmental monitoring data with health ef-
fects data, ecological (or biological) monitor-
ing, and state monitoring programs for air
and water quality.
  A major function of coordinated national
environmental monitoring would be the link-
age of environmental data with medical and
socioeconomic data to establish correlations
for further analysis.
  EPA has taken  some recent steps to pro-
mote greater interagency coordination
among collectors of health and environmen-
tal data. For example, EPA and the National
Center for Health Statistics agreed to work
toward correlating the Center's mortality and
morbidity data with  EPA's environmental
data. The recent  formation of the  Inter-
                   69

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 agency Regulatory Liaison Group also shows
 promise  of improving environmental and
 health data collection analysis.
  Biological monitoring data presently suffer
 from the lack of centralized storage and re-
 trieval systems. In response to this problem,
 EPA has developed a  computerized system
 (limited at present to aquatic data) now being
 operated on a pilot basis. Cooperation  by
 other agencies in further development could
 assure a valuable interagency resource for
 biological monitoring data.
  Another problem associated with biological
 monitoring is the lack of standardized sample
 collection, preservation, and analysis tech-
 niques. This lack can,  and  often does, pre-
 clude the comparison of data from different
 agencies. EPA is engaged in programs  to
 produce guidelines for standardized biologi-
 cal  laboratory procedures. Nationwide im-
 plementation of such guidelines should im-
 prove  the comparability of biological mea-
 surement data.
  In the near term, a major coordination ef-
 fort is needed to provide  guidance to the
states in establishing and operating air and
water monitoring systems to meet require-
 ments  of EPA regulations  and standards.
 Quality assurance guidance provided to the
 states through EPA's ten regional offices cov-
 ers  the use of  approved measurement
 methods, quality control techniques and ma-
 terials, and audits of data and system per-
 formance.  Efforts are underway to prevent
 duplication of activities and to provide uni-
 form guidance to state monitoring programs
 for  ambient air, stationary  sources, and
 drinking water analysis.
  In addition to these activities, EPA's labora-
 tory in Las Vegas,  Nevada, is conducting
 radiation monitoring for the Department of
 Energy. EPA also has agreements with the
 National Aeronautics and Space Administra-
 tion for aircraft  monitoring,  monitors the
 marine  environment with the assistance of
 U.S. Coast Guard vessels, and shares sam-
 pling stations  with the National Marine
 Fisheries Service.
  Of particular importance this year is the
 launching of a new  program  with the Na-
tional Bureau of  Standards  to develop cali-
bration  materials, measurement methods,
and standards for research monitoring. This
program is similar to the Interagency Energy/
Environment R&D Program mentioned ear-
lier
                                                               70

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                                                                     Appendix 2
                             International  coordination
 Goals
 The goals of our international activities are
 to recognize the worldwide and long-range
 character of environmental problems and,
 where consistent with the foreign policy of
 the United States, lend support to initiatives,
 resolutions, and programs  designed to im-
 prove international cooperation  in an-
 ticipating and preventing a decline in the
 quality of our global environment.*

   The Office of Research and Development
 currently conducts, and will continue to pur-
 sue, a high  level of cooperative and  coordi-
 nated research with other nations and inter-
 national organizations. The benefits of these
 activities are threefold. First, some of the
 problems we face, such as depletion of the
 ozone layer or protection of the Great Lakes,
 are inherently international, and a unilateral
 approach to their solution would  be inade-
 quate. Second,  just as our  technology  is
 superior in  some areas, other nations have
 areas of experience and expertise which allow
 for an efficient,  mutually beneficial sharing
 of information.  Third, the reduction or
 elimination  of pollution anywhere  on the
 globe is, in a larger sense, of benefit to all who
 live on this planet. As we improve and share
 our pollution control technologies, our entire
 environment becomes a more healthful place
 to live.
   EPA specialists participate in joint projects
 under bilateral agreements with Canada, the
 Federal Republic  of  Germany, Japan,
 Mexico,  the USSR, and excess foreign cur-
 rency countries (e.g., Egypt, Poland, Yugo-
 slavia, Pakistan, and India). EPA also partici-
 pates in working groups  associated with
 multilateral organizations such as the Or-
 ganization  for Economic Cooperation and
 Development, NATO's Committee  on the
 Challenges of Modern Society, United Na-
 tions Environmental Program, \Vorld Health
 Organization. Pan American Health Organi-
 zation, Commission of European  Com-
 munities, and the Economic Commission for
 Europe.
  To gain insight into contemporary do-
 mestic issues by learning  from another's
 experience,  EPA researchers participate in
 fact-finding missions, attend  international
 symposia, and provide advice to those coun-
 tries requesting assistance  in  solving  their
 own environmental problems.
  Agencv participation in ongoing  inter-
 national  activities reflects  areas of current
 United States concern  for  potential  envi-

*\\'ording adapted from Section 102(2) (E) of the
 National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA).
ronmental problems  and emphasizes toxic
substances, atmospheric pollution, water
pollution, hazardous wastes, energy,  and
monitoring.

Toxic substances
  Issues relating to toxic substances, includ-
ing multimedia exposure to  environmental
chemicals and related health effects, signi-
ficant perturbations to ecosystems,  and
disposal of toxic substances, are of primary
concern  to environmentalists worldwide.
Therefore the Agency is working on several
international initiatives in this area.
  Implementation of the Toxic Substances
Control Act requires cooperation in establish-
ing international agreements on regulatory
procedures (e.g., consistent testing require-
ments,  agreed quality control  procedures,
standard  methods).
  The  Agency is concentrating its efforts
within  major  international  organizations
such as the Chemicals Group of the Organiza-
tion for  Economic Cooperation and De-
velopment (OECD). EPA is participating ac-
tively in the chemical testing program of the
Chemicals Group to harmonize test methods
and  systems to predict  the effects of sub-
stances on humans and the environment be-
fore substances enter the marketplace. EPA's
focus is on methods for testing the long-term
effects of chemical substances on human
health.
  EPA is discussing with the European
Commission  the administrative details  of
toxic substances control, including the har-
monization of the Toxic Substances Control
Act preinanufacturing  procedures and the
examination and evaluation of toxicitv test-
ing.  Also in  cooperation  with the  World
Health Organi/ation. EPA will help develop
an international plan of action to improve the
evaluation of health risks from exposure to
chemicals.
  Japan has long been concerned with the
issue of  toxic  substances.  Under a United
States-Japan bilateral agreement,  EPA has
exchanged information in such areas as mer-
cury removal from contaminated waste-water
and sludges. DDT and PCBs in accumulated
sediments, and the fate  and  effects of  toxic
substances in  sediments. Areas for future
cooperation may include studies on chemical
incidents, sharingof test information, risk as-
sessment evaluations, chemical import/ex-
port controls, and the establishment of an in-
ternational convention to control toxic sub-
stances.
  The Japanese are  also knowledgeable in
the area of removal and disposal of toxic sed-
                   71

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 iments. They have initiated full scale reme-
 dial programs in several harbors and bays in
 Japan. Their dredging technology, which at-
 tempts to keep aquatic environmental dam-
 age to a minimum, could have direct applica-
 bility to the PCB and Kepone situations in the
 United States. Recently,  an  EPA-Corps of
 Engineers team coordinated an evaluation of
 this dredging technology.
   EPA is also cooperating with the Federal
 Republic of Germany in a study of methods
 for, and the feasibility of, environmental
 specimen bank operations. The objective of
 such a specimen bank is the long-term storage
 of biological specimens and data for future
 analysis to determine the historical record of
 pollutant burdens.

 Atmospheric pollution
   Atmospheric pollution is a  major area for
 international consideration because airborne
 pollutants can travel across national bound-
 aries, continents,  and  oceans. Research  on
 transport and transformation and biological
 and health effects of air pollutants is, and will
 continue to be, an important aspect of EPA's
 international program.
   The United States and Canada have an in-
 creasing number of cross-boundary air pollu-
 tion problems that require analysis and reso-
 lution through bilateral contact or reference
 to the International Joint Commission.  At
 present,  there are at least  eight  major
 stationary source pollution  problems  be-
 tween the two countries,  none of which is
 amenable to easy solution. The major need in
 each problem area is for better information
 on the potential impacts of sources and their
 effects on health and welfare in  both  coun-
 tries. EPA has been assisting the Department
 of State and the Joint Commission in making
 these assessments.  In addition, EPA has of-
 fered to hold ajoint United States-Canadian
 workshop in 1978 to begin a harmonized re-
 search effort on long-range pollutant trans-
 port. In addition, EPA and Environment
 Canada are working closely on problems of
 mobile source air pollution, principally to fos-
 ter the more than $18 billion annual trade in
 our  integrated automobile manufacturing
 and marketing structure.
  EPA also  works under  a United States-
 Mexico Agreement to  study  the transport
 and effects of air pollutants across the border.
 EPA and Mexico's Subsecretariat for En-
 vironmental Improvement  are now formulat-
 ing a Memorandum of Understanding to es-
tablish a formal exchange of information.
training, and surveillance. It is expected that
this joint United States-Mexico program will
 assist the Mexican government in the design
 and implementation of air monitoring net-
 work systems, including a quality assurance
 program, so that data collected in Mexico are
 comparable to United States data. Future ac-
 tivities may include joint studies to determine
 the transport of air pollutants across the bor-
 der in both directions and to work out mutu-
 ally agreeable control programs. At present,
 two metropolitan border areas, San Diego-Ti-
 juana and El Paso-Ciudad Juarez, are receiv-
 ing primary attention and joint programs are
 being initiated at both the national and local
 levels. In addition, EPA may assist the Mexi-
 can Secretariat for Human Settlements in de-
 veloping a  system for evaluating environ-
 mental impact using remote sensing as well as
 ground level measurement techniques.
   EPA currently assists the Economic Com-
 mission for Europe's Steering Body on Long
 Range Transport  of Air Pollutants in  the
 study of sources, transport, and fate of sulfur
 oxides.  In the near future, nitrogen oxides
 will be included in such studies.
   Under the United States-Japan  bilateral
 agreement,  researchers of Japan and EPA
 are exchanging information on meteorology,
 photochemical air  pollution, and in particu-
 lar, air pollution conditions that lead to pro-
 duction of photochemical oxidants (smog).
 The Japanese are shifting their oxidant con-
 trol strategy from nitrogen oxide control
 alone to nitrogen oxide control  combined
 with hydrocarbon control. Information from
 each country's air pollution studies including
 diffusion modeling, analysis, and  field mea-
 surements should, in the future, improve our
 understanding  of  air pollution movement,
 our ability to forecast air pollution concen-
 trations, and our stationary source air pollu-
 tion control  technologies.
   Under US-USSR Environmental Agree-
 ment, the Agency is concerned with two
 major areas: air pollution modeling and mea-
 surement, and stationary source air pollution
 control technology. Ajoint wind tunnel  ex-
 periment is planned to simulate the distribu-
 tion of air pollutants over a specified complex
 terrain,  and a joint field experiment in the
 USSR to study the formation and transfor-
 mation of natural aerosols will be conducted.
 These two activities will aid both countries in
 understanding basic air pollution processes.
  An  excellent  example of international
cooperation in the area of health effects is the
ongoing  Isotopic Lead  Experiment spon-
sored  by the Common Market, Italian Fed-
eral Hydrocarbon  Authority, and Interna-
tional Lead and Zinc Research Organization.
Under this study, gasoline stations in the To-

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                                                                                                       Appendix 2
 Worldwide Environmental Activities
Organization/ Activity
International Organizations
Commission of European Communities (CEC)
Committee on Challenges to Modern Society (CCMS)
International Organization for Legal Metrology (OIML)
International Standards Organization (ISO)
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
(OECD)
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE)
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)
Intergovernmental Maritime Consultative Organization (IMCO)
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)
World Health Organization i(WHO)
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural
Organization (UNESCO)
United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP)
Research, Development, and Demonstration Programs
Air
Pollution3
•
•
•
•
•
•



•
•
•
•
•
Water
Pollution"
•
•
•
•
•
•

•


•
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•
•
Radiation


•
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•

•


•
Pesticides


•
•
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•



•


•
Noise
•

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Waste
Mgmt0
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•
Toxic
Subst
•

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•


•
Energy

•
•
•
•
•


•

•


•
Bilateral Cooperation
Brazil
Canada
Federal Republic of Germany
France
France and United Kingdom"1
Iran
Israel
Japan
Mexico
Saudi Arabia
Soviet Union
United Kingdom

•
•
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•
•
•


Scientific Activities Overseas Program
Egypt
India
Pakistan
Poland
Yugoslavia

•
•
•
•
•
_
•
•
•
•
•




•


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•
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•



•

•
•
alncludes troposphere and stratosphere.
"Includes marine, estuarine, and freshwater
 environments.
clncludes hazardous, solid, and radioactive
 wastes.
"Tripartite agreement.

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 rino area converted to a different lead isotope
 ratio in gasoline. This shift gave the lead a
 unique "fingerprint" \vhich will allow accu-
 rate tracking through the ecosystem. The
 amount of lead in the  human blood actually
 coming from automotive sources will be de-
 termined by measuring blood lead levels dur-
 ing the use of this special gasoline and after
 the area returns to the original gasoline.
   Problems concerning the earth's protective
 ozone layer are also current research issues.
 Because of this problem's global nature, the
 United Nations Coordinating Committee on
 the Ozone Layer reviews ongoing research,
 identifies research and  monitoring  needs,
 recommends (with  priorities) needed re-
 search projects, and attempts to influence na-
 tions and  international  scientific  organiza-
 tions to conduct such studies. EPA has par-
 ticipated in these discussions and presented
 the United States position on  stratospheric
 ozone.
   EPA  also  has participated  in  activities
 under the Tripartite (France, United King-
 dom, and United States)  Agreement on
 Stratospheric  Monitoring, which provides a
 coordinated program of stratospheric
 monitoring.  In general,  the Tripartite
 Agreement has accelerated research within
 the respective countries, including the appli-
 cation of mathematical models for predicting
 changes in the stratosphere, research on at-
 mospheric chemistry, and improved methods
 for  measuring stratospheric  constituents
 using satellites, balloons or aircraft, including
 supersonic transports.

 Water quality
   A landmark in international cooperation
 regarding improved water quality is the 1972
 United  States-Canadian Great  Lakes Water
 Quality Agreement. Now under joint review
 and revision, this agreement is a unique
 mechanism for coordinating national efforts
 on the cleanup and restoration of the Great
 Lakes. These lakes are crucial.  They consti-
 tute more than 80 percent of the fresh sur-
 face water area of the United States and 97
 percent of its fresh  surface water  storage.
The agreement sets joint water quality objec-
 tives, formulates remedial  programs, and
commits the two governments to provide suf-
 ficient funding to achieve the objectives. Both
sides have worked closely through the  Inter-
national Joint Commission to support a water
quality monitoring program and to jointly set
forth the research program  necessary  to
guide and support  surveillance activities.
EPA personnel have been active on the Water
Quality Board, the Research Advisory Board,
 and committees established to carry out the
 agreement. The Research Advisory Board
 plays a major role in the development of
 water quality objectives. In addition to pro-
 ducing the Toxics Inventory, the Board is
 also evaluating the health and environmental
 significance of replacements for phosphates
 in detergents. A pilot study to assess the value
 of biological maps and a program to identify
 unrecognized toxic pollutants are underway.
 A new initiative, beginning in 1978, will iden-
 tify  those  concerns  that  receive additional
 regulatory attention.  EPA provides  expert
 consultation on  a variety of issues related to
 United States-Canada boundary problems.
   EPA's research support  of the Great Lakes
 program includes such activities as producing
 models for management to aid in the control
 of phytoplankton, pathway studies for haz-
 ardous substances, sediment-water interac-
 tion modeling,  and  studies of the impacts
 from nonpoint sources  and  thermal dis-
 charges on the biota of the Lakes. This re-
 search program is one of the few ongoing
 large scale ecosystem studies of a long-term
 nature.
  Research activities are instrumental  in
 identifying problem areas in the Lakes (e.g.,
 eutrophication in Lake Erie, PCBs in Lake
 Michigan, Mirex, and other contaminants).
 These  efforts have subsequently led to the
 recommendation and, in some cases, adop-
 tion of new control programs to help restore
 beneficial uses of the Lakes.
  Both countries are also exchanging infor-
 mation on  methods for setting water pollu-
 tion  standards and comparing information
on toxicology  methods including biochemi-
cal,  microbial,  and  analytical chemical
methods. EPA is conductingjoint laboratory
efforts on  microbiological degradation of
toxic substances related  to  water quality
monitoring in water bodies.
                                                               74

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                                                                     Appendix 2
 Wastewater treatment
   To improve  knowledge  of wastewater
 treatment and disposal methods, EPA is par-
 ticipating in international research involving
 source  characterization of pollution, ad-
 vanced wastewater treatment  technology,
 process modification, and analyses of sludges
 and their environmental behavior. One of the
 most important of these efforts is the study of
 advanced wastewater  treatment being con-
 ducted under the auspices of NATO's Com-
 mittee on the Challenges of Modern Society
 (CCMS). The United States, United King-
 dom, Canada,  Italy. France,  and Germany
 are studying such topics as the standardiza-
 tion of formats for international information
 exchange, the use of oxygen-enriched air to
 treat contaminated effluent,  land spreading
 of sludge, nutrient removal, reverse osmosis,
 electrodialysis, and ion exchange.
   Details  on these advanced methods of
 wastewater treatment used abroad are help-
 ing EPA  to determine which treatment
 methods may be feasible for use in the United
 States. For example,  Japan has given
 EPA  technological information applica-
 ble to United  States problems, e.g., the
 best   available   technology  (BAT)
 research on tannery wastes. A large scale pilot
 plant operation in Japan is testing four dif-
 ferent pure oxygen systems on the same tan-
 nery waste under the same  conditions but
 utilizing different operational techniques.
 The efficiency and effectiveness of each will
 be evaluated by the Japanese and a full scale
 system will be installed. These results will be
 of immense value to EPA effluent guideline
 and enforcement offices as well as of direct
 value to the tanning industry.
   In the Soviet Union there is an accelerated
 water pollution  control effort in both funda-
 mental and applied research. The US-USSR
 Working Group on Prevention of Water
 Pollution  from  Industrial  and  Municipal
 Sources is discussing various phases of new
 Soviet technologies including electrolytic
 coagulation, high energy magnetic separa-
 tion, freezing, ozonation, dissolved air flota-
 tion,  and air stripping. Areas of direct
 technological benefit can be found in the
 treatment of industrial and municipal waste-
 waters and process modifications such as dry
 formation  of paper. Such  involvements
 should, in the near future, provide additional
 benefits to us not only in terms of cleaner
processes and more effective control tech-
nologies, but also in terms of a vastly im-
proved  understanding of the  systems in-
volved.
Hazardous waste
  EPA is also working with various countries
to assess risks and benefits associated with
various methods of hazardous waste disposal.
Of key interest is a NATO Committee on the
Challenges of Modern Society (CCMS) pilot
study on the disposal of hazardous wastes
which is now entering Phase II of its opera-
tion. Phase I of the study provided EPA with
valuable insight into  mine and landfill  dis-
posal practices and produced recommended
procedures  for hazardous  waste manage-
ment. Phase II will include analyses of ther-
mal treatment, such as land and sea incinera-
tion systems for hazardous wastes, of landfill
disposal and surface treatment with a focus
on wastes from electroplating and steel har-
dening processes, and of alternatives to land-
fill disposal. Areas of potential  future coop-
eration under a United States-Japan bilateral
treaty include pyrolysis of  solid  waste, en-
vironmental effects  of  vinyl and  polyvinyl
chlorides, improved collection systems man-
agement and technology, hazardous waste
treatment and disposal technology, recovery
of past consumer waste, and  management in-
formation systems on industrial wastes.
  Finally, as part of the  revised United
States-Canada Great  Lakes  Agreement, an
annex on hazardous substances is being de-
veloped. To this end, EPA  is establishing a
scientific data base for categorizing particular
hazardous substances.

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 Environmental Issues and  Projects
Legend-
 1. Easiport
 2  St Croix River Basin
 3. St. John River
 4. Dickey-Lincoln Dam
 5- Ftenelieu-Champlain
 6. Reynolds Metals
 7. Prescott-Brockville
 8. Darlington
 9. Nanticoke
10. Lake Erie
11. Detroit-Windsor
12. Greal Lakes
13. Lake Michigan
14. Atikokan
15. Rainy River
16. Red River
 17. Garrison Diversion
 18. Boundary Dam
 19. Poplar River Plant
 20. Rathead River/Cabin Creek Mining
 21. Okanogan Rrver
 22. Skagrt River
 23. Puget Sound
 24. Yukon River Basin
 25. Beaufort Sea
 26. San Diego-Tijuana
 27. San Diego-Tijuana
 26. Calexico-Mexicali
 29. Nogales-Nogales
 30. El Paso-Cuidad Juarez
31. Eagle Pass-Piedras Negras
32. Laredo-Nuevo Laredo
33. Brownsville-Matamores
• Water
• Nuclear Power Plants
» Coal-Fired Plants
A Air Pollution
                                                                            76

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                                                                      Appendix 2
Energy
  \Vith the increasing focus on coal as a fu-
ture energy source, much can be gained from
the experience of other countries in exploit-
ing this fuel. An excellent example of this po-
tential is a study currently  underway with
Yugoslavia. The project is providing a full
evaluation of the Kosovo Coal Gasification
Plant, its effluent and process streams, and
pollution control systems. With the current
United States  effort to  commercialize coal
gasification, it is essential for EPA  to assess
the environmental consequences which will
result from coal conversion technology. The
pollutant data and evaluation obtained by the
study in Yugoslavia w ill be used by EPA to de-
termine the potential impact of gasification
plants proposed for the United States and the
criteria required for control  technology de-
velopment.
  Also related to coal use, in 1977 the United
States and the Federal Republic of Germany
initiated a cooperative program on the con-
trol of emissions from  coal-fired  facilities.
EPA and the German Ministry of Research
and Technology have agreed to exchange in-
formation and, in certain cases, to  work to-
gether to assure  efficient development of
technologies capable of allowing coal burning
in an environmentally acceptable  manner.
Included in this cooperative effort are the
control technologies of sulfur oxides (includ-
ing utilization of by-products), nitrogen
oxides, and particulates.
  The Agency is also working on four proj-
ects under a United States-Soviet Union En-
vironmental Agreement which concern gas-
eous  emission,  participate abatement
technology, process improvement and mod-
ification, ferrous  metallurgy, and  a new-
United States initiative—protection  of the
environment from coal preparation  plant
operations.  Both countries  are  examining
questions related to the abatement  of sulfur
dioxide  emissions  through various control
techniques using lime/limestone, magnesia,
and ammonia scrubbing;  dwst  collection
technology; characterization  of aerosols; de-
metallization pretreatment for  the hy-
drodesulfurization of petroleum residuals;
preliminary coal  cleaning; and complex
methods for fuel utilization in pow er generat-
ing systems  for the elimination of harmful
emissions.
Monitoring
  In addition to its activities on the Stratos-
pheric Ozone Monitoring Program, EPA has
the lead responsibility to fulfill the interna-
tional monitoring  program  on the Great
Lakes,  under the  1972  United  States-
Canadian  Water Quality Agreement. Inter-
national coordination of monitoring activities
is achieved  through the  surveillance  sub-
committee of the Water Quality Board. This
subcommittee assures that appropriate mea-
surements are taken for use in the manage-
ment models for  nutrients.  The resulting
data are shared by the two countries. Cur-
rently, intensive efforts on each Lake occur
only every five years. The Research Advisory
Board, however, feels that more effort is
needed on biological monitoring to improve
our understanding of  trends in the Great
Lakes.
  EPA is  also active in  the United  Nations
Environmental Program's Global  Environ-
mental  Monitoring System. Primarily  con-
cerned with air, this system will link existing
national monitoring activities. United States
cooperation in the global  water quality
monitoring network is expected to increase as
a result of EPA's role as a World Health Or-
ganization Collaborating  Center for  En-
vironmental Pollution  Control.  The  data
from joint surveillance and monitoring in the
Great Lakes will be incorporated into  the
Global Environmental Monitoring System.
  A comprehensive environmental monitor-
ing program is a prerequisite for complete
United States participation in the establish-
ment of a  global monitoring system and our
utilization of data from it. This international
coordination, as well as the development of
our own national monitoring capability,  will
increase our base of knowledge on pollutant
build-up in the environment before  that
build-up reaches crisis proportions.

Conclusion
  These are but a few of EPA's research-
related international activities. They reflect
areas of  concern, as well as  some of
the  countries and  organizations with which
EPA research  works.  In  the future,  the
Agency will continue to identify and initiate
needed  international research projects and
will continue its activities  of coordination.
There are challenges and opportunities for
positive action on international environmen-
tal problems and EPA will continue to play a
major role.

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                                                                  Appendix 3
                                Community health  and
         environmental  surveillance system
 Introduction
  On November 24, 1976, the House Sub-
 committee on the Environment and Atmo-
 sphere of the Committee on Science and
 Technology released a report titled, "The
 Environmental Protection Agency's Research
 Program with Primary Emphasis on the
 Community Health and Environmental Sur-
 veillance System (CHESS): An Investigative
 Report" (Ref.  1). The Environmental Re-
 search,  Development, and  Demonstration
 Authorization Act  of 1978 (P.L. 95-155)
 specifies that EPA shall report the implemen-
 tation status of the Investigative Report's rec-
 ommendations in each annual revision of its
 five-year plan. This is the  first  EPA im-
 plementation status report.

 Background
  CHESS emerged  as a major program in
 1970. A discussion of goals and objectives is in
 "Environmental Science and Technology"
 (Ref. 2). CHESS was designed, as  the name
 indicates, to monitor the health status of the
 United States population with respect to vary-
 ing environmental conditions. For the most
 part, the environmental considerations were
 limited to meteorologic conditions and pollu-
 tion levels. The program included  studies of
 health groups and  potentially susceptible
 groups such as asthmatics.  CHESS data,
 gathered over five years, have been analyzed
 for relationships between health effects and
exposure to such pollutants as sulfur oxides,
 nitrogen oxides, paniculate matter, and
oxidants.
  In May 1974, EPA published the "Health
Consequences of Sulfur  Oxides:  A Report
 from CHESS,  1970-1971" (often referred to
as the CHESS Monograph) that included sev-
eral of the early CHESS  aerometric and
health studies (Ref. 3).
  On February 29, 1976 the Los Angeles Times
published the first of several articles implying
that studies in the CHESS Monograph on the
health effects of ambient sulfur oxides were
distorted (Ref. 4). Basically, theTiww articles
made three allegations: (1)the analysis of the
CHESS data shows  a  stronger than actual
correlation of adverse health effects with in-
creased levels of ambient sulfate; (2) Dr. John
F. Finklea was responsible for the distortion,
with  the passive assistance of his subordi-
nates; and (3)  the EPA regulatory program
for sulfur oxides rests  solely on the CHESS
program.
  On April 7, 1976, an EPA investigative task
force appointed to review the entire matter
reported its findings (Ref. 5).  This group
interviewed most of the EPA employees who
participated in the CHESS data analysis.
From these interviews, it became apparent
that comments of EPA personnel made to the
Times reporter referred to  the  1972 draft
version of the report, and not to the final
publication of 1974. The group's unanimous
opinion concerning both the draft and final
versions was "that there is no evidence of dis-
honesty or deliberate distortion of data by Dr.
John F. Finklea or members of his staff who
worked on the Monograph. On the contrary,
there is evidence of an honest and aggressive
effort to  publish the sulfur oxide findings
from the CHESS studies so that they would be
available in a timely fashion for use by the
Agency and the public at large."
  On April 9, 1976, the allegations concern-
ing the CHESS report and the Times articles
were the subject of a  Congressional hearing
convened by two House Committees: Science
and Technology and  Interstate and Foreign
Committee (Ref. 6, pp.  23-24). Three of the
Committees'  conclusions, which directly re-
late to the Los Angeles Times allegation, are:

  —"There was agreement that the CHESS
    studies confirm an association between
    sulfur oxides  emissions  and adverse
    health effects."
  —"There was no evidence that Dr. Finklea
    tampered with, distorted, or withheld
    data."
  —"The National Ambient Air Quality
    Standards (XAAQS) for sulfur dioxide
    were set before CHESS, and were based
    on other data."

  An examination of the Times articles and
the Congressional hearing is published inSn-
ence and i\\e Environmental Health Letter (Ref.
7,8).
  The House Committee on Science and
Technology started an investigation concern-
ing technical issues relating to  CHESS in
April of 1976. The Committee released the
Investigative Report on November 24, 1976
(Ref. 1).

Investigative report
recommendations
  The recommendations in the Investigative
Report concern two major topics: the scien-
tific assessment of the CHESS  program, and
the present and future management of EPA
research. EPA agrees with many of the Inves-
tigative Report's statements and recommen-
dations regarding the quantitative limitations
of the CHESS results. Also, EPA concurs with
the majority of the recommendations for the
                  79

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improvement of research. The implementa-
tion  status for each recommendation  is dis-
cussed in the Following paragraphs.
Recommendation 3
CHESS Monograph
  Recommendations ;t(a),  (h). and (c)  in the
Investigative Report  concern  the  C.HKSS
Monograph.  Recommendation ;<(!>) directs
that the Monograph should not he used with-
oiit explicit (|iiali('ic.itions. Recommendations
S(a) .ind :<(c) state that  KPA should publish an
announcement  regarding  the  limitations ol
the Monograph and publish .in addendum to
the Monograph  (including .n least Chapters
IV. V. VI, and Appendix A ol the Investiga-
tive Report). Prior to presenting our response
to these  recommendations,  the KPA aii
health effects resean h program, the C'.HKSS
Monograph,  and KPA's regulatory respon-
sibilities will be placed in perspee live.
   I he ,iii  health effects research program
uses ,i combination of  research approaches:
human cpidemiologu al studies, human clini-
c,il studies, and toxic ologieal studies on  ani-
mal models (Ret. 9). I ntcgi ating the  capahili-
lies  and advantages  of these approaches
provides the best  overall  scientific  strategy
lor inhumed regulatory decisions. C.oncern-
ing tin- C.1IKSS  program, epidemiologic in-
vestigations of fer the advantages of studying
the biological responses of people, including
vulnerable groups,  nuclei ambient condi-
tions.
   The major problems are related to quan-
tifying the exposure, dealing with many typi-
cally unknown  covariatcs, and interpreting
association vs.  causation. Several  publica-
tions,  including the  Investigative  Report.
contain detailed explanations of the strengths
and weaknesses of epidemiology (Ref. 1. pp.
57-58: Ref. 10. pp. Hi-17; Ref. 1 i.pp. 10-17).
  KPA acknowledges the  limitations of  in-
dividual epidemiologir studies. For example.
the Summary and Conclusionsof the CHESS
Monograph states:
  "The findings summarized in this paper
  must IK' substantiated b\ replicated obset-
  vations in different \ears and under dif-
  ferent circumstances.  Well  controlled
  human and animal studies are required to
  isolate several of the important intervening
  variables that are in he* rent to studies of free
  living populations, and  to elucidate tile-
  precise naluieol the pollutant-disease1 rela-
  tionship. Hence, the conclusions put forth
  at this time cannot be definitive, but are ot-
  tered in the sense of developing mote  re-
  fined quantitative and scientific hvpotheses
  concerning pollutant-health effect associa-
CHESS Study Areas
             Rocky Mountain Cities — 5
             (Sulfur oxides
                  Salt Lake Basin — 4
                  (Sullur oxides)
 New York City Metropolitan Area • 8
 (Sulfur oxides and paniculate matter)
        Los Angeles Basin  7
        (Photochemical oxidants)
         and nitrogen oxides)
 Chattanooga —3
 (Nitrogen oxides)
                                       Southeastern Cities - 9
                                       (Paniculate matter)
                                                                80

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                                                                     Appendix 3
   dons in a real life environment." (Ref. 3, p.
   7-4).
   Most epidemiologic studies are open to crit-
 icism and this was the reason spatial and tem-
 poral replication was fundamental to the
 CHESS designs. Further, in  practically  all
 areas of epidemiology, conclusions rest on
 the weight of evidence from  many studies,
 not  on individual studies. Thus,  there  is
 ample justification to cite CHESS studies as
 they bear on existing EPA standards. An im-
 portant  feature of several of the CHESS
 studies reported in the Monograph is their
 general  consistency with the majority  of
 epidemiologic, clinical,  and toxicologic
 studies previously published  in  the  sulfur
 oxides and paniculate matter literature. The
 CHESS studies tend  to support the rea-
 sonableness of existing ambient  air quality
 standards for  sulfur oxides and  paniculate
 matter. However, EPA agrees that there is far
 too much uncertainty and lack of qualifica-
 tion in findings contained in the Monograph
 to support any new or modified  air quality
 standards.
   Finally, the Monograph assessments of cur-
 rent pollution exposure were among the most
 complete that had ever been performed
 within the  then existing state-of-the-art.
 These epidemiologic findings, although hav-
 ing a limited ability to affect EPA  regulatory
 policy, have materially advanced our knowl-
 edge concerning the general distribution and
 behavior of the exposure-response variables
 employed.
   Misunderstandings still exist, however,
 over the CHESS Monograph and EPA's regu-
 latory posture on sulfur oxides. Therefore,
 this report to the Congress shall be widely cir-
 culated and sent to all holders of the CHESS
 Monograph with an appropriate cover letter.
 With this action, EPA believes that the intent
 of Recommendation 3 will be adequately im-
 plemented.

Recommendation 4
research  responsibilities
  Recommendation 4 addresses research re-
sponsibilities and resources. Recommenda-
tion 4(a) directs that legislation should be re-
examined regarding unrealistic procedures
and schedules. Legislative mandates are the
most important considerations in the annual
program planning process. EPA maintains an
in-house research capability and expertise to
respond to short deadlines. However, when
procedures or  schedules are unrealistic, the
Congress and the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) are informed  by  either the
normal budget submission process, during
oversight hearings, or by other appropriate
mechanisms. Recommendation 4(b) specifies
that research be designed to gain information
and not support positions. The Office of Re-
search and Development is organizationally
separated from offices having regulatory re-
sponsibilities.  Therefore, scientists conduct
research to gain accurate information and are
not under  pressure to support  existing or
preconceived positions held by the regulatory
offices. The Science Advisory Board, an in-
dependent  advisory body, has established  a
Subcommittee on Epidemiological Studies to
independently review EPA's  epidemiology
(Ref. 12). Recommendations 4(c) and (d) con-
cern the Office of Management and Budget
allowing  all necessary funding for expedi-
tious research and advising the Congress of
budgetary restrictions affecting  completion
of major projects. Through the normal
budgetary process, the Office and the Con-
gress are advised for EPA resource require-
ments and  which programs are  affected by
budgetary restrictions.

Recommendation 5
questionnaires
  Recommendation 5 advises that  the OMB
should be asked to develop procedures for
prompt review of questionnaires. OMB and
EPA's research managers and scientists have
discussed this matter. These discussions have
expedited questionnaire clearances. How-
ever, the total  number of questionnaires allo-
cated to EPA is small and therefore limits the
number of epidemiologic studies that can be
performed  (Ref. 13). The control of ques-
tionnaires by the Federal Government was in-
tended to  reduce  involuntary solicitations
from the private sector. Only selected volun-
teers participate  in EPA's epidemiologic
studies.  Therefore, we  believe  that EPA's
voluntary questionnaires should be free of al-
location limitations.

Recommendation 6
CHESS data
  Recommendation 6 concerns the process-
ing and publication of the remaining CHESS
data. Recommendation 6(a) directs that un-
analyzed data be examined and that analyses
be carried out on those  data that appear to
have a higher degree of validity than the
CHESS Monograph data base.  In general,
the quality  of the CHESS data improved as
experience was gained. Therefore, a plan has
been developed for validation of 61 of the 65
data sets for which reports have not yet been
published (Ref. 14). Four episode studies will
not be validated because their usefulness is
                   81

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 questionable. Recommendations 6(b) and (c)
 concern publishing  research in traditional,
 refereed, archival, journals and not publish-
 ing solely in monograph form. EPA endorses
 this policy. Independent university scientists
 are being used to analyze, interpret, and re-
 port on appropriate CHESS data. Manu-
 scripts of research investigations are being
 submitted for publication in the scientific lit-
 erature as relevant studies are completed. As
 of December 1, 1977, there have  been 28
 CHESS  publications in scientific journals
 (Ref. 15). Monographs are, and have mainly
 been, used as a vehicle to present all pertinent
 data that would be inappropriate for publica-
 tion in scientific journals. Recommendation
 6(d) states that projects for policy consid-
 erations  should not be initiated  unless they
 can be completed in a realistic time frame and
 unless the research staff can be  involved in
 the process. Several  mechanisms  have been
 incorporated to develop achievable program
 plans. These include a joint program plan-
 ning process where the staffs of the research
 laboratories and headquarters, and  the pro-
 gram offices participate. In addition, labora-
 tory program  reviews are conducted and
 problems associated with the implementation
 of investigations are discussed and resolved.

 Recommendations 7, 8,
 and 10(b)—CHAMP
   Recommendations 7, 8, and 10(b) are di-
 rected toward CHAMP,  EPA's  Community
 Health Air  Monitoring  Program.  Recom-
 mendation 7(a) states that the aerometric and
 quality control  programs should be further
 strengthened and improved. An  expanded
 quality  control program is being im-
 plemented in EPA (Ref. 16). Specifically for
 CHAMP, comparisons  for instruments,
 techniques,  and standards are being con-
 ducted among the EPA laboratories measur-
 ing air quality. In  addition, a contractor is
 providing additional quality control audits of
 the CHAMP field and laboratory  systems
 (Ref. 17). This includes the use of National
Bureau of Standards  flow and measurement
standards as well as gas mixture standards.
Recommendation 7(b) directs a shortening of
time between data acquisition and quality as-
 surance analysis of data. The new CHAMP
 contractor has been given technical direction
 to minimize the time between data collection
 and validation (Ref.  18). To accomplish this,
 software is being developed and maintenance
 practices have been revised.
   Recommendations 7(c) and (d) specify that
 development stage instruments should not be
 employed before qualification  testing has
 been done and that laboratory models of in-
 struments should not be used in the field until
 they have been field checked and operating
 personnel have been trained. The present
 CHAMP policy calls for complete checkout,
 acceptance  testing, and personnel training
 before field placement of any developmental
 stage instruments. Recommendation 7(e) di-
 rects that the opening of the CHAMP opera-
 tions contract to competition should be reex-
 amined  to see whether the merits of open
 bidding outweigh the problems of instability.
 This reevaluation took  place and it was de-
 termined that the merits of open bidding with
 the possibility of improved  performance
 outweighed any problems  of  instability. In
 due course, the contract was  awarded to  a
 new contractor after competitive bidding.
 The transition period between the old and
 new contractors disclosed several major defi-
 cient areas. This finding confirmed the wis-
 dom of the decision to reopen the CHAMP
 operations contract.  Recommendation 7(f)
 concerns health  effects personnel closely
 coordinating with air quality and monitoring
 personnel to understand chemical species to
 be monitored. The CHAMP staff is cooperat-
 ing closely with the epidemiologists and other
 health scientists in the design  and protocol
 development for epidemiologic studies. This
 cooperation  includes reaching mutual
 agreement on chemical  species to be moni-
 tored.
   Recommendation 8  concerns  additional
 meteorological support for  health research-
 air pollution effects studies. This recommen-
 dation also  directs that meteorological in-
 strumentation be  uniform and complete for
 all stations. There  is one  full-time
 meteorologist  assigned to the epidemiologic
 program.  He  works with  both  the
 epidemiologists and CHAMP  personnel to
 assure that the  appropriate and uniform
 meteorological measurements are made. Be-
 cause of the reduction in  the number of
 epidemiologic  studies since  the termination
 of CHESS  field studies, the meteorological
 support to this activity is now at the proper
 level. Additional meteorological support will
 be seriously considered if  the number of
epidemiologic studies  is significantly in-
creased.
                                                              82

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                                                                      Appendix 3
   Recommendation 10(b)  directs that in-
 struments and protocols used in CHAMP be
 verified to ensure reliable data. EPA is
• testing  all  instruments  in present use for
 precision and accuracy. The present system
 of continuous air monitors appears to have a
 precision and accuracy such that errors are
 less than plus or minus  15  percent. Third
 generation instruments are being evaluated
 when obtained to improve  the present sys-
 tem.

 Recommendation 9
 pollutant  characterization
   Recommendation 9 directs that the  EPA
 Health Effects program as well as interagency
 utilization of all available Federal and ex-
 tramural resources in the health effects area
 should be examined with the objective of sig-
 nificantly accelerating research in pollutant
 characterization. Liaison is maintained with
 other Federal agencies and  the non-Federal
 sector regarding air pollution characteriza-
 tion. In accord  with the  1977 Clean Air Act
 Amendments, EPA has organized an intera-
 gency task  force to determine the effects of
 environmental  pollutants on cancer, heart,
 lung, and other chronic diseases (Ref. 19). In
 addition, on a case by case basis we are exam-
 ining the proper balance between pollutant
 characterization and health effects research.
 Adjustments are being made as deemed ap-
 propriate. We fully appreciate, for example,
 the necessity of having adequate pollutant
 characterization data prior to the beginning
 of laboratory toxicologic experiments. The
 same   principle  clearly  applies  to
 epidemiologic research.

 Recommendations 10(a), 10(c),
 12(a)  and 12(d)—peer review
   Recommendations 10(a),  10(c), 12(a) and
 12(d) concern peer review. Recommendation
 12(d) concerns expanding the Science Advi-
 sor) Board charter. The charter has  been
 modified in accord with the Environmental
 Research, Development, and Demonstration
 Act of  1978  (Ref. 20). Under the previous
 and new charter, the Board is authorized to
conduct peer reviews. The  Board, an inde-
 pendent advisory body, decides how it will re-
 spond to requests for assistance. The Office
of Research  and Development  encourages
 the Board to conduct such reviews. However,
 it is impossible for the Board to review all re-
 search programs because of the limited time
 Board members can devote to EPA activities.
The Office of Research and Development has
started discussions with the Board to establish
a more effective internal peer review process.
  Recommendation 10(a) states that a truly
interdisciplinary task force led by an eminent
scientist should draw up a program plan for
EPA to develop a solid base for knowledge
and procedures in aerometric instrumenta-
tion and measurements, meteorology, field
data gathering, quality control, epidemiology
project design and testing, and  panel plan-
ning. This recommendation will be discussed
with  the Board. The activities of several
groups are pertinent to the recommendation.
The Board's Subcommittee on Epidemiolog-
ical Studies provides advice and assistance in
the review  and evaluation of proposed  or
existing programs of epidemiologic studies
relating to the health effects of environmen-
tal pollutants (Ref. 13). Interactions between
our scientists and this subcommittee are con-
tinuing. The Environmental Measurements
Advisory Committee has visited several EPA
laboratories and evaluated current analytical
methods and instrumentation research (Ref.
21).
  Recommendation 10(c) directs  that EPA
should have epideniiological questionnaires
and panel selection criteria approved by peer
groups before the next round of  investiga-
tions. Specific questions that must be resolved
are identified. Regarding the latter, all ques-
tions are presently being addressed either by
the in-house staff or through contracts.  As
mentioned previously, the matter of peer re-
views is being discussed with the  Board.
  Recommendation 12(a) directs EPA to es-
tablish authoritative peer review panels to as-
sist in improving research coordination. This
is being discussed with the Board.

Recommendation 10(d)—ideas
  Recommendation 10(d) instructs that EPA
should review  several ideas raised  in the in-
vestigation team interviews. These have been
reviewed and some have been incorporated
into the epidemiology program.
                   83

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Recommendation 11
reorganizations
  Recommendation I 1 stales thai no signifi-
i .1111 reorganization should occur .11 Research
Iii.mgle Park's Environmental Rescatcli
(icntci until ihe end of Fiscal Year 1977. No
significant  reorganizations have occurred
dining ill.it specified lime period.

Recommendation 12(b)
management
  Recommendation I2(b) instructs that EPA
should have a stronger focus on management
at the (Environmental Research ('.enter. Re-
search I liangle Park. North Carolina. In its
lalnuaiorv reot gani/atioti. the- Office of Re-
search and  Development established  a line
structure with accountable  managers direct-
                                          ing the research programs at each laboratory.
                                          In  turn, each laboratory has programs as-
                                          signed <>n the basis of scientific areas that are
                                          carried  out h\  its complement  of  scientists
                                          and engineers.  In addition to the  line man-
                                          agement of each  laboratory, the  Research
                                          Triangle Park includes an office of  the senior
                                          research and development  official.  Essen-
                                          tially, this official (who is also a Laboratory
                                          director) is responsible to the Assistant Ad-
                                          ministrator for Research and Development to
                                          assure effective operation and administration
                                          in the laboratories.

                                          Recommendation  12(c)
                                          systems analysis
                                            Recommendation 12(c) instructs (hat EPA
                                          should  create a systems analysis-operations
                                          research program review group. L sing svs-
Federal Health Facilities in
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
                              Durham
                              Duke University
                              10 Kilometers
                                             EPA Interim
                                            ~ Facilities
  Chapel H
  University of
  North Carolina
  16 Kilometers
                                               National
                                               Center for
                                               Health
                                               Statistics
National Institute
for Environmental
Health Sciences
                                                                   EPA Interim
                                                                   Facility
                                     National
                                     Environmental
                                     Health Sciences
                                     Center
                                     Permanent
                                     Federal Site
                                                              SI

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                                                                     Appendix 3
 terns analysis and operations research as
 tools, significant program reviews are carried
 out by the Office of Planning and Manage-
 ment in its Program Evaluation Division. As
 needed, the Division:
   —Assembles and evaluates scientific,
    technological, cost, benefits, and institu-
    tional data to critique existing program
    activities, and recommends alternatives.
   —Develops a long-range policy framework
    for EPA goals and objectives in consulta-
    tion with other Agency offices; identifies
    strategies for accomplishing these goals;
    and assures that program activities are
    evaluated in relation to such strategies.
   —Conducts and coordinates analyses and
    evaluations of Agency-wide programs,
    including those crossing EPA  organiza-
    tional lines.

 Recommendation 13
 technical exchange
   Recommendation 13 relates to the EPA re-
 search program and  maximal technical ex-
 change. Recommendation 13(a)  directs that
 EPA should seek cooperative research pro-
 grams with universities and other  laborato-
 ries and agencies. The research program in
 EPA has a large extramural  component in-
 volving research grants with universities and
 interagency agreements with other Federal
 organizations. For example, the overall coor-
 dination and detailed planning of the Inter-
 agency Energy/Environment  Program is the
 responsibility of the EPA (Ref. 22).  Research
 and development activities under  this  pro-
 gram are performed  by several  agencies in
 addition to EPA. Also, most of the EPA re-
 search laboratories are located on university
 campuses, or in research parks developed by
 universities, and have close working relation-
 ships with nearby institutions. Recommenda-
 tion 13(b) directs that EPA should promote
 the exchange of scientists both  within and
 outside the Agency. Over the last few years,
 the Office of Research and Development has
 used the  Intergovernmental  Personnel Act
 mobility program. This program authorizes
 the temporary exchange of career employees
 between the Federal Government and state
 and local governments, institutions of higher
 education, and  Indian  tribal governments.
 Currently, 66 individuals are participating in
 the Office's mobility program.
  Recommendations 13(c) and  (d) concern
 EPA of funding individual Ph.D. thesis re-
search and the Science Advisory Board de-
velopment of outreach programs. The Office
of Research and Development will discuss
these recommendations with the Science Ad-
visory Board and specifically seek their assis-
tance in developing effective outreach pro-
grams. Board members have provided gen-
eral comments but have not yet undertaken
any formal actions related to outreach pro-
grams.

Recommendations 14 and 17
research role
  Recommendations 14 and 17 state that the
EPA Administrator should clarify the role of
the Office of Research and Development and
determine if research should be conducted in
its present organizational configuration. EPA
is preparing a report to the Congress on
planning and management of the Agency's
research and development activities. This re-
port will address the most appropriate means
of assuring, on a continuing basis, that re-
search in the Agency reflects the needs and
priorities of the regulatory program.

Recommendation  15—facilities
  Recommendation 15 directs EPA to resolve
the separation of facilities at Research Trian-
gle Park. This is the largest EPA field facility
and is located in North Carolina within the
geographical triangle bounded by the North
Carolina cities  of  Raleigh,  Durham,  and
Chapel Hill. In this area, three major EPA
components with a total of  1,857 employees
and contractors occupy leased space in nine
buildings.  In  1967,  a 509-acre tract at the
Park was donated to the Federal Government
for the  construction of the National En-
vironmental Health Science Center. An over-
all master site plan was completed in  1971
and EPA was assigned a 44-acre site for con-
struction  of a permanent facility (Ref. 23).
Recently EPA developed a long-range space
plan for its activities in the area (Ref. 24). This
plan is presently under consideration.

Recommendation  16
career development
  Recommendation  16 states that EPA man-
agement should develop, implement, and de-
fend a professional career development pro-
gram for each professional. It is the policy of
EPA to plan and provide for the training, de-
velopment, and  necessary  career planning
for employees (Ref. 25). In July  1977, the
Agency strengthened existing mechanisms to
insure  adequate  career  development (Ref.
26).  As part of  their  annual performance
evaluation, supervisors are  required to de-
velop  a  yearly training  plan  for  each
employee.
                   85

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Resolution of Investigative Report Recommendations
Number
3(a)
3(b)
3(c)
4(a)
4(b)
4(c)
4(d)
5
6(a)
6(b)
6(c)
6(d)
7(a)
7(b)
7(c)
7(d)
7(e)
7(0
8
Summary of Recommendations
EPA should publish an announcement regarding the
limitations of the CHESS Monograph.
EPA should not use the CHESS Monograph without
explicit qualification.
EPA should publish an addendum to the CHESS
Monograph including most of the Investigative Report.
Legislation should be reexamined regarding unrealistic
procedures and schedules.
EPA should design research to gain information and not
support positions.
OMB should allow all necessary resources if public
policy requires expeditious research.
EPA should advise Congress if budgetary restrictions will
impact completion of major projects.
OMB should be asked to develop procedures for prompt
review of questionnaire.
CHESS date analyses should be carried out only on data
with high validity potential.
EPA should publish research in refereed journals in a
timely fashion.
EPA should not publish large projects solely in
monograph form.
EPA should not initiate projects for policy consideration
unless they can be completed in a realistic time frame.
EPA should strengthen the CHAMP aerometric and
quality control programs.
EPA should shorten the time between data acquisition
and quality assurance analysis of data.
EPA should stop employing development stage
instruments before qualification testing.
EPA should not use laboratory models of instruments in
the field until they have been field checked and
operating personnel trained.
EPA should reevaluate the opening of the CHAMP
operations contract to competition.
EPA research and monitoring personnel should closely
coordinate regarding chemical species.
EPA should have additional meteorological support for
air pollution health effects research studies
Action
Shall be
implemented
Shall be
implemented
Shall be
implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
Implemented
                                             86

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                                 Appendix 3
Number
9

10(a)


10(b)

10(c)

10(d)

11


12(a)

12(b)

12(c)

12(d)

13(a)

13(b)

13(c)

13(d)

14

15

16

17


Summary of Recommendations
EPA should examine accelerating research in pollutant
characterization.
An interdisciplinary task force should draw up an
integrated air epidemiology-exposure assessment
program plan for EPA.
CHAMP should verify instruments and protocols so that
reliable data can be achieved.
EPA should have epidemiological questionnaires and
panel selection criteria approved by peer groups.
EPA should review research concepts obtained from
team interviews.
The Environmental Research Center at Research Triangle
Park (RTP) should not be reorganized until the end of
FY77.
EPA should establish authoritative peer review panels to
assist in improving research coordination.
EPA should have a stronger focus on management at the
Environmental Research Center, RTP.
EPA should create a systems analysis-operations
research program review group.
The Science Advisory Board's charter should be
expanded.
EPA should seek cooperative research programs with
universities and other laboratories and agencies.
EPA should promote the exchange of scientists within
and outside the Agency.
EPA should fund individual Ph.D. thesis research.

The Science Advisory Board should develop outreach
programs.
The Administrator should clarify the role of the Office of
Research and Development and its laboratories.
EPA should resolve the separation of facilities at RTP.

EPA should develop a professional career development
program for each professional employee.
The Administration should determine if EPA should
conduct research under its present organizational
configuration.
Action
Implemented

Under
consideration

Implemented

Under
consideration
Implemented

Implemented


Under
consideration
Implemented

Implemented

Implemented

Implemented

Implemented

Under
consideration
Under
consideration
Shall be
implemented
Under
consideration
Implemented

Shall be
implemented

87

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                                                                    Appendix 4
                                                                Office  of
                        research and  development
   The Office of Research and Development
 functions as the principal scientific compo-
 nent of EPA under the direction of one of the
 six assistant administrators of the Agency. Its
 fundamental role is to assess and produce sci-
 entific information and technical tools as a
 basis for  sound national  policy in the  de-
 velopment of  effective  pollution control
 strategies  and reasonable environmental
 standards. The Office of  Research and De-
 velopment addresses the following questions:

   —How can pollution be identified, mea-
     sured, and monitored?
   —What are the relationships between pol-
     lutant discharges and environmental
     degradation?
   —What levels of pollutant discharge from
     specific sources can be permitted while
     still  attaining defined environmental
     standards?
   —What are the effects of  pollutants on
     people, other life forms, and the inani-
     mate environment?
   —What techniques are  available for con-
     trolling pollution?
   —How can environmental quality best be
     maintained and improved?

   More than 1,700 employees of the Office of
 Research  and  Development carry out this
 program with a budget of about $300 million
 per  year. The staff is composed of profes-
 sionals in 60 disciplines located nationwide in
 15 major laboratories and  one headquarters
 office. All personnel, scientists,  and en-
 gineers contribute to a research program that
consists of in-house activities as well as pro-
grams shared with the academic community,
the private sector, and numerous Federal,
State, and local agencies.
  The budget of the Office of Research and
Development increased from about Si02 to
S144 million over the  Fiscal  1971  through
 1974 period. In 1975, the Interagency Ener-
gy/Environment R&D Program resulted in a
substantial increase in the Office's activities
and budget.
  The number of permanent personnel in
the Office of Research and Development
reached a peak of 1,914 in Fiscal 1973. The
total number of authorized personnel for Fis-
cal 1978 is 1,729.
  EPA's research program is multidisciplin-
ary,  covering several  legislative  authori-
zations. For purposes of budgetary authori-
zation and appropriation, programs are
classified as follows:

  —Air
  —Water Quality
  —Solid Waste
  —Pesticides
  —Radiation
  —Water Supply
  —Toxic Substances
  —Energy Research

  Health  effects research assesses health
hazards resulting from environmental pollu-
tion covering several categories including air,
water, pesticides,  radiation,  water supply,
and toxics. Research problems are classified
according  to exposure levels,  perceived ef-
fects, and the need to take regulatory actions
to protect people.
  Ecological processes and effects research
focuses on the effects of atmospheric, aqua-
tic, and terrestrial pollutants on the structure
and function of ecosystems and their biotic
and abiotic subcomponents.
  Transport and fate of pollutants research
examines the biological, chemical, and physi-
cal phenomena affecting pollutants as they
migrate from  sources to receptor and other-
wise transform and persist in the ambient en-
vironment. Empirical  and analytical  tech-
niques are developed that relate atmospheric,
aquatic, and terrestrial  pollution to sources
and receptors.
  Minerals processing  and manufacturing
research addresses point sources of pollution
from industrial sectors, especially those from
mining, manufacturing, services, and trade
industries that extract, produce, and process
nonenergy materials into consumer prod-
ucts. Methods to control and prevent en-
vironmental degradation resulting  from ac-
cidental spills of selected materials are also re-
searched.
  Renewable  resources research encom-
passes development of total management sys-
tems to control air, water, and land pollution
resulting from the production and harvesting
of food and fiber and their related residual
wastes. Predictive methods are  developed
and probable trends in production of renew-
able resources and resulting environmental
impacts are assessed. An example is the dem-
                  89

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 Historical Trend of ORD's Permanent Positions
 Permanent   1900
 positions


            1800
            1700
            1600
            1500
           1400
           1300
                1971   1972    1973     1974     1975     1976     1977     1978  1979"
                Fiscal Year
                •As submitted to ihe Congress
Trend of ORD Budget
Millions of
Dollars
300
            250
                 1971    1972    1973    1974    1975    1976    1977    1978    1979'
                 I Energy/environment program
                 I Non-energy/environment budget
                 [Inflationary effect on cost of 1971 R&D program  -AS submitted\ame congress

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                                                                  Appendix 4
 ORD Portion of Federal Research and Development
 Billions     27
 of dollars
Billions     0.3
of dollars
Percent
                          Total Federal
                          Research and Development
                         EPAs Office ol
                         Research and
                         Development
                         EPA's portion of Federal
                         Research and Development
             1971    1972
             Fiscal Year
1973
1974
1975
1976
                                                                   1977
                                                                            1978
                 91

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 ORD Laboratories
                                                       Cincinnati, OHO
                                                                   Washington, DC
Office of Research and Development
    Office of Research Program Management
   Environmental Research Information Center,
                 Cincinnati, Ohio
              Environmental Criteria
               Assessment Office
              (RTR North Carolina)
                              *
                    Assistant Administrator
                              for
                  Research and Development
                                   Office of the
                             Principal Science Advisor
                                                                Carcinogen Assessment
                                                                        Group
  ^fejifr-g-f
    Office of Monitoring and
       Technical Support
   Office of Energy, Minerals
         and Industry
      Office of Air, Land
       and Water Use
        Office of Health
     and Ecological Effects
 Headquarters Technical Divisions:
     Monitoring Technology
     Technical Support
 Laboratories:
   1  Environmental Monitoring and
     Support, RTP
   2  Environmental Monitoring and
     Support, Cincinnati
   3  Environmental Monitoring and
     Support, Las Vegas
Headquarters Technical Divisions
    Energy Processes
    Industrial and Extractive
    Processes
Laboratories:
  1 Industrial Environmental
    Research, RTP
  2 Industrial Environmental
    Research, Cincinnati
Headquarters Technical Divisions:
    Media Quality Management
    Waste Management
    Agriculture and Non-Point
    Sources Management
Laboratories:
  1 Environmental Sciences
    Research, RTP
  2 Municipal Environmental
    Research. Cincinnati
  4 Environmental Research,
    Athens
  5 Robert S. Kerr Environmental
    Research, Ada
Headquarters Technical Divisions:
    Health Effects
    Ecological Effects
    Criteria Development and
    Special Studies
Laboratories:
  1  Health Effects Research, RTP
  2  Health Effects Research,
    Cincinnati
  6  Environmental Research,
    Corvallis
  7  Environmental Research,
    Duluth
  8  Environmental Research,
    Narragansett
  9  Environmental Research, Gulf
    Breeze
                                                                         92

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                                                                       Appendix 4
 onstration of pest management strategies to
 minimize the usage and runoff of agricul-
 tural pesticides.
   Waste management research focuses on
 the prevention, control, treatment, and man-
 agement of pollution resulting from wastewa-
 ter discharges from community, residential,
 or other  nonindustrial activities, including
 urban runoff. Problems associated with the
 collection, transport, and  management of
 solid wastes  are also researched. This sub-
 program  provides  technical information to
 support the Agency's operating program in
 construction grants, comprehensive water
 quality planning, and  solid and hazardous
 waste management.
   Waste supply research, development, and
 demonstration activities provide the technol-
 ogy  and management  criteria necessary to
 maintain  dependably safe surface  and
 groundwater supplies of  drinking water.
 Health effects resulting from contaminants
 in drinking water are also studied.
   Environmental management research de-
 velops improved procedures for planning,
 implementing,  enforcing, and  assessing
 cost-effective  environmental protection
 strategies for particular problem areas such
 as air and water. Institutional, economic, and
 decision-making problems faced by gov-
 ernmental multimedia environmental pro-
 grams at local, State, and regional levels are
 analyzed. New management methods for im-
 plementing environmental  protection plans
 are evaluated.
   Characterization and measurement
 methods development provides methods and
 instrumentation for all pollutants (pesticides,
 toxic substances, industrial chemicals, petro-
 chemicals, combustion products, etc.) in  air,
 land, and water (surface and groundwaters).
 Research deals with the basic physical and
 chemical parameters of pollutants and  the
 development of instruments to detect and
 quantify pollutants.
   Measurement techniques and equipment
 standardization research .provides reference
 methods, sampling procedures, and monitor-
 ing systems so that  standardized techniques
 are available for monitoring the  environ-
 ment.
  Quality assurance provides methods and
 criteria for establishing validated measure-
 ment systems and conducts quality control ac-
 tivities to assure the intercomparability of all
 monitoring data.  This program provides
 standard reference materials and  samples,
develops quality control guidelines and man-
uals, conducts on-site evaluations of analyti-
cal laboratories,  and makes interlaboratory
performance checks to assure that legally de-
fensible data are produced by EPA laborato-
ries.
  Technical support is a scientific and tech-
nical consultative service provided to other
organizations within EPA to solve immediate
problems through the use of specialized ex-
pertise and  facilities. The  activities typically
require analytical measurement or monitor-
ing.
  Technical information efforts  manage
and coordinate the effective dissemination of
the findings and products of the research
program to users within EPA and throughout
the public and private sectors.
  Energy extraction and  processing
technology  covers the  characterization of
pollutant sources, assessment of environmen-
tal problems, and development of control
techniques to mitigate the environmental im-
pact of the extraction and processing of solid,
liquid, and gaseous fuels, as well as advanced
energy  sources such as uranium and  geo-
thermal.
  Energy conservation,  utilization,  and
technology  assessment  aim  to ensure  ade-
quate energy production  from fossil  fuels
with minimum damage to  environmental
quality.  Integrated technology  assessments
identify environmentally, economically, and
socially  acceptable alternatives for meeting
national energy demands.
  Energy health and ecological effects re-
search determines the environmental effects
of energy extraction,  transmission, conver-
sion and use so that criteria can be developed
in a timely manner to protect human health
and ecosystems. Identification  of pollutants
released  by energy related industrial opera-
tions,  and determination of their impact on
the environment, aid in defining the pollu-
tion control requirements for energy produc-
ing operations.
                   93

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 10.  Office of Telecommunications Policy, Execu-
     tive Office of the President, 1976. Fourth re-
     port on Program for Control of Electromagne-
     tic Pollution of the Environment: The Assess-
     ment of Biological Hazards of Nonionizing
     Electromagnetic Radiation. Washington, D.C.

 Nonpoint sources and watersheds
  1.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1976.
     The Influence of Land Use on Stream Nutri-
     ent Levels. Ecological Research  Series, EPA-
     600/3-76-014. Washington, D.C.
  2.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1978.
     Advisor)' Papers on Groundvvater Research,
     Number  3. Report of the Groundwater En-
     vironmental Pollutant and  Transformation
     Committee of the Science Advisory Board,
     Washington, D.C.
  3.  Linkens, G. E.,  1976.  Acid  Precipitation.
     Chemical and Engineering  News  54(48):
     29-44.

Measurement and monitoring
  1.  National Academy of Sciences, 1977. En-
     vironmental Monitoring. Vol. IV of Analytical
     Studies for the  U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency. Washingon, D.C.
 2. Science Advisor)' Board, 1977. Report on the
    Research, Development, Monitoring, and
    Technical Support System of the U.S. En-
    vironmental Protection Agency.
 3. Standing  Air Monitoring Work Group,  1977.
    Air Monitoring Strategy for State Implemen-
    tation Plans. EPA-450/2-77-010. Washington,
    D.C.
 4. Standing  Work Group on Water Monitoring,
    1977. Basic Water Monitoring Program.
    EPA-440/9-76-029. Washington, D.C.
 5. Quality Assurance Work Group, 1977. Quality-
    Assurance Research Plan, FY  1978-82.  EPA-
    800/8-77-008. Washington D.C.

Environmental  futures
 1. U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency,  1978.
    Environmental Outlook, 1977. National, Re-
    gional,  and Sectoral  Trends  and Forecasts
    1975, 1985, 1990. EPA-600/9-78-011. Wash-
    ington, D.C.
 2. PEDCo Environmental, Inc., 1977. AirQuality
    Assessment of Particulate Emissions  from
    Diesel-Powered Vehicles. Draft submitted to
    the Strategies and Air Standard Division, U.S.
    Environmental  Protection Agency, Research
    Triangle Park, N.C.
 3.  U.S. Department of Health, Education, and
    Welfare, 1977.  Human Health  and the  Envi-
    ronment—Some Research Needs. Report of
   the Second Task Force for Research Planning
    in Environmental Health Science. Washing-
    ton, D.C.
 CHESS
  1.  U.S. House of Representatives, 1976. The En-
     vironmental  Protection Agency's  Research
     Program with Primary Emphasis on the Com-
     munity Health and Environmental Surveil-
     lance System (CHESS): An Investigative Re-
     port. Committee on Science and Technology.
     Publication No. 77-590.
  2.  Shy, C. M. and John F. Finklea, 1973. Air
     Pollution Affects  Community  Health.  En-
     vironmental  Science and  Technology  7(3):
     204-208.
  3.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1974.
     Health Consequences of Sulfur Oxides: A Re-
     port from CHESS, 1970-1971. EPA-650/1-
     74-004. Research Triangle  Park, N.C.
  4.  Rood, W. B., 1976. EPA Study-The Findings
     Got Distorted. Los Angeles Times, Vol. XCV.
     February 29.
  5.  Talley, W. K., 1976. Personal Communication.
     Assistant Administrator for Research and De-
     velopment, U.S. Environmental Protection
     Agency, from J. L. Buckley et al.
  6.  U.S. House of Representatives, 1976. Report
     on Joint Hearings on the Conduct of the En-
     vironmental Protection Agency's "Community
     Health and Environmental Surveillance Sys-
    tem  (CHESS) Studies."  Publication No.  74-
    552.
  7. Boffey, P. M., 1976. Sulfur Pollution: Charges
     that EPA Distorted the Data Are Examined.
     Science  192: 352-354.
  8.  Environmental Health Letter, 1976. Dr. Fink-
    lea's Critics Fail to Prove Distortions, But
    CHESS Questions Remain.  15(8): 1-2.
  9.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Activities and Accomplishments of the Office
    of Health and Ecological Effects During Fiscal
    Year 1976. Office of Research and  Develop-
    ment. Washington,  D.C.
 10. National Academy of Sciences, 1975. AirQual-
    ity and Stationary Sources  Emission Control,
    Commission on National Resources, Prepared
    for Committee on Public Works, United States
    Senate. Washington, D.C.
 11. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1975.
    Scientific and Technical Issues Relating to Sul-
    fates. Ad Hoc Panel of the Science Advisory
    Board., Washington, D.C.
 12. Bath, T. D., 1976. Memorandum to the Ad-
    ministrator,  U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency from Staff Director, Science Advisory
    Board, August 4.
 13. Lance, B., 1977. Memorandum to the  Heads
    of Executive Departments and Establishments
    from Director, Office of Management  and
    Budget.  Washington, D.C.
14. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Briefing on the Status  of the Community
    Health and Environmental Surveillance  Sys-
    tem (CHESS). Health  Effects Research Labo-
    ratories, Research Triangle  Park, N.C.
15.  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency, 1977.
    CHESS Bibliography. Health Effects Research
    Laboratory, Research Triangle Park, N.C.
                                                                     96

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                                                                             Appendix 5
 16.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
     Quality Assurance Research Plan FY 1978-82.
     EPA-600/8-77-008. Washington, D.C.
 17.  Xonics, Inc., 1977. Operation and  Mainte-
     nance of the CHAMP Air Monitoring Pro-
     gram, Work Plan. Van Nuys, Calif.
 18.  Research  Triangle Institute, 1977. Audit of
     CHAMP Air Quality Monitoring Stations in
     California and Utah. Final Report. Research
     Triangle Park, N'.C.
 19.  The Clean Air Act. Section 402, as amended
     August 1977.
 20.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Advi-
     sory Committee Charter, approved January 6,
     1978. Office of Planning and  Management.
     Washington, D.C.
 21. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
     Report on the Research  Development,
     Monitoring and Technical Support System of
     the  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency.
     Science Advisory Board. Washington, D.C.
 22.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
     Interagency Energy/Environmental R&D Pro-
     gram. EPA-600/7-77-007. Office of Research
    and Development. Washington, D.C.
 23.  Odell, A.  G. Jr. and Associates, et al., 1971.
     Master Plan. U.S.P.H.S. Research Park, Char-
     lotte, N.C.
 24.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Long-Range Space Plan for EPA Activities at
    Research Triangle Park, North  Carolina: Re-
    port and Recommendations. Office of Plan-
    ning and Management. Washington, D.C.
 25. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1975.
    Training and Development Manual. Office of
    Planning and Management. Washington, D.C.
 26. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Order Number  3110.11A, June 22. Per-
    formance  Evaluation and Rating Plan. Office
    of Planning and  Management. Washington,
    D.C.

Graphics
 Page
 13,31, 55, 56,57
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,  1978.
    Environmental Outlook,  1977. National, Re-
    gional, and Sectoral Trends and  Forecasts
    1975, 1985, 1990. EPA-600/9-78-011. Wash-
    ington, D.C.
 18  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1975.
    Position Paper on Regulation of Atmospheric
    Sulfates. EPA-450/2-75-007. Research Trian-
    gle Park, N.C.
 19  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1976.
    National Air Quality and Emissions Trends
    Report. EPA-450/1-76-002. Research Triangle
    Park, N.C.
20  Kornreich, M.R., 1975. A Preliminary Assess-
    ment of the Problem of Carcinogens in the
    Atmosphere. MTR-6874. The MITRE Corpo-
    ration, McLean, Va.
21  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Controlling Emissions  of Particulates. EPA-
    600/8-77-016. Industrial Environmental  Re-
    search  Laboratory, Research  Triangle Park,
    N.C.
24  Council on Environmental Quality, 1976. En-
    vironmental Quality—1976. The Seventh An-
    nual Report of the Council on Environmental
    Quality. Washington, D.C.
25  U.S. Energy  Research and Development Ad-
    ministration,  1977.  Annual  Environmental
    Analysis Report. Vol.  1.  In:  Environmental
    Challenges of the President's Energy Plan:
    Implications  for Research and Development.
    Report prepared for the  Committee on  Sci-
    ence and Technology,  U.S. House of Repre-
    sentatives by the Congressional Research  Ser-
    vice, Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
25  Princiotta, F.T., 1977.  Utility and Industrial
    Power. In: Energy/Environment II. EPA-
    600/9-77-012. U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Washington, D.C.
30  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1977.
    Strategy for  the Implementation  of the Re-
    source Conservation and Recovery Act of
    1976. Washington, D.C.
33  Harrald, J.R., et al., 1977. Oil Spills in the
    Alaskan Coastal Zone: The Statistical Picture.
    Fate and Effects of Petroleum Hydrocarbons
    in  Marine Organisms  and Ecosystems.  Per-
    gamon Press, N.Y.
34  Technology Review,  1977. New Heat in Cli-
    mate Prediction. Vol.  80, No. 1, October/
    November, 1977.
35  Chemical and Engineering News,  1977. Car-
    bon Dioxide: A Problem of Producing Usable
    Data. October 17, 1977.
38  Electronic Industries Association, 1977. Elec-
    tronic Market Data Book. Washington, D.C.
39  Michaelson, S.M., 1974. Effectsof Exposure to
    Microwaves:  Problems  and Perspectives. En-
    vironmental Health Perspectives. Vol. 8.
42  Midwest Research Institute,  1975. National
    Assessment of Water Pollution from Nonpoint
    Sources. Kansas City, Mo.
43  Colston,  N.V.,  1974.  Characteristics  and
    Treatment of Urban  Land  Runoff. EPA-
    670/2-74-096. U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Washington, D.C.
                     97

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