United States
           Environmental Protection
           Agency
               Office of Air Quality
               Planning and Standards
               Research Triangle Park NC 27711
EPA-454/R-94-027
October 1994
&EPA
           Air
NATIONAL AIR POLLUTANT
EMISSION TRENDS,
1900-1993
         1993 CO STATE-LEVEL EMISSION DENSITIES
                                       CO Emissions (tons/yr)

                                          2,400,000 to 7,600,000

                                          1,500,000 to 2,400,000

                                          900,000 to 1,500,000

                                             0 to  900,000
         1993 VOC STATE-LEVEL EMISSION DENSITIES
     VOC Emissions (tons/yr)

          660 to 3,100

          300 to  660

          170 to  300

            0 to  170

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National Air Pollutant
  Emission Trends
    1900 — 1993

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                                  DISCLAIMER
   This report  has  been reviewed  by the Office  of Air Quality  Planning  and Standards, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, and has been approved for publication. Mention of trade names or
commercial products is not intended to constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993

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                                     FOREWORD
This document presents the most recent estimates of national emissions of the criteria air pollutants.
The emissions of each pollutant are estimated for many different source categories, which collectively
account for all anthropogenic emissions.  The report presents the total emissions from all 50 States and
from each EPA region in the country.  These estimates are updated annually.

This is the third of a  series of reports that is tracking the changes in national emissions since passage
of the Clean Air Act  Amendments  of 1990.  Air emission trends are the net effect of many factors,
including changes in the nation's economy and in industrial activity, technology, consumption of fuels,
traffic, and other activities that cause air pollution.  The trends also reflect changes in emissions as a
result of air pollution  regulations and emission controls.  These reports will serve as a measure of our
nation's progress in reducing air pollution emissions as a result of mandatory and voluntary controls and
of continuous changes in national activity.

This report also/'reflects recent improvements in the way national and regional emissions are calculated.
Improvement in estimation methods is an on-going effort, and it is expected  that future reports will
reflect this effort. Revisions to the National Air Pollutant Emission  Trends,  1900-1993, (hereinafter
referred to as  "Trends") methodology include a change in the method used to estimate pre-1985  to the
present emissions, recalculation of mobile source emissions for the years 1970 to 1993 using an updated
emissions model, use of certain years' estimates for trends only,  modification of the method used to
calculate particulate matter emissions, and use of other years' estimates as both trend and absolute
indicators.   Further details of these methodological changes are described in  section 6 of this report.
Preliminary estimates are presented for the years 1990 through 1993.   This year's report continues to
provide limited coverage of biogenic, global warming gases,  air toxics,  and international emissions.
Final estimates (including refinements to the data used to estimate emissions) will be presented in  future
reports.

The Division solicits comments on this report and welcomes suggestions on our trend techniques,
interpretations, conclusions, and methods of presentation.  Please forward any response to  Sharon V.
Nizich, Project Officer, (MD-14) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Technical Support Division,
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina  27711.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          Hi

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                                 CONTENTS


                                                                              Page

FOREWORD	  iii

CONTENTS  	   v

TABLES	  xi

FIGURES	  xiv

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS  	xvii

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT  	   xx

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY  	 ES-1
   ES.l  EMISSION SUMMARY  	 ES-1
   ES.2  EMISSIONS SUMMARY BY POLLUTANT	 ES-2
      ES.2.1 Carbon Monoxide Emissions 	 ES-2
      ES.2.2 Nitrogen Oxides Emissions  	 ES-2
      ES.2.3 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions 	 ES-3
      ES.2.4 Sulfur Dioxide Emissions  	 ES-3
      ES.2.5 Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions  	 ES-4
      ES.2.6 Lead Emissions  	 ES-5
   ES.3  CURRENT NONATTAINMENT AREAS 	 ES-5
   ES.4  REFERENCES	 ES-5

SECTION  1.0

INTRODUCTION  	  1-1
   1.1    HEALTH EFFECTS 	  1-1
      1.1.1  Carbon Monoxide	  1-1
      1.1.2  Nitrogen Dioxide	  1-1
      1.1.3  Volatile Organic Compounds	  1-1
      1.1.4  Sulfur Dioxide	  1-2
      1.1.5  Particulate Matter (PM-10)  	  1-2
      1.1.6  Lead	  1-2
   1.2    POLLUTION TRENDS	  1-2
   1.3    REPORT ENHANCEMENTS	  1-3
      1.3.1  Methodology Changes	  1-3
      1.3.2  Highway Vehicle Emissions	  1-5
      1.3.3  Temporal and Spatial Allocation	  1-5
      1.3.4  Other Emission Inventories  	  1-5
      1.3.5  Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions	  1-5
   1.4    REPORT STRUCTURE	  1-5
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          v                                    Contents

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   1.5   REFERENCES	  1-6

SECTION 2.0

SUMMARY OF 1993 EMISSIONS  	  2-1
   2.1   EMISSIONS FOR 1993 BY SOURCE CATEGORY  	  2-1
      2.1.1  Carbon Monoxide Emissions  	  2-1
      2.1.2  Nitrogen Oxides Emissions 	  2-2
      2.1.3  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions 	  2-2
      2.1.4  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions  	  2-3
      2.1.5  Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Emissions	  2-3
      2.1.6  Lead Emissions  	  2-3
   2.2   SPATIAL EMISSIONS 	  2-4
      2.2.1  State Level  	  2-4
      2.2.2  County Level	  2-4
      2.2.3  Nonattainment Areas	  2-4
   2.3   SEASONAL EMISSIONS  	  2-5
   2.4   LARGEST POINT SOURCES IN AIRS/AFS  	  2-6
   2.5   REFERENCES	  2-7

SECTION 3.0

SUMMARY OF NATIONAL EMISSION TRENDS	  3-1
   3.1   INTRODUCTION	  3-1
   3.2   NATIONAL EMISSION TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993  	  3-1
   3.3   CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION TRENDS, 1940 THROUGH 1993  	  3-2
      3.3.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other  	  3-2
      3.3.2  Industrial Processes  	  3-3
      3.3.3  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and Off-highway	  3-3
      3.3.4  Remaining Sources	 3-4
   3.4   NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSION TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993	 3-4
      3.4.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other  	 3-4
      3.4.2  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and Off-highway	 3-4
      3.4.3  Remaining Sources	 3-4
   3.5   VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND EMISSION TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993 3-5
      3.5.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other  	 3-5
      3.5.2  Industrial Processes  	  3-5
      3.5.3  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and Off-highway	  3-6
      3.5.4  Remaining Sources	  3-6
   3.6   SULFUR DIOXIDE EMISSION TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993  	  3-6
      3.6.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other  	  3-6
      3.6.2  Industrial Processes  	  3-7
      3.6.3  Remaining Sources	  3.7
   3.7   PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) EMISSION TRENDS, 1940 THROUGH 1993  .  3-7
      3.7.1  Point and Process Fugitive Sources	  3.7
         3.7.1.1    Fuel Combustion:  Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other 	  3-8
         3.7.1.2    Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and Off-highway	  3-8
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          vi                                     Contents

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         3.7.1.3    Remaining Sources	 3-8
      3.7.2  Fugitive Dust Sources	 3-9
   3.8    LEAD EMISSION TRENDS, 1970 THROUGH 1993  	 3-9
      3.8.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility, Industrial, and Other 	 3-9
      3.8.2  Industrial Processes  	 3-9
      3.8.3  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and Off-highway	 3-9
   3.9    REFERENCES	  3-10

SECTION 4.0

REGIONAL EMISSION TRENDS, 1985 THROUGH 1993	 4-1
   4.1    REFERENCES	 4-1

SECTION 5.0

NATIONAL ESTIMATE PROJECTIONS, 1996 to 2010	 5-1
   5.1    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSIONS	 5-1
   5.2    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS  	 5-1
   5.3    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND
         EMISSIONS	 5-2
   5.4    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN SULFUR DIOXIDE EMISSIONS  	 5-2
   5.5    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) EMISSIONS5-2
   5.6    REFERENCES	 5-3

SECTION 6.0

NATIONAL CRITERIA POLLUTANT ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY  	 6-1
   6.1    INTRODUCTION	 6-1
   6.2    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1985 THROUGH 1993  	 6-2
      6.2.1  Fuel Combustion  	 6-2
         6.2.1.1    Electric Utility Units	 6-3
         6.2.1.2    Industrial and Other Combustion 	 6-4
      6.2.2  Transportation	 6-6
         6.2.2.1    Highway Vehicles  	 6-7
         6.2.2.2    Off-highway  	 6-8
      6.2.3  Industrial Processes  	 6-9
      6.2.4  Remaining Categories	 6-9
         6.2.4.1    Natural Sources, Geogenic, Wind Erosion 	  6-10
         6.2.4.2    Miscellaneous, Agriculture and Forestry  	  6-10
         6.2.4.3    Miscellaneous, Other Combustion	  6-11
         6.2.4.4    Miscellaneous, Fugitive Dust	  6-11
   6.3    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1940 THROUGH 1984  	  6-13
      6.3.1  Fuel Combustion  	  6-13
         6.3.1.1    Coal	  6-13
         6.3.1.2    Fuel Oil  	  6-14
         6.3.1.3    Natural Gas	  6-14
         6.3.1.4    Wood and Other Fuels  	  6-14
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         vii                                   Contents

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       6.3.2  Transportation	  6-14
          6.3.2.1    Highway Vehicles   	  6-14
          6.3.2.2    Aircraft	  6-15
          6.3.2.3    Railroads	  6-15
          6.3.2.4    Vessels	  6-15
          6.3.2.5    Off-highway	  6-15
       6.3.3  Industrial Processes  	  6-15
       6.3.4  Remaining Categories	  6-16
          6.3.4.1    Solid Waste Disposal  	  6-16
          6.3.4.2    Miscellaneous Sources  	  6-16
   6.4    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1900 THROUGH 1939  	  6-17
       6.4.1  Emission Estimation Methodologies for Sulfur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxides  ..  6-17
          6.4.1.1    Emissions for Every 5 Years	  6-17
          6.4.1.2    Emissions for Intervening Years	  6-19
       6.4.2  Emission Estimation Methodologies for Volatile Organic Compounds  	  6-19
          6.4.2.1    Emissions for Every 5 Years   	  6-19
          6.4.2.2    Emissions for Intervening Years	  6-20
          6.4.2.3    Changes in Estimated Emissions	  6-20
   6.5    EMISSIONS REVISIONS  	  6-20
       6.5.1  Methodological Changes  	  6-20
       6.5.2  Other Changes	  6-20
       6.5.3  Future Changes  	  6-21
   6.6    SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL EMISSIONS, 1993	  6-22
       6.6.1  Spatial Emissions, 1993  	  6-22
       6.6.2  Temporal Emissions, 1993	  6-22
   6.7    LARGEST POINT SOURCES IN AIRS/AFS  	  6-23
   6.8    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1996 to 2010  	  6-24
       6.8.1  Highway Vehicles  	   6-24
          6.8.1.1    VMT Growth	   6-24
          6.8.1.2    Emission Factor Modeling	   6-24
       6.8.2      Utilities 	   6-25
          6.8.2.1    Electric Utility Growth 	   6-25
          6.8.2.2    Electric Utility Controls   	   6-25
       6.8.3      Nonutility Point Sources	   6-25
          6.8.3.1    Carbon Monoxide Controls  	   6-26
          6.8.3.2    Nitrogen Oxides Controls   	   6-26
          6.8.3.3    Volatile Organic Compound Controls   	  6-26
          6.8.3.4    Sulfur Dioxide Controls   	  6-26
          6.8.3.5    Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Controls	  6-26
       6.8.4  Area/Off-highway Projections	  6-26
          6.8.4.1    Carbon Monoxide Area/Off-highway Controls  	  6-26
          6.8.4.2    Nitrogen Oxides Area/Off-highway Controls  	  6-27
          6.8.4.3    Volatile Organic Compound Area/Off-highway Controls   	  6-27
          6.8.4.4    Sulfur Dioxide Area/Off-highway Controls	  6-27
          6.8.4.5    Particulate Matter (PM-10) Area/Off-highway Controls  	  6-27
   6.9    REFERENCES	  6-27
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          viii                                        Contents

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SECTION 7.0

INTERNATIONAL CRITERIA POLLUTANT EMISSIONS  	  7-1
   7.1    PER CAPITA EMISSIONS  	  7-1
   7.2    CANADA  	  7-1
   7.3    EUROPE	  7-2
      7.3.1  CORINAIR: The Atmospheric Emission Inventory for Europe	  7-2
      7.3.2  CORINAIR85  	  7-2
      7.3.3  CORINAIR90  	  7-3
      7.3.4  CORINAIR90 Summary Tables 	  7-4
   7.4    RUSSIA	  7-4
   7.5    MEXICO	  7-4
   7.6    REFERENCES	  7-5

SECTION 8.0

NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS	  8-1
   8.1    NATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS	  8-1
      8.1.1  Introduction	  8-1
      8.1.2  Methodology and Data 	  8-1
   8.2    INTERNATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS	  8-2
      8.2.1  Carbon Dioxide Emissions	  8-2
      8.2.2  Global Trends  	  8-2
      8.2.3  Canada	  8-3
      8.2.4  Mexico	  8-3
   8.3    REFERENCES	  8-4

SECTION 9.0

BIOGENIC EMISSIONS	  9-1
   9.1    REFERENCES	  9-1

SECTION 10.0

AIR TOXIC EMISSIONS	   10-1
   10.1   INTRODUCTION	   10-1
   10.2   TOXICS RELEASE INVENTORY SUMMARIES	   10-2
   10.3   NATIONAL INVENTORIES FOR SPECIFIC POLLUTANTS  	   10-3
      10.3.1 Section 112(k) Inventories (Urban Area Source Program)	   10-3
      10.3.2 Section 112(c)(6) Inventories	   10-4
   10.4   SOURCE CATEGORY ESTIMATES AND MAXIMUM ACHIEVABLE CONTROL
         TECHNOLOGY STATUS 	   10-5
      10.4.1 Aerospace Manufacturing and Rework Industry  	   10-6
      10.4.2 Petroleum Refineries	   10-6
      10.4.3 Halogenated Solvent Cleaning 	   10-7
      10.4.4 Magnetic Tape Manufacturing 	   10-7
      10.4.5 Marine Vessel Loading Operations	   10-7
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         ix                                   Contents

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      10.4.6 Polymers and Resins II	   10-7
      10.4.7 Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Manufacturing Processes	   10-7
      10.4.8 Gasoline Distribution Industry (Stage I)	   10-8
      10.4.9 Ethylene Oxide Sterilization Facilities	   10-8
      10.4.10   Chromium Electroplating Operations  	   10-8
      10.4.11   Coke Oven Batteries  	   10-8
      10.4.12   Perchloroethylene Dry Cleaning Facilities	   10-8
      10.4.13   Secondary Lead Smelters	   10-9
      10.4.14   Industrial Process Cooling Towers	   10-9
      10.4.15   Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing Industry (SOCMI)	   10-9
   10.5   REFERENCES	   10-9

APPENDIX A

NATIONAL EMISSIONS (1970 TO  1993) BY SUBCATEGORY  	A-l

APPENDIX B

REGIONAL EMISSIONS (1985 TO  1993)  	B-l

APPENDIX C

NATIONAL TOTAL PARTICULATE EMISSIONS (1940 TO 1993) BY SUBCATEGORY  . .  C-l

APPENDIX D

NATIONAL EMISSIONS (1940 TO  1993) FROM THE REPORT IN METRIC UNITS  	D-l

APPENDIX E

DENSITY MAPS OF 1993 COUNTY-LEVEL EMISSIONS BY POLLUTANT	E-l
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          \                                    Contents

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                                        TABLES
Number                                                                                Page

ES-1  Summary of National Emissions  	ES-9
ES-2  Percent Change in National Emissions  	ES-10
ES-3  Current Nonattainment Areas	ES-11
1-1   Major Source Categories	 1-8
2-1   1993  National Point and Area Carbon Monoxide Emissions by Source Category	2-8
2-2   1993  National Point and Area Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Source Category	2-8
2-3   1993  National Point and Area Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Source Category  . 2-9
2-4   1993  National Point and Area Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Source Category	2-9
2-5   1993  National Point and Area Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Emissions by Source Category   2-10
2-6   1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Carbon Monoxide  	  2-11
2-7   1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Carbon Monoxide Ranked by Total
      Emissions	  2-12
2-8   1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides   	  2-13
2-9   1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides Ranked by Total
      Emissions	  2-14
2-10  1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds	  2-15
2-11  1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds
      Ranked by Total Emissions	  2-16
2-12  1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Sulfur Dioxides	  2-17
2-13  1993  State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of  Sulfur Dioxides Ranked by Total
      Emissions	  2-18
2-14  1993  State-level Fugitive Dust, Nonfugitive Dust, and Total Emissions of Paniculate
      Matter (PM-10)	  2-19
2-15  1993  State-level Fugitive Dust, Nonfugitive Dust, and Total Emissions of Paniculate
      Matter Ranked by Total  Estimates	  2-20
2-16  Predominant Industries Listed Among the Top  30 Plants  from AIRS/AFS	  2-21
2-17  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Carbon Monoxide  1993	  2-22
2-18  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Nitrogen Oxides   1993	  2-23
2-19  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Volatile Organic Compounds   1993  	  2-24
2-20  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Sulfur Dioxide from All Sources  1993   	2-25
2-21  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Sulfur Dioxide from Industrial Sources   1993  	  2-26
2-22  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Paniculate Matter (PM-10) - 1993   	  2-27
2-23  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Lead   1993	  2-28
3-1   Total National Emissions of Carbon Monoxide, 1940 through 1993  	  3-11
3-2   Total National Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides, 1940 through 1993   	  3-12
3-3   Total National Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds, 1940 through 1993	  3-13
3-4   Total National Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide, 1940 through 1993	  3-14
3-5   Total National Emissions of Paniculate Matter (PM-10),  1940 through 1993  	  3-15
3-6   Total National Emissions of Lead, 1970 through 1993  	  3-16
5-1   National Carbon Monoxide Emissions by Source Category for  1990 to 2010	5-4
5-2   National Nitrogen Oxides Emissions  by Source Category for 1990 to 2010  	5-5
5-3   National Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010  ... 5-6
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           xi                                         Tables

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5-4   National Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010  	  5-7
5-5   National Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010  ...  5-8
6-1   Equations Used to Estimate Emissions from Electric Utility Boilers  	  6-35
6-2   Bureau of Economic Analysis's SA-5 National Changes in Earnings by Industry	  6-36
6-3   Bureau of Economic Analysis's SQ-5 National Growth in Earnings by Industry 	  6-38
6-4   Sample E-GAS Growth Factors Arranged by Tier 1 and Tier 2 Source Category   	  6-39
6-5   Historic Nitrogen Oxides and Sulfur Dioxide Emission Source Categories and
      Subcategories 	  6-40
6-6   Historic Volatile Organic Compound Emission Source Categories and Subcategories .  . .  6-41
7-1   1985 Per Capita Emissions for 15 Selected Countries	 7-6
7-2   1985 Canada Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Province	 7-7
7-3   1985 Canada Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Province	 7-8
7-4   1990 Canada Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Province	 7-9
7-5   1990 Canada  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Province	  7-10
7-6   Canada  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Province	  7-11
7-7   CORINAIR 1985: Nitrogen Oxides Emissions  	  7-12
7-8   CORINAIR 1985: Volatile Organic Compound Emissions  	  7-12
7-9   CORINAIR 1985: Sulfur Dioxide Emissions  	  7-13
7-10  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Belgium	  7-14
7-11  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Denmark and France	  7-15
7-12  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Former Republic of Germany and Greece	  7-16
7-13  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Ireland and Italy	  7-17
7-14  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Luxembourg and Netherlands	  7-18
7-15  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Portugal and Spain	  7-19
7-16  CORINAIR90 Emissions for United Kingdom and European Union (EU-12 except
      Former Democratic Republic of Germany)  	  7-20
7-17  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Austria and Bulgaria	  7-21
7-18  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Czech Republic and Finland	  7-22
7-19  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Former Democratic  Republic of Germany and Norway . . .  7-23
7-20  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Poland and Slovakia 	  7-24
7-21  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Sweden and Selected European Countries (EU-12 +
      Austria, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Finland, Former Democratic Republic of Germany,
      Norway, Poland,  Slovakia, and Sweden)	  7-25
7-22  CORINAIR90 Estimates of the Percentage of Europe Emissions from Source Categories  7-26
7-23  Emissions in the  Territory of Russia	  7-27
7-24  Mexico Emissions in 1985 	  7-27
8-1   Summary of U.S. Carbon  Dioxide Emissions and Sinks by Source Category, 1990 to
      1993  	 8-6
8-2   Summary of U.S. Methane Emissions by Source Category, 1990  to 1993  	 8-7
8-3   Summary of U.S. Nitrous  Oxide Emissions by Source Category,  1990 to 1993	 8-8
8-4   Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions  	 8-9
8-5   Regional Carbon Dioxide Emissions	  8-11
8-6   Carbon Dioxide Emissions for the United States  	  8-13
8-7   Carbon Dioxide Emissions for Canada	  8-14
8-8   Carbon Dioxide Emissions for Mexico	  8-15
10-1  State Total Air Emissions from TRI, 1988 to  1992	10-14
10-2  1990 National Emissions for 3 Hazardous  Air Pollutants	 10-16
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         xii                                        Tables

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10-3  1990 National Emissions for 4 Chlorinated Hazardous Air Pollutants  	10-17
10-4  1990 National Extractable Organic Matter Emissions  	10-18
10-5  1990 National Hexachlorobenzene Emissions	10-19
10-6  1990 National Tetraethyl Lead and Tetramethyl Lead Emissions  	10-20
10-7  1990 National Polychlorinated Biphenyls Emissions	10-20
10-8  1990 National Emissions for Cadmium and Mercury  	10-21
10-9  Summary of Proposed or Promulgated Maximum Achievable Control Technology
      Standards	10-22
A-l   Carbon Monoxide Emissions	A-2
A-2   Nitrogen Oxides Emissions	A-6
A-3   Volatile Organic Compound Emissions	A-10
A-4   Sulfur Dioxide Emissions	 A-17
A-5   Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Emissions	A-21
A-6   Lead Emissions	 A-26
B-l   Regional Emissions of Carbon Monoxide, 1985 to 1993  	B-2
B-2   Regional Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides, 1985 to  1993  	B-2
B-3   Regional Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds, 1985 to 1993	B-2
B-4   Regional Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide, 1985 to 1993  	B-3
B-5a  Regional Emissions of Particulate Matter (PM-10) from Point and Fugitive Process
      Sources, 1985 to 1993  	B-3
B-5b  Regional Emissions of Particulate Matter (PM-10) from Fugitive Dust Sources, 1985 to
      1993   	B-3
B-5c  Regional Emissions of Particulate Matter (PM-10) from All Sources, 1985 to 1993  ....  B-4
B-6   Regional Emissions of Lead, 1985 to 1993  	B-4
C-l   Total Particulate (TSP) Emissions  	C-2
D-l   Total National Emissions of Carbon Monoxide, 1940 through 1993 in Metric Units  ....  D-2
D-2   Total National Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides, 1940 through 1993 in  Metric Units  	D-3
D-3   Total National Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds, 1940 through 1993 in Metric
      Units	D-4
D-4   Total National Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide, 1940 through 1993 in Metric Units   	D-5
D-5   Total National Emissions of Particulate Matter (PM-10),  1940 through 1993  in Metric
      Units   	D-6
D-6   Total National Emissions of Lead, 1970 through  1993 in  Metric Units  	D-7
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          xiii                                        Tables

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                                   FIGURES
Number
ES-1 Trend in National Emissions, NITROGEN OXIDES, VOLATILE ORGANIC
     COMPOUNDS, SULFUR DIOXIDE, (1900 to 1993) and PARTICULATE MATTER
     ([PM-10]:  nonfugitive dust sources; 1940 to 1993)  	  ES-7
ES-2 Trend in National Emissions, CARBON MONOXIDE (1940 to 1993), FUGITIVE
     DUST (1985 to 1993), and LEAD (1970 to 1993)  	  ES-8
ES-3 Trend in National Per Capita Emissions of NITROGEN OXIDES, VOLATILE
     ORGANIC COMPOUNDS, and SULFUR DIOXIDE, 1900 to 1990	  ES-10
2-1   1993 National CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories  . . .  2-29
2-2   1993 National NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories  ....  2-30
2-3   1993 National VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by 5 Principal Source
     Categories  	  2-31
2-4   1993 National SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories	  2-32
2-5   1993 National PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions	  2-33
2-6   1993 National LEAD Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories 	  2-34
2-7   Top 10 States Ranked by CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions in 1993	  2-35
2-8   Top 10 States Ranked by NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions in 1993  	  2-36
2-9   Top 10 States Ranked by VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions in 1993  . . .  2-37
2-10 Top 10 States Ranked by SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions in 1993 	  2-38
2-11 Top 10 States Ranked by PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions in 1993  ....  2-39
2-12 Density Map of 1993 County-level CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions	  2-40
2-13 Density Map of 1993 County-level NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions 	  2-41
2-14 Density Map of 1993 County-level VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions  . .  2-42
2-15 Density Map of 1993 County-level SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions	  2-43
2-16 Density Map of 1993 County-level PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions   . . .  2-44
2-17 Relative Profiles of CARBON MONOXIDE, NITROGEN OXIDES, and VOLATILE
     ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions in a Composite Ozone Nonattainment Area by
     Principal Source Category   1990	  2-45
2-18 Principal CARBON MONOXIDE Emission Categories for a Composite Ozone
     Nonattainment Area -  1990	  2-46
2-19 Principal NITROGEN OXIDES Emission Categories for a Composite Ozone
     Nonattainment Area  1990	  2-47
2-20 Principal VOLATILE  ORGANIC COMPOUND Emission Categories for a Composite
     Ozone Nonattainment Area - 1990	  2-48
2-21 1993 Seasonal CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by Source Category	  2-49
2-22 1993 Seasonal NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by Source Category 	  2-50
2-23 1993 Seasonal VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by Source Category  . .  2-51
2-24 1993 Seasonal SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by  Source Category	  2-52
2-25 1993 Seasonal PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by Source Category   . . .  2-53
2-26 Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting CARBON MONOXIDE - 1993   	  2-54
2-27 Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting NITROGEN OXIDES  -1993 	  2-55
2-28 Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS - 1993 ....  2-56
2-29 Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting SULFUR DIOXIDE from All Sources  1993	  2-57
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         xiv                                   Figures

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2-30  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting SULFUR DIOXIDE from Industrial Sources  1993 .  2-58
2-31  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) - 1993	  2-59
2-32  Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting LEAD  1993	  2-60
3-1   Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by 7 Principal Source Categories,  1940
      through 1993  	  3-17
3-2   Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by 7 Principal Source Categories, 1900
      through 1993  	  3-18
3-3   Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by 7 Principal Source
      Categories, 1900 through 1993   	  3-19
3-4   Trend in SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by 6 Principal Source Categories, 1900 through
      1993  	  3-20
3-5   Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by Point and Fugitive Process
      Sources (1940 through 1993) and by Fugitive Dust Sources (1985 to 1993)	  3-21
3-6   Trend in LEAD Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1970 through 1993	  3-22
3-7   Trends in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions, Vehicle Miles Traveled, and Fuel Usage .  3-23
3-8   Ratio of Off-highway Gasoline and Diesel Vehicle to Highway Vehicle CARBON
      MONOXIDE Emissions	  3-24
4-1   U. S. Environmental Protection Agency's Administrative Regions	  4-2
4-2   Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by Region,  1985 TO 1993  	  4-3
4-3   Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993	  4-4
4-4   Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993  . .  4-5
4-5   Trend in SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993  	  4-6
4-6   Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by Region, 1985 TO  1993  ....  4-7
4-7   Trend in LEAD Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993	  4-8
5-1   Projected Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories,
      1990 through 2010	  5-9
5-2   Projected Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories,
      1990 through 2010	  5-9
5-3   Projected Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by 5 Principal
      Source Categories, 1990 through 2010  	  5-10
5-4   Projected Trend in SULFUR OXIDE Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1990
      through 2010  	  5-10
5-5   Projected Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by  5 Principal Source
      Categories, 1990 through 2010  	  5-11
8-1   1950 to 1991 Global CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions from Fossil Fuel Burning, Cement
      Production, and Gas Flaring  	  8-10
8-2   Comparison of Per Capita CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions  	  8-12
8-3   CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions for the United States	  8-13
8-4   CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions for Canada	  8-14
8-5   CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions for Mexico   	  8-15
9-1   Oak Forest 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State	  9-2
9-2   Other Deciduous Forest 1990 Volatile  Organic Compound Emissions by  State	  9-3
9-3   Coniferous Forest 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State	  9-4
9-4   Grassland 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State   	  9-5
9-5   Scrubland 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State   	  9-6
9-6   Urban Vegetation 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State  	  9-7
9-7   Agricultural Crop 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State  	  9-8
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. 1900-1993         xv                                      Figures

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9-8   Inland Water 1990 Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by State	  9-9
9-9   Total 1990 Biogenic VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State	  9-10
9-10 Seasonal Breakdown of Total 1990 Biogenic VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND
     Emissions	  9-11
10-1 TOXIC RELEASE INVENTORY Air Emissions Trends	10-11
10-2 Top 10 HAZARDOUS AIR POLLUTANTS - 1988 Basis	10-12
10-3 TOXIC RELEASE INVENTORY Releases by Industry, 1988 - 1992	10-13
E-l   Density Map of 1993 County-level CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions	E-2
E-2   Density Map of 1993 County-level NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions 	E-3
E-3   Density Map of 1993 County-level VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emission
     Estimates  	E-4
E-4   Density Map of 1993 County-level SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions	E-5
E-5   Density Map of 1993 County-level PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions  ....  E-6
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993        xvi                                   Figures

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                 ACRONYMS  AND ABBREVIATIONS
AAMA       American Automobile Manufacturers Association
AFS         AIRS Facility Subsystem
AIRS        Aerometric Information Retrieval System
AMS        AIRS Area/Mobile Source Subsystem
ARCINFO    name of commercial Graphical User Interface (GUI) product
BEA        Bureau of Economic Analysis
BTEX       benzene,  toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylenes
CAA        Clean Air Act
CAAA       1990 Clean Air Act Amendments
CCT        Clean Coal Technology
CE          control efficiency
CEC        European Commission
CEFIC       Conseil European de 1'Industrie Chimique (European Chemical Industry Council)
CEUM       Coal and Electric Utility Model
CH4         methane
CITEPA     Centre Interprofessionnel Technique d'Etudes de la Polution Atmopherique (currently,
             the main contractor for the CORINAIR program)
CO          carbon monoxide
CO2         carbon dioxide
CORINAIR   CORINE AIR
CORINE     COoRdination d'INformation Environnementale
CTG        Control Techniques Guidelines
DDE        p,p'-dichlorodiphenyldichlorethylene
DGXI       Directorate General Environment, Nuclear Safety and Civil Protection
DOE        U.S. Department of Energy
DOI         U.S. Department of the Interior
DOT        U.S. Department of Transportation
E-GAS       Economic Growth Analysis System
EEA        European Environment Agency
EFTA       European Free  Trade Association
EIA         Energy Information Administration
EIB         Emission Inventory Branch
EMFAC7F    California on-road motor vehicle emission factor model
EOM        extractable organic matter
EPA         U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
EPCRA      Emergency Planning and Community Right-to-Know Act of 1986
ERCAM     Emission Reduction and Cost Analysis Model
EU-12       12 European Union countries
EUROTRAC  EUROpean experiment on TRAnsport and transformation of environmentally relevant
             trace Constituents in the troposphere over Europe  (a scientific research program)
FCCC       Framework Convention on Climate Change
FHWA       Federal Highway Administration
FMVCP      Federal Motor Vehicle Control Program
FTP         Federal Test Procedure
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                          XV11
Acronyms and Abbreviations

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GACT        generally available control technology
HAPs         hazardous air pollutants
HC           hydrocarbon
HCB          hexachlorobenzene
HDDV        heavy-duty diesel vehicle
HDGV        heavy-duty gasoline vehicle
HPMS        Highway Performance Monitoring System
I/M           inspection and maintenance
IIASA        International Institute for Applied Systems  Analysis
IPCC         Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
L&E          Locating & Estimating (documents)
Ibs           pounds
LDDT        light-duty diesel truck
LDDV        light-duty diesel vehicle
LDGT        light-duty gasoline truck
LDGV        light-duty gasoline vehicle
LEV          low emission vehicle
LRTAP       long range transboundary air pollution
MACT        maximum achievable  control technology
MC           motorcycle
MEK         methyl ethyl ketone
MBBK        methyl isobutyl ketone
MOBILESa   EPA's mobile source emission factor model
MSA         Metropolitan statistical area
MTBE        methyl tert-butyl  ether
MVMA       Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Association
n.e.c.         not elsewhere classified
NAAQS      National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NADB        National Allowance Data Base
NACE        nomenclature generale des activites economiques de la Communaute europeenne
NAPAP       National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program
NCAR        National Center for Atmospheric Research
NEDS        National Emissions Data System
NESHAP     National Emission Standard for Hazardous  Air Pollutants
NMHC       nonmethane hydrocarbons
NMOG       nonmethane organic gases
NMVOC      nonmethane VOC
NO           nitric oxide
NO2          nitrogen dioxide
NOX          nitrogen oxides
NSPS         New Source Performance Standards
NSTU        Nomenclature of Statistical Territorial Units
O3           ozone
OAQPS       Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
OECD        Organization for  Economic Cooperation and Development
OMS         Office of Mobile Sources
OPPE        Office of Policy Planning and Evaluation
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
XV111
Acronyms and Abbreviations

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Pb            lead
PCB          polychlorinated biphenyl
PHOXA      PHotochemical OXidants study (a scientific research program)
PM-10        particulate matter less than ten microns in aerodynamic diameter
POM         polycyclic organic matter
POTW        publicly owned treatment works
QA/QC       quality assurance/quality control
RACT        Reasonably Available Control Technology
RE           rule effectiveness
RIA          Regulatory Impact Analysis
ROM         Regional Oxidant Model
RVP         Reid vapor pressure
SCC         Source Classification Code
SEDS         State Energy Data System
SIC          Standard Industrial Classification
SIP          State Implementation Plan
SNAP90      source sector split
SO2          sulfur dioxide
SOCMI       sysnthetic organic chemical manufacturing industry
SRAB        Source Receptor Analysis Branch
TCA         1,1,1-trichloroethane
TCDD        2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin
TCDF        2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran
TEL         tetraethyl lead
TF           task force
TML         tetramethyl lead
TSP          total suspended particulate
tpy           tons per year
TRI          Toxic Release Inventory
TSDF        treatment storage and disposal facility
U.S.          United States
UAM         Urban Airshed Model
UNECE      United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
UNICE       UNion des Confederations de 1'Industrie et des employeurs d'Europe (union of
              industrial and employers' confederations of Europe)
VMT         vehicle miles traveled
VOC         volatile organic compounds
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                             XIX
Acronyms and Abbreviations

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                           ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This report was prepared with the help of many people.  The EPA wishes to acknowledge the assistance
of Sharon Nizich, Ron Ryan,  David Misenheimer,  Thomas McMullen, and David Mobley of the
Emission Inventory Branch, Mark Wolcott and Lois Platte of the Office of Mobile Sources,  and Bill
Hohenstein of the Climate Change Division.  Acknowledgement is also extended to Laurel  Schultz,
William Frietsche, Dat Giap, Evelyn Sue Kimbrough, and Charles Mann of EPA in preparation of past
Trends reports.  The agency also wishes to acknowledge the data and information that were provided
by numerous people  from Government agencies and private institutions and organizations, especially
Marc Deslauriers of Environment Canada and Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environmental Agency,
Denmark.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          xx                               Acknowledgement

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                           EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY
This report presents the U.S.  Environmental
Protection  Agency's  (EPA)  latest estimates  of
national and regional emissions  for  criteria air
pollutants:*  carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb),
nitrogen oxides (NOX), fine paniculate matter less
than 10 microns (PM-10), sulfur  dioxide (SO2),
total suspended particulate matter [TSP (only in
Appendix C)]  and volatile  organic compounds
(VOC).  Estimates  are  presented for the years
1900 to 1993,  with greater detail in more recent
years.

National emissions are estimated  annually by the
EPA based on statistical information  about each
source category,  emission  factor, and control
efficiency.  The estimates are made for over 450
individual source categories that include all major
sources of anthropogenic emissions for the years
1900 through 1984.
 Methodologies to estimate pre-1985 and 1985 to
 the  present  emissions  differ.   Differences in
 methodologies for allocating emissions  among
 source categories  could result in  significant
 changes in the emissions, particularly at the more
 detailed source category level. CAUTION
 BE EXERCISED WID3N COMPARING TRENDS FOR
 TQTALS OF PRE-1985 AND 1985 TO THE PRESENT
 YEAR VALUES.
Starting with 1985, the estimates are based on a
modified National Acid Precipitation Assessment
Program (NAPAP)1 inventory. This will allow for
future inclusion of emissions data compiled and
submitted by  individual  state pollution control
agencies. As these detailed source emissions data
progressively  replace  the broader,  economic-
activity  based emissions, the accuracy of  the
national and regional estimates should improve,
but  comparisons  with  previously published
estimates must take into  account this  changing
complexion  of the  data  base.  This change  in
methodology is only a first step, however,  so
   caution should be used when using this report for
   comparative purposes.    More  details on the
   changing methodology are described in section 6.
   The emissions for individual source categories are
   aggregated to show the  emission trends at the
   national and regional levels and by major source
   category.

   ES.l   EMISSION SUMMARY

   Figures ES-1 and ES-2, in units of million  short
   tons,  and Table ES-1, in units of thousand  short
   tonsb  per year, present national emissions of each
   pollutant.  Table ES-1 shows  estimates for every
   fifth year from  1900 to 1980, and for every year
   from  1983 to 1993.  Table ES-2 shows the change
   in total national emissions of each pollutant since
   1900, where available.  The percentage change is
   shown for six time periods; 1900 to 1993,1940 to
   1993, 1970 to 1993, 1990 to 1993, the most recent
   decade, and the most recent year.  The  1990 to
   1993  interval  has  been  added  to  help track
   progress following passage of the Clean Air Act
   Amendments of 1990 (CAAA).

   Since 1900°, total national NOX  emissions  have
   increased by 796 percent (approximately a factor
   of 9), SO2 emissions have increased approximately
   120 percent,  and VOC emissions  have increased
   200 percent.  From 1970 to 1993, emissions of Pb
   show the greatest decrease (98 percent), followed
   by PM-10 [excluding fugitive dust (71 percent)],
   SO2  (30 percent),  CO  (24  percent),  and VOC
   (24 percent).   NOX emissions appear to  have
   increased approximately 13 percent. Emissions of
   PM-10 and Pb show their greatest decrease in the
   1970s;  SO2, CO, and VOC emissions show their
   largest  decrease over the period  1970 to 1990.
   NOX emissions have remained essentially constant
   since 1980.

   Figure  ES-3  shows the  trend in  population2 and
   per capita emissions for NOX, VOC, and SO2 over
   the period 1900 to  1990.  Although the emission
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-1
Executive Summary

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trend for these pollutants  shows variability over
the entire time period, Figure ES-3 clearly shows
that since the initial passage of the Clean Air Act
in 1970 (CAA), per capita emissions have been
steadily declining,  with the exception of  NOX.
NOX emissions (on  a per capita basis) have been
declining since 1980.d

The following sections present a brief description
of the changes in total emissions of each pollutant
from  1940 to 1993.  The  data are presented in
Table ES-1.

ES.2   EMISSIONS SUMMARY BY
       POLLUTANT

ES.2.1    Carbon Monoxide Emissions

Most anthropogenic CO  is generated in  some
combustion process. Internal combustion engines,
both  in highway vehicles  and  in  diverse
off-highway uses, comprise the principle sources,
contributing about 62 and 16 percent, respectively,
of the estimated 97.2 million  short  tons of CO
emissions  in the United  States in  1993.   The
majority of the carbon in gasoline and diesel fuel
is oxidized to carbon dioxide (CO2), a concern in
its own right as a greenhouse gas (see section 8).
A small  fraction  (up  to 8 percent in  an
uncontrolled  gasoline engine)  is  incompletely
oxidized to CO, which is poisonous to humans.

The national trend in CO emissions since 1940 has
been influenced primarily  by changing emissions
from highway  vehicles.    In 1940,  highway
vehicles contributed some  30 percent (27  million
short tons)  of the  91  million total  short  tons
emitted; total CO emissions peaked  in the  early
1970s at around 130 million short tons, of which
almost 70 percent (88 million short tons)  derived
from highway  vehicles.   By 1993, the national
total had declined to 97  million  short tons, 62
percent of which (60 million short tons)  came
from highway  vehicles,   despite increases in
vehicle miles  traveled (VMT)  during the  same
period.  In other notable  categories, over the same
53 year period, off-highway engine emissions of
    CO increased by 90 percent and now stand at 16
    percent of the  total; CO from residential wood
    combustion deceased  by 63  percent (from  11
    million to 4 million short  tons) and is  now 4
    percent of the total; the contribution from wildfires
    decreased 83 percent (from 25 million to 4 million
    short tons) and is currently 5 percent of the total.

    Over the last 5  years, the  overall trend  in  CO
    emissions  has   been slightly  downward, from
    almost  101 million short tons in  1989 to 97
    million short tons in 1993.  This is primarily the
    result of  decreasing  CO emissions  from  the
    highway vehicle category as  older  vehicles  are
    displaced by new models designed to operate more
    consistently at  near-optimum  air/fuel ratios  and
    equipped with  exhaust  catalyzers  that convert
    much of the remaining CO to  additional CO2.

    ES.2.2     Nitrogen Oxides Emissions

    Nitrogen oxides  are  formed  during high
    temperature fuel combustion, principally in fossil
    fuel-fired electric utility and industrial boilers  and
    in  internal  combustion engines.   The  principal
    components of  NOX,  nitric  oxide  (NO)  and
    nitrogen dioxide (NO2),  participate  in  the
    photochemical  reactions producing  tropospheric
    ozone,  can be  further  oxidized to  nitric  acid
    (HNO3), a component of acid rain, and can induce
    respiratory effects in humans.

    From 1940 through 1970, NOX emissions increased
    by over 200 percent (from 7.5 million to 20.5
    million short tons).  Since 1980, national NOX
    emissions  have  leveled off at about 23 million
    short tons.  In  1940, industrial fuel combustion
    was  the largest of the four major contributors,
    adding  34 percent (2.5 million short tons) to the
    national total; fuel combustion by electric utilities
    added less than 9 percent (two thirds of a million
    short tons).   Highway vehicles  contributed 20
    percent  (1.5 million  short tons);  off-highway
    vehicles and machinery,  principally  coal-fueled
    railroad locomotives, added 13 percent (just under
    1  million short tons).  By 1993, NOX emissions
    from electric utilities and highway vehicles  had
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-2
Executive Summary

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risen markedly, each now contributing about one
third  to  the national  total (approximately 7.5
million  short  tons each).   Emissions  from
industrial combustion  and off-highway  sources
have  risen more  slowly, in fact, industrial
combustion emissions  are now about 25 percent
below their 1970 level; each now comprises about
13  percent (approximately 3 million short tons
each) of the national total for NOX.

ES.2.3     Volatile Organic Compound
          Emissions

Volatile organic compounds6 are  a  principal
component in the chemical  and  physical
atmospheric reactions that form ozone  and other
photochemical  oxidants.   Emissions  of  VOC
increased for the  nation  from  1900  to  1970,
peaking  in the early 1970s, but  have  decreased
steadily  since that time.  Some categories have
increased while others have decreased. Variability
of emission levels is based on pollution controls,
population, and economic factors.  For instance, in
1900, emissions from all fuel combustion sources
represented 68 percent of the total national VOC
emissions, but by  1993 the contribution was 3
percent.  These decreases, occurring despite large
population growth,  are due to increased controls
on  the burning  of  fossil fuels for  utilities and
industry.  While emissions of petroleum product
storage and marketing operations increased during
the mid-1970s as a result of increased demand for
petroleum  products, especially  motor gasoline,
emissions from these sources  began to decrease
after  1978 as a result of more effective control
measures.  Another reason for the overall decrease
in the emissions between  1970 and 1993 is  the
substitution of water-based emulsified asphalt for
asphalt liquified with petroleum distillates.

With  the advent of wider use of the automobile
and aircraft, VOC  emissions  for transportation
sources increased 161 percent from 1940 to 1970.
After 1970, the Federal Motor Vehicle  Control
Program (FMVCP)  initiative resulted in a drastic
decline  in  vehicle  emissions, even  with  the
enormous increase in VMT. From 1970 to 1993,
   highway vehicle emissions dropped approximately
   53 percent.  Inspection/maintenance, oxygenated
   fuels programs, and other control programs are
   expected to contribute to a continuing decline in
   emission rates for highway vehicles, despite
   increasing VMT.

   ES.2.4   Sulfur Dioxide Emissions

   The majority of SO2 emissions derive from the
   combustion of fossil-fuels containing  trace
   amounts of  sulfur.   Various particulate  sulfate
   compounds can be formed, as well. Once emitted
   into the atmosphere, SO2 can be further oxidized
   to sulfuric  acid, a component of acid rain.

   In  1940, national SO2 emissions were  almost 20
   million short tons.  In the early 1970s, the total
   reached some 31 million  short tons; by 1993 it
   had declined again to almost 22 million short tons.
   In  1940, the major contributor was the industrial
   fuel combustion category, producing 30 percent (6
   million short tons) of the total.  The  next three
   ranking categories  were  "other combustion
   sources" (consisting primarily of residential  and
   commercial coal furnaces), 18 percent (3.5 million
   short tons), metals refining and processing,  and
   off-highway  vehicles (largely  coal-fueled
   locomotives), each adding about 16 percent (some
   3 million short tons each). Fifth among the major
   categories  was  electric power generation;
   coal-fueled  steam  generators  added  about  12
   percent (almost 2.5 million short tons)  to the
   national total of SO2 emissions.

   By 1993, decreases were seen in the first four
   categories in varying degrees. Emissions of SO2
   from electric power generation, on the other hand,
   rose markedly with the demand for electric power;
   by the decade of the 1970s, SO2 emissions from
   electric  utilities  had  increased  sevenfold  and
   dominated the national total  at 56 percent (17.5
   million short tons).  By 1993, the electric utility
   companies had installed emission controls and/or
   switched to  low  sulfur fuels,  reducing  their
   emissions  to under 16 million short  tons, but
   because of reductions in other categories as well,
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-3
Executive Summary

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electric utilities now constitute some 72 percent of
the national total of SO2 emissions.  The second
ranking contributor is the industrial combustion
category at 13  percent (less than 3 million short
tons).  The remaining three categories each now
account for less than 3 percent of the national total
(< 0.6 million short tons each).

ES.2.5    Particulate Matter (PM-10)
           Emissions

Air  pollutants  called paniculate matter include
dust, dirt, soot, smoke, and liquid droplets directly
emitted into the air by sources such as factories,
power plants, cars, construction activity, fires, and
natural windblown dust as well as particles formed
in  the  atmosphere by condensation  or
transformation  of emitted gases such as SO2 and
VOC.  (Note:  The particulate  matter emissions in
this  report do not include emissions from gas
phase particulate matter precursors.)

On July 1,1987 EPA promulgated new annual and
24-hour  standards for particulate matter using a
new indicator, PM-10, that includes only those
particles with  an aerodynamic diameter smaller
than 10 micrometers. These smaller particles are
likely responsible for most adverse health effects
of particulate because of their ability to reach the
thoracic  or lower regions of the respiratory tract.
Because of the  new standard, EPA  now  only
reports  total   suspended particulate  (TSP)  in
Appendix  C of  this report.   Unless  otherwise
noted, all references  in this report to particulate
matter emissions are the  10 microns or less
portion only.   Trends in the PM-10 portion of
historically inventoried (generally from sources
referred  to as  "Point and Fugitive Processes")
particulate matter emissions are presented for the
years  1940 to 1993  in  this  report.   National
emissions  are  also provided for PM-10 fugitive
dust emissions  from 1985 to 1993. In total, these
fugitive emissions are 11 to  16 times more than
the point and fugitive process categories.

In  1940,  emissions from  fuel combustion
represented 25  percent of the total national PM-10
    emissions.  Despite continuing increases  in coal
    consumption, PM-10 emissions  from electric
    utilities decreased  after  1970, as  a  result  of
    installing air pollution control equipment required
    by new facilities constructed in the 1970s.  Fuel
    combustion sources contributed 22 percent to the
    total national emissions in 1970, and 33 percent in
    1993.   In  1940, emissions from transportation
    emissions  accounted for 17 percent of the total
    national PM-10 emissions. Railroad and light-duty
    gasoline vehicles  (LDGV)  represented 15 and
    1 percent, respectively, of the  total  1940
    emissions.    By  1970,  the  railroad  emissions
    decreased by 99 percent and the LDGV emissions
    decreased by  61  percent.  The railroad emissions
    increased from 1970 to 1993 by 91 percent. Over
    the  same period, the LDGV emissions decreased
    by  49  percent.   In  1993 emissions from  the
    transportation source represented 16 percent of the
    total national  PM-10 emissions.

    The PM-10 emissions from industrial processes
    increased from 1940 through 1950, primarily as a
    result of increases in industrial production.  From
    1950 to 1970, industrial output continued to grow,
    but  the emissions from  industrial processes
    decreased  due  to  the  installation of  pollution
    control  equipment  mandated by air  pollution
    control programs. The reduction of emissions by
    these control devices more than offset the increase
    in emissions due to production increases. In 1970,
    industrial processes contributed 60 percent to the
    total national PM-10  emissions, while  in  1993,
    they contributed  17  percent, thus  indicating
    considerable progress  in reducing emissions.  In
    1940, wildfires contributed 14  percent to the total
    national emissions, but  in 1993 they contributed
    only 11 percent to  the total.

    The PM-10 emissions from fugitive dust sources
    decreased by  6 percent from 1985 to  1993. The
    decrease is mainly the  result of wind erosion
    emissions.  Particulate matter (PM-10) emissions
    due to wind erosion are very sensitive to regional
    soil conditions and year-to-year changes in total
    precipitation and wind speeds.  For example, the
    total national emissions from wind erosion in 1993
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-4
                                                                                 Executive Summary

-------
are estimated to be 1 million short tons, compared
to 18 million short tons  in  1988.  The lack  of
precipitation in 1988 prior to spring crop planting,
especially in the central and western United States,
contributed to greater wind erosion for that year.
In 1993, unusually heavy spring rains in Kansas
and Oklahoma, where wind  erosion is  normally
very significant, resulted in a 97 percent decrease
in the wind erosion emissions from the previous
year.

ES.2.6    Lead Emissions

Lead gasoline  additive, nonferrous  smelters, and
battery plants are the most significant contributors
to atmospheric Pb emissions. Total Pb emissions
from all sources dropped from 219 thousand short
tons in 1985 to 5 thousand short tons in 1993.
The decrease  in  lead emissions from highway
vehicles  accounts for essentially all of this drop.
The reasons for this  drop  are  noted in  section
3.8.3 of this report.

Electric utility,  industrial,   and  other  fuel
combustion emissions  in  1940 represented
5 percent of the total national Pb emissions.  The
Pb emissions decreased by 95 percent from 1970
to 1993.  By  1993, fuel combustion emissions
accounted for  10 percent of the total emissions.
Industrial processes in 1970 represented 12 percent
of the total national Pb emissions.  The emissions
   decreased by 91 percent from 1970 to 1993.  By
   1993, industrial process estimates accounted for
   47 percent of the total emissions.  Emissions from
   highway vehicles accounted for 78 percent of the
   total  emissions in  1970.   Total  national Pb
   emissions decreased sharply from 1970 to 1986 as
   a  result  of  the widespread  use  of catalytic
   converters on automobiles to reduce NOX, VOC,
   and  CO  emissions  and the  use  of  unleaded
   gasoline for vehicles with these converters. From
   1975  to  1993,  the percent of unleaded gasoline
   sales  increased from 13 to 99 percent,  while the
   Pb  emissions from highway vehicles decreased
   from 130 thousand  short tons  in  1975  to
   1 thousand  short  tons in  1993,  or about
   99 percent.  In 1993, highway  vehicle emissions
   accounted for 28 percent of the total national Pb
   emissions.

   ES.3   CURRENT NONATTAINMENT
          AREAS

   The numbers of areas designated in nonattainment
   of air quality standards, as of mid-1994, are listed
   in Table ES-3.  This list provides information on
   how the states are meeting their goals set forth in
   Title  I of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments.
   As state  data are  federally  approved  for these
   nonattainment areas, they will be incorporated into
   the 1995 Trends Report.
ES.3  REFERENCES

1.  The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (Version 2):  Development of the Annual Data and Modeler's
    Tapes.  EPA-600/7-89-012a. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.
    November 1989.
2.  National Data Book and Guide to Sources,  Statistical Abstract of the United States
    Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Washington, DC.  1989.
                                      7995.  U.S.
3.  Historic Emissions of Sulfur  and Nitrogen Oxides  in the  United  States from  1900 to 1980.
    EPA-600/7-85-009a and b. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH.  April 1985.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-5
Executive Summary

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4.  Historic Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds in the  United States from 1900 to  1985.  EPA-
    600/7-88-008a.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH.  May 1988.
  a The Clean Air Act (CAA) requires that the EPA Administrator publish a list of pollutants that have adverse effects
on public health or welfare, and which are emitted from numerous and diverse stationary or mobile sources.  For each
pollutant, a "criteria" document must be compiled and published by the Administrator.  The criteria are scientific
compendia of the studies documenting adverse effects of specific pollutants at various concentrations in the ambient air.
For each pollutant, NAAQS are set at levels which, based on the criteria, protect the public health and the public welfare
from any known or anticipated adverse effects.  These regulated pollutants are therefore referred to as  "criteria
pollutants."

  b Unless otherwise noted, all references to tons in this report are short tons.

  c It should be noted that the historic emissions may not be as reliable as the more recent estimates as a result of
increased uncertainty in early statistics and assumptions.

  d Please note that the apparently encouraging downward trend is probably due as much to the increase in population as
to the decrease in emissions.

  e It should be noted that EPA's definition of VOC (40CFR51.100) excludes methane, ethane, and certain other
nonphotochemically reactive organic compounds.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           RS-6                                    Executive Summary

-------
F
C(
40-
in.
lion short tons)
§ £
Emissions (mil
S £
1 V
igure ES-1. Trend in National Emissions, NITROGEN OXIDES, VOLATILE ORGANIC
DMPOUNDS, SULFUR DIOXIDE, (1900 to 1993) and PARTICULATE MATTER ([PM-10]:
nonf ugitive dust sources; 1 940 to 1 993)

NOX
voc 	
SOa 	
PM-10 	


AA
/f \\ ^
^ ^V \ /\An£><^'^/ / **' """
/
/" V
- — • — *~
0 »•
1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
1900 1910
A/V^^ ^ ^
/ \f*~*~^~'^—~' ' ~"^ • -— . •'
°C-/ NOi,-^...---"" "'\
	 ^ ... ^ ,.-'*" PM-10-*\

* * ..
1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990
Year


-------
I
£.
*v
1
c
1
i
EJ"
i*
§
?
re
k*.
^1
^O
*>
Ui

w
GO
(XI







&
X
p.
<
3
i/i
c



























Figure ES-2. Trend in National Emissions, CARBON MONOXIDE (1940 to 1993),
FUGITIVE DUST (1985 to 1993), and LEAD (1970 to 1993)




150 	 ™n



120


Carbon
Monoxide 90
and Fugitive
Dust
Emissions
(million
short tons)

30


oi
CO 	
Pb 	
FD* 	
^^7K

.^^ j \ ^^r ^^^^ —-
e&2^ \ ^^^-w

^^ *""^ i
PbVv\
\
\
\ FD-^/\
• * »
\ -'V -%
V
\

\
\

1 I 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 | 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 1 1 |n III! 1 1 1 1 | 1 1 1 1 1 1 — TT 1 | 1 — 1 — 1 — 1 — 1 — |— 1 — 1 — I" 1 1 — I —
uuu


-240



-180 Lead
Emissions
(thousand
short tons)
-120

-60


-0
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990
Year

*FD=Fugitive dust


-------
                            Table ES-1.  Summary of National Emissions
                     (thousand short tons, 1.1 million short tons equals 1  million metric tons)
Year
1900***
1905"*
1910*"
1915***
1920***
1925"*
1930*"
1935***
1940
1945**"
1950
1955*"*
1960
1965""
1970""*
1975
1980
1983
1984
1985*"*"
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990"*""
1991*******
1992***""
1993*******
Nitrogen
Oxides
2,611
3,314
4,102
4,672
5,159
7,302
8,018
6,639
7,568
9,643
10,403
11,851
14,581
17,836
20,625
21,889
23,281
22,364
23,172
22,853
22,409
22,386
23,221
23,250
23,192
22,977
22,991
23,402
Volatile
Organic
Compounds
7,765
8,124
8,402
9,046
9,291
13,357
18,316
16,200
17,118
19,128
20,856
22,349
24,322
28,072
30,646
25,677
25,893
24,607
25,572
25,417
24,826
24,338
24,961
23,731
24,276
23,508
23,020
23,312
Sulfur
Dioxide
9,988
13,959
17,275
20,290
21,144
23,264
21,106
16,978
19,954
19,850
22,384
20,883
22,245
24,500
31,096
27,907
25,813
22,471
23,396
23,148
22,361
22,085
22,535
22,653
22,261
22,149
21,592
21,888
Carbon
Monoxide
NA"
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
90,865
94,825
98,785
101,281
103,777
115,928
128,079
115,110
115,625
115,334
114,262
112,072
108,070
105,117
106,100
100,806
103,753
99,898
96,368
97,208
Particulate
Matter (PM-10)
without
fugitive dust
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
15,956
16,545
17,133
16,346
15,558
14,198
12,838
7,414
6,928
5,849
6,126
3,676
3,679
3,630
3,697
3,661
4,229
3,902
3,676
3,688
Fugitive
Dust
(PM-10)*
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
44,701
49,940
42,131
59,975
53,323
44,929
49,127
44,953
41,801
Lead
(short tons)
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
219,471
158,541
74,956
49,232
42,217
20,124
7,296
6,840
6,464
6,099
5,635
5,020
4,741
4,885
 NOTE(S): *
Fugitive dust emissions not estimated prior to 1985. They are defined in section ES.2.5.
NA denotes not available.
NAPAP historical emissions3'4
Combination of revised transportation values and NAPAP historical emissions.
There is a change in methodology for determining highway vehicle and off-highway emissions (see section 6).
There is a change in methodology in all sources except highway vehicles and off-highway and all pollutants except
lead, as reflected by the dotted line.
1990, 1991, 1992, and 1993 estimates are preliminary.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                       ES-9
Executive Summary

-------
                   Table ES-2.  Percent Change in National Emissions
Year
^=^^^==
1900 to
1993
1940 to
1993
1970to
1993
1983 to
1993
1990 to
1993
1992 to
1993
Nitrogen
Oxides
=^==
796
209

13

5

1

2
Volatile
Organic
Compounds
=^^=^=^=
200
36

-24

-5

-4

1
Sulfur
Dioxide
^^M^^^HI^^^^^^^^^
119
10

-30

-3

-2

1
Carbon
Monoxide
==^=^=^=
NA*
7

-24

-16

-6

1
Particulate r
Matter
=^==^=
NA
-77

-71

-37

-13

0
•ugitive uusi wcau
=======
NA NA
NA NA

NA -98

NA -88

-7 -13

-7 3
NOTE(S):  * NA denotes not available. 1990 to 1993 estimates are preliminary; negative percent change indicates a decrease.
     Figure ES-3. Trend in National Per Capita Emissions of NITROGEN OXIDES,
       VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS, and SULFUR DIOXIDE, 1900 to 1990
                                                                                    =©250
        1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990
                                             Year
                              Nitrogen oxides        -•- Sulfur dioxide

                              Volatile organic compounds -0- Population
        NOTE:   The apparent encouraging downward trend in emissions is probably due as much to increase in
                population as to the decrease in emissions.
        SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce's Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1993
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-10
Executive Summary

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                          TABLE  ES-3.  Current Nonattainment  Areas
Category
OZONE
Serious and above
Moderate
Marginal

Unclassified
CO
Serious
Moderate

Unclassified
PM10
Serious
As of Areas added Current
1990 CAAA* or subtracted
98 93
22
31
40
5
(59)-
42 39
1
38
3
(34)
70 83
5
Redesignation Status"

1996-2010, area dependent
1996
Currently in process of redesignation to
attainment
In attainment


2000
1996
In attainment


10 years from nonattainment
 Moderate
                                            13
                  designation

       65        4 years from nonattainment
                  designation

                  6 years from nonattainment
                  designation
S02
Pb
Unclassified
51 3
5
12 1
49
13
(9)
5 years from nonattainment
designation
In attainment
5 years from nonattainment
designation
NOTE(S):  *   Column presents original number in nonattainment as of passage of the Clean Air Act Amendments, 1990.
         "   Column presents expected dates that areas will be in attainment.
         ***  Denotes areas not in attainment, but not classified to date according to level of violation.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
ES-11
Executive Summary

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                                    SECTION 1.0
                                 INTRODUCTION
This report presents the  U.S.  Environmental
Protection  Agency's (EPA) latest estimates  of
national and regional emissions for criteria air
pollutants:   carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb),
nitrogen oxides (NOX), participate matter less than
ten microns (PM-10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), total
suspended  particulate  matter (TSP  [only  in
Appendix C]), and volatile organic compounds
(VOCs  [excludes certain  nonreactive  organic
compounds]).  The Clean Air Act (CAA) requires
that the  EPA  Administrator  publish a list  of
pollutants that have adverse  effects on public
health or  welfare, and  which are emitted from
numerous  and  diverse stationary or mobile
sources. For each pollutant, a "criteria" document
must be compiled and published  by the
Administrator.   The criteria documents  are
scientific compendia of the studies  documenting
adverse effects of specific pollutants at various
concentrations  in  the  ambient air.   For  each
pollutant, National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS)  are set at levels that, based on the
criteria, protect the public health  and the public
welfare  from any known or anticipated adverse
effects. Regulated pollutants are therefore referred
to as "criteria pollutants."  Some of the health
effects are described in section 1.1.

Emissions are presented through this report since
1900 with  increasing detail in the current year.
This report also  contains information on  the
improved  methodology  for estimating emissions
from 1985  to the  present,  and for calculating
emissions  from highway  vehicles.   The tier
category reporting initiated in last year's report has
been continued.  The methodology for estimating
1993 emissions allows emissions to be calculated
by  season  as well  as  by state.    International
emissions from Europe and Canada are presented,
as well as  emissions from the Toxics Release
Inventory (TRI).
   1.1    HEALTH EFFECTS

   1.1.1  Carbon Monoxide

   Carbon monoxide  enters the  bloodstream and
   reduces the  delivery of oxygen to the body's
   organs and tissues.  The health threat from CO is
   most  serious  for those  who  suffer  from
   cardiovascular  disease, particularly  those  with
   angina or peripheral vascular disease.  Healthy
   individuals also are affected but only at higher
   levels.   Exposure  to  elevated CO  levels  is
   associated with impairment of visual perception,
   work capacity, manual dexterity, learning ability
   and  performance of complex tasks.1

   1.1.2  Nitrogen Dioxide

   Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) can irritate the lungs and
   lower resistance to  respiratory infection (such  as
   influenza).   Nitrogen  oxides are an  important
   precursor both to ozone and to acidic precipitation
   and  may  affect both terrestrial  and aquatic
   ecosystems.  Atmospheric deposition of NOX is a
   potentially significant  contributor to ecosystem
   effects including algal blooms in certain estuaries
   such as the Chesapeake Bay.  In some western
   areas, NOX is an important precursor to particulate
   concentrations.2

   1.1.3  Volatile Organic Compounds

   Volatile organic  compounds  are  a  principal
   component in the chemical  and  physical
   atmospheric reactions that form ozone and other
   photochemical oxidants.  The reactivity of ozone
   (O3) causes health problems  because it damages
   biological tissues  and cells.   Ozone  is  also
   responsible each year for agricultural crop yield
   loss in the United States of several billion dollars
   and causes noticeable foliar damage in many crops
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
1-1
Introduction

-------
and species of trees. Forest and ecosystem studies
indicate that damage is resulting from current
ambient O3 levels/
1.1.4  Sulfur Dioxide

The major health effects of concern associated
with exposures  to high concentrations  of  SO2
include effects on breathing, respiratory illness and
symptoms,  alterations  in  the lung's  defenses,
aggravation of existing respiratory  and
cardiovascular disease,  and mortality.   Children
and the elderly may also be sensitive. Also, SO2
can produce  foliar damage on trees  and
agricultural crops. Together SO2 and NOX are the
major precursors to acidic deposition (acid rain),
which  is  associated  with  a number of effects
including acidification  of lakes  and  streams,
accelerated corrosion of buildings and monuments,
and visibility impairment.4

1.1.5  Particulate Matter (PM-10)

Based on studies of human populations exposed to
ambient particle  pollution (sometimes in  the
presence  of SO2),  and laboratory studies  of
animals and humans, the major effects of concern
for human health include effects on breathing and
respiratory  symptoms,  aggravation  of existing
respiratory and cardiovascular disease, alterations
in  the  body's defense  systems against foreign
materials, damage to  lung tissue, carcinogenesis,
and premature mortality.  Particulate matter causes
damage to  materials  and soiling;  it is a major
cause of substantial visibility impairment in many
parts of the United States.4

1.1.6  Lead

Exposure to  Pb  can  occur  through  multiple
pathways, including  inhalation of air,  diet and
ingestion of Pb in food, water,  soil, or dust.  Lead
accumulates in the body in blood,  bone, and soft
tissue.  Because  it is not readily excreted, Pb also
affects  the  kidneys,  liver, nervous  system, and
blood-forming organs. Excessive exposure to Pb
may cause  neurological impairments  such  as
seizures,  mental retardation  and/or  benavioral
disorders.  Even at low  doses, Pb exposure is
associated with changes in fundamental enzymatic,
energy transfer and homeostatic mechanisms in the
body. Fetuses, infants, and children are especially
susceptible to low does of Pb,  often  suffering
central nervous  system  damage.  Recent studies
have also shown that Pb may  be a factor in high
blood pressure and  subsequent heart disease in
middle-aged Caucasian males.5

1.2    POLLUTION TRENDS

Trends in emissions can result from a wide variety
of individual,  multiple, or synergistic influences.
Tracking emission  trends  allows  EPA,  other
government   and  private  organizations,  and
individuals to assess the combined  impacts  of
government regulatory programs, improvements in
control technologies, changes in noncontrol related
technologies,  and  the overall influence  of the
economy. Separating the effects of the parameters
that  can influence emissions  can be
straightforward;  more often the combination  of
influences  is  less  discernable.    For  instance,
Figure ES-1 clearly shows a sharp decline in S02
estimates beginning in 1929 and a sharp increase
in SO2  estimates  over  the  period  1940-1950.
These affects  can clearly  be associated with the
overall economic activity associated with the Great
Depression  and increased  productivity  during
World War II, respectively.  As another example,
regulatory  influences are clearly  indicated  in
Figure ES-2 which shows a sharp reduction  in
lead emissions resulting from regulation of the
lead content  in gasoline  in  the  early  1970s.
Synergistic effects can be seen when looking at
VOC emissions in  Figure ES-1.    The  VOC
emissions have steadily declined since 1970.  This
decline has occurred despite increases in vehicle
miles traveled (VMT)  by highway vehicles  (a
major source of VOC emissions).  This decline is
certainly the result of  regulatory  programs
designed to reduce VOC emissions (i.e., cleaner
cars  and  fuels),   however  the  influence  of
economic factors  on this trend  is difficult  to
ascertain.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              1-2
                                      Introduction

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1.3    REPORT ENHANCEMENTS

To date,  EPA  has prepared annual  national
emissions in order to assess  historic  trends in
criteria pollutant emissions  since  1973.   While
these estimates  were prepared using consistent
methodologies  and were useful  for evaluating
emission changes from year to year, they did not
provide an absolute indication of emissions for
any given year.  Beginning with the 1900 to 1992
report (published in October 1993), EPA set the
primary goal of preparing emission trends that
would also represent the best available estimates
of emissions/   Another goal  is  to show how
emission levels have changed over time.  To the
extent possible, to allow  fair comparison of these
estimates, efforts have been made  to develop the
estimates  using consistent methods.  However, it
is not possible to achieve both objectives  in all
cases.   There  must be a tradeoff between
consistency of methodology and the completeness
and  accuracy of  the data.   A combination of
methods is required to be able to present the best
available  emissions data.  While  the  use of
inconsistent  methods  has some  effect  on the
integrity of the  data for comparison  purposes,
technical judgments have been applied to attempt
to balance the need for consistency with the need
for accuracy.  Data that are  presented are judged
to be the combination  that  best serves both
purposes.

In this year's report, the reader will find four types
of methodologies  covering three distinct time
periods:   1900 to  1939,  1940 to 1984, and 1985
forward  (see description of  methods  on the
following page  and in  section 6).   Since the
accuracy  and availability of  historical  data  is
limited, revisions  to earlier  years'  estimates will
not generally be made (pre-1984 [some exceptions
are discussed in section 6]).  However, numerous
changes in current year totals  will be made as
State Implementation Plan  (SIP)  and  modeling
data become  available.   Please  note that
methodologies  within  a  given time  period
(especially more recent periods) will also vary, as
   more accurate data are loaded into the Trends data
   base.

   States are currently finalizing a large emissions
   data  base from calendar year 1990  to support
   Clean Air Act  Amendments  (CAAA) of 1990
   requirements  for  ozone and carbon  monoxide
   nonattainment  areas.   Actions  in revising  the
   Trends methodology to achieve consistency with
   state emission inventories will  be described in
   more detail  in section 6.   This  change  in
   methodology  has  allowed the Trends report to
   present emissions for the  state  and  ozone
   nonattainment areas. It also allows for the display
   of estimates by season.  This report continues the
   change in scope from simply reporting national-
   level  criteria pollutant  emissions to  providing
   additional information on international (Canada,
   Mexico, and Europe), air toxics, and greenhouse
   gas emissions.

   1.3.1  Methodology Changes

   Emission inventory data being submitted  by  the
   states in response to  the CAAA will be used in
   numerous activities,  one of  which  is ambient
   modeling.    The  modeling community will
   incorporate emissions data into Regional Oxidant
   Model (ROM) and  Urban Airshed Model (UAM)
   runs.  Results obtained with urban models may be
   sensitive  to  assumptions made about  pollution
   transported into the urban modeling domain.
   Thus, the EPA will be using the ROM to provide
   base and future year boundary conditions. For the
   base year, this entails multiple ROM runs covering
   approximately 180 episode days  over a  5-year
   period (1987 to 1991).  For the future base year
   modeling, the attainment years 1996, 1999, 2005,
   or 2007 and 2010  will  be modeled.   To support
   the ROM runs, an emission  inventory is  needed
   for the regional modeling domain. Since the states
   are not required to develop or submit  statewide
   emission  inventories for all source categories,  and
   since nonattainment area emission inventories are
   not  required to be submitted and approved in a
   time  frame  to support the  ROM  runs, EPA
   developed Regional Interim Emission Inventories
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
1-3
Introduction

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(1987-1991), Volume  I:   Development Method-
ologies6 (hereinafter referred to as "Interim") for
the 1987 to  1991 base years.

Within the  current  Aerometric  Information
Retrieval  System  (AIRS), the majority of  the
emissions data reported are for sources within a
nonattainment area or  for sources emitting greater
than 100 short tons per year, because this is the
only information the states are required to report.
However,  for  modeling analysis and  trend
evaluations, information on emissions  from all
sources (both within and outside of nonattainment
areas) is required. Several projects are in progress
or have been recently completed  that attempt to
reconcile the different data bases. For instance, in
an effort to compare inventories, a new listing of
source  categories  (Tier  1)  and subcategories
(Tier 2) applicable  to all criteria pollutants  was
developed.7  A third level of subcategories (Tier 3)
that is  pollutant specific was also  developed, and
Source Classification Codes (SCCs) were assigned
to these subcategories.8  The Tier 1 and Tier 2
categories are listed in Table  1-1.

The U.S. EPA's Emission Inventory Branch (EIB)
is  developing  procedures/criteria  for  replacing
Interim emissions data with ozone SlP-submitted
data. Eventually, this will result in a 1990 Base
Year Inventory that  consists of state  data  for
nonattainment areas and EPA-generated data for
all other areas.8

The EIB is also developing a data management
and reporting  system to manipulate the output
from the above tasks. When all  these tasks  are
completed, the EIB will be  able to extract  the
most current  state inventories from AIRS  and
supplement  the  gaps  with EPA-generated
attainment inventories. The EIB has already made
several changes to the  Trends methodology to
make the transition smoother.

By  developing procedures/criteria  for  the
replacement of Interim emissions  data with state
SIP data, and by  developing management  and
reporting tools for these data, EIB is  providing
itself with the capability  of tracking emission
reductions related to passage of the CAAA. By
the year 2005, the number of areas not meeting
ambient air quality standards  should be reduced
from 190 to 15.  This change will mean that the
number  of  people  living  in  areas  that  exceed
ambient air quality standards will be reduced from
148  million people living  in  190 nonattainment
areas to 45 million living in nonattainment areas.
The  remaining  15  nonattainment  areas  are
scheduled to meet NAAQS by 2010.

With regard  to  particular pollutants,  ozone
precursor emissions in nonattainment areas should
be  showing consistent annual  reductions of
3 percent per year, beginning in 1990.  The result
of these emission  reductions should be a decrease
in the number  of ozone nonattainment areas from
94 to 5 by the year 2005. By the year 2010, all of
these areas should be in attainment.

Consistent  annual reductions  for the  other
pollutants are expected as well. The result should
be that, by 2005,  nonattainment areas for PM-10
should be reduced from 70 to zero, for CO from
41 to zero, for SO2 from 46 to zero, for Pb from
13 to zero, and for NOX from 1 to zero.

Efforts  to  revise the  Trends methodology to
achieve consistency with state emission inventories
were initiated  by  integrating the Interim
methodology into  the  current  estimation
procedures.  The next step will be to integrate the
state  SIP emission inventories into  Trends.  In
general,  the Trends  emissions will  reflect the
Trends methodology for 1900 through 1984 and
the Interim-based  methodology for 1985 through
the present.  Since the Interim methodology and
emissions  used the 1985 National  Acid
Precipitation  Assessment  Program  Emissions
Inventory (NAPAP)9 as its base,  1985 emissions
closely  reflect  the NAPAP estimates for  many
categories.   As approved state SIP data become
available, they will be incorporated into the Trends
methodology (as defined in section 6) derived data
to provide a  composite set  of  emissions that
represent the best available emissions data.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              1-4
                                     Introduction

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Although there have been many changes to the
Trends methodology,  some methods  have
remained constant. For example, the 1900 through
1939 VOC, NOX,  and SO2  estimates  were
extracted from the NAPAP historical emissions
report.10'11   In  addition,  Pb estimates  (1970 to
present), PM-10 (1940 to 1984), and all SO2, NOX,
CO, and  VOC estimates  from  1940 to 1984
reported in  Trends are based upon the previous
national  "top-down" methodology.    Section  6
describes  exceptions to the  above,  and
modifications made to the previous Trends, 1985
NAPAP, and Interim methodologies  to produce
this report.  Thus, the Trends methodology is an
amalgam of several different estimation methods.
Starting with  this report,  Trends methodology
reflects the information provided in section 6.

1.3.2  Highway Vehicle Emissions

The methodology for estimating highway vehicle
emissions has been  modified from that used to
produce previous estimates.  The main differences
are use of MOBILESa, and use of a California-
specific version  of MOBILESa to  estimate
California emissions.  More details are  described
in section 6.

1.3.3  Temporal and Spatial Allocation'

Beginning with the 1900 to 1992 report (October
1993), emissions were allocated to various spatial
and temporal apportionments for the current year
for SO2, CO, NOX, and VOC.  Starting with  this
report, PM-10 will also be  presented for various
spatial and temporal configurations.  Because of
greater uncertainty in historical estimates for small
geographic  areas, multiple year trends  will
continue to be portrayed only at the regional  and
national levels for all criteria pollutants.

1.3.4  Other Emission Inventories

In addition  to presenting an update of the U.S.
greenhouse gas emission inventory reported in the
last Trends report, global greenhouse gases,  and
updated air  toxic emissions are presented.  The
   latest emissions from Canada, Mexico, Russia, and
   Europe are also presented in this report.

   1.3.5  Particulate Matter (PM-lO)Emissions

   On July  1,  1987,  EPA published  a  final rule
   embodying an ambient air quality standard for
   PM-10 designed to replace the existing standard
   for particulate matter, commonly  referred to  as
   TSP.   Starting with last  year's report,  TSP  is
   presented  only in  Appendix C.   The  PM-10
   emissions  for years prior to 1985 are based on
   TSP emissions and were developed by engineering
   judgment.    The methodology  is explained  in
   section 6.

   The PM-10 emissions for 1985 to the present are
   based  upon a  1990  county-level  emission
   inventory12 developed for EPA's  Office of Policy
   Planning and Evaluation (OPPE) using methods
   similar to  those developed as part  of the Interim
   inventory.  For years prior to, and following 1990,
   PM-10 emissions were developed by backcasting
   and forecasting 1990 emissions  using  economic
   growth indicators  for  most source categories.
   Details of the methodology are  explained  in
   section 6.

   1.4   REPORT STRUCTURE

   Changes instituted  in  the  format  of last  year's
   report,  intended  to  make the  report  more
   comprehensible and  informative,  have been
   maintained  for  this  report.   The executive
   summary includes two parts: (1) a quick look at
   the emission  trends and  (2)   an  introduction,
   section 1, which informs the reader of changes  to
   the report  and how  the  report  is  structured.
   Section 2 gives a detailed account of the current
   year emissions by pollutant, source category, state,
   nonattainment area, county, and  season and by a
   listing  of top-emitting facilities.   Section   3
   discusses the national  trend in  emissions from
   1900  (where  available) to the  current year.
   Section 4 presents the regional trends in emissions
   from 1985 through  the current  year.  The total
   emission projections for the nation are presented
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
1-5
Introduction

-------
in section 5. An explanation of the methodologies
used to determine emissions for  1900 through
1939, 1940 through 1984, and 1985 through the
current year is found in section 6.  Sections 7, 8,
and 10 display emissions from sources, noncriteria
pollutants, or countries not traditionally part of the
Trends report.  These emissions  were developed
by EPA and other Government agencies. Section
9 presents biogenic emissions.

As in last year's report, all emissions reported in
tables and  figures in the body of the report are in
multiples  of thousand  short tons, except Pb.
Tables and figures now appear at the end of each
section in  the order in which they are discussed.
Appendix A contains  tables for  each of  the
criteria pollutants by Tier 3 source categories. If
a zero is reported, the emissions are less than 0.5
thousand tons  (or 0.5 tons for  Pb).   A  "NA"
means that  the apportionment  of the historic
emissions to these subcategories was not possible.
If a tier category does not appear, then emissions
are not currently estimated for that category (either
EPA thinks the emissions  are zero or does not
currently know  how to estimate them with limited
resources).  The regional total emissions for each
criteria pollutant are located in Appendix B. The
PM-10  fugitive dust emissions  are also shown
  separately by region. Emissions of TSP by Tier 3
  source categories are presented  in Appendix C.
  Some duplicate tables of  the major source
  categories  and  subcategories for each criteria
  .pollutant in  metric units are located in
  Appendix D of the  report.  Appendix E presents
  black and white copies of the county-level color
  maps presented in section 2.

  Emissions of  NOX are expressed  as weight-
  equivalent NO2.  Thus, the  actual tons of NO
  emitted have been  inflated to report  them as if
  they were NO2.  The  molecular weight of NOX
  should therefore be assumed to be that of N02
  when  using numbers in  this  report.    VOC
  emissions are reported as the actual  weight of a
  multitude of different  compounds.  The relative
  amounts of the individual compounds emitted will
  determine the average molecular weight of a given
  source  category's  emissions.   Therefore,  no
  equivalent molecular weight standard exists  for
  VOC.  The VOC  emissions referred to in this
  report exclude those organic compounds which are
  considered negligibly photochemically reactive, in
  accordance with the EPA definition of VOC at
  40CFR51.100. Thus, methane, ethane, and certain
  other organic compounds are not included in the
  VOC totals.
1.5    REFERENCES

1.    Air Quality Criteria for Carbon Monoxide.  EPA/600/8-90/045F (NTIS PB93-167492).  Office of
     Health  and Environment Assessment, Environmental  Criteria and  Assessment Office, U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  1991.

2.    Air Quality Criteria for Oxides of Nitrogen.  EPA/600/8-9 !/049aF-cF.3v.  Office of Health and
     Environment Assessment, Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. 1993.

3.    Air Quality Criteria for Ozone  and Other Photochemical Oxidants. EPA/600/8-84/020aF-eF.5v
     (NTIS PB87-142949). Office of Health and Environment Assessment, Environmental Criteria and
     Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  1991.

4.    Air Quality Criteria for Paniculate Matter and Sulfur Oxides.  EPA/600/8-82/029aF-cF.3v  (NTIS
     PB84-156777).  Office of  Health and Environment Assessment, Environmental  Criteria and
     Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  1991.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
1-6
                                                                                     Introduction

-------
5.    Air Quality Criteria for Lead. EPA/600/8-83/028aF-dE4v (NTIS PB87-142378). Office of Health
     and Environment Assessment, Environmental Criteria and Assessment Office, U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  1991.

6.    Regional Interim Emission Inventories (1987-1991), Volume  I:   Development Methodologies,
     EPA-454/R-93-021a.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  May
     1993.

7.    Barnard, W., E. Laich, S. Bromberg, et al.  "Development of Tier Categories for the Collection,
     Management, and Reporting of Emissions Inventory Data."  In Proceedings of the  1993  U.S.
     EPA/A&WMA Emission Inventory Specialty Conference, Air and Waste Management Association,
     Pasadena, CA.  1993.

8.    Laich, E., M. Mullen, D. Solomon, et al., "Incorporating Nonattainment Area Emissions Inventories
     into Regional Inventories."  In Proceedings of the 1993 U.S. EPA/A&WMA's Emission Inventory
     Specialty Conference, Air and Waste Management Association, Pasadena, CA. October 1993.

9.    The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory (Version  2):   Development of the Annual Data and
     Modeler's Tapes. EPA-600/7-89-012a. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
     Park, NC.  November 1989.

10.  Historic Emissions of Sulfur and Nitrogen  Oxides in the United  States  from 1900 to  1980.
     EPA-600/7-85-009a and b.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH. April 1985.

11.  Historic Emissions of Volatile  Organic Compounds  in the United States from 1900 to  1985.
     EPA-600/7-88-008a.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH.  May  1988.

12.  Emissions Inventory for the National Particulate Matter Study, Final Draft, Prepared for the Office
     of Policy, Planning and Evaluation/Office of Policy Analysis, U.S. EPA under EPA Contract No.
     68-D3-0035, Work Assignment No. 0-10, Washington, DC.  July 1994.
  f All data are estimates only, true values of emissions are not known.

  8 The SCC assignment to Tier category is available on the Technology Transfer Network's (919-541-5742) Emission
Inventories/Emission Factors Information (CHIEF) Technical Information Area.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          1-7                                     Introduction

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71ER1
                                 Table 1-1.  Major Source Categories

                                                           TIER 2
FUEL COMBUSTION-ELECTRIC UTILITIES
FUEL COMBUSTION-INDUSTRIAL
 FUEL COMBUSTION-OTHER
 CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG.
 METALS PROCESSING
 PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
 OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
 SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion

Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion

Commercial / Institutional Coal
Commercial / Institutional Oil
Commercial / Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Combustion (except residential)
Residential Wood
Residential Other

Organic Chemical Mfg.
Inorganic Chemical Mfg.
Polymer & Resin Mfg.
Agricultural Chemical Mfg.
Paint, Varnish, Lacquer, Enamel Mfg.
Pharmaceutical Mfg.
Other Chemical Mfg.

Nonferrous
Ferrous
Not elsewhere classified (NEC)

Oil & Gas Production
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
Asphalt Manufacturing

Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
Mineral Products
Machinery Products
Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Construction
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes

Degreasing
Graphic Arts
Dry Cleaning
Surface Coating
Other Industrial
Nonindustrial
Solvent Utilization (NEC)
                                                                                                         (continued)
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                        1-8
                                              Introduction

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                                             Table  1-1  (continued)
 T1ER1
                                                              TIER 2
 STORAGE & TRANSPORT
 WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
 HIGHWAY VEHICLES
 OFF-HIGHWAY
 NATURAL SOURCES
 MISCELLANEOUS
    Bulk Terminals & Plants
    Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
    Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport
    Service Stations: Stage I
    Service Stations: Stage II
    Service Stations: Breathing & Emptying
    Organic Chemical Storage
    Organic Chemical Transport
    Inorganic Chemical Storage
    Inorganic Chemical Transport
    Bulk Materials Storage
    Bulk Materials Transport

    Incineration
    Open Burning
    Publicly Owned Treatment Works
    Industrial Waste Water
    Treatment Storage and Disposal Facility
    Landfills
    Other

    Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
    Light-Duty Gas Trucks
    Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
    Diesels

    Off-highway Gasoline
    Off-highway Diesel
    Aircraft
    Marine Vessels
    Railroads

    Biogenic
    Geogenic
    Miscellaneous (lightning, freshwater, saltwater)

    Agriculture &  Forestry
    Other Combustion (forest fires)
    Catastrophic / Accidental Releases
    Repair Shops
    Health Services
    Cooling Towers
    Fugitive Dust
NOTE(S):     Refer to section 6 for a description of source categories. For the purposes of this report, forest fires are considered
             anthropogenic sources although many fires are caused by nature.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
1-9
Introduction

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                                   SECTION 2.0
                    SUMMARY OF 1993 EMISSIONS
Although  the  EPA  has  produced  an annual
estimate of emission trends since 1973, this report
is  the  second  in a  series  which will present
emissions  at the state, ozone nonattainment area,
and seasonal level for CO, NOX, VOC, and SO2
for the current year.   Starting with this report,
PM-10 will be  presented at the  same level of
detail as CO, NOX, VOC, and SO2.  The  more
detailed information (state, county, nonattainment
area, and seasonal emissions) will be presented for
the current year of emissions.  The fourteen major
source categories as listed in Table 1-1 are:

   FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITIES,
   FUEL COMBUSTION  INDUSTRIAL,
   FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER,
   CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
      MANUFACTURING,
   METALS PROCESSING,
   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
   SOLVENT UTILIZATION,
   STORAGE AND TRANSPORT,
   WASTE DISPOSAL  AND RECYCLING,
   HIGHWAY VEHICLES,
   OFF-HIGHWAY,
   NATURAL SOURCES, AND
   MISCELLANEOUS.

The  1993  emissions of Pb were estimated by the
same methodology used  to  produce the  1992
emissions  in the last report.1 The  1993 estimates
are based on extending the trend of the Pb activity
data from  previous  years (details are provided in
section 6) which are then multiplied by the current
emission factors  and control efficiencies.  This
methodology makes estimating state and seasonal
emissions  very resource intensive; therefore, only
national emissions are presented here.
   This report is the third in a series which will track
   the changes in the top-emitting sources  of CO,
   NOX, VOC, and SO2 emissions and the second in
   a series which will track PM-10, Pb, and industrial
   SO2.   The AIRS Facility Subsystem (AFS) was
   used  to determine  the types of plants that emit
   large quantities of criteria pollutants.  Emissions
   were extracted from AIRS/AFS  using an ad hoc
   report2  which excluded plants  listed  as
   permanently  closed.   In addition,  some
   adjustments  were  made for data  that  were
   obviously in error after conferring with appropriate
   State and Region personnel.

   2.1    EMISSIONS FOR 1993 BY SOURCE
         CATEGORY

   The  1993 emissions  of all  criteria pollutants
   except lead were calculated using  one of four
   major methodologies  depending on the source
   category.   These estimates were generated in a
   similar methodology as in the  previous report.
   The exceptions are detailed in  section 6.  The
   methodology differs for highway vehicles, electric
   utilities, fugitive dust, and all other sources. The
   four  methodologies  are similar to the
   methodologies used to produce the 1992 emissions
   presented in this report. Modifications to the 1992
   methodology were made due to inability to obtain
   information  to  generate the 1993  estimates.
   Changes in methodology  are required  in order to
   make the best estimate with available data. These
   emissions are preliminary and will be modified in
   the next Trends report.

   2.1.1  Carbon Monoxide Emissions

   Currently only  13 of  the 14  Tier  1  source
   categories are estimated for CO. In  Tier 1, the
   natural sources category contains  minimal CO
   emissions and thus is not estimated for the Trends
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-1
1993 Estimates

-------
report. (Studies are currently underway, however,
on  isoprene  oxidation, monoterpene,  and other
organic compound emissions which are likely to
significantly change the  current  estimates.)
Figure 2-1 presents a pie chart of the  13 Tier 1
categories, three of  which  (solvent  utilization,
storage and  transport,  and  electric utility fuel
combustion) constitute less than 0.5 percent of the
total and are combined with petroleum and related
industries,  industrial fuel  combustion,  other
industrial processes, waste disposal and recycling,
and chemical and allied chemical manufacturing in
the "Remaining Categories" grouping.  As  the
figure shows,  highway  vehicles are  the  major
contributor  to  CO emissions.   In 1993, they
represented 62  percent of the total CO emissions.
Of the total  highway emissions, 65 percent  are
from light-duty gasoline vehicles (LDGV).  The
second major contributor to CO emissions is off-
highway vehicles, which constitute approximately
16 percent of total CO estimates. These emissions
result primarily from the gasoline consumption by
construction, industrial and  farm equipment, and
recreational  marine  vessels.   Table A-l,  in
Appendix A  presents a complete breakdown  of
CO emissions.

Table 2-1 presents the point and area split of the
Tier 1 source categories.  Area source emissions,
including transportation sources, constituted
94  percent of total CO emissions in 1993.

2.7.2  Nitrogen Oxides Emissions

Currently  only 13  of  the 14  Tier  1  source
categories  are  estimated for  NOX.   Of these
14  categories, natural source emissions of NOX are
considered  minimal,  and  therefore are not
estimated for the Trends report. Studies underway
to estimate fertilization NOX emissions  will likely
change the natural source emissions.  Figure  2-2
presents  a pie chart of the remaining 13 categories,
four  of  which (solvent  utilization, storage and
transport, waste disposal and recycling, and metals
processing) constitute less than 1 percent of the
total  and are combined with chemical  and allied
product manufacturing, other industrial  processes,
miscellaneous,  and petroleum and related
industries in the "Remaining Categories" grouping.
As shown, electric utility emissions represent 33
percent,  of the total  1993 NOX emissions.  The
estimates from electric utilities are made up of
90 percent coal, of which 61 percent are emissions
from bituminous coal.  As with  CO  emissions,
LDGV  (49 percent)  are a major contributor to
1993 highway vehicle NOX emissions. Table A-2,
in Appendix A, present a complete breakdown of
NOX emissions.

Table 2-2 presents the point and area source split
of the Tier 1 source categories.  Area source
emissions, including highway vehicles, contributed
slightly more  than half (54 percent) of the total
NOX emissions in 1993.

2.1.3  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions

Currently  only  13  of the  14  Tier  1  source
categories are estimated for VOC. Natural sources
are  not  included,  although biogenics, a
subcategory of natural sources,  are considered a
major source of  VOC emissions.   Biogenic
emissions for 1990  are included in  section 9.
More extensive  studies are  underway for this
category, and results will be published in the 1995
Trends report.  Figure 2-3 presents a pie chart of
the remaining  13 categories.  Two of the source
categories  (electric  utility  fuel  combustion and
metals processing) constituted less than 0.5 percent
of the total emissions  and are  combined with
chemical  and allied products,  petroleum and
related industries, miscellaneous, other industrial
processes, and fuel combustion (industrial, other)
in the "Remaining  Categories"  grouping.   The
"Remaining Categories" grouping contributed 20
percent to the total VOC estimate in  1993.  As
shown, solvent utilization contributed 27 percent
and highway vehicles contributed 26 percent to the
total 1993 VOC emissions.  Light-duty gasoline
vehicles  represent  63 percent of the highway
vehicle  1993 VOC emissions.  Surface coating
represents  43  percent of the  solvent  utilization
emissions. There are 26 subcategories of surface
coating.   Their  contribution to  surface coating
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              2-2
                                   1993 Estimates

-------
emissions  are  presented  in Figure  2-3.   The
emissions from all categories  are presented in
Table A-3, in Appendix A   The contributions
made to the "Remaining Categories" grouping by
Tier 1 source categories are also presented in
Figure 2-3.

Table 2-3 presents the point and area split of the
Tier 1 source categories.   Area source emissions,
including highway vehicles, constituted 82 percent
of total VOC emissions in 1993.

2.1.4  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions

Currently  only  13  of the  14  Tier 1 source
categories are estimated for SO2.  Only the natural
sources category is  not  currently  estimated for
Trends (there  are sulfur emissions from marine
sources,  but they  are  considered  minor).
Figure 2-4 presents a pie chart of the remaining
13 categories,  five of which (solvent utilization,
storage  and  transport, waste  disposal and
recycling,  off-highway, and  miscellaneous)
constitute less than 2 percent of the total and are
combined  with  chemical  and  allied product
manufacturing, petroleum and related industries,
and  other industrial processes in the  "Remaining
Categories" grouping. As shown, electric utilities
are the major contributor to SO2  emissions.  In
1993 they represented 72 percent of the total SO2
emissions.  The  second largest  contributor is
industrial fuel combustion, which produced
13 percent  of the  1993  SO2 emissions.   The
combustion of coal is 96 percent of the electric
utility emissions. Bituminous coal combustion is
87 percent of  the electric  utility  coal  combustion
emissions.

Table 2-4 presents the point and area split of the
Tier 1 source  categories.   Point source emissions
constituted 92 percent of the total  SO2 emissions
in 1993.

2.1.5  Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions

Currently all  14 Tier  1  source  categories are
estimated for  PM-10.  Figure 2-5 presents a pie
   chart in which all categories, with the exclusion of
   fugitive dust sources, have been combined in the
   "Remaining Categories" grouping.  Fugitive dust
   sources constitute  92 percent of the  1993  total
   PM-10 emissions. Unpaved roads (32 percent) are
   the greatest contributor to 1993 PM-10  fugitive
   dust emissions.  The remaining 5  categories are
   construction  (24  percent),  paved roads (18
   percent), agricultural (16 percent), wind erosion
   (1 percent), and mining and quarrying (1 percent).
   The  point  source  fugitive dust emissions  are
   minimal  and  not presented in the column chart
   presented in Figure 2-5.

   Table 2-5 presents  the point and area source split
   of the Tier 1  source  categories.   Area source
   emissions, dominated  by  the  fugitive   dust
   category,  contributed  97  percent  to  the   total
   PM-10 emissions in 1993.

   Wind erosion PM-10 emissions were significantly
   reduced during 1993.   This reduction  was the
   result of  substantial spring  and early   summer
   precipitation in midwestern states that are normally
   significant contributors  to wind erosion emissions
   (i.e., Kansas, Oklahoma,  and to a lesser extent,
   Texas).  The flooding that  occurred along the
   Mississippi River during the summer of 1993 was
   a direct result of this precipitation, and subsequent
   runoff.

   2.1.6   Lead Emissions

   The 1993 emissions of Pb were estimated by the
   same  methodology used to  produce the  1992
   emissions in the last report.1  The 1993 estimates
   are based on extending  the trend of the Pb activity
   data from previous years (details are provided in
   section 6) which are then multiplied by the current
   emission factors and control efficiencies.   This
   methodology  makes estimating point and area
   emissions very resource intensive; therefore, only
   national emissions  are  presented here.

   Of the 14 Tier 1 source categories, the following
   five  are not  estimated for  Pb, since  they are
   though  to  be  negligible:   solvent  utilization,
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-3
1993 Estimates

-------
storage and transport, petroleum and related
industries,  natural  sources, and miscellaneous.
The remaining nine categories are presented in a
pie chart  in Figure  2-6.   The  "Remaining
Categories" grouping includes chemical and allied
product manufacturing, other industrial processes,
and  fuel  combustion  (electric  utility  and
industrial).    Metal  processing,  the  major
contributor of Pb emissions in 1993, represents 43
percent of the total emissions.  Nonferrous metal
processing  represents  64  percent of  the 1993
metals processing Pb  emissions.  Primary and
secondary Pb products  are responsible for 49 and
42 percent, respectively, of the nonferrous  metals
processing  Pb emissions in 1993.

2.2    SPATIAL EMISSIONS

The 1993 criteria pollutant  emissions  were
estimated for all  pollutants except lead  at the
county level and summed to the state level.  These
estimates are presented in Tables 2-6 to 2-15 and
Figures 2-7 to 2-20.

2.2.1   State  Level

Tables 2-6 through 2-14 present the point, area,
and total emissions per pollutant for each state  in
alphabetical order  and  in descending order.  The
estimates  for Alaska  and  Hawaii include only
highway vehicle  and  fossil-fuel steam electric
utility  emissions.    PM-10 estimates  listed  in
Table 2-15   also  include  some fugitive dust
estimates for Alaska and Hawaii.  (A  base year
inventory similar to NAPAP was not available for
these states.)

Figures 2-7 through 2-11 present the top 10 states
with the largest emissions, by pollutant, for 1993.
These  top  10 states represent a range of 46  to
61 percent of the national emissions, depending on
the particular pollutant.

2.2.2   County Level

For all criteria pollutants except Pb, the emissions
are derived at the county  level.   The exceptions
   explained in detail in section 6 are fugitive dust
   sources  and wildfires.  Figures  2-12  to  2-16
   presents the total 1993 emissions per square mile
   for each  county.   As  Figure  2-12  shows, the
   eastern third and west coast  emit more CO than
   the western two-thirds of the continental United
   States. In contrast, Figures 2-13 to 2-15 illustrate
   that the eastern half and the west coast emit more
   NOX, VOC, and SO2 than the western half of the
   continental  United  States.   The emissions  of
   PM-10  are dominated by  the  fugitive dust
   emissions that  are predominant in the rural and
   agricultural areas.

   2.2.3  Nonattainment Areas

   In the 1993 Trends report,1 charts of typical NOX,
   VOC, and CO  emissions in  'serious1  and above
   ozone nonattainment areas were compiled using
   the 1992 Trends emissions.  This year, sufficiently
   complete base year (1990) inventories for six such
   areas have been submitted to AIRS, as part of the
   SIP process, to warrant basing composite emission
   profiles on these actual inventory data. (As final
   action on  these  SIPs is still pending, the  identity
   of the  areas cannot be  disclosed.)   These six
   comprise a small  portion   of the  set  of
   nonattainment areas, thus their composite  profiles
   must be considered provisional and they cannot be
   directly compared  with  last  year's  estimated
   profiles.    Nevertheless,  there are  reassuring
   similarities with the  profiles of  estimated
   emissions from last year; there are two  notable
   differences,  discussed later.    These six areas
   represent  the  populous northeast and  the
   southwest. As additional base year inventories are
   completed in AIRS, composite  profiles in future
   Trends reports will  become  increasingly
   comprehensive.

   There are over 6,000 potential  emission source
   categories (SCCs)  that  could  be inventoried,
   covering  detailed  components of industrial,
   commercial,  agricultural, residential, and
   recreational  sources.  Only sources  emitting  at
   least 10 tons per year (tpy) of  VOC,  100 tpy of
   NOX, or  100 tpy of CO need be inventoried as
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-4
                                                                                    1993 Estimates

-------
point sources, so in a given area the number of
significant sources is smaller, and will vary in
nature depending on the commercial and industrial
complexion of each area.  For summarization in
Figure  2-17,  these sources have  been condensed
into the following ten categories used previously,
which  differ in significance depending  on the
pollutant being considered:

•  On-Road  Mobile  Sources:  all  cars,  trucks,
   buses,  motorcycles used  on streets  and
   highways (HwY VEH.);
•  Off-highway Mobile Sources  such as tractors,
   bulldozers, lawn mowers, power boats, planes,
   trains (OFF-HWY);
•  Industrial  fuel combustion  emissions  from
   factories,  mills, etc. (FUEL:lND.);
•  Fuel combustion emissions from electric power
   utilities (FUEL:ELEC.);
•  Fuel combustion emissions from space heating
   for buildings, homes, etc. (FUEL:OTHER);
•  Solvent  evaporation during  application of
   coatings, cleaners,  adhesives, etc.  (SOLV.
   UTIL.);
•  Evaporative  losses  during  the storage and
   transport  of  fuels,  solvents,  and products
   containing  volatile components (STOR. &
   XPORT);
•  Disposal activities such as open dump burning
   and incinerators (WASTE);
•  Primary  and secondary  metals refining and
   processing (METALS); and
•  All other  emissions (MiSC).

In Figure  2-17,  composites  of the relative
emissions of NOX, VOCs, and  CO for  the six
inventoried nonattainment areas  are graphed for
these ten source categories.  The small  solid bars
show the range  from  minimum to maximum
percentage among the six areas, for each category.

Both highway vehicle  and off-highway vehicles
contribute significantly to emissions of all  three
pollutants, and are by far the predominant sources
of CO.  Stationary  source fuel combustion  is
significant  only for  NOX.   One of the  notable
contrasts with the profiles presented last year  is
   the  large contribution to VOC emissions from
   solvent storage and transport. The second evident
   difference is that in last year's profiles, the metals
   industry made a  small contribution  to the  CO
   profile;  the six  areas comprising  the current
   profiles evidence no significant metals processing
   activity. These minor contrasts are Interpreted as
   consequences of the different data sets employed,
   and the expectation that emissions for specialized
   source categories  like chemicals and metals will
   vary from area to  area more than emissions from
   the  ubiquitous  automobile.    The  spans  from
   minimum to maximum in the data for these six
   areas demonstrate that profiles  may  vary
   significantly from area to area. (Pie charts based
   on the same percentage profiles are presented in
   Figures 2-18 to 2-20.)

   2.3    SEASONAL EMISSIONS

   The seasonal emissions were estimated using three
   methodologies  for five  pollutants.    The
   methodology  was  specific to highway vehicles,
   electric utility point and all other area sources, and
   all other point sources.  The five pollutants are
   CO,  NOX,  VOC,  SO2, and PM-10.   Highway
   vehicle emissions  were estimated for each month,
   and then summed to the  four seasons. Electric
   utilities and area source emissions were temporally
   apportioned using state  point  and area factors
   obtained from the NAPAP methodology.3  The
   point emissions were distributed to the seasons
   based on the 1985 NAPAP  seasonal throughput
   percentages  for each point.   The  seasons  are
   defined as winter (December, January, February),
   spring (March, April, May), summer (June, July,
   August), and  autumn  (September, October,
   November).

   As  shown  in Figure 2-21, most Tier 1  source
   categories emitted CO in  approximately  equal
   amounts all year, with three exceptions. The first
   exception  is fuel  combustion-other,  which
   contributes  56 percent during the winter and only
   2 percent in  the  summer.  This difference is a
   result of more residential wood burning during the
   winter  months.   The second  exception  is  off-
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-5
                                                                                   1993 Estimates

-------
highway sources, which  emit  less in the winter
and more in the summer.  The third exception is
highway vehicles that emit greater amounts in cold
weather (i.e., the winter).

As  shown in Figure 2-22,  in  1993 most Tier 1
source categories emitted NOX in approximately
equal amounts all year, with two exceptions: fuel
combustion-other and off-highway emissions. The
estimates  from fuel  combustion-other are  47
percent in the winter and 8 percent in the summer.
The off-highway emissions are 21  percent in  the
winter and 29 percent in  the summer.

As shown in Figure 2-23,  in  1993, most Tier 1
source categories emitted VOCs in approximately
equal amounts with three exceptions.  The first
exception is the other fuel combustion sources
(primarily residential wood) which accounts for 56
percent of VOC estimates during the winter and
3 percent during the summer.   Secondly, off-
highway sources emit 19 percent during the winter
and 31 percent in  the summer.   Thirdly,  even
though the highway vehicle VOC emissions  are
distributed 27 percent in the winter and 24 percent
in the summer, the evaporative  VOC emissions
(18 percent of total highway emissions) are greater
during  the summer (36 percent) than the winter
(16 percent). The seasonal percentage distribution
of  highway vehicle evaporative and exhaust
 emssons are:
Season
                 Exhaust
Evaporative
Spring
Summer
Autumn
Winter
25
23
24
29
25
36
24
16
 As shown in  Figure 2-24, in  1993, most Tier 1
 source  categories  emitted SO2 in approximately
 equal amounts all year.   An  exception is fuel
 combustion-other, which emits 42 percent during
 the winter and only  12 percent in the summer.
 This difference is a result of more residential fuel
 combustion in the winter than any other time of
                  the year. Highway vehicles and solvent utilization
                  emit less during the winter.

                  As shown in Figure 2-25, in 1993 most Tier  1
                  source categories emitted PM-10 in approximately
                  equal amounts all year. The only exception to this
                  is  other fuel  combustion  (primarily residential
                  wood) which accounts for 56 percent of PM-10
                  emissions during the winter and 2 percent during
                  the summer.

                  2.4    LARGEST POINT SOURCES IN
                         AIRS/AFS

                  This report is the third in a series which will track
                  the changes  in the top-emitting sources  of CO,
                  NOX, VOC, and SO2 emissions and the second in
                  a series which will track PM-10, Pb, and industrial
                  SO2.  The AIRS/AFSh was also used to determine
                  the types of plants that emit large quantities of
                  criteria pollutants.  Emissions were extracted on
                  July  8,  1994 from AIRS/AFS using an  ad hoc
                  report which excluded plants listed as permanently
                  closed.  In addition, some adjustments were made
                  for data that were obviously in error.  Details on
                  how the data was extracted from AIRS is provided
                  in  section 6.7.
NOTE*   Depending on  the  day the data are
extracted, the list of top emitters may change.
Because these lists are based on several different
extractions and some additional adjustments have
been made, the data in tables in this report may
not correspond precisely to the data currently in
AIRS/AFS,  However, this report has presented
the top 30 sources based to the maximum extent
possible, on AIRS/AFS.
                  The most  common industries  by  pollutant
                  contained in the list of top 30 emitting sources are
                  defined in Table 2-16.  Figures 2-26 to 2-32 and
                  Tables  2-17  to  2-23  present the plant-level
                  emissions of  the  top 30  largest  point  source
                  emitters of these pollutants.  Figures 2-31  and 2-
                  32  also  present states  that  currently  have not
                  reported any PM-10 or Pb point source  emissions
                  to AIRS.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
               2-6
                                                                                   1993 Estimates

-------
2.5    REFERENCES

1. National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1992.   EPA-454/R-93-032, U.S. Environmental
   Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. October 1993.

2. AIRS Facility Subsystem. National Air Data Branch, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  June 1992.

3. Fratt, D.B., D.F. Mudgett, and R.A. Walters.  The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory:  Development
   of Temporal Allocation Factors.   EPA-600/7-89-010d.  U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency,
   Research Triangle Park, NC. April 1990.
   The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this report.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          2-7                                   1993 Estimates

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              Table 2-1.  1993 National Point and Area Carbon Monoxide
                            Emissions by Source Category
                                   (thousand short tons)

Source Category                          Point     Area    Total % Point   % Area   % Total
FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY
FUEL COMBUSTION - INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER
CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PROD. MFC
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE AND TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
322
465
90
1,998
2,091
398
730
2
56
76
0
0
0
6,227
Table 2-2. 1993 National Point
Emissions
0
202
4,354
0
0
0
2
0
0
1,657
59,989
15,272
9,506
90,981
and Area
322
667
4,444
1,998
2,091
398
732
2
56
1,732
59,989
15,272
9,506
97,208
Nitrogen
5.17
7.47
1.44
32.08
33.58
6.40
11.72
0.03
0.90
1.21
0
0
0
100
Oxides
0
0.22
4.79
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.82
65.94
16.79
10.45
100

0.33
0.69
4.57
2.06
2.15
0.41
0.75
0
0.06
1.78
61.71
15.71
9.78
100

by Source Category
(thousand short tons)
Source Category
FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY
FUEL COMBUSTION - INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER
CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PROD. MFG
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE AND TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
Point
7,782
1,856
100
414
82
95
310
3
3
20
0
0
0
10,663
Area
0
1,319
632
0
0
0
5
0
0
64
7,437
2,986
296
12,739
Total %
7,782
3,176
732
414
82
95
314
3
3
84
7,437
2,986
296
23,402
Point %
72.98
17.41
0.93
3.88
0.77
0.89
2.90
0.02
0.02
0.19
0
0
0
100
Area
0
10.36
4.96
0
0
0
0.04
0
0
0.51
58.38
23.44
2.32
100
% Total
33.26
13.57
3.13
1.77
0.35
0.40
1.34
0.01
0.01
0.36
31.78
12.76
1.26
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         2-8                                  1093 R timates

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         Table 2-3. 1993 National Point and Area Volatile Organic Compound
                            Emissions by Source Category
                                   (thousand short tons)
Source Category
Point
Area
Total   % Point  % Area   % Total
FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY
FUEL COMBUSTION - INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER
CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PROD. MFG
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE AND TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
36
254
10
1,355
74
305
407
1,225
609
8
0
0
1
4,283
Table 2-4. 1993 National Point
0
17
331
456
0
415
79
5,024
1,252
2,263
6,094
2,207
892
19,030
36
271
341
1,811
74
720
486
6,249
1,861
2,271
6,094
2,207
893
23,312
and Area Sulfur
0.85
5.92
0.23
31.64
1.72
7.12
9.50
28.60
14.22
0.19
0
0
0.02
100
Dioxide
0
0.09
1.74
2.40
0
2.18
0.41
26.40
6.58
11.89
32.03
11.60
4.69
100

0.16
1.16
1.46
7.77
0.32
3.09
2.08
26.80
7.98
9.74
26.14
9.47
3.83
100

Emissions by Source Category
(thousand short tons)
Source Category
FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY
FUEL COMBUSTION - INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER
CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PROD. MFG
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE AND TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
Point
15,836
2,254
200
450
580
409
412
1
5
21
0
0
0
20,168
Area
0
577
400
0
0
0
2
0
0
16
438
278
11
1,720
Total %
15,836
2,830
600
450
580
409
413
1
5
37
438
278
11
21,889
Point %
78.52
11.18
0.99
2.23
2.88
2.03
2.04
0.00
0.02
0.11
0
0
0
100
Area
0
33.51
23.25
0
0
0
0.10
0
0
0.92
25.46
16.13
0.62
100
% Total
72.35
12.93
2.74
2.06
2.65
1.87
1.89
0.00
0.02
0.17
2.00
1.27
0.05
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
   2-9
                              1993 Estimates

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          Table 2-5.  1993 National Point and Area Particulate Matter (PM-10)
                             Emissions by Source Category
                                   (thousand short tons)
Source Category
Point
Area
                                                        Total   % Point   % Area    % Total
FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC
UTILITY
FUEL COMBUSTION - INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMBUSTION - OTHER
CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PROD.
MFG
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED
INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE AND TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
NATURAL SOURCES (wind erosion)
MISCELLANEOUS
fugitive all sources
nonfugitive dust
TOTAL
269

191
14
75

141
26

298
2
55
8
0
0
0
10
10
0
1,089
1

28
709
0

0
0

13
0
0
240
197
395
628
42,189
41,790
399
44,400
270

219
723
75

141
26

311
2
55
248
197
395
628
42,200
41,801
399
45,489
24.67

17.56
1.27
6.91

12.91
2.39

27.39
0.17
5.02
0.74
0
0
0
0.96
0.96
0
100
0.00

0.06
1.60
0

0
0

0.03
0
0
0.54
0.44
0.89
1.41
95.02
94.12
0.90
100
0.59

0.48
1.59
0.17

0.31
0.06

0.68
0.00
0.12
0.55
0.43
0.87
1.38
92.77
91.89
0.88
100
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. 1900-1993
                                           2-10
                                                                                1993 Estimates

-------
           Table 2-6.  1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Carbon Monoxide
  State
                              Point
(thousand short tons)
  Area          Total
                                                                     % Point
%Area
                                                                                                 •/.Total
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
National
251
0
11
108
104
8
5
42
2
79
197
1
5
157
643
10
75
82
793
17
25
15
273
77
94
147
39
3
59
16
8
23
37
130
8
344
81
25
269
0
51
5
155
764
48
0
51
433
329
69
54
6,227
2,142
1,397
1,702
947
7,487
1,391
808
216
117
4,648
3,675
248
1,260
3,287
2,212
963
1,145
1,455
1,726
473
1,314
1,799
3,209
1,712
1,397
2,201
770
642
636
376
1,892
1,226
3,852
2,708
277
3,742
1,280
1,799
3,495
299
1,518
364
2,083
6,721
848
241
2,303
2,065
644
1,900
369
90,981
2,393
1,397
1,712
1,054
7,591
1,399
814
258
119
4,727
3,873
249
1,266
3,444
2,855
973
1,220
1,537
2,519
490
1,339
1,814
3,482
1,789
1,492
2,348
809
645
695
393
1,900
1,249
3,889
2,838
286
4,086
1,360
1,824
3,765
299
1,569
370
2,238
7,485
896
241
2,354
2,499
973
1,970
423
97,208
4.03
0.00
0.17
1.73
1.67
0.14
0.09
0.67
0.03
1.27
3.17
0.01
0.08
2.53
10.33
0.17
1.20
1.32
12.74
0.27
0.40
0.23
4.39
1.24
1.52
2.36
0.62
0.05
0.95
0.26
0.13
0.37
0.60
2.09
0.14
5.52
1.30
0.40
4.33
0.00
0.82
0.09
2.49
12.28
0.77
0.00
0.83
6.96
5.28
1.11
0.87
100
2.35
1.54
1.87
1.04
8.23
1.53
0.89
0.24
0.13
5.11
4.04
0.27
1.39
3.61
2.43
1.06
1.26
1.60
1.90
0.52
1.44
1.98
3.53
1.88
1.54
2.42
0.85
0.71
0.70
0.41
2.08
1.35
4.23
2.98
0.30
4.11
1.41
1.98
3.84
0.33
1.67
0.40
2.29
7.39
0.93
0.26
2.53
2.27
0.71
2.09
0.41
100
2.46
1.44
1.76
1.08
7.81
1.44
0.84
0.27
0.12
4.86
3.98
0.26
1.30
3.54
2.94
1.00
1.25
1.58
2.59
0.50
1.38
1.87
3.58
1.84
1.53
2.42
0.83
0.66
0.72
0.40
1.96
1.29
4.00
2.92
0.29
4.20
1.40
1.88
3.87
0.31
1.61
0.38
2.30
7.70
0.92
0.25
2.42
2.57
1.00
2.03
0.43
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
        2-11
           1993 Estimates

-------
    Table 2-7.1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Carbon Monoxide Ranked by Total
                                              Emissions
                                          (thousand short tons)
                                                Area         Total
                                   Point
% Point
             "/.Area
                         % Total
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51



California
Texas
Florida
Ohio
New York
Georgia
Pennsylvania
Michigan
Illinois
Indiana
North Carolina
Louisiana
Washington
Alabama
Virginia
Missouri
Tennessee
Wisconsin
New Jersey
Oregon
Massachusetts
Minnesota
Arizona
South Carolina
Kentucky
Mississippi
Colorado
Alaska
Oklahoma
Maryland
Idaho
New Mexico
Kansas
Arkansas
Iowa
West Virginia
Utah
Connecticut
Montana
Nevada
Nebraska
Maine
Wyoming
New Hampshire
South Dakota
Rhode Island
North Dakota
Delaware
Hawaii
Vermont
District of Columbia
National


104
764
79
344
37
197
269
273
157
643
130
793
433
251
51
147
155
69
8
25
15
77
11
51
82
94
8
0
81
25
5
23
75
108
10
329
48
5
39
59
3
17
54
16
5
0
8
42
1
0
2
6,227


7,487
6,721
4,648
3,742
3,852
3,675
3,495
3,209
3,287
2,212
2,708
1,726
2,065
2,142
2,303
2,201
2,083
1,900
1,892
1,799
1,799
1,712
1,702
1,518
1,455
1,397
1,391
1,397
1,280
1,314
1,260
1,226
1,145
947
963
644
848
808
770
636
642
473
369
376
364
299
277
216
248
241
117
90,981
1 	
7,591
7,485
4,727
4,086
3,889
3,873
3,765
3,482
3,444
2,855
2,838
2,519
2,499
2,393
2,354
2,348
2,238
1,970
1,900
1,824
1,814
1,789
1,712
1,569
1,537
1,492
1,399
1,397
1,360
1,339
1,266
1,249
1,220
1,054
973
973
896
814
809
695
645
490
423
393
370
299
286
258
249
241
119
97,208

1.67
12.28
1.27
5.52
0.60
3.17
4.33
4.39
2.53
10.33
2.09
12.74
6.96
4.03
0.83
2.36
2.49
1.11
0.13
0.40
0.23
1.24
0.17
0.82
1.32
1.52
0.14
0.00
1.30
0.40
0.08
0.37
1.20
1.73
0.17
5.28
0.77
0.09
0.62
0.95
0.05
0.27
0.87
0.26
0.09
0.00
0.14
0.67
0.01
0.00
0.03
100


7.39
5.11
4.11
4.23
4.04
3.84
3.53
3.61
2.43
2.98
1.90
2.27
2.35
2.53
2.42
2.29
2.09
2.08
1.98
1.98
1.88
1.87
1.67
1.60
1.54
1.53
1.54
1.41
1.44
1.39
1.35
1.26
1.04
1.06
0.71
0.93
0.89
0.85
0.70
0.71
0.52
0.41
0.41
0.40
0.33
0.30
0.24
0.27
0.26
0.13
100


7.70
4.86
4.20
4.00
3.98
3.87
3.58
3.54
2.94
2.92
2.59
2.57
2.46
2.42
2.42
2.30
2.03
1.96
1.88
1.87
1.84
1.76
1.61
1.58
1.53
1.44
1.44
1.40
1.38
1.30
1.29
1.25
1.08
1.00
1.00
0.92
0.84
0.83
0.72
0.66
0.50
0.43
0.40
0.38
0.31
0.29
0.27
0.26
025
0.12
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                 2-12
                                                                                            1993 Estimates

-------
Table 2-8. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides
(thousand short tons)
State
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota.
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
National
Point
304
3
141
106
276
145
18
36
2
398
328
10
7
515
628
145
218
410
363
16
125
78
352
186
114
300
68
80
66
27
99
162
197
250
132
631
214
23
446
1
126
22
327
1,452
131
0
139
103
340
209
194
10,663
Area
276
51
235
152
1,159
187
124
30
18
514
394
25
90
481
350
148
211
270
407
58
201
231
426
220
199
273
84
111
70
48
285
124
524
334
52
497
250
197
486
34
181
43
264
1,253
103
28
327
253
107
253
104
12,739
Total
579
54
375
257
1,435
332
142
66
20
912
722
35
97
996
978
293
428
680
769
74
326
309
777
405
313
573
152
190
136
75
384
286
722
585
185
1,128
464
220
932
35
308
65
591
2,705
234
28
466
355
447
462
299
23,402
% Point
2.85
0.03
1.32
0.99
2.59
1.36
0.17
0.34
0.02
3.73
3.08
0.09
0.07
4.83
5.89
1.36
2.04
3.84
3.40
0.15
1.17
0.73
3.30
1.74
1.06
2.81
0.64
0.75
0.62
0.26
0.93
1.52
1.85
2.35
1.24
5.92
2.01
0.21
4.18
0.01
1.18
0.21
3.07
13.62
1.23
0.00
1.30
0.96
3.19
1.96
1.82
100
% Area
2.17
0.40
1.84
1.19
9.10
1.46
0.97
0.24
0.14
4.03
3.09
0.19
0.71
3.77
2.75
1.16
1.65
2.12
3.19
0.46
1.58
1.81
3.34
1.73
1.56
2.14
0.66
0.87
0.55
0.38
2.23
0.97
4.11
2.62
0.41
3.90
1.96
1.55
3.82
0.27
1.42
0.33
2.07
9.83
0.81
0.22
2.57
1.99
0.84
1.99
0.82
100
% Total
2.48
0.23
1.60
1.10
6.13
1.42
0.61
0.28
0.08
3.90
3.09
0.15
0.42
4.26
4.18
1.25
1.83
2.91
3.29
0.32
1.39
1.32
3.32
1.73
1.34
2.45
0.65
0.81
0.58
0.32
1.64
1.22
3.08
2.50
0.79
4.82
1.98
0.94
3.98
0.15
1.31
0.28
2.53
11.56
1.00
0.12
1.99
1.52
1.91
1.97
1.28
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-13
1993 Estimates

-------
      Table 2-9. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides Ranked by
                                          Total Emissions
                                        (thousand short tons)
Rank
• - —
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51

State
Texas
California
Ohio
Illinois
Indiana
Pennsylvania
Florida
Michigan
Louisiana
Georgia
New York
Kentucky
Tennessee
North Carolina
Alabama
Missouri
Virginia
Oklahoma
Wisconsin
West Virginia
Kansas
Minnesota
New Jersey
Arizona
Washington
Colorado
Maryland
Mississippi
Massachusetts
South Carolina
Wyoming
Iowa
New Mexico
Arkansas
Utah
Oregon
Nebraska
North Dakota
Montana
Connecticut
Nevada
Idaho
New Hampshire
Maine
Delaware
South Dakota
Alaska
Rhode Island
Hawaii
Vermont
District of Columbia
National
Point
1,452
276
631
515
628
446
398
352
363
328
197
410
327
250
304
300
139
214
209
340
218
186
99
141
103
145
125
114
78
126
194
145
162
106
131
23
80
132
68
18
66
7
27
16
36
22
3
1
10
0
2
10,663
Area
=====
1,253
1,159
497
481
350
486
514
426
407
394
524
270
264
334
276
273
327
250
253
107
211
220
285
235
253
187
201
199
231
181
104
148
124
152
103
197
111
52
84
124
70
90
48
58
30
43
51
34
25
28
18
12,739
Total
=====
2,705
1,435
1,128
996
978
932
912
777
769
722
722
680
591
585
579
573
466
464
462
447
428
405
384
375
355
332
326
313
309
308
299
293
286
257
234
220
190
185
152
142
136
97
75
74
66
65
54
35
35
28
20
23,402
% Point
=======
13.62
2.59
5.92
4.83
5.89
4.18
3.73
3.30
3.40
3.08
1.85
3.84
3.07
2.35
2.85
2.81
1.30
2.01
1.96
3.19
2.04
1.74
0.93
1.32
0.96
1.36
1.17
1.06
0.73
1.18
1.82
1.36
1.52
0.99
1.23
0.21
0.75
1.24
0.64
0.17
0.62
0.07
0.26
0.15
0.34
0.21
0.03
0.01
0.09
0.00
0.02
100
% Area
=====
9.83
9.10
3.90
3.77
2.75
3.82
4.03
3.34
3.19
3.09
4.11
2.12
2.07
2.62
2.17
2.14
2.57
1.96
1.99
0.84
1.65
1.73
2.23
1.84
1.99
1.46
1.58
1.56
1.81
1.42
0.82
1.16
0.97
1.19
0.81
1.55
0.87
0.41
0.66
0.97
0.55
0.71
0.38
0.46
0.24
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.19
0.22
0.14
100
% Total
=====
11.56
6.13
4.82
4.26
4.18
3.98
3.90
3.32
3.29
3.09
3.08
2.91
2.53
2.50
2.48
2.45
1.99
1.98
1.97
1.91
1.83
1.73
1.64
1.60
1.52
1.42
1.39
1.34
1.32
1.31
1.28
1.25
1.22
1.10
1.00
0.94
0.81
0.79
0.65
0.61
0.58
0.42
0.32
0.32
0.28
0.28
0.23
0.15
0.15
0.12
0.08
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                 2-14
1993 Estimates

-------
         State
Table 2-10. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Volatile Organic
                                  Compounds
                              (thousand short tons)
                      Point       Area       Total     % Point     %Area
% Total
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
National
207
0
2
39
98
6
6
14
1
23
50
0
1
308
129
12
30
85
145
5
24
54
105
60
62
141
6
5
1
5
92
8
157
190
2
117
25
47
116
10
30
8
170
1,234
9
1
145
45
106
129
16
4,283
392
185
275
197
1,672
234
182
101
24
817
613
31
164
681
470
218
234
267
517
83
247
342
646
346
266
372
112
136
111
68
487
180
812
578
79
745
263
227
763
60
662
74
402
1,848
132
41
454
348
455
362
56
19,030
599
185
277
237
1,770
240
188
115
25
839
663
31
165
989
599
230
264
352
663
88
271
396
751
405
327
513
118
141
112
73
579
188
969
768
80
862
288
274
879
70
692
83
572
3,082
142
42
599
392
561
491
72
23,311
4.82
0.00
0.05
0.92
2.29
0.15
0.15
0.32
0.02
0.54
1.17
0.01
0.02
7.20
3.02
0.27
0.71
1.99
3.39
0.13
0.55
1.25
2.45
1.40
1.44
3.29
0.14
0.12
0.02
0.11
2.14
0.19
3.67
4.45
0.04
2.74
0.58
1.09
2.71
0.23
0.70
0.20
3.98
28.81
0.22
0.03
3.39
1.05
2.47
3.02
0.38
100
2.06
0.97
1.44
1.04
8.79
1.23
0.96
0.53
0.12
4.29
3.22
0.16
0.86
3.58
2.47
1.15
1.23
1.40
2.72
0.43
1.30
1.80
3.39
1.82
1.40
1.96
0.59
0.72
0.58
0.36
2.56
0.95
4.26
3.04
0.41
3.91
1.38
1.19
4.01
0.32
3.48
0.39
2.11
9.71
0.70
0.21
2.39
1.83
2.39
1.90
0.29
100
2.57
0.79
1.19
1.02
7.59
1.03
0.81
0.49
0.11
3.60
2.84
0.13
0.71
4.24
2.57
0.99
1.13
1.51
2.84
0.38
1.16
1.70
3.22
1.74
1.40
2.20
0.51
0.61
0.48
0.31
2.48
0.81
4.16
3.30
0.34
3.70
1.24
1.17
3.77
0.30
2.97
0.35
2.45
13.22
0.61
0.18
2.57
1.68
2.41
2.11
0.31
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                      2-15
     1993 Estimates

-------
           Table 2-11. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total  Emissions of Volatile Organic
                               Compounds Ranked by Total Emissions
                                         (thousand short tons)
                                    Point       Area       Total    % Point    %Area
Rank  State
                                                                                 % Total
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51



Texas
California
Illinois
New York
Pennsylvania
Ohio
Florida
North Carolina
Michigan
South Carolina
Georgia
Louisiana
Indiana
Virginia
Alabama
New Jersey
Tennessee
West Virginia
Missouri
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Massachusetts
Washington
Kentucky
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Arizona
Oregon
Maryland
Kansas
Colorado
Arkansas
Iowa
Connecticut
New Mexico
Alaska
Idaho
Utah
Nebraska
Montana
Delaware
Nevada
Maine
South Dakota
North Dakota
New Hampshire
Wyoming
Rhode Island
Vermont
Hawaii
District of Columbia
National


1,234
98
308
157
116
117
23
190
105
30
50
145
129
145
207
92
170
106
141
129
60
54
45
85
62
25
2
47
24
30
6
39
12
6
8
0
1
9
5
6
14
1
5
8
2
5
16
10
1
0
1
4,283
— •
1,848
1,672
681
812
763
745
817
578
646
662
613
517
470
454
392
487
402
455
372
362
346
342
348
267
266
263
275
227
247
234
234
197
218
182
180
185
164
132
136
112
101
111
83
74
79
68
56
60
41
31
24
19,030
_
3,082
1,770
989
969
879
862
839
768
751
692
663
663
599
599
599
579
572
561
513
491
405
396
392
352
327
288
277
274
271
264
240
237
230
188
188
185
165
142
141
118
115
112
88
83
80
73
72
70
42
31
25
23,311
	 . 	 —
28.81
2.29
7.20
3.67
2.71
2.74
0.54
4.45
2.45
0.70
1.17
3.39
3.02
3.39
4.82
2.14
3.98
2.47
3.29
3.02
1.40
1.25
1.05
1.99
1.44
0.58
0.05
1.09
0.55
0.71
0.15
0.92
0.27
0.15
0.19
0.00
0.02
0.22
0.12
0.14
0.32
0.02
0.13
0.20
0.04
0.11
0.38
0.23
0.03
0.01
0.02
100

9.71
8.79
3.58
4.26
4.01
3.91
4.29
3.04
3.39
3.48
3.22
2.72
2.47
2.39
2.06
2.56
2.11
2.39
1.96
1.90
1.82
1.80
1.83
1.40
1.40
1.38
1.44
1.19
1.30
1.23
1.23
1.04
1.15
0.96
0.95
0.97
0.86
0.70
0.72
0.59
0.53
0.58
0.43
0.39
0.41
0.36
0.29
0.32
0.21
0.16
0.12
100

13.22
7.59
4.24
4.16
3.77
3.70
3.60
3.30
3.22
2.97
2.84
2.84
2.57
2.57
2.57
2.48
2.45
2.41
2.20
2.11
1.74
1.70
1.68
1.51
1.40
1.24
1.19
1.17
1.16
1.13
1.03
1.02
0.99
0.81
0.81
0.79
0.71
0.61
0.61
0.51
0.49
0.48
0.38
0.35
0.34
0.31
0.31
0.30
0.18
0.13
0.11
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                2-16
                                                                                          1993 Estimates

-------
         State
Table 2-12. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide
                                 (thousand short tons)
                      Point       Area      Total    % Point
% Area     % Total
Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
National
714
1
231
87
73
94
41
102
5
853
886
19
25
1,202
1,545
248
117
1,050
295
62
320
213
470
124
215
758
73
67
57
66
117
244
446
513
180
2,451
143
24
1,325
2
251
34
1,077
1,139
58
1
329
134
1,185
384
118
20,168
67
2
13
19
140
11
18
4
2
43
22
2
11
28
144
14
10
41
125
14
52
39
27
16
75
39
5
9
7
7
47
12
85
47
18
83
19
30
63
5
15
5
23
125
17
5
45
28
10
19
15
1,720
781
3
244
106
212
105
59
106
6
896
907
21
36
1,230
1,689
262
127
1,091
420
76
371
252
497
139
290
797
78
77
63
73
164
256
531
560
198
2,533
162
55
1,388
7
266
39
1,100
1,263
75
6
374
162
1,195
403
133
21,888
3.54
0.00
1.14
0.43
0.36
0.47
0.20
0.50
0.02
4.23
4.39
0.09
0.12
5.96
7.66
1.23
0.58
5.21
1.46
0.31
1.59
1.06
2.33
0.61
1.07
3.76
0.36
0.33
0.28
0.33
0.58
1.21
2.21
2.54
0.89
12.15
0.71
0.12
6.57
0.01
1.25
0.17
5.34
5.65
0.29
0.01
1.63
0.66
5.88
1.90
0.59
100
3.92
0.13
0.77
1.13
8.11
0.63
1.07
0.26
0.10
2.47
1.25
0.09
0.65
1.61
8.39
0.81
0.59
2.38
7.24
0.84
3.00
2.27
1.57
0.91
4.36
2.28
0.31
0.54
0.38
0.40
2.75
0.69
4.94
2.72
1.06
4.81
1.09
1.76
3.68
0.27
0.87
0.28
1.33
7.24
0.98
0.27
2.64
1.63
0.57
1.10
0.86
100
3.57
0.01
1.11
0.48
0.97
0.48
0.27
0.49
0.03
4.09
4.14
0.09
0.17
5.62
7.72
1.20
0.58
4.99
1.92
0.35
1.70
1.15
2.27
0.64
1.33
3.64
0.36
0.35
0.29
0.33
0.75
1.17
2.43
2.56
0.90
11.57
0.74
0.25
6.34
0.03
1.22
0.18
5.03
5.77
0.34
0.03
1.71
0.74
5.46
1.84
0.61
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                      2-17
                1993 Estimates

-------
       Table 2-13. 1993 State-level Point, Area, and Total Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide Ranked by
                                           Total Emissions
                                             (thousand short tons)
                                    Point       Area       Total    % Point
Rank  State
                                                                        % Area
% Total
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51


Ohio
Indiana
Pennsylvania
Texas
Illinois
West Virginia
Tennessee
Kentucky
Georgia
Florida
Missouri
Alabama
North Carolina
New York
Michigan
Louisiana
Wisconsin
Virginia
Maryland
Mississippi
South Carolina
Iowa
New Mexico
Massachusetts
Arizona
California
North Dakota
New Jersey
Washington
Oklahoma
Minnesota
Wyoming
Kansas
Delaware
Arkansas
Colorado
Montana
Nebraska
Maine
Utah
New Hampshire
Nevada
Connecticut
Oregon
South Dakota
Idaho
Hawaii
Rhode Island
District of Columbia
Vermont
Alaska
National

2,451
1,545
1,325
1,139
1,202
1,185
1,077
1,050
886
853
758
714
513
446
470
295
384
329
320
215
251
248
244
213
231
73
180
117
134
143
124
118
117
102
87
94
73
67
62
58
66
57
41
24
34
25
19
2
5
1
1
20,168

83
144
63
125
28
10
23
41
22
43
39
67
47
85
27
125
19
45
52
75
15
14
12
39
13
140
18
47
28
19
16
15
10
4
19
11
5
9
14
17
7
7
18
30
5
11
2
5
2
5
2
1,720

2,533
1,689
1,388
1,263
1,230
1,195
1,100
1,091
907
896
797
781
560
531
497
420
403
374
371
290
266
262
256
252
244
212
198
164
162
162
139
133
127
106
106
105
78
77
76
75
73
63
59
55
39
36
21
7
6
6
3
21,888

12.15
7.66
6.57
5.65
5.96
5.88
5.34
5.21
4.39
4.23
3.76
3.54
2.54
2.21
2.33
1.46
1.90
1.63
1.59
1.07
1.25
1.23
1.21
1.06
1.14
0.36
0.89
0.58
0.66
0.71
0.61
0.59
0.58
0.50
0.43
0.47
0.36
0.33
0.31
0.29
0.33
0.28
0.20
0.12
0.17
0.12
0.09
0.01
0.02
0.01
0.00
100

4.81
8.39
3.68
7.24
1.61
0.57
1.33
2.38
1.25
2.47
2.28
3.92
2.72
4.94
1.57
7.24
1.10
2.64
3.00
4.36
0.87
0.81
0.69
2.27
0.77
8.11
1.06
2.75
1.63
1.09
0.91
0.86
0.59
0.26
1.13
0.63
0.31
0.54
0.84
0.98
0.40
0.38
1.07
1.76
0.28
0.65
0.09
0.27
0.10
0.27
0.13
100

11.57
7.72
6.34
5.77
5.62
5.46
5.03
4.99
4.14
4.09
3.64
3.57
2.56
2.43
227
1.92
1.84
1.71
1.70
1.33
1.22
1.20
1.17
1.15
1.11
0.97
0.90
0.75
0.74
0.74
0.64
0.61
0.58
0.49
0.48
0.48
0.36
0.35
0.35
0.34
0.33
0.29
0.27
0.25
0.18
0.17
0.09
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.01
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                 2-18
                                                                                           1993 Estimates

-------
         Table 2-14.  1993 State-level Fugitive Dust, Nonfugitive Dust, and Total Emissions of
                                       Particutlate Matter (PM-10)
                                              (thousand short tons)
State

Alabama
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
Hawaii
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
Vermont
Virginia
Washington
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Wyoming
National
Fugitive Nonfugitive
Dust
815
214
421
610
2,443
737
227
58
16
1,234
1,413
88
782
1,503
840
939
1,116
528
639
112
423
534
967
1,300
1,438
1,609
838
930
171
83
523
1,454
1,262
725
639
1,166
927
729
1,098
92
549
742
599
5,172
360
110
601
929
184
665
252
41,801
Dust
116
120
90
64
211
32
22
10
1
147
172
4
100
113
87
25
52
75
109
24
28
37
85
79
77
121
60
18
35
13
45
78
106
137
13
108
38
125
142
5
60
13
112
229
25
8
87
104
46
56
25
3,688
Total % Fugitive % Nonfugitive

930
335
511
673
2,653
770
249
68
18
1,380
1,585
92
882
1,615
926
963
1,168
603
747
137
451
572
1,052
1,378
1,515
1,729
898
948
206
96
569
1,532
1,368
862
651
1,274
964
853
1,240
97
610
755
711
5,401
385
118
687
1,033
230
721
277
45,489
Dust
1.95
0.51
1.01
1.46
5.84
1.76
0.54
0.14
0.04
2.95
3.38
0.21
1.87
3.59
2.01
2.25
2.67
1.26
1.53
027
1.01
1.28
2.31
3.11
3.44
3.85
2.00
2.23
0.41
0.20
1.25
3.48
3.02
1.73
1.53
2.79
2.22
1.74
2.63
0.22
1.31
1.78
1.43
12.37
0.86
0.26
1.44
2.22
0.44
1.59
0.60
100
Dust
3.14
3.26
2.45
1.73
5.71
0.88
0.58
0.26
0.04
3.97
4.65
0.10
2.71
3.06
2.35
0.67
1.41
2.02
2.94
0.66
0.76
1.00
2.31
2.14
2.09
3.27
1.63
0.48
0.96
0.36
1.23
2.12
2.87
3.73
0.34
2.93
1.02
3.38
3.84
0.13
1.63
0.36
3.05
6.21
0.68
0.23
2.35
2.83
1.25
1.52
0.69
100
% Total

2.05
0.74
1.12
1.48
5.83
1.69
0.55
0.15
0.04
3.03
3.48
0.20
1.94
3.55
2.04
2.12
2.57
1.32
1.64
0.30
0.99
1.26
2.31
3.03
3.33
3.80
1.97
2.08
0.45
0.21
1.25
3.37
3.01
1.90
1.43
2.80
2.12
1.88
2.73
0.21
1.34
1.66
1.56
11.87
0.85
0.26
1.51
2.27
0.51
1.59
0.61
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-19
1993 Estimates

-------
          Table 2-15. 1993 State-level Fugitive Dust, Nonfugitive Dust, and Total Emissions of
                         Particutlate Matter (PM-10) Ranked by Total Emissions
                                             (thousand short tons)
Rank

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51


State

Texas
California
Missouri
Illinois
Georgia
New Mexico
Mississippi
Florida
Minnesota
New York
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Kansas
Michigan
Washington
Oklahoma
Iowa
Nebraska
Alabama
Indiana
Montana
Idaho
North Carolina
Oregon
Colorado
South Dakota
Louisiana
Wisconsin
Tennessee
Virginia
Arkansas
North Dakota
South Carolina
Kentucky
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Arizona
Maryland
Utah
Alaska
Wyoming
Connecticut
West Virginia
Nevada
Maine
Vermont
Rhode Island
New Hampshire
Hawaii
Delaware
District of Columbia
National

Fugitive Nonfugitive
Dust
5,172
2,443
1,609
1,503
1,413
1,454
1,438
1,234
1,300
1,262
1,166
1,098
1,116
967
929
927
939
930
815
840
838
782
725
729
737
742
639
665
599
601
610
639
549
528
534
523
421
423
360
214
252
227
184
171
112
110
92
83
88
58
16
41,801

Dust
229
211
121
113
172
78
77
147
79
106
108
142
52
85
104
38
25
18
116
87
60
100
137
125
32
13
109
56
112
87
64
13
60
75
37
45
90
28
25
120
25
22
46
35
24
8
5
13
4
10
1
3,688

Total % Fugitive % Nonfugitive

5,401
2,653
1,729
1,615
1,585
1,532
1,515
1,380
1,378
1,368
1,274
1,240
1,168
1,052
1,033
964
963
948
930
926
898
882
862
853
770
755
747
721
711
687
673
651
610
603
572
569
511
451
385
335
277
249
230
206
137
118
97
96
92
68
18
45,489

Dust
12.37
5.84
3.85
3.59
3.38
3.48
3.44
2.95
3.11
3.02
2.79
2.63
2.67
2.31
2.22
2.22
2.25
2.23
1.95
2.01
2.00
1.87
1.73
1.74
1.76
1.78
1.53
1.59
1.43
1.44
1.46
1.53
1.31
1.26
1.28
1.25
1.01
1.01
0.86
0.51
0.60
0.54
0.44
0.41
0.27
0.26
0.22
0.20
0.21
0.14
0.04
100

Dust
6.21
5.71
3.27
3.06
4.65
2.12
2.09
3.97
2.14
2.87
2.93
3.84
1.41
2.31
2.83
1.02
0.67
0.48
3.14
2.35
1.63
2.71
3.73
3.38
0.88
0.36
2.94
1.52
3.05
2.35
1.73
0.34
1.63
2.02
1.00
1.23
2.45
0.76
0.68
3.26
0.69
0.58
1.25
0.96
0.66
0.23
0.13
0.36
0.10
0.26
0.04
100

% Total

11.87
5.83
3.80
3.55
3.48
3.37
3.33
3.03
3.03
3.01
2.80
2.73
2.57
2.31
2.27
2.12
2.12
2.08
2.05
2.04
1.97
1.94
1.90
1.88
1.69
1.66
1.64
1.59
1.56
1.51
1.48
1.43
1.34
1.32
1.26
1.25
1.12
0.99
0.85
0.74
0.61
0.55
0.51
0.45
0.30
0.26
021
0.21
0.20
0.15
0.04
100

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                 2-20
                                                                                           1993 Estimates

-------
 Table 2-16.  Predominant Industries Listed Among the Top 30 Plants from AIRS/AFS
 Pollutant
Industry
Number of Plants
 CO
 NOX
 VOC
 S02
 Industrial SO,
 PM-10
 Pb
Steel mills
Carbon black production
Aluminum production
Petroleum Refineries
Electric utilities
Chemical & Allied Products
Petroleum Refineries
Steel mills
Electric utility
Petroleum refineries
Primary smelting and refining of nonferrous metals
Steel mills
Paper mills
Steel mills
Mining
Electric utilities
Primary smelting of nonferrous metals
Secondary smelting nonferrous metals
Electric utility
           12
           10
            3
            3
           30
            9
            6
            5
           29
            8
            7
            5
            3
            6
            5
            4
            6
            5
            4
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                      2-21
           1993 Estimates

-------
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ra
a.
3
Table 2-17. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
NOTE(S):





Plant Name
USX Corporation - Edgar Thomson Works
Wheeling Pittsburgh Steel Steubenville
U.S. Steel Co., Gary Works Part 2
Columbian Chemicals Co.
USX Corporation - Clairton Works
Bethlehem Steel
Shenango Iron & Coke Works
ACME Steel Company
Cabot Corp.
Gulf States Steel
Bethlehem Steel Corp.
Columbian Chemical
Cabot Corp.
Sid Richardson Carbon and Gasoline
Degussa Carbon Black

Cabot Corporation
ALCOA (Aluminum Co. of America)
Ashland Petroleum
WITCO Corp., Continental Carbon Division
Addis Plant Sid Richardson Rd.
WITCO Corp., Continental Carbon Division
ORMET Corporation
LTV Steel Company
Noranda Aluminum, Incorporated
Degussa Corporation
E.I. Du Pont De Nemours and Co.
Weirton Steel Corporation
Total Petroleum Inc
United Refining Co.
ARMCO Steel Company L.P.
These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA
reflect the current emissions of facilities. However, it is
The values presented in the 'County" column are FIPS
The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this


EPA
Region
3
5
5
3
3
3
3
5
6
4
3
6
6
6
6

6
5
5
6
6
6
5
5
7
5
4
3
5
3
5
Emitting Carbon
State
PA
OH
IN
WV
PA
MD
PA
IL
LA
AL
PA
LA
LA
TX
LA

TX
IN
MN
OK
LA
OK
OH
IN
MO
OH
TN
WV
Ml
PA
OH
recognizes that there may be
County
3
81
89
51
3
5
3
31
101
55
95
101
39
227
101

179
173
163
71
121
71
111
89
143
167
85
29
57
123
17
inaccuracies and
Monoxide- 1993
NEDS ID
9
5006
121
19
11
147
50
823
4
8
48
5
1
2
18

1
7
3
703
6
4
5001
318
8
5015
7
1
9
3
5002
incompleteness
SIC
3312
3312
3312
2895
3312
3312
3312
3312
2395
3312
3312
2895
2895
2895
2895

2895
3334
2911
2895
2895
2895
3334
3312
3334
2895
2816
3312
2911
2911
3312
in the data,
Year
91
90
92
90
90
91
90
93
90
92
90
90
90
92
90

92
92
90
92
90
85
90
92
89
90
90
90
90
90
90
and the data
Emissions
(short tons)
288,469
185,571
175,432
142,575
125,163
118,969
115,614
100,507
98,008
97,000
91,305
86,089
66,615
65,207
64,258

63,232
61 ,582
59,264
54,955
54,322
53,430
52,947
52,640
50,808
48,745
46,928
46,153
44,007
43,104
40,636
may not accurately
the most recent information available from States.
county codes.
report.



























-------
                            Table 2-18. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Nitrogen Oxides -1993
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Plant Name
TVA Cumberland Steam Plant
TVA Paradise A & B
General James M. Gavin Plant
Detroit Edison - Monroe
James M. Stuart Electric Generating Station
Com Ed - Powerton Station
Indiana Kentucky Electric Corporation
Davis Gas Processing *
Appalachian Power Co., John E. Amos Plant
Com Ed - Kincaid Generating Station
Illinois Power Co. - Baldwin Power Plant
GA Power Co./Bowen Steam Elec. Gen. Station
Alabama Power Co. - E C Gaston
Penn Power-Mansfield
Central Illinois Public Service
Kyger Creek Station Ohio Valley Elec. Corp.
PSI - Gibson
Ohio Edison Company W. H. Sammis Plant
Associated Electric
FL Power-Crystal River
Alabama Power Co-Barry Steam Plant
Assoc. Electric Co. - Thomas Hill
Monongahela Power - Harrison
Detroit Edison - Belle River
Pen Elec - Homer City
CP&L, Roxboro, Units 1234
Pen Elec - Conemaugh
Pen Elec - Keystone
Muskingum River Plant
Duke Power-Belews Cr
EPA
Region
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
6
3
5
5
4
4
3
5
5
5
5
7
4
4
7
3
5
3
4
3
3
5
4
State
TN
KY
OH
Ml
OH
IL
IN
TX
WV
IL
IL
GA
AL
PA
IL
OH
IN
OH
MO
FL
AL
MO
WV
Ml
PA
NC
PA
PA
OH
NC
County
161
177
53
115
1
179
77
235
79
21
157
15
117
7
135
53
51
81
143
17
97
175
33
147
63
145
63
5
167
169
NEDS ID
11
6
5002
20
5001
53
1

6
48
33
11
5
5
38
5001
13
5010
4
4
1001
1
15
36
3
29
1
12
5001
4
SIC
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
1321
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
Year
90
90
90
90
90
93
90
92
90
93
93
90
92
90
93
90
90
90
90
90
92
90
90
90
90
88
90
90
90
89
Emissions
(short tons)
106,928
97,787
86.748
85,451
76,905
72,628
70,705
70,406
65,460
64,984
63,212
63,131
62,359
57,962
57,687
57,462
57,063
54,153
54,027
52,832
52,409
51 ,452
50,726
50,376
49,553
46,668
46,521
46,069
45,409
44,071
NOTE(S):    * The Davis Gas Processing facility was extracted from the Texas Air Control Board's data base on its way to AIRS and did not have a NEDs ID yet.
            These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA recognizes that there may be inaccuracies and incompleteness in the data, and the data may not accurately
            reflect the current emissions of facilities.  However, it is the most recent information available from States.
            The values presented in the "County* column are FIPS county codes.
            The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this report.

-------
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«
n Estimates
Table 2-19. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
NOTE(S):

Plant Name
Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
Courtaulds North America, Inc.
Tenn Eastman Co.
Chemi-trol Chemical Co.
BP Oil Company
3M Hutch Mag Media
BP Chemicals Inc.
International Paper Company
Lenzing Fibers Corporation
Neches Butane Products
Wheeling-Pitt (Follansbee)
Ashland Oil Co.
LTV Steel Company - Pittsburgh Works
ARMCO Steel Company L.P.
Farmland Industries, Inc. (Ref. Div.)
ACME Steel Company, Chicago Coke Plant
EXXON Co USA Refinery
E.I. Dupont De Nemours & Company Inc.
E.I. Dupont De Nemours & Company Inc.
USX Corporation - Clairton Works
Roanoke Cement Co. (Formerly Tarmac)
CL Industries Inc.
Impression Coating, Inc.
Tenn Eastman Co.
Chevron U.S.A., Incorporated
Congoleum Corp.
Cook Inlet Pipe Line
Conoco Inc.
Modine Mfg. Co.
Shell Oil Company
EPA
Region
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
6
4
6
3
4
3
5
7
5
6
4
6
3
3
5
5
4
6
3
10
6
7
6
Volatile Organic Compounds -
State County
KY
AL
TN
OH
OH
MN
OH
TX
TN
TX
WV
KY
PA
OH
KS
IL
LA
NC
TX
PA
VA
IL
OH
TN
TX
PA
AK
OK
MO
TX
157
97
163
143
95
85
3
37
63
245
9
19
3
17
125
31
33
19
245
3
23
183
91
163
245
45
122
71
79
201
NEDS ID
9
5002
1007
5017
5046
3
5006
11
197
19
2
4
22
5002
3
1302
15
13
3
11
3
99
5008
1004
4
49
7
502
4
39
These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA recognizes that there may be inaccuracies and incompleteness
reflect the current emissions of facilities. However, it is the most recent information available from States.
The values presented in the "County* column are
The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data
FIPS county codes.
in this report.



SIC
2819
2823
2819
3443
2911
2641
2819
2421
2823
2869
3312
2042
3312
3312
2911
3312
2911
2824
2869
3312
3241
2992
3089
2824
2911
3996
4463
2911
3714
2911
in the data,

1993
Year
90
92
93
90
90
90
90
88
92
85
90
90
90
90
92
93
90
87
92
90
92
93
90
93
92
90
79
92
86
92
and the data


Emissions
(short tons)
28,670
22,349
21 ,065
17,190
15,337
13,316
12,583
12,198
11,850
11,274
10,644
10,134
9,623
9,006
8,652
8,386
8,213
7,944
7,932
7,710
7,516
7,504
7,486
7,374
7,355
7,242
7,148
6,932
6,854
6,785
may not accurately


-------
                 Table 2-20. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting Sulfur Dioxide from All Sources - 1993
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Plant Name
General James M. Gavin Plant
TVA Cumberland Steam Plant
GA Power Co., Bowen Steam Elec. Gen. Station
Monongahela Power - Harrison
Indiana Kentucky Electric Corporation
PSI - Gibson
Union Electric Company - Labadie Plant
Kyger Creek Station Ohio Valley Elec. Corp.
GA Power Co., Wansley
Muskingum River Plant
Illinois Power Co - Baldwin Power Plant
Pen Electric - Conemaugh
Associated Electric
James M. Stuart Electric Generating Station
Ohio Edison Company W.H. Sammis Plant
Central Illinois Public Service
West Penn Power Co.
Alabama Power Co. E C Gaston
Tampa Elec, Big Bend
Cardinal Operating Company
Virginia Power - Mount Storm
TVA- Paradise A & B
ALCOA Generating Corp.
Pen Elec - Keystone
PP & L - Montour
GA Power Co. Yates Steam Elec. Gen. Station
TVA-Gallatin
CEI - Eastlake
Detroit Edison - Monroe
Columbus Southern Power - Conesville
EPA
Region
5
4
4
3
5
5
7
5
4
5
5
3
7
5
5
5
3
4
4
5
3
4
5
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
State
OH
TN
GA
WV
IN
IN
MO
OH
GA
OH
IL
PA
MO
OH
OH
IL
PA
AL
FL
OH
WV
KY
IN
PA
PA
GA
TN
OH
Ml
OH
County
53
161
15
33
77
51
71
53
149
167
157
63
143
1
81
135
59
117
57
81
23
177
173
5
93
77
165
85
115
31
NEDS ID
5002
11
11
15
1
13
3
5001
1
5001
33
1
4
5001
5010
38
6
5
39
5002
3
6
2
12
3
1
25
5012
20
5001
SIC
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
4911
Year
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
93
90
90
90
90
93
90
92
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
90
89
90
90
90
Emissions
(short tons)
373,413
346,171
305,302
292,039
281 ,423
273,037
250,119
249,143
248,651
245,099
233,768
179,167
176,535
173,828
169,131
166,111
161,939
156,480
149,425
148,751
141,490
137,432
135,281
134,880
1 32,450
129,844
128,724
128,547
128,540
128,227
NOTE(S):     These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS.  EPA recognizes that there may be inaccuracies and incompleteness in the data, and the data may not accurately
            reflect the current emissions of facilities. However, it is the most recent information available from States.
            The values presented in the "County" column are FIPS county codes.
            The AIRS data is not the main  basis for the data in this report.

-------
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5'
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1"
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^
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3
vo
<*>
ra
a.
Table 2-21. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting

Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
NOTE(S):





Plant Name
Aluminum Company of America
Copper Range Company
Asarco Incorporated
Asarco Incorporated
Shell Oil Co., Wood River Mfg. Complex
Dakota Gasification Company
Phelps Dodge Mining/Hidalgo Smelter
USS/Kobe Steel Co. - Lorain Works
Mead Corporation
Star Enterprise, Delaware City Plant
Asarco Incorporated
Kodak Park Div.
James River Corporation
Phillips 66 Company, Division of Phillips
Kennecott
ARMCO Steel Company L.P.
Phelps Dodge/Chino Mines
Mobil Oil Corp.
Bethlehem Steel Corporation
Exxon Co. USA
Mobil Joliet Refining Corp.
Wheeling Pittsburgh Steel, Steubenville
Conoco Inc.
Inland Steel Flat Products, Part 2
Tenn Eastman Co.
Westvaco
Champion International Corp.
Fort Howard Corporation
Uno-Ven Company
Union Camp Corp., Fine Paper Div.
These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA
reflect the current emissions of facilities. However, it is
The values presented in the 'County* column are FIPS
The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this


EPA
Region
6
5
6
7
5
8
6
5
5
3
9
2
5
6
8
5
6
2
5
4
5
5
6
5
4
3
4
5
5
3
Sulfur

State
TX
Ml
TX
MO
IL
ND
NM
OH
OH
DE
AZ
NY
Ml
TX
UT
OH
NM
NJ
IN
AL
IL
OH
OK
IN
TN
MD
NC
Wl
IL
VA
recognizes that there may be
Dioxide from

County
331
131
141
93
119
57
23
93
141
3
7
55
77
233
35
17
17
15
127
53
197
81
71
89
163
1
87
9
197
93
Industrial Sources -

NEDS ID
1
2
1
8
104
13
3
5004
5001
16
4
258
39
15
30
5002
1
6
1
7
89
5006
10
317
3
11
159
328
77
6
inaccuracies and incompleteness

SIC
3334
1021
3331
3332
2911
1311
3331
3312
2621
2911
3331
3861
2621
2911
3331
3312
3331
2911
3312
1311
2911
3312
2911
3312
4961
2621
2621
2621
2911
2621
in the data,

Year
92
90
90
90
93
93
91
90
90
92
90
90
90
92
90
90
91
87
90
92
93
90
87
90
93
91
89
90
93
92
and the
1993

Emissions
(short tons)
67,988
65,156
47,341
44,136
40,063
37,394
34,592
34,467
33,921
33,574
32,959
32,718
32,714
30,661
30,047
29,132
28,058
26,240
26,029
25,876
24,824
22,714
22,494
21,242
19,236
18,901
18,613
18,071
18,021
17,398
data may not accurately
the most recent information available from States.
county codes.
report.




















-------
                     Table 2-22. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants  Emitting Particulate  Matter (PM-10) - 1993
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Plant Name
LTV Steel Mining Co.
US Steel
Jaeco Coal/Eel River Coal
Nemo Coal, Inc.
Inland Steel Flat Products Part 2
Asarco Incorporated
Empire District Electric
Bethlehem Steel Corp.
Pacificorp - Jim Bridger
Ash Grove Cement Co.
Kennecott
Inland Steel Flat Products
Peabody Coal Co. Midwest Division
Harbison-Walker Refractory
S. D. Warren Co., Scott Paper Co.
Aluminum Company of America
Central Soya Company Inc.
Medusa Cement Company
Pacificorp-Centralia Plant
Cal Portland Cement Co.
Bethlehem Steel Corp.
U.S. Army Engineer Center
U.S. Steel Corp.
PP & L - Montour
A. E. Staley Manufacturing Co.
Imperial Products Co.
GMC Powertrain Division
Mead Paper Company
A. P. Green Refracto
ACME Steel Company
EPA
Region
5
5
5
7
5
9
7
5
8
7
8
5
5
7
1
6
5
5
10
9
3
7
3
3
5
7
5
5
7
5
State
MN
MN
IN
MO
IN
AZ
MO
IN
WY
NE
UT
IN
IL
MO
ME
TX
IN
Ml
WA
CA
PA
MO
PA
PA
IL
MO
Ml
Ml
MO
IL
County
137
137
21
175
89
19
97
127
37
25
35
89
157
27
25
57
1
29
41
29
95
169
17
93
115
35
145
41
7
31
NEDS ID
9
5
13
15
317
1
1
1
1002
2
30
316
34
1
27
2
5
7
10
9
48
4
55
3
18
4
30
2
1
823
SIC
1011
1011
1211
1211
3312
1021
4911
3312
4911
3241
3331
3312
1222
3255
2611
2819
2075
3241
4911
3241
3312
9711
3312
4911
2046
2861
3321
2621
3255
3312
Emissions
ear (short tons)
90
90
88
87
90
92
90
90
92
92
90
90
93
87
90
92
90
90
93
90
90
87
90
90
93
90
90
90
86
93
15,992
15,295
14,705
11,562
6,404
5,920
5,661
4,161
3,999
3,743
3,616
3,553
3,371
3,334
3,166
3,130
3,129
3,124
2,944
2,826
2,721
2,648
2,613
2,585
2,568
2,461
2,369
2,354
2,352
2,326
NOTE(S):     These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA recognizes that there may be inaccuracies and incompleteness in the data, and the data may not accurately
            reflect the current emissions of facilities.  However, it is the most recent information available from States.
            The values presented in the 'County* column are FIPS county codes.
            The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this report.

-------
1
5"
1
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|-
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£
§




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oo













l .
il
1
Table 2-23. Top 30 AIRS/AFS


Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
NOTE(S):




Plant Name
Granite City Steel Company
Horsehead Resource Development Co., Inc.
Northwestern Steel & Wire Co.
Doe Run Company
Chemetco
Medusa Cement Company
GMC Powertrain Division
ST. Joe Minerals Corp., Josephtown
Holnam Inc./Dundee Cement
Asarco Incorporated
Detroit Edison - Monroe
Doe Run Company
North Chicago Refiners and Smelters Inc.
National Cement Co.
Calaveras Cement Co.
Continental Cement
St. Joe Minerals CorpVBrushy Creek Div.
PPG Industries Inc., Works No. 14
Great Lakes Steel
Asarco Incorporated
East Jordan Iron Works Inc.
Detroit Edison - Belle River
Asarco Incorporated
C. R. Huntley Steam Station, Tonawanda
Haeger Potteries, Inc.
CAL Portland Cement Co.
Southwestern Electric Power Company
Kurdziel Iron of Rothbury
Refined Metals Corp.
Northwest Waste to Energy
These data were reported as found in AIRS/AFS. EPA
reflect the current emissions of facilities. However, it is
The values presented in the 'County* column are FIPS
The AIRS data is not the main basis for the data in this

EPA
Cr f\
Region
5
5
5
7
5
5
5
3
5
7
5
7
5
9
9
5
7
5
5
6
5
5
7
2
5
9
6
5
4
5
Plants


State
IL
IL
IL
MO
IL
Ml
Ml
PA
Ml
MO
Ml
MO
IL
CA
CA
IL
MO
IL
Ml
TX
Ml
Ml
NE
NY
IL
CA
TX
Ml
TN
IL
Emitting


County
119
31
195
99
119
29
145
7
115
93
115
93
97
29
29
31
179
115
163
141
29
147
55
29
89
29
203
127
157
31
Lead - 1993


NEDS ID
153
1199
70
3
128
7
30
32
10
8
20
9
84
21
20
35
5
104
92
1
4
36
20
1700
65
9
22
4
212
1478
recognizes that there may be inaccuracies and incompleteness
the most recent information available from States.
county codes.
report.









SIC
3312
3341
3315
3332
3341
3241
3321
3339
3241
3332
4911
3332
3341
3241
3241
5039
1031
3211
3312
3331
3321
4911
3341
4911
3269
3241
4911
3321
3341
4953
in the data,





Year
93
93
93
90
93
90
90
85
90
90
90
90
93
90
90
85
85
93
85
92
90
90
93
85
93
90
92
90
85
93
and the data




Emissions
(short tons)
689
303
249
157
147
134
126
72
55
54
54
53
49
47
40
37
36
35
35
34
33
32
27
24
22
21
21
20
20
19
may not accurately



-------
       Figure 2-1.  1993 National CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions
                     by 5 Principal Source Categories
                       OFF-HIGHWAY
                           16%
         METALS PROCESSING
                  2%
                        REMAINING CATEGORIES*
                                 6%
                               MISCELLANEOUS**
                                     10%

                                   FUEL COMB. OTHER
                                          5%
                      HIGHWAY VEHICLES
                             62%
                                         LDGV
                                         LDGT-1
                                         LDGT-2
                                         HDGV
                                         HDDV
                                         OTHER
                            Light-Duty Gasoline Vehicle
                            Light-Duty Gasoline Truck -1
                            Light-Duty Gasoline Truck - 2
                            Heavy-Duty Gasoline Truck
                            Heavy-Duty Diesel Truck
                            Motorcycles, Diesel Truck and Vehicles
          LDGV
LDGT-1
                                LDGT-2       HDGT
                                  HIGHWAY VEHICLES
* REMAINING CATEGORIES are defined in section 2.1.1.
"MISCELLANEOUS is primarily wildfire emissions.
HDDT
Other
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                  2-29
                                                     1993 Estimates

-------
      Figure 2-2. 1993 National NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by
                      5 Principal Source Categories
                OFF-HIGHWAY
                     13%
    FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
             14%
       REMAINING CATEGORIES*
                6%
                                                HIGHWAY VEHICLES
                                                       32%
                                    FUEL COMB. OTHER
                                           3%
                                             FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL
                                                     33%
                                                             I   I lignite
                                                             |ini| subbituminous
                                                                 bituminous
          Coal
Gas
                                 Internal
                               Combustion
      FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY

' REMAINING CATEGORIES are defined in section 2.1.2.
                                                     Coal
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                       2-30
                                                     1993 Estimates

-------
       Figure 2-3.  1993 National VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND
                 Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories
1 short tons
-t IV
b> c
i 1.2-
3
o
1 °-8"
.2 0.4-
UJ
nn.
i —




REMAINING
CATEGORIES

1 — |


	



n
1 Flrii-i
to
s
0  Ci  g  Q
2  Z  ^  Z
                           UJ
                  £
            ilj  O  O
            o  £

                        CD
            O
            O
                        111
                     LL
        SOLVENT UTILIZATION
                                                                 STORAGES TRANSPORT
                                                                 HIGHWAY VEHICLES
                                                                 WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
                                                                 OFF-HIGHWAY
                                                                 SOLVENT UTILIZATION
                                                                 REMAINING CATEGORIES
                                                                             Surface Coating
                                                        200         400

                                                    Emissions (thousand short tons)
                                   architectural
                              industrial adhesives
                                      all other*
                                      general"
                                  wood furniture
                                 auto refinishing
                                        paper
                                 traffic markings
                                  miscellaneous
                                thinning solvents
                                    metal cans
                             maintenance coatings
                               autos Slight trucks
                         electronic & other electrical
                                      metal coil
                                  metal furniture
                                       fabrics
                                       aircraft
                                     machinery
                                 large appliances
                                    large ships
                                misc. metal parts
                                    plastic parts
                                flatwood products
                                       railroad
                                    magnet wire
                                             general: sources that use nonspecific solvents on nonspecific surfaces j
                                            * all other: sources that use specific solvents on nonspecific surfaces
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                    2-31
                                                                              1993 Estimates

-------
          Figure 2-4.  1993 National SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions
                      by 5 Principal Source Categories
     FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL
             72%
                                               CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
                                                            2%
                                                     FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
                                                             13%
                                                       FUEL COMB. OTHER
                                                              3%
                REMAINING CATEGORIES*
                         7%
              METALS PROCESSING
                      3%
                                                           I  I lignite
                                                              subbituminous
                                                              bituminous
                          Internal Combustion
                               and Gas
        FUEL COMBUSTION - ELECTRIC UTILITY

   REMAINING SOURCES are defined in section 2.1.4.
     16
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-32
1993 Estimate*

-------
  Figure 2-5.  1993 National PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions
                                        POINT and FUGITIVE PROCESS SOURCES
          FUGITIVE DUST SOURCES
                   92%
        Unpaved roads Construction  Paved roads  Agriculture   Wind erosion   Mining &

                                   FUGITIVE DUST

   ' POINT and FUGITIVE PROCESS SOURCES are listed in Table A-5, in Appendix A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-33
                                   1993 Estimates

-------
       Figure 2-6.  1993 National LEAD Emissions by 5 Principal
                             Source Categories
                                          FUEL COMB. - OTHER
                                                  9%
      HIGHWAY VEHICLES
              28%
        OFF-HIGHWAY
             4%
        WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
                     11%
                                                      REMA|N|NG CATEGORIES*
                                                                5%
                                         METALS PROCESSING
                                                 43%
    1,500
                                                       I    I other
                                                       [§§§$ primary zinc production
                                                       H primary copper production
                                                       ££H lead cable coating
                                                       jlnl secondary copper production
                                                            lead battery manufacture
                                                            secondary lead production
                                                            primary lead production
           Nonterrous   Ferrous      nee*
           Processing   Processing

              METALS PROCESSING
         Nonferrous Processing
     ' REMAINING CATEGORIES are defined in section 2.1.6.
     ™ not elsewhere classified
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-34
1993 Estimates

-------
                  Figure 2-7. Top 10 States Ranked by CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions in 1993
                                                                California
                                                                  8%
                                                                            Texas
I

                                                                                  Florida
                                                                                   5%
                  All Other States
                     54%
8y New York
     4%
                                                                                   Georgia
                                                                                     4%
                                                                             /  Pennsylvania
                                                                                   4%
                                                                           Michigan
                                                                             4%
                                                                 Indiana
                                                                  3%
cn
v>
a.
3

-------
o

1>
                   Figure 2-8. Top 10 States Ranked by NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions in 1993
to
t!k>
CTv
S
w
m
                                                                       Michigan
                                                                  .  . .   3%
                                                                  Louisiana
                                                            Georgia  3%
                                                              3%
                  All Other States
                     51%

-------
    Figure 2-9. Top 10 States Ranked by VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions in 1993
                                                                 Texas
                                                                  13%
                                                                                California
All Other States
    50%
                                                                                  Illinois
                                                                                   4%
                                                                                 New York
                                                                                   4%
                                                                           :|^ Pennsylvania
                                                                                 4%
                                                                         Ohio
                                                                         4%
                                    South Carolina
                                        3%
              Florida
               4%
       North Carolina
Michigan     3%
  3%

-------
o

>
 I
 a.
                   Figure 2-10. Top 10 States Ranked by SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions in 1993
                                                                                    Indiana
                                                                                     8%
                 All Other States
                     39%
to
U>
00
                                                                                         Pennsylvania
                                                                                            6%
                                                                                     Illinois
                                                                                      6%
                                     Florida
                                      4%
                                                                            West Virginia
                                                                                5%
                                           Georgia
                                             4%
                                                         Kentucky
                                                           5%
Tennessee
   5%

-------
     Figure 2-11. Top 10 States Ranked by PARTICULATE MATTER
                          (PM-10) Emissions in 1993
                                                              California
                                                                6%
              All Other
                55%
                                                                 Missouri
                                                                   4%
                        Illinois
                         4%

                        New Mexico
                           3%

                       Mississippi
                         3%
   Fugitive Dust Sources
                    Georgia
                      3%
                 Minnesota
                    on/
              New York
          Florida  3%
           3%
                                                        California
                                                         6%
                                                             Georgia
                                                               5%
               All Other
                59%
                                                                 Florida
                                                                  4%

                                                                  Pennsylvania
                                                                     4%
                         North Carolina
                            4%

                        Oregon
                         3%
                                                                Missouri
                                                                 3%
                                                             Alaska
                                                              3%
                                                         Alabama
                                                           3%
  Point and Fugitive Process Sources
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
2-39
                                     1993 Estimates

-------
              Figure 2-12.  Density Map of 1993 County-level CARBON MONOXIDE Emission Estimates
I
to
-U
5
           CO Estimates
         short tons/sq. mile

           • 43 to 7600
           • 21 to  43
           D 10 to  21
           D  o to  10
I
I

-------
Figure 2-13. Density Map of 1993 County-level NITROGEN OXIDE Emission Estimates
KO2 Estimates
short tons/
• 5
• 3
D i
D o
-
to
to
to
sq. mile
1500
o
3
1

-------
                     Figure 2-14. Density Map of 1993 County-level
                 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emission Estimates
 VOC Estimates
short tons/sq. milt

  • 9 to 2100
  • 3 to   9
  D 2 to   3
  D 0 to   2

-------
Figure 2-15. Density Map of 1993 County-level SULFUR DIOXIDE Emission Estimates
SOx Estimates
short tons'
• 3 to
• . to
D •:• . i to
n - to
sq. mile
-
3
. 4

-------
Figure 2-16. Density Map of 1993 County-level PARTICULATE MATTER Emission Estimates
PM-10 Estimates
short tons'
• 20
• 14
D "^
D :•
to
to
to
to
sq . mi 1 e
3000
20
1J


-------
    Figure 2-17.  Relative Profiles of CARBON MONOXIDE, NITROGEN
OXIDES, and VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions in a Composite
     Ozone Nonattainment Area, by  Principal Source Category -1990
  8
                HWYVEH.   I    FUELING.   I   FUEL: OTHER  I  STOP. & XPORT  I    METALS
                      OFF-HWY      FUELELEC.      SOLV. UTIL.       WASTE
                                                                      MISC.
   $
                HWYVEH.   1   FUELING.      FUEL: OTHER  I  STOR. & XPORT  I   METALS
                      OFF-HWY      FUEL:ELEC.      SOLV. UTIL       WASTE
                                                                      MISC.
       100%
          -•^

        70%


        60%


        50%


        40%


        30%


        20%


        10%


         0%
MAX>
                HWYVEH.       FUELING.      FUEL: OTHER    STOR. & XPORT  I    METALS
                      OFF-HWY      FUEL: ELEC.      SOLV. UTIL.       WASTE
                                                         MISC.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                         2-45
                                                          1993 Estimates

-------

Figure 2-18. Principal CARBON MONOXIDE Emission Categories for a Composite
                     Ozone Nonattainment Area -1990
FUEL COMB. - INDUSTRIAL 1%
                                                       FUEL COMB. - OTHER 1%
                                                       MISCELLANEOUS 1 %
 HIGHWAY VEHICLES 68%

-------
              Figure 2-19.  Principal NITROGEN OXIDES Emission Categories for a Composite
                                   Ozone Nonattainment Area -1990
to
4^
-J
rn
vs
a.
3
                                  OFF-HIGHWAY
                                      20%
         FUEL COMB. - INDUSTRIAL
                 8%
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
      54%
                                                                FUEL COMB. - OTHER
                                                                      5%
                                       FUEL COMB. - ELEC. UTIL
                                               10%
                                                                           MISCELLANEOUS
                                                                                4%

-------
 I
 5'
 3
 O
58
UJ
s.
i
Figure 2-20. Principal VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emission Categories for a
                 Composite Ozone Nonattainment Area -1990
                       SOLVENT UTILIZATION
                              22%
                                                              HIGHWAY VEHICLES
                                                                    24%
       WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
                 1%
                                                                       MISCELLANEOUS
                                                                            5%
            STORAGE & TRANSPORT
                   36%

-------
              Figure 2-21. 1993 Seasonal CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by Source Category
                                                                                            \ M i i| Autumn
                                                                                            ^§ Summer

                                                                                            I   I Spring
                                                                                            • Winter
                                                                                       Source Category
                                                                                       Code   Name
                                                                                        1  Electric utilities
                                                                                        2  Industrial combustion
                                                                                        3  Other combustion
                                                                                        4  Chemical
                                                                                        5  Metals
                                                                                        6  Petroleum
                                                                                        7  Other industry
                                                                                        8  Solvent utilization
                                                                                        9  Storage & Transport
                                                                                       10  Waste disposal
                                                                                       11  Highway
                                                                                       12  Off-highway
                                                                                       14  Miscellaneous
m
56789
 Tier 1 Source Category
                                                                10    11    12    14

-------
o

i-
                 Figure 2-22. 1993 Seasonal NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by Source Category
i
§.

                            124%    25%
                                                                                               Ml Autumn
                                                                                                 Summer

                                                                                             I   I Spring
                                                                                             • Winter
                                                                                        Source Category
                                                                                        Code   Name
                                                                                         1  Electric utilities
                                                                                         2  Industrial combustion
                                                                                         3  Other combustion
                                                                                         4  Chemical
                                                                                         5  Metals
                                                                                         6  Petroleum
                                                                                         7  Other industry
                                                                                         8  Solvent utilization
                                                                                         9  Storage & Transport
                                                                                        10  Waste disposal
                                                                                        11  Highway
                                                                                        12  Off-highway
                                                                                        14  Miscellaneous
                                                    8     9     10    11     12     14
                                   Tier 1 Source Category

-------
to
                     Figure 2-23. 1993 Seasonal VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions
                                                by Source Category
m
5678

  Tier 1 Source Category
                                                               10
11
12
14
                                                                                           [Q Autumn
                                                                                           B Summer
                                                                                           HI Spring
                                                                                           • Winter
                                                                                      Source Category
                                                                                      Code  Name
                                                                                          Electric utilities
                                                                                          Industrial combustion
                                                                                          Other combustion
                                                                                          Chemical
                                                                                          Metals
                                                                                          Petroleum
                                                                                          Other industry
                                                                                          Solvent utilization
                                                                                          Storage & Transport
                                                                                          Waste disposal
                                                                                          Highway
                                                                                          Off-highway
                                                                                          Miscellaneous
                                                     1
                                                     2
                                                     3
                                                     4
                                                     5
                                                     6
                                                     7
                                                     8
                                                     9
                                                    10
                                                    11
                                                    12
                                                    14

-------
o


a^
                   Figure 2-24. 1993 Seasonal SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by Source Category
 I
N>
t!/l
to
*
                                                      8     9     10     11     12     14
                                      Tier 1 Source Category
                                                                                                j H M| Autumn
                                                                                                    Summer
                                                                                                I   I Spring
                                                                                                • Winter
                                                                                           Source Category
                                                                                           Code   Name
                                                                                            1  Electric utilities
                                                                                            2  Industrial combustion
                                                                                            3  Other combustion
                                                                                            4  Chemical
                                                                                            5  Metals
                                                                                            6  Petroleum
                                                                                            7  Other industry
                                                                                            8  Solvent utilization
                                                                                            9  Storage & Transport
                                                                                           10  Waste disposal
                                                                                           11  Highway
                                                                                           12  Off-highway
                                                                                           14  Miscellaneous

-------
I
         Figure 2-25. 1993 Seasonal PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by Source Category
K)
(!/<
U>
                                                                                            Him Autumn
                                                                                            HH Summer
                                                                                            I   | Spring
                                                                                            • Winter
W
Crt
D.
56789
  Tier 1 Source Category
                                                                  11    12    13   14
                                                                                       Source Category
                                                                                       Code   Name
                                                                                         1  Electric utilities
                                                                                         2  Industrial combustion
                                                                                         3  Other combustion
                                                                                         4  Chemical
                                                                                         5  Metals
                                                                                         6  Petroleum
                                                                                         7  Other industry
                                                                                         8  Solvent utilization
                                                                                         9  Storage & Transport
                                                                                        10  Waste disposal
                                                                                        11  Highway
                                                                                        12  Off-highway
                                                                                        13  Natural sources
                                                                                        14  Miscellaneous

-------
                    Figure 2-26. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                            CARBON MONOXIDE -1993
   Emissions
(thousand tons /year)
         to 290

      80  to 170

-------
                      Figure 2-27. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                                NITROGEN OXIDES -1993
     Emissions
 (thousand tons/year)

          to  110

          to  90
     j  60 to  80
     •fr 40 to  60
Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 8 1994

-------
 i
 I
 i
                             Figure 2-28. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                               VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUNDS -1993
N>
tin
            Emissions
        (thousand tons/year)
               21 to 29

               11 to 21
                8 to 11
                6 to  8
       Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 8 1994

-------
I
to

o>
-J
$
OJ

M
W
a.
                               Figure 2-29. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting

                                 SULFUR DIOXIDE from All Sources -1993
             Emissions

         (thousand tons /year)
                   to 380



                   to 340


            ^140  to 230

               120  to 140
Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 81994

-------
                      Figure 2-30. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                     SULFUR DIOXIDE from Industrial Sources -1993
    Emissions
 (thousand tons /year
          to 70

       40 to 60
       30 to 40
       10 to 30
Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 8 1994

-------
                       Figure 2-31. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                          PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) - 1993
     Emissions
 (thousand tons /year)
         4  to 16

         1  to 14
         5  to 11
         2  to  5
       States not reporting
       in AIRS/AFS
Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 81994

-------
 3"
 I
 I
 ?
 ft.

to
£
UJ
ca
                                Figure 2-32. Top 30 AIRS/AFS Plants Emitting
                                                LEAD-1993
             Emissions
          (short tons/year)
                  to 690

           ^120 to 680

            ^ 30 to 120
            •£ 10 to  30
n               States not reporting
                  AAFS
        Note: These sources were extracted from AIRS/AFS on July, 8 1994

-------
                                   SECTION  3.0
        SUMMARY OF NATIONAL EMISSION TRENDS
This section  presents  the  estimated national
emission trends for the years 1900 through 1993.
Emissions for CO, NOX, PM-10, SO2, and VOC
for the years 1990 through 1993 are preliminary
and will  be replaced  as  ozone SIP inventory
information becomes  available.    The  1993
emissions for Pb  are  preliminary and  will be
revised for the 1995 Trends report.  The 1992 Pb
emissions, reported as preliminary emissions in the
previous report,1 have been revised.

3.1    INTRODUCTION

The national emissions for the years 1940 through
1993 are presented in Tables 3-1 through 3-5 for
each pollutant, except  Pb.  The  emissions are
given for every 10 years from the year  1940 to
1990  and for the  years 1992 and  1993.   The
national Pb  emissions are presented in Table 3-6
for every 5 years from the year 1970 to 1990 and
for the years 1992  and  1993.  Emissions prior to
the  year 1970 have not been developed for Pb.
The  emissions are provided by Tier 1  source
categories  as  well as  the Tier 2  and Tier  3
categories for which the emissions make a major
contribution to the total. The Pb emissions are
expressed in short tons per year and the emissions
for all other pollutants are  expressed in thousand
short  tons per year.   Figures 3-1 through 3-5
present the  emission trends for each pollutant,
except Pb, for the years  1900 through 1993.  The
Pb emissions for the years 1940 through 1993 are
presented in Figure 3-6. The emissions in these
figures are grouped by major source categories.

Several different methodologies have been used to
estimate  the emissions  presented in these tables
and figures.  In order to assess the trends in the
emissions, it is  important to know when these
changes in methodology occur. The NOX, SO2,
and VOC emissions for the  years 1900  through
   1969, with the exception of the years 1940, 1950,
   and  1960,  have been estimated  using  the
   methodology described in section 6.4.  The CO,
   NOX,  PM-10, SO2, and VOC emissions for the
   years  1940, 1950, and 1960 and for the years 1970
   through 1984 for all source categories, except the
   emissions for the transportation categories for the
   years  1970 through 1984, have been estimated by
   the methodology described in section  6.3.  This
   methodology was also used  to produce the Pb
   emissions for all source categories for the years
   1940, 1950,  1960, and 1970 through  1993.  The
   methodology described in section 6.2 was used to
   estimate the CO,  NOX, PM-10,  SO2,  and VOC
   emissions for all source categories for the years
   1985  through  1993  and  for the transportation
   sources for the years 1970 through 1993.  These
   changes in methodology are denoted in Tables  3-1
   through 3-5 and may be a source of discontinuities
   in the emission trends presented in Figures  3-1
   through 3-5.

   3.2   NATIONAL EMISSION TRENDS,
         1900 THROUGH 1993

   From  the year  1900  to 1993, total national NOX
   emissions were estimated to have increased by a
   factor of 9. Over the same period, the emissions
   of SO2 and VOC showed increases of 120 and
   200 percent, respectively.  From the year 1970 to
   1993, emissions  for Pb showed the greatest
   decrease (98  percent),  followed by  PM-10
   (excluding  fugitive  dust  [71  percent]),  SO2
   (30 percent),  CO  (24  percent),  and  VOC
   (24 percent). Emissions of PM-10 and Pb showed
   their greatest decrease in the 1970s,  while  the
   emissions  of the  other pollutants  showed their
   greatest decrease in  the 1980s.  Over the same
   period (1970 to 1993), NO, emissions increased
   approximately 13 percent.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-1
                                   Emission Trends

-------
Changes in the emissions from 1992 to 1993 were
caused primarily by (1) changes in fuels consumed
by  electric utilities, a  major source  of SO2
emissions, (2) increased usage of highway vehicle
emission controls, a major source of CO, NOX, and
VOC emissions, and (3) varied production levels
in industrial activity.  Based on the  preliminary
estimates  for  1993, total PM-10 emissions
decreased by  6 percent from  1992, while  the
emissions of all other pollutants increased.

The following sections discuss the most important
factors influencing the emission trends  of each
pollutant.  These  analyses are divided by source
category into three time periods:   (1) the years
1900 to 1939, for which emissions are available
only for NOX, SO2, and VOC, (2) the years 1940
to 1970, during which significant changes occur in
technology, activity patterns, and fuel use, and (3)
the years 1970 to 1993,  when emissions  controls
are progressively  applied.

Tables 3-1 to 3-5 present the CO, NOX,  VOC,
SO2, and PM-10 emissions for the Tier  1 source
categories for every 10 years from  1940 to 1990
and for the years  1992 and  1993.   The Pb
emissions for  every  5 years from 1970  to 1990
and for the years  1992 and 1993 are presented in
Table 3-6.  The emissions displayed for categories
below  are  intended to show major contributors
only. More detailed emissions for the years 1970,
1980,  and 1984 through  1993  are presented in
Tables A-l through A-6, in Appendix A.

Figures 3-1 to 3-5 present the trends in CO, NOX,
VOC, SO2, and PM-10 emissions by major source
categories for the years  1900 through 1993. The
Pb emissions are presented in Figure 3-6 for the
years 1970 through 1993.

3.3    CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSION
       TRENDS, 1940 THROUGH 1993

The trend  in  CO emissions  is  presented  in
Table 3-1  and Figure  3-1.   The  "Remaining
Categories" grouping includes the following Tier
1 categories:
   FUEL COMBUSTION ELECTRIC UTILITY,
   FUEL COMBUSTION INDUSTRIAL,
   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
   SOLVENT UTILIZATION, AND
   STORAGE AND TRANSPORT.

The emissions for the miscellaneous category are
primarily from forest fires.

3.3.1   Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility,
       Industrial, and Other

The CO emissions from fuel combustion sources
occurred mainly in the residential sector. In 1940,
residential wood combustion  contributed
12 percent to the total CO national emissions. By
1970, this percentage decreased to only 2 percent
of the total national  emissions.   Residential
consumption of wood steadily declined until the
late  1970s because fossil-fuels were abundant,
cheap, and more convenient than fuel wood. The
emissions doubled from the year 1970 to 1980 due
to a  disruption  in  crude oil supplies and the
curtailment of natural gas deliveries, as well as
rising  crude oil and  natural gas prices  in the
1970s, which revived interest in wood as a fuel
for residential space heating.  The reduction in the
estimated  emissions  from  residential  wood
combustion by 30 percent from the year 1980 to
1993  was the result of a decline in conventional
fuel  prices  after  the  mid-1980s.   In  1993,
residential  wood combustion  accounted for
4 percent of total national CO emissions.

The emissions from the combustion of fuels other
than wood by  the  residential sector  have also
undergone substantial changes since  1940.  The
82 percent reduction in the  emissions from the
year 1940 to 1970 resulted from a steady decline
in the use of anthracite and bituminous coal for
home  heating.   In  1993,  emissions from the
residential combustion of other fuels accounted for
less  than 1 percent  of the  total national CO
emissions.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                             3-2
                                  Emission Trends

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3.3.2  Industrial Processes

In  1940,  industrial  processes accounted for
8 percent of  the total CO  national  emissions.
Emissions for the chemical  and allied product
manufacturing category decreased 19 percent from
1940  to  1970.   During the  same  period, the
emissions  for metals processing  increased  by
33 percent and those  for petroleum and related
industries  increased  by a  factor  of 10.   The
increase in the petroleum refining sector  was a
result of increased refinery throughput required to
meet  increased demand for gasoline and  other
distillate products.  From 1970 to 1993, emissions
decreased by 82 percent  as  a  result  of the
obsolescence  of certain high-polluting processes
such as the manufacture of carbon black by the
channel process and as a result of installing more
emission control  devices for processes  such as
fractional catalytic cracking units.

3.3.3   Transportation: Highway Vehicles and
       Off-highway

In 1940, highway vehicles contributed 30 percent
of the total national CO emissions.  From 1940 to
1970,  emissions  from all  types  of highway
vehicles  tripled.   By 1970,  highway  vehicles
accounted for 69 percent of the total national CO
emissions.

Since  1940,  highway vehicles have been the
largest single contributing source of CO emissions.
From  1970  to  1980,  total  VMT  increased
36 percent, while  the total  CO  emissions for
highway vehicles decreased by  11 percent.  This
was due to  the implementation of the Federal
Motor Vehicle Control Program (FMVCP) on new
vehicles and improvements  in  vehicle fuel
efficiency. Figure 3-7 shows the relative trends in
VMT, fuel usage, and CO emissions for the years
1970 through  1992. From 1980 to 1992, the VMT
increased faster than the fuel usage as a  result of
increasing average fuel efficiency.  The estimated
CO emissions decreased  23 percent during this
period due to the retirement of older, uncontrolled
vehicles (i.e., fleet turnover).   In the years since
   1989, the trends in CO emissions and fuel usage
   became closely parallel,  which implies that the
   retirement of uncontrolled vehicles has reached the
   limit of its  effect on reduction in CO emissions.
   Improvements  in fuel efficiency  would  still
   produce reductions in CO  emissions.  In 1993,
   highway vehicles produced 62 percent of the  total
   national  CO  emissions.   Without  the
   implementation of vehicle emission controls, it is
   predicted that the CO emissions from highway
   vehicles would be three times higher in 1993  than
   the current  estimated emissions.

   In 1940,  CO  emissions for the  off-highway
   category represented  9 percent  of  the  national
   total.  Of this amount, 51 percent was estimated to
   be the emissions  from coal-fueled railroad
   locomotives.  From 1940 to 1970, the emissions
   from railroads decreased 98 percent.  The  total
   off-highway emissions increased by 32 percent
   over  the  same period  due primarily  to  the
   151 percent increase in the emissions from  off-
   highway gasoline vehicles and equipment.  After
   1970, the emissions for off-highway gasoline and
   diesel vehicles and equipment steadily increased
   while  the  emissions  from  highway  vehicles
   decreased.  These trends  are presented in Figure
   3-8 by the increasing  ratio between the  off-
   highway gasoline and diesel vehicles emissions
   and the highway vehicle emissions.  In 1993, the
   total  off-highway vehicles  emissions  were
   approximately one-fourth that of the emissions
   from  highway  vehicles or   16 percent  of the
   national total.   The  emissions  from the  off-
   highway  gasoline  and diesel vehicles  are
   essentially uncontrolled. Thus, their contribution
   to the total emissions is disproportionately large.
   Off-highway  gasoline and  diesel vehicles  emit
   approximately  8  to  10  times  the amount  of
   pollutant as highway vehicles  based on the
   average fuel consumption.   Emission  control
   measures  for  selected off-highway engine
   categories  are scheduled  to begin in  1996;
   although significant emission reductions are not
   expected until after the year 2000.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-3
Emission Trends

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3.3.4   Remaining Sources

The CO emissions from other sources decreased
from 1940 to 1993. In 1940, the emissions for the
waste disposal and recycling  and miscellaneous,
other combustion, wildfires categories accounted
for 4 and 28 percent,  respectively, of the  total
emissions. By 1970, the emissions from wildfires
decreased by 78 percent,  while waste disposal
emissions nearly  doubled.  From  1970 to  1993
forest  wildfire  emissions  decreased from  5.6
million short  tons  to 4.4 million  short  tons,
although  there  were  wide  variations  in  the
emissions  from year  to  year due to  the
uncontrolled nature of wildfires.  Emissions  from
solid waste  disposal decreased 75 percent  from
1970  to  1993  as  a  result  of regulating  or
prohibiting burning of solid waste in many areas
of the  country.   By 1993, wildfires  and waste
disposal sources accounted for  5 and 2 percent,
respectively, of the total CO emissions.

3.4    NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSION
       TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993

The trend in NOX emissions is presented in Table
3-2 and Figure 3-2.  The "Remaining Categories"
grouping includes the following Tier 1 categories:

   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
   SOLVENT UTILIZATION,
   METALS PROCESSING,
   WASTE DISPOSAL AND RECYCLING,
   MISCELLANEOUS, AND
   STORAGE AND TRANSPORT.

3.4.1   Fuel Combustion:  Electric Utility,
       Industrial, and Other

In 1900, electric utilities accounted for 4  percent
of the total national NOX emissions.   By 1930,
electric utility emissions increased by a factor of
6. The emissions continued to increase from 0.6
million short tons in 1930 to 4.9 million short tons
in 1970.  In 1993, the emissions from  electric
utilities were 7.8 million short tons, or 33  percent
of the  total emissions.  New Source Performance
   Standards  (NSPS)  have helped  to  reduce the
   growth in NOX emissions from electric utilities.

   3.4.2  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and
         Off-highway

   In 1900, highway vehicles made no contribution to
   the total national NOX emissions.  By 1920, the
   emissions from highway vehicles increased to 5
   percent of the total emissions.   The emissions
   continued to increase by a factor of 3 from 1920
   to 1940 and, again, by a factor of 6 from 1940 to
   1980.  In 1993, highway vehicle emissions were
   32 percent of the total emissions.

   Highway vehicles emissions are now controlled as
   a result of the implementation of FMVCP during
   the  1970s and the replacement  of  older, less
   efficient  automobiles with newer  vehicles.
   Without these  changes,  NOX emissions from
   highway vehicles  in 1993  would be more than
   twice the current estimated emissions.

   3.4.3  Remaining Sources

   The NOX emissions for the years 1900 through
   1939 were generated for  five source categories
   (electric utility, industrial, commercial-residential,
   highway vehicle, and other), making comparisons
   prior to 1940 on a source category basis difficult.
   In  general,  however,  the  emissions   for the
   remaining  sources of industrial processes, waste
   disposal, and miscellaneous sources increased from
   1900 to 1920 and continued to increase from 1920
   to 1940, but at a slower rate.  Emissions from
   these sources accounted for 17 percent of the total
   1940  NOX  emissions.  The emissions for  the
   miscellaneous, other combustion category steadily
   decreased by 67 percent from 1940 to 1970 and
   by 10  percent from 1970 to 1993. The emissions
   for  the waste disposal and recycling  category
   steadily increased by a factor of 4 from 1940 to
   1970,  but decreased by 81 percent from 1970 to
   1993.  Emissions from industrial processes steadily
   increased by  a factor  of 3  from 1940 to 1970.
   The emissions  then decreased 28 percent from
   1970 to 1980.  The increase from 1980 to 1993 of
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-4
Emission Trends

-------
63 percent was  due in part to change in the
methodology used  to  estimate the emissions
between the years 1984 and  1985.  In 1993, the
total emissions for the remaining sources were 6
percent of the total national NOX emissions.

3.5   VOLATILE  ORGANIC COMPOUND
      EMISSION TRENDS, 1900
      THROUGH  1993

The trend in VOC emissions is presented in Table
3-3 and Figure 3-34  The "Remaining Categories"
grouping includes the following Tier 1 categories:

   FUEL COMBUSTION ELECTRIC UTILITY,
   FUEL COMBUSTION INDUSTRIAL,
   FUEL COMBUSTION OTHER,
   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES, AND
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES.

The emissions for the miscellaneous category are
primarily from wildfires.

Volatile  organic compounds are  a principal
component  in  the chemical  and  physical
atmospheric reactions that  form  ozone and other
photochemical oxidants.  The emissions of VOC
species that primarily contribute to the formation
of  ozone were  included in the  total  VOC
emissions,  while  emissions  of methane,  a
nonreactive compound, were not included. No
adjustments  are  made  to  include  chlorofluoro-
carbons or to exclude ethane and other VOCs with
negligible  photochemical  reactivity.   Highway
vehicle emissions were estimated as nonmethane
hydrocarbons.  Emissions of organic compounds
from biogenic sources, such as trees  and  other
vegetation, are presented  in  section 9.   VOC
emissions from natural sources were almost equal
to the emissions from  anthropogenic sources,
according  to  recent  research, but the extent to
which biogenic emissions  contribute to  oxidant
formation has not been clearly established.
   3.5.1   Fuel Combustion:  Electric Utility,
          Industrial, and Other

   In  1900,  emissions  from  all fuel combustion
   sources represented 68 percent of the total national
   VOC emissions.   The  combustion of  wood
   accounted for 90 percent of the  emissions from
   these sources. By 1920, the emissions from fuel
   combustion sources decreased to 55 percent of the
   total emissions and, by 1940, to 12 percent of the
   total emissions.  This decline in the emissions
   continued  until 1993,  with  fuel  combustion
   emissions contributing only 3 percent to the total
   emissions in  1993.  The exception to this trend
   was the increase in the emissions  from residential
   wood combustion in the  1970s  as explained in
   section 3.3.1.

   3.5.2   Industrial Processes

   Based  on the data  and  categories presented  in
   Figure 3-3, the emissions from industrial processes
   in  1900  accounted  for 17  percent of the total
   national VOC emissions.  By 1920, the estimates
   for these emissions increased to 22 percent of the
   total emissions.  From 1900 to 1920, the emissions
   from solvent utilization decreased from  11 to 8
   percent of the industrial  processes emissions.
   Over the  same period, the  emissions from  the
   petroleum industry increased by a factor of 3.  By
   1940, the emissions  for industrial processes were
   26 percent of the total emissions.

   Industrial processes  emissions peaked in  1973 at
   13 million  short tons.   Solvent  utilization was
   responsible for  58 percent of the total industrial
   processes emissions in 1970.  If uncontrolled,
   VOC emissions from industrial processes would
   have continued to increase through the 1970s, due
   to higher production levels, particularly in organic
   chemical production and industrial uses of organic
   solvents.  Emission control devices and process
   changes helped limit the  growth in  these
   emissions.   Emissions from petroleum  product
   storage and marketing operations increased during
   the mid-1970s as a result of increased demand for
   petroleum products,  especially motor gasoline.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-5
Emission Trends

-------
After 1978, the emissions  from these sources
decreased as the result of more effective control
measures. Another reason for the overall decrease
in the emissions between 1970 and 1993 was the
substitution of water-based emulsified asphalt for
asphalt liquified with petroleum distillates.  This
reduction is reflected in the  decreased emissions
reported for solvent utilization.  In 1993, industrial
processes were 48 percent of the total emissions.

3.5.3  Transportation:  Highway Vehicles and
       Off-highway

In  1900, transportation  sources  accounted for
4 percent of the total national VOC emissions;
railroad coal  emissions  were 99  percent of the
transportation  emissions.   Railroad  emissions
peaked  in  1920,  at  which  time, transportation
emissions increased to 20 percent  of the national
total.   The total  VOC emissions from
transportation sources increased 161 percent  from
1940 to 1970.  By 1970, railroads contributed only
less than 1 percent to the total  VOC emissions.

The highway vehicles emissions peaked in 1970 at
13 million short tons, or 42 percent of the national
total.  The VOC emissions from gasoline and
diesel-powered highway  vehicles  decreased
53 percent  from 1970 to 1993.  The FMVCP
initiatives were responsible  for this decrease in
emissions, despite  increases in VMT.   In  1993
highway vehicles accounted for 27 percent of the
total emissions.

3.5.4  Remaining Sources

In 1900, emissions from  the solid waste disposal
and  miscellaneous sources  represented 10 and
24 percent, respectively, of the total national VOC
emissions.  By 1920, the emissions  from  solid
waste  disposal decreased to 9 percent and the
emissions from miscellaneous sources decreased to
17 percent.  The decrease in the emissions  from
the miscellaneous sources was due primarily to the
success of fire prevention programs. The wildfire
emissions peaked in 1930, representing 35 percent
of the total national emissions. The forest wildfire
   emissions decreased after 1930. In 1993, wildfires
   accounted for 3 percent of the total national VOC
   emissions.

   3.6    SULFUR DIOXIDE EMISSION
         TRENDS, 1900 THROUGH 1993

   The  trend  in SO2 emissions  is  presented  in
   Table 3-4  and  Figure 3-4.    The  "Remaining
   Categories" grouping includes the following Tier
   1 categories:

      PETROLEUM  AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
      OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
      SOLVENT UTILIZATION,
      WASTE DISPOSAL AND RECYCLING,
      CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
         MANUFACTURING, AND
      STORAGE AND TRANSPORT.

   3.6.1  Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility,
         Industrial, and Other

   In 1900, electric utilities  were responsible for
   4 percent of the total national SO2 emissions. The
   emissions from electric utilities steadily increased
   by an overall factor of 5 from 1900  to  1925.
   Emissions  decreased during  the  1930s due
   primarily to the Great Depression.  The  1940
   emissions  were approximately the same  as the
   1920 emissions.  From 1940  to 1970, emissions
   from electric utilities doubled every decade  as the
   result of increased fossil-fuel consumption.  In
   1970, emissions from coal combustion accounted
   for 67 percent of total SO2 emissions from all fuel
   combustion sources.   From  1970 to 1993, coal
   consumption  by  electric utilities  more  than
   doubled, but electric  utility  emissions from coal
   combustion decreased by 4 percent as a result of
   coal cleaning and lower sulfur coal blending. The
   SO2 emissions from other fuel combustion sectors
   generally decreased,  primarily due to less coal
   burning by industrial, commercial, and residential
   consumers.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-6
Emission Trends

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3.6.2  Industrial Processes

The SO2 emissions for the  years  1900 through
1939  were  generated  for 5  source  categories
(electric utility, industrial, commercial-residential,
highway vehicle, and other),  making comparisons
prior to  1940 on a source category basis difficult.
Industrial (both process and combustion) emissions
steadily increased by an overall factor of 2 from
1900 to  1925. The emissions decreased during the
1930s due to the  Great Depression.   In 1940,
industrial  processes accounted for 20 percent of
the total  national  emissions.   The  emissions
increased by 74 percent from 1940 to 1970. From
1970  to  1993,  industrial processes  emissions
decreased by 74 percent due to the increased use
of emission  control devices  by industry.   In
particular, SO2 emissions were greatly reduced at
nonferrous smelters.   By-product  recovery of
sulfuric acid at these smelters has increased since
1970, resulting in the recovered sulfuric acid not
being emitted in the form of SO2.  In addition,
sulfuric acid manufacturing  plants built or
modified after 1972 have been subject to the more
stringent NSPS.  In 1993,  industrial processes
accounted for 8 percent of the total national SO2
emissions.

3.6.3  Remaining Sources

The  SO2  emissions for the  years  1900 through
1939  were generated for  five source categories
(electric utility, industrial, commercial-residential,
highway vehicle, and other),  making comparisons
prior to 1940 on a source category basis difficult.
In 1940, the emissions from the remaining sources
Tier 1 categories of waste  disposal and recycling,
highway vehicles, off-highway, and miscellaneous
were  19  percent  of  the total  national SO2
emissions.  Railroad  emissions represented 15
percent  of the total emissions in 1940. From 1940
to 1970,  the railroad  emissions  decreased  99
percent  as a result  of  the  obsolescence of
coal-fired locomotives.  Over the same period, the
emissions from the categories waste disposal and
recycling  and  highway  vehicles  increased  by
factors of 3 and 115, respectively. Between 1970
   and  1993, the emissions  for  these categories
   continued  to  increase:    waste  disposal  and
   recycling emissions by a factor of 5 and highway
   vehicle emissions by 27 percent.  The remaining
   sources  accounted 3 percent of the total national
   SO2 emissions in  1993.

   3.7   PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10)
         EMISSION TRENDS, 1940
         THROUGH 1993

   The  trend  in PM-10  emissions  is  presented in
   Table 3-5.

   The  emission trends  for  PM-10  sources are
   discussed  separately  for  the point  and fugitive
   process sources and for the  fugitive dust sources.
   The PM-10 fugitive dust sources are categorized
   as follows:

      NATURAL SOURCES
         Geogenic
             wind erosion
      MISCELLANEOUS
         Agriculture and Forestry
             agricultural crops and livestock
         Fugitive dust
             construction
             mining and quarrying
             point source,
             paved roads, and
             unpaved roads.

   The  PM-10 point and fugitive process sources
   include all other PM-10 sources.

   3.7.1  Point and Process Fugitive Sources

   The PM-10 point and fugitive process sources are
   all PM-10 sources excluding the fugitive  dust
   sources  listed above.  The  totals  for  both
   categories are presented in Table ES-1.  These
   emissions are also presented in Table 3-5 and
   Figure 3-5.  Figure 3-5  presents  the  trends in
   PM-10  emissions from  1940  to  1993.    The
   "Remaining Categories"  grouping  includes the
   following Tier 1  categories:
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. 1900-1993
3-7
Emission Trends

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   FUEL COMBUSTION INDUSTRIAL,
   FUEL COMBUSTION OTHER,
   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
   CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
       MANUFACTURING,
   WASTE DISPOSAL AND RECYCLING,

and,  in  the  miscellaneous category,  "other
combustion," which consists primarily of wildfires
and managed burning.

3.7.1.1    Fuel Combustion: Electric Utility,
          Industrial, and Other

In  1940, emissions from  fuel  combustion
represented 25 percent of the total national PM-10
emissions.    A  large  portion  of  the PM-10
emissions from electric utilities resulted from the
combustion of coal.  In 1940, coal was consumed
mostly by the industrial  and residential sectors.
After 1940,  residential coal use declined
substantially, resulting in a  corresponding
reduction in emissions.  Industrial coal use also
declined, but not to the same extent as residential
use.  Emission controls used by industrial coal
consumers increased over the years and, by 1970,
industrial emissions decreased to about 15 percent
of the 1940 level.

Despite continuing increases in coal consumption,
PM-10 emissions from electric utilities decreased
after  1970, as a result of installing  air pollution
control equipment  required  for new  facilities
constructed in the 1970s to meet the  NSPS.  Fuel
combustion sources  contributed 22 percent to the
total nation emissions in  1970, and 33 percent in
1993. In 1993, 78 percent of PM-10 emissions
from fuel  combustion sources originated  from
wood burning as compared to 35 percent in 1970.
Wood stoves, wood furnaces, and  fireplaces in
residential homes accounted for  91 percent of the
PM-10 emissions from wood burning in 1993.
   3.7.1.2    Transportation:  Highway Vehicles
             and Off-highway

   In  1940, emissions  from transportation sources
   accounted for 17 percent  of the total  national
   PM-10  emissions.   Railroads and LDGVs
   contributed 15 and 1 percent, respectively, of the
   total 1940 emissions.   From  1940 to 1970, the
   railroad emissions decreased by 99 percent and the
   LDGV emissions  decreased by 61 percent.  The
   railroad emissions increased from 1970 to 1993 by
   91  percent.  Over the  same period,  the LDGV
   emissions decreased by 49 percent.  Although the
   1993 emissions from transportation sources still
   represent 16 percent of the total  national PM-10
   emissions, this represents only one-fourth of the
   1940 PM-10 emissions.

   3.7.1.3    Remaining Sources

   Particulate  matter  (PM-10)  emissions from
   industrial processes increased from 1940 to 1950,
   primarily as a result of increases in industrial
   production. From 1950 to 1970, industrial output
   continued to  grow, but  the emissions from
   industrial  processes  decreased due  to  the
   installation  of  pollution  control equipment
   mandated by air pollution control programs.  The
   reduction of emissions  by  these  control  devices
   was more than offset by the increase in emissions
   due to  production increases.  In  1970, industrial
   processes  contributed  60  percent to the  total
   national  PM-10 emissions,  while in  1993, they
   contributed  17 percent,  thus indicating
   considerable progress in reducing emissions.  In
   1940, wildfires contributed 14 percent to the total
   national  emissions; in  1993, they contributed 11
   percent.   Emissions from  this category can be
   quite variable  as  they depend on weather
   conditions in forested areas.  It should be noted,
   however,  that  the  estimated emissions from
   prescribed burning and  wildfires  were  held
   constant  at  the  1985  level for  the years  1985
   through  1989.
 National Air Pollutant lynission Trends, 1900-1993
3-8
Emission Trends

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3.7.2  Fugitive Dust Sources

The inclusion of fugitive dust source emissions
began  with the  1991  Trends  report.3   The
emissions  are presented in Table 3-5 and Figure
3-5.   Figure 3-5 presents  the trend  in  PM-10
fugitive dust emissions for 1985 to 1993.  The
"Remaining Categories" grouping includes the Tier
3 categories:  point source,  construction, and
mining and quarrying.  More detailed emissions
for the years 1985 through 1993 are presented in
Table A-5, in Appendix A.

Unlike the  methodology used  to estimate the
emissions from point and fugitive process sources,
the  methodology used to estimate fugitive dust
emissions  for several categories  utilize
meteorological data such as the number of days
with greater than 0.01 inches of precipitation and
the wind speed. These data can vary significantly
from  year-to-year,  resulting  in  highly  varying
emissions.

The PM-10 emissions from fugitive dust sources
decreased  by  6 percent from  1985 to  1993.
During this time period, the emissions ranged from
41.8 million short  tons in 1993  to 60.0 million
short  tons in 1988.  The emissions from  wind
erosion were highly variable.  For example, the
total national emissions from wind erosion in 1993
were  estimated to  be 0.63  million  short  tons,
compared to 17.5 million short tons in 1988. The
lack of precipitation in 1988 prior to spring crop
planting, especially in  the  central and  western
United States, contributed to greater wind erosion
for  that year.  In 1993, unusually heavy spring
rains  in  Kansas  and  Oklahoma,  where  wind
erosion was normally very significant, resulted in
a 97 percent  decrease  in  the  wind  erosion
emissions  for  these two states from the  1992
values.

For  1993,  total national  fugitive dust  PM-10
emissions  were estimated to  be about 11 times
greater than the tdtal emissions from point and
fugitive process sources.
   3.8    LEAD EMISSION TRENDS, 1970
          THROUGH 1993

   The trend in  Pb emissions is presented in Table
   3-6 and Figure 3-6.  Table 3-6 presents the
   emissions for Tier 1 source categories for every 5
   years for 1970 to 1990 and for the years 1992 and
   1993.   Figure  3-6  presents the trends  in Pb
   emissions from 1970 to 1993.  The "Remaining
   Categories" grouping includes the following Tier
   1 categories:

      FUEL COMBUSTION ELECTRIC UTILITY,
      FUEL COMBUSTION INDUSTRIAL,
      OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES, AND
      CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
          MANUFACTURING.

   More detailed emissions for the years 1970, 1980,
   and  1984 through  1993  are presented  in
   Table A-6, in Appendix A.

   3.8.1   Fuel Combustion:  Electric Utility,
          Industrial, and Other

   Fuel combustion emissions in 1940 contributed
   5 percent of the total national Pb emissions.  The
   emissions decreased by 95 percent from 1970 to
   1993.   By   1993,  fuel  combustion  emissions
   accounted for 10 percent of the total Pb emissions.

   3.8.2   Industrial Processes

   Industrial  process emissions  in  1970 contributed
   12 percent of the total national Pb emissions. The
   emissions decreased by 91 percent from 1970 to
   1993.   By   1993,  emissions  from  industrial
   processes accounted for 47 percent of the total Pb
   emissions.

   3.8.3   Transportation: Highway Vehicles and
          Non-highway

   Lead emissions  from highway vehicles accounted
   for 78 percent  of the  total  emissions in 1970.
   Total  national  Pb emissions decreased  sharply
   from 1970 to 1986 as a result of 2 air pollution
National Air Pollutant. Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-9
Emission Trends

-------
control programs  implemented  by  EPA.
Regulations  were  issued  in  the early  1970s
requiring the gradual reduction of the Pb content
of all gasoline.  Gasoline consumption increased
16 percent between 1970 and 1975, but, because
of the decreased average Pb content of gasoline,
Pb emissions from highway vehicles decreased by
24 percent.  The most dramatic reductions  of the
Pb content in leaded gasoline occurred  in 1985
and  1986.  The average Pb content of leaded
gasoline was  reduced from an  average of  1.0
grams/gallon to 0.5 grams/gallon on July  1, 1985.
The  average Pb content was reduced further on
January 1, 1986 to 0.1 grams/gallon.
The other major contribution to the reduction of
Pb emissions from transportation sources was the
introduction  of the FMVCP in  1975.   This
program resulted in the widespread use of catalytic
converters  to reduce NOX, VOC,  and  CO
emissions.   Automobiles  with these converters
were required to use unleaded gasoline.  From
1975 to 1993, the percent of unleaded gasoline
sales increased from 13 to 99 percent.

With the  implementation  of these two control
programs, the Pb emissions from highway vehicles
decreased from 130 thousand short tons in 1975 to
1 thousand short tons in 1993. This is an overall
reduction  of  99 percent.    For  1993, highway
vehicle emissions accounted for 28 percent of the
total national  Pb emissions.
3.9    REFERENCES

1.  National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1992.  EPA-454/R-93-032.  Office of Air Quality
    Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC. October 1993.

2.  Highway  Statistics.   Federal  Highway Administration,  U.S.  Department of  Transportation,
    Washington, DC.  October 1993.

3.  National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1991.  EPA-454/R-92-013.  Office of Air Quality
    Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC. October 1992.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                            3-10
                                 Emission Trends

-------
                  Table 3-1.  Total National Emissions of Carbon Monoxide,
                                           1940 through 1993
                                           (thousand short tons)
  Source Category
1940    1950     1960
1970
1980
1990
1992
                                1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
industrial
lawn & garden
light commercial
recreational marine vessels
Aircraft
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
forest wildfires
TOTAL
4
435
14,890
11,279
2,639
8,640
3,501
4,190
2,750
221
114
NA
NA
3,630
27,370
19,860
19,849
2,596
1,992
603
4,914
NA
NA
8,051
3,777
780
NA
NA
60
4
4,083
29,210

25,130
90,865
110
549
10,656
7,716
1,805
5,910
2,833
5,844
2,910
2,651
231
NA
NA
4,717
41,372
28,149
28,098
4,229
3,251
978
8,965
29
29
11,610
7,331
1,558
NA
NA
120
934
3,076
18,135

11,159
98,785
110 237
661 770
6,250 3,625
4,743 2,932
1,110 686
3,633 2,246
1,507 630
3,982 3,397
2,866 3,644
3,086 2,179
342 620
NA NA
NA NA
5,597 7,059
58,297
42,604
42,547
5,390
4,135
1,255
10,178
126
126
11,575
8,753
1,379
NA
NA
518
1,764
332
88,034
64,031
63,846
16,570
10,102
6,468
6,712
721
721
10,605
9,478
732
4,679
2,437
976
506
65
11,010 7,909

4,487 5,620
103,777 128,079
322
750
6,230
5,992
1,402
4,590
178
2,151
2,246
1,723
830
NA
NA
2,300
314
677
5,726
5,435
NA
NA
158
1,940
2,080
435
717
2
55
1,686
78,049 62,858
53,561 40,502
53,342 40,316
16,137 15,084
10,395 8,511
5,742 6,573
7,189 5,930
1,161 1,342
1,139 1,307
12,681 14,642
11,004 12,655
970 1,228
5,366 6,001
2,680 3,254
1,102 1,207
743 966
96 122
8,344

5,396
12,623

7,529
115,625 103,753
313
671
5,033
4,750
NA
NA
150
1,964
2,044
410
719
2
55
1,717
59,859
39,370
39,190
14,567
8,161
6,407
4,569
1,352
1,315
14,904
12,886
1,234
6,145
3,296
1,233
980
124
8,679

3,578
96,368
322
667
4,444
4,161
NA
NA
149
1,998
2,091
398
732
2
56
1,732
59,989
39,452
39,265
14,879
8,286
6,593
4,292
1,366
1,327
15,272
13,164
1,285
6,214
3,402
1,245
1,019
124
9,506

4,391
97,208
   NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
           NA = not available
           Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other
           methodologies changed in 1985.
           1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
           Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
      3-11
                          Emission Trends

-------
                    Table 3-2.  Total National Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides,
                                            1940 through 1993
                                            (thousand short tons)
  Source Cateaorv
1940
                                                      1950
                 1960
                                                                        1970   1980
                                                                                        1990
                                                   1992
1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
Gas
natural
FUEL COMB. OTHER
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
tight-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Diesel
construction
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
660
467
255
125
58
2,543
2,012
1,301
365
337
529
6
4
105
107
NA
NA
110
1,523
1,105
1,104
164
255
NA
NA
991
103
70
657
990
7,568
1,316
1,118
584
288
123
3,192
1,076
688
1,756
1,692
647
63
110
110
93
NA
NA
215
2,453
1,611
1,611
271
487
83
83
1,538
187
158
992
665
10,403
2,536 4,900
2,038 3,888
1,154 2,112
568 1,041
204 344
4,075 4,325
782 771
533 532
2,954 3,060
2,846 3,053
760 836
110 271
110 77
220 240
131 187
NA NA
NA NA
331 440
4,423
2,967
2,966
421
597
438
438
1,443
247
157
772
7,390
4,158
4,156
1,278
278
1,676
1,676
1,628
941
599
495
441 330
14,581 20,625
7,024
6,123
3,439
1,694
542
3,555
444
306
2,619
2,469
741
216
65
72
205
NA
NA
111
7,516
6,698
4,600
1,692
406
3,256
613
445
1,656
1,436
732
399
81
100
306
2
2
82
8,621 7,488
4,421 3,437
4,416 3,425
1,408 1,341
300 335
2,493 2,375
2,463 2,332
2,423 2,843
1,374 1,478
854 944
731 929
248
384
23,281 23,192
7,473
6,694
4,564
1,707
423
3,206
557
404
1,658
1,444
735
411
80
96
305
3
3
83
7,440
3,614
3,602
1,356
308
2,163
2,116
2,885
1,494
940
946
272
22,991
7,782
7,005
4,758
1,831
416
3,176
520
377
1,664
1,453
732
414
82
95
314
3
3
84
7,437
3,685
3,673
1,387
304
2,061
2,014
2,986
1,582
1,007
945
296
23,402
  NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
           NA = not available
           Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other methodologies
           changed in 1985.
           1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
           Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Efnission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                     3-12
                                                    Emission Trends

-------
           Table 3-3. Total National Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds,
                                           1940 through 1993
                                           (thousand short tons)
Source Category
1940
        1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
1992
                                                            1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Surface Coating
Nonindustrial
consumer solvents
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Bulk Terminals & Plants
area source: gasoline
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
lawn & garden
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
forest wildfires
TOTAL
2
108
1,867
1,410
340
1,070
884
58
325
571
130
1,971
1,058
490
NA
639
185
158
990
4,774
3,720
3,716
507
547
NA
NA
778
208
NA
4,079

3,420
17,118
9
98
1,336
970
231
739
1,324
110
442
548
184
3,679
2,187
NA
NA
1,218
361
307
1,104
7,172
5,331
5,314
831
998
11
11
1,213
423
NA
2,530

1,510
20,856
9
106
768
563
131
431
991
245
342
1,034
202
4,403
2,128
1,189
NA
1,762
528
449
1,546
10,370
8,224
8,204
1,082
1,018
46
46
1,215
526
NA
1,573

768
24,322
30
150
541
460
107
353
1,341
629
394
1,194
270
7,174
3,570
1,674
NA
1,954
599
509
1,984
12,972
9,193
9,133
2,770
743
266
266
1,542
1,284
574
1,101

770
30,646
45
157
848
809
189
620
1,595
884
273
1,440
237
6,584
3,685
1,002
NA
1,975
517
440
758
35
266
437
405
NA
NA
1,771
684
72
737
478
6,063
2,619
1,900
1,083
1,861
658
560
2,262
8,979 6,854
5,907 4,285
5,843 4,234
2,059 1,769
611 470
402 330
392 316
1,869 2,120
1,474 1,646
655 728
1,134

739
1,320

1,032
25,893 24,276
34
271
385
354
NA
NA
1,799
692
72
729
482
6,121
2,623
1,953
1,106
1,848
626
527
2,268
6,072
3,832
3,799
1,588
334
318
302
2,160
1,678
745
780

490
23,020
36
271
341
310
NA
NA
1,811
694
74
720
486
6,249
2,687
1,982
1,116
1,861
614
512
2,271
6,094
3,854
3,820
1,612
314
315
298
2,207
1,704
754
893

602
23,312
 NOTE(S): Categories-displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
         NA = not available
         Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines.  Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other methodologies
         changed in 1985.
         1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
         Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
       3-13
                                  Emission Trends

-------
                     Table 3-4.  Total National  Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide,
                                            1940 through 1993
                                            (thousand short tons)
                                             1940
                                                     1950
                                                             1960
                                                                      1970
                                                                              1980
                                                                                       1990     1992
      1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
Oil
residual
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
Oil
residual
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Other
bituminous/subbituminous coal
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
2,427
2,276
1,359
668
249
151
146
6,060
5,188
3,473
1,070
554
397
145
173
NA
3,642
2,517
2,267
215
3,309
2,760
2,292
224
334
NA
NA
3
3
3,190
2,975
545
19,953
4,515
4,056
2,427
1,196
433
459
453
5,725
4,423
2,945
907
972
721
180
150
NA
3,964
2,079
1,758
427
3,747
3,092
2,369
340
596
NA
NA
3
103
2,392
2,174
545
22,358
9,264
8,883
5,367
2,642
873
380
375
3,864
2,703
1,858
574
922
663
189
51
NA
2,319
1,250
868
447
3,986
3,322
2,772
676
671
NA
NA
10
114
321
215
554
22,227
17,398
15,799
9,574
4,716
1,509
1,598
1,578
4,568
3,129
2,171
669
1,229
956
140
70
NA
1,490
492
260
591
4,775
4,060
3,507
881
846
NA
NA
8
345
83
36
110
31,096
17,469
16,073
NA
NA
NA
1,395
NA
2,951
1,527
1,058
326
1,065
851
299
60
NA
971
211
43
280
1,842
1,279
1,080
734
918
NA
NA
33
1 5,898
15,227
13,365
1,425
438
639
629
3,106
1,843
1,382
29
823
633
352
82
6
597
175
30
440
578
401
216
440
401
1
5
36
429 480
175 265
53 68
11
14
25,813 22,261
15)417
14,840
12,900
1,456
484
546
537
2,947
1,681
1,263
26
832
645
348
80
6
600
177
26
447
557
383
200
417
401
1
5
37
483
273
69
10
21,592
1 5f836
15,185
13,199
1,509
477
620
614
2,830
1,575
1,184
24
824
641
346
79
6
600
178
25
450
580
401
213
409
413
1
5
37
438
276
69
11
21,888
    NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
            NA = not available
            Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other
            methodologies changed in 1985.
            1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
            Tier  1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                     3-14
Emission Trends

-------
             Table 3-5.  Total National Emissions of Paniculate Matter (PM-10),
                                           1940 through 1993
                                           (thousand short tons)
 Source Category
                                             1940
 1950
1960
1970
                          1980
                                                                                       1990
1992
                                                                                                        1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
Ferrous Metals Processing
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing
Mineral Products
cement mfg
surface mining
stone quarrying/processing
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
NATURAL SOURCES
* Geogenic - wind erosion
MISCELLANEOUS
Agriculture & Forestry
* agricultural crops
* agricultural livestock
Other Combustion
wildfires
managed burning
Fugitive Dust
* unpaved roads
• paved roads
* other
TOTAL
962
954
573
708
2,338
1,716
330
1,208
588
217
246
374
366
3,996
784
511
2,701
1,363
62
482
NA
NA
392
210
2,480
NA
NA
2,968
NA
NA
NA
2,968
2,179
591
NA
NA
NA
NA
15,956
1,467
1,439
865
604
1,674
1,128
455
1,027
346
105
427
254
412
6,954
696
798
5,460
1,998
108
663
NA
NA
505
314
1,788
NA
NA
1,934
NA
NA
NA
1,934
1,063
662
NA
NA
NA
NA
17,133
2,117
2,092
1,288
331
1,113
850
309
1,026
375
122
214
437
689
7,211
691
958
5,563
2,014
140
1,039
NA
NA
764
554
201
NA
NA
1,244
NA
NA
NA
1,244
428
606
NA
NA
NA
NA
15,558
1,775
1,680
1,041
641
455
384
235
1,316
593
343
198
525
286
5,832
485
727
4,620
1,731
134
957
NA
NA
999
237
223
NA
NA
839
NA
NA
NA
839
385
390
NA
NA
NA
NA
12,838
879
796
483
679
887
818
148
622
130
32
322
170
138
1,846
402
183
1,261
417
127
421
NA
NA
273
291
278
198
228
930
881
74
140
48
4
88
4
28
306
24
98
156
35
17
27
2
54
242
275 239
329 372
NA
NA
852
NA
NA
NA
852
514
315
NA
NA
NA
NA
4,192

42,059
7,380
6,999
381
1,322
717
546
33,356
15,661
7,299
10,396
6,928 49,158
255
243
178
223
819
770
75
137
47
4
86
4
27
303
25
99
152
35
16
25
2
53
246
210
379
4,655

41,245
7,238
6,852
386
947
341
547
33,060
14,540
7,621
10,899
48,629
270
257
191
219
723
674
75
141
48
4
88
5
26
311
25
101
157
36
17
26
2
55
248
197
395
628

42,200
7,236
6,842
394
1,027
418
549
33,937
14,404
8,164
11,368
45,489
  NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
          NA = not available
          Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970.  All other methodologies
          changed in 1985.
          1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
          Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
          * Fugitive dust sources
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-15
                                   Emission Trends

-------
               Table 3-6.  Total National Emissions of Lead, 1970 through 1993
                                                     (short tons)
Source Csteoory
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
Inorganic Chemical Mfg - lead oxide and pigments
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
primary lead production
primary copper production
primary zinc production
secondary lead production
secondary copper production
lead battery manufacture
lead cable coating
Ferrous Metals Processing
ferroalloy production
iron production
steel production
gray iron production
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Mineral Products
cement manufacturing
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
municipal waste
other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
TOTAL
1970
327
237
10,052
10,000
47
103

24,224
15,869
12,134
242
1,019
1,894
374
41
127
7,395
219
266
3,125
3,773
2,028
540

1,488
2,200

581
1,619
171,961
142,918
8,340

219,471
1975
230
75
10,042
10,000
16
120

9,923
7,192
5,640
171
224
821
200
49
55
2,196
104
93
1,082
910
1,337
217

1,120
1,595

396
1,199
130,206
106,868
5,012

158,542
1980
129
60
4,111
4,080
9
104

3,026
1,826
1,075
20
24
481
116
50
37
911
13
38
481
373
808
93

715
1,210

161
1,049
62,189
48,501
3,320

74,956
1985
64
30
421
400
11
118

2,097
1,376
874
19
16
288
70
65
43
577
7
21
209
336
316
43

273
871

79
792
15,978
12,070
229

20,124
1990
64
18
418
400
10
136

2,138
1,409
728
19
9
449
75
78
50
576
18
18
138
397
169
26

143
804

67
738
1,690
1,263
197

5,635
1992
59
18
414
400
7
93

2,042
1,316
628
20
11
470
66
77
44
560
16
18
145
378
54
24

30
416

11
405
1,452
1,084
193

4,741
1993
62
18
417
400
9
109

2,118
1,362
636
21
12
496
71
80
45
572
17
18
147
387
54
24

30
518

45
472
1,383
1,033
206

4,885
     NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
             1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
             Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                                    3-16
Emission Trends

-------
         Figure 3-1. Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions
            by 7 Principal Source Categories, 1940 to 1993
                1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
                                  Year
          HIGHWAY VEHICLES
          OFF-HIGHWAY
          FUEL COMB. - OTHER
          MISCELLANEOUS (primarily fires)
            METALS PROCESSING
            CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
            WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
            REMAINING CATEGORIES
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
       3-17
                                     Emission Trends

-------
   Figure 3-2. Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by 7 Principal Source
                          Categories, 1900 to 1993
25
                   HIGHWAY VEHICLES
                   FUEL COMB. - ELEC. UTIL.
                   FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
                   OFF-HIGHWAY
   FUEL COMB.- OTHER
   CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
^REMAINING CATEGORIES

-------
I
OJ
h—*
VO
tn
              Figure 3-3.  Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by 7 Principal
                                      Source Categories, 1900 to 1993
          35
                                               1940      1950
                                                   Year
SOLVENT UTILIZATION

HIGHWAY VEHICLES

WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING

OFF-HIGHWAY
   STORAGE & TRANSPORT

   CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG

   MISCELLANEOUS (primarily fires)

PI REMAIN ING CATEGORIES

-------
t
to
          35
                  Figure 3-4. Trend in SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by 6 Principal
                                 Source Categories, 1900 to 1993
                           FUEL COMB. - ELEC. UTIL.
                           FUEL COMB. - INDUSTRIAL
                           METALS PROCESSING
                           HIGHWAY VEHICLES
   FUEL COMB. - OTHER
   OFF-HIGHWAY
riREMAINING CATEGORIES

-------
Figure 3-5. Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions  by Point and Fugitive
     Process Sources (1940 to 1993) and by Fugitive Dust Sources (1985 to 1993)
  0
  1940        1950       1960        1970
                             Year
Point and Fugitive Process Sources
                                                                            Year

                                                           Fugitive Dust Sources
     OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES

     MISCELLANEOUS (primarily fires)

     OFF-HIGHWAY

     FUEL COMB. - OTHER
    FUEL COMB. - ELEC. UTIL

    FUEL COMB. - IND.

    WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING

|   | REMAINING CATEGORIES
                                                               Unpaved roads

                                                               Agriculture

                                                               Paved roads
Remaining
sources
Wind erosion

-------

          Figure 3-6. Trend in LEAD Emissions by 5 Principal
                    Source Categories, 1970 to 1993
      275
                                                            1990
             METALS PROCESSING            IM1 FUEL COMB. - OTHER

             HIGHWAY VEHICLES              • OFF-HIGHWAY

          11 WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING    I   I REMAINING CATEGORIES
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
3-22
                                                                    Emission Trends

-------
"0
I
tn
§
           225
                              Figure 3-7. Trends in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions,
                                      Vehicle Miles Traveled, and Fuel Usage
                                                                     I   I CO Emissions
Vehicle Miles Traveled
         Source: Fuel Consumption data from Highway Statistics, Tables MF-25 and MF-26, includes gasoline, diesel, and gasohol.

-------
           Figure 3-8. Ratio of Nonroad Gasoline and Diesel Vehicle to Highway Vehicle
                                  CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions
CD
O)
03

CD
1970     1972      1974     1976     1978      1980      1982
                                             Year
                                                              1984
                      1986
1988     1990      1992
                Total Nonroad Vehicle*
                   Highway Vehicle
Gasoline Nonroad Vehicle
    Highway Vehicle
   Diesel Nonroad Vehicle
     Highway Vehicle
* Total Nonroad Vehicle emissions do not inlcude emissions from aircraft, railroads, or marine vessels.

-------
                                   SECTION 4.0
   REGIONAL EMISSION  TRENDS,  1985 THROUGH  1993
This section presents the results of estimating the
total emissions in each of the 10 EPA regions.  A
map of  the  10  EPA Administrative  regions is
presented in Figure 4-1.   When  comparing
emissions from different regions, it is important to
consider the size  of the region, population,
economic activity, predominant types of industry,
soil type, and other factors that affect air pollution.
Total regional emissions  for 1985 through 1993
are presented  by  pollutant  and  year  in
Appendix B, Tables B-l through B-6. Figures 4-2
through  4-7  show  the total  emissions  of each
pollutant by EPA region for 1985 through 1993.

It should be noted that  the  regional emissions
shown in the previous report1  have been replaced
by new  estimates.   As described in  section  6,
regional  emissions  for lead are  calculated as  a
fraction  of the total national  emissions  of each
source category.. Regional emissions of CO, NOX,
VOC,  SO2, and PM-10 are the sum  of county
emissions in each region.
   The trends in regional emissions follow the trends
   in national emissions for most categories.  This
   effect is largely due to the fact that each region
   has a diversity of source categories which reflect
   the national diversity.  Some source categories,
   however, such as forest fires, prescribed burning,
   wind erosion, and certain industrial processes,
   produce significant regional effects and, therefore,
   do not necessarily follow  national trends within
   the source category.  These source categories will
   generally account for large changes at the regional
   level from one year to the  next.

   Of special note are the 1990 CO and VOC Region
   X emission changes presented in Figures 4-2 and
   4-4.   These changes  are  the result  of  a large
   number of wildfires in Alaska. Also of interest is
   the variation in the PM-10 emissions presented in
   Figure 4-6 for Regions VI and VII and to a lesser
   extent Region VIII.  These changes are the result
   of wind erosion estimates being very sensitive to
   regional soil conditions and year-to-year changes
   in total precipitation and wind speeds.
4.1   REFERENCES

1. National AmPollutant Emission Trends, 1900  1992.  EPA-454/R-93-032, U.S. Environmental
   Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. October 1993.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
4-1
Regional

-------
                Figure 4-1. U.S Environmental Protection Agency's Administrative Regions
 I
(O

-------
Figure 4-2. Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993
                               (million short tons)
                                                                 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93
                                                                    REGION
                                                  85 86 87 88£89 90I9D92 93

                                                    REGION
                    8/5589,90091592 93
                    REGION VIII
                                                                85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                   REGION
   REGION X
                                                 REGION V
                  REGION VII
                                                          REGION IV
                                          93

                                       REGION VI
REGION IX

-------
               Figure 4-3. Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993

                                             (million short tons)
 3

 I
t
                                                                  85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                      REGION
90l91>92 93
858687



 REGION II
                                    878889-90,91 9293
                                      <  y  /,"
                                   REGION VIII
                                                                               85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93


                                                                                  REGION
REGION X
                                                                REGION V
                                 REGION Vl
                                    ,, />
                                   ',' , '',  V'
                                                                         REGION IV
          REGION IX
                                                      REGION VI

-------
i
         Figure 4-4. Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993
                                          (million short tons)
§
                                                                         85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93
                                                                            REGION I
                                                                         85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                            REGION

-------
                 Figure 4-5.  Trend in SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993
                                            (million short tons)
 I
OS
                                  REGION VIII
                                                                            85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                               REGION III
REGION X
                                                             REGION V
                                 REGION VII
                                                                       REGION IV
          REGION IX
                                                    REGION VI

-------
Figure 4-6. Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993
                                    (million short tons)
                                                                       85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93
                                                                          REGION I
                                                85 86 87 88389 90S91>92 93

                                                 REGION II
  ^t^3&v*"^r*^T!tTj»^^r
                         REGION VIII
                                                                      85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                         REGION
REGION X
                        REGION Vl
                                                                       ~^Jf

                                                                  REGION IV
                                             REGION VI
REGION IX

-------
 I
 i
oo
          Figure 4-7. Trend in LEAD Emissions by Region, 1985 TO 1993
                               (thousand short tons)
                                                                             85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93
                                                                                REGION I
                                  REGION VIII
                                                                             85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93

                                                                                REGION III
REGION X
                                 REGION VII
          REGION IX
                                                    REGION VI

-------
                                  SECTION  5.0
     NATIONAL EMISSION PROJECTIONS, 1996 to 2010
Emission projections by pollutant through the year
2010 are shown in Tables 5-1 through 5-5 for CO,
NOX, SO2, VOC,  and PM-10, respectively.  For
most source categories, emission projections are
based  on  growth  factors from EPA's Economic
Growth Analysis System (E-GAS).1  (Department
of Energy generation projections2 are used for
utilities  and  MOBILE4.1  Fuel Consumption
Model3 projections are used for motor vehicles.)
Changes in emission controls are  modeled  to
project the effects  of  the CAAA  on future
emission  levels.   The  growth factors project
growth in activity only and do not include changes
due to new technology (i.e., improved efficiency).
The control factors will capture  changes  in
technology mandated by the CAAA but may not
capture new technologies and increased efficiency
of process which are not mandated by the CAAA.

Emission  projections are a function  of growth
factors and future  control level estimates, both of
which have associated uncertainties.   Growth
factors, in general, are more uncertain the further
into the future the- growth is projected.  In any
given  projection  year, unexpected  upturns  or
downturns in the economy may occur which are
unaccounted for  in projections of trends  in
activity. While the control factors  applied may
account  for  control initiatives resulting  from
CAAA requirements, increased  production
efficiency and technological changes (which may
be a result of initiatives to decrease  production
costs) may not be taken into account.

National projections are shown in the following
tables for each pollutant. These projections can be
used to show  which pollutants are expected  to
increase or  decline, and to  show which sectors
have the greatest  impact on total emissions and
future emission levels.  While the future levels
may give an indication of whether air quality can
   be expected to improve, it should be noted that air
   quality indicators (e.g., ambient  concentrations)
   vary significantly by area and that these national
   projections may not  adequately indicate the
   emission  changes  expected  in individual  areas
   currently in nonattainment for PM-10, SO2, CO,
   and ozone. Caveats associated with the controls
   modeled for each pollutant are discussed below.

   5.1    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN
         CARBON MONOXIDE EMISSIONS

   Trends in CO emissions through 2010 are shown
   in Table 5-1 and illustrated in Figure 5-1. Total
   emissions  are expected to  show a  continued
   decline through 2000 with emissions showing a
   slight increase in 2002  continuing  into the
   future.  Emissions in  2010 likely will remain
   below 1990 levels. The decline through 2000 is
   due entirely to expected decreases in highway
   vehicle emissions as a result of more stringent
   tailpipe  standards,  enhanced inspection and
   maintenance (I/M) in ozone  and  CO nonattain-
   ment  areas,  and oxygenated  fuels.   These
   decreases in highway vehicle emissions
   outweigh  small increases in  other source
   categories. As VMT increases begin to dominate
   over any further decreases in highway vehicle
   emission  factors,  total  emissions begin  to
   increase.

   5.2    FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN
         NITROGEN OXIDES EMISSIONS

   Projected levels of NOX emissions through 2010
   are shown in  Table 5-2 and Figure 5-2.  Total
   emissions  show a slight increase from 1990 to
   1993  followed by  a  decrease in 1996  as
   stationary source NOX Reasonably Available
   Control Technology (RACT) is implemented and
   enhanced I/M programs begin  in ozone
   nonattainment areas.  Electric utility emissions
   show  an expected decline in 1996 with RACT
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
5-1
Projections

-------
requirements and an additional decline between
1999 and 2000 as phase II Title IV standards
become  effective.   While RACT control
requirements  for industrial fuel combustion
emitters  result in emission declines for this
category, trends are dominated by decreases in
predicted  activity for coal and oil sectors.
Highway vehicle emissions will likely continue
to decline  through 2005  as emission factor
decreases due to tailpipe standards,  phase II
reformulated gasoline, and I/M  requirements
outweigh increases in VMT.

5.3   FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN
      VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND
      EMISSIONS

Trends in  VOC emissions  through 2010  are
shown in Table 5-3 and Figure 5-3. Emission
levels in 2010 are expected to remain lower than
1990 although total emissions show an upturn
between 1999 and 2000.  Emission projections
for VOC include only the mandatory provisions
of the CAAA including RACT, new Control Tech-
niques Guidelines (CTGs), Federal measures for
consumer solvents, Title I and II  mobile source
measures, and Title III Maximum Achievable
Control Technology (MACT) standards.   Pro-
visions which are not  accounted for and which
may  result in further declines (in  ozone
nonattainment areas) include new source offsets,
progress  requirements, and  attainment and
maintenance provisions.  The largest expected
decrease in emissions occurs between 1993 and
1996  as the majority of ozone nonattainment
mandatory measures are implemented. Solvent
utilization  emissions show a continued decline
through  1999 as more stringent control
requirements  become  effective  for consumer
solvents.  Highway vehicle emissions show a
continued decline through 2005; VMT increases
then  begin to dominate over any additional
reductions  due  to  emission factor decreases.
Effects of emission factor decreases become nil
as tailpipe standards become increasingly
pervasive in the course of fleet turnover.
5.4   FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN
      SULFUR DIOXIDE EMISSIONS

Future year expected emission trends through
2010 for SO2 are shown in Table 5-4 and Figure
5-4. Total emissions are predicted to continue to
decline through 2010.  Sulfur dioxide emissions
are dominated by electric utility and industrial
fuel combustion.  Electric utility fuel combustion
emissions show an expected continued decline
through 2010 due to the lower emission cap in
2010.  These projections assume that utilities
bank a  certain portion of their  phase I
allowances  and  use these banked allowances
from 2000 to 2010.  The projected 2010 utility
emissions are approximately 6 million short tons
greater than the 2010 electric utility S02 cap
due to the use of the banked allowances.

Future year expected emission trends from
industrial sources can be discerned from Table
5-4 by combining  the  emissions from Fuel
Combustion-Industrial,  Chemical and  Allied
Products Manufacturing, Metals Processing,
Petroleum  and Related Industries,  Other
Industrial Processes,  Solvent Utilization,
Storage and Transport, and Waste Disposal and
Recycling.  When future emissions from these
sources are examined, they show  a  slight
expected  decrease from 1990 to 1993, and then
show a slightly  increasing trend to the year
2002. From 2002 to 2010 projected emissions
are basically flat.  In all cases, the emissions
projections  show that total national industrial
SO2  emissions remain belo'w 5  million short
tons, well below  the 5.60 million short ton per
year cap established by  section 406 of the
CAAA.  As with historic emissions, industrial
combustion emissions continue to be the largest
contributor to future industrial SO2 emissions,
although Table 5-4 clearly shows that emissions
from industrial combustion sources decrease in
future years.

5.5   FUTURE EXPECTED TRENDS IN
      PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10)
      EMISSIONS

Projections of future levels of PM-10 emissions
are shown in Table 5-5 and Figure 5-5.  Clean
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                           5-2
                                   Projections

-------
Air Act Amendment  controls reduce PM-10
emissions  in  nonattainment  areas; however,
because this is such  a  small subset  of total
national  emissions,  overall  levels show an
increase in emissions.   The  lower  expected
increase between  1990 and 1996 is generally
due  to the nonattainment  area controls.
Changes in emissions after 1996 are due solely
to activity level changes with the exception of
highway vehicles.  Highway  vehicle  emission
factors decrease due to diesel fuel standards and
increased penetration  of cleaner vehicles  with
fleet turnover.  The further decrease between
2005 and 2008 is due to the CAAA standards for
heavy duty diesel vehicles.

5.6   REFERENCES
   Wind  erosion  emissions  can  fluctuate
   substantially from year-to-year, depending on
   meteorological conditions which cannot be
   projected to the future.  For this  reason,  all
   future year  emissions  are  assumed to  be
   equivalent to 1990 levels.  The 1993 estimate is
   based on actual meteorological data. The large
   decrease seen in 1993 is due to  substantial
   precipitation  during  the  spring  and summer
   months in the midwestern United States, which
   resulted in midwestern flooding and also acted
   to substantially reduce wind erosion emissions.
   The "dip" observed in Table 5.5 for wind erosion
   is a direct result of this 1993 anomaly.
 1. Economic Growth Analysis  System:   User's Guide,  Version 2.0.   EPA-600/R-94-139b.  Joint
   Emissions Inventory Oversight Group, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
   Park, NC. August 1994.

 2. Recommendations to NAPAP Regarding SO2 Emission Projections.  Report to the National Acid
   Precipitation Assessment  Program (NAPAP).  Prepared by  Resources for the  Future.
   Washington, DC.  June 15, 1994.

 3. MOBILE4.1 Fuel Consumption Model.  Computer reports from EPA, Office of Mobile Sources,
   Ann Arbor, MI.  August 1991.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
5-3
Projections

-------
                  Table 5-1. National Carbon Monoxide Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010
                                                 (thousand short tons)
I
Source Category
Fuel Combustion - Electric Utility
Fuel Combustion - Industrial
Fuel Combustion - Other
Chemical and Allied Prod. Mfg
Metals Processing
Petroleum & Related Industries
Other Industrial Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and Transport
Waste Disposal & Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total
1990
314
677
5,726
1,940
2,080
435
717
2
55
1,686
62,858
14,642
12,623
103,753
1993
322
667
4,444
1,998
2,091
398
732
2
56
1,732
59,989
15,272
9,506
97,208
1996
364
662
4,051
2,086
2,192
362
768
2
60
1,771
48,874
16,173
6,331
83,697
1999
395
652
3,697
2,192
2,288
331
814
2
65
1,804
46,003
17,033
6,372
81,649
2000
402
650
3,796
2,230
2,322
322
831
2
66
1,815
45,309
17,329
6,387
81,461
2002
416
646
3,850
2,309
2,395
304
866
2
70
1,836
44,525
17,945
6,418
81,580
2005
435
641
4,012
2,436
2,514
279
921
2
75
1,866
44,533
18,919
6,468
83,100
2008
462
636
4,337
2,502
2,624
266
950
2
77
1,892
45,835
19,460
6,493
85,535
2010
482
634
4,554
2,540
2,690
257
966
2
79
1,910
46,749
19,800
6,507
87,169

-------
                   Table 5-2. National Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010
                                                  (thousand short tons)
Source Category
Fuel Combustion - Electric Utility
Fuel Combustion - Industrial
Fuel Combustion - Other
Chemical and Allied Prod. Mfg
Metals Processing
Petroleum & Related Industries
Other Industrial Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and Transport
Waste Disposal & Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total
1990
7,516
3,256
732
399
81
100
306
2
2
82
7,488
2,843
384
23,192
1993
7,782
3,176
732
414
82
95
314
3
3
84
7,437
2,986
296
23,402
1996
6,761
2,985
718
421
86
91
339
3
3
86
7,041
3,184
206
21,924
1999
6,978
2,908
706
432
90
88
366
3
3
88
6,700
3,344
207
21,912
2000
5,921
2,892
702
436
91
87
375
3
3
89
6,531
3,400
207
20,737
2002
6,102
2,866
692
445
94
86
395
3
3
90
6,349
3,519
207
20,851
2005
6,379
2,827
678
458
99
84
427
3
3
92
6,281
3,711
209
21,250
2008
6,781
2,793
655
470
103
83
445
3
3
93
6,387
3,824
209
21,849
2010
7,072
2,772
639
478
106
83
455
3
3
94
6,495
3,893
209
22,301
I

-------
              Table 5-3. National Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010
                                                  (thousand short tons)
 a.

Source Category
Fuel Combustion - Electric Utility
Fuel Combustion - Industrial
Fuel Combustion - Other
Chemical and Allied Prod. Mfg
Metals Processing
Petroleum & Related Industries
Other Industrial Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and Transport
Waste Disposal & Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total
1990
36
266
437
1,771
72
737
478
6,063
1,861
2,262
6,854
2,120
1,320
24,276
1993
36
271
341
1,811
74
720
486
6,249
1,861
2,271
6,094
2,207
893
23,312
1996
40
269
311
1,682
64
633
465
6,247
1,761
2,277
5,147
2,321
458
21,678
1999
42
267
284
1,594
68
555
457
5,867
1,519
1,269
4,846
2,401
464
19,634
2000
43
267
292
1,605
69
550
447
5,947
1,530
1,271
4,742
2,437
466
19,666
2002
44
267
295
1,632
72
540
455
6,170
1,556
1,275
4,632
2,511
471
19,919
2005
45
267
306
1,675
76
526
469
6,532
1,603
1,280
4,578
2,628
478
20,462
2008
48
270
330
1,713
79
533
478
6,730
1,635
1,284
4,657
2,692
481
20,931
2010
50
272
346
1,735
81
537
483
6,853
1,654
1,288
4,726
2,732
483
21,240
1

-------
§
2
!
                    Table 5-4.  National Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010
                                                   (thousand short tons)
Source Category
Fuel Combustion - Electric Utility
Fuel Combustion - Industrial
Fuel Combustion - Other
Chemical and Allied Prod. Mfg
Metals Processing
Petroleum & Related Industries
Other Industrial Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and Transport
Waste Disposal & Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Miscellaneous
Total
1990
15,898
3,106
597
440
578
440
401
1
5
36
480
265
14
22,261
1993
15,836
2,830
600
450
580
409
413
1
5
37
438
278
11
21,888
1996
12,100
2,866
592
467
579
390
445
1
5
38
315
291
7
18,095
1999
11,500
2,887
566
479
579
371
477
1
5
39
336
305
7
17,552
2000
11,300
2,908
554
483
580
364
488
1
5
39
344
309
7
17,382
2002
10,980
2,958
530
491
580
352
510
1
5
39
360
319
7
17,133
2005
10,500
2,962
494
501
581
335
545
1
5
40
385
335
7
16,693
2008
9,900
2,912
455
516
582
328
566
1
5
41
411
348
7
16,071
2010
9,500
2,882
430
524
583
323
578
1
5
41
429
355
7
15,659

-------
Table 5-5. National Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions by Source Category for 1990 to 2010
                                   (thousand short tons)
Source Category
Fuel Combustion - Electric Utility
Fuel Combustion - Industrial
Fuel Combustion - Other
Chemical and Allied Prod. Mfg
Metals Processing
Petroleum & Related Industries
Other Industrial Processes
Solvent Utilization
Storage and Transport
Waste Disposal & Recycling
Highway Vehicles
Off-Highway
Natural sources (wind erosion)
Miscellaneous
Total
1990
291
228
930
74
140
28
306
2
54
242
239
372
4,192
42,059
49,158
1993
270
219
723
75
141
26
311
2
55
248
197
395
628
42,200
45,489
1996
309
214
660
76
148
24
331
2
58
254
153
427
4,192
43,598
50,447
1999
334
201
594
78
155
23
353
2
61
259
131
455
4,192
48,850
55,686
2000
338
198
609
79
157
22
360
2
62
260
122
464
4,192
49,834
56,701
2002
353
193
618
80
162
21
376
2
65
263
126
485
4,192
51,835
58,772
2005
375
186
643
82
171
20
402
2
69
268
132
517
4,192
54,937
61,996
2008
404
179
694
84
178
19
416
2
71
271
127
531
4,192
57,383
64,553
2010
425
176
729
86
182
19
424
2
72
274
122
540
4,192
59,012
66,255

-------
   Figure 5-1. Projected Trend in CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions
           by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1990 to 2010
                                                              2008
                                       2010
               HIGHWAY VEHICLES

               OFF-HIGHWAY
H! MISCELLANEOUS
    (primarily fires)
HO FUEL COMB.-OTHER
METALS PROCESSING

REMAINING CATEGORIES
  CO
  I
  r
  o
  CO
  O
  CO
  O
  '«
  CO
  i
       Figure 5-2.  Projected Trend in NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions
              by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1990 to 2010
      1990   1992    1994    1996   1998    2000    2002   2004   2006    2008    2010

                                     Year
• FUEL COMB. - ELEC. UTIL |
• HIGHWAY VEHICLES |
^ FUEL COMB. -IND.
ID OFF-HIGHWAY
ED FUEL COMB. - OTHER
|~1 REMAINING CATEGORIES
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
        5-9
                                          Projections

-------
     Figure 5-3. Projected Trend in VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND

        Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1990 to 2010
  CO

  o

  r
  o
  c
  o
  w

  o
  '55
  c/>

  E
  LIJ
25-




20-:




15




10




 5
        £SJS22ggg8SB£^^
                                                                  2008
                                                                  2010
             HIGHWAY VEHICLES  BS WASTE DISPOSALS RECYCLING JH| STORAGE & TRANSPORT


             SOLVENT UTILIZATION HID OFF-HIGHWAY            P] REMAINING CATEGORIES
    co

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    to


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    co

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    '35
    
-------
     Figure 5-5. Projected Trend in PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10)

        Emissions by 5 Principal Source Categories, 1990 to 2010
  i
  o
  *

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-------
                                   SECTION 6.0

      NATIONAL CRITERIA POLLUTANT  ESTIMATION
                               METHODOLOGY
Each year the EPA prepares national emissions for
assessing trends in criteria pollutant emissions. In
the  past,  the  emissions  were  estimated using
consistent  methodologies  employing  national
statistics on economic activity, material flows, etc.,
for  the years  1940 to the current year of  the
report.  Although emissions prepared in this way
were useful for evaluating changes from year to
year,  they  did  not  provide  an  absolute  or
geographically detailed measure of emissions  for
any given year. Absolute emissions are extremely
useful in many applications, such as  inputs into
atmospheric models.   During  the past several
years, changes have been made  to  the
methodologies in order to produce emissions  for
the  Trends  report, starting  at  the county level,
which both represent an absolute measure of  the
emissions and allow for an evaluation of changes
in emissions from year to year.  For future Trends
reports, these methodological changes will allow
the  incorporation of even  more detailed SIP data
for  ozone nonattainment areas.
 Because  of these  changes in methodologies,
 COMPARISON OF VALUES WITH PREVIOUS TRENDS
 REPORTS is NOT A VALID EXERCISE.  The reader
 should use caution when comparing estimates for
 the years 1940 to 1993 from this report  with
 values in any report previously published.
 6.1   INTRODUCTION

 Three major methodologies are used to estimate
 the emissions for successive intervals from 1900
 through  1993 presented in this  report.   The
 applicable methodology is used according to the
 year for which emissions are being estimated. For
 the years 1985 to the current year, the emissions
   are based on the emissions inventories created for
   use  in the modeling efforts made in response to
   the  CAAA.  Emission inventories known as the
   Interim inventories1 were created for the years
   1987 through  1991 for  use  as  inputs into the
   Regional  Ozone  Model  (ROM)  and the Urban
   Airshed  Model  (UAM);  the use of  this
   methodology has been expanded  in this report to
   the emissions for the years 1985 through 1993.  In
   addition, the 1990 base year Interim inventory was
   designed to allow the replacement of emissions by
   the  SIP data for nonattainment areas.

   The  emissions  presented  for  the  years   1940
   through 1984 are based on the methodology used
   to estimate the emissions for these years found in
   all prior Trends reports,  with several exceptions
   and modifications over the emissions previously
   presented. The emissions presented for the years
   1900 through 1939 are taken from two reports on
   historic emissions.2'3 The emissions presented for
   these years in  the Trends report are unchanged
   from the  emissions  presented  in past Trends
   reports.

   This chapter presents a general description of the
   methodologies  used  to estimate the  emissions
   presented in this report, as identified by the period
   of years for which each methodology is most often
   applied.    More  detailed descriptions  of these
   methodologies are  presented  in  the  Trends
   Procedure Manual.4

   Apart from applying the major methodologies, the
   emissions presented in this report have undergone
   additional revisions.   These revisions  include
   incorporation of current information, refinements
   in the methodology, and changes in priorities.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-1
Methodology

-------
These revisions, as well as revisions anticipated in
future Trends reports, are presented in this section.

The 1993 emissions are presented in this report at
the region,  state,  county, nonattainment,  and
seasonal level  for various tier  level categories.
Brief descriptions of the methodologies  used to
create  these  spatial  and  temporal emissions are
also presented in  this chapter.

In addition to presenting emissions for the current
year and prior  years, the Trends report presents
national emission projections for the years  1996
through 2010. The methodologies used to produce
these projected  emissions are applied according to
the following source categories: highway vehicles,
electric utilities,  and  all  other  sources.   This
chapter includes  a  description  of these  three
projection methodologies.

6.2    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1985
       THROUGH  1993

The CO, NOX, SO2, and VOC emissions presented
in this report for the  years 1985 through 1993
have been  estimated using a methodology based
on the methodology developed for the  Interim
Inventories, with  several  exceptions. The Interim
methodology was  developed  to  produce  the
inventories for the years 1987 through 1991 and is
presented  in  the Regional  Interim  Emission
Inventories (1987-1991).1 A similar methodology
was developed for the preparation of a national
1990 PM-10 inventory  as documented in the
Emissions Inventory  for  the National Paniculate
Matter Study.5  In order to generate the necessary
emissions  for  the  Trends report,  the  Interim
methodology has been expanded to generate CO,
NOX, SO2,  and  VOC emissions for the years 1985
and 1986,  as well as PM-10 emissions for the
years 1985 through 1989  and 1991.  The 1992 and
1993 emissions for all pollutants, except Pb, and
all source categories, except for steam generated
fossil-fuel electric utility units, highway vehicles,
wildfire, and most fugitive dust sources, have been
projected from the 1990 emissions using growth
factors created by the EPA's prereleased E-GAS,
version 2.O.6

The lead emissions for the  years  1985 through
1992 have been estimated using the methodologies
presented in  section 6.3  of this  report.  The
weighted emission factors and control efficiencies
were assumed to be constant from  1990 to 1993.
The 1993 preliminary  estimates were made by
growing the 1992  activity data by one  of two
methods applied  to   the  appropriate  source
category. The first of these two methods used a
quadratic regression  with weighted 20-year
specific source category activity data.  The other
method used  a linear regression with weighted
7-year activity data.   This second method was
applied to source categories where the trend in the
activity data has changed significantly over the
past 10 years.

A summary description of the methodology used
to generate the  emissions for the years 1985
through  1993  is presented in this section. This
methodology is described in  detail in the 1993
Trends Procedures Manual.4

6.2.1  Fuel Combustion

The emissions included in the  fuel combustion
category fall under three Tier 1 source categories:

   FUEL COMBUSTION ELECTRIC UTILITY,
   FUEL COMBUSTION INDUSTRIAL, AND
   FUEL COMBUSTION OTHER.

The methodologies used to generate the CO, NOX,
PM-10, SO2, and VOC emissions are described for
the electric utilities category (section 6.2.1.1) and
for the industrial and other categories, combined
(section 6.2.1.2). Lead emissions were determined
for the years  1985  through  1992  by using the
methodology described in section 6.3 and for 1993
by using the methodology  described in the
introduction to section  6.2.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              6-2
                                     Methodology

-------
6.2.1.1   Electric Utility Units

The emissions from  the combustion of fuel by
electric  utilities  have been divided  into  two
classifications:  (1) steam  generated fossil-fuel
units (an electric utility unit is a boiler) and (2)
nonsteam generated fossil-fuel units such as gas
turbines  (GT)  and  internal  combustion   (1C)
engines.  Two very different methodologies have
been used to estimate the emissions for these two
classes; each is  described  separately in  this
section.   More  detailed  descriptions  of the
methodologies are  presented  in  the Trends
Procedures Manual.4

6.2.1.1.1 Fossil-Fuel Steam  Electric  Utility
Units — The emissions  from fossil-fuel  steam
electric  utility units for the years  1985 through
1992  have been based on four basic factors: (1)
fuel  consumption, (2) emission factor, which
relates the  quantity  of fuel consumed  to the
quantity of pollutant  emitted, (3)  fuel
characteristics, such as sulfur content, ash content,
and  heating  value of fuels, and (4) control
efficiency, which indicates the amount of pollutant
not removed by the use of  control devices.   The
fuel consumption characteristics  and control
efficiencies were obtained at the boiler-level, while
the emission  factors were specified at  the SCC-
level. The 1993 emissions were extrapolated from
the 1992 boiler-level emissions based  on plant-
level 1993   fuel  consumption.   These   two
methodologies are explained below.

It should be  noted that these estimates  do not
include emissions from  the  combustion of
anthracite coal which  accounts for a very small
percentage (< 1%) of the overall emissions  from
fuel combustion by fossil-fuel steam electric utility
units.

6.2.1.1.1.1    1985 through 1992.  The boiler-
level  fuel consumption  and other data  were
obtained from the Steam-Electric Plant Operation
and Design Report (Form EIA-767),7 collected and
published annually by the Energy Information
Agency (EIA) of the U.S. Department of Energy
   (DOE).  This form provided  sulfur content and
   SO2 control efficiency data necessary to estimate
   the SO2  emissions,   as  well  as  ash  content
   necessary to estimate the PM-10 emissions.  In
   cases  where more  than one fuel type was
   consumed by an individual boiler, the EIA-767
   data were specific to the fuel type.

   In order to associate the boiler-level data with the
   appropriate emission factor, an SCC was assigned
   to each boiler and fuel type.  These assignments
   were made  based on  the  fuel type, boiler firing
   configuration, and boiler bottom type. Emission
   factors were obtained from the EPA's Compilation
   of Air  Pollutant Emission Factors (AP-42),8 and
   were both SCC- and pollutant-specific.

   Although the NOX control efficiency  was  not
   included in  the  EIA-767 data, this  value was
   calculated for each boiler based on the  assumption
   that the boiler  was   controlled  such  that  the
   emission rate was equal to its regulatory limit.

   The SO2 emissions were computed as controlled
   emissions assuming 100 percent rule effectiveness
   and using  the  sulfur  content  of the  fuel  as
   specified  in the EIA-767  data.   The PM-10
   emissions were computed as controlled emissions
   assuming 100  percent rule effectiveness.   The
   PM-10  control efficiencies were determined by
   using the PM-10 calculator14 and the TSP control
   devices from the EIA-767 data; the ash content of
   the fuel was also specified in the EIA-767 data.
   The NOX emissions were computed as controlled
   emissions assuming 80 percent rule effectiveness.
   The CO and VOC emissions were calculated as
   uncontrolled emissions.   These  algorithms  are
   presented in Table 6-1.

   6.2.1.1.1.2    1993.   Because the EIA-767 data
   were not available for the year 1993, 1992 and
   1993 plant-level  data from the Monthly Power
   Plant Report (Form EIA-759)9 were used to grow
   the 1992  emissions to  the year  1993.   For the
   years 1992 and 1993, the annual fossil-fuel steam
   fuel consumption plant data were obtained from
   the EIA-759 data.  The plant-level ratio of the
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-3
Methodology

-------
1993 fuel  consumption  to the  1992 fuel
consumption was applied as a growth factor to the
1992 fuel consumption, heat input, and emissions
for all pollutants for each boiler within a given
plant.

6.2.1.1.2  Gas  Turbines  and  Internal
Combustion Engines — The 1990 emissions for
GT and 1C engines have been estimated from the
point  source portion of  the  1985 NAPAP
Emissions Inventory10 for the appropriate sources.
These  1990 emissions served  as the base year
from which the  emissions  for the  years  1985
through  1989  and the years 1991 though 1993
were estimated. The emissions for the years 1985
through  1991 were estimated  using  historical
earnings data  complied  by the  Bureau of
Economic Analysis (BEA),  while the 1992 and
1993 emissions  were estimated using  growth
factors  produced by  the  prereleased  E-GAS,
version 2.0.

The methodology used to develop the emissions
for the 1990 base year and the two methodologies
used to estimate  the emissions from the base year
emissions are discussed in section 6.2.1.2. More
detailed  descriptions  of the methodologies are
presented in the  Trends Procedure Manual.4

6.2.1.2    Industrial and Other Combustion

The source categories falling under industrial and
other combustion include the combustion of fuels
for use by industry, commercial establishments,
institutions, and residences.  The 1990 emissions
for these source categories  were generated from
both the nonutility point source  and nonsolvent
area source  portions of  the  1985  NAPAP
Emissions  Inventory.   These  1990 emissions
served as the base year from which the emissions
for the years  1985 through 1989 and the years
 1991 through 1993 were estimated. The emissions
for the years 1985  through  1991 were estimated
using  historical data compiled by  the  BEA or
historic estimates of fuel consumption based on
the DOE's State Energy Data System (SEDS).11
The 1992  and  1993 emissions  were estimated
using growth factors produced by the prereleased
E-GAS, version 2.0.

The methodologies used to generate the emissions
for the 1990 base year and the two methodologies
used to generate the emissions from the base year
are discussed in this  section.   More detailed
descriptions of these methodologies are presented
in the Trends Procedures Manual.4

6.2.1.2.1  1990 Base Year Inventory—The 1985
NAPAP  Emission  Inventory estimates for the
nonutility point sources have been projected to the
year 1990 based on  the growth  in BEA historic
earnings for the appropriate state and industry, as
identified by    the  2-digit  Standard  Industrial
Classification  (SIC)  code.12   In order to remove
the effects of inflation, the  earnings data  were
converted to  1982  constant dollars using the
implicit price  deflator for personal consumption
expenditures (PCE).13 State and SIC-level growth
factors were calculated  as the ratio of the  1990
earnings data to the 1985 earning data.

The area source emissions from the 1985 NAPAP
Emissions Inventory that fall within this category
have been projected to  the  year  1990  based on
BEA historic earnings data, BEA historic
population data, DOE SEDS data, or other growth
indicators.   The specific growth  indicator was
assigned based on the source category.  The BEA
earnings  data were converted to 1982 dollars as
described above.  The 1990 SEDS data were
extrapolated from data for the years 1985 through
1989.  All growth factors were calculated as the
ratio of the 1990 data to the 1985 data for the
appropriate growth indicator.

When  creating  the  1990  emissions inventory,
changes were  made  to emission factors, control
efficiencies,  and  emissions  from the  1985
inventory for both the nonutility and area sources.
The PM-10 control efficiencies were obtained
from the PM-10 Calculator.14  Details of these
changes are presented  in the Trends Procedures
Manual,4 as well as  the reports documenting the
Interim Inventories and  1990 PM-10  inventory.1'
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              6-4
                                    Methodology

-------
In addition, rule effectiveness which was  not
applied in the 1985 NAPAP Emission Inventory,
was applied to the 1990 emissions estimated for
the nonutility point sources.  The CO, NOX, and
VOC point source controls were assumed to be 80
percent effective; PM-10 and SO2 controls were
assumed to be 100 percent effective.

The 1990 emissions for CO, NOX, SO2, and VOC
were  calculated using the  following  steps:
(1) projected  1985 controlled emissions to 1990
using the appropriate growth factors, (2) calculated
the uncontrolled emissions  using control
efficiencies from the  1985  NAPAP Emission
Inventory,  and  (3)  calculated the  final 1990
controlled  emissions using revised  control
efficiencies and the appropriate rule effectiveness.
The 1990 PM-10 emissions were calculated using
the TSP emissions  from  the  1985 NAPAP
Emission Inventory.  The 1990 uncontrolled TSP
emissions were estimated in the same manner as
the other pollutants.  From these  TSP emissions,
the 1990 uncontrolled  PM-10  estimates were
calculated by  applying SCC-specific uncontrolled
particle size distribution factors.8   The controlled
PM-10 emissions were estimated in the same
manner  as  the other pollutants.   Because  the
majority of area source emissions for all pollutants
represented uncontrolled emissions, the second and
third steps were not required to estimate the 1990
area source emissions.

6.2.1.2.2 1985 through 1989 and 1991 — The
 1990 emissions served as the base year emissions;
these emissions were used  to generate  the
emissions for the years 1985 through 1989 and for
the year 1991. The methodologies developed to
produce the CO, NOX, SO2, and VOC emissions
for the  Interim  inventory  were  applied  to  the
PM-10 emissions.

The  changes  in the  nonutility point  source
emissions  were  equated with the changes  in
historic earnings by state and industry. Emissions
from  each  point source in  the  1985 NAPAP
Emissions Inventory   (excluding   steam  electric
 utilities) were projected to the years 1987 through
   1991 based on the growth in earnings by industry
   (2-digit SIC code).  Historical earnings data from
   BEA's Table SA-512 were used to represent growth
   in earnings from 1985 through 1990.   (Earnings
   data from a  different BEA source, Table SQ-5
   discussed below, were  used to  estimate 1991
   emissions.) Table SA-5 historical annual earnings
   data are by state and industry.

   The 1985 through  1990 earnings  data in Table
   SA-5  are in nominal dollars.  In order to  be used
   to estimate growth, these values were converted to
   constant dollars to remove the effects of inflation.
   Earnings data for each year were converted  to
   1982  constant  dollars using the  implicit price
   deflator for personal consumption expenditures
   (PCE).13 The PCE deflators used to convert each
   year's earnings data to 1982 dollars are:
     Year
1982 PCE Deflator
     1985
     1987
     1988
     1989
     1990
       111.6
       114.3
       124.2
       129.6
       136.4
   Several BEA categories did not contain a complete
   time series  of data for the years  1985 through
   1990.  Because the SA-5 data must contain 1985
   earnings  and earnings for each inventory year
   (1987 through 1990) to be useful for estimating
   growth, a log linear regression equation was used
   to fill in missing data elements where possible.
   This regression procedure was  performed on all
   categories that were missing at least one data point
   and which contained at least  three  data points in
   the time series.

   Each record in the point source inventory  was
   matched  to the BEA earnings data based on  the
   state and the 2-digit SIC.  Table 6-2 shows  the
   BEA earnings category used to project growth for
   each of  the 2-digit  SICs  found  in  the 1985
   NAPAP  Emission  Inventory.   No  growth in
   emissions was assumed for all point sources for
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-5
         Methodology

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which the matching BEA earnings data were not
complete.  Table 6-2  shows the national average
growth and earnings by industry from Table SA-5.

At the time the Interim Inventory was compiled,
1991  BEA  earnings data were not  available in
Table  SA-5.   Earnings data  from  BEA
Table SQ-515 were used to estimate emissions for
1991.  Table  SQ-5 contains historical  quarterly
earnings data by state and 1-digit SIC. These data
were converted to an annual constant dollars basis.

The 1991  quarterly  earnings  data were  first
summed to compute annual totals.   Because the
PCE deflator  used to convert  to constant 1982
dollars was not  available for 1991, a 1987 PCE
deflator13 was used to convert the 1990 and 1991
earnings data from Table SQ-5 to a 1987 constant
dollar basis.  The PCE deflators are as follows:
  Year
1987 PCE Deflator
  1990
  1991
      114.7
      119.3
The  1991 inventory  was  then developed by
growing the 1990 inventory based on the changes
in State industry earnings (by 1-digit SIC) from
1990 to  1991.   National  average  growth  in
earnings by industry is shown below in Table 6-3.

The changes in the area source emissions were
equated with  the  changes in the same growth
indicators used to generate  the  1990 emissions.
The growth indicators based on BEA earnings data
were applied  in the  same manner as described
above for the point source emissions.  All growth
factors were calculated as the ratio of the data for
the  specific  year to  the  1990  data for  the
appropriate growth indicator.

The emissions for all pollutants  for a given year
between  1985  and  1991  were calculated by
applying  the  appropriate  growth factors  to the
1990 base year emissions.  The 1985 emissions
estimated by this method do not match exactly the
1985 NAPAP  Emissions  Inventory  due to the
changes made when creating the 1990 emissions
(e.g., the application of rule effectiveness or the
application of updated emission factors).

6.2.1.2.3  1992 and 1993 — The 1992 and  1993
emissions for all pollutants were estimated by
applying growth factors to the 1990 emissions.
The growth factors  were obtained  from the
prereleased  E-GAS, version 2.0.  The E-GAS
generates  growth factors  at the  SCC-level for
counties representative of all counties within each
ozone nonattainment area classified as serious and
above  and  for counties  representative of all
counties within both the attainment portions and
the marginal and moderate nonattainment areas
within each state.  The appropriate growth factors
were applied by county and SCC to the 1990
emissions.

There  are approximately 150 representative
counties in E-GAS and 2000 SCCs present in the
base year inventory.  This yields a matrix of
300,000 growth factors generated to determine a
single year's inventory. To list all combinations
would  be inappropriate.   A subset  of growth
factors was extracted from the E-GAS output files
based on those  SCCs with  growth factors greater
than 1.1 (i.e., 10 percent or greater increase) or
less than 0.8 (i.e., 20 percent or greater decrease).
From this list  Table 6-4  was  generated by
grouping  the SCCs into   Tier  1 and Tier 2
subcategories.  The  reader is cautioned that the
growth factors for these source categories could
have been applied to small emissions for one SCC
in one county or  to large  emissions for several
SCCs in several counties.  The overall growth
factors are  best illustrated by the  changes in
emissions presented  at the  Tier 3 subcategory in
Appendix A, Tables  A-l to A-5.

6.2.2 Transportation

The emissions included in  the general heading of
transportation  fall  under  two Tier  1 source
categories:  highway vehicles  and off-highway.
The off-highway category includes the emissions
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              6-6
                                                          Methodology

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from off-highway vehicles and equipment as well
as aircraft,  commercial marine vessels, and
railroads. The methodologies used to estimate the
emissions for the two tier categories are described
separately.  Lead emissions were determined for
the years 1985  through 1992 by the methodology
described in section 6.3 and for  1993 by the
methodology described  in  the introduction  to
section 6.2.

6.2.2.1   Highway Vehicles

Highway vehicles emissions have been estimated
for every year  from 1970 through 1993.  These
annual emissions  were  based  on  county-level
VMT and  emission factors.    Emissions  were
estimated  for the following  eight  vehicle
categories:

•  light-duty gasoline vehicles (LDGV),
•  light-duty diesel  vehicles (LDDV),
•  light-duty gasoline trucks-1 (LDGT-1 [trucks
      less than 6,000 pounds in weight]),
•  light-duty gasoline trucks-2 (LDGT-2
       [6,000 to 8,500 pounds in weight]),
•  light-duty diesel  trucks (LDDT),
•  heavy-duty  diesel trucks (HDDT),
•  heavy-duty  gasoline trucks (HDGT), and
•  motorcycles (MC).

6.2.2.1.1  VMT Data — Annual VMT  data for
the years 1980 through 1993 were obtained  from
the Federal Highway Administration's  (FHWA)
highway performance monitoring system (HPMS)
data base.17   The  data are specifed by  state,
vehicle type, and roadway type. Using population
data from  the 1980  census,18 the  data  were
distributed among the counties.  For the years
 1970 through 1979, the state-level VMT data were
obtained from  FHWA's Highway Statistics19 and
 apportioned to  the counties based  on the
 distribution of  the 1980  county-level VMT  data.
 The data for all years were then apportioned from
 the HPMS vehicle categories to the eight vehicle
 classes listed above using allocations provided by
 the EPA's Office of Mobile  Sources  (QMS).
   The  resulting annual county-level vehicle  and
   roadway type specific VMT data were temporally
   allocated to months.  Seasonal NAPAP temporal
   allocation factors20  were used  to  apportion the
   VMT to the  four seasons.   Monthly VMT data
   were obtained using a ratio between the number of
   days in a month and the number of days in the
   corresponding season.

   6.2.2.1.2  CO, NO,, VOC Emission Factors —
   County-level  emission factors for CO, NOX, and
   VOC were  calculated  using  the MOBILESa
   model,21 which is designed to estimate exhaust and
   evaporative emission factors for highway vehicles.
   To calculate  the emission factors  for each year
   from  1970  through 1993,  the model  utilized
   information on state-level monthly maximum and
   minimum temperatures, nine  vehicle  speeds,
   national vehicle registration distributions, gasoline
   volatility given in terms of in-use Reid vapor
   pressure  (RVP),  and  county-level I/M and
   oxygenated fuels  programs.  The Federal Test
   Procedure (FTP) operating mode was modeled at
   all speeds. The states of Colorado, New Mexico,
   and Utah were modeled as high altitude, while all
   other states were modeled as low altitude.

   The  state-level temperature  data were based on
   data  from the National  Climatic  Data Center.22
   Monthly temperature data from a selected city for
   each year were used to represent a state's average
   temperature.   The national vehicle  registration
   distributions  for each year  were  based  on the
   number of cars in operation by model year23, sales
   data24, and automobile survival rates.25 The in-use
   RVP data for each year were obtained from OMS
   based on January and July fuel  survey data from
   the  American  Automobile  Manufacturers
   Association  (AAMA).26  Using guidance from
   OMS, these  data were allocated and weighted to
   obtain  state-level January  and July RVP data.
   These data were then allocated to a monthly basis
   using American Society for Testing and Materials
   (ASTM) fuel volatility  guidelines by state  and
   month.27   Information  concerning  the
   characteristics  and implementation  of I/M
   programs was obtained from the most recent I/M
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-7
Methodology

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program summaries.28 Information on the months
and areas for which the oxygenated fuel program
was modeled was provided by OMS.

The emission standards and fuel requirements in
California are  different  from  those for the
remainder of the United States.  Therefore, the
California emission  factors  were  generated
separately using  an OMS-modified version of
MOBILESa adapted to simulate the California
fleet.   In order to more accurately represent the
temperature conditions for California, the state was
divided into two regions and emission factors were
produced independently for each region.

6.2.2.1.3  PM-10 and SO2 Emission Factors —
National 1990 PM-10 exhaust emission factors
were  developed  independently  for gasoline
vehicles and for diesel  vehicles.  The PM-10
emission factors for gasoline vehicles were based
on TSP emission factor data by vehicle type and
model year.29  The emission factors for diesel
vehicles by vehicle type and model year were also
based  on TSP emission factor data and on diesel
fraction of VMT.30  A single TSP emission factor
was  developed  for  each  of  the five  gasoline
vehicle classes and the three diesel vehicle classes
using travel fractions from MOBILES31 to weigh
the TSP  emission factors  by model  year and
technology  type.    From  these  TSP emission
factors, the  PM-10  emission factors  were
developed using  the  PM-10 particle size
multipliers8.

The 1984 PM-10 exhaust emission factors were
generated by the same methodology used for the
 1990 emission factors.  The differences between
emission  factors for 1984 and 1990 are due to
changes in the mix of the vehicle technologies.

The final PM-10 emission factors include AP-42
emission  factors accounting  for tire  wear and
brake  wear.  The emission factors for all other
years  between the 1970  and 1993  were
interpolated from the 1984 and 1990  emission
factors.
National SO2 emission factors were generated for
every year between  1970 and 1993  using  the
parameters used to calculate the motor vehicle S02
emission factors  in AP-42.  The SO2  emission
factors are based on the fuel sulfur content, fuel
density, and fuel economy.  Of these parameters,
the fuel economy varied from year to year.  In
addition, the sulfur content of diesel fuel changed
in 1993.

6.2.2.2    Off-highway

This category includes the  estimated emissions
from aircraft,  commercial marine vessels,
railroads, and all  other off-highway vehicles and
equipment. The methodology used to generate the
emissions  for these sources is described in this
section.

6.2.2.2.1  1990 Base Year Inventory — The 1990
emissions  from  aircraft,  commercial  marine
vessels, and railroads have been estimated from
the area source  portion  of the  1985  NAPAP
Emission Inventory by the process described in
section  6.2.1.2.   The basis for  the 1990 off-
highway emissions  was  emission  inventories
prepared by  OMS  for 27  nonattainment areas
(NAAs).  These inventories were combined and
used to create  national county-level emissions.
These emissions were classified by equipment and
engine type in the OMS inventories and  were
distributed to the appropriate off-highway vehicle
SCCs.   The  OMS inventories did  not  contain
emissions  for SO2  and,  therefore,  none  were
included for the  off-highway SCCs.   It was
assumed, based on the emissions from the 1985
NAPAP Emissions  Inventory,  that the S02
emissions  for  these  SCCs  were  very small
(< 92,000 short tons/year).

5.2.2.2.2  1970  to 1989 and 1991 — The off-
highway emissions for the years  1970 through
1989 have been  based on  the 1990 estimates.
Historic E-GAS  growth factors were obtained by
Bureau  of Labor Statistics  (BLS)  codes and
correlated  to the off-highway SCCs.32  These
factors  were applied to  the 1990 emissions
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              6-8
                                    Methodology

-------
according to the methodology described in section
6.2.1.2.3.

6.2.2.2.3  1992 and 1993 — The  off-highway
emissions for  the  years  1992 and  1993  were
grown  from the 1990 estimates  using E-GAS
growth factors  according to  the  methodology
described in section 6.2.1.2.3.

6.2.3  Industrial Processes

The  industrial processes  category includes the
estimated emissions for the following Tier I source
categories:

   CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
       MANUFACTURING,
   METALS PROCESSING,
   PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
   OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
   SOLVENT UTILIZATION
       (INDUSTRIAL AND NONINDUSTRIAL), AND
   STORAGE AND TRANSPORT.

 The CO, NOX, PM-10, SO2, and VOC emissions
 for these source categories, excluding the area
 source solvent utilization  sources,  have  been
 produced by the methodology described in section
 6.2.1.2. This includes all  emissions based on the
 nonutility point source and nonsolvent area source
 emissions from the  1985  NAPAP Emission
 Inventory.  Lead emissions were determined for
 the years 1985 through 1992 by the methodology
 described in section 6.3  and for  1993 by the
 methodology  described  in  the introduction  to
 section 6.2.  The methodology used to estimate the
 emissions for  area  source solvent utilization  is
 presented in this section.

 The emissions from solvent utilization were based
 on a national material balance of  the total point
 and area source solvent consumption.  The 1989
 national solvent consumption  data were obtained
 from three  sources.33'34'35  The national solvent
 emissions were  calculated by subtracting the
 quantity of solvent transferred to  waste
 management operations36 and  the  quantity  of
   solvent  destroyed  by  air pollution  controls10'37
   from the total solvent consumption.

   The  1989 national  solvent emissions  were
   apportioned to states and counties using data from
   the 1988 census data base.38'39'40  Specific census
   measures such as population or employment were
   used for each solvent end-use category. State and
   local regulations covering solvent emissions, along
   with control efficiencies, rule effectiveness, and
   rule penetration were then applied to the county-
   level emissions.41'42

   The  1989  county-level solvent  emissions  were
   projected to  1990 using BEA earnings data as
   previously  described  in section  6.2.1.2.    The
   resulting 1990 solvent emission inventory included
   emissions from  both area and point sources.  The
   1990 county-level point source solvent emissions
   estimated as  described in  section 6.2.1.2  were
   subtracted from the total solvent inventory to yield
   the 1990 area source solvent emissions.  These
   estimates were projected to the years 1985 through
   1989 and the years  1991 through 1993 by the
   method described in section  6.2.1.2.

   6.2.4  Remaining Categories

   The "Remaining Categories" grouping includes the
   estimated  emissions  for three Tier I source
   categories:

      WASTE DISPOSAL AND RECYCLING,
      NATURAL SOURCES, AND
      MISCELLANEOUS.

   The  emissions  for the natural sources  category
   included here are from geogenic sources producing
   PM-10 from wind erosion.   The  miscellaneous
   category is  divided into   four  subcategories:
   agriculture and forestry, other combustion, fugitive
   dust, and health services.

   The CO, NOX, PM-10, SO2, and VOC'emissions
   for the years 1984 through  1993 from all  source
   categories,  except for  those listed below, were
   produced  using the methodology  described  in
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-9
Methodology

-------
section  6.2.1.2.  Lead emissions  for  the  waste
disposal and recycling sources were determined
for  the years  1985 through  1992  by  the
methodology described in section 6.3 and for 1993
by the methodology described in the introduction
to section 6.2.  This section presents a description
of the methodology used to estimate the emissions
for the following tier categories:

   NATURAL SOURCES
       Geogenic
          wind erosion
   MISCELLANEOUS
       Agriculture  and Forestry
          agricultural crops and agricultural
              livestock
       Other Combustion
          forest fires/wildfires
          prescribed/slash and managed burning
          fugitive  dust.

More detailed  descriptions  of the methodologies
used to produce these emissions are presented in
the Trends Procedure Manual.4

6.2.4.1    Natural Sources, Geogenic, Wind
          Erosion

The PM-10 emissions for the years 1985  through
1993 from the wind erosion of agricultural lands
were made  using  a modified version  of  the
NAPAP methodology.43  Monthly emissions were
estimated from the acres of crops planted,  the
number  of seconds,  and the  dust  flux.   The
expected dust  flux was based on  the probability
distribution of wind energy, the mean wind speed
and  the coefficient of drag.

The probability distribution of wind energy was
determined from the  mean  wind speed  and the
threshold velocity which was, in turn, determined
from the threshold friction velocity. The threshold
friction velocity  was a function of soil type  and
precipitation.  Monthly meteorological data for
average wind  speed, total precipitation,  and
anemometer height (used in the calculation of the
coefficient of drag) were obtained for each state.22
Assignments of soil type were made for each state
based  on information from U.S. Department of
Agriculture (USDA) surface soil map.44 Based on
this  information and  the assumption that wind
erosion is zero from the time of plant emergence
until harvest, fugitive dust emission fluxes were
calculated.

The  monthly precipitation  value is critical  in
determining the dust flux from agricultural soils.
Once the total monthly precipitation value exceeds
5.08 cm, an "after precipitation" threshold friction
velocity is used to calculate  the dust flux for that
month.   For  most  soil  types,  the  "after
precipitation" threshold friction  velocity  is
substantially higher than the "before precipitation"
value,  because precipitation  acts to "cement" soil
grains  together, thus increasing the wind velocity
required to initiate erosion.   The wind velocity
required to initiate wind erosion must equal or
exceed the  threshold  friction  velocity.  The
average wind speed  is related to the threshold
friction velocity by the probability distribution for
wind energy.   Thus,  by raising the threshold
friction velocity required to initiate wind erosion,
the probability that wind erosion will  occur is
reduced, since it requires a  higher wind energy.
In terms  of probability  theory,  a higher wind
energy is further out on the probability distribution
curve.   The overall effect  of  the "before"  and
"after" precipitation change  in the  threshold
friction velocity is to provide an "on/off function
(i.e., a step function) to the calculation of wind
erosion  at  equivalent average  monthly wind
speeds.

6.2.4.2   Miscellaneous, Agriculture and
          Forestry

The  methodology used to estimate the emissions
from agricultural crops and livestock are described
in this section.

6.2.4.2.1  Agricultural Crops — The PM-10
emissions for the years 1985 through 1993 were
estimated using the  AP-42  emission factor
equation for agricultural tilling.8 The activity data
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                               6-10
                                     Methodology

-------
for this calculation were the acres of land planted.
The emission factor, expressed in terms of the
mass  of TSP produced  per  acre-tilled was
corrected by the  following constant parameters:
the  silt  of the surface soil,  the particle size
multiplier, and the number of tillings per year.

6.2.4.2.2  Agricultural Livestock —  The  1990
emissions  from  agricultural  livestock were
determined from activity data, expressed in terms
of the number of heads of cattle38 and a  national
PM-10 emission factor.45  The emissions for the
years 1985 through 1991 were produced using the
methodology described for area source emissions
in section 6.2.1.2.2. The emissions for the years
1992  and  1993  were produced using E-GAS
growth factors as described in section 6.2.1.2.3.

6.2.4.3    Miscellaneous,  Other Combustion

The emissions  for  the  miscellaneous,  other
combustion category include agricultural burning,
forest fires/wildfires, prescribed/slash andmanaged
burning, and structural fires.  The emissions from
agricultural burning  and  structural  fires  were
produced  using  the  methodology described  in
section  6.2.1.2.    The  methodologies  used  to
estimate the emissions for forest fires/wildfires and
prescribed/slash  and  managed  burning are
described below.

6.2.4.3.1  Forest Fires/Wildfires  —  The
emissions for the wildfire category were generated
for the   years 1990  through  1993  using the
methodology described in section 6.3.4.2. For the
years 1990 through 1992, the number  of acres
burned  was obtained  according  to  this
 methodology. For the 1993 emissions, the number
 of acres burned were determined by summing the
 1993 Department of Interior (DOI) acreage data46
 and the USDA Forest Service acreage data47'48
 averaged over the years 1990 through 1992.

 The emissions for the years  1985  through  1989
 were estimated by the methodology described in
 section 6.2.1.2.
   6.2.4.3.2  Prescribed/Slash and  Managed
   Burning — The emissions for all pollutants were
   based on the 1989 USDA Forest Service inventory
   of particulate matter from prescribed burning.49
   This inventory contains state-level emissions for
   CO, PM-10,  and  VOC.   The  NOX  and SO2
   emissions were calculated by assuming the ratio
   between the CO emissions to either  the NOX or
   SO2 emissions in the Forest Service inventory was
   equal to the  corresponding ratio  using the  1985
   NAPAP Emission Inventory.  The resulting  1989
   emissions for CO, NOX, PM-10, SO2, and VOC
   have been used for all years between 1985 and
   1993.

   6.2.4.4   Miscellaneous, Fugitive Dust

   The PM-10 fugitive dust emissions  arise  from
   construction  activities, mining  and  quarrying,
   paved road resuspension, and unpaved roads. The
   general methodology  used  for  these categories
   estimated the  emissions  by using  an activity
   indicator, an emission factor, and one or more
   correction factors.   The activity indicator for a
   given category varied from year to year as may
   the overall correction factor.

   6.2.4.4.1  Construction Activities —  The PM-10
   emissions for the years 1985 through 1992 were
   calculated from an emission factor, an estimate of
   the acres of  land under construction,  and the
   average duration  of construction  activity.50  The
   acres of land under construction were estimated
   from the dollars spent on  construction.51  The
   PM-10 emission  factor was  calculated from the
   TSP emission factor  for  construction obtained
   from AP-42 and the PM-10/TSP ratio.45

   The 1993 emissions were extrapolated from the
   1992  emissions  using  the   ratio between the
   numbers of residential and  nonresidential
   construction  permits  issued in   1993  and the
   numbers issued in 1992.

   6.2.4.4.2  Mining and Quarrying—  The PM-10
   emissions for the years 1985 through 1992 were
   the  sum  of the  emissions   from metallic  ore,
 Nati°nal Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-11
Methodology

-------
nonmetallic ore,  and coal  mining  operations.
These PM-10 emissions arise from the following
activities: (1) overburden removal, (2) drilling and
blasting,  (3) loading  and  unloading, and (4)
overburden replacement.  Emissions from transfer
and conveyance operations, crushing and screening
operations, and storage and travel on haul roads
were not included.

To calculate the  emissions from metallic ore
mining, the PM-10 emission factors for copper ore
processing  operations8'52  were  applied to all
metallic  ores.   The  PM-10 emission factors for
western  surface coal  mining53  were used to
estimate the emissions from both nonmetallic ore
and coal mining.

The activity data for the metallic and nonmetallic
mining  was obtained from the Bureau of Mines,
U.S. DOI.54  The coal mining activity data was
obtained from the U.S. DOE.55

The  1993  PM-10  emissions  were  produced
through a linear projection of the emissions for the
years 1985 through 1992.

6.2.4.4.3   Paved Road Resuspension   —  The
calculation of total PM-10 emissions for the years
 1985 through 1993 were based on the paved road
VMT, a  AP-42 base  emission factor,  and two
correction factors: road surface silt loading and the
number  of dry days.22 A dry day is defined as
any day with less than 0.1 inches of precipitation.
This  term attempts  to account for the effect of
precipitation. Surface silt loading values by paved
road  functional  classes and EPA region  were
determined using an  empirical  model  based on
traffic volume.56

Total VMT data for the years 1985 through  1992
were obtained by EPA region and road functional
class.19   The total preliminary  1993 VMT  data
were obtained by EPA region and two road  types
 (urban and rural). The rural and urban VMT data
were apportioned to the  road functional classes
using the distribution of the 1992 VMT data. The
VMT from paved  roads  for each year  was
calculated by subtracting the unpaved road VMT
(see section 6.2.4.3.6)  from the total VMT for
each year.

The base emission factor used in the calculation of
total PM-10 emissions from paved roads accounts
for the emissions from the vehicle (tailpipe, brake
wear,  and  tire  wear) as  well as from  the
interaction between  the  vehicle and the  road
surface.  The fugitive dust category includes only
those emissions from the road surface and not the
vehicle.  For this reason, the PM-10 emissions for
highway  vehicles calculated  as  described  in
section  6.2.2.1 and distributed  to paved roads
using VMT data were  subtracted from the total
PM-10 emissions  for paved roads.   The results
were the PM-10 fugitive dust emissions for paved
roads.

6.2.4.4.4  Unpaved Roads  — The total  PM-10
emissions for the years  1985 through 1992 were
based on the unpaved roads VMT data, a AP-42
base TSP  emission  factor, and the following
correction  factors: particle size multiplier,  silt
content of road surface material,58 mean vehicle
speed,  mean vehicle weight,  mean  number of
wheels,57 and  the  number of dry days.22  Mean
vehicle  speeds were assigned to each unpaved
road functional class. The number of dry days is
defined in the  same manner as for estimating the
paved road estimates. The VMT data for unpaved
roads were obtained for rural and  urban road
functional classes  excluding local types and for
local road types.19'59

As with  the PM-10 emissions from paved roads,
the emissions from highway  vehicles must be
subtracted from the total emissions determined by
the method described above in order  to yield the
PM-10 fugitive dust emissions from unpaved roads
and to  prevent the double-counting  of vehicle
emissions.  The highway vehicle emissions were
calculated as described in section 6.2.2.1 and were
distributed to unpaved road using VMT data.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              6-12
                                     Methodology

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The 1993  PM-10 emissions were produced by
multiplying the 1992 VMT by the AP-42 emission
factor and  1993 correction factors.

6.3   NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1940
      THROUGH 1984

A top-down estimating procedure has been used to
produce the  criteria pollutant emissions for the
years  1940, 1950, 1960, and 1970 through 1984,
with  several  major  exceptions.   For all
transportation sources, both highway vehicles and
all off-highway transportation, the emissions for
only the years 1940, 1950,  and 1960 have been
produced  using  this methodology.   The lead
emissions have been produced using this
methodology for the years 1970 through 1992.  In
addition,  the  TSP emissions  presented  in
Appendix C  have been  produced  by this
methodology.   The  SO2 emissions for  copper
smelters for the years 1975 to 1984 were obtained
from  the plants as documented by the Argonne
National Laboratories.60

The emissions were estimated either for individual
sources or groups  of sources using three basic
factors: (1) activity indicator which represents the
activity  of  a  source  producing emissions,
(2) emission factor which relates the quantity of
emissions  produced to the activity of the source,
and (3) control efficiency  which quantifies the
amount of pollutant not  emitted  due  to the
presence of control devices.  Depending on the
source  category,  the  activity indicator was
represented by the quantity  of fuel consumed (or
delivered), VMT,  refuse burned,  raw material
processed, or some other measure of production
activity.   The emission factors are quantitative
estimates of the average rate of emissions from
many sources combined and are most valid when
 applied to a large number of sources.  The basic
calculation procedure for most source categories,
 excluding  highway vehicles  and copper smelters,
 is represented by the following equation:
            - A. . EF,,
   where:    E     =  estimated emission
             A     =  activity indicator
             EF    =  emission factor
             C     =  percent control efficiency
             p     =  pollutant
             s      =  source category

   National  activity data  for individual source
   categories  were  obtained  from many  different
   publications.  Emission factors were generally
   obtained from the AP-428, and from MOBILES.31
   Control efficiencies  were  derived  from several
   sources,  depending  on the year for  which  the
   emissions were  being  produced.   For the  years
   1940 through 1984,  the primary source was  the
   National Emissions  Data System (NEDS)
   archives.37

   The following sections describe the methodology
   used for estimating  the annual emissions of all
   criteria pollutants for each major source category
   for the years 1940 through 1984.

   6.3.1  Fuel Combustion

   The fuel combustion category includes emissions
   from the combustion of bituminous, lignite, and
   anthracite coal,  fuel oil,  natural gas,  wood, and
   other fuels  by  electric utilities, industries, and
   other consumers.   The methodologies  for
   estimating  emissions  from this  category  are
   discussed by fuel type.  The only exceptions to
   these methodologies  are  for  the  1980 SO2
   emissions from electric utilities, which have been
   taken directly from the 1980 NAPAP Emissions
   Inventory.61

   6.3.1.1    Coal

   The emissions from  coal combustion were based
   on the consumption of bituminous, lignite,  and
   anthracite coal by various end users.62'63  Most
   coal  was consumed by electric utilities.   The
   reported consumption  by  source  category was
   multiplied by   an  average emission factor
   representative of each  category.  To produce the
   SO2 emissions,  the  emission factor included an
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Methodology

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average sulfur content value for each type of coal
consumed.64  In addition, the SO2 emission factor
for electric utilities was adjusted to account for the
amount of  sulfur controlled by  flue gas
desulfurization systems.64 In the case of TSP, an
overall control efficiency was obtained from the
NEDS archives for all power plants combined.

6.3.1.2    Fuel Oil

Residual, distillate, and kerosene oil are burned by
electric utilities, industrial boilers, commercial and
institutional boilers and furnaces, and residential
heaters.   Average  emission factors  and sulfur
content values were calculated and applied to the
consumption data reported for each fuel type by
end user.65

6.3.1.3    Natural Gas

The estimated emissions associated with natural
gas combustion were calculated from consumption
data reported for various end-user groups66 and
AP-42 emission factors.

6.3.1.4   Wood and Other Fuels

The emissions estimated for this category were
based  on the consumption of wood  for  wood
stoves and  residential fireplaces,67'68'69  the
consumption of bagasse,37 the  sales of liquified
petroleum gas,70 and the consumption of coke and
coke-oven gas.71  These consumption values were
multiplied by appropriate emission factors obtained
from AP-42.

Lead emissions from the combustion of waste oil
were based  on  information obtained from  the
EPA's Office of Solid Waste.  While the amount
of waste oil burned  was assumed to remain
constant, the Pb content of waste oil was assumed
to  be decreasing  as  a  result  of  the general
reduction in leaded oil and petroleum products.
6.3.2  Transportation

The methodology used to estimate the emissions
produced by highway vehicle and all off-highway
sources is described in this section. This source
category includes  gasoline and diesel-powered
motor vehicles,  aircraft,  railroad, commercial
marine  vessels, and  off-highway use of motor
fuels. The methodology described here has been
used to estimate the emissions for the years 1940,
1950, and 1960.

6.3.2.1    Highway Vehicles

The emissions from gasoline and diesel-powered
motor vehicles  were  based  upon  VMT19  and
emission factors.  Eight vehicle categories were
considered:

•   light-duty gasoline vehicles (LDGV),
•   light-duty diesel vehicles (LDDV),
•   light-duty gasoline trucks-1 (LDGT-1 [trucks
      less than 6,000 pounds in weight]),
•   light-duty gasoline trucks-2 (LDGT-2
       [6,000 to 8,500 pounds in weight]),
•   light-duty diesel trucks (LDDT),
•   heavy-duty diesel trucks (HDDT),
•   heavy-duty gasoline trucks (HDGT), and
•   motorcycles (MC).

Emission factors for VOC, NOX, and CO were
obtained from  the  MOBILES model, which is
designed to be used  as a tool for estimating
exhaust  and evaporative  emission factors for
highway vehicles. The model determines national
emission factors  using  a national  average
maximum and  minimum annual temperature,  a
single gasoline volatility,  three vehicle speeds, and
eight vehicle types.  Emission factors for PM-10
and SO2 were obtained from AP-42. The PM-10
emission factors account for tire wear, brake wear,
and tailpipe exhaust emissions.   The VMT data
were distributed by three vehicle  speeds,  eight
vehicle types, and low and high altitude areas.
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Lead emissions  were  based on  gasoline
consumption,  gasoline Pb  content,8'72 percent
unleaded gasoline,70 and emission factors.

6.3.2.2   Aircraft

The  emissions from aircraft were based on  the
number of landings and take-offs73 and the AP-42
emission factors for  various  types  of aircraft.
Emissions occurring when aircraft are above 3,000
feet  are  not included in the  estimates.   Average
emission factors  were calculated, taking  into
account  the national mix of different  types of
aircraft  used  for general aviation, military, and
commercial purposes.

6.3.2.3   Railroads

The  emissions from railroads were based on diesel
and  residual fuel oil consumption by railroads.65
Coal consumption by steam locomotives has been
negligible since 1955.  Average emission factors
were applied to each type of fuel. To estimate the
S02  emissions, the average sulfur content of each
fuel  was included in the emission factor.

6.3.2.4    Vessels

The  emissions from commercial  marine vessels
were based on the consumption of diesel fuel,
residual oil, and coal by vessels  operating inside
the U.S. boundaries.62'65'70  Gasoline consumption
was  based on national boat and motor registrations
together with usage factors (gallons/motor/year),70
and marine  gasoline sales.19 The estimates of fuel
consumption were multiplied by  AP-42  emission
factors.   In the case  of  coal-fired vessels, an
average emission  factor for coal combustion in
boilers was used.

6.3.2.5    Off-highway

The  off-highway  source category  includes  the
estimated   emissions  from  farm tractors,  other
farm machinery, construction equipment, industrial
machinery,  recreational marine  vessels, motor-
cycles, and small  general utility  engines such as
    lawn mowers and snowmobiles.  Fuel use was
    estimated for each subcategory from equipment
    population data and an  annual fuel  use factor74
    together with fuel deliveries of diesel fuel65 and
    gasoline sales for off-highway use.19

    6.3.3  Industrial Processes

    The industrial processes  source category includes
    the estimated emissions  for the following Tier I
    source categories:

       CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCT
          MANUFACTURING,
       METALS PROCESSING,
       PETROLEUM AND RELATED INDUSTRIES,
       OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES,
       SOLVENT UTILIZATION (BOTH INDUSTRIAL
          AND NONINDUSTRIAL), AND
       STORAGE AND TRANSPORT.

    Production data  for industries that  produce the
    majority of  emissions were obtained  from
    available annual publications;  generally, the
    Minerals Yearbook12 and  Current  Industrial
    Reports15 provided most of the  necessary data.
    Average emission factors were applied to the
    various  production data.   Average  nationwide
    control efficiency values  for  various processes
    were obtained from published reports.76

    Petroleum product  storage  and  petroleum
    marketing operations, including gasoline, crude oil
    and distillate fuel oil storage and transfer, gasoline
    bulk terminals and bulk plants, and retail gasoline
    service  stations,  are  included as  industrial
    processes.    Other processes  included  in  this
    category are  industrial  surface  coating  and
    degreasing operations, graphic arts (printing and
    publishing),  and  dry  cleaners.   All  of  these
    processes involve the use of organic solvents.
    Emissions  from  the  consumption  of  organic
    solvents were estimated from information reported
    by the EPA.77  It was assumed that  all solvents
    consumed  eventually  evaporated  and  were
    uncontrolled, except in surface coating operations
    where some of the organic solvent vapors were
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6-15
Methodology

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controlled.  The control efficiencies  of surface
coating operations were derived from the NEDS
archives.

Sources of emissions from nonindustrial organic
solvent use  include the solvent evaporation from
consumer products such as aerosols, deodorants,
polishes, and  toiletries,  the nonindustrial use of
surface coatings for architectural coating, and the
use of organic  compounds in  products  such as
general cleaning solvents,  paint  removers,  and
liquefaction of asphalt paving compounds.  Total
national organic solvent use was estimated from
chemical production reports, along with estimates
of the percentages of total production represented
by  each chemical used as  a solvent.77'78  It was
assumed that  the  total quantity of each solvent
produced included an offset for the quantity of
solvent lost during production through evaporation.

Lead  emissions from  miscellaneous  industrial
processes include  lead alkyl production (a major
source of Pb)79  and other minor sources such as
type  metal  production, can soldering,  and cable
covering.72  As of the year  1992, lead alkyl is no
longer produced in the United  States.
6.3.4  Remaining Categories

The "Remaining Categories" grouping includes the
emissions for the Tier I categories waste disposal
and recycling and miscellaneous sources.   The
miscellaneous sources subcategories included are:
agricultural burning, coal refuse burning, forest
fires, prescribed burning, and structural fires.

6.3.4.1    Solid Waste Disposal

The emissions for the waste disposal and recycling
category were based  on an assumed per capita
solid waste generation rate of 5.5 pounds per day.
This value was based on a study of solid waste
collection   and disposal  practices.80   Average
AP-42 emission  factors were applied to  the
estimated quantities of solid waste disposal.  The
emissions   were  adjusted each year  based on
information contained in the NEDS  archives.
6.3.4.2    Miscellaneous Sources

This section describes the procedure for estimating
the emissions for the following source categories
falling  under  the  miscellaneous  tier category:
(1) agricultural burning, (2) coal refuse burning,
(3) forest fires,  (4)  prescribed burning, and
(5) structural fires.

The emissions  from  agricultural burning were
based on a study conducted by the EPA to obtain
local agricultural and air pollution control agency
estimates  of the  number of  acres  burned and
quantity of material burned per acre in agricultural
burning operations.81  These data were updated
and used to estimate emissions based on average
emission factors.

The emissions  from coal  refuse burning were
estimated from the number of burning coal-refuse
piles in the United States.82 Detailed information
is  available concerning the nature,  origin, and
extent  of this source of  pollution.   Rough
estimates of the quantity of emissions were made
by  applying average emission factors for coal
combustion. It should be noted that the number of
coal-refuse piles decreased to a negligible level by
1975.

Forest  fire  emissions were  estimated  from
information on the number of forest fires, their
location, and the acreage burned each year.46'47'48
The amount of biomass used to  determine the
quantity of vegetation burned was estimated by the
EPA.81  Average emission factors were applied to
the estimated quantities of vegetation burned.

The emissions from prescribed burning were based
on  information on the  acres burned and the
biomass per acre.83 Emission factors  from AP-42
were applied  to  the  estimated  quantities  of
vegetation burned.

The emissions from structural fires were based on
the number and type  of structures damaged by
fires each year.84  The emissions were estimated
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by applying average emission factors for wood
combustion to these statistics.

6.4   NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1900
      THROUGH 1939

The  national SO2,  NOX,  and  VOC emissions
presented for the years 1900 through 1939 have
been taken from two reports on historic emissions.
The first report contains SO2 and NOX emissions
for the years between 1900 and 1980.2 The VOC
emissions  for the years between 1900 and 1985
are contained in the second.3 For the emissions
presented  in these  reports,  the  term "national"
refers to the contiguous United States.

These reports have also served as the sources of
the emissions for the years  1941 through 1949,
1951 through 1959, and 1961 through 1969.  The
methodologies for estimating the emissions for
these years requires the emissions  for the years
1940, 1950,  1960,  and  1970.   Therefore, the
methodologies described in this section apply to
emissions  for the years  1900 through 1970. It
must be emphasized that the methodology used to
estimate the emissions presented in this report for
the  years  1940,  1950,   1960,  and 1970  are
described in section 6.3.

A summary of the methodologies used to produce
the emissions is presented here, along with the
basic assumptions and  categorizations  used to
estimate these emissions.  Detailed  descriptions,
including explanations of the calculations required
to estimate these  emissions, are found in the
 Trends Procedures Manual.4

6.4.1 Emission Estimation Methodologies for
      Sulfur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxides

The emissions of SO2   and NOX  have  been
 estimated every 5 years from 1900 through 1970
 for specific sources of emissions. The emissions
 for all intervening years between 1900 and 1970
 have been extrapolated from these  previously
 calculated  emissions based  on  changes  in the
 national activity for each source category.
   6.4.1.1    Emissions for Every 5 Years

   The SO2 and NOX emissions have been produced
   for every fifth year beginning in 1900 and ending
   in 1970. The methodologies used to estimate the
   emissions  fall  into  three general groups:
   (1) emissions from the combustion of fuels for
   heat and power,  (2) emissions  from  the
   combustion  of  fuel  for  transportation, and
   (3) emissions from miscellaneous processes. The
   source categories included in each of these general
   groups  are presented in Table 6-5.

   6.4.1.1.1  Fuel Combustion — The emissions in
   this group were categorized by the source category
   and by the  fuel type.   The  emissions were
   determined using a fuel use indicator, a fuel sulfur
   content  (necessary to  estimate SO2  emissions
   only),  and an  emission factor.   The fuel  use
   indicator was the fuel consumption for a specific
   source and fuel type.  There are combinations of
   fuel types and source categories for which no fuel
   use  indicators were available over specific time
   periods.  For those cases, emissions were  not
   estimated.

   The emission factors  were  derived from those
   contained in  AP-42,  up  to  and including
   Supplement 14 to the third edition.85  Emission
   factors  representing a given source category, fuel
   type, and pollutant were weighted averages of the
   AP-42  emission  factors  representing specific
   processes.   The weighting factors  were  the
   quantities of the  specific fuel type consumed by
   each of the processes.

   In  order to estimate  SO2  emissions,  the  sulfur
   content of the fuel burned was required. Because
   sulfur content data are unavailable prior to 1955,
   the  emissions for all years  prior to 1955 were
   made using the 1955 sulfur content data for  all
   fuels. The 1955 coal sulfur contents are estimated
   for each state based on coal quality, quantity, and
   distribution.

   6.4.1.1.2  Transportation  — The  emissions
   produced by  highway vehicles  were divided into
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6-17
Methodology

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two subcategories based on fuel type: gasoline and
diesel.  Emissions were estimated based on the
gasoline  or diesel  fuel  consumption,   fuel
efficiency (for gasoline only), and emission factor.
The fuel efficiency factor correlated the amount of
gasoline consumed to the average number of miles
traveled. A national  average miles per gallon was
estimated for the  year  1935 and  all  years
following, but was held constant for all years prior
to 1935.

Emission factors  were  obtained  from the
MOBILE2 emission  factor model86 for the years
1950 through 1970.   The 1950  emission factors
were used for  the years preceding 1950.  The
factors  for  NOX emissions were derived  to
represent two distinct road types: urban and rural.
The  emission factors  for  gasoline-powered
vehicles were expressed as the amount of pollutant
emitted for every mile traveled.  The emission
factors for diesel-powered vehicles were expressed
as the amount of pollutant emitted for every gallon
of diesel fuel  consumed.   Therefore,  no fuel
efficiency was required to estimate the emissions
from diesel-powered vehicle.

6.4.1.1.3  Industrial  Processes  and Other
Sources — The source subcategories composing
the miscellaneous processes group are presented in
Table 6-5.   With  the exception  of the two
miscellaneous categories, the emissions were based
on an activity  indicator and an emission factor.
The  activity  indicator  specified  the  industrial
output of the process or, in the case of the wildfire
category, the area burned.  The emission factors
were derived from  AP-42.85   Because of the
diverse nature of this group, specific details of the
methodologies used  to calculate the emissions are
discussed for each category individually.

6.4.1.1.3.1    Coke  Plants.   The methodology
used to  estimate  the  uncontrolled  emissions
produced from the  combustion stacks  of coke
plants is similar to that used for  coal combustion.
In place  of the  amount of coal burned,  these
estimates were based on the  amount  of coal
charged into the  coke ovens.  This methodology
accounted for only about 67 percent of the total
SO2 emitted by coke plants.  The remaining 33
percent of the emissions were passed to the coke
oven gas and were  emitted  latter in the steel
manufacturing process.   These  emissions were
categorized  with  miscellaneous  industrial
processes.

6.4.1.1.3.2     Smelters.   The primary  smelters
category consists  of copper,  lead, and zinc
smelters.  The methodology used to estimate the
emissions was based on  the  quantities of ore
smelted and the emission factors.  For the years
prior to  1940, the  quantity of ore  smelted was
estimated using the amount of recoverable metal
produced by the mines in a given  state.  It was
assumed that any ore mined in a given state was
smelted in the same state.  If the given state was
known to have no smelters, then it was assumed
that the ore  was smelted  in  the  nearest state
having a smelter.

The controlled SO2 emissions were determined by
subtracting the amount of SO2 recovered by the
production  of by-product sulfuric acid. Because
only national by-product sulfuric acid production
data were  available, it  was  assumed that the
amount of  SO2  recovered for each  state was
proportional to the smelter output for that state.

6.4.1.1.3.3     Cement Plants.   SO2 and NOX
emissions from cement plants were produced by
both the minerals processed in the kiln and the
combustion  of fuels to heat the kiln.  The activity
indicator used to estimate the emissions  was the
total annual production  of Portland cement by
state. The emission factors were the sum of the
emission factors for  the  mineral sources, the
combustion  of coal, and the combustion of oil.
The emission factors calculated for the year 1955
were used  to estimate  the  emissions  for  all
preceding years.

6.4.1.1.3.4    Wildfires.  Wildfire emissions are
defined as  emissions from  the combustion of
vegetation in any uncontrolled fire.  The activity
indicator for  this  category  was  the  total area
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burned annually in each state.  This information
was available for most states by 1925 and for all
states by 1940. Prior to 1925, the acreage burned
was assumed to be equal to the acreage burned in
1925. The emission factors reflected variations in
vegetation  (e.g.,  woodlands  as  compared  to
grasslands).

6.4.1.1.3.5    Miscellaneous Processes. TheSO2
and  NOX emissions  for  the  two  miscellaneous
source categories,  industrial processes and other
processes, were  estimated by backcasting 1980
emissions  obtained  from the  1984  National
Emissions Report87 using national growth factors.
The growth factors were based on the changes in
the national population.

6.4.1.2    Emissions for Intervening Years

The SO2 and NOX emissions have been estimated
every fifth year from 1900 to 1970 as described in
the preceding section.  For all source categories
representing the combustion of fuels and for coke
plants, the emissions  for each intervening year
have been estimated by equating the  changes  in
the national consumption of the corresponding fuel
to the changes in the emissions.

For the  following fuel  types  and  years,  the
national fuel consumption changed radically and,
therefore,  was not used  to estimate  the  annual
emissions: bituminous coal for the years 1912 and
 1913 and natural gas for the years 1931, 1932, and
 1933.  In these cases, the annual  SO2 and NOX
emissions were  determined using a  linear
interpolation.

For the source categories  grouped as miscella-
neous  processes  (excluding  coke plants),  the
 annual emissions were also calculated by a linear
 interpolation.

 6.4.2  Emission Estimation Methodologies for
       Volatile Organic Compounds

 The national VOC emissions have been estimated
 using activity indicators and emission factors. The
    VOC  emissions were divided into five broad
    source categories, each of which was subdivided
    into more refined subcategories. These categories
    and corresponding  subcategories are presented in
    Table 6-6.

    6.4.2.1    Emissions for Every 5 Years

    The VOC  emissions  have  been  calculated  for
    every  fifth year between  1900 and  1970.   The
    emissions  for the years 1940 through 1970 were
    obtained from  the  1985 Trends  report.80   The
    emissions for the years 1900 through 1935, 1945,
    1955,  and  1965 were based on the national annual
    activity and the national annual emission factor for
    each source category.  In cases where the activity
    indicators contained data from Alaska, Hawaii, or
    the U.S. territories,  the activity indicators for areas
    outside  the  contiguous  United  States were
    subtracted  from the total activity indicators.

    The emission factors for the years 1900 through
    1935,  1945, 1955, and 1965 were extrapolated
    from  the emission factors for the years 1940,
    1950,  1960, 1965,  1970,  1975, 1980, and 1985.
    The emission factors for these years between 1940
    and 1985  were calculated  from  the  estimated
    emissions and the activity indicators obtained from
    the  1985 Trends report.   These  emissions  and
    activity  indicators  were  disaggregated  into  the
    source subcategories given in Table 6-6.

    For some  source  subcategories,  the  emission
    factors were unchanged over the period from 1940
    to 1985.  Therefore, these emission factors were
    used to calculate the corresponding emissions for
    the years prior  to  1940 and for the years 1945,
    1955,  and  1965. For source categories where the
    emission factors changed between the years 1940
    through  1985, the emission factors for  the years
    before 1940 and for the  years  1945, 1955, and
    1965  were  extrapolated  from  these calculated
    emission factors.
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6-19
Methodology

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6.4.2.2    Emissions for Intervening Years

The  emissions for the intervening years were
estimated from the emissions for every fifth year
between  1900  and  1970 and the change in the
corresponding activity indicator for each source
category as presented in Table 6-5.  The activity
data for each year were obtained from the report
of historic SO2 and NOX emissions.2  For source
categories where  population  was  used as  the
activity indicators, the annual  emissions  were
calculated using a linear interpolation.

6.4.2.3    Changes in Estimated Emissions

The  emission  factors for the  source  category
external fuel combustion, subcategory wood have
been changed since the time the original report3
was  published. An adjustment of the erroneously
high emission factor was based on more current
information.  No changes have been made to the
activity indicators for this subcategory. Therefore,
the values published in this report supersede those
presented in the orginal report.3

6.5    EMISSIONS REVISIONS

The estimated emissions presented  in this report
have in some instances been modified from the
emissions presented in previous Trends reports.
These modifications have come about due to the
use  of different methodologies to estimate the
emissions, the refinement  of the methodologies
used for the 1993 Trends report, the availability of
updated  information used to  estimate  the
emissions,  and  the recategorization  of  some
emission source categories.  These  modifications
to the emissions are documented in this section.

6.5.1  Methodological Changes

The emissions presented  in this  report reflect
several major changes in the methodologies used
to estimate the emissions.    These changes are
included in the methodologies  described in the
preceding section of this chapter. The changes in
the methodologies from those used to estimate the
emissions presented in  the  1993 Trends report91
are summarized below.

•   The  Interim  Inventory methodology was
    expanded to include the CO, NOX, and VOC
    emissions for the year 1985.  The previously
    reported emissions  were taken  directly from
    the 1985 NAPAP Emission Inventory, with the
    exception of  the   emissions  for highway
    vehicles, off-highway, and solvent use, and the
    SO2 emissions from steam generated fossil-fuel
    electric utility units.

•   Prior to this report,  the PM-10  emissions for
    the years 1985 through  1992 were estimated
    using the methodology currently  used to
    estimate the emissions  for the years  1940
    through 1984.   For this report,  the PM-10
    emissions for all source  categories, excluding
    fugitive dust sources and forest fires, for the
    years 1985 to the current year were estimated
    using  the  methodology  reported  in the
    Emissions Inventory  for  the National
    Particulate  Matter  Study.5   In  addition, the
    methodology developed  for that study  was
    used  to estimate the fugitive dust emissions
    from cattle feedlots.

•   The methodology for estimating fugitive dust
    PM-10 emissions from paved  and  unpaved
    roads was changed to eliminate the inclusion
    of  tailpipe, brake,   and  tire wear emissions
    produced by  vehicles.    Previously, these
    emissions  had  been included  in both the
    PM-10 fugitive dust  categories and the PM-10
    highway vehicle categories.

•   Emissions from highway vehicles for the years
    1970 through  1993  were estimated using a
    modified method based on the methodology
    used to produce the  1992 emissions presented
    in the 1993 Trends report.91

6.5.2  Other Changes

In  addition  to the  changes  in  methodology
affecting most, if not all,  source categories and
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
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pollutants,  other changes were made  to  the
emissions for specific pollutants, source categories,
and/or  individual sources.   Such changes  are
discussed below.

•  The SO2 emissions from metals processing at
   copper smelters  were modified for the years
   1987 through 1993 by removing the emissions
   from  a facility  demolished  on January 15,
   1987.

•  The PM-10 emissions from electric utilities for
   the years 1940 through 1984  were revised as
   a result of correcting the emission factor for
   bituminous coal.

•  The off-highway emissions for the years 1970
   through 1989 and 1991 for CO, NOX, PM-10,
   and VOC were revised by  adjusting 1990 off-
   highway  nonattainment area  emissions
   obtained from OMS using E-GAS historical
   growth factors.32

•  Several of the  changes to the fugitive dust
   emissions were the result of a recategorization.
   The wind erosion emissions have been moved
   to Tier 1 natural sources, while the remaining
   fugitive  dust  sources  remained  in   Tier  1
   miscellaneous sources.  This  included wind
   erosion fugitive dust  from  surface  mining
   operation, exposed areas (SCC = 3-05-010-49).
   In 1990 these emissions were 157 short tons.
   The fugitive dust emissions from  agricultural
   tilling  were recategorized  under  Tier  2
   agricultural and forestry for agricultural crops.
   The emissions for  cattle  feedlots were
   categorized under the same Tier 2 category for
   agricultural livestock.

 •  The emissions from two SCCs were reassigned
   to different Tier 1 categories.  The emissions
   from logging operations, SCC 23-07-010-000,
   were  moved from  the tier  category other
   industrial processes   wood, pulp & paper, &
   publishing products to  the category
   miscellaneous -  agriculture & forestry.  The
   emissions from carbon black production pellet
       dryer, SCC 3-01-005-07 were moved from the
       tier category storage and transport   organic
       chemical storage to the category chemical and
       allied product manufacturing - other chemical
       manufacturing (carbon black manufacturing).

    •   As  described in section 6.2.4.3.1, the forest
       fire emissions for the years 1990 through 1993
       were made using year specific acreage of land
       burned.    Previously,  the  emissions for the
       years 1990  through  1992 had  been  held
       constant at the 1985 level as taken from the
       1985  NAPAP  Emissions  Inventory.   The
       emissions presented in this report for the years
       1985  through  1989 continued  to  be  held
       constant at the 1985 level.

    •   The  highway vehicle  emission  factors for
       PM-10 and SO2 were revised based on updated
       correction factors.

    •   The  1985 and 1990 emissions  from steam
       generated fossil-fuel electric utility units  were
       estimated based on the updated version of the
       Form EIA-767.   The  1992 emissions  were
       based on the first release version of the Form
       EIA-767  as compared with the  preliminary
       emissions presented in last year's report based
       on the 1992 Form EIA-759.

    •   The prerelease E-GAS, version 2.0 model was
       used  in  place  of the  E-GAS,  version 1.0
       model. The 1992 emissions estimated for last
       year's report  using version  1.0  of the model
       were revised using the growth factors from the
       prereleased version 2.0 of the  model.  The
       sources and  pollutants for which E-GAS was
       used to estimate the 1992 and 1993 emissions
       are specified in section 6.2.

    6.5.3  Future Changes

    One of the future goals in generating the emission
    inventories reported in the Trends report  is the
    incorporation of ozone SIP data reported by the
    states in AIRS.  At the time these emissions were
    being estimated for this report, no SIP data had
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6-21
Methodology

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been approved. When SIP data are approved and
become  available in AIRS, the  SIP data will
replace the data currently used in this report.

6.6    SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL
       EMISSIONS, 1993

Although  the  EPA  has  produced  an  annual
national estimate of emission trends since 1973,
this report is the second in a series which presents
emissions at the county, state, ozone nonattainment
area, and seasonal levels for CO, NOX,  SO2, and
VOC.   Starting with this  year's report,  PM-10
emissions are presented by various geographical
areas.   The spatial and  temporal emissions are
presented for the current  year  of emissions in
section 2.2 and 2.3. The regional emissions are
presented for the years  1985  through 1993 in
section  4.0 of this report.  Lead emissions are
presented only at the regional level in this report.

6.6.1   Spatial Emissions, 1993

The  1993 emissions for  CO, NOX, PM-10,  SO2,
and VOC have been derived at the county level by
the method described in section 6.2, except for the
categories  of forest fires/wildfires and fugitive
dust.  For  the purposes of this section, the  term
fugitive dust  includes  natural sources  and
agricultural crops and excludes point source wind
erosion.   The  procedures  used to estimate the
county-level emissions for the forest fires/wildfires
and fugitive dust categories are summarized in this
section.

The  1993 forest  fire/wildfire  emissions  were
produced at the state level as described in section
6.2 These state emissions were distributed to the
counties using the same pollutant specific county-
level  distributions used  in the  1985 NAPAP
Emissions  Inventory.   For states not  reporting
wildfire emissions in the  1985 NAPAP Emissions
Inventory, Trends wildfire  emissions were
distributed equally  among counties  within the
state. The  fugitive dust emissions were derived at
either the  region or state level as described in
section 6.2.  These estimates were distributed to
    the county level by various methods depending on
    the specific source category.  State-level PM-10
    emissions from agricultural crops were distributed
    to the county level using 1987 county estimates of
    cropland harvested.38 Regional PM-10 emissions
    from construction activities were distributed to the
    county level using county estimates of payroll for
    construction (SICs 15,  16, 17).89  The state-level
    rural and urban PM-10 paved and unpaved road
    emissions  were  distributed  to the county level
    using estimates of county rural  and urban land
    area.102    The natural source  wind  erosion
    emissions were distributed from the state level to
    the county level using the rural land area.102 The
    mining and quarrying emissions were distributed
    equally among counties within the EPA region.

    For all  source categories,  the point and area
    county emissions were  summed to the state level
    and presented in section 2.2.  The  state emissions
    were summed  to the EPA regions as defined in
    Figure 1-1 and presented in section 4.0.

    In the 1993 Trends report, charts  of  typical CO,
    NOX, and VOC emissions in "serious" and  above
    ozone nonattainment areas were  compiled using
    1992 emissions.  This year, sufficiently complete
    1990 base year inventories for six such areas have
    been submitted (but not approved) to the AIRS to
    warrant basing composite emission  profiles on
    these actual  inventory data. These six  areas
    represent the populous  northeast and the
    southwest. As additional base year inventories are
    completed in AIRS, composite profiles in future
    Trends  reports will become  increasingly
    comprehensive. These emissions are presented in
    section 2.2.3 of this report.

    6.6.2  Temporal Emissions, 1993

    The 1993 emissions presented in section 2.3 were
    allocated to  the  four  seasons by three
    methodologies depending on source category. The
    highway emissions for  CO, NOX,  and VOC were
    calculated for each month as described in section
    6.2 and  summed to the seasonal  total.  Electric
    utility, PM-10 and SO2 highway vehicle, and all
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-22
Methodology

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area source emissions were temporally apportioned
using state-level point and area factors obtained
from the 1985 NAPAP methodology.92   Point
source emissions were distributed to the seasons
based on the  1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory
seasonal throughput percentages for each  point.
The seasons  are defined  as  winter (December,
January, February), spring  (March, April, May),
summer  (June, July,  August),   and  autumn
(September, October, November).   The fugitive
dust emissions, as  defined  in section 6.6.1, were
distributed equally  to all seasons.

6.7   LARGEST POINT SOURCES IN
      AIRS/AFS

This report is  the third in a series to track the top-
emitting sources of CO,  NOX, SO2, and VOC and
the second to track the top-emitting sources  of
PM-10,  industrial SO2, and Pb.  The plant level
emissions were extracted for AIRS/AFS excluding
only those facilities  having an  operating  status
defined as permanently closed.  The lists for each
pollutant of the 30 top-emitting sources in 1993
are presented in section 2.4 of this report.  The
process  by which  these lists  were compiled is
described below.

The top-emitting facilities  were extracted
February 9, 1994 based  on the following criteria
set:  (1) region greater  than  zero, (2) default
emissions greater than zero, (3)  default emission
units equal to, short tons per year, and (4) pollutant
equal to one of the six criteria pollutants. One file
for each  pollutant was generated.   Each file
contained information on the EPA region, state,
county, plant  identification by NED's code, plant
name, primary SIC, year  of  inventory, default
emissions, default emission units, plant location by
latitude and longitude, and plant operating status.

After excluding all closed plants,  the  remaining
plants were ranked according to emissions. The
preliminary lists for each pollutant included only
the top 100 facilities.  To obtain a list of the 200
top S02-emitting industrial facilities, all electric
utility plants or any plant reporting a primary SIC
   equal to 4911, 4931, or 4939 were removed from
   the list of top SO2-emitting sources.

   These lists were sent to the EPA regions and they
   were informed that such lists of  top-emitting
   facilities would appear in the 1994 Trends report.
   If any errors were found in the information on the
   plants in their region, they were instructed to make
   corrections  to the  AIRS/AFS data files.   In
   addition, they were  informed  that  a  second
   extraction from AIRS/AFS was to be made in July
   for inclusion in the  1994 Trends report.

   After  reviewing  these lists, it was  noted that
   several plants  included on the lists published in
   the  1993 Trends report  were  no  longer present.
   After investigating AIRS/AFS interactively, it was
   determined  that  in  order to  include  all plants
   emitting a specific pollutant, data for all inventory
   years must  be downloaded from  the AIRS/AFS
   data base. The criteria set for  the data extraction
   was modified in order to include all records where
   the  year of  inventory  was  not  blank.   Data
   extractions for each pollutant were performed on
   April 13 using the modified  criteria set.  The six
   output  files were processed  using the following
   steps:   (1) retain  the record for a given  facility
   with the latest year of inventory  and data in all
   other  fields,  (2)  delete  all  closed  plants (i.e.,
   operating status = "x"), (3) rank plants by
   emissions,  and  (4) retain the 50 top-emitting
   facilities. The processing of the industrial sources
   emitting  SO2  included  the additional  step  of
   removing all electric  utilities   after  ranking the
   plants  by emissions.   In addition,  the  list  of
   industrial sources emitting SO2 included  the top
   200 facilities.

   The same extraction procedure was performed the
   second week of July.  Comments  received on the
   lists produced in February were used to assure the
   quality of  the lists produced in July.   These
   revised lists were once  again sent  to the EPA
   regions for review.  The final lists of top-emitting
   sources are presented in both tables  and maps in
   section 2.4.
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6-23
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6.8    NATIONAL EMISSIONS, 1996 to
       2010

Projections of future  year emissions have been
estimated using the following general procedure:

    •   Grow 1990 emissions or activity levels.

    •   Apply future year control efficiencies or
       emission factors reflecting CAAA
       requirements.

The application of the above procedure  differs
slightly by  major emitting sector — highway
vehicle,  utility, nonutility point,  and area/off-
highway sources.

6.8.1  Highway Vehicles

Highway vehicle emissions were projected using
the Emission Reduction and Cost Analysis Model
(ERCAM).  Growth factors were first applied to
1990 VMT estimates.  VMT was then allocated to
the monthly level and MOBILESa emission factors
were applied.  The monthly emissions were then
summed to calculate annual emissions.

6.8.1.1   VMT Growth

The 1990 VMT estimates were projected to  the
future years using metropolitan  statistical area
(MSA) level  growth  factors  by  vehicle class.
These  factors were  developed  from  national
growth by vehicle class from the MOBILE4.1 Fuel
Consumption Model.93 The national growth was
scaled  to the  MSA-level based  on population
projections.94  Thus, if an area shows population
growth higher than  the  national  average, VMT
growth will also be  higher  than the national
average.

The resulting  annual county-level  vehicle  and
roadway  type  projected VMT  data were
temporally  allocated  to   months  using NAPAP
temporal allocation factors20 and the number of
days in each month.
   6.8.1.2    Emission Factor Modeling

   6.8.1.2.1  Carbon Monoxide,  Nitrogen Oxides,
   and Volatile  Organic Compound  Emission
   Factor  Modeling — The MOBILESa emission
   factor model21 was used to calculate all CO, NOX,
   and VOC highway vehicle emission factors for all
   states except California.   California  emission
   factors for these pollutants were calculated using
   an  OMS-modified  version  of MOBILESa that
   simulates the California fleet.  As with the 1970
   through 1993 emission highway vehicle emission
   factors,  the projection year emission factors were
   calculated at the county level.

   Temperature inputs for the projection years were
   30-year average monthly maximum and minimum
   daily  temperatures,  with a  single set of
   temperature  inputs for each state.84 California was
   broken  into  two  regions to capture the climatic
   variation within the state, so  a  separate  set of
   temperature  inputs  was used for each of these
   regions.

   Reid vapor  pressure inputs were  provided at the
   monthly level for each state,  and  did not vary by
   year.    For  the  period from  May  1 through
   September  15,  the  Phase II RVP limits  are in
   effect in nonattainment areas. During this period,
   nonattainment areas in  the  ASTM Class  B are
   subject to an RVP limit of 7.8 psi, while all other
   areas were subject to an RVP limit of 8.7 psi (9.0
   psi with an  assumed 0.3  psi margin of safety).
   Reid vapor  pressure values for the other months
   were based on monthly values calculated by QMS
   for the  AAMA survey cities, and applied to the
   state level using the same  allocation  procedure
   used in the projection of the historical emissions.
      96
   Enhanced and basic I/M programs were applied in
   the areas required  by the CAAA (or that have
   otherwise indicated that they would enact such a
   program).  The MOBILESa inputs for these areas
   were based on  EPA's enhanced and basic I/M
   program performance standards.96   Oxygenated
   fuels were modeled in the MSAs listed as having
   such a program by  QMS in the months specified
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6-24
Methodology

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for that area.97  Federal reformulated gasoline was
modeled in the areas included in the latest list of
areas that have opted in to 'the program98.  In
California, the California reformulated  gasoline
program was modeled  statewide, using the
modified version of MOBILESa.  A reduction was
applied to the NOX emission factors obtained from
MOBILESa  to account for  the  NOX  benefits
specified in  the final  reformulated  gasoline
rulemaking which are not included in MOBILESa.
This benefit  was approximately 6 percent for
LDGVs and LDGTs starting in 2000 (the first year
of the Phase II reformulated gasoline program).
The California  low  emission  vehicle  (LEV)
program  was  modeled throughout the  state of
California, with maximum LEV credits applied in
counties with enhanced I/M programs  and
minimum LEV credits elsewhere.99

6.8.1.2.2 Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emission
Factor Modeling — Particulate matter (PM-10)
emission factors were calculated at the national
level by vehicle type, using the  same procedure as
discussed for the historical  PM-10  emission
factors.  These emission factors were then applied
to the national VMT totals by vehicle type.

6.8.1.2.3 Sulfur  Dioxide  Emission   Factor
Modeling — Sulfur dioxide emission factors were
calculated at the national level by vehicle type,
following the same procedure as described for the
calculation  of the 1970 to  1993  SO2 highway
vehicle  emission  factors.    Fuel  economy
projections  were obtained from the MOBILE4.1
Fuel Consumption Model.93
 6.8.2
Utilities
 6.8.2.1    Electric Utility Growth

 Utility growth was projected using the ERCAM-
 NOX model100, and the 1990 Interim Inventory1 as
 the base for  the projections.   In ERCAM-NOX,
 changes  in the capacity utilization  of existing
 electric  utility units are  based on historical
 capacity  utilization at the unit level.   Additional
 growth  is projected based  on planned  and
projected electric utility units.  Data on planned
units  and projected electric utility demand was
obtained from DOE.101-102  Generation projections
from  the existing and planned units have been
subtracted from the projected generation demand
demand at the regional and fuel type level.  The
remaining generation  is assumed  to be filled by
projected units.  Existing  units were assumed to
retire  after 65 years of service.

6.8.2.2    Electric Utility  Controls

Nitrogen oxides controls were applied using the
ERCAM-NOX  model.100   This  model applies
Title I and Title IV RACT level  controls to the
required units, applying the expected percentage
reductions from RACT that  are  specific to  the
boiler type and fuel type.  Planned and projected
units  coming on line  in  1996 or  later  in
nonattainment areas  and the  ozone  transport
regions were assumed to be subject to new source
review  and  were assumed  to  apply  selective
catalytic reduction. No new controls were applied
to VOC, CO, or PM-10 emissions.

Sulfur dioxide projections  are based on the SO2
electric  utility allowance caps of  Title IV.  The
emission caps per year change from 1995 to 2000
to 2010. The projections presented here are based
on ICF Resources, Incorporated's projections  of
how utilities will use  these allowances.103  Their
analysis assumes  that a  certain  portion  of  the
Phase I allowances from  1995 to 1999 will be
banked and  then used from 2000 to 2010.

6.8.3      Nonutility Point Sources

Nonutility point source emissions were  projected
using the Multiple Projections System104 (MPS).
MPS  combines growth factors and future year
control levels to calculate  projection year
emissions.  The E-GAS  growth factors  were used
in nonutility point source emission projections
with  the  exception  of industrial source fuel
combustion  emissions from coal, residual oil, and
distillate oil.  Growth factors for  these  industrial
source fuel combustion categories were generated
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                                   6-25
                                     Methodology

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using a  Btu  Efficiency Neural Network
(BENNET). This neural network provides growth
factors that reflect changes in fuel prices, general
economic growth in the industrial sector, and that
account for fuel switching in future years.  These
BENNET growth factors were used in  place of
E-GAS  growth  factors by  MPS  to  develop
industrial combustion  point  source projected
emissions.    Additional  details  concerning
BENNET and how industrial source emission
projections were developed are available
elsewhere.105

6.8.3.1    Carbon Monoxide Controls

Carbon monoxide nonattainment area requirements
generally focus on mobile source  controls  —
enhanced I/M and oxygenated  fuels.  While there
may be isolated  cases of point source controls,
these are not incorporated into the projections.

6.8.3.2    Nitrogen Oxides Controls

Nitrogen  oxides  control information was also
taken from the ROM control strategy files106 again
simulating the mandatory control requirements of
the  1990 Act, namely,  RACT requirements.
Possible substitution of NOX  for VOC  to meet
rate-of-progress (ROP) requirements, new source
offsets,  and controls  needed for attainment
demonstrations are not incorporated into the
projections.

6.8.3.3    Volatile Organic Compound
          Controls

Volatile organic compound control information is
based on the ROM point source control input.106
This file simulates  the mandatory  control
requirements of the CAAA.  Controls are specified
by  source  category  and  ozone nonattainment
classification.  Additional CAAA  requirements
which are not incorporated into these projections
include:   ROP requirements, new source offsets,
and attainment demonstrations.
   6.8.3.4   Sulfur Dioxide Controls

   The CAAA does not specify any mandatory S02
   controls. Regulations applicable to sources of S02
   emissions  are  determined on a  State or
   nonattainment area basis. A national emission cap
   of 5.6 million short tons of SO2 per year was set
   by the CAAA for industrial sources.  If the cap is
   exceeded, EPA may promulgate new regulations.
   Projections of growth to 2005 utility E-GAS did
   not  show emissions exceeding this  cap.   Point
   source SO2  emitters were therefore assumed to
   remain at current control levels.

   6.8.3.5   Particulate Matter (PM-10) Controls

   Review of PM-10 SIPs indicate that control efforts
   are  focusing primarily  on area  source  emitters;
   therefore, point sources were assumed to remain at
   current control levels.

   6.8.4  Area/Off-highway Projections

   Area and nonroad  pollutant sources were also
   projected using MPS.104  E-GAS growth factors
   were used in combination with estimates  of future
   year control efficiencies.

   6.8.4.1    Carbon Monoxide Area/Off-Highway
             Controls

   Carbon monoxide controls efforts mandated by the
   CAAA  focus  on  highway vehicle controls;
   therefore, no new area  source control initiatives
   were modeled.  However, CO standards will be
   proposed for certain off-highway engines, with
   varying effective dates beginning as early as 1996.
   Timing of the benefits of these CO standards will
   depend upon phase-in schedules and fleet turnover.
   Standards will be set for lawn and garden, utility,
   small  farm  and construction,  light industrial
   applications, gasoline and marine engines. The
   off-highway emission projections will reflect the
   effect of these standards in future Trends reports.
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Methodology

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6.8.4.2    Nitrogen Oxides Area/Off-highway
         Controls

Nitrogen oxides control information is also taken
from the ROM control strategy file.  Reasonably
available  control  technology  requirements   are
incorporated for  industrial fuel  combustion
emissions as  a result of the Title I/RACT
requirements.   Reasonably available control
technology controls are applied to major stationary
sources. The definition of major stationary source
differs  according   to the  ozone  nonattainment
classification (e.g., marginal, moderate, serious,
severe, extreme, ozone transport region) of  the
area.  Controls for compression ignition (diesel)
engines were added.  Increases in NOX emissions
due  to the spark  ignition standards (aimed  at
reducing VOC) were also incorporated.

6.8.4.3    Volatile Organic Compound
         Area/Off-highway Controls

Volatile organic compound control information is
based on the ROM area source control strategy
file.106  Area source control requirements include
RACT and  new  CTG  requirements in  ozone
nonattainment areas, stage II vapor recovery, Title
III control for HAPs, and Federal measures  for
consumer solvents and architectural and industrial
maintenance coatings.  Off-highway  controls  for
spark ignition engines (phase 1) and recreational
marine vessels were added to the ROM controls.
The  VOC controls modeled reflect the mandatory
control requirements under the CAAA.
   6.8.4.4   Sulfur Dioxide Area/Off-highway
             Controls

   Sulfur dioxide area source emitters were projected
   assuming no  change  in current  control levels.
   Unlike nonutilty point sources,   sulfur dioxide
   emissions from the area source  component  of
   industrial fuel combustion sources  were projected
   using E-GAS growth factors, rather than BENNET
   growth factors.  The E-GAS growth factors were
   utilized because industrial  fuel combustion area
   sources are unlikely to switch  fuels  like point
   sources.

   6.8.4.5   Particulate  Matter (PM-10)
             Area/Off-highway Controls

   Area source PM-10 controls were  modeled in  all
   PM-10 nonattainment  areas.  Particulate matter
   areas  are classified  as  moderate or  serious
   depending on the  severity  of the  nonattainment
   problem.  Controls  applied include watering  of
   cattle  feedlots, recycled  asphalt paving  and
   chemical suppressants  on unpaved  roads,  vacuum
   sweeping of paved roads, limiting tilling on windy
   days, dust control plans at construction sites, and
   replacement of non-EPA certified woodstoves with
   pellet stoves or EPA Phase II stoves. The  controls
   applied to each area depend on the magnitude of
   emissions from  the potentially controlled source
   categories and the  severity of nonattainment.
 6.9    REFERENCES

 1.   Regional Interim Emission Inventories (1987-1991), Volume I:  Development Methodologies. EPA-
     454/R-93-021a. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. May 1993.

 2.   Historic Emissions of Sulfur and  Nitrogen  Oxides in the United States from 1900 to 1980.
     EPA-600/7-85-009a and b.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH. April 1985.

 3-   Historic Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds in the United States from 1900 to 1985. EPA-
     600/7-88-008a.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, OH. May 1988.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-27
Methodology

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4.   Procedures Manual for the Development of Emissions Presented in  the National Air Pollutant
     Emission Trends (1900-1993).  Emissions Inventory Branch, Office of Air Quality, Planning, and
     Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Under development. Draft date: October 1994.

5.   Emissions Inventory for the National Paniculate Matter Study. Final Draft. Office of Policy,
     Planning and Evaluation, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.  July 1994.

6.   Economic Growth Analysis  System:   User's Guide, Version  2.0.  EPA-600/R-94-139b.  Joint
     Emissions Inventory Oversight Group, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
     Park, NC.  August 1994.

7.   Steam-Electric Plant  Operation  and Design  Report,  Form EIA-767.   Energy Information
     Administration, U.S. Department of Energy,  Washington, DC. Data  files for 1985, 1986, 1987,
     1988, 1989, 1990, 1991, and 1992.

8.   Compilation of Air  Pollutant Emission  Factors,  Fourth Edition, and Supplements  through D,
     AP-42.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  September 1991.

9.   Monthly  Power  Plant Report.   Form  EIA-759.   Energy  Information Administration, U.S.
     Department of Energy, Washington, DC. Data files for 1992 and 1993.

10.  The  1985 NAPAP  Emissions Inventory (Version 2):   Development of the Annual Data and
     Modeler's Tapes. EPA-600/7-89-012a. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
     Park, NC.  November  1989.

11.  State Energy Data Report — Consumption Estimates 1960-1989.   DOE/EIA-0214(89).  Energy
     Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC. 1991.

12.  Table SA-5 — Total Personal Income  by Major Sources  1969-1990.   Data files.  Bureau of
     Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC.  1991.

13.  Survey of Current  Business.  Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce,
     Washington, DC. 1988, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991.

14.  Dean, T. A. and P. Carlson, PM-10 Controlled Emissions Calculator.  E.H. Pechan &  Associates,
     Inc.  Contract No. 68-DO-0120 Work Assignment No. 11-81. Office of Air Quality Planning and
     Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park NC. April 27, 1993.
     (TTN CHIEF BBS)

15.  Table SQ-5 — Quarterly State Personal Income  1987:  I - 1991:  IV.  Data files.   Bureau of
     Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC.  1992.

16.  Survey of Current Business,  Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of  Commerce,
     Washington, DC. 1992.

17.  Highway Performance Monitoring System. 1980-1993 data files, Federal Highway Administration,
     U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, DC. February 1993.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         6_2g                                   Methodology

-------
18.  1980  Census of Population,  Volume  I  Characteristics of Population,  Chapter B Number  of
    Inhabitants. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC. April 1983.

19.  Highway Statistics.   Federal  Highway Administration, U.S.  Department  of  Transportation,
    Washington, DC.  Annual.

20.  The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory:  Development of Temporal Allocation Factors.  EPA-600/7-
    89-010d. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. April 1990.

21.  User's Guide to MOBILES (Mobile Source Emissions Model).  Draft.  Office of Mobile Source,
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI.  1993.

22.  Local Climatological Data. National Climatic Data Center. 1985-1993.

23.  AAMA Motor Vehicles Facts and Figures 19xx. American Automobile Manufacturers Association
    of the United States, 1620 Eye Street,  N.M., Suite 1000, Washington, DC. Annual.

24.  19xx Market Data Book.  Automotive News.  965 E. Jefferson Ave., Detroit, MI. Annual.

25.  Shaw-Pin Miaou, Study of Vehicle Scrappage Rates.  Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge,
    TN. August 1990.

26.  Motor Gasoline Survey. American Automobile Manufacturers Association, Summer and Winter,
     1970-1993.

27.  American Society for Testing and Material.  1988 Annual Book ofASTM Standarads (Section  5:
    Petroleum Products, Lubricants, and Fossil Fuels; Volume 05.01 Petroleum Products and Lubricant
    (I):D56.D 1947), Philadelphia, PA.  1988.

28.  Inspection/Maintenance Program Summary.   Office Of Mobile  Sources, U.S. Environmental
    Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI.  February 1993.

29.  Air Toxics Emissions from Motor Vehicles. EPA-AA-TSS-PA-86-S. Office Of Mobile Sources, U.S.
    Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI. September 1987.

30.  Motor Vehicle-Related Air Toxics Study.  Public Review. Draft. Office of Mobile Sources, U.S.
    Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI. December 1992.

 31.  User's Guide to MOBILES (Mobile Source Emissions Model).  Draft.  Office of Mobile Source,
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI. December 1992.

 32. E-GAS Growth Factors and BLS to SCC Cross Reference. Computer PC model and files received
    by E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc. from TRC Environmental Corporation, Chapel Hill, NC. June
     1994.

 33. Connolly et al. SRI International. U.S. Paint Industry Data Base. Prepared for the National Paint
     and Coatings Association, Inc., Washington, DC.  1990.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          6-29                                    Methodology

-------
34.  Solvents, Industry Study #264.  The Freedonia Group, Cleveland, OH.  1989.

35.  Industrial Solvents (Report A2180).  Frost & Sullivan, Inc., New York, NY.  1989.

36.  TSDF Inventory File. Computer file transferred to E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc. from Emission
     Standards Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, via Alliance Technologies.  1989.

37.  Standard Computer Retrievals from the National Emissions Data System  (NEDS).  Unpublished
     computer reports were  available from National Air Data Branch, Office of Air Quality Planning
     and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  Annual.

38.  1987 Census of Agriculture, Volume I: Geographic Area Series, county data file, Bureaus of the
     Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington,  DC. 1987.

39.  1988 County Business Patterns. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington,
     DC. 1990.

40.  1988 City/County Data Base, data files, Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce,
     Washington, DC.  1990.

41.  Regional Ozone Modeling for Northeast Transport (ROMNET). EPA-450/4-91 -002a, Office of Air
     Quality Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,
     NC. 1991.

42.  Bureau of National Affairs regulation summaries.

43.  Gillette, D.  A. and R. Passi, Modeling  Dust Emissions Caused  by Wind Erosion. Journal  of
     Geophysical Research.  Vol. 93, #D11, pp. 14233-14242.  November 1988.

44.  Spivey, L. D., Jr.  and  R. L. Glenn.  NATSGO Map Series Dominant Surface Soil  Texture, Data
     Source: USDA-SCS 1982 NRI and Soil-5 Data Bases and 1984 MLRA Map. Forest Service, U.S.
     Department  of Agriculture.  September 1988.

45.  Gap Filling  PM10  Emission Factors for Selected Open Area Dust Sources. EPA-450/4-88-003.
     U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.  February 1988.

46.  Annual Wildland Fire Report. U.S. Department of the Interior.  Internal Publication. 1994.

47.  Report to the U.S.  Forest Service, Fiscal Year 1992.  ISBN 0-16-041707-4.  Forest Service, U.S.
     Department  of Agriculture.  1993.

48.  National Forest Fire Report 1992. Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture.  1993.

49.  An Inventory of Paniculate Matter and Air Toxic Emissions from Prescribed Fires in the United
     States for 1989.  Forest Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Seattle, WA.  1989.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          5.39                                    Methodology

-------
50.  Emission Inventory of Agricultural Tilling, Unpaved Roads and Airstrips and Construction Sites.
    EPA-450/3-74-085.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.  November 1974.

51.  Construction Review. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department  of Commerce, Washington, DC.
    Annual.

52.  Generalized Particle Size Distributions for Use in Preparing Size Specific Paniculate Emissions.
    EPA-450/4-86-013. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC.  July 1986.

53.  AIRS Facility Subsystem Source Classification Codes and Emission Factor Listing for Criteria Air
    Pollutants.   EPA-450/4-90-003.   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,  Washington, DC.
    July 1986.

54.  Smith, Stephen,  U.S. Bureau of Mines, U.S. Department of  the Interior/Division of Mineral
    Commodaties,  Washington, DC., personal communication with E.H.Pechan & Associates, Inc.,
    Durham, NC.  May 1994.

55.  Coal Production. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC.
    Annual.

56.  Paved Road Paniculate Emissions.  EPA-600/7-84-077. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
    Washington, DC.  1984.

57.  Haugh, J., Highway Information Management, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department
    of Transportation, personal communications with E.H. Pechan & Associates, Inc., Durham, NC.
     1991.

58.  Stensland,  Gary, Illinois  State Water Survey, personal  communication with E.H. Pechan &
    Associates, Inc., Durham, NC.  1989.

59.  Summary of Local Functional System Mileage. Computer file transferred to E.H. Pechan &
    Associates, Inc. from Highway Information Management, Federal Highway Administration, U.S.
    Department of Transportation.  1985,  1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990.

60.  Current Emission Trends for NOX, SO2, and VOC by Month and  State:  Methodology and Results.
    ANL/EAIS.TM-25.  Argonne National Laboratories,  9700 Sourth Cass Avenue, Argonne, IL.
    August  1990.

61.  Development of the 1980 NAPAP Emissions Inventory. EPA-600/7-86-057a.  Air and Energy
    Engineering Research Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,
    NC. December 1986.

62.  Coal Distribution January-December.   Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of
    Energy, Washington, DC.  Annual.

63.  Electric Power Annual.   Energy Information Administration,  U.S. Department  of Energy,
    Washington, DC.  Annual.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         6-31                                   Methodology

-------
64.  Cost and Quality of Fuels for Electric Utility Plants. Energy Information Administration, U.S.
     Department of Energy, Washington, DC.  Annual.

65.  Fuel Oil and Kerosene Sales 19xx. DOE/EIA-0535(xx). Energy Information Administration, U.S.
     Department of Energy, Washington, DC.  Annual.

66.  Natural Gas Annual. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington,
     DC.  Annual.

67.  Estimates of U.S. Wood Energy Consumption from 1949  to  1981.   DOE/EIA-0341.  Energy
     Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington,  DC. August 1982.

68.  Estimates of U.S. Wood Energy Consumption 1980-1983. DOE/EIA-0341 (83). Energy Information
     Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC. November 1984.

69.  Estimates  of U.S.  Biofuels  Consumption,  1990.   DOE/EIA-0548(90).   Energy Information
     Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC. October 1992.

70.  Petroleum Supply Annual.   Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department  of Energy,
     Washington, DC.  Annual.

71.  Quarterly  Coal  Report.   Energy  Information Administration, U.S.  Department of Energy,
     Washington, DC.  Quarterly.

72.  Minerals Yearbook.  Bureau of Mines, U.S. Department of the Interior, Washington, DC. Annual.

73.  FAA Air Traffic Activity.  Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation,
     Washington, DC.  Annual.

74.  Exhaust Emissions from Uncontrolled Vehicles and Related Equipment Using Internal Combustion
     Engines. Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX.  October 1973.

75.  Current Industrial Reports. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington,
     DC. Annual.

76.  Paniculate Pollutant Systems Study.  National Air Pollution Control Administration Contract No.
     CPA 22-69-104.  Midwest Research Institute, Kansas City, MO. May 1971.

77.  End Uses of Solvents  Containing  Volatile  Organic Compounds.  EPA-450/3-79-032.   U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  May  1979.

78.  Chemical and Engineering  News,  Facts and Figures  Issue.   American  Chemical Society,
     Washington, DC. Annual.

79.  Synthetic Organic Chemicals, United States Production Sales.  United States International Trade
     Commission, Washington, DC. Annual.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         6-32                                   Methodology

-------
80.  1968 National Survey of Community Solid Waste Practices.  PHS Publication No. 1867.  Public
    Health Service, U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, Cincinnati, OH.  1968.

81.  Emissions Inventory  from Forest Wildfires, Forest Managed  Burns,  and Agricultural Burns.
    EPA-450/3-74-062.   U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,  NC.
    November 1974.

82.  Coal Refuse Fires, An Environmental Hazard.  Information Circular 8515.  Bureau of Mines, U.S.
    Department of the Interior, Washington, DC.  1971.

83.  Source Assessment Prescribed Burning.  EPA-600/2-79-019H, U.S. Environmental  Protection
    Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  1979.

84.  Statistical Abstract of the United States.  Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce,
    Washington, DC.  Annual.

85.  Compilation of Air Pollutant  Emission Factors and Supplements 1-14  AP-42.  Third Edition.
    (NTIS PB-275525).   U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,  NC.
    September 1977.

86.  Mobile Source Emission Factors. EPA-400/9-78-005 (NITS PB295672/A17).  U.S.Environmental
    Protection Agency, Washington, DC.  March 1978.

87.  National Emissions Report,  National Emissions Data System (NEDS). EPA-450/4-83-022 (NTIS
    PB84-121375/MF). U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. 1984.

88.  National Air Pollutant Emissions, 1940-1985. EPA-450/4-86-018. U.S. Environmental Protection
    Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  January 1987.

89.  7990 County Business Patterns. Bureau of the Census, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington,
    DC.  1992.

90.  7990 Census of Population and Housing, county data files. Bureau of the  Census, U.S. Department
    of Commerce, Washington,  DC.  1994.

91.  National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1992. EPA-454/R-93-032.  Office of Air Quality
    Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park, NC.  October  1993.

92. Fratt, D.B., D.F. Mudgett, and R.A.Walters. The 1985 NAPAP Emissions Inventory: Development
    of Temporal Allocation Factors.  EPA-600/7-89-010d.  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency,
    Research Triangle Park, NC.  April 1990.

 93. MOBILE4.1 Fuel Consumption Model.  Computer reports from  EPA, Office  of Mobile Sources,
    Ann Arbor, MI. August 1991.

 94.  "1990 BEA Regional Projections to 2040:  Volume 1: States." U.S. Department of Commerce,
    Washington, DC.  June 1990.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         6-33                                   Methodology

-------
95.  "Off-Season RVP for Trends Report." Memorandum from Natalie Dobie, EPA, Technical Support
     Branch, Ann Arbor, MI, to Sharon Nizich, EPA, Emission Inventory Branch. April 1994.

96.  Federal Register,  U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency, "Inspection/Maintenance  Program
     Requirements."  Final Rule. November 5, 1992.

97.  Oxy Program Areas - Market Share Estimates.  List provided by U.S. Environmental Protection
     Agency, Office of Mobile Sources, Washington, DC.  1993.

98.  Reformulated Gasoline and Anti-dumping Questions and Answers.  Attachment  II, Draft List of
     Reformulated Gasoline Program Areas.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Mobile
     Sources.  July 1, 1994.

99.  "Memorandum on Emission Reduction Credits for California Low Emission Vehicles  (LEVs)."
     From Phil Lorang, Director, Emission Planning and Strategies Division, EPA.   Ann Arbor, MI.
     April 8, 1994.

100. The Emission Reduction and Cost Analysis Model for NOX (ERCAM-NOX).  Final Report. E.H.
     Pechan  &  Associates,  Inc.  Prepared for Ozone/CO  Programs Branch,  U.S. Environmental
     Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  May 1994.

101. Inventory of Power Plants in the United States 1990.  DOE/EIA-0095(90).  U.S. Department of
     Energy, Energy Information Administration.  Washington, DC.  October 1991.

102. Annual Outlook for U.S. Electric power 1991:  Projections Through 2010.  DOE/EIA-0474(91).
     U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration. Washington, DC.  July 1991.

103. Recommendations  to NAPAP Regarding SO2 Emission Projections.  Report to the National Acid
     Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP). Prepared by Resources for the Future. Washington,
     DC.  June 15, 1994.

104. Multiple Projections System (MPS):  User's  Manual Version 1.0.   EPA-600/R-94-085.  U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency, Air and Energy Engineering  Research Laboratory, Research
     Triangle Park, NC. May 1994.

105. Industrial  SO2 and NOX  Tracking System.  Report to the Air and Energy Engineering Research
     Laboratory, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Prepared by E.H. Pechan & Associates,
     Inc.  Durham, NC. September  1994.

106. Regional Oxidant Modeling of the  1990 Clean Air Act Amendments:   Default Projection and
     Control Data. Report to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).  Prepared by E.H.
     Pechan &  Associates, Inc.  Springfield, VA. August 1994.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         5.34                                   Methodology

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   Table 6-1.  Equations Used to Estimate Emissions from  Electric Utility Boilers
                                                                      *  UCF
                                 * EFPM-V>.SCC * At *
                                        ,. sec * «/ x (1  - CSE^J * UCF
                        EVOCorCO,b  =  ^ft * EFVOC or CO.SCC *
where:      E                   =    estimated emission (expressed in short tons)
           FC                  =    fuel consumption (expressed in unitf)
           EF                  =    emission factor (expressed in Ibs SO2/unitf)
           S                   =    sulfur content (expressed as a decimal)
           A                   =    ash content (expressed as a decimal)
           RE                  =    rule effectiveness (expressed as a decimal)
           CE                  =    control efficiency (expressed as a decimal)
           b                    =    boiler
           /                    =    fuel type (coal, oil, gas)
           UCF                =    units conversion factor (1 ton/2000 Ibs)
           un^coai               =    tons burned
           unitoil                =    1000 gallons burned
           unitm.               =    million cubic feet burned
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          6-35                                     Methodology

-------
         Table 6-2.  Bureau of Economic Analysis's SA-5 National Changes in
                                 Earnings by Industry
                                                          Percent Growth from:
Industry
Farm
Agricultural services, forestry, fisheries, and
other
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Metal mining
Nonmetallic minerals, except fuels
Construction
Food and kindred products
Textile mill products
Apparel and other textile products
Paper and allied products
Printing and publishing
Chemicals and allied products
Petroleum and coal products
Tobacco manufactures
Rubber and miscellaneous plastic products
Leather and leather products
Lumber and wood products
Furniture and fixtures
Primary metal industries
Fabricated metal products
Machinery, except electrical
Electric and electronic equipment
Transportation equipment, excluding motor
vehicles
Motor vehicles and equipment
Stone, clay, and glass products
Instruments and related products
Miscellaneous manufacturing industries
Railroad transportation
Trucking and warehousing
Water transportation
Local and interurban passenger transit
Transportation by air

SIC
01, 02
07, 08, 09
11
13
10
14
15
20
22
23
26
27
28
29
21
30
31
24
25
33
34
35
36
37
371
32
38
39
40
42
44
41
45

1985 to 1987
14.67
23.58
-17.46
-39.23
-3.03
2.33
7.27
1.67
8.50
-1.72
2.62
7.44
1.75
-10.82
-1.97
5.27
-9.39
10.03
6.82
-9.09
-4.72
-5.72
-3.17
8.44
-6.45
-0.23
-0.04
1.84
-14.13
5.63
-8.92
13.45
12.01

1987 to 1988
-2.73
5.43
-6.37
4.94
18.01
3.74
4.81
1.34
-0.64
1.25
0.94
5.67
6.94
-3.22
2.43
5.51
-1.64
5.15
2.35
5.32
2.55
6.02
-18.01
-1.57
2.20
-1.61
60.65
6.92
-2.53
3.26
0.07
0.51
4.63

1988 to 1989
14.58
1.01
-4.16
-3.88
8.94
-2.79
-1.36
-1.20
-1.39
-1.62
-0.14
-0.81
0.32
-3.02
-2.43
0.68
-3.58
-3.54
-1.46
-0.34
-0.86
-0.32
-1.91
0.55
-2.96
-1.96
-0.82
-2.21
-3.83
-0.20
-1.02
2.14
4.94

1989 to 1990
-3.11
2.48
4.73
5.16
4.56
-0.45
-3.80
-0.24
-4.97
-4.22
-0.39
0.43
1.61
1.06
-5.01
-0.14
-2.55
-3.71
-2.98
-3.03
-1.91
-1.92
-3.22
-1.07
-5.43
-3.19
-2.91
-2.54
-6.03
0.99
2.83
1.44
4.36
(continued)
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                          6-36
Methodology

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       Table 6-2.  Bureau of Economic Analysis's SA-5 National Changes in
                          Earnings by Industry (continued)
                                                         Percent Growth from:
Industry
Pipelines, except natural gas
Transportation services
Communication
Electric, gas, and sanitary services
Wholesale trade
Retail trade
Banking and credit agencies
Insurance
Real estate
Holding companies and investment services
Hotels and other lodging places
Personal services
Private households
Business and miscellaneous repair services
Auto repair, services, and garages
Amusement and recreation services and
motion pictures
Health services
Legal services
Educational services
Social services and membership
organizations
Miscellaneous professional services
Federal, civilian
Federal, military
State and local government
SIC
46
47
48
49
50, 51
52 to 59
60, 61
63,64
65,66
67
70
72
88
76
75
78,79

80
81
82
83

84
91
97
92 to 96
1985 to 1987
-5.21
15.92
1.94
0.07
5.01
5.19
12.44
14.09
92.14
39.05
12.65
7.17
-5.68
17.05
6.65
17.93

15.15
20.14
9.35
17.39

11.28
-0.54
1.96
7.88
1987 to 1988
3.67
8.52
0.68
3.05
5.87
4.39
2.45
4.20
-6.98
-34.86
5.59
2.35
2.41
-17.34
2.46
16.43

7.08
9.92
7.17
8.45

5.04
3.79
-1.07
3.63
1988 to 1989
-4.93
4.60
-2.81
0.63
2.44
0.65
-0.33
1.52
-7.87
-12.18
1.71
7.44
0.83
5.79
3.00
4.06

5.11
4.09
3.88
7.95

7.08
1.21
-1.58
3.19
1989 to 1990
3.53
4.97
2.07
0.39
-1.02
-0.94
-0.49
2.71
-0.48
16.91
2.29
5.41
-3.69
4.34
3.93
7.59

6.28
4.80
2.60
7.37

4.12
1.96
-3.19
3.04

National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
6-37
Methodology

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           Table 6-3.  Bureau of Economic Analysis's SQ-5 National Growth in
                                     Earnings by Industry
 Industry
Percent Growth from 1990 to 1991
 Farm
 Agricultural services, forestry, fisheries, and other
 Coal mining
 Construction
 Manufacturing
 Nondurable goods
 Durable goods
 Wholesale trade
 Retail trade
 Services
 Government and government enterprises
 Federal, civilian
 Federal, military
 State and local
             -18.38
              -5.06
              -0.75
             -10.37
              -3.01
              -0.89
              -4.30
              -2.55
              -2.84
              1.91
              1.16
             -0.49
             -1.94
              2.00
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                               6-38
                          Methodology

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                Table 6-4.  Sample E-GAS Growth Factors Arranged by
                           Tier 1 and Tier 2 Source Category
Tier!
Modified Tier 2
1992 Growth Factor    1993 Growth Factor
INDUSTRIAL FUEL
COMBUSTION

MISCELLANEOUS
OFF-HIGHWAY
OTHER FUEL
COMBUSTION
 OTHER INDUSTRIAL
 PROCESSES
Pulp & Paper Process
Heaters: Residual Oil

Agricultural Burning and
Livestock

Diesel and Gasoline
Construction Equipment

Diesel and Gasoline Industrial
Equipment

Commercial/Institutional
Distillate and Residual Oil

Residential Oil

Residential Wood

Agriculture and Food


Mineral Products
      0.8456


      1.1854


  1.1071 to 1.3805


      1.1682


  1.1591 to 1.1705


      0.6508

  0.7361 to 0.8897

      1.1854


      1.1751
    0.7685


    1.2082


1.2079 to 1.4703


    1.2184


1.233510 1.2530


    0.4520

0.5245 to 0.7994

    1.2082


    1.2125
STORAGE &
TRANSPORT

WASTE DISPOSAL
Bulk Material Storage
Bulk Material Transport
Incineration and Open Burning
1.1751 to 1.1854
1.1751
1.1682
1.21 25 to 1.2082
1.2125
1.2184
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                     6-39
                                                             Methodology

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        Table 6-5.  Historic Nitrogen  Oxides and Sulfur Dioxide Emission Source
                                Categories and Subcategories
Methodological Groups  Source Category
                                  Subcategories (or Fuel Types)
Combustion of Fuels for
Heat and Power
Electric Utilities


Industrial Boilers


Commercial and
Residential

Anthracite Coal

Wood

Railroads

Vessels

Off-Highway Diesel
Bituminous Coal, Residual and Distillate Oil, and
Natural Gas

Bituminous Coal, Residual and Distillate Oil, and
Natural Gas

Bituminous Coal, Residual and Distillate Oil, and
Natural Gas

All uses

All uses

Bituminous Coal and Distillate Oil

Residual and Distillate Oil

Diesel Fuel

Gasoline and Diesel fuel
 Combustion of Fuels for
 Transportation
Highway Vehicles
 Miscellaneous Processes  Coke Plants

                         Smelters

                         Cement Plants

                         Wildfire
                         Miscellaneous Industrial
                         Processes
                         Miscellaneous Other
                         Processes
                        Pulp and paper, Petroleum Refineries, Iron and Steel
                        Manufacture, Primary Aluminum, Secondary Lead,
                        Glass Manufacture and Chemical Manufacture (sulfuric
                        acid, carbon black, petrochemicals, ammonia, nitric
                        acid, and TNT)

                        Aircraft, Vessels (gasoline-powered, coal-powered),
                        Miscellaneous off-highway gasoline-powered vehicles,
                        Fuel combustion (LPG, coke-oven gas, and bagasse),
                        Solid Waste Disposal, Agricultural  Burning, Coal Refuse
                        Burning, Prescribed Burning
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                               6-40
                                                                Methodology

-------
           Table 6-6.  Historic Volatile Organic Compound  Emission Source
                               Categories and Subcategories
Source Category  Source Subcategory
                                              Activity Indicators for Interpolating
                                                Emissions for Intervening Years
Transportation
Highway Vehicles
Aircraft
Railroads (oil and coal fired)
Vessels (oil and coal fired)
Other Off-highway Use
Gasoline and Diesel Consumption
Population
External Fuel
Combustion
Anthracite Coal
Bituminous Coal
Residual Oil
Distillate Oil
Natural Gas
Wood
Coke and Other Fuels
Anthracite Coal Consumption
Bituminous Coal Consumption
Fuel Oil Consumption

Natural Gas Consumption
Wood Consumption
Population
Population
Gasoline and Diesel Consumption
Population
Crude Oil Consumption
 Industrial
 Processes
Petrochemical Manufacture
Petroleum Marketing (gasoline and other)
Surface Coating Operations
Petroleum Refinery Process  Operations
Petroleum Production (crude oil and  natural gas
liquids)
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes (carbon black
manufacturing)
 Solid Waste
 Disposal
Incineration
Open Burning
Wildfire
Prescribed Fires
Other Burning
Other Solvent Evaporation
Population
 Miscellaneous
 Other Sources
Population
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                             6-41
                         Methodology

-------
                                   SECTION 7.0
  INTERNATIONAL CRITERIA POLLUTANT EMISSIONS
This is the second report in the Trends series to
present  international emissions.   This  section
presents the 1985 criteria pollutant emissions that
are available for  Canada,  Mexico, and  12
European Union (EU-12) countries:

   •  Belgium,
   •  Denmark,
   •  France,
   •  Former West Germany,
   •  Greece,
   •  Ireland,
   •  Italy,
   •  Luxembourg,
   •  Netherlands,
   •  Portugal,
   •  Spain, and
   •  United Kingdom.

For these  countries,  1990  estimates are also
presented if emissions data were available. The
1990 emissions are presented for  9  additional
European countries that now have emissions data
available:

   •  Austria,
   •  Bulgaria,
   •  Czech Republic,
   •  Finland,
   8  Former East Germany,
   •  Norway,
   •  Poland,
   •  Slovakia, and
   •  Sweden.

It should be noted that 1990 estimates for several
countries are still preliminary. Additionally, 1991
emissions for Russia are presented for comparative
purposes. It is important to note that to the extent
that emission  estimation  methodologies  differ
   between countries, intercountry comparisons may
   be misleading.

   7.1    PER CAPITA EMISSIONS

   Data  are  available  to  make 1985  per capita
   emission comparisons for NOX,  VOC, and SO2
   between 15 countries, including the United States.
   Table 7-1 presents the per capita emission figures,
   which are calculated  from  the international
   emissions data provided in this chapter as well as
   the U.S. data presented  in section 2.  These data
   indicate that of the  15 countries analyzed, the
   United States  generated  either  the  largest  or
   second largest amount  of 1985  emissions  per
   capita. For NOX emissions in 1985, the  United
   States emitted 192 pounds per person, while the
   second largest per capita emitter, Canada, emitted
   175 pounds  per  person.   At 328 pounds  per
   person, Canada generated the largest per capita
   emissions of SO2 in 1985, nearly double the level
   of the second largest emitter (the United States at
   191 pounds).  The  United  States  emitted the
   greatest amount of VOC per  person in 1985, at
   214 pounds per person; the former West Germany
   was second at 212 pounds emitted per person.

   It is difficult to analyze the trends in per capita
   emissions  for most of  these  countries because
   consistent  time-series  data  are  not  available.
   However,  1990 United States data indicate a
   decrease in per capita emissions of NOX, VOC,
   and SO2 of 3, 9, and 6 percent, respectively, from
   the 1985 per capita levels.

   7.2    CANADA

   Canadian emissions data for 1985 and 1990  were
   provided by Libby  Greenwood of Environment
   Canada.1  The 1990 estimates  are preliminary and
   do  not correspond  with  those reported  in the
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-1
                                      International

-------
Interim2 report.   The  1990  NOX and  VOC
estimates are from Canada's Residual Discharge
Information System; the 1990 SO2 emissions are
taken from  a  report developed  for Eastern
Canada's Acid Rain Program.3  National Canada
estimates are presented in this report, as well as
estimates for three provinces — Ontario, Quebec,
New Brunswick. Tables 7-2 and 7-3 display the
1985 emissions by major source category for NOX
and  VOC, respectively.   Tables  7-4 and  7-5
present  the  1990 NOX and VOC emissions by
major source category. Table 7-6 shows the SO2
emissions by major source category for both 1985
and 1990. National estimates for Canada were not
available by major source category for 1990.

7.3    EUROPE

There has been  a considerable on-going effort in
Europe to  develop consistent emissions  for
countries  in  the European community.    This
section provides the 1985 and 1990 estimates of
NOX, VOC,  and SO2 emissions developed  under
this effort.

7.3.1  CORINAIR: The Atmospheric Emission
       Inventory for Europe1

On June  27, 1985, the  European  Council  of
Ministers  adopted Decision 85/338/EEC  on a
Commission world  program  for gathering,
coordinating, and  ensuring the consistency  of
information  on  the state of the environment and
natural  resources in the  European  Community.
This program was called CORINE (COoRdination
d'INformation Environnementale)  and one  of its
component  projects  was  the CORINe  AIR
emission inventory (CORINAIR).4

When  the  Council  Decision on  CORINE was
adopted, there  were several air emissions data
collection  campaigns  in progress at  the
international level (OECD, UNECE, and PHOXA).
The methodology  for  the  prototype  1985
CORINAIR (CORINAIR85) inventory was  based
on the methodology of OECD and was developed
in collaboration with  experts  from  each of the
member states, as well as from the  European
Commissions (CEC),  OECD,  UNICE, CEFIC,
EUROTRAC, and IIASA.

On May 7, 1990, the Council adopted Regulation
1210/90  which  established the European
Environment Agency  (EEA) and the  European
environment information and observation network.
The regulation gives the EEA  responsibility for
the collection, processing,  and  analysis of
environmental  data and for the continuation of
work started under the  CORINE decision.  It also
lists several areas  of work to be given priority.
Air quality and  atmospheric emissions are
included in this list.

Pending a decision on the location of the EEA, the
CORINE program  is being continued by the EEA
Task  Force  (EEA-TF) formed  within the
Directorate General Environment, Nuclear Safety
and Civil Protection (DGXI) of the CEC.  The
CORINAIR project is being continued through an
update for 1990 (CORINAIR90).

7.3.2  CORINAIR85

The prototype  emission inventory for  1985 —
CORINAIR85 — was based on the following:

   (1)  a new nomenclature (which was
        technology-based, since the NACE was
        considered inappropriate for
        environmental needs);

   (2)  a Default Emission Factor Handbook
        (based broadly on OECD and PHOXA
        results but also introducing new
        developments);

   (3)  addressing major localized emission
        sources as point sources (large point
        sources) and other minor or diffuse
        sources as area sources, with areas
        based on  the Community's
        Nomenclature of Statistical Territorial
        Units  (NSTU); and
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                            7-2
                                   International

-------
   (4)  software for data input and the
       calculation of emissions.

These features  of the CORINAIR system were
developed by the contractor (CITEPA, in Paris) in
conjunction with the following:

   (1)  the CORINAIR Technical Unit (which
       included other contractors and
       representatives  of DGXI, the customer);

   (2)  working groups covering specific
       sources/pollutants (stationary NOX,
       mobile sources, stationary VOC, natural
       VOC,  and ammonia); and

   (3)  the CORINAIR Expert Group, with
       experts from each of the member states
       and from related  international activities.

 The  CORINAIR85 inventory was based  on 120
 activities divided into eight categories:

   •  combustion (other than industry),
   •  oil refining,
   •  industrial combustion,
   •  industrial processes,
   •  solvent evaporation,
   •  road transport,
   •  nature, and
   •  miscellaneous activities.

 It also quantified three pollutants:  NOX,  VOC
 (including CH4),  and SO2. Tables 7-7, 7-8, and
 7-9 present the summary of the results obtained.

 With certain restrictions on the use of the limited
 subset of data held  in confidence within  the
 CORINAIR  data base,  CORINATR85 data  are
 available on request from the CITEPA in Paris or
 the  EEA-TF  in Brussels.   The complete
 CORINAIR85  inventory (activity  statistics,
 emission factors, emissions, etc.)  is held in
 personal computer files in Paris and  Brussels.
 Emissions by territorial unit are held for mapping
 and  analysis in ARCINFO files on the CORTNE
 data base in Brussels.
   7.3.3  CORINAIR90

   Atmospheric emission inventory requirements and
   methodologies were developed  rapidly  at  the
   national and international level during the course
   of the CORINAIR85  project.  Estimates were
   extended to newly quantified sources of emissions
   and to additional pollutants.   Each international
   project became informed of the work being carried
   out elsewhere.   The  need to harmonize these
   activities  became  clear when  overlaps  were
   discovered in the work that was being performed.

   In preparing  for the CORTNAIR90  project, the
   CORINAIR Technical  Unit  and Expert Group
   were able to collaborate closely with UNECE and
   OECD.  The UNECE requires emission inventory
   data as part of the  obligations under the various
   Protocols for the Long Range Transboundary Air
   Pollution (LRTAP) convention.  The  OECD  is
   developing the  methodology  for  inventorying
   greenhouse gas emissions on behalf of the IPCC.
   This collaboration has  achieved these results:

      (1)  produced a more developed
           nomenclature (source sector split
           [SNAP90]) involving over
           260 activities grouped into a three-level
           hierarchy of subsectors and 11  main
           sectors;

      (2)  extended the list of pollutants to be
           covered to eight (SO2, NOX, NMVOC,
           ammonia, CO, CH4, NO, and CO2);

      (3)  extended the number of sources to be
           considered as point sources (there were
           over 1400 large point sources in the
           CORTNAIR85 inventory);

      (4)  extended the availability of the
           CORINAIR system to 30 countries; and

      (5)  increased the awareness of CORINAIR
           and the need to produce an inventory
           within a reasonable time frame  to serve
 Nttlional Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-3
                                       International

-------
        the requirements of the user
        community.

Following agreements reached with the UNECE
on a  common source sector  split for reporting
atmospheric emissions, the CORINAIR90 system
has been made available to 30 European countries
on a voluntary basis or with financial support from
the CEC.

The CORINAIR90 system is currently available to
the following:

   (1)  The EU-12 countries;

   (2)  5 EFT A countries: Austria, Finland,
        Norway, Sweden, and Switzerland;

   (3)  3 Baltic States: Estonia, Latvia, and
        Lithuania;

   (4)  9 Central and Eastern European
        countries:  Albania, Bulgaria, Croatia,
        Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland,
        Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia; and

   (5)  Russia.

7.3.4  CORINAIR90 Summary Tables

The summary tables for the 11 main source
sectors  and  8 pollutants covered by the
CORINAIR 1990 Programme  (Tables 7-10
through 7-22) were  prepared from data supplied
to date  to the European Environment Agency
Task Force  (EEA-TF).5  The following countries
and regions are included in this first set of
summary tables  to be released:

 12 European Union countries  (excluding the
Former East Germany) —
   9  Belgium (Flemish region),
   •   Belgium (Wallonie region),
   •  Denmark,
   •   France,
   •  Former West Germany,
   •   Greece,
        Ireland,
        Italy,
        Luxembourg,
        Netherlands,
        Portugal,
        Spain,
        United Kingdom
   12 European Union countries (plus 9 additional
   European countries) —
     •  Austria,
     •  Bulgaria,
     •  Czech Republic,
     •  Finland,
     •  Former  East Germany,
     •  Norway,
     •  Poland,
     •  Slovakia, and
     •  Sweden.

   Due to nomenclature and emission factor changes
   between the 1985 and  1990 inventories, the 1990
   data are not comparable to the CORINAIR85 data.

   7.4   RUSSIA

   Table 7-23 presents 1991 and 1992 emissions for
   Russia,  which  were  obtained  from the V.B.
   Miliaev, Director, Scientific Research Institute of
   Atmospheric  Air Protection, Ministry for
   Environmental Protection and Natural Resources,
   Russian Federation, St. Petersburg, Russia, 1994.6

   7.5   MEXICO

   Estimates of 1985 NOX, SO2, HC (VOC), CO, and
   TSP emissions for Mexico are contained in a draft
   report prepared as part of joint project between the
   World Bank, United Nations Statistical Office, and
   the Mexican Institute Nacional de Estadistica,
   Geografia e  Informatica (INEGI).  ("Chapter 6,
   Integrated  Environmental  and  Economic
   Accounting:  A Case Study for Mexico," Part 2:
   Applied Work and Case Studies in Developing and
   Industrial Countries,  World  Bank, 1992.)  The
   World Bank  report includes emissions for five
   sectors: motor vehicles, manufacturing, electricity,
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. 1900-1993
7-4
                                       International

-------
oil refining, and services (services  refers  to    Table 7-24 presents the emissions for Mexico in
miscellaneous  industries  that use  combustion    1985 for the aforementioned source categories.
processes such as bakeries, hotels, and hospitals).


7.6   REFERENCES

1. Telefax entitled "Canadian Data for U.S. National Air Pollutant Emission Trends Report" from Libby
   Greenwood, Pollution Data Branch, Environment Canada, Hull, Quebec to Sharon Nizich, Emissions
   Inventory Branch, Technical Support Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S.
   Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,  NC.  September 28, 1994.

2. Regional Interim  Emission Inventories  (1987-1991),  Volume  I:   Development Methodologies.
   EPA-454/R-93-021a.  U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.  May
   1993.
3. Annual Report on the  Federal Provincial Agreement for the Eastern  Canada Acid Rain Program.
   Environment Canada, Hull, Quebec. 1992.

4. CORINAIR Newsletter. G. Mclnnes, European Environment Agency Task Force, DGXI, Commission
   of the European Communities, Brussels,  Belgium.  March 1993.

5. Computer files from Gordon Mclnnes, European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark to
   Sharon Nizich, Emissions  Inventory Branch, Technical Support Division, Office of Air Quality
   Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC. August
   1994.

 6. Letter from V.B. Miliaev of Scientific Research Institute of Atmospheric Air Protection, Ministry for
   Environmental Protection and Natural Resources, Russian Federation, St. Petersberg, Russia to D.
   Misenheimer, Emissions Inventory Branch, Technical Support Division, Office of Air Quality
   Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.
   September  1994.
   1 The acronyms found in section 7.3.2 are defined in the list of Acronyms and Abbreviations found on page xvii.
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          7-5                                     International

-------
             Table 7-1.  1985 Per Capita Emissions for 15 Selected Countries
                                          (pounds per capita)
COUNTRY
Belgium
Denmark
France
Former West Germany
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
United Kingdom
Average of European Union
Canada
Mexico
United States
Average of 15 Selected Countries
NOX
71
118
64
98
69
52
61
137
72
21
48
83
71
175
45
192
115
VOC
97
89
111
212
137
67
114
82
66
44
122
153
135
155
60
214
155
SO,
88
144
59
84
111
86
81
98
30
43
124
147
93
328
167
191
146
NOTE(S):    European Union excludes the Former East Germany.
           1990 data for the United States are as follows:
               United States — 186 pounds of NOX, 195 pounds of VOC, and 179 pounds of SO2 per person
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           f.ft                                         International

-------
           Table 7-2.  1985 Canada Nitrogen  Oxides Emissions by Province
                                      (thousand short tons)
SECTOR
Transportation
Cars
Light-Duty Trucks
Gas
Diesel
Heavy-Duty Trucks
Gas
Diesel
Off-Road Diesel
Construction
Agriculture
Railroads
Other
Other
Fuel Combustion
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Natural Gas
Other
Power Generation
Industrial Processes
Incineration/Miscellaneous
TOTAL
Ontario

139

26
0

10
90

10
8
31
30
22

17
14

0
108
172
33
5
715
Quebec

80

9
0

4
29

4
5
17
23
18

8
4

0
46
2
12
6
267
New Brunswick

10

3
0

1
9

1
1
3
4
1

1
1

0
5
8
3
1
51
CANADA

383

92
0

33
273

35
59
135
160
86

45
33

153
267
330
112
28
2,222
NOTE(S):   The sums may not equal total due to rounding.

SOURCE:   Libby Greenwood of Environment Canada, Pollution Data Branch, Hull, Quebec.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-7
                                           International

-------
      Table 7-3.  1985 Canada Volatile Organic Compound  Emissions by Province
                    (thousand short tons [as total nonmethane hydrocarbons])
SECTOR
Transportation
Cars
Light-Duty Trucks
Gas
Diesel
Heavy-Duty Trucks
Gas
Diesel
Off-Road Gasoline
Other
Fuel Combustion
Fuelwood
Residential/Commercial
Industrial
Industrial Processes
Petrochemicals
Petroleum Refining
Plastics
Other
Incineration/Miscellaneous
Surface Coatings
Fuel Marketing
Dry Cleaning
Solvent Use
Slash Burning
Other
Power Generation
TOTAL
Ontario

175

44
0

14
11
7
32

37
1
6

13
67
9
30

60
10
6
143
18
5
1
688
Quebec 1

99

12
0

6
4
3
14

44
0
0

6
40
4
11

35
4
4
76
22
10
0
394
slew Brunswick

12

5
0

1
1
1
2

6
0
0

0
7
0
1

3
1
0
8
5
1
0
55
CANADA

507

126
1

47
34
72
74

119
4
53

33
179
15
68

134
31
16
325
106
21
3
1,968
 NOTE(S):    The sums may not equal total due to rounding.

 SOURCE:    Libby Greenwood of Environment Canada, Pollution Data Branch, Hull, Quebec.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-8

-------
           Table 7-4.  1990 Canada Nitrogen  Oxides Emissions by Province
                                       (thousand short tons)
SECTOR
Transportation
Automobiles
Heavy-Duty Diesel Vehicles
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks
Other
Fuel Combustion
Electric Power Generation
Residential Fuel Combustion
Other
Industrial Processes
Pulp and Paper Industry
Copper and Nickel Industry
Iron and Steel Industry
Petroleum Refining
Other
Incineration/Miscellaneous
TOTAL
Ontario

121
129
36
147

86
15
14

5
58
24
16
110
15
776
Quebec

80
80
17
91

7
6
10

19
1
5
5
39
2
362
New Brunswick CANADA

10
11
4
14

28
0
1

27
0
0
2
1
0
98 2,370
NOTE(S):   The sums may not equal total due to rounding.

SOURCE:   These are preliminary numbers provided by Libby Greenwood of Environment Canada, Pollution Data Branch, Hull, Quebec.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-9
                                            International

-------
     Table 7-5.  1990 Canada Volatile Organic Compound Emissions by Province
                    (thousand short tons [as total nonmethane hydrocarbons)
SECTOR
Transportation
Automobiles
Light-Duty Gasoline Trucks
Off-Road Use of Gasoline
Other
Fuel Combustion
Residential Fuelwood
Other
Industrial Processes
Petroleum Refining
Petrochemical Industry
Other
Incineration
Wood Waste
Other
Miscellaneous
Surface Coatings
General Solvent Use
Other
TOTAL
Ontario

177
50
34
46

126
3

67
17
108

4
1

140
180
32
985
Quebec New Brunsw

117
23
17
24

131
1

31
7
14

7
1

47
80
6
505
ick CANADA

13
6
2
4

1
0

7
0
3

3
1

1
8
1
50 2,972
NOTE(S): The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
SOURCE: These are preliminary numbers
provided by Libby
Greenwood of Environment Canada, Pollution
Data Branch, Hull, Quebec.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-10
                                      International

-------
                Table 7-6.  Canada Sulfur  Dioxide Emissions by Province
                                        (thousand short tons)

                                                            SECTOR
PROVINCE
Ontario
1985
1990
Quebec
1985
1990
New Brunswick
1985
1990
CANADA
1985
1990
Primary
Metals

860
805

553
271

19
7

1,968
N/A
Power
Generation

370
215

1
15

103
155

811
N/A
Other *

408
266

250
233

29
37

1,389
N/A
TOTAL

1,637
1,285

803
519

151
200

4,168
3,684
NOTE(S):



SOURCE:    These are preliminary numbers provided by Libby Greenwood of Environment Canada, Pollution Data Branch, Hull, Quebec.
The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
* 'Other" includes remaining Industrial Process sectors, Fuel Combustion, Transportation, and Incineration/Miscellaneous.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                        7-11
                                                                                       International

-------
                 Table 7-7.  CORINAIR 1985:  Nitrogen  Oxides Emissions
                                      (thousand short tons)


              Combustion    Oil     Industrial  Processes  Solvent    Road   Nature   Misc    Total   Percent
               excluding  refineries combustion          evaporation transport                       of Total
               industry
Belgium
Denmark
Germany
Greece
Spain
France
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Portugal
United Kingdom
Total Europe-12
Percent of Total
72
164
919
163
293
284
40
487
2
149
15
942
3,532
31
7
2
31
4
14
20
0
30
0
22
2
45
177
0
41
14
250
9
44
137
9
128
3
31
12
331
1,009
9
30
6
157
31
75
121
6
139
10
19
13
14
619
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
201
114
1,637
132
500
1,207
39
951
10
299
63
1.010
6,162
54
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
349
300
2,994
340
927
1,769
93
1,735
25
519
106
2,342
11,499

3
3
26
3
8
15
1
15
0
5
1
20


NOTE(S):   The sums may not equal total due to rounding.

SOURCE:   Commission of the European Communities, European Environment Agency Task Force.
           Table 7-8.  CORINAIR 1985:  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions
                                      (thousand short tons)
Combustion Oil Industrial Processes Solvent Road Nature Misc.
excluding refineries combustion evaporation transport

Belgium
Denmark
Germany
Greece
Spain
France
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Portugal
United Kingdom
Total Europe-12
Percent of Total
NOTE(S): The
industry
20
15
110
2
40
208
19
52
0
8
1
99
574
3
sums may not
SOURCE: Commission of the

12
3
32
7
24
34
1
42
0
13
4
34
207
1
equal total
European

3
2
23
1
2
8
1
6
0
11
1
62
120
1
due to

32
2
100
4
23
73
1
50
0
12
19
267
583
3
rounding.
Communities, European

90
64
1,235
31
360
483
23
438
3
181
57
736
3,701
17

Environment

213
106
1,286
127
539
1,311
26
1,090
7
239
58
872
5,874
27

Agency Task

31
8
280
216
966
467
23
244
3
15
72
88
2,413
11

Force.

78
28
3,383
290
406
476
26
1,326
2
0
8
2,165
8,188
38


Total Percent
of Total

479
228
6,450
678
2,360
3,060
121
3,246
15
479
220
4,323
21,661




2
1
30
3
11
14
1
15
0
2
1
20




National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                               7-12
International

-------
               Table 7-9.  CORINAIR 1985:  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions

                                     (thousand short tons)


             Combustion   Oil    Industrial   Processes   Solvent     Road   Nature Misc.  Total   Percent
              excluding  refineries combustion            evaporation  transport                    of Total
               industry
Belgium
Denmark
Germany
Greece
Spain
France
Ireland
Italy
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Portugal
United Kingdom
Total Europe-12
Percent of Total
208
266
1,705
411
1,873
672
87
1,307
3
78
95
3,250
9,956
66
39
4
160
31
107
247
1
163
0
90
14
133
990
7
109
67
459
89
290
489
61
606
6
17
76
615
2,884
19
60
18
164
20
69
116
2
143
9
23
25
106
755
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
18
12
65
0
74
109
4
84
0
12
8
47
433
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
433
367
2,553
551
2,413
1,634
155
2,304
18
220
218
4,151
15,018

3
2
17
4
16
11
1
15
0
1
1
28


NOTE(S):    The sums may not equal total due to rounding.


SOURCE:    Commission of the European Communities, European Environment Agency Task Force.
       i> Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
7-13
                                                                                              International

-------
1
1
-15
1
§
1
a.
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|
-*
i
1



t
**












5*
1
\
Table 7-10.
CORINAIR90
Emissions for
Belgium




(thousand short tons)
BELGIUM (FLEMISH REGION)
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

BELGIUM (WALLONIE REGION)
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

SO2 NO
79
26
79
41
0
0
9
0
1
0
0
235

SO2 NO
25
12
63
1
0
0
6
0
1
0
0
109

xasN02 NMVOC
51 0
7 4
20 2
4 46
0 11
0 59
116 116
0 0
1 0
0 0
0 12
200 251

x as NO2 NMVOC
14 0
7 4
57 3
2 13
0 0
0 34
104 94
4 4
1 0
0 1
0 21
188 174

CH4
0
1
0
3
25
0
9
0
1
139
17
193

CH4
0
4
3
13
22
0
1
0
5
150
0
197

CO
2
52
18
11
0
0
781
0
1
0
0
865

CO
1
19
103
154
0
0
227
2
7
0
0
513

CO2
18,490
14,025
12,198
74
0
0
12,225
0
1,026
0
0
58,038

C02
5,987
9,401
19,215
6,377
0
0
7,250
195
266
0
0
48,690

N2O
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
4
2
14

N20
0
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
6
3
15

NH3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
53
0
54

NH,
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
30
0
33

Emission estimates for the Wallonie Region are preliminary.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen,
Denmark.




-------


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Table 7-11. CORINAIR90 Emissions for Denmark and France

DENMARK
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL


FRANCE
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

NOTE(S): The sums may not equal total due to rounding.

SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon
(thousand short
SO2 NOX as
148
10
30
0
0
0
7
17
0
0
0
212


SO2 NOX as
378
128
566
122
26
0
160 1
27
21
0
3
tons)
NO2
99
6
15
1
4
0
112
63
0
0
0
301


NO2
116
97
182
34
4
0
142
142
26
0
6
1,430 1,749







NMVOC
1
9
1
4
7
37
108
15
0
2
10
196


NMVOC
1
236
8
110
135
699
1,287
134
21
12
508
3,150



Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency

CH4
1
7
1
0
13
0
2
1
134
289
390
838


CH4
1
165
7
6
387
0
25
1
802
2,651
210
4,256




CO
41
154
5
0
38
0
601
30
0
0
0
868


CO
23
2,081
658
735
0
0
7,493
563
255
0
213
12,023




CO2
29,288
8,687
8,411
1,283
799
0
8,907
4,227
0
0
0
61,600


C02
44,000
129,360
95,370
7,480
220
0
107,140
12,870
13,090
0
119,680
529,210




N20
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
7
18


N20
1
4
2
103
0
0
4
0
1
67
61
245




NH3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
139
0
139


NH3
0
0
0
18
0
0
1
0
2
688
0
710



, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
1
1
V
1
1
i
g-
§
a
I
j^
|
4
S


i
0\












'S
I
\
Table 7-12. CORINAIR90

FORMER WEST GERMANY
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

GREECE
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
NOTE(S): The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
Emissions
(thousand
for Former West
short tons)
S02 NOX as NO2
278
147
400
59
22
0
56
13
0
0
0
977

301
113
319
18
2
0
1,660
242
0
0
0
2,655

SO2 NOX as NO2
362
42
29
56
0
0
15
200
0
0
1
705

123
1
3
37
0
0
125
300
0
8
1
598


NMVOC
7
37
9
127
189
1,133
898
53
0
0
298
2,750

NMVOC
1
0
0
24
4
90
151
51
0
35
432
790

Germany

CH4
7
35
8
9
1,625
0
54
1
1,967
1,658
0
5,363

CH4
1
0
0
2
400
0
4
1
223
399
5,029
6,058

and Greece

CO
64
760
785
666
0
0
5,444
216
0
0
0
7,934

CO
7
1
0
27
0
0
775
73
0
375
0
1,258


C02
243,100
155,100
189,200
24,200
1,100
0
144,100
22,000
0
0
0
778,800

C02
55,809
2,155
1,531
8,627
0
0
11,394
9,348
667
1
8,163
97,694


N2O
9
4
6
103
0
0
9
0
4
51
0
186

N20
8
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
14
200
226


NH3
0
0
0
2
0
0
8
0
0
589
0
598

NH3
0
0
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
507
0
519

For Germany: Marine activities excluded. Airports - civil aviation only.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the
European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------


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8
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EL
Table 7-13. CORI
IMAIR90 Emis
ssions f
or Ireland
and It
aly



(thousand short tons)
IRELAND
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

ITALY
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
NOTE(S): The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon
S02 NOX
113
33
43
0
0
0
6
1
0
0
0
196

S02 NOX
844
90
631
115
0
0
113
53
5
0
627
2,478

asNO2
51
7
12
2
0
0
48
5
1
0
0
127

asNO2
448
65
334
14
0
0
1,041
306
38
1
13
2,259

NMVOC
0
9
0
1
3
24
69
1
5
86
18
217

NMVOC
4
23
12
112
146
591
1,049
144
124
435
167
2,809

Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency
CH4
0
4
0
0
11
0
1
0
152
707
59
935

CH4
4
18
10
8
382
0
28
9
1,433
1,941
320
4,155

CO
4
88
1
0
0
0
335
4
43
0
0
474

CO
25
286
682
418
0
0
6,088
791
1,876
30
1,187
11,382

CO2
11,949
8,645
5,974
1,107
0
0
4,452
486
1,560
0
0
34,173

CO2
117,889
77,653
158,674
30,352
0
0
101,229
23,526
5,959
0
56,621
571,903

N20
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
43
3
50

N2O
18
9
13
16
0
0
3
3
2
63
29
156

NH3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
132
0
139

NH3
0
0
0
25
0
0
1
0
12
384
0
422

Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
 £
 vo
 JO
 Uj
oo
Table 7-14.  CORINAIR90 Emissions for Luxembourg and Netherlands
                           (thousand short tons)
       LUXEMBOURG
                             SO
NOxasN02  NMVOC
CH4
CO
CO
      NOTE(S):   The sums may not equal total due to rounding.


      SOURCE:   These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.
N2O
NH,
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
NETHERLANDS
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
0
1
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
16
S02
48
5
48
81
0
0
14
19
5
2
0
221
0
1
12
0
0
0
10
1
0
0
0
25
NOX as NO2
84
34
44
67
2
1
299
54
6
26
17
633
0
1
0
1
2
4
11
1
0
0
2
22
NMVOC
0
18
1
85
1
"160
202
25
3
6
4
505
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
4
19
1
27
CH4
1
2
2
9
1
0
7
0
416
572
135
1,144
0
6
108
19
0
0
52
3
0
0
0
188
CO
6
111
13
280
2
1
743
23
3
9
29
1,217
2,071
1,313
7,118
644
0
0
845
117
145
0
116
12,368
C02
43,450
34,650
30,360
26,400
433
312
26,180
2,970
2,640
7,700
0
175,096
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
N20
0
0
0
2
0
0
5
0
3
10
8
28
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0
8
NH3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
209
10
225

-------
1
 .
Table 7-15. CORING
AIR90 E
missions fc
>r Portugal
and S
pain



(thousand short tons)
PORTUGAL
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
SPAIN
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
NOTE(S): The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
Emission estimates for Portugal are preliminary.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon
S02
192
5
60
39
0
0
15
3
0
0
0
314
S02
1,609
108
526
42
0
0
76
19
46
0
0
2,426

NOX as NO2
55
3
26
9
0
0
117
26
0
0
6
243
NOX as N02
274
23
186
16
0
0
563
271
38
1
11
1,383

NMVOC
0
11
4
34
8
74
89
7
0
4
482
714
NMVOC
11
65
12
87
64
339
494
43
25
91
853
2,083

Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency,
CH4
0
8
3
2
2
0
2
0
48
147
151
363
CH4
10
49
8
4
752
0
13
2
557
962
942
3,298

CO
2
129
363
12
0
0
676
13
0
0
0
1,195
CO
18
979
446
273
0
0
2,871
122
579
157
29
5,475

CO2
15,589
3,865
15,286
5,811
0
0
9,403
1,638
443
0
11,074
63,109
CO2
71,380
31,820
72,364
38,790
0
0
53,577
16,060
7,805
15,524
11,459
318,778

N20
2
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
30
16
54
N20
10
3
7
11
0
0
2
0
0
69
118
222

NH3
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
96
0
102
NH3
0
0
0
17
0
0
0
0
0
346
0
364

Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
1
JN"
i
|=

31
to
§
1

i
s
<-u


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to
0












a
3
S.
1
Table 7-16. CORINAIR90 Emissions for
(EU-12
United
except Former East
Kingdom and European
Germany)


Union





(thousand short tons)
UNITED KINGDOM
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL


EUROPEAN UNION (EU-12 except Former GDR)
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

Emission estimates for EU-12 are preliminary.
S02 NOX
3,002
229
773
20
0
0
69
72
0
0
0
4,165


S02 NOX
7,080
835
3,262
578
48
0
547
424
80
2
630
13,485


asNO2
854
136
252
10
71
0
1,521
193
14
0
0
3,051


asNO2
2,471
504
1,461
212
83
1
6,859
1,608
124
36
54
13,412


NMVOC
14
45
3
325
485
827
1,081
28
53
0
88
2,950


NMVOC
41
463
57
969
1,057
4,071
5,649
507
232
673
2,895
16,612


CH<
0
1
0
0
1,332
0
12
0
1,197
1,184
0
3,725


CH4
25
293
42
56
4,954
0
157
15
6,938
10,818
7,254
30,551


CO
55
324
78
0
2
0
6,625
47
242
0
0
7,371


CO
247
4,989
3,260
2,595
41
1
32,710
1,887
3,005
571
1,458
50,764


CO2
218,900
121,330
134,200
8,140
13,860
0
120,230
12,100
9,680
0
0
638,440


CO2
877,902
598,004
749,900
159,284
16,412
312
606,931
105,536
43,281
23,225
207,112
3,387,900


N20
3
0
0
93
0
0
0
0
0
90
0
187


N2O
56
25
34
340
0
0
26
4
10
457
447
1,401


NH3
0
0
0
17
0
0
0
0
4
494
53
568


NH3
0
1
0
107
0
0
11
0
25
3,672
63
3,879


•SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
                                      Table 7-17.  CORINAIR90 Emissions for
                                                               (thousand short tons)
ia and Bulgaria
       AUSTRIA
SO2  NOX as NO2  NMVOC
       CH4
                                                                                                            CO
CO
N20
                                             NH
to
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
BULGARIA
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
18
21
43
12.
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
102
SO2
1,598
133
359
89
1
0
11
18
0
0
0
2,209
13
13
40
14
0
0
168
0
1
0
0
248
NOX as NO2
95
6
79
32
0
0
150
32
1
1
0
398
0
110
12
9
17
143
124
0
28
13
244
701
NMVOC
1
19
10
33
5
45
81
6
7
33
194
433
0
9
1
0
101
0
3
0
342
223
229
908
CH4
1
20
5
3
288
0
2
0
68
260
2
648
7
858
30
265
0
0
624
0
0
66
0
1,851
CO
15
300
115
53
0
0
409
16
71
1
11
991
11,770
13,750
14,520
2,310
0
0
15,290
0
55
0
0
57,695
C02
35,004
7,813
24,782
5,656
11,810
0
8,357
2,330
2,940
1,269
198
100,159
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
8
0
10
N2O
8
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
23
14
53
0
0
0
5
0
0
1
0
5
83
9
104
NH3
0
0
0
11
0
0
0
0
28
317
0
356
       NOTE(S):    The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
                  Emission estimates for Austria are preliminary.

       SOURCE:    These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
1
1
Jh.

£_
a1
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£
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i
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&
%
1
Table 7-18. CORINAIR90
Emissions
for Czech Republic and
Finland



(thousand short tons)

CZECH REPUBLIC
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional" and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

FINLAND
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

Emission estimates for Finland are preliminary.

S02 NOX
1,279
504
191
67
0
0
0
6
1
0
0
2,049

SO2 NOX
81
22
86
66
0
0
4
8
0
0
0
267



asNO2
353
114
159
9
0
0
157
57
1
0
0
850

asNO2
65
15
34
4
0
0
131
61
0
0
0
311



NMVOC
5
64
4
31
6
102
58
8
0
0
44
323

NMVOC
1
36
1
21
20
52
80
15
3
0
563
793


SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency,

CH4
5
64
4
2
929
0
3
0
38
558
104
1,707

CH4
1
7
2
0
0
0
2
8
74
179
0
274



CO
30
551
303
91
0
0
157
10
6
0
0
1,148

CO
9
67
39
3
0
0
437
46
11
0
0
612



C02
71,459
56,194
29,840
822
0
0
8,434
3,433
833
0
2,266
173,280

C02
24,200
10,230
26,400
1,364
0
0
13,006
5,599
0
0
2,750
83,549



N20
9
6
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
28
18
68

N2O
1
0
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
33
77
116



NH3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
97
0
0
100

NH3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
43
0
45


Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
I
' Air Pollutant
1
1
I
1
!S
£

-jj











|
a.
i
Table 7-19. CORINAJR90 t
FORMER EAST GERMANY
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

NORWAY
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
NOTE(S): 1 he sums may not equal total due to rounding.
For Germany: Marine activities excluded. Airports - civil
Emissions for F
(thousand short
SO2 NOX as
4,129
505
392
8
0
0
29
20
0
0
0
5,082

S02 NOX as
1
3
8
34
0
0
4
9
0
0
0
59
aviation only.
orme
tons)
NO2
299
11
151
6
0
0
151
68
0
0
0
685

NO2
1
3
30
10
0
0
92
109
10
0
0
256

r East Ger
NMVOC
2
88
11
19
36
154
473
31
0
0
128
942

NMVOC
0
10
2
14
122
35
97
16
1
0
0
297

SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency,
many
CH4
2
88
11
0
77
0
24
1
507
600
0
1,310

CH4
0
12
3
2
15
0
2
1
175
100
0
310

ana Norv
CO
802
1,498
208
65
25
0
1,079
70
0
0
0
3,748

CO
1
138
12
66
0
0
792
36
1
0
0
1,046

vay
C02
156,200
69,300
93,500
7,700
0
0
19,800
5,500
0
0
0
352,000

C02
195
2,749
10,650
7,175
406
105
8,865
5,674
1,857
194
10
37,879


N2O
4
2
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
23
0
39

N2O
0
1
1
7
0
0
1
0
0
7
0
17


NH3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
209
0
211

NH3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
41
0
42

Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
1
I
s
1
1
i
1
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i
I
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3*
1
t
Table 7-20. CORINAIR90 Emissions for
Poland
and Slovakia
(thousand short tons)
POLAND
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
SLOVAKIA
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

Emission estimates for Slovakia are preliminary.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon
S02 NOX
1,748
488
1,106
103
0
83
71
1
0
0
0
3,601
S02 NOX
267
128
182
13
0
0
3
1
1
0
0
596


asNO2
542
48
383
83
0
0
267
175
92
0
1
1,590
asNO2
60
13
60
16
6
0
62
13
1
0
0
231


NMVOC
3
109
12
97
56
253
272
80
186
38
319
1,425
NMVOC
1
15
11
7
16
61
44
1
12
0
0
169


CH4
3
103
18
10
3,205
0
5
1
895
2,047
431
6,718
CH4
0
15
7
0
136
0
1
0
106
133
0
398


CO
75
1,478
3,728
135
0
0
2,346
99
247
0
20
8,128
CO
10
188
127
21
2
0
166
6
0
0
0
521


C02
169,895
68,893
162,074
4,279
0
0
21,538
12,837
2,288
0
14,619
456,423
C02
17,450
11,517
16,081
3,460
1,316
0
5,212
571
517
0
4
56,128


N2O
16
5
7
14
0
0
1
0
2
103
23
171
N20
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
6


NH3
1
0
0
39
0
0
0
0
47
504
47
639
NH3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
68
0
71


Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
f
f
Emission 3
I
i
§
i


to











!
i
E.
Table 7-21. CORINAIR90 Emissions for Sweden and Selected European Countries (EU-12 + Austria
Czech Republic, Finland, Former East Germany, Norway, Poland, Slovakia, and Sweden)
(thousand short tons)
SWEDEN
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution oi fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL

SELECTED EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
TOTAL
S02
16
17
41
19
0
0
8
12
2
0
0
115

SO2
16,218
2,658
5,670
987
49
0
697
570
85
2
630
27,565
NOX as NO2
15
13
46
11
0
0
179
112
2
0
0
380

NOX as NO2
3,915
739
2,444
397
90
1
8,216
2,235
233
37
55
18,361
NIUIVOC
3
142
9
34
19
82
170
38
0
0
297
794

NMVOC
56
1,057
128
1,234
1,354
4,998
7,049
702
470
757
4,684
22,488
CH4
1
11
5
0
0
0
14
4
198
226
1,860
2,317

CH4
38
622
98
72
9,705
0
212
32
9,341
15,142
9,880
45,141
CO
6
79
27
7
0
0
1,229
117
15
0
2
1,482

CO
1,201
10,145
7,850
3,301
69
1
39,951
2,287
3,357
637
1,491
70,289
CO2
7,609
10,010
17,751
2,198
0
0
17,741
6,741
32,556
0
92,816
187,420

C02
1,371,685
848,460
1,145,497
194,248
29,943
417
725,173
148,221
84,326
24,688
319,776
, Bulgaria,
N20
1
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
9
20
36

N2O
97
42
55
380
0
0
31
7
12
694
600
4,892,433 1,917
NH3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
31
49
1
81

NH3
2
2
1
171
0
0
13
0
137
5,084
118
5,529
NOTE(S): I he sums may not equal total due to rounding.
Emission estimates for selected European countries (EU-12 plus 9 additional European countries) are preliminary.
SOURCE: These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.










-------

to
             Table 7-22.  CORINAIR90 Estimates of the Percentage of Europe Emissions from Source Categories
                                                          (percentages)
EUROPEAN UNION (EU-12, except Former East
Germany)
SO2  NOX as NO2  NMVOC      CH4     CO
CO2
                                                                                                               N2O
NH,
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
SELECTED EUROPEAN COUNTRIES (EU-12 + 9
additional countries)
1 Public power, cogeneration and district heating
2 Commercial, institutional and residential combustion
3 Industrial combustion
4 Production processes
5 Extraction and distribution of fossil fuels
6 Solvent use
7 Road transport
8 Other mobile sources and machinery
9 Waste treatment and disposal
10 Agriculture
11 Nature
52
6
24
4
0
0
4
3
1
0
5
S02

59
10
21
4
0
0
3
2
0
0
2
18
4
11
2
1
0
51
12
1
0
0
NOX as NO2

21
4
13
2
0
0
45
12
1
0
0
0
3
0
6
6
25
34
3
1
4
17
NMVOC

0
5
1
5
6
22
31
3
2
3
21
0
1
0
0
16
0
1
0
23
35
24
CH4

0
1
0
0
21
0
0
0
21
34
22
0
10
6
5
0
0
64
4
6
1
3
CO

2
14
11
5
0
0
57
3
5
1
2
26
18
22
5
0
0
18
3
1
1
6
C02

28
17
23
4
1
0
15
3
2
1
7
4
2
2
24
0
0
2
0
1
33
32
N20

5
2
3
20
0
0
2
0
1
36
31
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
95
2
NH3

0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
92
2
      NOTE(S):    The sums may not equal total due to rounding.
      SOURCE:   These final and preliminary tables are provided by Gordon Mclnnes of the European Environment Agency, Copenhagen, Denmark.

-------
g:
f
kiM
|

ft
g'
1
s3
f-
s
p
1



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to
-j











a*
I
cr.
i
Tab

Source Category
Stationary sources








Highway vehicles




SOURCE: V.B. Miliaev, Director,
le 7-23. Emissions in the Territory
(million short tons)
Pollutant

Total
Particulate Matter
Gaseous and liquid substances, including:
Sulfur dioxide
Carbon monoxide
Nitrogen oxides
Hydrocarbons (without VOC)
VOC

Total
Carbon dioxide
Nitrogen oxides
Hydrocarbons
or Kussia


















1991 1992

32 28
66
25 23
9 8
8 7
3 3
3 2
2 2

17 16
13 13
1 1
3 2

















Scientific Research Institute of Atmospheric Air Protection, Ministry for Environmental Protection and
Natural Resources, Russian Federation, St. Petersburg, Russia, 1994.


CATEGORY
Vehicles (Total)
Cars
Buses
Trucks
Industry (Total)
Manufacturing
Electricity
Oil Refining
Services (Total)
TOTAL
SOURCE: "Chapter 6, Integrated Environmental and
Countries, World Bank, 1992.
Table 7-24. Mexico Emissions in
(tons)
NOX SO2
954,966 402,638
207,939 17,631
165,829 115,211
581,198 269,796
829,551 6,133,401
152,675 347,459
635,340 5,596,041
41,536 189,901
19,891 110,031
1,804,408 6,646,070


1985

VOC
1,752,576
728,993
48,747
974,836
629,850
211,339
10,856
407,655
604
2,383,030
2: Applied Work



CO
17,151,780
6,870,479
118,903
10,162,398
813,768
83,603
53,802
676,363
2,324
17,967,872


TSP
55,666
21,813
5,299
28,554
409,548
54,139
340,583
14,826
12,315
477,529
and Case Studies in Developing and Industrial



-------
                                  SECTION 8.0

     NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL GREENHOUSE
                               GAS EMISSIONS
8.1    NATIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS
      EMISSIONS

8.1.1  Introduction

Naturally  occurring greenhouse  gases  include
water vapor CO2, CH4, nitrous oxide (N2O), and
03.   Chlorofluorocarbons  (CFCs  [a family of
human-made compounds]), its  substitute
hydrofluorocarbons (MFCs), and other compounds
such as perfluorinated carbons (PFCs), are also
greenhouse gases.  Although CO2, CH4,  and N2O
occur  naturally in  the atmosphere, their recent
atmospheric build up appears to  be largely the
result of human activities. This growth has altered
the  composition of the Earth's atmosphere, and
may affect future global climate.

The United  States signed the  Framework
Convention on Climate Change  (FCCC) at the
United Nations Conference on Environment and
Development in June 1992, and in October  1992,
became the first industrialized nation to ratify the
treaty. Since the mid-1980s, the United States has
actively supported international cooperation to help
implement the provisions of this agreement.  In
particular, the United States has  worked with
technical experts from over 50 countries,  along
with the Organization for Economic Cooperation
and Development  (OECD), as  part  of the
inventory program of the Intergovernmental Panel
on  Climate Change (IPCC).   This  effort has
helped facilitate  agreement on  methods for
 estimating emissions of greenhouse gases, which
 absorb reradiated  energy  from the sun.  This
 trapped energy warms  the  earth's  surface and
 atmosphere,  leading  to  what  is  termed the
 "greenhouse effect."  The purpose behind this
 cooperative effort  is twofold: (1) to provide a
   basis  for on-going  development of  a
   comprehensive and  detailed methodology for
   estimating sources and sinksj of greenhouse gases
   and (2) to develop an international  system of
   consistent national inventories of greenhouse gas
   emissions and sinks for all signatory countries to
   the FCCC.k

   8.1.2  Methodology and Data

   The U.S.  greenhouse gas  emissions presented in
   this report are taken from  an  EPA  report,
   Inventory  of U.S.  Greenhouse  Gas Emissions:
   1990-1993, Final Report, September 1994.1
   Emissions of greenhouse gases for various source
   categories were developed using methods that are
   similar to  those recommended by Volumes 1-3 of
   IPCC Draft Guidelines for National Greenhouse
   Gas Inventories (IPCC/OECD,  1994).2   The
   IPCC's guidelines were followed  whenever
   possible,  to ensure  that the U.S.  emissions
   inventory  is  comparable  to  other  countries'
   inventories submitted under the FCCC.  It should
   be noted   that the IPCC  guidelines  represent
   baseline methodologies.  The methodologies are
   currently evolving, and efforts continue to refine
   the recommended procedures.  For U.S. emission
   sources relating to energy consumption, forest
   sinks,  and some CH4 sources,  the IPCC default
   methodologies were expanded, resulting in a more
   comprehensive estimation procedure.  Details on
   the methods utilized to develop the U.S. emissions
   are  available  in the  aforementioned  September
   1994, EPA report.

   The 1990 to 1993 CO2 emissions, including CO2
   sinks (represented by values in parentheses), are
   presented  in Table 8-1. Total 1993 CO2 emissions
   were not  estimated  because  some  data  were
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-1
                                   Greenhouse Gas

-------
unavailable. Fossil-fuel combustion is the most
significant source of CO2 emissions in the United
States. For example, 98 percent of total U.S. CO2
emissions in 1990 resulted from the consumption
of fossil fuels.  The 1990 to  1993 trend  in CO2
emissions was  largely a result  of changes in
energy consumption over this  period caused by a
general downturn and subsequent recovery in the
U.S.  economy.   Carbon dioxide may  also  be
emitted when  raw materials are chemically
transformed  during  certain  industrial  processes.
From 1990 to 1992, industrial processes accounted
for approximately  1 percent  of total  U.S. CO2
emissions.   Because  certain  natural  processes
remove (sequester) CO2 from the atmosphere, total
net CO2 emissions are estimated by subtracting the
amount of CO2 sequestered by forest management
and land-use activities from the amount produced.
Over the 1990 to 1992 period,  these activities
removed approximately 10 percent of total CO2
emissions.

It should be noted that these  accountings  of
greenhouse gases focus only on those sources and
sinks that  significantly  influence the  net
accumulation of these gases  in the atmosphere.
Major components  of the carbon and nitrogen
cycles, involving animal metabolism, seasonal
plant photosynthesis and respiration, etc.,  are not
included here because on the  scale of years they
are  effectively  in  balance.   For example,  the
approximately  100 million short tons per  year of
CO2  exhaled by  the  human  population  of the
United States derive from the carbon that has been
extracted from the atmosphere  by agricultural
crops, a portion of which, directly or  through
animal feed, becomes our food.

Emissions for CH4 and  N2O are displayed in
Tables 8-2 and 8-3, respectively.  As with carbon
dioxide, data were not available to estimate total
CH4 and N2O emissions in 1993.  The 1990 CH4
estimates were primarily taken from the U.S. EPA
report, Anthropogenic  Methane Emissions in the
United States:  Report to Congress (U.S. EPA,
1993).3   The  methodologies  described  in  that
report  are  conceptually .similar  to the  IPCC's
procedures.  Estimates  for  1991-1993 were also
compiled using these  metholodologies.   Total
estimated CH4 emissions have remained essentially
constant over the 1990 to 1992 period.

The largest single anthropogenic source of CH4
emissions  in  the  United  States  is landfills,
accounting for  approximately 37 percent of total
CH4 emissions. Municipal solid waste landfills
are responsible  for about 90 to 95 percent of these
emissions, while the remainder comprise industrial
landfills.   Agricultural  activities, which include
management of domestic livestock and animal
waste generation, also substantially contribute to
CH4 emissions.  In 1990, domestic  livestock and
animal  wastes  were together  responsible for
approximately 30 percent of total anthropogenic
CH4 emissions.

Over the 1990 to 1992 period, total N2O emissions
increased slightly.  The application of fertilizers to
soil (both synthetic nitrogen fertilizer and organic
fertilizer), is the most significant source of nitrous
oxide emissions. Fertilizers were responsible for
an  estimated  44  percent  of total  U.S.  N20
emissions during 1990.  Between 1991 and  1992,
the annual average rate of increase was 2 percent.
Additional activities that create significant amounts
of N2O emissions include fossil-fuel consumption
and industrial processes such as adipic acid and
nitric acid production.

Partially halogenated  compounds  (HFCs)  and
PFCs are used primarily as alternatives to the
ozone depleting substances (ODSs)  being phased
out under  the  Montreal  Protocol  and CAAA.
Ozone depleting substances  which include CFCs
and partially halogenated fluorocarbons (HCFCs)
are used in a variety of industrial applications,
including refrigeration,  solvent cleaning,  foam
production,  sterilization, and  fire extinguishing.
Although the ODS replacements (i.e., HFCs and
PFCs) are not harmful to the stratospheric ozone
layer, they  are  powerful  greenhouse gases (for
example, HFC-134a is 1,200 times  more heat
absorbent than  an  equivalent amount of C02 by
weight in the atmosphere).
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              8-2
                                  Greenhouse Gas

-------
In 1990, HFCs and PFCs were not used widely as
commercial chemicals.   However,  these  gases
were emitted as by-products from other industrial
production processes.  For example, HFC-23 was
emitted as a by-product of HCFC-22 production,
and CF4  and C2F6  (two  PFCs) were released
during aluminum  smelting.  Emissions of these
HFCs and PFCs totaled  approximately 79.5
thousand short tons CO2 equivalent in 1990. The
manufacture and emissions of HFCs and PFCs are
expected to rise as their use as ODS replacements
increases.

      Emissions of HFCs and PFCs:  1990
            (thousand short tons)
               Molecular
CO,
Compound
HFCs
HFC-23
HFC-134a
HFC-152a
PFCs
Total PFCs
Basis GWP

0.00552 10,000
0.0005 1 ,200
0.0003 150

0.003 5,400
Emissions

60.85
0.66
0.05

17.86
 Source: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 1990-1993. Final
 Report. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. September 1994.
 8.2   INTERNATIONAL GREENHOUSE
      GAS EMISSIONS

 8.2.1 Carbon Dioxide Emissions

 The C02 emissions presented in this section were
 obtained from the Carbon  Dioxide  Information
 Analysis Center,  Oak  Ridge  National
 Laboratories.4 A systematic method for estimating
 the amount of global CO2 emissions due to fossil-
 fuel combustion was first proposed in 1973.  The
 methodology  also accounts  for CO2  emissions
 from cement manufacturing and gas flaring. Since
 that date,  both  the  data  collection  and  the
 procedures  for estimating CO2  emissions have
 been refined and  improved.5  To derive global
 emissions, energy and population statistics were
 obtained from the  United Nation's Department of
 International Economic and Social Affairs.  The
U.S. DOI's Bureau  of Mines  supplied  cement
manufacturing data,  and gas flaring  data  were
compiled from both the U.S. EIA and  the United
Nations.

8.2.2   Global Trends

Since 1860, when CO2 emissions  were estimated
to be about 375 million short tons per year, global
CO2 emissions have risen dramatically. In 1991,
approximately 25 billion short tons of CO2  were
emitted to the atmosphere as a result of fossil-fuel
burning, cement  manufacturing,  and gas flaring.

Table 8-4 presents global CO2 emissions for  1860
to  1991.    Starting in  1950,  estimates  were
developed  using the  methods  of Marland and
Rotty.6   Figure  8-1 depicts the trend  in  CO2
emissions  over the 1950 to  1991 period.  Total
global  CO2 emissions continued  their  upward
trend, increasing 2 percent between  1990 and
1991.

Table 8-5 displays regional world CO2 emissions
for  1950 to 1991. The nine regions are based on
United Nations   conventions and  are defined in
Table 8-5.  Between  1990 and 1991, a decline in
CO2 emissions was evident for Eastern Europe and
North America.  An increase in CO2 emissions
over the  same  period was seen  for  regions
experiencing much faster population growth  (i.e.,
Africa, Centrally Planned Asia, Other America,
Far East, and Oceania). In 1950, North America,
and  Western and Eastern  Europe contributed
approximately 89 percent of total CO2 emissions.
Presently, that percentage has  dropped  to  only
about 40 percent.

Figure 8-2 compares estimates of total global CO2
per capita emissions with CO2 per  capita
emissions for Mexico and Canada during 1950 to
1991.  Per capita emissions for  the United States
are  presented from 1950 to 1989.  1990 to  1993
CO2 emissions for the United States are discussed
in section  8.1.   Per capita CO2 emissions for
Canada peaked  in  1979 at  19.8 short tons, well
above  the  global  average,  while Mexico's per
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
        8-3
                                             Greenhouse Gas

-------
capita emissions are significantly lower, exceeding
the global average only once in 1982.

8.2.3   United States

Table 8-6 and Figure 8-3 present CO2 emissions
for the United States. The United States continues
to be the largest single source of fossil-fuel-related
CO2 emissions,  contributing  approximately  38
percent more CO2 emissions than the world's
second largest emitter, the former USSR. Carbon
dioxide emissions in 1989 were nearly twice those
of  1950,  although the  United States' share of
global emissions declined over the same interval
due to higher growth  rates in other countries.  In
1989,  CO2  emissions from the United  States
reached an all-time high of 6 billion short tons of
CO2 and have since remained near this level. U.S.
emissions for 1990 through 1993 are discussed in
more detail in section 8.1.

8.2.4  Canada

Table  8-7 and Figure 8-4 present CO2 emissions
for Canada for the period 1950 to  1991.  Total
CO2 emissions from  Canada more than doubled
between  1950 and  1974,  and continued rising
until  1980.   In  the  early 1980s, CO2 emissions
 8.3    REFERENCES
   declined, but then began to increase  by 1986,
   peaking in 1989 at 488 million short tons of C02.
   By 1991, CO2 emissions had decreased 7 percent
   from  1989 emission levels.   Coal burning
   contributed to 63 percent of the total emissions in
   1950,  but declined in both absolute and relative
   terms  until 1974.  Beginning in 1974, a decline in
   CO2 emissions from liquid fuels was accompanied
   by a steady increase in emissions from coal.6

   8.2.5  Mexico

   Carbon  dioxide emissions  for Mexico are
   displayed in Table 8-8 and Figure 8-5. From 1950
   to  1982,  total  CO2 emissions  from Mexico
   increased at a rate of approximately 7 percent per
   year.    Total emissions  declined slightly and
   leveled  off near 320 million short tons of C02
   during the period 1983 to 1988.  From 1989 to
   1991, total  emissions  rose approximately
   10 percent, peaking at 375 million short tons of
   CO2 in 1991.  The increase in emissions has been
   largely   attributable to  an  increase in oil
   production.   In  1991,  petroleum  products
   accounted for 74 percent of total CO2 emissions,
   the highest fraction  of any of the major C02-
   emitting countries. In recent years, natural gas has
   become  increasingly important in Mexico and now
   accounts for 15  percent of CO2 emissions.6
 1.  Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse  Gas Emissions: 1990-1993.
    Protection Agency.  September 1994.
               Final  Report.  U.S. Environmental
 2.  IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, 3  volumes:   Vol. 1,  Reporting
    Instructions; Vol. 2, Workbook; Vol. 3, Draft Reference Manual. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
    Change, Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development.  Paris, France.  1994.

 3.  Anthropogenic Methane Emissions in  the United States, Estimates for 1990: Report to Congress.
    EPA/430-R-93-003.   Office  of Air  and Radiation,  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
    Washington, DC. 1993

 4.  Keeling,  C.D. 1994. Global historical CO2 emissions, pp.  5-8.  In  T.A. Boden,  D.P. Kaiser,
    R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A  Compendium of Data on  Global Change.
    ORNL/CDIAC-65. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory,
    Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-4
Greenhouse Gas

-------
4.  Keeling, C.D. 1994.  Global  historical  CO2 emissions, pp.  5-8.  In T.A.  Boden,  D.P. Kaiser,
   R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93:  A Compendium of Data on Global Change.
   ORNL/CDIAC-65. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory,
   Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.

5. Marland, G. and R.M. Rotty, 1984. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil Fuels: A Procedure for
   Estimation and Results for 1950-1982. Tellus 36b:232-261.

6. Marland, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp.
   9-88. In T.A.  Boden, D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium
   of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak
   Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
  j A "sink" is a mechanism that leads to the removal and/or destruction of greenhouse gases.

  k Article 4-1 of the FCCC requires that all parties "develop, periodically update, publish, and make available to the
 Conference of the Parties, in accordance with Article 12, national inventories of anthropogenic emissions by sources and
 removals by sinks of all greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol, using comparable methodologies to be
 agreed upon by the Conference of the Parties."
  National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           8-5                                    Greenhouse Gas

-------
            Table 8-1. Summary of U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Sinks
                              by Source Category, 1990 to 1993
                                      (thousand short tons)
Source Category "990 '"> 1S3iJ '993
FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION FOR ENERGY
Electric Utilities
Oil
Gas
Coal
Industry
Oil
Gas
Coal
Transportation
Oil
Gas
Coal
Commercial
Oil
Gas
Coal
Residential
Oil
Gas
Coal
U.S. Territories
Oil
Gas
Coal
TOTAL FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION
FUGITIVE FUEL
INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Cement Production
Lime Production
Limestone Use
Soda Ash Production and Use
Carbon Dioxide Manufacture
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
TOTAL EMISSIONS
FORESTRY/LAND USE
TOTAL NET EMISSIONS

1,920,726
107,618
167,093
1,646,015
1,174,947
418,399
480,633
275,916
1,656,345
1,616,495
39,849
0
240,100
72,863
157,553
9,684
367,271
96,952
263,867
6,452
36,848
36,303
0
545
5,396,236
7,231

36,045
13,117
5,622
4,519
1,323
60,627
5,464,093
480,603
4,983,491

1,909,335
101,337
169,697
1,638,301
1,127,836
366,354
500,622
260,860
1,620,723
1,583,689
37,034
0
244,650
69,051
166,791
8,807
383,043
98,826
278,348
5,869
43,642
42,862
0
780
5,329,228
8,157

35,224
12,909
5,340
4,442
1,389
59,304
5,396,689
477,296
4,919,393

1,905,405
80,579
168,149
1,656,676
1,185,319
411,767
520,103
253,449
1,644,036
1,607,785
36,251
0
245,261
65,166
171,162
8,933
392,477
100,435
286,132
5,911
37,847
37,067
0
780
5,410,345
8,047

35,507
13,329
5,491
4,464
1,455
60,246
5,478,638
472,887
5,005,752

1,984,218
90,982
161,994
1,731,243
1,182,497
396,373
530,802
255,322
1,661,142
1,624,111
37,031
0
251,365
64,619
177,032
9,715
409,208
101,456
301,341
6,411
37,847
37,067
0
780
5,526,277
NA

NA
NA
NA
4,530
1,543
NA
NA
NA
NA
  NOTE(S): 'NA' = Not available
          Totals presented In this table may not equal the sum of the Individual source categories due to rounding.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-6
                                      Greenhouse Gas

-------
         Table 8-2. Summary of U.S. Methane Emissions by Source Category,
                                          1990 to 1993
                                      (thousand short tons)
 Source Category
    1990
1991
1992
  NOTE(S): V denotes negligible emissions.
        •NA' = not available
        Totals presented in this table may not equal the sum of the individual source categories due to rounding.
1993
WASTE
Landfills
Wastewater
AGRICULTURE
Dairy Cattle
Beef Cattle
Sheep
Goats
Pigs
Horses
Animal Wastes
Dairy
Beef
Swine
Other
Agricultural Waste Burning
Cereals
Pulse
Tuber and Root
Sugarcane
Rice Cultivation
TOTAL AGRICULTURE
FUGITIVE FUEL EMISSIONS
Coal Mining
Oil and Gas Systems
MOBILE SOURCES
STATIONARY COMBUSTION
TOTAL EMISSIONS

11,023
165

1,642
4,469
99
11
88
99
2,506
805
187
1,235
276
87
65
17
2
3
473
9,475
8,423
4,850
3,573
245
466
29,797

11,133
165

1,664
4,497
99
11
88
99
2,348
783
198
1,102
265
94
71
18
2
3
495
9,400
8,267
4,630
3,638
268
456
29,690

11,243
165

1,653
4,552
99
11
99
99
2,403
772
209
1,157
265
90
68
17
2
3
495
9,489
8,062
4,425
3,638
274
425
29,660

11,354
165

1,653
4,630
88
11
99
99
2,480
783
209
1,224
265
94
71
17
2
3
505
9,663
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Notional Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-7
                                        Greenhouse Gas

-------
                    Table 8-3. Summary of U.S. Nitrous Oxide Emissions
                               by Source Category, 1990 to 1993
                                        (thousand short tons)
Source Category
AGRICULTURE
Crop Waste Burning
Cereals
Pulse
Tuber and Root
Sugarcane
Fertilizers
TOTAL AGRICULTURE
MOBILE SOURCES
STATIONARY COMBUSTION
MOBILE SOURCES
Adipic Acid Production
Nitric Acid Production
TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
TOTAL EMISSIONS
1990

6
2
2
+
+
202
207
101
39

62
44
106
453
1991

6
3
2
+
+
207
213
112
39

65
44
109
472
1992

6
3
2
+
+
209
215
116
39

60
44
104
473
1993

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

60
47
106
NA
    NOTE(S): V denotes negligible emissions.
           •NA" = Not available
           Totals presented in this table may not equal the sum of the Individual source categories due to rounding.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           g-8                                     Greenhouse Gas

-------
                         Table 8-4.  Global Carbon Dioxide  Emissions
                                            (million short tons)
Year
1860
1865
1870
1875
1880
1885
1890
1895
1900
1905
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945

Year
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1991
NOTE(S): The
SOURCES: Keel
Coal
370
480
568
741
880
1,067
1,331
1,503
1,962
2,402
2,959
2,996
3,340
3,318
3,410
3,113
3,817
3,329

Solids
4,353
4,911
5,735
5,933
6,321
6,786
7,881
9,049
9,672
9,466
sums may not equal
Lignite Crude petroleum Natural gas
7
11
15
22
26
33
44
55
81
99
121
139
176
209
220
231
356
209

Liquids
1,710
2,526
3,435
4,935
7,429
8,613
9,728
8,771
10,032
10,472




Gases
392
606
950
1,419
2,086
2,518
2,934
3,306
4,058
4,139
0
0
4
4
15
15
33
44
62
92
139
183
308
462
612
704
909
1,063

Cement
73
121
174
238
315
384
485
529
635
655




Flaring
93
125
158
222
352
376
360
222
251
283
0
0
0
0
0
4
7
11
15
22
33
40
51
77
114
121
172
264
Global
per capita
3
3
3
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
Total
378
491
587
766
917
1,118
1,415
1,610
2,123
2,614
3,252
3,359
3,876
4,066
4,356
4,169
5,254
4,866

Total
6,620
8,286
10,452
12,748
16,506
18,681
21,389
21,878
24,646
25,010
total due to rounding.
ling, C.D. 1994. Global historical CO, emissions, pi
). 5-8. In T.A. Boden, D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepansfc
;i, and F.W. Stoss
          (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.  Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis
          Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.

          Marland, Q., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden.  1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
          D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-
          65. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
Motional Mr Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-9
                                             Greenhouse Gas

-------
 Figure 8-1.  1950 to 1991 Global CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions from Fossil
              Fuel Burning, Cement Production, and Gas Flaring
        30,000 T
        25,000 -
      w 20,000
      I

      •
         15,000 -
      o
      Total
	Solids
—o— Liquids
	Gases
	Flaring
- • • Cement
         10,000
          5,000 -;	
             1950
    1955
               'rrrrrrTTrrn-T
1960    1965    1970    1975    1980
                 Year
1985
1990
SOURCE:    Keeling, C.D. 1994. Global historical CO2 emissions, pp. 5-8. In T.A. Boden, DP. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss
          (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.  Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis
          Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                          8-10
                                                            Greenhouse Gas

-------
                     Table 8-5.  Regional Carbon Dioxide Emissions
                                        (million short tons)
Total Emissions
Region 1
Year (AMD)
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1991
182
269
339
412
582
732
983
979
1,107
1,160
Region 2
(FEA)
115
172
230
331
478
640
951
1,219
1,719
1,829
Region 3
(APR)
105
144
174
237
331
423
571
646
727
743
Region 4
(OCN)
185
248
370
580
1,000
1,156
1,282
1,305
1,519
1,528
Region 5
(MDE)
19
56
101
192
299
460
564
712
924
1,446
Region 6
(WEU)
1,549
1,951
2,170
2,673
3,203
3,267
3,562
3,252
3,353
3,709
Region 7
(CPE)
1,185
1,772
2,390
3,086
3,665
4,520
5,235
5,700
5,378
4,793
Region 8
(CPA)
91
226
906
596
971
1,418
1,807
2,378
2,970
3,107
Region 9
(NAM)
2,984
3,203
3,445
4,111
5,077
5,193
5,574
5,364
5,905
5,893
                 1  =  Other America (AMD)           6
                 2  =  Far East (FEA)                 7
                 3  =  Africa (AFR)                    8
                 4  =  Oceania & Japan (OCN)        9
                 5  =  Middle East (MDE)
          Western Europe (WEU)
          Eastern Europe (CPE)
          Centrally Planned Asia (CPA)
          North America (NAM)
SOURCE:    Mariand, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
          D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.
          Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
8-11
                                          Greenhouse Gas

-------
    Figure  8-2.  Comparison of  Per Capita  CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions
       25 T
       20 -
• • United States
—Canada
 - Global
— Mexico
         1950
  1955
1960
1965
1970
 Year
1975
1980
1985
SOURCE:    Mariand, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
           DP. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.
           Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.

NOTE(S):    U.S. per capita emissions data is not presented for 1990 or 1991. See section 8.1 for a discussion of 1990 to 1993 national
           CO2 emission  estimates.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-J 993
                                                 8-12
                                                                        Greenhouse Gas

-------
             Table 8-6.  Carbon Dioxide Emissions for the United States
                                      (million short tons)
Year
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1989
Gas
Fuels
352
529
729
922
1,261
1,156
1,101
949
1,116
Liquid
Fuels
989
1,266
1,414
1,639
2,081
2,284
2,358
2,117
2,361
Solid
Fuels
1,403
1,145
1,024
1,217
1,303
1,283
1,595
1,811
2,012
Gas
Flaring
48
46
33
19
29
8
7
6
8
Cement
Production
21
29
31
36
36
34
38
39
38
National
per capita
18.47
18.19
17.91
19.72
22.96
22.07
22.39
20.65
22.35
Bunker
Fuels
33
44
47
43
54
59
123
62
68
Total
2,813
3,015
3,232
3,833
4,711
4,765
5,100
4,921
5,537
      Figure 8-3.  CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions for the  United States
     6,000 T
                                                                   I 1-1-f-f H- fl-*M-t -t -I
    r'f M-l-f M-t-M
         1950
1955
1960
1965
  1970
Year
1975
                                                    1980
                                                    1985
SOURCE:   Martand, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
         D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.
         Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.

NOTE(S):   U.S. emissions data is not presented for 1990 or 1991.  See section 8.1 for a discussion of 1990 to 1993 national CO2
         emission estimates.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                           8-13
                                                                  Greenhouse Gas

-------
                     Table 8-7.  Carbon Dioxide Emissions for Canada
                                      (thousand short tons)
Year
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1991
Gas
Fuels
3,920
8,205
23,757
41,957
69,081
94,771
106,613
121,684
137,827
141,048
Liquid
Fuels
57,853
94,597
127,674
167,392
222,764
256,593
272,574
201,299
213,545
196,436
Solid
Fuels
107,664
80,277
55,149
60,145
65,112
67,663
86,085
108,246
99,394
104,459
Gas Cement
Flaring Production
0
2,309
3,535
4,644
5,297
2,943
3,455
5,525
4,813
4,972
1,461
2,197
2,886
4,165
3,962
5,478
5,770
5,602
6,376
6,046
National
per capita
12.45
11.92
11.88
14.15
17.18
18.79
19.72
17.58
17.34
16.77
Bunker
Fuels
4,987
5,998
7,489
9,931
11,244
9,765
7,663
3,064
5,343
5,000
Total
170,901
187,585
212,999
278,302
366,221
427,450
474,495
442,360
461,958
452,961
              Figure 8-4.  CARBON DIOXIDE Emissions for Canada
                       Total
                       Solids
                       Liquids
                       Gases
                       Flaring
                       Cement
                           i-t -r r r rri T T r rr-n T T
          1950
         1955
                                                                             1985
  1990
SOURCE:
Martand, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.
Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge Tenn., U.S.A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                    8-14
Greenhouse Gas

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                   Table 8-8.  Carbon Dioxide Emissions for Mexico
                                    (thousand short tons)
Year
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1991
Gas
Fuels
1,693
2,571
7,037
17,392
22,735
28,757
50,283
58,043
52,801
54,911
Liquid
Fuels
26,122
31,821
47,397
52,175
72,020
105,206
199,597
217,801
262,369
276,944
Solid
Fuels
2,073
2,995
3,896
4,543
7,554
12,416
17,258
22,557
22,351
22,945
Gas Cement National
Flaring Production per capita
2,955
5,302
9,585
6,518
10,606
11,537
10,905
6,906
7,754
5,438
840
1,107
1,698
2,366
3,947
6,383
8,929
11,367
13,137
14,676
1.25
1.41
1.90
1.94
2.30
2.79
4.28
4.20
4.24
4.32
Bunker
Fuels
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total
33,680
43,792
69,611
82,993
116,863
164,296
286,967
316,678
358,405
374,911
            Figure 8-5.  CARBON  DIOXIDE  Emissions  for Mexico
    400 T
    350 -
    300 --
 o  250
 t
 |  200
 o
 =  150
 i
	Total
 • • Solids
	Liquids
	Gases
-o— Flaring
	Cement
       1950
   1955
1960
1965
1970
 Year
1975
1980
                                                               1985
                                                           1990
SOURCE:    Marland, G., R.J. Andres, and T.A. Boden. 1994. Global, regional, and national CO2 emissions, pp. 9-88. In T.A. Boden,
         D.P. Kaiser, R.J. Sepanski, and F.W. Stoss (eds.), Trends '93: A Compendium of Data on Global Change. ORNL/CDIAC-65.
         Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tenn., U.S.A.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                8-15
                                                                      Greenhouse Gas

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                                   SECTION 9.0
                           BIOGENIC EMISSIONS
Plants emit a variety of VOCs  as a function of
incident  light  intensity  and temperature.
Vegetation emissions  have been determined to
consist of numerous hydrocarbons, aldehydes, and
alcohols.   Lamb, Westberg,  and Pierce  have
constructed a national biogenic emission inventory
for eight landcover types for each month of the
year based on statewide climatic data.1  Emissions
in this inventory are composed  of isoprene,
a-pinene, other identified monoterpenes, and other
hydrocarbons.  Emissions  are calculated for oak
forests, other deciduous forests, coniferous forests,
grasslands, scrublands, urban vegetation, agricul-
tural crops,  and inland waters,  as  shown in
Figures 9-1 through 9-8.
 9.1   REFERENCES
   A  forest  canopy model is used to account for
   canopy effects on  solar radiation,  temperature,
   humidity, and wind speed.  Agricultural emissions
   are shown assuming an emission factor of zero for
   corn.  The results of recent field studies suggest
   that previous emission factors for corn have been
   overestimated by roughly a factor of a thousand.
   Total annual biogenic emissions from each state
   are  shown in Figure  9-9,  and  the  seasonal
   breakdown of  total emissions is shown  in
   Figure 9-10.

   The 1990 total biogenic hydrocarbon emissions
   were 26.28 million short tons, while the  1990
   Trends total anthropogenic  VOC emissions were
   23.67 million short tons.
 1. Lamb, B., D. Gay, H. Westberg, and T. Pierce. "A Biogenic Hydrocarbon Emission Inventory for the
   USA Using a Simple Forest Canopy  Model." Atmospheric Environment, N.27A, pp. 1673-1690.
   1993.
 Motional Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
9-1
                                         Biogenic

-------
to
CB
            Figure 9-1. Oak Forest 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
         Emissions
       (short tons/sq mi/yr
           3.0 to 7.0
           2.0 to 3.0
           0.9 to 2.0
           0.4 to 0.9
           0  to 0.4

-------
Figure 9-2. Other Deciduous Forest 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State

-------
I

I
s
         Figure 9-3.  Coniferous Forest 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
         Emissions
      (short tons/sq mi/yr)
           5 to 9
           4 to 5
           3 to 4
           2 to 3
          D 0 to 2

-------
I
             Figure 9-4. Grassland 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
\
GO

f
          Emissions
       (short tons/sq mi/yr)
          0.8  to 2
        H 0.1  to 0.8
          0.03  to 0.1
          0.001 to 0.03
          ZERO

-------
             Figure 9-5.  Scrubland 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
r
I'
          Emissions
       (short tons/sq mi/yr)

         M 6.0 to 9.0
           S3.0 to 6.0
           1.0 to 3.0
           0.2 to 1.0
           ZERO

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 Figure 9-6. Urban Vegetation 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
   Emissions
(short tons/sq mi/yr)
   0.3  to 4
   0.2  to 0.3
  B 0.07 to 0.2
  D 0.02 to 0.07
  D 0.008 to 0.02

-------

r
I
oo
         Figure 9-7. Agricultural Crop 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
               Emissions
            (short tons/sq mi/yr)
               0.7  to 2
               0.4  to 0.7
               0.2  to 0.4
               0.07 to 0.2
               0   to 0.07

-------
3"
VO
Figure 9-8. Inland Water 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
          Emissions
       (short tons/sq mi/yr)
          0.1  to 0.5
          0.08 to 0.1
         Q 0.04 to 0.08
          0.02 to 0.04
         DO   to 0.02

-------
         Figure 9-9. Total 1990 VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions by State
   Emissions
(short tons/sq mi/yr
    11 to 19
     9 to 11
     8 to 9
     5 to 8
     2 to 5

-------
Figure 9-10. Seasonal Breakdown of Total 1990 Biogenic
     VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions
 SUMMER
   46%

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                                   SECTION 10.0
                           AIR TOXIC EMISSIONS
10.1  INTRODUCTION

This chapter presents the available emissions data
for toxic air pollutants.  The data are much less
comprehensive  than those for the  criteria air
pollutants, because  an extensive and long-term
monitoring and emissions tracking program similar
to  that  for criteria  pollutants has  not been
established for air toxics.  Although the CAAA
made  sweeping  changes to the way toxic air
pollutants will be regulated,  a  complete national
inventory  of toxics  was  not  mandated.    This
chapter therefore presents emissions culled from
three different program areas.

The scope of the inventories developed for these
programs varies because  each  program  was
designed to meet a particular need.  Because the
emissions data  were not collected  in the same
manner for each program, the estimates may differ
among  programs.    The  three  types  of toxic
emission inventories cited in this chapter are:

    •  Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) estimates
      for over 300 chemicals submitted annually
      since  1988  to EPA  by certain
      manufacturing facilities;

    •  national inventories for  specific pollutants
      prepared by EPA to support special studies
      called for by the CAAA; and

    •  inventories of all Hazardous Air Pollutants
      ([HAPs]  189 chemicals currently listed)
      emitted by specific source categories being
      regulated  under Title  III  of the  1990
      CAAA.

The term "toxic" was used by legislators drawing
up  the TRI list, which covers all media  — air,
land,  and water.  In this section, all TRI data
   presented  correspond to  the relase  of specific
   chemicals  to air only. "Hazardous" refers to the
   list of air pollutants targeted for regulation under
   section 112(b)(l) of the CAA.

   Because it is the only one of the three inventory
   types  which is regularly  updated, the TRI  data
   discussed  in  section  10.2  may  be  used as  an
   indication of toxic emission trends. However, the
   TRI does not present a complete picture of toxic
   air emissions because only manufacturing facilities
   with 10 or more employees must report emissions.
   The national  inventories  for specific pollutants
   presented in section 10.3 provide a more
   comprehensive picture for a limited number of air
   toxics because they  include estimates for  all
   source categories emitting those  pollutants.   For
   some toxic air pollutants, the mobile, commercial,
   residential, and consumer sectors can  be much
   more  significant sources  of emissions than the
   manufacturing sector.  It should be noted  that
   these  estimates have  been prepared  for only a
   single year, 1990.  The inventory data presented in
   section 10.4 are also national in scope, but are
   focused on specific source categories, rather than
   on specific pollutants. The estimates are presented
   in terms  of total HAP  emissions, and include
   emissions of all relevant pollutants from the list of
   189 HAPs defined in the CAAA. Section 10.4 is
   presented  primarily as a  status  report on EPA's
   efforts to reduce HAP emissions according to Title
   III of the CAAA.

   The development of comprehensive toxics data is
   complicated by  several  factors, including  the
   number  of chemical  compounds involved,  the
   number and variety of  sources emitting  the
   compounds, the low concentrations  sometimes
   involved,  and the potential  for  secondary
   formation of one hazardous compound from other,
   often nonhazardous, compounds. The limitations
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-1
Air Toxics

-------
inherent in current data sources limit EPA's ability
to identify  trends  in  air  toxic  emissions and
concentrations.   Therefore,  preliminary
assessments of baseline emissions are somewhat
tentative.  As more information is collected on air
toxic emissions, EPA will attempt to modify the
baseline  estimates to accurately  reflect the
effectiveness of Title III regulations in  reducing
toxic air emissions.

10.2   TOXICS RELEASE INVENTORY
       SUMMARIES

Manufacturing facilities meeting specified activity
thresholds are required to report their estimated
releases and transfers of listed toxic chemicals to
EPA each year.  The reports are compiled by EPA
into a publicly available data  base  called  the
Toxics Release Inventory (TRI).  This inventory
was established under the Emergency  Planning
and Community Right-to-Know  Act  of 1986
(EPCRA). The EPA has collected information for
the TRI since  1987.   The list of chemicals for
which releases and transfers must be reported has
seen additions and  deletions each year,  and now
includes  over  300  chemicals in  20  chemical
categories.

While the TRI is the only data base available for
assessing air toxic emission trends, this data base
does have some limitations.  Facilities with SIC
codes outside  the range  of  20 to  39  (the
manufacturing  SIC range) are  not required  to
report.  Under this exemption, facilities such  as
mining operations, electric utilities, and oil and gas
production operations are not required to report to
the TRI.  Emissions from small manufacturing
facilities (those with fewer than 10 employees) as
well  as  commercial,  residential,  and mobile
sources are also not included in the TRI.  The TRI
data are self-reported by the emitting facilities, and
the TRI does not require facilities to perform any
actual monitoring  or  testing to  develop their
estimates.  The accuracy of the reported  data may
vary  from facility  to  facility and year to year.
Despite these limitations, the TRI  estimates are
being used here as indicators of the  trend in toxic
   air emissions, at least in the manufacturing sector.
   Efforts are underway to enhance the TRI data base
   by expanding both the types of facilities which
   must report their releases and the list of chemicals
   which must be reported.

   Figure 10-1 shows the trend in toxic air emissions
   as reported by manufacturing facilities to EPA's
   TRI data base.  In order to reduce the effects of
   changing reporting requirements on the underlying
   trend in  toxic emissions, the totals shown are for
   a set of 278 chemicals that have been on the TRI
   list since its inception in 1987.  The original TRI
   list  included 173 of the  189 chemicals
   subsequently defined by the CAAA as HAPs, and
   these are graphed as a subset in Figure  10-1.
   These HAPs have  shown the  same trend in
   reductions  as  the larger TRI set,  representing
   approximately  72  percent  of the  declining  TRI
   total for each year.

   The  10 HAPs ranked highest in emissions (based
   on 1988 reported air releases) have accounted for
   approximately  56  percent of  total  TRI  air
   emissions and approximately 79 percent of  the
   total HAP  air emissions in each reporting year.
   The  sums of the emissions for these 10 HAPs  are
   shown for 1988 through 1992 in Figure 10-1;  the
   5-year trend for each individual HAP is shown in
   Figure  10-2.'   A generally declining trend is
   evident for 9 of the  10 HAPs;  hydrochloric acid
   shows slight increases for the  first  2 years  and
   then slight  decreases for the last 2 years.

   Sixteen of  the  189 HAPs defined by the CAAA
   were not included in the original TRI list. Two of
   the 16, acetophenone and  ethylidene dichloride,
   have been  added to the TRI list, with the first
   reports  to be submitted by July 1, 1995 for  the
   1994 reporting year.   Nine other  HAPs were
   proposed for addition to the TRI on January  12,
   1994.  The 9 HAPs are:

      •  hexane
      •  caprolactam
      •  triethylamine
      •  mineral fibers
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-2
                                         Air Toxics

-------
   •   polycyclic organic matter
      (polycyclic aromatic compounds)
   •   phosphine
   •   isophorone
   •   dimethyl formamide
   •   hexamethylene-l,6-diisocyanate

The five remaining HAPs were not proposed for
addition to the TRI list for various reasons, such
as being produced in quantities too low to meet
the TRI thresholds or being  emitted by  sources
which do not have to report  to the TRI.  These
HAPs include:

   •  coke oven emissions;
   •  2,2,4-trimethylpentane;
   •  radionuclides (including radon);
   •  2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin; and
   •  p,p'-dichlorodiphenyldichloroethylene
      (DDE).

Table 10-1 shows total TRI-reported air emissions
for each State for 1988 through  1992.1  Only 4
States  (Montana,  Nevada,  North  Dakota,  and
South Dakota) reported greater emissions in 1992
than in 1988.   Most States  show  a  steady
downward trend through all years.  Figure 10-3
shows the trend in TRI emissions for each of the
20 SIC groups:required to report to TRI.1   Only 3
SIC groups (Food, Tobacco, and Apparel) reported
greater emissions in 1992 than in 1988.

 10.3  NATIONAL INVENTORIES FOR
      SPECIFIC POLLUTANTS

 EPA's OAQPS  has developed a  number  of
 nationwide toxic  emissions  inventories  for
 individual  chemicals to help  address specific
 requirements of the CAAA.  For the  pollutants
 addressed, these inventories  are more compre-
 hensive than the  TRI in  that they  attempt  to
 identify and quantify all source categories  and air
 emissions of these  pollutants,  whether from
 manufacturing  facilities,  commercial  facilities,
 mobile  sources, or residential  and  consumer
 sources. These inventories also include emissions
 from facilities with fewer than 10 employees and
   emissions  from sources with very  low
   concentrations of toxics, which are exempted from
   the  TRI reporting  requirements.   These
   considerations  can be  extremely  important for
   estimating the total emissions of some pollutants.

   These  inventories  have been compiled by  using
   existing national estimates for a specific chemical
   from  a  specific  source  category  (e.g.,  for
   development of a  NESHAP) wherever possible.
   Other EPA inventories such as the TRI were used
   as well. If no suitable inventory was available, an
   average emission factor and national activity data
   were used to estimate emissions.  In general, the
   emissions estimates are based on national activity
   data for an entire source category, rather than data
   for  individual  facilities.   Details  on how  the
   estimates  for each source category were  derived
   can be found in the references cited.

   Inventories are available for only 13 HAPs at this
   time, and most of these inventories are still in
   draft form.   Since these inventories have been
   prepared for a single year, no evaluation of a trend
   is possible.   However, they  are valuable as an
   initial  assessment  of the potential magnitude of
   risks posed  by certain pollutants  and source
   categories.  They also provide an initial baseline
   for  evaluating potential methods for reducing
   identified  risks.   A projected trend  can be
   estimated by examining the major sources of the
   emissions, assessing whether these  source
   categories are growing or shrinking, and whether
   or not they are regulated or scheduled to be
   regulated.

   10.3.1  Section 112(k) Inventories (Urban Area
          Source Program)

   Section 112(k) of the CAA requires the  EPA to
   identify source categories  and  subcategories of
   HAPs  in urban areas that pose a threat to human
   health.  Area sources  accounting for at least 90
   percent of total emissions of at least 30 HAPs that
   present the  greatest threat to urban populations
   must be identified. Emission standards for these
   HAP species  are  to  be developed by the year
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-3
                                         Air Toxics

-------
2000.  The work being performed in support of
section  112(k) is referred to as the Urban Area
Source Program.

In order  to meet  the  requirements of  section
112(k), national inventories of toxic pollutants are
needed. This information, in conjunction with risk
factors  for  the specific  toxics, can be  used to
determine the specific  pollutants and  source
categories that need to be controlled.  Thus far,
national inventories have been developed for seven
HAPs  under the Urban Area  Source Program.
These HAPs are thought to be ubiquitous in most
urban areas, regardless of the type of industries
present in the local area.

Table  10-2 presents  the  national  estimates for
three HAPs  emitted primarily  from combustion
source  categories.2'3   Table 10-3 presents the
national totals  for four HAPs used primarily as
solvents.4  The emissions values  given in these
tables for a specific SIC code have been taken
from the TRI data base.  The two tables show that
manufacturing industries (SICs 20 through 39) are
a major contributor for  only two of  the seven
chemicals,  methylene chloride and  carbon
tetrachloride.

10.3.2 Section 112(c)(6) Inventories

Section 112 (c)(6) of the CAA requires  EPA to
identify and characterize all source categories and
subcategories that emit  any of seven specified
pollutants by November 15,  1995.  Section 112
(c)(6) also requires the subsequent development of
emission standards for the largest-emitting source
Categories of each pollutant. The categories to be
regulated must account for at least 90 percent of
the national emissions of that  pollutant.  The 7
pollutants specified in section 112 (c)(6)  are:

    •  polycyclic organic matter (POM);
    •  hexachlorobenzene (HCB);
    •  alkylated lead compounds  (TEL and
       TML);
    •  polychlorinated biphenyl compounds
       (PCBs);
    •   2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin
       (TCDD);
    •   2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF);
       and
    •   mercury.

All of these pollutants, except for TCDF, are
included in the list of 189 HAPs defined in
section 112(b)(l) of the CAA.

In  addition  to  the  source  category emissions
estimates called for by section 112(c)(6), national
emissions were  estimated  for  major  and area
source contributors and were allocated to urban
and rural areas, in order to support the section
112(k) Urban Area Source Program.  Regional
emissions were also  developed  to support work
required by section 112(m) of the CAA, which
mandates the quantification  of atmospheric
deposition to the Great Lakes, Chesapeake Bay,
Lake Champlain,  and coastal waters.

1990 base year national emissions are summarized
below  for the first four of the  seven pollutants
listed in section 112  (c)(6).  The inventories for
TCDD and TCDF are still under development, and
the inventory  for mercury has been prepared as
part of a Locating & Estimating (L&E) document
series.

In Table 10-4, estimates  of extractable organic
matter (EOM) are  presented as  a surrogate  for
POM emissions.5  Extractable organic matter is a
gravimetric-based measurement  which correlates
with the POM class  of compounds in terms of
compound carcinogenicity and mutagenicity.

Table  10-5  shows  that the  2  major  source
categories which  emit hexachlorobenzene (HCB)
are pesticides application and chlorinated solvents
production.6  Seven pesticides were identified as
containing HCB as an impurity, but data sufficient
to develop an emissions estimate were lacking for
2 of the pesticides.  Application  of the remaining
5 pesticides is estimated to release 202 short tons
of HCB per  year.   Production  of 5  chlorinated
hydrocarbons is estimated to release a little more
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                              10-4
                                      Air Toxics

-------
than a half ton of HCB per year as a by-product.
Emissions  from chlorinated solvents  production
would all be from  major point  source facilities,
while all of the pesticide emissions would be from
area sources.

The only known commercial use of alkylated lead
compounds is  in  the manufacture  of  leaded
gasoline anti-knock compounds, which raise the
octane levels in leaded motor vehicle gasoline and
aviation gasoline.   The  phase-down  of lead  in
highway motor  vehicle gasoline began in 1973.
Section 211(n) of the CAA prohibits the
manufacture of engines requiring leaded gasoline
after 1992. The deadline for the abolishment of
all  lead-containing highway  vehicle  fuels  is
December  31, 1995.

The  two  most common lead anti-knock
 compounds  are tetraethyl  lead (TEL) and
 tetramethyl lead (TML).  The potential for TEL
 and TML emissions  is  limited to  evaporative
 losses from the distribution, marketing, and use of
 leaded  motor vehicle  gasoline and  aviation
 gasoline. National evaporative loss emissions are
 presented  in  Table  10-6  for  pipelines,  bulk
 terminals,  bulk plants, service  stations, and off-
 highway engines and vehicles.7

 The source category emissions listed in Table 10-7
 are those for which reliable PCB emissions could
 be developed.8  The following categories  were
 identified  as potential  sources of PCB emissions
 for which sufficient data were not  available  to
 develop national emissions estimates:

    •   Treatment, Storage, and Disposal
       Facilities (TSDFs) and Landfills;
    •   Superfund Sites;
    •   Steel and Iron Reclamation (auto scrap
       burning);
    •   Accidental Releases (spills, leaks  and
       transformer  fires); and
    •   Environmental  Sinks of Past PCB
       Contamination.
   Table 10-8 presents emissions for 2 key metallic
   HAPs, mercury and cadmium.  Mercury is 1 of
   the 7 pollutants specified in section 112(c)(6) of
   the  CAA.   The  estimates  for mercury  and
   cadmium are taken from 2 EPA documents which
   are  part  of the series known  as  L&E
   documents.9'10 Over the  last 10 years, 33 L&E
   documents have been published by EPA to assist
   state and  local air pollution control agencies in
   their efforts to prepare inventories  of toxic  air
   pollutants.  The documents provide a compilation
   of  available  information,  including  emission
   factors, on the sources  and  emissions of specific
   toxic air pollutants. Only those L&E documents
   completed in the last year have provided emissions
   on  a national level.   Several L&E documents
   expected to be published in the next year will also
   include national emissions.

   10.4   SOURCE CATEGORY ESTIMATES
          AND MAXIMUM ACHIEVABLE
          CONTROL TECHNOLOGY STATUS

   The CAAA  of  1990  mandated fundamental
   changes in air toxics regulation, listing 189 HAPs
   that  must be regulated according to a stringent
   schedule.  The process of  regulation entails the
   development of emission standards based upon the
   MACT for each point source category emitting
   one  or more HAPs.  These emission  standards
   apply to all major sources and are to be developed
   over a period of 10 years. Standards also must be
   developed for area sources,  although these can be
   based  on Generally  Available Control Tech-
   nologies  (GACT).   Prior  versions of the  Act
   resulted in a cumbersome process for individually
   listing and regulating HAPs.  Between 1970 and
   1990, only 8 pollutants (arsenic, asbestos, benzene,
   beryllium, mercury, radionuclides, radon-22, and
   vinyl chloride) were regulated under  a program
   known as  the National Emission Standards  for
   Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAPs).  Table 10-9
   provides  information on  15 NESHAPs that have
   either  been recently promulgated or  are  under
   development.  Baseline toxic emissions estimates
   and the expected  reductions due to the MACT
   standards are included.
  National A,
       if Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-5
                                         Air Toxics

-------
The  health effects of the HAPs emitted by the
source categories listed  in  Table  10-9 vary.
Animal and some human studies indicate that the
possible health effects of the solvents emitted from
the aerospace manufacturing, halogenated solvent
cleaning,  and magnetic  tape manufacturing
industries include cancer as well as developmental,
respiratory, and neurological effects. Emissions of
benzene,  toluene,  ethylbenzene,  and  xylenes
(BTEX)  from  the  petroleum  refinery,  marine
vessel  loading, and gasoline  distribution source
categories  have been  shown  to  contribute  to
cancer, liver and kidney damage, and neurological
and  developmental  effects  in animal and some
human studies.   Benzene is  a known  human
carcinogen.

Epichlorohydrin is emitted by some polymers and
resins  facilities and is  a suspected  carcinogen,
based on animal studies and some human studies.
The  two major toxic pollutants emitted from pulp
and paper facilities are chloroform and methanol.
Animal studies have shown that chloroform causes
cancer and methanol exposure  results  in
reproductive and developmental effects.  Ethylene
oxide  sterilization  facilities  use and emit  a
probable human carcinogen.   Hexavalent chro-
mium is a known potent human carcinogen and is
emitted  by large numbers  of chromium
electroplating  operations and industrial process
cooling towers.  Perchloroethylene is a probable
human carcinogen that  is emitted  by many dry
cleaning facilities.

The pollutants of primary interest from coke ovens
with respect to long-term or chronic health effects
are  various carcinogenic polycyclic  organic
compounds, such as benzo(a)pyrene.  Secondary
lead  smelters  emit lead  compounds,  arsenic
compounds, and 1,3-butadiene,  which are known
or suspected carcinogens.   Up to 150 of the 189
HAPs  may be emitted from the synthetic  organic
chemical manufacturing industry (SOCMI). Many
of these  HAPs are  known or  suspected
carcinogens.
   10.4.1 Aerospace Manufacturing and Rework
          Industry

   Aerospace manufacturing and rework  facilities
   emit approximately 208,000 short tons per year of
   HAPs. Emission sources include paint and coating
   operations,  chemical  stripping, and clean-up
   solvents.  Most of  the  HAPs  emitted by  this
   industry are  solvents such as methyl ethyl ketone
   (MEK), 1,1,1-trichloroethane (TCA), toluene, and
   methylene chloride.  Many of the primers used for
   aerospace vehicles also contain heavy metals such
   as chromium and cadmium. The EPA proposed a
   NESHAP to control HAP emissions from  this
   industry in June 1994. More than 2,800 facilities
   will be subject to this regulation. Hazardous air
   pollutant emissions are expected to be reduced by
   approximately 127,800  short  tons  per  year.
   Approximately 89,000 short  tons of the HAPs
   being eliminated are also considered VOCs.

   10.4.2 Petroleum Refineries

   A MACT standard for petroleum refineries was
   proposed  under court order in  June  1994.  The
   standard must  be promulgated by June 30, 1995.
   All of the 192 refineries in the  United States are
   covered by the proposed rule.  The primary HAPs
   emitted from refineries are BTEX,  methyl  tert-
   butyl ether (MTBE), 2,2,4-trimethyl pentane (iso-
   octane), and hexane.  The regulations will reduce
   emissions of HAPs from petroleum refineries by
   54,000 short tons per year. This represents a 69
   percent  reduction  in current refinery HAP
   emissions.    As an additional benefit,   the
   regulations  will reduce  VOC emissions  from
   refineries by 72 percent, or 350,000 short tons per
   year.  The greatest emission reductions will result
   from requiring refiners to implement an effective
   program  to  detect and repair  leaks from pumps,
   valves, compressors,  and  other  equipment.
   Additional significant reductions will be achieved
   by requiring efficient emission controls on storage
   tanks,  process vents, and wastewater collection
   and treatment systems.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-6
Air Toxics

-------
10.4.3 Halogenated Solvent Cleaning

Emissions  from  halogenated  solvent  cleaning
machines include methylene chloride,
perchloroethylene, trichloroethylene, TCA, carbon
tetrachloride, and chloroform. The estimated total
HAP emissions for 1990 were 141,400 short tons.
The EPA  rule proposed  in November  1993 is
based on equipment and work practices standards,
with an alternative compliance standard based on
an overall solvent emissions limit.  It is estimated
that approximately 25,400 batch vapor and in-line
solvent cleaning machines, and 100,000 batch cold
cleaning machines  will  be affected  by  the
standards.  The EPA rule would  reduce annual
emissions  of the targeted air toxics by 88,400
short tons.  The final  rule is scheduled  to be
promulgated  on November 15, 1994.

 10.4.4 Magnetic  Tape Manufacturing

 Emissions of HAPs from the  magnetic tape
 manufacturing industry are primarily solvents used
 in the coating process.  The primary solvents  are
 MEK,  methyl isobutyl  ketone  (MIBK), and
 toluene.   Particulate  HAP emissions  may also
 result during the transfer of magnetic particles to
 the coating mix.   Based on  1992  information,
 major sources are estimated to emit about  4,500
 short tons  per year of HAPs.  The EPA proposed
 standards in March 1993 to reduce these emissions
 to about 2,200 short tons per year.  The proposed
 rule would require 95  percent control  for  the
 majority of the emission points in a facility.  Most
 facilities are expected to  achieve this standard with
 a solvent  recovery device,  such  as  a carbon
 adsorber.   Other  emission  points would  be
 required to  meet work practice  or equipment
 specifications.  The final rule is scheduled to be
 promulgated in November 1994.

 10.4.5 Marine Vessel Loading Operations

 Marine vessel loading and unloading operations
 are believed to emit  as many as 60 of  the  189
 HAPs, including BTEX.   Emissions at marine
 terminal  loading operations  result from  the
   displacement of vapors as liquids are loaded into
   cargo  holds.   The EPA proposed  the  Marine
   Vessel rule in  May 1994.  Approximately 350
   facilities will be  affected  by  the  rule.   The
   estimated 1990 HAP emissions of 8,800 short tons
   per year are expected to be reduced by 8,400 short
   tons per year.

   10.4.6 Polymers and Resins II

   The EPA proposed the NESHAP for Epoxy Resin
   Production and Non-Nylon Polyamides Production
   in  May 1994.   The  proposed rule  affects
   manufacturers that produce basic liquid epoxy
   resin (three facilities) and wet strength resins (17
   facilities).  Emissions occur at these facilities from
   process vents, storage tanks, wastewater collection
   and treatment  systems,  and  equipment leaks.
   Estimated baseline HAP emissions are 160  short
   tons per year.   The proposed rule  sets  HAP
   emissions limitations based on the amount of resin
   produced,  and  requires  operators to implement
   leak detection and  repair  programs for control of
   equipment leaks. The estimated reduction in HAP
   emissions is 110 short tons per year.

   10.4.7 Pulp, Paper, and  Paperboard
          Manufacturing Processes

   Pulp and paper mills emit several HAPs, including
   chloroform and methanol. In addition, toxic and
   other Clean Water Act pollutants are discharged
   into the nation's waters (e.g., dioxins and furans).
   There  are  about  160 chemical pulping  mills
   emitting approximately 187,000 short tons per year
   of  HAPs  into  the air from process  vents and
   evaporation from  wastewater  units.   The  EPA
   proposed  emission  standards and effluent
   guidelines  in December  1993  which will reduce
   HAP emissions by  132,000 short tons per year and
   VOC emissions by 788,000 short tons per year.
   Air emission reductions are achieved by venting
   process equipment to combustion devices and by
   steam  stripping certain wastewater streams. An
   additional  MACT  rule covering HAP emissions
   from combustion  sources at kraft mills  will be
   proposed in  early  1994.  Both NESHAPs are
  • «unal Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-7
                                         Air Toxics

-------
planned to be promulgated together with the water
effluent guidelines in early 1996.

10.4.8 Gasoline Distribution Industry (Stage I)

Major sources of HAPs in the gasoline distribution
network include about  380 medium and large-
sized gasoline bulk terminals and about 20 large
pipeline breakout stations.  Emissions  of HAPs
from these facilities occur during gasoline tank
truck loading, gasoline storage, and from leaking
pumps, valves,  flanges  and other equipment.
Gasoline  vapors contain  BTEX,  naphthalene,
cumene, hexane, and 2-2-4-trimethylpentane.  In
addition, MTBE is used in some gasolines as an
oxygenate during the winter months to meet the
CAAA's requirements for CO nonattainment areas.
Residual HAP and VOC emissions after current
VOC control measures are estimated to be 55,000
and 880,000 short tons per year, respectively. The
EPA proposed a rule in February 1994 which is
estimated to reduce HAP and VOC  emissions by
3,000 and 48,000 short tons per year, respectively.

10.4.9 Ethylene Oxide Sterilization Facilities

Ethylene oxide is used  as a sterilant for heat or
moisture sensitive materials and as a fumigant to
control  microorganisms  or insects  in  the
production of medical equipment supplies  and in
miscellaneous  sterilization and fumigation
operations. Sterilization may be carried out at the
facility that produces or uses the product, or by
contract sterilizers (i.e., firms under contract to
sterilize products manufactured  by  other
companies).   About  200 commercial  ethylene
oxide sterilization  facilities  emit an  estimated
1,200 short tons of ethylene oxide per year in the
United States.  In March  1994, EPA proposed a
NESHAP  to  control main  sterilizer  vent  and
aeration vent emissions at major sources  and to
control main sterilizer vents at area sources. The
proposed regulation will  reduce  emissions  by
approximately  1,100 short tons annually.  The
regulation is scheduled  for  promulgation  in
November 1994.
   10.4.10   Chromium Electroplating Operations

   Hexavalent  chromium is discharged to  the
   atmosphere  from each  of the  three  types  of
   chromium  electroplating processes: decorative
   chromium  electroplating,  hard chromium
   electroplating, and chromium anodizing. During
   1988, an estimated 175 short tons of hexavalent
   chromium were emitted from approximately 5,000
   chromium electroplating operations in the United
   States.  The regulation will require the use of
   add-on  air  pollution control  systems  or fume
   suppressants  in  the plating solution in order to
   reduce emissions by 99 percent.  The standard will
   reduce  hexavalent chromium emissions from
   chromium electroplating operations  to less than
   three short tons per year in the third year after
   promulgation. The proposed NESHAP for these
   operations is scheduled for promulgation at the
   end of 1994.

   10.4.11    Coke Oven Batteries

   Emissions from coke batteries include organic and
   inorganic PM, VOCs,  and gases such as hydrogen
   disulfide,  SO2,  NOX, CO,  and  ammonia.   A
   NESHAP for coke ovens was  promulgated in
   October 1993. The rule requires operators to limit
   the percentage of leaking doors, lids, and offtake
   systems, limit the duration  of visible emissions
   during charging, and install destructive flares on
   bypass/bleeder stacks. These requirements apply
   to 30 facilities located in 10 different States. The
   rule  is  expected to reduce emissions  from  the
   current estimated level of 1,830 short tons per year
   to no more  than 320 short tons per year by  the
   end of 1995.

   10.4.12    Perchloroethylene Dry Cleaning
             Facilities

   There are  about 25,000  perchloroethylene  dry
   cleaning operations in the United States, of which
   3,700 are  industrial  or large commercial  dry
   cleaners. Perchloroethylene is a probable human
   carcinogen.  A NESHAP for the 3,700 large  dry
   cleaning operations was promulgated in September
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-8
Air Toxics

-------
1993.   The  regulation  requires the use  of a
refrigerated condenser  (or  carbon  adsorber,  if
already installed) in order to reduce emissions. By
1996, perchloroethylene emissions will be reduced
by 7,300 short tons per year from a 1988 baseline
of 50,000 short tons.

10.4.13   Secondary Lead Smelters

About 23  secondary lead  smelters provide the
United States  domestic capacity for  recycling
automotive batteries.  The smelters emit metallic
HAPs, organic HAPs, and hydrochloric acid. The
NESHAP for these  operations  was proposed  in
May 1994, and is expected to be promulgated by
May 1995. Total HAP emissions are estimated to
be 2,900 short tons per year. The standard would
require control of  furnace  combustion gases,
process fugitive emission  sources,  and fugitive
dust sources which are windblown or vehicle-
induced emissions from storage piles, roadways,
 and other areas of the facility.  The NESHAP
 would result in reducing emissions by 2,200 short
 tons per year.

 10.4.14   Industrial Process Cooling Towers

 Chromium-based water treatment chemicals are
 currently used in  approximately  800  industrial
   process cooling  towers  (IPCTs) located  at 300
   chemical and industrial facilities nationwide  to
   protect process  heat exchangers  from corrosion.
   An estimated 25 short tons per year of hexavalent
   chromium are currently emitted from IPCTs in the
   United States.   The rulemaking will  require the
   use  of nonchromium  based  water  treatment
   programs, resulting in a 100 percent reduction in
   chromium  emissions  from  IPCTs  within
   approximately  18  months after promulgation.
   Final regulations for IPCTs was promulgated  in
   July  1994.

   10.4.15   Synthetic Organic Chemical
             Manufacturing Industry (SOCMI)

   The various SOCMI processes are believed to emit
   as many as 150 of the 189  HAPs.   Emission
   points at SOCMI facilities include process vents,
   storage  vessels,  transfer operations,  wastewater
   collection and treatment operations, and equipment
   leaks.  The  EPA promulgated  the  Hazardous
   Organic NESHAP (HON) final rule in April 1994.
   Approximately 370 facilities and 1,050 chemical
   manufacturing processes will be affected by the
   HON.  The  1989 estimated HAP emissions from
   SOCMI  facilities  of 550,000  short tons are
   projected to  be reduced to 110,000 short tons per
   year by 1998.
 10.5   REFERENCES

 1.  1992 Toxic Release Inventory, (Tables 3-12 to 3-15). EPA-745/R-94-001.  Office or Pollution
     Prevention and Toxics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC.  April 1994.

 2.  Motor Vehicle-Related Air Toxics Study, (Tables  5-3, 6-4, 7-4). EPA-420/R-93-005.  Office of
     Mobile Sources, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI. April 1993.

 3-  Nonroad Engine and Vehicle Emission Study-Report, (Table 3-02).  EPA 21A-2001.  Office of
     Mobile Sources, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Ann Arbor, MI. November 1991.

 4-  National  Urban Area Source Emissions  of  Benzene,  1,3'-Butadiene,  Formaldehyde,
     Trichloroethylene, Methylene Chloride, and Carbon  Tetrachloride, (Table  2-1) , Interim Draft
     Report.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  September 1993.
        r Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-9
                                                                                     Air Toxics

-------
5.   Emissions Inventory of Section 112(c)(6) Pollutants, Extractable Organic Matter (EOM), Draft
     Report, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.  September 1993.

6.   Estimation of National Hexachlorobenzene Emissions for 1990, (Table I),  Final Report.  U.S.
     Environmental Protection Agency.  October 1993.

7.   Estimation ofAlkylated Lead Emissions, (Table I), Final Report.  U.S. Environmental Protection
     Agency.  September 1993.

8.   Emissions Inventory of Section 112(c)(6) Pollutants, Poly chlorinated Biphenyl Compounds (PCBs),
     (Table 3-1), Draft Report.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. September 1993.

9.   Locating and Estimating Air  Emissions from Sources of Cadmium and Cadmium  Compounds,
     (Table 3-3), EPA-454/R-93-040. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park,
     NC. September 1993.

10.  Locating and Estimating Air Emissions from Sources of Mercury and Mercury Compounds, (Table
     3-4), EPA-454/R-93-023.  U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.
     September 1993.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993         10-10                                     Air Toxics

-------
           Figure 10.1. TOXIC RELEASE INVENTORY
                        Air Emissions Trends
                                           All TRI Chemicals

                                             173 HAPS in TRI
                                               Top 10 HAPS
                   TRI Air Emissions in thousand short tons/year
           Source:  1992 Toxic Release Inventory, Table 3-14. EPA 745-R-94-001, April 1994
NUI Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-11
                                     Air Toxics

-------
 31
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                               Figure 10-2. Top 10 HAZARDOUS AIR POLLUTANTS -1988 Basis
                           Toluene         1,1,1-TCA*         MEK***       Dichloromethane   Hydrochloric Acid
                                   Methanol          Xylene**         Chlorine       Carbon Disulfide    Trichloroethylene
                                                    TRI Air Emissions in thousand tons/year
1,1,1-Trichloroethane
Mixed Isomers only
Methyl Ethyl Ketone
Source: 1992 Toxics Release Inventory. Table 3-15.
      EPA 745-R-94-001, April 1994.

-------
Figure 10-3. TOXIC RELEASE INVENTORY
Releases by Industry, 1988 - 1992
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                                     100            200            300            400
                                        TRI Air Emissions in thousand short tons
                                                500
     Source: 1992Toxics Release Inventory, Table 3-13. EPA745-R-94-001, April 1994.
Nati°nal Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-13
                                                   Ak Toxics

-------
              Table 10-1. State Total Air Emissions from TRI*, 1988 to 1992
                                        (short tons/year)
State
Texas
Tennessee
Ohio
Louisiana
Virginia
Utah
Indiana
Illinois
Alabama
New York
North Carolina
Michigan
California
Pennsylvania
Georgia
South Carolina
Mississippi
Minnesota
Florida
Missouri
Arkansas
Kentucky
Wisconsin
Iowa
New Jersey
West Virginia
Oklahoma
Kansas
Washington
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Alaska
Oregon
Nebraska
Maryland
Maine
Arizona
Puerto Rico
New Hampshire
Colorado
Rhode Island
Delaware
Idaho
Wyoming
South Dakota
Montana
New Mexico
Virgin Islands

1988
105,793
73,865
71,423
68,580
62,833
60,809
56,732
55,021
53,003
50,662
49,813
49,657
46,391
45,960
42,528
34,207
30,783
27,461
25,861
25,276
24,380
24,264
23,815
22,410
19,829
18,923
17,889
16,344
14,849
13,967
13,124
1 1 ,523
10,595
9,345
9,191
8,718
8,155
7,150
6,157
6,017
3,890
3,782
2,683
1,446
1,286
1,194
1,067
853

1990
89,337
74,454
58,080
55,722
39,133
53,159
54,461
44,896
51,954
37,883
45,099
41,988
41,346
38,378
37,347
34,644
30,156
25,446
23,648
22,955
17,136
20,905
22,080
19,786
12,824
15,690
15,336
15,227
14,239
10,644
8,803
7,984
9,410
8,460
6,778
6,991
6,414
8,716
4,060
3,362
2,610
3,010
2,870
2,365
1,406
1,226
1,284
606

1991
83,395
71,932
49,856
49,116
33,600
37,244
46,193
40,590
49,661
32,034
41,431
35,186
33,560
33,062
29,116
30,883
28,212
19,528
19,123
17,479
15,978
18,918
18,568
17,237
10,637
13,578
12,993
14,402
12,933
8,260
7,979
6,613
8,934
7,396
5,845
6,901
4,773
7,923
2,645
2,876
2,178
2,920
3,152
1,439
1,369
1,180
1,077
555

1992
77,540
63,501
44,718
43,808
31,674
34,457
42,337
36,039
47,109
27,370
40,016
32,910
27,131
30,319
25,038
30,856
26,663
14,608
16,630
18,095
13,839
18,493
18,345
16,234
9,945
11,219
12,081
12,411
10,936
7,091
6,618
5,473
8,155
6,282
5,274
6,472
4,161
6,755
2,968
2,456
1,659
2,484
2,604
1,146
1,447
1,394
932
777

Reduction (88-92)
Tons Percent
28,252
10,363
26,705
24,772
31,159
26,351
14,395
18,981
5,894
23,292
9,797
16,747
19,260
15,641
17,490
3,351
4,120
12,852
9,231
7,181
10,541
5,771
5,470
6,176
9,884
7,704
5,809
3,932
3,913
6,876
6,507
6,050
2,440
3,062
3,917
2,246
3,994
395
3,189
3,560
2,231
1,299
79
299
(162)
(200)
134
75

27
14
37
36
50
43
25
34
11
46
20
34
42
34
41
10
13
47
36
28
43
24
23
28
50
41
32
24
26
49
50
53
23
33
43
26
49
6
52
59
57
34
3
21
-13
-17
13
9
(continued)
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends. 1900-1993
                                             10-14
Air Toxics

-------
     Table 10-1. State Total Air Emissions from TRI, 1988 to 1992  (continued)
State
Vermont
North Dakota
Hawaii
Nevada
American Samoa
Total
1988
784
636
437
352
15
1,341,726
1990
469
741
340
373
10
1,152,240
1991
450
903
290
425
11
1,002,544
1992
413
878
298
416
6
910,483
Reduction (88-92)
Tons Percent
371 47
(241) -38
139 32
(64) -18
9 62
431,243 32
•Source: 1992 Toxic Release Inventory, Table 3-12. EPA 745-R-94-001, April 1994.
       ir Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-15
                                                                                          Air Toxics

-------
            Table  10-2. 1990 National Emissions for 3 Hazardous Air Pollutants
                                             (short tons/year)
 Source Category                                      Benzene       Formaldehyde      1,3-Butadiene
Utility Combustion
Industrial Combustion
Commercial/Institutional Comb.
Residential Combustion
Structural Fires
On-Road Motor Vehicles
Nonroad Mobile Sources
Sewage Sludge Incineration
Publicly Owned Treatment Works
Landfills
Gas Processing Glycol Dehydrators
Petroleum Distribution
SIC 24: Lumber & Wood Products
SIC 28: Chemicals & Allied Products
SIC 29: Petroleum Refining
SIC 32: Stone, Clay, Glass & Concrete
SIC 33: Primary Metal Industries
Other Industrial Processes (SIC 20-39)
TOTAL





174,326
109,783
313
55
45
15,401
14,089
1
3184
2980
<1
5537
115
325,830
1685
921
497
2399
7610
81,431
41,663

40



2249
1667
169
1083
126
863
142,403





30,833
47,816






2348
174


4
81,175
  Sources: On-Road from EPA 420-R-93-005, Motor Vehicle-Related Air Toxics Study, April 1993 (Tables 5-3, 6-4, 7-4);  Nonroad from
         EPA 21A-2001, Nonroad Engine and Vehicle Emission Study-Report, November 1991 (Table 3-02); All other estimates from
         National Urban Area Source Emissions of Benzene, 1,3-Butadiene, Formaldehyde, Trichtoroethylene, Methylene Chloride, and
         Carbon Tetrachloride, Interim Draft Report, September 30, 1993 (Table 2-1).
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-16
Air Toxics

-------
  Table 10-3.  1990 National Emissions for 4 Chlorinated Hazardous Air Pollutants
                                          (short tons/year)
Source Category
Dry Cleaners
Commercial/Consumer Products
Unspecified Solvent Use
Sewage Sludge Incineration
Publicly Owned Treatment Works
Landfills
SIC 20: Food & Kindred Products
SIC 22: Textile Mill Products
SIC 23: Apparel & Other Textile Prod
SIC 24: Lumber & Wood Products
SIC 25: Furniture & Fixtures
SIC 26: Paper & Allied Products
SIC 27: Printing & Publishing
SIC 28: Chemicals & Allied Products
SIC 29: Petroleum Refining
SIC 30: Rubber & Misc. Plastics
SIC 31: Leather & Leather Products
SIC 32: Stone, Clay, Glass & Concrete
SIC 33: Primary Metal Industries
SIC 34: Fabricated Metals
SIC 35: Industrial Machinery & Equipt
SIC 36: Electronic & Other Elec Equipt
SIC 37: Transportation Equipment
SIC 38: Instruments & Related Products
SIC 39: Miscellaneous Manufacturing Ind
TOTAL
Perchloro-
ethylene
79,091
88
3819
4
127
121

484
31
66
6
262
141
582
1
460
15
74
1451
1447
1063
1298
2663
299
80
93,672
Trichloro- Methylene
ethylene Chloride

32
21,714
3
90
58

564

1
132
18
56
336
48
853

543
2133
5023
2380
1915
3749
682
568
40,895

1756

9
168
257
152
208
69
111
240
625
158
13,448
3
16,498
68
738
781
1953
1235
2366
3048
4646
457
48,994
Carbon
Tetrachloride



0.03
346



0.003




770
23


0.256
0.003






1,139
Source:  National Urban Area Source Emissions of Benzene, 1,3-Butadiene, Formaldehyde, Trichtoroethylene, Methylene Chloride, and
      Carbon Tetrachloride, Interim Draft Report, September 30, 1993 (Table 2-1).
 National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-17
                                               Air Toxics

-------
             Table 10-4.  1990  National Extractable Organic Matter Emissions
                                              (short tons/year)


             Source Category	                         EOM

             Residential Wood Combustion                                              475,830

             Industrial Wood Combustion                                                 97,848

             On-Road Vehicles                                                           56,157

             Utility Coal Combustion                                                      38,628

             Nonroad Vehicles                                                           25,116

             Residential Natural Gas Combustion                                          4,143

             Diesel 1C Engines & Turbines                                                 3,660

             Commercial Coal Combustion                                                 2,746

             Industrial Coal Combustion                                                   2,411

             15 Other Categories Estimated*                                             11,830

             TOTAL	718,369

           Source:    Emissions Inventory of section 112(c)(6) Pollutants, Extractable Organic Matter (EOM), Draft
                     Report, September 1993 (Table 3-1).

           NOTE(S):  'Includes additional combustion sectors, municipal and medical waste incineration, coke ovens,
                     and primary aluminum production.

                     No estimates available for the following potential sources of EOM emissions:

                       Iron and Steel Foundries
                       Carbon Black Manufacturing
                       Hazardous Waste Incineration
                       Wood Treatment and Preserving
                       Asphalt Roofing Manufacturing
                       Locomotives, Aircraft, and additional Nonroad Vehicles
                       Petroleum Refining
                       Charcoal Manufacturing
                       Secondary Lead Smelting
                       Pulp and Paper Production
                       Asphalt Hot-Mix Production

                     Of the above listed categories,  iron and steel foundries and petroleum refineries are likely to be
                     major sources of EOM emissions based on the air emissions for individual POM compounds
                     reported in the TRI data base.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993           10-18                                           Air Toxics

-------
             Table 10-5.  1990 National Hexachlorobenzene Emissions
                                      (pounds/year)
    State
                                 Pesticides
                                                 Solvent Prod.
                                                                         Total
Florida
California
Texas
Illinois
Iowa
Nebraska
Indiana
Kansas
Ohio
Michigan
Missouri
North Carolina
Minnesota
Maryland
Wisconsin
Washington
New York
Louisiana
Virginia
Pennsylvania
Kentucky
Georgia
Colorado
Tennessee
Oregon
Alabama
New Jersey
New Mexico
South Carolina
South Dakota
Arkansas
Delaware
Oklahoma
Hawaii
Mississippi
Utah
Arizona
North Dakota
West Virginia
Idaho
Vermont
Maine
Wyoming
Connecticut
Massachusetts
Montana
New Hampshire
Rhode Island
Nevada
TOTAL
Source: Estimation
72,199
65,779
31,524
25,330
22,693
19,429
15,688
15,283
12,879
9,622
8,483
8,686
8,066
7,902
7,632
7,610
6,661
6,224
5,192
5,125
5,015
4,425
4,297
3,857
3,489
3,156
2,602
2,045
1,742
1,644
1,591
1,370
1,314
1,135
941
707
589
501
422
391
379
213
213
204
173
28
28
20
0
404,197
of National Hexachlorobenzene
0
2
562
0
0
0
0
29
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
299
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
222
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,161
Emissions for 1 990, Final Report, October
72,199
65,781
32,086
25,330
22,693
19,429
15,688
15,312
12,879
9,622
8,483
8,386
8,066
7,902
7,632
7,610
6,661
6,523
5,192
5,125
5,055
4,425
4,297
3,857
3,489
3,378
2,602
2,045
1,742
1,644
1,591
1,370
1,314
1,135
941
707
589
501
429
391
379
213
213
204
173
28
28
20
0
405,358
1993 (Table I).
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
10-19
                                           Air Toxics

-------
       Table 10-6. 1990 National Tetraethyl Lead and Tetramethyl Lead Emissions
                                             (pounds/year)
Source Category
Bulk Plants - Aviation Gas
Nonroad Vehicles
Service Stations
Bulk Plants - Motor Vehicle Gas
Bulk Terminals
Pipelines
TOTAL
TEL
750
38
13
5
4
2
811
TML
N/A
293
102
40
30
16
481
           Source:    Estimation of Alkylated Lead Emissions, Final Report, September 1993 (Table 1).
              Table 10-7.  1990 National Polychlorinated Biphenyl  Emissions
                                             (pounds/year)

            Source Category                                               PCB Emissions
            Municipal Waste Combustion                                           175
            Hazardous Waste Incineration                                          134
            Medical Waste Incineration                                              84
            Sewage Sludge Incineration                                             11
            Waste Tire Incineration                                                   1
            Residual Oil Combustion                                                 1
            TOTAL	406	
           Source:   Emissions  Inventory of Section 112(c)(6) Pollutants, Polychlorinated Biphenyl Compounds
                    (PCBs), Draft Report, September 1993 (Table 3-1).
           NOTE(S):  The following categories were identified as potential sources of PCB emissions for which sufficient
                    data were not available to develop national emissions estimates:
                      Treatment, Storage, and Disposal Facilities (TSDFs) and Landfills;
                      Superfund Sites;
                      Steel and Iron Reclamation (auto scrap burning);
                      Accidental Releases (spills, leaks and transformer fires); and
                      Environmental Sinks of Past PCB Contamination.
National Air Pollutant'Emission Trends, 1900-1993          10-20                                         Air Toxics

-------
           Table 10-8.  1990 National Emissions for Cadmium and Mercury
                                         (short tons/year)

          Source Category                                   Cadmium          Mercury
Coal Combustion
Oil Combustion
Municipal Waste Incineration
Sewage Sludge Incineration
Medical Waste Incineration
Wood Combustion
Geothermal Power Plants
Metal & Metal Compound Production
Major Uses of Metal
Primary Lead Smelting
Primary Copper Smelting
Primary Zinc Smelting
Secondary Copper Smelting
Secondary Zinc Smelting
Iron and Steel
Portland Cement Production
Paint
Miscellaneous Sources
Mobile Sources
TOTAL
240.4
26.0
7.7
6.9
3.9
0.4

10.1
3.6
15.8
6.2
6.3
4.8
1.7
1.5
3.3

0.1
na
338.7
122
14.9
63.8
1.8
64.7
0.3
1.4
6.3
20.2
9.0
NA




6.2
14.6
1.9
5.0
332.1
         Sources:  Locating and Estimating Air Emissions from Sources of Cadmium and Cadmium Compounds,
                 EPA-454/R-93-040, September 1993 (Table 3-3); Locating and Estimating Air Emissions from
                 Sources of Mercury and Mercury Compounds, EPA-454/R-93-023, September 1993 (Table 3-4).
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993          10-21                                         Air Toxics

-------
1
nal Air Pollutant Emissi
i'
I
1
1



o
10






I
a
TABLE 10-9. Summary
of Proposed or Promulgated
Maximum Ach
ievable Cor
itrol Technology Standards
HAP Emissions
(short tons/year)
MACT Source Category
Aerospace Manufacturing and Rework
Petroleum Refineries
Hatogenated Solvent Cleaning
Magnetic Tape Manufacturing
Marine Vessel Loading Operations
Polymers and Resins II
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Manufacture
Gasoline Distribution Industry (Stage I)
Ethylene Oxide Sterilization Facilities
Chromium Electroplating Operations
Coke Oven Batteries
Perchloroethylene Dry Cleaning Facilities
Secondary Lead Smelters
Industrial Process Cooling Towers
Synthetic Organic Chemical Manufacturing
Total
Baseline
Emissions
208,000
78,000
141,400
4,500
8,800
160
187,000
55,000
1,200
175
1,830
94,000
2,900
25
550,000
1,428,990
NOTE(S): MC = Methylene Chloride, TCA = 1,1,1-Trichloroethane. MEK =
BTEX = Benzene, Toluene, Ethylbenzene, and Xylenes, POM =


Expected
Reduction
127,800
54,000
88,400
2,300
8,400
110
132,000
3,000
1,100
172
1,510
7,300
2,200
25
440,000
868,317
Number of
Facilities
2,800
192
125,400

350
20
160
400
200
5,000
30
3,700
23
300
370
138,945
Date of:
Proposal Final Primary Toxics Emitted
6/94
6/94
11/93
3/93
5/94
5/94
12/93
2/94
3/94



5/94



Methyl Ethyl Ketone, Perc = Perchloroethylene, TCE =
Polycyclic Organic Matter



MC, TCA, MEK, Toluene,
Chromium, Cadmium
BTEX
MC, TCA, Perc, TCE, Carbon
Tetrachloride, Chloroform
MEK, MIBK, Toluene
BTEX
Epichlorohydrin
3/96 Chloroform, Methanol
BTEX
11/94 Ethylene Oxide
11/94 Chromium
10/93 POM
9/93 Perc
5/95 Lead, Arsenic, Butadiene
7/94 Chromium
4/94 Up to 150 Different HAPs

Trichloroethylene, MIBK = Methyl Isobutyl Ketone


-------
                      APPENDIX A

         NATIONAL EMISSIONS (1970 TO 1993)
                  BY SUBCATEGORY
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993      A-l                      Appendix A

-------
National Air f
a.
|
s
I1
If
1'
a"
1
^
1
•L
s




^
to

















^
1.
§"•
Source Category
FUEL COMB. ELEC. \n\L.
Coal
Oil
Gas
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
ethylene dichloride
maleic anhydride
cyclohexanol
other
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
pigments; TiO2 chloride process: reactor
other
Polymer & Resin Mfg
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Pharmaceutical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
carbon black mfg
carbon black furnace: fugitives
other


Table
1970
237
106
41
90
NA
770
100
44
462
164
NA
3,625
12
27
24
NA
2,932
686
2,246
630
3,397
340
11
73
36
220
190
18
172
NA
NA
NA
2,866
2,866
NA
NA


A-1. Carbon Monoxide Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1980 1984 1985 1986 1987
322 316
188 220
48 25
85 72
NA NA
750 732
58 74
35 23
418 385
239 249
NA NA
6,230 6,760
13 22
21 17
26 25
NA NA
5,992 6,485
1,402 1,517
4,590 4,967
178 212
2,151 2,082
543 599
17 20
103 122
37 39
386 418
191 167
34 37
157 129
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
1,417 1,316
1,417 1,316
NA NA
NA NA
292
208
18
56
10
670
86
47
257
167
113
6,686
14
18
42
57
6,393
NA
NA
162
1,845
251
0
16
5
230
89
77
12
19
16
0
1,471
1,078
155
238


291
208
24
48
11
650
87
46
242
172
103
6,571
14
18
42
60
6,280
NA
NA
157
1,853
261
0
16
5
240
94
82
12
19
16
0
1,463
1,068
165
231


300
217
20
53
10
649
85
46
252
171
96
6,338
14
19
43
59
6,046
NA
NA
157
1,798
260
0
15
5
240
89
77
11
18
16
0
1,415
1,034
161
219


1988
313
229
25
48
11
669
87
46
265
173
98
6,172
15
18
47
55
5,868
NA
NA
168
1,917
278
0
16
6
256
95
83
12
18
17
0
1,509
1,098
185
226


1989
319
231
26
51
11
672
87
46
271
173
96
5,942
15
17
49
55
5,654
NA
NA
153
1,925
285
0
16
6
264
95
84
12
18
17
0
1,510
1,112
180
219


1990
314
233
20
51
11
677
86
46
276
171
98
5,726
15
16
50
52
5,435
NA
NA
158
1,940
286
0
16
6
264
95
83
12
19
17
0
1,522
1,126
179
218


1991
314
233
19
51
11
682
86
46
284
169
98
5,583
15
16
51
50
5,290
NA
NA
161
1,953
282
0
16
6
261
96
84
12
19
17
0
1,538
1,140
184
214


1992 1993
313 322
235 245
15 16
51 49
11 11
671 667
78 73
46 46
277 278
170 170
99 100
5,033 4,444
15 15
17 17
50 51
52 52
4,750 4,161
NA NA
NA NA
150 149
1,964 1,998
288 289
0 0
16 16
6 6
266 268
96 96
84 84
12 12
19 19
18 18
0 0
1,542 1,574
1,142 1,170
185 190
215 214
(continued)


-------
Table A-1. Carbon Monoxide Emissions (continued)
                (thousand short tons)
2' Source Category
S. METALS PROCESSING
cf Nonferrous Metals Processing
jj* aluminum anode baking
3 prebake aluminum cell
§.' other
2 Ferrous Metals Processing
^ basic oxygen furnace
|, carbon steel electric arc furnace
^. coke oven charging
§ gray iron cupola
;~ iron ore sinter plant windbox
£ other
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Oil & Gas Production
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
•p. fee units
i) other
Asphalt Manufacturing
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
sulfate pulping: rec. furnace/evaporator
sulfate (kraft) pulping: lime kiln
other
Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
Mineral Products
Machinery Products
Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Degreasing
Graphic Arts
> Surface Coating
*° Other Industrial
D.
1970
3,644
652
326
Z26
NA
2,991
440
181
62
1,203
1,025
81
NA
2,179
NA
2,168
1,820
348
11
620
NA
NA
610
NA
610
NA
NA
10
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

1980
2,246
842
421
421
NA
1,404
80
280
43
340
600
61
NA
1,723
NA
1,723
1,680
44
0
830
NA
NA
798
NA
798
NA
NA
32
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

1984 1985
1,734
741
371
371
NA
993
64
235
29
201
418
46
NA
383
NA
383
362
21
0
908
NA
NA
877
NA
877
NA
NA
31
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
2,223
694
41
257
396
1,523
694
19
9
302
304
194
6
462
11
449
403
46
2
694
0
0
627
475
140
12
0
43
0
18
0
6
2
1
0
0
0

1986
2,079
650
40
243
367
1,423
640
17
9
294
280
184
6
451
9
440
398
41
2
715
0
0
647
491
145
12
0
44
0
18
0
5
2
1
0
0
0

1987
1,984
614
38
232
344
1,365
617
17
8
281
266
176
6
455
8
445
408
37
2
713
0
0
646
489
144
13
0
44
0
18
0
5
2
1
0
0
0

1988
2,101
656
40
248
368
1,439
650
18
9
288
287
188
6
441
8
431
393
38
2
711
0
0
649
491
145
13
0
44
0
13
0
5
2
1
0
1
0

1989
2,132
677
41
254
382
1,449
662
18
9
280
293
187
6
436
8
427
390
37
2
716
0
0
655
497
146
13
0
43
0
12
0
5
2
1
0
1
0

1990
2,080
681
41
255
384
1,394
642
17
8
262
283
181
6
435
8
425
389
36
2
717
0
0
657
498
146
13
0
43
0
12
0
5
2
1
0
1
0

1991
1,992
656
40
245
371
1,331
615
16
8
249
269
174
6
439
9
429
392
37
2
711
0
0
653
496
145
13
0
41
0
11
0
5
2
1
0
1
0

1992 1993
2,044 2,091
665 676
41 42
251 256
373 378
1,373 1,410
635 652
17 17
8 8
254 261
280 287
180 185
6 6
410 398
8 8
400 388
364 352
36 36
2 2
719 732
0 0
0 0
661 672
502 510
146 149
13 13
0 0
42 44
0 0
11 11
0 0
5 5
2 2
1 1
0 0
1 1
0 0
(continued)

-------
National Air 1
o
a.
e
I
s5
%
1
^
i.
£"
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£
1

Source Category
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Bulk Terminals & Plants
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
Table A-1. Carbon Monoxide Emissions (continued)
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
NA NA NA 49 51 50 56 55 55 56 55 56
NANANA 000000000
NANANA 000000000
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport NANANA 000000000
Organic Chemical Storage
Inorganic Chemical Storage
Bulk Materials Storage
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
conical wood burner
municipal incinerator
industrial
commmercial/institutional
residential
other
Open Burning
industrial
commmercial/institutional
residential
Landfills
Other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
light-duty diesel trucks
light-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
NA NA NA 42 45 44 51 49 49 50 49 50
NANANA 000000000
NANANA 655555555
7,059 2,300 2,028 1,941 1,916 1,850 1,806 1,747 1,686 1,644 1,717 1,732
2,979 1,246 1,089 958 949 920 903 876 849 830 864 872
1,431 228 150 17 18 18 19 19 18 18 18 18
333 13 7 34 35 34 35 35 35 34 35 35
NA NA NA 9 9 9 10 9 9 9 9 g
108 60 41 32 33 35 38 39 40 40 40 41
1,107 945 891 865 852 822 800 773 745 726 759 766
NANANA 222222222
4,080 1,054 939 982 966 930 903 870 836 814 852 859
1,932 1,007 909 20 21 21 21 21 21 20 21 22
2,148 47 30 444455555
NA NA NA 958 941 905 877 845 811 789 826 833
NANANA 000000000
NANANA 000000000
88,034 78,049 78,881 77,387 73,347 70,645 71,081 66,050 62,858 62,074 59,859 59,989
64,031 53,561 50,698 49,451 46,698 44,860 45,553 42,234 40,502 40,267 39,370 39,452
63,846 53,342 50,518 49,273 46,522 44,682 45,367 42,047 40,316 40,089 39,190 39,265
185 219 180 178 175 179 186 187 187 177 180 187
16,570 16,137 19,124 18,960 17,789 17,151 17,133 15,940 15,084 15,014 14,567 14,879
10,102 10,395 12,207 11,834 10,795 10,096 9,890 9,034 8,511 8,450 8,161 8,286
6,468 5,742 6,917 7,126 6,995 7,056 7,244 6,906 6,573 6,565 6,407 6,593
6,712 7,189 7,789 7,716 7,601 7,343 7,072 6,506 5,930 5,459 4,569 4^292
721 1,161 1,270 1,261 1,259 1,289 1,322 1,369 1,342 1,334 1,352 l',366
721 1,139 1,246 1,235 1,232 1,260 1,290 1,336 1,307 1,298 1,315 1,327
NA 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 666
NA 19 20 22 23 24 26 28 29 30 31 33
10,605 12,681 13,427 13,706 13,984 14,131 14,500 14,518 14,642 14621 14904 15272
9,478 11,004 11,599 11,815 12,057 12,286 12,465 12,538 12,655 12661 12886 13164
268 299 309 312 314 316 318 321 324 327 330 333
250 368 409 421 416 402 401 398 395 376 395 423
732 970 1,061 1,104 1,137 1,164 1,207 1,227 1228 1196 1234 1285
4,679 5,366 5,623 5,685 5,749 5,808 5,866 5,929 6,001 6,074 6,145 6,214
/f^stntint ie*ft\

-------
Source Category
                                            Table A-1.  Carbon Monoxide Emissions (continued)
                                                                   (thousand short tons)
                                                    1970    1980     1984
                                                                                1985
1986
                                                                                                  1987
                  1988
1989     1990
                                                                                                                                       1991
                                                        1992
                                     1993
OFF-HIGHWAY (continued)
Non-Road Gasoline (continued)
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
recreational marine vessels
other
Non-Road Diesel
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
coal
diesel
residual oil
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
structural Tires
agricultural fires
slash/prescribed burning
forest wildfires
other
TOTAL ALL SOURCES


46
2,437
9
80
976
1
543
0
336
33
3
127
10
1
33
506
14
2
12
0
65
7,909
7,909
101
873
1,146
5,620
169
128,079


77
2,680
25
116
1,102
2
801
0
479
43
3
214
11
2
48
743
37
4
32
1
96
8,344
8,344
217
501
2,226
5,396
4
115,625


82
2,814
28
125
1,147
2
880
0
535
47
3
229
12
3
52
803
42
5
37
1
103
7,011
7,011
198
492
2,226
4,093
2
114,262


84
2,894
28
129
1,157
2
910
0
553
49
3
237
12
2
54
831
44
5
39
1
106
6,116
6,116
242
396
4,300
1,178
0
112,072


85
3,028
27
133
1,167
2
912
0
552
50
3
237
13
2
55
858
47
5
41
1
109
6,161
6,161
242
441
4,300
1,178
0
108,070


47
3,203
33
137
1,175
2
797
0
538
51
3
131
14
3
57
887
50
6
44
1
112
6,203
6,203
242
483
4,300
1,178
0
105,117


92
3,219
31
144
1,185
2
930
0
538
53
3
259
14
3
60
931
56
6
48
1
118
6,332
6,332
242
612
4,300
1,178
0
106,100


63
3,223
33
147
1,195
2
845
0
535
54
3
175
14
3
61
955
59
7
52
1
121
6,290
6,290
242
571
4,300
1,178
0
100,806


63
3,254
33
149
1,207
2
841
0
528
54
3
176
14
3
62
966
58
6
51
1
122
12,623
12,623
242
552
4,300
7,529
0
103,753


66
3,220
32
148
1,221
2
818
0
500
53
3
183
14
3
62
962
58
6
51
1
122
9,826
9,826
242
487
4,300
4,798
0
99,898


68
3,296
33
151
1,233
2
853
0
526
54
4
189
14
3
63
980
60
7
53
1
124
8,679
8,679
242
559
4,300
3,578
0
96,368


70
3,402
34
157
1,245
2
903
0
564
56
4
196
15
3
65
1,019
62
7
54
1
124
9,506
9,506
242
573
4,300
4,391
0
97,208
NOTE(S):  Methodologies to estimate 1970 to 1984 and 1985 to 1993 emissions differ except for transportation sources. Because of these differences, the
            allocation of emissions among source categories could result in significant changes in the emissions between the years, particularly at the more
            detailed source category level. The break is illustrated by the black line. Details on the different methodologies are provided in section 6.0.
          NA = not available.  For several source categories, emissions either prior to or beginning with 1985 are not available at the more detailed level but are
            contained in the more aggregate estimate.
          "Other" categories may contain emissions that could not be accurately allocated to specific source categories.
          Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.
          No data was available after 1984 to weigh the emissions from residential wood burning devices.

-------
National Air P
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Source Category
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.

Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
other
Oil
residual
distillate
Gas

natural
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
other
Oil
residual
distillate
other
Gas
natural
process
other
Other
wood/bark waste
liquid waste
other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Table
1970
4,900

3,888
2,112
1,041
344
391
1,012
40
972
NA

NA
NA
4,325
771
532
164
75
NA
332
228
104
NA
3,060
3,053
8
NA
162
102
NA
60
NA
836
23
210
A-2. Nitrogen Oxides Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1980 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
7,024 7,268

6,123 6,515
3,439 3,820
1,694 1,882
542 597
447 217
901 752
39 23
862 729
NA NA

NA NA
NA NA
3,555 3,415
444 573
306 397
94 122
44 54
NA NA
286 175
179 100
63 52
44 24
2,619 2,457
2,469 2,329
5 3
145 125
205 209
138 144
NA NA
67 64
NA NA
741 670
25 37
155 96
6,916 6,909 7,128 7,530 7,607 7,516 7,482 7,473 7,782

6,051 6,061 6,278 6,668 6,708 6,698 6,662 6,694 7,005
4,438 4,427 4,529 4,623 4,665 4,600 4,522 4,564 4,758
1,340 1,290 1,411 1,659 1,650 1,692 1,732 1,707 1,831
272 344 337 387 392 406 408 423 416
NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
177 246 204 260 272 210 201 160 177
174 242 200 257 269 207 198 158 175
444443333
640 552 599 551 578 558 569 568 550

640 552 599 551 578 558 569 568 550
48 50 48 50 49 50 50 50 50
3,209 3,065 3,063 3,187 3,209 3,256 3,309 3,206 3,176
608 613 596 617 615 613 610 557 520
430 439 435 447 446 445 438 404 377
14 14 14 15 14 14 14 13 12
33 31 27 29 30 30 30 27 26
131 129 119 126 124 124 127 112 105
309 300 292 296 294 297 306 300 297
191 181 172 175 176 177 185 180 179
89 89 89 91 88 90 91 92 91
29 30 31 31 29 30 30 28 27
1,520 1,433 1,505 1,584 1,625 1,656 1,708 1,658 1,664
1,282 1,206 1,285 1,360 1,405 1,436 1,485 1,444 1,453
227 216 210 214 209 211 212 205 202
11 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
118 120 119 121 120 119 117 118 118
89 92 92 93 92 91 90 91 91
12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
17 16 15 16 16 16 16 15 15
655 599 552 569 556 570 568 573 577
701 694 710 737 730 732 745 735 732
37 36 37 39 38 39 40 38 38
106 110 121 117 106 99 100 101 102
(continued)

-------
Source Category
                                Table A-2.  Nitrogen Oxides Emissions (continued)
                                                 (thousand short tons)

                                         1970   1980  1984    1985    1986   1987   1988   1989  1990   1991   1992   1993
FUEL COMB. OTHER (continued)
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Wood
Residential Other
distillate oil
natural gas
other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
Polymer & Resin Mfg
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Paint, Varnish, Lacquer, Enamel Mfg
Pharmaceutical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
Ferrous Metals Processing
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Oil & Gas Production
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
Asphalt Manufacturing
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
Mineral Products
cement mfg
glass mfg
other

120
NA
44
439
118
242
79
271
70
201
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
77
NA
77
NA
240
NA
240
NA
187
NA
NA
18
NA
169
97
48
24

131
NA
74
356
85
238
33
216
54
159
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
65
NA
65
NA
72
NA
72
NA
205
NA
NA
24
NA
181
98
60
23

126
NA
81
331
64
228
40
161
57
104
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
54
NA
54
NA
70
NA
70
NA
203
NA
NA
26
NA
177
101
57
19

145
11
77
326
75
248
3
374
37
22
22
255
0
0
38
87
16
58
13
124
69
55
1
327
5
0
73
0
239
137
48
54

139
12
76
320
76
241
3
381
38
19
22
262
0
0
38
80
15
53
13
109
55
53
1
328
5
0
76
0
238
136
48
54

144
11
73
323
79
241
3
371
38
17
22
256
0
0
37
76
15
48
13
101
48
52
1
320
5
0
76
0
230
130
47
53

157
11
71
343
80
259
3
398
42
18
23
276
0
0
40
82
16
53
13
100
48
51
1
315
5
0
76
0
225
126
46
53

159
11
68
347
78
267
3
395
42
18
23
274
0
0
39
83
16
54
14
97
47
49
1
311
5
0
77
0
220
124
45
51

164
11
66
352
81
269
3
399
42
19
23
277
0
0
38
81
15
53
13
100
50
50
1
306
5
0
77
0
216
121
44
51

169
11
64
361
82
275
3
401
42
19
23
278
0
0
38
79
15
51
12
103
52
50
1
298
5
0
76
0
209
117
42
49

166
11
58
361
85
274
2
411
43
19
24
287
0
0
38
80
15
53
12
96
48
47
1
305
5
0
78
0
214
119
44
51

167
11
50
363
86
275
2
414
43
19
24
289
0
0
39
82
15
54
13
95
48
46
1
314
5
0
79
0
222
124
46
52
                                                                                                             (continued)

-------
National Air P
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^
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t
Table
Source Category
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES (continued)
Machinery Products
Transportation Equipment
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Degreasing
Graphic Arts
Surface Coating
Other Industrial
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport
Organic Chemical Storage
Inorganic Chemical Storage
Bulk Materials Storage
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
Open Burning
Landfills
Other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
light-duty diesel trucks
light-duty diesel vehicles
A-2. Nitrogen Oxides Emissions (continued)
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
440
110
330
NA
NA
7,390
4,158
4,156
2
1,278
725
553
278
1,676
1,676
NA
NA

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
111
37
74
NA
NA
8,621
4,421
4,416
5
1,408
864
544
300
2,493
2,463
5
25

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
90
24
66
NA
NA

2
0
8
2
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
87
27
59
0
0
8,387 8,089
3,993 3,806
3,984 3,797
8 9
1,582 1,530
977 926
604 603
329 330
2,484 2,423
2,451 2,389
5 6
27 28

2 2
0 0
8 7
3 3
0 0
0 0
2 2
0 0
2 2
1 1
0 0
1 1
0 0
0 0
87 85
29 29
58 56
0 0
0 0
7,773 7,662
3,602 3,501
3,592 3,491
10 10
1,457 1,438
867 844
590 595
332 333
2,383 2,390
2,347 2,352
6 6
29 31

2
0
7
3
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
85
31
54
0
0
7,661
3,500
3,489
11
1,419
824
595
336
2,406
2,366
7
33
1989

2
0
7
3
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
84
31
52
0
0
7,682
3,494
3,483
11
1,386
803
584
343
2,458
2,416
7
35
1990

2
0
7
2
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
82
32
50
0
0
7,488
3,437
3,425
12
1,341
780
561
335
2,375
2,332
7
36
1991

2
0
7
2
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
81
32
49
0
0
7,373
3,464
3,453
11
1,339
782
557
326
2,244
2,199
8
37
1992 1993

2 2
0 0
7 7
3 3
0 0
0 0
2 2
0 0
3 3
1 1
0 0
1 1
0 0
1 1
83 84
32 32
51 52
0 0
0 0
7,440 7,437
3,614 3,685
3,602 3,673
12 12
1,356 1,387
792 812
564 575
308 304
2,163 2,061
2,116 2,014
8 8
39 39
(continued

-------
Source Category
                                          Table A-2.  Nitrogen Oxides Emissions (continued)
                                                               (thousand short tons)

                                                     1970    1980   1984     1985   1986    1987    1988   1989    1990    1991    1992    1993
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
recreational marine vessels
other
Non-Road Diesel
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
coal
diesel
residual oil
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
TOTAL ALL SOURCES
1,628
81
1
2
46
5
0
3
0
2
16
6
941
0
599
75
4
166
17
2
78
72
40
0
34
6
495
330
330
20,625
2,423
102
1
3
61
6
1
4
0
2
18
6
1,374
0
854
99
5
280
18
5
113
106
110
0
93
17
731
248
248
23,281
2,644
110
1
3
67
6
1
4
0
3
18
7
1,510
0
952
108
5
299
19
5
121
115
125
0
105
19
784
210 I
210
23,172 |
2,734
113
1
4
70
6
1
4
0
3
19
7
1,562
0
986
112
5
309
20
5
125
119
131
0
110
20
808
I 201
201
| 22,853
2,777
116
1
3
72
6
1
4
0
3
19
7
1,569
0
984
116
5
309
21
5
129
123
140
0
118
22
829
202
202
22,409
2,664
118
1
3
74
6
0
4
0
3
19
7
1,416
0
959
119
5
172
22
6
133
128
149
0
125
24
854
203
203
22,386
2,914
122
1
3
76
7
1
4
0
3
19
7
1,597
0
961
123
5
340
22
6
140
134
165
0
138
26
897
206
206
23,221
2,844
123
1
3
78
7
1
4
0
3
19
7
1,485
0
955
125
5
228
22
7
143
138
175
0
147
28
923
205
205
23,250
2,843
124
1
3
78
7
1
4
0
3
20
7
1,478
0
944
125
5
230
22
7
144
139
173
0
145
27
929
384
384
23,192
2,796
122
1
3
76
7
1
4
0
3
20
7
1,434
0
895
122
6
239
22
6
144
139
174
0
146
27
928
305
305
22,977
2,885
125
1
3
78
7
1
5
0
3
20
7
1,494
0
940
126
6
248
23
7
146
141
179
0
151
28
946
272
272
22,991
2,986
129
1
4
81
7
1
5
0
3
20
7
1,582
0
1,007
131
6
256
23
7
152
147
183
0
154
29
945
296
296
23,402
NOTE(S):  Methodologies to estimate 1970 to 1984 and 1985 to 1993 emissions differ except for transportation sources. Because of these differences, the
            allocation of emissions among source categories could result in significant changes in the emissions between the years, particularly at the more
            detailed source category level. The break is illustrated by the black line. Details on the different methodologies are provided in section 6.0.
          NA = not available. For several source categories, emissions either prior to or beginning with 1985 are not available at the more detailed level but are
            contained in the more aggregate estimate.
          "Other" categories may contain emissions that could not be accurately allocated to specific source categories.
          Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.

-------
Source Category
Table A-3.  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions
                (thousand short tons)

       1970   1980   1984    1985    1986   1987    1988   1989   1990   1991   1992    1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
Oil
Gas
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
ethylene oxide mfg
phenol mfg
terephthalic acid mfg
ethylene mfg
charcoal mfg
socmi reactor
socmi distillation
socmi air oxidation processes
socmi fugitives
other
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
Polymer & Resin Mfg
polypropylene mfg
polyethylene mfg
polystyrene resins
30
18
7
5
NA
150
4
4
77
65
NA
541
1
4
6
NA
460
107
353
70
1,341
629
8
NA
29
70
48
81
NA
NA
194
199
65
271
0
17
10
45
31
9
5
NA
157
3
3
62
89
NA
848
1
3
7
NA
809
189
620
28
1,595
884
10
NA
60
111
40
118
NA
NA
254
291
93
384
1
22
15
45
37
4
4
NA
156
3
2
59
91
NA
917
2
2
7
NA
875
205
671
32
1,620
909
12
NA
60
121
36
138
NA
NA
251
293
77
369
1
27
17
32
24
5
2
1
248
7
17
171
35
18
508
1
4
6
4
477
NA
NA
16
1,579
612
2
0
108
41
39
164
10
2
203
43
34
283
13
80
7
33
24
7
2
1
254
7
16
178
36
16
499
1
4
6
4
468
NA
NA
16
1,640
635
3
0
113
43
41
169
11
2
208
45
36
291
14
83
8
34
25
6
2
1
249
7
16
175
36
15
482
1
4
6
4
451
NA
NA
16
1,633
624
2
0
109
42
42
167
10
2
205
44
35
287
13
81
8
36
27
7
2
1
271
7
16
197
36
15
470
1
4
6
4
438
NA
NA
17
1,752
674
3
0
113
48
45
181
11
2
221
49
39
312
15
90
8
37
27
7
2
1
266
7
16
192
36
15
452
1
4
7
4
422
NA
NA
15
1,748
678
3
0
114
47
46
186
11
2
220
48
38
309
15
88
8
35
27
6
2
1
266
7
16
192
35
15
437
1
4
7
4
405
NA
NA
15
1,771
684
3
0
117
47
46
187
12
2
222
48
38
313
15
89
8
35
27
5
2
1
270
7
16
197
35
15
426
1
4
7
4
394
NA
NA
16
1,778
686
3
0
118
48
44
187
12
2
223
49
39
317
15
90
8
34
27
4
2
1
271
7
16
198
35
15
385
1
4
7
4
354
NA
NA
15
1,799
692
3
0
118
49
46
189
12
2
223
50
40
324
16
93
8
36
29
5
2
1
271
6
16
198
35
15
341
1
4
7
4
310
NA
NA
14
1,811
694
3
0
118
49
47
189
12
2
224
50
40
330
16
95
8
                                                                                                              (continued)

-------
Source Category
Table A-3.  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions (continued)
                       (thousand short tons)

             1970   1980   1984    1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991    1992    1993
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG (continued)
Polymer & Resin Mfg (continued)
synthetic fiber
styrene/butadiene rubber
other
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Paint, Varnish, Lacquer, Enamel Mfg
paint & varnish mfg
other
Pharmaceutical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
carbon black mfg
printing ink mfg
fugitives unclassified
carbon black furnace: fugitives
other
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
Ferrous Metals Processing
coke oven door & topside leaks
coke oven by-product plants
other
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Oil & Gas Production
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
vaccuum distillation
cracking units
process unit turnarounds
petroleum refinery fugitives
other
Asphalt Manufacturing


112
77
55
NA
61
61
NA
40
275
275
NA
NA
NA
NA
394
NA
394
216
NA
177
NA
1,194
411
773
24
27
NA
NA
721
11


199
70
77
NA
65
65
NA
77
92
92
NA
NA
NA
NA
273
NA
273
152
NA
121
NA
1,440
379
1,045
32
21
NA
NA
992
16


152
73
99
NA
74
74
NA
93
98
98
NA
NA
NA
NA
182
NA
182
101
NA
81
NA
1,253
392
847
30
8
NA
NA
809
14


60
59
63
22
10
10
0
212
407
26
13
16
4
348
76
18
57
12
3
41
1
797
107
687
15
34
15
128
496
3


62
61
64
23
10
10
0
226
420
25
13
17
4
360
73
18
54
12
3
39
1
764
79
682
14
33
14
131
490
3


61
60
64
23
10
10
0
244
411
24
13
16
4
353
70
18
51
11
3
37
1
752
70
679
14
33
14
129
489
3


64
66
69
25
11
11
0
247
443
26
13
18
5
381
74
19
54
12
3
39
1
733
71
659
13
32
13
120
480
3


64
65
69
25
11
11
0
247
440
26
13
18
5
378
74
19
54
12
3
39
1
731
68
659
13
31
13
124
479
3


66
65
71
25
11
11
0
254
446
27
13
18
5
383
72
19
52
11
3
38
1
737
72
662
13
31
14
126
478
3


65
66
72
26
11
11
0
252
448
27
13
18
5
384
69
19
50
10
3
37
1
745
73
669
13
32
14
127
484
3


66
67
74
27
11
11
0
254
452
27
14
18
5
388
72
19
51
11
3
38
1
729
68
657
12
29
13
121
482
3


66
69
76
27
11
11
0
255
454
28
14
18
5
389
74
20
53
11
3
39
1
720
69
648
11
28
12
118
478
3
                                                                                                               (continued)

-------
National Air P
8:
s;

ts
!•
1

1
-^
§
£
§




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to















1
Table A-3.
Source Category
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES

Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
vegetable oil mfg
whiskey fermentation: aging
bakeries
other
Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
rubber tire mfg
green tire spray
other
Mineral Products
Machinery Products
Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Degreasing
open top
convey orized
cold cleaning
other
Graphic Arts
letterpress
flexographic
lithographic
gravure
other
Dry Cleaning
perchloroethylene
petroleum solvent
other
Volatile Organic Compound Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987
270

208
59
105
45
NA
NA
NA
60
60
NA
NA
2
NA
NA
NA
NA
7,174
707
NA
NA
NA
707
319
NA
NA
NA
NA
319
263
NA
NA
263
237 227

191 168
81 85
64 34
46 49
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
44 58
44 58
NA NA
NA NA
2 2
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
6,584 6,309
513 500
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
513 500
373 360
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
373 360
320 248
NA NA
NA NA
320 248
439

218
96
24
51
49
10
42
41
10
5
26
15
4
0
1
108
5,779
756
28
5
31
691
363
2
18
4
131
208
169
85
84
0
445

221
96
24
52
50
10
44
43
10
5
28
15
4
0
1
108
5,710
634
28
5
33
568
373
2
19
4
138
211
217
111
106
0
460

241
115
24
51
51
10
44
43
10
5
28
15
4
0
1
103
5,828
681
28
5
31
618
390
2
19
4
140
225
216
110
106
0
(continued)
1988 1989
479

248
120
24
52
52
10
44
46
11
6
29
14
4
0
0
112
6,034
754
29
5
34
687
415
2
20
4
148
241
216
109
106
0
476

249
123
23
51
52
10
44
46
11
6
29
14
4
0
0
109
6,053
757
29
4
35
689
417
2
20
4
150
241
212
107
105
0
1990
478

254
127
23
51
52
10
44
46
11
6
29
14
3
0
0
106
6,063
757
28
4
34
690
419
2
20
4
151
241
209
105
104
0
1991
475

255
129
24
50
53
10
43
46
11
6
29
14
3
0
0
103
6,064
755
27
4
32
691
416
2
20
4
150
240
206
103
102
0
1992 1993
482 486

258 260
131 132
24 24
50 51
53 54
10 10
44 45
45 46
11 11
6 6
29 29
14 14
3 3
0 0
0 0
106 106
6,121 6,249
745 762
28 28
4 4
34 34
678 695
427 441
2 2
21 21
4 5
151 156
249 258
216 218
109 110
107 108
0 0
(continued)

-------
Source Category
Table A-3.  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions (continued)
                       (thousand short tons)

              1970    1980   1984    1985   1986   1987   1988    1989   1990   1991    1992    1993
SOLVENT UTILIZATION (continued)
Surface Coating
industrial adhesives
fabrics
paper
large appliances
magnet wire
autos & light trucks
metal cans
metal coil
wood furniture
metal furniture
flatwood products
plastic parts
large ships
aircraft
misc. metal parts
architectural
traffic markings
maintenance coatings
railroad
auto refinishing
machinery
electronic & other electrical
general
miscellaneous
thinning solvents
other
Other Industrial
miscellaneous
rubber & plastics mfg
other
Nonindustrial
cutback asphalt
pesticide application

3,570
52
161
652
49
7
165
49
18
211
35
64
17
21
1
NA
442
NA
108
5
83
39
NA
79
942
NA
372
640
39
309
292
1,674
1,045
241

3,685
55
186
626
36
5
165
73
21
231
52
82
25
20
2
NA
477
NA
106
9
186
62
NA
52
799
NA
415
690
44
327
319
1,002
323
241

3,655
58
186
631
30
4
138
65
19
202
50
56
32
18
3
NA
489
NA
91
9
240
51
NA
36
861
NA
385
690
37
350
303
856
198
258

2,549
381
34
106
22
0
85
97
50
132
41
4
11
15
27
14
473
100
79
4
111
37
79
146
104
90
306
159
25
NA
134
1,783
191
212

2,602
353
34
109
19
0
86
96
50
140
44
4
11
16
29
14
502
106
80
3
132
28
79
147
109
92
317
167
29
NA
137
1,717
175
263

2,606
353
35
110
19
0
88
95
49
142
44
4
11
15
26
14
503
106
80
3
132
28
79
148
108
94
318
167
29
NA
138
1,768
186
262

2,646
366
35
114
19
0
87
96
50
143
44
4
11
16
31
14
504
107
80
3
133
29
80
158
105
97
320
169
29
NA
140
1,834
199
262

2,635
375
35
114
18
0
87
95
50
140
44
4
11
15
34
14
500
106
80
3
132
28
79
154
103
96
317
165
29
NA
136
1,867
199
260

2,619
383
35
114
18
0
86
95
49
138
43
4
11
15
33
14
495
105
79
3
130
28
78
153
98
95
315
159
28
NA
131
1,900
199
258

2,598
391
34
113
18
0
85
94
49
137
43
4
10
15
31
13
493
104
79
3
130
28
78
148
93
93
312
155
28
NA
128
1,934
199
255

2,623
378
35
114
18
0
80
93
48
138
43
4
10
15
33
13
505
107
78
3
137
26
77
157
98
96
315
157
28
NA
129
1,953
207
272

2,687
392
36
117
18
0
80
94
50
148
46
5
10
15
33
14
510
108
81
3
140
27
80
160
98
98
324
157
29
NA
128
1,982
214
280
                                                                                                                (continued)

-------
Source Category
Table A-3.  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions (continued)
                      (thousand short tons)

             1970   1980   1984    1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991   1992    1993
SOLVENT UTILIZATION (continued)
Nonindustrial (continued)
adhesives
consumer solvents
other
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Bulk Terminals & Plants
fixed roof
floating roof
variable vapor space
underground tanks
area source: gasoline
other
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
fixed roof gasoline
fixed roof crude
floating roof gasoline
floating roof crude
efr / seal gasoline
efr / seal crude
ifr / seal gasoline
ifr / seal crude
variable vapor space gasoline
other
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport
gasoline loading: normal / splash
gasoline loading: balanced / submerged
gasoline loading: normal / submerged
gasoline loading: clean / submerged
marine vessel loading: gasoline & crude
other
Service Stations: Stage I
Service Stations: Stage II
Service Stations: Breathing & Emptying
Organic Chemical Storage
Organic Chemical Transport


NA
NA
387
1,954
599
14
45
1
NA
509
30
300
47
135
49
32
3
1
1
2
3
25
92
3
20
39
2
26
2
416
521
NA
26
NA


NA
NA
437
1.975
517
12
39
1
0
440
26
306
43
148
45
36
3
2
1
2
3
23
61
0
2
3
0
50
6
461
583
NA
46
NA


NA
NA
400
1,810
416
9
31
0
0
354
21
275
35
139
36
33
3
1
1
2
2
23
46
0
1
2
0
38
5
457
560
NA
57
NA


345
1,035
0
1,836
606
14
46
1
0
512
32
223
26
26
27
5
2
0
1
0
1
133
126
3
21
41
2
24
35
207
485
49
123
17


332
947
0
1,767
620
14
47
1
0
526
32
217
25
24
26
5
2
0
1
0
1
132
123
3
20
41
2
23
34
213
400
48
129
17


332
988
0
1,893
632
14
48
1
0
537
32
214
25
22
26
5
2
0
1
0
1
131
123
3
21
40
2
23
34
219
511
51
127
16


345
1,030
0
1,948
652
15
50
1
0
554
33
215
24
21
25
5
2
0
1
0
1
135
125
3
21
41
2
23
35
223
522
52
142
16


353
1,056
0
1,856
651
15
50
1
0
553
33
210
23
21
24
5
2
0
1
0
2
132
125
3
22
42
2
22
35
223
441
52
139
15


361
1,083
0
1,861
658
15
49
1
0
560
33
212
24
21
25
5
2
0
1
0
2
133
125
3
21
42
2
22
35
230
428
53
139
16


369
1,111
0
1,868
646
15
47
1
0
550
33
214
24
21
25
5
2
0
1
0
2
134
125
3
20
42
2
23
35
234
436
54
142
16


368
1,106
0
1,848
626
15
49
1
0
527
33
216
24
21
25
5
2
0
1
0
2
136
128
3
21
43
2
23
35
233
434
54
140
16


372
1,116
0
1,861
614
16
51
1
0
512
34
215
24
21
25
5
2
0
1
0
2
135
131
3
22
45
2
24
36
240
446
56
142
16
                                                                                                             (continued)

-------
                            Table A-3.
Volatile Organic Compound Emissions (continued)
           (thousand short tons)
Source Category
 1970   1980   1984
                                                              1985   1986   1987   1988   1989    1990   1991   1992    1993
STORAGE & TRANSPORT (continued)
Inorganic Chemical Storage
Inorganic Chemical Transport
Bulk Materials Storage
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
Open Burning
industrial
commmercial/institutional
residential
other
POTW
Industrial Waste Water
TSDF
Landfills
Other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
light-duty diesel trucks
light-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial

NA
NA
NA
1,984
548
1,424
NA
NA
NA
1,424
NA
NA
NA
NA
11
12,972
9,193
9,133
60
2,770
1,564
1,206
743
266
266
NA
NA
1,542
1,284
138
22
46
574
4
142

NA
NA
NA
758
366
372
NA
NA
NA
372
NA
NA
NA
NA
20
8,979
5,907
5,843
64
2,059
1,229
830
611
402
392
2
8
1,869
1,474
151
32
61
655
7
158

NA
NA
NA
687
331
331
NA
NA
NA
331
NA
NA
NA
NA
25

0
0
0
2,310
64
309
6
1
302
NA
10
1
1,925
0
0
9,441 9,376
5,914 5,864
5,860 5,810
54 54
2,437 2,425
1,476 1,437
960 988
703 716
387 370
378 360
2 2
7 8
1,973 2,008
1,541 1,561
155 156
36 37
66 69
684 691
8 8
167 171

0
0
0
2,293
63
304
6
1
297
NA
11
2
1,913
0
0
8,874
5,537
5,483
54
2,279
1,316
963
700
357
346
2
9
2,039
1,582
157
37
71
699
8
178

0
0
0
2,256
61
292
6
1
285
NA
11
1
1,890
0
0
8,201
5,092
5,040
52
2,122
1,193
929
637
350
338
2
9
2,038
1,601
158
36
73
706
4
188

0
0
0
2,310
60
284
6
2
277
NA
11
2
1,953
0
0
8,290
5,189
5,136
53
2,129
1,173
956
626
345
332
2
10
2,106
1,620
159
35
75
713
9
189

0
0
0
2,290
59
274
6
2
266
NA
11
2
1,945
0
0
7,192
4,462
4,412
50
1,867
1,018
849
517
346
332
3
11
2,103
1,631
160
35
77
720
6
190

0
0
0
2,262
57
263
6
2
256
NA
11
2
1,929
0
0
6,854
4,285
4,234
51
1,769
960
809
470
330
316
3
12
2,120
1,646
161
35
77
728
6
191

0
0
0
2,217
56
256
6
2
249
NA
11
2
1,893
0
0
6,499
4,069
4,033
37
1,688
906
781
423
319
304
3
12
2,123
1,655
163
33
75
737
6
189

0
0
0
2,268
58
268
6
2
260
NA
11
2
1,929
0
0
6,072
3,832
3,799
33
1,588
849
739
334
318
302
3
13
2,160
1,678
164
35
77
745
7
194

0
0
0
2,271
58
270
6
2
262
NA
11
2
1,929
0
0
6,094
3,854
3,820
34
1,612
860
752
314
315
298
3
14
2,207
1,704
166
37
80
754
7
200
                                                                                                               (continued)

-------
 Source Category
Table A-3.  Volatile Organic Compound Emissions (continued)
                             (thousand short tons)

                  1970    1980    1984     1985    1986    1987    1988    1989    1990    1991    1992    1993
OFF-HIGHWAY (continued)
Non-Road Gasoline (continued)
logging
airport service
recreational marine vessels
other
Non-Road Diesel
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
coal
diesel
residual oil
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
structural fires
agricultural fires
slash/prescribed burning
forest wildfires
other
Health Services
TOTAL ALL SOURCES


3
4
350
1
129
75
9
1
33
3
0
9
97
9
0
8
1
22
1.101
1,101
19
131
147
770
34
NA
30,646


7
6
395
1
191
106
12
1
56
3
0
13
146
25
0
23
2
33
1,134
1,134
40
70
285
739
1
NA
25,893


8
6
410
1
209
118
13
1
60
3
0
14
159
29
1
26
2
36
951
951
36
68
285
561
0
NA
25,572


8
6
413
1
216
123
13
1
61
3
0
15
165
30
1
28
2
37
428
428
44
55
167
162
NA
0
25,417


8
7
416
1
217
122
14
1
62
3
0
15
170
32
1
29
2
38
435
434
44
61
167
162
NA
1
24,826


10
7
419
1
188
119
14
1
34
3
0
15
176
34
1
31
2
39
440
440
44
67
167
162
NA
0
24,338


9
7
422
1
223
120
14
1
67
3
0
16
185
38
1
35
2
41
458
458
44
85
167
162
NA
1
24,961


10
7
425
1
200
119
15
1
45
3
1
17
190
40
1
37
3
42
453
452
44
79
167
162
NA
1
23,731


10
7
429
1
200
118
15
1
46
3
1
17
192
39
1
36
3
42
1,320
1,319
44
77
167
1,032
NA
1
24,276


9
7
434
1
195
111
14
1
48
3
0
17
192
40
1
37
3
42
937
936
44
68
167
657
NA
1
23,508


10
7
438
1
203
117
15
1
49
4
1
17
195
41
1
38
3
43
780
779
44
78
167
490
NA
1
23,020


10
8
442
1
214
125
15
1
51
4
1
18
203
42
1
38
3
43
893
892
44
79
167
602
NA
1
23,312
NOTE(S):  Methodologies to estimate 1970 to 1984 and 1985 to 1993 emissions differ except for transportation sources.  Because of these differences, the
            allocation of emissions among source categories could result in significant changes in the emissions between the years, particularly at the more
            detailed source category level. The break is illustrated by the black line. Details on the different methodologies are provided in section 6.0.
          NA = not available.  For several source categories, emissions either prior to or beginning with 1985 are not available at the more detailed level but are
            contained in the more aggregate estimate.
          "Other" categories may contain emissions that could not be accurately allocated to specific source categories.
          Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.
          No data was available after 1984 to weigh the emissions from residential wood burning devices.

-------
Source Category
Table A-4.  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions
          (thousand short tons)

1970   1980    1984   1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991   1992   1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
Oil
residual
distillate
Gas
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
other
Oil
residual
distillate
other
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Wood
Residential Other
distillate oil
bituminous/subbituminous coal
other
17,398
15,799
9,574
4,716
1,509
1,598
1,578
20
1
NA
4,568
3,129
2,171
669
289
NA
1,229
956
98
175
140
70
NA
1,490
109
883
1
NA
6
492
212
260
20
17,469
16,073
NA
NA
NA
1,395
NA
NA
1
NA
2,951
1,527
1,058
326
144
NA
1,065
851
85
129
299
60
NA
971
110
637
1
NA
13
211
157
43
11
16,023
15,315
9,291
4,577
1,446
707
692
15
1
NA
2,723
1,805
1,254
386
165
NA
597
464
69
64
264
57
NA
728
195
312
1
NA
14
206
131
63
13
16,273
15,630
14,029
1,292
309
612
604
8
1
30
3,169
1,818
1,347
28
90
353
862
671
111
80
397
86
7
578
158
239
2
1
11
167
128
29
10
15,701
14,860
13,454
1,048
357
811
799
12
1
30
3,116
1,828
1,375
29
82
341
828
637
109
82
370
84
6
611
161
267
2
1
11
169
129
30
10
15,715
15,034
13,513
1,182
338
651
640
11
1
29
3,068
1,817
1,374
29
73
341
807
617
106
84
356
82
6
663
164
310
2
1
10
175
134
32
10
15,990
15,224
13,546
1,311
368
734
722
12
1
31
3,111
1,856
1,395
29
79
353
806
614
108
84
360
83
6
660
172
295
2
1
10
180
137
33
10
16,218
15,408
13,576
1,423
409
779
765
14
1
30
3,086
1,840
1,384
29
79
348
812
625
107
80
346
82
6
623
169
274
2
1
10
167
132
27
8
15,898
15,227
13,365
1,425
438
639
629
10
1
31
3,106
1,843
1,382
29
81
351
823
633
108
82
352
82
6
597
176
233
2
1
9
175
137
30
9
15,784
15,101
13,203
1,381
517
652
642
10
1
30
3,139
1,821
1,357
28
80
355
874
684
109
81
357
81
6
608
180
237
2
1
9
179
139
30
9
15,417
14,840
12,900
1,456
484
546
537
9
1
31
2,947
1,681
1,263
26
73
319
832
645
111
76
348
80
6
600
173
238
2
1
8
177
144
26
8
15,836
15,185
13,199
1,509
477
620
614
6
1
31
2,830
1,575
1,184
24
68
298
824
641
110
73
346
79
6
600
171
241
2
1
7
178
145
25
8
                                                                                                                   (continued)

-------
National Air P
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3
\
Table
Source Category
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
sulfur compounds
other
Polymer & Resin Mfg
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Pharmaceutical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
lead
aluminum
other
Ferrous Metals Processing
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Oil & Gas Production
natural gas
other
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
fluid catalytic cracking units
other
Asphalt Manufacturing
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
Mineral Products
cement mfg
other
Machinery Products
Electronic Equipment
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes

A-4.
1970
591
NA
591
591
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
4,775
4,060
3,507
77
80
396
715
NA
881
111
111
NA
770
480
290
NA
846
NA
NA
169
NA
677
618
59
NA
NA
NA

Sulfur Dioxide Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1980 1984 1985 1986
280 229
NA NA
271 212
271 212
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
10 16
1,842 1,387
1,279 1,004
1,080 779
34 40
95 83
71 102
562 383
NA NA
734 707
157 166
157 166
NA NA
577 541
330 310
247 231
NA NA
918 923
NA NA
NA NA
223 245
NA NA
694 678
630 621
64 57
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
456
16
354
346
8
7
4
0
76
1,042
853
655
121
62
14
172
18
505
204
202
2
300
212
88
1
425
3
0
131
1
286
192
95
0
0
3

432
16
329
320
8
7
4
0
77
888
710
525
112
59
13
161
17
469
176
175
1
291
207
84
1
427
3
0
135
1
285
190
95
0
0
3

(continued)
1987 1988
425
17
322
314
8
6
4
0
75
616
447
266
111
57
13
153
15
445
155
154
1
289
207
82
1
418
3
0
135
1
276
183
93
0
0
3

449
19
341
333
8
7
4
0
78
702
523
337
113
59
14
162
16
443
159
157
1
283
202
81
1
411
3
0
135
1
268
177
91
0
0
3

1989
440
17
334
326
8
7
4
0
77
657
475
289
113
60
13
165
17
429
156
155
1
272
195
77
1
405
3
0
136
1
261
172
89
0
0
3

1990
440
17
333
325
9
7
4
0
79
578
401
216
112
60
13
160
17
440
164
163
1
274
196
78
1
401
3
0
137
1
257
169
87
0
0
3

1991
442
17
335
326
8
7
4
0
79
544
375
199
106
58
13
152
17
444
167
165
1
276
197
79
1
391
3
0
137
1
247
163
84
0
0
2

1992 1993
447 450
18 18
338 341
330 332
9 9
7 7
4 4
0 0
80 81
557 580
383 401
200 213
111 114
59 60
13 13
158 162
17 17
417 409
156 155
154 154
1 1
260 253
183 177
77 76
1 1
401 413
3 3
0 0
139 141
1 1
255 265
169 176
86 89
0 0
0 0
3 3
(continued)

-------
Source Category
                                   Table A-4.  Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (continued)
                                                   (thousand short tons)

                                         1970   1980   1984    1985   1986   1987   1988   1989    1990    1991   1992   1993
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Degreasing
Graphic Arts
Surface Coating
Other Industrial
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport
Organic Chemical Storage
Inorganic Chemical Storage
Inorganic Chemical Transport
Bulk Materials Storage
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
industrial
other
Open Burning
industrial
other
Landfills
industrial
other
Other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
light-duty diesel trucks
light-duty diesel vehicles
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
8
4
NA
4
4
NA
4
NA
NA
NA
NA
345
132
132
0
43
28
14
7
164
164
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
33
21
NA
21
12
NA
12
NA
NA
NA
NA
429
155
155
0
47
31
16
9
218
201
3
14
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
25
14
NA
14
11
NA
11
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
34
25
10
15
9
0
8
0
0
0
0
445 446
148 146
147 146
0 0
52 53
35 35
18 18
9 9
236 237
225 226
2 2
9 9
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
35
26
10
16
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
449
145
145
0
53
35
18
9
241
230
2
10
1
0
0
1
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
35
26
10
16
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
457
145
145
0
55
37
19
10
247
235
2
10
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
36
28
11
17
8
0
8
0
0
0
0
468
147
147
0
57
38
19
10
254
242
2
11
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
36
28
10
18
8
0
7
0
0
0
0
480
148
148
0
58
39
20
10
264
251
2
11
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
36
29
10
18
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
480
148
147
0
59
39
20
10
264
250
2
11
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
36
29
11
18
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
478
146
146
0
59
39
20
10
262
249
2
11
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
37
29
10
18
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
483
150
149
0
59
39
20
10
265
251
2
12
1
0
0
1
0
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
37
29
10
19
7
0
7
0
0
0
0
438
151
151
0
59
39
20
10
218
206
2
10
                                                                                                                 (continued)

-------
1
1
••e
a.
s
tei
§.
8
2j
1
i
9
i
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to
Table

Source Category
OFF-HIGHWAY
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
A-4. Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (continued)
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
83 175 198 208 221 233 253 267 265 266 273
466 66777777
43 117 135 143 154 164 181 193 190 191 197
36 53 57 59 60 62 65 67 68 68 69
110 11 9 1 7 7 7 7 7 14 11 10
110 11 9 I 7 7 7 7 7 14 11 10
TOTAL ALL SOURCES 31,096 25,813 23,396 | 23,148 22,361 22,085 22,535 22,653 22,261 22,149 21,592




1993
278
8
201
69
11
11
21,888

NOTE(S): Methodologies to estimate 1 970 to 1 984 and 1 985 to 1 993 emissions differ except for transportation sources. Because of these differences, the
allocation of emissions among source categories could result in significant changes in the emissions between the years, particularly at the more
detailed source category level. The break is illustrated by the black line. Details on the different methodologies are provided in section 6.0.
NA = not available. For several source categories,
contained in the more aggregate estimate.
emissions either prior to or beginning with 1985 are not available at the more detailed level but are



"Other" categories may contain emissions that could not be accurately allocated to specific source categories.
Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.
The 1985 fuel combustion, electric utility category is based on the National Allowance Data Base Version 2.11 , Acid Rain Division, U.S. EPA, released
March 23, 1993. Allocations at the Tier 3 levels
are approximations only and are based on the methodology described in section 6.0, paragraph 6.2.1.1.


-------
Source Category
Table A-5.  Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions
                (thousand short tons)

      1970    1980    1984    1985   1986   1987   1988   1989   1990   1991   1992   1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
other
Oil
residual
distillate
Gas
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
other
Oil
residual
distillate
other
Gas
natural
process
other
Other
wood/bark waste
liquid waste
other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
1,775
1,680
1,041
513
126
NA
89
85
3
7
NA
641
83
52
16
15
NA
89
83
6
0
27
24
4
NA
441
415
NA
26
NA
455
13
52
4
NA
879
796
483
238
75
NA
76
74
2
7
NA
679
18
12
4
2
NA
67
63
4
0
23
20
3
NA
571
566
NA
5
NA
887
8
30
4
NA
633
602
366
180
57
NA
26
26
1
5
NA
615
18
13
4
2
NA
34
32
3
0
21
18
3
NA
542
538
NA
4
NA
975
7
13
2
NA
284
272
222
34
16
0
8
8
0
1
3
234
56
34
1
7
15
52
43
5
4
47
24
22
0
75
67
1
6
4
896
10
13
4
3
289
274
223
31
19
0
11
11
0
1
3
231
56
34
1
6
15
50
41
5
4
45
23
21
0
77
69
1
6
4
902
10
15
4
3
282
268
216
33
20
0
9
9
0
1
3
226
53
34
1
6
13
48
39
5
4
44
23
21
0
77
70
1
6
3
910
10
17
4
3
278
263
193
48
22
0
10
10
0
1
3
230
55
34
1
6
14
48
39
5
4
45
24
20
0
79
71
1
6
3
918
10
16
5
3
278
262
201
37
23
0
11
11
0
1
3
229
55
35
1
6
14
48
39
5
4
44
24
20
0
78
71
1
6
3
922
10
14
5
3
291
278
198
38
41
0
9
9
0
1
3
228
55
34
1
6
13
48
39
5
4
45
24
20
0
77
70
1
6
3
930
10
13
5
3
253
239
177
38
24
0
10
10
0
1
3
229
54
34
1
6
14
50
41
5
4
45
24
20
0
76
69
1
6
3
942
10
13
5
3
255
243
178
42
23
0
8
8
0
1
3
223
50
31
1
6
12
49
40
5
3
44
24
20
0
77
70
1
6
3
819
10
13
5
3
270
257
191
42
23
0
9
9
0
1
3
219
46
29
1
5
11
48
40
5
3
44
24
19
0
77
70
1
6
3
723
10
13
5
3
                                                                                                                   (continued)

-------
National Air P
a.
|
6q
|.
1

2
-*"
i
s
§




>
k
















|
I
&
Table A-5.
Source Category
FUEL COMB. OTHER (continued)
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Organic Chemical Mfg
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
Polymer & Resin Mfg
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Paint, Varnish, Lacquer, Enamel Mfg
Pharmaceutical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
lead
zinc
other
Ferrous Metals Processing
primary
secondary
other
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Oil & Gas Production
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
fluid catalytic cracking units
other
Asphalt Manufacturing
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
country elevators
terminal elevators
feed mills
soybean mills
Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987

384
90
294
3
235
43
61
NA
46
NA
NA
86
1,316
593
343
53
20
177
198
31
167
NA
525
28G
NA
69
69
NA
217
5,832
485
257
147
5
25

818 927
191 217
626 710
27 26
148 143
19 19
25 13
NA NA
61 67
NA NA
NA NA
42 44
622 419
130 99
32 28
18 13
3 2
77 56
322 195
271 161
51 34
NA NA
170 125
138 124
NA NA
41 21
41 21
NA NA
97 102
1,846 1,633
402 442
258 275
86 104
3 3
22 28

848
NA
NA
18
67
31
6
4
9
0
0
17
147
50
4
4
2
40
92
70
22
0
5
32
0
28
24
4
4
317
23
1
0
2
7

853
NA
NA
18
68
32
6
4
9
0
0
16
137
48
4
3
2
38
84
63
21
0
5
31
0
26
23
4
4
321
23
1
0
2
7

859
NA
NA
18
68
33
6
4
9
0
0
16
131
45
3
3
2
37
81
60
21
0
4
30
0
26
23
3
4
314
24
1
0
2
7
(continued)
1988 1989

866
NA
NA
19
73
36
7
4
9
0
0
17
141
49
4
3
2
39
87
65
22
0
5
29
0
25
22
3
4
314
24
1
0
2
7

872
NA
NA
18
74
36
7
4
9
0
0
17
142
49
4
3
2
39
89
67
22
0
5
28
0
24
21
3
4
308
24
1
0
2
7
1990

881
NA
NA
18
74
36
7
4
9
0
0
17
140
48
4
3
2
39
88
67
21
0
4
28
0
24
21
3
4
306
24
1
0
2
7
1991

892
NA
NA
19
72
35
6
4
9
0
0
17
136
47
4
3
2
38
84
64
20
0
4
28
0
25
21
3
4
300
24
1
0
2
7
1992 1993

770 674
NA NA
NA NA
18 18
75 75
37 37
7 7
4 4
10 10
0 1
0 0
17 17
137 141
47 48
4 4
3 3
2 2
38 39
86 88
65 67
20 21
0 0
4 5
27 26
0 0
23 22
20 19
3 3
4 4
303 311
25 25
1 1
0 0
2 2
8 8
(continued)

-------
j- Table A-
^ Source Category
| OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES (continued)
5. Partii
1970

culate Matter (PM-1Q) tmiss
(thousand short tons)
1980 1984 1985 1986


5" Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products (continued)
t^ wheat mills
|- other grain mills
5' other
-3 Textiles, Leather, & Apparel Products
| Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
- sulfate (kraft) pulping
§ other
£ Rubber & Miscellaneous Plastic Products
§ Mineral Products
cement mfg
surface mining
stone quarrying/processing
other
> Machinery Products
^ Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Degreasing
Graphic Arts
Dry Cleaning
Surface Coating
Other Industrial
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Bulk Terminals & Plants
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Storage
Petroleum & Petroleum Product Transport
Organic Chemical Storage
Organic Chemical Transport
Inorganic Chemical Storage
Bulk Materials Storage
> storage
1 transfer
~ combined
> Bulk Materials Transport
5
9
38
NA
727
668
59
NA
4,620
1,731
134
957
1,798
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
6
26
NA
183
142
41
NA
1,261
417
127
421
296
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1
4
27
NA
168
125
43
NA
1,023
303
142
396
182
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA


0
5
8
0
93
73
20
4
170
40
22
26
83
4
1
0
23
2
0
0
0
2
0
57
0
0
0
1
0
0
56
20
35
1
0


0
5
8
0
96
75
21
4
171
40
20
27
84
4
1
0
22
2
0
0
0
2
0
56
0
0
0
1
0
0
54
21
33
1
0
sions i<
1987


0
5
8
0
97
75
22
4
164
38
18
27
81
4
1
0
20
2
0
0
0
2
0
54
0
0
0
1
0
0
53
20
32
1
0
;onimi
1988


0
6
8
0
99
76
23
4
162
37
17
28
80
4
0
0
20
2
0
0
0
2
0
54
0
0
0
1
0
0
53
20
32
1
0
jeaj
1989


0
6
8
0
98
76
22
4
158
36
16
27
79
4
0
0
19
2
0
0
0
2
0
54
0
0
0
1
0
0
52
20
32
1
0
1990


0
6
8
0
98
76
21
4
156
35
17
27
77
4
0
0
19
2
0
0
0
2
0
54
0
0
0
1
0
0
53
19
33
1
0
1991


0
6
8
0
97
76
21
4
151
34
16
26
75
4
0
0
18
2
0
0
0
1
0
53
0
0
0
1
0
0
51
19
32
1
0
1992 1993


0 0
6 6
8 8
0 0
99 101
77 78
22 22
4 4
152 157
35 36
16 17
25 26
76 79
4 4
0 0
0 0
19 19
2 2
0 0
0 0
0 0
2 2
0 0
53 55
0 0
0 0
0 0
1 1
0 0
0 0
52 53
19 19
33 33
1 1
0 0
(continued)

-------
National Air P
g.
§

3
|
^
1
£"
i
5
§




>
k















|
Table A-5.
Source Category
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
residential
other
Open Burning
residential
other
Industrial Waste Water
Landfills
Other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
light-duty diesel trucks
light-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
other
Particulate Matter (PM-10) Emissions
(thousand short tons)
1970 1980 1984 1985 1986 1987
999
229
51
178
770
770
NA
NA
NA
NA
237
63
62
0
16
11
5
2
156
156
NA
NA
223
35
3
0
0
10
0
1
0
0
21
273 226
75 49
42 40
32 9
198 177
198 177
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
NA NA
275 277
47 35
47 35
0 0
13 12
8 7
5 4
2 3
213 227
204 219
1 1
8 7
329 357
41 42
3 3
0 0
0 0
11 12
0 0
1 1
0 0
0 0
24 25
279
52
39
13
226
222
4
0
0
0
271
35
35
Q
12
7
4
3
221
213
1
7
36Q
43
3
0
0
12
0
1
0
0
25
275
52
3B
14
222
218
4
0
0
0
265
35
35
0
12
7
4
3
216
207
1
7
372
43
3
0
0
12
0
1
0
0
25
265
51
37
14
214
209
4
0
0
0
261
35
35
0
12
8
5
3
211
202
1
7
350
43
3
0
0
12
0
1
0
0
26
(continued)
1988 1989
259
51
36
15
208
203
5
0
0
0
256
35
35
0
12
8
4
3
206
197
1
7
387
44
3
0
0
13
0
1
0
0
26
251
50
35
15
200
195
5
0
0
0
253
35
35
0
12
8
4
4
202
193
1
8
372
44
3
0
0
13
0
1
0
0
26
1990
242
49
34
16
192
188
5
0
0
0
239
34
34
0
12
7
4
4
189
180
1
8
372
45
3
0
0
13
0
1
0
0
26
1991
245
50
34
16
194
190
4
0
0
0
223
33
33
0
11
7
4
4
175
165
1
8
367
45
3
0
0
13
0
1
0
0
26
1992 1993
246 248
50 51
34 35
16 16
196 197
191 193
5 5
0 0
0 0
0 0
210 197
33 32
33 32
0 0
11 10
7 7
4 4
4 4
162 150
153 141
2 2
8 8
379 395
46 46
3 3
0 0
0 0
13 13
0 0
1 1
0 0
0 0
27 27
(continued)

-------
Source Category
Table A-5.  Paniculate Matter (PM-10) Emissions (continued)
                            (thousand short tons)

               1970    1980    1984     1985    1986    1987    1988    1989    1990    1991     1992    1993
Non-Road Diesel
recreational
construction
industrial
lawn & garden
farm
light commercial
logging
airport service
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
coal
diesel
residual oil
Railroads
NATURAL SOURCES
Geogenic
wind erosion
MISCELLANEOUS
Agriculture & Forestry
agricultural crops
agricultural livestock
Other Combustion
wildfires
managed burning
other
Fugitive Dust
wind erosion
unpaved roads
paved roads
other
TOTAL ALL SOURCES
135
0
85
11
1
29
2
0
8
21
6
1
4
2
25
NA
NA
NA
839
NA
NA
NA
839
385
390
64
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
12,838
202
0
123
14
1
49
2
1
12
33
17
2
10
5
37
NA
NA
NA
852
NA
NA
NA
852
514
315
23
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
6,928
220 227
0 0
137 141
15 16
1 1
52 53
2 2
1 1
13 13
36 37
19 20
2 2
11 12
6 6
40 41
NA
NA
NA
724
NA
NA
NA
724
390
314
20
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
6,126
3,565
3,565
3,565
41,859
7,108
6,833
275
724
142
523
59
34,028
0
14,719
6,299
13,009
48,377
227
. Q
139
16
1
54
3
1
14
38
21
2
13
6
42
9,390
9,390
9,390
41,281
7,184
6,899
285
730
142
530
59
33,367
0
14,672
6,555
12,139
53,620
200
P
135
17
1
30
3
1
14
40
23
3
13
7
43
1,457
1,457
1,457
41,411
7,338
7,008
330
737
142
536
59
33,336
0
13,960
6,877
12,499
45,761
231
0
135
17
1
60
3
1
15
42
25
3
15
7
45
17,509
17,509
17,509
43,221
7,466
7,090
376
756
142
555
59
34,999
0
15,626
7,365
12,008
63,672
212
P
134
18
1
40
3
1
15
43
27
3
16
8
47
11,826
11,826
11,826
42,247
7,334
6,937
397
750
142
549
59
34,163
0
15,346
7,155
11,662
56,984
211
0
133
18
1
40
3
1
15
44
26
3
16
8
47
4,192
4,192
4,192
42,059
7,380
6,999
381
1,322
717
546
59
33,356
0
15,661
7,299
10,396
49,158
205
0
127
17
1
42
3
1
15
44
26
3
16
8
47
10,054
10,054
10,054
40,126
7,328
6,965
363
1,053
457
537
59
31,746
0
14,267
7,437
10,042
53,029
214
0
133
18
1
43
3
1
16
44
27
3
16
8
48
4,655
4,655
4,655
41,245
7,238
6,852
386
947
341
547
59
33,060
0
14,540
7.621
10,899
48,629
227
0
142
18
1
45
3
1
16
46
28
3
16
8
48
628
628
628
42,200
7,236
6,842
394
1,027
418
549
59
33,937
0
14,404
8,164
11,368
45,489
NOTE(S):  Methodologies to estimate 1970 to 1984 and 1985 to 1993 emissions differ except for transportation sources. Because of these differences, the
            allocation of emissions among source categories could result in significant changes in the emissions between the years, particularly at the more
            detailed source category level. The break is illustrated by the black line.  Details on the different methodologies are provided in section 6.0.
          NA = not available.  For several source categories, emissions either prior to or beginning with 1985 are not available at the more detailed level but are
            contained in the more aggregate estimate.
          "Other" categories may contain emissions that could not be accurately allocated to specific source categories.
          Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.
          No data was available after 1984 to weigh the emissions from residential wood burning devices.
          See section 6.2.4.1 for explanation of wide variation in Geogenic - wind erosion emissions.

-------
1
^ Source Category
§: FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
c
| Coal
J, bituminous
!• subbituminous
|' anthracite & lignite
^ Oil
i residual
-^ distillate
i FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
2 Coal
IS bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
Oil
residual
> distillate
& FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite, lignite
Commercial/Institutional Oil
residual
distillate
other
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
lead oxide and pigments
5T
1970
327

300
181
89
30
28
27
0
237
218
146
45
27
19
17
1
10,052
1
1
NA
NA
4
3
NA
1
10,000
47
103
103
103

Table
1980
129

95
57
28
9
34
34
0
60
45
31
10
4
14
14
1
4,111
12
6
2
4
10
9
1
NA
4,080
9
104
104
104

A-6. Lead Emissions
(short tons)
1984 1985 1986 1987
88

71
43
21
7
17
17
0
29
21
14
4
2
8
8
1
424
7
5
1
1
4
3
1
NA
400
13
133
133
133

64

51
31
15
5
13
13
0
30
22
15
5
2
8
7
1
421
6
4
1
1
4
3
1
NA
400
11
118
118
118

69

50
30
15
5
19
19
0
25
17
12
4
2
8
7
1
422
6
4
1
1
5
4
1
NA
400
11
108
108
108

64

48
29
14
5
16
16
0
22
14
10
3
1
8
7
1
425
5
3
1
1
5
4
1
NA
400
14
123
123
123

1988
66

46
28
14
4
20
20
0
19
14
10
3
1
5
5
1
426
5
3
1
1
5
4
1
NA
400
16
136
136
136

1989
67

46
28
14
4
21
21
0
18
14
10
3
1
4
3
1
420
4
3
1
1
4
3
1
NA
400
12
136
136
136

1990
64

46
28
14
4
18
18
0
18
14
10
3
1
3
3
1
418
4
3
1
0
4
3
1
NA
400
10
136
136
136

1991
61

46
28
14
4
15
15
0
18
15
10
3
1
3
2
1
416
3
2
1
0
4
3
1
NA
400
9
132
132
132

1992 1993
59 62

47 48
28 29
14 14
4 5
12 14
12 14
0 0
18 18
14 14
10 10
3 3
1 1
4 4
3 3
1 1
414 417
4 3
2 2
1 1
0 0
4 4
3 3
1 1
NA NA
400 400
7 9
93 109
93 109
93 109
(continued)

-------
Source Category
                                         Table A-6.  Lead Emissions (continued)
                                                        (short tons)
1970   1980
1984
                                                             1985    1986   1987   1988    1989    1990   1991    1992    1993
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
primary lead production
primary copper production
primary zinc production
secondary lead production
secondary copper production
lead battery manufacture
lead cable coating
other
Ferrous Metals Processing
coke manufacturing
ferroalloy production
iron production
steel production
gray iron production
Metals Processing NEC
metal mining
other
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Mineral Products
cement manufacturing
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
municipal waste
other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
TOTAL ALL SOURCES
24,224
15,869
12,134
242
1,019
1,894
374
41
127
38
7,395
11
219
266
3,125
3,773
960
353
606
2,028
540
540
1,488
2,200
2,200
581
1,619
171,961
142,918
22,683
6,361
8,340
8,340
219,471
3,026
1,826
1,075
20
24
481
116
50
37
24
911
6
13
38
481
373
289
207
82
808
93
93
715
1,210
1,210
161
1,049
62,189
48,501
11,996
1,692
3,320
3,320
74,956
1,919
1,244
709
20
17
304
79
67
34
15
530
4
3
23
219
282
144
129
15
483
48
48
435
901
901
74
828
35,930
27,737
7,448
745
2,310
2,310
42,217
2,097
1,376
874
19
16
288
70
65
43
3
577
3
7
21
209
336
144
141
3
316
43
43
273
871
871
79
792
15,978
12,070
3,595
313
229
229
20,124
1,820
1,161
660
16
11
296
63
66
47
2
553
3
13
16
200
320
107
106
1
199
25
25
174
844
844
52
792
3,589
2,689
841
59
219
219
7,296
1,818
1,204
673
16
7
347
31
73
56
1
499
3
14
17
128
337
115
114
1
202
28
28
174
844
844
52
792
3,121
2,325
748
48
222
222
6,840
1,917
1,248
684
17
8
353
61
73
50
1
554
4
14
18
157
361
115
114
1
172
23
23
149
817
817
49
768
2,700
2,018
637
44
211
211
6,464
2,153
1,337
715
19
9
433
37
74
50
1
582
4
20
19
138
401
234
234
1
173
23
23
150
765
765
45
720
2,161
1,614
512
36
207
207
6,099
2,138
1,409
728
19
9
449
75
78
50
1
576
4
18
18
138
397
153
153
1
169
26
26
143
804
804
67
738
1,690
1,263
400
28
197
197
5,635
1,939
1,258
623
19
11
414
65
77
48
1
517
3
14
16
145
339
163
163
1
167
24
24
143
582
582
55
528
1,519
1,134
364
20
186
186
5,020
2,042
1,316
628
20
11
470
66
77
44
1
560
3
16
18
145
378
166
165
1
54
24
24
30
416
416
11
405
1,452
1,084
348
20
193
193
4,741
2,118
1,362
636
21
12
496
71
80
45
1
572
3
17
18
147
387
184
183
1
54
24
24
30
518
518
45
472
1,383
1,033
331
19
206
206
4,885
NOTE(S): NA = not available.

-------
                  APPENDIX B




    REGIONAL EMISSIONS (1985 TO 1993)
Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993      B-l                         Appendk B

-------
           Table B-1. Regional Emissions of Carbon Monoxide, 1985 to 1993
                                    (million short tons)
       Reaion    1985   1986   1987    1988    1989   1990    1991    1992    1993
1
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total
5.13
7.84
10.96
22.37
20.97
15.72
5.53
5.22
12.23
6.10
112.07
Table B-2.
4.87
7.60
10.68
21.95
20.13
14.99
5.29
4.74
11.92
5.90
108.07
4.77
7.43
10.45
21.53
19.31
14.45
5.07
4.50
11.90
5.71
105.12
4.67
7.40
10.28
22.16
19.64
14.60
5.12
4.41
11.97
5.84
106.10
Regional Emissions
4.51
6.88
9.57
20.89
18.77
13.67
4.95
4.15
11.67
5.75
100.81
4.24
6.48
9.16
20.87
17.77
13.77
5.23
4.25
12.02
9.97
103.75
4.19
6.41
9.09
20.69
17.60
13.13
5.40
4.81
11.38
7.20
99.90
of Nitrogen Oxides, 1985
4.14
6.19
8.94
20.48
17.38
13.11
4.70
3.72
10.06
7.65
96.37
to 1993
4.05
5.80
8.81
20.72
17.62
13.67
5.19
4.12
10.25
6.98
97.21

(million short tons)
Region
1
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total
1985
0.72
1.21
2.33
4.32
4.57
4.50
1.42
1.11
2.03
0.64
22.85
1986
0.72
1.19
2.31
4.35
4.54
4.32
1.38
1.05
1.93
0.62
22.41
1987
0.73
1.20
2.31
4.34
4.52
4.21
1.40
1.09
1.97
0.63
22.39
1988
0.74
1.23
2.36
4.50
4.65
4.37
1.46
1.18
2.08
0.65
23.22
1989
0.74
1.24
2.38
4.49
4.69
4.36
1.48
1.17
2.05
0.66
23.25
1990
0.70
1.19
2.28
4.50
4.65
4.36
1.49
1.20
2.04
0.78
23.19
1991
0.69
1.16
2.23
4.51
4.63
4.36
1.48
1.22
2.00
0.71
1992
0.68
1.14
2.23
4.57
4.60
4.37
1.45
1.23
1.98
0.75
22.98 22.99
1993
0.66
1.11
2.26
4.73
4.75
4.48
1.48
1.23
1.98
0.73
23.40
            Table B-3. Regional Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds,
                                     1985 to 1993
                                    (million short tons)
       Region    1985    1986   1987   1988    1989    1990   1991
1992
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
                                          B-2
1993
1 1.02
II 1.85
III 2.77
IV 5.20
V 4.58
VI 4.80
VII 1.21
VIII 0.75
IX 2.39
X 0.85
Total 25.42
0.97
1.79
2.71
5.18
4.39
4.66
1.18
0.70
2.40
0.84
24.83
0.97
1.78
2.70
5.10
4.35
4.49
1.15
0.69
2.29
0.83
24.34
0.97
1.79
2.71
5.29
4.43
4.67
1.18
0.68
2.39
0.85
24.96
0.92
1.67
2.55
5.00
4.23
4.42
1.13
0.65
2.33
0.83
23.73
0.88
1.61
2.52
5.04
4.13
4.47
1.17
0.68
2.36
1.41
24.28
0.87
1.57
2.46
4.94
4.06
4.41
1.18
0.76
2.23
1.04
23.51
0.85
1.55
2.44
4.80
4.03
4.38
1.09
0.62
2.16
1.11
23.02
0.86
1.55
2.45
4.87
4.10
4.46
1.15
0.68
2.19
1.02
23.31

           Appendix B

-------
           Table B-4.  Regional Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide, 1985 to 1993
                                     (million short tons)
Region
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total
Table
1985
0.58
0.87
3.39
5.32
7.26
2.27
1.66
0.59
0.96
0.26
23.15
B-5a.
1986
0.61
0.83
3.31
5.37
7.08
2.11
1.52
0.50
0.82
0.21
22.36
1987
0.58
0.84
3.37
5.37
6.93
2.10
1.59
0.49
0.58
0.23
22.09
Regional Emissions
1988 1989
0.63 0.62
0.85 0.88
3.45 3.45
5.49 5.52
7.01 7.04
2.13 2.18
1.54 1.54
0.54 0.55
0.67 0.64
0.23 0.24
22.54 22.65
of Particulate
1990
0.56
0.86
3.36
5.57
6.93
2.16
1.45
0.57
0.55
0.25
22.26
1991
0.54
0.81
3.45
5.55
6.86
2.17
1.39
0.61
0.53
0.25
22.15
Matter (PM-10) from
1992
0.51
0.76
3.45
5.58
6.44
2.19
1.29
0.57
0.53
0.27
21.59
Point
1993
0.47
0.70
3.44
5.96
6.49
2.21
1.26
0.56
0.54
0.26
21.89
and
Fugitive Process Sources, 1985 to 1993
(million short tons)
Region
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total
1985
0.12
0.18
0.36
0.89
0.61
0.50
0.23
0.16
0.35
0.27
3.67
1986
0.12
0.18
0.36
0.91
0.60
0.49
0.20
0.15
0.33
0.33
3.68
Table B-5b.
1987
0.12
0.18
0.35
0.91
0.59
0.48
0.19
0.14
0.32
0.33
3.63
Regional
1988 1989
0.13 0.12
0.18 0.18
0.36 0.36
0.92 0.92
0.60 0.60
0.49 0.47
0.20 0.19
0.15 0.15
0.33 0.33
0.34 0.34
3.70 3.66
Emissions of
1990
0.12
0.17
0.35
0.94
0.61
0.54
0.23
0.17
0.36
0.73
4.23
Particulate
(PM-10) from Fugitive Dust Sources, 1985 to
1991
0.12
0.17
0.35
0.92
0.59
0.48
0.25
0.23
0.31
0.47
3.90
Matter
1993
1992
0.11
0.16
0.32
0.88
0.55
0.50
0.19
0.13
0.32
0.52
3.68


1993
0.11
0.15
0.31
0.90
0.53
0.52
0.21
0.16
0.34
0.45
3.69


(million short tons)
Region
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
__ Total
1985
1.50
2.45
2.44
6.34
7.80
9.00
4.98
3.53
4.46
2.19
44.70
1986
1.41
2.22
2.33
6.26
7.41
15.53
5.11
3.08
4.48
2.11
49.94
1987
1.42
2.22
2.47
6.61
7.43
8.56
4.24
3.19
3.83
2.15
42.13
1988 1989
1.43 1.26
1.93 1.90
2.42 2.31
6.99 6.83
7.34 6.78
22.30 19.01
7.32 6.25
4.22 3.35
4.01 3.60
2.02 2.03
59.97 53.32
1990
1.20
1.78
2.35
6.10
6.89
12.72
5.37
3.15
3.20
2.17
44.93
1991
1.18
1.76
2.44
6.75
6.63
12.29
8.17
3.34
3.61
2.96
49.13
1992
1.21
1.71
2.52
6.72
6.37
10.68
6.02
3.90
3.14
2.69
44.95
1993
1.16
1.78
2.39
7.30
6.44
8.81
4.59
3.57
3.12
2.65
41.80
__,
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
B-3
                                         Appendix B

-------
                 Table B-5c. Regional Emissions of Particulate Matter
                         (PM-10) from All Sources, 1985 to 1993
                                      (million short tons)

       Region    1985    1986   1987    1988    1989    1990    1991     1992
                                    1993
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total

1.62
2.63
2.80
7.24
8.41
9.49
5.21
3.69
4.81
2.46
48.38
Table
1.53
2.40
2.69
7.17
8.01
16.02
5.31
3.23
4.81
2.44
53.62
B-6.
1.54
2.40
2.83
7.52
8.02
9.05
4.43
3.33
4.15
2.48
45.76
Regional
1.55
2.11
2.78
7.91
7.94
22.79
7.52
4.37
4.34
2.36
63.67
1.38
2.07
2.67
7.75
7.38
19.48
6.44
3.50
3.93
2.37
56.99
1.32
1.96
2.71
7.04
7.50
13.26
5.61
3.32
3.55
2.90
49.16
Emissions of Lead,
1.30
1.93
2.79
7.67
7.22
12.78
8.42
3.57
3.92
3.44
53.03
1985 to
1.32
1.86
2.84
7.60
6.92
11.17
6.21
4.02
3.46
3.21
48.63
1993
1.27
1.94
2.70
8.21
6.96
9.32
4.81
3.73
3.46
3.10
45.49

(thousand short tons)
Region
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
Total
1985
0.93
1.54
1.83
3.57
3.98
2.58
1.88
0.74
2.39
0.68
20.12
1986
0.30
0.54
0.59
1.16
1.68
0.87
1.00
0.27
0.68
0.21
7.30
1987
0.28
0.50
0.52
1.11
1.55
0.81
0.99
0.26
0.64
0.19
6.84
1988
0.24
0.44
0.47
1.07
1.53
0.74
0.98
0.24
0.57
0.17
6.46
1989
0.22
0.38
0.41
1.00
1.45
0.68
1.08
0.23
0.50
0.15
6.10
1990
0.19
0.35
0.37
0.93
1.40
0.64
0.99
0.21
0.42
0.13
5.63
1991
0.17
0.26
0.32
0.86
1.25
0.60
0.86
0.19
0.40
0.13
5.02
1992
0.16
0.19
0.28
0.82
1.21
0.58
0.84
0.19
0.36
0.12
4.74
1993
0.16
0.21
0.29
0.84
1.26
0.59
0.86
0.19
0.36
0.12
4.88
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
B-4
Appendix B

-------
                   APPENDIX C

   NATIONAL TOTAL PARTICULATE EMISSIONS
         (1940 TO 1993) BY SUBCATEGORY
4"OBal '*«> Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993      C-l                     Appendk C

-------
!
i

                                           Table C-1. Total Particulate (TSP) Emissions
                                                          (thousand short tons)
                                                           1940   1950   1960   1970   1980   1985   1990   1991   1992
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite and lignite
Oil
residual
distillate
Gas
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite and lignite
Oil
residual
distillate
other
Gas
natural
process
Other
wood/bark waste
other
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Commercial/Institutional Coal
Commercial/Institutional Oil
Commercial/Institutional Gas
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
1,431
1,419
822
405
192
11
11
0
0
3,870
3,598
2,227
686
685
44
33
0
11
6
5
1
222
171
51
2,678
415
25
0
1,716
402
1,315
522
2,179
2,142
1,240
611
291
36
34
2
1
3,334
2,934
1,756
541
638
82
62
2
17
15
13
2
302
252
50
2,062
480
45
1
1,128
264
864
408
3,122
3,089
1,847
910
333
30
29
1
3
1,960
1,659
1,103
340
217
76
56
2
18
25
22
3
200
187
13
1,247
58
63
2
850
199
651
275
2,603
2,475
1,492
735
247
121
117
4
7
2,436
1,444
982
303
159
106
83
9
14
27
24
4
859
818
40
509
47
71
4
384
90
294
4
919
797
483
238
75
116
113
3
7
1,503
272
188
58
26
80
63
6
11
23
20
4
1,129
1,121
7
937
36
44
4
818
191
626
36
479
432
262
129
41
42
40
1
6
1,355
132
92
28
12
43
35
5
4
20
17
3
1,159
1,156
3
900
21
19
4
821
192
629
35
456
394
239
118
37
56
54
2
5
1,071
92
64
20
8
22
14
5
3
26
22
5
930
926
4
538
14
20
4
469
110
359
30
445
394
239
118
37
47
45
2
5
1,058
98
68
21
9
20
13
5
3
26
21
5
914
911
3
523
13
20
4
457
107
350
29
454
407
247
122
39
42
41
2
5
1,030
99
69
21
9
15
8
5
3
27
22
5
889
885
4
493
13
19
4
429
100
328
29
                                                                                                             (continued)

-------
Table C-1.  Total Particulate (TSP) Emissions (cont'd)
                    (thousand short tons)
                     1940   1950    1960   1970   1980   1985   1990    1991   1992
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
Organic Chemical Mfg
Inorganic Chemical Mfg
Agricultural Chemical Mfg
Other Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
lead
zinc
other
Ferrous Metals Processing
primary
secondary
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
Petroleum Refineries & Related Industries
fluid catalytic cracking units
Asphalt Manufacturing
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
country elevators
terminal elevators
feed mills
soybean mills
wheat mills
other grain mills
other
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing Products
sulfate (kraft) pulping
other
330
6
68
19
237
4,478
620
238
168
188
26
3,446
3,287
159
411
389
2
2
387
4,366
882
371
351
24
48
12
17
58
550
470
80
456
9
31
15
401
4,853
385
120
82
89
94
4,189
3,858
331
279
547
23
23
524
8,152
898
417
313
26
60
11
19
53
866
729
137
310
18
45
16
230
3,170
443
146
46
52
199
2,247
2,083
164
481
1,219
50
50
1,169
9,042
1,036
512
346
27
53
9
20
69
1,031
886
145
238
45
62
46
86
2,781
731
428
57
24
222
1,473
1,304
169
577
687
70
70
617
7,949
872
426
310
20
30
10
20
56
788
668
120
150
21
25
61
42
782
151
38
19
3
91
430
379
51
201
166
41
41
125
2,542
629
388
152
10
22
2
11
43
229
142
87
129
23
13
48
45
496
112
34
13
4
61
242
201
41
142
144
16
16
128
2,196
834
465
252
27
27
3
10
52
220
124
96
121
22
12
41
45
486
99
33
16
4
47
248
198
50
138
152
13
13
139
1,994
639
404
142
18
16
1
6
52
202
90
112
118
22
12
42
43
461
100
32
14
4
50
217
173
43
144
147
13
13
133
1,878
574
344
121
16
29
2
7
56
202
92
110
127
23
12
43
48
487
105
33
15
4
52
237
188
49
146
148
13
13
134
1,919
563
342
120
12
25
2
9
53
208
95
114
                                                                      (continued)

-------
c

I
                                      Table C-1.  Total Particulate (TSP) Emissions (cont'd)
                                                          (thousand short tons)
                                                           1940   1950   1960   1970   1980   1985   1990   1991   1992
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES (cont'd)
Mineral Products
cement mfg
surface mining
stone quarrying/processing
other
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
residential
other
Open Burning
other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
Idgv
motorcycles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
IdgM
Idgt2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
hddv
Iddt
Iddv
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
recreational
construction
industrial
farm
other

2,934
1,363
175
482
914
550
330
98
232
220
220
220
169
169
0
23
18
5
29
0
0
0
0
2,762
2
0
0
0
0
0

6,388
1,998
307
764
3,319
659
327
86
241
333
333
329
232
232
0
36
28
8
51
9
9
0
0
2,014
16
0
5
3
7
1

6,975
2,014
403
1,411
3,147
962
417
115
302
544
544
582
442
441
1
56
45
11
68
15
15
0
0
245
19
0
5
2
10
2

6,289
1,731
388
1,582
2,587
1,210
440
134
306
770
770
1,004
681
677
4
111
91
20
71
141
141
0
0
317
17
2
1
3
9
2

1,684
417
385
500
382
365
167
112
55
198
198
1,161
637
629
7
171
96
75
61
291
279
3
9
281
14
3
1
2
5
2

1,142
287
392
206
256
318
141
105
35
177
177
1,233
594
591
4
189
112
76
51
400
375
4
21
286
13
3
1
1
5
3

1,153
226
444
275
207
304
127
101
26
178
178
1,412
698
694
4
234
148
86
52
427
410
4
13
285
11
2
1
2
3
3

1,103
212
428
255
209
288
111
101
10
177
177
1,451
726
722
4
238
163
75
43
444
427
3
14
274
10
2
1
2
3
2

1,148
217
442
276
213
334
125
101
24
209
209
1,451
726
722
4
238
163
75
43
444
427
3
14
278
11
2
1
2
4
3
                                                                                                            (continued)

-------
I

                                          Table C-1.  Total Paniculate (TSP) Emissions (cont'd)

                                                               (thousand short tons)
                                                                 1940    1950   1960   1970    1980   1985   1990    1991    1992
OFF-HIGHWAY (cont'd)
Non-Road Diesel
construction
industrial
farm
Aircraft
Marine Vessels
coal
diesel
residual oil
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
wildfires
managed burning
other
TOTAL ALL SOURCES

1
0
0
0
0
107
94
6
7
2,651
4,081
4,081
2,774
881
426
25,157

16
12
0
4
0
1,982
87
7
13
1,874
2,791
2,791
1,353
987
451
27,375

22
12
3
7
40
45
28
7
10
119
1,903
1,903
544
903
456
23,761

71
14
19
38
110
49
32
7
9
70
1,210
1,210
490
581
139
20,944

94
19
18
57
82
32
0
11
22
60
1,186
1,186
654
472
59
9,992

107
20
14
73
96
30
0
17
13
40
1,114
1,114
597
471
47
8,651

112
23
16
73
86
35
0
20
15
41
1,312
1,312
807
471
34
8,131

110
22
16
72
80
36
0
20
16
38
1,087
1,087
581
471
35
7,730

112
23
14
75
81
37
0
21
16
37
1,116
1,116
613
471
32
7,836
=8

I
n
                 NOTE(S): NA = not available

                        Zero values represent less than 500 short tons/year.

-------
                    APPENDIX D

        NATIONAL EMISSIONS (1940 TO 1993)
       FROM THE REPORT IN METRIC UNITS
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993      D-l                      Appendix D

-------
                   Table D-1. Total  National Emissions of Carbon Monoxide,
                                   1940 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                            (thousand short tons)
   Source Category
1940
1950
                                                               1960
                        1970
                                                                                1980
                                                                                         1990
                                                 1992
   NOTE(S):  Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
            NA = not available
            Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed In 1970. All other
            methodologies changed In 1985.
            1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
            Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
                                                 1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
light-duty gas trucks 1
light-duty gas trucks 2
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
industrial
lawn & garden
light commercial
recreational marine vessels
Aircraft
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
forest wildfires
TOTAL
3
395
13,508
10,232
2,394
7,838
3,176
3,801
2,495
201
104
NA
NA
3,293
24,830
18,017
18,007
2,355
1,807
547
4,458
NA
NA
7,304
3,426
708
NA
NA
54
4
3,704
26,499
0
22,798
82,433
100
498
9,667
7,000
1,638
5,362
2,570
5,301
2,640
2,405
210
NA
NA
4,279
37,533
25,537
25,491
3,836
2,949
887
8,133
26
26
10,533
6,650
1,414
NA
NA
109
847
2,790
16,452
0
10,123
89,618
100 215
600 699
5,670 3,288
4,303 2,660
1,007 622
3,296 2,038
1,367 572
3,612 3,082
2,600 3,306
2,800 1,977
310 562
NA NA
NA NA
5,078 6,404
52,887
38,650
38,598
4,889
3,751
1,139
9,233
114
114
10,501
7,941
1,251
NA
NA
470
1,600
301
79,864
58,089
57,922
15,032
9,165
5,867
6,089
654
654
9,621
8,598
664
4,245
2,211
885
459
59
9,988 7,175
0 0
4,071 5,098
94,146 116,193
292
680
5,652
5,436
1,272
4,164
162
1,951
2,037
1,563
753
NA
NA
2,086
285
614
5,195
4,930
NA
NA
143
1,760
1,887
395
650
2
50
1,530
70,806 57,025
48,591 36,744
48,392 36,574
14,640 13,684
9,430 7,721
5,209 5,963
6,521 5,379
1,054 1,218
1,033 1,186
11,504 13,283
9,983 11,481
880 1,114
4,868 5,444
2,431 2,952
999 1,095
674 876
87 111
7,570
0
4,895
11,451
0
6,830
104,895 94,125
284
608
4,566
4,309
NA
NA
136
1,781
1,854
372
652
2
50
1,557
54,304
35,716
35,554
13,215
7,403
5,812
4,145
1,227
1,193
13,521
11,690
1,120
5,575
2,990
1,119
889
112
7,873
0
3,246
87,425
292
605
4,031
3,775
NA
NA
135
1,812
1,897
361
664
2
51
1,571
54,422
35,791
35,621
13,498
7,517
5,981
3,893
1,239
1,204
13,855
11,943
1,166
5,637
3,086
1,129
925
112
8,624
0
3,984
88,187
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
      D-2
                                             Appendix D

-------
                 Table D-2.  Total National Emissions of Nitrogen Oxides,
                                1940 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                          (thousand short tons)
Source Category
1940
                                                     1950
                 1960
                                                                      1970
                                                                              1980
                                                                                      1990
                                                                                               1992
                                                                                                       1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
Gas
natural
FUEL COMB. OTHER
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Diesel
construction
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
599
424
231
113
53
2,307
1,825
1,180
332
306
480
5
4
95
97
NA
NA
99
1,382
1,002
1,002
149
231
NA
NA
899
94
64
596
898
6,865
1,194
1,014
530
261
112
2,896
976
624
1,593
1,535
587
57
100
100
84
NA
NA
195
2,225
1,462
1,461
246
442
76
76
1,396
170
143
900
603
9,438
2,301 4,445
1,849 3,528
1,047 1,916
516 944
185 312
3,697 3,923
709 699
483 482
2,680 2,776
2,581 2,769
690 759
100 246
100 70
200 218
119 169
NA NA
NA NA
300 399
4,012
2,692
2,691
382
542
397
397
1,309
224
142
700
6,705
3,772
3,770
1,159
252
1,521
1,521
1,477
853
543
449
400 299
13,228 18,711
6,372
5,555
3,120
1,537
492
3,225
403
278
2,376
2,240
672
196
59
66
186
NA
NA
101
6,819
6,076
4,173
1,535
369
2,954
556
403
1,503
1,302
664
362
74
91
278
2
2
75
7,821 6,793
4,011 3,118
4,006 3,107
1,277 1,216
272 304
2,262 2,155
2,235 2,115
2,198 2,579
1,247 1,341
775 857
663 843
225
348
21,120 21,040
6,779
6,073
4,140
1,549
383
2,908
505
366
1,504
1,310
667
373
73
87
276
2
2
76
6,750
3,278
3,268
1,230
280
1,962
1,920
2,617
1,356
853
858
247
20,857
7,060
6,355
4,316
1,661
378
2,881
472
342
1,510
1,318
664
376
74
86
285
2
2
76
6,747
3,343
3,332
1,258
276
1,870
1,827
2,708
1,435
913
857
268
21,230
 NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
         NA = not available
         Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other methodologies
         changed in 1985.
         1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
         Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
       D-3
Appendk D

-------
           Table D-3. Total National Emissions of Volatile Organic Compounds,
                                  1940 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                           (thousand short tons)
Source Category
1940
                                                     1950
                 1960
                                                                       1970
                                  1980
                                                                                        1990
                                                    1992
 NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
         NA = not available
         Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other methodologies
         changed in 1985.
         1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
         Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
     1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
fireplaces
woodstoves
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
Organic Chemical Mfg
METALS PROCESSING
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
Surface Coating
Nonindustrial
consumer solvents
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
Bulk Terminals & Plants
area source: gasoline
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
.light-duty gas vehicles
Light-Duty Gas Trucks
Heavy-Duty Gas Vehicles
Diesels
heavy-duty diesel vehicles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
lawn & garden
MISCELLANEOUS
Other Combustion
forest wildfires
TOTAL
2
98
1,694
1,279
308
971
802
53
295
518
118
1,788
960
444
NA
579
168
143
898
4,331
3,374
3,371
460
497
NA
NA
706
188
NA
3,700
0
3,103
15,530
8
88
1,212
880
210
670
1,201
100
401
498
167
3,338
1,984
NA
NA
1,105
328
279
1,001
6,506
4,836
4,820
754
906
10
10
1,100
384
NA
2,296
0
1,370
18,921
8
96
697
511
119
391
899
223
310
938
184
3,995
1,931
1,079
NA
1,598
479
408
1,402
9,407
7,461
7,443
982
923
42
42
1,102
477
NA
1,427
0
697
22,065
27
136
491
417
97
320
1,217
571
357
1,084
245
6,508
3,239
1,519
NA
1,772
543
462
1,799
11,768
8,340
8,286
2,513
674
241
241
1,399
1,165
521
999
0
699
27,802
40
142
769
734
172
562
1,447
802
247
1,306
215
5,973
3,343
909
NA
1,792
469
399
688
32
241
396
368
NA
NA
1,607
620
66
669
433
5,500
2,376
1,724
983
1,688
597
508
2,052
8,146 6,218
5,359 3,888
5,301 3,841
1,868 1,605
554 426
365 300
356 286
1,695 1,923
1,337 1,493
594 661
1,029
0
671
1,198
0
936
23,490 22,023
31
246
349
321
NA
NA
1,632
628
65
661
437
5,553
2,380
1,772
1,003
1,677
568
478
2,057
5,508
3,477
3,447
1,440
303
288
274
1,960
1,522
676
707
0
445
20,884
33
246
309
282
NA
NA
1,643
629
67
653
441
5,669
2,438
1,798
1,013
1,688
557
464
2,060
5,529
3,497
3,466
1,462
285
285
270
2,002
1,546
684
810
0
546
21,149
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
        D-4
Appendix D

-------
                Table D-4. Total National Emissions of  SULFUR DIOXIDE,
                                1940 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                               (gigagrams)
 Source Category
1940
                                                   1950
                                                           1960
                                                                    1970
                                                                            1980
                                                                                     1990
                                                                                             1992
  NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
          NA = not available
          Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other
          methodologies changed in 1985.
          1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
          Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
                                                                                                     1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
anthracite & lignite
Oil
residual
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
Coal
bituminous
subbituminous
Oil
residual
Gas
Other
Internal Combustion
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Other
bituminous/subbituminous coal
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
Railroads
MISCELLANEOUS
TOTAL
2,202
2,065
1,233
606
226
137
132
5,498
4,706
3,151
971
503
360
132
157
NA
3,304
2,283
2,057
195
3,002
2,504
2,079
203
303
NA
NA
3
3
2,894
2,699
494
18,101
4,096
3,679
2,202
1,085
392
417
411
5,194
4,012
2,672
823
882
654
164
136
NA
3,596
1,886
1,595
388
3,399
2,805
2,149
309
541
NA
NA
3
94
2,170
1,972
494
20,283
8,404
8,058
4,869
2,397
792
345
341
3,505
2,452
1,685
520
836
601
171
46
NA
2,104
1,134
788
406
3,616
3,013
2,515
614
609
NA
NA
9
103 I
291 I
195 I
503
20,164
15,783
14,333
8,686
4,278
1,369
1,450
1,432
4,144
2,838
1,970
607
1,115
868
127
64
NA
1,352
446
236
536
4,332
3,683
3,182
799
768
NA
NA
7
313
75
33
100
28,210
15,848
14,581
NA
NA
NA
1,266
NA
2,677
1,385
960
296
966
772
271
54
NA
881
191
39
254
1,671
1,161
980
666
832
NA
NA
30
14,422
13,814
12,124
1,293
397
580
571
2,818
1,672
1,254
26
747
574
319
75
5
542
159
27
399
525
364
196
399
364
1
4
33
389 436
159 241
48 61
10
13
23,418 20,195
13,986
13,463
11,703
1,321
439
495
487
2,673
1,525
1,145
24
755
585
316
73
6
544
161
23
405
506
347
181
378
363
1
4
33
438
248
63
9
19,589
14,367
13,776
11,975
1,369
432
562
557
2,567
1,429
1,075
22
747
581
314
72
6
544
161
23
409
526
364
193
371
375
1
4
33
397
252
62
10
19,857
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
         D-5
Appendix D

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              Table D-5.  Total National Emissions of Particulate Matter (PM-10),
                                   1940 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                                  (gigagram)
  Source Category
1940
1950
                                                                1960
                                                                         1970
                                  1980
                                                                                          1990
                                           1992
1993
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
Coal
bituminous
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Residential Wood
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFC
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
copper
Ferrous Metals Processing
Metals Processing NEC
PETROLEUM & RELATED INDUSTRIES
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Agriculture, Food, & Kindred Products
Wood, Pulp & Paper, & Publishing
Mineral Products
cement mfg
surface mining
stone quarrying/processing
SOLVENT UTILIZATION
STORAGE & TRANSPORT
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
OFF-HIGHWAY
NATURAL SOURCES
* Geogenic - wind erosion
MISCELLANEOUS
Agriculture & Forestry
* agricultural crops
* agricultural livestock
Other Combustion
wildfires
managed burning
Fugitive Dust
* unpaved roads
* paved roads
* other
TOTAL
873
865
520
642
2,121
1,557
299
1,096
533
196
223
339
332
3,625
711
463
2,451
1,236
57
437
NA
NA
356
190
2,250
NA
NA
2,692
NA
NA
NA
2,692
1,977
536
NA
NA
NA
NA
14,475
1,331
1,306
785
548
1,518
1,023
413
932
314
95
388
230
374
6,308
632
724
4,953
1,812
98
602
NA
NA
458
284
1,622
NA
NA
1,754
NA
NA
NA
1,754
965
601
NA
NA
NA
NA
15,543
1,920
1,898
1,169
300
1,010
771
280
931
340
111
194
397
625
6,542
627
869
5,046
1,827
127
943
0.
0,
693
502
182
0,
0,
1,129
0.
0.
0,
1,129
388
550
0.
0.
0,
0,
14,114
1,611
1,524
944
581
413
348
213
1,194
538
312
180
476
259
5,290
440
659
4,191
1,571
121
868
NA
NA
906
215
202
NA
NA
761
NA
NA
NA
761
349
354
NA
NA
NA
NA
11,646
797
722
438
616
805
742
134
564
118
29
292
154
125
1,674
364
166
1,144
378
115
382
NA
NA
248
264
252
180
207
843
799
67
127
44
3
79
4
25
277
22
89
142
32
15
25
2
49
219
250 216
298 338
NA
NA
773
NA
NA
NA
773
466
286
NA
NA
NA
NA
3,803
0
38,156
6,696
6,350
346
1,200
651
496
30,261
14,208
6,622
9,431
6,285 44,596
231
221
161
202
743
698
68
125
43
3
78
4
24
275
23
89
138
32
15
23
2
48
223
190
344
4,223
0
37,417
6,566
6,216
350
859
309
497
29,992
13,191
6,913
9,888
44,116
245
233
173
199
656
612
68
128
44
3
80
4
24
282
23
91
143
33
15
24
2
50
225
178
358
570
0
38,283
6,565
6,207
358
931
380
498
30,788
13,068
7,407
10,313
41,268
  NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
           NA = not available
           Change in methodology indicated by vertical lines. Transportation methodologies changed in 1970. All other methodologies
           changed in 1985.
           1990 to 1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
           Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
           * Fugitive dust sources
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends, 1900-1993
       D-6
                                              Appendix D

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                            Table D-6. Total National Emissions of Lead
                                   1970 through 1993 in Metric Units
                                                 (megagrams)
Source Category
FUEL COMB. ELEC. UTIL.
FUEL COMB. INDUSTRIAL
FUEL COMB. OTHER
Misc. Fuel Comb. (Except Residential)
Residential Other
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCT MFG
Inorganic Chemical Mfg - lead oxide and pigments
METALS PROCESSING
Nonferrous Metals Processing
primary lead production
primary copper production
primary zinc production
secondary lead production
secondary copper production
lead battery manufacture
lead cable coating
Ferrous Metals Processing
ferroalloy production
iron production
steel production
gray iron production
OTHER INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES
Mineral Products
cement manufacturing
Miscellaneous Industrial Processes
WASTE DISPOSAL & RECYCLING
Incineration
municipal waste
other
HIGHWAY VEHICLES
Light-Duty Gas Vehicles & Motorcycles
OFF-HIGHWAY
Non-Road Gasoline
TOTAL
1970
297
215
9,119
9,072
42
93

21,976
14,397
11,008
219
925
1,719
339
38
115
6,708
199
241
2,835
3,423
1,840
490

1,350
1)996

527
1,469
156,003
129,655
7,566

199,104
1975
208
68
9,110
9,072
15
109

9,002
6,525
5,117
155
203
745
182
44
50
1,992
94
84
982
825
1,213
197

1,016
1,447

359
1,088
118,123
96,951
4,547

143,829
1980
117
54
3,729
3,701
8
95

2,745
1,656
975
18
22
436
105
45
34
826
12
34
436
338
733
84

649
1,098

146
952
56,418
44,000
3,012

68,000
1985
58
27
382
363
10
107

1,902
1,248
792
17
14
261
64
59
39
523
6
19
190
305
287
39

248
790

72
718
14,495
10,950
208

18,257
1990
58
16
379
363
9
123

1,940
1,279
661
18
8
407
68
71
46
522
17
17
125
361
153
23

130
730

61
669
1,534
1,145
179

5,112
1992
53
16
376
363
6
85

1,852
1,194
569
18
10
426
60
70
40
508
15
16
131
343
49
22

28
377

10
368
1,317
984
175

4,301
1993
56
17
378
363
8
99

1,921
1,236
577
19
11
450
65
72
41
519
15
16
134
351
49
21

27
470

41
429
1,255
937
186

4,431
   NOTE(S): Categories displayed below Tier 1 do not sum to Tier 1 totals because they are intended to show major contributors.
          1993 emission estimates are preliminary and will be updated in the next report.
          Tier 1 source categories and emissions are in bold type face.
Na
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               APPENDIX E

  DENSITY MAPS OF 1993 COUNTY-LEVEL
        EMISSIONS BY POLLUTANT
Pollutant Emission Trends, ]900-1993     E-l                     Appendix E

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Figure E-1. Density Map of 1993 County-level CARBON MONOXIDE Emissions
Emissions
short tons/sq. mile
e§
m
03
D
43 to 7,600
21 to 43
10 to 21
Oto 10

-------
       Figure E-2. Density Map of 1993 County-level NITROGEN OXIDES Emissions
 Emissions
short tons/sq. mile
   9to 1,500
 El 3 to  9
 ED 1to  3
 D Oto  1

-------
o

i-
I
w
        Figure E-3. Density Map of 1993 County-level VOLATILE ORGANIC COMPOUND Emissions
       Emissions
      short tons/sq. mile
       m 9 to 2,100
       S3 3 to  9
       H 2to  3
       D Oto  2
en

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             Figure E-4.  Density Map of 1993 County-level SULFUR DIOXIDE Emissions
 Emissions
short tons/sq. mile
  3 to 2,000
H 0.4 to   3
H 0.1 to   0.4
D o to   0.1

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         Figure E-5. Density Map of 1993 County-level PARTICULATE MATTER (PM-10) Emissions
I
g
          Emissions
         short tons/sq. mile
         m 20 to 3,000
         EH 14to  20
         03 9to  14
         D Oto  9
to

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                                    TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                               (Please read Instructions on reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
  EPA-454/R-94-027
                                                                 3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
National Air Pollutant Emission Trends,
1900-1993
                                                                 5. REPORT DATE
                                                                   1994
                                                                    6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

Sharon V. Nizich, Tom C. McMullen, David C. Misenheimer
                                                                    8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS

U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
 Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                                                                     10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                                                 11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
                                                                     13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                                     14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                                                     EPA/200/04
 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
 16. ABSTRACT
 This report presents the latest estimates of national and regional emissions for criteria air pollutants:
 carbon monoxide,  lead, nitrogen oxides, fine paniculate matter, sulfur dioxide, total suspended
 particulate matter,  and volatile organic compounds.  Estimates are presented for the years 1900 to 1993,
 with greater detail in more recent years.  This report also includes sections on  air toxics, international
 emissions, greenhouse gases, projections, and biogenics.
 17.
                                      KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                   DESCRIPTORS
                                                  b. IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                                                                         c. COSATI Field/Group
 Air Emission Trends   Particulate Matter
 Lead
 Air Pollution
 Nitrogen Dioxide
 Ozone
 Sulfur Dioxide
 Total Suspended Particulates
 Volatile Organic Compounds
                    Carbon Monoxide
                    Emission Projections
                    Air Toxics
                    Greenhouse Gases
Air Pollution regulation and
control
  18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
I
Release Unlimited
                                                   19. SECURITY CLASS (Report)
                                                      Unclassified
                                                                                     21. NO. OF PAGES
                                                                                     314
                                               20. SECURITY CLASS (Page)
                                                  Unclassified
                                                                                     22. PRICE
 EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION IS OBSOLETE

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