&EPA
                   Protection
                Off'C« of
                Sond Wa«i«
DIRECTIVE NUMBER:  9>*77.oo-i
TITLEi Background Document - Financial Test for Liability
     Coverage
             APPROVAL DATE: 0^-09-82
             EFFECTIVE DATE: 0*1-09-82
             ORIGINATING OFFICE: Office of Solid waste
             m FINAL
             D DRAFT
               STATUS:
             REFERENCE (other documents):
               [  ]  A- Pending OMB approval
               [  ]  B- Pending AA-OSWER approval
               [  ]  C- For review &/or comment
               [  ]  D- In development or circulating
                                headquarters
  DIRECTIVE    DIRECTIVE     L

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                            UnttedStttJsenvironmenu^rotectjofntoency^"""™™"^™"
                                   Washington. DC 20460
                 QSWER Directive Initiation Request
                                    1. Directive Number

                                      9^77.00-1
                                  2. Originator Information
      Name of Contact Person
        Carole Ansheles
     Mail Code
     N/A
Office
 osw
      3. Title
        Background Document - Financial Test for Liability Coverage
Telephone Code
(202) 382-1*761
      4. Summary of Directive (include brief statement of purpose)
        This background document  explains EPA's position on use of a financial test to
        provide liability coverage to meet requirements of 261*. ll* 7 and 265.11*7.
      5. Keywords
       Liability/Insurance/Financial
      oa. Does This Directive Supersede rrevious uirective(s)'.
      b. Does It Supplement Previous Directive(s)?
                                            No
                                            No
                      Yes   What directive (number, title)


                      Yes   .What directive (number, title)
      7. Draft Level
          A - Signed by AA/DAA
6 - Signed by Office Director      I C - For Review & Comment
                            D - In Development
8. Document to be distributed to States by Headquarters?


Yes
X

No
This Request Meets OSWER Directives System Format Standards.
9. Signature of Lead Office Directives Coordinator
1 0. Name and Title of Approving Official
N/A
Date
Date
     EPA Form 1315-17 (Rev. 5-67) Previous editions are obsolete.
   OSWER           OSWER                OSWER               O
VE    DIRECTIVE         DIRECTIVE         DIRECTIVE

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                     BACKGROUND DOCUMENT

            RESOURCE CONSERVATION AND RECOVERY ACT
            SUBTITLE C—HAZARDOUS HASTE MANAGEMENT
 Section 3004 - Standard* Applicable to Owners and Operator*
of Hazardous Waste Treatment,  Storage and Disposal Facilities

                 Parts 264 and 265,  Subpart H
                    Financial  Requirements
            Financial Test for Liability Coverage
                        April 9, 1982

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I.  introduction                                             .             •

     Sectiu*»jlfD4(61 of the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA)
           •*&*.  r~
of 1976, Pub*ti 94-580 (October 21, 1976), requires the Environmental

Protection Agency to promulgate financial responsibility standards applicable

to owners and operators of facilities for the treatment, storage, or disposal

of hazardous waste as may be necessary or desirable to protect human health

and the environment.

     The Agency has concluded that liability coverage requirements constitute

a desirable part of the RCRA regulatory program, as explained in the preamble

to the revised interim'final regulations (40 CFR 264.147 and 265.147,

promulgated April 1982) which this background document accompanies.

The requirements are designed to assure that funds will be available

from which third parties can seek compensation for bodily injury and

property damage resulting from operations of the facility.

     The regulations specify two means by which owners or operators can

satisfy the requirement for liability coverage:  purchasing liability

insurance or passing a financial test.  The financial test for liability

coverage was developed in conjunction with the financial test for closure

and post-closure care.  The reader is referred to the preamble and background

document accompanying the financial test for assurance of closure and

post-closurewomxe (47 PR 15032-74, April 7,  1982) for a detailed description
            -•?-.
of the rational* and analysis supporting these tests.  The present background

document supplements the earlier document and is focused on the issues

specific to the test for liability coverage.  It also includes responses

to comments from the public regarding such a mechanism.

A.  Description of the Financial Test for Liability Coverage

     The regulations require that owners or operators maintain liability

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coverage amounting to $1 million per sudden accidental occurrence with a

$2 milllai^^K*£*99r*9ate' and' in addition,  for surface impoundments,

                    treatment facilities,  coverage amounting to $3 million

per nonsudden accidental occurrence with an annual aggregate of $6 million.

The regulations allow owners or operators to satisfy the liability coverage

requirement by providing evidence of insurance  or  by passing a financial

test.  The test may also be used to demonstrate part of the required

coverage.  In such a case the remainder of the  liability coverage requirement

must be met by insurance as described in the regulations.

     An owner or operator may pass the financial test for liability coverage

by demonstrating that he meets either of two sets  of criteria.

     Alternative I:

     (A)  Tangible net worth of at least $10 million;  and

     (B)  Net working capital and tangible net  worth each at least six
         . times the amount of liability coverage to be demonstrated by
          this test; and

     (C)  Assets in the United States amounting to either:  (1) at least 90
          percent of total assets, or (2)  at least six times the amount of
          liability coverage to be demonstrated by this test.

     Alternative II:

     (A)  A current rating for its most recent  bond issuance of AAA, AA,
          A, or BBB as issued by Standard and Poor's,  or Aaa, Aa, A, or
          Baa as issued by Moody's; and

                Is net worth of at least $10 million;  and

                   net worth at least six times the amount of liability
                   to be demonstrated by this test; and

     (D)  Assets in the United States amounting to either:  (1) at least
          90 percent of total assets, or (2) at least six times the amount
          of liability coverage to be demonstrated by this test.
                                    -2-

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 financi

audlte^r
     Ac evidence of satisfying the financial test,  an owner or operator must

            "

            latter to the Regional Administrator signed by his chief financia

officer that includes the required data from the owner's or operator's

independently audited, year-end financial statements, a'nd

     (2)  A copy of the independent certified public accountant's report on~

examination of the owner's or operator's financial  statements for the latest

completed fiscal year; and

     (3)  A special report from the owner's or operator's independent

certified public accountant to the owner or operator stating that the

accountant has compared the data which the letter from the chief financial

officer specifies as having been derived from the independently

year-end financial statements for the latest fiscal year with the- amounts

in such financial statements and/ in connection with this procedure/ no

matters came to his attention which caused him to believe that the

specified data should be adjusted.

     As in the case of the financial test for closure and post-closure

care/ if the auditor's opinion that is included in  his report on examination
*
of the owner's or operator's financial statements is an adverse opinion

or contains a disclaimer of opinion, the owner or operator may not use

the finafsfijt test to satisfy the financial requirements.

              tal Administrator may disallow use of the financial test based

on other qualifications expressed in the auditor's  opinion of the owner's or

operator's financial statements*  For example, if the Regional Administrator

determines that the opinion raises questions as to  whether th* owner or

operator will continue as a "going concern, * the financial test will be

disallowed.  Other qualified opinions will be evaluated on a ease-by-case

                                    -3-

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 basis.  -The o«m*g or operator must provide evidence of insurance for the




 entire- rflflK&V** of coverage within 30 days after disallowance.



                      ' submission of the letter froa the chief financial



 officer and the accountant's reports, a new letter and new reports for




 each subsequent fiscal year must be submitted to the Regional Administrator




 within 90 days after the end of the firm's fiscal year.  Alternatively, by




 the end of this 90-day period the owner or operator oust provide evidence




 of third-party liability insurance coverage to the Regional Administrator.




 B.  Development of the Financial Test for Liability Coverage




     The development of- the financial test for liability coverage has



 been influenced by public comments received on two sets of proposals.








 of permitted facilities to establish liability coverage through evidence) of




 insurance/ self-insurance for an amount not exceeding 10 percent of the owner's




 or operator's equity, a combination of the two, or some other evidence of




 financial responsibility acceptable to the Agency (43 FR 58995, 59007).




     In a reproposal published May 19, 1980,  on both liability coverage




 and financial assurance for closure and post-closure care, the liability




 coverage requirements for facilities in permitted status were not changed,




 but because the Agency felt that resolution of the issues raised by the




 proposed r*f^BBPnt> would benefit from further public comment the



 comment perJJKtar reopened (45 FR 33260,  33264).  In addition, the




Agency proposed liability requirements for coverage of sudden accidental




occurrences at interim status facilities,  but did not permit self-insurance




 as an alternative to liability insurance during interim status because




the Agency believed that owners or operators either already had or could
                                   -4-

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obtain liability policies that covered sudden accidental occurrences (45  .*



PR 33273).  *  .



     The Merits 1980, reproposal included a financial test for assurance of




closure and post-closure costs.  To pass this test,  an owner or operator had




to have the following:  (1) at least $10 million in net worth in the United




States; (2) a ratio of total liabilities to net worth of not more than 3;




and (3) net working capital in the United States of  at least twice the cost




estimates for closure and post-closure care.  Several commenters suggested



that this test could also be used to qualify owners  or operators for self-




insurance.



     The interim final regulation of January 12, 1981 (46 FR 2802 -




2888), required insurance coverage.  As the preamble stated, self-J




i.e., financial test provisions,  were being considered for both interim si




and permit standards.  The Agency intended to reach  and publish its



decision prior to the effective date of the regulations.




     Since testing the financial strength of an owner or operator with




reference to liability coverage is similar in purpose to testing with



reference to closure and post-closure costs, the Agency decided to seek




developme it of a test for liability coverage in conjunction with its




development of a test for financial assurance of closure and post-closure care.




     Out of ,over 300 candidate sets of test criteria, two were selected for




the finandA test for closure and post-closure care.  One set required




certain financial ratios; amounts of net working capital and tangible net




worth each at least six times the estimated costs of closure and post-




closure care;  at least $10 million in tangible net worth; and U.S. assets
                                   -5-

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totaling"either (1) at least 90 percent of total asset* or (2) at least si*"


tines the 9J£jjt*t*A closure and post-closxire costs.   This set of criteria


is considet^£bvpropriate for testing owners or operators in manufacturing


industries likely to be involved in hazardous waste  management.  The second


set of criteria requires a bond rating in the highest four categories of


ratings by Moody's or Standard and Poor's; tangible  net worth at least six


tines the estimated costs of closure and post-closure care;  at least $10


million in tangible net worth; and U.S. assets totaling either (1) at least


90 percent of total assets or (2) at least six times the estimated closure


and post-closure costs.  This set of criteria was developed for utilities


and other industry 'sectors structured differently from the manufacturing

                                                                          »
sector for which the first set of criteria was developed*                 *


     The Agency concluded from its evaluations that  this financial test    ;


should be allowed as a means of satisfying the financial requirements for


closure and post-closure care because it provides strong assurance of


availability of funds and minimizes regulatory costs.


     As described in the following section, the results of evaluating


candidate tests for assurance of liability coverage  were slightly different


than for assurance of closure and post-closure costs.   A test that did not


include financial ratios was judged to be most appropriate (this test


was labeled "anility to Pay test" in the evaluations and is so referred to


in subseqaesKMCtions of this background document).  The ratios add


stringency to the test, but analysis indicated that  the same level of


stringency was not required for a test for liability coverage] as for a


test for coverage of closure and post-closure costs.  Liability for


accidents at a hazardous waste management facility is a contingent event,


unlike the certain obligation for closure and post-closure care.  The


                                   -6-

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possibtlitvtbAt an owner or operator who passes a financial test for

                   cannot pay liability costs is dependent both upon

the oecaff'Of'* serious accident and the owner or operator becoming

financially unable to pay the required sums.  A test minus the ratios was

found to provide adequate assurance for liability coverage.

     Based on its analyses the Agency concluded that the 10-percent-of-

equity measure for self-insurance that was proposed in December 1978

was inappropriate for several reasons:  the Agency's analysis found that

equity amounting to 6 times the amount of liability covered/  rather than

10 times, was sufficient as an indicator of adequacy of total assets; the

equity percentage by itself does not measure capability to fund near-ten
                                                                          *
obligations; and this test does not take into account the significantly   .:

higher failure rates of smaller firms.

     The test proposed on May 19, 1980, was evaluated in comparison with the

other candidate tests for liability coverage.  It was rejected, however,

because the costs associated with this test were higher, without significant

added assurance of liability coverage, than those of the Ability to Pay

test (Table 1).

     Apart from the test criteria, there are four ways in which the

requirements for th« financial test for liability coverage differ from

the test £fj^|pssMat« for closure and post-closure care:

                 Agency decided to allow use of the financial test for

             part of the amount of required liability coverage, with insurance

             for the remainder.  Under the insurance requirements of the

             regulation* the insurer must provide "first-dollar11 coverage.

             The insurer is responsible for payments within any deductible,

             with right of reimbursement by the owner or operator.

                                          -7-

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       ing use of th« financial test for part of the required

       age allows the owner or operator to have a deductible for

        he takes full responsibility.  This should mean savings

   in  insurance costs and additional flexibility in obtaining

   insurance.  For closure or post-closure care, the test oust be

   used to cover the entire amount of one cost estimate.  However,

   the owner or operator may use other mechanisms to cover other

   closure and post-closure estimates he is required to provide

   assurance for; the Agency believes this allow* flexibility

   without placing undue administrative burden on the Agency*

   (Based on information presented in Appendix B of the) background

   document for the financial test for closure and posrt-cloetire |r
                                                                r
   care, the Agency concludes that most owners or operators usjiag

   the financial test will have more than one facility.   In the

   financial test analysis, an average of four facilities is

   assumed.)

— Owners or operators may use a parent corporation's guarantee

   to  satisfy the closure or post-closure financial assurance

   requirements if the parent passes the financial test,  but

   use of a parent's guarantee to satisfy the liability require-

        is not allowed.  The Agency decided not to allow use

       parent's guarantee for liability coverage because there

   are major questions concerning the validity and enforceability

   of  such an arrangement, especially as it may be affected by

   State insurance laws.

•- The financial test provisions for liability coverage) require an

   owner or operator using the test to satisfy the requirements


                               -8-

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   to establish insurance coverage within 90 days after the end bf



              year for which the financial statements show that he



             passes the test.  In contrast,  the financial test




   provisions for closure and post-closure care require that




   within the 90 days after the end of the fiscal year for which




   he no longer passes the test the owner or operator most notify



   EPA of his intent to establish alternate assurance and then,




   within 120 days after the end of the fiscal year, establish




   such assurance.  Upon reviewing this matter, the Agency has




   concluded that 90 days is adequate time for an owner or




   operator to become aware of his failure to pass the test and



   to establish an alternate financial mechanism for either li




   coverage or assurance of closure or post-closure care*  The




   Agency therefore expects at a future date to propose changing




   the closure and post-closure financial test requirements to




   also state that the owner or operator must provide alternate




   financial assurance within 90 days after the end of the fiscal




   year for which he fails to pass the test.




— The Regional Administrator may require reports of financial



   condition at any time from owners or operators using the




       icial test for closure and post-closure care if the




            Administrator has a reasonable belief that the




   owner or operator no longer meets the test criteria.  This




   provision is not included in the requirements for the




   financial test for liability coverage*  The Agency believes




   that a yearly report from users of the financial test for




   liability coverage will be sufficient because of the small



                                -9-

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1 against a  • ••ills    9"
                   _JE
i.  The • bankrupt n i lasX
             likelihood that an owner or operator passing the test will

                    following year  experience business, failure while

                    a major liability resulting from an accidental occurrenc

             In contrast,  closure and postclosure care are certain

             obligations,  and the Agency expects that there will be

             occasions when additional financial reports are justified

             to verify the continuing ability of owners or operators to

             satisfy these obligations.

II.  ANALYSIS OF .2ST CRITERIA

     From the comments~'on  the proposed tests and from the research, result*

of previous bankruptcy forecasting, the Agency assembled a list of

300 candidate financial tests.  These were evaluated

consisting of 178 viable firms and  66 bankrupt firms*

were identified from previous bankruptcy forecasting literature and  an

independent search; all had filed for bankruptcy between 1966 and  1979.

The sample of nonbankrupt  firms was designed to represent the expected

asset size range and mix of industries likely to seek to use a financial

test.  Another sample of 26 nonbankrupt utilities was also studied.

     For each test evaluated against the sample, the Agency computed two

primary measures of effectiveness.  One was the number of firms per

10,000 that:]fould pass the test and later  go bankrupt without providing

insurance os)pB*soe    . This measure  determines the effectiveness of a

test in eliminating owners or operators that would  be major sources  of

direct public costs.  The other primary measure was the percentage of

viable firms that would be able to use the financial test*  This

factor represents the test's potential for reducing private  cost* by

allowing owners or operators to use the  test.  Where several t«

                                    -10-

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attained-the same level of effectiveness in eliminating bankrupt

firms, th« £fejjjl* tnat simultaneously allowed the greatest number of

viable firasJ^SB «•• it was judged a "best test* (these are listed in
              *•
Table 1 and their components are described in detail in Appendix A of the

background document for the closure/post-closure financial teat).

     A requirement for $10 million in net worth was included in all these

candidate tests.  As discussed in the previous background document, firms

with less than $10 million in net worth have a greater failure rate and

present a reduced possibility of recovery in bankruptcy.  The Agency

believes that they may'also significantly increase the burden ot adminis-

tering the test because of their greater instability.

     The tests identified with numerals in Table 1 are based on financial  $,
                                                                           it'
ratios which function as indicators of viability.  To also measure capacity^

to pay the amounts of liability coverage to be demonstrated by the test*

the Agency decided to add to each of these tests, for purposes of the cost

analysis, the requirement that the owner or operator must have net working

capital and net worth six times the amount of liability coverage to be

demonstrated.  The Ability to Pay test included only this requirement

and the requirement for $10 million in net worth.

     The multiple of 6 was derived in the following manner:  The Agency

conducted anjuialysis of firms which had experienced rapid deterioration

of their fiaiadal condition for 2 to 3 years prior to business failure.
            % '
This analysis showed that net working capital of these firms fell by an

average of 66 percent in 2 years.  The Agency believes that in order to

ensure that adequate liquid assets, as indicated by net working capital,

will be available for liability coverage, net working capital of at
                                   -11-

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AMD
OWN9M
                                '                          TABLB  .1
                                PUBLIC AND MIVATB COBTB or, ALTERNATIVE HNAMCIA(. TBBTS ron LIABILITI BBQUi«BNW*4
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least six tines.the estimated costs is an appropriate level.  This figure-"


is 111 il • I iifj^pEbttltiplying the factor of 2 (safety factor to ensure current


ability totpMr tiass 3 (to ensure against a high rate of deterioration before
             ' •

payment can be brought about).  With a multiple of 6, it is likely that even


a rapidly deteriorating firm will have net working capital amounting to


twice the amount of required coverage 2 years after failing the test.


     While it is unusual for firms to have less net worth than net working


capital/ the possibility does exist, and such a firm would be very weak


financially.  Therefore a requirement was added for net worth of at least


six times the amount of coverage to be demonstrated.


     The relative costs to the public and the regulated community associated


with allowing use of the candidate tests were estimated.  The costs


associated with allowing only use of private insurance to demonstrate


financial responsibility were also part of the comparison.  The test which


minimizes the sum of direct public and private costs was identified (the


Ability to Pay test).  This test provides the lowest sum of all costs to


the public because/ over the long run/ private costs to owners and operators


will be passed on to the public through increased costs of goods and services.


The cost results were then reviewed in light of the basic consideration


of reasonable assurance that funds will be available for compensating


third P*r*r injuries from hazardous waste facility operations;


                  equity (i.e./ owners or operators responsible for


damages should pay for them/ rather than the injured parties or the


general public)/ and minimization of costs to the regulated consnmlty.


The Appendix to this background document describes the Agency's determination


of costs and provides analytic support for the numerical results reported


in the following discussion.


                                   -12-

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X.  -Costa lacaiaiaed




     In. •^^^Hn.'elw costs of varioua alternative financial testa, two



types of oqlptpure examined:  direct public costs and private costs.




     (1)  Direct public costs ware defined aa the sum of coata which




ultimately muat be borne by the public becauae of the nonpaynent of relief




to harmed parties.  Two typea of direct public coata were- analyzed:




     (i)  The direct public coata due to bankruptcy of owners or




operators uaing insurance.  These include liability judgments up to the




limits of coverage required by the regulation which cannot be recovered



from owners or operators through legal action.  Such costs could reault




from claims filed after the cancellation of an insurance policy*



     (ii)  The direct public coata due to bankruptcy of owners ox operators^




uaing the financial teat.  These include liability judgmenta up to the




limits of coverage required by the regulation which cannot be recovered



from the firms through legal action.




     Any costa of litigation by third parties associated with the recovery




of funds from bankrupt firms were not included in direct public coata*



Costs to the Agency of adminiatering the regulation were not included}




they are estimated to be comparable between insurance and the financial




test.




     (2)  vqtafcl* eoeta were defined by the Agency aa the coats to the




regulated oMBiEity of satisfying liabilitiea up to the required amount




of coverage and the additional cost of financial mechanism* to serve as




assurances) of financial responsibility.  Certain costs that all financial




mechanisms' have in common, such as the costs to the owner or operator of




routine management associated with maintaining any financial mechanism.
                                   -13-

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 were not iAfftoded.   Two types of  private costs were  considered in the



 analysis r^tr-  «"



      (i) ^Ttf* private  costs  of insurance.  These  include  the premiums for




 insurance  policies.  Including coverage  for legal  defense.  Costs  of  other



 aspects  of the  insurance required by  the regulation, such as submission




 of  the Hazardous Waste Facility Liability Endorsement or Certificate of




 Insurance, were assumed to be minimal.



      (ii)   The  private costs  of liability coverage evidenced by the



 financial  test.  These include the liability judgments, settlement*, and




 legal defense costs  incurred  by owners  or operators which use  the tact



 plus the cost of auditors' reports required for use of the financial



     The model  used  to analyze the costs  of the financial test for'liaM




 coverage had a  structure parallel to  the model for the costs of the)



 financial  test  for closure and post-closure care.  Figure t presents the



 structure  used  for the liability test.  The Agency based its estimate of




 the direct public costs  associated with bankruptcies of owners or operators



 that pass  the test on  the assumption  that liabilities outstanding 2  1/2




 years prior to bankruptcy will have to  be recovered in bankruptcy




 proceedirgs and that 30 percent of these funds can be recovered from




 bankrupt owners or operators.   For owners or operators that fail  the



 test and usjfeinaurance, the Agency assumed that all liability outstanding




 6 months pJJBe^to bankruptcy will have  to be recovered in bankruptcy



proceedings due to termination  or cancellation of the policy prior to




 filing of claims.  (See section III of Appendix for further discussion




of afcemt assumptions about recovery in  bankruptcy.)
                                   -14-

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                  ,-s-- -.--
                           OR OPERATORS POTENTIALLY ABLE TO USE
                                  A FINANCIAL TEST
                               FOR LIABILITY COVERAGE
           PASS TEST
     (PAY PRIVATE COSTS
      OF FINANCIAL TEST)
                                               DOES NOT  PASS TEST
                                              (PAT INSURANCE PREMIUM)
BUSINESS
DOES NOT
  FAIL
BUSINESS FAILURE
(DIRECT PUBLIC
COSTS:  70% OF
FUNDS NEEDED FOR
CLAIMS AWARDS
DURING 2 1/2 YEARS
PRIOR TO BANKRUPTCY
ARE NOT RECOVERED)
BUSINESS
DOES NOT
  FAIL
BUSINESS FAILURE
(DIRECT PUBLIC
COSTS*  70% OF*
PUML6 MUDSD P00|
CLAIMS AWARDS  *
DURXHG 6 MOWTH8
PRIOR TO BAMXRO
ARB ROT RECOVERED)
                                      FIGURE 1
                            STRUCTURE OF THE COST MODEL
                                         -15-

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     The *t^^Hpf*? tne Agency's analysis  of  the  costs associated with



candidate €*In are presented in Table 1.   (It  should be noted that the



cost data are only for owners or operators of over $10 million in net worth



and independently audited.)



     The test found to minimize the sum of public and private  costs was the



Ability to Pay Test.  This test with modifications as described below,



was adopted in the regulations.  It requires  that an owner or  operator



have net worth and net working capital at  least six times  greater than



the amount of liability coverage to be demonstrated and at least $10 mi 111 on



in net worth.  Two versions  of this test were evaluated:   one  requiring



the owner or operator to meet the criteria based  on financial  statements



only for the preceding fiscal year and the other  requiring him to meet



the criteria for 3 years before being allowed to  use the test  to satisy



the requirements.  The 1-year version,  which  minimized costs,  was selected.



     Compared with allowing insurance only, allowing use of the Ability



to Pay test results in a saving of about $200 in  private cost  for every



dollar of added direct public cost (Table  1).   Table 2 provides a detailed



comparison of private costs  associated with allowing insurance only and


                                                    0
allowing use of the Ability to Pay Test for firms of ever  $10  million in



net wort&* •JHRtttimtes of private costs are  disaggregated according



to cost* tHe^pMUd be borne by the regulated community regardless of



the liability requirement (i.e., costs of  liabilities and  associated



litigation) and the costs specific to a regulation requiring liability



coverage (assuming all firm* of $10 million in  net worth would self-insure



in the absence of a regulatory requirement).  If  all owners or operators



are required to use insurance, the costs of the regulation are the insurance


                                   -16-

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                                 TABLE 2

                     of Private Costs into Costs of Liabilities
                 of Regulatory Compliance, For Owners and Operators
                   of at Least $10 Million in Met Worth
                        (Thousands of 1980 Dollars)
   Cost Component
Insurance Only
Ability to Pay Test
Total private cost

Expected value of
liabilities and
associated litigation

Cost attributed to the
regulatory requirement,
assuming all large firms
would self-insure in the
absence of a regulatory
requirement
    23,945
   16,761
        16,952
     7,184
           191
                                   -17-

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premiums minus the liabilities and associated litigation.  The costs of

a fimss*o|^^^E^$i|»$BAe the costs of submitting an annual auditor's

report* ^BBImfPI iv the Table, the private costs of complying with an

•Insurance Only" requirement are 38 times greater than those, associated

with the Ability to Pay Test.

     After the cost analysis was completed, the Agency decided that the

net worth used for this criterion and for the multiple of fr should be

"tangible* net worth,  since good will, patent rights,  and other nontangible

assets may be difficult to convert into-funds for satisfying liabilities.

The financial test criteria as promulgated therefore specifies tangible

net worth*

     The Agency decided furthermore to add two additional criteria whose

effects were not incorporated into the cost analysis described above.

These two criteria are:


          (1)  Assets in the United States amounting to either* (1)
               at least 90 percent of total assets or (2) at least six
               times the amounts of liability coverage to be demonstrated
               by the test; and

          (2)  Submission of an independent auditor's opinion of the owner'*
               or operator's financial statements and footnotes, which must
               be unqualified in order for use of the financial test to
               be allowed without further review.  Adverse) opinions,
               disclaimers of opinion, and opinions which' raise "going
               concern" questions will disqualify an owner or operator
                    using the financial test.  Owners or operators which
                   Lva> other types of qualified opinions will be evaluated
                  avasse by case basis.

As in the test for closure and post-closure care, a measure of assets in the

United States is included to help ensure accessibility of funds.  The Agency

considers the auditor's opinion of the financial statements to be an

important indicator of the adequacy of the financial data submitted.  In-

dependent accountants are guided by standards set by the Securities and

                                   -18-

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Exchange Commission for auditors within the scope of the Federal securities




laws and bjlpifede of Professional Ethics promulgated by the American  '




Institute dss^BeVtified Public Accountants.  In addition, the profession is




regulated, to differing extents, by State licensing boards and State




societies of certified public accountants.




     The Ability to Pay test was rejected for assurance of closure and




post-closure care on the grounds that it did not meet the goals of protecting




human health and the environment, equity, and minimization of costs as




well as the test eventually chosen for assuring closure and post-closure




costs (Test 100), which included a requirement for financial ratios) that




made the test more stringent.  The Agency examined the question of wJijether^.




the use of a financial test for liability requirements was sufficiently




different from the use of a financial test for closure and post-closure




care to justify adopting the Ability to Pay Test.




     The Ability to Pay test was rejected for assurance of closure and post-




closure care largely because of the expected number of failure* each year




among owners or operators who would use the test.  Each year, on average,




1.3 companies that use this test and that own or operate a total of about




five faci. ities would go bankrupt.  However, unlike closure and post-closure




costs, which are certain liabilities, major liabilities in the form of




damage to ttflf*: parties caused by accidental occurrences would attach to
            . ^i c"


          M
only a porvBpi of. the facilities.  Premium estimates used in this document

           ^^v


(see section III of the Appendix) would indicate that insurers could not




cover costs if major liability events exceeded a probability of about 1




percent a year.  This would mean that, among owners or operator* using




the test and entering bankruptcy, one facility every 20 years would be
                                    -19-

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involved in accidental occurrences resulting in liabilities.   The Agency



concluded iBr*1!? •aaly«i' that the Ability to Pay test provided



reasonable- aSprance of owners' or operators'  financial capability to



satisfy liabilities due to accidental occurrences at their facilities.



    With respect to minimizing private costs,  the Agency considered the



possibility that tests weaker than the Ability to Pay Test might be



suitable for liability coverage.  This possibility was rejected* however,



on the grounds that any test significantly less stringent than the



test chosen would present the danger that a major liability event would



itself cause bankruptcy.  As explained earlier, the requirement for nat



working capital and net worth amounting to at least 6 times tha amount



of coverage to be demonstrated is based on analysis of tha rata at which



working capital drops among failing companies in the years prior to their



bankruptcy.  The requirement is designed to assure that funds are



available for satisfying liabilities, in the amount of coverage to be



demonstrated by the test, prior to bankruptcy.  A weaker test would not



assure funds in the amount that may be necessary.  Thus,  with a weaker test,



in the event of a liability in the amount of coverage to be demonstrated



by the test, sufficient funds may not be available, and bankruptcy may



be precipitated.  Such a situation would cause public costs associated



with usa af^£be test to rise enormously and thus counter potential savings


           S: -
in private g0sJ€p>.
           T*». -


     As an alternative to the Ability to Pay test for industries such as



utilities that typically do not maintain high net working capital, the



Agency has decided to include a test based on investment-grade bond



ratings, coupled with two tangible net worth requirements (tangible



net worth of at least $10 million and at least 6 times the amount of



                                    -20-

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liability to her. covered by the test) and a requirement that asset* in




the 3ait*4^Hp)p b* at least 8ix timcs 9*«»ter than the annual aggregate



liability fP|p covered or at 1«*«t 90 percent of total assets.  This



test is exactly comparable to the bond rating test for closure and post-




closure financial assurance.  Analysis of the available data on the




performance of the two major bond ratings services indicated that firms




receiving any of their four highest ratings (investment-grade bonds)




have compiled a record of viability at least equal to the Ability to Pay




test.  The other criteria, requiring specific amounts of net worth and



U.S. assets, are included to help assure adequate financial capacity,




stability, and accessibility of funds.  The measure of effectiveness



in terms of the number of firms that pass this bond rating test that



will go bankrupt without providing insurance coverage per 10,000 is at




least equal to the effectiveness of the Ability to Pay test, while the




percentage of viable firms that pass the bond rating test is slightly




lower.  (The bond rating test is discussed in Section VII of Appendix A




to the background document for a financial test for closure and post-closure




care.)



C.  Limits to the Analysis




     An analysis of the type described in this document incorporates




                 ** d*scribed below, many assumptions had to be made



about iamflNeoverage and about the technical and financial characteristics




of the hazardous waste management facilities which will be affected by




this regulation.  However, the Agency examined the sensitivity of the




result that the test adopted in the regulation minimizes the sum of




direct public and private costs, and found that this result is highly
                                    -21-

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insensitive to change* in the cost assumptions.   (See Sensitivity



Analysis tflB|BMtlons.  This analysis assumes that any firm that could use the




financial test for liability coverage would do so*  The fact that soste




firms already have insurance and the possibility that others might choose to




purchase it voluntarily are not considered*  The effect on presd.ua* of




owners' or operators' use of the financial test  for coverage of the first




dollars of liability is not considered.  The analysis assumes that, aoong




                                   -22-

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                         by insurance, each facility will be covered by a
                   •ollcy.  If policies cover more than one facility, the
                    facility would be smaller.  Since the costs associated
with liability coverage demonstrated by a financial test are assumed to
represent a constant share of premiums, these costs would also fall
proportionally*
     A number of uncertainties relating to a financial test for closure
and post-closure care are also relevant to costs of insurance and the
test for liability coverage.  These uncertainties, however, also would not
affect the choice of a test.  They include the estimation of the number
of owners and operators independently audited, the baseline failure*
rate, the size distribution of firms, and the absence of consideration
of certain possible economic efficiency benefits.
     Comparable to the uncertainty in the financial test of the costs
of closure and post-closure care is the uncertainty of the expected
value of liability judgments.  Because of the difficulties involved in
performing a formal risk analysis and the lack of adequate data to perform
a statistical analysis based on past experience of hazardous waste facilities,
the Agency felt that for purposes of this analysis, the best available
data on frequency and costs of liabilities were those implied by the
premiums. tfllHpVDera quoted for insuring these facilities.  These are
analysed ijfjj^Rf*1* &X of the Appendix.  It was assumed for this analysis
that approximately 70 percent of the value of insurance premiums would
be used for payment of liabilities (SO percent) and associated litigation
costs (20 percent).  As explained in the Appendix, this percentage reflects
normal casualty and property insurance ratios with adjustment for the effect
of lack of actuarial data and relatively high underwriting costs for non-
                                   -23-

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sudden accident*! coverage.  The Agency assumes that the probability of

             .*-"                                                         -
liability ju4|j|ltat« and of bankruptcy for firm* using the test are not


correlated events beeauae the criteria are designed to allow the test to


be used only by large companies with sufficient current assets to satisfy


liabilities in the amount covered by the test.


     The analysis does not consider certain potential economic benefits


associated with financial responsibility requirements.  To the extent


that the requirements result in owners or operators internalizing cost


externalities, in the form of insurance premiums, the price of waste


management will more accurately reflect its true costs*  This higher


price will lead to reduced hazardous waste generation and increased


recycling.


     One important consequence of the above limitations is that the


analysis presented here should not be used as a basis for a cost analysis


of the liability coverage requirements as a whole/ since the methodology


is directed toward identifying relative effects of the various test


alternatives rather than determining absolute costs.


III.  Responses to Comments


     Many o ' the comments pertaining to the use of a financial test for


closure and post-closure care were also relevant to the financial test


for liability ^coverage.   The reader is referred to the background document


for a financial te»t for closure and post-closure care for an overview


of such comments.


     Additional comments, directed specifically to the question of self-


insurance and a test for liability coverage, were also received by the


Agency in response to proposed rules, and the January 12, 1981, interim


final regulation/  which are described in Section IB above.


                                   -24-

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                  inters said self-insurance should be allowed.   Several

                    ranee was a standard practice followed by large

                t£ unnecessary costs.

     By adopting the financial test for liability coverage, the Agency

is allowing those owners or operators who can demonstrate financial

strength through the test to have the choice of self-insuring or purchasing

insurance.  The Agency thus achieves the basic objective of demonstrated

financial responsibility while allowing the flexibility and cost saving*

in providing coverage that many commenters listed as valuable features

of self-insurance.

     Responses to more specific comments are as follows:

1.  Use of The Financial Test for Liability Coverage During Interim Status

     The Hay 19, 1980, proposed rule (45 FR 33273) which would impose a

requirement for liability coverage for sudden accidental occurrences on

interim status facilities but would not allow use of self-insurance to

satisfy the requirement (on the basis that owners or operators already

had or could readily obtain such coverage as part of general liability

policies).  Several comments were received recommending that self-insurance

be allowed during interim status.  One commenter opposed allowing self-insurance

for interim status faciliities.

          •  •Us?~inaurance should be allowed during interim status.

          •  Mffi^inaurance should not be allowed during interim status
             b&rase there will be little incentive for facilities
             to be upgraded until Part B of the permit application has
             been filed, and therefore, there will be a higher risk of
             liability-creating occurrences during interim status.

     The Agency has decided to allow use of the financial test dozing

interim status.  The analysis of the financial test indicates) that it

provides reasonable assurance of financial responsibility and that

                                    -25-

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allowing-~its use- would lead to  a  significant savings in the sum of

direct pdMflB^Fcirivate  coats.

2.  gylt^gJaBijf ^he Financial  Test

     Possible criteria for self-insurance were suggested by a number of

commenters.  Some were included in the  300 combination* of criteria  that:

the Agency evaluated in developing its  financial tests.

          •  The financial test proposed on May 19, 1980, should be  used
             as criteria for self-insurance.

     The May 19, 1980, test was among those that were evaluated in

developing a financial test for liability coverage.  However, the

criteria that were finally selected was found more effective in minimizing'

costs (see Table 1).

          •  Self-insurance for liability during interim statue should bet
             based on a criterion of  working capital two times  the liabil
             requirement plus the non-working-capital requirements of the
             financial test proposed  on May 19, 1980.

          '  The level of  self-insurance should not exceed 10 percent of
             net worth for a single occurrence risk and should  not exceed
             50 percent of net  worth  with respect to aggregate  loss*

     As described in the analysis, a  multiple of six for working capital

and net worth was judged to be  most appropriate and was incorporated in

the financial test.

          •  The criteria  for self-insurance should follow the  industry
             standards currently  in use for conventional liability coverage,
                  as products liability, medical malpractice and other forms
                   Sessional liability.
                     many large firms  are  required by their  existing
             insurance contracts to self-insure up to specified limits, the
             EPA should examine such provisions for  guidance on allowable
             levels of self-insurance.

     The suggested criteria are designed for  the  guidance  of firms In

determining insurance coverage that is affordable and otherwise appropriate

from the viewpoints of individual insureds and insurers.   The EPA's

                                    -26-

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purpose Ha the financial responsibility regulations is somewhat different.

The finaite^Bpift^ to* liability coverage was designed to oe a broadly

applicable ssfeVbre that will provide reasonable assurance) that Injured

parties will be compensated.  Therefore/ the Agency chose to develop

criteria directed to this purpose.

          •  The programs of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation
             should be studied as possible self-insurance criteria.

     The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation has not promulgated self-

insurance criteria as of this date (April 1982).  The EPA did review

self-insurance criteria of several environmentally-related government

programs in the course of developing its financial tests (see Introduction

to background document for the financial test for assurance) of closure

and post-closure care).

3.  Use of Financial Teat for Part of Required Coverage

          •  The criteria used to establish qualifications for self-
             insurance should also apply in determining the use of
             deductible s.

     The Agency agrees with this comment.  Since the deductible is a

form of self-retention, the amount of any deductible that is not covered

by the insurer must be covered by the financial test.  This provision

is included in both the endorsement and certificate of insurance: required

as evidence of insurance.

                 [-insurers should be required if necessary to obtain
                 ixces* insurance contract over and above the acceptable
                 1 of self-insurance.

          •  Firms should be allowed to have a combination of purchased
             insurance and self-insurance.

     The Agency agrees with these comments.  For reasons given in Section

IB, owners or operators are allowed to cover part of the required amount

through the financial test and the rest with insurance.

                                    -27-

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 4.  	
     *^™™^^^•JJ^^^^BPEBHJ^^*

                   insurance is not an option that will be available to
                  1 businesses  with insufficient  equity to pass  the teat/
              and ahould not ba allowed.

     The financial reaponaibility  regulations have  been designed to provide

 assurance of  financial  responsibility while  avoiding unnecessary costs.

 One method of reducing  such costs  is  to  allow the use  of a financial

 test.  The Agency recognizes that  small  owners or operators will be

 unable to use the financial test because of  the  requirement for $10 million

 in tangible net  worth.   For reasons noted in the analysis,  the  Agency

 believes that the net worth requirement  is necessary for adequate assurance of

 coverage.   However, the  Agency will continue to  look for other  approaches!

 that would allow small  owners  or operators who are  financially  strong to

 self-insure.

           •   Owners and  operators  that self-insure  should be required to
              qualify under  the insurance laws  of the State  of their
              domicile.

     The Agency  is not  aware of any State laws covering self-insurance for

 accidental occurrences at hazardous waste facilities and therefore does

 not  find the  suggestion  relevant at this time.

          •   "Pre-funded" self-insurance generally provides more  funds
              than does "pay  as you go" self-insurance.   EPA might require
              "pre-funded" self-insurance.

                 l-insurance  backed by  trust  funds or letters of  credit
                  d be allowed on  an individual  or  group basis.
     The Xgtrnby believes that its current test provides adequate assurance.

A requirement of pre-fvmding or backing by financial instruments would

significantly reduce the cost advantages of the financial test.  Owners

or operators may submit petitions to the Agency proposing alternative

approaches, however.  To enable adequate evaluation, the petitions  should be


                                    -28-

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accompanied by information demonstrating the need for the option ia the

                        description of how it would work, and information

on how it p^pMs* adequate assurance of availability of funds for

liability coverage as specified by the regulations.

          •  Uncertainty concerning the availability of liability insurance
             for nonsudden occurrences compels SPA to allow the regulated
             community wide flexibility in the form of self-insurance*

     EPA has decided to allow a financial test for liability coverage

because it believes the test provides adequate assurance of coverage and

will lower the costs of the regulation.  The considerable recent growth

of the pollution liability insurance market has diminished the signifl

of a possible insurance capacity shortfall as a factor in KPA's declaim

to allow this financial test.
                                    -29-

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             APPENDIX
COST ANALYSIS FOR A FINANCIAL TEST
      FOR LIABILITY COVERAGE

-------
I.  ,INTRODUCTION




     Tnis Jljttjll$Lx~ provide* further detail on the cost analysis for a financial



test for IJ^Ppfekty coverage.  The analysis employed the same methods and




many of the sane assumptions as those used to analyze the costs of a financial




test for closure and post-closure care.  The reader Is referred to the back-




ground document for the financial test for closure and post-closure car*




(November 1981) for a fuller discussion of the methodology and assumptions.



     The types of public and private costs analyzed and the cost model used



were presented In the body of this background document.




     All costs In this background document are presented as annual costs In




real 1980 dollars before taxes.The convention used in measuring private




costs is the change in revenue necessary to leave the profits of a firm



unchanged, which is the convention usually employed in EPA regulatory




analysis.  The most commonly used alternative convention is that of decline




in profits to the firm if it cannot increase revenues.  The disadvantage; to




this approach is that it would then require a third category of costs to be




calculated—costs to States and the Federal government due to losses in



corporate profits tax.
                                   1-1

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II.  Sn0tffe£tt9?VMXABLZS — THE COST ESTIMATING MODEL
                  i ..-

                  'iSCludes a discussion of the equation* used to estimate


public and private costs of insurance, the definitions of the variables


employed, and the values of the variables used in the estimates.  It is


divided into two parts t  Part A presents the suomary equations for computing


the costs of any given financial test and Part B presents the values of


variables employed in the equations and provides brief discussions of why


these values were assumed.  (Section III presents more detailed support for


the values of many of the more important variables used in the analysis


of the financial test for liability coverage.)


     Many of the assumptions are the same as those used in the financial


test for closure and poet-closure care analysis (e.g., the supporting


equations used to compute the value of certain variables used in .Part A


below).  Only assumptions and variables which differ for the analysis of a


test for liability coverage are included in this Appendix.


A.   Summary Equations for Computing Total Annualizcd Costs of Alternative
     Financial Tests for Liability Coverage


     Table II-1 presents the formulae used in calculating total annualized


direct public and private costs associated with alternative financial


tests for liability coverage for firms of greater than $10 million in


net worth ••^independently audited.  The constant terms represent the


costs assweflK^&at all firms of over $10 million in net worth that are


independently audited use either the financial test for liability coverage


or private insurance and go bankrupt at the failure rate, P.  Ac with the

                                                                    *
costs of closure and post-closure financial responsibility, to determine


the actual costs associated with any given test, the constants were adjusted

-------
to reflect the percentage of viable firm* that pas* a given te«t




and the aaijjir-ct ~tLrm» per 10,000 that pass a given test that will go




bankrupt witS»»t providing insurance coverage (E).
              »



B.   Value* of Variables Used in the Model




     Table* II-2 and and II-3 present the value* of variable* used in esti-




mating the cost* discussed in this model.  Table IX-2 describe* the variables




that remain constant regardless of the type of hazardous waste facility con-




sidered/ and Table II-3 shows the variables that do change according to the




type of facility.




     It is assumed that 30 percent of the funds needed for liability clais*




can be recovered from bankrupt firm*.  This mean* that 70 percent will not




be recovered and thus will be left a* direct costs  to the public.  This)




factor is applied to bankrupt firms that use the test a* evidence of financial




assurance for liability coverage.  The basis for this estimate is given in




Section III.
                                    II-2

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                                                        TABLE I1-1


                       FORMULAE FOR CALCULATING TOTAL ANNUALIZED COSTS OF ALTERNATIVE FINANCIAL
                         MECHANISMS FOR LIABILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR ALL FIRMS WITH GREATER THAN
                                  $10 MILLION IN NET WORTH AND INDEPENDENTLY AUDITED
   Type of Cost
     Formula
                              Value of Constant Term
Public Costs due to
Failure of Firms
Using Insurance
Public Costs due to
Failure of Firms
Using Financial Test
Private Costs of
Liability Coverage
with, Financial Test
Private Costs of
Insurance
      >,ooo  /F-AI

            \F
F-ANBE \
   Ni    F
1      10,000
    45,000
                                  10,000
16,952,000
2
 1
                          C)
23,945,000
                           Sum of Public Costs If all
                           facilities use Insurance
                                        Sum of  Public Costs  If  all
                                        facilities were  self-Insured
                          Sum of Private Costs  If  all
                          firms self-Insure
                                        Sum of  Insurance  Premiums  If
                                        all firms  use Insurance
 Notat  See next pa90 for definitions of variables
                                                        II-!

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                DEFINITIONS OP VARIABLES USED IN TAB^E. II-1
                   g* of viable firms that pass a given financial te*t

C,      *  Private costs of auditor's special report/facility/year

E       »  Number of firms per 10,000 that pass a given financial test
           that will go bankrupt without providing insurance coverage
F       •  Failure rate for all firms to which analysis ia applied,
           measured in number of firms per 10,000

i       «  Subscript for facility class (storage, surface impoundment,
           land disposal, incinerator)

I       -  Private costs of insurance (premiums)/facility/year

N       *  Number of facilities owned by firms with $10 million in net
           worth and independently audited

Rj      *  Share of liability judgments not recovered from bankruptcy
           proceedings

Sj      -  Private costs of liability coverage, with financial test/
           facility/year

Wj      *  Liability judgments to be recovered from bankruptcy if a
           firm fails using insurance/facility

WSI     *  Liability judgments to be recovered from bankruptcy if a
           firm fails using financial test/facility
                                    II-4

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                                 TABLE II-2



                  FOR VARIABLES THKT DO NOT VARY BY FACILITY TYPE
Private costs (thousands of dollars)  of auditor's  special
 report/facility/year  (C^)1                                    »  .075

Failure rate for all firms to Whidi analysis  is  applied  (F)2     *  .0022

Share of liability judgments not recovered from
  bankruptcy proceedings (Rj)3
.7
     a nor* detailed discussion of this variable, see Section III of
 Appendix Bjjgfcthe Background Document for a financial test for closure
 and  ost-dn* car*.
2For a nor* ^Mailed discussion of this variable, see Appendix A, of the
 Background Document for a financial  test for closure and post-closure care.

3For a itore detailed discussion of this variable, see Section in of this
 Appendix.
                                    II-5

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                                 TABLE II-3
                   EONS WHICH VARY ACOOIOINS TO TYPE OF FACILITY*
                       red in thousands of 1980 dollars per year)
'
Assumptions
1) Number of facilities (N)
(17% of total
facilities)
2) Private costs of insurance
(premiums ) /facility /year
(I)
3) Private costs, with
financial test/facility/
year (SI)

4) Liability judgments to be
recovered from bankruptcy
if a firm fails using
financial teat/facility
5) Liability judgments to be
recovered from bankruptcy
if a firm fails using
insurance/facility (Wj)

Storage
1,292


1.5


1.05



1.875



.375



FacilJ
Incinerators
153


3.0


2.1



3.75



.75



* ^^^^^^^^^^H^^^
Lty Type
Surface
Impoundments
680


19.5


13.65



24.375


•
4.875



•^^^^••^^^^^•^•w
Land
Disposal
425


19.5


13.65


9
24.375 |
;
*

4.875



*More detailed discussions on the valui
 in Section III of this Appendix.
of these variables may be found
                                   II-6

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     .The'failure rate for firms of over $10 million in tangible net worth •

is estiaat«4|f» be 22 p«r 10,000 (see Appendix A of the background document

for the finsjpsial test for closure and post-closure care).  The total

number of bankruptcies among this group of firms is assumed to be constant

regardless of the financial test used, thus if the failure rate for firms

passing a given financial test falls below 22 per 10,000, the failure rate

for firms which fail the test will become higher to maintain the same

overall result.
                                   i
     The average cost of an auditors special report (required annually for

firms using the financial test) is estimated at $300 per year.  AssoscLng

that the average firm has four facilities the par-facility annual cost is

$75.  (See Appendix B of previous background document for further diecussi4$
                                                                           r
of these estimates.)

     It has been conservatively estimated that firms of greater than $10

million in net worth own 50 percent of all hazardous waste facilities.

Of the 50 percent of all facilities owned by firms of greater than $10

million in net worth, 34 percent are independently audited.  The total

population of facilities evaluated in this cost analysis is assumed to be

2,550, composed of 1,292 storage facilities, 153 incinerators, 680 surface

impoundments, and 425 landfills.  The basis for these estimates is dis-

cussed in Affjsadix B of the previous background document.
            -~h
     Cost* 4Br each type of facility were developed separately for costs of

premiums, costs of liability coverage among users of the financial test, and

value of judgments to be recovered froa owners or operators in bankruptcy.

These estimates are discussed in the next section.
                                   II-7

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III".  VALUES OF MAJOR VODSL VARIABLES          _ ;                          •


      This action discusses major model variables specific to the financial

            *£•
test for liaMlity coverage


A.   Value f or RT (Share of Liability Judgments not Recovered from Bankruptcy
     Proceedings)


     The Agency reviewed legal steps involved in the two major bankruptcy


procedures — liquidation and reorganization.  This section provides an


estimate of the rate of recovery likely for claims in bankruptcy proceed-


ings against an owner or operator using the financial test for liability.


(For further detail see Appendix B of the background document for the financial


test for closure and post-closure care.)


     If judgment against an owner or operator is obtained but not satisfied?


prior to the bankruptcy of the owner or operator/ the judgment would represent


a claim in the bankruptcy case.  Such a claim could be a low-priority unsecured


claim, or it could be secured by a lien against property of the owner or


operator.  The Agency estimates that recovery in liquidation or reorganization


proceedings would range from 20 to 50 percent.


     However/  securing a judgment of liability against an owner or operator


who resisted could easily take several years (see paragraph B3 below).  It


is very likely that if the bankruptcy proceeding were initiated before


judgment was obtained, the effort to secure a judgment would be stayed by the


bankruptcy court.  An attempt to obtain a lien to secure a judgment would


also be stayed.  In these cases recovery in bankruptcy would be reduced in


priority.  Although a liability claim/ if stayed, could survive the discharge


in bankruptcy/ it is unlikely that assets would be available at a later date

-------
to satisfy it*  The Agency believes a reasonable estimate of  the percentage*


of recoverjfi^pxally on liabilities of owners or operators using the
I
financial tfMFVho enter bankruptcy is approximately 30  percent.   Therefore,
              *

the value for Rj (the share of liability judgments  not recovered from bankruptcy


proceedings) is equal to .7.


B.   LiabilityRelated Costs



     1.  Value for I (Private costs of insurance premiums/facility/year)


         Insurance premiums will vary depending on  the type  of  facility in



question, the type and quantity of wastes managed,  the design and construction


of the facility, the geology of the site, its location (e.g., proximity to



aquifers, surface waters, residences), management practices,  past operating


experience, and amount of the deductible.  The Agency developed estimated



premium costs for required coverages as shown in Table III-1.   To check on


the current adequacy of the estimates, the Agency reviewed them with several


insurance industry representatives in April 1982.   All agreed they were



adequate as representative premium costs, although, as noted above, numerous


factors affect the level of any specific premium.   (These  reviewers, were:


Kenneth Goldstein of Swett and Crawford, Peter Gerken of Johnson  and Biggins



(brokers), and James Macdonald of Munich American Reinsurance Company.)



     Typically insurance for sudden accidental occurrences is part of genera]


liability IflHKajtce and its cost is not identified  separately.  To estimate



the cost of fpjjnrance specifically for sudden accidental occurrences at


hazardous waste facilities, the estimated premium cost of  adding such



coverage to gradual pollution coverage was used.
                                   III-2

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     For * fftfP with several facilities, per-facility- premium costs would be

less if a sSspfct policy covered all facilities.  Because of the difficulty

of determining'to what extent separate facilities owned by the same firm

will  be included on one policy, estimates of premiums are based on the

assumption that separate policies would be used for each facility.

     2.  Value for Sr (Private costs of the financial test for liability
         coverage

         The coats of satisfying the liability requirements through the

financial test are dependent upon what portion of the costs of insurance

premiums would be spent by the firm whether or not it purchased insurance*

The basic elements in premium costs and the estimated percentages) of pretaiusi

costs for each of these elements are shown in Table III-2.                 ^
                                                                           f
     These estimates are extremely uncertain due to the almost complete eteence

of actuarial data or claims history for pollution insurance policies.  Fox

normal property and liability insurance, payment of claims represents from

60 to 70 percent of premium costs (A.M. Best Company data, 1974*80).  The

percentage of premium costs used for the payment of claims arising from

accidents at hazardous waste facilities was estimated by EPA at 50 percent

because pollution insurance has unusually high underwriting costs, and in

the absence of data is perceived as risky.  About 20 percent of premiums is

estimated fcq£ 1*9*1 defense and claims adjustment and another 30 percent for

profit and administrative costs.
                                    III-3

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                                 TABLE III-1    •     - - '

                      PREMIUMS FOR MEETING LIABILITY REQUIREMENTS
                     (thousands of 1980 dollars per year)
Facility Type
Storage
Surface Impoundment
Landfill
Incinerator
Sudden
Accidental
Coverage
1.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
'
Nonsudden
Accidental
Coverage
0'
16.5
16.7
0'
Total Premium*
Required by
Regulation
1.5
19.5
19.5
3.0
1The regulations do not require storage and incinerator facilities to carry
nonsudden accidental coverage.
                                    III-4

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    -»*.
        TABLE III-2   ~

ELEMENTS OF INSURANCE OOSTS
      Element*
                              Estimated
                              Percentage
                              of
Claim* Paid

Legal Defense and Claim* Adjustment

Underwriting and Inspections I
Other Administration Sales   |
Profit                       >
Risk Premiums                I
                                  50%

                                  20%



                                   30%
                            III-5

-------
   •  A firm that- chose to use the financial  test would have  to bear the
               .± ™                             '     . - '  •
cost* assoo&fCM with paying liability claims and with legal defense and
            •r^~
claims adjusAseinit*   It would not have  to  bear the costs associated with the

remainder of the cost elements.   Thus, the cost of satisfying liabilities)

among users of the financial test would be 70 percent of insurance premiums.

Table II1-3 provides estimates of the  costs  of the financial test based on

the estimates of premiums shown in Table  III-1 and the assumption that 70

percent of these costs must be borne by the  firm if  it use*  the financial

test for liability coverage.

     3.  Values for Wej (Liability judgments to be recovered fron bankruptcy
         proceedings if a firm fails using financial test/facility/year) and
         WT (Liability judgments to be recovered from bankruptcy proceedings
         if a firm fails using insurance/facility/year)


     In order to quantify potential public costs, it was assumed that,

for firms using the financial test, all liabilities  over a period of

2 1/2 years prior to bankruptcy would  be  dealt with  in bankruptcy proceedings.

The Agency believes 2 1/2 years is a reasonable estimate of  the average

time elapsed before liabilities are satisfied.  The  average  tine from

initiation of a case to judgment in U.S.  district courts is  about 20 months

for cases that go to trial (e.g., data for year ending June  1981).  Two and

a half years allows a further margin of 10 months for collection and possible

appeals and tag- variation in State courts.   Since amounts of liabilities

are assumed tfO> be one-half of premium values, the liabilities to be covered

are calculated as 2.5 multiplied by one-half of annual premium values.  Tn«

results of this calculation are shown  in Table  III-4.
                                    III-6

-------
                            TABLE III-3

              COSTS OP LIABILITY COVERAGE WITH FINANCIAL TEST
              (ia thousands of 1980 dollars per year)
 Type of Facility
              Per-Facility Costs
  for $1M/2M in Sudden Accidental Coverage
and $3M/6M for Nonsudden Accidental Coverac
Storage

Surface Impoundment

Land Disposal

Incinerator
                   1.05

                  13.65

                  13.65

                   2.10
                               III-7

-------
     For aMttj&or operators using conventional insurance,  it was assumed



that all frrijKpfe* outstanding up to 6 months of bankruptcy would be paid.



Coverage all the way up to bankruptcy was not assumed for the following




reasons.  As bankruptcy becomes imminent, the quality of operation and




maintenance of facilities may deteriorate.   Insurance may be cancelled




or not renewed because of such deterioration or in anticipation of it.



The owner or operator himself may not continue insurance coverage) due to




lack of funds as he nears bankruptcy.  Assuming again that judgments are




one-half of premiums, the estimates of public costs with insurance are .5




multiplied by one-half of the yearly premium values.  This result is also



shown in Table III-4.
                                    IXX-8

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                             TABLE III-J

                .T5T JUDGMENTS TO BE RECOVERED IF A FIRM FAILS'
               (In thousand* of 1980 dollars per year)
  Type of Facility
   If Firm Fails
Uaing Financial Test
 If Firm Fails
Using Insurance
Storage

Surface Impoundment

Land Disposal

Incinerator
      1.875

     24.375

     24.375

      3.750
     .375

    4.875

    4.875

     .750

-------
 IV.   RESUUfl* OK THE COST MODEL  FOR LIABILITY  KEQUIPEMENTS




 A.    DinHAc and  Private  Costa




                lists the annual public and private costs associated with




 selected  financial tests derived by applying  the  values of the variables




 to the  cost  model described in  Sections II and III.  The tests either have




 a one-year or a three-year eligibility requirement as indicated in the Table.




      Table IV-1 shows that not  allowing a financial test for liability coverage




 or choosing  the most stringent  test, Test 139 (one-year), will minimize




 direct  public costs.  These two options result in direct public costs of




 $9,000  as compared with $25,000 in direct public coats for Test 100 (an*-ys*r)




 and $40,000  and $43,000 for the Ability to Pay Test with a three-y«*rr«nd




 one-year eligibility requirement, respectively.                    .




      However, direct public costs are dwarfed by the private costs  associated'




 with  the various alternatives.  The Ability to Pay Test minimizes the sum of




 direct public and private costs, whether a one or three-year eligibility




 requirement  is imposed.   The Ability to Pay Test with a one-year requirement




 is somewhat  less costly than the Ability to Pay Test with the three-year




 eligibility  requirement (a difference of $66,000).




     The Ability to Pay Test (one-year) is significantly less costly than




any other test in .terras of. the sum of direct public and private costs,




 saving $1JlfriO  annually over the May 19,  1980 Test (one-year)  and




$6,959,OOrapWr  ths Insurance Only option.  If Test 100 (one-year) .is




adopted rather than the Ability to Pay Test (one-year), $18,000 per year




 La annual  direct public costs will be saved At a cost to the regulated




i-ommunity  of  $279,000.
                                     IV-1

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                                                  TABLE IV-1
PERFORMANCE AND DIRECT PUBLIC AMD PRIVATE COST!  OP  ALTERNATIVE FINANCIAL TESTS POM LIABILITY  REQUIREMENTS rOR
            OWNERS OR OPERATORS WITH AT LEMT  $10 Million IN NET WORTH AMD PUBLICLT AUDITED
                                  {In thousand*  of  IfSO dollar* par yaar)







Taat
Description
~
I naur «nc«
Only
139
125
138
127
138
151
134
136
.135
149
136
137
ft .
146 fc
iifcj^i**
•llMHDb
IsBMBiHrw^
•fflnt to
Paf Taat
May 19.
1900_Taat
|Tha Nuaibar of |
JFiraa Par j



Eligibility
Raqulraaant
(ona-yaar or
hthraa-yaar)
1
NA
































3

1

I1
10,000 that |Tha Par-
Paaa tha Taat jcantaga of
and go Bank- (Non-bank-
rupt without |rupt PI ma
Providing (that can
Inauranca
Covaraga (E)
1
NA

0
1.
1.
1.
2.
3 .
4.
5.
5.
6.
7.
9.
Q
9.













10. 1

18.4

20.2

15.7
paaa tha
Taat 

0

49
56
64
67
76
77
79
82
S3
87
89
92
93
95
96

99

100

90



Dlract
••bile Coata
Daa to Pall-
•ra of Plraa
Ualng Finan-
cial Taat

0









10
11
IS
IS
IS
20
20

38

42

L 32
i i

Dlract
1
Privata

Public (Coat of (Prlvata
Coeta Daa (Liability (Coat of
to rallaraJTotal (Covaraga (Liability
of Plraia (Dlractj with jcovaraga
Ualng
Inanranca

9



























5
5
"
2

1

3
Public
Coat

9

9
11
11
11
12
14
16
16
17
IS
21
24
23
25
25

40

43

35
Financial
Taat'

0

8,306
9,491
10,849
11,158
12,884
13,053
13,392
13,901
14,070
14,740
15,087
15,596
15,765
16,184
with In-
aaranca

21.945

12,212
10.516











•
,310
.902
.747
,507
.028
,310
.071
.11)
,6)4
.916
.676
.197
16,171 1 958
'*M>W- v:
10. VfRfflMlf*' 2)9
\ T"^"*'
16, Ml 1 0
1
16,612 | 478
1 1
1
1
(•«• of
JDlract
(Public
Total 1 and
Prlvataj Privataj
Coat (Coata
T~ 1
23.945) 23,954)
1 1
20.518) 20,5271
20.029) 20.0191
19,489) 19,4801
19,260) 19,2711
18.631) 18.6431
18,560) t8,674|
18,420) 18.4361
18.211) 18,227|
18,141) 18,1581
17,861) 17.S79|
17,721) 17.7421
17.512) 17.5161
17,441) 17.467|
17,101) 17,1261
17,231) 17,256|
1
17,021) 17.061)
1 1
16.9S2| 16,995)
1
17,092) 17,127)
                1 Tha Nay  19,  19SO propoaad  taat  had a ona-yaar allglblllty raqulraaant.
                2 Coat  Includaa  liability  Judojranta,  aattlananta,  lagal defanaa and accountanta*  raporta.
                3 Coat  refar*  to pra>lu«a  which  covar liability judqaianta, aattlaaianta  and  lagal  dafanaa.
                                                     IV-2

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B.  '




     A WBjBBBBBsVir analysis was performed to determine how sensitive the

         ""^'•'


results  fis^VsPfcft&lity to Pay Test (one-year) were to  the assumptions of



the Model.  The result* of this analysis are shown in Table XV-2.  Like




the sensitivity analyses in Section IV.B. and IV.C. of the Background




Document for a financial test for closure and post-closure care, the Table



records  for each major cost eleaent and for total direct public and private



costs of various tests, the percentage change in costs required to make a



given test dominant over the Ability to Pay Test (one-year), that is, to




make it the test that minimizes the sum of direct public and private costs.




The three alternative tests examined are "Insurance Only,* Test 100 (one-year)


                                                                          r
with a $10 million net worth requirement, and the Ability to Pay Test     T\
                                                                          * -
                                                                          •k.
                                                                          fc.

(three-year).




     These results show that the finding that the Ability to Pay Test (one-year),



is the test which minimizes the sum of public and private costs, is remarkably



insensitive to changes in most cost assumptions.  Only a marked increase in




the private costs associated with the use of the financial test or a decrease



in the private costs of insurance could seriously affect this result.  How-



ever, the magnitude of the changes required makes such an effect .




unlikely.
                                     IV-3

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                                                       TABLE IV-2


                               SENSITIVITY  OP THE  ABILITY TO PAY TEST (ONE-YEAR) AS THE TEST
                               THAT MINIMIZES THE SUM OP DIRECT PUBLIC  AND PRIVATE COSTS OF
                                 LIABILITY REQUIREMENTS TO  ASSUMPTIONS  OP THE  COST MODEL

1
(Percentage Change1 (Percentage Change
1

1
Percentage Change!

' (Required in Direct (Required in Direct | (Required in (Percentage (Percentage
(Public Coeta Due (Public Coats Due (Percentage Change (Private Coats of (Change Re- ' (Change Re-
jto Failure of (to Failure of (Required in Total (Liability Cover- (quired in (quired in
Test (Pins Using Finan-j Fins Using (Direct Public
Description
Insurance Only

Test 100 ($10
«Lllion in net
worth; one-
year)
Ability to P,ay
Test (three-
year)
icial Test
16,569

1,186



1,650


Insurance
Completely
Insensitive
.
Completely
Insensitive


Completely
Insensitive

|Costs
20,467

1,450



2,200


age with Pi nan- (Private Costs (Total Pri-
Icial Test
41

38



39


|of Insurance
-29

•
-27



. -28


vate Costs
-99

-94



-96


    percentage change required for any given cost e levant represent* the percentage change in costs required for
all tests to change the choice of test which sd.niad.zes the sue) of direct public and private costs.

-------
                          do not take into account the effect of the required


                         capital and net worth in reducing the number of


firms greater than $10 million in tangible net worth and independently audited


that could pass a given financial test. (The effect of the multiples) is also


not considered in the analysis of the test for closure and post-clcemre care.)..


These multiples can be expected to reduce significantly the number of firms


which can pass a test for the entire amount of required coverage.  However,


the relative positions of the tests with respect to reducing cost* would not


be affected since the multiples are incorporated in all the tests*


     The analysis of this section has been conducted on the Mmwfeii
firms will always choose the least expensive alternative.  However*


firms that could use the financial test may choose to buy insurance) for
                                                                        w

advantages of avoiding risks and uneven cash flow*.  Such choices might


greatly change the estimates of costs associated with using the test.  Like


the multiples requirements* however, they would not affect the relative


standing of the tests in minimizing costs.
                                     IV-5

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