EPA-AA-IMG-85-6 Technical Report Tech IV Credit Model: Estimates for Emission Factors and Inspection and Maintenance Credits for 1981 and Later Vehicles for MOBILES by David J. Brzezinski October 1985 NOTICE Technical Reports do not necessarily represent final EPA decisions or positions. They are intended to present technical analysis of issues using data which are currently available. The purpose in the release of such reports is to facilitate the exchange of technical information and to inform the public of technical developments which may form the basis for a final EPA decision, position or regulatory action. Technical Support Staff Emission Control Technology Division Office of Mobile Sources Office of Air and Radiation U. S. Environmental Protection Agency- ------- Table of Contents 1.0 Background 2.0 Overview of Method 3.0 Vehicle Sample 3.1 Estimates for Normal Emitters 3.2 Estimates for High Emitters 3.3 Estimates for Super Emitters 3.4 Combined Deterioration Equations 4.0 Inspection and Maintenance Benefits 4.1 Short Test Data 4.2 I/M Short Test Errors of Commission and Omission 4.3 I/M Short Test Identification Rates 4..4 Effects of I/M 5.0 The Tech IV Credit Model References Figures Tables Appendix ------- 1.0 BACKGROUND The Tech IV Credit Model is used to estimate the emission factor equations and the effects of Inspection and Maintenance (I/M) programs for 1981 and later passenger cars (Tech IV) stored in the EPA MOBILES emission factor' model. MOBILE3 is used to estimate future fleetwide emission -levels of highway mobile sources; There were two primary reasons for the development of the Tech IV Credit Model. First, the nature of the technology used to control emissions from 1981 and later passenger cars produce the random occurrence of vehicles whose emissions are many times the average emissions of the sample would not be properly accounted for using a simple regression through the existing data as is done to predict emission levels for all pre-1981 model year passenger cars in MOBILE3. Secondly, there was. a need to estimate the impact of I/M programs on the emission levels of these vehicles for MOBILES. MOBILE2, EPA's previous model, also used a modeling process to estimate the Tech IV emission factorstl]*. This was necessary primarily because of the lack of data from vehicles which resembled the technology types expected to be commonly used in future years at the time MOBILE2 was completed. The MOBILES version of the Tech IV Credit Model makes use of the existing data sample of 1166 1981 and later vehicles. Each technology type is examined separately. The results are then combined into a final model year specific emission factor used in MOBILES. The emission factors for high-altitude areas used in MOBILES were also computed using a model similar to the model discussed in this report. A complete documentation of the differences between that model and this will be addressed in a separate report. *Numbers in brackets refer to references listed at the end of the report. ------- -2- 2.0 OVERVIEW OF METHOD The technology used to meet the more stringent emission standards beginning with the 1981 model year is continuing to change. While many manufacturers have utilized computer controls since 1981, others did not adopt them product-wide until more recently, especially in response to the 1984 all-altitude requirement. Also, more and more manufacturers are moving toward fuel injection. An EPA contractor has estimated the changes in technology over time into the future based on discussions with the major vehicle manufacturers [2]. Based on these forecasts it was felt that the Tech IV Credit Model should predict the emission levels of each distinct technology separately and then combine the results based on the fraction of the vehicle fleet predicted to use each technology in each model year group. In addition, vehicles receiving the CO waiver in 1981 or 1982 would be treated separately from non-waiver vehicles and the results of these two groups would be weighted together in those model years when waivers were issued. The MOBILE2 version of the Tech IV Credit Model divided the sample into .two emission level categories. This concept was retained and expanded in the MOBILES version. The most obvious division was between the majority of the vehicles and the outliers. Four vehicles with extremely high hydrocarbon (HC) and carbon monoxide (CO) emissions were identified in the sample [3]. These four vehicles are therefore treated separately. There remained many vehicles with high HC and CO emission levels which could not be statistically identified as outliers, but whose emission levels would likely be affected by an I/M program. As a result, the remaining sample was divided into two groups representing vehicles with generally acceptable emissions and those vehicles with higher than normal emission levels. Further sections of this report will discuss these divisions in more detail. The general approach of the Tech IV Credit Model is to obtain statistical information about the emission levels of each division by emission standard and technology and to predict the emission levels of that division at any specified age measured by mileage. All divisions are then weighted together based on the predicted size of each division for each model year group. The resultant emission level predictions when plotted versus mileage are nearly linear. For simplicity, MOBILE3 uses a linear input for the emission factor equation. Therefore, a linear equation is fit to the emission levels versus mileage for each model year group using a weighted regression. The. weighting is determined by the vehicle mileage contribution of each age to the vehicle lifetime mileage accumulation. Further sections in this report will discuss each of these processes in more detail. ------- -3- As described in the following pages, the method just described was repeated for the overall FTP (Federal Test Procedure.) emission results and for each of the three "bags" of the FTP separately. The separate bag results are heeded in MOBILES to correctly adjust for varying percentages of'operation in the modes represented by the three bags. In order to estimate I/M credits for these vehicles it was assumed that the emission levels of vehicles after repair would, on average, resemble the emissions of the division of the sample with acceptable emissions. Since not all vehicles with acceptable emission levels would pass their applicable EPA certification standards, this does not assume that all repaired vehicles will pass certification standards after repair. The estimation of the emissions of the fleet for the I/M case, therefore, resembles the process for estimating the non-I/M emissions except that some portion of the fraction of vehicles normally assumed to be outliers or in need of maintenance would instead be attributed to the category of vehicles with acceptable emission levels. Once all of the categories had been weighted together, the non-I/M case. and I/M program case for each age are compared and the reduction in emissions expressed as a percent. This percent reduction in exhaust emissions is stored in MOBILES and used to estimate the reduction in the emission factors due to I/M. I/M credits were calculated and stored only for the overall FTP, not for individual bags. Further sections in this report will discuss this process in more detail. ------- -4- • 3.0 VEHICLE SAMPLE On April 19, 1984, the Emission Factor Program (EF) data base included 1380 light-duty gasoline vehicles (LDGV) that had been built and certified to the current Federal NOx-standard of 1.0 grams per mile" (gm/mi). This data set is updated relative to the data presented at the February 14, 1984 MOBILES workshop. It includes an additional 222 data records from further testing as part of the 1984 Emission Factor Program. The data include 137 1980 model year California cars certified to the •0.41/9.0/1.0 gm/mi (HC, CO and NOx) standard. These cars although representative of the advanced catalyst technologies under consideration are also the first cars made according to the tighter NOx emission standard. These vehicles may represent more of a prototype technology unrepresentative .of current trends. They were too numerous to ignore, but too suspect to include without guestion. Therefore, they were included where their numbers were needed most, in the estimates of the deterioration slopes, but nowhere else. Also included in the data were five vehicles which were certified to the California standards which did not require the use of a catalyst. These vehicles do not represent any technology expected to be used in the 1981 and later model year fleet. These vehicles were therefore not used in the model. Seven vehicles were certified to a 2.0 gm/mi NOx standard. These vehicles were granted waivers which were still available to certain manufacturers. These vehicles were left in the analysis to account for waiver vehicles. One California vehicle with a problem in the computer control module was excluded from the analysis because the manufacturer claimed to have eliminated the potential for this problem through a design change. Visibly tampered vehicles were excluded from the analysis. The Emission Factor Program vehicles were examined for emissions system tampering. Not all forms of tampering yield significant exhaust emissions increases. Tampering of the air pump system, catalyst removal, misfueling of catalyst equipped cars with leaded gasoline and EGR system disablements were considered reasons for removal from the data. There were 87 vehicles (6%) identified with such tampering in the EF program passenger car sample. All 87 tampered cars were removed from the sample used in the analysis. MOBILE3 adjusts the emission levels predicted by the Tech IV Credit Model to reflect the emission impact of tampering separately. The total non-tampered LDGV analysis data base includes 1292 records. Of these, 126 are 1980 model year California certified cars. The California cars were only used in the estimate of the deterioration slopes. The vehicles used in the analysis are described by model year, technology and emissions standards in Table 1 and Table 2. ------- -5- In general, the randomized EF selection procedures tend to minimize data clumping by technology, manufacturer and mileage,* but there is a probable correlation between model year and mileage. As a result, the emission level prediction for deterioration versus mileage assumes that newer model year vehicles will 'obtain similar emission levels as older model year vehicles when they reach similar mileage levels. All of the outliers observed in the sample were 1981 model year cars. Another apparent trend, the decreases in emissions in succeeding years, is due in part to the decreasing mean mileage associated with successive model years. The significance of these trends is limited by the lack of 1982 and later model year vehicles in the critical 3.4 gm/mi CO standard case, a factor that becomes even more important when the data are further divided into appropriate catalyst technology categories. For purposes of the model, all vehicles in the sample which were not judged outliers were divided into two groups. The first group represents vehicles with accept .ble emission levels. The second group represents vehicles with higher emission levels. The first group of "normal emitting" vehicles will subsequently be referred to in this report simply as "Normals". All non-outlier vehicles in the sample not judged to be Normals will be referred to as "Highs". The outliers themselves will be referred to as "Supers". Each of these emission level groups will be discussed in more detail in the following sections. 3.1 Estimates for Normal Emitters One of the major reasons for dividing the sample into Normals and Highs is to assist in the modeling of I/M programs. In the model, any vehicle in the sample whose FTP emissions are greater than 1.5 gm/mi HC or 20 gm/mi CO is considered a High emitter. This level best divides the sample into Normals which tend to pass short tests and Highs which tend to fail short tests. There are a total of 1219 Normal emitters among the non-tampered LDGV sample. The emission levels of the Normals are described in Table 1. They are distributed by technology and model year standards as shown in Table 2. On the basis of preliminary analyses, these normal emitters were divided into three principal related technology groups: closed loop (CLLP), open loop (OPLP), and oxidation catalyst only (Oxid). Then, *Some specially recruited high mileage cars tend to introduce a bi-modality with respect to mileage. ------- bag-by-bag and combined-FTP deterioration factors (slopes) were determined for each by means of linear regression with respect to mileage using dummy variables specific to technology, model year and the CO emission standard. This procedure determines a best fit slope for each combination of technologies, minimizing the effects of coincidental technology, model year and emission standard correlations with mileage. All of the data, including the 1980 model year California data, were used in these regressions. The resulting deterioration factors are listed in Table 3. Normal emitter zero-mile intercepts were calculated for the various technology and model year-emission standard subcases using the subcase mean emissions, En/ and mean mileages, M, and the appropriate deterioration factors (DFn)as follows, ZMn = En - DFn * M. The 1980 model year California certified cars were excluded from the calculation of zero-mile intercepts. This left 1105 normal emitting vehicles upon which to base the estimates of the zero-mile intercepts shown in Table 4. Since there are no outliers with regards to oxides of nitrogen (NOx) emissions and since I/M programs are not assumed to result in repairs that significantly affect NOx, all vehicles in the sample are considered Normal emitters with regards to NOx emissions. The NOx emission zero mile intercepts for Normals therefore are based on the total non-tampered sample of 1166 vehicles. Also, the following discussions of Highs and Supers, therefore, do not apply to NOx emissions. 3.2 Estimates for High Emitters • High emitters are defined here as those light-duty vehicles that either have FTP-HC emissions greater than 1.5 gm/mi or have FTP-CO emissions greater than 20 gm/mi and which are not outliers. These vehicles tend to fail the I/M short tests. They are not otherwise special and other choices for FTP cutoff levels have been shown to yield essentially equal estimates of emissions deterioration when used in the model. The particular cutpoints used were chosen such that the majority of all vehicles failing the I/M short tests would be considered High emitting vehicles for purposes of the model.. There is no comparable group for NOx since all vehicles are considered Normal emitters for NOx emissions. The proportion of High-emitters observed in the sample is not uniform but rather increases with increasing mileage. Overall, the data would be fit by the following linear regression: Wh = -0.00973 + 0.027597 * M ------- -7- The equation becomes positive at 3,500 miles, a small offset from the origin which is not significant. The equation equals 0.128 (12.8%) at 50,000 and 0.266 (26.6%) at 100,000 miles. As explained below, this single overall linear fit was not used in the model. The 57 High emitters are distributed by technology, model year and emission standard as shown in Table 2. They are not equally distributed by technology, and therefore, separate estimates of Wh for the High-Emitters have been made for closed-loop carbureted (CLLP/Carb), closed-loop fuel injected (CLLP/FI), open-loop 3-way catalyst (OPLP) and pure oxidation catalyst (Oxid) cars. The closed-loop fuel-injection category of cars is especially important because it is projected to dominate sales by 1986. However, there were only 122 of them in the sample at the time of this analysis. Therefore for purposes of determining the emission levels and other characteristics of CLLP/FI Highs, this category has been augmented by including as CLLP/FI equivalents, any CLLP/Carb (Normal or High) whose emission failure was not due to carburetor problems. We have assumed for purposes of the model that the proportion of High emitters will increase in a piece-wise linear fashion from the origin. There is reason to suspect that beyond 50,000 miles, the "useful" life of passenger cars for certification purposes, that the rate of increase in the number of High emitters will increase. This increase would be due to loss of warranty coverage and general poor maintenance given to used cars by owners. Therefore, the model assumes that beyond 50,000 miles the rate of increase of the Highs will double. The model uses a two-stage equation to predict the proportion of vehicles in a fleet which will have high emissions. The equation expresses the proportion as a linear function of the average odometer mileage of the vehicles. It has two segments to accomodate the assumed change in the rate of increase of the occurrence of High emitters as the vehicles age. The following assumptions are used. -There are no High emitters at zero miles, but vehicles start to become High emitters as soon as they are driven. -The boundary, or "kink", between the segments should occur at 50,000 miles. This assumption is based on the .common definition of the "useful life" of a vehicle. -The slope of the segment which follows the kink is twice that of the first segment. This assumption reflects the increased wear and possibly less diligent maintenance of older vehicles, which would cause than to become High emitters at an increased rate. ------- -8- With these assumptions in place, the function is as follows: f(x) = ox (x _< 5) f(x) = 2ox-5 (x > 5) where: f(x) is the proportion of high emitters in the fleet at mileage level, x. x is the odometer mileage ( x 10k miles). a is the slope of the first segment. Note that only one value, a, is needed to complete the function. The least-sguares method was used to find a value of a which allows the function to best describe the behavior of each technology subset in the sample. The method was applied as follows: E is the error term, in this case it is a function of a. i denotes an individual vehicle in the set. Y is a variable which indicates the emission category of vehicle i. Y = l if emissions are "high", 0 if emissions are normal. b denotes the - group of vehicles with mileages less than or egual to 50,000 (x £ 5). c denotes the group of vehicles with .mileages greater than 50,000 (x > 5) . The eguation for the error would be as follows: E* = I(fUi) - Yi)2 - 5a - Y4 ) 2 To find the value of a where E2 (and, thus, the error E) is minimized, the value which causes the derivative, dEz/da, to-be zero must be found. ------- -9- dE2/da = ^(axj - Y^Xi + I2(2axt - 5a - Yt)(2xt- 5) 5 c lXl + al(2x4 - 5)2 - lY1(2x1 - 5) Then, solving for the slope a, iX! + lY1(2xi - 5) a = - 5) The slope of the equation, a, was then determined for each technology subset of the sample. The resultant 0 to 50,000 mile slopes are listed below. Wh = 0.0250 *. M for CLLP/Carb = 0.0193 * M for CLLP/FI = 0.0401 * M for OPLP/Carb =0.0 for Oxid The High emitter emission level magnitudes (ZMh) are the bag-by-bag High emitter emission means for each of the four technology categories. These emission levels are not assumed to increase with increasing age. The number of vehicles in this emission category is assumed to increase with age as described above. The High emitter magnitudes are listed in Table 5. The estimates for High emitter emission levels do not include the 1980 model year California certified vehicles. ------- -10- 3.3 Estimates for Super Emitters There were four outliers identified in the sample. [3] All of these Super emitters were closed-loop carbureted vehicles. Two of these vehicles had emission problems which- might also occur on closed-loop fuel-injected vehicles and therefore were used to simulate the emission levels of fuel-injected Super emitters. Since only four Super emitters were observed in a total closed-loop carbureted and fuel-injected vehicle sample, the following equation best describes the occurrence of Super emitters. Number of Supers = W,C*MC*NC + Wsf*Mf*Nf = 4 Where: W«c = Rate of carbureted Supers W«r = Rate of fuel-injected Supers Mc = Mean mileage of carbureted vehicles Mf = Mean mileage of fuel-injected vehicles Nc = Number of carbureted vehicles Nf = Number of fuel-injected vehicles And for this sample: Mc = 22,092 miles Mf = 18,293 miles Nc = 656 vehicles Nf = 122 vehicles Although all four observed Super emitters were carbureted vehicles, the sample of fuel-injected vehicles is small enough so that it is not surprising that no fuel-injected Supers were observed. Further, since only two of the four malfunctions observed in the Supers could have occurred on fuel-injected vehicles, the observed rate of Supers among fuel-injected vehicles would be expected to be less than for carbureted vehicles. It was assumed that the rate of occurrence of Supers for fuel-injected vehicles is half the rate for carbureted vehicles. 2*wsf = Wsc If we then solve the previous equation for the rate of occurrence of fuel-injected Super emitters, we get the following equation. W,f = 4 / ( 2*Ne*Me + Nf *Mf ) W,f = 4 / ( 2*656*2.2092 + 122*1.8293 ) W»f = 0.0012814 / 10,000 miles Wsc = 2*W,r = 0.0025628 / 10,000 miles ------- -11- The rate of occurrence of Supers is assumed to increase linearly with mileage starting at the origin. Unlike the High. emitters, the rate of increase is not assumed to change beyond 50,000 miles. f The Super emitter emission level magnitudes (ZMS) are the bag-by-bag Super emitter emission means for each of the technology categories. As with the High emitters, the emission levels of the Super emitters are assumed not to increase with age. The Super emitter emission level magnitudes are listed in Table 5. 3.4 Combined Deterioration Equations As indicated previously, the estimates of the rate at which vehicle emissions increase is a weighted sum of the separate emission contributions of Normal, High and Super emitters, E = (l-Wh-Ws)(ZMn+DFn*M) + WhZMh + WSZMS. As an illustration, the combined FTP-CO emissions of 1981 and later, 3.4 gm/mi CO-standard, closed-loop carbureted, 3-way catalyst with oxidation catalyst (CLLP/OX3W/Carb), non-tampered, light-duty vehicles are calculated to be: CO = (1 - .0250M - .002563M)(1.948 + .6459M) + .0250(39.137)M + .002563 (193.23)M CO = 1.948 + 2.0666M - 0.0178M2 (gm/mi) This equals 7.00 gm/mi at 25,000 miles and 11.83 gm/mi at 50,000 miles. In the model the rate at which High emitters occur doubles at 50,000 miles. Beyond 50,000 miles, Wh becomes 0.0499*M for this case and the FTP CO emission equation becomes: CO = -2.3403 + 3.0046M - 0.003389M2 (gm/mi) FTP CO then equals 11.83 gm/mi at 50,000 miles, 18.28 gm/mi at 75,000 miles, and 24.31 gm/mi at 100,000 miles. A set of emission levels are calculated for each technology in each model year using the appropriate quadratic equations for each mileage corresponding to the model year anniversary. These emission .levels combine the emission levels of the Normal, High and Super emitters in each technology group. The emission levels of the technology groups are then weighted together at each anniversary mileage by the fraction of the model year equipped with each technology. These technology projections are described in Table 6. ------- -12- The combined emission levels at each model year anniversary define the predicted emission levels of the model. For. MOBILES, a linear Least Square Regression is then fit to the predicted emission levels, weighted by the vehicle mileage contribution of each model year anniversary to the vehicle lifetime mileage accumulation. Figure 1 shows an example of a linear fit to the predicted emission levels. This best linear fit is the equation used by MOBILE3 to predict non-tampered emission levels. ------- -13- 4.0 INSPECTION AND MAINTENANCE BENEFITS Inspection and Maintenance (I/M) short tests of vehicle exhaust emission concentrations are simple tests that can be performed cheaply and in a minimum amount of time. These tests include an idle test and a two-speed test either unloaded or loaded using a dynamometer. The I/M short tests are much more likely to fail Super and High emitters than they are to fail Normal emitting vehicles. This fact is used in I/M programs to identify vehicles which most need maintenance and most contribute to the emissions of the fleet in excess of certification standards. As in MOBILE2, MOBILES uses a modeling approach to estimate the impact of I/M on vehicle emissions [4]. Actual in-use data of the effects on emission levels of typical repairs as a result of an operating I/M program were not available at the time MOBILES was released. As a result, many of the assumptions used in the model are based on experience with vehicle owner behavior in I/M programs and laboratory repairs of 1981 and later model year LDGVs. When new information is collected, the assumptions can be substituted by observed effects. For now, the model represents EPA1 s best estimate of the effects of I/M on the emissions of 1981 and later model year LDGVs. The remainder of this section deals with the application of three typical I/M short tests to the EF non-tampered LDGV sample. The three tests are: 1) Idle Test 2) 2500/Idle Test 3) Loaded/Idle Test 4.1 Short Test Data The Emission Factor Program (EF) sample used for determination of I/M program credits contains 1166 non- tampered light duty vehicles (LDGV). The data exclude the California certified vehicles. Of these, 668 (57%) had measured FTP HC and FTP CO emissions less than or equal to those at which they were certified (0.41 gm/mi for HC and 3.4 or 7.0 gm/mi, for CO) and 498 (43%) exceeded their certification standards for either HC or CO emissions. The FTP HC and CO emission and mileage means for the Normal, High and Super emitters among these FTP passes and FTP failures are listed in the following table. ------- -14- FTP HC and CO Emission and Mileage Means: FTP passes versus FTP failures FTP Passes FTP Failures Normals Normals / Highs / Supers' Sample Size 668 437 / 57 / 4 HC (grn/mi) 0.260 0.551 / 2.256 / 14.132 CO (gfn/mi) 2.851 6.713 / 37.087 / 193.23 Mileage(lOK) 1.4662 3.1048 / 4.8110 / 2.8157 The Idle Test tailpipe emission levels were gathered mainly from the second idle in neutral of the four-mode test procedure. In this procedure the vehicle is tested at curb idle, with the idle speed held at 2500 rpm, at curb idle again, and finally at curb idle with the vehicle transmission in drive with the brake on for vehicles with automatic transmissions. The second idle measured in this procedure best simulates a preconditioned idle test procedure. The 2500/Idle Test data for this analysis were derived mainly from the same four-mode test procedure. In this case the emissions sampled at 2500 rpm and from the second idle in neutral are used. Vehicles must pass both the 2500 rpm mode and the idle mode of this test. The Loaded/Idle Test data for this analysis were derived from the loaded two-mode test procedure. Vehicles must pass both the loaded high speed mode at 30 mph and idle mode in neutral. Restart test procedure results were substituted for the above four-mode test data for all vehicles manufactured by the Ford Motor Company in the sample with restart procedure results. In addition, there were 22 vehicles in the sample for which neither four-mode test, restart test nor loaded two-mode test data were available and for these cars the idle emission readings taken during the engine parameter check were substituted. 4.2 I/M Short Test Errors of Commission and Omission Errors of commission are vehicles which fail an I/M short test but which do not exceed their certification standards for HC or CO emissions. Errors of Omission-are vehicles which pass the I/M short test but which exceed their certification standards either for HC or CO emissions or both. ------- -15- I/M short test results for vehicles that had passed or failed their FTP criteria were examined to determine the errors of commission and omission, Ec and E0. Table 7 lists the numbers of true failures and passes and the number of false failures (errors of commission) and passes (errors of omission) for each of the three I/M short tests and for the three sets of test stringency criteria (CO and HC outpoints) used in the model. The number of correctly identified FTP failures increases with increasing test stringency. About twice as many FTP failures fail the 0.5%/100ppm (CO concentration/HC concentration) test criteria as fail the 3.0%/300ppm cutpoints. Similarly, the Loaded/Idle Test identifies more FTP failures than the 2500/Idle Test which in turn identifies more FTP failures than the basic Idle Test. For a typical test, the Idle Test with l.2%/220ppm cutpoints, 57% of the cars are correctly passed and 3.1% are correctly failed. In addition, this test falsely passes 38% (errors of omission) and falsely fails about 0.2% (errors of commission) of these cars. This last category is of special interest. Both the 2500/Idle test and the Loaded/Idle Test have more errors of commission than the Idle Test does. The Loaded/Idle Test, however, except for the tightest cutpoints, has a lower error of commission rate than the 2500/Idle Test. Thus, the Loaded/Idle Test not only appears to be both more stringent, but more selective than the more easily used 2500/Idle Test. 4.3 I/M Short Test Identification Rates The raw I/M failure rates are easily calculated for each of the various I/M short tests by simply dividing the number of failures by the sample size. The I/M short tests, however, tend to identify the highest emitters in each group. The model for the 1981 and newer vehicles, therefore, uses a measure of the total emissions of the vehicles identified by the short test to quantify the impact of I/M. The short test FTP emission identification rate (IDR) tends to be larger than the simple failure rate and can be different for HC and CO emissions. In the MOB1LE2 version of the 1981 and newer model year model, the IDR was determined as a fraction of only emissions in excess of certification standards. Table 8 is a listing for each I/M short test result (pass or fail) of the number of cars, HC and CO emission means, and effective identification rates by emission category. The effective identification rate is determined by computing the total emissions identified by a particular combination of short test type and short test cutpoint pair and dividing that amount by the total emissions observed in that emission category for the sample. The effective identification rates for HC and CO emission are listed in Table 9. ------- -16- When the three tests are compared, the Loaded/Idle Test and the 2500/Idle Test effective identification rates are greater than those of the Idle Test in all cases. Among the three levels of test stringency, as might be expected, the 0.5%/100 ppm criteria are more effective, and the 3.0%/300ppm criteria are least effective. 4.4 Effects of I/M The model assumes that when a High or Super emitting vehicle is repaired to pass the I/M short test, the emission levels of the repaired vehicles will, on average, resemble the emission levels of Normal emitting vehicles at the same mileage. As a result, the I/M process is modeled as reducing the number of High and Super emitters and thereby increasing the number .of Normal emitting vehicles. For each test type and cutpoint combination I/M test scenario, the IDR rate represents the fraction of High and Super emitters which revert to Normal emitting levels. At each inspection point in the model year lifetime measured in mileage, the number of High and Super emitting vehicles is reduced by the appropriate IDR. The emission levels with the reduced number of Highs and Supers is then calculated and compared to the non-I/M case to determine the I/M benefits for that scenario as a fraction of the non-I/M case. There are separate IDR's for HC and CO emissions, but the same IDR's are used for all technology types. After the initial I/M inspection, the IDR reduction is only applied to the increase in the number of High emitters since the last I/M inspection. The IDR for Super emitters is applied to the total number of Super emitters in each inspection cycle. Since the model only reduces the increase in the number of High emitters since the last inspection, there is always a growing fraction of vehicles which I/M is assumed never to detect. It is rationalized that if the particular emission problem which caused the vehicle to become a High emitter cannot be detected at the first I/M inspection, then it is reasonable to assume that the vehicle may never be detected by the I/M program by subseguent I/M inspections. An example of this type of problem would be a choke maladjustment, which might cause high overall emission levels, but might not be detected by a short test performed on a fully warmed engine. This assumption causes a portion of the High emitting vehicles to always remain High emitters and reduces the overall assumed effectiveness of I/M programs. Between the inspection cycles the number of High and Super emitters is assumed to increase. However, the effects of I/M are assumed to have destabilized the normal rate of increase. Since the I/M repairs result in a larger number of Normal ------- -17- emitting vehicles than would be expected in the absence of the I/M program, there is assumed to be a greater probability that Normal emitting vehicles will become High emitters proportional to the larger number of Normal emitters. The rate of increase in Super emitting vehicles is assumed to be unaffected. Number of Normals After I/M New Increase Rate = Basic Rate * Number of Normals Without I/M The model assumes that I/M has no effect on the emission levels of Normal emitting vehicles. Some effect might be expected since some fraction of Normal emitting vehicles do fail the I/M short tests. In this model, however, no benefit is assumed from I/M repairs on Normal emitting vehicles. The above process of adjusting the number of Normal, High, and Super vehicles is performed for each technology within a model year group and new emission levels for the model year group at its anniversary points. The I/M benefits are then computed for each model year group separately by comparison to the non-I/M case for that model year group. The model does not report the I/M benefits, for each technology in each model year. The I/M benefits are computed from the predicted FTP emission levels before the levels are linearized. ------- -18- 5.0 THE TECH IV CREDIT MODEL The Appendix contains a listing of the software used to model the emissions and I/M effects for 1981 and later model year passenger cars (LDGV). The listing is not the version which generated the I/M credits contained in the original release of MOBILES.. That version contained some coding errors which have been identified and corrected. The errors only affect the use of short tests other than the Idle Test using cutpoints other than 1.2% idle CO and 220 ppm idle HC. Alternate I/M credits for MOBILE3 reflecting these corrections are available from the Technical Support Staff in Ann Arbor [(313) 668-4367]. The Tech IV Credit Model was designed to evaluate programs which inspect vehicles once a year (annually). The model, however, has code which allows it to evaluate programs which inspect vehicles every other year (biennially). All of the assumptions described in this report apply to the biennial option. The only difference is the extended period of increase in the occurrence of High and Super emitters between inspections for the biennial case. MOBILES uses the results of the Tech IV Credit Model to predict the reduction in the basic emission rates of 1981 and newer model year LDGV for I/M scenarios. In addition, MOBILES assumes that the presence of an I/M program will deter tampering of emission control devices and improper use of leaded fuel in catalyst vehicles. The resultant reduction in the fleet emission . levels predicted by MOBILES for I/M programs combine the effects of the reduction in the basic emission levels directly attributable to the I/M repairs and the deterrence value of the program on -tampering and misfueling. The effect of I/M programs on the basic emission levels for pre-1981 model year LDGV in MOBILE2 is described in another report [5]. The assumptions used for pre-1981 vehicles in MOBILES are nearly identical to those used in MOBILE2, having been updated only to reflect different mileage accrual rates. ------- -19- References 1. EPA Inspection and Maintenance Staff, "Derivation of 1981 and Later Light-Duty Vehicle Emission Factors for Low-Altitude, Non-California Areas". EPA-AA-IMS/80-8, November 1980. 2. Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc., Report of preliminary results of Work Assignment No. 35 Task 5, ."Forecasts of Emission Control Technology 1983-1990", for EPA Contract No. 68-01-6558 to Phil Lorang dated November 28, 1983. 3. Ed LeBaron, EPA Technical Support Staff. Memo to Phil Lorang, EPA-TSS dated September 13, 1984. 4. Dave Hughes, EPA Inspection and Maintenance Staff, "Derivation of I/M Benefits for Post-1980 Light-Duty Vehicles for Low-Altitude, Non-California Areas". EPA-AA-IMS/81-2, Revised March 1981. 5. James Rutherford, EPA Inspection and Maintenance Staff, "Derivation of I/M Benefits for Pre-1981 Light Duty Vehicles for Low-Altitude, Non-California Areas". EPA-AA-IMS-82-3, June 1982. ------- Figure 1. Regression Fit to The Composite 1981 Model Year CO Emission Levels 35 » 6 CO OT C O •i—» to CO 6 W. 10 O O 30- 25- 20- 15- DL, EH fc 5- Legend Regression O Emission Levels I-1 Till II 111 I II III 0 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Vehicle Mileage In 10,000 Mile Increments ------- TABLE 1 FTP Emission and Mileage Means by Model Year and Certification Standards MYR-Stds(HC/CO/NOx) 1981-.41/7.0/0.7 Normals Highs All 1981-. 41/3. 4/1.0 Normals Highs Supers All 1982-. 41/3. 4/1.0 Normals 1983-. 41/3. 4/1.0 Normals Highs All 1981-. 41/7. 0/1.0 Normals Highs Supers All 1982-. 41/7. 0/1.0 Normals 1981-. 41/7. 0/2.0 Normals 1982-. 41/7. 0/2.0 Normals 1980-. 41/9. 0/1.0 Normals Highs All 1980-1983 Myrs. Normals Highs Supers All 1981-1983 Myrs. Normals Highs Supers 'All Sample Size 196 4 200 372 25 3 400 30 47 1 48 346 27 1 374 107 6 1 114 12 126 1219 69 4 1292 1 105 57 4 1166 HC (qm/mi) 0.319 1.618 0.345 0.375 2.778 15.327 0.637 0.265 0.299 2.080 0.336 0.452 1.873 10.550 0.582 0.295 0.327 0.320 0.346 1 .363 0.443 0.372 2. 101 14.132 0.507 0.375 2.256 14. 132 0.514 CO (gm/mi) 3.94 39.51 4.65 3.68 42.98 172.69 7.40 2.59 3.14 8.89 3.26 5.90 32.31 254.87 8.47 3.77 4.13 3.30 4.95 37.05 8.00 4.43 37.08 193.23 6.76 4.38 37.09 193.23 6.63 NOx (qm/mi) 0.584 0.800 0.607 0.731 0.845 •0.698 1.360 1.800 0.831 0.771 0.764 Mileage (10k-mi) 1.0775 2.3644 1.1032 2.7741 5.7758 2.7296 2.9614 * 0.6965 1.4653 3.5198 1.5081 2.5986 4.3279 3.0738 2.7247 0.8003 2.9857 0.6041 1.7577 2.9421 1.8705 2.0809 4.4860 2.8157 2.2116 2.1142 4.8110 2.8157 2.2484 ------- TABLE 2 Distribution of Non-Tampered Light-Duty Vehicles by Technology, Model Year and Emission Standards Model Year 1981 1982 1983 1981 1981 1981 1982 1982 1980 HC Std. CO Std. NO Std. Normal-Emitters CLLP/OX3W/Carb CLLP/ 3WC/Carb CLLP/OX3W/FI CLLP/ 3WC/FI OPLP/OX3W/Carb OPLP/ 3WC/Carb OPLP/Oxid/Carb OPLP/None/Carb All Normals High-Emitters CLLP/OX3W/Carb CLLP/ 3WC/Carb CLLP/OX3W/FI CLLP/ 3WC/FI OPL?/OX3W/Carb" OPLP/ 3WC/Carb OPLP/Oxid/Carb All Highs Suoer-Emitters CLLP/OX3W/Carb All Vehicles .41 3.4 . 1.0 165 34 3 16 58 3 93 — 172 14 3 - - 8 - — 25. 3 400 .41 3.4 1.0 4 3 - 7 2 3 1 1 — 30 _ - - - - - — 0 - 30 .41 3.4 1.0 5 - 9 25 8 - - — 47 _ - 1 - - - — T - 48 .41 7.0 0.7 55 63 8 13 28 5 24 — T96 2 1 -- 1 - - — ? - 200 .41 7.0 1.0 110 126 8 - 63 4 35 - — "346 6 1 1 - . - 10 - — 21 1 374 .41 7.0 2.0 « 5 - - - - 1 — 6 _ - - -. - - — 0 - 6 .41 7.0 1.0 35 9 3 28 28 - 4 — T0~7 ... . - - - - — 0 - 107 .41 .41 7.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 10 1 48 2 11 6 2 30 5 T TT4 2 ' - 7 - - - - 1 2 o TI - 1 126 All 384 289 33 100 193 17 198 5 T2T9 24 22 1 1 18 1 2 19 4 1292 ------- TABLE 3 Normal-Emitter Deterioration Factors for Non-Tampered Light-Duty Vehicles by Bag and Technology Group Deterioration Factors (gm/mi/10k-miles) by Technology Type FTP (All) HC CO NOx FTP Bag 1 • HC1 C01 N01 FTP Bag 2 HC2 C02 N02 FTP Bag 3 HC3 C03 NO 3 CLLP/3W 0.04998 0.6459 0.09534 0.11907 1.6554 0.09324 0.03304 0.3777 0.08205 0.03067 0.3988 0.12259 OPLP/3W 0.04507 0.1713 0.07692 0.08728 0.7530 0.06917 0.02780 0.0000 0.07539 0.04670 0.2001 0.08572 Oxidation 0.02681 0.4638 0.01821 0.09240 1.4863 0.00121 0.00911 0.2053 0.02323 0.01129 0. 1824 0.02156 ------- TABLE 4 Normal Emitter Zero-Mile Intercepts for Light-Duty Gasoline Vehicles Zero-Mile Intercepts (gm/mi) Technology Model Years CO Standard FTP HC FTP CO FTP NOx Bag 1 HC Bag 1 CO Bag 1 NOx Bag 2 HC Bag 2 CO Bag 2 NOx Bag 3 HC Bag 3 CO Bag 3 NOx Technology Model Years CO Standard FTP HC FTP CO FTP NOx Bag 1 HC Bag 1 CO Bag 1 NOx Bag 2 HC Bag 2 CO Bag 2 NOx Bag 3 HC Bag 3 CO Bag 3 NOx Closed-Loop 1981 + 3.4 0.2260 1.948 0.5328 0.5271 5.550 1.0096 0.1117 0.612 0.3870 0.2127 1.748 0.5170 1981 7.0 0.3056 3.201 0.6942 0.8780 10.927 1.0788 0.1056 0.535 0.5310 0.2521 2.405 0.7127 Open-Loop 3-Way 1981 + 3.4 0.3229 2.823 0.5626 0.6930 7.665 0.8423 0. 1803 0.542 0.4506 0.3136 3.199 0.5628 1981 7.0 0.3700 5.775 0.4101 0.5573 9.568 0.7819 0.2705 3.535 0.2722 0.4175 6.827 0.3909 OX3W* 1982+ 7.0 0.2513 2.994 0.6717 0.7141 10.092 1.0926 0.0951 0.475 0.5108 0.1959 2.392 0.6573 Catalyst 1982+ 7.0 0.3435 4.395 0.6933 0.5744 10.212 0.8957 0.2319 1.821 0.6504 0.3795 4.836 0.6231 Closed-Loop 3WC* 1981 + 3.4 0.2260 1.948 0.5328 0.5271 5.550 1.0096 0.1117 0.612 0.3870 0.2127 1.748 0.5170 Ox 1981 + 3.4 0.2768 2.507 0.7592 0.7663 6.867 1 .0717 0. 1195 1 .001 0.5935 0.2087 2.070 0.8380 1981 7.0 0.3048 4.277 0.5433 0.7798 10.925 1.1605 0.1370 2.133 0.3938 0.2621 3.302 0.3597 1982+ 7.0 0.2041 2.824 0.5510 0.6145 6.710 1.0958 0.0771 1.654 0.3864 0.1333 2.091 0'.4203 idation Catalyst 1981 7.0 0.2220 3.398 0.6735 0.5366 11 .870 1.0702 0.1178 0.722 0.4874 0.1786 2.048 0.7283 1982+ 7.0 0.1801 2.787 0.6658 0.5011 9.454 1.0896 0.0967 1 . 125 0.4115 0.1034 0.958 0.8221 *Includes both carbureted and fuel injected vehicles. ------- TABLE 5 Mean Emission Levels of High and Super Emitters Mean Emission Levels (qm/mi) Closed-Loop Carb FTP Bag 1 Bag 2 Bag 3 Clos.ed-Loop FI FTP Bag 1 . Bag 2 Bag 3 Open-Loop 3-Way FTP Bag 1 Bag 2 Bag 3 High Emitters HC CO 2.2997 / 39.137 4.6408 / 61.181 1.7954 / 35.503 1.4857 / 29.354 2.3556 / 38.212 4.2419 / 53.030 1.9737 / 36.496 1.6574 / 30.292 2.2556 / 34.607 3.6050 / 50.422 1.7850 / 30.528 2.1094 / 30.361 Super Emitters HC CO 14.132 / 193.23 30.937 / 181.02 10.867 / 210.72 7.508 / 169.22 10.560 / 191.72 8.090 / 170.45 12.645 / 215.45 8.460 / 162.55 Note: There were no Super emitters observed in the OPLP 3-Way category sample. No High or Super emitters were observed in the Oxidation Catalyst category sample. ------- TABLE 6 Technology Distribution by Model Year Projected Fleet Percentage (%) Model Years 1981 - 1982 CO Standard 3.4 7.0 3.4 7.0 Technology CLLP/OX3W/Carb 23.1 15.1 3.6 32.7 CLLP/ 3WC/Carb 4.5 18.1 3.8 12.7 CLLP/OX3W/FI 1.0 1.9 1.4 2.3 CLLP/ 3WC/FI 2.3 4.2 5.6 9.0 OPLP 3-Way 7.6 7.5 2.3 12.8 OPLP Oxidation 10.3 4.4 10.1 3.7 Percentage 48.8 51.2 26.8 TO Model Years 1983 1984 1985-1986 1987-1989 1990+ Technology CLLP/OX3W/Carb CLLP/ 3WC/Carb CLLP/OX3W/FI CLLP/ 3WC/FI OPLP 3-Way OPLP Oxidation 45.3 2.1 27.6 13.1 11.9 43.4 11.9 40.0 4.7 23.5 11.1 61.0 4.4 11.2 8.5 79.5 0.8 4.0 6.2 88.8 1.0 ------- ICO/IHC Cutpoints Idle Test TABLE 7 Combined Sample I/M Short Test Failure Rate Summary Pass Short Test Fail Short Test Emission Category Pass FTP Fail FTP Pass FTP Fail FTP 0.5%/100ppm Normal High Super All 1.2%/220ppm Normal High Super All 3.0%/300ppm Normal High Super All 2500/Idle Test 0.5%/100ppm Normal High Super All 1.2%/220ppm Normal High Super All 3.0%/300ppm Normal High Super All Loaded/Idle Test 0.5%/100ppm Normal High Super All 1.2%/220ppm Normal High Super All 3.0%/300ppm Normal High Super All 661 411 7 26 32 - 25 1 - 3 661 (57%) 444 (38%) 7 (0.6%) 54 (4.6%) 666 421 2 16 40 - 17 1 - 3 666 (57%) 462 (40%) 2 (0.2%) 36 (3.1%) 666 432 25 47 - 10 1 - 3 666 (57%) 480 (41%) 2 (0.2%) 18 (1.5%) 648 401 20 36 25 - 32 1 - 3 •648 (56%) 427 (37%) 20 (1.7%) 71 (6.1%) 656 414 12 23 34 - 23 1 - 3 656 (56%) 449 (39%) 12 (1.0%) 49 (4.2%) 662 431 6 6 43 - 14 1 - 3 662 (57%) 475 (41%) 6 (0.5%) 23 (2.0%) 647 383 21 54 16 - 41 ' 1 - 3 647 (55%) 400 (34%) 21 (1.8%) 98 (8.4%) 659 419 9 18 28 - 29 1 - 3 659 (57%) 448 (38%) 9 (0.8%) 50 (4.3%) 664 429 4 8 39 - 18 1 - 3 664 (57%) 469 (40%) 4 (0.3%) 29 (2.5%) ------- TABLE 8 Mean Emission Levels of High and Super Emitter Vehicles Failing I/M Short Tests Mean Emissions Emissions Identified ICO/IHC Sample Cutpoints Size All Hiqhs Fail Idle Test 0.5%/100ppm 1.2%/220ppm 3.0%/300ppm 2500/Idle Test 0.5%/100ppm 1.2%/220ppm 3.0%/300ppm Loaded/Idle Test 0.5%/100ppm 1.2%/220ppm 3.0%/300ppm 57 25 17 10 32 23 14 41 . 29 18 (qm/mi) HC 2.2558 2.6492 2.8659 2.8770 2.5834 2.8191 3.0564 2.3315 2.5383 2.8333 CO 37.086 46.232 55.949 59.796 48.378 57.501 64.024 43.158- 51.922 57.057 (IDR) HC 0.515 0.379 0.224 0.643 . 0.504 0.333 0.743 0.572. ' 0.397 CO 0.547 0.450 0.283 0.732 0.626 0.424 0.837 0.712 0.486 All Supers Failing All I/M Short Tests Carbureted Fuel-Injected* 14.132 193.23 3 10.557 212.77 2 10.560 191.72 0.560 0.826 1.000 1.000 * Only two of the Super emitters were judged as possible for fuel-injected vehicles. ------- APPENDIX Tech IV Credit Model Software Program Listing ------- Page 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 CC cc CC cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc . cc cc cc THIS IS THE APPENDIX 4 PROGRAM DEVELOPED FOR MOBILES THIS PROGRAM CALCULATES I/M BENEFITS FOR THE POST- 1980 FLEET. EITHER ANNUAL AND BIENNIAL A* SIX TECHS ** ** SEVEN MODEL YEAR GROUPS ** (UPDATED 8/23/84) ESTABLISH VARIABLES. BI - 1 : 1/3/5 SCHEDULE. BI = 2 : 2/4/6 SCHEDULE. BI = 3 : ANNUAL SCHEDULE. STD - 1 : 1981 MODEL YEAR 4 : 1984 7 : 1990+ STD = 2 : 1982 5 : 1985-6 STD = 3 : 1983 6 : 1987-9 INTEGER BI,BY,P,B,T,IDR,LAST,YR,AGE1ST,IAGE,NAGE,STD,IY,STP,INCR INTEGER IYR,IP,IB,IT,D,II,JJ,KK,LL,J REAL KINK "KINK" IS THE KINK IN THE HIGH EMISSION DETERIORATION RATE AFTER 50,000 MILES. IF KINK=1, THERE IS NO KINK. IF KINK=2, THE DETERIORATION RATE DOUBLES AFTER 50K MILES. KINK=2.0 • BI - 3 COMMON/INPUT/SHO , SSO , GH , GS , ESO , DS , ENOO , DN , EHO , DH COMMON/FRC/FRAC COMMON/REG/EWOC (20,2,3,5,9), EWC (20,2,3,5,9) COMMON/TECH/EWO (20 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 9) , EW (20 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 9) COMMON/BENE/ CA (20 , 20 , 2 , 5) , CZ (20 , 20 , 2 , 5) , CWO (20,2,5), INT COMMON/BAG/ZML2 (5,7,3), DET2 (5,7, 3). COMMON/ODOM/RATE,MILE,SRATE,MDIF COMMON/MACC/JMILE COMMON/IMS/INSP,FINSP,STD,IDR,IY,T,B COMMON/BASE/EN , EH , ES , HIGH , SUPER , WN LOGICAL INSP LOGICAL FINSP(3) REAL SRATE (2,2), RATE (9,2), MILE (20) REAL SUMX(2) ,SUMXX(2),SUMY(2) ,SUMXY(2) REAL HIGH (20 , 2) , INT (2,5,6), SUPER (20 , 2) REAL GHI,GH2,GH3 REAL SHO(2,5,6) ,SSO(2,5,6) ,GH(2,5,6) ,GS(2,5,6) ------- Page 2 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 83 84 85 86 87 88. 89 .90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 . 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 11 1 112 113 114 115 116 CC • CC CC CC CC CC CC 10 CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC 30 CC 40 CC CC CC*** CC CC REAL ESO(2,5,6) ,ENO(2,5,6) ,EHO(2,5,6) ,ENOO(2,5,6, 3) REAL DS(2,5,6), DN(2,5,6), DH(2,5,6) REAL EWO,EW,FRAC(6,9) REAL MDIF(20) REAL ES (20, 2), EN (20, 2) ,EH(20,2) REAL WN(20,2) ,WNO(2,5, 5) ,DWN(2,5,5) ,ENZ(20,2) ,ENA(20,2) REAL SZ(20,9,5) ,SA(20,9,5) ,HZ(20,9,5) ,HA(20,9,5) REAL NZ(20,9,5),NA(20,9,5),SS,SH,SN RATE IS THE EFFECTIVE IDENTIFICATION RATE OF HIGHS FOR EACH TEST/CUTPOINT COMBO AND BY POLLUTANT CALCULATE MILEAGE BETWEEN EACH ONE YEAR INTERVAL MDIF(1) - MILE(1) DO 10 YR=2,20 MDIF(YR) = MILE(YR) - KILE(YR-I) CONTINUE FIRST LOOP IS IDR IDR TEST CUTPOINTS (HC/CO) 1 IDLE .5/100 2 IDLE 1.2/220 3 IDLE 3.0/300 4 2500/IDLE .5/100 5 2500/IDLE 1.2/220 6 2500/IDLE 3.0/300 7 LOADED .5/100 8 LOADED 1.2/220 9 LOADED • 3.0/300 DO 600 STD=1,7 DO 600 IDR=1,9 THIS NEXT LOOP IS FOR 19.81 & 1982 MODEL YEAR GROUPS SO THAT THE PROGRAM WILL LOOP FOR 3.4 AND 7.0 INCR-1 STP=1 IF (STD.NE. 1) GO TO 30 INCR=1 STP=2 GO TO 40 IF (STD.NE. 2) GO TO 40 INCR=2 STP-3 DO 440 IY-1,STP,INCR THIS IS THE FIRST PART OF THE MOBILES. APPENDIX4 MODEL. THIS PART WILL CALCULATE THE RELATIVE SIZE OF THE FLEET AND OTHER BASIC NON-I/M PARAMETERS. ------- Page 3 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 CC CC cc... cc cc cc 50 cc cc cc. . . cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc... cc cc cc. . . cc cc cc cc. .. cc 100 cc cc... cc cc cc cc cc... cc .RETRIEVE THE CORRECT DATA FOR NORMALS FROM BLOCK DATA DEPENDING UPON MODEL YEAR AND 3.4/7.0 LOOP LL = 1 IF(STD.EQ.1.AND.IY.EQ.1) LL=1 IF(STD.EQ. 1.AND.IY.EQ.2) LL=2 IF(STD.EQ.2.AND.IY.EQ.2) LL=3 DO 50 11=1,2 DO 50 JJ-1,5 DO 50 KK=1,6 ENO(II,JJ,KK) - ENOO(II,JJ,KK,LL) CONTINUE .THE NEXT LOOP IS BY TECHNOLOGY TECH = 1 OXIDATION/3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, CARBURATED. TECH = 2 3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, CARBURATED. TECH = 3 OXIDATION/3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, FUEL INJECTED TECH = 4 3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, FUEL INJECTED. TECH = 5 3-WAY CATALYST, OPEN-LOOP, ALL TECH = 6 OXIDATION CATALYST, ALL DO 420 T=1,6 .LOOP BY BAG (1=FTP; 2=BAG1; 3=BAG2; 4=BAG3 ; 5=BAGGED IDLE) DO 4 1 0 B= 1 , 4 .CALCULATE CATAGORY SIZE AT ZERO MILE POINTS DO 100 P=1,2 SS = SSO(P,B,T) SH = SHO(P,B,T) SN = 1.0 - SS - SH .CALCULATE FLEET ZERO' MILE EMISSIONS INT(P.B.T) = SS * ESO(P,B,T) * + SH * EHO(P,B,T) * + SN * ENO(P,B,T) CONTINUE .CALCULATE EMISSION LEVELS FOR EACH CATAGORY BY VEHICLE AGE DO 120 YR-1,20 DO 110 P-1,2 .SET NON-I/M EMISSION LEVELS FOR THE CATEGORIES. ES(YR,P) - ESO(P,B,T) + ( DS(P,B,T) * MILE(YR).) ------- Page 4 175 EH(YR,P) = EHO(P,B,T) + ( DH(P,B,T) * MILE(YR) ) 176 EN(YR,P) = ENO(P,B,T) + ( DN(P,B,T) * MILE(YR) ) 177 CC 178 CC SET WITH-I/M LEVELS FOR "NORMALS" 179 CC 180 WN(YR,P) = ENO(P,B,T) + ( DN(P,B,T) * MILE(YR) ) 181 CC 182 CC COMPUTE NUMBER OF "HIGH" EMITTERS WITHOUT INSPECTION PROGRAK. 183 CC 184 HIGH(YR.P) = SHO(P,B,T) + GH(P,B,T) * MILE(YR) 185 CC ' 186 CC THIS CODE "KINKS" THE INCREASE IN "HIGH" EMITTERS 187 CC AFTER 50,000 MILES. 188 CC 189 IF(KILE(YR-1).GT.5.0) T90 * HIGH(YR,P)=HIGH(YR-1,P)-i-KINK*GH(P,B,T)*MDIF(YR) 191 CC 192 CC THIS ASSUMES LINEAR INCREASE IN NUMBER OF "SUPER" EMITTERS 193 CC 194 SUPER(YR.P) = SSO(P,B,T) + GS(P,B,T) * MILE(YR) 195 CC 196 CC COMPUTE WITHOUT-I/M SIZES OF CATAGORIES 197 CC 198 SH - HIGH(YR.P) 199 SS = SUPER(YR.P) 200 SN = 1.0 - SS - SH 201 CC . 202 CC COMPUTE WITHOUT-I/M COMPOSITE EMISSION LEVELS. 203 CC 204 CWO(YR,P,B) = ss * ES(YR,P) 205 * + SH * EH(YR,P) 206 * + SN * EN(YR,P) 207 CC • . 208 110 CONTINUE 209 CC 210 120 CONTINUE 211 CC 212 CALL IMSUB(BI.KINK) 213 . CALL BENEFT(T,B,IDR,BI) . 214 CC 215 410 CONTINUE 216 CC 217 420 CONTINUE 218 CC 219 CALL MUSCH(STD,IY,IDR) 220 CC 221 440 CONTINUE 222 CC 223 IF(IDR.GT.I) GO TO 600 224 CALL BAGF(STD) 225 CC 226 600 CONTINUE 227 CC 228 CC...CALCULATE NOX EMISSIONS 229 CC 230 CALL NOXEF 231 CC 232 CC...WRITE OUT TABLES ------- Page 5 233 CC 234 CALL OUTPUT 235 CC 236 STOP 237 'END ------- Page 6 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 257 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 CC cc CC cc cc cc cc cc cc.. cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc. . SUBROUTINE. IMSUB(BI ,KINK) IN THIS SECTION THE NUMBER OF "HIGHS" AND "SUPERS" REMAINING AFTER I/M IS DETERMINED AND I/M EMISSION LEVELS ARE CALCULATED FOR THE "SAWTEETH". COMMON /ODOM/RATE , MILE , SRATE , MDIF COMMON/MACC/JMILE COMMON/IMS/INSP,FINSP,STD,IDR,IY,T,B COMMON/BASE/EN , EH , ES , H I GH , SUPER , WN COMMON/BENE/ CA(20, 20,2, 5) ,CZ(20,20,2, 5) ,CWO(20,2,5) , INT COMMON/INPUT/SHO,SSO,GH,GS,ESO,DS,ENOO,DN,EHO,DH LOGICAL INSP,FINSP(3) INTEGER AGE1ST,BY,P,BI,STD,IDR,IY,T,B,YR REAL KINK REAL EN (20, 2) ,EH(20,2) ,ES(20,2) ,WN(20,2) REAL HIGH (20 , 2) , SUPER (20,2) REAL SHO (2 , 5 , 6) , SSO (2 ,-5 , 6) , GH (2 , 5 , 6) , GS (2 , 5 , 6) REAL ENOO(2,5,6,3),DN(2,5,6) REAL EHO(2,5,6),DH(2,5,6) REAL ESO(2,5,6),DS(2,5,6) REAL MILE(20) .RATE (9, 2) ,SRATE(2,2) ,MDIF(20) .REAL NZ(20,9,5),NA(20,9,5) REAL HZ(20,9,5),HA(20,9,5) REAL SZ(20,9,5),SA(20,9,5) REAL ENZ (20 , 2) , ENA (20 , 2) ..INSP USED TO DETERMINE IF AN INSPECTION OCCURS THAT YEAR. INSP = FINSP(BI) AGE 1ST = 1 VARIABLE 'BY' REPRESENTS YEARS SINCE PROGRAM START VARIABLE 'YR1 REPRESENTS AGE OF VEHICLE DO 290 BY- 1,1 9 YR = AGE1ST + BY - 1 DO 280 P=1,2 CATEGORY SIZES BEFORE AND AFTER INSPECTION HZ = SIZE OF "HIGH" CATAGORY BEFORE INSPECTION HA = SIZE OF "HIGH" CATAGORY AFTER INSPECTION SZ = SIZE OF "SUPER" CATAGORY BEFORE INSPECTION SA = SIZE OF "SUPER" CATAGORY AFTER INSPECTION SIDR = SRATE(P,1) IF(T.GT.2) SIDR = SRATE(P,2) IF( BY.GT.1 ) GO TO 130 THE FIRST INSPECTION YEAR ------- Page 7 295 CC 296 HZ(YR,IDR,P) = HIGH(YR.P) 297 HA(YR,IDR,P) = HIGH(YR.P) * ( 1.0 - RATE(lDR.P) ) 298 IF(.NOT.INSP) HA(YR,IDR,P) = HZ(YR,IDR,P) 299 CC 300 SZ(YR,IDR,P) = SUPER(YR,P) 301 SA(YR,IDR,P) = SUPER(YR.P) * ( 1.0 - SIDR ) 302 IF(.NOT.INSP) SA(YR,IDR,P) = SZ(YR,IDR,P) •303 CC 304 IF( YR.EQ.1 ) GO TO 130 305 CC 306 CA(AGE1ST,YR-1,P,B) = CWO(YR-1,P,B) 307 CC 308 CC...LIKELIHOOD OF OCCURENCE AND GROWTH OF "HIGH" CATEGORY. 309 CC 310 CC GHI = GROWTH RATE OF "HIGH" CATAGORY AFTER I/M REPAIRS 3 1 1 CC 312 130 GROWTH - GH(P,B,T) 313 IF (MILE(YR-1).GT.5.0) GROWTH=KINK*GH(P,B,T) 314 CC 315 GHI = GROWTH 316 * * (1.0-HA(YR,IDR,P)-SA(YR,IDR,P)) 317 * / (1.0-HIGH(YR,P)-SUPER(YR.P)) 318 CC 319 CC....COMPUTE NUMBER OF "HIGH" EMITTERS IN THE NEXT'YEAR. 320 CC 321 HZ(YR+1,IDR,P) = HA(YR,IDR,P) + GHI * MDIF(YR+1) 322 IF(HZ(YR+1,IDR,P).GT.HIGH(YR+1,P)) HZ(YR+1,IDR,P)=HIGH(YR+1,P) 323 CC 324 HA(YR+1,IDR,P) = HIGH(YR-M ,P) * (l.O - RATE(lDR.P)) 325. IF(INSP.AND.BI.NE.3) HA(YR+1, IDR.P) = HZ(YR-M ,.IDR,P) • 326 CC 327 CC COMPUTE NUMBER OF "SUPER" EMITTERS IN THE NEXT YEAR. 328 CC GROWTH RATE OF SUPERS AFTER I/M IS SAKE AS WITHOUT I/M. 329 CC 330 SZ(YR+1,IDR,P) = SA(YR,IDR,P) + GS (P,B,T)*KDIF(YR+1) 331 SA(YR+1,IDR,P) = SUPER(YR.P) * ( 1.0 - SIDR ) 332 IF(INSP.AND.BI.NE.3) SA(YR+1,IDR.P) = SZ(YR+1,IDR.P) 333 CC 334 . CC "NORMAL" CATEGORY SIZE BEFORE AND AFTER INSPECTION 335 CC 336 NZ(YR,IDR,P) = 1.00 - SZ(YR,IDR,P) - HZ(YR,IDR,P) 337 NA(YR,IDR,P) = 1.00 - SA(YR,IDR,P) - HA(YR,IDR,P) 338 CC 339 CC COMPUTE EMISSIONS BEFORE AND AFTER I/K. FOR "NORMALS" 340 CC ASSUMES THAT WITH I/M NORMALS WILL PRODUCE EMISSION REDUCTIONS. 341 CC 342 IF(.NOT.INSP.AND.BY.EQ.1) GOTO 140 343 IF(INSP.AND.BY.LE.2) GO TO 150 344. GO TO 160 345 CC 346 . 140 ENZ(YR.P) = EN(YR,P) 347 ENA(YR.P) = EN(YR,P) 348 GO TO 180 349 CC . . 350 150 ENZ(YR.P) - EN(YR,P) 351 ENA(YR.P) = WN(YR,P) ------- Page 8 352 GO TO 180 353 CC 354 160 ENZ(YR.P) = ENA(YR-1,P) + DN(P,B,T) * MDIF(YR) 355 ENA(YR.P) = WN(YR,P) " 356 CC ' 357 180 CONTINUE ' 358 CC 359 CC •360 . CC COMPOSITE EMISSIONS BEFORE AND AFTER INSPECTION. 361 CC 362 CC 363 CZ(AGE1ST,YR,P,B) = SZ(YR,IDR,P)*ES(YR,P) 364 * + NZ(YR,IDR,P)*ENZ(YR,P) 365 * + HZ(YR,IDR,P)*EH(YR,P) 366 CA(AGE1ST,YR,P,B) = SA(YR,IDR.P)*ES(YR,P) 367 * + NA(YR,IDR,P)*ENA(YR,P) 368 * + HA(YR,IDR,P)*EH(YR,P) 369 IF(.NOT.INSP) CA(AGE1ST,YR.P.B) = CZ(AGE1ST,YR.P.B) 370 CC 371 CC 372 CC EMISSIONS AT THE 20TH YEAR (BOUNDARY CONDITION). 373 CC 374 CC 375 IF(YR.GT.t) GO TO 280 376 G20 = KINK * GH(P,B,T) 377 * * (1.0-HA(19,IDR,P)-SA(19,IDR,P)) 378 * / (1.0-HIGH(19,P)-SUPER(19,P)) 379 HZ(20,IDR,P) = HA(l9,IDR,p) + G20 * MDIF(20) 380 SZ(20,IDR,P) = SA(19,IDR,P) + GS(P,B,T) * KDIF(20) 381 NZ(20,IDR,P) = 1.0 - SZ(20,IDR,P) - HZ(20,IDR,P) 382 CC - 383 CZ(AGE1ST,20,P,B) = SZ(20,IDR,P)*ES(20,P) 384 * + NZ(20,IDR,P)*EN(20,P) 385 * • + HZ (20, IDR, P)''-EH (20,P) 386 CC 387 280 CONTINUE 388 CC 389 IF(BI.NE.3) INSP = .NOT. INSP 390 CC 391 . 290 CONTINUE 392 CC 393 999 RETURN 394 END ------- Page 9 395 SUBROUTINE BENEFT(T,B,IDR.Bl) .395 CC 397 CC 398 CC THIS SECTION CALCULATES REDUCTIONS BY COMPARING EMISSIONS 399 CC WITH AND WITHOUT I/K ON JANUARY 1ST DATES . 400. CC 'SINCE MODEL YEAR INTRODUCTION IS ON OCTOBER 1ST., THIS 401 CC REQUIRES A 75/25 STAGGERING. 402 CC 403 CC 404 . COKKON/BENE/ CA(20,20,2,5),CZ(20,20,2,5),CWO(20,2,5),INT 405 COMKON/TECH/ EWO(20,2,5,6,9),EW(20,2,5,6,9) 406 CC ' 407 REAL EWO,EW,INT(2,5,6) 408 INTEGER AGE1ST,BY,P,B,T,IDR.BI,YR.LAST 409 CC 410 CC 411 AGE1ST = 1 412 CC 413 DO 350 BY=1,19 414 YR «• AGE1ST + BY - 1 415 DO 350 P-1,2 416 CC 417 IF(AGE1ST.GT.1) GO TO 310 418 IF(YR.GT.l) GO TO 300 419 CC 420 EW(1,P,B,T,IDR) = .75*(.625*CZ(AGE1ST,1,P,B) + .375*INT(P,B,T)) 421 * + .25*(.875*CA(AGE1ST,1,P,B) + .125*CZ(AGE1ST,2,P,B) ) 422 EWO(l,P,B,T,IDR) = .15* (.625*CWO(1 ,P,B) + .375*INT(P,B,T)) 423 * ' + .25*(.875*CWO(l,P,B) + .125*CWO(2,P,B)) 424. C GO TO 340 425 GO TO 350 426 CC 427 300 EW(YR,P,B,T,IDR)- = . 75* (. 625*CZ (AGE1ST, YR,P,B) . 428 * + .375*CA(AGE1ST,YR-1,P,B) ) 429 * ' + .25*(.875*CA(AGE1ST,YR,P,B) 430 * + .125*CZ(AGE1ST,YR+1,P,B) ) 431 GO TO 330 432 CC 433 . 310 GO TO (300,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7,8,7).AGE1ST 434 CC 435 7 IF(BI.EQ.l) IAGE = AGE1ST + 1 436 IF(BI.EQ.I) NAGE = AGE1ST - 1 437 IF(BI.EQ.2) IAGE = AGE 1ST - 1 438 IF(BI.EQ.2) NAGE = AGE 1ST - 1 439 GO TO 320 440 CC 441 8 IF(BI.EQ.t) IAGE = AGE1ST 442 IF(BI.EQ.l) NAGE - AGE1ST 443 IF(BI.EQ.2) IAGE - AGE1ST 444 IF(BI.EQ.2) NAGE = AGE 1ST - 2 445 . CC 446 320 IF(BI.EQ.3) IAGE = AGE1ST 447 IF(BI.EQ.3) NAGE - AGE1ST - 1 448 CC 449 EW(YR,P,B,T,IDR) = .75A(.625*CZ(NAGE,YR.P.B) 450 * * .375*CA(NAGE,YR-1,P,B)) + .25Vr(.875*CA(lAGE, YR,P,B) 451 • * + .125*CZ(IAGE,YR+1,P,B)) ------- Page 10 452 CC 453 330 EWO(YR,P,B,T,IDR) = .75*(.625*CWO(YR,P,B) + .375*CWO(YR-1,P,B» 454 * + .25 *(.875*CWO(YR,P,B) + .125*CWO(YR+1,P,B» 455 CC . ' 455 CC 457 350 CONTINUE 458 CC 459 CC • 460 RETURN 461 END ------- 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 . 492 493 454 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510. 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC. CC CC CC. CC CC CC CC. CC CC CC. CC CC CC SUBROUTINE MUSCH(STD, IY, IDR) THIS SECTION COMBINES EMISSION STANDARD CATEGORIES AND TECHNOLOGIES INTO MODEL YEAR EMISSION LEVELS. COMMON/REG/EWOC (20 , 2 , 3 , 5 , 9) , EWC (20 , 2 , 3 , 5 , 9) COMMON/TECH/EWO (20 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 9) , EW (20 , 2 , 5 , 6 , 9) COMMON/FRC/FRAC COMMON/OUT/RED (19,2,7,3,3), ZMLC (5,7,3), DETC (5,7,3) REAL EWO;EW,OC(6) ,WC(6),FRAC(6,9) INTEGER ICUTS,ITEST,IDR,B,IP,IT,IYR,IY,STD,D DEFINITIONS: EWOC : WITHOUT I/M EMISSION LEVELS EWC : WITH I/M EMISSION LEVELS RED : REDUCTION IN EMISSIONS DUE TO I/M ITEST = 1 IDLE TEST 2 IDLE/2500 3 LOADED/ IDLE ICUTS =1 0.52 ICO / 100 PPM IHC 2 1.22 ICO / 220 PPM IHC 3 3.02 ICO / 300 PPM IHC ...DECODE IDR INTO CUTPOINT AND TEST TYPES ITEST = 1 ICUTS = IDR IF(IDR.GT.3) ITEST=2 IF(IDR.GT.6) ITEST=3 IF(IDR.GT.3) ICUTS=IDR-3 IF (IDR. GT. 6) ICUTS=IDR-6 ...D IS USED FOR RETRIEVING TECHNOLOGY FRACTIONS (FRAC) D - STD +2 IF (STD.EQ.1.AND.IY.EQ. 1) D-1 IF (STD.EQ.1.AND.IY.EQ.2) D=2 IF (STD.EQ.2.AND.IY.EQ. 1) D=3 IF. (STD.EQ.2.AND.IY.EQ.2) D=4 . . . LOOP BY BAG DO 200 B=1,4 ...COMBINE TECHNOLOGIES FOR EACH POLLUTANT AND YEAR DO 130 IYR=1, 19 DO 130 IP=1,2 DO 120 IT- 1,6 OC(IT)- FRAC(IT,D)/100.0 * EWO(lYR, IP, B, IT, IDF Page 11 ------- Page 12 519 WC(IT)= FRAC(IT.D)/100.0 * EW(lYR,IP,B,IT,IDR) 520 CC 521 120 CONTINUE 522 CC f 523 EWOC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR) - OC(l)+OC(2)+OC(3)+OC(4)+OC(5)+OC(6) 524 EWC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR) = WC(l)+WC(2)+WC(3)+WC(4)+WC(5)+WC(6) 525 CC 526 ' 130 CONTINUE 527 CC 528 CC...COMBINE 3.4 AND 7.0 SCENARIOS FOR 81 & 82 MODEL YEAR 529 CC 530 IF(D.GE.S) GO TO 160 531 IF(D.EQ.2.0R.D.EQ.4) GO TO 140 532 • GO TO 200 533 CC 534 140 DO 150 IP=1,2 535 DO 150 IYR-1,19 536 EWOC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR)=EWOC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR)+EWOC(IYR,IP,1,B,IDR) 537 EWC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR)=EWC(IYR,IP,IY,B,IDR)+EWC(IYR,IP,1,B,IDR) 538 150 CONTINUE 539 CC 540 CC CALCULATE NON-I/M REGRESSION 541 CC 542 160 CALL REGR(lY,IDR,B,STD) 543 CC 544 CC CALCULATE I/M REDUCTION 545 CC 546 IF(B.NE.l) GO TO 200 547 DO 170 IP=1,2 548. DO 170 IYR=1,19 549 RED(IYR,IP,STD,ICUTS,ITEST) = ( EWOC(lYR,IP,IY,1,IDR) 550 * - EWC(IYR,IP,IY,1.IDR) ) 551 * -I EWOC(IYR,IP,IY, 1 ,.IDR) 552 170 CONTINUE 553 CC 554 200 CONTINUE 555 CC 556 RETURN 557 . END ------- Page 13 558 559 550 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 . 609 610 611 612 613 614 CC cc... CC cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc 60 cc . cc cc cc V^^m« • • • cc cc cc cc... cc cc SUBROUTINE REGR(IY, IDR.B.STD) .THIS SUBROUTINE CALCULATES WEIGHTED REGRESSION EQUATION FOR THE EMISSION FACTOR LINES COMMON/REG/EWOC (20 , 2 , 3 , 5 , 9) , EWC (20 , 2 , 3 , 5 , 9) COMMON/BAG/ZML2 (5,7,3), DET2 (5,7,3) COMMON /ODOM /RATE , MILE , SRATE , MDIF COMMON /WRG/WGT COMMON/MACC/JMILE REAL JMILE(19) ,WGT(20) REAL SUMX, SUMY, SUM 1,SUM2,XBAR, YEAR REAL MILE(20) ,RATE(9,2) ,SRATE(2,2) ,MDIF(20) REAL ZML1,DET1 INTEGER B,IDR,IY,T,STD IF(IDR.GT. 1) GO TO 999 DO 100 IP-1,2 SUMX =0.0 SUMY =0.0 SUMXY = 0.0 SUMXX = 0.0 DO 60 IYR=1,19 EM = EWOC(IYR,IP,IY,B,.IDR) SUMX = SUMX + ( WGT(IYR) * JMILE(lYR) ) SUMY = SUMY + (• WGT(IYR) * EM ) SUMXY = SUMXY + ( WGT(IYR) * JMILE(lYR) * EK ) SUMXX = SUMXX + ( WGT(IYR) * (JMILE(lYR) **2) ) CONTINUE SUM1 = SUMXY - SUMX * SUMY SUM2 = SUMXX - SUMX**2 DET1 = SUM1 / SUK2 ZML1 = SUMY - DET1 * SUMX .ORDINARY REGRESSION ZML2(B,STD,IP) - ZML1 DET2(B,STD,IP) = DET1 IF(ZML2(B,STD,IP) .GE.0.0) GOTO 100 .REGRESSION FIXED THRU ZERO ZML2(B,STD,IP) = 0.0 . DET2(B,STD,IP) = SUMXY / SUMXX ------- Page 14 615 100 CONTINUE 616 CC 617 999 RETURN 618 END ' ------- Page 15 619 SUBROUTINE BAGF(STD) 620 CC 621 CC THIS SUBROUTINE CALCULATES BAG FRACTIONS 622 CC 623 COMMON/BAG/ZML2(5,7,3),DET2(5,7,3) 624 'COMMON/OUT/RED(19,2,7,3,3),ZMLC(5,7,3),DETC(5,7,3) 625 CC 626 INTEGER STD -627 REAL BAGF(3)/0.206, 0.521, 0.273/ 628 REAL ZMLF(2,4),DETF(2,4) 629 CC 630 DO 50 IP=1,2 631 CC 632 ZHLF(IP,1) - 0.0 633 DETF(IP,1) " 0.0 634 CC 635 DO 50 IBAG=2,4 636 CC 637 ZKLF(IP,IBAG) = ZML2(IBAG.STD,IP) 638 DETF(IP,IBAG) = DET2(IBAG.STD,IP) 639 CC 640 ZMLF(IP,1) - ZMLF(IP,1) + ZML2(IBAG,STD,IP) * BAGF(lBAG-l) 641 DETF(IP,1) = DETF(IP,1) + DET2(IBAG.STD,IP) * BAGF(lBAG-l) 642 CC 643 50 CONTINUE 644 CC 645 CC 646 DO 60 IP-1,2 647 DO 60 IBAG=1,4 648. CC . - 649 ZMLC(IBAG.STD,IP) = ZKLF(IP,IBAG) / ZMLF(IP,l) 650 DETC(IBAG,STD,IP) = DETF (IP, IBAG). / ZMLF (!?, 1) 651 CC 652 60 CONTINUE 653 CC 654 RETURN 655 END ------- Page 16 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 68S 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 SUBROUTINE NOXEF CC CC. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC ..THIS ROUTINE CALCULATES NOX VALUES •MYG = 1 HYG - 2 MYG = 3 MYG = 4 MYG = 5 MYG - 6 MYG = 7 MYG - 8 MYG - 9 STD - 1 STD = 2 STD = 3 BAG = 1 BAG = 2 BAG = 3 BAG = 4 BAG = 5 TECH = 1 TECH = 2 TECH = 3 TECH = 4 TECH = 5 TECH = 6 1981 MYR (7.0 CO STD) 1981 MYR (3.4 CO STD) 1982 MYR (7.0 CO STD) 1982 MYR (3.4 CO STD) 1983 MYR 1984 MYR 1985-1986 MYRS 1987-1989 MYRS 1990 & LATER MYRS 1981+ MYR / 3.4 CO STANDARD 1981 MYR / 7.0 CO STANDARD 1982 MYR / 7.0 CO STANDARD COMPOSITE FTP COLD START BAG 1 TRANSIENT BAG 2 HOT START BAG 3 BAGGED IDLE OXIDATION/3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, CARBURATED. 3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, CARBURATED. OXIDATION/3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED- LOOP, FUEL INJECTED 3-WAY CATALYST, CLOSED-LOOP, FUEL INJECTED. 3-WAY CATALYST, OPEN-LOOP, ALL OXIDATION. CATALYST, ALL COKKON/BAG/ZML2 (5,7,3), DET2 (5,7,3) COMMON/FRC/FRAC . CC INTEGER STD, AGE, BAG, TECH, MYG, MYR REAL MDIF (20) , FRAC (6 , 9) REAL ZKL1 (5, 12),DET1 (5,12) LOGICAL*4 LAB2 (5) / ' FTP ' , CC CC. CC * * * * ' BAG 1 ' , 1 BAG2 ' , 'BAG3' , 'BAGI'/ ...NOX REGRESSION ZERO-MILE LEVELS : ZML (BAG, TECH, STD) REAL ZML(5,6,3) / CC CC CC 1981+ 3.4 CO STANDARD * 0.5328, 1.0096, 0.3870, 0.5170, 0.0, * 0.5328, 1.0096, 0.3870, 0.5170, 0.0, * 0.5328, 1.0096, 0.3870, 0.5170, 0.0, * 0.5328, 1.0096, 0.3870, 0.5170, 0.0, * 0.5626, 0.8423, 0.4506, 0.5628, 0.0, * 0.7592, 1.0717, 0.5935, 0.8380, 0.0, CC ------- Page 17 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 •721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 753 754 755 755 757 758 759 760 761. 762 763 . 764 765 766 767 768 769 CC CC CC CC CC CC CC. CC CC CC. CC c c c c c c c CC CC 1981 7.0 CO STANDARD * 0.6942, 1.0788, 0.5310, 0.7127, 0.0, * 0.5433, 1.1605, 0,3938, 0.3597, 0.0, * 0.6942, 1.0788, 0.5310, 0.7127, 0.0, * 0.5433, 1.1605, 0.3938, 0.3597, 0.0, * 0.4101, 0.7819, 0.2722, 0.3909, 0.0, * 0.6735, 1.0702, 0.4874, 0.7283, 0.0, 1982 7.0 CO STANDARD * 0.6717, 1.0926, 0.5108, 0.6573, 0.0, * 0.5510, 1.0958, 0.3864, 0.4203, 0.0, * 0.6717, 1.0926, 0.5108, 0.6573, 0.0, * 0.5510, 1.0958, 0.3864, 0.4203, 0.0, * 0.6933, 0.8957, 0.6504, 0.6231, 0.0, * 0.6658, 1.0896, 0.4115, 0.8221, O.O/ ...NOX REGRESSION DETERIORATION RATES : DET (BAG, TECH) REAL DET(5,6) / 0.09534, 0.09324, 0.08205, 0.12259, 0.0, * 0.09534, 0.09324, 0.08205, 0.12259, 0.0, * 0.09534, 0.09324, 0.08205, 0.12259, 0.0, * 0.09534, 0.09324, 0.08205, 0.12259, 0.0, * 0.07692, 0.06917, 0.07539, 0.08572, 0.0, * 0.01821, 0.00121, 0.02323, 0.02156, O.O/ ...WEIGHT LINEAR REGRESSIONS DO 50 BAG- 1 , 4 DO 40 MYG=1,9 ZKL1 (BAG.KYG) = 0.0 DET1 (BAG, MYG) = O-.O STD = 1 IF(KYG.EQ.2) STD=2 IF(KYG.EQ.4) STD=3 DO 40 TECH=1,6 ZHL 1 (BAG , KYG) = ZML 1 (BAG , MYG) +ZML (BAG , TECH , STD) *FRAC (TECH , MYG) / 1 00 . DET 1 (BAG , MYG) = DET 1 (BAG , KYG) +DET (BAG , TECH) *FRAC (TECH , MYG) / 1 00 . 40 CONTINUE ZKL1(BAG,10) = ZML1(BAG,1) + ZML1(BAG,2) DET1(BAG,10) = DET1(BAG,1) + DET1(BAG,2) ZML1(BAG,11) = ZML1(BAG,3) + ZML 1 (BAG, 4) DET1(BAG,11) - DET1(BAG,3) + DET1(BAG,4) 50 CONTINUE DO 60 BAG-1,4 ZKL2(BAG,1,3) - ZML1(BAG,10) ZML2(BAG,2,3) - ZML1(BAG,11) ------- 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 CC CC CC CC C 60 ZXL2(BAG,3,3) ZKL2(BAG,4,3) ZKL2(BAG,5,3) ZXL2(BAG,6,3) ZKL2(BAG,7,3) DET2(BAG,1,3) DET2(BAG,2,3) DET2(BAG,3,3) DET2(BAG,4,3) DET2(BAG,5,3) DET2(BAG;6,3) DET2(BAG,7,3) CONTINUE CALL NOXBF RETURN END - ZML1(BAG,5) = ZML1 (BAG, 6) = ZML1 (BAG, 7) = ZML1 (BAG, 8) = ZML1 (BAG, 9) = DET1 (BAG, 10) = DET1 (BAG, 11) - DET1 (BAG, 5) = DET1 (BAG, 6) - DET1 (BAG, 7) = DET1 (BAG, 8) - DET1 (BAG, 9) Page 18 ------- Page 19 791 SUBROUTINE NOXBF 792 CC 793 CC THIS SUBROUTINE CALCULATES BAG FRACTIONS 794 CC 795 COKMON/BAG/ZML2(5,7,3),DET2(5,7,3) 796 COMMON/OUT/RED(19,2,7,3,3),ZMLC(5,7,3),DETC(5,7,3) 797 CC 798 INTEGER STD 799 REAL BAGF(3)/O.206, 0.521, 0.273/ 800 REAL ZMLF(4),DETF(4) 801 CC 802 DO 90 STD=1,7 803 CC 804 ZMLF(1) = 0.0 805 DETF(1) =0.0 806 CC 807 DO 50 IBAG=2,4 808 CC 809 ZMLF(IBAG) = ZML2(IBAG,STD,3) 810 DETF(IBAG) = DET2(iBAG,sTD,3) 811 CC 812 ZMLF(l) = ZMLF(1) + ZKL2(IBAG.STD,3) * BAGF(lBAG-l) 813 DETFd) = DETF(l) + DET2 (IBAG.STD, 3) * BAGF(lBAG-l) 814 CC 815 50 CONTINUE 816 CC 817 CC 818 DO 60 IBAG-1,4 819 CC 820 ZMLC(IBAG.STD,3) = ZMLF(IBAG) / ZMLF(l) 821 DETC(IBAG.STD,3) = DETF(lBAG) / ZMLF(l) 822 CC 823 50 CONTINUE 824 CC 625 90 CONTINUE 826 CC 827 ' RETURN 828 END ------- Page 20 829 SUBROUTINE OUTPUT 830 CC 831 COMMON/OUT/RED(19,2,7,3,3),ZMLC(5,7,3),DETC(5,7,3) 832 COMMON/BAG/ZML2(5,7,3),DET2(5,7,3) 833 CC 834 ' INTEGER ITEST.ICUTS.STD,IP,IBY,IBAG 835 LOGICAL*4 LAB1(3)/' HC',1 CO1,' NOX'/ 836 LOGICAL*4 LAB2(5)/'FTP ', 837 * 'BAG11, 838 * 'BAG21, 839 * 'BAG31, 840 * ' 'BAGI'/ 841 LOGICAL*4 LAB3(7)/'81 ', 842 * '82 ', 843 * • '83 ', 844 * ' 84 ' , 845 * '8586', 846 * . '8789', 847 * '90+ '/ 848 CC 849 N1 - 1 850 N3 = 3 851 CC 852 CC WRITE OUT TABLE HEADINGS 853 CC 854 WRITE(7,100) N3 855 DO 10 ITEST=1,3 856 DO 10 ICUTS=1,3 857 DO 10 STD-M.7 858 DO 10 IP-1,2 859 WRITE(7,200) (RED(IBY,IP.STD,ICUTS,ITSST),IBY=1,19) - 860 10 CONTINUE 861 CC 862 WRITE(8,100) N1 • . 863 DO 20 IP=1,3 864 WRITE(8,500) 865 DO 20 STD=1,7 866 DO 20 IBAG=1,1 867 WRITE(8,300) LAB3(STD),LAB2(IBAG),LAB1(IP) , 868 . * ZML2(IBAG.STD,IP),DET2 (IBAG.STD,IP) , 869 * ZKL2(IBAG,STD,IP),DET2(IBAG.STD,IP) 870 20 CONTINUE 871 CC 872 WRITE(9,100) N1 873 DO 30 IP=1,3 874 WRITE(9,500) 875 DO 30 STD=1,7 876 WRITE(9,400) LAB3(STD),LAB1(IP), 877 *(ZMLC(IBAG,STD,IP),DETC(IBAG.STD,IP),IBAG=2,4), 878 * ZMLC(1,STD,IP),DETC(1,STD,IP) 879 30 CONTINUE 880 CC 881 100 FORMAT(I1,7,' **',/, 882 *' ** 1981 & LATER LOW-ALTITUDE ', 883 •*/,'**') 884 200 FORMAT(19F4.3) 885 300 FORMAT(' 19',A4,' EF EQUATION : ',2A4,'=I, ------- Page 21 886 *F6.2,' + ',F6.2,1 * MILES/100001.3X.2F12.5) 887 400 FORMAT(' 19'.2A4.8F7.3) 888 500 FORMAT('-') 889 CC 890 RETURN 891 END ------- Page 22 892 893 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 S25 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 937 938 939 940 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 CC CC CC. CC CC CC. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC BLOCK DATA .BLOCK DATA WITH TECH IV INPUT (UPDATED 4/14/84) f ' COMMON/INPUT/SHO,SSO,GH,GS,ESO,DS,ENOO,DN,EHO,DH COKKON/FRC/FRAC COMKON/ODOM/RATE,MILE,SRATE,MDIF CCMMON/MACC/JMILE COMMON/IMS/INSP,FINSP,STD,IDR,IY,T,B COMKON/WRG/WGT .MOBILES REAL SSO(2,5,6) / SIZE OF THE SUPERS AT ZERO (INTERCEPT) * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.0000,0.0000, 0.0000,0.0000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , .0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000 / REAL GS(2,5,6) / GROWTH OF NUMBER (SIZE) OF SUPERS (PER 10K MILES) * .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, * .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, * .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, * .002563,.002563, .002563,.002563, * .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, * .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, * .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, * .001281,.001281, .001281,.001281, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000 / ------- Page 23 949 CC 950 REAL SHO(2,5,6) / 951 CC 952 CC SIZE OF THE HIGHS AT ZERO (INTERCEPT) 953 CC 954 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 955 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 956 CC -957 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 958 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 959 CC 960 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 961 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 962 CC 963 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 964 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 965 CC 966 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 967 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 968 CC 969 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 970 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000 / 971 CC 972 REAL GH(2,5,6) / 973 CC 974 CC GROWTH OF NUMBER (SIZE) OF HIGHS (PER 10K MILES) 975 CC 976 * 0.0250,0.0250, 0.0250,0.0250, 0.0250,0.0250, 977 * 0.0250,0.0250, 0.0250,0.0250, 978 CC 979. * 0.0250,0.0250, -0.0250,0.0250, 0.0250,0.0250, 980 * 0.0250,0.0250, 0.0250,0.0250, 931 CC 982 * 0.0193,0.0193, -0.0193,0.0193, 0.0193,0.0193, 983 * 0.0193,0.0193, 0.0193,0.0193, 984 CC 985 * 0.0193,0.0193, 0.0193,0.0193, 0.0193,0.0193, 986 * 0.0193,0.0193, 0.0193,0.0193, 987 . CC 988 * 0.0401,0.0401, 0.0401,0.0401, 0.0401,0.0401, 989 * 0.0401,0.0401, 0.0401,0.0401, 990 CC 991 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, 992 * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000 / 993 CC 994 REAL ESO(2,5,6)/ 995 CC 996 CC EMISSIONS OF THE SUPERS 997. CC 998 * 14.132, 193.23, 30.937, 181.02, 10.867, 210.72, 999 * 7.508, 169.22, 1.100, 16.007, 1000 CC 1001 * 14.132, 193.23, 30.937, 181.02, 10.867, 210.72, 1002 * 7.508, 169.22, 1.100, 16.007, 1003 CC 1004 * 10.560, 191.72, 8.090, 170.45, 12.645, 215.45, 1005 * 8.460, 162.55, 0.000, 000.00, ------- Page 24 1005 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 -1014 1015 1016 1017 1018 1019 1020 1021 1022 1023 1024 1025 1026 1027 1028 1029 1030 1031 1032 1033 1034 1035 1036 1037 1038 1039 1040 1041 1042 1043 1044 1045 1046 1047 1048 1049 1050 1051 1052 1053 1054 1055 1056 1057 1058 1059 1060 1061 1062 CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC * 10.560, 191.72, 8.090, 170.45, 12.645, 215.45, * 8.460, 162.55, 0.000, 000.00, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000, 0.000 ,0.000, * 0.000 ,0.000 , 0.000 ,0.000 / REAL DS(2,5,6) / DETERIORATION OF SUPERS (EMISSIONS) * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000 / REAL EHO(2,5,6)/ FOLLOWING IS THE EMISSIONS OF THE HIGHS AT ZERO (INTERCEPT) * 2.2997, 39.137, 4.6408, 61.181, 1.7954, 35.503, * 1.4857, 29.354, 0.0000, 0.000, * 2.2997, 39.137, 4.6408, 61.181, 1.7954, 35.503, * 1.4857, 29.354, 0.0000, 0.000, * 2.3556, 38.212, 4.2419, 53.030, 1.9737, 36.496, * 1.6574, 30.292, 0.0000, 0.000, * 2.3556, 38.212, 4.2419, 53.030, 1.9737, 36.496, * 1.6574, 30.292, 0.0000, 0.000, * 2.2511, 34.607, 3.6050, 50.422, 1.7850, 30.528, * 2.1094, 30.361, 0.0000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000 / REAL DH(2,5,6) / FOLLOWING IS THE DETERIORATION OF THE EMISSIONS FOR HIGHS ------- Page 25 1063 1064 1065 1065 1067 1068 1069 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074 1075 1076 1077 1078 1079 1080 1081 1082 1083 1084 1085 1086 1087 1088 1089 1090 1091 1092 1093. 1094 1095 1095 1097 1098 1099 1100 1 101 1 102 1103 1104 1105 1105 1107 1108 1 109 1 1 10 1111. 1112 1113 1114 1115 1116 1 1 17 1118 1 1 19 CC' CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000, * 0..000, 0.000, 0.000, 0.000 / FOLLOWING IS EMISSIONS OF THE NORMALS AT ZERO (INTERCEPT) REAL ENOO(2,5,6,3)/ THIS IS THE DATA FOR 3.4 GM/KI CO STANDARD VEHICLES *0.2260,1.948,0. *0.2260,1.948,0. *0.2260,1.948,0. *0.2260,1.948,0. *0.3229,2.823,0. *0.2768,2.507,0, 5271,5.550,0.1117,0.612,0.2127,1.748,0.0,0.0, 5271,5.550,0.1117,0.612,0.2127,1.748,0.0,0.0, 5271,5.550,0.1117,0.612,0.2127,1.748,0.0,0.0, 5271,5.550,0.1117,0.612,0.2127,1.748,0.0,0.0, 6930,7.665,0.1803,0.542,0.3136,3.199,0.0,0.0, 195,1.001,0.2087,2.070,0.-0,0.0, ,7663,6.857,0 THIS IS THE DATA FOR 1981 7.0 GM/MI CO STANDARD VEHICLES *0.3056,3.201,0.8780,10.927,0.1056,0.535,0.2521,2.405,0.0,0.0, *0.3048,4.277,0.7798,10.925,0.1370,2.133,0.2521,3.302,0.0,0.0, *0.3055,3.201,0.8780,10.927,0.1056,0.535,0.2521,2.405,0.0,0.0, *0.3048,4.277,0.7798,10.925,0.1370,2.133,0.2621,3.302,0.0,0.0, *0.3700,5.775,0.5573, 9.568,0.2705,3.535,0.4175,6.827,0.0,0.0, *0.2220,3.398,0.5366,11.870,0.1178,0.722,0.1786,2.048,0.0,0.0, THIS IS THE DATA FOR 1982 7.0 GM/MI CO STANDARD VEHICLES *0.2513,2.994,0.7141,10.092,0.0951,0.475,0.1959,2.392,0.0,0.0, *0.2041,2.824,0.6145, 6.7 10,0.0771 ,.1.654,0. 1333,2.091 ,0.0,0.0, *0.2513,2.994,0.7141,10.092,0.0951,0.475,0.1959,2.392,0.0,0.0, *0.2041,2.824,0.6145, 6.710,0.0771,1.654,0.1333,2.091,0.0,0.0, *0.3435,4.395,0.5744,10.212,0.2319,1.821,0.3795,4.836,0.0,0.0, *0.1801,2.787,0.5011, 9.454,0.0967,1.125,0.1034,0.958,0.0,O.O/ REAL DN(2,5,6) / FOLLOWING IS THE DETERIORATION OF THE EMISSIONS OF THE NORMALS' * 0.04998, 0.6459, * 0.03067, 0.3988, 0." 11907, 1.6554, 0.00000, 0.0000, 0.03304, 0.3777, ------- Page 26 1120 1121 1122 1123 1124 1125 1126 1127 -1128 1129 1130 1131 1132 1133 1134 1135 1136 1 137 1138 1139 1140 1 141 1142 1143 1144 1145 1146 1 147 1148 1149 1150. 1151 1152 1 153 1 154 1155 1156 1157 1158 1 159 . 1 160 1161 1162 1 153 1164 1165 1 166 1 167 1168 1169 1170 1171 1172 1173 1174 1175 1176 CC cc CC cc cc cc cc. cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc cc * 0.04998, 0.6459, 0.11907, 1.6554, 0.03304, 0.3777, * 0.03067, 0.3988, 0.00000, 0.0000, * 0.04998, 0.6459, 0.11907, 1.6554, 0.03304, 0:3111, * 0.03067, '0.3988, 0.00000, 0.0000, * 0.04998, 0.6459, 0.11907, 1.6554, 0.03304, 0.3777, * 0.03067, 0.3988, 0.00000, 0.0000, * 0.04507, 0.1713, 0.08728, 0.7530, 0.02780, 0.0000, * 0.04670; 0.200.1, 0.00000, 0.0000, * 0.02681, 0.4638, 0.09240, 1.4863, 0.0091 1 , 0.2053, * 0.01129, 0.1824, 0.00000, O.OOOO/ ...TECHNOLOGY FRACTIONS : FRAC (TECH.MYG) REAL FRAC (6,9)/ * 23.1, 4.5, 1.0, 2.3, 7.6, 10.3, * 15.1, 18.1, 1.9, 4.2, 7.5, 4.4, 'V 3.6, 3.8, 1.4, 5.6, 2.3, 10.1, * 32.7, 12.7, 2.3, 9.0, 12.8, 3.7, * 45.3, 2.1, 27.6, 0.0, 13.1, 11.9, •* 43.4, 11.9, 40.0, 0.0, 4.7, 0.0, * 23.5, 11.1, 61.0, 0.0, 4.4, 0.0, * 11.2, 8.5, 79.5, 0.0, 0.8, 0.0, * 4.0, 6.2, 88.8, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0 / EXCESS EMISSION IDENTIFICATION RATE FOR SUPERS SRATE(P,CARB/FI) • REAL SRATE (2,2)/ 0.560, 0.826, * -1.000, 1.000/ EXCESS EMISSION IDENTIFICATION RATES FOR HIGHS RATE(IDR.P) REAL RATE (9, 2) / * 0.515, 0.379, 0.224, * 0.643, 0.504, 0.333, * 0.743, 0.572, 0.397, * 0.547, 0.450, 0.283, * 0.732, 0.626, 0.424, * 0.837, 0.712, 0.486/ LOGICAL FINS? (3)/. TRUE. , .FALSE. ..TRUE./ REAL WGT(20) / 0.037, 0.140, 0.125, 0.111, 0.097, * 0.086, 0.075, 0.064, 0.056, 0.048, * 0.040, 0.034, 0.028, 0.022, 0.016, * 0.011, 0.007, 0.003, 0.000, O.OOO/ REAL MILE (20)/ 1.2818, 2.4920, 3.6347, 4.7136, 5.7323, * 6.6942, 7.6024, 8.4599* 9.2695,10.0340, * 10.7558,11.4373,12.0808, 12.6884, 13.2621, ------- Page 27 1177 * 13.8037/14.3151,14.7979, 15.2538,15.6843/ 1178 CC 1179 REAL JMILE(19)/ 0.9591, 2.1873, 3.3470, 4.4420, 1180 * 5.4758, 6.4520, 7.3738, 8.2440, 9.0657, 1181 * 9.8415,10.5741,11.2657,11.9188,12.5354, 1182 * " 13.1176,13.6673,14.1863,14.6764,15.13907 1183 CC 1184 END ------- |