EPA 420-R-93-002
JACKFAU-92-413-14
  Small Nonroad Engine and Equipment
               Industry Study
                 Final Report
                 December 1992
                  Submitted to:
        U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
               2565 Plymouth Road
            Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105
  JACK  FAUCETT  ASSOCIATES

        455O MONTGOMERY AVENUE • SUITE 3OO NORTri

               BETHESDA. MARYLAND 2O8 1 4

                    <3O1> 961-8SOO
Bethesda • Maryland         Walnut Creek • California

-------
Although  the information described  in this report has been funded wholly or in part by the
United States Environmental  Protection Agency under contract 68-WO-0014, it has not been
subjected to the Agency's peer and administrative  review and is being released for information
purposes  only.  It may not necessarily reflect  the views of the Agency and  no official
endorsement should be inferred.
                                            i- o-

-------
                              TABLE OF CONTENTS


Chapter                                                                      Page

1     INTRODUCTION 	,	  1

2     INDUSTRY PROFILE	  4

      2.1     EQUIPMENT INDUSTRIES AND SIC CODES	  6
      2,2     MEASURES OF SIZE 	  18
      2.3     GEOGRAPHIC CONSIDERATIONS	  31
      2.4     COMMODITY INPUTS	  34
      2.5     NEW CAPITAL EXPENDITURES  	  38
      2.6     CAPITAL INTENSITY	  40
      2.7     CONCENTRATION RATIOS	  45
      2.8     CAPACITY UTILIZATION 	  47
      2.9     DEBT AND PROFITABILITY  	  50
      2.10   INDUSTRIAL OUTLOOK 	  52

3     COMPETITIVE FEATURES 	  67

      3.1     PRODUCT FLOW AND DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS  	  68

             3.1.1   Engine Manufacturers  	  68
             3.1.2   Equipment Manufacturers	  71
             3,1.3   Lawn & Garden Equipment Manufactures 	  73
             3.1.4   Recreational Vehicle Equipment Manufacturers  	  76
             3,1.5   Farm Equipment Manufacturers  	  77
             3.1.6   Construction,  Commercial, and Industrial  Equipment
                   Manufacturers 	  79

      3.2     VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL INTEGRATION  	  81

             3.2.1   Vertical Integration 	  83
             3.2.2   Horizontal Integration	,	  86

      3.3     BARRIERS TO ENTRY	,	,	  87

             3.3.1   Advertising and Product Differentiation	  87
             3.3.2   Legal and Institutional Factors  	  90
             3.3.3   Economies of Scale	  92
             3.3.4   Large Capital Requirements  	  93
             3.3.5   Scarce Resources and Control for Inputs 	  94

      3,4     MARKET POWER	  94
                                         i-b

-------
                                TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter                                                                          Page

              3.4.1   Relationship Between Engine Producers and Equipment
                    Producers	  101
              3.4.2   Relationship  Between  Component  Producers  and
                    Equipment Producers	  104
              3.4.3   Relationship  Between   Equipment  Producers  and
                    Distributors	  104
              3.4.4   Relationship  Between   Equipment  Producers  and
                    Retailers	  105
              3.4.5   Relationship  Between  Component  Producers  and
                    Enginer Producers	  105
              3.4.6   Relationship Between Distributors and Retailers	  106
              3.4.7   Conclusions Regarding Market Power	  106

       3.5     SUBSTITUTE POWER SOURCES AND EQUIPMENT	  107
       3.6     U.S. COMPETITIVE POSITION	  110
       3.7     CHARACTERISTICS OF END-USERS	  117

              3.7.1   Lawn & Garden Equipment	  117
             .3.7.2   Recreational Vehicles  	  121
              3.7.3   Light  Commercial,  Industrial,  Construction  and
                    Agricultural Equipment  	  123
       3.8     SECTION SUMMARY	  123

4      TECHNOLOGY  AND MARKET STRUCTURE	  127

       4.1     SMALL  NONROAD EQUIPMENT AND THE ENGINES THAT
              POWER  THEM  	  130

              4.1.1   Lawn and Garden Equipment	  138
              4.1.2   Airport Service Equipment	  146
              4.1.3   Recreational Vehicles  	  148
              4.1.4   Light Commercial and Industrial Equipment  	  154
              4.1.5   Light Construction  Equipment  	  158
              4.1.6   Light Agricultural Equipment	163

       4.2     CONCENTRATION  IN THE PRODUCTION OF SMALL NONROAD
              ENGINES  	166
       4.3     FINANCIAL AND  PRODUCT   LINE  PROFILE  OF  MAJOR
              MANUFACTURERS  	1 "72

              4.3.1   Briggs &  Stratton  	1 "~
              4.3,2   Tecuinseh  	
              4.3.3   Teledyne  Total Power  	

-------
                                TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter                                                                            Page

             4.3.4  Yanmar  .	182
             4,3.5  Kubota	183
             4.3.6  Honda Motor Co	185
             4.3.7  Black & Decker  	  187

       4.4    SECTION SUMMARY  	  189

5      MARKET-BASED EMISSION REDUCTION STRATEGIES  APPLIED TO SMALL
       NONROAD EMISSIONS	194

       5.1    CATEGORIES OF MARKET MECHANISMS	194

             5.1.1  Introduction	195

                    5.1.1.1 A Continuum of Approaches	195
                    5.1.1.2 Efficiency Versus Cost-Effectiveness 	198

             5.1.2  Taxes  or Fees Based  on  Emissions  or Emission
                    Potential	200

                    5.1.2.1 Fees Levied on Consumers 	200
                    5.1.2.2 Fees Levied on Producers	203
                    5.1.2.3 Examples of Fees	204

             5.1.3  Subsidies  to  Purchase  or  Produce  Lower Emitting
                    Equipment to Utilize Alternative Alternatives   	205

                    5.1.3.1 Concepts	205
                    5.1.3.2 Examples	207

             5.1.4  Trading of Emission  Reduction Credits or Emission
                    Allocations 	209

                    5.1.4.1 Trading of Emission Reduction Credits
                           (ERCs)  	209
                    5.1.4.2 Trading Emission Allocations  	211
                    5.1.4.3 Examples:   Incorporating   Nonroad
                           Engine Emissions in Emission Trading
                           Programs	212

             5.1.5  Influencing the Market  for Small  Nonroad  Engines
                    Through Increased Consumer Awareness	
                                           in

-------
                               TABLE OF CONTENTS

Chapter                                                                         Page

                    5.1.5.1 Concepts  	214
                    5.1.5.2 Examples	216

     5.2   ANALYSIS   OF   MARKET-BASED  EMISSION  REDUCTION
          STRATEGIES	216

          5.2.1    Identification   of   Market-Based  Emission  Reduction
                  Strategies Relevant to Emissions Small Nonroad Engines	217

                  5.2.1.1   Market Niches 	218
                  5.2.1.2   Dynamic Considerations	220
                  5.2.1.3   Delineation of Market-Based Emission
                          Reduction  Strategies	221

          5.2.2    Evaluation of Market-Based Emission Reduction Strategies  	224

                  5.2.2.1   Strategy 1 - Fee-bates, Education and
                          Labelling	224
                  5.2.2.2   Strategy   2  -   Subsidies  for
                          Maintenance	.'.......	228
                  5.2.2.3   Strategy   3   -   Emission   Fees   for
                          Estimated   Annual  Emissions  from
                          Fleets of Rental Mowers	230
                  5.2.2.4   Strategy 4 -  Emission Trading Using
                          Fleet Emission Reductions  	233
                  5.2.2.5   Strategy   5  -   Flexible  Emission
                          Standards	235

     5.3   SECTION  SUMMARY  	
APPENDIX A:  POWER SYSTEMS REARCH
APPENDIX B:  RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GDP AND 4-DIGIT INDUSTRIES
APPENDIX C:  TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES BY EQUIPMENT AND FUEL TYPE
APPENDIX D:  OPEI HORSEPOWER  DISTRIBUTION FOR SELECTED LAWN AND GARDEN
               EQUIPMENT
APPENDIX E:  DEFINITION OF FINANCIAL  RATIOS AND TERMS
                                         IV

-------
                                     LIST OF TABLES
Table
2-1  Concordance  Between PSR Applications and SIC Industries	  9
2-2  Unit Sales by SIC Industry and PSR Application 	   II
2-3  Internal Combustion Engines, by Type of Engine;  1990 	   15
2-4  Number of Companies and Establishments,  by Industry, 1982 and 1987	,	   19
2-5  Value of Shipments, by Industry, 1984-1990 	   21
2-6  Value of Shipments, by Industry, 1984-1990 	   22
2-7  Value Added by Manufacturer, by Industry, 1990  	28
2-8  Value of Shipments as Percent of Gross Domestic Product, 1984 and 1990  	30
2-9  Employment and Value of Shipments, by Industry,  1984 and  1990 	32
2-10 Industry Group Statistics by State: 1987 	,	33
2-11 The Make of Commodities by Industries, 1982  	35
2-12 Costs of Materials and Components for Outdoor Power Equipment Manufacturers  	37
2-13 New Capital Expenditures, by Industry, 1982-1990	39
2-14 New Capital Expenditures for Plant and Equipment,  1990	41
2-15 Value of Shipments and Gross Book Value  of End of Year Assets, 1987	42
2-16 New Capital Expenditures and Net Capital Stocks, 1986	44
2-17 Concentration Ratios, by Industry:  1987, 1982 and 1977	46
2-18 Capacity Utilization Rates, by Industry: Fourth Quarters 1985-1990	48
2-19 Financial Data by Industry,  1980 and  1988  	52

3-1  Horizontal and Vertical Integration in the Utility Engine and Equipment Industry	84
3-2  U.S. Imports and Exports for Selected Industries, 1987-1991  	112

4-1  Engine Manufacturers   	128
4-2  Equipment Manufactures  	129
4-3  Equipment Categories and Equipment Types .  ,	132
4-4  Engines Sales by Equipment Category  	133
4-5  Differences Betwseen SIC Based and EPA NEVES Equipment Classiication Schemes  ... 136
4-6  Lawn and Garden Equipment Sales	139
4-7  Technology Penetration Rates for Selected Lawn and Garden  Equipment	142
4-8  Sales and Technology Penetration Rates for Airport Service Equipment	147
4-9  Sales Trends for Recreational  Vehicles	 150
4-10 Technology Penetration Rates for Selected Recreational Vehicles  	151
4-11 Estimated New Retail Sales of Off-Highway Motorcycles  and ATVs	152
4-12 Sales Trends for Light Commercial  and Industrial Equipment  	155
4-13 Technology Penetration Rates for Selected Light Commercial  Equipment	 156
4-14 Sales Trends for Light Construction Equipment  	160
4-15 Technology Penetration Rates for Selected Light Construction Equipment	 . 161
4-16 Sales Trends  for Light Agricultural  Equipment   	164
4-17 Technology Penetration Rates for Selected  .ight Agricultural  Equipment	165
4-18 Utility Engine Sales and Market Shares for  the Eight Biggest  Manufacturers	167
4-19 Sales bv Engine Seement for Selected Years	169

-------
                                     LIST OF TABLES

Table                                                                                 Page

4-20 Engine Sales for the Major Manufacturers in the Gasoline Segments	] 70
4-21 Engine Sales for the Major Manufacturers in the Diesel Segments	171
4-22 Financial Profiles of the Utility Engine Manufacturers  	174
4-23 Financial Profiles of the Utility Equipment Manufacturers  	175
4-24 Briggs & Stratton Engine Line by Model   	179

5-1   Options for Mowing by Size of Lawn	197
5-2   Five Niches in the Lawn Mowing Equipment and Services Market  	219

-------
                                    LIST OF FIGURES
2-1  GDP and Selected Industries 1958-1982  	,	25
2-2  GDP and SIC code 3524 1958-1982  	26

3-1  Engine Manufacturer — Product Distribution Network	69
3-2  Lawn and Garden Manufacturer — Product Distribution Network	74
3-3  Recreational Equipment Manufacturer — Product Distribution Network	78
3-4  Farm Equipment Manufacturer — Product Distribution  Network	80
3-5  Construction/Commercial/Industrial Equipment Manufacturer — Product Distribution
     Network	82
3-6  Firm Facing a Downward  Sloping Demand Curve  	95
3-7  Firm Facing a Horizontal Demand  Curve  	,	97
3-8  Short-run and Long-run Average Cost Curves  	99
3-9  Relationships Between Components of Nonroad Production and Distribution Network  ...  102
3-10 Depiction of Demaand Characteristics of Residential vs. Commercial Consumers	120
                                             VII

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                     SECTION 1
                                   INTRODUCTION

The 1990 amendments to the Clean  Air Act required that EPA conduct a study to determine
the  contribution of nonroad  equipment  and  engines  to  the  emission  inventories  of
nonattainment areas.  In an effort to assess  this contribution, EPA  conducted its Nonroad
Engine and Vehicle Emission  Study (NEVES)  which concluded that only  on-highway
vehicles, electric generation,  and solvent evaporation have NOX  and/or VOC emissions that
exceed  those of nonroad  engines and  equipment.   Results  from NEVES further show that
within the nonroad category, small nonroad engines are the largest source contributing to VOC
inventories.  As  a result, the U.S. EPA  is investigating the feasibility of controlling emissions
from small nonroad engines and equipment.

As a prelude to economic impact assessments for possible control scenarios, an evaluation of
the small nonroad engine and equipment industry needs to be conducted.  Such an evaluation
will assure that conditions specific to the industry  will be considered in the development of
emission mitigation strategies,  and  that economically and  technologically  feasible  control
strategies will be promulgated.

The purpose of this study is to  describe and analyze  the structure, conduct, and performance
of the small nonroad engine and equipment industry and to assess  the technologies represented
by  the  most common engines  and equipment.  The small  nonroad engine  and equipment
industry is defined as the market,  or  markets,  in which engines under  50 horsepower are
produced and/or incorporated into new  or used nonroad equipment. Examples of the types of
equipment  in which utility engines are installed include lawnmowers,  cement mixers, 2-wheeI
tractors, generator sets, all terrain vehicles, and many other types of equipment used in various
applications.  Engines below 50 horsepower are also found in many marine applications,  such
as outboard sailboat auxiliary  engines. However,  marine encines are excluded from this studv.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             1                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Section 2 of this report presents an overview of the  small  nonroad engine  and equipment
industry. This industry profile draws on data available from the U.S. Department of Commerce
to quantify  the  market in  terms of production, value added, and  other economic indicators.
Section 2 aiso  introduces the most common market segments of the industry  (e,g,, lawn and
garden  equipment)  and the respective  Standard Industrial  Classification (SIC)  codes that
partially account for this fragmented  industry.

Section 3 analyzes the competitive features of the small nonroad  industry, discussing issues
such as horizontal  and vertical integration, product flow, barriers to entry, substitute power
sources and equipment, international  trade, and customer profiles.  This section draws heavily
on  information  available from industry associations and previous  literature.   The analysis is
mostly qualitative since data, or statistics, necessary for formal economic analyses were  not
available — for example, time series  data on prices and quantity were unavailable  for a formal
derivation of price  and cross-price elasticities.  Nevertheless, this section  provides the reader
with a sound description of the competitive features of the industry and hopefully will facilitate
a future economic impact assessment of regulations.

Section 4 of this report provides a description  of the nonroad  engine and equipment industry's
structure.  This overview describes the types of small nonroad equipment most common in the
marketplace and the engines that power them, analyzes engine technology penetration, and
discusses sales and engine technology trends.   A detailed product line and financial profile of
various engine  and equipment manufacturers is also  provided in this section,  including  a
quantitative assessment of market concentration based on unit sales  data purchased from Power
Systems Research (PSR).  PSR's Engindata database  is the  source of manufacturer  specific
engine  sales  and  technology  penetration  analyses presented  in this  report.   Equipment
manufacturer unit sales data were not available  from the many sources  investigated for this
study.    As  a   result,  only  qualitative  and  anecdotal  assessments  of  market  shares and
concentration  are provided  for the equipment segment of the industry.   Of course,  many
manufacturers are vertically integrated  and produce both the equipment and  the  engines that

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              2                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

power them.  In such  cases, PSR's engine sales  data provides some insight on equipment
manufacturers as well.

Finally, Section 5 investigates the feasibility of market based incentives to mitigate emissions
from  small  nonroad engines and equipment.  The conceptual framework for market  based
approaches  is reviewed, and an analysis of various approaches for this complex industry, or
compilation of industries, is presented.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             3                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                                      SECTION 2
                                 INDUSTRY PROFILE

Regulations that are aimed at reducing the harmful emissions of small nonroad engines, will,
in all likelihood, have an impact on the industries that produce, distribute, sell, and use these
engines and the products that employ these engines as components.  In order to design efficient
regulations  that maximize  health and environmental  benefits while  minimizing  costs  to
businesses and consumers, it is crucial  that policymakers become familiar with the conduct,
structure,  and performance of the  industries involved.

To develop this understanding, a number  of data sources and modes of analysis will be used
throughout the course of this  report. Since this section is primarily concerned with the industry
and its economic  characteristics, the emphasis will be on the general economic data collected
by the Bureau of the Census, the IRS, trade associations,  and others.  In later chapters, the
emphasis  will shift  more to  the technological  aspects of the  market.  In those  parts of the
report, data sources  such as Power Systems Research (PSR) will  become the primary focus.

Data  that characterizes the  small  nonroad  engine and  equipment  industry  directly and
completely are not available.  This is due to the fact that EPA has defined the small nonroad
engine and equipment industry to include many diverse products that do not together fall under
a conventional industry  classification scheme,  such as the  Standard Industrial Classification
system  maintained  and  developed by the U.S. Department of Commerce.   Given that the
products included in the small nonroad engine and equipment industry are represented by many
SIC codes (i.e., by many different industries) a straight-forward  profile of this  makeshift
industry was not possible for this study.  Section 2.1 attempts to develop a linkage between the
individual types of equipment that use small nonroad engines  and the industries that produce
them.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              4                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

In  Sections  2.2  through 2.9, a variety  of data that  describe  the  conduct,  structure,  and
performance  of these selected industries are provided.  Data that describe key issues that are
of importance for analyzing regulatory impacts receive special attention in these sections. The
economic indicators reviewed that profile the various industries in which small nonroad engines
and equipment are  produced are described below:

              Industry size data, measured by the number  of firms (establishments) operating
              in the industry, by the employment level, by the value of shipments,  and by
              value added,  will provide policymakers with the information that is necessary
              to determine  the  relative importance, with  respect  to other industries and the
              economy as a whole, of those industries that may be influenced  by regulatory
              action.

              Geographic distribution data on production by region or State in terms of value
              added,  value  of shipments, and  employment, will help policymakers to better
              estimate the regional economic impacts of regulation,

              Commodity inputs information, or the importance of intermediate products to the
              production  of small nonroad  engines and  equipment,  helps  policymakers to
              identify secondary industries  that may be  affected by regulation.

              New capital expenditures, the level of which allows for an evaluation  of how
              firms in the various  industries spend  capital, provide important  information to
              a  policymaker if regulation influences  the  capital  input of the production
              process,  while capital intensity  measures  the  importance of  capital  to the
              production  process,

              Concentration in the production process provides valuable information about the
              industry's structure.  If only a few manufacturers account  for the bulk of sales.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

-------
Jack Favcett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

              then one can argue that the  industry in question is not a perfectly competitive
              one, and that  firms may have  opportunities  to price their product above the
              marginal cost  of producing  it.  Therefore, assessing  the concentration  level in
              those industries that comprise the small nonroad engine and equipment industry
              provides valuable  information to a policymaker about the potential  effects of
              regulation.

              Capacity utilization rates provide an indication of the health of an industry by
              measuring an  industry's  potential output to its actual output  level.   Through
              demand effects, regulation  may  influence  capacity  utilization.   So, relevant
              information  will help policymakers to assess  the potential economic  impact of
              regulatory efforts.

              Debt and profitability  statistics  also provide  important data  on the  financial
              health of the industries in question.

                  2.1  EQUIPMENT INDUSTRIES  AND SIC CODES

EPA has the task of deciding whether or not to regulate emissions from nonroad engines with
power ratings of less than  or equal to 50 horsepower.   However, while  this  categorization is
convenient from an emission  control perspective, these engines are usually not the final product
but merely  a component  to a  variety  of final  products.    Consumers,  for  example,  buy
lawnmowers, not 5 horsepower gasoline engines.  As such, the manufacture of small nonroad
engines,  their use  as  a component in  the  fabrication of a  variety of equipment,  and their
subsequent  distribution  to end-user  industries and consumers involves  a  host of diverse
industries.  Moreover,  not  only are a  large number of industries involved, but their degree of
involvement varies. Quite  often, these industries sell products that are powered by means other
than gasoline  or  diesel engines, or by gasoline or diesel engines larger  than 50 horsepower.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              6                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

For example,  the  lawn and garden  industry also sells  equipment  that is hand or electric
powered.

For the purposes of this industry  profile, industries are defined  using  the most rigorous  and
commonly used system of industry categorization: the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC).
The SIC system   was  developed by the Federal  government  to  provide  uniformity  and
comparability in the collection and presentation of statistical data collected by various agencies
of the  U.S. government, state agencies, trade associations, and private research organizations.
One of the  most  important  characteristics  of the  SIC system  is that  it  classifies each
establishment1  based on its primary activity, which is determined by its principal product or
group  of products  produced  or distributed, or services rendered.  The structure  of the  SIC
classification system  makes it possible to tabulate, analyze, and publish establishment data on
a division, a 2-digit major group, a 3-digit industry group, or a 4-digit  industry code basis.  The
4-digit industry code basis can be thought of as a subset of the 3-digit industry group, which
itself is a subset of the 2-digit major group.  The broader division classification  basis has been
designed  to characterize major sub-sectors of the economy's  manufacturing sector.   A given
sub-sector (e.g., Division A - Agriculture, Forestry, and  Fishing) imbeds the 2-digit, 3-digit,
and 4-digit industry classifications  relevant to that type of manufacturing activity. Finally, data
is also available for the complete  manufacturing  sector, or All Manufacturing Industries.

The small nonroad engine and equipment industry  should be viewed as a chain of industries
that begins with a variety of raw materials  and converts them  into engines and equipment  and
then transports, distributes, and sells  them to end-user businesses  and consumers.   The first
industry that is a truly important part  of this chain is the Internal  Combustion Engine industry
(SIC 3519).  where the engines themselves  are produced.   While  other industries provide
components to this industry,  it is here  where these components become part of a product which
can clearly  be identified as an engine  of 50 horsepower or less.   Moreover, for industries
    'An establishment  is an economic  unit, generally at  a single physical location,  where business is
conducted or where services or industrial operations are performed.
U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency              7                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

earlier in the distribution chain, the importance of engine products to output will be very  low,
although firms specializing  in the manufacturing  of nonroad engine components, such  as
Walbro Co., may  be  an exception.   However,  even for the Internal  Combustion  Engine
industry, small engines of less  than  50 horsepower  represent only a portion  of the engine
industry as defined by the SIC system.

The engines produced  in the Internal Combustion Engine industry are then incorporated  into
a multitude of equipment types by a variety of industries.  These industries, which include the
Lawn and Garden Equipment industry  (SIC  3524) and the Construction Machinery industry
(SIC 3531), among others, are generally defined  by the type of equipment that are  produced.

Identifying,  in a  rigorous  fashion, which  industries produce equipment that incorporate
significant  numbers of engines under 50 horsepower was accomplished  using the  following
methodology.  The first step was to identify products which incorporate small nonroad engines.
For this  purpose a special  tabulation  of PSR's  Engindata  database2  was developed.   This
tabulation provided the number of units for each  of the detailed PSR application codes.  The
PSR application code  names  are provided in the first column of Table  2-1 while  1991  unit
sales, as estimated by PSR,  are  provided in column 2.  Each code was then thoroughly
researched  using the SIC  Manual.  First, the  SIC Manual's alphabetic index was searched  to
see if there  was a listing  that matched  the application code name.  Where a  match was not
found, the product listings given as part of the description of the SIC codes were searched for
matches.   When  matches  were  found by  either method,  the relevant  SIC  and  product
description were recorded (see columns 3 and 4 of Table 2-1).  In many  cases, several SIC
Manual product descriptions are available for each PSR application.  In these cases,  each  of
the descriptions is listed, with the description  that was believed to be the most accurate, or that
account for  the largest share of the PSR application code, provided first.
    2See Appendix A for a description of PSR's Engindata database.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              8                                      413-14

-------
           TABLE 2-1
CONCORDANCE BETWEEN PSH APPLICATIONS
       AND SIC INDUSTRIES
Application
CHAINSAWS
CHIPPERS/GRINDERS



COMM TURF
FRONT MOWERS
LEAF BLOW/VACS


LN MOWERS
LN/GDN TRACTORS
OTH LN GDN

REAR ENG RIDER
SHREDDERS
SNOWBLOWER
TILLERS
TRIM/EDGE/CUTTER

WOOD SPLTR
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT


TERMINAL TRACTORS
ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLES
GOLF CARTS
SNOWMOBILE
SPEC VEH/CARTS


AIR COMPRESSORS
GAS COMPRESSORS
GENTRSETS
PRES WASHERS
PUMPS
WELDERS
AERIAL LIFTS
FORKLIFTS
OTH GEN INDUST
OTH MAT HD
SCRUB/SWPH

BORE/DRILL RIGS
CEM/MTH MIXERS
CONCRETE/INO SAWS
CRANES




CBUSH-'PROC EQUIP



Sales (Units)
1991
844,849
4,433



230,747
72,179
222,828


5,444,874
1,018,515
29,125

362,714
14,696
532,996
87,859
3,069,770

10,474
655


23
91,831
58,494
114,143
16,485


37,117
184
483,302
73.992
148,868
47,824
3,773
10,322
6,044
69
6,210

700
18,467
',1.422
349




527



4-Digit
SIC
Mfg.
3546
3541
3523
3531
3546
3523
3524
3524
3564
3524
3524
3524
3524
3524
3524
3523
3524
3524
3524
3524
3531
3537
3S37
3537
3537
3799
3799
3799
3799
3799
3S44
3563
3563
3621
3532
3561
3S48
3531
3537
3537
3537
3589
3711
3533
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3537
3536
3531
3523
3532
3531
Source/Comments
SIC listing: Chain saws, portable
SIC index: Commercial Chippers
SIC index: Grinders and crushers, feed (Agricultural machinery) j
SJC index: Grinders, stone (portable) ]
SIC index: Grinders, snagging I
SIC index: Turf equipment commercial
SIC index; Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC index: Blowers, residential lawn ;
SIC index: Blowers, Commercial and industrial
SIC index: Vacuums, residential lawn '
SIC index: Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC listing: Tractors, lawn and garden
SIC listing: Mulchers, residential lawn and garden j
SIC listing: Seeders, residential lawn and garden
SIC index: Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC index: Shredders (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Snowblowers and throwers: residential
SIC index: Hototillers (Garden machinery)
SIC Index: Trimmers, hedge: power
SIC Index: Lawn edgers, power
SIC Index: Log splitters
SIC listing: Aircraft engine cradles
SIC listing: Hoists, aircraft loading
SIC Listing; Tractors, industrial (except mining): for freight, baggage, etc
SIC Listing: Tractors, industrial; for use in plants, depots, docks, and terminals
SIC index: AH terrain vehicles (A TV)
SIC index: Golf carts, powered
SIC index: Snowmobiles
SIC Listing: Gocarts, except childrens
SIC Listing: Autos, midget: power driven
SIC Listing: Gocarts, children's
Entire SIC 3563 (Air and gas compressors)
Entire SIC 3563 (Air and gas compressors)
SIC index: Generator sets: gasoline, diesei. and dual fuel
SIC index: Washers, aggregate and sand; stationary type
Entire SIC 3561 (Pumps and pumping equipment)
Welding and cutting apparatus, gas or electnc
SIC index* Aerial work platforms, hydraulic/electnc truck or earner mounted truck
SIC index: Forklift trucks
Entire SIC 3563 (industrial trucks, tractors, trailers, ana stackers}
Entire SIC 3563 (Industnal trucks, tractors, trailers, and stackers)
SIC index: Scrubbing machines
SIC index: Sweepers, street (motor vehrdes)
SIC Listing: Drill rigs, alt types
SIC index* Cement making machinery
SIC index: Concrete mixers and finishing machinery '<
SlC index: Cranes, construction
SIC index: Crane earners
SIC index. Cranes, except industrial plant
SIC index: Cranes, n-iooile industrial true*
SIC index; Cranes, overnead traveling
SIC index: Crushers, mineral: ponable
SIC index* Crushers, feed (Agricultural rnachrne'y**
SIC index: Crushers, mineral: stationary*
SIC listing* Rock Crushing machinery, portable

-------
           TABLE 2-1 (cont)
CONCORDANCE BETWEEN PSR APPLICATIONS
       AND SIC INDUSTRIES
Application
CRWLR DOZERS


DUMPERSfTENDERS
LT PLANTS/SIGNAL BDS
OTH CONST
PAVERS
PAVING EQ



PLATE COMPACTORS
R/T LOADER

ROLLERS


ROUGH TRN FORKLFTS
SIS LOADER

SURFACING EQUIP



TAMPERS/HAMMERS
TRAC/LDR/BCKHOE
TRENCHERS
2-WHEEL TRACTORS




AG MOWERS

AG TRACTOR
HYD POWER UNIT
OTH AG/EQ
SPRAYERS
TILLERS
SHREDDERS
DIST LOOSE
EXPTS-INO/CONST ENG
IRRG SETS
OIL FLD EQ
Sales (Units)
1991
19


1,688
3,531
458
1,557
19,494



6,683
154

3,585


152
18,137

8,258



2,616
742
6,473
2,145




644

5,761
5,149
644
11,688
247,255
32,551
793.775
2,966,984
4,068
1,308
REFRIGERATION/AC 31,169
RLWY MAINT
1,842
i
TACT MIL EQUIP j 3,384
UNDRGND MINE EQUIP 44

4-Digit
SIC
Mfg.
3531
3531
3531
3532
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3523
3531
3532
3524
3537
3523
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3531
3523
3531
3531
3531
3537
3523
3523
3523
3523
3523
3523
3523
3523
3519
3519
3523
3533
3585
3531
3743
3795
3532
3535
Source/Comments
SIC index: Tractors, crawler
SIC index: Dozers, tractor mounted: material moving
SIC index: Bulldozers, construction
SIC index: Dumpers, car: mining
Entire SIC 3531 (Construction machinery and equipment)
Entire SIC 3531 {Construction machinery and equipment)
SIC index: Pavers
SIC listing: Planers, bituminous
SIC index: Pavers breakers
SIC listing: Finishers, concrete and bituminous: powered
SIC listing: Road construction and maintenance machinery
SIC index: Compactors, soil: vibratory
SIC index: Loaders, shovel
SIC index: Loaders, farm type (general utility)
SIC index: Rollers, road
SIC index: Rollers and levelers, land (agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Lawn rollers, residential
SIC index: Forklift trucks
SIC index: Loaders, farm type (general utility)
SIC index: Loaders, shovel
SIC listing: Surfacers, concrete grinding
SIC listing: Finishers, concrete and bituminous: powered
SIC listing: Planers, bituminous
SIC listing: Road construction and maintenance machinery
SIC listing: Tampers, powered
SIC listing: Backhoes
SIC listing: Trenching machines
SIC index: Tractors, wheel: farm type
SIC index: Tractors, construction
SIC index: Tractors, crawler
SIC index: Tractors, tracklaying
SIC index: Tractors, industrial: for use in plants, depots, docks, and terminals
SIC index: Turf equipment, commercial
SIC index: Mowers and mower conditioners, hay
SIC index: Tractors, wheel: farm type
SIC index: Irrigation equipment, self-propelled
Entire SIC 3563 (Farm machinery and equipment)
SIC index: Spraying machines (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Field type rotary tillers (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Shredders (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Engines, internal combustion: except aircraft and nondeisei automotive
SIC index: Engines, internal combustion: except aircraft and nondeisei automotive
SIC index: Irrigation equipment, self-propelled
SIC index: Oil and gas field machinery and equipment
SIC index; Refrigeration machinery and equipment, industrial
SIC index: Railway track equipment: e.g., rail layers, ballast distributors
SIC index: Railway maintenance cars
SIC description: self propelled weapons I
SIC index: Mine machinery and equipment, except oil and gas field
SiC index: Mine conveyors
                     10

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

In Table 2-2 these descriptions  are converted to  the SIC basis, thereby providing an estimate
of unit sales by manufacturing SIC code. Engine industry sales represent only loose engines.
Transfers and  sales  to  other manufacturing plants  for  use in original equipment  are  not
provided.  It should also be noted  that only manufacturing  industries  are covered in this
analysis, although this methodology could  be extended to wholesale and retail industries,
Similarly, the remainder of the industry profile does not include detailed data on wholesale and
retail  industries.  However, the  importance  of these industries to  the distribution and service
of small nonroad engine and equipment products are discussed in Section 3, along with some
discussion  of the impacts that regulation might have on these industries.

Of the  eighteen manufacturing industries shown  in Table  2-2,  eleven were deemed  to be
important enough to be analyzed at  the industry level. The remaining SIC's were dropped
from consideration for the following  reasons. Several SIC's, including 3533, 3541, 3589 and
3795, had  sales of under 20,000 units and were  thus felt to be unimportant to the overall
analysis  of utility  engine  products. For three other SIC's,  including 3532, 3548 and 3585, all
of a relatively modest amount of sales  (30,000 to 75,000  units), are accounted for by a  single
product whose  assignment to the given  SIC is questionable enough to require further research,
SIC 3548,  for example,  included only the PSR application code for electric and gas welders.
However, no listing for welders that  require gasoline or diesel engines is provided in the SIC
Manual.

The selected SIC's include the Internal  Combustion Engine industry (SIC 3519) and ten  SIC's
that manufacture  equipment.  Of the ten SIC's,  nine were taken  from the  analysis presented
in Tables 2-1 and 2-2,  A tenth,  Motorcycles, Bicycles,  and Parts (SIC 3751) was  included
although such equipment is outside the scope of the PSR database. This is because the PSR
database does not include imported equipment with the engine already installed.  Since no off-
road motorcycles  are built in the U.S., no sales  are shown in the PSR database.  This SIC
includes the production  of motorcycles made strictly for off-road use as well as mini-hikes.
The final list of SIC's that are believed to have significant involvement in the manufacture of
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             11

-------
      TABLE 2-2
UNIT SALES BY SIC INDUSTRY
  AND PSR APPLICATION
4 -Digit
SIC
Mfg.
3519


3523












3524









3531





















Application
EXPTS-IND/CONST EN
DIST LOOSE
TOTAL
TILLERS
COMM TURF
SHREDDERS
S/S LOADER
SHREDDERS
SPRAYERS
AG TRACTOR
HYD POWER UNIT
IRRG SETS
2-WHEEL TRACTORS
AG MOWERS
OTH AG/EQ
TOTAL
LN MOWERS
TRIM/EDGE/CUTTER
LN/GDN TRACTORS
SNOWBLOWER
REAR ENG RIDER
LEAF BLOW/VACS
TILLERS
FRONT MOWERS
OTH LN GDN
TOTAL
PAVING EQ
CONCRiTE/IND SAWS
WOOD SPLTR
SURFACING EQUIP
PLATE COMPACTORS
TRENCHERS
AERIAL LIFTS
ROLLERS
LT PLANTS/SIGNAL BD
TAMPERS/RAMMERS
RLWY MAINT
PAVERS
TRAC/LDR/BCKHOE
CRUSH/PROC EQUIP
OTH CONST
CRANES
R/T LOADER
CRWLR DOZERS
CEM/MTR MIXERS
TOTAL
1991
Unit
Sales
2,966,984
793,775
3,760,759
247,255
230,747
32,551
18,137
14,696
1 1 ,688
5,761
5,149
4,068
2,145
644
644
573,485
5,444,874
3,069,770
1,018,515
532,996
362,714
222,828
87,859
72,179
29,125
10,840,860
19,494
11,422
10,474
8,258
6,683
6,473
3,773
3,586
3,531
2,616
1,842
1,557
742
527
458
349
154
19
18.467
100,425


Source/Comments
SIC index; Engines, internal combustion: except aircraft and noncteisel automotive
SIC index: Engines, internal combustion: except aircraft and nondeisel automotive

SIC index: Field type rotary tillers (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Turf equipment, commercial
SIC index: Shredders (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Loaders, farm type (general utility)
SIC index: Shredders (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Spraying machines (Agricultural machinery)
SIC index: Tractors, wheel: farm type
SIC index: Irrigation equipment, self-propelled
SIC index: Irrigation equipment, self-propelled
SIC index: Tractors, wheel: farm type
SIC index: Turf equipment, commercial
Entire SIC 3563 (Farm machinery and equipment)

SIC index: Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC Index: Trimmers, hedge: power
SIC listing: Tractors, lawn and garden
SIC index: Snowblowers and throwers: residential
SIC index: Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC index: Blowers, residential lawn
SIC index: Rototillers (Garden machinery)
SIC index: Lawnmowers, hand and power: residential
SIC listing: Mulchers, residential lawn and garden

SIC listing: Planers, bituminous
SIC index: Concrete mixers and finishing machinery
SiC Index: Log splitters
SIC listing: Surfacers, concrete grinding
SIC index: Compactors, soil: vibratory
SIC listing; Trenching machines
SIC index: Aerial work platforms, hydraulic/electric truck or carrier mounted truck
SIC index: Rollers, road
Entire SIC 3531 (Construction machinery and equipment)
SIC listing: Tampers, powered
SIC index: Railway track equipment: e.g., rail layers, ballast distributors
SIC index: Pavers
SIC listing: Backhoes
SIC index: Crushers, mineral: portable
Entire SIC 3531 {Construction machinery and equipment)
SIC index: Cranes, construction
SIC index: Loaders, shovel
SIC index: Tractors, crawler
SIC index: Cement making machinery

                12

-------
                                  TABLE 2-2
                            UNIT SALES BY SIC INDUSTRY
                              AND PSR APPLICATION
4-Digit
SIC
Mfg.
3532



3533


3537






3541
3546
3548
3561
3563
3563

3585
3589
3621
3795
3799
3799
3799
3799


Application
PRES WASHERS
DUMPERS/TENDERS
UNDRQND MINE EQUIP
TOTAL
OIL FLO EQ
BORE/DRILL RIGS
TOTAL
FORKLIFTS
OTH GEN INDUST
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT
ROUGH THN FORKLFTS
OTH MAT HD
TERMINAL TRACTORS
TOTAL
CHIPPERS/GRINDERS
CHAINSAWS
WELDERS
PUMPS
AIR COMPRESSORS
GAS COMPRESSORS
TOTAL
REFRIGERATION/AC
SCRUB/SWPR
GENTR SETS
TACT MIL EQUIP
SNOWMOBILE
ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLE I
	 _
SPEC VEH/CARTS |
1991
Unit
Sales
73,992
1,688
44
75,724
1,308
700
2,008
10,322
6,044
855
152
69
23
17,265
4,433
844,849
47,824
148,868
37,1 17
184
37,301
31,169
6,210
483,302
3,384
114,143
91,831
58,494
16,485


Source/Comments
SIC index: Washers, aggregate and sand: stationary type
SIC index: Dumpers, oar: mining
SIC index: Mine machinery and equipment, except oil and gas field

~ ~ ~ 	
SIC index: Oil and gas field machinery and equipment
SIC listing: Drill rigs, all types

SiC index: Forktift trucks
Entire SIC 3563 (Industrial trucks, tractors, trailers, and stackers)
SIC listing: Aircraft engine cradles
SIC index: Forklift trucks
Entire SIC 3563 (Industrial trucks, tractors, trailers, and stackers)
SIC listing: Tractors, industrial: for use in plants, depots, docks, and terminals

SIC index: Commercial Chippers
SIC listing: Chain saws, portable
Welding and cutting apparatus, gas or electric
Entire SIC 3561 (Pumps and pumping equipment)
Entire SIC 3563 (Air and gas compressors)
Entire SIC 3563 (Air and gas compressors}

SIC index: Refrigeration machinery and equipment, industrial
SIC index: Scrubbing machines
SIC index: Generator sets: gasoline, diese!, and dual fuel
SIC description: self propelled weapons
SIC index' Snowmobiles
SIC index: All terrain vehicles (ATV)
SIC index: Golf carts, powered
SIC listing: Gocarts, except childrens
'TOTAL
                          280,953
                                           13

-------
Jack Faucett Associates
DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE
December 1992
nonroad mobile sources of 50 horsepower or less, along with their 1991 unit sales as reported
in the  PSR database, includes the following SIC's.
•lilij&pili
siK-jjjSss^yvss:
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799

Internal Combustion Engines (Loose)
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.3

3,760,759
573,485
10,840,860
100,425
17,265
844,849
148,868
37,301
483,302
N.A,
280,953
Several items should be noted about this list and the unit sales data that are provided.  First,
the list includes 99 percent of the total sales of 17,258,819 units reported in the PSR database.
Second,  the  unit sales provided for  SIC 3519  (Internal  Combustion Engines)  includes  only
loose engines,  thereby  avoiding  double counting.
    3n.e,c. stands for "not elsewhere classified".
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
           14
        413-14

-------
                                                                                        TABLE 2-3
                                                                           INTERNAL COMBUSTION ENGINES
                                                                                BY TYPE OF ENGINE; 1990
                                                                                  (thousands of dollars)
Product D.SCnr,,.,,,,
! oMI
Gasoline (except outboard, aircraft, and automotive)
Under l 1 tip
11 to 21 >ip
21 to under 61 hp
NonauSornotive diesel (except aircraft)
Under 101 np
Autornot've diesel
Natural Gas ar-,d LPG
Production of under SOhp engines (known range)
Low
High
Number of
Companies*

22
18
9
9
13
9
9
7



Engines
Produced
Quantity
17,127,728
16,490,828
14,724,920
1,548,151
180,076
199,905
19,701
432,955
4,040

16,273,071
16,476,888
Percent
Fuel Type

100-0
B9.3
9.4
1.1
100.0
9,9
100.0
100.0



Total Shipments and
Interplant Transfers
Quantity
(D)
(D)



182,712

432,955
(D)



Value
f.o.b.
Plant
5,878,190
1,525,091



1,584,466

2,673,554
115,078



Shipments to
Other Companies
Quantity
(D)
(D)



134,078
12,356
322,880
(0)



Value
f.o.b.
Plant
4,758,374
1 .384,478
805,514
409,035
11,261
1,160,189
47,685
2,098,628
115,079

1,214,609
1 ,388,634
Percent
Fuel Type

100.0
58.2
29,5
0.8
1000
4.1
100.0
100.0



interplant Transfers
Quantity
(D)
CD)



48,634

110,075
(D)



Value
f.o.b.
Plant
1,119,816
140,613



404,277

574,926
(D!



Source, u S  Department of Commerce Current Industrial Reports, 1990
(D) Data vY'tniis-ld to avoid disclosing figures for individual companies
* Number o! companies refers to the number of companies which make their product in the U.S.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

An important question concerns how well the PSR database agrees with alternative estimates
of unit sales, shipments or production. Table 2-3 presents estimates of engine production and
shipments  for SIC  3519 collected by the Bureau of the  Census.  While  the total production
estimate  of 17,127,728 is within one percent  of the PSR estimate of 17,258,819,  significant
adjustments must be made to place both estimates on a comparable basis.

One problem is that the Census data includes engines of all sizes, while  the PSR tabulations
only include engines  of 50 horsepower or  less.   While the Census data provides some
information on engine size (provided in Table 2-3), not enough detail is  available to develop
an exact  estimate of unit sales.  Fortunately, however, engines sales in the size classes around
50  horsepower are sufficiently low that unit  sales may  be estimated fairly accurately.  For
example, only  180,076 or approximately one percent of  the 16,490,828 gasoline engines fall
in the 21 to 61 horsepower range.  Thus, the proportion of engines below 50 horsepower can
be estimated within one percent,  the high end of the range assuming all  engines in the 21 to
61 horsepower range are over 50 horsepower and the low end assuming they are all under 50
horsepower.  For this second best estimate,  automotive diesels are all assumed  to be over 50
horsepower and natural gas and LPG engines  under.

Note that while the spread between the low and high estimates of the unit sales range is very
small (about 1.3 percent), the range is fairly  significant  in terms of dollar sales (about 14.3
percent).  This is because the larger engines,  those in the 20 to  100 horsepower range, have
a much higher  unit value  (Le,,  price) than the smaller engines of less than 20 horsepower.

After adjusting the  Census data to exclude engines with power ratings of  over 50 horsepower,
Census  indicates the production of engines  between 0 and 50 horsepower to be in the range
of 16.3 to 16.5 million units, approximately  one million less than the  number of small engines
estimated by PSR's database.  However,  the  PSR  database includes loose engines imported
from  abroad.   The Current Industrial  Reports shows  imports  into  the  United  States  for
consumption to be 1,437.919 nonautomotive  diesel. gasoline, natural gasoline, and LPG engines

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             16                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucet t Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

of all sizes. If approximately  one million of these engines are under 50 horsepower, then the
PSR  and Current  Industrial Reports  are  in  close  agreement.   Neither Census  nor PSR
estimates, however, account for engines imported into the United States already installed in
equipment.

The PSR and  Census data indicate  that approximately 17.3  million pieces of equipment and
loose  engines  (excluding  off-road motorcycles) were produced or imported  into the  U.S. in
1990.  Almost all of these engines are gasoline  engines of 20 horsepower  or less, and are
incorporated into equipment produced in eleven 4-digit SIC industries.  However,  it  should be
noted that the  eleven 4-digit SIC industries found to be of relevance are not entirely comprised
of small nonroad engine and equipment manufacturers. This is directly due to the  fact that the
small  nonroad engine and equipment industry has  been arbitrarily  defined for regulatory
purposes and analysis and includes  diverse products that are employed in many uses.  JFA's
meticulous analysis to link these  products to 4-digit SIC industries, for which economic  data
are available, has resulted in the best possible identification of those industries in which small
nonroad engine  and equipment are produced.

As shown above, the Internal Combustion Engines industry (SIC 3519) closely represents those
manufacturers   engaged in the production of small  nonroad  engines.   Similarly,  products
produced  in the  Lawn and Garden Equipment industry (SIC  3524)  can almost entirely be
considered as  small nonroad equipment, since most, if not all, lawn and garden equipment are
under 50 horsepower.  On the  other hand, only chainsaws can be considered as small nonroad
equipment in the Power-Driven Hand Tools industry (SIC 3546).  As a result, the  economic
indicators relevant to SIC 3546 should be interpreted with caution, since the chainsaw market
may be different to the markets for the other products produced in that industry.

Although the products produced in  the Farm Machinery and Equipment industry (SIC 3523)
and those produced in the Construction Machinery industry (SIC 3531)  can be classified as
nonroad  equipment, many are likely to fall above the 50 horsepower  criteria that defines the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             17                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

small nonroad engine  and equipment industry.  This observation extends to the other 4-digit
SIC industries  relevant  to  this analysis  as  well.   A quantitative analysis that assesses  the
contribution of small nonroad engines and equipment to the value of shipments, or to output,
of the relevant  4-digit SIC  industries was not performed in this  study, largely because of the
extensive resources  that would be necessary to  compile sales  weighted price data for each
equipment type  - assuming that such price data was available to begin with.  Nevertheless,  a
review of the Standard Industrial Classification Manual, which presents the products that are
included in each 4-digit SIC industry, highlights the fact that some of the products included
under the 4-digit SIC industries relevant to this study (with the possible exception of the Lawn
and Garden Equipment industry and the  Internal Combustion Equipment industry) are likely
to be powered  by engines with ratings  above  50 horsepower.  Moreover,  other products
included in some of the 4-digit SIC industries  cannot be classified  as nonroad  engines or
equipment.4  With these caveats  in  mind,  profiles of the  eleven industries  in which  small
nonroad  engines and equipment are produced are provided  in the following sections.

                              2.2  MEASURES  OF SIZE

Information on the size  of the eleven potentially impacted  different industries  is a necessary
first step in understanding the  industries  and in assessing the economic impact of regulation.
Such  data can also lead to a better understanding of the current  overall structure of the
industries and recent performance trends.  This section will analyze the size of the industries
as measured by different factors, including the total  number of firms, the number of employees,
the  amount of output produced by each industry as  well as what value  they add  to the product.
and output as a  percent of Gross Domestic  Product (GDP).

Table 2-4 shows the number of companies for  the eleven industries most likely to  be affected
by regulation for the period 1982-1987.   Data  on overall manufacturing activity and the two-
    4The reader is referred  to the latest Standard Industrial Classification Manual for a  listing of the
products under each of the eleven 4-digit SIC industries included in this study.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              18                                       413-14

-------
                                                                     TABLE 2-4
                                                               NUMBER OF COMPANIES AND
                                                              ESTABLISHMENTS, BY INDUSTRY
                                                                     1982 AND 198?



SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799




Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
1987


Number of
Companies
310,341
48,900
13,523
9,158
224
1,576
149
872
448
183
333
223
349
242
617
All Establishments


Total
368.897
52,091
15,922
10,505
278
1,634
165
954
467
199
405
259
462
246
635
With 20
Employees
or more
126,294
13,849
7,544
4,269
150
464
81
422
173
68
226
136
302
56
174
1982


Number of
Companies
298,429
49,091
13,701
8,229
202
1,787
151
817
463
180
516
239
349
269
408
All Establishments


Total
358,061
52,912
16,453
9,443
253
1,903
175
939
489
302
626
282
472
273
425
with 20
Employees
or more
123,163
14,264
7,834
3,800
159
620
84
444
175
74
325
144
325
67
120
Percent Increase, 1982-1987


Number of
Companies
4.0
-0.4
-1.3
11,3
10.9
-11.8
-1.3
6.7
-3.2
1.7
-35.5
•6,7
0,0
-10.0
51.2
All Establishments


Total
3.0
•1.6
-3,2
11.2
9.9
-14,1
-5.7
1.6
•4.5
-34.1
-35.3
-8.2
-2.1
-9.9
49.4
with 20
Employees
or more
2.5
-2.9
-3.7
12.3
-5.7
-25.2
-3.6
-5.0
•1.1
-8.1
-30.5
-5,6
-7.1
-16.4
45.0
Source: Census of Manufacturers, General Summary, 1987 and 1982.

-------
Jack Fauceti Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	  December  1992

digit SIC industries which encompass the eleven selected 4-digit SIC industries are also shown
for comparative purposes.  When each industry is analyzed in isolation, the information on the
percentage increases in the number of companies and establishments provides an indication of
that industry's  economic health, all other things being equal. If entry and exit into and out of
the industry are free, the existence of net economic profits5 in the industry should induce other
profit-seeking firms to enter the market.  Theoretically,  entry  will continue until economic
profits are entirely competed away and the inducement for more  new firms to enter disappears.
As a result,  if the number of companies  and establishments  in a given industry has  been
increasing, then it may indicate  that  the  industry has  been,  or is, economically  healthy,
assuming  that economic profits  translate into economic health.

In terms  of the change in the number of companies and establishments,  the  Pumps  and
Pumping Equipment industry (SIC 3561) has contracted the most, showing a decrease of  35.5
percent, while  the Transportation  Equipment, n.e.c. industry (SIC 3799) has seen growth of
51.2 percent.   The largest industry, in terms of the number of companies,  is the Farm
Machinery and Equipment  industry (SIC 3523),  with  1576 firms, while  the smallest is the
Lawn  and Garden  Equipment  industry  (SIC  3524),  with 149 companies.   The  Internal
Combustion  Engines industry  (SIC  3519),  which may face increased  costs as a result of
regulation, has seen an increase  in  the number  of companies,  thereby  indicating  that the
industry is attracting new entrants and that  it may be reaping economic  profit.

Output figures  for the period 1984 to 1990 are provided in Table 2-5 and Table  2-6.  Data are
presented  for the eleven 4-digit SIC industries in both current dollars (Table  2-5) and constant
    5Economic profits are not the same as accounting profits, since the former refers to that return with
which a firm  retains Us investors.  Formally, economic profit (or loss) is defined as  the difference in
revenues received from the sale of output and the opportunity cost of the inputs used to make the output.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              20                                      413-14

-------
                                                                             TABLE 2-5
                                                                          VALUE OF SHIPMENTS
                                                                         BY INDUSTRY, 1984-1990
                                                                        {in millions of current dollars)
  SIC
 code

   35
   36
   37
 3519
 3523
 3524
 3531
 3537
 3546
 3561
 3563
 3621
 3751
 3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.


tent
it

e.c.










1990
2,873,501.6
256,344.7
194,847.9
367,926.7
12,224.2
11,546.2
4,910.0
16,069.6
2,727.5
2,805.8
4,830,3
3,806.9
7,672.2
1,475.8
2,241.5
1989
2,792,689.0
253,642.1
192,292.2
365,980.7
12,803.2
10,418.9
4,577.5
15,349.4
2,841.3
2,617.5
4,520,0
3,537.3
8,072.8
1,369.6
2,095.4
1988
2,682,508.9
243,260.6
186,950.8
354,047.8
12,432.4
8,731.7
4,828.4
14,476.8
2,826.6
2,505.0
4,497.8
3,485.7
7,601.4
1,056.8
1,779.1
1987
2,475,901.0
217,669.9
171,286.4
332,935.7
11,122.6
6,879.9
4,594.4
12,767.7
2,440.2
2,161.8
3,998.3
3,050.9
6,753.1
1,062.6
1,642.1
1986
2,260,314.6
208,523.9
196,245.2
313,825.1
10,896.2
6,745.4
3,647.0
12,987.1
2,330.2
2,142.4
5,433,6
2,817.5
6,608.1
1,032.0
1 , . o.2
1985
2,280,183.8
215,238.6
193,368.6
301,386.0
11,286,5
8,211.6
3,439.6
6,625.9
2,300.0
2,155.1
5,617.5
3,077.5
6,583.6
1,044.0
1,180.2
1984
2,253,847.2
210,408.3
1 87,995.2
280,241.0
1 1 ,869.7
9,858.1
3,239.8
12,692.7
2,255.8
2,016.3
5,680,1
3,108.9
6,760.5
1,152.6
1,196.9
Percent
Increase,
1984-1990
27.5
21.8
3.6
31.3
3.0
17.1
51.6
26.6
20,9
39.2
-15.0
22.5
13.5
28.0
87.3
Average
Annual
Percent
Increase*
4.6
3.6
0.6
5.2
0.5
2.9
8.6
4.4
3.5
6.5
-2.5
3.7
2.2
4.7
14.5
Source. Annual Survey ot Manufactures, Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries,
1990, 1988, 1986, and 1984.
•Calculated as [(1990 Value of Shipments - 1984 Value ot Shipments)/(1984 Value of Shipments)]/6 (i.e. a linear average).

-------
                                                                           TABLE 2-6
                                                                        VALUE OF SHIPMENTS
                                                                       BY INDUSTRY, 1984-1990
                                                                   (in millions of constant 1984 dollars)
  SIC
 cods

   35
   36
   37
 3519
 3523
 3524
 3531
 3537
 3546
 3561
 3563
 3621
 3751
 3799
Industry
Ail Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
1990
2,509,608.4
225,061.2
178,923.7
318,275.7
10,732.4
10,137.1
4,310.8
14,108.5
2,394.6
2,463.4
4,240.8
3,342.3
7,045.2
1,276.6
1,939.0
1989
2,548,073.9
229,125.7
179,544.5
326,477.0
11,565.7
9,411.8
4,135.0
13,865.8
2,566,7
2,364.5
4,083.1
3,195.4
7,537.6
1,221.8
1,869.2
1988
2,569,453.0
228,628.4
1 78,729.3
328,430.2
1 1 ,884.6
8,206.5
4,538.0
13,606.0
2,656.6
2,354.3
4,227.3
3,276.0
7,267.1
980.3
1 ,650.4
1987
2,453,816.7
210,920.4
165,814.5
314,386.9
10,777.7
6,666.6
4,451.9
12,371.8
2,364.5
2,094.8
3,874.3
2,956.3
6,537.4
1,003.4
1,550,6
1986
2,297,067.7
204,435.2
192,208,8
300,598.8
10,682.5
6,613.1
3,575.5
12,732.5
2,284,5
2,100.4
5,327.1
2,762.3
6,472.2
988.5
1,251.1
1985
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
11,031,2
8,196.1
3,375.8
6,544.7
2,266.5
2,070.5
5,551.3
3,035.4
6,359.0
1,050.0
1,158.5
1984
2,253,847.2
210,408.3
187,995.2
280,241,0
11,869.7
9,858.1
3,239.8
12,692.7
2,255.8
2,016.3
5,680.1
3,108.9
6,760.5
1,152.6
1,196.9
Percent
Increase
1984-1990
11.3
7.0
-4.8
13,6
-3.6
2.8
33.1
11.2
6,2
22.2
-25.3
7.5
4.2
10.8
62,0
Average
Annual
Percent
Increase
1.9
1.2
-0.8
2.3
-1.6
0,5
5.5
1.9
1.0
3.7
-4.2
1.3
0.7
1.8
10.3
N/A: Not Available
Source: Annual Survey ot Manufactures, Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries,
1990, 1988, 1986, and 1984.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December  1992

1984 dollars (Table 2-6).  Output is measured by the value of shipments.6  Constant,  or  real,
dollar figures account for changes in inflation to  give a better  indication of whether or not
sales, or output, have  increased.  In periods of high inflation, such as the late 1970's, the value
of shipments may have increased for a given firm  or industry.  However, if this increase was
less than the inflation rate, then that firm's output  would not have kept pace with other price
changes in the economy, and real output may have actually declined.7

Table 2-6  shows that for the industries included  in this study, the  largest constant  output
increase for the  period  1984-1990  occurred  in the Transportation Equipment,  n.e.c, industry
(SIC 3799), which exhibited  a growth of 62 percent.  The largest decrease occurred in the
Pumps and Pumping Equipment  industry (SIC 3561), whose output decreased by 25.3 percent.
These two  industries  had the largest and  smallest  growth in the  number  of  companies,
respectively,  as previously  noted.  Table 2-6 also shows  that constant dollar output is up for
both  the Industrial Machinery  and  Equipment  industry (SIC  35)  and the  Transportation
Equipment industry (SIC 37), while  it has  declined some  for the  Electronic and Electric
Equipment industry (SIC 36).

The Internal Combustion  Engines  industry (SIC 3519)  has had a decline in constant dollar
output of 9.6  percent over  the  1984-1990  period.   This  compares unfavorably  with  All
Manufacturing Industries (11.3 percent growth) and  SIC 35 (7.0 percent growth).  Although
such  a result may seem inconsistent  in  light of the earlier discussion of how  the number of
firms has increased for this industry, it should be noted that Table 2-4 is for the period 1982-
    6Value of shipments, as defined in the Annual Survey of Manufactures, "covers the received or
receivable net  selling values,  freight-on-board (f.o.b.) plant (exclusive of freight  and taxes),  of all
products shipped, both primary and secondary, as well as all miscellaneous receipts, such as receipts for
contract work performed for others, installation and repair, sales of scrap, and sales of products bought
and resold without further processing." These sales include exports but not imports, since the figures
represent U.S.  shipments.
    The Producer Price Index, provided by the Bureau  of Labor Statistics at the Department of Labor.
for the three 2-digit SIC code  industries and  for All Manufacturing Industries,  was  used  to convert to
constant 1984 dollars.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             23                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

1987  while Table  2-6 is  for  the  period  1984-1990.  As a result, recent  trends  may  not
necessarily be reflected in the data that describes the number of companies operating in a given
industry.

In contrast to the Internal Combustion Engines industry,  the Lawn and  Garden  Equipment
industry  grew by just over 33 percent in constant dollars from 1984 to  1990.   After a 25
percent increase from 1986 to 1987, however, industry shipments declined  in the 1988 to 1990
period, as depicted in Table  2-6.

For certain  industries, one might expect  to see a relationship between  industry  output and
fluctuations in the national economic  output.  In particular, sales  may depend on disposable
income, should consumers spend more during periods of expansion  and less during a recession.
If an industry's  sales vary directly with Gross Domestic Product (GDP), then the industry is
often  said to  be cyclical.  Figures 2-1 and 2-2 give an indication  of how  three industries,
Internal Combustion Engines (SIC 3519), Farm Machinery and Equipment  (SIC  3523). and
Lawn  and  Garden  Equipment  (SIC 3524) are related to the output of the  entire economy.
(Similar figures for the other industries included in this analysis are provided  in Appendix B).
All figures are in constant 1982 dollars, thereby accounting  for the  effect of inflation on prices
and, thus, on value of shipments.  The Y-axis on the left hand side of the  graph measures the
value  of shipments  for each industry while the secondary Y-axis measures  GDP for the period
1958-1986.  While these three industries  do not necessarily have  the same characteristics  as
the other 4-digit SIC industries relevant to this  study, they do produce a  large percentage  of
the engines and equipment  that  would  be affected  by regulation  (e.g.,  engines under 50
horsepower).  As shown in Figure 2-1, the Internal Combustion Engines  industry  (SIC 3519)
follows a somewhat more cyclical  pattern than  the Farm Machinery and Equipment industry
(SIC 3523).  Both have increased with GDP, but neither has, as of yet, fully recovered from
the effects  of the recession of 1981-1982.  In  fact, the effect was  more  pronounced on the
latter,  whose real output for  1986 was less than the corresponding figure  for 1958.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             24                                     413-14

-------
                Figure 2-1:  GDP and Selected Industries

                    1958-1986 (in Constant 1982 dollars)
                                                       I
   25000T
 S  200001
 o
Q
 c
 O

i  15000H
c
0)

I  10000
lc
CO
o
0)

-i
(0
    5000
       0
               T f  r
        1958
1964
                               1970
                ~I T
n	(	r  1	j	!	f—1  r

1976        1982
                                                                4000
                                                                3500
                                                                      C/)
                                                                      i_
                                                                      JS

                                                                3000  o

                                                                      c
                                                                      g


                                                                      5
                                                                2500  ~

                                                                      Q
                                                                      O
                                             2000
1500
                                   Year
                 GDP
                                SIC code 3519 *— SIC code 3523

-------
   5000



_ 4500H



I  4000-
o

c  3500-
g

1  3000-
f  2500
0)


.1  2000



|  1500

Q)

=  1000
(0


    500
Figure 2-2; GDP and SIC code 3524

  1958-1986 (in Constant 1982 dollars)
1958
                  1 964
           1 970
1976
1982
                                            4000
                                            3500
                                           -3000
                                            2500
                                            -2000
                                             500
                                                  CO
                o
                Q

                c

                .9.


                S,

                CL
                Q
                O
               Year
     GDP
                                       SIC code 3524

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	  	 December 1992

As  for the Lawn and Garden Equipment industry. Figure 2-2 indicates a pattern that is roughly
cyclical. Real output peaked in 1979 and then fell dramatically until 1981, when the trend was
reversed.  The relatively flat economic growth of the late 1970's, coupled with high inflation
rates, may  have  had detrimental effects on this industry. However, the growth of the 1980's.
particularly the high real growth rate of 7 percent for 1984 GDP, has helped to increase sales.
In addition, weather is an important  factor in determining the sales of equipment  in this
industry.   Although data were not compiled for a quantitative analysis of the  relationship
between precipitation and sales, one would expect these two factors to be related to each other
(Le., all else being  equal, sales would  be  higher in periods of high precipitation).

Seasonality is also  an important factor in  sales of lawn and garden equipment. According to
a 1989 report by the Outdoor Power Equipment Institute (OPEI)8, 29.7  percent of walk behind
lawnmower sales occurred in May and 21.4 percent in April (1988 data).  In addition, sales of
snow throwers  for  the same year  were concentrated  in the winter months of November and
December,  at 27.7  percent and 28.4 percent, respectively.  These  figures give an  idea of the
seasonality of sales for some equipment types  included  in the small  nonroad  engine and
equipment  industry.

Another way to measure  the output of an industry is through an evaluation of value added.
Value added measures the contribution of each industry to the overall value of their product.
and is calculated by subtracting the cost of various inputs, such as materials and supplies, from
the value of shipments.  For example, if one industry purchases engines from another in order
to make their product, then value added  would account for this purchase  by subtracting the
purchase from the  value of shipments.  A consideration of this measure  is important because
it measures the  true contribution  of an industry  to  the economy by excluding items  merely-
purchased  and repackaged.  Table 2-7 shows value added for  1990 for the eleven  4-digit SIC
industries as well as for  the major industrial groups (Le,, SIC 35, SIC  36. SIC 37, and All
    "OPEI, "Profile of the Outdoor Power Equipment Industry," 1989.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             27                                      413-1-

-------
                                                       TABLE 2-7
                                             VALUE ADDED BY MANUFACTURER,
                                                     BY INDUSTRY, 1990
                                                   (millions of 1990 dollars)
K)
Oo
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Purnps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
Value Added
1,326,361.7
132,165.8
106,983.9
146,916.3
4,899.8
5,978.5
2,006.5
6,797.3
1 ,036.7
1,471.8
2,552.8
1 ,769:9
4,005.3
570.8
798.3
Value of
Shipments
2,873,501.6
256,344.7
194,847,9
367,926.7
12,224.2
1 1 ,546.2
4,910.0
16,069.6
2,727.5
2,805.8
4,830.3
3,806.9
7,672.2
1 ,475.8
2,241.5
Value Added
as Percent
of Value
of Shipments
46.2
51.6
54.9
39.9
40.1
51,8
40.9
42.3
38.0
52.5
52.8
46.5
52.2
38.7
35.6
                    Source: Annual Survey of Manufactures, Statistics
                    for Industry Groups and Industries, 1990.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE      	December 1992

Manufacturing  Industries). In 1990, value added was highest for the Construction  Machinery
industry, at $6,797 million, and smallest for the Motorcycles, Bicycles and Parts industry, at
$570.8 million.

The third column of Table 2-7, however, provides a basis by which one can evaluate the
relevance of value added data.   In particular, it indicates  the percent of the value  of an
industry's  output for which it is  responsible.   On  the  low end  of the   spectrum,  the
Transportation  Equipment, n.e.c. industry accounts for 35.6  percent of the value of its output,
while  at  the  other  extreme, firms in  the  Pumps and  Pumping Equipment industry  are
responsible  for slightly over half of the value of their output.  This may reflect the fact that the
Transportation Equipment industry merely assembles previously manufactured parts. The Lawn
and Garden Equipment and Internal Combustion Engine industries both account for about 40
percent of the value of  their  shipments.   Table  2-7  indicates that  these industries  make
significant contributions to the value of their output.  In this sense, then, their production costs
are an important part of how their prices are determined.  As such, regulations affecting
production costs may have some effect on the  price of their output.

The output of the  eleven 4-digit SIC  industries  relative to the overall  output of the U.S.
economy  is the focus of Table 2-8.  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is  used  to measure the
output of the economy and is measured here in  constant 1984 dollars.  In  1990,  manufacturing
as a whole (Le., All Manufacturing Industries) accounted for about 63 percent of the U.S. GDP.
up  from 59.7 percent in  1984.   With  the  exception of two  industries,  Pumps and Pumping
Equipment and Internal Combustion Engines, the 4-digit SIC industries relevant to this study
accounted  for either slightly more or the same proportion of U.S. GDP in 1990 as in 1984.
Of these eleven 4-digit SIC industries, the Construction Machinery  industry contributed most
to GDP  in 1990, 0.36  percent  of the national value  of shipments,  while the Motorcycles,
Bicycles,  and  Parts industry  contributed  least,  only  0.03  percent.   Although the  Internal
Combustion  Engines  industry accounted  for less of GDP  in 1990  than  in  1984,  it  was  still
among the larger industries relevant to this studv in terms of its overall  contribution, at 0.27
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency-             29

-------
                                                    TABLE 2-8
                                         VALUE OF SHIPMENTS AS PERCENT OF
                                              GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
                                                  1984-1990
                                           (in millions of constant 1984 dollars)
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c,
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
1990
Value
of Shipments
2,509,608.4
225,061.2
178,923.7
318,275.7
10,732.4
10,137.1
4,310.8
14,108.5
2,394.6
2,463.4
4,240.8
3,342,3
7,045,2
1,276.6
1,939.0
GDP
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
3,937,341.9
As Percent
of GDP
63.74
5.72
4.54
8.08
0.27
0.26
0.11
0.36
0.06
0.06
0.11
0.08
0.18
0.03
0.05
1984
Value
of Shipments
2,253,847.2
210,408.3
187,995,2
280,241,0
11,869.7
9,858,1
3,239.8
12,692.7
2,255.8
2,016.3
5,680.1
3,108.9
6,760.5
1,152.6
1,196.9
GDP
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135,0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
3,775,135.0
As Percent
of GDP
59.70
5.57
4.98
7.42
0.31
0,26
0.09
0.34
0.06
0,05
0.15
0.08
0.18
0.03
0.03
Sources: Appendix C, Annual Energy Review, 1991, and Table 2-6

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

percent.  On the other hand, the Lawn and Garden Equipment  industry (SIC 3524) increased
its contribution to GDP from 0.09 percent in  1984 to 0,11 percent in 1990.

As  an important aside, Table 2-9  measures the individual contribution of each worker to the
output of its industry for 1984 and 1990.  An initial analysis of the data in this table yields an
interesting   result:  the  output per  worker for  each  individual  industry,  as  well  as  All
Manufacturing Industries, declined from 1984 to 1990. The largest decrease occurred in the
Power-Driven Handtools industry, while the smallest decrease was in the Farm Machinery  and
Equipment industry.  These  trends indicate that individual workers have become less important
in the overall production process.  If a firm can save money by  investing in capital equipment
and laying  off workers, then employment in these industries would decline, thereby resulting
in higher unemployment in the economy  as a whole if these workers  are not integrated into
other  industries.  As shown  in Table 2-9,  total employment has declined  for most industries
relevant  to  this study, which may signify that these industries have already turned to more
capital intensive measures to minimize their labor costs while maximizing their profits.  The
end result of regulation on employment levels would depend not only on the contribution of
each individual worker, but also on  how much a firm  needs to invest in new capital in order
to meet the goals of regulation,  if any regulations are  promulgated.

                       2.3   GEOGRAPHIC  CONSIDERATIONS

The geographic distribution of industries  is important in assessing the regional  impacts of
alternative  regulatory strategies.   Differing regional impacts can  occur both because  relative
shifts  in input costs favor  one  region over another, or  because  a  particular  industry is
concentrated in one or more locations.

Table 2-10 shows employment value added by manufactures, and value of shipments for three
industry  groups relevant to this study at the 3-digit SIC level. Beyond providing totals  for the
industry  groups of Engines  and Turbines  (SIC 351), Farm and  Garden  Machinery (SIC 352),

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             31                                     413-14

-------
                                                              TABLE 2-9
                                                    EMPLOYMENT AND VALUE OF SHIPMENTS,
                                                       BY INDUSTRY, 1984 AND 1990




SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799





Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
1990


Total
Employment
(1,000)
18,840.3
1,876.7
1.497.4
1,773.7
61.3
69.6
24,5
89.9
20.1
18.3
37.4
24.5
72.6
9.4
16.0
Value of
Shipments
(millions
of constant
1984 dollars)
2,509,608.4
225,061.2
178,923.7
318,275.7
10,732.4
10.137.1
4.310.8
14,108.5
2,394.6
2,463.4
4,240.8
3,342.3
7,045.2
1,276.6
1,939.0
Number of
Employees
Per 100,000
Dollars
of Output
0.75
0.83
0.84
0.56
0.57
0.69
0.57
0.64
0.84
0.74
0.88
0.73
1.03
0.74
0.83
1984


Total
Employment
(1,000)
19,139.7
2,051.9
2,033.3
1,709.3
78.2
75.4
23.2
95.8
21.6
20,0
57.5
27.8
84.2
10.4
12.1
Value of
Shipments
(millions
of constant
1984 dollars)
2,253,847.2
210,408.3
187,995.2
280,241.0
11,869.7
9.858.1
3.239.8
12,692,7
2,255,8
2,016.3
5,680.1
3,108.9
6,760.5
1,152.6
1,196.9
Number of
Employees
Per 100,000
Dollars
of Output
0.85
0.98
1.08
0.61
0.66
0.76
0,72
0,75
0.96
0.99
1.01
0.89
1.25
0,90
1.01
Percent Increase, 1984-1990



Total
Employment
-1.6
-8.5
-26.4
3.8
-21.6
-7.7
5.6
-6.2
-6.9
-8.5
-35.0
-11.9
-13.8
-9,6
32.2



Value of
Shipments
11.3
7.0
-4,8
13.6
-9.6
2.8
33.1
11.2
6.2
22.2
-25,3
7.5
4.2
10.8
62,0
Number of
Employees
Per 100,000
Dollars
of Output
-11.6
-14.5
-22.6
-8.6
-13.3
-10.2
-20.6
-15.6
-12.3
-25.1
-12.9
-18,0
-17.3
-18.4
-18.4
Source: Annual Survey of Manufactures, Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries, 1984 and 1990, and Table 2-6.

-------
                                                 TABLE 2-10
                                    INDUSTRY GROUP STATISTICS BY STATE, 1987
                                          (in millions of 1987 dollars)
SIC
code

351











352











353






















Industry

Engines and Turbines











Farm and Garden Machinery











Construction/Related Machinery






















State


California
Connecticut
Illinois
Indiana
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
New York
North Carolina
Ohio
Wisconsin

California
Georgia
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Minnesota
Nebraska
Ohio
Tennessee
Wisconsin

Alabama
California
Florida
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
New York
North Carolina
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
3ennsylvania
Texas
Virginia
Washington
Wisconsin

Employment
(1,000)

7.0
7.7
5.8
FF
FF
FF
FF
6.5
3.5
3.0
17.9

3.5
2.9
10.0
FF
11.1
4.2
2.9
4.1
3.4
FF
9.4

2.6
7.8
2.8
24.3
4.2
12.2
3.9
4.8
8.8
4.6
2.7
FF
4.1
12.6
6.8
2.5
13.2
23.3
4.0
2.8
9.9
Value Added
by Manufacturer

7,039.5
347.7
635.3
983.5
D
D
D
D
616.6
309.4
214.9
1,276.2
5,625.4
166.2
181.7
889.4
D
856.6
162.8
209.6
243.0
180.1
D
1.001.7
11,344.1
108.2
391.3
147.1
1,963.6
266.2
1,113.8
224.2
322.0
577.1
224.7
99.3
D
214.4
698.3
311.1
147.9
823.7
1,105.6
225.6
143.8
619.6
Percent
of Total


4.9
9.0
14.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
8.8
4.4
3.1
18.1

3.0
3.2
15.8
0.0
15.2
2.9
3.7
4.3
3.2
0.0
17.8

1.0
3.4
1.3
17.3
2.3
9.8
2.0
2.8
5.1
2.0
0.9
0.0
1.9
6.2
2.7
1.3
7.3
9.7
2.0
1.3
5.5
Value of
Shipments

14,570.4
730.6
1,140.3
1,817.3
D
D
D
D
1,027.5
658.9
502.7
2,532.9
11,474.3
313.5
441.9
1,563.4
D
1,530.7
345.6
401.6
481.0
464.9
D
2.058.9
24,622.3
263.1
917.7
281.4
4,483.2
517.2
2,471.9
529.7
797.9
1,275.6
565.1
234.1
D
559.6
1.444.4
668.2
308.5
1,496.3
2,533.3
460.4
296.6
1.317.9
Percent
of Total


5.0
7.8
12.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
7.1
4.5
3.5
17.4

2.7
3.9
13.6
0.0
13.3
3.0
3.5
4.2
4.1
0.0
17.9

1.1
3.7
1.1
18.2
2.1
10.0
2.2
3.2
5.2
2.3
1.0
0.0
2.3
5.9
2.7
1.3
6.1
10.3 i
1.9
1.2
5.4
FF: 2,500 employees or more
D: Data not reported
States shown are those with total number of employees in given industry of 2,500 and above.
Source: Census of Manufactures, General Summary, 1987.
                                                     33

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Construction and Related Machinery  (SIC 353), Table  2-10  shows  those  States  for each
industry  group which have total employment of 2,500 or more.  Data in Table 2-10 is limited
to only 3-digit SIC's because State level 2-digit SIC industry groupings were too broad to be
of relevance when dealing with large aggregates such as value of shipments and value added,
while State level data at the 4-digit SIC level were incomplete due to extensive withholding
and disclosure  constraints for individual  firms operating in a given State.

Of the industry groups provided  in Table 2-10, the concentration of companies in terms of
employment, value added, and value of shipments, is  in the Mid-West, specifically  the States
of Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa,  and Ohio.  Engine manufacturing companies originally developed
in this area during  the  1800's  because  of the region's access to raw materials and  proximity
to the  Great Lakes.   Though it can be argued  that modern day transportation and  inventory
techniques have made the advantages of operating in this region virtually non-existent, several
large engine manufacturers such as Briggs & Stratton (located in Milwaukee,  Wisconsin) and
Kohler (located in Kohler, Wisconsin), along with a wide variety of supporting and interrelated
industrial facilities, have been established and still remain in this region.  The advantages of
locating  in this region may no  longer exist to the extent  that they once did, but the region  has
certainly not become disadvantageous.   As a result, there  is no  apparent economic reason for
firms to incur the costs of relocation away from this region. The States mentioned above may,
therefore, be affected by regulation  more significantly  and directly than most other States
which  participate in these industries.

                              2.4 COMMODITY  INPUTS

When  analyzing regulatory impacts on industries  which involve a series of transactions from
purchases  of supplies  to the  delivery  of products,  it  becomes  important  to  examine  the
economic impacts which will inevitably extend well beyond those  of the regulated industries.
As evidenced  in Table  2-11,  purchases from  other  industries (intermediate  inputs) by  the
Engines and Turbines industry, the Farm and Garden Machinery  industry, and the Construction

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             34                                     413-14

-------
                                               TABLE 2-11
                                 THE MAKE OF COMMODITIES BY INDUSTRIES, 1982
                                              (in millions of dollars)


Industry Number

Commodity:
Agricultural, forestry, and fishery services
Coal mining
Repair and maintenance construction
Food and kindred products
Apparel
Lumber and wood products, except containers
Paper and allied products, except containers
Paperboard containers and boxes
Printing and publishing
Chemicals and selected chemical products
Paints and allied products
Petroleum refining and related industries
Rubber and miscellaneous plastics products
Stone and clay products
Primary iron and steel manufacturing
Primary nonferrous metals manufacturing
Heating, plumbing, and fabricated structural metal products
Screw machine products and stampings
Other fabricated metal products
Engines and turbines
Farm and garden machinery
Construction and mining machinery
Metalworking machinery and equipment
General industrial machinery equipment
Miscellaneous machinery, except electrical
Electric Industrial Equipment
Electric lighting and wiring equipment
Miscellaneous electrical machinery and supplies
Motor vehicles and equipment
Scientific and controlling instruments

Engines and Turbines
43
S

1
4
61
1
2

8
15
10
4
6
35
67
81
1.793
582
135
141
290
1,104


100
277
341
529
(*)
147
14
2
Optical, opthamalmic.and photographic equipment '< A
Miscellaneous manufacturing 2
Transportation and warehousing : 135
Communications, except radio and TV 67
Private electric, gas.water, and sanitary expenses : 208
Wholesale and retail trade : 660
Finance and insurance ; 67
Real estate and rental ' 24
Hotels;personal and repair services(except auto) • 19
Business and professional services except medical
Eating and drinking places
Automobile repair services
Amusements
Health, educational, social services and nonprofit organizations
Federal Government enterprises
259
30
28
1
%

0.01
0.05
083
0.01
0.03
0.00
0.11
0.20
0.14
0.05
0.08
0.48
0.92
1.11
24.49
7.95
1.84
1.93
3.96
15.08
0.00
0.00
1.37
3.78
4.66
7.23
0.00
2.01
0.19
0.03
0.05
0.03
1.86
0.92
2.84
9.02
0.92
0.33
0.26
3.54
0.41
0.38
0.01
4 0.05
17 I 0.23
i !
State and local government enterprises
Noncomparable imports
Scrap, used, and secondhand goods
Total Intermediate Inputs
Total Industry Output
Intermediate Inputs as % Total Industry Output
4 0.05
19
24
7,321
12,217
60
0.26
Farm and Garden
Machinery
44
$

2
4
97
1
(*)
45
3
29
10
14
43
24
483
34
1,183
107

237
102
729
1,259

49
427
314
34
7
93
56
3
4
2
221
43
176
1,081
52
22
17
455
46
8
C)
4
31
%

0.03
0.05
1.28
0.01
0.00
0.59
0.04
0.38
0.13
0.18
0.57
0.32
6.36
0.45
15.58
1.41
0.00
3.12
1.34
9.60
16.58
O.OO
0.65
5.62
4.14
0.45
0.09
1.22
0.74
0.04
0.05
0.03
2.91
0.57
2.32
14.24
0.68
0.29
0.22
5.99
0.61
Construction/Mining
Machinery
45
S

1
8
217
1
1
21
5
3
22
52
35
74
477
1 15
3.109
125
542
95
576
459

1.221
168
746
311
202
1
12
14
d
8
9
266
129
393
1,243
119
%

0.01
0.07
1.82
0.01
0.01
0.18
0.04
0.03
0.18
0 44
0 29
0.62
399
0.96
26.03
1 05
4 54
080
4.82
3 84
0.00
10.22
1.41
6 25
2.60
1.69
0.01
0.10
0 12
0 03
0.07
008
2 23
1 OS
3.29
10.41
1.00
71 0.59
43 0 35
799
88
0.11 20
0.00 1
0.05
0.41

2
25
0.33 15
! 7,592
12,598
60
0.03
0.33
0.20



5
33

4
87
8
11,942
23,736
6 69
0.74
0.17
001
0.04
0.28

0.03
0.73
0.07


50 ! .
Source: Survey of Current Business, by Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, 1991
(*) Less than $500,000

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

and Mining  Machinery  industry comprise  60, 60, and 50  percent, respectively, of each
industry's total  industry output.   It  is, therefore, important to consider  the secondary  effects
which regulation might have  on these intermediate  input industries.

Total requirement input-output tables (only readily available at the 2-digit SIC level) are very
effective in illustrating the extent of these secondary effects — where these secondary  effects
apply to those intermediate industries which supply products to the three 3-digit SIC industries
shown in Tables 2-10 and 2-11.  Input-output tables can be used to specify the  cumulative
impact  of a  change  in a primary  industry's output on all other industries,  including the
interindustry  transactions  required to meet the changes in the structure of demand.  Moreover,
these tables  can be used to  examine  the pattern of inputs  to  the  industries; an important
consideration in examining  the  market power of suppliers. A portion of one of these tables,
which illustrates the dollar inputs purchased by three of the 3-digit SIC industries relevant to
the small nonroad engine and equipment market, is shown in Table 2-11. The products most
purchased by these industries are those of the primary iron and steel manufacturing  industry.
The industries for whom data  is provided in Table 2-11 and the interindustry goods  — Engines
and Turbines,  Farm  and Garden Machinery, and Construction  and Mining Machinery —
purchase 24.5 percent, 15.6  percent, and  26.0 percent of their intermediate  inputs  from the
primary  iron and steel industry, respectively.

A survey conducted  by  the  Outdoor  Power  Equipment Institute (OPEI) provides  another
glimpse  into  input  patterns and  potential  secondary impacts of potential regulatory  policy.9
OPEI's survey of members results  offer a simplified look at commodity inputs by splitting
inputs into cost of materials and cost of components. The results  of this survey are illustrated
in Table 2-12.  Finished  goods  producers  reported  that a total of 9.5 percent of the value of
shipments was accounted  for by raw materials, and 42.7 percent by components. OPEI's study
shows that the percentages for specific .raw materials, such as steel and plastics, changed little
   9OPEI, "Profile of the Outdoor Power Equipment Industry," 1989.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             36     .                                 413-14

-------
                      TABLE 2-12
         COSTS OF MATERIALS AND COMPONENTS
     FOR OUTDOOR POWER EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS
Cost of Materials
Steel
Plastices
Cartons
Paint
Aluminum
Magnesium
Other
         Total

*Less than $1 million
Cost of Components
Engines
Transmissions
Wheels
Attachments
Tires
Belts
Seats
Batteries
Bags
Other
         Total
1988
Percent
48.5%
19.1%
1 6.3%
5.7%
4.2%
0.1%
6.1%
1 00%
1988
Percent
52.4%
7.6%
4.6%
3.0%
2.9%
1 .8%
1 .4%
1 .4%
1 .2%
23.7%
1988
Millions
$174
$69
$59
$20
$15
*
$22
$359
1988
Millions
$ 841
$ 122
$ 74
$ 48
$ 47
$ 29
$ 22
$ 22
$ 19
$ 381
1983
Percent
52%
21%
5%
2%
11%
1%
8%
100%
1983
Percent
58%
9%
6%
NA
NA
NA
NA
2%
2%
23%
1978
Percent
44%
13%
11%
2%
11%
*
19%
1 00%
1978
Percent
66%
3%
7%
NA
NA
NA
NA
1%
1%
22%
100%
$1,605    100%
100%
Source: OPEI Industry Survey, 1978, 1983, 1988
                              37

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

from  1983 to  1988.  Although these data indicate a continuing decline in the value of engines
as a percent of all components, the relatively high percentage of components  as part of total
value of shipments, a little over 22 percent, maintains engines as a major industry expenditure.
Overall,  the OPEI member manufacturers  spent 52.2 percent of their total value of shipments
on raw materials and components combined.  The similarity in these results compared to the
range of 50 percent to 61 percent of total inputs illustrated in the  interindustry input-output
table  (Le., Table 2-11), and the fact that both also list  steel  and engines as the two major
inputs, lends credence to the data provided in this study.

                         2.5  NEW  CAPITAL EXPENDITURES

How  firms spend capital is an important part of the production process.  A firm which needs
to invest heavily in new capital as a result of regulatory actions may find that their production
costs  will rise.  As a result, consumers may  see these costs passed on in the form of higher
prices.   Regulation  may thus  increase the capital expenditures  of industries which  need to
invest in new equipment to meet  the regulatory goals.

Table 2-13 shows new capital expenditures over the period 1982-1990, and presents  average
expenditure figures for  the eleven  4-digit SIC  industries considered  in  this study.   For
comparison purposes, data for  All Manufacturing Industries, as well as for the more aggregate
2-digit SIC industries, are also included.   In general,  new capital expenditures for the eleven
4-digit SIC industries  have increased in conjunction  with  the 2-digit SIC industries  and All
Manufacturing Industries.  While most 4-digit SIC industries have had relatively stable growth
in their  new  capital  expenditures, a few have recently had  higher expenditures  than  their
average expenditures for the period 1982-1990.  In particular, the Lawn and Garden Equipment
industry  spent $127.1  million  on new capital in 1989 and $111.2 in 1987. For this industry,
these  yearly  expenditures  were  about   $40 million  above  their average yearly  capital

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             38                                      413-14

-------
                                                                            TABLE 2-13
                                                                    NEW CAPITAL EXPENDITURES,
                                                                      BY INDUSTRY, 1982-1990
                                                                    {in millions of current dollars)
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Purnps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
1990
101,953,1
8,293.8
9,237.1
10,578.7
524.6
210.1
82.2
638.1
49.0
98.4
146.2
60.3
238 8
24.0
43.0
1989
97,186.7
8,051,5
8,664.1
9,966.7
439.0
183.0
127.1
633.3
53.0
66.2
99.8
49.2
215.5
25.9
57.1
1988
80,567.3
6,854.6
7,972.4
7,147.3
467.3
179.7
97.4
462.8
55.2
59
102.2
70 7
205.2
16,7
26.5
1987
78,647.8
6,954.6
6,875.1
10,779.7
529.1
200.2
111.2
335.8
37.5
46.2
95.8
68.8
201.6
30,7
37.6
1986
76,354.5
6,690.6
9,059.8
11,295.3
338.0
138.9
54.0
296.0
30.8
72.1
142.9
68.0
232.7
21.4
29.0
1985
83,058.3
8,323.0
10,466,3
10,377.7
404.9
163.5
70.7
301 8
45.7
80.3
184.5
110.3
262.5
23 4
30.2
1984
75,185,8
8,035.2
9,992.3
8,026.3
417.3
158.7
65,9
248.1
36.3
50.6
175.5
115.3
244.9
20.3
20.8
1983
62,204.3
6,425.2
7,260.6
5,061.0
375.6
143.7
43.2
323.4
55.2
45.4
151.1
94.8
204.6
26.5
16.5
1982
74,561.6
8,537.2
7,542.4
7,214.4
599.9
341.2
51.1
419.4
80.3
68.1
227.5
118.1
275.4
23,1
15.0
Average
annual
Average growth rate
1982-1990 1983-1990
81,079.9
7,574.0
8,563.3
8,938.6
455.1
191.0
78.1
406.5
49.2
65.1
147.3
83,9
231.2
23.6
30.6
9.13
4.15
3.89
15.57
5.67
6,60
12.90
13.90
-1.60
16.68
-0.46
-5.20
2.39
-1.35
22.94
Source: Annual Survey of Manufactures, Statistics lor Industry Groups and Industries, 1990, 1988, 1986, 1984, and 1983.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

expenditures for the period in question.

Table 2-13 also contains a measure of the average growth rate of new capital expenditures for
1983-1990.  In general, the annual growth in capital expenditures  is highest for the Lawn and
Garden Equipment  industry  and  the  Construction  Machinery industry.   Six 4-digit SIC
industries are  characterized by growth in capital spending,  while four have experienced  little
or even  negative  growth.  Although the Internal Combustion Engines industry  enjoyed  a
moderate current dollar growth  rate of 5.67  percent over the period  1983-1990, this industry
spent most on new capital in 1982. This fact is even more striking given that the estimates in
Table 2-13 have not been adjusted for inflation.

Yet total capital expenditures alone do not indicate how regulation could impact an industry.
The breakdown   of  capital  expenditures   between   machinery  and  buildings  is  also  of
significance.  Table 2-14  shows that machinery and equipment account for  the bulk of capital
expenditures for the eleven 4-digit SIC industries included in this analysis.  This table includes
data from 1990 to give an overview of how  firms allocate  capital.  In general,  firms included
under All Manufacturing  Industries  together spend a substantial  portion of their capital on
machinery  and equipment (about 84  percent).   For the individual  4-digit SIC industries, the
percentages range from  92.4 for the Internal  Combustion Engines  industry to 73.3  for the
Pumps  and Pumping  Equipment  industry.   The  high percentage  of  capital expended on
machinery  and equipment emphasizes the capital intensity of these industries.

                              2.6 CAPITAL INTENSITY

Capital  intensity is a measure of what portion  of a firms'  resources are spent  on capital, and
is often measured  by the  ratio of capital to output.  The total value of capital  is presented  in
Table 2-15 and is estimated as  the gross book value of an industry's assets at the end of a
given year (which in this case is 1987).  Output is measured  in Table  2-15 by. the value  of
shipments for the  year.   The ratio of assets to value  of shipments provides an  indication  of

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             40                                      413-14

-------
                                                   TABLE 2-14
                                           NEW CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
                                         FOR PLANT AND EQUIPMENT, 1990
                                            (in millions of 1990 dollars)
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
Total
New Capital
Expenditures
101,953.1
8,293.8
9,237.1
10,578.7
524.6
210.1
82.2
638.1
49.0
98.4
146.2
60.3
238.8
24.0
43.0
Buildings
and other
structures
16,284.9
1,437.6
1,484.6
1,866.4
39.7
24.1
14.1
72.6
9.9
17.0
38.0
14.8
27.0
4.9
6.2
Percent
of Total
16.0
17.3
16.1
17.6
7.6
11.5
17.2
11.4
20.2
17.3
26.0
24.5
11.3
20.4
14.4
Machinery
and
Equipment
85,668.1
6,856.2
7,752.5
8,712.3
484.8
186.0
68.1
565.5
39.1
81.4
108.1
45.5
211.8
19.1
36.8
Percent
of Total
84.0
82.7
83.9
82.4
92.4
88.5
82.8
88.6
79.8
82.7
73.9
75.5
88.7
79.6
85.6
Source: Annual Survey of Manufactures, Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries, 1990.

-------
                                                     TABLE 2-15
                                        VALUE OF SHIPMENTS AND GROSS BOOK VALUE
                                              OF END OF YEAR ASSETS, 1987
                                               (in millions of 1987 dollars)
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electric and Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipement, n.e.c.
Gross Book Value of Assets, End of Year
Total
921,657.8
79,952.1
66,566.1
89,000,9
5,672.8
3,038.9
861.6
5,465.2
662.8
647,7
1,546.3
1,154.4
2,643.4
252.6
370.9
Buildings
and Other
Structures
207,741.6
19,926.4
17,026.9
22,874.7
1,327.1
716.5
222.8
1,549.3
215.4
113.8
377.9
326.1
544.5
61.0
129.6
Machinery
and
Equipment
713,916.2
60,025.7
49,539.2
66,126.1
4,345.7
2,322.5
638.8
3,915.9
447.4
533.9
1,168.4
828.4
2,098.9
191.6
241.3
Value of
Shipments
2,475,901.0
217,669.6
171,286.4
332,935.7
11,122.6
6,879.9
4,594.4
12,767.7
2,440.2
2,161.8
3,998.3
3,050.9
6,753.1
1,062.6
1,642.1
Assets as
Percent
of Value of
Shipments
37.2
36.7
38.9
26.7
51.0
44.2
18,8
42.8
27.2
30.0
38.7
37.8
39.1
23.8
22.6
Source: Census of Manufactures, Industry Series, 1987.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

whether or not an industry is capital intensive.  For  example, Table  2-15 shows that All
Manufacturing Industries had an asset to output ratio of about 37 percent.  The capital intensity
of the 4-digit SIC industries relevant to this study can be determined by comparing their capital
to output ratios to those of All Manufacturing Industries and to those of the 2-digit SIC  code
industries. The ratios range from  18.8 percent for the Lawn and Garden Equipment industry
to 51  percent for the Internal  Combustion  Engines industry.  While some industries seem to
be more capital intensive than others, it should be noted that if regulation impacts the capital
characteristics  of the production  process  it  is more likely  to  have  an impact on engine
manufacturers  rather than equipment manufacturers, since the Internal  Combustion Engine
industry is the most capital intensive of the 4-digit SIC industries considered in this study.

In addition to capital intensity, the rate  of capital turnover is  also an important  factor to
consider when conducting an economic impact assessment of regulation.  All other things being
equal, if regulatory efforts induce retooling  and investment in new capital, then those industries
that replace capital stocks quickly  are  likely to be less  influenced by regulation.  Table  2-16
presents new capital expenditures, as a percent of total capital stock, and capital turnover  rates
for the  industries relevant  to this study. Capital turnover rates are calculated as follows:
              Capital  Expenditures        x      CTR  =      100%
              as a % of Capital  Stock
where, CTR is the capital  turnover rate and represents the number of years that it would take
an industry  to replace  100 percent of its capital stock given the current capital expenditures to
capital stock  ratio.   Table 2-16 shows that  the capital  turnover  rates  for  the 4-digit SIC
industries included in this analysis  range from  12.7 years in the Power-Driven Hand Tools
industry to 32.1 years in the Industrial Trucks and Tractors industry.  The Internal Combustion
Engines and Lawn and Garden Equipment industries have rates of 18.6 years and 15.7 years,
respectively,  above  the  13.5 year  rate  for  All  Manufacturing Industries,  which  can be
considered as the average  capital turnover rate in the manufacturing sector.


U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             43                                      413-14

-------
                                                 TABLE 2-16
                                         NEW CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND
                                             NET CAPITAL STOCKS, 1986
                                             (in millions of 1986 dollars)
SIC
code

35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electric and Electronic Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipement, n.e.c.
Net Capital
Stocks,
Plant
350402.0
35427,0
31190,0
34091,0
2107.3
1645.0
369.4
3445.0
514.6
291.6
1012.6
496,3
1072.1
94.5
170.7
Net Capital
Stocks,
Equipment
680401.0
57634,0
51565.0
60603.0
4170.3
2321.1
476.6
4393.8
472.7
622.7
1796.6
896,3
2138.1
198.1
193.2
Total
Net Capital
Stocks
1030803,0
93061.0
82755.0
94694.0
6277.6
3966.0
845.9
7838.7
987.4
914,3
2809,2
1392,6
3210.2
292,6
363.8
New
Capital
Expenditures
76354.5
6690.6
9059.8
11295.3
338.0
138.9
54.0
296.0
30.8
72.1
142.9
68.0
232.7
21,4
29.0
Capital
Expenditures
as Percent
of Capital
Stock
7.4
7,2
10.9
11.9
5.4
3.5
6.4
3.8
3.1
7.9
5.1
4.9
7.2
7.3
8.0
Years
for
Capital
Replacement
13.5
13.9
9.1
8.4
18.6
28.6
15.7
26.5
32.1
12.7
19.7
20.5
13.8
13.7
12.5
Sources: Annual Survey of Manufactures, Statistics for Industry Groups and Industries, 1986, and Jack Faucett Associates,
Capital Stocks Data Update, JACKFAU-374-90, March  1990

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992
                           2.7  CONCENTRATION RATIOS

The  type of competition which exists  in an  industry can have important implications  in
assessing  the impact of regulation,  including both  traditional  command and  control type
regulations and economic incentive approaches.  Although the  number of firms could be used
as a crude measure of what type of competition exists within an industry, it does not explain
how different firms impact the market.  For example, an industry could have over two thousand
firms, but if only four firms account for 80 percent of total sales, then the market would seem
to be characterized by imperfect competition.  Concentration ratios measure the relationship
between  the  sales of the entire industry and the sales of the  largest firms.  The  higher  the
concentration ratio, the further  the industry  is from the  economic  concept  of a competitive
market. Noncompetitive markets often result in higher prices,  lower output and misallocation
of resources.  Moreover, the impact of regulation  will differ  depending on the degree  of
competitiveness  in the industry.

Table 2-17 shows concentration  ratios for the  eleven industries for the period from  1977 to
1987.  In the Lawn and Garden Equipment  industry, the 8 largest companies accounted  for
over 70 percent of the value  of shipments, while the 20 largest companies controlled 92 percent
of the market.  The concentration ratios in  the  Internal Combustion  Engines industry also
indicate that  oligopolistic conditions (a situation  where a few  firms control  the  market) may
be present.   In particular, the eight largest companies account for 74 percent of the  market.
Over time, these  two industries have become  more concentrated,  with the increase  more
prevalent  in  the latter.   Even the Farm  Machinery  and  Equipment industry, which  has  the
largest number of companies and lowest concentration ratios of the eleven  4-digit industries
considered in this report, does not seem to be close to the competitive model.  In general, these
industries exhibit characteristics of high  concentration and imperfect competition.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             45                                     413-14

-------
                                                                       TABLE 2-17
                                                        CONCENTRATION RATIOS, BY INDUSTRY
                                                                1987, 1982, AND 1987
                                                        (as measured by share of Value of Shipments)
SIC
code
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.
Number of
companies
1987 1982 1977
224 202 187
1,576 1,787 1,868
149 151 137
872 817 807
448 463 450
1 83 1 80 99
333 516 515
223 239 148
349 349 343
242 269 343
617 • 408 408
4 largest
companies
1987 1982 1977
52 48 49
45 53 46
52 40 30
48 42 47
35 36 45
45 55 50
19 19 17
36 41 45
36 36 42
66 59 66
29 24 35
8 largest
companies
1987 1982 1977
74 66 70
52 62 61
71 57 51
56 52 59
44 51 61
66 73 70
31 30 29
50 57 64
49 50 55
74 79 81
41 33 46
20 largest
companies
1987 1982 1977
90 87 88
60 69 70
92 86 82
66 69 75
59 66 75
89 90 95
51 51 52
74 79 86
67 67 72
82 88 89
58 52 63
50 largest
companies
1987 1982 1977
97 97 98
69 77 78
98 97 96
79 81 86
76 80 86
96 97 99
77 77 78
91 92 96
84 84 86
90 94 94
70 72 79
Source: Census of Manufactures, Concentration Ratios in Manufacturing, 1987 and 1982,

Note: For SIC codes 3537, 3561, and 3569, data for 1982 and 1977 are from the 1982 report.
According to the 1987 report, the SIC codes for these industries have not changed from the 1972 system.
However, the defintion and content of these industries has changed greatly.
See Appendix C and the Industry Series report for these industries for
a comparison of the old and new SIC codes.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                            2.8 CAPACITY UTILIZATION

Capacity  utilization rates  measure an  industry's  potential output  as compared to its actual
output.  In particular,  these rates are measured as the ratio of the actual level of operations to
the full production level.  A low ratio  would imply that an industry has excess capacity and
is not operating near their maximum output level.  Regulation could result in lower capacity
ratios if demand  slackens  or  if,  for example,  a  firm  in  the Internal  Combustion Engines
industry incurs additional costs in conforming engines to meet  the requirements of regulation.
If demand decreases (as a result  of increased prices for the end-product),  a firm may face
higher levels of inventory and,  thus, lower its production rate. A lower production rate implies
lower capacity utilization.

Table 2-18 shows capacity  utilization rates for  the  eleven 4-digit SIC  industry  categories
relevant to this study, as reported in the 1990 and  1988 Survey of Plant Capacity published  by
the Commerce  Department.    Also  provided,  for comparison  purposes, are  data  for  AH
Manufacturing Industries,  for durable goods manufacturers,  and for the 2-digit  SIC industries
encompassing the eleven 4-digit SIC industries  relevant to this study.  It is important to note
that the 1990 study used data  on full capacity rates, while the 1988 study included practical
rates.  Despite the change in terminology, however, the figures  are both broadly defined  as the
maximum level  of production an establishment could attain under normal operating conditions.
The similar definitions imply that one can use the earlier data as an indication of general trends
of how capacity utilization rates have changed in the years from 1985 to 1990. The publishers
of the capacity utilization rates note,  however, that many companies report capacity utilization
rates with 100 percent capacity based  on production at 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. Yet
because most plants, including  those operating at  full production levels, do not operate  every
day of the week for 24 hours, actual capacity utilization may be somewhat understated in Table
2-18,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             47                                     413-14

-------
                                 TABLE 2-18
                      CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATES, BY INDUSTRY:
                             FOURTH QUARTERS 1985-1990
SIC
code


35
36
37
3519
3523
3524
3531
3537
3546
3561
3563
3621
3751
3799
Industry
All Manufacturing Industries
Durable Goods
Industrial Machinery and Equipment
Electronic and Electric Equipment
Transportation Equipment
Internal Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
Farm Machinery and Equipment
Lawn and Garden Equipment
Construction Machinery
Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Power-Driven Handtools
Pumps and Pumping Equipment
Air and Gas Compressors
Motors and Generators
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts
Transportation Equipement, n.e.c.
1990
76
73
71
72
72
61
66
73
72
70
72
82
66
71
62
80
1989
77
75
73
76
73
63
66
73
83
73
80
85
66
78
61
84
1988
73
69
66
66
68
62
54
60
69
83
86
59
54
68
61
N/A
1987
70
67
63
67
67
55
43
78
61
73
66
57
58
61
55
N/A
1986
68
64
55
67
69
50
24
73
46
75
56
52
49
54
52
N/A
1985
68
65
59
66
67
59
37
72
48
76
68
59
49
58
47
N/A
Average
72
69
65
69
69
58
48
72
63
75
71
66
57
65
56
82
N/A: Not Available
Note: Capacities for 1989-90 are full production rates,
while capacities for 1985-88 are practical rates.
These two types of rates have similar definitions.
Source: Current Industrial Reports, Survey of Plant Capacity, 1990 and 1988
                                      48

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

An analysis  of Table 2-18 indicates  that capacity  utilization rates  have gradually increased
since  1985 in most of the  industries  relevant to this study.10  The  largest increase occurred
in the Farm  Machinery and Equipment  industry, from 37  percent  in 1985 to  66 percent in
1990.  Such  increases seem to correspond to the economic  growth  of the mid to late  1980's
following the long recession of the early 1980's.  In general, these  rates are in  line with the
capacity utilization rates of All Manufacturing Industries and Durable Goods. Because an exact
measure of the efficient rate of capacity  utilization  is unknown, the  capacity utilization ratios
for All Manufacturing Industries and Durable Goods are provided as the best available measure
of efficient capacity utilization.  When a comparison is made between individual 4-digit SIC
industries and All Manufacturing  Industries, only two 4-digit  industries  seem to be operating
with excess capacity: the Internal  Combustion Engine industry and the Motorcycles, Bicycles.
and Parts industry, at 61  percent and 62  percent, respectively.  From the available data, then,
it does  not appear that the eleven 4-digit  SIC  industries  exhibited  particularly  low capacity
utilization ratios in 1990, based on  time-series or cross sectional comparisons.

More  recent  industry based information, however,  appears to contradict this  finding.   For
example, an article in the July-August  1992 issue of Power Equipment Trade magazine reports
that excess  capacity  exists  in  the  outdoor power  equipment  industry.   The author,  Robin
Pendergast, a representative from  a  power equipment  industry public relations firm, notes that
this problem  has existed  in the industry  for several  years.  He  points out that, although low
precipitation  levels in the ..Northeast and Midwest may have  some effect  on industry sales, the
real cause for this decline stems from structural problems within the power equipment industry.
In addition, while such  an indication seems inconsistent with the data in Table 2-18, the recent
recession may have  caused capacity  utilization rates in the Lawn and Garden  Equipment
Industry,  which  seemed  to have  been  fairly constant since  1985, to  decline  since   1990.
According to the author, current economic conditions have reduced the likelihood of consumers
purchasing the amount  of goods that manufacturers need to  sell in order to make a profit.  In
    '"Data were not available for the Transportation Equipment, n.e.c.  industry on capacity utilization
rates from 1985 to 1988.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             49                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

short, the opinions of the author suggest that the loss of profits means that some manufacturers
will be forced to shut down operations, causing firms to exist the market.

Recent restructuring and consolidating actions taken by several producers provide additional
evidence supporting the view that excess capacity exists. Companies such as Fuqua Industries
(Snapper) have  consolidated three  manufacturing  facilities  into one while reconfiguring  and
modernizing  the same plant in 1991.  Toro has streamlined  its Lawn-Boy operation  (which it
purchased from Fuqua) and reduced overhead by closing a plant, eliminating some low volume
product lines, and restructuring its parts fabrication processes. In its 1991  financial statements,
Tecumseh  had a provision  of $15.5 million for the  estimated  costs of consolidating certain
manufacturing operations.  Furthermore, JI  Case and International  Harvester, both owned by
Tenneco, have  combined  operations  under  the  name Case  IH.   Deere  &  Co.  reported
restructuring  costs  in its agricultural equipment, industrial equipment, and lawn and grounds
care business segments of $128 million, $44 million,  and $10 million respectively. The effect
of individual company operations  restructuring on the industry-wide capacity situation is not
yet clear.   More consolidating may  occur across  different companies  as  well  as within
companies.

                          2.9  DEBT AND  PROFITABILITY

The financial status of an  industry likely to be impacted by regulation  will be of interest  to
policymakers. If firms are very profitable, then the cost of regulation may not have detrimental
effects.   On the other hand, if the firms  have low profitability  rates  or are unprofitable,
regulation  could cause  some  firms to exit  the  market.  The profitability of a firm is often
measured by  the average  return on equity.  The  amount  of  debt that  the  firm carries,  as
compared to  its total assets, is another important factor that should be examined since  high debt
to assets ratios  imply that a firm's assets are heavily  financed by debt.  This may make it
difficult  for  the  firm to acquire  additional credit  for investments in  new  capital  to  meet
regulatory  goals.  If the debt  to equity ratio is closer to the average for the major industries,

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            50                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

it may be easier for such a firm to get loans to finance new capital expenditures.  Furthermore,
as a result of recent declines in interest rates, companies  may be more inclined to finance
purchases of new capital.  It should be noted, however, that interest rates fluctuate according
to the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and thus current trends may change  in the
future.

Table 2-19 shows  the average return on equity and the average debt  to  assets ratio for 1980
and 1988, and the percent change for All Manufacturing Industries and seven minor industries.
The minor industries are divided by Statistics of Income  Classification Codes instead of SIC
codes because of  the differences in the reporting processes between Census data and IRS
financial data. Statistics of Income Classification Codes roughly correspond to 3-digit Standard
Industrial Classification Codes  (SIC)."   The debt and  profitability data presented in this
section  should,  thus,  be interpreted with caution, since  industries may be  included  in the
profitability analysis  which are not part of the nonroad small engine  and equipment industry.
For example,  Statistics  of  Income  Classification  Code  3598  (Other  Machinery, Except
Electrical) is partly based on SIC Code 351 and includes  financial information on automobile
engines (SIC  Code 3511).

With  this caveat  in  mind, for All  Manufacturing Industries,  the average return  on equity
decreased from  14.1  percent in  1980  to 13.2  percent in  1988.  Four  of the seven  minor
industries also experienced a decline in the average return on equity. For the General Industrial
Machinery industry,  this return fell from  11.9 percent to 11.3  percent,  only  two percentage
points below the average for All  Manufacturing Industries.  The average  return on equity fell
by  6  percent  for the Metalworking  Machinery  industry and by  4.3  percent for  the  Other
Electrical Equipment industry.  A larger decline took place in the Construction  and Related
Machinery industry, a decrease of 6 percent from 17.3 percent in 1980  to  11.3  percent in  1988.
    "The reader is referred to "A General Description of the Corporation Source Book," published by
the Department of Treasury, for a detailed mapping of Statistics of Income Classification Codes, Standard
Industrial Classification Codes, and Enterprise Standard Industrial Classification Codes.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             51                                      413-14

-------
                                                                  TABLE 2-19
                                                        FINANCIAL DATA BY INDUSTRY, 1980 AND 1988

Statistics
of Income
Ciassifiction
Code

3520
3530
3540
3560
3598
3698
3798




Industry
Ail Manufacturing Industries
Farm Machinery
Construction and Related Machinery
Metalworking Machinery
General Industrial Machinery
Other Machinery, except Electrical
Other Electrical Equipment
Other Transportation Equipment
1988

Average Average Debt
Return to Assets
on Equity (ratip)
13.2 31,8
17.9 42.0
11.3 28.5
11.6 30.5
11.3 25.6
13.0 41.0
12.1 35.6
13.5 42.4
1980

Average Average Debt
Return to Assets
on Equity (ratio)
14.1 25.2
3.7 43.4
17.3 25.7
16.1 23.7
11.9 20.7
10.2 23.8
16.4 25.9
3.3 33.4
Percent Change, 1980-1988

Average Average Debt
Return to Assets
on Equity (ratio)
-0.9 6,6
14.1 -1.4
-6.0 2.8
-4.5 6.8
-0.6 5.0
2.8 17.2
-4.3 9.6
10.2 9.0
(SJ
     Source; Statistics of Income, Corporation Source Book, Internal Revenue Service, 1980 and 1988.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

The large decline  in the average return on equity for the Construction and Related  Machinery
Industry could be  due to the current oversupply of commercial  buildings,  changes in the 1986
tax act, and the natural tendency for construction to be a boom-and-bust  industry.  Yet three
of the seven minor industries saw a rise in  their average return on equity between 1980 and
1988.  In particular,  the Farm Machinery industry  had an increase  from 3.7 percent  to 17.9
percent,  while  the  Other  Transportation  Equipment  industry also experienced  a  marked
increase,  from 3.3 percent to  13.5  percent.   The rise in Other Machinery,  except Electrical
industry  was more modest, from 10.2 percent to 13.0 percent,  only a 2.8 percent increase.

In general,  the average return on  equity ratios for  the seven minor  industries were  quite
healthy,  the lowest  being  11.3 percent.   However,  five  of the  seven  minor  industries.
Construction and Related Machinery,  General Industrial Machinery,  Other Machinery, except
Electrical. Metalworking Machinery, and other Electrical Equipment, had average returns on
equity below the average for All Manufacturing Industries.   The Farm Machinery and  Other
Transportation  Equipment  industries had  average returns  on equity  higher  than that  for
manufacturing  as a whole.

Although cash  flow, quick  ratios, coverage ratios, and  other liquidity constraints  arc often used
by  lenders to  evaluate firms,  the average debt to assets ratio is the  best  readily available
industry  level indicator on the availability of credit for  capital  investment.  Table 2-19 shows
that the debt to assets ratio  for All Manufacturing  Industries rose from 25.2 percent  to 31.9
percent between 1980 and 1988.  The  average  debt  to assets  ratios also rose  for six of the
seven minor industries during this time.   For Farm Machinery,  the ratio fell from 43.4 to 42.0
percent,  a 1.4  percent decrease.  The largest increase, at 17.2  percent,  occurred in the  Other
Machinery,  except Electrical industry. Because manufacturing as a whole  was using more debt
to finance new capital purchases in 1988 than in 1980, an indication of whether or not  these
industries have high debt to assets ratios  depends on how they compare with All Manufacturing
Industries.  The Farm Machinery industry financed  40 percent  of the purchases  of assets with
debt.   As a result, this industry may have difficulty  in obtaining  the financing  needed  to

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             53                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

purchase  new machinery and equipment.  Yet obtaining credit depends in some  part on  an
industry's earning potential.  A profitable company  with a high ratio of debt to assets would
have less  difficulty in getting financing than an unprofitable company.  Thus, when considering
how industries  finance their purchases,  it is important to consider the profitability of these
industries as well.

                              2.10  SECTION SUMMARY

This section summarizes  each 4-digit SIC  industry's structure,  conduct, and performance
through a compilation of the economic  indicators  discussed  in  earlier parts  of  Section 2.
Summaries  of economic indicators  are  provided for each of the 4-digit SIC industries  in
isolation.  Three general  areas are discussed  that provide a thorough profile of each relevant
industry.  These are:

       •      Relative industry size:  in terms of its contribution to GDP, trends in output, and
              trends in employment levels.

       •      Relative capital  intensity:   as  described  by assets to  output (or value  of
              shipments) ratios and  capital turnover rates.

              Relative performance (health):  as described by industry concentration, capacity
              utilization, and profitability.  It should be emphasized that profitability data may
              be  misleading  given  that  estimates  are  derived  via   Statistics  of  Income
              Classification  codes that do not often map well to 4-digit SIC codes.

Where available from the Department of Commerce's  U.S. Industrial  Outlook, an indication
of the  long  term prospects for a given industry is provided  as well.
£7.5. Environmental Protection Agency             54                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Internal Combustion Engines,  n.e.c. (SIC 3519)

The Internal Combustion  Engines industry is among the larger of the eleven  4-digit SIC
industries, as output in  1990 was 0.27 percent of GDP. Yet constant dollar sales declined 9.6
percent from  1984  to  1990, which  compares unfavorably to All  Manufacturing Industries
(which exhibited an increase of 11.3 percent) and SIC 35 (which increased by 7.3 percent).
Value  added can also provide an indication of the value  of an industry's output for which it
is responsible.  The Internal Combustion Engine  industry accounted for about 40 percent of
the value of its product, less than the corresponding figures for All Manufacturing Industries
(46.2 percent) and Industrial Machinery and Equipment  (51.6 percent).  However, its own
contribution is nonetheless  important, indicating that  their production costs  are an important
part of how their prices are determined.

Relative to All Manufacturing Industries and the Industrial  Machinery and Equipment industry,
which  had  assets to output ratios of 37.2 percent and  36.7 percent,  respectively for 1987, the
Internal Combustion Engines industry,  with a ratio of 51  percent, is highly  capital intensive.
This result implies  that  capital is a significant part of the  production process for this industry.
Capital turnover rates may  also be important should  investment  in  new capital be necessary,
all else being equal. The Internal Combustion Engine industry takes 18.6 years to replace  its
capital stock, which is  longer than the corresponding  figure for All Manufacturing Industries
(13.5 years) and SIC 35, Industrial Machinery and Equipment, (13.9 years).

The Internal Combustion Engines  industry  seems to also  exhibit characteristics of imperfect
competition, as the  8   largest  companies   controlled 74 percent  of the  market  in  1987.
Furthermore, niche markets within the Internal Combustion Engines  industry  also appear to be
highly concentrated.  As shown in Section  4 of this report, different manufacturers  appear to
control different segments  of the small nonroad engine industry (e.g.  Briggs  & Stratton
dominates  unit  sales in the 0-25  horsepower gasoline  segment).  In addition,  the Internal
Combustion Engines industry exhibits  excess capacity,  since it operated at only 61 percent

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             55                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

capacity in  1990.   As for the profitability of this  industry, the average return on equity for
1988  was slightly less than the corresponding figure  for All Manufacturing Industries.  Yet it
should again be noted that the financial data indicated in Table 2-19 may include industries not
included in  the small nonroad engine and equipment industry.

Farm Machinery  and Equipment (SIC 3523)

While this industry is the largest of the eleven 4-digit SIC industries  included in this study, in
terms of the number of companies (1,576 in  1987), it is the third largest in terms of its overall
contribution to GDP. In particular, it accounted for 0.26% of GDP in  1990, slightly less than
the Internal Combustion  Engines industry.   Constant  dollar shipments  were up  slightly  by
2.3%, less than the  increases for All Manufacturing  Industries and the  Industrial Machinery and
Equipment  industry (SIC 35).  Value Added as a percent of output was 51.8  percent in 1990,
which illustrates that the  industry accounts  for over half of the value of its product.

The Farm Machinery and Equipment industry appears to be capital  intensive, with an assets
to output ratio of  44.2%.  Capital  thus plays an  important role in the production process.
Capital  turnover rates are also high for this industry,  as it takes 28.6 years for the industry to
replace  its entire capital stock.  As illustrated by Table 2-16, this figure is more than twice as
long as it would take All Manufacturing Industries  to replace  their capital stock.  It should
again be noted that these figures are important if retooling is necessary as a result of regulatory
action.

Like other firms within the nonroad engine and equipment industry,  this industry seems to be
characterized by imperfect competition.  While the industry has the lowest concentration ratio
of the eleven 4-digit  SIC  industries in terms of the percent of the market controlled by the 50
largest companies,  it nonetheless does not seem close to the competitive model.  In particular,
the 50 largest companies  controlled 69 percent of the market in  1987.  According  to Table 2-
18, the Farm Machinery  and  Equipment industry is operating with  some excess capacity,

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             56                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

although its capacity utilization rates have increased to 66 percent capacity in 1990 from only
24 percent in 1986.  Excess capacity implies that the  industry may be maintaining plants that
are not used as part of the production  process and, thus, that this process is not efficient.

Because  the Statistics of Income Classification  code relevant  to the Farm Machinery and
Equipment industry  includes both 4-digit SIC codes 3523 and 3524, the  profitability analysis
for the Farm Machinery and Equipment  industry also applies  to  the Lawn and  Garden
Equipment  industry.  For 1988, profitability for this  industry  seemed quite good, with the
average return on equity up to 17.9 percent, a 14.1  percent increase from 1990.  The average
debt to asset ratio, however, is among the higher of the seven minor industries considered in
Table 2-19, at 42 percent.

According to the U.S. Industrial  Outlook  for  1992, the outlook  for the Farm Machinery and
Equipment industry  is not easy to predict,  depending in large part on the global economy,
global  weather, and foreign and domestic agricultural policies.  While the  number of farms has
declined  over the last four decades, from 5,399,437 in 1950  to 2,104,560 in 1991, farms have
become larger and agriculture has become more mechanized.  Farm machines will be designed
with faster  work cycles  and  more attachments  for different jobs.   In addition,  unspecified
environmental regulations could increase costs for manufacturers.

Lawn  and Garden  Equipment (SIC  3524)

Table 2-8 shows that the Lawn and Garden  Equipment industry accounted for 0.11 percent of
GDP in  1990, a higher contribution than  5 of the eleven 4-digit SIC  industries and a  lower
contribution  than  4  industries  (equal  to  the same  contribution of  Pumps and  Pumping
Equipment,  SIC 3561).  Constant dollar shipments have increased sharply, with a 33.1  percent
increase  from 1984  to 1990.  Table 2-4 shows  that roughly the same number  of companies
were responsible for the  increased output,  indicating that new firms entering the industry may
not have  been  responsible  for higher output.   Value added as a percent of output  for the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             57                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

industry in 1990 was 40,9 percent,  roughly the same  as  the  Internal  Combustion Engines
industry.

This industry does not seem to be capital intensive, as assets were only 18.8 percent of output
in 1990, less  than  the  corresponding percentages for All  Manufacturing Industries and the
Industrial Machinery and Equipment  industry (SIC 35).  In  addition, capital turnover rates are
15,6 years, slightly above the average  for All Manufacturing Industries,   As a result,  should
regulation result in new purchases of capital, the industry may not have  as much difficulty as
other industries in adapting to regulatory actions.

Concentration in this industry  is high, as the 8  largest  companies control 71 percent of the
market.  These companies may  have the ability to influence the price of their products.  Yet
the industry does not seem to  have excess capacity, with a capacity utilization  rate of  73
percent.  This figure is  slightly  less than the 76 percent  rate for All  Manufacturing Industries
but is higher than the 71 percent  rate for the Industrial Machinery and Equipment industry (SIC
35).   Profitability,  as  noted earlier, was  covered  in  the summary section  for the  Farm
Machinery and Equipment industry (SIC 3523),

Constant dollar shipments are expected to grow at an annual rate of 2 percent over the next 5
years for the Lawn and Garden Equipment industry. The U.S. industrial Outlook attributes this
increase to several factors, first  among them are demographic changes in the U.S. population.
In particular,  the  fastest growing  age  group, 44-54, will be near  their maximum  earning
potential, which should result in  larger expenditures on lawn and garden equipment.  The report
also notes that many of  these  consumers  will  be  more  inclined  to upgrade their current
properties, which may entail landscaping. The removal of trade barriers in Mexico and Canada
as a result of the proposed  North American  Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) should  give
companies in the three  North American countries the opportunity to expand their exports.  In
addition, the report  mentions that possible  environmental standards  may have an impact on
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             58                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

sales, but the report does not give a clear indication of whether or not these regulations  will
cause sales to increase or decrease.

Construction  Machinery  (SIC 3531)

The Construction Machinery  industry is  the largest contributor to GDP of the eleven 4-digit
SIC industries, given that shipments in  1990 accounted for 0.36 percent of GDP. In particular,
shipments  in constant 1984 dollars were $14,108.5 million, an 11.2 percent increase from 1984,
The industry's value added as a percent  of output was 42.3 percent in 1990,  illustrating  that
it is responsible  for a substantial portion  of the value of its products.

This industry also appears  to  be capital intensive.  In 1987, it had an assets  to output ratio of
42.8 percent.  In fact  it is one of three  industries (along  with SIC's 3519  and 3523).of the
eleven 4-digit  SIC  industries to have a ratio  of over 40 percent.  The capital turnover rate for
the industry is also high,  at 26.5 years.  The high turnover rate can be attributed to the fact that
new capital expenditures are a small percentage of the capital  stock for the  industry.

Within  the industry, the 50 largest companies control 79  percent  of the market.   Capacity
utilization, however, seems to be relatively efficient, as the Construction Machinery industry
had a capacity utilization rate of 72 percent  for  1990.

Profitability  has decreased  somewhat for  the Statistics  of Income Classification Code relevant
to this industry (i.e., 3530)12, from an average return  on equity of 17.3  percent  for 1980 to
11.3 percent in 1988. While profitability has declined, the industry has seen a slight increase
of 2.8 percent  in its average debt to assets ratio.  However, this 28.5 percent  figure is still  less
than the 31.8 percent ratio for All  Manufacturing Industries.
    l2Statistics of Income Classification Code 3530 also pertains to the Industrial Trucks and Tractors
Industry (SIC 3537).
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              59                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

According to the U.S. Industrial Outlook, the Construction Machinery industry is expected to
see a 2.2 percent increase in sales for the period of 1992 to  1996.  Increased expenditures in
infrastructure, as well as construction of new power generating plants, resource recovery plants,
and water treatment facilities are given  as  potential reasons for the  increase in sales in  this
industry.  The report also notes that construction machines will be more efficient, meaning that
fewer machines will be required.  Such  changes could serve to reduce the amount by which
the industry  is expected to expand.

Industrial Trucks and Tractors (SIC 3537)

While not the  smallest of the eleven  4-digit SIC industries,  this industry  only accounted for
0.06 percent of GDP in 1990.  In addition, constant dollar shipments increased a moderate 6.2
percent from 1984 to  1990.  The industry accounts  for 38 percent of the  value of its output,
which is less than the other eleven 4-digit SIC industries except the Transportation Equipment
industry.  Yet this figure indicates that their production costs are nonetheless an important part
of how price is determined within this industry.

The Industrial  Trucks and Tractors industry is not as capital intensive as some of the  other
eleven 4-digit  SIC industries but did  have an assets to output ratio of 27.2 percent for  1990.
The capital turnover rate for this industry is  the highest of the eleven industries, as it takes the
industry  32.1  years  to replace its  entire  capital  stock,  given their level  of new capital
expenditures.

Although concentration ratios have declined somewhat from 1982 to 1987,  the fifty largest
companies in 1987 controlled 76 percent of the market, probably indicating  a state of imperfect
competition,  though not as much so as other  industries.  Capacity utilization rates are  about
average  as compared  to Industrial Machinery  and Equipment (SIC  35),  as the rate  was 70
percent  for  1990.   Profitability, as already  noted,  was  discussed in  the summary  for
Construction Machinery.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             60                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Power-Driven Handtools (SIC  3546)

This small industry, which accounted for 0.06 percent of GDP  in  1990,  had a 22.2 percent
increase in constant dollar shipments for the period of 1984 to 1990.  Value added as a percent
of value of shipments shows that the industry is responsible for over half of the value of its
output.  In particular, this figure was 52.5 percent for  1990. To reiterate, only  chainsaws, from
the multitude  of products produced  in this industry, are relevant to  the small nonroad  engine
and equipment industry, however.

The industry does not seem  particularly capital intensive, with a capital to output ratio of 30
percent for  1990.  In addition, it would  take the industry  only  12,7  years to  replace its entire
capital stock.

High concentration ratios also characterize the Power-Driven Handtools industry, with the 20
largest companies controlling 89 percent of the market in 1987.  The  industry also  does not
seem  to  have excess  capacity since its capacity  utilization rate for  1990  was  72 percent.
Profitability was down 6 percent as the average return on equity fell to 11.6 percent. However,
the average debt to assets ratio increased by 6.8 percent, which compares unfavorably with the
decrease in profitability.

The U.S.  Industrial Outlook  states that this industry  will  expand by a compound annual rate
of  1.5 percent  in  constant  dollars over  the  next five  years.   Expanding  residential  and
nonresidential building construction  could play a part  in obtaining this growth  rate. The report
points out that more people will  use power tools,  attracting new consumers to the industry.

Pumps and Pumping Equipment (SIC 3561)

This industry had the same 0.11  percent  contribution to GDP in 1990 as the Lawn and Garden
Equipment industry. However, the Pumps and Pumping  Equipment industry has contracted the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             61                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

most of the eleven 4-digit SIC industries  in terms of the percent decrease in the number of
companies,  a decline of 35.5 percent from 1982 to 1987.  The industry was responsible for
52.8 percent of the value of its output in 1990, which is the largest contribution of the eleven
4-digit SIC  industries included in this study. Employment has also fallen dramatically, by 35
percent from 1984 to 1990, which corresponds  with the decrease in the number of companies.

This industry's assets  to  output ratio in 1990  stood at 38.7 percent, which is slightly  above
average for All Manufacturing Industries.   In addition, the industry would take 19.7 years to
replace its capital stock, about 4 years longer than the corresponding figure for the Lawn and
Garden Equipment  industry (SIC 3524). However,  this latter industry is less capital  intensive
than the Pumps and Pumping Equipment industry.

Despite the large decline in the  number  of companies  within the  industry,  the 50 largest
companies still controlled 77 percent of the market in  1987, the same concentration level as
in 1982.  This industry has apparently  become more efficient, as illustrated  by the capacity
utilization rate in 1990 of 82  percent, up from 59 percent in 1988.

Because the Statistics of Income Classification code 3560 includes 3-digit SIC 363, the analysis
of profitability  for the Pumps and Pumping Equipment industry also applies to the Air and Gas
Compressors industry  (SIC 3563).  In particular, profitability has  remained fairly constant at
11.3 percent while the average debt to asset ratio increased slightly by about 5 percent, to 25.6
percent.  Both  figures  are lower than those for All  Manufacturing Industries,  which indicates
that, by this standard,  the industry appears  to be relatively healthy.

Air and Gas Compressors (SIC 3563)

In terms of its contribution to the overall economy for 1990, the  Air and  Gas Compressors
industry accounted  for 0.08 percent of GDP.  In contrast to the Pumps and Pumping Equipment
industry, the Air and  Gas Compressors industry had an increase of 7.5 percent in constant

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             62                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

dollar  sales from  1984 to 1990.  This industry also  was responsible  for 46,5 percent of the
value of its output in 1990,

Capital intensity  for the industry is about the  same  as  that for the Pumps  and Pumping
Equipment industry.  In particular, the assets to output ratio of the Air and Gas Compressors
industry was 37.8  percent in 1990. Thus, the industry seems to be somewhat capital intensive.
According to Table 2-16, it would take the industry 20,5 years to replace its capital stock.

The industry seems to be highly concentrated, as demonstrated by the fact that the 20 largest
companies controlled 74 percent of the market in 1987.  In addition, the industry had a below
average capacity utilization rate of 66 percent in  1990, which, while up from a level  of 49
percent for 1986, is still less than the level for All Manufacturing Industries and the Industrial
Machinery and Equipment industry (SIC 35).

Motors and Generators (3621)

This industry, which has not seen any change in the number of companies from 1982 to  1987,
is among the larger of the eleven 4-digit SIC industries  in terms of its overall contribution to
GDP (about 0.18 percent in 1990). In contrast to the 4.8 percent decline for the Electronic and
Electric Equipment  industry (SIC 36), the Motors and Generators industry had an  increase of
4.2 percent  in constant dollar value of shipments.  The Motors and Generators industry also
accounts for 52.2  percent of the value of its output, which  is among the higher percentages of
the eleven 4-digit  SIC industries.

In 1987, the industry had an assets to output  ratio of 39.1 percent, roughly  the same as the
corresponding value for the Electronic and Electric Equipment industry (SIC 36).  The capital
turnover rate for the Motors and Generators  industry does not seem especially high,  as it would
take the industry 13.8 years to replace its entire capital  stock.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              63                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

While the 20 largest companies controlled 67 percent  of the market  in  1987,  the 50  largest
companies controlled 84 percent of the industry.  Thus, the Motors and Generators industry
seems to also be characterized by imperfect competition.  Capacity utilization seems is average
at a capacity utilization rate of 71 percent  in 1990. The average return on equity has  fallen by
4.3 percent for the industry, while the debt to  asset ratio has increased by 9.6 percent, to 35.6
percent.   As a result, the industry may have 'difficulty in financing new capital expenditures.
                            •
The U.S.  Industrial Outlook notes that the industry is expected to grow at a compound  annual
rate of 2 percent from  1992 to 1996.  The  increase is  attributed to future growth in U.S.
industrial production, as well as an increase  in new construction.  Higher energy costs will
increase  the demand for more efficient motors.  The report also points out that motors are
responsible for  over half of the total power costs of the average industrial user.

Motorcycles, Bicycles,  and  Parts (SIC 3751)

The Motorcycles,  Bicycles, and Parts industry  is the smallest industry of the eleven 4-digit SIC
industries  since it contributed only 0.03  percent to GDP in 1990.  While the number  of
companies has declined by  10 percent from 1982 to  1987, constant dollar sales increased  by
10 percent  from  1984  to  1990.   Value added as a  percent  of value  of shipments  was 37.7
percent for the  industry slightly less than the  figure  for Transportation  Equipment  (SIC 37),
which was 39.9 percent for 1990.

The Motorcycles,  Bicycles,  and  Parts industry does  not seem to be capital intensive, with an
assets  to  output ratio of 23.8 percent for  1990.  In  addition, it would take the industry 13.7
years  to replace its capital  stock. These two  figures imply that the  industry would have less
difficulty  adapting to regulatory  actions resulting in new capital expenditures than an industry
which is capital intensive.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             64                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Within  the industry,  the 50  largest companies  control 90 percent of  the  market.   The
Motorcycles, Bicycles, and Parts industry has some excess capacity, demonstrated by the below
average capacity utilization rate of 62 percent in  1990.

Profitability  increased  dramatically  in the  Statistics  of Income  Classification  Code (3798)
relevant  to this industry,b from an average return on equity of 3.3 percent in 1980 to 13.5
in 1988.  Yet this increase coincided  with an increase  in the average debt to asset ratio, which
rose from 9 percent to 42.4 percent during this period.  This latter figure implies that acquiring
credit may be difficult  for the industry,  although  the increase in the average return on equity
may indicate that the industry may be in relatively good financial  health.

Due in large  part to strength in the export sector,  domestic product shipments will, according
to the U.S. Industrial Outlook, increase at an annual rate of 2  percent from  1992 to 1996.  Yet
the report notes that consumption  on  the domestic  level will not increase, in part as a  result of
the safety concerns of consumers  about motorcycle riding.  In addition, NAFTA, by lowering
tariffs, may help augment foreign demand for U.S. motorcycles.

Transportation  Equipment, n.e.c. (3799)

The Transportation Equipment industry is slightly larger than the  Motorcycles, Bicycles and
Parts  industry, contributing  0.05  percent to GDP  in 1990.  The  Transportation  Equipment
industry  can thus be considered one of the smaller of the eleven 4-digit SIC industries.   Both
constant  dollar sales and the number of companies have increased dramatically in this industry,
however, with a 62 percent increase from  1984  to 1990 for the  former and a 51.2 percent
increase  from 1982 to 1987 for the latter.  The industry also accounted for  32.2 percent  of the
value of its output in 1990.
    °SIC 3799, Transportation Equipment,  n.e.c.,  is also included under this Statistics of Income
Classification Code.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             65                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December  1992

Capital intensity  seems  low for this industry, which had an  assets to output ratio of 22.6
percent for  1990.  In addition, it would  take the industry 12.5 years to replace its capital stock,
less time  than any of the eleven 4-digit SIC  industries.  Thus, should regulation result in  new
capital expenditures,  the effect on the Transportation  Equipment industry may not be as large
as it may be for more capital intensive industries.

While the industry is less concentrated than most of the other eleven 4-digit SIC industries, the
50 largest companies nonetheless controlled 70 percent of the market in 1987.  In addition, the
production  process appears to  be efficient, with a  capacity utilization  rate of 80  percent for
1990.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              66                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                                      SECTION 3
                              COMPETITIVE  FEATURES

As discussed in  the  summary  to  Section  2,  many of  the  eleven  4-digit  SIC  industries
encompassing the small nonroad engine and equipment industry are characterized by significant
value added,  fairly high concentration,  growth in the value of shipments,  capital  intense
production processes, high capital turnover, and relatively efficient capacity utilization.  These
basic  industry trends  determine the competitive nature of the industry and  condition  the
interactions of the firms that form these industries with  suppliers, consumers and each other.
The purpose of this section is to analyze selected competitive features of the small nonroad
engine  and  equipment  industry.    This analysis  is  designed  to aid  in developing  an
understanding of the  market that  will be  useful in designing a regulatory policy towards
emissions.

Seven subjects are discussed  in  this section.   Section 3.1 examines the  product distribution
networks,  illustrating  and discussing  the  flow  of goods and services   from raw material
producers to retail customers.   Section 3,2 discusses  vertical and horizontal integration, which
examines the competitive nature between supplier  and  customer  or producers  of similar
products. Section 3.3  examines barriers to entry, which  are advantages  held by existing firms
over those firms  that might potentially  produce in a given market.   Section  3.4 examines  the
market power found in the various  relationships between components of the small nonroad
engine and equipment  industry.  Section 3.5 discusses substitute power sources and equipment,
examining  the feasibility  and possible  penetration  of hand, electric, and clean fuel powered
technologies.  Section 3.6 examines the U.S.  competitive  situation with respect to the global
small nonroad engine and equipment industry.  Section 3.7 examines the characteristics  of end
users  and the factors that influence  demand for small  nonroad equipment.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             67                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

             3.1  PRODUCT FLOW AND DISTRIBUTION  NETWORKS

As discussed earlier, the small nonroad engine market is best described as a chain of industries
that: convert raw materials into  components, engines,  and  equipment; distribute the final
product to  end users;  and, provide service  and parts  as required.   The establishment of
regulation or alternative market based regulatory approaches will impact this chain of industries
in a variety of  ways.  The structure  of this chain, and the characteristics of the industries that
comprise it, will influence how successful alternative control strategies will be in practice.  The
purpose of this section  is  to describe  this chain of industries with particular focus on  the
current structures and projected trends that may be important  to regulatory design and impact
analysis.

This section begins  with a focus on the engine manufacturers  and the distribution of their
product to  export markets, end users, and the equipment industry. The analysis then shifts to
the  equipment  industry  focusing first on distribution common to the industry.  Finally,  the
peculiarities  of the  distribution  networks for general  equipment  subgroups  are  discussed.
Included are sections  covering lawn  and  garden equipment,  recreational  vehicles,  farm
equipment, and small equipment for construction, commercial, and  industrial  end users.

                              3.1.1 Engine Manufacturers

Figure  3-1  provides  a  schematic   of  the  relationships  and  flow  of goods  for engine
manufacturers.   To  begin  the process,  raw materials  and components  are purchased  from
suppliers.   Necessary raw materials include  the steel and  aluminum required to manufacture
engine parts. Purchased components might include spark plugs,  carburetors, mufflers, filters,
and other  parts.   The amounts and types  of purchased  components  will  vary  from  one
manufacturer to another.  Some engine manufacturers make their own parts, others purchase
components. Die-cast molds are used to forge parts. The finished parts and components  are
assembled  into engines on an assembly line.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             68                                      413-14

-------
              Figure 3-1:  Engine Manufacturer-Product Distribution Network
Raw Material
Suppliers
 -Steel
 -Aluminum
 -Other
Component
Suppliers
 -Spark Plugs
 -Carburetors
 -Mufflers
 -Filters
 -Other
                      Engine
                      Manufacturers
Equipment
Manufacturers
 Distributors
  Exports
                            Large-Scale
                            End Users
                             (replacement engines)
                                                                             Dealer/Retailer
                                                                             Service Outlets
                                                                               (replacement engines)

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Complete engines are sent to one of three places;  equipment manufacturers,  distributors,  or
export markets.  A great deal of engines are sold directly to equipment manufacturers. In cases
where engine manufacturers are vertically integrated,  these sales would be recorded as intra-
company  transfers.  Direct sales to equipment  manufacturers is particularly common for high
volume consumer equipment and for technically demanding equipment for the commercial
market. The large volume engine manufacturers  such as Briggs & Stratton and Tecumseh sell
directly to  mass  merchandiser  equipment manufacturers  such as Murray Ohio  Mfg. and
American  Yard  Products.   Price  and economies of scale14 are  the  primary  factors  of
competition  for   engine   sales   to  mass  merchandisers.    For direct sales  to  equipment
manufacturers producing mid-range and premium  priced equipment, engineering and  design
cooperation is essential.  In these cases, the engine manufacturers also work closely with the
equipment manufacturers to develop superior products.

For smaller equipment manufacturers,  or  for  some of the cases where there  is no need for
technical cooperation,  it is usually not cost  effective for the engine manufacturer to sell engines
directly to  the equipment  manufacturer.  In  these cases, engine manufacturers  often ship
engines to independent wholesale distributors.   As independent businesses, these distributors
carry  engines from multiple manufacturers.  The distributors then sell the engines to original
equipment manufacturers (OEM's) to be installed  as product components.   Distributors also
sell "loose" engines as replacement  parts.  Large-scale end-users and dealers/retailers  who
provide service on used equipment are  the most frequent purchasers  of replacement engines.

Engines not sold to equipment manufacturers or domestic  distributors are shipped as exports.
Detailed information and analyses on the current engine exports situation and forecasted trends
are provided in a  later section of Section 3.
    l4An economy of scale is said to exist when larger output is associated with lower average cost,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             70                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

                            3.1.2  Equipment  Manufacturers

Manufacturers  of nonroad equipment utilizing internal combustion  engines of 50 horsepower
or  less rely primarily on  unaffiliated  retail  outlets to sell  their products.   Although the
manufacturers choose  the dealers that represent them and have certain controls over them, these
dealers are almost exclusively  independent businesses.  Only a few manufacturers are able to
retain  exclusive dealerships.  Stihl, for  instance,  retains dealers that sell only their  products.
Most  dealers not only sell multiple vendor product lines, but directly competing  lines as well.
This  structure  may be beneficial  in helping  individual  dealers  cope  with the impact of
regulation, especially  in the case  where one manufacturer's  equipment becomes significantly
less competitive  in the post regulatory environment.

Dealers have traditionally maintained a vital interface between the manufacturers and end-users.
In addition  to  selling products, dealers service  and repair equipment.   Service is  essential,
particularly  for commercial  customers who depend on this equipment for their businesses. This
is still true today although the importance  of dealers has been declining for smaller equipment,
particularly  consumer  models.  This is primarily caused by a price driven shift of sales towards
mass merchandiser and discounter retail outlets.  Because these larger retail outlets have much
lower  overhead per unit sold, profit  margins can be  maintained at  significantly  lower prices.
Moreover, since  these mass merchandisers capture sales but do not provide service, the ratio
of dealer  service/sales  revenue  is rising.  Although,  in isolated cases individual dealers may
refuse to  service equipment that was  purchased elsewhere,  most  dealers will service  any
equipment,  no  matter  where it was purchased.   It should  be noted that the trend  away from
dealers for  consumer  equipment  may have an  adverse effect on  the emissions from those
equipment.   Dealers often  provide a free tune-up to  customers to ensure  the  equipment  is
running properly, or  at minimum, provide a knowledgeable  resource on  how to  maintain
equipment.  These  types of services  are typically not available from mass merchandisers.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency'             71                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

In every segment of the utility industry, equipment manufacturers must decide whether to use
"two-tiered"  distribution channels or to interface directly with their dealer network.  In a two-
tiered distribution system, an independent wholesale distributor  acts as an interface between
the equipment manufacturers and the dealer  network.   Distributors add value by  providing
service  to both the equipment manufacturers and the dealers. Distributors remove a great deal
of the inventory  burden from dealers.  Because dealers generally do not have the facilities or
financial strength to  maintain large inventories, they must frequently  order parts for repair.
Successful distributors  can  usually provide  parts within  24  hours.   In  the  absence  of a
distributor, parts must be shipped from  the  equipment manufacturers  by package delivery
services (such as UPS).  This can take  several days  or  more,  depending on manufacturer
location and the availability  of the part.   Furthermore, because many dealerships  are small
businesses, they often rely on their distributors for bookkeeping and general business support.
Enhanced  service provided  by  the distributors  improves  the reputation  of  the equipment
manufacturers.  Also, distributors  provide market  information  to manufacturers because they
are closer  to the customers  and are often  able to identify emerging  trends faster than the
manufacturers themselves.

Despite the added value that  distributors provide for both dealers and manufacturers, they are
declining in  numbers and importance.  This shift is generally attributed to the ever increasing
price competition in the consumer market place.   The value  added by distributors must  be
offset by the profit margin required by the additional tier in the distribution chain.  Although
distributors will remain important, particularly  for premium line equipment, their impact on the
market  is projected to continue to decline.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             72                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                    3.1.3  Lawn & Garden Equipment Manufactures

The distribution system for lawn and garden equipment  manufacturers  is probably the most
diverse and complex in the utility market.  This is primarily due to the different needs of the
commercial and consumer markets.  The bulk of all lawn and garden unit sales go to consumer
end-users.15  However,  commercial  customers  represent .too large a market  to  ignore, and
some  equipment manufacturers and  members  of the distribution chain focus strictly on the
commercial business.  Balancing the commercial customers need for performance and service
with the consumer customers need for  a low price is the challenge  facing manufacturers and
the distribution channels they have developed.

Figure 3-2 provides a schematic of the  relationships and flow of goods from the viewpoint of
the lawn and garden equipment manufacturers.  These manufacturers design and manufacture
their own parts and/or purchase components.  The finished parts and components are assembled
into end-user equipment.   Finished  goods are  sent  to one  of three  places:   wholesale
distributors, dealers or  other retail establishments, or shipped for export.

Some manufacturers use a direct (i.e., one-tier rather than two-tier) distribution system, dealing
directly with dealers or other retail establishments.  The larger the manufacturers and the larger
the retail  unit, the more likely that this  link will be direct. Mass merchandiser  manufacturers
deal directly with mass  merchant and discount retail outlets.  Some manufacturers deal directly
with all types of retail outlets.  The trend towards direct  distribution is expected to continue,
as is the trend towards the mass merchandisers.  These trends serve to keep prices  low, foster
price  based competition,  and put  a squeeze on distributors  and local dealers.   The average
service dealer makes  $100,000  to $250,000  in sales per year. There are 300 dealers that bring
in over $1,000,000 in revenues  annually. There are also a great many dealers  that have less
than $100,000 annual revenues.  Dealers are extremely dependent  on  service revenue to stay
    l5For example, OPEI estimates that 90 percent of walk behind lawnmower sales go to the residential
market.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency              73                                      413-14

-------
                  Figure 3-2: Lawn and Garden Manufacturer-Product Distribution Network
Raw Materials
Supplier
  -Steel
  -Plastics
  -Canons
  -Paint
  -Aluminum
  -Magnesium
  -Olher
Component
Manufacturer
  • Engines
  -Transmission
  -Wheels
  -AUachments
  -Tires
  -Etc,
                                 Equipment
                                 Manufacturer
Wholesaler/
 Distributor
                                                                                           (C)
                                 (a) Primarily commercial and mid-range/riigh-end consumer equipment
                                 (b) Primarily sales by large manufacturer* to large Dealer/Retail outlets
                                 (c) Primarily lower end consumer equipment
Dealer/Retailer:
 -Hardware Store
 -Lawn and Garden Cent
 -Farm Supply
 -Home Cenler
 -Other
                            National
                            Merchandiser
                              -Montgomery Wards
                              -Sears
                             Discounter
                              -KMart
                              -Walmart

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December  1992

in business.  Approximately 50 percent of the  average  dealers revenues are realized through
parts and repair work.16

As emission requirements  force small nonroad engines to be more complex,  more will be
expected of small engine technicians.  The situation is similar to automobile dealers who must
perform  vehicle  emission compliance work.  Jeff Voelz,  Marketing Director at Onan  Corp.,
noted that,  "dealers will have  to get savvy and  understand that this  is the future."17  As in
the automotive industry, emission control advances are likely to reduce the  user's maintenance
abilities and require an increase in small engine technician  skills.

Although two-tier distribution is declining, it  is still an important  feature of the distribution
network.  According to a survey of its members,  OPEI found  that 41.4 percent  of shipments
were distributed  through wholesale distributors in 1988.   Many manufacturers  use two-tier
distribution for virtually every type  of retail establishment, although distributors are generally
bypassed  when shipments go to mass  merchandisers and discounters.  Because of fierce price
based competition, the pressure is on distributors to prove their ability to add value in order
to maintain their volumes of business in the future.

Most manufacturers  choose to focus  on either the consumer or commercial market.  This  factor,
in turn, influences their choice of distribution  channels.  Manufacturers  that focus strictly on
the consumer market, especially at lower end prices, generally retail exclusively through mass
merchandisers.    Manufacturers  that focus strictly on the  commercial  market, generally  rely
exclusively on dealers.  Mid-range manufacturers and other manufacturers that wish to compete
at the  commercial or top-end consumer  market and the low-end  consumer  market  face a
difficult choice.   It is tempting to use both mass merchandisers  (for sales volume) and dealers
(for value added service).   However,  this creates  tremendous  conflict within the  channels.
    16North American Equipment Dealers Association.
    l7Telephone conversation on June 8, 1992.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             75                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucet! Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

particularly for the  dealers.  The dealers cannot  match mass merchandisers  on price, and
frequently  end up as repair shops, merely servicing the equipment that they can no longer sell.
The solution to this situation that has been most successful is to sell separate  lines of products,
restricting  the mass merchandisers  from selling the higher quality product lines.  McCullough
has been able to do this successfully.  Toro tried to do this, but eventually withdrew from mass
merchandiser outlets.   Toro is now  trying  the mass merchandisers again with  its Lawnboy
subsidiary.

This discussion of lawn and garden manufacturer distribution channels  primarily  addresses
nonhandheld equipment manufacturers, although, in general, it applies to  handheld equipment
manufacturers as well.  There are, however,  some unique facets of the handheld manufacturers
distribution networks that have not been previously  addressed. The major  difference is that the
handheld manufacturers all make their own engines.  This changes the mixture of raw materials
and components they purchase as well as their manufacturing and design processes.  A separate
engine market would not suffice for handheld manufacturers because of the size, performance,
and design restrictions placed on their  products  by the unique end-user  requirements  for
handheld equipment.

There  are   only  a handful  of nonhandheld  equipment  manufacturers   that are  vertically
integrated.   Honda is the most important of these, producing a broad line  of premium  engines
and products from its  North Carolina plant.  Kubota is also another example of a major
manufacturer of both engines and equipment.

                 3.1.4  Recreational Vehicle  Equipment  Manufacturers

Recreational vehicles have a relatively simple distribution system, more streamlined than that
of any other segment of the utility market. The manufacturers use a direct distribution system
and rely on independent dealers  to interface with customers,  sell  their products, and  provide
service. The 1990 Motorcycle Statistical Annual published by the Motorcycle Industry Council

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency             76                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

estimates  there were  10,704 retail outlets selling motorcycles and related products in the U.S.
in 1990,  Of those, 34 percent  were franchised  to sell motorcycles,  scooters, or ATVs.  The
remaining 66 percent sold motorcycle related parts, accessories,  riding apparel, used vehicles,
or service, but were not franchised to sell new vehicles.  Although less detail is available for
snowmobiles and other recreational vehicles in the utility industry, they also generally  follow
a direct distribution pattern.

The franchised dealers, as well as nonfranchised accessory dealers, are independent businesses.
Although  some sell  only  one  manufacturer's  product line, the majority are  not  exclusive
dealerships.   Although they  represent  a significant portion  of the  public image  of  the
manufacturers, the dealerships are allowed a great deal of independence.  An exception  to this
is warranty repairs, which must be cleared through the manufacturers.  In general though, the
dealers  operate autonomously.  Figure 3-3 shows the product distribution network used  by the
recreational vehicle manufacturers.

                         3.1.5   Farm Equipment  Manufacturers

The main aspect of the farm equipment distribution network is the independent  franchised
dealer system.  These dealers  all run independent  businesses, separate  from  the  company
operations.  Franchises are not on an exclusive basis.  One franchise may carry  tractors made
by more than one manufacturer.  Also, there is likely to be more than one dealer carrying the
same manufacturer's products in a single  geographic  area. This depends on dealer availability
and the extent  of local demand.

Dealers sell the equipment to farmers at the retail level.  Service  is very important with this
equipment,  and  is  provided by  the dealers.    This relationship  is  independent  of  the
manufacturers  except  for the authorization of some warranty repair claims.  Because  of the
importance of service, the vast  majority of retail sales are through dealers.   However,  some
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             77                                      413-14

-------
                Figure 3-3: Recreational Equipment Manufacturer-Product Distribution Network
Raw Material
Supplier
 -Steel
 -Plastics
 -Cartons
 -Paint
 -Aluminum
 -Magnesium
 -Other
Component
Manufacturer
  -Engines
  -Transmission
  -Wheels
  -Attachments
  •Tires
  -Etc.
                                  Recreational
                                  Equipment
                                  Manufacturer
Independent
  Dealers
End-Users

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

smaller equipment types are now being sold at agricultural co-op and discount stores. Because
these  stores provide no service, larger machinery will remain the exclusive domain of dealers.

The larger  manufacturers  (e.g.,  Deere) work directly with their  dealer  network.   Smaller
manufacturers use  independent wholesalers or independent manufacturers representatives  as
intermediaries between themselves and  the independent dealer network.  These intermediaries
are leaving the  market at  a  rapid rate.  They are consolidating or going out  of business as
individual  dealers get  larger  and  interface directly with the  manufacturers.

The trend, particularly  in the 1980's and continuing into the 1990's but at a slower rate, has
been  for the number of farms to decline and the remaining farms to be larger.  Consequently,
the number of dealers are  following the same trend.   There are approximately  6,000 dealers
in 1992,  Only 10 to  15 years ago there were more than 10,000 dealers'8.

This trend towards  a smaller  number of larger dealers is shifting some  market power from the
manufacturers to the dealers.  However, there is no threat to the manufacturers dominance of
the channels nor is  there likely to be one in the future.  Figure 3-4 represents the relationships
and flow of goods  from the viewpoint of the  farm equipment manufacturers.

      3.1.6 Construction, Commercial, and Industrial Equipment Manufacturers

This category  includes a broad range of firms  from construction  equipment producers to firms
that manufacture primarily lawn and garden equipment.  There are  also many firms that only
produce specific applications  such as compressors, pumps, generator  sets, and pressure washers.
For the most  part, these companies have distribution channels similar  to that of the  farm
equipment manufacturers.  There are some differences that  are discussed below.
    "North American Equipment Dealers Association.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             79                                      413-14

-------
                        Figure 3-4: Farm Equipment Manufacturer-Product Distribution Network
Raw Material
Supplier
  -Steel
  •Plastics
  •Cartons
  -Paint
  -Aluminum
  -Magnesium
  -Other
Component
Manufacturer
  -Engines
  -Transmission
  -Wheels
  -Attachments
  -Tires
  -Etc.
 Independent
 Wholesale
 Distributor
Independent
Manufacturing
Representative

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Wholesale distributors are probably more important in this category than in the farm equipment
industry.  This is because the agricultural industry is so well established  that farm equipment
manufacturers are more likely to have complete direct dealer networks in place.  Because the
manufacturers  are  unlikely to have a nationwide  dealer  network  for light  construction,
commercial,  and industrial equipment, the distributor is essential.  Even if these manufacturers
wanted to deal only with their dealers, they lack adequate geographic coverage  to be able to
do so. The lack of nationwide dealer coverage has forced some manufacturers to open factory
stores in some areas.  Although independent  dealers are preferred to company owned  stores,
manufacturers have not always been  able to find a dealer to work through.  Figure 3-5 shows
the distribution relationships from the perspective of construction,  industrial, and commercial
equipment manufacturers.

                3.2 VERTICAL AND HORIZONTAL  INTEGRATION

Vertical and  horizontal  integration measure the extent to which companies in the small nonroad
engine market perform multiple functions  in  the market place. Vertical integration  refers to
the situation where a particular  firm is both  a supplier and a customer.  A small  nonroad
equipment firm with full vertical integration would manufacture components,  engines and
equipment, as well as  provide product distribution, retail  and service functions.  Horizontal
integration refers to a single firm that manufactures or sells several similar products, such as
farm  equipment and lawn and garden equipment,  that are  sold in different markets.

Emission  control  regulations  may  require substantial  retooling  and  other  changes  to  the
production processes over a relatively short  period of time. Firms  that are vertically integrated
over  engines and equipment  may be able to respond to such  changes both faster and more
efficiently.   Such  regulations will  also  impact industries unevenly,  with  firms  producing
products  with  elastic  demand facing  larger  impacts.   In such  a situation,  firms  that  are
horizontally  integrated  may be in a stronger competitive situation  than those  that are not.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            81                                      413-14

-------
   Figure 3-5: Construction/Commercial/Industrial Equipment Manufacturer—Product Distribution Network
Raw Material
Supplier
  -Steel
  -Plastics
  -Cartons
  -Paint
  -Aluminum
  -Magnesium
  -Other
Component
Manufacturer
  -Engines
  -Transmission
  -Wheels
  -Attachments
  -Tires
  -Etc.
                         Original
                         Equipment
                        Manufacturer
                                                       Wholesale
                                                       Distributor
End-Users
 -Construction
 -Commercial
 -Industrial

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                               3.2.1  Vertical Integration

The level of vertical integration in the small nonroad equipment industry  is rather small, and
to the extent that it does exist, it occurs in the manufacture of engines and  equipment.  Engine
manufacturers generally  do  not produce  components such as spark plugs and  mufflers  or
provide  their own raw  materials  such  as steel  or  aluminum.    Moreover,  equipment
manufacturers do  not  tend to be  involved  in distributing, retailing  or servicing equipment.
Where their names are used  by dealers, it is almost exclusively through franchising.

Vertical integration between engine and equipment manufacturers is concentrated in three areas:
foreign lawn and garden engine and equipment manufacturers,  foreign recreational engine and
equipment manufacturers and handheld lawn and garden equipment manufacturers.  Table 3-1
provides a listing of companies that make both  engines and equipment in five broad  product
categories (lawn and garden,  recreational,  agricultural, construction and light-commercial and
industrial).

Most  of  the vertically  integrated manufacturers  are foreign companies,  including Honda and
Kubota for lawn  and  garden engines, and  equipment;  and Honda. Kawasaki,  Susuki and
Yamaha  for recreational  engines and equipment.   The  major  exception  for  recreational
equipment is Bombardier  a domestic maker of snowmobiles.

The other important category of vertically integrated  manufacturers  is  producers  of handheld
engines and equipment. As discussed in an earlier section, handheld equipment manufacturers
tend to produce their  own engines due to  size  and design restrictions.  Important vertically
integrated  handheld equipment  manufacturers include  Poulan.  Stihl,  and  Textron  (i.e.,
Homelight and Jacobsen).
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             83                                     413-14

-------
                                        TABLE 3-1


               HORIZONTAL AND VERTICAL INTEGRATION IN THE UTILITY ENGINE
                              AND EQUIPMENT INDUSTRY
VERTICALLY INTEGRATED MANUFACTURERS
Bombardier
(U.S.)

Honda
(Japan)

Kawasaki
(Japan)

Kubota
(Japan)

Mitsubishi
(Japan)

Poulan
(U.S.)

Stihl
(German)

Suzuki
(Japan)

Textron
(Homelight & Jacobsen)
(U.S.)

Yamaha
(Japan)
—  Recreational Engines and Equipment
—  Recreational Engines and Equipment
—  Lawn & Garden Engines and Equipment

—  Recreational Engines and Equipment
—  Lawn & Garden Engines and Equipment
—  Agricultural Engines and Equipment

—  Construction Engines and Equipmem
    Lawn & Garden Engines and Equipment
    Lawn & Garden Engines and Equipment
    Light Commercial & Industrial. Engines and  Equipment

    Recreation Engines  and Equipment
    Lawn & Garden Engines and Equipment
    Recreational Engines and Equipment
HORIZONTALLY INTEGRATED ENGINE MANUFACTURERS
Briggs & Stratton
(U.S.)
Honda
(Japan)
K oliler
(U.S.)
    Lawn & Garden Engines
    Construction Engines
    Light Commercial & Industrial Engines

    Lawn & Garden Engines
    Recreational Engines
    Agricultural Engines

    Lawn & Garden Engines
    Light Commercial & Industrial I'nviiu'x

    Lawn & Garden Engine";
    Auriculiural linuines
                                            84

-------
                                  TABLE 3-1 (coat.)
Onan
(U.S.)
Stihl
(Germany)

Yamaha
(Japan)
    Lawn & Garden Engines
    Construction Engines
    Light Commercial & Industrial Engines

    Lawn & Garden Engines
    Light Commercial & Industrial Engines

    Recreational Engines
    Light Commercial & Industrial Engines
HORIZONTALLY INTEGRATED EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS
Allied Products
(U.S.)

Caterpillar
(U.S.)

Deere & Co.
(U.S.)
Echo
(U.S.)

Gehl
(U.S.)
Honda
(Japan)

Kubota
(Japan)
SCAG
(U.S.)

Stihl
(Germany)

Textron
(Ilomclight & Jacobscn)
(U.S.)
—  Agricultural Equipment
—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment

—  Agricultural Equipment
—  Construction Equipment

—  Lawn & Garden Equipment
—  Agricultural Equipment
—  Construction Equipment

—  Lawn & Garden Equipment
—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment

—  Agricultural Equipment
—  Construction Equipment
—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment

—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment
—  Recreational Equipment

—  Lawn & Garden Equipment
—  Agricultural Equipment
—  Construction Equipment

—  Lawn ,5c Garden Equipment
—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment

—  Lawn & Garden Equipment
—  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment

—  Lawn & Garden Equipment
•-  Light Commercial & Industrial Equipment
                                             85

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                             3.2.2  Horizontal Integration

Horizontal integration, as analyzed  here, is based on five broad equipment groups.  Different
conclusions may have resulted if equipment groups were more narrowly defined.  For example,
an alternative would be to define horizontal  integration based on engine horsepower or any
number of other criteria.

Horizontal integration is quite common among the engine manufacturers.  In fact, as Table 3-1
shows, most of the major engine manufacturers produce products for several applications.  This
is due,  in  part, to the fact that a single engine design is often used in many  applications.
However, not all engine manufacturers sell to multiple applications.   Tecumseh,  for example,
is highly dependant on lawn  and garden sales, although a small number of their engines are
used in light commercial and industrial  applications.   Homelight and Poulan are examples of
manufacturers who exclusively serve  the lawn and garden industries.

Horizontal integration is much less common  among  equipment manufacturers.  Among the
equipment manufacturers  that are horizontally integrated are  large U.S. companies such as
Caterpillar and Deere that serve agricultural, construction and lawn and  garden customers.
Foreign producers  such  as  Honda and Kubota  produce both lawn  and garden  and other
equipment types.  Compared to  the  large number of companies that produce  for  a single
market, however, the number of horizontally integrated firms is quite small.  A comparison of
the  percent of the  small  nonroad engine and equipment market which  is horizontally and/or
vertically  integrated can be performed  from PSR's database but was not conducted in this study
due to resource constraints.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             86                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                              3.3  BARRIERS TO ENTRY

A barrier to entry is simply any advantage held by existing firms over those firms that might
potentially produce in a given market. Barriers  to entry include factors such as advertising and
product differentiation, legal-institutional factors,  scarce resources, scale economies and large
capital requirements.  Barriers to entry are important because in the long run existing firms will
be  able  to persistently earn economic  profits  only if the entry of new firms is somehow
barricaded.  If it is easy for new firms to enter an industry or market (Le., there are no barriers
to entry), then the degree of pricing discretion for established firms in the  industry may be
limited.  However, if established firms are successful  in mounting barriers to new firm entry,
then it is possible  that the industry will be characterized by prices that are higher than marginal
production costs,  or long-run  excess economic  profits  will  be accrued by existing  firms.
Established firms, therefore, have market power and are able to set prices at higher levels than
under a perfectly competitive market. The welfare of end-users of the product, or consumers,
suffers as a result. In this respect, barriers to entry may  result in the inefficient allocation of
resources.  The sections that follow discuss major categories of barriers to entry and the degree
to which they exist in the markets under observation.

                      3.3.1  Advertising and Product Differentiation

Firms in oligopolistic industries tend to use advertising and variation in product characteristics,
more than price, as competitive  weapons. When a firm advertises, it attempts to attract more
customers  and sell more of its product at a given price.  Advertising may also help a firm to
change the preferences of existing customers so that at a given price more of its product will
be demanded.  The object is to build brand loyalty which allows a firm to charge a premium
for its product.  Clearly, brand  names play an important role for many  of the  products that
employ small nonroad engines.  Data on advertising outlays at the 4-digit SIC industry level
are not collected,  or reported, by the Bureau of the Census in  its Census of Manufacturers.
However, The Department of Treasury,  Internal Revenue Service's Source Book: Statistics of

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             87                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates
DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE
December 1992
Income does provide  data  on advertising expenditures for the  various  Statistics  of Income
Classification Codes relevant to this study.  As mentioned in Section  2.9, these Statistics of
Income Classification  Codes roughly correspond to the 3-digit SIC codes  used by Census.  For
example,  Statistics of  Income Classification  Code 3520 — Farm Machinery maps directly to
SIC Code 352 — Farm and Garden Machinery  and Equipment.  On the other hand, Statistics
of Income Classification Code 3598 — Engines and Turbines, Service Industry Machinery,  and
Other  Machinery,  Except Electrical  includes SIC Codes 358 — Refrigeration and  Service
Industry Machinery, 351 — Engines and Turbines,  and 359 — Miscellaneous  Machinery.
Except Electrical.  As a result,  the reader should interpret data  presented at the Statistics of
Income Classification  Code level  with caution, since  these codes do  not map directly with
either  3-digit SIC codes or, more importantly, the 4-digit SIC codes that comprise the small
nonroad engine  and equipment  industry.  Nevertheless, a review of advertising  outlays at the
Statistics of Income Classification  Code level may be fruitful.

The following provides advertising intensity  ratios for each Statistics of Income  Classification
Code  found to be relevant to this study.
Statistics of Income
Classification Code
3520
3530
3540
3560
3598
3698
3798
Farm Machinery
Construction and Related Machinery
Metalworking Machinery
General Industrial Machinery
Other Machinery, Except Electrical
Other Electrical Equipment
Other Transportation Equipment
Advertising Intensity
(1988)
0.019
0.004
0.011
0.008
0.010
0.011
0.008
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                                  413-14

-------
Jack Fauceit Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992
Advertising intensity is defined as:
                                   Advertising Outlays
                                     Total Revenue.
This ratio provides an indication  of the relative  importance of advertising  across various
industries.   Clearly, Statistics  of Income  Classification Code  3520's advertising outlays
represent  the largest shares of total revenue (Le., total receipts) of those industries presented
above.  As mentioned  earlier,  this industry corresponds  directly to SIC 352 —  Farm and
Garden Machinery and Equipment.

Advertising outlays are likely to also be quite substantial Tor the lawn and garden industry and
brand identification is especially important for premium products.  Premium lawnmower (e.g.,
Toro, Honda) and chainsaw (e.g., Stihl, Poulan) brands, for example, are well  known to most
consumers and may serve as  strong  barriers  to  entry.  On the  other  hand, for low-end
equipment,  price, rather  than brand, is  the  basis for competition.   In addition  to product
differentiation, advertising  is also  effective in eliciting  a  premium  price for  recreational
equipment due to the cultivation of brand loyalty. The major motorcycle makers (including
Honda, Suzuki and Yamaha)  can clearly charge a higher price than an unknown entrant.  The
pattern is repeated for farm equipment companies such as Caterpillar and Deere.

On the other hand, most  of the broad markets  contain  a  variety  of niches that allow a new
company  to  establish itself.  For example,  Technic  Tool, although only three years old, is
already a leader  in the  tree pruning  market because  it discovered  a niche market for  a
telescoping chainsaw and accessories.  Other manufactures have developed new products for
new markets.  Ferris,  Scag,  Dixon  Chopper,  Walter and Grasshopper,  for  example, have
successfully  developed  and  marketed  new products  for  the  growing  professional lawn
maintenance  market.19
    'Power Equipment Trade, "Struggling Industry...Or New Realities?", July-August 1992.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            89                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates               DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December  1992

Although distinct in  terms of conceptual  frameworks, advertising  and product differentiation
can serve  as strategies to obtain and/or maintain market power.  Product differentiation20
usually characterizes  a monopolistically competitive industry in which elements  of competition
and monopoly coexist.  This means that while a monopolistically  competitive  firm has some
power over price, it may still face a price sensitive demand for its product.  Yet because of the
fact  that product differentiation  facilitates price setting behavior,  firms  often  employ  this
strategy in  an effort  to obtain and maintain some  degree of market power.  For example, if
consumers are loyal to established brands and companies as a result of product differentiation
and. concurrently, skeptical about new, untried brands, entry is more difficult than it otherwise
would be.21   On the other hand, advertising  is often used as a strategy  to maintain market
power (Le., solely as a barrier to entry). Once a firm  has obtained a position of market power,
advertising  is often used to insulate against encroachment.22

                          3.3,2  Legal and Institutional Factors

Important legal and institutional barriers to entry include patents, tariffs, limited or exclusive
operating rights and licensing. Such measures may decrease the competitiveness of an industry
by providing productive advantages to  selected manufacturers.   Once  competitiveness   has
decreased,  these measures help established  firms  holding patents, for example, to maintain
market power and  deter entry.

The existence of important patents can allow the holder, or those who purchase or lease the
rights, the ability to regulate entry.  At present, however, there do not appear to be any current
patents that are restricting entry.   The most advanced technology  in use, the  overhead valve
    20 A general class of product is differentiated if any significant basis exists for distinguishing the goods
(or services) of one seller from those of another.
    2lAsch, Peter, "Industrial Organization and Antitrust Policy," 1983.
    22Scherer, P.M., Ross,  D., "Industrial Market Structure and Economic Performance,"1990.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             90                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December  1992

engine, is not patent restricted.  This is especially important because this technology has lower
emissions than side valve engines and as such should  become increasingly important.   The
orbital engine, a low  emission two-stroke,  is heavily  patented.  However, the durability or
feasibility  of  orbital   technology  has not  been  demonstrated  in  small  nonroad  engine
applications.23

Ryobi  recently announced a major  technological  breakthrough in the development  of a  new
proto-type of portable gasoline engine that is heralded as the first to  meet all proposed clean
air  emission  standards, including 1999 California Air Resources Board (CARB) regulations.
Ryobi's Clean Air Engine is designed to power portable utility and lawn and garden tools, such
as trimmers.  The engine features a 1  horsepower, 4-stroke engine, and it is the first 4-stroke
engine small enough for hand-held applications.24  Given that Section 308 of the  Clean Air
Act provides the federal government with a mechanism  to require licensure  of patents under
certain conditions, such innovations may provide  certain manufactures with effective barriers
to entry if regulations  are imposed to  control emission from small nonroad engines.

Tariffs or other import restrictions applied to imported engines or equipment can serve as an
entry barrier to foreign firms.  No evidence  was found, however, that any important tariffs or
import restrictions apply to the small  nonroad engine and equipment  market.

Government  can also serve to restrict  entry  through a variety of other schemes.  One type of
barrier to entry is that which grants  operating rights, a familiar  example being taxi franchises.
Government  intrusion of this  sort does not apply to the industries  under examination  here.
Another type  of barrier caused by  government  intervention  includes   licensing  or other
regulations that slow or delay the ability to enter the market. Nuclear  power generation serves
    23Orbital is currently developing a non-patented system which is generally referred to as the "low-
cost" system. This technology may be able to compete competitively in small engine applications.
    24Coots,  F., Elisco & Herrman PR, "RYOBI news".  Actual manufacturing of this engine will not
commence until late 1993.  Patents are currently pending on Ryobi's new technology.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             91                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

as a good  example  of how  such factors can serve as entry barriers.   While these types of
barriers (Le., operating rights and licensing) may exist to some degree in the small nonroad
engine and equipment markets, they are likely to be neither particularly  strong nor do they
apply uniquely to these industries.

                                3.3.3  Economies of Scale

Economies of scale may deter entry if they are sufficiently important in a given industry; since
they imply that a new entrant must come into the market, or industry, at a  relatively large size
in order to operate efficiently (i.e., the market will support only a small number of big  firms).
Such  large-scale  entry, however, will have two effects in the market,  both of which will be
detrimental to the new  firm.   First, large-scale  entry  will tend to  push  up the prices of
production inputs (e.g., capital and labor) by raising  their demand.  Second, large-scale entry
will push down the price  of  outputs (Le., the products that  are purchased) by increasing their
supplies.25

A quantitative  assessment of the degree of economies of scale in the  industries representing
the small nonroad engines and equipment industry  was not conducted for this study.  However,
various qualitative remarks can be made.

Economies of scale are likely to be important in the small nonroad engine industry where seller
concentration  and capital  intensity  are  high.  As  shown in Section 4,  Briggs & Stratton  and
Tecumseh  alone  account  for roughly 63 percent  of unit sales in the  small nonroad  engine
industry.  Such high seller concentration may indicate that the small  nonroad engine market
can support only a few large firms.  In this context, economies of scale may be a stronger
barrier to entry in niche markets of the small nonroad engine industry.   For example, as shown
in Section  4,  Briggs & Stratton and Tecumseh account  for over 64  percent  of the sales of
   BAsch, Peter, "Industrial Organization and Antitrust Policy," 1983.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             92                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

gasoline engines  between 0 and 25 horsepower, while Kubota and Yanmar account for about
62 percent of the  sales of diesel engines between 0 and 25 horsepower.  Furthermore, as shown
in Section 2, the  Internal Combustion Engine industry is highly capital intensive, suggesting
that new entrants much invest heavily on capital goods that are necessary for the production
process.  Large capital requirements as a barrier to entry are discussed below.

Unlike the small  nonroad engine industry, the small  nonroad  equipment  industry is likely to
be less  influenced  by economies of scale as  a barrier to entry, although entry into  specific
market niches may be hampered by this economic phenomenon.  For example, entry  into the
mass  merchandiser lawn and  garden equipment market may be limited because of the  large-
scale  operations that are required to adequately  supply mass merchandisers.  This large-scale
requirement may  have perpetuated the relative  importance of Murray Ohio, MTD, or American
Yard, each of which is an important supplier to mass merchandisers.   However,  in order to
accurately and fully assess the importance of economies of scale as a barrier  to entry, data on
average production costs are required.  Such data are extremely difficult,  if not impossible to
come by at the firm level.

                           3.3,4  Large Capital Requirements

Another  barrier to entry is the requirement that a firm build and maintain  a large  complicated
and expensive plant.  It is, for example, extremely difficult to  obtain the hundreds of millions
of dollars required to build a modern automobile or steel plant. In addition to building a plant,
another dimension of the large capital requirement barrier are the related functions and tasks
that are required  in industries where large-scale operations are predominant.  For example,
skilled personnel, although there may be an oversupply of such workers, must still be  found
and hired, distribution channels established, and parts and repairs guaranteed.  While  the cost
of building plant and  equipment for the small nonroad engine and  equipment market  is not
negligible, neither  is it prohibitive.    For  example, according  to the  1987  Census  of
Manufacturers,  the book value of depreciable  assets per establishment was $25.3 million for

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             93                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

SIC 3519 (Internal Combustion Engines), $1.9 million for SIC 3523 (Farm Machinery  and
Equipment), and $5.8 million for SIC 3524 (Lawn and Garden Equipment).  Each of these is
significantly less than the $53.6 million in assets per establishment for SIC 3721 (Aircraft).
There  also appears to be numerous multi-product distributors such that  a new entrant would
have no need to build their own distribution network.

                     3.3.5  Scarce  Resources  and Control for Inputs

A more obvious barrier to entry is the unavailability of natural resources.  This factor is often
cited to  explain monopoly behavior in  nickel, sulfur, diamonds and bauxite.  It would  not.
however, appear to be a significant factor for the small nonroad engine and equipment markets.

                                 3.4  MARKET POWER

In  this section,  the  types of  market  power  found in the  various  relationships  between
components of the nonroad engine and equipment  industry are identified. Market  power is the
ability  of a  firm to  set prices;  it occurs when a  firm  faces  a downward  sloping  demand
curve26 as is illustrated in Figure 3.6.  This allows  the firm, in some circumstances, to collect
excess, or economic,  profits. However the firm may also suffer losses if its demand curve lies
entirely below its total average cost curve2'.  When a portion of the demand  curve lies above
the  total average cost curve, the firm can choose  to set the  price at the  profit  maximizing
level28  or at another level that does  not  lead to losses.
    26 A demand curve shows the quantity of a product that can be sold by an industry at each price.
Industry demand curves are nearly always downward sloping.  A firm in a competitive industry faces a
horizontal demand curve  because price is set at an  industry level and the individual  firm is unable to
influence it.
    27A curve depicting total costs divided by total quantity.  This is sometimes referred to as unit cost.
The horizontal  axis is quantity produced.
    28'
     The level of output at which a Firm's profits are maximized.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             94                                       413-14

-------
Price, Costs
  800
  700
  600
  500
            FIGURE  3.6    FIRM  FACING A DOWNWARD
                      SLOPING DEMAND  CURVE
  400
c
  300
  200
  100
    0
                                               TOTAL AVERAGE COST
                                               MARGINAL COST
         4
8  10 |12  14  16  18  20  22
                  Quantity
                                               DEMAND
                                               MARGINAL REVENUE
                             By producing at quantity
                             Q', at which marginal reve-
                             nue equals marginal cost,
                             the firm maximizes profits.

                             The demand curve shows the
                             price at each level of  output,
                             Price is the value society
                             places oil the additional unit,
                             that is,  the marginal value.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

There are two reasons to consider market power in this study.  One is that market power leads
to inefficient economic  outcomes.29  To see this, consider that a firm maximizes  its profit by
producing  a quantity  of product  such that  its  marginal  cost30 is equal  to  its  marginal
revenue/1   The condition for economic efficiency is that marginal  value32,  represented  by
the demand curve, equals marginal  cost.   A competitive firm, in effect,  faces  a  horizontal
demand curve as shown in Figure 3.7 so that marginal revenue equals both the price and the
marginal value of the product.   Hence, the  marginal  cost equals marginal revenue, ensuring
profit maximization for the firm and simultaneously ensuring that marginal cost equal marginal
value.

When a firm faces a downward  sloping demand curve as in  Figure  3.6. marginal revenue is
less than marginal value so that when marginal cost equals marginal revenue it does not equal
marginal value.  The  marginal cost of the resources used in the product  of a firm with market
power is less than the marginal value society places on the product.  Whenever  a firm faces
a downward sloping demand curve and,  therefore, has the power to manipulate prices, it is not
producing the socially optimal quantity1" of the product.

The second reason for considering  market power  is that knowing of its existence will help
predict the  manner  in  which costs that may result from regulation are passed through  by
producers to consumers.
   29Any outcome other than the perfectly competitive outcome.
   30The cost of producing one more unit of a product.
   31
     The revenue gained by selling one more unit of a product.
    32The additional benefit to society if an additional unit of a product is made available. Marginal value
equals price.
    MThe quantity of the product that would be made if all production and distribution decisions for all
products were optimal,

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            96                                     413-14

-------
Price, Costs
  800
  700
   600
              igure 3.7
  400
p'
  qnn

  200
  1 00
    0
                            Firm  Facing a  Horizontal
                           Demand  Curve

      2  4   6   8  10  12  1)4  16  18  20  22
                            1      Quantity
                           Q'
                                              TOTAL AVERAGE COST
                                              MARGINAL COST
                                              DEMAND
In this case marginal revenue
also equals the price of the
product which is also its
marginal value.

By producing at quantity
Q',  at  which marginal reve-
nue equals marginal cost,
the  firm maximizes profits.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

In this analysis, only two market models  are considered:  perfect  competition and imperfect
competition.   Perfect competition is the case in which there are a large number of identical
firms producing identical products in a situation  where each one of a large number of buyers
has complete  knowledge of the  price of all products.  In perfect  competition a  firm has no
market power. Imperfect competition is when one or more of these conditions is not present.
For example, imperfect competition  may be characterized by a small number of firms, by firms
that  are  not identical,  by  firms that compete  by differentiating  their product or through
advertising, or  by  price  information not being  universally  available.   Under  imperfect
competition a firm has  market power.

Frequently textbooks refer  to five models of an imperfectly competitive industry: monopoly
(single  producer  in  the industry);  oligopoly (small  number of producers);  monopolistic
competition (product differentiation); monopsony  (single  purchaser): and oligopsony  (small
number of purchasers).  These industry structures  comprise  imperfect competition  because they
each result in an economic outcome that is not efficient (i.e..  the perfectly competitive price
and quantity  levels are  not  attained).

It may further be noted that the recent economic literature contains a great deal of discussion
of the notion, put forward by  William  Baumol, of contestable  markets.   If a market  is
contestable, competitive pricing (/.e.,  price equal to marginal value and  to minimum long run
average cost)34 can occur even if there  is a monopoly.   Minimum long run average cost is
illustrated in Figure 3.8.  Within this literature there  is also discussion that in many  markets,
the price tends to equal the minimum long run average cost and, therefore, it also equals the
marginal cost, meeting  the criterion for economic efficiency.   This happens  because,  as the
empirical  evidence shows in many cases, the long run average cost curve  has a large horizontal
    34The lowest cost at which a product can be made. It occurs if the right sized plant is used and all
production decisions are optimal.  When the economy is operating in its most efficient way, all firms are
producing at minimum long run average cost.  Costs include fair compensation to all inputs including
labor and management.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             98                                      413-14

-------
340
320
300
         Figure  0.8   Short-run and  Long—run
                    Average  Cost Curves
            8   10   12   14   16  18  20
                             Quantity
                                          SHORT RUN AV COST 1
                                          SHORT RUN AV COST 2
                                          SHORT RUN AV COST 3
                                           •e-
                                          LONG RUN AV COST
The long run average cost
curve envelopes the short
run average cost curves,.

It depicts the  lowest average
cost  at which  the product
can be produced.

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

segment at its bottom, and all along this segment the marginal cost equals the long run average
cost.  According  to contestable market  theory, if a firm sets its price above long run average
cost, it is  inviting a competing  firm to enter the market at a price closer to the minimum long
run average cost.

There are very few cases in which market power arises  naturally.  It is generally created by
a legal  document such as a grant of monopoly  (e.g.,  to an electric utility), a  patent for  a
product or production technique,  or  the deed to most of a natural  commodity.   Firms also
attempt to create market  power through advertising and product development, which induce
product differentiation (i.e., monopolistic competition). In the absence of these circumstances,
however,  it can be assumed that price tends towards minimum long  run average  cost.

As the preceding  discussion indicates  two basic circumstances can prevail.  First, if the industry
is competitive  there is no market  power.   If  a regulatory action increases cost  to firms in  a
competitive industry, each firm will  raise its  price by an amount equal to the increase in its
long run average  cost. The entire  cost of the  regulation is passed through to the purchaser of
the  product.   Second, if the industry is not  competitive there  will  be market  power.  The
amount of added  cost passed through as price increases is, within limits, decided by the firm.

In the small nonroad engine and equipment  industry, there is no  exact replication of the
conceptual models referred  to above.   However,  these  models still provide insight  about
economic  behavior.   Furthermore, many of the conceptual results of these simplified models
have  been empirically verified.   Actual economic markets are difficult to demarcate.  The
definitions of markets are, therefore, imprecise.  Various  firms operating in the small nonroad
engine and equipment industry overlap market  definitions  and are organized in numerous ways.
For example, firms may be vertically integrated, producing each component and owning the
distribution network,  horizontally  integrated, selling many types  of engines or equipment, or
firms produce a single product in  a specialized market segment.  All three of these  forms of
industrial  integration  may be either perfectly or imperfectly competitive.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency            100                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Figure 3-9 illustrates  the relationships  between the components of the small nonroad  engine
and equipment industry.  There are six relationships;  in each, there is the opportunity for
market power.  The nature of these relationships is described below.

       3.4.1  Relationship Between Engine Producers  and Equipment Producers

Three types of relationships between engine producers can be identified.

       a)  Both engine producers and equipment producers can be owned  by the same parent
       company.

In this  case  market  power  is a  moot  issue because the  firm  is  selling  to  itself.   Any
inefficiencies in this transaction hurt the  firm directly.

       b)  Engine suppliers and equipment producers are in separate firms, but in their market
       segment there  are only a small number of engine suppliers.

The example in the small nonroad engine and equipment  industry that fits this relationship is
the mass market for equipment, such as lawnmowers, sold through chain  stores and discount
stores. Two engine manufacturers, Briggs & Stratton and Tecumseh Products Inc., account for
over half  the engines  produced for that market.  The rest of the market is served  by smaller
firms.  Each  of the two major engine manufacturers  in this  market and some of the smaller
ones are  capable of  making engines to fit any piece of equipment.  Often the  design  of
equipment is such that a standard engine will fit the equipment.   Equipment designers know
the standard  designs,  such as the  horsepower and the configuration of drive shaft, and often
design equipment to use standard designs.  However, they may also  ask for a custom design
of engine  specifications to accommodate a  new equipment design. While it may be difficult
to switch  the engine  supplier after the design phase,  during the  design stage an equipment
producer  can choose  any engine  supplier  it wishes.   These decisions  are made based on

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            101                                      413-14

-------
Figure 3-9: Relationships Between Components of Nonroad Production and Distribution Network
Engine
Producers

5
Component
Producers
1
2

Equipment
Producers
3

Distributors
4
6


Retailers

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OK QUOTE	December 1992

satisfaction  with past performance, cost, and the design features of the proposed competing
engines.

With respect to the presence of market power in this market, there are competing factors. The
argument that prices will be competitive rests on the presence of two large firms and a number
of smaller ones fully capable of producing engines  of these types.  Any time an equipment
manufacturer is dissatisfied with an engine manufacturer, it can switch to a different one.  This
means that engine manufacturers cannot set prices too high, or they will loose their business.
This conclusion is in keeping with the  contestable market concept.  Bolstering this view is the
fact that the market in which the "low end"  equipment is sold  is very price competitive,
consisting of chain stores and discount outlets.

The argument that prices are not competitive  and that market power exists rests on the fact that
some firms  have worked to develop a reputation for high quality engines.  To the extent that
they can convince equipment manufacturers  of their superiority, they have market power and
can set a price higher than the competitive price.  However, on balance, any such price
differential will be limited by the competitive pressures of supplying the very competitive retail
outlets that  sell these items.  Hence, it is unlikely that significant market  power exists in this
market segment.  Increases in cost are therefore very likely to be passed through to consumers.

       c) Engine suppliers and equipment  producers  are independent,  and, in  their market,
       consumers can choose  what engine is in the equipment purchased.

In  this market,  which includes many of the miscellaneous categories  of small nonroad
equipment,  there is ample  opportunity  to switch  engine  manufacturers, guaranteeing  a
competitive market.  Many  pieces of equipment in this group, such  as chippers, are sold
without an engine and the consumer can choose the brand, horsepower, and fuel type of the
engine.  In other cases, the same equipment  is advertised  with any one of several  engine
options,  often including  engines  from different manufacturers.    Consumers  who prefer  a

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             103                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

particular brand of engine can demand that brand directly, while consumers seeking the least
costly  configuration can directly  demand the least costly engine.   In this setting, engine
producers can be expected to make the engine available at the minimum long run average cost.
This is the competitive  price of the engine.

     3.4.2 Relationship Between Component Producers and Equipment Producers

Component producers  supply equipment producers with all components except engines and
those items fabricated  by equipment  producers.  This includes the inputs, such as steel and
paint,  that equipment producers use  in their  fabrications.  It also includes, as appropriate,
transmissions, wheels, tires, handles, levers, hubs, brakes, belts,  washers,  nuts, and  so on.
Many of these components are supplied to many other industries in the same form.  In general,
this relationship is competitive.

           3.4.3 Relationship Between Equipment Producers and Distributors

Equipment producers may relate with equipment distributors (wholesalers) in one of two  ways.
They may be part of a single parent company or they may market their product to independent
distributors.  Sales by equipment producers to distributors  accounts for a small but significant
portion of output. Total sales of small nonroad equipment to wholesalers/distributors was 14.8
percent of total output in 1988.35

As  stated above, sales between firms that are  part of the same parent company are  not subject
to market power analysis because they are all in-house. Sales to independent distributors are
very likely to produce competitive prices.  Independent  distributors choose equipment that they
believe they can sell to their dealers  based on price, quality, and features of the  equipment
itself.  If one producer  set  his price too high  the distributor could find another product that
   35 Outdoor Power Equipment Institute, Profile of.the Outdoor Power Equipment Industry.  1989. p.
3.

U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency            104                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

could do the job and promote it to his dealers.  Therefore, the relationship  between equipment
producers and distributors is a competitive one.

            3.4.4  Relationship Between  Equipment Producers and Retailers

In many cases,  equipment producers deal directly with wholesalers/distributors.   However,
about half (48 percent) of small nonroad equipment factory  output was sold directly to retail
outlets (general merchandisers - 16.8 percent, discounters - 13.9 percent, retailers/dealers  - 12.0
percent, and home centers  - 5.3 percent) in 1988.36  This market relationship reflects  larger
retailers dealing directly with the factory, or a relationship involving joint ownership in which
both firms are owned  by the same parent company.

When mass marketers  bargain with producers, they are likely  to get a low price for the product.
First,  they deal in large  quantities and can order definite quantities.  They sometimes  order
special paint and logo designs or even negotiate  for some design changes in the equipment.
Because  they deal  in  volume and can often offer a  stable relationship with a producer, the
producer can cut his costs by producing  optimal size  batches of equipment.  Furthermore, the
producer is unlikely to seek a return  on  its investment above normal levels. In short, a large
purchaser goes through a one on one negotiation process with a large producer.  Both have the
option of dealing with another firm.  Neither is likely to be  able assert market  power.

       3.4.5 Relationship Between  Component  Producers and  Engine Producers

Components provided  to engine producers include  belts, spark plugs, wiring, fuel  lines,  hoses,
nuts, bolts,  washers, and so on.  These are often  stock  items not made especially  for engine
producers.  On the other hand,  some parts are fabricated to  specifications.  For each of these
    36
      Ibid.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            105                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

items, there are numerous firms capable of bidding on and filling the engine producer's orders.
In general, this relationship is competitive.

                 3.4.6 Relationship Between Distributors and  Retailers

The distributor to retailer route is the chief route by which independent retailers get their
products.  Up to 41.4 percent  of small nonroad equipment production reaches retailers through
distributors.   Another 48  percent of small  nonroad  equipment production  reaches  retailers
directly from the producers.37

Much of the business  that goes through this route  is the "upscale" or "premium" equipment.
It includes larger equipment,  such as riding mowers, and equipment needed to care for larger
properties, and hence a wealthier clientele.  The companies that supply this segment are often
smaller  ones, and there  are many competitors.   Although  the equipment  produced by these
firms is differentiated  in design, and  manufacturers strive for brand loyalty, it is unlikely that
they are able to produce much of a price markup over their minimum long run average costs.
This market  is best characterized by  the contestable market concept discussed above.  Prices
are likely  to equal long run average costs.  The distributor to retailer route is a competitive one.
                      3.4.7 Conclusions  Regarding Market Power

Although there are many forms of interfirm relationships represented in these markets, none
of those  examined here clearly point to the existence of market power. In each case,  there is
a clear option for the purchaser to switch  to another firm fully capable of providing a viable
product.   Retailers have  a wide choice of  firms from which to purchase.
    37 Ibid.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             106                                     413-14

-------
Jack Favcett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

             3.5  SUBSTITUTE POWER SOURCES AND EQUIPMENT

A regulatory framework structured to mitigate emissions from small  nonroad engines and
equipment should recognize the feasibility and penetration of clean fuels or technologies.  The
small nonroad  industry is characterized  by  a spectrum  of available products that employ
electricity, LPG, CNG, or human muscle for power. Electric and hand-powered  equipment are
particularly prevalent in the lawn and garden segment,  while various light commercial and
industrial  equipment use internal  combustion engines that are fueled by LPG or CNG,  The
bulk of the equipment included in this industry, however, are powered by diesel and gasoline
engines (see Section 4 of this report).  But, a review of the availability of substitute  power
sources and equipment is worthwhile, since various applications  within this industry currently
employ or are well suited to alternative fuels. More importantly, emission control regulations
based on  command  and control  strategies  are likely to increase  the cost of conventionally
powered nonroad utility equipment, which, in turn, may increase the penetration of alternatively
powered  equipment.   Economic incentives  may also  be introduced  that help to promote the
penetration of clean  fuels  into the market place.

Given that the lawn and garden market is  such a large portion of the small nonroad engine and
equipment industry,  and that substitute power sources and equipment are currently prevalent
in the market place,  the discussion in this section  focuses on those equipment types included
in this segment.  However, the penetration of LPG and CNG equipment in the light commercial
and industrial markets  is discussed in Section 4 of this report.

The power sources available in the lawn and garden equipment market include diesel, gasoline.
electricity, and/or human muscle.  While  gasoline  and diesel engines are common in virtually
all equipment,  the types of equipment that are electrified or  powered by human muscle are
limited to those employed  in residential applications. The following demonstrates those  engine
powered equipment  for which hand powered and electrically powered alternatives exist.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            107                                    4)3-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates
DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE
December 1992
ENGINE "DRIVEN
Chainsaws
Lawnmowers
Hedgers
Trimmers
Edgers
Tillers
B lowers/Vacuums
ELECTRIC:
CONFIGURATION
Cord
Cord or Battery
Cord or Battery
Cord or Battery
Cord or Battery
Not Available
Cord or Battery
HAND POWERED
Hand Saws
Push Mowers
Hand clippers
Grass shears
Push Edgers
Coarse Rakes or Shovels
Lawn Rakes
Electrification is not a new concept in the lawn and garden equipment industry.  However,
electric substitutes for the equipment shown above have generally not been as successful in the
market place as gasoline or diesel products.  Data on the distribution of shipments by power
base were not available for most of the equipment types shown above.  OPEI did, however.
provide data for lawnmowers and string trimmers which show that 44 percent of string trimmer
and 4  percent of lawnmower 1991  shipments  were electric units.  The penetration  rates  of
electric chainsaws,  edgers, and hedgers are likely lower than that of trimmers.

The  sale  of electrified  lawn and garden  equipment  is hampered by various  factors,  not
necessarily related to price.  For example, the long extension cords necessary  for the operation
of electric equipment are inconvenient  to the user, since electric outlets are  often not readily
available within reach of an extension  cord. Lawn and garden  contractors (professional  users
of lawn and garden equipment)  usually do not  have access to electric outlets at job-sites.  As
a result, electrically powered equipment have generally  not penetrated the comme-vial market.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
          108
       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE  	December 1992

Use of battery  packs could potentially solve the marketing  constraints brought about  by
extension cords.  However,  this technology is new and relatively expensive.

On the other hand, electric equipment is preferred by many residential consumers  that dislike
the noise levels of gasoline products and manipulating gasoline  canisters or gasoline itself, and
are attracted by the lower weight, ease of start of electric equipment, and by the relatively
fewer repairs/maintenance procedures that electric  equipment require.

The major manufacturers of electrically  powered lawn and garden equipment include Black &
Decker, Paramount, McCulloch,  Weed  Eater, Ryobi, Toro, Homelite, and MTD.  Black &
Decker offers the following electric product lines: edgers, string trimmers, lawnmowers, hedge
trimmers, and blower/vacuums.   Toro, on the other hand, concentrates its efforts on electric
lawnmowers, while the others produce generally the same types of electric equipment as Black
&  Decker.   Honda  also  has an  electrically powered lawnmower,  marketed  to  upscale
consumers.

As with electrically powered equipment, hand powered  tools are also  not a viable option for
most commercial and professional users.  Such users rely on the performance and labor saving
attributes  of engine driven products.  However,  many small residential  applications are well
suited to hand powered equipment.  For example, push  mowers are a  viable and inexpensive
alternative for consumers with small lots, such as those found in central cities or townhomes.
Reel mowers are recommended for yards of 1/2-acre or  less and for trimming. They average
under $100, roughly $153 less  than the  average price of a walk-behind  power mower (OPEI
provided data that showed the average price  of walk-behind lawnmowers to be $253).  This
price  difference and  environmental, safety,  and noise  concerns have led to an  increase in
demand for reel mowers. In 1991, demand for reel mowers handcrafted by the American Lawn
Mower  Company/Great States  Corporation increased  by 30 percent from the previous  year.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            109                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

Since 1985, demand  for this company's reel mowers has increased by  135 percent.38  Hand
saws, push edgers, hand clippers, and other hand held equipment  are  also prevalent  in the
market  place and specially well suited for  small jobs.  These tools are mostly sold through
mass  merchandisers (such as Sears or Wall Mart) and home improvement stores.

The feasibility of alternative fuels, such as propane, LPG, or CNG, for application  in lawn and
garden equipment is constrained by a number of factors specific to small nonroad engines,  the
most  important of which is price. Lawn and garden  equipment are  generally thought of as a
disposable consumer  item.  As  a  result, consumers expect the prices of these products to be
relatively low. The cost of producing small alternatively fueled small nonroad engines is likely
to be very high at the outset, and thus the  marketability of alternative fueled equipment is
questionable.   Moreover,  various technical,  fuel supply,  and safety  constraints must be
overcome prior  to the  introduction of  alternative fuels into  the la\vn and  garden equipment
market/9

                         3.6 U.S. COMPETITIVE POSITION

According the Department of Commerce's 1992  U.S. Industrial Outlook, the United  States is
experiencing  increasing trade surpluses for the industries of interest to  this study.40  Beyond
this, it is  important to gain an understanding  of the United States's world economic  standing
in these industries. An analysis of the  value  of U.S.  imports versus exports and a discussion
of foreign and domestic economic conditions of relevance  to these industries serves to  gain this
perspective.  Economic conditions on the whole  seem to portent increases  in world trade for
1992. The International Monetary Fund predicts world trade volumes will expand by 5 percent
    38Ann Arbor News, "Reel Mowers Really Selling," May 14, 1992.
    39Stephanides,Steve, "Low Emission Alternatives for Small Utility Engines". South Coast AQMD,
Technology Advancement Office, June  1990.
    ^A trade surplus results  when industry exports  are greater than imports.  The amount of  this
differential determines the size of this surplus.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            110                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

through 1992.  World trade volumes can be looked at as either the sum total of all exports or
the sum total of all imports, since these two sums must necessarily be equal if all world trading
transactions  are considered.  Economic  performance of the United  States' major trading
partners in the industries  of Farm Machinery, Lawn  and Garden  Equipment, Construction
Machinery, Recreational Vehicles, and Internal Combustion Engines has been slightly better
than that  of  the world economy since 1978 (both GNP  and GDP growth) and  their  GDP
growth is expected to continue to grow above world levels through 1992.  Projected growth
rates for the ten major  countries (Canada,  Japan, Mexico, United Kingdom, Germany, France,
Netherlands,  South  Korea, Taiwan,  and Australia)  is nearly  twice  as  great  as in 1991.
Therefore, markets for U.S. exports to these countries  are likely to  expand, and U.S. exports
can be expected to increase.  The United States has been operating  at a trade surplus in each
of these industries from 1987 through 1991 and though value of exports is expected to decline
in some  industries in  1992, value of imports  is declining as well, therefore maintaining a
positive trade balance  over all  industries.  More specifically, U.S. price competitiveness has
been favorable based on the usual  international comparisons of prices, exchange rates, and
productivity growth. Though exchange rates gained some value in  early 1992 they fell back
again and are  not  projected to change significantly  enough throughout  1992 to effect the
competitive position of U.S. exports in 1992.

The Lawn and Garden Equipment  industry is a good example of the overall decline of value
of shipments  combined with growth of U.S. trade surplus. As illustrated in Table 3-2, constant
dollar product shipments decreased  in 1991  by 6 percent and U.S. imports decreased by $46
million (40 percent). U.S. exports however, increased $31  million (6.4 percent). This resulted
in a U.S.  trade surplus increase of $77 million (21 percent over  1990) and an increase of 2.7
percent  of exports  as a percent of shipments.  This  follows with  the general trend of U.S.
imports falling at an estimated  compound annual rate  of 29 percent since  1987.  This is due
in large part to the increase in 1989 of production in the United States by firms with facilities
in Japan, Canada, and the United States. The European Community  (EC) is the largest market
for U.S. exports of Lawn and Garden Equipment.   The EC accounted  for 42 percent of U.S.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            111                                     413-14

-------
                 Table 3-2
U.S. Imports and Exports for Selected Industries
                 1987-1991
          (millions of current dollars)

      Lawn and Garden Equipment (SIC code 3524)



Year
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991



Exports
267
415
449
484
515



Imports
219
273
111
116
70


Trade
Balance
48
142
338
368
445
Percent
Increase
in Trade
Balance
N/A
195.8
138.0
8,9
20.9


Value of
Shipments
4,594
4,828
4,578
4,910
4,092
Exports
as Percent
Value of
Shipments
5.8
8.6
9.8
9.9
12.6
      Farm Machinery and Equipment (SIC code 3523)



Year
1987
1988

1989

1990
1991



Exports
1,580
1,911

2,900

3,165
2,858



Imports
1,835
2,207

2,300

2,551
2,190


Trade
Balance
-255
-296

600

614
668
Percent
Increase
in Trade
Balance
N/A
-16.1

302.7

2.3
8.8


Value of
Shipments
6,880
8,732

10,419

1 1 ,546
1 1 ,241
Exports
as Percent
Value of
Shipments
23.0
21.9

27.8

27.4
25.4
     Construction Machinery (SIC code 3531)



Year

1987
1988
1989
1990
1991



Exports




Imports

2,551 i 2,535
3,371
4,008
4,667
2,695
2,891
3,121
4,815 ! 2,500


Trade
Balance

Percent
Increase
in Trade
Balance


Value of
Shipments

16 ' N/A 12,768
676
1117
1546
2315
4125.0
65.2
38.4
49.7
14,477
15,349
16,070
16,620
Exports
as Percent
Value of
Shipments

20.0
23.3
26.1
29.0 ,
29.0
                        112

-------
Table 3-2 continued
                 Motorcycles, Bicycles and Parts (SIC code 3751)



Year
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991



Exports
137
241
245
420
633



Imports
1,343
1,298
1,318
1,199
1,331


Trade
Balance
-1206
-1057
-1073
-779
-698
Percent
Increase
in Trade
Balance
N/A
12.4
-1.5
27.4
10.4


Value of
Shipments
1,063
1,057
1,370
1,476
1,621
Exports
as Percent
Value of
Shipments
12.9
22.8
17.9
28.5
39.0
                    Internal Combusion Engines (SIC code 3519)



Year
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991



Exports
933
1,106
1,306
1,426




Imports
807
895
1,010
918
—


Trade
Balance
126
211
296
508

Percent
Increase
in Trade
Balance
N/A
-67.5
-40.3
-71.6



Value of
Shipments
5,752
6,389
6,295
5,878

Exports
as Percent
Value of
Shipments
16.2
17.3
20.7
24.3

Sources; U.S. Industrial Outlook, U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade
    Administration, 1992 and Current industrial Reports, US. Departments of Commerce,
    Bureau of Census, 1988, 1990
                                       113

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

exports in 1991 and exports  to the EC increased  in  1991  over 1990 by  about 15 percent,
Canada is the largest single country market for lawn and garden equipment  though their down
turning economy in 1991  overcame the positive impacts of lower tariffs  due to the  U.S. -
Canada Free Trade Agreement of 1991 and caused an actual 3 percent decrease in U.S. exports
to Canada  in 1991.  The trade agreement however has helped U.S. manufactured products to
be more cost competitive in Canada and is expected to help boost U.S. exports to Canada as
their economy improves.  Similarly the North  American Free Trade Agreement is expected to
provide opportunities  in  Mexico to  U.S. exporters.   Potential introduction  of unified  EC
standards is also anticipated  to  boost exports to  the EC  of lawn and garden equipment.
Overall,  constant dollar production is forecasted  to increase by 3.2 percent  in  1992 and
apparent consumption  is expected to rise by 7 percent.

The farm  industry,  according to the 1992 U.S. Industrial  Outlook,  paints  a slightly less
optimistic picture for the U.S. in terms of international competitiveness.  Shipments in constant
dollars fell 6 percent in 1991 due to the draught in California, low rainfall in the grainbelt, low
milk prices, and the Persian Gulf crisis.  Bumper crops in competing  countries,  which have
made the international market for farm machinery  more competitive, also  contributed to the
decline in  constant dollar  shipments.  Due  to the  high crop  yields  in other  countries,  U.S.
exports of grain decreased causing  a decline in the domestic market for farm machinery and
the slack was not picked up by increases in exports of farming machinery  to  those countries
experiencing boom crops. In fact, exports of farm machinery declined by 10.7 percent in 1991.
Exports to the  EC  however, increased markedly, approaching $700  million  in  1991  which
bodes well for the future of farm machinery exports. Table 3-2 shows that imports and exports
were almost even  in 1990 with exports only $6.6 million higher.  Imports were expected to
decline to  $2.2  billion in 1991,  with exports declining to $2.9 billion.   Prospects for this
industry domestically are not good due to the decrease by Congress of the 1990-1995 form bill
from S54 billion to $45 billion which is half of the amount allotted by the  1985-1990 farm bill.
Farm land  values lagging 'behind inflation rates, and lower crop yields and commodity exports
aiso lend to the projected decrease in domestic consumption.  Areas of optimism for both the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            114                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

domestic farm machinery industry and  exports of farm machinery lie in increases in live hog
and beef prices and proposals for  food and equipment support of the Soviet Union throughout
1992.  An increase in farm equipment sales of 1.5 to 2.0 percent in constant dollars is expected
for 1992,

Similarly, the construction  machinery industry is experiencing an overall down-turn  in both
foreign and domestic  marketplaces.  U.S.  shipments decreased by one percent in constant
dollars in  1991  due to the sharp decline  in commercial  and  industrial contracting.   The
recession hit the construction machinery industry  at a more base level as well in that decreases
in construction lead to  decreases in mining and therefore a decline in the market for surface
mining machinery which is included in the construction machinery  industry.  U.S.  imports
decreased 20  percent  due  to the  increased domestic competition in the recessionary U.S.
market.  A major decline  in this industry was  averted  however,  by  a modest  growth  in
infrastructure  and public works  projects such as highways, bridges, public schools  and public
utilities. Despite  a slowdown in foreign markets, U.S. exports, primarily to Canada, Mexico,
Australia, Japan, South Korea, France,  and  Germany, increased in 1991 by 3 percent.  Table
3-2 shows  how this industry aggressively markets overseas with exports accounting for 30
percent of production  in 1991.   Many of the major manufacturers  have established  foreign
subsidiaries or joint  ventures in a  major trading bloc such as the European Community.  Such
activities  have helped  U.S. multinational  firms hedge against fluctuations  in currency
valuations.   The  future growth  of this industry  depends greatly on the domestic political
environment with current talk of  focusing on infrastructure  and  the rebuilding of U.S. cities
looming brightly.

The United States  has historically not been very  competitive  in the  recreational  vehicle
industry. In the motorcycle and ATV market,  the four firms with the largest U.S. market share
are all Japanese companies.  As illustrated in Table 3-2, the trade gap in this industry however
has been decreasing over the last two years.  Constant dollar product shipments.increased 2.7
percent in  1991 due to  a 38 percent increase in exports.  Exports are the driving force behind

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            115                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

increases in domestic production as U.S. apparent consumption actually decreased  1.8 percent
in 1991. The export to shipment ratio climbed to 50  percent in 1991 and is expected to reach
52 percent in  1992. Harley Davidson, the sole American owned manufacturer of motorcycles.
increased  its  production  capacity  and efficiency in 1991  to  sell more  to  foreign  markets.
Japanese  subsidiaries  manufacturing motorcycles  in  the United  States  also  had  success
exporting from the United  States in  1991.  U.S. exports  have increased  41  percent  annually
from  1986 to  1991 which has helped bring the trade  deficit down from $812 million in 1986
to $86  million in 1991.  Germany represents the United  States' largest export market with
Japan running second and Canada and the U.K. being  influential markets as well.  U.S. imports
of motorcycles, with Japan  being the  largest supplier  at 81 percent, increased by  13 percent to
$509  million in 1991.  Exports are expected  to continue  being the  driving force in domestic
production of motorcycles in 1992, though U.S. apparent consumption is  expected  to increase
5.5 percent after two  successive  years of decline at a compound  annual  rate of 9  percent.
Constant dollar product shipments are projected to increase 3.9 percent with exports increasing
11.8  percent.   Imports are expected  to  increase 7.1 percent  with Japan  maintaining  its
dominance of market share.

The U.S. has  maintained  a positive trade balance in  the internal combustion engine industry
since  1987  as illustrated  in Table 3-2.  In the years  1987 to  1990 this  industry  has seen
increases in exports from $933  to $1426  million which has accounted for the increase in the
trade  balance of $126 million to $508 million.  The period  1989 to 1990 showed  an especially
large  jump, 72 percent, in the  increase of the trade balance.   These years  also  marked  an
increase of 3  percent in exports as a percent  of value of shipments; this  despite the fact that
value of shipments actually declined from $6295  million to $5878 in these years. It should  he
noted here that value  of shipments data for engines presented in  Table 3-2 represent  value  of
shipments f.o.b. plant of production quantities  shipped as engines  including interplant  transfers
whereas value of shipment quantities  for  other  products  presented  in  Table  3-2 represent
received or receivable  net selling values, f.o.b. plant of all  products shipped, both primary and
secondary.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency            116                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

                      3.7  CHARACTERISTICS OF END-USERS

Integral to any  industry profile  is a description  of the users of the  given industry's final
product.   The small  nonroad engine and equipment industry  is characterized by  a diverse
spectrum of machinery that serve many functions.  Regulations aimed at reducing the emission
contribution of small nonroad  equipment may inevitably affect users  of equipment through
either price changes or changes in the available product mix.  Therefore, an understanding of
the factors that  influence  the demand for  nonroad utility equipment will  facilitate the
performance of economic impact assessments for regulatory  options.  This section profiles the
end-users  of nonroad utility equipment, and provides qualitative assessments  of the forces that
create shifts in demand and the likely effects of price changes.

                           3.7.1  Lawn & Garden Equipment

The lawn and garden equipment market caters to two types of consumers:  residential  users and
commercial, or professional  users.  Residential consumers include home owners (or renters)
that maintain their own  lawns.   Commercial  consumers generally include  lawn and garden
contractors that  provide  lawn maintenance services to difference customers including home
owners(or  renters), apartment  or office complexes, and commercial businesses.   Lawn and
garden equipment are also purchased by federal, state,  and local government agencies (e.g.,
Parks, recreation) that maintain  public space, airports, golf course maintenance crews, and other
miscellaneous public utility users.

The types  of equipment that are utilized by  residential users  include "conventional" walk-
behind rotary mowers, riding mowers, lawn tractors, rotary tillers, snowblowers,  and virtually
all types of portable hand-held equipment.   Unlike residential  end-users, commercial  users
depend  on the  labor-saving  characteristics of multi-spindle walk-behind mowers and other,
larger, commercial turf  equipment.   However,  commercial users also employ  what can be
U. S. En vironmental Protection Agency             117                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucetf Associates
DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE
December 1992
characterized as predominantly residential types of lawn and garden equipment, such as those
described above.

Data on the distribution of sales by end-use category were not available for riding mowers,
lawn and garden tractors,  snowblowers,  tillers, and various other equipment types.   OPEI41
and PPEMA42 did,  however, provide sales split estimates for other types of equipment which
are shown below.
Sales Breakdown by
Type of User
Equipment Type
Trimmers/Cutters
Hand blowers
Back Blowers
Hedgers
Chainsaws
Lawnmowers
% Residential
84
95
5
21
75
90
%• Commercial
16
5
95
79
25
10
Commercial users are also major customers of snowblowers, clippers/grinders, wood splitters.
and shredders—equipment which are generally more expensive and serve more specific needs
than the typical residential machinery.
   4lOutdoor Power Equipment Institute.
   42Portable Power Equipment Manufacturers Association.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
          118
       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

Optimally, how price changes translate to changes in sales  of lawn and garden   equipment
would be assessed through econometric  models that estimate  price elasticities of demand,43
Unfortunately, historical price data for the equipment types in this category were not available.
As a  result, developing  a quantitative relationship between price and sales  was not possible.
However,  qualitative relationships can  be formulated  based  on an  understanding  of the
interactions between  sellers and buyers and of the types of product that are sold in the market
place. For instance, residential users of lawn and garden  equipment are generally more price
sensitive than commercial consumers.  This follows from the fact that most equipment targeted
to residential  users is marketed as consumer items, while those targeted to  commercial users
are considered as inputs  to the production of a service.  Figure 3-10 provides an example of
the demand curves that may drive price/quantity relationships for these products and types of
consumers.  Note that the demand curve for commercial users is steeper, suggesting that these
consumers may be less sensitive to price changes. Therefore, regulations that increase the price
of a predominantly residential type of equipment  can be expected to have larger  effects on
demand than  an equal price increase on commercial equipment.  Residential  users are likely
to better maintain their equipment and postpone purchases of new more expensive  machines.
On the other hand, commercial  users  are likely to pass on the price  increases to their clients,
which may have a detrimental effect  on the  lawn maintenance industry.  In either case, the
magnitude of demand effects are  difficult  to estimate without further quantitative research, or
more  importantly, without an actual regulatory framework from which  price changes  may be
estimated.  For example, regulatory actions that impose  emission  certification standards may
result in price increases at the equipment level which will be directly borne by end-users.  Such
regulatory  actions would cause a movement  along the demand curves  shown  in Figure 3-6
(such as a  movement  from point A  to  point  B), and thus  the corresponding decreases in
quantity  demanded.   On the other hand,  regulatory  actions that cause changes in consumer
    43Such models would determine the functional relationship between a products demand and its price
level.  The estimated coefficients for the price variables would determine price elasticities (defined as
Change in Quantity divided by Change in Price times Price divided by Quantity.  A good is said to be
price elastic if a change in price leads to a proportionally bigger change in quantity demanded. A good
is said  to be price inelastic if the opposite holds true.
£7.5. Environmental Protection Agency            119                                      413-14

-------
                         Figure 3.10
              Depiction of Demand  Characteristics
            of Residential vs. Commercial  Consumer:
P2
 P r : r. fi

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

preferences (e*g.t consumer education programs that inform users about the detrimental effects
of gasoline lawnmowers on the environment  and about the environmental benefits of electric
lawnmowers)  may cause the entire demand schedule to shift.  For instance, if the residential
user  demand  curve in  Figure  3-10  represents  his/her  demand  for  gasoline powered
lawnmowers,  regulatory actions that promote electric lawnmowers may cause the residential
user's demand curve to shift inwards, so that less gasoline mowers are demanded at a given
price  than before the shift took place (Q3 < Q, at P,).  The effects of regulatory  actions that
cause movements along the demand curve will have different effects than those  actions that
cause structural changes in demand.

While price changes are reflected in movements along a demand curve, there are other factors
which may cause structural changes in demand or shifts of the demand curve itself.   Such shifts
may be represented  in the market place through sales trends.  According to OPEI, sales of lawn
and garden equipment have generally  followed the path of the overall United States economy.
This relationship was established  in Section 2 of this report, as well.  However, other factors
may also have significant effects on  the sale of lawn and garden equipment:  trends  in the
housing sector of the economy which directly  impact the sales base for equipment, and weather
shocks which directly and usually temporarily cause demand to either contract or expand.  For
example, unexpected snow storms often cause sales of snowblowers to dramatically increase.
Again, however, the quantification of the magnitude  of effects that  shift demand requires
modelling techniques that are beyond the scope of this study.

                              3.7.2  Recreational Vehicles

Although data on the sales split for recreational vehicles  between residential and  commercial
users  was not available, conversations with industry members (such as, retailers)  suggest that
the bulk of recreational vehicles sales are to  recreational  users — specifically with respect to
ATVs, minibikes, snowmobiles,  and  off-road motorcycles.  However,  commercial usage  of
ATVs and off-road  motorcycles is also important (for example, in agricultural applications)

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             121                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

while  golf cart  sales  and the  sale  of specialty vehicles and carts  are predominantly  to
commercial users, as well.

Economic  impact  studies to determine  the affects  of emission  regulatory  strategies  on
recreational vehicles should focus on ATVs, off-road motorcycles, and snowmobiles given their
relative importance, in terms of sales and emission contributions, to this equipment category.44
As a result, a review of the factors  that influence demand for these vehicles is  warranted,

Given  that ATVs, off-road motorcycles,  and, to a lesser extent, snowmobiles, are manufactured
outside the United States and imported for sale, foreign exchange rates have a direct, and often
significant, effect on demand.  Sales of ATVs and off-road motorcycles, for example, decreased
sharply during the  late 1980's largely as a result of unfavorable exchange rates vis-a-vis the
Japanese Yen.   As the U.S. dollar weakened in value  with  respect to  the Yen, prices  of
imported  goods  from  Japan,  such as  off-road  motorcycles and ATVs, increased.   Price
increases, together with  a weakening  economy, contributed to  the drop in sales of these
recreational vehicles.  This indicates that regulations  which increase price that  are placed  on
this market will have a significant sales effect, assuming  that prices increase  by a substantial
amount.  Given  the current state of this  market, such additional price  increases  may  have
further detrimental effects, especially if  the  value  of the U.S.  dollar  relative  to the Yen
continues to  drop.   As "luxury  items"45, ATVs off-road motorcycles,  and snowmobiles are
price-sensitive  (Le., price elastic) items.  Recent concerns with safety have also been important
in the  decreasing sales  of recreational vehicles, particularly ATVs.
    ^Section 4 of this report shows that these vehicles account for over 90 percent of sales in this
category, while EPA's NEVES shows the emission contributions of these equipment types.
    45Formally a luxury good is defined as a strongly "superior"  good which is purchased much  more
heavily as income  increases.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             122                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                   3.7.3  Light Commercial, Industrial,  Construction
                              and Agricultural Equipment

With the exception of generator sets, the majority of light commercial, industrial, construction,
and agricultural equipment sales are to "professional" users.  Therefore, events in the industries
in which these equipment are employed drive demand changes.  For instance, light commercial
equipment are generally employed  in wholesale trade activities while industrial equipment are
utilized in manufacturing applications.  Also,  to the extent that such activities rely on these
equipment,  trends in the wholesale and manufacturing industries drive  sales trends for light
commercial or industrial machinery.   Price increases that may result from regulation are not
likely to have a significant effect on the overall  demand for these  equipment, but  may  cause
sales shifts  toward relatively inexpensive brands.

                               3.8  SECTION SUMMARY

This section has expanded on the industrial organization  concepts that  were developed in
Section 2.  Specifically, the competitive features of the  small nonroad engine and equipment
industry have been reviewed.   These features include:  channels of product  distribution, the
levels  of vertical  and  horizontal  integration  across  engine and  equipment  manufacturers
supplying the nonroad engine and equipment industry, the types and extent of barriers to entry
that may exist in this industry, the degree of market power inherent in the nonroad  engine and
equipment industry at various  levels of producer interactions, the availability and  importance
of substitute power sources for internal combustion engines, the global competitive  position
of U.S. firms in this industry, and characteristics of end-users which drive the demand for the
various products  that are sold  in the small nonroad equipment industry. Such a comprehensive
description of this industry's competitive features has revealed various interesting results  which
should  be summarized.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            123                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

First, the level of vertical integration in the  small nonroad engine and equipment industry
appears to be rather small.  Where  present,  vertical integration is concentrated in three areas
of  the  industry:  foreign lawn  and garden engine and  equipment  manufacturers,  foreign
recreational engine and equipment manufacturers,  and handheld lawn and garden engine and
equipment manufacturers.   For example, Honda  produces both the engine  and  equipment
components of their lawn and garden products, while Suzuki produces both the engine and the
other major components  that make-up its off-road motorcycles.  In fact, most of the vertically
integrated manufacturers are foreign companies.

Horizontal integration, on the other hand, is common among engine manufacturers in the small
nonroad engine  and equipment  industry.  This follows  directly  from the fact that a single
engine design is often used in many small nonroad equipment applications.  As later shown
in Section 4, Tecumseh and Briggs & Stratton engines, for example, are employed  by various
types of equipment  including lawn  and garden equipment, light  commercial  and industrial
equipment, light agricultural  equipment,  and others.

Second,  advertising  and  product  differentiation,  economies  of  scale, and large  capital
requirements appear to be the only  forms of barriers to entry that may characterize the small
nonroad engine and equipment industry.  However, the effectiveness of these phenomena is
difficult to assess.  Nevertheless, advertising plays an important role  in the lawn and  garden
equipment industry, as shown by its relatively high advertising  intensity ratio.  Similarly,
product differentiation is important in this market as evidenced by the large number of brands
and product  models that are offered  for different equipment types, such as lawnmowers  or
chainsaws.   Another  market where  advertising  and product differentiation  appear  to  be
important marketing  strategies  is the recreational  vehicles market,  which largely  serves  a
consumer,  rather  than  professional,  clientele.

Economies of scale  and  large capital requirements, on the other hand, are likely to be more
important at the engine manufacturing level  of the  industry, since this  level is capital  intensive

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            124                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE  	  December 1992

and characterized  by few dominant  sellers.   It should also be noted that patents may play an
important role  in  deterring new  firm entry as a  result of Section 308 of the Clean Air Act.
Ryobi, for example, may clearly have  a competitive advantage if its new 4-stroke CleanAir
Engine is protected through patent.

Third, Section  2 has shown (and Section 4  will show) that one general  characteristic of the
industries that  comprise the small nonroad engine and equipment industry  is high levels of
seller concentration.   Empirically,  high seller concentration has been shown to perpetuate
product pricing that is above the marginal cost  of the products production.46  As discussed
in  Section  3.4, results that  are characterized  by this  pricing outcome  are  economically
inefficient,  and display the market power,  of at  least the  market leaders, in the  industry.
However, although the  small nonroad engine  and  equipment industry is generally characterized
by seller concentration,  the discussion in Section 3.4 demonstrates that the various relationships
between  the economic  agents operating in this industry  are not characterized by significant
levels of market power. Much of the reasoning behind this conclusion centers on the concept
of contestable  markets, which is reviewed in detail  in Section 3.4.   The fact that the small
nonroad  engine and equipment industry is not characterized by market power implies that if
regulatory  actions increase the production costs  of the firms producing in this  industry, then
these  incremental  costs will likely be passed on to consumers, or end-users,  in  the  form of
higher prices.   Moreover,  the likelihood  that market power  is not prevalent  in the small
nonroad engine and equipment industry implies that economic profits are not being accrued in
the long run. This in turn suggests that  entry into the  market is  relatively free. Although some
aspects  of  barriers  to entry may  exist  (such  as product  differentiation,  advertising,  and
economies of scale), their effectiveness at deterring entry is not necessarily evident.

Fourth,  the prevalence  of substitute power  sources  and  equipment  that displace equipment
powered by  internal combustion engines is  most evident in the lawn  and garden equipment
    ^Curry,  B.,  George, K.D., "Industrial Concentration: A  Survey",  The Journal  of Industrial
Economics, March 1983.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            125                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	           December 1992

market where electrically powered machines have been common  for many years.  However,
the sale  of electrified  lawn and garden equipment is hampered by  various factors.   For
example,  the long  extension cords necessary for the operation of electrified equipment are
cumbersome, while electrified lawn and garden equipment are generally  not a viable option for
commercial users.   However,  use of battery  packs could  potentially resolve  some of the
detrimental  user oriented externalities  associated with electrically powered lawn and garden
equipment.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             126                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                      SECTION 4
                    TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET STRUCTURE

The small nonroad engine and  equipment  industry is comprised  of many manufacturers
specializing  in  the production  of engines or  equipment, but  usually  not both.   Such
specialization in the manufacturing  process does not allow for a  traditional  approach  to
describing the industry's organization.  That is, unlike most industries (e.g.,  the automobile
industry), a single  "snapshot"  of the  small nonroad  engine  and  equipment industry does not
suffice.   Rather, manufacturers  that specialize  in  either  the  production of engines  or  of
equipment should  be  analyzed  separately  when  assessing the  industry's structure and
competitiveness.

Table 4-1 provides  a listing of most of the engine manufacturers  that sell some, or all, of their
product in the small nonroad engine and equipment industries.47  Unlike most other industries,
however,  some of these manufacturers are not in direct competition with one another.   Many
engine manufacturers supply engines to specific markets within the industry or specialize in
the production of specific engine  types.  For example, Briggs & Stratton is the world's  largest
producer  of small (less than 20 horsepower), air cooled gasoline engines for outdoor power
equipment (such as those found in lawn and garden applications), while Yanmar is the world's
largest diesel engine  manufacturer, in terms of units, offering engines between  5 and  5000
horsepower.  Such  specialization  decreases the  likelihood that Briggs & Stratton and Yanmar
will directly  compete for market  share.

Similarly, equipment  manufacturers (the largest of which are shown in Table 4-2) also  service
specific segments of the utility equipment  industry.  Some specialize in the production of lawn
and garden equipment (such  as  Toro), while others specialize  in  construction  or industrial
equipment (such as JI Case).
    47For a complete listing of the  engine manufacturers included in PSR's  Engindata database see
Appendix A.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             127                                     413-14

-------
     TABLE 4-1
 Engine Manufacturers
Compan y
ACME
AJAX
Allis-Chambers
Belarus
Black & Decker
Bombardier, Inc.
Sriggs & Strattoo
China Qiesai
Clinton
Columbia
Cummins Engine
Cushman
Cuyuna
Daihatsu Motor Co,
Deutz
Emerson Electric Co.
Enshu, Ltd,
Fuji Heavy Industries
Hercules Engine, Inc.
hUno
HomeSite
Honda Motor Co,
Inertia Dynamic Co,
Parent














KHD Deutz of America



Subsidiaries










Onan







SMF Investments, Inc.

Division /Brands















Sk(!

Location
Italy
United States
Japan/United States
Russia
Baltimore, MO
Montreal, Quebec
Milwaukee, Wi
China
United Stales
United Stales
Cctijfinbus, !N
Jmted States -
Untted States
Ikeda City, Jacan
Norcross, GA
Si. LOUIS, MO
Jaoan
Japan
Canton, OH
Japan
Textron, Inc j Providence R! ;
Tokyo, Japan
|
Isuzu j
Kawasaki


Kohl er Co, j
Kubota Corporation i
Lister-Petter H,S. Investments, Inc,
Lomoardmi USA
Mitsubishi Heavy industries (MHI)
Nissan Diesel Motor Co-
Onan Corp,
Outocard Marine Corp,
Perkins
Poulan
Hotax
Sachs AG
C+jKj If}-*
Susuki Motor Corp,
Tecurnseh Products Co,
Teiedyne
Toyota Industrial Equipment
Volkswagen of America
Volvo
Yamaha Motor Corp,
Yanmar Dieset Engine



Cuirsmins Ersgine


White Coosoiidal^d Ind,

Jfiited Slates
Japssr



1

Mitsubishi Motors



Japan
Kohier, Wi
Osaka, Japan
Ciathe, KS
Duiuth. GA
Japan
J2D<3n
Minneapc-Ms, MN
Waukegan, IL
Massey Ferguson ; England
.Cleveland, OH
Austria
' Munich Gar'-nonv
; Japan
I ' TeC'^fn5eri *.'
; Wisconsin/Continental Los Ange'es CA
| Japa-.
1
| Sweden
Japan
j ; Tokyo, J^nar;
128

-------
      TABLE 4-2
Equipment Manufacturers
Company
Agco Corp.
Ai fa-Laval
Allied Products Corp,
Allied Signal, Inc.
American Yard Products
Arctco, Inc.
Ariens Company
BSount, inc.
Bun ton Co,
Caterpillar
Clark Equipment Co.
Cotter & Co.
Cub Cadet Corp.
Cushman, Inc.
Deere &. Company
Dixon Industries
Dresser Industries
Echo, Inc.
Eiectrolux
Exmark Mfg. Co.
Ferns Industries
Ford Motor Co.
Fuqua Industries
Garden Way, Inc.
Gehi Co.
General Power Equipment Co,
Gorman Rupp Co.
Hoffco, inc.
ngersoll-fland
JIG Industries
Kionlz
Komatsu Zenosh Co., Ltd,
Kubota Corporation
Kut Kwick Corp.
Lambert Corporation
Latshaw Enterprises
MTO Products, inc.
Maxirn Mfg. Corp,
Murray Ohio Many. Co.
NOMA Outdoor Products
Poians Industries
Po^'lan/Weed Eater
Ransomes America Corp,
SCAG Power Equipment
Sakai Heavy industries
Sarlo Power Mowers
Scotts Co.
Shindaiwa, inc.
Simpiicity Mfg.
Solo, Inc.
Southland Mower Corp,
Stewart & Stevenson Services, Inc.
Stone Construction Equipment
Target Products, fnc.
Tenneco, Inc.
Textron, inc.
Tomkins Corp.
Tornado Products
Toro Company
Trail Mate, Inc.
Wacker Corp,
Wheeler Mfg. Co.
White Consolidated Industries
Yazoo Mfg Co.
Parent




White Consolidated Ind.







MTD Products, Inc.
Ransornes America

Biount, Inc.

Kioritz
Subsidiaries






Tanaka
Dixon Industries


Meiroe, Go
-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992
Section 4.2 provides a review of the types of equipment and engines that constitute the small
nonroad sector.  The extremely wide range of equipment types covered in this industry has
resulted  in the inclusion of  a  broad variety of engine types.  It is therefore worthwhile to
examine the types of engines  used in the different equipment types and characterize the engines
by general design technologies that affect emissions and durability. PSR's data have been used
to provide a detailed technology penetration analysis, as well  as equipment  specific  unit sales
trends.  Where possible, the major manufacturers of the various equipment and engines are also
discussed in Section 4.2.

In order to assess the competitive forces in the small nonroad  engine market, Section 4,3 also
employs data from Power   Systems  Research  (PSR)  to characterize  concentration in the
production and sales of small nonroad engines.  Section 4.4 provides product line profiles and
financial health analyses for  the major  engine and equipment  manufacturers.  Note, however,
that  detailed manufacturer  specific sales  data were not  available for the small  nonroad
equipment market.  But. some qualitative and anecdotal observations are presented in Section
4.2.

4.1  SMALL NONROAD EQUIPMENT AND THE ENGINES  THAT  POWER THEM

The  lower end of the relevant  horsepower  range  is comprised of mostly lawn  and garden
equipment powered by air-cooled, 4-stroke or 2-stroke gasoline  engines, while the higher end
includes light construction, agricultural, or commercial/industrial  equipment often powered by
water-cooled diesels and 4-stroke gasoline engines.  Equipment powered by alternative power
sources are also a consideration in assessing the types of equipment included in this industry.
For  example, electrically  powered  lawn and garden equipment  have been offered  for many
years and present a  viable alternative for some applications.  Similarly, compressed natural gas
(CNG)  and liquefied  petroleum gas (LPG) engines are also  common in  some  industrial
equipment.  The range and significance of substitute power sources  and equipment have been

U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency            130                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE 	  December 1992

dealt  with in Section  3 of this report, although some additional insight is presented in this
section regarding LPG and CNG penetration rates.

To present  some  structure to  this fragmented  industry,  and facilitate its  description,  small
nonroad equipment have been  categorized for the technology analysis into 7 groups.  Such a
categorization  assures  that equipment  types   with similar engines,   uses,  or  operating
characteristics can be examined as a group. Table 4-3 presents the equipment categories, and
equipment types within each category, that comprise  the small nonroad equipment and engine
industry.  These categories and equipment types were identified through an analysts of PSR's
Engindata  database48   (which  provides  detailed engine  sales  data by manufacturer and
equipment  type  combination)   and mostly  reflect  those developed for  EPA's  NEVES.49
However, additional categories  were created to reflect "loose engines" (defined as those engines
sold by  distributors into undocumented  applications or replacement engines),  exports, and
miscellaneous equipment not included in EPA's NEVES, such as refrigeration/AC equipment.

Table 4-4 provides useful information about the relative volume of engines consumed by each
market category.  Although their share has declined in recent years, lawn and garden equipment
account  for  most of the  volume — an  average of over 73 percent from  1982  to 1991."°
Exports account for a major, and generally growing, portion of the engine market, roughly  17
percent.  The rest of the equipment categories make up the remaining 10 percent of the  small
nonroad engine market.
   48 A brief description of PSR's Engindata database is provided in Appendix A of this report.
   49U.S.  EPA, "Nonroad Engine and Vehicle Emission Study - Report", November 1991.
    so jhe u 5 Department of Commerce also provides some data about the type of applications that
engines end-up in.  Of the estimated 16,490,828 gasoline engines produced in the United States in 1990.
lawn, home,  and recreational equipment account for approximately 80% (13,074,023), while chainsaws,
irrigation equipment, and generator sets account for approximately 9%.  Although the Commerce
Department does not categorize the equipment applications to exclude large engine industry applications.
these figures reinforce the importance of lawn and garden equipment.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            131                                     413-14

-------
                                                     TABLE 4-3
                                      EQUIPMENT CATEGORIES AND
                                              EQUIPMENT TYPES
Lawn and Garden Equipment
                                                 Chainsaws
                                           Chippers/Grinders
                                     Commercial Turf Equip.
                                              Front Mowers
                                      Leaf Blowers/Vacuums
                                               Lawnmowers
                                   Lawn and Garden Tractors
                                          Rear Engine Riders
                                                  Shredders
                                               Snowblowers
                                                     Tillers
                               Trimmers/Edgers/Brush Cutters
                                              Wood Splitters
                               Other Lawn and Garden Equip.
Light Construction Equipment
                                             Bore/Dril! Rigs
                                      Cement/Mortar Mixers
                                    Concrete/Industrial Saws
                                                    Cranes
                                  Crushing/Processing Equip.
                                            Crawler Dozers
                                           Dumpers/Tenders
                                                   Graders
                                   Light Plants/Signal Boards
                                                    Pavers
                                          Paving Equipment
                                           Plate Compactors
                                       Rubber Tired Loaders
                                                    Rollers
                                     Rough Terrain Forklifts
                                         Skid Steer Loaders
                                        Surfacing Equipment
                                         Tampers/Rammers
                                  Tractors/Loaders/Backhoes
                                                 Trenchers
Airport Service Equipment
Light Agricultural Equipment
                                  Aircraft Support Equipment
                                           Terminal Tractors
                                           2-Whee! Tractors
                                               Ag. Mowers
                                               Ag. Tractors
                                                     Balers
                                         Hydro Power Units
                                                   Spnr.vrs
                                                     Tillers
                                           Other Ag.  Equip.
Recreational Vehicles
                                         All-Terrain Vehicles
                                                 Golf Carts
                                                  Minibikes
                                        Off-road Motorcycles
                                               Snowmobiles
                                     Specialty Vehicles/Carts
Loose (or Replacement) Engines
Exports of Loose Engines
Light Commercial and Industrial Equipment
Miscellaneous Equipment
                                            Air Compressors
                                           Gas Compressors
                                              Generator Sets
                                           Pressure Washers
                                                     Pumps
                                                   Welders
                                                Aerial Lifts
                                                   Forklifts
                                         Scrubbers/Sweepers
                               Other Material Handling Equip.
                               Other General Industrial Equip.
                                              Irrigation Sets
                                           Oil Field Equip
                                    Refrigeration/AC Equip.
                                 Railway Maintenance Equip.
                                    Tactical Military Equip.
                                   Underground Mine Equip.
                                                        732

-------
                                                              TABLE 4-4

                                                    ENGINE SALES BY EQUIPMENT
                                                             CATEGORY
Equipment Category
     1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
Lawn & Garden
Airport Service
Recreational Vehicles
Light Commercial/
Industrial
Light Construction
Light Agricultural
Loose Engines
Exports (Loose Engines)
Miscellaneous
9,332,811
75.64%
663
0.01%
120,476
0.98%
401,880
3,26%
81 ,702
0,66%
298,502
2,42%
555,256
4.50%
1,515,279
12.28%
32,494
0,26%
9,459,838
76.16%
889
0.01%
120,517
0.97%
396,415
3.19%
89,193
0,72%
315,191
2.54%
559,162
4.50%
1,445,251
1 1 ,63%
35,358
0.28%
10,191,752
76.51 %
744
0.01%
141,925
1 .07%
480,284
3.61%
92,958
0.70%
326,346
2,45%
640,703
4.81%
1,401,252
10,52%
44,551
0.33%
1 0,590,656
76.42%
835
0.01%
186,749
1 .35%
513,578
3.71%
102,100
0.74%
267,222
1 .93%
679,785
4.91%
1 ,478,061
10.67%
39,557
0.29%
1 1 ,421 ,802
77.21%
761
0.01%
179,818
1 .22%
564,517
3.82%
105,886
0.72%
258,124
1.74%
669,819
4.53%
1 ,556,000
10.52%
36,291
0.25%
12,377,597
75.76%
755
0.00%
190,238
1.16%
648,940
3.97%
123,888
0.76%
261,059
1.60%
693,291
4.24%
2,003,164
12.26%
38,568
0.24%
12,392,831
71 .49%
735
0,00%
221,637
1 .28%
739,590
4.27%
127,908
0,74%
269,325
1.55%
721,133
4.16%
2,821,197
16.27%
40,502
0.23%
1 1 ,929,845
68.15%
752
0.00%
240,956
1.38%
848,573
4.85%
123,208
0.70%
282,739
1.62%
771,006
4.40%
3,266,962
18.66%
42,232
0.24%
12,469,950
69.13%
672
0.00%
270,607
1 .50%
839,019
4.65%
115,907
0.64%
290,614
1.61%
755,886
4.19%
3,252,240
18.03%
43,714
0.24%
11,978.610
69.41%
678
0.00%
280,953
1.63%
817,705
4.74%
105,013
0.61%
273,286
1.58%
793,775
4.60%
2,966,984
17.19%
41,815
0.24%
Total Utility Engines
12,339,063   12,421,814   13,320,515   13,858,543    14,793,018    16,337,500    17,334,858    17,506,273    18,038,609    17,258,819

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

The equipment classification scheme presented in Tables 4-3 and 4-4 differs from the scheme
that was employed in Section 2 for the  industry profile.  Equipment categories based on the
Standard  Industrial Classification  (SIC)  system,  such as those in Section 2, were needed to
present a structured  approach to an economic  description  of those products that together
comprise  the  small  nonroad engine and equipment industry, but that individually  make  up
portions of many different SIC industries.   When developing the industry profile  the main
emphasis  was on allocating establishments based  on supply side characteristics.  Industries are
defined by the Census Bureau in terms  of establishments  primarily  engaged in producing a
product or group of products that are  related by production  process  or by  the raw  materials
used in production.  This is a sensible way of defining an  industry insofar as firms  using the
same  raw materials  or production processes are able to switch resources to producing  each
other's  products  and  thus influence each other's behavior  and performance.    Supply side
groupings may, however, lead  to  industry  classifications which do not correspond to the
demand side definition of an industry as a group of products  which are close substitutes or
complements  to consumers.51  While an SIC system  is necessary  for an economic analysis
(since  virtually  all economic data  are collected using this system), it  does  not provide a
consistent framework for a technology analysis, such as the one presented  in this section of the
report.  This is because equipment with similar engines, usage,  and operational  characteristics
(the latter two reflecting demand rather  than supply factors) will not necessarily be included
in the same SIC category, but should be analyzed as a group when conducting a technology
analysis  to  assess the impact  of  emission  regulations.    This  important distinction  was
recognized in EPA's NEVES which developed equipment categories based on an engineering
framework, rather than an economic  one.  The categories developed in this section, and shown
in Table 4-3, follow the  system used  in NEVES by  grouping together  those  products  with
similar engines, usage, and operational characteristics  that  affect  emissions.
   "Curry,  B., George, K.D.,  "Industrial  Concentration:  A  Survey," The Journal of Industrial
Economics, March 1983.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             134                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

Although the  classification  schemes between Section 2 and Section 4 differ by design,  it is
nevertheless  important to assess  the  differences between them.  Table  4-5 highlights  the
differences between the two classification  schemes on the basis of sales volumes.

It should also  be noted that  PSR defines engine sales  as follows:  1) United States produced or
imported  loose engines to an OEM, either through a distributor  or factory direct channel, or
2) a piece of equipment  containing a United States  produced captive  engine shipped to the
distributor, or 3) a packaged or retrofitted engine shipped by a United States distributor to the
user.  This definition includes exports of United States produced loose engines and excludes
imports of equipment with installed engines.  The degree to which the exclusion of imports of
equipment with installed engines affects PSR's estimates of U.S. engine consumption  has not
been determined.   Similarly, differences between Census' engine  and equipment shipments
data, industry shipments estimates, and PSR's engine sales data have not been assessed,  but
are the subject of a separate project currently being conducted by Sierra Research and JFA for
the U.S.  EPA under  a separate contract.   However,  PSR provides  detailed sales data by
manufacturer and engine model, while Census and industry  associations do not. Therefore,  this
section  is mostly based on PSR's  data, although references  are made to other  data  sources
when the differences are  significant.  With this caveat in mind, the remainder of this section
discusses  sales and  technological trends, as well as the major manufacturers in each of the lawn
and  garden,  airport  service, recreational vehicles,  light  commercial  and  industrial,  light
construction, and light agricultural equipment categories.   Sales statistics are provided for all
small nonroad equipment types.   Technology  penetration rates,  on the other hand, are  only
provided  for those  equipment with the highest sales  volumes within an equipment category.
Appendix C,  however, provides a comprehensive listing of technology penetration rates for
each equipment type.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            135                                     413-14

-------
                 TABLE 4-5

     DIFFERENCES BETWEEN SIC BASED AND
EPA NEVES' EQUIPMENT CLASSIFICATION SCHEMES
SECTION 2, TABLE 2-2
CLASSIFICATION
SIC 3519- Internal
Combustion Engines, n.e.c.
SIC 3523 - Farm Machinery
and Equipment
SIC 3524 - Lawn and Garden
Equipment
S!C 3531 - Construction
Machinery
I
SIC 3532 - Mining Machinery
! and Equipment, Except Oil
and Gas Field Machinery and
Equipment
| SIC 3533 - Oil and Gas Field
Machinery and Equipment
j
SIC 3537 - Industrial Trucks
and Tractors
!
SECTION 4, TABLE 4-3
CLASSIFICATION
Loose/Export Engines
Light Agricultural
Equipment
Lawn and Garden
Equipment
Light Construction
Equipment

No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No I.'idepeiulent Category
SALES
DIFFERENCE
(SECTION 2 vs
SECTION 4)
3, 760,759 vs
3,760,759
573,485 vs 273,286
10,840,860 vs
11,978,610
100,425 vs 105,013

75,724 vsO
2,006 vs 0
17,265 vsO
|
EQUIPMENT TYPE DIFFERENCES
(SALES)
None
Section 4 does not include in this category "
Commercial Turf Equip. (230,747),
Shredders (41,247), Skid Steer Loaders
(18,137), or Irrigation Sets (4,068) which j
are included under Miscellaneous
Equipment
Section 4 includes in this category
Commercial Turf (230,747), Shredders !
(47,247), Wood Splitters (10,474),
Chainsaws (844,849)
Section 4 includes in this category Skid
Steer Loaders (18,137), Dumpers/Tenders
(1,688), Bore/Drill Rigs (700), Rough
Terrain Forklifts (152)
Section 4 does not include in this category
Wood Splitters (10,474), and Aerial Lifts
(3,773), or Railway Maintenance
under Miscellaneous Equipment
Section 4 includes Pressure Washers
(73,992) under Light Commercial and
Industrial Equipment. Dumpers/Tenders
(1,688) under Light Construction
Equipment, and Underground Mining
Equipment (44) under Miscellaneous
Equipment
Section 4 includes Bore/Drill Rigs (700)
under Light Construction Equipment and
Oil Field Equipment (1,308) under
Miscellaneous Equipment
Section 4 includes Forklitis f 10,322),
Other General Imlii.Mrial Equipment '
(6,044), and Other Material Handling
Equipment (69) under Light Commercial
and Industrial Equipment, Aircraft Suppon
Equipment (655) and Terminal Tra;.Mrs
(23) under Airport Service Equipment.
and Rough Terrain Forkiifls (152) under
Light Construction Equipment
                    136

-------
                TABLE 4-5, cont.

     DIFFERENCES BETWEEN SIC BASED AND
EPA NEVES' EQUIPMENT CLASSIFICATION SCHEMES
SECTION 2, TABLE 2-2
CLASSIFICATION
SIC 3541 - Machine Tools,
Mewl Cutting Type
' SIC 3546 - Power Driven
Hand Tools
SIC 3548 - Electric ami Gas
Welding and Soldering
Equipment
SIC 3561 - Pumps and
Pumping Equipment
SIC 3563 - Air and Gas
Compressors
SIC 3585 - Commercial and
Industrial Refrigeration
Equipment
SIC 3589 - Service Industry
Nfachinery, n.e.c.
SIC 3621 - Motors and
Generators
SIC 3795 - Tanks and Tank
Components
SIC 3799 - Transportation
Equipment, n,e,,-.
SIC 3751 - Motorcycles,
Bicycles, and Parts
SECTION 4, TA1JLE 4-3
CLASSIFICATION
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
No Independent Category
N'o Independent Category
SALES
DIFFERENCE
(SECTION 2 vs
SECTION 4)
4,433 vs 0
844,849 vs 0
47,824 vs 0
148,168 vsO
37,301 vs 0
3t,169vsO
6,210 vsO
483,302 vs 0
3,384 vs 0
280,953 vs 0
Sales cannot he
identified because
PSR's database does
not include sale*
figures for Off-Road
Motorcycles
EQUIPMENT TYPE DIFFERENCES
(SALES)
This SIC is the closest representative of
Chippers/Grinders (4,433) that was
identified, though it is unlikely that
Chippers/Grinders used in Lawn and
Garden Applications are represented by
this SIC code. Section 4 includes these
under Lawn and Garden Equipment.
Section 4 includes Chainsaws (844,849)
under Liwn and Garden Equipment
Section 4 includes Welders (47,824) under
Light Commercial and Industrial
Equipment
Section 4 includes Pumps (148,868) under
Light Commercial and Industrial
Equipment
Section 4 includes Gas Compressors (1S4)
and Air Compressors (37,1 17) under Light
Commercial and Industrial Equipment
Section 4 includes Refrigeration/ AC |
Equipment (31,169) under Miscellaneous 1
Equipment
Section 4 includes Sweepers/Scrubbers ;
(6,210) under Light Commercial and !
Industrial Equipment
	 1
Secttori 4 includes Generator Sets
(483,302) under Light Commercial and
Industrial Equipment
Section 4 includes Tactical Miliury
Equipment (3,384) under Miscellaneous
Equipment
Section 4 includes Snowmobiles
(114.J43), ATV's (91.831), Gc.lt' Cans
(58,494), and Specialty Vehicle> and C; |
(16,485) under Recreational Vehicles
Section 4 includes Ot'l'-R.vul Motmcyeles j
and Mrnihik'es under Recrc.iliofi.il Vehicle;- '
il
                   137

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE   	         December 1992

                          4.1.1  Lawn and Garden Equipment

Table 4-6 presents  PSR's sales  estimates for each type of lawn and garden equipment  for the
period  of  1981   through   1991,   Small  handheld  equipment,  specifically   chainsaws,
trimmers/hedgers/cutters,  and blowers/vacuums account for approximately 35 percent of sales
in the lawn and garden market  (1991 figures).  According to PSR's data, sales of chainsaws
declined by roughly  70 percent during  the ten year period between  1981 and 1991,"2  This
decline  was the result of various factors — from generally depressed conditions in  the housing,
forest,  and construction  industries  during  the  early  1980's.  to mild  weather   conditions,
decreases in natural gas and fuel oil prices, the depressed farm economy, and increased imports
of Canadian  wood and paper products  during the mid-1980's.  On the  other hand, sales of
trimmers/edgers/cutters have more than  doubled  during the same period,  as decreasing  prices
and technological innovations  (e.g.,  anti-vibration devices and lower weight configurations)
have made them more attractive to both residential and commercial users.33

Walk behind  lawnmowers have historically accounted for roughly 50 percent of lawn  and
garden  equipment sales.  Sales  have remained relatively flat during the  10 year  period from
1981  to 1991, reaching a low  of 4.5  million in  1983 and a  high of 5.9 million  in 1987,
However, the recent economic downturn and the associated drop in consumer confidence  will
    52 Shipment data provided by the Portable Power Equipment Manufacturers Association (PPEMA)
show a 37% decline in the sales of chainsaws for the same period (1,820,000 to  1,153,000), with much
of the decline taking place between 1981 and 1985.  Part of the difference between PSR's sales estimates
and PPEMA's  shipment data may be due to the fact that PSR's database does not include imported
equipment with captive engines, such as Stihl chainsaws.
    53  PPEMA's shipment data for trimmers/brushcutters show an increase of 142%  for the  period
between 1982 and 1991 (1.25 million to 3.03 million).
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            138                                      413-14

-------
                                                                 TABLE 4-6
                                                     LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT
                                                             SALES (1981-1991)
APPLICATION
                     1981
                                 1982
                                            1983
1984
1985
                                                                               1986
                                                                                           1987
                                                                                                       1988
                                                          1989
                                                                                                                              1990
1991
CHAINSAWS
Diesel
Gasoline
CH1PPERS/GRINDER
Diesel
Gasoline
COMM TURF
Diesel
Gasoline
FRONT MOWERS
Diesel
Gasoline
LEAF BLOW/VACS
Diesel
Gasdine
LN MOWERS
Diesel
Gasoline
LN/GDN TRACTORS
Diesel
Gasoline
OTH LN GDN
Diesel
Gasoline
REAR ENG RIDER
Diesel
Gasoline
3HPEDOERS
Diesel
Gasoline
SNOW3LOWER
Diesel
Gasoline
TILLERS
Diesel
Gasoline
'RIM/EDGE/CUTTEH
Diesel
Gasoline
WOOD SPLTR
Diesel
Gasoline
2,783,299
0
2,783,298
172
0
172
90,622
1,349
89,273
0
0
0
112, 441
0
112,441
5.301 ,264
0
5,301.264
481,683
368
481,315
33,887
0
33.887
410,078
0
410,078
724
0
724
145,126
0
145,126
349.097
0
349,097
1,371.001
0
1,371.001
(03.236
0
103.236
1,803.883
0
1 ,803,883
698
0
698
94,145
1,918
92,227
O
0
0
171,170
0
171,170
4,535,285
0
4.535.285
461 .965
329
461 ,656
19,143
0
19,143
309,401
0
30S,40t
S63
0
563
276.198
0
276,198
162,575
0
162.575
1,437.664
0
1,437,664
60.101
0
60,101
1 ,409,269
0
1,409,269
2,533
16
2,5(7
100,211
3.590
96,621
0
0
0
202.347
0
202,347
4,508.080
0
4,508,080
508,345
1.050
507.29S
24,589
0
24,589
250,229
0
250,229
3,317
0
3.317
373,164
0
373.164
137,282
0
(37.282
1.884,783
0
1.884,783
55,689
0
55.689
1.177,832
0
1,177,832
3, (26
22
3.104
112,625
5,330
(07,295
0
0
0
202,165
0
202,165
5.079,259
0
5.079,259
547.269
2,444
544.825
32,215
0
32,215
262,253
O
262,258
7.933
0
7.933
467,359
0
467.359
134.797
0
134,797
2. 105.852
0
2 105. 852
59,062 -
0
59,062
1.079,143
0
1,079.143
3,299
29
3,270
124,452
7,310
117,142
0
0
0
226,363
0
226,363
5,331,562
0
5,331,565
583,997
6,149
577,848
34,651
0
34,651
280,974
0
280,974
11,446
0
1 1 ,446
546,420
0
546,420
99,402
0
99,402
2.224,827
0
2,224,827
44.120
0
44,120
915.343
0
915,343
3.759
53
3,706
143,817
11,014
132,603
0
0
0
188,220
0
188,220
5,488,945
0
5,488,945
796,822
6,659
787,953
34,899
0
34,899
349,578
875
348,703
12,956
0
12,956
603,286
0
603.286
92.432
0
92,432
2,762,680
0
2.762.680
28.065
0
29,065
813,062
0
813,062
4,295
72
4,223
165,460
16.794
148,666
1,401
0
1,401
287,068
0
287,068
5.900.094
0
5,900,094
968,289
7,141
961,148
35.708
26
35,682
453,216
972
452.244
18.983
0
18,933
628.620
0
628.620
58,964
0
68,964
3.019,024
0
3.019.024
13.413
0
13.413
954,232
0
954,232
4,508
75
4,433
202,620
18,244
184.376
34.398
0
34,388
307,194
0
307,194
5,672,242
0
5, 672, 2-12
992.825
8,042
984.783
33,952
54
33.BS8
424093
1.080
423,018
28,598
0
28.SS3
646.217
0
643,217
82.401
d
82,401
2.999.288
0
2,999,288
10,258
0
10.258
818,266
0
818,266
4.473
57
4,416
223,334
20,443
202.391
49655
0
49,655
250,723
0
250.723
5.275.067
0
5.275,067
944.956
6 396
938.570
32,257
54
32.203
320,913
1,200
3(9,713
42.323
0
42 523
633,930
0
683.530
92,373
Q
92,379
3,182348
0
3,182.348
8 941
;
8 Qd!
823,892
0
823 892
4.754
42
4.712
241,017
21,373
219,644
60.149
0
60.149
246,995
0
245.995
5.850,993
3
5,850 9S9
1 ,063.444
5,781
1 063.663
30,657
63
30.S94
334, S4S
'.298
333 347
43.206
0
43.206
543 877
0
£43 677
93,«~7
0
93, *6?
3 M 6 50 '
Q
3,115.601
'0 221
C
••" 227
844,849
0
844,849
4.433
40
4,383
230,747
22.323
208,424
72,179
0
72,179
222,828
0
222,828
5,444,874
0
5.444.874
1.018,515
5,567
1,012,948
29,125
60
29.065
362.714
1,493
381,221
47,247
0
47,247
532,996
0
532.996
87.859
0
87,859
3,069.770
0
3.069,770
10,474
0
10,474-
TOTALS             (1.182.630     9,332,811     9.459.838    10.19',752   10.590,656    11.421.802    12,377,597   12.392.831    1 \ .929,375    12469330    11,973.610
           Diesel       1,717        2,247        4,656        7,796       13.488       20,811       25.005      27,495       28,(50       28557       29,483
         Gasoline   11,180.913     9,330.564     9,455.182    10,183,956   10.577,168    11,400.991    12.352.592   IS. 365.336    11,901.725    12.441.373    11,949,127
                                                                   139  .

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

likely cause lawnmower shipments to decrease  in 199254, stressing the sensitivity of sales to
general  conditions  in  the national  economy.    In fact,  unit  shipments of  walk  behind
lawnmowers  followed  the path  of  the  overall  economy  during  the  1970's and  1980's.
According to  OPEI, units expanded to 6.4 million in 1973, a year in which the economy also
grew.  In 1975, as a result of a general economic  decline as well as a severe recession  in the
housing  industry, units shipped fell  to 4.7 million,  1.7 million below the  1973 level.  Units
shipped increased gradually to 5.9 million in 1979, but then fell again following the economic
slowdowns  in 1980 and  1982.  During the economic expansion that began in 1983, walk
behind lawnmower shipments grew each year until 1988, when the combined effects of over
two years of drought and a slowdown in housing due to higher interest rates took their toll.

On the other  hand, sales  of various other types of nonriding equipment {e.g., snowblowers,
shredders, and chippers/grinders)  have  increased dramatically since 1981, although together
they continue to comprise a small portion of the  lawn and garden market.  These increases
were partly due to rapid changes in product development that produced higher quality products
at lower  marginal costs.

Similarly, riding mowers  have become more popular in recent years, shown by the increased
combined sales of lawn and garden tractors, rear engine riders, and front mowers from roughly
892,000  units in 1981 to  1.45  million in  1991.55 As with most lawn and  garden equipment,
the sales of riding mowers  is  expected to be dependent on the general state of the economy.
However, the recession of the early 1980's did not have a significant effect. This may be due
to the fact that the market  for these equipment was relatively  immature during the early 1980's.
    54  The Outdoor Power Equipment Institute estimates that lawnmower shipments will decrease to
roughly 5.17 million in  1992, down from 5.35 million in the previous year.  According to OPEI, the
expected downturn reflects cautious attitudes by retailers of outdoor power products about the prospect
of economic growth.
    55  OPEI shows a combined sales increase of approximately 53%  for riding mowers and garden
tractors for the same period. Their shipment data show 771,000 units shipped in 1981 and 1,177,000
units in 1991.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             140                                     413-14

-------
Jack Favcett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

Improvements in product development and  increased competition  from mass merchandisers
may have led the surge in sales.  But, as the market matures, the  state of the economy  will
have a more significant impact on the demand for these products, as shown by the decline in
sales of lawn and garden tractors from 1990 to 1991,

Finally, commercial turf equipment have seen sales expand by roughly 150 percent in the time
span shown in Table 4-6, These equipment include hydro/seeders mulchers, riding turf mowers
(common in golf sources, for example), matchers/aerators, walk-behind multi-spindle  mowers.
and other miscellaneous equipment.  Increasing sales in recent years reflect the boom in the
lawn maintenance (landscaping) industry, which required firms to incorporate more productive
equipment (such as multi spindle walk behind mowers) in an effort to reduce costs  and
maintain a competitive position.  Of course,  commercial users also  do employ predominantly
residential types of lawn and garden equipment, such as chainsaws, trimmers/edgers/cutters,
blowers/vacuums,  and conventional  lawnmowers  (as  discussed in  Section  3).  However.
historical  data on the share of sales going to commercial users were not available, so the extent
to which the boom in the lawn maintenance industry influenced sales of predominantly
residential equipment cannot be quantitatively  assessed,

One striking conclusion that can be drawn from Table 4-6 is the relative importance  of a few
types of equipment to the lawn and garden market. Lawnmowers, trimmers/edgers/cutters, and
lawn and garden tractors together accounted for approximately 80 percent of sales  in 1991.
As a result, a review of the types of engines that are employed in these equipment  is crucial
to understanding the effect of regulatory options.

Table 4-7 provides a detailed listing of technology  penetration rates compiled  from  PSR's
Engindata database for the most common types of gasoline powered equipment. Lawnmowers
are, and  historically have been,  predominantly powered by  4-stroke, air-cooled, side valve
gasoline engines. One important trend, however, is the recent shift in lawnmower. sales toward
overhead  valve engines,  which now  account for roughly 7  percent of the total, compared to

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            141                                    413-14

-------
                                                TABLE 4-7



                                    TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR



                                      SELECTED LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIP,



                                           (Percent of Gasoline Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                         TECHNOLOGY
                                                   1981
                                                           1983
                                                                   1985
                                                                           1987
                                                                                    1989
                                                                                            1991
CHAINSAWS
Cooling
Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration
LAWNMOWERS
Cooling
Cycle

Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration


LAWN & GARDEN TRACTORS
Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

TRIMMERS/EDGERS/CUTTERS
Cooling
Cycle

Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration


Weighted HP
Air
2-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed Valve
Weighted HP
Air
2~Stroke
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed Valve
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4 Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed
Sid^ Valve
OHV
2.01
100,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
3.52
1 00.00
7.59
92.41
100.00
7.59
92.41
0.00
12.25
99,97
0.03
100.00
100.00
97.88
2.12
1.14
100.00
98.41
1.59
100.00
98.41
1,59
0.00
1.98
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
3.63
100.00
5.83
94.17
100.00
5.83
94.17
Q.OO
12.04
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
99.22
0.78
1.15
100.00
98.79
1.21
100.00
98.79
1.21
0.00
2,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
3.66
100.00
6.92
93.08
100.00
6.92
93.07
0.01
12.14
100.00
Q.OO
100.00
100.00
99,55
0.45
1.09
100.00
97.78
2.22
100.00
97.78
2.05
0.17
2.10
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
3.70
100.00
8.44
91.56
100.00
8.44
86.26
5.31
12.30
99.59
0.41
100.00
100.00
95.75
4.25
1.13
100.00
97.56
2.44
100.00
97.56
2.24
0.20
2.15
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
3.75
100.00
8.94
91.05
100.00
8.94
84.05
7.01
12.61
98.71
1 29
100.00
100.00
91.75
8.25
1 .14
100.00
97 10
2.90
100.00
97.10
2 72
0,18
2.1 ",
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
3 73
1 00 00
S.25
90,75
1 00 00
S.23
83.53
7 21
12. 58
S8.7S
1 21
1 00 ~-0

90.19
9.3'
1 1 4
1CO.CC
97 20
2 . 8 j
100. CO
97.20
2,54
0 16
                                                 142

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

about 2 percent In 1986.  This shift largely reflects  Honda's penetration into the lawnmower
market, given that  Honda  is the  most significant producer of  4-stroke,  overhead  valve
lawnmowers  (roughly 170,000 units in 1981).

Sales weighted horsepowers were derived for each of the years between 1981 and  1991, and
are also shown in Table 4-7.  Clearly, a trend toward more  powerful  engines has taken place
in the lawnmower market.  OPEI recently provided data that showed the percent of shipments
by  horsepower ranges  for various equipment including lawnmowers.  These industry  based
estimates  are provided in Appendix D and also show a significant shift in lawnmower sales
toward  larger engines — for example, in  1986  only  1  percent  of  shipments  included
lawnmowers  with engines above 5 horsepower,  while by  1991 24 percent  of lawnmower
shipments were within this horsepower range. Shifts, such as those reflected in the OPEI data,
in the distribution of sales by  horsepower range are likely to result in sales weighted average
horsepower changes similar to those demonstrated by PSR's data..

Unlike  lawnmowers, handheld  portable  equipment,  such as trirnmers/edgers/cutters and
chainsaws, are predominantly powered by small, 2-stroke, air-cooled, gasoline engines,  as
shown in Table 4-7.  Such engines are lightweight  and specially suitable for portable handheld
equipment often  operated under adverse conditions  (e.g.,  2-stroke engines are much  better
suited for applications that require the operation of equipment at various angles and positions).
Table 4-7 shows that the technological characteristics of trimmers/edgers/cutters and chainsaws
have remained relatively constant since  1981.

Lawn and garden tractors, and other types of riding mowers, are  almost exclusively powered
by  4-stroke, air-cooled, side valve gasoline engines.   PSR's  data demonstrate shifts toward
more powerful engines, particularly rear engine riders.  OPEI's data (Appendix D) also indicate
significant shifts toward more powerful engines -— for example, the percent  of total sales under
8 horsepower decreased from  30 percent in 1980  to  only 3  percent  in 1991, while the percent
of sales over 10 horsepower increased  from 16 percent in 1980 to  76 percent in  1991.  Such

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency'            143                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE    	       December 1992

major shifts in the distribution of sales across horsepower ranges are likely to result in  larger
sales weighted  changes than those exhibited by PSR's data.  However, the relatively short band
of horsepower options for most lawn and garden equipment emphasize the importance of even
small shifts in  sales weighted horsepower.

The lawn and garden engine market is dominated by relatively few firms. PSR's sales database
provides detailed  insight about  the distribution of sales by  engine  manufacturer  for each
equipment  type shown  in  Table 4-3.   According  to  PSR's  data, Briggs  &  Stratton and
Tecumseh  accounted for 56 percent of the engines that were  installed into  lawn and garden
equipment  in 1991,  36.6 percent and 19.4  percent respectively.  Although a large portion  of
Briggs & Stratton engines are incorporated  into lawnmowers (roughly 70 percent), Briggs' also
supplies  engines for chippers/grinders, commercial turf equipment, front mowers, rear engine
riding mowers, leaf blowers/vacuums,  lawn  and garden tractors, shredders, snowblowers, tillers,
trimmers/edgers/cutters,  and wood splitters. Tecumseh engines are incorporated into virtually
the same types of  lawn  and garden equipment, and, likewise, lawnmowers account for the
largest share (over  65 percent).

Homelite and Poulan account for most of the  engines that are incorporated into chainsaws and
trimmers/edgers/cutters.   Homelite is the third  largest engine manufacturer  in the lawn and
garden market, with a share (in terms of units) of about  10 percent, while Poulan ranks fourth
with a share of almost  9 percent.  Unlike Briggs  & Stratton and  Tecumseh, Homelite and
Poulan produce the equipment  in which their  engines  are installed.  Therefore, these two
manufacturers also  account  for a substantial portion of portable handheld  equipment sales.

Unfortunately,  sales data for equipment manufacturers  were not available for this report —
other than that which  can  be  inferred  from  PSR's database.   However,   some  anecdotal
information allows  for a  qualitative assessment  of the  major OEM's operating in  the lawn and
garden equipment market, and a review of their  product lines provides insight as to the engines
(Le., engine manufacturers)  that power their equipment.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             144                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

Conversations with various industry members and information obtained from the 1992 Outdoor
Power Equipment  Expo  identified  most of  the  important  lawn  and garden  equipment
manufacturers.  Murray Ohio and MTD are major producers  of mowing equipment, supplying
their products to mass merchandisers.   Murray's product  line of walk behind lawn  mowers,
lawn tractors,  garden tractors, rear engine riding mowers,  and tillers are exclusively  powered
by either Briggs & Stratton or Tecumseh engines. Although  MTD's product line is somewhat
more  extensive  than Murray's  (since  it includes  log  splitters,  chippers/shredders,  lawn
vacuums/blowers, and tillers/edgers, as well as mowing equipment), MTD's equipment are also
exclusively powered by Tecumseh or Briggs &  Stratton  engines.56  Given the relative and
growing importance of mass merchandisers as retailers of lawn and garden equipment, Murray
and MTD are  expected to continue to play a major role in the mowing equipment segment of
the market.

Unlike Murray and  MTD,  however, other equipment manufacturers also produce the engines
that power their equipment (See Section 3, Table 3-1), as well as engines for other equipment
manufacturers.  Such interactions between equipment and equipment/engine manufacturers do
not allow for  a straight-forward assessment  of firm specific market  power.   However, the
problem is somewhat alleviated  if one considers that the more vertically integrated equipment
manufacturers mostly produce equipment for a  more upscale market, and together represent a
smaller share when  compared to mass  merchandisers.  This follows from the fact that Briggs
& Stratton and Tecumseh alone account  for a majority  of engine sales and that Murray's and
MTD's equipment are exclusively powered by  Briggs and/or Tecumseh engines.

Producers of more upscale  (Le., higher priced or premium)  lawn and garden equipment include
Toro,  Kubota,  Snapper, John Deer, Garden Way, Honda, Jacobsen, and others.  Honda's lawn
and garden equipment line, for example, includes various models of lawnmowers, lawn tractors,
riding mowers, commercial mowers, tillers, and snowblowers which are powered by  Honda's
   56
      Neither Murray nor MTD produce engines.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            145                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

4-stroke,  overhead  valve gasoline engines  (only Honda's  F210  tiller  and HR173PDA
lawnmower offer a side valve configuration).

                           4.1.2  Airport Service Equipment

As shown  in Table 4-4, the airport service  equipment category makes up a very small share
of the nonroad utility engine and equipment industry.  In general,  airport service equipment
includes aircraft load lifters, de-icing equipment, ground power units, baggage conveyors, push-
back  tractors,  tow tractors, yard  spotters, and heat and start units.  PSR's database  provides
little  detail on sales and engine specifications about each of these equipment types.  Rather,
PSR has aggregated sales of low volume equipment into two categories:  1) terminal  tractors
which includes  push-back tractors, tow tractors,  and yard  spotters,  and 2) aircraft  support
equipment  which includes the other types airport service equipment mentioned above.  As a
result, little can  be said about the technology that is represented by  baggage conveyors or de-
icing  equipment, for example.  But, PSR's data is  useful for some general observations  about
the types of engines that are employed  in this category.

Across all horsepowers, airport service equipment can be powered by gasoline, diesel, or LPG
internal combustion engines.  Diesel and LPG engines, however, are more common in heavier
(/.£.,  "non-utility")  equipment,  such as  push  out tractors  which  often use  liquid-cooled,
turbocharged diesel engines that exceed 250 horsepower. On the other hand, Table 4-8 shows
that utility  aircraft support equipment are predominantly powered  by air-cooled, 4-stroke, side
valve gasoline engines,  although  the penetration of water-cooled diesel engines has increased
in recent years.  Anecdotal information  provides some insight as to the types of engines used
by specific equipment included  in this catch-all "equipment-type".  For example, ground power
units  are those pieces of equipment that provide power to the aircraft  when it is parked  at the
terminal.  At the lower horsepower end, or utility level, these  equipment resemble generator
sets, and are often powered by  air-cooled, 4-stroke  gasoline  engines.  Heat and start units, in
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             146                                     413-14

-------
                                          TABLE 4-8
                            SALES AND TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES
                                    FOR AIRPORT SERVICE EQUIP.
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                      TECHNOLOGY
                                             1981
                                                    1983
                                                                   1987
                                                                          1989
                                                                                 1991
GASOLINE POWERED
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT EQUIP.

Cooling
Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

GASOLINE POWERED
TERMINAL TRACTORS

Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

DIESEL POWERED
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT EQUIP

Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery

Valve Configuration
DIESEL POWERED
TERMINAL TRACTORS

Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery

Valve Configuration

SALES
Weighted HP
Air
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV

SALES
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4-Slroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV

SALES
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4-Stroke
Direct Injection
indirect Injection
OHV

SALES
Weighted HP
Air
Water '
d-Stroke
Direct Injection
Indirect Injection
OHV

62
18.00
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00

0
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0
N/A
0 00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

735
10.90
16.76
83 24
10000
-14.44
55.56
100.00

416
11.62
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00

0
N/A
0.00
O.OO
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

119
41.55
13.24
86.76
100.00
13.24
86.76
100.00

354
24.92
7634
23 66
100.00
76.34
23.66
10000

479
11.07
100.OO
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00

60
18.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00

159
32.93
24.50
75.50
100,00
42.38
57.62
1 00.00

137
27.20
67.19
32 81
100.00
6719
32.81
100.00

552
10.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00

35
27.49
64.86
35.14
100.00
100.00
64.86
35.14

168
33.94
22.16
77.84
100.00
36.22
63.78
100.00

0
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0 00
0.00
0.00

538
10.75
1OO.OO
100.00
100.00
98.59
1.41

26
36.00
33.33
66.67
100.00
100.00
33.33
66.67

188
31 04
34 01
65.99
100.00
46.26
53.74
100.00

0
N/A
0.00
000
0.00
0 00
0.00
0.00

508
10.86
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
97.83
2.17

23
45.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00

147
30,36
38 10
61.90
100.00
47.62
. 5238
10000

0
N/A
0.00
0 00
0.00
0 00
000
0 00
                                          147

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

contrast, are basically large diesel powered compressors  and not part of the small nonroad
engine and equipment industry.

PSR's data for utility terminal tractors shows a significant shift toward gasoline powered units
(Table 4-8).  It is unclear why such a shift has taken place.   One possibility may be that the
share of diesel powered terminal tractors that fall  below 50 horsepower has steadily decreased,
as evidenced by the decrease in sales  during the early and mid 1980's.  This would explain the
decreasing trend  in horsepower for these years.  Further investigation as to what has caused
this or other technology and sales shifts is not warranted given the minute role that airport
service equipment  play in the overall small nonroad utility industry.

PSR's data does, however,  provide some useful  information  about the engine manufacturers
supplying to  this  relatively small market.  Briggs  & Stratton account for 40 percent of engines
installed into utility airport  service equipment.  Kohler also plays  a major role with  roughly a
20 percent share, while Perkins, Onan, and Teledyne account  for approximately 7 percent,  12
percent, and  9 percent of the engines that are installed  into these  equipment.

                              4.1.3   Recreational Vehicles

Recreational  vehicles also comprise a relatively small portion  of the small nonroad engine and
equipment industry. However, this is one area where the exclusion  of imported equipment with
installed engines  by PSR results in an  underestimate of the relative  importance of an equipment
market or individual  equipment type.  For instance, Engindata does not include  sales figures
for off-road motorcycles, since all off-road motorcycles  are imported into the U.S. from Japan.
Likewise,  PSR's sales  estimates  for  ATV's are  low  given that  a number  of Japanese
manufacturers  export these  vehicles to the U.S.  Other data sources  were,  therefore, used  in
conjunction with PSR's Engindata to provide some insight as to the types of engines that are
employed by recreational  vehicles and the manufacturers supplying engines and/or vehicles  to
the market.

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency             148                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Tables  4-9 provides PSR's  sales trends for golf carts, mini-bikes, snowmobiles, ATV's
(excluding imported  vehicles),  and specialty vehicles  and carts, while Table 4-10 provides
technology trends for the most common types of recreational vehicles.  Table 4-11 presents
historical sales for off-road motorcycles and ATV's  from the Motorcycle  Industry Council
(MIC).  As expected, off-road motorcycles, ATV's, and snowmobiles account for a significant
share of the sales in the recreational vehicles market, although golf cart sales steadily increased
from  1981 to 1991.57

As shown in Table 4-11, sales  of off-road motorcycles and ATV's have  sharply declined in
recent years — a combined 67 percent  from 1985 to 1991, with a 39 percent decline over the
last two years alone.   MIC attributes  this  drastic fall-off in  sales to over saturation in the
market, concerns over safety (particularly with ATV's), and the decline in the value of the LJ.S,
dollar relative to the Japanese yen.  Current  MIC projections indicate that a further drop in
sales  is likely, although the rate of decline appears to be levelling  off.

Nationwide sales  by engine type and  technology  were not available from MIC.   However,
information compiled for California in  1990 indicated that roughly 29 percent of the off-road
motorcycle and ATV population in California was powered by 2-stroke gasoline engines,  while
the remaining  71  percent  were  4-stroke.   These  estimates  included  only  recreational
motorcycles and ATV's, and excluded" closed course,  competition  (motocross)  motorcycles,
which are virtually all  powered by 2-stroke  gasoline engines. PSR's database also provides
information for those ATV's that are not imported with installed engines into the U.S. (Table
4-10). These ATV's are mostly powered by air-cooled, 4-stroke, side valve engines, although
water-cooled and overhead  valve engines have recently penetrated the market.
    57   The  International  Snowmobile  Industry  Association  estimates  lower historical  sales of
snowmobiles: 75,000 in 1991, 80,000 in 1990, 78,000 in 1989, 65,000 in 1988, 61,000 in 1987, 58.000
in 1986, 51,000 in 1985, 59,000 in 1984, and 49,000 in 1983.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            149                                      413-14

-------
                                                                 TABLE 4-9
                                                       SALES TRENDS FOR RECREATIONAL
                                                             VEHICLES  (1981-1991)
APPLICATION
1981      1982      1983      1984      1985      1986
1987
1988      1989      1990      1991
ALL-TERRAIN


GOLF CARTS


MINI-BIKES


VEHICLES
Diesel
Gasoline

Diesel
Gasoline

Diesel
Gasoline
9,726
0
9,726
33,280
0
33,280
19,112
0
19,112
12,853
0
12,853
33,521
0
33,521
15.606
0
15,606
33,695
0
33,695
33,339
0
33,339
9,920
0
9,920
44,231
0
44,231
33,532
0
33,532
4,980
0
4,980
72,206
0
72,206
30,250
0
30,250
0
0
0
59,812
0
59,812
31,928
0
31,928
0
0
0
55,705
0
55,705
33,609
0
33,609
0
0
0
57,604
C
57,604
44,248
0
44,248
0
0
0
58,687
0
58.687
53,216
0
53,216
0
0
0
79,137
0
79,137
54,504
0
54,504
0
0
0
91,831
0
91,831
58.494
n
55,494
0
0
0
SNOWMOBILES            37,472     48,426     33,081     47,288     68,403     69,241     81,010    100,625    111,594    120,152    114.143
               Diesel         00000000000

             Gasoline     87,472     48.426     38,081     47,288     68,403     69,241     81,010    100,625    111,594    120,152    114,143
SPEC VEH/CARTS
                         13,834     10,070      5,482     11,894     15,890     13,837     19,914     19,160     17,459     16.314     16,485

               Diesel         00000000000

             Gasoline     13,834     10,070      5,482     11,894     15,890     18,837     19,914     19,160     17,459     16.814     16.485
TOTALS                  163,424    120,476    120.517    141,925    186,749    179,818    190,238    221,637    240,956    270.507    230,953
               Diesel         00000000000
             Gasoline    163,424    120,476    120,517    141,925    180,354    168,473    175,066    200,657    214,416    237,432    244,853
                                                            750

-------
                                           TABLE 4-10
                               TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR
                                  SELECTED RECREATIONAL VEHICLES
                                      (Percent of Gasoline Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                    TECHNOLOGY
                                              1981
                                                      1983
                                                              1985
                                                                      1987
                                                                              1989
                                                                                      1991
ALL TERRAIN VEHICLES
Cooling

Cycle

Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration


GOLF CARTS
Cooling

Cycle

Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration


SNOWMOBILES
Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Distribution
Valve Configuration
Weighted HP
Air
Water
2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Single OHC
Reed Valve
Side Valve
Weighted HP
Air
Water
2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed Valve
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Water
2-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed Valve
18.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
7.96
100.00
0.00
20.69
79.31
100.00
20.69
79.31
0.00
26.83
70.69
29.31
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
8.31
100.00
0.00
19.51
80.49
100.00
19.51
80.49
0.00
26.76
76.16
23.84
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.72
96.46
3.54
8.86
91.14
1 00.00
91.14
8.86
0.00
8.54
100.00
0.00
14.27
85.73
100.00
14.27
85.73
0.00
27.57
58.87
41.13
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.13
89.11
10.89
27.24
72.76
100.00
72.76
27.24
0.00
8.54
100.00
0.00
14.28
85.72
100.00
14.28
85.72
0.00
27.78
54.83
45.17
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
16.55
81.91
18.09
45.22
54.78
100.00
54.78
45.22
0.00
8.81
100.00
0.00
27.99
72.01
1 00.00
27.99
60.01
12.00
27.86
53.25
46.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.77
83.41
16.59
39.31
60.69
100.00
38.79
39.31
21.90
9.16
97.13
2.87
27.19
72.81
100.00
27.19
47.81
25.00
27.90
52.28
47.72
100.00
100.00
100.00
                                            151

-------
                              TABLE 4-11
                   ESTIMATED NEW RETAIL SALES OF
               OFF-HIGHWAY MOTORCYCLES AND ATVs
      YEAR          OFF-HIGHWAY                 ATVs
                      MOTORCYCLES
       1970               199,000*                     N/A
       1971               226,000*                     N/A
       1972               233,000*                     N/A
       1973               292,000*                     N/A
       1974               244,000*                     N/A
       1975               247,000*                     N/A
       1976               260,000*                     N/A
       1977               283,000*                     N/A
       1978               326,000*                     N/A
       1979               332,000A                     N/A
       1980               313,000*                     N/A
       198!               370,000*                     N/A
       1982               165,000                    250,000
       1983               155,000                    425,000
       1984               150,000                    550,000
       1985               145,000                    550,000
       1986               125,000                    480,000
       1987               100,000                    405,000
       1988               85,000                     290,000
       1989               70,000                     200,000
       1990               84,000                     145,000


A. Sales estimates include both off-highway motorcycles and ATVs units.
Source: Motorcvcle Industry Council
                               752

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

Snowmobiles,  on the other  hand,  are powered by 2-stroke gasoline engines (Table 4-10).58
This design is  optimal for snowmobiles because of the requirement  for high performance, or
a high horsepower to weight ratio,  While some snowmobiles employ one or three cylinder
engines,  most use engines with two cylinders.  Virtually all engines range in size from 250 to
650 cc.,  although one 60 cc. children's model is available.  Most of the 250 to 488 cc. units
are air-cooled,  while larger units are generally water-cooled.

Gasoline golf  carts are predominantly powered by 4-stroke,  air-cooled,  side valve engines,
although the penetration  of  2-stroke engines  increased from  20 percent  in  1981  to about 27
percent in  1991.  Moreover, Table 4-9 shows that sales of gasoline  powered golf carts have
increased by  roughly  75 percent  since   1981.   This increase partly reflects  the growing
popularity of golf as a recreational activity, as well  as growth in the resort industry where these
vehicles  are used.  Many golf carts are  also  powered by electricity (Le.,  battery powered).
There are four major manufacturers of golf carts servicing the U.S. market: Yamaha, Columbia,
EZ-GO,  and Club Car. Of these, Columbia and Yamaha produce their own engines, while EZ-
GO and  Club  Car use Fuji and Kawasaki  engines, respectively.

Four manufacturers currently  produce snowmobiles  for the U.S. market:  Yamaha. Polaris.
Arcto,  and  Bombardier.  Only Yamaha manufactures it's own  engines.  The others buy engines
from Fuji,  Suzuki, and Rotax,  respectively.

Off-highway  motorcycles  and  ATV manufacturers  are  vertically  integrated   (i.e.,  they
manufacture their own engines, install them into  their  own  equipment, and have their own
distribution networks59).  According to MIC, Kawasaki,  Honda, Suzuki, and Yamaha account
    58 One snowmobile model, the Ski-doo Alpine, utilizes a 4-stroke, 2 cylinder engine, but may have
been recently discontinued.
    59 The distribution network is relatively simple to describe.  Japanese manufacturers, representing
the bulk of the  market, distribute through their own networks.  Vehicles are shipped from Japan to
individual  headquarters in California.  Then they are delivered to distributors who supply independent
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            153                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

for about 90 percent of the off-road motorcycle and ATV market. The remainder of the market
is comprised  of small players like KTM, ATK, MACO, and Polaris (ATV's). Polaris' engines
are manufactured by Fuji, while ATK uses Rotax engines which are manufactured in Austria.

                   4.1.4  Light Commercial and Industrial Equipment

Table 4-12 presents sales trends for the various commercial and industrial equipment that fail
under 50 horsepower.   Generator  sets  and pumps comprise the bulk of sales,  accounting for
approximately 80 percent.  Sales of light commercial and industrial equipment are closely tied
to growth in the general economy.  These equipment are mostly employed in the manufacturing
and wholesale trade sectors that are adversely affected by periods  of slow economic growth,
Therefore,  sales of most  light  commercial and  industrial equipment fell during 1982, 1983,
1990, and 1991, years characterized  by economic recession.

The types of engines that are installed  into the most common light commercial  and  industrial
equipment are shown  in Table 4-13.  Many types of engines are offered  in this market — from
2-stroke, air-cooled gasoline engines, to 4-stroke, side valve  LPG  or CNG powered engines.
Generator sets are mostly powered by air-cooled, 4-stroke, side valve  gasoline engines ranging
from  3  to  49 horsepower.  The sales weighted average horsepower  for generator sets has
declined since  1981,  partly due to the increasing penetration of Briggs  & Stratton engines
ranging between 3  and  18 horsepower.  Briggs'  engines accounted for roughly 50 percent of
generator sets sold  in 1991.

A significant portion of pumps, on the  other hand, are powered  by  air-cooled, overhead valve
gasoline engines.  Although utility pumps  range from 3 to  48 horsepower, a steady decrease
in sales weighted horsepower has occurred since 1981. The decreasing trend is largely due to
a shift  in  the  mix of  engines  that power pumps.  For instance,  the  penetration of  high
retailers.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             154                                     413-14

-------
                                                  TABLE 4-12
                                     SALES TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND
                                         INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT (1981-1991)
APPLICATION
1981
1982
1983
                  1984
                  1985
1986
                                                                      1987
                                                                               1988
                                                                                        1989
                                                                                                 1990
                                                                                          1991
AIR COMPRESSORS
Diesel
Gasoline
GAS COMPRESSOR
Diesel
Gasoline
CNG
GENTR SETS
Diesel
Gasoline
CNG
PRES WASHERS
Diesel
Gasoline
PUMPS
Diesel
Gasoline
CNG
WELDERS
Diesel
Gasoline
AERIAL LIFTS
Diesel
Gasoline
FORKLIFTS
Diesel
Gasoline
LPG
OTH GEN INDUST
Diesel
Gasoline
OTH MAT HD
Diesel
Gasoline
SCRUB/SWPR
Diesel
Gasoline
LPG
TOTALS
Diesel
Gasoiine
CNG
LPG
51,067
1,186
49,881
233
0
0
232
312,436
13,276
298,880
280
1,014
0
1,014
85,206
4,159
81,017
30
69,433
15,985
53,448
1,612
443
1,169
6,182
1,261
1,974
2,947
4,046
288
3,753
172
0
172
4,077
294
3,642
141
535,477
36,892
494,955
542
3088
44,100
1,165
42,935
115
0
0
115
248,066
15,799
232,050
217
2,660
76
2,584
63,693
3,163
60,509
21
31,163
4,836
26,327
1,038
188
850
3,967
712
1,139
2,116
2,575
194
2,381
139
0
139
4,364
609
3,588
167
401 ,880
26.742
372,502
353
2283
42,379
1,092
41 ,287
330
0
0
330
245,173
10,070
234,814
289
10,225
126
10,099
64,218
3,643
60,556
19
21 ,983
2.986
18,997
1,223
223
1,000
3,819
437
1,726
1,656
2,749
216
2,533
137
0
137
4,179
638
3,352
189
396,415
19,431
374,501
638
1845
*!6,348
1,304
«5,044
544
0
0
544
262,945
14,523
248,150
272
12.872
283
12,589
1 1 1 ,049
4,916
106,110
23
31 ,360
5,646
25,714
1,582
385
1,197
4,307
347
2,443
1,517
4,346
183
4,163
152
0
152
4,779
831
3,726
222
480,284
28,418
4.19,288
839
1739
43,683
1,722
41,961
677
0
0
677
266,760
8,274
258,209
277
26,038
361
25,677
121,970
5,465
116,477
28
37,913
6,105
31 ,808
2,106
448
1,658
3,709
338
2,015
1,356
5,449
165
5,284
127
0
127
5,146
951
3,997
198
513,578
23,829
487,213
982
1554
47,009
1,527
45,482
314
0
0
314
290,008
9,522
280,263
223
36,771
374
36,397
131,628
3,310
126,285
31
42,839
9,122
33,717
3,015
546
2,469
1,834
343
1,381
110
5,655
111
5,544
109
0
109
5,337
1,032
4,128
177
564,517
27,887
53S.775
568
287
48,222
1,669
46,553
175
0
0
175
345,022
1 1 ,462
333,379
181
48,662
581
48,081
140,096
4,998
135,065
33
46,217
8,473
37.744
4,482
741
3,741
4,127
248
2,606
1,273
5,920
95
5,325
113
0
113
5,904
1,209
4.549
146
648,940
29,476
617,656
389
1419
46,296
1,988
44,308
136
0
0
136
405,228
13,956
391 ,043
229
57,898
767
57,131
153,625
5,232
148,352
41
51,764
8,370
43,394
5,414
856
4,558
6,784
290
2,116
4,378
5,847
114
5,733
110
0
110
6,488
1,317
5,011
160
739,590
32,890
701.756
406
4538
45,725
2,041
43,684
165
0
0
165
499,830
15,912
483,706
212
62,063
805
61,258
155,937
4,869
151,049
19
55,222
8,790
46,432
5,056
966
4,090
1 1 ,234
295
3,110
7,829
6,779
142
6,537
113
0
113
6,449
1,442
4,836
171
848,573
35.262
804,915
396
8000
42,151
1,928
40,223
176
0
0
176
487,290
14,056
473,020
214
71,746
793
70,953
157,103
4,549
152,537
17
51,754
8,526
43,228
3,837
968
2,869
11,627
684
2,381
8,562
6,715
135
6,580
73
0
73
6.547
1,422
4.959
166
339,019
33,061
796,823
407
8728
37,117
1,719
35,398
184
0
0
184
483,302
12,458
470,645
199
73,992
799
73,193
148,888
4,277
144,575
16
47,824
8,015
39.808
3,773
1,132
2,641
10,322
683
2,110
7,529
6,044
122
5.922
69
0
59
6,210
1,280
4,772
158
817,705
30,486
779,1 33 _
399
7687
                                                       155

-------
                                              TABLE 4-13



                                 TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR



                                   SELECTED LIGHT COMMERCIAL EQUIP.



                                        (Percent of Gasoline Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                     TECHNOLOGY
                                                 1981
                                                         1983
                                                                 1985
                                                                         1987
                                                                                  1989
                                                                                          1991
AIR COMPRESSORS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Water
Cycle 4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Carbureted
Valve Configuration Side Valve
OHV
GENERATOR SETS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Water
Cycle 2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Carbureted
Valve Configuration Reed Valve
Side Valve
OHV
PUMPS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Water
Cycle 2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Carbureted
Valve Configuration Reed Valve
Side Valve
OHV
WELDERS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Water
Cycle 4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Carbureted
Vaive Configuration Side Valve
OHV
9.97
98.53
1.47
100.00
1 00.00
96.89
3.11
11.16
99.05
0.95
3.04
96.96
100.00
3.04
94.44
2.53
6.73
99.94
0.06
27.22
72.78
100.00
27.22
71.19
1.59
21.58
81.13
18.87
;oo.oo
100.00
61.35
38.65
9.22
99.48
0.52
100.00
100.00
98.24
1.76
12.05
98.55
1.45
2.37
97.63
100.00
2.37
95.40
2.22
6.66
10000
0.00
21,17
78.83
100.00
21.17
77.89
0.95
17.96
93.32
6.68
100.00
100,00
78.16
21,84
9.42
98.89
1.11
100.00
100.00
98.06
1.94
10.27
97.85
2.15
2.34
97.66
100.00
2,34
95.56
2.09
5.91
100.00
0.00
24.79
75.21
100.00
24.79
74.01
1.20
18.48
90,86
9,14
100,00
100,00
79,73
20.27
9.80
96,56
3.44
100.00
100.00
85.59
14.41
10.02
97.99
2.01
1.94
98.06
100.00
1.94
94.79
3.27
5.66
100.00
0.00
23.40
76.60
100.00
23.40
73.58
3.02
18.73
90.44
9.56
100.00
100.00
80.66
19.34
9.94
96,26
3.74
100.00
100.00
84.73
15.27
8,86
98,31
1,69
1 .53
98.47
100.00
1,53
90,60
7,87
5.49
100,00
0.00
22.66
77.34
100.00
22.66
74.01
3.33
18,59
90.87
9,13
100 00
100 00
68.89
31.1 1
9.78
96.68
3.32
100.00
100.00
85.03
14.97
8.87
97.67
2.33
1.49
98.51
100.00
1.49
87.47
1 1 .04
5.47
100.00
0.00
21.84
78.16
100.00
21.84
74.54
3.63
17.45
94.30
5.70
100.00
1 00 00
71.70
28.30
                                              156

-------
                                                    TABLE 4-13 (cant)




                                          TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR




                                            SELECTED LIGHT COMMERCIAL EQUIP.




                                                  (Percent of Diesel Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                       TECHNOLOGY
                                                                 1983
                                                                          1985
                                                                                   1987
AIR COMPRESSORS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Oil
Water
Cycle 4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Direct Injection
Indirect Injection
Valve Configuration OHV
GENERATOR SETS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Oil
Water
Cycle 4-Stroke
Fuel Delivery Direct Injection
Indirect Ejection
Valve Configuration Side Valve
OHV
PUMPS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Oil
Water
Cycle 4-S;roKe
Fuel Delivery Direct Injection
Indirect Injection
Valve Configuration Single CMC
OHV
WELDERS Weighted HP
Cooling Air
Oil
Water
Cycle -1-S:ro
-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

horsepower diesel models has decreased, while  lower horsepower  Briggs & Stratton gasoline
engines have steadily become more prevalent.

Welders and air compressors also make up a significant portion of the light commercial and
industrial equipment  category.  Welders  are predominantly  powered  by  Briggs & Stratton,
Tecumseh, and Kohler gasoline  engines, or by Deutz, Kubota, and  Perkins  diesel engines.
Those welders with Briggs & Stratton and Kohler engines are mostly air-cooled, 4-stroke, side
valve units, while those with Tecumseh  engines are  overhead valve.  The diesel powered
welders are predominantly direct injection,  water-cooled units. Air compressors mostly utilize
air-cooled, 4-stroke,  side valve engines, although the sale of diesel power units has increased
in recent years.   Again, Briggs  &  Stratton  is a major supplier  of gasoline engines  for air
compressors,  accounting  for approximately 60  percent  of  total  units,  while  diesel  air
compressors are mostly powered by water-cooled Kubota engines or air-cooled  Deutz engines.

Light-duty industrial  equipment  (Le.,  industrial equipment  with engines mostly  above 25
horsepower, such as forklifts, aerial lifts, scrubbers/sweepers,  and material handling equipment)
account  for a very  small portion of the nonroad  utility  engine and equipment  industry.
Nevertheless, note from Appendix B that over 70 percent of light-duty forklift sales are LPG
powered units.  Moreover, a significant portion of originally gasoline  powered  forklifts  are
converted to LPG after sale.

                         4.1.5  Light Construction Equipment

The types of construction equipment found below 50 horsepower are similar to those available
in the heavy-duty market.  For example, rough terrain forklifts, crushing/processing equipment.
pavers,  rubber tired loaders, and tractors/loaders/backhoes  are mostly powered by  engines
above 50 horsepower, and thus account for a  small portion of the light construction equipment
U.S, Environmental Protection Agency             158                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

market, as  shown  in  Table 4-14.  Paving equipment, skid steer  loaders60,  cement/mortar
mixers, and concrete/industrial  saws,  on the other hand, are generally powered by engines
below 50  horsepower,  and account for roughly 65 percent of the light construction equipment
category.  Sales of these equipment types are directly related to the health of the construction
industry, as are sales of heavy-duty equipment. There is concern in the construction equipment
industry that overdevelopment,  both commercial  and residential, in the 1980's will  have a
detrimental  effect  on  future equipment sales.  Moreover,  slow growth in  the  construction
industry is expected to also induce equipment owners to hold on to their equipment for longer
periods of time, rather than to invest on new machinery.

The majority of light construction equipment manufacturers do not  produce the engines  that
are installed in their equipment.   Notable exceptions are Case and Kubota. Table 4-15 shows
the types  of engines most common in various light construction equipment.  Cement/'mortar
mixers are mostly powered by air-cooled, overhead valve gasoline engines, although side valve
gasoline units are common.  Honda's overhead valve engines account for about 50 percent of
the total engines installed in cement/mortar  mixers, while Teledyne-Wisconsin's and Briggs
& Stratton's predominantly side  valve units account for 18 percent and 24 percent, respectively.
On the other hand,  Kohler's air-cooled, side-valve gasoline  engines, ranging between  8 to 20
horsepower, power a substantial portion of concrete/industrial saws (about 35 percent).  Other
engine makes  common   in concrete/industrial saws include side  valve  Briggs & Stratton
engines,  overhead  valve  Honda engines, and Teledyne-Wisconsin  gasoline engines ranging
between 3.5 to 37 horsepower.

Unlike concrete/industrial saws or cement/mortar mixers, skid steer loaders are mostly powered
by  diesel  engines — the penetration of which has steadily increased  since  1981.   Kubota's
indirect injection dieseis  ranging  between 16 and 40 horsepower power make up almost 60
percent of  the skid  steer  loaders  in  PSR's  Engindata  database.    Other  diesel  engine
      Skid steer loaders are also used in agricultural applications.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             159                                     413-14

-------
APPLICATION
                                                   TABLE 4-14
                                        SALES TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION
                                                EQUIPMENT (1961-1991)
                   1981
                            1982
                                     1983
                                              1984
                                                       1985
                                                                1986
                                                                        1987
                                                                                 1988
                                                                                          1989
                                                                                                   1990
                                                                                                            1991
BORE/DRILL RIGS
Oiral
Gasoline
CEM/MTR MIXERS
Diesel
Gasoline
CONCRETE/INO SAWS
Diesel
Gasoline
CRANES
Diesel
G.»line
CSUSM/PSOC EQUIP
Diesel
Gasoline
CRWLR DOZERS
Diesel
Gasoline
DUMPERS/TENDERS
Diesel
Gasoline
GRAOESS
Diesel
Gasoline
LT PLANTS/SIGNAL BDS
Diesel
Gaso-'ine
07H CONST
Diesel
Gasoline
PAVERS
Diesel
Gasoline
PAVING EQ
Diesel
Gasoline
PLATE COMPACTORS
Diesel
Gasohne
R.T LOADER
Diesel
Gasoline
ROLLERS
Diesel
Gasoline
ROUGH TRN FOHKLFTS
Diesel
Gasoline
S;s LOADER
Diesel
Gasoline
SURFACING EQ'JIP
Oiesel
Gasoline
TAMPFRS-'RAMMERS
D.esel
Gasoline
'RAC.lOR/BCKhOE
3i»s»l
Gasoline
TRENCHERS
Ousel
Gasolme
TOTALS
Diesel
Gasoline
572
153
418
14,767
525
14,272
0
0
0
452
0
452
0
0
0
0
0
0
1,628
8
1,520
36
36
Q
7,172
2.036
5,136
344
344
0
414
98
316
15,816
320
15,496
19,11?
244
18,873
506
122
384
1,050
I 462
2.583
94
11
S3
14.2S4
7.376
6,a?e
5.624
0
5,524
2,434
0
2,434
1.030
375
155
3 850
1.220
8630
96.240
14,830
33.410
587
12S
462
16,364
500
15,864
29
0
29
483
10
473
0
G
0
0
0
0
1.366
5
1.351
37
37
0
5,188
1,706
3.450
219
219
0
427
155
272
12.257
148
12.109
11.354
125
H.659
256
37
'5B
3.024
1,178
i ,346
1 41
31
60
12.79?
6.415
6.382
5,461
G
5,461
2,344
0
2344
1.C72
1.574
93
7. 'S3
',256
5.3-2
31 702
'3 /21
57,931
837
132
SOS
12.4S4
197
12,267
9.334
0
9.334
381
84
W?
21
2!
0
0
0
0
1.296
6
',290
3
0
0
3 330
8.168
1,!S2
241
24 1
0
607
422
185
15,075
167
14.908
10,225
173
10.058
236
IDS
173
2,661
536
1 675
137
75
62
13.123
3905
1,223
3,329
0
3329

0
2.141
i S20
L320
'•>
S.580
1703
4.8/7
89 193
71 5S5
575
139
436
12,452
149
12.303
9.875
2
9.873
324
115
209
99
S9
0
0
0
0
1.187
15
1,172
0
0,
0
3,245
2,516
729
369
3S9
0
BOS
490
315
213,101
167
19,934
S.1S3
118
5,035
305
81
224
3 C58
995
2.063
160
34
76
13,973
9.339
4.634
1C 237
0
'0.237
1.920
0
1,920
2. 1 70
2.170
0
6,950
1.9S2
4.988
92.958
18.810
74.143
S73
140
433
13,020
241
12.779
10,688
S
10.682
365
119
246
110
110
0
1
7
0
1,352
38
1,314
0
0
0
3,909
3,358
55!
383
388
o
1,323
862
461
23.511
161
23,350
S 176
129
6.047
334
73
256
4.146
1,409
2.7.37
232
132
70
14,295
10.031
4.264
10.281
C
10.281
2,122
0
2,122
2.184
2.134
a
7054
1 894
5,190
102.100
21 31?
30,783
772
1*1
S11
15,173
267
14,806
10,984
9
10,975
349
126
223
185
185
0
11
11
0
1,354
21
1,333
0
0
0
4,108
3,726
382
SOS
505
0
1,399
900
499
24,321
145
24,176
6,600
155
6,445
356
as
<71
3,551
1,149
2,402
246
133
58
14,139
10.998
3.191
10.247
0
10,24?
2.639
0
2.639
2,312
2.3!2
0
6535
S.141
4,394
105.886
23 084
82.802
7S3
1S5
828
20.585
314
20,271
13,045
19
13,026
403
2tS
188
262
262
0
17
17
0
1,380
21
1,359
0
0
0
4.392
4,006
3S6
585
585
Q
1,675
1,151
524
24,966
148
24,818
8.958
17?
6.781
371
90
281
3.764
1.226
S.538
272
226
46
'-,


10,685
0
10.685
3 213
C
3 218
3.558
3.553
0
7.384
2.406
4.976
123.888
31,516
92.3/2
728
157
571
20,346
316
20,030
14,650
24
14,626
419
230
189
502
440
62
16
16
0
1.438
22
1,416
0
0
0
4.S30
4,422
408
S43
543
0
1,716
1.211
505
24.266
164
24,102
7,530
198
7,332
376
93
283
4,081
1,270
2.791
257
226
41
2247S
'9 732
2.746
10.487
C
10.437
3.265
0
3 265
2,418
2.418
0
7.572
2.497
5.075
127,903
33.979
93.929
673 713
117 136
55« 577
20.415 18.860
324 304
20,091 18.556
13,191 12,825
13 21
13,1/3 12,804
474 407
286 262
168 145
617 591
402 3SZ
215 20<
16 19
16 15
0 2-
1 .503 1 .648
23 24
1.480 1,624
0 0
0 0
o o
4 874 4.574
4.416 - 238
458 i-'5
518 527
518 537
0 C
1.712 1 707
1,279 V390
433 417
23.574 2-2,112
116 110
23,458 22.CC2
7.622 '.358
252 258
7.370 ?.:~S
352 1 75
83 3
269 17'
4,247 3,9^5
1,213 1.12=
3,034 •;_ 359
29S 'Jl
26 1 175
34 -^
21,346 15 " "2
•S.SO« 17045
?,542 2 727
10,405 93:2
o :
10.405 93i2
3,070 2 265
C C
3 070 2 -HS
369 ^?3
S69 ^23
3 ;
?,435 7.7'J'r
2.587 26'i
4343 4-277
123208 115907
31 534 29 \\g
SI 624 55.5S3
700
134
566
13,467
284
18 183
1 1,422
13
11,403
349
221
'28
527
344
133
•9
19
3
1,538
'A
' ,563
o
C
c
3,531
3 129
422
458
lie
2-
• 557
'.161
155
'3.494
SS
'= 3C'5
4 533
73.'
-, -:s
'54
3
:54
3535
'315
2,371


1 1
'-; 137
'=. '-'-•;.
2 ^55
-, :f".


;1D
0
---'„
,,,


.; j : }

4 : :6
ics.cn
26 347
7° 366
                                                   160

-------
                                                TABLE 4-15



                                     TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR



                                      SELECTED LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIP.



                                             (Percent of Gasoline Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                       TECHNOLOGY
                                                  1981
                                                           1983
                                                                   1985
                                                                           1987
                                                                                   1989
                                                                                           1991
CEMENT/MORTAR MIXERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
V!v_cnf

CONCRETE/IND. SAWS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Viv cnf

PAVING EQUIPMENT
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


SKID STEER LOADERS
Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

Weighted HP
Air
4-Slroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Water
2-Stroke
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Reed Valve
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4-$!roke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
5,60
100.00
1 00,00
1 00.00
1 00.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
6.58
99.82
0.18
26.68
73.32
100,00
26.68
72.44
0.88
24.46
82.60
17.40
100.00
100.00
69.86
30,14
7.05
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
0.00
13.05
100.00
100.00
100.00
90.88
9,12
6.49
99.94
0.06
20.43
79.57
100,00
20.43
78.96
0.60
24.07
87.62
12.38
100.00
100.00
81.27
18.73
7.23
1 00.00
100,00
1 00.00
64.87
35.13
12.56
100.00
100.00
100.00
91,10
8.90
7,30
100.00
0.00
10.83
89.17
100,00
10,83
88.52
0.66
24.92
78.47
21.53
100.00
100.00
73.33
26.67
7.17
100.00
100.00
100.00
52.83
47.17
11.37
100,00
100.00
100.00
79.41
20.59
7.22
100,00
0.00
10.49
89.5!
100,00
10.49
86,46
3.05
23.48
78.39
21,61
100,00
100.00
74.08
25.92
7.35
100.00
100.00
100.00
49.38
50.62
10.91
100.00
100.00
100.00
75.75
24.25
7.24
100.00
0.00
10,44
89.56
100.00
10.44
86.03
3.53
25.90
65.65
3^.34
100.00
100.00
64,91
35.09
7.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
44.71
55.29
10.78
100,00
100.00
100.00
72.72
27.23
7.31
100.00
0.00
10.73
89.22
100.00
10.78
85.14
4.08
28.69
56.50
43 50
1 00 00
100 oo
55.30
44 20
                                             161

-------
                                                 TABLE 4-15 (eont)
                                         TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR
                                          SELECTED LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIP.
                                                  (Percent of Diesel Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                       TECHNOLOGY
                                                    1981
                                                             1983
                                                                     1985
                                                                             1987
                                                                                     1989
                                                                                             1991
CEMENT/MORTAR MIXERS
Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery

Valve Configuration
OONCRETE/IND. SAWS
Coaling
Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration
PAVING EQUIPMENT
Cooling


Cycle
Fuel Delivery

Valve Configuration
SKlO STEER LOADERS
Cooling


Cycle
Fuel Delivery

Valve Configuration
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4-Stroke
Direct Injection
Indirect Injection
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
4-Stroke
Direct Injection
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Oil
Water
4-Stroke
Direct Injection
Indirect Injection
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Oil
Water
4-Stroke
Direct injection
Indirect Injection
OHV
9.10
1 00.00
0.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
27.12
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
33.72
11.66
0.00
88.34
1 00.00
12.34
87.66
100.00
10.17
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
27.05
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
0 00
100.00
32.10
7.61
0,00
92.39
100.00
7.61
92.39
100.00
12.38
86.72
13.28
100.00
86.72
13.28
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
27.58
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
31.21
8.56
0.00
91.44
100.00
15 72
84.28
100.00
12.23
82.80
17.20
100.00
82.80
17,20
100.00
28.81
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
27.15
100.00
0,00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
31.11
7,66
0.00
92.34
100.00
14,74
85.26
100.00
11.73
85.19
14.81
100.00
85.19
14.81
100,00
25,39
100.00
100,00
100,00
100.00
31.19
72.41
0.00
27.59
100.00
72,41
27.59
100.00
31.36
5.78
0,00
94.22
100.00
13.79
86.21
100.00
11.61
85.92
14.08
100,00
85.92
14,08
100.00
25.89
100,00
100.00
100,00
100.00
31 22
72 73
0.00
27.27
100.00
72.73
27.27
100 00
31.34
2.95
2.42
94 63
100.00
14.07
85.93
100 00

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

manufacturers  supplying the skid steer loader market include Yanmar, Deutz, and  Perkins.
Most diesel  engines  installed in  skid steer  loaders are water-cooled,  indirect (pre-chamber)
injection units, although direct injection units are also common.  Kohler, Teledyne, and Onan
account for  the bulk of gasoline engines installed in skid  steer loaders.  Kohler and Onan
engines are predominantly air-cooled, side valve units, while Teledyne  engines are mostly air-
cooled, overhead valve units.

                           4.1.6  Light Agricultural Equipment

Table 4-16 provides historical sales estimates  for those equipment types included  in the light
agricultural  category.   Agricultural  tractors and balers  are typically  powered  by heavy or
medium-duty engines (Le.t engines rated above 50 horsepower). Sprayers, agricultural mowers,
and tillers are mostly powered by engines rated below 50 horsepower, and, thus, comprise the
bulk of sales in Table 4-16.  Tillers alone  account for over 90 percent of light  agricultural
equipment sales.  Tillers  below  5 horsepower have  been  included in the lawn  and garden
category,  while those  above 5 horsepower are included here.

A review of the engines powering tillers,  agricultural mowers, and sprayers is provided in
Table 4-17.  Tillers are almost exclusively powered by air-cooled, side-valve, 4-stroke  gasoline
engines,  although one diesel model was offered by Farymann in the early 1980's. Briggs &
Stratton air-cooled, side valve,  4-stroke gasoline  engines are found in roughly 90 percent of
tiller sales (one model alone accounts for 70 percent of total units sold in  1991, according to
PSR).   Kohler  air-cooled,   side valve gasoline  engines  are often  installed  in  sprayers  and
agricultural mowers, while Yanmar and Perkins diesel engines are most common in  agricultural
tractors below 50 horsepower.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             163                                      413-14

-------
APPLICATION
1981
                     TABLE 4-16
       SALES TRENDS FOR LIGHT AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT
                     (1981-1991)

1982    1983    1984    1985    1986    1987    1988    1989    1990    1991
2-WHEEL TRACTORS
Diesel
Gasoline
AG MOWERS
Diesel
Gasoline
AG TRACTOR
Diesel
Gasoline
BALERS
Diesel
Gasoline
HYO POWER UNIT
Diesel
Gasoline
OTH AG/EQ
Diesel
Gasoline
SPRAYERS
Diesel
Gasoline
TILLERS
Diese!
Gasoline
TOTALS
Diese!
Gasoline
2,855
0
2,855
1,163
0
1,163
4,854
4,824
30
405
0
405
0
0
0
661
479
182
16,839
461
16,378
206,677

206,641
233,454
5,764
227,654
2,826
0
2,826
1,111
0
1,111
8,313
8,286
27
308
0
308
379
16
363
669
405
264
16,747
408
16,339
268,149
0
268,149
298,502
9,115
289,387
3,370
0
3,370
1,159
0
1,159
9,546
9,487
59
203
0
203
1,009
23
936
557
323
234
16,086
452
15,634
283,261
0
233,261
315,191
10,285
304,906
5,720
0
5,720
1,289
0
1,289
9,795
9,732
63
65
0
65
2,231
175
2,056
542
294
248
15,303
148
15,155
291,401
0
291,401
326,346
10,349
315,997
3,787
0
3,78?
1,279
0
1,279
7,880
7,817
63
0
0
0
3,087
249
2,838
546
312
234
13.467
135
13,332
237,176
0
237,176
267,222
8,513
258,709
3,393
0
3,393
1,262
0
1,262
7,017
7,017
0
0
0
0
3,622
280
3,342
388
266
122
12,622
141
12,481
229,820
0
229,820
258,124
7,704
250,420
2,627
0
2,627
1,190
0
1,190
6,616
6,616
0
0
0
0
4,103
332
3,771
404
273
131
12,974
93
12,881
233,145
0
233,145
251,059
7,314
253,745
2,030
0
2,030
1,022
0
1,022
4,920
4,920
0
0
0
0
4,612
389
4,223
641
301
340
16.029
102
15,927
240,071
0
240,071
269,325
S.712
263.613
1,766
0
1,766
625
0
625
5,928
5,928
0
0
Q
0
4.851
409
4,442
6S8
278
380
13,731
105
13,626
255,180
c
255,180
282,739
6.720
276,019
2,078
0
2,078
570
0
570
6.1S4
6,194
0
0
0
0
5,035
432
4.603
704
293
4 1 !
12.595
105
'2,790
263,033
0
263 038
290 514
7 024
233.590
2,145
0
2,145
644
0
644
5,761
5,761
0
0
0
0
5.149
454
4,695
644
273
371
1 1.583
96
1 1 5S2
247,255
0
247,255
273.286
6.534
265. 7C2
                                                   164

-------
                                             TABLE 4-17



                                   TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR



                                    SELECTED LIGHT AGRICULTURAL EQUIP.



                                         (Percent of Gasoline Sales)
EQUIPMENT TYPE
                     TECHNOLOGY
                                                1981
                                                        1983
                                                                 1985
                                                                         1987
                                                                                 1989
                                                                                          1991
AG MOWERS
Cooling
Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

SPRAYERS
Cooling

Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

TILLERS
Cooling
Cycle
Fuel Delivery
Valve Configuration

Weighted HP
Air
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
Water
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
Weighted HP
Air
4-Stroke
Carbureted
Side Valve
OHV
11.20
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
7.06
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
97.50
2.50
5.93
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.44
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.18
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
98.73
1.27
5.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.53
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.96
99.77
0.23
100.00
100.00
97.70
2.30
5.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.07
100.00
100.00
100.00
98.40
1.60
7.44
99.61
0.39
100.00
100.00
93.70
6.30
5.62
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.97
0.03
9.18
100.00
100.00
100.00
93.44
6.56
7.24
99.57
0.43
100.00
100.00
90.14
9.86
5.56
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.97
0.03
9.27
100.00
100.00
100.00
89.29
10.71
7.13
99.58
0.42
100.00
100.00
89.48
10.52
5.56
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.97
0.03
                                               165

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

      4.2 CONCENTRATION IN  THE PRODUCTION  OF UTILITY ENGINES

The level of competition present in the production of small nonroad engines will be important
in determining  how the industry  will  respond to  production  cost  effects  of regulations.
Emission standards, for example, would  increase the cost of producing engines through the
following:  investment in new test facilities; costs associated  with certification and audits,
engine  development and  design,  and the manufacturing  of newly  designed engines  and
components; and, liabilities associated with recall and emission warranties. How these costs
would affect  the industry partially  depends  on the  competitive  structure  present before
regulations are invoked. Therefore, an analysis of the level of concentration in the production
and sale of utility engines is not only necessary to define the industry's structure, but also to
identify which firms are likely to be  most influenced by regulations.

PSR's database was used to determine the concentration level  in the  production and sale of
utility engines, and to identify the largest firms (in terms of units sold). Table 4-18  presents
historical sales and market shares for the eight  biggest sellers  in  1991.  As expected, Briggs
& Stratton alone accounts for over 45 percent of the utility  engine market.  Tecumseh ranks
second with a 17 percent market share, while  Homelite and Poulan rank third  and fourth with
market shares of roughly 7 percent each.  These four firms accounted for  over 75  percent of
utility engine  sales in  1991.

Although Table 4-18 provides some insight about the general competitive  environment of the
small nonroad engine industry, it does not address the disparity in engine and equipment types,
nor the fact that engine manufacturers may concentrate their efforts in segments of the market.
In order to  account for this disparity, the utility engine industry has  been divided into  four
segments:   1) gasoline engines rated at 25  horsepower or less,  2)  gasoline  engines rated
between 25.1  and  50  horsepower,  3) diesel engines rated at 25  horsepower  or less, and 4)
diesel engines rated between 25.1  and 50 horsepower.   Each  of these segments  captures  a
specific  portion  of the  utility equipment market.   For instance, most lawn and garden

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            166                                     413-14

-------
                                                                        TABLE 4-18
                                                    UTILITY ENGINE SALES AND MARKET SHARES
                                                      FOR THE EIGHT BIGGEST MANUFACTURERS
                                                                        (1981-1991)
MANUFACTURER
                            1981
                                         1982
                                                      1983
                                                                   1984
                                                                               1985
                                                                                            1986
                                                                                                         1987
                                                                                                                      1988
                                                                                                                                   1989
                                                                                                                                                1990
                                                                                                                                                             1991
BRIGGS & STRATTON     6,597,606     5,731,802     5,595,619    6,001,090    6,293,571     6,616,320     7,155,187     7,922,279     8,077,685     8,467,883     7,905,570
                           45.57%       46.45%       45.05%       45.05%      45.41%       44.73%       43.80%       45.70%       46.14%       46.94%       45.81%
TECUMSEH
                        2,189,830     2,099,603     2,156,684    2,429,597    2,516,507     2,511,951     2,898,895     2,996,894     3,057,742     3,096,248     2.991,045
                           15.12%       17.02%       17.36%       18.24%       18.16%       16.98%       17.74%       17.29%       17.47%       17.16%       17.33%
HOMELITE
                        1,377,791     1,033,155      959,093      920,266       964,339      977,490     1,099,285     1,229,384     1,238,075     1,242,195     1,241,359
                            9.52%        8.37%        7.72%       6.91%        6.96%        6.61%        6.73%        7.09%        7.07%        6.89%        7.19%
POULAN
                         832,509      645,200      672,160      757,079       820,403      906,000
                            5.75%        5.23%        5.41%       5.68%        5.92%        6.12%
                                                                            1,007,035     1,168,844     1,209,796     1.191,829     1.166.3&8
                                                                               6.16%        6.74%       6.91%        6.61%       6.76%
INERTIA DYNAMIC
398,878      423,967      559,985       622,670      668,000      714,972
   2.75%        3.44%       4.51%        4.67%        4.82%        4.83%
                                                                                                      856,304      948,439     1,011,117

                                                                                                         5.24%        5.47%        5.78%
997,196      978,115
   5.53%       5.67%
STIHL
                         313,860      264,457      362,609      411,331       437,185      453,667      491,684
                            2.17%        2.14%        2.92%       3.09%        3.15%        3.07%        3.01%
                                                                                          464,324       484.158      481,251       472,820
                                                                                            2.68%        2.77%         267%        2.74%
KAWASAKI
                          12,755        17,144       46,193       80,606       110,246      226,673      291,292      346,736      330,810      352.434      360,742
                            0.09%        0.14%        0.37%       0.61%        0.80%        1.53%        1.78%        2.00%        1.89%        1.95%        2.09%
SUZUKI
                          12,237

                            0.08%
               4,186        54,457       112,780      225,282      240.935      379,374       388,683       360,619
               0.03%       0.44%        085%        1.63%        1.63%        2.32%        2.24%        2.06%
378.812      354,921
   2.10%       2.06%
                                                                           167

-------
 Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

 equipment are powered by gasoline engines below 25  horsepower,  as shown in Section 4.2.
 Therefore, an assessment  of the major engine manufacturers servicing each of these engine
 segments provides more useful information about the possible effects of regulations.

 Table 4-19 shows the  distribution of engine sales by  engine segment.  Small  (less than  25
 horsepower) gasoline engines account for over 98 percent of the small nonroad engine market.
 The emission benefits  that  are derived from various  emission mitigation strategies  largely
, depend on the design characteristics of the engine themselves.   For instance,  diesel engines
 may marginally emit higher levels of certain pollutants (such as NOX).

 Sales  and market share estimates for the four biggest  selling firms in each of these engine
 segments are presented in Tables 4-20 and 4-21.   The sale of gasoline engines below  25
 horsepower is, as  expected, dominated by Briggs & Stratton and Tecumseh. Both Briggs' and
 Tecumseh's  market shares have increased  in recent years,  probably reflecting the growing
 importance of mass merchandisers to the lawn and garden equipment market.

 On the other hand, the  sale of gasoline engines between  25  and 50  horsepower is dominated
 by those  engine manufacturers  servicing  the recreational vehicles market.  Fuji, Suzuki, and
 Rotax account for almost 75 percent of engine sales in this segment.  As mentioned in Section
 4.2, however, PSR's data is not  all inclusive.   Yamaha, Honda, and  Kawasaki  (the  major
 manufacturers of off-road motorcycles and  ATV's)  are likely to  also be important  to this
 engine market.

 Kubota is a major player  in both diesel engine segments, accounting for  over  35  percent of
 diesels sold  above 25 horsepower and almost 20  percent of diesels sold  between 0 and  25
 horsepower.  Kubota's smaller diesels are mostly installed into diesel  powered lawn and garden
 equipment,  while  their  larger diesels service  the light agricultural, construction,  and  industrial
 markets.  Yanmar is also a major supplier of small diesel engines for generator sets, •- mps,
 and

 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            168                                     413-14

-------
       TABLE 4-19
SALES BY ENGINE SEGMENT
  FOR SELECTED YEARS
ENGINE SEGMENT
Gasoline
0 to 25 Horsepower
Gasoline
25.01 to 50 Horsepower
Diesel
0 to 25 Horsepower
Diesel
25.01 to 50 Horsepower
1981

14,300,736

88,668

30,676

49,508
1986

14,602,269

76,376

51,881

59,029
1991

17,001,296

113,604

78,779
i
56.038
         169

-------
                                                                TABLE 4-20

                                                       ENGINE SALES FOR THE MAJOR MANUFACTURERS
                                                           IN THE GASOLINE SEGMENTS
ENGINE SEGMENT
MANUFACTURER
                     1981
                               1982
1933
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
GASOLINE 8RIGGS & STRATTO 6,597,606
0 TO 25 HORSEPOWER 46.13%
HOMcllTE 1,377,791
9.63%
POULAN 832,509
5 82%
TECUMSEH 2,189,830
15,31%
GASOLINE FUJI HVY IND 22,288
25 TO 50 HORSEPOWER 25.14%
ROTAX 21,795
24.58%
SUZUKI 6,340
7 1 <;«/
/ . 1 3 /o
TELEDYN-WISC 17.128
19.32%
5,731,802
46.98%
1,033,155
8.47%
645,200
5.29%
2,099,603
17.21%
16,678
29.85%
14,760
26.42%
0
0.00%
13,757
24.62%
5,595,619
45.53%
959,093
7.80%
672,160
5.47%
2,156,884
17.55%
14,358
3 1 .00%
10,542
22.76%
0
0,00%
12,013
25.94%
6,001,090
45.61%
920,266
6,99%
757,079
5.75%
2,429,597
18.47%
15,794
28.45%
10,154
1 8.29%
6,300
1 1 ,35%
10,946
19.72%
6,293,571
46.00%
964,339
7,05%
820,403
6.00%
2,516,507
18.40%
21,380
29.21%
12,840
17.54%
13,241
1 8,09%
11,812
16,14%
6,616,320
45,31%
977,490
6.69%
906,000
6.20%
2,511,951
1 7.20%
21,513
28,17%
12,770
16,72%
13,849
18.13%
1 1 ,360
14.88%
7,155,187
44,39%
1,099,285
6.82%
1 ,007,035
6.25%
2,898,895
17.98%
23,097
26.78%
14,808
17.17%
18,768
21,76%
1 1 ,905
13.80%
7,922,279
46.36%
1 ,229,384
7.19%
1,168,844
6.84%
2,996,894
1 7.54%
27.215
26.29%
17,978
17.37%
25,568
24.70%
12,719
12.29%
8,077,685
46.85%
1 ,238,075
7.18%
1,209,796
7.02%
3,057,742
17.74%
30,386
26.87%
20,482
16.11%
27,382
24,21%
12,119
10.72%
8,467,883
47.85%
1,242,195
6.99%
1,191,829
6.71%
3,096,248
17.42%
32,999
28.56%
20,501
17.74%
31,220
27.02%
11,647
10.08%
7,905,570
46,50%
1,241,359
7.30%
1,166,398
6,66%
2,991,045
17.59%
31.355
27,60%
19,476
17.14%
29,659
26.11%
11,274
9.92%

-------
                                                               TABLE 4-21

                                                      ENGINE SALES FOR THE MAJOR MANUFACTURERS
                                                          IN THE DIESEL SEGMENTS
ENGINE SEGMENT     MANUFACTURER
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
DIESEL KUBOTA
OTO 25 HORSEPOWER
LISTER-PETTER
MHI
YANMAR
DIESEL DEUTZ
25 TO 50 HORSEPOWER
1SU2U
KUBOTA
PERKINS
4,834
15,76%
2,761
9.00%
404
1 .32%
4,545
14.82%
4,930
9.96%
10,558
21.33%
2.681
5.42%
17,221
34,78%
5,523
1 9.99%
2,801
10.14%
766
2.77%
7,609
27,54%
3,920
6,25%
9,990
21,02%
5.982
12,59%
7,881
16.58%
6.726
22.03%
3,384
1 1 .08%
1.385
4,54%
9,305
30.48%
4,515
9,19%
11,455
23,31%
9,261
18,84%
4,800
9.77%
8,964
22,74%
3,451
8.76%
1,997
5.07%
12,107
30.72%
5,620
9.24%
15,225
25,02%
10.782
17,72%
6,727
1 1 .06%
10,794
26,65%
3,263
8.06%
2,445
6.04%
12,733
31.44%
6,517
11.47%
12,064
21,23%
12.798
22.52%
7,371
12.97%
12,745
24.57%
3,145
6.06%
2,263
4.36%
19,163
36,94%
7,169
12.14%
14.255
24,15%
14,514
24.59%
7,511
12.72%
13,657
20.40%
2,756
4,12%
3,046
4.55%
31,799
47.51%
7,584
12.17%
14,192
22.77%
18,247
29.28%
6,674
10.71%
16,401
21 .89%
3,553
4.74%
3,720
4.96%
33,670
44,93%
7.900
12.47%
13,762
21 .72%
21.757
34.34%
5,845
9.23%
16,001
19.87%
4,508
5.60%
4.860
6.04%
36,3i4
45.20%
8,816
13.97%
13,208
20.93%
22,615
35,83%
5,864
9.29%
14,800
17.86%
5,682
6.86%
8,117
7.38%
35,829
43.24%
8,439
14,36%
12,708
21.63%
21,980
37.37%
5,378
9.15%
14,7S«
18.73%
6,088
7.73%
6,378
8,10%
33,779
42.88%
8,183
14.60%
12.247
21.85%
20,950
37.39%
5,017
8.95%

-------
Jack Faitcett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	           December 1992

other light commercial  and industrial  equipment.  It  alone  accounts  for 43  percent  of the
approximately  83,000 diesels sold between 0 and 25 horsepower.

           4.3  FINANCIAL  AND  PRODUCT  LINE PROFILE OF MAJOR
                                  MANUFACTURERS

Having identified the  major engine and equipment  manufacturers operating in the  small
nonroad industries, a description of the  products that they offer and the financial status of their
operations will help to determine how these firms  may  be able to  cope with regulations.
Optimally, a financial analysis of each firm would  best serve the goal of assessing firm specific
regulatory effects.  However, financial  data was not available for various firms — including
Yanmar,  MHI,  Perkins, Murray  Ohio,  and MTD.  As a  result, the financial portion of the
analytical effort in this section concentrates on the following manufacturers: Briggs & Stratton.
Tecumseh, Kubota,  Honda, Teledyne and Black & Decker. Briggs & Stratton and Tecumseh
were  selected because  of their importance  as engine manufacturers  to the lawn and garden
equipment industry,  and because of the fact that they are engaged solely in the production of
engines.  Kubota was selected because of the significant role that it plays as  both an engine
and equipment  supplier, while Honda's  technological   advantages  and diversity warrants  a
focussed analysis of its product line and financial standing.  Teledyne was selected because of
its status as a premium line engine manufacturer. Finally, Black & Decker was chosen because
of its  importance as a manufacturer of electrically powered lawn and garden equipment.
Although  financial data were not available for Yanmar, a brief review of its product line is also
presented.

The financial  ratios that were chosen  to represent financial strength  measure a company in
three  important areas61:  1) Profitability  — the indication of which is  given by the net return
on equity ratio, which measures a firm's return to shareholders,  and the net return on assets.
    'Definitions of the financial ratios presented in this section are provided in Appendix E.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             172                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

which indicates  the return that a  firm  receives  for  each dollar  invested in assets,   2)
Leverage — an indication  of the company's  capacity to meet  its short-term and  long-term
obligations, measured by the debt to assets and debt to equity ratios, and 3) Liquidity — an
indication of the company's capacity to meet  short-run obligations, measured by current and
quick ratios. The financial analysis presented  in this section is comparative in nature, in that
a firm's  financial health is determined by how  well these ratios compare to other firms.  From
a regulatory perspective  this approach  is reasonable,  since  the one  goal  from this type of
analysis  may be to determine the relative  effects of emission control measures across  firms.

Tables 4-22 and 4-23 present financial summaries  of each engine and equipment manufacturer
for which data was available. As noted above, financial data were  not available for all engine
and/or equipment manufacturers that produce products for the small nonroad  engine  and
equipment industry.  As a result, a  comprehensive  industry-wide financial health assessment
(beyond  that  provided in Section  2.9) that  includes  each manufacturer  was not possible.
However, a review of the "average"  financial statistics presented  in Table 4-22 and Table 4-23
may reveal some interesting characteristics of the small nonroad engine and equipment markets.
For the purpose of such a review, the word "average" actually reflects the financial ratios when
calculated across all companies in the respective tables.  For example, Table 4-22 shows total
assets  across all companies  to be  roughly 81 million,  while net  income across all  firms  is
shown to be roughly  1  million.  Therefore,  the  return on  assets  (calculated as net income
divided  by  total  assets) across all  companies in  Table 4-22 is given  as 0.01.   This  figure
constitutes the "average" across all  companies for which financial statistics  were available.
This was conducted for each ratio except quick ratios where inventories across all firms were
not calculated.

Keeping in mind that not all  engine manufacturers  are represented in Table 4-22, the "average"
return on equity across engine manufacturers is shown at roughly  4  percent.  Given that typical
stock market  investments produce  returns above  5  percent, a  return of 4  percent  can be
considered to be relatively  low.  Such a  low  return to investment  does not bode  well for the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            173                                      413-14

-------
                                                                                         TABLE 4.22
                                                                  Financial Profiles of the Utility Engine Manufacturers
                                                                                            (1991)
(All figures in thousands of dollars unless otherwise noted)
Company
Black & Decker
Bombardier, Inc.
Brlggs & Stratton
Cummins Engine
Daihatsu Motor Co.
Deutz
Emerson Electric Co
Enshu. Ltd.
Honda Motor Co.
Kohler Co.
Nissan Diesel Motor Co
Onan Corp.
Outboard Marine Corp.
Sachs AG'
Stlhl. Inc. (Est ]
Susuki Motor Corp
Tecumseh Products Co.
Teledyna
Volvo
Yamaha Motor Corp.
TOTAL ACROSS COMPANIES
Number ot
Employees

19,810
8,480
22,900
1 1 ,664
16,425
69,500
28

13,500
5.134
3,800
8,100
5,108
500
12,818
12,483
29,400
68,600
12,423
320,873
1991
Sales
4,636,954
2.472,800
950,747
3.405,500
5,937,042
2,665.363
7,427.000
274.063
33,336,765
1,000,000
2,717,607
500,000
983,600
903,746
35,637
7.614,941
1,197,200
3,206,800
14.715,427
3,666,258
97,847.450
Net
Income
53,031
83,784
36,453
(14.100)
1 1 .400
(111,650)
631,900
9,037
542,301
	
24,219

(85,900)
16,222
1,853
43,509
42,500
(25,400)
(180.438)
47.779
1,126,599
Net Worth
1.027.163
572,625
284,715
693,600
849,617
183,990
3,256,900
65,836
8,429.730
382,997
440,386
136,472
463.300
197,488
12.767
1,472.702
712,800
453.900
6,242.978
1.203,854
27,083,819
Current
Assets
1,729.940
1,310,724
231,058
907,800
2,523,881
1,614,934
2.986,600
160.968
12,539,074
463,693
1,451,544
77,003
500,500
304,962
16,642
3,055,430
635,700
1,140,700
9.409,134
2,027,106
43,069,393
Current
Liabilities
1 ,373.895
827.812
125,760
688,600
2,797,525
632,136
2,093,800
120,412
10,857,634
226,880
1,465,866
134,103
252.100
179,720
6,756
3,215.522
232.600
635.700
8,617,153
1,349,647
35,633,621
Total
Debt
4,505,606
1,233,305
272,076
1,347,600
3,419.168
1,982,487
3.107.500
157,279
14,458,562
469,366
2.129,630
149,349
493,700
338,094
12.072
3.993,986
342,600
1,265,500
11,764.911
2,433,151
53,875,962
Total
Assets
5,532,769
1,850.916
556,791
2,041,200
4,271,382
2,168.380
6,364 i.vo
223,115
22,888,292
852,363
2,570,024
285,821
957,000
543,971
24,839
5,470,214
1,055,400
1.719.400
18,060,959
3,657,078
81,094.334
Current
Ratio
1.26
1.58
1.84
1.32
0.90
2.55
1.43
1.34
1.15
2.04
0.99
0.57
1.99
1.70
2.46
0.95
2.73
1.79
1.09
1.50
1.20
Quick
Ratio
0.81
0.53
1.04
0.62
0.60
0.97
0.66
0.90
0,57

0.76
0,36
096
0.61
1.01
0.66
1.87
1.03
0.66
0.93
	
Return on
Assets
0.01
0.05
0.07
-0.01
0.003
-0.05
0.10
0.04
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.00
-0.09
0.03
0.07
0.01
0.04
-0,01
-001
0.01
0.01
Return on
Equity
0.05
0.15
0.13
-0.02
0.01
-0.61
0.19
0.14
0.06
0.00
0.02
0.00
-0.19
0.08
0.15
003
0.06
-006
-003
0.04
0.04
Debt to
Assets
0.81
0.67
0.49
0.66
0.80
0.91
0.49
0.70
0.63
0.55
0.83
052
0.52
0.62
0.49
0.73
0.32
0.74
0.65
0.67
0.66
Debt to
Equity
4.39
2.15
0.96
1.94
4.02
10.77
0.95
2.39
1.72
1.23
1.47
1.09
1.07
1.71
0.95
2.71
0.48
2.79
1.88
2.02
1.99
CAP EX
1B91
107.887
152,572
32,038
121.700
	
	
310,900
	
2.024.354
	
	
	
29,700
	
	

85.800
97.600

	
	
CAP EX to
'91 Salts
2.32%
6.17%
3.37%
3.57%
	
.__
4.19%
	
8.07%
__
	
	
3.02%
	
	
	
7.17%
3.04%
	
	

"Figures for Sachs AQ are for 1986

-------
                                                                                            TABLE 4-23
                                                                    Financial Profiles of the Utility Equipment Manufacturers
                                                                                              {1991J
(All figures in thousands of dollars unless otherwise noted)
Company
Alfa-Uval
Allied Products Corp,
Allied Signal, Inc.
American Yard Products
Arcico, Inc.
Ariens Company
Blount, Inc.
Caterpillar
Clark £qutprr«nt Co.
Cotter i Co.
Cushman, tnc. [Est.j
Deere & Company
Dixon Industries
Dresser industries
2cho, Inc. f£st.|
Slectrolu*
Ferris Industries
Fuqua Industries
Garden Way, Inc.
Gehl Co.
Gormen Rupp Co.
Ingersoll-Rand
JLG Industries
Kioritl
Komatsu Zenoah Co , Ltd.
Kubota Corporation
Latshaw Enterprises
MTD Products, Inc
Ransomei America Corp.
SCAG Power Equipment |Esl j
Sakai Heavy Industries
Sarlo Power Mowers
Shindalwa, Inc. (Es: j
Simplicity Mtg.
Tenneco, Inc.
Textron, tnc.
Tomkim PLC
Toro Company
Trail Mate, Inc.
Yazoo Mfg. Co.
TOTAL ACROSS COMPANIES .
Number of
Employees
7,800
4,600,
96,300
2,550
850
825
4,600
53,636
8,033
4,200
700
36,500
153

165
150,900
85
'0.700
1,500
1,340
1.048
31.117
1,182
518
648
20.000
too
5.000
1.165
24
4,173
32
28
500
89,000
52.000
10,549
3.560
40
100
608,942
1991
Sales
2,693,638
526,501
11. 83 1,000
550,000
151,855
40,620
672,696
10,162,000
1,190.154
2,139,887
39,603
7.055,000
18,818
4,480,300
9,336
14.582,574
10.000
924,635
200,000
174,920
123.442
3,586.220
94.439
327,871
330.429
6,332.440
20,775
200,000
90,000

167,383
2,000
2875
90,000
13,662,000
7.840,100
1,418,218
711,555
3.485
14,237
92,491,006
Net
income
156,150
[5,768)
273.000

13,384

2,242
(404,000)
(337,520)
59,425
119
(20,200)
2,564
174,300
290
131,083
	
(50,821)

7,318
7685
150,589
(3,240)
45,000
8,736
51 .305
(1.042)

3,690

10,359
(33)
66

(732,000)
299,500
88,475
9,700
7?
(691)
(60,254)
Net Worth
587,361
120, 8M
2,983,000
(20,595)
66,374
40,620
155,409
4,044,000
237, 49i
112,784
1 1 ,458
2,535,800
18,141
1,763,700
2,518
2,930,349
469
235,431
10,641
77.919
61,258
1,633,058
33,586
167,423
106,688
2,255. 878
8,193
222.900
23.643
23,643
159,618
723
507
(8,«31)
2,968,000
2.927,700
269,703
160,559
5»9
5.5S8
27,239.211
Current
Assets
2,324,908
322,348
4,128,000
239,364
81,667
76,889
252,1536
5,570.000
520,410
575,150
20,442
9,512,100
15,865
1,756,900
3,593
7,118,987
5,242
450,727
18,970
159,983
53,648
1,682.059
58.392
269,850
253,920
4,723,454
14.115
222,778
43,29?
43,297
264,201
1,479
S15
40,968
8.968,000
8,350.300
1,183,820
318.7S3
1,20»
8.091
57,678,339
Current
Liabilities
1 ,689,238
265,884
3,603,000
78,317
21,201
34,281
165.725
3,859,000
327,856
401,701
10,811
6,531,800
1,806
1 ,099,400
1,509
4,849,183
4,873
259,280
31,315
31,298
14,471
776.494
21 ,924
199,445
160.T80
3,995,951
8,780
72,241
21,478
21.478
112,449
500
503
17,247
8,848,000
5.325,800
551,037
107.881
208
1,151
41,523,264
Total
Debt
1,969,710
318,270
7,399,000
379,025
24,444
63,835
340.B10
7,998.000
882,451
650,325
16,623
8,813,600
2,021
1,447,700
2,316
8.654,302
5,935
854,113
39,763
118,100
23,875
1,346.504
36,265
222,835
227,724
5.362,206
10,755
133,231
33,328
33,328
165,888
1,281
812
36,680
15,548,000
12,809,600
970,254
254.745
83fi
3,704
77,201,084
Total
Assets
2,941,493
439,526
10,382,000
515,293
90,818
104,448
496,310
12,042,000
1,119,950
763,109
28,078
11,649,400
20,845
3,309,300
4,838
11,633,781
8,404
1,089,544
50,404
196,019
85,131
2,979,560
74,681
410,827
334,412
7.618,085
18,948
356,131
56,970
56,970
325,505
2,004
1,118
56,621
18,696,000
15,737,300
1,396,237
415.304
1,426
9,282
105.521.240
Current
Ratio
1.38
1.21
1.15
3.06
3.85
2.24
1.52
1.44
1.59
1.43
1.99
1.46
8.78
1.60
2.38
1.47
1.06
1.74
0.54
5.11
3.71
2.18
268
1.35
1.58
1.18
1.81
3.08
2.02
2.02
2.53
2.96
1-82
2.38
1.02
1.57
2.15
2,95
5.87
7.03
1.39
Quick
Ratio
0.80
0.74
0.47
1.00
2.15
	
1.01
0.72
0.94
0.61
0.94
1.35
8.85
1.02
0.89
0.80
	
1.24

3.72
1.52
1.02
0.64
0,85
1.17
0.77
0.85
1.93
0.89
0.99
2.07
0.92
0.93

0,61
1,31
1.57
2.07
2.18
2.92
	
Return on
Assets
0.05
-0.01
0.03
0.00
0.15
0.00
0.005
-0.03
•0,30
O.OB
0.004
-0.00
0.12
0.05
0.08
0.01
0.00
-0.05
0.00
0.04
0.08
0.05
-0,04
0.11
0.03
0.01
-G.05
0.00
006
0.00
0.03
-0.02
o.oe
0,00
-0,04
0.02
0.06
0,02
005
-0.07
-0.0006
Return on
Equity
0.27
•0.05
0.09
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.01
-0.10
-1.42
0.53
0.01
-0.01
0.14
0.10
0.12
0.04
0.00
-0.22
0.00
0.08
0.13
0.09
-0.08
0.27
0.08
0.02
-0.13
0.00
0.16
0.00
0.06
-0,05
0.13
0.00
-0.25
0.10
0.33
0,06
0.13
-0.12
•0.0022
Debt to
ABSCtl
0.67
0.73
0.71
0.74
0.27
0.61
0.69
066
0.79
0.85
0,59
0.76
0,10
0.44
0.48
0.74
0.93
0.78
0.79
0,60
0 28
0.45
0.46
0.54
0.68
0,70
0.57
0.37
0.59
0.59
0.51
0.64
0.55
0.65
0.83
0.81
069
0.61
o.s»
0.40
0.73
Debt to
Equity
3.35
2.65
2.46
2.78
0.37
1.57
2.19
1.98
3.72
5.77
1.45
3.11
0.11
0.82
0.82
2.95
12.65
3.63
3.74
1.52
0.39
0.62
0.94
1.33
2.13
2.38
1.31
0.60
1.41
1.41
1.04
1.77
1.21
1.84
5.24
4.36
3.60
1.59
1.42
0.67
2.83
CAP EXP
1081
—
8.888
738,000
	
3,593
	
20,129
719,000
46,441
20,092
	
298,200
	
	
	

	
59,500
	
S.088
8.224
140.900
2,171
	

328,099
747
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
884,000
155,600
	
11,406
	
	
	
CAP EX to
'81 Mra
__
1.31%
8.22%
	
2.37%
	
2.68%
7.08%
380%
0,84%
	
4.23%
	
	
	
	
	
6.43%
	
2.»1*
B.M%
3.83%
2.30%
	
	
5.18%
3.8O%
	
	
	
	
	
	
	
a.54%
1.88%
	
1.80%
	
	
	

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

prospect of future infusions of equity capital into the small nonroad engine market.  Moreover,
the "average" return on assets, a measure of the return that a company receives for each dollar
invested in assets,  is only about 1 percent.    Such low rates of  return indicate  that  the
opportunity cost of investment into  this market is relatively  high - the rates of return are
relatively low when compared to other investment  opportunities. Table 4-23  shows a similar
predicament across equipment manufactures, where the "average" returns on asset and equity
are actually negative.

Similarly, the "average" leverage position across the engine manufacturers shown in Table 4-22
is not very promising.  The "average" debt to assets ratio is roughly  66 percent, which suggests
that for every dollar of assets two-thirds of the  cost of acquiring that asset was financed by
debt.  In addition, the  "average" debt to equity ratio for these engine manufacturers is almost
200 percent, suggesting that the  composite balance sheet for those manufacturers in Table 4-22
is comprised of 2.3  times as  much debt as equity.  These relatively  high "average"  leverage
ratios imply that many engine manufacturers are highly leveraged and may not be in a position
to  take  on new debt through  issuing bonds or through borrowing  from lenders.  Table 4-23
shows that equipment manufacturers are in a  similar,  if not worse,  position than engine
manufacturers when  it comes  to leverage.   The  "average" debt  to assets ratio across  the
equipment manufacturers shown in Table 4-23 is 73 percent, while the "average" debt to equity
ratio is  over 250 percent.

It is important to place the  preceding analysis in its proper context. The conclusions that are
drawn regarding  the "average"  financial standing  of these markets may not reflect the true
financial health of the entire small nonroad engine  and equipment market. This is due  to two
factors.   First, not all manufacturers producing  products for  the small  nonroad engine and
equipment industry  are represented in  the "average"  ratios that are discussed.  Second,  the
manufacturers that are included in Tables 4-22 and 4-23  are not exclusively engaged in the
small nonroad engine  and equipment industry.  For example. Black & Decker produces  many
household  appliances  that  are  not nonroad  engines  or equipment.   The financial  statistics

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            176                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

presented for Black & Decker may be driven by economic conditions  in markets other than
those for its outdoor products, or lawn and garden equipment. Nevertheless, the data presented
in Tables 4-22 and  4-23 provide  a  framework from which firm specific conclusions  can be
drawn.  Such firm specific analyses are the focus of the sections presented  below.

                                4.3.1  Briggs & Stratton

Briggs & Stratton located  in Milwaukee,  Wisconsin,  is the world's  largest producer of air-
cooled gasoline engines for outdoor  power equipment ranging from  2 to 18  horsepower.
Unlike most other manufacturers of utility engines, Briggs & Stratton's engine sales account
for 93 percent  of total sales  (roughly $950 million in 1991), making it one  of the few firms
that solely participates in the nonroad utility engine industry.  The technology level of most
of its products is  such that  significant investment may be necessary  to comply with strict
emission certification standards, if any are imposed.

The product line of Briggs & Stratton is  comprised of seven major engine families, which
predominantly  service the  lawn and garden and light commercial and industrial  segments of
the industry. These engine families are;
              The Classic, Sprint, and Quantum series predominantly installed in walk-behind
              lawn mowers.  The Classic is Briggs'  base model, while the Quantum  is their
              top-of-the-line lawnmower engine. Briggs also recently introduced their  Europa
              line of overhead valve engines targeted for the European market.
              The  I/C  (Industrial  Commercial),  Twin,  and Twin  Plus  series  are  mostly
              installed in lawn tractors, rear engine riders, and garden tractors.  These engines
              range from 8 to  18 horsepower.
              Briggs' Vanguard series is their top-of-the-line engine. Vanguard is a premium
              engine with overhead valve design and cast  iron sleeves  targeted to medium-
              duty equipment manufacturers.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             177                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Table 4-24  provides  a comprehensive listing of Briggs & Stratton's product line by engine
model.  Most of the engine models available from Briggs are vertical shaft, 4-stroke side-valve
units with ratings between 3.5 and 12.5  horsepower.

Briggs is committed  to maintaining  its  prominence in the lawn and garden  industry.  As a
major focus of the company's marketing efforts,  the lawn and garden market accounted  for
over 86 percent of fiscal 1991 OEM  designated engine sales,  while the remaining  14 percent
were accounted by manufacturers of other power equipment  — such as, generators, pumps,
pressure washers,  and light construction and agricultural equipment.  Exports accounted  for 21
percent  of Briggs' engine and parts sales in  1991.

A review of Briggs & Stratton's  financial position shows that it has the necessary strength to
maintain its prominence in the small engine industry.  As Table 4-22 demonstrates,  Briggs  has
a debt to assets ratio  of 49 percent and a debt to equity ratio  of 96 percent, well above most
other engine manufacturers.   More impressive is the return  that Briggs has secured  for its
investors, or shareholders, measured  by  the return on equity.   With a return on equity of 13
percent, Briggs is well above the average (approximately  5 percent) for those manufacturers
included Table 4-22.  Moreover,  Briggs has a return on assets  of 7 percent, the second highest
among those engine  manufacturers for which financial data were available.

                                    4.3.2  Tecumseh

The Tecumseh Products Co.  is located in Tecumseh, Michigan.  In  1991  Engine and  Power
Train products accounted for just 28 percent of Tecumseh's  total  sales ($337 million  out of
total sales of $1,197 million).  Nevertheless,  Tecumseh is a major force in the nonroad  utility
engine industry, offering a wide  range of engines for many different applications.

Tecumseh's product line has been positioned  to directly  compete with Briggs  & Stratton.   As
a result,  Tecumseh's  engines are installed  into virtually the same equipment types. A major

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             178                                     4!3-14

-------
            TABLE 4-24
BRIGGS & STRATTON ENGINE LINE BY MODEL
Model Series
92500
93900
95700
96700
121700
124700
125700
130700
131700
130900
132900
191700
1 93700
255700
256700
252700
253700
281700
286700
402700
402700
422700
422700
261 700
303700
350700
80200
1 30200
1 70400
1 90400
252400
402417
350400
Engine Family
Classic
Sprint
I/C
I/C
Quantum
Quantum
I/C
l/C
I/C
i/C
i/C
I/C
i/C
I/C
I/C
i/c
I/C
I/C
Quiet
Twin
Twin Pius
Twin
Twin Plus
Vanguard
Vanguard
Vanguard
i/C
I/C
I/C
I/C
I/C
Twin
Vanguard
HP
3.5
3,5
5
5
3.5
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
8
10
10
11
11
12
12.5
16
16
18
18
14
16
18
3
5
7
8
11
16
18
Cycle
4 stroke
A stroke
2 stroke
2 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
4 stroke
Valve
Configuration
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
OHV
OHV
OHV
Side Valve
Side Vatve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
Side Valve
OHV
Shaft
Configuration
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Vertical
Horizontal
Horizontal
Horizontal
Horizontal
Horizontal
Horizontal
Horizontal
                   179

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

focus of their marketing effort, however, is toward mowing equipment, especially lawnmowers
(as shown in Section 4.2).  Tecumseh's product line includes  an entire fleet of four-stroke
engines for rotary mowers.  This fleet is composed of the Vantage, Prism, Legend,  Premier
(OHV), and Vector engine  families, which  are mostly characterized by air-cooled 4-stroke,
side-valve units ranging between 3.5 and 5.5 horsepower, although the Premier line also offers
an overhead valve  model rated at 4.5 or 5.5 horsepower.   In addition, Tecumseh offers two
models of 2-stroke engines that are  installed in rotary mowers —   the Pro5 and  XLProS
models.

Tecumseh's engines are also common in other types of lawn and garden  equipment, including
portable  handheld  equipment, riding  mowers, and lawn tractors,  Tecumseh markets their
TC200  and TC300 engines for  installation  into trimmers/edgers/brush  cutters,  cultivators,
shredders, and snowblowers.  Both these models are characterized by air-cooled, two-stroke
technology.  The TC200 is available in either 1.6 or 1.19 horsepower, while the TC300 has a
rating  of either 2,0 or 1.49 horsepower.  For installation  into riding mowers, lawn  tractors,
and/or wide-area (commercial) mowers, Tecumseh offers  engines ranging from 3,73 to  15
horsepower. The higher horsepower models  (TEC 1200, TEC 1250, and TEC125/C) employ an
overhead valve design, which  improves volumetric efficiency, delivers more horsepower per
inch of displacement, and, thus,  provides a fuel efficiency increase of  25 percent over side
valve designs.

Finally, the light construction, light agricultural, and light commercial and industrial equipment
segments are targeted by their full-line of horizontal shaft engines, ranging between 3 and  12
horsepower. This H-series line includes 7 engine models (H30, H35, HS40, H50, H60, HM80.
and HM100) characterized by air-cooled,  4-stroke, side valve designs,  Tecumseh offers  an
entire line of engines  ranging from  2 to 12 horsepower called the  Snow  King series designed
for cold weather  operations.  The smaller engines of this series are 2-stroke units, while the
more  powerful engines employ 4-stroke, side valve technology.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            180                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

A brief review of the financial data shown in Table 4-22 for Tecumseh shows that a return on
assets of 4 percent and a return on equity of 6 percent was achieved for  1991, indicating that
the firm's profitability is in line with most other engine manufacturers.  However,  Tecumseh's
current  ratio of 2.73 and debt to assets ratio of 32 percent indicates that a  strong and relatively
liquid financial position  characterizes this  firm's  operations.   It is, therefore,  apparent that
Tecumseh  is in an excellent  position to cover  its  current obligations, finance  its short-term
business needs, and take-on long-term financing if necessary.  In fact, Tecumseh expects to
finance  its working capital  requirements for 1992 and early 1993 through internal sources.

                              4.3.3 Teledyne Total Power

Teledyne, Inc., headquartered in Los Angeles, California, is involved in a variety of industries:
including aircraft engines and parts, semiconductors,  and the  manufacturing of small internal
and compressed combustion engines which is controlled by Teledyne Total Power.

Teledyne markets three engine -series under the brand names of Wisconsin, Wisconsin Robin,
and Continental.  The Wisconsin  Robin line is one of the most versatile  in the utility engine
industry.   Manufactured by Fuji Heavy  Industries, these engines  range from 2 to  16.2
horsepower and are intended for use in a wide  range of power equipment,  including  various
light commercial equipment (such as concrete saws and  sweepers) and most lawn and garden
equipment.  Available in 26 air-cooled models,  the Wisconsin Robin line offers gasoline  and
fuel options and both vertical  and  horizontal  shaft configurations.  Most models under this  line
are single  cylinder rated from  1.5 to 10 horsepower.  Eight of the  single cylinder  models
realize the full potential of the overhead valve design offering superior volumetric efficiency
with less fuel consumption and reduced emissions.  This line also includes five single cylinder,
air-cooled, direct injection diesels used for constant speed applications such as those found in
generator sets or pumps.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            181                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

The Wisconsin series is comprised of air-cooled units predominantly installed in medium-duty
equipment,  rather than  lawn and  garden equipment.   Nine one-,  two-,  and four-cyiinder
gasoline powered engines (most of which can  be adapted to run on alternative  fuels) offer
power ranges between 7 to 69.5 horsepower.  The single  cylinder models range between 4.8
to 12.4 horsepower, while two cylinder models have power outputs  of 17 to 28 horsepower.
Finally, the four cylinder models are rated between 30 and 40 horsepower.  All models below
50 horsepower are of side valve design.  Depending on the  engine model,  available options
include factory installed LPG conversion  kits and/or dual  fuel systems.

Teledyne's Continental "R" series is composed  of liquid-cooled engines designed for a wide
range of equipment applications requiring engines in the middle power ranges (from 26 to 47
horsepower @ 2400 RPM).  All models in these series  are overhead valve units  powered by
either diesel or gasoline  fuel.   Teledyne also offers its Continental  "TM" series, but these
models exceed 50 horsepower, and therefore are beyond the  scope of this study.

Table 4-22 shows that although Teledyne's total 1991 sales were in excess  of $3  billion, the
company had a negative consolidated net income in 1991 which led to their posting a negative
return on assets ratio and a negative return on equity ratio.  Moreover, both Tetedyne's current
ratio of 1.79 and its debt to asset ratio of 74 percent are higher than most  firms presented in
Table 4-22.  Much of Teledyne's debt is  made  up of accrued expenses,  however, suggesting
that the firm does not have short-term obligations, nor that it was forced to meet its long-term
debt obligations in 1991.

                                     4.3.4  Yanmar

Yanmar, located  in Japan, is the world's  largest diesel engine manufacturer in terms of units
sold, offering compressed. ignition engines that range from 5  to 5000 horsepower.  As shown
in Section 4.2, Yanmar has secured  a substantial share of utility diesel engine  sales.  The
majority of Yanmar's models that are rated below 50 horsepower are water-cooled  diesels with

U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency             182                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

power ratings between 8 and 45 horsepower.  These water-cooled models are predominantly
3 or 4 cylinder units.  The lower horsepower models  (those between 9 to  18 horsepower)
employ indirect injection fuel delivery systems, while the larger engines use  direct  injection.

Yanmar also markets one family of air-cooled, single cylinder, overhead valve, direct injection
diesel engines rated from 2.5 to 10 horsepower installed primarily into generator sets,  pumps,
and other light commercial equipment.  PSR's database  estimates sales of these small diesels
at only 3,000 units per year.  Moreover,  Yanmar  also sells equipment directly imported from
Japan.  These  include agricultural and lawn and garden  tractors,  as well as generator sets.
However, sale  levels for Yanmar's equipment are low compared to other manufacturers,

                                     4.3.5 Kubota

Located  in Osaka, Japan,  Kubota  is a leading Japanese  manufacturer of small diesel  engines
and lawn and garden and agricultural equipment.  Approximately 45 percent of Kubota's sales
are generated  from this  segment of their business.   In an effort to strengthen  its U.S.
operations, Kubota recently acquired  a 5.4 percent equity  share in Cummins  Engine.

Kubota's line of equipment spans the lawn and garden, light agricultural, and light construction
equipment markets.   Kubota manufactures  a complete  line of lawn and garden equipment,
including walk-behind lawnmowers, commercial mower, lawn and garden tractors, commercial
turf equipment, and rotary tillers.   Kubota also manufactures generators, pumps, excavators,
and agricultural tractors under  50  horsepower.  With the exception  of its line of walk-behind
mowers  that are  equipped with  either  Briggs  &  Stratton or Tecumseh  engines, most  of
Kubota's final  products are equipped with engines originally manufactured by Kubota.

Kubota's current line up of diesel  engines below 50 horsepower is comprised  of the  following
series, or engine families.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             183                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992
              The 62mm Stroke Series which includes eight models of 1  to 4 cylinder, 4-
              stroke diesel  engines with outputs ranging from  4.5 to 26 horsepower,  one 3
              cylinder, water-cooled gasoline model rated at 19 horsepower  (@ 3600 RPM),
              and one turbocharged,  4 cylinder  diesel  model with  a power rating  of 26
              horsepower (@ 3600 RPM),
              The 68mm Stroke Series  is comprised of four 2  to 3 cylinder, 4-stroke  diesei
              models  with outputs between  10 and 23 horsepower,  and one gasoline engine
              model rated at 23 horsepower  @ 3600 RPM.
              The 70mm Stroke Series exclusively includes 4-stroke diesel engines with  1 to
              4 cylinders and outputs that range from 7 to 28 horsepower.
              The 73.6/78.4mm Stroke Series is a new line of 3 to 4 cylinder, 4-stroke diesel
              models  ranging between 20 and 42 horsepower.
              The  82/92.4mm  Stroke  Series  includes sixteen  models  rated  below  50
              horsepower and two models rated above  50 horsepower.   The models in this
              series are characterized  as 4-stroke diesel  units employing 2 to 6 cylinders and
              rated between  15 and 57 horsepower.
Kubota's  diesels are all water-cooled and generally  employ  indirect  injection  fuel delivery
systems, although models in the 82mm Stroke Series are available in both direct and indirect
injection.  As mentioned above, Kubota also manufactures one water-cooled gasoline  engine
which employs the same block as the 62.2mm and 68mm  Stroke Series diesel models.  This
gasoline model  is considered to  be more rugged than the typical lawn and garden gasoline
engine,  and is commonly installed in light commercial and industrial equipment, as well as
light construction  and agricultural equipment.

Table 4-23  presents financial  statistics for equipment  manufacturers,  including Kubota.
Kubota's  financial statistics  reveal comparatively  low return  on equity and return on  assets
ratios, approximately 2 percent and 1  percent, respectively.  The company's debt to assets ratio
is rather high at 70 percent, while its current ratio  is only  1.18.  As a result, Kubota seems to
be in a comparatively poor financial position.  However, it  is not clear  from Table 4-22  which
facets of Kubota's  operations have  placed it in this predicament.   For example,  Kubota's


U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             184                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

profitability suffered  as net income from its total operations  decreased  from 1990 to 1991.
According to Kubota's annual  reports, this decrease was primarily due to restructuring costs
incurred in an unrelated segment of Kubota's operations.  As a result, it may be the case that
although  various other facets  of Kubota's  operations are suffering  from  the  world-wide
recession, its small  nonroad engine and equipment business may be relatively healthy.

                                4.3.6  Honda Motor Co.

Honda Motor Co., the largest company  in the study  with sales of over $33 billion, is located
in Tokyo, Japan.   Honda  is well-known  throughout the  world for  its automobiles,  but the
company  also manufactures a premium line of lawn and garden equipment and gasoline and
diesel  engines  for  sale to small nonroad equipment manufacturers.   However, because of
Honda's success in  the motorcycle and automobile industries, only 7 percent of Honda's 1991
sales  were derived  from  the sale of lawn and garden equipment and loose small  nonroad
engines.

Honda offers both diesel and gasoline engines for a wide range of nonroad equipment. Their
line of gasoline engines  includes twelve models, rated from  2.2 to  13 horsepower, that are
characterized by their modern design and predominantly overhead valve technology. Honda's
G100K1  model is  the only  side valve engine  in  its product line — all other  models  are
overhead valve  units.  This 2.2 horsepower engine is commonly installed in edgers, pumps, and
small  mowers.  Honda's  GX120 model, on the other hand, is a 4 horsepower overhead valve
engine suitable  for  edgers, pumps, small construction equipment, and reel-type lawnmowers.
For installation into  lawn tractors, pressure  washers, and  a variety of light construction
equipment, Honda offers its GX360 engine which is a liquid-cooled, twin cylinder unit rated
at 13 horsepower.  Honda also offers a sophisticated  line of diesel engines which is comprised
of nine models rated  at either 6 or 8 horsepower. These  6 and 8  horsepower diesel  engines
feature an advanced direct injection system.  This system's innovative design incorporates a
compact injector nozzle in a unique new 2-stage injection process that delivers fuel directly to

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             185                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992


the combustion  chamber,  thus  reducing  heat  loss and improving  combustion efficiency.
Honda's diesel engines are commonly installed into light industrial equipment, as well as lawn
and garden tractors.


In addition to a sophisticated line of loose engines, Honda also offers premium  lawn and

garden and light commercial equipment.    Most of the equipment  offered by Honda are

reviewed below.
             Honda markets seventeen distinct models of lawnmowers, ranging  from 2,4 to
             5.5 horsepower.  Model  HR17EPA is an electrically powered machine, while
             model HR173DPA  is the only side valve unit offered by Honda.   All internal
             combustion models employ air-cooled, 4-stroke  engines.  Other than the side
             valve model,  Honda's  lawnmowers utilize engines with an  overhead valve
             design.

             Three lawn tractor models are  offered by Honda, of which  the  H4514  and
             H4518 models are  powered by automotive-style,  liquid-cooled, twin-cylinder.
             overhead  cam  gasoline  engines  rated at  14 and 18 horsepower, respectively.
             Honda's H4013 lawn tractor utilizes an advanced 13 horsepower overhead valve.
             single cylinder, air-cooled gasoline  engine.

             Honda offers  three models  of riding mowers  that utilize engines  with  power
             ranges between 11  and  13 horsepower.  Each model employs 4-stroke, single-
             cylinder, air-cooled, overhead valve engines.
                                                 '6*
             Honda's line of multi-purpose tractors includes  four models powered by either
             13 or 18 horsepower engines.  Models H2013A2 and H5013A4 are powered by-
             single  cylinder,  air-cooled,  4-stroke,  overhead  valve engines  rated  at  13
             horsepower, while models  H5518A2 and H5518A4 employ  twin -cylinder, 4-
             stroke, liquid cooled overhead valve engines rated at 18 horsepower.
Honda's  small nonroad equipment line also includes  commercial lawnmowers (multi-spindle

walk-behind models), as  well  as diesel tractors, tillers, snowblowers, water pumps, portable

generators, and heavy-duty  generators.  These  equipment are also  exclusively  powered  by

Honda's  OHV engines.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             186                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Given that 81 percent of Honda's total sales are accounted for by its automobile operations,
Honda's financial statistics likely reflect Honda's performance in the automobile industry rather
than its performance in the small nonroad engine and equipment industry.  With this caveat in
mind, Table 4-22 shows that Honda's return on assets  is 2 percent, while its return on equity
is 6 percent.  These numbers likely reflect a lull in profitability  due in part to lagging  auto
sales  in the U.S and Japan.  Its current ratio is 1.15, while its debt to assets ratio is 63 percent.
So, while Honda's liquidity position is relatively  poor,  the firm is not highly leveraged.  Also,
Honda's extensive resources, distribution network, and  exceptional brand image likely suggest
that the  firm is  suffering from the   same  malady  as many  other large  multinational
corporations — that is, a worldwide recession and slumping consumer demand for its products.

                                 4.3.7  Black & Decker

Black & Decker (B&D) is a global marketer and  manufacturer of products used in and around
the home and for commercial  applications.  B&D's diverse manufacturing  activities include
power tools, security  hardware, plumbing products, household products, fastening  systems,
glass  container-making equipment, and  outdoor products, which  include electric and cordless
rechargeable lawn and garden  equipment.   B&D's outdoor products operation accounted for
roughly  6.5 percent total 1991 worldwide revenues of $4,637 million.   Power  tools, on the
other hand, accounted for roughly 24 percent  of the $4,637 million in revenues.   Although
B&D's outdoor products account for a relatively small share of the firm's sales, B&D lawn and
garden equipment warrant  analysis given their prominence as an alternative to gasoline or
diesel powered products.

Black & Decker manufacturers various types of lawn  and garden equipment mostly targeted
to the residential consumer.   These  products  are almost  exclusively  powered  by Black &
Decker electric  motors, although  one edger model is  powered by a gasoline engine.   B&D
offers  the  following  types of lawn  and  garden equipment:   edgers,  string  trimmers,
lawnmowers,  hedge trimmers,  and blower vacuums.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             187                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE     	December 1992

Black & Decker markets for retail sale four models of lawmowers.  none of which are cordless.
These models are:
              M200/300 - characterized by an electric motor that provides 6.5 amps of power
              at 4000 RPM.
              M400/700 - characterized by an electric motor that provides  9 amps of power
              at 4000 RMP (M400) and at 3800 RPM (M700).
These  mowers are  relatively light weight (between  38 and 51 pounds)  and are  targeted to
consumers with moderate to small  size yards appropriate for extension cord use.  Black &
Decker has developed a cordless electric lawnmower which is not currently marketed for retail
sale in the U.S.

Similarly, B&D produces four  hedge trimmer models that are exclusively powered by B&D
electric motors and that require a cord to operate.  Their line of "heavy-duty" hedge trimmers
includes  the HT400 and HT500 models  powered by a 2.6 amp electric motor and targeted for
"tough"  applications.   The  HT100  and  HT200 hedge trimmer  models  are  designed for
applications that require  less cutting power.   All four models, however, are characterized  by
a cord retention system that eliminates accidental cord disconnection.

Black &  Decker also offers two types of edgers.  The GE600 (or Groom 'N' Edge) is a trade-
mark model that employs a 3.1  amp  electric  motor and requires an extension cord to operate,
while LE 500 model is a gasoline powered edger with a 1.5  HP engine.  This gasoline model
is  marketed as a "heavy-duty"  edger for maximum performance, while the electric  edger  is
marketed for  lighter applications including grooming.   Black  & Decker  also offers  cordless
grass shears that employ 3.6 volts of power through 3 nickel batteries that run continuously for
35 minutes.  These shears are hand-held and  designed  for delicate  grooming applications.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            188                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

Finally, B&D offers an electrically powered vacuum/mulcher designed for leaf collection. This
blosver  vacuum is powered by  a Black & Decker electric motor that produces 8.4 amps of
power and requires a cord to operate.

Given that Black & Decker is a producer of alternatively powered small nonroad equipment,
it is also worthwhile to note other major manufacturers of the products that B&D produces.
According  to Black & Decker62, its major competitors include Paramount, McCulloh, Weed
Eater, Ryobi, Toro, Homelite, and MTD, Of these, only Ryobi manufacturers their motors as
well.

Keeping in mind that Black & Decker is a highly diversified manufacturing company and that
its outdoor products division only accounts for roughly 6,5 percent of its  revenues, Table 4-22
provides B&D's financial statistics.  B&D's return on assets ratio is in line  with  the "average"
across all companies, at roughly 1 percent, while its return on equity ratio is slightly below the
"average" at 4 percent.   As with other firms in  Table 4-22, Black &  Decker exhibits  low
returns  on investment which  implies that investors are likely not to be  highly  attracted to
investment opportunities in this  firm. Furthermore, B&D's leverage position is not promising,
given that its debt to assets ratio is 0.81  and its debt to equity ratio  is the second highest in
Table 4-22 at 4,39.  Finally, Black & Decker's liquidity position is also  not much better  than
other  firms in Table 4-22.  B&D's current ratio is only 1.26, while its quick ratio is even more
disappointing, at only 0.61.

It is likely that the recent economic  downturn has  adversely influenced the  financial health of
Black & Decker.  Since  that  the  bulk of its revenue is derived from consumer goods,  a
recession that is driven by low consumer confidence and tight consumer budgets (such as the
one that took place in 1990-1991) will undoubtably influence firms like Black  & Decker.
    62Letter from Cathy Fortkiewicz, Black & Decker (US) Inc., Power Tools Group, September 14,
1992.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            189                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992
                               4.4  SECTION SUMMARY

This sub-section summarizes the most important results of the analysis presented in earlier parts
of Section 4. Given the tremendous volume of data that are presented in Sections 4.1, 4.2, and
4.3, only references to tables will be provided.  The summary  is organized to follow the themes
of each sub-section in Section 4.  For example, a summary of the important results  in Section
4.1, entitled Small Nonroad Equipment  and the Engines that Power Them, will be provided
first, followed by a brief summary of Section 4.2,  entitled Concentration in the Production of
Small Nonroad Engines.  Finally,  a summary of the major  conclusions in Section 4.3, entitled
Financial and Product Line Profiles of the Major Manufacturers, will be  provided.

The small nonroad engine and equipment industry represents many products and manufacturers
that specialize in the production of engines and equipment,  but often not both.  As emphasized
in Section 2, this make-shift industry has basically been defined for regulatory and emission
analysis purposes,  and, thus, various data, analytical, and definitional  obstacles are encountered
when describing this industry.  In an attempt  to focus the analysis  toward the manufacturer
level, rather than at the  SIC industry level presented  in Section 2,  and thereby describe the
technology, and its likely effect on emissions, of the products included under the small nonroad
engine and equipment industry, Section 4 adopts  an equipment classification scheme that  is
different from that presented in  Section  2 of this report. The primary purpose for the adoption
of the scheme in Section 4 was  to assure that those equipment with similar engines,  uses, and
operational characteristics can be examined as a group.  Furthermore, given that emissions are
a function of usage, which is a demand attribute, a supply oriented classification scheme, such
as the SIC system, may incorrectly assign similar equipment  into different  SIC categories.  In
any case, Appendix C provides the technology profiles  for each small nonroad equipment type.
Therefore,  inconsistency across classifications  schemes  is  not as important as it would be  if
technologies  were characterized as ''averages'1  across equipment categories.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             190                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

As is shown in Table 4-4, the most voluminous (in terms of unit shipments) of the equipment
categories is the Lawn and Garden Equipment  class. Lawn and Garden Equipment accounted
for over 69 percent of the small nonroad engine and equipment market in 1991. Second to this
category are Exports  of loose engines,  with  a 1991 share of roughly  19 percent.  Light
Construction  and Light Agricultural  equipment only account for a combined 2.19 percent of
the small nonroad engine and equipment market.

Since the Lawn  and Garden Equipment category is  such  an integral portion  of the small
nonroad engine and equipment industry, a review of the most populous (in terms  of unit sales)
equipment  types within this category  is warranted.   As can be deduced from Table 4-6,
lawnmowers, trimmers/edgers/brush cutters, chainsaws, and  lawn and garden tractors account
for roughly 85  percent of sales  in  the Lawn and Garden  Equipment market  (1991 data).
Lawnmowers are almost exclusively powered by 4-stroke, side valve gasoline engines, although
electrically powered lawnmowers  are also common (roughly 4 percent of sales).  On the other
hand, chainsaws are almost exclusively  powered by 2-stroke, reed valve gasoline engines, as
are trimmers/edgers/brush cutters,  although, as shown in Section 3, 44 percent of string trimmer
sales are electrically powered units.  Electrically powered chainsaws were  also popular during
the early 1980's, but data  on  the percent of chainsaw sales that are electric units were not
available.   However, it appears that  electric chainsaws have become  less popular  as of late
because of safety concerns  arising from the necessity  of an extension cord.  Lawn and garden
tractors, in contrast, are exclusively powered by internal combustion engines that are of larger
size that those powering lawnmowers,  for example.   Lawn and garden  tractors  are mostly
powered by side  valve, 4-stroke engines with  ranges  roughly between 8 and 20 horsepower.
The sales weighted horsepower for each of these four equipment types has steadily increased
since  1981, likely reflecting a trend in consumer preference toward more powerful equipment.

With  the exception of the Lawn and Garden Equipment, Loose Engines,  and Exports (Loose
Engines) categories,  Light Commercial and Industrial Equipment  accounted for  the largest
share of unit sales in the small nonroad engine  and equipment market in 1991, posting a share

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            191                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE     	        December 1992

of 4.74 percent.  Of the  equipment types included in this category, generator sets accounted
for the bulk of category-wide sales (roughly 60%) in 1991.  As shown in Tables 4-12 and 4-13,
generator sets are mostly powered by air-cooled, 4-stroke, gasoline  engines.

As shown in Section 4.2, seller concentration is prevalent in the small nonroad engine market.
Briggs  & Stratton alone accounted for roughly 46 percent of unit sales  of small nonroad
engines in 1991. The top four firms, in terms of market share, accounted for over 75 percent
of unit  sales in 1991.63  Moreover,  concentration  is also prevalent across the  various market
niches  within  the  small nonroad  engine  industry.  For example,  Briggs &  Stratton and
Tecumseh  together accounted  for roughly 63 percent of the gasoline  engines sold in 1991
between 0 and 25 horsepower,  while Yanmar and Kubota accounted for almost 62 percent of
the diesel engines  sold during  that year between  the same horsepower range.  The fact that
seller concentration is so prevalent suggests that the technologies inherent in the engines  of the
biggest  sellers  should be carefully  evaluated when developing  regulatory  frameworks,  since
these  technologies  are likely extensively represented  by the in-use fleets  of small nonroad
equipment.

In an effort to go beyond the profitability and financial  health analysis  presented in Section 2
of this report for the industries found to be relevant to the small  nonroad engine and equipment
market, Section 4.3 investigated firm specific financial statistics. Contrary to some of the data
presented in Section 2, which characterized profitability  at an aggregate level that is likely not
fully representative of the firms operating in the small nonroad engine and equipment industry.
Section 4.3 shows  that both the  small  nonroad  engine  and equipment markets are  not very
profitable,  as far as those firms in  Tables  4-22  and 4-23 characterize these markets. At the
market, or industry level, firms operating in the small nonroad engine and equipment industry
    h3 Note that this 4-firm concentration ratio differs from the one presented in Table 2-17 of Section
2, which shows a 4-firm concentration ratio of 52 percent.  The discrepancy is likely due to the fact that
the 4-firm concentration ratio in Section 4 is based on unit shipments, while that in Section 2 describes
concentration in the value of shipments (i.e., price times quantity).

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             192                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

exhibit  low returns to investment and  high leverage.  Of the  firms  explicitly  reviewed in
Section 4-3, Tecumseh and  Briggs & Stratton  immediately stand out  as  being in strong
financial situations.  Briggs & Stratton exhibited  a 13 percent return on equity in 1991, well
above most firms for which financial  data were available.  Tecumseh,  on  the other hand, had
modest  return on investment ratios, but exhibited relatively healthy liquidity and leverage ratios
- a current ratio of 2.73 and a debt to assets  ratio of 32 percent - suggesting that the firm is in
a relatively strong and liquid  financial position.

Finally, Section 4.3 provided  product  line profiles  for selected manufacturers.  Honda's small
nonroad engine product line is predominantly composed of equipment that employ 4-stroke,
overhead  valve technologies,  while that of Tecumseh and Briggs & Stratton (which account
for the  bulk of engine  sales) is mostly comprised of models  with side valve  technology.
Overhead valve technology has  been  shown to emit less  hydrocarbon and carbon monoxide
pollutants than side valve  technology.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             193                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                     SECTION 5
      MARKET-BASED  EMISSION  REDUCTION STRATEGIES APPLIED TO
                          SMALL  NONROAD EMISSIONS

This  section  investigates  emission control strategies that can be applied to mitigate  the
contribution of small nonroad engines to the emission inventories  of nonattainment (and even
attainment) areas.   The analysis focuses  on market-based approaches  to  emission  control,
although  credence is also paid to command and control approaches.

Section 5.1 reviews the conceptual and theoretical underpinnings of market-based emission
control strategies. Specifically, emission fees, emission subsidies, emission trading, and public
awareness programs are reviewed.

Section 5.2 concentrates on strategies that  can be applied  to market niches within the small
nonroad engine and equipment industry. Although much of the discussion regards programs
to control  emission from lawnmowers, the conceptual frameworks may be applied to virtually
all types of small nonroad equipment.  Lawnmowers were selected as an example equipment
type since lawnmowers basically incorporate the spectrum of operational and use issues that
characterize  the small nonroad equipment  market.

                 5.1  CATEGORIES OF MARKET  MECHANISMS

The standard  approach  to reducing emissions from a source category  such as emissions from
small nonroad engines is to promulgate  either a performance standard that states how many
units  of a pollutant  may be emitted per unit of activity or a technological  requirement that
describes  in  some detail what technology  must be used to  reduce  emissions.   These two
approaches are often grouped together under the label of "command and control approaches."
In this section, possible alternatives to  the command and control  approach are identified and
then evaluated with respect to their applicability to reducing emissions from small nonroad engines.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            194                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Although market based emission reduction strategies  come in many forms, they all attempt to
alter either  the supply  or demand side of a market  transaction.  In the following  section, a
number  of  market based incentive concepts are considered,  including various  versions  of
emission  fees, subsidies  for emission reductions, emissions  trading, and  dissemination  of
information that would alter the supply or demand for the purchase, use, and maintenance  of
small nonroad equipment based on the expected emissions.  Those concepts with potential for
use in reducing small  nonroad emissions are identified, and, finally, specific scenarios for
market-based  incentives are evaluated.

                                   5.1.1  Introduction

In this section the basic concepts behind a variety of market-based incentives are discussed.
Those with  potential for application to programs  for the reduction of small nonroad  emissions
are identified.

                          5.1.1,1  A Continuum of Approaches

The case for government intervention in the free market states that  intervention  is justified if
a positive or negative externality exists such that the  optimum amount'of a good or service is
not traded in the market. In the case of small nonroad engines, the externality is the emissions
from the engines into the atmosphere.  These emissions are not naturally bought or sold in any
market.   Furthermore,  in  the absence of government intervention,  no one has a persona!
incentive to produce, sell, or purchase engines based on their emissions characteristics.

The EPA is now considering  regulation of small, nonroad engines to reduce their contribution
to emissions of ozone  precursors.  The intervention  could  assume  any form,  from detailed
design specifications of the  engines, to performance standards, subsidies, fees (or taxes), or the
creation of markets for  permits to  release the emissions. These options constitute a continuum
of interventions from  the most inflexible  to the most flexible.  In  addition, there are other

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            195                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

actions  that  can help to alter  market behavior.   These include advertising, a  favorite  of
marketers of commercial  goods and services,  and product labelling,  which can be considered
an effort to provide the knowledge to the consumer that is necessary  for a competitive market.

It does  not necessarily follow that emission markets or fees for emissions will  be the  most
efficient form of intervention.  Improperly designed market  or fee systems can often send the
wrong price signals to buyers and sellers, thus  resulting in grossly inefficient uses of resources.
A  properly   specified design requirement  will  reduce emissions  without  causing  a  large
misallocation of resources. In the following sections, the various approaches will be compared,
and their strengths  and weaknesses assessed.

A second issue is the amount  of peripheral activity associated with intervention. A tax on the
emission potential  of gasoline used in lawnmowers, for example, could entail a number of
complicated procedures to determine the right  tax-level for each lawnmower and to ensure that
the  tax is paid on each drop of gasoline used in each lawnmower in the United  States.  Clearly,
such a tax, regardless of its optimal conceptual properties, would require large expenditures for
administration and  enforcement.

A third  point to be  considered in assessing options for reducing emissions from small  nonroad
engines is  the segment of the  market  to  which it will be applied.  Table  5-1  provides  an
example by describing the equipment  most useful in mowing lawns of various sizes. In the
first column, the size of the lawn is shown.  The smallest category  —  to 1/4 acre — has the
most  options.  Unpowered push mowers,  electric corded mowers, electric cordless mowers,
push  mowers with  gasoline powered cutting blades, and  self-propelled gasoline  mowers can
all be used on this size of lawn. It may also be noted that these options will all still be viable
for  use  on parts  of larger lawns on which it is difficult  to maneuver  riding mowers.  As  sizes
of lawns increase, some of the options drop out.  Electric mowers are not currently available
that can substitute for riding  mowers on two acre lawns.  Not only do the options  change, the
nature of the consumers  and suppliers change  as well.  Much  of  the equipment useful for

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            196                                     413-14

-------
                              TABLE 5-1
               OPTIONS FOR MOWING BY SIZE OF LAWN
 Size of
 Lawn
 (Acres)
 Options for Mowing
 0-1/4
 *Push a manual mower
 *Push an electric mower (w/cord or cordless)
 *Push a gasoline-powered mower
 *Walk behind a gasoline-powered, self propelled mower
 *Hire a lawn service
 1/4-1
 *Push a gasoline-powered mower
 *Walk behind a gasoline-powered, self-propelled mower
i
 *Ride a small riding mower or lawn tractor
!*Hlre a lawn service
11-2
 *Walk behind a gasoline-powered, self-propelled mower
 *Ride a small riding mower or lawn tractor
 *Hlre a lawn service
 2 or more
 *Ride large, fast riding mower
 *Use commercial lawn equipment
 *Hire a lawn service
                                   797

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

smaller lawns  is sold in large chain stores.  These are  the least  costly mowers,  and include
gasoline mowers  with side  valve engines that have higher  emissions than overhead  valve
engines.  Although  some  consumers seek quality over price  in this mass  market,  most
consumers in this market are likely  to be price sensitive.   (In  economic  jargon, the price
elasticity  of demand  is highly elastic).   With respect  to equipment used in larger lawns,
consumers will be less sensitive  to price (price inelastic).  The  quality of the engines also
improves  because purchasers of machines costing several thousand dollars are concerned about
the durability of  their purchase.   How this affects the assessment of options for emission
incentives can  be  shown by example.  Consumers of riding mowers will be less responsive to
an emission  fee than purchasers of mass merchandized  walk behind mowers.  Concurrently,
it can  be  noted that the riding mower is more likely to  have  low emissions per unit  of work
performed than the mass  marketed mower as the cheaper quality  engines are not as likely to
be employed in these machines.  It will, therefore,  be necessary to specify the segment  of the
market for each set of options discussed in these sections.

                      5.1.1.2  Efficiency Versus  Cost-Effectiveness

In a later  section,  the  cost-effectiveness  of several  options will be evaluated.  In  this section,
the concept of cost-effectiveness is placed in its proper  context.

"Cost-effectiveness"  is an economic concept used  in ranking policy options.  The standard
method in which  it is used is  in comparing one  or more options to a baseline  option.  A
specific objective is first identified, such  as reduction  of VOC emissions per unit of  work.
Only a single objective can be used.  This procedure can be  a problem if, for example, the
policy  goal  is  to  reduce,  say,  VOC's and NOX.   The  incremental change  in the objective
function is calculated for  shifts  from the baseline policy to policy A, and from  the baseline to
policy  B.  These increments measure  the  effectiveness of each policy.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            198                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Next, the incremental cost of shifting to policy A from the  baseline is calculated as well as the
incremental cost of shifting  from the baseline to policy B. Cost-effectiveness is the ratio of
the incremental change in cost  to the incremental  change in effectiveness.   It typically  is
measured in $/unit of VOC for a given set of assumptions.

Cost-effectiveness  is one of three  measures of economic efficiency.  The first and  most
comprehensive measure of economic efficiency, and hence the most difficult to measure,  is
welfare maximization.  Welfare is maximized if all allocations of all goods and services, raw
materials, and capital equipment are optimized, and the most efficient production techniques
are employed.  It implies a universal optimization.  Welfare to society of a specific allocation
implied by a specific policy is compared  to that of the optimum,

A second measure  of economic efficiency is cost-benefit analysis, which focuses on a single
project and a single set of options. In cost-benefit analysis, the specific costs of a single action
are estimated.  This is usually done under the assumption that all other things are held constant.
Specific  costs and benefits are identified and then estimated.  Then the costs and benefits are
compared.   So long as the costs are less than the benefits when both costs and benefits are
expressed monetarily,  the project would be an improvement  over the status quo.  Costs and
benefits  can be calculated for several projects.  The cost-benefit  ratios can  be  ranked  to
determine which of them is  best.

As the third measure of economic efficiency,  cost-effectiveness does not measure the benefits
in monetary terms as does  cost-benefit analysis.   Rather, it only measures  the effect on a
particular objective of the project.  For example, an emission  fee on lawnmowers may induce
the public to purchase lawnmowers  with lower emissions of VOC's, NOX, and CO, as well as
better  fuel efficiency.   These  mowers  may also last  longer  and need fewer repairs.  If the
objective of the fee was  to reduce VOC  emissions,  cost-effectiveness would be measured  in
S/unit  of VOC reduction.  In contrast, a cost-benefit  measure would compute the benefits  to
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            199                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

society of reduced VOC's, reduced NOX, reduced CO, and reduced fuel consumption. It would
also take into account where the emissions reductions occurred.

The physical efficiency of action is the amount by which an emission is reduced, and is often
measured in percentages.  Thus,  a  90 percent reduction in VOC emissions  is more efficient
than an 80 percent reduction. While it is important to know the physical  units of improvement
due to a  policy, economic analysis  also requires a consideration  of the accompanying costs.

             5.1.2  Taxes or Fees  Based..on Emissions or Emission  Potential

The most  classic  of economic incentives is a tax (or fee)  levied directly on the negative
externality and charged to the party that releases  it.  This  concept  stems from  welfare theory
in which the optimum allocations and their accompanying prices are derived.

Several versions of taxes (or fees) have  been suggested over  the years.   The original fee
concept developed by economists was levied directly on the emissions  and paid by the user of
the polluting equipment.  In recent years  the idea of using a fee to influence the purchaser's
choice of equipment has been proposed. For example, a fee on the purchase or registration of
automobiles with emissions  over a certain level was seriously considered in California. Ideas
for levying fees on producers have  also been considered.  Both types of fees are discussed  in
the following two sections.

                           5.1.2.1  Fees  Levied on Consumers

The original  emission fee, as developed in microeconomic theory, was  designed to make the
marginal cost to the consumer  of causing an emission just  equal  to the marginal damage to
society of that emission.   It would thereby  cause the  consumer  to make the economically
efficient  choice of equipment and of the type and amount of use of that equipment.  Because
a large amount of information  is needed  in order to set the  fee at the correct  level  for each

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            200                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faticett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

consumer,  a second economic concept was developed.   Rather than seeking  to achieve the
optimal amount of pollution, the tax could be used to reduce pollution to a level agreed upon
by society.  This basic concept can be practically  applied to automobiles,  although it never has
been.  To do so, the emissions expected per gallon from each  type of car using each type of
gasoline is computed.  A tax per unit of emissions is set and the driver is charged  for his/her
expected emissions when filling his/her ^as tank. This is a straightforward application for
taxing the  emissions  from automobiles.   Yet this approach has not been tried in the United
States, due  mostly to  political resistance.   If set high enough, an emission tax on fuels for
motor vehicles would influence all of the following:  the amount of driving a person does, his
vehicle  and fuel choices,  his mode of travel for each type of trip, and the relative location of
his  home, employment, and other daily activities. It  would also affect the revenues collected
by the government.  If substantial gasoline  emission  tax revenues were collected, other taxes
could be reduced,  including income  tax, sales tax, and property  tax. It would also enhance the
viability of public transportation.

However, this tax concept is much more difficult to apply to small nonroad engines.  The tax
collected for each gallon of gasoline must be related to the small nonroad equipment in which
it is used.  A person filling a gasoline can at a service station may choose to put the  gasoline
in any small nonroad engine.

A simplification of this tax concept is to simply charge a high tax on gasoline.  Such a tax
would reduce the  use of all gasoline powered equipment without  rewarding clean  equipment
with a lower tax rate.  It  would, however,  reward equipment with low gasoline consumption.
or those powered  by alternative fuels, or by human propulsion.

Another variant on taxing emissions is to tax the  emission potential of small nonroad  engines.
To  do so requires an estimate  of the number of  hours of use annually, fuel consumption per
hour, and emissions of each pollutant per gallon of  fuel.  By multiplying these  factors, the
annual  emissions  of each  pollutant are  estimated.  The total expected emissions  of each

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             201                                      413-14

-------
Jack Favcett Associates              DO NOT CITE OK QUOTE                    December  1992

pollutant over the life of the equipment is estimated by multiplying the life expectancy of the
equipment by these emissions.  A tax per unit of each pollutant emitted over the life of the
equipment can then be  charged to the purchaser  of the new equipment.

This approach  is central to the "fee-bate" system for automobiles proposed in California that
nearly passed the state  legislature.  The fees collected on the purchases of automobiles  with
emissions above the target level  would be rebated to purchasers of automobiles with lower
emissions.  The purpose  of the  proposed  fee-bate system was to encourage  purchasers  to
choose cleaner vehicles. A zero emission vehicle such as an electric car would get the largest
rebate.  The fees and targets could conceptually  be set in a way to make the system revenue
neutral.

There  are  several drawbacks to this system of fees  and rebates.   First,  it only  affects the
decision  to purchase the equipment, but not its use after purchase.   Dirty  equipment, once
purchased, could be used without further penalty.  Second, fee-bates only apply to the purchase
of new vehicles.  It would take many years for the entire stock of equipment in use to be
influenced by the fee-bate. These two defects deprive the concept of much of its power.  In
the case of automobiles, they are remedied by adjustments to the system.  The  fee-bate would
be applied to an annual  registration fee.  This action, by itself, would affect all automobiles and
put pressure on owners  of vehicles over a year old that produce high emissions to replace them
with lower emitting vehicles.  To  affect the use of the vehicle throughout the year, the annual
mileage could be read from the odometer and the  fee or  rebate  based on the mileage.

A fee-bate system of the first type (applied at purchase) could be developed for small nonroad
engines.   Some of the data needed, such as  annual expected use, may be  imprecisely known
in many  cases, but a "guesstimate'' could be used  until better data is collected.

The application of a fee-bate system to small nonroad engines, while feasible, would be more
difficult  to implement  than  for  automobiles  because  institutions  such as  sales  tax  and

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            202                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE      	      December 1992

registration  fee collection for automobiles already exist,  while  similar institutions for small
nonroad equipment are not as developed.  Because the concept of annual registration for small
nonroad  equipment does not exist at present, it would  be difficult to  reach  all existing
equipment and adjust for actual  usage.

                           5.1,2,2  Fees Levied  on Producers

Fees levied on the producers of equipment that emit pollutants when used by its purchasers are
a further step  away from the initial fee idea.  These fees seek to directly influence the  mix of
equipment produced by shifting  the supply curve.  This contrasts with fees on consumers that
affect production through a shift in the demand curve,  because  consumers are not willing to
pay the producers as much for equipment on which they will  also have to pay  the government
a tax.

In some ways, the taxes levied on the producer and consumer are equivalent.   Both raise the
effective  price (price plus tax)  paid by  the consumer, and reduce the market equilibrium
quantity of the product.   However, there  are two important differences.  If the  tax is levied  on
the producer,  distributor, or dealer, the tax can only affect new equipment (or --ossibly used
equipment offered for resale). It is not possible to adapt this  tax to reach all equipment, or to
take into account the amount the equipment is  used by  the purchaser.  Second, producers can
adjust  prices of their equipment to cover the  tax by  reallocating costs shared  by  different
products in a different way. They would do this if it were important for them  to match  prices
with another product produced  by another  firm to maintain a  market niche.  Such pricing
strategy turns  out to be an important consideration  in the automotive industry, but may or may
not be important  in small nonroad equipment.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             203                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associate^	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                5.1.2.3  Examples  of Fees

Version 1 The dealer pays a tax based on the expected emissions of criteria air pollutants over
the life of the engine. The dealer may decide to pass the tax on to the purchaser or adjust the
price  of the  equipment  by absorbing all  or part of the  tax  (if he/she wanted to  maintain a
competitive price position relative to a cleaner engine).  Since most dealers collect  sales tax
for state and local government, this version adds little to the  administrative  machinery.  If the
tax on an engine  is large enough it could either  convince the dealer to stop offering the engine
for sale or the buyer to purchase a less  polluting  engine.   This version does not offer any-
incentive to reduce the usage of high polluting equipment once the  equipment is purchased.

Version 2  The  purchaser pays a tax to  the local, state, or federal government based on the
expected  emissions of criteria air pollutants over the life of the engine in the use to which the
purchaser plans to put the engine.  The differences between Version 2 and  Version 1 are that
the dealer is not involved in the  collection of the tax and the tax varies by purchaser.  This
could lead to additional  administrative costs as an alternative method of tax collection would
have to be devised.   Its  advantages over version 1 are that it  gives more specific price signals
to the buyer, isolates the dealer from the  tax collection, and reduces  the  likelihood that he/she
will be able to manipulate prices to compensate for the tax.  This check on the dealer would
especially be  operative if the tax per purchaser were to differ by town  or region,  in addition
to the usage, and the  dealer served more than one town or region. He/she would then not have
a single tax target for adjusting price.

Version 3 The owner of a small nonroad engine pays an annual fee to  local,  state, or federal
authorities based on  the emissions potential of the  engine.  The calculation depends, in part,
on the hours of use of the  engine  during the preceding year.  This provides  some incentive  for
the owner to increase the use of less polluting equipment relative  to more polluting  equipment.
The administrative burden of this version, however,  is heavier than for Version 2 because the
tax is collected each year, rather  than just once when the engine is new, and the usage of the

U.S. Environmental Protection  Agency            204                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

equipment must be verified in some way. Unless a rigorous method for measuring usage  is
developed, the usage calculation would be subject to high levels of fraud.

Version 4  A tax  on gasoline  used  in small  nonroad engines could be levied.  In a more
rigorous design, the tax could be based on the emissions  of pollutants from the engine.  This
would provide an incentive to use less polluting engines  or equipment.  But determining the
right tax to charge for each piece of equipment and implementing the tax collection would be
difficult.  It is possible that future thoughts on this version may  center  on selling  gasoline  in
cans that only fit in the tanks of certain engines — the only way that the tank can be filled  is
to purchase the appropriate can with the  gas already  in it. This version is an example of a
measure with good theoretical  properties  and poor practical properties.

    5.1.3  Subsidies to Purchase or Produce Lower  Emitting Equipment or to Utilize
                                Alternative Approaches

                                    5.1.3.1  Concepts

The subsidy  approach has many similarities with the fee approach, but there are also some
important differences.  Both subsidies and fees make  the approach favored by a government
agency  relatively less costly when compared to one or more alternative  approaches.  That fee
and subsidy approaches are not symmetrical  can be easily illustrated.   A fee system  cannot
reduce  the cost of the preferred equipment,  while a  subsidy  does  not raise  the  cost of the
equipment the  agency seeks  to  discourage.    As  an example, consider the case  of the
inexpensive department store lawnmower with a low  quality side value engine, that for, say.
$100  will mow a quarter  acre lawn for, say,  seven years.  This  mower is affordable,  and,  if
kept out of the  rain,  it  provides the purchaser with service  that extends beyond  his  time
horizon. But  its emission levels are high due to  its design and the quality of its manufacture.
Ignoring environmental concerns, there is no reason  it needs  to be cleaner to well serve  its
intended market.  In contrast, there is, say, a $300 mower that will last, say,  14 years and

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             205                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

employs an overhead  valve  engine  that has been manufactured to high standards.  It emits
fewer pollutants per acre of lawn mowed. Given these two choices, if the government agency
wishes to reduce the sales of the  cheaper mower, it can introduce an emission potential tax,
raising the effective price (price plus tax)  to a level higher than the better mower.  While a
$200  tax on a $100  lawn mower may be unrealistic,  it serves to make the point that the
consumer would likely choose the better mower, if it costs the same as the  first.  However,
many consumers could not afford  the $300 and might put off purchasing a new mower (using
perhaps  an  older, even dirtier mower), or choose  yet  another  option — such  as a manual
mower or a lawn service.  If, however, the better mower were subsidized by $200, making the
effective price (price minus  subsidy) $100, the choice  would again go to the better mower
(between the two), but more people could  afford it.

There are also other asymmetries  with  regard to subsidies and fees.  If a lawn  service were
subsidized, perhaps through an investment  tax credit, to buy cleaner mowers, it would  reduce
their costs and increase their  profits, other things being equal. On the other hand, a fee would
increase  their costs and reduce their profits.  Subsidies  would keep more firms in business, fees
would push them out.  If fees  and  subsidies were set  at the socially  optimal level, the fee
would lead to  economic efficiency while the subsidy (based on emissions reduced) would keep
in business  firms whose revenues would not cover  their "full social cost" of doing business.
Based on efficiency criteria,  these firms should not survive.

One observation based on the preceding analysis is that fees and subsidies can be targeted at
certain approaches. If lawnmower emissions are to be reduced, subsidies can help by reducing
the cost of cleaner equipment, or even by subsidizing alterations  in landscape design by helping
to pay for native shrubs or rock gardens. Subsidies can put certain options in reach of many
people, while  fees can put other options out of reach.  For example, the effective prices of the
two mowers discussed above could  both be set at $200 with a subsidy  of $100  on the  better
one and  a fee of $100 oh the dirtier one.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             206                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

The major drawback of a policy based on subsidies alone is raising the money to pay for the
subsidy,  A mixed program of fees on some units or activities and subsidies on others can help
to balance the books.  In choosing funding mechanisms, criteria including efficiency, equity,
and administrative  convenience should be weighed.  For example, if two candidate funding
mechanisms  are raising  property  tax and charging a fee on emissions from small nonroad
engines equal to the damages they cause, then the emission fee  is more efficient, the property
tax is easier to administer, and the equity will depend on the circumstances,

                                   5.1.3.2  Examples

Version  1 A subsidy could be given to manufacturers who offer a clean  engine. Under this
system the manufacturers  would receive  a fixed amount  for each engine  sold.  The  firms
receiving the subsidies could use them in different ways.  Some might lower the price of the
product to consumers, while others might keep the subsidy and  somehow alter the mix of
products offered for sale to include more of the subsidized product.  Subsidies to manufacturers
may be  most suited to encouraging the introduction of new technology.  In this case,  the
manufacturer needs some insurance that it will get a return for investing  in new equipment.
It could also  help them decide which models to produce.  If the subsidy makes it possible for
an overhead valve model to be sold more cheaply than a  higher polluting side valve model, the
dirtiest lawnmowers might quickly be eliminated from the market  place.  This subsidy  would
require direct expenditure  of government money, and  may be  an open ended  drain on the
budget since  the government  would be committed  to paying the  subsidy for each unit  sold
without really knowing how many  would be sold.

Version  2 Investment tax credits  may be granted to manufacturers for production  machinery
to  produce new engine  models  that emit  fewer  pollutants.   This  would  encourage  the
production of new engine  models and alter the mix of available engine models for sale.  In
addition, this would possibly  reduce revenue  collections by the government.  But, because the
administrative machinery is already in place, the administrative costs  would not be large.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             207                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE    	December 1992

Version 3 A rebate may be paid by local, state, or federal government to any purchaser who
buys a relatively clean engine model.  The purchaser would mail in a card that came with the
engine and was signed by the dealer that the sale was bona fide.  Some information about the
purchaser may also be requested.  The government agency would then mail the rebate to the
consumer. It may also be possible for the dealer to mail in the rebate form on  behalf of the
purchaser. Such a rebate could be applied in certain markets to encourage  price conscious
consumers to switch away from low priced, high polluting equipment. For example, the side
valve lawnmowers  that discount and department stores carry could be  undersold by cleaner
overhead  valve models if a rebate slightly  larger than the difference in price were offered. The
offer could be for a limited time  only or continued for  as long  as the  agency wished.  The
administrative mechanisms for the rebate are relatively simple. The agency opens its mail and
releases rebates as appropriate.  The major difficulty would be the cost  to the government of
providing the subsidy.  This measure would be most effective with price conscious consumers
at the "low end" of the market.

Version  4  A fee-bate system  could  be  developed that mixes  Version  3 of subsidies  with
Version 2 of taxes.  A target emission level is selected.  A  fee  is charged for every unit of
emission  over the target  level emitted by engines that exceed  the targeted amount while a
rebate is paid for every emission unit under the target achieved by clean engines.  If properly
set, the fees  and rebates  could  net out leaving the program revenue neutral.   This measure
could affect the mix of new equipment sold, resulting in a cleaner mix, but would be difficult
to adapt to previously purchased equipment. It would likely have its greatest effect on the low
end of the market where  purchasers are more price sensitive. The administrative challenges
posed by  a fee-bate are not excessive.

Version  5 A regional  in-use emission reduction  program could  be  developed  based  on the
subsidy concept  These types of programs could be "canned"  State Implementation Plan (SIP)
programs which Air Quality Management Districts (AQMD) could  easily  adopt.  To  reduce
in-use  emission,  consumers  could be  given monetary incentives  or  maintenance warranties

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            208                                     413-14

-------
Jack FaucettAssociates	DO NOT CITE OM QUOTE     	        December 1992

which would encourage  them to take their  used mowers to an  establishment (non-profit
organization, community college, small business repair shop) to have maintenance performed.
The  retrofitting of new technology on in-use engines could also  be subsidized  under this
approach.

         5.1,4  Trading of Emission  Reduction Credits or Emission Allocations

There are two basic forms of emission trading: trading of Emission Reduction Credits (ERC's)
and trading of  emission allocations.  Each will be discussed below and its suitability for use
in reducing the emissions of small nonroad engines will be assessed.

                5.1.4.1  Trading of Emission Reduction Credits  (ERC's)

Before emission trading can take  place, the ownership of the emissions must be established.
There are numerous approaches to this, ranging from grandfathering  existing emission patterns
to holding an auction  in which the  government sells emissions to  create a baseline.  These
approaches  can be used in  either  an ERC trading system or an emission allocations trading
system.

The second step sets the two systems apart.  For ERC's, emission controls must be added, or
specific changes in production schedules  must be  developed and certified, before  an ERC is
granted by the  authorities.  An ERC  shows the size of the reduction  in emissions the  authority
certifies the firm has made  below its emission baseline.  Most of the controversy in  emission
trading deals with the  way  in which baselines are  established  and ERC's  granted.  There arc
many details and many possibilities by which an ERC might be granted when no true  emission
reduction occurs.   Therefore, careful attention is usually paid to the  emission baseline and the
ERC's.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             209                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

Conceptually, the trading  of ERC's  is similar to a fee-bate  system.   The firm seeking to
increase  its emissions must pay extra for  each  unit of  emissions.   A firm  decreasing  its
emissions is rewarded.  A firm keeping its emissions constant has to consider the opportunity
cost of doing so.

The difficulty in adapting emissions trading  to motor vehicle emissions and, even more so, to
small nonroad engines is that each unit (e.g., each lawnmower or automobile) emits such a
small amount of emissions that it is costly to establish a baseline for it and to certify an ERC
for its  emission reduction.   For  this reason, most  attempts  to  include emissions  from
automobiles have focused on fleets  of vehicles.  This concept can also be applied to emissions
from  small nonroad engines.

However, before the owner of a fleet of  lawnmowers can obtain an ERC for lowering fleet
emissions,  he/she must do two things.   First, he/she must  establish his/her emission baseline.
This must conform to any State Implementation Plan (SIP) or Federal  Implement Plan (FIP)
already in existence.  In accepting the baseline,  he/she accepts a limit on his/her emissions per
year (or other time  period) and takes specific actions to measure the emission to be sure they
do not exceed the emission limit. The term "cap" is applied to this limit. The cap can be met
by either reducing the usage of the equipment or its emissions  per unit of work.  In order to
be granted an ERC, the  owner must next determine a way to comply with a  lower cap and
demonstrate to the  authorities that  the approach will work and that  it can be monitored  for
compliance.  Then  the owner can get an ERC for his/her  fleet.

The steps in obtaining an ERC are  difficult  enough that they are not  likely to be applied to a
fleet's emissions unless the fleet's emissions are large enough, or the price per unit for an ERC
is high enough,  to justify the  effort.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             210                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

                         5.1.4.2  Trading Emission  Allocations

The second version of emission trading—trading of emission allocations—differs  from ERC
trading  in an  important  way.   For ERC  trading, an  ERC must be  created by actually
implementing an emission reduction and having the authority certify it.  This is not the case
in trading emission allocations, where the original allocation—not the  certified reduction—is
the commodity traded. This is a less rigorous approach.  It has lower administrative costs, but
also less assurance  that emission limits are met.

An example of trading of emission allocations would begin the same vay as for ERC's—with
the determination of the emission baseline.  Again, fleets of lawnmowers would be an example
of a source that may generate  enough emissions to be worth the effort of documenting the
baseline.  Once the emission allocations are granted, the owner may keep them, sell them, or
buy more. Because he/she  accepted a cap on emissions per time period, he/she would need
to purchase additional allocations if he/she needed  to increase his/her  usage of lawnmowers,
unless a switch to  cleaner equipment is made.   The owner could sell allocations any  time
he/she wanted,  but eventually,  perhaps  by  the  end of the  year, he/she  would have  to
demonstrate that his/her emissions were within his/her allocation.

The trading of allocations need  not be as  closely tied  to  a SIP or FIP.   Some trading of
allocations cross  state lines.  Two examples are the lead in gasoline trading program of the
early  1980's and the acid raid trading  program  established in the  1990 Clean  Air  Act
Amendments.  Both limit the nationwide total of a pollutant and  allocate the total  among the
emitters.  This can be applied to small nonroad equipment by determining a national limit on
the emission potential  of each pollutant of concern (VOC's,  NOX,  and so  forth).   Each
equipment manufacturer  would  be  given a  share  of that  limit.   This baseline could  be
established by  granting each manufacturer  a  share equal to the  percentage of emissions  its
equipment currently emits times the limit, or an auction could be held and equipment producers
bid for the emissions.  A radical approach would be to give the emission certificates to poor
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             211

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

people in heavily polluted areas and allow them to  sell them for whatever price they can get.
The point here is that there  is no limit to the variety of ways to create the initial distribution.
Once the distribution is established,  manufacturers of equipment could trade with each other,
purchasing allocations as they increase sales, or selling as they produce cleaner equipment.

The thrust of this approach is to produce a cleaner selection of new equipment. It would have
little effect on the use or maintenance  of equipment once it is purchased.

         5.1.4.3  Examples: Incorporating  Small Nonroad Engine Emissions  in
                              Emission Trading Programs

Version  1  Emissions from fleets of: small nonroad equipment owned by a single  operator
could be included in a nonattainment area's  SIP allowing the  person owning a fleet to meet
his/her emission limit by purchasing emissions from other sources, including either other small
nonroad  equipment fleets or other emission  source  types, or selling other sources any excess
emission reductions he/she has achieved. One possibility for developing this system is to allow
owners of small nonroad equipment  fleets to "opt  in".  They would  then own the rights  to a
small portion  of the SIP's  emissions.  In  return,  they  would have a cap on  their annual
emissions.  Alternatively, any  operator of  a certain  number of pieces  of small  nonroad
equipment could be required to  have an annual limit and allowed to be involved  in emission
trades to  meet it.   Part of the burden on the fleet  operators would  be  to develop means of
demonstrating that  the limit was met.  Having found a way to demonstrate compliance,  the
means of compliance  could be set.   An  annual  limit could  be met by reducing the hours
equipment was used or switching to  cleaner equipment. If there were a reduction in hours at
firm A, it would have to be  demonstrated that they were not picked up by firm B, unless firm
B also met its limit, possibly by using cleaner equipment.

Version  2 A system for scrapping old small nonroad equipment could be developed along the
lines  of  a program  for  scrapping oid cars  that has been  tested in California.   Owners of

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            212                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

industrial plants that need additional emission reductions to meet their emissions limit buy and
scrap the old car or small nonroad equipment, and take credit for emission reduction.  The
calculation of the amount of emission reduction credited to each piece of equipment or vehicle
scrapped is an important step in this approach.  The emission  rate must be known as well  as
the number of miles (or hours)  that would have been accumulated  in the following  year  or
years for which a credit will  be granted.  It must  also be known how the person selling the
vehicle (or small nonroad equipment) will replace  it.  It may be possible to require the party
purchasing the old  piece of equipment for emission credit to replace it with a new one that is
substantially cleaner.   For the  transaction  to take  place,  the price  of the new piece  of
equipment, plus the amount the buyer would be willing to pay for the old one, would have  to
be less than the amount it would  cost to purchase emission reduction credits from  another
source.  In a tight emissions market where emission limits are very stringent, this price may-
turn out to be very high.

Version 3  An industry-wide  allowable  emission  level could be established, with emission
allowances allocated to manufacturers of small nonroad engines.  The manufacturers  could sell
or buy allowances to cover the emissions of their engines. This program would be conducted
nationwide without reference to regional air pollution  requirements.  Its major purpose would
be to reduce  the engine  industry's costs  of  meeting  a nationwide  emission  average.   This
program is analogous  to the lead in gasoline trading program of the 1980's.

Version 4  A national  interindustry averaging and banking program could be established for
the small nonroad engine industry.   There are several possibilities under this type of program.
An average emissions  standard would be necessary. Emissions  could be averaged across new-
engines, rebuilt or retrofitted (fleet) engines, or both new and fleet engines.  Further, alternative
power source engines  (alternative fuels, electric,  solar, human-powered) could be averaged.

Version 5  In another scenario, a  national manufacturer would buy used  engines from the
public,  then rebuild or retrofit the  engines, thereby  creating  credits.  The credits could  be

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            213                                       413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

averaged into the new engine averaging and banking program (see Version 4), or the engines
could be returned to the original owner, thereby creating credits for sale or trade in the original
local area.

           5.1.5  Influencing the Market for Small Nonroad Engines  Through
                            Increased Consumer  Awareness

                                   5.1.5.1  Concepts

A necessary condition for a competitive (Le., efficient) market place is for persons participating
in the markets  to possess complete information about the products they purchase.  Because
information is costly, this ideal is never fully met.   However, much of the basic information
needed  by  the  consumer  is available.   Persons buying a lawnmower will be  provided the
horsepower, engine type, cutting width, speed, and other information that will help them decide
which will  best meet their mowing needs.  However, consumers  have not been  aware  of the
quantity of emission  emitted by small nonroad engines in general, and lawnmower engines in
particular.  Most people have been surprised when they discover the large magnitude of these
emissions.   Two  kinds of information  would help  lawnmower purchasers  to choose cleaner
alternatives.  They would need to know the impact of lawnmower emissions on the  overall
pollution problem,  and  the  emission  and service characteristics  of alternative  types of
equipment.   This knowledge, by itself, should cause some shifts in demand among pieces of
equipment  with similar prices  and capabilities but with different emission characteristics.
Information may also accentuate the shift in purchaser decisions when prices of equipment are
altered by emissions  fee or subsidy programs.

Two basic  approaches to  disseminating knowledge  are  available.  They are, in most  cases.
complementary. One is to provide information to the public through announcements on radio
and television and ads in  magazines and newspapers.  Some of the ads could state the general
problem—the extent  of emissions  from small nonroad engines. Others could get more specific

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            214                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

and provide a guide to the emission characteristics of various equipment types.  The public
could be informed, for example, that hand-held, 2-stroke engines for hedge trimmers produce
more emissions  per hour than a 4-stroke lawnmower  engine.

The second approach is to inform the buyer about the detailed emissions characteristics of each
piece of equipment available in the market. This can be accomplished by either labelling the
product by requiring that the information appear in the owners manual, or by assuring that the
information is prominently displayed in the sales area. This will allow the consumer to make
pair-wise comparisons between every piece of equipment he/she is considering,  as well as other
equipment  not originally under consideration.

The labelling requirement is most efficient if done on a national scale.  If cities or states  were
to enact labelling requirements, it is likely  that there would be no conformity.  Manufacturers
would have to first be  aware of each  local requirement  and then produce multiple  labels to
meet  each  local  requirement.  Finally, they would have to ensure that the  proper  label is
attached to each piece  of equipment, depending on its destination.  This is more costly and
time consuming  than a  single labelling requirement for all equipment sold nationwide.

In general,  information  that EPA  develops regarding  small nonroad engine emissions  should
be disseminated  to the public in an organized campaign  to assure  that the public is informed
of the emissions  characteristics of small nonroad equipment.  This will have  a minor  impact
by itself that may be measurable  in consumer surveys.   It should also make  consumers and
producers more  responsive to other economic incentives  that may be adopted.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             215                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                   5.1.5.2  Examples

Version 1  A maintenance and spillage education program could be established.  The consumer
education program could teach consumers that many emissions  are released due to spillage
when refueling and vapor releases while the fuel can and engine are stored between uses.  This
information along with methods  for reducing these  losses could result in altered consumer
behavior.  However, evaluating the  impact of an education program is a problem.  A series of
surveys conducted over the life of an educational campaign, starting before the initial release
of information, could be used to trace the changes in consumer knowledge and attitudes.

Version  2  Public information campaigns  can also be used to alert the consumer to the
emissions of a given type of small  nonroad equipment and later  of the  emissions of different
models of that equipment type.  Along  with a labelling program, this  could help to  shift
demand for engines to cleaner models.

Version 3  A Green Labelling program could be established.  Under this option, consumers
would be  able to  evaluate  the "greenness"  of products.   For  small  nonroad engines, the
emissions rates for each pollutant, fuel efficiency, and other relevant data would be inscribed
in a prominent place on the engine.  In order for this to lead to reduced  emissions, consumers
must  have a preference for  environmentally friendly products.  Consumer preference would
need  to  be cultivated.   An  education  program  may  make  this approach more  feasible.
Voluntary compliance  with emission standards  depends on green labelling.

   5.2 ANALYSIS OF MARKET-BASED  EMISSION REDUCTION  STRATEGIES

In this section, strategies  for using  market incentives to help reduce small nonroad emissions
are defined and evaluated.   Each strategy is comprised of a  mix of concepts developed in
Section 5.1  and may also include  elements of a command and control approach. . They will be
compared  to  a straight  command  and  control approach  with respect  to cost-effectiveness,

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            216                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

industry impact, consumer impact, administrative costs and factors, and  limitations  on the
strategy. The command and control scenario used for the sake of comparison is a performance
standard equivalent to the cleanest overhead valve 4-stroke engines currently  produced.

Because small nonroad engines are used in such diverse settings,  different strategies will be
needed  to reach different groups of users in different stages of the emission reduction program.
Some groups may be ignored while some are the emphasis of multiple strategies. The first part
of this section identifies the strategies to be evaluated.  In the process, the factors that affect
the proposed strategy designs are discussed.  These include the various market niches in which
small nonroad equipment  are sold, dynamic considerations  which refer to the stages of the
strategy for introducing cleaner technology,  and practices in which different approaches  may
be helpful in different stages. The various  market strategies are then delineated.  In the  final
part of this  section each strategy is evaluated.  *

    5.2.1  Identification of Market-Based Emission Reduction Strategies Relevant to
                        Emissions From Small Nonroad Engines

The concepts  discussed in Section 5.1 of this report can  be applied to various circumstances.
Some,  such as fees on the emission potential of equipment, are broadly applicable, but not
equally  effective in most circumstances expected  to be encountered.  Others, such as an  ERC
market  for  lawnmower fleets,  may be narrowly applicable  in special  circumstances.   In
determining the strategies, the  settings  must first be spelled  out.  Two aspects of the settings
to be considered in defining strategies  are the market niche and the dynamic  considerations.
These will be discussed in  the  next two parts.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            217                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucetl Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

                                5,2.1,1 Market Niches

Market  niches are defined here as specific relationships between consumers of small nonroad
equipment and its producers.  Five  niches are identified and described in Table 5-2,  Each is
discussed below.

Niche 1 One distinct niche  is the market for low cost lawnmowers sold through discount and
department stores to price conscious consumers  for mowing lawns of modest size. This market
niche is of interest for many reasons.  It accounts for a large portion  of total emissions from
small nonroad engines.   The  low cost mowers  are of cheaper design that produce  more
emissions per unit  of work  than top quality designs.  The consumers  in this niche are price
conscious.  Furthermore, nearly all engines  sold  in this niche are produced  by  two engine
manufacturers: Briggs & Stratton  and Tecumseh.  Ignoring  the emissions  aspect  of these
mowers, they are nonetheless  cost-effective  for meeting the needs of homeowners  with small
lawns.   Alternatives such as  human powered push  mowers and electric  mowers are most viable
in this niche.  This niche will  receive a great deal of attention in deliberations over regulation
of nonroad emissions.

Niche  2  In other market  niches,  the equipment  already produced  may  more easily meet
emission standards,  This may be the case for the "top end" lawnmowers  sold and serviced
through independent dealerships.  These are  4-stroke, overhead  valve  machines built to high
production standards.  They  are sold to consumers more interested in quality than price.  Many
engine  manufacturers  compete in  this market.  The  independent  dealerships selling  these
machines are currently in decline. As they go out of business, the ancillary services they offer
will also be lost, including skilled engine and equipment repairs performed locally with short
turnaround.  Service is an important issue with  respect  to small nonroad emissions, given that
well serviced  machines emit less pollutants  in their later years.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             218                                     413-14

-------
                        TABLE 5-2
         FIVE NICHES IN THE LAWN MOWING EQUIPMENT
                   AND SERVICES MARKET
Niche
Description
Market
Features
    1
Low cost
gasoline-
powered mowers
Price-sensitive
consumers, mass
merchandizers, little
emphasis on service.
         Top end lawn
         mowers, riding
         mowers, and lawn
         tractors
                    Quality-conscious
                    consumers, independent
                    dealers, emphasis
                    on service.
         Lawn equipment
         rental agents
                    Conscious of
                    total cost of
                    purchase and
                    maintenance.
         Providers of
         lawn, park, and
         public grounds
         maintenance
         services
                    Fleets of mowers
                    purchased by single
                    owner.  Cost sensitive
                    for all costs, control
                    over large number of
                    units.
         Entire market
         for lawn
         equipment
                    Producers selling
                    in all parts of
                    market develop
                    equipment specialize
                    for each niche.
                             219

-------
Jack Fauceft Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

Niche 3  Many lawnmowers, for example, are distributed through the rental market. These are
purchased by a firm to be available for rental by the day to homeowners who do not have their
own.  These machine are used intensively,  especially on spring and summer weekends. They
are purchased  by entrepreneurs who consider a bottom  line which depends on the initial price,
the cost of maintenance, and the desirability to renters.  Desirability of the equipment to renters
depends  on the work  it can do in a day relative  to the daily rental  cost.  Renters  are  also
focused on the bottom line. Each unit consumed in Niche 3 produces far more emissions  per
year than its counterpart in Niche 1 or 2.

Niche 4  Perhaps  the most intensively operated  equipment  is used by lawn services  and
government agencies caring for parks and  grounds of public buildings.  This equipment may
be used  up to  seven days a week, and  is most likely maintained  by the  fleet owner.   The
special aspect  of fleet  ownership  is that some of the larger ones in areas with poor air quality
may have the  potential to produce emission reductions large enough and valuable enough to
participate in ERC  markets.

Niche 5  Some market-based strategies and command and control approaches are best applied
across the board. Therefore, one  "niche" is the entire  market  for small  nonroad equipment.

                            5.2.1.2  Dynamic Considerations

Two stages of a program to reduce emissions from small nonroad engines will be considered:
the first is an initial phase in which the public and the producers of equipment and engines are
being prodded to give the program an opportunity and the second is a mature program  in which
the goal  is to  maintain small nonroad emissions at a desired  level once the level is initially
achieved.

Initial Phase   A good  example  of a program attuned  to the initial phase of an emission
reduction program is a subsidy  or  tax credit to manufacturers to develop  new production lines

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            220                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

for the new, cleaner equipment designs.  This would  be especially helpful if the new design
was novel and its acceptability to the public uncertain. The government would share the risk
of the new investment in capital  goods  with the manufacturer.  This program would end once
the new equipment is in place.  On the consumer side,  rebates for the purchase of new, cleaner
equipment would help at the outset to introduce the product to the public.  There may be other
programs more suited to  long term maintenance of emission levels.

Mature Phase Most of the programs discussed below are  designed for the "long haul." They
communicate   the  general  intent of the  government that emissions from  small  nonroad
equipment shall conform to certain limits.  They must be  designed in a way that they can be
sustained for the long haul, both from  the standpoint  of affordability for the government and
viability  in communicating  the proper message to the  public. Also, certain programs that are
aimed at altering the way people do  things will take time  to manifest their full effect.

          5.2.1.3   Delineation of Market-Based  Emission Reduction Strategies

Five strategies, selected based on judgements regarding their practicality, political feasibility,
and economic  properties, are delineated below. One  strategy is  listed for  each niche.

Strategy I  A fee-bate system is the central element  of the strategy offered for Niche 1.  A
fee-bate system can be thought of as  a  general case that includes both fees and subsidies.  At
one extreme, if the fees on equipment with higher emission levels  approach zero, the system
becomes a rebate  system.  If, on the other  hand, rebates approach  zero, the system becomes
a fee system.  A fee-bate  system  will  reduce the affordability of the less costly, high polluting
units  and  cause  consumers  to consider  alternatives  while,  concurrently,   increasing   the
affordability  of the costlier, cleaner  machines.  Lawnmowers  would be  subsidized if their
emissions are below a predetermined  performance standard  and charged a fee if their emissions
exceed it. The fee will be in dollars  per annual emission  unit based on the average time per
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             221                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

year spent mowing a quarter acre  lawn and set high enough so that some cleaner alternatives
will cost less than the "dirty" machines.

Augmenting the fee-bates will be a partial rebate on annual lawnmower tune-ups and retrofits.
In  addition to the  fee-bate and  maintenance subsidy,  Strategy  1 will  include  consumer
information components including an educational  campaign that  encourages the  choice  of
"cleaner"  machines, annual  maintenance  of lawnmowers, and green-labeling.

Strategy  2  Lawnmowers  in market Niche 2 are likely  to more easily meet a performance
based emission standard.  Most of these mowers are manufactured to high standards and have
4-stroke,  overhead valve engines.  There are, however,  many  older units  that will  be kept
running for many  more years.  Also, products in this category are  likely to be price-inelastic
because no substitute technologies, such  as electric  or human powered mowers,  are viable  on
the large  lawns mowed by consumers  in this  niche.  Two steps can be  taken  to  reduce
emissions in Niche 2.  Consumers  can be encouraged to maintain their equipment or to switch
to newer,  cleaner equipment.  Subsidies  on maintenance, coupled with educational  campaign
and product labeling, may help bring modest reductions to emissions in this niche.

Strategy  3  Firms renting  small  nonroad equipment will  be very  price conscious as every
dollar they spend that does  not produce  more than  a dollar in revenues comes out  of  profits.
Also,  a number of pieces of equipment are located  in the same place.  Thus, it is feasible to
periodically test a sample (or all) of the  firm's equipment for emissions and charge a  fee per
unit of emissions over a pre-set level (which  may be zero).  This would provide an incentive
for the rental company to purchase low  emissions equipment and to maintain the equipment
to assure that emissions remain low.  The strength of the incentive  will depend on the size of
the per unit emission fee.  To calculate the total fee,  the emissions per unit is multiplied by the
number of units for each equipment type the firm rents.  Then the sum across  equipment types
is calculated.  Estimates of the emissions per unit will be based on emissions  observed in the
test and the expected annual hours of use of the equipment type. If the fee  is higher than the

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            222                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

cost of purchasing  and maintaining  low emissions  equipment,  the fee will cause most  rental
agents to spend some money in equipment and labor costs to avoid the fee.  Furthermore, the
fee can be equated to the marginal cost of cleanup in other SIP categories.  This program  could
be established  on a regional or local basis, and can also be applied to fleets.

Strategy 4 Lawn service firms and local governments operating fleets of specialized equipment
would be good candidates for inclusion in ERC trading  in jurisdictions where pollution levels
are high and, therefore, the prices of ERCs are also likely to be high.  The specific design of
the trading program would be determined by the jurisdictions.

Strategy 5 Regardless of strategies for specific niches, the EPA may wish to reduce emissions
from  all new small nonroad equipment.  This can be done through the use  of command and
control strategies, such as requiring certain engine designs or setting performance standards for
engine families.  It is also  possible to make engine emission limits even  more flexible by
allowing emissions from individual  engine types to  increase so long as other  engine  types
reduce emissions.   The criterion  for a pair-wise trade would be that the weighted average of
emissions from the two types  is not increased.   The weights could be the  estimated annual
work  performed by engines of the two types. It can be surmised that some trades of emission
rates could result in payments from one firm to another - or that a single producer could alter
emissions characteristics of the various engines  it produces.

Other  elements of a  national strategy  could  be  educational and informational  programs
including public information  campaigns and product labelling.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             223                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December  1992

           5.2.2  Evaluation of Market-Based  Emission Reduction Strategies

In the following discussions, the five strategies delineated above are evaluated  for their cost-
effectiveness, impacts on firms  in the industry, impacts on consumers, administrative factors,
and their limitations.

                5.2.2.1  Strategy 1  - Fee-bates, Education, and Labelling

Strategy 1  was designed for application  in the large market  for inexpensive  lawnmowers  in
which discount stores and national chain stores are important players.  The key element of the
strategy is the fee-bate,  but in this, as in all the other strategies, it is assumed that there  will
be a national educational campaign to inform people of the impact of small nonroad emissions
and a national requirement for product labelling.  In addition, it is assumed that the command
and control alternative to this  strategy  is the requirement that each engine  meet a specific
emission limit set at a level similar  to the emissions  achievable by a good quality 4-stroke,
overhead valve engine.

Cost-effectiveness  in Reducing Emissions

Assuming first that the command and control requirement limiting emissions from each engine
is in place concurrently, the fee-bate can be used to  induce  a greater reduction in  emissions.
A single set  of emissions standards (one for each pollutant) can be  set in terms of emissions
per unit of work.   Fees per unit of emission would be charged  for  the purchase  of any
equipment  with an emission rate higher than the  standard.   A rebate  per unit  of emissions
would be paid to the consumer  who  bought equipment with a lower emission rate.  This  will
provide an incentive to  purchasers to buy cleaner  models and to producers to  promote their
cleaner models or develop lower emitting equipment.  The costs of this strategy would  be the
cost of developing the separate  standard for the fee-bate, collecting the fees, and  processing
the rebates.  There may also be a depletion or surplus of revenues from fee-bate collections and

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            224                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

payments, even if it is designed to be revenue neutral, due to the exact nature of the response.
This is not strictly a cost,  but a  revenue  transfer.  If the program induces a response from
producers  to  modify  their  engine  or equipment design, there will  be  costs for product
development and production of the  new equipment that may increase the price.  The size of
the price increase under these circumstances is expected to be less than the reduction of the fee
due to the  reduced emissions.  Overall, there will be small additional decreases in emissions
to be compared to the costs of establishing  the fee-bate  program.  The  size of the emission
reductions will depend on the setting of the emission standards, the setting of the fee for excess
emissions,  and the rebate for excess  reductions.  The major costs under this alternative are the
costs to the producers of meeting the command and control requirements.  This alternative does
nothing to  reduce  the command and control costs, but it does obtain additional reductions at
relatively low costs.

The second alternative for this strategy is to institute fee-bates in place of the command and
control approach.  The fee-bate would again encourage consumers to purchase cleaner models,
inducing a reduction in  the emission  characteristics of the equipment  offered for sale.  The
magnitude  of the decrease in emissions will depend on the size of the fees and rebates as well
as the nature of the consumers' price and cross-price elasticities of demand.  It is expected that
these consumers would evidence a highly  elastic price elasticity of demand and would be quite
willing to switch to equipment with similar operating characteristics but lower emissions based
on  changes  in  relative prices.  Yet, because these same  consumers can be expected to also
evidence high income  elasticity of demand, they will be sensitive to absolute increases in the
price and reduce their purchases of lawnmowers unless  the fee-bate system provides at least
one viable choice at the same price level for which they can currently buy a lawnmower. This
viable  choice may prove to be the purchase  of an electric model, unless  the cost of 4-stroke,
overhead lawnmowers is substantially reduced by high  rebates or by mass production and
competition.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            225                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	December 1992

The performance of this alternative depends greatly on the choice of an emission standard, and
the levels  at which the rebates and fees are set.  If the rebate or fee makes  the  4-stroke,
overhead valve engine less costly  to the consumer than dirtier alternatives,  the dirtier engines
could be totally  eliminated.   The  costs of this could be minor if the  response was to stop
producing dirty machines and to increase production of cleaner ones. However, producers may
also decide to produce  new, cleaner models.  If so it is expected that they will  use  the most
cost-effective approach  to reducing the emissions characteristics. The  costs will be lower than
the command and control approach.

Industry Impact

The major  industry impact will be due to the requirement to  reduce emissions from the lowest
cost lawnmowers.  Whether done by command and control  or by  hefty fees and rebates, the
chief product of two  major firms  in this industry will essentially be eliminated.  These large
and powerful firms can be expected, if regulations are enacted, to introduce substitute  products
suitable to  the new regulatory environment.   However, they  will no longer be able  to produce
a lawnmower engine  that is much more  inexpensive than  other designs. The market niche in
which they now  operate will blend in with the up-scale market.   Consumers will  be price
sensitive, but there will be smaller  differentials in the costs of lawnmowers.  Firms that already
produce and market lawnmowers  that  are close to meeting a standard  will have an increased
role supplying the low end of the  market.  The overall level of sales in this market niche will
depend  on  the  effective price of conforming lawnmowers once the adjustment for a fee  or
rebate is accounted for.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             226                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

Consumer Impacts

Consumers, as opposed to tax-payers, could benefit from the fee-bate, especially if it is skewed
toward rebates.  They would likely get a good quality,  4-stroke, overhead valve iawnmower
for about the same price they once would have paid for a lower quality machine.  However,
if the fee-bate  is  skewed toward  fees, the  consumer would be adversely  affected, because
he/she would have to pay more for a Iawnmower than he/she once did.  The higher initial cost
would to some extent be offset by the enhanced quality and longevity of the improved engines.

Administrative  Factors

There will be additional program costs for running a fee-bate program.  But in some versions,
these costs will be offset by the reduced costs of not running a command and control program.
There is  nothing about either the fee-bate or the command and control program that has not
been done before.

One administrative  benefit  of the  fee-bate  is  that  it  can  be  implemented  at  various
administrative levels.  The federal government  could  run it or it can be administered  locally
in specific non-attainment regions where the reductions  from small nonroad engines are most
needed.

Strategy  Limitations

The chief limiting  factor in using fee-bates is that the elasticities of demand are not well  known
for specific groups of consumers.  Hence, it would be necessary to set fees and rebates based
on best guesses and then adjust them over time. The adjustment process could  be  expensive
as it creates an unstable decision environment for firms making production decisions.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            227                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

                    5.2.2.2  Strategy 2 - Subsidies for Maintenance

The  strategy of subsidizing  maintenance of lawnmowers  was designed to apply to riding
mowers and lawn tractors.  The market for these machines is more price inelastic than for low
cost  walk behind mowers.  They are  also likely to already employ cleaner engines, but even
if they do not, the introduction of cleaner engines  will have only a small impact on their price
because the costs of the rest  of the machine are substantial.  In addition, these machines are
operated for many years.  It was therefore considered that a program to encourage owners of
these machines to keep them  tuned  for low emissions would do the most to reduce  emissions
in this category.  Designated  shops, most likely small businesses, would be certified  for low
emission tune-ups and the costs of  these tune-ups would  be subsidized.  At the same time, a
national educational campaign would  keep owners of the  mowers informed of the importance
of reducing emissions,

While  strategy  2 was designed for  the high-end  market,  increased maintenance  can result in
significant emission reductions for low-end equipment as well.  The shops offering subsidized
maintenance need not be limited to servicing high-end equipment.  They could also service
low-end equipment  at low cost to the consumer.   Because low-end consumers are more price
sensitive than high-end consumers and because the large outlets selling low-end equipment do
not provide fast service, low-end consumers are likely to respond to the subsidized maintenance
program.

Cost-effectiveness  in Reducing Emission

Emission  tune-ups should be  done annually or, in some cases, more frequently. The tune-ups
can reduce  emissions by  assuring  that the  equipment's  engine  operates efficiently.   Total
emission reductions due to the program will depend on the number of tune-ups performed and
actions  that would  have been taken  by  the owners  in the absence of the program.  Many
owners already maintain their equipment.  To the extent that these owners utilize this program.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            228                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

there  will be little effect because they were maintaining their equipment in the first place.  If
engines that ordinarily  would have been neglected are maintained under this program, it will
reduce emissions.  The  cost-effectiveness of subsidizing maintenance of engines that would not
otherwise have been maintained depends on the cost of subsidy per unit of emission reduction.
The program  is judged cost-effective if its cost-effectiveness ratio is equal to or better than
other  viable alternatives (such as reducing  emissions at a factory or from automobiles).  Since
tuneups may cost $50  to  $100, then  to meet  the average cost-effectiveness  ratio  of $2100 to
$6600 per ion of VOC's,  representative  of  the range  of cost-effectiveness  for Reasonable
Available Control  Technologies (RACT)64 and Enhanced  Inspection  and  Maintenance  for
automobiles, an annual tuneup would have to reduce  emissions by 22 to 75 pounds.

It is also possible  for the  authorities to induce the consumer to get a $50 to $100  tuneup with
subsidies  in the $5 to $10 range.   While smaller subsidies will result in fewer tuneups,  each
additional tuneup actually performed will have a cost-effectiveness ratio about ten times higher.
A 2.2 to 7.5 pound reduction in VOC's per annual tuneup would then make the program cost-
effective.

Industry  impact

The impact  of this strategy on industry will be  moderate.  This strategy will help keep repair
shops open.  To the extent  that this happens,  and in conjunction with  publicity, reductions of
emissions from  existing lawnmowers, for  example, can be obtained.  Should  the availability
of repair shops decline, emissions  from existing small nonroad engines could increase.   This
strategy can help preserve the ability to keep  engines  operating cleanly.
    "Office of Technology Assessment, "Catching Our Breath, New Steps for Reducing Urban Ozone",
OTA-0-412, July 1989.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            229                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Consumer Impact

The impact of this strategy on consumers  will be moderate.  Consumers would benefit from
continued availability of repair shops and save a small amount of maintenance costs each year.
Because this is a voluntary program for consumers, any consumer who continues to use it has
judged  himself to be better off.

Administrative Factors

This program can be established at any jurisdictional level. It would most likely be established
in suburban areas.  There is no reason that it must be limited to upscale, large mowers.

Strategy Limitations

The primary limitation  on this strategy is the availability of funds for the subsidy.   It could,
however, be introduced as part of a package that includes measures that generate revenues.

   5.2.2.3  Strategy 3 - Emission Fees for Estimated Annual Emissions  from Fleets of
                                     Rental Mowers

The rental  market is one opportunity to apply an emission fee on actual emissions.   This fee
will provide  incentives  to the providers of rental equipment to purchase clean equipment and
to keep them maintained.   It also  sends  price  signals  to  the renters of the equipment  to
encourage them to use  the cleanest equipment that will do the job.

The fee is  assessed by  measuring the emissions of representative samples of the rental stock
and applying a fee on them based on the hours of usage.  Equipment rentals are a viable place
for assessing fees because large amounts of small nonroad equipment are housed in one place.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             230                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December  1992

Portable measuring devices can be taken to the center once or twice a year.  The emission fee
can be charged whether or not a command and control program is in place.

Cost-effectiveness in Reducing Emissions

If a command  and  control program is in place,  the  emission fee would still  encourage
equipment rental agents to pick and choose based on emissions when selecting their stock each
year.   They  are  constantly seeking to  renew their stocks of equipment and would have an
incentive  to  choose  the cleanest  even when the choice  is among units that  have met the
emission standard. Therefore, there will be a moderate  effect to induce the manufacturers to
develop cleaner technology for the rental market.  These emission reductions will be less  than
those achieved by command and control programs, but they will be in addition to the emissions
reductions from command and control.  The costs will be the costs to the enforcement agency
of visiting rental agents and measuring their emissions.   Since  a small amount of time spent
in this activity can result in a substantially  cleaner rental  fleet, the cost-effectiveness  will be
high.

If the emission  fee on rentals goes into effect in the absence  of the command and control
measure, the potential for emission reductions due to the emission fee is larger.  If only the
rental market were given these incentives, the effect on overall  production would be relatively
small due to  the relatively  small impact of the rental market by itself. But in conjunction with
other measures discussed  here for application  in other market niches, and given sufficiently
large emission fees, an economic incentive package  could bring about  as large an emission
decrease as  command  and control, but at  smaller cost because of additional options  for
achieving it,  such as  improved maintenance of equipment, altered  choices of equipment,  and
altered usage rates of existing equipment.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             231                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

Industry Impact

The impact on  the equipment rental industry would  be  small  as long  as it is not the only
market  facing increased costs.  It will  be in  a position to minimize the costs it bears by its
choices of equipment and maintenance schedules.

Consumer Impact

The impact on consumers will be small.  Most consumers  rent equipment only for special jobs
and they will often have a choice  to  rent clean equipment for which there is little or  no
emission fee.

Administrative Factors

This program  can be  applied  at any administrative level.   It will  be most attractive  in
nonattainment areas.  An enforcement unit that measures  emissions and  assesses and collects
the fees will  have to be established.  The testing equipment  will have  to be  in a mobile unit.

Administrative costs can be reduced by relying on a database based on data from a certification
program in which manufacturers submit new and in-use emission ratings rather than testing.
However,  if this  is done, the incentive  to  the  rental  agency to conduct a high  quality
maintenance  program is lost.

Strategy Limitations

Although this strategy  has good theoretical properties, its  application is limited to sites where
there are enough pieces of equipment in one place  to justify sending a mobile emission testing
unit.  It does not have to  be limited to rental fleets.  It can be applied to all fleets maintained
in a common location.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             232                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

        5.2.2.4  Strategy 4 - Emission  Trading Using Fleet Emission Reductions

Emission  trading is another approach with optimal  properties that cannot easily be applied to
all emissions from small nonroad engines.  For example, an individual home owner cannot  be
expected  to  have an  emission permit  for emissions from his/her small nonroad  engines.
However, emission trading can be applied  to fleets  of small nonroad equipment such as lawn
services, golf course maintenance, and park and public grounds maintenance.  The concept of
fleets can also be expanded to include any action to reduce emissions in small nonroad engines
by a central  party who bears the expense  and responsibility for  maintaining  lower emission
levels.  The  emission  trading  would take  place at the  local level  and  would be established
through an emission trading  program written into a State Implementation Plan (SIP).

An example  of emission  reductions in a fleet using the expanded concept of a fleet, is the
Cooperative  Research  and Development Agreement  with EPA  in which  the electric utility
industry is giving home owners electric lawnmowers in exchange  for their internal combustion
models.   Conceptually,  this  program has  similarities  with the  old  automobile purchasing
program conducted  in Los Angeles.  Both programs  could be  viable  sources of emission
reduction  credits if documentation of the emission reductions resulting from the programs can
be produced,  and it can be demonstrated that the emission credits are either permanent or good
for a designated time period.   The major difficulty is that specific  emission limits are not in
place  on the  households operating the equipment in the first place.  The  difficulties in setting
up an emission trade based on this can be  resolved.

Cost-effectiveness in  Reducing Emissions

Emission  trading will be very cost-effective in that  whatever emission controls were used for
an emission reduction credit to be sold in the market will have been  created  more cheaply than
the alternative emission reductions the other source would have  had to install. This follows
from the concept of a voluntary trade in  which both parties must  profit.   The sources creating

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            233                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates             DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                   December 1992

the credit would  sell  it only if the  price it received  was more than the cost of creating  and
maintaining the control.

Industry  Impact

Impacts of emission trades on fleet owners  would be positive.  Because  emission  trades are
voluntary, any trade should  improve the well-being of both parties.

The  only exception to  this  conclusion  is if the  fleet were  written into  a SIP and  given  a
stringent emission limit that  it would not  otherwise have had to meet.  This is not a cost of
emission trading  but of a more stringent requirement put  in place prior to emission  trading.
However, such strategies are sometimes linked with emission trading. An example is the South
Coast Air Quality Management District's  emission trading program called RECLAIM.  Even
so, the fleet would have great flexibility in meeting the standard.

Consumer Impact

Impacts on consumers would be small but positive. Each consumer of the fleet services would
absorb a small fraction  of any net benefits.

Administrative  Factors

There are a number of administrative chores to be done in establishing a SIP.  The  chief of
these is the documentation of emission limits for  each source.  This will be accomplished for
many sources through Title V, Permits, of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990.  However,
many sources using small nonroad equipment are not covered  by  Title  V.   These  include
homeowners  and firms  whose largest source of emissions is not  large  enough to trigger the
reporting requirements of Title V.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            234                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates^	DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE	  December 1992

If a iocal agency developing a SIP wishes to include smaller sources they may, but there will
be  the added cost of documenting the emissions  of every small source in the added  SIP
category.   Alternatively,  a SIP can address  a class of emissions,  such as emissions from
charcoal  lighter fluid.  If emissions  from small nonroad engines are documented in this way,
any reduction in the emissions that  can also be documented  and enforced may be used in an
emission trade.

The initial  inception  of expanded source documentation  will  be costly,  but  incremental
additions to it will not be  as costly once the administrative mechanisms have been established.

Strategy Limitations

While  emission trading  will  be cost-effective,  from the participants'  point of view, initial
administrative costs will be high.  Also, including emissions  from  small nonroad engines in a
SIP for emission trading can only  be done where an emission trading program  is established.
However, in such areas as the South Coast Air Quality Management District, or any other area
for  which  emission trading programs  are  weii  developed,  the inclusion of small nonroad
emissions should be carefully considered.

                   5.2.2.5  Strategy  5 - Flexible Emission Standards

A possible  command  and control approach to reductions  of emissions from small nonroad
engines is  to limit the emission  rates for individual  engines.   This approach  reduces  the
emissions in all new engines subject to it and may also reduce in-use emissions  of the engines
over time if newer engine  designs  are able  to continue  to  run cleaner than older designs.
Limits on the engines' emission rates can be made more flexible by allowing engine types to
increase emission  rates over their  initial rate so long as other engine types  reduce emissions
by  a larger  amount.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             235                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

The program can be established in many forms.  Design parameters include whether:

       1)     Engine types can be traded against each other, that is, whether 2-stroke can trade
              against 4-stroke,  5 horsepower can trade against 25 horsepower, or gasoline can
              trade against diesel;

       2)     Trading is limited to intra-firm trades to maintain a corporate average or inter-
              firm trades are allowed;

       3)     Averages  have to be maintained  within geographic  regions or nationwide:

       4)     One pollutant or several pollutants are included in the averaging;

       5)     Averaging is fay expected  sales, expected hours of use, or expected  engine
              production; and

       6)     Compliance with the average is based on actual sales, production, or use, or only
              on a weighted average  based  on  expected  sales, production,  or use.

For example,  the criterion for  a  pair-wise  trade could be that  the use-weighted average of
emissions from the two  types is not increased.  The use-weights could be the estimated work
done by  engines of the two types  annually.  Inter-firm trades of emission rates could result in
payments from one firm  to another while a single producer could alter emissions characteristics
of the  various engines it produced.

Cost-Effectiveness  in Reducing  Emissions

This program will be very cost effective,  if designed properly.  The emission reductions are
created by basic design changes in engines.  The averaging program will relax the requirements

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            236                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

on engines that are difficult to bring into compliance.   It will allow continued sales of some
equipment that could not have been sold if each engine had to meet the initial emission rate.
At the same time it will lower the overall cost of reducing  national emissions from small
nonroad  engines  to  designated  levels.  It  will also provide  incentives for manufacturers to
continue improving emission controls on all their engines as their reward will be that they may
sell more units if each unit is, on  average, cleaner.

Critical criteria for program design are as  follows:

       *       Specific pollutants should  be averaged.  For  example, reduced emissions of
              VOC's from one engine family are averaged with the increased VOC emissions
              from another.   If an  electric engine  is included in the average,  it  would be
              assigned an emission  level of either zero, or an amount calculated as its share
              of  that emission emitted during  generation. If electric  powered  equipment is
              included in the  average,  then its emissions should be included in the weightings
              in exactly  the same way as gasoline or diesel engine emissions.

       «       The averaging should be weighted in such a  way that the expected annual
              emissions   are  not changed by the averaging.   This  protects against  the
              averaging  resulting  in increased emissions.  It also encourages greater emission
              reductions from dirtier engines because the cleaner  they are the more of them
              can be sold.

       •       The  widest possible  set  of engine  families  should  be  included in  the
              averaging  system.   This  will,  for example,  permit  trading  for a specific
              pollutant  between handheld  2-stroke engines in hedge  trimmers  and 4-stroke
              engines used in lawnmowers. A broad based emission averaging  program will
              allow  improvements in  4-stroke  emission  control  technologies  to be used to
              offset short-comings in 2-stroke design, allowing 2-stroke engines to be used for

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            237                                    413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                    December 1992

              special purposes where they  are especially well suited.  The averaging would
              still encourage  improvements in emission control  in 2-stroke  engines  because
              such improvements would reduce the burden on 4-stroke emission controls and
              because the number of 2-stroke engines that  could  be sold and used will  be
              greater the cleaner 2-stroke engines are.

       •      Limits on the weighted averages of pollutants across engine types should  be
              met within designated regions such as air quality control districts.  This will
              ensure that large quantities of dirtier engines do not end up where they are least
              welcome.  The  issue is less critical in attainment areas.

Industry Impact

Emission averaging  should  reduce  the cost  to producers of small nonroad engines relative to
the command and control approach.  The broader the averaging  rule, the greater  the savings
will be.  The original emission limits will  be modified for engines  that are most  difficult to
bring into compliance.

The averaging program  will encourage industry to engage in a long run emission reduction
research and development program.  In the short run, it will alter the production mix, favoring
cleaner engines.

Consumer Impact

Cost to consumers will be lower than under  the command and control measures with the same
emission reductions.  Consumers will find that dirty engines  are still available that would not
have been available under the command and control measures used for comparison.  These
engines will  be more costly than they would in the absence of any regulatory action due to
scarcity and to a possible manufacturer's markup to compensate  for the emissions reductions

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency             238                                     413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

on  other models that made it possible for the dirty engine to be available.  Under command
and control these engines would not be available unless major technological breakthroughs had
occurred.

Consumers will also find that, relative to command and control, there are more  of the cleaner
engines at a lower price.   This  is because  the  cost of their improved emissions controls  is
partially compensated  for by the reduced costs of cleaning the dirtier engines.

Administrative Factors

There are no difficult  administrative factors associated with the emission averaging  program.
All aspects  of this  strategy  have been conducted before under various programs  for auto
emission reductions.

Historical data will have to be collected on sales and expected use levels of each engine type,
each engine type will have to be tested to determine its emissions, in-use data will have to be
collected, and  company  production  records  will  have  to be  examined to  demonstrate
compliance.  Most or all of these things are being done already.  They are low  cost activities
compared to  the savings in compliance costs to manufacturers and the increase  in the variety
of engine types available  to consumers relative to the case  if a strict command and control
approach were adopted  instead.

Strategy Limitations

This strategy can  best be done at a national level.  While it may be  possible for a State such
as California, to  insist  on an emission average  within  the  State, matters  would be greatly
simplified if averages  were computed at a national  level.  Manufacturers  could then devote
their attentions to designing engines that conform to the  average.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            239                                      413-14

-------
Jack Faucett Associates              DO NOT CITE OR QUOTE                     December 1992

                               5.3  SECTION SUMMARY

Chapter 5 examines the issues involved in applying market-based emission reduction strategies
to emissions from small nonroad engines.   It has two  major sections.  In Section  5.1 the
categories of market mechanisms are described. This section includes a background discussion
illustrating the range of market mechanisms and placing  them in a continuum with command
and control  measures. It also includes a discussion of cost-effectiveness, a criterion used later
to assess  alternative market mechanisms,  describing what  cost-effectiveness  is  and  how  it
differs from alternative criteria such as cost-benefit.   It then discusses four  market-based
strategies, assessing their conceptual properties and their applicability to reducing emissions
from small nonroad engines.  The strategies discussed are:  emission fees, emission subsidies,
emission trading,  and public awareness  programs.

Section 5.2 then develops five specific strategies to  be applied in specific market niches.  These
are then evaluated with respect to  their cost-effectiveness,  impact on  the affected  industry,
impact on consumers, administrative factors, and strategy limitations.  The strategies are fee-
bates  on low-end  equipment sold in mass  markets, maintenance  subsidies,  emission fees  on
fleets of nonroad equipment,  emission  trading for emissions from fleets, and averaging of
emission  standards.   Each of the  strategies  discussed  can be useful  when  applied  in  an
appropriate  circumstance.  They may  also be combined in a package.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency            240                                      413-14

-------
                                     APPENDIX A
                        POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH (PSR)

Since sales data are not readily available from manufacturers, industry  associations, product
literature, or  other public sources, the  principal source of such data has been Power Systems
Research  (PSR).   PSR  has  developed  various  databases  which  provide  information to
organizations  in  the  power equipment  industry.   These organizations  include engine  and
component manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers (OEM's), government  agencies,
and financial institutions.

PSR's EnginData North America database (EnginDatd) is the most complete compendium of
sales  statistics for engines  produced in the U.S.  or marketed  in the U.S.  by  foreign
manufacturers.  In that database, sales refers to the delivery of North American-produced or
imported loose engines to an OEM, either through a distributor or factory-direct channels, or
the delivery of a piece of equipment containing a North American-produced captive  engine to
the distributor, or the  delivery of a  packaged or retrofitted  engine by  a North American
distributor to the user.  Note that this definition of "sales" included exports of North American-
produced loose engines and excludes  imports of equipment  with installed engines (such as
Deutz agricultural tractors or  Yanmar garden tractors).  To identify the engine's country of
origin, EnginData has  a country code as one of its fields.

Sales  of engines are organized into 99 distinct engine applications (or equipment types) and
11 market segments (similar to EPA's equipment categories). In all, data on over 2,050 engine
models  produced  by more than 120 manufacturers  located in over 20  countries  is contained in
the database.  The basis for PSR's sales information is through continous contact with original
equipment manufacturers (OEM's) who provide PSR with annual engine installations.  From
product literature, PSR  identifies which  engines  go in which equipment types, and  hence
estimates annual engine sales  at the national level.
                                         A-l

-------
ENGINE MANUFACTURER/SALES ORGANIZATION & COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

AE
AJ
AC
AM
AR
AU
GB
BL
BE
BW
BR
BC
CS
CT
CM
cc
CH
CY
CL
ACME
AJAX
ALUS-CHALMERS
AMC
ARROW SPEC
AUSTIN-ROVER
BEDFORD/AWD
BELARUS
BELL
BMW
BRIGGS&STRAN
BUICK/OLDS/CAD
CASE
CAT
CAT-MITSUBISHI
CHEV/PONT/CAN
CHINA DIESEL
CHRYSLER
CLINTON
IT
US
JP
US
us
JP
us
UK
UK
UR
US
AT
GE
JP
US
us
GE
US
BL
US
JP
CN
MX
US
CH
MX
US
US
ITALY
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNPTED STATES
UNfTED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED KINGDOM
USSR
UNITED STATES
AUSTRIA
GERMANY
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
GERMANY
UNITED STATES
BELGIUM
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
CANADA
MEXICO
UNITED STATES
CHINA
MEXICO
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
:
•&$tH&*v>ss>X<:!$($$ •
:::::$j^v^^ "
CB
CO
CU
CR
CUS
CN
j
1
DM
DC
DE
DT
DZ
Dl
DV
DO
FM
f
FA
Fl
FOR
COLUMBIA
CONS DIESEL
CUMMINS
CUMMINS GAS
CUSHMAN
CUYUNA
DAIHATSU MTR
DECO-GRAND
DEERE
DET DIESEL
DEUTZ
DINA MOTORES
DIVERSIFIED
DORMAN
FAIR8NKS-MOR
FARYMANN
FIAT
FORCE
US
us
IN
MX
UK
US
IN
US
US
US
JP
US
FR
US
us
CN
FR
GE
IT
MX
JP
UK
MX
US
GE
IT
US
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
INDIA
MEXICO
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED STATES
INDIA
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
FRANCE
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
CANADA
FRANCE
GERMANY
ITALY
MEXICO
JAPAN
UNITED KINGDOM
MEXICO
UNITED STATES
(
GERMANY
ITALY
J
UNITED STATES
                                   A-2

-------
ENGINE MANUFACTURER/SALES ORGANIZATION & COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

FO
FU
GE
GM
HL
HA
HE
HI
HM
HN
HY
!(
1L
IDC
IS
IV
JA
JO
KA
KI
FORD
FUJI HVY INO
GEMINI
GM-BRAZIL
GM-HOLDEN LTD.
HATZ
HERCULES
HINO
HOMELITE
HONDA
HYUNDAI MOTOR


ILO
INERTIA DYNAMIC
(SU2U
IVECO
JACOOSEN
JEN8ACH
KAWASAKI
KIORITZ
BZ
CN
GE
rr
MX
SP
UK
us
JP
us
BZ
AU
GE
US
JP
us
JP
us
KR
JP
GE
US
JP
IT
US
AT
JP
JP
BRAZIL
CANADA
GERMANY
fTALY
MEXICO
SPAIN
UNITED KINGDOM
UNfTEO STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
BRAZIL
AUSTRALIA
GERMANY
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
KOREA
JAPAN
GERMANY
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
ITALY
UNITED STATES
AUSTRIA
JAPAN
JAPAN











l»9*p|
•&-:^>»x-wi
KL
KH
KM
KZ
KU
LA
LAW
LE
LP
LO
MA
MN
MZ
MC
MD
MEM
MB
ME
MH
MM
MI
MT
^A^^:^^
KIRLOSKAR
KOHLER
KOMATSU
IN
MX
US
JP
KOMATSU-ZENOAH JP
KU8OTA
LAMBORGHINI
LAWN-BOY
LEYLAND
LISTER-PETTER
LOM8ARDINI
MACK
MAN
MAZDA
MCCULLOCH
MEDALIST MTR
MEMO
MERCEDES ONZ
JP
IT
US
UK
UK
IT
US
GE
JP
US
US
YG
OZ
GE
SP
MERCURY MARINE US
MH!
MINN-MOLINE
MIT MOTORS
MTU
JP
US
JP
GE
INDIA
MEXICO
UNfTED STATES
JAPAN
JAPAN
JAPAN
ITALY
UNITED STATES
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED KINGDOM
ITALY
UNITED STATES
GERMANY
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
YUGOSLAVIA
BRAZIL
GERMANY
SPAIN
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
GERMANY
                                 A-3

-------
ENGINE MANUFACTURER/SALES ORGANIZATION & COUNTRY OF ORIGIN
v§j2*!W*"J3£"iS^Xv!^ ;
MU
MW
NV
NW
Nl
NM
OM
ON
PE
PK
PN
PB
PS
RE
RO
RU
SA
SM
SAT
SC
SP
MURPHY
MWM
NAVISTAR
NEWTON ENG
NISSAN DIESEL
NISSAN MOTOR
OMC
ONAN
PERI
PERKINS
POULAN
POWER BEE
PSA
RENAULT
ROTAX
RUGGERINI
SACM
SAME
SATURN
SCANIA
SHINOAIWA
US
BZ
GE
SP
US
GE
SI
JP
JP
US
us
us
CH
JP
UK
US
US
FR
FR
GE
AT
IT
FR
IT
US
SW
JP
UNITED STATES
BRAZIL
GERMANY
SPAIN
UNITED STATES
GERMANY
SINGAPORE
JAPAN
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
CHINA
JAPAN
UNITED KINGDOM
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
FRANCE
FRANCE
GERMANY
AUSTRIA
ITALY
FRANCE
ITALY
UNITED STATES
SWEDEN
JAPAN
•
SL
ST
SI
SU
SZ
TE
TC
TW
TY
TO
US
UE
VM
VW
W
WK
WA
YM
YN

SLANZI
STEWART&STEV
STIHL
SUPERIOR
SUZUKI
TECUMSEH
TELEDYN CONT
TELEDYN-WISC
TOYO-SHA
TOYOTA
U.S. STEEL
US ENGINES
VM
VOLKSWAGEN
VOLVO
W ACKER
WAUKESHA
YAMAHA
YANMAR
jjj
'*-!-*'A-X&&
rr
us
us
us
JP
us
FR
US
IT
JP
US
JP
JP
US
us
us
IT
BZ
GE
SW
GE
SW
US
JP
JP

ITALY
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
FRANCE
UNITED STATES
ITALY
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
JAPAN
JAPAN
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
UNITED STATES
ITALY
BRAZIL
GERMANY
SWEDEN
GERMANY
SWEDEN
UNITED STATES
JAPAN j
JAPAN

                                   A-4

-------
     APPENDIX
Relationship Between GDP
and 4-Digit SIC Industries

-------
 o
 Q
 o 20000
 CO
 •+->
 c
 0)

•E
 Q.


 CO
 0)
        0

1958
                        GDP and SIC code 3531
                    1958-1986 (in Constant 1982 dollars)
~i  i  i  i—i—r
1964


                         •V
                                                               -3500
                                                               h3000  o
~Tiiiiir
                                                                4000
                                                       CO

                                                       (C
                                                -2500
                     G9,
                     Q.
                     Q
                     O
                                                               -2000
                                                         500
                               1 970
                           1 976
    1982
                                   Year
                         GDP
                         SIC code 3531

-------
4500
4000-
=  3500-

Q

o  3000H
2500
9-
!c

*+—
o

0)
_
2000-



1500



1000



 500



   0
                   GDP and Selected industries

                 1958-1986 (in Constant 1982 dollars)
                                                 rsj
    1958
                  i  T—i—r	i—i	i —f—r—r

                  1964        1970
                                      1976
1982
                                                               4000
                                                            3500
                                                                  CO
                                                               3000  o

                                                                     c
                                                                     g


                                                                     S
                                                            [-2500
                                                                  O
                                                            -2000
                                                             1500
                               Year
            i- GDP
                                SIC code 3537 -^- SIC code 3546

-------
8000
C/)
•*-•
C.

£
9-
lc
CO
o
0)
J3

>
7000
6000
5000
4000-
3000
2000
1000
                   GDP and Selected Industries
                 1958-1986 (in Constant 1982 dollars)
    1958
                              1970
1—r  r	i  r
  1976
                                                                4000
                                                             3500
                         3000 o
                              c
                              g
                              m
                         2500 ^
                              O
                              0
                                                            -2000
1982
                                                                1500
                               Year
      GDP
                         SIC code 3561  -^- SIC code 3563
                SC code 3621

-------
3500
3000
     o
     Q
     c
     o
     C/5
w    *£
     Q)
     E  1500
     Q.
     JC
     CO
     *B  1000
     CD
     _I3
     03
   0
1958
                    GDP and Selected Industries
                  1 958-1 986 (in Constant 1 982 dollars)
                                                         ,1
                                                     i
                                                       7
T r"T
 1964
                                 _( r
                            1970
"I  l~"l	 " i '"V
  1976
                                                           1982
                                Year
                                                                       4000
                                                               3500
                                                               3000
                                                               2500
                                                                 C/)
                                                                J5

                                                                Q
                                                                 c
                                                                 g

                                                                m
                                                                     Q
                                                                     O
                                                               2000
        i- GDP
                              SIC code 3751
                                                      SIC code 3799

-------
        APPENDIX C
Technology Penetration Rates By
   Equipment and Fuel Type
            L-'

-------
Key to technology  codes in the tables;

              Cooling



              Cycle


              F_dist - Fuel Delivery System1



              Vlv-enf -  Valve  Configuration
A - Air-cooled
O - Oil-cooled
W - Water-cooled

2 -  2-strokes
4 -  4-strokes

C - Carbureted
D - Direct Injection (Diesel)
I - Indirect Injection (Diesel)

C - Overhead Cam  (single)
R - Reed Valve
S -  Side Valve
V - Overhead Valve (OHV)
Note that percent in tables reflect either the percent of gasoline sales (GASOLINE TABLES)
or the  percent of diesel sales (DIESEL TABLES).
    'For some types an H may appear under F_dist, This is an input error in Engine Data which actually
should be an I,
                                        C-l

-------
                                    TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT



                                                            GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                       %82
                                               %83
                                                       %84
                                                               %85
                                                                       % 86
                                                                               %87
                                                                                       % 88
                                                                                               % 89
                                                                                                       %90
CHAIN SAWS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
CHIPPERS/GRINDERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_enf

COMM TURF
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vi¥_enf


FRONT MOWERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

LEAF BLOW/VACS
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


HP
A
2
C
R
HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
V
2.01
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
34.27
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
TO. 76
97.09
2.91
6.38
93.62
100.00
6.38
90.29
3.34
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.58
100.00
65.28
34.72
1 00.00
65.28
34.72
0.00
2.02
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
19.48
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
82.81
17.19
10.67
97.37
2.63
6.08
93.92
1 00.00
6.08
90.64
3.29
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.95
1 00.00
79.25
20.75
100.00
79.25
20.75
0.00
1.98
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
18.65
100.00
100.00
100.00
92.01
7.99
10.74
96.90
3.10
6.26
93.74
1 00.00
6.26
89.70
4.04
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1 88
100.00
80.50
19.50
100.00
80.50
19.50
0,00
2.00
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
19.37
100.00
100.00
100.00
86.08
13.92
11. 05
97.14
2.86
5.88
94.12
1 00,00
5.88
90.50
3.62
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.94
100.00
79.28
20.72
100.00
79.28
20,72
0.00
2.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.91
100.00
100,00
100.00
89.57
10,43
12 33
95.78
4,22
0.96
99.04
100.00
0.96
95.51
3.53
N/A
0,00
0.00
O.QO
0.00
0.00
1.96
100.00
79.30
20.70
100,00
79.30
20.64
0.06
2.01
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
19.01
100.00
100.00
100.00
94,28
5.72
13 01
96.38
3.62
0.87
99.13
100.00
0.87
88.58
10.56
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
0,00
2.16
100,00
75.02
24.98
100.00
75.02
24.79
0.19
2.10
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
19.02
100.00
100.00
100.00
93.72
6.28
12.89
95.11
4,89
0.38
99.62
1 00.00
0.38
87,43
12,20
12,00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
1,81
1 00.00
83.01
16.99
100.00
83.01
16,86
0,13
2.12
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.99
100.00
100.00
100.00
94 29
5.71
12.74
95.53
4.47
1.26
98.74
100.00
1.26
80.75
17.99
15.15
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
1.96
100.00
80.17
19.83
100.00
80. 17
19.70
0.14
2.15
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
18.95
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
S4.S9
5.41
12.94
95.18
4.82
1.35
98.65
100.00
1,35
77.32
21.33
15.21
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
2.14
100.00
76.22
23.78
100.00
76.22
23.60
0.17
2.13
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
18.88
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
26.76
73.24
12.71
95.69
4.31
1.16
98.84
100.00
1.16
76.71
22.13
15.22
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.06
0.94
2.12
100.00
76.78
23.22
100.00
76,78
23,04
0.18
2.11
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
18.87
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
25.31
74.69
12.70
95.61
4.39
1.06
98.94
100.00
1.06
76.53
22.41
15.22
100,00
100.00
100.00
99.06
0.94
2.12
100.00
76.75
23.25
100.00
76.75
23.06
0.19
                                                             C-2

-------
                                           TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT



                                                             GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                   TYPE
                              % 81
                                      %82
                                             %83
                                                     %84
                                                             %85
                                                                     % 86
                                                                            %87
                                                                                    % 88
                                                                                            % 89
                                                                                                    %90
LN MOWERS
Cooling
Cycle

F^dist

Vlv_cnf


LN/GDN TRACTORS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Viv_cn*

OTH LN GDN
Cooling
Cycle

F_dl5t
Vlv cnf

REAR ENG RIDER
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf

HP
A
2
4
C
F
R
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
4
C
S
V
3.52
1 00,00
7.59
92.41
100.00
0.00
7.59
92.41
0.00
12.25
99.97
0.03
100.00
1 00.00
97.88
2.12
3.48
100.00
20.04
79.96
1 OO.00
20.04
79.96
8.73
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
3.61
100.00
6.87
93.13
100.00
0.00
687
93.13
0.00
11.90
99.99
0.01
100.00
100.00
98.64
1.36
3.67
100.00
20.59
79.41
100.00
20.59
79.41
8.59
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
3.63
100.00
5.83
94.17
100.00
0.00
5.83
94.17
0.00
12.04
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
99.22
0.78
3.64
100.00
14,74
85.26
tOQ.OO
14.74
85.26
8.93
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
3.66
100.00
6.89
93 11
100.00
0.00
6.89
93 11
0 00
11,98
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
99 45
0,55
3.47
100.00
14.95
85.05
1OO.OO
14.95
85.05
9.01
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
000
3.66
100.00
6.92
93.08
100.00
0.00
6.92
93.07
0.01
12.14
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
99.55
0.45
3.54
100.00
12.80
87,20
100.00
12.80
87.20
8.96
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
3.68
100.00
7.42
92.58
1 00.00
0.00
742
90.64
1,94
12,20
1 00.00
000
100.00
100.00
96.57
3.43
3.59
100.00
13.46
86.54
100.00
13.46
86.54
9.36
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
98.18
1.82
3.70
1 00.00
8.44
91.56
1 00.00
0.00
8.44
86.26
5.31
12.30
99.59
0.41
1 00.00
1 00.00
95.75
4.25
3.55
1 00.00
12.82
87.18
100.OO
12.82
87.18
9,37
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
98.43
1.57
3.74
100.00
9.27
90,73
1 00.00
0.00
9.27
84.43
6.30
12.49
98.71
1.29
100.00
1 00.00
95.40
4.60
3.54
100.00
12.82
87 18
1OQ.OO
12.82
87.18
9,47
100.00
100.00
100.00
97.51
2.49
3.75
1 00.00
8.94
91.06
100.00
0.00
8.94
84.05
7.01
12.61
98,71
1.29
100.00
100.00
91.75
8.25
3.56
100.00
15.95
84.05
1OO.OO
15.95
84.05
9.69
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
92.44
7.56
3.77
100.00
9.26
90,74
100.00
0.00
9.26
83.51
7.23
12.58
98.79
1,21
1 00.00
1 00.00
90.41
9.59
3.56
100.00
15.95
84.05
10O.OO
15.95
84,05
9,86
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
92.62
7.38
3.78
100.00
9.25
90.75
100.00
0.00
9.25
83.53
7,21
12.58
98.79
1.21
1 00.00
1 00.00
90.19
9.81
3.56
100.00
15.95
84.05
1OO.OO
15.95
84.05
9,74
100.00
100.00
100.00
93,43
6.57
                                                           C-3

-------
                                               TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT



                                                                  GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                 % 81
                                         %82
                                                  % 83
                                                          % 84
                                                                  % 85
                                                                           %86
                                                                                   % 87
                                                                                            % 88
                                                                                                    %89
                                                                                                            %90
SHREDDERS
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf

SNOWBLOWER
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf

TILLERS
Cooling
Cycle

F dist
Vlv cnf

TRIM/EDGE/CUTTER
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv cnf


WOOD SPLTR
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
6.40
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
4 79
100.00
27.77
72.23
100.00
27.77
72.23
3.55
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
1.14
100.00
98.41
1.59
100.00
98.41
1.59
0.00
4.84
10000
100 00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.21
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
10000
5.47
100.00
13.73
86.27
100.00
13.73
86.27
3.24
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
1.16
100.00
98.58
1.42
100.00
9858
1.42
0.00
4.94
100.00
t 00.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.80
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
5 76
100.00
14 47
85.53
100.00
14.47
85 53
3.15
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
1.15
100.00
98.79
1.21
100.00
98 79
1.21
0.00
5.03
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.55
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
5.86
100.00
15.77
84.23
100.00
15.77
84.23
312
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
10000
1.16
100.00
98.16
1.84
100.00
98 16
1.70
014
4.94
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.94
0.06
6.35
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
5.77
100.00
17 67
82.33
100.00
17,67
82.33
3.04
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
1.10
100.00
97.78
2.22
10000
9778
2.05
0.17
5.03
10000
100.00
10000
9994
0.06
6.35
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
5.75
100.00
18.33
81.67
100.00
18.33
81.67
3.02
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
1.09
100.00
97.69
2.31
100.00
97.69
2.12
0.19
5.39
100.00
100.00
10000
99.92
0 08
5.96
100.00
9.73
90.27
100.00
9.73
90.27
5.52
100.00
22.21
77.79
100.00
22.21
77.79
2.99
100.00
3.11
96.89
100.00
3.11
96 89
110
100.00
97.56
2.44
100.00
97.56
2.24
0.20
6.86
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.09
0.91
5.60
100.00
14.28
85.72
100.00
14.28
85.72
5.42
100.00
25.34
74.66
100.00
25.34
74.66
2.88
100.00
13.34
86.66
100.00
13.34
86 66
113
100.00
96.83
3.17
100.00
96.83
2.98
019
6.95
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
98.72
1.28
5.40
100.00
20.46
79.54
10000
20.46
79.54
5.23
100.00
28.39
71.61
100.00
28.39
71.61
2.84
100.00
14.53
85.47
100.00
14.53
85.47
1.14
100.00
97.10
2.90
100.00
97 10
2.72
0.18
7.10
100.00
100.00
100 00
97.61
2.39
5.40
1 00.00
19.81
80.19
100.00
19.81
80.19
5.20
100.00
28.56
71.44
100.00
28.56
71.44
2.84
100.00
14.93
85.07
100.00
14.93
85.07
1.14
100.00
97.18
2.82
100.00
97.18
2.64
0.17
6 70
100.00
100.00
100.00
97 79
2.21
5.40
100.00
19.82
80.18
100.00
19.82
80.18
5.20
100.00
28.56
71.44
100.00
28.56
71.44
2.84
100.00
14.93
85.07
100.00
14.93
85.07
1.14
100.00
97.20
2.80
100.00
97.20
2.64
0.16
6 62
100.00
100.00
100.00
97.13
2 87
                                                             C-4

-------
                                      TECHNOLOGY PENETRATION RATES FOR LAWN AND GARDEN EQUIPMENT



                                                                    DIESEL
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                % 81     % 82    % 83     % 84     % 85    % 86     % 87
                                                                                           %88
                                                                                                    % 89     %80    %91
CHIPPERS/GHINDERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf
COMM TURF
Cooling

Cycle
F dist

Vlv cnf
LN/GDN TRACTORS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv cnf
OTH LN GDN
Cooftng
Cycle
F_dist
Vlw_cnf
REAR ENG RIDER
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
4
D
V
HP
A
W
4
O
I
V
HP
A
W
4
0
I
V
HP
W
4
I
V
HP
W
4
I
V
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
22,88
15.49
84.51
100.00
15.49
84.51
100.00
12.28
92.93
7.07
100.00
100.00
0.00
10000
N/A
O.OO
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0,00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
22.15
21.95
78,05
1 00.00
21.95
78.05
100.00
J1.49
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
35.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
22.73
14.82
85.18
100.00
14.82
85.18
100.00
13.92
66.57
33.43
100.00
66.57
33.43
100.00
N/A
0 00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
35.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
22.47
10.96
89.04
100.00
6.74
93.26
100.00
14.34
24.55
75.45
100.00
24.55
75.45
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
32.52
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
22.38
9.95
90.05
100.00
5.20
94.80
100.00
14.93
19,30
80.70
1 00.00
13.30
80.70
100.00
N/A
0 00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
28.43
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
21.73
4.76
95.24
100.00
3.51
96.49
100.00
15.40
15.60
84.40
100.00
15.60
84.40
100.00
N/A
000
0.00
0.00
0.00
16.50
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
2833
100.00
100.00
1 00,00
100.00
20.36
2.01
97 99
100.00
2.01
9799
100.00
16.62
3.63
96.37
100.00
3.63
96.37
100.00
16.50
100.0O
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
16.50
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
28.76
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
20.24
1.53
98.47
100.00
1.53
98,47
100.00
16.96
2.90
97,10
100.00
2.90
97.10
100.00
17 89
10O.OO
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
16.50
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
31.21
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
20.10
1,10
98.90
100.00
1 75
98.25
100.00
17.06
3.28
96.72
100.00
3.28
96.72
100.00
18.54
1 OO.OO
100.00
100.00
100.00
16.50
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
10000
35.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
20.09
1.02
98.98
100.00
1.68
98.32
100.00
17.07
3.2?
96.73
100.00
3.27
96.73
100.00
18.73
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
16.50
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
100,00
100.00
20.13
0.57
99.43
100.00
1.26
98.74
100.00
17.12
3.25
96.75
100.00
3.25
96.7S
100.00
18.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
10000
16.50
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
                                                               C-5

-------
                                               SALES AND TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR AIRPORT SERVICE EQUIPMENT
APPLICATION
                         1981
                                 1982
                                          1983
                                                  1984
                                                           1985
                                                                   1986
                                                                           1987
                                                                                    1988
                                                                                            1989
                                                                GASOLINE
                                                                                                     1990
                                                                                                             1991
AIRCRAFT


SUPPORT
Diesel
Gasoline
TERMINAL TRACTORS


TOTALS


Diesel
Gasoline

Diesel
Gasoline
62
0
0
735
0
0
797
0
0
114
0
0
549
0
0
663
0
0
535
0
0
354
0
0
889
0
0
613
0
0
131
0
0
744
0
0
638
0
0
197
0
0
835
0
0
649
0
0
112
0
0
761
0
0
720
0
0
35
0
0
755
0
0
698
0
0
37
0
0
735
0
0
726
0
0
26
0
0
752
0
0
642
0
0
30
0
0
672
0
0
655
0
0
23
0
0
678
0
0
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                         %82
                                                  %83
                                                          % 84
                                                                   % 85
                                                                           %86
                                                                                      87
                                                                                            % 88
                                                                                                             %90
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf

TERMINAL TRACTORS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vtv cnf

HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
16.00
100.00
1 0O.OO
10000
100.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
18.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0,00
N/A
0,00
0.00
0,00
0.00
O.QO
0.00
12.16
100.00
100.00
100.00
100 00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
000
11 62
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0,00
N/A
0,00
0.00
0,00
0,00
000
000
11,27
100,00
100.00
100,00
1 00.00
0 00
18.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
000
11.07
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
18.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
10.88
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
0 00
18.00
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
10.75
1 00.00
100.00
100,00
100,00
0.00
27.49
64.86
35.14
100.00
100.00
64,86
35,14
10.64
100,00
100.00
10000
98.51
1 49
34.62
38,46
61.54
100.00
100.00
38.46
61.54
10,75
1 00.00
100.00
100,00
98.59
1.41
35.00
33.33
66,67
100.00
100.00
33,33
66.67
10.86
100.00
100.00
100.00
97.83
2.17
45.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
                                                               C-6

-------
                                               SALES AND TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR AIRPORT SERVICE EQUIPMENT
                                                                    DIESEL
AIRCRAFT SUPPORT
       Cooling

        Cycle
        F_dist

       Vlv_cnf

TERMINAL TRACTORS
       Cooling

        Cycle
        F_dist

       Vlv  cnf
HP
A
W
4
0
1
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
41.24
15.37
84.63
100.00
41.90
58.10
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
40.90
16.76
83.24
100.00
44.44
55.56
1 00.00
41.10
15.13
84.87
1 00.00
15.13
84.87
100.00
38.06
28.25
71.75
100.00
65.25
34.75
100.00
41.55
13.24
86 76
1 00.00
13.24
86.76
100.00
24.92
76.34
23.66
100.00
76.34
23.66
100.00
38.23
16.98
83.02
100.00
16.98
83.02
100.00
24.29
78.83
21.17
100.00
78.83
21.17
100.00
32.93
24.50
75.50
1 00.00
42.38
57.62
100.00
27.20
67.19
32.81
10000
67.19
32.81
100.00
33.87
21.43
78.57
100.00
37.50
62.50
1 00.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
33.94
22.16
77.84
100.00
36.22
63.78
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
33.74
23.40
76.60
1 00,00
37.77
62.23
1 00.00
N/A
000
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
31.04
34.01
65.99
1 00.00
46.26
53.74
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
30.36
38.10
61.80
100.00
47.62
52,38
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
0.00
                                                              r.t

-------
                                     TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR RECREATIONAL EQUIPMENT



                                                     GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                        %82
                                                %83
                                                        %84
                                                                %85
                                                                        % 86
                                                                                % 87
                                                                                        %88
                                                                                                %89
                                                                                                        %SC
ALL-TERRAIN VEHICLES
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
V!v_cn<


GOLF CARTS
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


MINI-DIKES
Cooling
Cycle
F^dist
Vlv crrf
SNOWMOBILE
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
W
2
4
C
c
R
V
HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
HP
A
W
2
C
R
18.00
10000
0,00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
7.96
100,00
0.00
20.69
79.31
1 00.00
20.69
79.31
0.00
4.17
100.00
1 00.00
100,00
1 00.00
26.83
70.69
29.31
10000
100 00
1 00.00
18.00
1 00.00
0.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
000
8,22
100,00
0,00
20.00
80-00
100.00
20,00
80.00
0.00
4.18
100,00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
26,87
74.76
25,24
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
18.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
0,00
831
100,OO
0.00
19.51
80.49
100.00
19.51
80.49
0,00
418
100.00
100.00
10000
100,00
26,76
76,16
23.84
100,00
100.00
100,00
18,00
100.00
0.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
000
0,00
8.44
100,00
0.00
18.75
81.25
100.00
18.75
81.25
0.00
418
100.00
100.00
100,00
10000
27.31
64.32
35-68
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.72
96,46
3.54
8.86
91.14
1 00.00
91.14
8.86
0.00
8.54
100.00
000
14.27
85.73
100.00
14.27
85.73
0,00
N/A
000
0.00
0,00
0 00
2757
58.87
41.13
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
17.39
92.41
7.59
18.97
81.03
100,00
81.03
18.97
0.00
8.54
100.00
0.00
14,29
85,71
100.00
14.29
85.71
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
000
27.60
58,30
41.70
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
17.13
89.11
10.89
27.24
72,76
100.00
72.76
27.24
0,00
S 54
10000
0.00
14,28
85.72
1 00.00
14,28
85.72
0.00
N/A
0.00
0,00
000
0 00
27.78
54,83
45.17
100.00
100.00
100.00
16.83
85.43
14,57
36,42
63,58
100.00
63,58
36,42
0,00
8.73
100.00
000
24.32
75.68
100,00
24,32
6853
715
N/A
0,00
0 00
0,00
0 00
27.89
52.52
47.48
1 00.00
100,00
100.00
16.55
81.91
18.09
45.22
54.78
100.00
54.78
45.22
000
8.81
1 00.00
0.00
27.99
72.01
100.00
27.99
60.01
12.00
N/A
000
0,00
0,00
0 00
27,86
53-25
46.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.3C
83.23
16.77
41.92
58.08
100.00
43.62
41.92
14.46
8.94
99.28
0,72
27.79
72.21
100.00
27.79
52.12
20.09
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
27.90
52.28
47.72
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
                                                          C-8

-------
                                            TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR RECREATIONAL EQUIPMENT



                                                               GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                       %82
                                               % 83
                                                       %84
                                                               % 85
                                                                       % 86
                                                                               %87
                                                                                       %88
                                                                                               % 89
                                                                                                       %90
SPEC VEH/CAHTS
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv^cnf


HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
10.17
1 00.00
0.00
71.17
28.83
1 00.00
71.17
000
28.83
9.71
100.00
0.00
75.33
24.67
100.00
75.33
0.00
24.67
10,99
100,00
0.00
63.75
36.25
1 00.00
63.75
0.00
36.25
8.54
1 00.00
0.00
31.22
68.78
100.00
31.22
55.22
13.56
8.32
100.00
0.00
32.70
67.30
100.00
32.70
58.89
8.41
8.42
1 00.00
0.00
34,30
65.70
100.00
34,30
57.69
8,01
8.29
1 00.00
0.00
33.78
66.22
100.00
33.78
58.91
7.31
8.34
1 00.00
0.00
36.41
63.59
1 00.00
36.41
54.71
8.88
8.14
99.78
0.22
41.89
58.11
100.00
41.89
46.79
11,32
8.15
98.14
1.86
46.61
53,39
100.00
46,61
41 38
12.01
8.01
98.23
1.77
48.97
51.03
1 00.00
48.97
40.11
10.92
                                                           C-9

-------
                                        TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT



                                                                  GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                      TYPE
                                  % 81
                                           % 82     %83     % 84     % 85     % 86     % 87     % 88     % 89     % 90     % 91
AIR COMPRESSORS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

GENTR SETS
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


PRES WASHERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf

PUMPS
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
9.97
98.53
1.47
100.00
100.00
96.89
3.11
11.16
99.05
0.95
3.04
96.96
100.00
3.04
94.44
2.53
8.20
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
6.78
99.94
0.06
27.22
72.78
100.00
27.22
71 19
1.59
8.95
99.68
0.32
100.00
100.00
98.32
1.68
11.28
99.00
1.00
2.89
97.11
100.00
2.89
94.49
2.61
9.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
99.26
0.74
6.64
99.92
0.08
27.41
72.59
100.00
27.41
71.13
1.47
9.22
99.48
0.52
100.00
100.00
98.24
1.76
12.05
98.55
1 45
2.37
97.63
100.00
2.37
95.40
2.22
8.03
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
94 43
5.57
6.66
100.00
0.00
21.17
78.83
100.00
21.17
77.89
0.95
9.28
98.89
1.11
1 00.00
100.00
98.12
1.88
10.1 1
99.15
0.85
2.54
97.46
100.00
2.54
95.96
1.50
7.93
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
90.02
9.98
5.84
100.00
0.00
23 18
76.82
100.00
23.18
76.01
0.81
9.42
98.89
1.11
100.00
100.00
98.06
1.94
10.27
97.85
2.15
2.34
97.66
100.00
2.34
95.56
2.09
8.00
99.97
0.03
100.00
100.00
71.86
28.14
5.91
100.00
0.00
24.79
75.21
100.00
24 79
74 01
1.20
9.57
97.32
2.68
1 00.00
100.00
86.31
13.69
10.22
97.61
2.39
2.29
97.71
100.00
2.29
93.99
3.72
7.37
99.97
0.03
100.00
100.00
49.72
50.28
5 89
100.00
0.00
24.03
75.97
100.00
24 03
74.43
1.54
9.80
96.56
3.44
100.00
100.00
85.59
14.41
10.02
97.99
2.01
1.94
98.06
100.00
1.94
94.79
3.27
7.39
99.98
0.02
100.00
100.00
53.40
46.60
5.66
100.00
0.00
23.40
76.60
100.00
23.40
73 58
3.02
9.96
96.29
3.71
100.00
100.00
84.85
15.15
9.53
97.86
2.14
1.76
98.24
100.00
1.76
93.66
4.59
7.26
99.99
0.01
100.00
100.00
5035
49.65
5.53
100.00
0.00
23.22
76.78
100.00
23 22
73 45
3.33
9.94
96.26
3.74
100.00
100.00
84.73
15.27
8 86
98.31
1.69
1.53
98.47
100.00
1.53
90.60
7.87
7.44
99.99
0.01
100.00
100.00
52.42
47.58
5 49
100.00
0.00
22.66
77.34
100.00
22.66
74.01
3 33
9.78
96.68
3.32
1 00.00
100.00
85.03
14.97
8.62
98.37
1.63
1.59
98.41
100.00
1.59
88.49
992
7.50
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
53.01
46.99
5.46
100.00
0.00
21.97
78.03
100.00
21 97
74.57
• 3 47
9.78
96.68
3.32
100.00
100.00
85.03
14 97
8.87
97.67
2 33
1.49
98.51
100.00
1.49
87.47
11.04
7.57
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
52.09
47.91
5.47
100.00
0.00
21.84
78.16
100.00
21.84
74.54
3 63
                                                               C-10

-------
                                    TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT
                                                               GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                               % 81     % 82
                                               %83
                                                       % 84    % 85
                                                                       %86
                                                                                % 87     % 88     % 89     % 90
WELDERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_disi
Vlv_cnf

AERIAL LIFTS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

FORKLIFTS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf


OTH GEN INDUST
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv cnf


OTH MAT HD
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
W
4
C
s
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
C
s
V
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
W
4
C
V
21,58
81,13
18.87
1 00.00
1 00.00
61,35
38.65
29.88
97.35
2.65
100.00
100.00
18.05
81.95
41.71
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
10,83
100.00
000
100.00
100.00
0.00
93.05
6.95
41.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
18.28
90.16
9.84
100.00
100.00
73.25
26.75
26.55
98.24
1.76
100.00
100.00
41,41
58.59
41.14
4.04
95.96
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
4,04
95.96
11.06
1 00,00
000
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
92.15
7,85
41,01
1 00.00
10000
100.00
100.00
17.96
93.32
6.68
1 00.00
100.00
78,16
21.84
25.31
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
49.70
50.30
45.88
2.95
97.05
1 00.00
100.00
30.82
2.95
66.22
11.20
100.00
0.00
100,00
100.00
0.00
90.84
9.16
41 01
100,00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
18.78
90.26
9.74
100.00
100.00
77.95
22.05
24.85
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
54.55
45.45
45.59
2.21
97.79
1 00.00
100.00
43.35
2.21
54.44
10.53
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
93.73
6.27
41.04
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.48
90.86
9.14
100.00
100.00
79.73
20.27
24.09
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
58.14
41.86
45.10
3.87
96.13
100.00
1 00.00
50.12
2.98
46.90
13.12
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
85.98
14.02
43.89
1 00.00
100,00
100.00
100.00
19.16
88.65
11.35
100.00
100.00
81.31
18.69
23.78
97.93
2.07
100.00
100.00
62.29
37 71
46.84
6.01
93.99
1 00.00
100.00
70.31
4 56
25.13
13.10
100.00
0 00
100,00
100,00
0.00
85.44
14 56
46.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.73
90.44
9.56
100.00
100.00
80.66
19,34
23.63
94.12
5,88
100.00
1 00.00
65.36
34.64
46,24
3.95
96.05
1 00.00
100.00
37.84
3.07
59.09
13.06
100.00
0.00
100,00
100.00
0.00
85.29
14.71
45.95
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
18.59
90.87
9.13
1 00.00
100.00
68.89
31.11
24,72
94.45
5.55
100.00
100.00
55.62
44.38
44,96
1.94
98,06
100.00
100,00
89,32
0.52
10.16
13.01
100.00
0 00
100,00
100.00
0,00
85 10
14 90
45,89
100 00
100.00
100,00
100.00
18.59
90.87
9.13
1 00.00
100.00
68.89
31.11
25.82
93 59
6.41
100.00
100.00
48.61
51.39
44.37
1.51
98.49
1 00.00
1 00.00
79.97
0,48
19.55
1 1.50
1 00.00
13.86
86.14
100.00
13.86
72.77
13,36
45.95
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
17.45
94.30
5.70
1 00.00
100.00
71.77
28.23
27.40
91.25
8.75
100.00
1 00.00
42.14
57.86
43.88
2.60
97.40
100.00
100.00
78.20
0.50
21.29
1 1.51
100.00
13.84
86.16
1 00.00
13.84
72.63
13,53
44.82
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
17.45
94,30
5.70
1 00.00
100,00
71.70
28.30
27.40
91.25
8.75
100.00
100.00
42.14
57.86
43.80
2.80
97.20
1 00.00
100.00
78.06
0.52
21.42
1 1.51
1 00.00
13.85
86.15
100.00
13.85
72.63
13.53
44.85
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
                                                            C-ll

-------
                                   TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT



                                                             GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                   TYPE
                                      %82
                                              %83
                                                     % 84
                                                             % 85
                                                                     %86
                                                                            % 87
                                                                                    % 88
                                                                                            % 89
                                                                                                    % 90
SCRU8/SWPR
Cooling

Cycle
F_disi
Vlv_cnf

HP
A
W
4
C
s
V
17.09
81.60
18.40
100.00
100.00
75.70
24.30
19.06
88.91
11.09
1 00.00
1 00.00
63.90
30.10
20.66
86.61
13.39
1 00.00
100.00
65.72
34.28
20.83
85.86
14.14
1 00.00
100.00
65.94
34.06
20.52
85.69
14.31
100.00
100.00
65.37
34.63
23.59
75.24
24.76
100.00
1 00.00
55.60
44.40
24.69
68.06
31.94
100.00
100.00
49,04
50.96
25.45
62.72
37.28
100.00
100.00
44.10
55.90
24.97
57.84
42,16
1 00.00
100,00
48.86
51.14
24.60
56.40
43.60
100.00
100.00
46.26
53.74
24.38
56.94
43.06
1 00.00
100.00
45.05
54.95
                                                           C-I2

-------
                                     TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT
                                                                  DIESEL
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                        % 82     % 83    % 84    % 85    % 86     % 87     % 88     % 89    % 90    % 91
AIR COMPRESSORS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
GENTR SETS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist


Vlv_cnf

PRES WASHERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
PUMPS
Cooling


Cycle
fjilst


Vlv_cn(

HP
A
O
w
4
D
I
V
HP
A
O
W
4
0
H
I
S
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
H
I
C
V
37.83
51.43
0.00
48.57
1 00.00
68.72
31.28
100.00
21.94
62.62
0.00
37.38
100.00
82.48
0.11
17.41
0,00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
20.67
84.78
0.00
15.22
100.00
93.12
1.59
5.29
0,00
100.00
37.19
63.69
0.00
36.31
1 00.00
75.62
24.38
100.00
23.57
71 62
0.00
28.38
1 00.00
80.82
0.05
19.13
0.00
100.00
13.89
13.16
86.84
I OQ.QO
13.16
86.84
100.00
19.85
93.77
0.00
6.23
1 00.00
92.19
0.82
6,99
0.00
100.00
37.71
58.06
0.00
41.94
1 00.00
70.88
29.12
100.00
22.36
69.55
0.00
30.45
100.00
79.82
0.06
20.12
0.00
100.00
16.01
35.71
64.29
10O.OO
35.71
64.29
100.00
19.94
94.43
0.00
5.57
100.00
94.26
0.71
5.02
0.00
100.00
37.44
59.20
0.00
40.80
1 00.00
71.78
28.22
100.00
23.17
81.53
0.00
18.47
100.00
86.06
0.05
13.90
0.00
100.00
19,23
61.13
38.87
1 OO.OO
61.13
38.87
100.00
22.08
78.34
0.00
21.66
100.00
92.84
0.63
6.53
0.00
100.00
37.29
63.47
0.00
36.53
1 00.00
74.74
25.26
1 00.00
22.66
70.38
0.00
29.62
1 00.00
76.71
0.08
23.21
0.00
100.00
21.04
60.11
39.89
I OO.OO
54.57
45.43
100.00
21.52
79.87
0,00
20.13
100.00
92.88
0.40
6.72
0.00
100.00
37.67
60.18
0.00
39.82
1 00.00
68.96
31.04
1 00.00
22.54
59.91
0.00
40.09
100.00
69.11
0.00
30,89
0,17
99.83
23,65
52.14
4786
1OO.OO
50.53
49.47
100.00
20.30
92.30
0,00
7.70
100.00
91.88
0.32
7.80
0.00
100.00
37.61
61.11
0.00
38.69
1 00.00
69.26
30.74
100.00
22.28
59.84
0.00
40.16
100.00
72.14
0.00
27.86
0.17
99.83
21.73
29.09
70.91
100.00
29.09
70.91
1 00.00
19.27
91.32
0.00
8.68
100.00
90.80
0.00
9.20
0.00
100.00
36.95
55.84
0.00
44.16
100.00
62.47
37.53
100.00
21.79
59.41
0,00
40.59
100.00
73.24
0.00
26.76
0.12
99.88
22.20
26.99
73.01
100.00
26.99
73.01
100.00
19.67
92.14
0,00
7,86
100.00
91,67
0,00
8.33
0.00
1 00.00
36.85
58.30
0.00
41.70
1 00.00
64.58
35.42
100.00
21.11
61.74
0.00
38.26
1 00.00
75.06
0.00
24.94
0.14
99.86
22.25
30.19
69.81
1 00.00
30.19
69.81
100.00
13.20
92.20
0.00
7.80
100.00
91.50
0.00
8.50
0.08
99.92
35.33
43.36
13.90
42.74
1 00.00
63.43
36.57
1 00.00
16.42
75.33
0.00
24.67
1 00.00
84.15
0.00
15.85
0.14
99.86
22.19
28.88
71.12
1 0O.OO
28.88
71.12
1 00.00
18.31
91.93
0.00
8.07
100.00
91.12
0.00
8.88
0.13
99 87
34.58
36.36
20.88
42.76
100.00
63.41
36.59
1 00.00
15.98
74.47
0.16
25.37
1 00.00
83.97
0.00
16.03
0.14
99.86
22.34
28.91
71.09
1OO.OO
28.91
71.09
100.00
18.18
91.51
0.33
8.16
100.00
91.02
0.00
8.98
0.12
99.88
                                                           G-13

-------
                                     TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT



                                                                   DIESEL
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                % 81
                                          82
                                                %83
                                                         % 84
                                                                  ,85
                                                                         % 86
                                                                                 % 87
                                                                                          % 88
                                                                                                  %89
                                                                                                          %90
WELDERS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
AERIAL LIFTS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf

FORKLIFTS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
OTH GEN INOUST
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlvjjnf
HP
A
O
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
I
C
V
HP
A
W
4
0
I
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
39.86
11.69
0.00
88.31
100.00
96.08
3.92
100.00
28.90
98.19
0.00
1 81
100.00
98.19
1.81
0.00
100.00
37.71
13.32
86.68
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
21.55
95.49
4.51
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
44.24
9.64
0.00
90.36
100.00
94.46
554
100.00
29.97
97.34
0.00
2.66
1 00.00
97.34
2.66
O.OO
100.00
3744
15.17
84.83
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
21.69
96.91
3.09
100.00
100.00
0,00
100 00
41.14
16.88
0.00
83.12
100.00
90.92
9.08
100.00
30.66
98.21
O.QO
1,79
100.00
98.21
1,79
0.00
100.00
35.31
23,11
76 89
100.00
91 08
8,92
100.00
22,02
98,61
1.39
100.00
100,00
0,00
100.00
41.78
20.49
0,00
79.51
100.00
95.38
4.62
100,00
31.33
98,96
0.00
1.04
100.00
98.i6
1.04
0.00
100.00
35.80
30.55
69 45
100.00
89,05
10.95
100.00
21.88
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
41.01
20.90
0.00
79.10
100.00
94,86
5.14
100.00
31.22
98,21
0,00
1,79
100,00
98,21
1,79
0.00
100.00
34,67
34,02
65,98
1 00.00
76.63
23,37
10000
23,73
100.00
0.00
100.00
100,00
0 00
100,00
35,60
17.06
0.00
82.94
1 00.00
68.88
31.12
100,00
31.00
92.67
0,00
7.33
100,00
92.67
7.33
0.00
100.00
34.98
28.86
71.14
100.00
67.64
32.36
100.00
23.75
91 89
811
100.00
91.89
8.1 1
100.00
34.67
17.75
0.00
82.25
100.00
63.04
36,96
100.00
28.18
68,96
0.00
31.04
100,00
68.96
31.04
0.00
100.00
33,90
41,13
58 87
100.00
50.00
50.00
10000
28.93
73.68
26,32
100,00
73.68
26.32
100.00
32.77
19.78
0.00
80.22
100.00
53.85
46.15
1 00.00
28.10
67.52
0.00
32.48
100.00
67.52
32.48
0.00
100.00
34.50
31.03
68.97
100.00
39.31
60.69
100.00
30.09
71,05
28.95
100,00
71.05
28.95
100.00
32.77
19.78
0.00
80.22
100.00
53.85
46.15
100.00
28.06
63.25
3.93
32.82
100.00
67.18
32.82
0.31
99.69
34.06
12.20
87 80
100.00
20.34
79.66
1 00.00
30.99
75,35
24.65
100.00
77.46
22.54
100.00
32.95
17.37
2.42
8021
100.00
53.85
46.15
100.00
26.65
51.55
14.15
34,30
100.00
65.70
34.30
0.41
99.59
39.88
7.46
92.54
100.00
12,57
87,43
100,00
30.88
7630
23 70
100.00
78.52
21,48
100,00
33.05
16.17
3,63
80.20
100.00
53.85
46.15
100.00
26.39
37.63
34.63
27.74
100.00
72.26
27.74
0.27
99.73
40.04
6.88
93.12
100,00
12,45
87,55
100.00
31,16
76,23
23,77
10000
79.51
20,49
100,00
                                                            C-14

-------
                                       TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT



                                                                     DIESEL
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                 % 81
                                          %82
                                                  %83
                                                           % 64
                                                                   %85
                                                                            %86
                                                                                    %87
                                                                                             %88
                                                                                                     % 89
                                                                                                              %90
SCRUB/SWPR
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
HP
W
4
D
1
V
43.42
1 00,00
1 00.00
3.06
96,94
10O.OO
38.13
1 00.00
1 00.00
1.15
98.85
100.00
37.95
100.00
1 00.00
0,63
99.37
100.00
37.42
100.00
100.00
16.37
83.63
100.00
35.58
100.00
1 00.00
48.79
51.21
100.00
35.61
100.00
100.00
48.16
51.84
1 00.00
33.85
100,00
1 00.00
44.33
55.67
too. oo
33.20
100.00
100.00
43,66
56.34
100.00
33.09
1 00.00
1 00.00
42.65
57.35
100,00
32.98
1 00,00
1 00.00
42.33
57.67
1 00.00
32.S7
1 00.00
100.00
42.34
57,66
1 00.00
                                                             C-15

-------
                                               TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                                GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                 % 81
                                          % 82
                                                  % 83
                                                           %84
                                                                   %85
                                                                            %86
                                                                                    % 87
                                                                                             % 88
                                                                                                     % 89
                                                                                                              %90
BORE/DRILL RIGS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

CEM/MTR MIXERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

CONCRETE/IND SAWS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf

CRANES
Cooling

Cycle
F dist
Vlv_cnf

CRUSH/PROC EQUIP
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
4
C
V
16.53
97.14
2.86
100.00
100.00
94.27
5.73
5.60
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
35.60
21.24
78 76
100.00
100.00
21.24
78.76
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0 00
14.76
98.48
1.52
1 00.00
100.00
95.02
4.98
6.49
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.03
100 00
100.00
100.00
86.21
13.79
36.14
19.24
80.76
100.00
100.00
19.24
80.76
N/A
000
0.00
0.00
0 00
14.52
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
96.24
3.76
7.05
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
13.05
100.00
100.00
100.00
90.88
912
30.35
30.30
69.70
100.00
100 00
30.30
69.70
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
15.15
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
87.61
12.39
7.26
100.00
100.00
100.00
100 00
0.00
13.35
100.00
100.00
100.00
89.88
10.12
26.41
45.93
54.07
10000
100.00
45.93
54.07
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
16.14
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
85.22
14.78
7.23
100.00
100.00
100.00
64.87
35.13
12.56
100.00
100.00
100.00
91.10
890
23 97
56.50
43.50
100.00
10000
56.50
43.50
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
000
11.79
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
88.87
11.13
7.21
100.00
100.00
100.00
62.93
37.07
11.71
100.00
100.00
100.00
82.97
17.03
25.50
48.43
51.57
100.00
100.00
48.43
51.57
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
11.18
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
90.29
9.71
7.17
100.00
100.00
100.00
52.83
47.17
11.37
100.00
100.00
100.00
79.41
20.59
27.66
36.70
63.30
100.00
100.00
36 70
63.30
N/A
000
0.00
0.00
0 00
9.84
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
92.99
7.01
7.27
100.00
100.00
100.00
52.12
47.88
1 1.21
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
76.72
23.28
27.71
36.51
63.49
100.00
100.00
36.51
63.49
16.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
10.10
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
92.45
7.55
7.35
100.00
100.00
100.00
49.38
50.62
10.91
100.00
100.00
100.00
75.75
24.25
27.66
36.70
63.30
1 00.00
100.00
36.70
63.30
11.15
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
9.53
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
93.07
6.93
7.54
100.00
100.00
100.00
47.13
52.87
10.75
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
73.59
26.41
24.54
48.97
51.03
100.00
100.00
48.97
51 03
11.11
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
9.41
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
93.29
6.71
7.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
44.71
55.29
10.78
100.00
100.00
100.00
72.72
27.28
24.46
49.22
50.78
100.00
100.00
49.22
50.78
11.10
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
                                                              C-16

-------
                                           TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
                                                          GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                   TYPE
                                      %82
                                             %83
                                                     %84
                                                             %85
                                                                    %86
                                                                            %87
                                                                                    %88
                                                                                           %89
                                                                                                   %9Q
DUMPERS/TENDERS
Cooling
CycJe
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

LT PLANTS/SIGNAL BDS
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf

PAVERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

PAVING EQ
Cooling

Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf


HP
A
4
C
s
V
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
W
4
C
s
V
HP
A
W
2
4
C
R
S
V
11.26
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
4.62
100.00
2.75
97.25
100.00
2.75
97.25
26.18
93.35
6.65
100.00
100.00
26.58
73.42
6.58
99.82
0.18
26.68
7332
1 00.00
26.68
72.44
0.88
11.19
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
4.79
100.00
3.74
96.26
1 00.00
3.74
96.26
25.63
82.35
17.65
100.00
100.00
36.76
63.24
6.70
99.79
0.21
25.46
74.54
1 00.00
25.46
73.71
0.83
9.45
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
6.51
100.00
9.55
90.45
1 00.00
9.55
90.45
20.84
1 00.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
61.08
38.92
6.49
99.94
0.06
20.43
79.57
1 00.00
20.43
78.96
060
8.83
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
79.78
20.22
7.96
100.00
12.62
87.38
1 00.00
12.62
87.38
23.09
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
55.56
44.44
7.22
100.00
0 00
12.03
87.97
100.00
12.03
87.31
0.65
8.93
100.00
TOO.OO
100.00
53.42
46.58
8.79
100.00
17.24
82.76
1 00.00
17.24
82.76
23.61
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
39.48
60.52
730
100.00
0.00
10.83
89 17
100.00
10.83
88.52
0.66
8.63
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
52.21
47.79
5.77
100.00
24.08
75.92
1 00.00
24.08
75.92
22.96
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
38.08
61.92
7.21
1 00.00
0.00
10.49
89.51
100.00
10.49
86.47
3.04
8.49
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
51.14
48.86
5.86
100.00
24.87
75.13
100.00
24.87
75.13
22.92
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
39.12
60.88
7.22
100.00
0.00
10.49
89.51
100.00
10.49
86.46
3.05
8.44
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
49.15
50.85
6.36
100.00
23.28
76.72
100.00
23.28
76.72
22.15
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
37.23
62.77
7 21
100.00
0.00
10.48
89 52
100.00
1048
86.32
3 20
8.48
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
47.09
52.91
6.95
100.00
20.52
79.48
1 00.00
20.52
79.48
18.91
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
56.58
43.42
7.24
1 00.00
0.00
10.44
89.56
100.00
10.44
86.03
3.53
8.75
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
46.12
53.88
6.78
1 00.00
21.33
78.67
100.00
21.33
78.67
18.90
100.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
55.88
44.12
7.30
1 00.00
0.00
10.80
89.20
100.00
10.80
85.28
3.92
8.79
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
46.00
54.00
6.88
1 00.00
19.43
80.57
100.00
19.43
80.57
18.78
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
100.00
55.81
44.19
7.31
100.00
0.00
10.78
89.22
1 00.00
10.78
85.14
4.08
                                                            C-17

-------
                                               TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                                  GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                         %82
                                                  %83
                                                          % 84
                                                                  %85
                                                                           % 86
                                                                                   %87
                                                                                            % 88
                                                                                                    %89
                                                                                                            %90
PLATE COMPACTORS
Cooling
Cycle

F__cfist
Vlv_cnf


R,rr LOADER
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
ROLLERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

ROUGH TRN FORKLFTS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv enf
S/S LOADER
Cooling

Cycle
F dist
Vlv cnf

HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
V
P
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
W
4
C
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
3.76
100.00
58.58
41.42
1 00.00
58.58
41.42
0.00
42.01
22.14
77.86
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
20.80
94.71
5.29
100.00
100.00
78.90
21.10
48.60
100.00
SOO.OO
100.00
100.00
24.46
82.60
17.40
100.00
100.00
69.86
30.14
3.75
100.00
56,09
43.91
1 00.00
56.09
43.91
0.00
39.06
25.44
74,56
100.00
100.00
100,00
19.51
95.07
4.93
100.00
100.00
80 01
19 99
47.05
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
24.40
86.41
13.59
100.00
100 00
71.45
28.55
4.09
1 00.00
48.47
51.53
100.00
48.47
49.53
2.00
40.22
8.99
91.01
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
17.00
95.04
4.96
100.00
100.00
85.25
14.75
46.73
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
24.07
8762
12.38
100.00
100.00
81.27
18.73
5.41
100.00
1.33
98.67
100.00
1.33
82.98
1569
41 42
7.59
92.41
10000
100.00
100.00
15.09
97.38
2.62
100.00
100.00
87.78
12 22
4692
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
24.79
83.12
16.88
100.00
100.00
75.77
24.23
5.65
100,00
1.14
98.86
100.00
1.14
78.85
20.01
41,56
7.81
92.19
10000
100.00
100.00
14.70
98,54
1,46
100,00
100,00
81,18
18,82
47,11
100.00
100,00
100,00
100.00
24 92
78.47
21.53
100,00
100 00
73,33
26.67
5.67
100.00
1.18
98.82
100.00
1.18
78.62
20.20
41.58
7.75
92.25
100.00
100.00
100.00
14.66
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
83.22
16.78
47 20
100-00
100.00
100.00
100.00
27-17
65.65
3435
100.00
100.00
59.39
40.61
5.67
100.00
1.21
98.79
100.00
1.21
78.23
20.56
41 56
7.83
92.17
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
14.32
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
1 00.00
84,71
15,29
46.83
100.00
100.00
100.00
100,00
23,48
78,39
21.61
100,00
1 00.00
74,08
25,92
5.64
100.00
1.09
98.91
1 00.00
1.09
74.44
24.47
41.57
7.77
92.23
100.00
100.00
100.00
14.34
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
8800
12.00
46.62
100.00
100,00
100,00
100 00
24.69
69.12
30,88
1 00,00
100.00
68.43
31.57
5.73
1 00.00
1.11
98.89
100.00
1.11
67.90
30.99
41.57
7.81
92.19
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
14.62
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
88.17
1 1.83
46.55
100,00
100.00
100.00
100,00
25.90
65.66
34,34
1 00,00
100.00
64.91
35.09
5.76
100.00
1.14
98.86
1 00.00
1.14
66.61
32.25
40,49
11.43
88.57
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
14.65
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
100,00
88.00
12.00
48,60
100.00
100.00
100.00
100,00
28.69
56.51
43.48
100,00
100.00
55.81
44 19
5.75
100.00
1.10
98.90
1 00.00
1.10
66.21
32.69
40.48
11.69
88.31
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
14.54
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
87.63
12.37
48.60
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
28.69
56.50
43.50
100.00
100.00
55.80
44.20
                                                                 C-18

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                               GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                       %82
                                               % 83
                                                       %84
                                                               %85
                                                                       %86
                                                                               % 87
                                                                                       % 88
                                                                                               % 89
                                                                                                       %90
SURFACING EQUIP
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_enf
TAMPERS/RAMMERS
Cooling
Cycle

F_dist
Vlv_cnf

TRAC/LDR/BCKHOE
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

TRENCHERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf

HP
A
4
C
S
HP
A
2
4
C
R
S
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
7.08
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.49
100.00
90.14
9.86
100.00
90.14
9.86
44.37
7.74
92.26
100.00
100.00
7.74
92.26
16.08
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
87.90
12.10
7.08
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.45
1 00.00
90.96
9.04
100.00
90.96
9.04
42.79
15.31
84.69
1 00.00
100.00
15.31
84.69
19.35
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
68.93
31.07
7.16
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.24
100.00
95.28
4.72
100.00
95.28
4.72
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
19.67
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
69.37
30.63
7.22
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.00
100.00
100.00
000
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
19.07
100.00
100.00
100.00
73.22
26.78
7.48
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
4.05
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
000
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
0.00
000
18 85
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
75.92
24.08
7,50
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
4.07
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
0 00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
17.85
100.00
100.00
10000
78.27
21.73
7.49
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
4.06
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
17.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
79.00
21.00
7.70
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
4 07
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0 00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
18.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
7789
22.11
7.52
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.06
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
000
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
17.84
100.00
100.00
100.00
78.82
21.18
7.59
1 00.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
4.07
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
O.QO
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
17.83
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
78.70
21.30
7.59
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
4.07
1 00.00
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0,00
0.00
0.00
17.83
100.00
100.00
100.00
78.72
21.28
                                                           C-19

-------
                                               TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                                     DIESEL
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                         %82
                                                  %83
                                                          % 84
                                                                   % 85
                                                                           %86
                                                                                    % 87
                                                                                            %88
                                                                                                     % 89
                                                                                                             %90
BORE/DRILL RIGS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
CEM/MTR MIXERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv^cnf
CONCRETE/IND SAWS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlvj:nf
CRANES
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Viv cnf
CRUSH/PRQC EQUIP
Cooling
Cycle
F dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
O
W.
4
D
I
V
HP
A
W
4
O
I
V
HP
A
4
0
V
HP
W
4
I
V
HP
A
4
D
V
30.54
94.77
0.00
5.23
1 00.00
90.85
9.15
100.00
9.10
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
1OO.OO
0.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0,00
0.00
0.00
000
N/A
0.00
0.00
0,00
0.00
30.32
96.00
0.00
4.00
1 00.00
92.00
8.00
100.00
9.15
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.0O
O.OO
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0,00
42.00
100,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
29.69
96.97
0.00
3.03
100.00
92.42
7.58
100.00
10,17
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0,00
100.00
N/A
0,00
0.00
0.00
0.00
42,00
100.00
100,00
100.00
100.00
45.00
100,00
100.00
100.00
100,00
28.01
97.12
0.00
2.88
100.00
92.09
7.91
100,00
12.74
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0,00
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
42.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
45.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
27.56
97.14
0.00
2.86
100.00
91.43
8,57
100,00
12.38
86.72
13.28
100,00
86,72
13.28
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
42.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100 00
45.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
27.66
97,52
0.00
2.48
100.00
80.75
19.25
100.00
12.60
82.77
17.23
100.00
82.77
17 23
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
42.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
38.98
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
27.59
97.5S
0.00
2.42
1 00.00
80.61
19.39
100.00
12.23
82.80
17 20
100.00
82.80
17.20
100.00
26.81
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
42.79
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
38,26
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
27.66
97.45
0.00
2.55
100,00
80.89
19.11
1 00.00
11.99
84 18
15.82
100.00
84.18
15.82
100.00
26,35
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
42.83
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
38,93
100.00
100,00
100.00
100.00
30.79
96.58
0.00
3.42
1 00.00
75.21
24.79
100.00
1 1.73
85.19
14.81
1 00.00
85.19
14.81
100.00
25,39
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
43 01
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
39.75
100.00
100.00
100.00
100,00
33.35
77.21
19.85
2.94
100.00
79.41
20,59
1 00.00
11.75
85.53
14.47
100.00
85.53
14.47
100.00
25.94
100.00
100.00
1 00. OO
100.00
42.98
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
39.72
100,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
33,31
78.36
18.66
2.99
100.00
78.36
21.64
100.00
11.61
85.92
14.08
100.00
85.92
14.08
1 00.00
25.89
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
42.84
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
39.70
10000
100.00
100.00
100,00
                                                               C-20

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                                 DIESEL
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                       % 82
                                               %83
                                                       % 84
                                                               %85
                                                                       %86
                                                                               %87
                                                                                       %88
                                                                                                %89
                                                                                                        %90
CRWLR DOZERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
DUMPERS/TENDERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf
GRADERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
LT PLANTS/SIGNAL BDS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
OTH CONST
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
4
D
V
HP
A
4
D
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
4
D
V
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
35.00
1 00.00
100.00
100 00
100.00
10.17
96.66
3.34
100.00
100.00
0.00
100 00
20.18
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
35.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
10.53
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
20.90
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0 00
0.00
0.00
10.19
100.00
0.00
100.00
10000
0.00
100 00
20.18
100.00
100 00
100.00
10000
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.68
100 00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0 00
100.00
18.97
100.00
10000
100 00
100 00
37.71
71.43
28.57
• 100.00
71.43
28.57
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0 00
11.23
82 28
17.72
100.00
82.28
17.72
100.00
18.19
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
38.25
54.55
45.45
100.00
54.55
45.45
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
11 30
81.40
18.60
100.00
81.40
18.60
100.00
16.57
100.00
10000
100.00
100.00
38.12
58.82
41.18
100.00
58.82
41.18
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.75
82.23
17.77
100.00
82.23
17.77
100 00
15.89
100.00
100.00
10000
10000
38.00
62.50
37.50
100.00
62.50
37.50
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1 1.18
80.66
19.34
100 00
80.66
19.34
100 00
1626
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
38.20
56.25
43.75
100.00
56.25
43.75
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
11.02
81.27
18.73
100.00
81.27
18 73
1 00.00
16.37
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
37.07
73.68
26.32
100.00
73.68
26.32
1 00.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.93
81.69
18.31
100.00
81.69
18.31
100.00
16.71
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
36.62
78.95
21.05
100.00
78.95
21.05
100.00
23.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
12.40
77.55
22.45
100.00
77.55
22.45
100.00
16.87
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
                                                           C-21

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT
                                                                  DIESEL
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                        %82
                                                %83
                                                        % 84
                                                                %85
                                                                        % 86
                                                                                %87
                                                                                        % 88
                                                                                                 % 89
                                                                                                         %90
                                                                                                                 % 91
PAVERS
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf

PAVING EQ
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv cnf
PLATE COMPACTORS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf
Rrr LOADER
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
ROLLERS
Cooling


Cycle
F_disl

Vlv cnf

HP
A
W
4
D
I
C
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
4
D
V
HP
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
I
C
V
36.24
69.39
30.61
100.00
69.39
30.61
0.00
100.00
27.12
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
7.34
100.00
1 00.00
10000
100.00
42.03
100.00
100.00
32.79
67.21
100.00
20.43
83.31
0.00
16.69
100.00
100.00
0.00
000
100.00
36.47
39.35
60.65
100.00
39.35
60.65
0.00
100.00
26.68
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
7.80
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
41.93
100.00
100.00
34.48
65.52
100.00
21.28
83.53
0 00
1647
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
35.14
66.59
33.41
1 00.00
66.59
33.41
0.00
100.00
27.05
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
7.92
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
42.06
1 00.00
100.00
32.41
67.59
100.00
24.78
83.87
0 00
1613
100.00
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
35.29
67.76
32.24
100.00
67.76
32.24
0.00
100.00
27.57
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
8.34
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
44.00
10000
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
2625
72.76
0.00
27.24
100.00
89.25
10.75
0.00
100.00
35.59
43.16
56.84
100.00
80.51
19.49
0.00
100.00
27.58
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
9.13
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
44 00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
30.86
65.79
0.00
34.21
100.00
78.85
21.15
000
100.00
35.55
38.67
61.33
100.00
77.11
22.89
0.00
100.00
27.14
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
9.38
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
40.64
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
32. 51
50.22
0.00
49.78
100.00
65.80
34.20
0.00
100.00
36.02
35.01
64.99
100.00
70.98
29.02
0.00
100.00
27.15
100.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
9.59
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
40.24
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
32.55
53 10
0.00
46.90
100.00
66.23
33.77
0.00
100.00
35.84
31.87
68.13
100.00
71.43
28.57
0.00
100.00
27.06
85.37
0.00
14.63
100.00
85.37
14.63
100.00
9.71
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
40.23
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
32.84
50.55
0.00
49.45
100.00
64.02
35.98
0.00
10000
35.65
33.78
66.22
100.00
73.10
26.90
2.19
97 81
31.19
72.41
0.00
27.59
100.00
72.41
27.59
100.00
9.32
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
40.24
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
32.85
45.67
0.00
54.33
100.00
59.36
40.64
1.65
98.35
35.67
33.72
66.28
100.00
71.24
28.76
2 79
97.21
31.23
72.73
0.00
27.27
100.00
72.73
27.27
100.00
9.29
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
000
0.00
0.00
0.00
33.33
38.37
6.57
55.06
100.00
58.61
41.39
2.75
97.25
35.07
28.68
66.24
100.00
70.71
29.29
2.93
97.07
31.22
72.73
0 00
27.27
100.00
72.73
27.27
100.00
9.21
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0 00
0.00
0.00
0.00
32.69
23.84
20.00
56.16
. 100.00
57.54
42.46
2.76
97 24
                                                               C-22

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT



                                                                  DIESEL
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                               % 81
                                       %82
                                                %83
                                                        % 84
                                                                % 85
                                                                        %86
                                                                                %87
                                                                                        % 88
                                                                                                %89
                                                                                                         %90
ROUGH TRN FORKLFTS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
S/S LOADER
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vl«_cnf
TRAC/LDR/BCKHOE
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vtv cnf
TRENCHERS
Cooling


Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
HP
W
4
0
1
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
1
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
1
V
HP
A
O
W
4
D
1
V
44,00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
33.72
11.66
0.00
88.34
100.00
12.34
87.66
1 00.00
48.00
0.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1 00.00
31.51
69.02
0.00
30.98
100.00
72.54
27.46
100.00
46.44
1 00.00
1 00.00
81.48
18.52
100.00
32.40
6.64
0.00
93.36
100.00
6.64
93.36
100.00
45.85
11.50
0.00
88.50
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
1OO.OO
34.74
79.55
0,00
20.45
100.00
79.55
20.45
100.00
46.24
100.00
1 00.00
74.67
25.33
100.00
32.10
7.61
0.00
92.39
100.00
7.61
92.39
100.00
45.82
11.65
0.00
88.35
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
35.13
78.33
0.00
21.67
100.00
78.33
21.67
100.00
46.46
1 00.00
100.00
82.14
17.86
100.00
31.27
917
0,00
90.83
100.00
9.17
90.83
100.00
44.94
17.65
0.00
82.35
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
35.35
76.61
0.00
23.39
100.00
76.61
23.39
100,00
47.57
100.00
100.00
51.23
48.77
100,00
31,21
8,56
0.00
91.44
100.00
15.72
84.28
1 00.00
44,52
20.65
0.00
79.35
100.00
100.00
0,00
100.00
35,19
82.37
0.00
17 63
100.00
82.37
17,63
100,00
45.34
100.00
100.00
53.72
46.28
1 00.00
31.49
9,05
0.00
90.95
100.00
19.11
80.89
100.00
44.54
20.46
0.00
79.54
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
35,20
77.30
0.00
22.70
100,00
7730
22.70
100,00
4608
100.00
100.00
51.33
48.67
100.00
31.11
7.66
0.00
92-34
100.00
14.74
85.26
100.00
42.64
14.47
0.00
85.53
100,00
89,07
1093
100.00
34 86
78.07
0,00
21.93
100.00
78.07
21-93
100-00
46,08
1 00.00
100.00
44.69
55.31
100.00
31.25
6,70
0.00
93.30
100,00
14.22
85.78
100.00
40.71
19.35
0.00
80.65
100.00
83,46
16,54
100.00
34,68
78.33
0.00
21.67
100.00
78.33
21.67
100.00
44.20
1 00.00
100.00
39.08
60.92
1 00.00
31.36
5.78
0.00
94.22
1 00.00
13.79
86.21
1 00.00
29.30
52.47
0.00
47.53
10000
52,47
47.53
1OO.OO
35.15
71.24
7.31
21.45
100.00
78.55
21.45
100.00
43.05
100.00
100.00
26.70
73.30
100.00
31.42
3.76
1,61
94.63
1 00.00
14.07
85.93
1 00.00
27.82
39.85
12.52
47.63
1 00.00
52.37
47.63
100.OO
34.08
49.31
29.53
21.16
100.00
78.84
21.16
100.00
43.10
1 00.00
100.00
26.95
73.05
100.00
31.34
2.95
2.42
94.63
100.00
14.07
85.93
1 00.00
27.09
33.56
18.87
47.5?
100.00
52.43
47.57
1 00. OO
34. 7t
34.11
44,72
21.17
100.00
78.83
21.17
100.00
                                                              C-23

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT



                                                             GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                                        % 82
                                                % 83
                                                        %84
                                                                % 85
                                                                        %86
                                                                                % 87
                                                                                        %88
                                                                                                %89
                                                                                                         %90
2-WHEEL TRACTORS
Cooling
Cyel»
F_dist
Vlv_cn(

AG MOWERS
Cooling
Cycle
Fjlist
Viv_cnf

AG TRACTOR
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vl*_cnf
BALERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf
HYD POWER UNIT
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_cnf

HP
A
4
C
s
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
HP
W
4
C
V
HP
A
4
C
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
3.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
11.20
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
48.OO
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
34.68
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.43
100,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
48.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
34.68
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
9.53
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
3.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1 1.44
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
48.00
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
34.69
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
14.08
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
3.99
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
1 1.34
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
48.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
36.35
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
15.28
100.00
100.00
100.00
98.69
1.31
5.48
100,00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
11.53
100,00
100.00
100.00
100,00
000
48.00
100,00
100,00
100,00
100,00
N/A
0.00
0 00
0.00
0.00
14,84
100,00
100.00
100.00
98.91
1.09
5.45
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
85.06
14.94
11.23
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
98.49
1.51
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.80
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
98.95
1.05
5.35
100,00
1 00.00
100.00
76.36
23.64
11.07
100.00
100.00
100.00
93.40
1.60
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.68
100.00
100.00
100.00
98.97
1.03
5.16
100.00
100.00
100.00
67.88
32.12
10.68
10000
100.00
100.00
97.95
2.05
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
000
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
14.55
10000
100.00
1 00.00
99,15
0.85
4.82
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
64.89
35.11
9.18
100.00
100.0O
100.00
93,44
6.56
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.21
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
99.17
0.83
6.01
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
59.14
40.86
9.28
100.00
100.00
100.00
90.60
9.40
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14,18
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
99,13
0.87
6.08
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
55.71
44.29
9.27
100.00
100.00
100.00
89.29
10.71
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
14.18
100.00
100.00
100.00
99.13
0.87
                                                               C-24

-------
                                             TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT



                                                               GASOLINE
APPLICATION
                    TYPE
                               % 81
                                       % 82
                                               % 83
                                                        %84
                                                                % 85
                                                                        % 86
                                                                                % 87
                                                                                        % 88
                                                                                                % 69
                                                                                                        %90
OTH AG/EQ
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_crrf

SPRAYERS
Cooling

Cycle
F^dist
Vlv cnf

TILLERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv_on(

HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
W
4
C
S
V
HP
A
4
C
S
V
11.76
100.00
0,00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
7.06
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
97.50
2.50
5.93
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
7,39
95.83
4.17
1 00.00
1 00.00
95,83
4,17
7 09
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
97.20
2.80
5.79
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
0,00
11.70
74.79
25.21
1 00.00
100.00
74.79
25.21
6.18
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
98.73
1.27
5.75
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
1 00.00
0 00
15.54
61.29
38.71
100.00
100.00
61.29
38.71
6.34
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
98.48
1.52
5.71
100.00
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
15.00
62.82
37.18
1 00.00
100.00
58.55
41.45
6.96
99.77
0.23
100.00
100.00
97,70
2.30
5.68
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
16.30
58.20
41.80
100.00
100.00
0,00
100,00
7.57
99.68
0,32
100.00
1 00.00
94.12
5.88
5.60
1 00.00
1 00.00
100.00
99.96
0.04
15.58
61.83
38.17
100.00
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
7,44
99.61
0.39
100.00
100.00
93.70
630
5.62
100.00
1 00.00
100.00
99.97
0.03
11.73
83.82
16.18
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
8 67
99.62
0.38
100.00
100.00
92.68
732
5.59
100.00
1 00.00
100,00
99.97
0.03
11.64
86.32
13.68
1 00.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
7,24
99.57
0.43
100.00
1 00.00
90.14
9.86
5.56
100.00
100.00
1 00.00
99.97
0.03
11.56
86.86
13.14
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
7.15
99.57
0.43
100.00
100.00
89.41
10.59
5.56
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
99.97
0.03
11.57
86.79
13.21
1 00.00
1 00.00
0.00
100.00
7.13
99.58
0.42
100.00
1 00.00
89.48
10.52
5.56
100.00
1 00.00
1 00.00
99.97
0.03
                                                              C-25

-------
                                              TECHNOLOGY TRENDS FOR LIGHT AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT



                                                                   DIESEL
APPLICATION
                     TYPE
                                % 81
                                        %82
                                                 % 83
                                                         % 84
                                                                 % 85
                                                                          %86
                                                                                  %87
                                                                                          % 88
                                                                                                  % 89
                                                                                                           %90
AG TRACTOR
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist

Vlv_cnf
HYD POWER UNIT
Cooling

Cycle
F dist

Vlv cnf
OTH AG/EQ
Cooling

Cycle
F_dist

Vlv cnf
SPRAYERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf
TILLERS
Cooling
Cycle
F_dist
Vlv cnf
HP
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
W
4
D
I
V
HP
A
4
D
V
HP
A
4
D
V
47.14
100.00
100.00
99.85
0.15
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
29.02
40.08
59.92
100.00
40.08
59.92
1 00.00
20.01
100.00
10000
100.00
100 00
6.50
100.00
10000
100.00
100.00
47.07
100.00
100.00
99.94
0.06
100.00
45 00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
29.10
42.96
57.04
100.00
42.96
57.04
100.00
20.10
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0 00
46.99
100.00
100.00
99.92
0.08
100.00
45.00
100.00
0.00
100.00
100 00
0.00
100.00
29.67
47.99
52.01
100.00
47.99
52.01
100.00
20.10
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
44.20
100.00
100.00
89.19
10.81
100.00
33.47
17.14
82.86
100.00
17.14
82.86
100.00
27.60
29.93
70.07
100.00
29.93
70.07
100.00
22.57
100.00
100.00
100 00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
42.79
100.00
100.00
83.80
16.20
100.00
32.09
10 44
89.56
100.00
10.44
89.56
100.00
26.67
25.64
74.36
100.00
25.64
74 36
100.00
23.39
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0 00
0 00
0.00
0.00
38.96
100.00
100.00
79.22
20.78
100.00
31.89
9.64
90.36
100.00
9.64
90.36
100.00
25.87
26.69
73.31
100.00
39.85
60.15
100.00
24.16
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0 00
0.00
000
0.00
30.42
100.00
100.00
49.61
50.39
100.00
31.55
8.43
91.57
100.00
8.43
91.57
100.00
26.30
25.64
74.36
100.00
39.56
60.44
100.00
27.25
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
21.92
100.00
100.00
26.20
73.80
100.00
31 60
8.74
91.26
100.00
8.74
91.26
100.00
26.40
25.25
74.75
100.00
39.53
60.47
1 00.00
27.27
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
000
0.00
21.98
100.00
100.00
28.00
72.00
100.00
31.66
9.78
90.22
100.00
9.78
90.22
100.00
26.22
24.82
75.18
100.00
38.85
61.15
100.00
27.23
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0 00
21.98
100.00
1 00.00
27.93
72.07
100.00
31 70
10.88
89.12
100.00
10.88
89.12
100.00
26.28
24.91
75.09
100.00
39.25
60.75
100.00
27.33
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
21.98
100.00
100.00
27.93
72.07
100.00
31.69
10.79
89.21
100.00
10.79
89.21
100.00
26.27
24.91
75.09
100.00
39.19
60.81
100.00
27.18
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
N/A
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
                                                               C-26

-------
          APPENDIX D
 OPEI Horsepower Distribution For
Selected Lawn and Garden Equipment

-------
                                WALK-BEHIND ROTARY POWERED MOWERS
                      PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL UNITS SHIPPED BY HORSEPOWER RANGE
                        YEAR
                         1986
                         1987
                         1988
                         1989
                         1990
                         1991
3.9 HP & UNDER
74%
71%
71%
69%
61%
59%
4.0 - 4.9 HP
25%
28%
27%
25%
22%
17%
5.0 HP & OVER
1%
1%
2%
6%
17%
24%
Source: OPE1

-------
             FRONT ENGINE GARDEN TRACTORS
PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL UNITS SHIPPED BY HORSEPOWER RANGE
YEAR
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
9.99 HP & UNDER
13%
13%
8%
4%
5%
5%
4%
2%
2%
1%
1%
10.00 - 13.9 HP
84%
80%
86%
86%
81%
82%
82%
83%
82%
79%
74%
14,0 HP & OVER
3%
7%
6%
10%
14%
13%
14%
1 5%
1 5%
20%
24%
 Source: OPE1

-------
                                          REAR ENGINE RIDING MOWER
                           PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL UNITS SHIPPED BY HORSEPOWER RANGE
p
OJ
^EAR

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
7,99 HP & UNDER

30%
26%
21%
14%
11%
10%
10%
9%
9%
7%
4%
3%
8.00 - 9.99
HP
54%
55%
57%
58%
60%
53%
56%
55%
53%
40%
34%
21%
10.0 HP &

16%
19%
22%
28%
29%
37%
34%
36%
38%
53%
62%
76%
                            Source: OPEI

-------
                    RIDING GARDEN TRACTORS
    PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL UNITS SHIPPED BY HORSEPOWER RANGE
^EAR
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
13.9 HP
& UNDER
25%
23%
23%
18%
15%
18%
20%
17%
9%
11%
9%
5%
14.0 -
15.9 HP
14%
10%
12%
11%
8%
9%
9%
8%
11%
8%%
8%
7%
16.0 -
17.9 HP
50%
49%
50%
33%
29%
24%
20%
10%
17%
16%
14%
14%
18.0 -
19.9 HP



34% +
44% +

47% +
60% +
54% +
54% +
58% +
64% +
20,0 HP
& OVER


4%
4%

4%
5%
9%
11%
11%
9%
18.0 HP
& OVER
11%
18%
15%
38%
48%
49%
51%
65%
63%
65%
69%
73%
Source; OPEI

-------
                                         WALK-BEHIND ROTARY TILLERS
                              PERCENTAGE OF ANNUAL UNITS SHIPPED BY HORSEPOWER
                                                   RANGE
D
YEAR
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
6.0 HP &
UNDER
83%
87%
82%
83%
82%
86%
88%
88%
88%
87%
91%
91%
3.99 HP &
UNDER
1 7% +
17% +
17% +
1 5% +



. 19% +
18% +
19%% +
1 3% +
14% +
4.0 -
6.0 HP
66%
70%
65%
68%



69%
70%
68%
78%
77%%
OVER
6.00 HP
17%
13%
18%
17%
18%
14%
12%
12%
12%
13%
9%
9%
                            Source:  OPEI

-------
      APPENDIX E
Definition of Financial Ratios
        and Terms

-------
                          Definition  of Financial Terms Shown
                                 In Tables 4-22 and 4-23

1.  Net Income: Income may be either positive or negative for a given period (such as a fiscal
year).  If operations are successful,  there is a net income and a corresponding increase in net
assets.  Net Income is formally defined  as Revenue minus Expenses.

2.  Net  Worth:  Defined as total assets minus total liabilities (see below).

3.  Current Assets:  Assets expected  to be available to pay debts and operating costs in the
near future.

4.   Current Liabilities:  Debts which will have to be  paid from current assets in the near
future,

5.  Total Debt:  The total  amount owed by a firm to all sources of assets.

6.  Total Assets:  The total economic  resources owned by a  firm which are capable of giving
service  benefits to its future  operations  and which can  be measured objectively in terms of
money.

7.   Current Ratio:  Defined as  current assets divided by current liabilities measures the
relationship of total working  capital to  the amount of net  working capital in measuring the
liquidity of a  business.

8.  Quick Ratio:  Shows  the  relationship lo current of the total assets  which  will quickly be
converted  into cash.   The formula for its calculation  is the  ratio of cash  plus short-term
receivables  plus temporary investments  to total current liabilities.

9.  Return on Assets:  Shows the  efficiency with which  management has employed the assets
of the business, without regard to their source.   The formula for its calculation is the ratio of
                                          E-l

-------
net income before interest and tax to average total assets.

10,  Return  on Equity:  Measures a firm's return to its shareholders.   The formula for its
calculation is the  ratio of net  income for the  period to the typical balance of stockholders'
equity.  Owner's equity shows the amount of assets which the business has obtained from its
owners  by way of investment,  as well as the amount which has been added or subtracted as
a result of business operations.

11.  Debt to Assets:   Shows the  extent to which a  firm's  assets were acquired through
borrowing.  The formula  for its calculation is the ratio  of total debt to total assets.

12. Debt to Equity:  Ratio which measures the leverage position of a firm. Calculated as total
debt divided  by total  owner's equity.

13.  CAP EX 1991:   Capital expenditures in 1991.

14.  CAP EX to '91 Sales: The ratio of 1991 capital expenditures to 1991 sales.
                                          E-2

-------
                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completir
 1. REPORT NO.
 EPA 420-R-93-002
                              2.
                                                            3. I
                     PB93-161735
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 Small Nonroad Engine and Equipment  Industry Study
             5. REPORT DATE
              December 1992
                                                            6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)
                                                            8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.

                                                            JACKFAU-92-413-14
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
 Jack Faucett  Associates
 4550 Montgomery Avenue
 Bethesda,  Maryland  20814
                                                            10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
             11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
                                                             6S-WO- 0014
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 Office of Mobile Sources
 Engineering  and Technical Resources  Branch
 Ann Arbor, MI 48105
             13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
              Final        	
             14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT

      The  purpose of this report  is  to describe and analyze  the structure, conduct,  and
 performance of the small nonroad engine and equipment industry and to assess the
 technologies represented by the  most  common engines and  equipment.  The small
 nonroad engine and equipment industry is defined as the  market or markets, in which
 engines under 50 horsepower are  produced and/or incorporated  into new or used
 nonroad equipment.  Examples of  the types of equipment in which utility engines
 are installed include lawnmowers, cement mixers, 2-wheel tractors, generator sets,
 all terrain vehicles, and many other  types of equipment  used  in various applications.
 Engine below 50 horsepower are also found in many marine applications, such/as
 outboard  sailboat auxiliary engines.   However, marine engines are excluded from
 this study.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                              b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                           c.  COSATl Field/Croup
 Air Pollution Standards
 Air Quality
 Exhaust Emissions
 Engines
 Agricultural  Machinery
 Construction  Equipment
 Recreation
 .-G..3 f"rl OTI "i n 
-------