MC  76-02
       Technical Support Report for Regulatory  Action


                      Motorcycle Usage
                        January 1976
                           Notice

     Technical support reports for regulatory action do not necessarily
represent the final EPA decision on regulatory issues.   They are in-
tended to present-a technical analysis of an issue and  recommendations
resulting from the assumptions and constraints of that  analysis.  Agency
policy considerations or data received subsequent to the date of release
of this report may alter the recommendations reached.   Readers are
cautioned to seek the latest analysis from EPA before using the in-
formation contained herein.
          Standards Development and Support Branch
            Emission Control Technology Division
        Office of Mobile Source Air Pollution Control
             Office of Air and Waste Management
            U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

-------
                            Abstract

      The 1974 Gallup Motorcycle Survey is analyzed  to obtain  average
 urban usage data.  Data obtained include average trip length,  frequency,
 and speed plus areas commuted through.  A qualitative comparison  to the
 NPRM Motorcycle Driving Cycles is made.  Areas where additional data
 would be useful are identified.
 Prepared by
                          Project Manager
                          Motorcycles
 Approved - Branch Chie'f/  SDSB
                     / J
 Distribution:
                ipproved - Division Di/ector
 D. Alexander
 ,E. Brune
•> J. DeKany
 C. Gray
 D. (iardin
 K. Hellinan
W. Houtman
T. Huls
R. Jenkins
G. Kit trudge
ฃ. Rosenberg
R. S t ahtuan
E. Stork
G. Thompson
E. Vogt
M. Williams

-------
Introduction

     This report presents an analysis of motorcycle usage data available
from the 1974 Gallup Motorcycle Survey.  In addition to simply present-
ing these data, an attempt is made to compare motorcycle usage V7ith the
Federal Test Procedure (FTP) driving, cycle being proposed in the NPRM
for testing motorcycles.   It is recognized that insufficient survey data
exist to fully quantify how motorcycles are used; the attempt in this
report is to study the available data, qualitatively compare the data to
the driving cycles, and .recommend areas in which additional data would
be useful.
o    The average urban trip length for street legal motorcycles is
     5.2 miles.

o    The average trip frequency is 3.2 trips per day.  (Motorcycle use
     is seasonal; these data are representative of use in the month of
     May.)

o    The calculated average commuting trip speed is 29 miles per hour.

o    Small displacement motorcycles are used less frequently and over
     shorter distances at lower speeds.

o    Over one half the large displacement motorcycles but slightly less
     than 20 percent of the small displacement motorcycles use the
     freeways for commuting.

o    It is recommended that the light duty vehicle weighting factors
     be used for calculating emissions from uncontrolled and 1978 level
     controlled motorcycles.  The effect of weighting factors. on cal-
     culated emissions will become more important as emissions .from
     motorcycles are controlled, and the determination of more accurate
     weighting factors specific to motorcycles would be recommended.
o    The usage data obtained frsffl fifee? Gallup Survey is insufficient
     to determine if a diffefettfi driving cycls for motorc-vcles L.-\
     needed.  Because the usage data indicate higher average speeds and
     shorter trip lengths for motorcycles, obtaining m.ore detailed usage
     data to further quantify driving characteristics is recommended.
     A subset of the Gallup National Motorcycle Survey data was used for
this analysis.  The subset contained cintn which were the intersection of
the nulli-iv.'ip.g categories of responses and classifications:

-------
                  Street and Dual Purpose Motorcycles
                  Engine Displacement >_ 50 cc
                .  Registered
                  Working Odometer
                  Reside in a city with population of ^L 50,000

This subset is representative of street legal motorcycles whose owners
reside within cities with populations greater than or equal to 50,000.
This data set was chosen so that the data would be as representative of
urban motorcycle usage as possible.

     The specific Gallup survey questions upon which the following data
are based are presented in the Appendix.

Average Trip Length

     Tables I and II present a summary of trip characteristics for
commuting and non-commuting trips.  The overall average trip length is
calculated by weighting the trip lengths by both the frequency of trips
and by the percent of the population which is making the specific type
of trip.  The latter weighting is required because motorcycles are not
used for all types of trips (only 59 percent of owners use motorcycles
to commute, for example).

     The average trip length, based on the data in Table I and II is
calculated to be:

                                        Average urban trip length
        ป   -      '
               CC 21 50                            5.2 miles
               CC >^ 170                           5.4 miles
               50 ฃ CC < 170                      4.0 miles

     The trip, length shown above is representative of.urban use.  For
the average trip length for "non-commuting trips greater than 10 miles
one way",  (a survey question, see the Appendix), it was assumed the
first 10 miles of each trip was urban and therefore 10 miles was used
for that trip length.  No actual average length for trips greater than
10 miles if known since, the survey question was "open ended"; only trip
frequency was asked.

Frequency of Trips

     Motorcycles differ from light duty vehicles in chat their ur^a is
frequently seasonal or may be of a recreational nature only-  Thus the
average number of trips per day, as determined from the survey data.
will vary depending on whether those data indicating ?:ero trips of a
specific type are included in the average.  For example, ^9 percent of
the owners surveyed did not take any 2 to 10 mile non-commuting trips
in the last week.   Because respondents were asked questions about usage
in the month just prior to the survey, these data are representative  of
use in the month of May.  The results may be different for other seasonal
periods.

-------
                                    -3-

     The average frequency  of  all  types of trips combined, which in-
cludes in the calculation those  owners not using their motorcycles for
a specific type of trip  in  the last week,  (i.e., zero trip response),
was calculated by summing the  number of trips for each category for each
survey response.  The average  number of trips per day (zero trip motor-
cycles included) is:

                                         Average Trip Frequency in May
          CC >^ 50                              3.1 trips/day
          CC _> 170                             3.6 trips/day
          50 ฃ CC < 170                        1.7 trips/day

Weekly Mileage

     As a check on the validity  of  the average trip frequency and length,
the calculated weekly mileage  is compared to the estimated weekly mileage
(a survey question, see  the Appendix).   The estimated average weekly
mileage includes inactive motorcycles.

                 Comparison of Weekly  Mileage, Miles


             Calculated^             Estimate^             Estimate(2) (3)
                                 Total  Weekly Mileage  On Road Weekly Mileage

CC ^ 50        -113                      109                     93
CC _> 170        136                      128                    115
50 ฃ CC < 170    48                       45                     33

     (1)  Miles per trip times trips per day times 7 days per week.
     (2)  A Survey Question
     (3)  Off road riding not  included

     The weekly mileage  calculated  from the average trip lengths and
frequencies compare closely with the survey's estimated total weekly
mileage.  The calculated mileage is higher than the estimate of weekly
en rone! mileage, hovrevcr. - Consider inf; that th-? results -;"•:• •••=.!. -vl^ted
rroiu estimates, i:he agreement  is gouci  and support.;', t. he ca leu.I CM, •_•;.!
values OL: trip arid length frequency.

Av_er;.i ^ Soced

     The survey askea •r.ov lon^ it. took to travel <:•.:• work or ^ci:oo'L.
Using these data plus the average commuting trip .length, an average
speed was calculated.  The average  speed for coinnuif i.ng cr-ips is:

                            Calculated Average. CoiiiUiut ing T'-'ip f

          CC _> 50                                 29.2 mph
          CC >_ 170                                30. 2 mph
          50 _< CC < 170                           22.7 mph

-------
                                   -4-

     The large displacement motorcycles show a higher average speed,
probably due to traveling part of the trip at highway speeds (see next
section).   Breaking the commuting trips into school and work trip
speeds, the large displacement work trip is the only type of commuting
trip with a significantly higher average speed.

                              Calculated Average Commuting Trip Speed
                              To Work                  To School

          CC >_ 170            32.8 mph                 23.1 mph
          50 <_ CC < 170       22.8 mph                 22.4 mph

     No data on non-commuting trip speeds are available from the survey.
                                                         V
Areas Commuted Through

     Commuters were asked what areas they commute through.  The results
are presented in Table III.  The data show about one half commute through
downtown and industrial areas, and about 80 percent commute through
suburban and residential areas.  There is little difference among the
two engine displacement classes.  Approximately 20 percent commute
through rural areas.  Only three percent commute solely in rural areas,
which is a result of analyzing only the responses from city dwellers.

     Fifty-five percent of the large displacement owners commute on the
freeways,  while only 19 percent of the small motorcycles are used on the
freeways for commuting.  The latter figure reflects the fact that in
many states the smaller displacement motorcycles are legally prohibited
from using the freeways.

Hot/Cold Weighting Factors

     The data needed to determine the hot/cold start weighting factors,
which are used in the total emissions calculations, are not available
from the Gallup Survey.  In the NPRM, the light duty vehicle value of
0.43 cold starts per start is used.

     The importance of accurately knowing the weighting factors depends
on the ratio of cold transient to hot transient emissions.  For simplicity,
consider the equation for -.-.'•?iehter! mnss omissions jn vhich t'm- c 1. s': p. r> r.?.
                      Y   + n,   Y,   + Y
                       ct    h   ht    s
          V   —  _      -                                   ^ •
          I   —
           v.n
XvThere

          Y T_I = Total weighted mass emissions of n ?;ivfn pollutant.

          Y   = Mass emissions from the cold transient portion of
                the driving cycle.

-------
                                   -5-

          Y,   = Mass emissions from the hot transient portion of
                the driving cycle.

          Y   = Mass emissions from the stabilized portion of the
           s
                driving cycle.

          n   = Total number of starts per day.

          n   = Number of cold starts per day.
           c

          n,   = Number of hot starts per day.
           h

Substituting 1 - n /n  for ix/n  and taking the derivative of Y   with
              .    c  t      h  t                               wm
respect to n /n  gives;
            C-  L,

                d Ywm       Y   - Y, ,.
                —. - 7— v  =  ct    ht
The change in total weighted emissions due to a change in the weighting
factor n /n  is equal to the difference between cold and hot transient
emissions.  If the hot and cold transient emissions are equal,  then  the
weighting factors have no effect on the calculated weighted emissions.

     A review of emission data collected at EPA using the NPRM  test
procedure shows that the ratio of cold to hot start emissions is approxi-
mately one for most motorcycles tested.  Quantitatively, 85 percent  of
the ratios are in the range of 0..8 to 1.2,  Within this range,  a change
in cold weighting -factor of .3 (from  .43 to .73, for example) results in
less than a five percemt change in calculated weighted emissions.

     The level of transient emissions for uncontrolled motorcycles tends
to mask any differences in cold and hot transient emissions.  Since  the
proposed 1978 level of control results in only moderate decreases in .
emissions for most motorcycles, the ratio of cold to hot transient
emissions will most likely remain at apprbximately one.  Thus it is
recommended that the light duty vehicle weighting factors be used for
calculating emissions from uncontrolled and 1978 level controlled motorcycles
As motorcycles are controlled more stringently, the differences in cold
and hot transient: emissions may become -sign if ion; t . and the de ter;-.i;..a!: ion
of weighting 'factors specific to motorcycles may be needed.-

Comparison with the FTP Driving Cycle

     The result? ore? •.•'':"! fed in Che ^vevlous sect ii.:!1^ are b-?..C:?c.! or. surv^v
clata, and their accuracy depends or, the respondents ability to  estimate
frequencies, distances, and times-  In addition, the data are not complete;
for example the average trip velocity can be indirectly calculated only
for commuting trips.  Wi.th these quali f icationp :in mind, a comparison of
the Gallup survey results to the FTP for each engine displacement category
is presented below.  The motorcycle FTP driving cycle speed versus time

-------
                                   -6-

for the large displacement motorcycles is identical to the light duty
vehicle driving cycle.  The high speed portion of the transient test
(bags 1 and 3) has been scaled doxm by the factor 0.64 for the small
displacement motorcycles.

                    50 < CC. < 170                 CC > 170
     Parameter      Gallup       FTP         Gallup         FTP

Urban trip length,
  miles              4.0         6.8           5.4          7.5
Trip average speed,     m                       , ,
  mph               22. 7k '     17.8          30.2VJJ      19.7

     (1)  Commuting trips only.

     The trip lengths obtained from the survey are shorter than represented
by the test procedure, and the average commuting speeds are higher.  The
average speed would probably be reduced, especially for the large motor-
cycles, if data on non-commuting trips were available and were included.
The argument that motorcycles are constrained by traffic to the same
average speeds as light duty vehicles is still strong.  The reduction of
the maximum test speed for small displacement motorcycles appears justified
based on their lower trip speed and the small percentage of reported
freeway usage (Table III).

     The Gallup data presented here is not sufficient to decide if a
different driving cycle for motorcycles is needed.  It does suggest,
however-V-- that trip-length for motorcycles may be less than LDVs.  The
average^speed, being based only on commuting trips and'an indirect com-
putation is insufficient to claim motorcycles in general travel at
higher average speeds than LDVs.  The importance of this parameter on
emissions suggests -that obtaining further data on average speed should
be pursued.

-------
                                          Table  I




                               Gallup Usage Data -  Commuters




                           (Street Legal Motorcycles  in  Cities)
n i
'arameter

Jommute to work only
Percent that commute to work
Miles to work, 1 way
# Trips in last 20 work
days (2)
Jommute to school only
Percent that commute to
school
Miles to school, 1 way
// Trips in last 20 school
days (2)
Commute to school and work
Percent that commute to both
Miles to work, 1 way
# Trips in last 20 work
days (2) .,
Miles to school , 1 way "
# Trips in last 20 school
days (2)
Calculated data
Average speed to work, mph
Average speed to 'school, mph
All Commuters
Percent that commute.-
Co-.nrnur.inp trip miles. 1 way
if Trips in last 20 v-vrk /
school days (2)

Question
Number


16
17

19b


16
20

22b

16
17

19b
20

22b

-
—

16
--

~~


50 < CC <170


26
5.6

16.7


4
5.8

21.2

9
5.9

17.4
2.6

10.4

23
22

39

5. 3
16


CC _> 170


51
10.2
ป•
13.8


3
6.4

19.5

12
8.7

13.7
7.0

12.9

33
23

66

9 . /'
14


CC >_ 50


45
9.6

14.0


3
6.2

20.0

11
8.2

14.4
6.3

12.5

32
23

59
8.7

1-4

(2)   Average  of  those  who  took trips;  zero trips not  included

-------
                                            8
                                         Table II

                          Gallup Usage Data - Non-Conimuting Trips

                           (Street Legal Motorcycles in Cities)

                                   Question
     Parameter                      Number        50 < CC <170   CC > 170  CC > 50
 n the last 7 clays

     // of trips < 2 miles 1 way        26              6.8          8.2       7.9
     // of trips 2-10 miles 1 way       27              5.9          6.5       6.4
     // of trips > 10 miles 1 way       28              7.2          4.1       3.9


     (1)   Average of those making non-commuting trips; zero trips not included.


.'crcent making at least 1 trip in last 7 days

     //•of trips < 2 miles 1 way        26             42           56        53
     // of trips. 2-10 miles 1 way       27             30           57        51
     // of trips > 10 miles 1 way       28             20           47        41

-------
                                         Table III

                        Gallup Usage Data - Areas Commuted Through

                           (Street Legal Motorcycles in Cities)
     Parameter


Percent of sample that commute

Percent of Commuters that commute
     through:

     Downtown, industrial areas

     Suburban, residential areas

     Rural areas

     Rural areas only

Percent that commute, on freeways
Question
 Number
   16
   24
50 < CC<170
    39
CC > 170  CC > 50
    66
59
   23
49
78
15
0
19
48
80
23
3
55
48
80
22
3
49

-------
                                         Appendix
                              Questions from Gallup Survey
 ASK ALL OWNERS:
 15-  Approximately what  percentage  of the miles  on  this  cycle  do you think vere for street
      riding?
                                                             "
      Do you ...
      Confute to work?      1[  ]
      Commute to school?    2[  ]
      Ride for other
        purposes?          3[  )
      Kone                 0[
      Other (specify)       x[  ]
5 ways do you use this
1 If
1 2[
ป*
1 3t
1 o[
1 x[
motorcycle
] .
]
)
]
]
on the street? (read list)
1[ )
2[ ]
•' 31 1 '
0[ )
xf 1
          f-ftST RECENT.
                                                 2nd
IF USLD TO "COMMUTE  TO  WORK"  IN Q. 16, ASK QUESTIONS 17 - 19b:
17.  HC.V r-any miles  one way is  this  trip?
             Miles __          Miles _ _
16.  Jiov long doea it take one  way?
                                                                          3rd
                                                                   Kiles
Minutes
Hours
                                           Minutes
                                                                 Hours
                                                                              Minutes
            Hours
19a.  If the weather is  good do you ride your motorcycle to work -on a regular basis?
     Yco               1[  ]                     1[ ) .         '..          1[ ]
     No                2[  )                     2[ ]':..'.       2[ ]
39b.  How many round trips  to work did you make during the past twenty .working days?
Nuaber
                                       Number  '
                                                                Number
IF U5LO TO ."COMMUTE TO SCHOOL"  IN Q. 16, ASK QUESTIONS 20 - 22b:
iO.  ;iov nany Eiles one way is  this trip?
          Miles _ __           Miles _        !-!iles
n.  Kov long does  i-;  tal-ie cr.e  vay?                  .
Hours
 Minutes
Hours
                                         Minutes
                                                                 Hours
                                                                              Minutes
22ft.  If the veather is good do you rids your nvotcrcycle tc school on a re^vilar basis?

     No                2[ J                .-•".   2[ ]         '            2[ ]
22b.  How many round trips to school  did yciu make during the past twenty school days?
                               . • : • •   :.  :  - ' ^ . A •"- '. '
          Mucber  ' '   '          '   "'•; Number "*'"•'•'•'              Number

-------
                                Appendix -  Cent.
  ASK ALL COMMUTERS EITHER TO WORK OR SCHOOL QUESTIONS 23 & 24:
  23.  I>o you commute either on freeways, expressways, or turnpikes vith this cycle7
       Yes               1[ )                     H ]                     1M
       Bo                2[ ]                     2[ )                     2l ]
  2*.  Which of these areas do you commute through:
       Downtown business or
         Industrial areas?    l[ )                l[ )                   ( it ]
       Suburban or resident-
         ial areas?           2[ ]                2[ ]                     2[ ]
       Rurr.l areas?           3t )                3[ ]                     3[ )
   $< ALL  OWNERS:'
26.  Other than for commuting ... in the past seven days how many trips did you make th&t
     vcre within .tvo miles from your home?                   •                     -  .       .
            ff of Trips	# of Trips	     ff of Trips	—,'- '
27.  Other than for commuting ... in the past seven days how many trips did you make that
     vere within -tvo to teii'miles  from your home?
            if of Trips	'          ff of Trips__	     ff of Trips	
23.  Other than for commuting ... in the past seven days how many trips did you make that
     vcre over ten miles froia your home?'      :-:                •
            ft of Trips	       # of Trips               # of Trips	
29-  Coneidering now your motorcycle usage for all purposes to include commuting and other
     purposes ...
     Thinking now about your average weekly usage during the past four weeks,, how many miles
     did you ride in an average week?      .
             .Miles                   .  Miles .  :

-------