EPA-460/3-73-006a
              PASSENGER  CAR WEIGHT
                        TREND  ANALYSIS
                                 VOLUME I
                  EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
          U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
               Office of Air and Water  Programs
            Office of Mobile Source Air Pollution Control
               Emission Control Technology Division
                  Ann Arbor, Michigan  48105

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                                     EPA-460/3-73-006a
PASSENGER  CAR  WEIGHT

      TREND  ANALYSIS

            VOLUME  I

   EXECUTIVE  SUMMARY


                 Prepared by
         The Environmental Programs Group
           The Aerospace Corporation
          El Segundo, California 90245
            Contract No. 68-01-0417
             EPA Project Officer:

               F. Peter Hutchins
                Prepared for

      U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
        Office of Air and Water Programs
   Office of Mobile Source Air Pollution Control
       Emission Control Technology Division
           Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105

                 January 1974

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This report is issued by the Office of Mobile Source Air Pollution Control,
Office of Air and Water Programs, Environmental  Protection Agency, to report
technical data of interest to a limited number of readers.  Copies of this
report are available free of charge to Federal employees, current contractors
and grantees, and non-profit organizations - as  supplies permit - from the
Air Pollution Technical Information Center, Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, or may be obtained, for a
nominal cost, from the National Technical  Information Service, 5285 Port
Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22151.
This report was furnished to the U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
by The Aerospace Corporation,  El Segundo,  California, in fulfillment of
Contract No. 68-01-0417 and has been reviewed and approved for publication
by the Environmental  Protection Agency.   Approval does not signify that
the contents necessarily reflect the views and policies of the agency.
The material presented in this report may be based on an extrapolation of
the "State-of-the-art."  Each  assumption must be carefully analyzed by
the reader to assure  that it is acceptable for his purpose.   Results and
conclusions should be viewed correspondingly.  Mention of trade names or
commercial products does not constitute  endorsement or recommendation for
use.
                  Publication  No.  EPA-460/3-73-006a

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                                FOREWORD
               This report, prepared by The Aerospace Corporation for the
Environmental Protection Agency, Division of Emission Control Technology,
presents the results of an analysis of the historical weight trends of passenger
cars sold in the United States over a 16-year  period,  1958 through  1973.
               The results of this study are presented in two volumes.
Volume I,  Executive Summary,  presents a brief,  concise review of important
findings and conclusions in the Highlights and Executive Summary sections.
Volume II,  Technical Discussion, provides  a  detailed discussion of each
study topic and is of interest primarily to the technical specialist.  In
Volume II,  the general analysis  technique, parameters examined, and data
sources used  are delineated in Section 2. Section 3 presents a graphical
display of  study results,  together with brief discussions of noted trends.  It
illustrates trends for sales distribution, curb weight, inertia test weight
class, wheelbase and length, engine displacement, compression ratio, and
accessory weights. An appendix of tables is included to summarize all
parameters examined in terms of sales-weighted averages. These tables
include breakdowns by  market class and by nameplate.
                                    111

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                         ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
              Appreciation is acknowledged for the guidance and assistance
provided by Dr. Karl H. Hellman and Mr. F. Peter Hutchins of the Environ-
mental Protection Agency,  Division of Emission  Control Technology, who
served as EPA Technical and Contract Project Officers, respectively,
for this study.
              Mr. William Smalley was principally responsible for the
acquisition and analysis of the data presented herein.  The following
additional personnel of The Aerospace Corporation also made valuable
contributions to the analyses performed under this contract.
                            L. Forrest
                            F. G.  Ghahremani
                            D. Smith
                            N. DeLong
                                         Merrill G.  Hinton,  Director
                                         Office of Mobile Source Pollution
Approved by:
Toru lura, Associate Group Director     Joseph Melj/zer, Group Di^yctor
Environmental Programs               jCpVironmental Programs
   Group Directorate                      Group Directorate

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HIGHLIGHTS

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HIGHLIGHTS
     vu

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        Table 1.  Domestic 1973 Models - By Market Class
STANDARD SIZE CLASS
INTERMEDIATE SIZE CLASS
COMPACT SIZE CLASS
SUBCOMPACT SIZE CLASS
SPECIALTY CAR CLASS
AMC  (Ambassador)
Buick (LeSabre, Electra, Centurion)
Cadillac (all except Eldorado)
Chevrolet (Caprice,  Impala, Biscayne,
  Bel  Air)
Chrysler (including Imperial)
Dodge (Polara, Monaco)
Ford  (LTD, Galaxie, Custom)
Lincoln (all except Mark IV)
Mercury (Monterey, Marquis)
Oldsmobile  (Delta, 98)
Plymouth (Fury,  Gran Sedan)
Pontiac (Catalina, Bonneville,  Grand Ville)

AMC  (Matador)
Buick (Century)
Chevrolet (Chevelle)
Dodge (Coronet, Charger)
Ford  (Torino)
Mercury (Montego)
Oldsmobile  (Cutlass)
Plymouth (Satellite)
Pontiac (Le Mans)
(1.4% of imports  are in this class)

AMC  (Hornet)
Buick (Apollo)
Chevrolet (Nova)
Dodge (Dart)
Ford  (Maverick)
Mercury (Comet)
Oldsmobile  (Omega)
Plymouth (Valiant)
Pontiac (Ventura)
(8.2% of imports  are in this class)

AMC  (Gremlin)
Chevrolet (Vega)
Ford  (Pinto)
(90.4% of imports are in this class)

AMC  (Javelin)
Buick (Riviera)
Cadillac (Eldorado)
Chevrolet (Camaro,  Corvette,
  Monte Carlo)
Dodge (Challenger)
Ford  (Mustang, Thunderbird)
Lincoln (Mark IV)
Mercury (Cougar)
Oldsmobile  (Toronado)
Plymouth (Barracuda)
Pontiac (Firebird, Grand Prix)
                                    Vlll

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                              HIGHLIGHTS
              An analysis was made of the historical weight trends of
passenger cars  sold in the United States over a 16-year period, 1958 through
1973.  Also examined were ancillary characteristics such as dimensional
trends, displacement and compression ratio trends, and power and luxury
item use trends.
              Passenger cars have historically been divided by the industry
into five basic market classes (see Table  1):  standard size, intermediate
size,  compact size, subcompact size,  and specialty cars.  These market
classes are closely;  but not exclusively, related to wheelbase  dimensions.
The specialty class encompasses both large (e.g.,  Cadillac Eldorado) and
small  (e.g., Mustang) high-performance or sports  models.  Within each
market class there are numerous corporations,  domestic and foreign,
producing cars for U.S. sale under various nameplates (Chevrolet Impala and
Ford Galaxie 500 in the standard class, Chevrolet Nova and Plymouth
Valiant in the compact class, Ford Pinto and Volkswagen Beetle in the  sub-
compact class, etc.). The number of car models sold in any given year runs in
the hundreds (304 domestic models in 1973).  To determine an "average"
weight value for  bhe overall market in any given year,  it is  necessary to
proportionally integrate the sales and weights of each car model or name-
plate sold in that year to arrive at a  sales-weighted average weight value.
              The weight trend analysis and  examination of ancillary
characteristics  resulted in the following findings.
A.   Sales  Trends
   1. Total yearly sales of passenger cars in the U.S. have risen from
      about 3.15 million in 1947 to 11. 34 million in 1973 .  Sale s have
      been increasing at an average rate of approximately 315, 000 units
      per year over  this 26-year period after World War II.  Sales in
      any given year, however, can vary considerably from the norm
      due to general economic conditions, strikes,  etc.
                                    IX

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   2.  Import car sales rose sharply from 1962 to 1970. Although
      sales volume continued to rise from 1970 to 1973, their
      percent of total sales remained relatively constant (approximately
      15%).

   3.  In 1958, approximately 90% of all U.S. passenger cars were of
      the standard size class.  From 1958 the  share of the market
      occupied by the standard size car decreased dramatically,
      dropping to approximately 31% in 1973.   This  was occasioned by
      the introduction and public  acceptance of the smaller size market
      classes during this period.

   4.  Subcompact sales more  than doubled in the 1966-73 period.
      Subcompacts, in 1973, were the second-highest-selling market
      class (approximately 23% of total sales).  The intermediate
      class was  a close third in 1973,  having approximately 20% of
      total sales.

   5.  The four major domestic corporations had  84.5% of  the total
      U.S. passenger car sales in 1973.  Adding Volkswagen,
      Datsun, and Toyota to this  group accounts for 93.3% of the
      total sales.  The four domestics plus the top ten imports
      account for 98.0% of the total passenger  car sales.

   6.  The percent sales distribution between the  domestic  cor-
      porations has been relatively constant for the  last 10 years.
      In 1973, General Motors had 44% of total U.S. passenger
      car  sales; Ford had 24%; Chrysler had 14%; and American
      Motors had 3%.

B.    Weight Trends

   1.  Passenger cars in all market classes have  shown a marked
      and  steady increase in curb weight with time.   This  curb
      weight increase trend is independent of manufacturer.  For
      example,  Chevrolet and Ford standard size cars  increased
      approximately 1100 Ib (33%) and 980 Ib (29%),  respectively,
      between 1956 and 1974.  In the intermediate class, the
      Fairlane/Torino series increased curb weight by approximately
      1100 Ib (36%) from 1962  to  1974; the Chevelle  increased curb
      weight 900 Ib (28%) from 1966 to 1974.  In the compact  class,
      from 1962 to  1974 the Chevy II/Nova series increased curb
      weight by 940 Ib  (36%),  while the Valiant increased by 620  Ib
      (24%).

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   2. The intermediate class car of 1974 weighs about the same
     as the standard size car of 1970 (approximately 4200 Ib
     curb weight).  Similarly, the compact car of 1974 has about
     the same curb weight as the intermediate car of 1966 to
     1970 (approximately 3300-3600 Ib).

   3. The overall sales-weighted curb weights of U.S. passenger
     cars dropped sharply from the  1958 level (approximately
     3700 Ib) to approximately 3450  Ib in the 1960-64 period.
     This was due to the introduction of compacts in I960 and
     high sales of both compacts  and intermediates  in that period.
     Since 1964, sales-weighted curb weights have risen steadily,
     reaching approximately 3650 Ib in 1973.

   4. The overall U.S.  sales-weighted  inertia test weight average
     (including domestic and foreign cars) has the same general
     pattern as curb weight  variation with  time.  It  dropped
     sharply  from the  1958 level  (3967  Ib)  to its lowest value  of
     3712 Ib in 1961.  Since 1961 there has been a steadily
     rising sales-weighted inertia test  weight trend, reaching a
     new high value of 3968  Ib in  1973.

   5. Curb and inertia test weight values for domestic passenger
     cars surpassed their 1958 levels  in 1970 and appear to be on
     a still-rising trend.  For example, the  sales-weighted inertia
     test weight average, for domestic cars  only, was  4223 Ib in
     1973, compared with 4096 Ib in 1958.

C.   Dimensional Trends

   1. Standard size Fords and Chevrolets have  increased wheelbase
     approximately 6 in. (5%) and overall length from 1 5 to 22 in.
     (7 to 11%) in the period 1957 to 1974.  All market classes
     show a sharp increase  in overall  length in 1973 and 1974,
     presumably due to safety bumper provisions.

   2. Domestic intermediate and compact models also have increased
     wheelbase and overall length with time.  Some domestic inter-
     mediates are now using a shorter  wheelbase  for the 2-door
     model than for the 4-door model.  The  1974  intermediates are
     as  long  (206 to 215 in.) as some 1957-70 standard size cars
     (200 to 216 in. ).  The 1974 compact models  (~ 197 in. ) are
     as  long  as 1962-66 intermediates  (197 in.).
                                    XI

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D.    Displacement and Compression Ratio Trends

   1.  In 1973, the U.S. total sales-weighted engine displacement
      was slightly lower than in 1958.   The average displacement
      of domestic passenger cars was approximately 20 cu in.
      (7%) higher in  1973 than in 1958,  even though the sales of
      less-than-standard-size cars increased from 10% to 69%
      of total sales during this period.  The sales-weighted dis-
      placement of the standard size class increased nearly 67 cu in.
      (22%) to a value of 371.4 cu in. in this same period.

   2.  The sales-weighted engine displacement of import models
      rose approximately 32 cu  in. (43%)  in the  period  1958 to 1973.

   3.  The 1973 U.S. total sales-weighted compression ratio was
      the lowest since 1962  (approximately  8.2).  The import
      compression ratio rose to 8. 1 5 in 1 973 from 7. 0 in  1958.  The
      impact of anticipated use of lower octane unleaded gasoline
      has been forcing the trend of domestic and U.S. total  sales-
      weighted compression ratio values.

E.    Accessory Equipment Trends

   1.  Air conditioning was installed on  73% of all domestic cars
      in 1973, up from 8% in I960. It accounted for 73 Ib  of weight
      per car in 1973 on a sales-weighted basis, or approximately
      1.85% of the average curb weight in 1973.

   2.  The other optional power and luxury items are also increasing
      in popularity, accounting for 47 Ib per car in 1970, or
      approximately  1.25% of the average curb weight in 1970.  More
      and more of these items (power brakes, power steering,
      power windows, radios, bucket seats, etc.) are being made
      standard  equipment and thus are no  longer accounted for as
      optional power equipment.

   3.  Air conditioning plus  all other optional power and luxury
      items represented approximately  2.9% of  the passenger car
      curb weight in  1970.  This value dropped to 2.6% in  1972
      because  some items that were optional in  1970 became standard
      equipment in 1972.

   4.  Based on trends from  1966 to 1970,  the combined value for
      air conditioning plus all other power and luxury items (standard
      plus optional) is estimated to be approximately 3.2% of the
      curb weight in  1973.
                                   XII

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CONTENTS

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                               CONTENTS


FOREWORD  .......................................    iii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS  ................................     v
HIGHLIGHTS .......................................    vii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................     1
      1 .    Introduction
      2.    Sales Trends
      3.    Weight Trends
      4.    Dimensional Trends
      5.    Displacement and Compression Ratio Trends
      6.    Accessory Equipment Trends
                                   Xlll

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                                TABLE



 1.   Domestic 1973 Models by Market Class .................   viii



                                FIGURES



 1.   U.S. Total Passenger Car Sales ......................     2

 2.   Passenger Car Sales by Corporation ...................     2

 3.   1972 U.S. Sales by Nameplate   ......................     3

 4.   Passenger Car Sales by Market Class ..................     4

 5.   1973 Sales by Market Class .........................     5

 6.   Passenger Car Curb-Weight Trends by Nameplate
      (Standard Class)  ................................     Ł
 7.   Overall Passenger Car Curb-Weight Trends (Sales
      Weighted) .....................................     7

 8.   Curb Weight Trends by Market Class (Sales Weighted) .......     8

 9.   Curb Weight Trends by Corporation (Sales Weighted) ........     g

10.   Passenger Car Wheelbase Trends (Standard Class)  .........     o

11.   Passenger Car Overall-Length Trends (Standard Class) .......     9

12.   Passenger Car Wheelbase Trends (Sales Weighted)  .........    IQ

13.   Passenger Car Overall-Length Trends (Sales Weighted)  ......    10

14.   Passenger Car Total-Overhang Trends (Sales  Weighted) ......    H

15.   Engine Displacement Trends (Sales Weighted) .............    H

16.   Engine Compression-Ratio Trends (Sales  Weighted)  .........    12

17.   Power and Luxury Item Trends  ......................    13

18.   Optional Power and Luxury Item Weight Trends
      (Sales Weighted)  ................................    14
                                  xiv

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EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY

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                         EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
!•            INTRODUCTION
              This  report presents the results of an analysis of the
historical weight trends of passenger  cars sold in the United States over a
16-year period, 1958 through 1973.
              Passenger cars are divided by the industry into five basic
market classes:  standard size,  intermediate size, compact size, sub-
compact  size, and specialty cars.  The first four classes are segregated
by wheelbase characteristics.  The specialty class encompasses both large
(e.g., Cadillac  Eldorado) and small (e.g., Mustang) high-performance or
sports models.  Within each market class there are numerous corporations,
domestic and foreign, producing cars for U.S.  sale under various name-
plates (Chevrolet  Impala and Ford Galaxie 500 in the standard class,
Chevrolet Nova  and  Plymouth Valiant in the compact class,  American Motors
Gremlin  and the Volkswagen Beetle in the subcompact class,  etc.).   The
number of car models sold in any given year runs in the hundreds (304
domestic models in  1973).  To determine an  "average" weight value for the
overall market in any given year, it is necessary to proportionally integrate
the sales and weights of each car model or nameplate  sold in that year  to
arrive at a  sales-weighted average  weight value.
              The principal topic covered is passenger car weight trends,
but also included is  a review  of sales  trends  and  ancillary car characteristics
such as dimensional trends, displacement and compression ratio trends,
and accessory equipment trends.
              This  volume (Volume I) summarizes the more pertinent
information from  the analyses.  Further details are given in the main body
of the report (Volume II).

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2.
SALES  TRENDS
               As shown in Figure 1,  the total yearly sales of passenger
cars in the U.S. have risen from about 3.15 million in 1947 to 11.34 million
in 1973.  Sales have been increasing at an  average rate of approximately
315, 000 units per year over this 26-year period after World War II.  Sales
in any given year, however,  can vary considerably from the norm due to
general economic conditions,  strikes, etc.  The share of the market
captured  by  the domestic auto corporations and by all foreign imports is
illustrated in Figure 2 in terms of percent of total sales.  Although import
car sales  rose  sharply from 1962 to 1970,  their percent of total sales
remained  relatively constant  (approximately 15%) from 1970 to  1973.
     10
 SALES,
 MILLIONS
       - ft
                               >U.S. TOTAL
                                DOMESTIC
                              O IMPORTS
                              I
      1947 1950  1955   1960  1965  1970  1973
  Figure 1.  U.S. Total Passenger
             Car Sales
                                                              GENERAL MOTORS
                                             % SALES 30 -
                                                                      ALL FOREIGN
                                                                      AMERICAN MOTORS
                                                         1962
                                                1966    1970  1973
                             Figure 2.  Passenger Car Sales
                                        by Corporation

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               Figure 3 provides a breakdown of  1972  sales by nameplate.
The larger producers are counted first, and the cumulative U.S.  total sales
percentage developed accordingly,  as shown.  The four domestic  corporations
had 85.4% of the total U.S.  passenger car sales.  Adding Volkswagen, Datsun,
and Toyota to this group accounts for 94.3% of the total sales.  The four
domestics plus the top ten imports account for 97.95% of the total 1972 sales.
               The percent  sales distribution between  the domestic corpora-
tions has been relatively constant for the last 10  years.  In 1973,  General
Motors had 44% of total U.S.  passenger car sales, Ford had 24%, Chrysler
had  14%, and American Motors had 3%.
       100
        80
        60
 CUMULATIVE
 % OF
 TOTAL
 SALES
        40
                                                                    2,5
                                                                    2.0
                                                                    1.5
                                                                    1.0
                                                                    0.5
                                           SALES
                                           PER
                                           YEAR IN
                                           MILLIONS
           ID  a
           1  O
           u  u.
•c
>
                  o
                             UI
                                  i- <
                                    o
I- o  <  m i-  a
< >  o   i _i  u
:- -i  N  2 O  *
"• O  <    O  O
  >  2       w
            O
                 Figure 3.  1972 U.S. Sales by Nameplate

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               The distribution of sales by market class during the last 16
years is shown in Figure 4.  Most striking  is  the decline  of the  standard
size car, which represented approximately 90% of  the  entire  market in
1958.  The other market classes have  risen proportionally, with the sub-
compact class showing the most significant  gains in recent years.
                             900-
                             80
                             70
                             60
                         SALES 50
                             40
                             30
\
\

 'STANDARD
 I
  I
  t
  \
                                      v\
                                COMPACT
                                        INTERMEDIATE
                                                SUBCOMPACT
                              1958
                                   1962
                                        1966
                                             1970  1973
                         Figure 4.  Passenger Car
                                    Sales by Market
                                    Class
               Figure  5 illustrates the cumulative monthly sales variations by
market class for calendar year 1973.  As can be noted, the sales distribution
by market class remained relatively constant throughout the year.  The
decline in sales of the standard size class was evident at the beginning of
the year; as was the attendant general increase in percentage sales of the

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subcompact,  compact,  and specialty car classes.  The intermediate  size
class change  from 1972 to 1973 (and throughout 1973) was quite small.
               Subcompact sales more than doubled in the 1966-73 period,
and in 1973 were the  second highest selling market class (approximately 23%
of total sales).  Close behind is the intermediate class (at 20%), whose
sales peaked  in  1968  (25% of total sales),  but have dropped slightly since
then.  Compact  car sales peaked in 1962 (25% of total sales),  but in 1973
represented only approximately 15% of total sales.
               The specialty car class encompasses  both large and small
high-performance cars (Cadillac Eldorado, Lincoln Mark IV,  Mustang,
Camaro,  Monte  Carlo,  etc.).  The  increased sales of this class in 1966 are
due to the popularity of the smaller Mustang- and Camaro-type models.
              /SOLID SYMBOLS DENOTE PERCENTAGES FOR 1972
         40
         30
          20
          10
                                         STANDARD
SUBCOMPACT
-CD	D—
INTERMEDIATE
 3	O
 COMPACT
                                         SPECIALTY
                 FMAMJ     JASON
                                     CY 1973
        Figure 5.   1973 Sales by Market Class (Cumulative Total
                    by Month)

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 3.
WEIGHT TRENDS
               Passenger cars in all market classes have shown a marked
 and steady increase in curb weight with time,  independent of manufacturer.
 This trend is illustrated in Figure 6 for the standard size Chevrolet Impala
 and Ford Galaxie 500 (from 1956 to 1962 the values shown are those for the
 comparable model offered).  Between 1956 and 1974 this increase in curb
 weight amounted to approximately 1100 Ib (33%) and 980 Ib (29%) for the
 Chevrolet and Ford models, respectively.
                     4500 i—
                     4000 —
                CURB
                WEIGHT,
                Ib
                     3500
                     3000
                                                 GALAXIE 500
                       1956  1958
                   1962
                         1966
                                               1970
                                                      1974
                 Figure 6.  Passenger Car Curb-Weight
                            Trends by Nameplate
                      '      (Standard Class)
               In the intermediate class, the Fairlane/Torino series
increased curb weight by approximately 1100 Ib (36%) from 1962 to 1974;
the Chevelle increased curb weight  900 Ib (28%) from 1966 to 1974.  In the
compact class, from 1962 to 1974 the Chevy II/Nova series increased curb
weight by 940 Ib (36%), while the  Valiant increased by 620 Ib (24%).
               For the time  period through 1974, the  standard,  intermediate,
compact, and subcompact size models increased in curb weight approximately
2 to 3% per  year on an average basis for the years and models  examined.
The major imports (Volkswagen,  Datsun,  Toyota) leveled off in curb weight
increases in the 1970-72  period; Datsun, however,  experienced a 400-lb
(19%) increase from 1972 to 1974.

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               The intermediate class car -of 1974 weighs about the same
as the standard size car oŁ  1970 (approximately 4200 Ib curb weight).
Similarly, the compact car  of 1974 has about the same curb weight as the
intermediate  car of 1966 to  1970 (approximately 3300-3600  Ib).
               The overall sales-weighted values of U.S.  passenger car
curb and inertia test weights dropped sharply in the  1960-64 period from
1958 values (shown in Figure 7).  This  was due to the introduction of
domestic compacts in I960 and high sales of both compacts  and  intermediates
during that period.  There has been a steadily rising trend in  sales-weighted
weight values from  1962 to  1973.  The overall sales-weighted inertia test
weight average in 1973  (3968 Ib) is slightly above the previous 1958 high of
3967 Ib.
               Curb and inertia test weight values for domestic  passenger
cars surpassed their  1958 levels in  1970 and appear  to be on a still-rising
trend.  Import cars exhibit  a  steady rise in curb and inertia test weights
from 1958 to  1973.
                       4000
                       3500
                       3000
                   CURB
                   WEIGHT,
                   Ib
                       2500
                       2000
                                                 FOREIGN
                        1500
                         1958
                               1962
                                     1966
                                          1970
                                               1973
                    Figure 7.  Overall Passenger Car
                              Curb-Weight Trends
                              (Sales Weighted)

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               Figure 8 illustrates  sales-weighted curb weight trends for the
five passenger car market classes. In general, they parallel the overall
trends of Figure 7.  Specialty car class weight trends are clouded because
of the mix of both  small and large vehicles.   The introduction of new and
popular models (e.g., the Mustang in  1966) can make large variations in
weight for this particular class.
               Figure 9 depicts curb weight variations as a function of
domestic corporations and total imports.  The sales-weighted average curb
weights of General Motors cars are consistently about 300 Ib higher than
Ford and Chrysler values.   This  is due to the combined sales of standard-
size cars in a plurality of nameplates  (Chevrolet,  Pontiac,  Oldsmobile,
Buick,  Cadillac).  On the other hand,  the curb weights of American Motors
cars  average approximately 500 Ib  less than those of Ford and Chrysler.
This  is because American Motors cars have been exclusively oriented
toward the smaller-car market until very recently.
     4500i—
     4000 JH
     3500
                           INTERMEDIATE
CURB
WEIGHT, 3000
Ib
                                                  4500
                                                  4000
                                                  3500 -
                 GENERAL MOTORS
                      ^^
                       CHRYSLER CORP.
                       ^^
                       FORD MOTOR CO.
CURB
WEIGHT, 3000
Ib
     2500 -
     1500
      1958
            1962
                  1966
                        1970
                             SUBCOMPACT
                             1973
                                                  2500 -
                                                  2000 -.
                                                  1500
                                                    1958
                                                         1962
                                                               1966
                                                                     1970
                                                                          1973
 Figure 8.  Curb Weight Trends
             by Market Class
             (Sales Weighted, U.S,
             Total)
Figure  9.  Curb Weight Trends
           by Corporation
           (Sales Weighted)

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4.
DIMENSIONAL TRENDS
               Standard-size Fords and Chevrolets have increased wheelbase
approximately 6 in.  (5%) and overall length from 1 5 to 22 in. (7 to 11%) in the
period  1957 to 1974, as illustrated in Figures  10 and  11.  Domestic
intermediates and compact models also have increased wheelbase and over-
all length with time.  Some domestic  intermediates are now using a  shorter
wheelbase for the 2-door model (4 in. less) than for the 4-door model. All
market classes show a sharp increase in overall length in 1973 and  1974,
presumably due  to safety bumper provisions.
               1974 intermediates are as long  overall (206 to 215 in.) as
some 1957-70 standard size cars (200 to  216 in. ).   1974 compact models
(~197 in.) are nearly as long overall as 1962-66 intermediates (197 in.).
         122i-
  WHEELBASE,
  in.
         117
         116
         115
                              IMPALA
          19561958  1962   1966  1970  1974
   Figure 10.  Passenger Car
               Wheelbase Trends
               (Standard Class)
                                               225 i-
                                               220
                                               215
                                          OVERALL
                                          LENGTH,
                                          in.
                                               205
                                               200
                                                          IMPALA
                                                1956 1958
                                                         1962
                                                               1966
                                                                     1970
                                                                           1974
                               Figure  11.  Passenger Car
                                           Overall-Length
                                           Trends
                                           (Standard Class)

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               Figures 12, 13, and 14 illustrate sales-weighted wheelbase,
overall length,  and total  overhang (overall length minus wheelbase) trends
for the total U.S. passenger car market, domestic cars only, and  import
cars only.  The total U.S. sales-weighted wheelbase and overall length
values have decreased from 1958 to 1973, despite the fact that all market
classes have increased in these dimensions over bhe same  period.  This is
the result of changes in market class sales distributions; the standard-size
car was  nearly the total market in  1958,  but has been steadily decreasing
in percent of total passenger car sales as the other market classes have
made proportional increases in sales.  The sharp rise in total overhang
values in 1973 (to exceed 1958 values) may be  related to safety bumper
provisions.
               DOMESTIC
115
110
WHEELBASE, ,05
in.
100
95
90
19:
^=^-^
U.S. TOTAL^-^ A
-
-
-
IMPORTS
- r . —x**3
I I I 1
8 1962 1966 1970 197
                                            210
                                            200
                                            190
                                       OVERALL
                                       LENGTH,
                                       in.
                                            180
                                            170
                                            160 »—
                                             1958
                                                                   DOMESTIC
                                                               TOTAL U.S.
                                                                   IMPORTS
                                                                    J
                                                   1962
                                                         1966
                                                               1970  1973
Figure  12.  Passenger Car
            Wheelbase Trends
            (Sales Weighted)
Figure 13.  Passenger Car Over-
            all-Length Trends
            (Sales Weighted)
                                     10

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           85
TOTAL OVERHANG, in.
(overall length -   80
wheelbase)
           75
           70
           65
                                                   3401-
                                                   320 -
                           TOTAL U.S.
ENGINE
DISPLACEMENT, 260
ir,3
                  IMPORTS
                  I
                            I
            1958   1962   1966   1970  1973
   Figure  14.  Passenger Car
               Total-Overhang
               Trends (Sales
               Weighted)
                                                                         DOMESTIC
                             U.S. TOTAL
                                                                          IMPORTS
                                                   70
                                                   1958
                                                         1962    1966
                                                                    1970  1973
                                          Figure 15.  Engine Displacement
                                                      Trends (Sales Weighted)
5>             ENGINE  DISPLACEMENT AND COMPRESSION RATIO TRENDS
               The trend of sales-weighted engine displacement for
passenger cars  is shown in Figure 15 for-the total U.S. market and for the
domestic  and import subdivisions.  Clearly evident in  1962 is the impact of
large-volume sales of domestic compacts (Falcon,  Chevy II, Corvair,
Valiant),  which greatly reduced the sales-weighted  cubic inch displacement
(CID).  From 1962 until 1970,  the average CID increased steadily.  From
1970 to 1973, the average value of domestic  CID declined slightly, but the
import CID continued to rise.  In 1973, the U.S. total  sales-weighted
engine displacement (CID) was slightly lower than in 1958.  The average
displacement of domestically produced passenger cars was approximately
20 cu in.  (7%) higher  in 1973 than in 1958.  The engine displacement of
import models rose approximately 32 cu in. (43%) from  1958 to  1973.
                                      11

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               Sales-weighted compression ratio trends are shown in Figure
 16 for the total U.S.  market, for domestic passenger cars,  and for imports.
                   COMPRESSION
                   RATIO
                                                 DOMESTIC
                                                 IMPORT
                           1958    1962    1966
                                            1970   1973
                      Figure 16.  Engine Compression
                                  Ratio  Trends (Sales
                                  Weighted)
               Following the 1962 reduction in sales-weighted compression
ratio occasioned by high-volume compact car sales,  both the domestic and
U.S. total averages rose sharply and then declined to new lows in 1973.
The 1973 compression ratios reflect not only the increase in sales of smaller
car models,  but also the decision of the U.S. domestic auto industry to
reduce compression ratio across the board in order to be able to operate with
lower octane unleaded gasoline. Import compression ratios rose sharply  and
steadily  from 1962 to  1972, but leveled off in the 1970-73 period, again
because  of anticipated use of unleaded gasoline.  The  1973 U.S.  total sales -
weighted compression ratio is the lowest since 1962 (approximately  8.2).
The import compression ratio rose to 8.15 in 1973 from 7. 0 in  1958.
                                    12

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6.             ACCESSORY EQUIPMENT TRENDS
               Figure  17 summarizes available data concerning the percent of
passenger cars that have been equipped with various power and  luxury items
over the past 16 years.
               All items shown have risen sharply in the period 1962 to
1973.  Both automatic transmissions and radios were used in over 90%
of all domestically produced passenger cars in the 1970-73 period.  The use
of power steering was approaching the 90% level in 1973.  Both air condition-
ing and power brakes, at approximately 75% in 1973,  exhibit a  slope  that
indicates that they also may approach the 90%  level in 4 to 5  years.   The
vinyl top (at about 7 Ib per car) was  used in approximately 49% of all
domestic cars in 1973.
                          100 i—
                     % CARS   50
                     EQUIPPED
                                              AUTOMATIC
                                              TRANSMISSION
                                               RADIO
                                              POWER
                                              STEERING
                                              POWER
                                              BRAKES
                                              AIR
                                              CONDITIONING
VINYL
TOP
                           10 -
                           1958   1962  1966   1970  1973
                   Figure  17.  Power and Luxury Item
                               Trends (Domestic Only)
                                      13

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    70
    60
    50
    40
WEIGHT,
Ib
    30
    20
    10
  POWER AND LUXURY ITEMS
  POWER
-  BRAKES
   DISC BRAKES
   STEERING
   SEATS
   SIDE WINDOWS
   TAILGATE WINDOWS
  LUXURY
   RADIO
   VINYL TOP
   BUCKET SEATS
                 CONDITIONING
     1958    1962    1966    1970  1973
NOTE: AIR CONDITIONING NOT REPORTED FOR 1958
Figure 18.  Optional Power
            and Luxury Item
            Trends (Sales
            Weighted,
            Domestic Only)
               Figure 18 illustrates the
sales-weighted average weight per car for
optional air conditioning and other combined
power and luxury items over the 1958 to
1973 period.
               Air conditioning alone
accounted for an average of 73 Ib per car
in 1973.  The sharp drop in average  weight
for the combined power and luxury item
curve  from 1970 to 1972 is merely a reflec-
tion that a number of power and luxury items
were made standard equipment on many car
models in that period  and are,  therefore,
not separately accountable as in the past.
Thus,  some items previously considered a
luxury are now considered necessary.
               At the slope existing between
1966 and 1970 for combined power and
luxury items, their average weight in 1973
would  represent approximately 52 Ib per
car, which, when added to the air condi-
tioning weight of 73 Ib,  gives a total sales -weighted optional accessory
weight average  of 125 Ib per car in  1973.
              In 1973,  air conditioning represented approximately 1.85%
of the  curb weight.  Again using the extrapolated 1966 to 1970 characteris-
tics  for the other combined power and luxury items, their value in 1973
would be approximately 1. 35% of the curb weight, for an overall total of
approximately 3. 2% of the curb weight (air conditioning plus power and
luxury items).
                                     14

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