EPA-AA-TEB-81-20
Exhaust Emissions from High-Mileage,
  Catalyst-Equipped Passenger Cars
                 by

            Gary  T.  Jones
              July  1981
     Test and Evaluation Branch
Emission Control Technology Division
  Motor  Vehicle  Emission Laboratory
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

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                                   -2-

Abstract

This  report  consolidates  results   from  a  number  of  emission  testing
programs on  in-use  passenger cars.   Vehicles  from the 1975  through  1981
model years were involved.  The purpose of this  effort  was  to examine the
effect  of  "high mileage"  on levels  of  exhaust  emissions.   The  emission
levels  from  the vehicles  involved  were examined  from four  basic  views:
1) "As  received"  results  of the  top  15%  (by  odometer)  versus  similar
results from the bottom 15%  and 85%;  2)  "as  received"  results of  vehicles
with over 50,000 miles  versus  those with under  50,000; 3)  the  effects  of
restorative maintenance on high mileage vehicles;  and 4) the  effects  of
catalyst replacement on high mileage vehicles.

The results show that the  high mileage  vehicles  exhibit higher  average  HC
and CO  emissions  than  the lower mileage  vehicles.   The higher  emission
levels  appear  to  be  due  to  an  increased  rate  of   maladjustments,
disablements and defective parts.  It was also found that  on the  average,
catalytic converters  remain active  beyond a vehicle's statutory  "useful
life" of  50,000 miles  and that restorative maintenance  is  an effective
method  to  reduce  average   emission  levels.   Even further reductions  were
possible, especially in HC, through replacement of the catalytic unit.

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                                   —3—
Background

Federal Regulations  which pertain to  light  duty vehicle  (passenger  car)
emissions  define  "the  useful  life" of  a vehicle  as 5  years or  50,000
miles,  whichever  occurs  first.   EPA  surveillance  studies  of  passenger
cars have demonstrated  that even  low-mileage,  relatively  new vehicles  can
exhibit  poor average  emission performance  when compared  to  applicable
standards  (Reference 1).  When  this  finding  is combined with  the  fact
that many  catalyst  equipped vehicles  have now exceeded  the  50,000 miles
of their "useful life",  it is  clear that an assessment of these  vehicles
must  be made  to  evaluate their impact  on  air  quality.   This  report
collects and  presents  the data from a number of  programs in which  high
mileage vehicles were tested.

Program Design

The data from a number  of  programs  were  consolidated and  categorized  Into
four groups.  Table  1 is a listing  of  the programs  from  which  these  data
were gathered.  Two  of  these  data groups represent  "as-received"  results
only.   These two groups use  the same  data  base,   but  are subjected  to
different  analyses.   The remaining  two  groups  show  both  as-received
results and  the effect  of maintenance actions on  the emission levels  of
high mileage vehicles.
                                 Table 1
Program Title

FY 75 Emission Factors


FY77 Emission Factors


FY79 Emission Factors


FY80 Emission Factors

Restorative Maintenance Testing
of High Mileage Vehicles at
High Altitude

Restorative Maintenance and
Catalyst Replacement on High
Mileage Passenger Cars

California Air Resources Board
High Mileage Catalyst Vehicle
Surveillance Test Program

A Study of Exhaust Emissions from
1975-1979 Model Year Passenger
Cars in Los Angeles
Sites '

Chicago, St. Louis, Houston, Denver,
Los Angeles, Washington, D.C.,  Phoenix

Chicago, St. Louis, Houston, Denver,
Washington, D.C., Phoenix

St. Louis, Houston, Denver, Washing-
ton, D.C., Phoenix, Los Angeles

San Antonio, Denver, Los Angeles

Denver
St. Louis
Los Angeles
Los Angeles

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                                   -4-
Data from  the FY75, FY77,  FY79,  and FY80  Emission Factor  programs  were
utilized for  the  two "as received" analyses.  The  first was in  a  format
of comparing  the  emissions  from  the  top 15% (by odometer  reading)  of the
vehicles against  the  remaining  85%.   Results  from the  bottom  15%  were
also addressed  in some cases.  The  15%  figure  was chosen  arbitrarily to
secure a reasonable  sample  size while still  allowing a  wide difference in
average odometer  readings.   The  second  method was to divide the  vehicles
into two categories by a mileage  cutpoint:  odometer reading over  50,000
miles  versus  odometer  readings   under 50,000  miles.   Because  of  the
different  standards these  vehicles  were designed  to  meet,  the data  is
displayed as  an average of   the  "percent  of  standards".  This  allows the
data  to be  grouped  together  for  direct   comparison.   This  method  is
utilized in Figures  2,  3,  4, 6,  7 and  8.   Shown in Table 2  is  a listing
of the Federal Standards which apply to  these vehicles.

   Table 2 -  Exhaust  Emission Standards  for Passenger Cars (grams/mile)
             	Federal	
             HC
CO
NOx
	California-	

 HC       CO     NOx
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
0.41
0.41
15 3.1
15 3.1
15 2.0
15 2.0
15 2.0
7.0 2.0
3.4(a) l.O(b)
0.9
0.9
0.41
0.41
0.41
0.41(c)
A 0.41(c)
B 0.41(c)
9.0
9.0
9.0
9.0
9.0
9.0
3.4
7.0
2.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
1.5
l.O(d)
l.O(d)
0.7
(a)  Waiver up to 7.0 gm/mi possible.

(b)  Waiver up to 1.5 gm/mi possible for diesel or innovative technology.

(c)  .39 gm/mi standard for hydrocarbons other  than methane  if methane  is
actually measured.

(d)  1.5 gm/mi allowed with 100,000 mile durability.

Note:  For  the  1981  model year, manufacturers may choose  options A or B
separately  for  their gasoline  and  diesel  product lines  in  California.
The option chosen in 1981 must be retained  for the 1982 model year.

The third group of data dealt with  the  effects  of maintenance  on  emission
levels.  This  phase  of  the  high-mileage  testing incorporated  the  same
basic philosophy  as  earlier Restorative Maintenance  (RM) Programs,  i.e.,
testing  in  as-received  condition  followed   by  successive  stages   of
maintenance and  retesting  until the vehicle  either meets its applicable
standards or  receives a major  tune-up  with  replacement of  any defective
emission-related components (except the catalyst).

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                                   -5-

The fourth and  final  data  group  examined was restorative maintenance with
catalyst  replacement.   The catalyst  replacement  was performed  after the
final  test  in  the   standard   RM  procedure.    This   allowed  a  direct
comparison of catalyst efficiency.

Discussion of Results

The  first group  of  data utilizes  the  results from the FY75,  FY77,  and
FY79 Emission Factors programs.   The vehicles were sorted  by  model year,
and  each  model year  was divided  into  three categories  on the  basis  of
odometer  reading.   The first  category  consisted  of   the top  15%  (by
odometer)  of the  vehicles and  the  second  and  third   consisted of  the
bottom  15%  and   85%.   Although  this  method  results   in   decreasing
differences  as  the model  years  progress,  there is  still a  substantial
spread  in the  average odometer  reading.   Figure 1  displays   this  trend
along with the  number of vehicles tested in each category.  Overall, the
average odometer  was  42,400 for  the top 15%, 17,700 for the  bottom 85%
and  7200  for the bottom  15%.   Because  of  many very   small  differences
between the  bottom 15%  and the  bottom 85%,  the  results from  bottom 15%
are not displayed graphically, but are discussed in the  narrative.

Figures 2, 3, and 4 display the  average  HC,  CO,  and NOx  emission  levels
for  the  top  15%  and  bottom 85%  by model year.   As shown in  Figure  2,
every model year, with  the  exception of  1980,  displayed higher average HC
levels  on the  high  mileage  vehicles  than  on  the  vehicles  with  lower
mileage.  One  explanation for  the unexpected results  in the  1980  model
year  is   that  the  average  odometer  for the  bottom 85%  was only  4100
miles.  Thus, some  "green engine  effect" may  still be evident.  The small
sample sizes may  also have an effect.   On an overall  basis,  the average
HC of the high mileage group was  160% of  standard, the  85% group averaged
120%  of  the  standard  and  the bottom  15% averaged  96% of the  standard.
Figure  3  displays  average CO.   In each  model year,   the  CO  level  was
higher for the  higher mileage vehicles.   Overall, the average  CO was 220%
of standard  for the high mileage vehicles,  160%  of  standard  for the 85%
group and 140%  of  the  standard  for  the  bottom 15%.   Figure  4  shows  no
clear trend  for the  average  NOx emissions.   On  an  overall basis,  there
does not  appear to  be  a  significant  difference in average NOx  between the
high and  low mileage vehicles.   A reason for this  is   that EGR problems
which may cause higher NOx  values are offset by problems which  result in
richer mixtures and, thus,  supress formation  of NOx.

This method of  grouping  was also applied to  a sample that  contained only
three-way catalyst  vehicles.   This  sample  consisted  of  428  late  model
vehicles  in which  there  was little difference in the average  odometer  of
the bottom 15% and the bottom 85%.  For  this reason, only  the  top 15% and
the  bottom  85% were  compared.    Listed  in Table  3  are  the  "percent  of
standards" results  for  these  vehicles.  The  clear trend  toward  higher
emissions with  higher mileage  does not appear as evident here as  it was
with the  earlier systems.

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                                   -6-
                                 Table 3
                  Vehicles Equipped with 3-Way Catalysts
Model
Year

1978
1979
1980
1981
             N   Average Odometer
                                   —Percent  of  Standard—
                        HC
Top 15%
Bottom 85%
 7
35
Top 15%      26
Bottom 85%  143
Top 15%
Bottom 85%
12
65
Top 15%      23
Bottom 85%  117
Overall  Top 15%      68
         Bottom 85%  360
35384
17158

20419
 8181

22006
 8899

10702
 4486

18953
 7983
 98
166

165
134

187
117

100
110

140
126
C_0

77
80

74
90

168
116

213
217

138
135
NOx

89
69

89
73

66
74

64
55

76
67
As  shown,  there  are  many  inconsistences  present  in  the  model  year
breakdown.  On  an overall basis, average  emissions  were slightly  higher
in the top 15%.

The second group  of  results  used the same data  base  as the first  group.
However,  instead  of  breaking  down each  model  year into  a  percentile
grouping, a division  point of  50,000  miles  was  used.   This reduced  the
number of model  years  because  of the lack of  any 1979 or newer  vehicles
with over 50,000  miles  in the  data  base.   Figure 5  provides  information
on the average odometer and the number of vehicles in each category.   The
overall  average  odometer reading for  the  high  mileage  group was  62,200
miles while the  average for the  lower mileage  vehicles  was 23,200.   In
each model year,  average HC from  the high  mileage group exceeded that  of
the low mileage vehicles (Figure 6).  The overall average HC  for  the  high
mileage vehicles was twice their standards.  The  average HC  for the lower
mileage  vehicles  was 30%  over their  standards.  Figure  7  displays  the
average CO results of  these  vehicles.  The  1978 model year group  showed
the only  unexpected  results  with slightly  lower CO  levels  for the  high
mileage  group  which contained  only 9  cars.  Overall,  the  high mileage
vehicles displayed an  average  CO level  that was 250%  of standard while
the low mileage vehicles displayed  180%  of  standard.   As in  the  15-85-15
data group,  NOx  did  not  display  a clear  trend..  In  fact,  it was  an
identical 92%  of  standard  for  the  overall  average  on both  the high  and
low mileage groups (Figure 8).  Although  it appears  the overall average
should be different,  the sample sizes of the groups with  largest  apparent
differences were relatively small.

The third group  of data consisted  of  133  high-mileage vehicles  (average
odometer: 66,500)  that underwent RM testing  in St.  Louis, Denver and  Los
Angeles  (Reference 2, 3,  4,  5).  The majority of the vehicles were  1975
and 1976 models although a few  1977  models were  included.  The  collective
results  from  these programs  are  shown in  Figure  9.    As  in  other  RM
programs  on vehicles  with  lower   mileage,  substantial  improvements  in

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                                   -7-

emission levels were  displayed after maintenance.  However,  only  average
NOx  was reduced  below  its  standard.   When  compared  to  lower  mileage
vehicles tested  in other  RM programs, the  percentage reductions in  the
emission levels  appear similar  although  the final  levels  achieved  were
not  as  low.    These  results  are  further  confirmed  by   an  earlier
Restorative   Maintenance   retesting  program   in   the   Detroit   area
(Reference 6) in  which thirteen 1975 model  year vehicles  received  three
RM testing  sequences  over  a two year period.   The time interval  for  the
second  and  third  tests were  approximately  twelve  months and  eighteen
months after  the  first test.   The  average odometer for each test  point
was  9,900  (first test), 27,000 (second test),  and  36,000 (third  test).
The  results from  this program show  deterioration  in the average emission
levels  of  the   retested   vehicles  in  both   their   "as-received"   and
"tuned-up" condition.  Restorative  Maintenance  reduced the  levels in  the
second and  third  tests to  close to the lowest  levels  of   the first  test
point.  However,  as  the  mileage increased on these vehicles,  the  average
HC and CO emission levels  of  the "tuned-up"  vehicles never  quite achieved
the  levels  of  the preceding  tests.   Between  the  first   and  last  test
(approximately 26,000  miles)  the average  "tuned-up" HC and CO  increased
29% and 53% respectively.

No significant findings  were  obtained upon sorting  the 133 car group  by
manufacturer.   The  highest "as-received"  HC was  achieved  by the  Ford  as
227% of the standard.   The highest CO was  311%  of standards achieved  by
GM  vehicles.   The  highest  NOx was 199%  of standard achieved  by  the
Chrysler vehicle  average.    Chrysler achieved the  lowest   as-received  HC
and  CO values  (137%  and  188%,  respectively).  As   a  group,   imported
vehicles displayed  the lowest as-received NOx value  (101%  of  standard).
After undergoing  maintenance,  vehicles from  all manufacturers  displayed
decreases in each of  the regulated  pollutants.   However, on  the average,
none of the manufacturer groups passed their standards  for all three.

The fourth and final group  of  data  consisted of twenty-one 1975 and  1976
model  year  vehicles   (average  odometer:  87,000  miles)  that  underwent
restorative maintenance procedures  in  St.  Louis  and Denver (Reference  7,
and 8).  After the final test  in the standard RM  procedure,  the catalyst
was replaced with a new unit and the vehicle was  retested.

Figure  10  displays  the  emission  reductions which  occurred  during  the
different phases  of  this testing.   As  expected, a drop  in the  emission
levels occurred  after the  major tune-up  and  component replacement were
performed,  although  only NOx  was  reduced to below  its standard.   After
replacing the catalyst, HC  dropped  43%  and CO dropped  14%.   This  brought
average HC below its standard while  CO was still above.  The  new catalyst
obviously  had  an  impact   on  reducing  the  emission  levels   of  these
vehicles.   However,  the  replacement catalysts were new and had not been
conditioned in any way.  The efficiency of these fresh  units  would likely
decrease slightly and level off after some mileage accumulation.

An additional  area of evaluation  involved eight  vehicles  tested in  St.
Louis that had an average odometer  of 104,000 miles.   This  step  consisted
of  replacing   the old catalyst  with  a   plain section  of  pipe  (with
restrictions to duplicate  the  back  pressure).   The  test performed  after
these actions  showed  evidence of the  old  catalyst's activity because  of

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                                   -8-

the emission  increases  witnessed   Average HC was  up  87%, average  CO  was
up  66%,  and  average NOx  remained virtually unchanged.   This  indicates
that  the  converters  displayed  catalytic  activity  well  beyond  their
"useful  life".   When  the new  catalysts  were  installed  on these  eight
vehicles,  average  HC and CO  emission levels fell  below the best  levels
achieved  with the  old  catalysts.   This  implies  that  although the  old
units were still active, they were not as efficient as the new units.

Cause Analysis

The data  presented  has  established a definite correlation between  higher
mileage  and  increased  emissions.   Two  possible   reasons   behind   the
increases are a higher  rate  of  defective parts  and/or an  increase  in  the
number of  maladjustments and disablements.  Upon examination of  the  data
from the underhood inspection forms,  it  was  determined that  both of these
factors were  predominant.   On  the 15-85  vehicle  group,  it was  revealed
that 92%  of the  high  mileage  vehicles  were maladjusted  and/or  disabled
compared  to  80% of  the lower  mileage  vehicles.  The  rate  of  defective
parts  was 25%  for  the  high mileage vehicles  versus  10%  for  the  low
mileage vehicles.  The higher- rate of defective parts is  probably  due to
greater deterioration  caused by  the  increased  usage  factors.    Shown  in
Table  3  are  the pass-fail rates  of  the individual  control systems.   In
each case, the high mileage  group  displayed  higher failure rates than  the
lower mileage vehicles.  This data  suggests  that as mileage  increases,  so
does the rate of maladjustments,  disablements, and defective parts.    The
ability  to   reduce  the  emission  levels  of  these  vehicles   through
restorative maintenance  was  clearly  shown in the  RM programs  mentioned
earlier.

                                 Table 3
                     System Inspection Failure Rates*

                System                 Bottom 85%        Top  15%

                Induction                  17              30
                Fuel                       75              88
                Choke                      42              55
                Ignition                   33              48
                Air Pump                    3              22
                EGR                         8              19
                PCV                        11              18
                Evap.                       4    .          11
                Exhaust                     0               2

*Note:   A  maladjustment/disablement  and/or   a   defective part   are   the
criteria for failing a  system.  Numbers  are  expressed as  a  percentage  of
system failures on vehicles equipped with the subject  system.

Conclusions

The results of  the  above analysis  show  that the higher mileage  vehicles
had significantly  higher average  HC  and CO  emissions "as-received"  than
similar   vehicles   with  lower   mileage.    NOx   emission  levels  were
approximately the  same.   The higher  emission levels  on the high mileage

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                                   —9—

vehicles appear  to  be due to  a  higher rate  of  maladjustment/disablement
actions and defective parts.

Restorative maintenance  was effective  in reducing  the  average  emission
levels  on  the  high  mileage  vehicles.   However,  only  average  NOx was
reduced  to below its standard.   Catalyst  replacement was  effective  in
further  reducing emission  levels  after  standard  RM  procedures.   Even
though the new catalysts displayed  an  improvement over the old  catalysts,
the original  units  were  still reasonably effective beyond their  defined
"useful  life".    Overall,  the results  of  these  programs   display the
durability  of  emission control systems and  the  ability  of  high  mileage
vehicles to respond  favorably to proper maintenance.

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                                  -10-

References

    1.   An Evaluation  of Restorative  Maintenance on  Exhaust Emissions
         from  In-Use   Automobiles,    J.T.  White,   SAE   Paper   780082,
         March, 1978.

    2.   Evaluation  of  Restorative Maintenance  and  Catalyst  Replacement
         on Exhaust Emissions from Eight Very High Mileage Passenger Cars
         in St. Louis,  G.T.  Jones,  Report  #79-10,  June,  1979.

    3.   A Study of Exhaust Emissions from 1975-1979 Model Year Passenger
         Cars  in  Los Angeles, Lawrence Moore  and Donald  C.  Unger, Jr.,
         EPA-460/3-79-004, July,  1979.

    4.   Restorative Maintenance Testing of High Mileage Vehicles at High
         Altitude,  Automotive Testing  Laboratories,   Inc.,  Work  Effort
         No. 3, Contract No.  68-03-2612, August,  1978.

    5.   Final Report of  the High Mileage  Catalyst  Vehicle Surveillance
         Test  Program,   California   Air   Resources   Board,  MS-80-002,
         December, 1979.

    6.   Evaluation  of  Restorative  Maintenance  Retesting  of Passenger
         Cars in Detroit,  G.T. Jones, Report  #79-5, January,  1979.

    7.   Op. Cit.  #4

    8.   Op. Cit.  #2

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9: 92

s
       Hodel Inr:     75       76       77      78    Overall
                                                                                                    Model Te.n    7J      76       77      78    Overell

-------
             Figure 9:  Restorative  Maintenance on 133
             1975,1976 and.1977  High Mileage  Vehicles
                    Average Odometer:  66,500
300 -



•g 200 -
a
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c
CO
4J
C/5
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I As-Re

After







96
1
Y////////X
                     HC
CO
NO,
  Figure  10: Restorative Maintenance and  Catalyst
  Replacement on  21  1975 and  1976 High MileageVehicles
               Average Odometer: 87,000
    400-
    300-
at
4J
CO
C
u
u
£
    200-
      o-i
               217
    100	
            j   [ As-Received

                After Maintenance

                After Catalyst Replacement
                                 CO

-------