&EPA
            United States
            Environmental Protection
            Agency
             Office of Pesticides
             and Toxic Substances
             Washington DC 20460
EPA 560/TIIS-80-001
November 1980
            Toxic Substances
Chemical Selection
Methods:
An Annotated
Bibliography

Toxic Integration
Information Series

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Toxics Integration Information Series                       EPA 560/TIIS-80-001
                                                            November 1980
                          Chemical  Selection Methods:
                           An Annotated Bibliography
                          John N.  Gevertz,  Elaine Bild
                          Office of Toxics  Integration
                             with  the assistance of
                               Douglas W. Sellers
                          Management  Support Division
                           Office  of Toxic  Substances

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Other Publications.in the Toxics Integration Policy  Series:

State Administrative Models for Toxic  Substances Management  (July  1980)
    EPA-560/13-80-018
Other Publications in  the Toxics  Integration  Information  Series:

EPA Chemical Activities  Status Report -  1st Edition  (June 1979)
    EPA-560/13-79-003

Directory of Federal Coordinating Groups for  Toxic Substances-
    1st Edition  (June  1979),  2nd  Edition (March  1980)  - EPA-
    560/ 13-80-008

Perspectives on  The Top  50  Production Volume  Chemicals (July  1980)
    EPA-560/13-80-027

Federal Activities in  Toxic Substances  (May  1980)
    EPA-560/13-80-015

Perspectives on  State-EPA Grant Agreements  (September  1980)
    EPA 560/13-80-037

EPA Chemical Activities  Status Report  - 2nd  Edition  (December 1980)
    EPA-560/13-80-040 0>)
              For further information, or to order copies, contact:

                      Industry Assistance Office (TS-799)
                      U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
                      401 M Street,  S.W.
                      Washington,  D.C.  20460
                              ••7
                      Toll-free Telephone:   800-424-9065
                      In Washington, D.C.:   554-1404
                                     *
                                        ii

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                                    FOREWORD

The selection,  ordering,  and ranking of  chemical substances stands  as one  of
the most  critical,  yet difficult,  tasks  facing  those  who are  engaged in  the
testing,  assessment,  and regulation  of substances  as  well as  enforcement  of
those regulations.  In the  course of our  studies of decision-making processes
in the  Office  of Toxics Integration, we  have discovered  a  number of  resource
materials  that  might   serve  the needs  of those  in  other Federal  agencies  as
well as  those  in States, industry and academia.  This annotated bibliography
is intended  to  assist those faced with decisions related to  the selection  of
chemicals  to become  aware  of the  state-of-the-art  for  those  decision-making
processes.   Hopefully, duplicative  and  overlapping  efforts   can be  avoided
through such awareness.

It is anticipated  that this bibliography  will  be updated and  expanded.   Tour
comments,  suggested revisions,  and additions should be  addressed  to:   Office
of Toxics Integration, TS-777,  U.S.  Environmental  Protection  Agency,  401 M
Street,  SW,  Washington, DC   20460,  telephone  (202)  755-2778.   Copies of  all
materials referenced  in this  bibliography are available for examination in  the
Headquarters'  EPA  Library,   room  M2404  Waterside  Mall,  401   M Street,   SW,
Washington, DC.
                                            Walter W. Kovalick, Jr.
                                            Director
                                            Integration Staff
                                       111

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                  Acknowledgements

This   bibliography  was   prepared   by   the   Environmental
Protection   Agency's   Office   of  Pesticides   and   Toxic
Substances  (OPTS).  Document  identification  and  retrieval,
as well  as  preparation of originalabstracts, was conducted
primarily by Tracer-Jitco,  Incorporated,  under  contract to
the Management  Support  Division  of  OPTS.  Ginny  Shreve of
Tracor-Jitco  was  principally  involved  in the  effort;  Doug
Sellers  of   the  Management  Support  Division  was  Project
Officer.  John  Gevertz of  the  Office  of  Toxics Integration
served as Technical Monitor.
                         IV

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                                  Tablet of Contents



                                                                 Page
Introduction                                                      1



Chemical Selection Methods                                        3

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                                   INTRODUCTION

This  bibliography is  intended  to provide  individuals  interested in  chemical
selection  (priority setting, ranking,  indexing,  sorting) with  a co-lleotian of
relevant  materials.   Examination of  such materials  may  prevent  unnecessary
duplication  of effort  and  aid  in the  development of  new  useful methods  to
assist  in  selecting chemicals of  concern.    The selection methodologies  listed
here  were  developed  by  EPA,   other  Federal  agencies,  State  agencies  and
contractors  for  these  agencies,   as  well as  industrial, academic and  public
interest organizations.

Included  with  each  entry is  a  brief  abstract.    Some  of  the  abstracts  were
prepared   specifically   for   this  effort;   others  accompanied   the   original
documents.

Chemical  selection has  been and   continues  to be  of  interest  to many  groups
concerned  with the  regulation  of toxic substances.   For  example,  the  Toxic
Substances  Control   Act  (Public  Law   94-469)   requires  the   Environmental
Protection Agency to  compile an inventory of chemical substances  manufactured,
imported,  or  processed  in  the United  States for commercial  purposes.    By
June  1980, over 55,000 chemicals  were  included in this Inventory.  EPA is  also
responsible  for  determining which  of  these  chemicals  may  require   testing,
which  should  be  subject  to  information  gathering  rules,  and  which  might
require  regulatory controls.   Making these  types of  determinations   requires
"selecting" small groups of  substances from larger  groups.

Because of the  large  number  of  potentially  toxic  substances  and the variety  of
actions possible  under numerous Federal  and  State authorities, development and
use of  systematic selection  methodologies has become  a  necessity.  Of course,
use of  systematic selection  methods is  appropriate only  at  certain stages  in
any   regulatory  decision  process.    For  example,   early   in   any   process,
candidates must  be  screened to   identify  substances  clearly  requiring  some
assessment;  later,  candidates from  the first  group  must be chosen  for more
in-depth  consideration;  and  finally,  a  few candidates     are    selected for
regulation.   Thus,  selection methods  can be  applied  to  candidate pools  that
are  large or  small  and to  information ranging  from  limited   to extensive.
However,  selection schemes  must   be  developed  and employed  "operationally";
that  is,  with  regard to  the  requirements   of the  particular  stage in the
regulatory process that is being considered.

There are  also  some inherent limitations in the use of  any  chemical selection
methodology.  Most  selection methods involve  consideration  of some or all  of
the   following   factors:     carcinogenicity,   mutagenicity,   teratogenicity,
neurotoxicity,  and other  chronic human health  effects; acute  human health
effects; environmental toxicity;  types  and quantities of  emissions, human and
environmental  exposure;  bioaccumulation;  costs of regulations; and regulatory
1 Excluded from this inventory are mixtures, pesticides, tobacco, food, food
  additives, drugs, cosmetics, firearms, and nuclear materials.

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authority.   Any  method  .which  involves   combining   various  categories   of
information  to arrive at  some  single  index of  concern  runs  the  risk  of
rendering 'the original data meaningless.

Existing  systematic  selection methods  generally  utilize some  form of  scoring
or  ranking which  involves assigning  a  dimensionless  or arbitrary  number  to
each  of  the factors  being  considered.   Conversions  of  this  type  tend  to
obscure the  original data, and  fail  to  incorporate a  measure of  uncertainty.
Suppose,  for example, that  the number  "3" is assigned  to  any  substances  to
which  between  10,000  and 100,000  persons  are  exposed.  Not only  will  this
number  fail  to  convey accurately  the  number exposed,  it  will  also  fail  to
provide  an  indication of  the  level  of uncertainty  in the  estimate  or  an
indication of the basis for the  estimate (e.g., monitoring, modeling).

Another  limitation  to the use  of many scoring methods  is  that  they  employ
simple  additive   or  multiplicative   algorithms   to  combine  factors.    Such
algorithms often  ignore  or distort the  true relationship between  factors.   In
the  case of an additive  system,   for  example,  suppose  that  for  Chemical  X,
carcinogenicity is  assigned  a "5", no  information is  available  for six  other
factors  so each is  assigned  a  "0",  and  persistence  is assigned  a "3".   The
total  score  for  Chemical X is  "8".   For  Chemical  Y,   carcinogenicity  is
assigned  a  "1",   each of  six  other  factors is  also  assigned  a  "1",  and
persistence  given  a "3".  The total  score for Chemical Y is,  thus, "10".   It
is unclear,  however, whether  Chemical Y  is really more hazardous  than  Chemical
X, regardless of the policy framework governing the evaluator.

Some  methods  utilize "flagging"  or "triggering,"  as  a means  of  selection.
"Flagging"  refers  to setting  threshold levels  or  employing  "discriminators"
for  various  factors  in  order  to  select  candidates.   Any  chemical  may  be
"flagged" if it exceeds a discriminator for a single  factor  or,  to allow  for
synergism,   if  it   exceeds  the  discriminators  for certain  combinations  of
factors.   The use of "flags" or "triggers"  in  a selection  scheme avoids  the
complex data manipulations required for  the systems discussed  above.   However,
selection methodologies  using "flagging" are only effective  if the factors  are
chosen  in a  careful  logical manner.

Systematic  selection  methodologies will  certainly  become  significant in  the
selection of chemicals  for assessment  and regulation.   Such methods  provide
consistency   in  decision  making.   They  also   promote  efficient   resource
allocation.   Finally, use of these methodologies will  aid in the  defensibility
and effectiveness  of regulatory actions.

This  bibliography  should  assist  individuals  in  identifying previous  efforts
relevant   to their   needs,  and  foster  an  understanding  of  the  nature  of
selection methods.  Several different  types  of systematic selection  processes
are included in this work.  Those listed were chosen specifically because they
are  relevant to sorting groups of  chemicals.  Before employing  any  of  these
systems or developing new methods,  however, the potential limitations  of each
should  be understood.

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Chemical Selection Methods

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Allport, J.; Casey, S.; Cook, J.; et al.
Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California
A Study of Industrial Data on Candidate Chemicals  for Testing-Final Report
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Toxic Substances
EPA-560/5-77/006, 1977, Research Request No.  1
NTIS #PB-274 264/1GA

This report  summarizes  the work done  by  Stanford  Research Institute for EPA's
Office  of   Toxic   Substances   and  includes  three  major  parts.   (1)   Data
previously collected  on  an NSF study was supplemented to  provide  the following
information  where available on 667 industrial  chemicals:   (a)  United  States
production;  (b)  estimates of quantities  released  annually to the  environment;
(c)  major uses; and  (d)  references on mutagenicity tests.  Mutagenicity  data
on  25  chemicals  were evaluated after  developing a list of assays  and  criteria
for  classifying the  results as either  positive  or negative/inadequate.   (2)
Tables  which  contain  economic information  on  1791 chemicals  belonging to  26
structural  classes  considered  to  represent potential  industrial  carcinogens
and  mutagens  were  prepared.   For   those  chemicals  with  annual  production
greater  than  one  million  pounds,  market   forecasts  which  present  a brief
summary  of production, consumption patterns, major  uses,  possible substitutes,
and  growth trends were  prepared.   (3) Carcinogenicity  data for  all chemicals
belonging to  three  classes  (epoxides, alkyl halides,  and vinyl  halides)  were
used to  correlate  structural  features  with  carcinogenic activity.   Criteria
were developed  for  estimating the  potential carcinogenicity  of chemicals  in
each class.   These  criteria  were applied  to  these  chemicals  in each class
known   to  be   produced   commercially   or  for  which   there  was  evidence  of
significant  human exposure.  The results of  the study were  summarized  in three
separate reports.

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Archer, S.R.; McCurley, W.R.; Rawlings, 6.D.
Monsanto Research Corporation, Dayton, Ohio
Source  Assessment:    Pesticide  Manufacturing  Air   Emissions—Overview   and
Prioritization
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Industrial Environmental Research Lab
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
EPA-600/2-78/004d, March 1978
NTIS #PB 279-171/3ST    "  t
                           ' &'-

The report is an overview of  the  pesticide manufacturing industry and ranks  80
major  pesticides  based  on  their  potential  environmental  burden from  an  air
pollution  standpoint.   Production  of synthetic organic pesticides  was about
640,000 metric tons in  1974. - Thirty-seven major synthetic organic pesticides,
those with  annual production" of  4540 or -more  tons,  accounted for  74%  of  the
market.   Elemental  chlorine  is  conmon  to  most   pesticides,  but   other   raw
materials  include hydrogen  cyanide,  carbon  disulfide, phosgene,   phosphorus
pentasulfide,  hexachlorocyclepentadisBe,  various-  amines,  and  concentrated
acids  and  caustics.   Air pollution aspects  of  the  pesticide  manufacturing
industry  are essentially  without  qttaatitatve  data.   For  some plants,   the
pollution caused by  loss of active  ingredients  is less  significant  than that
caused  by   unreacted   by-products.   Evaporation  from   holding   ponds   and
evaporation lagoons may also be an emission  source,  although few quantitative
data  are  available.   Emissions emanate  from various  pieces  of  equipment  and
enter  the  atmosphere  as  both  active  ingredients  and  as  raw  materials,
intermediates,  and   by-products.   Air   emission  control   devices  include
baghouses, cyclone separators,  electrostatic precipitators,  incinerators,   and
gas scrubbers.   Synthetic  organic pesticide  production in 1985  will be about
806,000 metric tons.

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Astill, B.D.; Lockhart, H.B., Jr.; Moses, J.B.; et  al.
Eastman Kodak Company, Rochester, New York
Sequential Testing for Chemical Risk Assessment
Presented at the Second International Congress on Toxicology
Brussels, Belgium, July 6-11, 1980

A  method  of quantitatively evaluating  environmental  and  health  hazard  is
presented.   Four categories  of effects  were established:   the  magnitude  of
environmental exposure  (ME),  the magnitude of human exposure (MH),  the  effects
on human  health of an exposure  (H),  and the effects on  the  environment of  an
exposure  (E).   The criteria for MH  are production per year,  number of  people
exposed,  duration of  exposure,  and  number of groups exposed.  The  criteria for
ME  are  amount   discharged  per  year,  number of  discharge  sites,  number  of
discharges per  year,  and  half-life  in the environment.   Criteria for H  are the
oral  median  lethal  dose in  rats,  reversibility of  immediate  effects,   and
reversibility  of prolonged  effects.   Criteria  for E  are  the  5  hour  median
inhibitory  concentration on waste  water treatment microorganisms, the  median
lethal  concentration  on fish,  and  the octanol-water partition coefficient  as  a
measure  of  bioconcentration potential.-  Each  criterion  is  given a maximum,
median  and  minimum range and these  are ranked 1,  2, or  3, respectively.   The
cumulative  health  or environmental  score  for a compound  is  evaluated  so  that
scores  of 9 or  less,  10  to  13, 14 to  17,  or 18  or more suggest testing levels
I,  II,  III, or IV,  respectively.   Level  I  testing  includes  physical   and
chemical  properties,  acute  health  effects,  in vitro  mutagenesis  and acute
environmental  tests.   Level  II includes  2 week feeding  or  inhalation  tests,
skin   painting   tests,   more  mutagenesis  tests,  activated  sludge  effects,
photodegradation,  biodegradation,  effects on plant growth and germination and
partition coefficients.   Level III  includes  90  day  feeding  or  inhalation,
fertility   tests,   teratology,   half-life   and  metabolites    in  rodents,
nitrification   inhibition,   algal   toxicity,  14  to  21  day   biodegradation,
simulated fate  study, larval fish studies, and bioconcentration factor.  Level
IV includes 2 year  feeding   studies,   3  generation   reproduction studies,
teratology,  pharmacokinetics,  biodegradation products,  soil  interaction,  and
long  term aquatic  studies.   If testing is  conducted  the results  may  then  be
entered into the scoring and the total score reassessed.  The authors conclude
this  screening protocol  is  both cost  and  time effective.   Over  five  hundred
chemicals have  been tested over two  years.

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 Becker, D.S.
 IIT Research  Institute
 Design of  a Chemical  Hazard  Ranking System-Final Report
 Prepared for  U.S.  Consumer Product  Safety Commission
 Bethesda,  Maryland
 Contract No.  CPSC-C-77-0068
 December 27,  1978

 The Consumer  Product Safety Commission  would like  to  rank the health  hazards
 of  the  chemicals  in  consumer  products to  enable  them  to  allocate  their
 resources  in  an  appropriate  manner.    The  three  main  factors  of  consumer
 chemical hazard  due to consumer  products are:    toxicity,  dose per  person  and
 population exposed.    Unfortunately,   these   factors  are  not   available   as
 standardized   statisitics,   nor  can   they  be   calculated  by   standardized
 formulas.   Population exposed  could be  computed  from  marketing data for  each
 product, but  this  would be  prohibitively expensive.  Dose per  person should be
 computable from  a  product's   known  characteristics  (aerosol,  skin  contact,
 frequency  of  use,  etc.), though  accepted standardized  equations do  not  exist.
 Chemical toxic strength factors  for carcinogens, mutagens  and teratogens  are
 known  for  only a  few percent  of consumer chemicals.  No  standard method  for
 extrapolating  latent  toxic  strength factors,  from data  on the  tested chemicals
 to the untested  ones exists.   Typically,  these  problems  have been overcome 'by
 having panels  of experts rate  the 3 factors based on unstated  rules. However,
 the scope  of  the  problem for consumer  chemicals favors a computerized approach
 based  on  systematic  procedures.   First,  such  a  system  could efficiently
 re-rank  all  chemicals  as  new data became  available.   Second,  it  is  less
 expensive  to  use automated procedures  for this  application.  Third,  it is more
 precise  to make   all  the  decision  criteria explicit.  This  report presents
 uniform techniques for  estimating the  toxicity,  dose per person and  population
 exposed factors and  for calculating a hazard score  from them.  The  procedures
 are sufficiently  general that  they can  be applied to all  consumer chemicals
 within an  automated system using  available data.
Branson, D.R.
Hazard Assessment of Chemicals in the Aquatic Environment
Presented  at  the  18th  Annual  Meeting  of  the  Society  of  Toxicology,  New
Orleans, March 13, 1979

A  method  is  presented   for   selecting  priority  pollutants  based  on  the
principles of hazard assessment  for  chemicals  in the aquatic environment.  The
method combines environmental release rates,  ambient levels  in fish and water,
persistance  and  bioaccumulation,  chronic  toxicity  to aquatic  organisms,  and
acceptable daily intake levels by humans.   A case study illustrates the method
using   two   chemicals   with   fairly   high  environmental   release   rates,
di-2-ethylhexylphthalate and linear  alkylbenzene  sulphonate,  and two chemicals
with   moderately   high   release   rates,    polychlorinated   biphenyl   and
pentachlorophenol.

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Brown, S.L.
Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California
Setting Priorities for Environmental R and D on Army Chemicals
Annual Report for 1976
Prepared for Army Medical Research and Development Command
Contract No. DAMD17-75-C-5071
NTIS #AD-A046 357/OST, January 1977

The  Environmental  Protection Research  Division of  the Army  Medical Research
and   Development   Command  is   charged   with   recommending   criteria   for
environmental  standards dealing  with the  manufacture, use,  and  disposal of
chemicals  in Army  activities.    This  report presents  a methodology that  can
assist   the   Army   in  allocating  resources   among   candidate  research   and
development  studies  on  the environmental effects of Army chemicals.  The  basis
of  the methodology  is  a mathematical  model of  the  process  leading from  the
initial pollution of air,  water,  or land to the eventual environmental effects
of  the  chemicals  in  question.   The  model  estimates   a  total  hazard   value,
weighted  among  human and ecological effects, with a corresponding  uncertainty
due  to  lack  of knowledge.   The  allocation  methodology  then  compares  the
reduction  in hazard  uncertainty  expected to be achieved after a  research  study
with  the cost  of the study.  Candidate  studies  are ranked  according  to  this
ratio.

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Brown, S.L.; Chan, F.Y.; Jones, J.L., et al.
Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California
Research Program on Hazard Priority Ranking of Manufactured Chemicals
5 volumes
Prepared for National Science Foundation
Washington, D.C.
NTIS #PB-263 161/2ST; #PB-263  162/OST;  #PB-263 163/8ST; #PB263 164/6ST;  #PB263
165/3ST, April 1975

The  research  effort  by SRI was  divided  into two  phases.    In  Phase  I,  the
universe  of manufactured  organic   chemicals was   reduced   to   250  chemicals
according  to  the highest  calculated values  for  the  release rates  for  these
chemicals.   Data  on  relevant physical   and chemical properties  for   these
chemicals  were  presented to  the  Advisory  Panel  during  its  meeting  in  Menlo
Park, California, on August  26-27,  1974.   From this  list  of  250 chemicals  and
from a  list of  41 chemicals designated by the Advisory Panel  as 'Most  Wanted
Chemicals', the members  of  the Advisory Panel selected 80 chemicals for  Phase
II  study,   as  the  chemicals  with   the  greatest  potential   for  environmental
effects.   In Phase  II  of  this  two-phase  effort,  80  chemicals  having  the
greatest potential  for  environmental  effects were  studied.   Information  was
collected  on the  extent  of  the environmental  exposure  to  these  chemicals
(during manufacture and  use) and  on  the possible  environmental effects of this
exposure  (chemical,   physical,  and  biological  properties,  persistence,  and
toxicity).  A questionnaire  survey  of industry was  conducted to determine  the
amount and  types of losses in  the manufacturing  plants.  Information from this
survey is  tabulated.  The  following  summary reports are  submitted  for each of
the  80  chemicals:  (1) A flow  diagram showing industrial  data on  the amounts
used for various applications;  (2)  a one-page assessment  of  the data gathered
on  toxicology  and  environmental  persistence;  (3)  a  computer  printout  of a
tabular summary of the  important  data gathered;  and (4) copies  of  the 25 most
pertinent  abstracts  found  in the area  of  toxicology.   The   report • is divided
into five volumes.

The  first  volume  contains chemicals  1-20:   Tetrakis(hydroxymethyl)phosphonium
chloride,   Benzo(a)pyrene    (BAP),     Tetraethyl    lead,    Vinyl    chloride,
Hexachlorobenzene, o-Cresol,  Ethylbenzene, Nonylphenol,  ethoxylated  (9  moles
of   ethylene   oxide),   Hexachlorobutadiene,   Vinylidene  chloride,   Toluene,
Ethylene  dibromide,   Tris(2,3-dibromopropyl)   phosphate,  Ethylene  dichloride,
Trichloroethylene,  1,1,1,-Trichloroethane,  Carbon   tetrachloride,  Chlorinated
paraffins (35-64% chlorine),  Perchloroethylene, Dichlorodifluoromethane.

The second  volume contains chemicals 21-40:   Benzene (chemical uses),  Silicone
fluids,  Nitrobenzene,   Toluenediisocyanate   (TDI),  Xylenes   -   mixed  total,
Aniline,  Dimethyl  terephthaiate,  Trichlorofluoromethane,  p-Dichlorobenzene,
Tetrabromoethane,  Methylenebis(2-chloroaniline),    Polyhalogenated   biphenyls
(Aroclor 1254), Tricresyl phosphate,  Fluorescent  brightening agents  (no. 28),
Polyvinyl   chloride,   Methylene  chloride,   Dichloropropene,  Dichloropropane
mixture, and Ethyl chloride.

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The  third  volume  contains  chemicals   41-60:    (Ethylenedinitrilo)tetraacetic
acid,  tetrasodium  salt,  Benzidine, Zinc   di(butylhexyl)  phosphorodithioate,
N-(Dimethylpentyl)-N-phenyl-p-phenylenediamine,  Vinyltoluene,  Methyl bromide,
Mercaptobenzothiazole,  Chloroform, Acetontrile,  Di(ethylhexyl) phthalate, Vat
Blue  Dye no.  6  (Dichloroindanthrone),   Di(ethylhexyl)  adipate, Dimethylamine,
Dichlorobenzidine,  Hexamethylenetetramine,  Acyclic xanthic  acid salts  (Sodium
isopropylxanthate-Dow   Z-ll),   Sulfolane-p-Nonylphenyl   manganese   phosphite,
Nitrilotriacetic  acid   (trisodium  salt),   and   Diarylarylenediamines   (mixed)
( Wingstay  100).

The   fourth volume contains   chemicals 61-79:    Polyacrylonitrile   (fibers),
Naphthalene, N,N-Dimethyldodecylamine oxide, Chloroprene, Formaldehyde  (37% by
weight),   Bis(hydrogenated  tallow  alkyl)   dimethylammonium   chloride,  Methyl
chloride,   Dioxane, Ethylene  oxide,  Allyl  chloride,   Ethylenimine,   Phenol,
Tri(chloroethyl)phosphate,  Polyethylene  glycols  (MW   400),   Methoxyethanol,
Dodecylbenzenesulfonic   acid(sodium  salt),  Bis(chloroethyl)   ether,   Dodecyl
mercaptan,  Polyurethane and diisocyanate resins,  and  Ethylene.

The  fifth volume contains  a listing of the  references  for the data  collected
and  general notes describing the data.
 Brown, S.L.; Holt, B.R.; McCaleb, K.E.
 Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California
 Systems for Rapid  Ranking  of Environmental Pollutants:  Selection  of  Subjects
 for Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports
 Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
 Office of Research and Development
 Office of Health and Ecological Effects
 Washington, D.C.
 EPA-600/5-78/012, June 1978
 NTIS #PB-284-338/1ST

 This document reports  the  results of the  development  and  testing  of  a  system
 for  rapidly ranking  environmental  pollutants.   One   potential  use  for  the
 system  is  in  choosing  the  most   important   candidates  for  Scientific  and
 Technical  Assessment  Reports  (STAR).   Of  several  possible  approaches  to
 ranking  environmental  agents,  a  system  depending  on  expert  opinion  but
 assisted by  an  objective subsystem  was selected for  development.   The  system
 defines  procedures   for   collecting,  processing,  and  evaluating  data  on
 production  and  use;  environmental   transport,  transformation,  and rate;  and
 human  health  and  welfare  and  ecological  effects.  A test  of the objective
 subsystem confirmed the utility of  the  system.  Of ten candidate  agents, the
 three highest ranked were cyanides, carbon disulfide, and beryllium.
                                       10

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Carins, J.; Dickson, K.L., Maki, A.W.
Estimating the Hazard of Chemical Substances  to Aquatic  Life
Hydrobiologia, 64(2):157-66  (1979)

A  conceptual  framework  for  conducting  a  hazard  assessment  is  presented.
Various  toxicity tests and  procedures  for evaluating hazards  to  aquatic  life
are   compared,   and   the   decision   criteria  used  in  these  procedures   are
discussed.  The  use  of  safety factors or "uncertainty factors" is  discussed as
a  central concept  in  a   sequential  testing  approach   in  which  estimates  of
expected  chemical  concentrations in  the environment and  their effects can be
made with an increasing degree  of accuracy.   The  state of the  art  of assessing
hazards  from  chemicals  to aquatic  life  is reviewed; safety,  hazard, and  risk
concepts  involved   in  such  assessments  also   are  discussed.    Particular
attention is  given to hazard assessment procedures  developed  by  the American
Society  for Testing  Materials, American Institute  of Biological  Sciences,  and
Monsanto.
Cleland, J.G.; Kingsbury, G.L.; Sims, R.C.; White, J.B.
Research Triangle Institute
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
Multimedia Environmental Goals for Environmental Assessment.  4 Volumes
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
EPA-600/7-77/136a,   EPA600/7-77/136b,   November,    1977,   EPA600/7-79/176A,
EPA600/7-79/176B, August, 1979
NTIS #PB-276 919/8ST, #PB276 920/6ST, #PB-115108, #PB80-115116

The  report  gives  results  of  a   study   of  the  derivation  of  Multimedia
Environmental Goals  (MEG's).   MEG's  are levels of significant  contaminants or
degradents  (in ambient  air,  water,  or land,  or  in  emissions   or  effluents
conveyed  to  the  ambient  media)  that  are  judged   to be:   appropriate  for
preventing  certain  negative   effects   in  the   surrounding   populations  or
ecosystems;  or  representative  of   the   control   limits   achievable  through
technology.  In  the  context of deriving MEG's, Volume  I:   offers perspective
on the broad range of contaminants whose control is  vital  to both industry and
the public;  further  develops  and  defines  indicators  designating contaminants
which  must be  given  priority consideration  for  immediate  control and  for
subsequent  research;  brings existing and   emerging  data  together for  use in
environmental assessment; and  explores  some basic methodologies  which provide
the   present   MEG's,   and   which    also   suggest   directions    for   refined
methodologies.  MEG's  are  projected  for more than 650  pollutants.   Of  these,
216 receive full attention in Volume  II.  MEG charts along with the Background
Information Summaries  for these substances are presented  in this volume which
includes 162 organic and 54 inorganic substances.   Volumes  III and  IV address
586 organic compounds.   Volume III includes the following categories:
Aliphatic  Hydrocarbons;  Alkyl  Halides,   Ethers;   Halogenated  Ethers   and
Epoxides;  Alcohols,  Glycols,  Epoxides;  Aldehydes,  Ketones; Carboxylic  Acids
and  Derivatives;   Nitriles;  Amines;  Azo   Compounds,  Hydrazine  Derivatives;
Nitrosamines.  Volume IV includes the following categories:
Thiols, Sulfides, Disulfides,  Sulfonic Acids,  Sulfoxides;  Benzene, Substituted
Benzene   Hydrocarbons;  Halogenated  Aromatic  Compounds;   Aromatic   Nitro
Compounds;  Phenols;   Halogenated   Phenolic  Compounds;   Nitrophenols;   Fused
Polycyclic   Hydrocarbons;    Fused   Non-alternant    Polycyclic   Hydrocarbons;
Heterocyclic Nitrogen  Compounds;  Heterocyclic  Oxygen  Compounds;  Heterocyclic
Sulfur Compounds;  Organophosphorus Compounds.

                                       11

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Cramer, G.M.; Ford, R.A.; Hall, R.L.
Estimation of Toxic Hazard - A Decision Tree Approach
Food Cosmet. Toxicol.,  16(3):255-76  (1978)

A procedure  using 33  criteria for establishing  toxic  hazard is presented as  a
decision   tree   organized   into  branches   dealing   with   major   chemical
classifications  and  intended for use with all  ingested,  structurally  defined
organic and  metallo-organic  substances.   The criteria are based on  features  of
chemical  structure,   occurrence   in  body   tissues  and  fluids,   and   natural
occurrence  in food.   The logic  of  the  tree  rests heavily on known  data  on
metabolism and  toxicity.  The classification according  to presumptive  toxicity
can  be combined with  knowledge of human intake  to  provide  a  protection  index
for  each  substance.   The index can  be used to establish priorities  and  define
tentatively  the  extent of appropriate testing.  It is noted  that  the procedure
has  been  applied to a large  number of pesticides,  drugs,  food additives,  and
industrial   and  environmental   chemicals   of  known   biological   properties.
Because the  procedure  has not yet resulted in any underestimation  of toxicity,
it is  seen  as a practical means  for  discriminating  effectively among different
levels of probable hazard.
 Dorsey, J.A.; Johnson, L.D.;  Statnick, R.M.;  et  al.
 Environmental   Assessment   Sampling  and   Analysis:    Phased   Approach   and
 Techniques  for  Level  1
 Prepared  for U.S Environmental  Protection Agency
 Industrial  Environmental  Research  Laboratory
 Research  Triangle  Park, North Carolina
 EPA-600/2-77/115,  June 1977
 NTIS #PB-268 563/4ST

 The  report  discusses a  three-level  approach  to  sampling  and  analysis  for
 environmental  source  assessment.  A research  program  was  initiated to  develop
 a  sampling and'* analytical  approach  for  conducting  environmental   source
 assessments of  the feed,  product,  and waste  streams associated with industrial
 and energy  processes. An environmental source assessment identifies  potential
 air,  water,  and  terrestrial  problems  for  both  regulated  and unregulated
 pollutants. The  three-level sampling and analysis approach resulted  from this
 program.   Level  1 is  a complete survey  of all  streams,  using simplified,
 generalized sampling  and analytical  methods which permit  priority  ranking;
 i.e.,  hazardous   streams are   distinguished from  those  less   hazardous  or
 relatively  innocuous  in  nature.  Level 2 is detailed  sampling and analysis  of
 the  streams ranked  in  the   highest  priority by the  Level  1  survey.    Other
 streams may then  be addressed according to potential hazard.  Level 3 involves
 continuous  monitoring of  'key1  indicator materials to  evaluate  the  effect  on
 emissions of process  variability.

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Envi.ro Control Inc.
Rockville, Maryland
Scoring Chemicals for Health and Ecological Effects Testing
Proceedings of TSCA-ITC Chemical Scoring System Workshop, February  25-28,  1979

Since  its  inception in early  1977 the TSCA-Interagency  Testing Committee  has
submitted  to  the EPA  Administrator four  reports recommending  a  total  of  33
chemicals  and  chemical categories  to  be tested  for  their  potential  to  cause
unreasonable risk  to human health  or  the  environment.   In  order  to identify
these  chemicals  from  among  the approximately  44,000 chemicals  in commercial
production in  the  United States  today i't was  essential  for  the Committee  to
have procedures  for ranking chemicals  as to  the  need for  testing  to deterine
their hazard to human health and the environment.

The  Committee  used  existing  source lists  of  hazardous  chemicals  to  form  a
Master  File,   as   described   in   the  Committee's  Initial  Report   to   the
Administrator.   This  list of 1,700  chemicals was subjected  to  scoring,  first
on the basis of  production, release, operation,  and exposure, and subsequently
on the basis  of biological activity.  The  scoring procedure  was developed  in
conjunction with Clement  Associates, Inc.,  the  ITC's  support contractor during
its first two years of operation, and is described in this report.

In an effort to make any  possible  improvement in  this numerical  scoring system
the ITC decided to subject the  scoring system to  the  scrutiny and criticism  of
individuals  from academia,  industry,  and  government who   are  expert  in  the
various aspects  of release, exposure,  and effects  that make up  the system.
Enviro Control, Inc. was  awarded a  contract to  organize  a scoring workshop  and
to prepare a report on the proceedings.  The  workshop was held in San Antonio,
Texas,  February   25-28,   1979,  with   approximately  80   technical   experts
par ti c i pat ing.
                                      13

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Fiksel, J.; Segal, M.
Arthur D. Little, Inc.
An Approach  to Prioritization  of  Environmental Pollutants:   The Action Alert
System
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Water Regulations and Standards
Monitoring and Data Support Division
Washington, D.C.
Contract No. 68-01-3857
Final Draft, June 1980

The  Action  Alert   System was  developed  to  assist  the  Office  of  Water
Regulations  and Standards  in  evaluating  available data,  setting priorities,
and  determining  appropriate  actions.   The  system can  aid  in  sorting large
groups of chemicals  into "manageable  clusters"  for  further  examination.

Required  data elements  are concentrations - including  drinking water, human
diet,  and ambient  water - and effects  data  - including chronic mammalian,
acute  human or  mammalian,  and aquatic  toxicity.  Six  auxiliary modules have
been  developed to serve as surrogates in some  cases where  data are lacking  or
to enable  use of more extensive data where it  exists.  This report includes  a
detailed   description  of  the  conceptual  development   of   the  system,   a
presentation  of the  six auxiliary modules,  and a user's  guide.   The  user's
guide  provides detailed instructions for. the  application  of  the action alert
system to  the  ranking of specific  chemicals.
                                        14

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Flinn, J.E.; Thomas, T.J.; Bishop, M.D.
Battelle Columbus Laboratories
Columbus, Ohio
Identification   Systems   for  Selecting  Chemicals   or  Chemical  Classes   as
Candidates for Evaluation
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Toxic  Substances
EPA-560/1-74/001
NTIS #PB-238 196/OGA, November 1974

This  report is  a  review of  various  systems  for  selecting,  assessing,  and
ranking chemicals for  their  health  and environmental effects.  Systems  for  two
general  areas   are  considered:   health  planning,  including   environmental,
occupational, and  general health; and environmental management.   It is  noted
that  the  term  "system"  is  broadly  defined to  include  not  only  formalized
organizational  structures,   models,  and methodologies, but  also  less  formal
tools, methods,  and working groups  which  have been created  to  rank  chemical
substances or effects.  Existing  systems are classified in several ways.  Some
are  considered  information  repositories   for   chemical  data,   particularly
toxicity  data.   Other  systems are  classified  with  respect  to  whether  their
function is  to  identify chemical  substances before or after general  exposure
of  the  public  and  the environment  occurs.  Each  of  these  types  is  further
categorized into those which identify new  or unrecognized chemical "stressors"
and  those which evaluate  recognized  "stressors11.   Particular   attention   is
given to methods used  by  various  Federal agencies.  It is  concluded that most
existing systems are  deficient  in  that they (1) focus  on acute  rather than
long-term effects;  (2) have  a  limited domain  of  concern;  and (3)  are  not
designed to  identify hazards  from  degradation products,  synergistic  effects,
or effects on the nonliving  environment.   An appendix  summarizes results of a
seminar on  "Early  Warning  Systems  for Toxic  Substances"  held  January  30 -
February 1,  1974.
Fuller, B.; Hushon, J.; Rornreich, M.; et al.
Mitre Corporation, McLean, Virginia
Preliminary Scoring of Selected Organic Air Pollutants, 5 Volumes
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
EPA-450/3-77/008a,b,c,d,e, October 1976
NTIS #PB-264 442/5ST

This  report  presents a  scheme for  evaluating the  relative hazard  to humans
resulting   from  air   emissions   during   production  of   synthetic  organic
chemicals.  Data  on production,  fraction  lost during  production, volatility,
and toxicity have been compiled  for  637  organic chemicals.  A scoring system
using  these data  elements was  developed  and is  described  in  this  report.
Scores  assigned  to  the  637  chemicals  are presented.   Four  appendices  were
published with  this report.  The  appendices are dossiers containing  chemistry,
production, and toxicity data for the 637 synthetic organic chemicals.


                                     15

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Jones, C.J.
The Ranking of Hazardous Materials by Means of Hazard  Indices
J. Hazard. Mater., 2:363-89  (1977-78)

Several indexing models  for  use in landfill management, transport of  dangerous
goods,  environmental  quality  assessment,   and  other  areas  are   reviewed.
Suggestions  are  then  presented for developing  a hazard  index for evaluating
waste  management options.   The procedure  involves  listing the  materials  or
wastes  of interest and  the  management  or  disposal options  to be considered.
The properties of the  materials or wastes which are relevant to the evaluation
process   are   obtained  from   the  existing   literature  or   from  laboratory
measurements.   A combination model  appropriate  to  the  management   situation
must  then be constructed.   The author  recommends  the additive utility model,
but  notes that  other  models  may  be more  appropriate in  certain  cases.   The
normalized  indexes  for each material  and the relative  utility range for  each
property  are  derived from the data  and the overall  index is  calculated using
the  combination  model.  The  overall indexes must reflect  the actual properties
of the  material  in  combination with the relative importance attributed to  each
property  by  the  weighting factor.   The author observes that if the combination
model  is  mathematically  sound,  the use  of  an  indexing  and combination model
allows  versatility in  quantifying value  judgements  about  aspects  of a given
material's  environmental behavior.
Keith,  L.H.;  Telliard,  W.A.
Priority Pollutants.   I.   A Perspective View
Environ. Sci. Technol., 13(4):416-23 (1979)

The  historical origins of the Environmental Protection Agency's  (EPA)  Priority
Pollutants  and the development of the  Priority  (Water) Pollutants  Protocol  are
related.  Events  are  traced beginning with the  court  decision  in 1978  that
resulted in  adoption  of  the  EPA  Consent  Decree  to control  the  levels  of
pollutants  in industrial wastewater  discharges.   Components of the decree  are
reviewed,  including  formation  of  the Toxic  Pollutant   List to  aid  in  the
classification  of harmful  substances.   It is  noted that  since  the  decree
lacked  allowance for time in  solving analytical problems in  testing for these
substances  in  wastewaters,  the  EPA adopted  four criteria to prioritize  and
select   representative  compounds  from  each  group.   First,   all  compounds
specifically named  on the  Toxic  Pollutant  List  were automatically  included.
 (The availability of  chemical  standards for  verification and  quantification
was  considered mandatory).  Second,  compounds  not found  on the list should be
tested  if  they  accounted  for  five percent  or more  of the  total known listing
for  the  class of  compounds.   Third,  all  chemical production  data should  be
reviewed where available.  Fourth, other sources  were examined  to  determine if
the   compound  was  a  recognized  water  pollutant.   Next,   the  screening,
verification, and  monitoring  strategy developed  by  EPA  for  testing water  for
pollutants   is presented.   Unresolved  problems  in  the  screening  stage  are
discussed,  along  with automated  software  programs being  adopted  to  speed  up
the  analysis process.  Future plans  and  first  drafts  for  implementation of the
monitoring phase are considered,  and a list of the 129 compounds  on  the Toxic
Pollutant List is included.

                                        16

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Kimerle, R.A.; Gledhill, W.E.; Levinskas, G.J.
Monsanto Co., Environmental Assessment Department, St. Louis, Missouri
Environmental Safety Assessment of New Materials
In: Cairns, J.; Dickson, K.L.; Maki, A.W.; Eds.
American Society for Testing Materials STP No. 657:132-146  (1978)

A procedure is presented for  evaluating  the  hazard to aquatic organisms of  new
materials prior  to  their commercialization.   The  procedure uses environmental
fate and aquatic organism  toxicity  data  in the sequential phases of  screening,
predicting, confirming,  and monitoring to reach a decision either to continue
the toxicity  testing,  terminate the  project because of  unacceptable risk,  or
cease  testing because  of  an  acceptable risk.  The screening  phase involves
short  term  acute tests, while the  predictive phase  involves  short  and long
term  laboratory  studies.   In the  confirmation  phase,  environmental   field
studies  are  designed to answer  critical  questions  of  environmentfal  safety.
In  the monitoring  phase,   field  studies  under  actual  use conditions   after
commercialization  are  conducted  to  confirm  the   ultimate  safety  of   the
material.  The types of tests in each phase and the criteria  which determine
which  specific  tests are  needed  are presented.   The criteria  for evaluating
whether or not a hazard exists also are discussed.
Margler, L.W.; Rogozen, M.B.; Ziskind, R.A.; et al.
Science Applications, Incorporated, Los Angeles, California
Rapid Screening and  Identification of  Airborne  Carcinogens  of Greatest Concern
in California
J._Air Pollut. Control Assoc., 29(ll):1153-7 (1979)

The method used by  the  California Air Resources Board  to  identify quickly and
rank  potentially  serious airborne carcinogens  is  described.   Eight  lists of
carcinogens were  compared  after  eliminating chemicals not  used  in California,
pesticides,  chemicals  unstable   in  air,  or  doubtful  carcinogens.   Further
eliminations  were made  if  production or  use  was  under  100,000 pounds  per
year.   The  investigators   included  a few  additional  compounds.   Candidate
substances  were  ranked  by  additive  and multiplicative algorithms  and by  a
panel of  experts.  For the additive algorithm,  the rating of a  substance  was
the sum of  the  scores  of each rating factor multiplied  by  a  weighting factor.
For the multiplicative  algorithm, the substance rating  equaled  the product of
the rating factors.  The criteria rated  were:   1)  present  use,  2) use trends,
3) emission  potential,  4)  stability in  ambient air, 5)  dispersion potential,
and  6)  evidence  of carcinogenicity.   Those compounds  appearing  in  the  top
eleven of at  least  two  lists were selected for  further  study.   The substances
selected  were  arsenic,  asbestos,  benzene,  cadmium,   carbon  tetrachloride,
chloroform,    ethylene   dibromide,    ethylene    dichloride,    nitrosamines,
perchloroethylene,  and  polychlorinated  aromatic  hydrocarbons.   The  authors
found this screening approach efficient.
                                      17

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Michigan Department of Natural Resources
Environmental Protection Bureau, Environmental  Services Division,
Critical Materials Register  1979
Lansing, Michigan
Publication No. 4833-5323  (1979)

A  methodology for  ranking materials  hazardous to  the  aquatic environment  is
presented.    The   hazard   assessment  process   considers   acute   toxicity,
carcinogenicity,  mutagenicity,  teratogenicity,  persistence,  bioaccumulation,
and   other   adverse   effects   such   as    subacute  and   chronic   toxicity,
embryotoxicity,  phytotoxicity,   and  aesthetics.    Chemicals  are  numerically
scored  as  to their  hazard, and  the criteria  and  rationale  for the  scoring
system  are discussed.  Chemicals  receiving a high  score  are seen as posing a
high  environmental  concern  and  are  included in  the  register.   Literature
citations  are  provided  for  the  chemicals  selected  to  be  studied.   The  178
chemical   substances  on   the  1979  register  are  listed.   Michigan  Critical
Materials  Registers  date  back to  1971.   These reports  are referenced  in  the
 1979  Register,  the  methodologies  employed  are  discussed,  and  the lists  of
chemicals  are presented.
 Nees, P.O.
 Hooker Chemical Company, Niagara Falls, New York
 Assessment  of  Oncogenic Potential  - A  Scoring Matrix to  Determine Oncogenic
 Potential Proposed for Application in Risk Assessment
 In:  Toxic Substances Control, Vol. Ill - Implementing the Regulatory Program
 Miller, M.L., ed., Government Institutes, Incorporated
 Washington, D.C.  pp. 168-82, 1979

 A  scoring matrix for  oncogenic risk  assessment  that assigns  weighted number
 values  to subjective and objective results of  studies  is described.  Positive
 lifetime  animal  studies   received   a  primary  score  of  4,  multiplied  by
 metabolism,  route  of   administration,  and  quality  of  study  factors.   This
 result  is  then  weighted  with  a  dose  level  'factor  and a  time  until  tumor
 appearance  factor.   Negative  results start with a minus  primary score and the
 time weighting is correlated  to survival.   Epidemiology studies have a primary
 score of  10 multiplied  by specificity of  tumor type,  suitability of controls,
 indirect  association,  relative  risk, mixed exposure,  and specificity factors,
 and  added  to a  detectability of  increased  cancer  incidence  factor.   The
 resulting adjusted  primary score  (AP) is weighted  by  adding AP  times  a dose
 response  factor  to AP  times  a  consistency of  association  factors to AP times
 an  exposure  level  factor.   There  is   also  a  weighting   for   repetitive
 epidemiological  studies to  compensate  for  low confidence  level  in a single
 study.   Negative  studies  start  with a primary  score  of 6  and  have  fewer
 factors.   For short term  genetic,  microbial and  fluid  assays individual test
 scores  are small, positive or  negative,  and  the only weighting factor is for
 supportive  data.  The sum  of  all  the scores is ranked on an index of oncogenic
 potential  that   correlates   the  total   score  to   an  appropriate  regulatory
 response.  The  author  concludes that the scoring matrix  can be used by people
 with  little experience.   An expert  review panel would  be necessary  only if
 questions arose.  The assessment  could change with the results  of  new studies.

                                        18

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Pielmeier, 6.R.
Tracer Jitco Inc.
Rockville, Maryland
Identification of High Risk  Occupational  Groups and Industrial Processes Using
RTECS/NOHS Data-Final Report
Prepared for U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare
Public Health Service
Center for Disease Control
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health
Division of Surveillance, Hazard Evaluations and Field Studies
Cincinnati, Ohio
Contract No. 210-78-0076, November 1979

Two NIOSH data files, the Registry of  Toxic  Effects of Chemical Substances and
the National Occupational Hazard Survey,  contain  data  that pertain to the risk
posed  to  workers  by  toxic  chemicals  in  the  workplace.   In  order  that
occupationally and  industrially defined  groups of  workers at  high  risk might
be  identified   and   given   their  proper  priorities   in  NIOSH  activities,
algorithms  were  developed  which (1)  combine  data from  the  two data  files
identified  above,  (2) produce  indexes of  the potential  risk to workers  in
specific  occupations and  industries,  and   (3)  rank  the  chemicals  to  which
workers are exposed in terms of their  toxicological hazard and their potential
risk  to  all workers.  The  steps involved in  development  of  these  algorithms
are described in this report.   Five indexes  are developed:  Hazard Risk Index,
Adjusted Hazard  Risk  Index,  Occupational  Risk Index,  Industry  Risk  Index,  and
Occupation  within  Industry  Risk Index.  Typical  pages from  the indexes  are
presented.
                                       19

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Ross, R.R.
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Welch, J.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office  of Toxic  Substances
Proceedings of the EPA Workshop  o»  the Environmental Scoring  of Chemicals
Washington, D.C., August  13-15,  1979
EPA-560/11-80-010, May 1980

The  environmental scoring  of chemicals  is  viewed  by  the  U.S. Environmental
Protection  Agency as  a  tool to  assist  in  the  ranking or ordering  of  the
universe  of chemicals  that are  under the  jurisdiction of the Toxic  Substances
Control Act.  The purpose of  scoring is  to identify most of  the chemicals  that
have  a high  probability for requiring review for regulation or testing.   This
report describes a three-day workshop held in Washington,  B.C., August  13-15,
1979,  to  develop   an  environmental  scoring  system.   Initial  discussions
centered   on   the  determination   of  a   safety  factor  (calculated  as   the
concentration at  which  an.  effect  is   observed  divided  by  environmental
concentration) that would allow  a numerical score to be assigned to  a  chemical
to  reflect its potential hazard.   Further discussion, however, indicated  that
the  environmental concentration of  a  chemical  is  usually  not  available  and
that   the  estimation  of  an   environmental  concentration  is  not  readily
accomplished; therefore, a scoring  system was  developed that does not require
environmental concentrations.   This  system relates environmental  exposure  to
toxicity  by using a multiplier  (3x, 2x, or Ix) which  is assigned on the  basis
of  the concentration  at  which an effect is observed.  The applicability  of the
scoring  system is  demonstrated by scoring  selected chemicals.
                                        20

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Stacey, G.S.; Flinn, J.E.
Battelle Columbus Labs, Ohio
Development of  an  Economics-Based Methodology  for  Projecting Future  Pollution
Problems
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Research and Development
Office of Health and Ecological Effects
Washington, D.C.
EPA-600/5-78/011, June 1978
NTIS #PB-284 337/3ST

The  report  describes   a  project  designed  to  develop  a  methodology   for
identifying  potential  future toxic substance pollution  problems. • An  approach
was  desired that  would  be  systematic,  comprehensive,  and  futuristic.   The
methodology  developed  is  based  on exposure and initiates the  identification of
problems by  focusing  on  the potential for  their  occurrence in the production,
exchange,  and   consumption  of  goods   and  services.   Products  are   ranked
according  to   the  potential   they  have  for  being  associated with  future
pollution  problems.  For the high ranked products,  additional   information on
the  chemical constitu nets of the product are identified.  The final  step is to
 analyze   the   chemical   constituents   to   determine   which  chemicals   occur
 frequently and in large  quantities.  At  the same time the potential  that  each
 of  the  chemicals  has  for resulting  in  toxic  substance  problems  would  be
 assessed.   In  ranking  the products, parameters  concerning historical growth,
 future  growth, dispersion,  technical   change,  and   value  of   shipments  were
 developed and  applied.  A  specific group  of products  was examined to determine
 their chemical content.   The  results  of this  effort showed that  identifying
 chemical constituents of  products required considerable resources.   The final
 step of analyzing  chemicals  to determine frequency and  quantity was developed
 conceptually,  but due to resource limitations could not be applied.

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Stanford Research Institute
Menlo Park, California
An  Automated   Procedure  for  Assessing  Possible  Carcinogenic  Activity   of
Chemicals Prior to Testing
Prepared for National Cancer  Institute,  Bethesda, Maryland
Contracts:  N01-CP-33285 NIH-NCI-71-2045

This  report discusses the systematic  application  of information regarding  the
carcinogenicity of  chemicals to the prediction of carcinogenicity activity  of
untested  chemicals.  The method  focuses  on  structural relationships  between
the  chemicals  being examined  and known  carcinogens.   The  development of  an
activity  tree is presented  for implementing a procedure for ranking chemicals
prior to  testing in laboratory animals.   The  activity  tree method  classifies a
large number  of  chemicals by  asking a series of  increasingly more  specific
questions   about  their   chemical  structure.   Expert  consultants  then  offer
estimates  regarding  the probability  of any  chemical  in an  end  point of  the
tree being carcinogenic and  the  relative potency of the carcinogenic  activity
if  the  chemical  proves  to  be  carcinogenic.   A  level  of  confidence  is
attributed to  each estimate.  Estimates  are  also  made specific  to  the  four
routes of  administration (i.e.,  oral,  inhalational, dermal, and  prenatal)  of
 the  compound  to the  test  animal,  corresponding  to  the  routes  used in  the
exposure  estimates.  For the  development of  this  activity tree, six experts
 offered their  considerations on  five classes of  substances known  to contain
 carcinogens:    naturally  occurring  substances,  aliphatic  nitrogen-containing
 compounds, polycyclic   aromatic hydrocarbons, aromatic  amines, and  inorganic
 compounds.  Their  reports  are summarized  and the current activity  values  for
 the  tree  are  given.   An  appendix  describes computer  implementation of  the
 activity methodology.
 Stanford Research  Institute
 Menlo Park, California
 Criteria and  Procedures  for Chemical  Selection
 Prepared  for  Chemical  Selection  Working  Group,  National  Cancer Institute,
 Bethesda, Maryland
 Contract:  NOl-CP-95607
 October, 1977

 This  report  describes  the  criteria  and  procedures  used  by  the  Chemical
 Selection Working  Group to select chemicals  for NCI's carcinogenesis bioassay
 program.  Chemicals  are nominated  for consideration by a variety  of government
 agencies  and others.   A  two-step  process is  then  used   for  selection.  The
 first-step  involves  gathering limited data to  determine if the chemical meets
 qualifying criteria.   In order to  qualify, a chemical must:   (1)  not currently
 be  undergoing testing by  the  NCI  bioassay program or  other programs;   (2) not
 have  been adequately  tested  previously; and (3)  have high  annual  consumption
 or  evidence of exposure  from  environmental  occurrence.  If  the chemical meets
 these  criteria more extensive  selection criteria are then  applied.  This  step
 involves  analyses of:    1)  exposure information including consumption,   use
  patterns,  human exposure, and  environmental  occurrence;   and  2)  evidence  for
  possible carcinogenic  activity including human  data, animal data,  short-term
  tests,  metabolism, and structural/activity relationships.

                                        22

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Stephenson, M.E.
National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C.
An  Approach  to  the  Identification  of  Organic  Compounds  Hazardous  to  the
Environmental and Human Health
Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety, 1:39-48 (1977)

Results  are  presented  from   a  workshop  ranking  hazardous  chemicals   and
identifying key problem areas  for  future  research.  Eighty  organic  compounds
were ranked according to  their environmental impact and  their hazard to human
health.  A scatter  plot of the 80 compounds  indicating  their relative ranking
in  terms of  both  criteria  showed  that  10  organohalides  require  immediate
study.  Major  impact  or problem  areas  around which  future  research  could be
organized include:   1)  natural sources  of organic compounds;  2) contribution
to   biochemical  and   geochemical   pools;   3)    effects   of   transport   and
translocation  of  toxic  elements  and   micronutrients;   4)  toxic  degradation
products  and   formation   of  secondary  pollutants;   5)  remote  effects;   6)
persistence  in the absence  of other effects;  and 7) bioaccumulation.   It  is
also  recommended  that  the environmental impact and human health hazard  of  the
carbon  chlorine  bond  be  studied.   Production  figures  and  estimated   annual
release  rates for the 80 compounds are given.
TSCA  Interagency Testing  Committee:   Initial Report  to  the  Administrator,
Environmental Protection Agency
42 FR 197:55025-80, October 12, 1977

Section  4(e)  of   the   Toxic   Substances   Control  Act  (TSCA)  requires  the
establishment  of   a  committee   to  identify   and   recommend  to   the  EPA
Administrator  chemical  substances which  should be  tested  to  determine their
hazard  to  human  health  or  the environment.  This  report  documents procedures
used  by the TSCA-Interagency  Testing Committee  for  selecting  those  chemical
substances  recommended  for  testing.   Reasons   for  each  recommendation  are
outlined.    Available  data   and   potential   for   carcinogenic,   mutagenic,
teratogenic, and chronic toxic  effects were all  considered,  as was the ability
of   the  substances  to  bioaccumulate  or   cause  deleterious  environmental
effects.  A  scoring system which took into  account  both  available information
and  the lack  of  it  for  these  factors  was  used in  the  screening  process.
Categories  or   substances  recommended  for  further  testing  include  alkyl
paraffins,  chloromethane,  cresols,  hexachloro-l,3-butadiene,  nitrobenzene,
toluene, and the xylenes.   The formation  of the Interagency Testing Committee,
its  responsibilities, and  the  approach used in forming the recommendations are
discussed.   Sources of  data used in the preparation  of the initial substances
list are listed.   A  linear weighting  scheme used  to rank the substances  is
discussed.


                                       23

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United Nations Environmental Programme
Initial Report on the Priority Pollutants Project
Nairobi, October 1978

Results  are  presented  from  the  initial  phase  of  the  priority  pollutants
project.   The objectives include:  (1) compiling a list  of  hazardous chemicals
which   have   been   given  priority  consideration  by   governments   and  other
 organizations,   (2)  proposing  a systematic  process  for  selecting  priority
 pollutants with emphasis  given  to the needs  of developing countries,  and (3)
 identifying  several  lists  of   chemicals  or  categories   for  further  UNEP
 attention.   Section  2  includes  a  compilation  of  approximately 230 selected
 substances  of   concern  to  various national  and  international  institutions.
 Section  3  discusses  the  general  problems   associated with   identifying and
 ranking environmental hazards.   It  includes a discussion of the distinguishing
 features  between  developed  and  developing areas  which  give rise  to different
 sets  of  priorities for environmental  pollution.   This  section concludes  by
 outlining  the  selection  criteria  to  be  used  in  a  ranking   system  for both
 developed  and  developing areas.  Criteria include  exposure,   carcinogenic!ty,
 mutagenicity,   teratogenicity,   acute   toxicity,   other  health  effects,  the
 influence  of nutrition and infectious  disease on  toxicity,  persistence and
 bioaccumulation,  and  environmental  agents.   The  method uses  expert  opinion,
 information  on   structure  activity   relationships,   and   production  and
 environmental   exposure  data   in  a   multistage  screening  process  where   a
 relatively  large  number of  substances are considered initially.  In  subsequent
 steps  a  smaller  subset  is selected  for  collection  of  more data  and more
 thorough   review.    Section  5   suggests   several   categories  of  hazardous
 pollutants   which  may  be  of   interest   to  the  United   Nations   Environment
 Program.  For each area an  interim  list of priority pollutants  is proposed.
 Van Netten, C.
 Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
 Critical  Review of  Strategies  Aimed at  Identifying  Chemicals Hazardous  to
 Human Health and the Environment
 Prepared  for Department of National Health and Welfare, Ottawa, Canada,
 March 8,  1978

 Criteria  are  presented for  evaluating  the effectiveness of  existing chemical
 screening strategies.   Environmental criteria include  production and release,
 distribution  in  the  atmosphere,  degradation,  bioaccumulation, toxicity,  as
 well  as  synergistic and  antagonistic effects within the  environment.   Human
 health  criteria include exposure of the total  population  or specific groups,
 distribution  of the  substance within  the body,  accumulation  and excretion,
 general  toxicity,  mutagenicity, teratogenicity, carcinogenicity,  and possible
 synergistic and antagonistic effects in humans.  Decision  making criteria are
 used  to evaluate whether the  recommendations made by  the  different screening
 procedures allow easy  access to information  so  that  specific decisions  can be
 made.   Six screening methods are then assessed  by  these criteria.   The author
 suggests  that  an optimum combination of these methods  could  be derived which
 would reject a  maximum number  of chemicals at a minimum  cost.

                                        24

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Venezian, E.G.
Arthur D. Little, Inc.
Cambridge, Massachusetts
Pre-screening  for  Environmental   Hazards  -  A   System   for  Selecting   and
Prioritizing Chemicals
Prepared for U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Toxic Substances
Washington, D.C.
EPA/560/1-77/OOZ, April 1977

Alternatives were  considered for  pre-screening chemicals  for their potential
to  cause environmental  hazards.   A system  design concept  which  takes into
account both the toxicity of the chemical  and  the  eventual levels which  it  can
be expected to reach  in the  environment  was  selected for further analysis.  It
is noted that, although neither toxicity nor  eventual  levels  can be predicted
with  great  accuracy,  the  accuracy  attainable  by  simple  methods  appears
adequate for  selecting and ranking  chemicals  for  additional   investigation.  A
specific design which relies on data which are usually available was developed
to  the  point  of testing the feasibility of collecting  the necessary data  and
performing the required computations on  five chemicals.
                                       25

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 30273-101	
 REPORT DOCUMENTATION
         PAGE
I !._ REPORT NO.

L EPA 560/TIIS-80-001
                                                    3. Recipient1 * Accession No.
 4. Title end Subtitle
   Chemical Selection Methods:  An Annotated Bibliography.
   Integration Information Series
                                          Toxics
s. Report Dete  November 1980
 date of publication
 7. Author**)  John N.  Gevertz  (EPA/OTI),  Judy Hoffman  (Tracor Jitco),
   and Elaine Bild (EPA/OTI)	    .	
                                                    8. Performing Organization Rept No.
 9. Performing Organization Nam* and Address
   Tracor Jitco,  Inc.
   1776  East Jefferson Street
   Rockville, MD   20852
                                                    10. Project/Task/Work UnK No.

                                                     Technical Directive  25
                                                   11. Contract(O or GranMQ) No.

                                                   (Q 68-01-6021

                                                   (6)
 12. Sponsoring Organization Name and Address
   U. S. Environmental Protection Agency
   401 M Street, S.W.
   Washington, D.C.   20460
                                                   13. Type of Report & Period Covered
                                                     Final
                                                                            14.
 15. Supplementary Notes
 18. Abstract (Limit 200 words)
  •Regulatory agencies charged  with control of toxic chemicals have examined and  are
   examining  various methods  to select  chemicals  of concern from  the universe of  chemical
   substances.   Chemical selection refers to such activities as priority  setting,  ranking,
   indexing,  and sorting.  These efforts  have included the development of various
   systematic selection methods such as scoring systems.   This annotated  bibliography is
   intended to  provide interested individuals with a variety of methods for chemical
   selection.
 17. Document Analysis a. Descriptors
    p. Identlfiers/Open-Ended Terms
   c. COSAT1 Field/Group
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  Release unlimited
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