&EPA
             United States
             Environmental Protection
             Agency
             Environmental Research
             Laboratory
             Corvallis OR 97330
             Research and Development
EPA-600/3-79-072
July 1979
Evaluation of
European
Rivers for Power
Plant  Cooling

A Polish  Research  Project

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                RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES

Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate-
gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en-
vironmental technology  Elimination  of traditional grouping was  consciously
planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
The nine series are:

      1    Environmental  Health Effects Research
      2.   Environmental  Protection Technology
      3.   Ecological Research
      4.   Environmental  Monitoring
      5.   Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
      6.   Scientific  and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR)
      7   Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development
      8.   "Special"  Reports
      9.   Miscellaneous Reports

This report has been assigned to the ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH series. This series
describes research on the effects of pollution on humans, plant and animal spe-
cies, and  materials.  Problems  are assessed for their long- and short-term influ-
ences. Investigations include formation, transport, and pathway studies to deter-
mine the fate of pollutants and their effects. This work provides the technical basis
for setting standards to minimize undesirable changes in living organisms in the
aquatic, terrestrial, and atmospheric  environments.
Th>s document is available to the public through the National Technical Informa-
tion Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161.

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                                              EPA-600/3-79-072
                                              July 1979
         EVALUATION OF EUROPEAN RIVERS
            FOR POWER PLANT COOLING

           A POLISH RESEARCH PROJECT


                      by
         Dr.  Eng.  Mieczyslaw Gadkowski
Institute for Meteorology and Water Management
               61  Podlesna str.
                 01-673 Warsaw
                    POLAND
        PL 480 Project No.  PR-5-532-14
             U.S. Project Officer
               Bruce A. Tichenor
        Criteria and Assessment Branch
       Environmental Research Laboratory
           Con/all is, Oregon  97330
  CORVALLIS ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LABORATORY
      OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
     U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
            WASHINGTON, D.C.  20460

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                                  DISCLAIMER

     This  report has  been reviewed  by  the Corvallis  Environmental  Research
Laboratory,  U.S.  Environmental Protection  Agency,  and  approved  for publica-
tion.  Approval  does  not  signify that  the contents necessarily  reflect the
views  and policies  of  the  U.S.   Environmental  Protection  Agency,  nor  does
mention of trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement or recom-
mendation for use.

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                                   FOREWORD

     Effective regulatory  and enforcement  actions  by the  Environmental  Pro-
tection Agency would  be virtually impossible without sound scientific data on
pollutants  and  their  impact  on  environmental  stability  and  human  health.
Responsibility for building  this  data base has been  assigned to EPA's Office
of Research and Development and its 15 major field installations, one of which
is the Con/all is  Environmental Research Laboratory (CERL).

     The  primary mission of  the  Corvallis Laboratory is research  on  the ef-
fects of  environmental  pollutants on terrestrial, freshwater, and marine eco-
systems;  the behavior,  effects  and control of pollutants in lake systems; and
the development of predictive models on the movement of pollutants in the bio-
sphere.

     This report  presents  the results of a cooperative study by the Institute
of Meteorology and Water Management of Poland under  the  Special Foreign Cur-
rency Program,  PL-480.

     The  objective of this  study was to  determine  the  optimal mix of cooling
system  alternatives for stream  electric generating stations  to  be  located on
Polish rivers.

                                        James C. McCarty
                                        Acting Director,  CERL
                                      ill

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                                   ABSTRACT

     The report describes analytical, laboratory, and field research conducted
to optimize the  use  of rivers, specifically in Poland, for once-through cool-
ing of  steam  electric  power  plants.  Variations  in  river flow  over several
years are analyzed to  determine statistically reliable  low  flows for various
parts  of the  year.   Variations  in  river temperatures  are also  analyzed to
provide  a  statistically valid  picture  of  annual  temperatures   in  streams.
Maximum  discharge  and  receiving water temperatures, based  on  biological  cri-
teria, are  coupled with natural  flow and temperature  variations  to determine
acceptable  flow/temperature  regimes  for  streams  over an  annual  cycle.   Con-
trollable variables, such  as  repair schedules, reserve  capacity,  power  plant
site, hybrid cooling system  size and operation,  and low flow augmentation via
reservoirs,  are  evaluated  as  mechanisms  to modify electric  power generation
over an  annual  cycle.   The  acceptable  temperature/flow regimes in streams are
then compared to various power system configurations and schedules to optimize
the annual  generation of electric power.  The following conclusions are reach-
ed, relative to  Polish conditions:

          the  installed capacity  of open  cycle cooling  systems can be  in-
          creased by  about 25% without installing  supplemental cooling.

          for increases  greater  than 25%, mechanical  draft cooling towers and
          double pass condensers  operated in a hybrid, open cycle is the most
          economical  solution.

          low flow augmentation for power plant  cooling via  upstream  reser-
          voirs is economical  only when used in  a comprehensive water manage-
          ment plan.

This report was  submitted  in  fulfillment of PL 480 Project No. PR-5-532-14 by
the  Institute  of  Meterology   and  Water  Management, Warsaw,   Poland  under an
agreement with the U.S. Environmental Portection Agency.  This report covers a
period from February,  1974  to  December,  1977 and the  report  was  completed as
of May,  1978.

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                                   CONTENTS

                                                                         Page

    Foreword	iii
    Abstract	iv
    List of Figures	vii
    List of Tables	viii
    Acknowledgements 	  x
    Introduction 	    1

1.   Hydrological Basis 	    1
    1.1.  Introduction 	    1
    1.2.  Reliable Flows 	    1
    1.3.  Magnitude and Distribution of Minimum Reliable Flows 	    8
          1.3.1.  Minimum Reliable Flows in Polish Rivers  	    8
          1.3.2.  Magnitude and Distribution of Low Flows in
                  European Rivers  	    9
    1.4.  Flow Shortages	   15
    1.5.  Maximum Reliable Water Temperatures  	   15

2.   Acceptable Temperature Increases in Free-flowing Rivers  	   18
    2.1.  Variability of River Water Temperature 	   18
    2.2.  Review of Temperature Increases Caused by Existing
          Steam Power Plants	20
          2.2.1.  Polish Steam Power Plants  	   20
          2.2.2.  French Power Plants  	   26
          2.2.3.  Other European Countries 	   26
    2.3.  Legal Limitations of Temperature for Open Cycle
          Cooling of Steam Power Plants  	   28
    2.4.  Impact of Heated Water on the Oxygen Balance in
          Receiving Water  	   33
    2.5.  Impact of Heated Waters on Fishes	33
    2.6.  Proposals for Permissible Temperatures 	   33

3.   Variability of Steam Power Plant Load  	   37
    3.1.  Introduction	37
    3.2.  Daily Load Changes	37
    3.3.  Steam Power Plant Operating Time 	   39
    3.4.  Monthly Coefficients of Installed Capacity Utilization ....   44
          3.4.1.  Statistical Analysis of Production Changes 	   44
          3.4.2.  Repairs Schedule 	   44
          3.4.3.  Cosine Model 	   48
                  3.4.3.1.   Analysis of Calculation Method 	   48
                  3.4.3.2.   Amplitude of Yearly Changes of g.
                            Coefficients	52

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                  3.4.3.3.  Designation of Correction Coefficient, f--  -   52
                  3.4.3.4.  Designation of Af. Coefficient 	   53
                  3.4.3.5.  Analysis Summary ? 	   53
          3.4.4.  BETA Distribution Model  	   55
    3.5.  Summary of Analysis of Monthly Installed Capacity
          Utilization Coefficients 	   58

4.   Power Plant Capacity and its Relation to Temperature
    Increases Downstream from the Discharge  	   61
    4.1.  Power Plant Capacity 	   61
    4.2.  Mixed Temperature Increases Downstream From Power Plants ...   62
    4.3.  Discharge Design 	   64
          4.3.1.  Field Investigations 	   64
          4.3.2.  Model Investigations 	   69

5.   Combined Cooling Systems and Flow Augmentation 	   76
    5.1.  Review of Combined Cooling Systems and Flow Augmentation
          for Power Plants	76
    5.2.  Assumptions Used in Analyses	78
    5.3.  Determination of Hybrid Circuit Capacities 	   78
    5.4.  Economic Aspects of Combined Cooling Circuits  	   82
    5.5.  Increase of Open Cycle Cooling Possibilities by
          Augmentation of Low Flows	83
    5.6.  Cooling in Discharge Channels and Precooling Reservoirs  ...   85
    5.7.  Utilization of Mechanical Draft Cooling Towers 	   93

6.  Summary	94

7.  Conclusions	97

    References	98
                                      VI

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                                LIST OF FIGURES

                                                                         Page

Fig. 1.1.   Area Under Investigation	    5
Fig. 1.2.   Distribution of K.,no, Coefficients on Lower and
           Middle Vistula and'oler  	   13
Fig. 1.3.   Distribution of K.,,,^ Coefficients on Upper Vistula
           and Upper Oder and on San, Warta and Narew Rivers  	   14
Fig. 1.4.   Distribution of K.im; Coefficients on Large and
           Medium Rivers  .  ?	   16
Fig. 2.1.   Temperature Distribution in the Thermal Plume Below
           the Skawina Power Plant, 1963 (Temp. Measurement
           at 7:00, 12:00 and 18:00)	   21
Fig. 2.2.   Daily Temperatures in the Vistula River Below and
           Above the Skawina Power Plant in 1963	   22
Fig. 2.3.   Daily Temperature Changes in the Cooling System in
           the Patnow Power Plant 	   24
Fig. 2.4.   Temperatures in Cooling System of the Konin and
           Patnow Power Plants, Summer 1975 	   25
Fig. 2.5.   Changes in Oxygen Content After Passing Through the
           Cooling Systems of Steam Power Plants  	   34
Fig. 3.1.   Daily Load in Power Plant of Yearly Operation Time
           T = 7000 Hours	   40
Fig. 3.2.   Average Real Coefficients of Installed Capacity
           Utilization in Polish Multiunit Steam Power Plants,
           1967 - 1978	   47
Fig. 3.3.   Comparison of Real and Calculated Coefficients of
           installed Capacity Utilization at Polish Power
           Plants	   60
Fig. 4.1.   Maximum Temperature Decrease in the Discharge Zone
           Below the Kozienice and Ostroleka Power Plants 	   70
Fig. 4.2.   Maximum Temperature Decrease at a Longer Distance
           Below the Discharge From the Kozienice Power Plant 	   71
Fig. 4.3.   Average Maximum Temperature Drop in the Thermal
           Plume Below the Kozienice Power Plant  	   72
Fig. 4.4.   Scheme of Model	   73
Fig. 4.5.   Arrangement of Discharge Jet Axes With Regard to
           Changes of Outlet Angle 6 for b/B = 0.5	   74
Fig. 5.1.   French Power Plant Cooling Systems 	   77
Fig. 5.2.   Heat Losses in Precooling Reservoirs	   87
Fig. 5.3.   Measurement Points in the Discharge Channel of the ,
           Patnow Power Plant 	 	   89
Fig. 5.4.   Water Cooling in the Discharge Channel of the Patnow
           Power Plant - Surveys in 1975	   90
Fig. 5.5.   Indicator of Water Cooling in the Discharge Channel
           of the Patnow Power Plant, °C/1 km°C	   92
                                      vii

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                                LIST OF TABLES
                                                                          Page
Table 1.1.  Rivers Under Investigation 	    3
Table 1.2.  Comparison of Open Cooling System Flow
            Requirements and River Flows for Some Steam
            Power Plants	    7
Table 1.3.  Distribution of K.,ny Coefficients for European
            n •               ' • U/O                                          1 f\
            Rivers	10
Table 1.4.  Flow Shortages for the Summer With Different
            Control Ratios, s, for p = 90%	17
Table 2.1.  Monthly Temperature Differences Between the Upper
            Rhone and Arve Rivers	19
Table 2.2.  Monthly Average Temperature Increases in the
            Vistula Downstream From the Skawina Power Plant, °C   ....   23
Table 2.3.  Monthly Average Maximum Temperature Increases at
            French Power Plants, °C  	   27
Table 2.4.  Thermal Standards  in Some European Countries 	   29
Table 2.5.  Permissible Temperature Decreases at Polish
            Power Plants	30
Table 2.6.  A, B, and a at Selected Locations	35
Table 2.7.  The Lethal Temperatures for Cyprinides	36
Table 3.1.  Daily Load Changes in Large Polish Steam Power
            Plants With Open Cooling Systems (%)	38
Table 3.2.  Frequency of Maximum Daily Load in a Power Plant
            with T = 7000 hours operation time	41
Table 3.3.  Time of Full Load Installed Capacity in Some
            Countries (Hours)  	   42
Table 3.4.  Expected Time of Full Load Installed Capacity for
            Nuclear Power Plants in Some Countries (Hours) 	   43
Table 3.5.  Time of Full Load Capacity in Polish Power Plants,
            Units of 120 and 200 MW (Hours)	45
Table 3.6.  Expected Time of Full Load Installed Capacity
            for Polish Power Plants in 1980, 1985, and 1990 (Hours)   .  .   45
Table 3.7.  Installed Capacity Utilization Coefficients for Large
            Power Plants, 1967-1973 (%)	46
Table 3.8.  Expected Installed Capacity Utilization Coefficients
            for Steam Power Plants (%)	48
Table 3.9.  Monthly Indicators of Capacity Decreases Due
            to Repairs (%)	49
Table 3.10. Values of Af	54
Table 3.11. Monthly Average Installed Utilization Coefficients,
            g, Various Operating Times, T/h/year 	   56
Table 3.12. Comparison of Installed Capacity Utilization Monthly
            Coefficients Obtained by Different Methods of
            Computation	59
                                     viii

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Table 4.1.  Calculation of Installed Capacity in Open Cycle
            Cooling in Polish Rivers 	  63
Table 4.2.  Comparison of Calculated vs. Measured Temperature
            Increments in The Vistula River Downstream from
            the Skawina Power Plant	65
Table 4.3.  Field Investigation Results in the Vistula River
            Downstream From the Kozienice Power Plant  .........  66
Table 4.4.  Field Investigation Results in the Vistula River
            1000 m From the Discharge of the Kozienice Power Plant ...  67
Table 5.1.  Coefficient of Open Cooling System Variation, m	80
Table 5.2.  Dependence of Hybrid Cooling Systems Operation Time
            on Hybrid Circuits Size (in % of Open Cooling System
            size)	  81
Table 5.3.  Cooling System Parameters in Relation to Rate of
            Flow Augmentation in the Pulawy Cross-Section  	  84
Table 5.4.  Economics of Cooling System Size vis-a-vis Flow
            Augmentation in the Pulawy Cross-Section 	
                                      IX

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                                ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

     Grateful  acknowledgments  are  made   for  the  assistance  of  Dr.   Bruce
Tichenor and Mr. Howard Zar, representatives  of the  U.S.  Environmental  Protec-
tion  Agency.   The  author acknowledges  the  following  Polish specialists  and
colleagues  for  their consultation and assistance  in the  research and prepara-
tion of this report:

          Dr.  Eng.   Wojciech Poplawski, Eng.  Roman Junko and members of  the
          Water  Physics  Department for their assistance  in the  elaboration of
          the field investigations.

          M.Sc.  Eng.  Andrzej Dobrowolski  and members of  the Hydraulic  Depart-
          ment  for  the  study and  elaboration of the laboratory  thermal  inves-
          tigation.

          Dr.  Eng.   Andrzej Filipkowski and  Dr.  Ryszard Krasnodebski  for  the
          mathematical analysis.

          Assistant  Professor Lidia  Horoszewicz for  organizing and leading  the
          specialized team for  elaboration of the  impact of  heated  waters  on
          fish.

          M.Sc.  Eng.  Waclaw Zarzycki  for  organizing and leading the special-
          ized team for the elaboration of  changes of power plant  load.

          M.Sc.  Raimund Wisniewski for consultation  on  impact of heated  water
          on the biology of the  water body.

          The  author's  colleagues:  M.Sc.   Eng.   Hanna Spoz-Dragan,  M.Sc. Eng.
          Ewa  Kurhanowicz,  M.Sc.  Julia  Surowiec,   tech.   Irena  Piaszczynska,
          Prof.   Dr.   Eng.   Mieczyslaw   Zajbert,    Asst.   Professor   Antoni
          Symonowicz,   M.Sc.  Franciszek   Jastrzebski,  M.Sc.  Eng.   Stanislaw
          Wiecek, for their  comments and assistance  in the  preparation  of this
          report.

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                                 INTRODUCTION

     This  report  describes  research  conducted to  establish rules  for esti-
mating the optimum  installed capacity of power plants with once-through cool-
ing systems and with hybrid cooling systems.  Hybrid" systems can  use cooling
towers,  cooling  ponds  and spray devices,  intermittently or continuously  to
reduce the waste heat discharge to acceptable levels.

     The factors used in determining the optimum installed capacity of a power
plant are:

          representative low flows,

          acceptable temperature increases  in the river below the discharge,

          power plant load.

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1.   Hydrological Basis
1.1.  Introduction

     This  report  deals  with  the  possibilities  of supplying  steam electric
power plants with  cooling water from free flowing rivers (i.e., without arti-
ficial flow control).   In the case of rivers  used  as  a cooling water source,
the  probability  of  occurrence of low  flows has a  practical  use  because it
enables proper estimation of the cooling capabilities of the river.

     This  report  gives  flow  characteristics for a  number  of European rivers
used  for  power plant  cooling.   The  analyses  are based on  monthly low flows
over many  years.  The  report also presents views on minimum reliable flows in
various countries  for industrial needs, as well  as  for power plant cooling.

     The  investigations covered river  basins  which differed  with  respect to
their  size and character; thus,  small,  medium, and large basins,  as well as
mountain and  lowland basins  were investigated.  Polish rivers have been stud-
ied  in  greater detail, since the basic data for their investigation were more
available.

     To meet the objective of this study, analyses were conducted to determine
the following:

           magnitude of low flows and their annual distribution,

           magnitude and duration of the continuous low flows,

           characteristics of monthly  low flows.

     A total  of 42 cross-sections on 25 rivers from various river basins were
investigated.   Data on the rivers and cross-sections investigated are given in
Table  1.1.  and on  the map  (Figure  1.1) at a  scale 1:12,000,000.   Note that
Figure 1.1  uses the Polish spelling of some rivers.

     Analyses were conducted using data from Polish  laboratories and technical
references as  well as data from other  European countries.

1.2.  Reliable Flows

     Until recently, the required conditions commonly assumed for open cooling
system operation  on rivers  related  the constant demand for cooling water to
the minimum flow with  a definite probability of occurrence; generally between
95 and 98%.

     In analyzing the problem of low flow rates, it  should be pointed out  that
such  severe  conditions  for  open  cooling systems are  not  justified.  The re-

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TABLE 1.1.  RIVERS UNDER INVESIGATION

No.
1
1.
2.
3.
4
5.
6.
7.
8
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.

22.

23.
24.
25.
26.
27.
28.
29.

River
2
Vistula
n
M
it
n
n
n
n
n
ti
San
Narew
Oder
n
n
M
n
M
Varta
n
Marie

Arda

Dnieper
n
Dniester
Neman
n
Daugave
n

Cross-
Section
3
Tyniec
Jagodniki
Szczucin
Sandomierz
Zawichost
Pulawy
Warsaw
Plock
Torun
Tczew
Radomysl
Ostroleka
Scinawa
Nowa Sol
Cigacice
Polecko
Slubice
Gozdowice
Gorzow Wlk
Poznan
Pazardzhik

Studen-
Kladenets
Kiev
Kremenchug
Zaleszczyki
Kaunas
Smalininkai
Dvinsk
Plavinskaja
GES
Area of Longterm
Basin Mean Annual
(km2) Flow (m3/s)
4
7525
12049
23885
31819
50685
57224
84823
169386
180780
194259
16823
21870
29615
37304
39913
47293
53580
109364
51893
25093
4136


3407
328000
383000
24600
45700
81200
64400

81500
5
90.7
134
246
287
419
450
560
909
972
1020
135
107
167
212
224
266
308
528
206
94.3
21.6


58.6
1360
1430
214
270
517
456

589
Years of
Record
6
1921-73
n
M
n
n
n
n
ii
n
n
n
n
n
n
n
ii
n
ii
n
n
n


11
n
n
n
M
II
II

II
Country
7
Poland
n
n
n
n
n
n
n
1!
II
II
II
II
II
II
II
II
II
II
II
Bul-
garia

n
USSR
n
n
M
n
n

n

                                       continued ...

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                                                          Table 1.1 (cont.)
30.
Vltava
Modrany
26703
146
1941-70
Czecho-
slova-
kia
31.   Vah
32.   Danube
33.
34.   Olt
35.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
Si ret
Bistrita
Seine
Garonne
Dordogne
Loire
Rhone
Rhine
Sala          10619
Budapest
Orsova       576000
Rimnieu
 Vilcea       15292
Racaciuni     19539
Bicaz
Paris         43800
Mas D'Agenais 52000
Dome (Cenac)   8700
Mont-Jean    110000
Beacaire      95000
Bale          35925
 150
2350
5490

 124
 100
  40.
 253
 590
 180
 847
1705
1035
                                                  1954-69
                                                  1941-70
             Hungary
             Rumania
1927-65
1921-65
France

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33
o
m
X)
m

3
o
MEDITERRANEAN SEA
                                                                                                                             Scale  1:12000000

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 suits  of these  investigations  show that there  is  a  period within the  annual
 power  plant  operation  cycle in  which  the water  demand drops  by about  25%.
 Apart  from  that,  minimum  flows  with a  probability  of  occurrence p=95%  and
 p=98%  are infrequent and of  short  duration.   Thus, they do not  represent the
 normal  flow  conditions  at  the power plant  intake.   This  aspect of minimum
 flows  is  also pointed  out  by  some hydrologists  (Laszloffy  1960, Zielinska
 1964,  Remenieras  1972).   Data  from  several  steam power plants  confirm  this
 thesis,  since the total  demand for  water exceeds  the minimum flows in  rivers
 quite frequently (Table 1.2.).

     Power  plant  operating experiences  were used  to  work out the  new methods
 for  low  flows  estimation  and  their classification concerning  steam  power
 plants  cooling cycles water demand.  In 1966,  the Polish  Union of Power  En-
 gineering assumed  that  flows  with  the  probability  of  occurrence  p=95% in
 December  would ensure guaranteed capacity of  the plant;  while  in November,
 January  and February it is  possible  to  reduce the power of the plant by  10%.
 Reduced  load  requirements  during the summer  months  provide reduced flow  re-
 quirements  in the summer.

     One  of  the  first  methods  of  calculating  minimum  flows for open  cycle
 cooling  systems  was presented in 1968 (Gadkowski).   In  this method,  the year
 is  divided  into  two periods:  winter, November  through April; and  summer, May
 through  October.   Analyses  showed  that  low flows in both  periods are at the
 same  level.   However in  winter, under low water temperatures, it  is necessary
 to  use  recirculation  (intake  heating)  which  reduces   intake  demands.   This
 means  that  flow  shortages for open  cooling cycle operation  usually occur only
 in the summer.

     To determine the minimum reliable flow, a 95% guaranteed water supply  for
 steam  power plants  is  the  practice  in  Poland.  This means that  hydro!ogical
 conditions  should safeguard  the power plant operation through 95%  of the year;
 for the  remaining 5% of the  year (i.e.,  18 days in  the  summer)  flows may be
 lower than  the reliable  value.   This condition  was related  to a dry year with
 a probability of  occurrence,  p=95%.

     The  rules of the minimum reliable  flows  in other European countries  are
 presented below:

     In Romania (Zanavello 1964), low flow rates of 10 consecutive  days with a
 frequency of occurrence p=95% are  recommended.

     An interesting  method for  low  flow  evaluation was  worked out in Hungary
where reliable flows lasting  for 80%  of August and 97.5% to  99.0%  of September
were  taken   as  reliable  low flow  rates.   During  other months,  the reliable
 flows are assumed  to  last for  100% of the  time.

     In West  Germany,  low flow rates of  20 consecutive  days with  a frequency
 of occurrence  once  in 30 years are  recommended.  In  the temperature calcula-
tions for the Neckar River in West Germany (Flinspach 1973), low flows occurr-
 ing at  least 10% of the time in  June,  July and August in  the years 1951-1965
 have been accepted as reliable flows.

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                  TABLE  1.2.  COMPARISON OF OPEN COOLING SYSTEM FLOW REQUIREMENTS
                              AND  LOW RIVER FLOWS FOR SOME STEAM POWER PLANTS.

Power Plant
Country
Vitry sur Seine
France
Monte reau
France
Lacq-Artix
France
Beautor
France
Blenod
France
God in
Czechoslovakia
Skawina
Poland
Neckar
West Germany
Power Plant
Capacity (MW)
1,000
750
375
375
1,000
200
550
900
Cooling Water
Flow (m3/s)
34
27
20
14.1
40
9
24
40
River
Seine
Seine
Gave du Pou
Oise
La Moselle
Morava
Vistula
Neckar
Low Flows
(rnVs)
29
25
13
15
27
7
19
4.3
5.52
8.54
13.8
20
Hydrological Character-
istic of Low Flows
Lowest monthly flow
Average yearly low flow
Absolute minimum
Average yearly low flow
Flow of 329 days
duration (Q32g)
Average yearly low flow
Low monthly flows in
Sept. and Oct. p=10%
Daily minimum in 1972
Flow of 364 days duration
Flow of 355 days duration
Lowest monthly flow
Average yearly low flow
Chesterfield
    USA
1,212
44
James
14
Average yearly low flow

-------
      In  France,  the Interdepartmental  Mission  (AFdB  1975),  established  to
evaluate  low flows,  has  analyzed the  following methods  of classification  of
minimum flows:

           low consecutive flows of a duration of 10 and 30  days,

           low monthly flows with a probability of occurrence, p=90%.

As  a result  of this classification,  low monthly  flows  occurring once in  10
years were recommended as  reliable to water management authorities.

      In the  United  States,  7 day  consecutive low  flows with  the probability  of
occurrence p=90% are most often  assumed  as  reliable  flows.   In  some  cases,
however,  this  rule  is  modified  (e.g.,  in temperature  computations  regarding
steam power plants  situated on the Ohio  River,  low flow rates of 30 consecu-
tive days with  a frequency of  occurrence once  in 10  years  were assumed  as
reliable flows, Butz 1974).

      On the basis of the  above  review  of various opinions  regarding reliable
flows for evaluating cooling system operation  in the steam power plants, low
monthly flows with  a probability  of occurrence  of p=90% are assumed as reli-
able flows in this report.

1.3  Magnitude and Distribution of Minimum Reliable Flows
1.3.1.  Minimum Reliable Flows in  Polish Rivers

      As  discussed  in section  1.2.  low monthly  flows  with a  probability  of
occurrence of p=90% are proposed  as the base for  hydrological analyses of open
and  combined cooling cycles.   Such flows  are treated as minimum flows for the
evaluation of  the  effective  power output for power  plants  with open cooling
systems.   In addition,  lower monthly flows with  a probability of occurrence,
p=95%, are suggested as  worst case conditions.

      To standardize the results  of the investigations carried out for differ-
ent  types  of  rivers,  coefficients  previously  suggested  by  Gadkowski,  K.
(i.e., coefficients of  flow distribution  according to  equations  1.1  and l.z°
have  been used.  This  form of  expression has  recently  become more and more
widely used (Bratranek 1966, Laszewski).

                                   Q •
                                   x
                                      •  or,
                                    min 90
                          i 10% ~ ~7~~Q
                         „      _   Milin 95
                         Ki  5% --
where:
     Q         =    mean annual flow of many years,

     ^min 90   =    low monthly flow of the probability of occurrence, p=90%,

     ^min 95  =     low monthly flow of the probability of occurrence, p=95%.

Coefficients of  distribution,  K.  ,Qc£  for Polish and other European  rivers  are
given in Table  1.3 and Figures 1.2 ana 1.3.
                                       8

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     If the  values  of the coefficient,  K.  ,Q^, are analyzed  for the Vistula
and Oder Rivers, each year may be divided  irvto three periods:

          from February to June -  a favorable period for open cooling systems
          of steam power plants due to high spring flows,

          from November to February - a safe period for  open cooling systems
          of steam power plants with slightly increased  flows,

          from July to October - a critical  period for open cooling systems of
          steam power plants,  i.e. a period  of summer  and  autumn  low  flow
          rates.

     In the critical  periods,   special  attention  should  be  paid to  months
characterized by  minimum  coefficients of distribution.  All  along the Vistula
they occur  in September,  but on the  Oder  they occur at different  times in
various stretches of  the river.   In  the upper stretches  of the  Oder,  they
occur  in  October,  in the  middle  stretches  in September, and in the  lower
reaches in  August.   However  these  differences  are slight and  if the Vistula
and Oder  distribution  coefficients  are compared (see Figures  1.2 and  1.3), it
is  seen  that their  values  and  distribution throughout the year are  similar.
Slightly  higher coefficients  occur  all along the Oder  in  November, December,
January and  February,  while  in  the summer and  autumn  months  the coefficients
of distribution are similar for both rivers.

     A comparison of  individual stretches of the Vistula and  Oder indicates a
displacement  of  the  maximum  spring flow in  the  lower stretch  from  March to
April  in  relation to  the middle and upper stretch.  All through the remaining
part of the year (in summer,  autumn, and winter) the K.  coefficient values of
the  lower Vistula stretch are  about  5% higher than ^ose  of  the upper and
middle stretches.   In the Oder, this  increase is even higher.

     Considering  the  possibility of  using  these stretches for cooling,  this
phenomenon  should be pointed  out as very  favorable.  The most  suitable distri-
bution coefficients,  from the  point  of  view of cooling,  appear in the  lower
stretch of the Oder.

     Among other rivers examined, the K. distribution coefficients are partic-
ularly interesting  in the Varta River.   In  the  lower stretch  at the Gorzow
Wielkopolski cross-section, K. 1Qy coefficients remain at the  same  level  (near
0.40)  for five summer and autumn  months  and in winter they  are about  0.50.
From the  point of view  of using open cooling  systems,  this  cross-section is
the most suitable  of the Polish rivers examined.

1.3.2.  Magnitude  and Distribution of Low Flows in European Rivers

     In relation  to  their cooling  capability, European rivers  have  been di-
vided  into  two groups -  medium and  large.  Large  rivers  can provide cooling
water  to  open  cycle  power plants with capacities greater than l.OOOMW; medium
rivers provide cooling for open cycle plants with capacities up to l.OOOMW.

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River
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
Vistula
San
Narew
Oder
Oder
Oder
TABLE 1.3.
Cross
Section
Tyniec
Jagodniki
Szczucin
Sandomierz
Zawichost
Pulawy
Warsaw
Plock
Torun
Tczew
Radomysl
Ostroleka
Scinawa
Nowa Sol
Cigacice
DISTRIBUTION OF Ki10
COEFFICIENT
FOR EUROPEAN RIVERS
Months
XI
0.29
0.32
0.30
0.33
0.33
0.36
0.38
0.38
0.42
0.43
0.24
0.49
0.35
0.42
0.40
XII
0.36
0.35
0.28
0.34
0.36
0.38
0.41
0.40
0.41
0.44
0.31
0.45
0.36
0.43
0.42
I
0.38
0.34
0.32
0.31
0.34
0.36
0.39
0.42
0.45
0.48
0.27
0.41
0.37
0.50
0.46
II
0.37
0.39
0.33
0.37
0.34
0.37
0.39
0.41
0.45
0.45
0.37
0.39
0.38
0.52
0.47
III
0.82
0.82
0.65
0.84
0.83
0.74
0.75
0.83
0.74
0.79
0.75
0.56
0.68
0.81
0.82
IV
0.66
0.68
0.73
0.77
0.76
0.71
0.75
0.99
0.90
0.97
0.69
0.94
0.67
0.80
0.82
V
0.47
0.43
0.53
0.54
0.47
0.53
0.55
0.59
0.60
0.66
0.38
0.63
0.52
0.59
0.66
VI
0.35
0.41
0.41
0.47
0.44
0.46
0.48
0.41
0.42
0.49
0.31
0.41
0.38
0.49
0.48
VII
0.38
0.35
0.34
0.40
0.38
0.39
0.39
0.40
0.40
0.43
0.21
0.35
0.34
0.39
0.35
VII
0.35
0.34
0.33
0.35
0.33
0.33
0.35
0.35
0.37
0.39
0.22
0.33
0.31
0.35
0.33
IX
0.29
0.28
0.28
0.30
0.28
0.29
0.30
0.33
0.34
0.37
0.19
0.35
0.26
0.31
0.29
X
0.33
0.29
0.28
0.31
0.28
0.30
0.33
0.33
0.35
0.38
0.19
0.39
0.25
0.32
0.31
continued ...

-------
Table 1.3 (cont)
River
Oder
Oder
Oder
Varta
Varta
Meric
Arda
Dnieper
Dnieper
Dniester
Neman
Neman
f* yo c c
u i USb
Section
Polacko
Slubice
Gozdowice
Poznan
Gorzow Wlk
Pazardzhik
Studen- Kadeneta
Kiev
Kremenshug
Zaleszczyki
Kaunas
Smalininkai

XI
0.40
0.43
0.47
0.39
0.49
0.20
0.14
0.30
0.28
0.22
0.54
0.68

XII
0.42
0.43
0.51
0.62
0.59
0.16
0.18
0.26
0.28
0.21
0.52
0.50

I
0.42
0.47
0.54
0.56
0.58
0.25
0.44
0.33
0.31
0.15
0.48
0.48

II
0.48
0.50
0.57
0.35
0.58
0.30
0.27
0.32
0.29
0.20
0.41
0.39

III
0.68
0.75
0.76
0.75
0.87
0.45
0.41
0.36
0.35
0.62
0.50
0.48
Months
IV
0.77
0.79
0.81
0.71
0.85
0.32
0.27
1.31
1.26
0.72
1.26
1.28

V
0.60
0.66
0.60
0.47
0.63
0.42
0.19
1.47
1.54
0.38
0.72
0.71

VI
0.42
0.38
0.48
0.33
0.44
0.13
0.14
0.61
0.70
0.30
0.56
0.46

VII
0.39
0.40
0.43
0.29
0.41
0.03
0.08
0.40
0.39
0.28
0.49
0.43

VII
0.36
0.37
0.38
0.26
0.41
0.01
0.03
0.34
0.33
0.27
0.47
0.38

IX
0.33
0.32
0.40
0.26
0.43
0.01
0.04
0.32
0.28
0.19
0.48
0.40

X
0.31
0.34
0.40
0.31
0.45
0.13
0.05
0.34
0.29
0.19
0 51
6.42
continued ...

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                                                                                         Table 1.3 (cont)
PO
River
Daugave
Daugave
Vltava
Vah
Danube
Danube
Olt
Cross
Section
Dvinsk
Plavinskaja GES
Modrany
Sal a
Budapest
Orsova
Rimnieu-Vilcea

XI
0.25
0.26
0.29
0.33
0.41
0.48
0.28

XII
0.26
0.27
0.31
0.37
0.35
0.48
0.24

I
0.21
0.22
0.35
0.31
0.51
0.42
0.22

II
0.20
0.20
0.36
0.29
0.59
0.50
0.26

III
0.22
0.21
0.55
0.68
Q.66
0.72
0.48
Months
IV
2.15
2.12
0.58
0.87
0.86
0.90
0.64

V
1.12
1.10
0.42
0.67
0.94
0.82
0.79

VI
0.42
0.44
0.34
0.59
0.90
0.71
0.64

VII
0.24
0.25
0.29
0.40
0.80
0.60
0.51

VII
0.22
0.21
0.20
0.33
0.70
0.47
0.34

IX
0.21
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.57
0.38
0.31

X
0.24
0.25
0.30
0.26
0.43
0.28
0.28
             Si ret
Rocaciuni
0.22  0.14  0.12  0.12  0.47   0.80   0.82   0.52   0.44   0.33   0.23   0.19
             Bistrita  Bicaz
                0.32  0.24  0.21   0.22  0.42  1.02   0.89   0.67   0.52   0.40   0.32   0.26
             Seine
Paris
0.15  0.25  0.58  0.58  0.67  0.44  0.34   0.26   0.20   0.27   0.15   0.14
             Garonne   Mas D'Agenais   0.28  0.35  0.47  0.52  0.54  0.52  0.51   0.38  0.20   0.12   0.14   0.15
             Dorgogne  Dom(Cenac)
                0.27  0.38  0.54  0.59  0.52  0.38  0.30  0.21   0.09   0.09  0.10   0.13
             Loire     Montjean
                0.25  0.43  0.63  0.73  0.61   0.47  0.31   0.28  0.18  0.13  0.13   0.15
             Rhone
Beacaire
0.48  0.54  0.59  0.55  0.63  0.59  0.60  0.62  0.49  0.43  0.39  0.37
             Rhine
Bale
0.46  0.43  0.44  0.39  0.52  0.66  0.82  1.07  0.90  0.78  0.62  0.48

-------
   K;
GJ
1.00
   0,90
    0,80
    0,70
    0,60

    0,50

    0,4)

    0,30

    0,20
    0,10
    0,0
                                             Middle Oder
          XI   XII     I
                       II    III    IV    V    VI    VII   VIII   IX     X
                                                                         Ki iov.
                                                                           1.00
                                                                       090
                                                                       0,80
                                                                       0.70
                                                                      0,60
                                                                      0,50
                                                                      0,40

                                                                      0,30

                                                                      0,20

                                                                      0,10

                                                                      nO.O
                                                                                                                     Lower Vistula
XI    XII
II    III  '  IV '   V  '  VI  '  VII  ' VIII '  IX  '
                  Fig.1.2.   Distribution  of   Kj10.A  coefficients on lower  and  middle   Vistula  and Oder

-------
l 10V
0,90--

0,80  - -

0,70  -

0,60^

0,50  -

0.40-
0,30-1
0.20 i
0,10  H
0,0
                          Upper Vistula
                        Upper Oder (Scinawa)
XI 'XII '
III  '  IV '  V  '  VI  ' VII  ' VIII ' IX  ' X
                                                                 1,00
                                                          0.90
                                                          0,80
                                      0,70

                                      0,60
                                      0,50

                                      0,40

                                      0,30

                                      0,20

                                      0,10

                                     nO.O
                                                                                            Ngrew-OstroKeka
                                                                                                     Warta-Gorz6w Wlk.
                                                                             \San-Radomysl
                                                                       XI   XII    I
III    IV    V    VI    VII  l VIII '  IX  '  X
 Fig .1.3.   Distribution  of  Kjw./t   coefficients on Upper Vistula  and  Upper  Oder and  on  San , Warta, Narew Rivers

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     The coefficients  of  distribution for the large European rivers are given
in Figure 1.4.  These results indicate that the variability of the coefficient
of distribution K..  ^  depends on  the  individual  character  of  the river.
Coefficients  K..  ^ may  differ considerably  in  rivers flowing under similar
geographical  cond-mons.  The  Neman,  Daugave,  Rhine and Rhone,  as well as the
Danube, in its middle and lower  stretches, are examples of significant differ-
ences  of  the  coefficients  of  distribution  K. lno;.  The  differences  between
distribution  coefficients in the  Vistula and  Oder Rivers amount  to  0.20 in
winter and  0.10 in summer and  autumn  months.   Slightly larger differences in
coefficients  of distribution  K.  1Q^ occur  in  the  medium  size  rivers.   In
Poland, these amount to 0.30 in  winter and 0.20 in  the  summer critical  period.
The  differences between  coefficients  of distribution  discussed here  include
monthly magnitudes,  critical  periods when they occur within a year, and their
duration.   This indicates  the need for individual  analyses of the rivers.

1.4  Flow  Shortages

     The  purpose  of  the  analysis  of  flow shortages  is to  investigate  the
possibilities  of low flow augmentation  for power plant cooling  systems.  Flow
shortage  is  the difference between the  historical  flow which is not exceeded
90%  of the time  and the required low flow (Q ) with the defined control ratio,
                                                                       (1.3)
where:
     s    =    control ratio
     Q    =    required low flow
     Qr   =    mean flow of many years

 Flow  shortages  are  calculated  from historical data  on a  daily,  weekly,  or
 monthly  basis.   An analysis  of flow  shortages has been  done  for the Pulawy
 cross-section  on the  Vistula River.  Observations of  the  flows  in the years
 1921-1973  were used.   Separate  calculations were  carried  out for monthly and
 daily  flows,  as  well  as for  summer and  winter flows.   The months June through
 October are considered the  summer period.

     The  duration of  flow shortages  determined  on the basis  of daily flows
 usually  comprises a  longer period  than the basic period  established on the
 basis  of  the monthly  flows.   This causes the volume of  shortages determined on
 the basis  of  daily flows  to  be about 15% larger  than  the volume of shortages
 established on the basis  of monthly  flows.   The  calculated  values  are pre-
 sented in Table 1.4.

 1.5  Maximum Reliable  Water Temperatures

     If  the river in  question  is  used  for cooling steam  power plants, it is
 very  important tat the duration of maximum  temperatures  is short.    Natural
 temperatures exceeding 25°C rarely last more than a few days  in Polish rivers.
                                      15

-------
                                                                       K
K
  110'/
  1,00-


  Q90-


  0,80-


  0,70


  0,60


  0,50


  0,40-f


  0,30


  0,20


  0,10-
0.0
           Seine
XI   XII     I    II     III    IV    V  ' VI   VII   VIII   IX
hov. '


 1,5


 1,4-


 1,3-


 1,2-


 1,1 -


 1,0-


 0,9-


 0,8-


 0,7-


 0,6-


 0,5-


 0,4-


 0,3-


 0,2-


 0.1 -
                                                                         0,0.
                                                                                                          n  Dauggve-PlQwinskajg GES
                                                                        Neman - 5malirtnl/<  coefficients  on  large  and   medium  rivers.

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                TABLE 1.4.   FLOW SHORTAGES FOR THE SUMMER WITH
                            DIFFERENT CONTROL RATIOS, s, FOR p=90%

Control
Ratio, s
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
The Sum of Monthly
Shortages (10xl06m3)
34
135
260
392
The Sum of Daily
Shortages (10xl06m3)
37
156
300
450
Coefficient
of Increment*
1.09
1.16
1.15
1.15

     * Coefficient of Increment is the ratio of daily flow shortages to
       monthly flow shortages.


During this  period,  rapid  temperature  changes of  a few  degrees  Celsius may
occur.

     To establish a  reliable  water temperature for  power  plant  cooling,  tem-
peratures which  are  not  exceeded 95% of  the period  under  investigation are
proposed; such temperatures (t95) should be calculated monthly.   Calculations
show  (Gadkowski  1972)  that reliable temperatures  (t95)  are  1.0-2.0°C  below
extreme natural temperatures.

     The concept  of  reliable  temperatures was introduced  to  thermal  analysis
by  other authors.   Chauveau  and  Gras   (1972)  utilized this  principle  while
analyzing open cycle cooling for  steam power plants.  Temperatures exceeded no
more  than 20  days  of the year  (t2oj) were accepted as reliable.  The differ-
ence  between t    and t20 . in natural regimes is normally 2 to 3°C.  In heated
waters, the  difference is greater and stays within the limits of 3  to 4°C.

     Flinspach (1973),  in thermal  calculations  of  the Neckar River,  assumes
reliable temperatures as  temperatures  not exceeded 92.5% of the time in June,
July  and August.  Reliable  temperatures  are 1.0°C less than  the maximum tem-
peratures in June and August and 3.0°C less  in July.

     In  thermal  calculations  for  the  Rhine  River  (Arbeitsgemeinschaft 1971)
the reliable temperature  was  assumed to be the mean temperature of the lowest
low-flow period  of 20  days  duration for  each year from  1947 to 1966.   This
reliable  temperature exhibits  the  same  characteristics  as  for  the  Neckar
River.

     Adoption of a reliable temperature lower than  the maximum  value is con-
firmed by the fact that measurements are usually made close to the river bank,
and those shallow,  slow  flowing  waters  heat up more  rapidly than the deeper
mid-river  waters.   This  phenomenon   is   reported  by   Cebotariev  (1953),
Zelazinski (1961), Hatfield (1965) and others.
                                     17

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2.  Acceptable Temperature Increases in Free-Flowing Rivers
2.1  Variability of River Water Temperature

     It  is  recognized that  temperature changes caused  by power plant opera-
tions can be  of the same magnitude as temperature changes caused by a variety
of  natural  phenomena.   It  is  also recognized, however,  that the power plant
induced  temperature  increases  are added to any natural  changes, thus accent-
uating the  increases.  In  any  event it is instructive to review certain natu-
rally-caused temperature  changes.

     Calculations  show that temperatures  of  various  rivers  situated  in the
same  climatic regions are  different  (Gadkowski 1976b).   And,  the larger the
area  under  investigation,  the  greater the  difference  between temperatures
taken  simultaneously at  different locations.  This  points  to the opportunity
for  varying  cooling water  discharge  temperatures  for  various  power plants
located within the area to accommodate these natural temperature variations.

     In  Poland,  the differences between the  summer  mean monthly temperatures
of  many  years amounts  to about 4°C.  Differences between extreme temperatures
in the lower  stretches of the Vistula and Oder Rivers are slightly smaller and
amount to about  3.0°C  in the Vistula and to about 1.2°C in the Oder (Gadkowski
1976a).

     Maximum  differences between  the  mean monthly values  are much higher and
in the summer amount  to:

          for the whole area, about 6°C;

          for the lower  stretches  of  the Vistula  and Oder,  between 4.0 and
          5.5°C.

Maximum  differences  between  24-hour  values in the summer are considerable and
range from 6 to  11°C.

     Large  temperature differences  in  the river may be  caused by tributaries
which  have  different  water  temperatures  than  the main stream.   Usually such
cases occur in  rivers  which are fed by glaciers or  thermal  sources.  In Euro-
pean rivers,  monthly temperature  differences between the  Rhone  River and the
Arve River reach 9°C (Table 2.1), but between the Rhone River and the La Saone
River they  are   only 2.0  to 2.3°C  (Remenieras 1972).   Typically, temperature
differences are  large  between  upper  and  lower river  stretches, particularly
for  rivers  flowing  from the mountains.   In  some  cases,  however, significant
differences in the lower stretches of large rivers are observed.  For example,
in four cross-sections situated within a 145  km reach of the  lower Rhone River
(Serriers,  Valence,  Viviera Bagnols  sur  Ceze), the following differences of
monthly   river   water   temperatures   between  cross-sections  were  observed
(Gadkowski 1976b):
                                     18

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        TABLE 2.1.   MONTHLY TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
                    THE UPPER RHONE AND ARVE RIVERS


Month         1964     1970     1971     1972     1973     Average

Jan.           2.2      1.1      2.3      2.2      3.1       2.2

Feb.           1.4      0.7      0.7      0.9      1.9       1.0

Mar.           0.2      0.2      0.3      0.4      1.1       0.4

Apr.           0.4      0.4      0.7      0.9      0.8       0.6

May            0.7      1.0      2.0      3.2      1.5       1.6

June           1.9      6.1      2.5      3.6      5.6       3.9

July           7.0      4.7      7.3      7.0      7.0       6.6

Aug.           7-4      9.0      9.7      7.4      9.6       8.6

Sept.          7.5      5.6      7.3      6.2      8.1       6.9

Oct.           6.9      7.4      4.5      4.9                5.9

Nov.           3.3      3.0      4.0      6.0                4.1

Dec.           3.1      2.6      2.8      4.1                3.1
                               19

-------
                              1970      1.8 to 4.4°C
                              1971      0.8 to 8.9°C
                              1972      0.1 to 6.4°C

     Significant thermal changes may also be caused by discharges from  storage
reservoirs, e.g.,  warmer discharges  during the winter  and cooler discharges
during  the summer  (May  through  August).   The water  discharged  during the
summer can  be  as  much as 12°C cooler than the natural down-stream temperature
(Cyberska 1975) and during the winter, 5 to 6°C warmer.

     In summary,  natural  temperature changes do o.ccur regionally and locally.
In evaluating the  range of these changes the following  should be recognized:

          changes of 1.0°C are typical of changes in all river systems.

          changes  of  4.0 to  8.0°C  have been observed in  the  natural  thermal
          system of some rivers.

          changes with 4.0 to 10.0°C can be caused by reservoir discharges.

2.2.  Review of Temperature Increases Caused by Existing Steam Power Plants
2.2.1.  Polish Steam Power Plants

     Maximum  temperatures recorded  in Poland below power  plants exceed 30°C.
The  highest,   recorded  over a  long  time period  in  Poland,  occurred  in the
Vistula  below the  Skawina  Power  Plant  in 1963  (Figures 2.1  and  2.2).  It
should  be  pointed out that in  the  summer of 1963, water  temperatures  in the
thermal plume  about 3 km downstream from the power plant were 34°C on  several
days  and  temperatures exceeding  30°C were  recorded  for  10 consecutive days
from July  17  to 27.  The maximum monthly  temperature increase of the  Vistula
River  in  the period  of  power  plant operation  exceeded 5°C in  the  summer and
7°C  in the  winter  (Table 2.2).  A maximum temperature of 36°C,  was recorded in
the  Nysa   Luzycka  River  downstream from  the  Hirschfelde Power  Plant  (Stan-
genberg 1966).  Very high water  temperatures  were also observed  in the dis-
charge  of  the Stalowa  Wola  Power  Plant,  which has  a series  cooling  system.
Waters discharged  from  the  condensers installed at the first and second stage
are  used for  cooling the third stage.  The mean monthly water temperatures at
the  discharge  of this power plant amounted to 43°C  in the  summer.  Despite the
considerable temperature rise, the maximum temperature of the river fell quite
rapidly, and  about  5  km downstream from the power plant, the maximum tempera-
ture increase  in  the  heated plume was  only  about  3°C,  while a mean value for
the whole cross-section was only about 2°C.

     The Kozienice  Power Plant on  the Vistula  River is  another example.  In
1974, the  temperatures  below  the  discharge oscillated around 30°C from May 15
to September  15.  Maximum temperatures  were 32.5°C.  Maximum natural tempera-
tures the  summer  of 1974 in the region of the power plant intake were  21.0°C,
with a 24-hour maximum of 22.5°C.

     Discharge temperatures exceeding 35°C were also reported for the Patnow
and Konin Power Plants (Figures 2.3 and 2.4).
                                     20

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IN3
       1  3  S  7  S  1!  13 6 17 19 21  23 25 27 29 1  35 7  9 11  13 15  17 19  21 23  25 27  9  31 1  3579  11 13  5 17  19 21  23 25   21
     Fig.2.|,   Temperature  distribution  in the  thermal  plume  below  the  Skawina power  plant
                                  1963  (temper,  measurement at  7:00,12:00 and  18:00)

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0
                                                       1963
Jan    '  Febr. '   Mar.   '  Apr.   '  May      June  '   July   '   Aug.    Sept.     Oct.      Nov.
      Daily  temperatures in  the Vistula River below  and  above  the  Skawina  power  plant  in 1963
Dec.
 Fig. 2.2

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                           TABLE 2.2.   MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE INCREASES IN THE VISTULA
                                       DOWNSTREAM FROM THE SKAWINA POWER PLANT, °C
co
Year

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
max
ave.
Months
Nov.
2.36
3.95
3.45
2.69
1.98
3.76
3.28
5.40
3.25
4.10
1.93
3.88
3.03
5.40
3.31
Dec.
1.78
2.20
3.46
4.70
2.46
2.39
2.11
2.81
4.29
4.90
2.16
1.44
2.94
4.90
2.90
Jan.
3.06
2.85
4.63
7.23
2.89
3.24
3.15
2.12
4.68
3.57
2.20
4.70
4.05
7.23
3.72
Feb.
1.65
2.01
5.06
3.99
2.98
0.96
1.19
1.79
2.46
3.07
1.93
2.91
1.71
5.06
2.44
March
1.58
1.22
1.04
1.60
1.01
1.59
1.10
1.77
2.49
1.70
1.41
3.99
1.31
3.99
1.68
April
1.74
0.62
1.47
1.14
1.48
1.62
1.59
1.87
1.84
1.63
2.23
1.98
1.70
2.23
1.61
May
2.78
0.79
1.46
3.30
1.19
1.88
1.99
3.12
3.42
2.98
2.28
1.71
2.54
3.42
2.07
June
2.16
0.69
2.55
2.96
0.73
1.09
1.47
0.99
2.45
2.40
2.16
3.18
3.08
3.18
1.99
July
3.36
1.78
4.65
2.21
1.52
0.87
3.46
1.33
1.50
0.70
1.61
1.92
1.83
4.65
2.06
Aug.
1.79
4.22
4.92
3.69
2.02
1.15
3.64
1.00
2.30
1.22
4.72
0.66
2.44
4.92
2.60
Sept.
5.57
4.67
2.47
4.91
3.17
2.99
3.28
2.22
3.84
3.19
3.84
1.70
3.69
5.57
3.50
Oct.
4.81
4.67
1.20
4.05
3.58
4.13
3.98
2.29
4.56
2.34
3.87
2.27
3.63
4.81
3.49

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                                              1 -  natural temperature
                                              2 -  discharge  temperature
10.
        June
Aug.
Sept.
Fig. 2.J.   Daily  temperature  changes in the cooling system  in the Pqtnow
          power plant
                                     24

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ro
en
                                                                                 1- temperature at the intake

                                                                                2 - temperature at discharge
                                                                                   of Pqtndw power  plant

                                                                                3 - temperature at discharge
                                                                                   of Konin  power  plant
                                                                                  - temperature  at  the end
                                                                                   of the Licheriskie Lake
                                                                                   at the distance of 13,8km
                                                                                   from the  discharge
            21VI-30 VI
6 VII-17 VI!
6 VIII-15 VIII
      Fig. 2.4.   Temperatures in cooling  system  of  the Konin and Pqtnow  steam  power  plants
                in  summer  1975

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2.2.2  French Power Plants

     Maximum discharge temperatures  from  French power plants are at the  level
of 30  to  35°C.   Such  temperatures were maintained  for  nearly 4 months during
1973  in  the discharge of  the Montreau Power Plant, and in  July  1972 in the
discharge of  La Maxe  Power  Plant.  The  highest  discharge  temperatures  occur
downstream from the Blenod Power Plant.  In summer they exceed 40°C, sometimes
reaching  43°C.   Average  daily temperature  increases in  the  La Moselle  River
downstream average about  10°C.

     Downstream  from   other  power  plants,  the  maximum 24-hour  temperature
increase is  smaller, and according to Chauveau (1972) amounts to:

     Marne River downstream from the Vaires Power Plant in  -  1964- 3.2°C
                                                               1967- 5.8°C
                                                               1971- 8.1°C

     Oise River downstream form the Beautor Power Plant in  -  1965- 8.9°C
                                                               1967-11.5°C
                                                               1971- 9.8°C

     Oise River downstream from the Creil  Power Plant in    -  1964- 5.3°C

     Gave du Pou River downstream from the Artix Power
                                               Plant in     -  1971- 4.8°C

     Loire River downstream from the Saint Laurent des
                                    Eaux Power Plant in     -  1971- 4.8°C

     Maximum monthly temperature increases for a number of French power plants
are presented in Table 2.3.

     The maximum monthly temperature increases below French power plants range
from 3.0 to  10.0°C:

          temperature increases of 3.0 to 4.0°C occur from January to June,

          temperature increases of  4.5  to 5.5°C occur in July, August, Novem-
          ber and December,

          temperature  increases of  9.0  to 10.0°C occur in autumn months (Sep-
          tember and October) when minimal  flows appear in French rivers.

2.2.3  Other European Countries

     Research  carried  out in  Czechoslovakia (Kocakova  1976,  Nauczno-Isslie-
dovatelskij  Institut  Vodnogo  Chozjaistva,  1976) showed significant temperature
increases in the  Morava  River  below the Godonin Power Plant and in the Oslava
River below  the Oslaviany Power Plant.

     Mean temperature increases in the Morava were  from 1.6 to 4.8°C in 1972
and in 1973, from 0.6  to 9.9°C.   For the Oslaviany Power Plant water tempera-
tures in  the discharge channel were:
                                     26

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TABLE 2.3.   MONTHLY AVERAGE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE INCREASES AT FRENCH POWER PLANTS,  °C
Power Plant
Saint-Ouen
Champagne sur
Oise
Porcheville
Gennevil 1 iers
Creil
Vaire sur
Marne
Vitry
Saint Laurent
des Eaux
Montereau
La Maxe
Blenod
Maximum
Nov.
1.49
3.35
2.11
1.71
2.1
3.50
4.7
4.3
3.6
4.2
5.5
5.5
Dec.
1.38
2.88
1.70
1.33
2.0
2.50
4.5
2.1
0.6
4.0
4.6
4.6
Jan.
1.28
2.44
1.32
1.21
1.9
3.65
3.6
1.5
3.3
3.8
2.7
3.8
Feb.
0.71
1.19
0.60
0.60
1.6
1.23
1.9
1.0
1.7
3.5
2.5
3.5
Mar.
0.93
1.85
0.92
0.60
1.4
1.80
2.5
1.3
1.7
3.6
3.7
3.7
Apr.
0.58
2.20
1.33
0.51
1.2
2.40
2.5
1.6
3.0
3.4
2.8
3.4
May
0.88
1.45
0.83
0.60
1.3
1.65
2.6
2.2
1.8
3.1
2.7
3.1
June
1.44
1.92
1.43
0.70
2.5
2.10
2.9
2.3
2.4
2.3
1.6
2.9
July
1.63
3.31
2.10
1.41
3.8
3.40
3.5
3.0
4.7
3.2
2.6
4.7
Aug.
2.00
3.39
3.04
2.10
3.9
3.90
2.6
2.5
4.5
3.1
2.9
4.5
Sep.
2.01
3.97
3.10
2.32
4.6
5.86
4.0
5.1
4.8
3.9
9.1
9.1
Oct.
1.91
3.72
2.57
2.24
3.8
7.04
4.9
3.4
2.5
3.2
9.8
9.8
Years
1964-1973
1964-1973
1964-1973
1964-1973
1964-1973
1964-1973
1964-1973
1969, 1972
1973
1971, 1972
1973
1972, 1973
1971


-------
                                             Summer Temperatures
                    Temperature in the       in the River 0.5 km
          Year      Discharge Channel        Below the Discharge

          1972      from 14.6 to 34.2°C
          1973      from 18.5 to 36.8°C              33°C
          1974      from 18.0 to 38.5°C           30 to 31°C

     Temperature  increases  in  the  Neckar  River  in  West  Germany (Flinspach
1973), occur during critical conditions and amount to:

                    4.6°C - below the Altbach Power Plant
                    3.8°C - below the Marbach Power Plant
                    6.6°C - below the Heilbronn Power Plant
                    4.4°C - below the Obringheim Power Plant

2.3.  Legal  Limitations of Temperature for Open Cycle Cooling
      of Steam Power Plants.

     An  analysis  of legal  regulations  indicates two  different tendencies in
the field of thermal limitations for open cycle cooling of steam power plants.
One,  there  is a tendency to  strengthen  the limitations in a number  of coun-
tries; yet permits issued for particular power plants  often require deviations
from these limitations.

     In  the regulations  of  different  countries and  in  permits  issued  for
specific  plants,  significant divergence concerning  the  reference point  of
admissible  temperatures  is  found.   For  example,  the following points are used
in various regulations:

                    -  in the discharge channel

                    -  at the end of discharge channel

                    -  in the thermal plume at some specified distance from
                       the discharge point

                    -  mean temperature in the river below discharge

     Thermal standards of some European countries are  presented for comparison
in Table  2.4,  and the required temperatures for  Polish  power plants are pre-
sented in Table 2.5.

     The problem of thermal  standards is the subject of long-term research in
Comecon countries.   In 1972 a plenary meeting of the  Directors of Water Man-
agement of the Comecon countries took place in Warsaw during which a recommen-
dation was  approved  to allow a 5°C increase in  mixed  river  temperature over
the temperature  of  the  intake  water.    This  recommendation  was  accepted by
Polish, Czechoslovakian and Hungarian delegations.  However, additional recom-
mendations were included (SEV  1976):

          below the discharge,  maintaining  a zone of cold water one third the
          river's width,
                                     28

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        TABLE  2.4.   THERMAL STANDARDS IN SOME EUROPEAN COUNTRIES
  Country
Temperature in
the Discharge
   Channel
Temperature Down-
 stream from the
    Discharge
Permissible Temp-
perature Increment
 Downstream from
     Discharge
Poland
                     22°C or 26°C
                     depending on the
                     stream classifi-
                     cation
                       If natural temper-
                       ature exceed the
                       temperature limits,
                       a 2°C AT is allowed
Czechoslo-
vakia
Holland
West 30 - 33°C
Germany
Switzer- 30°C
land
Hungary
U.S.S.R.
5°
32 - 37°C
28°C 3 - 5°C
25°C
30°C
For regions with
                                   cold water fish -
                                   20°C in the summer
                                   and 5°C in the win-
                                   ter.   For all other
                                   regions - 28°C in
                                   the summer and 8°C
                                   in the winter
                                  29

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                      TABLE  2.5.   PERMISSIBLE  TEMPERATURE  DECREASES AT  POLISH  POWER  PLANTS
CO
o
Power Plant Receiving
Stream
1 2
Zeran
Steam Power Vistula
Plant
Siekierki
Steam Power Vistula
Plant
Ostrokeka
Power Plant Narew
Rybnik Reservoir
Power Plant on the Ruda
River
Kozienice Vistula
Class of
Receiving
Stream
3
I
I
II
unclass-
fied
I
Permissible Permissible Temperature in the
Temperature Receiving Stream
in the Dis-
charge Channel
4 5
35°C not described
Permissible temperature increase in the
discharge, 10°C
35°C Temperature increment in the river down-
stream from the discharge, 2°C
~?or 1 km downstream from the discharge after
complete mixing, 28°C
34°C not described
1 km downstream from the discharge after
complete mixing:
34°C - at natural temperatures less than 26°C
- permissible temperature, 26°C.
- at natural temperatures greater than
26°C, permissible temperature increase
is 2°C, but temperature must be lower
than 29.6°C.
                                                                                           continued ...

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                                                                                          Table  2.5  (cont.)
     Stalowa Wola
     Power Plant
  San
OJ
     Skawina
     Power Plant
For river flow less
than 30 m3/s, 38.5°C
For higher river
flows, limitations
are not described.
(not described)
Patnow
and Konin
Power Plants

Konin I
Lakes
complex

34°C In the northern part of Lichenskie
Lake (13.8 km from the discharge)
during the summer - 30°C for 80 hours
- 33°C for 20 hours
Skawina
River
                                                   Allowable
                        In the Skawinka River,  100 m downstream
                        discharge,  30°C.
                        In the Vistula River, 4 km downstream
                        from the Skawina mouth, 26°C.
                        In the Vistula River, 10 km down-
                        stream from the Skawina mouth,  22°C.
                        Temperature increase after mixing in
                        the Vistula,  6°C.

-------
          limiting the temperature of water in lakes to 28°C (without specify-
          ing how to measure or define the limitation),

     In France,  three  options  are used to  limit  discharge water temperatures
from power plants:

          a.   a  temperature  of  30°C at  the discharge   channel  below power
               plant,

          b.   a  temperature  of  30°C related  to  the  thermal  plume  in  the
               cross-section  specified  in  agreements  with water  management
               authorities,

          c.   a mean  temperature of  30°C  in the  cross-section  of  the river
               below the discharge point.

The  decisions  and specifications regarding the  selection  of which  option is
used is made  by regional water resources managers considering both river flow
and biological quality.

     In relation to  existing French  power  plants,  it is  pointed out that in
the Paris region, recognized as a protective zone, the interpretation present-
ed   in  option   "a"   is  obligatory.    It  applies  to  Champagne  sur   Oise,
Porcheville,  Vitry  sur  Sein and  other power plants.   In  other  regions,  the
interpretation  is different, e.g.  in  the case of the La Maxe Power Plant,  the
mean temperature from  four measuring  points in the  discharge  from  a prelimi-
nary cooling  reservoir  is  the  reference temperature.  An  interesting  way to
meet an  imposed  temperature  limitation  is  found  at  Porcheville,  where  an
additional  quantity  of  water  is pumped  into the  channel directly from  the
river.   This "solution"  allows an increase  in the output of the plant.   While
appearing to  meet the  legal  conditions of option "a",  this method corresponds
more closely to  option "c" (Gadkowski,  Tichenor, 1976).

     In West  Germany,  the  temperature limits are  related  to  receiving water
dissolved oxygen concentration.  Use of combined  cooling systems which provide
aeration  (e.g.,  sprays,  cooling  towers)  allows  higher discharge temperatures.
An economic analysis  has been  carried out  that  indicates  the  advisability of
modifying the present German standards.  The  new proposals are:

          admissible temperature  rises in condensers of 15°C,

          admissible temperatures in the discharge channel  of 35°C,

          admissible increase of river water temperature of 5°C.

The  enforcement  of  these  standards  will  be  combined with  simultaneous con-
struction of water aeration equipment  in power plants.  The new standards have
been temporarily accepted by the German water authorities and are under  review
for permanent approval.

     In reviewing the above discussion  of thermal  regulations,  it is  empha-
sized that  governmental  entities  often modify regulations; thus, the specific
citations above may not be applicable at this date.
                                     32

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2.4.   Impact of Heated Water on the Oxygen Balance In Receiving Water

     Investigations  of  oxygen balance  in  water  used  for  cooling  purposes
(Goubet 1967,  Hawes  1970,  Jensen  1974, Khalanski 1973,  Dojlido  1976,  Kiriak
1976, SEV  1976)  show  that when oxygen  content in the  intake  water  is high,
there is a significant drop of oxygen content  after  the water passes through
the cooling cycle  of a power plant.  In the case of low oxygen content in the
intake  water,  it  is  enriched in  oxygen  after  passing through the cooling
cycle.  Figure  2.5  illustrates  this phenomenon.  On  the basis  of  published
results, a  regression equation was developed which relates  change  in  oxygen
concentration to  intake oxygen  concentration:

                                   A 02 = A a + B                     (2.1)

where:

          A 02 =  change in oxygen content (mg 02/dcm3),

       A and B =  coefficients of regression  equation,

             CT =  intake oxygen  content or saturation

The coefficients  for  the  above equation are  presented in Table 2.6.

2.5.  Impact  of Heated Water on Fishes

      Lethal  temperatures  have been  determined for  some cyprinides  species
existing in Poland (Table 2.7)  (Horoszewicz 1976).

      Comparisons  show that under extreme  river temperatures, critical  condi-
tions for fish may occur.  In particular, this refers to power plant discharge
channels and  mixing  zones.   Practice shows, however,  that if such zones don't
cover  the  whole river  cross-section,  they  are  avoided  by adult  fish.   To
minimize  the negative impact  of  extreme  temperatures  on fish, river water
temperatures  should   not exceed 30°C  and  temperatures  in  discharge  channels
should not exceed 35°C.

2.6  Proposals for Permissible Temperatures

      Permissible  temperatures at  three different  reference points  are pro-
posed:

          a.    permissible discharge water  temperature, 35°C

          b.    permissible temperatures downstream  from the discharge, 30°C

          c.    Permissible  temperature  increment above  the  intake  water tem-
               perature (natural):

               4°C in summer (June,  July, August)
               5°C in September
               6°C during the rest of the year.
                                     33

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               1
               2

               3
               4
               5
power  plants:

Kozienice and Stalowa Wola - discharge
Kozienice bank at 428,5 km  of river  course
20km downstream from  the  discharge
Chesterfield : discharge
Chesterfield -4,7km  below the discharge
Chesterfield - 6,0 km  below the discharge
                                    intake water saturation
                                          120
                             140 70
u
           Changes  in  oxygen  content after passing
           through  cooling  systems in the San,Vistula
           and  James  Rivers
.+	1	1       i—»•
 8      10     12     14
     oxygen content at  the
     intake mg 02/dcm3
                                                      Changes  in  oxygen content  after  passing
                                                      through the  cooling  systems in  the  Morava
                                                      and  Oslava   Rivers
         Fig. 2.5.  Changes  in  oxygen  content  after passing  through  the cooling  systems  of  steam  power plants

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               TABLE  2.6.   A,  B,  AND a AT SELECTED LOCATIONS

No. Place of
Investigation



1. Discharge channel
of the Kozienice
and Stalowa Wola
Power Plants
Reference
Point



oxygen sa-
turation,
in %

B A R a
(Corre-
lation
Coeffi-
cient)

1.837 -0.034 -0.504 0.879


Number of
Samples




51


2.    The left bank of
     Vistula River 2
     km downstream
     from the discharge
     of the Kozienice
     Power Plant
1.260  -0.018  -0.539  0.483
35
3.   The Chesterfield
     Power Plant -
     discharge channel
1.623  -0.0323 -0.835  0.558
23
4.   The Chesterfield
     Power Plant 4.7
     km downstream from
     the discharge
2.996  -0.0473 -0.798  0.960     117
5.
6.
The Chesterfield
Power Plant 60 km
from the discharge
The Morava and
Os lava Rivers
3.138 -0.0476 -0.788 0.931
oxygen
content, 3.122 -0.474 -0.863 0.839
in mg/dem3
87
62
                                   35

-------
          TABLE 2.7.   THE  LETHAL TEMPERATURES  OF  CYPRINIDES,  °C
1
Fish Species
Abramis abrama
Gob 10- gob io
Tinea tinea
Scardinius ery-
throphthalmus
Leuciscus cep-
halus
Alburnus alburnus
Leuciscus idus
Gasterosteus
aculeatus
Rhodeus
sericeus
Carassius
carassius
Carassius aura-
tus gi belie
Cyprinus carpi o
Ictalurus
nebulosus
Micropterus
salmonides
Esox lucius
Acerina cernua
Perca fluvia-
til i s
Months
March April May June July August
27.5 30 31-33 33-34 31
-28.5
28 28.5
31 32-34 33 34
32 33
34 34
33
27 28 28 29
29
31-32
34-36
30 32 34 36 38-41
26 36
30-33 34 35-37
28 32 34 33
32-33
28 31 34
28 29 32 31 32
Lucioperca lu-
croperca
29
34
34
                                  36

-------
3.  Variability of Steam Power Plant Load
3.1.  Introduction

     Previous  investigations  (Dobrzanska 1963,  Kopecki  1958,  Kwiatkowski 1969)
showed  that electrical  system load has a natural character.  Important factors
are climatic  conditions,  geographical  situation, economic development  of  the
country,  and other factors.   It  is  possible to identify distinct daily, week-
ly, and yearly cyclic  changes in electrical system operations which seriously
impact  the  load cycles of particular power plants.

     The  correlation between  system  load changes and power plant load changes
depends on  several energy system characteristics:

          variability of power demand during day,  week, and year,

          mix  of power  in  electrical  systems (hydropower plants, pumped stor-
          age  plants, gas turbine, fossil and nuclear steam power plants),

          regulation of operating schedules for  hydro,  pumped  storage,  gas
          turbine and steam power plants, utilizing both base and peaking load
          facilities,

          economic load distribution  between different  power  plants, operating
          in a connected electrical system.

     Taking into account  the  above dynamics  and  complexity  of  electrical
system  operation,  emphasis  was  placed  on  analyzing plant  operation  on  the
basis of electrical system data.  The  analysis is supported  by existing steam
power plant production data.

     The  main  aim of the analysis was to determine the  average monthly coeffi-
cients  of  installed  capacity utilization  in power  plants,  depending  on  the
expected  time of their operation during the year.  In  these investigations,
attention was also  given to  the relationship  between  power  plant operating
time, cooling  system operating time,  and daily load changes.

3.2.  Daily Load Changes

     To establish daily load  changes  of a steam power plant complex, an analy-
sis was  conducted on data  from 11   power  plants operating  in  the  summers of
1972, 1973  and 1974.

     Data were analyzed  separately for two groups  of power plants:

              all power plants operating with open cycle cooling systems,
                                     37

-------
               6 large power plants operating with open cycle cooling systems.

Average load was  described  for holidays, days before  and  after holidays, and
other working  days.   The  range of changes in both  groups  of  power plants was
the  same.   For example,  in Table 3.1,  results  of daily  load  changes in the
second  group  of power  plants  are presented.  The  results obtained  show that
the  load  before and  after  holidays of  this  group of power plants  is at the
level of the average monthly load.


       TABLE 3.1.   DAILY LOAD CHANGES IN LARGE*  POLISH STEAM  POWER
                   PLANTS WITH OPEN COOLING SYSTEMS (%).
Year


1972


1973


1974

Month Typical Working
Day

June
July
August
June
July
August
June
July
August

104
116
100
101
no
107
101
105
105
Days Before
and After
Holidays
96
82
99
97
98
99
102
99
99
Holidays

89
80
97
85
86
92
91
89
84
               Average        106                 97            88


     100% - Average monthly load
     *  including - Patnow - 1400 MW
                    Konin -   600 MW
                   Rybnik -   800 MW
                Kozienice -  1600 MW
             Stalowa Wola -   450 MW
                Ostroleka -   600 MW


On typical working  days  it is 5 to 10% higher and during holidays it drops 10
to 15%.  Larger load changes can occur in single power plants.

     To characterize  load  changes  for  a single power plant,  a plant of 550 MW
capacity and 7,000 h operation time in the year was analyzed.  Average monthly
coefficients of  power utilization  (load  factor) at  the Skawina  Power  Plant
were:
                                      38

-------
               Month       1972       1973       1974

               June        0.79       0.73       0.70
               July        0.77       0.66       0.76
               August      0.73       0.65       0.79

Additional  data  for the Skawina  Plant  are presented in Table  3.2  and Figure
3.1.  These results show that daily load changes can be quite severe.

3.3.  Steam Power Plant Operating Time

     As shown  in UNIPDE  (Union Internationale des Production et Distributours
d'Energie Electrique) papers  and other references concerning  load  changes of
electrical  systems  in countries situated in the middle latitudes, asymmetrical
load distributions  caused  by geographical location  appear during  the  year.
For such load  distributions,  system load in corresponding months in the first
and  second  half-years  will  be  equal.   Actually,  a  constant  energy  demand
increment means that  during the  second half-year a  higher demand is observed
than in  the first  half-year.   This increment is  nearly  constant and the mean
for all world  electrical  systems is 7.2%.  In Polish electrical systems, some
load  deformation  is  observed.   It  is  caused  by  increased electric  energy
utilization  for  heating and  other  purposes,  so  the system  load  is  higher in
the first half-year.   Comparing  this  trend to open  cooling cycle  operation,
this corresponds  with  the period of increased water resources  in the rivers.

     Other factors which  are  not considered here may  have significant impact
on load  distribution throughout  a year.  Electrical system load changes  re-
quire  high elasticity in  electric energy production, thus  quite a  large part
of the installed capacity in electrical systems is not utilized over an annual
cycle.   There  is a  rule  in electric power system organizations that the total
installed capacity  in the  system  depends on  the maximum  peak  load  plus some
reasonable reserve  capacity (15-25%).

     As a characteristic  indicator of steam power plant operation,  the annual
full  load operation time was  used.  The annual full  load operation time equals
the annual load factor times  8,760 hours per year.  This indicator is provided
to indicate yearly electric  power production.    Full load operation times of
base load  steam  power  plants in different countries are  presented  in Tables
3.3 and 3.4 (Zarzycki  1976).

     Taking  into  account  full  load  operation times  of  fossil  fueled  power
plants, it is possible to divide them into three groups:


             Annual Full Load
              Operation Time                 Group of countries

            4,000 to 5,000 hours             Czechoslovakia, Belgium
                                             Spain,  West Germany, USA.

               5,000 hours                   Poland, USSR

          5,500 to  6,000 hours               Rumania, East Germany
                                     39

-------
       load
-£»
o
                                                                                                                              days
VI
VII VIII
1972
VI
VII
1973
VIII
VI
VII
197A
VIII

                       • Sundays and  holidays

                   Fig.3.1.   Daily  load  in  power  plani  of  yearly  operation  time T= 7000 hours

-------
TABLE 3.2.  FREQUENCY OF MAXIMUM DAILY LOAD IN A
            POWER PLANT WITH T = 7000 h OPERATION TIME
Daily
Load 	
% June
100 3
96 1
92 1
87 1
83
1972 1973 1974
July August June July August June July August
1
1
3 4
652 143
264 1 6
Sum of
i 	 ^^•••^^^^^•^^^••a
Number
4
2
8
22
19
cases
^^_»^^— ^p^*«NBV*M^V
%
1.4
2.1
5.0
13.0
19.9

-------
             TABLE 3.3.   TIME OF FULL LOAD  INSTALLED CAPACITY
                         IN SOME COUNTRIES  (HOURS)
   Country
                                                Years
                             1967
          1968
1969
1970
                                                                     1971
 Poland

 Czechoslovakia

 East Germany

 Romania

 U.S.S.R.

 Belgium

 France

 Spain

 West Germany

 U.S.A.



 East Germany

 U.S.S.R.

 England (CEGB)

 France

 Spain

West Germany
    Conventional Power Plants

5005      5164      5037      5025      4780

4221      4377      4627      4446

5605      5937      5897      5638

5613      5884      5540      5485

5226      5116      5098      4965

3741      3997      4383      4620      4608

4410      3948      4279      4060      4531

4027      4052      3419      4127

4067      4464      4888      4793

4514      4629      4673

      Nuclear Power Plants

4657      5600      6071      6014

1622      2092      5442

6220      6323      6023

3938      3510      3245      3730      4455

3376      5110      5571

3651      2004      5314      5843
                                  42

-------
TABLE 3.4.   EXPECTED TIME OF FULL LOAD INSTALLED CAPACITY
            FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS IN SOME COUNTRIES (HOURS)

Country
Bulgaria
Hungary
West Germany
Czechoslovakia
Yugoslavia
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
West Germany
Switzerland
Sweden
Canada
Japan
India
Austral ia

1980
5500
6818
7000
7058
5583
6500
7000
7080
5275
7037
6570
4872
6963
7242
6000

1985
6000
6914
6666
7037
5555
5900
6800
7070
-
6889
6440
-
6916
7407
6000
Years
1990
7125
6959
6333
7016
6071
5400
6600
6460
5300
6923
5600
6242
6910
7456
6000

1995
6917
7000
6000
6818
6417
-
-
-
-
6333
5625
6230
6470
7466
-

2000
6842
7000
6000
6479
6364
-
-
-
-
5917
5580
6250
6895
7483
4868
                          43

-------
      Table  3.4 provides  projected  full  load  operating  time data for  nuclear
 power plants up  to  the  year 2000.   In many countries it  is expected that  in
 the  future, nuclear  plant  full  load  operating time will  be prolonged up  to
 7,000 hours.  The problem of power systems operating time for conventional and
 nuclear  power  plants should be considered separately.  For  example,  referring
 to Table 3.4, the high power plant full load operating time  in India  is caused
 by  the  expected  constant energy utilization  for irrigation purposes.  Simi-
 larly high  values  in  Switzerland  are  caused  by  the electric  power system
 structure which  includes substantial  hydropower.  To cover basic energy de-
 mands,  Switzerland  is building nuclear power  plants  instead of  fossil-fueled
 plants.

      Data on Polish power plants  indicate that  the full load time also  depends
 upon  the type  of cooling system  used  (Table 3.5).  These results show  that  in
 the  Polish  electrical system power plants operating with open cooling  systems
 have  higher load factors than those  operating with closed cooling systems.
 The  Polish Board of  Energetics  has  predicted full  load  operating  times for
 various  sized units  through  1990 (Table 3.6).

 3.4  Monthly Coefficients of Installed Capacity Utilization

      In  previous  investigations  of open  cycle cooling  systems,  the  distribu-
 tion  of  monthly power plant utilization  has been inadequately treated.  Prob-
 lems  of  monthly production are acknowledged as important,  and in this report
 they are analyzed using different  calculation methods such as:

      a.   statistical analysis of production changes,
      b.   repairs schedule,
      c.   cosine model,
      d.   BETA distribution model.

3.4.1.  Statistical  Analysis of Production Changes

     The  statistical  analysis  of production  changes  was  carried out  by  the
Polish Energetic  Board (Zarzycki  1976).  It was  established that a reasonable
period for characterizing operating conditions  of large steam power plants was
the period  after 1967;  thus,   the statistical  data  from 1967-1973 were used.
Results  of  the  analysis  are presented  in Table 3.7 and  Figure 3.2.   Differen-
ces between average, maximum  and minimum values are  not  large  (Figure 3.2),
and the  range  of  these differences  is  nearly  constant during the whole year.
In addition, the  Energetic Board conducted analyses which  showed that monthly
coefficients of capacity utilization will be  at the  present level up to 1980
and will  drop slightly thereafter  (Table 3.8).

3.4.2.  Repairs  Schedule

     The  analysis of  power plant unit  repair  schedules  allows the evaluation
of power production  during the year and the  possibility  of shifting part  of
the load of power plants operating with  open  cooling systems to power plants
 operating with  closed cooling  systems.  Polish power plants are  down for re-
pair an average  of 7.4% of the time.
                                     44

-------
TABLE 3.5.   TIME OF FULL LOAD CAPACITY IN POLISH POWER PLANTS,
            UNITS OF 120 AND 200 MW (hours).

Year


1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
Average
Power Plant With
Open Cooling
System
4,467
5,438
5,666
5,694
6,531
6,248
6,160
5,816
5,955
5,926
6,050
Power Plant With
Closed Cooling
System
5,258
5,468
5,488
5,599
5,291
5,486
5,287
5,365
5,775
6,070
5,553
Average
for both
Groups
5,150
5,453
5,517
5,617
5,610
5,726
5,565
5,492
5,884
6,016
5,692

TABLE 3.6.  EXPECTED TIME OF FULL LOAD INSTALLED CAPACITY
            FOR POLISH POWER PLANTS IN 1980, 1985, AND 1990.

Size of Unit
120-200 MW
360-500 MW
Nuclear Units
440-500 MW
Total
Year
1980
1985
1990
1980
1985
1990
1980
1985
1990
1980
1985
1990
Cooling
Open
6,000
5,830
5,340
5,800
6,100
5,400
6,100
6,000
5,799
5,688
System
Closed
5,500
5,350
4,900
4,900
5,200
5,600
5,600
5,388
5,269
5,387
Average for
Both Groups
5,760
5,606
5,135
4,900
5,314
5,657
5,400
6,000
5,675
5,487
5,505
                            45

-------
TABLE 3.7.   INSTALLED CAPACITY UTILIZATION COEFFICIENTS FOR
            LARGE POWER PLANTS, 1967-1973  (%)
" — —
Months

January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
•
Power Plants With
Open Cooling Systems
Average
71.5
71.5
71.7
67.7
69.6
69.0
59.9
57.2
69.0
72.4
73.3
75.1
Minimum*
Maximum
63.7
74.4
55.6
79.5
63.1
79.3
60.8
78.3
60.3
86.6
62.9
78.6
53.7
66.1
51.9
68.5
66.8
72.5
59.8
79.8
59.7
83.8
70.4
86.0
Power Plants With Average for
Closed Cooling Systems Both Groups
Average
69.2
68.4
65.8
61.5
60.0
55.9
54.4
57.1
60.4
66.5
70.2
70.4
Minimum
Maximum
63.5
76.6
61.7
7374
60.0
72.3
57.9
65.1
57.1
64.1
45.4
62.9
47.0
61.5
51.0
64.7
51.1
67.3
61.9
70.9
62.2
76.5
69.8
75.4
Average
70.0
69.6
67.6
62.9
62.2
59.5
55.7
57.2
63.0
68.4
71.1
71.7
Minimum
Maximum
64.1
74.1
64.2
73.6
63.9
72.8
59.5
65.0
59.0
64.9
51.5
63.1
51.6
60.3
54.1
62.7
57.5
69.1
65.0
73.3
63.3
75.6
68.8
74.7


* Mi
nimum _ mi
nimum monthly
value


             Maximum   maximum monthly value
                            46

-------
 U)
"c
 o

 s.
   100
•8 90
 8 80
 o
 o 70
^-

.§ 60
   50
 Q.
 O

 0
   40
   30

"8

=3 20
-*-•
c
- 10

                                       IV
VI
VII
VIII
IX
XI
XII
   Fig. 3.2.   Average  real  coefficients  of  installed  capacity   utilization  in Polish  multiunit  steam power plants

              in  period  1967-1973

-------
          TABLE  3.8.   EXPECTED  INSTALLED  CAPACITY  UTILIZATION
                       COEFFICIENTS  FOR STEAM  POWER PLANTS  (%)
Month


January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
Average For
Period
1967-1973
70.0
69.6
67.6
62.9
62.2
59.5
55.7
57.2
63.0
68.4
71.1
71.7
1980


68.9
69.3
67.2
63.1
63.1
60.8
55.7
57.5
63.1
67.8
69.8
70.8
1985


66.8
67.1
65.0
61.1
60.8
58.3
53.8
55.6
60.6
65.6
68.0
68.8
1990


66.9
67.2
65.0
61.1
60.8
58.3
54.1
55.7
61.1
65.9
68.4
69.3

      The Energetics  Board investigated 3  variations of  repair schedules of
 power plant units operating with open cooling systems:

          basic variation - presently existing repair schedule

          maximum  variation - assumes  all  units are  repaired within  a 3 month
          period,
           optimum  variation  -  assumes
           can occur simultaneously.
repairs on two units in one power plant
 The  optimum variation takes into account the possibility of optimal organiza-
 tion  of repair  brigades  and equipment necessary  for repairs (cranes, repair
 fields,  etc.).   The  optimum variation  was  designed to allow  load  shifting
 between  two  groups  of power  plants (with  closed and  open  cooling  systems)
 without  additional  investment  inputs.   Monthly  indicators  of  capacity de-
 creases  due to  repairs are presented in Table 3.9.  These values show that by
 changing repair  schedules  it is possible to reduce,  in  the summer period, the
 mean  load  of power plants  operating with open cooling  system  by about 5% of
 installed capacity  (i.e.,  the  difference between the basic and optimum varia-
 tions).

 3.4.3.  Cosine Model
 3.4.3.1. Analysis  of Calculation Method

     The cosine  model  analysis  of steam power plant operations was conducted
 using data  from  1958-1968.   The air of the  investigation  was to describe the
maximum  monthly average  coefficients  of  installed capacity  utilization in
power  plants  at  an assumed probability of  occurrence  in relation to  power
plant operating  time throughout  the year.
                                     48

-------
           TABLE 3.9.  MONTHLY  INDICATORS  OF  CAPACITY  DECREASES
                       DUE TO REPAIRS   (%)
Month Basic
Variation
January
February
March
Apri 1
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
-
1.1
6.0
5.2
6.8
18.4
19.6
21.9
9.6
0.3
-
~
Maximum
Variation
-
0.4
-
-
0.4
27.2
32.6
28.6
0.4
-
-
—
Optimum
Variation
-
-
-
-
6.8
24.6
26.7
25.2
5.6
-
-
—
Disposable
Capacity*
100
100
100
100
93.2
75.4
73.3
74.8
94.4
100
100
100
      * assumes  Optimum Variation
     As the  basis  of the  calculations,  the following trigonometric  function
was used, which describes the monthly average coefficient of power utlization:
where:

     g
      imax
                    9imax=(fi
cos a)
                                                         (3.1)
     monthly average maximum  coefficient  of installed capacity
     utilization  in  a  steam  power  plant at  the  assumed  prob-
     ability of occurrence,

     function of  b,  of  the form, a=xb + yb2,  where x and  y are
     constants,

     yearly average  coefficient  of  installed  capacity utiliza-
     tion, where
     f.

    Af.
      a   =
                    b =
                           8,760
                       = 1.14 TQ 10"4 (%)
                          (3.2)
annual full  load operating time, hrs,

monthly average correction coefficient,
correction  coefficient defining  the relationship  between  the
g.    value and the assumed probability of excess,

angle designated  by the function of month, i,
                                      49

-------
The base data included the installed capacity of specific power  plants  and the
monthly  gross  production  (MWh).   At the  same  time,  monthly average  coeffi-
cients of  installed  capacity  utilization in particular years  and  power plants
were described.  These coefficients were calculated using the formula:

                         fl  =-^100                                  (3.3)
                                o

where:

     g.   =    monthly average  coefficient of  installed capacity  utilization
      1        %.

     A    =    monthly gross production,  MWh.

     P    =    installed capacity in  a particular month, MW.

     h    =    number of hours in the month.

     Power plant  operating time during the year depends  on different  factors
such  as  breakdowns,  planned and unplanned repairs, system  load  changes, etc..
Therefore,  for  each  power plant,  monthly average coefficients  of capacity
utilization  for  the whole period  under  investigation  were calculated.  These
coefficients  eliminate  to  a  remarkable  degree the  details  of  power plant
operation, while  exhibiting the seasonal nature of  their operation.  To calcu-
late  these coefficients,  only  full years were considered, excluding the first
year  of  operation,  when  operating rules are  different than  for  established
plants.  Calculated  coefficients  were the  basis  for  future calculations and
analyes.

     Coefficients of  installed  capacity utilization were  computed using the
assumed trigonometric model according to formula:

                    gl  = b + a cos a                                    (3.4)

The comparison  of real  and calculated  values  by equation  3.4 was done using
the least  squares method.  At the given 12 monthly g. values,  the regression
curve was defined by equation 3.4.  Deviation  of the calculated  values g1. from
the actual  values  g. is given by:                                         1
                     gl  = gi  -  b -  a cos a                              (3.5)
                               12
                                I  g.  cos a
                    where,  a = 1-1   	                             (3.6)
                                     50

-------
                               12

                                Z  9i
                      and,  b = vj	_                                   (3.7)

                                 12
a and b are defined as:


     a    =    yearly oscillation amplitude,


     b    =    sinusoid ordinate,


The next steps include the calculation of:


     a)   ordinate of points on regression curve using equation 3.4


     b)   sum of squares (g. - gl)2                                     (3.8)


     c)   sum of squares (g. - g.)2                                     (3.9)




                    12

                     1  9i
     d)        g< = 1-1                                                (3-10)
                1     12


     e)   correlation indicator:
                                                                       (3.1D
                            - gimax)2
     f)   standard  deviation  of  real  monthly  average  g.  values  from  their

          calculated values g1.:
                                                                       (3.12)



Differences between real  coefficients g.. and coefficients gl are called devia-

tion coefficients.


The magnitudes of deviation coefficients are:
                                     51

-------
     ± 1% from real values - 37.4% of cases investigated
     ± 2% from real values - 67.8% of cases investigated
     ± 3% from real values - 83.8% of cases investigated

The small  deviations  obtained  in the analysis show that monthly average  coef-
ficients  of   installed  capacity  utilization  for  particular  power plants  are
similar to those assumed in equation 3.4.

3.4.3.2.  Amplitude of Yearly Changes of g. Coefficients

     Using values  obtained from  equations  3.6 and  3.7 by  the least squares
method,  the   correlation  between function  "a" and  "b"  was  determined  [a =
f(b)].  As a result, the following quadratic equation was obtained:

                         a1 = 0.134b - 0.0008 b2                       (3.13)

On the  basis  of  the  new values of "a" from equation 3.13, the capacity utili-
zation coefficients were calculated again:

                         g!1  = b + a1  cos a                            (3.14)

     Further  analysis  refers to  installed  capacity utilization coefficients
calculated on  the basis of equation 3.14.

3.4.3.3.  Designation of Correction Coefficient, f .

     Coefficient f. is  a  correction of the assumed trigonometric  model  adop-
ting  it to actual  power plant operations.  Coefficient  f. equals  the average
f'. individual  coefficients designated separately for each month for the inves-
tigated power plants.  Only  the  years when the power plant  operated during a
complete  annual  cycle were used.  Individual correction  coefficients f!  were
obtained from  equation:                                                  1


                                gi     Ts
                          f-  = -4- = -f1-                             (3-15)
                           i     q.     T
                                q.
                                yi       r
where:
     g.   =    monthly average  real  coefficient of  installed  capacity utili-
               zation (from the equation 3.3),

     g'. '   -    theoretical  coefficient of capacity  utilization (from equation
               3.14),

     TS   -    yearly average of  full load  power plant  capacity utilization
               time (h/year),

     Tr   -    time of  full  load power  plant utilization  in  the  year under
               investigation  (h/year).

Final values of f . were calculated  for  particular months using equation:
                                     52

-------
                              132
Values of f.  are given below:

     Jan - .0990              May  - 0.972             Sept - 1.012
     Feb - 1.008              June - 1.003             Oct  - 1.007
     Mar - 1.005              July - 0.999             Nov  - 1.013
     Apr - 0.971              Aug  - 1.011             Dec  - 0.997

The calculated  f.  coefficients  are nearly all  equal  to  1, which confirms the
conclusion that under average  conditions the  installed  capacity utilization
coefficients  are similar to the assumed model  presented by equation 3.14.

3.4.3.4.  Designation  of Af. Coefficient

     The  difference   fl - f.  is  the  Af.  coefficient.   Values of  these  dif-
ferences, called f. deviations,  were investigated for 132 cases.  To describe
the probable  values   of Af. ,  it was assumed that  deviations  are  random vari-
ables of the continuous type and  normally distributed.  Assuming the distribu-
tion  is centralized   around  f.  values,  the  probability  of  deviations may be
calculated from using a  Gaussian (normal) distribution according  to the  fol-
lowing equation:
In equation 3.17, a is the standard deviation and for particular months it is:

     Jan - 0.119              May  - 0.127             Sept - 0.095
     Feb - 0.124              June - 0.139             Oct  - 0.090
     Mar - 0.109              July - 0.117             Nov  - 0.094
     Apr - 0.098              Aug  - 0.113             Dec  - 0.099


            = number of standard deviations from mean (f.) such that (fl + f..)
              will not be exceeded p % of the time.

Values of A f. for a given probability are presented in Table 3.10.

3.4.3.5.  Analysis Summary

     The  analysis discussed  above shows that  the assumed trigonometric model
of installed  capacity  utilization in steam power plants gives results similar
to actual  data.

     Monthly  average  f.  coefficients  are  nearly equal  to 1.   The additional
coefficient g.    allows one to establish monthly average maximum coefficients
of installed clj^city utilization  in steam power plants which will not be ex-
                                     53

-------
TABLE 3.10.   VALUES OF
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
«" 8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Pro-
bab i -
"? (
80.0
82.0
85.0
86.0
87.0
88.0
89.0
90.0
91.0
92.0
93.0
94.0
95.0
96.0
97.0
50.0
Af.
rh
* a P
P)
1.28
1.34
1.44
1.48
1.51
1.55
1.60
1.64
1.70
1.75
1.81
1.88
1.96
2.05
2.17
0.674
Standard Deviation (cr)
(Jan)
0.119
0.152
0.159
0.171
0.176
0.181
0.186
0.190
0.196
0.202
0.208
0.215
0.224
0.233
0.244
0.258
0.080
(Feb)
0.124
0.159
0.166
0.178
0.183
0.168
0.193
0.198
0.205
0.211
0.217
0.224
0.233
0.243
0.254
0.264
0.083
(Mar)
0.109
0.139
0.146
0.157
0.161
0.164
0.169
0.174
0.179
0.189
0.191
0.197
0.205
0.214
0.223
0.236
0.073
(Apr)
0.098
0.125
0.131
0.141
0.145
0.148
0.152
0.157
0.161
0.167
0.171
0.177
0.184
0.192
0.201
0.213
0.066
(May)
0.127
0.162
0.170
0.183
0.188
0.192
0.197
0.203
0.208
0.216
0.222
0.230
0.239
0.249
0.260
0.275
0.085
(June)
0.139
0.178
0.186
0.200
0.206
0.210
0.215
0.222
0.228
0.236
0.243
0.251
0.261
0.272
0.285
0.302
0.094
(July)
0.117
0.150
0.157
0.168
0.173
0.177
0.181
0.187
0.192
0.199
0.205
0.212
0.220
0.229
0.240
0.254
0.079
(Aug)
0.113
0.145
0.151
0.163
0.167
0.171
0.175
0.181
0.185
0.192
0.198
0.204
0.212
0.221
0.232
0.245
0.076
(Sep)
0.095
0.122
0.127
0.137
0.141
0.143
0.147
0.152
0.156
0.161
0.166
0.172
0.179
0.186
0.195
0.206
0.064
(Oct)
0.090
0.115
0.120
0.129
0.133
0.136
0.139
0.144
0.147
0.153
0.157
0.163
0.168
0.176
0.184
0.195
0.060
(Nov)
0.094
0.120
0.126
0.135
0.139
0.142
0.146
0.150
0.154
0.160
0.165
0.170
0.177
0.184
0.193
0.204
0.063
(Dec)
0.099
0.127
0.133
0.143
0.147
0.150
0.153
0.158
0.162
0.168
0.173
0.179
0.186
0.194
0.203
0.215
0.067

-------
ceeded at  a  given probability.   The probability  given in  this  analysis was
determined for cases  equal  to and smaller  than  calculated,  occurring once in
10 years.   For example,  in  Table 3.11 monthly average coefficients in percent
of installed capacity  for  power plants of different full-load operating times
(T) and different probabilities are  presented.  These  values were calculated
using equation  3.1.

3.4.4. BETA Distribution Model

     In the BETA  model,  as with the cosine model of power plant operation, an
installed  capacity  utilization  coefficient  was  assumed  to be the  ratio of
production to  installed capacity.   The  installed capacity  utilization  coef-
ficient was  assumed  to  be  a random variable with a  discrete time parameter,
considering power  plant operation  in monthly periods.  Also,  it  was assumed
that the installed capacity utilization coefficients in a particular month are
independent  variables,  W.,  i=  1,  2,  ...  12.   Therefore,   power  plant  load
determination is  reduced to:

          assumption  of  the  probability   distribution  of  the variables  W.
          where,  1=1,2,3,...

          estimation of distribution coefficients,

          distribution function tabulation  for particular variables,

It was  assumed that  W. variables  (1= 1,  2,  ...  12)  have  a  log-normal  double
limited distribution.  Minimum specification  is zero and maximum specification
is 1  (100% installed capacity utilization).

     A  distribution  which  may  be  applied under  such specifications  is  the
so-called  BETA distribution  iwth 0 and 100% specifications.  The definition of
the density function of this distribution is:

          f(x)=     *P " ] O - w) q V   1	       forO 0, q < 0)           for w < 0 or w > 1        (3.19)

An estimation  of  the  p and q parameters  may be done using the moment method.
From equations:

                                                                       (3.20)
                         CT2  =	E9	                       (3.21)
                           W    (p+q)2 (p+q+D2
After their conversion, the following equations are obtained:
                                     55

-------
                       TABLE 3.11.   MONTHLY AVERAGE INSTALLED  UTILIZATION  COEFFICIENTS, gimax  (%), VARIOUS OPERATION  TIMES,  T/h/year
on
%
50
75
85
90
95
97

50
75
85
90
95
97

50
75
85
90
95
97
Jan.
61.327
66.283
71.290
73.469
75.761
77.310

72.996
78.894
85.604
87.447
90.175
92.019

84.465
91.290
99.054
101.187
104.344
106.447
Febr.
61.127
66.160
71.921
73.559
75.863
77.137

72.907
78.910
85.781
87.734
90.482
92.001

84.538
91.499
99.466
101.731
104.918
106.679
March
58.675
62.937
67.840
69.125
71.169
72.453

70.247
75.350
81.221
82.759
85.206
86.743

81.765
87.704
94.538
96.328
99.175
100.965
Apri 1
54.154
57.834
62.017
63.133
64.862
66.033

65.142
69.570
74.602
75.944
78.023
79.432

76.183
81.361
87.245
88.814
91.247
92.894
May
52.014
56.562
61.806
63.144
65.338
66.729

62.847
68. 343
74.680
76.296
78.947
80.628

73.822
80.278
87.721
89.620
92.734
94.708
T = 5000
June
52.365
57.271
62.805
64.267
66.564
68.130
T =
63.443
69.388
76.093
77.864
80.647
82.545
T = 7000
74. 721
81.724
89.621
91.707
94.985
97.220
h/year
July
52.155
56.279
60.925
62.178
64.110
65.415
6000 h/year
63.190
68.187
73.816
75.334
77.675
79.256
h/year
74.423
80.309
86.939
88.727
91.483
93.346
August
54.101
58.167
62.823
64.000
65.927
67.211

65.369
70.283
75.908
77.331
79.659
81.210

76.784
82.556
89.164
90.835
93.569
95.392
Sept.
56.440
60.009
64.081
65.140
66.814
67.929

67.893
72.187
77.084
78.359
80.371
81.713

79.399
84.421
90.448
91.639
93.993
95.562
Oct.
58.792
62.295
66.323
67.374
69.067
70.176

70.387
74.581
79.404
80.662
82.689
84.017

81.927
86.809
92.423
93.887
96.246
97.792
Nov.
61.430
65.251
69.617
70.769
72.588
73.801

73.268
77.825
83.032
84.407
86.577
88.023

84.957
90.241
96.279
97.873
100.389
102.066
Dec.
61.947
65.912
70.619
71.790
73.779
75.080

73.512
78.452
84.056
85.456
87.816
89.364

85.062
90.778
97.262
98.883
101.614
103.405

-------
                              w (w -  w2  - o2 )
                                    2 - —                         (3.22)
                                     w
                              (1  - w) (w - w2 - a2 )
                                                  —                  (3.23)
                                        w
where w and a2  are calculated on the basis of n-elements sequence of trials
              W
as:
                                     n
                                     I  w.
                                r. - 1=1
                                                                       (3.24)
                                     n
                                     I  (w. - w)2
                               2  - 1 = 1
                              CTwn(3.25)

Moreover, for the  BETA  distribution there is  the  following formula for model
value (distribution maximum density):

                                    =  . ] I P _                        (3.26)
The distribution function is given by the equation:


                                     p"1l-x)q"1dx                     (3.27)
                V          0/xP-1(l-x)^1dx
F(x) = P(W
-------
3.5.   Summary of Analysis of Monthly Installed Capacity
      Utilization Coefficients

     The analysis cover  multi-unit power plants; that is, power plants  equip-
ped with  at  least  four  units.   The  choice  of models,  as  well  as particular
calculations  and  values,  refer only  to Polish power  plants operating in a
connected electrical  power system.  There  was a lack of statistical data to
enable selection of  a mathematical model for load changes in other electrical
systems.

     Referring to the  Polish  electrical  power system, there  was  also lack of
data  describing  installed capacity  utilization  coefficients in  three-unit
plants.   In  the  case  of  two-unit  power plants, constant full  load operation
is  assumed  for   the  purpose  of   cooling  system  design.    In  these  power
plants,  load changes  are not systematic and can fluctuate widely.

     The purpose of the  analysis  was to  determine the  maximum  reliable in-
stalled capacity utilization  coefficients  which are the  basis  for  open cycle
cooling  system designs.   These  reliable coefficients   are  larger  than  the
average values for those power plants investigated.

     The results  of analysis using  three  compututional techniques are presented
in Table 3.12 and in Figure 3.3.

     The  results  obtained from  monthly  modular  coefficients  of  the BETA
distribution  and the  probable coefficients  of the cosine model  indicate good
agreement between them.

     During summer months (June, July and August),  the calculated coefficients
correspond to  available  capacity in compliance with the  optimum repair sched-
ules.   The agreement  of  the  results obtained shows  that  the models correspond
to real  conditions.   For  practical  purposes,  we propose  the  selection of the
cosine model  and coefficients for  power plant operation  time of  6,000 h/year
with a 90% probability that the value will not be exceeded.
                                     58

-------
                        TABLE 3.12.   COMPARISION OF INSTALLED CAPACITY UTILIZATION MONTHLY
                                     COEFFICIENTS OBTAINED BY DIFFERENT METHODS OF COMPUTATION
CJ»
ID
Month
Jan.
Febr.
••^•^•^^^•••WMMMM^^.^,
Mar.
Apr.
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Disposable capacity taking into
account repairs in power plants
with open cooling systems
100
100
100
100
93.2
75.4
73.3
74.8
94.4
100
100
100
Utilization of power plants
taken from computations
using the BETA distribution
Average
81.16
81.11
75.73
71.80
71.88
70.90
72.30
72.64
76.16
76.65
79.45
79.85
Mode
86.62
87.37
- 	 	 mill niiaii I I ~ 	 ill
80.04
74.34
74.36
74.34
75.34
75.74
80.19
81.36
85.11
85.94
Coefficient
T = 600 h
n ~ 90%

87.45
87.73
82.76
75.94
76.30
77.86
75.33
77.33
78.36
80.66
84.41
85.46
from cosine model
T = 6500 h
p = 75%
85.12
85.22
81.53
75.46
74.29
75.53
74.22
76.40
78.30
80.70
84.05
84.64

-------
    £100
    o
    ol 90
    Q.


   ^ 80
o>  •—
o  ~
      60
 C7>
 fc 50
 c


•s 40


-£ 30



   20


   10 +
   o
1 - expected useable  capacity  in  power plants  with open cooling systems taking into account the

    optimum  repair  schedule

2 - average  actual  capacity utilization  in  multiunit power plants


3 - mode  of  capacity  utilization  in  operating  multiunit power plants  by  BETA MODEL


4 -monthly  coefficients of utilization for power  plants with  yearly  operating time  T = 6000h and

    probability   p = 90%  (COSINE  MODEL)
                                III
                          IV
                                                        VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
XI
XII
    Fig.3.3.   Comparison of  real  and  calculated  coefficients  of  installed capacity  utilization  in  power  plants  in

              Polish  energetic  systems

-------
4.  Power Plant Capacity and its Relation to Temperature
    Increases Downstream from the Discharge
4.1.  Power Plant Capacity

     From the  standpoint  of limiting  temperature increases  in  the  receiving
water,  the capacity  of a  power plant  operation with an  open  cooling  system
can be determined by:
                         P*gki"Ck = Q-6ti-K.-p'C'3600                   (4.1)

where:

     P    =    power plant  installed capacity, (MW),

     g, .   =    monthly average  coefficient of  installed  capacity  utilization
               under critical  conditions (p=90%),

     C.    =    waste heat discharged from the power plant in the cooling water
               (Kcal/kWh),

     c    =    specific heat of water, (kcal/kg/°C),

     p    =    density of water,  (kg/1),

     Q    =    mean yearly  river  flow, (m3/s),

     K.    =    distribution coefficient,  describing the  ratio  of  low  monthly
               flow (p=10%) to the mean yearly flow,

    6t.    =    acceptable  increase  in  mixed river  temperature (assuming  no
               heat  loss  to  the atmosphere)  under  critical   conditions  for
               month i.  Acording to  the  Section 2.6, the following values of
               6t.  are used for Polish rivers:

               Jan  - 6°C           May  - 6°C          Sept - 5°C
               Feb  - 6°C           June - 4°C          Oct  - 6°C
               Mar  - 6°C           July - 4°C          Nov  - 6°C
               Apr  - 6°C           Aug  - 4°C          Dec  - 6°C

After transformation, equation 4.1  is as follows:

                        Q'K.'6t.-c«p
                    P=    V   1 - -                                     (4-2)
                        gki'Ck

For conventional  power plants, C. is about 1200 kcal/kWh, which corresponds to
a thermal  efficiency of ^ 34%;  thtfs the above equation is as follows:
                                     61

-------
Calculations  of  the capacities  of power plants  with open  cycle cooling are
presented  in  Table 4.1.  These  data show  that in most  cases August  is the
month when  installed  capacity  should be limited.  There  are  some cases, how-
ever, when  capacity limitations  occur  in other months.   For  example,  at the
Skawina Power  Plant,  the  permissible minimum installed capacity  is in Novem-
ber.  This  is  because  the regulation of permissible  temperature  increases in
the  Vistula River downstream  from the discharge  limits   the  increase  to 6°C
year  round.   Also, on  the  Danube and  Dniester Rivers,  capacity limitations
occur  during  the  winter  months.  In  particular cases,  values  close  to the
August criterio noccur  during  the period from  June through  September.   It is
worth noting  that the  calculation results  are similar to  the capacities of
power plants  already  constructed.  A comparison of capacities calculated here
with capacities of operating power plants is  presented  below:

Cross- Permissible Capacity Power Installed
section Calculated for Plant Capacity
Critical Period (MW) (MW)
Vistula-Tyniec
Vistula-Szczucin
Vistula-Pulawy
Narew-Ostroleka
San-Radomysl
420-550
1260-1320
2300
550-600
450-490
Skawina
Pokaniec
Kozienice
Ostroleka
Stalowa-Wola
550
1000
2100
600
450

     The  Skawina  power plant was  built in  the early  1950's  with  a combined
cooling system, and the calculations presented here confirm the correctness of
that decision.  In the calculations for the Skawina power plant, a C. value of
1600 kcal/kWh was used on the basis of operating data.  Calculations were also
conducted for  the  French  power  plant Vitry  sur  Seine.   They show convergence
between results obtained  by  calculation and the installed  capacity as in the
case of  Polish power  plants.   Permissible calculated  capacity  for Vitry sur
Seine power plant  ranges  from 975 to 1100  MW,  and the installed capacity for
this power plant is 1,000 MW.

4.2. Mixed Temperature Increases Downstream from Power Plants

     Transforming equation 4.1,  a formula describing completely mixed tempera-
ture increases downstream from the discharge under critical conditions, assum-
ing no  heat loss to the atmosphere,  is obtained:
                                     62

-------
              TABLE 4.1.   CALCULATION OF  INSTALLED  CAPACITY  WITH  OPEN  CYCLE  COOLING  IN  POLISH  RIVERS
o>
GO
Month
Jan.
Febr.
March
Apri 1
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
gki
0.874
0.877
0.828
0.759
0.763
0.779
0.753
0.773
0.784
0.807
0.844
0.855
K.J Coefficients
Vistula-
Tyniec
0.38
0.37
0.82
0.66
0.47
0.35
0.38
0.35
0.29
0.33
0.29
0.36
Vistula-
Szczu-
cin
0.32
0.33
0.65
0.73
0.53
0.41
0.34
0.33
0.28
0.28
0.30
0.28
Vistula-
Pulawy
0.36
0.37
0.74
0.71
0.53
0.46
0.39
0.33
0.29
0.30
0.36
0.38
Narew-
Ostro-
leka
0.41
0.39
0.56
0.94
0.63
0.41
0.35
0.33
0.35
0.39
0.49
0.45
San-
Rado-
mysl
0.27
0.37
0.75
0.69
0.38
0.31
0.21
0.22
0.19
0.19
0.24
0.31
Vistula-
Tyniec*
533
518
1215
1065
750
551
619
551
490
499
420
518
Installed Capacity
Vistula-
Szczu-
cin
1615
1670
3800
4260
3080
1550
1340
1260
1320
1540
1570
1450
Vistula-
Pulawy
3340
3420
7340
7580
5630
3190
2800
2300
2500
3010
3450
3600
(MW)
Narew-
Ostro-
leka
900
860
1300
2380
1590
680
600
550
720
890
1120
1010

San-
Rado-
mysl
750
1020
2170
2210
1210
640
450
455
490
570
690
880

     * For this  cross-section  a  C.  value  of  1600  K cal/KWh was  used to account for the combined  cooling  system

       of the  Skawina  Power  Plant.

-------
                                  3600-Q-K^c-p
                                                                          (4.4)
for average conditions:
                                                                        (4.5)
                                 3600-u.
where:
Q.   =
               average monthly long-term flow

               median flows coefficients,
 M50X
                                          Qi 50%
                    monthly flow with a probability of p=50%
                    monthly coefficient of installed capacity utilization
                    under average conditions (p=50%),
     Formula 4.5 can be simplified as:
                                       360°'Qi50%-c'p
                                                                         (4.6)
Calculated values  for  the  Skawina power plant (Table 4.2) show good agreement
with  measured  values of heating  for average  conditions.   But measured temp-
erature  increases  under critical  conditions  are  up  to 2.8°C  lower than the
calculated values.  This difference is probably due to atmospheric heat losses
and may be treated  as a safety factor.

4.3.  Discharge Design

     Discharge designs are  based on the biological premise that small areas of
thermal  impact are more desirable than  large  areas.   The  impact of thermal
discharges on  water temperature distribution was  investigated on the Vistula
River  below  the   Koiienice  Power  Plant and  on  the  Narew River  below the
Ostroleka Power Plant.  In addition,  laboratory investigations were conducted
using a hydraulic model.

4.3.1.  Field Investigations

     Some results  of the field investigations are presented in Tables 4.3 and
4.4.  For the  purpose  of these studies, the 0.1°C isotherm was used to delin-
eate  the  thermal  plume.  Data  on  plume width and capacity  (i.e., % of  river
flow  in  the  plume) were then  compiled.   The  value of % of  river flow in the
plume is used as a measure of  mixing.
                                    64

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                   TABLE 4.2.   THE COMPARISON OF  CALCULATED  vs.  MEASURED  TEMPERATURE  INCREMENTS
                               IN  THE  VISTULA RIVER  DOWNSTREAM  FROM  THE SKAWINA  POWER PLANT
en
Month
Nov.
Dec.
Jan.
Febr.
March
Apri 1
May
June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
„<"
0.844
0.855
0.874
0.877
0.828
0.759
0.763
0.779
0.753
0.773
0.784
0.807
i
0.849
0.851
0.845
0.845
0.818
0.762
0.738
0.747
0.744
0.768
0.794
0.819
Km..
0.822
0.804
0.802
0.991
1.415
1.353
1.044
1.014
1.163
1.009
0.750
0.819
M<
0.804
0.849
0.879
0.889
0.481
0.936
0.876
0.744
0.796
0.851
0.779
0.740
Ki
0.29
0.36
0.38
0.37
0.82
0.66
0.47
0.35
0.38
0.35
0.29
0.33
Temperature
ment under
conditions
inc re-
average
Calcu- Measured
lated
3.36
3.36
3.12
2.58
1.58
1.61
2.17
2.65
2.17
2.93
3.66
3.63
3.31
2.90
3.72
2.44
1.68
1.61
2.07
1.99
2.06
2.60
3.50
3.49
Temperature
ment under
conditions
incre-
critical
Calcu- Measured
u lated
7.84
6.40
6.20
6.38
2.72
3.09
4.37
5.99
5.34
5.95
7.28
6.59
5.4
5.0
7.2
5.1
2.4
2.2
3.4
3.2
4.6
4.9
5.6
4.8

      (1)  For  6000  hrs/year at the 90% level.
      (2)  For  7000  hrs/year at the 50% level.

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                            TABLE  4.3.   FIELD  INVESTIGATION  RESULTS  IN  THE VISTULA  RIVER DOWNSTREAM  FROM THE  KOZIENICE  POWER  PLANT
CTl
Date Intake Distance
300 m
n&s
1 2
April 26-27, 1973 4.77
May 7-9, 1973 13.1
May 17-18, 1973 14.6
July 17-18, 1973 19.6
July 26-27, 1976 15.1
August 6-7, 1973 15.0
April 3-4, 1974 25.4
April 17-18, 1974 25.1
May 2-3, 1974 19.3
July 24-25, 1974 28.2
August 5-7, 1974 35.4
August 19-21, 1974 40.6
May 5-7, 1975 43.1
May 21-24, 1975 49.5
August 5-7, 1975 52.9
August 19-22, 1975 52.5
Sept. 2-5, 1975 53.4
Qp - cooling water flow m3/s,
p% Qc%
3 4
1.0 33
3.0 16
4.2 38
3.3 44
2.5 17
2.7 38
8.6 53
12.5 76
6.3 53
2.6 42
6.7 87
7.3 83
6.3
9.5 79
8.0 41
12.1 64
13.1 53
D B fo
5 6
99 25.3
50 12.7
122 31.1
105 26.9
102 33.3
106 28.3
105 19.9
148 47.4
130 41.8
140 28.0
180 67.4
235 60.2
-
140 54.4
109 25.7
97 51.3
95 38. 5
Distance
1000 m
Qo/ n
fo D
c c
7 8
34 160
40 75
64 115
21 90
40 140
24 150
71 216
82 220
75 188
30 172
90 380
80 365
74 250
55 223
45 190
87 339
63 210
B %
9
41.0
19.5
31.5
21.4
33.3
35.7
63.1
62.8
53.2
42.0
90.4
84.1
59.1
54.5
44.8
86.9
50.7
Qr%
10
34
32
90
50
52
84
69
45
90
76
92
58
(62)
-
-
(76)
(85)
Distance
9100 m
Bc
11
168
150
355
280
210
408
409
254
252
315
380
320
(395)
-
-
(363)
(273)
Distance
12.800 m
Bc%
12
38.0
26.3
75.5
53.5
41.6
71.9
77.9
71.7
54.7
62.2
76.3
64.2
(83.1)
-
-
(74.8)
(55.0)
Qo/ n
^ D
C C
13 14
-
-
-
-
59 260
77 305
92 490
50 252
53 256
-
88 360
77 260
1 00 449
90 382
70 233
100 416
84 386
ec%
15
-
-
-
-
58.4
69.6
98.0
55.3
63.7
-
81.8
59.8
100
85.4
52.0
100
85.6
Distance
35.500 m
QC Bc
16 17
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100 400
66 245
53 207
91 335
55 380
100 393
100 390
100 392
100 396
100 364
Bc%
18
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
100
74.7
50.7
80.1
86.7
100
100
100
100
100
p - percent of river flow
Qc - per cent of thermal plume downstream
Bc - thermal plume width, m
Bc % - thermal plume width in
( ) - at a distance of 4,000

relation to
m
from the discharge as

river bed


width, %

per cent



of



total river



flow




















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TABLE 4.4.   FIELD INVESTIGATION RESULTS IN THE VISTULA RIVER
            1000 m FROM THE DISCHARGE OF THE KOZIENICE POWER PLANT

Date
April 18, 1973
May 29, 1973
June 12, 1973
June 26, 1973
August 21, 1973
Nov. 16, 1973
Jan. 31, 1974
Febr. 21, 1974
March 14, 1974
May 29, 1974
July 12, 1974
Sept. 24, 1974
Oct. 10, 1974
Dec. 4, 1974
Dec. 19, 1974
April 9, 1975
June 3, 1975
June 17, 1975
Sept. 27, 1975
QP
(ms/s)
11.2
15.0
12.2
14.2
20.7
11.4
17-4
13.7
15.8
41.2
32.0
41.2
37.6
10.6
11.2
27.5
57.2
46.2
45.8
P
2.0
5.0
1.4
4.0
8.0
4.5
2.7
2.1
5.6
6.6
4.0
18.0
2.8
1.2
1-4
3.8
9.0
6.0
11.3
(m)
70
55
80
85
150
225
300
380
220
190
210
385
210
320
310
215
255
192
107
Bc
18
18
20
24
38
54
72
90
57
45
50
91
48
75
72
38
60
45
55
CO
29
29
28
34
47
49
75
85
49
28
29
95
25
68
67
46
63
50
62
                                67

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     Investigations on  the Narew  River  were carried  out  below the Ostroleka
Power Plant.  At this  location,  a large river meander causes complete mixing
of  the  thermal  plume.   On  the  Vistula  River investigations  were conducted
below the Kozienice Power Plant.   During the investigations, vertical tempera-
ture homogeneity  at the distance  of  300  m downstream  from the discharge was
observed; further downstream some stratification occurred.

     The results for the  Vistula River show that the temperature distribution
downstream  from  the discharge is  subject to  random dynamic changes.  Taking
into account the  variability  of  the thermal  plume distribution average values
obtained in particular cross-sections of the Vistula River were obtained:
Distance From the
Discharge (m)
300
1000
9100
12800
Flow Capacity
Q (%)
c
51.1
59.5
66.3
78.3
Width
Bc (m)
123
205
302
337
Width
B (%)
c
37.0
51.4
61.8
67.5

These  average  values show  that  with increasing distance  from  the discharge,
the thermal  plume  capacity  and width increase.  A comparison of average mixin
g  coefficients  (Q  ,%) obtained in field investigations with those obtained in
laboratory tests (turopejskaja  ... 1969) shows similar results.

     Comparison of the  results of field and  laboratory  investigations  for an
average intake flow of 6.4% of the river flow is presented below:
       Distance From          Average Field          Mixing Coeff.
       the Discharge          Mixing Coeff.           From Lab.  In-
           (m)                     (%)                 vestigations
300
1,000
9,100
12,800
51.1
59.5
66.3
78.3
42.0
53.0
82.0
86.0

     The project investigations  show  that particularly intensive mixing takes
place in the near-discharge field at a distance of 50 to 300 m downstream from
the discharge.  Within this zone, the thermal plume capacity, Q , increased by
a factor of  8 and  the maximum temperatures decreased 6°C.  Theczone of inten-
                                     68

-------
sive mixing  is at  the same  distance  (50  to 300)  in the  Vistula  and Narew
Rivers  (Figure 4.1).

     Four winter  surveys  show  that  mixing  intensity during  the  winter is
greater,  but the number of investigations is too low to establish more specif-
ic relationships.   Further field results are presented in Figures 4.2 and 4.3.
These figures  show that  after the zone  of  intensive mixing,  cooling in the
river is slow,  amounting to about 1°C in 35 km.  This distance is confirmed by
previous studies (Gadkowski  1970),  where,  using Dobrowolski's results (1967),
it was  shown that  for similar  intake  percentages at the  Stalowa Wola power
plant,  total cooling distance under low river flows is 34 km and under average
flows  about 86 km.   Similar  results  have  been obtained  for the  Lea River,
England (Gameson, et al. 1959) and Mikyska's  elaboration (1964).

4.3.2.  Model Investigations

     Model  investigations  of heated waters discharged to  free  flowing rivers
were conducted  at different values of the following  elements:

          distance from the intake to the discharge, L

          angle of  the discharge, ^

          discharge channel width, b

A schematic of  the model is presented in Figure 4.4.

     Changes of particular elements  were within the range of:

          maximum distance L,  up  to  10B.

          angle of  the discharge  p from  /4 to  /2,

          discharge channel width  b,  from 0.3B to  0.7B, where  B is the river
          width.

     The  purpose  of  the  studies was  to describe the  impact of  the discharge
design on the  thermal plume  structure  in the near-field  and to establish the
analytical relationship describing plume axis development.

     The  investigations  covered the  range  of  geometric,  dynamic  and thermal
parameters at  Polish  steam power plant cooling  systems.   Intake  flows in the
range  of 10-100%  of  the  river  flow  were  used.   Investigations  of different
distances between  the intake and discharge show that the location of the water
intake has  a decisive  impact on the  velocity field  between  intake and dis-
charge.  This impact  is  small  at L=5B, but at  L=l  to 2B, which is common for
open cooling system design, this impact is very distinct.  It is characterized
by  irregular  flow  velocity  distribution  with decreased velocity  at the bank
opposite  the discharge and  in some cases  in a small area  close  to the dis-
charge.

     The discharge  angle  has  an important impact  on  the  thermal plume struc-
ture (Figure 4.5)   For  a  small discharge angle, the thermal plume is close to
                                     69

-------
6t°C
16,0
15,0-
14.0
13,0
12,0
11,0-
          a/  the average  for 6 summer  surveyrs in 1973
          b/  the  average  for 13 summer  surveyrs in 1974 and 1975
          c/  the  average  for 12 summer  surveyrs in 1973 -f-1975
          d/  the  winter surveyrs  (6 surveyrs)
      \
              Vistula
            (Kozienice  power  plant)
                                               Vistula
                                             (Kozienice  power plant)
        Narew
111X75. (OstroKeka  power plant)
                                                                                                                  -I	1-
           —I	1	1	I-"-   I	1	1	H	1	(-»•   |	1	1	1	—1	1	1	^,
            0,4    0,6     0,8     1pKm   0     0.2    04     0,6    Q8    1pKm   0     0,2    0,4    0,6    0,8     1,0     1,2 Km


Fig. 4.1.  The maximum  temperature  decrease in the  discharge zone below  the  Kozienice  and  Ostrofeka  power plants

-------
                 a  - the average for  6 surveyrs
                 b  -the average for  13 surveyrs
 o    2
26  28   30  32   34   36  distance from
                          the discharge  km
Fig. 4.2.   The  maximum temperature  decrease  at  a longer  distance below  the  discharge from  the
          Kozienice power  plant

-------
IS5
                                1 - the  line of  temperature  drop caused  by  mixing

                                2 - the  line of  total  temperature  drop (mixing and surface heat  exchange)
         0
18   20   22
24  26  28   30   32  34   36  distance  from
                              the discharge  km
        Fig.4.3.   Average maximum  temperature  drop in the thermal  plume below  the  Kozienice  power plant

-------
Fig. 4.4.   Scheme of model
                  73

-------
                                                            Fr0 = 2,0
    0   0,25   0,5   0,75  1,0   1,25  1,5
0   0,25   0,5  0,75  1p   1,25  1,5
Fig.A.5.  Arrangement  of discharged jet  axes with  regard  to  changes
          of  outlet  angle  fB  for  b/B=0,5
                                   74

-------
the discharge bank and the effect of the relative discharge value (Q /Q ) on
plume axis development is small.  When the discharge angle is smaller tnan 67°
(n/2.67), the gradient of temperature decrease (6t/6L) drops and the distance
to the cross-section where the thermal plume covers the whole river width
increases.  Changes of discharge channel width in the range of 0.3 to 0.7B
effect the thermal plume axis development by altering the discharge dynamics,
particularly when L > 28.  The results of the investigation of different
angles of the discharge channels were analyzed using the least-square method.
Computation shows that plume axis position in the zone of free discharge may
be described by the function:
          y = 0.272 x °'465 Fr0-°'159 p °'41 '(v^)''                 (4.7)


in a  rectangular  co-ordinated system with the  center  situated on the axis of
the mouth of discharge channel and the x axis colinear with discharge bank.

    Fr    =    discharge densimetric Froude number

      3   =    angle of the discharge,

     v1   =    average  flow  velocity  in  the  river  between  the  intake  and
               discharge,

     v    =    average velocity in the discharge cross-section

     The model  investigations show that in order to keep horizontal stratifi-
cation in the river, the angle of the discharge channel should be in the range
of 45 to 65° in relation to the river axis, and discharge velocities should be
low in comparison with river  flow velocities upstream from the discharge,  v  £
O.Sv1.                                                                     z
    o
                                     75

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5.  Combined Cooling Systems and Flow Augmentation
5.1.  Review of Combined Cooling Systems and Flow  Augmentation for Power
      Plants

     Combined cooling systems  are designed for two purposes:

          to enable power station operation in times of water shortage,

          to regulate the discharge of waste heat to the receiving water.

     The Blenod power station (Gras, et aJL  1969,  1971)  (Figure 5.1) was one
of  the  first  power  stations  to artificially augment low  flows.   This power
station has  four units of 250 MW and was built in the period 1963-1969.  Total
water  demand  for  the cooling  system  of  the Blenod  power plant  amounts to
40m3/s  from  the Moselle  river.   Annual mean flow in the river equals 130m3/s;
but  in  the  mean year, flows  smaller than  40m3/s occur for 158 days.  Minimum
flows appear in September and October and, at  p=10%,  amount  to 19m3/s.  Much
smaller  flows  have been  noted  also,  e.g.  minimum 24-hour flows  recorded in
1972 amounted to (EdF  1971, 1973):

      9.0m3/s - in  July
     11.5m3/s - in  August
      4.3m3/s - in  September
      7.1m3/s - in  October

     Initially,  water shortages  were  supplemented by  recirculation  of  the
water  discharged  to  the river,  but this  proved to be  inefficient.   Later,
water was taken from below the power plant and pumped through channels to the
Moselle  above  the power plant.  The  maximum discharge  of pumped  water  was
30m3/s.  This  recirculation circuit is 100 hectares in surface area and, thus,
also provides  a cooling  function.   In  1971, La Maxe power plant (two units of
250  MW  power)  was built (EdF  1973)  50 km below the Blenod  power plant.  A
precooling  reservoir  of   72  hectares (Figure  5.1) was built  on the discharge
channel of  La  Maxe  power plant to  secure  water temperature  regulation.  The
results of work on  this reservoir are presented in Section 5.6 of this report.

     Combined  cooling to  overcome   water  shortages was  used at  the nuclear
power plant  of Neckerwesthein  located on the Neckar  River (Flinspach 1973).
This 900 MW  power  plant  began operation in  1976; its water demand amounts to
40m3/s, while minimum  flows in the Neckar River are about 20m3/s.

     Combined  cooling systems  are  being  increasingly  used to  regulate dis-
charge  temperatures.   Many power  plants  utilizing  this  solution  are under
operation in different countries.   The 550 MW Polish power plant  at Skawina,
built in  1957, is  the  oldest  one.  Other large  power  plants using combined
cooling circuits  include the American power  plants:   Chesterfield,  Dresden,
                                     76

-------
              *-•
the (a Maxe
power plant
- the measurement  points
                   v  discharge channel
                                   preceding  reservoir
     The  scheme  of precooling  reservoir  of the la  Maxe  power plant
                            channel of forced  recirculation  of 4,lkrTL_fenqth
Moselle
                                                                recirculation
                                                                /pumping  station
                                                                  Q=30m3/s
                                                                      Q
                                                                        n
                                    recirculation
     The scheme  of  recirculation in the Blenod  power  plant
    Fig .5.1.
 French power plant  cooling systems
         77

-------
 Monticello,  Allen  S.   King,  Browns Ferry  and others;  and West  German power
 plants:   Biblis, Neckarwesthein,  Grundrenmingen and  others.   The majority of
 these plants utilize mechanical  draft  cooling towers for thermal energy dissi-
 pation,  but  other solutions could include:

           natural draft cooling towers,

           spray equipment,

           discharge channels and cooling ponds.

 5.2.  Assumptions Used in Analyses.

      Taking  into consideration  solutions  utilized  in practice  and  results of
 studies, combined cooling circuits can  be divided into three categories:

           parallel,

           hybrid,

           combined  parallel/hybrid.

      Parallel  circuits employ cooling devices  for  a portion of  total  cooling
 waterflow and cool   it  in  a closed loop.   Such parallel  circuits  are normally
 used to overcome water shortages.  Cost is  the decisive factor  in  the selec-
 tion of  parallel circuits.

      Hybrid  circuits use cooling  devices  for the  cooling water  flow prior to
 discharge,  but the  open cycle  is maintained.   Hybrid circuits  are usually  used
 to maintain  temperature conditions in  the  receiving water.   Economical  aspects
 and  efficiency  of   thermal  energy dissipation are  decisive   factors  in  the
 selection of hybrid technologies.  The remainder of this analysis,  is  a  dis-
 cussion  of hybrid technologies.

 5.3.  Determination of Hybrid Circuit Capacities

      Using  equation 4.1  it should be noted  that  alterations  of  power  output
 during a year depend upon  the mutual relationships between:

          admissible temperature increase,  6t.,

          distribution coefficients, K.

          coefficients of power utilization,  g.

This dependency can  be  defined as:

                                    6t.-K
                          P  = f     	1—!	                           (5.1)
                                       yi

or P - f (m)                                                             (5.2)
                                     78

-------
where:          6t.-K.
          m = 	
     The "m"  expression  is called the  coefficient  of open circuit variation.
"m" coefficients for selected  rover cross-sections are presented in Table 5.1

     These results indicate that:

          in the majority of  cases, the month of August is the critical period
          from  the  point  of  view  of  power plants  with open  cycle cooling
          systems,

          the value  of the "m" coefficient depends on character  of the river.
          In  the cases  investigated,  minimum "m"  coefficients   range between
          0.67 for the Loire River and 2.62 for the Danube,

          based  on "m"  coefficient  values,  the rivers can  be  divided into 3
          groups:

          a)   rivers  characterized  by low "m" coefficients within the limits
               of  0.67 to  1.12, including the  Loire,  Seine,  San and Dniester
               Rivers.

          b)   rivers  characterized  by "m"  coefficients  within  the limits of
               1.71  to  2.12, including  the Vistula,  Oder,  Warta  and  Narew
               Rivers.

          c)   rivers  characterized by  high "m" coefficients  exceeding  2.6,
               represented by the Danube.

 In  addition,  Table 5.1  indicates that  a  high stability of the "m" coefficient
 occurs along the Vistula River.

     Another  important  factor is  the "m"  coefficient  variation  during the
 year.   Based  on the  rivers  investigated, it can be  shown that  variations of
 "m"  can proceed  in  a rapid,  medium or slow manner.   Rapid  variations of "m"
 take  place  in  the  Loire   River.  On  this river,  if an  increase  in cooling
 system  capacity  is  needed,  hybrid  circuits  can  be  employed  for relatively
 short  periods of  time, e.g., only 3  months,  if  we want to  increase  total
 cooling  capacity about  70% (e.g.,  for  "m"  coefficient  ranging  from 0.67 to
 1.11).   Slow  variations of  "m"  appear in the Vistula  at Szczucin.   In this
 case, employment of hybrid circuits to dissipate an  additional 30% ("m" coef-
 ficient  ranges  from 1.71 to  2.26) of the  waste heat  are  required for 8 months
 of  the  year.   A  medium example case  is   the Warta at Gorzow,  where  an addi-
 tional 60% of the waste  heat  has to be  dissipated during  a 4 month period ("m"
 from 2.12 to 3.35) and 90% of the waste heat has to be dissipated for 7 months
 of  the year.  Data on  the % cooling vs. time of cooling are contained in Table
 5.2.
                                     79

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                             TABLE 5.1.  COEFFICIENT OF OPEN COOLING SYSTEM VARIATION, m
oo
o
	 	 — - — — 	
Vistula

Jan.
Febr.
March
April
May
June
July
August
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
Tyniec
2.61
2.53
5.94
5.21
3.70
1.80
2.02
1.81
1.85
2.45
2.06
2.53
Szczucin
2.20
2.26
4.71
5.77
4.17
2.10
1.81
1.71
1.78
2.08
2.13
1.96
Palawy
2.26.
2.53
5.36
5.61
4.17
2.36
2.07
1.71
1.85
2.23
2.56
2.67
Plock
2.88
2.80
6.01
7.82
4.64
2.10
2.12
1.81
2.10
2.45
2.70
2.80
Oder
Slubice
3.23
3.42
5.43
6.25
5.19
1.95
2.12
1.91
2.04
2.53
3.06
3.02
Warta
Gorzow
3.98
3.97
6.30
6.72
4.95
2.26
2.18
2.12
2.74
3.35
3.48
4.14
	 — •
Narew
Ostro-
leka
2.81
2.67
4.06
7.43
4.95
2.10
1.86
1.71
2.23
2.90
3.48
3.15
	 —
San
Radomysl
1.85
2.53
5.43
5.45
3.00
1.59
1.12
1.14
1.21
1.41
1.71
2.17
,. 	
Seine
Paris
3.98
3.97
4.85
3.48
2.67
1.33
1.06
0.88
0.96
1.04
1.07
1.75
-
Loire
Mont-
jean
4.32
4.99
4.42
3.71
2.44
1.44
0.96
0.67
0.83
1.11
1.78
3.02
Danube
Buda-
pest
3.50
4.04
4.78
6.82
7.39
4.63
4.25
3.62
3.63
3.16
2.90
2.62
Dnie-
ster
Zalesz-
czyki
1.03
1.37
.4.49
5.72
2.97
1.54
1.51
1.40
1.19
1.46
1.59
1.47

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                      TABLE  5.2.   DEPENDENCE  OF  HYBRID  COOLING  SYSTEM OPERATION TIME ON  HYBRID
                                  CIRCUIT SIZE (in %  of Open  Cooling System  Size)
oo

Hybrid Circuit Size (%)
Hybrid Cooling
System Operation
Time
(months)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Vistula
Tyniec
—
--
15
15
40
40
40
40
Szczu-
cin
__
—
15
25
25
25
30
30
Palawy
10
20
30
30
40
50
50
50
Plock
15
15
15
35
40
55
55
55
Oder
Slu-
bice
—
10
10
30
60
60
70
80
Warta
Gorzdw
--
10
30
60
60
90
90
90
Narew
Ostro-
leka
10
20
30
60
60
70
80
100
San
Rado-
mysl
—
10
30
40
50
70
90

Seine Loire
Paris Mont-
jean
10 20
20 40
20 70
20
50
100


Danube
Buda-
pest
10
20
30
40
40
50
60
80
Dnie-
ster
Zalesz
czyki
15
30
40
40
40
50
50
50

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5.4.   Economic Aspects of Combined Cooling Circuits

     Costs of combined cooling circuits have been compared with marginal costs
for open  cooling  circuits  (in Poland) (Gadkowski 1972b).  Marginal costs were
calculated by  considering  investment  costs  and operating  costs  of  open  and
closed circuits.  Equation  5.3 allows one to define the economically justified
costs that can  be paid  for the open  cooling  circuit together with the equip-
ment  for  combined cooling,  so that the total  costs  of a closed cycle circuit
shall not be  exceeded.

                               /     bz-r  \
                            Iz 11 +   2    J+ T-AK
                    Igr = 	^	^	1	               (5.3)
where:

      Igr  =    marginal cost for combined cooling circuit (zl*/kW),

      Iz   =    mean capital  cost for closed cycle cooling circuit  (zl/kW),

      AK   =    difference between mean operating costs (depreciation excluded)
       z       of closed and open cooling circuits (zl/kW),

      T    =    period of recoupment of capital cost (12.5 years for Poland),

      bz   =    mean time of power plant construction with closed cycle cooling
               circuit (assumed 5 years in Poland),

      bo   =    mean time  of power plant construction with  open  cycle cooling
               circuit (assumed 6 years in Poland), and

      r    =    interest rate (8%).

      Based  on cost  indicators for  Polish  price  levels  of 1965,  Gadkowski
(1972b) calculated:  Iz = 410 zl/kW, AK  =30.5zl/kW.

      Calculations  for  combined cooling,  not  considering  increase of  fuel
prices, gives:

      Igr = 704 zl/kW - this equals  16.0% of total power plant capital cost.

For  open  cycle cooling  circuits,  this cost  indicator  amounts  to  5.1%;  thus
16.0  -  5.1  =  10.9% is  a  marginal  indicator of additional  equipment for  com-
bined cooling  circuits.   In  current  prices,  this indicator (10.9%) amounts to
about 1,100 zl/kW of installed capacity.
     zl = zloty, the unit of currency in Poland.
                                       82

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     Analyses on the following aspects were carried out:

          increase of open cycle  cooling possibilities by augmentation of low
          flows,

          cooling  in discharge channels and reservoirs,

          utilization of mechanical draft cooling towers.

5.5  Increase of Open Cycle Cooling Possibilities by Augmentation of Low Flows

     Regulation of  low  flows  by  releases from  upstream reservoirs  is  fre-
quently utilized in water management practices on many rivers.  In some cases,
such low flow  augmentation  allows significant increases  in natural low flows.
The Willamette River  in the  USA and the Seine River in France are examples of
successful  low  flow augmentation programs.

     Utilizing methods  described  in  Chapters  1 and 4, the economic aspects of
cooling capability increases  in  the  Pulawy cross-section of the Vistula River
were analyzed  based  on  augmentation  of  low flows.   Assuming  K=0.35;  0.40;
0.45,  the  flow shortages and  increase  of reservoir  flows  are  presented  in
Table 5.3.   The calculated marginal benefits due to the increase in open cycle
cooling for  power plants were  compared with  the capital costs  of reservoir
storage and with  the  social  costs of increased water flows.   Capital  costs of
storage were  calculated  based  on  the  reduction of  total  capital  costs  of
reservoir and hydraulic  construction, as well as the costs of flood control.

     It was assumed  that  flood  control occurred over 4 months; in the remain-
ing  8  months,  the whole  usable  reservoir  capacity is utilized  for  low  flow
augmentation.

     Investment costs of  augmentation  capacity (I ) were calculated according
to the  equation:
          Iw _    Ig x 8 + Uw x Ig x 4     _    Ig (2 + Uw)             ^ ^

                           12                        3

where:

     Ig   =    capital cost of reservoir construction,

     Uw   =    share of augmentation  capacity of the usable capacity, %.

     Based on  economic indicators accepted by Hydroprojekt  in the "Vistula"
Plan and comparing cost indicators with price levels from 1976, the indicators
of investment cost obtained on storage of disposable resources amounts to 11.5
zl/m3.

     In Poland, social  costs of  flow increases  are  based  on operating costs
and  on the cost of  capital (Ministerztwo  1975).  The  purpose of the interest
cost is to encourage rational water  use.  Social  costs of water flow  increase,
Ko, amount  to:
                                     83

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                          TABLE 5.3.   COOLING SYSTEM PARAMETERS IN RELATION TO RATE OF FLOW
                                      AUGMENTATION IN THE PULAWY CROSS-SECTION
00
Rate of flow
augmentation
0.35
0.40
0.45
Increment of Total
operating operating
Increment of time of open time of open
Flow shortages, cooling system cooling sys- cooling sys-
106 m3 % tern, months tern, months
156 611
300 21 2 3
450 36 4 6
	 -• —
Capacity Marginal costs
increment of increment
in power of open cooling
plant MW system size,
106 zl
138 151.8
483 531 . 3
828 910.8
-

Table 5.4. ECONOMICS OF COOLING SYSTEM SIZE FLOW AUGMENTATION
IN THE PULAWY CROSS-SECTION

Rate of flow
augmentation
0.35
0.40
0.45
Marginal costs of increment Investment costs of
of open cooling system size, water storage,
106 zl 106 zl
151.8 1794
531.3 3450
910.8 5175
Social costs of flow
increment,
106 zl
187.2
360.0
540.0


-------
                    Ko = _                                              (5.5)
                                L

where:

     Ke   =    reservoir operating cost,

     Iw   =    as in equation 5.4,

     L    =    period of reservoir utilization (assumed L=100 years).

     Individual social costs of flow increase  in 1976 prices are 1. 2 zl/m3.

     The  comparative  cost  summary  presented  in Table 5.4  indicates that the
 social  costs  of flow  increase, are  smaller than  the marginal  costs of open
 cycle cooling  increase.   Investment  costs of  storage are too  high to justify
 reservoir construction only for the demand of power plant cooling.  The calcu-
 lations indicate that for construction of reservoirs for complex regulation of
 low flows, a proper share of power plant output should be recognized as a form
 of  compensation  for  increases in river  cooling  capability.   On the investi-
 gated  sections of the  upper  and  middle  Vistula,  an increase of  flow can be
 utilized by the following four  power plants:

     Opatowiec - in area  of  the Danajec tributary,

     Polaniec  -  below the Nida tributary,

     Zamosc    - below the San tributary,

     Pulawy    - above the Wieprz tributary.

 5.6.  Cooling in  Discharge Channels and Preceding Reservoirs

     Preceding  reservoirs  can be used as supplemental cooling  facilities for
 once-through plants or those using the surfaces of  natural lakes or artificial
 reservoirs  for cooling.   Under some conditions, the precooling  reservoirs can
 be  combined with discharge channels  and/or  with  artificial  spawning channels
 to reduce overall costs.

     Examples of supplemental cooling  systems include the following:

     (1)  At  the Dresden power plant  in  the USA (Units 2 and 3 - 2x809 MW),
          discharge channels with cooling sprays provide supplementary cooling
          for an artificial  cooling reservoir.

     (2)  At the  Chesterfield power plant in the USA (Units 4,  5  and 6 with a
          capacity  972  MW),  water is  discharged  to  an  old  riverbed  of the
          James  River (channel  Farrar  Gut   of  6  km  length)  (Jensen  1974);
          supplemental spray cooling is also  employed.

     (3)  La Maxe  power  plant - 2 x  250  MW  (France), discharges  water  to the
          Moselle  River  via  a  reservoir   of  72  hectares.   This  precooling
                                      85

-------
          reservoir is 3,245  m  long,  with a maximum width of 350 m and a mean
          depth of 1.60 m.  The time of water flow through the reservoir is  12
          hours.

     A precooling  reservoir of  73 hectares and  depth  of 2 to 3.5 m was built
for cooling system of  the Patnow and Konin power plants in Poland.  The basic
cooling  system  of these  power  plants  is  a complex of  5  natural lakes.  The
precooling reservoir is  supplementary to the circuit for two additional units
of 2 x 200 MW capacity-  The water from the precooling reservoir is discharged
to a complex  of  fishing  lakes of 185  hectares.   This  solution secured proper
cooling  for the  power  plants  and simultaneous utilization of heat release for
beneficial purposes (i.e.  fishing).
     Areas of precooling reservoirs can be defined by:

                               	A_

                                w 6t
F = 	*	                                 (5.6)
where:

     F    =    cooling area surface

     A    =    thermal energy dissipation by the precooling reservoir

     w    =    coefficient of surface heat exchange

     6t   =    difference  between  the mean   temperature   in  the  precooling
               reservoir and natural water temperature, (°C)

Assuming that:

          natural temperature is 25°C (t )

          temperature rise in the condenser is  8°C

          amount of heat discharged to the  cooling system, C. = 1200 kcal/kWh
                                                           K

          coefficient  of  surface heat  exchange  according to the  results of
          research at the  Konin lakes and Rybnik reservoir (Gadkowski 1976b):

                    w = 16.2 + 0.2-tn        kcal/m2/h/°C               (5.7)

The  solution  of equations 5.6 and  5.7  for  various values  of  t   provides the
following results for the precooling reservoir:                  n

     Comparison of  results  for the  La Maxe reservoir  calculated according to
equation 5.7 (Figure  5.2.)  indicates  that intensity of  surface  heat exchange
in the  La  Maxe reservoir is, in the  summer period, about  15%  higher than in
the reservoir  circuits in  the complex of  Konin Lakes and in the Rybnik reser-
voir.  This difference can be explained by climatic and regional differences.
                                     86

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00
       surface
      coefficient
     Fm2/kW
                                                                             for summer period
                                                                             of the la Maxe
                                                                             power  plant
                                                                                       (7)- points for winter perioc
                                                                 0
                                                        50
60
70
80
—I	1	•
 90        100
  heat losses %
            Fig.5.2.    Heat  losses  in preceding  reservoirs

-------
Temperature drop through
precooling reservoir, °C
Heat dissipated, %
Cooling surface, sq. m/kW
Investment cost, % of
power plant construction

1 2 3
12.5 25.0 37.5
0.94 2.02 3.26

1.15 2.46 3.48

4
50.0
4.72

5.76

5
62.5
6.43

7.84
     A detailed  analysis  of  the preliminary cooling system  for the Patnow II
power  plant  was  conducted,  including  field  measurements  in  the discharge
channel of Patnow power plant (Figure 5.3).

     Five measurement cross-sections were placed on this channed:

          point A - situated  100 m below power plant outfall,

          point B - situated  150 m above first overflow to Goslawskie Lake,

          point C - 200 m below last overflow,

          point D - 580 m downstream from point C,

          point  E  -  about 100 m above the connection of the Konin power plant
                    discharge  channel  with the  Patnow power  plant discharge
                    channel.

     The  research  was carried  out in two annual measurement  surveys  in 1975
and 1976.

     In 1975  the research included temperature  measurements from boats.  Six
measurement series  were  executed  in this period; their  results are presented
in Figure  5.4.

     Lack of consistent cooling is observed for the overflow to Goskawski Lake
(i.e.,  between  section B and  C).   It  can be assumed that  this phenomenon ap-
pears  due to  turbulent  water  overflow  to  the  lake  which  causes intensive
evaporation and convective  heat exchange between the water and atmosphere.

     The results obtained during the 1975 surveys indicate that cooling on the
whole length of  the channel, excluding the B-C  section,  is linear in charac-
ter.   This permitted measurements  made  in 1976 over a short section to repre-
sent the whole channel length.  Therefore, further measurements were made only
on the  A-B section but with an increased  number of samples.

     In December  1975,  four  thermistor instruments were  installed in cross-
sections A and B and in an additional  cross-section, A' situated at a distance
                                     88

-------
       mean depth  h = 3,1m
             Width=32,5m
                             h=3,1m
                         width = 32,5m
                           L=960m
00
ID
      the Pqtndw power plant
       Fig. 53.
                         power plant
The  distribution  of measurement points  in the discharge channel
of the  Pqtnow  power  plant

-------
                                          at air temperature  tp > 20°C
                                            3,0
                                        C        D
                                                        4,0    L(km)
                                                        E
                                            at air temperature  tp =10T20°C
                                            3,0
                                                       4,0    L (km)
                                                        o
                                            at  air temperature tp<10°C
A

Fig
                                                       4,0     L(km)
                                    CD          E
51  Water  cooling in the discharge channel of the Pqtnow power  plant
     - surveys  in 1975
                                  90

-------
of 690  m from  cross-section A.   At  points A  and  A1,  the detectors were  in-
stalled  at  the surface,  at mid-depth  and at  the  bottom  in  3 plumb lines,  1
detector  each,  for  a total  of 9  thermistors.  At  point  B, a  total  of  six
detectors were installed  in two plumb-lines.

     The measurements  of 1976 were executed  three  times in  a 24-hour period.
Because  of  power  plant   load  alterations, some  measurements were discarded.
Only  result;-  obtained at stabilized power plant power outputs were accepted
for analysis.

     About  288  measurements  were  used  in the subsequent data analysis.  The
mean  values  of  the  results indicate  that  in the case of  the  Patnow power
plant, with a mean channel  width of 150  m  and  a mean  depth of about 3.0 m, the
intensity of  water cooling  in the channel may be described using the equation
5.8:


                    6t =  e(a tn +  b)                                    (5.8)

where:

      6t   =    indicator  of  water cooling  at the distance  of  1 km  of the
               channel reduced to  the difference  of 1°C  between temperature of
               discharge  water and natural  water temperature,

      tn   =    natural water temperature, °C,

      a,b =    coefficients

                          a = 0.0235
                          b = 3.0713

      The correlation coefficient  of  the  curve obtained from the equation is
 low and equals 0.31.   The  distribution of measurement points and the fitted
 curve are presented in Figure 5.5 and  show the large variability of the water
 cooling  effect in the channel.

      Assuming a water temperature increase in the power  plant  of 8°C,  it is
 possible to describe the  water cooling intensity as  (6t):

          at   tn  = 20°C,          6t  = 0.232 °C/lkm
               th  = 25°C,          6t  = 0.208 °C/lkm

 Therefore  under summer  conditions,  a  distance  of 4.5  to 5.0  km of channel
 length is required for a  1°C drop in temperature.

      Unit  costs for  1  km  of the discharge  channel, by analogy to the  Dolna
 Odra  power  plant,  may be assumed  to  be 0.26% of total  investment costs.   The
 cost  of the  discharge channel necessary  to  cool  the  water by 1°C will  thus
 range from  1.17   to  1.3%.   It  is worth  noting  that  costs  of the discharge
 channel  as  well  as the  costs of preceding reservoirs  can vary widely depend-
 ing on local conditions and methods of construction.
                                       91

-------
(St°C/1km/°C
         0,10
 ro
                                                         00
                                            O     00      O    Q0 O
                                         O                       O  O
                                                           °oo ° °    *
i — i — i — i — i — i — i— i — i — i — i
                                                              i — i — i — i — i — i — I — i — i
                 1  234  5  6  7   8   9  10  11  12  13 14 15  16  17  18  19 20 21  22 23 24  25  26 27  28 29  30 tn °C

              Fig. 55.  Indicator  of  water  cooling  in  the discharge  channel of the  Pqtnow  power plant  t°C/1km/°c

-------
5.7.   Utilization of Mechanical  Draft Cooling Towers

     Utilization of mechanical  draft cooling  towers  in hybrid  installations  of
combined  cooling  circuits  is  a  recognized  solution.   It  derives from  both
economic and thermal aspects.

     The  thermal  balance  of  hybrid circuits  using  cooling towers can be de-
fined as:

                    tn + At - AtH - aH = ap                            (5.9)

where:

      tn   =     intake water temperature,

      At   -     temperature rise in the condenser,

      AtH  =     cooling  range,  difference between intake temperature and  dis-
                charge  temperature from  the cooling  tower (in the  majority  of
                hybrid cases, At., < At),

      a,,   =     approach  -  difference  between the discharge water  temperature
                and the wet bulb temperature,

      a   =     wet bulb temperature.
       P
 As calculations indicate  (Gadkowski   1972a),  a significant role  is played  by
 the  approach  in  determining   the  costs  and  size  of the cooling tower.   In
 general,  the  larger  the  approach,  the  smaller  the cooling  tower.  Normally,
 approaches less than 3°C are not designed.

      In  an earlier paper (Gadkowski  1969), a proposal for hybrid installations
 using mechanical draft cooling towers was suggested as follows:

                    tn + 2At  -  Atu - a'   = a                          (5.10)
                                  H     H    p

                    a^ = aH + At                                      (5.11)

      A modified scheme for hybrid installations  involves  a  two-fold  tempera-
 ture  rise of  the  cooling water through  the condenser.  In this way a signifi-
 cant  increase  of approach is obtained.   Calculations indicate that this  modi-
 fied  scheme  of hybrid installations  allows  a decrease by nearly  half of the
 costs of mechanical  draft  cooling towers in Poland.   Such a scheme is employed
 in the  cooling circuit of the  Polaniec power plant, presently under construc-
 tion.
                                        93

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6.  Summary

     In  this report,  methods  for  determining  capacities  of open-cycle  and
hybrid power  plant  cooling systems  are presented.  Hybrid cooling  systems  are
ones which combine once-through  cooling  systems  with  additional cooling  de-
vices to  reduce  a part of waste heat load to obtain an acceptable  temperature
increase in the receiving water.

     The report provides detailed analyses of these main  elements:

           hydrological conditions required  for  once-through power plant cool-
           ing systems,

           guidelines,  standards and  regulations  which are obligatory in vari-
           ous countries,

           water  temperature  and  temperature  increases  downstream  from   the
           discharges of existing power plants.

     Based on the results of these analyses, it is concluded that once-through
cooling system capacity depends  on:

           hydrological characteristics  of the river,

           acceptable temperature increase downstream from discharge,

           power plant capacity factor variability.

     On the basis of various analyses of reliable flows for evaluating cooling
systems operating  conditions,  low monthly  flows with a probability of occur-
rence p=90% are assumed reliable.

     Analyses of water temperatures  occurring downstream from  the discharge of
power  plants and  the impact  of  heated water  on the  oxygen  balance  in   the
receiving  water  as  well  as impact on  fisheries  were  used to  develop the fol-
lowing acceptable temperatures  for Poland:

     1.    acceptable discharge water temperatures,  35°C

     2.    acceptable mixed  temperatures downstream  from the discharges, 30°C

     3.    acceptable  temperature  increase  over  the  intake water temperature,
          4°C to  6°C,  depending  on the season of the year.

     To maintain  the   free  migration  of fish,  discharge configurations which
guarantee a  horizontally stratified  temperature distribution  in  the  receiving
                                      94

-------
water downstream from the  discharge  should be  applied.   Model  investigations
show that such horizontal  stratification  can be obtained when  the  angle  of  the
discharge channel is in  the  range  of 45 to 65° in relation to  the  river  axis
and when the discharge velocity is about  half  of the river flow velocity
upstream from the discharge.

     Monthly average power plant capacity factor values  are defined  by:

     g.   =    (f.  + Af..)  (b + 0.134 b cos,* - .008b2  cosa)

     g..   =    maximum monthly average capacity factor at the  assumed  prob-
               ability of  occurrence

     b    =    annual mean capacity  factor

     f.   =    mean monthly  correction coefficient

     Af.  =    correction  coefficient defining the relationship between  the g.
        1       value  and the assumed probability level                        1

        a  =    angle  designated by the function of a month:

                                     21 -  1
                               or =  - 7i
                                       12

 For practical  purposes, coefficients for power plants with an  operating time
 of 6,000 h/year at a  90% probability were  assumed.   These values  for indivi-
 dual months and applied to power plants in Poland are listed below:

                     Jan. - 87.45        July - 75.33
                     Feb. - 87.73        Aug. - 77.33
                     Mar. - 82.76        Sep. - 78.36
                     Apr. - 75.94        Oct. - 80.66
                     May  - 76.30        Nov. - 84.41
                     June - 77.86        Dec. - 85.46

      From the standpoint  of  waste  heat  balance, the  installed capacity of  a
 power plant with open cooling can be  determined by:
 where:

      P    =    power plant installed capacity (MW)

      g..  =    monthly average capacity factor for p=90%

      C.   =    waste heat discharged from the  power plant  in the cooling water
                (Kcal/kWh)

      c    =    specific heat of water (kcal/kg/°C)
                                       95

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p    =    density of water (Kg/1)

Q    =    mean annual  river flow (m3/s)

K. ,c     =    distribution  coefficient,   describing  the  ratio  for  low
 1
               monthly flow (p=10%) to the mean annual  flow.
6t.  =    acceptable increase  in mixed river  temperature  under critical
          conditions for month i.
                                96

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7.  Conclusions

     As a result  of the analyses conducted during this project, the following
conclusions are made:

     1.   Considering the variability  in both  river  flow and steam power plant
load factors,  the installed capacity  of open  cycle cooling systems in Poland
can be increased by about 25% without installation of supplemental cooling.

     2.   If the  installed  capacity of Polish power plants must be increased
by more  than  25%, the best  technical  solution is hybrid  cooling systems with
mechanical draft cooling towers and  double-pass condensers.

     3.   For  single power  plants, modest  increases  in  capacity (e.g., 20%)
 over once-through systems  can  be economically obtained  via open cycle  systems
 with pre-cooling reservoirs and spray systems.*

     4.   The  economic  analysis indicates  that  low  flow augmentation  using
 upstream storage  reservoirs  is  too  expensive when  used  solely  for  stream
 temperature control  and  can  be applied only when a comprehensive water  manage-
 ment strategy is developed.
      The author  is  aware of  the difficulties  encountered with  spray system
      operation in the USA.   The use of spray systems in Poland would be predi-
      cated on  resolution of these operating problems.
                                        97

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                                        101

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                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
  REPORT NO.
  EPA-600/3-79-Q72
                                                            3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 Evaluation of  European Rivers for Power  Plant Cooling
   A Polish Research  Project
             5. REPORT DATE
               July  1979  issuing date
             6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)

 Dr. Eng. Mieczslaw Gadkowski
                                                           8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
 Institute  of  Meteorology and Water Management
 61 Podlesna Street
 01-673 Warsaw,  POLAND
                                                            10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
             11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.
               PL 480 Project  #PR-5-532-l4
 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 EPA/CERL
 200 S.W.  35th  Street
 Corvallis,  OR   97330
              13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                 Final Report
              14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
               EPA/600/02
 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
 16. ABSTRACT
      The  report describes analytical,  laboratory,  and field research  conducted to
 optimize  the use of rivers, specifically  in  Poland, for once-through  cooling of steam
 electric  power plants.  Maximum discharge and  receiving water temperatures,  based on
 biological  criteria, are coupled with  natural  flow and temperature  variations to deter-
 mine acceptable flow/temperature regimes  for streams over an annual cycle.   Control-
 lable variables, such as repair schedules, reserve capacity, power  plant size, hybrid
 cooling system size and operation, and low flow augmentation via reservoirs, are evalu-
 ated as mechanisms to modify electrical power  output.  The acceptable temperature/flow
 regimes in  streams are then compared to various power system configurations  and sched-
 ules to optimize the annual generation of electric power.  Jhe following conclusions
 are reached, relative to Polish conditions:
  --  The  installed capacity of open cycle cooling  sytems can be increased by about 25%
      without installing supplemental cooling.
  --  For  increases greater than 25%, mechanical draft cooling towers  and double pass
      condensers operated in a hybrid,  open cycle is the most economical  solution.
  --  Low  flow augmentation for power plant cooling via upstream reservoirs  is economi-
      cal  only when used in a comprehensive water management plan.
17.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                              b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                           c. COSATI Field/Group
 Thermal Pollution
 Electric Power Plants
 Cooling Systems
 Poland
 Hydrologic  Analysis
 07/B.C
 8. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

 Release Unlimited
19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)
  unclassified
21. NO. OF PAGES
  112
                                              20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
                                                unclassified
                           22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (Rev. 4-77)   PREVIOUS EDITION \s OBSOLETE
                                            102
                                                                                  &GPO 699-300

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