EPA-600/4-76-018
April 1976
Environmental Monitoring Series
                      DESIGN  OF POLLUTANT-ORIENTED
                   INTEGRATED  MONITORING  SYSTEMS
                                            A  Test Case:
                                     Environmental Lead
                               Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory
                                       Office of Research and Development
                                      U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                                            Las Vegas, Nevada 89114

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                RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES

Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency,  have been  grouped into  five series. These five  broad
categories were established to facilitate further development and application of
environmental technology. Elimination of traditional grouping was consciously
planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
The five series are:

     1.    Environmental Health Effects Research
     2.    Environmental Protection Technology
     3.    Ecological Research
     4.    Environmental Monitoring
     5.    Socioeconomic Environmental Studies

This report has been assigned to the ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING series.
This series describes research conducted to develop new or improved methods
and  instrumentation for the identification and  quantification of environmental
pollutants at the lowest conceivably significant  concentrations. It also includes
studies to determine the ambient concentrations of pollutants in the environment
and/or the variance of pollutants as a function of time or meteorological factors.
This document is available to the public through the National Technical Informa-
tion Service. Springfield, Virginia 22161.

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                                              EPA-600/4-76-018
                                              April 1976
       DESIGN OF POLLUTANT-ORIENTED INTEGRATED
                 MONITORING SYSTEMS
           A Test Case:  Environmental Lead
                     edited by

                   Dale W. Jenkins
      National Institute of Scientific Research
          Rancho Santa Fe, California  92067
             Contract Number 68-03-0443
                   Project Officer
                  Edward A. Schuck
Monitoring Systems Research and Development Division
   Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory
              Las Vegas, Nevada  89114
        U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
         OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
   ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND SUPPORT LABORATORY
              LAS VEGAS, NEVADA  89114

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                                DISCLAIMER

     This report has been reviewed by the Environmental Monitoring and
Support Laboratory-Las Vegas, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, and
approved for publication.  Approval does not signify that the contents
necessarily reflect the views and policies of the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, nor does mention of trade names or commercial products
constitute endorsement or recommendation for use.
                                     ii

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                                 CONTENTS

List of Figures                                                          iv
List of Tables                                                           v
I    Introduction                                                        1
II   Concept of an Integrated Monitoring System                          2
III  Evaluation of Concept Using Lead as a Test Case                     6
       Critical Receptor Population                                      6
       Critical Transport Pathways and Portals of Entry                  15
       Critical Sources                                                  34
       Quantitative Mathematical Models                                  36
       Basic Research Requirements                                       42
       Research Monitoring Requirements                                  45
       Design of an Integrated Monitoring System                         46
IV   Conclusions                                                         47
V    Participants in the Workshop                                        48
References                                                               50
                                     iii

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                              LIST OF FIGURES
Figure                                                             Page

   1    Calculated Lead Body Burden Comparison
         Between Adult and Child	   9
   2    Major Pathways Affecting Lead Burden
         in Critical Receptor	  16

   3    Lead Exposure Pathways to Critical Receptor	  17

   4    Pathways of Lead in Critical Receptor	  18

   5    Average Lead Size Distribution Comparison, with
         Junge's Model for Continental Aerosols on Log-
         Probability Paper	  21

   6    Pathways of Lead to a Receptor Via the Water Cycle	  29

   7    Pathways of Lead to a Receptor Via Liquids Other
         Than Water	  30

   8    Spatial Distribution of Lead Concentration in Air	  41

   9    Hypothetical Exposure Cross Section to Total
         Atmospheric Lead in a Typical Urban Area	  43
                                      iv

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                              LIST OF TABLES


Number                                                                 Page

   1    Atmospheric Lead Concentrations	   19

   2    Lead Dust on and Near Heavily
         Traveled Roadways	   22

   3    Lead Dust in Residential Areas	   23

   4    Lead at Soil Surfaces	   24

   5    Lead in Diet of Adult Males	   25

   6    Diet of 15-20 Year Old Males	   26

   7    Lead in Diet of Children	   26

   8    Lead in Fresh and Processed Foods	   27

   9    Lead Content of Various Beverages in
         Milligrams per Liter	   32

  10    Lead in New York Area Milk	   32

  11    Lead Consumption in the United States	   35

  12    Emission Sources of Lead in Air	   35

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                             I.  INTRODUCTION

     Environmental monitoring assesses the types and amounts of pollutants in
the environment and determines if sensitive human populations or other suscep-
tible receptors are exposed to levels and durations of exposure to pollutants
that may cause adverse effects.

     It is convenient to define the concepts of "critical receptors" and "crit-
ical sources" when discussing the biological effects of pollutants.  A critical
receptor will be defined to be that subgroup of animals or plants which shows
a measurable or observable effect at a dose or exposure of the specified pollu-
tant lower than any other group.  A critical source is that single source that
contributes more than any other source to the fate of the critical receptor.
Typically, but not necessarily, if a critical source is eliminated the debili-
tating effect on the critical receptor will be eliminated.

     It is absolutely necessary to assure that monitoring measurements are
directly related to the critical receptors at risk and to critical sources
amenable to some control or modification.  As we gain more experience and
knowledge about pollutants, critical receptors, and critical sources, we also
need to carefully review existing, ongoing, and planned monitoring networks to
see that they provide the most pertinent data possible.

     The concept of an integrated monitoring system was developed to coordinate
complex information about the relationships of pollutants, critical sources,
and critical receptors.  The concept considers many aspects of the problem at
once and it defines, quantifies, and compares specific factors about each pollutant.

     An integrated monitoring system is a systems approach for providing the
information required to permit efficient control of critical sources of pol-
lutants causing major problems or threats in critical receptors.   Traditionally
most monitoring programs assess only single pathway systems but,  in contrast,
integrated monitoring attempts to assess total exposure to a pollutant or
combination of pollutants.

     Design of an integrated monitoring system that will provide the desired
exposure assessment requires much specific information.  The major areas of
concern and the sequence of steps in designing a system include identifying
the sources, critical receptors and major transport pathways, determining
dosages via major portals of entry into receptors, and identifying and locat-
ing major critical sources, especially those amenable to control.   In order to
organize this information to evaluate the relative importance of  different
components, a mathematical model appears to be of value.  Models  will help
determine basic research needs and research monitoring requirements,  and will
help in the design of an integrated monitoring system or network.

     It was desired to test the validity of the concept of integrated monitor-
ing systems and to examine the criteria and steps involved.   A test case was
undertaken by a "Workshop for the Design of a Pollutant-Oriented  Integrated

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Monitoring System" conducted at the National Environmental Research Center* at
Las Vegas, Nevada, in March 1974.  Medical and environmental  specialists were
convened to evaluate the concepts using a selected test-case  pollutant.

     The pollutant was selected using the following criteria:  a) a large amount
of data is available on the pollutant and its effects, b) it  would probably il-
luminate most of the problems in designing an integrated monitoring system,
c) it should reach man through several environmental pathways, d) the pollutant
should cause significant effects in humans, and  e) design of  a system might be
of value for monitoring the selected pollutant.  Lead, which  seemed to best fit
these criteria, was the pollutant selected.

     The following report critically examines the concept using  this system ap-
proach and points out the values and problems.   The review pointed out important
knowledge gaps, basic research needs, and research monitoring requirements.  The
use of mathematical models appears to be valuable, but more detailed testing and
evaluation of models is required to establish their validity  and usefulness.


              II.  CONCEPT OF AN INTEGRATED MONITORING SYSTEM

     The concept of an integrated monitoring systems approach which takes into
account simultaneously the critical receptor, critical transport pathways, and
critical sources is relatively new.  The term "critical" is used to designate
a specific and  important population at risk and  the special transport pathways
from the important sources which impact this receptor population.  While all
sources and pathways are included, instead of general ambient environment mon-
itoring, special monitoring of the major pollutant chain involved is done spe-
cifically to permit control of critical sources. This concept includes the
following considerations:  a) critical receptors, b) critical transport path-
ways and portals of entry, c) critical sources,  d) mathematical  models, e) basic
research requirements, f) research monitoring requirements, g) design of an
integrated monitoring system.

     The concept is presented below with a detailed outline of the factors in-
volved and a discussion of models.  This outline provided the workshop with
the structure for analysis of the concept using  the test-case pollutant, lead.

     A.  Critical Receptor Population

         1.  Determine Critical Receptor

             a.  Population with greatest exposure risk  (number  of persons
                 exposed to greatest concentration of pollutant).

             b.  Population most sensitive with  lowest threshold of effects.

             c.  Population actually showing most effects.
 * This Center became the Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory-Las
 Vegas effective June 29, 1975.

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    2.  Medical Effects

        a.  Determine daily dosage, absorbed dosage, retention, and
            excretion rates.

        b.  Determine minimum threshold of effects of pollutants for
            both acute high dosage and chronic low dosage in adults
            and children.

        c.  Determine changes and trends in body burden levels and
            effects with time.

B.  Critical Transport Pathways and Important Portals of
    Entry into Receptor

    1.  Determine dispersion and dissemination of pollutant into
        the environment.

    2.  Determine major transport pathways and special areas of
        accumulation or concentration of pollutant in the environ-
        ment.

    3.  Determine critical pathways from critical sources to critical
        receptor.

    4.  Quantitate total amounts and rates of flow of pollutant in
        critical transport pathways in different media.

    5.  Quantitate special pathways and portals of entry, e.g.
        placental transfer from mother.

    6.  Quantitate amount of pollutant entering (the portals of
        entry) of the receptor.

C.  Critical Sources

    1.  Identify sources, both natural and man made, and develop
        an emissions inventory.

    2.  Identify critical sources which are of importance to the
        critical receptor via identified major transport pathways.

    3.  Determine mass emission rate for each major type of source,
        both mobile and stationary.

    4.  Determine chemical composition and particle or aerosol size
        distribution for each major type of source.

    5.  Determine changes of sources and trends with time.

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     D.  Quantitative Mathematical Models

         1.  General Model

     A mathematical model can be of great value in helping to select from
various alternatives the relative importance of various sources, pathways,
and routes of entry of a pollutant into a receptor.  It may be of value in
showing the use and limitations of presently available quantitative data and
showing the relative importance of obtaining required missing data.  The model
can help in assigning priority in determining research data requirements,
research monitoring requirements, and in design of an integrated monitoring
system.

     A deterministic mathematical model appears to be suitable for simulating
pollutant dispersal to a receptor.  This type model usually requires much fewer
data than statistical models.  However, follow-up experiments for validating
the model are required in order to assure the adequacy of the deterministic
model.  A hierarchical systems approach is used in which the top echelon general
model covers the entire system.  Lower levels of the hierarchy of models include
submodels for specific components which interact with and become an input to
the general model.


         2.  Submodels

     Submodels can be developed for each process or compartment of the general-
ized model.  Of particular interest in the integrated monitoring system is the
transport or distribution model from the source through the environment to the
receptor.

     A submodel for transport and diffusion can be developed which includes
only diffusion from one or more sources.  Submodels can also include entry and
absorption in the receptor.  A number of atmospheric transport models have been
developed.  Mathematical diffusion models for specific metropolitan areas have
been developed with varying  degrees of sophistication.  Examples are the
Travelers Research Corporation model  (Hilst, 1969) and the Argonne National
Laboratory model  (Roberts, et al., 1969) which are short-term period models
with daily predictions of concentrations.  An air quality diffusion model by
Martin and Tikvart  (1968) permits calculation of seasonal or monthly concentra-
tions of any pollutant.

     A submodel on atmospheric pollutant transport was developed by Battelle
 (Lutz, et al., 1970).  This  represents steady state airborne transport from
several sources.  Equations  for meteorological transport of a pollutant were
developed  for a)  continuous  point source, b) finite crosswind line source,
c) finite  downwind line source, and d) finite aerial source.  The validity of
the use of models for lead distribution and transport is discussed in the lead
case study.  In addition, a  model was developed at the workshop specifically
for lead,  and it  is also presented.

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         3.  Use of Models

     More effort on developing and testing of models and submodel components
is required to fully utilize the value of this approach.

     During this workshop, the submodel for atmospheric lead concentration
was developed but not tested.  It provides a theoretical basis for development
of an atmospheric monitoring system for a pollutant.  In the lead test case,
many quantitative data were compiled relating to the sources, critical
receptors, and pathways and portals of entry.  However, it was not possible
to apply the data to any of the models to test them.  A complete set of hier-
archical models for the special receptor and the special pathways is needed,
which would contribute greatly to development of an integrated monitoring
system for lead.

     E.  Basic Research Requirements

     Basic research, as used here, is the scientific study of a specific
problem to obtain knowledge to understand the function, action, or part played
by a component of a system.  Basic research may be closely related to research
monitoring because it may involve repetitive measurement over a short period
of time.

     Basic research, for example, might be carried out on the pica behavior
(the craving for and eating of unnatural substances) of a child to determine
the amount of house or street lead-containing dust the child consumes or
breathes.  This may be conducted jointly with research monitoring on the
daily levels of lead in dust in the houses and on the streets involved in the
research program.  Both programs are limited in space and time until specific
questions have been answered.

     F.  Research Monitoring Requirements

     Research monitoring is the repetitive sampling of a pollutant, or of
the effects it produces, to answer specific questions in a research or monitor-
ing program.  Research monitoring is usually limited in both time and space,
in contrast with routine monitoring of the ambient environment which uses
large numbers of sampling stations in a monitoring network.

     Research monitoring may be established to answer specific questions on
determining the importance of a specific transport pathway or concentration
area or, for example, determining the proper height of a sampler to quantify
the impact of air particles on the child.

     G.  Design of Integrated Monitoring System or Network

     After identification of the critical receptors, pathways, sources, and
critical sources, and after compiling and evaluating all available information
(preferably with the use of models), the principles of monitoring systems
design may be applied in order to design an integrated monitoring system or
network.  Various basic research and research monitoring needs would have to

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be identified and satisfied before a fully effective  and  efficient  system
could be implemented.  By following this procedure, one could  feel  reason-
ably certain that the monitoring  system would yield the data for which it was
designed, and that such data would be  sufficient  for  effectively controlling
critical sources.
            III.   EVALUATION OF CONCEPT USING LEAD AS A TEST CASE


     To evaluate  the  concept of an integrated monitoring system,  the  available
data on lead were compiled  following the  outline presented in Section II.
Mathematical models for  lead were  examined.   The applicability of the concept
to  the specific test  case was reviewed.

     Lead is a heavy  metal  which is highly toxic to human beings when absorbed.
It  is the only heavy  metal  that does not  have some modern therapeutic appli-
cation and is  not essential to the nutrition of human  beings, other animals,
or  plants.  The modern interest in the physiological properties of lead
centers around its toxicological properties.

     Lead is extremely useful and  is used in very large quantities.   In 1968
the United States used 1.39 million tons  of newly produced lead plus  0.55
million tons from secondary sources.  (Lutz,  et al., 1970)
 CBT.TICAL RECEPTOR POPULATION

      Large numbers of people are exposed to lead,  but it must enter the body
 and be absorbed to be dangerous.   People who work with lead in mines,  smelters,
 factories, and processing plants are occupationally exposed and may exhibit
 toxic symptoms.  In addition, workers with tetraethyl lead gasoline additive,
 storage battery workers,  ship scrapers,  painters,  consumers of lead-contami-
 nated "moonshine" whiskey, and other exposed persons such as tunnel workers
 and garage men, sometimes suffer from lead poisoning.  Since there are now
 quite strict environmental health controls on lead exposure in industry, the
 number of cases of lead poisoning is not as great as previously.  However,
 children are also known to be subject to lead poisoning, apparently without
 any more exposure than urban adults.

      During the past few  years, environmental lead has been the subject of
 many publications and reviews.  Based on these studies, the population at
 risk, i.e., the critical  receptor, in the United States has been identified
 as the urban child of one to six years of age (Buckley, et al., 1973).
 However, neurological damage may have actually occurred at an earlier  period
 with the effects first appearing at a later stage of development.   In  addition,
 these effects may be too  subtle to be easily recognized since they may
 gradually progress with growth and maturation.

      Clinical evidence indicates that young children are much more likely to
 suffer from the effects of lead poisoning than adults.  Also, children tend
 to become exposed to and  absorb greater quantities of lead than do adults,

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especially in the inner cities and older urban areas.  This is probably  due
to lead-contaminated dust predominantly originating from automobile  exhaust
(Sayre, et al., in press) and from lead-contaminated household items such  as
paint chips.  Further, there is evidence indicating toxic symptoms appear  at
lower dosage levels and that absorption rates are higher in children than  in
adults (Alexander, et al., 1973.)

     There are about 17 million children, aged six or less in the United States.
The National Bureau of Standards  (Gilsinn, 1972) has estimated that  2.5  million
of these children have high risk of lead poisoning and that over 600,000 of
these children now have elevated lead levels in the blood (over 40 ug/100  ml).
This study confirms that "pediatric lead poisoning is a major urban  health
problem in this country.  The effects of this, in terms of the number of
children suffering permanent brain damage or damage to other organs, is  not
known.  How many of the children who have only slightly elevated blood-lead
levels will later exhibit learning or social difficulties is not known."

     Another estimate of children with high blood-lead levels is the "Lead
Model Case Study" by Lutz, et al.,  (1970) which states that one-eighth  of
the United States population lives in substandard housing in metropolitan,
ghetto areas.  There are 10 million children in age groups 0.5 to 3.5 years,
with 1.25 million children living in high risk areas.  It was estimated  that
250,000 young children (up to 3.5 years) have high blood-lead levels, and
1,900 children suffer permanent brain damage, each with an approximate $250,000
cost to society during their lifetimes.

     At any rate, young children constitute, by far, the largest group of
clinical lead poisoning cases—especially in high density urban areas and
near heavily traveled streets and highways.  This may be largely due to  their
much greater propensity to touch, mouth, and(lnjest just about everything
available in their environment.

     While the acute effects of lead uptake are a matter of routine  clinical
observation and treatment, the precise effects of chronic exposures  to lead
at various exposure levels, rates, and modes are unknown.  This is true  for
all age groups.  A comprehensive research monitoring program should  also take
this into account.

     Studies available on infants and children concerning the respiratory  dose
and pulmonary retention of lead are not comparable to those performed with
adults.  Knelson (1974) and King  (1971) have reviewed information which
pertains to this problem.  The current state of knowledge permits only an
indirect estimate of the inhalation of airborne lead.  This can be done by
using the data based on metabolic requirements for oxygen, and hence for air.
Using basal metabolic requirements, the daily volume of air can be estimated.
To this should be added an allowance for increased metabolic requirements  due
to infection, fever, and physical activity.  For normal activity and growth,
the basal values should be multiplied by a factor of 1.35, and, in the extreme
case, by a factor of 2.0.  Metabolic activity and requirements for infants and
children can be compared with adults on a surface area basis.

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     No statement can be made at present about such factors as particle
size and its relation to the assimilation of lead by the respiratory route.
It is important, however, to know the particle size distribution of lead,
particularly the distribution below the two-micrometer level at from 1 to
3 feet above the surface.  Measurements at this level are important in
estimating respiratory exposures and doses in infants and young children.
Although it is generally considered that there are no significant  concen-
trations of organic lead compounds in the vapor form, some attention should
be given to this if pilot studies show that there is a significant concentra-
tion.  In this case, the different absorption factors for vaporized lead
would have to be calculated.

     Studies of the alimentary intake of lead in adults generally  estimate
the retention by this route to be up to about 10%.

     For estimating alimentary intake in healthy children, the balance studies
of Alexander, et al., (1973) are available; however, this study is limited to
a short-term study in 11 subjects from 3 months to 8-1/2 years of  age.  These
authors calculate an average daily intake of 10.6±4.0 yg Pb/kg body weight per
day.  Calculations were made for adults and children based on all  of the data
compiled during the workshop (Alexander, et al., 1973; Karhausen,  1973;
National Academy of Sciences, 1972; Knelson, 1974).  This more recent calcula-
tion indicates a daily absorbed intake of 7.5 yg/kg per day for children of
10 kg weight.   (See Figure 1 for comparison with adult.)

     Retention of lead in the body is partly dependent on the levels already
existing. In small children  the calculated retention was 2.03±1.4 yg Pb/kg/day
or an average of 18% of the daily intake  (Alexander, et al., 1973).  These
data, while preliminary, indicate that children take in less lead  from air,
water, and food than adults, and they absorb more in the intestine.  Taking
into account body weight, the resulting body burden of lead calculated for
the child  (Figure 1) is about ten times more per kilogram of body  weight than
for adults.  This calculation does not include the additional exposure to
lead children are subjected to from such sources as street and house dust
which may be critical sources in some populations of children.  It should be
noted that the numerous studies showing that the concentration of  lead in the
blood of children is essentially the same as the concentration in  adults does
not constitute a rebuttal or counter-example to the above calculations.  If   ~
a child rapidly stores lead in his soft tissues and bone, the blood-lead
level will remain low even though he is absorbing large amounts and the
tissue levels of lead are reaching toxic concentrations.

     The whole  blood-lead  concentration  is  the most useful and accessible
index of  the  level of lead  in  the  exchangeable  and potentially toxic pool
within  the body.  Although  individual measurements of whole blood-lead con-
centrations are not  specifically related to adverse health effects, several
ranges  in blood-lead concentration can be related  to varying degrees of risk
of adverse health  effects.   The following broad ranges  are recognized in
adults, based on all available literature cited in the  bibliography.  The
ranges  for children  are  less well  established,  but  seem to be  similar except
that they are somewhat displaced downward,  i.e.,  the  thresholds  for the

                                     8

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      XWWnMXf&WKWymfy
      <-',? />- " t
      \  -•"  •••=' ,*
 0.7Hg Pb/kg
 dose per day
                                                      ONE YEAR OLD
                                                        MAY  HAVE
                                                   TEN TIMES GREATER
                                                      BODY BURDEN
                                                       THAN  ADULT!
     ADULT (70kg)
                                           7.5Mg Pb/kg
                                          dose per day
                      CALCULATED  ABSORPTION
                                      CHILD (10kg)
 Daily Intake
   Lead Absorbed
 Food  -  300 yg         30 yg (10%)
 Water -  20 ug     .    2 yg (10%)
 Air - 2.5  yg (23 m^)   21 yg (37%)
 TOTAL

    53 ygPb
    70 kg man
    ±53 ygPb
0.7 ygPb/kg dose
per day to man
Daily Intake

Food - 130 yg
Water-  10 yg
Air - 2.5 yg (6 m3)
TOTAL

    75  ygPb
                                         Lead Absorbed

                                           65   yg (50%)
                                            5   yg (50%)
                                            5.5 yg (37%)
                                          ±75.5 ygPb
    10 kg child
7.5 ygPb/kg dose
per day to child
Figure L Calculated Lead Body Burden Comparison Between Adult and Child

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effects discussed below are somewhat lower in children.   There are  insufficient
data available at this time to establish ranges for infants  (less than 12
months of age).

     The major evidence concerning ranges was derived  from the interpretation
of metabolic studies and Ca-EDTA mobilization data  (National Academy  of
Sciences, 1972; Lutz, et al., 1970).

Range 1  (10-40 yg Pb/100 ml)

     Studies in groups of normal healthy persons, primarily  adults, show mean
blood-lead concentrations between 15-20±6  (1 s.d.) yg  Pb/100 ml  of  whole blood.
While in vitro assays of delta-aminolevulinic acid dehydratase  (ALAD) activity
show partial inhibition in such groups, there is no measureable  effect on  the
level of the substrate, namely urine delta-aminolevulinic acid  (ALA), in body
fluids.

Range 2  (30-55 ye Pb/100 ml)

     This is the apparent threshold zone for the first detectable increase
in ALA excretion and free erythrocyte protoporphyrin  (FEP) levels.  Above  this
threshold zone, there is a linear relationship between increases in blood-lead
concentrations and  the logarithm of increases in the levels  of heme precursors
in the body fluid.  Early metabolic warning signals, of metabolic disturbance,
such as  heme synthesis and proximal renal  tubular function,  are  available.
However, there are  at present no known biochemical  indices of disturbance
in brain function.

Range 3  (50-80 yg Pb/100 ml)

     If  blood-lead  levels in this range are sustained  for periods of  weeks or
months,  most individuals will show adverse metabolic effects on  heme  synthesis,
and a few may show  early mild symptoms or  plumbism.

Range 4  (70-100 yg  Pb/100 ml)

     Sustained levels in this range are associated with increasing  risks of
serious  clinical effects, both acute and chronic.   In  comparison with groups
having blood-lead concentrations in the 10-30 yg Pb/100 ml range, the sustained
body burden must be increased by a factor  of approximately 10 in order to  reach
the 70-100 yg Pb/100 ml range.

     An  important finding is that while there is a  relatively narrow  but more
or less  comfortable range between present  levels of lead  in  the  average adult
 (25 yg/100 ml of blood) and the toxic  level  (70-80  yg/100 ml of  blood), no such
range exists for children  (Gilsinn, 1972).

     The urban population of children has  an average level of lead  in the
blood of about 25 yg/100 ml of blood, but  28.9% are 40 or above, 12.7% are 50
or above , 6% are 60 or above, and 2.7% are 70  or above.   This  includes over
600,000  children with levels over 40 yg/100 ml  (700,000 based on New  York  data)
 (Gilsinn, 1972).

                                    10

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     Symptoms such as anemia, behavorial problems and physiological changes
have been observed at 40 yg/100 ml and over of lead in the blood of children.
It is known that the threshold of lead toxicity in young children is lower
than that of adults; however, how much below 40 or above 40 yg is not known.
The disconcerting facts are that many blood levels of children are high and
we know that the toxicity levels are in this range, but we do not know exact
threshold levels or the variation in sensitivity which could result in many
children having toxic problems at low levels.  Therefore, the range between
present levels and toxic levels in children is uncomfortably close with no
latitude for safety (Lin-Fu, 1973).

     Some evidence indicates that young children have a lower tolerance to
blood-lead concentrations than do older population groups (LinrFu, 1973).
In considering receptor levels of the monitored pollutant (lead), the
vulnerability of developing brain tissue requires particular attention.  Un-
like other tissues which have an inherent ability to regenerate themselves,
brain tissue is unique in its "once only opportunity to grow properly."
Information heightening this critical concern is that the concentration of lead
in the brain sharply increases only during the first two decades of life
(Zaworski and Oyasu, 1973).  Maximum rates of growth occur in the human prior
to one year of age, are largely complete by 30 months of age, and appear to be
greatest between the last eight weeks in utero and the first 10 months follow-
ing birth.  There may be another possible period of brain vulnerability - the
10th to the 18th gestational week of neuronal multiplication.  This emphasizes
the need to consider the pregnant woman in a pollutant monitoring model.  This
period of increased susceptibility may be associated with a lower tolerance
for lead than is apparent in older age groups.

     Autopsy data and metabolic studies (Rabinowitz and Wetherill, 1973) show
that lead in the body is partitioned into two major compartments:  (1) a
small but rapidly exchangeable compartment consisting of blood, soft tissues,
and the rapidly exchangeable fraction of bone mineral; and (2) a much larger
but slowly exchangeable fraction tightly bound in bone and teeth.  Autopsy
data show that the bony fraction increases with age in members of industriali-
zed and urbanized societies, but that soft-tissue lead concentrations show
little apparent increase with age.  A three-city study (U.S. Public Health
Service, 1965) indicated that blood-lead concentrations do not show any
measurable increase with age.  The rapidly exchangeable pool is similar to, if
not identical with, the chelatable fraction (or the metabolically active
fraction of lead in the body.  There are no documented clinical instances in
recent years of toxicity related to the sudden mobilization of the bony stores.
Experimental observations are not helpful in this regard as they do not closely
simulate the normal human experience.  Increasing concentrations of lead in
the exchangeable pool are associated with the known adverse health effects of
lead (Chisolm, 1971).

     Experimental observations and clinical observations suggest that free
erythrocyte protoporphyrin (FEP) measurements reflect sustained changes in
soft-tissue lead levels.
                                      11

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     Biological variables such as nutritional, genetic, metabolic, and hormonal
factors (about which there is little information, but which could modify the
absorption and distribution of lead) do not allow a more precise statement
regarding blood-lead concentrations in various groups of people.

     Blood-lead concentrations can be affected in the short-term by isolated
spikes in assimilation due to factors like the ingestion of lead-containing
paint chips or dusts.  This can cause a transitory increase in the blood-lead
concentration.  Conversely, chelation therapy can temporarily depress the
blood-lead concentration.  However, the single, massive ingestion of lead is
not associated with known severe toxicity  (U.S. Public Health Service, 1971).

     It is essential to measure lead directly in the receptor to determine the
uptake resulting from environmental exposure sources.  The available data
(National Academy of Sciences, 1972) strongly suggest that measurements of the
concentrations of lead in whole blood and the metabolite, erythrocyte proto-
porphyrin, are among the most sensitive indicators of changes of lead con-
centrations in the exchangeable pool which is responsible for lead's adverse
effects.  Among the various practical options for sampling, this is also the
most available one.  Random blood samples collected from children in selected
environmental areas might give a fairly reliable indication of average
exposure/effect relationships in these areas if the random samples are numer-
ous enough to be representative, whereby unusual variances would cancel each
other.

     The methodology used for sampling and analyzing blood for lead is critical.
Reliable results depend on stringent quality control procedures.  Under good
conditions, sampling and analysis errors on the order of ±5 yg Pb/100 ml
(1.0 s.d.) should be anticipated in field studies.

     While the blood-lead level is one measure of assimilation by the receptor,
other types of data should not be disregarded in a monitoring system.

     Teeth represent a host tissue in which the dentine is reflective of prior
exposure over a non-specified length of time.  It may be possible to utilize
the lead-210 content of this tissue in order to determine the residence time
of lead in the tissue.  Levels in teeth do correlate with exposure but not to
blood lead, and they normally decrease markedly at about age 10 in the human.
While dentine-lead levels have been shown  to correlate to exposure levels
(Needlemann, et al., 1973), the information concerning any possible relation-
ship to adverse health effects is insufficient at this time.  In one study
(Needlemann, et al., 1974), which included both analysis of teeth and blood-
lead concentrations, a relationship between late health effects was found to
be"correlated with prior blood-lead concentrations, but not with tooth dentine
levels.

     Hair may afford a method of evaluating community exposures and changes
therein, particularly exposures to airborne pollutants.  The ready availability
of this tissue would initially suggest that it is an ideal tissue for receptor
monitoring.  However, variations in hair growth rate, area of the body from


                                      12

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which obtained, hair color, racial background, and texture must be considered
(Schroeder and Nason, 1969).  Present methodologic difficulties are a strong
deterrent to effective usage of hair as a primary receptor monitoring tool.
A pilot study to assess possible relationships between hair-lead levels,
blood-lead levels, and adverse health effects may yield meaningful data and
facilitate the interpretation of hair-lead levels.

     Fingernails or toenails are also readily accessible and should be con-
sidered in the design of a monitoring system.  However, those measurements
are subject to the same concerns that apply to hair.

    As an available metabolic product, sweat should be considered for measure-
ment in a biologic monitoring system.  However, data for lead evaluated in
several normal, white, male adults shows that the concentration of lead in
activity-induced sweating is approximately 15 parts per billion, or
15 yg Pb/liter (Rabinowitz, 1974), and may vary depending upon the degree of
active sweating; i.e., hypermetabolic versus passive or basal sweating level.
Sweat may not be useful for monitoring purposes because of the low lead con-
centrations, the difficulty of obtaining sufficient uncontaminated samples,
and the lack of quality control in accepted analytical methodology.

    Saliva, like sweat, is a substance which one might include in a monitor-
ing system.  This material contains approximately 20 parts per billion of
lead, or 20 yg Pb/liter, in healthy, white, male adults and apparently is in
rapid exchange with blood lead (Rabinowitz, 1974).  Significant deterrents to
its usage in a large-scale monitoring approach are the difficulties inherent
in obtaining adequate samples which are free of contamination by inhaled or
ingested lead.  These difficulties would be especially marked in young
children.

    A well-rounded biological lead monitoring research approach would probably
include at least three basic analyses of blood samples collected with random
or selective sampling techniques.  These three analyses are:

    (a)  Whole Blood-Lead Concentration.  This analysis gives a reliable
indication of the amount of lead available in the exchangeable body pool,
and allows some evaluation of its relation to general, and possibly specific,
environmental lead exposure conditions.

    (b)  Free Erythrocyte Protoporphyrin (FEP).  This is a sensitive method
for measuring metabolic tissue effects from increased lead absorption levels,
and may indicate the degree of possible permanent damage to the body.

    (c)  Hematocrit.  This is a simple way to determine the possible relation-
ship between iron deficiency and increased lead absorption.

    Information of this type is already being obtained through childhood lead
poisoning screening programs, and data are being tabulated by the Communicable
Disease Center, Bureau of State Services,  Division of Environmental Health
Services, Atlanta, Georgia.  Semi-micro techniques for both blood lead and
erythrocyte protoporphyrin have recently been developed.  Such sampling might


                                    13

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be rather easily extended to infants and pre-natal programs.  For  the
sampling of children within this age range not  covered under Medicare,  it
may be advisable to approach the American Academy of Pediatrics  (Evanston,
Illinois).  With suitable administrative arrangements, such data could  be
made available to an integrated monitoring system.

    Epidemiologic data and experimental observations suggest that  women in
the childbearing age range  (especially during pregnancy), neonates,  infants,
and young children should be monitored.  Sampling could  possibly be  made
available to other groups through health maintenance organizations,  similar
pre-paid medical group plans,  the armed forces,  etc.  If accessible, these
groups should also be included.

    Exploration of the utility of hair and shed deciduous teeth  on a pilot
basis should be considered.  However, one should take into account the  fact
that such samples are not easy to collect and present considerable problems
in both analysis and interpretation.  The aim of such a  pilot study  should be
to determine correlations between teeth and  hair and nails, on the one  hand,
and blood-lead levels and indices of toxicity on the other hand.

    If autopsy tissues can be  obtained, they would be invaluable to  increase
what is currently a very limited data base with regard to tissue-lead levels
in fetuses, infants, and children.

    There is a great need for  more  information  on lead metabolism  in fetuses,
infants, and young children.   Not only with  regard to dietary intake, but
also concerning respiratory  intake, and basic respiratory physiology in young
children themselves.  For this purpose, the  feasibility  of using the naturally
occurring isotopes such  as  lead-210 or lead-204 as a marker deserves serious
consideration.  When such research  is completed, the results will  be useful
in updating monitoring systems that are currently being  proposed.

    Adequate provisions  for  the protection of an individual's confidentiality
must be considered in the design of programs involving human monitoring.

    The most critical adverse  effect of lead toxicity is irreparable damage
to the brain and nerves. Although  it has not been established that  the brain
is most vulnerable to lead  during its growth and neuronal multiplication
phases, this may be the  case.  If,  indeed,  the  brain is  most susceptible to
lead during these phases, the  situation may  be  associated with a lower  toler-
ance for  lead  in children than is apparent  in older age  groups.  Much more
information is needed in this  area.

    Whole blood-lead concentration  is  the most  useful and accessible index
of the exchangeable and  potentially toxic pool  within the body.  Although
individual measurements  of whole blood-lead  concentrations are not specifically
related to adverse health effects,  several  concentration ranges  can  be  related
to varying degrees of risk  of  adverse health effects.  The threshold zone,
derived from the interpretation of  metabolic studies in  adults and calcium-
ethylenediaminetetraacetic  acid  (Ca-EDTA) mobilization data, appears to range
between 30 and 55 vg Pb/100 ml of whole blood.   The duration of  exposure and

                                    14

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lead concentration levels in whole blood are related to the appearance of
effects and to accurate dose calculation.  Biological variables such as
nutritional, genetic, metabolic, and hormonal factors probably modify the
absorption and distribution of lead; however, little information is available
in these areas.

    While whole blood-lead concentration is the most accessible and valuable
biological monitoring index, other media should not be disregarded in a com-
prehensive monitoring program.  Teeth, for instance, may represent a host
tissue which is reflective of prior doses over a non-specified length of
time.  Also, hair may afford a method of evaluating community exposure trends.
The information obtainable from random samples of excreta and bodily secre-
tions is deemed of negligible value for monitoring purposes.

CRITICAL TRANSPORT PATHWAYS AND PORTALS OF ENTRY

    Once sound integrated monitoring system concepts are developed and
applied to surveillance of environmental lead, as well as other pollutants, it
will be possible to further delineate areas of concern, to provide reliable
trend and research data, and to establish efficacious and economical control
measures.

    Dispersion of lead into the environment is relatively broad and diffuse.
However, dispersal from the critical source to the critical receptor involves
specific pathways which must be quantified and accurately monitored.   To this
must be added the general background level of lead.

    The detailed exposure pathways contributing to lead burdens in a receptor
are shown in Figures 2 and 3.  An objective of this study was to quantitate
these pathways and, thus, to determine total exposure and its variability
among individuals and populations.  Additionally, the relations between
exposure,  dose, uptake, and effects were assessed.  The diagram in Figure 4
illustrates the pathways of lead within a critical receptor.  These pathways
were assessed to determine the best indices of body lead burdens.

    In spite of the availability of an impressive information base
(Lutz, et al., 1970), the pathways leading to and within a critical receptor,
the urban child, cannot be accurately quantitated without additional sub-
stantial investments in research and monitoring.  One result of this lack of
quantification is that most current review documents tend to overestimate the
contributions of leaded paint chips and to underestimate the importance of
airborne lead which continually settles out on all surfaces and is available
for resuspension and subsequent inhalation and ingestion.

    The major sources of airborne respirable dust particles containing lead
are transportation, industry, energy production, and incineration.  The
particle size distribution, after gravitational and atmospheric interaction,
is believed to be approximately a logarithmic normal distribution for all
sources.  Of these sources, motor vehicles using leaded gasolines contribute
by far the greatest quantities of all airborne lead particles (Buckley,
et al., 1973).

                                      15

-------
A
l'
FOOD
WATER
MOTHER
DUST
SUSPENDED
PARTICLES
L
k
f
\
T
INGESTION
INTERMITTENT &
VARIABLE ABSORPTION

^
f
FOOD
PAINT
•^
WATER
DUST
r
PLACENTAL TRANSFER URBAN
CHILD
INITIAL BURDEN

INHALATION
CONTINUOUS &
VARIABLE ABSORPTION
r
(CRIT

DU
SUSPE
PAR]
k.
f
ICAL
PTOR)
ST
NDED
•ICLES

Figure 2.  Major Pathways Affecting Lead Burden in Critical Receptor

-------
                        OTHER SOURCES

                        PAINT, INK, ETC.
    Pb &
    Pb COMPOUNDS
MAJOR
    ROUTES
MINOR
    ROUTES
HIGHLY
  VARIABLE
       ROUTES
  AUTO
 EXHAUST

AIR


-»>
"*""


DUST







                                    T
             WATER
WATER
 PIPES
FORAGE
CROPS

CONSUMER
CROPS
                                                FOOD
                                             PROCESSING
ANIMALS
                             A
                             I
                             I
                    INGESTION
                       AND
                   INHALATION
                        BY
                     CRITICAL
                     RECEPTOR
             Figure 3.  Lead Exposure Pathways to Critical Receptor

-------
03
      • RATES
       VARIABLE,
      DEPENDING
      ON  MANY
       FACTORS
                  INHALATION
                      UPPER
                  RESPIRATORY
                     SYSTEM
   LOWER
RESPIRATORY
   SYSTEM
                    Gl TRACT
      1
 INGESTION
 B
 L
O
O
 D
                                            SOFT
                                            TISSUE
                                            BONE
HAIR
NAILS
                                           NERVES
                                            BRAIN
                   URINE
                  SWEAT
                   FECES
           Figure 4.  Pathways of Lead in Critical Receptor

-------
     The airborne concentration of lead at any specified location  can be
determined by summing the relative contributions from mobile and stationary
sources, the geophysical background and the atmospheric lead originating from
other cities.  Meteorological conditions, proximity to significant stationary
sources, and the relation between traffic volume and distance from the
critical receptor population groups are important monitoring considerations.

     The largest source of routine ambient air-lead data in the United States
is the National Air Surveillance Network (NASN).  These stations, which are
located both in urban and non-urban places, provide a general indication of
overall "average" urban lead concentrations.  In addition, many specialized
measurement studies have been undertaken very near important lead  sources,
such as highways and intersections, and these are reported in the  literature.

     The arithmetic mean air-lead concentration in the United States (U.S.
Public Health Service, 1965) (from 1960 to 1965)  was 0.79 yg/m3, using data.
from NASN high-volume samplers.   During this period of time, the highest single
air-lead concentration in any city was 8.6 yg/m3.

     Many investigators, such as Larsen (1969), hold that the concentration
in air of pollutants in general follows a lognormal distribution.  (It should
be noted that the arithmetic mean is not an appropriate statistical measure
of central tendency for the lognormal distribution; the geometric mean should
be used).

     Table 1 gives typical annual mean air-lead concentrations from several
cities.  Typical outlying concentrations are on the order of 1 yg/m3; con-
centrations in the more central areas are generally in the range of 2 to 4
yg/m3-  The table also shows examples of the higher air-lead concentrations
that are encountered very close to sources.  Concentrations measured near
traffic and on sidewalks range between 8 and 30 yg/m3, with some values as
high as 54 yg/m3 for the morning rush hours.  (National Acadamey of Sciences
1972).
                 Table 1.  ATMOSPHERIC LEAD CONCENTRATIONS

     Of Cities                                              Annual Mean
     Philadelphia, suburbs                                  1 yg/m3
     Philadelphia, downtown                                 3 yg/m3

     Cincinnati, suburbs                                    1 yg/m3
     Cincinnati, downtown                                   2 yg/m3
     Los Angeles, suburbs                                   2 yg/m3
     Los Angeles, downtown                                  3 yg/m3


     Near Roadways                                 Range of Annual Means
     Los Angeles, freeway (a.m.  rush hour)             26.9-54.3 yg/m3
     Los Angeles, freeway (mid-day)                    16.6-31.1 yg/m3
     Los Angeles, downtown traffic (a.m.  rush hour)   19.1-29.9 yg/m3
     Los Angeles, downtown traffic (mid-day)           8*4-12*2 ue/m3
     Pasadena, downtown, sidewalk (mid-day)            8!6-14!6 yg/m3

                                    19

-------
     It should be noted that all  the data are not strictly  comparable
because the sample durations (i.e., averaging times) are often  different, or
worse, are not stated at all.  Furthermore,  the exact  distance  and height
at which the measurements are made are often unspecified.   However,  some
data do exist in the literature on concentration "profiles" as  a  function
of distance from sources.  Elaboration on this subject is beyond  the scope
of this review; however, consideration of these factors is  essential in the
design of monitoring networks.

     It can be concluded from the NASN data  previously cited that ambient
air urban-background lead concentrations are in the range of 1  to 3  yg/m3
in the majority of urban areas  (annual average), with  concentrations within
100 meters of streets with heavy  traffic loads usually ranging  from  8  yg/m3
to about 30 yg/m3.

     Fairly extensive data are available on  the size distribution of atmos-
pheric lead-containing particulates  (Robinson and Ludwig, 1964).  The  dis-
tribution is generally approximated as log-normal; i.e., the logarithm of
aerodynamic particle size is normally distributed.  A  typical cumulative
plot of particle size on log-probability paper is shown in  Figure 5.   Note
that over 90% of the mass of airborne lead particles are under  one micro-
meter in size.  Lead particles of this size  distribution can readily be
respired and thereby entered into the bloodstream.

     Similar data on the size distribution of the larger diameter particles
which settle out of the atmosphere are unavailable.  These  particles con-
tribute to the lead burden of the dust encountered by  children  and vary
widely in size due to the effects of control systems on sources such as
smelters, refining and metallurgical processes, and on the  internal  com-
bustion engine and its exhaust system.  However, since particulates  of very
large diameter  (greater than 25 microns) and intermediate diameter  (10-25
micrometers) can be inspired and/or ingested by the critical receptor, they
are of high concern.

     Settled dust originates from the same sources as  airborne  respirable
dust particles - namely, transportation, industry, energy production,  and
incineration.  Here again the leaded gasoline used in  motor vehicles con-
tributes most of the lead in dust in most residential  areas. However, there
are important exceptions.  For example, the  El Paso, Texas, lead  smelter
emissions dwarf the contributions of lead dusts by automobiles  and lead-based
paints in some El Paso residential areas  (Landrigan, et al., 1974).

     Lead in settled dust and dirt also contributes to increased  blood-lead
levels through the inhalation of  resuspended dust and  through ingestion
primarily by children.  Although  exposure to dirt and  dust  contaminated with
lead from automobile exhaust, alone, has not been shown to  be responsible for
cases of overt lead poisoning,  it has been related to  high  blood-lead
levels in children  (Buckley, et al., 1973).  There is  also  a good correla-
tion between high blood-lead levels  in children and household dust.  The
lead in dirt and dust on children's hands, and the consequent higher blood-
lead levels also increase with nearness to heavily traveled streets  and mid-


                                     20

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                                              CONTINENTAL
                                              AEROSOL (JUNGE)
     0.2  —
     0.1
              5    10   15 20   30   40  50  60   70   80 85  90    95

               MASS SMALLER THAN  GIVEN DIAMETER (PERCENT)
Figure 5.   Average lead size distribution comparison,  with Junge's
           model for continental aerosols on log-probability paper.
           (Tabular information adapted from Robinson and Ludwig,  1964. )
                                 21

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city areas, while adults in  the  same  environment  show substantially lower
blood-lead concentrations  than do  children.

     Recent surveys of  several urban  environments show that there are sub-
stantial concentrations of lead  in the  dust  and dirt  on and near heavily
traveled roadways  (see  Table 2)  and in  residential areas (see Table 3).
The fallout of airborne lead from  automobile exhaust  and that from other
mobile and stationary sources creates a significant exposure hazard,  espe-
cially for children.  Dust and chips  from the deterioration of leaded paints
are also major contributors  to interior and  exterior  residential lead pollu-
tion.
         Table  2.

  Location
  Washington, D.C.


  Chicago
  Philadelphia


  Brooklyn
  Boston
  Vermont
  New York  City


  Detroit


  Philadelphia
   Various  U.S.
    cities
LEAD DUST ON AND NEAR HEAVILY TRAVELED ROADWAYS
 Sampling Site
 Busy Intersection
 Many Sites

 Near Expressway
 Near Expressway
 Near Expressway

 Near Expressway
 Near Expressway
 Near Expressway


 Street Dust

 Gutter (Low
  Exposure)
 Gutter (High
  Exposure)

 Highways and
  Tunnels
yg Pb/g
12,820
(4,000-8,000)

 6,000
 3,000-8,000
 1,000-2,500
   500-700

 2,000


   966-1,213

 1,507
   (270-2,626)
 3,262
   (280-8,201)
10,000-20,000
Authority

Lin-Fu (1973)
Calandra (1973)
Needleman, et al.,
   (1973)
   900-4*900    Lombardo (1973)
Fritch and
Prival, (1972)

Pinkerton, et al.,
   (1973)
Ter Haar, et al.,
   (1973)
Needleman, et al.,
   (1973)
Buckley, et al.,
   (1973)
   Netherlands
 Heavily Traveled     5,000
  Roads
                Rameau  (1973)
      Sayre,  et al.,  (in press)  considered house and hand dust as a potential
 source of lead exposure to young children.  Their findings showed a strong
 relationship between lead concentrations found on household surfaces and
 those found  on children's hands in the same households.   No significant
 correlation  could be made between the household dust-lead level and whether
 or not leaded paint  was available in the household. In addition, they found
 that inner-city children have higher mean blood-lead values than suburban
 children, and the lead content of dusts collected from the houses and hands
 of inner city children is significantly higher.
                                      22

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  Location
  Philadelphia
Table 3.  LEAD DUST IN RESIDENTIAL AREAS

     Sampling Site      yg Pb/g
  Boston and
   New York
  Brattleboro, Vt.
  Birmingham, Eng.

  New York City


  El Paso Smelter
  Philadelphia
     Classroom
     Playground
     Window Frames

     House Dust


     In Home


     In Home

     Middle Class
     Residential

     Smeltertown
     Dust at:
     0-1 Miles


     1-2 Miles


     2-3 Miles


      >4 Miles

     Urban Industrial

     Residential

     Suburban
 2,000
 3,000
 1,750

 1,000-2,000

   500-900

 5,000
   608-742
36,853
(2,800-103,750)

 2,726
  (100-84,000)

 2,234
  (100-29,386)

 2,151
  (200-22,700)
 3,855
  (929-15,680)
   614
  (293-030)
   830
  (277-1,517)
Authority

Needleman, et al.,
      (1973)
Needleman  &
Scanlon  (1973)

Darrow &
Schroeder  (1973)

Lombardo (1973)

Pinkerton, et al.,
     (1973)
                                                            Landrigan, et al.,
                                                                  (1974)
Needleman, et al.,
     (1974)
     Lead pollution at the soil surface level varies markedly, but it
generally decreases with distance from central urban areas, roadways, smelters,
power plants, painted buildings, and other sources of lead.  The results of
some recent studies documenting lead surface soil pollution are presented
in Table 4.

     Household paints containing more than 1% lead are very important con-
tributors to clinical lead poisoning and elevated blood-lead levels in
children.  This is especially true for older deteriorating houses where the
paint is chalking, flaking, and/or peeling, and young children between the
ages of 6 months to" 3 years are present.  The pica habit of these young
children, i.e., eating non-food items, accounts for the high ingestion rate
of leaded-paint particles and the consequent doses.
                                    23

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   Location

   El Paso smelter
    area
Table 4.  LEAD AT SOIL SURFACES

Locality         yg Pb/g         Authority
600 feet from     3,457
smelter
                Landrigan, et al.,
                     (1974)
   Midwest city
    survey
   San Diego

   San Francisco
   Los Angeles
Residential
Commercial
Industrial

City Park
City Park

City Park
 1,636
 2,413
 1,512

   194
   560
 3,357
Hardy (1971)
National Academy
of Sciences
      (1972)
   Adjacent to U.S.   Soil
    highways
                    160-540
                Seeley, et al.,
                      (1972)
   England
Soil
10,000
Barltrop & Strahlow
      (1973)
   High Sierra
    mountains
Soil
   9.2
Hirao & Patterson
      (1974)
     Although the ingestion of lead based paint chips by young children is
often the ostensible and/or actual cause of overt clinical lead poisoning,
these paint chips may have served only as a trigger for the acute symptoms
requiring immediate treatment.  These clinical cases may not have occurred
in the absence of pre-existing chronic high blood-lead concentrations
originating from airborne and/or settled dusts.  Paint chips are available
to young children especially in older, deteriorating houses that are
improperly maintained.

     Despite the existence of a Health Code limiting the level of lead in
household paint for over a decade, Finberg and Rosen (1973) showed that
significant lead can be found in vinyl acrylic paints.  Many of these paints
contained from 4 to 6 micrograms of lead per gram of paint despite the fact
that they were labelled for interior use.

     Lead has been found in the majority of food items tested throughout the
world.  Several investigations were made to determine the lead content of
typical diets for groups of adults and children.  These diets were considered
to be representative of the intake of the groups studied.  An excellent,
though unexpected, agreement was observed among the various groups' average
reported values in spite of their culinary differences.  Some of the typical
                                    24

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average daily intakes of lead which appeared in the literature are shown in
Tables 5,  6,  and 7.
                   Table 5.  LEAD IN DIET OF ADULT MALES
  Adults
  United Kingdom
  England
  England  (1,500
  Japan
  United States
  United States
  United States
  United States

  United States
  United States

  United States
  United States
  United States
  United States

  World Average
       Average pg Pb/day*
              274
              220
g)            200
              150
              300
              300
              330
              330

              270
              100-500

              300
              285
              300
              258

              440
Authority
Thompson (1971)
Mbnler-Williams  (1950)
Tolan  &  Elton  (1973)
Imamura (1967)
Kehoe (1961)
Kehoe (1963)
Patterson (1965)
Schroeder & Balassa
      (1961)
Parry-Howells (1971)
Schroeder & Tipton
      (1968)
Cholak & Bambach (1943)
Barley (1970)
Lewis (1966)
Schroeder & Balassa
      (1961)
Karhausen (1973)
  ^Assumes 2,000 g of food per day  (some British diets  assume  1,500 g).
     From a sampling of New York City diets in 1966  (Barley, 1970), an
interesting comparison can be made of the concentrations of lead in fresh
versus processed foods (Table 8).  Note the large increases in lead con-
centrations when fruits and vegetables are processed and when flour is  con-
verted into bakery products.  These increases in lead content during pro-
cessing are the result of such factors as contributions of lead from the
food handling machinery and from containers.
                                    25

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                Table 6.  DIET OF  15-20 YEAR OLD MALES
          (Food and Drug Administration 1973  Unpublished Data)
Food Product
Dairy  (milk-cheese-eggs)
Meat (fish-beef-poultry)
Grain and Cereal
Potatoes (fried-boiled-chips)
Leafy Vegetables
Legume Vegetables
Root Vegetables
Garden Fruits
  (tomatoes and cucumbers)
Fruits
Oil-Fats-Shortening
Sugar-Adjuvants
Beverages (tea-coffee-soda)
TOTALS
gms/day
ingested
756
290
369
204
59
74
34
88
217
52
82
697
2,922
gms/day
ppm lead
in food
Trace
0.015
0.012
0.004
0.054
0.265
0.131
0.108
0.031
0.15
0.008
0.004
0.782
ppm Pb
Ug Pb per
day ingested
Trace
4.4
4.4
0.8
3.3
19.6
4.5
9.5
6.7
0.8
0.7
2.8
57.4
yg Pb/day
                  Table  7.   LEAD IN DIET OF CHILDREN
   Age
Young Adult
2 Year Old
Youth (10 kg)
Youth (20 kg)
Youth (25 kg)
Youth (30 kg)
Italian Infant:
   4 Month Old
   6 Month Old
   9-12 Month Old
Infant
Infant
Infant
Ug Pb/day
   165
   133
   120
   155
   180
   210

   172
   224
   289
   100
   150
   165
        Authority
Chisolm & Harrison (1956)
Barltrop (1973)
Alexander, et al. (1973)
Lanzola, et al. (1973)
   ii         ti     ii
Kehoe, et al.  (1933)
Barltrop & Killala (1967)
Chisolm & Harrison (1956)
                                  26

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                Table 8.  LEAD IN FRESH AND PROCESSED FOODS
                    Adapted from table by Harley  (1970)
                 and from table by Tolan and Elton  (1973)
  Diet Category
  Vegetables
  Fruit
  Whole Grain Products
  Flour
  Macaroni
  Rice
  Bakery Products
  Meat
  Poultry
  Eggs
  Dairy Products
  Shellfish
  Fresh Fish
  Carrots
  Peas
  Corn
  Spinach
  Beef
  Cherries
  Baby Foods
     Fresh
mg/kg wet weight
     0.12
     0.07
     0.42
     0.30
     0.22

     0.31
     0.16
     0.02
     0.02
     0.01
     0.02
     0.23
     0.05 (jars)
     0.04 (jars)
   Processed
mg/kg wet weight
   0.44
   0.25
   0.13
   0.04
   0.08
   0.04
   0.39
   0.04
   0.22
   0.21
   1.22
   0.95
   1.20
   0.17 (cans)
   0.24 (cans)
     An on-going program in the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) currently
measures lead levels in 41 major food commodities including fluid milk and
nine baby foods.  In Fiscal Year 1975 the FDA will conduct two additional
total diet studies.  One will focus on the lead content of foods consumed
by the 6-month-old infant and the other will be concerned with the same
problem in the two-year-old toddler.  (The current FDA guideline for lead
in evaporated milk is 0.5 ppm).
     The analytical procedure which has been used to date by FDA (FDA, 1973)
in obtaining lead data is based on atomic absorption.  The FDA is readying
an anodic stripping voltametry (ASV) procedure which will probably be used
in future surveys involving heavy metals.
                                   27

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     The Children's Hospital in Washington, B.C. is currently surveying the
blood-lead levels of children in the inner city.  In support of this survey,
the United States Food and Drug Administration Baltimore Laboratory is
analyzing the food sources of these children for lead.

     The total diet survey conducted by  the FDA indicates that the average
daily intake of lead by a 15 to 20 year  old male is 57.4 yg/day.  Certain
assumptions have been applied to the data used to calculate this value in
an effort to compensate for inadequacies in the reported values.  If one
converts all values reported as "trace"  to 0.09 yg Pb, on the assumption
that 0.1 yg Pb would be the lowest reported value, then the average daily
intake increases to 159 yg Pb/day.  Furthermore, if all values reported as
"zero" are assumed to have the finite value 0.05 yg Pb, then the average
daily intake increases to 233 yg Pb/day. The conclusion based on the Fiscal
Year 1973 data is that the average daily intake of lead in the food by a 15
to 20 year old male is between 57 and 233 yg/day.*

     In a similar study, the Food and Drug Protectorate of Canada concludes
that the lead intake from food is about  180 yg Pb per day for a young adult.

     Although children ingest a lower total amount of lead, on a body weight
basis  (assuming 70 kg for the average man and 10 kg for the average one-year-
old child), the amount absorbed for the  child is greater, as discussed pre-
viously.

     Drinking water, on the average, contributes very small amounts of lead
to the body burden.  Very few people drink water containing more than 50 yg
Pb/liter.  Problem areas would primarily involve lead plumbing and lead-
glazed drinking vessels, particularly with acidic drinks.  For monitoring
purposes, water quality baselines should be established for potable water
supplies just prior to distribution, and trends in suspended and dissolved
lead should be evaluated.  Pathways of lead to the critical receptor via
water and other liquids are shown in Figures 6 and 7.

     The analysis of more than 1,500 samples of raw surface waters at more
than 100 locations across the United States from 1962 to 1967 indicated a
range of dissolved or colloidal lead concentrations  (i.e., those passing
through a 0.45-ym millipore membrane filter) of between none detectable and
90 yg/liter.  Only 23% of the samples yielded positive results.  The arith-
metic average was on the order of 10 yg  Pb/liter.  The average of the
positive results was 23 yg Pb/liter  (Kopp and Kroner, 1970).  In the 1970
      *This  information was provided in a personal communication from Mr. Paul
 Corneliusses  of  the FDA.   The assumptions discussed above were impressed on
 the  data in an attempt to counteract the effect  of dilution resulting  from
 the  combination  of several samples.

                                     28

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            |  SEEPAGE
to
vo
              GROUND
               WATER
                         I  RAINFALL  |
                                           CISTERN
  WATER
TREATMENT
            MISC. POINT &
              NON-POINT
              SOURCES
DISTRIBUTION
  SYSTEM
PLUMBING
DRINKING
VESSEL
-4
IORAL
INTAKE
                               WASTE WATER
                                 DISCHARGE
                                  Figure 6.  Pathways of Lead to a Receptor Via the Water Cycle

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         LIQUIDS  (MILK)
             FEED
             COW
              MILK
           PROCESSING
 AMBIENT
    AIR
 ENCLOSURE
LIQUIDS (OTHER THAN WATER & MILK)
                                        PACKAGING
                                        CONTAINERS
                                         STORAGE
                                         VESSELS
DRINKING
VESSELS
 ORAL
INTAKE
   FOOD,
   JUICES
CARBONATION
                RAW
             MATERIALS
           PROCESSING
                  T
               OTHER
             ADDITIVES
         Figure 7.   Pathways of Lead to a Receptor Via Liquids Other Than Water

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United States Geological Survey analysis of 720 samples of raw  surface
waters across the United States, lead in the dissolved or colloidal form
was found in 63% of them.  The range in the positive samples was from 1 to
greater than 50 yg/liter.  Lead occurred widely in the 6 to 50  yg/liter
range (USGS, 1970).  In areas of limestone and galena, waters are known to
contain lead in solution as high as 400 to 8,000 yg/liter (Kopp and Kroner,
1970).  This is highly unusual, however.

     Of 23 rainfall samples collected, concentrations of particulate
material plus dissolved lead as high as 490 yg/liter were obtained.  The
lead concentrations increased with nearness to highways and other sources
(Ettinger, 1965).

     A range of none detected to 62 yg/liter of dissolved or colloidal Pb
(the average was less than 10 yg/liter) was found in a 1962 survey of the
100 largest water supplies in the United States (Durfor and Becker, 1964).
A range of none detected to 60 yg/liter of dissolved or colloidal lead was
found-in samples from 544 water supplies in the United States in 1973.  The
majority of values were less than 10 yg/liter (Buckley, et al., 1973).

     Water standing in lead pipes exhibited as much as 920 yg/liter lead
(Kehoe, 1961).  No data are available on the lead contributed by water dis-
tribution systems other than that the interior of steel storage tanks is
often painted with lead chrornate paints.

     Hardy (1965) reported that beer contains 100 yg/liter of lead and wine
from 80 to 860 yg/liter.  These values are supported by data presented by
de Treville (1964) which show Cincinnati beer to range between  10 and 290
yg Pb/liter and wine between 50 and 1,510 yg Pb/liter.  Some of the data
cited in de Treville's report are given in Table 9.

     Processed milks in 1972 and 1973 were found to deliver up  to 100 yg
Pb/day to toddlers.  Fresh human milk and homogenized cow milk  were found
to contain no detectable lead (less than 0.5 yg/100 ml).  Table 10 contains
data on the concentration of lead in liquid milks (Lamm and Rosen, 1974).

     Cases of lead poisoning in humans have resulted from use of acidic
drinks with lead-glazed utensils.  One case resulted after a patient had two
years of habitual exposure to lead from drinking liquids with a pH of 2.7
from a glazed mug (Harris and Elsea, 1967).  Tests were made of the lead
contribution from a glazed mug when filled with chilled cola, with pH 2.7,
for varying time periods.  The cola before being poured in the  mug had a
lead concentration of 200 yg/liter.  After two minutes, about 3,000 yg/liter
of lead was leached from the mug; after two hours, the lead level was as
high as 6,800 yg/liter.  It was found that the lead contribution by lead-
glazed drinking vessels varies greatly with:  (1) the temperature at which
the glaze was fired; (2) the time period during which the drink remained in
the vessel; (3) the pH of the drink; and (4) the number of times the vessel
had been used previously.  As an instance of the influence of pH, it was
found that no lead was detected in water that was retained in the same mugs
which had contributed large concentrations to cola with a pH of 2.7 (Harris
and Elsea, 1967).

                                    31

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   Table 9.   LEAD CONTENT OF VARIOUS BEVERAGES, IN MILLIGRAMS PER LITER
                   (Information from de Treveille, 1964)

                                   Tea

          Tea (Ceylon), hand-picked (dry)                   0.02
          Tea leaves, import package lined
           with corroded lead foil (dry)                   43.2
          Tea (India), packed in tins                       1.8
          Tea (India), packed in lead foil                  2.4

                                   Beer

          Beer (Cincinnati)                              0.01-0.29
                           Grape Juice and Wine
          Grape Juice                                    0.04-0.06
          Wine                                           0.05-1.51
                            Liquors and Spirits
          Brandy (India)                                 0.05-0.06
          Rum (India)                                    0.024-0.057
          Dry Gin (India)                                    0
          County spirit (India)                             0.026
          Whisky (India)                                    0.027

                              Aerated Waters
          Lemonade                                          0.004
          Soda                                              0.004
                   Table 10.  LEAD IN NEW YORK AREA MILK
                  (Information from Lamm and Rosen, 1974)

                              Samples     Mean ± 1 s.d.         Range
Type of Milk     Sources     Analyzed    (yg Pb/100 ml)      (ug Pb/100 ml)

Evaporated
 (Skimmed)       2 Brands       11          6.0 ± 0.2            4-7

Evaporated
 (Whole)         2 Brands       15         11.0 ± 1.1            4-22

Infant formula:
 Concentrate     2 Brands        6          8.3 ± 0.9            4-12
 Ready to serve  2 Brands       30          3.3 ± 0.4            0-8
Homogenized cow
 milk            3 Brands       19             <0.50*

ftnnan Breast Milk 10 Women                       <0.50*
*Limit of detection of non-flame atomic absorption spectrometry method used
 in this study.

                                     32

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     A report demonstrated that pottery is capable of imparting as much as
7600 yg/liter of lead after an 8-hour acetic acid exposure  (Stek, 1974).
In another study, twenty-five percent of the earthenware gave 100 yg/liter
lead in a standard test  (Harris and Elsea, 1967).  In addition, a plastic
tank used to store soft water for 18 months imparted 500 yg/liter of Pb to
the water.  No lead was imparted to hard water by the same tank (Chancellor,
1960).

     The pesticide, lead arsenate, contributes in some places to the con-
tamination of our air, water, and food supplies via spray drift, fugitive
dust, agricultural run-off, and by systemic incorporation in and by residues
on 23 common fruits and vegetables.  This source is not as significant as it
once was due to a decline in its use.  However, residential districts near
agricultural areas using lead arsenate,  or on land previously used for orchard
crops, should be monitored.  Also, market-basket samplings should be made to
identify potentially harmful lead concentrations.

     The domestic production of lead arsenate in 1971 was 3,100 tons,* up
48% from 1970.  The 1971 production was down 14% from the average production
of the previous five years, i.e., 3,550 tons.  In 1971, the domestic dis-
appearance (contributions to environmental pollution) was 2,550 tons.  This
represents a decrease of 29% over the average of the previous five years
(Fowler, 1973).

     In 1972 domestic production of lead arsenate was 2,791 tons,  down 9.5%
from 1971; however, domestic disappearance was 2,512 tons, up 21% from 1971
(Fowler, 1974).

     A tolerance level of 7 parts per million combined lead has been
established for lead arsenate on the following 28 crops:  apples,  apricots,
asparagus, avocados,   blackberries, blueberries, boysenberries, celery,
cherries, cranberries, currants, dewberries, eggplant, gooseberries, grapes,
loganberries, mangoes, nectarines, peaches, pears, pepper, plums,  prunes,
quinces, raspberries, strawberries, tomatoes, and youngberries; and 1 part
per million on citrus crops (Code of Federal Regulations).

     The Office of Pesticide Programs (OPP), EPA, operates a soils monitor-
ing program.   The samples include both inner-city and suburban soils.  These
samples will be analyzed for lead and will continue to be available for re-
analysis in a soil bank maintained by OPP.

     All golf courses in the northeast and midwest were identified by the
OPP.  A random sampling of the soil from the greens and fairways was made
and the following lead levels were found in the soil (Yang, in preparation
1975).

  Depth Below Surface (cm)          Greens (ppm)           Fairways (ppm)

          0-4                       647.9                    83.4
          4-8   -                    238.9                    50.1
          8-12                       102.2                    30.3
                                    33
*1 ton = 2000 Ibs = 0.91 metric tons

-------
     The average application rate for golf courses is 294 pounds of lead
arsenate per acre.  It should be noted that the range of values for golf
course soils was 6 to 3,330 ppm of lead.

     Lead arsenate was used as an insecticide  in  the growing of tobaccos
until about 1950.  As a result of the changing patterns in pesticide usage,
tobacco has decreased from an average lead level  of 130 ppm in the 1950's
to 20 ppm in the 1960Ts and appears to have leveled off at 20 ppm in the
1970's (Buckley, et al.,  1973).

     An example of the acute effects of high blood-lead concentrations  in a
pregnant mother and her newborn infant are well illustrated in a case
reported by Palmisano, et al.,  (1969) in which these authors also state that
lead has a "devastating effect on reproduction and pregnancy since it most
commonly causes sterility or early spontaneous abortion."  It has been
clearly shown  that lead crosses the human plancenta and may cause untoward
effects in the fetus (Karlog and Mailer, 1968).   Around the beginning of
this century it was recognized that women employed in the lead trades often
produced liveborn infants who were small, weak, and neurologically damaged
(Cantarow and  Trumper, 1944; Angle and Mclntire,  1964).
CRITICAL  SOURCES

     Lead, which  is  found in the earth's  crust,  also  occurs naturally  in  the
atmosphere and hydrosphere as a result  of both physical  and chemical
processes.  Man's activities, of course,  introduced the  greatest  quantities
of  lead and lead  compounds into the atmosphere and hydrosphere.   For example,
lead or its compounds  can enter the environment  at any stage  during the
mining, smelting, processing, and use of  this metal and  its derivatives.
Additionally, lead is  stable and incrementally accumulates as a waste  or
contaminant.

     Increases in lead use have been on the order of  3%  per year  over  the
last decade,  and  the total annual consumption of lead in the  United States,
summarized in Table  11,  is approximately  1.3 million  short tons.  However,
most of this  lead is not in a form or use likely to pose an environmental
or  health threat. In  fact, over 40% of the annual consumption of lead comes
from recycling.

     Major sources of  lead causing or likely to  cause adverse environmental
or  health effects include exhaust from  the use of leaded gasoline and  other
fuels  as  oil  and  coal; the use of paint,  ink coloring, and other  pigments
containing lead;  the use of lead in treating, processing, and packaging food;
the use of lead in water pipes, ceramic pottery, batteries, and pesticides;
the use of lead as a stabilizer in the  manufacture of certain plastics; and
the mining, smelting,  processing, and terminal disposal  of lead-containing
materials.  These and  other sources bring large  quantities of lead  into man
and his environment  via air, water, and food.

     The  principal sources of atmospheric lead are listed in  Table  12.
Lead dusts entering  the upper and lower respiratory tract are in  the particle

                                     34

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size range of from less than 1 to greater than 10 micrometers.  Although
different particle size distributions and proportions emanate from these
various sources, the resulting size profile, after gravitational and atmos-
pheric interaction, is believed to be approximately a logarithmic normal
distribution.  Consequently, various sources of respirable airborne lead
ultimately yield a somewhat similar size distribution profile (Lee, et al.,
1968; Task Group on Lung Dynamics, 1966).
      Table 11.  LEAD CONSUMPTION IN THE UNITED STATES  (Short Tons)*
          (Information from National Academy of Sciences 1972)

              Uses                                  1968 Totals

          Metal Products                              915,500

          Pigments                                    109,734
          Chemicals*                                  262,526

          Coatings and Miscellaneous                   41,030
          GRAND TOTAL                               1,328,790
          *261,897 Tons are gasoline additives.
                 Table 12.  EMISSION SOURCES OF LEAD IN AIR
       (Information from U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Position
        on Health Implications of Airborne Lead, November 18, 1973.
        Environmental Lead and Public Health, Air Pollution Control
        Office, Publication No. AP-90, March 1971.)
                                                    Estimated Emissions
               Source                                 (Tons)*in 1968

        Gasoline Combustion                               181,000
        Coal Combustion                                       920

        Lead Alkyl Manufacturing                              810

        Primary and Secondary Smelting                        811
        Incineration of Solid Wastes                       11,000
        Other (pesticides, paint degrada-
        tion, construction materials, inks,
        chemicals, etc.)                                      755

        TOTAL      -                                       195,296
*1 ton = 2000 Ibs = 0.91 metric tons
                                    35

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     Patterns of lead emission to the atmosphere have changed in modern
times.  Emissions from coal burning and smelting have been checked by
improved industrial controls, but these decreases have been more than offset
by emissions from automobile exhaust fumes.  Today, about 98% of the air-
borne lead that can be traced to its source comes from combustion of gaso-
line  (National Academy of Sciences, 1972).  It is estimated that 66% to 75%
of the lead fuel additive is emitted into the atmosphere from motor vehicles,
and over one-half of this emission becomes widely dispersed.

     Automobiles are moving sources concentrated primarily in or near resi-
dential areas.  If the most critical receptors presently known are assumed
to be pregnant women and young children, and these receptors are also assumed
to be distributed throughout residential areas, it appears logical that
monitoring networks would be most efficacious in residential neighborhoods
immediately leeward of the more heavily traveled streets and adjacent to
major arterials.  A correlation which might have general applicability can
probably be established between traffic volume, distance from the traffic,
and exposure levels in any urban area.

     In addition, specialized monitoring stations are also desirable to cover
major fixed sources of respirable lead pollution such as smelters, public
incinerators, power plants, and agricultural areas using lead arsenate pesti-
cides.  Here, meteorological considerations would be important in properly
locating monitoring stations in order to determine nearby residential expo-
sure levels.

     In considering all routes of lead to the critical receptor, concern lies
in two areas:   (1)  total suspended particulates, and (2) dustfall containing
lead, either of which can be ingested and respired due to human and climatic
activity.  The first category is in the size range under 10 micrometers, and
the second category is in the range above 10 micrometers.  Concern also must
be given to particulate emissions from metallurgical processes, paint degra-
dation, building demolition, and other processes and operations which con-
tribute both to the general suspended particulate concentration and to more
localized dust concentrations.


QUANTITATIVE MATHEMATICAL MODELS

     A generalized model for a pollutant distribution which can be used for
lead is presented below.  In addition, submodels for various processes and
compartments are needed for the special problems of lead, and several of
these submodels have been developed for lead.

     A qualitative representation of process in the pollutant-environment-
receptor can be represented schematically in a pollution chain diagram.
Some notations are included in the diagram which are explained below.  This
diagram and the mathematical model were developed for the United States
Department of Health, Education, and Welfare by Lutz, et al., (1970).
                                     36

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                        Transport      Exposure      Population
           Sources  _^   Pathways   +     Rate    +    Exposure

                      V° Di(t) dt
     where  E .,  = the population exposure from pollutant i over time
                   tj to t£ through pathway j to man at location k

            S.,   = the time varying source strength of the pollutant i
                   at location k (It represents the amount of pollutant
                   released into the environment that could ultimately
                   become a stressor to the population.)

            p
             jk  = the transport pathway term for pathway j at location
                   k (It is a fraction, less than 1, representing the
                   environmental dilution processes from release at the
                   source until exposure of the population.)

            D.    = the exposure rate for the pollutant i (It includes
                   the exposure rate that man would be subjected to
                   from all modes of exposure and portals of entry.

     In the preliminary stage of the model, ordinary differential equations
are utilized.  Development of the model is an iterative process of exercising
the model in its preliminary stages, determining what changes are necessary,
and investigating mechanisms that better represent the system.  Most of this
involves more detailed submodels.  This iteration process includes sensi-
tivity analysis of the parameters of the model to determine how sensitive
the output of the model is to variations in the parameters of the model.

     In this study, the approach used to develop the model was to represent
the total transport of the pollutant from the source to an individual as a
first phase, with the subsequent distribution in several body organs of the
individual due to the principal modes of entry into the body - inhalation
and ingestion.

     A submodel for lead in the body describes the distribution of lead in
several body organs (lung, blood, bone, liver, and kidneys) due to intake
of lead from inhalation and ingestion (Lutz, et al., 1970).  While the model
is not a very detailed representation of the biological processes, the pre-
dictions of lead in the body organs were within the accuracy desired.  The
calculated blood-lead levels using the model were within a factor of two of
reported blood-lead levels.  The quantitative predictions of blood-lead


                                    37

-------
levels due to intake of lead by ingestion or inhalation were shown  to be
valid within the accuracy of this preliminary modeling effort.

     A submodel was also developed by Battelle  (Lutz, et al. , 1970)  for
young children having pica behavior and  ingesting abnormally high amounts of
lead as in paint chips.  Since ingestion of lead via foodstuffs was stated
to not vary significantly, no submodel for foodstuff ingestion was  developed.

     A model for lead distribution and movement through a watershed was
developed in the University of Illinois, Research Applied to Natural Needs
study on lead  (Rolf,  et al. , 1972).  This model divides the watershed into
terrestrial and aquatic subsystems or zones and into additional subsystems
based on degree of  lead exposure.  The model distributes the lead to nodes
that are connected  to the atmosphere, and the lead  contained in each node is
distributed as follows:


                            =  xi(t)   d±i Si
     where   y..   =  the quantity of lead moving from node i to  node j
              "^      during time period t

              x.   =  the quantity of lead in node  i

             d..   =  the flow,  relative to other branches  leaving i,
              1J      from i to  j

               n   =  the number of branches leaving a node *'

             s . .   =  a seasonal factor for branch ij at time  t   (The
                     seasonal factor is a step function to simulate a
                     nonlinear  function such as plant or animal  growth.)

     Once the relative flows between nodes (dij's) have been estimated,  this
 type of  model is highly versatile.  Each zone can be considered a separate
 unit and different systems can be modelled by proper arrangement of units
 and changing the internal configuration of nodes and branches.   This model
 was used to estimate future lead levels in the watershed  areas  of study.

     An  atmospheric lead transport submodel was developed and tested by
 Battelle (Lutz,  et al., 1970).  This model was tested using data on airborne
 lead concentrations in Cincinnati, Ohio, with lead in gasoline  as the  major
 source.   The atmospheric transport model did not provide  a very detailed
 representation of the atmospheric diffusion of lead; however, the predictions
 of  airborne lead concentrations using this model were within the accuracy
 required.   For an adult city dweller inhaling lead at an  average concentra-
 tion of  1.0 yg/m3 and ingesting 300 yg of lead daily via  foodstuffs, the
 predicted blood- lead level, from calculations using the mathematical model,
 was 17.6 yg/100  g blood.
                                     38

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     While the models and submodels were developed by the United  States
Department of Health, Education, and Welfare on a theoretical basis, they
were developed to simulate real-world interactions closely to the extent of
available data and knowledge.  The predictions of the mathematical model are
quantitative and are based upon a systematic utilization of basic data
available as compared to guesses or intuition.

     For the special problem of monitoring atmospheric lead from  automotive
exhaust, the described models do not provide sufficient detail to account
for the variability from sources such as urban streets.  This is  required to
develop a practical monitoring system, and this type of submodel  was develop-
ed during the workshop.  The submodel is based upon the work of Ott (1974)
and is similar to the approach of Gilsinn (1972).

     The problem of properly monitoring an atmospheric pollutant  concentra-
tion can be better defined if a conceptual framework is constructed.  The
purpose of such a framework is to facilitate the design of an overall net-
work which ultimately treats routes of exposure through all environmental
media.

     For purposes of this submodel the overall lead particulate concentra-
tion that remains suspended in air (non-setteable) in a particular urban
area is assumed to be comprised of four different components:

       (1)  Contribution from mobile sources,

       (2)  Contribution from stationary sources,

       (3)  Contribution from other cities, and
       (4)  Geophysical background contribution.

     The concentration measured at any location in the city and at any
moment of time represents the sum of these four components.  The  first two
contributions, the lead concentrations from mobile sources and from
stationary sources, vary greatly with locations within the urban  area while
the last two, because they are very thoroughly mixed in the atmosphere, do
not vary spatially across the city.

     This approach, which is referred to as "component analysis," treats
air quality at any location, C (x,y), as being the sum of these four
individual components:                             n
               CT(x,y)  =  C  + C  +.L  C  (x,y) +4  C  (x,y)
                T           G    I  1-1 -M±       3-1  Sj

     where     C_  =  total atmospheric lead concentration (yg Pb/m3)


               Cp. =  geophysical background concentration component
                G     (yg Pb/m3)
                                   39

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               C_  -  long-distance extra-urban background concentration
                      component (yg Pb/m3)

         CM (x,y)  =  component of lead concentration contributed by street
           i          i as a function of x and y distances from the street
                      (yg Pb/m3)

         Cg (x,y)  =  component of lead concentration contributed by station-
           j          ary source .3 as a function of x and y distances across
                      the city (yg Pb/m3)

     Figure 8 is a graphical representation of the equation.  The vertical
axis shows the atmospheric lead concentration  (yg Pb/m3), and the horizontal
axis shows distance across the city (km).  If effect, this figure provides
a typical "cross section" of lead concentration as a function of horizontal
distance  X.  The components of concentration given in the above equation are
depicted on this figure.  The total air-lead concentration  C   is the sum
of these components.

     Components  C   and  C   are treated as constants, since they do not
vary with distance.  Component  C (x,y)  is assumed to have many maxima,
one at each street.  In Figure 8, each street may be viewed as perpendicular
to the plane of the figure, with traffic flowing toward and away from the
observer.  Each of the narrow, tall maxima is the concentration "envelope"
contributed by the street.  The airborne lead concentration arising from
vehicular exhaust is highest in the immediate vicinity of the traffic,
dropping off rapidly with distance from the highway.  This concentration
component never quite reaches zero, however, because the contribution from
the next street or highway soon begins to have influence.  The height of
each maximum is a function of traffic volume (vehicles/hour), road configura-
tion, traffic acceleration, and micrometeorology.  The heights of the maxima
have been chosen to depict typical values.  This picture represents, of
course, only an "idealization."  In actual situations, the symmetrical
curves would be skewed somewhat due to the influence of wind.  (For simplic-
ity, this skewness has been omitted from the drawing.)

     The last term in the equation represents the concentration component
contributed by stationary sources of atmospheric lead.  In general, sta-
tionary sources (smelters, power plants, incinerators) are more varied than
mobile sources.  Furthermore, some cities may have more than one lead smelter
while other cities may have none.  Due to this variability, "specialized"
networks should be set up to monitor air-lead concentrations immediately
around each stationary source.  The distribution of these stations would
depend on the size and the nature of the source as well as local meteoro-
logical characteristics.  The purpose of a specialized network is to gather
data on the highest concentration to which members of the general public
surrounding this source might be exposed.  Because more than one stationary
source of atmospheric lead may be present in a given city, the last term in
the equation is shown as a summation term.  The concentration from any given
stationary source is, of course, a function of the horizontal distance from
this source and other factors.

                                    40

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ligPb/m3    -CROSS SECTION OF A  CITY-
30
28
26
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
 8
 6
 4
 2
 0
                                         FREEWAY
               MOBILE SOURCE
                 COMPONENT
                                                           STATIONARY
                                 DISTANCE km
GEOPHYSICAL & EXTRAURBAN  COMPONENT
                                                     .l  - 0.4 ug/rrv* )
              Figure 8.  Spatial Distribution (Suspended Fraction) of Lead Concentration
                       (Geometric Mean) in Air

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     If the purpose of the network is to monitor exposure of the general
population to the highest concentrations, it would be desirable to locate
monitoring sites where:   (1)  concentrations are highest, and  (2) large
numbers of people congregate for relatively long periods.  Thus, we are
interested in the joint occurrence of both high concentrations and large
numbers of people for long periods.  A  conceptual way to treat this problem
is to introduce the "population occupancy" function.  This function is the
product of the number of people at a given location in the city and the time
they spend at this location.  A hypothetical example of such a function is
shown in Figure 9  (solid curve) along with the total concentration distribu-
tion, i.e., the sum of the components in Figure 8  (broken curve).  Typical
units are "people-hours," and these data can be obtained from an in-depth
urban survey of population activity in  the urban area.   (Such a survey
probably would include aerial photography.)                        ~

     The joint occurrence of both high  atmospheric concentrations and high
population occupancy for  long periods of time at a given location would be
the basis for establishing a sampling station at that location.  Locations
where these two variables were jointly  large would be ranked.  High-volume
samplers would then be installed, along with cascade impactors in some
instances, at locations receiving the highest ranking.

     It should be noted that this suggested modeling approach does not take
into account the influence of resuspension of settled lead particles.  At
this time insufficient information prevents inclusion of this important con-
tribution.


BASIC RESEARCH REQUIREMENTS

     As a result of the review of the available literature and a considera-
tion of information requirements for the design of an integrated monitoring
system, many research requirements have been identified.  Some of the more
urgent research requirements for critical receptors and  transport pathways
are outlined in this section.

     1.  Research  on Critical Receptors

         a.  Conduct research on lead exposure to  children playing,
         eating, and in other behavior  with regard to lead intake
         from air, dust on hands, food, and other  contaminating
         methods.

         b.  Determine the contribution of lead from the mother to
         the newborn child.  This should include pathological  studies
         and blood-lead level determinations in stillborn and aborted
         fetuses,  particularly for brain and nerve damage in those with
         high blood-lead  levels.  Umbilical cord blood-lead level
         determinations are needed.

         c.  Information  on the respiratory physiology and ventilatory
         absorption, retention, and excretion of lead in the infant and


                                    42

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M9 Pb/m3
                    T
   36
   34
   32
   30
   29
   28
   26
   24
   22
   20
   18
   16
   14
   12
   10
   8
   6
   4
   2
   0
         DISTRIBUTION OF  'TOTAL'  LEAD CONCENTRATION
POPULATION  x TIME  (HYPOTHETICAL EXPOSURE)
                                 DISTANCE, km
     Figure 9. Hypothetical Exposure Cross Section to Total Atmospheric Lead
              in a Typical Urban Area

-------
    child is unavailable.   Research to define minimum and
    maximum daily rates of inspired lead under resting and
    various activity-level states is required.  No data exist
    on the relations between the particle size of airborne
    lead, ventilatory rates, and alveolar exchange, or the
    degree of respiratory absorption in children.  Existing
    information is largely a poor estimate based upon model
    information regarding suburban and rural children and
    adults compared to urban children and adults.

    d.  Solubility factors  (availability for absorption) should
    be elucidated for various pollutant compounds, such as lead,
    within the human body, particularly in children.  For example,
    the solubility of dusts and paint chips in digestive juices may
    be significantly different with consequently different gastro-
    intestinal absorption rates.

    e.  The effects of recent changes in recreational activities
    need to be assessed; for instance, jogging and bicycling in
    areas of heavy traffic and swimming in polluted rivers and
    lakes.  Additionally, research is needed to determine the
    most representative vertical sampling zone or profile for
    monitoring exposure levels.


2.  Research on Transport Pathways

    a.  Definitive models need to be developed to relate lead
    concentration, traffic volume, and distance from streets
    and highways as well as to determine the vertical lead
    distribution profile and the effects of local meteorology.

    b.  Research is needed on the resuspension of particulates
    in the household.  The extent to which settled particulates
    reenter the air in a household is poorly defined.  It may
    depend on house cleaning, human traffic, and other activities.
    This may vary from household to household.  Tracer studies
    could be undertaken to better define this phenomenon.

    c.  Multi-variate analyses are needed for heavy metals in air
    particulates  and gaseous air pollutants.  Multi-variate analyses
    would determine the correlations and relationships of these
    variables with each other for different cities and different
    site locations.  Carbon monoxide and lead concentrations are
    correlated with traffic volume, and effects observed may be due
    to lead alone or lead combined with carbon monoxide (and perhaps
    with other heavy metals).

    d.  Determine how lead is added to processed foods and recommend
    measures to reduce this source of dietary lead intake.
                               44

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RESEARCH MONITORING REQUIREMENTS

     In addition to basic research, which develops concepts and finds under-
lying natural mechanisms, there is also a need to apply the basic research
results to specific and highly individualistic situations.  In order to do
this, very specific information is required about «ach situation.  Much of
the information needed to implement monitoring system designs, both current
and hypothetical, is unavailable.  The following section outlines the
various monitoring research requirements foreseeable for an integrated mon-
itoring system applied to lead.

     1.  Research on Critical Receptor

         a.  Research monitoring of blood-lead levels and other
             parameters in children is required in areas of high
             levels of lead in the air and in dustfall to determine
             more accurately their part in childhood plumbism.

         b.  Research monitoring is required on blood-lead levels
             in expectant mothers and new mothers in areas with high
             exposure risk to lead.  Correlations should be made
             between mothers'blood-lead levels and that of newborn
             infants.

     2.  Research on Transport Pathways

         a.  Research monitoring should be conducted in critical target
             cities to monitor lead in air at 1 meter above the surface
             in inner city areas, near freeways, in heavy traffic, near
             gasoline stations and bus stops, and inside of highly
             exposed houses.

         b.  Lead in dustfall should be measured in the same areas as
             above.

         c.  Research monitoring is required to test and verify models
             which would relate lead concentration, traffic volume, and
             distance from streets and highways.  There is evidence that
             the highest atmospheric lead concentrations occur very close
             to streets and highways, decreasing rapidly as distance from
             the highway increases.  Therefore, mathematical relationships
             (with narrow confidence intervals) must be developed which
             would ultimately enable the concentration very near streets
             to be estimated for highways in any given city when just the
             traffic volumes are known.

         d.  Vertical profiles should be determined for airborne lead con-
             centrations.  Monitoring instruments often are located at very
             different heights.  Therefore, it is necessary to fully document
             the change in lead concentrations with elevation.  A detailed
             microscale monitoring research investigation is recommended for
             the purpose.
                                     45

-------
       e.   A relationship should be established between outdoor air-
           borne lead and indoor airborne lead.  Most members of the
           general public, including critical receptors, spend most
           of their time indoors.  Thus, more accurate models are
           needed which relate outside lead concentrations to inside
           lead concentrations.  These can be established by an in-
           tensive indoor/outdoor monitoring research study using
           houses in different locations, both near and far from
           streets.

       f.   Research monitoring should be conducted around stationary
           sources of lead pollution such as power plants (especially
           those burning coal which has a high heavy-metal content),
           incinerators, factories, or smelters when these are near
           high population or residential areas.

       g.   Air-lead concentrations and blood-lead concentrations of
           drivers in traffic should be measured.  Drivers and passen-
           gers in automobiles may receive high air-lead exposures;
           thus, comprehensive data are needed on lead concentrations
           inside vehicles moving in traffic.   (These vehicles should
           include school busses).  Estimates should be made of the
           integrated average concentrations for persons spending 2
           to 8 hours in traffic.

       h.   Information documenting values of absorbable lead within
           foods consumed in the diets of Americans, including all
           subgroups and subcultural dietary considerations, is needed.
           Population groups (especially children) likely to consume
           large quantities of potentially high-lead content foods and
           beverages should be determined.

           Diets disproportionately composed of foods that are particu-
           larly prone to contain or carry lead (e.g., legumes, fruits,
           shellfish) should be monitored to establish base lines and/or
           trends.

       i.   Many older sections of cities have lead water pipes.  These
           should be identified and the water monitored to obtain exposure
           data for this source.
DESIGN OF AN INTEGRATED MONITORING SYSTEM

     All people are exposed to environmental lead, and practical considera-
tions must prevail in establishing a monitoring system.  It is, therefore,
necessary to rank the probable receptors according to environmental, physio-
logical, and behavioral criteria.  In the case of lead, clinical evidence
overwhelmingly indicates the young urban child as the most critical receptor.
This may be due primarily to the combination of behavioral patterns and
the increased availability of environmental lead.  Additionally, some recent
evidence also indicates that the child may absorb 5 to 10 times more lead and

                                    46

-------
suffer adverse effects from lead at lower blood concentrations than adults
do.

     Considerable scientific data exist about lead in numerous disciplinary
fields.  However, a marked deficiency of respective intercommunication
between disciplines and the subsequent interpretation and analysis of these
data remains at the present time.

     It is strongly recommended that an interdisciplinary team approach be
utilized as a part of any new monitoring system design.  Computer systems
should be used.  Computer systems should be envisioned and programmed prior
to the onset of monitoring for correlative and objective analysis of all
information to be gathered.  Such an information system should permit future
modification, growth, and reorientation for continued use and cost benefit.

     When the design model is complete, feasibility testing is recommended
for this monitoring system in several representative United States commu-
nities as soon as practicable.  Such an opportunity to correlate inter-
disciplinary efforts can be utilized to obtain the needed dependent extra-
polation from studies performed on adults.

     It is technically feasible to design an integrated monitoring system
for various pollutants after study of the variables and assignment of
tentative priorities.  An integrated monitoring system designed on the basis
of modifications to a lead model system would probably have general appli-
cability because lead is universally prevalent in air, water, and food cycles.
                             IV.  CONCLUSIONS

     As a result of an analysis and review of the concept of an integrated
monitoring system for pollutants, using the test case of lead, the following
conclusions are presented:

     1.  The concept of identifying critical receptors, transport path-
     ways, and sources appears to be a valuable method for developing
     more efficient monitoring.

     2.  Design of a monitoring system which will provide usable informa-
     tion directly for control of critical sources is very valuable.

     3.  The concept provides a framework for logically organizing exist-
     ing information and provides a means of analysis to determine missing
     information.

     4.  Appropriate models appear to be very useful for quantifying the
     relative importance of various factors, especially major transport
     pathways.  More work is needed in evaluating and actually using and
     testing models..

     5.  The concept and models provide the basis for designing basic
     research and research monitoring programs to provide needed quanti-
     tative data.

                                    47

-------
     6.   Lead was a suitable pollutant to use as a test case, and the
     criteria used for selecting it for this purpose appear valid.  Many
     gaps were discovered in the data on lead.

     7.   It is recommended that the evaluation of the integrated monitoring
     concept be continued as follows:

         a.  Review mathematical models and use the data for lead
             assembled in this workshop in the model and submodels
             selected.  Test the models, and determine the quantita-
             tive data still needed for lead.

         b.  Use another test-case pollutant for further evaluating
             the concept of the integrated monitoring system.  Another
             test case could be the cholinesterase monitoring system
             for organophosphates used by the Department of Defense.


                      V.  PARTICIPANTS IN THE WORKSHOP

VISITING PANEL PARTICIPANTS

     Dr. J. Julian Chisolm, Jr., Baltimore City Hospitals, Baltimore,
Maryland
     Dr. Henry Enos, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C.
     Mr. Willis B. Foster, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington,
D.C.
     Mr. William Henry, Battelle Memorial Institute, Columbus, Ohio
     Dr. Dale W. Jenkins, National Institute of Scientific Research, San
Diego, California
     Dr. Morris M. Joselow, New Jersey Medical School, Newark, New Jersey
     Dr. Harold Lubin, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio
     Dr. Wayne R. Ott, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C.
     Dr. Michael B. Rabinowitz, Institute of Geophysics, University of
California, Los Angeles, California
     Mr. William T. Sayers, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington,
D.C.
     Dr. Paul Tompkins, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle
Park, North Carolina
                                     48

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LOCAL PANEL PARTICIPANTS

(All from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Environmental Monitoring
and Support Laboratory, Las Vegas, Nevada)
     Mr. Vernon E. Andrews
     Dr. Delbert S. Earth
     Dr. Joseph V. Behar
     Dr. Stuart C. Black
     Mr. Wayne A. Bliss
     Dr. Maxwell E. Kaye
     Dr. Robert R. Kinnison
Mr. Victor W. Lambou
Mr. Jerry J. Lorenz
Mr. Leslie G. McMillion
Mr. George B. Morgan
Mr. Alan Peckham
Mr. Edward A. Schuck
Dr. Richard E. Stanley
Dr. William W. Sutton
                                    49

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                                    55

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                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
  EPA-600/4-76-018
                             2.
                                                           3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION-NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
  DESIGN OF POLLUTANT-ORIENTED INTEGRATED MONITORING
  SYSTEMS   A Test Case:  Environmental Lead
                                                           5. REPORT DATE
                                                              April 1976
                                                           6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHORIS)
  Workshop participants
  Dr.  Dale W. Jenkins, Editor
                                                           8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
   Environmental Monitoring and Support Laboratory
   U.S.  Environmental  Protection Agency
   P.  0. Box 15027
   Las Vegas, Nevada   89114
                                                           10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.

                                                              1HD620
                                                           11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                                              68-03-0443
 12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS

   Same as above
                                                           13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                              Interim
                                                            14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                                            EPA-ORD Office of Monitoring
                                                            and Technical  Support
 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
   This report was  edited by Dr. Dale W. Jenkins,  National Institute  of  Scientific
   Research, Rancho Santa Fe, CA 92067,  a  consultant under contract  to EPA.
 16. ABSTRACT
           It is necessary to assure that monitoring measurements are directly
   related to the  population of highest risk and that the major sources  of pollutants
   are clearly identified and quantified.   An integrated monitoring  system is a
   systems approach for providing the  information necessary to permit efficient
   control of those sources of pollutants causing major threats to the population
   of highest risk.   A "Workshop for the Design of a Pollutant-Oriented  Integrated
   Monitoring System" convened by EPA  in March 1974 summarized the elements of
   such a systems  approach and discussed those information needs yet to  be
   satisfied by basic monitoring research.
17.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                              b.lDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                                                         c. COSATI Field/Group
   Environmental biology
   Mathematical  models
  *Monitoring
   Operations  research
                                                Pollutant-oriented
                                                  monitoring systems
                                                Environment simulations
                           06F
                           12A,B.
                           14F
                                                                         21. NO. OF PAGES
                                                                             62
18. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT
  RELEASE TO PUBLIC
19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)
  UNCLASSIFIED
                                              20. SECURITY CLASS (Thispage)
                                                 UNCLASSIFIED
                                                                         22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                                                               691- 216-1976

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