United States
            Environmental Protection
            Agency
           Environmental Research
           Laboratory
           Athens GA 30605
EPA-600 5-79-007a
August 1979
            Research and Development
c/EPA
Alternatives for
Reducing
Insecticides on
Cotton and Corn

Economic and
Environmental
Impact

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                 RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES

 Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental
 Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate-
 gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en-
 vironmental technology. Elimination of traditional  grouping was consciously
 planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
 The nine series are:

       1.  Environmental Health  Effects Research
      2.  Environmental Protection Technology
      3.  Ecological Research
      4.  Environmental Monitoring
      5.  Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
      6.  Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR)
      7.  Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development
      8.  "Special" Reports
      9.  Miscellaneous Reports

 This report  has been assigned to the  SOCIOECONOMIC ENVIRONMENTAL
 STUDIES series. This series includes research on environmental management,
 economic analysis, ecological  impacts, comprehensive planning  and fore-
 casting., and analysis methodologies. Included are tools for determining varying
 impacts of alternative policies; analyses of environmental planning techniques
 at the regional, state, and local  levels; and approaches to measuring environ-
 mental quality perceptions, as well as analysis of ecological and economic im-
 pacts of environmental protection measures. Such topics as urban form, industrial
 mix, growth policies, control, and organizational structure are discussed in terms
 of optimal environmental performance. These interdisciplinary studies and sys-
 tems analyses are presented in forms varying from quantitative relational analyses
 to management and policy-oriented reports.
This document is available to the public through the National Technical Informa-
tion Service, Springfield, Virginia 22161.

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                                            EPA-600/5-79-007a
                                            August 1979
     ALTERNATIVES FOR REDUCING INSECTICIDES
              ON COTTON AND CORN:
       ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
                       by

                 David Pimentel
               Christine Shoemaker
                  Eddy L. LaDue
               Robert B. Rovinsky
                 Noel P. Russell
               Cornell University
              Ithaca, New York 14850
              Grant No. R802518-02
               Project Officer

                Thomas E. Waddell
Technology Development and Applications Branch
        Environmental Research Laboratory
              Athens, Georgia 30605
        ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LABORATORY
       OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
      U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
              ATHENS, GEORGIA 30605

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                                DISCLAIMER

      This report has been reviewed by the Environmental Research Laboratory,
U.S. Environmental  Protection Agency, Athens, Georgia, and approved for pub-
lication.  Approval does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect
the views and policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, nor
does mention of trade names or commercial products constitute endorsement
or recommendation for use.

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                                  FOREWORD

    : Environmental protection efforts are Increasingly directed towards
preventing adverse health and ecological effects associated with specific
compounds of natural or human origin.  As part of this Laboratory's research
on the occurrence, movement, transformation, impact, and control of
environmental contaminants, the Technology Development and Applications
Branch develops management and engineering tools for assessing or controlling
toxic substances in the environment.

     The toxicity and persistence of pesticides and their decomposition
products are problems of major importance to those concerned with environ-
mental quality.  Because of widespread pesticide pollution and because of
high economic costs of pesticide controls, alternate ways of controlling
insect pests should be considered.  This report analyzes various insect
control strategies for two important agricultural crops and estimates the
economic benefits and costs of each program as an aid to environmental
decision-makers and research planners.
                                  David W. Duttweiler
                                  Di rector
                                  Environmental Research Laboratory
                                  Athens, Georgia
                                     m

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                                 ABSTRACT

      To develop an analysis of alternative insect control technologies, data
on current, potential, and future insect control techniques on cotton and
corn were assembled using information provided by 31 leading entomological
specialists in 29 states.  Cotton and corn were selected for the analysis
because 64% of all the insecticide in U.S. agriculture is applied to these two
crops.  The insecticide levels and application costs supplied by the entomo-
logical experts, plus estimates of the other costs involved with various in-
sect control strategies, indicate that many insect control strategies that
may significantly reduce insecticide use on cotton and corn may be more eco-
nomical than strategies currently being used.

     An analysis  of alternative insect control technologies in corn revealed
that few opportunities exist to employ alternative strategies because only
about  1 Ib  of*insecticide is applied per acre.  The prime pest on corn is
the rootworm complex  and the practical alternative control is crop rotation.
Employing rotations would reduce the quantity of insecticide used in corn by
about  71%,  but this would be accomplished at an increased annual cost of
nearly $90  million.

     Cotton is currently treated an average of about 4.4 times with about
13.3 Ibs of insecticide per acre per season.  Several alternative technolo-
gies are available for reducing the large quantity of insecticide applied
to cotton.  If the United States adopted various alternate insect control
technologies for  cotton  in  regions where feasible, the reduction in number
of treatments  and insecticide  used per acre per season would be as follows:
a scouting  program reduced  the number of treatments by 1.6 and insecticide
by 4.8 Ibs; a  diapause/scouting program reduced treatments by 3.2 and
insecticide by 10.2  Ibs; trap  crop/scouting program reduced treatments by
3.8 and insecticide  by 10.9 Ibs; a short season/scouting program reduced
treatments  by  3.9 and insecticide by 11.7 Ibs;  a resistant/scouting
program reduced treatments  by  4.8 and insecticide by 14.4 Ibs; and a resistant/
short  season/scouting program  reduced treatments by 5.4 and 16.2 Ibs.

      Detailed  static and dynamic  analyses  of insect control strategies for
cotton and  corn were run and  information  was  provided on  economic costs,
insecticide usage, .acreage  utilized,  and  regional changes  in production.
An  important  finding with cotton  was  that selecting the most economical
control strategy in  each region  resulted  based  on a static analysis,in an
annual reduction  in  insect  control costs  of  $81 million and also reduced
total  insecticide usage  by  about  40%.

     A significant finding  was that  if cotton production could be allowed
to shift naturally in the nation,  insecticide use and cotton production
costs  would be greatly  reduced.   Cotton production would shift from the

                                     iv

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southeast and far west into Texas, Oklahoma,  and the Delta states.   This
implied that insecticide use in cotton could  be reduced more by allowing
regional shifts in production than by adopting scouting or any other insect
control strategy.  The high level of insecticide use and associated environ-
mental pollution appears to have been an externality of U.S. Government
allotment programs.

     This report was submitted in fulfillment of Grant No. R802518-02 by
Cornell University under the sponsorship of the U.  S.  Environmental
Protection Agency.  This report covers the period April 1975 to February
1977, and work was completed as of February 1977.

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                                 CONTENTS
Foreword	    iii
Abstract	     iv
Figures	   viii
Tables   	     ix
Acknowledgments  	    xii
Introduction   	      1
Summary and Conclusions  	      7
Methods	     10
Results	     19
     Analysis of Insect Control Technologies	     19
     Static Analysis   	     29
     Dynamic Analysis  	     39
Discussion   	     64
References   	     68
Appendix.  Cotton and Corn Insect Control Alternatives 	     71
                                    VII

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                                 FIGURES
Number                                                                Page
  1      Estimated amount of pesticide produced in the United States  .   2
                                    viii

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                                    TABLES


Number                                                                   Page

     I   Some Examples of Percentages of Crop Acres Treated,
         of Pesticide Amounts Used on Crops and of Acres Planted
         to this Crop	3

    II   Comparison of Annual Pest Losses in Agriculture for
         the Periods 1904, 1910-35, 1942-51, and 1951-60 and  an
         Estimate of Losses for 1974	4

   III   Entomological Specialists for Major Cotton and Corn
         Producing States Who Aided in this Investigation .  	  11

    IV   Linear Programming Tableau for the PESTDOWN Model      "
         Used in the Dynamic Analysis	17

     V   The Average Number of Insecticide Treatments Made  per
         Acre on Certain Cotton Acreage During Each Season  and
         the Total Quantity of Insecticide Used for Current,
         Potential, and Future Pest Control Alternatives  	  20

    VI   Cost of Trap Crops per acre of Cotton Excluding Change
         in Insecticide and Insecticide Application Costs 	  23

   VII   Effect of Implementation of Cotton Insect Control
         Alternatives on Insect Control Costs 	  31

  VIII   Effect of Implementation of Cotton Insect Control
         Alternatives on Insecticide Use  	  34

    IX   Costs and Benefits Resulting from the Nationwide
         Implementation of Insect Control Alternatives  	  38

     X   Insecticide Use Resulting from the Nationwide
         Implementation of Insect Control Alternatives  	  40

    XI   The Use of Insecticide in Cotton Utilizing Current
         Alternative Insect Control Strategies During the
         Short Run	43

   XII   Total Production and Production Costs for Various  Crops
         When Current Alternative Insect Control Strategies are
         Employed in Cotton During the Short Run	  44

                                      ix

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Number                                                                   Page


 XIII   Distribution of Cotton Production in Different Consuming
        Regions Utilizing Current Alternative Insect Control
        Strategies During the Short Run  	  45

  XIV   The Use of Insecticide in Cotton Utilizing Current
        Alternative Control Strategies During the Long Term 	  47

   XV   Total Production Costs for Various Crops When Current
        Alternative Insect Control Strategies are Employed in
        Cotton During the Long Run	  48

  XVI   Distribution of Cotton Production in Different Consuming
        Regions Utilizing Current Alternative Insect Control
        Strategies During the Long Run	  49

 XVII   The Use of Insecticide in Cotton Utilizing Future
        Alternative Insect Control Strategies During the
        Short Run	  50

XVIII   Total Production and Production  Costs for Various
        Crops When Future Alternative Insect Control Strategies
        are Employed in Cotton During the Short Run	,  ,  51

  XIX   Distribution of Cotton Production in Different Consuming
        Regions Utilizing Future Alternative Insect Control
        Strategies During the Short Run  	  52

   XX   The Use of Insecticide in Cotton Utilizing Future
        Alternative Insect Control Strategies During the Long Run  ...  53

  XXI   Total Production and Production  Costs for Various Crops
        When Future Alternative Insect Control Strategies are
        Employed in Cotton During the Long Run	  54

 XXII   Distribution of Cot'ton Production in Different Consuming
        Regions Utilizing Future Alternative Insect Control
        Strategies During the Long Run	  55

XXIII   The Use of Insecticide in Cotton and Corn Utilizing
        Current and Future Alternative Insect Control Strategies
        in Cotton During the Short Run for Export Levels of Low,
        Medium, and High	  55

 XXIV   Total Production and Production  Costs for Various Crops
        When Current and Future Insect Control Strategies are
        Employed in Cotton During the Short Term at Low, Medium,
        and High Exports	  58

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Number                                                                 Page


   XXV   Distribution of Cotton Production in Different Consuming
         Regions Utilizing Current and Future Insect Control
         Strategies During the Short Run at Low,  Medium and High
         Export Levels 	   59

  XXVI   The Use of Insecticide in Corn Utilizing Current and
         Future Alternative Insect Control Strategies on Corn and
         Cotton During the Short Run	60

 XXVII   Total  Production and Production Costs for Various Crops
         When Current or Future Alternative Insect Control
         Strategies are employed on Corn and Cotton During the
         Short Run	61

XXVIII   Distribution of Corn Production in Different Consuming
         Regions Utilizing Current and Future Alternative Insect
         Control Strategies During the Short Run  	   62

  XXIX   Amount That Could be Spent on Research for Resistance
         and Short Season Cotton Varieties 	   66
                                     XI

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                                 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS


      We would like to thank the following entomologists for their cooperation
 and assistance with this project:  Floyd R. Gilliland, Jr., Roy J. Ledbetter,
 Theo F- Watson, Leon Moore, Charles G. Lincoln, Louis A. Falcon, Nick Toscano,
 T. Donald Canerday, Herbert Womack, L.D. Newsom, Dan F. Glower, Fowden G.
 Maxwell, F- Aubrey Harris, Flernoy G. Jones, Joe Ellington, R.L. Robertson,
 Don C. Peters, Jerry H. Young, Kenneth N. Pinkston, Chin-Choy, Vernon R.
 Eidman, L.M. Sparks, Allen Chambers, Raymond E. Frisbie, John R. Strayer,
 William Luckmann, Donald E. Kuhlman, Thomas Turpin, Harold J. Stockdale, H.
 LeRoy Brooks, Del Gates, W.W. Gregory, Jr., Robert F. Ruppel, Huai C. Chiang,
 David M. Noetzel, Mahlon L. Fairchild, George W. Thomas, Robert L. Stoltz,
 William H. Kearby, Armon J. Keaster, Z.B. Mayo, A,A. Muka, Robert L. Robertson,
 Gerald J. Musick, Robert E. Treece, David D. Walgenbach, James W. Apple,
 Christian C. Burkhardt.

      We would also like to thank Tom Waddell of EPA's Environmental  Research
Laboratory in Athens, Ga., who read the final draft report and gave nany help-
ful suggestions.

      We are also indebted to Kenneth Hood of EPA's Office of Ecological
Effects for his many helpful suggestions in the development of the research
on this project.
                                       xii

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                                  INTRODUCTION
     Since 1945, production of synthetic  pesticides  has grown to over  1.4
billion pounds annually (Figure 1)  and  more  than  half  this amount is
applied to agricultural crops  (Table  I).   Recent  estimates of crop  losses
due to insect, pathogen, and weed pests are  about $18.2 billion or  33% of
our Crops in spite of all  pest controls (Table  II).  According to survey
data collected during past decades, crop  losses due  to insects increased
about 83% from 1942 to 1974 (Table II).  Plant  disease losses during the
same period increased 14%, while weed losses  declined  42%.

     Another substantial loss  of crops  occurs post-harvest.  Losses OT
stored foods to insects, rodents, and microorganisms are estimated  to be
about 9% (USDA, 1965).  In the U.S. a total  of  39% (33% + 9% of the
remainder) of our food supply  is lost to  pests  during  the pre- and  post-
harvest periods.

     Although the overall  percentage  of crop losses  to insects has  in-
creased, as mentioned, despite the application  of insecticides, important
advances have been made in reducing insect losses  in some crops.  For
example, losses in yield and quality  from potato  insects declined from
22% in 1910-35 (Hyslop, 1938), to 16% in  1942-51  (USDA, 1954), and  to 14%
in 195.1-60 (USDA, 1965).  This reduction  is  expected,  considering the
effectiveness of insecticides  in controlling the  major potato insect pests.
In Minnesota, insecticides are reported from 1945 to 1975 to have contri-
buted to doubling the yields (D.M.  Noetzel,  University of Minnesota, letter,
1976).

     In contrast, losses in apples caused primarily  by codling moth and
apple maggot generally have not declined  with increased use of organic
insecticides.  A 10.4% loss in yield  and  quality  was reported for the
period 1951-60 (USDA, 1965).  This loss pattern reflects not only the highe^
quality standards for salable  fruit but also a  possible decline in  sanita-
tion and other cultural controls formerly practiced  in orchards for control
of these pests.

     According to USDA estimates, insect  losses also have been increasing
in a major grain crop, corn.  A 3.5%  loss was reported for the period
1942-51 (USDA, 1954) and 12.0% loss for the  period 1951-60 (USDA, 1965).
Factors contributing to increased corn  losses due to insects include the
continuous culture of corn on  the same  land  year  after year (increasing
rootworm populations and attack) in some  cases  planting of corn types
susceptable to attack by insects (e.g., corn  borer)  rather that resistant
corn types, and the use of herbicides such as 2,4-D which increases pest
problems on corn (Oka and Pimentel, 1976).
                                      1

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   14001
   12001
   1000|
T)
C

o   800|
Q_
 cj  6001
    400
    200
         1947  50     55      60

                            Years-
65    70   75
     Figure 1.  Estimated amount of pesticide produced in United
              States (USDA,  1971; Fowler and Mahan, 1975).

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 Table  I.  Some exan^ples of percentages of  crop acres  treated, of pesticide
          amounts used on crops,  and  of acres planted to this crop  (USDA,
          1968; 1970; 1975a).

Crops
Non-Food
Cotton
Tobacco
Food
Field Crops
Corn
Peanuts
Rice
Wheat
Soybeans
Pasture Hay
& Range
Vegetables
Potatoes
Fruit
Apples
Ci trus
Insecticides Herbicides
% Acres % Amount % Acres % Amount
NA
61
77
NA
NA
35
87
35
7
8

0.5
NA
77
NA
91
88
50
47
3
HA
NA
17
NA
NA
NA
2

3
8
NA
13
6
2
NAa
82
7
NA
NA
79
92
95
41
68

1
NA
51
NA
35
22
NA
6
NA
NA
NA
41
3
2
7
g

9
5
NA
NA
NA
NA
Fungicides % of Total
% Acres % Amount Crop Acres
<0.5
4
7
<0.5
NA
1
85
0
0
?

0
NA
49
NA
67
58
NA
1
NA
NA
19
NA
4
NA
NA
NA

NA
25
12
NA
28
13
1.26
1.11
0.11
98.74
NA
7.43
0.16
0.22
6.11
4.19

68.40
NA
0.16
NA
0.07
0.08
All Crops            6        54       17         36          0.9      10       100

 not available

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 Table  II.  Comparison  of annual pest  losses  in agriculture for the periods
           1904,  1910-35,  1942-51,  and  1951-60 and an estimate of losses
           for 1974.

Insects

1974C
1951-606
1942-51 9
1910-35h
1904k
$a
7.2
3.8
1.9
0.6
0.4
*b
13
12.9
7.1
10.5
9.8
Diseases
$a
6.6
3.6
2.8
NA1"
NA
%b
12
12.2
10.5
NA
NA
Weeds
$a
4.4
2.5
3.7
NA
NA
%b
8
8.5
13.8
NA
NA
Total
$a
18.2
9.9
8.4
NA
NA
Loss
%b
33
33.6
31.4
NA
NA
Potential
Production
$a
d
55
29. 5f
26.7
5.T3
4.1
 aBillion dollars
  Percentage of estimated dollar crop losses on a crop-by-crop  basis.
  Estimated based upon discussions with various pest control  specialists  in
  different parts of the United States.
 dUSDA, 1974
 eUSDA, 1965
  Pest losses [for 1960] + Actual Crop Production [for 1960  (USDA, 1961)] =
  Potential Crop''Production $9.9 billion + $19.6 billion  = $29.5 billion
 9USDA, 1954
 hHyslop, 1938
 *Not available
JIn&ect losses and crop production estimates for 1935 (USDA, 1936)
kMarlatt, 1904

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     Cotton losses to insect pests in spite of all  control  measures  are
estimated to he 19% (USDA, 1965).   Without any insecticide  used  it was
estimated that cotton losses would increase to about  31%  (Pimentel,  1973;
Pimentel and Shoemaker, 1974).   To hold insect losses at  an estimated 19%
for cotton and an estimated 12% for corn,  about 200 million pounds of
insecticides are applied to these  2 crops  (USDA, 1970;  1975a).   This amounts
to about 64% of all the insecticides used  in agriculture  (USDA,  1970; 1975).
Of all the acres treated, corn, sorghum, and cotton represent 63% of the
cropland area treated (USDA, 1975a).

     The total value of these insecticide  applications, including materials
plus application costs, totals  nearly a half billion  dollars.  This
represents a significant cost in cotton and corn production.

     In addition to the economic costs, there is an important environmental
cost.  The available evidence suggests that current methods of pesticide
use are a hazard to a few species  of birds and several  species of fishes
and beneficial insects (Pimentel,  1971).  The full  extent of the damage to
the life system (biota) from the use of pesticides  is difficult  to assess
because the investigations have involved less than  1% of  the estimated
200,000 species of plants and animals existing in the United States.

     We should be concerned about  the environmental impact  of pesticides on
the life system because the maintenance of our life system  is vital  to us.
We cannot survive with only our crop plants and livestock.   The  great variety
of species are essential  for a viable life system.  We  depend upon the many
species for the maintenance of a quality atmosphere,  for  growing crops, and
for the biological degradation of  wastes.   Oxygen is  produced by plants for
man and animals.  This oxygen (as  both oxygen and ozone)  also screens out
the lethal ultraviolet rays from the earth's surface.  In addition,  the
plants are food for many animals,  passing  their life-support elements
(C, H, N, P, K, etc.) to the animals in the food chain.   The microorganisms
assist in degrading wastes and dead organisms and releasing the  vital
elements for recycling in the ecosystem.  In this way,  species of the life
system interact and keep the life  system functioning—of  which man is a part.

     In addition to this effect of pesticides on man's  vital life system,
pesticides may directly affect the health  of man.  At present the prime
danger of pesticide poisons is  the increased use of insecticides with higher
levels of toxicity to man (Cronin  et al.,  1969). An  estimated 14,000
individuals are poisoned (200 fatalities)  in farms  and  homes annually from
exposure to pesticides (EPA, 1974).  Although the public  is exposed  daily
to low levels of pesticides in  their food, there is as  yet  no clear  evidence
of danger.  However, the available data on long-term, low-level  effects of
pesticides to public health are scarce and incomplete.  Indeed,  the  data
suggest that we should be watchful and cautious (Cronin et  al.,  1969).

     Because of widespread pesticide pollution and  because  of high economic
costs of pesticide controls, alternate ways of controlling  insect pests
should be considered.  Hence, the  objectives of this  study  are to:   (1)
Determine what control techniques  are currently being employed in cotton and

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corn insect pest control in the major production regions of the U.S.;
(2) Determine what potential control techniques may be available in the
near future; (3) Assess each of the control techniques for its economic
and environmental benefits and costs; and (4) Analyze various  insect pest
control strategies on a national basis and estimate the economic benefits
and costs of each program and quantities of insecticides used.  The
information gathered should aid the Environmental  Protection Agency and
other groups concerned with pest control and pesticide use in  their
policy decisions and at the same time help research planners determine
priorities for pest management investigations.

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                          SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
     From 31 leading entomological  specialists in 29 states data were
assembled on current, potential, and future insect control  techniques on
cotton and corn.  Cotton and corn were selected for an analysis of alternative
insect control technologies because 64% of all the insecticide used in
agriculture in the U.S.  is applied  to these two crops.  The insecticide levels
and application costs supplied by entomological experts, plus estimates of
the other costs involved with various insect control  strategies, indicate
that many insect strategies which may significantly reduce  insecticide use
on cotton and corn may be more economical  than strategies currently being
used.  The findings of this study are included under the headings of the
following three analyses that were  made:

THE ANALYSIS OF INSECT CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES

     An analysis of alternative insect control technologies in corn revealed
that few opportunities exist to employ alternative strategies because of the
relatively small amount (about 1 Ib) of insecticide applied per acre.  About
17% of the total agricultural insecticide  is used on this crop because of
the large acreage (65 million acres) of corn grown in the U.S.  The prime
pest on corn is the rootworm complex and the practical alternative control
is crop rotation.  Employing rotations would reduce the quantity of insect-
icide used in corn from about 30 million Ibs to about 9 million Ibs, but
this would be accomplished at a cost of nearly $80 million  (estimate of
dynamic analysis).

     Cotton is produced on only about 13.1 million acres and is currently
treated an average of about 4.4 times annually with about 13.3 Ibs of insect-
icide per acre.  Several alternative technologies are available for reducing
the large quantity of insecticide applied  to cottori.   If the United States
adopted the following insect control programs in cotton regions where
feasible, the number of treatments  and insecticide applied  per acre per
season would be as follows:  a scouting program reduced the number of treat-
ments by 1.6 and insecticide by 4.8 Ibs; a diapause/scouting program reduced
treatments by 3.2 and insecticide by 10.2  Ibs; trap crop/scouting program
reduced treatments, by 3.8 and insecticide  by 10.9 Ibs; a short season/
scouting program reduced treatments by 3.9 and 11.7 Ibs; a  resistant/scouting
program reduced treatments by 4.8 and insecticide by 14.4 Ibs; and a
resistant/short season/scouting program reduced treatments  by 5.4 and 16.2
Ibs.

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STATIC ANALYSIS

     If the location and acreage of cotton production remains constant, it
is estimated that the implementation of several currently available insect
control alternatives can reduce cotton insect control costs by $81 million
and insecticide use by about 40%.  The implementation of cotton insect control
methods which should be available within 5 to 10 years are estimated to reduce
annual insect control and insecticide use by 71% in quantity.

     No single insect control strategy for cotton is best throughout the
nation.  Clearly a combination of insect controls is best and these will vary
from region to region.  Except for a couple of regions scouting is one
strategy that is a part of the combination programs.

DYNAMIC ANALYSIS

     Adoption of currently available cotton insect control strategies could
reduce insecticide use by lo to 34%andat the same time reduce insect control
costs and total crop production costs to farmers.  Since the optimum insect
control strategy differs from area to area, adoption of any one control
strategy, such as scouting, scouting-diapause or scouting-trap crop, for the
entire U.S. would reduce insecticide use and production costs less than is
achievable when each area used the strategy that is best for that region.
Implementation and administration of a policy which required each region to
use the best strategy for that region would be difficult.  A set of criteria
for selecting appropriate strategy for each area would be difficult to
establish and there would be continued disagreement about the interregional
equity of any set of criteria established.

     The analysis above indicates that use of the strategy which is most
economical from the farmer view point would also reduce insecticide use and
total production costs more than adoption of any single strategy on a
nationwide basis.  This leads to the conclusion that an educational program
designed to convince farmers that it is in their own best interest to adopt
modern insect control strategies would likely be the most efficient policy
to adopt.  This would eliminate the need to arbitrarily determine strategies
that farmers should use and eliminate the need for the policy which would be
viewed by farmers as government harassment.  While the costs of an effective
educational program were not determined in this study, it is likely that the
administrative and policing costs of a policy to adopt any of the strategies
analyzed would be greater than the costs of an educational program.

     Development of short-season and resistant varieties would reduce
insecticide use 50 to 60% compared to current practice and would reduce pro-
duction costs approximately $28 million per year compared to the best
currently available technology evaluated.  This implies that $56 million per
year could be spent to develop these varieties if the development took 5 years
and the cost efficiencies were achievable for 10 years.  The period of time
over which the cost efficiencies could be maintained would depend on the
time required for development of new strains of insects.

-------
     If no limit were placed on the amount of acreage shift possible for
cotton, insecticide use and production costs could be significantly reduced.
Cotton production in this situation would be shifted from the southeast and
far-west into Texas, Oklahoma, and the Delta states.  This suggests that
insecticide use and production costs in cotton could be reduced significantly
more by allowing regional shifts in production than by adopting scouting or
any other insect control strategy.  The high level   of insecticide use and
associated environmental pollution is an externality of the government
allotment programs (Pimentel and Shoemaker,  1973).

     Another increase in the feed-food grain exports similar to that
experienced between 1971 and 1973 would increase insecticide use on the crops
considered in this analysis two to four times above those experienced during
the 1971-73 period.

     Corn as mentioned, uses about one-quarter as much insecticide as cotton.
Rotations would reduce corn insecticide by over 70% but would significantly
increase production costs to farmers.  Scouting of corn is the only future
technology on the horizon.   It would reduce insecticide use by 57% but would
significantly increase costs to farmers.

-------
                                    METHODS
     Cotton and corn were selected for this investigation, as mentioned,
because 64% of all agricultural insecticides are applied to these two
crops in the-U.S. and include more than 60% of all cropland acres that are
treated.  Attention was focused primarily on the major cotton and corn
producing states.  The states selected (Table III) in total are respon-
sible for the production of 99% of the cotton and 91% of the corn (USDA,
1974).

     The procedure was to contact the leading entomologist(s) with special
knowledge for each crop in each of the major cotton and corn producing
states  (Table III).  From these entomologists we obtained via personal
visits  and telephone conferences data on current insect pest control
practices and "best estimates" of what various alternative controls would
mean in economic cost/benefits and pesticide use patterns.  Although some
of the  data are "best estimates" and speculative, it should be emphasized
that this information came from the most knowledgeable entomological
experts in this nation.  Further confidence in the data emerges when the
data from the specialists from each state are combined and examined as a
whole.

     The specialists first provided us with detailed information on
current insect control practices being employed in their state.  From these
data, the experts were asked to give a best estimate of the potential
economic benefits and costs of employing these known available alternatives
singly  and in various combinations.  Next, the specialists were asked about
potential pest controls that are currently being researched in their state
or nearby states that might be employed in their control programs.  They
were asked to estimate the -realistic pest control potential of each
alternate control singly and in combination with current and other controls.
From this information it was our aim to identify those potential controls
that might provide in the future opportunities for effective economic
pest control and at the same time improve the quality of our environment.

     Information on the details of each pest control technology for cotton
and corn for each region of the U.S., as mentioned, was obtained from each
specialist, and this is tabulated in Appendix A, tables 1-55.  Some of the
background information related to these tables is presented in the main
part of the report and all additional information is available (Pimentel,
1975).

     The estimate given by the 31 entomological  specialists concerning the
percentage of cotton acres treated was 95% and corn acres treated was 52%.


                                      10

-------
Table III.  Entomological Specialists for Major Cotton and Corn Producing
            States Who Aided in this Investigation.
Cotton
   Alabama
   Ari zona
   Arkansas
   California
   Georgia
   Louisiana
   Mississippi
   Missouri
   New Mexico
   North Carolina
   Oklahoma
   South Carolina
   Tennessee
   Texas
Dr. Floyd R. Gilliland, Jr.,
Dr. Theo F. Watson,
Dr. Charles G. Lincoln
Dr. Louis A. Falcon,
Dr. T. Donald Canerday,
Dr. L. D. Newsom,
Dr. Fowden G. Maxwell,
Dr. Flernoy G. Jones
Dr. Joe Ellington
Dr. R. L. Robertson
Dr. Don C. Peters,
Dr. Kenneth N. Pinkston,
Dr. Vernon R. Eidman
Mr. L. M. Sparks,
Dr. Allen Chambers
Dr. Raymond E. Frisbie
Dr. Roy J. Ledbetter
Dr. Leon Moore

Dr. Nick Toscano
Dr. Herbert Womack
Dr. Dan F. Clower
Dr. F- Aubrey Harris
Dr. Jerry H. Young,
Dr. Chin-Choy,
Corn
   Florida
   Illinois
   Indiana
   Iowa
   Kansas
   Kentucky
   Michigan
   Minnesota
   Missouri
   Nebraska
   New York
   North Carolina
   Ohio
   South Dakota
   Wisconsin
   Wyomi ng
Dr. John R. Strayer
Dr. William Luckmann,
Dr. Thomas Turpin
Dr. Harold J. Stockdale
Dr. H. LeRoy Brooks,
Dr. W. W. Gregory, Jr.
Dr. Robert F. Ruppel
Dr. Huai C. Chiang,
Dr. Mahlon L. Fairchild,
Dr. Robert L. Stoltz,
Dr. Armon J. Keaster
Dr. Z. B. Mayo
Dr. A. A. Muka
Dr. Robert L. Robertson
Dr. Gerald J. Musick
Dr. David D. Walgenbach
Dr. James W. Apple
Dr. Christian C. Burkhardt
Dr. Donald E. Kuhlman
Dr. Del Gates
Dr. David M. Noetzel
Dr. George W. Thomas,
Dr. William H. Kearby,
Dr. D. Pimentel

Dr. Robert E. Treece
                                      11

-------
 Both estimates differ substantially from those of the Economic Research
 Service of the USDA (1975a) that report for cotton and corn 47% and 35%,
 respectively.  We doubt that 53% of the cotton acreage is untreated as
 reported by the USDA, and thus feel that their estimates are much too low.
 At the same time we believe that entomological specialists may have over-
 estimated the percentage of acres treated.

      In evaluating these estimates we made a comparison of total quantity
 of insecticides used on cotton and corn from another source of information
 (NAS, 1975).  Based on data on quantities of insecticides used in agri-
 culture we estimated that currently about 180 million pounds of insecticides
 are used on cotton and corn.  The entomological specialists' estimate was
 205 million pounds and the USDA estimate for 1971 was 101 million pounds.
 These results would suggest that perhaps the entomological specialists'
 estimates were at least 12% too high.  However, we had no justification
 for changing the estimates provided us by the leading entomological
 specialists on cotton and corn in the United States and, therefore used the
 estimates provided.

      In order to estimate the effects of employing alternative insect
 control technologies upon insecticide use, production costs, and land use,
 three analyses were run:  (1) Analysis of Insect Control Technologies;
 (2) Static Analysis; (3) Dynamic Analysis.  The analysis of insect control
 technologies focuses primarily on the strategy and provides an estimate of
 the reduction in number of insecticide treatments to cotton and corn if
 implemented nationwide.  The static analysis assesses the changes in cotton
 pest management only by total and average insecticide use as calculated
 under the assumption that the location of cotton production would remain
 constant.

      The static analysis was performed only on cotton, and consisted of
 analysing the expected changes in insect control costs and total  chemical
 use, if several strategies applicable in each region are put uniformly into
 effect without modifying present crop distribution.   The following example
 should clarify the process.

      In almost all cotton producing regions in the United States, scouting
is presently a viable option.  Thus, the tables in the Appendix contain, for
all regions except the Texas High Plains, a possible cultural practice that
involves scouting.  Each table in the Appendix also contains current average
insect control costs, crop yields, and insecticide use.  The estimated static
analysis then computes, for each region, the.net changes in these measures if
scouting were uniformly adopted.  The resulting national net change in total
insect control costs and total insecticide usage were obtained by computing
total nationwide average, with such measures weighed by the total  acerage
figures for each region.  (Additional information is available in Detai1ed
Data for Static and Linear Analysis of Alternatives for Reducing Insecticides
on Cotton and Corn--Supplement 1 to Alternatives for Reducing Insecticides on"
Cotton and Corn: .Economic and Environmental Impact!   The supplement is avail -
able from the National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road,
Springfield, Va. 22161, using the report number assigned to this document.)
                                       12

-------
      The dynamic analysis considers not only insect control practices but
also the location of cotton production.  A linear programming model called
PESTDOWN was used in this analysis.  (The model  is described in Procedures
Used in Setting Up the Agricultural Production Model—Supplement 2 to Alter-
natives for Reducing Insecticides on Cotton and Corn:   Economic and Environ-
mental ^Impact.The supplement is available from the National Technical  In-
formation Service, 5285 Port Royal  Road, Springfield,  Va.  22161, using  the
report number assigned to this document.)  Model data  were obtained or esti-
mated for base year 1973.  The model equations and tableau are given below
from Taylor and Swanson (1975):


      MIN     ZZCJ.X?.  +  zzcj.xj, -  ZZZT..  +  ZZtb,,. ,0TB.,
     X.TJB   ij  ij  ij    ij  ij  ij    ikm  ikm    Ik  ik'12  ik>12

 Subject to:

   a) Total cropland

      ZX*, +  zxJ.   -V.         (j = 1,2,... 540)
       1*  o    -i  * \j     j
             ,1

   b) Irrigated  cropland

      zx{. -  I.     (j -  1,2,...540)
      4  ' J    J


   c) Cotton  acreage


      Xij + X?j  " CAj  (j' =  1»2,...540), (1 = cotton)


   d) Cotton  lint demand

      rY  Y   +  rv  Y   > r\ n    (•* -
      " ' * •;"•; •;    " * • •" • • ~ l*LU    \ 1 -
      J          J

   e) Commodity  demand
                                                              - ZTB1kn ' Dik
           (i = 1,2,...8), (k = 1,2,...21)

   f) Nutrient demand

      1) Total digestible nutrients:
         ?tdn1nTRN1kn - TDNkn    (n - 1,2,3), (k = 1,2,...21)
                                    13

-------
     2) Digestible protein:



         fPinTRNikn " DPkn     (" = 1.2,3), (k = 1,2,...21)



     3) Dry weight of feed:



        HRNikn = DWkn   (n = 1,2,3), (k = 1,2,...21)





  g) Pea demand in the pea area of the Northwest


     Y     Y      +Y     V      _ pn   H = npa ^
      i 11*> i 115    i 119 i 119        ^    P  '
      1 3 I I 
-------
  dp.   = the amount of digestible protein in one unit of commodity ~i for

          livestock type n.

  DW,   = total dry weight requirement for feed for the n   livestock

          type in the k   consuming region.

  TON,   = demand for total digestible nutrients by the n 1 livestock
                       j_ U
          type in the k   consuming region.

  DP.   = demand for digestible protein by the n   livestock type

          in the k   consuming region.

  D.,   = demand for commodity type i in the k   consuming region.
   1 K
  D,I   = superscripts used to distinguish between dryland and

          irrigated production activities, respectively.

  PD    = pea demand in the pea area of Washington and Idaho.

  TB-.   = transportation of one unit of commodity i from the k

          consuming region to the m   consuming region by barge.

  tb-.   -= cost of transporting one unit of commodity i from the
           a. L.                          J. L.
          k   consuming region to the m   consuming region by barge.

  B.     = total units of commodities that can be transported by barge

          from the k   consuming region to consuming region 12.

     As in the static analysis,  the data in the Appendix were used to  deter;;
changes in costs, yields, and total insecticide use for each insect control
option tested.  In addition further options involving possible restrictions
on cotton acreage, forced use of rotations and/or scouting on corn, and
varying levels of export demands were tested, and are described in the secti
on results.  (For details see Supplemental Report 1).

     The assessment of economic benefits includes maintaining cotton and
corn yield while employing a control program that either costs less or
more.  The program that costs less provides the grower with increased
profits (benefits).  The social  costs (including economic) of shifting
cotton and corn production among regions were not possible to evaluate at
this time other than to point these shifts out in the dynamic analysis.
                                    15

-------
     The assessment of environmental benefits focused primarily on reducing
the quantity of insecticide used while maintaining cotton and corn yields.
Changing methods of application (e.g., from aircraft to ground equipment)
would reduce environmental problems, but for this study we logically
assumed no change in insecticide application technology.
                                     16

-------
Table  IV.   Linear Programming  Tableau for the  PESTDOWN model  used  in  the  Dynamic        a
              Analysis.   See  Supplemental  Report 2  for a  complete description  of  the  model  .



Constraint

2 Cropland
3 Irrigated cropland
4 Cotton allotment
5 Wheat account
6 Soybean account
7 Cottonseed account
8 Sorghum account
9 Corn account
10 Barley account
11 Oat account
12 Rye account
13 Cotton lint demand
14 Pea demand
15 Cattle TON
16 Cattle DP
17 Cattle feed bulk
18 Sheep TON
19 Sheep DP
20 Sheep feed bulk
21 Swine TDN
22 Swine OP
23 Swine feed bulk
24 Barge transportation
Crop production activities'*
Dryland
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
U_
S w i 3 U_ u-
6 IK > % (_) o 5 «< i u
JC 01 (= *-  5 01 ^ *J tu 3 0) f— 1 
u(/ieaooec3o5> 3
(DO Ol JC
£» 4-» i — V\ C CTt
o O2?«a ID o o
to (_>to5caooui

11111111
11111111
i
Y Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y


aMost of the columns represent more than one activity, and most of the rows represent more than one constraint.  For example,
 column 1 represents 91  crop production activities, and row 2 represents 131  cropland constraints.  Therefore, the actual matrix
 is much laiger than Is  Indicated by this table.
''Ba » barley, DC = double-cropped, F = fallow, 0 = oats, F » pe^is, S - soybeans, W = wheat, SW = spring wheat, WW = winter wheat.

-------
     Table  IV.  (cont.)
Constraint
1 Cost
2 Cropland
3 Irrigated cropland
4 Cotton allotment
5 Wheat account
6 Soybean account
7 Cottonseed account
8 Sorqhum account
9 Corn account
10 Barley account
11 Oat account
12 Rye account
13 Cotton lint demand
14 Pea demand
15 Cattle TON
16 Cattle DP
17 Cattle feed bulk
18 Sheep TON
19 Sheep DP
20 Sheep feed bulk
21 Swine TON
22 Swine DP
23 Swine feed bulk
24 Barge transportation
Activities that transfer commodities to nutrients
Cattle
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
•o
0»
E 2 £
- £ .i § S
« r- «/l Ol C +•* .0
Ul>.-M>)
£, 3 C TO
*j a> a= o  en c <*-> .a
a»u4->a>t-fc,+j>,
-C (0 «) >> O O O O
3ccaOGet/><->o
- s? 1 11
IO r- 1/V tJ| C +J -O
QJU.4->Q)UL.+->>)
-c«j*>,ooao
3Ccooa:t/»ocji*/>

-i
-i
-i
-i
-i
-i
-i
-i


tdn tdn tdn tdn tdn tdn tdn tdn
dp dp dp dp dp dp dp dp
wt wt wt wt wt wt wt wt
Rail
transportation activities
54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61
•o
V
ft 01
c 1/1 E
« C 3 >i
*-• O) O J^ V
S.A ** Ol C r— "»
>* 4J U L. I- W i
2«ni_}t/)ocaOac
tttttttt
Vc
V
V
V
V
V
V
V



Barge
transportation activities
62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69
T3
Ql
I/I Ol
C VI E
« C 3 X
** o> o -c at
(O .£ 4-1 Ol C r— Ul
..»-»t-l_u-»-'aj
^IOOOO^
^i/itJi/iocoooe
tb tb tb tb tb tb tb tb
V
V
V
V
V
V
V
V


11111111
Land
retire-
ment
activity
Total ,j
retirement °







ight-
hand
side
MIN
«L
SI
SCA
>D,
£0,
zo,
iO.
so,
iD.
£0,
£D,
>CLO
iPO
1TDN,
iOP,
=DW,
ZTDN,
IDP,
"DvV,
>TDN,
iOPj
•=OWj

-------
                                  RESULTS


      The results  will  be discussed  for  ease  of  presentation  in  three separate
 sections:  (1)  The Analysis  of the  Insect Control  Technologies;  (2)  The
 Static Analysis;  and  (3) The  Dynamic  Analysis.


 THE ANALYSIS OF  INSECT CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES

      In this section  of the results an  analysis will  be made of the various
 cotton and corn  insect control  technologies  and alternatives.   Included  in
 this analysis  will  be an examination  of cotton  and  corn losses  with and
 without insecticides.

 Cotton

      Each  of the  important  cotton  insect-control  program  alternatives are
 described  and discussed as  follows:

 Current Situation--
     Thev first analysis that was made  examined what percentage of the
cotton acreage is being treated including  the average number of treatments
and amount of insecticide applied per  acre each season.  The current
situation includes a mix of controls that  include  regular treatments,
scouting, diapause controls, short season  culture, trap crops, and com-
bination of these.

     About 95% of the cotton acreage is  treated according to the "best
estimates" of the nation's leading entomological specialists.  The average
number of treatments per cotton acre annually is 4.4 with  about 13.3 Ibs
applied  and costs about $18 per season including insecticide and application
costs (Table V).

Regular  Treatment Program-
     Most cotton is treated on some type of a spray schedule and this  is
termed "regular treatment;" this may include some  diapause control but does
not include "scouting."  We should point out, however, that a regular
spray-schedule does not mean that cotton growers treat without examining
their cotton and insect pest populations.   In fact,  most growers do "check"
their cotton for the abundance of insect pests.   This type of examination
is not the type of monitoring  of pest  and  natural  enemy populations
employed in the "Scouting Treatment Program"  described later.  However,
the cotton specialists do feel that the  "checking" carried out by the
                                     19

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Table V.  The average number of insecticide treatments  made per acre on certain  cotton
          acreage during each season and the total  quantity of insecticide used  for
          current, potential, and future pest control  alternatives.






ro
o







Total
Number
of Acres
Involved
x 106

13.1
10.6
6.0
5.2
8.6
7.9
8.6


Regular
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

5.6 16.8
6.6 19.8
8.6 26.4
9.0 27.0
7.9 23.7
7.8 23.4
7.6 22.8

Current
Situation
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

4.4 13.3
-
.-
-
-
-
_


Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
5.0 15.0
-
-
-
-
_

Diapause &
Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
-
5.4 16.2
-
-
-
_

Trap Crop
and Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
-
-
5.2 16.1
-
-
.

Short Season
and Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
-
-
-
4.0 12.0
-
.

Resistant
and Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
-
-
-
-
3.0 9.0
_
Resistant and
Short Season
and Scouting
Insecticide
Treatments
No. Total Ibs/A

-
-
-
-
-
-
2.2 6.6

-------
 growers has resulted in reducing the number of treatments an estimated 10 to
 20% during the past 10 years.

     The regular treatment program, as expected, utilizes  the largest
number of treatments and the largest quantity of insecticides.   If the
total U.S. cotton acreage were treated employing the regular treatment
program, the average number of treatments  per season would be about 5.6
(ranging from approximately 0 to 17) and requires about 17 Ibs  (Table V)
of insecticide per acre and costs about $22 (Appendix,  Tables 1-32).
Note, that under regular treatment about 1.2 more treatments are made per
acre than under the current situation.  The current situation includes
nearly half the acres under a scouting program.

Scouting Program--
     The objective of the "scouting program" is  to treat cotton acreage
only when the density and potential threat of insect pest  populations
justify insecticide treatments.  Both insect pest populations and natural
enemy populations must be monitored to obtain information  on the potential
threat of the pests to the cotton crop.  Stage of cotton growth and
fruiting influence the susceptibility of cotton to pest injury and, thus,
this information is also included in the scouting program and decision-
making processes.  If the scouting program were adopted on all  cotton
acreage where applicable (10.6 million acres), the number of treatments would
be reduced from the 6.6 regular average on this acreage to about 5.0
(Table V).   Thus, scouting on an average reduces the number of treatments
per acre  aoout 1.6 compared with regular.  The amount of insecti-
cide used per acre is reduced about 24%.  Because of resistance of certain
pests to insecticides and inadequate identification to species  (e.g.,
cotton bollworm vs. tobacco budworm), the regular treatment program is
likely to result in greater pest insect losses than the scouting program.
Scouting added over the insecticide and application costs  about $1.50 per
acre for monitoring cotton pests and natural enemy populations.

Diapause and Scouting Program--
     Diapause control programs are  directed specifically at boll weevils.
The  aim of diapause control is to substantially  reduce over-wintering
weevil populations so in the spring fewer weevils are present and insecti-
cide treatments can be delayed until  later in the summer season when
weevils reach potentially damaging  densities.  The benefit  of delaying
weevil treatments as long as possible  is that natural enemies that are
especially important for control of bollworms and budworms  are protected
and  remain active in controlling these pests for a longer period of the
cotton growing season.

     For  diapause control, one (sometimes 2) treatment is made before the
cotton defoliant is applied to the  crop.  Then another treatment is made
about 2 weeks after the cotton is harvested, provided defoliation is not
complete  and stalk destruction is delayed.   It should be pointed out that
when the  cotton is harvested, stalks  and other parts of the cotton plant
                                    21

-------
are shredded.  This is also considered an essential part of the diapause
control program.

     The effectiveness of diapause control for the weevil requires that all
the cotton acreage in the region be in the diapause control program.  The
obvious reason for the requirement is that weevils disperse when they emerge
in the spring.  Thus, a grower who used diapause control and who is
surrounded by growers who do not will hardly notice a reduction in weevil
populations  on his surrounded farm.  Diapause control must be a community-
wide effort.

     Diapause control is employed as a supplement to other pest control
methods such as "scouting."  If a diapause-scouting program were adopted
on cotton acreage when applicable (6.0 million acres), the number of treat-
ments would  be reduced from the 8.6 treatments under regular to an average
of about 5.4 (Table V).   Thus, a diapause-scouting program on an average
reduces the  number of treatments per acre about 3.2 compared with regular.
This is about twice that of scouting alone.  The amount of insecticide used
per acre would decrease about 39% or about 10.2 Ibs per acre.  About 1/2 Ib
of insecticide per acre had to be applied for diapause control and this is
included in  the total of 10.2 Ibs per acre.

Trap  Crop  and  Scouting  Program—
      The use of a trap crop concentrates  the pest on  the trap crop.   In  the
 case  of a  cotton trap crop, the trap crop is treated  with a  heavy dosage  of
 insecticide, thus killing a large percentage of  the  pest population (e.g.,
boll  weevil).   With other trap crops such as alfalfa,  the objective is to
 attract plant bugs from cotton to alfalfa.

      Three types  of trap crops have been  employed for control  of  cotton
 pests and  one  of these  includes  the use of early  cotton.   This  trap crop
technique  included planting an early cotton  to attract boll  weevils.   About
5% (in well  distributed strips)  of the  total  cotton  acreage  of a  farm is
planted to early cotton about 2 to  3 weeks  before the  regular crop  planting
time.   The emerging boll  weevils  are attracted to this  early cotton.   Then
 a heavier  than normal  dosage  of insecticide  is applied  to this  early cotton
to destroy the boll  weevils that  congregate  on this  cotton.

      Certain added costs  are  associated with employing a trap crop.   These
include:  (1) the  nuisance cost of having  to  get  the machinery and labor
ready to plant cotton  2 to 3 weeks  early, and (2)  failure of the  trap  crop
in some years.   Since  the trap crop fails approximately one  in  4  years,
average reduction in insecticide  use is only three-fourths of the 11.8 Ib/
acre,  or 8.8 Ib;  for an insecticide treatment cost saving of $9.40.   The
cost  of replanting the  5  percent  of the acreage  1/4 of the time and  labor
and machinery  costs  for early  planting are  assumed to  be 250 and  200 percent
of normal  planting costs,  respectively.   Adding  these  costs  to  normal
production  costs  increased these  costs by an average  of $2.55 (Table VI)  per
acre  of cotton  grown.   This assumes  that  the yield on  trap crop acreage
                                     22

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Table VI.
Cost of trap crops-  per acre of cotton excluding change in
insecticide and insecticide application costs.
Region
                                     Cost per acre of cotton ($)
Central Alabama

Northeastern Alabama

Western and Central Arizona

San Joaquin Valley California

Louisiana

Hill Region Mississippi

Southwest Oklahoma (Irrigated region)

Coastal Plain, South Carolina

Piedmont region, South Carolina
                                              2.17

                                              2.94
                                             18.21^

                                              2.93

                                              2.46

                                              3 . 9S-/

                                              2.35

                                              2.35
a/ Cotton planted on 5% acreage two to three weeks before normal planting
   except where indicated otherwise
b/ Alfalfa trap crop
£/ Sorghum trap crop
(the 5%) is the same as achieved with all cotton acreage.
a saving of $6.85 per acre.
                                                This indicates
     The alfalfa trap crop technology utilizes alfalfa strips planted in
rows about 20 ft wide in the cotton fields.  The rows of cotton were
about 300 to 400 ft wide; hence, about 6% of the field is in alfalfa.  This
procedure utilized in the San Joaquin Valley of California was reported to
reduce the number of treatments  to cotton (Appendix,  Table  7).  The
added costs  must be included where using alfalfa as a trap  crop.   Alfalfa
increases the production losses  by reducing the cotton acreage.   The added
production costs include:  (1) alfalfa strips that are a nuisance  to plant
and harvest in cotton fields; and (2) costs of irrigation and fertilizer
to maintain the alfalfa.
                                     23

-------
     If only loss of cotton yield due to the alfalfa produced and the
change in water and fertilizer costs are considered, these factors add an
average of approximately $18.20 per acre (Table VI) to the cost of growing
cotton in the San Joaquin Valley.  Thus use of an alfalfa trap crop
increases production costs in that area by at least $3.20 per acre.

     The sorghum trap crop is planted with 4 rows of sorghum to each 24
rows of cotton.  This trap crop in some years reduced the number of
treatments in Oklahoma  (Appendix, Table 19).    Even adding the costs of
the nuisance factor involved in planting sorghum in cotton fields, it
appears that the sorghum trap crop offers several advantages, including
reduced insecticide use as well as reduced production costs.

     If trap crop and scouting programs were adopted in U.S.  cotton
production where applicable (5.2 million acres), the number of treatments
would be reduced from the 9.0 regular treatments per acre to about 5.2
(Table V).   Thus, a trap crop-scouting program on an average reduces the
number of treatments per acre about 3.8 compared with regular.  This
reduction is about the same as that of diapause-scouting.  The amount of
insecticide used would be reduced about 40%.

     Additional costs for growing the sorghum include: (1) the increased
costs of planting and harvesting the sorghum in cotton fields; (2) the
reduced sorghum crop due to use of sorghum varieties that are attractive to
greenbugs; and (3) the increased fertilizer and water costs for sorghum
since it receives the same treatment as cotton.  Assuming that the sorghum
yield is 85% of normal and that the added machine and labor costs of
planting the sorghum are $3 per acre, added costs for growing the sorghum,
including water and fertilizer costs, are approximately $7 per acre (Appen-
dix, Table 4).

Short-Season and Scouting Program--
     Earlier we mentioned that bollworms and budworms appear late in the
season (late August and September) at numbers that may be damaging to
cotton.  By forcing the cotton to mature early through cultural changes,
this then reduces the opportunities for the bollworms and budworms from
reaching high densities and damaging cotton.  A cultural  technique that
has proven effective in reducing the length of cotton growing season is
irrigation management.  In early August the amount of irrigation water is
intentionally limited which forced the cotton pl.ant to mature and produce
its crop earlier than normal.

     This short-season  culture does not reduce cotton yields but only
reduces the threat from bollworms and budworms.  For example, in parts of
Arizona and California  if short-season culture is used, it would reduce
the number of treatments by about 3 per season (Appendix, Tables 4 and 8).


     Similar to short-season cultural control, employing a short-season
cotton variety would provide an effective means of reducing the threat to
cotton from bollworms and budworms in the cotton growing regions that
cannot use irrigation as a management tool.  Also, it should be pointed out


                                     24

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that shortening the cotton fruiting season reduces  the boll  weevil  problem.
The weevil is essentially a one-host plant.   Thus,  reducing  the time for
boll weevil population increase, the weevil  threat  is greatly reduced (the
weevil generation time is about 2.5 weeks).

     Currently a good commercial short-season cotton variety does  not exist.
If such a short-season variety(s) were developed, it would be possible to
reduce significantly the number of treatments of cotton (Appendix,  Tables
1, 2, 9-17, 21-26, 28-32).

     If a short-season variety were available and combined with a  scouting
program and employed where applicable (8.6 million  acres)  in the U.S., the
number of treatments would be reduced from the 7.9  regular treatments on
this acreage to about 4.0, (Table V).   Thus, a short season scouting
program on average reduces the number of treatments per acre to about 3.9
compared with regular.  This is similar to trap crop-scouting.  The amount
applied per acre would be reduced nearly 50%.  The  savings in treatment
costs would be about $11.

Resistant and Scouting Program--
     Varieties of cotton such as "Frego bract" have natural  resistance to
boll weevils.  Although this variety is resistant to the boll weevil, it
does not yield as well as the commercial varieties  under regular insecticide
schedules  (Appendix, Tables 12  and 13).

     Tremendous potential exists for reducing the number of  treatments of
cotton if  a good commercial variety of cotton could be developed that was
also resistant to the boll weevil.  The specialists estimated that a good
resistant  variety would significantly reduce the number of treatments
(i.e., perhaps as much as 68%)  (Appendix, Tables 1, 2, 5,  9-13, 16, 17,
21-26, 28-30, 32).

     If a  boll weevil resistant cotton variety were combined with  a scout-
ing program in the U.S. and employed where applicable (7.9 million acres),
the number of treatments would  be reduced from the 7.8 regular treatments
on  that acreage to only 3.0 (Table V).   Thus, a resistant-scouting
program on an average would reauce the number of treatments  to about 4.8
compared with regular.  The amount of insecticide applied per acre would
be reduced by  about  62% with  a  saving of  about  $19.

Resistant, Short-Season,  and  Scouting Program--
     If good commercial varieties that combined boll weevil  resistance
and short-season characteristics were available, pest control in cotton
would be revolutionized.  If these varieties were available, employed
where applicable (8.6 million acres), and combined with scouting,  the
number of  treatments would be reduced from the 7.6 regular treatments on
this acreage to about 2.2, (Table  V).  Thus, this program on an average
would  reduce the number of treatments per acre  about  5.4  compared with
regular.   The amount of insecticide used  could  be  reduced about 71%.
                                     25

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Corn

     Each of the important corn insect-control  program alternatives  are
described and discussed below:

Regular or Current Control —
     In corn "regular control" is not easily definable because how and
where the corn is cultured (e.g., continuous vs. rotation) in large
measure determines what the pest control problem is and the treatment.
An estimated 52% of all corn  acreage is being treated with about 1 pound of
insecticide per acre (Appendix, Tables 33-55).     The prime pest is  the
rootworm complex (Northern, Western, and Southern rootworms).  The average
cost of treatment is about $4.50 per acre each season.

     For continuous corn  acreage on which rootworms are the most serious
pest, an estimated 87% of the acreage is treated (Appendix, Tables 34-55).
For corn in rotation with other crops, only an estimated 29% of the  acreage
is  treated.

Scouting--
     All  the specialists  agree that scouting of the major corn pests
 (rootworms, cutworms,  European corn borers, armyworms, and corn leaf aphids)
would be  a  valuable aid in reducing the number of treatments in corn.
However,  several specialists  seriously question whether it is now practical
or would  ever  be practical (because of scouting costs) to employ commercial
scouting  on corn.

     Some specialists, as in  the State of Illinois, feel they have an
effective procedure for scouting corn pests—especially the  rootworm com-
plex.   If scouting were implemented throughout the state, the Illinois
specialists estimated  that the percentage of acres treated could be reduced
from more than 60% to  less than 15%.  If we estimated that the average
insecticide treatment  of  corn in Illinois costs $6.00 per acre and on an
average scouting would reduce insecticide treatments by 75%, then the costs
of treating those acres previously would decline from $6.00  to an average
of about  $1.50.  If we assume scouting costs of $2.00 per acre, then the
total saving per acre  is  about $2.50  in Illinois.  Compared with savings
 per acre in cotton,  that averaged  about $20 per  acre,  this $2.50  is a
 relatively low return.

      Some specialists, as in  Missouri,  believe that while sufficient
 information is not  available  for an effective scouting program, scouting
 corn may  prove useful  in  the  future.  And yet other specialists,  as in
 Iowa, estimate that even  with effective monitoring procedures for corn
pests,  the  reduction  in  insecticide treatment costs would not pay for the
scouting  costs.  Scouting costs for corn were estimated to range between
$1  and $4 per  acre.  At  $2 per acre,  an estimated 50% reduction in number
of current  treatment  costs  (at $4.00  per acre) would be necessary just to
pay for the scouting.  For rootworms, the most serious pest  of corn, most
specialists project that  a 33% reduction in number of treatments  is
impossible.  Therefore, this  group of specialists argues that corn scouting
appears impractical, given the current relative price structure.

                                     26

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Rotations for Rootworm Control--
     The prime rotation of corn in the U.S. is with soybeans but other
rotations include wheat, oats, barley, alfalfa and sod.  Seldom is there
a problem in first year corn from rootworms.  About 60% of the corn is now
grown in the U.S. in rotation with other crops (Appendix,  Tables 33-55).
The reasons that farmers give for rotating corn with other crops are many.
They include: rootworm control; tradition; relative prices of other crops;
nitrogen fertilizer availability (soybeans and alfalfa); and others.

     Since most rotations are carried out for reasons other than rootworm
control, the benefits and costs of rotating corn are numerous.  In addition
to rootworm control, rotations aid in adding nitrogen to the soil (legumes),
reducing disease problems in corn, and reducing soil erosion problems.

     Since corn rotation reduces the number of insecticide treatments by 1
and at a saving of about $6 per acre, any rotation scheme  often has to have
more than rootworm control as its economic impetus to benefit the grower.
The relative value of crops that are in rotation is obviously a dominant
factor for growers deciding whether to rotate corn with other crops or grow
corn continuously.  The main place where rotation fits is  where other crops
will be grown on land of similar quality regardless of the planting sequence.

"No-till" Culture for Rootworm Control —
     "No-till" corn culture involves leaving corn or other crop remains on
the soil surface, using 2 to 4 Ibs of herbicide to chemically kill weeds  or
previous crops, and then planting directly through the surface mulch.
Several  variations of this technology are employed and are collectively
referred to as minimum tillage (USDA, 1975b).

     The surface mulch and not disturbing the soil increases rootworm
problems in "no-till" corn (Chiang et al., 1971; Musick and Collins, 1971;
Pruess et al., 1968; USDA, 1975b).  Other pest problems associated with "no-
till" corn culture include increased problems from cutworms, armyworms, and
slugs.  These pests in "no-till" corn often require treatment.  Another
potential disadvantage of "no-till" culture is the low soil temperature may
reduce stands and slow the rate of corn growth early in the season.

     "No-till" corn culture, however, has several important advantages
(USDA, 1975b). It may be more economical by reducing labor inputs.
Especially important is the reduction in soil erosion.  The estimated loss
of topsoil  for continuous corn culture is about 21 tons per acre per
annum (Whitaker et al., 1973; Burwell et al., 1974).  "No-till" corn
culture reduces this loss to less than 1 ton per acre (USDA, 1975b; Pimentel
et al., 1976).  "No-till" corn culture also has the advantage of reducing
water run-off and otherwise conserving soil moisture.
                                                    i  \
Cutworm Control--
     Cutworms_are common on bottom land (i.e., in lowland areas in which
the soil is rich and relatively heavy).  The recommended procedure for
determining whether treatments are needed for cutworms on a particular
                                      27

-------
piece of bottom land is "history," that is, if cutworms have been a problem
in the past, then this land should be treated.

     In Iowa, for example, the estimate is that about 60% of the bottom land
has an annual cutworm threat and should be treated annually with about 1  Ib
of insecticide (Appendix, Table 37).    Thus, employing the procedure of
recording past cutworm problems on land can play a valuable role in
reducing the number of cutworm treatments that normally occur on bottom
land.

Wireworm Control--
     Wireworms are sometimes a problem when corn is planted following sod.
Compared to  rootworms, however, the problem is minor and occurs on only
about 1% of  the corn acreage (Appendix, Tables 33-55).     The reasons for
the problem  being minor are: (1) a relatively small amount of the total
corn (about  2%) acreage is planted following sod; and (2) only about half of
sod acreage  has infestations of wireworms that are serious and require
treatment.

European Corn Borer Control--
     A relatively small percentage (about 1%) of the nation's corn acreage
is treated for European corn borer control (Appendix, Tables 33-55).
Most specialists feel that some resistance to the corn borer has been bred
into most corn that is planted today.  This resistance along with natural
enemies is keeping corn borer populations sufficiently low so that treatment
is rarely required for this pest.

     The development of a resistant corn borer variety will reduce the
amount of insecticide being used in corn production.  However, with onlv
about 1% being treated and perhaps twice this acreage requiring treatment,
further corn borer resistance will not benefit corn production as much as
would  the development  of resistance  in corn to the  rootworms.

Corn Leaf Aphid Control —
     The corn  leaf aphid  can reduce yields but it is not an annual pest
but  occurs  sporadically  (Appendix, Tables 33-55).    The corn leaf aphid is
a serious pest  that  requires treatment on about 2%  of the  corn acreage.
Annual  treatment  for the  corn  leaf  aphid, however,  on current corn acreage
is estimated to be less  than 1%.

Mites  and Other Pests —
     On irrigated corn as in Nebraska and Kansas, mites may become a serious
problem and  require treatment.  On a national basis treatment for mites
occurs on less than 1% of the  corn acreage (Appendix, Tables 33-55).

Combinations —
     The combination of  controls  in  corn  is not as dramatic as in cotton.
Again,  the  prime  pest  on corn  is  the rootworm.  Corn in  rotation with  other
crops  will  control rootworms,  but the net benefits  of rotations depend
upon a  great many factors in corn production.  The  advantages and  dis-
advantages  have been discussed.


                                     28

-------
     Adding some European corn borer resistance to corn has  significantly
reduced the threat of the corn borer.   A higher level  of resistance is
needed and it would be desirable to have this  combined with  rootworm
resistance.  This combination, however, is  at  least 10 years in  the future,

     The options for employing combination  controls in corn  pest control
appear to be less than that in cotton.

Losses in Cotton and Corn to Insects
     In cotton the estimate is that a 19% loss  occurs  in cotton  in  spite  of
all insect control efforts (USDA, 1965).   This  estimate appears  to  be  about
right for 1975 based on comments by several  specialists.

     Pimentel (1973) has estimated that the increased loss of cotton in the
U.S. if all fields were not treated, would be about 31%.  Adding the increase
of 31% to 19% gives approximately 50%.  In the present study, the specialists
estimated an increased overall loss of 35% (range 0 to 90%) if acres current-
ly treated were left untreated.  Adding the 35% to 19% gives a 54% total
loss; hence, the earlier 50% estimated loss agrees in general with the
current estimate of 54%.

     The high cotton losses (up to 90%) if insecticides were not used, occurr-
ed primarily in the regions where the boll weevil is a serious pest (Appen-
dix, Tables 1-32).    These regions are also the regions where the largest
quantity of insecticide is used.

     Losses  in  corn  on  those  acres  not treated were estimated to total
about  21%  (Pimentel  and Shoemaker,  1974).  The average  estimate from the
specialists  for losses  on  untreated  corn  is about 20% and ranges from 1% to
65%  (Appendix,  Tables 33-55).     Hence, these results suggest that the
earlier  rough estimate  (Pimentel,  1973) was generally good.


STATIC ANALYSIS

     The effects  of  implementing new insect control strategies  depend
upon the location of crop  production.  As a result several  patterns of
cropland use are  considered in  our analysis of insect control methodologies
for  cotton and  corn  production.   In  the Static Analysis discussed  in this
section, cotton is assumed to have  its current location of  production as
estimated  in the  Appendix.  In  a  later section entitled "Dynamic Analysis,"
the  effects  of  shifts  in the  location of  crop production are analyzed.

     Both  the static and  dynamic analyses are based upon the  costs, yields,
acreages and insecticide  use  figures obtained from an extensive nation-
wide survey  of  agriculturalists   (Appendix).     However, in order  to use
these  figures it  was necessary  to calculate expected costs  and  insecticide
use  for  each insect  control alternative in the static analysis.

     Based upon the  current averages given for each region,  we  have calcu-
lated  that over $250 million  is  spent currently  for cotton  insect  control.


                                     29

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This represents an average of $19.31 per acre on 13.1 million acres.  Over
174 million pounds of insecticide are used including 102 million pounds of
chlorinated hydrocarbons, 68 million pounds of organophosphorous compounds
and 4 million pounds of carbamates.

     Each of the cotton insect control methods are feasible on a fraction
of the total cotton acreage.  The total number of acres on which each
method has been reported to be a feasible option is listed in Table VII
(column III).  For example, methods using diapause and scouting are current-
ly feasible on 6.26 M (million) acres, which is only 48% of the 13.12 M
acres currently in cotton production.

     In column IV of Table VII, the average cost of using an alternative
is given.  This is calculated by dividing the total cost of implementing
the alternative by the number of acres in the area of implementation in
column III.  The average savings in insect control costs (column VI) is
the difference between column V and column IV.  The average current cost
(column V) is obtained by summing the current costs (per acre costs
multiplied by the number of acres) over all regions in the area of
implementation.  Notice that the average current cost is significantly
higher than the average of $19.31 per acre in areas where methods such as
diapause  control and trap crops are feasible.  Column VII is the average
savings from column VI multiplied by the number of acres in the area of
implementation.

     The  economic consequences of implementing an insect control method
depend upon  changes  in yield  as well as  changes in insect control costs.
The  total increase  in cotton  production  expected  over the area  of imple-
mentation is  given  in column  VIII.  The  increase  in yield in each region
is the yield  that  is expected with  the  implementation   of the specified
insect control  alternative minus  the current  average yield.

      In  order  to compare  the  benefits of increased cotton production to
those of  reduced  insect control costs,  it  is  necessary  to estimate  the
value of  the  increase  in  cotton production.   Cotton  is  valued at $.45 per
pound.  Thus,  the value of increases in  cotton production listed in column
IX is based  upon calculations that  assume  the price  of  cotton does  not
change as a  function of the quantity produced.  Since the changes in
quantity  in  column VIII are small relative to the  total amount  of cotton
produced, the  assumption  of constant price does not  appear to introduce a
significant  error.  The net benefit (column X of Table  VII) is  then the sum
of the savings  in  insect  control  costs and the increase in income due to
increased yields..
                 -^i
     The  insect control alternatives considered in the  analysis are listed
in column I  of Table. VII. In  column II  is  given the  potential time  of
implementation.  Alternatives denoted by "present" include methods  that are
currently being used or that  could  be implemented  at present.   Such
options are denoted by comment codes 1 or  2 as used  in  the Appendix.
(Comment  code  1 -^current practices; code  2 = alternative pest  controls
that could be  put:into practice within one year;  code 3 = alternative


                                     30

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Table VII.   Effect  of implementation of  cotton insect control  alternatives on insect control  costs.
               ii
in
IV
VI
VII
VIII
IX
Insect      Time of     Area of     Average Cost  ,  Average      Average Savings  Total Savings   Total  Increases  in  Net     c
Control      Implementa-  Implementa-  of Alternative   Current       in Insect    ,-  in  Insect    ,  Cotton Production    Benefits'
Alternative  tion1       tion2                       Costs^        Control Costs   Control Costs   Lint7  Value8
                          (acres)     ($ per acre)    ($ per acre)    ($  per acre)       ($)         (Ib)      ($)         ($)
Most
Economi-
cal 10
Least
Insecticide
Feasible1'
Scouting
Diapause/
Scouting
Trap Crop/
Scouting
Short Sea-
son/Scouting
Resistant/
Scouting
Resistant,
present
in 5 to 10
years
present
in 5 to 10
years
present
present
present
in 5 to 10
years
in 5 to 10
years
in 5 to 10
13.1 M
13.1 M
13.1 M
13.1 M
10.6 M
6.0 M
5.2 M
8.6 M

7.9 M
8.6 M
13.
8.
14.
9.
21.
26.
22.
14.

13.
10.
10
95
10
00
35
60
60
65

25
55
19.
19.
19.
19.
23.
30.
31.
27.

26.
27.
30
30
30
30
71
00
70
35

50
35
6.20
10.35
5.20
10.15
2.45
3.45
9.10
12.72

13.25
16.80
81.3 M
136.1 M
68.3 M
132.9 M
26.0 M
19.8 M
47.5 M
110.5 M

104.9 M
144.6 M
+58.8 M
+51.3 M
+58.3 M
-15.3 M
+58.8 M
63.9 M
0
-191.3 M

-11.2 M
-122.4 M
+26.5 M
23.1 M
26.5 M
-6.9 M
26.5 M
28.9 M
0
-86.07 M

-5.0 M
-55.1 M
109.19 M
159.16 M
94.75 M
126.04 M
52.5 M
48.6 M
47.5 M
24.4 M

99.9 M
89.5 M
Short       years
Season,
Scouting

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                            FOOTNOTES  FOR TABLE  VII


 1.   Time when the insect control  alternative  can  be  implemented in all
     regions  included in the area  of implementation.

 2.   The total number of acres on  which  the  insect control alternative has
     been reported to be feasible.

 3.   Average  cost per acre of the  alternative  over the  area of implemen-
     tation.

 4.   Average  cost per acre of current  insect control  practices over the
     area of  implementation of the insect control  alternative being con-
     sidered.

 5.   The average current cost (column  V) minus the average cost of the
     alternative (column IV).

 6.   Average  savings in insect control costs (column  VI) multiplied by
     the area of implementation (column III).

 7.   Based upon estimates of the effect of the insect control alternative
     on yield as reported in Appendix  A.

 8.   Assuming a value of $.45 per  pound.

 9.   The total savings in insect control costs (column  VII) plus the value
     of increased cotton production (column  IX).

10.   The most economical alternative in each region  is  implemented. (See
     text for further discussion.)

11.   In each  region the option is  implemented  which  uses the  least insecti-
     cide among those which are economically feasible.   (See  text for
     further  discussion.)
                                      32

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pest controls that require additional  research and potentially could  be
put into practice in 5 to 10 years.)   Insect control  alternatives  with a
time of implementation of 5 to 10 years include the currently available
alternatives as well as those expected to be available in the future.
These options have comment codes 1, 2, or 3 in the Appendix.   Diapause
control, scouting, and trap crops are  methods that are currently available.
Methods that require new plant varieties that are resistant or that mature in a
shorter season will not be available for commercial use for another 5 to  10 years.

     Two of the  insect control alternatives  listed in Table VII are entitled
"most economical".  For this alternative the insect control method selected
in each region is the least costly among the methods available in  the time
period specified.  Both insect control costs and yield losses are  con-
sidered.  If no yield losses occur in a region, the method selected will
be the one with  the lowest insect control cost.  If yield losses do occur,
the loss is valued at $.45 per pound and added to the insect control  cost.
The most economical option is then the method for which the combined cost
of insect control and yield loss is smallest.  For future alternatives,  the
options were chosen in a similar fashion except that they are chosen from
all methods: those currently available and those available in 5 to 10 years.

     The "least  insecticide feasible" alternative selects the insect control
method  in each  region  that  uses  the least  insecticide among those control
methods that are available within  the  appropriate time limit and that are
economically feasible.  An  option  is  considered to be economically feasible
if  the  combined  cost of insect  control and yield  loss is not more than
15%  greater than current  insect  control costs.  In a majority of cases
the  least insecticide option is  actually less expensive than the current
practice.

     From Table  VII, the  implementation of the most economical option
currently available in each region could reduce control  costs by a total
of $81.31  M, which is an average of $6.20 per acre.  There are also
increases in yields associated with the implementation of the most eco-
nomical alternative in Arkansas.  The yield increase is 58.8 M Ibs which
is valued at $26.46 M.  The net benefit from implementing the most eco-
nomical options currently available is then $109.19 M.

     The analysis of the most economical  options available in 5 to 10
years predict even larger benefits.  The total savings in insect control
costs is $136.08 M.  There are yield increases in Arkansas and decreases
in Mississippi for a net increase of 51.29 M pounds valued at $23.08 M.
The net benefit  is $159.16 M.

     The effect of implementing insect control alternatives on insecticide
use  is given in  Table VIII.  Columns  III, V  and VII of this table give the
total amounts of chlorinated hydrocarbons, organophosphates, and carbamate
insecticides, respectively, used in the area of implementation.  The
average rates per acre in the area of  implementation are given in columns
IV, VI and  VIII  of Table  VIII.

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        Table VIII.  Effect of implementation of cotton  insect  control  alternatives on insecticide use.
                      II
ill
IV
VI
VII
VIII
IX
XI
CO
Insect
Control
A 1 toynafiuO
/l 1 IfCI Mu \t I xC


Most
Economical

Least
Insecticide
Feasible

Scouting
Diapause/
Scouting
Trap Crop/
Scouting
Short Sea-
son/Scouting
Resistant/
Scouting
Resistant/
Short
Season/
Scouting
Time of
Implementa-
tion
I I Ull

•
present
in 5 to 10
years
present
in 5 to 10
years
present
present

present

in 5 to 10
years
in 5 to 10
years
in 5 to 10
years


Estimated Insecticide Use on Cotton
of Insect Control Alternative
Chlorinated
Total3
(M Ibs)
£1.9
42.5

59.1
34.3

83.8
50.7

41.7

43.9

37.3

29.8



Hydrocarbons
4
Average
(Ibs/acre)
4.72
3.24

4.50
2.61

7.87
8.81

7.97

5.11

4.70

3.47



with Implementation
Organophosphates
Total3
(M Ibs)
37.2
27.2

34.5
19.5

49.0
33.3

21.0

25.0

20.2

18.3



Average
(Ibs/acre)
2.83
2.08

2.63
1.49

4.60
5.78

4.01

2.91

2.54

2.13



Carbamates
Total3
(M Ibs)
3.9
3.5

1.7
.1

1.8
1.7

3.71

.18

.10

.01




Average
(Ibs/acre)
.30
.26

.13
.01

.17
.29

.71

.02

.01

.00



Ratio of Insecticide
to Current Use

c
or
.61
.41

.58
.33

.82
.64

.59

.44

.41

.30




c
OP6
.54
.40

.50
.28

.72
.76

.46

.39

.34

.29




7
C7
1.88
.88

.44
.02

.45
.62

3.49

.06

.04

.00




-------
                              FOOTNOTES FOR TABLE VIII


  1.  Time when the insect control alternative can be implemented in all
     regions  included in the area of implementation.

  2.  Ratio of the total insecticide (columns III, V or VII) to the total
     amount presently applied with the current insect control practices
     in the area of implementation.  (See Table VI for definition of area
     of implementation.)

  3.  Total amount of insecticide used in the area of implementation.

  4.  Total amount of insecticide divided by the area of implementation.

  5.  Chlorinated hydrocarbons

  6.  Organophosphates

  7.  Carbamates

  8.  See footnote 10 of Table VI.

  9.  See footnote 11 of Table VI.
     It is useful to compare the alternative control  estimates of insecti-
cide use to the currently used patterns.  The ratio of insecticide use to
current insecticide use is the amount of chemicals estimated to be used
with the specified insect control alternative divided by the amount of
insecticide currently used in the area of implementation.   Columns IX, X and
XI of Table VIII give the ratios for chlorinated hydrocarbons, organo-
phosphates, and carbamates, respectively.

     From the ratios, we note that implementation of the most economical
options that are currently available is estimated to reduce the use of
chlorinated hydrocarbons by 39% and organophosphates by 46%.  There is an
increase in the use of carbamate but the amount is small.   The implemen-
tation of the most economical options available in the future are predicted
to reduce insecticide use even more.  Chlorinated hydrocarbons are reduced
by 59% and organophosphates by 60%.

     As would be expected, insecticide use and"insect control cost savings
are lower for the least insecticide feasible options than for the
corresponding most economical options.  What is surprising ts that the
differences are not very great.  For options that are currently available,
the difference in insect control costs between the least insecticide
feasible options and the most economical is only $14 M or about $1 per
acre.  The insecticide use varies by about 0.5 Ib per acre.

                                      35

-------
     With insect control methods available in the future, both the least
insecticide feasible and the most economical options have large savings
in insect control costs of $133 M and $136 M, respectively.  There is a
significant difference in cotton production between the two alternatives.
This is primarily due to yield changes in Arkansas.

     Of the insect control methods currently available, scouting is clearly
important.  It  is an available option on over 80% of the cotton acreage.
However, one can see from the results in Tables VII and VIII that the bene-
fits of scouting are greatly enhanced by its use in combination with other
methods of control.  For example, the implementation of scouting saves
only $26 M ($2.45 per acre) in insect control costs.  However, the
implementation  of the most economical options, which almost always involve
scouting, has an additional saving of $81 M (Table VII, column VII).  In
addition, insecticide use is reduced by about 20% for scouting alone but is
reduced by about 40% with the implementation of the most economical options
currently available (Table VIII, columns IX, X and XI).

     Diapause control used in conjunction with scouting is currently a
feasible option on 6 M acres.  In this area the current average cost of
insect control  is $30 per acre.  The implementation of diapause control and
scouting reduces this cost by over $3 an acre.  Because of substantial
increases in yields in Arkansas, the total net benefit on 6 M acres is
calculated to be $48.6 M.

     The use of trap crops is currently a feasible option on 5.23 M acres.
These regions include areas where insect control costs are high, an average
of $31.70 per acre.  The savings in insect control costs are substantial,
$9.10 per acre.  Insecticide use is reduced by about 43%.  However, the
total net benefit is not as high for trap crop/scouting as for scouting
or diapause/scouting because there are no yield increases associated with
trap crops.  However, as noted above, the yield increases associated with
scouting and diapause/scouting alternatives occur primarily in Arkansas.
Trap crops are  not an option in Arkansas.  Therefore, on the 5.23 M acres
where trap crops are a feasible option, the use of trap crops in combination
with scouting is more profitable than either scouting alone or scouting and
diapause control.

     The last three alternatives in Tables VII and VIII utilize special
plant varieties that have resistance to insect damage or that mature in
a shorter time.  These varieties will not be ready for commercial use for
another 5 to 10 years.  It is estimated that varieties that have a short
season because  they mature more quickly will be available on 8.6 M acres.
Resistant varieties that do not have short season characteristics are
expected to be  available on 7.94 M acres.

     The savings in insect control costs are $111 M for varieties that have
only short season characteristics and $145 M for varieties with both short
season and resistance characteristics.  However, in both cases there are
some yield losses, mainly in Mississippi.  Outside Mississippi, the imple-
mentation of insect control programs that utilize short season, resistant
                                     36

-------
varieties appears to be advantageous from both economic and environmental
viewpoints.

     In summary, the most outstanding aspect of the results presented in
Tables VII and VIII is that, contrary to popular belief, reductions in insecti
cide use need not increase the cost of producing cotton.  All  of the alter-
natives considered substantially reduce total costs (insect control costs
plus yield losses) while reducing insecticide use.  The implementation of
the most economical among currently available options reduces  insecticide
use by about 40% and control costs by $81 M (Tables VII and VIII).  The
implementation of control methods that will be available in the future
reduces insecticide use and control costs even further.

     An examination of the results in Table VII also indicates that no single
method of insect control is best throughout the nation.  (If this were not
true, one of the methods would have had net benefits that were close to those
derived for the most economical options.)  The indication is that the best
combination of methods will vary from region to region.  Scouting is
usually a part of the control programs that are most economical.  The use of
resistant varieties in conjunction with scouting is estimated  to be the
most profitable among technologies available in the future.

     The relative importance of each insect control alternative is measured
in part by comparing the total savings (Table VII, column VII) and net
benefits (Table VII, column X).  It should be emphasized that  these values
are based upon total costs and yield increases throughout the  area of
implementation.  In some cases a method was not as advantageous throughout
the area of implementation as some other methods, but it was very profitable
in certain regions.  For example, the net benefits from resistant, short
season varieties are greatly reduced by yield losses in Mississippi and
Arkansas.  However, in some other area, the use of these varieties are pre-
dicted to generate a considerable reduction in cotton production costs.

     One difficulty in using the results of Tables VII and VIII to compare
different pest control methods is that the location and size of the area of
implementation of each method is different.  These Tables give a detailed
description of the effects of implementing a method in those regions where
it has been acknowledged to be a feasible option.  However, it is difficult
to use these values to compare one method to another in terms  of their
national significance.

     In order to give another basis for comparison, the nationwide effect
of implementation of each of the pest control methods was analyzed.  The
results are presented in Tables IX and X.  These calculations  are based
upon the costs, benefits and insecticide use over the entire 13.1 M acres
of cotton production.  Outside the area of implementation of each method, it
was necessary to make some assumptions about the pest control  methods being
used.  Since scouting is an available and economical option in most areas,
it was assumed that outside the area of implementation, scouting would be
used in the regions where scouting is an available option.  In the remaining
area, pest control methods are not changed from current practice.
                                     37

-------

Table  IX.   Costs and  benefits resulting from the  nationwide  implementation  of insect control
            alternatives1.


     I             II            III            IV            V            VI          VII     VIII        IX
                                                                                   Total  Increases in
                           Area of      Average Cost   Average Savings  Total  Savings  Cotton  Production
Insect        Time of       Imp! ementa-  of Alterna-    in  Insect    ~   in Insect         3        4     Net
Control       Implementa-   tion         tive          Control Costs    Control  Costs   Lint    Value      Benefits
Alternative
Scouting
Diapause/
Scouting
Trap Crops/
Scouting
Short Season
Variety/
Scouting
Resistant
Variety/
Scouting
tion
present
present

present
•
in five to
ten years

in five to
ten years

(acres)
10.6 M
6.0 M

5.2 M

8.6 M


7.9 M


($ per acre)
17.
16.

15.

10.


10.


30
00

80

50


30


($ per acre)
2
3

3

8


9


.00
.20

.50

.80


.00


($)
26
42

45

115


118


.0 M
.6 M

.7 M

.0 M


.4 M


(Ibs)
58.8 M
63.9 M

58.8 M

-191.3 M


-11.2 M


($)
26.5 M
28.8 M

26.5 M

-86.1 M


-5.0 M


($)
52.5 M
71.3 M

72.2 M

28.9 M


113.3 M


Resistant,    in five to      8.6 M         7.90        11.40           150.1  M    -122.4 M -55.1 M      95.0 M
Short Season  ten years
Variety/
Scouting

-------
 Footnotes for Table IX

 1  All costs and benefits are calculated over the entire 13.1  M acres  of
    cotton production.   Outside the area of implementation of a method, scout-
    ing is assumed to be practiced wherever it is available.   In the remaining
    regions, the current pest control  practices are assumed to be used.

 2  The current average cost on the 13.1 M acres of land presently in cotton
    production is $19.30.   Column V is $19.30 minus the values given in column
    IV.

 3  Based upon estimates of the effect of the insect control  alternative on
    yield as reported in Appendix A.

 4  Assuming a value of $.45 per pound

 5  The total savings in insect control  costs (column VI)  plus  the value of
    increased cotton production (column VIII)
     The values in Tables VIII and X give results that are qualitatively
similar to those in Tables VII and VIII.  Diapause/scouting and trap crop/
scouting have net benefits that are nearly equal.  The use of resistant
varieties is the most profitable of the methods available in the future.
Short season varieties are not as beneficial as other techniques because of
yield losses.  There is a difference in cotton production with trap crop/
scouting between Table VII and Table IX.  This is due to an increase in
cotton production in Arkansas resulting from the implementation of a
scouting program.  Trap crops are not an available option in Arkansas.

      In the  dynamic analysis discussed  in the next section, the location of
crop  production as well as pest control methods are allowed to change.
Since this analysis is nationwide, the  same criterion is used in Tables  IX
and X for choosing pest management methods outside the area of implementa-
tion.  Namely, scouting is used if it is an available option.  Otherwise
the methods  currently used are assumed  to be practiced.


DYNAMIC ANALYSIS

     The dynamic analysis was conducted using the linear programming model
described in Rovinsky et al. (1977).  Alternate pest management practices
were  reflected through regional production costs and yields which were
specified as input parameters to the model.  Each pest management strategy
required a separate model analysis.  For each pest management strategy
the model calculates the optimum location of crop production, production
costs, insecticide use and insect control costs.
                                      39

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Table X.  Insecticide  use resulting from the nationwide  implementation of insect control
          alternatives.
                    II
III
                                        IV
                                                              VI
                                            VII
                                                                  Carbamates
VIII     XI      X

 Ratio  of  Insecticide
                    r

   Use  to  Current Use*
Insect Control
Alternative
Scouting
Diapause/
Scouting
Trap Crop/
Scouting
Short Season
Variety/
Scouting
v Resistant
Variety/
Scouting
Resistant,
Short
Season
Vari ety/
Scouti ng
unit/I iiiui.«.%
Total
(M Ibs)
83.8
55.0

68.2

• 45.7


43.9


31.6




Avpranp
nvci u^jc
(Ibs/acre)
6.39
4.95

5.20

3.48


3.35


2.41




Total
TFTTFs)
49.0
43.7

40.0

27.0


25.4


20.3




Average
Ibs/acre)
3.74
3.33

3.05

2.06


1.94


1.55




Total Average
(M Ibs) (Ibs/acre)
1.8 0.14
2.1 0.16

5.2 0.39

0.5 0.04


0.5 0.04


0.3 0.03




CH3

0.82
0.64

0.67

0.45


0.43


0.31




OP4

0.72
0.64

0.58

0.39


0.37


0.30




C5
0.45
0.54

1.32

0.13


0.12


0.09





-------
Footnotes for Table X

1  All insecticide totals and ratios are calculated over the entire 13.1  M
   acres of cotton production.  Outside the area of implementation of a
   method, scouting is assumed to be practiced wherever it is a feasible
   option.  In the remaining regions, the current pest control  practices
   are assumed to be used.

2  ratio of the total insecticide (columns II, IV,  or VI)  to the total
   amount presently applied with the current insect control  practices
   in the entire 13.1 M acres of cotton production

3  chlorinated hydrocarbons

4  organophosphates

5  carbamates
     In addition to considering both cotton and corn, the analysis eval-
uates the impact of two levels of pest management technology and three
levels of export demand.  Both limited and unlimited shifts in regional
cotton acreage were considered.  The first pest management technology
(current technology) included only those pest management practices that
are currently available, i.e., strategies that could be adopted by farmers
within one year.  The future technology level includes insect control
strategies that entomologists believe will be available within 5 to 10
years.  The three export levels include:  (1) the level experienced
during 1973; (2) 50 percent below 1973--which is approximately equal to
1971 quantities for many crops; and (3) 50 percent above 1973 levels--
which assumes that the effective demand of developing countries will
continue to expand.

     With limited cotton acreage shifts, the amount of cotton that could
shift out of any region was limited by a lower bound on acreage by region.
The lower bound represented approximately 80 percent of the historical
cotton allotment.  With unlimited cotton acreage shift, there were no
limits on the amount of cotton to be produced in any area.  This assumes
that farmers adjust completely to the technological and economic conditions
specified.

Cotton:  Current Technology

     Several insect control practices and combinations of practices are
possible on cotton.  The complexity is increased when the peculiarities
of regions and states are included.  The analyses described below are
limited to those pest management strategies that are considered most
promising or are widely used.

                                     41

-------
The Short Run--
     Many physical and economic factors  limit the ability of farmers to
respond to changes in the economic  and regulatory factors influencing crop
production.  This is particularly important for cotton since acreage allot-
ment practically regulated  the amount of cotton grown on farms for many years.
This regulation and the  threat of its return, at least in farmers' minds
limits the rate at which cotton will shift out of economically noncompetitive
areas.  Fixed factors of production and  normal resistance to change also
contribute to slow regional  shift in response to economic change.  To
illustrate the impact of differential adjustment, analyses have been made
under what have been termed a short run  situation and a long run situation.
The basic difference between these  two situations is the amount of regional
shift in cotton acreage  allowed.  Lower  bounds on cotton acreage by region
as defined by Rovinsky et al. (1977) were used to portray the short run
situation.  No lower bounds were used with the long run situation.

     Current situation—This analysis included the insect control strategies
presently in use on U.S. farms.  The results approximate 1973 production
with allowance for adjustment by farmers to basic economic conditions preva-
lent in 1973.  Total cotton insecticide  use was estimated at 123 million
pounds with total insect control costs of $184 million (Table XI).  Cotton
production used approximately 12.7  (the  model estimate differed from the
13.1 mentioned earlier)  million acres and total production cost was $1.25
billion.  Acreage, production and production cost for corn and the other feed
grains are shown in Table XII.  This analysis using current farm practices
will be used as a basis  for comparison in evaluating the effectiveness of
other insect control strategies.

     Scouting—If scouting  were adopted  in all areas where entomologists
believe that the procedure  has been sufficiently developed and tested to be
adopted immediately by all  farmers, cotton insecticide use would drop to 103
million pounds and insect control costs  would be $171 million (Table XI).
This represents a 16% saving in insecticide use and a 7% saving in insect
control costs compared to the current situation.  The only significant
regional shift in production caused by this strategy is a movement of 1.2
million acres of cotton  from Texas  and Oklahoma into other areas including
the Arkansas/Louisiana/Mississippi  region (Table XIII).  Cotton displaced
from the Texas/Oklahoma  area was replaced by sorghum and corn.  The shift
from the Texas/Oklahoma  area is apparently caused by the high cost of scouting
relative to other insect control strategies in parts of Texas.

     Diapause and scouting—When diapause control is combined with scouting
wherever diapause control is a currently viabVe option, the use of chlorina-
ted hydrocarbons declines significantly  and total insecticide use declines
to 81 million pounds (Table XI).  This represents a 34% decline in insecti-
cide use compared to the current situation and a 21% decline from the level
achieved with use of scouting alone.  This reduction in insecticide use
involved a slight increase  in insecticide control costs over use of scouting
alone, but was somewhat  less costly than current situation.  The location of
cotton production with this  insect  control strategy is similar to that found
with the current situation.
                                      42

-------
Table XI.  The use of insecticide in cotton utilizing current alternative
           insect control strategies during the short run.
Insect Control

Strategy—

Regular

Current Situation

Scouting

Diapause/Scouting

Trap-Crop/Scouti ng

Most Economical (Current)

No Insecticide
Pounds of Insecticide Used (x 10 )   Insect Control

                                    Costs  (x  106)

                                      $188.8
        OP3-'
C-   Total
77.9   47.6   2.3   127.8

75.5   45.3   1.9   122.8

65.7   36.9   0.9   103.5

47.1   32.9   1.1    81.1

54.9   30.9   4.0    89.8

48.6   28.0   4.0    80.7

 000       0
                    184.4

                    170.6

                    174.2

                    158.5

                    134.9

                      0
]_/ See text for description of strategies
2J Chlorinated insecticides
3/ Phosphate insecticides
4/ Carbamate insecticides
     Trap crop and scouting—Use of a trap crop and scouting  wherever the
combination is feasible and scouting in all  other areas  reduced insecticide
use to 90 million pounds.  This is 26 percent less than  with  current practice
and 13 percent less than with scouting alone.  Insect control  cost decreased
by 14 and 7 percent, respectively.

     Most economical insect control strategy—The most economical  insect
control strategy for each region was defined as the strategy  with  the lowest
insect control costs when insecticide, insecticide application costs, value
of yield differential and other strategy implementation  costs (such as
cultural practice costs of trap crops) were considered.   Selecting the most
economical insect control strategy for cotton for each producing region from
an array of known and applicable technologies resulted in a savings of about
$49.9 million in cotton insect control costs (Table XI).  This 27% reduction
in cotton insect control costs would also result in reducing  the total
amount of insecticide used by about 33%.

     No insecticide use on cotton and corn—To determine the  impact of
withdrawal of insecticides on land use, on regional shifts in cotton and
corn production and on production costs, an analysis was made assuming no
pesticides were used.  This analysis has to be viewed with care since the
                                     43

-------
Table XII.   Total  production and production costs for various crops  when  when current  alterna-
              tive  insect  control  strategies are employed on  cotton  during  the short run.

-p*
-pa




Insect Control
aa«aK1'
Regular
Current Situation
Scouting
Diapause/Scouting
Trap Crop/Scouting
Host Econonlcal (Current)
No Insecticide

Acres?/
13.0
12.7
11.9
12.2
11. G
11.6
16.3
Cotton
Production^/
6,929
6,697
6,929
6,929
6,929
6,929
6,929

Costs-'
1.267
1,246
1,245
1,227
1,226
1,202
1.313
Acres?/
53.1
62.6
53.0
52.6
53.1
53.1
53.6
Corn
Production^/
276,692
271,104
275,189
274,753
275,190
275,180
274,539

Costs*/
2,820
2,801
2,804
2,791
2,796
2,796
2,879

Acres?/
42.9
42.9
43.0
42.9
42.3
42.9
43.9
Soybean
Production^/
75.629
74,744
75,751
75,586
75,746
75,746
76,153

Costs*/
1,344
1,343
1,144
1,342
1,344
1,344
1,355

Acres?/
71.9
71.9
72.0
71.9
72.0
72.0
71.2
Wheat
130,129
124,658
130,145
130,145
130,145
130.145
127,031

Costs*/
1,599
1,599
1.588
1,598
1,587
1,587
1.587

Acres?/
20.7
21.1
21.9
21.1
22.0
22.0
20.8
Sorqhun
Production^/
70,956
70,741
73,374
70,320
73,373
73,373
72,673
Other Snail Grains
Costs*/
661
677
696
677
701
701
665
Acres?/
38.1
38.1
37.5
38.5
37.5
37.5
38.0
Production^'
66,721
60,051
65,691
67.355
65,691
65.691
66,494
Costs4/
621
622
610
629
609
609
632
Totals
Acres2/
239.6
239.4
239.4
239.3
238.5
239.1
243.8
Costs4'
8.312
8.288
8,288
8.265
8,264
8.240
8,432
I/ See text for description or strategies
2/ HI 11 Ions of acres
3/ Millions of pounds
V Production costs 1i nil]Ions of dollars

-------
en
         Table XIII.  Distribution  of cotton production in different  consuming regions utilizing current
                      alternative insect control strategies during  the  short run.


                                                     Insect Control Strategy-
Consuming
Regions

Iowa/Missouri
Va./W.Va./N.C.
Ky./Tenn.
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Ariz./N.M.
Calif.
Total
Regular

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,122
8,218
258
418
12,972
Current
Situation

179
217
242
1,205
15
2,244
7,411
253
370
12,136
Scouting

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,626
6,639
253
418
11,892
Diapause/
Scouting

179
247
311
1,205
15
2,354
7,244
258
418
12,231
Trap-Crop/
Scouting

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,782
6,181
258
418
11,595
Most
Economical
(Current)

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,782
6,181
253
418
11,596
No
Insecticide

179
217
243
1,205
15
2,451
10,756
296
459
15,821
         I/ See text for description of  strategies.

-------
entomologists estimating the yield impacts of no pesticide use for individual
options were likely not taking into account the full impact of a complete
withdrawal of all insecticide in all areas.  Further the analysis does not
take into consideration the changes in inter-farm and inter-year variability
that such a practice may cause.  This analysis does, however, provide some
general indication of the  impact of insecticide withdrawal.

     With this alternative, insecticide use on cotton and corn, of course,
drops to zero reflecting a reduction in insecticide use of nearly 123
million pounds compared to the current situation.  Acreage used in cotton
production increases 29% over the amount used under the current situation
and 30% to 40% over other  strategies.  Total land used for all crops increased
about 2%.  Cotton production costs were 6% above costs under current practice
and total production costs for all  crops included in the model were nearly
2% higher.  Since no land or other fixed costs are included in the production
cost estimates, these data significantly underestimate the costs  of cropping
the increased acreage.  This is particularly true for cotton.

The Long Run--
     Given a sufficient period of time farmers will  completely adjust to
a changed economic environment.  As implied above the rate of adjustment
will depend upon the degree of change in crop economy, the magnitude of
fixed factors of production and the available alternatives.  A linear
programming analysis with no restriction on regional production shifts in-
dicates the result that could be expected after complete adjustment has
taken place.  While the real  world is never static long enough for complete
adjustment to any particular economic environment to take place,  an analy-
sis under these conditions indicates the direction and magnitude  of changes
that can be expected.  Thus, the short run analysis  presented above and the
long run analysis presented below bracket the results that could  be
expected with any particular strategy (Table XIV).  Initial consequences
of  implementing a particular strategy can be expected to look something
like the results from the  short run analyses while  the long run results will
be  more closely approximated as time progresses (Tables XI, XII, XIII, XIV,
XV, and XVI).

     The long run situation was approximated by allowing unlimited shift
in  regional production of  all crops.  Under these conditions nearly all
cotton production shifted  to the Arkansas/Louisiana/Mississippi and Texas/
Oklahoma areas (Table XVI).  The particular insect  control strategy used
has little impact on the general location of production.  It appears that
the Arkansas/Louisiana/Mississippi and Texas/Oklahoma areas have a large
enough production advantage over other areas that the differential cost of
alternate insect control strategies does not cause  changes in the location
of  production.  Under these conditions the amount of pesticide used and the
magnitude of insect control costs are a function of the specific levels of
cost and insecticide use in these geographic areas  (Tables XIV and XV).
This implies that the expected relationship between the insect control costs
and insecticide use for the strategies examined that was apparent in the
short run, may no longer hold.
                                      46

-------
 Table  XIV.  The  use of  insecticide in cotton utilizing current alternative
            insect control strategies during the long term.
 Insect  Control

 Strategy-

 Regular

 Current Situation

 Scouting

 Diapause/Scouting

 Trap-Crop/Scouting

 Most  Economical  (Current)

 No  Insecticide
Pounds of Insecticide Used (x 10 )   Insect Control

                                    Costs  (x  106)

                                        96.2

                                        91.6

                                       133.0

                                       111.8

                                       117.4

                                       116.5

                                        0
CH^/
38.2
35.8
33.9
23.1
26.5
24.7
0
0&
23.7
22.2
24.9
21.1
20.5
21.1
0
C4/
.1
.1
.2
.2
.5
.5
0
Total
62.1
58.2
59.0
44.4
47.5
46.1
0.
 !_/  See  text for description of strategies
 2J  Chlorinated insecticides
 3/  Phosphate  insecticides
 4/  Carbamate  insecticides
     The shift in location of production that could be  expected  to  occur
in the absence of regional acreage limitation would reduce  insecticide use
by 52% with continued use of current practices (Tables  XI  and  XIV).  Com-
pared to current practice, universal  use of scouting alone  would result in
a slightly higher level  of insecticide use and higher insecticide control
costs and total production costs.   Use of diapause  and  scouting  would
reduce insecticide use by 64% with lower insect control  costs  and total
production costs than scouting alone (Tables XI, XII, XIV,  XV).   Use of the
most economical strategy in all  areas resulted in a 62% reduction in insec-
ticide use with insect control costs that are slightly  higher  than  the
diapause-scouting system option but with the lowest total  production costs
for crops of all the options considered (Tables XI, XII, XIV,  and XV).

     It is important to note that  the level  of insecticide  use,  insect
control costs and total  production costs are lower for all  long  run
analyses compared to short run analyses (Tables XI, XII, XIV,  and XV).
This implies that insecticide use  (and production costs) could be reduced
more by allowing regional  shifts  in  production than  by  forcing  universal
use of any of the currently available technologies.  Environmental  pollution
 from the current high level  use of insecticides is therefore  an externality
 of the government allotment programs.  The  allotment programs restricted
 regional  shifts in cotton production in the nation.
                                      47

-------
      Table  XV.  Total production costs for  various crops when  current alternative insect control
                   strategies are  employed in  cotton during the  long  run.
00
Insect Control
Strategy*'
Regular
Current Situation
Scouting
Diapause/Scouting
Trap Crop/Scouting
host Econoalral (Current)
No Insecticide

Acres?/
12.9
12.7
12.4
12.1
12.2
12.2
14.5
Cotton
Production?/
6.929
6,929
6,929
6.929
6,929
6.929
6.929

Costs"
934
927
967
945
954
941
1.015

Acre.^
54.9
54.0
53.7
53.3
53.2
52.7
=5.5
Corn

Production?' Costs"
282,112
280,520
278,787
276,591
276.592
276.025
312.848
2.887
2.872
2,053
2,828
2,825
2.821
2,882

Acre,?'
43.0
42.9
43.0
42.9
42.9
42.7
44.0
Soybean

Production?/. Costs"
75,904
75,807
75,805
70,654
75,608
75.460
76,489
1.346
1.345
1.344
1,340
1,341
1,589
1,366

Acres?/
71.8
71.8
71.6
71.6
71.6
71.5
71.1
Uheat

Production?' Costs"
130,167
130,149
130,149
125,210
130,149
130.157
128,226
1,604
1,598
1,592
1,590
1,590
1.589
1,599

Acres?'
18. 8
19.0
18.9
20.1
20.1
20.1
20.9
Sorqhum
Production?'
67,289
68,152
69,999
70,497
70,497
69,856
74,112
Other Small Grain
Costs"
635
639
657
662
661
659
680
Acres?'
36.9
37.3
37.3
38.2
38.2
39.0
35.9
Production?'
64,879
65.675
65,517
67 .346
67,345
68,638
63.207
Costs"
603
609
607
627
627
639
598
Tota's
Acres2'
238.4
237.8
237.8
238.3
238.2
238.3
242.1
Costs4
8.011
7.988
8.020
7.991
7,999
7.986
8,141
        ' See text for description o. strategies
        ' HIV) Ions of acres
        ' KillIons tf pounds
        ' Productlr.i costs In millions of dollars

-------
Table XVI.  Distribution of cotton production in different consuming regions utilizing current alternative
            insect control strategies during the long run.
                                                   Insect Cgntrol  Strategy-
Consuming
Regions

Iowa/Missouri
Va./W.Va./N.C.
^Ky./Tenn
ID
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Ariz/N.M.
Calif.
Total
Regular

0
30
68
0
0
1,977
10,634
107
48
12,864
Current
Situation

0
30
68
0
0
2,281
9,753
102
48
12,136
Scouting

0
30
68
0
0
2,665
9,462
107
48
12,380
Diapause/
Scouting

0
30
68
0
0
2,794
9,087
107
48
12,134 1
Trap Crop/
Scouting

0
30
68
42
0
2,841
9,080
107
48
2,216
Most
Economical
(Current)

0
30
68
42
0
2,998
8,895
107
48
12,187
No
Insecticide

0
30
68
0
0
2,794
9,087
107
48
12,134.,
I/ See text for description of strategies.

-------
Cotton:  Future Technology

     Adding the future possibility of boll weevil-resistant cotton and
short season  varieties to the  available control  technologies is expected
to contribute  importantly to cotton  insect control.  The analyses using
these strategies  provide an indication of the potential returns to develop-
ment of  these  technologies.

The Short  Run--
     For this  analysis the short run implies what would be expected if
resistance and short season varieties became available before significant
regional shifts in  production  had taken place.   Alternately the short run
could be interpreted as what would likely happen if  these strategies were
adopted  under current conditions (Tables XVII,  XVIII and XIX).

     The major impact of  resistant and short season  technologies compared
to currently  available technologies  on the location  of production in the
short run  is  to shift some cotton production from the Texas/Oklahoma area
to the Arkansas/Louisiana/Mississippi region  (Table  XIX).

     Short-season and scouting—Use  of short season  varieties and scouting
in all areas  where  this technology is expected  to be available within the
next 5 to  10  years  reduces both insecticide use and  pest control costs be-
Table XVII.  The use of insecticide in cotton utilizing future alternative
             insect control strategies during the short run.


Insect Control                Pounds of Insecticide Used (x 106)   Insect Control

Strategy-/                       C\&    OP-/    £f    Total      Costs  (x  IP6)
Short Season/Scouting           34.9    22.9     0.3    58.1         129.5

Resistant/Scouting              35.9    20.5     0.3    56.7         117.0


Resistant/Short Season/
    Scouting                    25.0    16.5     0,2    41.8          94.5


Most Economical (Future)        35.5    21.4     3.1    60.0          98.3
]_/ See text for description of strategies
2/ Chlorinated insecticides
3/ Phosphate insecticides
4/ Carbamate insecticides

                                      50

-------
Table  XVIII.  Total  production and production costs for various crops  when future  alternative
               insect control  strategies  are employed in cotton during  the short  run.
Insect Contot
Strait;)/"
Short Season/Scouting
Resistant/Scouting
Resistant/Short Season/
Scouting
Host Economical (Future)

1
Acres2' Pn
12.9
11.8
12.7
11.3

:otton
xluctlon?'
6,929
6,929
6,929
E.929

Corn Soybean "heat Sornhum
' Costs*' Acres?' Production?' Costs4/ Acres" Production?' Costs*' Acres?' Production?' Costs*' Acres?' Production?'
1,207 52.7 274,919 2,803 43.0 75,648 1,342 71.9 130.145 1.601 21.2 72,690
1.182 52.6 276,760 2,791 43.0 75,586 1.342 72.0 130.145 1,592 21.3 72,284
1,169 52.6 274,920 2.800 43.0 75,647 1.343 71.9 130.145 1.601 21.2 72.689
1,157 52.9 274,976 2.794 43.0 75.663 1,342 72.0 130,145 '.589 21.9 72,829

Other Snail Grains Totals
Costs*' Acres?' Production?' Costs4' Acres2' Costs'
676 38.2 66,721 622 239.7 8.252
685 38.5 79,426 626 239.2 8,220
678 38.1 66.721 622 239.6 8.212
699 38.1 66,509 620 239.0 8.202

' Hill Ions of acres
' H111 Ions of pounds
' Production costs in •Dllgns of dollars

-------
Table XIX.   Distribution of cotton production in different consuming regions
             utilizing future alternative insect control strategies during
             the  short run.


                                   Insect Control Strategy-
Consuming
Regions

Iowa/Missouri
Va./W.Va./N.C.
Ky./Tenn.
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Ariz./N.M.
Calif.
Total
Short Season/
Scouting

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,435
7,785
258
418
12,852
Resistant/
Scouting

- - i nousana
179
247
310
1,205
15
2,671
6,540
258
418
11,843
Resistant/
Short Season/
Scouting

Acres ------
179
247
310
1,205
15
2,438
7,692
258
418
12,762
Most
Economical
(Future)

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,943
5,773
258
418
11,348
]_/ See text for description of strategies
low the levels achieved with any of the technologies currently available.
Insecticide use would be 53% lower than with current practices (Tables  XI,
XVII).  Total production costs are similar to those experienced with most
economical current technology (Tables XII, XVIII-).

     Resistant-variety and scouting—Resistant variety reduces insecticide
use to approximately the same level as is achieved with short-season varie-
ties (Tables XI, XVII).  Insect control costs are somewhat lower than for
short-season varieties.  Total production costs are lower than was  found
for any of the currently available technologies (Tables XII,  XVIII).

     Short-season, resistant and scouting—When boll weevil-resistance  and
short season varieties are combined, insecticide use, insect control costs

                                      52

-------
and total production costs are lower than for any other strategy considered
(Tables XI, XII, XVII, XVIII).  Insecticide use is 66% less than found for
the current situation (Tables XI, XVII).  Compared to the lowest total cost
achievable under current technology (most economical) a savings of $28
million per year in the cost of producing the crops included in the model
is achieved through use of short-season and resistant varieties (Tables XII,
XVIII).

The Long Run~
     In general, insecticide use and insect control costs show the same
relative pattern in the long run analysis as was found in the short run
analysis (Tables XVII and XX).  Resistance with scouting shows a greater
reduction in both insecticide use and costs than short-season with scouting
(Table XX).  However, the greatest reduction in insecticide use is achieved
with both short season and resistance.

     Although the most economical option uses slightly more insecticide
than the resistant/short-season/scouting option and has slightly higher
insect control costs, a 68% reduction in insecticide use compared with the
current situation is achieved (Table XX).  Total production costs are less
with the most economical option than the resistant/short-season/scouting
option (Table XXI).
Table XX.  The use of insecticide in cotton utilizing future alternative
           insect control  strategies during the long run.


Insect Control               Pounds of Insecticide Used (x 10 )   Insect Control

Strategy-/                    CH-/     OP-/     C-/    Total      Costs (x IP6)
Short Season/Scouting         25.8     19.5     >0     45.4        $104.1

Resistant/Scouting            22.9     16.5     >0     39.4          97.8


Resistant/Short Season/
    Scouting                  19.4     16.4     >0     35.8          84.6

Most Economical (Future)      20.3     18.6      0.2   39.1         101.7
_]_/ See text for description of strategies
2/ Chlorinated insecticides
3/ Phosphate insecticides
3/ Carbamate insecticides
                                      53

-------
        Table  XXI.  Total production and  production costs for various crops  when  future  alternative  insect
                     control  strategies are employed in  cotton during  the long run.
cn
Insect Control
Strategy^
Short Season/Scouting
Resistant/Scouting
Resistant/Short Season/
Scouting
Host Economical (Future)

Acres?'
12.8
12.3
12.8
12.2
Cotton
Production3-'
6.929
6.929
6,929
6.929

Co.sts*'
945.2
911.1
925.7
925.9

Acres?'
53.2
52.8
53.2
52.6
Corn
Production3'
279,280
277,609
279,281
276,530

Costs*'
2,851
2,834
2,851
2.822

Acres?'
42.9
42.8
42.9
42.8
Soybean
Production3^
75.640
75,674
75.638
75,673

Costs*'
1,337.1
1,338.9
1,337.9
1,338.9

Acres?'
71.5
71.7
71.5
71.8
Uheat
Production3^
130,149
130,152
130,149
130,149

Costs*'
1,596.5
1.508.5
1.S94.8
1.585.8

Acr«?'
19.8
20.1
19.8
20.8
Soronum
Production3-'
68.467
70,419
68.467
71.481
Other Small Grains
Costs'"
649.3
668.5
649.3
679.7
Acres?'
38.0
37.9
38.0
37.9
Production
66.636
66,306
66.634
66.306
Cj»'s"
616.9
613.0
617.0
613.0
Totals
Acres2'
238.2
237.7
238.2
23G.O
Cost,4'
7,996.1
7.954.2
7.975.8
7.965.6
       I/ See text for description of strategies
       y Millions of acres
       3/ HI 11 Ions of pounds
       V Production costs In millions of dollars

-------
     In the long run more cotton is grown in the Arkansas/Louisiana/
Mississippi region with future technology than with current technology
(Table XXII).  Assuming that cotton is a profitable crop for those areas,
the return to research to develop the future technologies would be greater
for this region than for the rest of the country.

Cotton:  Alternate Export Levels

     As the level of exports increase the competition for land with low
insect control costs increases and, in general, both the amount of insecti-
cide used and total insect control costs increase (Table XXIII).  The
magnitude of this increase appears to be 3% or less in moving from approxi-
mately 1971 (low) export levels to 1973 (medium) export  levels.  However, a
further increase of approximately the same magnitude would increase insecti-
Table XXII.   Distribution of cotton production  in  different consuming  regions
             utilizing future alternative insect control  strategies  during
             the long run.
                                                         I/
                                  Insect Control  Strategy-
Consuming
Regions

Iowa/Missouri
Va./W.Va./N.C.
Ky./Tenn.
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Ariz./N.M.
Calif.
Total
Short Season/
Scouting

0
30
68
202
0
3,310
9,049
107
48
12,814
Resistant/
Scouting

0
30
68
0
0
3,381
8,752
28
48
12,307
Resistant/
Short Season/
Scouting

0
30
68
202
0
3,401
9,014
72
48
12,835
Most
Economical
(Future)

0
30
68
202
0
3,725
8,010
71
48
12,154
V See text for description of strategies

                                     55

-------
      Table XXIII.
The  use of  insecticide in  cotton  and corn utilizing current  and future alternative
insect control strategies  in cotton during the  short  run for export  levels  of low,
medium, and high.
                                        Cotton
                                                                          Corn
                                                                                                           Total
cn
Cotton Insect Pounds of
Control Strategies 2/
and Export Levels CH^'
Scouting^
Low Exports
Medium Exports
High Exports
Most_E_cpnom1cal (Current J. -
Low Exports
Medium Exports
High Exports
Resistant/Scouting -
Low Exports
Medium Exports
High Exports
Resistant/Short Season/Scouting-'
Low Exports
Medium Exports
High Exports
Insecticide Used(x 106
OP-' C-' Total
) Insect Pounds of Insecticide Used(x 10
Control , 7/ -,, ,,
Costsix 10 ) CH-' OP-' C-' Total
Costs(x 106)
Pounds of Insecticide
CH?' OPI C4/
Used(x 106) Insect
Control ,
Total Costsfx 10°)
Current Technology
63.3
05. 7
71.9

48.6
43.6
52.1
36.3
36.9
42.4

27.8
28.0
29.7
0.9
0.9
0.9

5.0
4.0
5.0
100.6
103.5
115.1

£1.4
80.7
36.8
165.7
170.6
206.4

132.8
134.9
152.4
3.1
4.0
10.0

3.1
4.0
9.8
8.0
11.3
16.1

3.0
11.2
15.9
10.1
13.8
27.1

10.1
13.7
26.9
21.2
29.1
53.2

21.2
28.9
52.6
80.9
109.3
174.4

80.9
108.4
172.1
66.5
69.5
81.9

51.8
52.6
61.9
44.3 11.0
48.1 14.7
58. 5 28.0

35.8 15.1
39.2 17.7
45.5 31.9
121.8
132.6
168.4

102.7
109.6
139.3

246.6
279.9
330.7

213.7
243.2
324.5
Future Technology
39.7
35.9
44.4

25.8
25.0
27.9
22.5
20.6
25.9

17.4
16.6
18.6
0.3
0.3
0.3

0.2
0.2
0.2
62.5
56.7
70.5

43.4
41.8
46.6
113.1
116.9
132.6

95.7
94.5
99.0
3.1
4.1
9.J

25.8
4.1
9.9
8.0
11.4
15.9

17.4
11.3
16.3
10.1
13.9
26.9

0.2
13.9
27.2
21.3
29.4
52.5

43.4
.29.3
53.5
80.9
110.7
172.2

95.7
110.2
176.3
42.8
39.9
54.2

51.6
29.1
37.0
30.5 10.4
32.0 14.2
41.7 27.1

34.9 0.3
27.9 14.0
34.9 27.4
83.7
86.1
123.1

86.3
71.1
100.1
194.1
227.6
304.9

191.3
204.7
275.3
       I/ See text for description of strategies
       |/ Chlorinated insecticides
       3/ Phosphate insecticides
       47 Carbamate insecticides

-------
cide use 7 to 12% and insect control costs 13 to 21% with current technology.
With future technology insect control costs increase with increasing exports
but the impact on insecticide use is variable.  As might be expected varying
export levels influenced production costs, amounts produced, and acreages
(Table XXIV).

     It should be pointed out that this analysis does not consider the impact
of different cotton export levels; only changes in the level of feed-food
grain exports are considered.

     Varying the level of feed-food crop exports had relatively minor impact
on the location of cotton production in the short run (Table XXV).  The major
general change was an increase of cotton acreage in Arkansas/Louisiana/
Mississippi and a decline in Texas/Oklahoma as the level of exports increased.
Also the total acreage of cotton declined slightly.

Corn:  Current Technology

     The number of alternatives for reducing insecticide use on corn are
limited.  Rotation is the only currently available technology that could be
employed for the control of the major pest, the rootworm complex.  Scouting
is being developed and may be adaptable within a few years.  The analysis
below assesses«the impact of adopting these alternatives.

     This analysis included the corn insect control strategies presently
in use on U.S. farms.   Total  insecticide use on corn was estimated at 29.1
million pounds and total  corn insect control  costs were $109.3 million
(Table XXVI).

     An obvious difference between corn and cotton is that about one-quarter
as much insecticide is used on corn as on cotton and this relatively small
quantity of insecticide is spread over about 4 times as many acres (Tables
XXVI, XXVII, XXVIII).   On a per acre basis about one-sixteenth as much
insecticide is used on corn compared to cotton.  This fact limits the impact
of corn insect control strategies in reducing insecticide use on corn.

Rotations—

     The primary insect pest on corn is the rootworm complex.  The current
control alternative available for rootworm control is rotation with a nonhost
crop.  Universal use of rotation would reduce insecticide use from 29.1 to
8.5 million pounds or 71%.  Total insect control costs would be reduced
68% (Table XXVI).  However, total production costs for all crops would
increase $125 million or approximately 1.5% (Table XXVII).

Corn:  Future Technology

     Some opportunity exists for improving the current resistance in corn
to the European corn borer.  The amount of insecticide used in corn is rela-
tively small (only about 1% of acreage is treated) for the corn borer;
therefore, the potential reduction in total insecticide for corn borer resis-
tance is relatively small.

                                      57

-------
Table XXIV.   Total  production and  production costs  for various crops when  current and future
               insect control  strategies are employed in cotton during the short term at  low,
               medium, and  high exports.
Cotton Insect

Control Strategies 2/
•Mfiuoritanii Acres-'
Scoiitliw1'
Low Exports
Hedlio Exports
High Exports
Host E;orw»l caljfurrent )!'
Low Exports
Hedluft Exports
Iilgh Exports
Reylstant/Scoutlng^
Low Exports
Medium Exports
High Exports
Be' 1 stint/Short Season/Scouting'
Low Exports
Hedlun Exports
High Exports
12.5
11.9
11.4

11.9
11.5
11.0
Cotton
Production3-'
6,929
6.929
6,929

6,929
6.929
6,929

"*
1,238
1,245
1,321

1,200
1,202
1,282

Acres?'

42.9
53.0
75.5

42.9
53.1
74.7
Corn

Production^/ Costs'/
231 .585
275.189
389,914

231 ,626
275,190
383,845
2.267
2,804
4,196

2,167
2,796
4.139

Acres?'
Curr
30.1
43.0
63.3

30.0
42.9
62.5
Soybean
Production3-/
ent Technology
54,882
75,751
100.190

54,882
75,745
100,018

Costs'/
I
913
134
2,158

913
1,344
2,129

Acres?'
47.5
72.0
92.9

47.6
72.0
92.9
Wheat
Production3-'
88.583
130,145
165.683

88,523
130.145
160,744

Costs-'
972
1,588
2,338

971
1.587
2,339

Acres?'
21.1
21.9
10.9

21.1
22.0
12.9
Sorghum
Production3-'

67,701
73.374
41,753

67.712
73.372
77.956
Other Small Grain
Costs-'
592
696
488

592
701
555
Acres?'
37.2
37.5
20.7

37.2
37.5
20.6
Production3' Costs"
67,489
65.691
33,645

67.489
65,691
33.645
581
610
384

581
609
385

Acres2' Com''
191.4 6.562
239.4 8.288
274.8 10.886

190.6 6.523
239.2 8,240
274.7 10,824
Future Technology
11.9
11.8
11.0

13.2
12.8
12.5
6,929
6,629
6,929

6,929
6,929
6,929
1,190
1.182
1,269

1,158
1.169
1,239
42.9
52.6
74.7

42.9
52.6
75.5
231 ,639
276,760
383,871

231 ,620
274.920
3?1,721
2.267
2,791
4,140

2,267
z.ina
4,225
30.0
42.9
62.5

30.1
43.0
63.3
54,882
75,586
100,019

54,882
75,647
100,194
912
1,342
2,129

914
1.343
2,163
47.6
72.0
93.0

47.5
71.9
92.5
88,503
130,145
165,683

88,532
130,145
165,683
972
1.592
2.341

973
1,601
2.345
21.1
21.3
12. J

20.7
21.2
10.2
67.716
72,284
47.930

67,711
72,689
37,946
592
685
555

589
678
457
37.2
38.5
20.6

37.2
38.1
20.3
67,489
79,426
33,645

67,489
66.721
33,645
581
626
384

581
622
384
190.8 6.513
239.2 8,220
274.7 10.817

191.6 6,482
239.6 8,212
275.0 10.812
I/ SH text for description of strategies
?/ Nil lions of acres
J/ Millions of pounds
V Production costs In nfllions of dollars

-------
Table  XXV.
Distribution of cotton production in different consuming  regions utilizing current
and future insect  control strategies during  the short run at low, medium and high
export  levels.
                             Current Technology
                                                                    Future Technology
Scouting Strategy!'
Consuming
Regions

Iowa/Missouri
Va./W.Va./N.C.
££ Ky./Tenn.
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Ariz/N.M.
Calif.
Total
Low
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,328
7,567
258
413
12,528
Medium
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,626
6,639
253
418
11,892
High
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
3,137
5.589
JOS
418
11,405
Most Economical (Current) Strategy-
Low
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,626
3,975
258
413
9,233
Medium
Exports

179
247
310
l,20b
15
2,782
6,181
253
418
11,596
High
Exports
Thousand
179
247
310
1,205
15
3,542
4,742
305
418
10,963
Resistant/Scouting Strategy-
Low
Exports
Acres
179
247
310
1,205
15
2,724
6,530
257
418
11,885
Medium
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,671
6,540
258
418
11,843
High
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
3,563
4,724
305
418
10,966
Resistant/Short Season/Scouting Strategy-'
Low
Exports

179
347
310
1,205
15
2,128
8,449
258
418
13,309
Medium
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,438
7,692
258
418
12,762
High
Exports

179
247
310
1,205
15
2,922
6,856
305
418
12,457
\J See text for description of strategies

-------
Table XXVI.  The use of insecticide in corn utilizing current and future
             alternative insect control strategies on corn and cotton during
             the short run.
Insect Control

Strategy-^
Current situation on corn
with scouting on cotton

Forced rotations on corn
with scouting on cotton
Pounds of Insecticide Used  (x  10  )   Insect Control
 4.0


 2.0
Current situation on corn
with resistant, short season/
scouting on cotton

Forced rotation and/or
scouting on corn with
resistant, short season/
scouting on cotton
 4.1
 2.5
          OP'/
- - Current Technology

11.3    13.8    29.1
 4.0
2.6
Total     Costs (x 10 )



            109.3


 8.5         34.7
— Future Technology -  —	

11.3    13.9    29.3        110.2
 6.3
3.7
12.5
72.3
V See text for description of strategies
2/ Chlorinated insecticides
3/ Phosphate insecticides
4/ Carbamate insecticides
      The only technology that entomologists  expect  to  be developed for corn
 insect control  in the future is scouting.  Although scouting  is considered
 ready for use in some states, most entomologists  believe that the scouting
 technology is not adequately developed.

      When use of either scouting or rotation is forced in all areas insecti-
 cide  use declines by 57% (16.8 million pounds) and  total insect control        t
 costs decline by 34% (Table XXVI).   However, total  production costs increase
 by  $116 million or 1.4% (Table XXVII).   In addition nearly 5 million more acres
 of  land are used in production.   This magnitude of  an  increase in land use
 would imply an  increase in  fixed land, building and machinery costs which are
 not included in the model.   Thus, total  costs will  increase by significantly
 more  than the 1.4%.
                                      60

-------
         Table  XXVII,    Total   production  and   production  costs  for  various  crops  when  current  or  future
                                 alternative  insect  control   strategies  are  employed  on  corn  and  cotton  during
                                 the  short  run.

         Insect Control	_CpJLtPn	Con>	Soybean	Wheat	Sorghum	      __pther Small Grains         Totaii
         Strategies-7             Acres^ Production-'  Costs-'   Acres-' Praductjon?' Costs_-^   Acres-'  Production^' Costs-'   Acres-' Production^' Costs4-'   Acres-' Production?' Costs'"  Acres.-'  Production3'  Costs4'   Acres?' Costs
                                                                                                   Current Technology
         Current situation on corn     11.9      6,929     1,245   53.0    275,189     2,804    43.0    75,750      1,344     72.0     130,146    1,588   21.9     73,374      696    37.5    65,691       610     239.6   8.312
         with scouting on cotton
_       Forced rotation on corn      11.9      6.929     1,244   56.0    272,017     2,882    42.7    75.893      1,381     71.7     129,044    1,595   23.5     77,678      713    34.4    65,548       622     240.1   B.437
Oi       with scouting on cotton
                                                                                                   Future Techdology
         Current situation on corn     12.7      6,929     1.169   52.6    274,918     2.800    43.0    75,647      1,343     71.9     130,145    1,601   21.2     72.689      678    38.1    66,721       622     2J9.6   a.212
         with resistant/short season/
         scouting on cotton
         Forced rotation and/or       12.8      6,929     1.171   52.5    272,836     2,875    57.2    75.921      1,364     72.1     129,050    1,610   23.0     77,322      706    36.4    65,051       602     254.a   8.328
         stouting on corn with
         resistant/short season/
         scouting on cotton
         I/ See text for description of strategies
         ?/ K111Ions of acres
         37 Hi 11 ions of pounds
         if Millions of dollars

-------
Table XXVIII.
Distribution of  corn  production in different  consuming
regions utilizing  current and future alternative
insect control strategies during the short  run.

 Current Insect Control  Strategy-   Future  Insect Control Strategy-

Scouting on
Consuming Current Situ-
ation on corn
Region
cotton and-
Forced Rotation
on corn
Resistant/Short Season/
Scouting on cotton and-
Current Situ-
ation on corn
Thousand Acres
Illinois
Iowa/Missouri
Minn. /Wise.
Michigan
Ohio/Indiana
Mid-Atlantic
Va./W.Va./N.C.
Ky./Tenn.
Ala./Ga./S.C.
Florida
Ark. /La. /Miss.
Texas/Okla.
Kansas/Neb.
N.D./S.D.
Idaho/Mont.
Colo./Wy.
Ariz./N.M.
Wash. /Ore.
Calif.
Total
7,728
6,857
4,423
492
5,689
2,816
2,331
2,323
1,162
337
2,212
2,474
7,957
4,345
39
393
34
62
1,345
53,033
8,236
7,497
3,525
497
5,148
3,257
2,306
1,382
2,235
352
2,355
3,558
7,139
6,374
39
394
34
62
1,588
55,992
7,764
6,874
4,423
492
5,697
2,816
2,589
2,323
1,175
337
2,149
1,671
8,107
4,339
39
393
• 34
62
1,345
52,644
Forced Rotation
and/or
Scouting on Corn

8,678
6,707
4,291
496
5,275
2,816
3,636
1,376
1,854
18
2,270
3,612
7,859
1,515
39
394
34
62
1,588
52,535
   I/ See text for description of strategies
                                        62

-------
     In interpreting the increased production costs associated with the corn
insect control strategies it should be pointed out that the 1.5% increase in
costs will likely imply a reduction in the farmers' return from labor and
management of 5% or more.  Farm profit would be reduced by a significantly
higher percentage.
                                     63

-------
                                 DISCUSSION
     The analysis of alternatives for reducing insecticides on cotton and corn
documented that several insect control strategies could be employed to reduce
insecticide use in both cotton and corn.  For cotton insect control, scouting,
diapause control, trap crops, and short season culture are technologies that
are available today that could be employed to reduce insect control costs and
reduce the amount of insecticide used.

     In one analysis that employed the most economical insect control strategy
for cotton in each region resulted in an estimated annual saving for the
nation of 49.9 million in cotton insect control.  This amounts to about a
27% reduction in cotton insect control costs while at the same time reducing
the total amount of insecticide used by about 33%.

     With 27% reduction control costs, the immediate question is why aren't
cotton growers employing this current and applicable technology?  The
adoption of technology by cotton growers as with all groups is complex.
Before commenting specifically on problems of adoption of specific insect
control technologies, it should be emphasized that cotton growers have been
adopting new insect control technologies.

     As mentioned earlier, few growers are now applying insecticides on a
strictly routine basis.  Most check their cotton for the seriousness of
insect pests before treating.  Most are shredding cotton following harvest
to reduce the number of overwintering boll weevils and cotton bollworms.
Some apply insecticides for diapause control of boll weevils and employ trap
crops.

     To explain why the most economic cotton insect control technologies are
not being employed extensively necessitates consideration of each control
technology.  "Scouting" itself is a complex technology that requires
knowledgeable specialists to advise growers.  Also the grower has to pay
for this service.  In addition, the use of insecticides provides the grower
with a type of insurance for his crop.  Investing'in a specialist to advise
him when "not to treat" appears sound but is viewed as somewhat of a
"gamble."

     We should also point out that the insecticide companies have their "free
advisors" telling growers how and what to treat.  The number of "free
advisors" constitute a large "public relations force" encouraging the use
of insecticides.

     The use of low concentrations of insecticides for diapause control of

                                      64

-------
the boll weevil is hindered in part because the control must be adopted on
a region-wide basis.  No one has assumed responsibility for assuring
regional participation.  Demand by growers is also relatively weak because
it is a technique that is employed in the fall of one year for the control
of weevils the following season.  This indirect relationship makes it diffi-
cult for the grower to relate his efforts to the direct control of boll
weevils.

     The difficulty of growers adopting trap crops for insect control in
cotton was discussed in detail in the RESULTS, hence, nothing more will be
said here.

     The use of short season cotton culture for irrigated cotton is hindered
because growers often do not fully understand the physiology and growth
characteristics of the cotton plant.   Withdrawing water late in the season
restricts further foliage growth and  forces the cotton plant to mature and
produce its normal crop early.  This  occurs without a reduction in cotton yield,
Restricting water and further cotton  foliage growth appears to farmers
an undesirable effect based on his perspective of the cotton plant.  In
defense of the grower, we should point out that cotton plant physiology and
insect control are only two factors of a highly complex set of factors
related to the whole cotton production system.  A need exists to inform the
farmer how insect control and water use are part of the total cotton pro-
duction system.

     Some new technologies represent  programs with higher yield variability
and thus risk to the farmer than a regular spray schedule.  When this
increased risk is combined with the necessity of learning a new insect
control strategy, resistance to change is expected.  Part of this resistance
stems from the experience that farmers have had with new technology.  If the
change is unsuccessful the first year (for the farmer or his neighbor) the
farmer will tend to continue with current practices.  Of course, any added
increased yield variability increases the probability that an "experiment"
will be unsuccessful.

     The results obtained from the dynamic analysis should be compared to
the static analysis.  The most significant difference in insecticide use
trends between the two analyses is between calculations using the current
averages of insecticide use' in each region.  Based upon the information given
by entomology experts (see Appendix),   a total of 174 million pounds of
insecticide were used on 13.1  million acres of cotton.  However, the linear
programming model calculated that to  obtain the same level of cotton pro-
duction, the total amount of insecticide used when employing current
practices, would be only 123 million  pounds of insecticides used on 12.7
million acres of cotton.  Thus, the relocation of production to more
efficient areas not only reduces the  number of cotton acres by 3%, it also
reduces the total amount of insecticide use by 29%.

     Both the static and dynamic analyses were based upon the same data for
the levels of insecticide use per acre.  Thus, the reduction in insecticide
use was caused by the fact that the regions into which cotton is being
                                      65

-------
shifted require less insecticide than the regions from which cotton is
removed.

     In the static analysis the total amount of insecticide used was estimated
to decrease by 41% when the "most economical (current)" insect control
practices currently available were substituted for current practices in each
region.  An analogous comparison of the results of the dynamic analysis
indicates that implementation of the "most economical (current)" insect
control method in each region will result in a 53% reduction in insecticide
use.  The reason for this difference in the results is primarily that the
initial shift of production in the base run reduced the amount of insecti-
cide use so much that additional reductions due to the implementation of new
technology are of less significance.

     Assuming the most efficient allocation of cotton production and imple-
menting the "most economical (future)" methods (includes resistant and short
season varieties) available in the future and removing all restrictions on
the location of cotton production results in a reduction of 78% of the 174
million pounds estimated to be used currently.  However a substantial  amount
of research will be required before these varieties are commercially avail-
able.  The data in Table XXIX show the annual research expenditure which
could be justified by these savings under various assumptions about the
length of time taken to develop these varieties and the length of time over
which the savings could be achieved.  These latter assumptions take into
account the fact that pests will eventually adapt to the new varieties.
 Table XXIX.  Amount that could be spent on research for resistance and
              short season cotton varieties.
Years before
Resistance 2/
Breakdown —
Years for
5
Development
10
million dollars per year-^-'
5
10
15
22
39 '
53
10
17
22
                V Assuming 5% discount rate
                2/ Average years over which full  benefits
                   received.  Resistance is likely to break down
                   gradually.

                                     66

-------
     Compared with cotton, the number of insect control  strategies  in  corn
were limited to crop rotations for control  of the rootworm complex,  scouting,
and resistant varieties.   Because there are fewer serious  pests  on  corn
than on cotton, about one quarter as much insecticide is used  on corn  as
on cotton.  Also this smaller quantity of insecticide is distributed over
4 times as many acres.   Hence, on a per acre basis l/16th  as much insecti-
cide is used on corn as cotton.   This fact  limits the opportunities  for the
use of different insect control  technologies in corn.
                                      67

-------
                                   REFERENCES


Burwell, R.E., G.E. Schuman, R.F. Piest, R.G. Spomer and T.M. McCalla.   1974.
     Quality of water discharged from two agricultural watersheds in south-
     western Iowa.  Water Resources Res. 10:359-365.

Chiang, H.C., D. Rasmussen, and R. Gorder.  1971.  Survival of corn rootworm
     larvae under minimum tillage conditions.  J. Econ. Entomol.  64(6):1576-
     1577.

Cronin, I.E., J.E. Johnson, D. Pimentel, and W.M. Upholt.  1969.   Effects of
     pesticides on non-target organisms other than man. pp. 177-288. I_n
     Report of the Secretary's Commission on Pesticides and Their Relation-
     ship to Environmental Health.  U.S. Department of Health, Education,
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EPA.  1974.  Strategy of the Environmental Protection Agency for Controlling
     the Adverse Effects of Pesticides.  Environmental Protection Agency,
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Fowler, D.L. and O.N. Mahan.  1975.  The pesticide review 1974.   U.S. Dept.
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     Washington, D.C. 58 pp.

Hyslop, J.A.  1938.  Losses occasioned by insects, mites, and ticks in the
     United States.  E-444 USDA. 57 pp.

Marlatt, C.L.  1904.  The annual loss occasioned by destructive insects in the
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Miller, M.F.  1936.  Cropping systems in relation to erosion control.  Bull.
     Mo. Experiment Station #366.

Musick, G.J. and D.L. Collins.  1971.  Northern corn rootworm affected by
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     Economics, and Natural Resources 56(4):88-91.

NAS.  1975.  Pest control: an assessment of present alternate technologies.
     Contemporary pest control practices and prospects.  Vol. I.   506 pp.

Oka, I.N. and D. Pimentel.  1976.  Herbicide (2,4-D) increases insect and
     pathogen pests on corn.  Science 193:239-240.


                                     68

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Pimentel, D.  1971.  Ecological  effects of pesticides on non-target species.
     U.S. Govt.  Printing Office.   220 pp.
Pimentel, D.  1973.  Extent of pesticide use,  food supply, and pollution.   J.
     N.Y. Entomol. Soc. 81:13-33.
Pimentel, D.  1975.  Notes on pest control  technologies used in cotton and
     corn based  on discussion with specialists in various regions of the
     United States.  In manuscript.
Pimentel, D. and C. Shoemaker.   1974.   An  economic and land use model  for
     reducing insecticides on cotton and corn.  Environ. Entomol. 3:10-20.
Pimentel, D., E.G. Terhune, R.  Dyson-Hudson,  S.  Rochereau, R.  Samis, E.
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Rovinsky, R.B.,  N.P.  Russell, E.L. LaDue,  C.A. Shoemaker and D. Pimentel.   1977,
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                                      69

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USDA.  1975a.  Farmers' use of pesticides in 1971...extent of crop use.
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     28:174-6.
                                      70

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     APPENDIX.    COTTON AND CORN INSECT CONTROL ALTERNATIVES
     Data on cotton and corn insect control  alternatives were obtained from
the leading entomologist(s) with special  knowledge for each crop in each of
the major cotton and corn producing states in the United States.  These
entomologists provided data on current insect pest control  practices and
"best estimates" of what various alternative controls would mean in economic
cost/benefits and pesticide use patterns.

     The detailed data on insect control  alternatives for each distinct
region are presented for cotton in Tables  1  through 32 and  corn from Tables
33 through 55.
                                     71

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                Table 1,  Cotton Feet Control in Alabama,

                          Central Region,
Acranee erovn .l£5 J1QO __ ___ 8-mrco


Averogo yield   ?°° 1WA _ Porlod
                                                                                                               ll'lov'1 "•
                                                                                                                                  nnrt llr. OuV. Lodbsttav
                                                                                                           1972-7U .
Line
Ho.

1
2 .
3
U
5

J

Cultural
Pi-notice

R«
-------
                Table I»   Continued.
Acreage grown.



Average yield .
 Source,



, Period.
Line
Ho.
8
9
10
11

Cultural
Prnotice

Trao Crop
Scouring


Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scou-ir.K


Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting




















%




































Peats



r
































Extent of Problem(JO
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
00
100
100
100
100





Currently
Being. .
Treated
W)









Treatments
Pesticides Us.;d
if or
Treat-
ments
lt-5'
3
6
Z





lbo/A/Tr
-------
Table  2«  Cotton Peat  Control  in Alabama,
          Northern Region.
                                                  Acreage grown.
                                                  Avcrnso yield _522_lWA_
 Bource  nr. Fiovri R  nnnii.n,i-nn,i n..  nnv.

. Period  1972-71' •  	
                                                                                                                              Ledbetter
Line
Ho.

1
2
3
U
5
6
7

Cultural
Practice

Regular,
Diapause ^

Scouting,
Dianause 1


Itasl stunt.
Regular '

Resistant,
Scouting,
Diapause 1

ns.n~ /.v«r2
Regular


qhrir.t „„„ con
Regular


Trap prnpT2
Short season
Recular

Dianause



Trap crop 3



*
75


?*\






























Pests
Roll Uppvll
Rol lunrni

Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworm
Mites . etc .
Bnl 1 vppv-i 1
Rrtl 1 vnTTTl
Rilriunrm
Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworm
Mites, etc.
3nll weevi:
Bollworm
Budworm
Mites, etc.
Unl T vrtrTn
Br.1 1 uopvl 1
Rilriunftn
M1to«l Ptf
Boll weevil
Budworm
Bollworm
Mites, etc.
Boll weevil



Boll weevil



'xtunt of Problem(J»)
Acreage
Chemical
Treatment
Of).
ioo
100
100
100
100
100









Acreace
Currently
Doing.
Treated
. Of)
96
100







Treatments
-IC£ticides_Uacd 	 _
Treat-
ments
8
7
1*
li
5
li
3
2
3
Ibo/A/Trca tmenl
nil
2
2
2
2
2
2
2


OP
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1A

c








3
Materials
Cost/A
(*)
2li.OO
6.00
12.00
6.00
15.00
12.00
6.00
3.00
""
Application
CosVA
(*)
8.00
2100
lt.00
2.00
5.00
14.00
2.00
2.00
~
Total
Coat /A
W)
32.00
8.00
16.00
8.00
20.00
16.00
8.00
5.00
1.05.
Yield/A
With
IVcatmcnl
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
-
"*
Without
Treatment
250








Scouting
CosVA
(*)

1.25

1.25




i
in
Diapause
Control
18
18

100





Stamen •
Code14
1
1
3
3

3
3
-
"

-------
               Tatle  2.
                                Continued.
Acreage grown.




Averngs yield .
« Source.




_. Period.
Line
No.

6
9
10
11
12

Cultural
Practice

Diauause
Scouting


Trap Crop
Spniit.i ng


Rhnr+. SeRSon
Variety
Scoutinff

Resistant
Scouting


PhriT*t. Kpnson
R*»«H Rt.H-nt.
Variety
Scouting
















%




































Peats




































Extent of Problen(X)
N&ffr$e
Chemical
Treatment
(X)
100
100
100
100
100








Cu??ln!ly
Oelng.
Treated
W









Trc^traenba
Ppctt-in^p^c, Jf^fYl
Treat-
ments
1
1)
3
5
2




iWA/Trrtatmenl
CH
2
2
2
2
2




OP
h
1
1
1
1




C









later tale
Cost/A
(*)
3.00
12.00
9.00
15-00
' 6.00




Application
Co8t/A
(*)
1.00
It. 00
3.00
5.00
2.00




Total
Coat
(*)
It. 00
16.00
12.00
20.00
8.00




Yield /A
With
Treatment
500
500
500
500
500




Without
Treatment









Scouting
Coet/A
W)
1.25
1.25
1.25
1.25
1.25




% Actes
in
Diapause
Control
100








Common'
Code*
2
2
3
3
3




en

-------
Table   3,   Cotton Pest Control in Arizona,
            Eastern Region.
                                                  Acreage Br°OTi 3"
                                                                                          fir. Thpn Unt.snn anil Tn- - Leon
Average yield  610 Ibs/A
. Period 1972-7''
Line
Ho.

1


2

Cultur.il
Practice

Regular







scouting



























%
l;oJ
50






bO-
fo


























Paaf a

Fink Hollwor
Plant Bugs
Bollworm
complex
Leaf
Perforator


Same








.


















Extent of ProblemU)
No^'B|ge
Chemical
Treatment
«)
100

75






cVr'Sffily
Being.
Treated
W)
100

75






I'rcutraenfco
Pesticides Used
H of
Treat-
ments
2


-------
Table  14, Cotton Pest Control in Arizona,
       .  Western and Central Region.
                                                   Acrcnce qrovm UP.OOP
                                                                                    Source
                                                                                           fir. Theo W.ihnnn nnd  Dr.  r.f>rm
Average yield  1.100 lbn/A	Pbriod -1972-7't
Line
He.

1
2
3
14
5
6

Cultural
Pr net ice

Regular







Scouting




Refful ar
.

Trao croc^
ScoutinK


Short season1
Regular


Short season'
Scouting
Trap crop-'









%
P1-
°7






j-
V


























Pests
Pink Bollwoj
Plant BURS
Bollvorm
conrolex
Leaf
Perforator


All



All



All



All



All











Extent of Protlemf?)
Acreage
Heed ing
Chemical
Treatment
W
n
100
»

100
100
100
100
100






Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
CO
100

100






Treatments
Pesticides Used
a or
Treat-
ments
9

6
7.5
It
6
2.5
(4-3)


lbn/A/Trcatmen1
CM
2

2
2
2
2
2


OP
1

1
1
1
1
1


C









Materials
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Coat /A
(*)









Total
Cost /A
(*)
U5.00

30.00
37-50
20.00
30.00
12.50


Yield/4
With
Treatment
1,100

1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100
1,100

..
Without
Treatment
715








Scouting
CosVA
(*)


2.50

2.50

2.50

i
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Comncn'
Code1*
1

1
2
2
2
2



-------
               Tatte    >»•
Continued.
Acreage grown.



Average yield.
 Source.




. Period.
Line
No.

7



Cultural
Prnctlce

Short Rp n^m
Variety
Scouting

































%




































p. a fa



















•

















Rxtent of Problem(!$]
«*HJS£
Chemical
Treatment
100





















Cteft-iy
Being.
Treated









Treatments ' •
Pn<5K
-------
Table  5>  Cotton Pest Control in. Arkansas,
                                                   Acreage (tniun
          Central, East Central, Southwest Region. Average? yi.vM    0-3
 GOIU'C C  ""  Phnvlog





. Period i. 107?-7ll-	
Line
80.
1
2
3
I
5

Cultural
Practice

Regular J
Diapause (1)






Seoutinfr,
Diapause (l)


Resistant



Short Season



Scouting
Diapause (1)














f
7o







'I"



























Pests
Boll weevil
Bollworm
complex
Plant Biies....
Mites. Thrin



All



Boll veevil







-















?ytent of Problem(?'l
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(JO
100

100
100
100
100



Acreage
Currently
Being.
Trent«d
CO
100

100






Ti catmunts
Festiciaes Usea
II of
Treat-
menta
(5-8)

6
0
0
5
2


lbn/A/Treatmett1
CH
1.7

1.7


1.6
1/2


OP
1

1.2


1.1.
1/2


C
.7

i/i


.5



MatnrialB
Co8t/A
(*)









Application
Coot/A
(*)









Total
Co at/ A
(*)
15.00

15.00
0
0
13.00
5.00


Yield'*
With
1'rcatracnl
513

600
500
1.00
600
1.00


Without
Treatment
375








Scouting
Cost /A
(*)


1.50


1.50


i
" Acres
in
Diapause
Contro
15

15


100



Conmen
Code
1

1
3
3
2
-



-------
               Table 5- Continued
Aerenge grown.


Average yield .
                                                                                               Sourco.
                                                                                             _. Period.
dne
No.

6
7
8

Cultural
Pmctice

*?hnrt Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scouting


Short Season
Resistant
Variety

























%




































P«af a



















.

















Rxtent of Problera(H)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
100
100
100














Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
(*)









Treatments • '' '
.. Pesticides Used
f ot
Treat-
ment a
0
0
0






Ibo/A/Troatmenl
CH









OP









c









Materials
Coet/A
(*)









Application
Coet/A
($)









Total
Cost
(*)









Yield /A
With
freatmenl









Without
Treatment









Scouting
Coet/A
(I)
1.50
.1.50







% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Codr-1"
3
3
3






00
o

-------
                Table   6. Cotton Pest Control in 'Arkansas,
                           Northeast Region.
Acreage
                                                                                    Mi,flnn
                                                                                                            fir  Phnr-loc  T.-i nr-r.1 n
Average yield   **Q3 1WA
                                                                                                    . Period .H972
Line
Ho.

1
a

Oiltur.il
JYnctice

Regular '



Scouting
.






























t
SO



^0































Pesto
Plant BUGS
ThriDs
Mites

































•Ixtont of Pro\>lcm(*)
vteBSP
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
100
100








C&FfMy
Delng.
Trcatfld
(« .
100
66







TrenLmento
. restlcidfs Ihffl
S of "*
Treat-
ments
0-1
0-1







Ihn/A/Trcatmenl
CII
1/2
1/2







OP
I/I.
lA







c
T
T







'later ials
CooVA
(*)









Application
Coot /A
(*')









Total
Cost/A
(*)
3.00
$3.00







Yicld/n
With
IVcatraenl
>»93








Without
Treatment
1.73








Scouting
CosVA
(*)

1.50







? Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Conur.cn
Code1*
1
1







00

-------
                Table 7.'Cotton Pest Control in California

                         San Joaquin Valley Region
                                                                 Acreage Brr.vn  850.000
                                                                                                         Dr.  Louis Falcon
Average ft.™  9°° (350-20X) )
1972-7!*
Line
No.

1



2


3
U <


Cultural
Practice

Regular,0
Trap Crop


Scouting?



Trap Crop1"
Regular^


'irap cropiu
Scouting^



Trap Crop3


















f
T«



22

































Plant Bugs
Mites, Boll-
worm Complex
fink flollwor
All



All



All























Extent of Problem(jf)
Acreage
reeainG
Chemical
Treatment
(«
20
20
20
20














Acreage.
Currently
Deing.
Treated
(K)
80
20-30







TrcitmenbB
1. Pesticides Used
» of
Treat-
raenta
2.5
(2-3)
1.5
(0-3)
1.5
(0-1)
0.5
(0-1)





Ibo/A/lVontmcnl
CII
1
1
1.5
1-5





OP
2
2
0
0





c
3/1.
1
0
0





•Inter idle
Co8t/A
(*)
i».oo-
10.00








Application
Co8t/A
($)
1.00-
2.00








Totol
Coat
(*)
20.00
10.00
2.00
2.00
2.00




Yield /A
With

850
900
900
900





Without
Arcatmcnt
900
900
900






Scouting
Coet/A
(!)

5.00
2. 50-10. (

5.00
(2.50-10,




i
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control

0)

00)





Common'
Code^
1
1
2
2





00
PO

-------
               Table   8,  Cotton Pest Control in California,



                          and  Riverside Co,).
                                                                Acrcnce proun  50.QUO
                                                                       Source Dr-  Mick
Southern Region (Imperial.  San Bernardino,            .         .
  - --    --  -  «        "              • —  ....... 1,300 Ibs/A
                                       Average yield.
Period
J.ne
No.

1
2
3
b
5
6
Cultural
Practice

Regular







Scouting



C,- ,-,,•!-<„„



fi-np Vjt.ia-
Rnnntlnfr


Short. RpHsrm







Croc Met. -1-1
ScoutinK -
Short season °





1.
IiO







60



























Pests
Pink Boll-
vorm
Leaf Perfor-
ator
Bollworm
complex
Plant "bugs

All



f 11



an



Pink RnllwrjTM
T.pRf Pprfpi"-
ntor
R^l Ivor™
complex



All







Extent of Protlera(!8)
Acreage
Heed ing
Chemical
Treatment
(«
100

100
100
100
100

100



Currently
Being.
Treated
(.*).
100

100






Trcutmcnto
II of
Treat-
ments
10
2

7
1
5
1
1)
U.5

3.5
•
Ibu/A/Troatmcnl
CII
0
0

0
0
0
Q
0




OP
1
0

'1
0
1
0
1
1

1

c
0
1

0
1
0
1
' 0




•later lale
Cost /A
(*)









Application
Coot /A
(*)









Total
Coot/A
($)
72.00

U8.00
33.00
2U.OO
27.00

21'. 00

Yield /A
With
t'rcatncnl
1,300

1,300
1,300
1,300
1,300

1,300

Without
Treatment
650








Scouting
CorVA
W)


7.75
7.75
7.75


7-75
i
' Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Corcn«n'
Code1
1

1
2
2
2

2

CO

CO

-------
               Table  8.
Continued.
Acreage



Averogs yield
 Source.




. Period .
Line
Ho.

7


8

Cultural
Practice

Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting




























t




































P*af a





































Extent of Problem (J{)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(JO
100
100













Acreage
:urrently
Being.
Treated
(*)









Trcitmcnta • . •>
Pesticides Used
1 of
Treat-'
ments Ibo/A/Troatmenl

1».5
1».5







CM
0
0







OP
1
1







c
0
0







*
later iale
Cost/A
(«)









Application
C08t/A
(1)









Total
Coot
(»)
27.00
27.00







Yiel
With
Treatment
1,300
1,300







d/A
Without
Treatment









Scouting
Cost/A
(*)
7.75
7-75






i
% Acree
in
Diapause
Control









Commcn'
Codck
3
3







00

-------
                 Tuble 9. Cotton Pest Control  in Georgia,

                          Above the Fall'Line  Kegion.
                                                                                   7S.QOO
                                                                   Averago yield.
!»50 Ibs/A
                . Period
.Dr..nonn.M rnnorriay an.l  !>•	Hprbgrt VOBacll


1972-714
Line
Bo.

1
2
3
1.
5
6
Cultural
Prnotice

Secular
Diapause (1)



Diapause (1)


Short Season
Regular


Scouting
Diapause (1)



Regular


Scouting
Resistant
Diapause (1)


Hapause










?
T>



'&

















,













Festo
Mneevil
worm
complex

All



All



All























Xxtcnt of Probleta(!S)
NeeAffnega8e
Chemical
Treatment
(%l
100
100
100
100
100
100



^Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
(?)
95
95







Trcaimenfca
„ Pesticides Used
Treat-
ment D
12
10
8
9
7
6
I


iWA/Treatmenl
CH
2
2
2
2
2
2



OP
1
1
1
1
1
1
iA


c









Materials
Coet/A
(*)









Application
Cost/A
(*}









Total
Coat/A
(*>
60.00
50.00
bo. oo
145.00
35.00
30.00
14.00


Yield It,
With
treatment
1450
1450
1450
1450
1»50
1(50
1450


Without
Treatment
200








Scouting
Cost /A
($)

1.59

1.59

1-59


i
•* Acres
_. in
Diapause
Control
20
20

100

100



Comtsen'
Cede1*
1
1
3
2
3
3
-


00
en

-------
Table 9- Cotton Pest Control in Georgia,          Acteoge grown.
         Above the Fall Line Region.
         (Continued)                              Avorngs yield .
 Source.

.Period'.
Line
No.


7

8
9

Cultural
Prnetice

^Vinr»+. Rafi^rm
Variety
Scouting


Scouting


snort oeason
ttesis^Birc
Variety
fip^i^l nn
























*










































































Extent of ?roblnm(J)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
W
100
100
100









Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
(«









Tro'itmento
Pesticides Used
1 of
Treat-
ments
7
6
6






IbD/A/Trotttmenl
CH
2
2
2






OP
1
1
1






C









Materials
Co8t/A
(*)





f



Application
COBt/A
(*)









Total
Coat
(t)
35.00
30.00
30.00






Yield /A
With

1»50
U50
1(50






Without
rrcatmcnt









Scouting
Cost/A
(*)
1.59
1.59
1.59






% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Code*
3
3
3







-------
               Table     1°. Cotton Pest Control in Georgia,     Acrcnce crown
                            .Below the Fall Line Region.
                                                                                                          Dr.  Donald Canerday and Dr. Herbert Womack
                                                                 Averase yield   ^° lbf!/A	Period
Line
Ko.

1
2
U
5
6
7
3

Cultural
Practice

Regular
Diapause (1)


Scouting
Diapause (1)



Regular


Scouting
Diapause (1)


PffTulflr
"

Scoutintt
Resistant,
Diaoause (l)

Regular
Diaoause


Diapause






f
'!">



^





























Peota
Boll weevil
Bollworm
complex

All



All



All



an


All














Extent of ProM.em(J)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
WJ
100
100

100
100
100
100
100






Currently
Delng.
Treated
(«
95
95







Trcatmento
Pesticides Used
H of
Treat-
ments
16
Hi
12
13
10
6
15
1

lbn/A/1'rontmoivl
Oil
2
2
2
2
2
2
2


OP
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
iA

c









Materials
Cost/A
(*)









Application
Coot /A
<*)









Total
Cost/A
(t)
80.00
70.00
60.00
65.00
50.00
30.00
75.00
1».00

Yield/a
With
treatment
U50
1(50
It 50
1*50
1|50
1(50
1(50


Without
Treatment
200








Scouting
CosVA
($)

1.59

1.59

1.59



* Acres
in
Diapause
Control
20
20

100

100
100


Comncn
Code11
1
1
3
2
3
3
2


00

-------
Table 10. Cotton Pest Control in Georgia,
          Below the Fall Line Begdion.

         (Continued)
                                                                Acrense


                                                                Average yield .
_. Source.


_ Period .
Line
Bo.

g

9
10

Cultural
Pr'nctlce

Short Season
Variety
ScoutinK

Resistant
Scouting


Sh^rt Pop'STii
Resistant
Vnr-1 oty























%























































•
















Extent of Pro"b3em(^]
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
W
100
100
100













Jurren^Iy
Qelng.
frcated
oa









TrcotmentB
Pesticides Used
W 01
Treat-
ments
11
9
6






iWA/l'roatmcni
CH
2
2
2






OP
1
1
1






c









Mater itflB
Co8t/A
(*)









Application
Coat /A
(!)









Total
Coat
(»)
55.00
i»5. oo
30.00






Yield /A
With
Treatment
1(50
1(50
1(50






Without
Treatment









Scouting
Cost/A
(*)
1.59
1.59
1.59






% Actes
in
Diapause
Control









Coiranen'
Codek
3
3
3"





-
00
oo

-------
Table    11. Cotton Pest Control in Louisiana,    Acreage grown.
                                                                                                .. SOUTC e
                                                                                                                           and Dr . T>flti
                                                                 Averaga yield  550 Ibs/A 	Perlod  1972-7U .
jine
No.

1
2
3
It
5
6
7

Cultural
Practice

Regular
Diapause vi)


Scouting
Diapause (l)


Resistant
Diapause (1)
Regular

Resistant
Scouting
Diapause (1)

Trar crop (2)
Scouting
Diapause (1)

Trap crop (2)
Scouting
Resistant
Diapause (1)
Short season
Resistant
Scouting


Diapause






%
«b



TV































Pests
Budworm
HOIJ. weevil
Bollworm
Plant buf.s_
All



All



All



All



All



All











=lxtcnt of ProblemW
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
Ctt
100
to. _ .
100
100
100
100
100
100


Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
.(*>
100
100.







Treatmenta •
Pesticides Used
II OI
Treat-
ment a
10.5
(9-12)
8
(7-9)
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
Ibo/A/Trcatmenl
CII
2
2




2

1
OP
1
1




1
lA
.5
C









Materials
Cost /A
(*)
31.50
2U.OO




6.00.


Application
Coat /A
(!)
10.50
8.00




2.00


Total
Coot/A
(t)
52.00
32.00
0
• 0
0
0
8.00
S.liO
.1*0
Yield /A
With
I'rcatrocnl
550
550
550
550
550
550
550
-

Without
Treatment
320
(275-363)








Scouting
Coot /A
($)

2.00

2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00

i
" Acres
in
Diapause
Control
66
66
100
100
100
100



Comrccr.
Code11
1
1
3
3
3
3
3
-
-
00

-------
               Table  H.
                             Continued.
Acreage grown.

Average yield.
 Source.

. Period.
Line
No.

8




9
10.
11 '

Cultural
Practice

Diacause
Scouting


Trap Crojp
Scouting


Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scouting






















%




































P«af a




















•
















Extent of Problem(lt)
Acreage"
needing 1
Chemical
Treatment
Ctt
100
100
100
100














Cu&SfiWS
Being.
Treated
WJ









Treatments • • -: •
Pesticides Used
i Ol

Treat-
ments 'ibn/AA'recitmcni

2-lt
U
2
2





CH
2
2
2
2





OP
1.
1
1
1





c









Materials
Cost/A
(*)
9.00
12.00
6.00
6.00





Application
Cost /A
(*)
3.00
It. 00
2.00
2.00





Total
Coat
(*)
12.00
16.00
8.00
6.00





Yield /A
With
frcatmcnt
550
550
550
550





Without
treatment









Scouting
Cost/A
(*)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00





% Actes
in
Hapause
Control
100








Commen'
Codei
2
2
3
3





UD
O

-------
                                                           crpvn
                                                                                    R/iin-/...  Dr. Fnvdsn Maxvpl 1
Table   12. Cotton Pest Control in Mississippi,
            Delta Region.                         Averago yield	650 Ibs/A	Perlod  1972-7U .
                                                                                                                               Harrl K
Line
Ho.

1
2
3
It
5
6
7
8
9
Cultural
Practice

Reeular



Scouted



Resistant
(FreSo.)


Resistant
(Hectarless)



Short season


Scouted
Diapause (1)


Rfrm+cA
Rjaci <=+nnf
(Fr=E~)


wesistant
(Nectarless)

Scouted
Pheromone
Traps

%
\\



f>7































Pesto
Boll wepvll
Bollvorm
Budvonn
Plant bucs_
All



Boll weevil



Boll weevil



All



All



All



All



All



latent of ProblcmW
Bc^nt66
Chemical
Treatment
(90
100
100


100'
100
100
100
100
ctee\ftiy
Being.
Treated
W
100
100







Trcntmonto - Fixed Spray Schedule
Pesticides Used
H Ol
Treat-
ments
10
6
0
0
U
It
3
U
U
Itm/A/Troatmer.l
Clt
2
2


2
2
2
2
2
OP
1
1


1
1
1
1
1
C









Mater lain
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Cost /A
<*)









Total
Cost/A
(*)
It5. 00
27.00
0
0
18.00
18.50
13.50
18.00
18.00
Yield/A
With
t'rcatmenl
650
• 650
500
550
575
650
650
650
650
Without
Treatment
ItOO








Scouting
CocVA
{$)

1.75


1.75
1-75
1-75
1-75
1-75
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control





100



Conmc.T
Code1*
1
1
2
2
3
2
2
2
2

-------
               Table  12 continued,
Acreage grown.


Average yield.
.. Gourcc.


_ Period.
Line
No.

10
11
12
13
111
15
16
IT
16
Cultural
Practice

Short season
Resistant
(Frego)

Short season
Resistant
(Nectarless)

Short season
Regular


Short season
Fheronone
fra.ps29J

Scouted
Short season
Resistant
( Frego)
Scout **i
CJ^rt*** .Qan ca/"»r-
Ppe4 c*-on*
/•!**•»+• i ^
Scouted
Short season
Pheroraone
Traps^2./
Regular
Diapause (1)
Resistant
l?rcgo)
Pa£ii1av

_8r>al stunt
fKectarlessl
%




































Pcato
Bollworm
Budworm
Boll weevil

Bollworm
Budvorm
Boll weevil

All



Bollworm
Budworm
Boll weevil

All


•
Al£



All



All



All



Extent of Problem (JO
NcAef^«e
Chemical
Treatment
(«


100
100
100'
100
100

100
100


Cu&Wy
Being.
Treated
Of)









Trwitmcnto
_ Pesticides Used
8 or
Treat-
ment a
0
0
5
1
3
2
3
5
5
Ibo/A/lVcatmenl
CH


2

1.3
2
2
2
2
OP


1
.1
1
1.25
1
1.5
1*5
0










Mater lain
Cont /A
(*)






'


Application
Coat /A
{*)









Total
Cost /A
(*)
0
0
21.90
.0.60
12.1*0
10.65
lU.Uo
29.1lO
27.55
Yield /»
With
Treatment
U50
550
5T5
550
575
575
575
650
650
Without
Treatment









Scouting
Coot
(*)




1.75
1.75
1.75


% Acres
in
Diapause
Control







100
100
Coromon
Code1*
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
IO
ro

-------
               Table 12 Continued,
Acreage crown.



Average yield.
 Source.



. Period.
line
Ho.

19
3Q
21
22
23
2k
25

Cultur/xl
Practice

Pheromones
Diapause (l)
Resistant
(Vi-eccO
Fheromones
Diapause (1)
Resistant
(Nectarless)
Scouted
Fheromores
Diapause (1)
Resistant (h-
Scouted
Pherosiones
Diapause (£}
Resistant ( He

Diapause (l)
Hieromones
Kesistant (ire
Spgul nr
THqr«llBt> (1 1
Pheromones
Resistant (Hec
Regular
Diaoause (l)


Diapause




Fheromone


%











ego


cTaij



?o)
















Pests
All



All



All



All


less;







ess )












'Ixtent of Problem(?)
NC\C4T
Chemical
Treatment
(?)
100
•
100
100
100
100
100
100




Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
W









Treatments
Pesticides Used
Treat-
ment!)
2
3
>t
It
6
6
10
2
1
lbo/A/1'roatmcir!
Cl!


1.5
1.5
1.3
1.3
2


OP
1
1
1.25
1.25
1
1
1
1

C









Materials
Cont/A
($)










Application
Coat/A
(4)










Total
Cost/A
<*}
7-50
10.50
15.20
13.1*5
25.65
25.65
38.30
6'. 60
5.00
Yield/A
With
t'rcatmcnl
550
600
650
650
650
650
650
500

Without
Treatment









Scouting
CosVA
(*)


1.75
1.T5





% Acres
in
Diapause
Control
100
100
100
100
100
100
100


Cor.rr.cn'
Code1!
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
-


10
oo

-------
               Table   '13. Cotton Pest Control in Mississippi,
                           Hill Region,
grown    ^no.nnn
                                                                  Average yield    U75  Ibs/A
                                                                                                             Fnurion MdWoll  onrl fly
                                                                                                                                         y UnrT^ H
Line
Bo.

1
2
3
It.
5
6
7
8
9
Cultural
Practice

Hegular



Scouted



snort season



Resistant



Scouting
Snort season


Scouting
Resistant


Scouting
Diapause (1)


Scouting
Trap Croo (2)



Resistant


%
80



20































Festa .
Hoil weevil
Bollworm
Budworm
Plant buss _
All



bonvorfli
Hudworm


Boll veevil



Ail



All



fill



All




Budworm
Boll weevil

Kxt.ent of I'roblcmU1
Acreage 1
Wooding
Chemical
Treatment
W
100
100


100'
100
100


100



Currcnfiy
Being.
Treated
.(*).
100
100







Tn;ntmonfcn
Pesticides Used
H Of
Treat-
ment a
10
7
0
0
3.5
3.5
7
7
0
Ibo/A/Treatmenl
CH
2
2


2
2
2
2

OP
1
1


1
1
1.3
1

0









Materials
Coot /A
(*)










Application
Coot /A
(*)










Total
Coot/A
(*)
33.75
26.25
0
0
13.50
13.50
32.85
30.00
0
Mold/A
With
I'rcatmcnl
VT5
1)450-500)
U75
1*50-500)
363
350-375)
363
350-375)
1<50
1(50
U75
1(50-500)
U75
U50-500)
385
Without
Treatment
200








Scouting
Cost /A
W)

1-75


1.75
1.75
1.75
1.75

% Acres
in
Diapause
Control






100


Comir.cn'
Code1*
1 '
1
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
ID

-------
               Table  13 Continued
Acreage Grown.


Average yield .
 Source.


.Period .

No.

10
11

12
13
1>4
15

Cultural
Practice

Short season
Regular


Scouting
Short season
KESistant

Scouting
Short Season
Trap Crop ( 2 )


Diapause (1)
Regular

Resistant
Diapause (l)
Regular '
Trap crnn (2)
bcouting
Resistant
uiapause (l}
Trap crop (2}

THflTV*iici»


TV«p crop (?}






%



































Pents
All



All



All



All







All














•ixhi-nl. of Prob.U:in(5!)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
100
100
100
100
100
100



Acre-age
Currently
Being.
Treated
CO









Trnd.mcntn •
Pesticides Used
# oi
Treat-
mcnta
5
2
14
7
11
14
3
2

rbo/A/Treatmenl
CII
2
2
2
1.5
2
2



OP
1.3
1.3
1
1
1
1.5
lA
1

c









Mater lain
Cont/A
(*)









Application
Coet/A
($)









Total
Coot/A
(*)
18. T5
7-50
16.00
25.35
22.05
15.00
9-yo
3.15

Yield/A
With
I'rcatmenl
Ii25
1*25
1.25
'175
1*75
1*75
275


Without
Treatment









Scoutine
Coot /A
(*)

1.75
1.75


1.75


i
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control



100
100
100



Common.
Code*
3
3
3
3
3
3



UD
tn

-------
                        » . Cotton Pest Control In Missouri.      *«*«• Brovm.^000	Bourco  Dr.  Flernoy Jones „
                                                                  Average yield
                                                                                 500 Ibs/A
. Period
        1972-71*
Line
No.

1
2
3
It
5
6
7
8

Cultural
Prnctlce

Resnilar



scouting



Short season



Diapause
Scoutine


Trati Crop
Scouting


Rhnrt. Season
Vaript.v
Scouting

Resistant
Scouting


phQft. Season
Pes^stant
Variety
Scouting




%
9S



i>







j























Peoto
. Bnl T L/OT*m
, Tlirips
Mites
Bnl 1 iTAev-U














B

















Krti-nt of Prob.lcin(X)
Nc^fSf.
Chemical
Treatment
(?)
50
50
50
50
50
50
50


50




„ Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
.(«
50
50







I'rcnLncnlin
, Pesticides 'Used
ff uf
Treat-
monto
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61

Vbo/A/UVeatmenl
cn









OP
.6
.6
.6
.6
.6
.6
.6
.6

C









Materiole
Coat /A
(*)
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90


Coot /A
(*>
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50

Total
Coat/A
(t)
2.1(0
2.1(0
2.1(0
2.1*0
2.UO
2.1(0
2.1»0
2.1(0

Yield /A
With
I'reatmcnl
500
500
500
500
500
500
500
500

Without
'frcatmcnt
1(87








Scouting
COBVA
(*)

1.75

1-75
1.T5
1.75
1-75
1-75
•
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Conner
Code1
1
1
3
2
2
3
3
3

(£>
cn

-------
Tatle   15, Cotton Pent Qohtrol  J,n Mew Mexico,    Acreage grovn   99iQQQ
Bouroe
                                                                                          Dx.  J.  Ellinfita
                                                  Average yield   750 lbt/A  	Pbriod'i21SJi.
Line
Ho.

1
Ji.
3

Cultural
Prnctice

Regular



>eoutinK



Short season
Scouting


























%
Hu



20































Peato
Pink Bollwo
Bollworm
complex
fiant ijugs
. All



All



























•Ixtcnt of Probli:m(?)
Nc^5H|se
Chemical
Treatment
(«
m
2
»
0
0








Currently
Being.
Treated
tf)
p
0
0






. Tro'iUncnta
„ Eesticidcp Use4
Treat-
mcnto
2
012
O12






IbD/A/Troatmenl
Cll
0
0
0






oi".
.1
0
0






?c
0
0
0






Material a
Coat/A
($)









Application
Coat/A
(»)









Total
Cost/A
(*)
8.00
0
0






Yield /A
With
('refitment
750
750
750






Without
Treatment
750








Scouting
Cost /A
(I)

1.75
1.75






* Acres
In
Diapause
Control
0








Comir.cn'
Code11
1
1
3







-------
                Table   J6,  Cotton  Pest Control in North Carolina,ronc
Ii3.88

32.50
lit. 63
lit. 63
13.00
6.50
1.1(0

Application
Coot/A
(*)
16.88

12.50
5.63
5.63
5.00
2.50
0

Total
Cost/A
(*)
60.76

Il5.00
20.26
20.26
18.00
9.00
1.1*0

Yinld/A
With
L'rcatmcnl
ItOO

It 00
1*00
!*00
!iOO
UOO
-

Without
Treatment
100








Scouting
Cost /A
(t)


2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00


/» Acres
in
Diapause
Control
5

5
100

100
100


Coirmcr.'
Code1*
1

1
2
3
3
3
-

00

-------
               Table  16.
                                 Continued.
AcretiRe Brown -




Avornga yield .
 fiourc e.




. Period .
Line
No.

7

3.

Cultural
Practice

Khm"t Sepson
Variety
Scoutinc

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting




























%










































































Extent of Problem(5t)
NOA«6
Chemical
Treatment
tt)
100
100












Curr?Sf$
Being.
Treated
Wl









Trcntmcnsn
.Pesticideo Used
Ir of '
Treat-
ment B
lt-6
2-lt







lBo//\/Trontmcnl
CH
2
2







OP
1
1







0









liter iols
COBt/A
(!)
16. P.5
9.75







Application
Cost/A
(*)
6.25
3.75







Total
Cost
(*)
22.50
13.50







Yield/A
With
rreatracnl
. 1(00
U 00







Without
Ircatmcnt









Scouting
Cost/A
($)
2.00
2.00






i
% Actes
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Code*
3
3







IO

-------
                Table  17. Cotton Pest Control  in North Carolina,AcrcnBU







•jO



























Feats
UolJL weevil
coiiworm
CQaipXex
Tyn «?nrtttnil—
At)hidsT etc.



All



All



All



All















•Ixtcnt of ProblcmW
..Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
100

100
100
100'
100
100


MHb
Being.
Treated
.(X)
96

96






'i'vealmentd
„ Pesticides Used
'Treot-
monto
9

T
U.5
(1.-5)
U
2
(0-1.)
lt-5


It a /A/'l'reatmen 1
Cll
2

2
2
2
2
2


OP
1

1
1
1
1
1


C
0

0
0
•0
0
0


Materials
Coet/A
(*)
28.25

22. T5
m.63
13.00
6.50
1U.63


Application
Cost/A
(*)
11.25

8.75
5.63
5.00
2.50
5.63


Total
Coat/A
(*)
39-50

31.50
20.26
18.00
9.00
20.26


Yicl
With
rreatmonl
1(00

1.00
liOO
1(00
1(00
Uoo


d/A-
Without
Treatment
100








Scouting
Cost /A
<*)


2.00

2.00
2.00
2.00


* Acres
in
Diapause
Control
0

0






Common4
Code^
i

i
3
3
3
3


o
o

-------
Table  J8,  Cotton Pest Control in Oklahoma,
           Dryland-Southwest Region,
Acreage grnun

Average yield
                                                                       Ibs/fl
       m-  nr,,. n  P..I />...,   n,  7..,,^
       Dr. Chin-Choy  and  Dr. Vernon Eidman.
Pbriod J973-7lt  . -
                                                                                                                           .^, cr. Ken Pinksfcon,
Line
No.

1
2

Cultural
Prncticc









firnii'Mnj






.




















t
yit







h



























Pests
heiiotnis
complex
ix>J.i. weevil
Flea Hopper.
Thrips
Mites
Plant bugs

A«3 A^VWP



























Extent of Problom(£)
NcVf!S|e
Chemical
Treatment
(JO
<50

<50










ctoSB6iy
Being.
Trontod
(*)
<50

<50






Ti-cntmunta
„ Pesticides Used
Treat-
mcnto
<1

1/2






Ibo/A/Troahmenl
C1I
1.5

1.5






OP
1.5

1.5






0









Materials
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Coot/A
(*)









Total
Coat/A
(4)
3.15

1.60






Yield/A
With
IVcatmcnl
21)0

2>lO






Without
Treatment
210








Scouting
Coot/A
(!)


1.00





i
It Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Code 1*
1

1







-------
_ ..   19. Cotton Pest Control in Oklahoma,
10016      Irrigated Southwest Begion,
Acreage
                                                                   fill.OOP .-
Ro.it.,...  Dr. Bon C. Pfft,""s. Dr. iT°rT  Y"""ffi  Or.  Ken Pinkston,
        Dr. Chin-Choy and Dr. Vernon  Eidman
                                                   Avorogo yield ,  500 ibs/A	Period .
Line
Ho.

1



Z
3

Cultural
Practice

Regular







Rnni:t4n£



Trnji r?rop 1"
Spoilt, tn^


Trau cron



















j:
9<4







f,





























Heliothis
complex
Boll weevil
Flea hopper
l^U'lpS
Mites
Flant bugs

AQ flVinvA



Ap a^jpvc





•

















•Ixtoiit of l'roWom(S)
»<=&e
Chemical
Treatment
f«
100

100












Currre!aS5r
Doing.
Troatod
«)
100

100






Trcntmcntd
Pesticides Used
H or
Treat-
mcnto
7

6
0«





H>D/A/lVoatnipn1
Oil
1.5

1.5






OP
1.5

1.5






C









Materials
Cost /A
(t)










Application
CODt/A
(!)









Total
Coot/A
(*)
22.09

18.90
oi?
3.00




Ylold /A
With
L'rcatracnl
500

500
500





Without
Treatment
375








Scouting
Coct/A
W)


2.00
2.00





J Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Copr.c;r
Code1!
1

1
2
a





-------
                Table   20.  Cotton Pest Control in Oklahoma,

                            Southeast Region,
Acreage grovn   7Srnoo ._ ,


         , ,j   300 lbs/A
Average yirad __^_____
                                                                                              __ Cnm-n«. l?r.
                                                                                                              nnn Po-t-.i.™  nr
        Dr. Chin-Choy and Dr. Vernon Eidman

Period  197 Z-T1' • -
                                                                                                                                            r. Ken Pinkston,
Line
llo.

1
2

Cultural
Practice

Regular







Scouting



























t
W







b






















•




Peato
Heli'jthis
cojipiex
Boll weevil
Flea hopper
Thrips
Mites
Plant bugs

As above


























	
Extent of Problem(55;
Acreage
N"<*ing
Chemical
Treatment
W)










Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
(*)
60

b6






Ti catmcnto
Pesticides Used
li 01
Treat-
ment a
6

5






loo/A/'Prcatmenl
CK
1.5

1-5






OP
1.5

1-5






c









Materials
Cost /A
(t)









Application
Coot /A
(*)









Total
Cost/A
(*)
18.90

16.75






Yield/A
With
IVcatmcnl
300

300






Without
Treatment
225








Scouting
Cost/A
(*)


2.00






et
•' Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Conine.*!
Code11
1

1 •••






o
CO

-------
Table   21. Cotton. Pest Control  in South Carolina ,Acrctl6° Grown
            Coastal Plains Region,
Gourcc ""-  r—U—Sparks
                                                  Averago  yield  *t70 lbs/A	porlod 1972-7.li
Line
Ho.

1
2
3
I
5
6
7

Cultural
Practice

Reffiilur



Scouted



Scouted
Diapause (l)


Short season
Scouted


Trap crop (2)
Scouted


iTap crop \'£)
Scouted
Short season
Dianause (1)
Resistant
Scouted



Diapause


Trap crop (3)



%
?>'



66































Peats

Roll weevil
Wt.cs

All



All



All



All



A_L1



All











•Ixt.c-nt of ProMom(j!)
Acreuge"
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(«
lex
100
100
100
100
100
100
100



CufeWy
Doing.
Treated
tf)
100
100







Troitraonto
„ Pesticides Used
ti ur
Treot-
racnto
17
lit
12
9
1.2
9
12
2
2
Ibn/A/Troatmcn'
CII
2
2
2
2
2
2
2


OP
1
*
1
1
1
1
1
.5
.10
c









Materials
C08t/A
(*)
1(2.50
35.00
3P.OO
22. 50
30.00
22.50
30.00
3.00

Application
Coot/A
(I)
21.25
17-50
19-00
12.50
19.00
12.50
19.00
2.50

Total
Coat/A
(*)
63.75
52.50
Ii9.00
35.00
149.00
35.00
149.00
5-50
1.25
Yield /A
With
I'rcatmcnl
liTO
1)70
1.70
1)70
1»70
1)70
1»70


Without
Treatment
50








Scouting
Coot /A
(t)

1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50


* Acres
in
Diapause
Control


100


100



Cominen'
Cod-;11
1
1
2
3
2
3
3
-
-

-------
               Table   21.
                               Continued.
Acreage grown.


Avornga yield .
 Source.


. Period .
Line
Ho.

3

Cultural
Practice

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting
































%




































Pests





































F.xtent of Problem(St)
Acreage
Heeding
Chemical
Treatment
Ctf
100











Currently
Being.
Treated
00









Treatments
Pesticides Used
Treat-
ments
9








lon/A/Trrxvtmen1
CH
2








OP
1








C









laterals
Coei/A
(*)
22. JO








Application
Cost/A
(*)
12.50








Total
Cost
(*)
35.00








Yield /A
With
Treatment
1»70








Without
Treatment









Scouting
Cost/A
{*)
1.50








% Acte 6
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Codoi
3








o
01

-------
                        22. Cotton Pest Control  in  South CaroHna,Acreaea grown ,15,PO.Q	.	Source Mr •  L. H. Sparhs

                            Piedmont Region.
                                                                  Avoraeo yield  1*70 Ibs/A	Period jlQ72-7l>
Line
Ho.

1


2
3
li
5
6
7

Cultural
Practice

Refill nr



Poouted



Scouted
Diapause (l)


Short season
Scouted


Trap crop
Scouted


'ivap crop
Scouted
Short Season
Diapause (1)
Resistant
Scouted



Diapause


Trap crop I 3 )



%
71!



•>
-------
Table  22.
               Continued.
Acrnnge grown.




Average yield .
 Source.




.Period.
Line
Mo.

8

Cultural
Practice

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
ScoutinK
































t




































Pnnf n




.
































Extent of Problera(Z)
Nn/A/Trro.uien1|
CH
2








OP
1








C









Mater inlo
Coet/A
(*)
20.00








Application
Coot /A
(*)
12.00








Total
Cost
(*)
32.00








Yield /A
With
Treatment
1»70








Without
Treatment









Scouting
Cost/A
(•t)
1.50








% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Code1"
3









-------
               Tixble  S3. Cotton Pest Control in Tennessee.

                          Northern Region,
                                                                 Acreage
                                                                                250.000_
                 Source Dr.  Allen Chambers
                                                                 Average yield
600 Ibs/A
                . Period
1972-71)
Line
Ho.


2
«
3
U
5
6
7
8
CiiUurnl
Pr.net Jce

Regular







Scouted



Resistant
Renular


Resistant
Scouted


Short Season
Regular


Phercmone
Trans
Scoutir.K

Khnrt. Season
Variety
Scouting

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting
f
9B







2



























Pcnto
Boll weevil
Boll worm
complex
Plant buKS .
Thrips



All



All



All


•
All



All



All



All



Kxl.ont ol'
Acreage
Need ing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
25












•roblcmW
Acreage
Currnntly
Doing.
'frcatod
(»
25

>0






Trcntncnfcn
Pesticides Used
# of
Treat-
racnta
3

>0
>0
>0
>0
>0
>0
0
.Ibn/A/TrnaLmonl
Clt
2








OP
1








C









*
Mater ialo
Cont/A
(*)
9.00








Application
CooiyA
($)
3.00








Total
CooVA
{*)
12.00

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
yiMd /A
With
IVcatraenl
600

600
600
600
600
600
600
600
Without
Treatment
500








Scout inc
Coot /A
(1)




1.50

1.50
1.50
! 1.50
/' Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Coiro?!!
CoUo1*
1

1
3
3
3
3
3
3
o
00

-------
Table   Hit. Cotton Peat Control in Tennessee,

            Sbuthern Region.
Acrcn0e grown   2Tr;.OQP

                600 ILs/A
Averaga yield
                                                                                                    Source  T)r. A11i-n
                                                                                                    Period
                                                                                                         •   1972-711
jine
No.

1

2
3
ll
5
6
7

Cul tural
Practice






.


Seoul ed



Resistant
Regular


Resistant
Scouting


Short season
Scouting


Pheromone
Traps
Scouting


Scouting


Diapause


%
02







~TT




















—




Pests
Boll weevil
Bjllworm
complex
Plant bucs
Thrips



AH.


























'"xtrnt of Prob.lcm(iH
Acreage
Need.ing
Chemical
Treatment
C«
100

100
100
100
100
100
100

Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
00
100

100






Troatmcntu
.. Pesticides Used
Treat-
mcnta
12.5

10
li
1
2.5
U. 5
8
2
IbD/A/U'rcntmcn!
C1I
2

2
2
2
2
2
2

OP
1

1
1
1
1
1
1
I/I*
C









Materials
Cost /A
(*)
37.50

30.00
12.00
3.00
7-50
13.50
2lt.OO
3.00
Application
Coot /A
(*)
12.50

10.00
U. 00
1.00
2.50
1|.50
8'..00
2.00
Total
Cost/A
(1)
50.00

Uo.oo
16.00
i».oo
10.00
18.00
32.00
5.00
Yield/A
With
1'rcatracnl
• 600

600
600
600
600
600
600

Without
Treatment
175








Scouting
CosVA
(t)


1.50

1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50

'" Acres
in
Diapause
Control







100

Common
Code1'
1

1
3
3
3
3
2
-
o
IO

-------
Table   2U.
                     Continued.
Acreage grown.




Average yield .
 Source.




. Period .
Line
No.

a



Cultural
Prnctiee

Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scoutinc
































*

























































•
















xtent of Froblem(Jfl
££RE
Chemical
Preatmont
cn.
100
















Acreage
Currently
Being
Treated
tfl









Tro".1.mcnt.e
Pesticides Used
a 01
Treat-
ments Ibn/A/Trootmcnl

1








CH
Z








OP
1








c









later iale
CoBty^
(*)
3.00








Application
Coot /A
(I)
1.00








Total
Cost
(t)
It. 00








Yield /A
With
'rcatmcnl
600








Without
If catmcnt









Scouting
Cost//,
($)
1.50








% Acres-
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Cod*1'
3









-------
Table  25!  Cotton Pest Control in Texas,
            Black Lands Region,
                                                   Acrotico
                                                                 . flnn.'inn
                                                                                    Gourcc -Fir. Ray Friship
                                                   Averago yield  15n  lbs/A
. Period E9T2-71'  •
jlne
No.

1
2
3
li
5
6

Cultural
Practice

Regular



Sccutinff



Reristc.nt
(Sell veevil)
Fleahcr>r>ers
Ehi^rt sen son
Scouting



Sfinltation -10
Scetttine;


Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scouting










*
°6



i>































Peetn
Poll v^evil
Cotton Flpa
^opDer
Thrin=
Bill weevil
Cotton Flea
Horjper

Boll veevil
Cotton Fioa
Hopper
Thrics





Cotton Flon
Ho:T,er
Thrips -
















'•'.xtrnt. of Problem(JS)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
W
100
100
100
for Thrif

100
100
100


Acrentjo
Currently
Deing.
Treated
W)
100
100
3






Ti cfitmcntn
Pesticides Used
f or
Treat-
mcnta
1»
2 1/2
-3
<1

1 1/2
-•2
2
<1


il)D/A/Trcatinerl
CH









OP
1/3
1/3
1/3

1/3
1/3
1/3


C
1/10
1/10
1/1C

L/1C
1/10
1/10


Materials
Cost/A
(*)









Application
Coot/A
W









Total
Cost/A
(t)
8.00
5-50
2.00

3.50
i».oo
2.00


Yield/A
With
treatment
150
150
150

150
150
150


Without
Treatment
0-60
0-60
lljO

Y5




Scouting
Cost /A
(*)

1.50
1.50

1.50
1.50
1.50


j( Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Comiicn
Codou
1
1
3

2
3
3



-------
                      26. Cotton Pest Control In Texas,
                          Central Texas River Bottoms Region.
                                                                Acreage grown   <»,"00 -- , -- Boui-cc  >*•
Average yield
                                                                                                     •   1O7o_7l,
                                                                                                Period .  /f" '  .
Line
No.

1
L"
3
U
5
6
7

Cultural
IVnctlco

"emilar



Scoutina



Resistant
(Boll weevil)
Scouting

Short season
Regular

L; .. '
Short season
Scouting


Crop Culture 3
Scouting


Sh.itt Season
Resistant
Varietv
Scouting








9
71



f>9















1















Peete
Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworra

Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworm

Boll weevil
Eollworra
Buiworm

Boll weevil
Bollworm


Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworm

Boll weevil
Bollworm
Budworm













Ixtont oT Prob.lom(!0
AcYeU^e
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
100
20
100
50-100
50-100
100
100


Being.
Treated
(*)
100
20







Trcatmcntn
. Pesticides Used
It Ot
Treat-
ment a
3-7
2
1
2-3
1
1-2
<2


.lbn/«/ Treatment
CH
1
1
1
1
1
1
- 1


OP
1
1
1
1
1
1
1


c









Materials
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Coot/A









Total
Coot/A
(*)
18.75
7.50
3.75
9.38
3.75
13.13
7.00.


Held/A
With
I'rcatracnl
500
500
500
500
500
500
500


Without
'treatment
<200
< 200
250
ItOO
ItOO
350



Scouting
COEt/A
(*>

1.50
1.50

1.50
1.50
1.50


% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Conacn
Codc't
1
1
3
3
3
2
3


PO

-------
Table  27-  Cotton Pest Control in Texas,
           High Plains Region.
                                                  Acreage grown ..g.'iTfi.fino
                                                  Avorngo yield  S70 lbr./A	Pbriod 197P-7U
Dr. Ray Frichjo
Line
No.
1
i
Cul tural
Prnetlcc





































%




































Peato

uoi^on fiea-
hoppers
Poll weevil!
Cotton Boll-
- worm1"






























KxLrnl br Problernt^}
Ncc^Inl80
Chemical
Treatment
(*)

6
i








(?5fre§fi!ly
Deln,;.
Treated
(»
6








Tr 'il.monto
„ Pysticidau Uficd
Trcot-
mcnto
1-2








IbD/A/treotmcn
CH









OP
1/10
I/I)








C








j
Mater iolo
Cost /A
(*)







-J
._ . ...j

Application
Coot /A
(*•)









Total
Coat/A
(*)
1.50 -
2.00








Ytold/A
With
treatment
2TO








Without
Treatment
23 0-260









Scouting
Cocl/A
(*)









% Acres
in'
Diapause
Control









Conr.cn
Code1*
1









-------
Table 28. Cotton Pest Control in Texas,
          Lover Gulf Coast Region,
.Acreage Crn»n 121.000

Average yield
                                                                                            nay Frlcbie
                                                                   lb3/A
                                                                                .Period
Line
No.

1
2
3

U
5
6
Cul tural
Practice

Regular



Scouting



Resistant,
(boll weevil
& flea hopoer
Short Season
Scouting



Sanitation LG
Scouting


Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scouting










I
92



a





















—








Peuto
Boll weevil
Cotton Flea
Hopper

Boll weevil
Cotton flea
Hopper

Boll weevil
Cotton Flea
Hopper








•
















•'.xtent of Problem^.)
Acreage
Need ing
Chemical
Treatment
(X)
100
100
<10

100
100
100



Aureola
Currently
Being.
Treated
t*>
100
100







Ti'cntmcnto
reoticicicu ur.eJ*
// of
Treat-
monte
U
2

-------
Table  29. Cotton Pest Control ir. Texas,
           Lower Rio Grande Valley Region.
                                                  Acrciico
                                                  Avcrngo yield Jl2
 Cource.

. Period.
Line
No.

1
2
3
li
5
6
7
8
Cultural
Prnctice

Regular
Rpnl+Bflrm1-






Scouting
Pan1t.nt.1nn'L'


Scouting
Sanitationiy


nesistaut
(Boll weevil
& Cotton flea
hopper ;
phnr*t si»nqrtn
Pr> 'iihiny


Short, spftnnn
Snout ir.s
Sanitation19

Resistant
Scoutine



Rpni Rt.ftnt.
Variety
Scouting
t
J*







'&



























Pests
Cotton Flea
Honner
Boll weevil
Bollwtvrm 	 .
Budworm



' .• above



As abo/e



As above


'
A-; nhnvp



AP fthovi*



As above







Extent of Problem!?}
NceSfSr
Chemical
Treatment
CiO
100

100
100
100
100
100
100
100
Currently
Being.
Treated
<*}
100

100






Trrntmento
„ Pesticiaea Used
Treat-
ments
12

9
6
5
1.-5
li
U-5
It
Itn/A/Trcatmenl
CM
1

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OP
1

1
1
•1
1
1
1
1.
c









Materials
Co nt/A
(*)









Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
CosVA
(*)
1)5.00

33.75
22.50
18.75
16.87
15.00
16.87
15.00
Yield /A
With
I'rcatraenl
1.25

1)25
1)25
1)25
1)25
1)25
1)25
1)25
Without
Treatment
<100

<100
200
300
200
200


Scouting
Cost /A
(*)


2.50
2.50

2.50
2.50
2.50
. 2.50
i
% Acres
in
Diapause
Control
70

70
100


100


Coirjuen'
Code1*
1

1 '
2
3
3
3 .
3
3

-------
               Table 30, Cotton Pest Control in Texas,
                          Rolling Plains Region.
                                                                                .. 276.000
                                                                 Acreage
                                                                 Average yield -19f> Ibs/A
  Source  Hi-. Rav Frlsbig
..pbriod
Line
NO.

1
&-
3
It

Cultural
"Practice

Regular
Diapause (1)


Scouting
Diaoause (l)


No treatment
Diacause (l)


Resistant
Short pennon
Diapause




















%
38



£



fcC




























Boll weevil
Low incidenc
of other
pests
Uoli weevil
Low incidenc
of other ,
pests




Boll weevil
Bollworm





















Extent of Problem(/0
NeMatsf
Chemical
Treatment
•(«
100
1 100
30
25
30.





C&RffiEy
Doing.
Treated
W
100
100
0






Treatments
j, Pesticides Used-
Treat-
ment a
1-2
3-l<
0
>0
3




lbn/A/Treatmen1
CH









OP
1/lt-
1/2
lA-
1/2


1/14-
1/2




c









'•laterfals
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Cost /A
(*)









Total
Coat /A
(*)
3.38
7.88
0
0
1.50 -
2.00




Yield M
With
I'rcatmenl
216
23U
180
196





Without
'JVeatmcnt
180
180
180
180





Scouting
Cost/A
(!)

1.25 =
Dryland
14.00 =
IrriK&tei







% Acres
in
Diapause
25
25
25
100





Gormen
Code1*
1
1
1
3
-




cr>

-------
Table  30.
                Continued.
Acreage grown	i_




Avcrngn yield ,
 Source.




. Period .
Line
No.

5
6 .
1
8

Cultural
Practice

Diapause
Scouting


Short Season
Variety
Scouting

Resistant
Scoutina


Short Season
Resistant
Variety
Scouting



















%



































Feats



_































ftttent of Pronlcm(J()
..Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)









Acret.ee
Currently
Being.
Treated
00









Trcnlmcnta
Pesticides Used
a 01
Treat-
monta
2
2
1
1





Lbo/A/Trootmcn1
CH









OP
1/U-
1/2
1A-
1/2
1/1.-
1/2
1/1.-
1/2





C









'iterlola
COBt/A
(*)









Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
Cost
(*)
1..50
U.50
1..50
2.00





Yiold/A
With
Crcntmcnl
200
200
200
200





Without
rroatmcnt
180
180
180
180





Scouting
Cost//.
(*)
1.25 /Dry
Land
U.OO/
Irrigatec
Land
1..00/
Irrigated
1.25/Dry
Land
U.OO/
1.25/Dry
Land
1..00/





% Acres
in
Diapause
Control









Common'
Codek
2
3
3
3






-------
                Table 31. Cotton Pest Control in Tcxno,
                          TransJecos Region,
                                                                  Acronce C''""n  PQfi.nnf)
Gourcc Dr. H.'iyJ'Viiibl
                                                                          yield  »° lb»/A	Period
dne
No.

1

2
3.
ti
5
0
7

Cultural
Trncticc

Regular



Scouting



Regular
Short season


Regular
Crop culture J


Scouting
Short season


enn^ttnr
Crop culture l


Scouting
Short season
Grot) culture ^









*
92.



7.
















f














Pesto
BollVona
Budworm


; Bollworra
Budworra


Bollworm
Budworra


Bollworra
Budworm


Bollwcrn
Bijdv.-orra


Bollworra
Budworm


Bollvorm
Budworm









- -
Kxtent of Problem(X)
B^SfSi6
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
100
100
100
100
100
100
100






Currently
Being.
Treated
(X)
100
100







Trccitmenta
Pesticides U»ed
* of
Treat-
ments
10-12
5
7
7
3
3
2


lbo/A/Trootmen1
CH
1
1
1
1
1
.T_
1


OP
1
1
1
1
1
1
1


c


Materials
Co lit /A
($>


j
i
1
1












Application
Cdot /A
(*)









Total
Cost /A
<*)
1(1.25
18.75
26.25
26.25
11.25
11.25
7.50


Yield/A
With
I'reatracnl
550
550
550
550
550
550 .
550


Without
Treatment
300
300
UOO
350
Uoo
Uoo
Uoo


Scouting
Cost/A
(*)

1.50


• 1.50
1.50
1.50

i
% Acres
in
Diapause
;ontrol










Conin'jn
Co-lc ^
1
1
3
2
3
2
3


00

-------
Table   32,   Cotton  Pest  Control  in Texas,
           .  Upper Gulf Coast Region.
                                                 Acreage grown  131.000
, nnm-"». T«'. Ray Frisbie
                                                 Avcrase yield  ll00 lbs/A  	Perioa - 19Y2-7»..
Line
No.
1
ih
3
li
5
6

Cultural
PrnetJcc

PfR\U-ar



Scoutine



Resistant
(3oll veevil
!t Flea -Hopper
Short season
Scouting



Sanitation11'
Scouting


Short Season
Variety
Seoutine

Resistant
Scout ins









	
9
R



yv.



























•



Pcsto
Boll veevil
Cotton Flea
honoer

Boll weevil
Cotton Flea
hopper

Boll weevil
Cotton Flea
hopper





rioli weevil
Cotton Flea
hopper

,















Kxtcnt of Problcm(Ji)
Hcc^gg6
Chemical
Treatment
CO
100
100
<10

100




Q&SB&i
Doing.
Trcatod
.{JO
100
100







Trciitmcntn
„ Pesticides Used
Treat-
monto
It
2
<1

1 1/2
-2.
1
1


Ibn/A/'i'r oa tmonl
CII









OP
1/3
1/3
1/3

1/3
1/3
1/3


fi
1/10
1/10
1/10

1/10
1/10
1/10



Co ob /A
(*)









Application
Coot /A
(*)









Total
Cont/A
(*)
8.00
It. 00
2.00

3.50
2.00
2.00


Yield /A
With
Treatment
1)00
It 00
1|00

1)00
ItOO
ItOO


Without
Treatment
200
200
375

300




Scoutine
Coot/A
(*>

1.50
1.50

1.50
1.50
1.50


2 Acres
in
Diapause
Control




100




Coirrcon'
Cod -: h
1
1
3

2
3
3



-------
                   Table   33, Corn Pest Control in Florida.
                                                                                       SOO.OQ.l
                                                                                                       Source Dr. John Straver
                                                                       Average yield _Ji3_bu/A_
. Period a972-Ik.
Line
No.
1
Cultural
Practice

Regular
(soil insects)






Regular
(above ground
insects)

























%
100







J.OC



























PosCa
Lesser Corn
Stalk Borer j
Sugar Cane
Borer. Whitr
Fringe Beetl
Wireworms


Army Worms
Corn Ear
Worm, Leaf
Miner, Mites
























Kxtcnt of 1'robl.cinCO
tetfi?
Chemical
Treatment
(V
50

7-5






CffiMKly
Belnj.
Treated
(U
25

5






Treii^mcnto
..PestlcirtPS Used
Treat-
ments
per
season
1

1






lbs/A/Trca< men!
C1I









OP
2








C
.5-
2

iA



Materials
Cost/A
(*}











Application
Cost/*
(*)









Total
Cost/A
(*)
13.50

12.00






Yield/A
With
treatment
*3a0

Ii3






Without
Treatment
25

35







Cost /A
tt)





-



Comraen
Code14
1

1






ro
o

-------
Table    3l(,  Corn Pest Control  in Illinois,
             Ea,st Central, Southwest, Southeast
Acreage grown *i.P'in.nijll
   ,.,^ yiel(J 1n?_3 tu/A
                                                                                        . Period .1 R7?-7lt
Line
Ho.
1
2
•14

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



Sco^t^ng;



Continuous



Rotation



Continuous 	


Rotation



Continuous



Rotation



%
1)0



60







ItO



flO



kD.


&0_


"•0



>0





N. & W.
Rootworm j


•



n fc u
Rrtrttlt^^JJ]
Tnrn BTflr
Leaf anhid
Black
Cutworm


Blor-k
pilt.vmTn


Corn hnrpr



Corn borpr



I.paf Anhifl



Leaf Aohid



•Lxtont of Prob]cm(!t)
ftieifse
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
5
0
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
Acreage,
Currently
Being.
Treated
(%)
60
30

50
30
1
1
1
1
Treatments
Ppst-irirlos licun
ff oi
Treat-
Ment8
season
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Vbs/A/Trea1;nent
CH
0
1/2
1/3
1
1




OP
1/2
iA
1/3


1/2
1/2
1
1
C
1/2
!/"•
1/3
>4

1/2
1/2


later ials
Cost/A
W










Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
Coat/A
<*)
lt.00-
8.00
lt.00-
8.00
lt.00-
8.00
5.00-
8.00
5.00-
8.00
5.00-
6.00
5.00-
6.00
5.00-
6.00
5.00-
6.00
Yield/n
With
rreotmenl
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
102-3
Without
Treatment
90-92
102-3

50
50
92-93
92-93
92-93
92-93
Scouting
Cost /A
«)


1.00






Comnerr.
Code1*
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
1

-------
                   lable   35. Corn Pest Control in Illinois,            Aeveaeu nravn _.5»?50,('OQ	 Rnnrv.. Dr. W.  Luckcian and Dr.  Don Kuhlman


                               Northwest, Northeast, Central Region.         .           102.103 bu/A             1972_7lt
Line
No.
1
2
U

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



Scoutin.5



Continuous



Kottiiiori







Rotation



Continuous



Rotation



%
55-
60


1(0-
^






'}'}-
60


b i-
,'i*j


bi>-
bO


liO-
1"5


^>-
60


lO-
ii5


Pests

N. & W.
Rootworm !






N. & W.
Rootworm
Leaf A- >hid
Corn borer
Black
Cutworm


Black
Cutworm


Corn torer



Corn borer



Leaf Aphid



Leaf Aphid



Extent of Problea(!{)
Acreage
Need mg
Chemical
Treatment

-------
                   Table  36(    Corn Pest control  in Indiana
icu  grown  6.000.Q 10


eu  yield  92  bu/A ..
Sourc e
           -  yhomas .Tiirpi
                                                                                                         .Period  19T2"73
Line
ND.
1
2
3

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



Scouting



























*
UQ



f.(l















—

—












N.& W.
Rootworm
V?irevorm
Pn'v^rm
Wireworra
Cutworm


N. & W.
Rootworm
Wireworm
Cutvorn
























I4x-t.cn t of Problem (!f)
Needing
Chcinicul
Treatment
(*)
100


10



100





















Beine.
Treated
W
100
10







Treatments
„ Ppltirines llsnri
a ol
Truut-
munts
per
season
1
1
1






Ibu/A/'frcutincnl
CII
3A

1/U






OP
«
1/2
1/2






0

1/2
"






Materials
Coot/A
(*)
2.79
2.79
2.79







Application
Coot/A
($)
0.50
0.50
0.50







Total
Cost/A
(*)
3.29
3,29
3.29






Hclil/A
With
L'reatincut
92
92
92






Without
Treatment
90
91








Cost /A
W)


2.00






Coiruncn;
Codc^
1
1
3






T\5
CO

-------
                   Tub.1c   37,  corn Control in leva,
                               Bottom Land Region,
Anrc.'iifrju (*rown   i, ^no^nn

Avirage yield   U1 b"/A
, SourceJOr—Harcji
                                                                                                         . Period  1972-714
Line
Ho.
1

Cultural
Practice

Continuous "




Rotation






























*
25




75






























Pes+s

Cutvorms
Rootworms !
Corn borer
Wireworms

Cutworm
Corn borer
Wireworm




























intent of Froblerndf)
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
60
60








Being.
Treated
(JO
6U
67







Treatments
.PfiStl clues
Treat.
mcnts
per
season
1
1







Useu_

los/A/Treatnent
CH
1/2
1/2







OP
1A
1A







C
•»
1/14







Materials
Cost/A .
(*)
3.50
3.1)0







Application
Cost/A
(*)
0
0







Total
Cost/A
(*)
3.50
3.50







Yield/A
With
Creatment
111
111







Without
Treatment
110
106








CosVA
($)









Commeri'.
Code*
1
1







ro

-------
ro
en
                   Table     38, Corn Pest Control  in Iowa,


                                 Other La.nd Region,
Acreii|;u ITI-QVH 10.500,000



AvornGe yield l:LL tu''A	
Dr. Harry Stnckdal p
                                                                                                          . Period
Cultural
Practice

Continuous



notations



















• 	









*
25



/!>



















__.











Rootvorms
Cornborer !
Wlreworms
Cutworms
Cornborer
Wirewprms
Cutvorms




























•Ixtcnt of Problcmfj!)
fcafHS
Chemical
Treutment
(%)
88
0












6fiFf@8?ly
Being.
Treated
(*)
72
61.







Trot tmcnto
Pesticidp* i^eH
Treat-
ments
per
reason
1
1







ll)o/A/Treal.rienl
Gil
1A
I/It







OP
1/2
1/2







C
1/1
l/U







Materials
CooVA
(»)
14.50
It. 50







Application
Cost /A
<*)
0
0







Total
Cos1/A
(*)
It. 50
It. 50







Yield /A
With
I'reutwetit
111
111







Without
Treatment
10U
lOU







Scouting
Cost/ A
(*)









Common '.
Code1*
1
1








-------
                  •Table   39,  Corn Pest Control in Kansas,
                                Dry Land Region,
Acreage fp-nun 650.000
                                                                        Average yield ,8° bu/A
 Snnw.e  Drs. LeBny RronkR an.H TVI

. Period
Line
No.

1
2

Cultural
Practice

continuous £1


^t
Kotation














•
















%
^



i1?































Pests

Rootworm



Rootworm































Extent of ProUtm(^)
Acreage
Heeding
Chemical
Treatment
(«
62
0








acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
W
100
29







Treatments
j,Pe»t1c1dp<: llsprf
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1







lbs/ft/Trea fcment
CH









OP
1/2
1/2







C
1/2
1/2







Materials
Cost/A
($)









Application
Cost/A
($)









Total
Cost/A
(*)
5.00
5.00







Yield/A
With
treatment
80
80







Without
Treatment
50
80







Scouting
Cost /A
(I)









Commen;
Code1*
1
1







ro

-------
                   Table  UO, Corn Pest Control in Kansas,
                              Irrigated Region.
Acro.-iRt crown 650.000
                                                                        Average yield  "-5 tu/A
 Cource  Drs.  LeRov Brooks and

. Period  1972-714
Line
Ho.
1
2.

Cultural
Practice

continuous



Rotation



Continuous



Rotation



Continuous



Rotation



Continuous











%
o5



T>



>">



15



>b



i^>



bi>



15"









.Rootworra



3ootworm



SoiJer mite



Snider aiite



Corn borer28
>orn borer


Corn borer 2
Corn borer


•/e stern Bean
Cutworm



Cutworm






•Ixtent of Problem!1?)
Kcrsage11 •
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(?)
62
0
71
71
12
1
12
29
29

rtcreage
Currently
Heing.
treated
(%)
100
29
71
71
3
3
29
29

Treatments
Pesticides Used
// of
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Ibs/A/Treatnent
CH









01'
1/2
1/2
I/?
1/2
L/2
1/2
1/2
1/2

(T
1/2
:../2
:/2
J/2
1/2.
1/2
1/2
1/2

Materials
Cost/A
($)









Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
CosVA
($)
5.00
5.00
It. 25
It. 25
U.25
U.25
U.25
U.25

Yield /It
With
Treatment
115
115
115
115
115
115
115
115

Without
Treatment
50
115
85
85
76
76
76
76

Scoutinc
Cost/A
{$)









Commcir
Code '•
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

ro

-------
                   Taldf   '4l'  Corn Peat Contro1 ln  Kentucky,
                                Eastern Region,
,,,„,.,. .,,.„„„  3nr).ooo_
                                                                              rnfii1 yield
                                                                                          85 bu/A
 Source   Dr- We3 Gregory



. 1'tTiod .
Line
No.
1
2
3


Cultural
Practice

Continuous
(conventional)


Rotation
(conventional)


Continuous
(Ho Till)


Rotation
(Ho Till)


Continuous
(conventional)

.
Rotation
(conventional)


Continuous
(No Till)


Rotation
(No Till)






*
1Y



12



'U



2b



I'f



12



U3



28









Subterraneai
Cutworm ;


Subterraneai
Cutvorm 1


Root aphid
Wireworra
Cutworm !

Root aphid
Wireworra
Cutworm

Corn borer

Corn borer20

Corn borer

Corn borer20

Corn borer

Corn borer20

Corn borer

Corn borer20





Extent of Problem!?]
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
6-7
6-7
ItO
ItO
35
35
35
35

Being.
Treated
(*)
8-10
8-10
ItO
ItO
35
35
35
35

Treatments -
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1



ibs/A/Treatraent
CH
1/2
1/2
1/2
1/2
2
2
2
2

OP
""
iA
iA
i/it





c
LA
iA
iA
i/it
1/2
1/2
1/2
1/2

Materials
Cost/A
(*)
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00

Application
Cost /A
(*)




.75
.75
.75
.75


Total
CosVA
($)
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
8.75
2.75
2.75
2.75

Yield/A
With
treatment
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
85

Without
Treatment
68
68
68-72
68-72
70
70
70
70


Cost /A
(*)









Conoen'.
Code1'
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

ro
oo

-------
                   Table  '•S, Corn Pest Control  in Kentucky,
                              Western Region,
eacw ir.rnvn 715.000
ro
10
                                                                                yield _85_bu/A_
 Source	Dr * Wes Gregory

. Period ,
              Line
              Do.
Cultural
Practice

Continuous
(conventional )



(conventional)


Continuous
(!Io Till)


flotation
(llo Till)
•

Continuous
(conventional )


Rotation
(conventional)


Cont inuous
fjlo Till)


Rotation
(No Till)






*
13



I'J



L'



13



1J



I'-!



'
20
20
1(0
1.0
35
35
35
35

Treatments
.p-^Sticides Used
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Ibs/A/Trea tment
CH
1/2
1/2
1/2
1/2
2
2
2
2

OP
1A
1A
lA
1/lt





c
lA
iA
lA
iA
1/2
1/2
1/2
1/2

Materials
Cost/A
($)
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00

Application
Cost/A
($)




•75
• T5
.75
.75

Total
Cost/A
($)
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
2.75
2.75
2.75
2-75

Yield/A
With
[Vestment
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
85

Without
Treatment
68
68
68-72
68-72
56
56
56
56

Scouting
Cost /A
«)









Commcn1
Code ^
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1


-------
Table  !»3t  Corn Feet Control in Michigan.
     iKO gromi  1.700.000	 gnnf?«_pr. Robert Ruppel




Average yield -8o bu/A	Period .1972-71*	
Line
Ho.
1
2

3
Cultural
Practice

Continuous 22



Rotation 2J







notations



Continuous ^



Rotation ^



Continuous 22


«-.








%
bo1



li^







U2



5B



i»2



w











Pests

N. & W.
Rootvorm •










t-orn oorer



Ariayworm



Annyworm



Cutworm



(Jutvorm







Extent of Problem (*X)
ACerlf81
Chemical
Treatment
(K)
ui.
0
6
6
6
6
8
8



&ffia%7
Being.
Treated
W)
111
0
1
1
3
3
3
3

Treatments
g £esticides_ Usec
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1

Ibs/A/Trea-jnent
CH









OP









c
1

1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5
1.5

Materials
Coot/A
(*)


2.75
2.75
2.50
2.75
2.75
2.75


Cost/A
(I)


2.75
2.75
2.75
2.75
2.75
2.75

Total
Cost/A
(t)
6.00
0
5.50
5.50
5.25
5.50
5-50
5.50

Yield/A
With
treatment
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80

Without
Treatment
66

72
72
60
60
68
68


Cosf/A'
(*)








3.10
Cosucen'.
Code"1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3

-------
Table    1*1) ^ Corn Pest Control in Minnesota,
Aere;i(;i_-
6f80Q,pl>0
Huai Chlancf a.nd Ttr . nnvi.l
                                                        Average yield  93 bu/A
                                                                                         . Period
Line
ND.
1
2

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Continuous



notations



























I
Ith



UU



bb





























iiiW Corn
Rootworra ;
Corn torcr

Wireworms
Cutvorms


Corn borer

Wireworms
Cutworms
























Rxtent of FroblemtJ!)
jfereage
flee"ing
Chemical
Treatment
(*)
60









cfifflnSJy
3eing.
Treated
(it)
60
.3
0.3






Treatment 8
„ Pestirinp.: HCAH
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1






Ibs/A/Treatnent
CH









OP
1/2
1/2
1/2






C
1/2
1/2
1/2






Materials
Cost/A
(I)









Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
Coat/A
(*)
14.00.
5.00
5.00






Yield/A
With
freatment
93
93
93






Without
Treatment
8.7
•(86-88)
87
(86-88)
92






Scouting
Cost /A
<$)









Conraen:
Code ^
1
1
1







-------
                             I|J. Corn Pest Control In Missouri,
                                 Bottomland Region,
Aeri'ni;i; (M-UKM


AvwaGo yield
 nniir.;i»_l'rn. M.-ihlnri l''u.lrr-hl M.  <\>.ogge.TliH!)fliL>- itob'ert Stoltz,  and
         WiUium Ki'urby and  Armori Knastrr

. Period
Line
So.
1
2

Cultural
Practice

Loniinuous



Kot«a~^ion














,
















f
bi>



1i































Peats
Cutworm
Hcotworm i
uorn uorer
wireworm
Cutworm
Corn borer
Wireworm





























•Ixtent of !'roblran(J!)
.Acreage
Seef-ifig
Chemical
Treatment
(?)
32
58











cteasiy
Being.
ft-eatcd
M
32
58







Tr
-------
                   Table  1|6^ Corn Pest  Control  in Missouri
                              Other  land than Bottomland,
crovn
                                                                        Avej'uce yield  fit
 Rnllt./.0DrE.  Fairchlld,  George Thomas, Robert Stoltz. Wllliaa
        Kearby and Armon Keaster
. Period Mrr?-lk   .	
              Lin«
              Ko.
CO
CO
Cul lurnl
Practice

Continuous



Rotation































*
1(0



bU

































Rootworm
Corn borer '
Wirevorm
.
Corn borer
Wireworm






























•Ixtcnb of ProMfm()!)
^crga.ge
Chemical
Treatment
5
0
















UfiBBKly
Beinij.
Treated
CO
5
0







Treatments
,. Pesticiarv
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
0







,_Useji

Ibs/A/Troutmenl
CII
.1.5








OP
1/3








n
1/3








Kuterlals
Cost/ A
(*)
3.50








Application
Cost/A
(*)
0








Total
Coat/A
<$)
3.50
0







Yic-.lcl/A
With
Treatment
67
67







Without
Treatment
65
67







Sooutinc
Cost /A
($)









Common:
Code1-
1
1








-------
                  Table  'tT. Corn Pest  Control  in'Nebraska,

                             Dryland Region,
Aereui;u
                                                                       Average yield
                                                                                       3,900,foo
                                                                                       80 bu//
                                                                                                       .Period
                                       1972-71*
Line
No.
1
2
3
1.
5
Cultural
Practice

continuous















S.-mitlng
Continuous


All corn



All corn
Scouting


AIJ. corn
torn Borer
resistance





*
50







5U







sn


*
100



IOC



100









W. Rootworra
Wirevorra !
Giitworn)





Wirevorm
Cutworn






u ftootvora



Corn borer



Corn borer



Corn borer







•Ixtent of Problem «)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
W)
80

0

30-UO
20

16



10






Acreage
Currerttly
Being.
Treated
<*)
80
rootworm)

5
rootvorm)


20



Treatments
Pesticides Used
ff of
Treat-
ments
per
-.eason
1

1

1
1
1
1

Ibs/A/Treatraent
CH









OP
.5

.5

.5
1
1
1

c
• 5

• 5

.5




later ials
Cost/A
($)









Application
Cost/A
($)









Total
Cost/A
($)
14.50-
8.00

1|.50-
8.00

lt.50-
8.00
6.00
6.00
6.00

Yield/A
With
treatment
80

80

80
80
80
80


Without
Treatment
65-70




60




Cost'*
(*)




2.00

2.00


Connerv.
Code
1

1

2
1
2
3

CO
-pi

-------
                   Table U8, Corn Pest Control in Nebraska,

                             Irrigated Region,
       t C»*nwn  p.Tno.nrn
                                 Gourc e  Dr. Z ^^3^_M?YQ_..
Average yield
                                                                                                        Period   1972-Tli
Line
No.

1
2
3
It

Cultural
Practice

Continuous


-













Continuous






All corn
Scouting


All corn
Corn borer
resistant

All corn



t
yo







10







yu



lUiJ
—

loo






100





W. Rootworra
Wirevorm
Cul.wornl





Wirevom
Cutworm










Corn borer
••


Corn borer







Spider mite



Kxl.ent of Frobl.>m(?)
Chemical
Treatment
(JO

85















30-1)0

10


8


5



10


Ileing.
Treated
(JO
85
(80-90)
rootworms

<5
rootworms


10


15
Treatments
.. Pesticidp
Treat-
ments
per
season
1

1

1
1
1
1
1
iW/
Cll









i-_.Usec
v/Tron
OP
.5

.5

.5
1
1
1
1

tnonl
C
.5

.5

.5




Materials
Cost /A
(*)










Application
Coot/A
($)









Total
Cost/A
(40
8.00

U.50-
8.00

14.50-
^ 8.00
6.00
6.00
6.00
6.00
Yield/A
With

115

115

115
115
115
115
115
Without
Treatment
105-UO




105


100-105

Cost /A
(*)




2.00

2.00


Conjnen'
Code^
1

1

2
1
2
3
1
oo
en

-------
1)9,'  Corn Pest Control in New York.
A,.v,..-i(-.. Crnuii    360.0)0


Avoruco yield ,    77
                                                                                                                   Dra. A.A. Muka and  D.  Plmentel
                                                                                                           Period
Line
Bo.
1
2
3

Cultural
Practice

continuous



Rotation



Scouting



























f
0



0

































*, Rcotworm
Corn Borer >
Leaf Aphid
•rmyworm
Corn Borer
.eaf Aphid
\rmyworm





























Jxtcnt of Problem(J()
/eCc&e?Sl
Chemical
Treatment
«)
30
2
30









teaay
Being.
Treated
(*)
ItO
2







Treotmento
Pp
-------
                   Table   50,   Corn Pest Control in North Carolina.     Aert«n;o grow' 1'500.'X|0—|	Source.




                                                                         Avurnjjc yield 6*i bu/A	Period   1972-71.
                                                                                                                  Dr.  Robert Robertson
Line
No.

1
2
3

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



Scouting















	










*
17



33



















-












Billbuds
Wirevorms
S . Rootworm
Cnrn ^^Tj^f
All



















	










nxtent of rroblomfj!)
Acreage
JleediHg
Clicmicul
Treatment
(*)
18
(17-19)
18
(17-19)
15









r3oing.
TreateJ
(t)
15
(10-20)
15
(10-20)







Treatment!!
it tfiBSt.
Tzx-at-
mcnbs
per
season
1
1
1








lba./A/Trca1. .icn I
CM
1/2
1/2
1/2






OP









C
*
"
3A






Mater ialo
Coot/A
(*)









Apjilication
Coot/A
(*)









Total
Coat/A
(*)
6.20.
6.20
6.20






Yio]
With
L'rcatincu
65
65
65






'I/A
Without
Treatment
1.0
(35-1.5)
1.0
(35-U5)








Cost /A
(*)


2.00






Commcrr
Code!.
1
1
3






CO

-------
                  Table' 51 ^ Corn Pest Control  in Ohio,
                            Eastern Region,
        grown Ill°2i°°.'.l


Average yield ZQ-Jju/A—i
Source
                                                                                                               Dr. Gerald Musick and Dr.  Robert Treece
                                                                                                       . Period ..1.Q7?-?1!
Line
No.
1
2
3

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



Scouting ^



























%
35



65















•

















N. Rootworm
Corn borer !
Cutworm
Wirewora
Corn borer
Cutworm
Wireworm





























Cxtcnt of Problom«)
.Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
W
26
(20-30)
2U
(20-30)
















Acreage
Currently
Being.
Treated
00
26
(20-30)
2U
(20-30)







Trontments
r^i
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1






nidfis Iliwd...
Ibs/A/Treatment
CH
.26
0
.26






OP
M
.36
•;i»u






C
.53
• >4 It
.53






Materials
Cost/A
($)
14.00
3.00
3.00






Application
Coat/A
($)
T
T
T






Total
Cost/A
(*)
14.00
3.00
hflo






Vie]
With
Creatmenl
70
70
70






d/«
Without
Treatment
66
67







Scouting
Cost /A
($)


u.oo



"



Coiniaeiy
'Cod<*
1
1
3






CO
00

-------
                    TuMe   52. Corn  Pest Control  in Ohio,
                                Western Region,
erc-UJ''-'  J'rnwn
                                                                                                                       hr.  f|pr-»1ri Mll.Tirk
                                                                                rnco yic-ld ..UP W/ __ Period -197S-7U
Line
No.

1
a

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Rotation



ScoutinR '&
Continuous


Sccuting1^
Rotation






















«
Co



LO















—
















N. Rootworm
Corn borer '
Cutworm
Wi rcvorm
Corn borer
Cutworm
I. Ti re worm

II. Hootworm
Corn borer
Cutworm
Wirevorm
Corn borer
Cutworm
Wireworm






"














Ixtont of J'rol)l.tnn(5£)
Acreage
Needing
Chemical
Treatment
(*>
go
UO
60
UO

















ftcretge
Currently
Doing,
Treated
(*)
80
80







TrcuLmcn1.o
Pest,
// of
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1
1





ifj^es -Used 	
Ibs/A/Treat nen(
C1I
.18
L.O
.18
1.0





OP
.22
.05
.22
.05





C
.26
.07
.26
.07





Materials
Coot/A
($)
U.OO
3.00
3.00
3.00





Application
COB t/A
($)
T
T
T
T





Total
Coot/A
($)
U.OO
3.00
3.00
3.00





YiolnVA
With

110
110
110
110





Without
i
Treatment
100
100
100
100






Cost /A
($)


U.OO
U.OO





Common'.
Cod<*
i
1
3
3





CO
LO

-------
Table  53( Corn Pest Control in 8outh Dakokai        AcreuEe 6rown   3,600.^0	Source  Dr- David WalgenbacU
                                                    Average yield
                                                                    65
. Period
         1972-71*
Line
No.
1
2

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



- Rotation



Total



Total























%
142



•fl



Qn



;pp

























11 & W Root-
worm !


H & W Root-
vorra


Gra^shoDDers



Cutworms
Wireworms






















Rxtcnt of ?roblcm(i£)
fi£HHS
Chemical
Treatment
(X)
100
33
6
1







C&$i8By
Being.
Treated
(fl
100
33
3
17





Treatments
PestlnlflpB Ilnf.,^
U Of
Treat-
ments
per
season
1
1
1
1





Ibs/A/Tr cat men!
CH



1





OP
1/2
1/2
1/2






C
1/2
1/2
1






NJaterials
Coot /A
(*)









Application
Cost/A
(*)









Total
Cost /A
($)
5.00
5.00
lt.00
14.00





Yield/A
With
Chemical
rreatmenl
65
65
65
65





Without
Chemical
Treatment
53
55
52
50






Cost/A
(*)









Commen'
Code^
1
1
1
1






-------
Tulde  5!tt Corn Pest  Control in Wisconsin,
Acre,l(,,e ^un 2.270.000  Grain   s	      Dr. Jarces Apple




Avwnf;e yield  9° bu/A	Period
jine
No.

1
2
5

Cultural
Practice

Continuous



Continuous



iotation



>coutinrc '^
Continuous






















*
6^



• •3



41





























N&W Rootvorm


•
Loaf anlild
Corn borer
Cutworm

Leaf aphid
Corn borer
Cutworm

H^W Rootwonn
Leaf nnhid
Covn borer
Cutworm




















'xtcnt of Problem(^)
tests
Chcraicul
Treatment
tf)
75
2
2
75





















(ApreaBa
Being.
Treated
(?)
100
1
1






Treatments
Pesticldps Ilsofl
Treat-
ments
season
1
1
1
1





Ibu/A/'i'rcatmenl
CII



.1





0?
1.0
.5
.5
.7





0
1.0
1.5
1.5
.2





tutorials
Coot/ A
(*)
5.00
1.00-3.00
1.00-3.00
3.50





Application
Coot/A
(*>
1.00
3.00
3.00
T





Total
Coat/A
(*)
6.00
U.OO-
6.00
U.oo-
6.00
3.50





Yield/A
With
t'ruu Une.Mil
90
90
90
90





Without
TrctiUnunt
82
80
80







Cos*1- /A
(*)



2.00





CoioiDcn'
Code4
1
1
1
7






-------
                   Table     55. Corn Pest  Control in Wyoming.
Acreage grown   fiS.OOO
                                                                          Average yield   70+ 1"*.'A
 Source  Pi-.  Chris _Burl
-------
                                   FOOTNOTES


 1.  For the added materials and costs for any control  program that includes
     diapause control see "diapause" below "double line"  on each  respective
     table.

 2.  For the added materials and costs for any control  program that includes
     trap crop control see "trap crop" below "double line"  on  each  respective
     table.

 3.  Trap crop occupies only 5% of the total cotton acreage.   Dosage and  cost
     given is for the treatment of only the trap crop.

 4.  Comment codes are as follows:

     1 = Current practices
     2 = Alternative pest controls that could be put into practice  within one year
     3 = Alternative pest controls that require additional  research and potentially
         could be put into practice in 5 to 10 years

 5.  Trap crop in this situation refers to the alternate  cutting  of alfalfa
     fields to'leave live alfalfa fields for plant bug  control.

 6.  By ceasing to irrigate the cotton further in August, growth  of the cotton
     can be terminated.

 7.  No one treats automatically anymore.   Everyone scouts  to  some  degree.

 8.  Fields are scouted by insecticide representatives  and  others.

 9.  Scouting in this case means "supervised pest control."

10.  Trap crop in this situation refers to the interplanting of cotton with
     strips of alfalfa to attract plant bugs.

11.  By managing the crops that are grown adjacent to cotton,  it  is estimated
     that the number of sprays would be reduced by 1-2.

12.  Treatments may be required rarely.  Scouting will  determine  when treatments
     are needed and time these accurately.

13.  The advantage of scouting is timing.

14.  Trap crop = sorghum interplanted in cotton, 4 rows to 24  of  cotton.
     Added cost = $3.00.

15.  Treatments reduced significantly.

16.  Early and uniform destruction of cotton stalks on  an area-wide basis for
     boll weevil control.
                                      143

-------
17.  Reducing irrigation and  lowering the amount of fertilizer will reduce the
     growth of the cotton  plants and make them less attractive to the bollworms
     and budworms late in  the season.

18.  Only in certain counties; 5-7% of the acreage.

19.  Early and uniform destruction of cotton stalks  on an area-wide basis  for
     boll weevil  control.  Destroying the stalks on  70% of the acreage is
     ineffective.

20.  43  bu reflects mean for  Florida.  With chemical treatment, it has
     shown consistently that  yields may be increased 50-75%.


21.  The spider mite, European and southwestern corn borer and western bean
     cutworm are not a problem in these sections.

22.  Corn in two years before rootworms are a problem.  Second year corn is
     not bothered.

23.  25% of the corn is in annual rotation.

24.  Insect problems sporadic and diverse.  A sound predictive index is needed.

25.  May not decrease the number of treatments but would improve the timing  of
     applications by having an effective insect pest monitoring program.

26.  Monitoring of insect pest populations could be carried out by the growers
     themselves.  Would improve timing of applications.  Commercial scouting
     is not practical at present.

27.  This resistance would be primarily tolerance in the ability of the corn
     plant to regenerate roots.

28.  Southwestern corn borer.  All other references are to European corn borer.

29.  Trap crop sprayed with pheromones.
                                      144

-------
                                   TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            (Please read Instructions on the reverse before completing)
1. REPORT NO.
   EPA-600/5-79-007a
                              2.
                                                           3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION>NO.
4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE
 Alternatives for Reducing  Insecticides on Cotton and
 Corn:   Economic and Environmental  Impact
                                                           5. REPORT DATE
               August 1979 (issuing date)
             6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
7. AUTHOR(S)
  D.  Pimentel, C. Shoemaker,  E.  LaDue, R. Rovinsky,
  N.  Russell
             8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
  Cornell  University
  Ithaca,  NY 14850
             10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.

               1BB770
                                                           11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                                             R802518-02
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 Environmental  Research Laboratory—Athens, GA
 Office of Research and Development
 U.S.  Environmental Protection Agency
 Athens, GA 30605
                                                           13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
               Final,  4/75-2/77
             14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
               EPA/600/01
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
16. ABSTRACT
       Insecticide levels and  application costs supplied by 31  entomological experts,
 plus  estimates of the other  costs involved with various insect  control  strategies,
 indicate that many insect  control strategies that may significantly reduce insecti-
 cide  use on cotton and corn  may be more economical than strategies  currently being
 used.   An analysis of alternative insect control technologies in  corn revealed that
 few opportunities exist to employ alternative strategies because  only about 1 pound
 of insecticide is applied  per acre.  The prime pest on corn  is  the  rootworm complex
 and the practical alternative is crop rotation.  Several alternate  controls are
 available for cotton that  would reduce the use of large quantities  of insecticide,
 however.  A detailed static  analysis revealed that selecting  the  most economical
 control  strategy for cotton  in each growing region resulted  in  an annual reduction
 in insect control costs of $81  million and also reduced total insecticide use by
 about 40%.   A significant  finding was that if cotton production could be allowed to
 shift naturally in the Nation,  insecticide use and cotton production costs would be
 greatly reduced.
17.
                                KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                  DESCRIPTORS
                                              b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                             COSATI Field/Group
  Insecticides
  Insect control
  Agricultural chemistry
  Agricultural economics
  Economic analysis
                             02A
                             57P
                             68E
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                                            145
               it U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1979 — 657-060/5367

-------