DIBROMOCHLOROPROPANE (DBCP):  FINAL POSITION DOCUMENT
        SPECIAL PESTICIDE REVIEW DIVISION
          OFFICE OF PESTICIDE PROGRAMS
       U.S.  ENVIRONENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

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                DIBROMOCHLOROPROPANE

Authors
Jeff Kempter,  Project Manager,  SPRD, OPP
Mitchell  H.  Bernstein, Attorney,  OGC

Technical  Support Team
Dr. David  Severn, Chemist,  CED,  OPP
Dr. George Beusch,  Chemist, CED,  OPP
Dr. James  Horst, Economist, CED,  OPP
Mark Luttner,  Economist,  CED,  OPP
Roger Holtorff,  Economist,  CED,  OPP
Clara Roy, Economist, CED,  OPP
Linda Zygadlo,  Economist, CED,  OPP
Roger Hogan,  Aquatic Biologist,  CED, OPP
Edward Fyte,  Wildlife Biologist,  CED, OPP
Willard Cummings, Plant  Pathologist, C'ED, OPP
John Worthington, Chemist,  CB,  OPP
Roger Gardner,  Toxicologist,  CED, OPP
Dr. Chad  Sandusky,  Toxicologist,  CED, OPP
Robert Heath,  Statistician, TSD,  OPP
Dr. Jack  Griffith,  Epidemiologist, TSD,  OPP
Frank Davido,  Biologist,  TSD,  OPP
Dr. Frederick  Kutz,  Biologist,  TSD, OPP
Tom Dickson,  Life Scientist ,TSD ,  OPP
Dr. Roy Albert,  Chairman, Carcinogen Assesment Group

EPA Pesticide  Chemical Review  Committee  (PCRC)
Dr. William  A.  Wel;s, Chairman,  SPRD, OPP
David E.  Menotti, OGC
Dr. Allen  Jennings,  SRD,  0PM
Mr. John  J.  Neylan,  PED,  OE
Dr. Donna  Kuroda, OHEE,  ORD
Dr. Richard  N.  Hill , OTS
Dr. Elizabeth  Anderson,  CAG,  ORD

Special Acknowledgements
Geraldine  Werdig, Branch  Chief,  SPRD, EPA
Paul N. Parsons, Writer/Editor,  SPRD, EPA
Herman Delvo  and Bob Torla, U.S.  Department of Agriculture
U.S. Department  of  Agriculture  Benefits  Assessment Team
Jim Estep, Flo  Ryer  and  David  Welsh, Occupational, Safety
 and Health  Administration
Dr. Paul  Corneliussen, Food and  Drug Administration, HEW
Dr. Gene  Kennedy, National  Institute for Occupational
 Safety and  Health
Drs. Keith Maddy, Paul Kurtz  and  Jake MacKenzie, California
 Department  of  Food  and  Agriculture
Drs. C.-H.  Hall,  R.A. Davis, W.  Bontoyan, B.A. Schneider and
 D. Hansen,  CBIB, TSD, OPP.
Bob Kuykendall,  Nancy Frost,  Barbara Nellor and Sue Gallion
 EPA Region  9
Dr. Elizabeth  Weisburger, National Cancer Institute
Dr. Eric  Sansone, Frederick Cancer Research .Center
Dr. Henry  Enos,  University  of  Miami School  of Medicine

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Dibromochloropropane (DBCP):   Final Position Document

                TABLE OF CONTENTS
I.   Introduction

     A. The statute	.1
     B. The RPAR Process....."	„	2
     C. Regulatory Actions Concerning DBCP	....3
     D. Organization of Position Document	6

II.  Risk Assessment

     A. Toxicological Effects in Laboratory Animals
        and Humans	8
        (1) Cancer	8
            (a)  Laboratory animals studies	8
            (b)  CAG determination of carcinogenicity.12
            (c)  RPAR rebuttal comments	14
            (d)  Conclusions	16
        (2) Adverse Reproductive Effects	16
            (a)  Laboratory animal studies	16
            (b). Human epidemiol-ogical studies	19
            (c)  RPAR rebuttal comments	30
            (d)  Conclusions	30
        (3) Other Toxicological Effects	31
     B. Human Exposure to DBCP..	31
        (1) Ingestion of DBCP residues.-...	..34
        (2) Inhalation of DBCP by applicators
            during application	35
        (3) Inhalation of DBCP during reentry into
            treated areas.	.37,
        (4) Dermal exposure 1	....37
     C. Determination of Risk	38
        (1) Cancer.	 38
            (a)  General	 .38
            (b)  Rebuttal comments	."	39
            {c)  Final cancer  estimates	........41
        (2) Adverse reproductive effects	43

III. Benefits Analysis

     A. Background.	44
     B. The Cooperative Assessment	45
     C. Benefits Analysis	48
     D. Major Conclusions	....50

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IV.  Development and Selection of Regulatory Options
 of Action

     A. Introduction	52
     B. Rationale for Development of Options	52
     C. Risk Reduction Methods	54
        (1) Classification for restricted use	54
        (2) Reduction of ingestion exposure..........55
        (3) Reduction of dermal exposure	.56
        (4) Reduction of inhalation exposure by
            use of respirators or closed systems.....58
        (5) Reduction of inhalation exposure by
            establishment of reentry intervals	60
        (6) Reduction of inhalation exposure by
            prohibiting irrigation method of
            application	61
     D. Regulatory Options Action Selected	63

V.   Review of the Impacts of the Major Options
     A. Citrus	70
     B. Cotton	78
     C. Grapes	83
     D. Peaches and Nectarines	89
     E. Peanuts	.. .95
     F. Pineapple..	.100
     G. Soybeans	'...... 104
     H. Commercial Vegetables, Melons and Straw-
        berries	 .109
     I. Commercial Turf..	....114
     J. Strawberry Nursery Stock	119
     K. Other Berries	124
     L. Plums		129
     M. Almonds	134
     N. Home Gardens	139
     O. Home Lawns	.	143
     P. Ornamentals	,.147
     Q. Apricots, Cherries, Figs and Walnuts	152
     R. Bananas	.................156

VI.  Summary of Proposed Course of Action	159
Bibliography
Tables

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                     .List of Tables
Table  1:


Table  2:


Table  3:


Table  4:


Table  5:


Table  6:

Table  7:


Table  8:


Table  9:

Table 10:

Table 11:


Table 12:


Table 13:

Table 14:

Table 15:



Table 16:


Table 17:


Table 18:
DBCP Sperm Count {1,000,000/ml) Data Adjusted
to Include Azoospermic Men.

Estimated Cancer Risks to U.S. Population from
Consuming Potential Food Residues of DBCP.

Estimated Cancer Risks.to Applicators From
Inhalation of DBCP

Estimated Cancer Risks Resulting From Poten-
tial Exposures to DBCP

Potential Human and Environmental Hazards
from Substitute Pesticides for DBCP.

DBCP Suspension Order.

Costs of and Risk Reduction Offered by Pro-
tective Clothing and Respirators.

Economic Impacts of Cancelling Registrations
of DBCP-

Substitute Pesticides Dsed if DBCP is Cancelled.

DBCP Use Patterns.

DBCP Applicator Exposure:  Number of Persons
"Exposed and Duration of Exposure.

Estimated Food Residues of DBCP in Commercial
Crops.

Toxicological Test Results for DBCP.

DBCP Use Patterns.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Citrus in California, Texas, Florida and
Arizona.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Cotton.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Grapes in California.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Peaches and Nectarines in California .and
Eastern United States.

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Table 19:



Table 20:


Table 21:


Table 22:



Table 23:



Table 24:



Table 25:



Table 26:


Table 27:


Table 28:


Table 29:


Table 30:



Table 31:



Table 32:


Table 33:
Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Peanuts in Texas, Oklahoma and the South-
eastern United States.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Pineapples in Hawaii.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Soybeans in the Southeastern United States

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Commercial Vegetables, Melons and
Strawberries Nationwide.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Commercial Turf (Golf Courses in Florida,
Texas, South Carolina and Georgia).

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Strawberry Nursery Stock in Delaware and
Maryland.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Other Vine Berries in Oregon, Washington
and California.

Impacts of.Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Plums in California.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Almonds in California.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Home Gardens in the South.

Impacts of Regulatory Options- for DBCP
for Home Lawns in Florida.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Ornamentals in Florida, Georgia and South
Carolina.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Apricots,  Cherries, Figs and Walnuts in
California.

Impacts of Regulatory Options for DBCP
for Bananas in the United States.

Summary of Selected Courses of Action and
Their Impact.

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      DIBROMOCHLOROPROPANE (DBCP):  FINAL POSITION DOCUMENT

I, Introduction

     A.  The Statute

     The Federal Insecticide,  Fungicide/ and Rodenticide Act,  as

amended ("FIFRA")  (7 O.S.C.  $136  et seq.)  regulates all  pesticide

products.  Under S12(a)(l)(A)  of  FIFRA all pesticide products

must be registered before they may  be sold or distributed.

Before the Administrator may register a pesticide,  however,

he must determine  that its use will not result in "unreasonable

adverse effects on the environment," defined by $2(bb) of

FIFRA to mean "any unreasonable risk to man or the  environment,

taking into account the economic, social,  and environmental

costs and benefits of the use of  any pesticide."  In other

words, any decision concerning registration must  take into

account both the risks and the benefits from the  'use of  the

pesticide.

     Section 6(b)  of FIFRA authorizes the  Administrator  to

issue a notice of  intent to cancel  the registration of a pesticide

or to change its classification if  it appears to  him'that the

pesticide or its labeling "does not comply with the provisions of
               *
[FIFRA] or, when used in accordance with widespread and  commonly

recognized practice, generally causes unreasonable  adverse effects

on the environment-." Thus, the Administrator may  cancel  the

registration of a  pesticide whenever he determines  that  it no

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                              -2-
longer satisfies the  statutory standard  for  registration;  that
standard requires,  among  other things/ that  the  pesticide  not
cause "unreasonable adverse  effects  on the environment"  (FIFRA
§3(c) (5)(C)).  He may also cancel the registration  of  a  pesticide
if its labeling does  not  comply with the misbranding provisions
of FIFRA which  require-the labeling  to contain language  "adequate
to protect health and the environment"  (FIFRA  §2(q)).
  B.  The "RPAR" Process
     The Agency has designed a process to gather
risk and benefit information about a problem pesticide and  to
make a balanced decision  concerning  .it in an open manner allowing
maximum participation by  all interested  groups.  This  process is
known as the Rebuttable Presumption  Against  Registration process;
it is set out in 40 CFR S162.11.
     In broad summary, these regulations describe various  risk
criteria, and provide that a Rebuttable  Presumption Against
Registration ("RPAR") shall  arise if the Agency  determines  that
any of those criteria has been met.  Once-a rebuttable  pre-
sumption has arisen/  registrants, applicants and interested
persons are offered an opportunity to submit evidence  in rebuttal
of the presumption. Those persons may also submit, evidence  on the
economic, social and  environmental benefits  of any  use of  the
pesticide.  If  the  presumptions of risk  are  not  rebutted,  the
benefits evidence submitted  to or gathered by  the Agency is

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evaluated and considered  with the risk information.  Various risk
reduction methods and their  costs are then analyzed  and it is
determined -whether the pesticide may be regulated by their use
so as to strike the.statutory balance between risks  and benefits,
If the statutory balance  cannot be achieved for any  use, the
registrations of the  pesticide for that use must be  cancelled.
  C.  Regulatory Actions  Concerning DBCP
         .(!)• Issuance of  the RPAR
     On September 15, 1977,  the Agency's Office of Pesticide
Programs ("OPP") issued a Notice of Rebuttable Presumption
Against Registration  and  Continued Registration of Pesticide
Products Containing Dibromochloropropane (DBCP) (42  FR 48026,
September 22,. 1977).   That notice was supported by Position
Document 1 on DBCP, which described the physical and chemical
characteristics of DBCP,  its registered uses arid existing
tolerances, and the toxicological test results then  available
about it.  Position Document 1 also described the evidence
supporting the conclusions that DBCP met two RPAR risk triggers:
the oncogenic trigger (§162.11(a)(3)(ii)(A)); and the "other
chronic or delayed toxic  effects" trigger  (§162.ll(a)(3)(ii)(B)),
based on evidence of  its  adverse reproductive effects in males.
          (2) Suspension  of  DBCP
      Based on the results of an intensive, expedited investi-
gation of the human health hazards of DBCP, the Administrator

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determined on September 8,  1977  that suspension of the regis-
trations of DBCP products was "necessary to prevent an imminent
hazard during the time required  for cancellation or or change in
classification proceedings"  (FIFRA S6(c}).  Accordingly, the
Administrator issued on that date a Notice  of Intent to Suspend
and Conditionally Suspend Registrations of  Pesticide Products
Containing Dibromochloropropane  (42 FR 48915, September 26, 1977)
                                 *J
("Notice of Intent to Suspend").
     On October 27,  1977, the Administrator issued a Suspension
Order which suspended the registrations of  all pesticide
products containing  DBCP (42 FR  57543, November 3, 1977).  The
Suspension Order implemented two separate suspension actions: an
unconditional "specific food use" suspension of DBCP products
registered for use on any of nineteen (19)  food crops, and a
conditional suspension of all DBCP products.  Under the
conditional suspension, registrants were afforded an opportunity
for relief from the  Suspension Order by obtaining an interim
registration amendment implementing certain classification and
labeling changes as  set forth in the Suspension Order.
     Section 6(c)(l) of FIFRA states that no suspension order
may be issued unless a notice of intent to  cancel the registra-
tions or change the  classifications of the  pesticide products
Jy  "Imminent hazard"  is defined  by FIFRA as "a situation which
exists when the continued use of  a pesticide during  the  time
required for cancellation proceeding would be likely to  result in
unreasonable adverse effects on the environment ..."  (FIFRA
S2(1)J.

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                        -5-

concerned has already been  issued,  or is issued with the sus-

pension order. Accordingly, on  October 27,  1977, the Adminis-

trator also issued  a  Notice of  Intent to Cancel the Registrations

or Change the Classifications of  Pesticide  Products Containing

Dibromochloropropane  (DBCP), and  Statement  of Reasons (42 FR

57545, November 3,  1977)  ("Notice of Intent to Cancel").

     As explained in  the  Notice of  Intent to Cancel, the

information then available  to the Agency on the issues relevant

to an ultimate cancellation decision, including information

on both the risks and benefits  of DBCP, was incomplete.   The

Administrator further noted that  the RPAR process—which was

already initiated for DBCP—was designed precisely to permit

the Agency to gather  the  best available information about a

problem pesticide.  Accordingly,  the Administrator 'determined
                                   •
that the decisions  reached  in the RPAR review, embodied  in this

Final Position Document,  could  form the basis of an amendment

to the Notice of Intent to  Cancel.

          (3) pSHA  Standard for Occupational Exposure
               to DBCP

     On Ma-'ch 17, 1978,  the Occupational Safety and Health

Administration ("OSHA")  published an occupational safety and

health standard for occupational  exposures  to DBCP.  Among

other things, the standard  limits employee  exposure to DBCP in

the workplace to 1  part DBCP per  billion parts of air (Ippb)  as

an 8-hour time-weighted average and prohibits all eye and skin

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                             -6-
contact with DBCP (43 FR 11514).
     The permanent standard  was promulgated through notice-
and-comment rulemaking after an informal  public hearing;  it
superseded the emergency temporary standard ("ETS") issued by
OSBA on September 9,  1977 (42 FR 45536).
     OSHA's issuance  of the  ETS was coordinated with the  Agency's
issuance of the Notice of Intent to Suspend,  and both agencies
have cooperated in the formulation of an  overall regulatory
strategy designed to  protect the public against the hazards of
DBCP.  The permanent  OSHA standard specifically states that it
does not apply to "exposure  to  DBCP which results soley from
the application and use of DBCP as a pesticide" (29 CFR 1910.
1044; 43 FR 11527, March 17, 1978). Those exposures are pre-
cisely the ones which the Agency reviewed in  the RPAR process.
The Agency believes that the actions which it is proposing today
complement the permanent OSHA standard and provide comprehensive
protection to all members of the public against the risks from
all DBCP exposures.
   D.  Organization of This  Final Position Document
     This Final Position Document contains six  parts.  Part I is
this introductory section.  Part II is an evaluation of the risks
associated with DBCP  on which the RPAR action was based.   It
includes descriptions of experimental and epidemiological data,
Agency responses to RPAR rebuttal comments, and the final Agency

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                              -7-
Agency responses to RPAR rebuttal comments, and the final  Agency
assessment of those risks.  Part III is a description of the
process which the Agency used to gather and analyze information
on the economic benefits of DBCP, on a use-by-use basis. Part
.IV describes the range of regulatory options available to  the
•Agency for the reduction of unreasonable risks, and explains
                                /
the basis of the Agency's selection of six alternative courses
of action for each registered use of DBCP. Part V is the Agency's
evaluation of the risks and benefits associated with DBCP  on  a
use-by-use basis, including an evaluation of the risks from
substitute chemicals for DBCP, and the Agency's evaluation
of the viability of each available regulatory option. The
beneficial and adverse impacts of each option are* evaluated,
and the rationale for the final decision on each use is set
forth. Finally, Part VI summarizes the regulatory action which
the Agency proposes to take, in the aggrega-te, concerning
the registrations of pesticide products containing DBCP-

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                              -8-

II.  Risk Assessment of DBCP
     In its Notice Of Intent To Suspend, the Agency assessed the
potential human health risks to persons exposed to DBCP-   This
assessment was performed in three parts.  First, the toxicological
effects of DBCP, as demonstrated in laboratory animal tests or in
human epidemiological studies, were identified.  Second,  the
populations likely to be exposed to DBCP, and the routes  of their
exposures, were identified, and the durations and levels  of their
exposures were estimated.  Third, based on these estimates and
using appropriate mathematical models, the degree of risk to each
.exposed, population was either quantified or qualitatively described.
     This Final Position Document uses the same approach.  The
scope of review, however, has been expanded to include new data
submitted in rebuttal comments to the RPAR, and new data  obtained
or generated by the Agency during the RPAR review.
     A.  Toxicological Effects Of DBCP In Laboratory Animals
         And In Humans
         (1) Cancer
               (a) Laboratory Animal Studies
     i.  Between 1972 and 1974, the National Cancer Institute
(NCI) sponsored a long-term  bioassay of DBCP for possible
carcinogenicity, using Osborne-Mendel rats and B6C3F1 mice,
at Hazleton Laboratories.  DBCP in corn oil was administered
by gavage (i.e., by a tube into the stomach) 5 days a week to

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                             -9-

groups of 50 males and  females  of  each  species,  at  two  dose
levels per species.  The time-weighted average  doses of  DBCP  in
this chronic study were 29  mg/kg/day  for  the high dose  rats
of both'sexes,  and 15 mg/kg/  day for  the  low dose rats  of
both sexes;  the time-weighted average doses for  the high dose
male and  female mice were  219 and  209 mg/kg/day, respectively,
and for the low dose male  and female mice were 114  and  110
mg/kg/day, respectively.
     For  each species,  20  animals  of each sex  were  used as vehicle
controls, and were intubated  with  corn  oil at  the same  time  that
dosed animals were intubated  with  DBCP  mixtures. In addition, 20
animals of each sex  were placed on test as untreated controls
for each species,  and did  not received  any gavage treatments.
     DBCP was administered  to the  high  dose male and female  rats
for 64 weeks prior to sacrifice, and  to the low dose female  rats
for 73 weeks prior to sacrifice.   The low dose male rats were
treated for 78 weeks, followed  by  an additional  5 weeks of
observation.  The  high  dose male and female mice were treated
for 47 weeks prior to sacrifice? the low  dose  male  mice were
treated for 59  or  60 weeks  prior to sacrifice; and  the  low cose
female mice were treated for  60 weeks prior to sacrifice.
     The results of  that study  have been  published  by the NCI
in "Bioassay of Dibromochloropropane for  Possible Carcinogenicity"
(NCI, 1978) .

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                             -10-
     The report concluded (at p.v):
               "In rats and mice of  both sexes,  statisti-
          cally significant incidences of squamous-cell
          carcinomas of the forestomach occurred in  each
          dosed group and a significant positive association
          existed between dosage level and tumor incidence.
          The incidences of adenocarcinomas of the mammary
          gland were statistically significant in female
          rats when the treated groups were compared to the
          controls.  Tox.ic nephropathy was also  observed
          at elevated incidences in  all of the treated rats
          and mice.when compared to  their respective un-
          untreated or vehicle control groups.
              "Under the conditions  of this study, DBCP is a
          stomach c?rcinogen in rats and mice  of both sexes
          and is carcinogenic to the mammary gland in female
          rats."
     ii.  A bioassay on albino rats/ sponsored by Dow Chemical
Company, was also conducted at Hazleton Laboratories.  DBCP
was administered in the diet at levels of 0.3, 1.0,  and 3.0
mg/kg/day for 104 weeks, to groups of 60 female  and  60 male
rats for each dose. An additional  group of 60  female and 60
male rats served as the control group and received the
laboratory diet only.

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                           -11-



     A 78-week progress  week  report received  by  the  Agency on



July 21,  1977  indicated  a  statistically  significant  incidence



of "possible neoplasms"  of the  stomach,  in  both  males  and



females receiving  1.0  and  3.0 mg/kg/day  (Piccirillo, 1977).



     On November  8,  1977,  Dow submitted  its "Final Report, 104-



week Dietary Study in  Rats, Project No.  174-122", dated  October



28, 1977, to the  Agency  as part of  Dow's rebuttal comments to



the RPAR (RPAR Comment No.  3A,  [30000/19]). That report, as



well as the transmittal  letter, indicated "a  higher  than control



incidence of raised  areas  or  nodules in  the stomachs of  the



mid- and high-dose males and  females," but  did not include the



results of any histopathologic  examinations.  In July  of 1978,



Dow submitted  Hazleton's "Supplementary  Histopathology Report



to Final Report dated  October 20, 1977"  (Hazleton Laboratories,



1978).  Although  its late  submission precluded detailed  Agency



review, the report did conclude that dietary  administration of



DBCP "resulted in  a  tumorigenic effect in the kidneys  and



nonglandular region  of the stomach  ...."



     iii.  Dow Chemical  Company has sponsored another  bioassay



at Hazel ton Laboratories,  using groups of 50 male and  50 female



Hazleton Laboratories, albino mice  which were administered DBCP



in the diet at levels  of 0, 0.3,  1.0 and 3.0 mg/kg/day for 78



weeks.  The Agency received a copy  of a  "52-Week Progress



Report" in August, 1977  (Schober, 1977). Although the  study



was scheduled  to  be  terminated  in December  of 1977,  the Agency

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                            -12-

has not yet received  any  final  report  or  histopathological

evaluations from  the  study.

     iv.  Another  bioassay  is currently  in  progress  at  the  NCI,

in which, mice and  rats  are  being  exposed  to 0.6  and  3.0 ppm

DBCP via inhalation.  The results of that study  will not be

available for several months.

     v.  The Agency has received  a  preliminary report from

Professor Van Duuren  of New York  University Medical  Center

on a skin bioassay of DBCP  in groups of  30  female  Swiss mice.

Although the histopathology was still  incomplete at  the time

of the report, the report indicated a  high  incidence of tumors,

including squamous carcinomas of  the forestomach,  in the

treated animals (Van  Duuren,  1978).

     (b) CAG Determination  Of Carcinogenicity

     The Agency's  Carcinogen Assessment  Group  ("CAG"),  an

advisory body which analyzes of data related to  the  carcinoge-

nicity of test substances,  makes  judgments  concerning the human

risk of suspected  carcinogens.  These analyses  are  performed in

accordance with the Agency's "Interim  Procedures and Guidelines

for Health Risks  and  Economic Impact Assessment  of Suspected

Carcinogens" (41  PR 21402,  May  25,  1976)  (The  "Cancer Guide-

lines"). */
jy The Cancer Guidelines  represent  the  Agency's accumulated
expertise concerning .the  identification and  assessment of
carcinogens.   The  approach  taken  in the Cancer Guidelines  is
                                       (CONTINUED)

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                            -13-

     Although the  final  NCI  report  was not  formally  released

by NCI until 1978, at  the  time  of issuance  of  the  RPAR  the CAG

had available to  it, and reviewed,  the final tabular data from

that study. The CAG determined  that DBCP  produces  high  levels of

squamous cell carcinomas of  the stomach in  rats and  mice of

both sexes at both exposure  levels.   Among  rats, gastric

carcimonas were observed in  47/50 (94%) of  the high  dose males,

47/50 (94%) of the low dose  males,  29/49  (59%) of  the high

dose females, and  38/50  (76%) of the  low  dose  females.  Among

mice, the gastric  carcinomas were observed  in  47/49  (96%) of

high dose males,  43/46 (93%) of the low dose males,  47/48 (98%)

of- the high dose  females,  and 50/50 (100%)  of  the  low dose females

These incidences  were  highly significant  (p less than .001) when

compared to both  the vehicle and untreated  controls  for both

species, in which  zero gastric  carcinomas occurred.

     In addition,  both DBCP-treated groups  of  female rats showed

significant increases  (p less than  .005)  in the incidence of
 \
mammary adenocarcinomas.   Mammary adenocarcinomas  occurred in

31/50 (62%) of the high dose female rats, 24/50 (48%) of the low

dose female rats,  and  in 2/40  (5%)  of both  controls  combined.
jV Continued from previous  page
generally supported  by  the  final  report of the National Cancer
Institute's National Cancer Advisory  Board Subcommittee on
Environmental Carcinogenesis, entitled "General  Criteria for
Assessing the Evidence  for  Carcinogenicity of Chemical Sub-
stances" (also known as the "Shubik Committee Report").

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                            -14-
     Th e CAG also  observed  that  the  times to tumor  tended to be
very short,  and  that  the  tumors  metastasized to a wide variety
of other organs.   Accordingly, the CAG  concluded that:
         - "There  is strong  evidence  that DBCP is likely  to be
          carcinogenic  to man."  (CAG,  1^77)
          (c)  RPAR Rebuttal  Comments
     The only comment submitted  in rebuttal of the  Agency's
determination of the  carcinogenicity of DBCP was the  statement
of Dr. Gehring,  Director  of  the  Toxicology Research Laboratory
of Dow Chemical  USA   (RPAR  Comment No.  3A  [30000/19]).   Dr.
Gehring questioned whether  the excess cancer observed in the NCI
study was in fact  due to  a  primary carcinogenic effect of DBCP,
and argued that  the doses used produced severe debilitation and
excessive mortality which may have contributed to the effects
observed.
     In response,  the CAG noted  that there is no evidence that
nonspecific  organ  damage  is  the  cause of cancer.  Indeed, it
stated that  excessive toxicity and mortality would  be expected
to suppress  carcinogenicity.  (Albert, 1978). Moreover, Dr.
Gehring did  admit  that  the  NCI study indicated that cancer "may
be induced by ingestion of  DBCP"; he further stated that that
conclusion "has  been  rendered more valid" by the interim
results of the Dow-Hazleton  rat  study,  since the doses used in
that study "are  unlikely  to  have caused irritation  sufficient
to increase  the  induction of cancer  and these doses do not

-------
                            -15-



appear to have affected  dramatically the  health  status  of the



rats on test"  (RPAR Comment  No.3A  [30000/19]).



     Similarly,  Dr. Ge.hring  suggested that  the method of



administration (i.e.,  by gavage) may have contributed to  the



induction of the observed neoplasms, since  DBCP  is  a skin and



mucous membrane irritant and proliferative  lesions  of the



forestomach have been  noted  in  other bioassays where chemical



irritants have been administered by gavage.



     In response, the  CAG.noted that most of  the halogenated



aliphatic hydrocarbons,  including  DBCP, are known to be skin



and mucous membrane irritants.   However,  it also noted  that the



NCI had tested thirteen  aliphatic  hydrocarbons for  carcinogen-



icity; they were administered by oral intubation in 200 Osborne-



Mendel rats and 200 B(TC3F1 mice of both sexes. Of the thirteen



compounds tested, only three induced squamous-cell  carcinomas of



the forestomach. (Albert, 1978). In addition, Dr. Gehring admitted



that the results of the  Dow-Hazleton study  validate the conclusion



that ingestion of DBCP causes cancer, since the  doses used in that



experiment were unlikely to  have caused irritation  sufficient to



increase the induction of cancer (RPAR Comment No.  3A  [30000/19]).



          (d)  Conclusions on the Carcinogenicity of DBCP



     The Agency concludes that  the presumption of risk  arising



from the "oncogenic trigger" (§162.11(a)(3)(ii)(A)) has not been



rebutted for DBCP since  no applicant or registrant  has  sustained



the affirmative burden of proof set forth in  §162.11(a)(4).

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                             -16-
Since valid data demonstrate  that DBCP is a strong  carcinogen
in both sexes of two  animal  species,  the  Agency concludes  that
DBCP presents a significant  risk  of cancer to human beings who
are exposed to the chemical.
         (2) Adverse  Reproductive Effects
              (a)  Laboratory  Animal Studies
     In the Notice of Intent  to Suspend,   the Agency summarized
several published  reports  which indicated that DBCP significantly
damages the testes of several animal  species. In particular, the
studies published  by  Torkelson (1961)  showed that groups of 15
rats exposed to DBCP  vapors  of 0, 5,  10,  20, or 40  ppm  for a
total of 50 exposures over 7  weeks, developed gross lesions in
the testes ,at the  10  ppm and  higher dosages.  Testes atrophied
in treated rats at 20 and  40  ppm, while testicular'weight  was
reduced in some males  at  as  low  as 5  ppm. In addition, three
male rabbits and 10 male guinea pigs  exposed to 12  ppm  DBCP
vapors 66 times showed severe testicular  atrophy and degenera-
tion.  The authors noted that "the most striking observation
at autopsy was severe atrophy and degeneration of the testes
of all species."
     The Notice of Intent  to  Suspend  also referred  to several
Russian studies which indicated adverse reproductive effects in
rats resulting from exposures to  DBCP.   (Faidysh et al. 1974,
Faidysh et al. 1970,  Rakhmatullayev 1971, Reznik and Sprinchan
1975).

-------
                            -17-
Bowever,  Agency scientists  have  identified  several  factors
which preclude  comparison of the Russian results with  those
of Torkelson.   For  example, the  chemical analysis of Russian
DBCP is not provided;  the "index of  spermatogenesis" is not
de.fined;  and many of  the studies wer'e  performed with only
one dose  with no description of  how  that dose was chosen.
Accordingly, the Agency can now  only conclude that  the results
and conclusions of  the Russian studies are  apparently  similar
to those described  above -
     Three other sets of experimental  data, not cited  in the
Notice of Intent to Suspend, have  also been found in the
course of the RPAR  review.  First, the NCI's "Bioassay of
Dibromochloropropane  for Possible  Carcinogenicity"  (NCI, 1978)
referred  to in  Section II A (l)(a) earlier, includes a table
"Summary of the Incidence of Nonneoplastic  Lesions  in  Male
Rats Treated with DBCP." The table indicates that atrophied
testicles were  observed in  76%  (38/50) of male rats receiving
15 mg/kg/day, 5 days/week,  for 78  weeks, and in 96%(47/49) of
male rats receiving 29 mg/kg/day,  5.days/week, for  64  weeks.
     Second, the Dow  Chemical Company  reports that  in  the
Hazleton Laboratories chronic ingestion study cited earlier in
Section II A (l)(a),  no DBCP-related histomorphologic  alterations
were revealed by examination of  the  testes  of the high dose
(3 mg/kg/day) treated rats  (RPAR Comment No. 3A  [30000/19]).

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                             -18-

The Agency has not reviewed  the  raw data underlying  these

histopathological  conclusions.

    .Third,  Shell  Oil  Company submitted  the  results  of a  study

by the Department  of  Pharmacology and  Experimental

Therapeutics,  University of  California,  School  of Medicine,

which were not reported by Torkelson (Bines  et  al.,  1956)  (RPAK

Comment No.20A [30000/19]).  In  that study, groups of 15 rats  were

repeatedly exposed to  5, 10,  20  and 50 ppm DBCP for  7  hours/day,

5 days/week, for 77 days. According to  Shell,  the histopath-
      #
©logical examination  of all  organs, including  testes,  revealed

pathologic changes only in the lungs.  However, Shell  admitted

in its rebuttal comment that these are "remarkedly different

results" from a second inhalation study  performed at the  same

facility, which was reported by  Torkelson.
                 f
          (b)  Human Epidemiologic Studies

     Medical evidence  of adverse effects in  humans resulting

from exposure to a pesticide is"significantly more valuable than

laboratory animal  tests for  judging the  chemical's potential  for

human harm.   Accordingly, preliminary  indications of depressed

sperm counts in workers at plants where  DBCP was manufactured or
                                            *
formulated,  reported  in the  Notice of  Intent to Suspend, gave

rise to intense investigations  into adverse  reproductive  effects

in males resulting from exposure to DBCP by  several  other

chemical companies, by the National Institute of Occupational

-------
                             -19-
Safety and Health ("NIOSH"),  and by  the  Agency.
     As the result of  those  investigations^  the  Agency  has
received extensive epidemiologic information about  males  exposed
to DBCP.  The data fall  into  three groups:   data from manufac-
turers/ formulators of DBCP  products;  an in-depth study of  the
Occidental Chemical Company  workers  exposed  to  DBCP, performed  by
Dr. Who r.ton;  and the results  of a survey of  agricultural  workers
potentially exposed to DBCP/  conducted by the Human Effects
Monitoring Branch of OPP's .Technical Services Division.
     The primary focus in the Agency's review and evaluation  of -
these data was evidence  of  testicular  toxicity,  as  might  be mani-
fested by such clinical  signs as decreased or depressed sperm
counts, low motility of  sperm, abnormal  sperm morphology, and
variations in sex hormone levels.  Because sperm counts —
measured in terms of millions of sperm per milliliter of
semen (MM/ml)—provide objective data  amenable to statistical
analysis, they were used by  the Agency as the principal index
of testicular toxicity.
     However, the Agency wishes to emphasize that statistical
analyses of sperm count  levels are not attempts  to-predict  or
gauge the fertility or infertility of  any male tested.  Theo-
retically, as long as a  male  has a sperm count above zero,  he
is capable of reproducing;  the chances of successful conception
increase with increased  sperm count, all other  reproductive

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                             -20-

variables being  constant  and  within  normal  limits.   Accordingly,

an analysis of sperm 'count data  indicating  a  depressed  sperm

count in any exposed population  does not mean that  the  affected

individuals (with the  exception  of azoospermics,  persons  with

zero sperm counts)  are or will be incapable of fathering

children.

     The threshold  issue  with respect to using sperm counts as

the index of testicular toxicity is  the choice of a "normal"

sperm count for  comparison.  It  is well established that  the

sperm counts range  from 0 sperm  .to over 300 million sperm per

milliliter; the  distribution  of  these sperm counts  may  be
                                         s
described in increments of 10 MM/ml— i.e./ the  percentage

of men with counts  less than  10  MM/ml,  the  percentage from

10 MM/ml to 23 MM/ml,  etc. At the informal public  hearing

on the proposed  OSHA standard for occupational exposure to

DBCP, expert witnesses testified to  two factors:

     (1) there is little  disagreement among experts that  a sperm

count of 40 MM/ml or more can be considered a normal value

(Whorton, 1977)? and

     (2) any sperm  count  below 20 MM/ml would be  considered ab-

normally low, or oligospermic (Marshall, 1977).   An area  of

limited controversy exists about how to best  characterize

sperm counts in  the range of  20-40 MM/ml, which  Dr. Whorton

described as "mildly oligospermic".

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                           -21-
     The Agency has determined  that  40  million  sperm per
railliliter is the  appropriate upper  limit of the  range  of
oligospermic sperm counts.   The primary reason  for  this
decision is the Agency's  concern for human health hazards
from DBCP; as a matter  of policy,  the Agency believes it
prudent to adopt a conservative approach in the assessment
of human risks, current  scientific  consensus.  However, to
present a more complete picture of the  available  data,  the
Agency has performed all  of its statistical analyses with
both 20 MH/ml and  40 MM/ml as the  upper limit of  the range
of oligospermia.
     The second issue concerning the use of sperm counts is
the choice of a "standard"  distribution of sperm  counts for
statistical comparison.  For this  purpose the Agency has used
the one compiled by McLeod (1977) , which was presented  at the
NIOSH conference on DBCP  held in Cincinnati on  October  20 and
21, 1977. McLeod sampled  9,000  men examined over  11 years from
1966 to 1977, in conjunction with  "infertile marriage"  con-
sultations. Dr. Channing  Meyer, chief of the medical section
.in the branch of NIOSH  charged  with  investigating toxic
hazards in the workplace, discussed  McLeod's data at the
informal public hearing on the  proposed OSHA standard for
occupational exposures  to DBCP; he explained that in any
sample of individuals seeking counseling because  of infertility

-------
                              -22-

  problems,  the  responsibility for the  infertility will rest with
                             i
  the male about half of  the  time and with  the  female about half

  of the  time.  (Dr.  Meyer,  1977). Accordingly,  about half of the

  men in  McLeod's test  population could be  expected to have fer- .

  tility  problems,  including  low sperm  counts,  therefore, the

  frequency  distribution  of "normal" sperm  counts derived from

  that test  population  would  be biased  downward relative to the

  general population of non-vasectomized males.

       This  inference is  supported by a comparison of McLeod's

  "infertile marriage"  data with other data collected by McLeod

  (1951)  in  an  earlier  study  of fertile males..   Sperm counts less

.. than 20 MM/ml  comprise  15%  of the "infertile" group (excluding

  azoospermics)  compared  to only 5% of  the  fertile group; for

  sperm counts  less than  40 MM/ml, the.  figures  are 26.4% and

  17%, respectively.

       To the extent that the frequency.of  sperm counts below

  20 MM/ml or 40 MM/ral  in any epidemiological study exceed at

  a statistically significant level the frequency below 20 MM/ml

  or 40 MM/ml,  respectively,  in McLeod's "infertility" data, the

  Agency will be even more confident in concluding that the. results

  demonstrate adverse human reproductive effects from DBCP exposure.

  Finally, it should also be  noted that for purposes of analysis,

  non-vasectomized azoospermics were included in both the "less

  than 20 MM/ml," and "less than 40 MM/ml"  categories. McLeod's

-------
                             -23-
"infertile marriage"  data were adjusted accordingly to reflect
the inclusion of azoospermics, so that the frequency of sperm
counts less than 20 MM/ml was 18.1% and of sperm counts less
than 40 MM/ml was 29.1%.
     (1) The data received from manufacturers and formulators
are summarized in Table  1, together with the results of statis-
tical analyses performed  by the Agency.
         At the Occidental plant, 40 of 91 workers who were
exposed to DBCP (44%) had sperm counts below 40 MM/ml, compared
to only 4 of 35 workers  who were not exposed to DBCP (11%).
This difference was highly statistically significant (p less
than 0.005).  No data on  sperm counts less than 20 MM/ml were
available.
     At two other plants  — the Dow (Magnolia)  plant and the
Velsicol plant — no control data were available on workers  not
exposed to DBCP, so that  the McLeod "infertile marriage" data
were used for statistical analysis.  At the Dow plant, 53 of
117 workers exposed to DBCP (4.5%) had counts below 20 MM/ml,
compared to 18.1% of McLeod's sample;-68 of 117 (58.1%)  hed
counts below 40 MM/ml, compared to 29.1% of McLeod's sample-
Both comparisons indicated that the differences in frequencies
were highly statistically significant (p less than 0.005).   At
the Velsicol plant, 12 of 24 workers exposed to DBCP (50%) had
counts below 20 MM/ml and 17 of 24 (70.8%) had  counts below

-------
                             -24-



40 MM/ml.   Again,  these  frequencies  were  highly significantly



different from the McLeod  data  (p less  than  0.005).



     The Agency believes that these  data  clearly indicate  that



exposure to DBCP of workers  in  certain  manufacturing  or



formulating plants has resulted in depressed sperm counts  in



those workers.



          (2) A second epidemiologic study reviewed  by the Agency



is the "Health Hazard  Evaluation" ("HHE") conducted  from August



to October, 1977 at the  Occidental Chemical  Company  in Lathrop,



California by Drs. Whorton,  Milby and Stubbs (Whorton et al.



19?7). A preliminary study at Occidental  had found a  clear



relationship between duration of exposure to DBCP and.sperm



"count; the HHE attempted to  expand the  data  base to  confirm that



relationship.  A problem in  the study was accurate measurement



of individual exposures  to DBCP.   For data analysis  purposes,



exposure was first coded qualitatively  on the basis  of work



history either in  the  Agricultural Chemical  Division  ("ACD")



of Occidental, or  in other areas of  the plant in which DBCP was



formulated.  Later in  the  study,  a semiqualitative estimate of



exposure was devised,  relying mainly upon individual  memories,



to estimate length of  exposure.  Time in  the ACD was  considered



de facto exposure  time,  and  total time  of exposure was estimated



by months in the ACD or  other relevant  areas of Occidental.  The



exposures were added cumultatively to provide a sum  by months;

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                             -25-


exposure times were then divided into groups to allow meaningful


statistical analysis.  Exposed workers for  whom no  reasonable


quantification could be determined were put in the category


"unquantifiable exposure".


     The following table, based  on  data from the  HHE, shows

                                                           V
the relationship between exposure to, DBCP  and sperm counts.
^J The HHE used the  value  of 40 MM/ml as the  upper  limit of
range of sperm counts considered to be oligospermic.

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Sperm Count
Categories

less than or
• equal to
 40 MM/ml
              -26-



•  Exposure Categories  (Months)

None     1-6    7-24   25-42   43 +
Total
Exposed  McLeod
(n) (4)
% 11.4
(11)
22.9
(7)
50.0
(8)
-66.7
(14)
82.4
(40)
44.0
29.1
greater than
 40 MM/ml
(n)
%
totals
(n) •
%
(31)
88.6
(35)
100
(37)
77.1
(48)
100
(7)
50.0
(14)
:ioo
(4)
33.3
(12)
100
(3)
17.6
(17)
100
(51)
56.0
(91)
100

70.9
(9,000)
100
     (number of individuals in parentheses)
     A clear increase in incidence of oligospermia with

increased exposure to DBCP is evident from this table.   The

-------
                           -27-
number of men  in  the  "no  exposure"  group  with  counts  greater
than 40 MM/ml  was eight times  the number  of  oligospermic men  in
that same group.  In the 1-6 month exposure category,  however,
the ratio was  about 3 to  1; in the  7-24 month  exposure  category,
the ratio was  1  to 1;  and  in the 25-42 month category,  the
ratio reversed so that the number of oligospermic men was twice
the number of  men in that category with  counts  greater than
40 MM/ml.  An  even more striking difference  can  be  seen in  the
43 month-plus  exposure category, where the ratio of oligospermic
men to men with  counts greater than 40 MM/ml increases  to
almost 5 to 1.
     The Agency  believes  the results and  interpretations of the
HHE  support a conclusion  that in workers exposed to  DBCP,
the'incidence  of  oligospermia  increases with increased  exposure.
     (3)  A third study,  "Spermatogenesis In Agricultural
Workers Potentially Exposed to 1,2-dibromo-3-chloropropane
(DBCP),"  was  conducted by the Epidemiologic Studies  Program
of OPP's Human Effects Monitoring Branch  (HEMB,  1978).  The
purpose of the study  was  to evaluate individuals potentially
exposed to DBCP  in agricultural or  related occupations  to
determine whether the problem  of depressed sperm counts
also .occurred  among those  individuals as  it  had  among workers
who formulated the compound.
     (i) The study's  "South Carolina Cohort" consisted  of partic-
ipants from South Carolina, Florida, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee

-------
                              -28-
and Mississippi;   'the,group of "users"  included  custom
applicators,  farmers,  farm  workers,  researchers, and  sales
representatives.   The  study found  that  16  of  45  users (35.6%)
had counts below  20  MM/ml as compared  to only 18.1% of the
McLeod subjects (both  counts include azoospermics). This  difference
was highly statistically significant (p less  than 0.01).  Moreover,
the study indicates  that an additional  6 users had sperm  counts
in the range  of 20.1-40  MM/ml,  so  that  a total of 48.9% of  the
users were below  40  MM/ml,  as compared  to  only 29.1%  of the
McLeod subjects.   This difference  was highly  statistically
significant (p less  than 0.01).
     The study also  developed a  DBCP "use-index" for  the  user
group, calculated by dividing the  total, estimated pounds  of
DBCP used in  each user's lifetime  by the  total  estimated
number of days in which  DBCP was used.  The study demonstrated
 a significant negative  correlation  between sperm count and
DBCP use-index—  i.e., the  higher  the use-index  value,  the
lower the sperm count  tended to  be (Spearman  rank correlation
coefficient -0.372;  p  less  than  0.01).  This finding supports
the relationship  between sperm  count and exposure time  shown
by Whorton in the HHE.
     (ii)  The study's  "California  Cohort"  consisted of  agricul-
tural workers, including commercial  injection applicators and
irrigation calibrators,  farm hands and  farm laborers, and

-------
                             -29-
researchers.   Fifty of the  workers had  used  DBCP for  15  to  2090
days during their lifetimes;  ten had used it 1-10 days;  and 23
controls had  never been exposed to DBCP.  Twelve -farm  hands  and
laborers, some of whom may  have been incidentally exposed  to  DBCP,
were also examined .
     When all persons in the  California Cohort who had used
DBCP are considered, 21 of  60 (35.0%)  had sperm counts less than
20 MM/ml and  31 of 60 (51.6%) had sperm counts less than 40
MM/ml, as compared to 1 of  23 controls  (4.3%)  and 6 of 23
controls (26.1%), respectively. These differences were statisti-
cally significant (p less than 0.005 and  p less than  0.05,
respectively).
      (iii) The study's "Texas Cohort"  consisted of fourteen
citrus and vegetable farmers  who had been exposed to  DBCP.   Six
of the individuals (42.9%)  had sperm counts  xess than 20 MM/ml,
as compared to 18.1% of McLeod's subjects (p less than 0.025).
Eight of the  individuals (57.1%) had sperm counts less than
40 MM/ml> as  compared to 29.1% of McLeod's subjects (p less
than 0.025).
     (iv) The Agency believes that this study amply demonstrates
that exposure to DBCP in agricultural  use situations  poses  a  risk
of testicular toxicity (i.e., depressed sperm counts)  to exposed
individuals,  and that the risk increases  with increased  exposure.

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                             -30-
          (c)  RPAR Rebuttal  Comments
     Both Dow Chemical  Company and Shell Oil Company submitted
RPAR rebuttal  comments  to the effect that laboratory animal
data indicate a 1 ppm "no effect" level for testicular  atrophy
from subchronic inhalation of DBCP, the equivalent of an oral
dose of 1.6 mg/kg/day-   They stated that this conclusion is
further supported by experimental data indicating that  doses of
3 mg/kg/day of DBCP ingested  for two years did not have an
anti-spennatogenic effect.
     The Agency does not concur with the conclusion that a "no
observable effect level" (NOEL) has been established in laboratory
animals; further, it does not believe that it is necessary to
resolve that point since human epidemiologic evidence,  discussed
above, especially the HEMB survey which indicates testicular
toxicity in workers exposed  to.DBCP in agricultural use
situations. Moreover, the Agency submitted the data from the
HHE to Dr. D.W. Gaylor, the  Chief of Biometry of the National
Center.for Toxicological Research. By plotting the data on
arithmetic scales, he concluded that "there is no indication
of a so calle-3 no effect exposure. A very short length  of-
exposure to DBCP may in fact result in oligospermia in  a small
proportion of workers"  {Gaylor, 1978).
          (d) Conclusions Regarding Adverse Reproductive Effects
              of DBCP
     The Agency concludes that the presumption of risk  arising

-------
                              -31-
 from the  "other  chronic .or delayed  toxic  effects  "trigger  (§162.11
 (a)(3)(ii)(B)}  has  not been  rebutted  for  DBCP  since  no  applicant
 or registrant  has sustained  the  affirmative  burden of proof  set
 forth in  Sl62.11(a)(4) .
      Based  on  epidemiologic  evidence/  the Agency  concludes that
 DBCP poses  a risk of  testicular  toxicity, as evidenced  by  an
 increased incidence of reduced sperm  counts, to males'who  are
 •exposed  to  the chemical.  The Agency further  concludes from that
: data that no "no observable  effect  level" may  safely be estab-
 lished  for  human exposure to DBCP with respect to testicular
 toxicity, and  further concludes  that  the  risk  of  decreased sperm
 counts  increases with  increased  exposure.
    .  (3)  Other Toxicplogical Effects
          Other  toxicological effects  o.f  DBCP  which  did not meet
 the risk  criteria of  Sl62.11(a)(3)  for issuance of an RPAR are
 summarized  in  Table 13.
      B.   Human Exposure To DBCP
      The  next  stage in the Agency's assessment of human  risks
 from exposure  to DBCP was the identification of the  populations
 with actual or  potential  exposures  to  DBCP,  and the  identification
 of their, routes  of  exposure. The levels and  durations of those
 exposures were then estimated, and  the estimates  were used to
 calculate the  potential lifetime exposures of  the identified
 populations.

-------
                             -32-
     In the Notice  of  Intent  to  Suspend,  the  Agency used  the
best data then-available  to calculate  the  exposures from  both
consumption of DBCP residues  by  the  general United  States popu-
lation, and from inhalation of DBCP  vapors by DBCP  applicators.
The Agency used residue data  available from supervised  field
trials approximating registered  uses of DBCP-  It  also extrapolated
that data to predict DBCP residues  in  related crops (or crops
with common growing characteristics) for  which there were
registered uses of  DBCP and.for  which  residue data  was  absent
or inconclusive. No data  were then available  concerning potential
concentrations of DBCP in the air surrounding applicators.
However, there were such  data for a  similar chemical, ethylene
dibromide, which is also  applied by  soil  injection.  Accordingly,
the Agency used a ratio of the vapor pressures of the two
compounds to estimate  a range of DEC?  air  concentrations  which
could reasonably be expected  from DBCP soil  injection.
    . The Agency has since received,  both  in RPAR  rebuttal comments
and as the result of experiments by or under  contract to the
Agency, substantial amounts of exposure data  on DBCP itself.
These new data include:   additional  residue data  from
registrants particularly  Dow  and Shell; inhalation  exposure
data from agricultural applications  of DBCP,  from Shell and Dow;
air monitoring data of DBCP field applications submitted  by the
Pineapple Growers Association of Hawaii ("PGAH")  as  well  as a study

-------
                              -33-


 conducted for PGAH by Dollar  &  Hertlein (1977)  containing


 additional air monitoring  data;  a study conducted by the  OPP's


 Chemical and Biological  Investigations Branch,  which gathered


 data on the air contamination levels and disappearance rates


 of DBCP from soil (Hansen,  1977); and a study conducted by Enos


 j|t. ^1. (1978) at the University of Miami School of Medicine


 reporting on the development  and'application of a methodology  for


 environmental sampling to   determine DSC?    levels in ambient


 air.


      The information referred to above was analyzed by the


 Chemistry Branch of OPP's  Criteria and Evaluation Division,


 and formed the basis of  its "Analysis of Human  Exposure to DBCP"


 (the "Exposure Analysis").  The  information in that document


. was used to estimate the exposures of all affected populations


 from DBCP use, on a use-by-use  basis. These estimates may  best


 be summarized by the four  major  routes .of exposure:  ingestion


 of DBC? residues in food,  inhalation of DBCP by applicators


 and mixers and loaders,  inhalation of DBCP after reentry into


 treated areas, and dermal  absorption
        %

 of DBCP during application, mixing and loading,  or spill cleanups.


 Each of these categories will now be discussed  in detail.


    (1) Ingestion of DBCP Residues


      Chemists in the OPP's  Registration Division have reviewed all


 of the available DBCP residue data.

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                             -34-



 They have  concluded that it is reasonable to hypothesize that



 DBCP itself  is not absorbed and translocated within growing



 plants;  rather, residues of DBCP in crops grown .in DBCP-trea-ted



 soil are probably from the crops' contact with the treated



 soil, from volatilization of DBCP from the treated soil and



 condensation or absorption on crop surfaces, or from deposition



 of. DBCP  on the crop itself during application. They further



 concluded  that root crops, which bear the highest residues,



 may be exceptions to this hypothesis, especially in light



 of the demonstrated ability of carrots to absorb organochlorine



 pesticides from the soil. Based on actual data from supervised



.trials,  or extrapolation of that data to other related crops



 or crops with similar growing characteristics, the chemists



 estimated  a  range of  residues that may result from registered



 DBCP uses  (Worthington, 1978a, 1978b; Cummings, 1978). Those



 data are summarized in Table 12.



      Those values are estimates of the range of residues



 that might result from maximum registered application rates.



 However, the chemists also noted that actual agricultural



 practices  currently in use are often more restrictive than the



 registered recommendations (for example, with respect to



 application  rates and preharvest intervals), so that residues



 which many treated crops may be expected to bear would fall



 at the bottom of the estimated ranges.  Nevertheless, for the

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                             -35-



purposes of calculating potential exposure to the general



population from ingestion of DBC? residues, the upper limits of



the estimates ranges have been utilized, and thus represent



a worst case situation.



     Finally, to calculate an individual's average daily intake



of DBCP residues, the maximum residue for each crop was multiplied



by the average amount of that crop consumed daily on a per  capita



basis. That figure was in turn multiplied by the percentage (by



acreage) of the national crop treated with DBCP, to get an



estimate of exposure potential reflecting actual use patterns.



Those factors also are tabulated in Table 12, together with the



.estimated maximum daily intake of DBCP (on a picogram/kilogram



bodyweight/day basis) for each food crop for which DBCP is



currently registered.

                             •

   (2) Inhalation of DBCP By Applicators During Application



     Applicator exposure to DBCP, by inhalation,  calculated



on a use-by-use basis, is summarized in  Table 3.



     The first step in the calculation was the estimation of DBCP
                                              t


air concentrations during application, on a technique-by-technique



b asis. The DECP Exposure Analysis estimated the inhalation exposure



on a milligram per hour basis for soil injection (other  than



pineapple), soil injection (pineapple),  irrigation, in-furrow,



granular, and drench.



     The next step in the inhalation exposure analysis focused



on the individual use categories of DBCP.  Thus, for each use

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                             -36-



pattern, the following information was identified or estimated:



the application technique(s);  the number of applicators and



helpers exposed to DBCP;  and  the number of hours per year  that



each expo-sed person might be  expected to be exposed to DBCP.



This information is tabulated  in Table 11, which is exhaustively



footnoted with the sources of  the data and calculations.  The



number of applicators exposed,  the. duration of their exposure,



and their dose of DBCP per hour were then entered into the



appropriate columns in Table  3, estimates of yearly and lifetime



doses of DBCP, per exposed person, were then derived.



     Finally, for each technique exposure was calculated



for two distinct phases of the  overall application process:



during mixing and loading operations, and during the-actual



application.  This  was done  to enable the Agency to evaluate



whether different restrictions  to prevent or diminish inhalation



exposure would be appropriate  for the different phases of



application.  This subject is  addressed in detail in Section  IV.



     (3) Inhalation of DBCP During Reentry Into Treated Areas



     There may also be inhalation exposure to DBCP if people  re-



enter treated areas after application of DBCP but before  the



ambient air concentrations of  DBCP have dissipated.  Although



DBCP is a highly volatile compound,  the Agency determined  that



it was appropriate to measure  DBCP disappearance rates in



treated soil and in air over  treated soil at various intervals

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                             -37-



after DBCP application by various techniques.   That data



was evaluated and analyzed in the DBCP Exposure Analysis,  and  is



presented in Table 4.



     (4}  Dermal Exposure to DBCP



     Dermal exposure to DBCP may occur in a variety of situations



— for example, during  mixing and loading  operations, during  spill



cleanups, during maintenance of application equipment, or  during



different phases of actual application.   Moreover,  the subchronic



toxicity studies referred to in Section II A indicate that  DEC?



is apparently readily  absorbed through the skin.  Indeed,  Dow



Chemical  Company states in its rebuttal  comment,  "it is reasonable



to expect that absorption through the skin may be as significant



or, indeed> more significant than inhalation unless precautions



to prevent skin contamination are adhered to strictly." (RPAR



Comment No. 3A [30000/19], p. 17)



     Accordingly, Table 4 contains estimates of potential  dermal



exposures to DBGP in various contexts. -The estimated doses



are calculated on a per drop basis, and  assume that the entire



drop is absorbed through the s.kin.  In fact, it is  reasonable



to assume that a person will be dermally  exposed  to much more



than a single drop of  DBCP in any of the  exposure situations



described.



  C.  Determination of Risk



     The  final stage of the Agency's risk assessment of a  pesticide



is a prediction of the human health hazards from  exposure  to the

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                             -38-
chemical.   Based on the  toxicological and epidemiological
evidence of adverse effects and  human exposure estimates/  the
Agency used, where  possible, appropriate mathematical models
to quantify the risk.  In other circumstances,  the  Agency
was .only able to qualitatively describe the risk,
          (1) Risk  of  Cancer
               (a)  General
      The  Agency's  Cancer Guidelines state that when  a chemical
is judged  to be a potential human carcinogen,  the  Agency will  make
estimates  of its possible impac* on public health  at  current and
anticipated levels  of  exposure.   The Cancer Guidelines also
recognize  that the  available techniques for assessing the  magnitude
of cancer  risk to human  populations based on animal data are at
best very crude; this  is due to  uncertainties  in the  extrapolation
of dose-response data  to very low dose  levels  and  due to
differences in levels  of susceptibility of animals and humans.
Accordingly, as the Administrator cautioned when he provided
preliminary risk estimates  in the Notice of Intent to Suspend,
the risk estimates  are neither scientific certainties nor
absolute upper limits  on the risks of cancer from  continued use
of DBCP. Rather, any estimates are used  by the  Agency as rough
approximations of the  degree of  human cancer risk  which  may be
expected from continued  use of DBCP.
            (b) Rebuttal Comments to  the Risk Assessment
     Dow Chemical Company has challenged the validity of the

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                             -39-
Agency's approach to quantification of the  increased risks of
cancer from with exposure to  DBCP.  Dow asserted  that the
Agency's risk assessment model  is a very conservative one
which overestimates the  risk, and claimed that application of
CAG's model to workmen exposed  to 1 ppm DBCP for 10 years
would be expected to result in  "such a horrendous increase of
cancer" among the workers that  it would have been detected long
ago. Dow also claimed that by applying the  model to the data
collected in the Dow-Hazleton bioassay (described in Section
II A), the model's prediction of risk is significantly greater
than the cancer rates actually  observed. Finally, Dow asserted
that extrapolation of the incidence of stomach cancer incurred via
ingestion of DBCP to predict  the incidence  of cancer via  inhalation
of DBCP is questionable, since  the  cancerous effect is likely to
be initiated locally  (RPAR Comment No. 3A  [30COO/19]}.
     In response, the CAG acknowledged the  difficulty of pre-
dicting the incidence of tumors which might be incurred via one
route of administration  based on the incidence of tumors observed
via a different route of administration.  However,  the CAG also
noted that a target organ can often be affected  via more than one
route of administration; it referred to a.recent skin painting
study on Swiss mice (See Section II A, supra)  in which DBCP did
not induce skin cancer but did  induce a high incidence of  lung
adenoma and squamous cell carcinoma of the  forestomach.

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                             -40-
Accordingly, the CAG concluded that in the absence of reliable
information on inhalation carcinogenesis of DBCP in animals, the
CAG's approach must be deemed reasonable and applicable.
(Albert, 1978).
     With respect to Dow's assertions concerning epidemiologic
evide.nce which would have been uncovered if the CAG's mathe-
matical model were accurate,  the CAG acknowledged that it was a
valid concern that any mathematical model used to estimate cancer
risk might seriously overestimate the true risk.  However, the
CAG also noted that mere speculations as to what a validly
conducted epidemiologic study might reveal cannot be used to
invalidate a-mathematical model.  Rather, for the assertion to
have any validity, a well-controlled epidemiologic study  with
indications of lifetime exposures to DBCP would have to be
conducted and made available  to the Agency' for analysis.   (Id.)
     Finally, the CAG expressed reservations about using  the
Dow-Hazleton data as the basis for a risk assessment, because
the histopathology for that study had not yet been completed.
Nevertheless, a "non-conservative" model, based on the pre-
liminary results of the Dow-Hazleton study, was applied to the
exposure data available to the Agency at the time the Notice of
Intent to Suspend was issued.  Although the estimated risks
were generally reduced by about one order of magnitude, the  CAG
noted that the risks were still of considerable concern.  (Id.)

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                             -41-
          (c)  Final  Cancer  Estimates
     The CAG has  used  the exposure  estimates described  earlier
(See Tables 3/4 and  12)  to  estimate the  risks  of  cancer  from
those exposures to  DBCP. The  CAG  has  used  the  same mathematical
model as it used  in  the  Notice  of Intent to Suspend  to  estimate
the risk via ingestion (i.e., resulting  from consumption of DBCP
residues in food  crops).  This  was  done  because the  final
histopathology for  the Dow-Hazleton study  has  still  not  been
rece-ived by the Agency.  The  probabilities of  the occurrence of
cancer due to  consumption of  DBCP residues are listed on a crop-
by-crop basis in  Table 12.
     With respect to  the cancer risk  from  inhalation of  DBCP,
the CAG noted  that  for a chemically related compound, EDB, the
estimated human risk  based  on a rat intubation study was higher
than the estimated  risk  based on  a  human epidemiology study.
Although the CAG  did  not have a human epidemiologic  study for
DBCP, it used  the relative  potency  of DBCP to  EDB to construct
a model for estimating the  risks  from inhalation  of  DBCP which
took that relationship for  EDB  into account. The  resulting
estimates are  approximately 18.6  times lower than they would
have been if only the  DBCP  rat  intubation  study had been used.
Table 3 presents  those estimates  of risks  for  applicator inha-
lation exposure during application  and during  mixing and loading
operations; Table 4 presents estimates for inhalation exposures

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                             -42-
                                   •


to persons reenter.ing  treated areas  and  for  inhalation  exposure



during a .spill  cleanup.



     Finally,  for  potential dermal exposures  to  DBCP, the



CAG has estimated  the  risk of cancer  from  exposure  to one drop



of DBCP in a  lifetime  (see Table 4),  using a  slightly modified



version of the mathematical model  that was used  for  ingestion



exposure.  Although this model may  overestimate the  risk of



cancer from dermal exposure,  it must  be  strongly emphasized that



the-estimates are  based on a  lifetime exposure of only  one drop



of DBCP. Since it  may  be  anticipated  that  a  person  handling



DBCP carelessly is likely to  be dermally exposed to  more than



a single drop,  these estimates must be given  considerable weight



in terms of regulatory decisions as discussed in Section IV.



          (2)  Risks of Testicular  Toxicity



     The Agency has a  significant  amount of epidemiologic



evidence indicating that  exposure  to  DBCP may result in testic-



ular toxicity,  as  manifested  by depressed  sperm  counts. However,



the Agency does not have  a model analogous to the CAG cancer



model for  quantifying  any dose-response  relationship between



DBCP exposure and  reductions  in sperm counts.



     Nevertheless/ as  discussed earlier, the Agency  determined



that the risk of a depressed  sperm count from exposure  to DBCP



increased  with  increased  length of exposure  to DBCP. This



relationship  was clear notwithstanding that actual  exposure

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                             -43-
levels could not be precisely quantified. Moreover, the Agency
concluded that the data would not support the establishment of
a level or length of exposure to DBCP that would not pose any
risk of a .depressed sperm count.
     Accordingly, although the Agency will not now make
quantitative estimates of the risk of a depressed sperm count
from exposure to DBCP, the Agency does believe that there is
the risk of a depressed sperm count from
exposure to DBCP, and that the risk increases as the amount of
exposure increases. Based on this qualitative criterion and
the exposure figures in Tables 3 and 4, it is
apparent that: (1) the irrigation method of application presents
'a significantly greater risk of a depressed sperm count
than does the soil injection technique; (2) the drench technique
also presents a somevhat greater risk than does the soil injection
technique; and (3) all dermal exposures to DBCP
present significant risks of a depressed sperm count.

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                             -44-
III.  Benefits Analysis  of  DSCP
   A.  Background
     In the Notice  of  Intent  to  Cancel,  the Administrator sum-
marized the conclusions  of  the preliminary benefits  analysis of
DBCP.  He noted that there  are effective registered  alternative
pesticides for most uses of DBCP,  including most vegetable uses.
However, those alternatives are  aloo generally more  expensive.
Cancellation of DBCP for use  on  vegetables would thus probably
increase control costs by about  $15-20 million per year, but
without any significant  reduction  in crop yields, and with only
a negligible impact at the  consumer level. For use on grapes,
peaches and other stone  fruits,  and citrus, the Administrator
noted that although there are effective  pre-plant alternatives
to DBCP, there are  no  registered post-plant alternatives. He
noted that this may be expected  tc reduce the life expectancy
of affected vineyards, orchards  and groves,'and to result in
short-term losses of about  $67 million per year for  the first
3 years after cancellation. At the time  of issuance  of the
Notice of Intent to Cancel, analyses of  the long-term impacts
of cancellation on  these and  other affected crops were still
in progress.
     For this Final Position  Document, the Agency and the
United States Department of Agriculture  (USDA) .have  prepared
an economic analysis to  quantify, on a use-by-use basis, the

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                             -45-
potential economic consequences of cancelling all registrations
of D3CP for all registered  uses.  (EAB/ARE3,  1978).   In this
section of the Final  Position Document,  the Agency has summarized
in detail the methodology and process used to prepare the  final
economic  analysis.   Since  it was  impossible to predict with
absolute certainty any economic or biological phenomenon/  the
Agency employed various economic assumptions  and models in its
analyses, using the Agency's  experience  arid expertise in these
areas; they are outlined and  explained in detail in  the various
support documents which are discussed herein. Finally, this
section summarizes the major  conclusions of the  final economic
analysis, and provides a background for  the specific dollar
figures, and the long and short term qualitative impacts,  which
are discussed in detail in  Section V.
   B.  The Cooperative  Assessment
     Following the publication of the Administrator's Notice of
Intent to Suspend, a  DBCP Impact Assessment Team was appointed
by the National Pesticide Impact Assessment Steering Committee
pursuant to the Memorandum  of Understanding between  the Agency
and "USDA.  The Assessment Team's membership included represent-
atives from both the  Agency and USDA, as well as State Extension
Service and research  personnel knowledgeable  in  the.  field  of
nematode damage and control.   The Assessment  Team met in Florida
on October 17-21,  1977,  to  assemble,  organize and summarize  the

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                               -46-
  available biological data  about  the major  agricultural  uses
  of DBCP.
       The  Assessment Team's deliberations and  conclusions were
  presented to  the  Agency  in the "USDA/state  and  EPA  Cooperative
  Assessment of DBCP Uses  in Agriculture," dated  November 7, 1977,
  and later designated as  Rebuttal Comment No.  17. [30000/19]
.  ("Cooperative Assessment"}. The  Cooperative Assessment  addressed
  eleven different  categories of uses of  DBCP:  peaches, citrus,
  grapes, pineapples,•soybeans, cotton, peanuts,  vegetables
  (including melons and  strawberries),  home  gardens and lawns,
  commercial turf,  and ornamentals.
       For  each category,  the Cooperative Assessment  first
  identified the major nematode pests of  the particular crop or
  use..  It  then discussed  the DBCP application  methods for that
  crop or use.-  the  rate  and  frequency of  applications, and the
  availability  of chemical alternatives to DBCP for pre-plant,
  at-plant  and  post-plant  application.
       The  Cooperative Assessment  also  examined the feasibility
  of non-chemical alternative methods of  nematode control for
  each category.  The alternatives ranged from  crop rotation
  to resistant  varieties of root stock, biological control by
  predators or  natural enemies of  the nematodes,  and  to other
  cultural  practices. Combinations of these methods were also
  considered as part of  an integrated pest management approach.

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                             -47-
     The Cooperative  Assessment  then  developed  an  estimate
of the economic consequences  of  a DBCP  cancellation  for  each
category.   It used  available  yield and  efficacy data,  the
results of actual use practice/  and other  relevant published
data.  When information  was not  available,  Assessment  Team
members/ relying on their  collective  experience and  expertise
in the fields of nematology and  agricultural  practice, developed
consensus  estimates of yield  or  quality impacts which  would
result from the cancellation  of  DBCP.
     The first factor addressed  by the  Cooperative Assessment
for each category was the  impact on yield  which would  result if
DBCP were  not available.   Where  there were  no registered
alternatives for DBCP, as  in  the case of post-plant
applications for peaches,  citrus and  grapes,  the dollar
impact of  a loss in yield  was mitigated to  some extent by the
savings from not applying  DBCP.
     The second major element estimated by  the  Cooperative
Assessment for each category  was the  increased  cost  of
alternative nematicides, assuming that  these  alternatives would
be available.  In determining both the  allocation  of present
DBCP usage to alternative  cl.emicals and the usage  rates of
those alternatives, the  Cooperative Assessment  relied  on
such factors as the efficacy  of  the alternatives,  the  treatment
costs of the alternatives, State recommendations for nematode

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                             -48-
control, other product labels and Assessment Team members'
expertise -
     Finally, the Cooperative Assessment predicted that there
would be a loss of quality in certain affected crops if DBCP
were not available.  It also predicted that the longevity of
some perennial crops would be reduced if. DBCP were not
available, and it estimated the magnitude of those reductions.
   C.  Benefits Analysis
     The Cooperative Assessment, and rebuttal comments on the
benefits of DBCP, were then reviewed by USDA and Agency
economists. Whenever appropriate, the economists also gathered
and evaluated additional information about the major crop
categories.  The economists participated in further ccmmuni-
.cations communications and discussions directly with university,
Extension Service or user group personnel; they also conducted
additional research into previously published data and
agricultural statistics. In addition, the economists gathered
information and data on the minor use crops not addressed by
the Cooperative Assessment, through communications with
nematoiogists and other experts in the field. Specifically,
the economists estimated the impact c. f cancelling DBCP regis-
trations for use on almonds, apricots, cherries, figs., walnuts,
bananas, blackberries, blueberries, loganberries, dewberries,
boysenberries, plums, raspberries and eastern nursery stock
strawberries.

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                             -49-

     That review and evaluation formed the basis of the Agency's
final analysis of the benefits of DBCP,  "Economic and  Social
Impacts of Cancelling Use of DBCP as a Pesticide for All
Registered Use Sites with Known Current  Usage" ("Benefits
Analysis").  For each major  use and  for  each class or  category
of minor uses the Benefits Analysis  summarizes:  the geographical
area of use; the major pests controlled;  major registered
alternative chemicals and -non-chemical controls, with  comparative
evaluations of their efficacy/ performance, and  cost;  the extent
of use (in terms of both annual treated  acres and quantity of
DBCP active ingredient applied annually);  and a  description o-f
the economic impacts of a DBCP cancellation.
     Table 8 summarizes the  potential economic impacts of
cancelling all registrations of DBCP. The  impacts at the user
level/ expressed as increases in control  costs or decreases
in yield or both/ are presented separately from  the impacts
at the consumer level/ which are generally expressed
increased prices. The impacts are also broken down into
short-term (up to three years) and long-term (greater  than
three years) impacts, these  are qualitatively assessed (e.g.,
severe/ moderate/ negligible)  for their overall  significance
to the entire U.S. production of the crop.
     The information and conclusions presented in Table 8 for
Benefits Analysis. Each chapter contains  the assumptions and

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                            -50-
inethodologies used  as  well  as  supporting  tables,  calculations
of the estimates, sources of all data,  and  a  bibliography of
references.
     D. 'Major Conclusions
     In summary/  the Benefits  Analysis  estimates  that  the
potential short-term  impact of cancellation to  DBCP  users may
be as high as $400  million  during the  first 3 years  after
cancellation; this  is  comprised of about  $280 million  in yield
reductions, and about  $115  million in  increased control costs.
Reductions in yield would be most severe  in the perennial crops
for which there are no registered post-plant  alternatives.  Indeed,
five of these crops — citrus, grapes,  peaches, plums  and almonds
        *
'.— account for about 80% of the projected dollar  losses from yield
reductions.  Increases in control costs,  would  be most severe  for
soybeans, accounting for about 58% of  the projected  dollar  increase
in control costs. However,  only negligible  decreases in soybean
yields would be expected from  such a shift  in control-chemicals.
     The Benefits Analysis  also estimates that  the short-term
impact of cancellation at the  consumer  level  would be  increased
retail prices for certain commodities.  Although the  consumer
price impact for most  commodities would be  negligible, the  most
seriously affected  crops would be: peaches  (up  to 25%  increase
in retail price); almonds and  plums (up to  20%);  pineapples
(up to 9%); and citrus (up  to  5%).

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                            -51-



     The Benefits  Analysis  also  qualitatively described the



anticipated long-term  impacts of a. DBCP cancellation for each



use or category of use-  These  impacts are difficult to assess



because of the  large number of variables involved. Factors such



as the development, use  and availability of new alternative



control methods or chemicals, and  the potential for greater



productivity and increased  planting  in uninfested areas, are



almost impossible  to predict. Moreover, price elasticity and



dema d curves for  crops  are not  always available. Nevertheless,



for each major  use and for  each  class or category of minor uses,



the Benefits Analysis  predicted  the  long-term impacts of a DBCP



cancellation on users  and consumers.



     Finally, the  Benefits  Analysis  concludes that the



macroeconomic (i.e., nationwide) impact on the agricultural



economy of a DBCP  cancellation would be negligible—in terms



of both employment and inflation—notwithstanding the potential



severity of the impacts  on  certain sectors of the agricultural



economy. Similarly, it concludes that the average consumer's



food budget will not be  measurably increased by a DBCP



cancellation.



     Part V presents a more detailed discussion of the potential



impacts of a DBCP  cancellation,  on a use-by-use basis.

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                              52



IV.  Development and  Selection of Regulatory Options


     A.,  Introduction


          In Sections II  and  III, the Agency identified  the  risks


from exposure to DBCP and identified the benefits from each  of


its uses. As explained in Section I, PIFRA mandates the  Agency


to to achieve a balance between these competing considerations.


To accomplish that goal,  the  Agency has identified a number


of regulatory options, and has evaluated each option for its
     •                                        .

impacts on both sides of  the  risk/benefit equation.


     This section of  the  Final Position Document describes how


the Agency developed  possible regulatory options for evaluation,


and identifies six options which were ultimately selected for


in-depth evaluation.   In  Section V of this Final Position


Document, each option is  evaluated for each registered use


of DBCP, and the rationale for final selection  of an option


for each use is set forth.


     B.  Rationale for Development of Options


          In its simplest terms, FIFRA contemplates two  basic-


options concerning pesticide  regulation — namely, to grant


or deny registration.  For new pesticide products, these options


are approval or denial of an  application for registration; for


previously registered pesticide products, they  are a decision


to either cancel the  registration or to allow the continued


registration of the product.   Both denial and cancellation of

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                            -53-


registration represent   absolute regulatory responses in


that they unqualifiedly  prohibit the sale or distribution of the


pesticide for the  uses at  issue. Registration, on the other


hand, represents a  whole range of regulatory options, since


the Administrator may specify the terms and conditions of the


registration, including  label and labeling language and


classification for  restricted use.


     Cancellation  and unrestricted  registration fall at


opposite ends of the regulatory spectrum.  The development of


intermediate regulatory  options thus involves the formulation


of terms and conditions  which may be imposed on a pesticide's


registration to reduce the  risks from the use of the pesticide.


     Reduction of  risk is  achieved  by eliminating or


minimizing human exposure.   Accordingly, after considering


the. routes of human exposure discussed in Section II, the


Agency has developed and considered six methods of reducing


both applicator and general  population exposures to DBCP:


classification of  DBCP for  restricted use, for use only by


certified applicators; reduction of ingestion exposure by


elimination of residues  of  DBCP in  food; reduction of dermal
                                           •

exposure by use of  protective clothing; reduction of


inhalation exposure by use  of respirators; reduction of


inhalation exposure by establishment of reentry intervals; and


reduction of inhalation  exposure by prohibition of the irrigation

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technique of application.   Each of these methods will  now be
discussed and evaluated.
  :   C.  Risk Reduction Methods
  •  .      (1) Classification For Restricted Use
     Under FIFRA, hazardous pesticides may be classified for
restricted use and be limited to use only by or under  the direct
supervision of certified  applicators who have been determined
to be competent to use and  handle pesticide products.
Certification programs are  for t^e most part administered by
the states.  These programs use various methods to certify
applicators, after a determination that they are competent to
use restricted use pesticides.
     The Agency believes  that the classification of DBCP for
restricted use would ensure that it would only'be available
to competent persons.  By preventing untrained growers and
homeowners from using DBCP  products, the risk of human exposure
to DBCP due to misuse or  carelessness would be significantly
reduced.  Moreover, the Administrator has already determined
in the Notice of Intent to  Suspend that any marginal costs that
might result from restriction to certified applicators would
be minimal; state programs  for the certification of applicators
are operational in almost all states, there is a large number
of certified applicators, and there is relatively llittle
difficulty in obtaining applicator certification.

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                              55
     Accordingly,  one regulatory option would be to classify
for restricted  use all uses  of DBCP that are not proposed  to be
cancelled (or  which are not  cancelled).
          (2)  Reduction of Ingestion Exposure
      As detailed  in Section II, residues of DBCP per  s_e may be
expected to occur  in 19 food crops  for which DBCP is presently
registered (See Table 12).   As explained earlier, the  Agency
has concluded  that these residues probably result from the crops
coming into contact with the treated soil; from volatilization
of DBCP from the treated soil and condensation or absorption
on crop surfaces;  or from deposition of DBCP on the crop during
application.
     The Agency has explored ways to eliminate these residues
by controlling  the time of application.  Specifically, the
Agency believes that residues would be significantly reduced
(although not  precluded) if  application of DBCP were pro-
hibited when edible portions of the affected crops were present
or would be likely to be present before the DBCP has dissipated.
The Agency chemists who reviewed the residue data on DBCP
therefore recommended that all post-plant applications of"  DBCP
to the affected food crops be prohibited.
     The Agency then conducted a survey of Extension Service
and University  nematologists.  It determined that the  impact
of post-plant  prohibitions on residue reductions would be

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                             56
negligible, since  it is already common  agricultural  practice  to
use DBCP as a pre-plant or  at-plant treatment.  (Michell,  1978).
However, in light  of existing data  and  scientific  uncertainty
about the mechanism of  formation of DBCP residues,  the  Agency
cannot conclude that prohibition of post-plant  applications
of DBCP will preclude the possibility of residues  occurring
in the affected crops.
     The Agency must therefore  conclude that there is no
regulatory restriction  which it can reasonably  impose that can
confidently be expected to  eliminate the possibility of DBCP
residues.
         (3) Reduction  of Dermal Exposure
     As discussed  earlier.,  dermal exposure to DBCP is of  con-
siderable concern  to the Agency. It appears that  DECP  is
readily absorbed through the skin,  and  Dow Chemical  Company has
commented that one drop of  pure DBCP on the skin could  result
in an exposure of  1.6 mg/kg body weight (RPAR Comment No. 3A
[300.00/19]).  The  CAG has determined that exposure to a single
drop of DBCP could result in an increased risk  of  cancer  on
                        -4
the magnitude of 6.5 x  10'  .  Accordingly, it is necessary to
explore means for  reducing  or eliminating all possibility of
human dermal contact with DBCP.
     Cleanup of DBCP spills and maintenance of  application
equipment pose the greatest potentials  for dermal  exposure.

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                             -57-

At such times,  the Agency believes 'that it is prudent and

necessary to protect all  parts  of the  body from possible DBCP

exposures. To do this would  require  wearing of impermeable

gloves, boots or boot covers, helmet,  face shield,  coat and

pants of any of the materials described in Table 7.   Since

the total cost of such a  protective  outfit is about one

hundred dollars, the Agency  has determined that it  would

be appropriate to require full-body  protective clothing at

all times during cleanup  of  a spill  and during maintenance

of any DBCP application equipment. This rationale is equally

applicable to all other exposure situations with high potentials

for dermal exposure, including  all phases of mixing, loading

and transfer operations.

     Another means of reducing  such  dermal exposures is use of

closed system equipment for  mixing and transfer of  DBCP.  For

other pesticide products  (see e.g.,  EPA Registration Nos.

2139-100 and 100-551), the Agency has  defined a closed system

to include appropriate connections,  meters, pumps and plumbing

which are designed to eliminate all  human, contact with the
                                              Ml
pesticide.  Those registrations also preclude the use of open

mixing vats or tanks, or  open pouring, and all plumbing con-

nections have to be sufficiently tight to prevent any leakage.

Moreover, hoses have to be constructed of chemically resistant,

heavy duty, reinforced materials, and  transport and storage vessels

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                            -58-



 md transfer equipment  have  to  be  equipped  with  dry-break  valves.



Since the Agency believes  that  use of  engineering  controls to



reduce potential human  exposures should  be  encouraged,  it  has



determined that if a closed  system of  mixing or  transfer is



used, an impermeable apron may  be  worn instead of  impermeable



0oat and pants.  However,  impermeable  gloves and boots  or



boot covers would still have to be worn.



     Finally, the Agency has determined  that there are  moderate



to low risks of potential  dermal contact with diluted DBCP during



application by irrigation, by drench,  by in-furrow and  by



granular formulations.   The  Agency believes that the potential



risks of dermal contact from these application  techniques



would be significantly  reduced  or  eliminated by  a  requirement



that applicators wear impermeable  gloves and boots during  the



application operations.  Since  the cost of  this  equipment  is



about two dollars per pair of gloves and seven  dollars  per



pair of impermeable boot covers (see Table  7),  this equipment



would be mandatory during application of DBCP by any of these



four techniques.



     (4) Reduction of Inhalation  Exposure by Use of



         Respirators or Closed  Systems



     As detailed in Section  II, the degree  of exposure  to  DBCP



via  inhalation varies significantly from one exposure  situation



to another.  Moreover,  it appears  that the  risks from  such exposure

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                           -59-

are roughly proportional  to the overall degree of exposure—i.e.,

the higher the exposure,  the  greater the risk. The Agency has

therefore explored the  feasibility of requiring respirators

when the potential for  inhalation exposure is of concern.

     Table 7 lists the  three  basic types of generally available

respirators (air-purifying, supplied-air, and self-contained

breathing apparatus (SCBA)) and their minimum protection factors

and approximate cost per  item.  In determining which type of

equipment to require, the Agency  took into account the relative

costs of the different  types  of equipment, and also the feasibility

and enforceability of their use.  Thus, although SCBA and other

supplied-air respirators  provide  much greater protection factors

than, do air-purifying respirators, they are considerably more

expensive than air-purifying  respirators, are physically much more

limiting, and may require medical examination and monitoring
               v
for their use.    Moreover, the Agency would expect a much

higher degree of compliance with  an air-purifying respirator

requirement—with which many  applicators are experienced—than

with more burdensome and  expensive equipment with which even

certified applicators are not likely to be familiar.
^J See, for example,  subsection (m)(5)(c)  of the  permanent OSHA
standard for occupational  exposure to DBCP (29  DBCP  (29  CFR §
1910.1044)  which requires  physicians examining  employees pursuant
to a medical surveillance  program to recommend  limitations
upon the employees'  use  of these types of  respirators.

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                            -60-



     Further, the Agency believes that the restriction of DBCP



products to certified applicators is likely to reduce the



incidence of the highest exposure situation,  spill cleanups



(likely to be sporadic), and to avoid excessive and undue



exposure to a medical surveillance program to recommend limi-



tations upon the employees1  use of these types of respirators.



during other phases of mixing,  loading,  transfer, and actual



application of DBCP. Accordingly, whenever respirators would



be required—during, any phase of the mixing,  loading and transfer



 operations, during performance of maintenance upon application



equipment, or during application—the Agency has determined



that full-face air-purifying respirators would be appropriate.



     Another means, of reducing  inhalation exposure is use of



closed system equipment for  mixing, transfer or application.



The Agency believes that the reduction of potential human



exposure through engineering controls should be encouraged.



Accordingly, the Agency has  determined that if a closed system



of mixing,- transfer or application is used and results in an



airborne concentration of DBCP  not exceeding 1 part DECP 'per



billion parts of air (1 ppb) as an 8-hour time-weighted average



— the OSHA standard for occupational exposure to DBCP — that



a respirator would not have  to  be worn during the operation of



the closed system. However,  a respirator would have to be avail-



able for use in case of a leak, spill or other unexpected exposure.

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                            -61-



     (5)  Reduction  of  Inhalation  Exposure  by  Establishment  of



         Reentry Intervals



     As discussed in Section II,  there  may be- inhalation  exposure



to DBCP v-apors during  reentry into a  treated  areas.  As  seen from



the figures in Table 4,  the  potential for  exposure decreases with



time for all of the application  techniques for which data are



available.   Thus, for  the  injection technique,  DBCP  concentrations



in the air decrease by a factor  of 13 from time of application



to 1 day later and  by  a  factor of 46  from  time of application



to 7 days later.  For  irrigation, the one  day decrease  is by a



factor of 6; the Agency  does not  have data for longer periods



following application.  For drench techniques,  the reduction



in 1 day is by a factor  of approximately 10,000, and the



reduction in 3 days is by  a  factor of approximately  30,000.



Finally,  for the in-furrow method of  application, the available



data indicates that there  is no  significant reduction in  air



concentrations of DBCP 1 day after application,  and  a reduction



by a factor of 0.2  7 days  after  application.   No data are



available to the Agency  about application  of  the granular



formulation of DBCP.



     The Agency recognizes that  the available data on "fall-off"



curves for air concentrations of  DBCP after application is



limited.   Nevertheless,  the  Agency believes that it  is  prudent



and necessary to establish intervals  after DBCP application

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                            -62-


during which reentry to treated  areas without a full-face air-


purifying respirator would  be  prohibited.  The Agency believes


that a 24 -hour interval would be reasonable and would signi-


ficantly reduce potential inhalation exposures. Therefore,


reentry into treated areas  would be prohibited for 24 hours


after application,  unless the  person reentering the treated


area is wearing a full-face air-purifying  respirator.


      (6) Reduction of Inhalation Exposure by Prohibition


            of Irrigation Method of Application


     As seen in Table 3, the irrigation method of application


poses the highest estimated exposure per hour of all the


application techniques, both during mixing and loading and


during actual application.  Indeed,  the hourly exposure during


mixing and loading  is approximately 25 times higher'than the


hourly exposure during mixing  and loading  for. the injection


technique; and the  hourly exposure  during  actual application


is 100 times higher than the hourly exposure during actual


application by the  injection technique. The Agency evaluated the


feasibility of prohibiting  the irrigation  method by determining


whether growers could switch to  an  alternative method .of appli-


cation, soil injection. Thery  are three advantages to growers

                                                I/
who are currently using the irrigation technique  : the cost of
_/  The affected crops are  peaches,  plums,  almonds and  grapes
in California and citrus in California,  Texas and Arizona.

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                            -63-



application is almost zero since  DBCP treatment is performed



in conjunction with routine irrigation;  unlike injection,



irrigation does not cause  mechanical injury to tree or vine



roots; and unlike injection,  irrigation  does not disrupt



operations which have adopted no-till weed control systems



(Luttner,  1978).



     The Agency also estimated that for  those growers who



could change to soil injection using their own equipment



.(estimated to cost $200),  the increased  cost of application



would be from $6 to $10  per acre.   For those growers who would



have to hire custom applicators,  the cost could be .as high as



$35 per acre.



     The Agency concluded  that it is reasonable to assume  that



many growers, especially citrus growers, would discontinue use



of DBCP if forced to use the injection technique, the increased



costs of DBCP treatment  would decrease the margin of revenue



return from DBCP treatment, and there will be possible root



damage and disruptions in  other operations.  For these growers,



prohibiting the irrigation technique would be tantamount to



cancelling DBCP for those  uses.  However, many other growers



would be forced into absorbing higher applicator costs,



especially where post-plant DBCP  application is essential  to



maintain economic levels of production.   Those growers may also



use reduced application  rates and longer treatment intervals

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                            -64-



to decrease DBCP application costs,  and may then also have



to accept lower production and revenues.  However, the Agency



was not able to accurately project how many growers would



discontinue use of DBCP altogether.



     In summary, the Agency has determined that prohibition of



the irrigation method of application would be an appropriate



'option, to be considered-on a use-by-use basis, to reduce



applicator inhalation exposure to DBCP.



      D.  Regulatory Options Selected



     From the full range of available restrictions and regulatory



options discussed, the Agency has selected six options for the



ultimate .registration decision.  In Part V, each options will be



considered and evaluated for each use of DBCP to determine whether



its adoption would achieve adequate risk reduction without signi-



ficant impacts on the benefits of the use.



     In developing these options the Agency .started by choosing



both the least restrictive option — continued registration as a



general use pesticide without additional regulatory restrictions



— and the most restrictive option — cancellation. The Agency



then attempted to define' intermediate options. The first option



includes the minimum restrictions necessary to significantly



reduce at least some exposures to DBCP; the remaining three



options each cumulatively add additional restrictions to further



reduce exposure. In selecting these options, the Agency

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                            -65-





necessarily exercised its discretion in its choice and con-



sideration of options,  since it  is  virtually impossible to



evaluate every conceivable option or combination of options.



In the aggregate,  however/ the Agency believes that its choice



of options fully and adequately  addresses all relevant exposure



concerns about the use  of DBCP.



     The options selected are:



    •   (1) Continue registrations without additional



           restrictions



     Under this option, a use of  DBCP would be registered in  the



same manner and with the same restrictions that existed before



the Notice of Intent to Suspend.  In other  words, no additional



regulatory action would be taken  to reduce any risk"from DECP use.



      (2) Classify for  restricted use; require full-body protective



clothing and respirator during transfer,  maintenance and clean-



up; require boots and gloves during application.



     This option would  reduce the potential for exposure,



especially dermal exposure, in several situations.



     First, the use of  DBCP would be limited to certified



applicators (or persons under their direct supervision) who have



been demonstrated to be competent to use  and handle DBCP; this



would generally reduce  the risks  which may result from



carelessness or misuse.

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                            -66-



      Next, full-body protective  clothing and a full-face air-



purifying respirator would  be required during all phases of



mixing and transfer operations, during maintenance (including



calibration) of application equipment, and during clean-up of



spills or accidents. The full-body protective clothing would



consist of impermeable gloves,  boots or boot covers,  coat



and pants; it would significantly reduce the high potential



for dermal exposure during  these  operations. Although it



would also be appropriate to require a helmet and face-shield



as part of the protective clothing, the Agency believes that



requiring the use of a full-face  air-purifying respirator



would be even more appropriate; this would also reduce the



potentially high inhalation exposures during these operations



in addition to protecting against dermal exposure.  If a closed



system for mixing or transfer is  used, an impermeable apron,



gloves and boots or boot covers would be required. If a closed



system is used which results in an airborne concentration of



DBCP not exceeding 1 part DBCP per billion parts of air (1 ppb)



as an 8-hour time—weighted  average, then a- respirator would -iot



have to be worn during the  operation of the closed system, but



would have to be available  for use in case of leaks,  spills or



other emergencies.



     Finally, to reduce potential dermal exposures during actual



application, impermeable gloves and boots or boot covers would

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                            -67-



be required during all  phases of application using the irrigation,



drench/ granular and in-furrow techniques.



     (3}  Option (2)  plus;   require a respirator and



         re-entry interval  for irrigation applications





      This option would include all of the restrictions and



conditions of option (2),  and would also require the use of a



full-face air-purifying respirator during all phases of appli-



cation by irrigation. This  would reduce the potential for inha-



lation exposure from the application technique posing the highest



hourly inhalation exposure.  Further, this option would also



reduce the potential inhalation exposure of persons reentering



treated areas, by prohibiting reentry for 24 hours after the



completion of irrigation unless the persons reentering were to



wear a full-face air-purifying respirator and impermeable gloves



boots or boot covers.



     (4)  Option (2)  plus:   require a respirator _and



         reentry interval  for all application techniques



     This option would  also include all of the restrictions and



conditions of option (2)',  and would further reduce the potential



for .inhalation exposure by  requiring a full-fa'ce air-purifying



respirator during all phases of all applications by all



techniques. This option would also reduce the potential inha-



lation exposure of persons  reentering treated areas, by

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                            -68-



prohibiting reentry for  24  hours after completion of application



unless the persons reentering  were to wear a full-face air-purifying



respirator, and,  in the  case of  irrigation or drench application,



impermeable gloves and boots or  boot covers.



     (5)  Option (4) plus;   prohibit application by



         irrigation



     This option  is the  most restrictive option short of



cancellation.   It would  incorporate all of the restrictions



and conditions of option (4) —  which in turn incorporates the



restrictions and  conditions of option (2) — and would also



prohibit all applications by the irrigation technique. This



option completely eliminates the high inhalation and dermal



exposure potentials of the  irrigation technique, and the inhala-



tion and dermal exposure potentials of all other techniques would



be minimized.



     (6)  Cancel registrations



      Under this  option,  a  specific use of DBCP would be pro-



hibited and all risks from  that  use of DBCP would be completely



eliminated.

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                        -69-
Y.  Review of;the Impacts of the Major Options
     This section evaluates, on a use-by-use basis, the
impacts of each regulatory option developed in Section IV.
In assessing each option, the Agency determined the reductions
in risks which would be achieved and considered how the risk
reduction measures would affect the benefits of the use.
     All information necessary for this evaluation has been
described in Sections.II and III, with the exception of one
important area--namely, information concerning the risks
from the use of pesticides which would be.used if DBCP were
unavailable.  To provide these data, the Agency has generated
three support documents.  A memorandum of human hazards,
"Toxicology Data on Alternative Pesticides to DBCP,"
details all published and proprietary data concerning those
alternatives (Dale, 1978b). The significant acute and chronic
toxic effects of each substitute chemical were derived from
this document and presented in another memorandum, "Summary
Tables for DBCP" (Sandusky, 1978).
     A "Fish and Wildlife Risk Analysis" evaluated all
the potential effects on terrestrial and aquatic organisms
(Bushong, 1978). Sufficient data were not available to
perform a full, detailed risk assessment for any of the
substitute pesticides. However, the available acute and
chronic toxicity data, field studies and incidents, wildlife
label warnings and the rates of application were described
for most of the substitutes. In a few instances possible

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                           -To-
significant wildlife losses or dieoffs which could occur



from the use of a substitute at the recommended application



rates were pointed out.





     All hazards of concern—both human and environmental--



frora potential use of the substitute pesticides are listed



in Table 5 and are discussed in detail for each use in this



section. "Table 9 contains estimates of the percent increased



use of the. substitutes to indicate the magnitude of the



potential hazards of concern.





     For .each use a standard format is followed: (1) Usage



data—the total amount of DBCP applied, total acres treated,



the predominant techniques of application and any available



substitute methods of nematode control; (2) Risk-data—the



primary routes of human exposure, the number of people in-



volved and the risks to individuals; (3) Benefits data—the



advantages of DBCP over other methods of control and the



impacts that would- result if DBCP were not available;



(4) .Impacts Analysis — the adverse and beneficial impacts of the



options on human health, the environment and various economic



rectors; (5) Alternative Chosen—the final course of action



and the .rationale for choosing it.





     A. Citrus



       (1) Usage



     DBCP is the only registered nematicide for postplant



control of neraatodes on all varieties of citrus trees.

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                            -71-

About 1,292,000 pounds are applied annually to 31,200 acres
in Texas,  Florida,  California and .Arizona (Benefits Analy-
sis). Since the material is applied once every 3 years, a
total of 93>600 acres or 7.9% of domestic citrus acreage are
treated.  Soil injection and irrigation are the only applica-
tion methods.  Their use varies by state (see Table 11).

       (2) Risks

 - .   Since no residues of DBCP are expected in citrus, the
only risks are to 593 pesticide applicators. As summarized in
Table 3* the risks  from inhalation during application vary
considerably by state and by application technique.  For in-
jection, the risk of cancer ranges from a lifetime probabi-
lity 1.31  X 10~5 in California to a probability of 2.63 X }$**
in Florida; for irrigation, the cancer risk ranges from
5.11 X 10~3 in California and Arizona to 8.72 X 10~2 in
Texas.  The risks from inhalation during mixing and loading
also vary by state  and by application technique.  For injection,
the risk of cancer  ranges from a lifetime probability of
3.32 X 10~6 in California to a probability of 6.57 X 10~5
in Florida; for irrigation, the risk ranges from 3-07 X 10"
in California and Arizona to 5.M8 X 10   in Texas.  A risk of
adverse reproductive effects for male applicators accompanies
the cancer risk.

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                           -72-
     Table M summarizes risks from other potential



exposure situations.





       (3) Benefits





     The value of DBCP to citrus may be expressed in terms



of the adverse economic impacts of the unavailability of



DBCP. Fresh and process orange production would be reduced



by 4.60* and 0.17?., respectively, after 3 years.  Fresh



grapefruit, lemon and tangerine reduction would be reduced



by 6.03J, 9.77% and 3-81J respectively per year at the end



of 3 years.  The total value of reduced production on the



affected acreage would be $29,092,000.  Subtracting the cost



of control with DBCP, the net grower level impact in reduced



revenues during the three-year period is $26,851,000



(Benefits Analysis).

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                            -73-
     In the long term, the greatest  impact would  be  reduced
tree longevity. With DBCP, grove life is about  60  years;
without DBCP, groves would remain productive only  30  to  *4Q
years. This would-necessitate replanting and M  years  of  un-
productive acreage at an earlier than normal time.   These
production reductions would increase retail citrus'prices:
fresh oranges, 3-&3£'; process orange products,  0.23*;  fresh
grapefruit, ^.9^;  lemons and tangerines, an undetermined
but probable increase.

     The long-term impacts would be  severe for  affected
growers and moderate for consumers and  the citrus  industry.

       (M) Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

         Option  1:  Continue registrations without  additional
restrictions.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks to 593  applicators
would continue.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode  control
advantages of DBCF would continue.

         Option 2:  Classify for restricted use; require  full-
body protective clothing and respirator during  transfer,
maintenance or cleanup operations: and  require  boots  and gloves
during application.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks, frora inhalation
•exposure to DBCP during application  would continue.   The

-------
costs of requiring protective equipment, including respirator,



would be $110 per person in the affected operations.





 :          (ii)  Beneficial  Impacts - DBCP use by untrained



persons would be eliminated.  The risks from dermal exposure



to  DBCP by all  applicators  would be virtually eliminated by



the protective  clothing. Risks to applicators from inhalation



exposure during  mixing and  loading, spill cleanups, etc.



would be reduced- at least fiftyfold.  Applicators would have



to  wear full  protective clothing for only about 30 minutes



per day, a practice with which most persons may be expected



to  comply. The  nematode control advantages of DBCP would



continue.




       Option 3: Option 2 plus require a respirator and reentry



interval for  application by irrigation.





           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would still be some



risks, one-fiftieth that described in the citrus risk discussion,



from inhalation  exposure during irrigation.  The risks from



inhalation exposure during  soil injection would continue.   The



costs of imposing these restrictions would be $110, the same
                                        *


as  in Option  2.



           (ii)  Beneficial  Impacts - There would be the same



beneficial impacts as  in Option 2, but the risks from inhal-



ation exposure  during  irrigation would be reduced at  least



fiftyfold.  The  risks  from  inhalation exposure during reentry



into treated  areas after irrigation would be reduced.  The



nematode control advantages of DBCP woul.d,continue.

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                        -75-
      Option 4: Option 2 plus require a  respirator  and  reentry
Interval for all application techniques.
           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would  still  be  some
risks, at one-fiftieth the level described  in the citrus
risks discussion, from inhalation  exposure during  application.
The costs of imposing these restrictions would be $110,  as
in Option 2.
           (ii) Benefici'al Impacts - These  would be the  same
as in Option 2, but in addition the risks to  applicators
from inhalation exposure during all applications would.be
decreased at least fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation
exposure during reentry into treated areas  after all appli-
cations would be reduced.  The nematode  control advantages
of DBCP would continue.
       Option 5: Option 4 plus prohibit  application by
irri gat i on..
           (i) Adverse Impacts - Most of the  716 growers— in
California, Texas and Arizona who had been  using irrigation
would probably not be willing to switch  to  soil injection;
they could minimally maintain economic production without
DBCP, since revenues and returns would be significantly  reduced
and since there would be root damage and disruption of  no-till
*/ 716 is the total number of farmers who grow citrus on
"acres that are treated with DBCP (See Table 11). The 593
persons cited previously are'those who actually apply DBCP.
In Texas, only 20 persons apply DBCP on the farms of 303
growers. This accounts for the difference between 716 and
593.                                                •   '

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                           -76-
weed control.   If all  growers stopped using DBCP, the total
impact would be $21,800,000.  For the growers who continue
the use DBCP via soil  injection, the cost of application
would be about $8 per  acre if they applied it themselves, or
as high as $35 per acre if they hired a custom applicator.
If all growers switched to injection, the total  impact would
be $190,000-$830,000 per 3 years on 23,700 acres, or $265-$1160
per grower per year cycle (Luttner, 1978) These  growers or
custom applicators would also be subject to the  same risks
described in Option 4.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The high risks from
inhalation and dermal  exposures during and after irrigation
would be completely eliminated, and the risks from inhalation
during soil  injection  would be reduced at least  fiftyfold.
The risks from inhalation exposure during reentry into treated
areas after  soil injection would be reduced.  The nematode
control advantages of  DBCP would continue.
       Option  6.: Cancel registrations.
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - Significant adverse economic
Impacts would  occur as  described in citrus benefits.discussion.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All risks associated with
the use of DBCP would  be eliminated.

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                               -77-

       (5) Regulatory Option Selected

     Option 1 is rejected, because without further  restric-
tions this use of DBCP will result in unreasonable  adverse
effects on the environment. The Agency has selected Option
4, since it will adequately reduce risks without  significant
.impacts on the benefits of this use-  Options 2 and 3 will
not satisfactorily reduce  risk and will result  in unreasonable
adverse effects. Options 5 and 6 will reduce or eliminate the
risks of DBCP, but will result in unacceptable  adverse  impacts
on the economic benefits of this use. Thus, in  order to conti-
nue a registration of DBCP on citrus, the conditions of registra-
tion must be modified as described in Option 4.

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                        -78-
     B.  Cotton
        (1)  Usage
     Each year 2,700,000  pounds of DBCP  are  applied  pre-,
 at- or  post-plant at a rate of 12.1  pounds  per  acre  to
 225,000 acres, or 2% of all planted  acres  (Benefits  Analy-
 sis).   It is applied most  commonly pre-plant  by  soil  injec-
 tion.
     EDB, Telone II and D-D are ';ne  most viable,  registered
 substitutes. Under ideal  conditions  they.control  nematodes
 on cotton.  They cost more per acre  and  require  a  10- to
 14-day  delay in planting  in order to avoid  phytotoxicity
 (Benefits Analysis).
        (2)  Risks
     The only risks from  use on cotton are  for  1,271  applica-
 tors in the South.
     The increased probability of cancer from inhalation during
 application is 7.76 X 10   (Table 3).  The  increased  probability
 of cancer from inhalation  during mixing  and  loading  is  2.01  X
.10  ,   Simultaneously, there is an increased  risk  of  decreased
 sperm counts for exposed  males.
     Table 4 summarizes the risks from other  potential  ex-
 posure  situations.

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                             -79-
       (3)  Benefits

     The value of DBCP to cotton growers is estimated at
$2,600,000 per year. This figure is based on the cost of substi-
tute chemicals and on the assumption that those pesticides are
as efficacious as DBCP. This impact is very small as compared
to the total  farm value of cotton of $3,100,000,000 in 1976; con>
sequently, this impact would not be expected to significantly
affect total  cotton production or consumer prices (Benefits
Analysis).
       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts
         Option 1: Continue registrations without additional
restrictions.
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks to 1,271 applica-
tors would continue.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode
control advantages of DBCP would continue.

         Option 2: Classify for restricted use; require
full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,
maintenance or cleanup operations; and require boots and
gloves during  application.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would continue-  The
costs of requiring protective equipment, including respira-
tor, would be  $175 per person in the affected operations.

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                            -80-
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would be eliminated.  The risks from dermal  exposure
to DBCP by all  applicators  would be virtually eliminated by
the protective  clothing.  Risks to applicators from inhalation
exposure during mixing and  loading, spill cleanups, etc.
would be reduced at  least fiftyfold.  Applicators would
have to wear full  protective  clothing for only about 30
minutes per day, a practice with which most persons may be
expected to comply.  The nematode control  -advantages of DBCP
would continue.
         Option 3:  Option  2  plus require a respirator and
reentry interval for  application by irrigation.
           (1)  Adverse Impacts - These would be- the same as
in Option 2, since no DBCP  is known to be applied by irrigation.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - These would be the same as
in Option 2, since no DBCP  is known to applied by irrigation.
However, if DBCP were applied by irrigation, the risks to
applicators from any  inhalation  exposure  would be decreased
fiftyfold.  Risks  to  persons  reenterinc a treated area would
be reduced at least  sixfold.
         Option 4:  Option  2  plus require a respirator and re-
entry interval  for all  application techniques.
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would still  be some
risks, one-fiftieth  of that described in  the cotton risks dis-
cussion, from inhalation  exposure during  application.  The
costs of imposing  these restrictions would be $175  as in
Option 2.                                 ,  '

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                              -81-
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - These would be the same

as in Option 2; in addition the risks to applicators from
inhalation exposure during  all  applications would be decreased
at 1-east fiftyfold. The risks from inhalation exposure during
reentry into treated areas  after soil injection would be reduced,
The nematode control advantages of DBCP would continue.
         Option 5: Option 4 plus prohibit application by
irrigation.

           (i) Adverse Impacts  - These would be the same as
in Option 4, since no DBCP  is known to be applied by irrigation.

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - Same as for alterna-
tive 2, since no DBCP is known  to applied by irrigation.
However, if DBCP v^are applied by irrigation, the risks
to applicators from any inhalation exposure would be eli-
minated. Risks to persons reentering a treated area would
also be eliminated.

         Option 6: Cancel registrations.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would be minor
long and short-term impacts for growers and consumers:
$3,300,000 per year in control  cost increases for growers
and up to 0.1% price increases  for consumers.  There may be
some risks to applicator from the increased use of substitute
pesticides (see Tables 5 and 9).
     There may be some chronic  risks to a-ppl i cators from in-
creased use of the substitute pest.icides DO, EDB and Telone

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                             -82-

 II.(see table 5).  About 9,200,000 pounds of DD,  950,000  pounds
 of  EDB and 4,300,000 pounds of Telone II might  be  used  annually
 in  place of DBCP-  These amounts are 130%, 13%  and' 62%,  re-
 spectively, of the amounts of these chemicals produced  in
 the United States in 1974 or 1.975.  Thus, the. chronic risks
 to  applicators from use of these substitutes only  on cotton
•might be substantial.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All risks  from the  use
 of  DBCP would be eliminated.

       (5) Regulatory Option Chosen

     Option 1 is rejected, because without further restric-
 tions this use of DBCP will result in unreasonable adverse
 effects on the environment. The Agency, has selected Option
 4r  since it will adequately reduce risks without  significant
 impacts on the benefits of this use. Options 2  and 3 will
 not satisfactorily reduce risks and will result in unreason-
 able adverse effects. Options 5 and 6 will eliminate the
 risks of DBCP, but will result in unacceptable  adverse
 impacts on the economic benefits of this use and will create
 significant potential risks from use of substitute nemati-
 cides. Thus, in order to continue a registration of DBCP  on
 cotton, the terms and conditions of registration must be
 modified as described in-Option 4.

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                              -83-
     C.  Grapes

        (1)  Usage

     DBCP is an integral part  of  neraatode -control  programs
 for vineyards.  Other fumigants are  used  for  pre-plant
 treatment; DBCP is applied post-plant  2 to  5  years later
'if nematode populations return to damaging  levels.  These
 post-plant treatments are applied at  1 to 3 year intervals
 thereafter, usually by flood  irrigation,  but  sometimes  by
 injection.  Rates of application  range from 2.86 to 3«57
 gallons of DBCP per acre (12.1 pounds  a.i.  per  gallon)
 (Benefits Analysis).

     In California, where 9Q%  of  grapes in  the  U.S.  are
 grown, about 165,000 acres or  31 % of  the  total  bearing  acres
 are treated subject to treatment.  Based  on an  average
 application rate of 39 1bs. a.i./acre, the  total use  of DBCP
 is 3f200,000 pounds annually  or 6,^400,000 pounds for  a  two-
 year treatment cycle.

     There are no effective Federally  registered nemato-
 cides that cciId substitute for DBCP  postplant  nematode
 control in vineyards.

       (2)  Risks

     Only 2,320 growers applying  DBCP  by  irrigation  and 258
 growers applying it by soil injection.are at  risk.   For irri-
 gation applicators, inhalation exposure during  application

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               o
poses 5.48  X  10    increased  probability of cancer; during mix-

ing  and  loading,  the  cancer  risk  from inhalation is 3.54 X


10    (table 3).   For  soil  injection  applicators, inhalation of


DBCP 'during application  poses  1.57  X 1(5  increased probability

of cancer;  during  mixing  and  loading their risks of cancer are


increased by  4.02  X 10    For  males  in both groups, there is a

risk  of  reduce.d  sperm counts.  The risks from other potential

exposure situations are  summarized  in Table 4.


     (3)  Benefits


     Since  there  are  no  registered  alternative  nematicides

for  grapes, the  value of  DBCP  to  growers  in California is

substantial.  If  DBCP  were  unavailable,  there would be severe

reductions  in  grape production  and  revenues would decline

$64,700,000 for  the first  3 years.  Vineyard life would be

reduced  from  30-60 years  to  10-15 years.


     While  individual grower  impacts cannot be  determined

for  all  varieties  of  grapes  and  soil types, one example

illustrates the  economic  implications to  table  grape growers

if DBCP  is  not  available.   For  the  first  year,  Thompson

Seedless table  grape  producers  would suffer reduced revenues

°f $161  per acre,  assuming  10%  yield reduction, constant

Prices and  100%  nematode  infestation.  A  representative

producer with  74  acres would  therefore  lose about $12,000

in revenue, or  5.2% of gross  revenue (Benefits  Analysis).

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                           -85-
     In the short term, consumers would pay higher prices
as grape production falls, especially for table grapes,
since most of the table grape acreage is treated for nema-
todes.  In the long term, consumers might be faced with
smaller supplies and up to a 5% price increase. Total
production would be likely to stabilize at near "normal"
levels  as new production procedures, resistant varieties or
new nematicldes were developed.
       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

         Option 1; Continue registrati on without add itional
regulatory restrictions.

           (i)  Adve'rse Impacts - The risks to 2,578 appli-
cators  would continue.
           (1i) Beneficial - The nematode control
advantages of DBCP would continue.

         Option 2: Classify for restricted uje; require
full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,
maintenance or cleanup operations; and  require boots and
gloves  during application.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would continue. The
costs of requiring protective equipment, including respirator,
would total $110 per person in the affected operations.
            *      *
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would be eliminated. The risks  to all applicators from

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                             -86-
dermal  exposure to DBCP would be virtually eliminated by the
protective clothing.   The risks to applicators from inhalation
exposure during mixing and loading, spill cleanups, etc.
would be reduced at least fiftyfold.   Applicators would have
to wear full  protective clothing for only about 30 minutes
per day, a practice with which most persons may be expected
to comply.  The nematode control advantages of DBCP would
cont inue.

         Option 3: Option 2 plus requ-ire a respirator and
reentry interval for  application by irrigation.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would still be some
risk, at one-fiftieth the level described in the grapes risk
discussion, from inhalation exposure during irrigation.  The
risks from inhalation exposure during soil injection would
continue.   The  costs  of imposing these restrictions would be
$110, as in Option 2.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same
as in Option  2; in addition,  the risks from inhalation exposure
during  irrigation would be reduced at least fiftyfold.  The
risks from inhalation exposure during reentry into treated
areas following irrigation would also be reduced. The
nematode control advantages of DBCP would continue.

         Option 4: Option 2 p.lus require a respirator and
reentry interval for  all application techniques .
           (i)   Adverse Impacts - There would still be some

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                               -87-
risks from inhalation exposure during application, at one-
fiftieth the level  described in the grapes risk discussion.
The costs of imposing these restrictions would be $110, the
same as in Option 2.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same as
in Option 2, but the risks from inhalation exposure during
irrigation would be reduced at least fiftyfold.  The risks from
inhalation exposure during reentry into treated areas after
Irrigation would also be reduced.  The nematode control  advant-
ages of DBCP would  continue.
         Option 5:   Option 4 plus  prohibit application  b'y
irrigation.

            (i)  .Adverse Impacts - The 2,320 growers who
had been using irrigation would be forced to switch to  soil
injection to maintain economic levels of production. If
all growers  applied DBCP themselves, the cost of application
would increase $8 per acre, a total of $594,000 every 3 years,
$256 per grower.  If the DBCP were applied by commercial
applicators, the costs  would be $35 per acre, a   total of
$2,600,000 every 3  years,- or $1120 per grower.  The risk to
applicators  would be the same as in Option 4. The costs of
protective equipment would be $110 per person. If all growers
did not switch to injection, the total impact would be  about
$58,500,000. Although soil injection can cause some root
damage, most growers woul'd probably switch, since DBCP  is
necessary for economic  production.

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                                 -88-

           (il) Beneficial  Impacts - The high risks from
inhalation and dermal  exposure during and after irrigation
would be completely eliminated, and the risks from inhala-
tion during soil  injection  would be reduced at least fifty-
fold.  The risks  from inhalation exposure during reentry
into treated ar*;as after soil injection would be reduced.
The nematode control  control  advantages of DBCP would
continue.
         Option 6: Cancel  registrations.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would be severe short
and long term impacts on growers, as described earlier in the
grape benefits oiscuss ion.   Consumers will be significantly
affected for the  short term and moderately affected for the
long term-

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - All risks from the use
of DBCP would be  eliminated.

       (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen

     Option 1 is  rejected,  because without further restrictions
this use of DBC"•  will  result  in unreasonable adverse effects
on the environment. The Agency has selected Option 4, since
it will adequately reduce  risks without significant impacts
on the benefits of this use.  Options 2 and 3 will  not satis-
factorily reduce  risks and  will result in unreasonable adverse
effects. Options  5 and 6 will eliminate the risks  of DBCP, but
will result in unaccspt-abl e adverse impacts on the economic

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                               -89=

 benefits  of  this  use. Thus,  in  order  to  continue  a  registration
 of  DBCP  on grapes,  the  conditions  of  registration must  be  modi-
 fied  as  described  in Option  4.

      d.   Peaches  and Nectarines

        (1)   Usage

      DBCP may  be  applied  pre-  and  post-plant  to  control  nema-
 todesin  peach  and  nectarine  orchards.   In  California  and several
 Eastern  states, about 327,000  poui.ds  are  used  annually  in  new
 orchard  plantings,  or 44%  of the  total  acreage  planted  per year.
 In  the  East, about  871,000 pounds  are  applied  post-plant to
.24,000  acres over  a two-year cycle.   In  California,  about
 3,180,000 pounds  are applied postplant  to  65,700  acres  over
 a three-year period (Benefits  Analysis).

      The standard  application  techniques  are  soil  injection
 in  the  Eastern  states and  irrigation  in  California.   The
 respective application  rates are  7  gallons  per  acre  and  3.5
 to  5  gallons per  acre (12  Ibs  a.i.  per  gallon).

    DBCP is  the sole registered nematicide  for  post-plant
 treatment of nematodes  in  peach orchards.   Likely alterna-
 tives for pre-plant applications  are  EDB,  D-D  and Telone.

        (2)   Risks

      Only to 1,714  applicators  in  the  East  and  1,095  appli-
 cators  in California are  at  risk  from  DBCP  use  on peaches

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                               -90-

and nectarines. The cancer risk to California growers

from inhalation exposure during irrigation is 5.^8 X  10~^;

during mixing and loading, the cancer risk is 2.08 X  10~  .
For Eastern growers, the risk from inhalation exposure

during application by soil injection is 5.11 X 10~  in-
.creased probability of cancer; fror. inhalation exposure
during mixing and loading, the increased risk of cancer is
         -6
3.36 X 10  . For all male applicators there is a risk of  de-
creased sperm counts.  Risks from all other potential
exposure situations are summarized in Table 4.

       (3)  Benefits

     The unavailability of DBCP would have immediate  cost
impacts due to higher costs for pre-plant alternatives and
would lead to major reductions in peach production on
affected acres in subsequent years due to the lack of
post-plant substitutes. For pre-plant nematode control,
growers would spend an additional $673,000 per year for
pre-plant nematode control.  The unavailability of DBCP
for post-plant aplications.- would significantly reduce
production and result in a total Joss of $40,161,000  over
the initial three years following cancellation.  This, is  a
worst-case estimate, since projected crop losses would lead
to higher market prices, thereby offsetting to some extent
the reduced revenue (Benefits Analysis).

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     Without an effective  post-plant  neraaticide  the  average
peach tree life would be reduced  from 12-13  years  to 6-7
Bears in the East and from  20  to  10 years  in California.
Chronically infested orchards  areas would  be converted  to
use  for other crops; new peach  tree lands  would  be developed
feo the extent that uninfested  land was  available and econom-
ically feasible.  Peach producers not affected  by  a  loss  of
DBCP would probably have higher returns;  they would  probably
intensify production practices  and increase  plantings.
However, affected growers  would be severely  impacted,  and
related, industries (e.-g.,  peach, processors)  -might-be forced
to shift to other commodities.

     Consumers would pay up to  25% higher  retail prices
for  fresh a'nu processed peach  products  in  the short-term.
For  the long term, factors  such as production increases by
growers in unaffected areas or  the introduction  of an ef-
fective post-plant neinaticide  could lower  peach  prices  to
"normal" levels.
             Regulatory Options  and  Their  Impacts
          Option  1 :  Continue  registrations without  additional
 restrictions .

            (1) Adverse Impacts  -  The  risks to 1,714 applica-
 tors would  continue.

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The^nematode  control
 advantages  of DBCP  would continue.

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         Option 2i Classify for restricted use; require full-


body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,


maintenance or cleanup operations; and require boots and


gloves during application.



           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation


exposure to DBCP during application would continue.  The

costs of requiring protective equipment, including respirator,


would be $110 per person in the affected operations.


           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP use by untrained


persons, would be eliminated. The risks from dermal exposure


to DBCP by all applicators would be virtually eliminated by


the protective clothing. The risks to applicators from inhala-


tion exposure during mixing and loading, spill cleanups,


etc. would be reduced at least fiftyfold. Applicators would


have to wear full protective clothing for only about 30


minutes per day, a practice with which most persons may be


expected to comply. The nematode control advantages of DBCP


would continue.



         Option 3; Option 2 plus require a-respirator
                                           *
?nd reentry interval for application by irrigation.



           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would still be some


risks, at one-fiftieth the level described in the peach risk


discussion, from inhalation  e-xposure during irrigation.  The


risks from inhalation exposure during soil injection would


continue.  The cost of imposing these restrictions would be


$110, the same as in Option 2.

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           (ii)  Beneficial Impacts - These would be the

same as in Option 2, in addition to which the risks from

inhalation exposure during irrigation would be reduced at

least fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation exposure during

reentry into treated areas after irrigation would also be

reduced.  The nematode control advantages of DBCP would

continue.


         Option 4: Option 2 plus require a respirator and

reentry interval for all application techniques.


           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would still be some

risks at one-fiftieth the level described in the peach risk

discussion, from inhalation'exposure during application.

The cost of imposing these restrictions would be $110, the

same as in Option 2.


           (ii)  Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same

as in Option 2,  but the risks to applicators from inhala-

tion exposure during all applications would.be decreased at

least fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation exposure during

reentry into treated areas after all applications would be

reduced.  The nematode control advantages of DBCP would con-

tinue

         Option 5; Option 4 plus prohibit application by irri-
gation.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The 1,095 growers who

had been using irrigation would be forced to switch to soil

injection to maintain economic levels of production. If

-------
all growers applied DBCP themselves, the cost of application
would increase $8 per acre, a total of $175,000 every 3
years, or $160 per grower.   If the DBCP were applied by
commercial  applicators, the costs would be $35 per acre, a
total "of $767,000 every 3 years, or $700 per grower.
The risk to applicators would be the same as in Option
4. The costs of protective  equipment would be $110 per
person.  If  all growers did  not switch to injection, the
total impact would be about $52,000,000. Although soil
injection can cause some root damage, most growers would
probably switch,  since DBCP. is necessary for economic
production.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The high risks from in-
halation and dermal exposure during and after irrigation
would be completely eliminated, and the risks from inhalation
during soil injection would exposure during reentry into
treated  areas after sot! injection would be reduced.. The
nematode control  advantages of DBCP would continue.

         Option 6;  Cancel  registrations.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would be severe short-
and long-term adverse economic impacts as described in the
peach benefits discussion.

       There may  be some chronic risks to applicators from
increased pre-plant use of  the substitute pesticides DO, EDB
and Telone  II (Table 5).- About 1,400,000 pounds of DD,
500,000  pounds of EDB and 1,00,000 pounds of Telone might be

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     Peanut growers in Oklahoma and Texas could suffer



severe impacts which might force them out of business.



Producers would have to consider alternative farm enter-



prises. In the other regions, producers' returns would



decrease if DBCP were not available, but returns would still



be positive. The total impact of the unavailability of DBCP



on all growers would be minor.





     The loss of DBCP would have a minimum impact on con-



sumers, since most if not all of any price increase would be



offset by a decrease in price support payments  (Benefits



Analysis).





       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts





         Option 1;. Continue registration without-additional



restrictions.



            (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks to  the U.S. popu-



lation from consumption of DBCP residues would  continue and



the risks to 7,397 applicators would continue.



            (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode control



advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 2: Classify for restricted use; require full-



body protective clothing and respirator during 'transfer,



maintenance or cleanup operations; and require  boots and



gloves during application.





            (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks to the U.S.



population  from consumption of DBCP residues would continue.



The risks from inhalation exposure to DBCP during application

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     Alternative fumigants are EDB, Telone II and D-D.  The
most practicable registered granular alternatives are Carbofuran,
Mocap and Dasanit.   However,  all of these are less effica-
cious against some  or all nematode species, are less effica-
cious under some soil moisture conditions, and all are more
expe'ns-i ve.

       (2)   Risks

     The increased  risk of cancer to the U.S. population
                                  -5
from residues in food is 3.26 X 10  ,  or 103 cases per year. .
There is also a risk of decreased sperm counts for men.
Also at risk are 7,397 applicators.  The risk from inhala-
                                            -5
tion of DBCP during application is 2.63 X 10   increased
probability of cancer; from inhalation exposure during
                                          — fi  *
mixing and  loading, this risk is 6.57  x 10" .  There is also
a risk of decreased sperm counts for men.  Table 4 summarizes
the risks from all  other potential exposure situations.

       (3)   Benefits

     The grower impact of the unavailability of DBCP would
be $6,800,000 per year in production losses and from the
increased control costs of substitute  chemicals.  After 3
years, the  total impact would be $19,500,,000.  The greatest
impacts would occur in Oklahoma and Texas, where about 10%
of the peanut growers there (i.e., 648) would have negative
returns and would be forced to grow other crops (Benefits
Analysis).

-------
applied in place of DBCP (Table 9).  These amounts are 20%,
7% and 16%, respectively, of the amounts of these chemicals
produced in 1974 or 1975.  Thus, there might be a moderate
degree of chronic risk to applicators from the use of these
substitutes on peaches and nectarines.

         (i.i  Beneficial  Impacts - All risks from DBCP would
be eliminated.

       (5) .Regulatory Option Chosen

     Option 1 is rejected, because without further restrictions
this use of DBCP will  result in unreasonable adverse effects on
the environment.  The Agency has selected Option 4, since it
will adequately reduce risks without significant impacts on
the benefits: of this use.  Options 2 and 3 will not satis-
factorily reduce risks and will result in unreasonable adverse
effects.  Options 5 and  .6 will  eliminate the risks of DBCP, but
will result in unacceptable adverse impacts on the economic bene-
fits of this  use.  Thus, in order to continue a registration of
DBCP on peaches and nectarines, the conditions of registration
must be modified as described in Option 4.

     E.  Peanuts
       (1)  Usage

     About 3,200,000 pounds of  DBCP are applied annually to
355,000 acres throughout nine peanut-producing states.
Generally, DBCP is applied 6 to 8 inches deep by chisel injec-
tion at a rate of 9 pounds a.i. per acre (.Benefits Analysis).

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                             -98-
would continue.  The cost of requiring protective equipment,



including respirator, would be $110 per person in the affec-



ted operations.



           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP use by untrained



persons would be eliminated. The risks to all applicators



from dermal exposure to DBCP by all applicators would be



virtually eliminated by the protective clothing. The risks



to applicators from inhalation exposure during mixing and



loading, spill cleanups, etc. would be reduced at least



fiftyfold.  Applicators would have to wear full protective



clothing for only about 30-minutes per day, a practice with



which most persons may be expected to comply. The nematode



control advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 3; Option 2 plus require^ a respirator and re-



entry interval for application by irrigation—Not applicable.





         Option 4; Option 2 plus require a respirator and reentry



interval for all application techniques.-



           (i.) Adverse Impacts - The risks to the U.S; popula-



tion from consumption of DBCP residues would continue.  There



would still be some risk/ at one-fiftieth the level described



in the peanut risk discussion, from inhalation exposure during



application. The cost of imposing these restrictions would



be $110, the same as in Option 2.



           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the



same as in Option 2, but the risks to-applicators from



inhalation exposure during all applications would be de-

-------
creased at least fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation



exposure during reentry into treated areas after soil



injection would be reduced.  The nematode control advan-



tages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 5; Alternative 4 plus prohibit application by



irrigation—Not applicable.





         Option 6: Cancel registrations





           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would be minor adverse



economic impacts, except on growers in Texas and Oklahoma, who



would sustain major losses (see peanut benefits discussion).



There would be risks from substitute pesticides.





     There may be some chronic risks to applicators from in-



creased use of the substitutes DD, EDB and Telone II.  There



may also be some acute risks to wildlife from increased use of



Carbofuran, Dasanit, Mocap and Nemacur (Table 5).  In place of



DBCP, 1,300,000 pounds of DD, 6,900,000 pounds of EDB, 1,100,000



pounds of Telone, 48,000 pounds of Carbofuran 48,000 pounds of



Dasanit, and 200,000 pounds of Mocap and 200,000 pounds of Nemacur



might be used (Table 9).  These amounts are 18%, 95%, 16%, 1%,



1%, 20% and (unknown)% of the amounts of these chemicals produced



in 1974 or 1975.  Thus, chronic risks to applicators might be



substantial, while the acute risks to wildlife might be moderate.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All risks from DBCP



will be eliminated.

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       (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen
   "  Option 1 is rejected, because, this use of DBCP will result
in unreasonable adverse effects on the environment. The Agency
has selected Option 6, since it will eliminate risks from DBCP,
while only adversely affecting 10% of the peanut growers in
Texas and Oklahoma; it will  also result in some potential risks
from use of substitute nematicides.  Options 2 and 4 will not
satisfactorily reduce risk and will  result in unreasonable
adverse' effects. Thus, the Agency has determined that all regis-
trations of DBCP for peanuts must be cancelled in order to
prevent unreasonable adverse effects.

     F.  Pineapple
       (1)  Usage
     The only state in which pineapples are commercially
produced is Hawaii.  About 300,000 pounds of DBCP are
used on 5,000 acres per year at a rate of 60.5 pounds
a.i. per acre.   Since affected acres are treated every
3 years, a total of 15,000 acres may be treated (Bene-
fits Analysis).
     About 98% of DBCP applied to pineapples is applied by
soil injection to a depth of 8 to -  12 inch'es. in combination
with D-D or Telone.  Plastic mulch is laid over the planting rows
immediately after injection, behind  the injection shanks, to
seal in the fumigant. This theoretically results in less
exposure to DBCP than would  result from the standard soil
injection technique without  the plastic mulch (Exposure
Analysi s).

-------
     The only registered alternative to DBCP is EDB.



       (2)  Risks



     The only risks are to approximately eight fumigant



supply truck drivers who handle the mixing and loading of



DBCP and about 68 persons who work on or around the soil



injection equipment during application.





     Truck drivers, who are exposed to 0.22 mg/hr via



inhalation during 8.5 hours per year, have an increased risk




of cancer of 2.7^ X 10. For equipment operators, hydraulic



operators, supervisors and mulch operators involved in the
                          t


application operation, exposure to 0.013 mg/hr for ah average'



of 338 hours year results in an increased probability of




cancer of 6.57 X 10  .  All exposed men risk a decreased



sperm count.  Table 4 summarizes risks from other potential.



exposures.





       (3)  Benefits





     Without DBCP,  growers would have to spend $200,000 more



per year to apply EDB and would lose $5,600,000 after 3 years



due to decreased production.  The total impact would be a 9.3$
                                           •


decrease in grower revenue over 3 years, -Eventually, the annual



yield loss would lead to an increase in prices that would parti-



ally or even completely offset decreased grower revenues.  Because



of the structure of the industry (two of three major growers



are also processors), any long-term impact cannot be accurately



estimated (Benefits Analysis.).

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                             -102-






     In the short term, consumers might expect up  to  a



9% increase in prices.





        (4)  Regulatory Option and Their Impacts





         Option 1; Continue registration without additional  restric-



tions.



           (1)  Adverse Impacts - The risk to 76 persons



would continue.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode  control



.advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 2; Classify for restricted use; require



full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,



maintenance or cleanup operations; and require boots  and gloves



during application.





           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation



exposure to DBCP during application would continue.   The costs



of requiring protective equipment, including respirator, would



be $110 per person in the affected operations.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP used by  untrained



trained persons would be eliminated. The risks from dermal



exposure to DBCP by all applicators would be virtually



eliminated by the protective clothing.  The risks  to  truck



drivers from inhalation exposure during mixing and loading,



spill cleanups, etc. would be reduced at least fiftyfold.



They would have to wear full protective clothing for  only about

-------
                             -103-
15 minutes per day, a practice with which most persons may be



expected to comply. The nematode control advantages of DBCP



would continue.





        - Option 3; Option 2 plus require a respirator and re-



entry interval for application by irrigation.





Not applicable.





         Option 4; Option 2 plus require a respirator and re-



entry interval for all application techniques.





           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would still be some



.risk from inhalation exposure during application, at one-



fiftieth the the level described in the pineapple risk dis-



cussion.  The costs of imposing these restrictions would be



$110r the same as in Option 2.





           (ii) Beneficial impacts - These would be the same



as Option 1, but the risks to applicators from inhalation ex-



posure during all applications would be decreased at least



fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation exposure during reentry



into treated areas after soil injection would be reduced.  The



nematode control advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 5; Option 4 plus prohibit application by



irrigation—Not applicable.





         Option 6; Cancel registrations.

-------
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would be minor to severe
economic impacts as described earlier in the pineapple benefits
discussion.  There are no .known environmental risks from using
EDB as a substitute. However, several chronic hazards are associ-
ated.with this chemical, namely oncogenicity, mutagenicity and
adverse reproductive effects. These risks are being evaluated
through the RPAR review process at this time. In place of DBCP,
720,000 pounds of EDB would be applied every 3 years.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All risks from the use of
DBCP would be eliminated.

       (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen
     'Option 1 is rejected, Because without further restrictions
this use of DBCP will result in unreasonable adverse effects
on the environment. The Agency has selected Option 4, since
it will adequately reduce risks without significant impacts
on the benefits of this use. Option 2 will not satisfactorily
reduce risks and will result in unreasonable adverse effects.
Option 6 will eliminate the risks of DBCP, but will result in
unacceptable adverse impacts on the economic benefits of this
use and will create significant potential risks from  use of
the substitute EDB. Thus, in order to continue a registration
of DBCP on pineapples, the conditions of registration must
be modified as described in Option 4.

     G.  Soybeans
       (1)  Usage
     DBCP may be applied preplant or at-planting by chisel
injection 6 to 8 inches below the surface at a rate of 9 to

-------
                            -105-

 12 pounds a.i. per acre,  (Cooperative Assessment).   In  1976,
 12,378,000 pounds were applied to  1,100,000 acres,  5% of  all
 soybean acres planted in  the Southeastern and Delta  states.
 (Benefits Analysis). The  most practicable substitute pesti-
 cides are D-D, Telone, Mocap and Nemacur.
       (2)  Risks

     9,655 applicators are at risk.  Inhalation  exposure
'during mixing and loading may result in  1.86 X  10    increased
 probability of cancer. Inhalation  during application would
 result in 6.9*1 X  10  increased probability of cancer-   All
 exposed men would risk a  decreased sperm count.  Risks from
 other potential exposures are summarized in Table  M.

       (3)  Benefits

     If DBCP were no.t available, the use of substitutes
 would cost an average of  $22 more  per acre, or  $2,600,000
 per year.  This impact represents  about 0.1J of  the
 $3,000,000,000 farm, value of soybeans (Benefits  Analysis).
 On the other hand, about  6,600 growers in the Delta  region
 would sustain a U4J reduction in returns, and 3,000  growers
 in the Southeast would lose 36J of their returns.  Thus,
 farmers with a severe nematode problem might forced  to  grow
 other crops.

     There would be only  a negligible increase  in  prices  for
 consumers in the short and long terra.

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                            — JLUO—
       (4}   Regulatory Options and Their Impacts



         'Option 1; 'Continue registrations without additional



restrictions.



           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks to 9,655 applicators



would continue.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode control



advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 2; Classify for restricted use; require



full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,



maintenance or cleanup operations; and require boots and



gloves during application.





           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from•inhalation



exposure to DBCP during application would continue.  The



costs of requiring protective equipment, including respirator,



would $110 per person in the affected operations.





           (ii) 'Beneficial Impacts - DBCP used by untrained



persons would be eliminated. The risk from dermal exposure



to DBCP by all applicators would be virtually eliminated by



the protective clothing. Risks to applicators from inhalation



exposure during mixing and loading, spill cleanups, etc.



would be reduced at least fiftyfold.  Applicators would have



to wear full protective clothing only for about 30 minutes



per day, a practice with which most persons may be expected



to comply.  The nematode con.trol advantages of DBCP would



continue.

-------
         Option 3;  Option 2 plus require a respirator and re-



entry interval for  application by irrigation--Not applicable.





         Option 4;  Option 2 plus require a respirator and re-



entry interval for  all application techniques.





           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would still be some



risks, at one-fiftieth the level described earlier in the



soybean risk discussion, from inhalation exposure during appli-



cation .  The cost of imposing these restrictions would be



$110 as in Option 2.





         (i) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same



as in Option 2, in  addition to which the risks to Applicators



from inhalation exposure during all applications would be



decreased at least  fiftyfold. The risks from inhalation



exposure  during reentry into treated areas after soil



injection would be  reduced. The nematode control advantages



of DBCP would continue.





       Option 5; Option 4 plus prohibit application by irri-



gation—Not applicable.





       Option 6; Cancel registrations.





         (i) Adverse Impacts - While the economic impact of



cancellation is insignificant (<0.1% of the value of the



soybean production  in the United States), growers who use



DBCP would be affected significantly, as described in the



soybean benefit discussion.

-------
                         -108-


     Th ere may be some chronic risks to applicators from

increased use of the substitutes DD and Telone II {Table 5).

Also,'there may be some acute risks to wildlife from in-

creased use of Mocap and Nemacur. In place of DBCP 62,000,000

pounds of DD, 41,000,000 pounds of Telone II, 1,500,000

pounds of Mocap and" 340,000 pounds of Nemacur might be used

(Table 9). These amounts are 884%, 594%, 153% and (unknown)% of
                                                      •
the amounts of these chemicals produced in 1974 or 1975.

Thus, chronic risks to applicators and acute risks to

wildlife from use of these substitutes might be very sub-

stantial.


         (ii) Beneficial Impacts - Ml risks associated

with use of DBCP would be eliminated.


       (5) Regulatory Options Chosen


     Option 1 is rejected, because-without further restric-

tions this use of DBCP will result in unreasonable adverse

effects on the environment. The Agency has selected Option 4,

since it will adequately reduce risks without significant

impacts on the benefits of this use. Option 2 will not satis-

factorily reduce risks and will result in unreasonable adverse

effects.  Option 6 will eliminate the risks of DBCP,  but will

result in unacceptable adverse impacts on the economic bene-

fits of this use and will create significant potential risks

from use of substitute nematicides.  Thus, in-order to continue

a registration of DBCP on soybeans,  the terms and conditions

of registration must be modified as  described in Option 4.

-------
     •H.  Commercial Vegetables,  Melons and Strawberries




       (1) Usage





     DBCP is registered for use  on 22 annual or semi-annual



veget.able and fruit crops--broccoli,  brussel sprouts, cabbage,



carrot, cauliflower, celery,  cucumber, eggplant, endive,



lettuce,  lima bean, melons, okra,  parsnip, peppers, radish,



snap bean, southern pea,  tomato,  turnip and strawberry.  Of



these DBCP uses, 19 have  be unconditionally suspended (see Table



13).- About 3,392,000 pounds per  year were applied to 374,000
                                    *

acres of these crops during 197^-1976. Nationwide the percentage



of each crop treated varied from  <0.15o for strawberries and



several other crops, to 95$ for  okra (Benefits Analysis).




     Usually DBCP is injected 6  inches deep into the soil. If
                                              *


granules are used,  they are spread on the soil surface and im-



mediately incorporated with tillage equipment.  Rates vary from



6 to 2*1.2 pounds a.i. per acre (Cooperative Assessment).




     The practicable alternative  pesticides are EDB, DD, Vor-



lex and Telone II.   However,  in  some crops in some Locations,



no alternative pesticide  is effective.




       (2)  Risks




     The major source of  risk to  the general public is con-



sumption of 18 of the crops which  may be expected to contain



DBCP residues after treatment (Table 2).  As shown in this table,



                                                        -8
the maximum lifetime risk of cancer range from 1.09 X 10  . for

-------
                              -J.J.U-
                          -4
 russel sprouts to 4.36 X 10    for  carrots.  These risks translate


•nto a total risk of approximately  1905  cases of cancer per


vear, with carrots accounting for about  68%  of that number.



jhere is also a risk of decreased sperm  counts for males who



would consume DBCP residues.




    A total of about 8,272 applicators  are  also at risk.



The number of growers and the hours per  year of exposure vary


by state (see Table 11).  As shown  in  Table  3, the cancer risk


to the 200 applicators in California from inhaling


                                    -4
DBCP during application are 6.21 X  10   ;  their risk from


                                                 -4
inhalation during mixing and loading is  1.61 X 10  .   In


Florida, the risk to 709 applicators from inhaling DBCP during

                                                »

application is 2.37 X 10  ; their risk from  inhalation during



mixing and loading is 6.21 X 10~ .   In all other states,


the cancer risk to 7,400 applicators from inhaling DBCP dur-



ing application is 6.94 X 10  ; their  risk from inhalation



during mixing and loading is 1.86 X 10  .  All exposed men



would also risk reduced sperm counts.   Risks from other



Potential exposure situations are summarized in table 4.




      (3)  Benefits



    At $6.00 per acre for material costs, DBCP is the most



6conomical method of controlling nematodes in vegetables.



   material cost per acre for  the  alternative nematicides

-------
ranges from $9.17 for EDB to $48.00  for Vorlex.   If  DBCP
were not available growers would have  to  pay  $7,730,000  per
year more for the cost of alternative  materials  and  the  labor to
apply, them.  On acreage where alternatives would  not be  ef-
fective, growers would suffer $6,760,000  losses  in production;
Thus, the total short term impact would be $1.4,500,000 per
.year or $43,400,000 after 3 years.   Compared  to  the
value of all affected vegetables, this is a minor impact
(Benefits Analysis).

     On a per acre basis,, the potential losses to growers
would range from $13 per acre for cucumbers to $136  per  acre
for celery. The impacts of this range  might lower returns
enough to force growers to switch to other crops.  As these
adjustments are made, the price of the affected  vegetables
might rise, shifting the cost to the consumer.   It is esti-
mated that such an increase would not  exceed  0.1J overall
(Benefits Analysis).

       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their  Impacts

             Option 1: Continue registrations without additional
restrictions.
            (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks  to  the  U.S.
 population  from consumption of DBCP residues  in  18  of
 22  crops would continue as would the risks to 8,272 appli-
 cators .
            (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode control
 advantages  of DBCP would continue.

-------
                        -112-
            Option 2: Classify  for  restricted  use;  require
full-body protective clothing  and  respirator  during  transfer,
maintenance or cleanup operations; and  require  boots and gloves
jnH_ng application.
          (i) Adverse Impacts - The  risks  to the  U.S.  popula-
tion from consumption of DBCP  residues  in  18  of  22 crops
would continue.  The risks from  inhalation  exposure  to  DBCP
during application would continue.   The  cost  of  requiring
protective equipment, including  respirator, would  be $110 per
person in the affected operations.
          (ii) Beneficial Impacts-  DBCP  used  by  untrained
persons would be eliminated. The risks  from dermal  exposure
to DB'CP by all applicators would be  virtually eliminated by
the protective clothing.  The  risks.to  applicators from inhal-
ation exposure during mixing and loading,  spill  cleanups, etc.
would be reduced at least fiftyfold.  Applicators  would have
to wear full protective clothing for  only  about  30 minutes per
day, a practice with which most  persons  may be  expected to com-
ply. The nematode control advantages  of  DBCP  would continue.

            Option 3: Option  2  plus  require  a  respirator and
reentry interval for application by  irrigation — Not  applicable.

            Option 4:  Option 2 plus require a  respir-
Ajor and reentry interval for  all  application techniques.
          (i) Adverse Impacts - The  risks  to the  U.S.  popula-
tion from consumption of DBCP  residues  in  food  in  18 of 22
Crops would continue.  There would still be some  risk at one-

-------
                          -113-
fiftieth the level  described in the vegetable risk discussion,
from inhalation exposure during application.  The cost of im-
posing these restrictions would be $110 as in Option 2.
           (i i) Beneficial  Impacts -These would be the
same as Option  2,  but the risks to applicators from inhal-
ation exposure  during all applications would decrease by a
minimum factor  of  fifty.  The risks from inhalation exposure
during reentry  into treated areas after soil injection would
be reduced.   The nematode control advantages of DBCP would
conti nue.
             Option 5: Option 4 plus prohibit application by
irri gation--Not applicable.
             Option 6: Cancel registrations.
           (i)   Adverse Impacts -.There would be minor ad-
verse economic  impacts on growers and negligible impacts
on consumers.  There will be some risks from increased use of
substitute chemicals (see Tables 5 and 9).
     There maybe some chronic risks to applicators from in-
creased use of  the substitutes DD, EDB, Telone II and Vorlex
13,000,000 pounds  of DD, 3,000,000 pounds of EDB, 5,000,000
pounds of Telone and 340,000 pounds of Vorlex might be used in
place of DBCP  (Table 9).  These amounts are 181%, 41%, 72% and
120%, respectively, of the amounts of these chemicals produced
in 1974 or 1975.  Thus, the chronic risks to applicators from
use of these substitutes on commercial vegetables might be
substantial.                                         '
           (11 )• Beneficial  Impacts - All -risks from the use
of DBCP would be eliminated.

-------
        (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen
     Option 1 is rejected, because this use  of  DBCP  will
result  in unreasonable adverse effects on the environment.
The Agency has selected Option 6 for 18 of the  22  crops,
since this option will eliminate risks from  DBCP,  especially
to the  U.S. population from consumption of DBCP  residues  in
food; at the same time, it will have some adverse  health  ef-
fects for about 8,100 growers from DBCP exposure and  result  in
some potential risks from use of substitute  nematicides.
Options 2 and 4 .will not satisfactorily reduce  risk  and will
result  in unreasonable adverse effects. Thus, the  Agency  has
determined that in order to prevent unreasonable adverse  effects
all registrations of DBCP must be cancelled  effects  for
these crops: -broccoli, brussel sprouts, cabbage,  carrots,
cauliflower, celery, cucumbers, eggplant, endive,  lettuce,
melons, parsnips, peppers, radishes,squash,  tomatoes, turnip
and strawberry (except strawberry nursery stock).  The
.Agency  has also determined that in order to  continue  a
registration of DBCP on the four crops which do  not  have  in
food residues (i.e., lima bean, okra, snap bean  and  southern
pea), the terms and conditions of registration must  be
modified as described in Option 4.
     I.  Commercial Turf
        (1)  Usage
     Almost all DBCP turf use is on golf courses (Benefits
Analysis).  In Florida, South Carolina, Georgia  and  Texas,
golf course turf planted on sandy soils are  heavily  damaged
by nematodes, especially where a course is used  heavily.
DBCP, the most effective treatment, is injected  3  to  6

-------
inches into established turf at 24-36 pounds a.i. per acre
(Cooperative Assessment).  From conversations with knowledge-
able USDA Extension Service personnel,  it is estimated that
11,900 acres are treated annually by custom applicators and
6,600 acres are treated annually by golf course superinten-
dents in Florida, Georgia,  South Carolina and Texas (see
Footnotes m and o to Table  1). Assuming an average applica-
tion rate of 30 Ib/A, it can be estimated that about 555,000
pounds of DBCP were applied in 1976 (30 Ib/A X
18,500 A = 555,000 Ibs).
     Mocap and Nemacur are  the most likely alternative
registered pesticides.  They are more expensive,  .less
efficacious and must be applied twice a year.
       (2)  Risks
     The population at risk is 11 custom applicators and
199 golf course superintendents.  The increased
                                                   .4
cancer risk for the custom  applicators  is 5.11 X  "10
from inhalation exposure' during application and 1.35
X 10   from inhalation during  mixing and loading. For go'f
course superintendents, the increased risk of cancer is
         -5
5.11 X 10  from inhalation  exposure during application and
1.35 X 10"  from inhalation during mixing and loading. For
all exposed males, there is also a risk of decreased sperm
count.  Table 4 summarizes  the risks from other potential
exposure situations.
       (3)  Benefits
     DBCP is the only nematicide which  controls most nema-
todes on turf for more than 2  to 3 months.  If DBCP were

-------
unavailable, the substitutes Mocap or Nemacur would have to
be applied twice a year, will cost much more than DBCP and
will  control nematodes less well  (Cooperative Assessment).
Although the Benefits Analysis did not quantify the cost
impact of using these substitutes, the Cooperative Assess-
ment  arrayed the comparative per  acre costs of materials:
DBCP, $24-$56;  Nemacur, $85-$140; Dasanit, $85~$140; a'nd
Mocap, $140-$210.  Thus, the cost  of the substitute materi-
als range from  $60 to $150 more per acre than DBCP.  Multi-
plying these prices by two applications per year and by
the total acres treated, the total impacts would ra.nge from
$2,200,000 to $5,600,000 for all  affected areas. Since 310
golf  courses may be affected, the average net impact of
   *
using the substitute materials would be between,$7,000 and
$18,000 per course per year.

     The Cooperative Assessment concludes.'that at these high
costs it would  be  impossible to treat fairways,  in which
case  the untreated turf would die. Only ample irrigation,
additional fertilizer and increased "use of herbicides would
prevent total loss of the turf (Smart, 1978a), If putting
                                          *
greens only were treated with a substitute nematicide, the
net increased costs of substitute materials woul-d be about
$250  to $300 per year per golf course (Bottlinger, 1978).

     Increased  treatment costs may be passed on to the
consumer (i.e., the golfer or club member).  Further, where
alternatives are not or cannot be used, the aesthetic
appearance of a golf course  would be adversely affected
(Benefits Analysis).

-------
       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

             Option 1: Continue registrations with-
out additional  restrictions.

           (i)   Adverse Impacts - Risks to 210 applicators
would continue.

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The nematode control
advantages of DBCP would continue.

             Option 2: Classify for restricted use;
require full-body protective; clothing and respirator during  •
transfer, maintenance or cleanup operations; and require
boots and gloves during application.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would continue.  The
cost of requiring protective equipment, including respirator,
would be $110 per person in the affected operations.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would be eliminated. The risks from dermal  exposure
to DBCP by all  applicators  would be virtually eliminated by
the protective  clothing. The risks to applicators from
inhalation exposure during  mixing and loading, spill clean-
ups, etc. would be reduced  at least fiftyfold. Applicators
would have to wear full protective clothing for only about
30 minutes per  day, a practice with which most persons may
be expected to  comply. The  nematode control advantages of
DBCP would continue.

-------
             Option 3: Option 2 plus require
a respirator and, reentry interval  for application by irri-
gation—Not applicable.

             Option 4: Option 2 plus require
a respirator and reentry interval  for all application
techniques.

           (i). Adverse Impacts -  There would still be some
risks at one-fiftieth the level described in the commercial
turf benefits discussion, from inhalation exposure during
application-. ••The cost of imposing these restrictions would
be $110 as in Option 2.

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - These would be the same
as in Opt ion-2, but in addition the risks to applicators
from inhalation exposure during all applications would be
decreased at least fiftyfold.  The risks from inhalation
exposure during reentry into treated areas after soil
injection would be reduced.   The nematode control advantages
of DBCP would continue.
             Option 5: Option 4 plus prohibit application by
Irrlgation--Not applicable,
             Option 6: Cancel registrations
           (i)   Adverse Impacts -  There would be significant
adverse economic consequences for  affected golf courses, most
of which are in Florida.  There would be some acute environ-
mental  hazards  from the use  of the granular  alterna-

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                              119
tives.  There maybe some acute risks to wildlife from  increased
use of the substitutes Mocap and Nemacur (Table 5).  In place of
DBCP 230,000 pounds of Mocap and 130,000 pounds of Nemacur might
be used (Table 9).  These amounts are 23% and. (unknown)% of the
amounts of these chemicals produced in 1974 or 1975.  Thus,
acute risks to wildlife from use of these chemicals on golf
courses might be moderate.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The risks from DBCP use
           - t     ^«M^^««—™»^**«i«»
would be eliminated.

       (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen

     Option 1 is rejected, because without further restrictions
this use of DBCP will result in unreasonable adverse effects on
the environment. The Agency has selected Option 4, since it
will adequately reduce risks without significant impacts on the
benefits of this use. Option 2 will not satisfactorily reduce
risks and will result in unreasonable adverse effects. Option 6
will eliminate the risks of DBCP, but will have in unacceptable
adverse impacts on the economic benefits of this use and will
create some potential risks from use of substitute nematicides.
Thus, in order to continue a registration of DBCP on turf on
golf courses, the terms and conditions of registration must be
modified as described in Option 4.

     J.  Strawberry Nursery Stock

       (1)  Usage

     The only strawberry nursery stock (i.e., plants grown
for transplanting rather than immediate fruit production)

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known to be treated with DBCP is grown on 625 acres in
Maryland and Delaware, where DBCP is applied in accordance
with the requirements of the States' strawberry plant
certification programs.  Basically,  the programs call for
two to three post-plant side-dressing chisel applications,
the first 4 to 6 weeks after planting, the second 10 to 12
weeks after planting and the third,  if necessary, 14 to 16
weeks after planting. The rate of application is 1 gallon
DBCP or 12.1 pounds a.i. per acre.   No alternative nemati-
cides are effective for postplant control of nematodes on
strawberry nursery stock (Benefits  Analysis)..

       (2)  Risks
     With only four farms growing strawberry plants for
transplant, it is assumed that there are four applicators
exposed to DBCP.  For the single applicator in  Delaware, the
risk from inhalation exposure during application is 2.63 X
  -4
10   increased probability of cancer; from inhalation exposure
during mixing and loading the risk  is 6.56 X 10"  increased
probability of cancer. For the three applicators in Maryland, the
risk from inhalation exposure during application are 1.06 X
  -4
10   increased probability of cancer; from inhalation exposure
                                               -5
during mixing and loading the risk  is 2.56 X 10   proba-
bility of cancer. All exposed males  risk decreased sperm counts.
Table 4 summarizes risks from other  potential  exposure situa-
tions .

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        (3)  Benefits

      If DBCP were cancelled,  strawberry  nurserymen  in
Maryland and Delaware would be seriously  affected  in the
.short-term, and possibly forced out of production.   Signi-
ficant  but localized community and social  disruptions would
be  likely for nursery employees, since alternative  employ-
ment  opportunities are limited.  Gross receipts  from
strawberry plant sales in Maryland exceed  $1,500JQOO per
year  and provide considerable economic stimulus  to  the  area.
Thie situation in Delaware is  li.kely to be  similar  (Benefits
Analysis).
      In the long term, without an effective  postplant
nematicide, production of strawberry.pi ants  would  shift to
other areas.  Production of certified plants  in  Delaware  and
Maryland might cease. Higher  returns in  unaffected  areas.
would stimulate production on new or existing acreages.
Unaffected growers would benefit from increased  sales and
higher  product prices.  Thus, income redistribution  to  other
states  may offset some losses in Maryland  and Delaware.

      Commercial and home growers in the  East  would  be moder-
ately affected as quality strawberry plant supplies  become
increasingly short 3 to 5 years following  cancellation.
      •
Consumers would experience some retail strawberry  price
increases in markets supplied by Eastern  berry producers.

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Since states east of the Rockies produce only 18% of U.S.
strawberry tonnage, and since Maryland and Delaware account
for 60% of the planting stock for the Eastern states, the
overall U.S. retail price increases would be moderate.   In
the long term, consumer prices would return to precancella-
t'ion production expands in unaffected areas (Benefits
Analysis).
        (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

          (a)  Option 1:  Continue registrations without addi
tional  restrictions.

            (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks to 4 applica-
tors would continue.

          :-. (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The nematode control
advantages of DBCP would continue.

        •  (b)  Option 2:  Classify for restricted use;
require full-body protective clothing and respirator during
transfer,  maintenance or cleanup opreations; and require
boots and  gloves during application.

            (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risk from inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would co'ntinue.   The
cost of requiring protective equipment including respirator
would be $110 per person in  the afffected operations.

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                            -123-

             (11) Beneficial  Impacts  - DBCP  use  by  untrained
persons would be eliminated.  The risks  from  dermal  exposure  to
DBCP by all  applicators would be virtually  eliminated  by  the
protective clothing.  The  risks to applicators  from  inhalation
exposure during mixing and  loading,  spill cleanups,  etc.  would
be  reduced at least fiftyfold.  Applicators would  have  to wear
full protective clothing for only about  30  minutes per  day, a
practice with which most persons may be  expected to  comply. The
•nematode control advantages  of DBCP  would continue.

        (c)  Option'3:  Option 2 plus require a respirator and
reentry Interval for application by  1 rrl gat i on — Not  applicable.

        (d)  Option 4:  Option 2 plus require a respirator and
reentry interval for all application techniques'.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would  still be  some
risks at one-fiftieth the  level described in  the strawberry
                                   •*
risk discussion, inhalation  exposure during application.   The
cost of Imposing these restrictions  would be  $110, the  same as
in  Option  2.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts -  There would be the  snme
as  In Option 2, but the risks to applicators  from  inhalation
exposure during all applications would be decreased  at  least
fiftyfold.   The risks from  inhalation exposure  during  reentry
into treated areas  after soil injection  would be reduced.  The
nematode control advantages  of DBCP  would continue.

             Option 5:  Option 4 pi us prohibit  application
by  irrigat1on--Not  applicable.

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             0p t i on 6:   Cancel  regi s t r a t i o n s
          (i)   Adverse  Impacts  - There would be severe short
and long term  adverse economic  effects on  strawberry plant
producers in Maryland and Delaware.   Consumers in the East
would 'pay higher prices for the short term, although the
nationwide average would probably not significantly increase

          (ii)  Beneficial  Impacts - All risks from the use
of DBCP would  be eliminated.
        (5)   Regulatory Option  Chosen •

     Option  1  is rejected,  because without further restric-
tions this use of  DBCP  will result in unreasonable adverse
effects on the environment. The Agency has selected Option
4, since it  will adequately reduce risks without significant
impacts on the benefits of  this use. Option 2 will not
satisfactorily reduce risks and will result in unreasonable
adverse effects. Option 6 will  eliminate the risks of DBCP,
but will result in unacceptable adverse impacts on the
economic benefits  of this use.  Thus, in order to continue a
registration of DBCP on strawberry nursery stock, the
conditions of  registration  must be modified as described in
Option 4.

     K.  Other Berries
       (1)  Usage
     Other berries for  which DBCP is registered include
blackberries,  blueberries,  boysenberries,  dewberries,
loganberries,  and  raspberries.   However, DBCP has been used

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                             -125-
to a significant extent only on boysenberries and rasp-
berries, in the amount of 25,000 pounds and 67,000 pounds  of
DB.CP per year, respectively (Benefits Analysis). The  primary
method of application is post-plant soil injection.   No
effective postplant alternative methods of nematode control
are available.

       (2)  Risks
     Because the only known use of DBCP on other berries
is on boysenberries and raspberries, risks have only  been
estimated for these two crops.

     About 300 applicators are estimated to be at risk.
From inhalation exposure during application the increased
probability of cancer is 2.63 X 10   .  From in-halation
exposure during mixing and loading, males hnve a risk of
reduced sperm count.  Table 4 summarizes other potential
exposure situations.

      . (3)  Benefits
     Without DBCP, boysenberry production could initially
decline by 10%-15% in California.  However, in Oregon
and Washington, where most U.S.boysenberries are produced,
:DBCP is only minimally important to production (Benefits
Analysis). In affected areas, production losses would
continue    at 5%-8% per year.  Severely affected areas
would probably go out of production, but would be probably
replaced to some extent by new plantings in .unaffected

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areas.   Consumers could expect some short term retail price
increases of 5% - 7% if production losses were to be passed
along in corresponding price increases.  Long term effects
are likely to diminish if new plantings in unaffected areas
are brought into production.  Thus, long term effects
would probably be minimal.
     For raspberries, U.S.  production is concentrated in
Oregon  and Washington.  There, only 7.3% of the 6,860
acres benefit from DBCP treatments.  Without DBCP, there
would be a  $150,000 loss in production over 3 years.  Th.is
loss is only 1.8% of the total U.S. crop value.  In the long
run, affected acres would probably be treated with a pre-
plant fumigant.    Some severely infested acres may go out
of production and revert to the best alternative crop.
Higher  returns to unaffected growers and increased planting
in-unaffected areas would probably offset this loss.
Consumers would pay slightly higher retail  prices for the
short term, but in the long term,  pri-ces would be expected
to return to near precancel1ation  levels (Benefits Analysis).

     For all remaining berries, the major production regions
are in  Oregon and Washington.  Contacts with Extension
Service nematologists in these states revealed very limited
use of  DBCP.  Some isolated instances of production losses
could, occur, but no major shifts in the quantity or geograph-
ical area of production would be expected.   Market and
consumer effects would be minimal  for the short and long
term.

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       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

         Option 1:  Continue registrations without additional
restrictions.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risk to 300 applica-
tors would continue.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The nematode control
advantages of  DBCP  would continue.

         Option 2:  Classify for restricted use; require
full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,
maintenance or cleanup operations ; and require boots and
gloves during  application.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks from, inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would continue.  The
costs of requiring  protective equipment, including respirator,
would be $110  per  person in the affected operations.
            (i.i) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would  be eliminated.  The risks from dermal exposure
to DBCP by all applicators  would be virtually eliminated by
the protective clothing.  The risks to applicators from
inhalation exposure during  mixing and loading, spill clean-
ups, etc. would be  reduced  at least fifty.fold.  Applicators
would have to  wear  full protective clothing for only about
15 minutes per day, a practice with which most persons may
be expected to comply. The  nematode control advantages of
DBCP would continue.

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           (i)  Adverse Impacts - These would be the same as
for Option since no D8CP is known to be applied by irriga-
tion.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - These would be the same.
as for Option 2, since no DBCP is known to be applied by
irrigation.   However,  if DBCP were applied by irrigation,
the risks to applicators from any inhalation exposure would be
eliminated.  Risks to persons reentering a treated area would
also be eliminated.

         Option 6:  Cancel registrations.
           (i)   Adverse Impacts - There would be some
localized adverse impacts as described in the berry benefits
di scussion.

           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - All risks from DBCP use
would be eliminated.
       (5)  Regulatory Option Chosen

     Option  1 is rejected,  because.without further restric-
tions this use  of DBCP will result in unreasonable adverse
effects on the  environment. The Agency has selected Option
4, since it  will adequately reduce risks without significant
impacts on the  benefits of  this use. Options 2 and 3 will
not satisfactorily reduce risks and will result in unreason-
able adverse effects.   Options 5 and 6 will  reduce or eliminate
the risks of DBCP, but will have unacceptable adverse impacts
on the economic benefits of this use. Thus,  in order to continue a

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                           -129-



registration of DBCP on raspberries and boysenberries, the



terms of registration must be modified as described in



Option 4.




     L.  Plums




       (1)  Usage



     DBCP is currently applied to a total of 22,000 acres of



domestic plums, about 70% of California plantings.  About



9,300 acres are treated with 452,000 pounds of DBCP per



year.  Applications are post-plant by irrigation every 18 to



36 months, depending on the degree of infestation;  No



effective substitute method of postplant nematode control is



available (Benefits Analysis).




       (2)  Risks



     450 applicators are at risk.  Inhalation exposure



during application and mixing and loading results in in-



                                 —3              -4
creased cancer risks of 3.43 X 10   and 2.08 X 10   ,



respectively. All exposed males have a risk of decreased



sperm count. Table 4 summarizes risks from other potential



exposure situations.




       (3) Benefits



     If DBCP were  unavailable, all treated orchards would



begin to be affected by the end of 3 years.  Decreases in



value of production minus the cost of treatment with DBCP



would total $13,754,000 for that period.  Severely infested

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 orchards  (38%  of  California  acres)  would  go out of produc-



 tion within  3  to  5  years.  Moderately  infested acreage (32%



 of  California  acres)  would remain  in  production for a longer



iperiod.   In  the  long  term, plum production might begin in



 areas  not subject to  infestation.   Higher returns would be



 expected  to  stimulate intensified  production and increased



 planting  by  unaffected growers. Both effects would offset



 to  some  extent the  production reductions  in the affected



 areas  (Benefits Analysis).





      For  consumers, short  term retail price increases of up



 to  20% are possible*   However,  since  plums represent a minor



 part  of  food consumption,  the overall consumer impact is



 negligible.   In  the long  term,  production and retail prices



 might  return to  normal if  new plum plantings in uninfested



 areas  are developed and come into  production.





        (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impacts





          Option  1;  Continue registration without addi-



 tional restrictions.





            (i) Adverse Impacts -  The risks to 450 applica-



 tors  would continue.





            (ii)  Beneficial Impacts -  The  nematode control



 advantages of  DBCP  would  continue.





          Option  2;  Classify for restricted use; require



 full-body protective  clothing and  respirator during transfer,



 maintenance  or cleanup operations;  and require boots and



 gloves during  application.

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           (1)  Adverse Impacts - The risks from inhalation
exposure to DBCP during application would continue.  The
costs of requiring protective equipment, including respira-
tor, would be $110 per person in the affected operations.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would be eliminated.  The risks from dermal exposure
to DBCP by all  applicators  would be virtually eliminated by
the protective  clothing.  The  risks to applicators from
inhalation exposure during  mixing and loading, spill  clean-
ups, etc.  would be reduced  at least fiftyfold.  Applicators
would have-to wear full protective clothing for only  about
30 minutes per  day, a practice with which most persons may
be expected to  comply. The  nematode control advantages of
DBCP would continue.

         Option 3:  Option  2  plus require a respirator and
reentry interval for  application by irrigation.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would still be
some risk, at one-fiftieth  the level describved in the plum
risk discussion, from inhalation exposure during irrigation.
The costs  of imposing these restrictions would be $110, as
In Option  2.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - These would be the same
as in Option 2, in addition to which the risks from inhala-
tion exposure during  irrigation would be reduced at least
fiftyfold.  The risks from  inhalation exposure during
reentry into treated  areas  after irrigation would also be
reduced.  The  nematode control advantages of DBCP would
cont i nue.

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         Option 4:Option 2 plus require a respirator and
reentry interval -for all application techniques--
This Option is the same as Option 3, since all acres are
treated by irrigation.

         (e)  Option 5:  Option 4 plus prohibit application
by i rri gati on .

           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The 450 growers who
had been using irrigation would be forced to switch to soil
injection  to.maintain economic levels of production. If
all growers applied DBCP themselves, the cost of application
would increase $8 per acre, a total  of $75,000 every 3
years, or  $166 per grower.  If the DBCP were applied by
commercial applicators, the costs would be $35 'per acre, a
total of $327,000 every 3 years, or  $726 per grower.
The risks  to  applicators would be the same as in Option
4. The costs  of protective equipment would be $110 per
person. If all growers did not switch to injection, the
total impact  would be about $13,800,000. Although soil
injection  can cause some root damage, most growers would
probably switch, since DBCP is necessary for economic
producti on.

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                           133
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - The high risks from
inhalation and dermal exposures during and after irrigation
would be completely eliminated, and the risks from inhala-
tion during soil  injection  would be reduced at least fifty-
fold.  The risks  from inhalation exposure during reentry
into treated areas following soil  injection would be reduced.
The nematode control  advantages of DBCP would continue.
         (f) Option 6:   Cancel  registrations.
           (i)  Adverse Impacts -  There would be some
localized adverse economic  impacts as described in the plum
benefits discussion.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - All risks from DBCP use
would be eliminated.
       (5)  Regulatory  Option Chosen

     Option 1 is  rejected,  because without further restric-
tions this use of DBCP  will result in unreasonable adverse
effects on the environment. The Agency has selected Option
4 (which is the same  as Option 3), since it will adequate
by reduce risks without significant impacts on the benefits
of this use.  Option  2  will '.not satisfactorily reduce risks
and will result in unreasonable adverse effects.  Options 5
and 6 will eliminate  the risks of  DBCP, but would have
unacceptable adverse  impacts on the economic benefits of
this use.  Thus,  in order to continue a registration of DBCP
on plums, the terms of  registration must be modified as
described in Option 4.                                       '

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                             -121*-
     M.   Almonds





       (1)  Usage





     Approximately 3,417,000 pounds of DBCP are applied  to



70,600 acres of almond orchards annually, with a  total of



181,200  acres, (54% of domestic almond acreage),  subject  to



treatment.  Almost all almonds are grown in California and



all use  of DBCP on almonds is in that state.  Applications



are done by post-plant irrigation every 18 to 36  months,



depending on the severity of infestation.  DBCP is generally



applied  in the San Joaquin Valley where the lighter  soils



support  more nematode populations and where the trees are



set on higher-yielding, but more nematode-susceptible



peach-type rootstocks.  No effective alternative'  method  of



postplant control is available.





       (2)  Risks





     About 1,108 applicators are at risk^  Inhalation



exposure during application, and mixing and loading  will



                                            -2
result in increased cancer risk of 1.13 X 10   and 6.94  X



  -4
10  , respectively.  There will also be risks of  reduced



sperm count for exposed males.  Table 4 summarizes risks



for other potential exposure situations.



       (3)  Benefits





     If DBCP were unavailable, all treated orchards,- 54% of



total acres, would incur losses of $26,502,000 within 3

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                             -135-
year s.  Consumers might experience up to a 20% increase  in
retail prices in the short term.  Shippers and almond
processors would be adversely affected to the extent that
almond production would shift to other parts of California
of the U.S. (Benefits Analysis).

     In the long term, affected orchards would go out of
production. Severely affected acres, 18% of the total planted,
would begin to fail within 3 to 5 years and moderatelyr
affected acres, 36% of total planted, would go out of
production within 10 to 15 years.  Almond producers in
unaffected areas will have higher returns, -which in turn
would be expected to stimulate new plantings.  Both factors
would offset to some extent the losses suffered in current
DBCP use areas.  Production and retail prices may return
to normal  if new plantings are developed in uninfested
areas.

       (4)  Regulatory Option and Their Impacts

         Option It  Continue registration without additional
restrictions.
                                          »
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - Risks to applicators would
continue.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts— The nematode control
advantages of DBCP would continue.

         Option 2;  Classify for restricted use; require
full-body protective clothing and respirator during transfer,

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                             -136-
maintenance or cleanup operations; and require boots and
gloves during application.

  '.         (i) Adverse Impacts - The risks- from inhalation
                                                         /
exposure to OBCP during application would continue  . The
-costs of requiring protective equipment, including  respirator,
would total approximately $110 per person in the affected
operations.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - DBCP use by untrained
persons would be eliminated.  The risks from dermal  exposure
to DBCP by all applicators would be virtually eliminated by
the protective clothing.  The risks to applicators from
inhalation exposure during mixing and loading, spill clean-
ups, etc. would be reduced at least fiftyfold.-  Applicators
would have to wear full protective clothing for only about
30 minutes per day, a practice with which most persons may
be expected to comply.  The nematode control advantages of
DBCP would continue.
         Option 3:  Option 2 plus require a respirator and
reentry interval for application by irrigation.

           (i) Adverse Impacts - There would still  be some
risks at one-fiftieth the level  described in the almond and
risk discussion, from inhalation exposure during irrigation.
The costs of impostion these restrictions would be  $110, the
same as in Option 2.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same
as in Option 2, but also the risks from inhalation  exposure

-------
                            -137-

during irrigation would be reduced at least fifty-fold.  The
risks from inhalation exposure during reentry into treated
areas after irrigation would also be reduced.  The nematode
control  advantages DBCP would  continue..

         Option 4:  Option 2 plus require a respirator and
reentry  interval  for all  application techniques--
This Option is the same as Option 3, since all DBCP is
applied  by irrigation.

         Option 5:  Option 4 plus prohibit application by
irri gat i on.
           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The 1,108 growers who
had been  using irrigation would be forced to switch to soil
injection to maintain economic levels of production. If
all growers applied DBCP  themselves, the cost of application
would increase $8 per acre, a  total  of $565,000  every 3
years or  $515 per grower.  If  the DBCP were applied by
               %
commercial applicators, the costs would  be $35 per acre, a
total of  $2,888,000 every 3 years or $2,606 per  grower.
The risk  to applicators would  be the s~me as in  Option 4.
The costs of protective equipment would  bo $110  per person.
If all growers did not switch  to injection, the  total  impact
would be  about $26,500,000. Although soil injection can
cause some root damage, most growers would probably switch,
                                    •
since DBCP is necessary for economic production.

           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The high risks- from
inhalation and dermal exposures during and a-fter irrigation

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                          138
would be completely eliminated, and the risks from  inhala-



tion during soil injection would be reduced at least  fifty-



fold.  The risks from inhalation exposure during reentry  into



treated areas after soil injection would be reduced.  The



nematode control advantages of DBCP would continue.





         Option 6;  Cancel registrations





           (i)  Adverse Impacts - There would be significant



adverse economic impacts as described in the almond benefit



discussion.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All risks from DBCP  use



would be eliminated.





       (5 ) Regulatory Chosen





     Option 1 is rejected, because without further  restric-



tions this use of DBCP will have unreasonable adverse



effects on the environment.  The Agency has selected Option



4 (which is the same as Option 3) since it will adequate  by



reduce risks without significant impacts on on the  benefits



of this use.  Option 2 will not satisfactorily reduce risks



and will result in unreasonable adverse effects.  Options 5



and 6 will reduce or eliminate the risks of DBCP, but will



have unacceptable adverse impacts on the economic benefits



of this use.  Thus, in order to continue a registration of



DBCP on almonds, the terms of registration must be modified



as described in Option 4.

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     N.  Home Gardens





       (1)  Usage



     The Cooperative Assessment (1977) estimated that



250,000 gardens, averaging one-fifth of an acre or less, are



treated with DBCP.  Most DBCP (80%) is incorporated into the



soil as a granular formulation, while the remainder is



applied in furrows as a liquid formulation and then covered



with soil.  Registered alternative chemicals include DD,



EDB, Vapam and Vorlex.  However, suitable equipment for



applying DD and EDB is not generally available to home



gardeners.  Moreover, the cost of the alternatives is two  to



three times higher than DBCP and would produce equivalent



or lower yield returns.  Non-chemical methods of nematode



control are either not practical or not effective,(Benefits



Analysis).





       (2)  Risks



     Assuming one person per treated garden applies the



DBCP, about 250,000 persons are at risk during application.



The risk to 200,000 people from inhalation exposure during use




of the granular formulation is 6.57 X 10   probability of



cancer. During in-furrow application, 50,000 people inhaling



DBCP during application would have an increased cancer risk




of 3.65 X 10  ; during mixing and loading, inhalation of DBCP




would lead to an increased cancer risk of 8.03 X 10  .  All



exposed males would risk reduced sperm counts.  Table 4 sum-



marizes risks from other potential exposure situation.

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                             -14U-




     Assuming that eight persons per garden eat half of



their diet from the 250,000 treated gardens, then these



2,000,000 people would be at risk from consuming DBCP



residues. The lifetime risk per individual would be 3.19 X



  —4
10   ;' about five cases of cancer could result in that



population.  There would also be a risk of reduced sperm



count for males.





       (3)  Benefits







     Most home gardens have esthetic rather than monetary



value.  Some home garden production decreases could'occur,



but the impacts would be minimal (Benefits Analysis).





       (4)  Regulatory Options and Their Impact's





         Option 1;  Continue registration without



additional restrictions.





           (i)  Adverse Impacts - The risks to 2,000,000



persons consuming home garden vegetables containing DBCP



residues would continue.  The risks to gardeners who apply



DBCP would continue.





           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - The nematode control



advantages of DBCP would continue.





        Option 2;  Classify for restricted use; require



full-body protective clothing and respirator during trans-



fer, maintenance or cleanup operations;  and require



boots and gloves during application.

-------
            (i) Adverse  Impacts - The  risks  to  2,000,000
 persons consuming home  garden vegetables containing  DBCP
 residues would continue  . The risks from inhalation  exposure
 to DBCP during application would continue.   The  costs  of
 requiring  protective equipment,  including  respirator,  would
 be $110 per  person  in the affected operations.
            (ii) Beneficial Impacts -  DBCP  use  by  untrained
 persons would be eliminated. The risk from  dermal  exposure
•to DBCP by  all. applicators would be virtually  eliminated  by
 the.  protective clothing. The risks to applicators  from
 inhalation  exposure during mixing and loading, spill clean-
 ups, etc.  would be  reduced at least fiftyfold.   Applicators
 would have  to wear  full  protective clothing  for  only about
 30 minutes  per year, a  practice  with  which  most  persons may
 be expected  to comply.  The nematode control  advantages of
 DBCP would  continue.
         Option 3:  Option 2 plus require  a  respirator and
 reentry interval for application by i rri gat ion--
 Not  applicable.
         Option 4:  Option 2 plus require  a  respirator and
 reentry interval for all application  techniques.

            (i) Adverse  Impacts - The  risks  to  2,000,000
 persons consuming home  garden vegetables containing  DBCP
 residues would continue.  There  would still  be some  risks at
 one-fiftieth the level  described in the home garden  risk
 discussion,  from inhalation exposure  during  application.

-------
The cost of imposing these restrictions would be $110,
as in Option 2, but it is unlikely that home gardeners
would obtain certification and buy or use protective
equipment.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - These would be the same
as in Option 2, but the risks to applicators from inhalation
exposure during all applications would be decreased at least
fiftyfold.   The risks from inhalation exposure during reentry
into treated areas after soil injection would be reduced.
The nematode control advantages of DBCP would continue.
     Option 5:   Option 4 plus prohibit application by
Irri gat ion--Not applicable.
           .(i)  Adverse Impacts - There would be minimal
adverse economic impacts, as described in the home garden
risk discussion.
           (ii) Beneficial Impacts - All  risks from use of
DBCP would  be eliminated.

       (5)  Regulatory Option
     Option 1 is rejected, because this use of DBCP './ill
result in unreasonable adverse effects on the environ-
ment. The Agency has selected Option 6 for the 22
garden crops, since it will eliminate risks from DBCP,
especially  to the U.S. population from consumption of DBCP
residues in food; at the same it will minimally adversely
affect about 250,000 gardeners and result in some potential
risks from  use  of substitute nematicides. Option 2 and 4
will not satisfactorily reduce risk and will result in

-------
                             -11,3--
unreasonable adverse effects.  Thus, the Agency has deter-
mined that in order to prevent unreasonable adverse effects
aVI  registrations must be cancelled for these crops:
broccoli, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, cauliflower,
celery,  cucumbers, eggplant, endive,  .lettuce me!ons,1ima
bean, okra, parsni-ps,  peppers, radishes, snap bean, southern
pea  and  squash.

     0.   Home Lawns
       0)  Usage
     Since data  was not available on'the extent of DBCP
use  on home lawns, it  was assumed,  based on the data obtain-
ed for golf courses, that most applications on home lawns
occur in Florida.  There are 2,500,000 lawns, averaging one
quarter  acre, in that  state (Florida  Turfgrass Survey,  1974).
If 5% of these were treated (Smart, 1978b), then  there  would
be 125,000 users of DBCP or 31,250  acres.   Approximately 80%
of homeowners are estimated to use  granular DBCP, while 20%
use  drench application (Table  11).

       (2)  Risks
     For those persons using granular DBCP, the risk from
inhalation exposure during application is  6.57 X  10"
probability of cancer. For persons  using drench,  the risks
                                                        _3
from inhalation  exposure during application is 1.28 X  10
probability of cancer. All exposed  males risk decreased sperm

-------
counts.  Table 4 summarizes risks from all  other potential
exposure situat i on's .especi al ly from potential dermal exposure.
       (3)  Benefits
     According to the Cooperative Assessment, there are no
practicable alternative nematicides for DBCP.  Dasanit,
Nemacur and Mocap are not allowed for use by homeowners.
Diazinon (Sarolex) may be used,  but it is not available
through retailers at  this time and is only  effective against
a few nematode species.
                                                        «
     Without DBCP, affected turf would have to be totally re-
placed every 10 years (Smart,  1978b).  The  costs for a home-
owner' would vary according  to  the method of replacement.  Com-
pletely covering a quarter-acre  area with sod would cost
about $1300, whereas  using  sprigs of sod and waiting
a year for  the lawn to fill in would cost $220. Assuming
most persons would take the latter approach, the total cost
to 125,000  homeowners over  10  years would be $27,500,000, or
$2,750,000  per year.

       (4)   Regulatory Options and Their Impacts

         Option 1: Continue registration without additional
restrictions.

           (i)  Adverse Impacts  - The risks to 125,000 applicators
would continue.
           (ii) Beneficial  Impacts - .The nematode control ad-
vantages of DBCP would continue.

-------
                          160
interval  for all  application techniques:   cotton,  pineapples,
soybeans,  turf, strawberry nursery stock,  ornamentals,
bananas,  commercial  lima beans,  commercial  okra,  commercial
snap beans,  commercial  southern  peas,  citrus,  grapes,
peaches,  nectarines, plums,  almonds,  apricots,  cherries,
figs, walnuts,  blackberries, blueberries,  boysenberries,
dewberries,  loganberries and raspberries.
       Option 6:  Cancel  all  registrations:  broccoli,  brussel
sprouts,  cabbage,  carrots, cauliflower,  celery,  cucumbers,
eggplants, endive, lettuce,  lima beans (except  commercial
uses), melons,  okra  (except  commercial uses),  parsnips, peanuts,
peppers,  radishes, snap  beans (except  commercial  uses), southern
peas (except commercial  uses),  squash, tomatoes,  turnips  and
strawberries (except strawberry  nursery  stock).

     The  impacts  of  and  rationale for  this  course of  action
are summarized  in  Table  33.

-------
                    BIBLIOGRAPHY

Albert, Roy E., M.D. (January 19,1978)  Memo from Chairman,
CAG, EPA, to Jeff-Kempter,  Project Manager, OSPR, transmitting
CAG's Reply to Comments on  Dibromochloropropane (DBCP).

Alexander, H.C., 1973.   Acute fish toxicity of Fumazone and
1, 2-dibromo-3-Chloropropane.   Dow Chemical Co.

Armadore, J.  (February 2,  1978)  Area Plant Pathologist,
Texas A & M University, College Station, TX. personal
communication to Mark Luttner, Economist, Economic analysis
Branch 'CED.Division, EPA, concerning DBCP application to
Texas citrus.

Bottlinger, D. (March 8, 1978) Chemical and Turf Speciality Co.,
Dallas, Texas, personal communication to Jeff Kempter, PM,  OSPR,
concerning DBCP use on golf courses.

Bloome, W.  (March 3, 1978) -Southern Mill Creek Products, personal  '
communication to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSFR, concerning.DBCP applica-
tion to golf fairways.

Bushong, C.  (March 6,  1978)  Head, Environmental Safety Section,
Ecological Effects Branch,  CED, EPA.  DBCP Fish and Wildlife Risk
Analysis.

Carcinogen Assessment Group,  EPA (June 8, 1978) 'Carcinogen
Asssessment Groups Risk Assessment  on Dibromochloropropane,
{DBCP).

Chemistry Branch, CED,  EPA, (March 27, 1978)  Analysis of Human
Exposure to DBCP.

Chemistry Branch, CED,  EPA  (June 22, 1978)  DBCP Exposure Analysis.
[revision of March 27,  1978,  version]

Cummings, J.  (June 20, 1978)  Chief, Chemistry Branch, RD, Comment
Sheet on OBCP Position Document 4.

Dale, Lamar B, Jr., Ph.D.  (April 20, 1978a-)  Memo from Chief,
Metabolic Effects Branch, CED, EPA, to Acting Director, OSPR, con-
cerning reproductive toxicity and risk assessment of DBCP.

Dale, Lamar B., Ph.D.  (May 11, 1978b)  Memo from Chief, Metabolic
Effects Branch, CED EPA, to Bill Wells, OSPR, concerning toxicology
data on DBCP alternatives.   [revised May 19,1978.]

Davis/ J.T. and W.S. Hardcastle. 1959.  Biological assay of herbi-
cides for fish toxicology.   Weeds. 7(4):397-404.

Davis, H.C. and H. Hidu. 1969.  Effects -of pesticides on 'embryonic
development and clams and oysters and on survival and growth of
larvae.  Fish Bull. 67(2}:393.               - -

Doane Agricultural Service  (1975)  Doane Survey, 1975.  St. Louis, MO.-

-------
Dollar, Alexander, M.,  Ph.D.   (September 17,  1977)  Report
by University of Hawaii School of Public Health:  Report of
Field Application of [DBCP]:   Monitoring exposure of employees
on Haui.

Economic Analysis Branch (EPA) and Agricultural Resources and
Environmental Branch (USDA)  (March, 1978)  Economic and Social
Impacts of Cancelling Use of  DBCP as a Pesticide for All Regis-
tered Use Sites with Known Current Usages.

Enos, Henry F., Ph.D.,  (March 6,  1978)  "Development and
Application of Methology for  Determining Halogenated Organic
Fumigants in Ambient Air," EPA Contract No. 68-01-4743
University of Miami School of Medicine.

Environmental Studies Board,' National Research Council (1975).
Pest Control:  An Assessment  of Present and Alternative Techno-
logies, Volume 1:  Contemporary Pest Control Practices and Pro-
spects:  The Report of  the Executive Committee.  Washington, D.C.:
National Academy of Science.

Faidysh, E. and M.G. Avkhimenka.  1974.  Effect of the nematocide
Nemagon on the reproductive function of an  organism. Dzb. Nauchno-
Issled. Inst. Sanit. Gig. Protzabol, 8:42-43.

Faydysh, Ye. V., N.N. Rakhmatullayev and V.A. Varshavskiy. 1970.
The cytotO"ic effect of Nemagon in a subacute experiment.  Med.
2h. Uzabekistana:64-65.

Federal Register  (May 25, 1976)   Notice on "Interim
Procedures and Guidelines for Health Risk and Economic
Impact Assessments of Suspected Carcinogens.  41(102):
21402-21405.

Federal Register  (September 9, 1977) Emergency Temporary Standard
for Occupational Exposure to  1/2-Dibromo-3-chloropropane (DBCP);
Hear ing/42 (17 5): 4 553 6-4 9.

Federal Register  (September  22,  1977)  Notice of Rebuttable
Presumption Against Registration and Continued Registration
of Pesticide Products Containing Dibromochlororopane (DBCP).
42(184):48025-45.

Federal Register  (September  26,  1977)  Notice of Intent to
Suspend and Conditionally Suspend Registrations of Pesticide
Products  [containing Dibromochloropropane]. 42(186):48915-22 .

Federa1 Register  (November 3, 1977)  Southern Agricultural
Insecticides, Inc., et. al.:   Suspension Order.  42(212 ):57543 .

Federal Register  (November 3, 1977)  Pesticide Products
Containing Dibromochloropropane (DBCP) and  Statement of
Reasons:  Intent  to Cancel the Registration or Change
the Classifications.  32(212):57545-8.

-------
 Federal  Register   (March  17,  1978)  Occupational  Exposure to
 l,2-Dibromo-3-Chloropropane  (DBCP). 43  (53):11514-33.

 Florida  Crop  and  Livestock Reporting  Service  (1974)   Florida
 Turfgrass Survey.  Orlando,  Florida.

 Gardner, Roger  (June  20,  1978)  Memo  from Toxicologist,
 Metabolic Effects  Branch, CED,  EPA, to  Jeff Kempter,  PM,
 SPRD',  concerning  DBCP  reproductive  risk assessment  re-
 visions .

 Gaylor,  David W.,  Ph.D.  (March  15,  1978)  Memo from Chief,
 Biometry, National Center for lexicological Research, HEW,
 to Metabolic  Effects  Branch,  CED, EPA,  concerning comments
 on risk  analysis  of DBCP.

 Gehring, P.J.,  D.V.M., Ph.D.  (October  13, 1977)  Toxicological
•Assessment  of l,2-dibromo-3-chloro7>ropane.

 Hansen,.  J.  Dean  (November 8, 1977).   Memo from Plan-t
 Pathologist,  Plant Biology Laboratory,  EPA, to Ron "Davis,
 BIB,  transmitting  results of  study  to EDB from soil,
 and  air  contamination  from DBCP.

 Hazleton Laboratories  America,  Inc. (October  28,  1977)
 104-Week Dietary  Study in Rats: l-2-Dibromo-3-Chloropropane
 (DBCP)  Final  Report.   (3A[30000/19j).

 Heitmuller, T.  1974.  Acute toxicity of  Nemagon to pink shrimp
 (Penaeus duorarum).   Bioassay Report  submitted to Shell Chemi-
 cal  Co.  (Confidential).

 Hine,  C.H., M.D.,  Ph.D.,  et  al  (January 12,  1956)  "An
 Evaluation  of the  Degree  of Toxicity  of  1,2-dibromo-3-
 chloropropane:  3.  Acute  and  Chronic Vapor Exposure
 of Rodents.   Dept. of  Pharmacology  and  Experimental
 Therapeutics, University  of  California  School  of Medicine,
 for  Shell Development  Co.

 Holtorff, T.  (February 9, 1978), Economist, Economic Assess-
 ment  Branch,  CED,  EPA.   personal communication with Dr.
 Jesse  Roman,  Puerto Rice  Agricultural Experiment Station,
 concerning  DBCP use on locally  consumed  bananas.

 Human  Effects Monitoring  Branch  (January 25,  1978)
 TSD,  EPA.   Spermatogenesis in Agricultural and
 Related  Field Workers  Potentially Exposed to  [DBCP].

 Hyatt,  E.G.   (1976)   Respirator protection factors Informal
 Report LA-6084-MS.  Los Alamos  Scientific Laboratory of
 the  University  of  California, Los Alamos, New  Mexico.
   *
 Johnson/ D.   (January  23', 1978a)  Letter from- Extension Nemato-
 logist,  U.  of California, Parlier,  CA,  to Mark A. Luttner, Economist,
 Economic Analysis  Branch, CED,  EPA/ concerning  DBCP use in the San
 Joaquin-Sacramento Valley.

-------
Johnson, D.  (January 31, 1978b)  Extension Plant Nematolog1st,
University of California, Parlier, CA,.  personal communication
to Linda Zygadlo, Economist, Economic Analysis Branch,
Criteria and Evaluation Division, EPA, concerning DBC? use
on California Grapes, vegetables, peaches, and citrus.

Johnson, D.  {March 1, 1978c)  Extension. Plant Nematologist,•
University of California, Parlier, CA  personal communication
to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning DBC? application
rates on California citrus, vegetables, and grapes.

Johnson, D.  (March 9, 1978d)  Extension Plant Nematologist,
University of California, Parlier, CA.  personal communication
to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR/ EPA, concerning DBCP application
and acreage of California vegetable, citrus, and grapes.
       \, Edwin  (September 7, 1977)  Memo from DAA, OPP,
       Roy Albert, CAG, EPA concerning Preliminary Risk
       nent for Dibromochloropropane  (DBCP).
Jones, R.  (March 10, 1978)  Extension Plant Pathologist,
North Carolina State University, Raleigh, N.C. personal
communication to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning
nematode problems in boxwood.

Kempter, Jeff  (June 8, 1978)  Memo from Project Manager,
.SPRD, EPA to Lamar Dale Jr., Ph.D., Metabolic-Effects
Branch, CED, EPA, concerning DBCP Reproductive Risk Assessment.

.Key, W.  (April 11, 1978)  Shell Oil Co. personal communication
to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning, loading DBCP tanks.

Lambert, S.  (March 7r 1978) President, Southern Turf
Nurseries GA. personal communication to Jeff Kempter, PM,
OSPR, EPA, concerning DBCP use of turf-.

Luttner, Mark  (May 26, 1978)  Memo from Economist, Economic
Analysis Branch, CED, EPA to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR, EPA,
concerning DBCP regulatory option analysis.

McCann, John A., 1970.  Fish toxicity laboratory report on
Nemagon, I.D. No. 69782, test No. 301. U.S. Department of
Agriculture. (Unpublished.).

McCann, John A. 1977.  Biological report of analysis:
bromine compounds:  dibromochloropropane (DBCP).  U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency.  (Unpublished.)

MacLeod, J.  (October 1977)  Unpublished Data Presented at
the NIOSH Symposium on DBCP, Cincinnati, Ohio.

MacLeod, John, Ph.D., and Gold, Ruth 2., M.A.  (1951) "The
Male Factor  in Fertility and Infertility: , 2 Spermatozoon
Counts  in 1000 Men of Known Fertility and in 1000 Cases of
Infertile Marriage". Fertility and Sterility 2(2):115-39.

-------
Marshall, S.,  M.N.  (December 13-15, 1977}  Testimony on
Oligospennia,  OSHA Informal Public Hearing on the Proposed
Standard for Exposure to Dibromochloropropane.

Metabolic Effects Branch, CED,  EPA,  (April 18, 1978)
Reproductive Toxicity and Risk  Assessment of DBCP.

Meyer, Channing, M.D.  (December 13-15, 1977)  Testimony on
Oligospermia,  OSHA Informal Public Hearing on the Proposed
Standard for Exposure to Dibromochloropropane.

Michell, R.,  (February 9, 1978), Memo from Nematologist,
Efficicay and  Ecological Effects Branch, RD, EPA, to Jeff
Kempter, PM,  OSPR, EPA,  concerning amended use  patterns to
reduce the probability of detectable DBCP residues.

Miller, W. [March 15, 1978a)  Nematologist, University of
South Carolina, Columbia, S.C.  personal communication to
Jeff Kempter,  PM, OSPR,  EPA,  concerning DBCP use in South
Carolina.

Miller, W. (March -27, 1978b)  Nematologist, University of
South Carolina.  Columbia, S.C.  personal communication to
Jeff Kempter,  PM, OSPR,  EPA,  concerning DBCP use on ornamen-
tals in South  Carolina.

Mine Safety Appliances,  Company  (June 15, 1977)  Safety
Equipment Catalog, Pittsburgh,  Pennsylvania.

Moody, G., (March 9, 19781) Extension Nematologist, University
of Georgia, Athens, GA.  personal communication  to Jeff Kempter,
PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning extent of nematode infestations in
turf/ flowers, and woody ornamentals.

National Cancer Institute  (1978)   Bioassay of  Dibromo-
chloropropane  for Possible Carcinogenicity, Technical
Report Series  No. 28.

Nishiuchi, Y., and K. Yoshida.   1S72.  On the effects of
several pesticides on snails in fresh water.  Bull. Agri.
Chem. Insp. Sta. 12:d82-92.

O'Bannon, J.  (February 2, 1978)  U.S. Horticultural Research
Laboratory, Orlando, FL. personal  communication to Linda
Zygadlo, Economist, Economic Analysis Branch, Criteria and
Evaluation Division, EPA, concerning DBCP application to
Florida citrus and exposed applicators.

Piccirillo, Vincent J.,  Ph.D.  (July 18, 1977)   Letter
from Sr. Staff Toxicologist,  Hazleton Laboratories America,
Inc., to Art Schober, Registration Specialist,  Dow Chemical
Company, summarizing neoplasms  in  rat livers, kidneys, and
stomachs dosed with DBCP. •

Prival, M.J.,  E.G. McCoy, B.  Gutter and H.S. .RosenXranz.
1977. Tris (2,3,-cibromo phosphate:  mutageriicity of a
widely used flame retardant.  Science, 195:76-78."

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Stokes, D. (April 26, 1978) Nematologist, Division of Plant
Industry, Florida Dept. of Agriculture, Gainesville, FL.
personal communication to Jeff Kempter, PM,  OSPR, EPA,
concerning DBCP use on ornamental plants.

Torkelson, T.R., S.E. Sadek, V.K.Rowe, J.K.  Kodama, H.H.
Anderson, G.S. Loquvam, and C.H. Hine, (1961).  Toxicologic
invest i-gat ions of 1, 2dibromo,-3-chloropropane .  Toxicology
and Applied Pharmacology 3. pp 545-59.

Torla, R.F. (March, 1978) Memo from Agriculture Economist,
Economics, Statistics, and Cooperatives Service, USDA, to
Jeff Kempter,  PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning DBCP on minor
vegetable crops.

Tucker, R.K.  and D.G. Crabtree.  1970.  Handbook of Toxicity
of Pesticides to Wildlife. BSFW Resource Publication No. 84.
Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C.

USDA/USSPA  (November 1977)  Economic Analysis of DBCP
Cancellation on Selected Agricultural Crops.

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Census (1977) 1974
Census of Agriculture.  Washington, D.C.

Van Duuren, B.L., SC.D.  (April 12, 1978)  Letter, from
Professor of Environmental Medicine, New York University
Medical Center, to Jeff Kempter, Project Manager, OSPR, EPA,
concerning dermal applications of DBCP to mice.

VonRumker, Rosmarie,  E.W. Lawless, and A-.F.  Meiners  (1975)
Production, Distribution, Use, and Environmental Impact
Potential of Selected Pesticides,  Washington, D.C.

Walla, W. (march 8, 1978), Plant Pathologist, Texas A and M.
University, College Station, TX. personal communication to
Jeff Kempter,  PM, OSPR, EPA, concerning DBCP and substitute
pesticides on golf courses.

Whorton, Donald M., M.D.  (December 13 - 15, 1977)  Introduction
to Testimony on Oligospermia, OSHA Informal  Public Hearing
on the Proposed Standard for Exposure to Dibromochloropropane.

Whorton, Donald, M.D., Milby, Thomas K., M.D. and Stubbs,
Harrison A.,  M.D.  (August - October, 1977)   Health Hazard
Evaluation, Occidental Chemical Company, Luthrop, California.

WilJ.'rams, D. ,  Dr. (March 10, 1978) Maui Pineapple Company,
Maui, HA. personal communication to Jeff Kempter, PM, OSPR,
EPA, concerning DBCP  application methods in  Hawaii.

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Worthington, John  (February 3, 1978a)  Memo from Chemist,
Chemistry Branch, RD, EPA, to Jeff Kempter, PM , OSPR, EPA,
concerning DBCP residue data.

Worthington, John (February 16, 1978b) .Memo from Chemist,
Chemistry Branch, RD, EPA, to Jeff Kempter, P.M, OSPR, EPA,
commenting on the state of Maryland's proposal for the
continued registration of pesticide products containing DBC?  •
for use on strawberries.

Zehr, E. (October 6, 1977) Associate Professor of-Agricultural
Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, S.C. personal communi-
cation to Mark Luttner, Economist, Economic Analysis Branch,
Criteria and Evaluation Division, EPA, concerning DBCP
application on eastern vegetables.

Zygadlo, L. (February, 1978)" Economist, Economic Analysis
Branch, Criteria and Evaluation Division, EPA.  Workers
Exposed and Duration of Exposure (Annual Basis).

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                                       •
        Table 1.  OBCP Sperm Count Data Adjusted to Include Azoospermlc Ken
Exposed Workers
Cohort
Dow-Magnolia
Dow-Midland
Dow-Pi ttsburg
Shell-Denver
Shell -Mobile
Chevron
Velsicol
Occidental

Hen from
Infertile
Marriages 3/.
Hen from
Fertile
Marriages 4/
Num-
berr
117
302
26
56
87
5
24
91







Individuals
<20 M/ml <40 M/ml
53 68
40 73
2 7
11 23
15 35
1 2
12 17
40







Percent
<20 M/ml
45.3
13.2
7.7
19.6
17.2
20.0
50.0
—








<40 M/ml
58.1
24.2
26.9
41.1
40.2
40.0
70.8
44.0







I/
Statistical
Significance
p<.005
n.s.2!/
n.s.
n.s.
n.s.
(no test)
p<.005
p<.005
1 V







Kum-
ber
0
70
0
28
18
0
0
35



9.000


1,000
Controls

Individuals Percent
<20 M/ml <40 M/ml <20 M/ml <40 H/ml
__
9 22
—
5 8
0 4
—
..
-• 4



1,630 2,619



._
12.9 31.4
—
17.9 28.6
0 22.2
_.
—
11.4



18.1 29.1


5 17
T/ The <20 and <40 sperm count groups ofexposea fnalvlduals were tested (chl-square)  against  their own controls when
~~  available. Otherwise, exposed groups were tested against MacLeod's Infertile marriage data.
2/ Not statistically significant.
3/ Unpublished. PennJsslon for use granted by Dr. John MacLeod, New York Hospital,  1978.
5/ MacLeod, 1951.
data was

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 r
e 2.  Estimated  Cancer Risks  to  U.S.  Population
 Consuming  Potential  Food  Residues  of  D8CP

nine re i al
bd
)$S

iccol i
issel

rout
D»age
rrot
ul i f 1 ower
VAry
cumber
g p 1 a n t
cUive
tfcuce
1 on
rsni p
diiut (meat)
pser
dish
uash
rawberry
"•to
rni p
Totals:
Maximum
Dai ly
Intake of
DBCP I/
(ng/kg/day)
0.87


<.0009
0.0071
36.1
0.096
0.038
1.20
0-.0162
<0.0009
0.17
5.60
,<0.005
2.7
<0.0013
<0.0021
0.25
0.0019
- 5\80
<0.0086
52.83


Lifet
Per I

1.05


1.09
8.58
4.36
1.16
4.59
1.45
1.93
1.09
2.06
6.77
6.05
3.26
1.57
' 2.54
3.02
2.30
7.01
1.04
6.39


i me
ndi
2/
X


X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X


Risk
v i d u a 1

ID'5

-8
10 °
io-7
io-4
ID'6
io-7
io-6
io-7
10"8
io-6
io-5
io-8
io-5'
io-8
10"8
io-6
10"8
io-5
io-7
10"4 !_/
 From  Table  12.
 cource:   Carcinogen  Assessment  Group,  1978. -The  one-hit
 mouel  of  risk  assement  was  used.
 This  figure  is  the  equivalent  of  2,008  cases  of cancer
 per year.   Carrots  account  for  68%  of  these cases,
 peanuts=57%,  melons  =5%,  tomatoes=5% and  all  other  crop
fbogether  add  up to  17%.
rl:  These  same  crops  grown in  home  gardens  have  been
 estimated to  have  a  lifetime  risk  per  individual  of 3.19
      -4
 X TO    .  For  the  2,000,000 persons  potentially exposed,
 this  risk might result  in 5 cases  of cancer per year.
 [CAG,  1978).

-------
Table 3.  Estimated Cancer Risks for Applicators Resulting'From Inhalation of DBCP
                     I/             !/
                   Appli-    2/   Appli-
Exposure per Person
Cancer Risks

Crop State
Citrus TX

FL

CA



AZ

Cotton South

Grapes CA

•
-
Peaches and East
Nectarines
CA

cation
Method
irr.

inj.

irr.

inj.

irr.

inj.

inj.

irr.

inj.

irr.

Persons
Exposed
20
20
10
22-28
263
263
132
132
150
150
1,271
1,271
258
258
2,320
2,320
1,714
1,714
1,095.
1,095
cation
Phase
M&L
Appl
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl'.

4/
5/
mg/hr hrs/yr
22
18


22
18


•22
18




22
18


22
18


.92
.18


.92
.18


.92
.18
.92
.18


.92
.18


17
333
5
100
.95
19
0.25
5
.95
19
1.5
29
.30
6
1.1
21
0.25
2
.65
13
6/
g/40 yr
15
239
.18
.72
.84 .
14
.0091
.036
.84
14
.055
.21
.011
.043,
.97
15
8/ .0092
.014
.57
9.4
Per Indi- Number
vidual 7/ of Cases
5.48
8.72
. 6.57
2.63
3.07
5.11
3.32
1.31
3.07
5.11
r.oi
7.76
4.02
1.57
3.54
5.48
3.36
5.11
2.08
3.43
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
10-3
io-2
10~5
10-"
10-"
10~3
10
10-5
~1
10
10-3
ID'5
10~^
10"t
10"5
io-4
io-3
10'6
10~6
10~4
10~3
.002
.025
_
_
.001
.020
-
_
.001
.001
-
.001
-
—
.012
.181
-
-
.004
.059

-------
Peanuts

Pineapple

Soybeans

Commercial
Vegetables

•


Turf (golf
courses)

•
Strawberries
(Nursery
Stock)

Other
Berries
South

HW

South

CA

FL

Others

Fl, GA,
SC & TX


MD

DL

WA.OR

inj.

inj.

inj.

inj.

inj.

inj.

comm.

own.

inj.

inj.

inj.

7,397
7,397
8
68
9,655
9,655
200
200
709
709
7,363
7,363
11
11
199
199
3
3
1
1
300
300
M&L
Appl.
M&L
AppV.
M&L .
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl .
M&L
Appl.
M&L
Appl .
M&L
.Appl .
M&L
Appl..
M&L
Appl .
.92
.18
' .22 9/
.013
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.92
.18
.5
10
8.5 9/
338
1.4
27
12
233 1
4.5
90
1.4
27
10
200 1
1
20
2
40
5
100
0.25 11
1
.083
.072
.075
.18
.051
.19
.44
.7
.17
.65
.051
.19
.37
.4 '.
.037
.14
.070
.29
.18
.72
.0092
.0072
6.57
2.63
2.74
6.57
1.86
6.94
1.61
6.21
6.21
2.37
1.86
6.94
1.35
5.11
1.35
5.11
2.56
1.06
6.56
2.63
3.36
2.63
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
10"u
io-5
io-b
10"5
io-5
io-5
-4
10
io-4
io-5
io-4
ID'5
io-5
io-4
10"^
io-5
IO"5
ID'5
io-4
io-b
io-4
io-6
io-6
;001
.003
-
_
.003
.010
_
.002
_
.002
.002
.007
-
-
_
_
_ •
—
_
. _
_
-

-------
r i unii i/n



Almonds CA



Home Gardens South


Home Lawns FL


Woody FL, GA
& c r
Ornamental s
Total s
1 F~ I ' *

Inj.

1rr.

inj.

gran
f urr

gran
dren
.
dren




IO/
.
1
1
1
1
. 200
50

. 100
25
25
5
5
414
•t i»U
450
450
450
,108
,108
,108
,108
,000
,000

,000
,000
,000
,000
,000
,722
rial.
Appl .
M&L
Appl .
M&L
Appl .
M&L
Appl .
Appl .
M&L
Appl .
Appl .
M&L
Appl .
M&L
Appl .

c. c.
18 ,
.92
.18
22
18
.92
.18
.44
1.1
.025
.44
1.1
8.8
1.1
8.8

. U J
13
.65
13
2.2
43
2.2
43
10
0.5
10
10
0.5
10
0.5
10

• ~
-------
Exposures to DBCP
I/
Route of Estimated
Event Exposure dose
Spill Cleanup
(85% DBCP)
Mixing and
Loading (85%
DBCP)
Dermal
Inhalation
Dermal


91
23
91


mg/drop
mg/hr
mg/drop


2/
Probability
Cancer
6
8
6


.15
.40
.15


x
x
X


10
10
10


of
-4
-6
-4


During apol ication:
Granular
(5% DBCP)
Dermal

Drench or In- Dermal
furrow (0.02%
DBCP)
Irrigation
(0.0003% DBCP)
Reentry after:
Injection
1 day
7 days
Irrigation
1 day
7 days
In- furrow
1 day
7 days
Drench

." 1 day
3 days
Granular
1 day
7 days


Dermal

I/
Inhalation


Inhalation


Inhalation


Inhalation



Inhalation


60

0.


0.

mg/hr

01 mg/drop


0015 mg/drop

4


6

1

.06


.76

.01

X


X

X

10


10

10

-4


-8

-8

(mg/hr)

0.
0.

2.
N.

0.
0.


0.
0.

N.
N.

07
02

9
A.I/

025
020


001
0003

A.
A.

2
7

1



9
7


3
1





-
.56
.30

.06



.12
.30


.65
.10






X
X

X



X
X


X
X






10
10
.
10



10
10


10
10






-8
-9

-6


-9
-9

-in
— Iv
-10



I/ Assumes no protective equipment is worn by worker (Exposure
   Analysis).
2J Risks are upper 95% confidence intervals using one-hit
   model andbased on EDB human data and relative potencies
   of DBCP to EDB (CAG.1978).  Assumes one exposure in a lifetime,
3/ Assumes maximum label rates were applied.
   Not available.

-------
                             Table  5.  Potential Human and  Environmental Hazards  from Substitute Pesticides  for DBCP-
                                           Hazards  to Human
                        2/               2/
 Chemical         Dermal      Inhalation"  Sensitization	Chronic
                                                                       Environmental
                                                                       tlazards  3/
                                                                                        Regulatory
                                                                                        Status
 Ethylene
 dibromide
II
II, III, IV
Slight eye, skin
and respiratory
inflammation.
                             1) Onoogenicity
                             2) Teratogenicity
                             3) HuUigenicity
RPAR issued on basis
of chronic effects.
Telone
Hocap
D-D
II
Ill       Severe eye and
          skin irritation.
                                 1) Hutagenicity
                                 2) Liver,  heart and
                                    kidney damage
                                 3) No antidote
                                                                       Being reviewed by SPRD
                                                                       as a candidate for RPAR,
                                                                       based on potential chronic
                                                                       hazards.
Vorlex


II II Eye and skin "
-------
   Table 6.  DBCP SUSPENSION ORDER
FULLY SUSPENDED USES



BROCCOLI



BRUSSELL SPROUTS



CABBAGE



CARROTS



CAULIFLOWER



CELERY



CUCUMBERS



EGGPLANT



ENDIVE



LETTUCE



MELONS



PARSNIPS



PEANUTS



PEPPERS



RADISHES



SQUASH



STRAWBERRIES



TOMATOES



TURNIPS
CONDITIONALLY SUSPENDED USES



CITRUS



COTTON



GRAPES



PEACHES



NECTARINES



PINEAPPLE



SOYBEANS



TURF



STRAWBERRY NURSERY STOCK



OTHER BERRIES



PLUMS



ALMONDS



ORNAMENTALS







CONDITIONS:
RESTRICTED USE.



WEAR RESPIRATOR.



WEAR IMPERMEABLE



-PROTECTIVE CLOTHING.

-------
     Table 7.  Costs of and Risk Reduction Offered by Protective Clothing and Respirators
Protective
Devi ce
Gloves
Boot
Covers
Coat and
Pants
Face Shield
and Hard Hat
Respl rator

*
Resistant Other
or Filtering Specifl'-
Model Material cations
Full length, Nitrile
heavy duty Neoprene
Di sposabl e
Heavy duty
rai ngear

Can1 ster
or Cartridge
Supplied air
and 50-foot
hose
Sel f-contained
breathi ng
apparatus and
one tank
"
Plastic
Treated
charcoal
Pressure-
demand or
cont i nuous
Pressure-
demand
Demand
0.4 mm thick
0.4 mm thick
"
it

Hal f-f ace
Ful 1-f ace
Half-face
Ful 1 -face
flow
Half-face
Full-face
Half-face
Ful 1-f ace s
Protection
Factor I/
320,000
150,000
H . .
Unknown
10
50
1,000
2,000
1,000
10,000
10
50
Cost
s per Person
Per Operation and
Item 2/ Annual Maintenance
$ 10
$ 5
$ 7
$ 12
$ 12
N.A.
$ 74
$ 132
$ 224
N.A.
$ 626
N.A.
$ 630
Replace when
contami nated
Replace when
contami nated
Replace when
contaminated
Replace when
contami nated
Canister * $12 per
replacement.
Tank refill = $12
for 12 hrs. of
air. 3f
Tank refill = $5
for 30 min. of air
 / A protection factor is calculated by dividing the concentration of a chemical  measured outside
a device by the concentration that penetrates the device after a  given time.  The  protection
factor for the clothing materials are based on the penetration of 99% technical  grade OBCP after
5 minutes (Sansone and Tewari, 1977). The protection factors  listed for respirators are the
minimum protection afforded by any brand of respirator (Hyatt, 1976).
2/ Quoted from Mining Safety Appliance Co.  1977 catalog.
   A canister must be thrown away after one day's exposure to DBCP (Kennedy,  1978)

-------
         Table 8.   Economic Impacts of Cancelling DBCP"
                                                      I/
                    Grower
Consumer
re
ITRUS
CTTON
f*PES
EACHES and
ECTARINES
JMEAPPLE
OYBEAN
FANUT
dlMERCIAL
EGETABLES
OME GARDENS
TRAWBERRY
WSERY STOCK
LMONDS
iiHCOTS,
BERRIES, FIGS
m WALNUTS
ANANAS
THER VINE
$RIES
LUMS
&ME LAWNS
OMMERCIAL
URF
WAMENTALS
OTALS:
Control Cost
Increase/ yr.
0
$2,600,000
0
0
$200,000
$23,471 ,000
$3,515,000
$7,728,000
Negl ig.
0
0
N e g 1 i g . due
to no use
Neglig. due
to no use
Negl i g .
0
$2,750,000 to
replace lawns
$2,200,000 to
$5,000,000
$100/A
(treated acres
unknown )
$44,164,000
Product i on
1 oss/3 years
$26,851 ,000
Neglig.
$65,000,000
$80,672,000
$5,793,000
Negl i g .
$19,500,000
$17,736,000
Negl i g .
Cease produc-
tion in East
$26,502,000
Negl i g. due
to no use
Negl i g . due
to no use
• $ 500,000
$13,754,000




si gni f i cant
losses to
smal 1 producers
$268,253,000 , -
Reta i 1 Price
Increases
Up to 5%
Negl i g .
Major
Up to 25%
Up to 9%
Up to 0.25%
None
Up to 0.1%


Up to 18%
Up to 20%



•
Neglig.
Up to 20%
Not applic.
Unknown
Unknown


/ Source:   Benefits  Analysis

-------
                  Table 9. Substitute Pesticides  Used  if  DBCP  is  Cancelled

                                                                          3/
                                                                       Total Ibs.
            Acres/Yr  Acres Treated/Yr  Rate  of _!/   Pounds/Yr  of       Substitute    Percent
            Treated   w/Substitutes  if  Applica-     Substitute if.     Used Before  Increase
Crop w/DBCP I/ DBCP Cancelled I/ tion (Ib/A) DBCP Cancelled 21 Cancellation 4/
Citrus 31,200 0
Cotton 225,000 *DO = 108,000
*£DB = 31,500
*Telone=85,500
Grapes -82,500 0
Peaches J 8,325 *DD = 2,775
Nectarines preplan: *ED5 = 2,775
*Telone= 2,775
33,900 0
postplant
Peanuts 355,000 **DD = 12,968
**EDB = 96,328
**Telone = 18,525
**furadan = 16,080
**Dasanvt = 16,080
«*Kocap = 97,496
**Nemacur = 97,496
Pineapples 5,000 **EDB = 5,000
Soybeans 1,133,000 "*DD = 516,000
**Telone = 516,000
*Mocap = 76,500
*Nemacur * 17,000
Cotmiercial 374,000 *DD = 115,447
Vegetables *EDB = 148,445
•Telone * 62,880
*Vorlex = 39,400
Coonercial 18,500**Mocap = 9,225 5/
Turf (golf **Nemacur « 9,225 js/
courses, etc.)
All berries, 80,500 None
plums S almonds
Home Gardens None
Home Lawns None
Woody «*Casanit •= N.A.
Ornamentals **Mocap » N.A.

85
30
50


500
180
400


100'
72
60
3
3
2
2
144
120
80
20
20
110
20
80
60
25
14

— .

— .
	
44
18
0
9,200,000
950,000
4,300,000
0
1,400,000
500,000
1,100,000
0

1,300,000
6,900,000
1,100,000
46,000
48,000
200,000
200,000
720,000 '
62,000,000
41,000,000
1,500,000
-340,000
13,000,000
3,000,000
5,000,000
2,400,000
230,000
130,000

0

0
. 0
N.A.
N.A.
0
7,015,000
7,300,000
6,949,000
0
7,015,000
7,300,000
6,949,000
0

7,015,000
7,300,000
6,949,000
5.000,000
4,000,000
1,000,000
N.A.5/
7,300,000
7,015,000
6,949,000
1,000,000
N.A.
7,015,000
7,300,000
6,949,000
20,000
1,000,000
N.A.

0

0
0
N.A.
N.A.
0
130
13
62
0
20
7
16
0
*
18
95
16
1
1.2
20
—
10
ES4
594
153
--
181
41
72
120
23
—

0

0
0
__
M
j_/Source: USDA-EPA Benefit Analysis.
"2/ Calculated by multiplying Acres treated/yr by the rate of application.
3/ Sources of production data are:  OD, ED8, Telone and Furadan—EPA,  1975; Dasanit, Mocap
and Vorlex~NAS, 1974.
_4/ Calculated by dividing Ibs./yr of substitute if DBCP is cancelled
by total pounds of substitute used on all crops before cancellation.
J>/ Not available.

*  Substitute pesticide is as efficacious as OBCP.
** Substitute pesticide is not as efficacious as DBCP.

-------
                    Table  10.  DEC?  USE PATTERNS
Jse
'1TRUS
•BOTTOM
}RAPES
PEACHES/
NECTARINES
PINEAPPLE
SOYBEAN
PEANUT
COMMERCIAL
VEGETABLES
HOME GARDENS
STRAWBERRY
NURSERY STOCK
ALMONDS
APRICOTS, CHERRIES
FIG AND WALNUTS
BANANAS
OTHER VINE BERRIES
PLUMS
HOME L&7NS
COMMERCIAL TURF
ORNAMENTALS
TOTALS:
Pounds
per Year
1,292,000
2,700,000
3,200,000
1,823,000
302,000
12,378,000
3,195,000
3,392,000
<200,000
16,000
3,417,000
T
Neglig.
Neglig.
92,000
452,000
<200,000
550,000
Unknown
33,000,000
Acres Treated
oer year
31,000
225,000
83,000
42,000
5,000
1,133,000
355,000
374,000
NA
600
71,000
Neglig.
Neglig.
600
9,000
31,250
18,500
Unknown'
2,330,000
Percent of
Total Crop
Treated
7.9
2.0
31.0
44.0
46.0
2.1
23.0
<0.1 to
95
<0.5
10
54.0

-------
If
Crop
Citrus
Cotton
Grapes
Peaches and
Nectarines
Peanut s
Pineapple
Tomme'rcTTl
Veyet abl es
'/
courses )
State
?X
FL
CA
AZ
South
CA
East
CA
South
I(U
South 1
CA
FL
Others .
Sci* TX
Strawberries MO
(nursery stock) OL
Other BerrJe
Plums
Almonds
Home Gardens
Home Lawns
Woody
sfl/WA,OR
CA
CA
South
FL
FL.GA.SC
I/
£/ 3/ Farms or
Acres 2/ Portions of Avg. Homes
Treated Acres Treated Farm Treated
Per By Appllca- Size, By Appllca-
Year tlon Method Acres tlon Method
10,000 100* Irrigation 33 303
3,000 100X Injection 96 31
13.200 66X Irrigation 21-35e/ 263f/
33i Injection 21-35e/ 132f/
5.000 JOOX Irrigation 21-35e/ 150f/
225, OOd 100X Injection 177 e/ 1,271
62.500 lOi Injection • 32 e/ 258
90X Irrigation 32 e/ 2,320
12.000 100X Injection 7 1,714
21,900 100X Irrigation 20 1,095
154,973 100X Injection 29-84 7.397g/
5,600 100X Injection NA h/ NA 0
.133.000 1007, in ectlon 4l-292e/ 9,655q/
130. 000 ,[/ 100* Injection 233 HA '
03.0001./IOOX Injection 117 709
6./ 3p/
250 100X Injection 250 p/ lp/
600 100X Injection 2 300
9,000 lOOt Irrlgat lonq/ 20 450
71,000 100X 1 rr 1 / 0
2.5p/ Ip/ 0
2 300 0
1.5 ' 450 0
1.5 1.100 0
0. 02S/200.000 0
0.02s/. 50,000 0
'0:02s/TOO.OOO 0
0.02s/ 25.000 0
NA 5,000u/ 0
1.271
258
2,320
1,714
1,095
zuyiz
•^TTCS
709
7,363
/ 22
199
3
1
300
450
1,108 .
200,000
50.000
100,000
25,000
5 ,000
6/
Jlrs/
Year/
Person
100 tJ/
14-23
4-6
14-23
29
6
21
2
13
5-14
^•f-2
90 ~
7-47
200 m/
20 ~
40
100
1
13
43
10
10
10
10
 Ornamentals       		
TJ Apricots, cherries,  flgSj "walnuts,
Berries are omitted, since the amount
2/-Based on EPA-USDA Dencftts
3/ From 19/4 Census of
                                      bananas, blackberries, blueberries, dewberrles and  logan-
                                      of OUCP applied to these registered crops  Is•neglIglble.
                              Analysis, 1978, unless otherwise noted.
                       Agriculture, Department of Commerce, unless otherwise noted.
3/ Calculated by dividing average farm s-tze Into acres treated by method of application.
5/ For sol! Injection, figures are calculated using the equation: Acres/hr • [Tractor speed (mph)
tool or row width (ft) X 5.200 fl/mtle X 82.5X effIcIencyJ/43^00 square feet per  acre.
                  TracU>r speed
                     2-J mph
                       3
                     4.5
                     5
                         mph
                         mph
                         mph
Row width
•~!fl-TS"fl
 20
   ,3
TTor 1 il a TI t r u s
Calif, citrus
Cotton, soybeans
Golf fairways
Calif, grapes        3-5 mph
Calif, vegetables    4   mph
Other vegetables     2   mph
Eastern peaches  (estimated to be 2-4 A/hr)
   Irrigation for citrus, grapes, peaches and
13.
 6
12
 6.6
 6.7
ft.
ft.
ft.
ft.
ft.
ft.
   Source
  15rDannon,
   Johnson. 1970c
   Zygadlo, 1970
   Broome. 1970
   Johnson, 197Ub
   Johnson, 1978d
   Zytjadlo, 1970
   Zehr. 197U
plums was estimated
                                                                 to be 1-2 A/hr based on average
pipe dldinulL-r. field size and flow rates (Amadore, 1970; Johnson, 1978b).
6/ Calculated by dlvldIng* acres treated per lir. Into avg. farm size, unless-otherw!se noted. One
Treatment per year Is assumed.
7/ Includes annuals listed In Table 6, excluding cotton, peanuts and soybeans.
O/ Includes raspberries and boysetiberr les.

-------
                          Notes to Table 11

A small group of growers apply all OBCP used  in Texas  (Amadore,  1978).
10,000 acres/20 persons/1.5 acre/hr = 333 hrs.
p'Bannon, 1S78.
3,000 acres/10 persons/3 acres/hr = 100 hrs.
Derived from Doane Survey, 1975, by dividing  growers  into  acres  grown
state.
In California and Arizona, grapefruit = 7% and other  citrus  =  93%  of acres
wn in those states. Average farm sizes for those crops  are 21  and  35 acres,
oectively (Doane Survey, 1975). Thus, for California,  (.07 X 13,200)/21  +
3 X 13,200)/35 = 395 growers. For application by irrigation,  .66 X 395 =
; 'for injection, .33 X 395 - 132. The same method yields the number of
wars in Arizona.
Because of the broad range of farm sizes among different states, the number
farms treated was determined by summing the acres treated  per  state divided
the average farm size per state.
Not available.
Williams, 1978.
Johnson, 1978b.
138,000 acres/200 persons/3 acres/hr = 233 hr;
The USDA/EPA Cooperative Assessment estimates 375,000  acres  of vegetables
 treated in the U.S. Subtracting the acres treated  in  California (133,000),
 237,000 acres remaining may be divided between Florida and  the  Other states
follows. In 1974, Other States (excluding California)  planted  375,000 acres,
le Florida planted 214,000 A, fop'a sum of 589,000  acres.  If Other States
resent 65% of this sum and Florida represents 35%,  then the  treated
es in Other States are (.65 X 237,000) = 154,000 A, and the  treated acres
Florida are (.35 X 237,000) = 83,000 A.
Figures for custom application are derived as follows: Approximately 10
•sons in Florida apply DBCP for an average of 200 hours  per person  per year
:ssell, 1978).  Only one custom applicator is  located  in Georgia  (Lambert,
8).  Eleven persons working 200 hours per year at 3 A/hr.  can  cover 6,600
es.
Russell, 1978.
Figures for application by golf course owners are derived  as follows:
-es treated: 900 (TX) + 3,500 (SC) + 7,500 (FL) = 11,900 acres.
:xas—15 courses x 60 A/course. = 900 A (Walla, 1978) South  Carolina—3,500
treated (Miller, 1978a).
orida—The USDA/EPA Cooperative Assessment estimates that  13,500 A were.  •,.
ated. Subtracting 6,000 A applied by custom applicators, 7,500 must be
lied by owners.
iber of courses treated: Per above figures, 15 (TX) +  59 (SC) + 125 (FL)  -
 courses treated.
(Puffinberger, 1978.
Johnson, 197Sa.
derived from USDA/EPA Cooperative Assessment, 11/7/77.
Based on EPA experimental data for drench and in-furrow applications of
P (Hansen _e_t _al_._, 1977).
Assumes 5% of 2,500,000 lawns in Florida are treated,  with an  average
e of 0.25 A (Florida Turfgrass Survey, 1974).
EPA estimate based on ROC's with knowledgeable persons  in  FL,  SC and GA-
okes, 1973; Miller, 1978; Moody, 1978).  It is assumed that  one  ten-hour
 per year per person is spent applying DBCP.

-------
Table 12.   Estimated Food Residues.of  DBCP  in  Commercial  Crops
Food
Crops
Annuals:
Broccol i
Brussel
Sprout
Cabbage
Carrot
Caul i f 1 ower
Celery
Cottonseed
Cucumber
Eggplant
Endi ve
Lettuce
Lima bean
Melon
Okra
Parsnip
Peanut (meat)
Pepper
Radish
Snap bean
Southern pea
Soybea n
Squash
Tomato
Turnip
Perenni a 1 s :
Almond
Apri cot
Banana
Blackberry
Bl ueberry
" Boysenberry
Cherries
Citrus
Dewberry
Fig
Grape
Loganberry
Nectari ne
Peach
Pineappl e
PI urn
Raspberry
Strawberry
Strawberry 6/
Walnut

!/
Est imated
Range of
Residues
(ppm)

<0. 01-0. 15

<0. 01-0. 15
<0. 01-0. 15
<0.01-1.5
<0. 01-0. 08
<0. 01-0. 15
0
<0. 01-0. 05
<0. 01-0. 05
<0. 01-0. 15
<0. 01-0. 15
0-
<0. 01-0. 05
0
<0. 01-0. 80
<0. 01-0. 15
<0. 01-0. 05
<0. 01-0. 34
0
0
0
<0. 01-0. 05
<0. 01-0. 05

-------
             Table 13. lexicological Test Results for DBCP .
Test
Acute oral
LD-50



•



Skin Irri-
tation
Eye Irri-
tation
Acute dermal
Dose Levels
and Duration
DNS*
DNS
DNS
DNS
DNS
DNS
DNS
DNS
DNS
Species
Rat
Rat
Rat
Rat
Rabbit
Guinea Pig
Guinea Pig
Chicken
Mallard
duckling
0.5 ml undiluted Rabbit
DBCP, 20 applications
1.0% DBCP in
propylene glycol
Undiluted DBCP,
for 24 hr
Rabbit
Rabbit
Rabbit
Sex
and number
M
M/F
F
M/F
M/F
M
M/F
unsorted
M/F
4 animals
.not given
not given
Results
170-300 mg/kg
350 mg/kg
260-410 mg/kg
380 mg/kg
180 mg/kg
210 mg/kg
316 mg/kg
60 mg/kg
66.8 mg/kg :
Source
Torkelson 1961
Rakhmatullayev
Torkelson 1961
Rakhmatullayev
Torkelson 1961
Torkelson 1961
Rakhmatullayev
Torkelson 1961
Tucker and
Crabtree 1970

1969

1969


1969


No erythema on intact Torkelson 1961
skin; slight erythema
on abraded skin; micro-
scopic effects more
severe.
Slight irritation of
the conjunctiva and i
. LD-50 = 1400 mg/kg
Torkelson 1961
ris.
Torkelson 1961


* DNS = doses not specified

-------
             Table 13- (Continued)

             Dose Levels
                                Sex
Test
Subacute
dermal
and Duration
'.
0.25 g DBCP,
10 24 hr applica-
tions
Species
Rabbit
and
. not
number
given
Results
Slight hypereraia and
scaliness
Source
Torkelson
1961
Acute inhal- DNS
 ation
Repeated
inhalation
8 hr exposure
4 hr exposure
2 hr exposure
1 hr exposure

0, 5, 10, 20 and
40 ppm;  50 expo-
sures over 7 wk
             0 and 12 ppra;
             66 exposures
             over 70-92 days
             0 and 12 ppm;
             66 exposures
             over 70-92 days
                     Rats
            M
Rats
 15 M per
dose group
                     Rats    20 M, 20 F
                    Rabbits    3M, 3F
                                        Torkelson 1961
Eye and respiratory
irritation seen at
60 ppm; kidneys
permanently scarred
at 50 ppm.
LC-50 = 103 ppm
LC-50 = 154 ppm
LC-50 = 232 ppm
LC-50 r 368 ppm
Gross lesions in lungs,    Torkelson 1961
intestinal mucosa, kidneys
and testes at 10, 20 and
40 ppm. Testes atrophied
at 20 and 40 ppm. testic-
ular weight reduced in
some males at 5 ppm.

Lung weights significantly Torkelson 1961
greater than controls at
12 ppm; marked pathological
changes occurred in testi-
cles

Severe atrophy and degen-  Torkelson 1961
eration of testes at 12 ppm

-------
         Table 13.  (Cont'd)
Teat
Dose Levels
and Duration
                   Species
  Sex
and number  Results
                                                                                    Source
12 ppm; 66 ex-      G. Pig
posures over
70-92 days

12 ppm; 50 and      Monkey
60 exposures
over 70-92 days
                              10M •»- 10F   Severe atrophy and
                                          degeneration of testes
                                          at 12 ppm.
                                          2F
                                          Developed severe
                                          secondary infections;
                                          aplastic anemia evident
                                                                             Torkelson 1961
                                       Torkelson 1961
Intramua-    25 mg/kg for 3
cular injec. days, repeated

Sub-chronic  0, 5, 20, 50,
Ingestion    150 450 and 1350
             ppm in diet for
             90 days
         70, 35 and 17-5
         mg/kg perorally
         for 10 weeks
         0, 0.005, 0.05,
         0.5 and 5.0 ppm
         for 8 months
                              Rat
                              Rat
                               5M + 5F
                                        per dose
                     Rat
 10M/dose
                    Rat
 7M/dose
            No significant hemato-
            logic changes

            Weight gain retarded
            at 150 ppm for F, and
            at >^50 ppm for M and F.
            Minimal cloudy swilling
            in 5 male livers and in
            several F kidneys.
                                          High dose produced
                                          necrotic changes in the
                                          parenchymatous organs
                                          and testes; other doses
                                          disturbed blood cell counts,
                                          liver function and nucleic acids.
                                                                     Torkelson 1961


                                                                     Torkelson 1961
                                                                                  Rakhmatullayev
                                                                                  1970
                                                                     Rakhmatullayev
                                                                     1970
                                                       Adverse effects on testes
                                                       at 5 mg/kg, diminished
                                                       fertility at 0.5 mg/kg
                                                       and no testicular effect at
                                                       .05 mg/kg. Kidneys, liver, reflexes
                                                       and blood disturbed at dose as low
                                                       as 0.05 mg/kg.

-------
         Table 13- (Cont'd)
         Dose Levels
Test     and Duration
             Sex
Species    and number  Results
Source
Acute 100 ppra; 72 hr.
aquatic
32-180 ppra; 24 hr
48 hr
96 hr
0.25, 0.50, 1,
2.5, 5 and 10 ppm;
DNS; 24 hr
48 hr
DNS; 24 hr
48 hr o
DNS; 48 hr at 22 C
10, 20, 30, 40,
60, 80 and 100
ppra; 72 hr
0, 6.5, 7.5, 10.0,
12.0 and 14.0 ppm
Redeared 20 fish No toxic effect
sunfish per dose
Rainbow - LC-50 = 115.00 ppm
trout LC-50 = 85.00 ppra
LC-50 = 36.50 ppm
Clam - Larvae survival was
14£ at 1 ppm and
<1$ at 2.5 ppm
Bass 20 fish TLm = 30-50 ppm
per dose TLm = 20 ppm
Bluegill 20 fish TLm = 50-125 ppm
per dose TLm = 20 ppm
. I. exustus - TLm = 57 ppra
S. libertina TLm = 50 ppm
C. malleata • TLm = 53 ppm
P. acuta TLm = 24 ppm
Tall freshwater snails)
Lake emer- 5 fish Toxic effects at
aid shiners per dose .20 ppm; LC-100 =
60 ppm.
Pink Shrimp 5 shrimp 96 hr LC-50 = 12.7
per dose ppm
McCann, 1970
McCann, 1977
Davis and Hidu
1969
Davis and Hard-
castle 1959
Davis and Hard-
Castle 1959
Nishiuchi and
Yoshida 1972
Alexander 1973
Heitmuller 1974
         for 24, 48 and 96 hr

-------
 Table 13. (Cont'd)
Dose Levels
Test and Duration
Mutagenicity

Species
E.

coli

Strain
po1
po1
A,-,
V
Results
DBCP
of E.
which
blocked
coli po
ind
1
icat
growth
V'
es ef-
Source
Rosenkranz,

1975
                   Salmonella  TA1530,
                   typhimureum TA153&
                   Salmonella  TA100,
                   typhimureum TA1535,
                               TA153&
feet on cellular DNA.

DDCP was mutagenic
for TA1530 and not
TA1538, which indi-
cates it induced
base-substitution
mutations, but not
frameshift mutations.

DBCP was mutagenic
for TA1535, which
indicates it induced
base-pair substitu-
tion mutations.
Rosenkranz, 1975
Prival, 1977

-------
se
IHRUS
DTTON
[RAPES
PMCHES/NECTARINES
»INEAPPLE
SOYBEAN
P'llNUT
COMMERCIAL VEGE-
TABLES, MELONS AND
SHUW BERRIES - .
Wffi GARDENS
STRAWBERRY
NURSERY STOCK
AWONDS
APRICOTS, CHERRIES,
FIG AND WALNUTS
BHNANAS
OTHER VINE BERRIES
PLUMS
HOME LAWNS
COMMERCIAL TUrtF
ORNAMENTALS
TOTALS:
Table 14. DBCP Use Patterns
Pounds Acres Percent of
. per Year Treated/Yr. Crop Treated
1,292,000
2,700,000
3,200,000
1,823,000
302,000
12,378,000
3,195,000
3,392,000
<200,000
16,000
3,417,000
Neglig.
Neglig .
92,000
452,000
<200,000
550,000
Unknown
33,000,000
31,000
225,000
83,000
42,000
5,000
1,133,000
374,000
71,000
Not avail.
600
71,000
Neglig.
Neglig .
600
9,000
31,250
18,500
Unknown
2,330,000
7.9
2.0
31.0
44.0
46.0
2.1
23.0
<0.1-95
Not avail.
10
54.0
<0.1
<0.1
<0.1 to
0.6
69.9
5. «
Unknown
Unknown
	 *
Application
Cvcle
Once/3 yrs.
Annually
Once/ 3 yrs.
Once/3 yrs.
Once/2-3 yrs.
Annually
Annually
Annually
Annually
Annually
Once/3 yrs.
	
-_. — — —
%
Once/ 3 yrs.
Once/3 yrs.
Once/2 yrs.
Once/ 2 yrs.
Once/2 yrs.
	
Source:  Benefits Analysis and Cooperative Assessment

-------
           TABLE 15.  IMPACTS OF REGULATOR* OPTIONS FOR EBCP TOR CITRUS  IN CALIFORNIA, TEXAS,  FLORICA AND ARIZONA.
DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS RISKS FROM
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
nrx/rES OF
ROXSURE
Inhalation
and dermal
(593 appli-
cators)
SUBSTITUTES ECONOMIC IMPACTS
RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN GROWERS
FY>r cancer risk, see None
Tables 3 and 4 for specific
risk estimates. There is
also a risk of decreased
sjxitm count; this risk cannot
'oe quant if icd.
Noi KJ Ni jna Lode
control
continues
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable
continue for
appllciitors.
risks
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load? Doots and Gloves
During Application,
For mixing and loading, dermal risks    None
are reduced nearly 100% and inhalation
risk is reduced by factor of 50
(i.e., 90%). Risk during applica-
tion continues.
                  None
              $175 per person
              for protective
              equipment.
                               Grower compliance  is
                               likely.
3. <2 plus: Rf.'.spira--
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.
4. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
Additionally, risk during
irrigation application and from
reentry after irrigation are reduced
by factors of at least 50 and 6,
res[iectively.	
None
None
Additionally, risks during all other
application neUxxls and from reentry
after tliese methods are reduced by
factors o£ at least 50 and 13, respec-
tively	_____
None
None
5. 14 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrigation
Additionally, rir.ks fron
irrigation are eliminated, but
growers switching to injection
would be exposed to the same
risks as in fl4.
None
None
6. Cancel
   Registrations
Ail DBCP risks are eliminated.
No substitutes available.
 Impacts on growers uncertain. If all growers using
 irrigation switched to injection, their application
 costs would total $190,000-$fi30,000 per 3 yra. on
 2.1,700 acres, or S265-S1160 per gtxiwur. Most grow-
 ers would probably stop using tJJQ5, since  injection
 drtnvYjes roots and disrupts no~tiil weed progrcinn.
 If all growers stopped using DIG', the  Impact wuuld
 tie the equivalent of cancellation for__Uiem_ ('$21  M).
"$27,000,000" [vrjr  Up to 5%     With" no'n^i-plant
 3 yr. cycle.     price        ivmaticide, the slort
 Grcwe lite is    inct^ease     anl Icntj  term impacts
 styjft.ened frfjni                of cancellinfj
 60 to 30-40 yrs.              are severe.

-------
            TABLE 16.   IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR OBCP ON COTTON.
                       OBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
                                         RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
                                   ECONOMIC IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None
and dermal Tables 3 and 4 for specific
(1,271 appli- risk estimates. There is
HUMAN
None
GROWERS
Nematode
control
continues
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRAOE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
JTTRestricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During d,PP_l_l£a.LLorL:	
TT72 p~1us: Respfra-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.

TT~/2 plus: Resplra-
lor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.

5. 14 plus: Prohibit
ApplIcatlon by
Irrigation
                       cators)       also .» risk of decreased
                                     sperm count;  this risk cannot
                                     be qtvntifled.
6. Cancel
   Registrations
 For mixing and loading,  dermal  risk Is  None
 reduced nearly 100% and  Inhalation
 risks reduced by factor  of 50
 (I.e., 98%).   Risks during appll-
 catUin continue.	
"Wd" i t Ton a TTy, ""file  during         :      None
 Irrigation application and from
 reentry after Irrigation are reduced
 by factors of at least 50 and 6,
jres|>ect_i_ye1y_.	         	    _
 AUdMTTonaTTy, risks during              Rone"
 application and from reentry
 after application are reduced
 by factors of at least 50 and 13,
 respectively.
                  None
              $175 per person
              for protective
              equipment.
•....i-Grower compliance is
    ,,likely.
                  None
                  None
 Add it tonally,  potential  risks from
 Irrigation are eliminated,  but
 growers applying by Injection
 would  be exposed to the  same
 risks  as In "04.
None
None
 All  DBCP risks are eliminated:
No environmental risks are
known, but some chronic
hazards from 00, EOB and Telone
ex'ut (see Table 5). The pounds
of these that would be applied
are. respectively, 9,200,000
950,000 and 4,300,000 , which
represent 130%, 131 and 62%
of trhe amounts of these chemi-
cals produced in 1974 or 1975.
              $2,600,000 perNegligibleThe risks of DBCP
              year to use                   would be replaced
              substitutes.                  with risks from
              This cost 1s <0.1X , ...%        the substitute
              of the value       ••*:-'•      -chemicals.
              However, the average costs
              to each of 1,271 affected growers
              would be $2,000 .per year.

-------
            TABLE  17.   IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON GRAPES IN CALIFORNIA.
 REGULATORY
 ALTERNATIVES
 OBCPJISKS TO HUMANS
 ROUTESTF
                                                               RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
                                                             ECONOMIC IMPACTS
 EXPOSURE
1. Continued
   Registration
 RISKS	
Tor cancer risk,  see
ENVIRONMENTAL
HUMAN
GROWERS
CONSUMERS
 2. Restricted Use;
 Clothing and Respira-
 tor  during Mix and
 Load; Boots and Gloves
 Ou r 1 ng Application.
TT72 plus: Resplra-
'tor  and Reentry
 Interval for Irri-
 gation Application.

 4. T2 pi usTResp I ra-
 tor  and Reentry
 Interval for All
 Afifi!teat Ion Methods.
 5. H\ plus: Prohibit
 Appllea IIon by
 Irrigation
 Inhalation    For cancer risk,  see      None
 and dermal    Tables 3 and 4 for specific
 (2,578 appll- risk estimates.  There Is
 cators)       also a risk of decreased
               sperm count: this risk  cannot
               be quai.-.lfled.
                  None
              Nematoae
              control
              continues
                 Current
                 prices
                 continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
   AND TRADE-OFFS'
UnreasonabTe risks
continue for
applicators.
 For mixing ana loading,  dermal  risks     None
 are reduced nearly 100%, and Inhalation
 risks reduced by factor  of 50
 (I.e., 98%).   Risks during appl1-
_cdtlon contlnue.	
 Additionally, risks during              None
 Irrigation application and
 from reentry after Irrigation
 are reduced by factors of at
_least 50 and 6,  respectively.    	r———
 Addrffoniny, risks during all  other     None
 application methods and  from reentry
 after these methods are  reduced by
 factors of at least 50 and 13.  respectively.
 AddkionalTy, risks from                None
 irrigation are eliminated, but
 growers Switching to injection
 would be exposed to the  same
 risks as In i<\.
                                            None
                                J1T5 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                                            Grower compliance Is
                                            likely.
                                            None
                                            None
                                            None
0. Cancel
   Registrations
 AIT DBCP risks are eliminated.
                           No  substitutes  available.
                                Impacts on growers uncertain.  If all  2,320 growers
                                who Irrigate switched to Injection,  their applica-
                                tion costs would total  $59<1.000-$2,600,000 per 3
                                yrs. on 74,300 acres, or $256-$1120  per grower per
                                3 yr. cycle. Although soil  Injection can cause
                                some root  damage, nost  growers would probably
                                use It, since OUCP Is necessary for  economic
                                production. However,  If all  growers  who irrigate
                                stopped using UUCP, the impact would be the equi-
                               _v£\en_t _of  cancel 1 at ion  for  t hum (.*158-5_I-1J^_ 	
                                $65,0"00,OdO per~ Up to  5T     WHh no'post-pTant
                                3 yr. cycle.     price         numatidde, the short
                                Vineyard life 1s Increase     and long term Impacts
                                shortened  from   .             of cancelling UBCP
                                30-60 to 10-15 yrs.           are severe.

-------
            TABLE 18.  IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR OBCP ON PEACHES AND NECTARINES IN CALIFORNIA AND EASTERN UNITED STATES."
                       DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
                                         RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
                                                             ECONOMIC IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
 ROUTES OF
 EXPOSURE
TilSKS
1. Continued
   Registration
 InhalationFor cancer risk, seeRone
 and dermal    Tables 3 and 4 for specific
 (1,714 appll- risk estimates.  There Is
 cators)       also a risk of decreased
               sperm count; this risk cannot
 	     	be quantified.
 For mixing and loading, dermal risks
ENVIRONMENTAL
HUMAN
                                           "Rone
                                                                                               GROWERS
CONSUMERS
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
   AND.TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applIcators.
                                Nematode
                                control
                                continues
                               Current
                               prices
                               continue
Z. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Goots and Gloves
During Application.
~3. |2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.
                                                              "None
                                            None
4702 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
ApplIcatlon Methods.
?. l4~lilus: Prohibit
ApplIcatlon by
Irrigation
 are reduced nearly 100X, and Inhalation
 risks reduced by factor of 50
 (I.e., 98X).  Risks during appli-
 ca tIon continue.	
  iddltfonally, risks during              None
 Irrigation application and
 from reentry after Irrigation
 are reduced by factors of at
 least SO and 6. respectively.	
"AddltlonTny, risks during all  other    None
 application methods and from reentry
 after these methods are reduced by
 factors of at least SO and 13.  respectively.
"Addit tonally, risks from                Rone"
 Irrigation are eliminated, but
 growers switching to Injection
 would be exposed to the same
 risks as In 14.
                               •J175 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                                            Grower compliance Is
                                            likely.
                                                                                 None
                                            None
                                            None
0. Cancel
   Registrations
 All  DBCP risks are eliminated.
                          No substitutes available.
                                Impacts on growers uncertafrv.if all 1,095 growers
                                who Irrigate switched to Injection, their applica-
                                tion costs would total $175,000-$767.000 per 3
                                yrs. on 21,900 acres, or $160-700 per grower per
                                3 yr. cycle. Although soil  Injection can cause
                                some root damage, most growers would probably
                                use It, since DUCP Is necessary for economic
                                production. However, If all growers who Irrigate
                                stopped using OfiCP. the. Impact would be the equl-
                                valjMit of cancel latlon for them ("i$2M.
                               Ifi0,672.0'0tl per  Up to 25i    WTtTi no
                                3 yr. cycle.     price
                                Grove life 1s    'Increases
                                shortened from
                                1Z-13 to 6-7 yrs.
                                                                                                       noindtlclde, the short
                                                                                                       and lony term Impacts
                                                                                                       of cancelling DUCP
                                                                                                       are severe.

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             TABLE 19. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR OBCP ON PEANUTS IN TEXAS,  OKLAHOMA AND  THE  SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES*.
                       DBCP RISKS TO HUMAVS
                                                               RISKS  FROM  SUBSTITUTES
                                                                           ECONOMIC  IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
T. Continued
Registration
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During Application.
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS
ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None Hone
and dermal tables 2,3 i 4 for specific
(593 appll- risk estimates. There Is
cators) and also a risk of decreased
Ingestlon by sperm count;' this risk
U.S population, cannot be quantified.
For mixing and loading, dermal risk
are reduced nearly 1001 and inhalation
risks are reduced by factor of 50
(I.e.. 98X). Risks during applica-
tion continue.
None None
GROWERS
Nematode
control
continues
J175 per person
for protective
equipment.
•
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue

DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AMD TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators and tha
general population.
Grower compliance Is
likely.
TTV2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Iprl-
SiLJ °JL Appl Icatl on.
4. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Al1
Application Methods.
                                                               NOT APPLICABLE
                       Additionally,  risks  during
                       application and  from reentry
                       after application  are reduced
                       by factors  of  at least 50 and  13,
                       respectively.	
                                        None
                                                                             None
5. 14 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrlyatlon
                                                               NOT APPLICABLE
Irrigate
6. Cance
   Cancel
   Registrations
All risks are eliminated.
                                                            Wildlife  losses can  occur
                                                            from  use  of  furadan, dasanit,
                                                            mocap and nemacur. Chronic
                                                            hazards for  humans exist from
                                                            DO, EOB and  Telone (Table 51.
                                                            Some  of the  substitutes would
                                                            be applied In  large  amounts
   	^_^	                   (see  Tiible_£).	
This crop has been unconditionally suspended In the Administrator ^Suspension Order of October 27,19777
I 6,800,000/yr   None
Greatest Impacts
would occur In
Oklahoma and Texas, where
It would no longer be profit-
able for 10% of the growers
to grow peanuts.
Risks ofDBCP may be
replaced by signifi-
cant human and envi-
ronmental hazards.
In the long term.
 about 610 fanners
 may be forced to
 grow pther crops.	

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             TABLE 20. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON PINEAPPLES IN HAWAII
                       DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
                                         RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
                                   ECONOMIC IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
2. Restricted Use;
riothlng and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During appl (cat Ion.
3. 12 plus: Resplra-
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS ' f NVIROMMENTAL HUMAN
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None None '
and dermal Tables 3 and 4 for specific
(76 appl I- risk estimates. There Is
cators) also a risk of decreased
sperm count; this risk cannot
be quantified.
For mixing and loading, dermal risk Is None None
reduced nearly 100X and Inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(I.e.. 981). Risks during appli-
cation continue.
HOT APPLICABLE
GROWERS
Nematode
control
continues
$175 per person
for protective
equipment.

CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue


DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
Grower compliance is
likely.

tor and Reentry
Interval for Irrl-
f at Ion Appl Icatlon.
 7~?2~l>1us: ReipTra-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Appl Icatlon Methods.
I. 14 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irr1ga tIon	
"Additionally,  risks during
 application and from reentry
 after application are reduced
 by factors of  at least 50 and 13,
 respectively.	
None
None
                                         NOT APPLICABLE
6. Cancel
   Registrations
 All  DBCP risks are eliminated.
There are no known environmen-
tal risks, but several chronic
hazards are associated with
the only substitute, EDB
(see Table 5). 720,000 pounds
would be applied; this quantity
Is 10X of the amount produced in 1975.
              }6.200,000 per  Up to 9%
              year beginning  price
              on the third    increase
              year.
The risks of DBCP
would be replaced
with risks from EOB.

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             TABLE 21. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON SOYBEANS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
DBCP RISKS
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE
Inhalation
and dermal
(9.655 appl
TO HUMANS RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL
For cancer risk, see None
Tables 3 and 4 for specific
1- risk estimates. There Is
HUMAN
None
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS
Nematode
control
continues
01
CONSUMERS
Current Ur
prices c(
continue a|
?. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During application.
3. f2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation ApplIcatlon.
T7T2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Appl1ca11 on Methods.
                       cators)       also a risk of decreased
                                     sperm count; this risk cannot
                                     be quantified.
                                                                                                                             DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
                                                                                                                                AND TRADE-OFFS ^
                                                                                                                             Unreasonable risks
                                                                                                                             continue for
                                                                                                                             applicators.
For mixing andloadlng, dermal  risk is
reduced nearly 100% and Inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(I.e.. 901).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
None
None
$175 per person
for protective
equipment.
Grower compliance
likely.
Is
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
Additionally, risks during      ~
application and from reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at loast 50 and 13,
respectively.	
None
None
57T4 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrjj a H on	
6. Cancel
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
All risks are eliminated.
   Registrations
Wildlife losses can occur
from use of nemacur (see
Table 5). There are chronic
hazards for humans from
DO, tDB and Telone (Table 5),
Unusually large amounts of
of each substitute would be
applled (see Table 9).
              $23,500,000/yr   Negllg.
              This is 
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             TABLE 22. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON  COMMERCIAL VEGETABLES, HELONS AND STRAWBERRIES NATIONWIDE*
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During Application.
3. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irrl-
?atlon Appl icatlon.
. f2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry '
Interval for All
Application Methods.
DBCP RISKS TO HUMAHS
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS
RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None None
and dennal tables 2,3 S 4 for specific
(0,272 appll- risk estimates. There Is
cators) and also a risk of decreased :
Ingestion by sperm count; this risk
U.S population, cannot be quantified.
For mixing and loading, dermal risk
are reduced nearly 100% and Inhalation
risks are reduced by factor of 50
(I.e., 911%). Risks during applica-
tion continue.

Additionally, risks during
application and from reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at least 50 and 13,
respectively.
None • None
NOT APPLICABLE
None None
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS CONSUMERS
Nematode Current
control prices
continues continue
$175 per person "
for protective
equipment.

• tt
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators and the
general population.
Grower compliance Is
likely.

9 it
5. 14 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrigation	
NOT APPLICABLE
6. Cancel
   Registrations
                                                              Risks of OBCP may be
                                                              replaced by signifi-
                                                              cant  human and envi-
                                                              ronmental  hazards.
                       All risks are eliminated.                There  are  chronic  hazards'       $14,500,000/yr   None
                                                               for  humans from 00,  EOB  and      Greatest  Impacts
                                     '                          Telone and Vorlex  (see Table     would  occur  In
                                                               5).  The pounds of  these  that     tomatoes  and watermelons.
                                                               would  be applied are, respectively,  8,100 growers  are
                                                               13.000.000;  3.000.000; 5,000,000;    affected.
                                                               and  2,400,000. which represent
                                                               1BU,  41%, 72% and 120%  of the
                                                               amounts of these chemicals
                	    • 	        	    prnduci-d In 1974 or  1075.                              .._^-^.	
*/ 19 of.23 of these crops have been unconditionally suspended  i>y Uic AdministratoPs Suspension Order of October  27, 1977.  The  four crops
In which no DBCP residues are expected are lima  beans,  okra,  snap beans and southern peas.

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          TABLE 23. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON COMMERCIAL  TURF  (GOLF COURSES IN FLORIDA, TEXAS, SOUTH CAROLINA .AND GEORGIA)
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS RISKS
FROM SUBSTITUTES
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN .
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None
and dermal Tables 3 and 4 for specific
(309 appll- risk estimates. There is
cators) also a risk of decreased
sperm count; this risk cannot
be quantified.
None
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS CONSUMERS
Nematode Current
control prices
continues continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
TTRestrkted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During appl Icatlon.
TTlFplus:
For mixing and loading, dermal  risk  is   None
reduced nearly 100% and Inhalation
risks reduced'by factor of 50
(i.e., 90X).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
                  None
              TD5 per person
              for protective
              equipment.
Grower compliance Is
likely.
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
tor and Reentry
Interval for Ir.rl-
gat.1 on Appl Icatlon.
4. |2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
1. f4 plus: Prohibit
ApplIcatlon by
Irrlgatlon	
6. Cancel
Additionally, risks dunng
application and *rom reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at least SO and 13,
respectively.	
None
None
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
    risks are eliminated.
   Registrations
Wildlife losses can occur
from use of nemacur and
mocap (see Table 5). The
pounds of these applied are
130,000 and 230,000 pounds,
respectively.
              $2,200,000 to    None
              $5,600,000 per
              year from the
              higher cost of
              the substitutes.
              For 310 golf courses,
              the costs would be
              $/.100-$18.100/yr.
Risks of OBCP may be
replaced by some
wildlife hazard.

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TABLE 24. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON STRAWBERRY NURSERY STOCK IN DELAWARE AND MARYLAND'
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
7. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During appl (cation.
3. tl plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Appl iciit ion.
4. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
5. 14 plus: Prohibit
Appl (cation by
Irriyat ion
6. Cancel
Registrations
DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE RISKS
RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
Inhalation For cancer risk, see None None
and dermal Tables 3 and 4 for specific
(4 appli- risk estimates. There Is
cators) also a risk of decreased
spenn count; this risk cannot
be quantified.
For mixing and loading, dermal risk is
reduced nearly 100% and inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(I.e., 98%). Risks during appli-
cation continue.

Additionally, risks during
application and from reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at least 50 and 13,
respectively.

All DBCP risks are eliminated.
None None
NOT APPLICABLE
None None
NOT APPLICABLE
No substitutes available.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS
Neinatode
control
continues
$175 per person
for protective
equipment.

H

$1,500,000 to
$5,600,000 per
year,
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue
H

m

Op to 18X
price
Increase
1n the East.
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
Grower compliance is
likely.

II H

Some growers could
possibly be forced
out of production.

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             TABLE 25. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON OTHER BERRIESMN WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA
                                                               RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
   Registration
 DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS	
 WfETOT
 EXPOSURE      RISKS	ENVIRONMENTAL
 Ifihalation    There is a potential       None
 and dermal    risk of cancer If OBCP 1s
 (only  appll- applied.  There is also
 cators)       a potential  risk of decreased
                                                                            ECONOMIC IMPACTS.
                                                           HUMAN
                                                           None
              GROWERS
CONSUMERS
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
   AND TRADE-OFFS
^Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During applteat Ion.
TT~I2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.
                                     sperm count; this risk cannot
                                     be quantified.
              Since there Is little or
              no use of DBCP on these
              berries, no one realizes
              an economic benefit from
              DBCP.
             Unreasonable risks.
             could occur for
             applicators.If
             OBCP were used.
 For mixing and loading,  dermal  risk  is   None
 reduced nearly 100% and  Inhalation
 risks reduced by factor  of 50
 (i.e.,  98%).   Risks during appll-
 c a11 on  wouId  contInue.if ODCP were used.
"ScTditlonaTly, rfsk  during               None
 irrigation application and from
 reentry after irrigation would  be
 reduced by factors  of at least  50
47 12 plus: Resplra-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.

5. 14 pTuTTTrohlbit
Application by
Irrigation
6. Cancel
   Registrations
                                                           None
              $175 per person
              for protective
              equipment.
             Grower compliance
             would be likely.
                                                           None
 an? Ai  respectively.
~A~d"3It tonally,  rTsk's t
                     during              None
 application and from reentry
 after application would be reduced
 by factors of at least 60 and 13,
 respect I veljY_.	
~K3dftTonally, potential risks from      None
 Irrigation are eliminated, but
 growers applying by injection
 would be  exposed to the same
 risks as  In /4.
 All potential OBCP risks would
 be eliminated.
None
                                                           None
                                         No substitutes  available.
              >1,000,000 In
              production losses
              for boysenberrles
              and raspberries.
  No effect   Cancellation would
  on consumer prevent DBCP use In
  prices.     the future If nema-
 	   todes are problem.
*/  .blackberries, blueberries, dewberries, loganberries, raspberries.

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             TABLE 26. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON PLUMS  IN  CALIFORNIA.
DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS ' RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE
Inhalation
and dermal
(450 appli-
cators)
RISKS ' ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
For cancer risk, see None None
Tables 3 and 4 for specific '
risk estimates. There Is
also a risk of decreased
sperm count: this risk cannot
be quantified.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS .
Nematode
control
continues
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AMD TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During Appl Icat 1 on.
"3772 plus: fies]Hra-
lor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.

4. 12 plus: Resplra-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Apjjl icatlon Methods.
¥. f~4"~pTus: P"r6in,bTt~
ApplIcatlon by
Irrigation
 For mixing and loading,  dermal  risksNone
 are reduced nearly 100X, and  Inhalation
 risks reduced by factor  of  50
 (i.e.. 98%).  Risks during  appli-
 cation continue.	;	_____
"Ad"JitTonaTly, risks durfng               None
 Irrigation application and
 from reentry after Irrigation
 are reduced by factors of at•
 least 50 and 6,  respectively.	
"Additionally, risks during  all  other     Rone"
 application methods and  from  reentry
 after these methods are  reduced by
_factor£j)f at least 50 and  13,  respectively.
 Additionally, risks from                None
 irrigation are eliminated,  but
 growers switching to Injection
 would be exposed to the  same
 risks OS In 14.
                  None
"J175 per person
 for protective
 equipment.
Grower compliance Is
likely.
                  None
                  None
                  None
6. Cancel
   Registrations
 ATTDBCP risks are eliminated.
No substitutes available.
 Impacts on growers uncertain.  If an  450 growers
 who Irrigate switched to injection, their applica-
 tion costs would total  $75.000-$327,OOQ per 3
 yrs. on 9,336 acres,  or $166-1726 per grower per
 3 yr. cycle. Although soil  Injection  can cause '
 some root  damage, most  growers would  probably
 use It, since OBCP is necessary for economic
 production. However,  if all  growers who irrigate
 stopped using DBCP, the Impact would  be the equi-
 valent of  cancellation  fur  them (-S13.8M).	
 $D ,800,00(J per  Up to  2Gi36;Tu7TaTrforn\T~
 3 yr. cycle.     price         acres would go out of
                  Increases     production in 3-5,yrs.

-------
             TABLE 27. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP OH ALMONDS IN CALIFORNIA.
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
I. Continued
OBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
MUTES OF
                                                               RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
                                                                                                  ECONOMIC IMPACTS
EXPOSURE
                                     RISKS
I nha TaTTon    F'or cancer risk, see      None
and dennal    Tables 3 and 4 for specific
(1,108 appll- risk estimates. There Is
cators)       also a risk of decreased
              sperm count: this risk cannot
        _ be quantified.  __
For mixing and loading, dennal risks    None
are reduced nearly 100%, and inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(i.e., 98%).  Risks during appli-
cat ion continue.
ENVIRONMENTAL
HUMAN
GROWERS
CONSUMERS
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
   AND TRADE-OFFS
                                                                                 None
   Registration
                                Nematode         Current      Unreasonable risks
                                control          prices       continue for
                                continues        continue     applicators.
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During Application.
7775 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry .
Interval for Irri-
gation Anolication.

4. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Applicatiun Methods.
STj'l plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrigation
                                                                                 None
                                $1/5 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                                            Grower compliance Is
                                            likely.
                                     risks during              None
                       irrigation application and
                       from reentry after irrigation
                       are reduced by factors of at
                      JjiaAL.^P and 6, respectively.    _
                       Additionally, risks during all  other    None
                       application methods and from reentry
                       after these methods are reduced by
                      jf _ac t ors of at 1e a st 50 and 13.  respectively.
                       Additionally. rfsTs from                None
                       irrigation are eliminated, but
                       growers switching to injection
                       would be exposed to the same
                       risks as in J4.
                                                          None
                                                          None
                                                          None
67 Cancel
   Registrations
All OBCP risks are eliminated.
                                                               No substitutes available.
                                impacts on growers uncertain. If all 1,108 growers
                                who irrigate switched to Injection, their applica-
                                tion costs would total $565.000-$?.808,000 per 3
                                yrs. on 70,000 acres, or $510-$2,606 per grower per
                                3 yr. cycle. Although soil injection can cause
                                some root damage, most growers would probably
                                use it, since OBCP is necessary for economic
                                production. However, if all growers who irrigate
                                stopped using UUCP, Hie Impact would be the equi-
                               _vali.'H j?f cancel 1 at ion for thiiin ('J?H).	
                                i26.502.000" per  Up to 20%   ~18X"of" CahToFnia
                                3 yr. cycle.     price        acres would go out of
                                                 increases    production in 3-5 yrs.

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             TABLE 28. IMPACTS Of REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON HOME GARDENS IN THE SOUTH*
                       OBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
                                         RISKS  FROM  SUBSTITUTES
                                                             ECONOMIC IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
 ROUTES  OF
 EXPOSURE
RISKS
                                                                                        DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
   Continued
   Registration
2. RestrtctedUse;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
DurlnoAjipl icat Ion.	
IT"/2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
tjaMon Aj>|>! icdtlon.
"inhalation     For  cincer 7TsT7 see       None
 and  dermal     tables  2,3 &  4  for  specific
 (250.000  home  risk  estimates.  There  Is
 gardeners) i   also  a  risk of  decreased
 Inyestlons by  sperm count;  this risk
 2,000 jjlOO.	c a nnot_be__<. \arit_i f led.	
Tor  mixing and loa3Fng. JeniidTTTslc      None
 are  reduced nearly  100% and inhalation
 risks  are reduced by  factor of 50
 (I.e.,  981). Risks  during applica-
 tion continue.
ENVIRONMENTAL
HUMAN
GROWERS
CONSUMERS
                                            None
                                Nenidtode         Current      Unreasonable risFs
                                control          prices       continue for home
                                continues        continue     gardeners and others
                                                              wtio eat crops from
                                                              treated gardens.
                                            None
                                $175 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                                           "Grower compliance is
                                             unlikely.
                                         NOTAPPLICABLE
4. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
TTTTplus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrigation
Additionally, risks during        "
application and  from reentry
after  application are reduced
by  factors of at least 60.and 13.
respectively.	
                          None
                  None
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
   Cancel
   Rt-ylst rat Ions
AIT DBCP  risks  are eliminated.
                          No substitutes available.
                                Neglig.
                               Neglig.      Some production de-
                                            creases may occur
                                            for affected home
                              	gardeners.	
"/ 19 0(723 of these crops nave been unconditionally suspended by the Administrator s Suspension Order of October 27, 1977.
In which' no OBCP residues are expected are lima beans, okra, snap beans and southern peas.
                                                                                                      The  four crops

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             Table 29. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON HOME LAWNS IN FLORIDA
                       DBCP RISKS TO HUMANS
                                         RISKS  FROM  SUBSTITUTES
                                                                           ECONOMIC  IMPACTS
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
   Registration
 ROUTES OF
_EXPOSURE	
 InhaTation
 ami dermal
 (125.000
 homeowners)
              RISKb
ENVIRONMENTAL
HUMAN
TTRestricted Use;
tlothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During appllcat ion.	
3. |2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Jrri-
gaUon Appl leal Ion
              For cancer rlsfT. see      None
              Tables 3 and 4 for specific
              risk estimates.  There 1s
              also a risk of decreased
              sperm count; this risk cannot
        	be quant if Ie d.
For mTxTng and  loading,  dermal  risk isNone
reduced nearly  100X and  inhalation
risks reduced by factor  of 50
(i.e., 901).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
                  None
HOMEOWNERS
Nernatode control continues.
                                                                                                      DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
                                           ___
                                            Unreasonable risks
                                            continue for
                                            applicators.
                                                          None
                                $175 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                                            Homeowner compliance
                                            is unlikely.
                                         NOT APPLICABLE
47 tl plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
 Additionally,  risks  during
 application and  from reentry
 after application are reduced
 by factors  of  at least 50 and  13,
 respectively.	_____
                                        None
                  None
57l4 plus: Prohibit
Appl 1 cat km by
Irrigation	
6. Cancel
   Registrations
                                         NOT APPLICABLE
 All  DBCP risks  are  eliminated.
                                        No substitutes  available.
                                An infested lawn will  die     Potential  property
                                after ten years If not treat- value declines may
                                ed.  It will cost $200  to re-, occur for  affected
                                place a lawn with turf plugs, homeowners.
                                Since 5% of the lawns  are af-
                                fected annually, the total
                                impact is $2.750,000 per year,

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             TABLE 30. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON ORNAMENTALS IN FLORIDA, GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
OBCP RISKS TO HUMANS RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE
Inhalation
and derma 1
(5,000
nurserymen).
RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
For cancer risk, see .None None
Tables 3 and 4 for specific
risk estimates. There Is
also a risk of decreased
sperm count; this risk cannot
be quantified.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS
Nematode
control
continues
CONSUMERS
Current
prices
continue
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
continue for
applicators.
T. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
Our j nj_ a ppl 1c at jo n .
3. fl pTus: Resplra-
tor anil Reentry
Interval for Irri-
For mixing and loading, dennal risk Is
reduced nearly 100% and inhalation
risks reduced by factor of bO
(I.e.. 98%).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
None
None
TT75 per person
 for protective
 equi pineal.
Grower compliance Is
likely.
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
       A[i|il I cat ion.
4. /F~plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for AH
Appl Icatlon Methods,
midTtionally, HsKf curing
application and from reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at least 50 and 13,
respectively.	
None
None
5. J4 plus: Prohibit
Application by
Irrigation
6. Cancel
                                        NOOPPLICABLE
All DBCP risks are eliminated.
   Registrations
Some wildlife losses may
occur from use of mocap and
dasanit (see Table 5). The
pounds applied cannot be
estimated.
             Substitutes are  No substitu-
             less effective,  tes regis-
             must be applied  tered for
             more often and   home use.
             cost more. On box-
             woods, Mocap costs
             $8Q5/A/8yrs. while
             DBCP costs only $101/A/8 yrs.
                              Risks of OBCP would be
                              replaced by some wild-
                              life hazard and home-
                              owners would have to
                              hire commercial appli-
                              cators to apply subs-
                              titutes.

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             TABLE 31. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR DBCP ON APRICOTS, CHERRIES, FIGS AND WALNUTS IN CALIFORNIA
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
DBCP RISKS TO
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE
Inhalation
and dermal
(nogl Iglble
nuiiiber of
applicators).
HUMANS RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
RISKS ENVIRONMENTAL HUMAN
Cancer risk exist None None
If DBCP Is applied.
There Is also a risk
of decreased sperm
count; tills risk cannot
be quantified.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS
GROWERS
Neyliglble
use of OBCP
on these crops.
• DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
CONSUMERS AND TRADE-OFFS
None Unreasonable risks
could occur If UUCP
were to be applied.
27Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Coots and Gloves
During ApplIcatlon.
TTT2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.

"4. |2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
UTT-Tplus: Prohibit
Appl(cation by
I r r i'jatlon
6. Cancel
For mixing and  loading, .dermal risks    None
are reduced nearly 100%, and  Inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(I.e.. 9W).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
                                      None
                                fT75 per person
                                for protective
                                equipment.
                              Grower compliance Is
                              likely.
Additionally, risks during              None
Irrigation application and
from reentry after Irrigation
are reduced by factors of at
least^ 50 and 6  respectively.    _
TiUd it fonally, risks during all other    None
application methods and from reentry
after these methods are reduced by
factory of _at least 50 and 13. respectively.
~~Tsk"s from           Rone
                                      None
                                      None
                                      None
 irrigation would be eliminated
   Registrations
AU potent lalDBT.
be eliminated.
r$ks would
Ho substitutes available.
The Impacts of cancella- Although use ofDBCl5
                                                    tlon  are  negltglble  at
                                                    present,  but  major
                                                    losses  in production
                                                    could be  Incurred  If
                                                    nematodes Infested any
                                                    of  these  crops.
                                                         1s very limited, nema-
                                                         tode problems could ocur
                                                         In the future, and the
                                                         Impact of not having DBCP
                                                         could be severe.

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             TABLE 32. IMPACTS OF REGULATORY OPTIONS FOR OBCP ON BANANAS IN THE UNITED STATES.
REGULATORY
ALTERNATIVES
1. Continued
Registration
DBCP RISKS TO
ROUTES OF
EXPOSURE
Inhalation
and dermal
(Negligible
number of
appl icators).
HUMANS
RISKS
RISKS FROM SUBSTITUTES
ENVIRONMENTAL
Cancer risks exist None
if ODCP is applied.
There is also a risk
of decreased sperm count;
this risk cannot be quantified.
HUMAN
None
ECONOMIC
GROWERS .
Negligible
domestic use
of OBCP on
this crop.
IMPACTS
CONSUMERS
None
DISCUSSION OF ISSUES
AND TRADE-OFFS
Unreasonable risks
could occur If OBCP
were to be apl led/
2. Restricted Use;
Clothing and Respira-
tor during Mix and
Load; Boots and Gloves
During applIcat ion
For inixTng and loading, dennal  risk is  None;
reduced nearly 100% and inhalation
risks reduced by factor of 50
(i.e., 901).  Risks during appli-
cation continue.
                  None
             "JI75 per person
              for protective
              equipment.
                                                                                                                             Grower compliance is
                                                                                                                             likely.
3. |2 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for Irri-
gation Application.
^. 12 plus: Respira-
tor and Reentry
Interval for All
Application Methods.
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
Additionally, risks during
application and from reentry
after application are reduced
by factors of at least 50 and 13,
respectively.	  	
None
None
5. *4 plus: Prohibit
Application by
                                        NOT APPLICABLE
?7~CanceT
   Registrations
                       All potential DBCP risks would
                       be eliminated.
                                        No substitutes available.
                                Negllg.
                              (Jther countries might follow our
                              example and prohibit DBCP use
                              on bananas, which could result in
                              price Increases (from 23.5 to
                              27.0'cents/lb) and reduced sup-
                              lies of Imported bananas. This
                              Impact could total $150,000,000.

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TABLE 33.. SUMMARY .OF SELECTED COURSES OF ACTION AND THEIR IMPACTS
                                                                          I/


Use Category
19 Commercial
Vegetables
22 Home Garden
Vegetables
Peanuts









Citrus
Grapes
Peaches/Nec-
tarines
Plums
Almonds
Strawberry Nursery
Pineapple
>
Apricots
Cherries
Figs
Walnuts
Other Berries
Bananas

*

Selected Suspension
Course of Requirements
Action in Effect
Option 6 DBCP use not
(Cancel) permitted











.
Option 4 Restricted
(Restrio Use
ted use)



Stock


Option 4 Restricted
(Restricted Use
Use)






Human Risks
Exposed
People
U.S.
populace




Appli-
cators






Appli-
cators






•

Route
Food





Inhala-
tion



Dermal
Reentry

Inhala-
tion


Dermal
Reentry



Risk
Before
2.013
Cancer
cases;
sperm
count
decrease

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Soybeans

Cotton
                   Option 4     Restricted
                   (Restricted   Use
                     Use)
(Same risks    described for: Citrus,
 Grapes, etc.,
             <0.25% price in-  1.  if  used  without restric-
              crease           tions, IJOCP could cauus un-
$ 2.6 M/ yr.  Negligible       reasonable  Averse ettects.
               ett'ect on       2.  Risk.-, can t« teducx-0 at
               prices.         a  reasonable cost.
                               3.' ((eijiiitc-ted substitutes
                               are available, but they
                               either cost t nucli ur
                               nuiy cause inverse
                               effecta.
Commercial
Beans, Ckra,
Sn£^> Beans
and SoutJwrn Peaa
                   Option 4    Restricted
                   (Restricted   Use
                     Use)
(Sane as above for Citrus,. Grapes,
 etc.)
Turf and
Ornamentala
TOTAL IMPACTS:
                   Option 4    Restricted
                   (Restricted  Use by
                    Use by      Certified
                    Certified   Comrwrcial
                    Comnurcial  Ap
                    Applicators Only.
                    Cnly)
(Same as above for Citrus, Grapes,
 etc.)
Prevent;
§ 2.4 M/ yr.
              Unknown effect
              on prices.
                               1.  If  used without restric-
                               tions,  W3CP cxxjld cause un-
                               reasonable adverse effects.
                               2.  Risks can t«s reduuixl at
                               a  reasonable coat.
                               3.  It^-jistered substitutes
                               ate available,  but they
Prevent;
$ 2.4 M/ yr. for home  lawns.
S 2.2-§5.6H/yr (golf courses)
$ Unknown loss for        •
  oniainentals
                               1.  if  used witltout restcic-
                               tions,  WiCP could cau:x- un-
                               reascxxable adverse effwctfi.
                               2.  Risks can t»j reduo.-d at
                               a roamxiable cost.
                               3.  Ki.tjistetx-d uibstituLea
                              'are either riot available
                               or not  as e£ticiiciouu as
                               DUC1'».
                               4.  ikait; owners not likely
                               to Iwy  and us«i protective
                                                 Cance~r"risk"« I case cancer/yr         $11.6 M/ yr. and  <0*.1%  increase in price's". (Vegetables)
                                                 Reproductive risk reduced by 98%.       $ 6.6 M/ yr  and  no increase in prices (Peanuts)
                                                 Sone risks to humans may result from    § 3.4 M for one-tine investment in protective cquipient
                                                 use  of substitute fumigants crs peanuts          by 31,000 growers.

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