UK)
       OFFICE OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT

National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory
   ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING
   AND ASSESSMENT PROGRAM
              (EMAP)
           PROGRESS REPORT
             JANUARY, 2000

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                       CONTENTS
Introduction	 4

Summary of the Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program	 5

     Background and Programmatic Context	 5
           Description  	 5
           In Support of Agency and ORD Needs	 5
           Authorizations/Mandates	 6

     Program Goal and Objectives 	 6

     NHEERL's Research Strategy for EMAP 	 6
           Ecological Monitoring Research 	 7
           Process and Modeling Research  	 7
           Outreach and Technology Transfer 	 7
           Science to Achieve Results (STAR) Program	 8

     Scientific Products and EMAP Recognition  	 8
           Public Access to EMAP	 8
           Scientific Publications	 8
           Symposia and Workshops	 8
           Peer Review 	 9
           Awards  	 9

Selected EMAP Contributions to Major Environmental Decisions  	 10

EMAP Progress  	 11

     Ecological Monitoring Research
           Large-Scale Geographic Assessment Research:
           Mid-Atlantic Integrated Assessment (MAIA)	 11
                Background	11
                Approach	11
                Major MAIA Findings	12
                Future Directions	13
NHEERL EMAP PROGRESS REPORT, 1999

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             Large-Scale Geographic Assessment Research:
             EMAP Western Pilot Study	  13
                    Background	13
                    Approach	13
                    Major Western Pilot Findings 	13
                    Future Directions	14
             Coastal Monitoring Initiative  	  14
                    Background	14
                    Approach	14
                    Major Coastal Monitoring Findings 	14
                    Future Directions	14
             Biocriteria  	  14
                    Background	14
                    Approach	15
                    Major Biocriteria Findings 	15
                    Future Directions	  15

       Process and Modeling Research	  15
             Indicators of Ecosystem Health	  15
                    Background	15
                    Approach	16
                    Major Indicators Findings 	16
                    Future Directions	17
             Index Sites  	  17
                    Background	17
                    Approach	  18
                    Major Index Sites Findings 	18
                    Future Directions	18

       Outreach and Technology Transfer	  18
             R-EMAP and Regional Intensification Sites  	  18
                    Background	18
                    Approach	19
                    Major R-EMAP Findings  	19
                    Future Directions	20
NHEERL EMAP PROGRESS REPORT, 1999

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                     INTRODUCTION
&URW3SE'
The Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program (EMAP) is a major research
program, involving each of EPA's Laboratories and Centers, EPA Regions, states, tribes,
and universities. The purpose of this report is to communicate research progress in EMAP.
It is not the intent of the report to discuss the findings of al! EMAP partners; rather, the
objective is to focus on the contributions to EMAP made by EPA's National Health and
Environmental Effects Research Laboratory (NHEERL).
This report contains

•     a summary of EMAP, including a description of the overall program, its goal and
      objectives, an overview of the scientific products of EMAP and where to gain access
      to those products, and NHEERL's Research Strategy for EMAP;

•     a section that highlights recent key contributions; and

•     a more detailed discussion of EMAP, by research area.
COMMENTS WELCOME
We welcome feedback.  Readers with comments, questions, or requests for further
information are encouraged to contact:

Mike McDonald, EMAP Director

[T3    U.S. EPA, NHEERL (MD-87)
       Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711


"H"     (919)541-7973

 •     mcdonald.michael@epa.gov
NHEERL EMAP PROGRESS REPORT, 1999

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                       EMAP  SUMMARY
BACKGROUND ANDPROGRAMMATIC CONTEXT £         :     ,/j-

Description

EMAP was created in 1988 by EPA in response to a recommendation from the Agency's Science
Advisory Board (SAB). The SAB noted the need for a program to monitor the status and trends of
the nation's ecological resources, maintaining that a greater understanding of the overall health of
ecosystems  would  improve  EPA's  ability  to identify emerging problems and avert potential
environmental  disasters.  Such a program, it was surmised, could be used to determine the
condition of ecological resources (such as estuaries or wetlands), locate regions where problems
were most severe, track trends in response to environmental protection or restoration activities, and
identify environmental stressors associated with negative trends. EPA could then more wisely target
its dollars and research efforts toward resources at greatest risk, problems of greatest concern, and
actions that provided the greatest environmental restoration gain.

Today, EMAP is a major ORD research program. It is the research cornerstone  for a national
monitoring network, an effort coordinated by the President's Committee on Environment and Natural
Resources (CENR). Conceived as a cooperative venture that would unite the monitoring programs
of multiple federal agencies across the nation, EMAP's partners now include federal agencies, state
and local organizations, tribes, universities, and the scientific community at large.

EMAP is designed to help EPA answer the question, How are we doing in our efforts to protect the
environment?  Instead of  taking  the conventional single-chemical or single-site approach to
environmental assessment, EMAP has adopted a comprehensive perspective to address longer-
term environmental problems occurring at regional or national scales. Developing the science
necessary for taking the "pulse" of the nation's resources and producing Environmental Report
Cards are the driving forces behind EMAP.

NHEERL  is responsible for organizing and orchestrating EMAP.  A high priority is placed on
research to develop tools for measuring the condition of ecological resources and  on monitoring
designs for detecting trends in environmental condition.  These methods  and concepts form the
scientific  underpinnings  for determining the  effectiveness of environmental policies and for
anticipating problems before they reach crisis proportions.

By  coordinating and leveraging existing monitoring  programs, NHEERL and its partners are
achieving much more through EMAP than would have been possible through individual monitoring
programs. Thanks to EMAP research, a greater understanding of ecosystem health is being gained.
In the last 10 years, EMAP has successfully developed the foundation for monitoring  the status and
trends of complex ecosystems, demonstrated proof-of-concept in a five-year study of the Mid-
Atlantic region of the United States, and created the first nation-wide plan for assessing the status
of coastal ecosystems. In the next 10 years,  as it is implemented by state and local organizations,
EMAP research and data will play an ever greater role in shaping environmental policy  decisions.

In Support of Agency and ORD needs

EMAP research supports EPA's goal to "provide sound science to improve understanding of
NHEERL EMAP PROGRESS REPORT, 1999

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environmental risk and develop and implement innovative approaches for current and future
environmental problems." This goal (Goal 8) is one of 10 specified Agency goals developed in
response to the Government Performance and Results Act (GPRA). Although EMAP is an ORD-
wide program, its organizational home is NHEERL.

A uthorizations/Mandates

EPA's authority to improve monitoring capabilities stems from its mandates to protect and preserve
the biological, chemical, and physical integrity of the nation's resources.  Both the Clean Air Act
(CAA) Amendments and the Clean Water Act (CWA) require EPA to  monitor and report on the
condition of air and water, respectively.   EMAP research also provides critical support for the
development of biocriteria under Section 303 of the CWA.
PROGRAM rGOALTvAND OBJECTIVES
i. -. -. »  ^^ .-._.-   ., _ t _1T*?ll_-^ -JT-I-—1   ...*.,..  ...  , .   ..  ...    ... -i... I,

Theflroa/of EMAP is
       "to monitor the condition of the nation's ecological resources, to evaluate the
       cumulative success of current policies and programs, and to  identify emerging
       problems before they become widespread or irreversible."

To achieve this goal, EMAP is developing the scientific understanding necessary for collecting
environmental monitoring data so that it can be used to assess current ecological conditions and
trends. This enables us to forecast future risks to the sustainability of our natural resources and to
prioritize restoration efforts.

EMAP has four strategic objectives:
>      to estimate the geographic coverage and extent of the nation's ecological resources with
       known statistical confidence;
••      to estimate the current status, trends, and changes in selected indicators of the condition
       of the  nation's ecological resources on a regional basis with known statistical confidence;
••      to seek associations between selected stressor indicators  and indicators of  ecological
       condition; and
••      to provide annual statistical summaries and periodic assessments of the nation's ecological
       resources.
NHEEERLS,

NHEERL conducts effects-based research. Our scientists develop test methods, predictive models,
and scientific data that strengthen risk assessment and inform regulatory and policy decisions.
EMAP research is conducted by each of our ecology divisions: the Mid-Continent Ecology Division
(MED) in Duluth, MN; the Atlantic Ecology Division (AED) in Narragansett, Rl; the Western Ecology
Division (WED) in Corvallis, OR; and the Gulf Ecology Division (GED) in Gulf Breeze, FL.

NHEERL's EMAP  research can be divided into four general categories, each of which contains
several key components, briefly described below.
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1. Ecological Monitoring Research

       -* Large-Scale Geographic Assessment Research
       Mid-Atlantic Integrated Assessment (MAIA). MAIA was undertaken as "proof-of-concepf
       research to demonstrate the scientific validity and practicality of using national environmental
       monitoring methods on a regional scale.  The area selected for evaluation was the Mid-
       Atlantic region of the U.S. Information was compiled on the distribution of major stressors
       throughout the region (such  as ozone, acid deposition, nitrogen, pesticides, etc.) and major
       natural resources (streams, estuaries, forests). These data were then analyzed to determine
       resource condition.  Summaries of results are available in user-friendly State-of-the-Region
       reports.
       EMAP Western Pilot Study.  Like MAIA, the objective of the Western Pilot Study is to apply
       national EMAP concepts and techniques to a specific region of the U.S. Unlike MAIA, which.
       chose an ecologically homogeneous region of the country for study, the Western Pilot will
       focus on  an especially complex region, the West. This research, which was launched in
       1999, will be the most comprehensive assessment of ecological conditions ever undertaken
       in the West.

       -# Coastal Monitoring Initiative
       Under the Coastal Monitoring Initiative, a single resource (coastal areas) is being studied
       across the United States. This research will use the tools of EMAP to provide a national
       snapshot of the  condition  of coastal areas of the  U.S.  Ultimately, the program will
       incorporate EMAP methods into State coastal monitoring programs.

       -# Biocriteria
       Biocriteria are a measure of water quality. Establishing biocriteria as an integral part of State
       and Tribal monitoring efforts is important to EPA's Office of Water (OW). EMAP supports
       biocriteria research, especially research related to the identification of reference conditions.

2. Process and Modeling Research

       -# Indicators of Ecosystem Health
       It is not practical to monitor every component of an  ecosystem to determine its overall
       condition; instead, indicators of ecosystem health are used.  Indicators provide early warning
       signs of ecological stress, and they can be  used to detect changes in ecosystem status and
       monitor trends over time. NHEERL is  identifying and evaluating indicators both  in-house
       and through an extramural program (ORD's STAR program, discussed on page 8).  '

       -# Index Sites
       EMAP and the National Park Service have identified research  sites at important locations
       across the U.S. for use  in monitoring changing environmental conditions over long periods
       of time. These sites are of  interest to multiple federal agencies and have some degree of
       environmental monitoring or effects research already in place; consequently, trends can be
       monitored relatively easily and with judicious use of funds.

3. Outreach and Technology Transfer

       -* Regional EMAP (R-EMAP) and Regional Intensification Sites
       These projects are designed to address problems of specific concern to the Regions.  They
       typically tackle  questions  of  indicator selection, sampling  design,  and  assessment
       approaches, applying EMAP principles on a relatively small geographic scale.
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4. Science to Achieve Results (STAR) Program
       Nearly 68% of EMAP's extramural research funds support the STAR Program. Under this
       program, the scientific community may submit research proposals in response to Requests
       for Applications (RfAs) developed by NHEERL scientists and ORD's National Center for
       Environmental Research and Quality Assurance. The research is intended to complement
       NHEERL's in-house program. Several major EMAP projects are funded by the STAR
       program, such as Index Sites research and Regional Scaling.  For more information on the
       STAR program and its results, please refer to http://es.epa.gov/ncerqa/.
SCIENTIFICrPRODUCTS AND EMAP RECOGNITION
Public Access to EMAP

EMAP's web site (http://www.epa.gov/emap/index.html) is the primary mechanism for linking users
to EMAP data and information via the Internet.  It consists of a set of linked web pages that provide
access to various components of EMAP, such as research projects, a bibliography, data sets, and
important news items.  Usage statistics for the web site (more than 50 million hits since 1994) show
a consistent broad interest in the program from the federal government, states, academia, the
private sector, and environmental organizations around the world.

Scientific Publications

In its 10-year history, EMAP has produced over 1000 publications. They include over 390 peer-
reviewed papers in scientific journals,  seven  special journal volumes, 62 book chapters, 230
publications  in proceedings  of technical conferences, three  books on EMAP methods, 361
government publications and reports, and seven theses. These publications form the scientific
foundation for the new EMAP technology.  The complete EMAP bibliography is on the web page.
Examples include:

»      US EPA, Office of Research and Development, An Ecological Assessment of the United
       States Mid-Atlantic Region,  EPA/600/R-97/130, November  1997.   This atlas uses
       measurements derived from satellite imagery and spatial data bases to depict changing
       conditions across the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States.

>      Monitoring Ecological Condition at Regional Scales.  Albany, NY, April 8-11,1997. Sandhu
       et al., Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston,  MA.  603  pp.  This book  contains  the
       proceedings of the Third Symposium on the Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
       Program.  It lays out the scientific direction for EMAP and discusses key research areas.

»      US EPA, Office of Research and Development, Condition of the Mid-Atlantic Estuaries,
       EPA/600/R-98/147, November 1998.  This report is the first in  a series of State-of-the-
       Region Reports for the Mid-Atlantic.  It breaks new ground in employing the latest scientific
       tools and by drawing upon carefully designed sampling plans that provide broad coverage
       of the Chesapeake Bay, Delaware Estuary, and Delmarva coastal estuaries.

Symposia and Workshops

EMAP has sponsored numerous symposia and workshops (27 to date) to incorporate the new
technology into the monitoring infrastructure. Notable meetings include:
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 "      Ecological Resource Monitoring: Change and Trend Detection  Workshop.  EMAP, in
       conjunction with the Ecological Society of America and the American Statistical Association,
       sponsored a workshop on trend detection in ecological systems to determine the state of the
       science in this area. The presentations will be published in a special issue of Ecological
       Applications, a journal published by the Ecological Society of America.

 ••      Statistical Issues for Monitoring Ecological and Natural Resources in the United States.
       Working with the American Statistical Association's section on environmental statistics,
       EMAP sponsored a workshop to evaluate extant national federal monitoring programs. The
       working group of statisticians evaluated 12 programs. The workshop found that all federal
       terrestrial surveys have a strong probability design for the network, while none of the aquatic
       monitoring efforts, except EMAP, have this as a basis for their design.

 *•      American Geophysical Union (AGU) Chapman Conference on Nitrogen Cycling in Forested
       Catchments.  EMAP was a co-sponsor of this conference, which assembled 130 scientists
       from 14 countries to discuss the most recent advances in nitrogen cycling. The proceedings
       of the conference are being published  in a special issue of an AGU peer reviewed journal.

       The EMAP  Symposium on  Western Ecological Systems: Status, Issues,  and  New
       Approaches.  This three-day symposium, which attracted nearly 300 scientists, resource
       managers, and policy makers, focused on monitoring and assessment research, ecological
       indicators and monitoring designs, and ecological processes in the  western  U.S.  The
       proceedings of the symposium will be  published in the international journal Environmental
       Monitoring and Assessment.

Peer Review

Prior to 1995, EMAP underwent 20 peer reviews of individual components of the program as well
as a program-wide  review by the National Research Council. Taking into  account reviewers'
recommendations, an EMAP Research Strategy (EPA/620/R-98/001) was prepared in 1997.  More
recent peer reviews include a highly favorable  review in 1998  of the EMAP Monitoring Approach by
the Ecological  Society of America and the American Statistical Association.

Awards

Several distinguished awards have been presented to EMAP researchers in NHEERL, including the
following.

••      In 1998, EMAP scientists at our Atlantic Ecology Division (Narragansett, Rl) were presented
       EPA Bronze Medals by Region 3 for their work on  The Condition of Mid-Atlantic Estuaries
       report.

»•      Scientists at our Atlantic Ecology Division received EPA Bronze Medals  from Region 3 for
       their assessment of the impacts of mountain-top removal for large-scale extraction of coal.

••      EMAP  researchers in our Gulf Ecology Division (Gulf Breeze, FL) received an  External
       Appreciation  Recognition award from the Florida Department  of Environmental Protection
       (the first bestowed since 1990) for assisting the Department in developing their Integrated
       Water Monitoring Program.
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     SELECTED  EMAP CONTRIBUTIONS TO
      MAJOR ENVIRONMENTAL  DECISIONS
Ha+   The State of Maryland used the EMAP publication, An Ecological Assessment of the United
      States Mid-Atlantic Region: A Landscape Atlas, during the development of the Governor's
      Smart Growth Initiative in 1999. The Atlas provided critical information on land cover and
      land use. (p. 12)

""*•   The State of Maryland established a National Estuary Program to further protect its coastal
      bays based on results from the  EMAP report,  Condition of the Mid-Atlantic Estuaries.
      Released in 1998, this report analyzed estuarine health across the Mid Atlantic, revealing
      important problem areas.  It was hailed  as a prototype  for the  Vice  President's
      "Environmental Report Card 2000."  (p. 12)

""*•   Based on MAIA research, administrators in EPA's Region 3 were able to assess the
      potential impacts of a new coal mining practice involving mountain-top removal and valley
      fill to achieve large-scale extraction of coal.  They concluded that the proposed plans would
      increase forest fragmentation and destroy some of the most productive stream habitat in the
      region, (p. 12)

""*•   A Biological Assessment and Biocriteria Research Strategy is in its final stages of
      completion and is scheduled for release in FYOO. (p. 15)

""*•   EMAP indicators, when used in our probabilistic monitoring design, have reduced monitoring
      costs. In one example, EMAP characterized the trophic status of northeastern U.S. lakes
      using only 344 lakes, a savings in both time and cost over a conventional study requiring a
      census of 2756 lakes, (p.  16)

""*•   EMAP has developed and delivered a national database on 10 landscape indicators for the
      U.S.  These indicators are  being incorporated into EPA's  Office of Water's National
      Watershed Assessment Program, (p. 17)

""*   A report called  Evaluation Guidelines for Ecological Indicators is in its final stages of
      completion. The report, in which 15 indicator evaluation guidelines are identified, will steer
      the technical evaluation of indicators and facilitate indicator research and review, (p.  17)

""*'   R-EMAP research has led to more accurate population estimates of the Oregon Coho
      salmon.  Research showed that historic monitoring methods overestimated salmon stocks,
      and Oregon's fishery management program has since been restructured using an EMAP
      approach, (p. 19)

""*•   A R-EMAP project in EPA Region 1 was a stunning success. The State of Maine used
      EMAP study design to investigate mercury contamination in its lakes and fish. Their analysis
      le; o a state-wide fish consumption advisory.  New Brunswick (Canada) also issued an
      advisory based-on the strength of the EMAP/Maine study, (p. 19)


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                     EMAP PROGRESS
ECOLOGICAL MONITORING •RESEARCH:,            .;:;•..-.

Issue
      What are the risks posed to ecosystems by stressors (alone and in combination) over time?

Objective
      Develop techniques for determining how and why a system is likely to respond to stressors
      and, through integrated risk assessment, enhance EPA's ability to determine whether
      systems respond to risk management actions as predicted.

Anticipated Impact
      Strengthen forecasts of the integrated response  of large-scale ecological systems to
      different management scenarios.
LARGE-SCALE GEOGRAPHIC ASSESSMENT RESEARCH:
MID-ATLANTIC INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT (MAIA)	

Background
      MAIA was EMAP's first regional-scale study of environmental condition.  It began as a
      partnership between ORD and Region 3 in 1995, and later grew to include other federal and
      state environmental organizations. As "proof-of-concept" research, its objective was to use
      the monitoring methods developed by EMAP for a regional assessment of ecological quality
      in the Mid-Atlantic Region of the U.S. The Mid-Atlantic stretches from southern New York
      to northeastern North Carolina and includes Virginia, West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware,
      Pennsylvania, and portions of New Jersey. Various measures of ecosystem condition from
      across this region were compiled and analyzed to answer the following questions:
      ••     Is there a problem?
      ••     Where is the problem located?
            What is causing the problem?
      ••     Have the problems changed with time?
      »•     What can we do about it?

Approach
      Using state and federal databases  in conjunction with their own monitoring research on
      environmental quality, NHEERL scientists compiled vast amounts of information on the
      condition of the ecological resources of the Mid-Atlantic region and its watersheds. Among
      the  sources of information were the National  Estuary Programs; the Chesapeake Bay
      Program (which has been collecting data since the late 1970s); state monitoring programs
      in Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia; and federal programs such as EMAP, the  National
      Oceanic and Atmospheric Association's (NOAA) National Status and Trends Program and
      National Shellfish  Register, and the U.S. Fish  and Wildlife Service's National Wetlands
      Inventory. Once information was compiled, various measures of ecosystem condition were
      analyzed to assess status and trends in different resource categories. Fundamental issues,



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       such as sampling design and indicator development and testing, were addressed.' The
       findings are being used to produce State-of-the-Region Reports, which present resource-
       specific environmental data in user-friendly terms. These reports will form the basis of an
       integrated regional "report card," a concept first proposed by Vice President Al Gore.

Major MAIA Findings
*•      MAIA research has provided "proof of concept" far large-scale monitoring, emphasizing
       regional-scale assessments rather than site-specific impacts. It demonstrated the integrated
       assessment framework, and it is setting the standard worldwide for analyzing and presenting
       environmental data to the public.

••      The first major MAIA product was An Ecological Assessment of the United States Mid-
       Atlantic Region: A Landscape Atlas, released in April 1998. Using satellite imagery and.
       data collected on the ground, the Atlas describes patterns of land cover and land use across
       the Mid-Atlantic. The level of  detail and comparability in the report has never before been
       achieved across such a large region. The result is an ecological "snapshot" that allows
       readers to visualize environmental conditions in the area. This important document helped
       identify vulnerable environmental areas within the region, and it was used by the State of
       Maryland during the development of its Governor's recent Smart Growth Initiative.

»•      The Condition of the Mid-Atlantic Estuaries is the first in a series of planned State-of-the-
       Region Reports. Hailed as a prototype for the Vice President's "Environmental Report Card
       2000," this 1998 report provides the first-ever analysis of the health of 5,500 square miles
       of estuaries in this important geographic region. Included are such features as water quality,
       sediment contamination, habitat change, and the condition of  living resources.  Both
       encouraging and troubling signs were found.  On the one hand, programs established to
       protect estuaries are having positive  effects, leading to declines in nutrient levels in  the
       Chesapeake Bay. However,  the report also indicates the presence of high levels of toxic
       chemicals in the Delaware Estuary; declines in shellfish  harvests; low dissolved oxygen in
       the Chesapeake Bay; and threats to coastal bays from encroaching urbanization. This report
       is already effecting change in the region. Based on report results, Maryland established a
       National Estuary Program to further protect its coastal bays.

»•      Results of MAIA's Integrated Estuarine Monitoring Program were featured in the Office
       of Water's (OW) National  305(b) Report to Congress entitled "National Water Quality
       Inventory -1996 Report to Congress" (EPA-841/R-97/0008).  MAIA studies were cited as
       an  example of the direction  in which aquatic monitoring should proceed.  The results
       emphasize the role of habitat alteration as a major factor impacting the biological integrity
       of streams in the Mid Atlantic.

»      MAIA has provided important insights for ecosystem management.  MAIA  research
       showed that mountain-top forests in  the Mid-Atlantic were in relatively pristine  condition
       (<2% fragmented), supported a high level  of biodiversity,  and contained high-quality
       streams.  Based on these data, regional administrators were able to address the potential
       impacts of a new coal mining practice involving mountain-top removal and valley fill to
       achieve large-scale extraction of coal. In their assessment, the proposed mining plans
       would not only increase forest fragmentation, they would also  destroy some of  the most
       productive stream habitat in the region.

••      Environmental indicators for biology, habitat, and  land activities were developed and
       linked with chemical and physical parameters to provide dynamic assessments of ecological



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       resources. More information on EMAP indicators is available on page 15.

Future Directions
       A number of other MAIA reports are slated for release, including an Integrated Regional
       Report Card and reports on the state of streams, forests, and groundwater.  MAIA also will
       produce a Pesticides Profile.  The next  phase of MAIA is  the Regional Vulnerability
       Assessment (ReVA) project. ReVa will build on existing EMAP data and extend it into
       regional predictions based on the most pressing environmental problems expected over the
       next 5-25 years. NHEERL is developing partnerships with other Regions to adapt the MAIA
       experience to different geographical areas of the country, such as the West (see the
       Western Pilot Study described below).
LARGE-SCALE GEOGRAPHIC ASSESSMENT RESEARCH:
EMAP WESTERN PILOT STUDY	

Background
       The first major integrated geographic pilot study to demonstrate EMAP concepts and tools
       on a regional scale was MAIA. But are the monitoring and assessment methods developed
       for the Mid-Atlantic Region applicable to other regions of the country? While the Mid-Atlantic
       is rather homogeneous in terms of its natural resources, the West is a much more complex
       region. It is a large territory with vast ecological variability (containing, for example, coastal,
       mountainous, and arid systems).  This complexity presents a great deal of uncertainty. In
       this  project, NHEERL will test the generalities and the core tools developed in  MAIA by
       applying them to the West.

Approach
       The Western Pilot, a cooperative venture involving 12 western states, tribal representatives,
       universities, and the western EPA Regional Offices (Regions 8, 9, and 10), was launched
       in the spring of 1999.  Planned as a five-year effort to demonstrate EMAP concepts across
       a large and ecologically complex region, the study will focus on problems and ecosystems
       of critical importance to environmental decision-makers in the West.  It will be the largest
       comprehensive  study conducted by EPA on the ecological condition in this region.
       NHEERL's overall objectives for the study are to:
             test indicator performance (using the Ecological Indicators Guidelines) and survey
             designs to determine the condition of western streams and estuaries,
             collect data relative to critical regional issues, and
       •      establish land cover classifications for western states.
       Researchers will test landscape indicators used in MAIA to determine their utility in western
       states, they will conduct stream surveys to confirm the existence of mapped streams and
       determine their health, and they will collect biological and habitat data in small estuaries with
       the intent of characterizing estuarine health.  (This latter research is linked to the Coastal
       Monitoring Initiative described in  greater detail in the following  section.)  In subsequent
       years, monitoring and assessment activities will be expanded to include aquatic resources
       in forests, deserts, mountains, and the Great Plains.

Major Western Pilot Findings
       The Steering Committee for the Western Pilot has endorsed the overall implementation
       plans for the first year of the study. Monitoring will be conducted to determine the  condition
       of aquatic ecological resources and to rank potential stressors.
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Future Directions
       Mapping and analysis of landscape indicators will continue, and a land cover atlas for the
       West will be produced. Researchers will evaluate landscape conditions relative to aquatic
       resources, and a monitoring framework for the western region  will be developed for
       implementation by state and federal organizations.
 COASTAL MONITORING INITIATIVE	

 Background
       This program represents the first attempt ever to measure estuarine health nationwide.
       Though technically a stand-alone project, it is integrated into and operated in conjunction
       with various EMAP components, such as the Western Pilot. Incorporating EMAP monitoring
       methods, it is a large and comprehensive effort that is linked with state and local coastal
       monitoring programs around the country.  Funding for coastal monitoring was received in
       FY2000.

 Approach
       This research will monitor estuarine communities along the Gulf coast, the Atlantic coastal
       region,  and  - through the Western Pilot - the  Pacific  coast.   Efforts will be aimed  at
       developing baseline data for trend analyses and to fill important gaps in our understanding
       of the aquatic health of the Nation's estuaries.  The first national estuarine Environmental
       Report Card will be developed from this program.  The report card will summarize the
       ecological condition, or health, of estuaries. This information will be used by EPA to track
       efforts to control stressors and protect these critical resources.

 Major Coastal Monitoring Findings
 ••      EMAP conducted training sessions  with four of the National Estuary Programs (NEPs)
       to expand their ability to achieve monitoring goals.  Local government personnel were
       trained to collect, analyze, and evaluate data on  a variety of indicators.  The training
       activities will be extended to all  28 NEPs as needed to incorporate these new techniques
       into a national coastal monitoring program.

 "      Field reconnaissance was conducted in May of 1999 for the new "probabilistically based"
       monitoring program for Florida, the first state to implement probability monitoring for all  its
       natural aquatic resources.  Probabilistic monitoring will allow states to fulfill their 305(b)
       Congressionally mandated reports on the conditions of their waters in a more cost-effective,
       efficient manner. The first samples are scheduled for collection in January 2000.

Future Directions
       It is expected that the first marine coastal Environmental Report Card will be completed in
       2001.

BIOCRITERIA	

Background.
       A critical part of developing biological indicators is the establishment of a standard against
       which the indicator may be compared  to determine any deterioration in environmental
       condition.  This baseline standard is termed  a "reference" condition, and  when these
       references are, embedded  within State water quality standards, they are  referred  to as
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       biocriteria.  Biocriteria provide a direct measure of the condition of the aquatic community
       of plants and animals, and they extend the protection offered by traditional chemical criteria
       for aquatic life.

Approach.
       EMAP research provides critical support for the development of biocriteria under section 303
       of the Clean Water Act.  NHEERL is assisting OW by providing sound scientific designs for
       determining biocriteria reference sites, assessing reference conditions  by measuring the
       distribution and variance of biotic integrity among  populations in natural waters, and
       improving diagnostic methods and indicators of condition.

Major Biocriteria Findings.
••      A Biological Assessment and Biocriteria Research Strategy is in  its final stages of
       completion and will be released in FYOO.

••      EMAP-sponsored research on ecoregions has assisted states in their assessments of
       biological criteria.  For example, an ecoregion  framework developed for the State of
       Tennessee, complementing its watershed assessment  program,  has helped  in  the
       development of biocriteria.

Future Directions.
       EMAP and OW will test different approaches to establishing reference conditions for use
       with biocriteria in the West under the Western Pilot.  This will provide an opportunity to
       address unanswered questions related to biocriteria and reference conditions.
PROCESS AND MODELING RESEARCH :•...:    -^     _  _..

Issue
       What is the current condition of the environment, and what stressors are most closely
       associated with that condition?

Objective
       Develop tools for monitoring ecological systems and for determining the response of
       ecosystems to multiple stressors at local, regional, and national scales.

Anticipated Impact
       Enhance EPA's technical abilities for evaluating environmental condition and for assessing
       the consequences of risk management options and mitigation efforts.
INDICATORS OF ECOSYSTEM HEALTH	

Background
       EMAP describes indicators as characteristics of the environment that can be related to the
       condition of an ecological resource. They are used in monitoring programs to estimate
       ecological status, detect changes in ecosystem condition, identify stressor source, predict
       effects, and assess the effectiveness of management and policy actions. Indicators may be
       biological, physical, or chemical measures, an index of measures, or a model.  Indicators
       are important tools in risk assessment, and they are central to EMAP's success. NHEERL



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       promotes indicator research in two ways: 1) by coordinating an intramural program and 2)
       by developing RfAs to stimulate academic research using funds from ORD's STAR program
       (discussed on page 8).

Approach
       The objective of this program is to evaluate indicators for their scientific validity, relevance
       to ecosystem function, and responsiveness to questions of environmental value. Through
       this analysis, researchers determine which indicators are of immediate value to monitoring
       programs and which  are in  need of further development.   Of great importance is the
       consistency of indicators across different spatial scales (local to regional to national) and
       across different levels of biological organization. EMAP measures two types of ecological
       indicators:
       ••      indicators of condition, which provide quantitative estimates of the health of
              ecological resources (e.g., percent pollution-tolerant organisms or the
              number of individuals in fish communities), and
       »•      stressor indicators, which identify characteristics of the environment that may
              elicit a change in the condition of ecological resources (e.g., acid deposition
              rates or pollutant concentrations).
       Indicator development involves the  study of numerous biological and ecological endpoints
       at multiple sampling stations. Survey techniques are often  developed in order to obtain
       accurate field measurements. These measurements are then combined with output from
       predictive models to  evaluate indicator performance by determining whether statistical
       associations exist between indicators of ecosystem condition and indicators of stress. From
       this information,  hypotheses  are formulated regarding potential causes of change.  The
       approach recognizes  that ecological resources are affected by multiple stressors capable
       of producing cumulative effects on  entire populations and communities.

Major Indicators Findings
••      The first regional evaluation of indicators took place in MAIA (see p. 11). This research
       led to the production of a Landscape Atlas for the Mid-Atlantic region, which used more  than
       30 indicators (e.g., population density, patterns of vegetation change) to assess watershed
       conditions in this region. Indicator research also led to the 1998 report Condition of th& Mid-
       Atlantic Estuaries in which scientists applied the estuarine benthic index (using the condition
       of bottom-dwelling organisms) as one indicator of the ecological status of the Chesapeake
       Bay and other Mid-Atlantic estuaries.

»•      EMAP  indicators, when  used  in  our probabilistic  monitoring design, have  reduced
       monitoring costs. For example, EMAP scientists were able to characterize the trophic
       status of northeastern U.S. lakes using only 344 lakes, a savings in both time and cost over
       a conventional study requiring a census of 2756 lakes.

*      EMAP has sponsored continued research on ecoregion classifications, which allow more
       efficient use of watershed indicators for environmental monitoring and assessment. These
       ecoregion classifications are currently in use by over 30 states in assessments of chemical,
       physical, and biological criteria.

••      The development of a stream habitat indicator by EMAP researchers working on surface
       waters has resulted in a re-evaluation of the approach currently in use by States using OW's
       Rapid Bioassessment Protocols.

••      EMAP research has resulted in a recommendation by EPA's OW that probability surveys
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       using appropriate indicators be incorporated into State monitoring programs.  This
       recommendation has become part of the guidance for improving the EPA 305(b) Report to
       Congress.

-      EMAP has developed and delivered a national database on 10 landscape indicators for
       the U.S.  These landscape indicators are being incorporated into the Office of Water's
       National Watershed Assessment Program.

••      EMAP studies, in addition to providing biological condition information, also provide data on
       12 of the EPA Office of Water's 18 national chemical/physical indicators for water quality.

>      The culmination of EMAP's work on estuarine indicators is embodied in the  effect these
       studies have had on the Agency's Indicator Report.  All of the Estuarine indicators were
       reviewed in the production of these reports, and several (Benthic Community Indices, Marine
       Debris Estimates, Dissolved Oxygen, Contaminants, etc.) were  either  used directly or
       offered as part of a recommended indicator.

*      EMAP's dissolved oxygen studies in estuaries have directly affected the manner in which
       States, OW Programs, National Estuary Programs, and National Estuarine Research
       Reserves collect, analyze, and interpret dissolved oxygen information.

••      A report called Evaluation Guidelines for Ecological Indicators,  which describes guide-
       lines for developing and evaluating indicators, is in review. Indicator development experts
       outside of EPA have cited the guidelines as a crucial step in assessing ecological condition.

Future Directions
       NHEERL researchers will continue to test  the  performance of  Mid-Atlantic indicators
       (developed as part of MAIA) using the Ecological Indicators Guidelines and will work to
       adapt those indicators to western ecosystems. As part of the Coastal Monitoring Initiative,
       there will be a push to develop and implement ecological indicators  to determine the health
       of the nation's estuaries. Indicators of habitat suitability,  landscape-level biotic processes,
       aquatic health, and watershed sustainability will be developed. Indicators for intensive study
       sites (Index Sites, below) will be incorporated into our regional surveys, and we will explore
       ways to link ecological health indicators and human epidemiology.  Ultimately, the goal is to
       develop indicators that can be used to assess not only individual resources, but larger,
       interlinked ecological systems.
INDEX SITES	

Background
       In response to program reviews and the work of the CENR, EMAP is establishing research
       sites across the country from which to conduct intensive, long-term monitoring of ecological
       condition.  One of our partners in this effort is the National Park Service (NPS). NPS has
       a history of monitoring data, and it offers a broad spectrum of ecological systems for study.
       Jointly, we are  working to establish a set of sites that can serve as "outdoor laboratories."
       The goal is to create sites with consistent baseline ecological data that not only serve the
       particular  needs of EPA and the NPS, but also provide a "magnet" for research by
       investigators from other agencies and institutions. Additional federal agencies will be invited
       to participate as the project matures.
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Approach
       The initial phase in this intensive network involves 14 sites located at National Parks across
       the country. Air monitoring is under way at each site, and additional monitoring is being
       initiated. The suite of stressors being monitored includes chemical contaminants (e.g.,
       ozone,  SOx, NOx, and metals and organics) and non-chemical stressors (e.g., UV-B
       radiation and climate change). Effects research will be based on known stressors at each
       site. For example, the TIME/LTM project will combine intensive site monitoring with regional
       surveys to measure response to acidic deposition in northeastern lakes. Other index site
       partners include the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the
       National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). These agencies have joined EPA
       to provide standardized information on coastal ecological condition through CISNet  (the
       Coastal Intensive Site Network), a STAR/EMAP program that will develop a  network of
       coastal monitoring and research locations. This research will enable us to better understand
       coastal ecosystem processes,  short-term coastal variability and long-term trends,  and
       indicators for identifying stress and responses to stress in coastal systems across the U.S.

Major Index Site Findings
>      EMAP has developed a monitoring design for detecting changes in aquatic effects due to
       acidification of surface waters. This design has been implemented by EMAP for lakes in the
       northeast and streams in the mid-Atlantic states.

»•      Research on the effects of acid rain found significant declines in sulfate  levels  (sulfate
       being the primary ingredient in acid rain) in many lakes and streams during the 1990s, an
       indication of recovery from acid rain. Because the effects were detected at large numbers
       of sites in many regions across North America and Europe, it was concluded that the
       declines resulted from environmental regulations to reduce emissions that cause acid rain.

Future Directions
       Future plans include efforts to monitor stressors of soil and sediment quality and habitat
       quality, and  to assess amphibian population declines and malformation rates  in  National
       Parks using  measures of UV dosimetry.
PUTREACHANDITECHJMOLOG Y/TRANSFER

Issue
      Are EMAP's scientific products being used? Do they demonstrate scientific credibility, public
      acceptance and accessibility, and applicability to a variety of situations or scenarios?

Objective
      Transfer EMAP techniques and approaches to the Regions, States, and Tribes.

Anticipated Impact
      More rigorous and scientifically defensible approaches for use by environmental decision-
      makers at all levels.


REGIONAL EMAP (R-EMAP) AND REGIONAL INTENSIFICATION SITES	
   <
Background
      R-EMAP partners include EMAP, EPA's Regional Offices,  States, and Tribes.   It is a


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      program that uses EMAP's broad-scale monitoring principles (i.e., its statistical sampling
      design and indicator concepts) to produce ecological assessments at smaller geographic
      scales and in shorter time frames. The objectives of R-EMAP are to
      •      evaluate and improve EMAP concepts for state and local use,
             assess the applicability of EMAP indicators at differing spatial scales, and
             demonstrate the utility of EMAP for resolving issues of importance to EPA Regions,
             States, and Tribes.

Approach
      Through R-EMAP, all 10 Regions have the opportunity to develop and test indicators and
      conduct limited applications of the EMAP approach.  Each EPA Regional Office can request
      funding for use in applying EMAP monitoring approaches to assessment problems within
      the regions. Research proposals are submitted to EMAP, where they undergo a competitive
      scientific peer review by the Laboratory. Those approved for funding receive up to $200,000
      per year. An NHEERL Ecology Division acts as sponsor, providing the funding and working
      with the Region in the development of the scientific design for the projects and the analysis
      and interpretation of data.  Each Region,  however, is  responsible for implementing the
      research. The Western Regions currently have the opportunity to select certain sites as part
      of the Western  Pilot where intensive research to acquire more information would be
      advantageous. These regional intensification sites will receive additional scrutiny using
      R-EMAP approaches within the broader Western Pilot context. Site examples include the
      Upper Missouri Basin in  Region 8, the  San Francisco Bay delta in Region 9, and the
      Colombia River basin in Region 10.

Major R-EMAP Findings
••     A project in Region 1 to evaluate mercury contamination in Maine's lakes (and fish) has
      been a stunning success. The project used an EMAP probabilistic approach to sampling.
      Physical, chemical, and biological samples were collected from  lakes, some of which had
      not been sampled in 15 years. Following analysis of the samples,  Maine issued a state-wide
      fish  consumption  advisory. The adjacent province of New Brunswick, Canada, issued its
      own advisory based on Maine's results and  the similarity of  ecoregions.  The  project
      triggered studies in other New England states, which have since issued advisories, resulting
      in a  comprehensive data base of lake characteristics and fish populations.

>•     A R-EMAP project has improved estimates of population size for Oregon Coho salmon.
      While  historic,  long-term  monitoring  of spawning suggested minimal  problems with
      population size, salmon populations continued to decline. After using EMAP probability
      design, more accurate population estimates were made, and it was discovered that salmon
      stocks were being overestimated.  These findings led to an EMAP type of monitoring
      approach by the Oregon fishery management program.

»•     Through R-EMAP efforts in Region  4, the first broad-scale  descriptions of mercury
      contamination throughout South Florida (which includes the Everglades) have been
      obtained. A statistical EMAP survey design provided the foundation for the research, and
      can  subsequently be used as a baseline to measure improvements in condition.

      EMAP   helped   initiate   the   federal   interagency   Multi-Resolution  Landscape
      Characterization (MRLC) effort in 1993. EPA, USGS, and NOAA are the primary federal
      partners in this effort. The MRLC is producing the first nationally consistent land cover
      database in over 20 years at half the cost of having each agency develop its own coverages.
      These crucial land cover classification data bases are already available for EPA Regions 1,



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       2, 3, 4, 5, and 10 and will be complete for all of the contiguous U.S. early in 2000.

       EMAP has provided extensive assistance in monitoring designs, indicator development,
       and interpretation and assessment to all  10 EPA Regions and to 27 States. In addition,
       EMAP has provided monitoring designs for 10 eastern European countries, Indonesia, the
       Russian Arctic, Brazil, Kenya, Australia, and the Scandinavian countries.

Future Directions
        The next round of R-EMAP projects will be initiated in 2000 following meetings to review,
        select, and fund proposals.
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