U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Industrial Environmental Research     EPA-600/7-78-046
Office of Research and Development Laboratory                   +r\^o
               Research Triangle Park. North Carolina 27711 MatCn 1978
     ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
     OF STATIONARY SOURCE
     NOX CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES:
     First Annual Report
      Interagency
      Energy-Environment
      Research and Development
      Program Report

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                  RESEARCH REPORTING SERIES


Research reports of the Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, have been grouped into nine series. These nine broad cate-
gories were established to facilitate further development and application of en-
vironmental technology. Elimination  of traditional  grouping was consciously
planned to foster technology transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.
The nine series are:

    1. Environmental Health Effects Research

    2. Environmental Protection Technology

    3. Ecological Research

    4. Environmental Monitoring

    5. Socioeconomic Environmental Studies

    6. Scientific and Technical Assessment Reports (STAR)

    7. Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development

    8. "Special" Reports

    9. Miscellaneous Reports

This report has been assigned to the INTERAGENCY ENERGY-ENVIRONMENT
RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT series. Reports in this series result from the
effort funded  under the 17-agency Federal  Energy/Environment Research and
Development Program. These studies relate to EPA's mission to protect the public
health and welfare from adverse effects of pollutants associated with energy sys-
tems. The goal of the Program is to assure the rapid development of domestic
energy supplies in an environmentally-compatible manner by providing the nec-
essary environmental data and control technology. Investigations include analy-
ses of the transport of energy-related pollutants and their health and ecological
effects;  assessments of, and development of, control technologies for energy
systems; and  integrated assessments of a wide-range of energy-related environ-
mental issues.



                       EPA REVIEW NOTICE
This report has been reviewed by the participating Federal Agencies, and approved
for publication. Approval does not signify that the contents necessarily reflect
the views and policies of the Government, nor does mention of trade names or
commercial products constitute endorsement or  recommendation for use.

This document is available to the public through  the National Technical Informa-
tion Service, Springfield. Virginia 22161.

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                                   EPA-600/7-78-046
                                         March 1978
ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
     OF  STATIONARY SOURCE
NOX CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES:
           First Annual Report
                      by

           L R. Waterland, H. B. Mason, R. M. Evans,
              K. G. Salvesen, and K. J. Wolfe

            Acurex Corporation/Aerotherm Division
                  485 Clyde Avenue
              Mountain View, California 94042
                Contract No. 68-02-2160
              Program Element No. EHE624A
            EPA Project Officer: Joshua S. Bowen

          Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
            Office of Energy, Minerals and Industry
             Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711
                   Prepared for

         U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
            Office of Research and Development
                Washington, D.C. 20460

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                             TABLE OF CONTENTS


Section                                                             Page

   1       INTRODUCTION 	     1

           1.1  Background	     1
           1.2  Program Overview  	     3

   2       CURRENT PROCESS TECHNOLOGY 	     7

           2.1  Utility Boilers	     9
           2.2  Packaged Boilers  	    12
           2.3  Warm Air Furnaces and Other Commercial and
                Residential Combustion Equipment  	    13
           2.4  Gas Turbines	    13
           2.5  Stationary Reciprocating 1C Engines 	    14
           2.6  Industrial Process Heating  	    15
           2.7  Summary	    15

   3       CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL BACKGROUND 	    19

           3.1  Multimedia Environmental Goals Data Requirements    20
           3.2  Research Methods  	    21

           3.2.1  Methods to Assess Ambient Pollutant Health
                  Effects	    21
           3.2.2  Methods of Assessing Pollutant Impacts on
                  Biota	    22

           3.3  Concentration Estimates for Screening Combustion-
                Related Pollutants	    23
           3.4  Summary and Conclusions	    23

   4       ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES DEVELOPMENT 	    25

           4.1  Impact Assessment Procedures  	    26
           4.2  Source Analysis Model 	    28

           4.2.1  Air Impact	    28
           4.2.2  Liquid and Solid Waste Impacts  	    30

           4.3  Assessment of Incremental Impacts Due to NOX
                Controls	    30
           4.4  Systems Analysis Methods  	    32

           4.4.1  Model Development 	    33
           4.4.2  Model Application 	    35
                                        m

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                       TABLE OF CONTENTS  (Concluded)
Section                                                              Page
   5       CONTROL TECHNOLOGY BACKGROUND   	     41
           5.1  Status and Prospects of Control Requirements   .  .     41
           5.2  Combustion Process Modification Technology   ...     42
           5.3  Alternate Control Techniques   	     45
           5.4  Overall Evaluation and Conclusions   	     46
   6       CONTROL TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT   	     51
           6.1  Process Engineering Approach   	     51
           6.2  Process Engineering Methodology 	     52
   7       ENVIRONMENTAL DATA ACQUISITION  	     57
           7.1  Baseline Emissions Inventory   	     57
           7.2  Incremental Emissions Due  to NOX Controls ....     63
           7.3  Test Program Development	     69
   8       ENVIRONMENTAL ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS 	     77
           8.1  Evaluation of NOX Control  Requirements	   - 78
           8.2  Source/Control Priorities  	     85
           8.3  Pollutant/Impact Screening  	     89
   9       TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER   	     99
   10      FUTURE  EFFORTS	    101
           REFERENCES	    103

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                           LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS

Figure                                                              Page
1-1        NOX E/A approach	     5
2-1        Sources of nitrogen oxide emissions  	     8
4-1        Impact assessment procedure  	    27
4-2        Elements of the systems analysis model	    34
6-1        Process engineering ~ subtask flowsheet 	    53
7-1        Distribution of stationary anthropogenic NOX emissions
           for the year 1974 (stationary fuel combustion:
           controlled NOX levels) 	    59

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                               LIST OF TABLES


Table                                                                Page

2-1        Sifhif leant Stationary Fuel Combustion  Equipment
           Types/Major Fuels ..................      10

2-2        Summary of Source Characterization   .........      16

4-1        Air Pollution Characteristics of the NOX  Impacted
           AQCRs and AQMAs  ...................      37

4-2        Characteristic Groups of NOX Impacted AQCRs  and
           AQMAs ........................      38

5-1        Summary of NOX Control Technology  ..........      47

7-1        1974 Summary of Air and Solid Pollutant Emission
           from Stationary Fuel Burning Equipment  (1,000  Mg)  .  .      60

7-2        NOX Mass Emission Ranking of Stationary Combustion
           Equipment and Criteria Pollutant and Fuel Use  Cross
           Ranking .......................      61

7-3        Evaluation of Incremental Emissions Due to NOX
           Controls Applied to Boilers .............      65

7-4        Evaluation of Incremental Emissions Due to NOX
           Controls Applied to 1C Engines  ...........      66

7-5        Evaluation of Incremental Emissions Due to NOX
           Controls Applied to Gas Turbines   ..........      67

7-6        Sample Test Matrix ~ Vapor Phase Constituents  ...      71

7-7        Sample Test Matrix ~ Condensed Phase
           Constituents ....................       73
8-1        Summary of Control Levels Required to Meet
           Standard in Los Angeles, AQCR 024  .........       79

8-2        Control Prioritization for Los Angeles  .......       81
8-3        Summary of Control Levels Required to Meet
           Standard in Chicago, AQCR 067   ...........       82

8-4        Control Prioritization for Chicago .........       83

8-5        Evaluation of Source Priorities   ..........       87
                                         VI

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LIST OF TABLES (Concluded)
Table
8-6
8-7
8-8
8-9
Summary of Source Control Priorities 	
Comparison of Pollutant Emission Levels with NOX
Controls to Maximum Allowable Emissions 	
Comparison of Baseline Pollutant Emission Levels
to Maximum Allowable Emissions 	
Summary of Potential Pollutant/Combustion Source
Hazards 	
Page
90
92
93
96
               vn

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                                 SECTION  1

                                 INTRODUCTION


       This report summarizes the  results of  the  first year  of  the
"Environmental Assessment of Stationary Source  NOX  Combustion Modification
Technologies" (NOX E/A).  The NOX  E/A  is  a  3-year program to:   (1)  identify
the multimedia environmental impact of stationary combustion sources  and  NOX
combustion modification controls;  and  (2) identify  the most  cost-effective,
environmentally-sound NOX combustion modification controls for  attaining  and
maintaining current and projected  NOg  air quality standards  to  the  year 2000.
During the first year, program effort  concentrated  on three  areas:   (1)
developing the methodology for environmental  assessment  and  process
engineering studies; (2) compiling data on  source process characteristics,
emissions, and pollutant impacts;  and  (3) setting program priorities  on
sources, controls, pollutants, and impacts.   This report reviews  each of
these areas and summarizes our plans for future effort,  with emphasis on  the
second year.


1.1    BACKGROUND

       The 1970 Clean Air Act Amendments  designated oxides of nitrogen (NOX)
as one of the criteria pollutants  requiring regulatory controls to  prevent
potential widespread adverse health and welfare effects.   Accordingly, in
1971, EPA set a orimary and secondary National  Ambient Air Quality  Standard
(NAAQS) for N0£ of 100 yg/m3 (annual average).  To  attain and maintain the
standard, the Clean Air Act mandated control  of new mobile and  stationary NOX
sources, each of which emits approximately  half of  the manmade  NOX
nationwide.  Emissions from light-duty vehicles (the most significant mobile
source) were to be reduced by 90 percent to a level  of 0.25  g N02/km  (0.4
g/mile) by 1976.  Stationary sources were to  be regulated by EPA  standards of
performance for new stationary sources (NSPS),  which are set as control
techno logy-becomes available.  Additional standards  required to attain air
quality in the Air Quality Control Regions  could  be  set  for  new or  existing
sources through the State Implementation Plans  (SIPs).

       Since the Clean Air Act, techniques  have been developed  and
implemented that reduce NOX emissions by a moderate  amount (30  to 50  percent)
for a variety of source/fuel combinations.  In  1971  EPA  set  NSPS for  large
steam generators burning gas, oil, and coal (except lignite).   Currently,
a more stringent standard for bituminous coal-fired  large steam generators
is being considered, based on technology developed  since 1971.  Standards

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are also being prepared for lignite-fired  large steam generators,  gas
turbines, reciprocating internal combustion engines and  intermediate-sized
steam generators.  Local standards also have seen set, primarily  for new and
existing large steam generators and gas turbines, as parts of  State
Implementation Plans in several areas with NOX problems.  This  regulatory
activity has resulted in reducing NOX emissions from over 200  stationary
sources by 30 to 50 percent.  The number of controlled sources  is  increasing
as new units are installed with factory-equipped NOX controls.

       Emissions have been reduced comparably for light-duty vehicles.   Al-
though the goal of 90-percent reduction (0.25 g N02/km)  by 1976 has  not been
achieved, emissions were reduced by about  25 percent (1.9 g/km) for  the 1974
to 1976 model years and now have been reduced by 50 percent to  1.25  g/km.
Achieving the 0.25 g/km goal has been deferred indefinitely because  of
technical difficulties and fuel penalties.  Initally the 1974  Energy Supply
and Environmental Coordination Act deferred compliance to 1978.   Recently,
the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977 abolished the 0.25  g/km goal  and
replaced it with an emission level of 0.62 g/km (1 g/mile) for  the 1981 model
year and beyond.  However, the EPA Administrator has requested  the option
of reviewing the 0.25 g/km standard in 1983 if studies of the  effect of N02
on human health show a review to be necessary.

       Because the mobile source emission  regulations have been relaxed,
stationary source NOX control has become more important for maintaining air
quality.  Several air quality planning studies have evaluated  the  need  for
stationary source NOX control in the 1980's and 1990's in view  of  recent
developments (References 1 to 7).  These studies all conclude  that relaxing
mobile standards, coupled with the continuing growth rate of stationary
sources, will require more stringent stationary source controls than current
and impending NSPS provide.  This conclusion has been reinforced  by  projected
increases in the use of coal in stationary sources.  The studies  also
conclude that the most cost-effective way  to achieve these reductions  is by
using combustion modification NOX controls in new sources.

       It is also possible that separate NOX control requirements  will  be
needed to attain and/or maintain additional N02-related  standards.  Recent
data on the health effects of N0£ suggest that the current NAAQS  should be
supplemented by limiting short-term exposure (References 4 and  8  to  10).
In fact, the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977 require EPA to set  a short-
term NO;? standard for a period not to exceed 3 hours.  Currently,  EPA plans
to consider a short-term standard in 1978  when the N02 air quality criteria
document (Reference 11) is updated (References 12 and 13).

       EPA is continuing to evaluate the long-range need for additional NOX
regulation  as part of strategies to control oxidants or pollutants  for which
NOX is a precursor, e.g., nitrates and nitrosamines (References 4, 8,  and 12
through 15).  These regulations could be source emission controls  or
additional ambient air quality standards.  In either case, additional
stationary source control technology could be required to assure  compliance.

       In summary, since the Clean Air Act, near-term trends in NOX  control
are toward reducing stationary source emissions by a moderate  amount.   Hardware
modifications in existing units or new units of conventional design  will be

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stressed.  For the far term,  air quality projections  show  that  more  stringent
controls than originally  anticipated will  be  needed.   To meet these
standards, the preferred  approach  is to  control  new sources  by  using low-NOx
redesigns.


1.2    PROGRAM OVERVIEW

       Existing combustion modification  techniques are  increasingly  being
used, and the prospects for developing and using  advanced  techniques are
good.  Thus, there is a critical need to  evaluate the  environmental,
economic, energy, and engineering  implications of combustion modification
technology.  The NOX E/A  was  begun in June 1976  to provide these  evaluations
and to specifically assess:

       a   The impacts, and potential corrective  measures, associated with
           using specific existing and advanced  combustion modification
           techniques, such as:

           —  The change in  gaseous, liquid, and solid emissions to the air,
               water, and land caused by NOX  controls

           --  The capital and operating  cost of  NOX  controls per unit
               reduction  in NOX

           —  The change in  energy consumption  efficiency

           —  The change in  equipment operating  performance

       t   The priorities and schedule for NOX control  technology development
           considering:

           —  The above  impacts for each  source/control combination

           ~  The need for controls to  attain and maintain  the current
               annual average N02  ambient  air quality  standard

           --  The need for controls to  attain and maintain  a potential short-
               term NO? standard,  or other N0x-related  standards  such as a
               standard for oxidants

           —  Alternate  mobile source standards

           —  Alternate  energy and equipment use scenarios, to the  year
               2000, in the Air Quality  Control Regions with a  potential NOX
               problem

       The first problem  evaluates the net impacts from specific  combinations
of stationary combustion  source equipment  and control  techniques.  The NOX
E/A addresses this question through a series of coordinated  efforts  to
evaluate the environmental impact  and control potential of multimedia
effluents from current and emerging energy and industrial  processes.

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The assessment effort is focused in a major process engineering and
environmental assessment task.  This task is supported by additional tasks on
emission characterization, pollutant impacts and standards, and experimental
testing.  Results from these tasks will be used to rank both current and
emerging source/control combinations based on overall environmental,
economic and operational impact.  This information is intended to help
control developers and users select appropriate control techniques to
meet regulatory standards now and in the future.  It also will define pollution
control development needs and priorities, identify economic and environmental
trade-offs among competitive processes, and ultimately guide regulatory
policy.  In this respect, the NOX E/A will contribute to the broad program of
assessments of energy systems and industrial processes being administered by
EPA's Office of Research and Development.

       The second problem above deals with specifying the best mix of control
techniques to meet air quality goals up to the year 2000.  In the NOX E/A,
this is addressed in a systems analysis task which projects air quality  in
specific air quality control regions for scenarios of NOX control, and energy
and equipment use.  These projections, together with the control cost and
impact data discussed above will suggest the most cost-effective and
environmentally-sound controls.  Results from the analysis are used in the
NOX E/A program to set priorities on both sources and controls.  More
importantly, this information will help guide R&D groups concerned with
providing a sufficient range of environmentally-sound techniques to meet the
diverse control implementation requirements.  It will also aid environmental
planners involved in formulating abatement strategies to meet current or
projected air quality standards.

       The interrelationships and technical content of the tasks cited above
are shown in Figure 1-1.  In this figure, the arrows show the sequence of
subtasks and major interactions among tasks, while the circled numbers refer
to sections of the report where the results are summarized.  Section 4,  not
shown in Figure 1-1, summarizes environmental objectives development
activities which support the total program.

       The first year, NOX E/A effort developed the supporting data and
methodologies for conducting subsequent major program tasks:  process
engineering and environmetal assessment, and systems analysis.  The initial
effort concentrated on three general areas:  compiling data on combustion
sources, pollutant impacts, control techniques, and emissions; developing the
environmental assessment and process engineering methodology; and setting
program priorities for sources, controls, pollutants, and impacts.  In this
report, the first year results are presented in terms of these three areas,
rather than by tasks.  This approach is in keeping with the annual report
format for the environmental assessments developed within IERL-RTP Energy
Assessment Control Division.

       Initial program efforts were recently documented in depth in a preliminary
environmental assessment report (Reference 16).  This report provides more
detailed discussion of many program results reported herein.

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                       EMISSION
                       CHARACTERIZATION
                                         IMPACTS &
                                         STANDARDS
                                  EXPERIMENTAL
                                  TESTING
                                                                   PROCESS ENGINEERING  &
                                                                   ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT
               ©
   COMPILE COMBUSTION
   SOURCE PROCESS
   BACKGROUND
                       GENERATE MULTIMEDIA

                       EMISSION INVENTORY

0
CHARACTERIZE PRIHARV
& SECONDARY MULTI-
MEDIA POLLUTANTS
*
DEFINE MULTIMEDIA
                                                          ©
EVALUATE DATA ON
INCREMENTAL EMISSIONS
WITH NOX CONTROLS
i

cn
       SYSTEMS
       ANALYSIS
COMPILE HOX
CONTROL PROCESS
BACKGROUND


                                                                                                 ©
DEVELOP PRELIMINARY

MODEL FOR ENVIRONMENTAL

ALTERNATIVES  STUDY
                                                         ENVIRONMENTAL  GOALS
                                                                                                                             CONTROL PRIORITIES Oil
                                                                                                                                   OF POTENTIAL  IN
                                                                                                                                  1 PROJECTED USE
GENERATE EMISSION

PROJECTIONS & REGIONAL

VARIATIONS
                                                                                              CONDUCT FIELD

                                                                                              TESTS
ENVIRONMENTAL

GOALS
                                                                                                                              COMPARE CONTROLLED

                                                                                                                              EMISSIONS TO

                                                                                                                              MULTIMEDIA GOALS
COMPARE BASELINE

EMISSIONS TO  MULTIMEDIA

ENVIRONMENTAL GOALS
                                 SELINE AND
                               CONTROLLED EMISSION
                               DATA
IMPACT CRITERIA

STANDARD PROJECTIONS
                                                                                                                               RANKING OF POTEN-
                                                                                                                               TIAL IMPACTS MITH
                                                                                                                                USTION MODIFICATI
                                                                                                                               CONTROLS
    BASELINE  IMPACT
    ASSESSMENT
                                                                                                                                                         0
                                                                                                                                             SCREEN CONTROL

                                                                                                                                             REQUIREMENTS FOR

                                                                                                                                             AIR OUALITY MAIN-

                                                                                                                                             TENANCE
                                                                                                        SELECT AMD ADAPT

                                                                                                        REACTIVE  AIR QUALITY




rwoEL
*
PROJECT SOURCE
GROWTH * AI1BIENT
STAtlOARDS
»
ASSESS CONTRllL
REOUlREMEtlTS FOR
ALTERNATE ABATEMENT
STRATEGIES
                                                                                                                                                                                       > COMPLETED
                                                                                                                                                                                        EFFORT
                                                                                                                                nnr.ni':r.
                                                                                                                                Fnnn"
                                                                                                                                                                                         EFFOPT
                                                                                                                                                                  CKIBU'.Timi HODI-

                                                                                                                                                              fFICATlON CONTROL IKYtl-J

                                                                                                                                                                  OPMEtlT PRIORITIES
                                                                        Figure   1-1.
                                                                           NO    E/A  approach.
                                                                              A

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                                 SECTION  2

                         CURRENT PROCESS  TECHNOLOGY


       This section presents the preliminary  characterization  of  NOX  sources
used to order and simplify the NOX E/A  environmental  assessment  and process
engineering studies.  This characterization categorized  equipment design
according to characteristics that affect  the  formation and/or  control  of
multimedia pollutants.  Emphasis was on stationary combustion  sources  of  NOX.
However, the other sources of NOX also  were studied,  since  the degree  of  NOX
control possible on these sources determines  the  extent  of  NOX control  needed
for stationary combustion sources.  The categories of equipment  described in
this section were used as the base for  the emission  inventory  discussed in
Section 7.1 and to rank the sources as  discussed  in  Section 8.  The source
characterization performed encompassed  the following  steps:

       •   Identify significant sources of NOX; group sources  according to
           formative mechanism and nature of  release  into the  atmosphere

       •   Categorize stationary combustion sources  according  to  equipment
           and fuel characteristics that  affect the  generation and/or  control
           of combustion-generated pollution

       •   Qualify equipment/fuel categories  on the  basis of current  and
           projected use and design trends; develop  a list  of  equipment/fuel
           combinations to be carried through  subsequent emission inventories,
           process studies, and environmental  assessments

       •   Identify effluent streams from stationary  combustion  source
           equipment/fuel categories which may be affected  by  using NOX
           combustion modification controls

       •   Identify operating modes (transients,  upsets, maintenance)  in
           which emissions may be affected by NOX combustion modification
           controls

       The significant sources of oxides  of nitrogen  emitted to  the
atmosphere are shown on Figure 2-1.  On a global  basis,  natural emissions
from biological decay and lightning make  up about 90  percent of all NOX
emissions.  In urban areas, however, up to 90 percent of the ambient  NOX  may
be due to manmade sources, primarily combustion effluent streams.  The
emphasis in the NOX E/A will be on the  fuel combustion sources bracketed  at
the top of the figure.  The remaining sources  will be considered  only

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00
Sources of
nitrogen —
oxides
                          Combustion
                          'effluent stream
                          emissions
Noncombustton
effluSnt
stream  	
emissions
                          fugitive .
                          emissions
                                                 -Statlonary-
                                                                       rFuel 	
                                                                        combustion
                                                                -Incineration
                                                   Mobile
                                                 rNatural-
                                                  Anthropogenlc
                                                                                      •Utility boilers
                                                                                      •Packaged boilers
                                                                                      •Harm air furnaces
                                                                                      •Gas turbines
                                                                                      •Reciprocating 1C engines
                                                                                      •Industrial  process combustion
                                                                                      •Advanced combustion processes  _,
                                                                                                  .  Emphasis
                                                                                                  >  of
                                                                                                     HOX E/A
-Nitric acid
-Adlplc acid
 Explosives
                                                                                     -Fertilizer
                                                                                     -Nitration

                                                                                      Nitrogen cycle
                                                                                      Lightning

                                                                                     -Open burning
                                                                                     KForest fires
                                                                                     •Structural fires
                                                                                     -Minor processes
                                        Figure  2-1.   Sources of nitrogen oxide emissions.

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as required to gauge the emissions and  impacts due to  stationary fuel
combustion.

       The major stationary fuel combustion  source classes  have been further
categorized as shown in Table 2-1.  This  table lists the major equipment
designs, types, and corresponding fuels fired, and was compiled from a survey
of installed sources, process characteristics and emission  data.  Major
source categories are discussed in the  following sections.


2.1    UTILITY BOILERS

       Utility boilers are field-erected  watertube boilers  with capacities
greater than 25-MW electrical output.   These boilers generally burn
pulverized coal, residual oil, and natural gas.  Recent designs have
multifuel capabilities, using coal as the primary fuel.  Although there  is
a large variety of specific boiler designs,  the primary design characteristic
affecting NOX emissions is the firing pattern.  The three generic firing
types are tangential, horizontally-opposed,  and single wall.  Generally,
tangential boilers and a variation of horizontally-opposed  boilers known  as
Turbofurnace have furnace mix burner designs, in which fuel  and secondary air
are mixed in the furnace.  Single wall  and horizontally-opposed boilers
generally have register mix burner designs,  where secondary air and fuel  are
premixed in the burner register.

       Three other firing designs exist in older equipment,  but these designs
are not presently being used in boilers sold for utility applications.   The
cyclone furnace was designed to fire pulverized coal,  especially slagging
coals, but also is used for oil and gas.  Inflexibility in  its normally  high
operating temperatures has made this design  obsolete for all  but high sodium
lignite firing.  Another design, the vertical furnace  boiler, was popular
before the advent of waterwalled combustion  chambers.  The  third design,  stoker
firing, is seldom used in utility boilers because of capacity limitations
and high costs.

       A design survey of the installed population indicated  that wall-fired
boilers make up almost 60 percent on a  number basis; tangential, 20 percent;
vertical and stoker, 10 percent; horizontally-opposed, 8 percent; and
cyclones, 3 percent.  However, this distribution does  not reflect respective
importance from a NOX standpoint.  For  example, wall-fired  units are
generally smaller boilers, while horizontally-opposed  boilers are primarily
large capacity designs.  In addition, vertical, stoker, and cyclone boilers
are obsolescent.

       Utility boilers produce gaseous, liquid, and solid effluents.  The
flue gas stream contains combustion-generated air pollutants, ash particles,
and volatile fuel contaminants.  Liquid streams include the ash sluicing
water, for coal-fired dry bottom boilers, the molten ash stream for wet
bottom boilers, and the scrubber waste  stream if a scrubber is used.  Solids
include hopper ash from particulate control  devices, and bottom ash from
boilers that do not use sluicing water.

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       TABLE 2-1.   SIGNIFICANT  STATIONARY  FUEL  COMBUSTION EQUIPMENT
                    TYPES/MAJOR  FUELS
 Utility Sector  (Field Erected Water-tubes)                     Fuel
      Tangential                                            PC, 0,  G
      Wall-fired                                            PC, 0,  6
      Horizontal-opposed  and Turbofurnace                   PC, 0,  6
      Cyclone                                               PC, 0
      Vertical and  stoker                                   C

 Packaged Boiler Sector
      Watertube 29  to 73 MWa                                PC, 0,  6, PG
      (100 M to 250 MBtu/hr)
      Watertube <29 MWa                                     C,  0, G, PG
      (<100 MBtu/hr)
      Firetube scotch                                       0,  G, PG
      Firetube HRT                                          C,  0, G, PG
      Firetube firebox                                      C,  0, G, PG
      Cast iron                                             0,  G
      Residential                                           C,  0, G
 Warm Air Furnace Sector
      Central heaters                                       0,  G
      Space heaters                                         0,  G
      Other residential combustion                          0,  G
Gas Turbines
      Large >15 MWa (>20,000 hp)                            0,  G
      Medium 4 to 15 MWa
      (5,000 to 20,000 hp)                                  0,  G
      Small <4 MWa  (<5,000 hp)                              0,  G
                                    10

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                         TABLE 2-1.   Concluded
Reciprocating 1C Engines
     Large bore >75 kW/cyla                               0  G
     (>100 hp/cyl)
     Medium >75 kW to 75 kW/cyla                          0  6
     (100 hp to 100 hp/cyl)
     Small <75 kWa (<100 hp)                              0, 6
Industrial Process Heating
     Glass melters
     Glass annealing lehrs
     Cement kilns
     Petroleum
         Catalytic crackers
         Process heaters
     Brick and ceramic kilns
     Iron and steel coke oven
         Underfire
     Iron and steel sintering machines
     Iron and soaking pits and reheat ovens
                    PC — Pulverized coal
                    C  — Stoker coal or other coal
                    0  — Oil
                    G  — Gas
                    PG — Process gas
aHeat input
                                   11

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       Typical operating conditions for utility boilers are:  volumetric  heat
release of 104 to 250 kW/m3 for coal-firing and 208 to 518 kW/m3 for oil  or
gas boilers; furnace pressures from -50 to 1000 Pa; and excess  air  levels  of
25 percent for coal, 10 percent for oil, and 8 percent for gas.

       Trends in utility boiler design show pulverized coal becoming the
dominant boiler fuel, with balanced draft combustion chambers increasingly
being used.  Also, in recent years orders for two boilers of moderate
capacity have become more common than single orders for a very  large boiler.


2.2    PACKAGED BOILERS

       The packaged boiler category includes all industrial, commercial,  and
residential packaged boilers.  Generally, these boilers have capacities  less
than 73-MW thermal input (250 MBtu/hr).  There are only a few package boilers
with larger capacity and these are sufficiently similar to the  smaller units
to be included in this category.

       Packaged boilers are constructed in watertube, firetube, cast iron,
and shell designs; each design has a fairly distinct capacity range.  These
boilers are fueled primarily by residual and distillate oil, natural gas,  and
stoker coal.  In addition, liquid and solid waste fuels and process gases  are
sometimes burned.

       Package watertube boilers span the larger capacity range of  this
equipment sector.  A single burner generally is used, but multiple-burner
units also exist.  Burners are always mounted on a single wall.  Although
stoker-fired package watertube boilers currently make up  less than  15 percent
of the installed population, there is increasing interest in using  them
because of the desire to shift to coal-firing.  Pulverized coal units are
available currently, but generally are too expensive.

       In firetube boilers, combustion products are directed from the
combustion chamber through straight tubes submerged in water.   Because they
are sensitive to fouling, firetube boilers normally burn fuel oils  and
natural gas, rather than coal or other high ash fuels.  Large firetube
boilers burn mainly residual oil and natural gas, while smaller boilers  burn
natural gas and distillate oil.

       The other types of package boilers (cast iron and shell  boilers)  are
minor equipment types in terms of installed capacity.  They are used
primarily to supply low-pressure steam or hot water for air and water heating
systems.

       Flue gases usually are the only combustion-related effluent  from
packaged boilers.  If pulverized or stoker coal, solid wastes,  or other  high
ash fuels are burned, both liquid and solid effluents are produced  when  ash
collection and flue gas cleanup systems are used.

       Operating conditions for package boilers vary greatly according to
equipment design, capacity, and application, and therefore only very general
operating conditions can be given.  Usually, these boilers operate  at
                                     12

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atmospheric combustion chamber pressure  and  at excess  air  levels  somewhat
higher than utility boilers.  Combustion efficiency  also  is  usually  less than
that of utility boilers.

       Recent trends show a strong movement  toward large  capacity package
watertube boilers with multifuel capabilities.   In addition, pulverized coal
boilers are becoming more commonly used  in the large capacity  range.


2.3    WARM AIR FURNACES AND OTHER COMMERCIAL AND RESIDENTIAL  COMBUSTION
       EQUIPMENT

       This source category is made  up of residential  and  commercial warm  air
furnaces used for comfort heating, and miscellaneous commercial and
residential appliances used in cooking, refrigeration,  air-conditioning,
clothes drying, and the like.  Emphasis  in the NOX E/A has been on
characterizing warm air furnaces, which come in  two  basic  types:   space
heaters, where the unit is located in the room or area  it  heats;  and central
heaters, which use ducts to transport and discharge  warm  air into the  heated
space.

      "According to U.S. Census statistics for 1970, over  55 percent of the
nation's heating units were warm air furnaces.   About  67  percent  of  these
units burned natural gas, while 23 percent burned distillate fuel oil.  Coal,
wood, and various bottled, tank, or  LP gas accounted for  the remaining 10
percent of fuel used.  Despite a continuing  trend recently toward burning
natural gas in commercial and residential warm air furnaces, the  fraction  of
equipment using this fuel is expected to drop from 37  percent  in  1974  to 35
percent by 1985, and to 32 percent by 2000 (Reference  17).

       Flue gases are generally the  only combustion-related  effluent from
warm air furnaces.  For rarely used, solid-fueled furnaces,  solid waste
consisting of dry ash would be produced.

       One of the most important characteristics of  all comfort heating
devices is their cyclic operation.   Typical  residential warm air  heaters go
through two to four cycles per hour, with an overall on-time generally less
than 50 percent.  Cyclic operation is important  for  two reasons:   first, emissions
during startup and shutdown may be substantially higher than during  continuous
operation; and second, the thermal efficiency of these  furnaces is substantially
lowered by heat losses to the flue between cycles.


2.4    GAS TURBINES

       Gas turbines are rotary internal combustion engines fueled mainly by
natural gas, diesel or distillate fuel oils, and occasionally  by  residual  or
crude oils.  These units range in capacity from  30 kW  (40  hp)  to  100 MW
(134,000 hp) heat input and may be installed in  groups  for larger power
output.

       Gas turbines have been extremely popular  in the past  decade.  They
have relatively short construction lead times, low initial cost,  light
                                     13

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weight,  low vibration level, ease and speed of  installation,  and  low  physical
profile  (low buildings, short stacks, little visible emissions, quiet
operation).  In addition, factors like remote operation,  low  maintenance,
high power-to-weight ratio, and short startup time  have added to  their
popularity.

       Large-capacity gas turbines can range up to  100 MW (134,000  hp),  while
combined-cycle and multiple turbines can range  up to 1230 MW.  These
equipment types are used almost exclusively by  electric utilities.  Medium
capacity units have capacities up to 15 MW (2000 hp) and  are  generally  used
for standby electrical generation, pipeline pumping, and  industrial power
generation.  Gas turbines less than 4 MW (5000  hp)  capacity are used  for
pipeline pumping and standby electrical generation, but these units represent
less than 5 percent of the total installed gas  turbine capacity.

       Stationary gas turbines are normally operated at constant  speed  and
output.  Combustion normally occurs at equivalency  ratios of  about  1.5  and  at
high pressure (up to 10 atmospheres).

       Large gas turbine designs have recently  tended towards higher
capacities and improved heat rates.  Because of their improved heat rate and
fuel flexibility, combined-cycle turbines seem  to be the  preferred  design for
intermediate or base load applications in the future.  Simple-cycle turbines
will be preferred for peaking.  Also, because of the trend in utilities
(which purchase over 90 percent of the turbine  capacity currently sold)
toward larger turbines, and the movement in the oil and gas industry  toward
smaller turbines, fewer medium-capacity gas turbines will be  sold.


2.5    STATIONARY RECIPROCATING 1C ENGINES

       Reciprocating 1C engines for stationary  applications range in  capacity
from 750 W (1 hp) to 48 MW (50,000 hp) heat input.  These engines are either
compression ignition (CI) units fueled by diesel oil or a dual-fuel
combination of natural gas and diesel oil, or spark ignition  (SI) engines
fueled by natural gas or gasoline.  These engines are popular because of
their versatility, load following characteristics,  high efficiency, and
capability for remote operation.  They are used for applications  ranging from
shaft power for large electrical generators and pipeline  compressors  to  small
air compressors and welders.

       Large bore 1C engines are typically high power, low or medium  speed,
4-stroke CI units fueled by diesel oil or dual  fuel.  However, many natural
gas-fueled 2- and 4-stroke SI units also exist  in this capacity range.   Dual-
fueled engines and natural gas-fueled spark ignition engines  account  for 93
percent of all the fuel consumed by these large capacity  engines.  Most  of
these engines are used to drive compressors in  the  oil and gas industry.

       The primary manufacturers of medium capacity units also make similar
engines for trucks, tractors, and construction  equipment.  As a result,
medium power stationary engines tend to be modified mobile engines, with
rotative speeds greater than 1000 rpm.  Engines in  this capacity  range
usually burn either diesel or gasoline rather than  natural gas.   They are
                                     14

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used mainly  in construction,  agriculture,  and  industry for  shaft power,
pumping, and compressing.

       Small 1C engines  are mainly one-  or  two-cylinder  units fueled by
gasoline or  occasionally diesel oil.  They  are used mainly  for  generator
sets, refrigeration compressors for trucks  and railcars, small  pumps, and
off-the-road vehicles.

       Due to the extremely large number of designs, fuels,  and applications,
general operating characteristics of this  source category are impossible to
describe.  Many factors, including air-to-fuel ratio, timing, fuel
properties, compression  radio, and chamber  design, can influence combustion
characteristics.
2.6    INDUSTRIAL PROCESS HEATING

       Significant quantities of fuel are consumed by  industrial  process
heating equipment in industries such as  iron  and  steel production,  glass
manufacture, petroleum refining, sulfuric acid manufacture,  and brick  and
ceramics manufacture.  In addition, there are dozens of  industrial  processes
such as coffee roasting, drum cleaning,  paint curing ovens,  and smelting of
metal ores that burn smaller amounts of  fuel.  Fuels fired  in these units
include oil, natural gas, producer gas,  refinery  gas,  and occasionally coal.

       Because of the wide variety of equipment design types and  fuels
(especially "waste" fuels) used in this  source category, few generalizations
can be made.  Therefore, only little effort in this program  was devoted to
characterizing this source class.  Future efforts will characterize this
category in more detail.


2.7    SUMMARY

       The primary and secondary design  types from the equipment  categories
above are summarized in Table 2-2.  The  primary design types were selected on
the basis of design trends, and are projected to  be in widespread use  in the
1980's.  Thus, they are candidates for applying NOX controls.  The secondary
design types listed are those which are  either diminishing  in use or
projected primarily for long term applications.   In either  case they will
probably not require widespread use of NOX controls in the  near future.

       The lists of effluent streams and significant operating modes on Table
2-2 were generally used throughout the emission inventories, and  will  be used
later in ranking pollution potential from specific effluent  streams.
However, data on the frequency and specific process conditions of nonstandard
operating modes were sparse.

       Source characterization activities are continuing to  define  more
precisely the high priority stationary sources of NOX.   These continuing
efforts will:
                                      15

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                                  TABLE  2-2.   SUMMARY  OF SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION
Sector
Utility
boilers
Packaged
boilers
Warm air
furnaces
Gas turbines
Reciprocating
1C engines
Industrial
process
combustion
Primary Design
Types 1n NOX E/A
Tangential* wall-
fired, horizontally
opposed turbofurnace
Watertube, scotch
flretube
Commercial and
residential central
warm air furnaces
Utility and Indus-
trial simple and re-
generative cycle
Turbocharged,
naturally aspirated

Secondary Design
Types 1n NOX E/A
Cyclone, verti-
cal, stoker
HRT flretube,
firebox fire-
tube, cast Iron
and residential
Space heaters,
other residen-
tial combustion
Combined cycle,
repowerlng
Blower
scavenged
Process heaters,
furnaces, kilns
Effluent Streams
Stack gas, partlculate
catch, bottom ash,
scrubber streams, ash
sluicing streams
Stack gas, partlcu-
late catch, hopper
ash
Flue gas
Flue gas
Flue gas
Flue gas, partlcu-
late catch, hopper
ash
Significant
Operating
Modes
Sootbl owing,
on-off transients,
load transients,
upsets, combustion
additives
As above
On-off cycling
transient
On-off transient,
load following,
Idling at spin-
ning reserve
On-off transients,
Idling
Charging opera-
tions, upsets,
starting transi-
ents
Trends
Coal-firing 1n new units;
conversion to oil and
coal 1n existing units:
few new wet bottom, cy-
clones, stoker or verti-
cal units
Pulverized coal and
stokers 1n large water-
tubes; heavy oil and
stokers In smaller water-
tubes; heavy oil 1n fire-
tubes; decreasing use of
HRT and firebox flretubes
011 firing and trend
to high efficiency 1n
new units
Trend to higher turbine
Inlet temperature, larger
capacity and oil firing
1n new units; rapid
growth projected
Low growth rate of dlesel
units
Increasing use of coal In
kilns; some use of syn-
thetic gases from coal
cr>

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Determine geographic distributions of equipment by fuel and firing
type

Refine trends in equipment design, sales, fuels, and conversion
to alternate fuels

Further characterize both liquid and solid effluents originating
from stationary combustion sources

Characterize nonstandard operating conditions in terms of frequency,
duration, and effect on NOX formation mechanisms

Further characterize the industrial process heating sector
                          17

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                                  SECTION  3

                      CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL  BACKGROUND


       The NOX E/A involves separate  assessments  of  the  impacts  of:

       1.  Multimedia pollutants  from a single  uncontrolled  (for NOX)  source
           on human health and terrestrial and  aquatic ecology

       2.  Multimedia pollutants  from a single  controlled  source on  human
           health and terrestrial and aquatic ecology

       3.  NOX control strategies applied to sources in  Air  Quality  Control
           Regions on ambient concentrations of N02  and  oxidants

The assessment methodology for each of these consists of the following  three
elements:

       •   An emission inventory  listing  all multimedia  effluents  crossing
           the plant boundary (cases  1 and 2 above), or  listing  all  NOX
           emissions within an AQCR (case 3), including  quantities emitted
           and temporal variations in emissions

       t   A transport analysis model  which  accounts for dispersion  effects
           and chemical or physical transformations  to estimate  ambient
           concentrations

       0   A set of impact criteria which describes  the  set  of acceptable
           ambient pollutant concentrations

       NOX E/A efforts to date have emphasized  selecting suitable  impact
criteria.  -These criteria will be used in two ways.  In  some cases,  a goal
for emission levels or control system effectiveness  will be  specified,  and
the overall impact of this goal on the environment will  be determined from
the methodology.  In other cases, a goal for pollutant ambient concentration
will be specified and the requirements for emission  levels or control systems
will be determined from the methodology.  These emission-based goals,
together with health/ecology-based goals, are termed "Multimedia
Environmental Goals" (MEGS)-

       The first year of the NOX  E/A  has been spent  establishing requirements
for multimedia environmental goals, surveying pollutant  effects  research
                                     19

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methods suitable for use in setting MEGS, and deriving preliminary
health/ecology-based MEGS.  The results of these efforts are summarized
below.


3.1    MULTIMEDIA ENVIRONMENTAL GOALS DATA REQUIREMENTS

       Ideally impact assessments in the NOX E/A will need to consider
potential pollutant impacts on:

       •   Human health through inhalation

       •   Human health through ingestion

       •   Aquatic plants and animals

       •   Terrestrial plant and animals

In these assessments, the impacts of oxides of nitrogen and secondary
pollutants from NOX (oxidants, nitrates) will be given special consideration,
since they directly relate to the need for NOX control systems.  Material
impacts and the impacts of noise and thermal pollution will be given
secondary emphasis.

       The MEGS data required in assessing the above impacts change as the
program progresses.  Initially, approximate impact screening concentrations
are needed for the "universe" of potential pollutants emitted by sources
under consideration.  These screening concentrations, when compared to
emission measurements or estimates, allow relative priorities to be set on
sources, effluents, and pollutants.  Subsequently, more detailed data on
impacts and effects are needed to quantify impacts of the smaller class of
sources, effluents, and pollutants given high priority in the program.  At
this stage, more precise analyses of potential secondary pollutants can also
be made.

       To date, the major effort in establishing MEGS has focused on
developing the impact screening concentrations.  Gaseous stream pollutants
were emphasized since these include the vast majority of combustion-generated
pollutants potentially affected by combustion modification NOX controls.
Initial surveys of dose-response data and discussions with pollutant impact
researchers indicated that impact screening concentrations based largely on
impacts on human health through inhalation  would be most appropriate.  These
impacts are the most readily identified and quantified for gas stream pollutants.
Impact on human health through ingestion depends heavily on site-specific
food chain vectors, and cannot be easily generalized for screening purposes.
Terrestrial and aquatic effects are also highly dependent on site-specific
or regional conditions.  These may be treated in the impact screening .on a
"worst case" basis, but such considerations offer little insight beyond that
gained from using human health impacts through inhalation.
                                     20

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3.2    RESEARCH METHODS

       A variety of research techniques  has been used  to  evaluate pollutant
toxicity.  The following subsections discuss  these  techniques  and their relevance
to the current program.  Research methods which evaluate  human  health effects
are considered in the first subsection;  aquatic and  terrestrial effects are
considered in the second.


3.2.1  Methods to Assess Ambient Pollutant Health Effects

       Many research methods have been used to study the  toxic  effects of
inhaled substances.  These include  long- and  short-term laboratory  animal
studies, short-term human experiments, case reports  and industrial  hygiene
reports, and epidemiologic studies  on exposed workers  and general
communities.  However, each of these methods  is limited,  and cannot
unambiguously be used to estimate ambient exposure  limits which protect the
general population.  For example, animal study is the  only practical method
for assessing long-term response to controlled exposure,  but extrapolation to
human effects is qualitative at best.  Similarily,  it  is  difficult  to
predict the effects of continuous long-term exposure from the  results of
short-term human experiments.

       In view of the above, it is  not surprising that the available data
base on the health effects of pollutant  exposure is  quite limited.  Clearly,
it is not possible to identify with certainty an ambient  concentration at
which a particular health effect may be  expected to  occur. Conversely, it is
also impossible to identify levels  at which no adverse affect  is expected.
Indeed, for many substances considered,  the published  literature contains no
accounts of human or animal exposures at levels that even approximate
typical ambient concentrations.

       Acknowledging the lack of suitable data, Research  Triangle Institute
(RTI) has developed a method for estimating permissible ambient concentrations
for community exposure using occupational threshold  limit values (TLVs) and
animal LD50s (Reference 18).  However, there  are obvious  limitations to
basing permissible pollutant levels on TLVs and LDSOs. For example, TLVs
were established to protect a largely healthy, male  adult population from
intermittent exposure, whereas a permissible  level  should protect an entire
community from continuous exposure.  Likewise using  animal LDBOs to estimate
allowable ambient levels is subject to all the difficulties inherent in
extrapolating animal results to human effects.

       RTI has taken these difficulties  into  account and  has developed
formulas to estimate what continuous pollutant exposure is hazardous to the
health of the general public.  The  two equations used  in  the present study
are x - 1.65 x 10"3 (TLV) and x = 4.77 x 10~5 (LD50) where x is defined as
"the pollutant concentration (ug/m3) for which continous  exposure with 100-
percent absorption causes a stationary maximum body  concentration equal to
0.05 percent LD50 value of the compound, assuming a  biological  half-life of
30 days," and LD50 is the oral LD50 for  rats.
                                     21

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       RTI emphasizes that these estimated concentrations, x,  are  not
applicable to known or suspected mutagens, carcinogens,  or teratogens,  and
can be applied only to substances whose biological half-life  is  short
compared to the average human life.  In addition, these  formulas,  based upon
a "one-compartment model with a single, first-order excretion  rate," do not
account for synergistic interactions between pollutants,  and  assume that all
pollutants entering the respiratory system are retained  by the body.

       This approach is unavoidably simple since  it makes many assumptions
and uses a single expression to predict safety levels for a wide variety of
pollutants.  However, assumptions concerning rates of excretion, age
differences in respiratory uptake, and corrections for the intermittent
nature of occupational exposures are reasonable.  On the other hand, assuming
100 percent absorption, even distribution of inhaled pollutants  throughout
the body, and the applicability of animal LD50 data to man may limit the
usefulness of these calculations.  Still, since no other data  were available,
the RTI formulas were used to generate the permissible ambient concentration
levels used in the present effort.


3.2.2  Methods of Assessing Pollutant Impacts on Biota

       The following three levels of evaluation are generally  used to
describe pollutant impact on terrestrial and aquatic biota:

       0   "First Estimate" Techniques, which include methods  for  making
           rapid (and preliminary) assessments of adverse effects  specific
           chemicals may have on aquatic or terrestrial  biota

       •   Experimental Establishment of Impact Concentrations,  which
           includes appropriate methods for establishing  experimental
           concentrations of specific chemicals which will cause lethal or
           sublethal damage in sensitive aquatic and terrestrial species

       •   Site-Specific Techniques, which are methods to determine whether
           pollutants at a particular site affect local  aquatic  and
           terrestrial ecosystems

       Unfortunately all existing techniques are  limited.  For example, most
approaches used to test a specific chemical have failed  to evaluate interactive
phenomena such as synergistic, additive, or antagonistic behaviors of other
effluent stream chemicals.  In addition, differences in  the chemical tolerance
of species in different areas remain unexplored.  Pollutant effects on  different
life stages of a species are also often overlooked and sublethal effects are
largely undetermined.  Furthermore, effects of alternative culturing times
and techniques, and the natural and acquired resistance  natural  populations
have to particular pollutants remain unexplored.  Because of  these and  many
other limitations of available methods, conventional experimental  techniques
often produce data with little value for assigning "safe" or  permissible levels
of toxicity.

       Moreover, certain site-specific techniques are rather  crude and  cannot
incorporate the controls necessary to establish causative relationships when
                                     22

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 damage  is  noted.   Because  of  these  and  other problems,  data  generated  from
 all  techniques  have  limited usefulness.

        The current effort  used  only the very general  first estimate
 procedures  to set  the  limits  derived.   Future program work will  rely more
 heavily on  bioassay  testing and  site-specific techniques.


 3.3     CONCENTRATION ESTIMATES FOR  SCREENING COMBUSTION-RELATED  POLLUTANTS

        Using the methods described  previously (and  recognizing the
 limitations-of  these methods),  and  the  available  support  information,
 preliminary screening  concentrations were  estimated for all  potential
 combustion  source  pollutants  identified.   Screening concentrations were
 derived for both human health effects and  for effects on  terrestrial and
 aquatic biota and  are  reported  in Reference  16.   These  data  were then  used
for preliminary screening  and setting priorities.   The  data  assembled  will  be
 reviewed during subsequent impact assessment and  test data collection  tasks
of the NOX E/A.  Results will be revised whenever new information requires.
The presentation of  only the  calculated  levels herein does not reflect the
 large volume of data on health effects  which has  been collected  and  reviewed.

       The screening concentration  values  calculated  were  generated  according
 to the RTI method  discussed above (except  when an ambient  air standard
 existed and could  be used  instead).  In most cases  screening levels  were
 based on occupational  threshold  limit values using  the  8-hour, time-weighted
 average (TWA) TLV.   In cases  where  a TLV was unavailable,  concentrations were
 estimated from  LD50s.  Oral LD50 values for  rats  were preferred,  followed  by
 oral LD50  data  for mice, and  intraperitoneal and  subcutaneous LDSOs.  In a
 few cases, TDLo (lowest published toxic  dose)  and LDLo  (lowest published
 lethal  dose) were  used.  Although the RTI  formulas  have been discussed
 previously, it  should  be repeated that  these estimates  are,  at best, a rough
 approximation.

        Subsequent  to the above  effort,  a draft final  report  describing
further RTI work was received (Reference 19).  In general, this  report
 extended and elaborated on the  previous RTI  work  and  largely encompassed the
 NOX E/A work done  to date.  The methodology  was essentially  the  same as
 reported previously, although the constants  were  changed  slightly.   For
 example, the latest  report recommends x  =  2.38 x  KT3 (TLV)  in place of the
 previous x  = 1.65  x  10~3 (TLV).  Because of  the greater scope and detail of
 these RTI  activities,  it was  recommended that it  be utilized instead for
 further work in the  NOX E/A program.  This will also  help  in comparing the
 impact  assessment  portions of NOX E/A to other environmental assessments
 sponsored  by EPA/IERL-RTP.


 3.4     SUMMARY  AND CONCLUSIONS

        The  purpose of  the  environmental background  task is to survey
 available pollutant  impact data  and from these, describe  the approach  and
 Multimedia  Environmental Goals  required  to conduct  impact  assessments.
A two-step  approach  has been  selected.  The  first step  uses  approximate
                                      23

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impact screening data for a large number of pollutant species.   The  second
step entails a more detailed impact assessment for a smaller  number  of
potentially hazardous pollutants.

       A tentative list of screening MEGS has been compiled and  used to  set
priorities on sources, controls, effluent streams and impacts.   This list has
recently been augmented with the RTI MEG data {Reference 20).  Further NOX
E/A work in deriving impact screening MEGS will be limited.   Most of the data
will be supplied by RTI, with review to ensure that the results  are
appropriate for NOX E/A assessments.  The use of impact screening MEGS for
ranking sources and pollutants will continue as new data become  available.

       Further environmental background effort centers on two tasks:

       •   Assess site-specific impact factors, such as regional food chain
           vectors, and regional terrestrial and aquatic ecology, to augment
           environmental alternatives analyses made using MEGS

       •   Survey the basis of existing standards and estimate further
           standards for long- and short-term exposure to N02, oxidants,
           nitrates, and other secondary pollutants for use in assessing the
           impact of applying NOX control technologies
                                     24

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                                  SECTION 4

                    ENVIRONMENTAL OBJECTIVES  DEVELOPMENT


       In the NOX E/A, three  assessments of pollutant  impacts  will  be made:

       •   Baseline Source Analysis:   Compare ambient  multimedia pollutant
           concentrations from baseline (uncontrolled)  stationary combustion
           sources to multimedia  environmental goals (MEGS)

       •   Controlled Source  Analysis:  Compare  ambient multimedia  pollutant
           concentrations from sources controlled for  NOX  to MEGS

       a   Environmental Alternatives  Analysis (NOX):   Compare ambient  concentrations
           of N02, resulting  from using selected NOX control strategies on
           a regional basis,  to ambient air quality goals  for  N02

The first two assessments consider the impact from operating a single
source and include all potential multimedia pollutants.  The third
assessment considers the impact from using NOX controls  on a variety of
sources (typically within an  Air Quality Control Region) but is restricted to
N0£ or NOg-related pollutants, such as oxidants.

       All three assessments  are performed in three steps:

       •   Compile estimates  of emissions and process  data compatible with
           the multimedia environmental goals

       •   Estimate pollutant dispersion from a  single source  (for  Baseline
           or Controlled Source Analyses) or  from a group  of sources in an
           AQCR (Environmental Alternatives Analysis)  to relate ground  level
           concentrations to  source emissions, considering methodology, source
           configuration, and secondary transformations

       •   Generate emission  based or  health/ecology based MEGS for use as
           impact criteria

Various models are needed to  relate these three  steps  in the methodology.
The complete methodology to be used is described in the  following
subsections.
                                     25

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4.1    IMPACT ASSESSMENT PROCEDURES

       Key components of the three assessments, baseline  source  analysis,
controlled source analysis, and environmental alternatives  analysis,  are
shown sequentially in Figure 4-1.  This sequence  is used  iteratively
throughout the NOX E/A.  In the first year, a preliminary pass through  the
sequence was made to set program priorities and identify  data needs.  This
first pass is being followed by subsequent passes  in which  more  refined models
and more comprehensive emissions data and MEGS are used.  Throughout  the  du-
ration of the program, all assessments will be repeated as  new data are
obtained.

       The baseline source analysis of each source serves two purposes.
First, it identifies the pollutants emitted by each source  category which
should be evaluated further to see if a program to develop  control technology
is warranted.  Such an assessment could include collecting  additional
emission data, conducting a careful dispersion analysis (or even  a combined
emissions and ambient air test program), or developing a  better  estimate  of
the health and welfare effects of the pollutant.  Second, the baseline  source
analysis identifies data needs for detailed process engineering  evaluations
of NOX controls.  The multimedia assessment also will indicate sources  that
emit critical quantities of some pollutants, so that serious consideration
can be given to sampling that kind of source.

       The baseline multimedia assessment will use a Source Analysis  Model
(SAM) as described in Section 4.2.  This model calculates a nationwide  impact
factor for each source type (e.g., horizontally-opposed coal-fired utility
boilers) based on the relative importance of the ambient  contribution of  each
emitted pollutant to predetermined permissible concentrations, existing ambient
levels of those pollutants, the affected population, and  the expected growth
of the source type.

       The Source Analysis Model is also used in the Controlled  Source  Analy-
sis described in Section 4.3.  In this analysis, however, more detailed
consideration is given to site-specific effects such as the formation of  sec-
ondary pollutants through atmospheric reaction, and regionally-dependent
ecological conditions.  The site-specific impact study will be conducted  for
fewer source/effluent stream/pollutant combinations than  in the  baseline
source analysis.  These combinations will be selected from  priority ranking
of potential environmental hazards using the SAM.

       The Environmental Alternative Analysis is the final  step  in the
assessment sequence.  It uses the results of the  source analysis  models and
process studies to show the most environmentally-sound and  cost-effective NOX
control system for attaining air quality goals for NOX.   The environmental
alternatives analysis is also iterative; a preliminary pass through the steps
in this analysis has been conducted in the first year of  the program.   Both
the preliminary and the more refined determination of the need for controls
(based on attaining and maintaining N0x-related ambient air goals) are  being
performed with the aid of systems analysis models, described in  Section 4.4.
Modified rollback was used for the preliminary evaluations  and will continue
to be the primary air quality model used in systems analyses.  Weighting
factors will be incorporated into this model to account for stack height,
                                     26

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    Reed for
  Environmental
 Assessments of
Other rolluUnts
  DetereriBe

    • Potentlil eultlaedli conctnii
      (ttrtm mi effluents)

    • Dati needs (testing) for
      proccti engineering
                                Sovree Ttttt
                                 Emissions Oau
                                  • Baseline
                                                                                      Mselln
                                                                                      Source
                                    •). control
                                               dut to
Process Engine
rcrlng
       Cost B«U
   Fuels AvilltbtHty
    Eootpwnt Trendl
                               Tet.1  liptct *f cMtralllig W, frv
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                                   Coit

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                                   Incnaenul oi1»1oni of other
                                   polluUnts/Bedl*

                                   Unrciolved opentlonal protlem

                                   Heeds for full-wile deKmstritl
       Envl
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|      Soun
 EnvlromenUl
     (Total iBfuet) if
     l»Di fro. Specif 1<
Source  Category
 Ccenarlof
  • Brovtk I fuels
  e Mtenl ttanoarA
  • «sn
  e Koblle sUnoarA
    Preferred Controls
    far Each tnel  of
 IB. Emissions Deductloiis
                                                     Controlled
                                                     Source
                                                     Analyst!
  Regional Envli BMtntal
Analyili (System Inalysl
    Air quality Hodel)
More Cost-Effective Ntans of
Achieving (D.-Kelated goals
  In Representative AQC*s
                                               for MO
                                  • nee*
                                  • Sce«t

                                  » Schedule
                                                                                  Envtromtnul
                                                                                  Alternatives
                                                                                  Analysis
   Figure  4-1.    Impact  assessment  procedure.
                            27

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patterns.  These weighting factors will be derived from  a  limited  application
of photochemical dispersion models.


4.2    SOURCE ANALYSIS MODEL

       The Source Analysis Model is primarily oriented towards  a rapid
assessment of the potential of a given source for impacting  the environment.
It considers the multimedia impact of each combustion source type  under
baseline operating conditions and, by comparing these individual assessments,
ranks the sources in terms of overall pollution potential.   The resulting
list will guide the selection of sources for which control devices need  to  be
developed or applied.

       The following discussion describes the approach used  for determining
the impact of a given source type on the air, water, and land.


4.2.1  Air Impact

       The impact of a gaseous effluent stream on air quality will be deter-
mined by calculating the impact of each pollutant species  in the discharge
and summing these individual impacts.  The result is then multiplied by  the
number of people exposed to the effluent, to produce the impact factor for
that source.

       The first step is to identify a representative source with  operating
characteristics and physical dimensions typical of all sources  in  its class,
(for example, wall-fired utility boilers/coal-fired).  This  model  source
would have a specific fuel consumption rate, ESP efficiency, stack height,
etc.  Using these data plus all necessary emission factors,  the emission rate
of each pollutant species  is calculated.  Then, using a  Gaussian dispersion
model (for point sources), or a HoIzworth model (for area  sources) the  ground
level concentration of each pollutant, X-jj,  is calculated  at or near the
source.  An intermediate indication of the relative  impact of each species  is
given by the term


                                    x  (area  affected)


where X-jj is the ground level concentration  of pollutant j due  to  source i;
X/\j is a ground level concentration deemed sufficiently  low  to  cause no
harmful effects (the Research Triangle Institute-derived MEG values will be
used); and the area affected is, for an area source,  the  ground area within
which all of the sources are located.  For a point source, the  term takes on
the form of an area integral of Xij/X^j over the regions in  which  X-jj is an
appreciable fraction of XA,-:

                            A,.. =
where A is the area surrounding the source.
                                     28

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       Other terms of  interest  can  be  calculated  by  replacing  X-jj  by (Xjj  +
Xjg), where Xj3  is the ambient  background  of  pollutant  j  near  the  source.
This background  concentration varies from  region  to  region,  but only two
different values will be used:   one representative of  an  urban area  (Xjgu),
the other of a rural area  (Xjgr).
       The resulting terms are:
ij
 = /   (xij + xjBr)/xAj
      L            '   J J
                                       dA        (°r  the corresponding
                                                area source term)
and
where the integrals are taken over  areas  in  which  X-jj  is  an appreciable part
of the background or in which xij/x/y  is  large.  These intermediate impact
terms calculated with the background terms result  in  a higher impact factor
for sources which are preferentially located in  high  background regions.

       Thus, A-JJ is the impact  due  to  source i of  pollutant j by itself;  B^j
is a measure of the importance  of the  pollutant  in a  typical rural  setting;
and Cij is the corresponding measure for  an  urban  location.  A list of these
factors for a particular source indicates which  pollutants  are a potential
hazard .

       The effect of all pollutants is then  defined as the  algebraic sum of
the terms for each species:
   = E A.JJ
B-J = Z B-JJ

     J
C,- = Z C
        ^,-
                              Unit  impact  of  source by itself


                              Unit  impact  of  source in rural  area


                              Unit  impact  of  source in urban  area
       The important effect of  human  exposure  is  incorporated by multiplying
these cumulative impact factors by  the  population density (persons/square
kilometer) in the exposed region  and  summing over the  total  number  of  urban
and rural sources of type i:
                                      29

-------
where PR and Pu are the average rural and urban population  densities  and  NR
and NU are the number of sources in rural and urban  settings  respectively.
In addition, an impact factor for a single source of type  i can  be  defined  by
dividing Ij by the sum of NR^ and NU-j.  This new factor,  1-j1,  still contains
information on the urban/rural split of source locations.

       These factors, Ij and I.,-1, can be used initially  to  rank  sources  in
terms of their pollution potential.  However, source growth rates  and the
estimated future trends in applying available control methods  have  not yet
been considered, but are potentially significant.  These  factors will be
included by doing a complete source ranking for the  years  1977,  1985, 1990,
and 2000, and comparing the resulting lists.  In this way,  the control R&D
priorities can be qualified to account for sources growing  or  diminishing in
importance.


4.2.2  Liquid and Solid Waste Impacts

       Impact factors for liquid and solid effluent  streams are  much  more
difficult to determine using the above approach than those  for air.   Sampling
data for liquid and solid waste streams are not nearly as  complete  as for gas-
eous streams, and the ultimate fate of the discharged pollutants is difficult
to determine.  For example, mercury waste might be sent  to  a  settling pond
where it could seep into the ground water and be absorbed  by  plants.   The
mercury in the plants could then be ingested by humans eating  either  the  plants or
meat from animals that have fed on the plants.  The  number  of  pathway scenarios
for liquid and solid effluents are far more numerous than  for  air  emissions
and at present, we have no way of modeling the resulting  dispersion by a  method
suitable for application in this assessment.

       Therefore, we have resorted to calculating impact  factors using the
SAM/IA procedure (Reference 20).  Here, the impact factor  for  a  source is
defined as


                                         :3 x Fe
where Xgj is the concentration of pollutant j  in the  effluent  stream;
is a Minimum Acute Toxicity Effluent concentration  determined  by Research
Triangle Institute (RTI) (Reference 19), and Fe is  the  effluent stream flowrate,
The XMAJE values are suggested by RTI as effluent concentrations which,  given
minimal dispersion, will not result in harmful environmental  impacts.

       The results of these calculations will be used to  rank  the liquid and
solid effluent streams.


4.3 ASSESSMENT OF INCREMENTAL IMPACTS DUE TO NOX CONTROLS

       The program efforts described above outlined our approach for
assessing the baseline (uncontrolled for NOX)  environmental  impact of
                                     30

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stationary combustion  sources.  This  section will  describe  the  extension  of
baseline source  impact rankings to  include the  incremental  effects of
applying combustion NOX controls.

       There are several reasons for  describing  incremental effects  in
greater depth.   First, a major aim  of the NOX E/A  is  to  assess  the
environmental soundness of current  NOX control  technologies.  Secondly, in
the NOX E/A, control technologies are to be ranked  in order of  preferred
application based largely on relative environmental  and  technical soundness.
Thirdly, we want to identify areas  where future  NOX  control R&D is needed to
develop alternative or advanced control technologies  to  replace unsound
technologies and/or increase controllability.   Finally,  we  want to indicate
areas where auxiliary  control development is required to correct deficiencies
in current NOX technologies.  To meet these goals, the incremental effects of
NOX controls on the environmental impact potential of stationary combustion
sources must be determined.

       Procedures to be followed in assessing the  incremental environmental
impacts from using NOX combustion controls are  analogous to those described
for evaluating baseline source impacts.  Thus,  incremental  emissions data
will be compared to MEGS through the  source analysis  model  (developed as
described in Section 4.2) to yield  controlled impact  factors as a function of
the type of control and the NOX reduction achieved.   Since  preliminary
screening efforts indicated that available data  were  mostly only qualitative
(especially for noncriteria pollutants), we will rely heavily on the field
test programs to supply needed information on incremental emissions  effects.
Of course, baseline emissions data  obtained in  these  tests  will be used to
refine the baseline source impact ranking.

       In performing the incremental  impact analysis, it is important to
realize that controlled source impact is significant  only when  related to
baseline impact  and, ultimately, to multimedia  environmental goals.  For
example, a source may  have small baseline impact but  large  relative
incremental impact for a particular NOX control.   However,  its  controlled
environmental impact may still be small, when compared to environmental
goals.  Conversely, a  source with large baseline impact, but small relative
incremental effects may still prove to be significantly  more harmful when
controlled for NOX.

       Incremental effects will be  evaluated with  the source analysis model
for combustion-generated pollutants included in  the  baseline analyses.  Thus,
more emphasis-will be  placed on gaseous emissions.   New  pollutant species
identified through the testing programs (through Level 1 bioassays and any
subsequent Level 2 testing) will not  be incorporated  into the assessment
model, however,  any incremental effects noted will  be qualitatively  treated
in the controlled impact evaluations.  Similarly,  secondary pollutant effects
will be evaluated only qualitatively.  Nonpollutant  impacts, such as noise or
thermal pollution, will only be considered superficially, since they are
generally not significantly affected  by NOX combustion controls.

       Incremental impacts will be  assessed for  the  individual  NOX controls
identified as major techniques in Section 8, and for  commonly used combinations
of control techniques.
                                     31

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       To obtain a more complete controlled  source  impact  evaluation,  the
source analysis model/impact factor assessment  described above  will  be extended
for selected cases by performing a set of  site-specific  impact  analyses.
Present plans are to specify representative  synthetic  sites.  Typical  site
characteristics will be determined from  knowledge gained while  compiling  the
baseline emission inventory, modeling baseline  impact, conducting  the  systems
analysis, and developing AQCR scenarios.   Detailed  environmental  impact analyses,
for an appropriate stationary combustion source  at  the site,  will  then be
performed through subcontracted effort.  In  general, two scenarios will be
evaluated:  a baseline, uncontrolled source  scenario,  and  a fully  N0x-controlled
(using current, major technology) source scenario.

       Such site-specific analyses will provide  more detailed impact informa-
tion, such as more definite information  on secondary pollutant  impacts, and
impacts on terrestrial and aquatic life.   Such  information will allow  greater
insight and a wider view of incremental  NOX  control effects.

       The final step will be to rank control technologies according to
preferred application, and identify environmentally- and technically-sound
control combinations.  To develop this ranking,  environmental impact
evaluations will be combined with economic,  operational, and  fuel  efficiency
impacts obtained through the process/cost  calculations.  The  ranking will
take into account all aspects of control application.  It  will  identify,  for
a single source class, the costs of NOX  control  versus degree and
effectiveness of control, along with incremental environmental  impacts versus
degree of control.

       From this ranking it will be possible to  identify research  and
development needed to:

       •   Accelerate development and demonstration of current, research-scale,
           far-term controls

       •   Increase basic research on new  control concepts

       •   Develop auxiliary controls to alleviate  adverse incremental
           impacts of current technology controls

This evaluation of NOX controls for single source classes  is  the culmination
of the process engineering studies.  Issues  relating to  source  category
ordering for control, and more global control development  needs are  treated
through systems analysis, described in the next  section.


4.4    SYSTEMS ANALYSIS METHODS

       The goal of the systems analysis  is to provide  a quantitative basis
for identifying the needs for future NOX controls and  thereby specifying  R&D
direction for developing these controls.   Although  the rankings of control
methods for a particular source (described in Section  4.3) are  extremely
valuable, they do not provide information  on when a particular  control method
will be needed or on the order in which different sources  should be  controlled.
This information will be supplied by the systems analysis.
                                     32

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       In the systems analysis, the costs and fuel  impacts for controls for
all sources are combined with predictions of air quality for a particular
AQCR to evaluate the cost and effectiveness of a control strategy.  This subsection
discusses the methodology for the systems analyses:  first, the development
and content of the systems analysis, then procedures for using the model.


4.4.1  Model Development

       The function of the systems analysis model  is to combine the various
elements that must be considered in evaluating a control strategy.  These
elements include the emission levels, controls data, controls prioritization,
fuels data, and air quality predictions, as shown  schematically in Figure
4-2.  The evaluation of the control strategy is then made based on the cost
of the control strategy and its resulting air quality  (primarily  N02  concentration).

       The most critical element in the system analysis model is  the  air
quality model.  Candidate models differ not only in their degree  of
sophistication, but also in their resolution and versatility.  Usually, the
sophisticated models require more elaborate input  data than the simpler
models, a significant amount of calibration, and considerable experience to
use them intelligently.  On the other hand, the simpler models, which try to
model the atmospheric processes in an integral manner, are based  on many
correlations of the available data and lack the resolution of the sophisti-
cated models.

       During the first year of the NOX E/A, the systems analysis has been
used primarily for screening and preliminary prioritization of control
methods.  A modified form of rollback was used to  reduce the amount of emission
data needed, minimize computation costs, and provide maximum flexibility in
the initial phases of the analysis.  Furthermore,  only the NOX-NO? relationship
was considered, and thus, HC emissions data did not need to be collected.

       The rollback model used here is given by


                     AC = k[ ]C  (1 - Ri) EiWi I   + B6
                        = kf ]C   (1 - RI) EiWi j
where  AC = ambient concentration

       E.J = uncontrolled emissions from source i

       R.J = reduction by control of source  i

       Wi = weighting factor for source i

       BG = background concentration  (the background  concentration has been
            assumed to be 10 yg/m3 for all  cases)
                                     33

-------
                      UNCONTROLLED
                        EMISSIONS
                      AIR QUALITY
                         MODEL
                     PRIORIIIZATION
                           OF
                        CONTROLS
                  CONTROL REQUIREMENTS
                     CONTROL COSTS
                  AMBIENT AIR QUALITY
Figure 4-2.   Elements of the systems analysis model.
                           34

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The calibration constant, k,  is determined  by  evaluating  the  equation  at  some
"base year" for which the ambient  concentration,  and  emissions,  are  known
(Ri = 0).

       Although factors such  as stack height and  relative position of  source
and receptor are not explicitly included  in the model,  they are  implicitly
included because the model  is essentially a correlation between  existing  emission
patterns and the resulting  ambient air conditions.  Moreover,  in the present
formulation it is possible  to specify the relative  importance  of each  source
type by using the weighting factors.  For example,  in an  AQCR  with a large
mixing height, emissions from elevated sources are  widely dispersed  and,  therefore,
do not have the same impact on ground level concentration as  the same  amount
of ground level emissions.  Thus,  a  source  weighting  factor  less than  1.0 could
be assigned to the elevated sources  (e.g.,  powerplants) to account for stack
height.*

       Future program work will extend the  systems  analysis model to include
photochemical transport models for the air quality  predictions.   Including
photochemical transport will make the systems model more  complex, but  will
allow geographical distribution of emissions,  stack height, and  meteorology to
be treated directly.  Both Lagrangian and Eulerian  forms  will  be considered.
Models of this form predict 1-hour N02 and oxidant  concentrations for
specific days.  These short-term concentrations can be  extended  to annual
averages by statistical methods.  Because of expense, these more sophisti-
cated models will be used only to examine selected  cases.  The results will
be used to validate and calibrate rollback  calculations.


4.4.2  Model Application

       Since the intent of the systems analysis is  to guide NOX  control
research activities, a wide variety  of emission and ambient concentration
combinations must be considered so that the results are relevant to  the
national NOX problem.  In this subsection the  rationale is presented for
selecting the AQCRs to be examined and for  choosing the growth scenarios.  In
addition, the sensitivity analysis that verifies  the  predictions is
described.

       Although air pollution in each of  the 247  Air  Quality  Control Regions
(AQCRs) is characterized by widely varying  combinations of emissions sources
and meteorological conditions, analysis of  NOX control  strategies for  each
AQCR is impractical and unwarranted.  Therefore,  the  number of AQCRs to be
considered was reduced as follows:

       t   Identify air pollution characteristics,  including  meteorology,
           emissions, ambient air quality levels, and data availability
*Each choice of  weighting factors  is equivalent  to  choosing  a  different model
for the AQCR.  In all cases the model must be  calibrated  for  the  base year
(calculate k) before future year projections are  made.
                                     35

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       •   Group AQCRs according to these air pollution characteristics

       t   Select one AQCR to represent each group for further analysis

The group of AQCRs to be considered was limited to those which have, or  are
expected to have, a NOX problem between now and the year 2000.  Each of  these
regions belongs to one of the following groups:

       •   Priority AQCRs — AQCRs with ambient N02 concentrations currently
           exceeding the N02 standard when averaged over any consecutive four
           quarters (i.e., a rolling quarter basis rather than the statutory
           calendar year basis)

       •   Air Quality Maintenance Areas (AQMAs) — Regions with a high
           probability of exceeding the standard by 1985

OAQPS has identified 30 regions which fall into these two categories
(Reference 21).  Although using the "rolling-quarter" method will place  more
regions into the priority category, it has the advantage of providing a
conservative approach to identifying potential control requirements and  is
consistent with OAQPS thinking.

       The air pollution characteristics of each AQCR for grouping purposes
included:  mobile versus stationary source emissions distribution, fuel  type
which produces the majority of stationary source NOX emissions, dominant
stationary source type, HC/NOX emission ratio, ambient oxidant and NOX
levels, solar insolation, stability class, and quality and detail of
available emissions data.  Data for each of these properties are shown in
Table 4-1 for the 30 NOg-sensitive AQCRs identified by OAQPS.  Three
unsuccessful attempts were made to divide the AQCRs into distinctive
groupings:  the first sought a relationship between high mobile emissions and
high NOX/HC ratios; the second a correspondence between a high HC/NOX ratio,
a high ozone level, and a high solar insolation level; and the third a
relation between high mobile emissions and high ozone levels.  None of these
attempts produced significant correlations.  However, correlations were
obtained when the regions were separated into the four groups shown in Table
4-2.  The criteria for this grouping were the mobile/stationary source mix,
the major stationary source type (utility or industrial), and the major  fuel
type responsible for NOX emissions.  All of these factors directly affect
selecting the most suitable control methods for reducing NOX emissions
effectively.

       The preliminary screening of control technologies considered only Los
Angeles and Chicago.  These are logical choices for a limited analysis,  since
they are the two most N0x-critical AQCRs in the country (see Table 4-1)  and
they represent two opposite categories ~ one is mobile source dominated, the
other is stationary source dominated.  St. Louis and New York City may be
assessed in subsequent analyses.
                                     36

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TABLE 4-1.   AIR  POLLUTION CHARACTERISTICS  OF  THE NOX  IMPACTED  AQCRs  AND
                AQMAs
City
Los Angeles
Chicago
Philadelphia
Canton
San Diego
Bal timore
Detroit
Salt Lake City
Springfield
New York City
Denver
Richmond
Phoenix
San Francisco
Boston
Atlanta
Louisville
St. Louis
Cincinnati
Lansing
Dayton
New Orleans
Minneapolis
Steubenvllle
Memphis
Charleston, U. Va.
Milwaukee
Washington. D.C.
Pittsburgh
Youngstown
AQCR
Number
24
67
45
174
29
115
123
220
42
43
36
225
15
30
119
56
78
70
79
122
173
106
131
181
18
234
239
47
197
178
Mobile
Statlonarya
(X)
66.0-M
63.9-S
54.8-S
56.4-S
70.1-M
58.9-M
52.5-S
54.3-M
54.0-M
61.2-S
54.3-M
66.0-S
76.1-M
70.4-M
53.5-S
55.2-M
78.9-S
75.0-S
S6.8-S
64.3-S
57.3-M
77.0-S
57.5-S
90.1-S
58. 2- S
38.4-S
53.3-S
55.0-M
77.1-S
53.6-S
Dominant
Fuelb
(X)
38-G
42-C
53-0
80-C
54-G
61-0
62-C
33-G
66-0
82-0
58-C
62-0
70-G
42-0
94-0
52-C
85-C
72-C
79-C
47-C
67-C
54-G
55-C
63-C
64-C
95-C
63-C
48-0
90-C
7T-C
Station-
ary Com-
bustion0
(X)
72. -U
56. -U
55.6-U
55.6-U
78.4-U
63.9-U
65. -U
58.7-1
5S.3-U
56.3-U
45.3-1
68.8-U
72.7-U
43.5-U
48.6-U
77.0-U
80.6-U
88.3-U
69.9-U
95.3-1
51.9-U
67.0-1
75.4-U
62.8-U
77.4-U
94.7-U
69.5-U
71.5-U
83.4-U
63.6-U
61 f ford
Pasqulll
Sta-
bility
Classd
45S-D
58J-E
—
—
46J-D
49VD
66%-D
481-0
—
51X-D
4U-D
46S-D
46S-E
56S-D
7M-D
46X-D
511-D
57I-D
_
—
57X-D
391-D
591-D
—
47X-0
48X-D
65S-D
51S-D
66S-D
63S-D
HC/HOX
Ratio
1.649
1.071
1.142
1.438
1.678
1.805
1.340
0.917
1.308
0.975
0.987
0.917
1.604
1.471
1.348
1.122
0.843
0.615
0.972
0.966
1.373
1.171
0.632
0.139
0.801
0.199
2.519
1.052
0.416
0.855
NO?.
182
121
121
120
119
116
115
114
113
113
110
103
101
101
100
100
96
85
83
90
90
83
84
98
81
85
81
80
98
96
1 Hour
(yg/Bi5)
376
193
157
95
189
66
115
99
341
211
176
181
117
163
175
157
122
250
118
—
226
136
190
107
—
127
—
180
199
226
Solar
Insolation*
H
L
L
L
H
M
L
M
L
L
M
M
H
M
L
M
M
M
M
L
L
M
M
L
M
M
L
M
L
L
    *M - Mobile
     S - Stationary

    Dominant source of NOX by fuel type, X of stationary source NOX emissions
     e - Natural Gas
     0-011
     C-Coal

    Sj - Utility
     I - Industrial

    *rhese values represent the percent occurrence of the dominant stability class trlthln each AQCR.

    eBas1n average of 99 percentlle Measurements

     Average dally solar Insolation:
     H > 16.7 MJ/mz
     M > 12.5 MJ/m2
     L < 12.5 MO/m2
                                                   37

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    TABLE 4-2.  CHARACTERISTIC GROUPS OF NOX  IMPACTED AQCRs  and AQMAs

1. Stationary - Oil - Utility
New York City
Richmond
Boston
Philadelphia
2. Stationary - Coal - Utility
St. Louis
Louisville
Cincinnati
Minneapolis
Steubenville
Memphis
Charleston
Lansing"
Pittsburg
Youngstown
3. Stationary - Coal - Utility
Chicago
Canton
Detroit
Milwaukee
4. Mobile
Los Angeles
San Diego
Bal timore
Salt Lake City
Springfield
Denver
Phoenix
San Francisco
Atlanta
Dayton
Washington
N0xa

H
H
H
H

M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M
M

H
H
H
M

H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
HC/NOxb

H
H
H
H

M
M
H
M
L
M
L
H
L
M

H
H
H
H

H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
Ozone0

M
L
L
L

M
L
L
L
L
—
L
—
L
L

L
L
L
—

H
L
L
L
H
M
L
L
L
M
L
"High:  NOX >. 100 yg/m3; Medium:  NOX < 100 yg/m3.

bHigh:  HC/NOX > 0.9; Medium:  0.45 < HC/NOX <. 0.9; Low:  HC/NOX <. 0.45.

cHtgh:  300 <_Ozone < 400 yg/m3; Medium:  200 <. Ozone < 300 yg/m3;
 Low:   100 <_Ozone < 200 yg/m3.

 Lansing is shown in Table 7-3 to be industrial dominated.  Since no utility
 emissions were reported, it was decided to place Lansing in Group 2.

                                    38

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       Once  an AQCR  has  been  selected  for  analysis,  its  base  year  emissions
must be projected  to a future year.  The  choice  of scenarios  for projecting
growth may heavily influence  the  control  levels  required.   We have selected
scenarios that represent  reasonable  bounds  for both  mobile  and stationary
source growth.   Generally,  growth  rates apply to an  end-use sector,  such as
industrial or residential;  however,  in this analysis they have been  extended
to each source within the sector.  Whenever possible,  growth  rates specific
to an AQCR are used.  If  specific  AQCR rates are not available, state,  re-
gional or national rates  are  used.   In addition, the influence of  population
growth and any local  limitation on new source growth are considered.  Two
basic scenarios  were  selected for  stationary sources.  One  case represents
a moderately conservative growth  influenced by conservation measures and rising
energy costs, and  is  reasonably likely to  occur. The  other represents  a higher
growth rate closer to historical  patterns.   This case  represents a reasonable
upper bound on stationary source  growth.

       The growth  rates of  emissions from mobile sources were treated
differently, since a detailed investigation of mobile  source  control  options
is not of direct interest to  this  study.   However, the emissions
contributions of the mobile sources  were  needed, thus  two representative sce-
narios were used.  One scenario (the nominal case) was selected to reflect
historical growth  in vehicle  population and miles traveled, as well  as  a
moderate emission  standard.   The  alternate, or low,  case was  for a reduced
growth rate  (closer  to the  population  growth rate) and an emission standard
of 0.25 g/km.

       The last  step in the methodology is  a sensitivity analysis  that
establishes the  sensitivity of the systems  analysis  results to the various
assumptions and  input data.   Part  of the  sensitivity can be accounted for by
considering  several  AQCRs and growth scenarios,  as discussed  above.   This
ensures that the predicted  NOX control levels will be  responsive to  the ma-
jority of N0x-critical situations  which may develop  in the  future.

       Other factors must also be considered, though.  One  is the  choice of
the air quality  model.  The two models discussed in  Section 4.4.1  — source
weighted rollback  and photochemical  transport — are very different  in  terms
of complexity and  level of physical  detail. A second  sensitivity
consideration is in  the  choice of parameters used within the  air quality
model.  As was mentioned  in Section  4.4.1,  source weighting factors  in
modified rollback  models  can  be used to examine  the  sensitivity of the
results to the weighting  of each  source.   For the photochemical models, the
sensitivity of the results  to the  initial  ambient concentrations and meteo-
rology must  be considered.  For both the  rollback and photochemical  models,
the sensitivity  to the base year  calibration of  the  model also must  be
examined.  A change  in the base year calibration has the same effect as
choosing a different growth scenario.  These factors were considered in
applying the systems model.

       Applying  the  systems model  to the  selected AQCRs, including a variety
of growth scenarios  and model sensitivities, results in  a range of control
requirements for meeting  future air  quality goals.   The  requirements include
the level of control  necessary for the various sources,  the time frame  for
                                      39

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applying these controls, and which controls are the most cost-effective.
Specific results to date are presented in Section 8.
                                     40

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                                  SECTION  5

                       CONTROL TECHNOLOGY BACKGROUND


       The control technology assessment  in  the  NOX  E/A will  compile  and
evaluate process  data  to  provide  environmental assessments  of combustion
modification control technologies.   The overall  objectives  of the  assessment
are to:

       •   Characterize current and  advanced NOX combustion process modifications
           and project schedules  for applying them

       t   Assess the  technical and  environmental soundness of these  control
           technologies

       •   Recommend R&D  for filling in technological  gaps  and producing  needed
           data

       •   Provide objective evaluations  of  important  aspects of NOX  control
           systems

The results will  be documented in a  series of reports  covering the seven
major stationary  source equipment categories.

       The main efforts to date have involved characterization and
preliminary assessment of NOX combustion  modification  control technology.
This assessment identified the source/control combinations  most likely to be
used widely in the near future and projected the effectiveness, cost, and
schedule of advanced emerging techniques  being developed.   The results were
used to determine the  source/control  priorities  of both near- and  far-term
control applications for  the seven main equipment categories.  The results
from the preliminary assessment are  summarized in the  following subsections.


5.1    STATUS AND PROSPECTS OF CONTROL REQUIREMENTS

       The incentive for  developing  NOX controls derives from two  separate
regulatory mechanisms:  the Federal  Standards of Performance  for New
Stationary Sources (NSPS) and the State Implementation Plans  (SIPS).  The
NSPS are intended largely to assist  in maintaining air quality by  offsetting
increases due to  source growth.   EPA sets NSPS from time to time,  based on
the best systems  of reducing emissions.   Part of the effort to develop
NOX controls is directed  at developing and demonstrating the  best  systems of
                                     41

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reducing emissions  in support of the setting of future  NSPS.   The  primary
responsibility for  attaining and maintaining air quality  rests with  the
states.  If emission standards  in addition to  the  NSPS  are  required  to  attain
and/or maintain the National Ambient Air Quality Standards  in  Air  Quality
Control Regions within the jurisdiction of the states,  these standards  are
set through SIPS.   Therefore, another part of  the  effort  to develop  NOX
controls is directed at facilitating compliance with these  standards.

       All Federal, state, and  local standards for NOX  -- both current  and
impending ~ are based on combustion process modifications.  To date, Federal
NOX standards have  been set only for utility and large  industrial  boilers.
These standards have been based largely on demonstrated technology
retrofitted to sources in areas with attainment problems.   A more  stringent
standard is being considered for coal-fired utility boilers, based on
technology demonstrated since 1971.  However,  revised,  more stringent
standards are not being considered for new gas- or oil-fired utility boilers,
since no units of this type are being sold.  The Federal  standard  recently
proposed for gas turbines is also based on retrofit technology demonstrated
as part of SIPS.  Federal standards under study for 1C  engines and industrial
boilers are being based on EPA  and private sector  control development since
there have been few retrofit controls used on  these sources.

       Maintaining  air quality  in the 1980's and 1990's may require  Federal
NOX regulations in  addition to those existing  or planned.   New source
controls will be emphasized, since experience  has  shown them to be more
effective,  less costly, and less disruptive than retrofitting  controls  on
existing equipment.  Thus, EPA's Office of Air Quality  Planning and  Standards
anticipates additions to the existing Federal  standards.  These additions may
include standards for sources not presently regulated,  as well as  more
stringent standards for sources with current or impending controls.


5.2    COMBUSTION PROCESS MODIFICATION TECHNOLOGY

       As a result  of emission control regulations for  new  and existing
stationary sources, NOX control techniques have been developed and
implemented in the  past 10 years.  Nearly all  current NOX control  applications
use combustion process modifications.  Other approaches,  such  as modifying
or switching fuels, using alternate energy systems, and treating post-combustion
flue gas, as well as more advanced combustion  process modifications  are  being
evaluated for potential future use.  Experience has shown that the applicability
and effectiveness of combustion process modifications depend on the  specific
equipment/fuel combination to be controlled, and on whether the control  is
to be applied to existing field equipment or new units.  Accordingly, control
development is focusing on specific equipment  categories  and fuel  types.
In general, the following sequence of control  development is being pursued
for each major equipment/fuel category:

       t   Minor operational adjustments

       •   Minor retrofit modifications
                                     42

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        •    Extensive  hardware  changes,  either  retrofit  or  factory-installed  on  new
            units of conventional  design

        •    Major redesign  of new  equipment

Progress made  in this  sequence varies with  the importance  of  the  source  in
local and national NOX  regulatory strategies.

        Currently, modifying combustion  process conditions  is  the  most
effective and  widely-used  technique  for achieving  20- to 70-percent  reduction
in combustion-generated oxides of nitrogen.  These modifications  include:

        •    Low excess  air  firing

        t    Flue gas recirculation

        §    Off-stoichiometric  combustion

        •    Load reduction

        •    Burner modifications

        t    Water injection

        •    Reduced air  preheat

        •    Ammonia injection

The following  paragraphs summarize the  status  of each of these  controls.


Low Excess  Air Firing

        Changing the overall fuel-air ratio  is  a simple, feasible, and
effective technique for controlling  NOX emissions  from  all  stationary  sources
of combustion  except  gas turbines.   For some sources, such as utility
boilers, low excess air (LEA)  firing is currently  a  routine operating
procedure and  is incorporated  in  all new units.  Since  it  is  energy  efficient
and easy to implement,  LEA firing will  be increasingly  used in  other sources.
However, most  sources will have to use  other control methods, in  conjunction
with LEA, to meet NOX emissions standards.  In such  cases,  the  extent  to
which excess air can be lowered will depend upon the other control techniques
employed.   Virtually  all programs for developing advanced  NOX controls are
emphasizing operating at minimum  levels of  excess  air.  Thus, LEA will be an
integral part  of nearly all combustion  modification  NOX controls, both
current and emerging, to be assessed in the NOX E/A.


Flue Gas Recirculation

       The  primary near-term application of flue gas recirculation (FGR) is
in gas- and oil-fired utility  boilers.   Future applications are limited.  FGR
may be  used in industrial  boilers as a  retrofit or in new  designs, but
                                     43

-------
alternate approaches, such as low-NOx burners and off-stoichiometric
combustion, also are being evaluated and may prove more attractive.
Techniques other than FGR are more effective for coal-fired utility boilers,
gas turbines, and warm air furnaces.  The effectiveness of FGR with process
furnaces is under evaluation.
Off-Stoichiometric Combustion

       Off-stoichiometric combustion (OSC) is a widely used technique for
controlling thermal and fuel NOX from large boilers.  Near-term uses of OSC
to be considered in the NOX E/A include retrofitting on gas-, oil- and coal-
fired utility boilers and using factory-installed equipment on new coal-fired
utility boilers.  Potential future applications to be considered include
using factory installations on new industrial boilers and using advanced
staging techniques for major redesigns of utility or industrial boilers.


Load Reduction

       Load reduction/enlarged firebox techniques may be used in the near
term as retrofits to gas- and oil-fired utility boilers and as new designs
for coal-fired utility boilers.  Load reduction also may be used on new and
existing industrial boilers as standards are set.  Because of economic and
operational penalties, load reduction for existing boilers is unattractive,
and is used only as a last resort to achieve compliance with standards.


Burner Modifications

       New, optimized-design burners appear to be capable of reducing NOX
emissions 40 to 65 percent with gas and oil fuels.  Similar, or greater,
reductions are being demonstrated on prototype coal-fired units.  The new
low-NOx burners are designed to mix fuel and air in a controlled pattern that
sustains local fuel-rich regions, keeps the flame temperature down, and
dissipates the heat quickly.  Improved burner designs may well replace the
external combustion modifications now in use and produce significantly lower
NOX emissions.  Thus, although low-NOx burners have limited use currently,
they will be emphasized in the NOX E/A for both near- and far-term application.


Water Injection

       Water injection has been found to be effective in suppressing NOX
emissions from gas turbines and 1C engines.  However, water injection may
decrease thermal efficiency, increase equipment corrosion, and cause
other undesirable operating conditions.  Therefore, it is anticipated that
water injection will be replaced by advanced combustor design in the long
term.
                                     44

-------
Reduced Air Preheat

       Reduced air preheat for  gas turbines and for boilers  is not a
practical way to control NOX unless the energy in  the  exhaust gases can be
used effectively for other purposes, such  as  in combined  gas-steam turbine
cycles.  Reduced air preheat will thus be  accorded low priority  in the NOX
E/A because of associated efficiency losses.


Ammonia Injection

       Ammonia injection does not appear to have significant near-term
application for NOX control in  the U.S.  However,  it shows promise for far-
term applications and will be given primary emphasis in the  NOX  E/A for
assessment of advanced concepts for the 1980's and 1990's.


5.3    ALTERNATE CONTROL TECHNIQUES

       In addition to combustion modifications, NOX can be controlled by one
or more of the following techniques:  flue gas treatment, fuel
denitrification, fuel additives, alternate or mixed fuels, or advanced,  low-
NOX combustion concepts.  Each  of these is briefly discussed below.


Flue Gas Treatment

       The dry flue gas treatment (F6T) techniques used in Japan -- notably
selective catalytic reduction   with ammonia ~ can probably  be applied to
gas- and oil-fired sources in the U.S.  However, more  pilot  and  full scale
demonstration tests are needed  before full application of dry processes  is
possible on these sources.  Dry processes  have yet to  be  demonstrated on coal-
fired sources, although pilot-scale tests  are currently planned.  Wet processes
are less well developed and more costly than  dry FGT processes;  however, wet
processes have the potential to remove NOX and SOX simultaneously.  Again,
pilot-scale research and field  tests are needed to determine costs, secondary
effects, reliability, and waste disposal problems. Flue  gas treatment holds
some promise as a control technique if very stringent  emissions  standards
make it necessary to greatly reduce NOX.   However, even in these instances FGT
will probably be employed to supplement combustion modification.


Fuel Denitrification

       Fuel denitrification of  coal or heavy  oils  could,  in  principle, be
used to control the component of NOX emissions produced by the conversion
of fuel-bound nitrogen.  The most likely use  of fuel denitrification would
be to supplement combustion modifications  that reduce  thermal NOX.  Currently
denitrification occurs only as  a side effect  of pretreating  fuel  to remove
sulfur, ash, or other pollutant precursors.   Preliminary  data indicate that
30- to 40-percent reductions in fuel nitrogen result from oil desulfurization
(Reference 22).  Since these processes produce low denitrification efficiencies,
                                      45

-------
they are not attractive solely for controlling NOX-   However,  they may prove
cost effective in terms of their total environmental  impact.


Fuel Additives

       Results of recent studies on fuel additives for  NOX  control have been
mixed.  In some cases, additives significantly reduced  NO emissions,  while in
other studies they did not.  Overall, using additives for controlling NOX  is
not attractive since they add to cost, cause serious  operational  difficulties
and may lead to other flue gas pollutants.  However,  it has been  proposed
that some fuel additives may provide a peripheral benefit,  by  allowing
increased flexibility in using combustion modification  techniques.


Alternate or Mixed Fuels

       Using alternate or mixed fuels to control NOX  is contingent in part on
the trade-off between the costs of producing synthetic  fuel and the  total
costs of controlling NOX, SOX and particulates in conventional coal  firing.
There is preliminary evidence that gasification may be  more costly than flue
gas cleaning of conventional utility systems (Reference 23).


Advanced Combustion Concepts

       For new combustion systems, the combustion control technology derived
from retrofitting existing units can be incorporated  with new  concepts not
applicable for retrofit into designs optimized for low-NOv  production.   This
approach produces designs that potentially lower costs  and  are more  effective
than extensive retrofitting of existing units.  Alternatively, the economics
of using lower quality fuels necessitated by the clean  fuels shortage may
dictate using alternate combustion process concepts.  Some  concepts,  such  as
catalytic combustion, fluidized bed combustion, and gasifier combined cycles,
are being developed for their potential not only to increase system
efficiency, but also to reduce total system emissions.   Other  alternate
concepts, such as repowering and high-temperature gas turbines, are  being
developed mainly to increase the efficiency of current  technology to reduce
fuel consumption.


5.4    OVERALL EVALUATION AND CONCLUSIONS

       The results of characterizing current and emerging control  technology
for the major equipment categories, briefly discussed above, are  summarized
in Table 5-1.  These results show that both current and emerging  technologies
are also centered around combustion modifications.  Other approaches, such as
flue gas treatment, may be used in the 1980's in addition to combustion
modification if required by more stringent emissions  standards.

       The level of combustion modification control currently  available for
a given source depends on the importance of that source in  the regulatory
program.  Utility boilers have been the most extensively regulated and
                                     46

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TABLE 5-1.
SUMMARY OF NOX CONTROL TECHNOLOGY
Equipment/

Fuel

Category
Existing coal-
flred utility
boilers



New coal -fired
utility
boilers





Existing oil-
fired
utility
boilers

Existing
gas-fired
utility
boilers

Oil-fired
Industrial
water tube
boilers




Current Technology
•
Available
Control
Technique
LEA + OSC
(OFA, BOOS,
BBF); new
burners


LEA + OFA;
new
burners





LEA + OSC
+ FGR;
load re-
duction

LEA + OSC
+ FGR;
load re-
duction

LEA + OSC
(OFA,
BOOS,
BBF)




Achievable
NOX Emission
Level ng/J
(lb/10' Btu)
260-300
(0.6 - 0.7)




215-260
(0.5 - 0.6)






110-150
(0.25 - 0.35)



65-85
(0.15 - 0.2)



85-130
(0.2 - 0.3)







Estimated
Differential
Annual Cost
20-30t/kW





10-20t/kW







$1-2/kU




$l-2/kW




7-9*/ ,
(kg/hr)a








Operational
Impact
Possible
Increase In
corrosion &
slagging &
carbon 1n
flyash
No major
problem with
tangential
design;
other
designs now
coming
online
Possible
flame
Instability;
boiler vi-
bration
Possible
flame
instability;
boiler vi-
bration
-IX Increase
in fuel con-
sumption;
flame insta-
bility;
boiler vi-
bration
(retrofit)
Emerging Technology


Near Term
1977-1982
Advanced low
NOX burners




Low NOX
burners ad-
vanced stag-
Ing concepts




Low NOX
burners;
oil denltrl-
fi cation

Low NOX
burner



Low NOX
burners; OFA
in new unit
designs; oil
denitrifi ca-
tion




Far Term
1983-2000
Ammonia
Injection;
flue gas
treatment


Optimized burner
firebox design;
fluldlzed bed
combustion;
ammonia Injec-
tion


Amnonia Injec-
tion; flue gas
treatment


Ammonia Injec-
tion; flue gas
treatment


Optimized
burner/firebox
design;
ammonia
injection







Comments
Ammonia Injection,
FGT potential
supplement to CM If
needed


Same as above







No new units;
emission levels are
limit of current
technology

No new units; emission
levels are limit of
current technology


Current technology
still being
developed





                                                                                          in
                                                                                          m

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TABLE 5-1.  CONTINUED
Equipment/
Fuel
Category
Stoker-fired
Industrial
watertube
boilers
Gas-fired
Industrial
watertube
boilers
Industrial
flretube
boilers
Gas turbines
Current Technology
Available
Control
Technique
LEA + OFA
LEA + OSC
(OFA. BOOS,
BBF)
LEA + F6R;
LEA + OSC
Hater,
steaa
Injection
Achievable
NOX Emission
Level ng/J
(lb/10* Btu)
150-190
(0.35 - 0.45)
86-130
(0.2 - 0.3)
65-110
(0.15 - 0.25)
110-150
(0.25 - 0.35)
Estimated
Differential
Annual Cost
9-1U .
(kg/hr)a
7-9*/ .
(kg/hr)a
30-65*/
(kg/hr)a
$l-2/kH
Operational
Impact
Possible
-IX Increase
In fuel con-
sumption;
corrosion;
slagging of
grate
(retrofit)
-IX Increase
In fuel con-
sumption;
flame
Instability;
boiler vi-
bration
(retrofit)
-IX Increase
In fuel con-
sumption;
flame Insta-
bility
(retrofit)
-IX Increase
In fuel con-
sumption;
affects only
thermal
Emerging Technology
Near Term
1977-1982
Inclusion of
OFA In new
unit design
Low NOv bur-
ners; OFA In
new unit
design
Low NOX burn-
ers; OFA or
FGR In new
unit design
Advanced corn-
bus tor de-
signs for
dry NOX con-
trols
Far Term
1983-2000
Fluldlzed bed
combustion;
ammonia
Injection
Optimized
burner/firebox
design; ammonia
Injection
Optimized
burner/firebox
design
Catalytic com-
bustion; ad-
vanced can
designs
Comments
Current technology
still being
developed
Current technology
still undergoing
development
Development continuing
on current technology
Current technology
widely used

-------
                                            TABLE 5-1.   Concluded
Equipment/
Fuel
Category
Residential
furnaces
1C engines
Industrial
process
furnaces
Current Technology
Available
Control
Technique
Low NO.
burner?
firebox
design
(oil)
Fine
tuning;
changing
A/F
LEA
Achievable
NOX Emission
Level ng/0
(lb/10* Btu)
25-40
(0.06 - 0.1)
1 ,070-1 ,290
(2.5 - 3.0)
85-210
(0.2 - 0.5)
Estimated
Differential
Annual Cost
$0.14-0.29/
kH
($40-80/(MBtu/
hr))
$0.70-2.00/kW
($0.5-1. 5/
BHP)
Unknown
Operational
Impact
~5X decrease
1n fuel con-
sumption
5-1W In-
crease In
fuel con-
sumption;
misfiring;
poor load
response
Unknown
Emerging Technology
Near Term
1977-1982
Advanced
burner/fire-
box design
(gas & oil)
Include mod-
erate con-
trol 1n new
unit design
Low NOX
burners;
development
of external
controls
(FGR, OSC)
on retrofit
basis
Far Term
1983-2000
Catalytic
combustion
Advanced head
designs, exhaust
gas treatment
Possible Inclu-
sion In new
unit design
Comments
Current technology
still being tested
Technology still being
tested
Control development
1n preliminary stages
a
in
U)
H-
kg/hr steam produced

-------
accordingly, control technology for these boilers  is the most  advanced.
Available technology ranges from operational adjustments, such  as  low  excess
air and biased-burner firing, to including overfire air ports  or  low-NOx
burners in new units.  Some adverse impacts on operation have  been
experienced when combustion modifications have been used on existing
equipment.  In general, these problems have been solved by combustion
engineering or by limiting the degree to which controls are used.   Factory-
installed controls on new equipment have produced  only minimal  operational
problems.

       Technology for other sources is less well developed.  Control
techniques effective for utility boilers are being demonstrated on existing
industrial boilers.  Here, as for utility boilers, the emphasis in emerging
technology is on developing controls for new unit  designs.  Advanced low-NOx
burners and/or advanced off-stoichiometric combustion techniques  are the most
promising concepts for these boilers and for the other source  categories as
well.  The R&D emphasis for gas turbines, warm air furnaces, and
reciprocating 1C engines is on developing optimized combustion  chamber
designs matched to the burner or fuel/air delivery system.  Control
development for the different types of industrial  process equipment is in the
preliminary stages and to date, only minor operational adjustments have
been tried.

       Continuing program efforts in the NOX E/A will seek to  extend and
strengthen the background data for NOX control process technology  assembled to
date.  Emphasis will be given to tracking ongoing  demonstration and testing
of near-term control techniques, as well as to following the development of
advanced controls and alternate combustion concepts.
                                     50

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                                  SECTION  6

                       CONTROL TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT


       A primary aim of the NOX  E/A program  is  to  extend  the  process  technol-
ogy background discussed in Section 5  to  include evaluations  of  the emissions
and source performance impacts associated with  applying these controls.   In
this respect the initial process  data  compilation  serves  to set  the stage for
further assessment efforts.  This  section discusses  the NOX E/A  approach  and
efforts to perform more definitive control technology  evaluations.


6.1    PROCESS ENGINEERING APPROACH

       Evaluating the impacts of  NOX combustion modification  controls  applied
to stationary combustion sources  requires assessing  their effects  on  both
controlled source performance, especially as translated into  changes  in
operating costs and energy consumption, and  on  incremental emissions  of
pollutants other than NOX.  To perform such  an  evaluation it  is  necessary to:

       •   Relate the application  of preferred  (major) NOX controls to changes
           in multimedia pollutant emissions through the  primary combustion
           parameters affected by  applying controls

       •   Relate the application  of preferred  NOX controls to demonstrated
           or expected impacts on  controlled source  operations and performance
           through the same parameters

       •   Estimate the capital  and operating costs, including energy impacts
           of implementing NOX control

       It is desirable to use a  standard  format for  these evaluations  because
it alljows uniform comparisons to  be made  among  various control strategies
applied to different equipment items within  a source category.   Therefore,
the NOX E/A will stress developing a standard process  calculation  structure,
which describes the kind and level of  detail of process design-type
calculations to be performed; and  a set of standard  cost  calculation
procedures, which specifies economic bases and  cost  evaluation assumptions.
Once.these are established, performing process/cost  calculations for  NOX  control
application is conceptually straightforward.  The  control costs, operational
impacts, and multimedia emissions  versus  degree of control for NOX controls,
applied singly and in combination, can be determined from these  calculations.
                                     51

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       The program plan developed for performing control process engineering
and impact evaluations is shown schematically in Figure 6-1.  Heavy reliance
on initially establishing detailed calculation procedures is indicated.
Brief subtask descriptions are given below.

       As noted, the process procedures subtask outlines in detail the
process engineering methodology to be adopted and the calculation structure
to be used.  Key elements include:  establishing the set of base case source
items (major design type/fuel combinations) to treat, establishing the level
and detail of heat and material balances to perform, developing the
calculation algorithms to use in performing these heat and material balances,
specifying the matrix of calculations to perform, and defining methods to
assess operation and maintenance impacts.   Similarly, specifying cost
calculations procedures includes:  establishing the check list of cost items
to consider, establishing the cost reporting basis, specifying the parameters
required in the cost reporting scheme, (interest rates, tax procedures,
depreciation, fuel cost escalation, etc.), specifying assumptions required to
establish maintenance, developmental, and shakedown costs, and formulating
cost calculation algorithms to interface with process calculations.

       Data compilation efforts assemble and correlate process operation
data, multimedia emissions, and cost information needed for performing the
process/cost calculations.  The control application design task involves the
actual engineering design required to retrofit a standard field unit  (e.g.,
boiler) to incorporate selected NOX control techniques.  Such designs will be
performed to aid in defining precise capital equipment cost data for major
control applications.

       Once the calculational and evaluation procedures are well defined, and
all requisite data assembled and standardized, process/cost calculations will
be performed for baseline and selected NOX control technique applications.
The matrix of calculations performed will define the cost versus degree of
NOX control curves for the set of standard equipment items treated.  Results
from the calculations will help identify potential operational and
performance impacts.  Incremental emission effects and interactive effects of
using combined control techniques will also be noted.

       The results of the process/cost calculations are input to the  impact
assessment subtask.  Overall control impact evaluation and preferred  control
technique ranking will be performed in this subtask, as discussed in  Section
4.3.

       This process engineering treatment will be done only for source/
control combinations identified for major program emphasis in Section 8.
Minor source/control combinations will be investigated less rigorously
and more qualitatively through the minor source/control subtask shown in
Figure 6-1.


6.2    PROCESS ENGINEERING METHODOLOGY

       Program efforts to date have focused on developing procedures and
compiling data for treating utility boilers (the first source class to be
                                     52

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                          Establish Process
                        Calculation  Procedures
                                                                Process Technology
                                                                   Background
                                                              Compile Process and
                                                                  Cost Data
en
CO
Design Control
 Application
                                                                          Establish Cost
                                                                      Calculation Procedures
                                                               Perform Process/
                                                              Cost Calculations
                                                                            Treat Minor
                                                                        Sources and  Controls
                                                                Assess Control
                                                                   Impacts
                                      Figure  6-1.   Process  engineering  -- subtask flowsheet.

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evaluated as discussed in Section 8).  In developing process calculation
procedures, effort has concentrated on relating flue gas pollutant emission
levels and indications of boiler performance to fundamental boiler design  and
operating parameters.

       Stepwise linear regression analysis will be used, where possible, to
correlate flue gas pollutant emissions to such variables as percent
stoichiometry at the burners, volumetric heat release, surface heat  release,
and percent nitrogen in the fuel.  Field test data assembled so far  suggest
that good correlations for NOX emissions may be possible.  Incremental
emissions, especially noncriteria pollutants and trace species, will probably
have to be assessed more qualitatively.

       Boiler heat and material balances, supplemented by fundamental
combustion theory and knowledge of boiler operation practice, will be used to
help predict potential operational and maintenance related problems.  For
example, the altered boiler temperature profile resulting from firing burners
out of service generally places extra demands on the superheater
attemperation  equipment.  If installed capacity is insufficient, the boiler
must be derated.  Similarly, the higher levels of overall excess air
generally required to prevent combustibles losses when firing burners out  of
service may exceed forced draft fan capacity.  Again, the boiler may have  to
be derated.  Such potential problems can conceptually be related to  changes
in the heat and material balance.  Current efforts have been directed toward
researching these relationships.

       Process and emissions data on coal-fired tangential boilers have been
the most complete assembled so far.  Therefore, current process engineering
has concentrated on this design type, fuel combination.  Plans are to also
treat oil- and gas-fired tangential boilers, and horizontally opposed and
wall-fired design types firing coal, oil, and gas, in as much detail as
available data allow.  Emphasis will be placed on coal- and oil-fired
equipment.

       Standard boiler configurations will be identified from Federal Power
Commission data stored in the EPA Energy Data System file.  Emissions data
from past field test programs have been assembled and are currently  being
organized and evaluated for sufficiency.  Data from ongoing programs will
continually be incorporated.  Process data on other than tangential  boilers
have been sketchy.  Continuing efforts to assemble such data from
manufacturers, utilities, and subcontractors are proceeding.

       In developing cost procedures for utility boilers, effort has
concentrated on establishing the cost reporting basis and the set of cost
items to consider.  Cost calculations will be performed on an annualized unit
cost basis using regulated utility economics.  Items to be considered in ad-
dition to capital equipment and installation costs, and energy costs of
operation include:

       •   Engineering and development cost estimates as a fraction  of capital
           i nvestment

       a   Startup and shakedown costs as a fraction of capital investment
                                     54

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       •   Maintenance costs as a fraction of capital  investment
       •   Debt/equity financing of capital  investment
       0   Taxes
       •   Fuel cost escalation
       t   Purchased power costs when the boiler  is derated
       Capital equipment cost estimates will follow from design efforts  and
will be supplemented by utility experience where  data  are  available.
Appropriate assumptions for development, maintenance,  and  shakedown  costs
will be based on user experience where possible.
                                      55

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                                 SECTION 7

                       ENVIRONMENTAL DATA ACQUISITION


       This section summarizes the assembling and organizing of multimedia
emission data required to perform the NO,, environmental  assessment.  The
results of a baseline stationary combustion source emissions inventory
and the extension of that inventory to  include the incremental emission
effects of NOX combustion controls are  presented  in the  following subsections,
Since, in many cases, data were insufficient, tests will be initiated
to resolve the gaps.  These tests are described in Section 7.3.


7.1    BASELINE EMISSIONS INVENTORY

       A baseline multimedia emissions  inventory was produced for all
significant stationary NOX sources.  This inventory was  then extended to
include all other sources of NOX (mobile, noncombustion, fugitive) to
compare emissions from stationary combustion sources with those from other
sources.  Multimedia pollutants inventoried included the criteria pollutants
(NOX, SOX, CO, HC, particulates), sulfates, polycyclic organic matter
(ROMs), trace metals, and liquid and solid effluents.

       This inventory will guide subsequent NOX E/A research by providing
a base for weighing the incremental emissions impact from using NOX controls.
The inventory also serves as the reference for projections to the year
2000 for anticipated trends in fuels, equipment, and stationary source
emissions.  In addition, data gaps identified in compiling the emission
factors highlight areas where further testing is needed  in the NOX E/A
or other programs.

       The emissions inventory was performed in the following sequence:

       •   Compile fuel consumption data for the categories of combustion
           sources specified in Section 2.  Subdivide fuel consumption data
           based on fuel-bound pollutant precursor composition.

       •   Compile multimedia emission  data

           — Base fuel-dependent pollutant emission factors on the trace
              composition of fuels
                                     57

-------
           —  Base combustion-dependent pollutant emission factors on
               unit fuel consumption for specific equipment designs

       •   Survey the degree to which NOX, SOX, particulates are controlled

       t   Produce emissions inventory

       •   Rank sources according to emission rates; compare the ranking to
           results of previous inventories

       Although detailed breakdowns of fuel consumption, emission factors,
and total emissions for each equipment/fuel combination were developed, only
emission totals for each sector will be summarized here.

       The distribution of anthropogenic NOX emissions is shown on Figure
7-1 for the year 1974, the most recent year for which complete fuel consumption
data are available.  The estimates of utility  boiler emissions account
for the reduction resulting from using NOX controls.  From a survey of
boilers in areas with NOX emission regulations, it was estimated that
using NOX controls in 19/4 resulted in a 3.1-percent reduction in nationwide
utility boiler emissions.  This corresponds to a 1.6-percent reduction
in stationary fuel combustion emissions.  Reductions from using controls
on other sources were negligible in 1974.

       In general, the total NOX emissions from stationary sources and
the distribution of these emissions among equipment types for 1974 show
little change compared to 1972 inventories (Reference 24).  The current
inventory also shows generally good agreement with recent inventories
conducted by EPA's Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards and other
groups (References 25 through 27).  One exception is for industrial packaged
boilers.  Here, recent estimates differ by as much as a factor of 2, primarily
because total fuel consumption is uncertain for this sector.

       The emission inventory results for other pollutants are shown in
Table 7-1.  Data for the criteria pollutants were generally good and the
results of these current inventories are in reasonable agreement with
other recent inventories.  Data for the noncriteria pollutants and liquid
or solid effluent streams, however, were sparse and scattered.  For example,
emission factors for POMs varied by as much as two orders of magnitude;
Table 7-1 shows the range for total POM emissions.  Several ongoing field
test programs are sampling noncriteria pollutants.  The current inventory
will be updated with these results before emissions impacts are assessed
as described in Section 4.2.

       Table 7-2 ranks equipment/fuel combinations by annual, nationwide
NOX emissions, and lists corresponding rankings for these combinations
by fuel consumption and emissions of criteria pollutants.  Although there
were over 70 equipment/fuel combinations inventoried, the 30 most significant
combinations account for over 90 percent of NOX emissions.  The ranking
of a specific equipment/fuel type depends both on total installed capacity
and emission factors.  A high ranking, therefore, does not necessarily
imply that a given source is a high emitter; large installed capacity
may offset a low emission factor to give the high ranking.  In general,
                                     58

-------
Industrial  Process  Combustion 3.65%

           Noncombustlon l.P/5

      Warm Air Furnaces 2.7%

       Gas Turbines 3.7£%

       Fugitive 4.4*
Incineration 0.3%
                     Reciprocating
                      1C Engines
                        15.9%
                    1974 Stationary Combustion Source NOX Emissions
Utility Boilers
Packaged Boilers
Warm Air Furnaces
Gas Turbines
Reciprocating 1C Engines
Industrial Process Combustion
Noncombustion
Incineration
Fugitive
TOTAL
1.000 Hq
5,566
2,345
321
440
1,857
425
193
40
498
11,685
1 .000 Tons
6,122
2,383
353
484
2.040
470
212
44
548
12,861
Percent
Total
47.6
20.1
2.7
3.76
15.9
3.65
1.6
0.3
4.4
100
   Figure  7-1.   Distribution of stationary anthropogenic NOX  emissions
                  for the year 1974 (stationary  fuel combustion:
                  controlled NOX  levels).
                                      59

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                       TABLE 7-1.   1974 SUMMARY OF  AIR AND  SOLID POLLUTANT EMISSION FROM STATIONARY
                                     FUEL BURNING EQUIPMENT  (1,000 Mg)
en
O

Utility Boilers
Packaged Boilers
Ham Air Furnaces
& Misc. Comb.
Gas Turbines
Reclp. 1C Engines
Process Heating
TOTAL
N0xb
5,566
2,345
321
440
1,857
425.8
10,954
SOX
16,768
6,405
232
10.5
19.6
1005
24,440
HC
29.5
72.1
29.7
13.7
578
166
889
CO
270
175
132.6
73.4
1.824
10,039
12,511
Part Sulfates POM AshDRemoval
5,965 231 0.01 - 1.2 6.18
4,930 146 0.2-67.8 4.41
39.3 6.4 0.06
17.3 a *
21.5 " *
6,216.7 ' *
17,190 382 69
Sluiced
Ash Removal
24.78
1.07
~
—
—
~
~
               *No emission factor available


               bControlled HOX


               €Based on 80 percent hopper and flyash removal by sluicing methods; 20 percent dry solid removal

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TABLE 7-2.  NOX MASS EMISSION RANKING OF STATIONARY COMBUSTION EQUIPMENT AND CRITERIA POLLUTANT
            AND FUEL USE CROSS RANKING
Sector
1 Utility Boilers
2 Reciprocating 1C
Engines
3 Utility Boilers
4 Utility Boilers
5 Utility Boilers
6 Utility Boilers
7 Utility Boilers
8 Reciprocating 1C
Engines
9 Packaged Boilers
10 Packaged Boilers
11 Utility Boilers
12 Packaged Boilers
13 Utility Boilers
14 Packaged Boilers
IS Packaged Boilers
16 Utility Boilers
17 Packaged Boilers
18 Industrial
Process Comb.
19 Utility Boilers
20 Packaged Boilers
Equipment Type
Tangential
>75 kW/cyl
Wall Firing
Cyclone Furnace
Wall Firing
Wall Firing
Horizontally Opposed
75 kW to 75 kW/cyl
Hatertube >29 MW
Water-tube Stoker <29 MW
Horizontally Opposed
Watertube >29 MW
Tangential
F1 re tube Scotch
Watertube <29 MW
Horizontally Opposed
Watertube <29 MW
Forced ft Natural Draft
Refinery Heaters
Tangential
F1 re tube Firebox
Fuel
Coal
Gas
Coal
Coal
Gas
011
Gas
011
Gas
Coal
Coal
011
Oil
Oil
Gas
011
Coal
011
Gas
011
Annual NOX
Emission^
(Mg)
1,410,000
1.262,000
946,000
863,500
738,300
481 ,000
378,700
325,000
318,500
278,170
270,800
232.480
208,000
203,990
180,000
177,900
164.220
147.350
146,000
139.260
Cumulative
(Mg)
1,410,000
2.672,000
3.618,000
4,481.500
5.219.800
5.700,800
6,079,500
6,404.500
6,723,000
7,001,170
7,271,970
7,504,450
7,712,450
7,916,440
8,096,440
8,274,340
8,438,560
8,585.910
8,731,910
8.871,170
Cumulative
(Percent)
13.1
24.8
33.5
41.5
48.4
52.8
56.3
59.4
62.3
64.9
67.4
69.5
71.5
73.4
75.0
76.7
78.2
79.6
80.9
82.2
Fuel
Rank
1
21
3
6
4
8
14
>30
16
7
23
26
12
11
5
>30
>30
>30
13
17
SOX
Rank
1
>30
2
3
>30
9
>30
>30
>30
4
5
16
10
11
>30
17
8
29
>30
13
CO
Rank
7
4
6
12
13
17
24
3
29
11
>30
>30
27
>30
>30
>30
>30
>30
>30
>30
HC
Rank
16
1
23
9
28
27
>30
3
19
4
>30
26
>30
>30
22
>30
>30
18
>30
>30
Part
Rank
2
>30
5
13
>30
18
>30
26
>30
1
7
I
22
19
16
>30
27
9
21
>30
20

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                                              TABLE 7-2.  Concluded
Sector
21 Packaged Boilers
22 Gas Turbines
23 Packaged Boilers
24 Mara Air Furnaces
25 Packaged Boilers
26 Packaged Boilers
27 Gas Turbines
28 Reciprocating 1C
Engines
29 Industrial
Process Comb.
30 Utility Boilers
Equipment Type
Water-tube Stoker
4 to 15 MM
Watertube <29 MM
Central
Flretube Stoker <29 MM
Firetube Scotch
>15 MM
>75 W/cyl
Forced & Natural Draft
Refinery Heaters
Vertical and Stoker
Fuel
Coal
Oil
Oil
Gas
Coal
Gas
011
Oil
Gas
Coal
Annual NOX
Emissions
(Kg)
125.350
118,500
116.430
106.300
102.040
98,010
97,400
94,000
92,608
90,900
Cumulative
(Hg)
8.996.520
9,115,020
9,231 ,450
9,337,750
9,439,790
9,537,800
9,635,200
9,729,200
9,821 ,808
9,912,708
Cumulative
(Percent)
83.4
84.5
85.6
86.5
87.5
88.4
89.3
90.2
91.0
91.9
Fuel
Rank
>30
30
27
2
29
19
>30
>30
15
>30
Rank
7
>30
15
>30
6
>30
>30
>30
>30
12
CO
Rank
28
15
>30
10
>30
>30
>30
22
>30
>20
HC
Rank
29
14
>30
8
10
>30
30
13
7
>30
Part
Rank
8
>30
23
25
6
>30
>30
>30
30
>10
ro

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coal-fired  sources  rank  high  in  SOX  and  participate  emissions,  while  1C
engines  rank  high in  emissions of  CO and hydrocarbons.

       This emissions inventory  assessment  effort  will  culminate  in a special
report which  will:

       •   Characterize  stationary source equipment  and fuel  use

       t   Identify and  categorize stationary  source  air pollutants and  liquid
           and solid  wastes

       t   Assess and  standardize  available emissions data

       •   Present a  detailed emissions  inventory  with  emission projections

       0   Identify the  pollution  impact potential of sources and  rank sources
           to reflect  control development needs.

       As part of this report, regional  inventories  are being developed
from the national inventory.  In addition, the national inventory  is  being
projected to  1985 and  2000 for several energy  and  equipment growth scenarios.
A source assessment which considers  population exposure, health effects,
and source growth (described  in  Section  4.2) will  be  performed.  This
assessment will culminate in  ranking stationary uncontrolled  combustion
sources on the basis  of  potential  multimedia impacts.

       During the remainder of the NOX E/A program,  NOX E/A testing and
the results from other related assessment programs will be closely monitored
to ensure that the NOX E/A final report  reflects the  most accurate and
representative data available.   Updates  of the special  report will be
provided during the remainder of the NOX E/A to disseminate the best  current
data to the EPA and research  community.


7.2    INCREMENTAL EMISSIONS  DUE TO  NOX  CONTROLS

       This section summarizes the preliminary evaluation of  the demonstrated
and potential effects  of combustion  modification NOX  controls on  incremental
emissions.*   The results will help to guide priorities  for subsequent NOX E/A
efforts  in compiling  incremental emission data, characterizing  impacts,  and
studying control processes.   In  the  preliminary evaluation, attention was
focused on flue gas emissions from major sources operating at steady-state
conditions and using  near-term NOX controls.   These  situations  were
considered the most important to the program,  and  were  the only ones  for
which significant data existed.  Subsequent effort will consider  liquid  solid
effluents, minor sources, and alternate  or  advanced  NOX controls.
incremental emissions are the changes in emission  levels  of  combustion-
 generated pollutants other than NOX, which can be  ascribed to  using  a  NOX
 control.
                                     63

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       It is important to note that efforts to date have been concerned only
with estimating incremental emission rates, with little regard to potential
impact.  Ultimately, the significance of the incremental emissions will
depend on baseline, uncontrolled pollutant emission rates, maximum
acceptable ambient pollutant concentrations, and other factors such as
pollutant transport and transformation.  The preliminary screening of
potential incremental impacts due to NOX controls, considering these factors,
is summarized in Section 8.

       The preliminary evaluation was performed in three steps.  In the first
step, preliminary screening, changes in the levels of incremental emissions
were qualitatively linked to the combustion conditions resulting from using
specific NOX controls, based on knowledge of pollutant formation mechanisms.
Of course, this preliminary screening represented only informed speculation
based on what was known about how combustion NOX controls act, and how
combustion-generated pollutants are formed.  But it was used only to screen
the matrix of control/pollutant pairs for expected adverse emission effects,
and thereby guide priority setting for future study in the absence of
supporting data.

       The second step sought to substantiate the postulates formed in the
preliminary screening by compiling and evaluating data from field tests in
which incremental emission data were collected.  Data were very limited, and
insufficiencies were noted.

       The third step followed from the first two and grouped control
technique/pollutant pairs into the following three groups according to their
potential for increased emissions:

       0   High potential emissions impact, where the emissions data unambiguously
           show that applying the NOX control results in significantly increased
           emissions of a specific pollutant

       0   Intermediate potential emission impact, where preliminary screening
           of formative mechanisms indicates that NOX control could conceivably
           cause increased pollutant emissions, but confirming data are lacking,
           contradictory, or inconclusive

       0   Low potential emission impact, where the emissions data clearly
           show that specific pollutant emission levels decrease or are unaffected
           when the NOx control is applied, or where the preliminary screening
           definitely indicates a similar conclusion, even though data are
           1ack i ng

Tables 7-3 through 7-5 show these groupings for boilers, 1C engines, and
gas turbines, respectively.

       As Table 7-3 illustrates, using preferred NOX combustion controls
on boilers should have few adverse effects on incremental emissions of
CO, vapor phase hydrocarbons, or particulates.  Although indiscriminately
lowering excess air can drastically affect boiler CO emissions, and particulate
emissions can increase with off-stoichiometric combustion and flue gas
                                     64

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                    TABLE 7-3.  EVALUATION OF INCREMENTAL EMISSIONS DUE  TO NOX  CONTROLS APPLIED
                                TO BOILERS
NOV Control
X
Low Excess Air
Staged
Combustion
Flue Gas
Re circulation
Reduced Air
Preheat
Reduced Load
Water
Injection
Ammonia
Injection
Incremental Emission
CO
+4-
0
0
0
0
0
0
Vapor Phase
HC
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Sul fate
+
+
+
+
+
+
++
Parti cul ate
0
+
+
0
0
+
+
Organ ics
++
++
+
+
+
+
0
Segregating
Trace Metals
+
+
+
0
0
0
+
Nonsegregating
Trace Metals
0
0
+
+
0
0
0
U1
     Key:  ++ denotes having high potential emissions impact
            + denotes having intermediate potential  emissions  impact,  data needed
            0 denotes having low potential emissions impact

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                  TABLE 7-4.  EVALUATION OF INCREMENTAL EMISSIONS DUE TO NOX CONTROLS APPLIED
                              TO 1C ENGINES
NO Control
A
Retard
Ignition
Increase A/F
Ratio
Decrease A/F
Ratio
Exhaust Gas
Recirculatlon
Decrease
Manifold Air
Temperature
Stratified
Charge
Cylinder
Design
Derate
Increase Speed
Water Injection
Incremental Emission
CO
•H-
0
•H-
•f
0
+
•H-
+
+
Vapor Phase
HC
+
++
•H-
+
•H-
•f
•H-
+
•H-
Sul fate
0
•M-
0
0
+
0
+
0
0
Partlculate
•H-
0
•f
++
0
+
0
+
+
Organlcs
•f
0
+
+
0
+
0
+
+
Segregating
Trace Metals
0
0
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Nonsegregating
Trace Metals
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
(ft
CTl
      Key:  ++ denotes having high potential emissions impact
             + denotes having intermediate potential emission impact, data needed
             0 denotes having low potential emissions impact

-------
                  TABLE 7-5.  EVALUATION OF INCREMENTAL EMISSIONS DUE TO NOX CONTROLS APPLIED
                              TO GAS TURBINES
NO Control
J\
Water or Steam
Injection
Lean Primary
Zone
Early Quench
with Secondary
Air
Increase Mass
Flowrate
Exhaust Gas
Redrculation
A1r Blast/ A1r
Assist
Atomization
Reduced Air
Preheat
Reduced Load
Incremental Emission
CO
4-4-
0
0
•f
+
0
0
•H-
Vapor Phase
HC
4-
0
0
4-
4-
4-
0
•H-
Sul fate
0
4-
0
0
0
0
+
4-
Parti cul ate
4-
0
4-
4-
4-
+
0
•H-
Organ ics
+
0
+
+
+
•f
0
+
Segregating
Trace Metals
•f
+
4-
4-
4-
4-
4-
4-
Nonsegregating
Trace Metals
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
en
       Key:  ++  denotes having high potential emissions Impact
             4-  denotes having Intermediate potential emissions Impact, data needed
             0  denotes having low potential emissions impact

-------
recirculation, with suitable engineering during development and careful
implementation, these incremental emissions problems can be minimized.

       In contrast, applying almost every combustion control has intermediate
to high potential impact on incremental emissions of sulfate, organics, and
trace metals.  For trace metal and organic emissions, substantiating data
were largely lacking, but fundamental formation mechanisms caused justifiable
concern.  In the sulfate case, fundamental formation mechanisms suggested
that these emissions would remain unchanged or decreased with all controls
except ammonia injection.  However, complex interactive effects were
difficult to clarify, and this pollutant class was considered sufficiently
hazardous to justify some concern in the absence of conclusive data.

       Table 7-4 shows that the incremental emissions of all pollutant
classes except nonsegregating trace metals potentially increase when NOX
controls are used on 1C engines.  Increased emissions of CO, vapor phase
hydrocarbons (HC), and particulate (smoke) are of primary concern, while
sulfates, organics, and segregating trace metals from engines burning high
sulfur diesel fuels are of less concern.

       Similarly, certain NOX controls applied to gas turbines can be
expected, in selected instances, to adversely affect all incremental
emissions except nonsegregating trace metals, as shown in Table 7-5.  Again,
increased sulfate, particulate, organic, and segregating trace metals are of
some concern in sources firing high sulfur diesel fuels.  If residual oil
firing in gas turbines increases, these concerns would become more serious.
Presently this appears unlikely, due to materials problems such as
sulfidation.

       The incremental emission evaluations presented in Tables 7-3 through
7-5 are not intended to signify potential for adverse environmental impact.
Rather, the evaluations list source/control/pollutant combinations for which
emissions may increase when NOX controls are used.  Evaluating potential
adverse environmental impacts would require comparing source-generated,
ambient pollutant concentrations with upper limit threshold concentrations of
the pollutants based on health or ecological effects (as described in Section
3).  These comparisons will be made in future program efforts.  However, some
conclusions  based on the results to date are presented below.

       In general, the data on incremental multimedia emissions due to NOX
controls were very sparse.  Although more data were available for flue gas
emissions than for liquid or solid effluent streams, the only data which
allowed quantitative conclusions were for emissions of criteria pollutants
from major sources employing commonly-applied controls.  Data on sulfates,
trace metals, and organics (POM) were few, experimentally uncertain, and
highly dependent on fuel properties, while incremental emissions in liquid
and solid effluents and during transient or nonstandard operation were almost
nonexistent.  Therefore, these data have generally been excluded in the
present evaluation.  Test data from ongoing related programs and from the NOX
E/A test programs will be needed before incremental emissions impacts can be
evaluated for other than flue gas emissions during standard operation.
                                     68

-------
       Emissions of CO, HC,  particulate  (smoke),  and  $03  (with or without
NOX controls) have been limited  in the past for operational  reasons  rather
than environmental impact.   CO,  HC and smoke  emissions  reduce efficiency and
may present safety hazards.  High 303 production  can  lead  to acid condensation,
corrosion and in many cases, to  acid smut formation.  All  of these emissions
are quite sensitive to combustion process modifications for  NOX  control.
Except for $63, incremental  emissions of these pollutants  normally tend to
increase when NOX controls,  particularly low  excess air and  off-stochiometric
combustion, are applied.  Development experience  has  shown,  however, that with
proper engineering these emissions can be limited under low-NOx  conditions.
Therefore, it should be emphasized that  incremental emissions of criteria
pollutants can be viewed more  as a constraining criterion  to be  addressed
during control development rather than as an  immutable  consequence of  low-
NOx firing.

       Moreover, the limit on  emissions for satisfactory  operation is
generally more stringent than  the limit for acceptable  environmental impact.
Of course, the environmental constraints will be  carried  through future
impact assessments in the NOX  E/A for all potentially significant pollutants,
but in many cases, they will need to be  supplemented  by operational
constrai nts.

       The situation for other flue gas  pollutants is more uncertain.
Conventional combustion process  modifications --  low  excess  air, off-
stoichiometric combustion, flue  gas recirculation --  may  increase emissions
of sulfates, organics, and segregating trace  metals from  sources firing
coal or residual oil.  However,  this conclusion has been  based on sparse
data or, lacking that, on fundamental speculation.  Clearly  more data
will be needed.  In contrast to  CO, HC,  and smoke,  little  is known on
whether these emissions can  be constrained to acceptable  levels  during
control development.

       In light of the relative  scarcity of data  on combustion modification
effects on incremental emissions, future program  test efforts, described
in Section 7.3, will stress measuring these emissions.    Specifically,
emphasis will be placed on assessing the effects  of NOX combustion controls
on flue gas emissions of 503,  condensed sulfate,  trace  metals, organics, and
trace species such as NHi and  HCN, as well as emitted particle size
distribution and particulate composition as a function  of  size.  In  addition,
solid and liquid effluents will  be collected  and  analyzed  where  appropriate.
Of course, all other ongoing field test programs  collecting  similar  data will
be closejly monitored.


7.3    TEST PROGRAM DEVELOPMENT

       During the compilation  of the baseline emission  inventory and
the evaluation of incremental  emissions due to NOX controls, it  became
apparent that data were lacking  in several key areas.  Most  noteworthy
was the virtual absence of data  on the effects of NOX combustion controls
on emission levels of noncriteria flue gas pollutants and  liquid and solid
effluents.  In response to these identified data  needs, as well  as additional
                                      69

-------
requirements which may develop in future program efforts, NOX  E/A field  test
programs will be initiated.

       Whenever possible, field testing will be performed as subcontracted
additions to planned or ongoing tests since this is most cost-effective.
However, where program needs cannot be satisfied through add-on testing,  new
test series will be initiated.

       Efforts to date have focused on identifying specific test data  needs
and test add-on opportunities for characterizing utility boilers.  As
discussed in Section 8, the utility boiler category was ranked as having  the
highest environmental impact potential.  Therefore, it is being treated  first
in the process engineering and environmental assessment studies.

       Results of the first year preliminary environmental assessment  and
subsequent process engineering activities have identified specific data  needs
associated with utility boiler design types and fuel combinations.   NOX
modifications to coal-fired boilers have been extensively tested in  past
programs, so NOX emission levels from these boilers have been  relatively  well
characterized.  Tangential and front wall firing configurations have been
especially well characterized.  However, data on emissions other than
criteria pollutants, and incremental emissions data due to NOX controls  are
very sparse.

       Baseline and controlled NOX emissions from oil-fired boilers  have  also
been reasonably well characterized, although more data are needed for  an  in-
depth treatment.  Front wall-firing configurations have been the most
extensively tested.  Again, noncriteria pollutant data, particulate  data, and
incremental emissions data are very limited.

       Emission data for gas-fired boilers, even though somewhat limited, are
sufficient for characterizing NOX emissions.  Although incremental emission
data are  essentially nonexistent from these sources, the need for these  data
is less critical.  Process engineering treatments of gas-fired utility
boilers will be less comprehensive because the use of gas for  generating
power is rapidly declining.  Natural gas will probably be totally unavailable
for generating power by 1985.

       Based on the above, utility boiler test priorities will focus on
coal- and residual oil-fired equipment, particularly tangential and
horizontally-opposed firing configurations.  Test matrices at  each chosen
site will address the data needs identified in Sections 7.1 and 7.2.
Emphasis will be given to obtaining both baseline and incremental data as a
function of combustion control parameters on emissions of flue gas NOX,  CO,
HC, SO?, $03, trace metals, organics, particulate, and particle size
distribution.  In addition, obtaining data on particulate composition  as  a
function of size, specifically trace metal, condensed sulfate, and condensed
organic levels, will be stressed.

       In general, utility boiler testing will follow the sample test
matrices illustrated in Tables 7-6 and 7-7 for vapor phase and condensed
phase constituents, respectively.  The "X's" in the tables represent analyses
to be performed under each test condition.  Level 1 sampling and analysis
                                     70

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TABLE 7-6.  SAMPLE TEST MATRIX — VAPOR PHASE CONSTITUENTS
Pollutant
species
NOX
C02
CO
S02
02
S03
Trace
Metals
Organics
>C6
Partlcu-
late
Sampling and
Method
Continuous monitor,
chemi luminescent
Continuous monitor,
NDIR
Continuous monitor,
NOIR
Continuous monitor,
UV fluorescence
Continuous monitor,
NDIR
Method 8 probe/
train
SASS train
SASS train
Method 5
probe/train
analysis Test Points8
Baseline Baseline 1CK FGR Max FGR 1/2 max OSC Max OSC Max OSC
Comments high ex- m1n ex- min EA Min EA Mln EA Min EA Max FGR
cess air cess air
Two-dimensional X X X X XXX
sampling rake
giving composite
sample. Sample
upstream of
air heater.
See above X X X X XX
See above X X X X XX
See above X X X X XX
See above, also X X X X XX
sample up and down-
stream of parti cu-
late collection
device to calculate
air In-leakage.
X X X X XX
X X
Solvent extraction of X x
absorbent elutrate to
8 fractions
Sample up and down- X X X X XX
stream of partlculate
collection device.

-------
                                                           TABLE  7-6.   Concluded
Pollutant
species
Particle
size
distribu-
tion
Trace
species
HCN, HC*,
NH3, COS,
H?S, and
HC<6
Sampling
Method
Method 5
probe/ train
with cyclones,
or Impactors
Gas grab
sample
and analysis Test Points3
Baseline Baseline 10X FOR Max FGR 1/2 max OSC Max OSC Max OSC +
Comments high ex- m1n ex- m1n EA M1n EA Mln EA M1n EA Max FGR
cess air cess air
Particle size frac- X X X X XX
tlonatlon to at least
four fractions.
Gas chromatograph with X X
flame 1on1zat1on
detector for analysis
ro
                                                                                                           T-4/Z
            aAll test points at the same boiler load.  Boiler load within 20X of  rated capacity.

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                                TABLE 7-7.   SAMPLE  TEST MATRIX -  CONDENSED PHASE CONSTITUENTS
Pollutant
species
Flue gas
Trace
elements
Sulfate
NH4 HS04
Organics
>CG
Sampling
Method
parti cu late
Spark source mass
spectroscopy or
atomic absorption
Met chemical
analysis
Met chemical
analysis
Met chemical
analysis or GC-
mass spec.
Hopper ash and bottom ash

Trace
elements
Sulfate
NH4 HS04
Organics
>CG


Assay as above

and analysis
Comments
Assay each
parti oil ate size
fraction, both up
and downstream of
particle collection
device catches.
Assay for at least
20 elements.
See above
See above
Assay lumped particu-
late catch
Assay hopper and
bottom ash
separate ly

See above

Test Points8
Baseline Baseline 10X FGR Max FGR 1/2 max OSC Max OSC Max OSC
high ex- min ex- m1n EA Min EA Min EA Min EA Max EA
cess air cess air
X X X X XXX
X X X X XX
X X X X XX
X X

X X
X X
X X
X X
GO
           aAll  test points at the same boiler load.  Boiler  load within 20JC of rated capacity.
                                                                                                   T-473

-------
procedures (Reference 28) will be used wherever appropriate.  The NOX
controls identified for major study emphasis (see Section 8) will be applied
incrementally.  New burner design testing, although not specifically shown  in
Tables 7-6 and 7-7, will also be performed.  Because of their expense,
certain analyses (notably organic assays) will be performed only under
baseline and maximum controlled (low-NOx) conditions to supply key data
most cost-effectively.  It is important to note that Tables 7-6 and 7-7
represent a general test plan that is not strictly applicable to a specific
boiler/fuel combination.  Thus, flue gas recirculation will not be tested on
coal-fired boilers, and hopper and bottom ash sampling do not apply to oil-
fired boiler testing.

       In addition to the analyses noted in Tables 7-6 and 7-7, ultimate
fuel analyses of samples taken before, during, and after testing will
be performed.  The same fuel will be fired throughout each boiler test
series.  The need for bioassay analyses, and the procedure to be followed
when these analyses are performed, will be coordinated with the IERL working
group advising environmental assessment activities.

       Current plans are to conduct a series of 19 field tests using
add-ons to existing programs whenever possible.  The 19 tests, with
an appropriate test priority reflecting the source ranking discussed in
Section 8, are summarized below.  Actual test scheduling may not fully
reflect the priority ranking, however.  The timing of test opportunities
and the need to meet special report schedules may dictate the order in
which tests proceed.
           Priority

             1-4



             5-7
             8-9


             10

             11-12

             13

             14

             15

             16
                  Test

Coal-fired utility boiler.  Includes one test
each of tangential, wall-fired, and horizontally-
opposed fired boiler if possible.

Oil-fired utility boiler.  Includes one test
each of tangential, wall-fired, and horizontally-
opposed fired boiler, if possible.  At least
one boiler should incorporate combined F6R
and OSC control.

Coal-fired watertube industrial boiler.  At
least one spreader stoker.

Oil-fired gas turbine with wet controls

Advanced burner or firebox design

Oil-fired firetube industrial boiler

Oil-fired watertube industrial boiler

Oil-fired warm air furnace

Spark ignition 1C engine
                                     74

-------
  17            Compression ignition 1C engine

18-19           Industrial process furnace, at lease one firing
                process gas
                           75

-------
                                  SECTION 8

                     ENVIRONMENTAL ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS


       During the first year  effort,  an  environmental  alternatives  analysis
was used to  set  priorities  for  the process studies,  environmental  assess-
ments, and testing programs.  These priorities relate  directly to  the  program
needs:

       •   Assess current and impending  combustion modification applications
           to quantify environmental,  economic,  and  operational impacts

       •   Assess emerging, advanced  technology to guide  control development

           —  Identify potential  adverse impacts which should be  addressed
               in the control development program

           --  Estimate which controls will  be needed  and are  most  effective
               to attain air  quality  goals to  the year 2000

       To address these needs,  the program gives primary  early emphasis  to
assessing current and impending control  applications.   Assessment  of advanced
technology applications will  proceed  at  a lower level  of  effort in  near-term
activities,  but  will be emphasized toward the  end of the  program.   During the
program, separate process engineering/environmental  assessment reports will
be generated for each major equipment  category.  These reports will focus
mainly on current technology  since these applications  are most timely  from
an environmental standpoint,  and  are  the most  extensively tested.   The final
report will  document the assessment of far-term applications and will  update
the earlier  assessment of near-term applications.

       To support this approach,  preliminary priorities are needed  for:

       t   The sequence in  which  the major source categories are to be
           assessed  and the level  of  effort  devoted  to each

       •   The near-term source/control  applications to be assessed

       0   The source/control combinations to  be addressed in  the  assessment
           of far-term applications

       •   The effluent stream/pollutant combinations  to  be emphasized in the
           test  programs and  assessments
                                     77

-------
       In program work to date, preliminary source/control screening was  con-
ducted independently of pollutant screening.  The source/control combinations
were initially screened on the basis of significant near-term or far-term
application.  Pollutants for the resultant source/control combinations were
then screened for potential adverse impacts, and the results were then com-
bined to set program priorities.

       Earlier sections of this report summarized most of the information
required to determine these four priorities.  This section consolidates that
information and also estimates near- and far-term source/control requirements
to attain and maintain air quality.  Priorities were then set in the sequence
of the preceding list.  The qualitative priorities set will be updated and
reevaluated as new data become avaiable.


8.1    EVALUATION OF NQX CONTROL REQUIREMENTS

       The source/control priorities within the NOX E/A largely depend on the
extent to which specific sources and controls will need to be used in this
century to meet N0£ air quality standards.  To help set these priorities, the
systems analysis model described in Section 4.4 was developed to relate
ambient air quality to several scenarios on source growth, control
implementation, and regulatory policy.  For preliminary calculations we have
used the source-weighted rollback model for the air quality model in the  Los
Angeles Air Quality Control Region (mobile dominated) and the Chicago AQCR
(stationary dominated).  Emission inventories were, with some modifications,
taken from the NEDS file.  Two scenarios each for mobile and stationary source
growth were considered.  In addition, the sensitivity of the results was  in-
vestigated by considering two base-year annual average, ambient N02 concen-
trations for calibration of the model, and several different source weight-
ings for powerplants and mobile sources.

       The results of the preliminary screening analysis for the NOX control
needs of the Los Angeles AQCR are shown in Table 8-1.  This table outlines
control requirements for Los Angeles for 1985 (upper entry) and 2000 (lower
entry), as a function of base year N02 concentration, powerpi ant and mobile
source weighting factor, and source growth scenario.  For calculations
summarized in the table, the nominal growth case* assumes moderate growth for
stationary sources (influenced by conservation, emissions off-set policies
and rising energy costs), a 3 percent per year growth in vehicle population,
and 0.62 g N02/km (1 g/mile) mobile source emission standard beyond 1980.
The low mobile case has the same stationary source scenario but assumes 1
percent per year growth in vehicle population and an emission factor of
0.25 g N02/km (0.4 g/mile) beyond 1981.  The high stationary source case  is
an extension of historical trends in stationary source growth and has the
same mobile growth as the nominal growth case.
*The growth rates for each source category are given  in detail  in Section  7
 of Reference 16.

                                         78

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TABLE 8-1.  SUMMARY OF CONTROL LEVELS REQUIRED TO MEET NO? STANDARD
            IN LOS ANGELES, AQCR 024
      Case
                       BYR  = 132 ug/m3
                    PP = 1.0
                    MS = 1.0
           PPa = 0.7
           MS  = 1.2
                           BYR =  160 yg/m3
            PP = 1.0
            MS = 1.0
PPa = 0.7
MS  = 1.2
 Nominal Growth
            0
 Low Mobile
0
0
 0
                          0
                  0
                               0
 High Stationary
 aThe low emission layer in Los Angeles prevents wide dispersion
  of the emissions from elevated sources; therefore, the powerplants
  are down weighted to 0.7.  Also, the highest ambient levels occur
  in regions of high mobile emissions.  Thus the mobile sources are
  weighted upwards.
 0 — No additional control required
 1 — Controls from Group I
 2 — Controls from Groups I and II
 3 — Controls from Groups I, II, and II
 4 — Violation of NAAQS, insufficient control to meet ambient
      standard
                            1985
                                    2000
             PP  — Powerplants Weighting Factor
             MS  — Mobile Sources Weighting Factory
             BYR — Base Year Calibration
                                 79

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        In addition two values for base year ambient N02 concentrations were
used:   132 yg/nr and 160 yg/nr.  These values represent the  lower  and upper
limits  of reported maximum annual averages from various monitoring stations
and for several different four-quarter averaging periods.  The  source-
weighting factors for powerplants (PP) and mobile sources  (MS)  were varied
to show the sensitivity of the results to assumptions on dispersion  of NOX
from tall stacks relative to ground  level sources.

        The control groups cited in Table 8-1 refer to the  ranking  shown on
Table 8-2.  Here the control techniques are ranked on the  basis of cost
effectiveness in improving air quality.  The negative costs  indicate a net
cost savings due to improvements in  fuel consumption efficiency.   The most
obvious conclusion from Table 8-1 is that the required control  level is
dominated by the assumptions on the  mobile source emissions.  This is not
really  surprising since mobile sources accounted for 66 percent of the NOX
emissions in 1973.  In the low mobile case the combination of low  growth (1
percent per year) and stringent controls (0.25 g/km in 1981) results in a 63
percent reduction in mobile emissions in 1985 and a 66 percent  reduction in
2000.  This more than offsets the growth in stationary sources  and results in
a net reduction in total emissions of 36 percent and 38 percent,
respectively.  This level of reduction is enough to achieve  the ambient
standard except in the high (160 yg/m3) base year cases.   Even  in  the nominal
mobile case, a slight increase in the weighting of the mobile sources has
significant impact in 1985.

        In contrast to the low mobile cases, maximum control  is  needed for all
other cases in 2000, and also for the high base year ambient concentration
case in the near term (1985).  Again, both of these are consequences of the
dominance of the mobile sources.  Control of the stationary  sources  cannot
yield sufficient emission reduction  to offset growth and the large mobile
source emissions contribution.

       Analogous results for Chicago are shown in Table 8-3, with  the
corresponding control ranking given  in Table 8-4.  The tables indicate that
control of stationary sources is required in all cases, except  in  1985 for a
base year (1973) concentration of 96 yg/m3.  The principal reason  for this
(no control in 1985) is that the reduction in mobile source  emissions
counterbalances the growth in stationary sources.  For example, in the
nominal growth case, mobile source emissions in 1985 are 123 Gg below their
1973 level, whereas stationary sources have increased by only 112  Gg.  In the
high stationary growth case, however, an increase of 154 Gg  for stationary
sources in 1985 is enough to require a small amount of control.  Even with
the low base year concentration, the complete range of combustion
modification controls is needed in the year 2000.  For the high base year
concentration cases, combustion modifications and ammonia  injection  are not
always  sufficient, and, even in the  low mobile case, combustion modification
controls are needed.  (The 1973 mobile NOX emissions constitute 45 percent of
the total in Chicago; consequently,  mobile emissions are not as dominant as
in Los Angeles.)

       The conclusions for the Chicago AQCR are essentially  the same as for
Los Angeles.  For the long term, combustion modifications  will  be  required
and in  some cases, will not be sufficient to meet the annual standard.  In
                                     80

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    TABLE 8-2.   CONTROL PRIORITIZATION  FOR LOS ANGELES
                   (2000, equal source weighting)
Rank
f 1


I <









II <






2
3
4
5
6
7
>. 8
' 9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
I 21
r22
in J "
i 24
L 25
Source/Control
RES. FURN NEW BURNER
SM COHH FURN NEW D.
IND (WTB) LEA
SM COMM FURN A.D. 11
COMM/INST FURN A.D. 12
RES. FURN A.D. 11
RES. FURN A.D. 12
IND (FTB) LEA
SM PP LEA+OSC
1C ENGINES ADO A/F
«HED PP TO 250 PPM
1C ENG.-NEW ADJ A/F
1C ENG.-NEW A.D.
"LA PP TO 250 PPM
SM PP LEA+OSC+FGR
1C ENGINE-EGR
aCCGT-NEW-H20 INJ
CCGT-NEW A.D. 11
CCGT-NEW A.D. 12
IND (WTB) LEA+OSC
IND (FTB) LEA+FGR
LA PP C.M.+NH3 INJ
MED PP C.M.+NH3 INJ
SM PP C.M.+NH3 INJ
IND (UTB) C.M.+NH3
Cost Per Unit
Change in Air Quality
10'$/(ug/niJ)
-15.4
-14.6
-13.9
-12.7
-13.3
-11.4
-11.3
- 3.67
1.57
2.18
2.43
2.48
0.305
2.50
2.74
4.10
4.13
3.38
3.94
5.00
6.57
6.74
7.59
8.25
13.4
X Reduction
per Unit
40
40
7
60
80
60
80
17
45
30
16
11
51
16
58
20
30
50
75
17
40
79
79
79
42
'Required to meet present legislated emission levels.

 A.D.  - Advanced design
 C.M.  - Combustion modifications (LEA, OSC, F6R)
 COMM  - Commercial
 CCGT  - Combined cycle gas turbine
 EGR - Exhaust gas recirculation
 FGR - Flue gas recirculation
 FTB -Flretube boiler
 FURN  - Furnace
 H20 INJ - Water Injection
 I, IND - Industrial
 INST  - Institutional
 LA -  Large
 LEA - Low excess air
 MED - Medium
 OSC - Off-stolchlmetric combustion
 PP -  Power plant
 RES - Residential
 SM-Small
 UTB - Uatertube boiler
                                  81

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    TABLE 8-3.  SUMMARY OF CONTROL LEVELS REQURIED TO MEET NO? STANDARD
                IN CHICAGO, AQCR 067
     Case
                        BYR = 06 ug/m3
                 PP = 1.0
                 MS = 1.0
         PP = 0.5
         MS = 1.2
PP = 0.2
MS = 1.0
                                    BYR = 120 ug/m3
PP = 1.0
MS = 1.0
PP = 0.5
MS = 1.2
PP = 0.2
MS = 1.0
Nominal Growth
0
Low Mobile
0
 0
High Stationary
          0
      control of stationary sources is required in this case than in the
 PP = 1.0 case because the effectiveness of the powerplant controls in
 reducing ambient air quality is significantly reduced by the low source
 weighting factor.

0 — No additional control required
1 -- Controls from Group 1
2 — Controls from Groups I and II
3 -- Controls from Groups I, II, and III
V -- Violation of NAAQS, insufficient controls to meet ambient standard
                                 1985
                                        2000
                    PP  — Powerplant Weighting Factor
                    MS  — Mobile Sources Weighting Factor
                    BYR — Base Year Calibration
                                     82

-------
       TABLE 8-4.  CONTROL PRIORITIZATION FOR CHICAGO
                      (2000,  equal  source  weighting)
Rank
1
2
3
4
5
6
I 7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
II 21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
/ 29
30
31
III 32
33
34
* 35
:36
Source/Control
RES. NEW BURNER
RES. FURN A.D.fl
RES. FURN A.D.I2
SM COMM FURN NEW D
SM COMM FURN A.D.fl
SM COMM FURN A.D.I2
IWTB-OIL LEA
N IWTB-C LEA
N IWTB-0 LEA
IWTB-COAL LEA
PP-OIL LEA
N IFTB-0 LEA
IFTB-OIL LEA
PP-COAL LEA
N PP-C LEA+OSC 1982
N PP-C A.D.fZ 1987
PP-COAL LEA+OSC
N IFTB-0 LEA+FGR
N IWTB-0 LEA+OSC
N IWTB-0 A.D
-------
the short term, combustion modifications are needed unless the  low base year
concentration  is valid.

       These results strongly suggest that all possible stationary source
control methods may need to be developed.  According to the results discussed
above, a less  vigorous approach could be justified only if all  of the most
favorable assumptions were valid (i.e., low base year concentration, low
mobile growth, strict and effective mobile control, and validity of the
higher mobile  weighting assumption).  It is unreasonable to expect that all
of this will happen, and it is therefore imprudent to plan control
development on such an assumption.  For the short term, the current combustion
modification control technology might be sufficient if a favorable mobile
situation exists.  For the longer term, however, all the advanced control
methods presently considered whould be pursued, including ammonia injection.
Research on even more effective methods seems justified.

       These conclusions can be qualitatively extended to many  of the regions
identified as  priority AQCRs and AQMAs.  Those that are mobile  dominated will
respond to stationary source control in much the same manner as Los Angeles.
It is quite likely that for these AQCRs, mobile source controls (0.62 g/km)
would be sufficient for the short term; however, combustion modifications on
stationary sources would be required in the long term.  The stationary source
dominated AQCRs, particularly those in the upper half of Table  4-2, will
likely require combustion modifications,and perhaps ammonia injection, in
both the near  term and far term.  It should be emphasized that  the present
analysis focuses on control requirements to attain alternate potential
standards, e.g., a short-term N02 standard, will be evaluated later in the
NOX E/A program.  The results of this evaluation could show additional
control requirements over those identified here.

       The conclusions for the required control levels for both Los Angeles
and Chicago are very similar to those of other studies, for example, the DOT
study (Reference 2) and an EPA study (Reference 1).  Both of these studies
reported that  neither Los Angeles nor Chicago could achieve the ambient
standard with  even maximum stationary source control and 0.25 g/km mobile
controls.  The results here indicate that it may be possible in favorable
circumstances.  The primary differences between the present analysis and these
two are in the growth rates and the base year ambient levels for which the
models were calibrated.  The DOT study allowed stationary sources to grow
at 3.9 percent per year.  The EPA study considered 5 percent per year growth
and a base year concentration in Los Angeles of 182 ug/nr.  Because of growth
restrictions in Los Angeles, an effective annual growth of about 1 percent
per year for the aggregate of the stationary sources was used in this work.
In Chicago, electric powerplant growth was much less than 3.9 percent, primarily
because of growth in nuclear capacity.  These factors account for the difference
between never  meeting the standard and possibly meeting the standard.  These
differences also help to illustrate the influence of the basic  assumption
(growth rate,  base year concentration, and source weighting factors) on the
quantitative results.  However, the qualitative conclusions remain the same.

       The conclusions of this portion of the preliminary analysis can be
summarized as  follows:
                                     84

-------
       •   The order in which controls should be implemented is significantly
           influenced by the fuel savings features of the control method and,
           of course, the availability of the technology.

       t   For the short term, combustion modifications for stationary
           sources will be needed for most of the priority AQCRs.  Both
           retrofit and "new design" controls should be developed,
           particularly those that also result in an energy savings.


       •   For the long term, all combustion modifications and ammonia
           injection will be required.  This may be the case even for the
           minimum mobile source emissions case (low growth, 0.25 g/km).

       It should be emphasized that these results are only tentative since
they are based on a rather crude air quality model and somewhat qualitative
data.   Current efforts are incorporating a reactive photochemical model to
include effects of NO^-HC-oxidant reactions, source height and density, and
meteorological conditions.  Process data on control effectiveness and cost
are also being updated through assessment of control technology.  In
addition, other N02 critical AQCRs (e.g., New York City and St. Louis) will be
assessed to provide a broader base for conclusions.


8.2    SOURCE/CONTROL PRIORITIES

       This section combines the results of Section 8.1 with program results
presented in other sections to set NOX E/A program priorities on sources and
source/control combinations.  Priority setting was done in two steps.  First,
source  priorities were set for the major combustion source/fuel combinations.
These were then used to determine the order for doing process engineering and
environmental assessment studies.  They were also used to guide the  level of
effort  to be devoted to studying each major source category and to individual
design  types within each category.

       Second, control priorities were set for each source/fuel combination.
The resultant source/control priorities were used to determine which
combinations will be given major or minor emphasis in the process studies and
test programs:

       The source prioritization used the following sequence:

       •   Subdivide major source categories (utility boilers) into  source/
           fuel categories (coal-fired utility); further subdivide to major
           design types (tangential) likely to be extensively controlled for
           NOX, and minor design types (cyclones) not likely to be extensively
           controlled due to dwindling use and/or lack of control flexibility.

       •   Assess the extent controls are used or are planned for each source/
           fuel category

       •   Rank source/fuel categories on basis of nationwide mass emissions
           of NOX
                                     85

-------
       •   Assess the relative baseline environment impact for each source/
           fuel category

       •   Identify the relative effectiveness of implementing near-term and
           far-term source controls in maintaining air quality in urban areas

Table 8-5 summarizes the results of establishing these priorities.  The
results were largely qualitative due to the uncertainty and lack of data in
many areas.  The considerations applied in constructing Table 8-5 are
summarized below.
Source Categorization

       The division of the source/fuel category into major and minor design
types followed from results presented in Section 2 of this report.  "Major"
refers to conventional designs likely to be controlled for NOX in the near
term.  These design types are given primary emphasis in the process studies
and are candidates for field testing.  The minor design types are either
obsolete or otherwise unlikely to be subject to significant NOX control in
the near term.  Correspondingly, minor design types are given secondary
emphasis in the process studies and are generally not candidates for field
tests.  This does not imply that minor design types are insignificant NOX
sources.  For example, cyclone boilers emit 8 percent of stationary source
NOX.  Yet, cyclone combustion characteristics make NOX control very
difficult.  For this and other reasons, their sale has been discontinued for
other than high sodium lignite applications and it is unlikely many existing
units will be controlled for NOX.  Similar considerations resulted in the
following being classified as minor design types:  vertical- and stoker-fired
utility boilers, firebox and horizontal return tube package firetube boilers,
firetube stokers, and space heaters.


Control Implementation

       Information on implementing NOX control was based on the control
technology background described in Section 5.  Since the assessment of
current controls application is a major NOX E/A objective, the degree of
control implementation becomes a key criterion in setting source priorities.
To date, only utility boilers and gas turbines have been controlled for NOX
to any significant extent.  Gas and oil units have been the most extensively
controlled, but control of coal units is increasing.  Since no new gas- or
oil-fired units are being sold, NOX controls for coal units will dominate in
the future.  Large and intermediate industrial boilers are also currently
controlled sources.  Standards of performance for new stationary sources are
planned for these sources and 1C engines.


Nationwide Emission Ranking

       Section 7.1 ranked design/fuel types by nationwide mass emissions of
NOX.  These results are also shown in Table 8-5 for the specific source
categories listed.  Nationwide mass emissions are useful for weighting
                                     86

-------
                                               TABLE 8-5.   EVALUATION OF SOURCE  PRIORITIES
00
•-g
»
Source Category
Coal-fired utility
Oil-fired utility
Gas-fired utility
Coal-fired water-tube
Oil -fired Mtertube
Gas-fired mtertufae
Coal-fired flretutae
011 -fired flretube
Gas-fired flretube
Gas- and oil-fired
gas turbines
Gas- and oil -fired
warm air furnaces
Compression Ignition
1C engines (dlesel
fuel and mixed)
Spark Ignition
1C engines
Industrial process
combustion
Major
Design Types
In E/A Program
Tangential ,
single and
opposed wall-
flred, turbo
Same as above
Same as above
Pulv. coal,
spreader stoker
Single and
multlburner
Single and
multlburner

Scotch
Scotch
Industrial .
utility,
simple cycle
Res., Conn.
furnace
Turbocharged
Turbocharged
naturally
aspirated
Process heat-
ers, furnaces,
kilns
Minor
Design Types
In E/A Program
Cyclone,
vertical,
stoker
Cyclone

Underfeed/
overfeed


Stoker
Firebox, HRT
Firebox. HRT
Confc. cycle,
repowerlng
Space
heaters
Blower
scavenged


Degree of
Control
Implementation
All new sources, moder-
ate for existing sources
Extensive for existing
sources
Same as above
Low for existing,
Impending for new
Same as above
Same as above
Same as above
Same as above
Same as above
Moderate for existing
sources, Impending for
new sources
Increasing use for
energy conservation
Negligible for existing
sources; Impending for
new sources
Same as above
Negligible
Nationwide
NO. Emission
Ranking
1
4
3
5
10
7
14
6
9
11
12
8
2
13
Relative
Impact h
Potential0
H
N
L
H
H
L
H
M
L
L
L-M
L-M
L-M
M-H
Source
Need/Effe
Near term
H
H
H
H
H
H
M
H
H
H
H
H
H
M
Control b
:t1veness
Far term
H
L
L
H
H
M-L
L
H
M-L
H-M
H-N
M-L
M
M-H
Source
Ranking
In E/A
Program
1
3
B
2
6
11
14
5
12
4
7
10
9
13
               "Major refers  to sources likely to be controlled for NOx; minor refers to sources for which controls are unlikely to be Implemented In the near term.

               bH • high; M • medium; L • low

-------
relative emission contributions of various sources and detecting emission
trends independent of local variations.  However, they do not account for
variations among source categories in proximity to population centers and
regional variations in the use of specific source/fuel types.  These regional
factors are qualitatively included in the relative impact potential column.


Relative Impact Potential

       Ranking sources by relative impact potential was based on the
multimedia emissions inventory discussed in Section 7.1, and the impact
screening to be discussed in Section 8.3.  Although incremental impacts were
not considered in the evaluation, results discussed in Section 7.2 were used
to relate design type and fuel to potential for emissions of specific
pollutants when there were insufficient emission data.  The proximity of
specified sources (e.g., residential furnaces) to populated areas was also
considered.  The relative impact potential resulting from these considera-
tions was generally high for coal firing, medium for residual oil firing,  and
low with clean fuel firing.  Residential furnaces were ranked at borderline
L-M because of their proximity to populated areas and their potential for
increased emissions during cycling transients.  1C engines were also a
borderline case.  Even though they fire clean fuels, organic emissions are
high.  Little emission/impact data are available for industrial process
furnaces.  They were related M-H on the basis of fuel use.


Effectiveness of Source Control in Air Quality Maintenance

       This criterion was based on the results of the air quality screening
analysis discussed in Section 8.1.  Separate consideration was given to near-
term effectiveness and far-term effectiveness to isolate effects of design
trends and growth projections for source categories.  The analysis discussed
in Section 8.1 showed that control needs are highly uncertain for specific
source categories.  Estimated control needs depended strongly on growth
projections, mobile source control assumptions, measurements of ambient N0£
concentrations, and the relative weighting of point sources (powerplants)  and
ground level sources (mobile sources).  Optimistic scenarios (in terms of
stationary source air quality impact) required only moderate control of major
stationary sources in the near term.  Moderate or pessimistic scenarios,
however, required extensive near-term stationary source control.  In the far
term, extensive control was generally needed regardless of assumption.
Entries in Table 8-5 were based on moderate or pessimistic scenarios.  Since
the NOX E/A is largely a problem definition study, its purposes would not  be
served by using optimistic assumptions on the potential for adverse impact.
For the moderate or worst case scenarios, estimated near-term control needs are
generally high for all source categories.  For the far term, the needs are
focused on extensive control of new sources.  Thus, sources with dwindling
new sales due to design trends or fuel availability are downgraded in the  far
term.

-------
Overall Source Ranking

       The last column in Table 8-5 gives the qualitative ranking of the  13
source categories.  The degree of control implementation and the relative
impact potential were given the most weight.  Based on this ranking, the
process and environmental assessment studies will be conducted  in the
following sequence:


       1.  Utility and large industrial watertube boilers

       2.  Industrial and commercial packaged boilers

       3.  Gas turbines (simple cycle and combined cycle)

       4.  Residential and commercial warm  air furnaces

       5.  Reciprocating internal combustion engines

       6.  Industrial process combustion equipment

Within each of these studies, the relative  effort for specific  source/fuel
categories will follow the order of ranking in Table 8-5.

       Once derived, the source priorities  were extended to include
consideration of specific source/control combinations.  This source/control
prioritization is shown in Table 8-6.  The  table also shows preliminary
selection of those advanced source/control  combinations which will be
evaluated in the later study of far-term applications.  The prioritization of
current technology was based directly on results discussed in Section 5,  and
considered the extent of current control applications to specific sources and
the cost-effectiveness of a given control compared to competitive techniques.
Major future emphasis will be given to the  source/control combinations likely
to see significant control in the next 5 years.  The selection  of advanced
techniques for treatment in the far-term control studies was also based on
results presented in Section 5.  The developmental status and schedule, as
well as the potential availability of competitive techniques were considered.
Advanced techniques which are being covered by other assessment efforts
(e.g., fluidized beds, advanced cycles) will be given minor emphasis in the
far-term effort.


8.3    POLLUTANT/IMPACT SCREENING

       The list of source/control combinations given priority in Section  8.2
was further evaluated to identify specific  pollutants which show potential
for an adverse environmental impact with or without NOX controls.  These
results will be used to set priorities for  samplng and chemical analyses  to
be performed during field test programs.  The emphasis in this
pollutant/impact screening was on flue gas  emissions.  Liquid and solid
effluent stream data were quite sparse.  Future field test efforts will
attempt to resolve these insufficiencies.
                                     89

-------
                                  TABLE 8-6.    SUMMARY  OF  SOURCE  CONTROL  PRIORITIES
Source
Ranking
1
3. 8
2

6. 11
M
5. 12
4
7
9
10
13
Source
Coal-fired utility
boilers, existing
Coal-fired utility
boilers, new
Oil-fired, gas-
fired utility
boilers
Coal -fired water-
tube. Industrial-
pulverized
Coal-fired water-
tube Industrial -
stoker
01l-f1red, gas-
fired watertube
Coal-fired fire-
tube stoker
Oil-fired, gas-
fired flretube
6as- 8 oil-fired
gas turbines
Gas- & oil-fired
warm air furnaces
Spark Ignition 1C
engines
Compression igni-
tion 1C engines
(diesel , mixed fuel )
Industrial process
combustion
NEAR TERM EFFORT IN E/A PROGRAM: CURRENT AND IMPENDING APPLICATIONS
Major Emphasis - NO E/A
Sources4 "
Tangential, opposed ft
single xall, turbo-fired
Same as above
Same as above
Single or multlburner
wall-fired
Spreader
Single or multlburner
wall -fired

Scotch
Utility, Industrial
simple cycle
Residential, commercial
furnaces
Turbocharged, natural-
ly aspirated
Turbocharged
Process heaters,
furnaces, kilns
Major NO. E/A
Emphasis - Controls
LEA, BBF, BOOS. OFA.
low-NOx burners
LEA » OFA; low-No*
burners, enlarged
firebox
LEA. BBF. BOOS. OFA,
FGR
LEA, BBF, BOOS, OFA,
low-NOx burners
LEA, OFA
LEA. OFA, low-NOx
burners

LEA, FGR. OFA, low-
NOx burners
Water Injection
Low-NOx burners
Operational tuning,
reduced Inlet air
temperature
Operational tuning
LEA, load reduction,
RAP, FGR, H?0
Injection
Minor NOX E/A
Emphasis - Sources
Cyclone, vertical
stoker
Cyclone

Underfeed/overfeed

Firebox, horizontal
return tube
Firebox, HRT
Combined cycle,
repowerlng
Space heaters

Blower scavenged
Low-NOx burners
Minor NO. E/A .
Emphasis - Controls8 >D
FGR. RAP, HzO Inj..
load reduction,
NHa Injection
FGR. RAP. H20 1nj.,
NH3 Injection
RAP. HjO Inj.. NH3
Injection
Load reduction

Load reduction
LEA
Load reduction
'Can modifications

EGR. derate
Derate

FAR TERM EFFECT:
ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY
Major NOX
E/A Emphasis
NH3 Injection
Advanced OFA
techniques;
adv. ]ow-NOx
burners, NH3
Injection
Advanced low-
NOx burners,
NH3 Injection
Advanced low-
NOx burners.
advanced OFA,
NH3 Injection
Factory
Installed
OFA. NH3 1nj.
Adv. low-NOx
burners, adv.
OFA, NH3 1nj.,
alt. fuels

Adv. low-NOx
burners, adv.
OFA, alt. fuels,
catalytic comb.
Adv. can design,
comb, cycles.
alt. fuels,
catalytic comb.
Adv. burner/
firebox des.,
alt. fuels.
catalytic comb.
Chamber redes . ,
alt. fuels
Chamber redes . ,
alt. fuels
Low-NOx burn-
ers, OFA.
alt. fuels
Minor NOx
E/A Emphasis
Flue gas treatment
Flue gas treatment:
fluldlzed beds;
adv. cycles
Chemically active
fluid bed. flue
gas treatment
Flue gas treatment
Flue gas treatment
Flue gas treatment




Exhaust gas
treatment
Exhaust gas
treatment

Major refers  to sources or controls emphasized In near term control programs; minor refers to sources or controls less  likely to be used.
LEA • low excess air;  BBF - biased burner firing; BOOS • burners  out of service; OFA - overflre air; FGR • flue gas reclrculatlon; RAP « reduced air preheat

-------
        The set  of pollutant classes  under  consideration was described in
 Section 7.2 and included carbon monoxide,  vapor phase hydrocarbons,
 particulates,  sulfates,  condensed phase organics,  and trace metals.   Several
 of  these classes were further divided into more detailed pollutant groups,
 which  gave a better representation of potential health/welfare hazards.   For
 example,  the vapor phase hydrocarbon class was  speciated into  alkanes,
 alkenes,  alkynes, aldehydes,  carboxylic acids,  and  aromatics.   Sulfates,
 organics,  and  trace metals  are generally emitted as particulates,  but the
 particulates class was retained because it is  a criteria pollutant,  and
 because emissions data on this class of pollutants  were available.

        Baseline emissions for each pollutant  species group, as a function of
 combustion source class, were summarized in Section 7.1.  In addition,
 Section 7.2 summarized the  incremental  emissions of these pollutant  groups,
 where  data were available,  as a function of applied NOX combustion control.
 The health and  welfare aspects of each  species/group were discussed  in
 Section 3 in terms of developing maximum ambient screening concentrations.  By
 combining information discussed in each of those sections with a dispersion
 model,  it was  possible to flag the pollutants from  each combustion source
 which  represent potential environmental hazards due to applying NOX  controls.

        Such a  summary appears in Tables 8-7 and 8-8.   Table 8-7 shows
 baseline emissions, typical emission levels with NOX controls, maximum
 ambient screening concentrations,and derived maximum allowable emission  level
 (from  the dispersion model) for the  pollutant  groups considered.   The
 pollutant groups listed  in  Table 8-7 are those  for  which incremental
 emissions data  were available.  As indicated,  incremental data were  available
 only for criteria pollutants.  Table 8-8  shows a similar summary  for those
 pollutants groups for which little or no field  data were found on  the
 incremental effects of NOX  combustion controls.

        From the data presented in Tables 8-7  and 8-8, it was possible to
 identify those  pollutant groups which are  emitted at levels near,  or
 exceeding, the  defined maximum allowable emission level.  Pollutant
 group/combustion source combinations were  flagged if emission  levels  exceeded
 10  percent of  the maximum allowable  level. These combinations were  noted
 in  Tables 8-7  and 8-8, and  further summarized  in Table 8-9.

        Table 8-9 illustrates that emissions from large coal- and oil-fired
 boilers potentially represent the most  significant  environmental hazards.
 Baseline emissions of particulates,  sulfates,  and certain POM  species from
 these  source classes currently exceed the  derived maximum allowable  emissions
 levels, while  emissions  of  several other POM  species are within an order of
 magnitude of the maximum.  In addition, while  emissions of total vapor phase
 hydrocarbons from large  boilers were not identified as a concern,  emissions
-of  several hydrocarbon classes, notably oxygenates  and aromatics,  were
 flagged.   Finally, baseline emissions of several trace metals  from coal- and
 oil-fired boilers were noted as exceeding, or falling within a factor of 10
 of  maximum levels.

        Large coal- and oil-fired boilers were  not the only source  class
 associated with pollutant streams of concern.   Incremental total vapor phase
                                      91

-------
                        TABLE  8-7.   COMPARISON OF POLLUTANT EMISSION  LEVELS WITH  NOX CONTROLS  TO
                                       MAXIMUM  ALLOWABLE EMISSIONS
<£>
Pollutant Class
Carbon Monoxide





Total Vapor Phase
Hydrocarbons




Partlculates





Combustion
Source

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units
1C Engines
Gas Turbines

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units
1C Engines
Gas' Turbines
Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units
1C Engines
Gas Turbines
Fuel

Natural Gas
011
Coal
All Fuels
Natural Gas
Oil
All fuels
All Fuels

Natural Gas
011
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
All Fuels
All Fuels
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Oil
01 lf Kerosene
Maximum
Ambient
Concentration
(ppb)
9,000





240





(mg/m')
0.075





Maximum
Allowable
Emission Level
(Ppm)

110.000
920,000
529,000
920.000
920,000

2.930
24,500
14.100
24.500
24,500
(g/m1)
'
0.91
7.65
4.41
7.65
7.65
Baseline
Emissions
(ppm)

23-175
25-46
23-96
0-110
40
90
90-10,300
53-970

0-35
0-30
0-40
10-25
0-15
10-90
20
25
60-4,600
0-230
(g/m1)

0.01
0.11
0.42-2.73
0.01
0.01-0.63
3.9-5.1
0.01
0.03
0.02-0.04
0.03-0.08
Emissions
with NOX
Controls
(ppm)

25-65
10-35
20-148
0-220
— —
90-3,280
51-1.320

| 0-40
> 0-35
--
80-6,400
0-1 .200
(9/m1)

0.60-2.6
<0.03
0.02-1. 23b
7.5-10.0b
0.01
0.03
<0.26C
0.04-0.09<"
Concern
Flag"










4

44
4
44



                   * 4 denotes emission with NOX controls greater than 10 percent of maximum emission level.
                   ** denotes emission with NOX controls greater than maximum emission level.
                   TWx control by off-sto1ch1ometr1c combustion.
                   "m, control by exhaust gas recInitiation.
                   "NO* control by derating.

-------
TABLE 8-8.    COMPARISON  OF  BASELINE POLLUTANT  EMISSION LEVELS  TO
                 MAXIMUM  ALLOWABLE EMISSIONS
1 Pollutant Class/Grauc
Vaoor Phase Hydrocarbons3
AUanes


Alkenes


Alkynes


Aldehydes


Carboxylic Acids

Aromatics (benzene
and one-ring
derivatives)
Sul fates

Organ lc_s_ (POM1 5)
Anthracene



Pnenanthrene

^o-cus-.ion acu-cs
Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers

Util ity Boilers
industrial Boilers

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers

Utility Boilers
Utility Boilers

Utility Boilers

Utility Sailers
Industrial Boilers
Resident* il Units

Utility Boilers
Industr'a' Boilers
Residential Units
Fuel
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Oil
Coal

'latjral Us
nil
Coal
Oil
Coal

Natural Gas
Oil
Cojl
Oil
Coal

Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Gil

Oil'
Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal

Natural Gas
Oil
Coal

Coat
Oil
Coal
Coal

Coal
Natural Ga>
Oil
Coal
Coal
M.I.IMUIII
AmBient
Concentration
4.420


59.500


62.700


2.1


13

O.OC2
.-«/„••
0.002

(ppt)
0.14



4.0CO

Allowable
Emission Level
(ppm)
54.000
450.000

725,000
'Jnl inited

765.900
Jnl inited

25.6
214

159
0.324
(9/-'l

0.024
(ppo)

1.71
14.3
8.2

50.000
4ZO.OOO
240.000
Baseline
Enissions
(ppra)
.80
<40
<150

-80
<40
<150

<5
<5
• 10

5
5
2.5-200

2.5
6-12
200
<20
'30

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                               TABLE  8-8.    Continued
Pollutant Class/Group
Organics (POH's) (Cont.)
Fluoranthrene



Pyrene



Eenzo(a)pyrene



Benzo(e)pyrene



Perylene




Trace Hetajs
As

E

Ba

Be

BT -

Cd

Co

Co*ustion Source


Ut11«t> Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units

Utiliij Boilers
industrial boilers
Residential Units

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units

Utility Boilers
Industrial Boilers
Residential Units



I'tility Boilers












Fuel


Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Coal

Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Coal

Coal
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Coal

Coal
Natural Gas
Coal
Coal

Coal
lot'
Coal



Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Coal

Coal

Oil
Coal

Oi'
Coal
Har ifnum '
Ambient
Concentration
(PPt)

10,900


*
0.12'.



0.097



0.097



0.097



lug/m'}

0.825

16.5

0.825

0.0033

16

0.00825

0.165

Kanirufl!
Allowable
Eir.issioti Level
(ppb)


133.000
1.110.00C'
"' 641,000

1.46
12. 4
7.1

1.2
9.9
5.7

1.2
9.9
5.7

1.2
9.9
5.7
(mg/m'l


10.1

201

10.1

0.04
"
195

1.01

2.0
Baseline
Eriisions
(ppb)


0.003-0.5
0.04-3.4
O.OZ-1.8
0.8-10
13-350

0.01-0.5
0.5-7.5
0. 005-2. Z
0.6-4.5
2-2,500

0.003-0.1
0.006-0.1
0.006-0.3
0.007-2.2
O.OOS-800

0.007-0.15
0.006-0.5
0.02-1.7
1-330

0.005-0.015
0.35
0.1-770
(mg/m1)


0.004
0.45

0.068
3.43

0.52
0.65

0.52

0.03

0.006
0.12

0.27
C.ll
Concern
flag'






4
+
+
+
•H-


+
++

•f
4
++



+4









++
i /
1 f

4

4
 ••  denotes baseline emissions exceec U> :-crt?nt of mo>i-^.T, allowable level
»+  denotes baseline erissions PXC.C-CE! rjxmo- allowaiilc level
                                               94

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                                  TABLE 8-8.   Concluded
Pollutant Class/Group

Trace Metal s fCont.l
Cr


Cu
- _ .

Kg


Hn
u


Ho


Hi


Pb


Sfa


Se


V


Zn


IT


Ci": jstion Source



Utility Boilers



































Fuel



Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal


Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal

Oil
Coal
fc : lent
CC'i.tntranon
i-.g/ir1)

0.001


1.65
«,.

16.5


8.25



6.25


0.165


0.247


0.825


0.33


0.825


1.65


8.2


Ailoatle
'-?/*•)


:.oi2


20.1


201



101


101


2.0


3.0


10.1


4.0


10.1


20.1


100

Baseline
Emissions
img/c')


0.6E


O.tS
1.20

0.006
Q.c3


0.55
1.58

0.55
0.25

32
0.68

0.62
0.59

O.QO«
0.04

0.632
O.T73
_
47.:
1.20

0.87
9.3£

0.17
0.86
C°fV/-an

•

^.*
1














+*


+
+




,
-.

4-i
*»


4-



* + denotes baseline emissions exceed 10 percent of maximum allowable level
 +* denotes baseline emissions exceed maxiiajrr allowable level
                                                95

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TABLE 8-9.  SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL POLLUTANT/COMBUSTION SOURCE HAZARDS
Pollutant Class/Group
Vapor Phase Hydrocarbons
Total
Aldehydes

Car boxy He Adds
One-Ring Aromatics
Particulates

.Sul fates

Organlcs
Anthracene


Pyrene

Benzo(a)pyrene

Benzo(e)pyrene

Perylene
Trace Metals
Be
Cd
Co
Cr

Ni

Pb

V

Zn
Combustion Source

1C Engines
Utility Boilers, all Fuels
Oil-Fired Industrial Boilers
Coal -Fired Utility Boilers
Utility Boilers, all Fuels
CoaKFired Boilers
011-Fired Industrial Boilers
Coal- and Oil-Fired Utility
Boilers

Oil-Fired Boilers
Coal-Fired Residential Units
Coal -Fired Utility Boilers
Coal -Fired Residential Units
Boilers, all Fuels
Coal -Fired Residential Units
Coal -Fired Industrial Boilers
Coal-Fired Residential Units
Coal-Fired Boilers
Coal -Fired Residential Units

Coal -Fired Utility Boilers
Coal-Fired Utility Boilers
on-F1red Utility Boilers
Coal- and Oil -Fired Utility
Boilers
On-F1red Utility Boilers
Coal-Fired Utility Boilers
Coal- and Oil-Fired Utility
Boilers
011-Fired Utility Boilers
Coal-Fired Utility Boilers
Coal-Fired Utility Boilers
Emission Exceeds
Potential Hazard
Threshold



X
X
X
X


X

X
X

X

X

X

X

X




X



X


Emission Exceeds
10% of Potential
Hazard Threshold

X
X




X





X

X

X

X



X
X



X

X

X
X
                                                                         ID
                                                                         CM
                                                                          I
                                   96

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hydrocarbon emissions from 1C engines operating with dry NOX controls exceeded
10 percent of maximum allowable emissions and therefore represent another
concern.  In addition, baseline emissions of several organics from
residential coal stokers exceeded maximum limits.  However, since the use of
coal firing in residential heating applications is declining, this
source/pollutant combination will not be considered a priority concern.

       Based on the information presented in Table 8-9, further efforts will
be directed toward studying NOX controls which could increase emissions of:

       •   Participates from coal- and oil-fired boilers, e.g., off- stoichiometric
           combustion (OSC), flue gas recirculation (FGR), and ammonia injection
           (NH3)

       •   Sulfates from coal- and oil-fired boilers, e.g., OSC, FGR, and
           NH3

       •   Organics from coal- and oil-fired boilers, e.g., low excess air
           (LEA), OSC, and FGR

       •   Segregating trace metals from coal- and oil-fired boilers, e.g.,
           LEA, OSC,  and FGR

       •   Vapor phase hydrocarbons emissions from 1C engines, e.g., all
           controls

       It is important to note that these results were based only on
relatively qualitative screening efforts.  Future activities will strive to
strengthen the potential impact analyses by applying source analysis modeling
as discussed in Section 4.
                                      97

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                                 SECTION 9

                            TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER


       The NOX E/A is  largely a technology synthesis program.  As  such,  it
draws heavily on technology in related areas such as environmental sciences
and environmental health.  The NOX E/A, in turn, generates technology for use
by control developers, users, and regulatory groups.  This section highlights
the input and output technology transfer activities in the program.

       During the first year, the NOX E/A evaluated the  input data resources
available to conduct the process and environmental assessment studies.   A
number of areas of insufficient data were identified.  Further R&D in these
areas would significantly benefit the environmental assessment effort.   Since
this R&D is beyond the scope of the NOX E/A program, data gaps and supporting
R&D needs were summarized in previous sections of this report, and in greater
depth in the preliminary assessment (Reference 16).  These are summarized
below for the key supporting areas of the NOX E/A.

       •   Process Technology Background

           —  Population and design trends in industrial process  combustion

           —  Occurrence and process characteristic of  nonstandard operation
               for all equipment types

           —  Prevalence of mixed and alternate fuel use in utilities
               and industrial applications

       •   Environmental Background

           --  Impacts of combustion-generated pollutants on human health
               and aquatic ecology

           —  Impacts of short-term and chronic exposure to N02 and
               secondary pollutants formed from
           --  Cross-media  impacts

           Environmental Data Acquisition

           —  Sampling and analysis procedures for organ ics  and met allies
                                     99

-------
           --  Emissions for transient and nonstandard operation
           —  Emissions for combustion-generated liquid and solid effluents
       •   Environmental Alternatives Analysis
           --  Long range transport of nitrate and ozone
           --  Atmospheric chemistry of the formation of secondary pollutants
               from combustion generated primary pollutants
In addition, there are a number of other data gaps and R&D needs  in the
control technology area which are being addressed within the program.
       The primary program output during the first year was the Preliminary
Environmental Assessment Report (Reference 16).  This report documents the
methodologies and supporting data on source and process characterization,
multimedia pollutant emissions, and impact assessments, and sets  priorities
on sources and combustion modification controls for further study.  Other
activities in technology transfer are as follows:
       •   Preparation of "NOX Control Review", a quarterly technology status
           report on NOX control development and implementation and regulatory
           strategy
       •   Coordination of the Second Symposium on Stationary Source Combustion
           held in New Orleans, August 29-September 1, 1977
       t   Documentation of the status of IERL developmental programs in combustion
           modifications for use in the IERL annual report
       •   Development of Source Analysis Models and Effluent Transformation
           and Transportation Analysis for use in the EACD environmental assessments
                                     100

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                                 SECTION 10

                               FUTURE EFFORTS


       During the second year of the NOX E/A program, effort will  center on
preparation of process and impact assessment studies for the major  source
categories.  These studies will involve process calculations of  specific
combustion modification/source combinations, detailed cost calculations of
retrofit and new design controls and assessments of multimedia impacts and
operational impact from control use.  Utility boilers will be studied first,
followed by industrial boilers and gas turbines.  To support these  studies,
a major effort will be devoted to source testing.  Multimedia emissions
before and after the use of NOX controls will be sampled and analyzed for the
major source/control combinations.  Additional support for the impact
assessments will be provided by the baseline source analysis study.  This
study will compare ground level pollutant concentrations from sources
uncontrolled for NOX to the Multimedia Environmental Goals, denoting the
threshold of potentially hazardous impacts.

       The results of the above efforts will be integrated in the
environmental alternatives analysis.  As new results on process  cost and
impact are available, they will be used with the systems analysis model to
update the evaluations of the extent of need for combustion modification
technology in the future.
                                     101

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                                 REFERENCES


 1.  Crenshaw, J. and A. Basala, "Analysis of Control Strategies to Attain
     the National Ambient Air Quality Standard for Nitrogen Dioxide,"
     presented at the Washington Operation Research Council's Third Cost
     Effectiveness Seminar, Gaithersburg, MD, March 18-19, 1974.

 2.  "Air Quality, Noise and Health — Report of a Panel  of the Interagency
     Task Force on Motor Vehicle Goals Beyond 1980," Department of
     Transportation, March 1976.

 3.  McCutchen, G. D., "NOX Emission Trends and Federal  Regulation,"
     presented at AIChE 69th Annual Meeting,  Chicago, November 28 - December
     2, 1976.

 4.  "Air Program Strategy for Attainment and Maintenance of Ambient Air
     Quality Standards and Control  of Other Pollutants,"  Draft Report, U.S.
     EPA, Washington, October 18, 1976.

 5.  "Annual Environmental Analysis Report, Volume 1 Technical Summary," The
     MITRE Corporation, MTR-7626, September 1977.

 6.  Personal communication with R. Bauman, Strategies and Air Standards
     Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S. EPA,
     October 1977.

 7.  "An Analysis of Alternative Motor Vehicle Emission  Standards," U.S.
     Dept. of Transportation/U.S. EPA/U.S. FEA, May 1977.

 8.  French, J. G., "Health Effects from Exposure to Oxides of Nitrogen,"
     presented at the 69th Annual Meeting, AIChE,  Chicago, Illinois, November
     1976.

 9.  "Scientific and Technical Data Base for Criteria and Hazardous Pollutants
      — 1975 EPA/RTP Review," EPA-600/1-76-023, NTIS-PB   253 942/AS, Health
      Effects Research Laboratory,  U.S.  EPA,  January 1976.

10.  Shy, C. M., "The Health Implications of an Non-Attainment Policy,
     Mandated Auto Emission Standards, and a Non-Significant Deterioration
     Policy," presented to Committee on Environment and  Public Works, Serial
     95-H7, February 10, 1977.

11.  "Report on Air Quality Criteria for Nitrogen Oxides," AP-84, Science
     Advisory Board, U.S. EPA, June 1976.

12.  "Control Strategy for Nitrogen Oxides,"  Memo from B. J. Steigerwald,
     Office of Air Quality Planning and  Standards, September 1976.

13.  "Report on Air Quality Criteria:  General Comments  and Recommendations,"
     Report to the U.S. EPA by the  National Air Quality Advisory Committee of
     the Science Advisory Board, June 1976.
                                     103

-------
14.  Personal communication with M. Jones, Strategies and Air Standards
     Division, Pollutant Strategies Branch, September 15, 1976.

15.  "Control of Photochemical Oxidants — Technical Basis and Implications
     of Recent Findings," EPA-450/2-75-005, Office of Air and Waste
     Management, OAQPS, July 1975.

16.  "Preliminary Environmental Assessment of the Application of Combustion
     Modification Technology to Control Pollutant Emissions from Major
     Stationary Combustion Sources," Vols. I & II, Aerotherm TR-77-28, Acurex
     Corporation, February 1977.

17.  Dupree, W. 6. and J. S. Corsentino, "Energy Through the Year 2000
     (Revised)," Bureau of Mines, December 1975.

18.  Handy, R. and A. Schlinder, "Estimation of Permissible Concentrations of
     Pollutants for Continuous Exposure," Research Triangle Institute, EPA-
     600/2-76-155, NTIS-PB 253 959/AS, June 1976.

19.  Cleland, J. G. and G. L. Kingsbury, "Multimedia Environmental Goals for
     Environmental Assessment (Draft)," Research Triangle Institute, January
     1977.

20.  Schalit, L. M. and K. J. Wolfe, "SAM I/A:  A Rapid Screening Method for
     Environmental Assessment of Fossil Energy Process Effluents," Aerotherm
     Draft Report TR-76-50, Acurex Corporation, August 1977.

21.  Personal communication, Mr. Alan Hoffman, Chief Monitoring Section, U.S.
     EPA, October 1, 1976.

22.  Frey, D. J., "De-Ashed Coal Combustion Study," Combustion Engineering,
     Inc., October 1964.

23.  Waitzman, D. A., et al., "Evaluation of Fixed-Bed Low-Btu Coal
     Gasification Systems for Retrofitting Power Plants," EPRI Interim Report
     203-1, Electric Power Research Institute, February 1975.

24.  Shimizu, A. B., et al., "NOX Combustion Control Methods and Costs for
     Sources; Summary Study," EPA-600/2-75-046, NTIS-PB 246 750/AS,
     September 1975.

25.  "Monitoring and Air Quality Trends Report, 1974," EPA-450/1-76-001, EPA
     Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, February 1976.

26.  Personal communication with C. Masser, National Emissions Data System
     (NEDS), October 1976.

27.  Information from National Emissions Data System (NEDS), October 26,
     1976.

28.  Hamersma, J. W., et al., "IERL-RTP Procedures Manual:  Level 1 Environmental
     Assessment," EPA-600/2-76-160a, NTIS-PB 257 850/AS, TRW, June 1976.
                                     104

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                               TECHNICAL REPORT DATA
                            e read fiittnictioiis on llic reverse he lore completing)
       NO.
  EPA-600/7-78-046
-I. TITLE AMD SUBTITLE
Environmental Assessment of Stationary Source NOx
   Control Technologies:  First Annual Report
                                6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
                                                     3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
                                5. REPORT DATE
                                 March  1978
7. AUTHORS L R >Waterland, H.B. Mason, R.M.Evans,
K. G.Salvesen,  and K.J.Wolfe
                               8 PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO
                                TR-77-58
                                (Aerotherm Project 7241)
9. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
Acurex Corporation/Aerotherm Division
485 Clyde Avenue
Mountain View, California 94042
                                10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                EHE624A
                                11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                68-02-2160
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS
 EPA, Office of Research and Development
 Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
 Research Triangle Park, NC  27711
                                13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                Annual; 6/76-6/77
                                14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE
                                 EPA/600/13
15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES IERL-RTP project officer is Joshua S. Bowen,  Mail Drop 65,
919/541-2470.
is. ABSTRAc-npne r8pOrt summarizes results of the first year of an environmental
assessment program for stationary NOx combustion modification technologies. The
first-year effort concentrated-on: (1) developing the methodology for environmental
assessment and process engineering studies: (2) compiling data on source process
characteristics, emissions, and pollutant impacts:  and (3) setting program priorities
on sources, controls, pollutants, and impacts. The report reviews each area and
summarizes plans for future efforts. It discusses program results  and plans for
stationary NOx source equipment characterization,  environmental goals compilation,
source analysis model development, NOx control technology characterization,
process engineering methodology development, baseline multimedia emissions
inventory compilation,  and systems analysis model development and use.
17.
                             KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                DESCRIPTORS
                                         b-IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                            c.  COSATl Held/Group
Air Pollution
Combustion
Combustion Control
Nitrogen Oxides
Criteria
Contaminants
Operating Costs
Boilers
Gas Turbines
Internal Combus
  tion Engines
Assessments
Air Pollution Control
Stationary Sources
Combustion Modification
Criteria Pollutants
Emission Factors
Control Costs
13B
2 IB

07B
14A,05A
     13A
     13G

     21G
     14B
13. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

 Unlimited
                    19. SECURITY CLASS (ThisReport)
                    Unclassified
                                                                 21. NO. OF PAGES
                             112
                    20. SECURITY CLASS (This page)
                    Unclassified
                                            22. PRICE
EPA Form 2220-1 (9-73)
                                        105

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