United States
Energy Research and
Development Administration
Federal
Energy
Administration
United St.itcs
Environmental Protection
Agency
Office of
Fossil Energy
Washington^ D.C. 20545
Office of
Conservation and Environment
Washington, D.C. 20461
Office of
Research and Development
Industrial Environmental Research
Laboratory
Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711
EPA-600/7-77-011
January 1977
APPLICATION OF FLUIDIZED-
BED TECHNOLOGY  TO
INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
Interagency
Energy-Environment
Research and Development
Program Report

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                       RESEARCH  REPORTING SERIES


Research reports of the Office of  Research and Development, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, have been grouped into seven series.
These seven broad categories  were  established to facilitate further
development and application of environmental technology.  Elimination
of traditional grouping was consciously planned to foster technology
transfer and a maximum interface in related fields.  The seven series
are:

     1.  Environmental Health Effects Research
     2.  Environmental Protection  Technology
     3.  Ecological Research
     4.  Environmental Monitoring
     5.  Socioeconomic Environmental Studies
     6.  Scientific and Technical  Assessment Reports (STAR)
     7.  Interagency Energy-Environment Research and Development

This report has been assigned to the INTERAGENCY ENERGY-ENVIRONMENT
RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT series.   Reports in this series result from
the effort funded under the 17-agency Federal Energy/Environment
Research and Development Program.  These studies relate to EPA's
mission to protect the public health and welfare from adverse effects
of pollutants associated with energy systems.  The goal of the Program
is to assure the rapid development of domestic energy supplies in an
environmentally—compatible manner by providing the necessary
environmental data and control technology.  Investigations include
analyses of the transport of  energy-related pollutants and their health
and ecological effects; assessments of, and development of, control
technologies for energy systems; and integrated assessments of a wide
range of energy-related environmental issues.

                           REVIEW NOTICE

This report has been reviewed by the participating Federal
Agencies, and approved for publication.  Approval does riot
signify that the contents necessarily reflect the views and
policies of the Government,  nor does mention of trade names
or commercial products constitute endorsement or recommen-
dation for use.
 This document is available to the public  through  the National Technical
 Information Service, Springfield, Virginia   22161.

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                                            EPA-600/7-77-Oil

                                            January 1977


                     APPLICATION  OF

             FLUIDIZED-BED TECHNOLOGY

                TO  INDUSTRIAL BOILERS

                               by

          M.H. Farmer, E.M.  Magee, and F. M.  Spooner
             Exxon Research and Engineering Company
                          P.O. Box 8
                    Linden, New Jersey 07036

  Contract/IAGNos. IAG-D5-E767 (EPA), IAG-E(49.18)-1798 (ERDA),
                    and CO-04-50168-00 (FEA)
                  Program Element No. EHB536

Project Officers: B.Henschel (EPA), W.Siskind (ERDA), A.Hayes (FEA)

            Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
             Office of Energy, Minerals,  and Industry
                Research Triangle Park,  NC 27711
                         Prepared for

          U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
                Office of Research and Development
                      Washington, DC 20460

     U.S. ENERGY RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT ADMINISTRATION
                     Office of Fossil Energy
                      Washington, DC 20545
                              and

            U. S.  FEDERAL ENERGY ADMINISTRATION
              Office of Conservation and Environment
                      Washington, DC 20461

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                           TABLE OF CONTENTS


                                                                 Page
SUMMARY 	   i

HIGHLIGHTS	   v

1.  INTRODUCTION, OBJECTIVES AND APPROACH 	   1
    1.1  Introduction	   1
    1.2  Objectives	   1
    1.3  Approach	   2
    1.4  Structure of Report	   2

2.  INDUSTRIAL BOILER SYSTEMS 	   4
    2.1  Characteristics of Industrial Boilers	   5
         2.1.1  Types of Industrial Boilers 	   5
         2.1.2  Boilers Firing Solid Fuels	   7
         2.1.3  Present Population of Large Industrial Boilers. .   7
         2.1.4  Description of Fluidized Bed Combustion as
                Applied to Industrial Boilers 	   8
         2.1.5  Different Versions of Fluidized Bed Combustion. . 11
         2.1.6  Timetable for FBC Developments	13
    2.2  Boiler System Options	15
         2.2.1  Energy Needs of a Process Plant	15
         2.2.2  Fuels Basis	16
         2.2.3  Boiler Basis	17
    2.3  Estimated Investments and Operating Costs	17

         2.3.1  Basis for Comparing Alternative Technologies. . . 19
         2.3.2  Overall Results for Single Boiler Addition
                Cases	26
         2.3.3  Overall Results for Grass-roots Boiler Plants . . 31
         2.3.4  Areas of Technical Uncertainty	33
         2.3.5  Significant Cost Reductions Possible for Future
                FBC Designs	37
         2.3.6  Revamping of Existing Boilers for FBC Service
                Not Likely	38

    2.4  Market Survey of Large Industrial Boiler Users 	 39

         2.4.1  Survey Procedure	39
         2.4.2  Results and Interpretation	40
    2.5  Specific Technical Requirements for Representative
         Industrial Fluidized Bed Boilers ..... 	 43

3.  MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES	47
    3.1  Standard Industrial Classification 	 47
    3.2  1972 Census of Manufactures  ..... 	 47
    3.3  Fuel Consumption of Large Industrial Boilers in 1974  .  . 49
    3.4  Discussion of Future Options 	 58

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                     TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)
4.  FUTURE DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL BOILER FUEL	68

    4.1  Basis of Demand Projections	68
    4.2  Quantitative Projections 	 69

5.  PROJECTIONS OF COAL-FIRED FBC POTENTIAL 	 80

    5.1  Basis of Projections	80
    5.2  Modification of Basis	83
    5.3  Regional Applicability 	 84
    5.4  Maximum, Most Probable, and Minimum Potentials 	 86
    5.5  Additional Applications of Coal-Fired FBC	 86
    5.6  Boiler Fuel Demand Where FBC is Not Applicable	88
    5.7  Regionalization of Coal-Fired FBC Potential	91

6.  ENERGY IMPACTS	103

    6.1  Impact on National Energy Consumption	103
    6.2  Potential Savings of Oil and Natural Gas	104

7.  ECONOMIC IMPACTS	107

    7.1  National Impacts	107
    7.2  Regional Impacts 	110
    7.3  Boiler Manufacturing and Related Industries	  .110
    7.4  Coal Industry	115
    7.5  Limestone Industry	115

8.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS	J.18

    8.1  Introduction	118
    8.2  Fuels and Boilers Considered 	118
         8.2.1  Emissions Considered	121
         8.2.2  General Approach to the Environmental Analysis.  .121
    8.3  Bases and Assumptions	121
         8.3.1  Description of Operating Units	122
         8.3.2  Descriptions of Fuels Considered	122
    8.4  Results for Individual Installations	122
         8.4.1  Estimates of Particulate Emissions	126
         8.4.2  Estimates of S02 Emissions	126
         8.4.3  Estimates of NOx Emissions	.126
         8.4.4  Estimates of Solid Wastes 	  .130
    8.5  National and Regional Emissions	130
    8.6  Estimates of Emissions for Selected Air Quality
         Control Regions	131
         8.6.1  Current Situation:  Mass Emissions	.13^
         8.6.2  Current Situation:  Ambient Air  Quality  ....  j.36

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                        TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)
          8.6.3  Future Situation:
          8.6.4  Future Situation:
                                                                    Page
Mass Emissions. .	142
Ambient Air Quality	143
     8.7   Disposition of Solids and Sludge	146
          8.7.1  Solid/Sludge Byproducts	146
          8.7.2  Solids Disposal	148
          8.7.3  Utilization of Solid Wastes	148
          8.7.4  Regeneration of Treater Materials.  .  	  149
     8.8   Modification of Basis	149
     8.9   Environmental Conclusions and Recommendations  	  150

 9.   CONCLUSIONS	155

10.   REFERENCES	158

     CONVERSION FACTORS - ENGLISH TO SI UNITS 	  165
 APPENDIX 1   BASES FOR ECONOMIC EVALUATIONS OF GRASS ROOTS
              INDUSTRIAL BOILER COMPARISONS 	   Al-1

 APPENDIX 2   DESCRIPTION OF SCREENING QUALITY INVESTMENT
              ESTIMATES	A2-1

 APPENDIX 3   DETAILED TABULATION OF INVESTMENT AND OPERATING
              COST ESTIMATES	A3-1

 APPENDIX 4   TABULATED DATA DERIVED FROM FEA's NATURAL GAS
              TASK FORCE AND MFBI SURVEYS	A4-1

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                                SUMMARY
          This study is a small part of the Government's program to develop
coal-fired fluidized-bed combustion technology.  The study is confined to
industrial boilers, and the purposes are to determine the potential for
applying coal-fired FBC to industrial boilers with a firing rate of at
least 100 million BTU/H and to assess the various impacts associated with
deployment of the technology through the year 2000.

          A survey of operators of large industrial boiler systems shows
that the installation of coal-fired FBC boilers will be considered when:

          •  The reliability of FBC technology is commercially
             demonstrated to achieve continuous boiler operation
             of about one year duration  and with effective
             control of emissions.

          •  The economics of FBC technology are demonstrated
             to be competitive with alternative ways of firing
             solid coal.

          The principal alternatives with which FBC must compete are:

          •  Use of low sulfur "compliance" coal in a conventional
             boiler, with an electrostatic precipitator (ESP) to
             control particulate emissions.

          •  Use of high sulfur coal in a conventional boiler,
             with a flue gas scrubber to control S02 emissions
             and particulates.

          The economics of these alternatives have been developed in 1975
constant dollars, for a Gulf Coast location, on a basis excluding the cost
of coal itself, whether it is of compliance quality or high sulfur.  As an
example, the results for alternative technologies are shown below for the
case of adding a single coal-fired 100 KPPH or 400 KPPH industrial boiler
system at an existing manufacturing plant that has a petroleum-fired boiler
system.

                       STEAM COST (EX. FUEL) IN
                   1975 DOLLARS PER THOUSAND POUNDS

                                                         Low Sulfur
                        High Sulfur Coal             "Compliance" Coal
                             Conventional                   Conventional
                      FBC    With Scrubber           FBC      With ESP
   Single Coal-Fired Boiler System Adding to Existing 011-Fired Plant
   100 KPPH          3.59         3.95              3.15        2.90

   400 KPPH          2.49         2.83              2.05        2.01

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          The estimates (based on current FBC costs) indicate a distinct
advantage for FBC technology over conventional coal-firing plus flue gas
scrubbing for high sulfur coal.  With compliance coal, results are a
stand-off in cost at the larger size, with a moderate advantage for con-
ventional firing at the. 100 KPPH size.  All FBC costs (in constant dollars)
are expected to improve significantly as this new technology matures.

          FBC technology has potentially important and even decisive, advan-
tages that are not captured by the above estimates.  The advantages include
flexibility to combust different coals, good control of NOx emissions, flexibility
to readily achieve higher sulfur capture if SC>2 emission regulations are tightened,
relatively unobjectionable solid wastes for which uses are under development,
and ability to be fabricated and shipped in modules for simple field assembly.

          However, it is important that commercial development should occur
before the growing coal-fired industrial boiler market is pre-empted by other
coal-use technologies.   Pre-emption is possible if, at the time industrial
decision-makers must make commitments to new boilers, other technologies
are commercial while FBC technology has not been fully demonstrated.  It is
believed that the industrial boiler potential of FBC could be impaired if
the technology is not demonstrated to be commercially reliable by 1981.
Major Governmental funding of FBC development programs suggests that reli-
ability will be demonstrated in time.  The estimates of coal-fired FBC
potential assume that this will be the case.  On this basis, the most pro-
bable nationwide potential is estimated to be:


                  Cumulative Number of         1Q15  BTU       1000  B/D of
      Year       Industrial FBC Boilers        Per Year     Oil Equivalent

      1980                  7                   0.01               5
      1985                 200                   0.29            136
      1990                 685                   0.99            462
      1995                1170                   1.69            793
      2000                2050                   2.97            1400


Most of the estimated potential is expected to be  in the chemicals,  petro-
chemicals, petroleum refining,  paper, primary metals, and food industries.
Geographically, more than 90% of the potential is  expected to be in regions
that FEA has designated Appalachian,  Southeast,  Great Lakes,  and Gulf Coast.

          The FBC potential can be related to the value  of manufacturing
that is estimated to be supported by large coal-fired FBC boilers.   For the
above regions, the FBC-related "Gross Product Originating" is estimated to
be:

                                      FBC-Related GPO
                                     in Billion 1975 $
                 Region       1985     1990     1995      2000
              Appalachian      3.5      12       22        40
              Southeast        3.1      11       19        35
              Great Lakes      3.1      11       19        35
              Gulf Coast       4.2      15       26        48
                              13.9      49       86       159
                                  ii

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The above estimates are for the  "most probable"  case  considered and apply
to existing manufacturing applications.   Separate estimates were also made
of maximum and minimum potentials and amount,  respectively,  to slightly less
than double and approximately one quarter of  the above  figures.

          Other estimates associated with the  most  probable potential are
that:

          •  The equivalent of 2000 industrial FBC  boilers,  with
             an average capacity of 200 KPPH and a  cumulative
             erected cost of almost $6 billion (1975  constant  $),
             would be installed  through the year 2000.

          9  Coal requirements for the FBC boilers  would  approximate
             140 million tons in the year 2000,  and would have an
             F.O.B. mine value of $2 billion.

          a  Associated limestone requirements would  be about  50
             million tons in the year 2000, with an F.O.B.  quarry
             value of $170 million.

          a  Also, in the year 2000, emissions relating to  the
             coal-fired FBC boilers in compliance with Federal
             Standards for new point sources,  would approximate
             48 million tons of  solid wastes,  132,000 tons  of
             particulates, 660,000 tons of NOX,  and 1.6 million
             tons of S02•

          Despite the seemingly  large estimates  of  emissions,  examination of
two Air Quality Control Regions  (Metropolitan  Houston-Galveston and  West
Central Illinois) suggests that  utilization of FBC-technology  industrial
boilers is likely to have a much smaller impact  on  ambient  air quality  than
(a) the impact caused by sources other than industrial boilers, and  (b) the
emissions impact of existing coal-fired equipment in  regions that currently
use  coal to a significant degree.  In the latter case and in the long run,
a net beneficial effect is possible if FBC installations replace existing
coal-fired units.

          Low sulfur coals containing appreciable amounts of alkaline ash,
when used in conjunction with FBC technology,  may alleviate the problem of
switching to coal from natural gas and oil.  Available technical data are
inadequate, and thorough experimental investigation of this important
possibility appears desirable.   Most Southwestern lignites, which also contain
appreciable amounts of alkaline  ash, are not compliance coals  if combusted
conventionally but may become so in fluid-bed  units.  This possibility is
of considerable potential importance to industry located  in the Gulf Coast
area.  Thorough experimental investigation appears  desirable.

          Compliance with New Source Performance Standards  (NSPS) may not
be sufficient in some industrial areas of the  country which are already at,
or beyond, the Federal or state/local limits for ambient  air quality.  The
Metropolitan Houston-Galveston area (AQCR 216) is an  example of a highly
industrialized area, of critical economic importance  to the nation, where

                                  iii

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current levels of particulates and NC>2 are close to the primary standards
for ambient air quality.   Directionally,  even with excellent control
technology, coal use in new installations will make matters worse unless
the existing situation is improved.

          Where FBC technology is not the technology of choice, industrial
boiler fuel demand is expected to be satisfied by a combination of:

          • Conventional use of compliance coal

          » Application of control technologies such as
            FGDS ("scrubbers") to non-compliance coal

          • Use of solvent refined coal or other forms
            of cleaned coal

          • Use of coal-in-oil slurries

          « Continuing use of oil and natural gas

          Additionally, it is speculated  that some industrial plants will
purchase steam from central plants while  others may substitute electricity
for steam in some industrial processes.
                                  iv

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                              HIGHLIGHTS
          The Highlights that follow reflect the contractor's judgment of
what are the most important points in each of the detailed sections of
the report.  The pertinent section numbers are noted in parentheses.

          The Highlights section is equivalent to an extended Table of
Contents, and its purpose is to help the reader to locate points of interest
quickly, and then refer to the section of the report in which the point is
discussed in the context of related issues.  The reader is especially cautioned
not to draw inferences from numerical estimates that are separated from their
contexts, assumptions and other qualifications.  Such qualifications are
deliberately minimized in the Highlights section.

Introduction (1.1)

•   The Government is funding an intensive effort to develop coal-fired
    fluidized-bed combustion technology.

•   This study is a small part of this effort.
Objectives  (1.2)

•   Determine the potential of coal-fired FBC for industrial boilers.

•   Assess  the impacts of deployment of coal-fired FBC.


Approach  (1.3)

•   Certain factors, such as plant investments and operating costs can be
    quantified, while other factors, such as coal-use legislation and the
    future  cost and availability of foreign oil, cannot be quantified.
    The study attempts to take account of quantifiable and non-quantifiable
    factors that may affect the commercial potential of coal-fired FBC.


Industrial  Boiler Systems   (2)

•   The manufacturing industries that consume most of the industrial boiler
    fuel  include Chemicals, Petroleum Refining, Paper, Primary Metals, and
    Food.   Large process plants in these industries are usually continuously
    operated and must have a reliable supply of process steam.

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Types of Industrial Boilers  (2.1.1)

•   Watertube boilers span the size range from less than 10,000 pounds of
    steam per hour to about 7 million PPH.  The very large boilers, of
    over 1 million PPH,  are used almost exclusively by electric utilities.
    Watertube boilers are designed for a variety of fuels, steam pressures
    (15 to 4,000 psi) and steam temperatures (250°F to about 1025°F).

•   Package boilers are assembled at boiler manufacturers' plants.  Railroad
    shipping constraints limit their dimensions to about 40' long by 13'
    wide by 16' high.  Investment savings for a package unit may be up to
    25% of the cost of a field-erected unit of similar capacity.


Present Population of Large Industrial Boilers  (2.1.3)

•   FEA surveys of large industrial boilers provided the following picture
    for 1974:
        Firing Rate       Steam Rate      Number of      Capacity
       million BTTJ/H       1000 PPH_       Boilers       KPPH    %

          100-199            83-153         2404          284   43
          200-299           154-214          802          148   22
          300-499           215-333          514          141   21
           >500              >334            188           91   14
                                            3908           664  100

FBC as Applied to Industrial Boilers  (2.1.4)

•   FBC designs have size advantages relative  to  other boiler designs.
    In pilot plants  operating at atmospheric  pressure, FBC units have
    achieved heat release rates of over 100,000 BTU/H/cubic foot of expanded
    bed volume.  Comparable rates for typical  pulverized-coal-fired boilers
    are 20,000 BTU/H/cubic foot of firebox.


Timetable for FBC Developments  (2.1.6)

•   -  Start-up of Rivesville multicell FBC boiler         Jan. 1977
       Start-up of industrial development units                 1978
    -  Routine designs of industrial units offered
       by several boiler manufacturers.                    1981-1982
                                 vi

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Estimated Investment and Operating Costs  (2.3)

•   Screening cases have been developed to compare Investment and operating
    costs for:

       FBC boiler firing high sulfur coal
       Conventional coal-fired boiler with flue gas scrubber, firing high
       sulfur coal.
    -  FBC boiler firing low sulfur "compliance" coal.
    -  Conventional coal-fired boiler firing low sulfur "compliance" coal.
    -  Package oil-fired boiler firing low sulfur fuel oil.
•   Costs of steam  (ex fuel) for 100 KPPH and 400 KPPH add-on and grass-roots
    boiler projects, in 1975 constant dollars per 1000 pounds of steam and
    including project contingencies, are estimated to be:

                                   High Sulfur Coal     Low Sulfur "Compliance" Coal
                                          Conventional                    Conventional
                                  FBC     With Scrubber   FBC             With ESP

Single Coal-Fired Boiler
Addition to Existing Oil-Fired
Plant
     100 KPPH                      3.59
     400 KPPH                      2.49

Grass  Roots Coal-Fired Boiler
System, With Backup	

     100 KPPH                      4.81
     400 KPPH                      3.19
               3.95
               2.83
               5.65
               3.91
                   3.15
                   2.05
                   4.37
                   2.76
                   2.90
                   2.01
                   4.07
                   2.78
   Comparison of  investments, and steam costs  (ex fuel), for a single coal-fired
   boiler  added to an  existing oil-fired plant:

                                             High Sulfur Coal
                                   FBC
                             Conventional
                            With Scrubber
 Steam rate, KPPH

 Investment, million  1975$

 Coal Handling
 Boiler and Stack
 Environmental and Waste
 Disposal
   Total, M$
 100
1.8
3.1

1.3
6.2
 400
 2.7
 7.6

 3.4
13.7
Unit Cost  of  Steam  (ex  fuel),  1975$ per 1000  Ibs.
 Op. costs  excl.  BFW
 Boiler Feed Water
 Capital Charges
   Total  (ex fuel),
   c/k Ibs.
1.42
0.60
1.57
3.59
 1.02
 0.60
 0.87
 2.49
100
1.8
2.9

2.6
7.3
1.50
0.60
1.85
3.95
 400
 2.7
 8.6

 6.9
18.2
 1.08
 0.60
 1.15
 2.83
                                  vii

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•   Meeting environmental standards, while burning high sulfur fuels, is
    significantly more costly than burning (compliance) fuels that are
    low enough in sulfur content to meet SC>2 emission limits directly.

•   Based on current FBC costs, there is a distinct advantage for burning
    high sulfur coal in an FBC boiler compared with conventional burning
    of the same coal plus flue gas scrubbing.  Furthermore, current FBC
    designs are "first generation", and significant cost reductions can
    be anticipated in the future.

•   Conversion of existing boilers to  FBC  technology  (i.e.  "retrofitting
    FBC")  is judged to be economically unattractive.


Market Survey of Large Industrial  Boiler Users   (2.4)

•   Operators of large industrial  boiler systems  express readiness  to  consider
    the installation of coal-fired FBC boilers  as soon as:

    -  The reliability of FBC technology is  commercially demonstrated  by
       continuous boiler operation,  with effective  control  of  emissions,
       for runs approaching  a year's duration.
    -  The economics of using FBC  technology  are  demonstrated  to  be competi-
       tive with conventional coal-firing.


Standard Industrial Classification  (3.1)

•   The SIC system of the Bureau of the Census  recognizes  21 manufacturing
    industries in terms of 2-digit codes, which are subdivided into 450
    4-digit codes.   Approximately  30 of the  latter  offer a  potential  to
    coal-fired FBC,  with most of the prospects  concentrated within  the broader
    2-digit groupings of the chemicals, paper,  petroleum refining,  primary
    metals and food industries.
1972 Census of Manufactures   (3.2)

•   The most recent comprehensive data for energy consumption by U.S.  manu-
    facturing industries are for 1971, and are  published in the 1972 Census
    of Manufactures.


Fuel Consumption of Large Industrial Boilers  in 1974  (3.3)

•   In 1975, the FEA conducted a survey of all  Major Fuel Burning Installations
    in the U.S.  An MFBI is an installation that has, or is, a fossil-fuel
    fired boiler, burner, or combustor with a design firing rate of 100
    million BTU's per hour or greater.

•   FEA's Office of Fuel Utilization has provided survey data for industrial
    boilers for use in this study.  In 1974,  there were approximately 4,000
    industrial boilers with a design firing rate of 100 million BTU/H or
    more.  These boilers were located at 1,600  industrial plants in the
    lower 48 states.
                                  viii

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•   Fuel consumption of the large industrial boilers approximated 4 quads
    (1015 BTTJ) , broken down as follows:


 SIC                                        % of Total Fuel Consumed by
Code      	Industry	       Large Industrial Boilers

 28       Chemicals                                     26.2

 26       Paper                                         16.7
 29       Petroleum Refining                            16.5

 33       Primary Metals                                12.4
 20       Food                                           5.4

 34       Fabricated Metal Products                      1.7

 35       Machinery, except electrical                   1.4

 49       Utility Services (excl.  electricity  generation) 1-3
 32       Stone, Clay, Glass,  Concrete                   0.6
          Other industries                              17.8
                                                        100

 Future Demand  for  Industrial  Boiler Fuel   (4)

 •    The  future size  and structure  of  the U.S.  economy  is a principal
     determinant of industrial energy  demand.   The  first  step is to obtain
     estimates  of future manufacturing activity.


 Basis of Demand Projections   (4.1)

 •    A joint  study  by the Office  of Business  Economics  (Dept. of Commerce)
     and  the  Economic Research Service (Dept.  of  Agriculture), known as the
     "1972 OBERS Projections," provides estimates of U.S.  manufacturing a
     activity through the year 2020 in terms  of "Gross  Product Originating"
     (GPO).

 •    The  projections  make it  possible  to calculate  the  average fuel consump-
     tion per unit  of product  output on an  industry—by-industry basis.


 Quantitative Projections  (4.2)

 •    Starting with  1974 as a  base year for  which  details of the fuel consump-
     tion of  large  industrial boilers  are known (from FEA surveys), it  is
     possible to estimate future  boiler fuel  consumption using the OBERS
     projections to derive multipliers for  the 1974 data.   The multipliers
     are  adjusted for anticipated energy conservation per unit of manufacturing
     output and for expected  changes  in the proportion  of output  supported
     by the large  (MFBI) boilers.
                                   Ix

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Projections of Coal-Fired FBC Potential; Basis (5.1)

•   The coal-fired FBC potential is considered to be a sub-set of coal
    utilization by all large industrial boilers,  and the level of coal
    utilization by industrial MFBI's is assumed to be driven either by
    limited availability of petroleum or by legislation (such as the
    Energy Supply and Environmental Coordination Act of 1974 or the
    proposed "National Petroleum and Natural Gas  Conservation and Coal
    Substitution Act", i.e. S.1777).


 Regional Applicability  (5.3)

 •   Estimates of maximum, most probable, and minimum potentials for coal-
     fired FBC will be influenced by the regional applicability of the tech-
     nology.  Regional constraints, based on logistics and^economics, are
     conceived to reduce the unconstrained potentials by 8%, 26% and 52%
     in the minimum, most probable, and maximum cases.


 Maximum, Most Probable, and Minimum Potentials  (5.4l

 •   Coal-fired FBC potentials for large industrial boilers are estimated
     to be:

                   	             1015 BTU per year
 Year

 1980
 1985
 1990
 1995
 2000
     (  ) =  %  of total  fossil fuel demand estimated for large industrial boilers.


 Boiler Fuel  Demand Where FBC is not Utilized   (5.6)

 •    Satisfaction of the fuel demand of the industrial boilers in which coal-
     fired FBC is not utilized is expected to include  (a) conventional
     use of compliance coal, (b) non-compliance coal with control technologies
     such as  FGDS, (c) solvent refined coal or other forms of cleaned solid
     coal,  (d) coal-in-oil slurries, and the continuing use of oil and gas in
     some plants.  Steam purchased from central plants and/or substitution of
     electricity for steam in some processes are further possbilities.

 Regionalization of FBC Potential (5.7)

 •   More than 90% of the coal-fired FBC potential of  large industrial boilers
     is expected to be in four regions:  Appalachian,  Southeast, Great Lakes,
     and Gulf Coast.   (see Table 3-5 for identification of  these FEA regions)
Maximum
0.02
0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52
Most Probable
0.01
0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
(0.2)
(5.5)
(16)
(24)
(36)
Minimum
Nil
0.075
0.29
0.54
1.00

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Impact on National Energy Consumption   C6.1)

•   The coal firing of large industrial boilers using FBC technology is not
    expected to have any marked impact on the aggregate of national energy
    consumption.  The overriding consideration is that industrial hoiler
    fuel demand is set by a given level of manufacturing activity and not
    by the technology by which the industrial boiler fuel is combusted.


Potential Savings of Oil and Natural Gas ((6.2)

•   Savings of petroleum fuels will occur if solid coal is used in (large)
    industrial boilers, but the level of saving achieved will be essentially
    independent of the technology by which the coal is combusted.

•   Conversion of the most probable estimate of coal-fired FBC potential into
    1000 B/D of oil equivalent indicates the following "savings":

                                     1000 B/D of
                   Year              Oil Equivalent

                   1980                     5

                   1985                   136

                   1990                   462

                   1995                   793

                   2000                  1396


Economic Impacts:  National  (7.1)

•   Although the absolute macroeconomic impacts of coal-fired FBC are indeter-
    minate, it is possible to ascribe certain levels of economic activities
    to certain levels of coal-fired FBC potential.

•   In the most probable case, the Gross Product Originating that is relatable
    to the operation of coal-fired FBC industrial boilers is estimated to
    be:
          Year               FBC-Eelated GPO in Billion 1975 $
          1980                               0.5

          1985                              15

          1990                              52

          1995                              93

          2000                             171
                                   xi

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3.5
3.1
3.1
4.2
12
11
11
15
22
19
19
26
40
35
36
48
 Regional  Impacts   (7.2)
 •   Regional  impacts,  in  the  four  regions of greatest  coal-fired FBC poten-
    tial,  in  the most  probable  case,  are estimated  to  be:

                              FBC-Related GPO in Billion 1975  $
            Region              1985     1990     1995      2000
           Appalachian
           Southeast
           Great Lakes
           Gulf Coast
 Boiler Manufacturing and Related Industries   (7.3^
 •   The  economic  impact of coal-fired FBC on  the manufacture of industrial
    boilers  is estimated in terms of boiler units of 200 KPPH  capacity.
    In the most probable case, the number of  units and their erected cost
    is estimated  to be:

                                              Number of       Erected Cost  in
                                           200 KPPH Units     Million 1975 $
     FBC units added through 1980                 7                 20
     FBC units added through 1981/1985          193                540
     FBC units added through 1986/1990          485               1360
     FBC units added through 1991/1995          485               1360
     FBC units added through 1996/2000          880               2460
                                               2050               5740
Coal Industry (7.4)
•   For the most probable case, the estimates  of  coal volume  and  F.O.B.  mine
    value for conventional  applications  of coal-fired FBC  are:
                Year          Million Tons          Million 1975 $
                1980               0.46                    6
                1985              13.6                   190
                1990              47                     655
                1995              80                    1113
                2000             140                    i960
                                 xii

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Limestone. Industry  (7.5)

•   The limestone requirements of coal-fired FBC industrial boilers, in the
    most probable case, are estimated to be:
       Year

       1980

       1985

       1990

       1995

       2000
                       Million Tons

                            0.16
                            5

                           16
                           27
                           48
F.O.B. Quarry Value, M 1975  $

              0.56

             16

             56

             95

            167
Environmental Considerations (8.1)

*  The environmental aspects of application of coal-fired FBC technology
   to industrial boilers are considered in relation to national emission
   standards for new point sources:
          Pollutant
          particulates

          so2


          N0x(as N02)



Estimates of Emissions (8.4)
                                   Emissions per million BTU's input,
                                   not to Exceed:	
                                               0.1 Ibs

                                      solid fuel:  1.2 Ibs
                                      liquid fuel:  0.8 Ibs

                                      solid fuel:  0.7
                                      liquid fuel:  0.3
                                      gaseous fuel:  0.2
   For Illinois No. 6 coal (3.6 wt% sulfur, 10,600 BTU/lb), the emissions
   from a 100 KPPH industrial FBC boiler operating at nameplate capacity
   are related to a daily consumption of 144 tons of coal and 54 tons of
   limestone.  The daily emissions are estimated to be:
                Solid Waste
                Particulates
                so2
                N0x(as N00)
                                      Tons/Day

                                         55
                                          0.15

                                          1.85
                                          0.75
                                  xiii

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National and Regional Emissions (8.5)

•  In the most probable case of FBC application to large industrial boilers,
   the nationwide emissions are estimated to be:

                                             1000 Tons/Year
1000 Tons/Year
Appalachian
12,400
34
422
170
Southeast
10,900
30
372
150
Gt . Lakes
11,200
31
383
154
Gulf Coast
10,100
25
344
139
                    Year:            1980        1990        2000
               Solid Waste            160       16,000      48,000
               Particulates           0.4          44         132
               S02                     5          547        1,640
               N0x(as N02)             2          220         660

   For the four regions projected to have the greatest potentials for FBC
   use, the emissions in the most probable case are estimated for the year
   2000 to be:
         Solid Waste
         Particulates
         S02
         N0x(as N02)


Estimates of Emissions for Selected AQCR's (8.6)

•  Air Quality Control Regions were selected in Texas and Illinois to permit
   comparisons between regions where, currently, (a) the industrial consumption
   of coal is minimal (Texas), and (b) there is a significant use of local high
   sulfur coal in industrial boilers (Illinois).  The selected AQCR's were
   Metropolitan Houston-Galveston (#216)  and West Central Illinois (#075) .

*  For the most probable case of FBC utilization, the projected emissions from
   coal-fired FBC industrial boilers are  not expected to add large increments
   of criteria pollutants to the ambient  air in AQCR 216.  Nevertheless, for
   both particulates and NOx, the impact  may be of practical significance
   because the current level of air quality is marginal.  Hence, any incremental
   pollution would make ambient air quality standards more difficult to achieve
   and/or maintain.

•  For AQCR 075,  which has a much lower absolute level of industrialization than
   AQCR 216,  the impact of FBC industrial boilers on ambient air quality is
   estimated to be minimal.


Disposition of Solid Wastes  (8.7)

•  Considerable quantities of solid wastes will be generated by coal-fired
   industrial boilers.   By the year 2000,  in the most probable case, the
   annual quantity of waste  solids is estimated to approximate 50 million tons.
   Clearly,  the disposal and/or utilization of such a large volume of material
   will require continued attention and development work.
                                  xiv

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Environmental Conclusions and Recommendations  (8.9)

•  Using conventional technology, a change  from natural  gas or oil  to
   coal-firing would be expected to affect  the environment adversely.
   With FBC technology there is a potential for improvement over con-
   ventional coal usage.

•  The development of FBC technology will not, of  itself, correct existing
   problems with ambient air quality.  Notwithstanding the potentially
   important contributions  that may be made by FBC technology to the coal-
   firing of industrial boilers in environmentally acceptable ways, such
   applications are likely  to have a smaller impact on ambient air  quality
   than:

          (1) the impact produced by combustion sources  other than
              large industrial boilers,  and -

          (2) the impact of emissions from  existing coal-fired
              equipment in  regions that  currently  use coal to a
              significant extent.

•  Available technical data limit the quantitative environmental conclusions
   that may be drawn about  coal-fired FBC per  se and in  relation to other
   coal use technologies.   Further definition  of the following is suggested:

          (1) the quantity  of sulfur retained  in the ash from FBC and
              spreader-stoker boilers  .  .  . for representative Western
              coals  (bituminous, sub-bituminous, lignites) and South-
              western lignites.

          (2) NOx emissions .  .  . for the same types of  equipment and
              coals listed  in  (1).

          (3) particulate emissions from (atmospheric) coal-fired FBC
              boilers  ... as for  (1) but  also including high sulfur
              coals.

          (4) fate of trace elements  ...  as  for  (1), but also
              including high sulfur coals and  FGDS systems.
                                   xv

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               1.  INTRODUCTION, OBJECTIVES AND APPROACH


1.1  Introduction

          The Government is funding an intensive effort to develop fluidized-
bed combustion (FBC) technology for coal firing.  The purpose is to permit
coal to be utilized efficiently and with environmental acceptability.  The
purposes of this study are to assess the applicability of fluidized-bed
combustion of coal in industrial boilers, and to estimate the various
consequences of utilizing coal in this way.  Work under FEA Contract
CO-04-50168-00 began on 6/27/75.


1.2  Objectives

          The principal contractual objectives of the study are to:

(1)  assess the potential for conservation of scarce petroleum energy resources
    through the use of clean,  efficient,  coal-fired FBC technology in industrial
    boilers.*

(2)  determine the extent to which national and regional consumption of oil and
    gas may be reduced by future commercial use of coal-fired industrial FBC
    boiler technology, both for new units and as a retrofit technology for
    existing industrial boilers.

(3)  assess the economic impact of widespread industrial application of the
    pertinent FBC technology to segments  of the economy affected by it.

(4)  determine and define the demand for the pertinent technology in relation
    to cost, availability of fuel, .and other relevant factors.

(5)  determine and define the specific technical requirements for representative
    applications of the pertinent FBC technology.

(6)  assess the potential environmental impacts of the above.
*The assessment excludes electric utility boilers and industrial process heaters.
 It is restricted to industrial boilers with a design firing-rate of at least
 100 million BTU per hour.

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1.3  Approach

          The analytical approach used  in the  study is  predicated by the
concept that individual manufacturing companies  who own and  operate industrial
boilers regard such operations as essential, but subordinate,  to their principal
interest which is to produce goods of various  kinds efficiently and competitively.
The corollary is that industrial decision-makers will regard coal-fired FBC
as one of several approaches to satisfactory maintenance and continuation of
their manufacturing operations.  Hence,  their  decisions to use, or not use,
FBC technology will depend on the status of FBC  technology at  the time that
their individual decisions must be made.  A decision to use  FBC technology
will depend on its having been demonstrated to be (a) reliable, and (b) economically
competitive with whatever alternatives  are available.

          Throughout the study, which is concerned  with assessment of the
potential for, and related impacts of,  coal-fired FBC,  we have tried to
identify factors believed to be important to the decision-making process.
Certain factors, such as plant investments and operating costs, can be
quantified.  Other factors, such as coal-use legislation and the future cost
and availability of foreign oil, cannot be quantified but may  prove to be more
important than those that can.  Therefore, the study attempts  to make a
balanced assessment of what can affect  the commercialization of coal-fired
FBC, and does not reach conclusions solely on  the basis of what can be
quantified.

1.4  Structure of Report

          The report is organized to permit sequential  discussion of the principal
elements or topics that were studied.

          Section 2 is concerned with "hardware", i.e.  with  industrial boilers,
their physical and other characteristics, investment and operating costs,
technical specifications, and also with a survey of users of industrial boilers
to learn their attitudes towards the use of coal and FBC technology.

          Section 3 covers the users of industrial  boilers  from a classificational
and statistical standpoint.  The statistics relate  to the hardware and to the
quantities and types of fuel consumed.   This part of the report also considers
the future options open to the users of industrial  boilers  in relation to their
anticipations of the future availability of different fuels  and also coal-use
legislation that has been proposed in the expectation that  there will be future
limitations on the availability of oil  and natural  gas.

          Section 4 provides projections of the  future  demand for industrial
boiler fuels.   The estimates are based  on published projections of future
manufacturing output through the year 2000.

          Section 5 derives estimates of the future potential for coal-fired
FBC, as applied to industrial boilers,  by applying  various  criteria of
applicability to the estimates of industrial boiler demand  developed in
Section 4.   Estimates of potential consider three cases: maximum, "most probable"
and minimum.

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                                — 3 —
          Section 6 utilizes the estimates of coal-fired FBC potential to
derive corresponding estimates of the impact on national energy consumption
and the potential savings of oil and natural gas that would accrue from the
commercial deployment of the pertinent coal-use technology.

          Section 7 discusses a variety of economic impacts to be expected
from the commercialization of coal-fired FBC for industrial boilers.  Both
national and regional economic impacts are considered.  Additionally, specific
consideration is given to the boiler manufacturing, coal, and limestone
industries.

          Section 8 addresses the environmental aspects of application of
industrial FBC boiler technology.  This is done in terms of emissions from
point sources and the regional and national aggregates of such emissions.
The disposition of solid waste and sludge by-products is also discussed.

          The principal conclusions of the study are given in Section 9.

          Section 10 is a compilation of the references and additional
bibliography for each of the individual sections of the report.  There
are also four Appendices that include details of cost estimating and large
amounts of statistical data that, for the convenience of readers, are
separated from the text of the report.  Tables, Figures, and references
are numbered separately for each section of the report.

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                                  - 4 -
                     2.  INDUSTRIAL BOILER SYSTEMS


           Industrial boilers range upward in size from 10 thousand pounds
 steam per  hour  (10 KPPH) to the largest sizes used in manufacturing^industries
 (not electric utility power stations), in the neighborhood of one million
 pounds  steam per hour.  This study is focussed on the larger industrial
 boilers (>100 KPPH), of which there are about 4,000 in the United States
 at  present.

           The manufacturing industries which consume most of the industrial
 boiler  fuel burned in the U.S. include Chemicals, Primary Metals, Petroleum
 Refining,  Paper, and Food.  Large process plants in these industries generally
 are continuously operated and must have a reliable supply of process steam.
 Thus the boiler systems in these plants normally contain several boilers, with
 sufficient capacity so that a single boiler can be idled for maintenance or
 inspection without interrupting the process operations of the plant.  Most of
 these boiler systems are capable of firing fuel oil and/or natural gas, plus
 any byproduct fuels which may be produced at the plant.  Presently, about a
 quarter of the larger systems can fire coal as one of the fuels.

           Fluidized bed combustion appears attractive as a future coal-use
 technology for new industrial boilers, particularly for additions to existing
 boiler  systems.  The principal advantages of FBC compared with conventional
 coal firing of large industrial boilers include the following:

           • effective direct capture of sulfur dioxide from the combustion
            of high (and low) sulfur coal;

           • significantly lower NOx emissions than conventional combustion,
            because fluidized bed combustors in FBC boilers can be readily
            designed to be operated at much lower temperatures than are
            possible in stokers and pulverized-coal-fired units, thus
            minimizing the formation of thermal NOx;

           • reduced problems of slagging and fouling from sodium salts when lower
            rank coals which contain alkaline ash are burned, because of the lower
            combustion temperature;

           • production of dry, granular, easily-handled solid wastes
            rather than the wet, unstable sludges characteristic of
            most flue gas scrubbers (throwaway type).

           Operators of large industrial boiler systems have expressed their
readiness  to consider the installation of FBC-fired boilers to meet their
requirements for new coal-fired boilers as soon as:

          • the reliability of FBC technology is commercially demonstrated
            by continuous boiler operation with effective emissions
            controls for boiler runs approaching a year's duration;

     and_  • the economics for using FBC technology are shown to be
            competitive with those for using conventional coal firing.*
*It is understood  that  the .economic  comparisons must be made among systems that
 comply with all applicable  environmental  regulations during the working life Of
 the boilers.

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                                 - 5 -
          The first criterion is being addressed in major FBC pilot plant and
demonstration programs carried out by ERDA and EPA in conjunction with private
industry.  As shown in this report, satisfaction of the second criterion is
anticipated where high sulfur coal is the fuel of choice, and is probable
when low sulfur coals are used.

2.1  Characteristics of Industrial Boilers

          Several definitions of industrial boilers are in use.  The principal
distinctions are between  (a) the physical nature of the equipment (boiler size
and type) and  (b) the function that the equipment is intended to perform
(e.g. the disposition of  the steam produced and the classification of the
user's business).  The present study is focussed mainly on the assessment of
the application of fluidized bed combustion  (FBC) technology to large industrial
boilers  (over 100 KPPH) in  the manufacturing  industries — especially Chemicals,
Primary Metals, Petroleum Refining, Paper, and Foods.

          Industrial boilers were originally  defined for this study to be in
the size range of 10 to 500 KPPH.  At the lower end of this size range (10-
100 KPPH), we concluded very early that plants currently firing oil (or gas)
in this  smaller size of industrial boilers are very unlikely to be shifted
from oil or gas fuels to  coal — these plants themselves are smaller, often
located  in congested areas where space for coal handling is not available, and
in many  cases working on  a discontinuous schedule of operations (e.g. only one
or two shifts per day, or shut down over weekends, etc.).  For these plants, it
is extremely unlikely that  the relatively large investment associated with coal
receiving, storing, handling, and firing would be attractive.  Moreover, the
few exceptions to this generalization would have no material impact on the
quantitative potential for coal-fired FBC.

          At the upper end  of the size range, we found that there are in the
U.S. about 200 industrial boilers  (as distinguished from electrical utility
boilers) with firing capacities considerably  greater than 500 M BTU/hr.  This
is about 5% of the total  number of large industrial boilers (over 100 M BTU/hr.)
and is considered significant in terms of projecting future fuel requirements
in the industrial sector.   Since these largest industrial boilers overlap the
size range of electric utility boilers, we modified the definition for our
study so as to include very large boilers whose purpose is clearly "industrial",
while excluding all boilers operated by electric utility companies.

     2.1.1  Types of Industrial Boilers

          Functionally, industrial boilers are classified into two types,
firetube and watertube.   In firetube boilers, the hot products of combustion
pass through tubes which  are submerged in a pool of boiling water.  In watertube
boilers, water flows by natural or forced circulation through tubes which are
exposed  to heat transfer  by both radiation from the boiler flame and convection
from the hot flue gas.

          Generally, firetube boilers are used for industrial steam rates up to
about 30 KPPH of saturated  steam, at pressures up to about 150 pounds per square
inch gauge (psig).  In the U.S., they are generally fired with gas or oil.  Because

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                                   - 6 -
of the relatively small size of firetube boilers,  and the expectation that there
is little likelihood of widespread coal firing for this type of boiler in the
United States, we conclude that the impact of FBC  on plants using firetube
boilers will be small*.  Hence, we have not studied them as prospective
candidates for application of FBC.

          Watertube boilers span the size range from less than 10,000 pounds
steam per hour to about 7 million pounds per hour.  The very large boilers
(over 1 million PPH) are almost exclusively for electric utility generation.
Watertube boilers are designed for a large variety of fuels (gaseous, liquid,
and solid), and cover a wide range of steam pressures and temperatures
(pressures from 15 to 4,500 psig, temperatures from 250°F to about 1025°F).

          Another very important method of classifying boilers is by type of
boiler construction procedure, as either package or field-erected units.
A package boiler is assembled at a manufacturer's  plant, and then delivered
to the operating site where it has only to be set  on a foundation and piped
up to appropriate connections to be ready for operation (6).  In general,
railroad shipping constraints limit the dimensions of package boilers to
about 40' long by 13' wide by 16' high.  A field-erected boiler is shipped
in pieces or partial assemblies, and must be built in the field from the
ground up.  The distinction between package and field-erected boilers is very
significant from a cost standpoint.  Savings for a package unit compared with
the same capacity field-erected boiler may be as much as 25-30%.  For this
reason, practically all oil and/or gas-fired watertube boilers up to about
250-300 KPPH are package Boilers.

          Most firetube boilers are package units, regardless of fuel fired.
For conventional watertube boilers, the approximate breakpoint between package
and field-erected depends on both the steam capacity and the fuel to be used,
as indicated in the following table:

           Approximate Maximum Size of Watertube Package Boilers, KPPH

    Fuel Fired                       Natural Gas      Fuel Oils   Solid Fuels
Approximate maximum capacity of
package unit, KPPH                      350              350        50-60 (7)

Gas or oil-fired package units have been built and shipped in two modules
which were joined together in the field, at capacities up to 500 KPPH or greater.

          Coal-fired watertube package boilers are relatively rare and relatively
small.  Most coal-fired watertube boilers are field-erected.  One of the incentives
for development of coal-fired fluidized bed combustion technology is that larger
capacity units can meet the shipping dimension criteria and hence can be shop
assembled as package units.  For example, a preliminary design has been prepared
for a 250 KPPH FBC package unit in two modules (8) .  The design takes advantage
of the intense heat release per cubic foot of fluidized bed volume, and the high
rate of heat transfer to boiler tubes submerged within the bed.
*in terms of the estimated savings of  gas and oil achieved by use of coal-fired
 FBC.   We are not suggesting that firetube boilers will be unimportant per se.

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                                   -  7  -
     2.1.2  Boilers Firing Solid Fuels

          Confining attention to solid-fuel-fired watertube boilers, there are
many methods for firing the coal, lignite, or other solid fuel, and each method
requires specific details of boiler design.  Solid-fuel-firing methods listed
by the American Boiler Manufacturers Association  (ABMA) includes the following
(3), (4):


                          	1974/1975  Industrial Boiler Sales	
     Method                      No. Sold      ~Average Steam Capacity, KPPH

Underfeed Stoker                       8                         <40

Overfeed Stoker                      39                          62

Spreader Stoker                      82                         149

Pulverized Coal Firing  (PCF)         11                         336

Other Solid Firing  (including
                    non-coal)        28                          93

Total Non-Solid Firing             1219                          97
                                   1387                         101
As illustrated by  the above  table, the particular "conventional" coal-firing
methods of  interest  for  this study of large industrial boilers are  (a) spreader
stokers, which are typically used for boiler capacities in the range of about
100 to 250  KPPH, and (b) pulverized coal firing, which is almost universally
used for larger coal-fired boilers (both industrial and utility).

     2.1.3  Present  Population  of Large Industrial Boilers

          In  early 1976, a close approximation of a true census of  large
industrial  boilers became available.  This tabulation resulted from the
Major Fuel  Burning Installation Coal Conversion Report survey conducted by
the FEA Office of  Fuel Utilization.  The survey was carried out pursuant to
FEA's responsibilities under the Energy Supply and Environmental Coordination
Act of 1974,  and a reply was required to be submitted by every Major Fuel
Burning Installation (MFBI).  For this survey project, an MFBI was  defined as
an installation, other than  an  electric power plant, at a single site which
has combined  fossil-fuel-firing capability of 100,000,000 BTU/hr. or more in
one or more boilers, burners, or combustors (excluding gas turbine  and combined
cycle or internal  combustion engines)  (13).  For each individual combustor
with a design firing capacity of 99 million BTU/hr or higher, a large amount
of information was requested including age, combustor capacity, fuel firing
capability, actual fuel  consumed in 1974, and plans for conversion  to coal
firing.

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                                     - 8 -
           The following table summarizes  the population of large boilers with
 reported firing capacities  above 99  M BTU/hr.,  as developed by the FEA Survey:


              1974 Large Boiler Population Reported to FEA
                               Approximate                          Est'd. Total
 Firing Rate,  M BTU/hr       Steam Rate,  KPPH (*)    No.  of Boilers   Capacity, KPPH
    100 -  199                     83 -  153               2404  62         28^     43
    200 -  299                    154 -  214                802  20         148     22
    300 -  499                    215 -  333                514  13         141     21
    over 500                     over 334                 188 _ 5          91     14
        Total                                           3908 100         664   100
 * estimated  using  1200-1500 BTU fired in the boiler per pound  gross  steam
   production.

      2.1.4   Description of Fluidized Bed Combustion as Applied  to
             Industrial Boilers

          In a fluidized bed combustion (FBC) boiler, crushed high sulfur coal
 can readily  be burned under conditions such that no further controls are  necessary
 to meet  emission limits of S02 and NOx in the flue gas.  Very little experimental
 information  is available on the combustion of low sulfur Western coals using  FBC.
 For the  purpose of this report, it is assumed that satisfactory operation can be
 obtained with this type of fuel using inert material in the fluidized bed.  After
 commercial experience has been gained with this newly-developing technology,  the
 size, initial cost, and operating cost for an FBC system are expected to  be lower
 than for an  equivalent conventional boiler system fired with the same fuel and
 meeting all  environmental regulations.

          For effective combustion of solid fuels, a furnace designer can manip-
 ulate three major inter-related variables by which adequate contact is achieved
 between solid fuel and oxygen, as follows:

          (1) provide large solid fuel surface area;
          (2) provide long contact time between gas
              and solid particles;

          (3) provide high relative speed  between gas
              and solid particles, so that  fuel is not
              shielded from oxygen by a thick layer of
              stagnant burned  gases.

          Combustion  in a  spreader stoker  emphasizes the second and third of
these variables,  while pulverized  coal firing depends chiefly on the first two
Combustion in a  fluidized  bed  can take advantage of all three of these variables
thus achieving an unusually high intensity  of heat release in a small combustion'

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                                    - 9 -
          Figure 2-1 is a schematic diagram of an atmospheric pressure
fluidized bed boiler.  The bed consists of a mixture of crushed limestone,
dolomite, or inert material, and large ash particles, which is "fluidized"
by the stream of air and combustion gases rising from the supporting grid
beneath the bed.  Original particle size of the bed material is about 1/8".
The gas velocity is set so that the bed particles are suspended and move
about in random motion, but do not blow away.  Under these conditions, a
gas/solid mixture behaves much like a boiling liquid (e.g. seeks its own
level, can be readily moved through channels).  The boiler tubes submerged
in the bed remove heat at a high rate (extremely effective heat transfer) so
that typical bed temperatures are in the range of 1400 to 1600CF.

          Crushed coal (1/4" to 1/2" particles) and the required bed makeup
material are continuously added at fuel injection points.  Within the bed,
the coal burns very quickly, and the bed generally contains less than 2 to
4% carbon.  Most of the ash resulting from combustion of the coal is in
relatively small, light particles which are swept out of the bed by the flue
gas.  If high sulfur coal is being burned, sulfated bed material is continuously
withdrawn to maintain bed volume and activity for sulfur capture.  If low sulfur
fuel is being burned, it is assumed that the bed can be composed of inert
material, such as alumina or sand, and that bed makeup and withdrawal rates
will be very low or negligible.

          Fluidized bed combustion (FBC) is an effective method for controlling
emissions from high-sulfur fuels.  For this purpose, the sorbent bed is limestone,
dolomite, or lime.  Assuming a limestone feed, the first reaction at bed tempera-
tures is calcination.

          CaC03	>      CaO + C02

The sulfur in the fuel burns to sulfur dioxide, S02, and bed conditions are
maintained to favor sulfation of the lime to gypsum.

          CaO + S02 + 1/2 02	~>   CaS04

The limestone sorbent feed rate is set in accordance with the sulfur content of
the fuel, and sufficient cleanup of S02 is achieved so that no further treatment
is required for compliance with sulfur emission regulations.  By contrast, a
stoker or pulverized-coal boiler emits most of the sulfur in the fuel as S02,
and high sulfur fuels cannot be burned in these boilers without desulfurization
of the flue gas using some sort of scrubber.

          With respect to nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions, FBC operations on high
sulfur coals exhibit inherent advantages over conventional boilers using stokers
or pulverized coal firing.  This is because the bed temperature is maintained at
1400 to 1600°F, well below the 2500°F + which is characteristic of conventional
boilers.  The lower FBC temperatures give correspondingly lower formation of
thermal NOx, so that most FBC operations produce NOx emissions well below the
EPA limits for NOx from new steam generators, without the necessity of any special
combustion modifications or design features.

-------
                                    - 10  -

                                   FIGURE  2-1

 SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM OF ATMOSPHERIC PRESSURE FLUIDIZED BED COMBUSTION BOILER (8)
                    Convection
                      Section
                 Water
                 Walls
            Baffle
            Tubes
           Evaporator
            Section
             Air
                                                Primary
                                                Cyclone
                                                Secondary
                                            Particulate Removal
                               Water
                               Walls
                                                            Ul/
                                                           TO
                                                          STACK
                                  Heat Recovery
                                     Section
                                           Ash; Particulates
                                Sulfate, Ash

                                Preheater,  Superheater
                                or Reheater Section
                                Distributor Plate
                         LIMESTONE
Combustion Pressure
    Bed Temperature
    Gas Velocity
    Bed Material

    Fuel
close to atmospheric (usually balanced draft)
1400 to 1600°F
2 to 12 ft/sec
limestone or dolomite,  or inert material for low sulfur fuels
not requiring sulfur capture
coal, fuel oil, bark and wood wastes,  coke,  char,  etc.

-------
                                    -  11  -
          Another valuable characteristic of  FBC  technology  is its very wide
tolerance to type and quality of solid fuels.   Caking and non-caking coals,
refractory cokes and chars, and solid wastes  such as bark and wood wastes can
all be burned efficiently in a fluidized bed.   It is anticipated that FBC
boilers will be effective burners for direct  combustion of anthracite culm
and low-BTU oil shale.  The principal detail  requiring careful design is
to provide the capability of reasonably uniform fuel introduction at multiple
points within the bed.  Generally one fuel  feed point should be specified for
about 10 square feet of bed area.  Not only is  the average bed temperature
relatively low, but temperatures throughout the bed are quite uniform if good
fluidization is maintained.  The absence of hot spots means  that fuels having
low-softening-point ash can be effectively  burned without serious ash fusion
or clinker formation.

          A final advantage for FBC  is that of  size.  Heat release rates have
been achieved in atmospheric FBC pilot plants over 100,000 BTU/(hr)/(cubic foot
of expanded bed volume), or perhaps  50,000  -  605000 BTU/(hr)/(cubic foot of
firebox).  This can be compared with about  20,000 BTU/(hr)/(cubic foot of firebox)
for a typical pulverized-coal-fired  boiler.   The  high intensity of heat release
plus the excellent heat transfer rates to boiler  tubes submerged in the bed make
it possible that FBC boilers up to about 250,000  pounds steam per hour can be
designed for "package" shipment by rail  (compared to the maximum coal-fired
package size of about 50,000 Ibs/hr  currently available with conventional
firing).  This package feature should help  to make the future erection cost
of large sized FBC boilers significantly lower  than for corresponding field-
erected stoker-fired or pulverized-coal-fired units.

     2.1.5  Different Versions of Fluidized Bed Combustion

          FBC operating schemes have been proposed with once-through or
regenerative sorbent usage, and with combustion at atmospheric or elevated
pressure.  The atmospheric pressure  FBC scheme  with once-through sorbent flow,
as described in the previous section, is the  simplest version of this process.
Proposed initial commercial FBC designs are  all  for atmospheric pressure operation
with once-through sorbent.

          Considerable work is underway to  develop sorbent regeneration.  The
incentive for this is to reduce the  requirements  for fresh limestone or dolomite,
and for high disposal rates of spent stone.   In the sorbent regeneration process,
the sulfur originally captured by the stone is  expected to be released as a more
concentrated stream of S02> and subsequent  disposition of this strem presumably
will be by conversion to sulfur (Glaus), or to  sulfuric acid.

          Much work also is underway to develop pressurized fluid bed combustion.
A schematic diagram of a pressurized FBC boiler (with sorbent regeneration) is
given in Figure 2-2.  The objective  of higher pressure operation is to achieve
higher thermodynamic efficiency for  electric power generation than is possible
with an atmospheric pressure unit.   This is accomplished by use of a combined
cycle,  generating power both from a  steam driven  turbo-generator and a gas
turbine.  The combustor typically operates  at a pressure on the order of 10
atmospheres (approx. 135 psig).  Air is compressed into the combustor, and
coal and limestone are injected through lock hoppers.  Because of the higher
pressure, even higher combustion intensities are  feasible than with atmospheric

-------
                                   FIGURE 2-2


            SCHEMATIC DIAGRAM OF PRESSURIZED FBC BOILER WITH SORBENT REGENERATION
              GAS TURBINE
        TO WASTE HEAT   I
     RECOVERY AND STACK   ?
                  DISCARD

        STEAM TURBINE
CONDENSER
         COAL AND   —""
         MAKEUP SORBENT
                                     AIR
                                     COMPRESSOR
                                        SOLIDS
                                      TRANSFER
                                        SYSTEM
                                                            SEPARATOR
                    TO SULFUR
                    RECOVERY
            DISCARD
                                                     FUEL
                          BOILER
REGENERATOR

-------
                                   - 13 -
 FBC,  and deeper fluidized beds can be used.  Hot effluent flue gas from the
 boiler is cleaned to reduce particulate loading to a very low level, and then
 expanded through the gas turbine to generate supplemental electricity.  Pres-
 surized FBC when burning high sulfur coal gives significantly lower NOx
 emissions than the atmospheric version.  From an overall standpoint, pressurized
 FBC is of interest to utilities, and possibly to operators of large industrial
 boilers who generate a significant portion of their own electric power needs.
 It is not of interest to those who generate steam directly at the relatively
 low pressure levels required for process uses.

           The above discussion shows that there are four possible configurations
 of FBC which a future large industrial boiler purchaser might consider, as
 follows:

                                            Fluidized Bed Combustion Pressure
Sorbent Cycle                               Atmospheric           Pressurized
Once-through Sorbent                            X                      X

Sorbent Regeneration                            X                      X
 The technical and economic assessments of FBC in industrial boilers presented
 later in this report are entirely based on atmospheric FBC with once-through
 sorbent.  This is not because we believe there will be no industrial interest
 in the other combinations.  It is rather because we conclude that the availability
 (or lack of availability) of sorbent regeneration and pressurized FBC technologies
 will not have a major effect on the overall penetration of FBC into the industrial
 boiler business.  In other words, we believe it is unlikely (between now and
 year 2000) that the incremental return for pressurized FBC or for sorbent
 regeneration over atmospheric FBC with once-through sorbent will ever be so  high
 as to increase significantly the overall industrial use of FBC.   In addition,
 there is the very practical problem that usable cost estimates for pressurized
 FBC and sorbent regeneration facilities in the industrial size range are nowhere
 available at this time.

      2.1.6  Timetable for FBC Developments

           Table 2-1 shows our estimates of the probable timing for the availability
 of FBC-fired industrial boilers.   We expect that atmospheric pressure,  once-
 through sorbent designs will be regularly available from the boiler-making
 industry by 1981 or 1982.  It should be noted that Fluidized Bed Combustion
 Company of Livingston,  N.J.  already  has completed preliminary designs and would
 consider commercial sales of FBC-fired industrial boilers now.  Other boiler
 manufacturers are gearing up to do so.  Pressurized FBC and sorbent regeneration
 are several years behind the atmospheric once-through version and are not expected
 to be commercialized before  1985.

           The first large-scale U.S.  application of fluidized bed combustion is
 in a  multicell FBC boiler at the Monongahela Power Company's plant in Rivesville,
 West  Virginia,  which is scheduled to start up in late 1976.   It  is designed  to
 generate 300,000 pounds steam per hour,  at 1270 psig and 925°F.   Although directed
 towards  electric utility operations,  the unit is in the size range of greatest

-------
                                 - 14 -
                                TABLE  2-1

                     PROBABLE TIMING FOR FBC-FIRED
                    INDUSTRIAL BOILER  AVAILABILITY
o Startup of Rivesville Atmospheric Pressure
      Multicell FBC Boiler                                       late  1976

it Development Projects for
      Atmospheric Pressure Industrial  Boilers
          - ERDA Contracts Awarded
          - Startup                                            late 1978
o Atmospheric Pressure Industrial FBC  Boilers
      Offered by Boiler Manufacturers                                  .
          - Initial Commercial Unit Award                       1979 '•
          - Routine Designs by Several
               Boiler Manufacturers                             1981-82

«. Pressurized FBC Utility Boiler Pilot Plant
          - ERDA Contract Awarded  (3)                           Jan.  1976
          - Startup                                             1980

e Pressurized FBC Industrial Boiler Projects
          - Pioneer Commercial Unit Award                       1983
          - Routine Designs                                     1986-87

e Lime Regeneration Commercialized                              1985 or later
 Notes:   (1)  Eight contracts for the development  of  commercial-sized projects
             involving all uses of FBC (boilers,  direct  and  indirect process
             heaters) are being negotiated by ERDA.   Of  these,  five involve
             atmospheric pressure industrial boilers,  the  earliest of which
             is scheduled to start operating in late 1978.

         (2)  These dates might be somewhat earlier if  a  sales contract  is
             awarded shortly after initial successful operation of the
             Rivesville demonstration unit.

         (3)  Curtiss-Wright Company Contract.

-------
                                  - 15 -
industrial interest.  Rivesville is an atmospheric pressure FBC unit which
will operate initially with once-through limestone.  Regeneration of sulfated
stone will be investigated later.  Successful extended operation at Rivesville,
plus additional demonstrations via the ERDA Development Program, could lead to
commercial status for atmospheric FBC as early as 1981-82.

          Time is of the essence to FBC developments.  The needs to utilize
coal in large industrial boilers, and to do this with environmental accept-
ability, are apparent now.  The "time window" for responding to these needs
is narrow.  If the atmospheric pressure, industrial version of coal-fired
FBC technology is adequately demonstrated for general commercial use by 1981/82,
then the market potential for this technology seems assured.  But the schedule
in Table 2-1 is tight.  Any slippage would reduce FBC's market potential because
it is probable that other technology would have to be deployed instead.

2.2  Boiler System Options

          This section describes the framework within which basic decisions
are make when a new or modified industrial boiler system is being specified.
These decisions include the following:

          • how many boilers, and what size

          • what fuels will be burned

          • at what pressures will steam be generated and used

          • will steam use include "byproduct" electric power generation
            or steam turbine drivers for compressors and large pumps.

     2.2.1  Energy Needs of a Process Plant

          Manufacturing industries which account for major percentages of energy
consumption include:

          Chemicals and Allied Products

          Primary Metals

          Petroleum Refining

          Paper and Paper Products

          Food and Kindred Products

Large process plants in these industries use energy continuously in at least
three forms:

          • direct fired heat, as to a high temperature reactor

          • process steam, as to a steam stripper, autoclave, or steam-
            heated drier
          • electric power, or steam or gas turbines, to drive pumps,
            compressors, and other machinery.

-------
                                  - 16 -
Direct fired heat is generally supplied to the process via furnace, kiln,
drier, etc., located right at the process unit.  Process steam, generally
distributed at varying pressure levels from about 450 psig down to 5-10
psig, is usually generated in a central boiler plant consisting of two or
more boilers, and distributed through one or more grids at appropriate
pressure levels to the individual sites of use.  The number and size of
the individual boilers are generally selected so that the continuous process
needs for steam can be met without interruption even though one boiler is
off the line for inspection or maintenance.   For energy efficiency, sensible
heat from hot streams leaving a process unit is often recovered by unfired
steam generators, thus reducing the firing load at the central boiler plant.

          The amount of electric power purchased from the local utility and
the amount generated within the plant vary widely.  A few plants are completely
self-sufficient, generating their own power in electric-utility-type power
plants.  Others generate no power at all.   A large number produce what may be
termed "by-product" power, by operating steam boilers at a significantly higher
pressure than required by the process steam level, and expanding this high
pressure steam through topping turbines down to the pressure levels of use.
This power increment is generally less than total electric requirements, and
the balance is purchased.  By-product power produced in this way is always
costed out at considerably lower levels than purchased power, because the
incremental fuel to generate steam at the higher pressure is of the order
of 4,000 to 6,000 BTU/kwh, while a modern, highly efficient utility power
station operating a normal condensing steam cycle requires about 9,000 BTU/kwh
(9),  (10).

     2.2.2  Fuels Basis

          Most large industrial boilers are located in plants in which by-
product fuels are produced in variable quantities.  Typical by-product fuels
would include refinery and coke oven gases,  low BTU gas such as derived from
blast furnaces, bark and wood waste, bagasse, process tars and sludges, etc.
It is fundamental to the fuel balance of these plants that the available and
varying quantities of by-product fuels should always be burned first, prefer-
entially, since these are the lowest-value BTUs which are available.   This task
often is borne wholly or partially by the boiler plant.  Then, as required by
overall boiler output requirements,  additional fuels are burned.  The overall
fuel mix is controlled to meet several constraints simultaneously:

          • provide the required energy release

          • meet all environmental restrictions (e.g. by appropriate
            mixture of high and low sulfur fuels)
          • incur lowest overall cost

          Purchased fuels may be selected  from the following types:

          • natural gas

          • fuel oils,  either residual or  distillate

          • solid fuels,  such as bituminous  coal or lignite;  and in the future,
          • "synthetic  fuels",  such  as high or low BTU gas,
            coal liquefaction products,  and  chars

-------
                                  - 17 -
          The above discussion implies  that industrial boilers are usually
designed to burn two or more fuels.  To illustrate this conclusion it is
noted that of 1387 industrial watertube boilers solid in 1974 and 1975 by
members of the American Boiler Manufacturers Association, 852 or 61% were
designed to burn more  than one fuel  (3),  (4).  Many of these were designed
to fire purchased oil  and gas, but the  larger ones in the process industries,
such as those in the MFBI size range, are  likely  to have alternate capability
for byproduct fuels.

     2.2.3  Boiler Basis

          There are two general  situations in which a company installs one or
more new boilers.  One is at a grass-roots location, where  a new process plant
is built from scratch, and a complete boiler system must be included to supply
the corresponding  steam requirements.   The other  is at an existing location,
when expansion of  steam requirements and/or retirement of worn-out boiler^s)
necessitate the addition of new  steam generation  capacity to the existing
system.

          Selection of particular boiler  type and fuel basis for the above
boiler  projects will be the result of many overall economic, technical,
environmental and  logistic studies.  It should be emphasized that the overall
boiler  system should be studied  for  all appropriate alternatives.

          A third  situation in which a  company might consider installation
of new  boilers would be for a change from gas or  oil to coal fuel.  Gas/oil
package boilers conceivably could be converted to conventional coal firing
 (e.g. stoker or pulverized coal)  with significant revamping, plus major
downrating of capacity - downrating  by  as  much as 40 to 80  percent (11).
Such conversion in general is considered  impractical.  Under these circum-
stances, if a company  perceives  an incentive or need to switch from gas or
oil to  coal, it is extremely likely  that  installation of new coal-fired
boilers would be selected rather  than revamping of the existing ones.  This
will be discussed  in more detail  in  a later section of this report.

2.3  Estimated Investments and Operating  Costs

          Consistent screening cases have  been developed to compare investments
and operating costs for the following boiler/fuel combinations:

          • FBC boiler firing high sulfur  coal;
          • Conventional coal-fired  boiler and flue gas scrubber,
            firing high sulfur coal;
          • Conventional coal-fired  boiler firing low sulfur
            "compliance" coal (low enough  sulfur  so that no
            further S02 control is required);

          • FBC boiler firing low sulfur  "compliance" coal;

          • Package oil-fired boiler firing low sulfur fuel oil.

-------
                                 - 18 -
The cases cover both complete grass roots boiler systems and addition of
single boilers to existing plants.

          Investments are presented in terms of 1975 dollars — no estimate
of future inflation has been included.  Operating costs include all cost
components except fuel.  Future f.o.b. and transportation costs for various
sources of coal, as well as for industrial fuel oils are so uncertain that
it was decided to exclude fuels from the general comparisons of this study.
When making a cost comparison for a particular boiler project, an analyst
will know which fuels are available and at what prices, so that a direct
comparison can be developed.

          Results of our economic comparisons for industrial boilers indicate
that the level of environmental control required for 862 and/or NOx, and the
relative prices for high and low sulfur fuels are fully as significant as the
investments and other direct operating costs for each case.  When working
to current EPA New Source Performance Standards For Steam Generating Units,
we conclude that:

          • When firing high sulfur coals, steam can be produced
            in industrial boilers by fluidized bed combustion at
            a cost (ex fuel) of about 85% of that for conventional
            coal firing followed by flue gas scrubbing.

          • If low sulfur "compliance" coal is used, fluidized bed
            combustion and conventional firing are basically break-
            even for large boiler sizes.

          • As FBC technology matures, FBC boiler investments (in
            constant 1975 dollars) are expected to decrease, making
            future cost comparisons relatively more favorable for
            fluidized bed boilers versus conventional coal firing
            which is considered to be already "mature".

          • If low sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) is available, its use in
            package boilers may be an attractive alternative.  The
            possible advantage for LSFO (depending or relative fuel
            prices) decreases as boiler capacity is increased.

The following table illustrates these conclusions:

              Cost of Steam  (ex Fuel Cost) From 100 KPPH  and
     400 KPPH Single Boiler Addition and Grass-Roots Boiler Systems
Fuel
Boiler Type
High
FBC
Sulfur Coal
Conventional
With Scrubber
Low Sulfur
"Compliance" Coal
Conventional
FBC With ESP
Low Sulfur
Fuel Oil
Package
Cost of Steam  (ex Fuel Cost), c/k lb.*

  Single Boiler Addition to Oil-Fired Boiler Plant

   100 KPPH         359       395         315        290           147
   400 KPPH         249       283         205        201           116

  Grass-Roots Boiler System
   100 KPPH         481       565         437        407           ois
   400 KPPH         319       391         276        278           153

*FBC costs based on current fluidized bed combustion technology

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                               - 19 -
     2.3.1  Basis for Comparing Alternative Technologies

          This section describes the screening designs for boiler systems
which were developed to evaluate the comparative investments and operating
costs associated with both grass roots and boiler addition projects as
described in the previous section  (2.2.3).  The following table summarizes
the combination of fuel, boiler type, and environmental provisions which
are considered for steam generation rates between 50 and 400 KPPH.

                                                       Provision for
                                                   Environmental Controls
_ Fuel _      Boiler Description      SO?      Particulates

High  Sulfur  Coal       Fluidized Bed Combustion   FBC     Electrostatic
                       using Package Modules            Precipitator  (ESP)

High  Sulfur  Coal       Spreader Stoker*,           --- Limestone Scrubber ---
                       Field Erected


Low Sulfur Coal        Fluidized Bed Combustion   **          ESP
                       Using Package Modules
Low Sulfur Coal        Spreader Stoker*,            -         ESP
                       Field Erected

Low Sulfur Oil        Package, Watertube


 * For boilers of  200 KPPH or greater, conventional coal cases are assumed
   to  use pulverized coal firing.
** No  S02 control  is needed for low sulfur "compliance" coal; however, the alkaline
   ash of low sulfur Western coal is expected to give appreciable sulfur capture
   when the  coal  is burned in an FBC unit.
 In all cases,  it is assumed that the NOx level in the flue gas will  meet     ^
 New Source Standards for Steam Generating Equipment of 0.7 Ibs.  N02/M BTU  fired
 for solid fuels and 0.3 Ibs.  N02/M BTU fired for liquid fuels, without provision
 of major additional facilities specifically for NOx control.   FBC systems using
 high sulfur coals give significantly lower NOx levels in the  flue gas than
 conventional coal firing.  For conventional firing, design provision for staged
 firing or similar combustion modifications, at relatively low cost,  may be
 necessary; even then, emissions may be only marginally within the EPA NOx emission
 standards.  For low sulfur coals and lignites, it is assumed  in this report that
 FBC systems will at least meet the EPA standards.  Extensive  experimental work
 on fluidized bed combustion of these fuels has not been carried out.

           A.  Grass Roots Comparisons

           Design of a large coal-firing FBC industrial boiler system involves
 much more than the boiler itself.  Facilities must be provided for coal and
 limestone receiving, storing and handling; coal preparation for burning;  fly

-------
                                    - 20 -
ash collection; bed ash and spent stone withdrawal; and waste solids disposal.
In the general grass roots case, these ancillary facilities may cost several
times as much as the boiler itself.  Compared with this complex system, the
requirements for oil and gas firing are much simpler, less costly, and more
convenient.  On the other hand, a conventional coal-fired boiler using high
sulfur coal will be even more complex because of the necessity for providing
flue gas scrubbing for control of SC>2 emissions.  For example, the overall
screening investment for a grass roots project to build a conventional high-
sulfur-coal-fired industrial boiler system might be put together as follows:
           Component
 Two stoker-fired boilers

 Coal receiving, storing, handling

 Flue gas scrubbers, solid waste
 collection/storage, stack, etc.

   Sub-total

 Project Contingency
   Total system cost
 M$

 4.2

 1.5
% of Total Investment

        35.5

        13
11.8
       100
          Figures 2-3, 2-4, and 2-5 show schematically the grass roots systems
 for  the above cases, including fuel receipt, transfer, and storage; boilers
 and  all associated facilities; environmental controls; and waste collection,
 storage, and disposal.  These plants are sized to supply a continuous overall
 steam rate of 100 KPPH.  Economic comparison of FBC , conventional coal, and
 low  sulfur oil cases for this size will demonstrate the ease or difficulty
 with which coal can penetrate the market in which oil and/or gas are currently
 predominant, and the possible advantage which developing FBC technology may
 have over conventional coal firing.  Below the capacity of about 100 KPPH,
 we expect the investment cost, space requirements, and general inconvenience
 of coal-fired systems relative to oil  firing will be  sufficiently higher  that
 coal is not likely to be widely used.  Hence we consider 100 KPPH as the
 approximate minimum size boiler plant  in which FBC could have a significant
 impact on the choice of coal vs. scarce fuels.

          Appendix 1 presents the complete detailed investment and operating
 cost bases for economic comparison of  these grass roots boiler systems.

          The manufacturing plants of  interest in this study are all energy
 intensive.  Almost universally, large  plants in the chemicals, petroleum,
 paper and other energy intensive industries have multiple boilers with
 adequate backup capacity such that one of the boilers in the system can
 be shut down, for annual inspection, scheduled, or unscheduled maintenance,
 without limiting the plant's throughput.  For our comparison of grass roots
 systems, we have included  2 x 100 KPPH boilers in order to insure an output
 of 100 KPPH steam even if  one boiler is off the line.  Alternatively, we
 could have included 3 x 50 KPPH boilers and still met this backup criterion.
 Three 50 KPPH boilers would cost a few percent less than 2 x 100 KPPH units,
 but  directionally would require more space, more operating labor, and more
 maintenance.  We decided arbitrarily to base the grass roots comparisons  on
 a  two-boiler system, and all of the cases have been handled in the same manner.

-------
                        BOILER SIZE
                        BOILER TYPE
                        FUEL
                        FUELPREP'N
                                                                     FIGURE  2-3
                                                      FLUIDIZED BED  BOILER  SYSTEM
                                                      FIRED  WITH  HIGH SULFUR  COAL
100 k Ib./H rating, 125 psig, saturated steam
Fluidized bed, watertube, atmospheric pressure, shop fabricated and assembled
High sulfur (3.6 wt. %) Illinois coal, %" nominal size
No further prep'n required
                         ENVIRONMENTAL PROVISIONS:
                         SO2        Fluidized bed system meets sulfur dioxide emission criteria
                         NOX        Fluidized bed system meets nitrogen oxides emission criteria
                         Particulates   Electrostatic precipitator (ESP)
                                                                            OVERALL RATES
                                                                        Coal 12,000 Ib/H = 144 T/D
                                                                        Limestone 4,500 Ib/H = 54 T/D
                                                                        Total Dry Solids to Disposal
                                                                          (Ash & Spent Stone) 2.28 T/H = 55 T/D
Goal Receipt


 O^**1-O
                                                                                                Solids Disposal Truck
    Note:   Limestone may not be required when low sulfur "compliance" coal is burned in a  fluidized  bed.
           In this case, provision is made for receipt, storage, and handling of small  quantities  of
           inert makeup material (e.g. crushed cinder, alumina) for the bed.

-------
                    FIGURE 2-4
CONVENTIONAL BOILER SYSTEM FIRED WITH HIGH SULFUR COAL
BOILER SIZE 100 k Ib./H rating, 125 psig, saturated steam
BOILER TYPE Watertube, spreader stoker fired, field assembled
FUEL High sulfur (3.6 wt. %) Illinois coal, 1%" nominal size for stoker firing
FUEL PREP'N No further prep'n required


ENVIRONMENTAL PROVISIONS:












SO2 Limestone throwaway — wet scrubber
NOX Hopefully, spreader stoker will just about meet 0.7 Ib. NOj/M Btu (which is emission
> 250 M Btu/H)


OVERALL RATES
Coal 12,000 Ib/H = 144 T/D
Limestone 1,800 Ib/H H 22 T
Boiler Ash 0.24 T/H s 6 T/D
Scrubber Sludge 2.5 T/H = 6
Total Solid Waste 66T/D

limit for



Particulates Multiclone dust collector for bulk fly ash; scrubber for final cleanup
Coal Receipt
i 	 j Eimator r
T Covered Conveyor
() { J
ClJ







NOTES: Low sulfur coal case has electrostatic
precipitator and dry ash silo instead
of limestone scrubber, reheater, and
ash/slud£e pit

Limestone makeup circuit should be
revised to include wet grinding of


ID 	
Coal
Silo
X



Ash







Stoker Fired
_^^. Watertube
100 KPPH Each
)| 1
!—
BFW J
Slowdown






Dust Collector
Cr^l
Flyash Re-injection y^
FD Fan
*Q — Air
£ 	 i
100 KPPH
"^^" Steam
to Process

drO
trr) TT "O
Limestone
Truck









Silo
X












^^




Scrubber
1
rj
L.

^

^^••MBBB




n
L ' 	 '

~P
\
I f. \ si"^
Water \ Circulation
* y
. ^-f~
1 • "W
1
Sludge
Settler
"• and
Filter

Ash | Sludge (50% Moisture)
















if • "[""Kb
pit 1 ^^ SolidTDis Val T u
^^^^ s re
•^ To Ash /Sludge

-------
                                       FIGURE 2-5
                    CONVENTIONAL PACKAGE  BOILER  SYSTEM
                        FIRED  WITH LOW  SULFUR  FUEL OIL
BOILER SIZE          100klb./h rating, 125 psig, saturated steam
BOILER TYPE         Watertube, package (shop fabricated and assembled)
FUEL                No. 6 Oil ( -15° API), low sulfur (0.7 wt %)
FUEL PREP'N         Preheated, no further prep'n required


ENVIRONMENTAL PROVISIONS:
  SO2         Not required
  NOX         Combustion modifications — include small investment allowance in cost of
              grass roots package boiler
  Particulates    Not required
          OVERALL RATES
Fuel Oil 485 B/SD = 6820 Ib/H s 82 T/D
Wn K ^~*^~^~^
Oil

r
Fuel Oil
Tank
(Heated)


trac«, insulate
%JULf T 	 - - - - - - -r



2
Package
Watertube
Rnllorc fa
100 KPPH Each
t
nc


FDFan




*^^^^ii^^^ »•"•• Air
7*A STack
II 100 KPPH
1 fc Steam
to Process

-------
                                   - 24 -
          Table 2-2 presents the overall Input and output streams for each
of the comparable cases, corresponding to a gross steam demand of 100 KPPH.

          Using the bases of Appendix 1, consistent screening investment
estimates were developed for each case.  For facilities for which Exxon has
direct cost experience, such as oil-fired package boilers, oil tanks, pumps,
piping, ducting, stack, etc., our normal investment estimating procedure
was followed.  For flue gas scrubbers, vendor quotes were obtained and checked,
and indirect costs were added as applicable for Field Labor Overheads, Contractor
Engineering, Freight, etc.  Care was taken to define clearly the vendor's basis
for each quotation, so as to obtain meaningful and consistent estimates for
each hypothetical project.  ERDA provided cost estimates for fluidized bed
boilers and coal-fired stoker boilers, based on project costs reported in
proposals submitted to ERDA as part of the FBC technology development program.

          In the case of the coal receiving and storage facilities, Appendix 1
includes provision of equipment for direct receipt of coal by rail in shipments
of 10 cars at a time, and storage capacity for about 16 days coal supply.  The
facilities actually provided for a real project at any given location can vary
over a very wide range, from almost continuous receipt by truck and minimum
onsite storage to large bulk receipt by rail or barge, possible coal processing
facilities, and much longer coal storage capability.  Hence we did not carry
out a complete screening estimate for these specific facilities, but instead
used an order-of-magnitude allowance of 1 1/2 million dollars (which was agreed
by ERDA and MITRE to be within a reasonable cost range for the receiving and
storage system described in Appendix 1).  It should be noted that as the
receiving/storing system increases in complexity and cost, some offsetting
reductions in delivered coal price are likely so that the overall cost of steam
production may not be markedly changed in the general case.

          Following development of cost estimates for these 100 KPPH systems,
we extended the estimates to cover the range of 50 to 400 KPPH by exponential
"prorating" in order to evaluate the "economy of size" effects as applied to
boiler plants.  It is well known that a general relation between investment
and capacity for process facilities can be expressed over reasonable ranges
of size as:

                              I = KCn

where I is investment, C is capacity in any convenient units of throughput,
and K and n are constants characteristic of the particular process under study.

          This general relationship has been used to estimate investments for
plants of 50, 200, and 400 KPPH capacity relative to the basic 100 KPPH
investments.  A table included in Appendix 1 presents the exponents which were
used for this purpose for each increment of size.

          Costs of steam (ex fuel) from the grass-roots boiler systems were
built up by estimating direct operating costs and capital charges for each
case.  Bases for evaluation of these items are contained in Appendix 1

-------
                                                 TABLE 2-2

                             COMPARATIVE INDUSTRIAL GRASS-ROOTS BOILER SYSTEMS
                              	    AND OVERALL INPUT/OUTPUT RATES
Bases:  Steam Demand - 100 KPPH, 125 psig, saturated
        Boiler Capacity Provided - 2 x 100 KPPH watertube boilers
Fuel

Fuel Rate, T/D


Boiler Type
S02 Control

Ca/S Ratio
Limestone Rate, T/D

Particulate Control
Solid Waste

Waste Solid
 Rate, T/D

Approximate Space
Required for Grass-
Roots Boiler Plant,
Acres
          High Sulfur Coal
      144

      FBC
Package Modules
      FBC
  Dry Sulfated
Stone/Ash Mix.

       55
        144

   Conventional
  Spreader Stoker
  Field Assembled
   Once-through
Limestone Scrubber
3.0
54
Cyclones and
ESP
1.2
22
Cyclones and
Scrubber
 Scrubber Sludge/
    Ash Mixture

        66
Low Sulfur Coal*

        187

    Conventional
  Spreader Stoker
Field Assembled, or
FBC Package Modules

        Not
       Needed
    Cyclones and
        ESP

        Ash


         11
Low Sulfur
       82
   (485 B/D)

    Package
      Not
     Needed
      Not
     Needed

      None
                                                                                              ro
                                                                                              Ul
                                                                      1 1/2
*  Fuel sulfur content low enough that stack S02 emissions comply with Federal EPA New Source Performance
   Standards for SO- from Steam Generators (>250 M Btu/hr) without additional SO- controls.

Note that NOX emissions from FBC-fired boilers are below Federal EPA New Source Performance  Standards  for
NOX from Steam Generators (>250 M Btu/hr).  In all other cases,  inclusions  of design  features  for  combustion
modifications may be necessary in order to meet these standards.

-------
                                   - 26 -
          B. Comparisons of Single Boiler Addition Projects

          When a single boiler is to be added to an existing boiler system,
all of the facilities shown in Figures 2-3 to 2-5 may not be required.  In
general, the backup capability discussed in the previous section already
exists in the system, so that additional backup is usually not required
provided the new boiler is fairly close in size to the existing ones.  Usually
the same fuel is used for the new and existing boilers.  It is likely that
the increased fuel receipts will be taken care of by increased use of the
existing unloading facilities and somewhat shorter average days fuel storage,
thus making maximum use of the existing facilities with minor outlays for
tie-ins to service the new boiler.

          Table 2-3 summarizes the assumptions made in each investment area in
deriving cost estimates for single boiler addition projects from the basic
estimates for complete grass-roots systems.  Parallel procedures were used
to estimate unit operating costs of steam generation in "add-on" boilers
consistent with those used for the complete grass-roots cases.

     2.3.2  Overall Results for Single Boiler Addition Cases

          Based on experience, we believe that most sales of large new boilers
are for addition of single boilers to existing plants.  Therefore, in this
report, we will first present comparisons for the different cases of boiler
add-on projects, and then proceed to comparisons of grass-roots boiler plants
at new plant sites (although this is the reverse of the sequence in which the
results were developed).

          The simplest case of addition of a coal-fired boiler (either FBC or
conventional) is to a boiler plant which already uses coal.  In this case,
most of the facilities for coal receiving and handling are already in place.
However, because of the difference in coal particle size for FBC and conventional
firing, we have.arbitrarily assumed that precrushed FBC coal is received segregated
from the fuel for the rest of the plant, and stored in a new silo.  Alternatively,
the FBC case could include onsite facilities for coal preparation, with corres-
ponding increases in manning, maintenance, and utilities costs, but no need to
segregate coal storage.  Table 2-4 summarizes the comparisons for additions of
100 and 400 KPPH boilers.   More details are presented in Appendix 3, Tables 12-
20.  In analyzing these cases, we have assumed that the newly-added boilers will
be base-loaded,  with an overall availability of 90%.

          When burning high sulfur coal, the investment required for an added
FBC boiler with electrostatic precipitator is less than for a conventional
boiler plus flue gas desulfurization.   This advantage increases as boiler
capacity goes up.   Direct  operating costs are estimated to be closely comparable.
Capital charges directly reflect the investments,  and so the combined operating
costs show a small advantage for FBC at the 100 KPPH size,  increasing as boiler
size goes up (20 to 30 c/k Ibs.).   The cost of steam is quite sensitive to changes
in investment — at the 100 KPPH size an overall change of 0.5 M$ in investment
(roughly 10%) results in a change in unit steam cost  of 13 c/k pounds.

-------
                                                                      TABLE 2-3
                                                FACILITIES BASIS FOR SINGLE BOILER ADDITION PROJECTS
Fuel for New Boiler
New Boiler Type
A.  When Existing System Is Oil-Fired .
 Provision in Addition Project For:
  Fuel Receiving, Storing, Feeding
  Limestone Receiving, Storing, Feeding
  Boiler
  Stack
  ESP
  Flue Gas  Scrubber System
  Solid Waste  Collection,  Storage, Disposal
 B.   When  Existing  System is  Coal-Fired,
  Provision  in  Addition Project For:
  Fuel Receiving
  Fuel  Storing,  Feeding
  Limestone Receiving, Storing, Feeding
  Boiler
  Stack
  ESP
  Flue  Gas  Scrubber System
   Solid Waste  Collection,  Storage, Disposal
           High  Sulfur Coal
                          Low Sulfur  "Compliance"  Coal
          FBC
                         Conventional
                                                    FBC
                                                                    Conventional
                                  Low Sulfur Fuel Oil
                                  	Package
       Complete
       Complete
   Single,  Complete
        Single
         None
       Complete
        Tie-ins
New Silo and Conveyors
        Tie-ins
   Single, Complete
     Complete              Complete              Complete       Incremental Tie-ins
     Complete                None*                 None                 None
 Single,  Complete      Single,  Complete      Single,  Complete    Single,  Complete
	 Single New Stack,  No  Tie-ins  	
       None                 Single                Single                None
      Single                 None                 None                 None
     Complete              Complete              Complete
      Tie-Ins               Tie-ins              ,Tie-ins
      Tie-ins       New Silo and  Conveyors       Tie-ins
      Tie-ins                None*                None
 Single,  Complete      Single, Complete     Single, Complete
	 Single New Stack,  No Tie-ins 	
        Single
         None
       Complete
       None
      Single
      Tie-ins
Single
 None
Tie-ins
Single
 None
Tie-ins
                                                                      None
   THIS
   CASE
    NOT
CONSIDERED
 *  However, FBC firing compliance coal does  require  facilities to receive, store, and feed whatever small quantity of bed makeup material is needed.

-------
                                    - 28 -
                                   TABLE 2-4

            COMPARISON OF  INVESTMENTS,  AND COST OF STEAM (EX FUEL),
                  FOR SINGLE  BOILER ADDED TO COAL-FIRED PLANT
Fuel (1)
High Sulfur Coal
Low Sulfur Coal  (2)
Boiler Type
Steam Rate, KPPH
Investment, M.$ (3)
Fuel Handling Additions
Boiler and Stack
Envtl. and Waste Disp.
Fluidized
Bed
Combustion
100
0.6
3.1
1.1
Total, M$ 4.8
Unit Cost of Steam (ex Fuel) ,
Direct Op. Costs (ex
Fuel and BFW)
Boiler Feed Water
Capital Charges
Total, C/k Ib. (ex fuel)
125
60
122
307
400
0.9
7.6
2.9
11.4
C/k Ib.
95
60
72
227
Conventional
With
Scrubber
100
0.2
2.9
2.3
5.4
(3)
131
60
137
328
400
0.3
8.6
6.1
15.0
100
60
95
255
                                                        Fluidized
                                                            Bed
                                                        Combustion
                                                        100
                                                        0.6
                                                        3.1
                                                        0.9
                                                         83

                                                         60
                                                       117

                                                       260
                                0.9
                                7.6
                                2.4
                                       Conventional
                                           With
                                           ESP
                                400   100
          0.2
          2.9
          0.7
                                                        4.6    10.9    3.8
                                 53    64

                                 60    60
                                 69    96
                                182   220
                   400
 0.3
 8.6
 1.8
10.7
                    45

                    60
                    68
                   173
 (1)  The same type fuel is assumed  to be  fired in the existing boilers  as  in the
     new boiler, i.e.,  no cases  are considered in which low sulfur  coal and high
     sulfur coal are fired simultaneously  to different boilers of  the  same  plant.

 (2)  Low sulfur coal by definition  for  these cases is assumed to  be sufficiently
     low in sulfur so that no S02 controls are needed to meet whatever  environmental
     limits are applicable.
                                °peratln8 costs are presented in Appendix 3,

-------
                                 - 29 -
           Comparing  cases  using low sulfur compliance  coal,  the  conventional
arrangement  of  stoker (or  PCF unit) plus ESP is  indicated  to have  a  slight
investment advantage over  the FBC system.   This  investment difference  con-
ceivably  could  be  turned around in the future as FBC technology  matures,
especially for  the larger  sized boilers.  As regards operating costs,  the
pressure  drop across the FBC system is significantly higher  than for the
conventional system, and the fan power costs reflect this  factor.  Overall
the conventional case shows  a moderate advantage  over  FBC at the  100  KPPH
size,  shrinking to breakeven at 400 KPPH.  We conclude from these
estimates that  if  low sulfur coal is available at a competitive  price, boiler
operators already  firing low sulfur coal in conventional units will not be
likely to change to  FBC in the early years of FBC application.   However,
the future relationship between price and  availability  of  high and low sulfur
coals  is  extremely uncertain - it would be expected that low sulfur coal in
the future might command a significant premium over high sulfur  coal if SC>2
environmental limits are held at the levels used for this  study.

           In the situation where an existing boiler plant  is oil-fired, the
cost of introducing  the first coal-fired boiler  into such  a  plant  will be
considerably higher  than the cases considered above.  The  investments  for the
boiler itself and  for its  environmental controls will be basically the same,
but to this  will be  added  a  significant increment for new  coal receiving,
storing,  and handling facilities.   Table 2-5 presents the  overall  results of
our comparisons for  the addition of 100 and 400  KPPH coal-fired  boilers, as
well as a comparative case for addition of another 100  or  400 KPPH low sulfur
oil-fired unit. Details of  these cases are tabulated in Appendix  3, Tables 21-
31.

           Again for  this situation, when high sulfur coal  is the fuel of choice
FBC has a nominal  investment advantage over conventional combustion plus flue
gas scrubbing at the 100 KPPH size.  This  advantage increases as the boiler
size goes up to 400  KPPH.  Direct operating costs are very similar for the
two cases.   Overall, FBC is  estimated to have about a 35 
-------
                                                 TABLE 2-5
 Fuel


 Boiler Type
 Steam Rate, KPPH

 Investments,  M$ (3)

 Fuel Handling Allowance(2)
 Boiler and Stack
 Envtl and Waste Disp.

 Total,  M$
Direct Op. Costs  (ex
 Fuel and BFW)
Boiler Feed Water
Capital Charges

Total, C/k lb. (ex Fuel)
COMPARISON OF INVESTMENTS, AND COST OF STEAM (EX
FOR SINGLE BOILER ADDED TO OIL-FIRED PLANT
High Sulfur Coal
Fluidized
Bed
Combustion
100
) 1.8
3.1
1.3
6.2
el), C/k lb.
142
60
157
400
2.7
7.6
3.4
13.7
(3)
102
60
87
Conventional
With
Scrubber
100
1.8
2.9
2.6
7.3
150
60
185
400
2.7
8.6
6.9
18.2
108
60
115
FUEL) ,
Low Sulfur Coal
Fluidized
Bed
Combustion
100
1.9
3.1
1.1
6.1
100
60
155
400
2.9
7.6
2.9
13.4
60
60
85
(1)
Conventional
With ESP
100
1.9
2.9
1.0
5.8
83
60
147
400
2.9
8.6
2.6
14.1
52
60
89
Low Sulfur
Fuel Oil(l)
Package
100
0.1
1.5
1.6
46
60
41
400
0.2
3.7
3.9
31
60
25
                                                                                                                   u>
                                                                                                                   o
359
249   395
283
315
205   290
201
147
116
(1)  Low sulfur coal and fuel oil by definition are sufficiently low in sulfur that no S02 controls are
     needed to meet whatever environmental limits are applicable.
(2)  In some cases where coal is reliably available by truck delivery, the capital costs for fuel receipt
     and storage could be significantly reduced.  In such cases, however, the delivered price of coal would
     rise more-or-less correspondingly so that the overall cost of steam would not be changed markedly.
(3)  Details of investments and operating costs are presented in Appendix 3, Tables 21-31.

-------
                                    31 -
          It should be noted that an FBC boiler has inherent flexibility to
handle a tightened S(>2 emission regulation if such a requirement is imposed
after the boiler is built.  This could be done simply by initiating or increasing
the limestone rate charged to the bed and the withdrawal rate of spent bed
material.  In contrast, reduction of SC>2 emissions from a conventional boiler
might require retrofit addition of a flue gas scrubber system.

          A case is included in Table 2-5 for addition of a low-sulfur-oil-
fired package boiler  to an existing oil-fired plant.  As would be expected,
the investment and operating costs for this  case are much below those for
coal firing.  If fuel oil is permitted for use in new MFBI units, a large
boiler operator would be willing to pay a substantial premium — up to the
neighborhood of $1.10/M BTU — for low sulfur fuel oil over high sulfur coal.

     2.3.3  Overall Results for Grass-Roots  Boiler Plants

          Investments and operating costs for grass-roots boiler systems
supplying 100 and 400 KPPH steam are summarized in Table 2-6.  More complete
details  for these cases are given in Appendix 3, Tables 1-11.  These results
cover the complete grass-roots systems, with 100% boiler and scrubber backup,
as described in Figures 2-3 to 2-5 and text  of Section 2.3.2.  Since they
include  complete fuels receiving, storing, and handling facilities, plus two
boilers  such as might be  installed in a new, grass-roots location, the invest-
ments and operating costs are higher than for the previous cases.  The same
relative results are  obtained, however.  Fluidized bed combustion of high
sulfur coal shows an  advantage of about 70-80 c/k lb. steam over conventional
combustion of the same coal plus flue gas scrubbing.  Note that these results
are for  current FBC technology; further improvements are anticipated for
second-generation and subsequent units, as discussed in a later section (2.3.5).

          Low sulfur  compliance coal fired using conventional technology enjoys
capital  and direct operating cost advantages corresponding to the lack of a
flue gas scrubber.  However, burning of the  same low sulfur coal in an FBC
system is not far behind  at 100 KPPH  O 30 
-------
                                              TABLE 2-6
COMPARISON OF INVESTMENTS, AND COST OF STEAM (EX FUEL),
FOR GRASS ROOTS BOILER PLANTS WITH BACKUP
Fuel
Boiler Type
Steam Rate, KPPH
Investment, M$(3)
Fuel Handling Allowance (2)
2 Boilers and Stack
Envtl. and Waste Disp.
Total, M$
Unit Cost of Steam (ex Fuel),
Direct Op. Costs (ex
Fuel and BFW)
Boiler Feed Water
Capital Charges
Total, C/k Ib. (ex Fuel)
High Sulfur Coal
Fluidized
Bed
Combustion
100 400
1.8 2.7
5.8 14.3
1.9 5.0
9.5 22.0
C/k lb.(3)
180 119
60 60
241 140
481 319
Conventional
With
Scrubber
100 400
1.8 2.7
5.4 16.0
4.6 12.2
11.8 30.9
206 135
60 60
299 196
565 391
Low Sulfur Coal(l)
Fluidized
Bed
Combustion
100 400
1.9 2.9
5.8 14.3
1.7 4.5
9.4 21.7
139 79
60 60
238 137
437 276
Conventional
With ESP
100
1.9
5.4
1.6
8.9
121
60
226
407
400
2.9
16.0
4.2
23.1
71
60
147
278
Low Sulfur
Fuel Oil(l)
Package
100
0.6
2.6
3.2
77
60
81
218
400
1.4
6.4
7.8
44
60
49
153
                                                                                                                 I

                                                                                                                 N5
(1)  Low sulfur coal and fuel oil by definition are sufficiently low in sulfur that no S02 controls are
     needed to meet whatever environmental limits are applicable.

(2)  In some cases where coal is reliably available by truck delivery,  the capital costs for fuel receipt
     and storage could be significantly reduced.   In such cases, however,  the delivered price of coal would
     rise more-or-less correspondingly so that the overall cost of steam would not be changed markedly.

(3)  Details of investments and operating costs are presented in Appendix  3,  Tables 1-11.

-------
                                   - 33 -
          (3) Generation of steam in industrial boilers using fluidized
              bed combustion of high sulfur coal is predicted to be
              economically attractive  (by about 35-75 C/k Ibs. steam)
              compared with conventional burning of the same coal in
              conjunction with flue gas scrubbing.  This comparison
              is based on current FBC designs  ("first generation").
              Cost reduction in FBC designs is anticipated in the
              future, as FBC technology matures.  In a subsequent
              section (2.3.5), we have discussed the overall order-
              of-magnitude improvement which is likely.

          (4) FBC appears to be fairly close to breakeven with
              conventional coal-firing for burning low sulfur
              compliance coal (low enough sulfur content to meet
              emission criteria without SC>2 removal).  In this
              connection, FBC may well be the only practical
              technology for burning many slagging coals and high
              ash lignites which are difficult to use in conventional
              boilers.

          (5) In all cases, capital charges comprise from 43 to 67%
              of the total controllable operating costs (ex fuel and
              boiler feed water).

     2.3.4  Areas of Technical Uncertainty

          Several areas of FBC technology have been identified in which
there are real or apparent problems.  Resolution of these uncertainties will
be needed before widespread application of coal-fired FBC can be expected.
The principal uncertainties concern:

          (1) availability of suitable limestone (without excessive
              transportation costs from distant locations)

          (2) disposal of waste solids

          (3) maintenance of desired particle size distribution
              in the fluidized bed.

A.  Availability of Suitable Limestone

          The limestone characteristics which are desired for effective use
in once-through FBC systems are high reactivity with S02 at bed conditions;
particle strength and attrition resistance at bed conditions so that stable
fluidized bed behavior can be achieved; resistance to thermal degradation
(spalling, fragmentation) as boilers are started up and shut down.

          Although limestone deposits are widely distributed, there is no
certainty that all stones are suitable for FBC use.  Performance data are
available for only a few of the many limestone sources, and widely differing
behavior is observed from one limestone to another.  Unfortunately, there
are no simple analytical laboratory methods by which to determine the limestone
properties.   Each stone has to be tested in an FBC laboratory unit.

-------
                                  - 34 -
          In the 30 MWe FBC demonstration utility boiler being installed in
Rivesville,  West Virginia, local Greer limestone will be used.  This stone
was initially tested by Pope,  Evans and Robbins using conditions under which
the Grove limestone used most  widely in FBC development work had performed
well.  The Greer stone could not be retained in the bed during initial cal-
cination under these conditions and appeared unsuitable for use.  However,
experiments with modified operating conditions successfully identified a
suitable working range in which satisfactory initial calcination of the
Greer stone could be achieved, and this stone has met the other requirements
of reactivity, attrition resistance, and thermal stability (15).

          The above discussion pertains to FBC operations in which sorbents
 (mostly limestones) are used "once-through" with discard of the spent stone.
If effective regeneration technology is developed, the regeneration characteristics
of the limestones are also significant.

B.  Disposal of Waste Solids

          The problem of disposing of sulfated, dry granular limestone is
quite different from that of wet limestone sludges from once-through flue
gas scrubbers, although both are products of control operations to meet
environmental criteria for sulfur emissions.  Another related problem,
if a large increase in coal consumption is to occur, is the disposal of
the correspondingly large quantities of ash.

          Much work is underway at various locations to characterize more
definitively the waste products resulting from different methods of use of
a wide variety of coals  (e.g.  conventional and FBC fly ash, bottom ash,
scrubber  sludges, FBC bed material, etc.) as regards physical form, particle
 size, bulk and trace chemical composition, leachability, etc.  Work is also
underway  to identify general and specific possible uses for these materials
rather than simply throwing them away.  In the-future, the decisions in
connection with installation of one or more coal-fired industrial boilers at
a specific location may be influenced by results from much of this work.
Our aim here has been to make reasonable assumptions as a working basis for
 these generalized screening comparisons.

      (1)  Ash.  Only a small percentage of the fly ash and bottom
          ash resulting from current coal burning operations is used
          to manufacture  some other product  (e.g. cinder block).  The
          largest portion of the ash is directly (or indirectly after
          storage in ash retention ponds) disposed of in landfill
          operations.  Unless major byproduct outlets for ash are
          developed, eventual expanded disposition may be in the
          direction of sending it back to exhausted mines after the
          coal has been removed.  Work by DOT (Department of Trans-
          portation) and others is directed toward large scale
          utilization of fly ash in road construction.

          Fly ash from fluidized bed combustion has been exposed
          to maximum bed  temperatures of the magnitude of 1600-
          1700°F.  Hence, it is quite different in physical form
          from fly ash from conventional combustion, which has
          been heated to  incipient or complete fusion.  In this
          report, we have assumed that capture by ESP and handling

-------
                           - 35 -
    of  FBC  fly ash will not be significantly more costly
    than in conventional boiler operations.

(2)  Wet Sludge.   Disposal of scrubber sludge is one of the
    most perplexing problems and obstacles to widespread
    adoption of limestone (or lime) throwaway flue gas
    scrubbing to meet sulfur emission limits.  Ponding and
    eventual landfill disposition is almost  the only disposal
    outlet.  Even after long-time settling,  a sludge composed
    predominantly of calcium sulfite is not  very compact and
    does not have high load-bearing capability-  One expanding
    sub-option is to condition or treat the  sludge to improve
    its load-bearing strength.  This can be  accomplished by
    oxidizing sulfite to sulfate, and/or by  mixing the sludge
    with ash and additives.  If the high calcium ash from some
    western coals is added to a slurry scrubber, this also has
    been observed to promote sulfate formation (16).

    Large industrial plants may have adequate acreage for
    building sludge ponds to hold several years' sludge
    production.   Most industrial plants do not have this
    capability.   In our economic studies, the preliminary
    assumption is that the filtered sludge (mixed with ash
    in  the case of conventional coal firing) is disposed of
    by  truck, at a cost of $8 per ton.  Each $2/ton variation
    from this cost changes the cost of steam by 5.5 C/k Ib.

(3)  Dry Waste from FB Combustion of High Sulfur Coal.  In the
    limestone fluidized bed, the CaC03 of the fresh stone is
    first calcined

                    CaC03 t=$ CaO + C02

    At  bed  conditions, the lime reacts with  S02 (from the
    sulfur  in the coal) and excess 02 to form calcium sulfate

               CaO + S02 + 1/2 02 ^~)  CaSO^

    To  achieve adequate sulfur removal,  excess limestone is fed
    to  the  bed — feed Ca/S ratios up to 6 have been used in  FBC
    development work.  The 30 MW Rivesville  demonstration unit is
    designed for a Ca/S ratio of 2.  In our  industrial boiler
    calculations, we have assumed a Ca/S ratio of 3 for high  sulfur
    coal.   In the range of Ca/S ratios of 2  to 3, spent waste from
    an  impure limestone has a composition something like the  following:

                                          wt%
        CaS04                             30 - 45

        CaO  (excess)                      25 - 35

        Other  (MgO,  Si02,  A1203,
        iron oxide,  ash,  etc.)            30 - 35

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                              - 36 -
   Considerable preliminary work has been done on possible uses
   for spent stone co-mingled with ash.  These uses include
   production of building materials such as gypsum or aggregate,
   agricultural use as lime/fertilizer, and neutralization of
   acid mine drainage.  The high free CaO content may make this
   material unsuitable for direct landfill except in lined cavities .
   However, the dry granular nature of the waste mixture makes it
   easily handled and stored.

   In our economic calculations, our preliminary assumption is
   that the dry stone/ash mixture will be carted away be truck,
   at a selected range of $/ton cost, without designating the
   eventual disposition of the material.

   For initial evaluation, we have used the same disposal cost of
   $8 per ton as was used for the sludge/ash mixture in the stoker
   case.  Any reduction in cost because of the easier handling
   characteristics of the granular FBC material will represent
   a corresponding additional advantage for the FBC case.  A change
   of + $2 per ton in disposal cost results in a change in steam
   cost of + 4.6 e/k Ibs.

   Our general basis has been to mix in a single dry waste silo
   the fine particulate material collected by the electrostatic
   precipitator with the much coarser spent bed material withdrawn
   from the FBC combustor.  There is some indication that the material
   collected in the ESP is mostly fly ash f-rom the coal.  As such
   the concentrations of trace components which originated in the
   coal would be much higher in this ESP stream than in the bed
   material. If there is an economic incentive to segregate these
   two streams for separate dispositions, this can readily be
   done by providing an additional separate storage facility for
   the small particulate stream collected by the ESP.

(4) Bed Material and Ash from FB Combustion of Low Sulfur Western Coals.

   Very little information is available on this version of fluidized
   bed combustion.  Unlike Eastern coals, Montana/Wyoming sub-bituminous
   coals typically have alkaline ash which contains relatively high
   percentages of sodium and calcium.  For this study, we have assumed
   that the bed material for FB combustion of these coals would be a
   relatively hard inert granular material (e.g. crushed cinder, alumina).
   Very low makeup rates of bed material are assumed necessary to replace
   depletion of the bed by attrition.  Most of the ash from the coal  is
   assumed to leave the bed as fly ash, eventually recovered by the ESP.
   If  the feed coal contains very much inert matter itself  (slate, etc.),
   some purging of the bed may be necessary.  Much experimental information
   is  required before this case is clearly defined.

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                                   - 37 -
C.  Maintenance of Optimum Particle Size Distribution in Fluidized Bed

          For effective operation of a fluidized bed, it is essential that
neither very fine nor very coarse particles accumulate within the bed.  In
fluidized bed combustors, careful design of the air-distributing grid and
maintenance of adequate gas velocity through the bed are sufficient to
sweep out the fine particles, so that accumulation of fines does not appear
to be a problem.  Considering the other end of the particle size range, FBC
investigators on occasion have observed the accumulation of oversized particles
in the bed.  The cause or causes of this build-up are not yet completely under-
stood.  Because such accumulations could lead to ever poorer fluidization, early
designs of proposed commercial units made provision for removal of large
particles from the bed.  This feature is included in the design of the
Rivesville unit where bed material withdrawn from the cells of the boiler will
undergo continuous hot screening.  A large number of those actively engaged
in development of FBC technology expect that the need for hot screening might
be avoided by choice of coal, cleaning of coal, or specification of a certain
maximum size of coal.  A higher limestone makeup rate and bed withdrawal rate
to purge large particles might also reduce or eliminate the need for hot bed
screening.

          Recent FBC designs, such as those included in proposals being
negotiated with ERDA as FBC development projects, do not include provision
for continuous hot screening capability.  Hence, the cost estimates used for
the preceding economic analyses do not include this provision.  However, as
explained in detail in Appendix 2, we have included a "process development
allowance" of 0.3 M$ per boiler (100 KPPH size) in the cost estimate.  This
was evaluated as about 20% of that part of the boiler investment which is
considered part of the new FBC technology-  We believe this allowance is
adequate to cover the cost of hot screening if demonstration proves that
this is necessary.

     2.3.5  Significant Cost Reductions Possible for Future FBC Designs

          As stated earlier, fluidized bed combustion of coal in boilers is a
newly-developing technology.  No commercial-sized boilers have yet been built
in the U.S., either for industrial or utility service.  The basic cost estimates
for the boiler sections of the FBC systems we have studied represent a current
FBC process design similar to those being developed by the Fluidized Bed
Combustion Company, Livingston, N.J., in response to commercial inquiries.
We have communicated closely with engineers of this company during preparation
and analysis of these estimates for FBC boilers.

          Our estimates include the provision, associated with current FBC
designs, of a "process development allowance" as the FBC process is commercialized
(as discussed in Appendix 2).  Despite the historic need for investment additions
during early process development and commercialization, the history of technical
processes also clearly demonstrates that major cost improvements are normally
achieved as a process matures.  Hirschmann (18) presents a general analysis of
this "learning curve" experience, which is very similar to what Exxon has found
through past studies.  Stated simply, after we have built the first commercial

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                                  - 38 -
plant, and if there is developmental effort to learn from the first plant's
actual performance, then subsequent plants cost less.  Experiences with many
processes could be cited as examples of this learning curve, e.g. fluid
catalytic cracking and ethylene manufacture.

          In the case of FBC, we expect that reductions of 15-20% are likely
in the boiler portion of total project costs for "mature" fluidized bed
boilers, based on typical application of the learning curve.  Expressed in
terms of steam costs, the above investment reduction corresponds to about
20-30 C/k Ibs. steam for a 100 KPPH grass roots FBC boiler plant.

          Note that the conventional technology cases are also subject to
the same learning curve effects, but because stokers, pulverized coal units,
and oil-fired package boilers are already mature, the likelihood is far
smaller for significant cost reductions in these technologies.  On the same
basis as used for FBC costs, we expect that some improvements will be made
for the flue gas scrubbers of the conventional high sulfur coal cases.  However,
these scrubbers are smaller investment pieces than the FBC boilers, and they are
essentially already commercialized, compared to the much earlier demonstration
stage for FBC technology.  We estimate that the reduction of steam costs
resulting from scrubber improvements will be in the magnitude of 5-10 c/k Ibs.
for 100 KPPH grass roots plants.

      2.3.6  Revamping of Existing Boilers for FBC Service Not Likely

          We have analyzed the likelihood of "retrofitting" fluidized bed
combustors to existing industrial boilers, as well as to study the installation
of completely new fluidized bed industrial boilers.  The term "retrofitting" is
subject to a rather wide range of interpretations.  Our initial concept of
retrofitting was that of fitting a new components (e.g. a flue gas scrubber)
into  or onto an existing piece of equipment.  Using this narrow definition,
we conclude that retrofitting of an FBC system to an existing boiler is
infeasible.  However, we have become aware that a much broader interpretation
of retrofitting may be used by others, to cover what we would think of variously
as conversion, substitution, rebuilding (revamping), modernization, etc.  With
this  broader usage in mind, we judge that retrofitting is likely to be economically
unattractive.  In making this judgment, we have taken into account the boiler
size  range of interest in  this study, and apply the following reasoning:  Heat
release rates in a fluidized bed (BTU/hr/cubic foot) are several times as intense
as in a conventional boiler.  Furthermore, much of the heat transfer surface in
an FBC unit  is submerged within the bed, whereas in a conventional boiler the
tubes surround the firebox but are located with care so as to avoid flame
impingement.  A likely way in which an existing oil- or gas-fired package boiler
could be  "converted" to FBC  service would be to remove the burner (s), cut out
some  or all  of the existing  tubes and drums and install the fluidized bed with
its submerged heat transfer  surface within the old boiler shell.  Addition  of
the required  solids handling facilities to inject fuel and limestone, recycle
bed material, and withdraw ash and sulfated stone, while conforming with  the
dimensions of the  old unit would involve additional constraints.  To accomplish
the above work, the boiler would be out of service for a very considerable
period of time.  The likelihood that such a complicated revamp procedure  could
be economically attractive is remote.

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                                -  39  -
2.4  Market Survey of Large Industrial Boiler Users

          The Market Survey part of this study was planned to obtain responses
from leading, knowledgable companies in energy-intensive manufacturing industries,
in order to

          • reinforce (or contradict) the conclusions of
            our technical and engineering assessments of
            FBC bailers, and

          • collect reactions of potential FBC users to
            the application of this new technology in their
            own specific circumstances.

          Thirty-two companies were contacted, and their responses covered a
wide span of opinions.  Most of these companies already burn coal at some
locations.  They recognize that natural gas will rapidly become unavailable
for their use as fuel for steam generation.  In general, they expressed a
desire to continue to burn fuel oil in boilers as long as possible because
of its convenience, lower capital requirements, and lower environmental
problems; a few feel that the price differential between oil and low sulfur
coal already makes coal a competative  fuel for very large boilers.  They expect to
broaden their use of coal long range, and would prefer to use "compliance" low
sulfur coal wherever it is available.  All expressed an interest in FBC, and
those who expect problems with S02 and/or NOx emissions will be ready (over a
fairly wide range of enthusiasm from cool to warm) to consider the use of FBC
in their own operations when it is demonstrated to be "commercially reliable
and economically attractive".

     2.4.1  Survey Procedure

          The survey was limited to large manufacturers in industries which use
large quantities of boiler fuels for continuous steam generation.  We contacted:

                         14  Chemical Companies
                          6  Paper Companies
                          2  Petroleum Refiners
                          3  Food and Kindred Products
                          3  Primary Metals
                         _4  Other
                         32

          In each of these companies, we located a staff official, usually in
corporate headquarters, with the function of "Energy Coordinator/Long-Range
Planner".  All contacts were made by telephone.  In each case, we assured the
company representative that his responses would be kept anonymous, and that
neither he nor his company would be identified in our survey reports.

-------
                                 -  40  -
          In practically all cases we first outlined the objectives of the
telephone discussions and then sent the company a brief summary of the current
state of development of FBC.  The final phone discussion, about 2 weeks after
the initial contact, usually took 30 minutes to an hour.  The following outline
summarizes the content of the final conversation.
        Outline of Discussion With Corporate Energy Coordinator
        	     FBC Market Survey     	

• Description of typical boiler plant of subject company.

• Technical characteristics of future boilers (FBC or conventional) anticipated
  by company.

• Expectations for supplying company's future boiler fuel requirements -

        (a) short range
        (b) long range

  Plans for moving from present situation to short range future to long range
  future.

« Specific problems cited by company which restrict or slow down company's
  use of coal.

• Company's perception of advantages, disadvantages, and overall outlook for
  its use of Fluidized Bed Combustion in boilers.

« At what point of FBC's technical development will company be ready to consider
  installation of FBC boiler?

• Company's suggestions for effective Government actions to promote increased
  use of coal, and rapid adoption of FBC if demonstrations are successful.
      2.4.2  Results and Interpretation

          The intent of the "market survey" was to collect reactions and
 plans of potential users of FBC to their use of coal as industrial boiler
 fuel  and to their possible application of this new technology in their  own
 particular situations.  There was no intent to make a statistical analysis
 of  the  information collected in this survey, since the companies were not
 selected to be a representative sample of their industries.  Most of the
 questions asked were not really subject to quantitative interpretation.
 The following summary gives the broad general positions taken by most of
 the responders, along with comments pertinent to some of the individual
 industries.

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                                - 41 -
                General Feedback From FBC Market  Survey

• Typical large boiler plant may have 4 or 5 good-sized boilers  (>150 KPPH).
  Generates steam at "high" pressure (e.g. 600 psig), expands steam through
  turbine(s), down to lower pressure level set by process requirements.
  This configuration produces an increment of  low cost  "byproduct" power, as
  well as added reliability or  flexibility  (motor plus  turbine)  for driving
  large pumps, compressors, etc.

• Future boilers will probably  be  going up in  pressure  to generate a
  larger increment of in-plant  power.  In many cases, respondents expect
  future individual boiler capacity to remain  pretty much at current levels,
  although a few companies expect  significant  increases in boiler sizes.

• Few plants burn coal, most burn  gas or oil.

• A number of plants burned coal formerly, but have converted more-or-less
  irreversibly to gas/oil.

• Some companies have already started activities  to re-introduce coal at
  locations where it was previously burned, and to consider coal at new
  large locations.  Many other  companies recognize that boilers will be
  coal-fired long range, but have  not yet started to consider how that
  situation will be reached, starting with present package oil/gas-fired
  boilers.  Coal may be impractical at even relatively  large plants if
  adequate space is not available.

• "Low sulfur" coal — meaning  in  the context  of  the conversation that such
  coal would meet applicable 862 emission limits  — was noted repeatedly as
  the preferred fuel when coal  is  introduced at a new location.  We found
  reluctant acceptance, but no  enthusiasm for  the use of flue gas desulfurization
  as a sulfur emissions control technology from industrial boilers.

« Converting  (or revamping) package gas/oil-fired boilers to coal service
  is almost certainly impractical, because of:

                    + serious downrating
                    + high cost
                    + long outage  time
  Conversion to FBC might result in a lower degree of downrating than conversion
  to a stoker or pulverized coal unit, but neither conversion alternative is  likely
  to be used to any significant degree.

• Principal government action to stimulate coal use  is  clear, consistent
  energy policy, firm guidelines;  avoid frequent  changes.  Stimulate coal
  production, and make sure adequate transportation capability is developed.
  Provide tax incentives or $ subsidy, although these actions mentioned
  less often.  Several companies recommended relaxation of environmental
  standards.

• Fluidized bed combustion looks attractive if it is demonstrated to be

                    + reliable
                    + economical

• FBC features of significant interest:
                    + effective SC>2/NOx control
                    + fuel flexibility
                    + less severe  solid waste  disposal  problems

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                                 - 42 -
          Particular concerns with FBC were noted by representatives of
industries which burn large quantities of internally-generated by-product
fuels.  For instance, paper companies expect that FBC in power boilers will
have flexibility to burn waste wood, bark, and "hogged" fuel.  They are
certain that black liquor will continue to be fired in recovery boilers,
which are designed specifically to recover and purify sodium chemicals.  This
service would not be suitable either for conventional or FBC coal firing
because of contamination of the recovered sodium salts with ash or sorbent.
Steel companies state that their heat balances are subject to wide fluctuations
boiler fuel may vary from almost all purchased fuel to almost all low BTU blast
furnace gas, so it is desirable long range for FBC boilers to have this
flexibility.  Petroleum refineries burn high viscosity residua, cracked tars
and hydrocarbon sludge from high sulfur crudes, as well as refinery gas
containing low molecular weight hydrocarbons (containing one to four carbon
atoms - methane through butane and butenes).  Flexibility to burn these fuels
is desirable for FBC boilers in refineries, and somewhat similarly in certain
chemicals plants.

          Boiler operators expect that FBC boilers will be somewhat more
complicated to control than conventional coal-fired units.  This is not
expected to interfere with initial FBC boiler designs, however, since most
of them will be single boiler additions to existing boiler plants.  Under
these conditions, the new FBC boiler likely will be base loaded, so as to
have relatively little need for dynamic response to continual load shifts.

          As would be expected, we found wide variations in the level of
enthusiasm for FBC.  The following excerpts of comments from respondents
illustrate the level of expectant support which FBC already has, as well
as the lack of interest shown by others.

          "We have a 25-year supply of low sulfur coal lined up, and
do not foresee any interest in FBC."

          "We are opposed to flue gas scrubbers as a matter of company
policy.  If FBC is proved to be an effective and economically competitive
method of sulfur control, we will be glad to use it."

          "Do not expect to be in a position to use FBC.  Looking at
municipal and county solid wastes as our next source of BTU."

          "Our company is very conservative as regards technology.  We will
not be ready to look at FBC seriously until it is thoroughly proven as regards
reliability - to level of one emergency outage per year."

          "Company has extensive high sulfur coal reserves, and is very
interested in FBC.  Ready to take reasonable risks in pioneer project, jointly
with reputable boiler manufacturer."

          Overall, we found the companies which we contacted to be aware and
concerned regarding their own energy outlook, generally supportive of a
national policy to shift away from scarce fuels to coal, but very concerned

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                                   - 43 -
about the capital requirements and the environmental constraints which confront
such a shift.   We conclude that they will welcome the successful technical
demonstrations of fluidized bed combustion as applied to industrial boilers,
and will be ready to use FBC when it is shown to be economically attractive.

2.5  Specific  Technical Requirements for Representative Industrial
     Fluidized Bed Boilers	

          Desired performance requirements for industrial fluidized bed boilers
do not differ  significantly from those for conventional coal-fired boilers.  The
ideal industrial boiler (regardless of fuel fired) is safe to operate over its
entire range of performance, gives high thermal efficiency, requires minimum
maintenance and has a high percent availability, can be easily and smoothly
shifted from base fuel to alternate fuel or to simultaneous burning of two
fuels (or more), has adequate turndown capability, responds quickly to changes
in load, and meets all environmental requirements.  The final design of a real
boiler requires compromises to balance the degree to which each of the above
features is achieved against cost.  The owner must provide the designer with
economic values (e.g. identity and expected value of marginal fuel, incentive
for avoiding emergency outages, etc.) so that decisions on these compromises
can be reached wisely.

          No attempt has been made in this generalized screening study to carry
out such economic optimization.  It is assumed that the "standard" conventional
and FBC boilers provided by boiler manufacturers are designed to be reasonably
in agreement with such economic criteria.  Optimization is normally carried out
during the definitive planning and design stages of a specific project, when
the purchase specifications for one or more boilers are being developed.

          Practically all participants in our market survey indicated very
little or no interest in paying a premium for unusually high turndown or
unusually rapid response to changing loads.

          Table 2-7 summarizes typical performance requirements for a 250 KPPH
industrial fluidized bed boiler in petroleum refinery service.  Performance
requirements for FBC boilers in chemical plant service would be similar to
those in petroleum refining except that in many cases no gaseous fuel would
be available as an alternate energy source.  In steel plants, alternate fuel
could well be low BTU gas (e.g. excess blast furnace gas, providing 90-100
BTU/cubic foot).  In paper plants, boiler size could be somewhat larger,
possibly limited by the maximum module capacity which can be shop assembled
and shipped as a package.  Alternate fuels in paper and pulp plants may include
bark, wood chips, sawdust, and other waste fuels, but will not include black
liquor since recovery of the sodium values would be impractical in admixture
with the FBC sorbent.  In food processing plants, typical boiler capacity is
likely to be smaller than 250 KPPH, and steam pressure will be significantly
lower in locations where the owner does not require byproduct power generation.

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                                               TABLE 2-7

                       TYPICAL DUTY SPECIFICATION FOR INDUSTRIAL FLUIDIZED BED
                         BOILER FOR USE IN PETROLEUM REFINERY BOILER SERVICE


Boiler shall be designed in accordance with ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, Section 1, and
with additional local and state requirements as applicable.

Continuous steam generation rate, Ibs/hr                                     250,000
   (Maximum Continuous Rating, MCR)

Peak steam generation rate, Ibs/hr                                           275,000
   (110% of MCR, peak capacity for 1 hour in 24)

Steam pressure at superheater outlet, psig                                       650

                                                                                    (1)
Steam Temperature at Superheater Outlet, °F                                      750
   (at continuous steam generation rate)

Feedwater temperature from water treating unit, °F                               240

Continuous blowdown rate, percent of feedwater rate                        To be reported, based
                                                                           on Boiler Feed Water composition.

Maximum solids carryover in steam, wppm                                            1
   (at drum outlet with 2000 ppm Total Dissolved Solids in drum)

Turndown ratio                                                                    4:1
  Boiler shall be capable of smooth, safe operation
  with reasonable efficiency at 25% of MCR, and at
  any higher rate up to 110% of MCR (peak capacity)

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                                         TABLE  2-7  (continued)
                          (2)
Desired speed of response
  Boiler and control system shall be capable of moving smoothly and under
  continuous control from 30% of MCR to 100% of MCR in a period of
  20 minutes (maximum).

Thermal efficiency (based on HHV of fuel, at MCR)

Base fuel fired

Sorbent

Alternate fuel fired

Design range for ratio of coal to refinery gas, %• of heat release

Startup fuel
Design availability
  Boiler shall be designed for continuous runs of one year duration.
  Scheduled annual outage for inspection and maintenance
  Unscheduled outage

Maximum emission of contaminants  in flue gas at boiler exit, Ibs/M Btu fired
  Sulfur Dioxide
  Nitrogen Oxides  (as  N02)

Maximum effective  noise level
82% (minimum)

Illinois No. 6  Coal

Grove Limestone

Refinery Gas  ^

100/0 to 0/100

Refinery Gas or No. 2
  Fuel Oil

92% (minimum)

3% (maximum)
5% (maximum)
1.2
0.7

per OSHA limits
                                                                                                                    4>
                                                                                                                    Ul

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                                         TABLE 2-7 (continued)


Safety                                                           Safety valves  shall  be  provided  in
                                                                 accordance with ASME Boiler  and
                                                                 and  Pressure Vessel  Code,  Section 1.

                                                                 Emergency response controls  shall be
                                                                 included  for loss of steam pressure,
                                                                 loss of drum level,  loss  of  feed water,
                                                                 loss of fluidization air,  loss • of ID
                                                                 fan, and  high  bed temperature.   Provision
                                                                 shall also be  made to prevent injection
                                                                 of coal feed on startup until bed is
                                                                 preheated to safe ignition temperature.
                                                                                                                 ON
                                                                                                                 I
Notes:  (1) 650 psig and 750°F are typical design conditions for current industrial boilers.   Future
            conditions are likely to be more severe (e.g.  900 psig,  900°F,  or even higher).

        (2) Initial single FBC boilers added to an existing system will probably be base loaded, so
            this desired response will not become critical until entire boiler systems are comprised
            of FBC boilers.

        (3) Alternate liquid fuels (e.g. No. 2, No. 4,  and No. 6 fuel oils  and/or high viscosity
            residual stocks) may also be specified.  Typical refinery gas composition is:

                           Hydrogen               62 vol.%         C4's        2
                           Methane                14               Water       1
                           Ethane and Ethylene    12               Nitrogen    4
                           Propane and Propylene   4               CC>2       	1
                                                                    Total    100 vol.%

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                                 - 47 -
                     3.  MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES
          This section begins defining what is meant by "manufacturing
industries" for the purposes of the study.  Some industries use a great
deal of fuel while others do not.  Four industry groups (Chemicals,
Primary Metals, Petroleum Refining, Paper) account for about two thirds of
the purchased, commercial fuels used by manufacturing industry.  In general,
the industries that have the highest total fuel consumption also use the
largest amounts of boiler fuel, but there are exceptions.  These points are
discussed, first, in relation to fuel data collected for the 1972 Census of
Manufactures  (1) and, then, in more detail, by reference to survey data obtained
by the Federal Energy Administration in 1975.  These statistics are used as
background for consideration of how boiler fuel demand may develop in the
future.

3.1  Standard Industrial Classification

          The Standard Industrial Classification system of the Bureau of the
Census (U.S. Department of Commerce) recognizes twenty-one manufacturing
industries in terms of 2-digit SIC codes  (19 through 39).  There is further
subdivision to take account of different operations within a given industry.
The subdivisions comprise 450 4-digit SIC codes.  The current level of fuel
consumption and the nature of the pertinent manufacturing operation indicates
that about 30 of the 450 4-digit categories may offer a potential to coal-
fired FBC.  Most of these prospects are concentrated in the broader (2-digit)
groupings of  the chemicals, paper, petroleum refining, primary metals and food
industries.

3.2  1972 Census of Manufactures

          The most recent comprehensive data for energy consumption by the
manufacturing industries are for 1971, and are published in the 1972 Census
of Manufactures (1), (2).  These data have the advantage of providing a
detailed breakdown by SIC code of fuel purchased by each industry.  However,
the data have several disadvantages:

           (1) by now, they are somewhat out of date.
           (2) they deal with purchased fuels, but not with the
              by-product fuels that are utilized to a significant
              degree by some industries.
           (3) they do not distinguish between fuels consumed in
              boilers and in a variety of other equipment such as
              process heaters and kilns.

          In  spite of these shortcomings, the Census data in Table 3-1 show
that a small number of industries is responsible for most of the consumption
of purchased fuels.  Primary Metals (SIC 33), Petroleum Refining  (SIC 29) and
the Paper Industires (SIC 26) account for most of the by-product fuels that
are used captively but are not included in the Census data.  Inclusion of
by-product fuels would further increase the fraction of total fuel consumption
attributable to the most energy-consuming industries.

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                                                   TABLE 3-1
                                  PURCHASES OF FUEL BY INDUSTRY  GROUP  IN  1971
Rank

  1
  2
  3
  4
  5
  6
  7
  8
  9
 10
 11
 12
 13
 14

 15
 16
 17
 18
 19
 20
SIC
Code

 28
 33
 29
 26
 32
 20
 37
 35
 34
 22
 24
 36
 30
19/39

 27
 38
 25
 23
 31
 21
Description of Industry Group
Chemicals and Allied Products
Primary Metal Industries
Petroleum Refining and Related Industries
Paper and Allied Products
Stone, Clay, Glass and Concrete Products
Food and Kindred Products
Transportation Equipment
Machinery, except Electrical
Fabricated Metal Products
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood Products, except Furniture
Electrical Machinery, Equipment, and Supplies
Rubber and Miscellaneous Plastic Products
Ordnance and Accessories/Miscellaneous
Manufactures
Printing, Publishing and Allied Industries
Instruments and Related Products
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel and Other Finished Products
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures
All Manufacturing Industries
Billion
BTU's
2421
2018
1500
1188
1186
905
294
289
281
276
195
192
174

83
71
55
48
47
28
16
11270
% of Total
Purchased Fuel
21.5
17.9
13.3
10.6
10.5
8.0
2.6
2.6
2.5
2.5
1.7
1.7
1.6

0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
100.
Cumulative
    %

   21.5
   39.4
   52.7
   63.3
   73.8
   81.8
   84.4
   87.0
   89.5
   92.0
   93.7
   95.4
   97.0

   97.7
   98.3
   98.8
   99.2
   99.6
   99.9
  100.
co
 i

-------
                                    - 49 -
 3.3  Fuel Consumption of  Large Industrial Boilers in 1974

          In  1975,  the Federal Energy Administration conducted a survey of
 all Major Fuel  Burning Installations in the U.S.  An MFBI is an installation
 that has, or  is,  a  fossil-fuel fired boiler, burner or combustor with a
 design firing rate  of 100 million BTU's per hour or greater.  The precise
 definition  of MFBI  and other pertinent information, such as the purpose of
 the survey, are given in  Chart 1.  FEA's Office of Fuel Utilization has
 provided data from  this survey and from a related Natural Gas Task Force
 (NGTF) survey for use in  this study.  All of the data apply to industrial
 boilers having  a designed heat input capability of 100 million BTU/H or more.
 In 1974, there  were approximately 4,000 of such boilers at 1,600 industrial
 installations in the lower 48 states.
           From Table 3-2, it will be seen that the population of large
 industrial boilers had the following breakdown by size and fuel consumption:
   Size Range
   106 BTU/H
     > 500
     > 350
     > 250
     > 200
                % of Number
             of Large Boilers
                    5.0
                   13.2
                   26.5
                   38.6
              of  1974  Fuel  Consumption
               of  Large  Boilers	

                     16.8
                     32.9
                     51.6
                     64.0
           The average consumption of commercial fuels (coal, oil, natural gas)
 of the entire population of large industrial boilers was 1.0 trillion BTU per
 boiler in 1974.  Total fuel consumption was somewhat higher because "other"
 fuels, such as black liqudtr, coke oven gas, and bagasse are excluded from
 the computation.   The reported total consumption of commercial fuels (coal,
 oil, natural gas) was 4 quads* or 166 million tons of coal equivalent.   In
 fact, 76% of the fuel consumption was in the form of oil (mostly residual
 fuel) and natural gas.

           Similar data are available with a further breakdown by SIC Code,
 as follows:
 sie
 Code
  20
  26
  28
  29
  32

  33
  34
  35
  49
      Industry
1012 BTU in 1974
Food
Paper
Chemicals
Petroleum Refining
Stone, Clay, Glass,
Concrete
Primary Metals
Fabricated Metal Products
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services**
Other Industries
SIC Code not specified
       193
       593
       926
       587

        19
       443
        61
        50
        99
       681
       362
( 45)
(633)
                                           4014(3912)
Average per Boiler
 1Q12 BTU in 1974

      0.62
      1.07
      1.14
      1.61

      0.51
      1.16
      0.60
      0.49
      0.93
      0.80
      1.23
      1.00
 *one quad = 1015 BTU
**except electricity generation

-------
                                                       CHART  1
                                                                                 -  50  -
                                       FEDERAL ENERGY ADMINISTRATION
                                                 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20-161
                                                                                              APPROVED BY GAO
                                                                                              Jt-1X1251 (57502^)
                                                                                              EXPIRES 6-30-75
                              [THISi~KEPOHT IS MANDATORY  UNDER P.L. 93-275
          MAJOR  FUEL BURNING  INSTALLATION  COAL  CONVERSION REPORT
                                                       FKA C-602-S-0
                                                     INSTRUCTIONS
!.  I'liHPOSK
  Form FEA C-602-S-0 is a request for information from "major
fuel binning installations" to aid FEA in carrying out its respon-
sibilities under the Energy Supply and Environmental Coordination
Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-319).  (A major fuel burning installation will
be referred to in this form  as "MFB1".) The  survey is  designed
to obtain  data required by FEA  to  examine  the  feasibility and
effect of issuing orders to specified major fuel burning installations
prohibiting them from burning oil or natural gas as their primary
energy source.

If.  WHO  SHOULD SUBMIT
  Form FEA C-602-S-0  must  be submitted by every MFB1.
MFBI is defined on'page 3 of this form. The  form may be filled
out by a responsible official at either the installation or, if appli-
cable, the parent organization.

III.  TO WHOM
  Two copies of the Form FEA C-602-S-0 must be filed with:

  Federal Energy Administration
  ATTN:  OFU/CRB Room 6117
  Washington, D.C. 20461

IV.  WHEN
  Form FEA C-602-S-0 must be submitted cm or before May 21.
 1975.

V.  GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS
  This report is mandatory, and is being required pursuant to the
authorities granted to FEA by the Federal Energy Administration
 Act of 1974 (P.L. 93-275).
  A single Section 1 shall  be filed for each facility, even if it is
comprised of more than one combustor of fuel. Sections  II and
III shall be filed for each separate combustor with an individual
capacity of 100 million Btu's/hr or greater.
  Fill in the combustor number and installation name at the top
of each applicable page in  order to facilitate handling should the
 pages be inadvertently separated in mailing.
   For all questions which can be answered by a "Yes" or "No",
 "1" (for "Yes") or "0" (for "No") shall be entered in the appropriate
 block unless otherwise stated.
   A blank page has been provided at the end of this questionnaire
 to  permit  comments to be continued  where inadequate space is
 provided on the form.

 VI.   SPECIFIC  INSTRUCTIONS
 Section I
 Item No.
   4, 5
Limit responses to (he number of blocks provided, using
standard abbreviations where appropriate.
Air Quality Control Region: As designated by the Envi-
ronmental Protection Agency. Do not fill in the line  if
the AQCR is unknown.
Includes  all  boilers arid other combustprs regardless of
design firing rate. If there are more than 99 in either of
these categories insert the number 99.
Place  the 4-digit  primary  Standard  Industrial  Classi-
        fication Code (SIC) in the  first column anil the percent
        of ioiu! sii;p;;-;iiits c;  sei'viCvi (by va'ue) :r> the second.
        Three entries are available for multi-commodity installa-
        tions. If it is possible to enter more than three SIC entries,
        list the three with the highest percentage of total ship-
        ments. If the SIC is unknown, describe the products or
        services on the line provided.

Section  II
Item No.
    I    Assign each combustor a two-digit identification number
        if it dues not alieauy have CHIC.
   7a   Fill in the blank with 1, 2, or 3.
   19b  The term "rank" of coal refers to anthracite, bituminous,
        sub-bituminous, or lignite.
   19g  The term "other unique characteristics" refers to % mois-
        ture, hardness, fusion, temperature, and all other applicable
        coal parameters which must be maintained to insure proper
        operation of the combustor.
 21, 22 Fill in the estimated "average" Btu content.

Section  IH
Item No.
    I    Assign each stack a one-digit identification number.
   3b   The "% Availability" refers  to the percentage of time
        the FGD equipment is available for operation (regardless
        wheiher or not it is actually operated).
 4c, d & If it would be necessary to either install FGD  or obtain
  5c, d  conforming coal, please complete both item (c),  assuming
        FGD is used, and item (d), assuming conforming coal is
        used.

VII. DEFINITIONS
   I. "Major Fuel Burning Installation". An installation or unit
other than a powerplant that has or is a fossil-fuel fired boiler,
burner, or  other combustor of fuel, or an;' combination thereof
at a single site, that has individually or in combination, a design
firing rate of 100 million BTU's per  hour or greater, and includes
any person who owns, leases, operates, controls or  supervises, any
such  installation  or unit.  Gas turbines  and combined  cycle  or
internal combustion engines are excluded from this classification.
   2. "Powerplant".  A  fossil-fuel fired steam  electric generating
unit that produces electric power for  purposes of sale or exchange,
and includes any person who owns, leases, operates, controls or
supervises any such unit.
   3. "Total Designed Firing Rate". The sum total of all design
firing rates of all  combusting devices  located  at  the facility.
expressed as [(A)x 10" Btu/hr].
   4. "Combustor". An individual fossil-fuel boiler, burner, or other
combustor of fuel.
   5. "Combustor Capacity". The design firing rate  of a combustor
expressed as [(A) x 10" Btu/hrj.
   6. "Topping Turbine". This refers to  either steam driven electric
generating  sets or gas turbine  electric  generatini; sets associated
with a process steam generating boiler.
   7. "Primary Energy Source". That amount of fuel used for all
purposes except for the minimum amounts required for start-up,
testing, flame  stabilization, control uses, and  fuel  preparation.

-------
                                                   TABLE 3-2

                    1974 CAPACITY AND FUEL CONSUMPTION PROFILES OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS

Size Range
of Boiler
106 BTU/H
1000+
900-999
800-899
700-799
600-699
500-599
450-499
400-449
350-399
300-349
250-299
200-249
150-199
100-149



Units
20
5
17
31
47
77
71
98
152
191
327
473
917
1487

Number of Boilers
% of
Total
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.8
1.2
2.0
1.8
2.5
3.9
4.9
8.4
12.1
23.4
38.0



%
0.5
0.6
1.0
1.8
3.0
5.0
6.8
9.3
13.2
18.1
26.5
38.6
62.0
100.

1974

1012 BTU
110
14.4
64.3
105
142
227
160
213
263
310
428
493
651
111

Fuel Consumption*
% of
Total
2.8
0.4
1.6
2.7
3.6
5.7
4.0
5.4
6.7
7.9
10.8
12.4
16.4
19.6



%
2.8
3.2
4.8
7.5
11.1
16.8
20.8
26.2
32.9
40.8
51.6
64.0
80.4
100.
Av. -Fuel
Consumption
Per Boiler
1Q12 BTU
5.50
2.88
3.78
3.38
3.06
2.95
2.25
2.18
1.73
1.62
1.31
1.04
0.71
0.52
                                                                                                                        I-1
                                                                                                                        i
                3913
100.
3960
100.
1.01
*Coal, oil and natural gas; excludes "other" fuels such as black liquor, bagasse, coke oven gas, etc.

 Note:  Data for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands are included.


Source:  FEA, MFBI Survey, Report No. 22.

-------
                                     - 52 -
          The numbers in parentheses in the above table are our corrections
of the raw FEA data to take account of nine very large boilers, believed to
be electric utility boilers, that appear to have been included in the industrial
boiler statistics.  After making this correction, and also prorating the "SIC
Code not specified" data to the specified categories, the following breakdown
was estimated for 1974:

Sic                            % of Total Fuel Consumed       Approx. Utilization
Code   	Industry	     by Large Industrial Boilers   of Boiler  Capacity, I

  28    Chemicals                         26.2                         66
  26    Paper                             16.7                         47
  29    Petroleum  Refining                16.5                         66
  33    Primary Metals                    12.4                         46
  20    Food                               5.4                         40
  34    Fabricated Metal Products          1.7                         32
  35    Machinery, except Electrical       1.4                         43
  49    Utility Services                   1.3                         28
  32    Stone, Clay, Glass,  Concrete       0.6                         32
       Other Industrial                  17.8                         53
                                        100.                          54_

          The relatively high boiler capacity utilization reported for the
chemicals and petroleum refining industries is in line with prior expectations.

          An estimated breakdown of the 17.8% of boiler fuel consumption
attributed to "Other Industries" is given in Table 3-3.  The estimate is
based on disaggregation of purchased fuels data from the 1972 Census of
Manufactures.*

          Data obtained in FEA's Natural Gas Task Force survey were used to
derive the estimates of 1974 fuel consumption by large industrial boilers that
are reported in Table 3-4.  These estimates give a breakdown both by fuel type
and SIC Code.  The figures listed in parentheses in the final column are those
obtained from the MFBI survey.  It will be seen that the differences between
the two sets of survey data are not large, and that the largest discrepancy
is in the "other  SIC's" category.  Although the two surveys corroborate each
other, it is believed that the MFBI survey data are somewhat more accurate and
complete.  However, the Natural Gas Task Force survey provides some information
that is not available from the MFBI Survey.  Pooling of the survey data yielded
the maximum  information.

          The Natural Gas Task Force survey provides a breakdown by the regions
listed in Table 3-5.  The regional statistics may be disaggregated further by
using the number  of large industrial boilers reported in the MFBI survey as a
multiplier.  The  number of large boilers in each state may be expressed as a
percentage of the regional total.  These percentages are shown in column  (A)
of Table 3-6.  In addition, the state boiler totals may be expressed as a
percentage of the national total, as shown in column (B).  However, for the
purpose of disaggregation of other statistics from a regional to a state basis
only the percentages in column (A) are needed.
 *Since more recent survey data were not made available by FEA's Office  of  Fuel
  Utilization.

-------
                       - 53 -


                      TABLE 3-3

   ESTIMATED BREAKDOWN OF PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL FUEL
CONSUMED BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS ATTRIBUTABLE TO
                 "OTHER INDUSTRIES"
SIC
Code
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21

Industry
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood Products
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics Products
Ordnance/Miscellan eous Manufacturing
Printing and Publishing
Instruments and Related Products
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel and Other Textiles
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures
% of Total Fuel Consumed
by Large Industrial Boilers in 1974
3.5
3.3
2.3
2.3
2.1
1.0
0.9
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
                                                17.8

-------
                                              TABLE 3-4
1974 FUEL CONSUMPTION BY TYPE AND
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/332
333/339
Other SICs
Total

Coal
46
136
234
13.5
1.4
236
1.0
298
966
1974
Res id
27
221
111
75
11
8
9
287
749
Fuel Consumption
Distillate
8
6
12
nil
negl.
2
nil
39
67
By Large Boilers,
Nat. Gas
106
206
596
493
7
50
74
286
1818
BY SIC CODE
1012 BTU
Other
1
89
27
20
1.4
100
14
35
288

Total
188
658
980
602
21
396
98
945
3888
                                                                                         % of
                                                                                         Total
                                                                                                                  Ln
                                                                                                                  -P-
                                                                                        100
Notes:  (1) Fuel consumption in Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands is excluded
        (2) Fuel consumption of large boilers for which no SIC Code was reported has been
            prorated to other SIC Codes.
        (3) Figures in parentheses are estimated based on MFBI survey data.
Source:  Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                             TABLE 3-5
                           REGIONAL BASIS OF NATURAL GAS TASK FORCE DATA
Region
No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Description
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S.W.
Pacific N.W.
Pacific
Territories
                                        States and Territories Included in Region
                                        Conn., Me., Mass., N.H., R.I., Vt.
                                        Del., D.C., Ky., Md., N.J., N.Y., Ohio, Penna., Va., W. Va;
                                        Ala., Fla., Ga., N.C., S.C., Tenn.
                                        111., Ind., Mich., Wis.
                                        Iowa, Minn., Neb., N.D., S.D.
                                        Kan., Mo., Okla.
                                        Ark., La., Miss., Tex.
                                        Col., Mont., Utah, Wyo.
                                        Ariz., Ca., Nev., N.M.
                                        Ida., Ore., Wash.
                                        Alaska, Hawaii
                                        Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands
National Totals
Lower 48
Regions 1-12
Regions 1 - 10, i.e. National Totals Minus (Regions 11 & 12)

-------
                                - 56 -
                               TABLE 3-6

       NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY STATE AND FRACTION
                    OF REGIONAL AND LOWER 48 TOTALS
New England
Conn.
Me.
Mass.
N.H.
R.I.
Vt.
Appalachian
Del.
B.C.
Ky.
Md.
N.J.
N.Y.
Ohio
Pa.
Va.
W. Va.
Southeast
Ala.
Fla.
Ga.
N.C.
s.c.
Tenn.
Great Lakes
111.
Ind.
Mich.
Wis.
No.
54
39
45
13
3
nil
134
14
19
61
55
135
160
270
231
124
82
1151
89
89
81
122
93
124
598
201
166
227
89
683
(A)
25.4
29.1
33.6
9.7
2.2
nil
100.
1.
1.
5.
4.
11.
13.
23.
20.
10.
7.
100.
14.
14.
13.
20.
15.
20.
100.
29.
24.
33.
13.
100.

2
7
3
8
7
9
4
1
8
1

9
9
5
4
6
7

4
3
3
0

00...
0.82
0.95
1.09
0.32
0.07
nil
3
0
0
1
1
3
3
6
5
3
1
27
2
2
1
2
2
3
14
4
4
5
2
16
.25
.34
.46
.48
.33
.28
.88
.55
.60
.01
.99
.92
.16
.16
.97
.96
.26
.01
.51
.88
.03
.51
.16
.57
Northern Plains
Iowa
Minn.
Neb.
N.D.
S.D.
Midcontinent
Kan.
Mo.
Okla.
Gulf Coast
Ark.
La. .
Miss.
Tex.
Rocky Mountains
Col.
Mont.
Utah
Wyo.
Pacific S.W.
Ariz.
Ca.
Nev.
N.M.
No.
42
44
10
4
7
107
32
42
42
116
48
267
44
513
872
63
15
16
29
123
6
161
6
8
181

(A)
39.3
41.2
9.3
3.7
6.5
100.
27.
36.
36.
100.
5.
30.
5.
58.
100.
51.
12.
13.
23.
100.
3.
89.
3.
4.
100.


6
2
2

5
6
0
9

2
2
0
6

3
0
3
4


(B)
1.
1.
0.
0.
0.
2.
0.
1.
1.
2.
1.
6.
1.
12.
21.
1.
0.
0.
0.
2.
0.
3.
0.
0.
4.

02
07
24
10
17
60
78
02
02
82
16
48
07
45
15
53
36
39
70
98
15
91
15
19
39

Notes:  No. = Number of Large Industrial Boilers
        (A) = % of Regional Total
        (B) = % of Lower 48 States Total
        Source:  FEA MFBI Survey

-------
                                 -  57  -
                         TABLE 3-6  (continued)
Pacific N.W.
               No.
Ida.
Ore.
Wash.

17
31
109
157
10.8
19.8
57.4
100.
0.41
0.75
2.64
3.81
Pacific

  Alaska
  Hawaii
                46
                12.
                58
                            Extra Continental  No.  (A)  (B)
                                               Pacific
                                               Territories
                                             National  Total
                                                58
                                                16.
                                                74
                                              4196

                            Extra Continental   74
                              Lower 48        4122
Territories

  Puerto Rico
  Virgin Is.
13
_^
16
                            REGIONAL SUMMARY
    Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S.W;
Pacific N.W.
           No. of  Large  Boilers

                    134
                   1151
                    598
                    683
                    107
                    116
                    872
                    123
                    181
                    157
                                                       % of Lower 48  Total

                                                              3.25
                                                             27.92
                                                             14.51
                                                             16.57
                                                               ,60
                                                               .82
 2.
 2.
21.15
   98
   39
                                                              2.
                                                              4.
                                                              3.81
Notes:  No. =  Number  of  Large Industrial Boilers
        (A) =  %  of  Regional Total
        (B) =  %  of  Lower 48 States Total
Source:  FEA MFBI  Survey

-------
                                   -  58  -
          Fuel  consumption, by  SIC Code, was obtained  on a regional basis
 in  the NGTF  survey.   Similar  statistics  for boiler  capacity were also
 obtained.  The  overall results  are reported in  Tables  3-7,  3-8,  and 3-9 on
 a percentage basis.   Estimates  of the absolute  levels  of fuel consumption by
 large industrial boilers,  state by state,  could be  calculated from the
 regional  totals using the  percentages in column (A)  of Table 3-6 as a
 multiplier.*

          FEA's survey data for 1974, which are presented in detail in
 Appendix  4,  form  the  basis from which projections of future industrial
 boiler  fuel  consumption were  made.   The  methods of  projection and the
 quantitative estimates are discussed in  Section 4.

 3.4  Discussion of Future  Options

           In 1974, the large  industrial  boilers, as a  group, used approximately
 2.9 quads of oil  and  gas,  with  gas accounting for two  thirds of  this quantity.
 If  coal were to be used wherever petroleum was  used in 1974, the theoretical
 annual  saving of  oil  and gas  would be the  above 2.9 quads.   However, the
 operators of the  boilers reported  to the FEA that only about 0.65 quads could
 have been saved by converting to coal.   The explanation is that  many companies
 responding to the MFBI survey took the position that most of their oil or
 gas fired boilers cannot be converted to coal-firing.   The implication is that
 the only  way by which the  petroleum  consumption associated with  these boilers
 could be  saved would  be by installation  of new  coal-fired boilers.   The reported
 potential savings of  0.65  quads relates  primarily to reconversion (from oil or
 gas to  coal) of boilers that  were  originally designed  for coal-firing.

           A  boiler originally designed for coal has the physical dimensions
 for reconversion  to coal-firing, without downrating of steam generating
 capacity, even if the boiler  is now  firing oil  or gas.   In contrast, a
 substantial  majority  of boilers originally designed to fire oil  or gas
 would undergo severe  downrating if revamped for coal-firing.** We have been
 advised 'that the  expected  downrating would be in the range of 40% to 70%.
 In  a literal sense, conversion  to  coal would be possible but,  in practice,
 such a  loss  of steam-generating capability would be economically intolerable.
 *FEA's Office of Fuel Utilization has these data on a plant-by-plant basis
  since the information was obtained in the 1975 MFBI survey.   However, this
  and other information is considered to be proprietary by FEA and,  therefore,
  not releasable.  It is not essential to have this level of detail for the
  present study.

**In testimony to the Senate Public Works Committee,  Mr.  William B.  Marx,
  executive director of the American Boiler Manufacturers Association,  stated:
  "Factory assembled package units have been installed by the  thousands during
  the past 20 years and have been almost exclusively engineered for  non-coal
  firing.   In fact, well under ten percent of these units have the capability
  for coal-firing."  Reference 3,  page 1719.

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                                - 59 -
                               TABLE  3-7
REGIONAL FUEL CONSUMPTION IN
Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S.W.
Pacific N.W.
Lower 48 States

LARGE
Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S.W.
Pacific N.W.

Coal
—
43.6
34.3
42.5
35.3
8.9
2.8
29.5
2.0
8.7
24.8

BOILER
Coal
_
34.7
24.1
35.9
30.6
10.4
1.9
31.0
4.5
12.4
21.3
Resid
90.9
32.3
28.7
10.5
4.3
negl.
6.3
21.2
8.4
12.3
19.2
TABLE
CAPACITY:
Resid
86.2
30.8
24.5
12.9
6.0
1.5
6.0
9.9
6.2
11.1
19.0
1974: PERCENTAGE
Distillate
_
0.8
0.7
8.2
2.7
2.2
0.1
1.2
0.7
0.1
1.8
3-8
REGIONAL % BASIS
Distillate
-
2.0
1.5
4.3
6.0
2.0
0.1
2.5
1.1
0.3
1.8
BASIS
Nat. Gas
3.2
16.1
20.4
29.0
54.6
86.9
86.7
47.8
80.7
73.1
46.8


Nat. Gas
3.8
17.8
19.4
30.2
55.2
72.2
80.2
52.9
75.0
50.0
41.4
                                                                     Other

                                                                      5.9
                                                                      7.2
                                                                     15.9
                                                                      9.8
                                                                      3.1
                                                                      2.0
                                                                      4.1
                                                                      0.3
                                                                      8.2
                                                                      5.8

                                                                      7.4
                                                                     Other

                                                                     10.0
                                                                     14.7
                                                                     30.5
                                                                     16.7
                                                                      2.2
                                                                     13.9
                                                                     11.8
                                                                      3.7
                                                                     13.2
                                                                     26.2

                                                                     16.5
Note:  The fuels noted  above are the primary fuels reported in FEA's
       Natural Gas Task Force survey.

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                                 -  60  -
                               TABLE  3-9
COMPARISON OF REGIONAL PERCENTAGES OF LARGE
INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY NUMBER, 1974 FUEL
CONSUMPTION AND BOILER CAPACITY
Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific N.W.
Pacific S.W.
c
/
No.
3.25
27.92
14.51
16.57
2.60
2.82
21.15
2.98
4.39
3.81
I of Lower 48 States
1974 Fuel
2.67
24.32
14.27
15.01
2.00
1.79
31.10
3.21
3.16
2.47
Total By
Capacity
2.85
26.17
16.03
15.98
1.99
2.19
24.98
2.63
3.86
3.32
Note:  Above percentages are derived from statistics reported in FEA's
       Natural Gas Task Force Survey.

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                                    - 61 -
          The MFBI survey revealed  that  40% of  the  large boilers that were
originally designed to fire coal have been converted  to oil- or gas-firing.
Analysis of fuel consumption data suggests that conversions of smaller
boilers has been even more extensive but, as will be  apparent from subsequent
discussion, reconversion of the smaller  boilers to  coal-firing is unlikely.

          Four general inferences may be drawn:

 (1) Boilers that once  fired coal  may  be reconvertible to  coal-firing
    without loss of  steam-generating  capacity.

 (2) Only  the  large boilers  (>100  million BTU/H) in (1) are likely
    candidates for reconversion.*

 (3) The majority of  oil/gas-fired package boilers do not appear to be
    practical candidates  for  conversion to  conventional coal-firing.

 (4) Economic  considerations,  inclusive of the general need to  maintain
    boiler availability,  suggest  that the majority of additional  coal-
    fired boilers will be new (grass-roots)  units,  even though many
    would be  installed at existing manufacturing plants.

          The above  inferences  apply  to  conventional  coal-fired boilers, including
 those with scrubbers or other emission  control  equipment.  The question arises
whether conversions, or reconversions,  to coal-firing might be relatively more
 advantageous  if FBC  technology  were to be utilized.   This  possibility  arises
primarily because the  greater intensity  of heat release in the fluid-bed might
make it possible to  convert a package  oil-fired boiler to  coal-fired FBC with-
 out downrating of the  boiler  steam generation capacity.   Investigation of this
question  reveals that  the actual  dimensions  of  the  package boiler  and  the
 configuration of its internals  are  not well  suited  to substitution  of  a fluid-
bed design.   Nevertheless, rough  estimates have been  made  using the assumption
 that no downrating would  be experienced, i.e. that  conversion would be
practicable from an  operational point  of view.   The rough  estimates indicate
 that the  direct cost of conversion  would be  only slightly  less than the cost
of a new  coal-fired FBC unit.   Part of the explanation for the smallness of
the estimated cost differential lies in  the  fact that the  design and configur-
ation of  the  FB boiler could be optimized in a  new  unit.   Moreover, this
comparison does not take  into account  the economic  penalty that might  have
to be assessed against the conversion approach  to cover potential  loss of
manufacturing capacity while the  conversion was in  progress.  Nor  does it
take account  of the likelihood  that an existing package boiler might have to
be raised in  order to make room beneath  it for  withdrawal  of ash,  etc.

          The conversion  to FBC of  a boiler  that had  once  fired coal,  or
still fires coal,  would seem somewhat easier.   However, the saving in
direct costs  relative to a new FBC  unit  also appears  small.  Moreover,
there is evidence that such industrial boilers  are  beginning to be equipped
with scrubbers.   Hence, by the  time that coal-fired FBC is thoroughly
*Even within this category,  reconversion may not be practicable for a
 variety of reasons, e.g. coal  and  ash handling facilities may have been
 dismantled and space may no longer be available for reinstallation of
 such facilities.

-------
                                -  62 -
demonstrated for industrial use, some of what may now appear as an FBC
potential may have already selected scrubbing as the control technology.
If this inference is correct, a corollary is that the time by which
FBC is fully demonstrated for industrial use will be an important deter-
minant of the market potential of the technology.  Electric utilities
were the first to confront S02 control in commercial coal-burning equipment
in the U.S.  Manufacturing industry, in general, has found an answer to the
problem by using natural gas, low sulfur fuel oil and, in some cases, low
sulfur coal.  To be sure, high sulfur coal has been used too, and it is
precisely the need for bringing such operations into environmental compliance
that, currently, is generating interest in:

          • Scrubbers
          • Low Sulfur Coal

          The market survey, discussed in Section 2.4, revealed that FBC
could be of at least comparable interest once this technology is demonstrated
as being commercially reliable.

          In June, 1974, Congress passed the Energy Supply and Coordination
Act of 1974  (ESECA) (4).  The Act authorized FEA to prohibit certain power
plants and major fuel burning installations from burning oil or gas as a
primary fuel, and to order certain power plants, then in the planning
stage, to be built with coal-burning capability.  ESECA was passed as an
emergency measure (shortly after the Arab oil boycott, and undoubtedly
influenced by it), and conferred only limited powers of short duration on
FEA.  Subsequently, however, proposed legislation was introduced in the
Senate Public Works Committee.  The bill, S.1777, in its 1975 revised
version, was tentatively called the "Natural Gas and Petroleum and Coal
Utilization Act of 1975" (5).  If passed, it would have extended the
coal-use provisions of ESECA.  In fact, certain provisions of ESECA have
already been extended by the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of 1975
(EPCA) (6).

          S.1777, as revised, provides for a phased conversion to coal of
all existing gas and oil-fired boilers of 100 million BTU/H firing rate
or larger.  In the first phase, all new or existing gas-fired boilers
unable to burn coal would be required to convert to oil by 1/1/79 (except
those scheduled to be retired by 1/1/85).

          In the second phase, all new or existing oil-fired boilers
(except those scheduled for retirement by 1/1/90) would be required to
acquire the capability to use coal, and be using it by 1985.

          The revised bill provides FEA with authority to extend deadlines
for oil and coal use under certain conditions:

          • The required fuel is not available.
          • Conversion to coal is not practicable.

-------
                                  - 63 -
          Several conditions could create non-practicability:

          (1) Low capacity factor (less than 3000 hours of
              operation per year)

          (2) Physical and legal factors  (site specific limitations)

          (3) Capital requirements relative to net  current investment

          (4) Reliability of electric service  (in the  case of electric
              utilities)

          (5) Impact on employment and economic  activity, both
              regionally and nationally

          (6) Impact on profitability of  the fuel user due to
              diversion of gas or oil to  others.

          Civil penalties  (fines) are proposed for  illegal use of
oil beyond the deadlines prescribed  for conversion.

          Extensive testimony was received by  the Senate Public Works
Committee prior to its revision  in July 1975  (3).   A substantial majority
of the testimoney was aimed at improving  the practicability of the proposed
legislation by increasing the minimum boiler size to which the legislation
would apply  (from 50 million BTU/H to 100 million BTU/H) and by specifying
criteria for non-practicability  (see above).  However, some witnesses were
opposed to coal-use legislation  per  se.   For example,  Donald G. Allen, Vice
President of New England Electric System  remarked:

          ". . . we suggest that, in general,  it is better policy
          to encourage rather than to force conversion to coal,
          particularly at a time when market forces are already
          bringing about the preferential use  of coal  as boiler
          fuel."

          Naturally, we cannot predict if S.1777 will  be enacted and,
if so, when.  Nor can we predict whether  and what further revisions may
be made before the Senate, as a whole, takes action on the bill.  However,
we believe that the passage of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act in
December 1975 signifies that further Congressional  action is likely, and
that legislation similar to, if  not  identical with, S.1777 will be passed.
Our judgment is that such legislation is more  likely than it is unlikely-
Therefore,  two of the key assumptions made in  connection with estimation of
the most probable potential for  coal-fired FBC are  that S.1777 type legislation
will be enacted, and that this will  occur somewhat  before the reliability of
the coal-fired FBC technology has been fully demonstrated for industrial use.
As discussed later, estimation of the minimum potential may also be related
to S.1777-type legislation via assumptions that  practicability criteria and
deadlines for coal substitution will permit a  greater  usage of petroleum
fuel for a longer time than in the "most  likely" case.

-------
                                    - 64 -
           One of  S.1777's  provisions,  that  was  retained in the revised
 version,  states:

           ".  .  .  by 1/1/79,  any  electric  powerplant  and any major
           industrial installation which utilizes  natural gas or
           petroleum as  its primary  energy source  and has the
           capability to utilize  coal  as its primary  energy source
           (and is not scheduled  for retirement  prior to 1/1/85)
           shall,  to the extent practicable, utilize  coal as its
           primary energy source, in conformance with applicable
           environmental requirements."

 This provision may apply to  boilers reconverted to coal during the next
 few years.  Because of  the 1/1/79 deadline, such  equipment is likely to
 meet environmental requirements  with  either low sulfur  coal or scrubbers.

           We believe that  the stepwise impacts  of legislation similar to
 S.1777 would be reflected  in a stepwise or  incremental  approach to the
 installation of coal-fired boilers  at industrial  plants.   One *of the most
 probable first steps involves reconversion  to coal-firing as discussed
 above.  A parallel step might involve the addition of new coal-fired
 boilers at existing plants and,  in  a  few  cases, as the  complete boiler
 system of a grass-roots plant.   Before 1979,  such additions are not likely
 to incorporate FBC technology except  as demonstration units.   Instead, the
 major commercial alternatives will  be low sulfur  coal with an electrostatic
 precipitator or high sulfur  coal with a scrubber. However, by 1979/80, we
 will assume that FBC technology  has been  commercially demonstrated to be
 reliable, and that individual boilers incorporating  this technology will
 start to be added at existing plants  in the early 1980's.

           There would be advantages for adding  a  new coal-fired FBC boiler
 to an existing plant which already  has several  oil-fired boilers.  Initially,
 the oil-fired boilers could  serve as  a complete backup  system in the event
 that teething problems  were  experienced with operation  of the new coal-fired
 boiler.  Subsequently,  the existence  of an  oil-fired back-up system would
 mean that a large inventory  of coal would not be  needed to protect against
 possible disruptions in coal supply.*  Avoidance  of  a large inventory of coal
 would be a considerable advantage to  plants that  do  not have adequate space
 for the addition of manufacturing units.

           If a coal-fired  FBC boiler  is added at  a major plant in one of the
 process industries, it  is  probable  that the plant will  already have a number
 of oil-fired boilers of varying  age and size.** Thus, normal expansion and
 *Eventually,  we see the need for a more comprehensive coal delivery system
  than exists  at present.   The present system may be adequate in areas where
  coal is used extensively,  but is not adequate in areas such as the Gulf
  Coast where  oil and natural gas are still the predominant industrial boiler
  fuels.

**Most of the  largest petroleum refineries  and chemical plants are the result
  of many years of growth at the same location.  The boiler system at these
  plants will  have grown along with expansion of the manufacturing activities,

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                                  -  65  -
retirements might be expected to provide  the  basis  for progressive addition
of coal-fired boilers.  Such addition might continue until  the entire
installation would be in compliance with  S.1777  by  1990  or, possibly, a
little later if practicability should require it.   In such  plants, once
confidence is gained with the new FBC technology, it might  be expected that
the new coal-fired units would be of at least the same steam-generating
capacity as the package oil-fired boilers that,  otherwise,  would be
installed.  Hence, industrial coal-fired  FBC  units  in the range of 100-400
KPPH should be expected.  Even larger units might be installed through use of
the modular assembly principle that is being  developed for  FBC.

          The size of the target for industrial  use of coal, whether by
legislation or if left to market forces,  may  be  inferred from Tables 3-10
and 3-11.  Purchased electricity and coking coal are excluded from the
estimates of industrial fuel consumption  in 1974.   It will  be seen that:

(1) the split between fuel  consumption by boilers and by other industrial
    combustors was about 54:46.

(2) within the boiler category,  those with a  capacity of 100 million
    BTU/H or more accounted for  two fifths of the boiler fuel consumed
    or one fifth of  total industrial fuel consumption.

(3) oil and gas were responsible for two  thirds  of  the fuel used by
    large industrial boilers, however  this quantity (2.7 quads in
    1974) was only one seventh of  total  industrial  fuel  consumption.

          Thus, the  potential for  coal-fired  FBC in industrial boilers should
be considered, primarily, as a sub-set of coal use  within a population of
large boilers that will be  built after 1980.   Significant as this potential
may be, it can only  be a  fraction  of the  total demand for industrial fuels.

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                                 - 66 -
                               TABLE 3-10
           ESTIMATES OF INDUSTRIAL FUEL CONSUMPTION IN 1974
                               1012 BTU         % of        % of Total
           Coal                in 1974        Subtotal      Ind. Fuel
Large Boilers  (> 100 MBTU/H)      978           63.1           5.2
Smaller Boilers (< 100 MBTU/H)     75            4.8           0.4
Other Large Combustors            462           29.8           2.4
Other Smaller Combustors         	35_            2.3           0-1
                                 1550          100             8.2
           Oil
Large Boilers                     838           22.6           4.4
Smaller Boilers                  1462           39.5           7.7
Other Large Combustors            510           13.8           2.7
Other Smaller Combustors          890           24.1           4.7
                                 3700          100            19.5
           Gas
Large Boilers                    1830           14.5           9.7
Smaller Boilers                  4360           34.6          23.1
Other Large Combustors           1900           15.1          10.1
Other Smaller Combustors         4510           35.8          23.9
                                12600          100            66.7
       Other Fuels
Large Boilers                     311           29.6           1.6
Smaller Boilers                   400           38.1           2.1
Other Large Combustors            149           14.2           0.8
Other Smaller Combustors          190           18.1           l.Q
                                 1050          100             J~6


         All Fuels
Large Boilers                    3957           20.9          20.9
Smaller Boilers                  6297           33.3          33.3
Other Large Combustors           3021           16.0          16.0
Other Smaller Combustors         5625           29.8          29.8
                                18900          TOO100
Notes:  (1) Above estimates exclude purchased electricity and coking coal.
        (2) Estimates for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands
            are included.

Source:  ERE estimates based on FEA, BOM and other data.

-------
                                  -  67  -

                               TABLE 3-11

         ESTIMATES OF 1974 INDUSTRIAL  FUEL CONSUMPTION BY FUEL
         	TYPE, COMBUSTOR TYPE, AND COMBUSTOR  SIZE	
Industrial Boilers

Fuel:
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
           of Subtotal
    Large
(>100 MBTU/H)
     978
     838
    1830
     311
    3957
    38.6
   Smaller
(<100 MBTU/H)

      75
    1462
    4360
     400
    6297
    61.4
All Indust.
  Boilers

   1053
   2300
   6190
    711
                                                              10254
                                                               100
Other Industrial Combustors
Fuel:
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
         % of Subtotal
                              3021
                              34.9
                   Smaller

                      35
                     890
                    4510
                     190
                       _
                    65.1
                     All
                     497
                     1400
                     6410
                     339
                     8646
                     100
Industrial Boilers  and
Other Combustors
Fuel:
Coal
Oil
Gas
Other
         % of  Total
                              36.9
                   Smaller

                     110
                    2352
                    8870
                     590
                                                    11922
                                                    63.1
                      All

                     1550
                     3700
                    12600
                     1050
                    18900
                      100
Notes:   (1) Above estimates exclude purchased electricity and coking coal.
         (2) Industrial fuel consumption in Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico,
            and  Virgin Islands is included.

Source:   ERE  estimates based on FEA, BOM, and other data.

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                                - 68 -
              4.  FUTURE DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL BOILER FUEL


           The future size and structure of the U.S. economy will  be a
 principal determinant of industrial energy demand.  As discussed  in
 Section 3, it is necessary to distinguish between boiler fuel demand and
 fuel used for other purposes (e.g. in process furnaces, cement  kilns,  etc.).
 Projection of the future demand for industrial boiler fuel is a prerequisite
 to estimation of the fraction of this demand that may utilize coal-fired
 FBC.  The first step in the series of necessary projections is  to obtain
 estimates of future manufacturing activity.

 4.1  Basis of Demand Projections

           A joint study by the Office of Business Economics (QBE)  of the
 Department of Commerce and the Economic Research Service (ERS)  of the Department
 of Agriculture was made for the Water Resources Council (WRC)*  and was published
 in seven volumes in April 1974 (1).  The OBERS projections, which extend  to the
 year 2020, involve the concept of Gross Product Originating.**  Knowledge of
 the GPO for each industry in a particular year, and also the fuel consumption
 for each industry in the same year, makes it possible to calculate the average
 fuel consumption per unit of product output on an industry by industry basis.
 *The United States Water Resources Council, an independent Executive Agency
  of the U.S. Government, is composed of the Secretaries of Interior; Agriculture;
  Army; Health, Education, and Welfare; Transportation; Chairman, Federal Power
  Commission; with participation by the Secretaries of Commerce; Housing and
  Urban Development; Administrator, Environmental Protection Agency; Attorney
  General; Director, Office of Management and Budget; Chairman, Council on
  Environmental Quality; and the Chairmen, River Basin Commissions.  Council
  activities encourage the conservation, development and utilization of water
  and related land resources on a comprehensive and coordinated basis by Federal,
  State, local government and private enterprise.


**GPO is defined as follows:

      "Constant dollar GPO is a measure of the volume of real output
      in each industry.   Because of industry variations in the quantity
      and the price of imports used,  each industry has its unique
      implicit deflator for GPO.  In contrast, earnings of persons
      represent factor returns to labor, and the translation of
      earnings into constant dollars is conceptually different from
      the expression of GPO in real terms.  The price change that is
      removed from the current dollar earnings series in :the deflation
      process is the change that has occurred in the purchasing power
      of the dollar rather than the price change per unit of physical
      output.  The purchasing power of the dollar earned in each
      industry is assumed to have changed by the same amount.  Consequently,
      the relationship between constant and current dollar earnings is the
      same in each industry."

-------
                                   - 69 -
 4.2  Quantitative  Projections

           The  starting point for the industrial boiler fuel projections  was
 the  estimated  fuel consumption in 1974.  The breakdown by SIC Code (i.e.  by
 industry)  is given in Table 4-1.  These estimates apply to the population of
 large  industrial boilers (>100 M BTU/H) and are derived from a pooling of data
 collected  in FEA's MFBI and NGTF surveys.

           Next, using the OBERS projections, ratios of future industrial fuel
 consumption by each industry (SIC Code) were calculated relative to the  fuel
 consumption of the industry in 1974 (i.e. 1974 = 1.000 for each industry).
 The  results are shown in Tables 4-2 and 4-3.  The latter takes account of
 energy conservation per unit of manufacturing output anticipated in the  future.
 Multiplication of  the fuel consumption in the 1974 base year (Table 4-1)  by the
 conservation corrected ratios for future years (Table 4-3) yields the estimates
 recorded in Table  4-4.  These estimates, however, do not make provision  for the
 probability that,  progressively, the larger boilers will account for an
 increasing fraction of total industrial boiler fuel demand.  The reported
 statistics indicate that the large boilers were responsible for 38.6% of
 total  industrial boiler fuel consumption in 1974.  By the year 2000, it  is
 assumed that the percentage will be 50%.  This assumption is equivalent  to
 the  following  increments to the projected fuel demand of the large industrial
 boiler population:
                                              % Increase over
           Year                              Table  4-4  Estimate

           1980                                      7.0
           1985                                     12.7
           1990                                     18.4
           1995                                     23.8
           2000                                     29.5

           The  result of incroporating these percentage increases is shown in
 Table  4-5.  As noted, these projections include consumption of by-product
 fuels,  i.e. fuels  other than coal, oil, and natural gas.  With insignificant
 exceptions, by-product fuels are consumed within the plant where they are
 produced and,  therefore, do not represent any potential for substitution by
 coal.

           Using FEA survey data for by-product* ("other") fuel consumption by
 large  boilers  in 1974, and assuming that the ratio of by-product to commercial
 fuel will  not  change in the future, it is possible to convert the projections
 in Table 4-5 to estimates of coal, oil, and natural gas that will be consumed.
 The consequence of "backing out" the by-product fuels is shown in Table  4-6.
 The same estimates are presented in a different format in Table 4-7 for  the


*FEA data  for  the Paper  industry  (SIC  26)  are  appreciably at  variance with
 by-product fuel statistics  supplied by the  American  Paper Institute (see
 Appendix  4, Table 38).   The  basis  of  the  difference  appears  to  be  that
 statistics for the  industry's  "recovery  boilers"  (which recover sodium
 values from black liquor)  are  substantially excluded from the FEA  surveys.
 While  this is  important  to  an  overall  understanding  of  industrial_energy
 consumption,  it does not affect  the projections  discussed above since they
 are  made  on an internally  consistent  basis.

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                                - 70 -
                              TABLE 4-1
     1974 FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIC CODE
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21


Industry
Chemicals and Allied Products
Paper and Allied Products
Petroleum Refining and Related Ind.
Primary Metals Industries
Food and Kindred Products
Fabricated Metal Products
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services*
Stone, Clay, Glass and Concrete Products
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood Products
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics Products
Ordnance/Miscellaneous Manufacturing
Printing and Publishing
Instruments and Related Products
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel and Other Textiles
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures

% of 1974
Total
26.2
16.7
16.5
12.4
5.4
1.7
1.4
1.3
0.6
3.5
3.3
2.3
2.3
2.1
1.0
0.9
0.7
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
100
1012 BTU's
in 1974
1025
653
645
485
211
67
55
51
23
137
130
91
90
82
39
35
27
23
23
12
8
3912
*except electricity generation.
Notes:  (1) Above estimates are based on a pooling of data from MFBI and
            NGTF surveys.

        (2) Data for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands are
            excluded.

        (3) Numbers in lower half of Table are estimated by disaggregation
            of purchased fuel statistics for each SIC Code.

-------

~ 71 -
TABLE 4-2

INDUSTRIAL FUEL CONSUMPTION RATIOS, RELATIVE TO
BASED ON OBERS PROJECTIONS
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21

Industry
Chemicals
Paper
Petroleum Refining
Primary Metals
Food
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Printing and Publishing
Instruments
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures
1974=1.000,
Fuel Consumption Ratios
1980
1.286
1.266
1.164
1.127
1.114
1.324
1.252
1.290
1.290
1.249
1.152
1.224
1.363
1.286
1.324
1.244
1.290
1.224
1.221
1.290
1.290
1985
1.575
1.463
1.343
1.180
1.220
1.534
1.422
1.523
1.523
1.450
1.303
1.396
1.686
1.575
1.534
1.461
1.523
1.396
1.395
1.523
1.523
1990
1.923
1.690
1.540
1.225
1.337
1.774
1.618
1.797
1.797
1.681
1.463
1.592
2.088
1.923
1.774
1.703
1.797
1.592
1.591
1.797
1.797
2000
2.815
2.259
2.018
1.331
1.621
2.375
2.100
2.490
2.490
2.269
1.857
2.078
3.120
2.815
2.375
1.810
2.490
2.078
2.082
2.490
2.490
Note:  Above projections do not  take account of anticipated energy conservation
       per unit of manufacturing output.

-------
                               -  72
                            TABLE 4-3

PROJECTED INDUSTRIAL FUEL CONSUMPTION RATIOS,  RELATIVE TO 1974=1.000,
             MAKING ALLOWANCE FOR ENERGY CONSERVATION
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21
Conservation Corrected Ratios
Industry
Chemicals
Paper
Petroleum Refining
Primary Metals
Food
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Printing and Publishing
Instruments
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures
1980
1.162
1.198
1.080
1.054
1.035
1.246
1.178
1.166
1.166
1.175
1.084
1.151
1.282
1.162
1.246
1.170
1.166
1.151
1.149
1.166
1.166
1985
1.340
1.357
1.202
1.072
1.094
1.407
1.305
1.397
1.397
1.330
1.195
1.281
1.547
1.340
1.407
1.340
1.397
1.281
1.280
1.397
1.397
1990
1.542
1.523
1.322
1.079
1.159
1.588
1.449
1.609
1.609
1.505
1.310
1.425
1.869
1.542
1.588
1.525
1.609
1.425
1.424
1.609
1.609
2000
2.004
1.973
1.588
1.105
1.310
2.021
1.787
2.119
2.119
1.931
1.580
1.769
2.655
2.004
2.021
1.540
2.119
1.769
1.772
2.119
2.119

-------
                        - 73 -

                       TABLE 4-4

PROJECTED FUEL CONSUMPTION  OF  LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
	UNCORRECTED FOR CHANGES IN  SIZE DISTRIBUTION
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21
Boiler Fuel Consumption, 1C
Industry
Chemicals
Paper
Petroleum Refining
Primary Metals
Food
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Printing and Publishing
Instruments
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures
1980
1191
782
697
511
218
83
65
59
27
161
141
105
115
95
49
41
31
26
26
14
9
1985
1374
886
775
520
231
94
72
71
32
182
155
116
139
110
55
47
38
29
29
17
11
1990
1581
995
853
523
245
106
80
82
37
206
170
130
168
126
62
53
43
33
33
19
13
) BTU's
2000
2054
1288
1024
536
276
135
98
108
49
265
205
161
239
164
78
57
57
40
41
25
17
                                       4446
4983
5558
                                                                  6914

-------
                              TABLE  4-5

        PROJECTED FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
       ASSUMING THAT THERE WILL BE A PROGRESSIVE INCREASE IN THE
         FRACTION OF TOTAL INDUSTRIAL BOILER FUEL CONSUMED BY
                     LARGE BOILERS (>100 M BTU/H)
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21

Boiler Fuel Consumption, 1012 BTU's
Industry
Chemicals
Paper
Petroleum Refining
Primary Metals
Food
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Printing and Publishing
Instruments
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures

1980
1274
837
746
547
233
89
69
63
29
172
151
112
123
102
52
44
33
28
28
15
9
4756
1985
1548
999
873
586
260
106
81
80
36
205
175
130
157
124
62
53
43
33
33
19
12
5615
1990
1872
1178
1010
619
290
125
95
97
44
244
201
154
199
149
73
63
51
39
37
22
15
6579
2000
2660
1668
1326
694
357
175
127
140
63
343
265
208
309
212
101
70
74
51
53
32
22
8950
Note:
Above projections include consumption of by-product (i.e. "Other") fuels.

-------
                      -  75  -
                     TABLE 4-6

PROJECTIONS OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION
             OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
SIC
Code
28
26
29
33
20
34
35
49
32
37
22
24
36
30
19/39
27
38
25
23
31
21


Industry
Chemicals
Paper
Petroleum Refining
Primary Metals
Food
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Utility Services
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Transportation Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Lumber and Wood
Electrical Equipment
Rubber and Plastics
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Printing and Publishing
Instruments
Furniture and Fixtures
Apparel
Leather and Leather Products
Tobacco Manufactures

Fuel
1980
1236
720
716
421
227
85
68
62
28
169
149
96
120
99
51
42
33
27
27
15
9
4400
Consumption
1985
1501
859
838
451
257
102
79
78
35
201
173
112
167
120
61
51
42
32
32
19
12
5222
, 1012
1990
1816
1013
970
477
287
120
95
95
43
239
199
132
195
145
71
60
50
37
38
22
14
6118
BTU
2000
2580
1434
1273
534
353
168
124
137
62
336
262
179
303
206
99
67
73
49
51
31
21
8342

-------
                                  TABLE  4-7

PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
                         BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Type of
Code Industry
28
30
29
26
33
20
32

37
36
22
23
34
35
38

49
19/39
24
25
27
31
21

Process
Process
Process
Process
Process
Process
Process

Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.

Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous
Miscellaneous

Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber and Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Subtotal
Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Instruments
Subtotal
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber and Wood
Furniture
Printing and Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures
Subtotal
1980
1236
99
716
720
421
227
28
3447
169
120
149
27
85
68
33
651
62
51
96
27
42
15
9
302
1985
1501
120
838
859
451
257
35
4061
201
167
173
32
102
79
42
796
78
61
112
32
51
19
12
365
1990
1816
145
970
1013
477
287
43
4751
239
195
199
38
120
95
50
936
95
71
132
37
60
22
14
431
1012 BTU'
1995
2165
173
1111
1205
505
318
52
5529
283
243
228
44
142
109
60
1109
114
84
154
43
63
26
17
501
s
2000
2580
206
1273
1434
534
353
62
6442
336
303
262
51
168
124
73
1317
137
99
179
49
67
31
21
583
% of
2000
Total
30
2
15
17
6
4
0
77
4
3
3
0
2
1
0
15
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
7
.9
.4
.3
.2
.4
.2
.7
.2
.0
.6
.1
.6
.0
.5
.9
.8
.6
.2
.2
.6
.8
.4
.2
.0

-------
                                -  77  -
purpose of illustrating that  the  consumption of boiler fuel  by  large industrial
boilers is concentrated in  the  process industries,  as distinguished from general
manufacturing (of equipment,  etc.)  and a variety of other industrial activities
that are labeled "Miscellaneous"  in Table 4-7.

          The estimates in  Table  4-7 are shown in Table 4-8  as  increments over
boiler fuel consumption in  1974.  The final column of this Table  expresses
the increments for each industry  as percentages of the total 1974/2000 increment
estimated for the large industrial  boilers.  These figures indicate the projected
degree of concentration of  incremental demand for coal, oil  and natural gas
in the leading process industries:

                                              %  of Total 1974/2000
	Industry	                     	Increment

Chemicals and Allied Products                          33.6
Rubber and Plastics Products                            2.7
  Subtotal                                             36.3

Petroleum Refining and Related  Ind.                    13.9
Paper and Allied Products                              18.5
  Total                                                68.7

          The projected increment for Primary Metals (SIC 33)  is  only 3.4%,
which appears low.  However,  it is  derived on the same basis as the other
projections, and can  be rationalized in terms of factors such as:

          - relatively slow growth  in primary metals production

          - some shifts in  product  mix, e.g.  a higher ratio  of
            aluminum  to steel

          - anticipated savings in  energy consumption per unit
            of output

          - greater use of  (purchased) electricity in the production
            of primary metals.

Our judgment is that  the  additional boiler fuel potential in Primary Metals is
significant on an absolute  basis  but is far less than in the industries cited
above.  On the other  hand,  we believe that there may be a major potential for
non-boiler applications*  of FBC within the Primary Metals industries.

          The increments  estimated  in Table 4-8 understate the  potential for
new boiler capacity associated  with future levels of boiler  fuel  demand.  This
is because many of the large  boilers that are now in operation  will be retired
by the year 2000.  If oil and natural gas were to remain available a retirement
rate of about 3% per  year could be  expected.   However, a significant switching


*e.g. soaking pits, melting,  reheating, etc.   All such applications are outside
 the scope of the present study.

-------
                                                   TABLE 4-8
                      PROJECTED INCREMENTS IN CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL,  AND NATURAL GAS  BY
                             LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code
28
30
29
26
33
20
32
Type of
Industry
Process
Process
Process
Process
Process
Process
Process
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
Gen. Mfg.
  49  Miscellaneous
19/39 Miscellaneous
  24  Miscellaneous
  25  Miscellaneous
  27  Miscellaneous
  31  Miscellaneous
  21  Miscellaneous
Increment in
Coal, Oil, and Nat
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber and Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete
Subtotal
Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Products
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, except Electrical
Instruments
Subtotal
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber and Wood
Furniture
Printing and Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures
Subtotal
TOTAL
Increment over 1980 Total
1980
242
19
97
158
48
18
5
587
35
32
20
5
21
14
6
133
12
13
18
5
8
3
1
60
780
-
1985
507
40
219
297
78
48
12
1201
67
79
44
10
38
25
15
278
28
23
34
10
17
7
4
123
1602
822
. Gas Over
1990
822
65
351
451
104
78
20
1891
105
107
70
16
56
41
23
418
45
33
54
15
26
10
6
189
2498
1718
1974, 1012 BTU's
1995
1171
93
492
643
132
109
29
2669
149
155
99
22
78
55
33
591
64
46
76
21
29
14
9
259
3519
2739
2000
1586
126
654
872
161
144
39
3582
202
215
133
29
104
70
46
799
87
61
101
27
33
19
13
341
4722
3942
                                                                                                        % of 2000
                                                                                                          Total

                                                                                                          33.6
                                                                                                           2.7
                                                                                                          13.9
                                                                                                          18.5
                                                                                                           3.4
                                                                                                           3.0
                                                                                                           0.8
 75.9

  4.3
  4.6
  2.8
  0.6
  2.2
  1.5
  1.0
 16.9

  1.8
  1.3
  2.1
  0.6
  0.7
  0.4
  Q.3
  7.2

100
--j
c»

-------
                                   - 79 -
to coal by the large boilers  is  expected to accelerate the  rate at which
existing oil/gas-fired capacity  is  retired, particularly in the period after
1980 when some form of coal-use  legislation may be in effect.  This expectation
was examined at (accelerated)  retirement rates of 4% per year  and 5% per year,
using 1980 as a base year.  By definition,  100% of the large boiler capacity
operating in 1980 will be  in  place  in that  year.   In subsequent years, the
boilers operating in 1980  will represent a  declining percentage of the total
capacity of large boilers:

                                         Boilers Operating in 1980 as % of Total
          Assumed                          Boiler  Capacity in Subsequent Years
      Retirement Rate                    1988        1990      1995      2QQO
      4% per year                          67          43         25        11
      5% per year                          63          36         15


          The 5% per year  retirement schedule would be reasonably consistent
with  the present provisions of proposed coal-use legislation (i.e. S.1777 in
its revised form), making  the assumption that the "practicability" criteria
of the  legislation will  permit some large oil/gas-fired boilers to remain in
operation beyond 1995.   In addition, a relatively small number of existing
(large) coal-fired boilers could also be in operation beyond 1995.  For
practical purposes,  the  5% per year retirement schedule would  permit almost
all large industrial boilers  still  operating on oil or gas  in  1980 to be
retired by  the  year  2000.  This  possibility provides a scenario in which the
market  penetration rate  of coal-fired FBC may be considered.

-------
                                 - 80 -
              5.  PROJECTIONS OF COAL-FIRED FBC POTENTIAL
5.1  Basis of Projections

          Projections of the potential for coal-fired FBC industrial  boilers
are made from a base year of 1974, after dividing the industrial boiler
population into:

• industrial boilers with a design firing-rate of more than 99 million
  BTU/H, i.e. MFBl's or "large boilers".

• smaller industrial boilers, i.e. those with a design firing rate of
  less than 99 million BTU/H.

          The 1974 fuel consumption of the large boilers has been discussed
in Section 4.  For subsequent years, the principal options open to these
boilers may be classified in relation to the fuel that they used in 1974
and taking account of the boilers that were originally designed for coal.
     Fuel Used in 1974
          Principal Future Options
(a) "Other"

(b)  Natural Gas
(c) Oil
(d)  Gas or oil-fired,  but
    converted from coal
(e)  Coal
Continue use of by-product fuels

(1) Near term:  continue use of gas if
    available, or substitute oil-firing
(2) Longer term:  consider replacement
    of gas-fired boiler with a new coal-
    fired boiler

(1) Near term:  continue use of oil
(2) Longer term:  consider replacement of
    oil-fired boiler with a new coal-fired
    boiler

Consider re-conversion to coal-firing.  Also
consider "compliance coal"* versus flue gas
desulfurization (FGDS), i.e. the retrofitting
of a flue gas scrubber system.

(1) Near term:  consider compliance coal
    versus FGDS
(2) Longer term:  consider compliance coal
    versus other control technologies, and
    also the combination of compliance coal
    and FBC.
*i.e.  coal that has a sufficiently low sulfur content to meet Federal emission
 standards for new point sources without additional control technology for sulfur
 oxides.

-------
                                    -  81 -
          By 1980, the situation  for  the  large  boilers  is expected to chanse
as follows:                                                               5

(1) Fuel demand relative to 1974  will change:

     - in proportion to projected increases  in  industrial output, but
       corrected for energy conservation  per unit  of output.

     - in relation to projected changes in the  fractions of total output
       supported by large and smaller boilers.

(2) The steam generating capacity of  coal-fired boilers will be equal to
    that in 1974 minus retirements, and plus:

     - additions of capacity at plants using coal  in 1974.
     - reconversions from oil/gas to  coal.

     - additions of coal-fired capacity at plants  using oil/gas in 1974.

     - capacity of coal-fired boilers at  grass-roots plants that did not
       exist in 1974.

          All of the large industrial boilers that fired oil and/or gas in 1974
are considered to be part of the  coal potential, except in areas where coal
logistics are unfavorable.  Where coal is used, the compliance choices by
1980 will be:

    - compliance coal (used in conjunction with an electrostatic precipitator)

    - FGDS

    - nominal use of FBC, e.g. in demonstration units.

          Clearly, the coal-fired FBC potential is a sub-set of coal utilization
by all large industrial boilers.   The level  of  coal utilization by industrial
MFBI's is assumed to be driven by S.1777-type legislation.*  Different assumptions
are used to derive maximum, most  probable, and  minimum  estimates of coal-fired FBC
potential.  The principal assumptions relate to:

(1) the split between (a) compliance  coal, and  (b) non-compliance coal used
    with control technology.
(2) the rate of market penetration of FBC technology after being demonstrated
    to be commercially reliable.
(3) local deviations from Federal emission standards, particularly the
    standards for new point sources.
*S.1777 refers to the proposed  "National Petroleum and Natural Gas Conservation
 and Coal Substitution Act", see Reference  (5),  Section 3.

-------
                                  - 82 -
          The consumption of fuel by industrial boilers in the year 2000 is
conceptualized in the following diagrams (not to scale):
             TOTAL  FUEL CONSUMPTION OF INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
           Smaller  Boilers
Large Boilers
              FUEL CONSUMPTION OF  LARGE  INDUSTRIAL  BOILERS

"Other"
Fuels
Oil
or
Gas
Coal
Non-FBC
Technology
FBC
Technology
          The AB segment in the lower diagram represents the consumption of
by-product fuels such as bagasse and bark.  Utilization of such fuels will
continue, and they will not be displaced by coal-fired FBC even though their
combustion in fluidized beds is a possibility.

          The BC segment represents the anticipation that coal use will be
impractical in some large industrial boilers for logistical or other reasons.
The CD segment represents coal use by any technology other than FBC.  In the
main, the non-FBC "technology" is expected to be compliance coal although, not
necessarily, untreated low sulfur coal.  While outside the scope of the present
study, it seems likely that coal cleaning technology will develop significantly
during the next two decades so as to augment the availability of compliance coal.
For the purposes of the present study, it does not make any difference whether
synthetic fuels* are considered to be within the BC or CD elements.  The critical
boundary is fixed by the position of D.  In this study, D has three locations
within the segment CE which correspond to the estimates of maximum, most probable,
and minimum potentials for coal-fired FBC.  If the three locations of D are
denoted D max., D prob. and D min., then:
          • the segment D max. E represents the maximum potential
          • the (alternative) segment D prob. E represents the most probable
            potential
          • the (alternative) segment D min. E represents the minimum potential
            for coal-fired FBC.
*that may be derived from coal and/or oil shale, and may be liquids or gases.

-------
 5.2 Modification  of  Basis

          Some  important new information was provided by ERDA early in September
 1976.  This subsection summarizes the nature and original source of the informa-
 tion, and also  its  implications.

          The contract became effective on 6/27/75, and most of the basic  cost
 estimates were  made  in September  1975.  These estimates related to the "state
 of the art" of  atmospheric FBC technology as we appraised it in August/Sept ember
 1975.  During the past year (i.e. September 1975/1976), industrial FBC boiler
 technology has  been  developing.   One way in which this has become apparent
 is through the  proposals received by ERDA from a number of contractors in
 response to ERDA's  Program Opportunity Notice program for FBC developments.
 These proposals have contained cost estimates for industrial FBC boilers which
 are confidential  and,  hence, not  available to us.  We were informed that the
 estimates were  numerically lower  than those we had made in September 1975, but
 we could not utilize the information because we did not know either the details
 of the estimates  or  the bases upon which they were made.  However, in September
 1976, ERDA was  able  to provide us with sufficient detail and quantification to
 make possible the recalculation of various coal-fired boiler comparisons.  The
 immediate results of these recalculations were that:

 (1) for high sulfur  coal,  a boiler system using FBC technology was indicated
    to be lower in  cost than a system incorporating flue gas desulfurization
    (i.e. scrubbers).
 (2) for low sulfur  (compliance)  coal, a boiler system using FBC technology was
    indicated to  be  a standoff in cost with a conventional spreader-stoker
    system (not incorporating flue gas desulfurization because of the sulfur
    compliance  quality of  the coal).

          The first  of these results did not affect previously made estimates
 of FBC potential  because we had  already judged FBC to be a more attractive
 technology than scrubbing, even  though the previous cost estimates were a
 stand-off.  This  judgment  was based on a number of potential advantages of
 FBC that were not "captured" in  the cost estimates.

          The second result, however, introduces significantly new and different
 considerations.   Because of the potential advantages of FBC, a cost standoff
 with a conventional  spreader-stoker suggests that FBC could be the preferred
 technology for  burning compliance coals (as well as high sulfur coals).  Thus,
 a possible implication is  that FBC may be the preferred industrial boiler
 technology for  all coals.   Essentially, this implication,  in the form of an
 assumption, was used to generate  estimates of the maximum potential for coal-
 fired, industrial FBC  boilers.  However, estimates of the most probable potential
 were less optimistic with  respect to  domination of the large industrial boiler
 market by FBC technology where compliance coal is the fuel of choice.   Therefore,
 consequent upon the  cost estimates provided by ERDA in September 1976, it  has
 been necessary  to make a significant  upward revision of the estimates_ot most
 probable potential.   In making this change, we have retained the previously
made assumption of a somewhat  slower  rate of market penetration in the most

-------
                                    - 84 -
 probable case that for the maximum case.   Also, as detailed later, we did not
 assume that all compliance coal used in industrial boilers would eventually
 be burned using FBC technology.

 5.3  Regional Applicability

           The regional applicability of coal-fired FBC is estimated in Table 5-1.
 For the estimate of maximum potential, the New England region is excluded on the
 basis of logistics and because electric utilities in this area are projecting a
 percentage decrease in their future use of coal (1).  Exclusion of New England
 reduces the potential for coal-fired FBC in the Lower 48 states by 2.76%.
 Additionally, it is assumed that half of the potential in four other regions
 (Northern Plains, Rocky Mountain, Pacific Northwest, and Pacific Southwest)
 will not be secured by coal-fired FBC because these regions will either have
 access to compliance coal* produced in the West or, in the case of certain
 areas (e.g. Los Angeles county) will avoid the use of coal for environmental
 reasons.  The combined effect of the assumptions used to exclude part or all
 of the potential in the above five regions is to reduce the overall potential
 for coal-fired FBC by 8.4%.

           For the most probable case, additional regional exclusions are assumed
 as indicated in the center portion of Table 5-1.  The single most significant
 increment over the exclusions assumed for the maximum case concerns the potential
 of the Gulf Coast region.  The assumption is based on:


 (1) anticipated availability of local lignites many of which will not be
     "compliance coals".

 (2) anticipated need to begin a shift to coal-firing before FBC technology
     is fully demonstrated.

           In total, the regional assumptions in the most probable case reduce
 the overall potential by about 26%.

           Similar but more severe regional limitations are assumed in order to
 estimate the minimum potential for coal-fired FBC.  Details are shown in the
 bottom section of Table 5-1, and it is estimated that regional constraints would
 reduce the national potential by 52% in the minimum case.
 *see Table 3-5 for identification of FEA regions.
**taking the discussion in Section 5.2 into consideration.

-------
                                - 85 -
                               TABLE 5-1
         ESTIMATES OF REGIONAL APPLICABILITY OF COAL-FIRED FBC
• Maximum Potential


  Regions Partially or Wholly
    Excluded from Potential

          New England
          Northern Plains
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
Fraction      Exclusion as % of Total
Excluded    Potential  in Lower 48 States*

   1.0                  2.76
   0.5                  1.00
   0.5                  1.46
   0.5                  1.76
   0.5                  1.45
                        8.43
• Most Probable Potential

          New England
          D.C., Md., N.J., N.Y.
          Northern  Plains
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
          Gulf Coast
   0.25
  ,76
  ,09
  ,40
  ,04
  .45
  .03
  .01
• Minimum Potential
          New England
          D.C., Md., N.J., N.Y.
          Pennsylvania
          Northern Plains
          Oklahoma
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
          Gulf Coast
   0.25
   1.0
 2.76
 8.09
 1.27
 2.00
 0.72
                           92
                           51
                           89
28.04
52.20
* Based on 1974 fuel consumption and  capacity percentages reported in Table  3-9.

See Table  3-5  for identification  of FEA regions.

-------
Coal-Fired
Maximum
0.02
0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52
FBC Potential,
Most Likely
0.01
0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
10 BTU
Minimum
nil
0.075
0.29
0.54
1.00
                                  - 86 -
5.4  Maximum, Most Probable, and Minimum Potentials

          The above regional factors are combined with factors estimated for
market penetration and functional applicability in order to derive the combined
factors shown in Table 5-2.  Multiplication of the total fossil fuel demand
estimated for large industrial boilers by the pertinent combined factor yields
the estimate of the coal-fired FBC potential (in 1015 BTU's per year) for a
given year and for each of the cases.  The results are summarized below:
          Year

          1980
          1985
          1990
          1995
          2000

5.5  Additional Applications of Coal-Fired FBC

          The above estimates do not include possible increments to the overall
potential for coal-fired FBC at industrial MFBl's due to:

(1) a reversal of the long term decline trend in the captive generation
    of electricity.
(2) applications of coal-fired FBC to new industries.

          Currently, the captive generation of electricity at manufacturing
plants is equivalent to slightly less than 9% of the energy purchased by the
plants.  The corresponding figure for 1950 was 18%.  The reasons for the steady
decline in captive generation of electricity are that, in general, it has been
cheaper for manufacturing plants to purchase electricity from electric utilities
and also that manufacturing industry has preferred to invest its capital in
production facilities rather than in supporting services.  While the latter
condition still applies, the constant dollar cost of electricity has reversed
its long-term downtrend.  Moreover, rate structures are being revised in ways
that are less favorable to the purchase of large blocs of power by industrial
customers.  Finally, captive generation of electricity is energy-efficient at
plants which have a large requirement for process steam and, hence, are able
to generate "by-product" electricity through the simple expedient of generating
steam at a higher pressure than required for process applications.  Letting down
the steam pressure through a turbo-generator enables "by-product" electricity to
be generated with only a small increment in fuel consumption over what would be
required if no electricity were generated.  By the same token, the incremental
coal-fired FBC potential is relatively small when estimated in terms of fuel
consumption.  As a sensitivity, it is assumed that a reversal to the downtrend
in captive generation of electricity will occur in 1977 and, thereafter, there
will be a cumulative increase of 1% per year in the percentage of electricity
generated captively relatively to the energy purchased by manufacturing plants.
The assumption of 1% per year applies to the maximum case.  The corresponding

-------
                                - 85 -
                               TABLE 5-1
         ESTIMATES OF REGIONAL APPLICABILITY OF COAL-FIRED FBC
* Maximum Potential

  Regions Partially or Wholly
    Excluded from Potential

          New England
          Northern Plains
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
Fraction      Exclusion as % of Total
Excluded    Potential  in Lower 48 States*
   1.0                  2.76
   0.5                  1.00
   0.5                  1.46
   0.5                  1.76
   0.5                  1.45
                        8.43
• Most Probable Potential

          New England
          B.C., Md., N.J., N.Y.
          Northern Plains
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
          Gulf Coast
   0.25
                          76
                          09
                          40
                          04
                          45
                          03
                          01
• Minimum Potential
          New England
          D.C., Md.,  N.J.,  N.Y.
          Pennsylvania
          Northern Plains
          Oklahoma
          Rocky Mountain
          Pacific Northwest
          Pacific Southwest
          Gulf Coast
     .0
     .0
   0.25
   1.0
* Based on  1974  fuel  consumption and  capacity  percentages reported in Table  3-9.

 See Table 3-5 for identification of FEA regions.

-------
Maximum
0.02
0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52
Most Likely
0.01
0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
Minimum
nil
0.075
0.29
0.54
1.00
                                  - 86 -
5.4  Maximum, Most Probable, and Minimum Potentials

          The above regional factors are combined with factors estimated for
market penetration and functional applicability in order to derive the combined
factors shown in Table 5-2.  Multiplication of the total fossil fuel demand
estimated for large industrial boilers by the pertinent combined factor yields
the estimate of the coal-fired FBC potential (in 1015 BTU's per year) for a
given year and for each of the cases.  The results are summarized below:

                            Coal-Fired FBC Potential.  1Q15  BTU

          Year
          1980
          1985
          1990
          1995
          2000

5.5  Additional Applications of Coal-Fired FBC

          The above estimates do not include possible increments to the overall
potential for coal-fired FBC at industrial MFBI's due to:

(1) a reversal of the long term decline trend in the captive generation
    of electricity.
(2) applications of coal-fired FBC to new industries.

          Currently, the captive generation of electricity at manufacturing
plants is equivalent to slightly less than 9% of the energy purchased by the
plants.  The corresponding figure for 1950 was 18%.   The reasons for the steady
decline in captive generation of electricity are that, in general,  it has been
cheaper for manufacturing plants to purchase electricity from electric utilities
and also that manufacturing industry has preferred to  invest its capital in
production facilities rather than in supporting services.  While the latter
condition still applies, the constant dollar cost of electricity has reversed
its long-term downtrend.  Moreover, rate structures are being revised in ways
that are less favorable to the purchase of large blocs of power by industrial
customers.  Finally, captive generation of electricity is energy-efficient at
plants which have a large requirement for process steam and, hence, are able
to generate "by-product" electricity through the simple expedient of generating
steam at a higher pressure than required for process applications.   Letting down
the steam pressure through a turbo-generator enables "by-product" electricity to
be generated with only a small increment in fuel consumption over what would be
required if no electricity were generated.  By the same token, the incremental
coal-fired FBC potential is relatively small when estimated in terms of fuel
consumption.   As a sensitivity, it is assumed that a reversal to the downtrend
in captive generation of electricity will occur in 1977 and, thereafter, there
will be a cumulative increase of 1% per year in the percentage of electricity
generated captively relatively to the energy purchased by manufacturing plants.
The assumption of 1% per year applies to the maximum case.   The corresponding

-------
                                               TABLE 5-2

                          ESTIMATES  OF NATIONAL POTENTIAL FOR COAL-FIRED FBC
• Maximum Potential
Year
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
• Most
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Total Fossil Fuel for
Large Boilers, 1015 BTU*
4.40
5.22
6.12
7.14
8.34
Probable Potential
4.40
5.22
6.12
7.14
8.34
• Minimum Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4.40
5.22
6.12
7.14
8.34
                                     Regional   Applicability   Penetration
                                     Factor**       Factor         Factor
                                        0.92
                                        0.92
                                        0.92
                                        0.92
                                        0.92
                                        0.48
                                        0.48
                                        0.48
                                        0.48
                                        0.48
                         0.50
                         0.65
                         0.70
                         0.75
                         0.80
0. 74
0. 74
0. 74
0. 74
0. 74
0.30
0.50
0.55
0.58
0.60
                         nil
                         0.3
                         0.4
                         0.45
                         0.5
0.01
0.2
0.5
0.65
0.9
0.01
0.15
0.4
0.55
0.8
nil
0.1
0.25
0...35
0.5
Combined
 Factor

 0.0046
 0.1196
 0.322
 0.449
 0.662
                                                                                0.0022
                                                                                0.0556
                                                                                0.162
                                                                                0-236
                                                                                0.356
 nil
 0.0144
 0.048
 0.076
 0.120
Coal-Fired
FBC Potential
1015 BTU i i
0.02
0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52

0.01
0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
nil
0.075
0.294
0.543
1.00
>




% of Max.
Potential
-
47
50
53
54
nil
12
15
17
18
                                                                                         CO
                                                                                         •-J
 *From Table 4-6
**From Table 5-1
Regional Factor x Applicability Factor  x Penetration Factor
Total Fossil Fuel for Large Boilers x Combined  Factor

-------
                                   - 88  -
assumptions for the most likely and minimum cases are 0.5% per year and 0.2%
per year respectively.  Estimates based on these assumptions are shown in
Table 5-3.  Also included are estimates derived from the assumption that coal-
fired FBC technology may be applicable to:

(1) the generation of process steam at synthetic fuels plants.

(2) the utilization of by-product coal fractions, e.g. fines, from coal
    beneficiation plants.

          It is further assumed that, only nominal applications will be in
operation in 1985, but that growth may be quite rapid post-1990.

          The final columns of Table 5-3 combine the estimates of coal-fired
FBC potential in existing manufacturing applications with the additional
potentials estimated as "sensitivities" in relation to higher levels of
captive generation of electricity and novel applications of coal-fired FBC.

          The estimates discussed above are presented in a different form in
Table 5-4.  In each case, the maximum, most probable, and minimum coal-fired
FBC potentials are presented as percentages of the estimated total fossil fuel
demand of large industrial boilers.  This is done excluding, and also including,
the "sensitivities" relating to higher levels of captive generation of electricity
and novel applications of coal-fired FBC.  The following percentages are estimated
for the most probable case:

                                    % of Total Fossil Fuel Demand
                          	of Large Industrial Boilers	
               Year       Excluding Sensitivities    Including Sensitivities

               1980                 0.2                        0.2
               1985                 5,5                        6
               1990                16                         20
               1995                24                         30
               2000                36                         42
5.6  Boiler Fuel Demand Where FBC is Not Applicable

          If the above estimates are of the right order of magnitude, two
important questions arise:

(1) What fuels will be used in industrial  boilers with a design firing-rate
    of less than 99 million BTU/H?

(2) What fuels will be used in the large industrial boilers that do not
    employ coal-fired FBC technology?

          The first of these questions is outside the scope of the present
study.  Nevertheless, it may be inferred that (a) there will be a contingency
demand for oil and gas as industrial fuels, whether these fuels are petroleum-
derived or "synthetic", and (b) that some manufacturing operations may stop

-------
                                             TABLE 5-3

             ESTIMATES  OF  POSSIBLE ADDITIONS  TO NATIONAL POTENTIAL FOR COAL-FIRED FBC
     ATTRIBUTABLE  TO HIGHER LEVEL OF CAPTIVE GENERATION OF ELECTRICITY AND NEW APPLICATIONS
• Maximum Potential

Year
1980

1985
1990
1995
2000

• Most
1980

1985
1990
1995
2000

Higher Level of _
Captive Elect., 10 BTU
nominal

0.06
0.24
0.84
1.80

Likely Potential
nominal

0.03
0.12
0.42
0.90

New
Applications, 1015 BTU
nil

nominal
0.42
1.02
1.92


nil

nominal
0.28
0.68
1.30

Subtotal
1015 BTU
nominal

0.06
0.66
1.86
3.72


nominal

0.03
0.40
1.10
2.20
Table 5-2
Potential
1015 BTU
0.02

0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52


0.01

0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
Combined
Potential
10 BTU
0.02

0.68
2.63
5.06
9.24


0.01

0.32
1.39
2,79
5.17
Comb. Pot.
in 106
B/D O.E.*
0.009 (9,000
B/D)
0.32
1.24
2.38
4.3
i
G
^-
0.005 (4,500 '
B/D)
0.15
0.65
1.31
2.4
• Minimum Potential
1980
1985

1990
1995
2000
nil
0.012

0.048
0.168
0.360
nil
nominal

0.084
0.204
0.384
nil
0.012

0.132
0.372
0.744
nil
0.075

0.294
0.543
1.00
nil
0.087

0.43
0.91
1.74
nil
0.04 (40,000
B/D)
0.20
0.43
0.82
*10   BTU per year  =  0.47 x  10  barrels of oil equivalent  per  day.

-------
                                                TABLE 5-4
               ESTIMATES OF COAL-FIRED FBC POTENTIAL AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL FOSSIL FUEL
                                CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
• Excluding
Higher Level of
Total Fossil Fuel
Year Large Boilers, 1Q15
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
• Including
4.40
5.22
6.12
7.14
8.34
Higher Level of
Total Fossil Fuel
Year Large Boilers, 1Q15
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
4.40
5.29
6.84
9.16
12.38
Captive Generation
for Maximum FBC
BTU* 1015 BTU
0.02
0.62
1.97
3.20
5.52
Captive Generation
for Maximum FBC
BTU** 1015 BTU
0.02
0.68
2.63
5.06
9.24
of Electricity
and Novel
Potential i Most Prob.
% of Total
0.5
12
32
45
66
of Electricity
1Q15 BTU
0.01
0.29
0.99
1.69
2.97
and Novel
Potential Most Prob.
% of Total
0.5
13
38
55
75
1015 BTU
0.01
0.32
1.39
2.79
5.17
Applications
Potential -j5
% of Total
0.2
5.5
16
24
3'6
Applications
FBC Potential
% of Total
0.2
6
20
30
42
                                                                                        Minimum FBC Potential
lO1^ BTU
nil
0.075
0.294
0.543
1.000
% of Total
nil
1.4
5
8
12
                                                                                         Minimum  FBC  Potential
                                                                                        1015 BTU    %  of  Total
o
I
nil
0.087
0.43
0.91
1.74
nil
1.6
6
10
14
 ftfrom Table 4-6 or 5-2
**including increment due to electricity generation etc.
 «5from Table 5-2

-------
                                    - 91 -
 generating their own steam and,  instead, may purchase steam from electric
 utilities or central steam-generating plants or may substitute purchased
 electricity in processes  that  now use steam.

           The second question  is at the boundary of the present study
 Various answers seem possible.   Indeed, the most likely outcome is a
 combination of conventional use  of compliance coal, coal-in-oil slurries  non-
 compliance coal with control technologies such as FGDS, solvent refined '
 coal or other forms of  cleaned solid coal, and also the continuing use of
 oil and gas in some plants.  Moreover, as in the case of smaller manufacturing
 plants, some MFBI's may be able  to purchase steam from central plants and/or
 substitute electricity  for steam in some processes.

           The suggestions of (a) higher levels of captive generation of
 electricity, and (b) substitution of electricity for steam may appear
 mutually incompatible.  However, it is believed that each can  occur, although
 in different types of manufacturing operation.  The former is  believed best
 suited to an activity that requires large quantities of process steam and
 relatively smaller amounts of  electricity, as in petroleum refining (or
 synfuels manufacture) and segments of the chemicals industry.   The latter
 seems compatible with manufacturing operations that require a  relatively high
 ratio of electricity to steam.

 5.7  Regionalization of Coal-fired FBC Potential

           The future consumption of fossil fuels by large industrial boilers is
 projected on a regional basis  in Tables 5-5 through 5-14.   The regionalization
 is based on the data presented in Section 3 and the quantification accords with
 the national aggregates of boiler fuel consumption projected in Section 4.

           The estimates of coal-fired FBC potential discussed  in Section 5.4
 are disaggregated to a  regional  basis using the estimates of regional partici-
 pation in Table 5-1 and the estimates of nationwide potential  given in Table 5-2.
 The results are shown in  Table 5-15.   Sensitivities that consider a higher level
 of captive generation of  electricity and novel applications of coal-fired FBC
 are not included in Table 5-15**-  No regionalized estimates of potential are
 made for 1980 since the national aggregates are expected to be minimal at that
 time.   It should be noted that the estimates in Table 5-15 are in trillions of
 BTU's  not quads (1015 BTU),  and  also that the boiler system in a "small" MFBI
 might  consume slightly  less  than one trillion BTU's per year.   Hence,  some of
 the smaller figures in  Table 5-15  represent operations  of a practical size.
 Nevertheless,  it must be  pointed out that the precision of the individual^
 estimates is very low.  The  estimates are intended only as semi-quantitative
 indications of where the  potential for coal-fired FBC may develop on a regional
 basis.   These estimates,  used  in conjunction with those for the total fossil
 fuel demand of large industrial  boilers in Tables 5-6 through  5-14, provide a
 basis  for conceptualizing which  industries within each  region  offer the best
 prospects for  coal-fired  FBC.

 *See Table 3-5 for identification of FEA regions.
**If these sensitivities are desired on a regional basis, approximate estimates
  may be made by proration using  the estimates in Table  5-4.

-------
                                                TABLE 5-5
                PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF  COAL,  OIL,  AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                      BOILERS IN NEW ENGLAND REGION,  BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
 SIC
 Code

  28
  30
  29
  26
  33
  20
  32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
11
ir
n
if
it
n

General
Manufacturing
ii
n
n
n
it
Miscellaneous
n
n
n
n
M
n


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
17
5
-
32
5
4
5
~6~5~
9
6
8
2
5
4
2
3
3
5
1
2
1
1
52
117
1985
21
6
—
38
6
4
6
-TT
11
9
9
2
6
4
2
4
3
6
2
3
1
1
T2~~
139
1990
25
7
—
45
6
5
6
~8T~
12
10
11
2
6
5
3
5
4
7
2
3
1
1
~TT
163
1012 BTU's
1995
30
9
—
53
7
5
7
137^
14
13
12
2
8
6
3
6
5
8
2
3
1
1
•"84-
191
2000
36
10
—
63
7
6
7
I2F~
15
15
14
3
9
7
4
7
5
9
3
4
1
1
~ToT~
223
                                                                                                                   (S3

                                                                                                                    I

-------
                                              TABLE 5-6
               PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE  INDUSTRIAL
                     BOILERS  IN APPALACHIAN REGION, BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code

 28
 30
 29
 26
 33
 20
 32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
ti
Tl
11
II
II
II

General
Manufacturing
ii
n
ir
n
11
Miscellaneous
it
it
n
n
ii
ii


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
308
25
97
139
190
34
21
814
46
32
40
7
23
18
9
17
14
26
7
11
4
2
256
1070
1985
374
30
113
166
204
38
26
951
55
46
47
9
28
22
12
21
17
31
9
14
5
3
319
1270
1990
452
36
131
195
216
43
32
1105
67
55
55
10
34
27
14
27
20
37
10
17
6
4
383
1488
, 1012 BTU
1995
539
43
150
233
228
47
38
1278
81
70
65
12
40
31
17
32
24
44
12
18
7
5
458
1736
fs
2000
642
51
172
277
250
53
45
1490
95
86
74
14
48
35
21
39
28
51
14
19
9
6
539
2029

-------
                                                TABLE  5-7
                PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF  COAL,  OIL,  AND  NATURAL GAS  BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                       BOILERS IN SOUTHEAST REGION,  BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY  TYPE
 SIC
 Code

  28
  30
  29
  26
  33
  20
  32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
n
it
it
n
M
II

General
Manufacturing
I!
II
n
n
1!
Miscellaneous
it
ti
n
it
n
ti


Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures


1980
218
17
-
258
8
12
-
513
20
15
18
3
10
8
4
8
6
12
3
5
2
1
~TT5
Coal, Oil,
1985
264
21
-
308
9
13
-
615
23
18
19
4
11
9
5
9
7
13
3
6
2
1
TIU
Natural Gas ,
1990
320
26
-
363
9
15
-
733
25
20
20
4
12
10
5
10
7
14
4
6
2
1
"140"
1012 BTU's
1995
381
30
-
431
10
17
-
869
26
23
21
4
13
10
6
11
8
14
4
6
2
2
"T5TT

2000
454
36
-
513
10
18
-
1031
28
25
22
4
14
10
6
12
8
15
4
6
3
2
~159
                                                                                                                    I
                                                                                                                   VD
                            Total
628
745
873
1019
                                                                                                       1190

-------
                                              TABLE  5-8
               PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                     BOILERS  IN GREAT  LAKES  REGION, BY  SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code

 28
 30
 29
 26
 33
 20
 32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
11
it
11
it
n
11

General
Manuf a c tur ing
n
11
ii
n
n
Miscellaneous
n
n
ii
11
M
n


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prod's.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
57
5
100
60
152
43
5
422
43
30
37
7
21
17
8
15
13
24
7
10
4
2
238
660
1985
69
6
116
72
163
49
6
481
53
44
45
8
27
21
11
20
16
29
8
13
5
3
303
784
1990
84
7
135
85
172
54
7
544
66
54
54
10
33
26
14
26
19
36
10
16
6
4
374
918
, 1012 BTU's
1995
100
8
154
101
182
60
9
614
81
70
65
12
40
31
17
32
24
44
12
18
7
5
458
1072
2000
120
9
177
120
194
67
10
697
98
89
77
15
49
36
21
40
29
52
14
20
9
6
555
1252

-------
                                                TABLE 5-9
                PROJECTED  CONSUMPTION OF COAL,  OIL,  AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                    BOILERS IN NORTHERN PLAINS REGION, BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
 SIC
 Code

  28
  30
  29
  26
  33
  20
  32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry; Industry
Process Chemicals
" Rubber & Plastics
" Petroleum Refining
" Paper
" Primary Metals
" Food
" Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

General Transportation Equipment
Manufacturing Electrical Equipment
" Textile Mill Prods.
" Apparel
" Fabricated Metals
" Machinery, ex. Elect.
" Instruments
Miscellaneous Utility Services
" Ordnance/Miscellaneous
" Lumber & Wood
" Furniture
" Printing & Publishing
" Leather
" Tobacco Manufactures

Total
Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
1980
2
-
4
19
30
—
55
6
4
5
1
3
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
negl
33
88
1985
3
-
5
22
34
—
64
7
6
6
1
3
3
1
3
2
4
1
2
1
negl
40
104
1990
4
—
6
26
39
—
75
8
7
7
1
4
3
2
3
3
5
1
2
1
negl
47
122
1012 BTU's
1995
4
—
7
31
43
—
85
10
8
8
2
5
4
2
4
3
6
2
2
1
1
"58-
143
2000
5
—
8
37
47
^
97
12
11
10
2
6
4
3
5
4
7
2
2
1
1
— 7TT
167
                                                                                                                    CTv

                                                                                                                     I

-------
                                              TABLE  5-10
               PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL  GAS  BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                     BOILERS  IN MIDCONTINENT  REGION,  BY SIC  CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code

 28
 30
 29
 26
 33
 20
 32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
11
1!
ii
IT
ii
11

General
Manufacturing
11
11
H
11
11
Miscellaneous
n
ii
n
M
n
n


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
16
1
33
11
1
8
-
~TQ~
2
1
1
negl
1
1
negl
1
1
1
negl
negl
negl
negl
9
79
1985
20
1
38
12
1
10
-
82
2
2
2
negl
1
1
negl
1
1
1
negl
1
negl
negl
11
93
1990
25
2
43
13
1
12
-
96
2
2
2
negl
1
1
1
1
1
1
negl
1
negl
negl
14
110
1012 BTU
1995
30
2
50
14
1
13
-
mT~
3
3
2
negl
2
1
1
1
1
2
negl
1
negl
negl
~T3
128
's
2000
35
3
55
16
1
16
—
TI5~
4
4
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
negl
negl
TS~
149
                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                   vD

-------
                                                TABLE 5-11

                PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF  COAL,  OIL,  AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                       BOILERS IN GULF COAST REGION,  BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
 SIC
 Code

  28
  30
  29
  26
  33
  20
  32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
it
1!
II
II
II
II

General
Manufacturing
ii
ii
it
ii
ii
Miscellaneous
ii
M
ii
ii
ir
M


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
577
46
395
130
23
24
—
1195
31
22
27
5
15
12
6
11
9
17
5
8
3
2
173
1368
1985
702
56
463
155
24
27
—
1427
34
29
30
5
17
14
7
13
10
19
5
9
3
2
197
1624
1990
848
68
535
182
26
30
—
1689
37
31
31
6
19
15
8
15
11
21
6
9
3
2
214
1903
1012 BTU'
1995
1010
70
613
217
27
34
—
1980
42
36
34
7
21
16
9
17
13
23
6
9
4
3
240
2220
s
2000
1205
96
703
258
29
38
~"
2329
47
42
37
7
24
17
10
19
14
25
7
9
4
3
2l)5
2594
00
I

-------
                               TABLE 5-12

PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
     BOILERS  IN ROCKY MOUNTAIN REGION, BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code
28
30
29
26
33
20
32

37
36
22
23
34
35
38
49
19/39
24
25
27
31
21


Type of
Industry
Process
11
(i
11
11
11
11

General
Manuf ac tur ing
!1
It
It
11
11
Miscellaneous
ti
Tl
II
U
11
11

-
Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
25
2
5
2
26
20
-
80
11
8
9
2
5
4
2
4
3
6
2
3
1
1
61
141
1985
31
2
6
3
28
23
-
93
13
11
11
2
7
5
3
5
4
7
2
3
1
1
75
168
1990
38
3
8
3
31
26
-
109
16
12
13
2
8
6
3
6
5
8
2
4
1
1
87
196
1 ?
10 BTU
1995
46
3
10
4
34
29
—
126
18
16
14
3
9
7
4
7
5
10
3
4
2
1
103
229
's
2000
56
4
14
4
37
32
—
147
22
19
17
3
11
8
5
9
6
11
3
4
2
1
121
268
                                                                                                  VO
                                                                                                  VO

-------
                                                TABLE  5-13
                PROJECTED  CONSUMPTION OF  COAL,  OIL,  AND  NATURAL  GAS  BY  LARGE  INDUSTRIAL
                   BOILERS IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION,  BY SIC  CODE AND  INDUSTRY TYPE
 SIC
 Code

  28
  30
  29
  26
  33
  20
  32
  37
  36
  22
  23
  34
  35
  38
  49
19/39
  24
  25
  27
  31
  21
Type of
Industry
Process
I!
II
1!
ir
11
ii

General
Manufacturing
ii
ii
ii
it
ii
Miscellaneous
ii
it
ii
ii
ii
ii


Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

Total
1980
1
negl
8
55
-
18
-
82
5
3
4
1
2
2
1
2
1
3
1
1
negl
negl
26
108
1985
2
negl
9
65
-
20
-
96
5
5
5
1
3
2
1
2
2
3
1
1
1
negl
32
128
1990
2
negl
11
77
—
23
-
113
7
5
5
1
3
3
1
3
2
4
1
2
1
negl
38
151
1012 BTU's
1995
2
negl
13
92
—
25
-
132
8
7
6
1
4
3
2
3
2
4
1
2
1
negl
~^T
176
2000
3
negl
14
109
—
28
-
154
9
8
7
1
4
3
2
4
3
5
1
2
1
1
5T~
205
                                                                                                                   o
                                                                                                                   o

-------
                               TABLE  5-14
PROJECTED CONSUMPTION OF COAL, OIL, AND  NATURAL GAS BY LARGE INDUSTRIAL
   BOILERS  IN PACIFIC  SOUTHWEST REGION, BY SIC CODE AND INDUSTRY TYPE
SIC
Code
28
30
29
26
33
20
32

37
36
22
23
34
35
38
49
19/39
24
25
27
31
21

Type of
Industry
Process
11
11
11
it
n
ii

General
Manufacturing
u
M
II
11
11
Miscellaneous
n
n
n
M
11
IT

Coal, Oil, Natural Gas,
Industry
Chemicals
Rubber & Plastics
Petroleum Refining
Paper
Primary Metals
Food
Stone, Clay, Glass, Concrete

Transportation Equipment
Electrical Equipment
Textile Mill Prods.
Apparel
Fabricated Metals
Machinery, ex. Elect.
Instruments
Utility Services
Ordnance/Miscellaneous
Lumber & Wood
Furniture
Printing & Publishing
Leather
Tobacco Manufactures

1980
12
1
54
11
15
23
1
117
4
3
3
1
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
negl
negl
22
1985
15
1
64
13
16
26
1
136
5
4
4
1
3
2
1
2
2
3
1
1
negl
negl
29
1990
20
1
76
15
17
29
2
160
6
5
5
1
3
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
negl
negl
33
1012 BTU's
1995
24
2
90
18
18
32
2
~W
7
6
6
1
3
3
1
3
2
4
1
2
1
negl
4~0"
2000
28
2
107
20
20'
35
2
216
8
8
7
1
4
3
2
4
2
4
1
2
1
1
5B"
                                                                                                     I

                                                                                                    !-•
                                                                                                    O
                                                                                                    H>

                                                                                                     I
             Total
139
165
193
226
264-

-------
                                 - 102 -
                               TABLE  5-15
          REGIONALIZED  ESTIMATES OF COAL-FIRED FBC  POTENTIAL
• Maximum Potential


New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Mid-Continent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific Northwest
Pacific Southwest
                                             1012 BTU  of  Coal
1985
171
103
105
7
13
189
10
12
10
620
1990
543
326
334
21
43
603
31
38
31
1970
1995
882
529
542
35
69
981
51
61
50
3200
2000
1522
913
934
60
120
1691
88
105
87
5520
* Most Probable Potential

Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Mid-Continent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific Northwest
Pacific Southwest
                                     68
                                     59
                                     61
                                      2
                                      8
                                     82
                                      3
                                      4
                                      3
                                    290
229
202
207
  8
 27
280
 12
 13
 12
990
          686
          606
          621
           24
           80
          840
           36
           41
         _^6_
         2970
* Minimum Potential

Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Mid-Continent
                                     25
                                     24
                                     24
                                     _2
                                     75
 98
 93
 96
	8
294
181
172
176
 14
543
 332
 317
 324
	27
1000
See Table 3-5 for identification of regions listed above.

Note:  A "small" MFBI, having two coal-fired FBC boilers of 100 M BTU/H
       capacity, operated at an average annual loading of 50%, would consume
       2 x 100 x 106 x 8760 x 0.5 = 876 x 10$ BTU's per year, i.e. slightly
       less than one trillion BTU's per year.

-------
                                 - 103 -


                           6.   ENERGY IMPACTS


6.1  Impact on National Energy Consumption

          A consistent  application of the assumptions made elsewhere in this
study leads to the  conclusion that coal-firing of large industrial boilers
using FBC technology  will have an insignificant impact on national energy
consumption in aggregate.  The simplistic explanation is that the aggregate
will not be affected  greatly by:

(1) the technology  by which solid coal is fired in boilers

(2) whether coal  or oil is used as boiler fuel, as long as the pertinent
    fuel is available.

          These points  will be discussed separately.  The first is relatively
straightforward,  while  the second involves exceedingly complex issues.  The
first point may be  explained by considering a hypothetical base case in which
all large industrial  boilers are fired with solid coal without the use of any
control technology.  An alternative to the base case would be to have some, or
all, of the boilers equipped with flue gas scrubbers.  This would increase coal
consumption marginally  for the same level of steam output because the scrubbing
operation consumes  some energy.  This is an important practical consideration
for electric utility  boilers, particularly in the case of retrofitting, because
some loss of generating capacity occurs when a scrubber is installed.  For
industrial boilers, however,  the long term effect would be small because the
capacity loss could be  offset by new capacity added during plant expansions.
Nominally, energy consumption would be higher, but even this is not a certainty
since the boiler  efficiency loss might be offset by savings of transportation
energy in cases where locally available high sulfur coal was substituted
(hypothetically)  for  compliance coal obtained from a distant location.  Addition-
ally, new boilers could be designed to give slightly higher thermal efficiency
than the average  of the existing boiler population.

          If atmospheric FBC technology were to be used instead of FGDS, the
net effect on coal  consumption would be almost zero.  There is a possibility
of marginally higher  combustion efficiency with FBC but this would be offset
by the differential in  transportation energy associated with a larger quantity
of sorbent required for FBC versus FGDS.   The overriding consideration is that
industrial boiler fuel  demand is set by a given level of manufacturing activity
not by the technology by which the industrial boiler fuel is combusted.

          For point (2), the  overriding considerations are (a) the future
availabilities of coal  and oil, and (b)  the nature of the oil:  whether it
domestically refined  from domestic crude oil, domestically refined from
imported crude oil, or  imported fuel oil.  On a relative basis, national
energy consumption  is lower if imported fuel oil is used because the energy
consumption associated  with production and refining takes place outside the
U.S.   Long range, however, the availability and cost of imported oil is a

-------
                                   104 -
far more important consideration than energy consumption differentials
attributable to petroleum extraction and refining processes.  Ronald Kutscher,
Assistant Commissioner for Economic Growth, Bureau of Labor Statistics,
has remarked(1), (2):

          "With  regard  to  energy, the key question  is:  will scarcities
          and much  higher  prices cause a slower rate  of growth  in the
          economy?   Related  issues  are possible disruptions  of  supply,
          investment requirements for energy-conserving machinery or plant,
          search for new energy sources or  larger supplies from existing
          sources,  alternative means of transportation, and  more efficient
          energy usage  in  houses  and apartment buildings.   Each of these
          issues could  have  important effects on the  future  rate and pattern
          of growth in  the economy."

          "Several  factors underlie the lowering, at  least through 1980, of
          the expected  rate  of growth of productivity.  .  . there is the
          expected  cost of meeting  pollution control  and  industrial safety
          requirements, a  long period of less than  full utilization of
          resources, and higher energy prices, all  of which  are expected
          to slow productivity advances in  the near term.  Investment in
          energy-saving equipment could also dampen the growth  of  productivity-"

          "The  new  projections, unlike the  1973 set,  do not  assume the
          availability  of  relatively cheap, nearly  unlimited energy
          supplies.   The effects of the changed energy outlook  on
          labor  productivity, capital requirements, and prices,  as
          well  as the relationship  of these changes to economic
          growth are complex issues.  Although a great deal  of
          effort was devoted to these questions, BLS  has  not developed
          a  satisfactory method of  dealing  with them  in the  industry
          and employment projections.  Research by  others is also
          just beginning to  address the effect of changes in energy
          supplies  and  costs on the economy.  Clearly, further
          research  and  analysis are needed."
          The purpose of these citations is to suggest that there are important
variables, exogenous to the present study, that can drown out the differential
effects of applying coal-fired FBC, versus another, technology to industrial
boilers.  Directionally, such technology might be expected to permit a net
increase in national energy consumption relative to an uncertain alternative
of relying on imported oil, primarily because of a higher level of domestic
economic activity attributable to a secure, domestic energy supply.  However,
essentially the same outcome would be expected for any effective technology for
using solid coal as an industrial boiler fuel.

6.2  Potential Savings of Oil and Natural Gas

          It seems more reasonable to consider the impact of coal-fired FBC
in terms of oil alone, rather than in terms of oil and natural gas.  This is
because the availability of natural gas is declining, and it is not possible to
save what is not available.  However, it is questionable whether any oil will

-------
                                    - 105  -
be saved by coal-fired FBC per  se.   A saving will occur if  solid coal is
used instead of oil in large  industrial boilers,  but the level  of  saving
achieved will be essentially  independent of the technology  by which the coal
is combusted for the reasons  given  in Section 6.1.  Nevertheless,  the estimates
of coal-fired FBC potential in  Tables 5-2, 5-3 and 5-15 may be  converted from
BTU's to barrels of oil equivalent.   The results  of these conversions are shown
in Table 6-1, and suggest  that  if coal-fired, atmospheric pressure, FBC
technology is demonstrated as reliable for large  industrial boilers by 1981
or 1982, then there could  be  significant "savings" of oil equivalent by 1990.
Considering conventional and  additional applications, "savings" of 1 million
B/D O.E. appear possible shortly thereafter.  By  the year 2000, the combined
"savings" may be in the range of two to four million B/D O.E.   These "savings"
are not incremental to analegous "savings" achievable with  other technologies
for utilizing solid coal;  the various coal-use technologies are potential
alternatives.

-------
                                -  106  -

                               TABLE 6-1

      ESTIMATES OF COAL-FIRED FBC POTENTIAL EXPRESSED AS BARRELS
                           OF OIL EQUIVALENT		
* Maximum Potential


  Lower 48 states,
  conventional uses

  Lower 48 states,
  additional uses
                                              1000 B/D of Oil Equivalent
1980
                                           319
          1990


           926


           310
          1236
         1995

         1504

          874
         2378
         2000

         2594

         1748
         4342
  Most Likely Potential

  Lower 48 states,
  conventional uses
  Lower 48 states,
  additional uses
            136
             14
            150
           462
           188
           650
          793


         JL17_
         1310
         1396

         1034
         2430
  Minimum Potential

  Lower 48 states,
  conventional uses
  Lower 48 states,
  additional uses
 nil
 nil
 nil
 35

 _6
 41
138
 62
200
  Most Likely Potential  (Regional basis, conventional uses)
  Appalachian
  Southeast
  Great Lakes
  Northern Plains
  Mid-Continent
  Gulf Coast
  Rocky Mountain
  Pacific Northwest
  Pacific Southwest
   1
   1
   1
 *
 A
 *
 *
 32
 28
 29
  1
  4
 38
  1
  2
  1
13F
107
 95
 96
  4
 13
131
  5
  6
  5
4~6T
255

175
430
183
162
166
  6
 23
224
  9
 11
  7
793
 470

 350
 820
 321
 284
 292
  11
  38
 394
  17
  22
  17
1396
 * =

-------
                                   - 107 -


                           7.   ECONOMIC IMPACTS
  7.1  National  Impacts

           For  the reasons given in Section 6.1, the absolute economic  impacts
  of coal-fired  FBC are indeterminate.  The fundamental reason for this  indeter-
  minateness  is  that there are controlling exogenous variables that cannot  be
  precisely forecast because of their political and other complexities.* However,
  it is possible to ascribe certain levels of economic activities to certain
  levels of coal-fired FBC potential.  The approach described below does not
  remove the  possibility that a similar level of economic activity could apply
  to other technologies of using solid coal in industrial boilers.

           The  1972 OBERS Projections discussed in Section 4.1 include  estimates
  of the value of goods produced by manufacturing industries in terms of Gross
  Product Originating.**  The original projections were made in 1967 constant
  dollars.  For  consistency with other estimates in this study, the GPO  projections
  in Table 7-1 have been converted to 1975 constant dollars,***  The total  GPO for
  all  manufacturing industries is summarized below:
                 Year                 Manufacturing GPO,  billion 1975 $

                 1980                               564.6
                 1985                               656.3
                 1990                               761.4
                 1995                               886.2
                 2000                              1031.6
  *The complexities are orders  of magnitude beyond  the scope of the Present study.
   Nevertheless, Professor  Jay  Forrester  and the System Dynamics group at M.I.I.
   have already spent three years on the  development  of a  computer simulation model
   that may, eventually, be able to  provide answers of the kind that would be needed
   for aboslute assessments of  economic impact.   Professor Forrester s model may  be
   completed during the next  three years.   Professor  Roger Naill, of the Thayer School
   of Engineering at Dartmouth  College, has constructed a  simpler SD model that may
   be developed further to  permit economic  assessments of  energy technologies  At
   present, neither of the  SD models can  provide the  required answers.  (1),  (2),  (3)

 **See Section 4.1 for definition of GPO.
***using a multiplier of 1.573  derived from Bureau  of Economic Analysis data.

-------
                                               TABLE 7-1
 BEA Industry Classification

 Food and Kindred Products
 Textile Mill Products
 Apparel and Other Fab. Prods.
 Lumber and Furniture
 Paper and Allied Products
 Printing and Publishing
 Chemicals and Allied Products
 Petroleum Refining
 Primary Metlas
 Fabricated Metals/Ordnance
 Machinery excl. Electrical
 Electrical Equipment
 Motor Vehicles and Equipment
 Transportation Equipment excl. M.V.
 Other Manufacturing
     All Manufacturing
OF GROSS PRODUCT ORIGINATING (GPO)
SIC
Equivalent
20
22
23
24,25
26
27
28
29
33
34,19
35
36
371
37*
**

GPO in Billions
1980
45.1
17.4
17.6
19.8
21.5
26.2
60.5
13.2
29.5
40.1
52.9
73.0
51.5
22.0
74.3
564.6
1985
49.4
19.7
20.1
22.6
24.8
30.8
74.1
15.2
30.9
46.5
60.1
90.4
59.8
24.2
87.7
656.3
of 1975 Constant Dollars i
1990
54.1
22.2
22.9
25.8
28.6
34.5
90.5
17.4
32.0
53.8
68.4
111.7
69.4
26.5
103.6
761.4
1995
59.5
25.0
26.2
29.4
33.1
41.2
110.1
19.9
33.4
62.2
77.9
136.6
80.6
29.1
122.0
886.2
2000
65.6
28.1
30.0
33.6
38.3
49.2
132.4
22.8
34.8
72.0
88.0
167.0
93.6
31.9
143.5
1031.6
                              O
                              CO
 i converted from 1967 constant dollars in source document
 * excluding SIC 371
** sum of SIC 21, 30, 31, 32, 38 and 39
 Source:   1972 OBERS Projections, Vol.  1, Table 5 of Part 3 and Table 1 of  Part  4.
          for discussion of the OBERS projections,  and  Reference 1.)
(See Section 4.1

-------
                                   - 109 -
           As a first approximation, it is assumed that a unit of GPO is
 proportional to the quantity of industrial boiler fuel consumed but is
 independent of boiler size per se.  This assumption makes it possible to
 estimate the GPO that is relatable to the operation of large industrial
 boilers:


                Year                Large Boiler GPO. billion 1975 6
                1980                              233.2
                1985                              285.5
                1990                              348.0
                1995                              423.6
                2000                              515.8


           Next, the estimated most probable potential for coal-fired FBC
 (Table  5-2)  is related to the estimated total fuel consumption of large
 industrial boilers (Table 4-5):


                              (A)                    (B)
                   Most Probable FBC      Fuel Demand of Large           (A)  as %
      Year         Potential, 1Q12 BTU    Industrial Boilers, ipl2 BTU  of  (B)
      1980                    10                    4756                  0.2
      1985                   290                    5615                  5.2
      1990                   990                    6579                  15.0
      1995                  1690                    7674                  22.0
      2000                  2970                    8950                  33.2
           The  percentages in the last column of the above table can  then be
 applied  to the estimates of manufacturing GPO associated with the  operation
 of  the large industrial boilers.


                                    Manufacturing GPO in Billions of  1975  $
                Year                associated with Most Probable FBC Potential

                1980                                 0.5
                1985                                15
                1990                                52
                1995                                93
                2000                               171


           The  above estimates,  in billions of constant  1975  dollars,  are not a
direct and unique measure of the economic value of  coal-fired FBC, rather they
are estimates  of the economic value of the manufacturing activity  imputed to
the operation  of large  coal-fired FBC industrial boilers.  As discussed above,
it is possible that the same levels of economic activity could be  achieved
with other coal use technologies.

-------
                                    -  110 -
          Comparable estimates of imputed GPO are given below  for  the  maximum
and minimum coal-fired FBC cases:

                                   Manufacturing GPO in Billions of  1975  $
               Year                Maximum Potential     Minimum Potential

               1980                        1                   nil
               1985                       31                     4
               1990                      104                    16
               1995                      177                    30
               2000                      318                    57

          In addition to estimating, or imputing, economic levels  of manufac-
turing activity to coal-fired FBC, it is also possible to estimate the economic
value of the oil  that may be  "saved" via the use of this  technology.   The
estimates are based on Table 6-1, which projects coal-fired FBC potential
in terms of daily barrels of oil equivalent.  The conversions are  made using
a factor of $12 per barrel of low sulfur fuel oil (in constant 1975 dollars)
or $4.38 million per year per 1000 B/D of oil equivalent.  The results of
these calculations are shown in Table 7-2.

7.2  Regional Impacts

          As with national economic impacts, regional impacts may  also be
considered in terms of:

(1) the economic value of the manufacturing activity imputed to the operation
    of large coal-fired FBC industrial boilers within the region.

(2) "savings" of oil equivalent associated with FBC coal-use technology.

          In 1980, for the most probable case, it is estimated that each of four
regions may have imputed manufacturing activity in the range of $100-125 million
(1975 constant dollars).  The four regions are Appalachian, Southeast, Great
Lakes, and Gulf Coast.  Similar estimates for subsequent years are reported in
Table 7-3.  Comparable estimates of "savings" of oil equivalent on a regional
basis are reported in Table 7-4.

7.3  Boiler Manufacturing and Related Industries

          The economic impact of industrial boiler use of coal-fired FBC
technology may be estimated in terms of the number of FBC boiler units of
some average size that is projected to be installed during a given time period.
For this purpose, it was assumed that the size of the average large boiler unit
would be 200 KPPH.  It was assumed, further, that .the manufacturer of the FBC
steam generator (i.e. "boiler") would be responsible for manufacture or procure-
ment of other equipment that is directly a part of the boiler "system".  Coal
and limestone receiving and storage facilities are not included in this system.
Additionally,  it was assumed that the 200 KPPH boiler would operate with an
average annual capacity utilization of 65%, which is typical for large boilers
used by the petroleum refining, petrochemical, and chemical industries.  These
assumptions,  and the estimates of coal-fired FBC potential in Table 5-2, yield
the results recorded in Table 7-5.  It is a common practice for the boiler

-------
                                            TABLE 7-2
Maximum Potential

Lower 48 states, conventional uses
Lower 48 states, additional uses
Most Probable Potential

Lower 48 states, conventional uses
Lower 48 states, additional uses
Minimum Potential

Lower  48  states, conventional uses
Lower  48  states, additional uses
:L EQUIVALENT
"SAVED
Billions
1980
0.04
0.04
0.02
0.02
nil
nil
nil
1985
1.27
0.12
1.4
0.60
0.06
0.66
0.15
0.03
0.2
" BY COAL-FIRED
FBC

of 1975 Constant Dollars
1990
4.06
1.36
5.4
2.02
0.82
2.8
0.60
0.27
0.9
1995
6.59
3.83
10.4
3.47
2.26
1.12
0.77
1.9
2000
11.36
7.66
19.0
6.11
4.53
2.06
1.53
3.6

-------
                                              TABLE 7-3.
    Region
                    ESTIMATED  REGIONAL VALUES OF MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY IMPUTED TO
                        USE  OF COAL-FIRED FBC TECHNOLOGY IN INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Mid-Continent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific Northwest
Pacific Southwest
Billions of 1975 Constant Dollars in Most Probable Case
1985
3.5
3.1
3.1
0.1
0.4
4.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
1990
12.0
10.6
10.9
0.4
1.4
14.7
0.6
0.7
0.6
1995
21.5
19.0
19.4
0.7
2.5
26.3
1.1
1.3
1.1
2000
39.5
34.9
35.7
1.4
4.6
48.4
2.0
2.4
2.0
                                                                                                                  NJ
                                                                                                                   I
Possible additional uses, such as a higher level of captive generation of electricity at manufacturing
plants, are excluded from above estimates.

-------
                                              TABLE 7-4
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Mid-Continent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific Northwest
Pacific Southwest
ESTIMATED REGIONAL VALUES OF OIL EQUIVALENT "SAVED" BY
COAL-FIRED FBC IN

1980
0.14
0.12
0.13
0.005
0.02
0.17
0.007
0.008
0.007
MOST PROBABLE
Billions of
1985
0.47
0.41
0.42
0.02
0.05
0.57
0.02
0.03
0.02
CASE*
1975 Constant
1990
0.80
0.71
0.73
0.03
0.09
0.98
0.04
0.05
0.04

Dollars
1995
1.39
1.23
1.25
0.04
0.17
1.13
0.06
0.07
0.06


2000
1.41
1.25
1.28
0.05
0.17
1.73
0.07
0.09
0.07
 ^excluding  possible additional uses such as a higher level of captive generation of electricity
  at  manufacturing  plants.

-------
                                               TABLE 7-5

                       ESTIMATES OF NUMBER OF INDUSTRIAL FBC BOILERS AND RELATED
                                 ERECTED VALUES OF THE BOILER SYSTEMS
   Maximum Potential, Conventional Uses

   FBC units added through 1980
   FBC units added 1981/1985
   FBC units added 1986/1990
   FBC units added 1991/1995
   FBC units added 1996/2000
 Number
of Units*

    14
   413
   890
   890
  1600
  3807
Erected Equipment Cost in
Millions of 1975 $ **	
          39
        1156
        2490
        2490
        4480
      10,655
i
 * Most Probable Potential, Conventional Uses

   FBC units added through 1980
   FBC units added 1981/1985
   FBC units added 1986/1990
   FBC units added 1991/1995
   FBC units added 1996/2000
     7
   193
   485
   485
   880
  2050
          20
         540
        1360
        1360
        2460
       5,740
                               -P-

                               I
 • Minimum Potential, Conventional Uses

   FBC units added through 1980
   FBC units added 1981/1985
   FBC units added 1986/1990
   FBC units added 1991/1995
   FBC units added 1996/2000
   nil
    51
   152
   172
   315
   690
         145
         425
         480
         880
       1,930
 *based on an average steam generating capability of 200 KPPH.
**boiler system includes coal/limestone metering and fuel injection, fans and drivers, steam generator,
  waste solids handling equipment, control instruments, flues and ducts; excludes all contingencies.and
  costs of work not normally performed by a boiler manufacturer/erector.
 <{> estimates are probably unrealistically low for "pioneer" units.

-------
                                      - 115 -
manufacturer to be responsible for the on site erection of large industrial
boilers.  However, a  rough estimate of the equipment cost, F.O.B.  the
manufacturer's plant,  is  55% of the corresponding erected cost.

          Table 7-5 depicts a situation where, in the most probable  case  the
equivalent of seven 200  KPPH industrial boilers are estimated to be  in operation
by the end of 1980.   In  practice, it is expected that the average size of the
initial commercial units will be less than 200 KPPH.  For this  reason and
because the initial boilers will be "pioneer" and demonstration units, the
unit erected costs are probably understated.  Subsequent to 1980, however, the
estimates of equipment costs are believed to be in reasonable correspondence
with the fuel potentials estimated in Table 5-2 and the numbers of large FBC
industrial boiler units  listed in the first column of Table 7-5.  The latter
figures may be compared  with those from FEA's MFBI survey which reported
approximately 4,000 large industrial boilers to be in operation in 1974.  As
reported in Table 20  of  Appendix 4, the average steam generating capacity of
the MFBI boiler population was 223 million BTU/H or approximately 190 KPPH.
Hence, the assumption of an average size of 200 KPPH for large  coal-fired FBC
boilers appears reasonable.

7.4  Coal Industry

          Estimates of the volumes of coal associated with different levels of
FBC potential are reported in Table 7-6.  Numerically, the estimates are based
on Illinois No. 6 coal,  with a heating value of 10,600 BTU/lb.   However, this
does not imply that coal-fired FBC will be limited to a single  type  of coal.

          Estimates of the F.O.B. mine value of the coal shipped for FBC
industrial boiler use are also given in Table 7-6.  In the most probable case,
assuming a combination of conventional and additional uses of FBC, the quantity
and F.O.B. value of the  coal in the year 2000 are estimated to  be 244 million
tons and $3.4 billion (constant 1975 dollars) respectively.  Considering
conventional uses only,  the corresponding estimates are 140 million  tons and
approximately $2 billion dollars.

7.5  Limestone Industry

          The limestone  requirements associated with coal-fired FBC  also assume
the use of Illinois No.  6 coal which has an average sulfur content of 3.6 wt/..
Clearly, the use of non-compliance coals of lower sulfur content would require
lesser quantities of  limestone than are estimated in Table 7-7.   On  the ottieT
hand, no provision has been made for some use of limestone when Compliance coals
are used with FBC technology, thereby offsetting the overestimates of limestone
usage with non-compliance coals.

          The average, or representative, cost of limestone F.O.B. quarry is
assumed to be $3.50%^  ton (in 1975 dollars).  This price includes  whatever
crushing or other treatments at the quarry are needed to prepare the limestone
for use in coal-fired FBC boilers.

          In the most probable case, the year 2000 requirements »f I
are estimated to be 87 million tons, with a corresponding F.O.B. value
$300 million.

-------
                                                   TABLE 7-6

                ESTIMATES OF COAL VOLUMES REQUIRED FOR APPLICATION OF  FBC  TO  INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
                             Conventional Uses
  Maximum Potential

       1980
       1985
       1990
       1995
       2000
10  Tons

  0.94
 29.2
 90.6
150.9
260.4
  F.O.B. Mine
Million 1975 $*

       13
      409
     1268
     2110
     3640
10  Tons


  2.8
 31.1
 87.7
175.5
Additional Uses**	
          F.O.B.  Mine
       Million 1975 $*
             39
            435
           1228
           2460
 Combined  Potential **
,           F.O.B. Mine
         Million  1975$*
10  Tons

  0.94
 22
122
239
436
               13
              308
             1700
             3300
             6100
  Most Probable Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0.46
13.6
46.8
79.7
140.1
                                            6
                                          190
                                          655
                                         1113
                                         1960
                                  1.4
                                 18.9
                                 51.9
                                103.8
                                      20
                                     265
                                     727
                                    1450
                                  0.46
                                 15
                                 66
                                132
                                244
                                             6
                                           210
                                           920
                                          1840
                                          3410
                           Ol

                           I
• Minimum Potential

       1980               nil
       1985               3.5
       1990              13.9
       1995              25.6
       2000              47.2
                  nil
                   49
                  195
                  358
                  660
                      0.6
                      6.2
                     17.5
                     35.1
                  87
                 245
                 491
                             nil
                             4.1
                            20
                            43
                            82
              nil
               57
              280
              600
              1150
     Note:   Coal volumes are estimated in terms of millions of  short  tons  of  Illinois  No.  6 coal.

     *long  run price for high sulfur coal estimated by Sobotka,  and considering  other  information  presented
      in "A Study of Coal Prices",  Council on Wage and Price Stability,  Executive Office of the President,
      March 1976. (4)
    **see Table 5-3.

-------
                                             TABLE  7-7
ESTIMATES OF
Maximum Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
LIMESTONE VOLUMES
Conventional
REQUIRED FOR
Uses
Limestone F.O.B. Quarry
106 Tons Million 1975 $
0.35
11.0
34.0
56.6
97.7
1.2
39
119
198
342
APPLICATION
OF FBC TO INDUSTR:
Additional Uses*
Limestone
106 Tons
«,
1.05
11.7
32.9
65.8
F.O.B. Quarry
Million 1975 $
_
3.7
41
115
230
Most Probable Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
1 Minimum Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0.16
4.6
15.9
27.1
47.6
nil
1.3
5.2
9.6
17.7
0.56
16
56
95
167
nil
4.6
18
34
62
_
0.53
7.1
19.5
38.9

0.23
2.3
6.6
13.2
_
1.9
25
68
136

0.8
8
23
46
                                                                                         Combined  Potential*
Limestone
106 Tons
0.35
11
46
89
163
0.16
5
23
47
87
nil
1.5
7.5
16
31
E. 0.. B,. Quarry
Million 1975 $
1.2
43
160
310
570
0.56
18
80
140
300
nil
6
26
57
108
*see Table 5-3.

-------
                                -  118  -
                   8.   ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS
 i.l  Introduction
          The application of any new technology should be considered from
the viewpoint of its possible benefits/debits to the environment, especially
when alternatives exist for meeting the same needs in other ways.  The
possible  application  of fluidized bed coal combustion technology (FBC) to
industrial steam generation raises the question of what implications this
would have from an environmental standpoint.  This section discusses and,
where possible, quantifies these impi-.cations.

          The environmental component of the present study is a small part
of a much larger program of FBC environmental assessment and development of
control technology sponsored by i'he Environmental Protection Agency-

          For convenience, when words such as "meeting (not meeting) EPA
regulations" are used, it should be understood that this means New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) applicable only to (large) installations of
250 x 106 BTU/hr. or greater input.  These standards are shown in Table 8-1.
At present, there are no comparable regulations for the 100 to 250 x 106 BTU/hr.
units considered in this study, although it is possible that NSPS will be
promulgated for the smaller units.  Also, as discussed later, it is possible
that National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) will override NSPS in
some Air  Quality Control Regions.  Pertinent air quality standards are
listed in Table 8-2.

8.2  Fuels and Boilers Considered

          The industrial boiler systems and fuels considered are those
discussed in Section 2 and Appendices 1-3.  Comparisons were made of FBC
and a spreader stoker boiler because the latter represents a likely option
for industrial application.  A high sulfur coal was chosen for comparison
in the two systems since such coals are abundant in the highly industrialized
areas of  the east and midwestern sections of the country where effluents
would be  a major concern.  A low sulfur western coal not meeting EPA standards
for sulfur emissions was compared in the two systems since large quantities
of such coals exist and their price might be attractive compared to lower sulfur
western coals.  Furthermore, it was felt that undesirable effluents could be
significantly different for such coals than for high sulfur coals.  A low
sulfur western coal meeting EPA regulations for sulfur emissions was included
in the study for the spreader stoker boiler to give a base point for a fuel
in ample  supply offering desirable environmental qualities.  Finally, a
boiler utilizing a low-sulfur fuel oil was included because this type fuel
could be replaced by boilers using coal.  Thus the low sulfur fuel oil
represents a base case for environmental comparisons.  Natural gas was
assumed not to be available at new installations.

-------
                                  - 119 -
                                 TABLE 8^1

                    SELECTED NEW SOURCE PERFORMANCE
              STANDARDS  (NSPS) FOR AIR POLLUTION SOURCES  (Ref. 1)


Source                                Pollutant             Emissions Not to Exceed

STEM GENERATORS
 Fossil-fuel fired                Particulate Matter          0.1  lb/106 Btu input
 >, 250 x 10^ Btu/hr  input                                    20% opacity

                                  Sulfur Dioxide             1.2 lb/106 Btu
                                                               (Solid Fuel)

                                                              0.8 lb/106 Btu
                                                               (Liquid Fuel)

                                  Nitrogen Oxides              0.7 lb/106 Btu
                                   (as  N02)                     (Solid Fuel)

                                                               0.3 lb/106 Btu
                                                               (Liquid Fuel)

                                                               0.2  lb/106 Btu
                                                               (gaseous  fuel)

-------
                                              TABLE 8-2
                         SUMMARY OF NATIONAL AMBIENT AIR QUALITY STANDARDS'
 Pollutant
    Averaging
      time
 Primary
standards
 Secondary
 standards
       Comments
Particulate
  matter
Sulfur oxides
Nitrogen
 dioxide
Annual  (Geometric
     mean) ,
    24-hour
Annual (Arith-
 metic mean)
    24-hourb

     3-hourb
Annual (Arith-
 metic mean)
 75 yg/m~

260 yg/nf
 80 yg/m
(0.03 ppm)
365 yg/m3
(0.14 ppm)
100 yg/m
(0.05 ppm)
  60 yg/m

 150 yg/m2
1300yg/mJ
 (0.5 ppm)

 (Same as
 primary)
The secondary annual stand-
ard (60 yg/m3) is a guide
for assessing SIP's to
achieve the 24-hour secondary
standard.
The continuous Saltzman," Sodi-
um Arsenite (Christie), TGS,
and Chemiluminescence have
been proposed as replacements
for the J-H method.  New FRM*
will be forthcoming in the
near future.
                                                                                                                   I
                                                                                                                  I—
                                                                                                                  o
                                                                                                                   )
 The air quality standards and a description of the Federal Reference Methods *(FRM) were published on
 April 30,  1971 in 42 CFR 410, recodified to 40 CFR 50 on November 25, 1972.
 Not to be exceeded more than once per year.

-------
                                  - 121 -
     8.2.1  Emissions  Considered

          The principal  emissions considered were participate matter, sulfur
dioxide and nitrogen dioxide,  in relation to the standards listed in Tables 8-1
and 8-2.  Some consideration was also given to solid or sludge wastes and
to the trace metals present in different coals.

          Waste  heat  emitted to the environment was not considered since the
major heat  losses  resulted from thermal inefficiencies in steam  generation
and these were assumed equal for all units.  Coal preparation and drying
can vary considerably from coal to coal and generate considerable thermal
losses vis-a-vis direct  use of fuel oil.  These losses were not  considered
because  (1) it was assumed in the economic study that coal arrived at the
plant ground  and dried,  (2) the specific coals chosen for study  represent
only a few  of a  multitude of coals and estimation of heat losses associated
with preparation and  drying these particular coals would have little general
usefulness, and  (3) when comparing coal preparation with the direct use of
fuel oil it must be remembered that there are heat losses associated with
the refinery  where the oil was refined.

          Water  consumption and aqueous effluents (other than sludge), which
in many cases are  of major environmental concern, were not considered.  Water
consumption would  consist of evaporation, drift loss, and blowdown from
cooling towers and boilers, and scrubber consumption while aqueous effluents
would consist of blowdown and  drift losses.  Since steam production is the
same in all cases  considered,  water consumption and major water  effluents
would be the  same  except for that water used in the flue gas scrubber systems.
The water consumption  in these systems was not estimated.

     8.2.2  General Approach to the Environmental Analysis

          The designs  and fuels used in the economic analysis of steam
production  were  also used for  the environmental assessment.   The environmental
emission factors to be considered were then determined as reported in^8.A.
Available information was collected concerning emissions from the various
units studied.   "Best" estimates were then made of the quantity  of each
pollutant emitted  on  a Ib/MBTU basis and on total pounds per day.

          Use was  then made of the comparative quantity of each  pollutant
emitted to  determine  the relative differential impacts of the various
technologies and fuels in two  Air Quality Control Regions (AQCR  s) based on
the "most probable" degree of  FBC applications.  The differential impact
approach was  selected  as being more meaningful than an absolute  basis due
to the large masking  effects of mobile sources and power plant emissions.

          Possible environmental consequences of regeneration and  the
environmental aspects  of solids waste utilization were then addressed
and other environmental  aspects of FBC were discussed.  Finally,
conclusions and  recommendations were given.

8.3  Bases  and Assumptions

          In this  section, the bases used in the evaluation are  discussed
in more detail,  the assumptions that had to be made are pointed  out and
discussed, and qualifications  of the results are given.

-------
                                 - 122 -
     8.3.1  Description of Operating Units

          As indicated previously, the environmental analysis was carried out
assuming the same operating units and fuels used in the economic studies.
Also, the same steam producing capacity, 100 KPPH, was assumed.  The
design of the FBC boiler is, of course, conceptual (atmospheric pressure
operation) and the data used to estimate emissions was obtained from varioifs
sources which may or may not be exactly compatible with the present design.
This is unavoidable since all required information was not available from a
single source.  It is felt, however, that the pertinent data are sufficiently
insensitive to operating parameters that the conclusions would not be signifi-
cantly changed with a different design.  In a couple of cases this may not
be true and these will be pointed out.

     8.3.2  Descriptions of Fuels Considered

          As previously indicated, the fuels assumed for use were the same
in the economic and environmental studies.  The rationale for choosing the
particular types of fuels was given in Section 8.2.  The choice of the
actual fuel with each type was made on the basis of ready availability of
data on the fuel or availability of data on the use of the fuel in a particular
operating unit.  The fuels selected are described below.

                           High Sulfur Coal

          The high sulfur coal chosen was a commercially available Illinois
No. 6 coal.  Its analyses and properties as well as those for the ash are
given in Table 8-3.

                       Low Sulfur Western Coals

          The low sulfur western coal chosen that meets current EPA regulations
was a typical low sulfur, Wyoming coal.  Its properties as well as those of its
ash are given in Table 8-4.

          The lower sulfur western coal chosen was San Juan sub-bituminous coal,
used previously by Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)  in an FBC experiment (2).
The sulfur content of this San Juan coal was lower than that required to meet
EPA regulations for SOx emissions.  The analysis, as reported by ANL, is
reproduced in Table 8-5.

                          Low Sulfur Fuel Oil

          The low sulfur fuel oil was assumed to be a typical residual fuel of
about 20° API gravity with an HHV of 18,600 BTU/lb.  No nitrogen or sulfur
content was specified since in the -.environmental studies it was assumed that
sufficient furnace modifications could be effected to allow the NOx emissions
to meet current EPA standards, and that the sulfur content would be sufficiently
low to meet existing standards without further treatment.

8.4  Results for Individual Installations

          The base levels of emissions assumed for this study were those that
would just meet present EPA regulations for new point sources  (NSPS), as listed

-------
                                   - 123 -
                                  TABLE 8-3

                      ANALYSIS OF HIGH SULFUR COAL
 Cojiljry_p_e_

 Total Coal Comp., Wt.%

 Carbon
 Hydrogen
 Oxygen-
 Nitrogen
 Chlorine
 Sulfur
 Ash
 Moisture

  Total
                 Illinois No. 6
                     57.
                      4.
                      7.
                      1.5
                      0.2
                      3.6
                      8.0
                     16.9

                    100.0
HHV  (Btu/ff)

Ash  Properties

  Ash Fusion  Temperatures, °F
Initial Deformation
Softening  (H=W)
Softening  (H=1/2W)
Fluid Temp.

  Ash Composition,  Wt.%

P205
Si02
Fe203
A1203
Ti02
CaO
MgO
so3
K20
Na20
Undetermined
                    10600
Reducing
  2016
  2200
  2227
  2352
Oxidizing

  2292
  2445
  2469
  2588

-------
                                 - 124 -
                                TABLE 8-4

                        ANALYSIS OF LOW SULFUR
                     COAL MEETING EPA REGULATIONS
Coal Type

Total Coal Composition, Wt.%

Carbon
Hydrogen
Oxygen
Nitrogen
Chlorine
Sulfur
Ash
Moisture

  Total

HHV  (Btu/#)

Ash Properties

  Ash Fusion Temperatures, °F
Initial Deformation
Softening  (H=W)
Softening  (H=1/2W)
Fluid Temp.

  Ash Composition, Wt.%
Si02
Fe203
A1203
Ti02
CaO
MgO
so3
K20
Na20
Undetermined
        Wyoming
          47.7
           3.3
          12.1
           0.7

           0.4
           5.8
          30.0
         100.0

          8150
Reducing

  2100
  2110
  2120
  2130
Oxidizing

  2175
  2180
  2185
  2190
           0.60
          34.63
           5.99
          14.90
           1.01
          19.96
           4.49
          16.92
           0.18
           1.04
           0.28
         100.00

-------
                                 - 125 -
                                TABLE  8^5

       ANALYSIS OF LOW SULFUR WESTERN  COAL WITH  SULFUR CONTENT
                EXCEEDING EPA REGULATIONS (FROM RfiF'.'  4)
Coal Tyjae
Moisture
Ash
Volatile Matter
Fixed Carbon
 Sulfur, wt%
 Heating Value,  Btu/lb
  San Juan Sub-bituminous
Proximate Analysis, wt%
As Received       Dry Basis
    9.28
   16.96
   33.28
   40.48
  100.00

    0.78
   9,621
 18.70
 36.68
 44.62
100.00

  0.86
10,605
                                Ultimate Analysis, wt%
                               As Received       Dry Basis
 Moisture
 Carbon
 Hydrogen
 Nitrogen
 Chlorine
 Sulfur
 Ash
 Oxygen, by diff.
     9.28
    55.82
     3.96
     1.14
     0.10
     0.78
    16.96
    11.96
   100.00

-------
                                   - 126 -
 in  Table  8-6.   The  assumption  is  that  all  systems  will be operated with
 emissions up  to the levels  permitted by the NSPS  (except in cases where
 emissions would be  inherently  lower due to coal composition).   However,
 such compliance would  result in differences in emissions relative to
 operation with  low  sulfur fuel oil.  These points  are  illustrated on an
 absolute  and  on a relative  basis  in Tables 8-7 and 8-8 respectively.

      8.4.1  Estimates  of Particulate Emissions

          It  was assumed in this  study that appropriate means  (e.g.  enclosed
 storage,  proper wetting of  solids, bag houses  where necessary,  etc.) would  be
 taken to  prevent fugitive emissions of particulates.   Therefore the  values  given
 in  Tables 8-7 and 8-8  represent stack  emissions.   The  value for the  spreader
 stoker/Illinois No.  6  case  was estimated from  data contained in reference 3.
 Since this  data is  from a commercial size  plant, the value  calculated is
 assumed to  be fairly accurate.  No data was available  for  the  spreader
 stoker/San  Juan case so it  was assumed that this value would be the  same
 as  for the  Illinois No. 6 case.   It is recognized  that this assumption is
 questionable, because  it is the scrubber that  is controlling both SOx and
 particulate emissions  in the Illinois  No.  6 case whereas  the low sulfur
 San Juan  coal might be burned  without  the  need for a scrubber.   In this
 case particulate control would probably be provided by an electrostatic
 precipitator, and emissions would be the maximum permitted  by EPA's  New
 Source Performance  Standards (NSPS).

          For the Illinois  No. 6, Wyoming,  and San Juan sub-bituminous coals,
 fired in  the  FBC, the  particulate level was  controlled by an electrostatic
 precipitator  and was set by economic considerations, i.e. at the  maximum
 permissible emission level  provided by NSPS.

      8.4.2  Estimates  of S02 Emissions

          The values of S02 emissions  were  calculated  as previously  indicated.
 The  S02 from  the Wyoming coal  represents that  from the sulfur in  the coal.  No
 attempt was made to  correct the value  for  ash  retention since the value is
 significantly below 1.2 Ib  S02/M BTU and there is  no scrubber effluent that
 is affected.

          For Illinois No.  6 coal, fired in  the FBC, the level  of SC>2  emissions
 is determined by the Ca/S atomic ratio  fed  to  the  bed  and was set at the
maximum level permitted by  NSPS in order to minimize costs.  For  the spreader-
 stoker, the S02  level was also set at  the maximum  value  to  minimize  costs.  As
discussed in Section 2.3.1  and reported in  Table  2-2,  the  Ca/S  ratios assumed
were  3 for  FBC  and  1.2 for  the spreader-stoker/scrubber  case.

      8.^  3  Estimates  of NOx Emissions

          For the FBC/Illinois No. 6 case  the  NOx  emissions were estimated
 from the  Pope,  Evans and Robbins data  in Figure 7  of reference  4. The
 other values  of NOx emissions  were assumed as  discussed below.

          For the spreader  stoker, the level of NOx is determined by furnace
 design and  was  set  at  the maximum allowable; this  is a reasonable goal as
 determined  by recent studies of such furnaces  for  steam generation using
 coals similar to Illinois No.  6 (5), (6).

-------
                                                     TABLE 8-6
Fuel

Boiler Type

NOx, Ib/M Btu

S02, Ib/M Btu

Particulates,  Ib/M Btu
QUANTITIES OF EMISSIONS ARBITRARILY
Illinois
FBC
<0.7
1.2
0.1
No. 6 Coal
Spreader Stoker
0.7
1.2
0.1*
SET (100
San Juan
FBC
<0.7
Low
o.i
KPPH steam)
Sub-bituminous Coal
Spreader Stoker
0.7
Low
0.1**
Wyoming Coal
Spreader Stoker
0.7
-
0.1
Low S
Fuel Oil
Package
0.3
0.8
nil
  actual emission likely to  be lower  due  to  ability  of  scrubber  system to reduce particulates  (see Footnote to
  Table 8-7).

**would be lower than 0.1 Ibs/M BTU if a  scrubber is used,  as  assumed in Table 8-7.  Otherwise, with an
  electrostatic precipitator,  the 0.1 Ibs/M BTU figure  would apply  since the design objective would be to
  meet EPA's New Source Performance Standards at minimum cost.

-------
                                                                       TABLE 8-7
Fuel
Fuel Rate (t/d)
Boiler Type
S02 Control
Partlculate Control
Solid Waste Type
Solid Waste, t/d

Stack Emissions
Particulates
 Emission Standard,
 Ib/MBTU
 Actoal Level, Ib/MBTU
 Actual Level, Ib/day

NOx (as N02)
 Emission Standard,
 Ib/MBTU
 Actual Level, Ib/MBTU
 Actual Level, Ib/day

S02
 Emission Standard,
 Ib/MBTU
 Actual Level, Ib/MBTU
 Actual Level, Ib/day

ESTIMATED EMISSIONS
FOR INDIVIDUAL INSTALLATIONS AND FUELS
(Basis: 100,000 Ib/hr, 125 psig saturated steam)
Illinois
144
FBC
FBC
cyclones/ESP
sulfated stone/ash
55
0.1
300
6.5
1500
1.2
3700
No. 6 Coal
144
Spreader Stoker
Limestone Scrubber
eye lones / scrubber
sludge/ash
66
0.05*
150
0.7
2100
1.2
3700
San Juan Sub-bituminous Coal
156
FBC
FBC
cyclones/ESP
sulfated stone/ash
30
0.1
300
<0.5**
<1500
— _ 1 9 __ ,_. — 	
0.8***
2400
156
Spreader Stoker
Limestone Scrubber
cyclones /scrubber
sludge/ash
44
0.05*
150
0.7
2100
1.0***
3000
Wyoming Coal
187
Spreader Stoker
Not Needed
cyclones/ESP
ash
11
0.1
300
0.7
2100
0.65***
2000
Low S Fuel Oil
82
Package
Not Needed
None
nil
Oil
nil
nil
0.3
900
00
0.8
2400
        *Below NSPS due to inherent ability of limestone scrubber to reduce particulate level.

       **Below NSPS due to inherent ability of FBC system to minimize NOx emissions.
      ***Below NSPS due to low sulfur content of coal.

-------
                                                     TABLE 8-8

Fuel
Boiler Type
Increase in
Emissions
Solid Waste, t/d
NOx, Ib/d (as N02)
S02, Ib/d
INCREASED EMISSIONS
(Basis:
Illinois No. 6 Coal
CAUSED BY SHIFTING FROM LOW-SULFUR
100,000 Ib/hr
San Juan
FBC Spreader Stoker FBC
55 66
600 1,200
1,300 1,300
30
<600
0
saturated steam)
Sub-bituminous Coal
Spreader Stoker
44
1,200
600
FUEL OIL

Wyoming Coal
Spreader Stoker
11
1,200
(400)*
Particulates,
Ib/d
300
150
300
150
                                                                                                                           J

                                                                                                                           N3

                                                                                                                           I
300
      *Numbers in parenthesis indicate a reduction in emissions relative to emissions with LSFO.   (The base-case,
      low-sulfur fuel oil was assumed to contain levels of sulfur and nitrogen that would meet present EPA
      standards.  The quantities of particulates are negligible.)

-------
                                  - 130 -
          For the low sulfur coals, the NOx level for the spreader stoker
was assumed at 0.7, as in the case of the Illinois No. 6 coal, although no
data is now available on NOx levels when sub-bituminous coals *i-e used in
boilers of the size considered here.

     8.4.4  Estimates of Solid Wastes

          For  the  high-sulfur  Illinois  No.  6  coal,  considerable information
is available from  numerous  sources as  to the  Ca/S ratio required to hold
the S02 exit concentration  to  1.2  Ib/M  Btu.   (See,  for example, references 2
and 7.)   Thus, it  is  believed  that the  estimate of  the quantity of solid
waste  is  fairly  accurate.   Similarly,  considerable  commercial operating
experience allowed an accurate estimate of  the  solid waste from the spreader
stoker.

          For  the  cases where  San Juan sub-bituminous coal was used as fuel,
the quantities of  solid waste  are less certain.   For the FBC, one experiment
on this coal has been reported (2), showing that the addition of a Ca/S
ratio  of  1.1 gave  a sulfur retention of 72%.  For this particular coal,
assuming  the percent  retention is proportioned to the Ca/S ratio, only a
ratio  of  0.4 is  necessary to meet the 1.2 Ib S02/M BTU.  It was felt,
however,  that  the  FBC would not be operable with this low ratio, but that
the bed could  be maintained at a Ca/S ratio of about 0.8.  This would,
again  assuming the proportionality of percent retention and Ca/S ratio,
give a retention of about 50%.  This results in the emissions of about
0.8 Ib S02/MM  BTU  which is lower than present standards, and is comparable
to the use of  low  sulfur fuel  oil.

           Similarly,  little  information exists  as to the operation of a
spreader  stoker  of the  size  assumed in  this study with a limestone scrubber.
It is  generally  recognized  that burning high  calcium western coals in larger
boilers at higher  temperatures can result in  the retention of part of the
sulfur in the  ash.  A nominal  value of  5% is  accepted by some people.   No
such information is available  for  smaller spreader  stoker boilers.   It would
be expected  that the  lower  temperatures in  these units would result in a
greater sulfur retention.   For this study the figure of 5% was used for
lack of a better number.  For  scrubbing the stack gas it was assumed that,
for proper operation  of the  scrubber, a 20% excess of CaC03 over the stoichio-
metric requirement would be used and that the emission of 862 would be reduced to
1.0 Ib/MM Btu.   This  resulted  in  the quantity of ash/sludge given in Table  8-7.

          For  the  case of the Wyoming coal,  the solids effluent consists
only of the ash  in the coal since no scrubber is necessary.  The solids
from the  low sulfur fuel oil reference case are negligible.

8.5  National and Regional Emissions

          Estimates of the emissions associated with the use of coal-fired FBC
technology in industrial boilers are based on:

(1) the unit emissions for point sources (see Table 8-7)

(2) the market potential estimated for coal-fired FBC  (see Table 5-2).

-------
                                    131 -
          Calculation of  unit emissions is based on the assumed  use of high
sulfur coal, with Illinois  No.  6 taken as a representative coal.  The emissions
are also estimated on an  incremental basis relative to low sulfur fuel oil
(LSFO), where the sulfur  content just meets the Federal standard for new
point sources.  When LSFO is used,  the solid waste and particulate emissions
are neglible.   Hence,  the  incremental and absolute estimates  of solid waste
and particulate emissions are the same.

          Estimates  of  nationwide emissions are presented in Table 8-9 for
maximum, most probable, and minimum cases.  Corresponding estimates of emissions
on a regional basis,  for the most probable case, are presented in Table 8-10.
These  estimates  pertain only to the use of high sulfur coal in industrial FBC
boilers.  They do  not include estimates of emissions associated  with the use
of compliance coal in FBC boilers, since insufficient technical  data are
available for such estimates.

 8.6   Estimates  of Emissions  for  Selected Air Quality Control Regions

      8.6.1   Current Situation:  Mass  Emissions

          Air Quality  Control Regions (AQCR's) were selected in Texas  and
 Illinois in order to obtain  comparisons between regions where currently:

 (1)  the industrial consumption of coal is minimum  (Texas)
 (2)  there is a significant use of high sulfur  (local) coal in industrial
     boilers (Illinois).

           Current data for  the  state  of Texas  and  the Metropolitan Houston-
 Galveston area (AQCR 216) are presented in  Tables  8-11 and 8-12  .  The  data  are
 from EPA's  National Emissions Data  System.*  It will be seen that industrial
 boilers were minor contributors  to  the total emissions of the state of Texas
 relative to similar emissions from  other  sources such as  industrial processes
 and  land vehicles.  On a relative basis,  the percentage levels were slightly
 higher for  the Houston-Calveston AQCR, particularly with  respect to NOx.   In
 general, however, it is  apparent that industrial_boilers  are not the principal
 source of emissions that affect  ambient air quality.

           Initially, it  was not known which of the AQCR's in  Illinois would
 yield the most meaningful  information.  Accordingly,  NEDS data  were obtained
 for three of the intrastate regions:

           - West Central Illinois  (AQCR  075;  selected for further study)
           - Southeast  Illinois  (AQCR 074)
           - North Central  Illinois  (AQCR 071)
    hT^rTinent state  emissions  and AQCR.eMssions reports  were computer-generated
   by EPA on 3/1/76  specifically  for use in the present  £g*'      ™ dat£ back
   estimates for individual  sources of emissions in the  NtUb aa
   as far as 1970,'

-------
                                              TABLE 8-9

          ESTIMATES  OF  EMISSIONS ASSOCIATED WITH USE OF COAL-FIRED FBC IN INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
                        Emissions  in Million Tons per Year    Incremental Emissions Versus LSFO*
• Maximum Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Sol. Waste
0.36
11.1
34.4
57.3
99.0
Partic.
0.001
0.030
0.094
0.157
0.271
NOx
0.005
0.152
0.471
0.784
1.35
SO?
0.012
0.377
1.17
1.95
3.36
Sol. Waste
0.36
11.1
34.4
57.3
99.0
Partic.
0.001
0.030
0.094
0.157
0.271
NOx
0.002
0.061
0.189
0.315
0.544
SO?
0.004
0.132
0.41
0.68
1.18
• Most Probable Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
• Minimum Potential
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
0.16
4.7
16.1
27.4
48.2

nil
1.3
5.3
9.7
17.9
0.0004
0.013
0.044
0.075
0.132

nil
0.004
0.014
0.027
0.052
0.002
0.064
0.220
0.375
0.660

nil
0.018
0.072
0.133
0.245
0.005
0.157
0.547
0.931
1.64

nil
0.045
0.179
0.330
0.609
0.16
4.7
16.1
27.4
48.2

nil
1.3
5.3
9.7
17.9
0.0004
0.013
0.044
0.075
0.132

nil
0.004
0.014
0.027
0.052
0.0009
0.026
0.089
0.151
0.265

nil
0.007
0.029
0.053
0.099
0.002
0.056
0.192
0.326
0.574

nil
0.016
0.063
0.116
0.213
                                                                                                                   I
                                                                                                                  M
                                                                                                                  LO

                                                                                                                   1
*Low Sulfur Fuel Oil.  The increment in "environmental insult" vs. LSFO may be overstated since some
 FBC units would probably replace conventional coal-fired boilers.
Possible additional uses, such as a higher level of captive generation of electricity at manufacturing
plants, are excluded from the above estimates.

Also excluded are estimates of emissions associated with the use of compliance coal in industrial
FBC boilers, since insufficient technical data are available.  As a rough approximation, the estimates
for the most probable case may be increased by 10% to account for such use.

-------
                                   - 133 -
                                 TABLE 8-10

       ESTIMATES OF EMISSIONS ASSOCIATED WITH USE OF COAL-FIRED FBC IN
INDUSTRIAL BOILERS ON REGIONAL BASIS  (MOST PROBABLE CASE. CONVENTIONAL US
     1990,  Most Probable Case. 1000 T/yr of  Emissions
   Appalachian
   Southeast
   Great Lakes
   Northern Plains
   Mid-Continent
   Gulf Coast
   Rocky Mountain
   Pacific Northwest
   Pacific Southwest
Sol. Waste  Partic.

   4150
   3650
   3740
    110
    500
   3430
    150
    220
    150
                                             NOx
SOi
11.3
10.0
10.2
0.3
1.4
9.4
0.4
0.6
0.4
56.8
49.9
51.0
1.5
6.8
46.9
2.0
3.1
2.0
£,
141
124
127
4
17
116
5
8
5
   • 1995, Most Probable Case,  1000  T/yr  of  Emissions

   Appalachian            7040        19.3   46       239
   Southeast              6250        17.1   85       212
   Great Lakes            6360        17.4   87       216
   Northern Plains          190         0.5    3         7
   Mid-Continent            850         2.3   12        29
   Gulf Coast             5750        15.8   79       196
   Rocky Mountain           300         0.8    4        10
   Pacific Northwest        360         1.0    5        12
   Pacific Southwest        300         0.8    4        10
     2000, Most Probable Case.  1000  T/yr  of  Emissions
   Appalachian            12400
   Southeast              10900
   Great Lakes            11200
   Northern Plains          300
   Mid-Continent          1500
   Gulf Coast             10100
   Rocky Mountain           600
   Pacific Northwest        600
   Pacific Southwest        600
33.9
30.0
30.7
0.9
4.1
27.7
1.5
1.7
1.5
170
150
154
5
20
139
7
8
7
                              422
                              372
                              383
                               11
                               51
                              344
                               18
                               21
                               18
                                                              Increment over LSFO
 NOx

23.0
                                                                          SO
          20.
          20.
           0.
           2.
          19.0
           0.8
           1.2
           0.8
                                        39
                                        34
                                        35
                                         1
                                         5
                                        31
                                         2
                                         2
                                         2
          68
          60
          62
           2
           8
          56
           3
           3
           3
                                                                           •2-
49
43
45
 1
 6
41
 2
 3
 2
                     84
                     74
                     76
                      2
                     10
                     68
                      4
                      4
                      4
           148
           130
           134
            4
           18
           121
            6
            7
            6
   Notes:   (1) The  estimates of solid waste and particulate emissions apply to  both
               absolute  levels of emissions and to  the  increment relative to low
               sulfur  fuel  oil.

            (2) The  estimates do not include the use of  compliance coal in industrial
               FBC  boilers,  because insufficient technical data are available.   As
               a rough approximation,  the national  estimates may be increased by
               10%  to  account for this use.   Much of this use could occur in the
               Gulf Coast region.

-------
                                                TABLE 8-11
Source of Emission

Residential
Commercial/Institutional

Land Vehicles
Other Transportation

Solid Waste Disposal

Electric Utilities

Miscellaneous

Industrial Processes
Industrial Boilers
   Total
ANNUAL EMISSIONS ESTIMATED FOR STATE OF
TEXAS
1000 Tons Per Year
SOx
0.3
11.1
35.3
18.0
14.3
53.8
7.3
620.3
40.3
800.6
NOx
11.6
20.1
624.1
56.9
4.9
372.4
167.3
130.0
200.5
1587.9
Particulates
1.5
4.1
61.3
63.9
17.1
20.0
14.1
406.8
19.5
608.3
SOx
negl.
1.4
4.4
2.2
1.8
6.7
0.9
77.6
5.0
100
% of
NOx
0.7
1.3
39.3
3.6
0.3
23.5
10.5
8.2
12.6
100
Total
Particulates
0.2
0.7
10.1
10.5
2.8
3.3
2.3
66.9
3.2
100
I
t—
Source:  National Emissions Data System, State Emissions Report,  Emissions as  of 3/1/76.

-------
                                                TABLE 8-12
Source of Emission

Residential
Commercial/Institutional

Land Vehicles
Other Transportation

Solid Waste Disposal

Electric Utilities

Miscellaneous

 Industrial Processes
 Industrial Boilers
    Total

 AQCR as %  of  Texas

 All Sources
 Land Vehicles
 Industrial Boilers
ESTIMATED FOR METROPOLITAN HOUS:

SOx
0.03
2.0
5.7
3.3
3.5
8.2
0.1
148.0
18.5
189.4
24
16
46
1000 Tons
NOx
1.2
4.0
104.7
12.7
1.1
113.5
3.1
63.4
84.4
388.1
24
17
42
Per Year
Particulates
0.2
0.6
10.6
2.3
3.5
2.3
3.2
81.3
3.8
107.7
18
17
20
	% of Total	
 SQx     NOx     Particulates

negl.    0.3          0.2
 1.1     1.0          0.6

 3.0    27.0          9.8
 1.7     3.3          2.1

 1.8     0.3          3.2

 4.3    29.2          2.1

 0.1     0.8          3.0

78.2    16.3        75.5
 9.8    21.8         3.5
100     100         100
Un

!
 Source:  National Emissions Data System,  AQCR Emissions Report, Emissions as of 3/1/76.

-------
                                    -  136  -
          Of these three AQCR's, West Central Illinois appeared  the best
choice for the present study because of its mix of industrial plants  and
other emission sources.*  NEDS data for the state of Illinois and  for
AQCR 075 are presented in Tables 8-13 and 8-14.  As in the cases of the
state of Texas and the Houston-Galveston AQCR, it will be seen that
industrial boilers are a relatively minor factor in ambient air  quality
in Illinois.  Particulate emissions are somewhat higher than expected in  the
West Central Illinois AQCR (#075).  The explanation is not known,  but it is
possible that the current situation reflects an insufficient use of
electrostatic precipitators, i.e. there may be a number of existing
industrial boiler installations that do not meet Federal standards for
new point sources.  This may also be the case for NOx and S02 emissions,
although no supporting data are available.  If this is so, it seems possible
that application of coal-fired FBC to industrial boilers could reduce the
total emissions of particulates, NOx and S02 as facilities complying  with
Federal standards gradually replace installations that are not in  compliance
now.

          The counties included in the selected AQCR's are listed  in  Table 8-15,
while their geographical location is shown in Figures 8-1 and 8-2.

     8.6.2  Current Situation:  Ambient Air Quality

          In accordance with requirements of the Clean Air Act and EPA
Regulations for State Implementation Plans (SIP's), (13), ambient  air quality
data resulting from air monitoring operations of State, local, and Federal
networks must be reported each calendar quarter to the Environmental
Protection Agency.  The EPA Storage and Retrieval of Aerometric Data  (SAROAD)
format, (14), is the established medium for transmittal of air data to EPA
Regional Offices within 45 days after each reporting period.  EPA  Regional
Offices must, within an additional 30 days, forward data they have received
to the EPA National Aerometric Data Bank (NADB), of which the SAROAD  system is
an operational part.  The NADB is managed by the National Air Data Branch,
Monitoring and Data Analysis Division of the OAQPS.  In a continuing  effort
to provide these data to participating agencies as well as to the  public,
EPA periodically publishes a summary of all data submitted, e.g. references
 (15) and  (16).  Statistics drawn from these references were used as an
indication of current ambient air quality i'r AQCR 216 and AQCR 075.   In fact,
 the analytical measurements were made in 1973 and 1974.  The data  relate  to
sampling and analysis performed at two locations.  Three laboratories are
housed at the Houston location.

           •  AQCR 216  810  Bagby Street,  Houston,  Texas

               - EPA Regional  Office  (001  P01)
               - EPA Atmospheric Surveillance  Office  (001  A01)
               - Houston Health Department  (001 HOI)

           •  AQCR 075  224  West Adams  Street,  Springfield,  Illinois
               - State of Illinois EPA  (003  F01)
*However, substantially the same conclusions would have been reached if either
 of the other two Illinois AQCR's had been selected.

-------
                                                TABLE  8-B
Source of Emission

Residential
Commercial/Institutional

Land Vehicles
Other Transportation

Solid Waste Disposal

Electric Utilities

Industrial Processes
Industrial Boilers
    Total
ANNUAL EMISSIONS ESTIMATED FOR STATE OF ILLINOIS
1000 Tons
SOx
68.1
44.7
23.8
2.3
6.3
1998.2
91.4
383.6
2618.5
NOx
25.5
35.5
436.2
11.5
12.7
631.1
29.1
129.9
1311.6
Per Year
Particulates
16.2
19.9
44.7
2.4
53.7
232.5
409.4
152.3
931.1

SOx
2.6
1.7
0.9
0.1
0.2
76.3
3.5
14.7
100
% of
NOx
1.9
2.7
33.3
0.8
1.0
48.2
2.2
9.9
100
Total
Particulates
1.7
2.1
4.8
0.2
5.8
25.0
44.0
16.4
100
U)
—J
 Source:  National Emissions Data System,  State Emissions Report, Emissions as of 3/1/76.

-------
                                                 TABLE 8-14
ANNUAL
EMISSIONS ESTIMATED
FOR WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS (AQCR 075)
1000 Tons Per Year
Source of Emission
Residential
Commercial/ Institutional
Land Vehicles
Other Transportation
Solid Waste Disposal
Electric Utilities
Miscellaneous
Industrial Processes
Industrial Boilers
Total
ACQR as % of Illinois
All Sources
Land Vehicles
Industrial Boilers
SOx
4.2
4.9
1.6
0.2
0.3
399.1
-
negl.
33.6
444.0
17
7
9
NOx
1.2
1.9
32.5
1.0
0.9
139.4
-
negl.
8.0
184.9
14
7
6
Particulates
1.0
2.6
3.4
0.2
3.5
22.8
-
32.1
26.1
91.7
10
8
17

SOx
1.0
1.1
0.4
negl.
0.1
89.8
-
negl.
7.6
100

% of
NOx
0.6
1.0
17.6
0.5
0.5
75.5
-
negl.
4.3
100

Total
Particulates
1.1
2.8
3.7
0.2
3.8
24.9
-
35.0
28.5
100

                                                                                                                   H-1
                                                                                                                   U>
                                                                                                                   CO
Source:  National Emissions Data  System,  AQCR Emissions Report, Emissions as of 3/1/76.

-------
                                   - 139  -




                              TABLE 8-15

                 COUNTIES INCLUDED IN SELECTED AQCR's


West Central Illinois Intrastate  (AQCR 075)

Counties:
Adams
Brown
Calhoun
Cass
Christian
Greene
Jersey
Logan
Macon
Macoupin
Menara
Montgomery
Morgan
Pike
Sangaraon
Schuyler
Scott

Metropolitan Houston-Calveston Intrastate  (AQCR 216)

Counties:  Austin         Galveston     Walker
           Brazonia       Harris        Waller
           Chambers       Liberty        Wharton
           Colorado       Matagorda
           Fort  Bend      Montgomery

-------
             AMARILLO
             LUBBOCK
             INTRASTATE
                                                            METROPOLITAN
                                                            DALLAS-
                                                            FORT WORTH
                                                            1NTRASTATE
          SHREVEPORT-
          TEXARKANA-
          TYLER
          INTERSTATE
          (ARKANSAS-
          LOUISIANA-
          OKLAHOMA-
          TEXAS)
ABILENE-
WICHITA FALLS
INTRASTATE
           MIDLAND-
           ODESSA-
           SAN ANGELO
           IHTRASTATE
EL PASO-
LAS CRUCES-
ALAMOGORDO
INTERSTATE
(TEXAS-
NEW MEXICO)
                                                                                           SOUTHERN
                                                                                           LOUISIANA-
                                                                                           SOUTHEAST
                                                                                           TEXAS
                                                                                           INTERSTATE
                   AUSTIN-
                   WACO
                   INTRASTATE
                                                       M
                                                       00
                                                        I
                                                       I-1
                                                                                      I
                                                                                      I-1
                                                                                      o
                                                                                      I
                       METROPOLITAN
                       SAN ANTONIO
                       INTRASTATE
         METROPOLITAN
         HOUSTON-
         GALVESTON
         INTRASTATE
                                 BROWNSVILLE'
                                 LAREDO
                                 INTRASTATE
CORPUS-CHRIST! •
VICTORIA
INTRASTATE
                                                           T-E.P
                                       Air Quality Control Regions In Texas.

-------
                                         - 141  -


                                      FIGURE 8-2
            METROPOLITAN
            DUBUQUE
            INTERSTATE
            (IOWA-
            ILLINOIS-
            WISCONSIN)
      METROPOLITAN
      QUAD
      CITIES
      INTERSTATE
      (ILLINOIS-
      IOWA)
BURLINGTON
KEOKUK
INTERSTATE
(IOWA-
ILLINOIS)
ROCKFORD-
JAfoESVILLE-
BELOIT
INTERSTATE
(ILLINOIS-
WISCONSIN)
    METROPOLITAN
    CHICAGO
    INTERSTATE
    (ILLINOIS-
    INDIANA)
                                                                           NORTH
                                                                           CENTRAL
     WEST CENTRAL-
     ILLINOIS
     INTRASTATE
   ILLINOIS
   INTRASTATE
  •EAST
  CENTRAL
  ILLINOIS
  INTRASTATE
               METROPOLITAN
               ST. LOUIS
               INTERSTATE
              (LLINOIS-
               IKISSOUR!)
SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS     *"
INTRASTATE
                            PADUCAH-
                            CAIRO
                            INTERSTATE
                            (KENTUCKY-
                            ILLINOIS)
                                 Air Quality Control  Regions in Illinois.

-------
                                     - 142 -




             Pertinent measurements of ambient air quality were:

             Micrograms per Cubic Meter, yg/cu.m., Annual Basis

                          Particulates            SC>2                   N02
                       (Geometric Mean)      (Arithmetic Mean)     (Arithmetic Mean)

   AQCR 216                  81*                   4**                  75***
   AQCR 075                  65*                  25**                  21***

   NAAQS Primary Std.        75                   80                  100


             Detailed discussion of the reported ambient air quality measurements
   is beyond the scope of this study.  However, it should be pointed out that the
   nationwide reports exhibit variability among test methods, evidence  of statistical
   or analytical errors, and problems associated with computer generated reports.
   While effort was made to extract statistics representative of the air quality
   conditions in AQCR's 216 and 075, the numbers reported should be taken as
   illustrative rather than as precise.  For example, the reported particulate
   level of 81 yg/cu.m. for AQCR 216 exceeds the primary standard of 75 yg/cu.m.
   Other sample points within the AQCR report both higher and lower values.
   Hence, the geometric mean of 81 yg/cu.m. should probably be taken as an
   indication that the Houston-Galveston area has a potential problem with
   particulates rather than as categorical evidence that the area is not in
   compliance with an NAAQS primary standard.  Analogously,  even though the
   arithmetic mean of 75 yg/cu.m. N02 is below the primary standard of 100 yg/cu.m.
   the relatively high observed level may be taken as an indication of an
   incipient problem.  On the other hand, reported sulfur dioxide levels in
   AQCR 216's ambient air are at the very low level of 4 yg/cu.m. which is
   appreciably below the primary standard of 80 yg/cu.m.  Undoubtedly, the low
   level reflects the extensive use of natural gas in the Houston area.
   Corresponding measurements for AQCR 075 indicate a borderline situation for
   particulates and comfortable margins below the primary standards for both
   S02 and N02.

        8.6.3  Future Situation:  Mass Emissions
             Estimates of emissions,  related to coal-fired FBC industrial boiler
   technology, for Metropolitan Houston-Galveston (AQCR 216)  and West Central
   Illinois (AQCR 075) may be derived from:

   (1)  Table 3-6 which indicates that the states of Texas and Illinois account,
       respectively,  for 58.9% and 29.4% of  the pertinent industrial boiler
       capacity in the Gulf Coast and Great  Lakes regions.
   (2)  Tables  8-12 and 8-14 which indicate that AQCR 216  and  AQCR 075 account
       respectively,  for about 45% and 8% of the pertinent state totals of
       industrial  boiler emissions.****

   (3)  Table 8-10 which provides regional estimates of emissions associated
       with the most  probable coal-fired FBC potential.
   *Test Method:   Hi-Vol Gravimetric, 24 hours.
  **Test Method:   Gas Bubbler para-rosaniline sulfamic acid, 24 hours.
 ***Test Method:   Gas Bubbler sodium arsenite, frit, 24 hours.
****based on S02  and N02 emissions.

-------
                                   - 143  -
           Applying the appropriate percentages for (1) and m  =
 factors to the pertinent numbers in Table 8-10 yields estiJtl o
 associated with  the potential future use of coal-fired ?Bc"n!0CR
 AQCR 075.  These estimates are recorded in Table 8-16*  Presenflev    of
           Unfortunately,  no estimates of future mass emissions  from all**
 sources are available for AQCR's 216 and 075.  Hence, it is necessary to
 relate the estimates of incremental emissions from coal-fired FBC boilers
 with the current  levels of particulate, S02 and NO- emissions in the
 selected AQCR's:                                   L

                      Estimated Increment to Mass Emissions
                      Attributable to Coal-Fired FBC Industrial Boilers
                      as a % of Current Emissions from All Sources _
      AQCR 216        Particulates        S02            NO?

        1980           negligible     negligible     negligible
        1990               223
        2000               7               5             10

      AQCR 075

        1980           negligible     negligible     negligible
        1990               0.3             0.7            0.7
        2000               0.8             2              2


           The above estimates suggest that coal-fired FBC industrial boilers
 will not be major contributors to air emissions in either of the selected
 AQCR's.  On the other hand, any increment to emissions would be expected
 to exacerbate the situation in a region such as Houston-Galveston where
 current emission  levels are approaching the NAAQS primary standards (for
 particulates and  N02) .   This is discussed further below.

       8.6.4 Future Situation:  Ambient Air Quality

            The previously discussed mass emissions projected for coal-fired FBC
 industrial boilers were converted by proration to absolute  increments to pollutants
 in the ambient air in the selected AQCR's.  The simple proration procedure has the
 effect of assuming that all of the incremental mass emissions stay within the
 AQCR in which they are generated.  Because some dispersion  will occur, the assumption
 leads to what may be considered as a "worst increment" to degradation of ambient
 air quality.


 'excluding the emissions  associated with the use of compliance coal in
  AQCR 216, since  insufficient technical data are available  to make such
  estimates.
**i.e. for all sources other than large industrial boilers.

-------
                                 .- 144 -
                               TABLE 8-16

       ESTIMATES OF EMISSIONS IN AQCR 216 AND AQCR 075 ASSOCIATED
       WITH POTENTIAL USE OF COAL-FIRED FBC  IN  INDUSTRIAL  BOILERS
   Metropolitan Houston-Galveston  (AQCR 216), Most Probable  Case


            1000 Tons Per Year of Emissions from FBC  Industrial  Boilers
Solid Waste
9
262
909
1520
2680
Particulates
0.02
0.72
2.5
4.2
7.3
S02
0.28
9
31
52
91
N0?
0.11
3.6
12
21
37
Solid Waste
0.9
26
88
149
260
Particulates
0.002
0.07
0.24
0.41
0.72
S02
0.03
0.87
3.0
5
9
NOo
0.01
0.35
1.2
2.Q
3.6
 1980
 1985
 1990
 1995
 2000
 * West Central Illinois  (AQCR 075), Most Probable Case

           1000 Tons Per Year of Emissions from FBC Industrial Boilers


 1980
 1985
 1990
 1995
 2000


 • Present Emission Levels* (see Tables 8-11 and 8-13)

     - From Industrial Boilers

           1000 Tons Per Year of Emissions	
           Solid Waste         Particulates        S02
 AQCR 216   not applic.**          3.8             18.5
 AQCR 075   not applic.**         26.1             33.6

     - From All Sources Within AQCR

 AQCR 216   not applic.**        107.7           189.4           388.1
 AQCR 075   not applic.**         91.7           444.0           184^9


 *NEDS estimates
**solid waste disposal in current NEDS system does not apply to FBC solid wastes
  since FBC technology is not in use.
 i excluding use of compliance coal.

-------
                               -  145
                             TABLE 8-17

      ESTIMATED INCREMENTS TO AMBIENT  AIR POLLUTION ASSOCIATED
               WITH COAL-FIRED  FBC INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
• Metropolitan


1985
1990
1995
2000
Current Level
AQCR
Houston-Galveston (AQCR
Estimated FBC
Particulates
0.6
1.8
3.2
5.5
in
81
Primary Standard 75
216)
Increment,
SO 2
0.2
0.6
1.1
1.9

4
80

Ug/cu.m.
NQ2
0.7
2.3
4.1
7.1

75
100
  West Central Illinois  (AQCR 075)
1985
1990
1995
2000

Current Level in
 AQCR
Primary Standard
 0.1
 0.2
 0.3
 0.5
65
75
 0.1
 0.2
 0.3
 0.5
25
80
 negligible
  0.1
  0.2
  0.4
 21
100

-------
                                  - 146 -
          For the Houston-Galveston region, the projected emissions  from coal-
fired FBC industrial boilers are not expected to add large increments  of
participates, S02 or N02 to the ambient air.  Nevertheless, in  the case  of
both particulates and N02, the impact may be of practical significance because
the current level of air quality is marginal and, hence, any incremental
pollution will make NAAQS more difficult to achieve and/or maintain.   However,
the increments associated with FBC industrial boilers assume further industrial-
ization of AQCR 216.  If this industrialization occurs, there will be  problems
in meeting current NAAQS regardless of the technology applied to industrial
boilers.  The difficulty lies in the current emission levels not with  FBC
as a control technology.  In fact, other technologies for combusting coal
in industrial boilers might well produce larger detrimental increments to
ambient air pollution levels than those estimated for FBC.  This is probable
for NOx emissions, but not necessarily the case for particulates.  A possible
inference is that to derive maximum environmental advantage from FBC,  it may
be necessary to develop extremely effective particulate removal technology.

          West Central Illinois has a moderate industrial base  but, industrially,
cannot be compared with Houston-Galveston which is the nation's leading
petroleum refining/petrochemical region.  The difference in degree of
industrialization is the principal reason why the ambient air quality  impacts
associated with FBC industrial boilers are projected to be minimal in  AQCR 075.
The increments projected In Table 8-17 are all within the current accuracy of
the test methods for the pollutants in question.

8.7  Disposition of Solids and Sludge

          The greatest incremental volumes of emissions on conversion  from
natural gas or low sulfur fuel oil to coal will be the solid and/or sludge
streams.  From an environmental viewpoint, however, these streams may be of
less concern than other increased emissions such as NOx and S02.

          A number of studies have been carried out for EPA covering the
environmental problems connected with solids disposal; among these are
references 8, 9, 10 and 11.  Reports in reference 11 were more concerned
with disposal of ash chars and sludges from coal gasification and lique-
faction plants, although in many cases coal fired boilers were assumed.
Reference 8 devotes 19 pages to limestone regeneration as a method of
reducing solids disposal and to a discussion of the environmental problems,
and also five pages to solids disposal and possible environmental problems.
Reference 9 contains 6 pages and twelve further references devoted to  these
subjects.  Reference 10 contains 35 pertinent pages, eighteen additional
references,  and includes original experimental work related to the environment.
Although, as discussed below, conclusions from these references are applicable
to the present study,  they do not accurately reflect the on-going efforts on
disposal of solid and sludge wastes.  Such efforts include laboratory  leaching/
lysimeter tests, low temperature fixation of wastes, and assessment of ocean
disposal.

     8.7.1  Solid/Sludge Byproducts

          Table 8-18 shows the calculated compositions of the solid waste
streams produced when Illinois No. 6 coal is burned under the conditions
assumed in 8.3 and 8.4.

-------
                                  -  147  -
                                TABLE 8-18

                   COMPOSITION OF  SOLIDS/SLUDGE  FROM
                      BURNING ILLINOIS  NO.  6  COAL
 • Basis:   100 KPPH industrial boiler
                                % in Solids/Sludge
CaO
CaS0
                           FBC
                            33
                            36
                                          Spreader  Stoker
                            10
                            21
Inert from limestone
Ash
H20

Form of
waste stream

Quantity of waste
stream,  T/D

*Sludge will contain small amount of CaS04 oxidized from CaS03, but oxidation rate
 at scrubber/settler/filter conditions  is low.
                         Dry,  granular
                         stone/ash mixture

                            55
  24
   9
   3
  18
  46

Mixture of wet
scrubber sludge
with boiler ash
  66

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                                 - 148 -
          The quantity of sludge from the spreader stoker/scrubber  is  somewhat
greater than the solids from the FBC (66 t/d vs. 55 t/d) but the difference in
quantity is not significant from an environmental standpoint.  The  difference
in form (solid vs. sludge) and composition may be significant depending on
ultimate disposition.

     8.7.2  Solids Disposal

          The environmental problems of  solids  disposal  from burning coal  for
industrial heat generation can be quite  different from those connected  with
large coal conversion plants (11) or large power generation plants  utilizing
coal (12).  In the latter two cases, disposal of solids  is  of such  importance
in the original plant design that it may be a factor  in  determining the
location of the plant.  Frequently the solids from such  plants  can  be
returned to the coal mine.  Usually the  locations of  such plants  would  be
in areas with sufficient available land  to allow impoundment of sludges.   On
the other hand, the locations of industries that may  utilize coal for heating
purposes would probably be determined by other  factors.   Oil refineries, for
example, are placed in locations where crude oil is easily  accessible and
markets are close.  Frequently these industries are in areas where  land
availability is limited.  Solids disposal can then only  be  effected by  carting
the materials away.  Thus the immediate  environmental problem is  solved.
The question then arises as to ultimate  disposal of the  solids/sludges.
Assuming that dusting problems can be adequately handled the main environ-
mental problems connected with storing  the materials  in  some remote area is
that of leaching of harmful materials and use of land.  These problems have
been discussed in a number of references (8-11) .  Leaching  does occur as
reported in reference 11.  However, the problem may be no worse than leaching
of gypsum itself.  By proper site selection and mechanical design,   both sludges
and solids may be storable indefinitely in landfill sites without representing
a hazard to water supplies.  Availability of nearby landfill sites  may be a
problem in some locations, and would surely become a general problem if total
U.S. consumption of solid coal increases two to three-fold.  Hence, utilization,
rather than disposal, of  the "wastes" would appear to be a desirable and necessary
long term goal.

          Ocean dumping is another  possible solution, although one  that
would require very careful control.

     8.7.3  Utilization of Solid Wastes

          The use of  the  solids  for road fill material has been  suggested but
the problem of leaching would have  to be examined on a larger  scale than has
been done to date to determine the  consequences of sulfate and calcium con-
tamination of water supplies.

          About 13 percent of the ash produced  in 1971 found use in various
applications (9) and  some possibilities for the use of FBC  solids  have been
suggested (9)  (10).  However, looked at differently, 87% of  the  ash produced
in 1971 was not utilized  — in spite of many years of effort made  by the
National Ash Association  to find commercial outlets  for ash.   It appears
that there are institutional as well as technological barriers to  ash
utilization and, hence, that utilization efforts will have  to  be sustained
for a long time.

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                                  -  149 -
     8.7.4  Regeneration of Treater  Material^

          Regeneration of the  calcium sulfate (sulfites)  has  been considered
as a method of reducing the quantities of solids to be disposed  of and research
work is in progress (8).  Insufficient information is available  to determine
that regeneration is economically viable.  The environmental  problems connected
with regeneration will have to be examined to determine if regeneration affects
the environment to a greater extent  than impoundment of the total solid wastes.

 8.8 Modification of  Basis^

           As discussed in Section 5.2, new information provided by ERDA in
 September 1976 has required re-estimation of  the most probable potential for
 application of coal-fired FBC  technology to industrial boilers.   The re-
 estimation introduces quantitative uncertainties in  the area of "environmental
 impacts"  and with respect to  the combustion of  compliance coal in industrial
 FBC boilers.  The major problem, with respect _to_ this study, is that insufficient
 technical data are available  for quantification of  the emissions associated with
 the use of a variety of low sulfur bituminous,  sub-bituminous, and lignite
 coals  in  FB boilers.

           Qualitatively,  we visualize considerable practical advantages  in
 being  able to apply FBC technology to low sulfur coals, as discussed below.
 However,  with existing technical information, it is not possible to  quantify
 these  advantages.  From economic and practical  standpoints, FBC  technology
 may permit:

 (1) coals with significant content of alkaline  ash to become compliance
     coals (whereas they would not be compliance coals if combusted by
     conventional technology).

 (2) lower emissions of sulfur oxides and, possibly, nitrogen oxides  than
     would be achievable at comparable cost using conventional technology.

           The first of the above possibilities requires at least four factors
 to be  taken into account  in determination of whether a particular coal is
 "compliant":

           • the sulfur content of the coal
           • the ash content of the coal
           • the composition of the ash
           • the technology by which the coal will be combusted.

           The second possibility introduces  a fifth factor,  namely  that the
 definition of "compliance" may vary with location  and with time.  Put dit-
 ferently, compliance with New Source Performance Standards  (NSPS) may jot be
 sufficient in some industrial areas  of  country  which are  already at  or beyond
 ambient air quality standards (NAAQS).   Thus, "compliance" may become a variable
 that depends'cm the interaction  of  other f actors.   Current informat ion about
 these  factors is inadequate.   Moreover,  the ways in which NMQ* a^ °*^
 attained  (or not attained) are being affected 1* Illative and regulatory
 changes,  i.e. by non-technological  and  essentially unpredictable factors.

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                                 - 150 -
          Available data on sulfur content, ash content, ash composition, and
source of coal are summarized in Figure 8-3 and Tables 8-19 and 8-20.  The
stoichiometric ratios of alkali metals to sulfur appear to be most important
because the alkali metals present in the coal can capture sulfur during
combustion — particularly if the coal is combusted in a fluid bed.  The
point is made in terms of Ca/S ratio in the last horizontal row of Table 8-20.

8.9  Environmental Conclusions and Recommendations

          Using conventional technology, a change from natural gas or oil to
coal-firing would be expected to affect the environment adversely.  With FBC
technology, there is a potential for improvement over conventional coal use
technology.  Industrial FBC boilers should be able to meet and improve upon
New Source Performance Standards.  However, it is improbable that coal-fired
FBC will ever achieve the degree of control possible with natural gas or low
sulfur fuel oil.  This is not to the detriment of FBC because it is expected
that natural gas and LSFO will become supply limited before synthetic fuels
are available.

          The development of FBC technology will not, of itself, correct
existing problems with ambient air quality.  Notwithstanding the potentially
important contributions that may be made by FBC technology to the coal-firing
of industrial boilers in environmentally acceptable ways, such applications
are likely to have a smaller impact on ambient air quality than:

          (a) the impact produced by combustion sources other than large
              industrial boilers, and -

          (b) the impact of emissions from existing coal-fired
              equipment in regions that currently use coal to a
              significant extent.

          The Metropolitan Houston-Galveston Air Quality Control Region
contains the most important industrial area in the nation.* By the year
2000, projected use of FBC technology in large industrial boilers in AQCR 216
could raise levels of ambient air pollution from particulates and NOx by
an increment equal to about 7% of the Primary Ambient Air Quality Standard
for each of these criteria pollutants.  The practical significance of this
increment will depend on the general level of ambient air quality that exists
in the year 2000 in AQCR 216.  Currently, ambient air quality is marginal.
Hence, any increment could be significant unless the aggregate of existing
sources of air emissions is brought under better control.
*important in the sense-that the area contains the greatest industrial
 concentration in the U.S.  Moreover, chemicals and petrochemicals plants
 are responsible for a large element of this concentration.  Demand for
 petrochemical products is growing about twice as fast as demand for industrial
 products in general.  Hence, constraint of industrial expansion in AQCR 216
 might be expected to have significant national repercussions.

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                                         - 151  -
                                       FIGURE 8-3

               DISTRIBUTION OF SULFUR AND  ALKALI  CONSTITUENTS
               	OF  COAL BY REGION
                         EASTERN COAL
  0   05  10  1.5 JO  2.5  30  J.5  40 45  5.0  5.5  CO

               SULFUR, percent of coal
  0   05  1.0  15  20  25  30  33  4.0 4.5  50  55  6.0

               SUl.Fun, pcrcpp.l cf  cool
                         WESTERN COAL
  0    05  10  !5  2.O  25  3.0  35  40 45  50  5.5 6.0

               SULFUR, percent cf cool
       t'remi?r,cv disLr.hution of coal reserves by sulfur
                   conVir.it and ref.lon.
                                                                           cor.leviL aoel region.
Source:   Reference  (17)

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                                 - 152 -
                               TABLE 8-19
                  ALKALI ELEMENTS IN COAL ASH BY REGION
 Region
  East
  Central
  West
                               Alkali Oxides, % of Ash
CaO
3.15
9.38
13.74
MgO
0.86
1.07
3.71
Na?0
0.91
0.74
3.44
K?0
1.48
1.45
0.86
   Stoichiometric ratio of  alkali metals to sulfur
                         Percent  of  Coal
                     av.  alkali  av.  sulfur
  East
  Central
  West
0.43
1.27
1.54
1.95
3.43
0.70
Stoichiometric Ratio
  Alkali/Sulfur
       0.12
       0.21
       1.31
Source:  E. A. Sondreal and P. H. Tufte, "Comparison of Flue Gas Desulfurization
         for Eastern vs. Western U.S. Coals", U.S. Bureau of Mines, Grand Forks,
         North Dakota, September 1974 (17).  (Source refers to U.S. Bureau of
         Mines Bulletin 567 and unpublished data.)

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                                                  TABLE 8-20
Lignite
State N.D.
Mine
No. of Samples 212
Ash, wt.%
Oxide constituents
Si02
A1203
Fe203
Ti02
S03
CaO
MgO
Na20
K20
P205
Ca/S ratio
6.2
of ash, %
19.7
11.1
30.8
9.1
0.4
9.5
19.5
24.6
6.9
31.5
6.5
0.4
6.9
0.3
2.2
SELECTED
ANALYSES OF ASH IN WESTERN COALS
Sub-b i tuminou s
Mont.
125
9.3
35.5
18.7
54.2
7.8
0.7
8.5
13.4
15.6
4.4
20.0
1.7
0.4
2.1
0.3
2.1
Wyo.
Big Horn
12
4.8
27.4
12.7
40.1
13.9
0.6
14.5
17.0
16.6
5.5
22.1
2.2
0.5
2.7
0.5
1.7
Ariz.
Black Mesa
1
7.5
42.0
18.1
60.1
5.7
0.8
6.5
8.2
17.8
2.4
20.2
1.4
0.3
1.7
0.6
3.8
Bituminous
N.M.
Nava j o
2
20.2
55.6
26.2
81.8
6.1
0.6
6.7
3.2
3.9
0.8
4.7
1.5
0.6
2.1
0.5
2.2
N.M.
McKinley
1
8.0
54.7
21.6
76.3
7.0
1.0
8.0
5.8
6.5
1.2
7.7
1.6
0.8
2.4
nil
2.0
Col.
Hawks Nest
3
5.4
44.8
28.3
73.1
11.5
0.8
12.3
4.0
5.6
1.9
7.5
0.6
0.5
1.1
0.7
2.5
                                                                                                                        Ui
                                                                                                                        to
Source:  ERDA Open File Report:  "Survey of Coal and Ash Composition and Characteristics of Western Coals and
         Lignite", Grand Forks, North Dakota, 1975 (18).

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                                  - 154 -
           At  present,  available technical data limit the quantitative
 environmental conclusions that  may be drawn about coal-fired FBC, per
 se,and in relation to  other coal use technologies.   Further definition
 of  the following is suggested:


      (1) the quantity of sulfur retained in the ash from FBC and
          spreader-stoker boilers . . . for representative Western
          coals (bituminous, sub-bituininous, lignites) and South-
          western lignites.

      (2) NOx emissions . . . for the same types of equipment* and
          coals listed in (1).

      (3) particulate emissions  from (atmospheric) coal-fired FBC
          boilers ... as for  (1) but also including high sulfur
          coals.

      (4) fate of trace elements ... as for (1), but also
          including high sulfur  coals and FGDS systems.
*there is some evidence, not sufficiently reliable to cite here, that different
 designs of atmospheric fluidized bed combustors have different NOx control
 potentialities.  This possibility warrants further investigation.

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                                  - 155 -


                             9.   CONCLUSIONS


          The conclusions  of  any forecasting study are  conditioned by the

assumptions used and by  the judgment of the investigator.  The conclusions

below are accompanied by the  letters (a), (b) and (c) which signify:

(a) high probability:  the evidence and logic appear so persuasive that
    the conclusion may be  taken as objectively valid.

(b) dependent on assumptions  used:  the conclusion is valid only if the
    assumptions are valid, e.g. that limited availability  or very high
    cost of imported oil will force the use of greatly  increased quantities
    of coal as industrial  boiler fuel within the timeframe of interest.

(c) dependent on contractor's judgment;  many factors affecting long range
    projections are not  forecastable in a rigorous way  and must be dealt
    with by judgment.
 (1) Parity price calculations indicate that fuel price alone  is not likely
    to provide  a sufficient incentive for conversion of industrial boilers
    from oil/gas-firing to coal-firing during the next decade.              (a)

 (2) Aside from  mandated switching, a decision to use coal is  apt to be
    induced  by  the perception that, during the life of a particular plant,
    the supply  of oil may become unreliable (e.g. interrupted, rationed,
    or unavailable) .                                                        ^c^

 (3) Capital-intensive manufacturing operations cannot tolerate unreliability
    or unavailability of energy supply.                                    (a'

 (4) A survey of operators of large industrial boiler systems  revealed that
    almost all  are considering the use of coal and are expecting that,
    eventually, such use will be unavoidable.  Once a decision to use coal
    is made,  consideration will be given to whatever coal-use technologies
    have been demonstrated to be commercially reliable at the time the decision
    is made.   Installation of coal-fired FBC boilers will be  considered if
    commercial  reliability has been demonstrated to be competitive with
    environmentally acceptable alternatives.

 (5) An increasing shortage of -tural gas, a growing compliance with
    environmental regulations (to achieve "clean air ) , and re "^  "
     economic recession are expected to result in de"sf n
     to  install new industrial boilers du ^8 the -x  f w
     it  appears important for coal-fired FBC technology to                  (b)
     strated for industrial use as soon as possible.

-------
                                      - 156 -
 (6)  Erosion of the potentials estimated in this study may be expected
     if the demonstration of commercial reliability of FBC technology
     occurs after 1981,  or 1982 at the latest.                               (c)

 (7)  The use of compliance coal is widely perceived to be a more economic
     choice than the use of high sulfur coal plus flue gas desulfurization
     (i.e.  "scrubbers").                                                    (a) (<0

 (8)  The cost of using compliance coal with FBC technology is estimated to
     be a stand-off with using the same compliance coal in conventional
     coal-fired industrial boilers.                                         (b)

 (9)  The major resources of compliance coal are in the Western states,
     hence transportation costs to many industrial plants will be high.     (a)

(10)  The combined demand for compliance coal by electric utilities and
     manufacturing plants may constrain its availability in the 1980's
     and, eventually, will do so.                                           (c)


(11)  Southwestern lignites, which contain appreciable amounts of alkaline
     ash, are not compliance coals if combusted conventionally but may become
     so in fluid-bed units.  This possibility is of considerable potential
     importance to industry located in the Gulf Coast area.                 (c)

(12)  In general, Western coals of all ranks contain alkaline ash that can
     effect sulfur capture when the coals are combusted.  A much higher
     level of sulfur capture is likely via FBC than with conventional
     combustion.                                                            (a) (c)

(13)  The foregoing points, taken together,  give qualitative backing to
     this study's estimates of coal-fired FBC potential provided that
     timely demonstration of commercial reliability is achieved.            (c)

(14)  FBC technology has  important advantages that, currently, cannot be
     quantified.  The advantages include flexibility to combust different
     types  of coal, good control of NOx emissions, relatively unobjection-
     able solid wastes for which uses are under development, and ability to
     be fabricated and shipped in modules for simple field assembly.  Hence,
     a decisive advantage in new boilers is possible for FBC over scrubber
     technology provided that commercial reliability of FBC technology is
     demonstrated in time.                                                  (c)

(15)  Conversion of existing boilers to FBC technology (i.e. "retrofitting
     FBC")  is judged to  be economically unattractive.                       (a) (c)

(16)  The potential for coal-fired FBC is concentrated in the chemicals,
     petrochemicals, petroleum refining, paper, primary metals, and food
     industries.                                                            (a) (c)

-------
                                      - 157 -
(17) The coal-fired  FBC potential is considered to be a sub-set of coal
    utilization by  all large industrial boilers, and the level of coal
    utilization by  industrial MFBl's may be influenced strongly by the
    existence,  or absence, of coal-use legislation such is now under
    Congressional consideration.                                           /^\  / •>

(18) Over  90%  of the coal-fired FBC potential is in four regions:
    Appalachian, Southeast, Great Lakes, and Gulf Coast.       '            (c)

(19) The coal  firing of large industrial boilers, employing FBC technology,
    is not  expected to have much impact on the aggregate of national
    energy  consumption.                                                    (c)

(20) Estimated potentials for coal-fired FBC may be converted to "savings"
    of oil  equivalent ranging from 150,000 B/D in 1985 to 2.4 million B/D
    in the  year 2000.                                                      (b)  (c)

(21) Realization of  the estimated coal-fired FBC potentials would  have
    significant economic impacts in the boiler manufacturing, coal,  and
    limestone industries.  However, essentially the same impacts  would
    be expected if  the same level of coal utilization is achieved with
    alternative coal-use technologies.                                     (c)

(22) This  study assumes (with much supporting evidence) that coal-fired
    FBC will  be an  environmentally acceptable technology.  On this basis,
    the deployment  of the technology is likely to have a net beneficial
    impact  on ambient air quality as it replaces existing coal-fired
    equipment in regions that currently use coal to a significant extent,   (c)

(23) The environmental impact of coal-fired FBC industrial boilers will be
    small by  comparison with the impact caused by sources other than
    industrial boilers.                                                    (a'

(24) Compliance with New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) may not be
    sufficient in some industrial areas of the country which are  already
    at or beyond ambient air quality standards (NAAQS).  The Houston-
    Galvestor  area  (AQCR 216), which is the leading petroleum refining/
    petrochemical area in the U.S., has particulate and N02 levels in
    ambient  air that are close to the primary standards.                 (a)  U)

(25) Directionallv,  even with excellent control technology, coal use in
    new installations would worsen the quality of the ambient air unless
    the existing situation is improved.

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                                 - 158 -
                            10.  REFERENCES
 Section 2

 1.  J. R.  Ehrenfeld et al, "Systematic Study Of Air Pollution From
     Intermediate Size Fossil-Fuel Combustion Equipment," Walden
     Research Corporation, July 1971.                    PB-207 110 (avail. NTIS)

 2.  D. W.  Locklin et al, "Design Trends And Operating Problems
     in Combustion Modification Of Industrial Boilers," Battelle-
     Columbus Laboratories, April 1974.                 EPA-650/2-74-032

 3.  American Boiler Manufacturers Association, "Stationary Watertube
     Steam And Hot Water Generation Sales - 1974".

 4.  American Boiler Manufacturers Association, "Stationary Watertube
     Steam And Hot Water Generation Sales - 1975".

 5.  R. Wood, Process Engineering (London), December 1975, page 55,
     "Getting Steamed Up Over a Fluid-Bed Burner".  Also personal
     communication from Energy Equipment Company Limited, 19th
     February, 1976.

 6.  M. A.  Buffington, Chemical Engineering (New York), 82no.23,
     98-106, October 27, 1975, "How to Select Package Boilers".

 7.  Pope,  Evans and Robbins, "Coal-Fired Heating Plant Package -
     Phase II Report", November 1963.                    PB 181585

 8.  D. H.  Archer, D. L. Keairns, et al, "Evaluation of the Fluidized
     Bed Combustion Process, Summary Report", Volume I, Westinghouse
     Research Laboratories, 1972, Contract No. CPA 70-9.

 9.  J. C.  Petkovsek and B. J. Mangione, Combustion, 47no.6, 10-15,
     December 1975, "Economics Favor Industrial Power Generation With
     Steam From High Pressure Boilers".

10.  G. A.  Vogt and M. J. Walters, American Institute of Chemical Engineers
     68th Annual Meeting, Los Angeles, November 1975, Paper No. 76-B,
     "Steam Balance As A Working Tool".

11.  American Boiler Manufacturers Association, Personal Communication,
     July 1975.

12.  R. E.  Barrett et al, "Assessment of Industrial Boiler Toxic and
     Hazardous Control Needs", Battelle-Columbus Laboratories, October 1974,
     EPA Contract 68-02-1323, Task 8.

13.  Federal Energy Administration, "Major Fuel Burning Installation Coal
     Conversion Report", Form FEA C-602-S-0, required to be submitted by
     May 21, 1975.

-------
                                  - 159 -
14.   P.  S.  K.  Choi et al, "S02 Reduction  in Non-Utility Combustion
     Sources — Technical and Economic. Comparison  of Alternatives"
     Battelle-Columbus Laboratories,  October 1975,  EPA Contract 68 '
     02-1323,  Task 13.                            KPA-600/2-75-073

15.   J.  E.  Mesko, S. Ehrlich and  R. A.  Gamble,  "Multicell Fluidized-
     Bed Boiler Design, Construction  and  Test Program", Pope  Evans
     and Robbins, Inc., August 1974.              PB 236 254'(avail.  NTIS)

16.   E.  A.  Sondreal and P. H. Tufte,  "Comparison of Flue Gas
     Desulfurization for Eastern  Versus Western U.S. Coals",
     U.S. Bureau of Mines, Grand  Forks  Energy Research Laboratory,
     September 1974.   (Presented  at SHE Fall Meeting, Acapulco,
     Mexico, September 22-25, 1974.)

17.   J.  S.  Wilson and D. W. Gillmore, "Conceptual Design of an
     Atmospheric Fluid-Bed Component  Test and Integration Facility",
     U.S. ERDA, Morgantown Energy Research Center,  December 1975.
     (Presented at Fourth International Fluidized-Bed Combustion
     Conference, McLean, Virginia, December 9-11, 1975.)

18.   W.  B.  Hirschmann, Harvard Business Review 42,  125-139, January/
     February 1964, "Profit From  the  Learning Curve".

19.   D.  H.  Ar.cher, D. L. Keairns, et  al,  "Evaluation of  the Fluidized
     Bed Combustion Process", Volume  II,  Westinghouse Research  Laboratories,
     1972,  Contract No. CPA 70-9.

 Section 3

 1.   "Fuels and Electricity Consumed",  1972 Census  of Manufacturers, Social
     and Economic Statistics Administration, Bureau of the Census, U.S.
     Department of Commerce, MC72(SR)-6,  July 1973.

 2.  "Fuels and Electricity Consumed  (Supplement)", 1972 Census of Manufactures,
     MC72(SR)-6S, September 1974.

 3.  "Greater Coal Utilization",  Joint  Hearings before  the Committees on
     Interior and Insular Affairs and Public Works, United States Senate,
     pursuant to S. Res. 45, The  National Fuels and Energy Policy Study,
     94th Congress, First Session on  S.1777, 1975.

 4.  Public Law 93-319, "Energy Policy and Conservation Act", (EPCA),
     December 22, 1975.

 5.  S.1777, Staff Working Print  No.  1, September 26,  1975.

-------
                                 -  160 -
                        Additional Bibliography  (Section 3)

• "Brief Industrial Descriptions", 1967 Standard Industrial Classification
  Manual, Office of Statistical Standards, Bureau of the Budget, Executive
  Office of the President, 1967   (i.e. the SIC Codes).

• Paul Averitt, "Coal Resources of the United States", U.S.G.S. Bulletin 1412,
  1974.

• N. A. Parker and B. C. Thompson, "U.S. Coal Resources and Reserves", Office
  of Coal, Nuclear, and Electric Power Analysis, Data and Analysis, Federal
  Energy Administration, May 1976.

« Richard L. Gordon, "Economic Analysis of Coal Supply:  An Assessment of
  Existing Studies", Pennsylvania State University, February 1976.

« "Short-Term Coal Forecast, 1975-1980", ICF, Inc., submitted to Office
  of Coal, Federal Energy Administration, August 1975.

• Commerce Technical Advisory Board (CTAB),  "Sulfur Oxide Control Technology",
  September 1975.

• "Keystone Coal Industry Manual", (revised  annually).


Section 4

1.  "1972 OBERS Projections, Regional Economic Activity in the U.S.", Series E
    Population, Regional Economic Analysis Division, Bureau of Economic Analysis,
    Social and Economic Statistics Administration,  U.S. Department of Commerce
    and Natural Resources Economics Division, Economic Research Service, U.S.
    Department of Agriculture, April 1974.
                        Additional Bibliography  (Section 4)

• John G. Myers, et al, "Energy Consumption in Manufacturing", The Conference
  Board, Bellinger Publishing, 1974. (study supported jointly by NSF, the
  Energy Policy Project of the Ford Foundation, and the Energy Information
  Center of the Conference Board).

• John T. Reding and Burchard P.  Shepherd, "Energy Consumption:  the Chemical
  Industry", Dow Chemical, U.S.A., Texas Division, Freeport, Texas, April 1975.
  (PB-241-927)

« John T. Reding and Burchard P.  Shepherd, "Energy Consumption:  Paper, Stone/
  Clay/Glass/Concrete, and Food Industries," April 1975.         (PB-241-926)

-------
                                  - 161 -
* M°hniT'  Rf P^ ^ BUTC^^ P'  |*ePherd>  "Ene^y  Consumption:  the Primary
  Metals and Petroleum Industries",  April 1975.                  (PB-241^990)

• John T.  Reding and Burchard P.  Shepherd,  "Energy  Consumption-  Fuel
  Utilization and Conservation  in Industry",  September  1975.     (PB-246-888)

• James R. Burroughs, "The Technical  Aspects of  the  Conservation of Energy
  for Industrial Processes", Dow Chemical Company,  Midland, Michigan, May 1973.

• Dow Chemical Company and  Environmental Research Institute of Michigan,
  "Evaluation of New Energy Sources  for Process  Heat",  prepared for the'
  Office of Energy R&D Policy,  National Science  Foundation, September 1975.

• Battelle Columbus Laboratories, "Energy Use Patterns  in Metallurgical and
  Nonmetallic Mineral Processing", September 1975.

• "The Pace Slows in Saving Energy", special report,  Business Week, pp 40D-40X,
  August 30, 1976.

• Communication from Jeffrey Duke, Manager, Raw  Materials and Energy Division,
  American Paper Institute,  New York,  March 1976.   (fuel consumption statistics;
  see Appendix 4, Table  38)

• Office of Technology Assessment, U.S. Congress, "An Analysis of the Impacts
  of the Projected Natural  Gas  Curtailments for  the Winter 1975-76",
  November 1975.

• J. C. Petkovsek and B. J.  Margione,  "Economics Favor  Industrial Power
  Generation with Steam  from High Pressure Boilers",  Combustion, pp 10-15,
  December 1975.

• "Survey of Current Business",  Bureau of Economic  Analysis, U.S. Department of
  Commerce, various issues.   (used for prorating certain estimates via FRB Index
  of Manufacturing Production,  and also for constant  dollar calculations).


Section 5

1.  "Review of Overall Reliability and Adequacy  of  the  North American Bulk
    Power Systems (5th Annual Review)", report  by Interregional Review Subcommittee
    of the Technical Advisory Committee, National Electric Reliability Council,
    July 1975.


Section 6

1.  Ronald Kutscher, "Revised BLS Projections to 1980 and 1985:  an Overview",
    Monthly Labor Review, Volume 99, No. 3, March 1976.

2.  "The Structure of the U.S.  Economy in 1980  and  1985", Bulletin 1831, Bureau
    of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor,  19/i.

    (Note that Reference 1  is a revision of Reference 2.)

-------
                                    - 162 -
Section 7

1.  Robert P. Greene, Editor, "System Dynamics Newsletter", Volume 13,
    pp. 1-2, December 1975.

2.  Ibid, p. 21.

3.  Jay W. Forrester, "Business Structure, Economic Cycles, and National
    Policy", Futures, Volume 8, No. 3, pp. 195-214, June 1976.

4.  "A Study of Coal Prices", Council on Wage and Price Stability, Executive
    Office of the President, March 1976.
Section 8

1.  E. S. Rubin, and F. C. McMichael, "Some Implications of Environmental
    Activities on Coal Conversion Processes", Symposium Proceedings:
    Environmental Aspects of Fuel Conversion Technology, May 1974,
    St. Louis, Missouri, EPA Report No. EPA-650/2-74-118, October 1974,
    p. 69-Quoting from "Standard of Performance for New Stationary  Sources,"
    Part II, Federal Register, Volume 39, No. 47, (March 8, 1974).

2.  A. A. Jonke, et al, "Reduction of Atmospheric Pollution by the Application
    of Fluidized-Bed Combustion," Argonne National Laboratory for EPA, EPA
    Report No. EPA-650/2-74-104, September 1974.

3.  D. C. Gifford, Chem. Eng. Progress, 69 (No. 6) 1973, p. 86.

4.  S. Ehrlich, "A Coal Fired Fluidized-Bed Boiler", from "Fluidized Combustion
    Conference", London, September 1975, Institute of Fuel Symposium Series
    No. 1 (1975) Proceedings Volume 1, p. C4-1.

5.  G. A. Cato, et al, "Field Testing:  Applications of Combustion Modifications
    to Control Pollutant Emissions from Industrial Boilers - Phase 1", KVB
    Engineering, Inc. for EPA, EPA Report No. EPA-650/2-74-078-a, October 1974.

6.  EPA,  "Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission Factors "(Second Edition), EPA
    Report No. AP-42, April 1973.

7.  G. J. Vogel, et al, "Bench-Scale Development of Combustion and Additive
    Regeneration in Fluidized Beds," in Proceedings of Third International
    Conference on Fluidized-Bed Combustion, EPA Report No. EPA-650/2-73-053.

8.  P. F. Fennelly, et al, "Preliminary Environmental Assessment of Coal-
    Fired Fluidized-Bed Combustion-Summary Task 2 Report:  Specification
    of Important Pollutants", Prepared for EPA by GCA Corporation,
    November 1975.

9.  P. F. Fennelly, et al, "Preliminary Environmental Assessment of Coal-
    Fired Fluidized Bed Combustion, Summary Task 3 Report:  Suggested
    Techniques for Control Technology" Prepared by GCA Corporation for
    EPA,  January 1976.

-------
                                - 163 -
11.  Series of reports prepared by Exxon Research and  Engineering
     for EPA.  General title:   "Evaluation of Pollution Control
     Fuel Conversion Processes," EPA Report Nos.  EPA-650/2-74-009a through
     EPA-650/2-74-009m and  dated January 1974 through  October ^.thr°Ugh

12.  Anon., Environmental Science & Technology.  8,  516 (1974).

13.  Federal Register, Vol.  38,  No.  149,  Friday,  August  3, 1973, pp. 20834
     and 20835.

14.  SAROAD Users Manual, APTD-0663.   Environmental  Protection Agency,
     Office of Air and Water Programs,  Office of  Air Quality Planning and
     Standards, Research Triangle Park,  N.  C.  July  1971.

15.  EPA Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards,  "Air Quality  Data,
     1973 Annual Statistics,"EPA-450/2-74-015, November  1974.

16.  EPA Office of Air Quality  Planning and Standards,  "Air Quality  Data,
     1974 First Quarter Statistics,"  EPA-450/2-75-002, April 1975.

17.  E.  A. Sondreal and P.  H. Tufte,  "Comparison  of  Flue Gas Desulfurization
     for Eastern vs. Western U.S.  Coals",  U.S. Bureau  of Mines, Grand Forks,
     North Dakota, September 1974.

18.  ERDA Open File Report:  "Survey  of  Coal and  Ash Composition and Character-
     istics of Western Coals and Lignite",  Grand  Forks,  North Dakota, 1975.
                   Additional Bibliography  (Section 8)

 • D.  B.  Henschel, "The Environmental  Control Potential of Fluidized Bed
   Coal Combustion Systems", presented at the Second Seminar on Desulfur-
   ization of Fuels and Combustion Gases, U.N.  Economic Commission for
   Europe, Washington, November 1975.
 • John C. Bosch, Jr., "Aerometric and  Emissions Reporting System" (AEROS),
   Environmental Protection Agency, Durham, North Carolina, February 19/5.

 • Richard C.  Haws, "Presentation of NEDS Emission Data for Air *?"utJ°J  b
   Studies",  Environmental Protection Agency, Durham, North Carolina,  November
  1974.
• "National Emissions Data System" (NEDS)
                                                          s a c
  Durham,  North Carolina (progressively upd

. "Environment Reporter", The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc., (progressively
  updated) .

-------
                               - 164 -
Charanjit Rai and Richard D. Siegel, Editors, "Air:  II. Control of NOx and
SOx Emissions", American Institute of Chemical Engineers, New York, 1975.

Wallace H. Johnson, "Social Impact of Pollution Control Legislation", Science,
Volume 192, pp. 629-631, May 14, 1976.

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                                 - 165 -
               CONVERSION FACTORS - ENGLISH TO  SI UNITS
                            English  System
Length


Area


Volume



Mass



 Pressure


 Temperature


 Energy


 Power
             in
             ft
             .  3
             in.,
             B or bbl  (barrel)

             oz
             Ib
             ton

             lb/in2
             in H0
              °R

              BTU
              1015 BTU or "quad

              BTU/hr or BTU/H
SI Equivalent

   2.54 cm
   0.305 m

   6.45 cm 2
   0.0930 m

   16.39 cnu
   28.32 dm
   159 dm3

   28.35  gm
   453.6  gm
   907.2  kg

    6.89 kPa
    0.249 kPa

    1.8 (°C) + 32
    1.8 °K

    1.06 kJ
    33450 MWt

    0.293 W
  ABMA
  AQCR
  C/K Ibs
  FB
  GPO
  HHV
  KPPH
  LSFO
  M$
  MFBI
  MWe
  MWt
  NAAQS
  NGTF
  NSPS
  OE
  OSHA
  PCF
  SIC
American Boiler Manufacturers Association
Air Quality Control  Region
cents per  thousand pounds  (of steam)
fluid-bed  or  fluidized bed
Gross Product Originating
higher  heating value
thousand pounds  (of  steam) per  hour
low  sulfur fuel  oil
million dollars
Major  Fuel Burning Installation
megawatts  electric
megawatts  thermal
National  Ambient Air Quality Standards
Natural Gas Task Force  (FEA)
New Source Performance  Standards
oil equivalent (B.O.E.  -  barrels of oil equivalent)
Occupational  Safety and Health Act  (or Administration)
pulverized coal fired  (boiler)
 Standard  Industrial Classification

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                                APPENDIX 1
                    BASES FOR ECONOMIC EVALUATIONS OF
                GRASS ROOTS INDUSTRIAL BOILER COMPARISONS
1.   INVESTMENT BASES

    A.   GENERAL PROJECT OUTLINE

        Location - U.S. Gulf Coast

        Time - 1st quarter 1975

        Final cost is a "Total Erected Cost" for the entire boiler system
        (exclusions as noted).

        Design and erection of boiler project by contractor under a
        reimbursable cost contract.

        Investment estimates are of initial screening quality, considered
        suitable for general comparison of alternatives but not developed
        to a definitive level suitable as a basis for allocation of funds.

        Fluidized bed combustion has not been demonstrated commercially.
        As such the FBC portion of the FBC package boiler estimate is
        increased by a process development allowance of 20%.  A small
        process development allowance is also applied to industrial-sized
        flue gas scrubbers.

        Investment estimates exclude the purchase of any land.  It is assumed
        that adequate space for the required facilities is already
        available, and that extensive site clearance (e.g. blasting or
        draining and filling) is not required.

        All cases are planned to meet appropriate environmental requirements.

        Investment estimates include 20% project contingency.  This is
        considered necessary at the screening stage of any project, because
        of the incomplete project  definition which is characteristic of
        this stage of project development.  For ease of use,  this contingency
        is broken out  so that the  estimates can be readily worked with on
        a non-contingency basis if desired.

        The "Total Erected  Cost" for each  screening case of  this study  is
        built up including  the following components:

            Direct Materials Cost, delivered to project location (including
            freight, delivery charges, sales taxes, etc.)

            Direct Labor Cost at Location

            Field Labor Overheads
               Construction Supervision
               Construction Tools
               Temporary Construction Facilities and Consumables

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                              Al -  2
       Contractor's  Field Payroll Burden
          Insurance,  Union Welfare Funds,  Indirect Labor Costs,
          and any other  contractor overheads

       Contractor Engineering

       Contractor Fees for Engineering  and Erection

       Process Development Allowance  for New Technology Components

       Sub-Contracts  for Civil  and Tankage Items

       Escalation to  later project time (if desired)

       Contingency -  @ 20% of all above components except Process
       Development Allowance

B. FUEL AND LIMESTONE RECEIVING AND STORING FACILITIES

   • Fuel Oil Receiving  and Storing

     No. 6 Fuel Oil  (high or low sulfur) received in 5,000-barrel
     parcels, delivered  by barge.

     Oil storage:  two steam-heated cone roof tanks with combined
     capacity sized  for  10 days requirement plus  parcel size
     (i.e. 10,000 barrels combined storage.  Facilities include:

         8" fuel receiving line, steam-traced and insulated
         from existing barge dock to  storage tanks (approx.
         1000 feet)

         Two 5,000 barrel cone-roof tanks, approximately
         30' x 40'.   Tanks are  heated with low-pressure
         steam coils (~125 psig), and  insulated  with foam
         sprayed insulation

         Two fuel oil pumps, pumping approx. 20 gpm @ 150 psig

         Transfer line  (2", traced and  insulated), from tanks
         to boiler area  and return.

   » Coal Receiving  and  Storing

     Coal received in 10-car lots (100  tons/car); bottom-hopper cars

     Coal as received is fully  prepared for FBC charging (screened to
     approx. 1/4-inch top size) or for  use in stoker (1 1/4" nominal
     size), and sprayed  with oil to minimize dust and facilitate
     unloading in freezing weather

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                                  Al - 3
      Coal  storage:   two  silos with combined capacity sized  for  10  days
      requirement  plus  parcel size (i.e.  2400 tons combined  storage)

      Facilities include:

             Railroad  track extension (approx. 1400 feet)
             Covered car-unloading dump hopper and pit
             Car puller

             Feeders and covered conveyor  from pit to elevator
             Elevator  to top level of silos

             Transfer  conveyor from elevator to silo charging hopper
             Two 30' x 80'  silos with mass flow hoppers

             Vibrating pan feeders and covered conveyors  from silos
             to fuel distribution facilities of boilers

      • Limestone  Receiving and Storing

         Screened  granular limestone, fully prepared for FBC
         charging  (approximately 1/8" particle size), is received
         by truck  and pneumatically unleaded to silo

         Limestone storage:  single silo with 10-days storage capacity
         Facilities include:

             Pneumatic unloading system
             Single silo - 500 tons capacity with twin cone bottom
             Silo  is provided with conventional dust-prevention system
             for pneumatic receipt of solids.
             Vibrating pan feeders and covered conveyors from silo to
             fuel  distribution facilities of boilers.
             Limestone for slurry flue gas scrubbing use is received and
             stored as crushed stone  (2 1/2" maximum size), and wet-
             milled to 325 mesh en route to the scrubber system.
C.  BOILERS AND STACK

         Steam demand  is assumed at 100 k Ibs/onstream iiour to  industrial
         process, with year-round 90% load factor.  Steam conditions 125 psig,
         saturated.
         Condensate collection/feed water treating system supplies deaerated
         feed water at 2QO°F.
         To assure  continuity of steam supply, two 100 KPPH boilers  are
         installed  (alternatively could provide 3 x 50 KPPH units, at  some-
         what lower investment cost but with higher space requirements,
         piping, manning and maintenance costs).
         Efficiency of all boilers is assumed to be 82%.  Flue gas temperature
         from economizer outlet is assumed at 350°F.  No air  preheaters.

-------
                                 Al  -  4
              Oil-Fired Boilers
              Two  100 KPPH  complete package watertube boilers

              Conventional  Coal-Fired  Boilers
              Two  100 KPPH  complete spreader stoker  field-erected
              watertube boilers, with  fly  ash  reinjection

              Coal-Fired Fluidized Bed Boilers
              Two  100 KPPH  FBC shop-assembled  watertube  boilers,  with
              complete facilities as follows:

                    Coal and limestone  metering and feeding systems  to
                    multiple fuel injection points of boilers

                    FD/ID fans and drivers
                    Steam generators (with  main combustor cells, carbon
                    burnup cell (CBC),  water wall and submerged  steam
                    tubing,  economizer  sections, plenum and air
                    distribution grid,  cyclone-type dust  collectors
                    on flue  gas streams from main combustor cells  and
                    carbon burnup cell, oil-fired ignition system, bed
                    drain system).
                    Controls, flues, ducts

             •  Stack

                    Common stack, ground-supported, carbon steel,
                    8' diameter x 75' high with self-supporting
                    liner of regular firebrick


      As noted, the investment  comparisons  are  based  on boiler outlet
      conditions of 125 psig,  saturated.  Many  industrial boilers generate
      steam at significantly higher pressures and temperatures.   We
      estimate that the boiler  portion of project investments should be
      multiplied by the following factors to reflect  the increased capital
      requirement for generating steam at higher  pressures:

              Steam Conditions            125 psig    600 psig    1300 psig
                                         Saturated     750 F       900°F

      Oil-Fired Package Boilers             1.0         1.15        1.33

      Coal-Fired Conventional Boilers        1.0         1.12        1.27
      Coal-Fired FBC Boilers                1.0         1.07        1.16

D. ENVIRONMENTAL CONTROLS

       Firing rate in all  cases is  lower  than 250 M Btu/hr., so no Federal
       emission standards  are  currently applicable.   Nevertheless, each case
       is designed to meet EPA  New  Source Standards For Steam Generating

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                                      Al  - 5

       Equipment of 250 M Btu/hr. or greater, as follows:


                                Oil Fuel                 Solid Fuel	
Particulates
   Opacity                         	 No. 1 Ringelmann  (20% opacity)- -
   Emissions,  Ib/M Btu             0.1                         0.1

S02, lb/M Btu                       0.8                         1.2
NOx, lb/M Btu  (as N02)             0.3                         0.7

       Low sulfur fuel oil requires no controls.
       If high sulfur fuel oil is used, it requires flue gas
       desulfurization (FGDS).  For this study,  we would assume use of
       once-through limestone slurry scrubbing,  producing scrubber sludge
       dewatered to 50% solids.

       Low sulfur coal fired in a spreader stoker requires  an electrostatic
       precipitator (ESP)  to meet particulate standards.

       High sulfur coal fired in a spreader stoker requires flue gas
       desulfurization.  For this study,  we assume once-through limestone
       slurry  scrubbing,  producing scrubber sludge dewatered to 50%
       solids.   The scrubber effluent exhibits better than  standard
       particulate loading (estimated at .05 Ibs/M Btu vs.  standard
       of 0.1  Ibs/M Btu).

       For all  the above  conventional boilers,  NOx emissions will be
       close to the limiting standard.  To insure meeting the standard,
       boiler  design modifications may be required so as  to carry out
       combustion in a mode which minimizes NOx  formation.
       High sulfur coal fired in an FBC boiler only requires adjustment
       of the  limestone/coal ratio to meet the S02 emission standard.
       Effluent from the  FBC boiler is comfortably better than standard
       with respect to NOx.   An electrostatic precipitator  (ESP)  is
       provided to meet the particulate emission standard.

       In each  grass roots case,  required environmental control facilities
       are  provided with  each of  the two  100  KPPH boilers,  so  that  each
       "train"  of  equipment  can be operated independently -


E.  SOLID  WASTE  COLLECTION, STORAGE, DISPOSAL

       Sludge  from scrubbers, dewatered to 50% solids via rotary  vacuum
       filter,  is  dumped  via conveyor to  covered sludge pit (assuming
       that  plant  does not have land for  long-term ponding  of  sludge
       and  ash).   Sludge  is  hauled away by truck.
       In high  sulfur coal case with stoker,  ash is also  sent  via conveyor
       to sludge pit and mixed with sludge.
       In FBC and  low sulfur coal cases,  where no sludge  is produced,
      dry wastes  (fly ash from ESP's,  and pit ash  from stoker or ash/
       sulfated  stone mixture from FBC) are pneumatically transferred
       to dry waste silo  and hauled away  by truck.   Silo  has seven days
       storage  capacity,  and is  elevated,with "Hydromix"  loader for
      loading  to  disposal trucks.
      In all cases,  solids  handling systems  are  designed to minimize
      discharge of contaminants  (dust, sump  drains,  etc.).

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                                    Al -  6
   F.  EXCLUSIONS
          Land
          Unusual  site  preparation (clear,  level site assumed)
          Boiler feed water  (BFW)  treating  facilities

          BFW pumps
          Slowdown system
          Steam distribution system
          These facilities are common to  all cases,  and are not included in
          any of the investment estimates.
          Allowances for Boiler Feed Water  costs have been included in the
          operating cost calculations,  and  these allowances include a typical
          capital  charge for a boiler feed  water system.
2.  OPERATING COST BASES
          Manpower cost (salaries/wages  and benefits)  is 20 k$/yr/man

          Electric power cost is 4c/KWH
          Limestone cost, delivered,  Is  $12 per ton for FBC use.  It
          is assumed that the total cost of coarse crushed stone plus
          wet grinding for use in the flue gas scrubber cases is also
          approximately $12 per ton.

          Waste solids disposal cost  (sludge,  ash,  sulfated limestone
          from FBC)  is $8/ton

          Annual repair materials cost is  1 1/2%  of investment

          Annual cost  for supplies, local  taxes,  administrative expense,
          general expense is  3% of investment

          Annual capital charges,  covering cost of  capital invested  in
          these facilities (including interest, effect  of  depreciation
          on income  taxes,  and other  investment-related charges)  is  taken
          at 20% of  investment.*

          Treated and  deaerated boiler feed water cost  (at 200°F),
          including  50% purchased  makeup water and  50%  condensate return
          from process operations,  is assumed  at  $0.60  per k Ibs.  steam
          (includes  effect of about 10%  blowdown).

         When a new boiler is added  to an  existing boiler  system, it
         is assumed that  the new boiler is base-loaded and  operates
         at capacity with an overall availability of 90%.
   *  Pope  Evans  &  Robbins  in  their 1970 comparison of conventional and
     FBC economics used  a  20% capital charge;  Westinghouse in 1971 and
     Battelle  in 1974  used 16.7%.

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                                  Al - 7
3.  CHARACTERISTICS OF ASSUMED FUELS
                    Fuel                  Fuel Characteristics
              Low Sulfur Fuel Oil     15°API(0.966 spec,  gr.)
                                      18,600 Btu/lb. HHV
                                      Sulfur content  just meets
                                      0.8 Ib S02/M Btu O0.7 wt%S)
              High Sulfur Coal        Illinois No. 6
                                      3.6 wt%S
                                      8.0 wt% ash
                                      16.9 wt% moisture
                                      10,600  Btu/lb HHV
              Low Sulfur Coal         Wyoming
                                      0.4 wt%S
                                      5.8 wt% ash
                                      30.0 wt% moisture
                                      8,150 Btu/lb HHV
 4.  EXPONENTS  USED  TO  ESTIMATE INDUSTRIAL BOILER PLANT  INVESTMENTS
    BASED  ON 100  KPPH  BASE CASES

                                 I = KCn
      Type of Facility               Capacity Range,           Exponent "n1
                                      KPPH Steam

 Oil-Fired Fuel Receiving/  \           50-100                     0.6
 Storing/Feeding            J          100-400                     0.6

 Coal-Fired Fuel Receiving/A            50-100                     0.3
 Storing/Feeding            /          100-400                     0.3

 Packaged Oil-Fired Boilers             50-100                     0.65
                                       100-400                     0.65

 Coal-Fired Spreader Stoker Boilers     50-100                     0.75
                                       100-200                     0.75

 Pulverized-Coal-Fired Boilers         200-400                     0.75

 FBC Boilers                            50-100                     0.65
                                       100-400                     0.65

 Solids Waste Collection/Disposal     -\ 50-100                     0.7
 including Electrostatic Precipitators/100-400                     0.7

 Limestone Slurry Flue Gas Scrubbers    50-100                     0.65
                                       100-400                     0.7

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                              APPENDIX  2

         DESCRIPTION OF SCREENING QUALITY  INVESTMENT ESTIMATES


          The investments we have developed for use in the economic com-
parison of alternative boiler systems are  of "screening quality."  In
putting together these screening numbers,  our aim is to develop the cost
level for a system which will meet the  overall process objectives, making
reasonable general engineering assumptions as we go along.  The usual pur-
poses of such screening estimates are:

          •  to analyze alternatives on a  consistent basis, and

          •  to quickly eliminate those which are clearly unattractive;

          •  to lay the groundwork for  more definitive comparison
             of the remaining alternatives;

          •  to establish a reasonable  order-of-magnitude for the
             absolute cost of a real project; and

          •  to identify major areas of concern (technical or
             economic) which should be  studied in depth in subsequent
             R&D and/or project planning.

Screening estimates for new technologies or processes are widely used for
guidance of Research and Development activities, although they are not of
adequate quality to be used as a basis  for making final investment decisions
for specific projects.

          The main objective of this part  of the work is to compare the
economics of fluidized bed combustion with alternative industrial boiler
cases.  Since fluidized bed combustion  is  as yet uncommercialized, we could
only obtain this type of screening estimate by working with boiler manu-
facturers who are engaged in exploratory FBC studies themselves.  The same
approach was used for estimates involving  conventional boiler technology.

          Appendix 1 shows the components  which were included in building
up these estimates.  We believe all are self explanatory except for brief
discussions regarding contingency level, and inclusion of a process development
allowance for new technology.

          For screening estimates at this  very early stage of project
definition, we recommend, and have used, a contingency level of 20%.  As
project activities continue and the basis  for a cost estimate becomes
more detailed and defined, the contingency level is correspondingly reduced,
eventually to the level of 8-10% (just  prior to construction of a real
project).

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                                 A2 - 2
          Fluidized bed combustion is a developing, as yet non-commercialized
technology.  A process development allowance, based on prior general
experience with such new process applications, represents additional hard-
ware/equipment/materials of construction which may become necessary as pro-
blems are identified during detailed design, construction, and startup of
a project utilizing the newly-developing technology.  Experience has taught
that costs are usually underestimated at this early stage in the develop-
ment of new technologies.  Generally the pattern has been that estimates
of costs increase as the estimates become progressively more detailed prior
to construction of the first, full-scale commercial plant that incorporates
the new technology.  In an attempt to take this pattern into account for the
fluidized bed boiler, we have included in our screening estimates a process
development allowance of 20% of the portion of the FBC system which is
considered to be susceptible to these developmental problems.  In similar
fashion, in the case of conventional combustion of high sulfur fuels, a
smaller allowance of 10% is included for appropriate sections of the industrial-
sized flue gas scrubber systems which are just now becoming commercialized.
As a real project proceeds from initial screening to a definitive cost estimate
and then to detailed design, the process development allowance becomes progres-
sively smaller while identified costs increase.

          In Appendix 3, which presents the screening estimates for the
cases we have developed, the amounts ascribed to "contingency" and "process
development allowance" are specifically broken out and identified for the
convenience of the user.

          The question of the possible range (optimistic or pessimistic)
around such screening estimates has been raised.  Very little actual statistical
experience can be brought to bear on this question, because of the many
basis changes which occur in practically all real project histories.   However,
we have tried to estimate the span of optimism/pessimism we would expect
could be applied to Exxon's typical screening estimates, and conclude that
the optimistic level is not likely to be more than 10% below the quoted
level;  conversely, the pessimistic range is likely to be as much as 20-25%
above the quoted figure.

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                          APPENDIX  3

DETAILED TABULATION OF INVESTMENT AND  OPERATING COST ESTIMATES
Tables 1-6                 Breakdown and  Comparison of  Investments
                           for  Grass Roots  Industrial Boiler  Systems

Tables 7-11                Unit Operating Costs for Grass  Roots  Boiler
                           Systems

Tables 12-16               Breakdown and  Comparison of  Investments  for
                           Adding Single  Boilers to Existing  Coal-Fired
                           Plants

Tables 17-20               Unit Operating Costs for Adding Single Boilers
                           to Existing Coal-Fired Plants

Tables 21-26               Breakdown and  Comparison of  Investments  for
                           Adding Single  Boilers to Existing  Oil-Fired
                           Plants

Tables 27-31               Unit Operating Costs for Adding Single Boilers
                           to Existing Oil-Fired Plants

-------
Fuel
Fired in

External S02 Control
Particulate Control

INVESTMENTS, MS (1)
  Fuel Receiving, Storing,
    Fedding Allowance
  Limestone Receiving, Storing,
    Feeding

  Boilers (2 @ 100 k Ib/hr) (2)
  Stack

  Electrostatic Precipitators
  Flue Gas Scrubber Systems

  Solid Waste Collection,
    Storage, Disposal

      Sub-Total (Before Contingency)

  Contingency @ 20%

  Process Development Allowance
    For Scrubbers
    For FBC Boilers

TOTAL INVESTMENT, M$

APPENDIX 3
TABLE 1


BREAKDOWN AND COMPARISON OF INVESTMENTS FOR
GRASS-ROOTS INDUSTRIAL BOILER SYSTEMS (STEAM DEMAND <=• 100 KPPH)
High Sulfur Coal
Fluidized Bed
Not Needed
Electrostatic


2 @ 2.0
2 @ 0.45
Silo

Boiler
Precip.
1.5
0.3
4.0
0.3
0.9
0.4
7.4
1.5
Conventional Stoker
Limestone Scrubber
Scrubber
1.5
0.3
2 @ 2.1 4.2
0.3
2 S 1.6 3.2
Pit 0.2
9.7
1.9
Low Sulfur "Compliance" Coal Low Sulfur Fuel Oil
Fluidized Bed Boiler
Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip.
1.6
0.1(3)
2 @ 2.0 4.0
0.3
2 @ 0.45 0.9
Silo 0.4
7.3
1.5
Conventional Stoker Package Boiler
Not Needed Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip* Not Needed
1.6 0.5
-
2 @ 2.1 4.2 2 @ 0.95 1.9
0.3 0.3
2 @ 0.45 0.9 - ^
~~ "" K>
Silo 0.4
7.4 2.7
1.5 0.5
0.6
9.5
                      0.2
                     11.8
                                                  0.6
                                                  9.4
8.9
                                                                                          3.2
(1) Investments expressed in 1st Q 1975 Dollars for project located at U.S. Gulf Coast.

(2) Boiler pressure is 125 psig, saturated steam.  See Appendix 1 for approximate variation of boiler cost with steam generation pressure.

(3) Limestone may not be used in an FBC boiler firing low sulfur compliance coal, but some facilities will be required to receive, store, and
    feed the bed makeup material.

-------
                              A3 -  3
                            APPENDIX 3


                              TABLE 2

                SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR GRASS ROOTS
        FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS .(D
                        Base Case

Steam Requirement,         100
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)

Fuel Receiving, Storing,
Feeding Allowance          1.8

2 FBC Boilers,
Common Stack  (3)           5.8

Precipitators, Ash/
Sulfated  Stone
Collection, Storage,
Loading                    1-9

Total                      9-5
      Derivative Cases
 50
1.5
3-7
 1.2
 6T
 200
 400
 2.2


 9.1
 3.1
14-4
 2.7


14 .3
 .5-0
22-0
       (1) 1975 level, U.S. Gulf Coast location.
       (2) Investments include 207o contingency.
       (3) FBC Boiler investments represent current state of technology;
           investments also include 20% "process development" allowance
           (2 x 0.3 M $ for base case) on commercially-undemonstrated sections.

-------
                                     A3 - 4

                                   APPENDIX  3

                                    TABLE  3

                       SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR GRASS-ROOTS
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION'(1)
                        Base Case

Steam Requirement,         100
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)

Fuel Receiving, Storing,
Feeding Allowance          1.8

2 Boilers, Common Stack    5.4

2 Flue Gas Scrubbers (3),
Sludge and Ash Storage/
Loading                    4.6
Total                     11.8
                                                        Derivative Cases
                                                   50
                                                 1.5

                                                 3.2
                                                 2.9
                                                 776"
200
400
2.2         2.7

9.5 (4)     16.0 (4)
           12.2
           3079"
            (1) 1975 level, U.S. Gulf Coast location.
            (2) Investments include 20% contingency.
            (3) Scrubber investments include 1070 "process-development" allowance
                (2 x 0.1 M $ for base case) on critical sections.
            (4) Boilers for 200 KPPH and higher are assumed to be Pulverized
                Coal Fired (PCF) units.   At 200 KPPH size,  PCF boiler investment
                is assumed 5% higher than for corresponding stoker boiler.

-------
                                A3 - 5


                             APPENDIX 3

                               TABLE 4

                SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR GRASS ROOTS
       FLUIDIZED BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS (1)
                        Base Case

Steam Requirement,         100
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)

Fuel Receiving, Storing,
Feeding Allowance          1.9

2 FBC Boilers,
Common Stack  (3)           5.8

Precipitators, Ash
Collection, Storage,
Loading  (A)                1.7

Total                      9.4
      Derivative  Cases
 50
1.5
3.7
1.0
6.2
 200
 2.3
 9.1
 2.8
14.2
 400
 2.9
14.3
 4.5
21.7
      (1)  1975 level, U.S. Gulf Coast location.
      (2)  Investments include 20% contingency.
      (3)  FBC Boiler investments represent current state of technology;
          investments also include 20% "process development" allowance   _
          (2 x 0.3 M $ for base case) on commercially undemonstrated sections,
      (4)  Includes small allowance for facilities to store and handle
          inert bed material.

-------
                               A3  -  6



                             APPENDIX 3

                             TABLE  5

                SCREENING  INVESTMENTS  FOR GRASS-ROOTS
        CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS_(1)  (2)
                        Base Case

Steam Requirement,         100
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (3)

Fuel Receiving, Storing,
Feeding Allowance          1«9

2 Boilers, Common Stack    5.4

Precipitators, Ash
Collection, Storage,
Loading                    1.6

Total                      8.9
      Derivative Cases
 50
1.5

3.2



1.0

5.7
 200
 2.6
14.4
 400
 2.3         2.9

 9.5(4)     16.0(4)
 4.2
23.1
      (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
      (2)  Sulfur content of coal assumed sufficiently low that flue gas
          desulfurization is not required.
      (3)  Investments  include 20% contingency.
          Boilers for  200 KPPH and higher are assumed to be Pulverized
          Coal Fired (PCF)  units.  At 200 KPPH size, PCF boiler investment
          is assumed to be 5% higher than for corresponding stoker boiler.

-------
                              A3  -  7
                            APPENDIX  3


                              TABLE  6

              SCREENING  INVESTMENTS FOR GRASS-ROOTS
           LOW-SULFUR-OIL-FIRED PACKAGE BOILER SYSTEMS  (1)
                        Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)

Fuel Receiving,
Storing, Feeding

2 Boilers, Common  Stack
100
                      Derivative  Cases
 50
                0.4

                1.7
200
400
             0.9

             4.1
            1.4

            6.4
Total
3.2
2.1
5.0
                                                                    7.8
        (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
        (2)  Investments  include 20% contingency.

-------
  A3 - 8
APPENDIX  3
 TABLE 7
UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL.) FOR GRASS ROOTS
FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, c/k Ibs. steam (ex
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Limestone
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash/Sulfated Stone
Disposal
Sub- total Direct Op. costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, c/k Ibs.
100

fuel)
56
18
25
27
36

18
180
241
60
481
Derivative Cases
50

103
24
25
27
49

18
246
325
60
631
200

31
14
25
27
27

18
142
183
60
385
400

18
10
25
27
21

18
119
140
60
319

-------
                                    A3 - 9
                                   APPENDIX 3

                                   TABLE 8
                 UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR GRASS ROOTS
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION
     Steam Requirement,
     k Ibs/hr.
                             Base Case
100
                                                      Derivative Cases
     Costs, c/k Ibs. steam  (ex  fuel)
     Wages, Salaries, Benefits   76
     Repair Materials            22
     Utilities                   30
     Limestone                   11
     Supplies, Local Taxes
     Admin. Exp., etc.           45
     Ash/Sludge Disposal         22
     Sub-total Direct Op. costs 206
     Capital Charges            299
     BFW                        .60
     Total Cost, C/k Ibs.       565
     (ex fuel)
50
                             200
400
141
29
30
11
58
22
291
385
60
736
42
18
34
H
36
22
163
243
60
466
24
15
34
11
29
22
135
196
60
391

-------
                                 A3 - 10

APPENDIX 3
TABLE 9

UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR GRASS ROOTS
FLUIDIZED BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER SYSTEMS (1)
Base Case Derivative Cases
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, £/k Ibs. steam (ex
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Limestone
Bed Makeup Material
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp. , etc.
Ash Disposal
Sub-total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
100 50 200

fuel)
56 101 31
18 24 13
25 25 25

36 47 27
4 44
139 201 100
238 314 180
60 60 60
400

19
10
25
-
21
4
79
137
60
Total Cost, 
-------
                              A3  -11
                             APPENDIX 3
                             TABLE  10
           UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR GRASS ROOTS
        CONVENTIONAL  LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED  BOILER SYSTEMS  (1)
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
                        Base Case
100
                      Derivative Cases
Costs, Q/k Ibs. steam  (ex  fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits   53
Repair Materials
Utilities
 BFW
 Total Cost,  C/k Ibs.
 (ex fuel)
 17
 13
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp.,  etc.           34
Ash Disposal               	4
Sub-total Direct Op. costs 121
Capital Charges            226
                            60
407
 50
 60
529
200
                              60
                             335
400
98
22
13
43
4
180
289
30
14
17
27
4
92
183
17
11
17
22
4
71
147
             60
            278
       (1)  Sulfur content of coal assumed sufficiently low that  flue gas
           desulfurization is not required.

-------
A3 - 12
APPENDIX 3
TABLE 11
UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR GRASS ROOTS
LOW-SULFUR-OIL-FIRED PACKAGE BOILER SYSTEMS
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, c/k Ibs. steam (ex
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp. , etc.
Sub-total Direct Op., costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total cost, c/k Ibs.
(ex fuel)
100
fuel)
38
6
21
12
77
81
60
218
Derivative Cases
50 200
71 21
8 5
21 21
16 9
116 56
106 63
60 60
282 179
400
12
4
21
7
44
49
60
153

-------
                                                                      APPENDIX 3

                                                                       TABLE 12

                                                      BREAKDOWN AND COMPARISON OF INVESTMENTS FOR
                                          ADDING A SINGLE 100 KPPH BOILER TO EXISTING COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT
Fuel
Fired in

External S02 Control
Particulate Control

INVESTMENTS, M$  (1)
  Fuel Receiving, Storing,
    Feeding Additions
  Limestone Receiving, Storing,
    Feeding Additions
  Boiler
  Stack
  Electrostatic  Precipitator
  Flue Gas Scrubber  System
  Solid Waste  Collection,
    Storage, Disposal

      Sub-Total  (Before  Contingency)

  Contingency  @  20%
  Process Development  Allowance
    For  Scrubber
    For  FBC  Boiler

 TOTAL INVESTMENT, M$
             High Sulfur Coal (2)
Fluidized Bed Boiler

    Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip.
               0.5
               0.1
               2.0
               0.3
               0.45
 Silo
               0.4

               1771

               0.75


               0.3

               471"
Conventional Stoker

Limestone Scrubber
     Scrubber
        0.2

        0.1
        2.1
        0.3
        1.6

        0.1
	Low Sulfur "Compliance" Coal  (3)      Low Sulfur Fuel Oil
Fluidized Bed Boiler   Conventional  Stoker     Package Boiler
    Not Needed             Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip.  Electrostatic Precip.
                   Not Needed
                   Not Needed
        4.4

        0.9

        0.1


        174"
                                                          0.5
        0.1 (4)
        2.0
        0.3
        0.45
                                  0.2
        3.55

        0.75


        0.3

        476
                                                                                0.2
2.1
0.3
0.45
0.1

OJ

0.65
                                                                                                                      3.8
   THIS
             OJ
   CASE       ,

    NOT      £

CONSIDERED

APPLICABLE
 (1)  Investments expressed  in 1st  Q 1975  Dollars  for project located at U.S. Gulf Coast.
 (2)  These cases are based  on the  assumption  that high sulfur coal is being fired in the existing boilers.
 (3)  These cases are based  on the  assumption  that low sulfur compliance coal is being fired in the existing boilers.
 (4)  Limestone may not be used in an FBC  boiler firing low sulfur compliance coal, but some facilities will be required to receive,
     store, and feed the bad makeup material.

-------
                                       A3 - 14


                                    APPENDIX 3

                                     TABLE 13

                     SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING COAL-FIRED  BOILER PLANT (1) (4)_


                                    Base Case           Derivative  Cases

      Steam Requirement,               100               200        400
      k Ibs/hr.

      Investments, M$ (2)

      Fuel Receiving,                  0.6               0.7        0-9
      Storing, Feeding Additions

      FBC Boiler,  Stack (3)             3.1               4.9        7.6
      Precipitator, Ash/               1.1               1.8        2.9
      Sulfated Stone
      Collection,  Storage,
      Loading
      Total                            4.8                7.4        11.4
              (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
              (2)  Investments  include 20% contingency.
              (3)  FBC Boiler  investment represents current stats of technology;
                  investment also includes 20% "process  development" allowance
                  (0.3 M $  for base case)  on commercially-undemonstrated
                  sections.
              (4)  Large-size  high sulfur coal assumed to be fired in existing boilers.

-------
                                 A3 -  15


                                APPENDIX  3

                                 TABLE 14

               SCREENING  INVESTMENTS  FOR  ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION
	TO  EXISTING COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1) (5)	


                                Base Case            Derivative Cases

 Steam Requirement,                100               200        400
 k Ibs/hr.

 Investments, M$  (2)
 Fuel Receiving,                   0.2               0.2        0.3
 Storing,  Feeding  Additions

 Boiler,  Stack                     2.9               5.1 (4)     8.6 (4)

 Fluei Gas Scrubber  (3),           2.3               3.7        6.1
 Sludge  and Ash  Storage/
 Loading                          	               	       	
 Total                             5.4               9.0       15.0
          (1)  1975 level, U.S. Gulf Coast location.
          (2)  Investments include 20% contingency.
          (3)  Scrubber investment includes 10% "process development" allowance
              (0.1 M $ for base case) on critical sections.
          (4)  Boilers for 200 KPPH and higher are assumed to be Pulverized
              Coal Fired (PCF) units.  At 200 KPPH size, PCF boiler investment
              is assumed 5% higher than for corresponding stoker boiler.
          (5)  High sulfur coal assumed to be fired in existing boilers.

-------
                                A3 - 16


                              APPENDIX 3

                               TABLE 15

               SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
        FLUIDIZED BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING
           CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT  (1)


                         Base Case                Derivative Cases

Steam Requirement,          100                    200        400
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)
Fuel Receiving,             0.6                    0.7        0.9
Storing, Feeding Additions

FBC Boiler, Stack (3)       3.1                    4.9        7.6

Precipitator, Ash/Inert     0.9                    1.5        2.4
Bed Material Handling
and Storage                 	                    	

Total                       4.6                    7.1       10.9
        (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf  Coast  location.
        (2)  Investments  include 20%  contingency.
        (3)  FBC Boiler investment  represents  current  state of technology;
            investment also  includes 20% "process  development" allowance
            (0.3 M $  for base case)  on commercially-undemonstrated sections.
        (4)  Large-size low sulfur  compliance  coal  assumed  to be fired in
            existing  boilers.

-------
                                A3 - 17


                              APPENDIX  3

                               TABLE 16

               SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A  SINGLE
               CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED  BOILER
              TO EXISTING COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT  (1)  (2)(5)
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$  (3)

Fuel Receiving,
Storing, Feeding Additions

Boiler, Stack

Precipitator, Ash
Collection, Storage,
Loading

Total
Base Case

   100




   0.2


   2.9

   0.7
                                                   Derivative Cases
   3.8
200
0.2
6.4
 400
 0.3
5.1 (4)    8.6 (4)

1.1        1.8
10.7
         (1)  1975  level,  U.S.  Gulf  Coast location.
         (2)  Sulfur  content  of coal assumed sufficiently  low that flue gas
             desulfurization is not required.
         (3)  Investments  include 20% contingency.
         (4)  Boilers for  200 KPPH and higher are  assumed  to be Pulverized
             Coal  Fired  (PCF)  units.  At 200 KPPH size, PCF boiler investment
             is  assumed  to be 5% higher than for  corresponding stoker boiler.
         (5)  Low sulfur  coal assumed to be fired  in existing boilers.

-------
                                    A3 - 18


                                  APPENDIX 3

                                   TABLE 17

              UNIT OPERATING COSTS  (EX FUEL) FOR ADDING A SINGLE
FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, c/k Ibs. steam (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Limestone
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash/Sulfated Stone Disposal
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, c/k Ibs.
(ex fuel)
100

28
9
25
27
18
18
125
122
60
307
Derivative Cases
200

15
7
25
27
14
18
106
94
60
260
400

9
5
25
27
11
18
95
72
60
227

-------
                                 A3 - 19


                               APPENDIX 3

                                TABLE 18

           UNIT OPERATING  COSTS  (EX FUEL)  FOR ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION
                   TO EXISTING COAL-FIRED  BOILER PLANT
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, c/k Ibs. steam (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Limestone
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash/Sludge Disposal
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, C/k Ibs.
100

38
10
30
11
20
22
131
137
60
328
Derivative Cases
200

21
9
34
11
17
22
114
114
60
288
400

12
7
34
11
14
22
100
95
60
255
  (ex fuel)

-------
                                A3 - 20


                              APPENDIX 3
                               TABLE 19
          UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL)  FOR ADDING A SINGLE
             FLUIDIZED  BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED  BOILER TO
       EXISTING CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1)

                         Base Case                 Derivative Cases
 Steam  Requirement,          100                    200        400
 k Ibs/hr.
 Costs, c/k Ibs. steam  (ex fuel)
 Wages, Salaries, Benefits     28                     15          9
 Repair Materials              9                       75
 Utilities                    25                     25         25
 Limestone                     -                       -          -
 Bed Makeup Material            _______
Supplies, Local Taxes,       17                     14         10
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash Disposal                 _4                      4          4
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs   83                     65         53
Capital Charges             117                     90         69
BFW                          60                     60         60
Total Cost, c/k Ibs.        260                    215        182
(ex fuel)
(1)  Sulfur content of coal assumed sufficiently low that flue gas desulfurieation
    is not required.

-------
                                    A3 - 21



                                   APPENDIX 3

                                   TABLE  20

              UNIT OPERATING  COSTS  (EX FUEL)  FOR ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO  EXISTING COAL-FIRED BOILER PLANT(1)
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, C/k Ibs. steam (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash Disposal
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, 
-------
 Fuel
 Fired  in

 External  803  Control
 Particulate Control

 INVESTMENTS,  M  $  (1)
   Fuel Receiving, Storing,
    Feeding Additions
   Limestone Receiving, Storing,
    Fedding Additions

   Boiler
   Stack

   Electrostatic Precipitator
   Flue Gas Scrubber System

   Solid Waste Collection, Storage,
    Disposal
       Sub-Total (Before Contingency)

  Contingency @ 20%

  Process Development Allowance
    For Scrubber
    For FBC Boiler


TOTAL  INVESTMENT,  M $
ADDING A

Fluidized Bed
APPENDIX 3
TABLE 21


BREAKDOWN AND COMPARISON OF INVESTMENTS FOR
SINGLE 100 KPPH BOILER TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT
High Sulfur Coal
Boiler Conventional Stoker
Not Needed Limestone Scrubber
Electrostatic Precip. Scrubber
1.5
0.3
2.0
0.3
0.45
0.4
4.95
0.95
0.3
6.2
1.5
0.3
2.1
0.3
1.6
0.2
6.0
1.2
0.1
7.3
Low Sulfur "Compliance" Coal Low Sulfur Fuel Oil
Fluidized Bed Boiler
Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip.
1.6
0.1 (2)
2.0
0.3
0.45
0.4
4.85
0.95
0.3
6.1
Conventional Stoker Package Boiler
Not Needed Not Needed
Electrostatic Precip. Not Needed
1.6 0.1
-
fc
2.1 0.95 |
0.3 0.3 K,
0.45
0.4
4.85 1.35
0.95 0.25
-
5.8 1.6
(1) Investments expressed in 1st Q 1975 Dollars for project located at U.S.  Gulf Coast.
(2) Limestone may not be used in an FBC boiler firing low sulfur compliance  coal, but some facilities will be required to receive, store, and
    feed the bed makeup material.

-------
                                     A3  -  23


                                   APPENDIX 3

                                    TABLE 22

                    SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1)


                                   Base  Case           Derivative Cases

  Steam Requirement,                  1QQ               200        400
  k Ibs/hr.

  Investments, M$ (2)

  Fuel Receiving,                     1.8               2.2        2.7
  Storing, Feeding  Allowance

  FBC Boiler, Stack (3)               3.1               4.9        7.6

  Precipitator, Ash/                  1.3               2.1        3.4
  Sulfated Stone
  Collection, Storage,
  Loading                             	              	       	
  Total                               6.2               9.2       13.7
           (1) 1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf  Coast  location.
           (2) Investments  include  20%  contingency.
           (3) FBC Boiler investment  represents  current  state  of  technology;
              investment also  includes 20% "process  development" allowance
              (0 3 M $  for base case)  on commercially-undemonstrated sections.

-------
                                 A3 - 24
                               APPENDIX  3

                                TABLE  23

                SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION
                  TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1)	
 Steam Requirement,
 k Ibs/hr.

 Investments, M$ (2)

 Fuel Receiving,
 Storing, Feeding  Allowance

 Boiler, Stack

 Flue Gas Scrubber (3),
 Sludge and Ash Storage/
 Loading

 Total
                               Base Case
100
                                                   Derivative Cases
1.8


2.9

2.6



7.3
200
2.2
                                                   11.5
                             400
2.7
5.1 (4)    8.6 (4)

4.2        6.9
          18.2
         (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
         (2)  Investments  include 20% contingency.
         (3)  Scrubber investment includes 10% "process development" allowance
             (0.1 M $ for base case) on critical sections.
         (4)  Boilers for  200 KPPH and higher are assumed to be Pulverized Coal
             Fired (PCF)  units.  At 200 KPPH size, PCF boiler investment is
             assumed 5% higher than for corresponding stoker boiler.

-------
                                 A3 - 25


                              APPENDIX 3

                               TABLE 24

               SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
        FLUIDIZED BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING
        	OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT  (l->	


                         Base Case                Derivative Cases

Steam Requirement,          100                    200        400
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$  (2)

Fuel Receiving,  Storing,    1.9                    2.3        2.9
Feeding Allowance

FBC Boiler, Stack  (3)       3.1                    4.9        7.6

Precipitator, Ash/Inert     1.1                    1.8        2.9
Bed Material Handling
and Storage                 		       	
Total                       6.1                    9.0       13.4
         (1)  1975 level,  U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
         (2)  Investments  include 20% contingency.
         (3)  FBC Boiler investment represents current state of  technology;
             investment also includes 20% "process  development" allowance
             (0.3 M $ for base case) on commercially-undemonstrated  sections.

-------
                                A3  -  26


                              APPENDIX 3

                               TABLE  25

               SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
               CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER
              TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1)  (2)


                              Base Case           Derivative Cases

Steam Requirement,               100               200        400
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (3)

Fuel Receiving,                  1.9               2.3        2.9
Storing, Feeding Allowance

Boiler, Stack                    2.9               5.1 (4)    8.6 (4)

Precipitator, Ash                1.0               1.6        2.6
Collection, Storage,
Loading                          	              	

Total                            5.8               9.0       14.1
        (1) 1975 level, U.S.  Gulf Coast location.
        (2) Sulfur content of coal assumed sufficiently low that flue gas
            desulfurization is not required.
        (3) Investments include 20% contingency.
        (4) Boilers for 200 KPPH and higher are assumed to be Pulverized
            Coal Fired (PCF)  units.  At 200 KPPH size, PCF boiler investment
            is assumed to be 5% higher than for corresponding stoker boiler.

-------
                                 A3 - 27


                               APPENDIX 3

                                TABLE  26

              SCREENING INVESTMENTS FOR ADDING A SINGLE
                  LOW-SULFUR-OIL-FIRED PACKAGE BOILER
                 TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT (1)


                              Base Case           Derivative Cases

Steam Requirement,               100               200        400
k Ibs/hr.

Investments, M$ (2)

Fuel Receiving,                  0.1               0.1         0.2
Storing, Feeding  Additions
Boiler, Stack
                                 1.5               2.4         3.7
Total                            1.6               2.5         3.9
         (1)  1975  level,  U.S.  Gulf  Coast  location.
         (2)  Investments  include 20% contingency.

-------
A3 - 28
APPENDIX 3
TABLE 27
UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR ADDING A SINGLE
FLUIDIZED BED HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, £/k Ibs. steam 
-------
                                 A3 - 29



                                APPENDIX  3

                                TABLE 28

           UNIT OPERATING COSTS  (EX FUEL)  FOR ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL HIGH-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER WITH FLUE GAS DESULFURIZATION
                   TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT
Base Case
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, C/k Ibs. steam (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Limestone
Supplies, Local Taxes
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash/Sludge Dispsoal
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, C/k Ibs.
(ex fuel)
100

45
14
30
11
28
22
150
185
60
395
Derivative Cases
200

25
11
34
11
22
22
125
146
60
331
400

15
9
34
11
17
22
108
115
60
283

-------
                                 A3 - 30


                              APPENDIX  3
                               TABLE  29
          UNIT OPERATING COSTS (EX FUEL) FOR ADDING A SINGLE
              FLUIDIZED BED LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED  BOILER TO
          	EXISTING OIL-FIRED  BOILER PLANT (1)	

                         Base Case                 Derivative Cases
Steam Requirement,          100                    200        400
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, <:/k Ibs. steam  (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits    36                     21         12
Repair Materials             12                       96
Utilities                    25                     25          25
Limestone                     -                       -
Bed Makeup Material          -- 	 ____ neglible  ------
Supplies, Local Taxes,       23                     17          13
Admin. Exp.,  etc.
Ash Disposal                	4_                      4          4
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs  100                     76          60
Capital Charges             155                    114          85
BFW                          60                     60          60
Total Cost, c/k Ibs.        315                    250         205
'(ex fuel)
(1)  Sulfur content of coal assumed sufficiently low that flue gas desulfurization
    is not required.

-------
                                    A3 - 31


                                   APPENDIX 3

                                   TABLE  30

               UNIT OPERATING COSTS  (EX FUEL)  FOR ADDING A SINGLE
CONVENTIONAL LOW-SULFUR-COAL-FIRED BOILER TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT(1)
Steam Requirement,
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, £/k Ibs. steam (ex
Wages, Salaries, Benefits
Repair Materials
Utilities
Supplies, Local Taxes,
Admin. Exp., etc.
Ash Disposal
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs
Capital Charges
BFW
Total Cost, 
-------
                                A3 - 32

                              APPENDIX  3

                               TABLE 31
          UNIT OPERATING COSTS  (EX FUEL) FOR ADDING A SINGLE
LOW-SULFUR-OIL-FIRED PACKAGE BOILER TO EXISTING OIL-FIRED BOILER PLANT

                              Base Case           Derivative Cases
Steam Requirement,               100               200        400
k Ibs/hr.
Costs, C/k Ibs. steam  (ex fuel)
Wages, Salaries, Benefits         18                10           6
Repair Materials                   3                  22
Utilities                         19                19         19
Supplies, Local Taxes,             6                  54
Admin. Exp., etc.                	                         	
Sub-Total Direct Op. Costs        46                36         31
Capital Charges                   41                32         25
BFW                               60                60         60
Total Cost, 
-------
                              APPENDIX 4

             TABULATED DATA DERIVED  FROM FEA'S  NATURAL  GAS
             	TASK FORCE AND MFBI  SURVEYS
                             Index  of  Tables


Table No.	Title
   1         Capacity and Fuel  Consumption Profiles  of Large  Industrial Boilers

          £ Number and Fuel  Consumption of Large  Boilers used by the
             following industries:

   2              Food (SIC 20)
   3              Paper  (SIC  26)
   4              Chemicals  (SIC  28)
   5              Petroleum Refining  (SIC 29)
   6              Stone, Clay,  Glass,  and Concrete (SIC 32)
   7              Primary Metals  (SIC  33)
   8              Fabricated  Metals Products (SIC  34)
   9              Machinery,  except Electrical  (SIC  35)
  10              Electricity,  Gas and Sanitary Services  (SIC 49)
  11              Other  Industries  (i.e.  not SIC 20, 26, 28,  29, 32, 33, 34, 35,
                   and 49)
  12              No SIC Code specified in MFBI Survey

  13         Number and  Fuel  Consumption of All Large Industrial Boilers
               included in MFBI  survey
  14         Apparent Utilization of Large Boilers in 1974
  15*        1974 Fuel Consumption of  Large Industrial Boilers by Size Range
               and SIC Code
  16*        Total Capacity of  Large Industrial Boilers by Size Range and SIC Code
  17*        Number of Large  Industrial Boilers by Size Range and SIC Code
  18*        1974 Fuel Consumption of  Large Industrial Boilers by Region and
               Type of Fuel Used
  19*        Aggregate Capacity of Large Industrial  Boilers by Region and
               Primary Fuel Used

           Q Installed Capacity of Large Industrial  Boilers by Region, SIC Code,
             and Primary Fuel Used in  1974:

  20*             Lower  48 States
  21*             New England
  22*             Appalachian
  23*             Southeast
  24*             Great  Lakes
  25*             Northern Plains
  26*             Midcontinent
  27*             Gulf Coast

  *based on  data from Natural Gas Task Force survey.

-------
                                A4 - 2
Table No.                                    Title
  28*             Rocky Mountain
  29*             Pacific Southwest
  30*             Pacific Northwest
  31*             Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Virgin  Islands

  32*        Regional Variations in Average Size of Large  Industrial  Boilers
              by SIC Code

           0 Number of Large Industrial Boilers by Size Range and  1974  Fuel
             Consumption for Elements of:

  33              Food and Kindred Products (SIC 201,  202, 203, 204,  205)
  34              Chemicals (SIC 281, 282)
  35              Stone, Clay, Glass, and Concrete Products  (SIC 321/2,
                   324, 325, 327)
  36              Primary Ferrous Metals (SIC 331, 332)
  37              Non-Ferrous Metals and Miscellaneous (SIC 333/5, 339)

  38         Fuel Consumption of Pulp, Paper and Paperboard Industry

  39*        Fuel Consumption of Large Industrial Boilers by Fuel  Type and
             SIC Code in 1974
  40         Regional Fuel Consumption of Large Industrial Combustors by
             Commercial Fuel Type in 1974
  41*        Coal Consumption, by Region, of All Large Industrial  Combustors
              (including Boilers) in 1974
*based on data from Natural Gas Task Force survey.

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

  1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total
                                                   APPENDIX  4
                                                     TABLE  1

                      CAPACITY AND FUEL CONSUMPTION  PROFILES  OF  LARGE  INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
Number of Boilers
Units
20
5
17
31
47
77
71
98
152
191
327
473
917
1487
3913
% of Total
0.5
0.1
0.4
0.8
1.2
2.0
1.8
2.5
3.9
4.9
8.4
12.1
23.4
38.0
100.
z:%
0.5
0.6
1.0
1.8
3.0
5.0
6.8
9.3
13.2
18.1
26.5
38.6
62.0
100.

Fuel Consumption* in 1974
1014 BTU
1.10
0.144
0.643
1.05
1.42
2.27
1.60
2.13
2.63
3.10
4.28
4.93
6.51
7.77
39.6
% of Total
2.8
0.4
1.6
2.7
3.6
5.7
4.0
5.4
6.7
7.9
10.8
12.4
16.4
19.6
100.
21%
2.8
3.2
4.8
7.5
11.1
16.8
20.8
26.2
32.9
40.8
51.6
64.0
80.4
100.

Per Boiler
1012 BTU
  5,
  2,
  3,
  3.
  3.
  2.
50
88
78
38
06
95
  2.25
  2.18
  1.73
  1.62
  1.31
  1.04
  0.71
  0.52
  1.01
             fc
             i
             10
 Summary
 Slightly more than half of the capacity is in the 200+ million BTU/H size range.
 Approximately one third of the capacity is in the 350+ million BTU/H size range.
 Approximately 17% of the capacity is in the 500+ million  BTU/H size range.

 *Coal, oil, and natural gas; does not include "other"  fuels  such as black liquor.

 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 22

-------
                                                  APPENDIX 4

                                                    TABLE 2

                   NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS USED BY FOOD INDUSTRY (SIC 20)
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total
                                                        Fuel Consumption* in 1974
Number of
Boilers
1
-
_
—
—
—
—
-
5
11
14
29
75
175
Coal
1000 Tons

-
_
_
-
-
_
-
107
478
209
344
343
407
Oil
1000 BBLS

_
_
_
-
_
-
-
55
275
3208
307
1251
4137
Gas
Billion CF
1.95
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
7.1
4.1
9.2
6.2
26.0
37.1
Total
Trillion BTU
2.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
10.0
16.7
34.2
15.9
42.0
72.7
% of
Total
1.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
5.2
8.6
17.7
8.2
21.7
37.6

S%
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
6.2
14.8
32.5
40.7
62.4
100.
310
1888
9233
91.6
193.
100.
*Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels such as bagasse.

Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total


NUMBER AND FUEL


CONSUMPTION OF
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 3
LARGE BOILERS






USED BY PAPER INDUSTRY (SIC 26)
Fuel Consumption* in
Number of
Boilers
3
6
10
15
21
11
22
19
37
43
67
115
184
553
Coal
1000 Tons
134
_
284
180
438
198
658
535
467
541
160
1116
811
5522
Oil
1000 BBLS
54
1424
2234
3198
2685
2151
1183
2526
2142
4598
6128
5918
8315
42556
Gas
Billion CF
0.08
2.3
10.5
5.7
16.0
5.4
15.3
5.2
26.7
15.7
36.7
25.5
33.0
198.1
1974
Total
Trillion BTU
3.4
11.3
31.2
30.0
43.0
23.5
37.8
33.2
51.2
56.6
79.5
88.3
103.0
593.

% of
Total
0.6
1.9
5.3
5.0
7.3
4.0
6.4
5.6
8.6
9.6
13.4
14.9
17.4
100.
   0.6
   0.6
   2.5
   7.8
 12.
 20.
 24.
 30.
 36.
 44.
 54.
 67.
 82.
100.
 *Coal,  oil and  natural  gas;  does not include "other" fuel such as black liquor  and bark.

 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey,  Report No. 24A

-------
                                                   APPENDIX 4
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total
Number of
 Boilers

    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
   17
   10
   19
   31
   46
   97
  143
  187
  255
  814

[SUMPTION OF

Coal
1000 Tons
_
-
268
230
-
1048
269
197
455
908
1248
1876
1470
863
8832
TABLE 4
LARGE BOILERS
Fuel
Oil
1000 BBLS
40
150
-
-
-
1237
7
273
2228
1421
2286
3285
6401
5863
23191


USED BY CHEMICALS INDUSTRY (SIC
Consumption* in
Gas
Billion CF
10.5
-
12.2
-
4.4
23.7
23.9
35.5
35.2
43.7
84.5
113.8
88.4
95.4
571.4
1974
Total
Trillion BTU
10.9
0.9
18.5
5.2
4.5
55.4
30.5
42.3
60.2
73.9
128.0
179.0
163.0
153.0
926.

28)

% of
Total
1.2
0.1
2.0
0.6
0.5
6.0
3.2
4.6
6.5
8.0
13.8
19.4
17.6
16.5
100.
  1.2
  1.3
  3.3
  3.4
  4.4
 10.4
 13.6
 18.2
 24.7
 32.7
 46.5
 65.9
 83.5
100.
*Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels (such as black liquor in paper  industry).

Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24 A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total
APPENDIX 4


TABLE 5

NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS
PETROLEUM REFINING

Number of
Boilers
2
3
22
11
17
14
31
25
43
61
59
76
364

Coal
1000 Tons
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
528
-
228
28
784
AND COAL PRODUCTS INDUSTRY
Fuel
Oil
1000 BBLS
-
309
2810
273
541
1187
95
867
1552
2537
1747
1940
13858
Consump t ion*
Gas
Billion CF
10.4
8.8
74.3
44.3
36.7
23.7
70.1
44.1
39.9
47.6
36.4
37.1
473.4

USED BY
(SIC 29)
in 1974
Total
Trillion BTU
10.6
10.9
93.3
46.9
40.7
31.6
72.0
50.3
62.3
64.5
53.2
50.3
587.




% of
Total
1.8
1.9
15.9
8.0
6.9
5.4
12.3
8.6
10.6
11.0
9.0
8.6
100.
  -SL7,
   1.8
   3.7
 19.6
 27.6
 34.
 39.
 52.
 60.8
 71.4
 82.4
 91.4
100.
,5
,9
,2
 *Coal,  oil and natural gas; does not include "other  fuels"  (such as black liquor in the paper industry)

 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
                                                   APPENDIX  4

                                                    TABLE 6

                        NUMBER AND FUEL  CONSUMPTION OF LARGE  BOILERS USED BY STONE, CLAY,
                                 GLASS,  AND  CONCRETE PRODUCTS  INDUSTRY  (SIC 32)
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total
Number of
 Boilers
  Coal
1000 Tons
   Oil
1000 BBLS
                                                        Fuel Consumption* in 1974
    1
    2
    4
   12
   12
   38
    49
    _2
    51
    53
    40
   109
   750
   872
  1824
   Gas
Billion CF
   0.34
   1.16
   1.44
   1.60
   2.05
   6.6
   Total         % of
Trillion BTU     Total
                                                                                                   I
                                                                                                   00
0.07
1.43
2.15
7.45
7.60
3.5
7.4
11.1
38.6
39.4
3.5
10.9
22.0
60.6
100.
   19.3
100.
*Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels  (e.g. black liquor in paper industry).

Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 -  399
 300  -  349
 250  -  299
 200  -  249
 150 - 199
 100 - 149
    Total




APPENDIX 4
TABLE 7






NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS USED BY
PRIMARY METALS INDUSTRY (SIC 33)
Fuel Consumption* in
Number of
Boilers
4
3
6
8
5
10
17
20
23
33
21
58
74
99
381
Coal
1000 Tons
269
145
832
527
189
324
1179
1511
270
414
68
638
640
1247
8253
Oil
1000 BBLS
65
272
-
246
19
214
42
679
875
247
502
840
1053
1741
6795
Gas
Billion CF
5.15
6.74
5.63
7.61
7.62
1.90
8.44
5.70
7.59
49.03
12.68
39.64
34.87
17.93
210.5
1974
Total
Trillion BTU
11.7
il.8
24.5
21.1
12.2
10.6
35.5
44.2
19.3
60.9
17.6
60.0
56.5
57.4
443.

% of
Total
2.6
2.7
5.5
4.8
2.8
2.4
8.0
10.0
4.3
13.7
4.0
13.5
12.8
12.9
100.
   2.6
   5.3
  10.8
  15.6
  18.4
  20.8
  28.8
  38.8
  43.1
  56.8
  60.8
 74.3
 87.1
100.
 i
vO
 *Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels  (such  as black liquor in paper industry).

 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
250 - 299
200 - 249
150 - 199
100 - 149
   Total





Number of
Boilers
1
1
1
4
4
18
3
14
55
101


NUMBER AND FUEL
USED BY FABRICATED

Coal
1000 Tons
_
_
12
448
-
300
23
192
297
1272
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 8
CONSUMPTION


OF LARGE BOILERS
METAL PRODUCTS INDUSTRY (SIC
Fuel
Oil
100 BBLS
150
208
-
68
24
144
-
418
2117
3129
Consumption* in
Gas
Billion CF
-
0.05
-
-
0.4
2.8
-
2.6
6.2
12.1



34)
1974
Total
Trillion BTU
0.94
1.36
0.27
10.5
0.56
10.5
0.52
9.6
26.1
60.5





% of
Total
1.6
2.3
0.4
17.4
0.9
17.4
0.9
15.9
43.2
100.
  1.6
  1.6
  3.9
  4.3
 21.7
 22.6
 40.0
 40.9
 56.8
100.
*Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels  (such  as  blast  furnace  gas  in  steel  industry).

Source:   FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
                                                   APPENDIX 4

                                                    TABLE 9

                             NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS USED  BY
                                 MACHINERY  (NON-ELECTRICAL) INDUSTRY  (SIC 35)
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350 - 399
300 - 349
 250 -  299
 200  -  249
 150  -  199
 100  -  149
    Total
                                                        Fuel Consumption*  in  1974
Number of
 Boilers
     1
     6
     6
    22
    63
   101
  Coal
1000 Tons
   Oil
1000 BBLS
   Gas
Billion CF
   34
  106
   82
   92
  314
   58

  328
  164
  842
 1392
                                               8.4
   9.0
   1.5
   5.8
   8.7
  33.4
   Total
Trillion
BTU
    8.6

    0.3
    9.9
    5.9
    8.8
   16.1
   49.7
% of
Total
17.3
-
0.7
20.0
12.0
17.6
32.4
17.3
17.3
18-. 0
38.0
50.0
67.0
100.
                                                                                                100.
 *Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other"  fuels  (such as blast furnace gas in steel industry).

 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
                                                     APPENDIX 4

                                                     TABLE  10

                              NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS USED BY
                            ELECTRICITY, GAS, AND SANITARY SERVICES INDUSTRY (SIC 49)
 Size Range
 Million BTU/H

    1000 +
 900 - 999
 800 - 899
 700 - 799
 600 - 699
 500 - 599
 450 - 499
 400 - 449
 350 - 399
 300 - 349
 250 - 299
 200 - 249
 150 - 199
 100 - 149
    Total
                                                         Fuel Consumption* in 1974
Number of
Boilers
5**
-
-
-
-
1
1
3
4
2
-
10
41
39
Coal
1000 Tons
2343
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
31
-
14
49
76
Oil
1000 BBLS
238
-
-
-
-
159
-
357
664
-
-
152
2037
830
Gas
Billion CF

-
-
-
-
-
0.04
-
-
3.23
-
5.34
3.88
4.02
Total
Trillion BTU
54.4
-
-
-
-
1.0
0.04
2.2
4.2
4.0
-
4.7
17.6
11.0
% of
Total
54.9
-
-
-
-
1.0
negl.
2.3
4.2
4.0
-
4.7
17.8
11.1

21%
54.9
54.9
54.9
54.9
54.9
55.9
55.9
58.2
62.4
66.4
66.4
71.1
88.9
100.







>
i
i— >
1-0





106
2513
4437
14.6
99.1
100.
 *Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels (such as carbon monoxide in petroleum refining industry).
**it is possible that these 5 boilers are electric utility, not industrial, boilers.  Note that 93% of the,«oal
  consumption by SIC 49 is attributable to these 5 boilers.
 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 - 999
800 - 899
700 - 799
600 - 699
500 - 599
450 - 499
400 - 449
350  -  399
 300  -  349
 250  -  299
 200  -  249
 150 - 199
 100 - 149
    Total




NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION
INDUSTRIES

Number of
Boilers
4**
3
3
7
8
8
26
21
46
63
254
412
855
OTHER THAN SIC

Coal
1000 Tons
2100
_
110
286
377
475
903
386
657
402
2230
1548
9474
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 11


OF LARGE BOILERS USED BY
20, 26, 28
Fuel
Oil
1000 BBLS
57
1397
765
1065
371
1757
3576
1491
3786
3640
7201
12665
37771
, 29, 32, 33,
Consumption*
Gas
Billion CF
0.07
0.65
0.41
5.37
7.68
4.10
6.55
11.46
11.30
25.64
50.56
102.30
226.1


MANUFACTURING
34, 35 and 49
in 1974
Total
Trillion BTU
47.8
9.4
7.7
18.6
18.6
25.9
49.5
29.7
50.1
57.4
146.0
218.0
681.





% of
Total
7.0
1.4
1.1
2.7
2.7
3.8
7.3
4.4
7.4
8.5
21.5
32.2
100.
   7.0
   7.0
   7.0
   8.4
   9.5
 12.2
 14.9
 18.7
 26.0
 30.4
 37.8
 46.3
 67.8
100.
 *Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels (such as acid sludge in chemicals  industry).
**it  is questionable whether these 4 boilers are actually industrial boilers.   The 1974  fuel consumption
  data indicate that these 4 boilers have an average steam generation capacity equivalent  to a heat
  input of at least 1.3 billion BTU/H, which would be more typical of electric utility boilers.
 Source:  FEA MFBI  Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
                                                    APPENDIX 4

                                                     TABLE  12

                            NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE BOILERS FOR WHICH NO
                                   SIC CODE WAS SPECIFIED IN FEA'S MFBI SURVEY
 Size Range
 Million BTU/H

    1000 +
 900 - 999
 800 - 899
 70Q - 799
 600 - 699
 500 - 599
 450 - 499
 400 - 449
 350 - 399
 300 - 349
 250 - 299
 200 - 249
 150 - 199
 100 - 149
    Total
                                                         Fuel Consumption* in 1974
Number of
 Boilers
  Coal
1000 Tons
   Oil
1000 BBLS
                                3223
6**
7
9
13
12
37
31
64
110
-
-
-
145
376
491
542
763
1002
   Gas
Billion CF
                                3.8
  294
  3319
5156
457
925
266
708
2651
890
2771
2792
19839
7.8
8.0
11.3
11.5
13.7
42.2
18.7
22.1
22.9
162.1
   Total
Trillion BTU
                                 24.0
% of
Total
                                  6.6
                            6.6
37.8
11.0
17.3
16.6
26.9
70.7
36.7
57.2
63.5
362.
10.5
3.0
4.8
4.6
7.4
19.5
10.1
15.9
17.6
100.
17.1
20.1
24.9
29.5
36.9
56.4
66.5
82.4
100.

>
i
>-*
-P>






 *Coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other fuels" (such as waste heat derived from combustion of
  catalyst coke in petroleum refining).

**the fuel consumption data imply that these 6 boilers were operated at 120% capacity throughout 1974 — or
  else that the fuel consumption data are in error.
 Source:  FEA MFBI Survey, Report No. 24A

-------
Size Range
Million BTU/H

   1000 +
900 -  999
800 -  899
700 -  799
600 -  699
500 -  599
450 -  499
400 -  449
 350 -  399
 300  -  349
 250  - 299
 200 - 249
 150 - 199
 100 - 149
    Total




APPENDIX 4
TABLE 13


NUMBER AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF ALL* LARGE INDUSTRIAL


BOILERS



INCLUDED IN FEA'S MFBI SURVEY
Fuel Consumption** in
Number of
Boilers
11
5
17
31
47
77
71
98
152
193
327
475
917
1487
3908
Coal
1000 Tons
403
145
1100
1041
491
2544
2023
2841
2415
3060
4076
4105
7162
6378
37779
Oil
1000 BBLS
159
572
1417
7617
6792
10857
3569
6361
10285
7286
18767
18216
29711
42114
163730
Gas
Billion CF
17.6
6.7
30.6
31.5
92.5
99.1
90.2
104.2
143.3
196.7
228.5
294.7
297.7
366.7
2000.
1974
Total
Trillion BTU
28.0
13.7
64.5
103.3
148.0
224.0
160.0
210.0
265.0
315.0
442.0
506.0
651.0
780.0
3908.

% of
Total
0.7
0.4
1.7
2.6
3.8
5.7
4.1
5.4
6.8
8.1
11.3
12.9
16.6
19.9
100.
  0.7
  1.1
  2.8
  5.4
  9.2
 14.9
 19.0
 24.
 31.
 39.
 50.
 63.
 80.
100.
.4
.2
.3
,6
.5
.1
  *except for  5  boilers  in  SIC  49 and 4 boilers in "other SIC's" that appear to be wrongly coded electric utility
   boilers.

 **coal,  oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels (such as black liquor in the paper industry).

  Source:  FEA MFBI Survey,  Report No. 24A

-------
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 14
APPARENT UTILIZATION OF LARGE BOILERS IN 1974

Size Food
Range SIC
M BTU/H 20
1000 + 22
900-999
800-899
700-799
600-699
500-599
450-499
400-449
350-399 61
300-349 53
250-299 60
200-249 28
150-199 37
100-149 39
% of
Paper
SIC
26
12
-
25
48
35
43
52
46
52
49
55
61
51
52
Theoretical
Chemicals
SIC
28
40
11
83
79
79
68
73
60
59
57
55
64
57
56
Boiler
Pet. Ref
SIC
29
_
-
71
55
75
91
58
61
71
71
61
54
59
62
Utilization in
Ceramics
SIC
32

-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
24
30
28
41
37
1974 Based
P. Metals
SIC
33
32
47
55
40
43
22
50
60
26
65
35
53
50
54
on Consumption
of Coal,
F. Metals Equip. U
SIC
34

11
-
21
48
55
-
-
-
5
24
9
45
45
SIC
35

_
-
-
-
-
-
77
-
12
69
51
26
24
Oil &
Natural Gas*


. Services
SIC
49
119«5
-
-
-
_
21
1
20
32
71
-
24
28
26
Other
SIC's
130j$
_
-
48
45
55
56
87
58
50
46
47
38
50
Not
Specif.

-
-
73
-
131?$
38
52
39
79
80
61
59
54

Total
28«4«S
33
51
51
55
61
54
58
53
58 a
56 3
55
47 J
49
 Arithmetic average utilization of all boilers in 100-899 Million BTU/H size range

           46     47        66        66           32         46          32        43

 Fuel Consumption (coal, oil and natural gas; does not include "other" fuels)

 1012
 BTU's    193    593       926       587           19        443          61        50
 % of
 Total
4.9   15.2
23.7
15.0
0.5
11.3
1.5
1.3
                                                                                      28
                                                                                      45
1.2
                                                                               53
                                                                               633
                                                                              16.2
                                                                               54**
                                                                                                                  362
                                                                              9.2
  54



3912


100.
 *does not include the consumption of "other" fuels (by-product fuels) such as black liquor,  bagasse,  catalyst coke,  etc.
 tdata appear questionable
(^excluding questionable data in SIC 49 and "other SIC's"
**correcting for questionable data in "SIC not specified"

-------



APPENDIX 4
TABLE 15




1974 FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND SIC CODE
Size Range 10 BTU/H
SIC 20
SIC 26
SIC 28
SIC 29
SIC 32
SIC 331/2
SIC 333/9
Other SIC's
Not Spec.
Total
Aggregate 1974
100/149
70.2
105.0
152 .0
47 .9
7.3
44.3
8.2
280.0
62 .3
778
150/199
41.4
91.5
166.0
46.5
7.4
49.5
5.7
181.0
57.2
647
200/299
49.2
137.0
299.0
118.0
3.6
67.4
10.6
134.0
104.0
926
12
Fuel Consumption, 10 BTU
300/399
26.4
86.1
140.0
112.0
0.6
34.1
49.2
83.7
41.0
573
400/499
NIL
62 .9
59.9
82.2
NIL
72 .9
10.3
57.0
28.3
373
500+
2.1
120.0
93.0
156.0
NIL
96.1
6.5
127.0
63
664
Total
189
604
912
563
19
364
91
864
356
3962
Source:   Natural Gas  Task Force Survey

-------
Size Range,  10  BTU/H
  20




  26




  28




  29




  32
          SIC Code/Industry
        Food




        Paper




        Chemica Is




        Petroleum Refining




        Stone, Clay, Glass,  Concrete




331/332 Blast Furnaces/I & S Foundries




333/339 Other Primary Metals




Other SlC's




No SIC Code Specified







Subtotal as % of  Total
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 16
TOTAL CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND SIC CODE
9
Aggregate Boiler Capacity, 10 BTU/H
100/
21
23
33
9
2
9
2
73
14
190
20
149
.7
.4
.7
.8
.3
.7
.0
.0
.9
.6
.4
150/
12
20
33
9
2
12
1
60
12
165
17
199
.8
.4
.8
.5
.3
.6
.4
.0
.4
.2
.7
200/299
11
31
59
26
1
17
2
40
19
209
22
.0
.6
.7
.1
.5
.5
.6
.2
.6
.5
.4
300/399
5
21
30
20
0
14
6
20
9
127
18
.4
.0
.1
.0
.3
.0
.3
.9
.5
.5
.6
400/499
--
16.7
10.9
15-4
--
13.0
1.8
11.9
7.9
77 .7
8.3
500+
3
49
19
24
-
26
0
31
7
164
17
.1
.8
.5
.8
-
.9
.7
.5
.8
.1
.6
Total
53.9
162.8
187.8
105.7
6.4
93.7
14.7
237.5
72.0
934.7
100
                                                                                                                           I



                                                                                                                          oo
Source:  Natural Gas Task Force  Survey

-------
  Size Range, 10  BTU/H

SIC 20  Number
        % of Subtotal

SIC 26  Number
        % of Subtotal

SIC 28  Number
        1 of Subtotal

SIC 29  Number
        % of Subtotal

SIC 32  Number
        % of Subtotal

SIC  331/332 Number
             %  of Subtotal

j>IC  333/339 Number
             7, of Subtotal

 Other SIC's Number
             % of Subtotal

 Not Spec .  Number
            70 of Subtotal

 Totals  Number
         7= of Subtotal


APPENDIX
4



TABLE 17
NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND SIC CODE
100/149
184
56.5
194
31.7
272
31.6
81
21.5
19
48.7
79
23.6
17
28.8
611
48.8
126
37 .5
1583
37.8
150/199
76
23.3
119
19.4
197
23.0
55
14.6
13
33.3
73
21.7
8
13.6
352
28.1
73
21.7
966
23.0
200/299
47
14.4
132
21.5
247
28.8
108
28.8
6
15.4
76
22.6
10
16.9
168
13.4
79
23.5
873
20.8
300/399
16
4.9
62
10.1
89
10.4
58
15.4
1
2.6
40
11.9
19
32.2
60
4.8
28
8.3
373
8.9
400/499
--
38
6.2
25
2.9
35
9 .3
—
30
8.9
4
6.8
27
2.1
18
5.4
177
4.2
500+
3
0.9
68
11.1
28
3.3
39
10.4
—
38
11.3
1
1.7
35
2.8
12
3.6
224
5.3
70 of Grand
Subtotal Total
326 7.8
100
6 13 14 . 6
100
858 20.4
100
376 9.0 £
100 ,
39 0.9 *>
100
336 8.0
100
59 1.4
100
1253 29.9
100
336 8.0
100
4196 100
100
 Source;   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
    Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountains
Pacific S.W.
Pacific N.W.
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountains
Pacific S .W.
Pacific N.W.
Lower 48 States
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 18
1974 FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
BOILERS BY REGION AND TYPE OF FUEL USED
1974 Fuel
Coal
NIL
412
190
248
27 .6
6.2
34.1
36.9
2.5
8.3
966
Percent
NIL
43.6
34.3
42.5
35.3
8.9
2 .8
29.5
2.0
8.7
24.8
Res id
95.1
305
159
61.4
3.4
0.03
76.2
26.5
10.3
11.8
747
Breakdown
90.9
32.3
28.7
10.5
4.3
negl
6.3
21.2
8.4
12.3
19.2
12
Consumption, 10 BTU
Dist .
NIL


8
4
.
,
48.






2
1
1
1
0
0
.
,
M
,
.

0
1
1
1
5
2
5
9
1
68
of Fuel
Consumption
NIL
0
0
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
.

,
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
8
7
2
7
2
1
2
7
1
8










Gas
3.4
152
113
169
42.7
60.5
1050
59.6
99.5
70.0
1820
Within
3.2
16.1
20.4
29.0
54.6
86.9
86.7
47.8
80.7
73.1
46.8
Other


6
67
88
57


2
1
49



0
10
5
.2
.7
.4
.3
.4
.4
.5
.4
.1
.6
289
Regions
5
7
15
9
3
2
4
0
8
5
7

.9
.2
.9
.8
.1
.0
.1
.3
.2
.8
.4












Total
104
946
555
584
78
69
1210
125
123
95
3890
















.1
.6



.9













  % of
Lower 48

   2.67
  24.32
  14.27
  15.01
     .00
     .79
  31.10
   3.21
   3.16
   2.47
  100
2
1
                                                                                                                      N>
                                                                                                                      o
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------






APPENDIX 4
TABLE 19






AGGREGATE CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
BOILERS BY REGION AND BY PRIMARY FUEL FIRED
g
Aggregate Boiler Capacity^ 10 BTU/H
Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S .W.
Pacific N.W.

Coal
NIL
83.3
35.6
52 .7
5.6
2 .1
4.3
7.5
1.6
3.8
196.5
Res id
22.6
74.3
36.1
19.0
1.1
0.3
13.7
2.4
2 .2
3.4
175.1
Percentage Distribution of Capacity
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific S.W.
Pacific N.W.
Lower 48 States
NIL
34.7
24.1
35.9
30.6
10.4
1.9
31.0
4.5
12.4
21.3
86.2
30.8
24.5
12.9
6.0
1.5
6.0
9.9
6.2
11.1
19.0
Dist.
NIL
4.9
2.2
6.4
1.1
0.4
0.2
0.6
0.4
0.1
16.3
Within Regions
NIL
2.0
1.5
4.3
6.0
2.0
0.1
2.5
1.0
0.3
1.8
Gas
1.0
43.0
28.5
44.5
10.1
14.6
184.7
12.8
26.7
15.3
381.3
by Primary
3.8
17.8
19.4
30.2
55.2
72.2
80.2
52.9
75.0
50.0
41.4
Other
2.6
35.5
45.1
24.6
0.4
2.8
27.1
0.9
4.7
8.0
151.7
Fuel Used
10.0
14.7
30.5
16.7
2.2
13.9
11.8
3.7
13.2
26.2
16.4
Total
26.2
241.0
147.6
147.2
18.3
20.2
230.0
24.2
35.6
30.6
920.9
in 1974











                                                                                                             % Of
                                                                                                           Lower 48
                                                                                                                       I
                                                                                                                       ho
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force  Summary

-------
              Coal
Total
No.

 69
 93
182
  7
  4
127
  6
306
 78

872
Cap .

 12.6
 21.2
 41.7
  1.7
                    0.6
                   38.2
                    1.1
                   66.4
                   13.2
196.7
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 20
IN
INSTALLED CAPACITY
LOWER 48 STATES BY SIC
Res id
No.
46
169
140
62
13
15
15
331
71
862
Cap
6
42
25
16
2
2
2
61
15
175
.
.3
.4
.4
.4
.1
.4
.8
.6
.8
.1
OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
Dist .
No.
11
8
11
--
1
3
--
43
13
90
Cap .
1
1
1
-
0
0
-
7
3
16
.5
.3
.8
-
.1
.5
-
.3
.8
.3
Nat.
No.
190
174
472
273
17
38
32
458
130
1784
. Gas
Cap
31
37
105
78
2
10
9
76
29
381
Other
.
.4
.5
.3
.5
.9
.8
.2
.4
.3
.4
No.
6
167
42
22
4
153
6
76
38
514
Cap
1
60
10
7
0
41
1
19
9
151

.3
.2
.3
.2
.6
.8
.6
.5
.0
.5
                                                                                     Total
No.

 322
 611
 847
 364
  39
 336
  59
1214
 330

4122
                                                                                                            Cap
921.1
223  ^>
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large industrial  boilers  in  each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of  the  pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers, expressed in 10  BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
        Data for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands are tabulated separately and are not included above.
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                      APPENDIX 4


                                                       TABLE 21

                                        INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                          BOILERS  IN NEW  ENGLAND BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Coal Res id Dist .
No. Cap. No.
6
27
14
__
2
3
4
52
7
Cap . No . Cap .
830
6178
2556
__
398
375
722
10471
1107
Nat
No.
1
1
—
--
--
—
2
3
--
. Gas
Cap.
105
101
--
--
--
--
390
398
—
Other
No.
__
4
--
--
-_
--
--
5
3
Cap .
..
951
—
--
--
--
—
1032
600
Total
No.
7
32
14
--
2
3
2
60
10
Cap.
935
7230
2556
--
398
375
1112
11901
1707
Aver.
Size
134
226
183
--
199
128
185
198
171
Total
115
22637
12
                                                                                12
                                                           2583
134
26214
                                                                                196
                                                                                                                          NJ
                                                                                                                          U>
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large industrial boilers in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent  group of  boilers  in  10   BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by  the  number  of  boilers in 106  BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
 Source:    Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                        APPENDIX 4

                                                          TABLE 22

                                       INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS  IN
                                APPALACHIAN REGION BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED  IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Coal
No.
5
41
99
2
4
72
2
109
36
Cap.
539
10336
21736
211
633
21993
370
21462
6061
Res id
No.
23
51
80
23
9
4
9
163
38
Cap .
3553
10219
14468
4569
1399
650
1433
30855
7195
Dist .
No.
3
8
2
-
1
-
-
17
2
Cap .
436
1251
255
--
121
--
--
2484
310
Nat
No.
28
16
51
21
12
13
3
61
13
. Gas
Cap.
3496
2717
9628
7393
1918
2025
300
12842
2701
Other
No.
__
20
3
7
4
87
--
9
—
Cap.
•• «.
780
368
2027
648
23068
--
2344
--
Total
No.
59
136
235
53
30
176
14
359
89
Cap .
8024
31603
46455
14200
4719
47736
2103
69987
16267
Aver .
Size
136
232
198
218
157
271
150
195
183
Total
370
83341
400
74341
33
4857
218
43020
130
35535
1151
241094
209
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of  large industrial boilers in each category.
        "Cap1.1 refers to the aggregate  capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10" BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source;
Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 23
INSTALLED CAPACITY OF
SOUTHEAST BY SIC CODE AND
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Total
Coal
No.
..
23
60
--
__
8
__
58
4
153
Cap.
..
5985
14376
--
--
1672
--
12991
898
35622
Res id
No.
8
56
31
--
__
--
--
60
9
164
Cap .
866
17639
5170
—
--
--
--
10140
2328
36143
Sist .
No , Cap .
..
__
2 560
__
__
__
__
8 1619
__
10 2179
LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS
PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
Nat
No.
6
27
45
.__
_.
__
--
49
15
142
. Gas
Cap.
869
7193
8803
--
._
_.
. —
7750
3936
28551
Other
No.
5
73
13
—
--
3
--
26
9
129
Cap.
1052
27932
4063
--
__
469
--
8995
2590
45101
Total
No.
19
179
151
—
--
11
—
201
37
598
Cap .
2787
58749
32972
--
__
2141
--
41495
9452
147596
Aver.
Size
147
328
218
__
__
195
—
206
255
247
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large industrial boilers in each category.
                                                                                     ,-.6
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10"  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10^ BTU/H,
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source:    Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                      APPENDIX  4

                                                       TABLE 25

                              INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL  BOILERS  IN NORTHERN
                                PLAINS REGION BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Total
Coal
No.
20
5
--
--
--
--
—
9
--
34
Cap.
3504
694
--
--
--
--
—
1446
--
5644
Res id
No.
_.
2
-
3
-
-
-
1
-
6
Cap.
— —
388
--
625
--
—
--
115
—
1128
Dist ,
No.
5
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
1
7
Cap .
748
--
--
--
--
—
--
150
173
1071
Nat
No.
19
17
3
-
-
-
-
18
2
59
. Gas
Cap.
2983
3362
330
--
--
--
--
3050
394
10119
Other Total
No. Cap. No.
44
24
3
3
_
-
-
1 360 30
3
1 360 107
Cap.
7235
4444
330
625
--
.-
--
5121
567
18322
Aver .
Size
164
185
110
208
--
--
-_
171
189
171
                                                                                                                           >
                                                                                                                           .p-
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large  individual  boilers  in each category.       ,
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate  capacity of  the  pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10° BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                       APPENDIX 4

                                                        TABLE 26

                                    INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS IN
                              MIDCONTINENT REGION BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Total
Coal Res id
No.
4
-
5
-
_
-
-
4
-
13
Cap . No . Cap .
600 1 107
__
921 1 235
__
__
__
__
614
__
2 135 2 342
Dist .
No.
1
-
2
-
_
_
-
-
-
3
Cap .
144
--
275
--
__
__
--
--
--
419
Nat
No.
9
2
9
27
_
2
-
39
5
98
. Gas
Cap .
1687
246
1367
4851
—
212
--
5609
650
14622
Other
No.

3
-
1
_
_
-
1
-
5
Cap.
..
2249
--
364
__
_-
--
138
--
2751
Total
No.
15
5
17
28
__
2
__
44
5
116
Cap.
2538
2495
2798
5215
__
212
--
6361
650
20269
Aver.
Size
169
499
165
186
--
106
--
145
130
175









>
i
00
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large individual boilers in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10^ BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 27
INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS IN GULF COAST
REGION BY SIC CODE AND BY PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC Coal Resid Dist.
Code No. Cap. No. Cap. No. Cap.
20 - -
26 - - 20 5834
28 - - 6 1461
29 - - 6 2708
32 - -
331/2 - - - -
333/9 - - -
Other 4 3644 8 1524
N. S. 3 636 3 2124 1 243
Total 7 4280 43 13651 1 243
Nat.
No.
21
33
325
169
-
18
110
42
725
Gas .
Cap.
5404
8136
79164
53736
-
5430
19894
12921
184685

No.
1
41
23
2
-
2
16
11
96
Other
Cap .
215
15069
5035
619
-
450
2946
2734
27068

No.
22
94
354
177
-
2
18
138
67
872
Total
Cap.
5619
29039
85660
57063
-
450
5430
28008
18658
229927
Av.
Size
255
309
242
322
-
225
*-
302 i
NJ
203 *°
278
264
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large individual boilers in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aw Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 106 BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.

Source:  Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                       APPENDIX 4

                                                        TABLE 28

                                 INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS IN ROCKY
                                MOUNTAIN REGION BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.
Total
Coal
No.
7
—
4
--
__
16
--
4
1
32
Cap .
1178
--
1916
—
__
3453
--
757
240
7544
Res id
No.
1
__
--
--
	
—
--
9
4
14
Cap.
100
--
--
--
__
—
--
1351
905
2356
Dist .
No.

-
1
-
_
_
-
2
1
4
Cap .

--
152
__
	
	
—
319
102
573
Nat
No.
16
1
7
3
	
	
7
23
11
68
. Gas
Cap.
3022
280
1186
615
__
__
2649
2947
2112
12811
Other
No.
.
1
-
-
_
_
-
1
3
5
Cap.
..
190
--
--
__
—
-_
100
565
855
Total
No.
24
2
12
3
—
16
7
39
20
123
Cap.
4300
470
3254
615
—
3453
2649
5474
3920
24139
Aver .
Size
179
235
271
205
__
216
378
140 *•
196 "
196 °
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large individual boilers in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10^ BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source;   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------

APPENDIX 4
TABLE 29

INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS IN PACIFIC SOUTHWEST REGION
BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC
Code
20
26
28
29
32
331/2
333/9
Other
N. S.
Total
Coal Resid Dist. Nat.
No. Cap. No. Cap. No. Cap. No.
48
12
3 1024 2 472 3 416 1
45
2
_.---__
3 619 2 651 2
3 888 - 33
1 180 8
6 1643 8 2191 3 416 151
Gas Other
Cap. No. Cap.
7684
2212 2 396
160
9599 2 1260
236
7 2500
438
4802 1 304
1549 1 300
266680 13 4740

No.
48
14
9
47
2
7
7
37
10
181
Total
Cap.
7684
2608
2070
10839
236
2500
1708
5994
2029
35668
Av.
Size
160
186
230
231
118
357
244
162
203
197
                                                                                                                          u>
NOTES:  "No." refers to the number of large individual boilers in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Av. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10^ BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.

Source:  Natural Gas Task Survey

-------
SIC
Code

 20
 26
 28
 29
 32
331/2
333/9
Other
N.S.

Total


APPENDIX 4
TABLE 30







INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS IN
PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION BY SIC CODE AND PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
Coal
No.
15
9
24
Cap .
2932
900
3832
Res id
No. Cap.
6 1195
10 2104
1 100
17 3399
Dist. Nat
No . Cap . No .
10
31
- - - 2
4
1 112 26
8
1 112 81
. Gas
Cap .
1181
7259
216
1020
4307
1352
15335
Other
No.
14
1
13
6
34
Cap.
4211
112
2837
820
7980
Total
No.
25
51
2
5
50
24
157
Cap.
4113
12665
216
1132
9360
3172
30658
Aver .
Size
165
248
108
226
187
132
195
fc
w
10
NOTES:  "No."  refers to the number of large individual  boilers  in each category.
        "Cap." refers to the aggregate capacity of  the pertinent group of boilers in 10  BTU/H.
        "Aver. Size" refers to the aggregate capacity divided by the number of boilers in 10^ BTU/H.
        "N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                                    APPENDIX 4

                                                     TABLE  31
                  INSTALLED CAPACITY OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS  IN ALASKA,  HAWAII,  PUERTO RICO,
                           AND VIRGIN ISLANDS BY SIC CODE AND  PRIMARY FUEL USED IN 1974
SIC Coal Resid Dist.
Code No. Cap. No. Cap. No. Cap.
20 - - 1 220
26 -
28 - - 8 2783
29 - 4 685 4 525
32 ...
331/2 ... _
333/9 - ...
Other 27 3960 -
N. S. - - 2 266
Total 27 3960 15 3954 4 525
Nat. Gas
No . Cap .
-
-
3 433
4 815
_
_
-
8 1180
4 621
19 3049
Other
No. Cap. No.
3 671 4
2 340 2
11
12
_
_
_
4 1125 39
6
9 2136 74
Total
891
340
3216
2025
-
-
-
6265
887
13624
Av.
Size
223
170
292
169
-
-
-
161
148
184
NOTES:  ^No."^refers to the number  of  large  individual boilers in each category.        fi
        ()Cap.   refers to the aggregate capacity  of  the pertinent group of  boilers  in 10  BTU/H.
         Av.  Size" refers to the  aggregate capacity divided by the number  of  boilers in 106 BTU/H.
         N.S." denotes SIC Code not specified.

Source:   Natural Gas Task Survey
                                                                                                                         I
                                                                                                                        OJ

-------
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 32
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN AVERAGE SIZE OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIC CODE
Average Boiler Size, 106 BTU/H
Region
New England
Appalachian
Southeast
Great Lakes
Northern Plains
Midcontinent
Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain
Pacific Southwest
Pacific Northwest
Lower 48 States
20
134
136
147
166
164
169
255
179
160
165
165
26
226
232
328
178
185
499
309
235
186
248
266
28
183
198
218
166
110
165
242
271
230
108
218
29 32
199
268 157
	 	
292 210
208
186
322
205
231 118
226
285 164
331/2
128
271
195
310
	
106
225
216
357
___
279
333/9
185
150
	
241
	
	
302
378
244
___
249
Other
198
195
206
186
171
145
203
140
162
187
191
All
196
209
247
215
171
175
264
196
197
195
223
Number of
Large Boilers
134
1151
598
683
107
116
872
123
181
157
4122
                                                                                                                         OJ
                                                                                                                         -p-
Source:  Calculated from data reported  in Natural Gas Task  Force  Survey

-------
                                    A4 - 35
                                   APPENDIX 4
                                    TABLE 33

             NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND
           1974  FUEL CONSUMPTION FOR ELEMENTS OF THE  FOOT)
SIC 201 Meat Products

           Size Range
            10° BTU/H

             100-149
             150-199
                                Number of
                                 Boilers

                                    8
                                   _4
                                   12
                    Fuel  Consumed
                      1012 BTU

                         3.4
                         2.8
                         6.2
SIC 202 Dairy Products
           Size Range
            106 BTU/H
            100-149
Number of
 Boilers
                                                     Fuel Consumed
                                                       1012 BTU

                                                         0.5
SIC 203 Canned,  Cured,  and Frozen Foods
            Size Range
            106 BTU/H

             100-149
             150-199
             200-249
Number of
 Boilers

   39
    8
   _2
   49
                                                     Fuel Consumed
                                                       1012 BTU

                                                        12
                                                         1.5
                                                         0.4
                                                        14
SIC  204 Grain Mill Products

            Size Range
            10  BTU/H
             100-149
             150-199
             200-249
             250-299
             300-349
             350-399
Number of
 Boilers

   23
   21
    6
    2
    7
   _2
   61
                                                     Fuel  Qpnsumed
                                                       10   BTU

                                                          9
                                                        20
                                                          6
                                                          3
                                                        12
                                                        _5.
                                                        54
 SIC 205 Bakery Products

 No large boilers

               un   *.«M.,t:tc8 for SIC 206 (Sugar),  SIC 207  (Confectionery and
 Note:   Comparable statist"S tor b      J,  }   and SIC 209 (Miscellaneous,
        Xelated Products), SIC^ 208 JBeverag^;^^  ^ ^  ^  ^^  ^^ ^
                                                     _ £ 1	J 1 ^^  f..rt 1 O    "[0
                                                                       Ln 1974
                               e-ts listed above.


 Source:   FEA's MFBI survey, Report No. 25

-------
                                     A4 - 36


APPENDIX 4
TABLE 34
NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY
CONSUMPTION FOR SEGMENTS OF THE
SIC 281 Industrial
Size Range
106 BTU/H
100-149
150-199
200-249
250-299
300-349
350-399
400-449
450-499
500-599
600-699
700-799
800-899
900-999
1000+

Chemicals
Number of Fuel
Boilers 10
83
58
58
32
13
9
5
4
4
1
1
3
-
2
273


SIZE RANGE
CHEMICALS

Consumed
12 BTUs
58
52
85
43
28
20
14
12
15
4
5
19
-
7
361


AND 1974 FUEL
INDUSTRY

% of Fuel
Consumed
16.1
14.2
23.5
11.8
7.7
5.6
3.9
3.2
4.2
1.2
1.4
5.1
-
1.9
100
SIC 282 Plastics Materials and Synthetics
Size Range
106 BTU/H
100-149
150-199
200-249
250-299
300-349
350-399
400-449
500-599
900-999

Number of Fuel
Consumed
Boilers 10iz BTUs
57
52
54
32
15
9
3
2
1
225
29
45
59
40
21
18
5
5
1
224
% of Fuel
Consumed
12.9
20.3
26.3
17.7
9.6
8.1
2.3
2.4
0.4
100
Source:  FEA's MFBI Survey,  Report No.  25

-------
                                     A4 - 37


                                   APPENDIX 4
                                    TABLE 35
        NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND 1974  FUEL
 CONSUMPTION FOR STONE. CLAY. GLASS, AND CONCRETE PRODUCTS INDUSTRIES  (SIC 32)
SIC 321/2 Glass
           Size Range
            106 BTU/H
Number of
 Boilers
Fuel Consumed
  1012 BTUs
             100-149
             150-199
             200-249
             250-299
             300-349
    5
    1
    3
    2
   J.
    12
     1.2
     0.6
     1.2
     1.4
     0.7
     5.1
 SIC 324 Cement
            Size Range
             1Q6 BTU/H

              150-199
 Number of
  Boilers
Fuel Consumed
   1Q12 BTUs
                         1.0
 SIC 325 Clay Products

            Size Range
             106 BTU/H
 Number of
  Boilers

No large boilers
 Fuel  Consumed
   1Q12 BTUs
 SIC 327  Concrete
             Size Range
             106 BTU/H,

              100-149
 Number of
  Boilers
 Fuel Consumed
   1QJ2 BTUs

      2.5
  Source:
           FEA's MFBI Survey,  Report No.
                                         25

-------
                                    A4 - 38


                                   APPENDIX 4

                                    TABLE 36
        NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND 1974 FUEL
        CONSUMPTION FOR SIC 331 '(BLAST FURNACES, BLAST STEEL PRODUCTS)
Size Range
106 BTU/H
100-149
150-199
200-249
250-299
300-349
350=399
400-449
450-499
500-599
600-699
700-799
800-899
900-999
1000+

Number of
Boilers
73
64
48
18
16
22
19
11
8
5
7
6
1
4
302
Fuel Consumed
1012 BTUs
41
50
50
15
13
18
43
25
9
12
15
25
4
14
334
% of Fuel
Consumed
12.2
15.1
15.1
4.4
3.8
5.5
12.8
7.4
2.8
3.6
4.4
7.3
1.3
4.3
100
              SIMILAR DATA FOR SIC 332 (IRON AND STEEL FOUNDRIES)
           Size Range
            106  BTU/H

             100-149
             150-199
             200-249
             350-399
             500-599
Number of
 Boilers

    4
    2
    1
    1
    I
    9
Fuel Consumed
  1012 BTUs

     0.9
     0.5
     1.5
     1.2
     0.2
     4.4
Source:  FEA's MFBI Survey,  Report No.  25

-------
                                   A4 - 39


                                 APPENDIX 4

                                  TABLE 37
       NUMBER OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY SIZE RANGE AND 1974 FUEL
           CONSUMPTION FOR SIC 333/5  (PRIMARY NON-FERROUS METALS)
       Size Range
        106 BTU/H

         100-149
         150-199
         200-249
         250-299
         300-349
         400-449
         450-499
         700-799
Number of
 Boilers

   16
    5
    5
    3
   15
    1
    3
   _1
   49
Fuel Consumed
  1012 BTUs
     5.6
     1.8
     2.4
     2.9
    42.8
     1.2
     9.0
     6.4
    72.0
% of Fuel
 Consumed

   7.7
   2.6
   3.3
   4.0
  59.4
   1.7
  12.4
   8.9
                                                             100
       SIMILAR DATA FOR SIC 339 (MISCELLANEOUS  PRIMARY METALS PRODUCTS)
           Size Range
            1Q6  BTU/H

             100-149
             200-249
             300-349
        Number  of
         Boilers

            1
            2
           _2
           11
           Fuel Consumed
           _ 1012 BTUs

                2.7
                5.5
                5.5
                                                        13.7
Source:  FEA's MFBI Survey, Report No.
                                       25

-------
                                      A4 - 40
                                    APPENDIX 4
                                     TABLE 38
              FUEL CONSUMPTION OF PULP,  PAPER AND PAPERBOAKD INDUSTRY
                                   7o  of Total  Fuel
                       Fuel Consumption in 1975
  Purchased Fuels

     Electricity
     Steam

     Residual fuel
     Distillate fuel
     LPG

     Natural Gas

     Coal
1972
3.5
0.8
22.4
1.2
0.1
19.3
10.9
58.2
1975
4.6
0.8
23.8
0.8
0.1
18.3
9.1
57.5
10 12 BTU*
86.1
14.2
463.0
14.9
1.2
340.0
169.6
1068.9
  By-Product/Captive Fuels

     Hogged fuel (507o moisture)
     Bark (50% moisture)
     Spent liquor
     Self-generated hydro.
     Other
  TOTAL
  1.7
  4.9
 34.6
  0.4
  0.2
 41.8

100
  2.6
  4.2
 34.8
  0.5
  0.4
 42.5

100
  48.0
  79.2
 646.6
   9.2
   7.6
 790.6

1859.5**
  or
1.86 quads
   *  based on data for first six months,  annualized

  -*  in addition to the above consumption,  the industry sold 16 x 10   BTUs
      (0.97o of total)
Source:   American Paper  Institute,  based on 787o coverage of industry

-------
                                                    APPENDIX 4
                                                     TABLE 39
                 FUEL CONSUMPTION OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL BOILERS BY FUEL TYPE AND BY SIC CODE IN  1974
SIC 20 Food and Kindred Products
SIC 29 Petroleum Refining

Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat . Gas
Other
Total
SIC 26 Paper


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
1012 BTU
42.4
24.4
3.4
97.6
1.0
168.8
%
25.1
14.5
2.0
57.8
0.6
100
and Allied Products
12
10 BTU
125.0
201.0
2.3
190.0
83.1
601.4
SIC 28 Chemicals and Allied


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
12
10 BTU
215.0
101.0
4.8
550.6
25.3
896.7

7o
20.8
33.4
0.4
31.6
13.8
100
Products

%
24.0
11.3
0.5
61.4
2.8
100


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
12
10 BTU
12.4
67.8
nil
456.2
18.2
554.6
SIC 32 Stone, Clay, Glass,


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
SIC 331/2


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
12
10 BTU
1.3
10.1
negl.
6.2
1.3
19.0
Primary Ferrous
12
10 BTU
217.0
7.2
0.8
46.2
93.2
364.6

7,
2.2
12.2
nil
82.3
3.3
100
Concrete

7,
7.0
53.2
0.1
32.7
7.0
100
Metals

%
59.5
2.0
0.2
12.7
25.6
100
SIC 333/9 Non-Ferrous Metals/Misc^


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total



Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
All


Coal
Resid.
Dist.
Nat. Gas
Other
Total
12
10 BTU
0.9
8.1
nil
68.1
13.4
90.5
Other SIC Codes
12
10 BTU
274.0
261.0
16.1
264.5
32.9
848.5
Manufacturing SIC
12
10 BTU
96.7
749
67
1822
288
3893

7<.
1.0
9.0
nil
75.2
14.8
100


7.
32.3
30.7
1.9
31.2
3.9
100
Codes

7,
24.8
19.3
1.7
46.8
7.4
100
Source:  based on data reported by Natural Gas Task Force Survey

-------
                                         A4 - 42
  New England

Maine
Massachusetts
Connecticut
New Hampshire
Rhode Island
Vermont
 Appalachian

Pennsylvania
Ohio
New York
Maryland
New Jersey
West Virginia
Virginia
Kentucky
Delaware
D. C.
  Southeast

Alabama
Tennessee
S. Carolina
N. Carolina
Florida
Georgia
 Great Lakes

Indiana
Michigan
Illinois
Wisconsin
APPENDIX 4
TABLE 40
REGIONAL FUEL

7o of
Region
48.5
21.5
19.9
8.2
1.6
0.3
100
28.2
28.1
8.8
8.7
7.6
7.0
6.9
2.1
1.0
0.7
100
25.8
19.8
13.8
13.7
13.7
13.2
100
36.5
29.5
27.4
6.6
100
CONSUMPTION
COMMERCIAL
- - 1 7
10" BTU
54.3
24.1
22.3
9.2
1.8
0.3
112.0
465.0
463.0
145.0
143.0
125.0
116.0
114.0
34.9
31.6
10.9
1648.4
180.0
138.0
96.2
95.7
95.7
92.4
698.0
372.0
301.0
279.0
66.8
1018.8
OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
FUEL TYPE IN 1974
1974 Fuel
10 T Coal
0.028
0.008
0.002
nil
nil
nil
0.038
9.998
9.022
1.895
3.340
0.004
3.602
2.018
0.957
nil
0.294
31.030
2.627
3.386
1.628
1.074
nil
0.456
9.171
9.728
4.215
2.792
1.097
17.832
COMBUSTORS* BY

Consumption
10 Bbl Oil
8.5
3.1
3.2
1.3
0.3
negl.
16.4
16.1
9.8
14.8
5.4
14.8
2.0
9.1
0.3
2.8
0.7
75.8
7.2
1.7
5.1
9.4
10.8
7.5
41.7
8.8
9.6
10.1
1.7
30.2


Q
10 " CF Gas
nil
3.8
2.1
0.7
nil
<0.1
6.7
125.4
180.4
9.0
32.6
29.8
20.3
10.8
12.5
13.1
nil
433.9
68.6
47.4
25.1
11.6
25.6
32.2
210.5
88.5
135.6
138.8
28.6
391.5
*  boilers and other combustors, such as process furnaces, with a rated heat input of
   100 M BTU/H or more

-------
                                     A4 - 43
                                   APPENDIX  4

                                    TABLE 40 (con't.)
 Midcontinent

Oklahoma
Missouri
Kansas
 Gulf Coast
Rocky Mountain

Colorado
Utah
Wyoming
Montana
    Pacific
 California
 Arizona
 New Mexico
 Nevada
Texas
Louisiana
Mississippi
Arkansas

63.7
27.6
5.7
3.0
100
1270.0
551.0
114.0
59.3
1994.3
10 ll- BTU
58.5
46.3
16.3
7.2
5.5
131.8
72.5
57.3
46.5
176.3
1270.0
551.0
114.0
59.3
1994 3
80.2
64.6
60.7
18.8
224.3
295.0
37.4
10.7
_5.4
•w. o cf
10° T Coal
0.955
0.337
0.152
0.281
0.108
1.833
nil
1.399
0.071
1.470
2.320
0.010
0.107
nil
2.437
1.216
1.191
0.624
nil
3.031
0.110
0.021
nil
0.081
0.212
10 Bbl Oil
0.6
0.8
0.1
negl.
0.3
1.8
3.3
0.7
0.6
4.6
6.0
3.7
5.2
2.6
17.5
2.5
0.9
2.5
0.4
6.3

5.6
1.3
0.3
0.2
7.4
10y CF Gas
30.2
28.9
11.1
0.6
0.9
71.7
46.8
19.5
37.3
103.6
1078.8
478.6
72.0
39.2
1668.6
33.8
29.0
28.3
15.0
106.1

234.6
26.3
7.8
2.1
270.8

-------
                                      A4 - 44


                                    APPENDIX 4
                                    TABLE 40 (con't.)
   Pacific
  Northwest

Washington
Oregon
Idaho
                70.5
                18.5
                11.-0
               100
                          —12	
                          10   BTU
105.0
 27.5
 16.4
148
                                              1974 Fuel Consumption
             10   T  Coal
10  Bbl Oil

    4.3
    1.4
   neg 1.
    5.7
10  CF Gas

  68.6
  14.7
   9.2
  92.5
Lower 48
 States
                           6512
              67.6
  207.6
3356
Alaska/
Hawaii/
P. R./ V. I.

*  = entirely in Alaska

Notes
                            107.6
               0.588*
    9-1
(1)

(2)
  34.7
(3)
 By-product  and  "Other"  fuels are excluded

 FEA appears to  have  used  a BTU conversion factor of 1100 BTU/CF for "Gas/1
 possibly to take  account  of LPG etc.  Thus, the following BTU balance applies
 to the Lower 48 States  total:
  67.6 million tons  of  coal  at  22.6 million BTU/ton   = 1528 x
 207.6 million barrels  of  oil at  6.22 million BTU/bbl
 3356 billion CF of  gas at 1100 BTU/CF
                                                                        BTU
                                                            1291  x lo" BTU
                                                            3692  x 10   BTU
                                                       6511

 The consumption of  67.6 million tons of coal, reported by FEA, by the large
 industrial  combustors  appears high in relation to the total of 64.0 million
 tons of  coal  consumption,  for all general  industrial uses, reported by the
 Bureau of Mines.  Furthermore, the average heat content of the industrial
 coal assumed  by FEA, appears low  (22.6 x 10  BTU per ton) and to be more
 applicable  to electric utility coal then to  industrial coal (excluding
 metallurgical coal).   While the basis on which the statistics were collected
 may be slightly different, it is obvious that the coal consumption of the
 large coal-fired combustors can not have exceeded the total consumption by all
 sizes of coal-fired industrial combustors.   It is believed that part of the
 discrepancy is due  to  inclusion of the coal  consumption (4.4 million tons) of
 nine large  coal-fired  electric utility boilers in FEA's survey of industrial
 MFBI boilers.   Making  this correction would  reduce the above figure of 67.6
 million  tons  to 63.2 million tons.  If the heat content of this coal were to
 have averaged 24 x  106 BTU per ton, instead  of the 22.6 x 10^ BTU per ton
 assumed  by  FEA,  the corrected total tonnage  would be about 59.4 million tons
(including 40.2 million for large industrial  boilers and 19.2 million for other
 large industrial  combustors).  Thus, the implied coal consumption of the
 smaller  industrial  combustors (less than 100 million BTU/H) would be 64.0 - 59.4
 4.6 million tons, of which about 3.1 million tons may have been used by the
 smaller  boilers.  This rationalization of  the reported coal consumption
 statistics  for 1974 suggests that coal use by industrial boilers approximated:

-------
                                       A4 - 45


                                     APPENDIX  4

                                     TABLE 40  (con't.)


Notes  (con't.)

                                                       Million Tons   7, of Total

                     100 million BTU/H or larger         40.2            93
                     Smaller than 100 million BTU/H       3.1           	7
                                                         43.3           100

     Although the estimate for the smaller coal-fired boilers is  approximate, it is
     the  best available.  It tends to confirm that the potential  for  coal-firing in
     new  industrial boilers is likely to be almost entirely in units  with a
     designed heat rate of 100 million BTU/H or more.


 Source:   based on pooling of statistics from FEA's Natural Gas Task Force and MFBI
          surveys, with additional information from Bureau of Mines reports

-------
                                     A4 - 46

                                  APPENDIX  4

                                   TABLE 41
              COAL CONSUMPTION BY REGION OF ALL LARGE INDUSTRIAL
                    COMBUSTORS (INCLUDING BOILERS)  IN 1974	
  New England

Maine
Massachusetts
Connecticut
New Hampshire
Rhode Island
Vermont
  Appalachian

Pennsylvania
Ohio
West Virginia
Maryland
Virginia
New York
Kentucky
D. C.
New Jersey
Delaware
10  Tons

  28
   8
 9998
 9002
 3602
 3340
 2018
 1895
  857
  294
    4
   Northern
    Plains
Iowa
Minnesota
South Dakota
Nebraska
North Dakota
 Mideontinent

Missouri
Kansas
Oklahoma
  Gulf Coast

Texas
Mississippi
Louisiana
Arkansas
10  Tons

  955
  337
  281
  152
  108
                                                     1399
                                                       71
 2320
  107
   10
   Southeast

Tennessee          3386
Alabama            2627
S. Carolina        1628
N. Carolina        1074
Georgia             456
Florida
  Great Lakes

Indiana            9728
Michigan           4215
Illinois           2792
Wisconsin          1097
                             Rocky Mountain

                             Colorado
                             Utah
                             Wyoming
                             Montana
                                 Pacific
                                 Southwest

                              California
                              Nevada
                              Arizona
                              New Mexico
                       1216
                       1191
                        624
                        110
                         81
                         21
                                                    Pacific
                                                   Northwest

                                                Idaho
                                                Washington
                                                Oregon
                                                      271
                                                      145
                                                      115
Source:   Natural Gas Task Force survey

-------
                                      - 166 -
 . REPORT NO.
 EPA-600/7-77-011
                                         DEPORT DATA ^^
                                                      3. RECIPIENT'S ACCESSION NO.
Application of Fluidized-Bed Technology to Industrial
   Boilers
                                                     5. REPORT DATE
                                                      January 1977
                                                      6. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION CODE
 . AUTHORIS)                  ~	—

M.H. Farmer, E.M.  Magee, andF.M. Spooner
                                                     8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION REPORT NO.
                                                       EXXON/GRU.1DJAR.77
  'ERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME AND ADDRESS
Exxon Research and Engineering Company
P.O. Box 8
Linden, New Jersey 07036
                                                      10. PROGRAM ELEMENT NO.
                                                      EHB536
                                                      11. CONTRACT/GRANT NO.

                                                      EPA-IAG-D5-E767
12. SPONSORING AGENCY NAME AND ADDRESS *        "	
 EPA, Office of Research and Development
 Industrial Environmental Research Laboratory
 Research Triangle Park, NC 27711
                                                      13. TYPE OF REPORT AND PERIOD COVERED
                                                      Final:  7/75-9/76
                                                      14. SPONSORING AGENCY CODE

                                                      EPA-ORD,  ERDA, FEA
 15. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTI
                   (*) This report was cosponsored by EPA, ERDA, and FEA.  EPA
project officer is D. B.  Henschel; ERDA, is W.  Siskind;  and FEA, is A. J.  Hayes.
 16. ABSTRACT The report gives results of a paper study of the application potential of coal-
 fired fluidized-bed boilers (FBB's) in the industrial use sector.  It considers: the
 ability of coal-fired FBB's to meet the requirements of industrial users, including
 cost, reliability, maintainability,  design, and performance requirements; the maxi-
 mum, minimum, and most likely demand for such boilers in the industrial sector;
 the application effect of such boilers on the national fuel demand; the economic
 impact of industrial application of such boilers; and the environmental aspects of
 industrial FBB application.  Study results suggest that industrial FBB's burning high-
 sulfur coal  offer a cost advantage over equivalent conventional coal-fired boilers with
 flue gas  desulfurization; with low-sulfur coals capable of meeting emission standards
 without SO2 controls, the costs of FBB's and conventional boilers are comparable.
 On this basis,  the most likely projected degree of application of FBB's in the indus-
 trial sector in the year 2000 is  2.97 x 10 to the 15th power Btu/year.  SO2, NOx, and
 particulate  emissions from industrial coal-fired FBB's can be reduced to levels below
 those specified in current Federal emission standards for large coal-fired boilers.
 7.
                             KEY WORDS AND DOCUMENT ANALYSIS
                 DESCRIPTORS
 Air Pollution         Flue Gases
 Fluidized Bed Processors
 Combustion           Industrial Processes
 Boilers               Cost Effectiveness
 Coal                  Maintainability
 Desulfurization
 8. DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT

 Unlimited
                                          b.IDENTIFIERS/OPEN ENDED TERMS
                                          Air Pollution Control
                                          Stationary Sources
                                          Fluidized-Bed Combus-
                                            tion
                                          Industrial Boilers
                                          Environmental Impact
                                          19. SECURITY CLASS (Tins Report)
                                          Unclassified	
                                          20. SECURITY CLASS (This page/
                                          Unclassified
                                                                         Field/Group
13B

21B       13H
13A       14A
2ID       14A
07A,07D
                                                                  21. NO. OF PAGES
                                                                  22. PRICE

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