vvEPA
          United States
          Environmental Protection
          Agency
              EPA-600 9 8-
              Apnl1985
          Research and Development
Long-Range Research
Agenda for the
Period 1986-1991

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Table of Contents




Chapter                                     Page



Introduction	1



Water	5



Air and Radiation	21



Hazardous Wastes	33



Multimedia Energy	45



Pesticides and Toxics	59



Exploratory Research Program	71



Appendix A: Resource Options	77

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Introduction
                  The primary goal of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
                  is the reduction of risks to public health and to the environment.
                  Within this context, the Office of Research and Development
                  (ORD) provides scientific information necessary to determine
                  the extent of these risks and to develop and evaluate technology
                  options to reduce, eliminate or prevent  them.  As  part of this
                  process ORD must anticipate the scientific questions that will
                  arise so that the appropriate data may be obtained  and
                  evaluated  for the regulatory decision-making process.  The
                  Long-Range Research Agenda is a document prepared by ORD
                  describing those future research needs for the period 1986-1991.

                  The framework for this document is a series of scientific issues
                  identified by EPA's five topical Research Committees: Water,
                  Air and Radiation, Hazardous Wastes, Multimedia  Energy
                  (including acid deposition), and Pesticides and Toxics. These
                  committees, composed of representatives of  ORD, Agency
                  Program (regulatory) Offices and the  Regions,  are jointly
                  chaired by senior managers from ORD and the appropriate
                  Program Office. The critical scientific issues for each committee
                  were delineated in a joint strategy document by the Assistant
                  Administrators of ORD and the appropriate Program Office.
                  Thus, these issues reflect the perspectives of both the regulatory
                  and research offices of EPA on where the scientific uncertainties
                  lie and  how the Agency might reduce those uncertainties in the
                  1986-1991  time period. Research plans for the  1987-1991 time
                  period  are subject to changes reflecting funding levels,  com-
                  peting Agency priorities and new or modified legislation.

                  The issues in the Agenda are organized by research committees
                  which  provide  integrated planning within a media.  This
                  integration and  coordination includes those  investigations
                  conducted by the Program Offices. While  some studies are
                  undertaken by the  Program  Offices, research is  conducted
                  through the offices  of ORD  which are generally organized
                  according to broad disciplines, and which provide information
                  for  all the  committees.  For example,  while each  of the
                  committees has various issues dealing with human health, the
                  Office of Health Research is responsible for  managing human
                  health  research across all committees. The integration of the
                  overall research program is, thus, a matrix of topically oriented
                  research committees and  discipline-oriented offices.

                  One of the major issues  facing ORD is the  development and
                  evaluation of research on the impact and mitigation  of acid
                  deposition. While  research  in  this area is a multi-agency
                  responsibility,  EPA  has the  major lead in aquatic  effects,
                  control technology  and assessment. EPA  also  contributes

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                                         INTRODUCTION
significantly to the other areas of the research program such as
terrestrial effects and materials  damage.  Studies on  acid
deposition constitute the major portion of the multimedia and
energy research efforts and are  discussed in  detail in that
chapter.

Hazardous waste research is also a high priority. As a result of
the recent  amendments to the Resource  Conservation and
Recovery Act (RCRA), some sections of the hazardous waste
research program will increase in priority. The major increases
will occur in research on underground storage tanks, alternative
treatment process,  and  conventional landfills  (Subtitle  D
facilities).

Because  of the  cross-cutting  nature of  some health and
environmental problems, planning for some research areas falls
into the domain  of more than  one research committee. For
these, ORD has proposed,  as part of the long-term planning
process, several initiatives that address issues requiring multi-
disciplinary  inputs or coordination between several research
committees. Included among these issues are three topics which
will be receiving increased emphasis over the next five years:
biotechnology,  reproductive toxicology and exposure  assess-
ment. While they are not new areas for EPA research, they have
become significantly  more  important to the conduct  of the
Agency's regulatory mission.

ORD's biotechnology efforts have the goal of providing the
information necessary to protect  the environment from  risks
associated with bioengineered organisms. Included are methods
to monitor these  organisms, to  determine potential  health or
ecological effects, to control or contain releases, and to develop
risk assessments. The increased effort in reproductive toxicology
is needed to rectify the paucity of information on the effects of
chemicals on the human reproductive system. This research will
emphasize test  method development,  extrapolation  of effects
from animals to man, development of early biological indicators
and risk assessments. Increased research in exposure assessment
will  provide the improved understanding of  human and
environmental exposure to pollutants needed to increase the
accuracy of risk assessments.

EPA's research is carried out in the ORD laboratories as well as
through  contracts,  cooperative agreements and interagency
agreements with organizations outside EPA. ORD also has an
Exploratory  Research Program to support more  basic and
fundamental environmental research.  This research  is carried
out through the Research Grants and Centers programs and is
discussed in the final chapter.

While the topics explored in this year's Agenda represent EPA's
judgement of the highest priorities  facing the research commun-
ity through the remainder of the decade, they do not include all
of the ongoing research related to EPA's mission. In addition, a
significant component of ORD's activities is devoted to the

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INTRODUCTION
shorter-term resolution of technical issues identified by EPA's
regulatory offices, including technical support and assistance.
ORD also conducts oversight roles in quality  assurance and
management of risk assessment activities. These two programs
are briefly described as follows.

Quality Assurance Oversight Activities. Quality assurance (Q A)
is a multi-faceted, interdisciplinary program that affects all
Agency-supported activities involving  environmental data
collection. The goal of Q A is to ensure that the data produced by
these activities are of known and documented quality, and meet
the requirements established  by the responsible  office or
laboratory. Quality assurance is central to the scientific integrity
of every environmental data base developed by (or for) EPA and
hence is vital to the confidence with which Agency managers can
make policy and regulatory decisions.

The Office of Research and Development is the  focal point for
quality assurance within EPA, with responsibility to develop
QA policy and guidance, coordinate and direct QA program
implementation, and evaluate QA activities  Agency-wide.
Because the quality required for collected data is a function of
the use to be made of that data, ORD assists Program Offices,
Regional Offices and laboratories in their development of
appropriate data quality objectives.

Policy and direction are provided through guidance documents
and through administrative and technical meetings on appro-
priate procedures and methods. ORD, with the  help of specific
Program and Regional Offices, also prepares technical mate-
rials. In the near term, ORD is concentrating  on institution-
alizing the data quality  objective process throughout  the
Agency, obtaining resources for adequate QA at the Regional
Office level, developing specific guidance on performing audits
and compiling key information on routinely used measurement
methods.

ORD also reviews all  Program and  Regional Office and
laboratory quality assurance plans to determine programmatic
and resource commitments, compliance with established guide-
lines and the likelihood of meeting goals. Audits or reviews of
audits are conducted to assess the degree of implementation and
overall effectiveness as well as to identify problem  areas and
appropriate corrective actions!

Risk Assessment Management. Nearly every Program Office in
EPA uses risk assessment in its regulatory or decision-making
processes. In  the course  of a year, about three  thousand
documents related to "risk assessment" are produced through-
out EPA. However, the Agency's  assessment activities differ in
the nature, technical approach and amount of peer review that
they undergo before being used in the decision-making process.

In cooperation with the Program  Offices, ORD  has been given
the management responsibility for development of risk assess-
ment procedures and for ensuring the consistency and technical

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                                         INTRODUCTION
competence of the overall risk  assessment  program. ORD
manages a series of new intra-Agency workgroups which have
developed or will be developing guidelines for risk assessment
for six primary topics: carcinogenicity; mutagenicity; develop-
mental toxicity; systemic  effects; assessment  of chemical
mixtures; and  exposure assessment. The guidelines are being
reviewed by EPA working groups, recognized experts outside
the Agency, EPA's independent Science Advisory  Board and
other interested parties.

A Risk Assessment Forum has also been established to develop
consensus on intra-Agency scientific risk assessment questions.
The  Forum embodies the collective  expertise within the
Agency—the senior scientists/managers responsible  for  risk
assessment  from  each of the Program  Offices as   well as
representatives from the  Office of General Counsel  and the
Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation—and will meet to
review risk assessments upon the request of the Administrator,
Deputy Administrator, Assistant Administrators, or Regional
Administrators. The Forum  will provide a mechanism for
interchange on science issues in risk assessment and advise the
Administrator  and  Deputy Administrator on precedent-setting
cases and important risk assessment questions.

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Water
                  Water research provides the knowledge and methods required
                  to protect our Nation's freshwater and marine environments, to
                  ensure the continued safety of our drinking water supplies, and
                  to implement the  most cost-effective wastewater  treatment
                  technologies. Demands on water supplies are increasing while
                  chemical contamination from toxic wastes  and waterborne
                  diseases are posing major threats to some localities. Traditional
                  methods and strategies to measure and control pollution effects,
                  especially from organic chemicals, may no  longer provide the
                  level of assurance demanded by the public. In order to meet the
                  challenges of increasingly complex contaminants  in water,
                  research must develop effective approaches to assess  a growing
                  number of potentially harmful mixtures of organic,  toxic and
                  chlorinated organic compounds. Water management is becom-
                  ing more complicated, and regulators in both the federal and
                  state sectors require greater scientific certainty as a basis for
                  their decisions.

                  In this context, EPA's health effects research is important to the
                  development of both drinking water and ambient water quality
                  regulations.  The engineering  research program's evaluation,
                  development and transfer of innovative treatment technologies
                  to municipalities, industry and private landowners assists in the
                  implementation  of  cost-effective alternatives.  EPA  is also
                  accelerating its research into the toxic impacts to fish, wildlife
                  and their ecological systems. Finally, the necessity for  credible
                  research and monitoring data  is  a  cross-cutting issue of
                  significance to the entire research program.

                  EPA's water  research programs will continue to  provide
                  support to the Agency in the following areas: developing revised
                  and new drinking water Maximum  Contaminant Levels and
                  Health  Advisories; developing Criteria  Documents and  the
                  scientific underpinnings of ambient water-quality regulatory
                  policies; assisting the Regions and states to meet the burgeoning
                  demand for toxicity-based National Pollutant  Discharge
                  Elimination System (NPDES) permits; and providing technical
                  support to the municipal wastewater construction program in
                  pretreatment, sludge, infiltration/inflow and other areas.

                  The ten topics described in this report represent the principal
                  concerns in the  water research area.  However, they do  not
                  include  all of the ongoing research related  to EPA's  water
                  protection mission.

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                  6                                                 WA TER

Major Research  Issues

Water-Quality and Toxicity-Based Approaches

                  What information and tools are needed to support implementa-
                  tion of state water quality standards and toxicity-based permits?
                  How can research results in these areas  be  most effectively
                  transferred to EPA Regions and the states?

                  The Clean Water Act (CWA) recognizes two types of regulatory
                  requirements to restore and maintain the quality of the Nation's
                  waters.  Technology-based  guidelines set  uniform  national
                  requirements for discharges by industries and sewage treatment
                  facilities. Water quality-based standards define the uses to be
                  made of water such as drinking water supply or recreation and,
                  subsequently, establish a site-specific criteria protective of that
                  use.

                  In 1984 EPA issued a new  policy  for National Pollutant
                  Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permits requiring a
                  balanced consideration of physical,  chemical, biological  and
                  microbiological  factors. To  support permit development,
                  biological toxicity-testing  will provide quick, inexpensive
                  screening for  potentially harmful  substances in complex
                  effluents. EPA's research program will continue to develop
                  rapid assessment procedures to expedite toxicity-based permit-
                  ting.

                  Despite significant reductions in point-source pollutant levels as
                  a result  of the  implementation of technology-based discharge
                  limits, there are  still water bodies which  do not meet water
                  quality standards. Moreover, there are increasingly important
                  water  quality problems caused by toxic substances, non-point
                  sources,  or other factors such as reduced flow. EPA's research
                  into this area integrates seven components:

                  Water Body Assessment and Monitoring. Extensive evaluation
                  of biological methods for monitoring aquatic life and pathogens
                  of concern for human health will be necessary to standardize
                  use-attainability protocols for site-specific water quality surveys.
                  Additional research will locus on computerized biological data
                  management systems, modifying and standardizing analytical
                  methods for organic and inorganic chemicals and metals, and
                  determining the  method's accuracy,  precision and detection
                  limits for the chemicals of interest.

                  Use Attainability. In order to ensure that water quality goals are
                  ecologically attainable,  an orderly process is used to classify
                  possible  uses and  levels of use, determine  attainability, set
                  ecological requirements for the use, ensure that these require-
                  ments are met, and, finally, monitor results. The use designation
                  (e.g., drinking water source, sport fishery,  etc.) reflects the
                  human use of  water bodies. This use designation defines the
                  desirable goals for the  water  body. Research  will develop
                  methods to assess ecological potential. An ecoregional approach

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                  will be used to predict general levels of attainability and to
                  predict methods  of determining wildlife potential  based  on
                  physical habitat and other features.

                  Complex-Effluent-Toxicity Testing. Most  pollutant  sources
                  produce complex mixtures of chemical constituents. Aquatic
                  research on complex mixtures will be designed to develop short-
                  term  toxicity  tests and  to  identify significant  relationships
                  between ambient toxicity and biological community  impair-
                  ment. Other research in this area will support the development
                  of methods to  predict toxicity persistence as well as assessment
                  of the precision of acute  and short-term toxicity tests. Health
                  effects research will attempt to apply existing health bioassays
                  for use in evaluating effluents for human health risks. The health
                  concerns are chemicals that cause cancer, genetic changes in
                  cells and chronic  toxicity. The bioassays and the design of the
                  tier testing protocols will be developed through a peer review
                  workshop, followed by field validation of the protocols.

                  Wasteload Allocation. The wasteload allocation (WLA) process
                  is  the basis for permit limitations  for individual dischargers.
                  Margins  of safety, distribution of treatment responsibility
                  among  dischargers and  nonpoint-source  contributions  are
                  considered.  Many water quality models are  available,  and
                  efforts are underway to make these models  more useful to  the
                  states. This effort will include models of toxic wasteloads as well
                  as conventional pollutants. ORD will participate in developing
                  toxicity-based permits at some demonstration sites and will
                  gather information on single-constituent and complex wastes in
                  ambient concentrations. In addition, the research program will
                  develop and compile data bases of environmental-process rate
                  coefficients, analytical techniques  for organic and inorganic
                  chemicals and provide current aquatic resource inventories to
                  identify the extent and causes of water quality degradation and
                  the results of controls to  date.

                  Mixing Zones. Forty-eight states  allow mixing zones where
                  discharged pollutants may exceed  long-term standards. EPA
                  will collect data on the exposures to various toxic pollutants
                  that organisms can tolerate within these zones.

                  Toxic Levels in Sediments. Many heavy metals and  organic
                  chemicals adsorb on suspended sediment. Release of these
                  toxicants to the water can occur, increasing exposure factors
                  and bioaccumulation throughout the food chain. EPA will seek
                  to develop sediment criteria for such toxic compounds.

                  EPA's research support to toxic discharge permitting will focus
                  on representative permit  demonstrations and the development
                  of microcomputer  programs  for  on-site data  analysis  and
                  evaluation of toxic dischargers.

Great Lakes Research
                  How  can  we  understand and eliminate the  environmental
                  contamination problems identified in the Great Lakes?

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                  8                                                 WA TER

                  The Great Lakes, their connecting channels and tributaries
                  constitute  a dynamic and complex  freshwater ecosystem
                  unparalleled in the world. During the last two decades, signifi-
                  cant progress  has  been  made  in reducing the  amount of
                  conventional waterborne pollutants entering the Great Lakes.
                  However,  increased use of  industrial  chemicals  and  their
                  presence in the Great Lakes have raised public concerns about
                  toxic pollutants, particularly persistent organics.  Many of the
                  problems and  approaches  discussed  in other parts of this
                  chapter also pertain to the Great Lakes. Specific approaches
                  may differ,  however, due to the large size and economic and
                  recreational value of these lakes.

                  EPA's strategy is to develop an early-warning mechanism for
                  the migration of contaminants from  harbors and nearshore
                  areas into the ecologically important areas of the Lakes, and to
                  develop protocols for assessing the contaminants' impacts on
                  the ecosystem.  However, because of the complexity of many
                  persistent organics, it is difficult to predict the potential adverse
                  impact of these chemicals  on organisms  in the  food chain,
                  including humans. EPA will focus on determining biological
                  uptake of selected dioxins,  which have been reported in high
                  concentrations in fish. The inadequate toxicity data on organic
                  compounds found in freshwater systems restricts our ability to
                  establish effluent limits.  EPA will determine the acute  and
                  chronic toxicities of organics such as dioxins at environmental
                  concentrations.

                  Analytical methods for many of the existing organic compounds
                  are inadequate to detect environmental concentrations at trace
                  levels.  EPA will develop accurate  and sensitive  methods for
                  determining the contaminant load which is chemically suited for
                  uptake by the biota, the contaminants which tend to build up
                  within organism  tissues, toxic levels, and fates  and effects.
                  Existing mathematical models have limited capabilities to relate
                  pollutant exposure levels to the sources of organic compounds.
                  In  order to make defensible  use of predictive models in
                  determining biological availability and environmental effects of
                  toxic organics, EPA will integrate models of fate and  transport
                  with models of food chain uptake.

                  Non-point source pollution is also a problem in parts  of the
                  Great Lakes. Research will evaluate  the cost-effectiveness of
                  innovative and alternative Best Management Practices (BMPs)
                  for controlling problems such as siltation from agriculture,
                  mining and urban runoff.
Estuary Protection Research
                   What  information and tools are needed to protect estuaries
                   from excessive nutrients and toxic chemical contamination?

                   Estuaries are valuable ecological systems, both directly as local
                   fisheries and recreation resources,  and indirectly as nursery

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WATER                                                  9

areas for oceanic fisheries. Estuaries often Meat or very near the
center of many industrial activities, including those involved  in
the production,  transportation, consumption and release  of
toxic chemicals.  In addition,  rivers,  lakes, and reservoirs
contribute pollutants such as contaminated sediments, excessive
nutrients,  agricultural  chemicals and  other  toxic materials.
Water quality managers and planners in  the states and interstate
commissions are  dependent upon  scientific information  that
supports regulatory alternatives to protect estuarine waters for
multiple uses such as cooling water supply,  recreation, fishing
and  maintenance of fish  stocks, and  industry.  The  basic
scientific uncertainties  involve the  quantification of pollutant
loads, their transport and fate, and their cumulative effects on
the resources. EPA is  currently involved with the states, the
National Oceanic and  Atmospheric  Administration of the
Department of Commerce, the Department  of the I nterior and
the Army Corps of Engineers in five major estuarine studies: the
Chesapeake Bay; Long Island Sound;  Buzzards Bay,  Massa-
chussetts; Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island;  and Puget Sound,
Washington. The Agency is also concerned with other critical
estuarine areas, such as  those in the South Atlantic,  Gulf  of
Mexico and the Pacific coast.

Excessive  Nutrients. A  number of questions  remain to  be
answered  concerning  the dynamics  and   fate of  nutrient
chemicals deposited in estuaries. EPA's research is concentrating
on the  relative importance of point sources and non-point
sources of  nutrients,  the quantitative relationship  between
nutrient supply  and  anoxia  under   different  hydrological
conditions, the effectiveness of phosphorous-control strategies,
ecological indicators of site-specific water quality criteria, the
role  of sediments  as  sources  and sinks  for  nutrients, the
ecological consequences of treated  wastewater that is deficient
in silica, and evaluation  of cost-effective methods to monitor
various estuaries.

Toxic  Chemicals. The questions  surrounding the physical,
chemical and biological properties of  toxic  substances  in
estuaries are similar to  those involving toxic materials in other
aquatic systems.  Models describing environmental  processes
must be better  documented and  field  tested.  EPA  is  also
evaluating  weaknesses  in analytical methods  for sediment-
bound toxics, the role of suspended sediments on bioavailability
and bioaccumulation of toxics, and the extent to which complex
effluent testing may be necessary in estuaries to establish reliable
water and sediment quality criteria.

Non-Point Source Controls. An understanding of the  site-
specific impact of non-point source pollution is vital to the
protection  of estuarine areas. Research  will  improve the
predictive capabilities  for the runoff  of nutrients and toxic
substances  and  the verification of simulation models for
individual estuaries. Existing models may need to be modified
to include additional  impacts such as  the infiltration and
transport  of toxics to  the ground water.  Best  Management

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                  10                                                WA TER

                  Practices may also require evaluation as to their site-specific
                  cost-effectiveness.
Wastewater Treatment Technology
                  What information and tools are needed to improve the reliability
                  of the performance and  the cost-effective construction  or
                  renovation of municipal wastewater facilities?

                  The  costs  of  construction  and  operation  of conventional
                  secondary and advanced wastewater treatment facilities repre-
                  sent major public sector expenditures. To assure effective and
                  least-cost solutions for control of municipal discharges, research
                  must resolve a number of technological issues associated with
                  defining the effectiveness and costs of water quality treatment
                  and management practices. EPA provides technical evaluations
                  of the costs, performance and effluent variabilities  of various
                  new innovative and alternative technologies at a scale sufficient
                  to reduce economic risks to the designers and the utilities. For
                  existing facilities, emphasis  will  be on plant upgrading as a
                  cost-effective alternative to new construction. Examples of such
                  alternatives include converting coarse-bubble aeration to fine-
                  bubble aeration to increase oxygen transfer, increasing aeration
                  surface areas,  using high-biomass reactors,  and the selective
                  application of  biotechnology.

                  Research support is also required to address the problem of
                  combined wastewater and stormwater sewer overflows. The
                  goal of this research is to provide reliable information to those
                  state and local regulators  responsible for the achievement of
                  water quality standards through facility planning, system design
                  and permit issuance. A particularly strong need for research and
                  technology information exists for small wastewater treatment
                  systems.

                  Innovative/Alternative Technologies. EPA's  wastewater treat-
                  ment technology  research program will develop data on the
                  costs and performance for a range of innovative and alternative
                  technologies. High priority areas  include the identification of
                  low-cost  methods to  improve existing  facilities for smaller
                  communities, and the assessment of innovative and alternative
                  technologies.  The  program  will also evaluate new   design
                  concepts to achieve compliance with state discharge permits
                  such as innovative nutrient removal processes for Chesapeake
                  Bay.

                  Toxic  Pollutants.  Cost/performance  information will  be
                  developed on engineering options for methods of treating and
                  eliminating toxic pollutants from industrial waste sources. This
                  will include evaluations of  the role of municipal treatment
                  plants and their ability to remove toxic pollutants in order to
                  evaluate  what can  be  treated centrally and what  has to  be
                  required in industrial pretreatment. The engineering data base
                  will be updated to help states implement a national pretreatment
                  program.  A recent workshop identified needed research to

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                  WATER                                                11

                  interpret the significance of mutagenic contaminants found in
                  treatment plant effluents. Any significant mutagenic fraction
                  must be  identified and isolated so that specific treatment  or
                  pretreatment  technologies may be designed to mitigate the
                  presence of toxic chemicals in effluents.

                  Monitoring. ORD will continue to be responsible for quality
                  assurance in wastewater monitoring. It will continue to assess
                  the adequacy of analytical performance and report the results of
                  its audits to the analyst, laboratory, state and region. The data
                  from the 8,000 major NPDES dischargers will continue to  be
                  monitored and will  serve as  the  basis for calibration and
                  methods  evaluation  to support  EPA's  implementation  of
                  Section 304(h) of the Clean Water Act.
Ocean Disposal
                  What information and  methods  are needed to  predict and
                  control  the environmental impacts  of ocean  disposal  of
                  municipal or industrial wastes?

                  The EPA is charged with regulating waste disposal activities in
                  the marine environment. Among these activities are the dumping
                  in >lie ocean of wastes such as dredged material, sewage sludge
                  and  industrial wastes; the incineration-at-sea of hazardous
                  liquid wastes;  and the disposal of municipal and  industrial
                  wastewater through ocean outfalls.  An improved understanding
                  of the ecological consequences of ocean disposal will be needed
                  to  guide future public policy, to satisfy  international marine
                  treaties and, where possible, to protee"  and enhance coastal
                  fisheries resources. A major need is to gather facts on  the
                  relationship between disposal costs and  protection  of marine
                  life.  EPA's research  is carried out in  collaboration with  the
                  National Oceanic and  Atmospheric Administration  and  the
                  U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.

                  Key questions concerning ocean dumping and incineration-at-
                  sea involve the procedures to be used in dumpsite selection, the
                  assessment methods to be used in evaluating the impact of ocean
                  disposal and the procedures necessary to monitor dumpsites for
                  long-term impacts and to  validate predictions  made about
                  potential  impacts. For effluents discharged from  publicly
                  owned facilities  through ocean outfalls, the CWA  requires
                  secondary treatment. However, partial waivers are allowed in
                  selected cases,  and  EPA  must have a scientific  basis  for
                  determining when a modification  of the  secondary  treatment
                  requirement may be allowed  and what effluent limitations
                  would be imposed for each special case.  To support its ocean
                  dumping and outfall  permit programs, and to assess the water
                  impacts of incineration-at-sea, EPA's  research will focus on
                  three major activities:

                  Hazard  Assessment.  A hazard  assessment procedure will  be
                  developed to provide the  data and interpretation  necessary to
                  define the probability of harm to the marine environment. This

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                  12                                                WA TER

                  information is  necessary to determine the relative safety of
                  ocean disposal and to provide a comparison for various disposal
                  strategies for future ocean policies.

                  Bioaccumulation. A thermodynamic model for predicting the
                  maximum  probable  bioaccumulation from sediments and
                  sewage sludge will be developed and validated. Research on the
                  biological and  ecological significance of tissue residues will
                  include the development of a conceptual model and a research
                  strategy  to  include the  pharmacological,  toxicological and
                  structure/activity principles to  determine  the  link between
                  residues and biological effects.

                  Monitoring. Research will  develop a monitoring strategy for
                  coastal and deepwater applications that will identify techniques
                  for measuring the physical,  chemical and biological character-
                  istics of a disposal site. The objective of this effort is to develop,
                  field test and evaluate integrated monitoring  approaches to
                  satisfy monitoring  needs  required  for the evaluation and
                  renewal of marine disposal  permits.
Sludge Disposal Management
                  What information is needed to develop and to assist the states in
                  implementing sludge disposal regulations?

                  About eight million  tons (dry weight) of sludge per year are
                  produced from municipal wastewater treatment plants in the
                  United  States.  The  processing  and disposal  of this sludge
                  accounts for about half the total operating costs of a typical
                  sewage treatment plant. As a result of the large volume of sludge
                  and the presence of potentially harmful constituents, municipal-
                  ities are facing increased economic  and public problems with
                  current land and ocean disposal  practices. Approaches to
                  disposal are needed that will: (1) significantly reduce the volume
                  of sludge; (2) destroy pathogens; (3) insure that toxic metals are
                  not a problem; and (4) reduce toxic organic compounds. There
                  is also a need to ensure that sludge disposal does not present a
                  threat to groundwater. To support  the new EPA regulations,
                  research efforts will focus on sludge use criteria, procedures and
                  requirements applicable to the regulatory process.

                  EPA will refine methods to assess sludge  disposal options
                  including research to determine ecosystem resiliency or stress
                  resulting from disposal and to predict the human health effects
                  from exposures to sludge.

                  Health  Effects.  EPA's research on potential human health
                  effects of sludge disposal is concentrating on developing data on
                  various chemical and bacteriological contaminants in sludge,
                  and hazard indices for their effects associated  with different
                  exposure pathways. Further research will focus on processes to
                  'kill parasites and pathogens in sludges. Epidemiological studies
                  have been initiated to evaluate health hazards from exposures to
                  sludge where composted sludge is sold as  fertilizer.

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                  WA TER                                                13

                  Results from these and other studies will  provide data for
                  determining the effects of various sludge treatment processes on
                  mitigating disease.

                  Risk Assessment. Decisions on alternative means of sludge
                  management  require  improved risk  assessments. EPA  will
                  develop information on mitigating risks through sludge treat-
                  ment  or disposal options, and will  produce guidelines for
                  conducting health risk assessments of sludge disposal.

                  Engineering and Technology. A principal objective of EPA's
                  sludge management research program involves determining the
                  cost compared to performance of various engineering designs
                  for treatment and disposal options. In evaluating new processes
                  for improved sludge stabilization, volume reduction, energy
                  recovery and land  use, EPA will support pilot studies of
                  innovative  combinations  of activated,  anaerobic sludge di-
                  gestion and wet-oxidation to determine efficiency, performance
                  and cost. Another  key area of research will establish the
                  relationship of heavy metal and toxic organic compound levels
                  in municipal wastewaters to the levels in sludge.


Drinking  Water,  Health Effects  and  Treatment
Technologies

                  What health  effects are caused  by chemical and microbial
                  contaminants found in drinking  water,  what are the  risks
                  associated with them, and what new technologies are needed to
                  continue to assure the safety of drinking water?

                  The Safe Drinking Water Act  requires EPA to establish
                  drinking water regulations to protect human health and welfare.
                  State and local governments, with the primary responsibility for
                  providing safe  drinking  water,  need help with the  many
                  potential problems related to drinking water quality. Pending
                  revisions of the  National  Interim Primary Drinking Water
                  Regulations will incorporate  new standards for a variety of
                  synthetic and volatile organic chemicals. EPA's drinking water
                  research program will continue to provide support to the Office
                  of Drinking Water and to the states in their implementation of
                  safe drinking water programs.

                  Traditionally, drinking water standards for protecting human
                  health have been developed on a single-chemical basis. However,
                  as in other aspects of water research, methods are also needed to
                  determine the toxicological activity of the aggregate of chemicals
                  found in water through bioassays, and to determine the relative
                  risks from the bioassay data. This approach would have direct
                  application in assessing health risks of drinking water from any
                  source, and would support reliable determination of risk from
                  exposure to complex mixtures.

                  EPA's drinking water technology research program  has  two
                  principal objectives: (1) provide engineering data necessary to
                  support the development and revision  of drinking  water

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14                                                 WA TER

regulations; and (2)  provide engineering information and
technological support to states, municipalities, EPA  regions
and utilities relative to drinking water regulations and compli-
ance. The major technological gaps that may affect our ability to
provide safe drinking water include: inadequate data on the
relationship between treatment strategies  and consequent
deterioration of water quality within the distribution system;
insufficient data on the factors causing deterioration of water
quality within the distribution system itself; and problems with
bringing small systems  into  compliance. Another area  of
concern  is the impact of  distribution  system  corrosion  on
drinking water quality and  low-cost techniques  to solve these
problems.

Toxicity of Complex Mixtures in Drinking  Water. EPA's
research will concentrate on the development and application of
bioassays to determine the health significance of complex
mixtures of chemicals. This  will lead to methods for developing
drinking water standards based on the toxicological risks of the
spectrum of chemicals in  drinking water instead  of on  an
individual-chemical basis, and would better define the risk to
public health. Planned activities include sample-concentration
procedures for preparing representative samples for  toxico-
logical evaluation of drinking water, development of a protocol
and risk assessment  methodology to  estimate reproductive
hazards and target-organ toxicity, and reporting on relative
risks from potable water derived from various sources.

Toxicity of Single-Chemicals in Drinking Water. The need still
exists to determine the health effects of specific chemicals that
potentially contaminate water supplies  at toxic levels. Studies
will be conducted on specific chemicals to provide specific data
to support  regulatory and health advisory decisions. The
individual chemicals will be selected based on potential or actual
occurrence in drinking water supplies. Through these tests, the
relationships between dose  and response and the mechanisms
through which toxicity is effected will provide valuable data to
support the development of risk assessment and Maximum
Contaminant Levels in drinking water. This approach comple-
ments a similar effort to  use toxicity screening as a  means of
controlling effluents.

Disinfection  By-Products.  Trihalomethanes were  the first
recognized by-products of thechlorination of drinking water. It
is now clear that a variety of other potentially carcinogenic and
mutagenic  chemicals, such as haloacetonitriles, halogenated
aldehydes,  ketones, and a  number of as-yet unidentified by-
products are produced by  chlorination. The toxicity of the
by-products of alternative disinfectants to chlorine are even less
well  understood. In addition  to the by-products formed in
drinking water, a variety of other substances are produced in the
bodies of those who drink the water. Research will continue on
improving treatment  technologies  including disinfection,
microbe filtration,  ion exchange, aeration, adsorption and
reverse  osmosis  for the control of organic and radionuclide

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                  WA TER                                                 15

                  chemicals, chlorinated organics and particulates.  Laboratory,
                  pilot and field studies will be conducted to define the interaction
                  between treatment strategies and water quality deterioration in
                  distribution  systems.  Research  by  EPA  seeks  to  identify
                  disinfection by-products, determine which  of these chemicals
                  possess toxicological properties,  establish  the  dose/response
                  relationships for these effects and, ultimately, establish the risk
                  involved with alternative disinfectants.

                  Infectious Diseases. The  classical public health  problem  in
                  water has been the prevention of waterborne infectious disease.
                  Research must take into account problems with pathogens such
                  as Legionella, Giardia and Norwalk-like viruses  while estab-
                  lishing the health impacts of various treatment and distribution
                  processes.  EPA's  research  is  concentrating on  developing
                  methods for the isolation, identification and quantification of
                  waterborne pathogens, determining the effects  of changing
                  disinfection practices  on  infectious  disease occurrence, and
                  developing  a dose/response water  quality indicator  that
                  correlates with disease.

                  Overall System Integrity. The persistence and potential regrowth
                  of organisms in distribution systems are influenced by a variety
                  of conditions that include physical and chemical characteristics
                  of the water, system age, pipe materials and the availability of
                  suitable sites for bacteria colonization.  Laboratory and field
                  studies will  be conducted to evaluate the impact of changes in
                  treatment and disinfection practices brought about by existing
                  and new regulations. Investigations will  also be carried out on
                  other key factors that influence microbial regrowth, including
                  nutrients, temperature and protective habitats such as sediment
                  accumulations. In addition, theoretical, laboratory and field
                  studies will  be conducted to define the factors associated with
                  distribution system repair and replacement  criteria, including
                  costs associated with the optimal renovation strategies.

                  Small System Compliance. Special attention is directed at the
                  needs of small drinking water systems (under 10,000 persons)
                  since this is where the bulk of drinking  water compliance
                  problems occur.  Research is evaluating the cost and engineering
                  feasibility of specific treatment techniques to remove or control
                  problem organic and inorganic contaminants, trihalomethanes,
                  microorganisms and particles. Several evaluations will be at
                  pilot or full-scale. Laboratory-scale studies  are being done to
                  define variables that govern the effectiveness and efficiencies of
                  treatment processes prior to large-scale evaluations.
Groundwater Protection
                   What  information and methods are needed to improve the
                   monitoring, prediction and reclamation of the problems caused
                   by groundwater pollution?
                   Underground aquifers are a major source of water for drinking,
                   irrigation and industrial development. However, in some

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                  16                                                WA TER

                  instances,  these  aquifers  are  threatened by  poor waste-
                  management and improper safeguards. The list of potential
                  contaminant sources is  large; among the  most  common  are
                  leaching from landfills, dumps and impoundments, mining and
                  radioactive waste disposal sites, underground waste injection
                  wells, petroleum development, saline recharge, excessive use of
                  agricultural chemicals, and accidental spills.

                  The research base for assessing and predicting the impacts of
                  groundwater pollution lags far behind that for surface-water
                  sources. While we know reasonably well how a few  organic
                  chemicals behave in a few groundwater environments, a great
                  deal remains to be accomplished to significantly bridge the data
                  gaps,  expand predictive capabilities, reduce costs and improve
                  the accuracy of groundwater monitoring,  and determine  the
                  feasibility of cleanup. The following discussion includes those
                  aspects that are not addressed under other research programs.

                  Monitoring. Research will evaluate geophysical and geochem-
                  ical methods for the detection and mapping of subsurface
                  leachates and groundwater contaminant plumes. EPA's research
                  objectives are to survey, develop, test and evaluate both surface-
                  based and  downhole instruments  and methods which can be
                  used for such monitoring and hydrogeologic investigations.
                  EPA  will also  examine these methods for monitoring deep
                  contaminant plumes associated with underground injection.
                  Additional research will evaluate "indicator" parameters which
                  may detect the presence of hazardous constituents in ground-
                  water during active site operations and after site closure.

                  Prediction of Contaminant Concentrations. EPA's research will
                  focus on the definition of the relationships between subsurface
                  hydrogeological properties and pollutant transfer. This includes
                  the determination of the chemical and microbiological con-
                  taminants  susceptible to transformation,  the  physical and
                  chemical components of dispersion,  and the prediction  of
                  groundwater quality at a point of use.

                  Aquifer Restoration. In situ aquifer restoration  refers to  the
                  cleanup of contaminated groundwater, while still in the aquifer,
                  to a degree where the water will be restored to safe levels for use.
                  This  capability is  in its infancy,  and EPA's activities will
                  emphasize  compilation  of  existing information, developing
                  methods for isolating contaminated plumes, and evaluating the
                  feasibilities and cost-benefits of various mitigation techniques.
                  EPA will also demonstrate selected technologies through limited
                  field testing.
Monitoring Data Quality Assurance
                  To what extent can data collection and reduction methods be
                  standardized to  assure reliability, repeatability, intercompar-
                  ability, and scientific credibility?

                  The goal of quality assurance is to ensure that data generated in
                  monitoring and  other measurement programs are technically

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                   WATER                                                17

                   and scientifically defensible. At the heart of quality assurance
                   are the methods used to collect and analyze samples. These
                   methods must be developed and validated so their performance
                   is acceptable to the regulated organizations and the independent
                   scientific community. While sampling and analytical methods
                   are available and deployed within the appropriate measurement
                   programs,  without  standardization,  sampling and analytical
                   methods for water and wastewater  monitoring will vary in
                   unknown ways and  with them will vary the quality of the data.

                   Many of the quality assurance (QA) activities are on-going,
                   level-of-effort programs  which are  critical  to EPA's water
                   quality monitoring activities.  The current QA program for
                   water quality research includes conceiving,  developing and
                   providing the tools, guidelines and technical support to cost-
                   effectively  maintain the scientific credibility  of the collected
                   data. In this context, the QA program provides guidelines to
                   establish acceptability of  data of known  quality and  for
                   sampling to determine representativeness of the data. A number
                   of questions require additional investigation as the monitoring
                   and measurement systems mature with changing demands for
                   research support.

                   Repositories of Analytical  Standards.  EPA repositories  of
                   analytical standards play a critical role. Standards, developed
                   by EPA for most of the pollutants used to define water quality,
                   are made available on a voluntary basis to research, enforcement
                   and compliance offices and to other water quality laboratories
                   to provide an analytical reference point. The continued avail-
                   ability and use of these primary analytical standards is one of the
                   most cost-effective ways to assure credibility and intercompar-
                   ability of laboratory results.

                   Analytical Proficiency. The QA program conducts a variety of
                   performance evaluations. Some of these are voluntary, such as
                   the Water Pollution and Water Supply series in which partici-
                   pating laboratories are provided blind  samples for analysis.
                   Their results are statistically analyzed and poor performers are
                   alerted to correct their performance. Other studies are conducted
                   in direct support of the Program Offices, such as the Discharge
                   Monitoring Report Quality Assurance program for the Office
                   of  Water  Enforcement  and  the Laboratory Certification
                   Program for the Office of Water Supply.

                   QA Guidelines.  The quality assurance program for water is
                   developing guidelines for facilitating quality control statistics
                   and electronic transmission of data with automated techniques
                   for real-time QA capabilities. Additional guidelines are being
                   prepared for measurements of viruses, microbiological systems
                   and larger organisms,  and for QA in physical and chemical
                   analytical laboratories.
Summary  of Long-Term  Trends
                  Most of the water research issues described in this chapter will
                  continue into the next decade, with gradually changing degrees

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18                                                WA TER

of activity and emphasis. Improved analytical capabilities will
continue to lower the detection limits of trace constituents in
water, resulting in identification of greater numbers of potenti-
ally deleterious chemical contaminants. Coupled with more
toxicological and epidemiological information, water quality
managers will face increasingly difficult decisions involving the
environmental significance of complex mixtures of pollutants.

A significant  near-term  issue includes  the development  of
toxicant  information for complex mixtures.  The growing
inventory of chlorinated organic contaminants in complicated
combinations  requires significant  changes in  the research
strategies and technological  methods used to  assess them.
Whole-sample evaluations such as matrix bioassays, biological
indicators and chemical surrogates will play a larger role in the
future. To remain responsive,  EPA's water research program
must simultaneously develop and validate new methods while
applying them in regulatory situations.

The environmental  water quality issues, including  non-point
source pollution, estuary protection, ocean disposal of wastes
and the water quality-based approach, all reflect the emerging
need  to  develop new tools to test and monitor  ecological
impairment, including toxic effects on aquatic species. Over the
next decade, major strides will be made in establishing safe, or
"no-effect" levels of toxic organic contaminants in sediments
and water, and in methods to  establish  biological availability
and bioaccumulation in tissues.

Many communities and  landowners rely upon groundwater
sources for drinking and irrigation. Questions regarding the
quality of groundwater have  been increasing in recent years.
Consequently, the dynamics of groundwater and the residence
times  and fates of leached contaminants in these aquifers will be
a major water resource issue for the remainder of the century.
The coming decade  will see the refinement of the capability to
simulate  and predict the impacts of contaminants  on  under-
ground sources. Increased research will  improve approxima-
tions  of  the  behavior of contaminants in  aquifers and the
transport mechanisms of surface pollutants leached into the
ground.  The  fates  and effects of  toxic  compounds  and
anthropogenic radionuclides in ground water will not likely be
adequately understood until well into the future.

In the wastewater treatment areas, no fundamental changes are
foreseen. Improved  engineering and the periodic emergence of
innovative and alternative technologies will partially offset the
rising costs  associated with wastewater treatment.  A major
breakthrough in wastewater treatment, if there is one, may come
from  biological engineering, possibly by developing organisms
which could be more effective in treating wastewater.

With the increasing complexity of the information base available
to state and local water quality managers, technology infor-
mation transfer will continue to be a fundamental component of

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WATER                                                19

EPA's research program. While not, strictly speaking, a research
issue, demands for current technology and data outside the
federal scientific  community will increase as water quality
protection is transferred to the states. The coming decade will
experience  significant changes  in information management,
with much greater emphasis on microcomputer-based technol-
ogies for site-specific applications. EPA's research program is
already developing and demonstrating this important new tool.

Finally,  the  demands on  quality control of research and
monitoring data will grow with the lowering of detection limits
and  the concomitant  increase in new  compounds.  While the
methods  for quality  assurance will not materially change,
relying as they do on statistical analysis of the underlying
technologies, the mechanisms whereby EPA implements its QA
may change  to reflect the costs of ensuring credibility and
standardization. EPA believes that its QA programs in methods
development and laboratory certification are vital components
of its mission. However, the future may bring about a transfer of
its program of providing reference samples to the private sector,
with the costs  directly borne  by the  permittees and  other
analytical users.

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                                                                       21
Air and  Radiation
                 Under the Clean Air Act (CAA), as amended in 1977, EPA is
                 responsible for setting ambient air quality standards to protect
                 the public health (primary standards) and welfare (secondary
                 standards) from air pollutants emitted from both stationary and
                 mobile sources. National Ambient Air Quality Standards
                 (NAAQS) have been set  for six  "criteria"  pollutants: ozone
                 (Oa); carbon monoxide (CO); particulate matter (PM); sulfur
                 dioxide (SO2);  nitrogen dioxide  (NO2); and  lead (Pb).  As
                 required by law, these standards must be reviewed every five
                 years and revised if necessary. Compliance with these standards
                 is the responsibility of each state through the development and
                 implementation of State Implementation Plans (SIPs) which
                 limit emissions from existing  sources, set time tables  for
                 compliance and establish monitoring procedures. The Agency is
                 also responsible for setting New Source Performance Standards
                 (NSPS)  to limit  criteria  air pollutant  emissions from  new
                 sources or  from existing  sources which have  been modified
                 based on the use of best demonstrated control systems. In areas
                 where the air quality is better than that required to meet primary
                 and secondary  standards, emissions from  new  or modified
                 sources are restricted under the  Prevention  of Significant
                 Deterioration (PSD) program.

                 In addition, EPA is responsible for limiting emissions of air
                 pollutants that  are hazardous to human health, but  are not
                 already regulated as criteria pollutants. National Emission
                 Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESH APs) have been
                 set for asbestos, beryllium, mercury, benzene and vinyl chloride,
                 and are under evaluation for radionuclides,  arsenic, and coke
                 oven emissions.

                 ORD provides the scientific data bases, methodologies, models,
                 assessments, emission reduction technologies and corresponding
                 quality assurance support  to implement these legislative
                 authorities. Eleven major issues have been identified within the
                 scope of the air research program which cut across scientific
                 disciplines and the pollutant-specific structure of the research
                 program.
Major Research Issues

Dose-Response
                  What  dose response  information  is needed  to  reduce  the
                  uncertainties associated with the adverse health effects of air
                  pollutants under NAAQS and NESHAPs?

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Extrapolation
                  22                                  AIR AND RADIA TION

                  Uncertainty about what levels of pollutant exposure produce
                  adverse health effects makes it difficult to set standards that will
                  protect the public from those adverse health effects. A primary
                  source of this uncertainty is  lack of sufficient dose-response
                  information to determine the lowest  level  of exposure to  a
                  particular pollutant at which adverse effects occur. Without this
                  evidence the optimum level  for a standard that adequately
                  protects the public health cannot be determined. Research is
                  being conducted to provide needed dose-response data on both
                  criteria pollutants and hazardous air pollutants.

                  For each of the criteria air pollutants,  the sensitive population
                  groups and the pollutant exposure ranges of interest have
                  generally been identified. However, testing of these pollutants
                  will continue in both animal and human subjects to refine the
                  exposure  levels and the  health endpoints of concern.  These
                  health endpoints are mainly respiratory, metabolic, and immune
                  system effects for O3, NO2, SO2 and particulate matter; cardio-
                  vascular and neurologic for CO; and behavioral effects for lead.
                  Additional emphasis will be placed on  evaluating the effects of
                  long-term versus short-term higher-peak exposures to oxidants,
                  particularly NOz, and the effects of both long-term and  short-
                  term  exposures to the coarse fraction of airborne particles
                  smaller than 10 microns in diameter. The information obtained
                  from this research will be factored into the next round of criteria
                  documents and used in the review of NAAQS.

                  For hazardous air pollutants, a somewhat different approach is
                  being taken. Research to identify which pollutants are of
                  greatest concern, either  because  of the seriousness of their
                  effects or because of the degree of exposure to them, will be
                  conducted. Compounds will be studied in animals or in animal
                  biological test systems to characterize and quantify their effects,
                  particularly mutagenic or carcinogenic effects and effects upon
                  particular organ systems. Because of the potential hazards of
                  these  pollutants, clinical studies of exposed human volunteers
                  cannot be conducted; however, epidemiological studies may be
                  feasible.

                  Studies on the health effects of motor  vehicle exhausts will be
                  conducted by the  Health Effects Institute (HEI). This institute
                  was established and is funded by  both EPA and the motor
                  vehicle industry to perform independent studies and produce
                  health data on pollutants emitted from motor vehicles. The HEI
                  considers a summary of the needs submitted by the sponsors and
                  designs a health research program to respond to those needs.
                  This program is complementary to EPA's research program for
                  both  criteria and  non-criteria  pollutants. HEI's research
                  currently focuses  on carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and
                  diesel exhaust.
                  What models are needed to extrapolate from animal data to
                  human risks, from high to low doses and from acute to chronic
                  effects?

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                  AIR AND RADIA TION                                  23

                  The lack of data on health  effects in people exposed to air
                  pollutants is a source of uncertainty in the development of
                  NAAQS and NESHAPs. Even where human health data exist,
                  they are often based  upon  short-term,  high-level exposures
                  which may not be directly relevant to the low-level, long-term
                  chronic exposures that  are  more  typical of environmental
                  conditions. This data gap often cannot be filled by human
                  clinical studies because one cannot intentionally expose human
                  subjects to substances suspected of causing permanent damage.

                  Thus, to improve our ability to relate animal data to actual
                  human consequences, and thereby develop more reliable risk
                  estimates of exposure to air pollutants,  techniques are being
                  developed to extrapolate from animal to human effects, from
                  high to low doses and from acute to chronic effects. To develop
                  these techniques, information in three critical areas is needed:
                  dosimetry—the amount of pollutant which reaches specific
                  target sites in the body after exposure to a given concentration
                  of pollutant; species sensitivity—the potential  variations in
                  response of different animal species to the same dose of
                  pollutant; and dose-response.

                  For the criteria air pollutants, human volunteers can be exposed
                  to pollutants for brief periods of time at concentrations similar
                  to those encountered in daily life, and the resulting effects on
                  heart and lung function, immune response, and  other physio-
                  logical and biological parameters can be measured through
                  non-invasive techniques. Similar studies with animals can be
                  conducted.  Animals can also be exposed chronically to these
                  pollutants and the cumulative lifetime effect of these exposures
                  determined. This dose-response data combined with dosimetry
                  and species-sensitivity information will enable an inference of
                  the effects that chronic exposure to a given pollutant may have
                  on  humans.  Both  the  experimental  and  theoretical  work
                  necessary to accomplish this for the criteria pollutants will be
                  conducted.

                  The kind of extrapolation approach described above cannot be
                  used with hazardous air pollutants since the health effects are
                  likely to be chronic, severe,  or irreversible, e.g., neurotoxic,
                  genetic, reproductive, or developmental effects. Thus, research
                  will concentrate on developing animal models that use biological
                  indicators of such effects in humans.
Integrated Cancer Project
                  What research is needed to determine the contribution of air
                  pollution to the incidence of cancer in the United States?

                  There is a great deal of uncertainty regarding the relationship
                  between air pollution  and human cancer.  Determining the
                  extent to which air pollution is responsible for or related to lung
                  cancers and other types of human cancers could have a major
                  impact on EPA's  regulatory  program. Thus,  a  long-term,
                  interdisciplinary research program has  been developed  to

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                  24                                   AIR AND RADIA TION

                  address the major scientific questions regarding the relationship
                  between air pollution and human cancer.

                  The three basic goals of this program  are to: (1) identify the
                  principal airborne carcinogens; (2) determine which emission
                  sources are  major contributors of carcinogens to ambient air;
                  and (3) improve the estimate of comparative human cancer risk
                  from specific air  pollutant emission sources. Field tests of
                  relatively isolated single-source categories are  essential for
                  developing  methods to  evaluate the more typical  multiple-
                  source-category environments that the general  population is
                  exposed to. Therefore,  the  initial  field tests will  focus on
                  quantifying carcinogens  emitted from  residential wood-fired
                  combustion systems and motor vehicles. This project focuses on
                  identifying those substances actually present in the air that are
                  most likely to be carcinogenic and on describing how they came
                  to be present in the environment. Thus, under the monitoring
                  component of the project,  samples of ambient air in the
                  "breathing zone" of persons in an urban/industrial area and a
                  suburban area will be collected and analyzed for carcinogens
                  and mutagens. Comparisons between the ambient and personal
                  samples and between the urban and  suburban concentrations
                  will be made, and relationships between exposure and dose will
                  be studied. The relative importance and contribution of gaseous
                  and volatile organic compounds, semi-volatile and particulate
                  organic  compounds to  total airborne carcinogens will  be
                  determined. In addition, laboratory studies will be conducted to
                  determine the atmospheric formation and fate of  bioactive
                  compounds.

                  Under the health component of the program, methods will be
                  developed and data gathered to evaluate the human cancer risk
                  from individual and, ultimately,  complex-source emissions. A
                  comparative methodology will  be  adapted to  evaluate and
                  utilize short-term mutagenesis and animal carcinogenesis data
                  on emissions. Research to identify the major sources  of
                  hazardous air pollutants and to characterize these emissions
                  from industries and combustion sources of primary concern will
                  serve as the basis of the engineering component of the project.
Welfare Effects
                  What information is needed on the welfare effects of pollutants
                  to support secondary standards?

                  Research of the impact of air  pollution on vegetation and
                  visibility degradation is needed to assess the need for secondary
                  air quality standards for criteria pollutants. Research on the
                  impact of Os on agricultural crops indicates that physiological
                  conditions such  as  water  stress on plants and Oa exposure
                  fluctuations may affect plant response to Oa. Therefore research
                  to reduce these uncertainties will be conducted.

                  To develop and implement air pollution abatement strategies
                  for visibility protection, research will be conducted to determine

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                   AIR AND RADIA TION                                   25

                  the extent of visibility impairment, and analytical tools will be
                  developed to assess a variety of control options. Specifically, the
                  role of aerosols on visibility reduction will be assessed; visibility
                  trends for the U.S. will be determined utilizing existing data
                  bases; and measurement and monitoring techniques  will be
                  developed to more completely characterize the extent of visibil-
                  ity changes. A regional visibility research network, using fine
                  particle and optical  measurements,  will be  established to
                  provide data for analyzing source-receptor relationships, and
                  models to assess visibility protection strategies will be developed
                  and refined.
A mbient A ir Quality Models
                   What information on the atmospheric transport and transfor-
                   mation of air pollutants is needed to develop and  improve
                   ambient air quality models  in support of regulatory programs?

                   Pollutants emitted into the air  often undergo chemical and
                   photochemical reactions that change the initial pollutants into
                   different compounds. Models to predict this phenomenon are
                   being developed at the urban and regional scale and for complex
                   terrains. These models,  when fully developed, will provide
                   information necessary to develop, evaluate and implement cost-
                   effective air pollution control strategies for SIPs  and Prevention
                   of Significant Deterioration determinations.

                   Over the last few years, a variety of air quality models have been
                   developed and evaluations  of these models indicate that they
                   need to be improved to increase the accuracy and reliability of
                   modeling predictions. To improve urban scale models (up to
                   50km), smog-chamber studies will be conducted to simulate the
                   atmospheric chemical processes associated with the formation
                   of oxidants and inhalable particulate matter including fine and
                   coarse particulate size ranges. Emphasis will be placed on the
                   impact of lower hydrocarbon/ NOX ratios and the role of specific
                   categories of volatile organic carbons (VOCs) such as aromatic
                   hydrocarbons and  aldehydes in producing oxidants.  Other
                   studies will be conducted to determine the occurrence, lifetimes
                   and  transformation processes associated with potential hazard-
                   ous air pollutants to assess their environmental importance.

                   On the regional  scale (up  to 1000km), laboratory and field
                   studies will be conducted to improve the ability of models to
                   predict the atmospheric transport, transformation and deposi-
                   tion processes for air pollutants such  as Oa and particulate
                   matter. Alternative mathematical techniques and new meteoro-
                   logical tracers will also be evaluated to determine their ability to
                   improve modeling predictions.

                   In addition,  complex-terrain models will be field-tested to
                   expand the  applicability  of the  model to  more complex
                   topographical situations, a greater variety of  meteorological
                   conditions, and 3- and 24-hour average concentrations.

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                  26                                 AIR AND RAD1A TION

Mobile Source Emissions

                  What mobile source emission characterizations are needed to
                  evaluate the effectiveness of control strategies?

                  As the driving fleet ages and changes occur in engine design,
                  models to assess the  impacts of mobile source emissions on
                  ambient air quality need to be refined and studies need to be
                  conducted to evaluate the health and environmental impact of
                  new emissions. Greater emphasis will be placed on evaluating
                  promising alternative fuels,  particularly  methanol. The two
                  primary pollutants of importance from methanol-fueled vehicles
                  are  methanol  and formaldehyde. Analytical  procedures to
                  measure methanol and formaldehyde will be developed and
                  emission characterizations performed. Research to determine
                  the photochemistry of emissions from methanol-fueled vehicles
                  will be conducted also.  Emissions from future gasoline-fueled
                  vehicles and  diesel-fueled  vehicles  equipped  with  advanced
                  control technologies will be characterized.

                  An  improved  method  will be developed to  determine the
                  contribution of motor vehicle emissions to the ambient air. This
                  method will replace less applicable methods currently used. Past
                  and present research efforts have focused on the development
                  and  refinement  of   a  general exposure methodology for
                  predicting population exposures to mobile sources emissions,
                  using CO as a surrogate for mobile source emissions. Methods
                  are not currently available to determine exposure conditions for
                  most of the pollutants  emitted from mobile sources. Because the
                  dominant source of CO is mobile emissions, CO has been used
                  as a surrogate for these other pollutants. The general exposure
                  methodology used for CO will be extended to other mobile
                  source pollutants. Vehicular exposure models will be developed
                  for CO and other mobile source pollutants based on previous
                  CO field studies. NOj, inhalable particulates and benzene are
                  potential candidates for study. Monitoring of these pollutants in
                  highway  microenvironments could  additionally  be used to
                  evaluate the accuracy  of these models. This information will be
                  used to determine whether changes/additions to the current
                  mobile source emission standards will be necessary.

Monitoring Systems,  Methods Development  and
Quality Assurance

                  What monitoring systems and methods and quality assurance
                  support are needed to support NESHAPs, NAAQS and SIPs?

                  New and  improved   air pollution monitoring methods and
                  techniques are needed to develop risk assessments and determine
                  areas where public health and welfare are threatened, air quality
                  trends, compliance with ambient standards and permit condi-
                  tions, and the need for enforcement actions. Such methods are
                  needed for ambient, source and personal monitoring.

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AIR AND RADIATION                                 27

Methods Development. Few serious monitoring or  method-
ology  problems exist for current criteria air pollutants.
Therefore, with the exception of inhalable particulate  methods
research, the primary focus of the research program in this area
will  be to  refine existing  ambient and source monitoring
methods. Efforts to improve the sensitivity, reliability and
precision of the methods and  reduce their complexity and
expense will be continued.  Emphasis will  also be placed on
improving  continuous source methods for monitoring SO2,
NO2 and O3.

Unlike the situation for criteria air pollutants, few monitoring
methods are  available for measuring the  concentration of
potentially  hazardous air pollutants, especially VOCs. New
sampling and analytical systems and a set of validated source-
sampling methods will be developed for monitoring important
sources of hazardous air  pollutants that  cannot  now be
monitored with adequate precision and accuracy. Research to
develop methods of monitoring ambient hazardous air pollutant
concentrations  will  be accelerated,  as will work on passive
monitors and new sorbents. This will extend the measurement
capability to chemicals not collected by current methods and to
new monitoring situations such  as exposures near hazardous-
waste sites. Following the development of appropriate moni-
toring technology, a nationwide  Toxic Air Monitoring System
(TAMS) will be established to characterize urban atmospheres
and determine national trends for non-criteria air pollutants in
order to determine the magnitude and extent of the hazardous
air pollution problem.

Although conventional criteria pollutant monitoring programs
have emphasized the measurement of pollutants in the ambient
air, very little is known about actual human exposures to air
pollutants.  Studies  now indicate that measurements at fixed
sampling locations may not be representative of the concentra-
tions to which key portions of the population are exposed. Thus,
research to develop and refine methods for measuring actual
human exposure will continue.  Emphasis will  be on techno-
logical improvements in personal (microenvironment) monitor-
ing equipment  and the development  of adequate  exposure
models.

Quality Assurance. To ensure that Agency decisions are backed
by technical data that are of known accuracy  and precision,
EPA will continue to provide quality assurance (Q A) support in
accordance with Agency policy and in support of QA require-
ments contained in regulations. The repository for reference
samples will be maintained, standard  reference materials
developed  and  audits performed.  State  and local  criteria
pollutant air monitoring activities  will  continue,  and QA
support will also be provided to EPA, state and local govern-
ments, and  international monitoring programs for criteria and
non-criteria air pollutants.

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                  28                                  AIR AND RADIA TION
Human Exposure
                  What monitoring systems and methods are needed to define
                  human exposure to air pollutants?

                  Information on the concentrations to which people are actually
                  exposed  is becoming an  increasingly important  factor in
                  determining the health risk associated with airborne contami-
                  nants. Through advances in miniaturization, it has been possible
                  to design small instruments, called personal monitors, capable
                  of accurately  recording the concentrations of a pollutant to
                  which a person is  exposed. Successful personal monitors now
                  exist for carbon monoxide (CO),  volatile organic compounds,
                  and respirable particulates. A limited number of field investiga-
                  tions have been undertaken with these new instruments.

                  A continuous CO personal monitor now exists using a small
                  pump. However, this pump is battery operated and requires a
                  technician to  collect stored data  and recalibrate the monitor
                  every 12 hours. Therefore, there is a need  to develop a small,
                  lightweight passive CO monitor which will operate like the film
                  badges used in radiation monitoring. There also  is  a need to
                  improve  the  accuracy  and  precision  of  organics monitors.
                  Laboratory research is under way to develop a passive monitor
                  for  volatile organic compounds  and pesticides. Because the
                  health effects of NO2 are thought to  be associated with high
                  exposures of extremely short duration,  a  continuous  NOa
                  monitor is called for. Over the next several years, research will
                  be conducted to develop such a monitor based on chemilumi-
                  nescent principles and evaluated  in pilot-scale field studies. If
                  the instrument proves successful, it can be utilized in large-scale
                  epidemiological studies on the sources, exposures, and health
                  effects of NOa. Field tests for existing monitors for inhaled
                  particles  will also be conducted and size-selective particle
                  samplers may be developed.

                  As the new air pollution exposure instrumentation is developed,
                  there will be a need to move from the laboratory into small-scale
                  pilot field investigations to test these monitors in real settings.
                  Once the personal monitoring methodology has proved effective
                  on a small scale, it will be  appropriate to demonstrate the
                  methodology  with full-scale studies on urban populations to
                  better assess the public health risk from these pollutants.
Emission Characterization and
Technology Evaluation
                  What stationary-source-emission characterizations and tech-
                  nology evaluations are  needed to  support SIPs,  NSPS and
                  NESHAPS?

                  Although considerable progress has been made in  controlling
                  air pollution from both mobile and stationary sources, emissions
                  of the criteria pollutants are currently a major concern in a
                  number of areas of the country. Thus, research will be conducted

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AIR AND RADIA TION                                  29

to characterize the emission sources, and evaluate and improve
the cost effectiveness of emission reduction technologies, thereby
reducing the cost of  complying with SIPs and  New  Source
Performance Standards (NSPS).

Because  much  is already  known about criteria pollutants,
priorities for this research have shifted in recent years to focus
more on VOCs and hazardous air pollutants. In addition, large-
scale demonstrations  of emission-reduction technologies have
been replaced by less-costly fundamental studies, pilot  and
prototype  testing  and evaluation and  technology-transfer
activities.

VOCs, which react with NO» and sunlight to produce ozone, are
a major cause of the ozone non-attainment problem. Although
emissions from  major stationary sources are being reduced,
small sources (e.g., dry cleaners, gas stations and paint users) are
not being widely controlled. Although these sources individually
emit small amounts  of  pollutants,  collectively  they  may
constitute a significant problem. Control technologies such as
industrial flares, carbon adsorption, catalytic oxidation  and
thermal  incineration  will be assessed  to  determine  their
performance and cost in reducing VOC emissions from such
sources. Emphasis will be placed on developing and evaluating
methods  to control VOCs without resorting to costly add-on
control devices.

Research on VOC control technologies is not only important in
resolving the ozone non-attainment problem, but in controlling
hazardous air pollutant  emissions as well. Thus,  additional
research  will be conducted to  assess  the  performance  and
determine the degree of hazardous air pollution control present-
ly being achieved by technologies designed to control or reduce
the formation   of  criteria pollutants. Alternatives will be
evaluated and emission sources characterized.

Research to control particles  focuses  on  improving the
performance, reliability and cost-effectiveness of the multi-stage
electrostatic precipitator (ESP) and fabric filtration. The major
purpose  of this research is to  improve collection of small
particles which have become increasingly important in meeting
particle standards.  ESPs may assist in acid rain mitigation for
use with  dry add-on SO2 removal processes and switching to
low-sulfur coals with their more difficult-to-collect fly ashes.
The performance of  fabric filtration can improve with the
application of electrostatically augmented fabric  filtration
(ESFF).  The effects  of precharging and  particle  charge on
filtration performance will be assessed. Recent research indicates
that a pressure-drop-reduction by a factor of three or more can
be achieved by properly conditioning the paniculate matter,
thus resulting in  fabric filters one-third the size of conventional
units.  Additional  research to verify  this finding is being
conducted.

Research to control NOX will focus on evaluating the applica-
bility of combustion modification techniques to industries and

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                  30                                 AIR AND RADIA TION

                  utility  boilers,  refinery process  heaters, cement  kilns and
                  stationary engines. Also, advanced methods such as reburning
                  (fuel staging) and changes in precombustion burner designs will
                  be assessed.
Summary  of Long-Term Trends
                  The goals of the Air research program over the next five years
                  are to: (1) improve risk-assessment capabilities  to  support
                  existing and planned ambient air quality standards, hazardous
                  air pollutant standards and source emission limitations; (2)
                  provide the scientific data and technical support to implement
                  control strategies and ensure compliance; and (3) identify future
                  environmental problems.

                  To improve our risk assessment capabilities, ORD will continue
                  to strengthen both the health and environmental effects research
                  programs. In the health area, the effects of acute and chronic
                  exposures to criteria air pollutants on humans will be more
                  accurately  defined  and  data on  exposure  levels  refined.
                  Techniques  to  more accurately identify the  presence  of
                  hazardous air pollutants will be developed. Subsequent dose-
                  response studies will be conducted to assist in the character-
                  ization and identification  of health effects. The scientific data
                  base necessary to develop a quantitative evaluation suitable for
                  estimating the human cancer risk from both complex mixtures
                  and individual chemicals will be developed. As the data base on
                  the dose-response of air  pollutants is expanded, increasing
                  emphasis will be placed on improving the ability to relate these
                  data to actual human consequences. Methods to extrapolate the
                  data from animals to humans, from high to low doses and from
                  acute to chronic effects will be developed and improved.

                  Increased emphasis  will also be placed on monitoring human
                  exposure to air pollutants. By  increasing our knowledge of
                  exposure  concentrations,  our ability to make  health risk
                  assessments will also improve.

                   Research to support the possible development of secondary
                  standards will continue to focus on evaluating the effects of air
                  pollutants on vegetation and visibility. Research to assess the
                  impact of air pollution on vegetation will shift from Oa to SO2
                  and NOa.  Research to examine source-receptor relationships
                  and lay the framework for a  more comprehensive visibility
                  monitoring program will be accelerated.

                  To support the development of control strategies and ensure
                  compliance with these strategies, ORD will continue to maintain
                  strong modeling, monitoring and engineering programs. For
                  criteria pollutants, ambient air quality models will be refined to
                  improve their predictive capabilities. Greater emphasis wili be
                  placed on studying the transport and transformation of Os and
                  particles on the regional scale and developing more sophisticated
                  complex-terrain models. Monitoring systems for criteria pollu-

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AIR AND RADIATION                                  31

tants will be refined to increase their accuracy and precision, and
engineering evaluations will be conducted to improve the cost-
effectiveness  of control technologies  for  criteria pollutants.
Increased emphasis will be placed on VOCs as precursors of Os.

Also, research to determine  the  nature  and the extent of
hazardous air pollution problems will be accelerated. Analytical
tools such as pollutant dispersion models will be adapted from
air pollution  models to  improve health and exposure assess-
ments. A national Toxics Air Monitoring System will be put
into  place and data collected on what pollutants are present in
urban atmospheres and their concentrations. Trends data will
be analyzed and new monitoring methods will be developed for
use in the monitoring systems. Engineering research to bring
sources of VOCs into compliance should  not only reduce Oa
levels but air toxics emissions as well.

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                                                                        33
Hazardous  Wastes
                  Hazardous wastes and their impacts on human health and the
                  environment remain a major public problem. The Agency has
                  recognized for several years that conventional land disposal of
                  many  high-hazard  wastes is  an incomplete solution to the
                  problems they represent. Due to the possibility of leakage from
                  land disposal facilities, wastes containing toxic, highly persistent
                  and highly mobile chemicals must be carefully managed if they
                  are to  be placed in land disposal  facilities. Moreover, Federal
                  law now directs, through the recently enacted amendments to
                  the Resource Conservation and  Recovery Act (RCRA), that
                  waste containing certain chemicals could be banned from forms
                  of land disposal unless EPA determines that the prohibition is
                  not required to protect human health  and  the environment.
                  Therefore, methods are  needed  to evaluate the human and
                  environmental risk associated with these chemicals. I n addition,
                  if wastes are to be  banned from landfills, there is a need for
                  adequate alternative technologies to ensure their safe disposal.
                  EPA's research program  will increase the emphasis placed on
                  tests  for determining waste toxicity, on  predicting waste
                  movement in the subsurface, and on new means of detecting
                  wastes in the subsurface  environment. More emphasis is also
                  being placed on evaluating technological alternatives to  land
                  disposal.

                  In  addition to the  above, the recent  passage of the RCRA
                  amendments will result  in increased  emphasis on certain
                  existing research programs and the start of new research efforts.
                  The major research areas affected  are: (I) control of leaking
                  underground storage tanks, (2) disposal of high volume mining
                  and utility wastes, (3) underground storage of hazardous wastes,
                  (4)  double-liner requirements for land disposal facilities, (5)
                  special requirements  for generators of small quantities of
                  hazardous waste, and (6) environmentally acceptable disposal
                  of industrial and municipal "non-hazardous" solid wastes to
                  conventional land disposal facilities (Subtitle D).

                  To  address these problems, nine major research issues have been
                  identified for the hazardous waste program. These issues are:
                  procedures  for identifying and  measuring  chemical wastes;
                  assessment  and control  of dioxins and other  high-hazard
                  wastes; assessment of the potential  exposure to and effects of
                  hazardous wastes;  evaluation  of technologies  to manage
                  uncontrolled waste sites;  development and evaluation of
                  technologies as alternatives to land disposal; information on
                  equipment and procedures required to protect the health of
                  personnel involved in hazardous waste handling; procedures to
                  prevent and contain hazardous releases; quality assurance; and
                  data to support development, permitting and enforcement of

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                  34                                 HAZARDOUS WASTES

                  treatment, storage and disposal regulations. Many of the results
                  from this research may also be of use in the Superfund effort.
Major Research Issues

Identification and Measurement of
Chemical Wastes
                  What new analytical methods are needed to identify hazardous
                  wastes and their chemical constituents?

                  More than 100 analytical methods have been proposed by EPA
                  for analyzing waste samples and environmental samples that
                  might be contaminated with any of the hundreds of chemicals
                  classified as  hazardous wastes. These are primarily chemical
                  methods but also include methods for analyzing physical and
                  biological properties and for determining the mobility of wastes.
                  Most of these methods were developed for use in other media.
                  Many of the proposed  analytical methods are of necessity
                  already being used by federal, state and industrial laboratories
                  even  though less  than  ten  percent  have been  adequately
                  validated. The cost of fully validating a single method is high,
                  and can take from one to three years. Such validation, however,
                  is important  because completion  of a systematic validation
                  procedure can significantly enhance the Agency's or industry's
                  confidence in the method. Therefore, priority will continue to be
                  given to methods  validation. Methods will be  modified and
                  alternative  methods  will be substituted  when appropriate.
                  Considerable effort will be devoted to reducing the costs and
                  time  associated with validation procedures without sacrificing
                  the integrity of the process.

                  New hardware and software developments offer considerable
                  promise for reducing the costs and time, while improving the
                  sensitivity, of laboratory analyses. Examples of these emerging
                  technologies  are superconductive fluids, tandem-mass-spec-
                  trometry, and thermospray injection. Considerable effort will
                  be directed to evaluating and applying such technologies for
                  hazardous waste analyses. One particular thrust will be in the
                  development  of technologies  for rapid  screening  of large
                  numbers of samples,  particularly groundwater samples.  A
                  second effort will be toward obtaining  more comprehensive
                  chemical profiles of volatile and semi-volatile organic chemicals
                  in solids and other complex matrices. Concurrent with these
                  activities will be a continuing effort to upgrade the computer
                  programs supporting the analytical equipment, with special
                  attention to computer interpretations of measurements.

                  Improving the Agency's capability to assess subsurface contam-
                  ination problems will continue to be a high research priority.
                  Evaluation and documentation of the capabilities of remote
                  monitoring  techniques—electromagnetic, resistivity,  radar,
                  seismometers—in different types of subsurface  environments
                  will  continue. The feasibility  of using laser/fiber-optic tech-

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                  HAZARDOUS WASTES                                 35

                  nology  for  long-term monitoring  of groundwater  will  be
                  demonstrated at  the  Environmental Monitoring Systems
                  Laboratory/Las Vegas test site.  Improved monitoring-well
                  construction techniques will be developed and tested together
                  with more efficient sampling procedures. Of particular concern
                  is the statistical basis for the location and frequency of sampling
                  activities, both in soil and in groundwater.
High-Hazard Wastes
                  What new information is needed to evaluate and control high-
                  hazard  wastes  and to continue implementing the  National
                  Dioxin Strategy?

                  There is a need to develop a better scientific and engineering
                  basis for assessing the technical feasibility and cost of technol-
                  ogies for the safe disposal, storage, destruction or detoxification
                  of highly hazardous wastes, including such chemicals as dioxins,
                  dibenzofurans and other halogenated organic wastes. A long-
                  term research plan will be developed to address existing gaps in
                  knowledge.  Research will  support the  development of new
                  regulations and guidance required under the reauthorization of
                  the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA). The
                  research will provide evaluation  procedures to be used by
                  permitting agencies for the management of high-hazard wastes.

                  It is  not yet known whether chemical or biological methods are
                  safe or effective for in situ  cleanup.  The possible  use  of
                  genetically engineered microorganisms holds particular promise,
                  but serious questions exist concerning the appropriate control
                  of these organisms and the safety of their metabolic residues or
                  by-products. Biological and chemical controls are not as well
                  understood as traditional land disposal or incineration technol-
                  ogies, and must be rigorously tested and evaluated. Laboratory
                  studies  will  be followed by small-scale engineering or field
                  demonstrations, with careful monitoring of by-products. Special
                  emphasis will be directed to the potential  hazards of genetically
                  altered organisms and their appropriate controls. A separate
                  effort is being conducted elsewhere in the program to determine
                  the conditions under which hazardous wastes can be safely land
                  treated or farmed.
Waste Characterization
                  What  information is  needed to  characterize  the  potential
                  exposure and effects posed by hazardous wastes?
                  Assessments of the exposure and effects posed by the disposal of
                  hazardous wastes require knowledge regarding the sources and
                  characteristics of hazardous wastes, the chain of events by which
                  populations are exposed to the wastes, and the relationships
                  between doses  and their environmental or  physiological
                  responses. Major scientific uncertainties exist in the following
                  areas: the quantity and types of hazardous wastes that escape

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36                                 HAZARDOUS WASTES

into the environment under various  disposal methods;  the
concentrations  of contaminants  that  result  from  different
pathways through the environment; the actual dose received;
and the  effects caused  by that dose.  The uncertainties  are
amplified because most hazardous wastes consist of mixtures of
many chemicals exhibiting different physical, chemical and
toxicological properties, while current knowledge  is mainly
based on single chemicals. Adapting technical capability to the
complex mixtures of chemicals typical of hazardous wastes will
require significant effort over the next few years.

The EPA has significant research programs addressing these
uncertainties, many of  which are supported under  other
programs. These include in particular the groundwater program
and the drinking water health effects program described in the
Water chapter. The groundwater research program, supported
under both the  drinking water and hazardous waste research
programs, is addressing the movement  and transformation of
chemicals in the subsurface by  many processes,  including
advection, sorption, oxidation and biotransformation. These
studies, conducted under both laboratory and field conditions,
will reduce exposure uncertainties. The drinking water health
program has two major areas important to hazardous waste
problems. One  activity addresses  the toxicological effects of
compounds  which occur in groundwater, especially volatile
organic chemicals. The second is development of methods to
determine the effects of complex mixtures in drinking water.

A program to develop more accurate methods for predicting the
quantity, composition and volatility of leachates from land
disposal of wastes is just beginning. These and  other methods
for determining  the  escape  of hazardous wastes  into  the
environment, as well as predictive models in air, surface water
and groundwater, will have to be combined into multimedia
tools for exposure assessment.

A major effort will be directed toward determining which wastes
should be considered  hazardous.  Methods will be developed
that will identify as hazardous those wastes containing consti-
tuents at levels exceeding those at which human health and the
environment is adversely affected. Short-term screening tests of
biological effects (bioassays) are being developed to quickly and
cheaply determine the toxicity of mixtures. These tests are being
adapted from available bioassays into a system so that a number
of toxicities and target organ effects can be evaluated simul-
taneously. Included are tests for  agents  that cause general
toxicity, genetic  damage, cancer, immune disorders,  nerve
damage, and reproductive and birth defects.

Structure-activity relationships,  also  developed for single
chemicals, are being adapted and applied to hazardous wastes as
well. Such studies will  investigate the use of chemical and
structural similarities to estimate health and environmental fate
and effects.

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                  HAZARDOUS WASTES                                  37
Uncontrolled Dump Sites
                  What new control technologies and information are needed for
                  the effective management of uncontrolled waste sites?

                  The National  Priority List currently contains 546 hazardous
                  waste sites, and as many as  2,200  may ultimately be listed.
                  Emphasis  to  date  has been  on  the  removal of hazardous
                  materials stored on the surface, and local containment of the
                  pollutants found in soils and groundwater. Local containment
                  methods have only  been used on hazardous wastes for a short
                  period,  and their  long-term  effectiveness  and reliability are
                  unknown.  Further development is needed to "customize" them
                  to hazardous waste conditions and to determine the effective
                  life-span of containment methods, their maintenance require-
                  ments, and their alternatives.

                  Contaminated  soils, saturated zones,  and groundwater are
                  common at uncontrolled sites, and the technology to clean up
                  these situations is in  its  infancy.  Currently, the only proven
                  method for soils decontamination  is removal and burial in
                  secure landfills. Groundwater  requires collection, often by
                  pumping, and treatment. Methods  are needed to decontaminate
                  soils and groundwater on-site.

                  Studies on containment systems will concentrate on refining the
                  methods for hazardous waste situations and ascertaining the
                  effectiveness of the systems  under realistic  situations. The
                  results from these  efforts will  be utilized to prepare  design
                  manuals. Since containment is only  a temporary measure, the
                  emphasis of the program will be on the demonstration of on-site
                  destruction technology including treatment systems and in situ
                  immobilization and detoxification.

                  In situ processes will receive the major emphasis. Most of these
                  technologies are now in laboratory or pilot stages, and the most
                  promising methods should be  at the demonstration stage by the
                  end of this decade. If proven successful, these methods hold
                  promise of being a major solution to the uncontrolled dump site
                  problem.  Existing  soil  and  water  treatment  systems and
                  equipment  will be field-demonstrated to  determine their
                  operating characteristics and^effectiveness, and new or innova-
                  tive systems will be  sought, evaluated, and field-tested.

                  A major effort is being initiated to study RCRA subtitle D waste
                  facilities including municipal sanitary landfills, on-site industrial
                  landfills, surface impoundments, and land treatment  units.
                  Based on 1979 data there are over 275,000 operating solid waste
                  facilities of these types in the United States. It is suspected that
                  many of these are generating  hazardous leachates and surface
                  runoff and should be investigated. The studies will determine
                  whether the present monitoring criteria are adequate to protect
                  human health and the environment.

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                  38                                  HAZARDOUS WASTES
A Iternative Technology
                  What additional information is needed to develop, evaluate, or
                  support alternatives to land disposal of wastes?

                  The current trend is toward eliminating land disposal of certain
                  classes of untreated  hazardous wastes. The banning of these
                  wastes from  land disposal  could  require proven  alternative
                  technologies  for treating or recycling the waste materials.
                  Although many  of  these technologies now exist,  there are
                  numerous questions regarding  their effectiveness on  specific
                  wastes and their capacity to treat  the anticipated volumes of
                  hazardous wastes.

                  The Agency's research program on alternative technologies
                  consists of a broad program to assess the environmental impacts
                  of  the major alternatives now under development,  and in
                  selected instances to  support the evaluation of processes found
                  by the Agency to offer substantial improvements over conven-
                  tional  hazardous waste disposal methods. These evaluations,
                  together with existing data, will form the basis for treatment
                  standards to  be promulgated by the Agency.

                  The major research  activities will  consist  of the performance
                  evaluation of individual treatment processes and combinations
                  of processes  at pilot  or field-scale tests. This program is to be
                  based  initially on a  matrix  of waste types and  technologies.
                  Initial emphasis will  be on the priority technologies and waste
                  streams identified by the Office of Solid  Waste, followed by
                  other techniques for processing potentially banned wastes. The
                  nine technology areas are biological treatment, activated carbon,
                  incineration,  neutralization,  oxidation, precipitation, reuse/
                  recycle, solidification and dechlorination.
Personnel Health and Safety
                   What data are  needed to ensure  the  health  of  waste-site
                   personnel?

                   EPA personnel are directly involved as supervisors  or project
                   managers at hazardous waste sites, chemical-release investiga-
                   tions and  cleanup operations where the use of  protective
                   clothing and  other safety equipment is mandatory.  These
                   operations  are anticipated to  expand significantly as  more
                   Superfund remedial actions are undertaken. In addition, EPA
                   has the responsibility to regulate  and  certify  appropriate
                   protective  equipment for agricultural workers  exposed  to
                   hazardous chemicals.

                   Promising new protective clothing and other safety technology
                   for hazardous chemical activities will be subjected to laboratory
                   and field evaluations to determine their safety, efficiency, and
                   economics. In addition, field and laboratory test methods will
                   be studied and, if necessary, new methods will be developed to

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                   HAZARDOUS WASTES                                 39

                   evaluate protective clothing performance under a variety of
                   chemical challenges and operating conditions.

                   A chemical-protective ensemble will be subjected to testing and
                   evaluation to fully assess its safety while maintaining acceptable
                   comfort and  protection levels. Research  will also develop
                   permeability data on protective clothing material, protective
                   clothing test methods for the field and laboratory, and manuals
                   and guidelines describing these test results and new products in
                   order to assist users in making safe  and effective equipment
                   choices for a variety  of exposure situations. Research  will
                   continue with the development and testing of suitable respira-
                   tors, personal cooling devices and communications equipment
                   for personnel wearing full protection suits.
Control of Hazardous Releases
                   What new techniques are needed to adequately prevent, contain
                   and clean up accidental discharges of hazardous materials?

                   Accidental releases of oil and hazardous material to the land
                   and water  occur  frequently and constitute  a  significant
                   environmental hazard. Federal,  state and local  emergency
                   response  personnel require  improved  technologies for the
                   prevention and control of hazardous material releases to make
                   cost-effective, environmentally sound cleanup decisions.

                   A major area of uncertainty is  in  the use of chemicals and
                   dispersants for oil and hazardous release cleanup. Laboratory
                   and field evaluations  of chemicals  used will  be made to
                   determine their cost effectiveness,  application methods and
                   environmental side effects. The Oil and Hazardous Materials
                   Simulated Environmental Test Tank (OHMSETT), located in
                   Edison, New  Jersey, will  be utilized in these evaluations. In
                   cooperation  with  other federal  agencies, OHMSETT will
                   continue to be used to test and evaluate the latest developments
                   in oil spill containment and cleanup equipment and methods.
                   This unique facility provides these agencies as well as states with
                   the knowledge on what equipment to purchase and how to use it
                   cost-effectively.

                   A continuing effort throughout this period will be the evaluation
                   of new technologies for the prevention and cleanup of releases.
                   Innovative new systems will be sought, and if shown to be
                   feasible, field-evaluated.
Quality A ssurance
                   What measures  are needed to  assure  the  reliability  and
                   consistency of techniques and data  used in  support  of the
                   hazardous waste program?

                   Quality  assurance support  provided to  federal and state
                   laboratories participating in  activities associated with RCRA

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                  40                                 HAZARDOUS WASTES

                  will continue to expand, as will quality control and calibration
                  standards for larger numbers of chemicals.  Evaluations  of
                  laboratory performance based on the analyses of blind samples
                  and on on-site laboratory visits will be increased in number and
                  scope. Reference materials for a wide range of chemicals in
                  complex solid and liquid matrices will be prepared using both
                  naturally occurring and synthetic materials. Specialized training
                  and technical support programs will be initiated to help state
                  laboratories rapidly improve their capabilities to use RCRA
                  analytical methods in support of state monitoring programs.

                  Representative and valid test samples and improved quality of
                  sample  analyses are also  critical in  site assessments. These
                  activities include prior evaluation of contractor laboratories to
                  conduct required analyses, provision of quality  control and
                  calibration standards, provision of standard reference chemi-
                  cals, and support of an independent referee laboratory to assist
                  with testing new analytical protocols and resolving particularly
                  complex  analytical  problems.  Support of  field sampling
                  activities will include improving the statistical basis for sampling
                  programs, ensuring that problems of sample contamination are
                  minimized and reducing delays in processing samples.

                  Emphasis will continue  on improving analytical methods and
                  documenting their capability to assess the chemical constituents
                  of waste samples. Periodic reports describing available analyt-
                  ical methods, the state of the inter-laboratory validation of these
                  methods, and the expected performance of the methods will be
                  widely  disseminated  to EPA  and  state  laboratories and
                  contractors. In  addition to methods that have been formally
                  adopted by EPA  for use in the hazardous waste or  other
                  regulatory programs, the reports will  identify  methods  in
                  various stages of development by the scientific community.
Regulatory Support
                  What technical  information  is needed  to support  the land
                  disposal and treatment programs and the regulations governing
                  incineration of hazardous wastes?

                  Historically, land disposal has been a commonly employed
                  technique for disposal of hazardous wastes. In order to better
                  provide environmentally safe control technology for hazardous
                  waste land disposal, a system  of improved control technology
                  options will be developed within the next few years.

                  Land disposal will not be a "one-time" approval process.
                  Technological advances could  require a continuing application
                  of research to support not only the initial permit decisions, but
                  the development of improved monitoring techniques and the
                  scientific basis for future regulatory modifications.     :

                  As the Agency moves to ban certain wastes from land disposal,
                  various incineration methods are likely to become increasingly
                  popular.  EPA's  Regional  Offices  and the states will require

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HAZARDOUS WASTES                                  41

technical information and assistance regarding the performance
capabilities of hazardous waste incinerators to enable them to
prepare permits under RCRA. Reliable, economical, realtime
measurement methods are needed to allow enforcement officials
to determine whether  thermal destruction  facilities  are  in
compliance with the RCRA standards. Ensuring the safety of
hazardous waste thermal destruction  processes requires that
methods be developed to predict performance, increase reliabil-
ity through improved control of operational parameters and
avoid conditions  which produce  hazardous  combustion  by-
products. Extensive technical data are also needed to develop
regulations and permitting approaches for the treatment of
hazardous waste in high-temperature industrial processes. Data
are needed on improved control methods to provide a technical
basis for implementation of revised incinerator standards.

 Research in thermal destruction will be on comprehensive
laboratory  and pilot-scale investigations to determine easily
monitored  parameters that can  be correlated with  waste-
destruction  performance.  Emphasis  will  be  placed  upon
developing methods that will assist enforcement officials as well
as facility operators in determining the onset of process failure
and avoiding emission of hazardous combustion products. This
research will confirm these relationships and perfect monitoring
techniques for measuring key parameters.

Guidance manuals to meet established RCRA standards for
best operating practices of thermal destruction facilities will be
produced. Of particular importance will be the development of
reliable cost-effective techniques for real-time  monitoring of
facility performance. Standards on the use of these techniques
will be provided to Regional Offices and state enforcement and
permitting officials. Rapid  compliance-assessment techniques
will be developed and operating methods to control emissions of
hazardous products of incomplete combustion will  be deter-
mined.

The performance-validation approach  will be applied towards
the disposal options for landfills, surface impoundment waste
piles  and underground  mines. Control technologies to  be
validated include cover systems, dike and slope stability, clay
soil liners,  synthetic liners, pollution  collection systems and
waste stabilization practices. In conjunction with these studies,
the identification of pollutant leaching from surface impound-
ments will be required, especially for dioxin, contaminated soils
and residues from new alternative technology systems.

 New technical guidance documents will be developed to enable
the regulated community and permitting officials  to better
prepare and review land disposal permit applications  and to
assure that the  performance criteria are met. EPA's research
program will also continue to provide direct technical support
to federal and  state regulators in cases where supplemental
scientific support is needed. Remote sensing data, including
both  historical  and current aerial imagery,  will continue to

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                  42                                 HAZARDOUS WASTES

                  provide an indispensable tool in assessing RCR A sites and in the
                  identification and assessment of uncontrolled  dump sites.
                  Interpreted photographs and multispectral scanner data assist
                  in bringing action against illegal dumpers, determining priorities
                  for remedial action and guiding entry into particularly hazard-
                  ous areas. They also provide excellent documentation on the
                  state of clean-up operations. General and site-specific guidance
                  on the use of geophysical techniques  for locating monitoring
                  wells, for direct identification of buried wastes and containment
                  plumes and for  assessing  subsurface features that relate to
                  remedial actions  will be expanded as this technology  becomes
                  more widely used. Geographical  information systems will be
                  used to combine aerial imagery and subsurface monitoring data
                  together with soil, vegetation and other types of data that give a
                  comprehensive perspective to the status of sites. Engineering
                  support will be provided on characterizing wastes,  geology,
                  hydrology and soil conditions as they pertain to the feasibility of
                  alternative approaches to conducting  remedial action. Design
                  plans, feasibility studies and performance specifications devel-
                  oped as the basis for remedial action will be reviewed.

                  Research addressing the issues identified in this chapter is likely
                  to continue for  several  years.  Monitoring  and analytical
                  techniques  and procedures will  continue to be  improved,
                  thereby lowering detection limits while reducing the costs of
                  sample analysis. Improved monitoring and analytic procedures
                  will facilitate implementation of both the RCRA and Superfund
                  programs by allowing more state and private  laboratories to
                  participate  in the programs,  increasing the overall  analytic
                  capacity available and improving the overall ability to detect the
                  presence of problem chemicals before  they threaten human
                  health or the environment.

                  Research supporting implementation of the National Dioxin
                  Strategy will continue, but the magnitude of the effort will be
                  largely dependent on the findings of the initial phases of the
                  program. Specifically, the Agency will adjust its level  of effort
                  depending upon the extent to which dioxin contamination is
                  found and  the significance of its health  and  environmental
                  effects. Additional research support will be undertaken to assess
                  the risks  associated with dioxin  isomers  other than 2,3,7,8-
                  TCDD, as  well  as  on some  of the homologs,  such  as
                  dibenzofurans.

                  As a result of Subtitle C of RCRA, EPA will promulgate
                  standards for monitoring existing underground storage tanks.
                  Monitoring systems will be developed to determine the location
                  and extent of leaks from these tanks. In addition, remote sensing
                  imagery will be utilized to conduct an inventory of the existing
                  tanks.
Summary of Long-Term  Trends
                  Research to characterize the potential exposure and effects
                  posed by hazardous wastes will not only continue into the next

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HAZARDOUS WASTES                                 43

decade, but will likely be an area of significant growth. In order
to come to grips with the hazardous waste problem and to be
able to answer the questions and concerns of the general public,
much  will have  to  be learned  regarding the  behavior of
hazardous wastes released into the environment and their effects
on human health. Initial emphasis will be on  assessing the
potential for exposure via air, water and subsurface routes that
result from various disposal practices. Although land disposal
of many compounds could ultimately be banned, other options
will pose different risks that must be identified and quantified.
Also, health  tests for  predicting  specific  effects from  waste
streams will be essential to the regulatory program.

Development and evaluation of alternatives to land disposal of
wastes will remain a high priority for the Agency and private
industry. Exploration of alternatives is only in the beginning
stages and much more research is needed in order for them to be
available  on  a large scale to replace conventional  disposal.
Alternative treatments  and disposal technologies will require
extensive  testing and  performance  information which  will
require research well into the next decade.

Research support for remedial actions and removal of hazardous
materials accidently released into the environment will continue.
The complexities  involved in  assessing  hazards, choosing
cleanup options, overseeing cleanup  operations  and ensuring
the safety of public health demand  that highly  capable  and
knowledgeable technical support staff be provided through the
duration  of the Agency's emergency response activities.

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                                                                        45
Multimedia Energy
                  The overall goal of the multimedia  energy research  and
                  development program is to provide the scientific and technical
                  information necessary to support the Agency's permitting and
                  standard-setting processes, and to allow for the development
                  and utilization of energy  sources in  an environmentally
                  acceptable  manner.  Research  will be  conducted  to better
                  understand the phenomenon of acid deposition and  provide
                  information upon which mitigation decisions may be made,
                  expand EPA's knowledge of the performance, reliability, and
                  cost of  the limestone  injection multistage  burner (LIMB)
                  control technology, and characterize and evaluate synthetic
                  fuels discharges.

                  Research on acid deposition is coordinated through the National
                  Acid Precipitation Assessment Program (NAPAP), which is
                  administered by the Interagency Task Force on Acid Precipita-
                  tion. EPA is one of three joint-chairs of the Interagency Task
                  Force, and has the lead role  in the aquatic effects,  control
                  technology and  policy assessment  research areas. The term
                  "acid rain" means the atmospheric deposition of acidic  or acid-
                  forming  compounds in either their dry or wet form. These
                  compounds exist in the atmosphere as gases or aerosol particles
                  containing sulfur oxides (SOX), nitrogen oxides (NOX), hydrogen
                  chloride, sulfuric acid, nitric acid and certain sulfate and nitrate
                  compounds. While scientists generally agree that these com-
                  pounds are responsible for  deposition of varying degrees of
                  acidity, many questions still remain about the causes, effects,
                  and methods of mitigating or controlling acid deposition.  The
                  objective of acid deposition research is to  develop the necessary
                  data to fully understand the sources and characteristics of acid
                  deposition as well as the extent of damage or potential damage.
                  This information is essential  to develop effective corrective
                  strategies.

                  A second major research area  is the promotion of innovative
                  cost-effective energy-related pollution control technologies. A
                  promising  area is the development of the "limestone injection
                  multistage burner"(LIMB) emission-reduction technology. The
                  LIMB combines SOX control with simultaneousNOXcontrol by
                  using a mixture of pulverized coal and limestone in a low-NOx
                  burner. This technology may  lower the capital cost  of  SOX
                  control by a factor of 3 to 4 and annual operating costs by 50
                  percent.

                  To be accepted as a possible acid rain mitigation  control
                  technology alternative, LIMB  has to be  demonstrated by the

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                  46                                 MULTIMEDIA ENERGY

                  end of  this decade. The EPA-sponsored  cooperative test
                  programs with industry and the State of Ohio on a  105 mw
                  wall-fired boiler will be completed in 1989.

                  The third research area is the development and evaluation of
                  data on synthetic fuel processes, including the characterization
                  of discharges,  and the assessment of  emission-reduction
                  technologies for mitigating these impacts. These efforts assist
                  industry and permitting officials in identifying problems which
                  might impede the  commercialization of the industry while
                  ensuring the quality of the environment.
Major Research  Issues

Emissions Inventories of Acid Precursors
                  How can emissions inventories be made more responsive to acid
                  rain modeling and assessment needs?

                  Current emission rates for major categories of man-made acid
                  deposition precursors are known with reasonable accuracy at
                  the national level.  However, atmospheric transport models
                  under development will require  improvements in spatial and
                  temporal resolution of emissions estimates to be consistent with
                  the detailed atmospheric chemistry treated by these models. The
                  emission of ammonia and alkaline dust from natural sources
                  and man-made environments must  be quantified in order to
                  properly use transport models. Without emissions data that
                  match the model resolution, these models cannot be validated
                  and  used  with  confidence. Carefully  validated  emissions
                  inventories for individual states  would be required for future
                  implementation of any additional emissions-control strategies.
                  Depending upon the form future emissions controls may take,
                  additional work would be required to better define the relevant
                  emissions from each affected state in a specified baseline year.

                  Even greater uncertainties exist in any attempts to project future
                  emissions, the effect of possible emissions-control requirements
                  and their probable costs. The mix of emissions sources in any
                  specific region may also change with time. The capability exists
                  to predict such changes over the next decade or two.

                  Substantially more precise quantification of emissions rates will
                  require the creation of new data bases on emissions factors (rate
                  of emissions per unit of economic activity) developed through a
                  concerted measurement program. For some source categories, it
                  will be necessary to make these measurements independently for
                  different regions of the country to account  for climatic and
                  technological variations. Compilation of emissions  activities
                  will be combined with  the  improved  emissions factors  to
                  calculate emissions  with the requisite resolution.  Natural-
                  emissions studies will focus  primarily on the basic sciences
                  governing the emission and transport of all chemical precursor

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                   MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                47

                  species, and on improving the quantitative emissions estimates
                  of ammonia and alkaline dusts.

                  Efforts to project future emissions rates and to estimate the cost
                  of alternative emissions-control strategies are dependent upon
                  the development or improvement of models which replicate the
                  behavior of each important "emitting sector" of the economy.
                  Resolution  of these questions  will give policy-makers more
                  insight into the relative urgency of the demand to control
                  emissions. Improved models will also reduce confusion over the
                  cost of any specified emissions-control strategy. These cost
                  estimates need to  be made consistently, with methods which
                  have  been  fully reviewed by the engineering  and economic
                  communities.  Emissions estimates  will shift  towards  more
                  reliance on actual data and detailed emissions models than on
                  emissions-inventory development.


Atmospheric Processes Affecting A cidDeposition

                   How can the  transport, chemical transformation, deposition
                  processes and the  exposure of ecologically sensitive areas and
                  man-made materials be determined? The transport, chemical
                  transformation, and deposition processes associated with acid
                  deposition must be investigated on both the regional and local
                  scales.  These  processes and  the  resultant  source-receptor
                  relationships are not so well defined that reliable estimates of the
                  impacts of a given source or control strategy can be determined.
                  Both an understanding of these processes and reliable numerical
                  representation  of the cause/effect  relationships  must  be
                  developed.

                  Source-Receptor Relationships. The development of control
                  strategies to mitigate acidic  deposition requires a means of
                  determining source culpability. Significant uncertainties exist in
                  the present understanding of the  transport, chemical trans-
                  formation, and deposition processes associated with the delivery
                  of acidic substances to ecologically sensitive areas. Methods are
                  required to assess the relative importance of local versus distant
                  sources of emissions.

                  A Regional Acid Deposition Model (RADM) is currently being
                  developed using both laboratory and field data. RADM is being
                  developed as an assembly of model components (modules or
                  submodels) to simulate transport, dispersion, chemical trans-
                  formation, precipitation scavenging and dry deposition. These
                  modules will be updated and revised as the uncertainties in the
                  processes become better understood and characterized.

                  Local/Distant Deposition from Sources. The objective of this
                  area of investigation is to determine the relative importance of
                  local as opposed to  remote impacts of major point and area
                  sources. Currently, there are  limited data on the influence of
                  frontal storms, convective storms and urban areas on acidic wet
                  deposition. Thus, it is necessary to assess the processes relating

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                  48                                 MULTIMEDIA ENERGY

                  to the transport, chemical transformation, precipitation scav-
                  enging, cloud chemistry and deposition of acidic substances and
                  their precursors on the region.

                  Comprehensive sampling  of air  quality and  precipitation
                  chemical quality of frontal storms around a large urban area will
                  be  conducted.  To develop information that  can  be used  to
                  provide assessments of materials damage, measurements of the
                  distribution of gaseous sulfur dioxide and wet  deposition of
                  hydrogen ions  as well  as  the location and magnitude  of
                  maximum concentrations of chemical species in ambient air and
                  precipitation will be determined. These mesoscale modeling and
                  assessment efforts will be coordinated with the development of
                  the Regional Acid Deposition Model (RADM) such that the
                  regional  and  mesoscale models  are  both  consistent  and
                  compatible.

                  Measurements  of Chemical Characteristics  of Cloud  and
                  Mountain Forest Exposure. Throughout the primary regions
                  affected by acid deposition, there are no routine measurements
                  in the vertical dimension of gases and particles either in clear air,
                  or of these constituents plus droplet chemistry in clouds. The
                  uncertainties caused by the lack of data for mountain ecosystems
                  hamper the investigations of the mechanisms of tree dieback
                  and  of reduced growth rates at  higher elevations. These
                  observed effects are very pronounced at higher elevations in the
                  East, and appear to increase in severity with increasing elevation.

                  If possible, monitoring stations will be established on the slopes
                  and summits of selected mountains and will be co-located with
                  forestry research stations. Samples from the network of forestry
                  research and monitoring stations will be analyzed and archived
                  by  a central laboratory. Development and standardization of
                  monitoring instruments to perform reliably under the physically
                  demanding conditions at these elevations will be required. A
                  quality assurance and control program will be implemented to
                  ensure  the long-term  usefulness of these   data  and  their
                  intercomparability among sites.

                  Measurements  of air  and cloud  droplet chemistry will  be
                  provided  as functions  of  time,  geographic location,  and
                  elevation. Such observations will provide information on trends
                  with time and will be used to address the effects observed upon
                  mountain forest ecosystems.  The observations will provide a
                  means of estimating the exposure of mountain forest ecosystems
                  to acid deposition by cloud droplets and other pollutants that
                  may affect such ecosystems.
Dry-A cid Deposition Monitoring
                  What is the best method to obtain dry deposition monitoring
                  data comparable to that from the existing National Trends
                  Network (NTN) which concentrates on wet deposition?

                  The acid rain research programs are compiling a large volume of
                  deposition data  from  wet precipitation. There is also some

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                   MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                 49

                   evidence that dry sources of acid deposition in the form of dust
                   and humidity constitute a potentially significant component of
                   total deposition. However, very little data exist on dry deposi-
                   tion due to the difficulty in developing and deploying accurate
                   monitoring  instruments.  Another  problem  is  that the dry
                   deposition rate varies with surface  cover and topography,  as
                   well as with environmental variables  such as wind speed and
                   humidity. As a result, the actual contribution of dry deposition
                   in most areas is only estimated within an order of magnitude.

                   The prototype monitors now being evaluated do not measure
                   dry deposition fluxes directly. Instead, they measure ambient air
                   concentrations and use empirical factors to estimate the dry
                   deposition rate. These monitors will be deployed in a network,
                   in many cases co-located with wet  deposition collectors. The
                   samples will be collected and analyzed in a central laboratory.
                   The first few years will  be dedicated to  installing the network
                   and making it fully operational. Once this is accomplished the
                   research  emphasis  will be  developing direct methods  of
                   measuring the dry deposition rate.
A quatic Effects of A cid Deposition
                   What  future changes  in  surface water chemistry will  occur
                   assuming current levels of acid deposition remain constant, and
                   what is  the extent and rate-of-change to aquatic resources
                   stemming from acid deposition?

                   The effects of acidification are most pronounced in sensitive
                   aquatic systems. Acidic deposition is believed to be a major
                   contributing factor in episodic depressions of pH resulting, in
                   some cases, in  fish kills  and other  biological disturbances.
                   Historical assessments have been uneven and of limited utility
                   due to differences in sampling and analytical methodologies,
                   potentially biased selection of samples, variable effects among
                   different aquatic systems and a relatively small data base. The
                   scientific uncertainties  surrounding the aquatic effects of acidic
                   deposition can be divided into  several major  categories: the
                   extent of sensitive or  acidic surface waters  in the U.S.; the
                   detection of long-term trends  in surface water  chemistry;
                   modeling changes in surface water chemistry; and the biological
                   effects  associated  with  surface-water acidification.  These
                   uncertainties can be translated into  questions of extent, rate,
                   and magnitude of change  attributable to acidic deposition.

                   National Surface Water Survey. In  order to decrease the
                   uncertainties related to the aquatic effects of acidic deposition,
                   the  EPA, in cooperation with the NAPAP Aquatic Effects
                   Group,  is undertaking a National Surface  Water Survey
                   (NS WS). The NS WS is a field project in three distinct phases to
                   document the  chemical  and  biological status of  lakes and
                   streams in regions potentially sensitive to acidic deposition. The
                   Survey also will select  regionally representative surface waters
                   based  on chemical, physical,  and  biological  parameters  to

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50                                 MULTIMEDIA ENERGY

quantify future changes in aquatic resources through a long-
term monitoring program.

The first  phase of the NSWS  is designed to quantify the
chemistry of lakes and streams in areas now believed to contain
the majority of low-alkalinity waters. This phase of the survey
will determine  what percentage of lakes and streams in the
susceptible regions are acidic or have low alkalinity. Phase II
will quantify the biological components and the seasonal and
spatial variability of a regionally representative subset of lakes
and streams. These data should explain what percentage of
lakes are devoid offish, what chemical characteristics of surface
waters are associated with the presence or absence of fish and
what temporal variability can be  expected in representative
surface waters. The final phase will define those representative
lakes and streams as regionally representative sites for a long-
term monitoring  program to quantify  future changes in the
chemistry and  biology of aquatic ecosystems.  The primary
objective  of this phase  is to determine what chemical  or
biological changes are occurring in regionally representative
surface waters and at what rate.

Long-Term Trends. The detection of long-term trends in surface
water chemistry is critical to understanding the response rates of
natural systems to acidic inputs from  the atmosphere and how
fast natural systems might acidify due to natural causes. EPA's
long-term monitoring sites have been placed in areas in which
there is little or no disturbance from human activities and which
are remote from point sources of air pollution. However,  their
regional representativeness is not currently known. The National
Surface Water  Survey will establish  the criteria for regional
representativeness and in coordination with existing monitoring
sites will improve regional tracking of the responses of surface
waters to changes in acidic inputs.

Surface Water Chemistry Models.  The production  of reliable
models of the temporal changes in surface water chemistry due
to acidic  inputs is  one of the  most important goals of the
aquatic-effects research program. These models must be closely
coordinated with the research in the terrestrial effects program,
under  whose auspices most of the watershed-level and soil
processes work will be conducted. The most important effort in
the modeling of surface water chemistry will be the estimation of
the extent of direct response and delayed response systems in the
U.S. This difference between response times is expected on the
basis  of soil,  bedrock and  hydrological differences among
systems.  Therefore,  some watersheds  will be  in dynamic
equilibrium  with acidic inputs from  the atmosphere and will
respond quickly,  while others will exhibit significant sulfur
retention or contain appreciable buffering capacities and will
respond only after long delays. If direct response systems prevail
in sensitive areas of the country, then no additional changes in
surface water chemistry would be expected, given no change in
present acidic loading rates. However,  if  delayed response
systems predominate, then more waters may  become acidic due

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                   MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                 51

                   to acidic deposition even if current loading rates do not change.
                   This research effort will have a clear impact on the immediacy of
                   the need for possible additional controls on sulfur emissions.

                   Biological Effects. The biological effects of acidified surface
                   waters have historically been one of the issues driving the debate
                   over acid rain. Initial research will establish the correlations
                   between surface water chemistry and the status of fish popula-
                   tions.  Fish populations may decline or disappear for many
                   different  reasons, however, so  these correlations  must  be
                   accompanied by the necessary research to establish cause-and-
                   effect relationships. In order to do that, EPA will continue work
                   that has  already  begun  on the dose-response  relationships
                   between fish populations and concentrations  of toxic metals
                   (such as aluminum) that  are thought to  be elevated in acidic
                   waters. EPA  will also pursue work on  the response of fish
                   populations  and  other ecological  endpoints in artificially
                   acidified lakes as part of several large-scale on-going or planned
                   studies. These studies will increase the certainty of the  actual
                   extent of  declines of fish populations and other ecological
                   effects associated with acidic deposition.
Terrestrial Effects of A cid Deposition
                  What is the extent, rate, magnitude and  cause  of observed
                  effects to watersheds, soil properties and forests as a result of
                  acid deposition?

                  Studies in the terrestrial effects of acidic  deposition include
                  effects on watersheds and soil properties and effects on forests.
                  The major issues have to do with whether effects can currently
                  be shown or suspected, their extent, their magnitude and the
                  rate at which they occur.

                  Watersheds and Soil Processes. Many processes within water-
                  sheds affect the rate and final magnitude of the acidification of
                  surface waters. Watershed bedrock and  surficial  geology,
                  system  hydrology and biological processes are all important
                  determinants of the response of surface waters to acidic inputs
                  from the atmosphere.  Acidification of surface  water  is a
                  watershed-level phenomenon, and full understanding of all the
                  biogeochemical processes involved in watersheds is not expected
                  for some years. However,  EPA does expect  to  expand its
                  knowledge of the  processes to the point of more accurately
                  predicting the effects of changing acidic inputs. EPA's research
                  strategy for the next five years is two-fold. First, it will accelerate
                  the process-level research in  the  geochemical and  physical
                  characteristics of soils that  are important  in the response of
                  surface waters.  Second, EPA, in  collaboration  with other
                  agencies participating in NAPAP, will establish a network of
                  carefully monitored watersheds in  sensitive regions of the
                  country. Data will  be collected  on all the relevant physical,
                  chemical and biological parameters associated with surface
                  water quality.

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                  52                                MUL TIM EDI A EN ERG Y

                  One result from this research effort will be improved predictive
                  capabilities for the responses of watersheds to acidic inputs from
                  the atmosphere and better ability to forecast the magnitude and
                  rates of change in any relevant watershed due to changes in
                  acidic inputs.

                  A second result  will be the establishment  of a network of
                  carefully monitored  watersheds for the purpose of detecting
                  trends  in watershed  responses, especially changes  in surface
                  water quality that may be due to acidic inputs.  However, natural
                  systems are so variable that statistically reliable trends in surface
                  water  quality will take  a much  longer  period  than  will
                  improvements in predictive capabilities.

                  Forests.  Preliminary data on foliar damage  and growth
                  reductions in several species of trees in different forest ecotypes
                  reveal  surprising similarities to more severe conditions  that
                  currently exist in Germany and central Europe. However, there
                  is no clear indication of which of many possible mechanisms is
                  most important. To establish cause-and-effect mechanisms will
                  require a significant research effort and will likely continue into
                  the 1990s.

                  EPA will be implementing a survey  of forests in the U.S.
                  designed to measure the extent of currently unexplained forest
                  dieback and decline. While this survey cannot determine the
                  causes, it should provide some estimates of the current  and
                  potential impacts of this problem.

                  EPA will also accelerate research designed to identify the cause-
                  and-effect mechanisms of forest changes and the  interactive
                  effects  of air pollutants associated  with acidic  deposition in
                  order to fully understand the relative  contribution  that acidic
                  inputs  themselves have.

                  Near-term results will be limited to an improved understanding
                  of the  extent of unexplained changes in U.S. forests. In the
                  longer term, EPA hopes to identify the roles acid deposition and
                  associated air pollutants have in  affecting forests, and what
                  additional air quality controls might be needed, if any.
Materials Damage from A cid Deposition
                  What is the quantitative relationship between acid deposition
                  and damage to structures, buildings, and other materials?

                  Qualitative relationships between acid deposition and resulting
                  damage have been identified for a few materials  under various
                  conditions of exposure. The issue now is to quantify the rate of
                  damage as a function of acid deposition, and  to extend the
                  development of damage functions to other materials. The
                  assessment of the overall impact of acid deposition on materials
                  also requires knowledge of the distribution of exposed  building
                  components.

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                  MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                53

                  The  damage  functions  are  being compiled  from existing
                  literature, retrospective analysis of exposed materials, physical
                  chemistry theory, chamber studies and field exposure studies.
                  As the basic mechanisms of these damage functions become
                  better understood, the effort will shift to predictive models of
                  materials  damage  that will  allow accelerated  studies  in
                  controlled-climate chambers. The studies will also be extended
                  to  more complex systems of materials, such as  reinforced
                  concrete, brick and mortar, and roofing systems.

                  A  mathematical model of materials distribution will  be
                  developed  from actual  samples in several urban  areas. To
                  complete this inventory, materials associated with special uses
                  such as transmission towers  and high-rise buildings will  be
                  compiled from other data sources.
Acid Deposition Control Technologies
                  What current and emerging technologies exist for reducing
                  emissions of SOX, NO* and other acid deposition precursors
                  from fossil fuel combustion sources and industrial processes?
                  What are the costs and benefits of these technologies when they
                  are applied to new and existing emission sources?


                  The National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program, Control
                  Technologies Task Group (H) has designed a program consisting
                  of (1)  monitoring of relevant  Federal  control  technology
                  developmental research activities of the EPA, the Department
                  of Energy (DOE), and the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA);
                  and (2) implementing selected studies to assess the cost and
                  performance of candidate control technologies for  reducing
                  emissions of acid deposition precursors. EPA's research efforts
                  will be focused on developing  and  assessing methods and
                  information on reducing emissions. This effort will include:

                  1.   Developing engineering cost and performance information
                      for current and near-term emerging SOX and NOX control
                      technologies that could be applied to existing and new fossil
                      fuel sources.

                  2.   Assessing the current status of commercial coal cleaning
                      (sulfur and ash removal) efforts as well as the potential and
                      cost for further reductions in SOX through expansion of this
                      technology.

                  3.   Developing a methodology for evaluating the feasibility of
                      control technology options  for  the 50-100 major  SOX
                      sources in the United States.

                  4.   Developing engineering cost and performance information
                      on current control technologies that could be applied  to
                      existing and new industrial processes such as non-ferrous
                      smelting and iron and steel manufacturing.

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Assessment
                  54                                 M UL TIM ED IA ENERGY

                  5.   Assessing  the  technical considerations  and engineering
                      costs associated with retrofitting the limestone injection
                      multistage burner (LIMB) process to existing coal-fired
                      boilers, including an evaluation of boiler type and particu-
                      late control requirements.

                  6.   Developing engineering cost and performance information
                      for technologies which  will control volatile  organic com-
                      pound  (VOC)  emissions which may contribute to acid
                      deposition.
                  What existing mechanism(s) would best integrate acid deposi-
                  tion research information to provide policy-makers with the
                  ability to formulate timely and  cost-effective  decisions for
                  dealing with the acid deposition issues?

                  The goal of the assessment research program  is to develop
                  methods  for  comprehensive  assessments of acid deposition
                  evaluation  and control strategies. These methods will deal
                  quantitatively with the range of uncertainties around various
                  data and  their use. Developing methods to organize scientific
                  results and applying them early in the program will ensure that
                  the research results will be relevant to policy decisions.

                  Major acid  deposition assessments are scheduled for 1985,1987
                  and 1989. The 1985 report will encompass  an assessment of
                  current damage, an uncertainty analysis of key scientific areas,
                  the implications of these uncertainties to policy alternatives, and
                  a framework for the integrated assessment methodology to be
                  used in the  1987 and 1989 assessments.

                  Methods  for an Integrated Analysis of Acid Deposition. The
                  integrated analysis of acid deposition research in 1987 and 1989
                  requires  a  framework that  will  incorporate the following
                  elements into one comprehensive analysis: changes in emissions
                  and costs  associated with  alternative emissions strategies;
                  changes in  deposition  of substances in receptor regions of
                  interest; changes in effects related to changes in deposition; costs
                  and impacts of mitigation strategies; economic value of changes
                  in effects; systematic uncertainty analysis;  and methods for
                  conveying the results of this analysis  to policy-makers and
                  interested parties. The 1987 report will incorporate all of these
                  elements and linkages. It should be noted that the analysis may
                  still be limited in coverage and quality.  Data  and scientific
                  relationships  may not be available to include all relevant
                  pollutants,  types  of effects, and  regions in all steps  of the
                  assessment. The 1987 assessment will, however, demonstrate a
                  methodology which links the best available information in all of
                  the areas  in a consistent framework.

                  Estimating the Costs and Benefits of Reducing Acid Deposition.
                  Research is being  conducted to estimate the direct and indirect
                  costs of emission control and mitigation strategies. Work is also

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                  MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                 55

                  underway to add emissions and cost information for industrial
                  processes, mobile  sources  and residential and  commercial
                  sources. Integration of these policies will be conducted using the
                  Emission Strategy Integration Model (ESIM) which will accept
                  cost-emission curves and  solve for the minimum-cost fuel-
                  technology mix that is consistent with region-specific emissions
                  targets.

                  Benefits of Reduced Acid Deposition. The valuation of natural
                  resource changes is a challenging task due to the complexity of
                  theoretical and applied problems that will need to be addressed.
                  Studies  will  be conducted  to set values on the effects of acid
                  deposition on forests, crops, recreational  fishing, materials,
                  natural ecosystems, regional economic impacts, and ancillary
                  impacts such as effects on visibility.


Limestone Injection Multistage Burner (LIMB)

                  What demonstrations  of  LIMB  technology are needed  to
                  document its effectiveness  in reducing emissions of sulfur and
                  nitrogen oxides?

                  Large coal-fired steam generators are major emissions sources
                  of nitrogen oxides (NOX) and sulfur oxides (SO*). The EPA has
                  successfully  developed and demonstrated advanced low-NOx
                  burner technologies applicable to  this class of sources. Many
                  manufacturers are offering advanced burner technology for new
                  and/or  retrofit applications. An  outgrowth  of the low-NOx
                  burner development is an approach to achieve potentially lower
                  reductions of SOX and NOX at a significantly reduced cost (3 to 5
                  times less than flue gas desulfurization) for retrofit applications.
                  This LIMB  (Limestone  Injection  Burner)  approach involves
                  SOx-sorbent injection around the low-NOx  burners or at other
                  points in the boiler. To bring the technology to commercializa-
                  tion will require a full-scale demonstration on a utility boiler of
                  representative design. A demonstration of the technology is
                  scheduled to be completed  by 1990. This demonstration will be
                  conducted on a 105 MW wall-fired boiler that will be modified
                  to  accommodate  the LIMB  technology. To support  this
                  demonstration, research will be conducted  to determine what
                  effects the process parameters have on sorbent activation and
                  sulfur capture. Methods for obtaining highly reactive sorbents,
                  for optimizing reaction conditions to achieve maximum capture
                  and for minimizing sorbent costs continue to be developed.
Synthetic Fuels
                  What information or new technologies are needed to analyze or
                  mitigate potential environmental impacts associated with the
                  synfuels industry?

                  The entire synfuels energy area is in a state of change as a result
                  of erratic fluctuations in world petroleum supply and demand.
                  It appears that shifting national priorities will result in limited

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56                                 MULTIMEDIA ENERGY

near-term plant construction, but federal and private support
has already placed a number of large facilities in operation.
Depending on action by the U.S. Synthetic Fuels Corporation
(SFC), more commercial plants may be constructed. EPA is
assisting the SFC and project sponsors in the development of
plans for the environmental monitoring of unregulated pollu-
tants, as well as in the  compliance monitoring of pollutants
required by permits.

Data from S FC plants could be a primary source of information
for future control  technology assessments.  However, the
proprietary nature of developing technologies raise questions as
to the availability of certain data to the EPA. This uncertainty
requires that a continuing research effort be made to develop the
requisite information by other means. Such activities as small-
scale  testing of controls, evaluations of controls  on similar
facilities (refineries) and  engineering analyses  of available
control data shall have to be instituted.

There are  potentially  serious  environmental impacts  from
synthetic fuels development including air and water pollution
and solid wastes.

Air  Pollution. Air pollution  mitigation research will be
principally focused on the development or transfer of appropri-
ate sulfur control technologies.  Because of the relatively high
cost  of sulfur control  in  synfuels operations,  the level of
emissions control may determine the total production capacity
in certain regions, especially in the prime oil shale areas of Utah
and Colorado. EPA's research will concentrate on innovative
combustion approaches which  may spur  private sector initi-
atives. Other  significant air quality issues requiring further
research include  particulate-organic-matter emission during
startup  and  shutdown  and the extent to which  hazardous
volatile-organic-carbons can be controlled through the addition
of surface-active agents.

Water Pollution. The primary water pollution concern associ-
ated with synfuels is with the optimal treatment of wastewaters
including the possibility of zero discharge. Standard wastewater
treatment approaches such  as activated sludge can be affected
by a variety  of  extraction processes that  include solvent
stripping. When treated wastewater is used in cooling towers,
there  is the further potential  of contributing additional air
emissions. EPA is conducting research on organic constituents,
but more study is required to reduce the chance of unacceptable
emissions from cooling towers.

Solid Wastes.  Further  study  is  required to determine the
potential for hazardous conditions arising from the leaching or
evaporation of pollutants from synfuel wastes, especially'where
co-disposal of untreated wastewater with coal ash or oil shale
residues  is being considered. Oil shale processing produces
tremendous volumes of solid waste, exacerbated by difficult
stabilization  and  reclamation  conditions. Development and

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                  MULTIMEDIA ENERGY                                57

                  demonstration of technologies for effective cleanup and energy
                  recovery from abandoned coal gasification waste sites is another
                  solid waste priority.
Summary  of Long-Term Trends
                  The research to understand the phenomenon of acid deposition
                  and to provide a data and information base for policy-makers
                  could take a number of different directions as the next decade is
                  entered. The on-going interagency research program has a ten-
                  year mandate from  Congress which carries through 1990.
                  However,  both researchers and policy-makers realize that the
                  phenomenon is one  of the  most complex and  challenging
                  scientific problems. They generally recognize that, although the
                  accelerated research program will bring forth a multiplicity of
                  significant scientific findings by 1990 that will assist in policy-
                  making, it is  very unlikely that all needed information could be
                  generated by that time.

                  The long-term goals  of the acid deposition program are to
                  develop a number of products for policy-makers including:

                  • inventories and maps showing the magnitude and  extent of
                    receptors that have been affected or could be affected by acid
                    deposition;

                  • estimates  of the rate at which the magnitude and  extent of
                    effects or  potential effects might be changing;

                  • "target loadings" of acid deposition for different  receptors in
                    different regions of the country;

                  • quantification of the  contribution of local versus long-range
                    sources to acid deposition;

                  • source-receptor models that can indicate which long-range
                    sources or source regions contribute to acid deposition; and

                  • an operating methodology for quantifying in physical and
                    economic terms the effects from acid deposition under future
                    scenarios and for performing cost-benefit analyses of control
                    and mitigation strategies.

                  One of  the major obstacles which has delayed the  scientific
                  understanding of the acid deposition  phenomenon  and  the
                  formulation of control or mitigation options for acid deposition
                  is the lack of high quality data from  long-term  monitoring
                  programs and from continuously-monitored intensive research
                  sites. The  acid deposition research program has set  up such
                  monitoring  networks  for wet deposition.  Currently,  dry
                  deposition monitoring,  monitoring of lakes and  streams,
                  mountaintop cloud and  forest exposure-monitoring and water-
                  shed-monitoring programs are being initiated. These efforts will
                  be continued well into the future.

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58                                 MULTIMEDIA ENERGY

Scientific or policy developments could change the long-term
direction of the research program. Some possible developments
include: the scientific finding that part or all of the problem is
minor; the scientific finding that part or all of the problem is
getting  rapidly  worse or  much more widespread;  and/or
congressional or executive action requiring emissions reduction.
Such developments could bring about  a considerable shift in
emphasis in the research effort increasing the focus in one or
more areas.

Most of the energy-research control-technology issues in this
chapter focus on increased combustion of coal in an environ-
mentally acceptable manner. These activities will continue with
changing degrees of activity for individual technologies. In
addition, some activity will continue to focus on new technol-
ogies needed to analyze or mitigate environmental impacts
associated with the synthetic fuels.

A significant  near-term  issue  is the determination of how
current control technologies can be adapted  for acid deposition
applications.  Technologies currently being  utilized to achieve
NSPS compliance are costly and have a limited capability to be
used in existing facilities on a retrofit basis.  If additional acid-
precursor-emission reduction from existing sources is legislated,
improved lower-cost technological approaches will be required.
The use of the Limestone Injection Multistage Burner (LIMB)
technology is one of the approaches which is  being investigated.

EPA will develop information necessary to analyze or mitigate
potential environmental impacts associated with the synthetic
fuels industry. These impacts include air and water pollution
and solid wastes disposal. All of these pollutants will be assessed
and further study performed if problem areas are identified.

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                                                                        59
Pesticides  and  Toxics
                  EPA research in pesticides and toxic substances is directed
                  toward fulfilling the current and future needs of the Agency to
                  meet the provisions of the Toxic  Substances Control  Act
                  (TSCA), the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide
                  Act (FIFRA) and, to a limited extent the Federal Food, Drug,
                  and Cosmetic Act (FFDCA). The research program discussed
                  below will assist in the scientifically valid yet cost-effective
                  evaluation of the risks associated  with  pesticides  and the
                  manufacture of new chemicals, as well as those currently in use.
                  While several of the  issues scientifically  overlap with other
                  programs, the research  described here specifically relates to
                  pesticides and toxic substances.

                  EPA's pesticides and toxics research will continue to evaluate
                  health and ecological test methodologies, procedures to improve
                  the predictability of human risk estimates, exposure monitoring
                  systems,environmental fate and effect  methods, and environ-
                  mental risk assessments. Additional  research will develop and
                  evaluate release and  control methods for new and existing
                  chemicals, structure  activity relationships  as  predictors of
                  chemical fate and biological effects, and procedures for ensuring
                  the  human  and environmental safety of  the  products of
                  biotechnology.  The  potential  for contamination of ground
                  water discussed in the Water research chapter will be another
                  area of interest to the ongoing pesticides  and toxics research
                  program.
Major Research Issues

Test Method Development
                  What  new  procedures  or tests are needed to ensure that
                  industry's data on environmental or health effects are accurate,
                  reproducible and consistent?

                  The toxic substances and pesticides programs are unique in that
                  under TSCA  and  FIFRA, EPA must provide industry with
                  guidance to test chemicals and pesticides for potential hazards
                  to the public  health and environment.The  soundness of the
                  Agency's regulatory decisions on a chemical depends on qualita-
                  tive and quantitative scientific data from industry regarding
                  potential adverse environmental and human health effects of
                  exposure to the chemical. Although there are a variety of test
                  systems that could  be employed to screen for potential toxicity,
                  the sensitivity, reliability, cost and time constraints of these tests
                  vary widely. In order to base regulatory decisions on the best

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                  60                               PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS

                  possible data, carefully screened methods are developed and
                  approved by the Agency. These methods are incorporated into
                  regulatory guidelines for use by industry and others who must
                  evaluate the safety of chemicals.

                  ORD's health test methods research will focus on toxic hazards
                  in five areas:  reproductive  effects, neurotoxicity, immuno-
                  toxicity, mutagenic or carcinogenic effects, and genetically
                  inheritable disorders.

                  Research on methods for predicting environmental effects will
                  include the evaluation of existing methods and field studies.
                  This research will determine the sensitivity of available tests and
                  identify species for potential future test methods  development.
                  The  field tests will assist in  relating present test methods  to
                  impacts observed in ecosystems. However, major advances will
                  be required in our ability to relate single-species and generic
                  microcosm test data to actual ecosystem effects. In addition, our
                  understanding of comparative toxicology must be improved to
                  adequately relate  observed effects on one species to probable
                  effects on other species.
Human Health and Exposure
                  What  new  techniques  can  be developed  to  improve  the
                  predictability of human risk from exposure to pesticides and
                  other toxic substances?

                  EPA  will  conduct  research to  evaluate  newly developed
                  techniques for biological monitoring and chemical screening in
                  epidemiology, neuro-behavioral testing, radio-immune assays
                  and genotoxic measures  of DNA damage.  This includes the
                  development of measurable indicators at the molecular level, as
                  well as studies on metabolism to improve both dose estimates
                  and extrapolation techniques. These biological "markers" will
                  link chemical exposures to biological effects in an individual,
                  and will offer a powerful tool for biochemical epidemiology.
                  This technique  will  provide  information on the  amount  of
                  chemicals absorbed, stored, and excreted by the body, and will
                  permit the development of dose-response relationships. Where
                  possible, biological monitoring techniques and markers found
                  to be promising in animal studies will be evaluated by epidemi-
                  ological studies  done on occupationally exposed populations.

                  One of the primary goals of the program is to enable quantitative
                  extrapolations of chemical concentrations from  animals  to
                  humans. This effort will include research  to improve  the
                  precision  of mathematical dosimetry  models by  providing
                  experimental data to use as factors in the model.

                  Reproduction. Laboratory and clinical studies will  develop
                  methods to identify  chemicals affecting reproduction. These
                  efforts will focus on reproductive dysfunction  caused by
                  hormonal imbalance and its possible  link  to  environmental

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PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS                               61

chemicals.  In  cooperation with the  National  Academy  of
Sciences/National Research Council, EPA will assess current
knowledge of biological markers of reproductive dysfunction in
order to develop critical hypotheses concerning  the  inter-
relationships between reproductive health, biological markers,
and toxicity.

Inheritable Mutations. The sensitivity of germ  cells to toxic
materials potentially can affect future generations. EPA will
expand its research to identify chemicals which are capable of
damaging the gene  structure  of human chromosomes  with
resultant effects on fertilization, early pregnancy or implanta-
tion. This may contribute to understanding why human embryos
fail to develop normally.

Certain hereditary  disorders associated with chromosomal
damage have been linked to chemical exposure. Rodent model
systems for evaluating chemically induced gene alterations or
chromosome imbalance during the  fertilization cycle will  be
developed and evaluated. Using these techniques, efforts will be
made to identify  chemicals that have  the potential to  induce
chromosomal or inheritable mutations. The genetic basis of the
altered trait will be sought  to allow identification of mutated
sperm in the laboratory. Tests for mutations will be developed
to enable the Agency to identify and  evaluate the genotoxic
potential of environmental  chemicals and perhaps to account
for the incidence of spontaneous abortions in humans.

Neurotoxicity. The  development of biological indicators and
tests for neurotoxicity is divided into three interrelated parts: (1)
development of radio-immunoassays of proteins specific to the
nervous system as potential biochemical indicators of neuro-
toxicity; (2) development of methods  to evaluate the  neuro-
behavioral integrity of the  new-born which will include both
learning capability and electrophysiological thresholds; and (3)
field testing of a  behavioral test battery for assessing  neuro-
behavioral functions in human populations.

Extrapolating  from High-Dose  Exposure to  Low-Dose
Exposure. Animal toxicity testing generally is  conducted at
concentrations greater than the concentrations to which humans
are normally exposed. This research will allow more plausible
estimates of the dose-response curve at the lower concentrations.
These studies will initially focus on cancer and  mutagenicity.
Efforts  will be made to establish  the  relationship between
incidence of cancer and  mutations with the amount  of a
chemical or its metabolites attached to the cells'genetic material
(i.e., DNA).

Epidemiology.  The  epidemiological  research program will
provide information to assist in identifying and  regulating
existing chemicals which may  increase  human health risks.
EPA's research will focus on identifying potentially  hazardous
substances, evaluating biological measures and developing new
epidemiological and biostatistical methods.  These efforts will

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                  62                               PESTICIDES AND TOXICS

                  provide sensitive measures of adverse effects to organ systems as
                  well as a means of evaluating proposed risk-assessment models.

                  Existing records will be evaluated to identify occupational and
                  demographic groups which appear to be at increased risk of
                  birth defects,  cancers and  other environmentally related
                  disorders. Subsequent studies will determine if specific chemicals
                  may  be responsible for  observed  increases in disease rates.
                  Epidemiological comparisons  of  traditional  exposure and
                  response measures to newly developed biological methods will
                  also be implemented. Risk estimates extrapolated from animal
                  models will be compared to observed hazard  levels in appro-
                  priate human populations.
Exposure Monitoring
                  What monitoring methods are needed to provide information to
                  estimate human exposures?

                  Methodologies for measuring human exposure to environ-
                  mental pollution continue to evolve. Most of the  Agency's
                  previous monitoring efforts have focused on data collection to
                  document ambient conditions for enforcement purposes or on
                  conducting laboratory toxicological tests to determine human
                  health effects. In the past few years, however, some progress has
                  been made in determining the actual exposures of humans to
                  environmental  pollutants.  A modest exposure monitoring
                  program has been initiated, and methods development research
                  has become more sophisticated.

                  The objective of the exposure monitoring research program is to
                  develop the appropriate methodologies. This includes personal
                  monitoring  instrumentation,  analytical methods, population
                  sampling schemes, questionnaires and diaries, exposure models,
                  activity pattern data bases, quality assurance procedures, and
                  pilot field studies to determine, with known accuracy,  the
                  distribution of the population's exposures to  environmental
                  pollutants of concern to the Agency.

                  The data generated by these  methodologies can be used  to
                  improve both the quality of public health risk estimates and the
                  meaningfulness  of conventional data collected by existing
                  monitoring networks. The resulting exposure data also can be
                  used to develop and validate exposure models which allow the
                  Agency to evaluate the  impact on exposures  of alternative
                  regulatory strategies and national standards.

                  The  Total  Exposure Assessment  Methodology  (TEAM)
                  approach includes data collected  on the exposures of a popula-
                  tion to all environmental media (air, drinking water, food),
                  including estimates of "body burden" as  measured in  blood,
                  urine, and breath. TEAM methodology uses a respresentative
                  random sample of the population, stratified to reflect important
                  attributes with respect to pollutant exposure, that makes it
                  possible to extrapolate the findings to the much larger popu-

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PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS                               63

lation of a city or a region. Since 1979 TEAM studies have
successfully demonstrated the use of personal monitors to
measure the air  exposures of people  to  over 50  organic
compounds with particular  emphasis on  about  20 target
compounds, including several important  carcinogens. In the
future  the TEAM  methodology  will  be adapted to  other
chemicals by undertaking field studies to determine the exposure
of the general population to a variety of chemicals.

Planning also  is underway  for a long-range field monitoring
program that seeks to  consolidate  the  Agency's exposure
monitoring research capability and expertise into one metro-
politan  area, called  a Human Exposure Assessment Location
(HEAL). This program is international in scope, with each of
several participating nations designating its  own HEAL study
area and funding its own exposure monitoring field programs in
that area.  In each  HEAL,  similar statistical designs and
measurement methodologies would be applied, thus permitting
the findings from different countries to be  compared. Co-
ordination of this program is being supplied by the World
Health  Organization in Geneva, and each  HEAL  will be
designed to meet the sponsoring nation's most critical exposure
monitoring research need. By pooling scientific resources from
several  nations, the HEAL's program has the potential  for
significantly advancing our understanding of the actual expo-
sures of the population to toxic chemicals, thereby  increasing
the meaningfulness of data from existing monitoring programs
and improving the  quality of estimates of the risk of these
pollutants to public health.

The Exposure Monitoring Test Site(EMTS) is being established
to provide opportunities for exposure methods testing (testing
the methods  and instrumentation)  at  a well-characterized
geographical location. Use  of a single site is economical and
provides for important  background  information  regarding
industrialization,  routine environmental and public health
monitoring, demography, and geography to be considered in
methods evaluation. In 1984 the site criteria were defined and
several  candidate sites selected for  consideration.  In  1985  a
candidate will be selected and verified as being suitable for use as
the EMTS. Efforts to conduct projects at the site will begin after
the characterization process.

Research is being conducted to develop a quantitative analytical
method to detect azo dyes in environmental media. This method
will be  used to determine how well industrial and  municipal
water treatment systems deal with these dyes and whether or not
there is  human and environmental exposure. In 1984 analytical
methods were evalauted. Modifications in extraction procedures
will be made in 1985 to improve these methods. Concurrently,
joint efforts will  be made  to provide analytical support to
environmental  engineers using these  dyes to  evalaute  the
efficacy of water treatment systems to deal with these chemicals.
This cooperative  research may be expanded to research  for
other chemicals in 1986.

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                  64                               PESTICIDES AND TOXICS
Environmental Fates and Effects
                  What new laboratory capabilities  must be  developed and
                  validated to assess the environmental effects or risks from toxic
                  chemicals?
                  Ecosystems are composed of multiple populations which differ
                  throughout the continental U.S., making it difficult to establish
                  protocols  for  well-defined  environmental risk assessments.
                  While health risk assessments are targeted to human popu-
                  lations, environmental risk assessments have no single, definitive
                  populations upon which to focus. Moreover, if the populations
                  at risk are identifiable, there may not always be applicable
                  toxicity data for those particular species. Instead of obtaining
                  toxicity data on the exact populations at risk, toxicity data from
                  surrogate laboratory or test populations are used. In such cases,
                  uncertainty may arise over the applicability of data from the
                  surrogate populations.

                  To determine whether ecologically or commercially important
                  organisms are in jeopardy from new chemicals in the environ-
                  ment,  basic  information must be  provided  on chemical
                  transport, transformation, habitat alteration  and biological
                  effects. EPA's research is  directed toward predicting levels of
                  exposure by determining where new chemicals may exist in the
                  environment and describing their movement through air, soils,
                  sediments, fresh and estuarine surface waters and ground water.
                  Thus, the program must determine potential pollutant distribu-
                  tions in ecosystems, the relevant ecological, physical, chemical
                  and biological processes and ascertain the physical, chemical
                  and biological parameters which affect chemical  fate. Field
                  studies in experimental and natural ecosystems will provide the
                  necessary data for further model development as  well as the
                  verification of existing hazard assessment techniques.

                  Studies to improve  the reliability of models  to  predict
                  environmental concentrations of pesticides or toxic substances
                  will be conducted through development of  mathematical
                  descriptions of phenomena, such as  sorption onto particulate
                  matter, followed by  validation through a program  of  field
                  testing and laboratory studies. Analyses of mathematical models
                  will further determine the sensitivity  of model  outputs to
                  environmental parameters.

                  Field  tests of some  fate  and  exposure models  have  been
                  conducted, and additional field verifications will be initiated. In
                  partial support of the biological effects needs, ecological effects
                  testing approaches must be improved and field-tested. Small-
                  scale  controlled environments  of  sufficient reliability for
                  regulatory evaluations, e.g., microcosms, are also being  studied.
                  Fate and effects microcosm research will include scaling and
                  model fitting; using specific types of microcosms to evaluate
                  risk-assessment processes; and evaluating specific microcosms
                  to assess conditions in varied geographical situations.

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                  PESTICIDES AND TOXICS                               65

                  The present course of improvement and application of mathe-
                  matical models will emphasize precision, incorporation of new
                  field data when available and use of improved theory where
                  applicable. Exposure models and hazard assessment techniques
                  will be developed  or modified for a range of aquatic and
                  terrestrial situations to yield an estimate of environmental risk.
Chemical Release and Controls
                  What engineering and technological information is needed to
                  identify the release of and exposure to toxic substances and to
                  determine alternatives for control of these substances?

                  Under the premanufacture notification process, the manu-
                  facturers of new chemicals or proposers of significant new uses
                  of existing chemicals are required to submit information to EPA
                  for prior review. EPA uses existing data to predict the risks of
                  and from the release of new substances, and, under the existing
                  chemicals control program, evaluates technological alternatives
                  to reduce the release of and exposure to chemicals that are
                  already in use.

                  Predictive Capabilities. Models to predict the release of and
                  exposure to different classes of new chemicals will be developed
                  to assess  different chemical-unit operations and processes, the
                  physical and chemical properties of chemicals, to predict the
                  potential exposure  and release levels,.  and  the best control
                  measures to control release and exposure of new chemicals.
                  Pilot-scale testing for the treatability of classes of potentially
                  toxic chemicals will be  conducted to validate these predictive
                  models.

                  Control Alternatives. Alternatives to mitigate the release of and
                  exposure to specific existing and  new pesticides and  toxic
                  substances will be defined through the evaluation and adapta-
                  tion of control measures related to the release in the workplace
                  and into  the environment of the chemicals.  Technologies,
                  management practices,  and personal protective equipment to
                  limit the release into the environment and exposure of pesticide
                  applicators will be evaluated.
Structure-A ctivity Relationships
                  What additional information and techniques are required to
                  estimate the environmental behavior of new chemicals through
                  their chemical or physical similarities to known compounds?

                  EPA's  Office of Toxic  Substances evaluates  human  and
                  environmental risks associated with the introduction of  new
                  chemicals under TSCA. Since little, if any, relevant toxicity
                  information is  submitted for new  TSCA  chemicals  under
                  development, decisions regarding their potential health  and
                  environmental risk must  rely heavily on existing knowledge

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66                               PESTICIDES AND TOXICS

about similar chemicals and on estimations of  physical and
chemical properties. The use of structure-activity relationships
(SAR) is a promising technique to estimate the environmental
toxicity and behavior  of  a  new  substance based upon its
chemical or structural similarities to other known compounds.

SAR has been applied with some success in the pharmaceutical
industry where interactions  with very  specific biological
receptors are necessary, although application of this technique
to predict the broad range of potential health effects resulting
from exposure to chemicals with diverse properties is limited.
EPA will investigate the use of structure-activity relationships in
estimating health effects in the areas of systemic toxicity and
genetic activity. A SAR method using molecular-electrostatic-
interaction-potential as a premanufacture screen for predicting
chemical toxicity is also being evaluated as a possible regulatory
tool.

To enhance the Agency's ability to utilize SAR, SAR health
effects data bases  will be expanded by conducting bioassay
studies  on a series of structurally related  chemicals which
represent  chemical classes  frequently encountered by  EPA's*
new-product evaluators. This approach may allow the devel-
opment of SAR methods specifically tailored for the types of
chemicals EPA might be regulating in the future. Thus, methods
for predicting toxicological effects of chemicals based on a
variety  of physiochemical parameters  may  be  developed,
including their transport, metabolism, ability to bind to critical
cellular macromolecules and DN A-repair characteristics. Addi-
tionally, work will be continued to relate the genetic activity of
specific compounds (and/or classes) to  chemical structure.

The health risk assessment research program will emphasize
three aspects: determination of qualitative effect and quantita-
tive dose response data on specific, high-concern compounds
and chemical classes; development of  systematic procedures,
beginning  with genetic toxicity,  for  integrating individual
toxicological test results and  SAR predictions into an overall
risk estimate; and expansion of quantitative animal test data
into human disease-susceptibility models.

SAR research is also developing correlations for predicting the
environmental toxicity of new chemicals to freshwater, marine
estuarine and terrestrial species, as well as for predicting the
behavior  and fate  of toxic  chemicals in the environment.
Considerable progress has been made in predicting the chemical
and physical properties of chemicals.  Future  chemical fate
estimation techniques will emphasize the prediction of rates of
transport  (e.g., volatilization from water) and rates of trans-
formation (e.g., sunlight photolysis and biodegradation), and
rates of uptake of chemicals into  living organisms. Environ-
mental effects tests will  continue to  develop estimation
techniques for predicting the potential for narcosis, ehoJines-
terase inhibition and respiratory uncoupling, which appear to
be major toxicity mechanisms in animals.

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                  PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS                              67

Biotechnology

                  What methods and technologies are needed to ensure human
                  and environmental safety from microbial agents and products
                  of biotechnology?

                  Data, methods and models are required for EPA to assess the
                  public health  and environmental risks  associated with bio-
                  technology products. Many steps in assessing risks of genetically
                  engineered organisms are similar to those used to assess the risks
                  of chemical  substances.  However, additional complexities are
                  encountered because of the potential for organisms to  grow,
                  infect, transform, spread  and exchange genetic information
                  resulting in the potential acquisition of pathogenic traits.  These
                  engineered organisms may also have the capability of out-
                  competing and thus replacing natural organisms. EPA's research
                  efforts in  biotechnology constitute a comprehensive effort to
                  deal with the potential problems posed  by the release  of
                  bioengineered products into the environment.

                  In the monitoring research program, efforts will be directed to
                  develop capabilities to identify  and  monitor genetically engi-
                  neered organisms, their products, and their genetic material in
                  the environment. This research will result in a manual for  use by
                  EPA and others engaged in environmental monitoring to  assure
                  data quality. Identification of gaps in methods for monitoring
                  and requirements and validation limits for quality assurance
                  will be addressed.

                  Environmental processes and effects research will determine the
                  survival and fate of genetically engineered  organisms released
                  into the environment and assess their potential impacts. Short-
                  term needs for this area will include the development of specific,
                  sensitive methods to identify and track genetically engineered
                  organisms in  the environment, and rapid  qualitative and
                  quantitative screening of fate and effect techniques. Long-term
                  studies will assist in understanding and predicting the impact,
                  exposure, hazard,  and environmental risk  of  genetically
                  engineered organisms in the environment.

                  Health research efforts will develop predictive in vivo and in
                  vitro tests for adverse health effects to human populations. This
                  research will assess the application of guidelines for microbial
                  pesticides to  general use in  testing genetically  engineered
                  organisms for  adverse  health  effects.  Also,  this effort will
                  identify additional sources of available test methods, assess their
                  applicability for EPA use and incorporate them into a data base.

                  Engineering and control  technology  efforts  will improve
                  containment, control and destruction measures and  produce
                  alternative engineering  methods which may  be used for the
                  containment and destruction of organisms, containment in field
                  tests,  and  reducing worker exposure.

                  Assessments of environmental risk will incorporate data from
                  monitoring,  environmental impact and health effects studies

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                  68                              PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS

                  into  effective, predictive assessments of potential harm to
                  human health or the environment. Initial emphases in this area
                  will be towards the preparation of guidelines for developing test
                  methods, assessing data and evaluating test results on potential
                  hazards of biotechnology.  Further, biotechnology exposure
                  guidelines will be developed to assess potential hazards resulting
                  from exposure to genetically altered organisms. Workshops will
                  also be held in relevant disciplines of biotechnology such as the
                  environmental aspects of genetically engineered microbial and
                  viral systems. Recommendations from these workshops, com-
                  bined with expert panels and relevant research, should provide a
                  sound background for biotechnology guidelines.
Summary  of Long-Term Trends
                  The toxics and pesticides research program focuses primarily on
                  the intentional or unintentional release of new and/or existing
                  chemicals into the environment. To protect human health and
                  the environment adequately from  unreasonable risks, a wide
                  array  of research issues must be addressed to support the
                  regulatory needs. Each of the research issues which has been
                  discussed within this chapter will continue into the next decade,
                  with varying degrees of emphasis.

                  Test methods development will continue at a relatively level
                  pace to provide methods to measure chemicals in the environ-
                  ment  and determine  their hazard.  As currently  available
                  methods are standardized, efforts will continue to develop and
                  evaluate new sensitive yet cost-effective techniques for potential
                  use in  test guidelines. In the health area these new methods will
                  involve greater reliance on endpoints other than carcinogenicity
                  and thus will be an area of increased activity. By utilizing these
                  new techniques, the health assessment activities will be better
                  able to provide the data necessary to conduct quantitative risk
                  assessments. To this end, research will increase on extrapolating
                  from effects at high to low doses and from animals to man. This
                  will reduce the level of uncertainty associated with the use of
                  laboratory data in  predictions of human health  risk. The
                  development and increased use of biological markers also will
                  assist  in this area by providing a  more accurate measure of
                  actual human exposure levels. These techniques may provide
                  new tools for epidemiological studies. In conjunction with these
                  studies, the development of exposure monitoring systems will
                  initially increase with subsequent leveling off as improvements
                  are made in monitoring methods, systems, and analyses.

                  While  these studies relate primarily to human risk assessments,
                  a relatively new area is  environmental risk assessment. Ecolog-
                  ical hazard assessment methods will continue to be developed to
                  determine the environmental fate and effects of chemicals. This
                  effort  will culminate in the development of ecological hazard
                  models. While  effects and exposure methods will provide

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PESTICIDES A ND TOXICS                              69

information to  evaluate  risk, developing  more  definitive
techniques for conducting  environmental risk assessments will
undoubtedly be a long-term process.

As the list of  new chemicals continues to grow, research  to
provide information  on  the  release and  control  of these
chemicals will  allow the rapid and accurate prediction of how
much and where chemicals will be released into the environment,
and with increasing accuracy, an estimation of their environ-
mental effects.

To address the expected growth of genetic engineering, EPA
will provide methods to protect public health and the environ-
ment from the potential adverse impacts of microbial agents and
the products of biotechnology. EPA's research will help  to
determine containment  facilities for bioengineered organisms
and means of monitoring the survival and distribution of those
intended for release. The initial emphasis will be on developing
methods to assess survivability and ecological effects.

The structure-activity research program will continue as  the
methods for predicting fate and effects of parent and degrada-
tion compounds become more available.

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                                                                       71
Exploratory Research Program
                  Solutions to environmentally related problems often require a
                  more basic or fundamental understanding. A  primary goal,
                  therefore, of the Office of Research and Development is to
                  develop  new knowledge and principles that can be used to
                  address and resolve environmental problems. ORD is particu-
                  lary interested in long-range strategic research issues addressing
                  emerging environmental problems. Consequently, in addition
                  to  the research  conducted  through the laboratories, ORD
                  supports exploratory research through its research grants and
                  centers programs.
Exploratory  Grants Program
                  The research grants program is designed to elicit investigator
                  initiated proposals to meet the following Agency objectives:
                  improve the  quality  of science and scientific information in
                  areas  important  to  the  Agency's programs and  mission;
                  stimulate investigation of emerging environmental problems
                  and identify steps which can predict their occurrence; enrich
                  basic research with long-range objectives to provide extended
                  direction  to  the  scientific program  of EPA;  expand the
                  innovative and creative base of the mission-oriented research
                  which makes up the bulk of the EPA research programs; and
                  bring new investigators into environmentally-related research
                  areas.

                  The competitive  peer review research grants program was
                  initiated in 1980 through an annual national solicitation designed
                  to  highlight  specific  areas of inquiry.  Although all  valid
                  proposals are considered, the solicitation typically emphasizes
                  research needs in five areas: environmental health;  environ-
                  mental biology; environmental engineering; chemistry and
                  physics in air; and chemistry and physics in soils and water.

                  The grants selection process  combines the most successful
                  features of the dual review systems used by the National Science
                  Foundation and the National  Institutes  of Health. Ad hoc
                  panels, chaired by scientists or engineers from outside EPA,
                  meet at least twice annually to discuss reviews of each proposal
                  conducted by at  least three  experts in the  relevant  field.
                  Applications that pass the scientific  panel review are then
                  reviewed by Agency personnel for their relevancy in meeting
                  Agency needs. The combined dual-review recommendations are
                  rank-ordered and  the grants are  awarded  based  upon the
                  availability of funds.

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72                  EXPLORA TOR Y RESEA RCH PROCRA M

The grants program uses those  issues identified  by  the five
research committees as guidance  in determining  priority
research needs. Exploratory research focuses on projects which
might provide information or solutions in the long term. The
specific projects which  may be  supported  by this program,
however, depend upon the proposals submitted in  response to
the solicitations. Thus, while the  basic issues addressed will be
similar to those described in previous chapters, the actual nature
of the research undertaken cannot be predicted.

Environmental Health.  The  environmental health research
program looks at the identification, assessment, control and
management of risks to health from anthropogenic and natural
alterations  of the environment.  Factors to be studied will
include: principle modes of transmission; critical modes  of
exposure factors governing susceptibility and resistance; cate-
gories of biologic response,  methods for detecting exposure,
early biological responses and  the consequences of long-term
exposure; relationship of acute to chronic toxicity; modes of
biologic prevention and  treatment; and isolation, elimination,
or dissemination of agents.

Air Research. The air research panel is concerned with the study
of  the  sources, transport, transformation and fate of air
pollutants.  The program is concerned with applications pro-
viding time-space patterns of pollutant concentrations, detailed
chemical and physical descriptions of pollutants, mathematical
models  connecting air pollutants with probable sources, and
procedures for investigating the impact of pollutants on human
health,  the environment, visibility, climate and materials. It
draws heavily upon the concepts and procedures  of  physics,
chemistry and meteorology  using models and  measurement
methods to develop quantitative description of these phenom-
ena.

Environmental Biology Research. The environmental biology
effects research panel receives applications on the study  of
effects of pollutants and pollution abatement practices on biota
and on ecosystems of varying complexity and spatial extent. A
major objective of this program is to provide information that,
in combination with exposure data, allows the prediction of the
environmental risk of pollution on individual organisms and on
ecosystems. The risks include the reduction of productivity in
agricultural areas, wetlands, and freshwater and coastal marine
ecosystems as well as human exposure  to toxic  substances
through accumulation in the food chain. This research area also
includes studies on biotechnology.

Aquatic and  Soils Research. The  major  objective of this
research is  to  provide the basis for predicting the time-space
patterns of pollutant concentrations in aquatic and soil systems.
This ability to predict concentration patterns is important in
exposure assessments and in  determining the capacity of the
environment  to assimilate pollution.  The research also fre-
quently provides possible approaches  to  treatment of wastes

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                   EXPLORATORY RESEARCH PROGRAM                 73

                   and management  practices to minimize  the  environmental
                   impact of waste sources. The research is broadly based on the
                   concepts  and techniques  of physics, chemistry and  micro-
                   biology.  It includes small-scale laboratory studies and  large-
                   scale field projects relating to the transport  and transformation
                   of pollutants in the aquatic and soil environments.

                   Environmental  Engineering Research. The environmental
                   engineering  research program emphasizes  new, innovative
                   pollution control and waste management techniques in air,
                   water, and soils. These include source monitoring characteriza-
                   tion, cost-effective production process modification, pollutant
                   emission abatement, residuals control, and mitigation of acid
                   rain. While hazardous wastes will receive particular attention in
                   future solicitations,  research on air,  wastewater, and toxics
                   control technologies and drinking water and  multimedia tech-
                   nologies  will be supported.
Exploratory Research Centers
                  The exploratory research centers program is designed to achieve
                  four major objectives: address long-term exploratory research
                  needs of importance to EPA's mission that require multi-media
                  and multi-disciplinary approaches;  promote and  maintain a
                  critical research  mass  by  providing  stable and  continuing
                  funding; extend the capabilities of EPA's laboratories; and
                  establish links between  EPA and the  scientific and technical
                  communities.

                  There are now eight centers, seven of which were the subject of a
                  national competition.  The  proposals received were  peer-
                  reviewed for scientific and  technical  merit and reviewed  by
                  Agency personnel to ensure they supported Agency needs. All
                  centers are funded through cooperative agreements which allow
                  interactive design and implementation of research programs of
                  mutual interest. In general, each center began its operation by
                  conducting a series of assessments of the high-priority research
                  needs that subsequently formed the basis of their activities.

                  Advanced Environmental Control Technology Research Center
                  (University of Illinois). The objective of this center is to increase
                  scientific knowledge of the chemical,  physical and biological
                  principles underlying the technologies used to control air and
                  water pollution. Emphasis is placed on technologies which are
                  innovative or not yet commercially available and which will
                  develop faster with additional scientific research or improved
                  dissemination of technical information.

                  Industrial Waste Elimination Research Center (Illinois Institute
                  of Technology and Notre Dame University). The mission of this
                  center is to reduce or eliminate industrial pollutant discharges
                  through innovations in industrial processes and development of
                  recycle/recovery strategies. Rather than focusing on "end-of-

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74                  EXPLORA TOR Y RESEA RCH PROGRAM

pipe" controls, the  center emphasizes research  on in-plant
controls that include methods for recycling, recovery, and reuse
of by-products of industrial processes; modifications of manu-
facturing processes to avoid or reduce generation of wastes; and
developing "clean" manufacturing technologies that minimize
or eliminate the generation of pollutants.

Hazardous Waste Research Center (Louisiana State University).
The focus of this research center is the development of advanced
technologies for the  destruction, detoxification,  recovery or
containment  of hazardous  wastes  including  incineration,
alternate methods  of treatment, and waste/ materials  inter-
action.

National Center for Intermedia Transport Research (University
of California-Los Angeles). This center studies the important
physical and chemical processes associated with the transport of
particle or gaseous environmental  pollutants  from one
medium—the atmosphere, land and water—to another. Key
problems being addressed include determining the organic and
inorganic chemicals that are deposited as a result of dry and wet
fallout;  the  influence of temperature, humidity, vegetation
growth, and other factors on the pollutant condensing process;
the transport mechanisms of chemicals placed on land by man
into the atmosphere;  the mechanisms of action which control
the exchange of pollutants between the land, atmosphere, and
large  bodies of  water; and the accumulation of previously
unidentified new chemicals in the atmosphere.

National Center for Groundwater Research (Rice University,
University of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State University). The
objective of groundwater research at the center is to improve the
understanding of the subsurface environment and its interaction
with pollutants. Directly or indirectly, groundwater is the major
source of the Nation's drinking water,  but it may be contami-
nated with pollutants from a wide variety of sources. Efforts to
mitigate this contamination are complicated by the extremely
slow movement of pollutants underground. Priority research
issues include transport and fate processes; study of subsurface
and pollutant characteristics which play a key role in those
processes; and development  of methods to assess and protect
groundwater quality.

Ecosystems Research Center (Cornell University). The primary
objectives of the center are to identify fundamental scientific
principles and concepts of  ecosystems  and determine their
importance in understanding and predicting the responses of
ecosystems to stress; to describe basic mechanisms that operate
within ecosystems  and the stability of ecosystems stressed by
pollutants; and to evaluate the applicability of those theoretical
concepts to problems  of concern to EPA including retrospective
and other case studies. The center will conduct studies of
particular ecosystems to characterize ecosystem responses to
stress, comparative studies  to classify the responses of different
ecosystems to a variety of stresses and make recommendations

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EX FLORA TOR Y RESEA RCH PROGRA M                  75

for appropriate ecotoxicology methods and studies to test the
applicability  of  ecosystem concepts to problems of special
concern to the EPA.

Center  for Environmental Epidemiology (University of
Pittsburgh). The primary objective of this center is to improve
the understanding of the human  health risks associated with
environmental pollution, especially chronic disease epidemi-
ology. The priorities for the center include problem definition
and feasibility assessments  for epidemiology studies, develop-
ment and improvement of epidemiological methods related to
environmental health, research on exposure assessment relevant
to epidemiological investigations, and  support  to EPA on
epidemiological studies. Five task groups have been established
to identify research needs and priorities in airborne  particulates,
indoor exposure to hazardous  materials, drinking water and
wastewater, cardiovascular diseases, and methods for evaluating
exposure and health endpoints.

Marine Sciences Research Center (University of Rhode Island).
The objective of this center is to develop methods for predicting
the behavior of estuarine systems. The center provides fourteen
large-scale (3,500 gallons each) simulations of estuarine systems
to test ecosystem effects of pollutant discharges. Emphasis is on
ecosystem-level studies of the behavior and effects of selected
pollutants associated with natural and introduced  particulates,
including the dispersive  behavior and  effects  of low-level
radioactive soils disposed in marine waters.

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                                                                     77
Appendix A: Resource Options
Water
                 The law requiring the submission  of this  research  strategy
                 document to Congress is Section 5 of Public Law 94-475. The
                 same law also requires that a five-year projection be provided
                 indicating the potential research response to different resource
                 levels.

                 The following section on resource options includes, as required
                 by law, descriptions of conditions for high, moderate, and no
                 growth. The growth rates associated with these options are zero
                 for no growth,  three percent for moderate growth  and six
                 percent for high growth. No additional resources are required or
                 expected as a result of this submission. Rather, these growth
                 scenarios are intended, as required by  the law,  to  indicate
                 potential program increases in EP A's research and development.
                                  1985 Current Estimate $52.0 Million
                                     1986 President's Budget $52.1
                                             Projections
                   Growth      1987       1988       1989      1990
None
Moderate
High
52.1
53.6
55.3
52.1
55.3
58.6
52.1
57.0
62.1
52.1
58.7
65.8
                 No Growth: The program will proceed as described in this
                 Agenda.

                 Moderate: Efforts to develop a greater understanding of the
                 transport and fate of pollutants in groundwater will  be
                 accelerated. Additional efforts will be made to determine the
                 potential health effects of those substances found in drinking
                 water.

                 High: The additional efforts cited under the moderate growth
                 option above will be augmented and accelerated.

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                  78                    ^ PPEND1X A: RESOURCE OPTIONS
A ir and Radiation
                                   1985 Current Estimate $69.2 Million
                                      1986 President's Budget $65.6
                                               Projections
                    Growth      1987       1988       1989       1990
None
Moderate
High
65.6
67.6
69.6
65.6
69.6
73.7
65.6
71.7
78.1
65.6
73.8
82.8
                  No Growth: The program  will proceed as described in this
                  Agenda.

                  Moderate: Additional  work  will be  directed toward  the
                  improvement of health effects information; particularly in the
                  area of the development of models to permit the extrapolation
                  from high dose to low dose,  and animals to man.

                  High: Additional efforts will improve the characterization of
                  ambient atmospheres with emphasis on potential hazardous air
                  pollutants. Source  characterization and  mitigation will  be
                  expanded for specific industries.
Hazardous Wastes
                                   1985 Current Estimate $40.9 Million
                                       1986 President's Budget $49.6
                                               Projections
                    Growth      1987       1988       1989       1990
None
M oderate
High
49.6
51.0
52.5
49.6
52.6
55.7
49.6
54.2
59.0
49.6
55.8
62.6
                  No Growth: The program will proceed as  described in this
                  Agenda.

                  Moderate: Additional efforts will investigate alternate disposal/
                  destruction technologies to provide disposal capacity for wastes
                  banned from land disposal.

                  High: Additional effort will be invested in the development of
                  advanced alternative disposal/destruction technologies. Tech-
                  niques to detect and monitor subsurface movement of hazardous
                  waste leachate will be further investigated.

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                   APPENDIX A: RESOURCE OPTIONS                     79
Multimedia Energy
                                    1985 Current Estimate $58.1 Million
                                       1986 President's Budget $67.2
                                                Projections
                     Growth      1987       1988       1989        1990
None
Moderate
High
67.2
69.2
71.2
67.2
71.3
75.5
67.2
73.4
80.0
67.2
75.6
84.8
                   No  Growth: The program  will proceed as  described in this
                   Agenda.

                   Moderate: Additional efforts will  be made to accelerate acid
                   deposition research to identify cause/effects  mechanisms of
                   forest changes.  Evaluations and assessments  of a variety of
                   utility boiler control technologies will be expanded.

                   High: Additional efforts will be made to understand the linkages
                   between terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems as they relate to acid
                   deposition impacts. Research on utility boiler  controls will be
                   accelerated.
Pesticides and Toxics
                                    1985 Current Estimate $36.2 Million
                                        1986 President's Budget $50.0
                                                Projections
                     Growth      1987       1988       1989        1990
None
Moderate
High
50.0
51.5
53.0
SO.'O
53.1
56.2
50.0
54.7
59.6
50.0
56.3
63.1
                   No Growth: The program will proceed as described in this
                   Agenda.

                   Moderate: Additional efforts will be devoted to accelerating
                   research  in  ecotoxicity, structure-activity relationships and
                   issues related to biotechnology.

                   High: The efforts described under moderate growth above will
                   be augmented and accelerated.

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                  SO                     APPENDIX A: RESOURCE OPTIONS
Exploratory Research
                                    1985 Current Estimate-$21.2 Million
                                       1986 President's Budget $13.9
                                               Projections
                     Growth      1987        1988        1989       1990
None
Moderate
High
13.9
14.3
14.7
13.9
14.7
15.6
13.9
15.2
16.5
13.9
15.6
17.5
                   No Growth: The  program will proceed as described in this
                   Agenda.

                   Moderate: Additional efforts in  the grant program will be
                   devoted to environmental health and biology.  Increases in the
                   centers program will be equally divided among existing centers.

                   High: Additional increases as indicated under moderate growth.
                                •&U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1985/559 111/10843

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