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             ^   THE  AUTOMOBILE CYCLE:
                 an environmental
                 and resource
                 reclamation problem

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                THE  AUTOMOBILE CYCLE:

 AN ENVIRONMENTAL AND RESOURCE  RECLAMATION  PROBLEM
 This document  (SW-80t8.1) is a  revision of a study
 made by  the Federal  solid waste management program
for the President's Council on Environmental Quality
          U.S.  ENVIRONMENTAL  PROTECTION  AGENCY
                            1972
  For sale bjUhe Superintendent ol Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 • Trice $1.25

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                            FOREWORD






     The United States has witnessed remarkable technological advancement




and scientific progress during the twentieth century.  These advances




have stimulated higher standards of living, high-level economic growth,




and dynamic changes in a multitude of disciplines.  Yet these advances




have not proceeded without accompanying difficulties and problems.  Tech-




nology has not only ensured abundance, but, with its progress, it has




also led to a degraded quality of life.  Economic and industrial  growth




have induced changes in the environment with far-reaching and undesirable




effects.  Residues from our ever-increasing manufacturing production and




mass consumption often contribute to environmental pollution, inducing




increased concern for problems of air, water, and solid waste management.




     The concept of solid waste management  in reducing and  reclaiming




the residuals of a productive society has a twofold benefit:  to  reduce




the quantity and variety of solid waste (or potential resources)   requiring




handling and disposal and to conserve natural resources and preserve the




natural beauty of the environment.  It seems, therefore, that a national




policy should focus on decreasing the quantity of waste created and




increasing the reuse and recycling of secondary materials presently




discarded.
                                    iii

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     More specifically,  the fundamental  concern of this report is the

production-consumption cycle of the automobile industry.  The production

of automobiles determines both the magnitude and some of the inherent

problems of automobile recycling.  As automobiles become obsolete and

inoperable, they are discarded, abandoned, or returned to industrial

processes as secondary materials.

     The process of  recycling discarded automobiles  is, unfortunately,

incomplete.  For a number  of  reasons, many automobiles are  abandoned

along  roadsides and  on private property and are  inventoried by dis-

mantlers and  processors  rather than  placed  into  the  scrap cycle  for

 reuse  in  iron  and  steel  production.   They  become,  therefore, detrimental

 to  our environment  and a waste of mineral  resources.

     To counteract  these problems where  the  free market has failed,  it

 may become necessary for government  to  provide incentives  to stimulate

 positive action.   To this end,  this  study was initiated to  determine the

 extent of  the problems  and to provide a  framework by which  potential

 government actions can  be effectively evaluated.  The techniques are

 also directly applicable  to other similar problems  including a  large

 number of complex and interrelated  industrial activities.
                                     — SAMUEL HALE, JR.
                                       Deputy Assistant Administrator
                                       for Solid Waste Management
                                      i v

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                                CONTENTS






AUTOMOBILE RECYCLING 	  1




     The Problem	  1




     The Approach	  1




     The Model	3




MOTOR VEHICLE MANUFACTURERS  	  9




     General Description 	  9




     Resource Conservation 	  12




     Key Decision Areas	15




ABANDONMENT	18




     General Description 	  18




     Environmental Damage  	  27




     Resource Conservation 	  27




     Key Decision Areas	27




DISMANTLING  INDUSTRY 	  30




     General Description 	  30




     Method of Operation	32




     Envi ronmental Damage	36




     Resource Conservation 	  38




     Key Decision Areas	38




PROCESSING  INDUSTRY  	  39




     General Description	39




     Environmental Damage  	  ^5




     Resource Conservation	**5




     Key Decision Areas	^5

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SCRAP-END USE	*»9




     General  Description 	  ^9




     Definitions	  .  50




     Steel Industry	52




     Foundries	56




     Environmental Damage  ...........  	  59




     Resource Conservation 	  59




     Key  Decision Areas	59




     Demand  for Automobile Scrap  	  61




 SUMMARY  OF AUTOMOBILE  RECYCLING PROBLEMS  	  62




     Abandonment	63




     Vehicle Inventories  	  6A




      Incomplete Reuti1ization by  Mills and Foundries 	   66




 PROBLEM SOLUTION  	   6?




      Minimize Environmental  Damage 	   69




      Conserve Natural  Resources   	   69




      Minimize Economic Disruption  	   69




      Simplify Administrative Procedures   	   70




      Selecting the Best Strategy	70




      Conclusion	71




 APPENDICES




      A   Tactics:  The  Problem-Solving Tools   	  73




      B   Strategies:  The Master  Plan	89




 REFERENCES	113




 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS   	   115
                                   vi

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                         AUTOMOBILE RECYCLING






                              The Problem




     The automobile, an integral part of our society, has drastically




changed man's way of life.  With it have come some environmental and




natural  resource  conservation problems  that went  largely unnoticed from




the time of the first automobile until  recently.  Yet they have become




sufficiently acute  (and promise to become even worse in the future)




to warrant a national effort to alleviate them.




     Currently, more than 10 million vehicles are being produced annually,




and the number promises to increase at  least as rapidly as our population




in the future.  Unfortunately, automobiles do not function indefinitely,




and herein lies the problem.  When they cease to function, they are




discarded.  The discards are only partially reclaimed;  the remainder




represents a degradation of our physical environment by abandonment




on our urban streets and alleys and widespread coverage of our rural




landscape.  In addition^ discarded automobiles represent a valuable




resource, which,  if used effectively, can conserve our valuable natural




resources.






                             The Approach






     The current  reuse of discarded automobiles and any attempts at




increased use involve a large, heterogeneous,  and widely dispersed




section of our economy.  A large number of interrelated but separate

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industries operate  in, and affect, the automobile scrap cycle.




Included are the manufacturer, dismantler, scrap processor, steel




mill, and others.  Any one of these  industries by its current




actions or future plans has a large  potential for increasing the




recycling of disused automobiles.  Unfortunately, any one of




them can also have a large negative  effect on the efficiency of




this cycle or even bring about its collapse.  Complex interrelationships




and interdependencies make the "weak link in the chain" analogy




applicable to automobile recycling.




     To complicate matters further,  dozens of techniques are potentially




available to alleviate whatever barriers exist.  There are




numerous subsidies, regulations, and other incentives that may




improve a given industry's strength  in the cycle.  They may however,




have adverse effects elsewhere in the cycle or on the national




economy.  If a comprehensive and meaningful analysis is to be




completed and if recommendations promising a high probability




of success are to be developed, a scientific approach is necessary.




To date, several detailed studies of the individual  industries




in the cycle have been completed and limited recommendations made.




No comprehensive study has, however, been completed  that evaluates




all the relevant tactics in the light of the total automobile




cycle.




     This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the automobile




scrap cycle and a scientific evaluation of the tactics and strategies




to improve it.   The analysis is as follows:

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     1.   A general  model  of the total  cycle is developed to highlight the




         interrelationships that exist between the major industrial  segments




         This model facilitates the systems analysis needed later to




         evaluate strategies.




     2.   Each major segment of the overall model  is studied separately.




         A detailed flow and process chart is developed to define the scope




         of operations and delineate the currently available technology in




         each major area.




     3.   A dec!sion-logic approach is  integrated with the flow charts.




         This delineates the decisions made within each major industrial




         segment.




     I).   All  the key decisions affecting recycling in each industry segment




         are  noted  and the barriers to favorable decisions are enumerated.




         This information would be used in the evaluation of tactics and




         strategies.




     5.   Some possible tactics for improved recycling are discussed




         (Appendix A).




     6.   A method for selecting the best course of action is discussed.






                                The Model






     The automobile cycle  is composed of many interrelated activities,




most of  which are  readily  definable industries.  The major relationships




of these subactivities are shown  (Figure  1).  Starting  in the upper




lefthand corner of the figure are the automobile manufacturers.  They

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                                                   USED CARS
  OTHER
MATERIALS
   OTHER
  PRODUCTS
         AUTO
         MFG
                                      DEALER
                       OWNERS
                                                              01
                                   PROCESSOR
INTERNAL
 SCRAP
                   RAW
                   MATERIALS
OTHER
SCRAP
 ITEMS
                                                 DISMANTLER
                                                                                        _y
        Figure 1.   Major relationships in the automobile  cycle.

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use many raw materials, including steel, to produce a variety of motor




vehicles (cars, trucks, and buses).  This major industry segment is




closely interrelated with dealers, whose  primary function is to market




and service new as well as used automobiles for owners.  The owner's




automobile enters  the remainder of the cycle in two main ways:  through




an accident that makes the car unrepairable or through physical, technological,




or psychological obsolescence.  When this occurs, the automobile is




either abandoned on public or private property or is placed into the




recycling sequence shown in the lower half of the figure.  Generally,




recycling is accomplished by a dismantler accepting automobiles from




consumers, local governments, insurance companies, etc., and stripping




them of useful parts for resale.  The residues, commonly called hulks,




are then transported to scrap processors for final preparation before




delivery to scrap users.  The processors take stripped hulks from  the




dismantlers as well as whole vehicles from other collectors and, in




some cases, from consumers.  These hulks and vehicles are then subjected




to one or more processes designed to facilitate their reuse by the




steel  and foundry industries.  These industries are represented by the




box labelled "scrap end use" in the lower left-hand corner of the  figure.




     These scrap users combine automobile scrap with caw or pel let!zed




ore and other scrap available to them internally or from scrap




processors to make iron and steel products.  These products can be




used for automob!le-related products as well as for an almost infinite




number of other products.

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     The boxes shown represent the most readily separable and definable




elements in the automobile cycle.  Although major  industrial segments




are definable by these boxes, there are overlaps in many cases.




The functional breakdowns shown  in the figure are  used, even though




at a given physical site two different functional  activities might




be performed.




     The model shown is repeated with the addition of the key study




areas for this analysis (Figure 2).  The five areas shown not only




represent definable functional activities and industries but also allow




us to pinpoint the key problems associated with the automobile cycle.




     Area 1  represents the automobile industry which, by its level




of production, implicitly determines the magnitude of present and future




recycling problems.  In addition, its decisions on durability, composition,




and design greatly affect later  industrial segments.  The problems,




barriers, and costs incurred by dismantlers, processors, and end users




are all  in part determined by decisions of the automobile industry.




Hence, the need arises to evaluate this critical segment separately.




(The dealers, consumers, insurance companies, etc., represent only




the lag between time of manufacture and time of final disposition and




as such are  not analyzed separately.)




     Area 2  represents the critical interface between the final owners




of vehicles  and their orderly and efficient transportation into the




recovery industries.   It is  here that abandonment, and the degradation




of our environment that it implies, takes place.   It is in urban as well

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                                               USED  CARS
r
OTHER 1
MATERIALS1—
lf
OTHER
PRODUCTS
tA
A
r~
>£
i
L
INI
c
L_
	 	 /TV
! A
i
vj/l \|/ \1/ ! INSURANCE'
— > AUTO |
-> MFG |
1
	 J
_
SCRAP
LNU *-
USE
1 I
FERNAL RAW
5CRAP MATERIALS
! ' — * co
•x^ rM~ A 1 C"D ; i . "^i ^\A/MPDQ 	 "^
	 > ULALtK ( -^ •" UWIMtKo ^
i
1 * t
i
^
1 f1 :
V
1 	
1 !
I® i^r ( \
i i I
i 1 i^—
PROCESSOR r- *- DI5MAN 1 LLK ^ i '
Ii 1 Y~
1 1
^^ !

C ' 1
V
! PUBLIC AND
; PRIVATE
j PROPERTY
V

OTHER ' ^ ,
SCRAP | 1
1 ITEMS ill
_L = 	 1 	 L 	 I
Figure 2.   Key  areas  in the automobile scrap cycle.

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 as  rural areas  that  promiscuous  abandonment  and  large automobile  graveyards




 litter our  public  property  and occupy our open  land.   In addition  to




 environmental pollution,  these accumulated cars  represent an  unused




 resource.




     Area 3 encompasses the dismantling  industry and  its attendant




 problems of automobile  inventories, which cause  aesthetic and  resource




 conservation problems.  In  addition, many new and  restrictive  laws




 on  air pollution,  etc., can seriously affect and perhaps hinder this




 industry's valuable  functions.




     Area k represents  the  scrap-processing  industry, an indispensable




 link in  the final  reuse of  discarded automobiles.  Yet  this  industry's




 methods of operation and  inventories can also create environmental




 and resource conservation problems.




     Finally, area 5 represents  the industries responsible for the




 actual  use of the  scrap from processed automobiles.  The trends in




 these industries will ultimately determine whether out-of-service automobiles




will be reused and to what extent our natural resources will be conserved.




 Indirectly,  their  failure to use automobile scrap will  increase the




accumulation of automobiles abandoned and in inventory.  This will




further degrade our environment.




     These five major areas are each discussed in detail to document




current conditions,  important new trends, and key decision areas,  which,




 if encouraged or changed,  can lead to more efficient automobile recycling




with subsequent improvement in environmental  quality and increased




conservation of natural resources.

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                      MOTOR VEHICLE MANUFACTURERS




                          General Description






     The production of automobiles in the United States is carried




out mainly by four manufacturers located in ^0 cities in 17 States;




the production of trucks and buses is performed by 15 manufacturers




located in 35 cities in 17 States.  The United States imports approximately




17 brands of cars, trucks, and buses from more than  12 countries.




The import total has been steadily on the increase (Figure 3), but the




export total (Figure 4) has not been increasing as consistently,  in




part because export of trucks and buses has decreased.




     The motor vehicle manufacturer  is related to the scrap cycle  in




that he produces the vehicle that eventually  is consumed as scrap.




Hence, the amount and type of automobile scrap available in the  future




can be assessed by looking at automobile manufacturing.  Total production




of automobiles for 1969 was approximately 8 million  with an additional




2 million trucks and buses, or about 10 million total motor vehicles.1




The production of motor vehicles appears to be on the increase and




should reach about 15 million by 1980 (Figure 5)-2   Production plus




net imports, those motor vehicles actually added to  those  in  use  in




the United States, are also shown  (Figure 5).




     The amount of steel used in cars is static or declining  while




the use of nonferrous materials, primarily used in the options that




are now available, is  increasing.  This material consists  principally




of plastic  (inside trim, tail lights, grill,  etc.,); vinyl  (roofs);

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                                         TOTAL MOTOR VEHICLES
                1961
1962
                          1963      1964


                               YEAR


Figure  3-   U.S. motor vehicle imports.
 1965
                                                                  1966
                                                  1967
O
cc.
LLJ
OQ
     0.5
    0.4
    0.3
    0.2  —
    0.1
                                 TOTAL MOTOR VEHICLES
                                          CARS
                 1
 1
                1961
1962
                          1963       1964


                               YEAR


Figure 4.   U.S.  motor vehicle  exports.
1965
1966
                                                                           1967
                                         10

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   15
   14
   13
   12
   11
   10
QC
LU
S?   9
TOTAL MOTOR VEHICLES
         MOTOR VEHICLE PROD.
           PLUS NET IMPORTS
    1950      1955
  1960
1965
YEAR
1970     1975
1980
      Figure 5-   U.S. motor vehicle production.6*11
                           11

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 rubber-like material  (bumper); copper  for  power windows and seat motors




 (although overall copper might decrease owing  to better engineered




 alternators and printed circuits  in  ignition systems); and nonferrous




 metals  (wind stabilizers,  spoilers,  etc.).  It  was estimated,  for example,




 that  1  billion  Ib of  plastic materials would be consumed by motor vehicle




 manufacturers  in  1970.3  Consumption of rubber products was estimated




 at 210  Ib per  car for  1970.4






                         Resource Conservation






      Since the scrap  cycle starts with the production of the  motor




 vehicle this is a good place to consider ways  to improve the  dismantling




 of the  vehicle.   In order  to determine if  improvements are necessary




 or even feasible, it  is necessary to look at the composition  of the




 motor vehicle.  Some  studies  on the composition of the automobile




 have  been completed,7-9 but no known work has  been undertaken on trucks




 and buses.  The lack of composition data on trucks and buses  is not




 critical, because there are substantially more automobiles than trucks




 and buses and because  the same general  procedures and problems involved




 in scrapping trucks and buses are also encountered in scrapping automobiles,




     The composition of the various makes and models of automobiles




varies  to some extent.  The Bureau of Mines has compiled composition




data on a "typical" automobile.''  This  composite was derived  from data




obtained when  15 automobiles were dismantled and analyzed (Table 1).




 It can be considered to be a 10-year-old, four-door sedan, in the low-




 price class,  with automatic transmission and heater, and of modified




 unit!zed body design.





                                     12

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                                 TABLE  1

                      TYPICAL AUTOMOBILE  COMPOSITION7

Material

Light steel
Heavy steel
No. 2 bundle steel
Cast iron
Copper*
Zinct
Al uminumf
Lead
Rubber
G lass
Other combustibles"''1
Other noncombustiblestt
Total

Lb

1,309.5
1.222.4
2,531.9
51 1 .4
31.9
5^.2
50.6
20.4
145.0
87.2
127.2
14.8
3,574.6
Total
automobi le
(*)
36.6
34.2
70.8
14.3
0.9
1.5
1.4
0.6
4.1
2.4
3-6
0.4
100.0
 "Including copper in brass but not copper in solid solution in steel
 tAs zinc base die cast exclusive.
 fAs scrap sheet and cast aluminum.
**Cardboard, textiles, padding, plastics petroleum products, etc.
ttDirt, glass wool insulation, body putty, and ceramics.


        The Bureau of Mines estimated that the scrap value of all the metallic

   components of the car would have been about $55.94.  Five metals of various

   weights and values could be recovered (Table 2).  A dismantling/processing

   yard was hypothesized to process the car.  The cost to separate the components

   was estimated to be $51.25.  Hence, a profit of about $4.69 per car could

   be realized.

        Although such an operation is feasible, there are few if any processing

    'ards in the country that can operate on the scale of the hypothetical

    'smantling/processing yard.  This yard is more the exception than
                                       13

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                               TABLE 2




         VALUE OF RECOVERABLE METALS IN COMPOSITE AUTOMOBILE5
Metal
No. 2 bundle iron
Cast iron
Copper:
Radiator stock
No. 2 heavy and wire
Yel low brass sol ids
Zinc, die castings
Aluminum, cast, etc-
Lead:
Battery
Battery cable clamps
Totals
Lb
2,614.0
429.3

15-4
13-8
2.7
54.2
50.6

20.0
0.4
3,200.4
Price
$18.70 per ton
42.20 per ton

0.3275 per Ib
0.396 per Ib
0.31 per Ib
0.0625 per Ib
0.124 per Ib

1 .40 per battery
0.11 per Ib

Value
$24.44
9.06

5.04
5.46
0.84
3.39
6.27

1 .40
0.04
55.94
the  rule.  Most dismantlers and processors are separate operations




and  must dismantle on a small scale.  Hence,  it would be  impossible




for  the typical dismantler to strip a car to  the degree necessary to




realize the expected value for the estimated  cost of $51-25.




     The typical dismantler removes the components that are easily




marketed, usually the radiator, battery, motor and related parts, and




sometimes the radio, and then tries to sell the remaining hulk.  The




problem arises in the fact that the remainder still contains unwanted




contaminants, including copper, which make the hulk unappealing as




a source of steel scrap.  The maximum desired leve' of copper  in scrap




is about 0.15 percent by weight.10  Since the car contains about




0.07 percent copper in solid solution in the  steel, this means that




only 0.08 percent copper is permitted to be left on the hulk.  Data
                                    14

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obtained from the Bureau of Mines' typical automobile indicates that




the normally removed parts (radiator, battery, motor, and related




parts) account for only 21.0 Ib of the 31-9 total Ib copper in the




vehicle.  Removal of other common parts like the transmission, differential,




brake drums, and brake cylinders still leaves 3.6 Ib of the remaining




10.9 Ib copper.   This remainder  is still  in excess of the  .08  percent




permissible.  This copper can be separated, but this is difficult




and quite time consuming.  The value of these materials as parts  is




negligible, and  their scrap value  is  low.  The only  reason for removal,




therefore, is to make a high-quality No. 2 bundle.  Since it is impossible




to tell if the copper has been removed, it is easier to leave  it




in, and this apparently has been occurring over the past few years.




Therefore, a steel manufacturer usually pays only for a low-quality




No. 2 bundle or may not even want the scrap at all.






                          Key Decision Areas






     Since an automobile  is designed for  transportation, not scrappage,




little consideration is given to  the eventual problems  in  its  recycling.




Some work has been done,  however, to determine how the  scrapping




potential might be  improved during construction.8,10    These methods




are primarily directed to reducing the copper contamination level




of vehicles so that high-quality  steel scrap can be obtained.  Although




the thought was  to decrease the copper contamination in the No. 2




bundle, the design changes suggested could also  improve other  types




of automobile scrap  (i.e., automobile slab and automobile  shreddings).
                                     15

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      The  easiest  way  to remove  copper  from a  car  is  not  to  have  it




 there in  the  first  place.   Poliskin  suggests  that  the  copper wire




 in  the  automobile be  replaced with aluminum.10  The  conductivity of




 aluminum  is about 62  percent  that of copper,  but since aluminum has




 a  lower specific  gravity,  1/2  Ib of  aluminum  could replace  about 1  Ib




 of  copper  as  an electric conductor.  The  diameter of an  aluminum conductor




 would be  approximately  50  percent greater  than  the equivalent  copper




 conductor.  The property of aluminum that  makes it suitable as a substitute




 for copper  is  that  during  melting and  refining  of scrap  steel, the




 aluminum oxidizes and enters the slag  and  therefore separates  from




 the steel  while copper  dissolves into  the  steel.  Further reduction




 in  copper  can  be  obtained  by replacing the  electric motor stators,




 presently wound with copper, with stators  composed of permanent ceramic




 magnets of barium or strontium  ferrites.




      The typical  car has 5-6 Ib of copper electrical  wire and electric




 motor wire that could be replaced with aluminum.  If the heater core




 is  also removed (a quick job) total copper  content would be approximately




0.16  percent  in the steel  scrap.  This is very close to  desirable




 levels  in steel manufacture.




     Another way to provide scrap with less copper contamination is




 to  provide an easy method of removing the parts that  contain copper.




Stone has  proposed several  of these mechanisms.8  If copper components




now present under the hood  were placed in one or two standard locations,




 removal  would be simplified.  One location might be a mounting bracket




on  the radiator (which is usually removed anyway).   This  bracket might
                                    16

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contain the horn, voltage regulator, relays for high-current-draw



accessories, and the solenoid (if not located on the starter).   Other


copper-containing components (heater core, windshield wiper motor,



heater motor, and some relays)  might be attached to a plate located
       »


on the fire wall.  All wires going to and coming from these two locations


could be consolidated in one or two wire looms, that would be easily



removed during dismantling.


     Removal of the plate on the firewall could provide easy entrance



to the wires and instruments under the dashboard.   If the dashboard



wires were consolidated into a wire loom and had pullaway connecting



plugs, these could be easily removed.  A standardized location for



the fuse box that would serve as a junction for the wiring would also



assist in wire removal.  If  instruments were mounted  in groups  around



the driver, as is the present trend, this entrance would also provide



easy access for  removing them.



     The body wiring could be consolidated wherever possible and


enclosed by a plastic conduit mounted beneath  the car.  If the connections



of these wires were of the pullaway type,  removal would be simplified.



     Motors for  such accessories as power  seats and power windows  could


be positioned for easy removal.  The motor for  the  power seat could  be



attached to the  seat, which  is  normally  removed.  The motor for power



windows could be  in the armrests, which  are quite easy  to  remove.



     Numerous design  changes are possible, and  many appear quite



feasible.   Some  changes, such as making  power  window  motors more  accessible,



could even  lower  repair costs.  Others,  such as  locating high-current-

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 drain  relays  close  to the  battery  might  lower  production  costs.   Assuming




 that  the  suggested  design  changes  are  made  and that  the voltage  regulator,




 electric  motors,  heater  core,  dashboard  wiring,  instruments,  radio,




 body wiring,  horn,  and  relays  are  removed,  about  1  lb  of  copper  would




 remain  in  the car.  This  is  about  0.0^4 percent of  copper  by weight




 of  the  steel  scrap.   The  total  copper  remaining  in  the hulk would




 be  0.11 percent, well within the 0.15  percent  desired  maximum.






                               ABANDONMENT




                           General  Description






     When a motor vehicle  is no longer considered of value by  its




 owner,  he can  dispose of  it  in an  acceptable manner or abandon it




 on  public or  private  property.  Since abandonment has  adverse effects




 on  the  environment  and on  resource conservation,  it  is a  key part




 of  the  motor  vehicle  scrap cycle.




     Each year a growing number of motor vehicles have been retired




 from service  (Table 3)-  Estimates for future  years project continuing




 growth  of out-of-service vehicles  (Table 4).




     For example, it has been estimated  that of the more  than 100 million




 vehicles on the road  in 1970, 8 to 9 million would go  out of service.114




The key question is how many would be abandoned?   In New  York City, for




 example, 20 times more abandoned automobiles are removed  annually




 than were removed 10 years ago  (Table 5).  Estimates for  abandoned




 vehicles nationwide are shown  (Table 6).   The  accumulation of abandoned




vehicles on public and private property will probably  increase if no
                                    18

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                                                TABLE  3

                           ESTIMATED  NUMBER  OF  VEHICLES  RETIRED  FROM  SERVICE
                                             (in  mill ions)


Year

1965
1966
1967
1968


Cars

6.0
6. A
6.0
6.6
Federal
Estimate11
Trucks
& buses
0.9
0.9
1.0
1.1


Total

6.9
7-3
7.0
7-7
Trade Association
Es t imate12
Cars

6.0
6.3
6.6
6.9
R.

Cars

6.2
7-0
6.2
6.3
L. Polk &

Trucks
& buses
1.1
0.9
0.9
1.0
Co.13

Total

7.3
7-9
7.1
7-3
                                               TABLE k

                         ESTIMATED NUMBER OF VEHICLES RETIRED FROM SERVICE*11
                                            (in mi 11 ions)
1969
Cars 6.8
Trucks & buses 1.1
Total 7-9
1970
7.
1.
8.
5
4
9
1971
7.6
1.5
9-1
1972 1973
7.8 8.0
1.6 1.7
9.4 9-7
1974
8.
1.
10.
2
8
0
1975
8.6
1.8
10.4
1980
9.6
2.0
11.6
1985
10
2
13
.8
.4
.2
1990
12.0
2.6
14.6
    -The motor vehicle registrations used in this forecast are based primarily on experience, plus
population data.  The production and retirement  (scrappage) forecasts are computed on the basis
of the numbers necessary to maintain the forecasted motor vehicle registrations, provided that
the average vehicle life is 10 years.  If safety, emission controls, or other factors change the
average vehicle lifespan or if the registration  forecast proves wrong, the retirement forecast would
have to be changed accordingly.

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                              TABLE 5

                NEW YORK CITY-ABANDONED CARS REMOVED
Year
Number
1959
2,500
1964
13,000
1968
32,000
                                                         1969

                                                        58,000
                              TABLE 6

                       ABANDONED-VEHICLE FLOW
Year
Opti misti c*
Medi um+
Pessi mi sti ct
1970
1975
1980
890,000
1,040,000
1 ,160,000
1,340,000
1,560,000
1,740,000
1,780,000
2,080,000
2,320,000
   cBased on Department of Commerce estimate of 10 percent abandoned15"
    and DOT estimate of out-of-service vehicles.11
   tA 15 percent abandonment rate (note:   actual  rate for 1965 is
    estimated at 13-5 percent).
   tA 20 percent abandonment rate.
                              TABLE 7

      ABANDONED-VEHICLE INVENTORY,  PUBLIC  AND PRIVATE PROPERTY

Year
J965
1970
1975
I960
Super
Optimistic-
1,890,000
900,000
500,000
500,000

Optimistic!
1,890,000
1,890,000
2,862,000
3,972,000

Medi umr
1,890,000
3,636,000
5,823,000
8,321,000

Pess imistic**
3,200,000
5,916,000
9,318,000
13,203,000
   "Estimates  based  on  assumption  that  high  scrap  prices  and  demand
   will  continue  through  1980  and only residuals  will  not  be put
    into  the  cycle.
   tUsing adjusted BDSA inventory9 estimate  in  1965,  accumulation
    rate  of 2  percent after  1970,  DOT estimate  of  out-of-service
   veh fcles . *
   fBDSA  starting  inventory,  4.5 percent accumulation rate  after  1965,
   DOT estimate of  out-of-service vehicles.11
  —ISIS  starting  inventory,12  7 percent accumulation rate.
                                 20

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concerted action is taken (Table 7) »  but to date actions at the local




and State levels are largely ineffective and expensive.




     The owners of motor vehicles, those who determine how they will




be discarded, are individual consumers, dealers, and insurance companies.




There are four disposal alternatives for unwanted vehicles available




to their owners; (l) dismantlers;  (2) processors; (3) solid waste disposal




sites; (A) public or private property.  The first three are acceptable




while the last involves abandonment.




     To understand abandonment, the decisions that give rise to the




problem must first be examined  (Figure 6).  Once the owner has decided




that his vehicle is no  longer of value to him (Decision 1), he then




selects the way he wants to discard it (Decision 2).  He may choose




to dispose of  it in a  responsible  and  legal manner or to abandon it.




     Roughly 10 to 20  percent of the motor vehicles  retired from service




each year are abandoned.  The decision as to where to  leave the vehicle




(Decision 3) resulted  in approximately 60 percent of the vehicles being




abandoned on public land and the remainder on private property.15




     The selection  (Decision k) of an  acceptable  (legal) way  to dispose  of




the unwanted vehicle is partly  based on a knowledge  of disposal availability,




convenience, costs of  disposal, and  local regulations.  These  items




vary considerably  in different  locations and over time.




     The decision  to dispose of the vehicle at  the processor  or at




the dismantler  (Decision 5  or 6)   may  be  rejected by the  business  (e.g.,




lack of demand or  complex procedures  for  transfer of title) or by  the




owner  (e.g., lack  of "value").  At the solid waste disposal site,  the
                                    21

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IS3
ro
| -. i_ OWNERS ~i
(§) j 'NSURj^vloEALERJ
1 l_ u;_ j j i
1 1
(
1 J
1
1
1 - '
1
|
i

1 j



r \
\
f /°* "^


r
1 ^
/FINAL DISPOSAL \
\SOLID WASTE /
p
\
1 rPROCESSOR]«-fe) roiSMANTLERre— (e)
1 L -iv L _i \/

1 j
I \


{ \


'
-t ^

\ r
V V
PRIVATE PUBLIC
PROPERTY PROPERTY






|_
              Figure 6.  Abandonment:   problem creation.

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vehicle may be rejected (Decision 7) by the operator as not being acceptable




at the site, or the fee charged may be too high.  In these three cases,




the decision on how to dispose of the vehicle is again made by the




owner (Decision 2).  Obviously, rejection at acceptable sites increases




the likelihood of abandonment, and the owner decides where to abandon




it.




     Given that there presently is an abandonment problem, the decisions




that affect the flow of abandoned vehicles from public and private




property to acceptable disposal places are examined next  (Figure 7).




     Vehicles stored on their owners' private property are not cases




of abandonment, but they provide many of the same hazards and problems




as if they were.  Local laws  (e.g., zoning,  licensing) may regulate




storage of these vehicles.   If the owner decides  (Decision 1) to dispose




of a stored vehicle, the process  is the same as if  the car were abandoned




on his property by someone else.   If  the local  government decides  (Decision




2) to remove  the vehicle (a  complex question of jurisdiction  over  private




property arises),  the situation  is similar  to that  in which  the car  has




been abandoned on another's  property.




     The decision  to remove  an abandoned vehicle  from  private property




may be made by the  individual who owns  the  property (Decision 3),  or




by the local  government (Decision 4),  if empowered  to  do  so.  If  it




is made by  the  individual, he must  decide  how to  remove  the  vehicle




(Decision 5).  He  may ask  the help  of the  local government or of  a




private tower or do  it himself.   The  private tower  may not agree  to




do  it  (Decision 6), or the government may  have  a  contract agreement
                                    23

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                                     ilNDIVIDUAL)
 CAR
OWNER'
                                                                                           STORED
                                                                                           ON OWN
                                                                                           PRIVATE
                                                                                           PROPERTY
        INTERMEDIATE
           STORAGE
                  ^—-
                        w
                        /   L
                                ! DISMANTLER^-
                                                      i FINAL DISPOSAL1,

                                                      IL.SCL4!?_W^-1[.E_  J
l_
                                              I
                                             .i
                                                                       	J
      Figure 7.  Abandonment:  problem solution.

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(Decision 7)  with private towers for the removal  of vehicles in specified




di stricts.




     The local  government makes the decision on whether to remove a




vehicle abandoned on public property (Decision 8).  It will  either




remove it or contact a private tower with whom it has a contract (Decision 9)




     Once the vehicle is removed by the government or private tower,




a decision is made on the necessity for impounding it (Decision 10).




Release of the car from the impounding area is made after its owner




does not reclaim it (Decision  11).




     The next decision is whether to put the vehicle into intermediate




storage or haul it immediately to  a  dismantler,  processor,  or  disposal




site (Decision 12).  Anticipated  increases  in scrap prices or the practice




of accumulating several hulks  before hauling may encourage  the  intermediate




storage of vehicles.




     One of the three ways of  disposal  is selected:  processor, dismantler,




or a solid waste disposal site  (Decision 13).  The method chosen may be




rejected at the site or deemed not worthwhile  (Decisions  14,  15,  and  16).




If rejected by either party,  the  decisions  of storage  (Decision  12) or




selection of an alternate place  (Decision 13) come up again.  The flow




and inventories for out-of-service vehicles in 1965 are shown  in Figure




8.  (The flows represented by  dashed  lines  in Figures 6 and 7 are discussed




i n detai1 later.)
                                     25

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                       162
INDIVIDUAL
             7.247
                                 OTHER
                      1.407
                                  CAR
                                DEALERS
                      1.137
                               INSURANCE
                               COMPANIES
                      2.057
                       515
 PUBLIC
PROPERTY
   200
                       462
 PRIVATE
PROPERTY
  1,420
                       342
                      1,164
                               INDIVIDUAL
                               COLLECTOR
                 Figure 8.   1965  estimated  flow  and inventory of out-of-service
            motor vehicles (in  1,000's), based on  reference  9 and OSWMP estimates,
            Inventories for each  cycle segment are inside the boxes.

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                           Environmental  Damage






     Environmental  damage is centered in  the areas of: (1)  abandonment




on the private property of others; (2)  abandonment on public property;



(3) storage on own private property;  (k)  intermediate storage; (5)



impounding lots.



     Automobile hulks are unsightly and generally reduce aesthetic



values.  Vehicles stored on private property or left abandoned extend



and aggravate urban blight.  At times, abandoned cars become traffic



safety hazards and reduce the traffic flow capacity of streets.  Children



are attracted to the hulks  in their neighborhood, using them as playgrounds,




which are fire and safety hazards.  As breeding places for rodents




and insects, these hulks become health hazards as well.






                         Resource Conservation






     Metal and other materials  in discarded automobiles are valuable



resources that are not being used  if the vehicles remain abandoned.



Preservation of natural  beauty  and open space  cannot  be maintained



with abandoned vehicles  in  abundance.






                            Key  Decision Areas






     The  key decision  that  creates the abandonment  problem is  Decision



2  in Figure 6,  that  is,  whether to dispose  of  the vehicle  in  an acceptable



manner or  to abandon  it  on  public or private property.  Unfortunately,




it  is  easier to abandon  an  automobile  than  it  is  to dispose of it  properly.



The cost  of having a  vehicle hauled away may be  greater  than  the  rarely
                                    27

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enforced  penalty  for  abandoning  it.   Private  collectors,  dismantlers,

and  scrap  processors  often will  not  accept  certain  vehicles  (Decisions

5 and 6  in  Figure  6).   Even  solid waste  disposal  sites  (central  incinerators,

sanitary  landfills) frequently  turn  down  car  hulks  (Decision  7).  Hence,

not  only  must  a  responsible  decision  by  the vehicle's owner be encouraged

but  also  the vehicle  must be accepted by  dismantlers, processors, or

others (Decisions  5,  6» and  7),  or the owner  may  have no  alternative

but  to abandon his vehicle.  In  order to  maintain a we!1-functioning

automobile  scrap cycle, it is necessary for individuals to be able to dispose

of their unwanted motor vehicles without  excessive expense and without

violating the  law.  It  is essential  that  automobile owners be able to

place their old cars  into the cycle with  greater ease than now exists.

     The vehicle owner's original reason  for  abandonment  is in many

cases based on ignorance.   The individual responses to a U.S. Department

of Commerce study on abandonment for  1965 showed  the following results:15


                                                          Percent
     1.   The car broke down and  I left it
             where it  was	30

     2.   It cost too much  to have the car
             removed	25

     3.   I  did not know where to take the car
             or whom to cal 1   	25

     ^4.   I  could not find  the title  or the bank
             had the title	   10

     5.   Other reasons	   10
                                    28

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If the cost (or penalty) of abandoning a car were greater than the




expense for having it removed, or if an artificial  value of sufficient




size were placed on the vehicle, then 55 percent of the reasons for




abandonment would be eliminated.  If the public were made aware of




where and how to dispose of their cars, an additional 25 percent of




the abandonments would be prevented.  Thus, 80 percent of the  reasons




for abandonment as reported in this study could be greatly reduced




through positive action.




     The reasons for rejection by dismantlers and processors are complex




and are more fully dealt with in the discussions of their respective




industries.  The legal problems of  the title transfer are a major  factor




affecting their decisions.  Because of these barriers, an increasing




number of vehicles are abandoned, and  this  transfers the disposal  problems




from  individuals to the  local government.




      Barriers also exist  that slow  the  removal of abandoned vehicles.




Presently there is little or  no  financial  incentive  in most places  for




property owners to remove old cars  from  their property and have  them




actually delivered to a  scrap processor  or  for an automobile owner to




make  sure that  his junked car reenters  the  cycle.




      Government's  greatest  problems are  related  to  its authority  to




remove vehicles stored  on private  property.   If  the  storage  location




is  not operating as a business  and  is  too  small  to be  classified  a




graveyard,  zoning  and  licensing  do  not apply.   Protection of  individual




property  rights often  restricts  the government's authority  to take the




vehicles  (Decision 2  in  Figure  7).
                                     29

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      The  cost  of  removal  of  vehicles  by  the government  (Decisions  2,




 4,  and  8)  is presently  high  and  rapidly  increasing.   New  York  City's




 Department  of  Sanitation,  for  example, had  to pay  between $50  and  $60




 in  labor  and operating  costs to  remove each car  before  it contracted




 private towing  firms, which  now  pay the  city up  to $5 for each  car




 removed.




      A  long period of  impounding time  (Decision  II)  is  required  to:




 (l) determine ownership;  (2) search for  lienholders;  (3)  give  notification;




 (k) advertise;  (5) hold for  a  specified  time;  (6)  auction.  Impounding




 lots  usually operate at capacity,  this often being  the  critical  factor




 preventing  the  continued  removal  of abandoned  vehicles  from public




 and private property (Decisions  k and 8).




      The  intermediate storage  (Decision  12)  areas  (e.g.,  at gasoline




 stations)  scattered throughout the city  may  look like junk yards, for




 example, since  towers may wait for an increase in  scrap prices or an




 accumulation of vehicles before  hauling  them away.






                         DISMANTLING INDUSTRY




                          General  Description






     The third major element of  the automobile scrap cycle is the




dismantling process for automobiles.   The term "dismantling" is used




herein synonymously with other common  terms  such as "wrecking,"




"junking," and  "salvaging."  The function actually performed by a




company using  any of these terms   in its  title is  generally the same:




 (1)  obtaining  unwanted  automobiles from automobile dealers, insurance
                                    30

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companies,  consumers or municipal  pounds;  (2)  selling usable parts  from




these automobiles; (3)  keeping an  adequate inventory of parts through




a substantial  hulk accumulation; and (4) removing outdated hulks to




processing facilities.   The function performed by the dismantling




industry is invaluable  as a source of used automobile parts for repairs.




Without the parts supplied by this industry, automobile repairs would




become impossible on many older model vehicles.




     The need for the services of the dismantling industry has spawned




its growth in every corner of the country.  In 1968 an estimated




15,600 companies were engaged in dismantling operations employing 98,500




workers.16  The  industry  is characterized by a large number of small




companies, 17 percent of which are one-man operations and 53 percent of




which employ from two to  five employees.16  This  is not to  imply, however,




that the economic impact of the industry  is small.   In  1968  the  industry




had gross  receipts  totaling more  than $^.7 billion, which,  on  the basis




of 9 million automobiles  and  trucks  handled, amounted  to  $523  per vehicle.




This contrasted  with an  average price paid  for incoming vehicles of  $280




per automobile and  an average $7  per automobile  return  for  the  sale




of the hulk, which  left  an average of $250  per automobile  to cover




operating  expenses  and  profit.16




     The role of the automobile dismantler  in  the scrap cycle  is   significant




because  it provides a  link between  the  community and  the  scrap processors.




 In  1968  the dismantlers  not only  handled  the  estimated 7.7  million




vehicles that were  taken out  of service but also eliminated 1.3 million




of  the backlog of vehicles previously abandoned.17
                                     31

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                           Method of Operation



      Within  the industry,  many  different  techniques  are  used  in  handling

 vehicles.  Since  variations  in  standard operating  procedures  can  affect

 the  aesthetics  and  the  economics of a  company,  it  is  important to analyze


 the  procedures  commonly found within  the  industry. Reference  to  a schematic

 diagram  of the  industry will complement the  discussion  (Figure 9).
           i
      The first  problem  facing the dismantler is  locating a  source of

 vehicles.  Vehicles  for dismantling come  from several sources  (Table


 8):  (1)  private individuals; (2) automobile  dealers;  (3) insurance


 companies; and  (4) State and local  agencies  through  vehicle impoundment.


      By  far,  the  large  majority  of  dealers prefer  late-model  vehicles

 because of the  increased market  for the parts.   Dealers  retain the


 right to reject vehicles even if they  are brought  to  them  (Decision 1).

This  is especially true of early-model vehicles  with  any damage

whatsoever to the body.  In addition,  the widespread  practice of  private


 individuals stripping parts from abandoned cars  severely weakens  the

market for older vehicles.  Owners  of  these  vehicles  cannot


dispose of them through normal  channels and  therefore abandon them in


despa i r.

     Once a vehicle has been acquired by a dismantler, he must decide

the best way  to handle  it  (Decision 2).  This procedure is  generally

established from the beginning  of the dismantler's operation and  is


altered only  because of restrictions subsequently placed on the operation.

There are generally three choices available:  (l) dismantle  the vehicle


and store or  sell  the parts (a  technique used by only the high-profit

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                                           SOLID WASTE
                                         AIR POLLUTION
                                             NOISE
                                             ODORS
                                                                                                       REJECT
Figure 9-  Automobile dismantling  industry.

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                                 TABLE 8

          AUTOMOBILE-WRECKING  INDUSTRY'S  INVENTORY  SOURCES,9  1965
         —,= ,=•.. = .s,  v, - ^~—,-,.-.r •".- ; -. .... . —-. - ~ ~-~ -- --. .' ' "=! -s="ja—r . -. -_^.,.v,-. ,7^. -—i. , ±- ^ z-^sr^ ——__ -T  j::=_s^a:

                  Sources                                       Percent
 Individuals                                                       38
 Automobile and truck dealers, new and used                        26
 Insurance companies                                               2)
 State and local  agencies                                          12
 Other                                                           	3_
                                                 Total            100
 urban  dismantlers);  (2)  store the vehicle undismantled with parts

 to  be  removed  later  as needed; (3)  shortcut the dismantling process

 altogether  and  make  little or no attempt to reclaim any parts.  The

 outcome of  the  decision  concerning which of these alternatives v/i 11

 be  chosen  is determined  by the location of the dismantler, the quality

 of  the vehicle,  the  age  of the vehicle, the proximity of a processor,

 the size of the  dismantler's  inventory, and the basic method of operation

 of  the dismantler.   The  second method is generally chosen because

 it  requires  less  labor and because in most cases storage space is

 not a problem.   If,  however,  the dismantler chooses to dismantle  the

 parts, he must also  decide whether or not to store dismantled vehicle

 hulks  (Decision  k) and whether to store dismantled parts or to sell

 them directly (Decision  3).   In  any case, if the hulks are inventoried,

a decision  must  eventually come  to remove them from inventory and

 return them to the cycle  (Decision 5 or 6).

     Once the parts  have  been  removed,  a decision must be made to determine

how the waste material will be removed  from the dismantled hulk (Decision

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7).   In some cases,  no waste removal  is required by the processor,




since his equipment  can remove waste  materials.   If wastes are removed




by the dismantler, there are generally three methods available:   (1)




open burning; (2) hand stripping; (3)  controlled incineration.  Traditionally,




open burning has been the least expensive and most widely used of the




three methods.   In many areas, stricter air pollution standards are




all  but eliminating this alternative.   Hand stripping is being more




widely used  in areas with open burning restrictions.  It  is very expensive,




however, with a cost ranging from $3.00 to $5.00 per vehicle.16  In




some marginal operations, this alternative is economically impossible.




Controlled  incineration is slowly taking the place of open burning.




The switch  to this form of waste removal is slow, however, since it




requires the installation of equipment to ensure control  of air pollutants.




A result of waste removal is the accumulation of waste materials in




the dismantling  yard, and in some cases, this accumulation can occupy




a considerable amount of space.




     After  the waste materials have been removed,  the hulks may be




stored  temporarily  (Decision 8).  This storage will  generally not be




for any  appreciable period of  time, but a decision  to  remove  the hulk




from storage must be made (Decision 9).  When the  vehicle is  ready




to be  removed from  the yard, sometimes a form of volume  reduction  is




used before shipping  to  the processor  (Decision  10).   This  is  often




some form of flattening  prior  to shipping via flatbed  truck.
                                    35

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      This  constitutes  the  spectrum of  activities  performed  by  the  dismantlers,




 Other variations  of  the  techniques described  have undoubtedly  been




 used.   The attempt here  has  been  to examine  the  commonly  found procedures.






                           Environmental  Damage






      Complaints directed at  the dismantling  industry  from the  general




 public  usually stem  from some  form of  environmental exploitation or




 deterioration caused by  the  industry.  This  is generally  evidenced




 by various  forms  of  pollution  and  aesthetic deterioration.




      Air pollution is  a major  environmental problem for the  dismantlers




 and could  occur at Decision  7-  Open burning, the primary source of




 this  problem, is  the cheapest  and  quickest way to remove  nonmetallics




 from  dismantled automobile hulks.   In  many areas,  this practice is




 being outlawed by stricter air pollution control  statutes.   In  rural




 areas, however, it may still remain one of the most common methods




 of waste removal.




     Noise pollution is common to  many operators.  This is a difficult




 problem to rectify since machinery commonly used  in the dismantling




process is inherently noisy.  Compacting, smashing, or flattening vehicles




 for removal to a processor as a result of Decision 10 also generates




noise.  Solution of the noise problem can be partially achieved through




an information program that draws  the attention of the  dismantlers




 to the noise problem and suggests ways to minimize it.

-------
     A third environmental  problem caused by the dismantlers is one

of aesthetics.  Many dismantlers1  inventory practices resulting from

Decision 2 create large piles of vehicle hulks that are aesthetically

unpleasing.  Attempts at screening legislation have partially corrected

the problem near major interstate highways, but the coverup achieved

by screening is not the best solution.  Dismantlers1 inventories have

been estimated  (Table 9).


                                Table 9

                   DISMANTLERS1 CUMULATIVE  INVENTORIES
Year
1965
1970
1975
1980
Opt i mi stic*
6,570,000
3,285,000
3,528,000
3,805,000
Med i umt
6,570,000
6,958,000
7,W»,000
7,999,000
Pess imi st i cf
12,000,000
12,388,000
12,87^,000
13,^29,000
     "Based on  inventory estimate  in  reference 9,  reduced by 50 percent
     through  1970 to  reflect  removal  of cars with  little or no parts
     value, then 0.5  percent  of out-of-service vehicles  retained  thereafter.
     tSame  inventory9 but  1 percent retention  rate.
     tlnventory based on references 9 and  12 with  1  percent retention  rate.


     Another  environmental problem indirectly  caused by  actions of

 the  dismantlers is  the  vehicle  abandonment  problem.   By  self-imposed

 vehicle  input restrictions  (Decision  1, Figure 9),  the dismantler can

 adversely affect the  number of  vehicles abandoned.   With  some  incentive,

 direct or  indirect, to  handle as many vehicles as  possible,  the abandonment

 problems caused by  the  dismantlers could  be alleviated.
                                    37

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                           Resource  Conservation






      By  holding  large  inventories of  vehicles within  their yards, dis-




mantlers  restrict  the  flow of  vehicular scrap through the scrap cycle




and thereby withhold the scrap  from its reuse potential.  This problem




is  influenced by the results of Decisions 2, ^, 5, 6, 8, and 9 (Figure




9), which determine the amount of scrap stockpiled and held in dismantlers1




i nventori es.






                           Key Decision Areas






     There are several  key decisions within the dismantling industry




that affect the expeditious flow of vehicular scrap (Figure 9).




     Decision 1  determines whether or not a vehicle ever moves into




the dismantling stage of the scrap cycle.   The present reluctance of




dismantlers to accept vehicles with a low potential for the resale of




parts  produces an adverse effect on the number of abandoned vehicles.




Legal  problems resulting from local  statutes concerning abandoned vehicles




cause  dismantlers to be cautious about accepting titleless  vehicles.




     Decisions 2, ^, and 8 determine whether or not vehicles  will be




inventoried in the dismantling yard for any period of time.   The  present




tendency of dismantlers to establish an inventory of vehicles  for the




potential sale of attached parts produces  a delay in the movement of




scrap  through the scrap cycle.




     Decision 7 determines the method  by which waste materials are removed




from a dismantled hulk.  This decision is  being increasingly  influenced
                                    38

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by the establishment of stricter air pollution regulations  outlawing




open burning.   These regulations present an economic barrier to the




small dismantling companies, which cannot afford to handstrip nonferrous




waste materials from hulks.  These companies may be forced  to stockpile




dismantled hulks because processors will reject them, and they may eventually




be forced out  of business, leaving their inventory of hulks behind.




Small communities would be affected because abandoned vehicles would




accumulate in  the areas normally served by the extinct dismantlers.




     A final barrier to scrap movement  is the high freight schedule




for  automobile hulk shipment.  This tends to  restrict the movement of




vehicular scrap from dismantlers to processors.  Dismantlers  tend  to stock-




pile hulks waiting  for higher scrap prices to cover  the high  freight costs.






                           PROCESSING  INDUSTRY




                           General Description






     Processors used balers, shredders, and shears  to produce  the  estimated




8.6  million tons of motor  vehicle  scrap purchased  by  the iron  and  steel




industry  in 19&7-16  Most  processed scrap was baled  or shredded.   Sheared




automotive scrap  is a  relatively  recent development.  There  are about




800  balers  in  operation  in the  country, some  companies having more than




one  baler.16




     The  Business and  Defense Service  Administration (BDSA)  has estimated




that there are  62 shredder plants  with an  annual  capacity  of 4,163,000




tons of  scrap  production.   In addition, seven more such  plants were
                                     39

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 under construction  or planned  for  1970.16   Their  geographic  distribution

 is  shown (Table  10).   Baler capacity  is  estimated to  be  at  least  that

 of  shredders.


                                 TABLE  10

       GEOGRAPHIC  DISTRIBUTION  OF AUTOMOBILE  SCRAP SHREDDER PLANTS
            IN  THE UNITED  STATES  (STATUS  AS  OF  DECEMBER  1969)16

New England
Middle Atlantic
East North Central
West North Central
South Atlantic
East South Central
West South Central
Mountai n
Pacific
Total
No. of
plants*
4
7
19
k
7
5
6
7
10
6T
Estimated annual capacity
Net tons
205,000
WO, 000
1,^70,000
252,000
265,000
261,000
198,000
350,000
682,000
A, 163, 000
Percent of total
5.0
11.5
35.4
6.0
6.3
6.3
4.7
8.4
16.4
100.0
     "Operating, under construction, or definitely planned for  1970.
May  include some plants also using other that automobile scrap.  Source:
BDSA estimates; based upon  information from the  Institute of Scrap  Iron
and Steel and automobile wrecking industry association data and shredder
companies.


     The actual physical operation of a processing facility begins

with the receipt of the automobile hulk from the dismantler and ends

with the development of a raw material that is useful for steel manufacturers

(Figure 10).

     After the dismantler has stripped from the vehicle all parts with

significant market value,  the remaining hulk is delivered to the processor.

At this point, the processor must decide (Decision 1) what he is willing

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r
  TRANSPORT
         SEPARATEMi iHSHREDfe
                                                                 -44*
      1
FROM DIS-
WANTLER
                                                                                 •—*• REJECT
                                                                            INPUT
                                                                            INV.
    Figure 10.  Automobile hulk processing industry.

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 to pay for the hulk.   The hulk price depends  on general  acceptability,




 weight of  recoverable  material,  expected  scrap  prices,  and  the  amount




 of processing  needed  to separate the contaminants  from  the  salable




 scrap.  If the hulk  is  accepted  by  the processor,  he  has  to decide




 (Decision  2) whether  to process  immediately or  to  inventory.  Relevant




 factors  that affect  this  decision are  the operating capacity  of  the




 facility,  the  immediate market value of the scrap, and  the  mobility




 and  amount of  labor available  to do the processing.




      The next  decision  (3)  confronting the processor  is either  to  increase




 or decrease his  inventory of unprocessed  automobile hulks.  The  factors




 that  influence  his decision are  the same  as those outlined  in Decision




 2  as  well  as other factors, such as  the marginal cost of  land for storage.




      Once  the  automobile  hulk  has been obtained either from  inventory




 or directly from the dismantler  to  be  processed, Decision k must be




 made  whether or not it  is  desirable  to strip the hulk further of contaminants.



 This  decision depends upon the quality of  the automobile hulk to be




 processed.   If  it is decided that the  dismantler has removed enough




of the contaminants (nonmetals and other material that have a marked




effect on market value when mixed with ferrous metal)  or if the actual




processes to be employed can separate or reduce the contaminants




 to an acceptable level, further stripping can be bypassed.  If, however,



 it is decided that there  is a sufficient amount of contaminants that




cannot be removed in the processes,  further stripping  cannot be avoided.

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     Having decided  that  further stripping of contaminants  is  needed,




the processor must decide (Decision 5)  which method best meets his




needs.   The choice between hand stripping, open burning, and enclosed




burning is affected  by many factors, the majority of which  are beyond




the control of the processor (i.e., prevailing air pollution laws,




labor wage scale, beautificat ion laws,  etc.) .




     The next decision (6) to confront the processor Is the choice




of slabbing the automobile hulk.  Slabbing is basically just compressing




the hulk into a more manageable size--usually 2 ft X 2  ft X 20 ft.  Slabbing



is necessary if a guillotine shear  is used in the processing scheme




and is beneficial if inventory space is a problem or if transportation




precludes  further processing.  The  decision  (7) to place the slabbed




automobile hulks, "scrap  logs," into inventory depends  on the same




factors affecting inventory Decision 2 on the prevailing market value




of scrap and the  production capability of the processes.  The size




of the  inventory  (Decision 8)  also  depends on  the  marginal  costs of




the land.




     At this point  in  the  processing scheme  the  most crucial  decision




(9) must be  made.   The processor has to decide  the  quality  of  the scrap




his facility will produce  and  then  specify  the  appropriate  equipment




and techniques  to be  used--baling,  shearing,  or  shredding.  This capital-



intensive  decision  has a major effect  on  the unit  costs of  the whole




scrapping  process but  also,  and possibly  more importantly,  affects




the unit  revenue from the scrap.

-------
      If the automobile hulk is  baled,  processing  ceases,  and  all  that




 remains is  to transport the bale  to the steelmaker.   If,  however,  shearing




 or  shredding is  considered,  further decisions  must  be  made  by  the  processor




 A shearing  process  using  vibrating  conveyors passing over magnetic




 separators  produces  a  scrap of  higher  quality  than  baled  scrap.  Now




 the  processor has  the  option (Decision 10) either to sell the  scrap




 or  to  improve the  quality  further by shredding  followed by  magnetic




 separation.   The main  consideration is  whether  the  increase of the




 unit costs  by use of the  shredder is less  than  the  increase in revenue




 from a  higher quality  scrap.




     Regardless of  the  decision to  shear before shredding,  another




 decision  (11)  has to be made by the processor after the automobile




 hulk has been shredded  and  passed over  a magnetic separator.  The scrap




 at this point is of better quality  than baled scrap or sheared scrap.




 The scrap can, therefore, be easily marketed, but the processor may




 find that melting and pigging the scrap may upgrade its quality and




 increase its  density, thus  increasing  the value of the scrap and reducing




 transport costs.  Currently, however, this is not widely practiced.




     After the scrap has been processed to a predetermined quality,




 the  processor must decide (Decision  12) whether to place the scrap




 into inventory or ship directly to  the  steel-process ing plant.  The




 factors that affect this decision  are the market price of the scrap,




mode of transportation  from facility to steel plant, and processing




capabilities.  Reducing inventory  (Decision 13) depends on essentially

-------
the same factors  mentioned  in the previous  inventory  decision,  the




value of the scrap,  marginal  costs of the land,  storage  capacity and




processing capabilities of  the facility,  mode of transportation, and




aesthetics.






                          Environmental  Damage






     The scrap-processing industry affects the environment in two main




ways:  aesthetically by the  inventory of automobile hulks, and by any




action on  the part of  the industry that would place unreasonable




constraints on the dismantling industry.  This can cause  increasing




hulk  inventories and also increased abandonment.  Noise and dust may




also  be problems.






                          Resource Conservation






      The  scrap-processing industry is the critical link between  useless




automobiles and  useful, ferrous  scrap.   Actions by the processors  that




affect  either scrap  price or quality  adversely  act as an  impediment to




reuse of  automobile  scrap  in foundries and mills.  This,  of  course,




directly  influences  the  increased use of raw ores  and, hence,  the




decreased conservation of natural resources.






                            Key Dec is ion  Areas






      The  key  decision  areas  in the automobile processing  industry




 are inventory Decisions  1,  2, 3, 7,  8,  12,  and 13, and  process

-------
 Decision  9-   Each  area will  be discussed  in detail.   The  inventory




 decisions  are affected by  the  following factors.




      1.   Fluctuations  in  the market  value  of scrap may  cause  the  processors




 to  inventory  rather  than  process  when  the  price  is  low.




      2.   The  minimum operating capacity of the facility also  affects




 inventory  decisions  and Decision  2  in  particular.  Even when  the  scrap




 prices are  low,  a  facility continues to produce  these inventories because




 of  their  fixed costs.   This  inventory  also acts  as a  buffer to ensure




 that  a minimum daily input to  the processing equipment  is maintained




 regardless of automobile hulk  deliveries.




      3.  The  cost of the  land  and taxes limits the inventory  that a




 processor  is willing to maintain.  Currently, because most processors are




 in  urban areas,  this factor  does  limit  input  inventories significantly.




      ^.  Aesthetics, new zoning laws,  municipal ordinances, and the




 Federal beautificat ion  program have either  regulated or have affected




 the costs of having  large inventories.




     The inventory Decisions at 2 and  3 involve automobile hulks;  at




Decisions 7 and  8, automobile hulk slabs; and at Decisions 12 and 13,




either bales or  sheared or shredded scrap.  Automobile hulks are  less




pleasing to the eye  than shredded scrap; similarly,  more area would




be  required to store automobile hulks than  to store  shredded,  baled,




or sheared scrap.  If,   therefore,  an inventory control were needed,




 it should be applied to automobile hulk inventory.   This apparently




 is not a problem, however,  because in 1965, processors processed more

-------
than 6 million vehicles.   Of these,  less than 10 percent were in inventory

during the year.9  Moreover, to prevent an inventory at the beginning

of the process, the decision to reject the incoming automobile hulks

(Decision 1) would be made.  This would cause worse problems at dismantlers1

yards and on public and private property.

     Decision 9  in the processing scheme determines the quality of

scrap to be produced, which in turn indicates the types of processes to

be used.  Basically there are three qualities of scrap produced

by three different processes.  The factors that affect the choice of

quality and processes are the following:

      1.  The market value of the different qualities of  scrap  steel.

As of February  1970, American Metal Markets  Prices  at  Cincinnati, Ohio

were  No. 2  bundle  steel  (the product  of a baler) $26.00  per  ton;  No.

2  heavy melting  steel  (the  product of a shredder)  $37.00 per ton.

      2.  The  amount of available capital  needed to  purchase  the selected

process equipment.  Given  equal  capacities,  a  shredding  process requires

a  substantially  higher  investment  than either  a shear  or a baler.   A

 range of  capital costs  for each  process is  as  follows:

      Balers           $  15,000 to  $200,000
      Shears           $   2,000 to  $175,000
      Shredder         $300,000 to  $3  million

      3.   As is evident  by the price  quotations, the shredder produces the

 highest quality scrap,  and detailed  demand  analysis indicates that it has

-------
 higher  demand  elasticity.   Therefore,  the shredded product  is  much




 easier  to  sell,  even  in  times  of low steel  production.   Consequently,




 a  more  certain business  may be possible.




      The final  transportation  of the processed  automobile scrap  to




 the  scrap  users  represents  the final  key  problem area  in the processing



 industry.  The  cost of scrap to manufacturers  is  a critical factor




 in their decision  to  use it, and this  cost  is a function of the  raw-




 material cost  (automobile hulks),  the  actual processing, and the  cost




 of transportation.




      As of 1966, the  average cost  per  ton  to haul  ferrous scrap material




 was  $4.12 while  the cost for iron  ore  was  $1.64.18  These rates are




 in part based on relative percentages  of  usable  raw material.  As of




 1966, usable raw ferrous material  in ore  represented approximately




 60 percent of gross ore weight.  On  the basis of  this adjustment, ferrous




 scrap should have been transported at  a cost of $2.46 per ton  if  iron




ore were transported  for $1.64  per ton, minor increased  costs of  transporting




scrap being assumed.   The discrimination against scrap relative to




 iron  ore amounted to  $1.66 per  ton.  Since  1966, several rate  increases




have  caused costs of  transporting scrap to  increase to $4.97 while




 iron  ore transport  costs  rose to $2.05 per  ton.   Adjusted to the 60




percent  ore content,   scrap should be transported for $2.98.   The discrimination



amounted,  therefore,   to about $2.00 per ton.  In addition, pelletizing




of iron  ore has increased dramatically, and 90  percent usable content




 is expected in  the  near future.  Even with  the  assumption of an increase
                                    48

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of usable ferrous material  to only 75 percent of total weight, the




adjusted transportation difference between iron ore and ferrous scrap




is $2.25. If the adjustment were ever to be 90 percent in reality,




the difference would amount to almost $2.70.




     Clearly, this differential added to the price of the scrap should




be reevaluated in light of the environmental and resource conservation




advantages associated with scrap  reuse.






                              SCRAP-END USE




                           General Description






     Any analysis of the possibilities of  recycling automobile  hulks




to rid  the  landscape of these eyesores must  necessarily  involve a look




at the  iron  and  steel  industry,  for  it is  in this  area  that  "recycling"




actually occurs.




     The steel  industry and  the  foundry  industry  are  the major consumers




of scrap  iron  and steel.   Production of  raw  steel  has increased from




 130  million  tons19  in  1965 to  139 million  tons20  in  1969.  A  3 percent




 rate of growth  in  the  consumption of steel mill  products has been predicted




 to  1975.21   Although  production  in the foundry industry has  not changed




 from the 18.8  million  tons produced  in 1965,9'22 a growth rate of it.5 percent




 has  been predicted  to  1975-22   Whereas the steel  industry is concentrated in




 areas  like Pittsburgh  and Chicago, foundries are more numerous and




 widely distributed.
                                      49

-------
                               DefIni tions






     The steel and  iron  industry normally uses properly prepared scrap



 in  the production of castings.  "Scrap"  is a generic term that must be



 further defined to  be meaningful  in  the  following discussion.  The



 areas of scrap origination used to define the scrap are listed in the



 order of desirability from the standpoint of the scrap user.



     Home Scrap.  In the production  and  casting of steel there is waste



 steel in the form of trimmings and spills at the steel plant.  This



 home scrap  is most  desirable from the viewpoint of cost and the fact



 that it is of known composition and  purity.



     Prompt Industrial Scrap.  This  scrap is produced in industrial




 plants as they process and finish the raw steel for their own particular



 needs.  It also is  generally of known composition and purity.




     Obsolete Scrap.  This scrap is  of two main types:  (l)  Demolition



scrap.  Although depreciated somewhat by age, this scrap is  of fairly




 uniform quality and desirable to the steel industry; (2) Other.  As




 the name implies,  this type of scrap has various sources and thus is of




varying quality and composition.   One such source is processed automobile



hulks.  When the steel  producer wishes to reduce consumption of scrap,



"other,  obsolete" scrap is the first to go.



     Scrap iron and steel play an important and interchanging role




 in the production  of raw steel  and cast  iron.  The relative  percentages



of the various types of scrap used in iron and steel production are



shown in Figure ]1.

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                 BRIDGES
                 BUILDING
                 RAILROAD
DEMOLITION
  SCRAP
OTHER
AUTOS - 9%
STEEL CANS
ETC
   )  PROMPT
      SCRAP
       16%
                 OBSOLETE
                  SCRAP
                   24%
Figure  11.  Scrap used  in  steelmaking.

-------
                               Steel  Industry






      The  production  of  steel  is  illustrated  in  Figure  12.  As  steel




 scrap moves  from  the processor,  it  is  exported,  sold on  the domestic




 market, or  rejected  (Decision  l).  This  decision generally depends on




 the  selling  price  of scrap  in  each market  and the quality of the scrap.




 The  export of  scrap  steel has  traditionally been significant.   It




 is estimated that  9  million  tons of  scrap  were exported  in 1969,




 the  majority to Japan.   Because of the smaller capital investment




 in electric  furnaces, developing countries are  installing more




 of them.  This trend  may  increase export demand  for scrap steel,




 because electric furnaces can  use over 90  percent scrap.




      The exported  scrap  steel  is from purchased  scrap  rather than from




 home  scrap.  This  fact  increases the impact that  foreign markets may




 have  on automobile scrap consumption.




     At Decision 2,  the  ferrous scrap may either be used by steel plants




 or foundries (Figure  12).   In  1969, 28.4 million  tons of purchased




 scrap were used by the steel industry and 4.5 million tons by foundries




At Decision 3,  steel   scrap may be used in steel-producing furnaces




or in blast furnaces   in the production of pig iron.   The reason for




 usage  in pig iron production is unclear,  but scrap consumption in these




blast furnaces  is  considerable.  In 1968, the consumption of scrap




by this method  was 4,267,000 net tons.12




     The two materials flowing into the steelmaking  furnaces  are pig




 iron  and scrap  steel.  Pig iron is  produced primarily in blast furnaces
                                   52

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en
co
             STEEL
              USER
                                                                                                                   PURCHASED
                                                                                                                     SCRAP
                                                                                                                     (STEEL)
                                                     HOME SCRAP
                                                                                                             REJECT
                                                                                                                           EXPORT
                  CAST
                   IRON*
                  USER
1
r" y

F


OPEN
HEARTH

BOF

ELECTRIC




y

                                                                                 INGOTS
BENEFICIATED
   AND
PELLETIZED
   ORE
                                                                                                                   TO
                                                                                                                FOUNDRY
                 EXPORT
                  OR
                 REJECT
                                                                                                                     PURCHASED
                                                                                                                       SCRAP
                                                                                                                     (CAST IRON)
           Figure  12.  Scrap-end use.

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 through the heating of coke, limestone, and iron ore.   Traditionally,




 the pig iron has been cast into ingots for transportation to the steel




 furnaces,  where final refinement occurs (Decision ^,  Figure  12).




      In many steel  plants,  the  reduction of iron ore  to pig  iron by




 the blast  furnace  occurs  adjacent  to the steel-producing facilities.




 There  is an economy in transporting the pig iron to the steel  furnaces




 in  a molten state,  rather than  in  casting  ingots and  transporting them




 solidified.   In  these integrated plants,  the  hot metal  goes  directly




 to  the  steel  furnaces,  requiring no reheating of the cold iron.   Because




 of  the  resulting cost  savings and  the  capital  investment in  the  transporting




 system, the  steel producer  is less  interested  in purchasing  cold scrap.




 In  the  production of  steel  by integrated plants,  approximately 39 percent




 of  the  furnace charge  is  scrap, while  in nonintegrated  plants  this




 percentage  is about 80.   The existence  of  these  integrated plants  should




 not have a significant effect on future scrap consumption, because




 in  1963, 92 percent of steel production was at integrated plants.




Thus, the impact of the integrated  plant has essentially  been assimilated




by the  scrap industry.




     At Decision 5, the producer establishes the  ratio of scrap  steel




 to pig   iron consumed  in the steel furnaces.  This ratio  depends  on




 the type of furnace employed and thus depends on  the decision made




at point 7  in the flow diagram (Figure  12).  The decision to use home




 scrap in the steel   furnaces (point 6 in the diagram) is  usually  predetermined



 by  the  amount available,  the cheap cost, and close proximity.  The

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most crucial  decision with regard to automobile scrap consumption is




made at Decision 7-  For the sake of background and simplicity, the




three basic steel-making processes will be discussed individually:




     Open Hearth.   The open hearth furnace has been the primary method




of producing steel for many decades.23  In 1969, 60.9 million  tons of steel




were produced by the open-hearth method (accounting for A3.2 percent




of total U.S. steel production).-  The open hearth uses about  kO  percent




scrap  in its furnace charge.




     The trend  in  steelmaking  is away  from the open hearth and toward




more efficient  furnaces.   (In  1959, the open hearth accounted  for 86




percent of total U.S. steel production.)  There  is also a  slight  trend



toward  using  less  scrap  in  the open-hearth furnace charge.




     Basic Oxygen  Furnace  (BOF).  The  basic oxygen furnace was introduced




into the United States  in  195** and  since  then  has  made  tremendous strides




in  capturing  steel production  capacity (mostly at  the expense  of  the




open hearth).   The BOF  is  highly  efficient and is  almost  to  the point




of  revolutionizing steel  production in the country.




      In 1969i  60.2 million tons  of  steel  were  produced  by the  BQF,  accounting




for k2.7  percent  of  total  U.S.  steel  production.23  In  1970, BOF production




surpassed  steel production by  open  hearth.   The scrap  consumption by




 the BOF has  consistently held  at about 28 percent of the furnace charge.




The percent  of steel production by  BOF's  has risen dramatically  in the




 past several  years.






     *Total steel  production in 1969 is estimated to have been  139 million  tons
                                      55

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      Electric  Furnace.   The  electric  furnace  is  substantially  different




 from  the  other two  furnaces.   A  relatively  small  capital  investment




 is  required  in the  facility.   Because it  relies  totally on  electric




 power and a  98 percent  scrap  charge,  the  criteria  for  the physical  location




 of  such a plant  are  different than  for  the  BOF and  open hearth.




      The  production  of  the electric furnace has  risen  steadily  to  1^.1




 percent (19.9  million tons) of total  production  in  1969.  The  percentage




 of  scrap  in  the  furnace  charge will remain at about 98 percent.




      The  steel  as produced by one of  these  three methods  is  now  ready




 for final  preparation for the steel consumer  (Decision 8, Figure 12).




 Conventionally,  the  molten steel  is solidified and  partially cooled so




 that  it may  be shaped to meet the specifications of the consumer (the




 lower  branch at  Decision 8 on the flow  diagram).  A more  recent  technique




 is continuous  casting, wherein the molten steel  is  poured in the proper




 shape  to meet  the needs  of the consumer.  The continuous-casting technique




 produces 50  percent  less home  scrap and can cause  increased  use of prompt




 and obsolete scrap.  This development will, therefore, increase somewhat




 the demand for automobile scrap.






                               Foundries






      Iron  foundries  take pig  iron, cast iron scrap, and scrap steel,




melt them  in a furnace,   and then pour the product  into molds to solidify




 in a given shape (Decisions 10 and 11).  The resulting cast  iron is




more brittle and harder  than  steel and particularly suited  to be machined




for use where  resistance to vibrations and shocks is required.  With
                                    56

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reference to the industry flow diagram,  two major types of furnaces




are used in producing cast iron (Decision 12).  For the 15 years before




1963, the cupola furnace consistently accounted for about 91 percent




of cast iron production  (the air furnace accounting for essentially




the remainder).  It is assumed that this ratio holds at the present




time.



     During the 5-year period  1959-1963, the average annual cast  iron




production was  15-7 million tons.   It is estimated  that  in  1970  the




cast iron production was  18.3  million tons.  During the  1959-1963 period,




scrap  ferrous  metal accounted  for about  Ik  percent  of  the charge  in




cupolas  and about  85.5  percent of the charge  in  the air  furnace.   In




the  cupola, one-third  of the  scrap  charge  is  steel  and two-thirds is




scrap  cast  iron.   The  same  ratio of steel  to  cast  iron for  the air furnace




being  assumed, estimated scrap consumption for iron foundries  in 1970




 is shown (Table 11).






                                TABLE  11




          ESTIMATED SCRAP CONSUMPTION FOR IRON FOUNDRIES  IN  1970

Material
Pig iron
Scrap steel
Scrap cast i ron
Totals
Cupol
Furnace
charge
(*)
26.0
24.7
49.3
100.0
a
Consumption
(ton x 106)
4.33
4.11
8.21
16.65
Air
Furnace
charge
(%}
14.5
28.5
57.0
100.0
furnace
Consumption
(ton x 106)
0.2*4
0.47
0.94
1.65

Total
Consumption
(ton x 106)
4.57
4.58
9.15
18.30
                                     57

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     There does  not appear  to be any recent major technological breakthrough

 in  iron casting  that will significantly change scrap consumption.  The

 determining factor  in scrap consumption appears to be the production

 of  new cast iron.  BDSA predicts that the industry production of cast

 iron will increase at a rate of A.5 percent per year through 1975.

 If  this estimate holds, there should be a continually increasing demand

 for obsolete scrap.

                         Cast iron production
                            (mi 11 ion tons)
                    1959-1963:  15.7 (yearly average)
                         1968:  17-9
                         1969:  18.8
                         1970:  18.3


     Scrap cast  iron elements (engine blocks, brake shoes, crankshafts,

car wheels,  etc.) cannot be used in the production of steel, because of the

high percentage of carbon (3 percent) in cast iron (Decision 2, Figure 12).

On the other hand, steel is used in foundries because of the less

stringent requirements in composition of cast iron.  Thus, the recycling

of certain elements of a junked automobile depend solely on the iron

foundries.  But  these elements are less objectionable than the hulk

 itself.   It is hoped that the cast iron elements of an automobile will

become a byproduct of the preparation of hulks for use by the steel

 industry.  The market mechanism influencing the use of this byproduct

must necessarily escape detailed analysis in this report.

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                           Environmental  Damage






     Although numerous primary environmental problems are associated




with the  iron and steel mills and foundries, they are not directly related




to automobile recycling.  Minimal scrap demands, however, result in




accumulations of automobile hulks in processors' and dismantlers1 inventories



and  in  increased abandoning of junked automobiles on public and  private



property—and this  directly affects  the environment.






                          Resource Conservation






      Insufficient  utilization of  scrap automobiles  automatically implies




inefficient resource  conservation.   Every  ton  of scrap  not  used  implies




an  additional amount  of raw materials consumed.   Complete utilization



of  automobile scrap can,  therefore,  mean maximum conservation of natural



resources.






                             Key  Decision Areas






      To ensure  adequate utilization  of  available and projected automobile



scrap,  several  key decision  areas must  be  analyzed to explain the complex




 trends  that will  affect future  automobile  scrap recycling.   Three decision




areas appear to be crucial  (Decisions 7,  8, and 9).  Decision 7 determines



 the type of process used and, therefore,  the ultimate demand for scrap.



 Because  the steel   industry is in a period of change, it  is important



 to examine what effect these changes will  have on the consumption of



 scrap steel.  The  most apparent change is  in the type of furnace used
                                     59

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to produce steel.  These developments will be discussed first and then,




using furnace  trends as a baseline,  che effects of other trends will be




examined.  Statistics for 1969 steel production and projections for 1975




are shown  (Table  12).






                                  TABLE 12




                PERCENT SCRAP USED  IN AVERAGE FURNACE CHARGE






1969





1975


Furnace
type

Open hearth
and
Bessemer
BOF
E lect ri c
Totals
Open hearth
and
Bessemer
BOF
E lect ri c
Totals
% of steel
production


1*3.2

1*2.7
11*. 1
100.0

20

55
25
100
% of furnace Weighted percent of
x charge as = scrap used in
scrap

4o

28
98


1*0

28
98

average fur

17

12
13
43

8

15
2k
47
nace charge

.3

.0
.8
.1

.0

.1*
-5
.9
     In 1969  43.1 percent of the furnace charge was scrap, and it is




estimated that 47-9 percent of the furnace charge will be scrap in 1975.




Thus  there should be an increased demand for scrap in 1975 due solely




to the expected shift in furnace production.  On the assumption that




there will be no  increase in total steel production by 1975, the increase




in scrap consumption over the 1969 consumption of 61 million tons would




be 6.8 million tons.  Of course, steel production will probably increase.
                                    60

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     Decision 8 concerns the type of casting method used and therefore




determines the quantity of home scrap available to compete with automobile




scrap.  It is estimated that 18.5 percent of all final steel preparation




was by continuous casting in 1970.  It is also estimated that by




1975 this percentage will rise to 38.5 percent.  Continuous casting




does reduce  the quantity of home scrap by 50 percent.   If the steel




producer desires to maintain a constant  input of the scrap  proportion,




then the scrap deficit will be made up by purchased scrap.   If,




because of less waste steel produced  in  the continuous-casting  process,




the producer  desires to  decrease  the  proportion of scrap  in the charge,




then  the consumption of  purchased scrap  may not  increase.   The  third




alternative  is to  increase  the proportion of pig  iron  in  the  charge




in order  to  operate  the  furnace  at  capacity.   In  this  case, the purchased




scrap  may  not be  increased.   In  any of  these three cases,  it appears




the consumption  of purchased  scrap  will  not decrease  and  may increase.




      Decision 9  affects  the type of ore  used  in steel  and foundry




production.   In  many areas, low-quality  iron ore is  treated before




 reduction  in the blast furnace.   This treatment raises low-grade




ore  (taconite)  from 25 percent iron to about  65 percent iron (equivalent




 to high-grade ore).   The treated ore is formed into pellets for ease




 of handling  and  feeding to the blast furnace.






                        Demand for Automobile Scrap






      In 1969, the gross domestic consumption of scrap  steel was 61




 million tons.  Coupling this figure with 9 million tons of exports
                                     61

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yields a total of  70 million  tons of U.S. scrap consumed in 1969.

Specific data are  unavailable  regarding the source of this quantity

of scrap.  Traditionally, the  scrap source is as shown (Table 13).8
                                TABLE 13

                            SOURCES OF SCRAP
                                           % of total scrap
           Source                       consumed domestically
     Home scrap                                  °0
     Prompt industrial                           16
     Obsolete                                    2/t
     Since automobile scrap composes approximately 36 percent of the

obsolete scrap, it amounts to only about 9 percent (approximately

5.5 million tons in 1969) of the total scrap used in domestic steel

production.  The scrap market apparently is not saturated with automobile

scrap.  On the basis of the general trends in the steel industry discussed

earlier and the amount of automobile scrap currently used, it appears

that the demand for scrap in the immediate future will remain strong,

provided price and quality requirements are met.


                               SUMMARY OF
                     AUTOMOBILE-RECYCLING PROBLEMS


     The foregoing discussions have dealt in detail with the problems

caused by  the  individual  industries in the automobile cycle.  In addition

the interrelationships have been briefly mentioned.  In this section,
                                   62

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the overview will  again be taken to put the main problems in perspective




and to delineate the key decisions and interrelationships that cause them.






                              Abandonment






     The abandonment of vehicles on public and private property is




a significant problem.  In 1970, approximately 1,300,000 vehicles




were abandoned.  By 1975. approximately 1,500,000 vehicles will be




abandoned if current trends are allowed to continue.  Although these




numbers  represent a small percentage of total vehicles taken out of




service,  in absolute numbers they  cannot be discounted.   In fact,




the accumulations of abandoned  vehicles may exceed  8 million by  1980.




Clearly,  this problem  must be  remedied  if  the Nation's natural beauty




is to  be maintained.   The actual  abandonment  is  caused by  the  last




owner's  decision  to  leave  it on public  or  private property  rather




than  take  it  to an  adequate disposal  or recycling facility.   This




can be attributed  to  many  factors, including  lack of  knowledge and




rejection of  vehicles  by  dismantlers  and  processors.   The latter,




as well  as  the  owner's basic  decision to  abandon,  is  primarily due




to  the little or  no positive  value of the obsolete  vehicle,  or perhaps




to  the cost of  disposing of  it adequately.  Any solution to the  basic




decision by the owner to abandon  must either include  the assurance




of  an obsolete vehicle's positive value for proper  disposition or




 a severe and enforceable negative value (fine)  for  improper disposition.




The latter would make the cost of abandonment higher than the cost




 of transportation.
                                     63

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      These provisions to decrease or eliminate abandonment  must  also




 be augmented with a provision or incentive to encourage the removal




 of the current and projected accumulations of abandoned vehicles.  As




 with  the basic decision to abandon,  the  decision  to  collect is also




 hindered by the lack of substantive  value  of  an abandoned vehicle.   Only




 if the value exceeds the cost of collection will  the accumulation of




 previously abandoned vehicles be reduced.   In addition,  titling  and




 title  transfer laws  must be  eased  to reduce the lag  time between




 abandonment and removal  as well  as to  reduce  the  costs  associated with




 title  searches,  impoundment  periods, and owner notification.   If the




 costs  of removal  and  related  legal aspects  are reduced  relative  to the




 value  of the  abandoned  vehicle,  collection  of abandoned vehicles by




 public or  private  agencies will  be encouraged.






                           Vehicle Inventories






     The second major problem area is  related to  the  inventories of




 the industries  involved  in the automobile cycle.  Although  both processors




 and dismantlers have  inventories of automobiles and automobile hulks,




a  detailed analysis  indicated that the inventory of processors during




 1965 was less  than one-tenth of  their  total throughput of automobile




hulks. This is well within levels required as  a buffer against changes




 in supply.  Dismantlers, on the other hand, had average inventories




equivalent to  1-1/4 times their annual input.   Even though   they do require

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inventories,  their ratio of inventories  to throughput is  clearly excessive,




as is demonstrated by the total  inventories dismantlers  are estimated




to possess.  In 19&5, the Department of  Interior estimated these inventories




as 6,570,000.  As of 1970, this  inventory was approximately 12 million.




These large numbers clearly indicate a substantial inventory of unused




resources as well as a blight on our landscape.




     Although a complete elimination of this inventory is unreasonable




and would unfairly hamper dismantlers1 used-part sale operations,




substantial  reductions are possible.  The  Department of Commerce estimates




that as  much as half of  the dismantlers1  total  inventories are  no




longer of value as parts.  The  dismantlers'  decisions to  accumulate




and  maintain  these  large inventories are  based  on a  complex set of




circumstances.  Their  decisions to  keep  the  hulks after  the parts




have been  removed, even  though  the  hulks  are readily available  for




processing,  depend on  the low scrap value of the hulks  relative tp




the  high cost  of  preparation  for and transportation  to  processors.




preparation  costs,  a key factor, are increasing because of more stringent




 restrictions on open burning of the vehicles to remove  contaminants




 and  because processors  insist on stripped vehicles.   To encourage




 the  reduction of automobile hulk inventories, either the value of




 the vehicle to the processor must be high enough to allow him  to pay




 dismantlers the high cost of hand stripping or  his method of processing




 must be made largely  independent of preliminary stripping by dismantlers.




  In  addition, the costs  of transport to processors could  be reduced




  through more economical  transportation techniques or shorter distances
                                     65

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between  dismantiers  and processors.   This  problem  is  critical  in  rural




areas, where  distances  to processors  can be  several hundred miles.




A  reduction  in  these hulk inventories as well as in inventories of



undismantled  cars  can also be  brought about  by making  the costs of



inventory higher  than their expected  value from parts  and so forth.






             Incomplete  Reuti1ization  by Mills and  Foundries






     The final  problem  area depends on the steel mill  and foundry




industries' desire to utilize  automotive scrap.  The detailed  study



indicated that  exports  and  mill and foundry  demand potentially far




exceed total  scrap available.  Current trends and  projected changes



indicate that this will  continue at least through  1975 and probably



far beyond.  Automotive scrap  is but a small percentage of total scrap



used and, as such, represents  no significant effect on usage.  Unfortunately,




it is also one of the least desirable forms  of scrap and is, therefore,



the first to be reduced in  times of decreased iron and steel production.



Moreover, Its low quality makes prices paid  to processors of bales




very low, and this low price is reflected throughout the scrap cycle.




Hence,  these factors can cause the cycle to  stop,  thus increasing the



number of vehicles abandoned on our streets.



     The decision to use automobile scrap is determined by price and



quality.  Certainly, a  reduced price of scrap relative to that of



competing raw ore and pellets  can increase usage, although this is




unlikely without at  least a moderate increase in scrap quality.  Currently



available techniques  can shred scrap and separate out nonferrous components

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to an acceptable degree.   Unfortunately,  this is not being pursued




by all or even most of the processing industry.   Of the 500 to 1,000




processors, only 75 to 85 are using shredding equipment, and these



are only in the densely populated areas of the country.  The remainder



are using balers to produce low-quality scrap.  With the low-quality




baling operations  in rural areas, low prices for automobile hulks



have  increased  the inventory problems in these areas.   Incentives



to scrap processors to produce good-quality scrap,  in combination




with  reduced  costs of automobile scrap production or transportation,




can ensure  full  utilization of all automobile scrap.   Encouragement



to  locate  in  more  rural  areas can also reduce the  inventory  problems



in  the  areas  where they  are most pressing.   Unfortunately,  shredding



plants  need large  quantities of  cars and  large  capital  investments.



 If  these were,  nevertheless, encouraged,  higher prices for hulks could



be  obtained and more  stability  against demand fluctuations maintained.



      The increased utilization  of  automobile scrap will of necessity



aid in  the reduction  or  at least the stabilization of inventory hulks




 at  the processor and  dismantling levels.   There is, however, no assurance




 about the time period or magnitude of the effect of increased demand




 by steel mills and foundries.






                             PROBLEM SOLUTION






      The three main problem areas in the automobile cycle have  been




 delineated and  the decisions of consumers,  processors,  dismantlers,



 steel  manufacturers, and  others, that caused them have been discussed.
                                      67

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 In  addition,  the barriers to or causes  of these decisions  were  illustrated.




 Unfortunately,  the existence of the problems  indicates  that  the  free




 market  has  been  unable  to reduce  or rectify the problem.   Additional




 action  is,  therefore,  required  if these key decisions are  to be  changed




 and  the problems rectified.




      Basically  there are  four main  types  of tactics:   (l)  economic




 incentives;  (2)  regulatory action;  (3)  education;  (4) research and




 development.  Within each of  these  broad  categories  are  numerous  specific




 tactics  that  can be applied  to  one  or more of  the  main  industry  segments




 in  the  automobile  cycle.  An extensive,  but by  no  means  exhaustive,




 list  of  specific tactics, grouped by type and briefly explained,  is




 presented in Appendix A.




      In  general, any one tactic will not  alleviate all  the problems.




 Tactics  can, however, be combined in innumerable ways to form basic




 strategies  to alleviate all  the environmental and  resource conservation




 problems.  Many  combinations that can alleviate one  or more  problems




may,  however, simultaneously cause  some  undesirable  effects  in the




automobile cycle.  This possibility can  be minimized by evaluating




the impact of proposed strategies on all  the key decision  points  through-




out the automobile cycle.




     To determine  the strategy  to be selected,  four  main objectives




upon which each  may be evaluated have been proposed:  (l)  minimize




environmental damage; (2) conserve  natural resources; (3)  minimize




economic disruption; (4) simplify administrative procedures.  Each




of  these major objectives is now discussed in detail.

-------
                     Minimize Environmental Damage






     Environmental damage includes scenic blight from motor vehicles



abandoned on public and private property and dismantlers' yards; harborage



of rats and other vectors in out-of-service vehicles; air pollution



from burning by dismantlers or processors; water pollution from runoffs



of motor vehicle oil and grease; and solid waste from various parts



of the motor vehicle cycle.  To be effective in obtaining this objective,



a strategy must not only have a high probability of  reducing these



factors but must  also  do so  in a  relatively short period of time.






                       Conserve Natural  Resources






      It  is desirable to  recycle the various materials contained  in




out-of-service  vehicles  as well as to  reduce the  amount  of  land  used




to store  them.  A strategy  that achieves  this  objective  must  recycle



as much  of  the  ferrous and  nonferrous  materials as  practical  in  both




the  accumulated inventories  and all  future vehicles that go out of




servi ce.






                       Minimize Economic Disruption






      Economic disruption includes undue interference with the markets



 for  new and used  cars, used parts,  out-of-service motor vehicles, and



 processed motor vehicle scrap.  The economic burden imposed in order




 to improve the motor vehicle cycle should not be larger than necessary,




 and  its distribution should be equitable.  The productive capacity




 of any segment of the cycle should not be stimulated beyond what
                                     69

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 long-run  conditions  will  support.   Hence, a  strategy must effectively




 reduce  pollution  and conserve  natural  resources without causing worse




 problems  in  the  rest of  the economy.






                   Simplify Administrative Procedures






     The  number of people and  amount of money necessary to  implement




 the suggested program for improving the motor vehicle cycle should




 be as small  as possible.  Reporting requirements and record keeping




 should be minimized, as should enforcement responsibilities.   If




 administration is complicated  and expensive or enforcement  is  impossible,




 then the  related strategy is of questionable value.






                      Selecting the Best Strategy






     Once alternative strategies have been formulated and the objectives




have been defined, a panel of  experts can use one of the many decision-




making techniques available to select the best strategy.  Some possible




strategies are presented and discussed in Appendix B.  The panel could,




for example,  rank the objectives and obtain  relative weights for each.




 In turn, each strategy could be rated in terms of how well it meets




each objective.  The objective and strategy weights obtained would




 then be cross-multiplied and summed to obtain an overall rating for




each strategy.  The  specific mathematical procedure will not be discussed




 further,  because  it  is the creative aspects of this decision-making




 procedure that should be emphasized.  In discussing objective ratings,




 the panel of experts will shed light on the really important aspects
                                     70

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of the abandoned automobile problem.  In rating each strategy with


respect to how well it will meet each objective, the strengths and


weaknesses of each proposed solution become clear.  It is possible


that strategies can then be synthesized and prove superior to those


originally proposed.



                               Conclusion




     There are many interrelated decisions that affect the final


disposition of vehicles going out of service and,  in many cases,  result


in  their  being abandoned.  Although many of  the estimates in this


report  are based  on 1965 data,  it  is obvious that  the  abandoned  vehicle


problem persists.   Strategies can  be formulated to alleviate the


problem,  but  this  is  not as  simple  a task  as might be  expected.


      This report  has  analyzed the  entire automobile cycle and


pinpointed  the key areas  to  which  any  successful  strategy must  be


directed.  Unfortunately,  each  possible solution  can have  undesirable


consequences.  A  procedure for  evaluating  strategies has,  therefore,


also been discussed that  allows the achieving  of desired effects while


 minimizing undesirable consequences.   This report provides  the overall


 framework and analytical  tools  needed to evaluate alternate strategies
               I

 and select the one that is most appropriate.
                                     71

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                               APPENDIX  A






                    TACTICS:   THE  PROBLEM-SOLVING  TOOLS






                         I.   Economic Incentives






     Economic tactics are inducements that influence the flow of funds




into and out of specific segments  of a given industry to bring about




desired changes.  These incentives can be either positive or negative




and are further classified as revenue sources and revenue uses.




     I.A.  Revenue Sources,   Government can acquire funds to finance new




programs by taxation, reduction of current payments or  involvements,




monetary penalties, or elimination of subsidies and price supports.




     I.A.I.  Domestia-automobi.le-manufaoturn.ng  tax.  A  Federal  tax would




be  levied on all new cars manufactured  and would  be used  to  supplement




the cost of disposing of or  recycling the cars.   The tax  could  be  used




as  a positive  action  if  it were assessed  on  a  sliding scale  to  reflect  the




design and  relative adaptation of the vehicle  to  improve  its potential  for




recycling.




      I.A.2.  Imported-automobile  tax.   This would be the same as the




domestic-automobile-manufacturi ;-g Lax,  except  that it would be assessed on




all  imported automobiles at  the  port entry.
                                     73

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      I.A.3.   Dealers' new-oar sales tax.   This  would  be  similar  to



 the  first  two taxes,  but the burden of payment  would  be  placed on



 the  middleman (dealer)  who has  little  capability  to change  the recycle



 patterns or  improve environmental  insult.   A  tax  on the  dealer,  then,



 is probably  inferior  to one on  the  manufacturer.   It  would, moreover,




 be more difficult  to  administer, given  the  large  number  of  dealers.



      I.A.A.   Used-oar sales tax.  This  would  be the same as that on



 new  cars except  that  it  would be assessed on  used  cars.



      I.A.5.  Licensing tax.  This would be  a  State tax collected at




 time  of licensing of  all new and used vehicles  on  an  annual basis.




 It could be collected through already established  channels, and  the



 administrative procedure could be minimized thereby.  It would place




 the burden of payment on the consumer and would be distributed among



 all owners of operated vehicles.  If administered  on  the Federal  level,



 more administration and  new channels would  be required.



      I.A.6.  Gasoline tax.   This would  be a Federal tax  based on the



 sales price of each gallon  of gasoline  and  be similar to other Federal



excise taxes on gasoline.   It too could be  collected  through already




established channels,  although there would be a large number of  individual



 transactions.  The mechanism for redistribution to the States is  in



existence.   Resistance might be strong on an  item  already burdened



by State and Federal   taxes  on road use.




      I.A.7-  Competitive natural resources tax.   This  would be a Federal



 tax assessed on  raw materials (iron ore, coke, and limestone)  that
                                    74

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directly or indirectly compete with secondary materials from automobile



recycling.  This would be a direct tax on raw materials to bring their



cost of development in line with the costs associated with reclaiming scrap



steel and other recyclable materials.  It might have an impact on a



segment of the economy far larger than that involved in the automobile



cycle.



      I.A.8.  Elimination of natural resources subsidies.  This would be



reduction or elimination of depletion allowances for selected minerals



and  raw materials  and would thereby  indirectly encourage  recycling of



scrap steel and directly force  responsibilities for  improving



environmental quality on the  original extractor or developer.   This



tactic would directly  Influence  conservation of natural  resources  and



restoration of  disturbed environments.   It would also  have,  however,



large-scale effects  on  the national  economy.



      I.A.9.  Fines and penalties on  abandonment.  This would be a



penalty  inflicted  on any  individual  (last owner) accused and convicted of



abandoning an  obsolete or  inoperable vehicle on  public or private



property.  This negative  tactic to reduce abandonment  would be



effective only if  there were  a high  probability  of  enforcement.



      I.A.10.   Fines  and penalties on excess  inventories.  This would



 be a penalty inflicted on any collector, dismantler, or processor for



 maintaining inventories of discarded vehicles or hulks in an excessive



 amount and for long periods of  time.
                                      75

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      I.A.ll.   Consumer-returnable deposit.   A  buyer  of  any  new or




 used  vehicle  would be charged a fixed  fee  that would be placed in




 a  special  fund for later return to him.  The deposit would  be returned



 to a   vehicle owner upon submission of proper  evidence  that his old



 car had  been  released to a  recognized  used  car dealer,  collector,




 dismantler, or processor.   In essence, the  deposit would guarantee



 a  positive value  for  any discarded  vehicle  and,  if it were  large enough,



 it would  reduce abandonments.   Interest would  be earned over the time lag.



      I.B.  Revenue  uses.  Revenue obtained  by  taxation,  penalties,




 and interest  could  be  used  to encourage, support, or subsidize desirable



 industries or  to encourage  increased consideration of and action toward



 environmental  problems and  recycling of secondary materials.



      I.B.I.  Bounty on abandoned automobiles.   This  would be a fixed



 price paid to  anyone who collected  an  abandoned automobile  from public




 or  private property and  arranged for its proper disposal or recycling.



 This would be  a positive  incentive  to  individuals, collectors, dismantlers,



 processors, and public authorities  to  collect  all abandoned vehicles



 and speed their movement  through the scrap  cycle.  Effectiveness would




 depend on the  size  of  the bounty and on local  conditions.  The level



of administration would  depend  on the  safeguards against fraud.



      I.B.2.  Bounty on all  automobiles given to dismantle? or processor.



A  fixed price  would be paid to  anyone who gave hi; discarded automobile



 to  a  recognized dismantler  or  processor.   This bounty would be highly




 inefficient since  recovery would be paid for all vehicles--whether



 or  not they were abandoned.   Administration again would depend on



 the tolerable  level of fraud.




                                   76

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     I.B.3-  Subsidy to dismantle?.   A flexible payment would be made



to the dismantler to allow him to accept all  abandoned vehicles, to




abide by accepted standards, and to serve as  a responsible link in




the recycling chain—and yet cover his cost of operation and earn a



satisfactory return.  As a subsidy, it would automatically upset the




free-market mechanism.  It would force a balance between the two objectives



of minimizing economic disruption and minimizing environmental  insult.



The  large  numbers of firms would make administration costly.



      I.B.4.  Subsidy to scrap processor.  This would be similar  to



the  subsidy  to dismantlers, except that  indirect payments would  be



made  to  the  processor  for  using  advanced technology and adequately



processing all vehicles and hulks  coming to  him.   Owing to  the large



quantities of other scrap  products handled,  fraud  would be  possible.



This  mechanism could ensure growth of the  key industry segment.



      I.B.5.  Subsidy to steel mills.   This would be  similar to the



 two subsidies just  discussed, except that  indirect payments would




 be made to the steel mills for  using processes that favor acceptance



 of processed scrap steel  over home scrap or  raw material.  It would




 be difficult to  administer and  enforce.




      I.B.6.   Subsidy to scrap exporter.  A payment would be made to



 the scrap export broker to make the price of U.S.  scrap more competitive



 on the world market.  This could aid the balance of payments but might



 have international  repercussions.




      I.B.7.  Low-interest loans to scrap processor.   These would  be



 made for  installation and use of advanced equipment and  technology
                                      77

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 to handle larger quantities of vehicle hulks and to process higher




 grade scrap steel.  This, in turn, would make the higher grade processed



 scrap available in larger and more consistent quantities and would



 enable it to draw a higher price because of its increased value to




 the steel mill.  This tactic would not tend to upset the free-market




 mechanism significantly.   The effect on the cycle would  not, however,



 be immediate.




      I.B.8.  Low-interest loans  to steel mills for electric furnaces.




 Electric furnaces  accept  a very  high percentage of scrap steel  (approximately



 95 to 98 percent).   Because,  however,  automobile scrap  is  only  a  small



 percentage of  total  scrap used,  this mechanism might be  inefficient.



 Moreover,  large loan  amounts would probably be involved.




      I.B.9.  Establishment of free disposal areas.   A program would



 be operated  by  a public authority  whereby a private  citizen  could



 bring in  his vehicle  for  subsequent recycling  or proper  disposal.




 This  would be useful when  private  industry  failed  to take  the  initiative.



      I.B.10.  Government stockpiling of automobiles.  The  government




 (either State or local) would accept  the  responsibility  for  collecting




 and stockpiling abandoned  vehicles  when  the free-market mechanism  failed




 to  support the  complete cycle.  This would  at  least  control  the abandonment



 problem, although unsightly public  stockpile yards might develop,



 caused by a  small demand by dismantlers and processors for discarded



vehicles.  Administrative  responsibilities  would be  great.



      I.B.11.  Government differential-price purchasing of high-scrap



eteel products.  The government would pay higher prices for products
                                    78

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having high percentages of scrap steel.  This would tend to reduce



the demand for nonscrap steel production and force steelmakers to



consider using more processed scrap.   In essence, this would be a



discriminatory buying policy favoring scrap steel products.  This



might, however,  increase demand for low-quality automobile scrap only



sightly.



      I.B.I2.  Payment for better automobile composition or design.



A  payment  would  be made to automobile  manufacturers to conduct research



on and development of  technical changes  that could  improve and increase




the ultimate  recycling of ferrous and  nonferrous  materials.   In  essence,



government would subsidize  research and  development contributing to



 improved  environmental quality  and  reducing  environmental  Insult.



      I.B.13-  Funded educational program.  The  government would  support



mass educational and informational  programs  publicizing new  efforts



 for solving  critical problems.  Car owners could be made aware of



 proper channels  of recycle,  of  those  interested in collecting and



 buying discarded vehicles,  and  of specific new  automobiles having



 favorable design features.



      I.B.14.  Accelerated depreciation for steel mills.  This would



 be a tax writeoff for capital-intensive equipment using large quantities



 of scrap steel.  This would have the same drawbacks as the  low-interest



 loans.



       I.B.15.  Accelerated depreciation for processors.  This would



 be  a tax writeoff for capital-intensive equipment  producing higher



 grade scrap  and accepting larger quantities of discarded  vehicles
                                    79

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 and  hulks.   It would  also support  new technology  for  recovering  other



 nonferrous  material  from processed vehicles.






                          II.  Regulatory Actions






      The  precedent  for  intervention  by  government in  affairs of  private



 enterprise  is  justified  on grounds  that regulation will  result  in



 health, safety, or  consumer protection; maintenance of a  free but




 fair economic  system; conversion of  important  natural resources; support



 of  industries  vital to national welfare; maintenance  of  the Nation's



 defense posture;  control  of monopolies  or  semimonopolies; and control



 of  industries  closely linked  to defense preparedness  like air, water,



 and  land  transportation.   Recently,  regulations have  been proposed



 and  introduced  to deal with environmental  problems where  they affect



 our  future health and safety  and our  aesthetic enjoyment, and the



 problems  encountered with  automobile  recycling are in this category.



      Regulatory actions are,  in essence, government sanctions and



 controls  that  impose involuntary constraints upon specified activities.



They  should be used only as a last resort  to accomplish objectives




 that  are beneficial to public welfare and  to offer solutions to critical



problems.



      11.1.  Fines fov abandonment.    These would be legal penalties




 that  could take the form of cash remission or potential  imprisonment



for those who abandon automobiles on public and private property.




This would be a punitive measure to thwart further environmental blight.



The administrative procedure for enforcing these fines might be somewhat
                                  80

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complicated, expensive,  and time consuming.   The technique would  be



useful only if enforceabi1ity were obtainable at moderate cost and if




potential abandoners were cognizant of that fact.



      11.2.  Uniform titles and eased transfers of ownership.   This would



be a  tactic designed to facilitate the flow of abandoned vehicles from



public and private property  into the cycle.  At present, transfers of



ownership are  time consuming and costly.  Easing of titling restrictions



would reduce  the costs  involved  in processing low value, abandoned vehicles.



This  would encourage their removal by either public or private operations.



      11.3.  Composition of new automobiles.  A  Federal standard would




 reduce or ban  the  use of certain materials  in new vehicles.   It  is apparent



 that  a  reduction  in  the  percentage of copper, which  is particularly



 offensive  to  steelmaking processes, would  lead  to higher quality  processed



 scrap steel.   Other  materials,  such as  plastics, textiles, and nonferrous



 jnaterials,  might  be  designed and used so as to  facilitate easy removal



 and  recycling.  This tactic  would,  however, be  potentially disruptive



 as well  as  administratively  complicated.




      11.A.   Quotas on mater-Lai resources.   When it  is determined that raw



 jnaterial sources  are being depleted at  a rapid  rate or that  usage of raw




 materials is  severely restricting usage of secondary materials,  the Federal



 government could  impose quotas on material resources.  This  tactic would




 be most restrictive to private  industry and might well  induce unjustifiable



 hardships on  the  industries involved and perhaps on  the overall economy.
                                      81

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      11.5.  Import quota on raw ore.  A Federal quota would be imposed




 on the importation of raw ores (iron ore, coke, and limestone) to prevent



 flooding the domestic market with low-cost ores from other countries.




 This mechanism, in the past, has  been used to protect domestic industries



 that cannot compete effectively in the world market;  to maintain  balance




 of payments equilibrium;  to protect  our national  defense preparedness-



 and to distribute  national  purchases according to favored-nations



 agreements.  Import quotas  on  raw ores  would have broad significance



 and would  only  indirectly  influence  recycling of  vehicles.   Their



 implementation  might  also have  international  repercussions.




      11.6.   Quota  on  number  of  new automobiles or total tons of steel



 used therein.   A Federal quota  would limit  the number of  vehicles manu-



 factured or would  limit the  tons of  steel  used in  their manufacture.




 This  would  certainly  control the quantity of  vehicles requiring recycling



 but  the political  implications  and resultant  economic disruption would



 not be justified.




      11.7.   Hulk inventory restrictions.  This would be a regulation



 imposed on  dismantlers and processors to limit the size of their hulk




 inventories.  Conceivably, a minimum  inventory turnover rate would be




established on a gradually increasing scale.  This tactic could well be



an effective means  of controlling  inventories of discarded vehicles,



although the procedure for enforcing standards might be difficult  to



administer, and disruption of the dismantling  industry would be likely.
                                    82

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     11.8.  Differential interstate freight rate changes.   This  tactic




 lould involve reassessment of freight rate structures to bring the cost



of transporting vehicles, hulks, and processed scrap more in line with



the cost of shipping raw ores.  More competitive scrap prices would




encourage more scrap use.



     11.9.  Restrictions on percent scrap for government purchase.  The



government,  in its buying decisions, would restrict purchase to steel



products  having a specified minimum percent scrap content.  This might



be hard  to  administer and its effect on automobile scrap consumption might



well be  negligible.



      11.10.  Screening  of inventories.  Licensing of  dismantlers  and



 processors  would  require  that they screen  their  facilities  by proper



 fencing  or  foliage  and  thus  shield  their operations  from public  view  and



 enhance  the aesthetic surroundings.   In many  large  graveyards and dis-



 mantlers1  facilities, however,  £hjs  migj}t  ^e  impractical.






                              III.






      Although  economic  incentives,  regulations,  and development  of




 Improved techniques for recycling  and reuse are promising, good  public




 and private educational programs are essential.



      111.1.  Develop public information campaigns to increase consumer



 awareness.  Support of public education through Federal- and Staje-



 funded campaigns would increase awareness of the need to solve environ-




 mental  problems.  Television, radio, and newspaper advertising could



 stimulate awareness of new  laws and of contact points for  returning
                                     83

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 discarded vehicles.   Speakers meeting with  community  groups would  focus




 attention on  the need for and significance  of  action  programs.




      I I I.2.   Training programs for industry and government personnel.




 Federal  and State support of training programs  would  be designed to




 educate  industry and  government employees in acceptable ways of recycling




 automobiles and  of developing improved  techniques  for operations.






                       IV.   Research and Development






      To  provide  for development of more efficient  production processes,




 more  durable  and consumable  automobiles, improved  systems for complete




 recycling, and motivation  of intermediaries to  perform needed action,




 appropriate research  and  development  programs are  essential.




      I V.I.  Develop new technology  to make scrap contaminant removal easier.




 Federal  funds would support  research  leading to design and implementation




 of module electrical   and mechanical systems that could be removed easily




 from  vehicle bodies.




      IV.2.  Develop new technology to use fully and recycle nonferrous




automobile solid waste (including  tires).   Federal research grants and




contracts would  aid private  industry and research-oriented firms.




      IV.3.  Develop new technology to reduce transport costs of automobile




hulks.  The Federal government would support research leading to greater




hulk  density or  improved systems for handling and  transporting hulks.




      IV.A.  Develop improved data sources on quantities and locations




of junked and abandoned vehicles.  Support would be given to a material




data  network  that  identifies vehicles according to serial  number,  type,
                                    84

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model, etc., and cross-classifies them according to location and proximity




to processing facilities.




      IV.5.  Develop neti design parameters and materials for automobiles.



Support would be given to research leading to development of copperless



vehicles, and usage and design of materials more amenable to complete



recycling and reusage.




      IV.6.  Fund automobile demonstration project on results of these



research projects.  Through the  use of Federal  demonstration grants, new



concepts, processes, equipment,  and systems would be demonstrated.




      This list of  tactics can be applied to  remedy  (to some degree) one



or more of  the three major problems in the automobile  cycle:   (1)  abandon-



ment; (2) hulk  inventories;  (3)  incomplete automobile  scrap reuti1ization.



Each  basic  tactic  is  related  to  the industry  segment where it  may be



potentially employed  to  alleviate the  three  problems  (Tables A-l, A-2,




A-3).
                                     85

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                                                       TABLE A-l

                                             AUTOMOBILE ABANDONMENT PROBLEM
            Type
   Auto
   Mfg
  Consumer
Government
Dlsmantler   Processor
Scrap-end
    use
      I. Economic
      Incentives
         I.A. Revenue
         Sources
I.A.  1,2,3
I.A.  1,2,3,4,
     5,6,8,11
o>
      I. Economic
      Incentives
         I.B. Revenue
         Uses
      11.  Regulatory
      Actions
   II.  6
                  I.B.  2,13
    II.1
                  I.B.  1,9,10,
                       13
    11.2
                   I.B. 1,2     I.B. 1,2
   11.2
      III. Education
                    III.)
                     III.2
      IV.  Research
      and  Development
                    IV. k
                     IV.

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                                                         TABLE A-2

                                           DISUSED-AUTOMOBILE INVENTORY PROBLEM
            Type
                         Auto
                         Mfg
Consumer
Government
Dismantler   Processor
Scrap-end
    use
        I. Economic
        Incentives
          I.A. Revenue
          Sources
                                                                          I.A.9
                                                 I.A.9
CO
I.  Economic
Incentives
   I .B.  Revenue
   Uses
                                                                I.B.10
                                    I.B.7
                                I.B.8
       II.  Regulatory
       Actions
                                                          11.2
                                    H.2,7,8,
                                      10
                                11.7,8,10
                              11.9
       III.  Education
                                                                         III.2
       IV. Research
      and Development
                                                                         IV.3,*      IV. I

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                                                       TABLE A-3

                                   INCOMPLETE AUTOMOBILE SCRAP UTILIZATION PROBLEM
           Type
 Auto
 Mfg
Consumer
                                            Scrap-end
Government       Dismantler   Processor         use
       I.  Economi c
       Incentives
          I.A.  Revenue
              I.A.ll
                                                              I.A.7,10
GO
CO
       I.  Economic
       Incentives
          I.B.
I.B.12
                                     I .B.3
                              I.B.I,4,7,
                                  11,15
                                                                            I.B.5,6,8,
       11.  Regulatory
       Actions
M.3,6
                                     11.8       11.8
                                             M.4,5,9
       III.  Education
                                                              II I .2
                                                              I 11.2
       IV. Research
       and Development
IV.5
                    IV.2
                    IV.1,2     IV.1,2
IV.1

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                                APPENDIX B




                      STRATEGIES:  THE MASTER PLAN






                                STRATEGY  A






     This strategy is based on the assumption that direct actions  must




be taken to ensure that aban.J-VT:.-) ..  n^mobPss """" no  ^-r.gr-  -  ~"?blem,




inventories are reduced to acceptable  levels, and potentially  valuable




materials are fully  recycled.






                          I. Economic  Incentives






     I.A.  Revenue Sources




        1.  An annual Federal  tax of $2 would  be  assessed on  all  licensed




vehicles and payable to a special fund.




        2.  Automobile manufacturers would be  charged a recycle fee




of $20.00  for each new vehicle  manufactured and  soid--a fee payable




to a special fund.




        3.   Provision would be made  for taxing cxcecirivc iiv/er.tories




of collectors,  dismantlers,  and processors at the ra.c o' $5 per excess




vehicle per  year.  A minimum inventory turnover rate would be established




on a gradually  increasing scale.




      1.B.   Revenue  Uses




        1.   A fixed  return of $20 would be paid  to the  last  registered




 owner  of a recycled vehicle  (verified by a "certificate of  delivery"




 to a licensed  collector).
                                      89

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       2.  A fixed amount of $5 would be paid to a collector or dismantler



for each vehicle hulk leaving his inventory and sold to a scrap processor.



       3.  Low-interest loans would be provided to processors for



installation of improved processes.





                II. Administrative and Regulatory Actions





     1.  Ease titling restrictions—all obsolete or inoperable vehicles



with assessed valuation of less than $150 and determined to be a public



nuisance may be regarded as not having substantial value and therefore



subject to collection by licensed collectors.



     2.  License all collectors, dismantlers, and processors of discarded



vehicles.



     3.  Provide for disbursement of funds to "last owners" and "dismantlers"



through existing channels of government.  Support State government



for administration of funds.



     k.  Provide for a maximum fine of $500 or 30 days in jail, or



both, for those who discard vehicles on public and private property



and along roadways.



     5.  Negotiate with railroads and trucking lines through ICC for



more equitable transportation rates for shipment of vehicle hulks



and processed steel scrap.



     6.  Eliminate mineral  depletion allowances to make steel scrap



more competitive with raw ores and, if necessary, provide for negative



depletion allowances to force environmental restoration on original



extractor or developer.
                                   90

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     7.  Establish a Federal  Vehicle Recycle Committee to review progress,



allocate funds, plan for future actions, and make changes in existing



programs as deemed necessary.





                         til. Education Actions





     1.  Provide  for development and use of public information and



education  programs  through mass media, public presentations, etc.



     2.  Provide  for training of collectors, dismantlers, and processors.





                   IV. Research and  Development Actions






      1.  Support  research on and development of  new  and  improved  processes



 to convert discarded vehicles  to high-quality  steel.



      2.  Support  research on and development of  new  and  improved



 processes  to recycle  nonferrous materials.



      3.  Support  research  to study ways of  improving environmental,



 social,  and political  systems  where relevant.



      Strategy A has potential  for  effectively  accomplishing the following



 four key objectives.





                       Minimize Environmental Damage





      The  problem of unsightly and  hazardous abandoned automobiles



 would be  attacked  by paying the last owner of a vehicle $20 for  its



 proper  return.   If he still failed to  return Ms  inoperable vehicle,



 he could  be  subjected  to a  heavy  penalty.  The  problem  of  excessive



  inventories  of vehicle  hulks would be  approached  by paying collectors
                                      91

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and dismantlers for turning over their  inventories at a rapid  rate




and supplying hulks to scrap processors.  Furthermore, a tax would




be levied on vehicles in excess still remaining in inventories.  Easing




of titling restrictions would accelerate the recycling process of




returning abandoned vehicles to profitable reuse.  Licensing of operators




would force certain performance standards.






                       Conserve Natural Resources






     The primary mechanism for conserving natural resources would




be to eliminate depletion allowances for the purpose of forcing original




developers of raw minerals to be responsible for environmental depletion




and for restoring the land and the environment to its natural or improved




state.  This in conjunction with reduced freight rates and other positive




incentives would have the effect of making scrap more competitive




with raw ores.   Manufacturers would be  induced to consider redesign




of new vehicles by reducing their recycle fee through use of improved,




recyclable materials.






                      Minimize Economic Disruption






     The procedure for obtaining funds to support a Federal vehicle




recycle program would call for a balanced assessment on both manufacturers




and consumers.   The consumer, in licensing his  vehicle, would be required




to provide for  its proper recycle through minimal annual payments.




This  money would be returned to him in the form of a guaranteed payment




for his adequately discarded vehicle.  The manufacturer would be charged
                                     92

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a recycle fee for each vehicle sold,  forcing him to share responsibility




for its ultimate reuse.  If he were to improve a vehicle's design




to permit more effective recycle, then the $20 fixed charge could




be reduced accordingly to a minimum of $10.  There would be no direct




price support (determined unwanted and unnecessary) of scrap prices.




Nor would the private  industries be severely upset to the point that




small operators would  be forced out of business.   It  is  recognized,




however,  that a  reduction or elimination of mineral depletion allowances




could cause  significant  readjustments  in the steel  industry.   It  is




 important to face  up  to  the fact  that  primary  industries  must assume




 responsibility  for preserving  environmental quality.  Scrap processors




would  be rewarded  for improved processes by granting  of  low-interest




 loans  and reduced  freight  rates.






                     Simplify  Administrative  Procedures






      A Federal  committee of minimal  size  but  of flexible authority




 would be set up to monitor the Federal system and make  adjustments




 where necessary.  For the purpose of collecting and disbursing funds,




 the existing mechanisms of State and local government would be used




 much the same as  at  present.  Of course, easing of titling restrictions




 would reduce the  legal, administrative, and temporal difficulties




 involved in obtaining and recycling discarded vehicles.






                                STRATEGY B






      This strategy  is based  upon  the  assumption  that if automobile




 hulks were  provided,  processors  and  the steel  manufacturers  would






                                      93

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use  the processed  scrap.   It  is  necessary  to  take direct action  to




collect vehicles and  provide  penalties for abandoned vehicles.






                          I. Economic  Incentives






      I.A.  Revenue Sources




       1.  Increase excise tax on gasoline from $0.04 to $0.05




(Federal  level).




       2.  Fines for  vehicle abandonment  (State level).




       3.  Vehicle sale (local level) .




       4.  License fee (local level).




      I.B.  Revenue Uses




       1.  Provide localities with funds  to collect vehicles  (local  level)




       2.  Provide localities with funds  to establish vehicle storage




areas before vehicle  is sold to processor  (local level).




       3.  Provide money  (10 percent  gasoline revenue) for research




(Federal  level).



       k.  Provide money  for program  administration (local, State, and




Federal levels) .






               II. Administrative and Regulatory Actions






      1.  Set up Federal Vehicle Recycling Committee within existing



agency (Federal level).




      2.  Establish State  staff to be  responsible for vehicle  recycling



(State level).
                                    94

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     3.   Establish local  staff of consultants  to  develop,  plan,  and




provide for monitoring surveillance system (local  level).




     k.   Ease titling restrictions — any vehicle under $50 not licensed




or having a storage permit can be removed from public or private property



(State level).




     5.  Provide a vehicle identification/ownership mechanism



(Federal-State levels).




     6.  Require  licensing of all dismantlers, processors, and  collectors



of discarded vehicles  (local  level).




     7.  Establish a $200 fine for abandoning  vehicles  (State  level).






                              III. Education






      1.   Inform  public of the mechanism  for vehicle recycling  and of



penalties  for  abandonment  (State-local  levels).






                       IV. Research  and  Development






      1.   Support research  to improve  technology  in the area of steel



scrap  (Federal level).




      2.   Support research  to investigate ways to recover nonferrous




metals  and materials from vehicles (Federal  level).




      3.   Support research to investigate methods to make a car easier to



 scrap (Federal level).
                                     95

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                     Minimize  Environmental Damage






     The problem of  the discarded/unwanted vehicle would be eliminated




by providing a mechanism for collecting and storing vehicles.  To



encourage people to  use the system a fine would be established to




make vehicle abandonment costly.  The storage area would be shielded



so as to prevent an  unsightly  appearance.  The stored vehicles would



be sold directly to  the processor to prevent the dismantler from accepting



any unwanted vehicles.






                       Conserve Natural Resources






     Natural resources would be conserved in two ways:  first, by



removing the existing  inventory of vehicles scattered throughout the



country and getting  them into  the scrap cycle; second, by providing




a mechanism to keep  the unwanted vehicle in the scrap cycle by establishing



a collection and distribution  system.






                      Minimize Economic Disruption






     No money would be spent for subsidies or payments to make some




material appear more attractive.  Hence the price structure would




remain the same.  The supply of vehicles to the processor would not



be greatly affected, since the excess vehicles collected would be



stored and sold only to fill the processor's capacity.  The dismantler



could still  sell his vehicles  to the processor at his existing rate.
                                   96

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                   Simplify Administrative Procedures






     The strategy was formulated with ease of administration in mind.




The gasoline revenue would be collected by using the existing excise




tax structure.  The funds would also1be distributed to the States




by using the same system.  Federal participation would be by a committee




within an existing agency.  Research would be channeled through an




existing agency by earmarking of funds for motor vehicle  research.




State administration would use  its existing system but would merely




increase the  staffing.   Local administration would use its  existing




sanitation  department.






                                STRATEGY C






                          I.  Economic Incentives






      I. A.   Revenue  Sources




        1.   One-time $10 fee,  added on to  State  motor vehicle registration




 fees,  would be established as a Federal  recycling fund.




        2.   A blue ribbon committee would  be given power  to levy $1 to $3




 add-on to registrations if warranted in future years.




      I.B.   Revenue Uses




        1.   Local governments would be reimbursed for collecting,




 storing,  and delivering abandoned motor vehicles to  processors.




        2.  For cities not within a  reasonable distance of  processor,




 flatteners would be provided and cars sent by most economical means  to  a



 processor.
                                     97

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       3.  Railroads or other freight company would be subsidized for




moving flattened motor vehicles.  Subsidy would vary on regional basis




as necessary.



       4.  Education and  research would be provided by the Federal




government.



       5.  Local governments would be reimbursed for the net cost of



licensing dismantlers and processors as well as for surveillance.



       6.  Local governments would be reimbursed for moving a dismantler's



unwanted hulk inventories to a processor.






                             I I. Regulation






     1.  State  legislation would enable local government to take title



to abandoned motor vehicles.




     2.  Legislation would be enacted permitting fines for motor vehicles



abandoned on public property and storage fees on private property.




     3.  Legislation would empower local governments to set standards



for dismantlers and processors  with respect to environmental insult,



including unsightly inventories.




     4.  ICC would be encouraged to decrease freight rates on processed



motor vehicle scrap in line with rates for iron ore.






                            III. Education






     Citizens would be made aware of local government vehicle




collection services,  fines, and  storage fees.
                                    98

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                      IV. Research and Development





     Research and development for methods of recycling nonferrous




materials would be supported.






                     Minimize Environmental Damage






     This strategy would empower local government to  take direct action




 against  scenic blight caused by  abandoned motor vehicles on public and



 private  property.   It would further enable  local government to  regulate



 the environmental aspects of dismantling and processing.  By delivering




 to the processor, the local government would avoid  increasing dismantlers1



 unwanted inventories.   Local governments could also take direct action  to



 remove  inventories  left by  dismantlers who choose  to go out of  business.



 Subsidizing freight rates  for  moving  flattened hulks would  help reduce



 dismantlers1  inventories as will adjusting freight rates  for  processed




 motor vehicle scrap.






                        Conserve Natural  Resources






      By reimbursing local  governments for delivery to processors rather




 than, say, for  landfilling disused motor vehicles, the ferrous content




 of the  vehicles would be recycled.  Demand for processed scrap would



 be expected  to  be  sufficient  if vehicles  could be  delivered to processors



 Adjustment of freight  rates that tend to  discriminate  against  processed



 scrap in  favor  of  iron  ore  resources would give added  assurance that



 vehicles  delivered to  processors would  be reclaimed.  Research to
                                      99

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develop new ways  to  reclaim nonferrous materials would, in the long
run, make  less and  less  the portion of disused automobiles that became
solid waste.  Subsidies  to railroads for hauling motor vehicle hulks
would tend to reduce the amount of  land needed by dismantlers.

                      Minimize Economic Disruption
                              i        <                  i
     The amount of money needed for this strategy would be minimal
since it is directed only to problem areas.  The burden would fall

directly on car owners.  Thisrmight, in fact, lighten their load since
no overhead would have to be paid to the motor vehicle manufacturers
and dealers.   The markets for new and used motor vehicles, raw steel,
and foundry iron would not be affected by this strategy.  The supply
of processed scrap might be stimulated somewhat but not enough to
cause overcapacity.  The heaviest burden would fall on the dismantler
forced to improve his operating conditions.  For the marginal dismantler,
entering or leaving this occupation would be of minimal consequence.
That is, a one- or two-man-operation processor with a small capital
investment might find alternative employment much easier than, say,
a  processor with a $2 million investment.  Here we must face squarely
the dilemma that the small businessman is the one who tends to insult
the environment.  Either the dismantler uses his ingenuity to meet
licensing requirements or he goes out of business.  He would, of course,
receive some help from subsidized freight rates on hulks.   Some benefit
from more equitable processed-scrap freight rates might reach him.
                                   100

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In addition,  some  money  from  the  recycling fund might  be used  to  help




the small  dismantler meet  local  licensing requirements as an  adjustment




to this  strategy.






                   Simplify Administrative Procedures






     Revenue collection would use existing State mechanisms and be



adjusted annually.  Implementation and surveillance would be at the



local level, where  it must be to have effective action.  At the Federal



level, machinery must be set up to deal with local governments.  Not



all  local governments, however, can be expected to participate.  New



York City, for example, is currently being paid for the  privilege



of  removing  abandoned automobiles from the streets.   Not  all of  the



10  to 20  percent  of cars out of service  annually  that are  abandoned



would be  involved.  Only those presenting a problem would  be  touched




by  Federal  funds  through local government.  Cars  with sufficient  value



to  be of  interest to  dismantlers would be handled as  they are  now.






                               STRATEGY  D






                           I.  Economic Incentives






      I.A.  Revenue Sources




        1.   Increase in gasoline  tax of $0.005 (or a Federal  registration



 fee of $5.00 per vehicle)  would  be levied; each  State  could receive




 as much as one-half of its collected share provided  the  regulatory



 requirements shown here were implemented within  1 year.
                                    101

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       2.  As much as $10.00 per newly manufactured car in 1972




and thereafter would be payable by manufacturer unless copper content




of vehicle is below acceptable limits as set by the Bureau of Mines




to be measured by a technique of its approval.  As much as an




additional $10.00 per newly manufactured car would be payable in




1975 unless nonrecyclable nonferrous elements were reduced to an




acceptable level as set by governing authority.




     I.B.  Revenue Uses




       1.  Federal share of gasoline tax would be applied in the




following priorities.




           a.  Low-interest loans to qualified processor would be




determined by Bureau of Mines (quality of scrap) and Department of




Commerce (location and capacity)  jointly.




           b.  Low-interest loans for automobile hulk flatteners and




transport equipment.




           c.  Research and development.




           d.  National  educational campaigns.




       2.  State share of gasoline tax would be applied in the following




priori ties.




           a.  Enactment of uniform titling legislation would speed




title transfer,  remove impound periods, remove notification procedures,




and allow contract sale of low-value abandoned vehicles.




           b.  New registration procedures would be instituted to




require proof of disposition of last vehicle.
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           c.   Dismantlers,  processors,  insurance companies,  and




car dealers would be licensed for acceptable procedures  and  permitted




to give proof of disposition.



           d.  Limited random-check procedures would be  instituted




on proof of disposition.



           e.  Needed forms for certifying disposition of automobiles



would be made available.



           f.  Local government activities  in cleaning up accumulated hulk




problems would be supplemented.






                              I I. Regulation






      1.  Model  for  State titling  law.




      2.  Model  licensing agreement for  dismantlers,  processors,  etc.



      3.  Model  proof of disposition certificate  and registration




 modifications.



      k.   Renegotiation  of  ICC rail rates on scrap transport.



      5.   Accelerated depreciation for qualified  shredders,  etc.




      6.   Establishment of  a commission to determine overall  Federal




 policy,  changes in gasoline tax, and other key factors  regarding automobile




 recycling.






                       Minimize Environmental Damage






      An enforceable provision  (fine and  imprisonment for perjury)




 on all future abandonments would  be provided by  ensuring adequate
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disposition of past vehicles at  time of title application for next




vehicle.  The burden would be on the abandoners rather  than on everyone.




Inventories in dismantlers would also be reduced by encouraging  lower




transportation costs through loans for trucks and flatteners as well




as for more shredders nearby.  Educational campaigns would speed  implementation,






                       Conserve Natural Resources






     By  lowering transport rates and encouraging higher quality scrap,




scrap would be reused, and hence, natural resources would be conserved.




Manufacturers would, moreover, be encouraged to aid recycling by  changing




composition and design.  Research and development would improve future




recycling.






                      Minimize Economic Disruption






     Potential charges to automobile manufacturers would be small




and deferred.   Consumer/owner payments would also be small and spread




over several years.  The incentives to processors would be subject




to qualification to prevent overcapacity in the industry.






                    Simplify Administrative Procedures






     Channels already exist for the collection and distribution of




funds.   Licensing and forms design would require more administration




but again channels exist.  New legislation would be required, but




this is a one-time effort.   Enforcement of abandonment fines and  titling,




impounding, etc., would all be dramatically simplified.

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                              STRATEGY E






                         I.  Economic  Incentives






     I.A.  Revenue  Sources




       1.  A $10  deposit  would be  charged  for  each  vehicle  currently




registered and $15  on  each  one manufactured or imported thereafter.




       2.  A reduction of $10 would be made on all  newly manufactured




vehicles that meet  Bureau of Mines standards (to be set) on composition.




       3.   Fines  of $10 per car  would be levied on excess dismantlers'




or processors' inventories.




     I.B.   Revenue  Uses




        1.   Payment of $10 would be made to each processor/dismantler




who accepts vehicles.




        2.   Low-interest  loans would be made to qualified scrap  processors




as determined by Bureau  of  Mines  (quality  of  scrap produced)  and  Department




of Commerce  (regional  location  and overcapacity considerations).




        3.   Excess  would  be  directed  to education and  research.






                              11.  Regulatory






        1.   Uniform titling would  ease transfer of  abandoned vehicles,




with  following added  provision:  a $500  penalty unless new vehicle




 registration were  accompanied  by  proof of acceptable disposition of




 last  vehicle by  sale or  delivery  to dismantler or processor.




        2.  A $500  to $5,000 fine  would be levied on any dismantler or




 processor who accepts a  $10 payment but rejects any other  vehicle




 delivered on which the title is presented.





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      3.  A dismantier/processor  inventory  turnover  tax would be  based on




 inventory divided by  vehicles  received where  tax  is  levied  for all



 vehicles in  inventory that  exceed:



          1.25 X received  in  1971



          1.00 X received  in  1972



          0.75 X received  in  1973



          0.50 X received  thereafter.



      k.  An  amendment to interstate commerce  laws would prohibit




 rate  setting  that discriminates against secondary materials transport.






                              III. Education






      1.  Federal consumer education program on abandonment.




      2.  Training for scrap processors and dismantlers.






                        IV.  Research and Development






      1.  Improved shredding.




      2.  Enclosed incineration.




      3.  Substitutes  for copper.



      4.  Decreased transportation costs for automobile hulks.






                       Minimize Environmental Damage






      The environmental insult caused by abandonment would be reduced




by high fines levied  on failure to show proof of acceptable disposition



of the consumer's last vehicle and assurance that the fines could be
                                   106

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easily enforced because the past owner would,  in all  probability,  require




another automobile.   Moreover,  each processor  or dismantler would  be



paid to accept vehicles and fined heavily if he refused.  Simultaneously,



dismantlers'  and processors' inventories would be reduced by regulated



inventories.






                        Conserve Natural Resources






     Low-interest loans would be provided to scrap processors to ensure




high-quality  scrap and  its  subsequent utilization by steel  mills and




foundries.  Moreover,  freight  rates would further increase  scrap's



competitiveness with  raw ore.






                        Minimize Economic Disruption






      By minimizing  the size of the charge  to  the consumer,  his  buying




 decisions  would be  minimally affected.   Moreover,  the  staying of  inventory



 reductions would limit the input on the dismantling industry and  provide



 adequate time for it to adjust its operations.  Furthermore, because



 most of this  strategy would be accomplished through regulation with



 penalties for failure to obey, subsidies and their long-term effects



 would be minimized.






                      Minimize Administrative Procedures






      A one-time  charge on  all  vehicles with subsequent charges on  new




 vehicles would aid  in  reducing  administration  of revenue  collection.



 Moreover, determination of qualifications  of  scrap-processing  facilities
                                     107

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for low-interest loans would be accomplished by existing agencies.




Enforcement of abandonment fines would be made routine, and no extensive




search and notification procedures would be required.






                               STRATEGY F






                         I.  Economic Incentives






     I.A.  Revenue Sources




           1.  A deposit of $50 would be required from each consumer




on each vehicle registered the first year of the bill and on all vehicles




manufactured or imported thereafter.  A high-level appointed committee




would regulate and update the bill.




           2.  A Treasury Department revolving fund would be set




up to invest excess money and obtain interest from time lag between




deposi t and return.




           3.  A charge of $10 would be made to each manufacturer for




each new car produced dropped to $5 per car if copper content were




reduced below 0.1  percent of total weight by stripping of a simplified




harness, which is  possible through redesign.  Bureau of Mines would




admi nister.




     I . B.  Revenue Uses




       1.  A $50 deposit would be returned to last legal owner of




any vehicle,  including those in inventory on which no deposit has been




collected--payments  in excess would be limited to amount of  interest.




       2.  Payments of sum to municipal  governments if they have title.
                                   108

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       3.   Low-interest loans would be made to scrap processors for




operations to produce high-quality scrap (administered by Bureau of




Mines) in locations where overcapacity did not exist (administered by




Department of Commerce).




       I).  Excess would be retained for inventory data network,




educational programs, and research and development.






                               I I.  Regulation






      1.   ICC  rail  haul  rates  on  scrap would be  renegotiated  to bring  them




 in  line with  pelletized ore.




      2.   Tax  laws  would be changed to allow accelerated  depreciation  to




 scrap processors  currently qualifying or  about  to qualify  within 3




 years (qualifications  administered by Bureau  of Mines).




      3.   A 1-year writeoff would be given for all screening costs




 for inventories.




      1».   A new eased titling law would  facilitate transfer of title to




 municipality of abandoned vehicles.






                              III. Education






      1.   Federal consumer education program on abandonment.




      2.   Training for scrap  processors and dismantlers.






                        IV. Research and Development






       1.   Improved shredding.




       2.   Enclosed incineration.
                                     109

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     3.  Substitutes for copper.




     A.  Decreased transportation costs for automobile hulks.






                     Minimize Environmental Damage






     The strategy would reduce and should eliminate abandoned vehicles




as an environmental blight by ensuring a positive value to the last




legal owner of all obsolete and inoperable vehicles.  The consumer




would assume responsibility for recycle at the point of purchase and




would be rewarded in the same amount for proper return of his discarded




vehicle.  Screening of inventories would at least shield dismantling




and collecting facilities from public view.






                       Conserve Natural Resources






     Manufacturers of new vehicles would be induced to share the burden




of recycle and to consider design changes by paying a $10 maximum charge




per vehicle.  By carefully designing new vehicles and reducing difficult-




to-recycle materials, manufacturers would be entitled to reduce their




di rect cost burden.






                      Minimize Economic Disruption






     Although manufacturers would be charged a direct disposal cost,




it is important that they too share the burden of improved environmental




quality.  Consumers would be refunded their initial deposit upon return




of any registered inoperable vehicle.  Processors would be invited




to install  more effective and improved processes, but their financial
                                   110

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outlays would be offset by accelerated depreciation provisions and




reduced freight rates.






                   Simplify Administrative Procedures






     A new eased titling  law would facilitate transfer of title  to




the municipality of abandoned vehicles and would  reduce  the administrative




and legal difficulties of obtaining ownership of  discarded vehicles.




A  special Treasury Department revolving  fund would be set up  to  administer




and allocate  funds.
                                     Ill

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                              REFERENCES
1.    Gawronski,  F.  J.   '70  Production pegged at  1969  level.  Automotive News,
       Whole No. 4260:6,  27,  Dec.  22, 1969.

2.    The shape of the  1970's.  Morgan Guaranty Survey.  Nov.  1969-  p. 3-10.

3.    In Detroit:  75 . •-85-..100...bingo!   Modern Plastics,  46(10):54-58,
       Oct. 1969.

4.    Eshelman, R.  More rubber in  1970  automobiles.   Rubber Age,
        101(9):66-74, Sept.  1969.

5.   Ward's  1968 automotive yearbook.   30th ed.   Detroit, Powers  &
        Company  Inc., 1968.   264 p.

6.   Predicasts, Issue 38,  Fourth Quarter 1969.   Cleveland, Predicasts,
        Inc., Jan.  23, 1970.   143 p.

7.   Dean,  K. C.,and J. W.  Steiner.  Dismantling a typical junk automobile
        to  produce  quality  scrap.  U.S.  Bureau of Mines Report of
        Investigations 7350.   Washington, U.S. Department of the Interior,
        Dec.  1969.   17 p.

8.   Ralph Stone and Company, Inc.  Copper control in vehicular scrap
        with special emphasis  on component design.  U.S.  Bureau of Mines
        Mar.  22, 1968.   109 p. Unpublished data.

9.   Automobile disposal,  a  national problem; case studies  of  the
        factors  that influence the accumulation  of automobile scrap.
        U.S. Bureau of  Mines  Special Publication 1-67.  Washington,
        U.S. Department of  the Interior,  1967.   569 p.

 10.  Poliskin,  J.  S.   Automobile  steel  scrap  of low-residual copper.
        Presented at 27th Electric Furnace Conference,  Metallurgical
        Society, American  Institute of  Mining,  Metallurgical, and
        Petroleum Engineers,  Detroit,  Dec. 10-12, 1969.

 11.  U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration.
        News Release, Jan.  29, 1970.
                                    113

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12.  Institute of Scrap Iron and Steel.   1969 yearbook.   30th ed.
       Washington, 1969.  129 p.

13.  Car scrappage again tops 6 million.   Automotive News,  Whole
       No.  4269:1, 43, Feb. 23, 1970.

14.  Automotive News.   1969 almanac.  33d ed.  Detroit,  Slocum
       Publishing Company,  1969.  266 p.

15.  Derrickson, G. F.  Motor vehicle abandonment in U.S. urban areas.
       Washington, U.S. Business and Defense Services Administration,
       March 1967.  51 p.

16.  Hassell, E. W.,  and E. R. Killam.   Auto wrecking industry:  problems
       and prospects.  Scrap Age, 27(2):202-267, Feb. 1970.

17.  Ralph Stone and Company, Inc.  Resource reclamation:  yard
       efficiency.  U.S. Bureau of Mines, July 18, 1968.  110 p.
       Unpublished data.

18.  Story, W.  F.  Increased freight rates, 1969.  Testimony before the
       Interstate Commerce Commission,  Exparte No. 262,  Jan. 5, 1970.
       p. 4.

19.  Callahan,  D.  Basic puts its eggs  in more than one  basket.
       American Metal Market, 76:2-3, 14, Oct. 24, 1969.

20.  Steelmaking in the decade of the squeeze.  Steel , 165(21):33-40,
       Nov. 24, 1969-

21.  Brewster,  D. L.   Steel outlook.  The Wall Street Transcript,
       26(8):18, 682, Nov. 24, 1969.

22.  Ferrous castings industry.  J_n_U.S.  Department of Commerce.
       U.S. Industrial Outlook, 1970.  Washington, U.S.  Government
       Printing Office, 1970.  p. 218-220.

23.  Roche tells NAM  of steel's efforts  against pollution.   Steel
       Facts, Whole No. 209:4, Dec.-Jan.  1970.
                                   114

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                             ACKNOWLEDGMENTS






     In the development of this report, many individuals, organizations,




and other Federal agencies contributed valuable information and  insights,




although separate acknowledgments for each of the numerous outside




participants are not possible.  The following, however,  summarizes  the




participation by staff of the Office of Solid Waste Management  Programs:




Eric R. Zausner  (project direction), George A. Garland  (statistical




analysis and strategy evaluation), Dennis  E. Carruth  (tactics and




strategy formulation), Stanley  E. Endlich  (automobile manufacturers




analysis),  Stanley  J. Meresman  (abandonment analysis),  William T. Dehn




 (dismantling analysis), Thomas  Sanders  (processors  analysis), Thomas R.




Leslie  (scrap-end  use  analysis),  and  James C.  Curry (legal  aspects).
                                     115
                                                     «(i.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING (

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